Framework for Automated Driving System Safety, 78058-78075 [2020-25930]
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 233 / Thursday, December 3, 2020 / Proposed Rules
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not have tribal implications and will not
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[FR Doc. 2020–26648 Filed 12–2–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration
49 CFR Part 571
[Docket No. NHTSA–2020–0106]
RIN 2127–AM15
Framework for Automated Driving
System Safety
National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Advance notice of proposed
rulemaking (ANPRM).
AGENCY:
NHTSA is requesting
comment on the development of a
framework for Automated Driving
System (ADS) safety. The framework
would objectively define, assess, and
manage the safety of ADS performance
while ensuring the needed flexibility to
enable further innovation. The Agency
is seeking to draw upon existing Federal
and non-Federal foundational efforts
and tools in structuring the framework
as ADS continue to develop. NHTSA
seeks specific feedback on key
components that can meet the need for
motor vehicle safety while enabling
innovative designs, in a manner
consistent with agency authorities.
DATES: Written comments are due no
later than February 1, 2021.
ADDRESSES: Comments must refer to the
docket number above and be submitted
by one of the following methods:
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SUMMARY:
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• Federal eRulemaking Portal: Go to
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the
online instructions for submitting
comments.
• Mail: Docket Management Facility,
M–30, U.S. Department of
Transportation, West Building, Ground
Floor, Room W12–140, 1200 New Jersey
Avenue SE, Washington, DC 20590.
• Hand Delivery or Courier: U.S.
Department of Transportation, West
Building, Ground Floor, Room W12–
140, 1200 New Jersey Avenue SE,
Washington, DC, between 9 a.m. and 5
p.m. Eastern time, Monday through
Friday, except Federal holidays. To be
sure someone is there to help you,
please call (202) 366–9322 before
coming.
• Fax: 202–493–2251.
Regardless of how you submit your
comments, you must include the docket
number identified in the heading of this
document.
Note that all comments received,
including any personal information
provided, will be posted without change
to https://www.regulations.gov. Please
see the ‘‘Privacy Act’’ heading below.
You may call the Docket Management
Facility at 202–366–9322. For access to
the docket to read background
documents or comments received, go to
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address listed above. To be sure
someone is there to help you, please call
(202) 366–9322 before coming. We will
continue to file relevant information in
the Docket as it becomes available.
Privacy Act: In accordance with 5
U.S.C. 553(c), DOT solicits comments
from the public to inform its decisionmaking process. DOT posts these
comments, without edit, including any
personal information the commenter
provides, to https://www.regulations.gov,
as described in the system of records
notice (DOT/ALL–14 FDMS), which can
be reviewed at https://
www.transportation.gov/privacy.
Anyone can search the electronic form
of all comments received into any of our
dockets by the name of the individual
submitting the comment (or signing the
comment, if submitted on behalf of an
association, business, labor union, etc.).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
For legal issues, Sara R. Bennett,
Attorney-Advisor, Vehicle Rulemaking
and Harmonization, Office of Chief
Counsel, 202–366–2992, email
Sara.Bennett@dot.gov.
For research issues, Lori Summers,
Director, Office of Vehicle Crash
Avoidance and Electronic Controls
Research, telephone: 202–366–4917,
email Lori.Summers@dot.gov.
For rulemaking issues, Tim J.
Johnson, Acting Director, Office of
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Crash Avoidance Standards, telephone
202–366–1810, email Tim.Johnson@
dot.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
II. Introduction
A. Development of ADS
B. Potential Benefits of ADS
C. NHTSA Regulatory Activity To Remove
Unintentional and Unnecessary Barriers
to the Development and Deployment of
ADS Vehicles
D. Need for a Safety Framework, Including
Implementation and Oversight
Mechanisms, for Federal Efforts To
Address ADS Performance
III. Safety Framework—Core Elements,
Potential Approaches, and Current
Activities
A. Engineering Measures—Core Elements
of ADS Safety Performance
1. Core ADS Safety Functions
2. Other Safety Functions
3. Federal Engineering Measure
Development Efforts
4. Other Notable Efforts Under
Consideration as Engineering Measures
B. Process Measures—Safety Risk
Minimization in the Design,
Development, and Refinement of ADS
1. Functional Safety
2. Safety of the Intended Functionality
3. UL 4600
IV. Safety Framework—Administrative
Mechanisms for Implementation and
Oversight
A. Voluntary Mechanisms
1. Safety Self-Assessment and Other
Disclosure/Reporting
2. New Car Assessment Program (NCAP)
3. Operational Guidance
B. Regulatory Mechanisms
1. Mandatory Reporting and/or Disclosure
2. NHTSA’s FMVSS Setting Authority
3. Applying the Established FMVSS
Framework to ADS Safety Principles
4. Reforming How NHTSA Drafts New
FMVSS To Keep Pace With Rapidly
Evolving Technology
5. Examples of Regulatory Approaches
D. Timing and Phasing of FMVSS
Development and Implementation
E. Critical Factors Considered in Designing,
Assessing, and Selecting Administrative
Mechanisms
V. Questions and Requests
VI. Preparation and Submission of Written
Comments
VII. Regulatory Notices
I. Executive Summary
Over the past several years, NHTSA
has published numerous research
reports, guidance documents, advance
notices of proposed rulemakings, and,
on March 30, 2020 (85 FR 17624), a
notice of proposed rulemaking relating
to the development of vehicles
equipped with Automated Driving
Systems (ADS).1 An ADS is the
1 ADS, as defined by SAE International and as
used in this document, refers to driving automation
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hardware and software that are,
collectively, capable of performing the
entire dynamic driving task on a
sustained basis, regardless of whether it
is limited to a specific operational
design domain (ODD).2 In less technical
terms, an ADS maintains the control
and driving functions within the
situations that the system is designed to
operate in.
In general, the Agency’s ADS-related
publications issued so far address the
challenges involved in determining
which requirements of the existing
Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards
(FMVSS) are relevant to the safety needs
of ADS-equipped vehicles without
traditional manual controls, and then
adapting or developing the requirements
and the associated test procedures so
that the requirements can effectively be
applied to the novel vehicle designs that
may accompany such vehicles without
adversely affecting safety. Thus, those
notices, particularly the Agency’s
regulatory notices, have focused more
on the design of the vehicles that may
be equipped with an ADS—not
necessarily on the performance of the
ADS itself. NHTSA has also published
recommendations to ADS developers,
including automakers and technology
companies, most prominently in
Automated Driving Systems 2.0: A
Vision for Safety. The Agency has also
proposed in a notice-and-comment
rulemaking to remove unintended and
unnecessary regulatory barriers (e.g.,
proposing to remove the requirement for
installation of advanced air bag systems
in delivery trucks with no occupant
compartment) or other impediments to
the development or deployment of
vehicles with ADS. This approach has
been appropriate as a means to pave the
Levels 3–5. SAE International J3016_201806
Taxonomy and Definitions for Terms Related to
Driving Automation Systems for On Road Motor
Vehicles. Previous notices issued by NHTSA
focused on driving automation Levels 4 and 5, due
to the unique vehicle designs expected for vehicles
intended to operate without necessary human
intervention, and thus, potentially designed
without traditional manual controls.
This document does not focus on any particular
vehicle type, but rather, on the ADS itself. NHTSA
recognizes that the vehicle type for which the ADS
is developed to operate may impact the resulting
ADS performance, but the Agency is not delving
into this level of specificity at this time.
Finally, the major notices that NHTSA has
published in the past several years are: Removing
Regulatory Barriers for Vehicles With Automated
Driving Systems Request for Comment, 83 FR 2607
(Jan. 18, 2018); Removing Regulatory Barriers for
Vehicles With Automated Driving Systems Advance
Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 84 FR 24433 (May
28, 2019); Occupant Protection for Automated
Driving Systems Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 85
FR 17624 (Mar. 20, 2020).
2 SAE International J3016_201806 Taxonomy and
Definitions for Terms Related to Driving
Automation Systems for On-Road Motor Vehicles.
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way for the safe development and
eventual deployment of ADS
technology, particularly because the
Agency understands that ADS-equipped
vehicles are likely to remain in the predeployment testing and development
stage for at least the next several years.
Further, as small-scale deployments
start to appear in the coming years,
NHTSA will address unreasonable
safety risks that may arise using its
defect investigation and remediation
authority.
Though wide-scale deployment still
may be several years away, many
companies are actively developing and
testing ADS technology throughout the
United States. This development
process for ADS is complex and
iterative. Accordingly, it may be
premature for NHTSA to develop and
promulgate a specialized set of FMVSS
or other performance standards for ADS
competency. NHTSA’s existing FMVSS
set minimum performance requirements
for vehicles and equipment, and they
follow an approach that is performancebased, objective, practicable, and
established with precise and repeatable
test procedures.3
The development of an FMVSS
typically requires significant
engineering research, the development
of an objective metric (i.e., knowing
what aspect or aspects of performance to
measure), and the establishment of an
appropriate standard based upon that
metric (i.e., specifying the minimum
required level of performance).
Premature establishment of an FMVSS
without the appropriate knowledge base
could result in unintended
consequences. For example, a premature
standard might focus on the wrong
metric, potentially placing constraints
on the wrong performance factors, while
missing other critical safety factors.
Such a standard could inadvertently
provide an unreliable sense of security,
potentially lead to negative safety
results, or potentially hinder the
development of new ADS technology.
Safety Framework
Although the establishment of an
FMVSS for ADS may be premature, it is
appropriate to begin to consider how
NHTSA may properly use its regulatory
authority to encourage a focus on safety
as ADS technology continues to
develop. This document, thus, marks a
significant departure from the regulatory
notices NHTSA has previously issued
3 See 49 U.S.C. 30111(a); Chrysler Corp. v. Dep’t
of Transp., 472 F.2d 659 (6th Cir. 1972); Nat’l Tire
Dealers & Retreaders Ass’n, Inc. v. Brinegar, 491
F.2d 31 (D.C. Cir. 1974); Paccar, Inc. v. Nat’l
Highway Traffic Safety Admin., 573 F.2d 632 (9th
Cir. 1978).
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on ADS because NHTSA is looking
beyond the existing FMVSS and their
application to novel vehicle designs and
is considering the creation of a
governmental safety framework
specifically tailored to ADS.
Rather than elaborating and
prescribing by rule specific design
characteristics or other technical
requirements for ADS, NHTSA
envisions that a framework approach to
safety for ADS developers would use
performance-oriented approaches and
metrics that would accommodate the
design flexibility needed to ensure that
manufacturers can pursue safety
innovations and novel designs in these
new technologies. This framework
could involve a range of actions by
NHTSA, including guidance documents
addressing best industry practices,
providing information to consumers,
and describing different approaches to
research and summarizing the results of
research, as well as more formal
regulation, from rules requiring
reporting and disclosure of information
to the adoption of ADS-specific FMVSS.
These different approaches would likely
build off the three primary ADS
guidance documents issued in recent
years by DOT (i.e., ADS 2.0, Preparing
for the Future of Transportation:
Automated Vehicles 3.0 (AV 3.0), and
Ensuring American Leadership in
Automated Vehicle Technologies:
Automated Vehicles 4.0 (AV 4.0)). As
described in this document, NHTSA
seeks comment on the appropriate role
of the Agency in facilitating ADS risk
management through guidance and/or
regulation.
This document focuses on ways the
Agency could approach the performance
evaluation of ADS through a safety
framework, containing a variety of
approaches and mechanisms that,
together, would allow NHTSA to
identify and manage safety risks related
to ADS in an appropriate manner.
NHTSA anticipates focusing this
framework on the functions of an ADS
that are most critical for safe operation.
At this stage, NHTSA believes there
are four primary functions of the ADS
that should be the focus of the Agency’s
attention. First, how the ADS receives
information about its environment
through sensors (‘‘sensing’’). Second,
how the ADS detects and categorizes
other road users (vehicles,
motorcyclists, pedestrians, etc.),
infrastructure (traffic signs, signals,
etc.), and conditions (weather events,
road construction, etc.) (‘‘perception’’).
Third, how the ADS analyzes the
situation, plans the route it will take on
the way to its intended destination, and
makes decisions on how to respond
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appropriately to the road users,
infrastructure, and conditions detected
and categorized (‘‘planning’’). Fourth,
how the ADS executes the driving
functions necessary to carry out that
plan (‘‘control’’) through interaction
with other parts of the vehicle. While
other elements of ADS safety are
discussed throughout this document,
these four primary functions serve as
the core elements NHTSA is
considering.
The Agency anticipates that the safety
framework would include both process
and engineering measures to manage
risks. The process measures (e.g.,
general practices for analyzing,
classifying by severity level and
frequency, and reducing potential
sources of risks during the vehicle
design process) would likely include
robust safety assurance and functional
safety programs. The engineering
measures (e.g., performance metrics,
thresholds, and test procedures) would
seek to provide ways of demonstrating
that ADS perform their sensing,
perception, planning, and control (i.e.,
execution) of intended functions with a
high level of proficiency.
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Administration of a Framework
NHTSA is seeking comment on the
manner in which the framework can
and should be administered (e.g.,
guidance, consumer information, or
regulation) to support agency oversight
of ADS-related aspects. Since some of
the mechanisms described in this
document (e.g., guidance) could be
implemented more quickly than others
(e.g., FMVSS), the mechanisms could be
adopted, when and as needed, in a
phased manner, and implementation of
some types of mechanisms might end
up not being necessary. This document
will go into greater detail on the various
types of administrative mechanisms
upon which the Agency is seeking
comment in later sections.
Future of ADS Regulation
Eventually, non-regulatory aspects of
the framework, combined with
information learned from research and
the continued development of ADS,
could serve as the basis for development
of FMVSS governing the competence of
ADS. The sub-elements of the sensing,
perception, planning, and control
functions could evolve into new FMVSS
focused entirely on ADS competence. A
new generation of FMVSS should give
the manufacturers of vehicles, sensors,
software, and other technologies needed
for ADS sufficient flexibility to change
and improve without the need for
frequent modifications to the
regulations. If new FMVSS were
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developed and adopted, they could be
applied on an ‘‘if-equipped’’ basis to
existing traditional classes of vehicles
(e.g., passenger cars, multipurpose
passenger vehicles, buses, and trucks).
By an ‘‘if-equipped’’ FMVSS, NHTSA
means an FMVSS that would not
mandate the installation of ADS in
motor vehicles, but would instead
specify performance requirements for
those vehicles equipped with ADS.
Similarly, a new FMVSS could be
applied to the entire vehicle of new
classes of vehicles, i.e., subclasses of
vehicles equipped with ADS. In making
this choice, the administrative
feasibility of creating, updating, and
implementing requirements for multiple
subclasses would need to be carefully
considered.
Comments Requested
NHTSA seeks comments on how to
select and design the structure and key
elements of a framework and the
appropriate administrative mechanisms
to achieve the goals of improving safety,
mitigating risk, and enabling the
development and introduction of new
safety innovations. To aid interested
persons in forming their views and
preparing their comments, this
document surveys ongoing efforts in the
private and public sectors to create a
safety framework.
In their written submissions,
commenters should discuss, for
example, what engineering and process
measures should be included, and what
aspects of ADS performance are suitable
for potential safety performance
standard setting (i.e., what aspects of
ADS performance should manufacturers
be required to certify that their system
possess? Of the many aspects of sensing,
perception, planning, and control that
manufacturers will need to prove for
their own purposes, the Agency wishes
to know which aspects would be so
important that they should be subject to
separate Federal regulations. The
Agency also wishes to hear from the
public on whether ADS-specific
regulations are appropriate or necessary
prior to the broad commercial
deployment of the technology, and, if
so, how regulations could be developed
consistent with the Agency’s legal
obligations without being based upon
the existence of commercially available
ADS technology from which to measure
required performance. The Agency also
seeks comment on how the need for and
benefits of issuing regulations can be
assessed before ADS become available
to allow testing and validation of the
assumptions supporting those needs
and benefits. In addition, the Agency
seeks comment on which type or types
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of administrative mechanisms would be
most appropriate for constructing the
framework, either in general or for its
component parts, and ensuring its
effective and efficient implementation.
II. Introduction
A. Development of ADS
The development of ADS 4 continues
and is well under way. Developers are
testing components and systems
through simulation and modeling,
controlled track testing, and limited onroad testing with test vehicle operators
and monitors, and, in some cases,
limited on-road deployments. The
Agency believes these activities will
continue to increase.5
In July 2020, NHTSA identified onroad testing and development activities
in 40 States and the District of
Columbia.6 At the same time, 66
companies in California, one of the
main hubs of testing activity in the
world, had valid State permits to test
ADS-equipped vehicles with safety
drivers on public roadways.7 Two of
those companies also received permits
allowing for driverless testing in
California.8 One of those companies
received permission from California in
July 2019 to carry passengers in its ADSequipped vehicles while a safety driver
is present.9 In the Phoenix area, one
company is even providing limited
rideshare services to participants in its
testing program without an in-vehicle
safety driver. This same company
recently announced that it is expanding
these rideshare services.10 One
manufacturer of small, low-speed,
occupant-less delivery vehicles,
received a temporary exemption from
NHTSA to deploy up to 2,500 vehicles
per year for two years.11 That same
company has also received a permit
4 The term ‘‘ADS’’ specifically refers to SAE Level
3, 4, or 5 driving automation systems as described
in SAE International J3016_201806 Taxonomy and
Definitions for Terms Related to Driving
Automation Systems for On Road Motor Vehicles.
5 Some examples of companies planning on the
ride-sharing or delivery business models include
Cruise, Waymo, Argo AI, Uber, Lyft, Nuro.
6 NHTSA notes that the State count includes
active (ongoing), planned, and inactive (completed)
projects.
7 https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/
autonomous/permit.
8 https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/
autonomous/driverlesstestingpermits.
9 Other companies have received permission to
carry passengers in their ADS-equipped vehicles
while a safety driver is present, and they are listed
here: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/avcissued/.
10 https://blog.waymo.com/2020/10/waymo-isopening-its-fully-driverless.html.
11 85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11, 2020).
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from California to perform driverless
testing.12
As described in AV 3.0, ADS
development does not start with public,
on-road testing. Rather, much of the
very early testing of prototype ADS by
developers is conducted in simulation
and/or closed-course (i.e., track) testing
environments.13 Public road testing of a
prototype ADS typically begins after
significant engineering and safety
analysis are performed by developers to
understand safety risks and mitigation
strategies are put in place to address
those risks. It is important to note that
the development process is generally
both iterative and cyclical. A developer
does not ‘‘graduate’’ from simulation to
track test, and then to on-road testing,
and then deployment. Instead,
developers will generally continue
simulation testing throughout the
development process to gain additional
experience with various scenarios that
may be encountered rarely in the real
world. Similarly, track testing designed
to resemble scenarios that may be
encountered rarely or that would be
dangerous to attempt on public roads
until later stages of readiness will occur
throughout the process, even as on-road
testing is occurring. Further,
experiences gained from on-road testing
will often lead to simulation and/or test
track replication of situations
encountered on public roads to improve
the ADS. In other words, the fact that a
vehicle is being tested on public roads
does not mean that the vehicle or ADS
is nearing deployment readiness and,
conversely, the fact that a vehicle is still
undergoing simulation or track testing
does not mean is it not safe to be tested
on public roads.
NHTSA’s understanding is that there
are generally different stages of safety
risk management during the on-road
testing of prototype ADS.14 First is the
development and early stage road
testing, which is often comprised of the
characteristics such as safety drivers
serving key safety risk mitigation roles,
rapid updating of ADS software to
incorporate lessons learned, and focus
on validating the performance of the
ADS from the simulation and closecourse testing environments. Second,
once development progresses,
companies may expand ADS road
testing and focus on building
confidence in the ADS within the
locations and situations in which the
12 https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/
autonomous/driverlesstestingpermits.
13 https://www.transportation.gov/av/3.
14 https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/
files/docs/policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/
320711/preparing-future-transportation-automatedvehicle-30.pdf.
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system is designed to function (i.e.,
operational design domain).15 The
primary purpose of this stage of testing
is to build statistical confidence in
matured software and hardware within
the intended operational environment
and observe system failures, safety
driver subjective feedback, and
execution of fail-safe/fail-operational
system behaviors. Third, and finally,
ADS developers may progress to
deployment of ADS, in either limited or
full capacity.
As stated in AV 3.0, NHTSA believes
that on-road testing is essential for the
development of ADS-equipped vehicles
that will be able to operate safely on
public roads. Most of the ADS testing
activity in the United States is in the
early stages of on-road testing. Safety
drivers oversee the ADS during testing
for most companies, though some
companies have progressed to the later
stages of on-road testing. Despite this
development and all the progress the
industry has made over the past several
years, no vehicle equipped with an ADS
is available for purchase in the United
States or deployed across the United
States.16
NHTSA recognizes the critical role
that State and local governments play in
traffic safety, including our shared
oversight of on-road testing of vehicles
with ADS. Their roles in the active onroad testing and development
throughout the country is part of why
NHTSA recently launched its
Automated Vehicles Transparency and
Engagement for Safe Testing (AV TEST)
Initiative to facilitate further dialogue
and transparency of the state of ADS
development. This initiative features a
series of meetings and workshops where
State and local governments discuss
their activities, lessons learned, and best
practices for oversight of on-road
testing, and NHTSA discusses its
research and rulemaking activities. The
15 Operational design domain (ODD) is the
operating conditions under which a given driving
automation system or feature thereof is specifically
designed to function, including, but not limited to,
environmental, geographical, and time-of-day
restrictions, and/or the requisite presence or
absence of certain traffic or roadway characteristics.
SAE International J3016_201806 Taxonomy and
Definitions for Terms Related to Driving
Automation Systems for On Road Motor Vehicles.
16 While Nuro was granted an exemption allowing
for deployment of their low-speed, occupantless
delivery vehicle, the terms of the exemption
provide that Nuro must maintain ownership and
operational control over the R2Xs that are built
pursuant to the exemption for the life of the
vehicles. See Nuro, Inc.; Grant of Temporary
Exemption for a Low-Speed Vehicle With an
Automated Driving System, 85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11,
2020), available at https://www.federalregister.gov/
documents/2020/02/11/2020-02668/nuro-inc-grantof-temporary-exemption-for-a-low-speed-vehiclewith-an-automated-driving-system.
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initiative also involves automakers and
ADS developers, and provides a forum
to promote public engagement and
knowledge-sharing about safety in the
development and testing of ADSequipped vehicles. The AV TEST
Initiative will also provide an online,
public-facing platform for sharing ADS
road testing activities and other relevant
information at the local, State, and
national levels. It will feature an online
mapping tool that will show road testing
locations, as well as testing activity data
such as dates, frequency, vehicle counts,
and routes.
B. Potential Benefits of ADS
NHTSA’s mission is to save lives,
prevent injuries, and reduce economic
costs due to road traffic crashes, through
education, research, guidance, safety
standards, and enforcement activity. If
developed and deployed safely, ADS
can aid in achieving that mission, given
their potential to prevent, reduce, or
mitigate crashes involving human error
or poor choices. This potential stems
from the substantial role that human
factors (distraction, impairment, fatigue,
errors in judgment, and decisions not to
obey traffic laws) play in contributing to
crashes.17 In addition, they have the
potential to enhance accessibility (e.g.,
through allowing personal
transportation to people with
disabilities or people incapable of
driving), and improve productivity (e.g.,
by allowing people to work while being
transported and allowing platooning or
entirely automated operation of
commercial trucks). Accordingly,
NHTSA is placing a priority on the safe
development and testing of ADS that
factors safety into every step toward
eventual deployment.
C. NHTSA Regulatory Activity To
Remove Unintentional and Unnecessary
Barriers to the Development and
Deployment of ADS Vehicles
To date, NHTSA’s regulatory notices
have focused on ADS-equipped vehicles
without traditional manual controls by
assessing the modifications to existing
FMVSS that may be necessary to
address the designs and any unique
safety needs of those vehicles.18 For
example, while vehicles that cannot be
driven by human drivers and vehicles
that can be driven by human drivers
both need brakes that stop them
effectively, each set of vehicles may
have different safety needs. Traditional
17 See Critical Reasons for Crashes Investigated in
the National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey
(Feb. 2015), available at https://crashstats.nhtsa.
dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812115.
18 See 84 FR 24433 (May 28, 2019) and 85 FR
17624 (Mar. 30, 2020).
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vehicles rely on human drivers, while
the ADS-equipped vehicles rely on an
ADS to acquire information about the
location and movement of other
roadway users, weather conditions, and
vehicle operating status—all while
making driving decisions. These
differing safety needs may mean that the
installation of some features currently
required by the FMVSS (e.g., mirrors,
dashboard controls, some displays) into
vehicles without traditional manual
driving controls may no longer meet a
need for safety. Further, while steering
machines and other equipment can be
made to simulate human drivers in
conducting the track testing of vehicles
with manual controls, having NHTSA
instruct the ADS of a vehicle that lacks
manual controls how to perform the
same testing may be more challenging.
D. Need for a Safety Framework,
Including Implementation and
Oversight Mechanisms, for Federal
Efforts To Address ADS Performance
The National Traffic and Motor
Vehicle Safety Act of 1966, as amended
(‘‘Safety Act’’) tasks NHTSA with
reducing traffic accidents, deaths, and
injuries resulting from traffic accidents
through issuing motor vehicle safety
standards for motor vehicles and motor
vehicle equipment and carrying out
needed safety research and
development.19 The FMVSS established
by NHTSA must: Meet the need for
motor vehicle safety; be practicable,
both technologically and economically;
and be stated in objective terms. The
final requirement means that they are
capable of producing identical results
when test conditions are exactly
duplicated and determinations of
compliance must be based on scientific
measurements, not subjective opinion.20
In addition, in issuing an FMVSS, the
Agency must consider whether the
standard is reasonable, practicable, and
appropriate for the types of motor
vehicles or motor vehicle equipment for
which it is prescribed.21
NHTSA typically begins the process
of promulgating a FMVSS by identifying
the aspect of performance that may need
regulation (i.e., the safety need 22).
NHTSA analyzes real-world crash data
and other available information in order
to identify safety issues and quantify the
size of the safety problems, researches
19 49
U.S.C. 30101.
U.S.C. 30111(a), Chrysler Corp. v. Dep’t of
Transp., 472 F.2d 659 (6th Cir. 1972).
21 49 U.S.C. 30111(b)(3).
22 ‘‘The Safety Act’s mandate is not, however,
categorical. Not all risks of accident or injury are
to be eliminated, but only those that are
‘‘unreasonable.’’ Ctr. for Auto Safety v. Peck, 751
F.2d 1336, 1343 (D.C. Cir. 1985).
20 49
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potential solutions or countermeasures
to the safety issues that have been
identified, and then develops
practicable performance or related
requirements intended to either resolve
or mitigate the crash risk identified.
Manufacturers are then required to selfcertify, by whatever reasonable means
they choose, that their vehicles or
equipment meet the performance
requirements. Finally, NHTSA assesses
vehicle or equipment compliance with
those established requirements through
the validated test procedures that it has
developed.
Based on the current state of ADS
development, it is probably too soon to
make any decisions about the extent to
which new FMVSS might be needed to
address particular aspects of the safety
performance of these systems. ADS are,
generally, in the development stages,
and market-ready, mature ADS do not
yet exist. Accordingly, there do not exist
meaningful data about the on-road
experience of these systems that can be
analyzed to determine the safety need
that potentially should be addressed,
e.g., which aspects of performance are
in need of regulation, what would be
reasonable, practicable, or appropriate
for regulation, or the minimum
thresholds for performance, much less
how to regulate such performance.
Likewise, there are no vehicles
equipped with mature ADS that can be
purchased by the Agency and tested to
validate the effectiveness of a
contemplated standard in addressing
the safety needs of those vehicles.
NHTSA has no desire to issue
regulations that would needlessly
prevent the deployment of any ADSequipped vehicle, as this could inhibit
the development of a promising
technology that has the potential to
result in an unprecedented increase in
safety. Any regulatory approach must
have well-founded supporting data
indicating safety needs. An illconceived standard may fail to meet the
need for motor vehicle safety and
needlessly stifle innovation. Worse yet,
issuing premature regulations could
even increase safety risk with
unintended consequences. Pursuing a
‘‘precautionary’’ FMVSS may, in fact, be
prohibited by the Safety Act itself, as
sufficient information does not yet exist
to establish a standard that is
practicable, meets the need for motor
vehicle safety, and can be stated in
objective terms.
It is not too soon, however, for the
Agency, with input from stakeholders,
to begin identifying and developing the
elements of a framework that meets the
need for motor vehicle safety and
assesses the degree of success in
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manufacturers’ efforts to ensure safety,
while also providing sufficient
flexibility for new and more effective
safety innovations. In addition, NHTSA
seeks to explore the adoption of
alternative or complementary
mechanisms for implementing potential
engineering and process measures, as
described below, to manage risks and
facilitate agency safety oversight.
NHTSA seeks to develop a safety
framework of standards and/or guidance
that manufacturers of ADS would (or, in
the case of guidance, could) follow to
evaluate and demonstrate the safety of
their new systems, as produced and, at
least in some cases, throughout the
lifetime of those systems. The
framework would rest on the elements
described below in section III of this
document.
In addition, the Agency seeks to
identify the best administrative
mechanisms for establishing and
implementing engineering and process
measures and facilitating agency safety
oversight. Potential mechanisms are
described in section IV of this
document.
III. Safety Framework—Core Elements,
Potential Approaches, and Current
Activities
Safety assurance generally refers to
the broad array of proactive approaches
a company can take proactively to
identify and manage potential safety
risks associated with a system, such as
the ADS of a vehicle. Safety assurance,
as contemplated in many of the
documents discussed in this section, is
typically a process controlled and
conducted by the manufacturer that is
designing a vehicle and certifying that
vehicle’s compliance. Many of these
process and engineering measures are
used by manufacturers in the
development of their products, and
NHTSA intends to explore how the
Agency might harness these same
processes in the development of a new
regulatory or sub-regulatory approach to
evaluate the safety of ADS.
The Department’s guidance
documents on vehicles equipped with
ADS, ADS 2.0 23 and Preparing for the
Future of Transportation: Automated
Vehicles 3.0,24 generally describe these
aspects of safety assurance and how the
Department envisions its role in safety
risk management and oversight during
the development and deployment of
ADS.
23 Pages 5–16. Available at https://
www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.dot.gov/files/
documents/13069a-ads2.0_090617_v9a_tag.pdf.
24 See table on page 50. Available at https://
www.transportation.gov/av/3.
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This section elaborates on the core
elements of ADS safety performance and
the documents behind the various
elements of the safety framework for
ADS that NHTSA is currently
considering. This section also describes
some of the many private and public
activities related to evaluating ADS
safety performance.
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A. Engineering Measures—Core
Elements of ADS Safety Performance
Engineering measures are those
aspects that can be readily determined
through the testing of a finished motor
vehicle or system and establish the level
of safety performance. Engineering
measures could be used to assess safety
performance of the ADS, such as
successful crash avoidance (i.e.,
whether the ADS-equipped vehicle is
capable of completing certain
maneuvers without loss of control), but
how exactly to design these measures is
highly complicated. While a mature
ADS may avoid many of the human
driver errors and poor choices that lead
to the majority of crashes today, an ADS
may still find itself in crash-imminent
scenarios that may warrant emergency
maneuvers. Successful crash avoidance
would depend on a vehicle’s
mechanical abilities (e.g., abilities to
stop quickly and to maintain or regain
directional stability and control). ADSequipped vehicles, though, are unique
in that the vehicle’s system must also be
able to perform appropriately the
following safety relevant functions that
are inherent to the adequate
functionality of an ADS-equipped
vehicle:
• Sensing;
• Perception;
• Planning; and
• Control.
1. Core ADS Safety Functions
‘‘Sensing’’ refers to the ability of the
ADS to receive adequate information
from the vehicle’s internal and external
environment through connected
sensors. Sensors on an ADS-equipped
vehicle might include cameras, radar,
LiDAR, Global Positioning Satellite
(GPS), vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and/or
vehicle-to-everything (V2X) devices,
among other technologies. Sensing also
involves scanning the driving
environment with emphasis on the
direction of travel in which the ADS
intends to head. The sensing
functionality serves as the ‘‘eyes’’ of the
ADS.
‘‘Perception’’ refers to the ability of an
ADS to interpret information about its
environment obtained through its
sensors. This involves an ADS
determining the location of the vehicle
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in relation to the driving environment
and its ODD, including whether it is
operating within any geolocational
limitations in the ODD. Perception
includes detection and identification of
relevant static features and objects (e.g.,
road edges, lane markings, and traffic
signs) and dynamic objects (e.g.,
vehicles, cyclists, and pedestrians)
detected by sensors within proximity of
the vehicle. Through perception, the
ADS is provided with information
necessary to predict the future behavior
(e.g., speed and path) of relevant static
and dynamic objects (i.e., those whose
speed and path may create the risk of a
collision with the vehicle). Thus, while
sensing serves as the ‘‘eyes’’ of the ADS,
perception performs the associated
cognitive recognition of information
detected through the sensor’s ‘‘eyes.’’
Perception provides necessary
interpreted information to the system so
that it can conduct other key functions
for successful completion of the driving
task.
‘‘Planning’’ refers to the ability of an
ADS to establish and navigate the route
it will take on the way to its intended
destination. The planning function of an
ADS builds from the sensing and
perception functions by using the
information collected through sensing
and interpreted through perception, and
predicts the future state of static and
dynamic objects to create a path that
mitigates crash risks, follows rules of
the road,25 and safely reaches its
intended destination. If the perception
function is akin to the part of the brain
25 NHTSA notes that, while compliance with
many rules of the road can be readily and
objectively determined, compliance with others
cannot. The rule to obey posted speed limits is an
example of the former. If a vehicle has mapped or
can read posted speed limit signs, it can readily
compare its speed with the posted speed and
modulate its speed accordingly to avoid exceeding
the limit. However, achieving compliance with
situational or judgmental rules, such as those
prohibiting driving too fast for conditions or driving
recklessly, is much less readily determinable by a
vehicle. See., e.g., Formalising and Monitoring
Traffic Rules for Autonomous Vehicles in Isabelle/
HOL, Albert Rizaldi, Jonas Keinholz, Monika Huber,
Jochen Feldle, Fabian Immler, Matthias Althoff,
Eric Hilgendorf, and Tobias Nipkow. https://
www21.in.tum.de/∼nipkow/pubs/ifm17.pdf.
Substantial compliance by a vehicle with the rule
against driving recklessly might be indirectly
achievable through programming the vehicle to
drive defensively. One aspect of that programming
would be to ensure that the vehicle always
maintains a safe driving distance between itself and
the vehicle immediately ahead, including any
vehicle that cuts into the vehicle’s lane. This notion
of a safe space could also be made to vary according
to whether the vehicle detects conditions such as
darkness, rain, or loss of traction. See., e.g., On a
Formal Model of Safe and Scalable Self-driving
Cars, Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Shaked Shammah,
Amnon Shashua, Mobileye, 2017. https://arxiv.org/
pdf/1708.06374.pdf. The amount of space needed
by the vehicle would vary according to the vehicle’s
speed.
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78063
of an ADS responsible for cognitive
interpretation, the planning function is
equivalent to that part of the brain of the
ADS responsible for decision-making.
Finally, the ‘‘control’’ function of an
ADS refers to the ability of the system
to execute the driving functions
necessary to carry out the continuously
updated driving plan. Control includes
implementing the driving plan by
delivering appropriate control inputs—
such as steering, propulsion, and
braking—to follow the planned path
while adjusting the plan when and as
necessary based on the continuous
acquisition and processing of new data
concerning the state of the vehicle and
surrounding environment. The control
function, carried out through actuators
and their associated control systems that
facilitate execution of the driving plan,
are analogous to the ‘‘arms’’ and ‘‘legs’’
of the ADS in driving the vehicle.
NHTSA requests comment on these
four core functions, including whether
commenters agree that these are the core
functions, views on NHTSA’s
description of these functions, and
whether and how NHTSA should
prioritize its research as it develops a
safety framework.
2. Other Safety Functions
While the four functions described
above are necessary for an ADS, they are
not necessarily sufficient to ensure ADS
safety, which will also depend on a
wide array of other functions and
capabilities of the system and how that
system interacts with the humans both
inside and surrounding the ADSequipped vehicle.
For example, one safety-related aspect
not encompassed within the four
functions would be the vehicle’s ability
to communicate with vehicle
occupants 26 and other vehicles and
people in the driving environment,
especially vulnerable road users.27 The
human-machine interaction is expected
to have an impact not only on the
operational safety of an ADS-equipped
vehicle, but also on the public
acceptance of such systems. ADS
capability to detect the malfunction of
its own system or other systems in the
26 For instance, if a vehicle stops, passengers have
in interest in knowing the vehicle’s status. Did it
stop because it reached its destination, to avoid an
obstacle, or because of a malfunction? Should
passengers remain in the vehicle or is it safe to exit?
27 A driver’s eye contact, hand gestures, and even
his/her mere presence means something to others
outside the vehicle. An empty vehicle, especially an
electric ADS-equipped vehicle without traditional
manual driving controls, may appear to be parked
and in the off position when in fact it is ready to
move. Someone approaching the vehicle (passenger,
law enforcement, rescuers, tow truck operators, etc.)
has an interest in knowing whether it is about to
move and how to safely interact with the vehicle.
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vehicle accurately and reliably, while
also ensuring safe transitions between
operational modes developed to
respond to any detected issues or
malfunctions (e.g., fail safe or limp
home modes), is another important
consideration that could impact
expected performance by an ADS.
Other aspects that could impact the
ability of an ADS to carry out its
intended plans in a safe and reliable
manner include: (1) Identifying reduced
system performance and/or ODD in the
presence of failure; (2) operating in a
degraded mode within reduced system
constraints; 28 (3) performing the
essential task of transporting occupants
or goods from starting point to the
chosen destination; (4) recognizing and
reacting appropriately to
communications from first responders,
including fire, EMS, and law
enforcement; 29 (5) receiving, loading,
and following over-the-air software
updates; 30 (6) performing system
maintenance and calibration; (7)
addressing safety-related cybersecurity
risks; and (8) system redundancies.
NHTSA notes that its authorities under
the Safety Act are limited to motor
vehicle safety and, thus, do not
authorize the Agency to regulate areas
such as general privacy and
cybersecurity unrelated to safety.31 That
said, NHTSA will analyze relevant
aspects of these issues during the
rulemaking process to the extent
required under the Safety Act and when
otherwise required by applicable laws,
such as the E-Government Act of 2002.
NHTSA requests comment on which
of these aspects the Agency should
prioritize as it continues the research
necessary to develop a safety
framework. NHTSA also seeks comment
on whether it has an appropriate role to
play with any or all of these elements
28 See Matthew Wood et al., Safety First for
Automated Driving (2019), pp. 37–46, available at
https://www.aptiv.com/docs/default-source/whitepapers/safety-first-for-automated-driving-aptivwhite-paper.pdf. The above listing omits ‘‘ensure
controllability for the vehicle operator’’ since a
vehicle without traditional manual driving controls
would not have a human operator.
29 In an emergency or unusual situation, a vehicle
should be able to respond/react to orders or
requests from outside its own ADS perceive/plan/
execute process. This could be law enforcement,
pedestrians, other drivers, or passengers.
30 Prior to transmitting any software update, care
should be taken to evaluate the safety of the updates
and the functions they enable or control not only
in isolation, but also in combination with existing
software and hardware and the functions they
enable or control.
31 The Federal Trade Commission is the Federal
agency that primarily oversees privacy policy and
enforcement, including privacy-related
cybersecurity matter. See https://www.ftc.gov/newsevents/media-resources/protecting-consumerprivacy-security.
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outside of research. If so, which
element(s)? For each such element,
should NHTSA’s role be regulatory or
sub-regulatory, and in what manner?
3. Federal Engineering Measure
Development Efforts
NHTSA, as part of the Department’s
broader efforts, has begun the research
to explore potential ways the Agency
can assess the safety of ADS. As
described in AV 4.0, NHTSA maintains
a comprehensive ADS research program
evaluating and researching a wide array
of aspects related to ADS
performance.32 One of NHTSA’s key
research tracks focuses on ADS safety
performance, and seeks to identify the
methods, metrics, and tools to assess
how well the ADS-equipped vehicle
performs both normal driving tasks as
well crash avoidance capabilities. Such
assessments include system
performance and behavior relative to the
system’s stated ODD and object and
event detection and response (OEDR)
capabilities, as well as fail-safe
capabilities if/when it is confronted
with conditions outside its ODD. A
second high-level research focus is on
functional safety and ADS subsystem
performance. A third research area
relevant to this document relates to the
cybersecurity of vehicles and systems,
including ADS. Finally, NHTSA is also
researching human factors issues that
may accompany vehicles equipped with
ADS.
One key example of NHTSA’s efforts
to develop safety performance models
and metrics is the Instantaneous Safety
Metric (ISM)—a research document
published in 2017.33 The ISM calculates
physically possible trajectories that a
subject vehicle and other roadway users
in the surrounding traffic could take
given a set of possible actions (e.g.,
steering wheel angles, brake/throttle)
within a preset, finite period of time in
the future and calculates which
trajectory combinations could result in
a potential multi-actor crash. A metric
determined by the number and/or
proportion of trajectories (and severity/
probability of the action that leads to
that trajectory) that may lead to a crash
could serve as a proxy for the estimated
safety risk associated with the given
snapshot of the driving state.
32 https://www.transportation.gov/av/4.
33 ‘‘A Novel Method to Evaluate the Safety of
Highly Automated Vehicles’’ Joshua L. Every, Frank
Barickman, John Martin Sughosh, Rao Scott
Schnelle, Bowen Weng, Paper Number 17–0076;
25th International Technical Conference on the
Enhanced Safety of Vehicles (ESV), available at
https://indexsmart.mirasmart.com/25esv/PDFfiles/
25ESV000076.pdf.
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An updated approach, referred to as
the Model Predictive Instantaneous
Safety Metric (MPrISM), builds upon
the ISM concept and modifies its
assessment method.34 MPrISM
considers the subject vehicle’s range of
fully controllable actions and calculates
crash implications under the scenario of
best response choices by the subject
vehicle and worst choices by other
actors in the scene.
One of the benefits of ISM and
MPrISM is their relatable logical
reasoning and straight-forward
analytical construction. However, ISM
is not without its challenges in
administering in real-world
applications. One of those challenges is
the significant computational
complexity required for effective
utilization. MPrISM attempts to address
this computational complexity and can
be run using real time data at reasonable
processing rates. Through new metric
development efforts such as MPrISM,
NHTSA will continue researching ways
to reduce complexity while also
evaluating private sector approaches
with a goal of facilitating the
advancement of candidate safety
performance models and metrics.
4. Other Notable Efforts Under
Consideration as Engineering Measures
Various companies and organizations
have begun efforts to develop a
framework or at least portions of one.
For example, in 2018, RAND
Corporation issued a report proposing a
partial framework for measuring safety
in ADS-equipped vehicles.35 In
developing that framework, RAND
considered how to define ADS safety,
how to measure ADS safety, and how to
communicate what is learned or
understood about ADS. The RAND
report purports to present a framework
to discuss how safety can be measured
in a technology- and company-neutral
way.
Another effort is led by NVIDIA,
which published a document proposing
a framework called the Safety Force
Field 36 that is articulated as a
34 ‘‘Model Predictive Instantaneous Safety Metric
for Evaluation of Automated Driving Systems’’.
Bowen Weng, Sughosh J. Rao, Eeshan Deosthale,
Scott Schnelle, Frank Barickman, available at:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.09999v1.
35 Laura Fraade-Blanar, Marjory S. Blumenthal,
James M. Anderson, Nidhi Kalra, Measuring
Automated Vehicle Safety—Forging a Framework,
Rand, 2018, available at https://www.rand.org/
content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR2600/
RR2662/RAND_RR2662.pdf.
36 David Niste
´ r, Hon-Leung Lee, Julia Ng, and
Yizhou Wang, An Introduction to the Safety Force
Field, Nvidia. Available at https://www.nvidia.com/
content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/self-driving-cars/
safety-force-field/an-introduction-to-the-safetyforce-field-updated.pdf. See also David Niste´r, Hon-
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computational method to assess through
simulation whether an ADS is
monitoring its surrounding environment
successfully and not taking
unacceptable actions. The stated goal
behind the Safety Force Field is
avoiding crashes, and it seeks to
accomplish this through setting a
driving policy that analyzes the
surrounding environment and predicts
actions by other road users. Based upon
this analysis, the system would then
seek to determine potential actions that
avoid creating or contributing to unsafe
conditions that could lead to a crash.
In early July 2019, 11 companies,37
collectively referred to as ‘‘Safety First
for Automated Driving,’’ released a
paper describing safety by design, and
verification and validation (V&V)
methods for ADS.38 This paper states
that it aims to address L3 and higher
levels of automation, and can serve as
a useful starting point for examining
V&V methods appropriate for ADS. To
guide safety efforts, the paper identifies
principles (12 in all) towards addressing
safe operation; safety layer; ODD;
behavior in traffic; user responsibility;
vehicle-initiated handover; driverinitiated handover; effects of
automation; safety assessment; data
recording; security; and passive safety.
These principles are expressed to be
relevant to ADS, and most of them,
except those relating to handover to a
human operator, are indicated to be
relevant to L4 and above.
Finally, several other companies and
organizations have published or are
developing either documents to guide
the safe testing and deployment of ADS
or technical approaches to programming
ADS in order to reduce the likelihood of
facing crash-imminent situations. For
example, Intel’s Mobileye published a
document proposing a framework called
Responsibility Sensitive Safety 39 (RSS),
intended to address issues with multiagent safety (defined by them as safe
Leung Lee, Julia Ng, and Yizhou Wang, Safety Force
Field, Nvidia. Available at https://www.nvidia.com/
content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/self-driving-cars/
safety-force-field/the-safety-force-field.pdf.
37 The 11 companies that comprise Safety First for
Automated Driving are: Audi, BMW, Aptiv, Baidu,
Continental, Daimler, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles,
Here, Infineon, Intel and Volkswagen.
38 ‘‘Safety First for Automated Driving,’’ available
at https://newsroom.intel.com/wp-content/uploads/
sites/11/2019/07/Intel-Safety-First-for-AutomatedDriving.pdf.
39 Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Shaked Shammah, and
Amnon Shashua, On a Formal Model of Safe and
Scalable Self-driving Cars, Mobileye, 2017.
Summary available at https://newsroom.intel.com/
newsroom/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2017/10/
autonomous-vehicle-safety-strategy.pdf and https://
newsroom.intel.com/editorials/paving-way-towardsafer-roads-all/#gs.8qhmve. Full paper available at
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1708.06374.pdf.
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operation and interaction with multiple
independent road users in a given
environment). RSS is a mathematical
model for multi-agent safety that
incorporates common-sense rules of
driving while interacting with other
road users in a way that minimizes the
chance of causing a crash, all while
operating within normal behavioral
expectations. The method is constructed
with respect to ‘‘right-of-way’’ rules,
occluded objects avoidance, and safe
distance maintenance, both
longitudinally and laterally. Mobileye
also claims that special traffic
conditions are covered in the discussion
including intersection with traffic lights,
unstructured roads, and collisions
involving pedestrians (or other road
users).40
NHTSA is paying close attention to
the efforts of other organizations to
develop documents related to ADS
safety that might be useful from a
Federal regulatory perspective. While
this document describes some of those
efforts, it does not include all. NHTSA
is also considering how it might harness
process measures as part of a safety
framework.
B. Process Measures—Safety Risk
Minimization in the Design,
Development, and Refinement of ADS
Vehicle process measures help an
organization manage and minimize
safety risk by identifying and mitigating
sources of risk during the design,
development, and refinement of new
motor vehicles and motor vehicle
equipment. Unlike engineering
measures, process measures address
safety issues that cannot be efficiently or
thoroughly addressed through the
FMVSS approach to testing, since
process standards help to ensure
reliability and robustness of designs
over the life of the vehicle, and in
‘‘edge’’ cases—both of which are
difficult or impossible to verify through
one-time testing a finished vehicle.
Careful adherence to process standards
can enhance the safety of finished motor
vehicles substantially.41 While some of
40 Mobileye, Implementing the RSS Model on
NHTSA Pre-Crash Scenarios, p. 3. Available at
https://www.mobileye.com/responsibility-sensitivesafety/rss_on_nhtsa.pdf.
41 Transportation Research Board Special Report
308, The Safety Promise and Challenge of
Automotive Electronics: Insights from Unintended
Acceleration, 2012. The Board is part of the
National Research Council, which is, in turn, part
of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering,
and Medicine. At pages 87–88, this report describes
the role that process measures could play in
meeting the challenges presented by electronic
systems and their ‘‘hardware components’’ and
‘‘software components.’’ The report is available on
a number of online sites, including https://
onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/sr/sr308.pdf and
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the standards described below are not
specific to ADS, the principles
underlying such standards can prove
useful in ADS development.
1. Functional Safety
ISO 26262 describes a documentation
of a process for the evaluation of
functional safety 42 to assist in the
development of safety-related electrical
and/or electronic (E/E) systems.43 This
framework is intended to be used by
manufacturers to integrate functional
safety concepts into a company-specific
development framework. Some
requirements have a clear technical
focus to implement functional safety
into a product; others address the
development process itself and can
therefore be seen as process
requirements in order to demonstrate an
organization’s capability with respect to
functional safety.
ISO 26262 addresses identified,
unreasonable safety risks arising from
electrical and electronic failures. The
framework is intended to be applied to
safety-related systems that include one
or more E/E systems that are installed in
production road vehicles, excluding
mopeds. ISO 26262 seeks to avoid
failures associated with electronics
systems—including those related to
software programming, intermittent
electronic hardware faults, and
electromagnetic disturbances—and
mitigate the impact of potential
equipment faults during operation.44 In
addition to addressing fault conditions,
it contains hazard analysis and risk
assessment provisions, design,
verification and validation (V&V)
requirements, and safety management
guidance.
ISO 26262 seeks to ensure systems
have the capability to mitigate failure
risk sufficiently for identified hazards.
The needed amount of mitigation
depends upon the severity of a potential
loss event, operational exposure to
hazards, and human driver
controllability of the system when
failure occurs. These factors combine
into an Automotive Safety Integrity
Level (ASIL) per a predetermined risk
https://www.nap.edu/catalog/13342/trb-specialreport-308-the-safety-challenge-and-promise-ofautomotive-electronics and https://www.omg.org/
hot-topics/documents/Safety-Promise-andChallenge-of-Automotive-Electronics-TRB-2012.pdf.
42 Functional safety is the absence of risk caused
by a system malfunction typically involving an
electronic control system.
43 See https://www.iso.org/standard/68383.html.
44 Van Eikema Hommes, Q.D. (2016, June).
Assessment of safety standards for automotive
electronic control systems. (Report No. DOT HS 812
285). Washington, DC: National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration, available at https://
www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.dot.gov/files/812285_
electronicsreliabilityreport.pdf.
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table. The assigned ASIL for a function
determines which technical and process
mitigations should be applied,
including specified design and analysis
tasks that must be performed.45
2. Safety of the Intended Functionality
The safety of ADS is also linked to
other factors such as conceivable human
misuse of the function, performance
limitations of sensors or systems, and
unanticipated changes in the vehicle’s
environment.46
Safety of the Intended Functionality
(SOTIF) attempts to prevent
insufficiencies of the intended
functionality or reasonably foreseeable
misuse by persons. ISO 21448 is a safety
standard for driver assistance functions
that could fail to operate properly even
if no equipment fault is present. SOTIF
does not apply to faults covered by the
ISO 26262 series or to hazards directly
caused by the system technology (e.g.,
eye damage from a laser sensor). Rather,
SOTIF works in tandem with ISO 26262
to help a manufacturer assess and
mitigate a variety of risks during the
development process, with ISO 26262
focusing on mitigating failure risk and
ISO 21448 mitigating foreseeable system
misuse.
ISO 21448 is intended to be applied
to intended functionality where proper
situational awareness is critical to
safety, and where that situational
awareness is derived from complex
sensors and processing algorithms;
especially emergency intervention
systems (e.g., active safety braking
systems) and Advanced Driver
Assistance Systems (ADAS) with SAE
driving automation Levels 1 and 2 on
the SAE standard J3016 automation
scales. Per SAE International, the
standard can be considered for higher
levels of automation, though additional
measures might be necessary.47
ISO 21448 primarily considers
mitigating risks due to unexpected
operating conditions (the intended
function might not always work in such
conditions due to limitations of sensors
and algorithms) and gaps in
requirements (lack of complete
description about the actual intended
function). Highlights of this standard
include covering:
• Insufficient situational awareness;
• Foreseeable misuse and humanmachine interaction issues;
45 Id.
46 Peters Els, Rethinking Autonomous Vehicle
Functional Safety Standards: An Analysis of SOTIF
and ISO 26262, March 25, 2019, available at https://
www.automotive-iq.com/autonomous-drive/
articles/rethinking-autonomous-vehicle-functionalsafety-standards-an-analysis-of-sotif-and-iso-26262.
47 See https://www.iso.org/standard/70939.html.
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• Issues arising from operational
environment (weather, infrastructure,
etc.);
• Identifying and filling requirement
gaps (removing ‘‘unknowns’’); and
• Enumerating operational
scenarios.48
3. UL 4600
UL has developed ‘‘UL 4600:
Standard for Safety for the Evaluation of
Autonomous Products,’’ a draft
voluntary industry standard that states
to take a safety case approach to
ensuring the safety of ADS.49 The
published safety case approach includes
three primary elements: Goals,
argumentation, and evidence; each of
which is stated to support the previous
element to build an overarching safety
case. The expressed goals are stated to
be the same as ADS-related safety goals
that an organization would be trying to
achieve. The argumentation is claimed
to describe the organization’s analysis
for why it thinks the system has met
that goal. Finally, evidence is what the
organization would consider to be
sufficient to show that its arguments are
reasonable and support the
organization’s assertion that it has met
its safety goal.50 Preliminary versions of
the document were released in 2019,
and UL released its most recent version
of UL 4600 on April 1, 2020.51 Like ISO
26262 and 21448, UL 4600 is a processfocused standard that is intended for
use by the manufacturers in developing
ADS. However, unlike those ISO
standards, UL 4600 was developed
primarily for ADS.52
With the descriptions of Functional
Safety, SOTIF, and UL 4600 as
background, NHTSA is considering how
it might make use of these process
standards in the context of developing
a new framework concerning ADS,
based either in regulation or providing
guidance. Traditional FMVSS may not
be suitable for addressing certain critical
safety issues relating to aspects of the
core safety functions of perception,
planning, and control. NHTSA requests
comment on the specific ways in which
Functional Safety, SOTIF, and/or UL
4600 could be adopted, either modified
or as-is, into a mechanism that NHTSA
48 Philip Koopman, et al, A Safety Standard
Approach for Fully Autonomous Vehicles.
49 See https://edge-case-research.com/ul4600/.
50 Philip Koopman, An Overview of Draft UL
4600: ‘‘Standard for Safety for the Evaluation of
Autonomous Products,’’ June 20, 2019, available at
https://medium.com/@pr_97195/an-overview-ofdraft-ul-4600-standard-for-safety-for-theevaluation-of-autonomous-products-a50083762591.
51 See https://www.shopulstandards.com/
ProductDetail.aspx?productid=UL4600.
52 See https://www.eetimes.com/safe-autonomyul-4600-and-how-it-grew/#.
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could use to consider the minimum
performance of an ADS or a minimum
risk threshold an ADS must meet within
the context of Vehicle Safety Act
requirements.
IV. Safety Framework—Administrative
Mechanisms for Implementation and
Oversight
This section describes a variety of
mechanisms that could be used,
singularly or in combination, to
implement the elements of a safety
framework.53 The possibility that
multiple mechanisms might ultimately
be used does not mean that they could
or would need to be implemented in the
same timeframe. While some
mechanisms could be implemented in
the near term, others would need to be
developed through additional research
and then validated before they could be
implemented. Thus, the mechanisms
could be adopted and implemented, if
and when needed, in a prioritized and
phased manner.54 Implementation of
some types of mechanisms might rarely
be necessary, while others may be
temporary until different mechanisms
would take their place.
The array of available mechanisms
roughly falls into either of two
categories: (1) Voluntary mechanisms
for monitoring, influencing and/or
encouraging greater care; and (2)
regulatory mechanisms. The former
group includes voluntary disclosure, the
New Car Assessment Program, and
guidance. The latter group includes
FMVSS and any other compulsory
requirements.
A. Voluntary Mechanisms
NHTSA can establish various
mechanisms to gather or generate
information about:
• How developers are analyzing the
safety of their ADS;
• how developers are identifying
potential safety risks of those systems;
and
• what methods developers are
choosing to mitigate those risks.
This information could: (1) Enable the
Agency to take proactive actions to
encourage the development of
innovative technologies in a manner
that allows them to reach their full
safety potential; (2) help the Agency
53 The Agency notes that while some of the
mechanisms described in this document could be
implemented through rulemaking pursuant to the
Vehicle Safety Act, others are more suited to take
the form of guidance.
54 A phased approach is how the Agency is also
modernizing the FMVSS for ADS-equipped vehicles
without traditional manual controls, and may be the
more expedient way to make progress while
continuing necessary research and other work in
the background.
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avoid taking action that hampers safety
innovation or otherwise adversely affect
safety; and (3) support the Agency’s
existing programs by helping the
Agency become more responsive to new
technologies. To the extent ADS
developers make such information
available to the Agency and the public,
competing developers may be
encouraged to place greater emphasis on
safety and improve transparency on
their efforts in that regard.
1. Safety Self-Assessment and Other
Disclosure/Reporting
Demonstrating the safety of ADS is
critical for facilitating public confidence
and acceptance, which may lead to
increased adoption of the technology.
Entities involved in the development
and deployment of automation
technology have an important role in
their responsibilities for safety
assurance of ADS-equipped vehicles
and in providing transparency about
their systems are achieving safety.
ADS 2.0 provided guidance to
stakeholders regarding the safe design,
testing, and deployment of ADS. This
document identified 12 safety elements
that ADS developers should consider
when developing and testing their
technologies.55 ADS 2.0 also introduced
the concept of a Voluntary Safety SelfAssessment (VSSA), which is intended
to encourage developers to demonstrate
to the public that they are: Considering
the safety aspects of an ADS;
communicating and collaborating with
the U.S. DOT; encouraging the selfestablishment of industry safety norms;
and building public trust, acceptance,
and confidence through transparent
testing and deployment of ADS.56
Entities were encouraged to
demonstrate how they address the
safety elements contained in A Vision
for Safety by publishing a VSSA on their
websites. NHTSA believes that VSSAs
are an important tool for companies to
showcase their approach to safety
without needing to reveal proprietary
intellectual property. The Agency hopes
that VSSAs show the public that how
these companies are addressing safety
and how safety considerations are built
into the design and manufacture of
ADS-equipped vehicles that are tested
on public roadways. As of June 2020, 23
developers and automakers have
published VSSAs, which represents a
significant portion of the industry.
Another voluntary reporting
mechanism aimed at transparency is
NHTSA’s AV TEST Initiative, which
involves both a series of events
55 Id.,
pp. 5–15.
56 Id., p. 16
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throughout the country where NHTSA,
State and local governments,
automakers, and ADS developers share
information about activities. AV TEST is
also expected to result in a website for
companies to share information with the
public about their vehicles, including
details of on-road testing.
One type of administrative
mechanism under consideration is to
use guidance to encourage the
development of a safety case by
manufacturers. As used in this
document, a safety case is ‘‘a structured
argument, supported by a body of
evidence that provides a compelling,
comprehensible, and valid case that a
system is safe for a given application in
a given operating environment.’’ 57 For
NHTSA’s purposes, ‘‘valid’’ as used in
this context means ‘‘verifiable.’’ Such an
administrative mechanism might be
implementable more quickly than other
mechanisms and could allow vehicle
and equipment manufacturers flexibility
in documenting the competence of their
ADS in performing sensing, perception,
planning, and control of its intended
functions. It may be possible, within the
limits of administrative feasibility, to
tailor some aspects of these
demonstrations to a vehicle’s design
purpose and intended scope of
operation. Another, more extensive,
means of increasing transparency of
how a company developed its ADS
would be for the developer to disclose
(e.g., to NHTSA and/or the public) some
or all its safety case. This disclosure
would provide the results of applying
the company’s own stated performance
metrics, metric thresholds, and test
procedures, and how those results
justify its belief that its vehicle is
functionally and operationally capable
of performing each of the core elements
of ADS safety performance.58
57 As used in this document, the term ‘‘safety
case’’ has the same meaning as that term is used by
Philip Koopman, Aaron Kane, and Jen Black in
their paper, Credible Autonomy Safety
Argumentation, 2019. The article is available at
https://users.ece.cmu.edu/∼koopman/pubs/
Koopman19_SSS_CredibleSafetyArgumentation
.pdf. See also Philip Koopman, ‘‘How to keep selfdriving cars safe when no one is watching for
dashboard warning lights,’’ The Hill, June 30, 2018,
available at https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/
394945-how-to-keep-self-driving-cars-safe-when-noone-is-watching-for-dashboard.
58 See, e.g., Koopman, Philip, ‘‘How to keep selfdriving cars safe when no one is watching for
dashboard warning lights,’’ June 30, 2018. Available
at https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/394945how-to-keep-self-driving-cars-safe-when-no-one-iswatching-for-dashboard. See also Bryant Walker
Smith, Regulation and the Risk of Inaction in
Autonomous Driving: Technical Legal and Social
Aspects, at 571–587, (Markus Maurer, J. Christian
Gerdes, Barbara Lenz, and Hermann Winner,
editors, 2016), available at https://
link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-3662-48847-8.pdf.
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2. New Car Assessment Program (NCAP)
Short of setting a safety standard, an
ADS competency evaluation could be
added in NCAP. While an FMVSS
obstacle-course performance test,
standing alone, would likely be
inadequate to evaluate ADS
competence, such a test might form a
useful foundation for consumer
information under the NCAP program.
This evaluation could be developed and
used to measure the relative
performance of an ADS in navigating a
variable environment (within
established operational ranges) and
complex set of interactions with
stimulus road users (e.g., dummy
vehicles, pedestrians, and cyclists) on a
course, with note made of variances in
the manner in which the course was
completed. All ADS-equipped vehicles
could be expected to avoid collisions
(including avoiding causing collisions),
while adhering to a driving model that
minimizes the risks of getting into
crash-imminent situations and
observing operational limitations, such
as limits on rates of acceleration and
deceleration and limits on absolute
speed. Additionally, operational data
relating to crash avoidance performance,
as well as ‘‘nominal’’ driving behaviors
(e.g., lane-keeping ability), could be
collected during ‘‘on-road driving’’ and
could be used to contribute to an overall
safety performance assessment method.
Relatedly, an NCAP program could
provide comparative data on the
occupant protection afforded by ADS
vehicles.
The information NCAP provides
empowers consumers to compare the
relative safety of new vehicles and to
make informed vehicle-purchasing
decisions. This information has
encouraged automakers to compete
based upon improving safety—
encouraging safety advancements and
swift adoption of performance
improvements that improve the safety of
motor vehicles. For example, with the
inclusion of static and dynamic rollover
prevention tests into the NCAP program
in 2001 and 2003, NHTSA encouraged
the advancement and further
deployment of safety improving
technologies—notably electronic
stability control—to prevent rollover
crashes. This deployment took place
more than 10 years before a FMVSS for
electronic stability control went into
effect.59 In part because of the market
demand triggered by that
encouragement, 29 percent of MY 2006
vehicles already had ESC voluntarily
59 While the NPRM for the creation of FMVSS No.
126 was issued in 2006, the new standard did not
apply until MY 2012.
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installed. NCAP’s power to provide
safety-relevant information to
consumers, thus driving consumer
demand for safety improvements in the
market, could similarly be harnessed
and applied to ADS performance.
3. Operational Guidance
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At the current stage in the
development of the technologies needed
for wide-scale deployment of ADS, the
specific areas for which regulatory
intervention might be most needed
remain uncertain and the appropriate
regulatory performance metrics and
safety thresholds remain unknown. The
Department has therefore sought to
enhance safety through voluntary
guidance, instead of mandatory
requirements. The Agency is requesting
comment on whether developing further
guidance on engineering and process
measures remains the most appropriate
approach.60
To ensure due process and
appropriate consideration of views of
stakeholders and the general public in
the development of guidance, certain
guidance documents are subject to
public comment—in accordance with
Department of Transportation
Regulations on Guidance Documents 61
and Executive Order 13891.62 That said,
guidance documents, as they simply
recommend rather than require actions
by regulated entities, are more
appropriate at this early stage in the
development of ADS and ADS-equipped
vehicles, reserving mandatory
requirements for when the technology is
sufficiently mature and actual safety
needs have been more clearly identified.
Guidance documents also provide the
agency greater flexibility in making
recommendations, as they do not need
to meet the strict requirements that
FMVSS must meet and are generally
easier to adopt and modify than
mandatory requirements issued in a
FMVSS. The Agency, therefore, would
likely be able to develop and update
these guidance documents more
quickly, and design them to be more
reflective of consensus industry
60 This approach has been recognized by WP 29.
See https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trans/
doc/2019/wp29/ECE-TRANS-WP29-2019-34rev.1e.pdf. With respect to engineering measures,
the development of guidance is often based upon
much of the same work that would lead to the
development of industry standards, i.e., the
development and validation of performance
metrics, performance thresholds, and test
procedures.
61 49 CFR 5.25, et seq.
62 Executive Order 13891, ‘‘Promoting the Rule of
Law Through Improved Agency Guidance
Documents’’ Oct. 9, 2019.
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standards and practices as they continue
to develop.
Issuing guidance, working with States
and developers to deepen
communications, identifying for
manufacturers critical safety aspects
generally applicable to ADS, and
exercising safety oversight using
NHTSA’s existing broad enforcement
authorities 63 have, for the most part,
been NHTSA’s approaches to the
development of ADS thus far. NHTSA
expects that these will continue to be
the Agency’s approaches to ADS for the
foreseeable future while it conducts the
research necessary to develop
meaningful performance tests and
metrics and while it closely monitors
changes occurring in the private
development of ADS and business
models that surround the technology.
B. Regulatory Mechanisms
That said, the Agency believes that, at
some point, regulation of the ADS will
likely be necessary and is exploring
ways it could appropriately regulate
ADS, being mindful of the need to avoid
creating unnecessary barriers to
innovation or unintended safety risks.
As discussed above, many stakeholders
are already exploring a variety of
approaches to assessing ADS
performance and measuring ADS safety.
The following explores what regulatory
mechanisms the Agency is currently
using and how future approaches might
be incorporated into the FMVSS, either
separately or together and in
conjunction with non-regulatory
mechanisms.
1. Mandatory Reporting and/or
Disclosure
In addition to the voluntary reporting/
disclosure activities discussed in the
previous section, NHTSA has also taken
steps to require the disclosure and
reporting of certain information in the
context of exemptions. NHTSA recently
conditioned the Agency’s grant of a
petition for temporary exemption on a
set of terms that include mandatory
reporting of information on the
operation of the vehicles equipped with
ADS.64 The petition for exemption was
63 NHTSA has broad investigatory and
enforcement authority relating to motor vehicle
safety. While NHTSA can order a recall for FMVSS
non-compliance, it can also order a recall when it
learns of a defect in the design, construction, or
performance of a vehicle or item of equipment that
poses an unreasonable risk to motor vehicle safety
that increases the likelihood of a crash occurring or
increases the likelihood of injury or death should
a crash occur. In fact, the vast majority of recalls
are issued for safety related defects that having
nothing to do with FMVSS.
64 85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11, 2020), available at https://
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from Nuro, Inc. for a low-speed (25 mph
maximum), electric-powered
occupantless delivery vehicle that will
be operated by an ADS.65 In NHTSA’s
notice granting the petition for
exemption, the Agency stated: ‘‘NHTSA
has determined that it is in the public
interest to establish a number of
reporting and other terms of deployment
of the vehicles that will apply
throughout the useful life of these
vehicles—violation of which can result
in the termination of this exemption.’’ 66
The terms include post-crash reporting,
periodic reporting, cybersecurity, and
other general requirements.67
NHTSA also maintains a process for
the temporary importation of
noncompliant vehicles into the Unites
States for research, demonstration,
testing, and other purposes.68 For
entities other than manufacturers of
certified motor vehicles, approval of a
temporary exemption comes in the form
of written permission from NHTSA that
the importer may import the
noncompliant vehicle.69 When NHTSA
began receiving requests for exemptions
to import ADS-equipped vehicles for
research and demonstration purposes,
NHTSA determined that additional
requirements were necessary to exercise
oversight and monitor the safety of the
exempt vehicles’ operations. NHTSA
may condition approval for importation
of a noncompliant vehicle on specific
terms and conditions.70 Similar to the
terms that accompany a grant of a
petition for exemption, the terms that
importers are required to meet depend
upon the information included in the
petition, and are generally established to
mitigate risks. Many of the terms
required of Nuro have also been
required for importers who have
received permission to import a noncompliant ADS-equipped vehicle. Some
examples of additional terms and
conditions added to permission letters
for vehicles equipped with ADS
include: requiring that the
noncompliant vehicle be used only in
the ways described in the application;
annual reporting on the status of all
vehicles granted temporary exemptions;
disengagement reporting; and reporting
incidents of near misses, situations in
which the trained operator acted to
avoid an imminent crash, deviations
2020-02668/nuro-inc-grant-of-temporaryexemption-for-a-low-speed-vehicle-with-anautomated-driving-system.
65 Id.
66 Id., p. 7827.
67 Id., p., 7840.
68 49 U.S.C. 30114; 49 CFR part 591.
69 49 U.S.C. 30114; 49 CFR part 591.
70 49 CFR 591.6(f)(2).
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from the prescribed route, and
unexpected lane departures.
2. NHTSA’s FMVSS Setting Authority
NHTSA has broad jurisdiction over
motor vehicle safety pursuant to the
Safety Act (49 U.S.C. Chapter 301), the
purpose of which is ‘‘to reduce traffic
accidents and deaths and injuries
resulting from traffic accidents.’’ The
Safety Act defines ‘‘motor vehicle
safety’’ as inclusive of both operational
and nonoperational safety. Specifically,
‘‘‘motor vehicle safety’ means the
performance of a motor vehicle or motor
vehicle equipment in a way that
protects the public against unreasonable
risk of accidents occurring because of
the design, construction, or performance
of a motor vehicle, and against
unreasonable risk of death or injury in
an accident, and includes
nonoperational safety of a motor
vehicle.’’ 71
The Safety Act authorizes the
issuance of FMVSS for motor vehicles
and motor vehicle equipment and the
recall and remedy of motor vehicles and
equipment failing to comply with a
FMVSS or containing a defect that poses
an unreasonable risk to safety. The
FMVSS are intended to be uniform
national standards so that compliant
vehicles can be sold throughout the
United States.72
Among the products that fall within
the scope of this authority are all
vehicle systems and their parts and
components. Modern computercontrolled electronic systems, like
object detection and identification
systems needed to protect vulnerable
road users, automatic emergency
braking systems, and air bag systems,
are composed of hardware and software
components, both of which are
necessary to the functioning of those
systems. Without their software
components, computer-controlled
electronic systems are merely nonfunctional assemblages of hardware
components, incapable of protecting
anyone. NHTSA has used its authority
to specify how and when the hardware
components of complex electronic
systems, such as advanced air bags and
anti-lock braking systems, must activate
and perform. This performance-oriented
approach gives manufacturers freedom
to develop the software components
needed to control the performance of
each system’s hardware components.
NHTSA has also repeatedly exercised its
authority over software when the
software components of the
71 49
U.S.C. 30102(a)(9).
Safety Equipment Institute vs. Kane, 466
F. Supp. 1242, 1250 (M.D.Pa.1979).
72 Truck
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computerized electronic systems of
motor vehicles have been determined to
contain a safety defect and thus become
the subject of a recall campaign.73
The Safety Act defines ‘‘motor vehicle
safety standard’’ as ‘‘a minimum
standard for motor vehicle or motor
vehicle equipment performance.’’ 74
This definition contemplates that each
FMVSS (1) regulates one or more
identified aspects of vehicle or
equipment performance, and (2)
specifies a minimum threshold for each
of those aspects of performance (i.e., a
required level of that aspect of
performance that regulated products
must at least equal to protect against
unreasonable risk of crashes or
unreasonable risk of death or injury in
a crash). Such a threshold serves as a
clear separation of compliant from
noncompliant products. In the event of
noncompliance, the threshold also aids
NHTSA in determining the nature and
extent of the needed remedy and in
determining the seriousness of the
noncompliance, which, in turn, is
relevant in determining the appropriate
amount of any civil penalty. Specifying
minimum levels of safety performance
in a standard also enables the Agency to
estimate the benefits and the costs of
complying with a standard and
determine what level of stringency
maximizes net benefits, as contemplated
by Executive Order 12866 75 and
Department of Transportation
regulations.76
In addition, each FMVSS must be
objective and practicable.77 The Sixth
Circuit has held that the FMVSS
objectivity requirement means that
compliance with an FMVSS standard
must be susceptible to objective
measurements, which are capable of
repetition.78 Each FMVSS must also be
reasonable, practicable, and appropriate
for each type of vehicle to which it
applies.79 In the interest of
transparency, and as a matter of due
process, each FMVSS must also give
reasonable notice of what performance
is required and how compliance will be
determined.80
NHTSA has broad authority to issue
FMVSS. ‘‘[T]he Agency is empowered to
issue safety standards which require
improvements in existing technology or
which require the development of new
technology, and it is not limited to
issuing standards based solely on
devices already fully developed.’’ 81
However, NHTSA has learned from
previous experiences that establishing
FMVSS prior to technology readiness
can lead to adverse safety consequences.
Motor vehicles are extraordinarily
complicated machines that are massive
and move at very high speeds. When
setting a performance standard not
appropriately grounded in the
capabilities of technologies employed to
meet the standard, unexpected
consequences can result. For instance,
one of the foundational court decisions
regarding FMVSS involved the Agency’s
73 See Addendum B for a list of examples of
software-related recalls.
74 49 U.S.C. 30102(a)(9) (emphasis added).
75 Available at https://www.archives.gov/files/
federal-register/executive-orders/pdf/12866.pdf.
76 49 CFR 5.5. This regulation requires the
following when developing or issuing regulations,
including regulations to establish FMVSS:
(a) There should be no more regulations than
necessary. In considering whether to propose a new
regulation, policy makers should consider whether
the specific problem to be addressed requires
agency action, whether existing rules (including
standards incorporated by reference) have created
or contributed to the problem and should be revised
or eliminated, and whether any other reasonable
alternatives exist that obviate the need for a new
regulation.
(b) All regulations must be supported by statutory
authority and consistent with the Constitution.
(c) Where they rest on scientific, technical,
economic, or other specialized factual information,
regulations should be supported by the best
available evidence and data.
(d) Regulations should be written in plain
English, should be straightforward, and should be
clear.
(e) Regulations should be technologically neutral,
and, to the extent feasible, they should specify
performance objectives, rather than prescribing
specific conduct that regulated entities must adopt.
(f) Regulations should be designed to minimize
burdens and reduce barriers to market entry
whenever possible, consistent with the effective
promotion of safety. Where they impose burdens,
regulations should be narrowly tailored to address
identified market failures or specific statutory
mandates.
(g) Unless required by law or compelling safety
need, regulations should not be issued unless their
benefits are expected to exceed their costs. For each
new significant regulation issued, agencies must
identify at least two existing regulatory burdens to
be revoked.
(h) Once issued, regulations and other agency
actions should be reviewed periodically and revised
to ensure that they continue to meet the needs they
were designed to address and remain cost-effective
and cost-justified.
(i) Full public participation should be encouraged
in rulemaking actions, primarily through written
comment and engagement in public meetings.
Public participation in the rulemaking process
should be conducted and documented, as
appropriate, to ensure that the public is given
adequate knowledge of substantive information
relied upon in the rulemaking process.
(j) The process for issuing a rule should be
sensitive to the economic impact of the rule; thus,
the promulgation of rules that are expected to
impose greater economic costs should be
accompanied by additional procedural protections
and avenues for public participation.
77 49 U.S.C. 30111(a).
78 See Chrysler Corp. v. Dep’t of Transp., 472 F.2d
659, 675–76 (6th Cir. 1972) (citing House Report
1776, 89th Cong. 2d Sess.1966, p. 16).
79 49 U.S.C. 30111(b)(3).
80 See United States v. Chrysler Corp. 158 F.3d
1350, 1354 (D.C. Cir. 1972).
81 Chrysler Corp. v. Dep’t of Transp., 472 F.2d
659, 673 (6th Cir. 1972).
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establishment of braking standards for
air brake-equipped trucks, tractortrailers, and buses—mandating stopping
distances far shorter than achieved in
large trucks that were built at the time.82
The stopping distance requirements
required the entire industry to design
completely new braking systems. The
Agency was aware that the shorter
stopping distances would increase the
likelihood of wheel lock-up, so the
standard also required that the stops be
made without wheel lock-up—which
effectively (although not explicitly)
required manufacturers to develop and
install antilock computers on each axle.
These antilock devices proved
unreliable,83 and, combined with the
more-powerful newly designed braking
systems, resulted in increased risk of
loss of control resulting from wheel
lock-up. Further, the susceptibility of
early sensors to outside interferences
resulted in circumstances where some
trucks lost the use of brakes entirely. In
invalidating requirements under the
standard, the Court of Appeals for the
Ninth Circuit found that ‘‘because of
unforeseen problems in the
development of the new braking
systems, the Standard was neither
reasonable nor practicable at the time it
was put into effect.’’ 84 The Court also
explained that NHTSA must ‘‘ascertain,
with all reasonable probability, that its
safety regulations do not produce a
more dangerous highway environment
than that which existed prior to
governmental intervention.’’ 85
Given the rapidly evolving state of
ADS technology, NHTSA is taking care
that its actions do not result in
unforeseen problems in the
development or deployment of ADS.
Establishing FMVSS prior to technology
readiness hampers safety-improving
innovation by diverting developmental
resources toward meeting a specific
standard. Such a regulatory approach
could unnecessarily result in the
Agency establishing metrics and
standards without a complete
understanding of the technology or
safety implications and result in
unintended consequences, including
loss of potential benefits that could have
been attained absent government
intervention, a false sense of security, or
even inadvertently creating additional
risk by mandating an approach whose
effects had not been known because
82 Paccar, Inc. v. Nat’l Highway Traffic Safety
Admin., 573 F.2d 632 (9th Cir. 1978)
83 Failure rates well over 50% were reported. Id.
at 642
84 Id. at 640.
85 Id. at 643.
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regulation halted the technology at too
early a stage in its development.
NHTSA has typically used its FMVSS
authority either to mandate the
installation of a proven technology by
way of performance standards to
address a safety need and subject the
technology to minimum performance
requirements, or to regulate voluntarily
installed technology by subjecting the
technology to minimum performance
safety requirements. In most instances,
when NHTSA has mandated the
installation of a technology by way of
performance standards, it has not done
so until the technology is fully
developed and mature, so that all buyers
of new vehicles have the protection of
that technology. An example of this
practice is Electronic Stability Control
(ESC). ESC development for passenger
cars began in the late 1980s, and three
manufacturers voluntarily installed the
systems on some of their vehicles by
1995.86 After NHTSA evaluated real
word data and realized the beneficial
effect of ESC in preventing crashes,
NHTSA undertook a rulemaking to
establish FMVSS No. 126, ‘‘Electronic
stability control systems for light
vehicles.’’ By the time a proposal was
issued for FMVSS No. 126, 29 percent
of MY 2006 vehicles sold in the U.S.
were already voluntarily equipped with
ESC.87 Given the profound benefits of
ESC, NHTSA’s rulemaking impelled the
expedited installation of ESC in the
vehicle fleet. While this has been a
common practice, of establishing
performance standards and mandating
that certain vehicles be equipped with
a system that meets those performance
requirements, it is too soon to tell if this
will be the best path forward for ADS.
Furthermore, there are notable
instances in which NHTSA has
regulated voluntarily installed
technologies by simply establishing
minimum safety performance
requirements, as opposed to mandating
the installation of a technology, include
when the Agency anticipated the
introduction of electric and compressed
natural gas vehicles and fuel systems,
and issued standards to guard against
risks of electric shock and explosion.
Also, existing classes of vehicles (e.g.,
passenger cars, trucks, buses,
motorcycles, and low speed vehicles)
subject to the existing FMVSS are based
largely on observable physical features
(e.g., number of designated seating
positions) or objectively measurable
specifications (e.g., gross vehicle weight
rating) or performance (e.g., top
86 https://knowhow.napaonline.com/electronicstability-control-a-short-history/.
87 Id.
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speed).88 As a result, determining which
class a vehicle falls into involves a
relatively simple, quick, and objective
process.
Developers of ADS are taking a variety
of approaches to the vehicles that utilize
their systems. Some are testing their
systems in fully FMVSS-compliant
vehicles, others are exploring alternative
vehicle designs that would not comply
with some or even all of the current
FMVSS, and even others are simply
developing the ADS without a particular
vehicle type in mind—something that
could be retrofit into an existing vehicle,
or a system that could be sold to
automakers. NHTSA expects that
existing vehicle classes will remain
relevant for many purposes. Yet, new
classes of vehicles may emerge as
companies begin to consider all the
possible uses and business models
available for their systems. The need to
define any new class in the context of
the FMVSS has not been determined.
3. Applying the Established FMVSS
Framework to ADS Safety Principles
NHTSA believes that the critical
relationship between the safety of an
ADS’s design and the vehicle’s decisionmaking system makes it necessary to
evaluate the safety of ADS performance
considering appropriate and welldefined ODD (for any system below
Level 5). For example, if an ADS is
capable of only operating at speeds
below 30 miles per hour (mph), it is
reasonable and necessary to assess the
system at speeds below 30 mph. NHTSA
might also consider whether it would be
appropriate to require that the vehicle
be designed so that it cannot operate
automatically at speeds of 30 mph or
more unless and until it acquires the
capability (e.g., through software
updates) of safely operating
automatically above that speed.
Similarly, if a vehicle would become
incapable of operating safely if one or
more of its sensors became nonfunctional, NHTSA might consider
whether it would be appropriate to
require that the vehicle be designed so
that it can detect those problems and
either cease to operate automatically in
a safe manner in those circumstances (in
the case of a vehicle designed to operate
either manually or automatically) or
operate automatically in a reduced or
‘‘limp home’’ manner only.
State and local authorities also play
critical roles in roadway safety. Through
establishing and enforcing their rules of
the road, these authorities have
traditionally controlled such operational
matters as the speed at which vehicles
may be driven and the condition of
certain types of safety equipment, such
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as headlamps and taillamps. In the
future, it is reasonable to expect that
such authorities may establish new
rules of the road to address ADSequipped vehicles specifically. NHTSA
could require that ADS be designed
such that they must follow all
applicable traffic laws in the areas of
operation, thereby supporting State and
local efforts to ensure their traffic laws
are observed. That said, NHTSA expects
that the States and localities would
enforce those rules if broken, just as
they would today.
4. Reforming How NHTSA Drafts New
FMVSS To Keep Pace With Rapidly
Evolving Technology
As the functions and capabilities of
modern motor vehicles are increasingly
defined and controlled by software,
vehicles will likely continue to change
and improve through software updates
that occur during the lifetime of the
vehicle. Likewise, the more quickly
vehicle systems can change, the greater
the risk that the current regulatory
requirements may unnecessarily
interfere with innovation, and that the
slow pace of the regulatory process to
address unnecessary barriers may delay
the introduction of new safety
improvements.
The nature and requirements of the
rulemaking process may challenge the
Agency’s efforts to amend existing
FMVSS and develop, validate, and
establish new FMVSS quickly enough to
enable the Agency to keep pace with the
expected rapid rate of technological
change. Some aspects of the process are
inherent and, thus, unavoidable, such as
the often lengthy period needed for
preparatory research to develop and
validate performance metrics and test
procedures and for the rulemaking
process to propose, take and consider
comment, and eventually adopt the
metrics and procedures.
There are, however, other aspects of
the process that are not only amenable
to reform, but that are also likely needed
to change for expedient application to
future technologies. Some portions of
the existing FMVSS might be seen as
overly specific, and insufficiently
technologically neutral. If a new
generation of safety standards and other
safety regulations is determined to be
needed for ADS, they might be written,
to the extent allowed by the law, so that
they do not have the effect of
inadvertently locking future ADS into
today’s hardware and software
technologies. A new generation of
performance requirements and test
procedures for ADS could be drafted
with a greater eye to enabling
continuing technological innovation to
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ensure that the new requirements do not
become unintended obstacles to the use
of new technologies. In other words, the
Agency should take care not to assume
that the specific technologies used in
today’s vehicles will be used in future
vehicle designs. Future standards—
particularly those that mandate vehicles
be equipped with a certain technology—
may be better approached by focusing
on objective vehicular functionality as
opposed to the performance of a specific
discrete system. A new generation of
FMVSS should give the manufacturers
of vehicles, sensors, software, and other
technologies needed for ADS sufficient
flexibility to change and improve
without the need for frequent
modifications to the regulations. Such
an approach may also benefit the safety
of future vehicles through more flexible
standards that focus more on the safety
outcome, rather the performance of any
specific technology.89
What may be needed, then, is a new
approach to structuring and drafting
standards that places greater reliance on
more general, but still objective,
specifications of the types and required
levels of performance.90
5. Examples of Regulatory Approaches
Below NHTSA provides some
examples of potential regulatory
approaches that the Agency could
consider including in a safety
framework. These examples are not
intended to propose any particular
approach. Instead, they highlight some
of the future approaches on which
NHTSA would like feedback.
a. FMVSS Requiring Obstacle CourseBased Validation in Variable Scenarios
and Conditions
A performance-oriented, outcomebased FMVSS could be developed along
one or more of the lines stated in ‘‘AV
3.0’’:
Performance-based safety standards could
require manufacturers to use test methods,
such as sophisticated obstacle-course-based
test regimes, sufficient to validate that their
ADS-equipped vehicles can reliably handle
the normal range of everyday driving
scenarios as well as unusual and
unpredictable scenarios. Standards could be
designed to account for factors such as
variations in weather, traffic, and roadway
89 NHTSA has always sought to draft the FMVSS
requirements broadly enough to permit use of both
current technologies and possible future systems,
but the rapid pace of development of ADS and other
advanced technologies makes this objective more
critical than ever.
90 This effort to initiate reform in the vehicle
safety program is at least comparable in scope to the
effort launched by the Agency in 2003 when it
issued an ANPRM to reform the Automobile Fuel
Economy Standards Program, 68 FR 74908 (Dec. 29,
2003).
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conditions within a given system’s ODD, as
well as sudden and unpredictable actions by
other road users. Test procedures could also
be developed to ensure that an ADS does not
operate outside of the ODD established by the
manufacturer. Standards could provide for a
range of potential behaviors—e.g., speed,
distance, angles, and size—for surrogate
vehicles, pedestrians, and other obstacles
that ADS-equipped vehicles would need to
detect and avoid.91 92
However, physical testing of ADS
functions through an obstacle course
with a wide range of potential scenarios
and conditions would not be without its
own limitations. While physical
obstacle course testing may be
appropriate and even necessary as part
of a future FMVSS regulating ADS
competency, such a test is likely not
sufficient to meet the need for safety in
and of itself. Testing an ADS is expected
to be different from the physical testing
considered sufficient for today’s
vehicles. No physical obstacle course
would come close to replicating the
infinite number of driving scenarios an
ADS would be expected to navigate
safely, nor the complexity of the driving
situations that ADS might encounter on
the roads.
The level of ADS competency
required to handle such diversity and
complexity is partly why ADSs are
developed using a variety of verification
and validation tools when exposing the
ADS to different scenarios during
development. ADS developers generally
use an iterative process that includes
simulations, closed-course testing, and
on-road testing during development and
demonstration to expose the ADS to as
many variables as reasonably possible,
while also transferring information from
each of those methods of testing back to
the others to help ensure each method
includes as many variables as possible.
Situations that occur during on-road
testing are important information for
developers to include in the simulations
used on ADS, and vice versa, with
scenarios from the simulations being
important to validate in the physical
world through on-road testing. Though
this iterative testing is normal for the
development process, it may also
indicate how challenging it might be for
an obstacle-course test administered by
a third party to include an adequate
number and type of scenarios to test
ADS competency, while also ensuring
91 Page 7. Available at https://
www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/
policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/320711/
preparing-future-transportation-automated-vehicle30.pdf.
92 For an example of requirements that might be
expressed as mathematical functions, see the
discussion of Mobileye’s RSS in section IV.C of this
document.
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that such a course would be objective
and practicable. While a standard
obstacle course test may provide a
baseline of performance, analogous to
current FMVSS that perform a subset of
specific crash tests, it cannot expose a
vehicle to the entire spectrum of field
crash scenarios.
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b. FMVSS Requiring Vehicles To Be
Programmed To Drive Defensively in a
Risk-Minimizing Manner in Any
Scenario Within Their ODD
An FMVSS might also require that the
planning and control functions of an
ADS be programmed to adhere to a
defensive driving model so as to
minimize the likelihood of getting into
a crash-imminent situation under any
scenario within its ODD—similar to the
driving policies and metrics described
in Mobileye’s RSS, NVIDIA’s Safety
Force Field, and NHTSA’s MPrISM
described previously. This could be
accompanied by an additional
requirement that the vehicle be capable
of automated operation within its ODD
only. The FMVSS could be
complemented by a requirement that
each vehicle manufacturer state in the
owner’s manual for each of its vehicles
equipped with ADS that it would be
unsafe for the vehicle to operate in
automated mode outside its ODD and
that the vehicle has therefore been
designed so that it cannot do so. Such
a statement could also include a
description of what behavior the vehicle
owner could expect in the circumstance
that an ADS exceeds the limits of its
ODD, such as the vehicle will pull over
in a safe location.93
While programming an ADS to adhere
to defensive driving models may help
lower the risk of crash, there are
additional ADS performance aspects
that NHTSA would need to consider.
Adherence to a defensive driving model
would be one potential requirement that
could mitigate some, but not all, safety
risks. Much would also depend on the
implementation of that defensive
driving model, and the efficacy of that
implementation.
c. FMVSS Drafted in a Highly
Performance-Oriented Manner
The traditional approach to standard
drafting is one where NHTSA specifies
the desired performance in great detail,
and may also include requirements to
lessen the likelihood and mitigate the
consequences of failure. For instance,
FMVSS No. 135 ‘‘Light vehicle brake
93 Importantly, even without standards in place to
regulate these aspects, NHTSA may consider the
ability of an ODD-constrained vehicle to operate
outside of its ODD as strong evidence of a safetyrelated defect.
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systems,’’ establishes performance
requirements for braking systems
functioning normally, and separate
requirements for when brake power
assist units are inoperative or depleted
of reserve capability. Applying this
approach to the myriad unique
combinations of technologies that may
be developed to perform the four critical
functions of an ADS could prove quite
challenging. For instance, the sensing
function of an ADS may be performed
by one or a combination of technologies
such as LiDAR, radar, cameras, GPS,
and V2X radios/antennae units. If the
available technologies that might be
used for sensing fail in distinctly
different ways, the approach the Agency
took in regulating light duty braking
might mean that any sensing standard
must include different requirements for
different technologies.94 The degree of
specificity required for such an
approach would necessitate successive
rulemaking proceedings to amend or
remove regulatory provisions as they are
obsoleted by technological change.
To avoid this problem, any FMVSS
that might be developed for ADS could
be drafted in a manner that minimizes
the chances of creating new barriers to
innovation. As the Department stated in
‘‘AV 3.0’’:
Future motor vehicle safety standards will
need to be more flexible and responsive,
technology-neutral, and performanceoriented to accommodate rapid technological
innovation. They may incorporate simpler
and more general requirements designed to
validate that an ADS can safely navigate the
real-world roadway environment, including
unpredictable hazards, obstacles, and
interactions with other vehicles and
pedestrians who may not always adhere to
the traffic laws or follow expected patterns of
behavior. Existing standards assume that a
vehicle may be driven anywhere, but future
standards will need to take into account that
the operational design domain (ODD) for a
particular ADS within a vehicle is likely to
be limited in some ways that may be unique
to that system.95
The likelihood of different ADS
having entirely different sensors,
systems, and even ODDs that are limited
in entirely different ways introduces
additional challenges to NHTSA’s
traditional approach to standard
94 It should be noted that if an FMVSS were to
include such requirements, the amount of time
needed to develop and adopt the standard would
likely be greater. Likewise, the need for periodic
rulemakings to keep the standard up-to-date and
avoid potentially adverse effects on the ability to
introduce new hardware and software would also
likely be greater.
95 Page 7. Available at https://
www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/
policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/320711/
preparing-future-transportation-automated-vehicle30.pdf.
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drafting. Generally, NHTSA establishes
standards meeting the need for safety in
applicable circumstances. When one
ADS can operate only in a discrete set
of conditions that varies almost entirely
from the discrete set of conditions in
which another ADS is capable of
operating, establishing objective
standards meeting the need for motor
vehicle safety for all ADS becomes that
much more challenging. Application of
one specific or one series of prescriptive
tests may not be feasible or practical for
that wide an array of technology and
operating limitations. Compounding
this difficulty is the fact that a given
ADS is likely to be updated over time—
and ODD limitations that apply to a
vehicle’s ADS at the time of certification
could be entirely different from the
same vehicle’s upgraded ODD
limitations years later.
D. Timing and Phasing of FMVSS
Development and Implementation
As described above, issuing
performance standards for ADS
competency has been and remains
premature because of the lack of
technological maturity and the
development work necessary to support
developing performance standards.
Since widespread deployment of ADS
vehicles appears to be years away,
NHTSA has the opportunity to decide
carefully and strategically which aspects
of ADS safety performance may require
the most attention. By taking this
deliberate approach, the Agency can
perform the research and validation
necessary to ensure that any standards
developed to regulate those aspects of
performance achieve their purpose
without limiting the ability of
manufacturers to develop and introduce
further safety improvements and
capabilities unnecessarily.
Also important to this discussion of
timing are the many challenges and
aspects that NHTSA must overcome to
implement some of the mechanisms
described in this document. First, it has
been NHTSA’s practice to purchase
vehicles independently to assess
baseline and/or countermeasure
performance when developing an
FMVSS. Given the lack of ADSequipped vehicles available for testing
or any other purposes, the Agency
would have difficulty verifying that a
new standard would achieve its
intended purpose without systems and
vehicles to test.96 In recognition of and
96 NHTSA notes that the issue of unavailability
for NHTSA testing could arise in other
circumstances with traditional vehicles that may
not be sold to the public. NHTSA independently
and anonymously purchases vehicles for testing
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in response to the difficulty, the Agency
would be required to explore alternative
avenues to validate the appropriateness
of a proposed test procedure.
Next, NHTSA expects a phased
approach to regulation of those aspects
of safety performance that may
necessitate regulation, given limited
agency resources and the constantly
evolving technology and business
models involved in ADS development.
NHTSA would need to phase its
responses in several ways. To avoid
implementing ineffective or
counterproductive measures, the
Agency would need to set priorities and
allocate its resources accordingly.
NHTSA has already begun the process
of providing oversight and guidance
(including encouraging disclosure and
highlighting key safety aspects the
Agency finds relevant for all ADS
developers), as described in previous
sections. Further, where appropriate,
the Agency has granted, and will
continue to consider granting,
exemptions from FMVSS to allow for
limited deployment or research of in a
manner that mitigates safety risk and
advances agency technical knowledge.
However, the question remains as to
what the Agency should prioritize next
in its goals of advancing the safety of
ADS. Certain mechanisms would permit
more expedited implementation, while
others would require much research.
Most of the mechanisms would face
some of the practical hurdles related to
the unavailability of ADS to test.
NHTSA seeks comment on what next
steps the Agency should take in the
regulation of ADS, the timing of those
steps, and whether any of the
abovementioned steps are required for
the development of an ADS-specific
FMVSS regime that achieves
appropriate standards for highway
safety while preserving incentives for
innovation and accommodating
improvements in technology.
E. Critical Factors Considered in
Designing, Assessing, and Selecting
Administrative Mechanisms
To aid commenters in providing
useful information to the Agency on the
array of administrative mechanisms
described above, NHTSA has set forth
below a variety of critical factors that
the Agency will weigh in exploring the
strengths and weaknesses of those
mechanisms.
• Consistent and Reliable Assurance
of Safety—To the extent that the
mechanisms provide flexibility in how
manufacturers demonstrate safety, there
and cannot do so if those vehicles are not being sold
to the public.
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should be criteria for assessing
objectively whether the methods of each
manufacturer should meet a common
standardized level of rigor, including
documentation, and a common
standardized minimum level of safety.
• Technology Neutrality/
Performance-Based—The Agency wants
to ensure that any mechanism it uses
does not pick winners and losers among
available and anticipated technologies.
By being highly performance or
outcome oriented, the mechanisms will
allow for innovation and minimize the
necessity of having to be amended to
permit the introduction of new
technologies. Any new standards and
regulations should be drafted, to the
extent possible, in performance-oriented
terms to give manufacturers broad
choices among available technologies
and flexibility to develop and introduce
new technologies without the need first
to seek amendments to those standards
or exemptions.
• Predictability—In developing
vehicles and ADS, manufacturers
should be able to anticipate what types
of performance outcomes they will need
to make to demonstrate the safety of
their products so that they can design
their products accordingly.
• Transparency—To build public
confidence and acceptance, the methods
used by manufacturers to demonstrate
the safety of their products should be
made known and explained to the
public.
• Efficiency—Given that there is
neither enough time nor resources for
the Agency to develop physical test
procedures for all conceivable driving
scenarios, an effort should be made to
determine which physical tests have the
greatest likelihood to minimize safety
risk in an effective manner.
• Equity—All manufacturers should
be treated fairly and equally in the
Agency’s assessing of the sufficiency of
their safety showings. To that end, the
mechanism(s) chosen by the Agency
should provide some means to validate
that each manufacturer’s demonstration
of safety meets or exceeds a common
level of rigor and comprehensiveness
and that each vehicle meets or exceeds
a common minimum level of safety.
• Consistent with Market-Based
Innovation—To ensure that innovation
is recognized and valued, governmental
actions should be consistent with
market-based innovation, and ensure
the Agency’s actions facilitate and do
not unnecessarily inhibit innovation to
the extent possible.
• Resource Requirements—Return
(measured in added safety) on
investment (e.g., efficient use of
available resources) is especially
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important in choosing mechanisms and
in deciding which of the core elements
of ADS safety performance the Agency
should prioritize in exercising its safety
oversight responsibilities.
V. Questions and Requests
A. Questions About a Safety Framework
• Question 1. Describe your
conception of a Federal safety
framework for ADS that encompasses
the process and engineering measures
described in this document and explain
your rationale for its design.
• Question 2. In consideration of
optimum use of NHTSA’s resources, on
which aspects of a manufacturer’s
comprehensive demonstration of the
safety of its ADS should the Agency
place a priority and focus its monitoring
and safety oversight efforts and why?
• Question 3. How would your
conception of such a framework ensure
that manufacturers assess and assure
each core element of safety effectively?
• Question 4. How would your
framework assist NHTSA in engaging
with ADS development in a manner that
helps address safety, but without
unnecessarily hampering innovation?
• Question 5. How could the Agency
best assess whether each manufacturer
had adequately demonstrated the extent
of its ADS’ ability to meet each
prioritized element of safety?
• Question 6. Do you agree or
disagree with the core elements (i.e.,
‘‘sensing,’’ ‘‘perception,’’ ‘‘planning’’
and ‘‘control’’) described in this
document? Please explain why.
• Question 7. Can you suggest any
other core element(s) that NHTSA
should consider in developing a safety
framework for ADS? Please provide the
basis of your suggestion.
• Question 8. At this early point in
the development of ADS, how should
NHTSA determine whether regulation is
actually needed versus theoretically
desirable? Can it be done effectively at
this early stage and would it yield a
safety outcome outweighing the
associated risk of delaying or distorting
paths of technological development in
ways that might result in forgone safety
benefits and/or increased costs?
• Question 9. If NHTSA were to
develop standards before an ADSequipped vehicle or an ADS that the
Agency could test is widely available,
how could NHTSA validate the
appropriateness of its standards? How
would such a standard impact future
ADS development and design? How
would such standards be consistent
with NHTSA’s legal obligations?
• Question 10. Which safety
standards would be considered the most
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effective as improving safety and
consumer confidence and should
therefore be given priority over other
possible standards? What about other
administrative mechanisms available to
NHTSA?
• Question 11. What rule-based and
statistical methodologies are best suited
for assessing the extent to which an
ADS meets the core functions of ADS
safety performance? Please explain the
basis for your answers. Rule-based
assessment involves the definition of a
comprehensive set of rules that define
precisely what it means to function
safely, and which vehicles can be
empirically tested against. Statistical
approaches track the performance of
vehicles over millions of miles of realworld operation and calculate their
probability of safe operation as an
extrapolation of their observed
frequency of safety violations. If there
are other types of methodologies that
would be suitable, please identify and
discuss them. Please explain the basis
for your answers.
• Question 12. What types and quanta
of evidence would be necessary for
reliable demonstrations of the level of
performance achieved for the core
elements of ADS safety performance?
• Question 13. What types and
amount of argumentation would be
necessary for reliable and persuasive
demonstrations of the level of
performance achieved for the core
functions of ADS safety performance?
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B. Question About NHTSA Research
• Question 14. What additional
research would best support the
creation of a safety framework? In what
sequence should the additional research
be conducted and why? What tools are
necessary to perform such research?
C. Questions About Administrative
Mechanisms
• Question 15. Discuss the
administrative mechanisms described in
this document in terms of how well they
meet the selection criteria in this
document.
• Question 16. Of the administrative
mechanisms described in this
document, which single mechanism or
combination of mechanisms would best
enable the Agency to carry out its safety
mission, and why? If you believe that
any of the mechanisms described in this
document should not be considered,
please explain why.
• Question 17. Which mechanisms
could be implemented in the near term
or are the easiest and quickest to
implement, and why?
• Question 18. Which mechanisms
might not be implementable until the
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mid or long term but might be a logical
next step to those mechanisms that
could be implemented in the near term,
and why?
• Question 19. What additional
mechanisms should be considered, and
why?
• Question 20. What are the pros and
cons of incorporating the elements of
the framework in new FMVSS or
alternative compliance pathways?
• Question 21. Should NHTSA
consider an alternative regulatory path,
with a parallel path for compliance
verification testing, that could allow for
flexible demonstrations of competence
with respect to the core functions of
ADS safety performance? If so, what are
the pros and cons of such alternative
regulatory path? What are the pros and
cons of an alternative pathway that
would allow a vehicle to comply with
either applicable FMVSS or with novel
demonstrations, or a combination of
both, as is appropriate for the vehicle
design and its intended operation?
Under what authority could such an
approach be developed?
D. Questions About Statutory Authority
• Question 22. Discuss how each
element of the framework would
interact with NHTSA’s rulemaking,
enforcement, and other authority under
the Vehicle Safety Act.
• Question 23. Discuss how each
element of the framework would
interact with Department of
Transportation Rules concerning
rulemaking, enforcement, and guidance.
• Question 25. If you believe that any
of the administrative mechanisms
described in this document falls outside
the Agency’s existing rulemaking or
enforcement authority under the
Vehicle Safety Act or Department of
Transportation regulations, please
explain the reasons for that belief.
• Question 24. If your comment
supports the Agency taking actions that
you believe may fall outside its existing
rulemaking or enforcement authority,
please explain your reasons for that
belief and describe what additional
authority might be needed.
VI. Preparation and Submission of
Written Comments
How do I prepare and submit
comments?
Your comments must be written and
in English. To ensure that your
comments are filed in the correct
docket, please include the docket
number of this document in your
comments.
Please submit one copy (two copies if
submitting by mail or hand delivery) of
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your comments, including the
attachments, to the docket following the
instructions given above under
ADDRESSES. Please note, if you are
submitting comments electronically as a
PDF (Adobe) file, we ask that the
documents submitted be scanned using
an Optical Character Recognition (OCR)
process, thus allowing NHTSA to search
and copy certain portions of your
submissions.
How do I submit confidential business
information?
If you wish to submit any information
under a claim of confidentiality, you
must submit three copies of your
complete submission, including the
information you claim to be confidential
business information, to the Office of
the Chief Counsel, NHTSA, at the
address given above under FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT.
In addition, you may submit a copy
(two copies if submitting by mail or
hand delivery) from which you have
deleted the claimed confidential
business information, to the docket by
one of the methods given above under
ADDRESSES. When you send a comment
containing information claimed to be
confidential business information, you
should include a cover letter setting
forth the information specified in
NHTSA’s confidential business
information regulation (49 CFR part
512).
Will NHTSA consider late comments?
NHTSA will consider all comments
received before the close of business on
the comment closing date indicated
above under DATES. To the extent
possible, NHTSA will also consider
comments received after that date.
How can I read the comments submitted
by other people?
You may read the comments received
at the address given above under
ADDRESSES. The hours of the docket are
indicated above in the same location.
You may also read the comments on the
internet, identified by the docket
number at the heading of this document,
at https://www.regulations.gov.
Please note that, even after the
comment closing date, NHTSA will
continue to file relevant information in
the docket as it becomes available.
Further, some people may submit late
comments. Accordingly, NHTSA
recommends that you periodically
check the docket for new material.
VII. Regulatory Notices
This action has been determined to be
significant under Executive Order
12866, as amended by Executive Order
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 233 / Thursday, December 3, 2020 / Proposed Rules
13563, and DOT’s Regulatory Policies
and Procedures. It has been reviewed by
the Office of Management and Budget
under that Order. Executive Orders
12866 (Regulatory Planning and
Review) and 13563 (Improving
Regulation and Regulatory Review)
require agencies to regulate in the ‘‘most
cost-effective manner,’’ to make a
‘‘reasoned determination that the
benefits of the intended regulation
justify its costs,’’ and to develop
regulations that ‘‘impose the least
burden on society.’’ In addition,
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563
require agencies to provide a
meaningful opportunity for public
participation. Accordingly, we have
asked commenters to answer a variety of
questions to elicit practical information
about alternative approaches and
relevant technical data. These
comments will help the Department
evaluate whether a proposed
rulemaking is needed and appropriate.
This action is not subject to the
requirements of E.O. 13771 (82 FR 9339,
February 3, 2017) because it is an
advance notice of proposed rulemaking.
Authority: 49 U.S.C. 30101 et seq., 49
U.S.C. 30182.
Issued in Washington, DC, under authority
delegated in 49 CFR 1.95 and 501.5.
James C. Owens,
Deputy Administrator.
[FR Doc. 2020–25930 Filed 12–2–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4910–59–P
SURFACE TRANSPORTATION BOARD
49 CFR Part 1039
[Docket No. EP 704 (Sub-No. 1)]
Review of Commodity, Boxcar, and
TOFC/COFC Exemptions
Surface Transportation Board.
Announcement of technical
conference.
AGENCY:
ACTION:
Granted a request for a
technical conference.
DATES: A technical conference will be
held on December 18, 2020, at 10:00
a.m. Comments are due by January 22,
2021, and replies are due by February
22, 2021.
ADDRESSES: Comments and replies may
be filed with the Board via e-filing on
the Board’s website at www.stb.gov and
will be posted to the Board’s website.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Amy Ziehm at (202) 245–0391.
Assistance for the hearing impaired is
available through the Federal Relay
Service at (800) 877–8339.
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SUMMARY:
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16:20 Dec 02, 2020
Jkt 253001
By notice
served on September 30, 2020, the
Board requested public comment on an
approach developed by the Office of
Economics (OE) for possible use in
considering class exemption and
revocation issues to help the Board
evaluate market conditions by taking
into account a variety of metrics related
to or indicative of rail transportation
competition. Review of Commodity,
Boxcar, & TOFC/COFC Exemptions, EP
704 (Sub-No. 1), slip op. at 1, 6 (STB
served Sept. 30, 2020).1 The Board
directed that initial comments on the
proposed approach be submitted on or
before December 4, 2020, and that
replies to initial comments be submitted
on or before January 4, 2021.
On November 3, 2020, the Association
of American Railroads (AAR) filed a
request for the Board to schedule a
‘‘staff-supervised technical conference’’
in early December 2020 to discuss the
proposed approach. On November 12,
2020, the American Short Line and
Regional Railroad Association
(ASLRRA) filed in support of AAR’s
proposal for a technical conference.
Also on November 3, 2020, AAR
separately filed a request for the Board
to extend the deadlines for submitting
written comments and replies. AAR
asks that the Board extend both
deadlines by 60 days, or, if a technical
conference is held, set the deadlines for
60 and 90 days after the date of the
technical conference. According to
AAR, given the technical nature of the
proposed approach, the voluminous
workpapers, the need for data-intensive
analysis, and the importance of the
issues raised, the current comment
deadline of December 4, 2020, does not
allow stakeholders sufficient time to
analyze the proposed approach and
underlying data and prepare responsive
comments. On November 12, 2020,
ASLRRA also filed a request that the
Board extend the deadlines, asking for
the same adjustment to the deadlines.
On November 13, 2020, the American
Forest & Paper Association (AF&PA),
the Institute of Scrap Recycling
Industries, Inc. (ISRI), and the National
Industrial Transportation League (NITL)
filed a joint reply. They object to AAR’s
request for a technical conference,
arguing that it would add further delay
to this rulemaking proceeding, but agree
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
1 The Board stated that it would make the
workpapers underlying the appendices to its
decision available to interested parties under an
appropriate confidentiality agreement pursuant to
49 CFR 1244.9. Recently, OE discovered that the
workpapers include duplicative queries associated
with six input files. The parties in receipt of the
workpapers have been notified and provided with
clarifying instructions.
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78075
to a two-week extension of the comment
and reply deadlines. On November 16,
2020, the Portland Cement Association
(PCA) replied likewise objecting to the
requested technical conference but
agreeing to a two-week extension of the
comment and reply deadlines.
A technical conference may help to
facilitate a better understanding among
the interested parties of how the
proposal is intended to work. Therefore,
the Board will hold a technical
conference concerning the approach
described in the September 30 decision.
The technical conference will take place
on December 18, 2020, at 10:00 a.m. The
purpose of the technical conference is
for Board staff to provide a presentation
on the approach and to answer technical
questions about the mechanics of the
approach. The Board will soon issue a
separate decision announcing details on
participation.
In light of the technical conference,
the Board will provide additional time
for interested parties to file comments
and subsequent replies. Comments will
be due January 22, 2021, and replies
will be due February 22, 2021.
It is ordered:
1. AAR’s request for a technical
conference is granted. The technical
conference will be held on December
18, 2020, at 10:00 a.m., as discussed
above.
2. Comments are due by January 22,
2021, and replies are due by February
22, 2021.
3. Notice of this decision will be
published in the Federal Register.
4. This decision is effective on its
service date.
Decided: November 24, 2020.
By the Board, Allison C. Davis, Director,
Office of Proceedings.
Jeffrey Herzig,
Clearance Clerk.
[FR Doc. 2020–26420 Filed 12–2–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4915–01–P
SURFACE TRANSPORTATION BOARD
49 CFR Part 1108
[Docket No. EP 765]
Joint Petition for Rulemaking To
Establish a Voluntary Arbitration
Program for Small Rate Disputes
Surface Transportation Board.
Petition for rulemaking.
AGENCY:
ACTION:
The Board institutes a
rulemaking proceeding to consider a
proposal to establish a new, voluntary
arbitration program intended to help
resolve small rate disputes.
SUMMARY:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 233 (Thursday, December 3, 2020)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 78058-78075]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2020-25930]
=======================================================================
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DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
49 CFR Part 571
[Docket No. NHTSA-2020-0106]
RIN 2127-AM15
Framework for Automated Driving System Safety
AGENCY: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Advance notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPRM).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: NHTSA is requesting comment on the development of a framework
for Automated Driving System (ADS) safety. The framework would
objectively define, assess, and manage the safety of ADS performance
while ensuring the needed flexibility to enable further innovation. The
Agency is seeking to draw upon existing Federal and non-Federal
foundational efforts and tools in structuring the framework as ADS
continue to develop. NHTSA seeks specific feedback on key components
that can meet the need for motor vehicle safety while enabling
innovative designs, in a manner consistent with agency authorities.
DATES: Written comments are due no later than February 1, 2021.
ADDRESSES: Comments must refer to the docket number above and be
submitted by one of the following methods:
Federal eRulemaking Portal: Go to https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online instructions for submitting
comments.
Mail: Docket Management Facility, M-30, U.S. Department of
Transportation, West Building, Ground Floor, Room W12-140, 1200 New
Jersey Avenue SE, Washington, DC 20590.
Hand Delivery or Courier: U.S. Department of
Transportation, West Building, Ground Floor, Room W12-140, 1200 New
Jersey Avenue SE, Washington, DC, between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m. Eastern
time, Monday through Friday, except Federal holidays. To be sure
someone is there to help you, please call (202) 366-9322 before coming.
Fax: 202-493-2251.
Regardless of how you submit your comments, you must include the
docket number identified in the heading of this document.
Note that all comments received, including any personal information
provided, will be posted without change to https://www.regulations.gov.
Please see the ``Privacy Act'' heading below.
You may call the Docket Management Facility at 202-366-9322. For
access to the docket to read background documents or comments received,
go to https://www.regulations.gov or the street address listed above. To
be sure someone is there to help you, please call (202) 366-9322 before
coming. We will continue to file relevant information in the Docket as
it becomes available.
Privacy Act: In accordance with 5 U.S.C. 553(c), DOT solicits
comments from the public to inform its decision-making process. DOT
posts these comments, without edit, including any personal information
the commenter provides, to https://www.regulations.gov, as described in
the system of records notice (DOT/ALL-14 FDMS), which can be reviewed
at https://www.transportation.gov/privacy. Anyone can search the
electronic form of all comments received into any of our dockets by the
name of the individual submitting the comment (or signing the comment,
if submitted on behalf of an association, business, labor union, etc.).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
For legal issues, Sara R. Bennett, Attorney-Advisor, Vehicle
Rulemaking and Harmonization, Office of Chief Counsel, 202-366-2992,
email [email protected].
For research issues, Lori Summers, Director, Office of Vehicle
Crash Avoidance and Electronic Controls Research, telephone: 202-366-
4917, email [email protected].
For rulemaking issues, Tim J. Johnson, Acting Director, Office of
Crash Avoidance Standards, telephone 202-366-1810, email
[email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
II. Introduction
A. Development of ADS
B. Potential Benefits of ADS
C. NHTSA Regulatory Activity To Remove Unintentional and
Unnecessary Barriers to the Development and Deployment of ADS
Vehicles
D. Need for a Safety Framework, Including Implementation and
Oversight Mechanisms, for Federal Efforts To Address ADS Performance
III. Safety Framework--Core Elements, Potential Approaches, and
Current Activities
A. Engineering Measures--Core Elements of ADS Safety Performance
1. Core ADS Safety Functions
2. Other Safety Functions
3. Federal Engineering Measure Development Efforts
4. Other Notable Efforts Under Consideration as Engineering
Measures
B. Process Measures--Safety Risk Minimization in the Design,
Development, and Refinement of ADS
1. Functional Safety
2. Safety of the Intended Functionality
3. UL 4600
IV. Safety Framework--Administrative Mechanisms for Implementation
and Oversight
A. Voluntary Mechanisms
1. Safety Self-Assessment and Other Disclosure/Reporting
2. New Car Assessment Program (NCAP)
3. Operational Guidance
B. Regulatory Mechanisms
1. Mandatory Reporting and/or Disclosure
2. NHTSA's FMVSS Setting Authority
3. Applying the Established FMVSS Framework to ADS Safety
Principles
4. Reforming How NHTSA Drafts New FMVSS To Keep Pace With
Rapidly Evolving Technology
5. Examples of Regulatory Approaches
D. Timing and Phasing of FMVSS Development and Implementation
E. Critical Factors Considered in Designing, Assessing, and
Selecting Administrative Mechanisms
V. Questions and Requests
VI. Preparation and Submission of Written Comments
VII. Regulatory Notices
I. Executive Summary
Over the past several years, NHTSA has published numerous research
reports, guidance documents, advance notices of proposed rulemakings,
and, on March 30, 2020 (85 FR 17624), a notice of proposed rulemaking
relating to the development of vehicles equipped with Automated Driving
Systems (ADS).\1\ An ADS is the
[[Page 78059]]
hardware and software that are, collectively, capable of performing the
entire dynamic driving task on a sustained basis, regardless of whether
it is limited to a specific operational design domain (ODD).\2\ In less
technical terms, an ADS maintains the control and driving functions
within the situations that the system is designed to operate in.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ ADS, as defined by SAE International and as used in this
document, refers to driving automation Levels 3-5. SAE International
J3016_201806 Taxonomy and Definitions for Terms Related to Driving
Automation Systems for On Road Motor Vehicles. Previous notices
issued by NHTSA focused on driving automation Levels 4 and 5, due to
the unique vehicle designs expected for vehicles intended to operate
without necessary human intervention, and thus, potentially designed
without traditional manual controls.
This document does not focus on any particular vehicle type, but
rather, on the ADS itself. NHTSA recognizes that the vehicle type
for which the ADS is developed to operate may impact the resulting
ADS performance, but the Agency is not delving into this level of
specificity at this time.
Finally, the major notices that NHTSA has published in the past
several years are: Removing Regulatory Barriers for Vehicles With
Automated Driving Systems Request for Comment, 83 FR 2607 (Jan. 18,
2018); Removing Regulatory Barriers for Vehicles With Automated
Driving Systems Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 84 FR 24433
(May 28, 2019); Occupant Protection for Automated Driving Systems
Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 85 FR 17624 (Mar. 20, 2020).
\2\ SAE International J3016_201806 Taxonomy and Definitions for
Terms Related to Driving Automation Systems for On-Road Motor
Vehicles.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In general, the Agency's ADS-related publications issued so far
address the challenges involved in determining which requirements of
the existing Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards (FMVSS) are
relevant to the safety needs of ADS-equipped vehicles without
traditional manual controls, and then adapting or developing the
requirements and the associated test procedures so that the
requirements can effectively be applied to the novel vehicle designs
that may accompany such vehicles without adversely affecting safety.
Thus, those notices, particularly the Agency's regulatory notices, have
focused more on the design of the vehicles that may be equipped with an
ADS--not necessarily on the performance of the ADS itself. NHTSA has
also published recommendations to ADS developers, including automakers
and technology companies, most prominently in Automated Driving Systems
2.0: A Vision for Safety. The Agency has also proposed in a notice-and-
comment rulemaking to remove unintended and unnecessary regulatory
barriers (e.g., proposing to remove the requirement for installation of
advanced air bag systems in delivery trucks with no occupant
compartment) or other impediments to the development or deployment of
vehicles with ADS. This approach has been appropriate as a means to
pave the way for the safe development and eventual deployment of ADS
technology, particularly because the Agency understands that ADS-
equipped vehicles are likely to remain in the pre-deployment testing
and development stage for at least the next several years. Further, as
small-scale deployments start to appear in the coming years, NHTSA will
address unreasonable safety risks that may arise using its defect
investigation and remediation authority.
Though wide-scale deployment still may be several years away, many
companies are actively developing and testing ADS technology throughout
the United States. This development process for ADS is complex and
iterative. Accordingly, it may be premature for NHTSA to develop and
promulgate a specialized set of FMVSS or other performance standards
for ADS competency. NHTSA's existing FMVSS set minimum performance
requirements for vehicles and equipment, and they follow an approach
that is performance-based, objective, practicable, and established with
precise and repeatable test procedures.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ See 49 U.S.C. 30111(a); Chrysler Corp. v. Dep't of Transp.,
472 F.2d 659 (6th Cir. 1972); Nat'l Tire Dealers & Retreaders Ass'n,
Inc. v. Brinegar, 491 F.2d 31 (D.C. Cir. 1974); Paccar, Inc. v.
Nat'l Highway Traffic Safety Admin., 573 F.2d 632 (9th Cir. 1978).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The development of an FMVSS typically requires significant
engineering research, the development of an objective metric (i.e.,
knowing what aspect or aspects of performance to measure), and the
establishment of an appropriate standard based upon that metric (i.e.,
specifying the minimum required level of performance). Premature
establishment of an FMVSS without the appropriate knowledge base could
result in unintended consequences. For example, a premature standard
might focus on the wrong metric, potentially placing constraints on the
wrong performance factors, while missing other critical safety factors.
Such a standard could inadvertently provide an unreliable sense of
security, potentially lead to negative safety results, or potentially
hinder the development of new ADS technology.
Safety Framework
Although the establishment of an FMVSS for ADS may be premature, it
is appropriate to begin to consider how NHTSA may properly use its
regulatory authority to encourage a focus on safety as ADS technology
continues to develop. This document, thus, marks a significant
departure from the regulatory notices NHTSA has previously issued on
ADS because NHTSA is looking beyond the existing FMVSS and their
application to novel vehicle designs and is considering the creation of
a governmental safety framework specifically tailored to ADS.
Rather than elaborating and prescribing by rule specific design
characteristics or other technical requirements for ADS, NHTSA
envisions that a framework approach to safety for ADS developers would
use performance-oriented approaches and metrics that would accommodate
the design flexibility needed to ensure that manufacturers can pursue
safety innovations and novel designs in these new technologies. This
framework could involve a range of actions by NHTSA, including guidance
documents addressing best industry practices, providing information to
consumers, and describing different approaches to research and
summarizing the results of research, as well as more formal regulation,
from rules requiring reporting and disclosure of information to the
adoption of ADS-specific FMVSS. These different approaches would likely
build off the three primary ADS guidance documents issued in recent
years by DOT (i.e., ADS 2.0, Preparing for the Future of
Transportation: Automated Vehicles 3.0 (AV 3.0), and Ensuring American
Leadership in Automated Vehicle Technologies: Automated Vehicles 4.0
(AV 4.0)). As described in this document, NHTSA seeks comment on the
appropriate role of the Agency in facilitating ADS risk management
through guidance and/or regulation.
This document focuses on ways the Agency could approach the
performance evaluation of ADS through a safety framework, containing a
variety of approaches and mechanisms that, together, would allow NHTSA
to identify and manage safety risks related to ADS in an appropriate
manner. NHTSA anticipates focusing this framework on the functions of
an ADS that are most critical for safe operation.
At this stage, NHTSA believes there are four primary functions of
the ADS that should be the focus of the Agency's attention. First, how
the ADS receives information about its environment through sensors
(``sensing''). Second, how the ADS detects and categorizes other road
users (vehicles, motorcyclists, pedestrians, etc.), infrastructure
(traffic signs, signals, etc.), and conditions (weather events, road
construction, etc.) (``perception''). Third, how the ADS analyzes the
situation, plans the route it will take on the way to its intended
destination, and makes decisions on how to respond
[[Page 78060]]
appropriately to the road users, infrastructure, and conditions
detected and categorized (``planning''). Fourth, how the ADS executes
the driving functions necessary to carry out that plan (``control'')
through interaction with other parts of the vehicle. While other
elements of ADS safety are discussed throughout this document, these
four primary functions serve as the core elements NHTSA is considering.
The Agency anticipates that the safety framework would include both
process and engineering measures to manage risks. The process measures
(e.g., general practices for analyzing, classifying by severity level
and frequency, and reducing potential sources of risks during the
vehicle design process) would likely include robust safety assurance
and functional safety programs. The engineering measures (e.g.,
performance metrics, thresholds, and test procedures) would seek to
provide ways of demonstrating that ADS perform their sensing,
perception, planning, and control (i.e., execution) of intended
functions with a high level of proficiency.
Administration of a Framework
NHTSA is seeking comment on the manner in which the framework can
and should be administered (e.g., guidance, consumer information, or
regulation) to support agency oversight of ADS-related aspects. Since
some of the mechanisms described in this document (e.g., guidance)
could be implemented more quickly than others (e.g., FMVSS), the
mechanisms could be adopted, when and as needed, in a phased manner,
and implementation of some types of mechanisms might end up not being
necessary. This document will go into greater detail on the various
types of administrative mechanisms upon which the Agency is seeking
comment in later sections.
Future of ADS Regulation
Eventually, non-regulatory aspects of the framework, combined with
information learned from research and the continued development of ADS,
could serve as the basis for development of FMVSS governing the
competence of ADS. The sub-elements of the sensing, perception,
planning, and control functions could evolve into new FMVSS focused
entirely on ADS competence. A new generation of FMVSS should give the
manufacturers of vehicles, sensors, software, and other technologies
needed for ADS sufficient flexibility to change and improve without the
need for frequent modifications to the regulations. If new FMVSS were
developed and adopted, they could be applied on an ``if-equipped''
basis to existing traditional classes of vehicles (e.g., passenger
cars, multipurpose passenger vehicles, buses, and trucks). By an ``if-
equipped'' FMVSS, NHTSA means an FMVSS that would not mandate the
installation of ADS in motor vehicles, but would instead specify
performance requirements for those vehicles equipped with ADS.
Similarly, a new FMVSS could be applied to the entire vehicle of new
classes of vehicles, i.e., subclasses of vehicles equipped with ADS. In
making this choice, the administrative feasibility of creating,
updating, and implementing requirements for multiple subclasses would
need to be carefully considered.
Comments Requested
NHTSA seeks comments on how to select and design the structure and
key elements of a framework and the appropriate administrative
mechanisms to achieve the goals of improving safety, mitigating risk,
and enabling the development and introduction of new safety
innovations. To aid interested persons in forming their views and
preparing their comments, this document surveys ongoing efforts in the
private and public sectors to create a safety framework.
In their written submissions, commenters should discuss, for
example, what engineering and process measures should be included, and
what aspects of ADS performance are suitable for potential safety
performance standard setting (i.e., what aspects of ADS performance
should manufacturers be required to certify that their system possess?
Of the many aspects of sensing, perception, planning, and control that
manufacturers will need to prove for their own purposes, the Agency
wishes to know which aspects would be so important that they should be
subject to separate Federal regulations. The Agency also wishes to hear
from the public on whether ADS-specific regulations are appropriate or
necessary prior to the broad commercial deployment of the technology,
and, if so, how regulations could be developed consistent with the
Agency's legal obligations without being based upon the existence of
commercially available ADS technology from which to measure required
performance. The Agency also seeks comment on how the need for and
benefits of issuing regulations can be assessed before ADS become
available to allow testing and validation of the assumptions supporting
those needs and benefits. In addition, the Agency seeks comment on
which type or types of administrative mechanisms would be most
appropriate for constructing the framework, either in general or for
its component parts, and ensuring its effective and efficient
implementation.
II. Introduction
A. Development of ADS
The development of ADS \4\ continues and is well under way.
Developers are testing components and systems through simulation and
modeling, controlled track testing, and limited on-road testing with
test vehicle operators and monitors, and, in some cases, limited on-
road deployments. The Agency believes these activities will continue to
increase.\5\
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\4\ The term ``ADS'' specifically refers to SAE Level 3, 4, or 5
driving automation systems as described in SAE International
J3016_201806 Taxonomy and Definitions for Terms Related to Driving
Automation Systems for On Road Motor Vehicles.
\5\ Some examples of companies planning on the ride-sharing or
delivery business models include Cruise, Waymo, Argo AI, Uber, Lyft,
Nuro.
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In July 2020, NHTSA identified on-road testing and development
activities in 40 States and the District of Columbia.\6\ At the same
time, 66 companies in California, one of the main hubs of testing
activity in the world, had valid State permits to test ADS-equipped
vehicles with safety drivers on public roadways.\7\ Two of those
companies also received permits allowing for driverless testing in
California.\8\ One of those companies received permission from
California in July 2019 to carry passengers in its ADS-equipped
vehicles while a safety driver is present.\9\ In the Phoenix area, one
company is even providing limited rideshare services to participants in
its testing program without an in-vehicle safety driver. This same
company recently announced that it is expanding these rideshare
services.\10\ One manufacturer of small, low-speed, occupant-less
delivery vehicles, received a temporary exemption from NHTSA to deploy
up to 2,500 vehicles per year for two years.\11\ That same company has
also received a permit
[[Page 78061]]
from California to perform driverless testing.\12\
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\6\ NHTSA notes that the State count includes active (ongoing),
planned, and inactive (completed) projects.
\7\ https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/autonomous/permit.
\8\ https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/autonomous/driverlesstestingpermits.
\9\ Other companies have received permission to carry passengers
in their ADS-equipped vehicles while a safety driver is present, and
they are listed here: https://www.cpuc.ca.gov/avcissued/.
\10\ https://blog.waymo.com/2020/10/waymo-is-opening-its-fully-driverless.html.
\11\ 85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11, 2020).
\12\ https://www.dmv.ca.gov/portal/dmv/detail/vr/autonomous/driverlesstestingpermits.
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As described in AV 3.0, ADS development does not start with public,
on-road testing. Rather, much of the very early testing of prototype
ADS by developers is conducted in simulation and/or closed-course
(i.e., track) testing environments.\13\ Public road testing of a
prototype ADS typically begins after significant engineering and safety
analysis are performed by developers to understand safety risks and
mitigation strategies are put in place to address those risks. It is
important to note that the development process is generally both
iterative and cyclical. A developer does not ``graduate'' from
simulation to track test, and then to on-road testing, and then
deployment. Instead, developers will generally continue simulation
testing throughout the development process to gain additional
experience with various scenarios that may be encountered rarely in the
real world. Similarly, track testing designed to resemble scenarios
that may be encountered rarely or that would be dangerous to attempt on
public roads until later stages of readiness will occur throughout the
process, even as on-road testing is occurring. Further, experiences
gained from on-road testing will often lead to simulation and/or test
track replication of situations encountered on public roads to improve
the ADS. In other words, the fact that a vehicle is being tested on
public roads does not mean that the vehicle or ADS is nearing
deployment readiness and, conversely, the fact that a vehicle is still
undergoing simulation or track testing does not mean is it not safe to
be tested on public roads.
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\13\ https://www.transportation.gov/av/3.
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NHTSA's understanding is that there are generally different stages
of safety risk management during the on-road testing of prototype
ADS.\14\ First is the development and early stage road testing, which
is often comprised of the characteristics such as safety drivers
serving key safety risk mitigation roles, rapid updating of ADS
software to incorporate lessons learned, and focus on validating the
performance of the ADS from the simulation and close-course testing
environments. Second, once development progresses, companies may expand
ADS road testing and focus on building confidence in the ADS within the
locations and situations in which the system is designed to function
(i.e., operational design domain).\15\ The primary purpose of this
stage of testing is to build statistical confidence in matured software
and hardware within the intended operational environment and observe
system failures, safety driver subjective feedback, and execution of
fail-safe/fail-operational system behaviors. Third, and finally, ADS
developers may progress to deployment of ADS, in either limited or full
capacity.
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\14\ https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/320711/preparing-future-transportation-automated-vehicle-30.pdf.
\15\ Operational design domain (ODD) is the operating conditions
under which a given driving automation system or feature thereof is
specifically designed to function, including, but not limited to,
environmental, geographical, and time-of-day restrictions, and/or
the requisite presence or absence of certain traffic or roadway
characteristics. SAE International J3016_201806 Taxonomy and
Definitions for Terms Related to Driving Automation Systems for On
Road Motor Vehicles.
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As stated in AV 3.0, NHTSA believes that on-road testing is
essential for the development of ADS-equipped vehicles that will be
able to operate safely on public roads. Most of the ADS testing
activity in the United States is in the early stages of on-road
testing. Safety drivers oversee the ADS during testing for most
companies, though some companies have progressed to the later stages of
on-road testing. Despite this development and all the progress the
industry has made over the past several years, no vehicle equipped with
an ADS is available for purchase in the United States or deployed
across the United States.\16\
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\16\ While Nuro was granted an exemption allowing for deployment
of their low-speed, occupantless delivery vehicle, the terms of the
exemption provide that Nuro must maintain ownership and operational
control over the R2Xs that are built pursuant to the exemption for
the life of the vehicles. See Nuro, Inc.; Grant of Temporary
Exemption for a Low-Speed Vehicle With an Automated Driving System,
85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11, 2020), available at https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2020/02/11/2020-02668/nuro-inc-grant-of-temporary-exemption-for-a-low-speed-vehicle-with-an-automated-driving-system.
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NHTSA recognizes the critical role that State and local governments
play in traffic safety, including our shared oversight of on-road
testing of vehicles with ADS. Their roles in the active on-road testing
and development throughout the country is part of why NHTSA recently
launched its Automated Vehicles Transparency and Engagement for Safe
Testing (AV TEST) Initiative to facilitate further dialogue and
transparency of the state of ADS development. This initiative features
a series of meetings and workshops where State and local governments
discuss their activities, lessons learned, and best practices for
oversight of on-road testing, and NHTSA discusses its research and
rulemaking activities. The initiative also involves automakers and ADS
developers, and provides a forum to promote public engagement and
knowledge-sharing about safety in the development and testing of ADS-
equipped vehicles. The AV TEST Initiative will also provide an online,
public-facing platform for sharing ADS road testing activities and
other relevant information at the local, State, and national levels. It
will feature an online mapping tool that will show road testing
locations, as well as testing activity data such as dates, frequency,
vehicle counts, and routes.
B. Potential Benefits of ADS
NHTSA's mission is to save lives, prevent injuries, and reduce
economic costs due to road traffic crashes, through education,
research, guidance, safety standards, and enforcement activity. If
developed and deployed safely, ADS can aid in achieving that mission,
given their potential to prevent, reduce, or mitigate crashes involving
human error or poor choices. This potential stems from the substantial
role that human factors (distraction, impairment, fatigue, errors in
judgment, and decisions not to obey traffic laws) play in contributing
to crashes.\17\ In addition, they have the potential to enhance
accessibility (e.g., through allowing personal transportation to people
with disabilities or people incapable of driving), and improve
productivity (e.g., by allowing people to work while being transported
and allowing platooning or entirely automated operation of commercial
trucks). Accordingly, NHTSA is placing a priority on the safe
development and testing of ADS that factors safety into every step
toward eventual deployment.
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\17\ See Critical Reasons for Crashes Investigated in the
National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey (Feb. 2015), available
at https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/812115.
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C. NHTSA Regulatory Activity To Remove Unintentional and Unnecessary
Barriers to the Development and Deployment of ADS Vehicles
To date, NHTSA's regulatory notices have focused on ADS-equipped
vehicles without traditional manual controls by assessing the
modifications to existing FMVSS that may be necessary to address the
designs and any unique safety needs of those vehicles.\18\ For example,
while vehicles that cannot be driven by human drivers and vehicles that
can be driven by human drivers both need brakes that stop them
effectively, each set of vehicles may have different safety needs.
Traditional
[[Page 78062]]
vehicles rely on human drivers, while the ADS-equipped vehicles rely on
an ADS to acquire information about the location and movement of other
roadway users, weather conditions, and vehicle operating status--all
while making driving decisions. These differing safety needs may mean
that the installation of some features currently required by the FMVSS
(e.g., mirrors, dashboard controls, some displays) into vehicles
without traditional manual driving controls may no longer meet a need
for safety. Further, while steering machines and other equipment can be
made to simulate human drivers in conducting the track testing of
vehicles with manual controls, having NHTSA instruct the ADS of a
vehicle that lacks manual controls how to perform the same testing may
be more challenging.
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\18\ See 84 FR 24433 (May 28, 2019) and 85 FR 17624 (Mar. 30,
2020).
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D. Need for a Safety Framework, Including Implementation and Oversight
Mechanisms, for Federal Efforts To Address ADS Performance
The National Traffic and Motor Vehicle Safety Act of 1966, as
amended (``Safety Act'') tasks NHTSA with reducing traffic accidents,
deaths, and injuries resulting from traffic accidents through issuing
motor vehicle safety standards for motor vehicles and motor vehicle
equipment and carrying out needed safety research and development.\19\
The FMVSS established by NHTSA must: Meet the need for motor vehicle
safety; be practicable, both technologically and economically; and be
stated in objective terms. The final requirement means that they are
capable of producing identical results when test conditions are exactly
duplicated and determinations of compliance must be based on scientific
measurements, not subjective opinion.\20\ In addition, in issuing an
FMVSS, the Agency must consider whether the standard is reasonable,
practicable, and appropriate for the types of motor vehicles or motor
vehicle equipment for which it is prescribed.\21\
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\19\ 49 U.S.C. 30101.
\20\ 49 U.S.C. 30111(a), Chrysler Corp. v. Dep't of Transp., 472
F.2d 659 (6th Cir. 1972).
\21\ 49 U.S.C. 30111(b)(3).
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NHTSA typically begins the process of promulgating a FMVSS by
identifying the aspect of performance that may need regulation (i.e.,
the safety need \22\). NHTSA analyzes real-world crash data and other
available information in order to identify safety issues and quantify
the size of the safety problems, researches potential solutions or
countermeasures to the safety issues that have been identified, and
then develops practicable performance or related requirements intended
to either resolve or mitigate the crash risk identified. Manufacturers
are then required to self-certify, by whatever reasonable means they
choose, that their vehicles or equipment meet the performance
requirements. Finally, NHTSA assesses vehicle or equipment compliance
with those established requirements through the validated test
procedures that it has developed.
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\22\ ``The Safety Act's mandate is not, however, categorical.
Not all risks of accident or injury are to be eliminated, but only
those that are ``unreasonable.'' Ctr. for Auto Safety v. Peck, 751
F.2d 1336, 1343 (D.C. Cir. 1985).
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Based on the current state of ADS development, it is probably too
soon to make any decisions about the extent to which new FMVSS might be
needed to address particular aspects of the safety performance of these
systems. ADS are, generally, in the development stages, and market-
ready, mature ADS do not yet exist. Accordingly, there do not exist
meaningful data about the on-road experience of these systems that can
be analyzed to determine the safety need that potentially should be
addressed, e.g., which aspects of performance are in need of
regulation, what would be reasonable, practicable, or appropriate for
regulation, or the minimum thresholds for performance, much less how to
regulate such performance. Likewise, there are no vehicles equipped
with mature ADS that can be purchased by the Agency and tested to
validate the effectiveness of a contemplated standard in addressing the
safety needs of those vehicles.
NHTSA has no desire to issue regulations that would needlessly
prevent the deployment of any ADS-equipped vehicle, as this could
inhibit the development of a promising technology that has the
potential to result in an unprecedented increase in safety. Any
regulatory approach must have well-founded supporting data indicating
safety needs. An ill-conceived standard may fail to meet the need for
motor vehicle safety and needlessly stifle innovation. Worse yet,
issuing premature regulations could even increase safety risk with
unintended consequences. Pursuing a ``precautionary'' FMVSS may, in
fact, be prohibited by the Safety Act itself, as sufficient information
does not yet exist to establish a standard that is practicable, meets
the need for motor vehicle safety, and can be stated in objective
terms.
It is not too soon, however, for the Agency, with input from
stakeholders, to begin identifying and developing the elements of a
framework that meets the need for motor vehicle safety and assesses the
degree of success in manufacturers' efforts to ensure safety, while
also providing sufficient flexibility for new and more effective safety
innovations. In addition, NHTSA seeks to explore the adoption of
alternative or complementary mechanisms for implementing potential
engineering and process measures, as described below, to manage risks
and facilitate agency safety oversight.
NHTSA seeks to develop a safety framework of standards and/or
guidance that manufacturers of ADS would (or, in the case of guidance,
could) follow to evaluate and demonstrate the safety of their new
systems, as produced and, at least in some cases, throughout the
lifetime of those systems. The framework would rest on the elements
described below in section III of this document.
In addition, the Agency seeks to identify the best administrative
mechanisms for establishing and implementing engineering and process
measures and facilitating agency safety oversight. Potential mechanisms
are described in section IV of this document.
III. Safety Framework--Core Elements, Potential Approaches, and Current
Activities
Safety assurance generally refers to the broad array of proactive
approaches a company can take proactively to identify and manage
potential safety risks associated with a system, such as the ADS of a
vehicle. Safety assurance, as contemplated in many of the documents
discussed in this section, is typically a process controlled and
conducted by the manufacturer that is designing a vehicle and
certifying that vehicle's compliance. Many of these process and
engineering measures are used by manufacturers in the development of
their products, and NHTSA intends to explore how the Agency might
harness these same processes in the development of a new regulatory or
sub-regulatory approach to evaluate the safety of ADS.
The Department's guidance documents on vehicles equipped with ADS,
ADS 2.0 \23\ and Preparing for the Future of Transportation: Automated
Vehicles 3.0,\24\ generally describe these aspects of safety assurance
and how the Department envisions its role in safety risk management and
oversight during the development and deployment of ADS.
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\23\ Pages 5-16. Available at https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.dot.gov/files/documents/13069a-ads2.0_090617_v9a_tag.pdf.
\24\ See table on page 50. Available at https://www.transportation.gov/av/3.
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[[Page 78063]]
This section elaborates on the core elements of ADS safety
performance and the documents behind the various elements of the safety
framework for ADS that NHTSA is currently considering. This section
also describes some of the many private and public activities related
to evaluating ADS safety performance.
A. Engineering Measures--Core Elements of ADS Safety Performance
Engineering measures are those aspects that can be readily
determined through the testing of a finished motor vehicle or system
and establish the level of safety performance. Engineering measures
could be used to assess safety performance of the ADS, such as
successful crash avoidance (i.e., whether the ADS-equipped vehicle is
capable of completing certain maneuvers without loss of control), but
how exactly to design these measures is highly complicated. While a
mature ADS may avoid many of the human driver errors and poor choices
that lead to the majority of crashes today, an ADS may still find
itself in crash-imminent scenarios that may warrant emergency
maneuvers. Successful crash avoidance would depend on a vehicle's
mechanical abilities (e.g., abilities to stop quickly and to maintain
or regain directional stability and control). ADS-equipped vehicles,
though, are unique in that the vehicle's system must also be able to
perform appropriately the following safety relevant functions that are
inherent to the adequate functionality of an ADS-equipped vehicle:
Sensing;
Perception;
Planning; and
Control.
1. Core ADS Safety Functions
``Sensing'' refers to the ability of the ADS to receive adequate
information from the vehicle's internal and external environment
through connected sensors. Sensors on an ADS-equipped vehicle might
include cameras, radar, LiDAR, Global Positioning Satellite (GPS),
vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and/or vehicle-to-everything (V2X) devices,
among other technologies. Sensing also involves scanning the driving
environment with emphasis on the direction of travel in which the ADS
intends to head. The sensing functionality serves as the ``eyes'' of
the ADS.
``Perception'' refers to the ability of an ADS to interpret
information about its environment obtained through its sensors. This
involves an ADS determining the location of the vehicle in relation to
the driving environment and its ODD, including whether it is operating
within any geolocational limitations in the ODD. Perception includes
detection and identification of relevant static features and objects
(e.g., road edges, lane markings, and traffic signs) and dynamic
objects (e.g., vehicles, cyclists, and pedestrians) detected by sensors
within proximity of the vehicle. Through perception, the ADS is
provided with information necessary to predict the future behavior
(e.g., speed and path) of relevant static and dynamic objects (i.e.,
those whose speed and path may create the risk of a collision with the
vehicle). Thus, while sensing serves as the ``eyes'' of the ADS,
perception performs the associated cognitive recognition of information
detected through the sensor's ``eyes.'' Perception provides necessary
interpreted information to the system so that it can conduct other key
functions for successful completion of the driving task.
``Planning'' refers to the ability of an ADS to establish and
navigate the route it will take on the way to its intended destination.
The planning function of an ADS builds from the sensing and perception
functions by using the information collected through sensing and
interpreted through perception, and predicts the future state of static
and dynamic objects to create a path that mitigates crash risks,
follows rules of the road,\25\ and safely reaches its intended
destination. If the perception function is akin to the part of the
brain of an ADS responsible for cognitive interpretation, the planning
function is equivalent to that part of the brain of the ADS responsible
for decision-making.
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\25\ NHTSA notes that, while compliance with many rules of the
road can be readily and objectively determined, compliance with
others cannot. The rule to obey posted speed limits is an example of
the former. If a vehicle has mapped or can read posted speed limit
signs, it can readily compare its speed with the posted speed and
modulate its speed accordingly to avoid exceeding the limit.
However, achieving compliance with situational or judgmental rules,
such as those prohibiting driving too fast for conditions or driving
recklessly, is much less readily determinable by a vehicle. See.,
e.g., Formalising and Monitoring Traffic Rules for Autonomous
Vehicles in Isabelle/HOL, Albert Rizaldi, Jonas Keinholz, Monika
Huber, Jochen Feldle, Fabian Immler, Matthias Althoff, Eric
Hilgendorf, and Tobias Nipkow. https://www21.in.tum.de/~nipkow/pubs/
ifm17.pdf. Substantial compliance by a vehicle with the rule against
driving recklessly might be indirectly achievable through
programming the vehicle to drive defensively. One aspect of that
programming would be to ensure that the vehicle always maintains a
safe driving distance between itself and the vehicle immediately
ahead, including any vehicle that cuts into the vehicle's lane. This
notion of a safe space could also be made to vary according to
whether the vehicle detects conditions such as darkness, rain, or
loss of traction. See., e.g., On a Formal Model of Safe and Scalable
Self-driving Cars, Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Shaked Shammah, Amnon
Shashua, Mobileye, 2017. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1708.06374.pdf. The
amount of space needed by the vehicle would vary according to the
vehicle's speed.
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Finally, the ``control'' function of an ADS refers to the ability
of the system to execute the driving functions necessary to carry out
the continuously updated driving plan. Control includes implementing
the driving plan by delivering appropriate control inputs--such as
steering, propulsion, and braking--to follow the planned path while
adjusting the plan when and as necessary based on the continuous
acquisition and processing of new data concerning the state of the
vehicle and surrounding environment. The control function, carried out
through actuators and their associated control systems that facilitate
execution of the driving plan, are analogous to the ``arms'' and
``legs'' of the ADS in driving the vehicle.
NHTSA requests comment on these four core functions, including
whether commenters agree that these are the core functions, views on
NHTSA's description of these functions, and whether and how NHTSA
should prioritize its research as it develops a safety framework.
2. Other Safety Functions
While the four functions described above are necessary for an ADS,
they are not necessarily sufficient to ensure ADS safety, which will
also depend on a wide array of other functions and capabilities of the
system and how that system interacts with the humans both inside and
surrounding the ADS-equipped vehicle.
For example, one safety-related aspect not encompassed within the
four functions would be the vehicle's ability to communicate with
vehicle occupants \26\ and other vehicles and people in the driving
environment, especially vulnerable road users.\27\ The human-machine
interaction is expected to have an impact not only on the operational
safety of an ADS-equipped vehicle, but also on the public acceptance of
such systems. ADS capability to detect the malfunction of its own
system or other systems in the
[[Page 78064]]
vehicle accurately and reliably, while also ensuring safe transitions
between operational modes developed to respond to any detected issues
or malfunctions (e.g., fail safe or limp home modes), is another
important consideration that could impact expected performance by an
ADS.
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\26\ For instance, if a vehicle stops, passengers have in
interest in knowing the vehicle's status. Did it stop because it
reached its destination, to avoid an obstacle, or because of a
malfunction? Should passengers remain in the vehicle or is it safe
to exit?
\27\ A driver's eye contact, hand gestures, and even his/her
mere presence means something to others outside the vehicle. An
empty vehicle, especially an electric ADS-equipped vehicle without
traditional manual driving controls, may appear to be parked and in
the off position when in fact it is ready to move. Someone
approaching the vehicle (passenger, law enforcement, rescuers, tow
truck operators, etc.) has an interest in knowing whether it is
about to move and how to safely interact with the vehicle.
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Other aspects that could impact the ability of an ADS to carry out
its intended plans in a safe and reliable manner include: (1)
Identifying reduced system performance and/or ODD in the presence of
failure; (2) operating in a degraded mode within reduced system
constraints; \28\ (3) performing the essential task of transporting
occupants or goods from starting point to the chosen destination; (4)
recognizing and reacting appropriately to communications from first
responders, including fire, EMS, and law enforcement; \29\ (5)
receiving, loading, and following over-the-air software updates; \30\
(6) performing system maintenance and calibration; (7) addressing
safety-related cybersecurity risks; and (8) system redundancies. NHTSA
notes that its authorities under the Safety Act are limited to motor
vehicle safety and, thus, do not authorize the Agency to regulate areas
such as general privacy and cybersecurity unrelated to safety.\31\ That
said, NHTSA will analyze relevant aspects of these issues during the
rulemaking process to the extent required under the Safety Act and when
otherwise required by applicable laws, such as the E-Government Act of
2002.
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\28\ See Matthew Wood et al., Safety First for Automated Driving
(2019), pp. 37-46, available at https://www.aptiv.com/docs/default-source/white-papers/safety-first-for-automated-driving-aptiv-white-paper.pdf. The above listing omits ``ensure controllability for the
vehicle operator'' since a vehicle without traditional manual
driving controls would not have a human operator.
\29\ In an emergency or unusual situation, a vehicle should be
able to respond/react to orders or requests from outside its own ADS
perceive/plan/execute process. This could be law enforcement,
pedestrians, other drivers, or passengers.
\30\ Prior to transmitting any software update, care should be
taken to evaluate the safety of the updates and the functions they
enable or control not only in isolation, but also in combination
with existing software and hardware and the functions they enable or
control.
\31\ The Federal Trade Commission is the Federal agency that
primarily oversees privacy policy and enforcement, including
privacy-related cybersecurity matter. See https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/media-resources/protecting-consumer-privacy-security.
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NHTSA requests comment on which of these aspects the Agency should
prioritize as it continues the research necessary to develop a safety
framework. NHTSA also seeks comment on whether it has an appropriate
role to play with any or all of these elements outside of research. If
so, which element(s)? For each such element, should NHTSA's role be
regulatory or sub-regulatory, and in what manner?
3. Federal Engineering Measure Development Efforts
NHTSA, as part of the Department's broader efforts, has begun the
research to explore potential ways the Agency can assess the safety of
ADS. As described in AV 4.0, NHTSA maintains a comprehensive ADS
research program evaluating and researching a wide array of aspects
related to ADS performance.\32\ One of NHTSA's key research tracks
focuses on ADS safety performance, and seeks to identify the methods,
metrics, and tools to assess how well the ADS-equipped vehicle performs
both normal driving tasks as well crash avoidance capabilities. Such
assessments include system performance and behavior relative to the
system's stated ODD and object and event detection and response (OEDR)
capabilities, as well as fail-safe capabilities if/when it is
confronted with conditions outside its ODD. A second high-level
research focus is on functional safety and ADS subsystem performance. A
third research area relevant to this document relates to the
cybersecurity of vehicles and systems, including ADS. Finally, NHTSA is
also researching human factors issues that may accompany vehicles
equipped with ADS.
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\32\ https://www.transportation.gov/av/4.
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One key example of NHTSA's efforts to develop safety performance
models and metrics is the Instantaneous Safety Metric (ISM)--a research
document published in 2017.\33\ The ISM calculates physically possible
trajectories that a subject vehicle and other roadway users in the
surrounding traffic could take given a set of possible actions (e.g.,
steering wheel angles, brake/throttle) within a preset, finite period
of time in the future and calculates which trajectory combinations
could result in a potential multi-actor crash. A metric determined by
the number and/or proportion of trajectories (and severity/probability
of the action that leads to that trajectory) that may lead to a crash
could serve as a proxy for the estimated safety risk associated with
the given snapshot of the driving state.
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\33\ ``A Novel Method to Evaluate the Safety of Highly Automated
Vehicles'' Joshua L. Every, Frank Barickman, John Martin Sughosh,
Rao Scott Schnelle, Bowen Weng, Paper Number 17-0076; 25th
International Technical Conference on the Enhanced Safety of
Vehicles (ESV), available at https://indexsmart.mirasmart.com/25esv/PDFfiles/25ESV000076.pdf.
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An updated approach, referred to as the Model Predictive
Instantaneous Safety Metric (MPrISM), builds upon the ISM concept and
modifies its assessment method.\34\ MPrISM considers the subject
vehicle's range of fully controllable actions and calculates crash
implications under the scenario of best response choices by the subject
vehicle and worst choices by other actors in the scene.
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\34\ ``Model Predictive Instantaneous Safety Metric for
Evaluation of Automated Driving Systems''. Bowen Weng, Sughosh J.
Rao, Eeshan Deosthale, Scott Schnelle, Frank Barickman, available
at: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.09999v1.
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One of the benefits of ISM and MPrISM is their relatable logical
reasoning and straight-forward analytical construction. However, ISM is
not without its challenges in administering in real-world applications.
One of those challenges is the significant computational complexity
required for effective utilization. MPrISM attempts to address this
computational complexity and can be run using real time data at
reasonable processing rates. Through new metric development efforts
such as MPrISM, NHTSA will continue researching ways to reduce
complexity while also evaluating private sector approaches with a goal
of facilitating the advancement of candidate safety performance models
and metrics.
4. Other Notable Efforts Under Consideration as Engineering Measures
Various companies and organizations have begun efforts to develop a
framework or at least portions of one. For example, in 2018, RAND
Corporation issued a report proposing a partial framework for measuring
safety in ADS-equipped vehicles.\35\ In developing that framework, RAND
considered how to define ADS safety, how to measure ADS safety, and how
to communicate what is learned or understood about ADS. The RAND report
purports to present a framework to discuss how safety can be measured
in a technology- and company-neutral way.
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\35\ Laura Fraade-Blanar, Marjory S. Blumenthal, James M.
Anderson, Nidhi Kalra, Measuring Automated Vehicle Safety--Forging a
Framework, Rand, 2018, available at https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR2600/RR2662/RAND_RR2662.pdf.
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Another effort is led by NVIDIA, which published a document
proposing a framework called the Safety Force Field \36\ that is
articulated as a
[[Page 78065]]
computational method to assess through simulation whether an ADS is
monitoring its surrounding environment successfully and not taking
unacceptable actions. The stated goal behind the Safety Force Field is
avoiding crashes, and it seeks to accomplish this through setting a
driving policy that analyzes the surrounding environment and predicts
actions by other road users. Based upon this analysis, the system would
then seek to determine potential actions that avoid creating or
contributing to unsafe conditions that could lead to a crash.
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\36\ David Nist[eacute]r, Hon-Leung Lee, Julia Ng, and Yizhou
Wang, An Introduction to the Safety Force Field, Nvidia. Available
at https://www.nvidia.com/content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/self-driving-cars/safety-force-field/an-introduction-to-the-safety-force-field-updated.pdf. See also David Nist[eacute]r, Hon-Leung Lee, Julia Ng,
and Yizhou Wang, Safety Force Field, Nvidia. Available at https://www.nvidia.com/content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/self-driving-cars/safety-force-field/the-safety-force-field.pdf.
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In early July 2019, 11 companies,\37\ collectively referred to as
``Safety First for Automated Driving,'' released a paper describing
safety by design, and verification and validation (V&V) methods for
ADS.\38\ This paper states that it aims to address L3 and higher levels
of automation, and can serve as a useful starting point for examining
V&V methods appropriate for ADS. To guide safety efforts, the paper
identifies principles (12 in all) towards addressing safe operation;
safety layer; ODD; behavior in traffic; user responsibility; vehicle-
initiated handover; driver-initiated handover; effects of automation;
safety assessment; data recording; security; and passive safety. These
principles are expressed to be relevant to ADS, and most of them,
except those relating to handover to a human operator, are indicated to
be relevant to L4 and above.
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\37\ The 11 companies that comprise Safety First for Automated
Driving are: Audi, BMW, Aptiv, Baidu, Continental, Daimler, Fiat
Chrysler Automobiles, Here, Infineon, Intel and Volkswagen.
\38\ ``Safety First for Automated Driving,'' available at
https://newsroom.intel.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2019/07/Intel-Safety-First-for-Automated-Driving.pdf.
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Finally, several other companies and organizations have published
or are developing either documents to guide the safe testing and
deployment of ADS or technical approaches to programming ADS in order
to reduce the likelihood of facing crash-imminent situations. For
example, Intel's Mobileye published a document proposing a framework
called Responsibility Sensitive Safety \39\ (RSS), intended to address
issues with multi-agent safety (defined by them as safe operation and
interaction with multiple independent road users in a given
environment). RSS is a mathematical model for multi-agent safety that
incorporates common-sense rules of driving while interacting with other
road users in a way that minimizes the chance of causing a crash, all
while operating within normal behavioral expectations. The method is
constructed with respect to ``right-of-way'' rules, occluded objects
avoidance, and safe distance maintenance, both longitudinally and
laterally. Mobileye also claims that special traffic conditions are
covered in the discussion including intersection with traffic lights,
unstructured roads, and collisions involving pedestrians (or other road
users).\40\
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\39\ Shai Shalev-Shwartz, Shaked Shammah, and Amnon Shashua, On
a Formal Model of Safe and Scalable Self-driving Cars, Mobileye,
2017. Summary available at https://newsroom.intel.com/newsroom/wp-content/uploads/sites/11/2017/10/autonomous-vehicle-safety-strategy.pdf and https://newsroom.intel.com/editorials/paving-way-toward-safer-roads-all/#gs.8qhmve. Full paper available at https://arxiv.org/pdf/1708.06374.pdf.
\40\ Mobileye, Implementing the RSS Model on NHTSA Pre-Crash
Scenarios, p. 3. Available at https://www.mobileye.com/responsibility-sensitive-safety/rss_on_nhtsa.pdf.
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NHTSA is paying close attention to the efforts of other
organizations to develop documents related to ADS safety that might be
useful from a Federal regulatory perspective. While this document
describes some of those efforts, it does not include all. NHTSA is also
considering how it might harness process measures as part of a safety
framework.
B. Process Measures--Safety Risk Minimization in the Design,
Development, and Refinement of ADS
Vehicle process measures help an organization manage and minimize
safety risk by identifying and mitigating sources of risk during the
design, development, and refinement of new motor vehicles and motor
vehicle equipment. Unlike engineering measures, process measures
address safety issues that cannot be efficiently or thoroughly
addressed through the FMVSS approach to testing, since process
standards help to ensure reliability and robustness of designs over the
life of the vehicle, and in ``edge'' cases--both of which are difficult
or impossible to verify through one-time testing a finished vehicle.
Careful adherence to process standards can enhance the safety of
finished motor vehicles substantially.\41\ While some of the standards
described below are not specific to ADS, the principles underlying such
standards can prove useful in ADS development.
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\41\ Transportation Research Board Special Report 308, The
Safety Promise and Challenge of Automotive Electronics: Insights
from Unintended Acceleration, 2012. The Board is part of the
National Research Council, which is, in turn, part of the National
Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. At pages 87-88,
this report describes the role that process measures could play in
meeting the challenges presented by electronic systems and their
``hardware components'' and ``software components.'' The report is
available on a number of online sites, including https://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/sr/sr308.pdf and https://www.nap.edu/catalog/13342/trb-special-report-308-the-safety-challenge-and-promise-of-automotive-electronics and https://www.omg.org/hot-topics/documents/Safety-Promise-and-Challenge-of-Automotive-Electronics-TRB-2012.pdf.
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1. Functional Safety
ISO 26262 describes a documentation of a process for the evaluation
of functional safety \42\ to assist in the development of safety-
related electrical and/or electronic (E/E) systems.\43\ This framework
is intended to be used by manufacturers to integrate functional safety
concepts into a company-specific development framework. Some
requirements have a clear technical focus to implement functional
safety into a product; others address the development process itself
and can therefore be seen as process requirements in order to
demonstrate an organization's capability with respect to functional
safety.
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\42\ Functional safety is the absence of risk caused by a system
malfunction typically involving an electronic control system.
\43\ See https://www.iso.org/standard/68383.html.
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ISO 26262 addresses identified, unreasonable safety risks arising
from electrical and electronic failures. The framework is intended to
be applied to safety-related systems that include one or more E/E
systems that are installed in production road vehicles, excluding
mopeds. ISO 26262 seeks to avoid failures associated with electronics
systems--including those related to software programming, intermittent
electronic hardware faults, and electromagnetic disturbances--and
mitigate the impact of potential equipment faults during operation.\44\
In addition to addressing fault conditions, it contains hazard analysis
and risk assessment provisions, design, verification and validation
(V&V) requirements, and safety management guidance.
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\44\ Van Eikema Hommes, Q.D. (2016, June). Assessment of safety
standards for automotive electronic control systems. (Report No. DOT
HS 812 285). Washington, DC: National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration, available at https://www.nhtsa.gov/sites/nhtsa.dot.gov/files/812285_electronicsreliabilityreport.pdf.
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ISO 26262 seeks to ensure systems have the capability to mitigate
failure risk sufficiently for identified hazards. The needed amount of
mitigation depends upon the severity of a potential loss event,
operational exposure to hazards, and human driver controllability of
the system when failure occurs. These factors combine into an
Automotive Safety Integrity Level (ASIL) per a predetermined risk
[[Page 78066]]
table. The assigned ASIL for a function determines which technical and
process mitigations should be applied, including specified design and
analysis tasks that must be performed.\45\
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\45\ Id.
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2. Safety of the Intended Functionality
The safety of ADS is also linked to other factors such as
conceivable human misuse of the function, performance limitations of
sensors or systems, and unanticipated changes in the vehicle's
environment.\46\
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\46\ Peters Els, Rethinking Autonomous Vehicle Functional Safety
Standards: An Analysis of SOTIF and ISO 26262, March 25, 2019,
available at https://www.automotive-iq.com/autonomous-drive/articles/rethinking-autonomous-vehicle-functional-safety-standards-an-analysis-of-sotif-and-iso-26262.
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Safety of the Intended Functionality (SOTIF) attempts to prevent
insufficiencies of the intended functionality or reasonably foreseeable
misuse by persons. ISO 21448 is a safety standard for driver assistance
functions that could fail to operate properly even if no equipment
fault is present. SOTIF does not apply to faults covered by the ISO
26262 series or to hazards directly caused by the system technology
(e.g., eye damage from a laser sensor). Rather, SOTIF works in tandem
with ISO 26262 to help a manufacturer assess and mitigate a variety of
risks during the development process, with ISO 26262 focusing on
mitigating failure risk and ISO 21448 mitigating foreseeable system
misuse.
ISO 21448 is intended to be applied to intended functionality where
proper situational awareness is critical to safety, and where that
situational awareness is derived from complex sensors and processing
algorithms; especially emergency intervention systems (e.g., active
safety braking systems) and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS)
with SAE driving automation Levels 1 and 2 on the SAE standard J3016
automation scales. Per SAE International, the standard can be
considered for higher levels of automation, though additional measures
might be necessary.\47\
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\47\ See https://www.iso.org/standard/70939.html.
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ISO 21448 primarily considers mitigating risks due to unexpected
operating conditions (the intended function might not always work in
such conditions due to limitations of sensors and algorithms) and gaps
in requirements (lack of complete description about the actual intended
function). Highlights of this standard include covering:
Insufficient situational awareness;
Foreseeable misuse and human-machine interaction issues;
Issues arising from operational environment (weather,
infrastructure, etc.);
Identifying and filling requirement gaps (removing
``unknowns''); and
Enumerating operational scenarios.\48\
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\48\ Philip Koopman, et al, A Safety Standard Approach for Fully
Autonomous Vehicles.
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3. UL 4600
UL has developed ``UL 4600: Standard for Safety for the Evaluation
of Autonomous Products,'' a draft voluntary industry standard that
states to take a safety case approach to ensuring the safety of
ADS.\49\ The published safety case approach includes three primary
elements: Goals, argumentation, and evidence; each of which is stated
to support the previous element to build an overarching safety case.
The expressed goals are stated to be the same as ADS-related safety
goals that an organization would be trying to achieve. The
argumentation is claimed to describe the organization's analysis for
why it thinks the system has met that goal. Finally, evidence is what
the organization would consider to be sufficient to show that its
arguments are reasonable and support the organization's assertion that
it has met its safety goal.\50\ Preliminary versions of the document
were released in 2019, and UL released its most recent version of UL
4600 on April 1, 2020.\51\ Like ISO 26262 and 21448, UL 4600 is a
process-focused standard that is intended for use by the manufacturers
in developing ADS. However, unlike those ISO standards, UL 4600 was
developed primarily for ADS.\52\
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\49\ See https://edge-case-research.com/ul4600/.
\50\ Philip Koopman, An Overview of Draft UL 4600: ``Standard
for Safety for the Evaluation of Autonomous Products,'' June 20,
2019, available at https://medium.com/@pr_97195/an-overview-of-draft-ul-4600-standard-for-safety-for-the-evaluation-of-autonomous-products-a50083762591.
\51\ See https://www.shopulstandards.com/ProductDetail.aspx?productid=UL4600.
\52\ See https://www.eetimes.com/safe-autonomy-ul-4600-and-how-it-grew/#.
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With the descriptions of Functional Safety, SOTIF, and UL 4600 as
background, NHTSA is considering how it might make use of these process
standards in the context of developing a new framework concerning ADS,
based either in regulation or providing guidance. Traditional FMVSS may
not be suitable for addressing certain critical safety issues relating
to aspects of the core safety functions of perception, planning, and
control. NHTSA requests comment on the specific ways in which
Functional Safety, SOTIF, and/or UL 4600 could be adopted, either
modified or as-is, into a mechanism that NHTSA could use to consider
the minimum performance of an ADS or a minimum risk threshold an ADS
must meet within the context of Vehicle Safety Act requirements.
IV. Safety Framework--Administrative Mechanisms for Implementation and
Oversight
This section describes a variety of mechanisms that could be used,
singularly or in combination, to implement the elements of a safety
framework.\53\ The possibility that multiple mechanisms might
ultimately be used does not mean that they could or would need to be
implemented in the same timeframe. While some mechanisms could be
implemented in the near term, others would need to be developed through
additional research and then validated before they could be
implemented. Thus, the mechanisms could be adopted and implemented, if
and when needed, in a prioritized and phased manner.\54\ Implementation
of some types of mechanisms might rarely be necessary, while others may
be temporary until different mechanisms would take their place.
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\53\ The Agency notes that while some of the mechanisms
described in this document could be implemented through rulemaking
pursuant to the Vehicle Safety Act, others are more suited to take
the form of guidance.
\54\ A phased approach is how the Agency is also modernizing the
FMVSS for ADS-equipped vehicles without traditional manual controls,
and may be the more expedient way to make progress while continuing
necessary research and other work in the background.
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The array of available mechanisms roughly falls into either of two
categories: (1) Voluntary mechanisms for monitoring, influencing and/or
encouraging greater care; and (2) regulatory mechanisms. The former
group includes voluntary disclosure, the New Car Assessment Program,
and guidance. The latter group includes FMVSS and any other compulsory
requirements.
A. Voluntary Mechanisms
NHTSA can establish various mechanisms to gather or generate
information about:
How developers are analyzing the safety of their ADS;
how developers are identifying potential safety risks of
those systems; and
what methods developers are choosing to mitigate those
risks.
This information could: (1) Enable the Agency to take proactive
actions to encourage the development of innovative technologies in a
manner that allows them to reach their full safety potential; (2) help
the Agency
[[Page 78067]]
avoid taking action that hampers safety innovation or otherwise
adversely affect safety; and (3) support the Agency's existing programs
by helping the Agency become more responsive to new technologies. To
the extent ADS developers make such information available to the Agency
and the public, competing developers may be encouraged to place greater
emphasis on safety and improve transparency on their efforts in that
regard.
1. Safety Self-Assessment and Other Disclosure/Reporting
Demonstrating the safety of ADS is critical for facilitating public
confidence and acceptance, which may lead to increased adoption of the
technology. Entities involved in the development and deployment of
automation technology have an important role in their responsibilities
for safety assurance of ADS-equipped vehicles and in providing
transparency about their systems are achieving safety.
ADS 2.0 provided guidance to stakeholders regarding the safe
design, testing, and deployment of ADS. This document identified 12
safety elements that ADS developers should consider when developing and
testing their technologies.\55\ ADS 2.0 also introduced the concept of
a Voluntary Safety Self-Assessment (VSSA), which is intended to
encourage developers to demonstrate to the public that they are:
Considering the safety aspects of an ADS; communicating and
collaborating with the U.S. DOT; encouraging the self-establishment of
industry safety norms; and building public trust, acceptance, and
confidence through transparent testing and deployment of ADS.\56\
Entities were encouraged to demonstrate how they address the safety
elements contained in A Vision for Safety by publishing a VSSA on their
websites. NHTSA believes that VSSAs are an important tool for companies
to showcase their approach to safety without needing to reveal
proprietary intellectual property. The Agency hopes that VSSAs show the
public that how these companies are addressing safety and how safety
considerations are built into the design and manufacture of ADS-
equipped vehicles that are tested on public roadways. As of June 2020,
23 developers and automakers have published VSSAs, which represents a
significant portion of the industry.
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\55\ Id., pp. 5-15.
\56\ Id., p. 16
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Another voluntary reporting mechanism aimed at transparency is
NHTSA's AV TEST Initiative, which involves both a series of events
throughout the country where NHTSA, State and local governments,
automakers, and ADS developers share information about activities. AV
TEST is also expected to result in a website for companies to share
information with the public about their vehicles, including details of
on-road testing.
One type of administrative mechanism under consideration is to use
guidance to encourage the development of a safety case by
manufacturers. As used in this document, a safety case is ``a
structured argument, supported by a body of evidence that provides a
compelling, comprehensible, and valid case that a system is safe for a
given application in a given operating environment.'' \57\ For NHTSA's
purposes, ``valid'' as used in this context means ``verifiable.'' Such
an administrative mechanism might be implementable more quickly than
other mechanisms and could allow vehicle and equipment manufacturers
flexibility in documenting the competence of their ADS in performing
sensing, perception, planning, and control of its intended functions.
It may be possible, within the limits of administrative feasibility, to
tailor some aspects of these demonstrations to a vehicle's design
purpose and intended scope of operation. Another, more extensive, means
of increasing transparency of how a company developed its ADS would be
for the developer to disclose (e.g., to NHTSA and/or the public) some
or all its safety case. This disclosure would provide the results of
applying the company's own stated performance metrics, metric
thresholds, and test procedures, and how those results justify its
belief that its vehicle is functionally and operationally capable of
performing each of the core elements of ADS safety performance.\58\
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\57\ As used in this document, the term ``safety case'' has the
same meaning as that term is used by Philip Koopman, Aaron Kane, and
Jen Black in their paper, Credible Autonomy Safety Argumentation,
2019. The article is available at https://users.ece.cmu.edu/
~koopman/pubs/Koopman19_SSS_CredibleSafetyArgumentation .pdf. See
also Philip Koopman, ``How to keep self-driving cars safe when no
one is watching for dashboard warning lights,'' The Hill, June 30,
2018, available at https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/394945-how-to-keep-self-driving-cars-safe-when-no-one-is-watching-for-dashboard.
\58\ See, e.g., Koopman, Philip, ``How to keep self-driving cars
safe when no one is watching for dashboard warning lights,'' June
30, 2018. Available at https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/394945-how-to-keep-self-driving-cars-safe-when-no-one-is-watching-for-dashboard. See also Bryant Walker Smith, Regulation and the Risk
of Inaction in Autonomous Driving: Technical Legal and Social
Aspects, at 571-587, (Markus Maurer, J. Christian Gerdes, Barbara
Lenz, and Hermann Winner, editors, 2016), available at https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-3-662-48847-8.pdf.
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2. New Car Assessment Program (NCAP)
Short of setting a safety standard, an ADS competency evaluation
could be added in NCAP. While an FMVSS obstacle-course performance
test, standing alone, would likely be inadequate to evaluate ADS
competence, such a test might form a useful foundation for consumer
information under the NCAP program. This evaluation could be developed
and used to measure the relative performance of an ADS in navigating a
variable environment (within established operational ranges) and
complex set of interactions with stimulus road users (e.g., dummy
vehicles, pedestrians, and cyclists) on a course, with note made of
variances in the manner in which the course was completed. All ADS-
equipped vehicles could be expected to avoid collisions (including
avoiding causing collisions), while adhering to a driving model that
minimizes the risks of getting into crash-imminent situations and
observing operational limitations, such as limits on rates of
acceleration and deceleration and limits on absolute speed.
Additionally, operational data relating to crash avoidance performance,
as well as ``nominal'' driving behaviors (e.g., lane-keeping ability),
could be collected during ``on-road driving'' and could be used to
contribute to an overall safety performance assessment method.
Relatedly, an NCAP program could provide comparative data on the
occupant protection afforded by ADS vehicles.
The information NCAP provides empowers consumers to compare the
relative safety of new vehicles and to make informed vehicle-purchasing
decisions. This information has encouraged automakers to compete based
upon improving safety--encouraging safety advancements and swift
adoption of performance improvements that improve the safety of motor
vehicles. For example, with the inclusion of static and dynamic
rollover prevention tests into the NCAP program in 2001 and 2003, NHTSA
encouraged the advancement and further deployment of safety improving
technologies--notably electronic stability control--to prevent rollover
crashes. This deployment took place more than 10 years before a FMVSS
for electronic stability control went into effect.\59\ In part because
of the market demand triggered by that encouragement, 29 percent of MY
2006 vehicles already had ESC voluntarily
[[Page 78068]]
installed. NCAP's power to provide safety-relevant information to
consumers, thus driving consumer demand for safety improvements in the
market, could similarly be harnessed and applied to ADS performance.
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\59\ While the NPRM for the creation of FMVSS No. 126 was issued
in 2006, the new standard did not apply until MY 2012.
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3. Operational Guidance
At the current stage in the development of the technologies needed
for wide-scale deployment of ADS, the specific areas for which
regulatory intervention might be most needed remain uncertain and the
appropriate regulatory performance metrics and safety thresholds remain
unknown. The Department has therefore sought to enhance safety through
voluntary guidance, instead of mandatory requirements. The Agency is
requesting comment on whether developing further guidance on
engineering and process measures remains the most appropriate
approach.\60\
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\60\ This approach has been recognized by WP 29. See https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/trans/doc/2019/wp29/ECE-TRANS-WP29-2019-34-rev.1e.pdf. With respect to engineering measures, the development
of guidance is often based upon much of the same work that would
lead to the development of industry standards, i.e., the development
and validation of performance metrics, performance thresholds, and
test procedures.
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To ensure due process and appropriate consideration of views of
stakeholders and the general public in the development of guidance,
certain guidance documents are subject to public comment--in accordance
with Department of Transportation Regulations on Guidance Documents
\61\ and Executive Order 13891.\62\ That said, guidance documents, as
they simply recommend rather than require actions by regulated
entities, are more appropriate at this early stage in the development
of ADS and ADS-equipped vehicles, reserving mandatory requirements for
when the technology is sufficiently mature and actual safety needs have
been more clearly identified. Guidance documents also provide the
agency greater flexibility in making recommendations, as they do not
need to meet the strict requirements that FMVSS must meet and are
generally easier to adopt and modify than mandatory requirements issued
in a FMVSS. The Agency, therefore, would likely be able to develop and
update these guidance documents more quickly, and design them to be
more reflective of consensus industry standards and practices as they
continue to develop.
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\61\ 49 CFR 5.25, et seq.
\62\ Executive Order 13891, ``Promoting the Rule of Law Through
Improved Agency Guidance Documents'' Oct. 9, 2019.
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Issuing guidance, working with States and developers to deepen
communications, identifying for manufacturers critical safety aspects
generally applicable to ADS, and exercising safety oversight using
NHTSA's existing broad enforcement authorities \63\ have, for the most
part, been NHTSA's approaches to the development of ADS thus far. NHTSA
expects that these will continue to be the Agency's approaches to ADS
for the foreseeable future while it conducts the research necessary to
develop meaningful performance tests and metrics and while it closely
monitors changes occurring in the private development of ADS and
business models that surround the technology.
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\63\ NHTSA has broad investigatory and enforcement authority
relating to motor vehicle safety. While NHTSA can order a recall for
FMVSS non-compliance, it can also order a recall when it learns of a
defect in the design, construction, or performance of a vehicle or
item of equipment that poses an unreasonable risk to motor vehicle
safety that increases the likelihood of a crash occurring or
increases the likelihood of injury or death should a crash occur. In
fact, the vast majority of recalls are issued for safety related
defects that having nothing to do with FMVSS.
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B. Regulatory Mechanisms
That said, the Agency believes that, at some point, regulation of
the ADS will likely be necessary and is exploring ways it could
appropriately regulate ADS, being mindful of the need to avoid creating
unnecessary barriers to innovation or unintended safety risks. As
discussed above, many stakeholders are already exploring a variety of
approaches to assessing ADS performance and measuring ADS safety. The
following explores what regulatory mechanisms the Agency is currently
using and how future approaches might be incorporated into the FMVSS,
either separately or together and in conjunction with non-regulatory
mechanisms.
1. Mandatory Reporting and/or Disclosure
In addition to the voluntary reporting/disclosure activities
discussed in the previous section, NHTSA has also taken steps to
require the disclosure and reporting of certain information in the
context of exemptions. NHTSA recently conditioned the Agency's grant of
a petition for temporary exemption on a set of terms that include
mandatory reporting of information on the operation of the vehicles
equipped with ADS.\64\ The petition for exemption was from Nuro, Inc.
for a low-speed (25 mph maximum), electric-powered occupantless
delivery vehicle that will be operated by an ADS.\65\ In NHTSA's notice
granting the petition for exemption, the Agency stated: ``NHTSA has
determined that it is in the public interest to establish a number of
reporting and other terms of deployment of the vehicles that will apply
throughout the useful life of these vehicles--violation of which can
result in the termination of this exemption.'' \66\ The terms include
post-crash reporting, periodic reporting, cybersecurity, and other
general requirements.\67\
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\64\ 85 FR 7826 (Feb. 11, 2020), available at https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2020/02/11/2020-02668/nuro-inc-grant-of-temporary-exemption-for-a-low-speed-vehicle-with-an-automated-driving-system.
\65\ Id.
\66\ Id., p. 7827.
\67\ Id., p., 7840.
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NHTSA also maintains a process for the temporary importation of
noncompliant vehicles into the Unites States for research,
demonstration, testing, and other purposes.\68\ For entities other than
manufacturers of certified motor vehicles, approval of a temporary
exemption comes in the form of written permission from NHTSA that the
importer may import the noncompliant vehicle.\69\ When NHTSA began
receiving requests for exemptions to import ADS-equipped vehicles for
research and demonstration purposes, NHTSA determined that additional
requirements were necessary to exercise oversight and monitor the
safety of the exempt vehicles' operations. NHTSA may condition approval
for importation of a noncompliant vehicle on specific terms and
conditions.\70\ Similar to the terms that accompany a grant of a
petition for exemption, the terms that importers are required to meet
depend upon the information included in the petition, and are generally
established to mitigate risks. Many of the terms required of Nuro have
also been required for importers who have received permission to import
a non-compliant ADS-equipped vehicle. Some examples of additional terms
and conditions added to permission letters for vehicles equipped with
ADS include: requiring that the noncompliant vehicle be used only in
the ways described in the application; annual reporting on the status
of all vehicles granted temporary exemptions; disengagement reporting;
and reporting incidents of near misses, situations in which the trained
operator acted to avoid an imminent crash, deviations
[[Page 78069]]
from the prescribed route, and unexpected lane departures.
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\68\ 49 U.S.C. 30114; 49 CFR part 591.
\69\ 49 U.S.C. 30114; 49 CFR part 591.
\70\ 49 CFR 591.6(f)(2).
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2. NHTSA's FMVSS Setting Authority
NHTSA has broad jurisdiction over motor vehicle safety pursuant to
the Safety Act (49 U.S.C. Chapter 301), the purpose of which is ``to
reduce traffic accidents and deaths and injuries resulting from traffic
accidents.'' The Safety Act defines ``motor vehicle safety'' as
inclusive of both operational and nonoperational safety. Specifically,
```motor vehicle safety' means the performance of a motor vehicle or
motor vehicle equipment in a way that protects the public against
unreasonable risk of accidents occurring because of the design,
construction, or performance of a motor vehicle, and against
unreasonable risk of death or injury in an accident, and includes
nonoperational safety of a motor vehicle.'' \71\
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\71\ 49 U.S.C. 30102(a)(9).
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The Safety Act authorizes the issuance of FMVSS for motor vehicles
and motor vehicle equipment and the recall and remedy of motor vehicles
and equipment failing to comply with a FMVSS or containing a defect
that poses an unreasonable risk to safety. The FMVSS are intended to be
uniform national standards so that compliant vehicles can be sold
throughout the United States.\72\
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\72\ Truck Safety Equipment Institute vs. Kane, 466 F. Supp.
1242, 1250 (M.D.Pa.1979).
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Among the products that fall within the scope of this authority are
all vehicle systems and their parts and components. Modern computer-
controlled electronic systems, like object detection and identification
systems needed to protect vulnerable road users, automatic emergency
braking systems, and air bag systems, are composed of hardware and
software components, both of which are necessary to the functioning of
those systems. Without their software components, computer-controlled
electronic systems are merely non-functional assemblages of hardware
components, incapable of protecting anyone. NHTSA has used its
authority to specify how and when the hardware components of complex
electronic systems, such as advanced air bags and anti-lock braking
systems, must activate and perform. This performance-oriented approach
gives manufacturers freedom to develop the software components needed
to control the performance of each system's hardware components. NHTSA
has also repeatedly exercised its authority over software when the
software components of the computerized electronic systems of motor
vehicles have been determined to contain a safety defect and thus
become the subject of a recall campaign.\73\
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\73\ See Addendum B for a list of examples of software-related
recalls.
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The Safety Act defines ``motor vehicle safety standard'' as ``a
minimum standard for motor vehicle or motor vehicle equipment
performance.'' \74\ This definition contemplates that each FMVSS (1)
regulates one or more identified aspects of vehicle or equipment
performance, and (2) specifies a minimum threshold for each of those
aspects of performance (i.e., a required level of that aspect of
performance that regulated products must at least equal to protect
against unreasonable risk of crashes or unreasonable risk of death or
injury in a crash). Such a threshold serves as a clear separation of
compliant from noncompliant products. In the event of noncompliance,
the threshold also aids NHTSA in determining the nature and extent of
the needed remedy and in determining the seriousness of the
noncompliance, which, in turn, is relevant in determining the
appropriate amount of any civil penalty. Specifying minimum levels of
safety performance in a standard also enables the Agency to estimate
the benefits and the costs of complying with a standard and determine
what level of stringency maximizes net benefits, as contemplated by
Executive Order 12866 \75\ and Department of Transportation
regulations.\76\
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\74\ 49 U.S.C. 30102(a)(9) (emphasis added).
\75\ Available at https://www.archives.gov/files/federal-register/executive-orders/pdf/12866.pdf.
\76\ 49 CFR 5.5. This regulation requires the following when
developing or issuing regulations, including regulations to
establish FMVSS:
(a) There should be no more regulations than necessary. In
considering whether to propose a new regulation, policy makers
should consider whether the specific problem to be addressed
requires agency action, whether existing rules (including standards
incorporated by reference) have created or contributed to the
problem and should be revised or eliminated, and whether any other
reasonable alternatives exist that obviate the need for a new
regulation.
(b) All regulations must be supported by statutory authority and
consistent with the Constitution.
(c) Where they rest on scientific, technical, economic, or other
specialized factual information, regulations should be supported by
the best available evidence and data.
(d) Regulations should be written in plain English, should be
straightforward, and should be clear.
(e) Regulations should be technologically neutral, and, to the
extent feasible, they should specify performance objectives, rather
than prescribing specific conduct that regulated entities must
adopt.
(f) Regulations should be designed to minimize burdens and
reduce barriers to market entry whenever possible, consistent with
the effective promotion of safety. Where they impose burdens,
regulations should be narrowly tailored to address identified market
failures or specific statutory mandates.
(g) Unless required by law or compelling safety need,
regulations should not be issued unless their benefits are expected
to exceed their costs. For each new significant regulation issued,
agencies must identify at least two existing regulatory burdens to
be revoked.
(h) Once issued, regulations and other agency actions should be
reviewed periodically and revised to ensure that they continue to
meet the needs they were designed to address and remain cost-
effective and cost-justified.
(i) Full public participation should be encouraged in rulemaking
actions, primarily through written comment and engagement in public
meetings. Public participation in the rulemaking process should be
conducted and documented, as appropriate, to ensure that the public
is given adequate knowledge of substantive information relied upon
in the rulemaking process.
(j) The process for issuing a rule should be sensitive to the
economic impact of the rule; thus, the promulgation of rules that
are expected to impose greater economic costs should be accompanied
by additional procedural protections and avenues for public
participation.
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In addition, each FMVSS must be objective and practicable.\77\ The
Sixth Circuit has held that the FMVSS objectivity requirement means
that compliance with an FMVSS standard must be susceptible to objective
measurements, which are capable of repetition.\78\ Each FMVSS must also
be reasonable, practicable, and appropriate for each type of vehicle to
which it applies.\79\ In the interest of transparency, and as a matter
of due process, each FMVSS must also give reasonable notice of what
performance is required and how compliance will be determined.\80\
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\77\ 49 U.S.C. 30111(a).
\78\ See Chrysler Corp. v. Dep't of Transp., 472 F.2d 659, 675-
76 (6th Cir. 1972) (citing House Report 1776, 89th Cong. 2d
Sess.1966, p. 16).
\79\ 49 U.S.C. 30111(b)(3).
\80\ See United States v. Chrysler Corp. 158 F.3d 1350, 1354
(D.C. Cir. 1972).
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NHTSA has broad authority to issue FMVSS. ``[T]he Agency is
empowered to issue safety standards which require improvements in
existing technology or which require the development of new technology,
and it is not limited to issuing standards based solely on devices
already fully developed.'' \81\ However, NHTSA has learned from
previous experiences that establishing FMVSS prior to technology
readiness can lead to adverse safety consequences. Motor vehicles are
extraordinarily complicated machines that are massive and move at very
high speeds. When setting a performance standard not appropriately
grounded in the capabilities of technologies employed to meet the
standard, unexpected consequences can result. For instance, one of the
foundational court decisions regarding FMVSS involved the Agency's
[[Page 78070]]
establishment of braking standards for air brake-equipped trucks,
tractor-trailers, and buses--mandating stopping distances far shorter
than achieved in large trucks that were built at the time.\82\ The
stopping distance requirements required the entire industry to design
completely new braking systems. The Agency was aware that the shorter
stopping distances would increase the likelihood of wheel lock-up, so
the standard also required that the stops be made without wheel lock-
up--which effectively (although not explicitly) required manufacturers
to develop and install antilock computers on each axle. These antilock
devices proved unreliable,\83\ and, combined with the more-powerful
newly designed braking systems, resulted in increased risk of loss of
control resulting from wheel lock-up. Further, the susceptibility of
early sensors to outside interferences resulted in circumstances where
some trucks lost the use of brakes entirely. In invalidating
requirements under the standard, the Court of Appeals for the Ninth
Circuit found that ``because of unforeseen problems in the development
of the new braking systems, the Standard was neither reasonable nor
practicable at the time it was put into effect.'' \84\ The Court also
explained that NHTSA must ``ascertain, with all reasonable probability,
that its safety regulations do not produce a more dangerous highway
environment than that which existed prior to governmental
intervention.'' \85\
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\81\ Chrysler Corp. v. Dep't of Transp., 472 F.2d 659, 673 (6th
Cir. 1972).
\82\ Paccar, Inc. v. Nat'l Highway Traffic Safety Admin., 573
F.2d 632 (9th Cir. 1978)
\83\ Failure rates well over 50% were reported. Id. at 642
\84\ Id. at 640.
\85\ Id. at 643.
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Given the rapidly evolving state of ADS technology, NHTSA is taking
care that its actions do not result in unforeseen problems in the
development or deployment of ADS. Establishing FMVSS prior to
technology readiness hampers safety-improving innovation by diverting
developmental resources toward meeting a specific standard. Such a
regulatory approach could unnecessarily result in the Agency
establishing metrics and standards without a complete understanding of
the technology or safety implications and result in unintended
consequences, including loss of potential benefits that could have been
attained absent government intervention, a false sense of security, or
even inadvertently creating additional risk by mandating an approach
whose effects had not been known because regulation halted the
technology at too early a stage in its development.
NHTSA has typically used its FMVSS authority either to mandate the
installation of a proven technology by way of performance standards to
address a safety need and subject the technology to minimum performance
requirements, or to regulate voluntarily installed technology by
subjecting the technology to minimum performance safety requirements.
In most instances, when NHTSA has mandated the installation of a
technology by way of performance standards, it has not done so until
the technology is fully developed and mature, so that all buyers of new
vehicles have the protection of that technology. An example of this
practice is Electronic Stability Control (ESC). ESC development for
passenger cars began in the late 1980s, and three manufacturers
voluntarily installed the systems on some of their vehicles by
1995.\86\ After NHTSA evaluated real word data and realized the
beneficial effect of ESC in preventing crashes, NHTSA undertook a
rulemaking to establish FMVSS No. 126, ``Electronic stability control
systems for light vehicles.'' By the time a proposal was issued for
FMVSS No. 126, 29 percent of MY 2006 vehicles sold in the U.S. were
already voluntarily equipped with ESC.\87\ Given the profound benefits
of ESC, NHTSA's rulemaking impelled the expedited installation of ESC
in the vehicle fleet. While this has been a common practice, of
establishing performance standards and mandating that certain vehicles
be equipped with a system that meets those performance requirements, it
is too soon to tell if this will be the best path forward for ADS.
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\86\ https://knowhow.napaonline.com/electronic-stability-control-a-short-history/.
\87\ Id.
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Furthermore, there are notable instances in which NHTSA has
regulated voluntarily installed technologies by simply establishing
minimum safety performance requirements, as opposed to mandating the
installation of a technology, include when the Agency anticipated the
introduction of electric and compressed natural gas vehicles and fuel
systems, and issued standards to guard against risks of electric shock
and explosion.
Also, existing classes of vehicles (e.g., passenger cars, trucks,
buses, motorcycles, and low speed vehicles) subject to the existing
FMVSS are based largely on observable physical features (e.g., number
of designated seating positions) or objectively measurable
specifications (e.g., gross vehicle weight rating) or performance
(e.g., top speed).\88\ As a result, determining which class a vehicle
falls into involves a relatively simple, quick, and objective process.
Developers of ADS are taking a variety of approaches to the
vehicles that utilize their systems. Some are testing their systems in
fully FMVSS-compliant vehicles, others are exploring alternative
vehicle designs that would not comply with some or even all of the
current FMVSS, and even others are simply developing the ADS without a
particular vehicle type in mind--something that could be retrofit into
an existing vehicle, or a system that could be sold to automakers.
NHTSA expects that existing vehicle classes will remain relevant for
many purposes. Yet, new classes of vehicles may emerge as companies
begin to consider all the possible uses and business models available
for their systems. The need to define any new class in the context of
the FMVSS has not been determined.
3. Applying the Established FMVSS Framework to ADS Safety Principles
NHTSA believes that the critical relationship between the safety of
an ADS's design and the vehicle's decision-making system makes it
necessary to evaluate the safety of ADS performance considering
appropriate and well-defined ODD (for any system below Level 5). For
example, if an ADS is capable of only operating at speeds below 30
miles per hour (mph), it is reasonable and necessary to assess the
system at speeds below 30 mph. NHTSA might also consider whether it
would be appropriate to require that the vehicle be designed so that it
cannot operate automatically at speeds of 30 mph or more unless and
until it acquires the capability (e.g., through software updates) of
safely operating automatically above that speed. Similarly, if a
vehicle would become incapable of operating safely if one or more of
its sensors became non-functional, NHTSA might consider whether it
would be appropriate to require that the vehicle be designed so that it
can detect those problems and either cease to operate automatically in
a safe manner in those circumstances (in the case of a vehicle designed
to operate either manually or automatically) or operate automatically
in a reduced or ``limp home'' manner only.
State and local authorities also play critical roles in roadway
safety. Through establishing and enforcing their rules of the road,
these authorities have traditionally controlled such operational
matters as the speed at which vehicles may be driven and the condition
of certain types of safety equipment, such
[[Page 78071]]
as headlamps and taillamps. In the future, it is reasonable to expect
that such authorities may establish new rules of the road to address
ADS-equipped vehicles specifically. NHTSA could require that ADS be
designed such that they must follow all applicable traffic laws in the
areas of operation, thereby supporting State and local efforts to
ensure their traffic laws are observed. That said, NHTSA expects that
the States and localities would enforce those rules if broken, just as
they would today.
4. Reforming How NHTSA Drafts New FMVSS To Keep Pace With Rapidly
Evolving Technology
As the functions and capabilities of modern motor vehicles are
increasingly defined and controlled by software, vehicles will likely
continue to change and improve through software updates that occur
during the lifetime of the vehicle. Likewise, the more quickly vehicle
systems can change, the greater the risk that the current regulatory
requirements may unnecessarily interfere with innovation, and that the
slow pace of the regulatory process to address unnecessary barriers may
delay the introduction of new safety improvements.
The nature and requirements of the rulemaking process may challenge
the Agency's efforts to amend existing FMVSS and develop, validate, and
establish new FMVSS quickly enough to enable the Agency to keep pace
with the expected rapid rate of technological change. Some aspects of
the process are inherent and, thus, unavoidable, such as the often
lengthy period needed for preparatory research to develop and validate
performance metrics and test procedures and for the rulemaking process
to propose, take and consider comment, and eventually adopt the metrics
and procedures.
There are, however, other aspects of the process that are not only
amenable to reform, but that are also likely needed to change for
expedient application to future technologies. Some portions of the
existing FMVSS might be seen as overly specific, and insufficiently
technologically neutral. If a new generation of safety standards and
other safety regulations is determined to be needed for ADS, they might
be written, to the extent allowed by the law, so that they do not have
the effect of inadvertently locking future ADS into today's hardware
and software technologies. A new generation of performance requirements
and test procedures for ADS could be drafted with a greater eye to
enabling continuing technological innovation to ensure that the new
requirements do not become unintended obstacles to the use of new
technologies. In other words, the Agency should take care not to assume
that the specific technologies used in today's vehicles will be used in
future vehicle designs. Future standards--particularly those that
mandate vehicles be equipped with a certain technology--may be better
approached by focusing on objective vehicular functionality as opposed
to the performance of a specific discrete system. A new generation of
FMVSS should give the manufacturers of vehicles, sensors, software, and
other technologies needed for ADS sufficient flexibility to change and
improve without the need for frequent modifications to the regulations.
Such an approach may also benefit the safety of future vehicles through
more flexible standards that focus more on the safety outcome, rather
the performance of any specific technology.\89\
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\89\ NHTSA has always sought to draft the FMVSS requirements
broadly enough to permit use of both current technologies and
possible future systems, but the rapid pace of development of ADS
and other advanced technologies makes this objective more critical
than ever.
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What may be needed, then, is a new approach to structuring and
drafting standards that places greater reliance on more general, but
still objective, specifications of the types and required levels of
performance.\90\
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\90\ This effort to initiate reform in the vehicle safety
program is at least comparable in scope to the effort launched by
the Agency in 2003 when it issued an ANPRM to reform the Automobile
Fuel Economy Standards Program, 68 FR 74908 (Dec. 29, 2003).
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5. Examples of Regulatory Approaches
Below NHTSA provides some examples of potential regulatory
approaches that the Agency could consider including in a safety
framework. These examples are not intended to propose any particular
approach. Instead, they highlight some of the future approaches on
which NHTSA would like feedback.
a. FMVSS Requiring Obstacle Course-Based Validation in Variable
Scenarios and Conditions
A performance-oriented, outcome-based FMVSS could be developed
along one or more of the lines stated in ``AV 3.0'':
Performance-based safety standards could require manufacturers
to use test methods, such as sophisticated obstacle-course-based
test regimes, sufficient to validate that their ADS-equipped
vehicles can reliably handle the normal range of everyday driving
scenarios as well as unusual and unpredictable scenarios. Standards
could be designed to account for factors such as variations in
weather, traffic, and roadway conditions within a given system's
ODD, as well as sudden and unpredictable actions by other road
users. Test procedures could also be developed to ensure that an ADS
does not operate outside of the ODD established by the manufacturer.
Standards could provide for a range of potential behaviors--e.g.,
speed, distance, angles, and size--for surrogate vehicles,
pedestrians, and other obstacles that ADS-equipped vehicles would
need to detect and avoid.91 92
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\91\ Page 7. Available at https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/320711/preparing-future-transportation-automated-vehicle-30.pdf.
\92\ For an example of requirements that might be expressed as
mathematical functions, see the discussion of Mobileye's RSS in
section IV.C of this document.
However, physical testing of ADS functions through an obstacle
course with a wide range of potential scenarios and conditions would
not be without its own limitations. While physical obstacle course
testing may be appropriate and even necessary as part of a future FMVSS
regulating ADS competency, such a test is likely not sufficient to meet
the need for safety in and of itself. Testing an ADS is expected to be
different from the physical testing considered sufficient for today's
vehicles. No physical obstacle course would come close to replicating
the infinite number of driving scenarios an ADS would be expected to
navigate safely, nor the complexity of the driving situations that ADS
might encounter on the roads.
The level of ADS competency required to handle such diversity and
complexity is partly why ADSs are developed using a variety of
verification and validation tools when exposing the ADS to different
scenarios during development. ADS developers generally use an iterative
process that includes simulations, closed-course testing, and on-road
testing during development and demonstration to expose the ADS to as
many variables as reasonably possible, while also transferring
information from each of those methods of testing back to the others to
help ensure each method includes as many variables as possible.
Situations that occur during on-road testing are important information
for developers to include in the simulations used on ADS, and vice
versa, with scenarios from the simulations being important to validate
in the physical world through on-road testing. Though this iterative
testing is normal for the development process, it may also indicate how
challenging it might be for an obstacle-course test administered by a
third party to include an adequate number and type of scenarios to test
ADS competency, while also ensuring
[[Page 78072]]
that such a course would be objective and practicable. While a standard
obstacle course test may provide a baseline of performance, analogous
to current FMVSS that perform a subset of specific crash tests, it
cannot expose a vehicle to the entire spectrum of field crash
scenarios.
b. FMVSS Requiring Vehicles To Be Programmed To Drive Defensively in a
Risk-Minimizing Manner in Any Scenario Within Their ODD
An FMVSS might also require that the planning and control functions
of an ADS be programmed to adhere to a defensive driving model so as to
minimize the likelihood of getting into a crash-imminent situation
under any scenario within its ODD--similar to the driving policies and
metrics described in Mobileye's RSS, NVIDIA's Safety Force Field, and
NHTSA's MPrISM described previously. This could be accompanied by an
additional requirement that the vehicle be capable of automated
operation within its ODD only. The FMVSS could be complemented by a
requirement that each vehicle manufacturer state in the owner's manual
for each of its vehicles equipped with ADS that it would be unsafe for
the vehicle to operate in automated mode outside its ODD and that the
vehicle has therefore been designed so that it cannot do so. Such a
statement could also include a description of what behavior the vehicle
owner could expect in the circumstance that an ADS exceeds the limits
of its ODD, such as the vehicle will pull over in a safe location.\93\
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\93\ Importantly, even without standards in place to regulate
these aspects, NHTSA may consider the ability of an ODD-constrained
vehicle to operate outside of its ODD as strong evidence of a
safety-related defect.
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While programming an ADS to adhere to defensive driving models may
help lower the risk of crash, there are additional ADS performance
aspects that NHTSA would need to consider. Adherence to a defensive
driving model would be one potential requirement that could mitigate
some, but not all, safety risks. Much would also depend on the
implementation of that defensive driving model, and the efficacy of
that implementation.
c. FMVSS Drafted in a Highly Performance-Oriented Manner
The traditional approach to standard drafting is one where NHTSA
specifies the desired performance in great detail, and may also include
requirements to lessen the likelihood and mitigate the consequences of
failure. For instance, FMVSS No. 135 ``Light vehicle brake systems,''
establishes performance requirements for braking systems functioning
normally, and separate requirements for when brake power assist units
are inoperative or depleted of reserve capability. Applying this
approach to the myriad unique combinations of technologies that may be
developed to perform the four critical functions of an ADS could prove
quite challenging. For instance, the sensing function of an ADS may be
performed by one or a combination of technologies such as LiDAR, radar,
cameras, GPS, and V2X radios/antennae units. If the available
technologies that might be used for sensing fail in distinctly
different ways, the approach the Agency took in regulating light duty
braking might mean that any sensing standard must include different
requirements for different technologies.\94\ The degree of specificity
required for such an approach would necessitate successive rulemaking
proceedings to amend or remove regulatory provisions as they are
obsoleted by technological change.
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\94\ It should be noted that if an FMVSS were to include such
requirements, the amount of time needed to develop and adopt the
standard would likely be greater. Likewise, the need for periodic
rulemakings to keep the standard up-to-date and avoid potentially
adverse effects on the ability to introduce new hardware and
software would also likely be greater.
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To avoid this problem, any FMVSS that might be developed for ADS
could be drafted in a manner that minimizes the chances of creating new
barriers to innovation. As the Department stated in ``AV 3.0'':
Future motor vehicle safety standards will need to be more
flexible and responsive, technology-neutral, and performance-
oriented to accommodate rapid technological innovation. They may
incorporate simpler and more general requirements designed to
validate that an ADS can safely navigate the real-world roadway
environment, including unpredictable hazards, obstacles, and
interactions with other vehicles and pedestrians who may not always
adhere to the traffic laws or follow expected patterns of behavior.
Existing standards assume that a vehicle may be driven anywhere, but
future standards will need to take into account that the operational
design domain (ODD) for a particular ADS within a vehicle is likely
to be limited in some ways that may be unique to that system.\95\
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\95\ Page 7. Available at https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/policy-initiatives/automated-vehicles/320711/preparing-future-transportation-automated-vehicle-30.pdf.
The likelihood of different ADS having entirely different sensors,
systems, and even ODDs that are limited in entirely different ways
introduces additional challenges to NHTSA's traditional approach to
standard drafting. Generally, NHTSA establishes standards meeting the
need for safety in applicable circumstances. When one ADS can operate
only in a discrete set of conditions that varies almost entirely from
the discrete set of conditions in which another ADS is capable of
operating, establishing objective standards meeting the need for motor
vehicle safety for all ADS becomes that much more challenging.
Application of one specific or one series of prescriptive tests may not
be feasible or practical for that wide an array of technology and
operating limitations. Compounding this difficulty is the fact that a
given ADS is likely to be updated over time--and ODD limitations that
apply to a vehicle's ADS at the time of certification could be entirely
different from the same vehicle's upgraded ODD limitations years later.
D. Timing and Phasing of FMVSS Development and Implementation
As described above, issuing performance standards for ADS
competency has been and remains premature because of the lack of
technological maturity and the development work necessary to support
developing performance standards. Since widespread deployment of ADS
vehicles appears to be years away, NHTSA has the opportunity to decide
carefully and strategically which aspects of ADS safety performance may
require the most attention. By taking this deliberate approach, the
Agency can perform the research and validation necessary to ensure that
any standards developed to regulate those aspects of performance
achieve their purpose without limiting the ability of manufacturers to
develop and introduce further safety improvements and capabilities
unnecessarily.
Also important to this discussion of timing are the many challenges
and aspects that NHTSA must overcome to implement some of the
mechanisms described in this document. First, it has been NHTSA's
practice to purchase vehicles independently to assess baseline and/or
countermeasure performance when developing an FMVSS. Given the lack of
ADS-equipped vehicles available for testing or any other purposes, the
Agency would have difficulty verifying that a new standard would
achieve its intended purpose without systems and vehicles to test.\96\
In recognition of and
[[Page 78073]]
in response to the difficulty, the Agency would be required to explore
alternative avenues to validate the appropriateness of a proposed test
procedure.
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\96\ NHTSA notes that the issue of unavailability for NHTSA
testing could arise in other circumstances with traditional vehicles
that may not be sold to the public. NHTSA independently and
anonymously purchases vehicles for testing and cannot do so if those
vehicles are not being sold to the public.
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Next, NHTSA expects a phased approach to regulation of those
aspects of safety performance that may necessitate regulation, given
limited agency resources and the constantly evolving technology and
business models involved in ADS development. NHTSA would need to phase
its responses in several ways. To avoid implementing ineffective or
counterproductive measures, the Agency would need to set priorities and
allocate its resources accordingly. NHTSA has already begun the process
of providing oversight and guidance (including encouraging disclosure
and highlighting key safety aspects the Agency finds relevant for all
ADS developers), as described in previous sections. Further, where
appropriate, the Agency has granted, and will continue to consider
granting, exemptions from FMVSS to allow for limited deployment or
research of in a manner that mitigates safety risk and advances agency
technical knowledge. However, the question remains as to what the
Agency should prioritize next in its goals of advancing the safety of
ADS. Certain mechanisms would permit more expedited implementation,
while others would require much research. Most of the mechanisms would
face some of the practical hurdles related to the unavailability of ADS
to test.
NHTSA seeks comment on what next steps the Agency should take in
the regulation of ADS, the timing of those steps, and whether any of
the abovementioned steps are required for the development of an ADS-
specific FMVSS regime that achieves appropriate standards for highway
safety while preserving incentives for innovation and accommodating
improvements in technology.
E. Critical Factors Considered in Designing, Assessing, and Selecting
Administrative Mechanisms
To aid commenters in providing useful information to the Agency on
the array of administrative mechanisms described above, NHTSA has set
forth below a variety of critical factors that the Agency will weigh in
exploring the strengths and weaknesses of those mechanisms.
Consistent and Reliable Assurance of Safety--To the extent
that the mechanisms provide flexibility in how manufacturers
demonstrate safety, there should be criteria for assessing objectively
whether the methods of each manufacturer should meet a common
standardized level of rigor, including documentation, and a common
standardized minimum level of safety.
Technology Neutrality/Performance-Based--The Agency wants
to ensure that any mechanism it uses does not pick winners and losers
among available and anticipated technologies. By being highly
performance or outcome oriented, the mechanisms will allow for
innovation and minimize the necessity of having to be amended to permit
the introduction of new technologies. Any new standards and regulations
should be drafted, to the extent possible, in performance-oriented
terms to give manufacturers broad choices among available technologies
and flexibility to develop and introduce new technologies without the
need first to seek amendments to those standards or exemptions.
Predictability--In developing vehicles and ADS,
manufacturers should be able to anticipate what types of performance
outcomes they will need to make to demonstrate the safety of their
products so that they can design their products accordingly.
Transparency--To build public confidence and acceptance,
the methods used by manufacturers to demonstrate the safety of their
products should be made known and explained to the public.
Efficiency--Given that there is neither enough time nor
resources for the Agency to develop physical test procedures for all
conceivable driving scenarios, an effort should be made to determine
which physical tests have the greatest likelihood to minimize safety
risk in an effective manner.
Equity--All manufacturers should be treated fairly and
equally in the Agency's assessing of the sufficiency of their safety
showings. To that end, the mechanism(s) chosen by the Agency should
provide some means to validate that each manufacturer's demonstration
of safety meets or exceeds a common level of rigor and
comprehensiveness and that each vehicle meets or exceeds a common
minimum level of safety.
Consistent with Market-Based Innovation--To ensure that
innovation is recognized and valued, governmental actions should be
consistent with market-based innovation, and ensure the Agency's
actions facilitate and do not unnecessarily inhibit innovation to the
extent possible.
Resource Requirements--Return (measured in added safety)
on investment (e.g., efficient use of available resources) is
especially important in choosing mechanisms and in deciding which of
the core elements of ADS safety performance the Agency should
prioritize in exercising its safety oversight responsibilities.
V. Questions and Requests
A. Questions About a Safety Framework
Question 1. Describe your conception of a Federal safety
framework for ADS that encompasses the process and engineering measures
described in this document and explain your rationale for its design.
Question 2. In consideration of optimum use of NHTSA's
resources, on which aspects of a manufacturer's comprehensive
demonstration of the safety of its ADS should the Agency place a
priority and focus its monitoring and safety oversight efforts and why?
Question 3. How would your conception of such a framework
ensure that manufacturers assess and assure each core element of safety
effectively?
Question 4. How would your framework assist NHTSA in
engaging with ADS development in a manner that helps address safety,
but without unnecessarily hampering innovation?
Question 5. How could the Agency best assess whether each
manufacturer had adequately demonstrated the extent of its ADS' ability
to meet each prioritized element of safety?
Question 6. Do you agree or disagree with the core
elements (i.e., ``sensing,'' ``perception,'' ``planning'' and
``control'') described in this document? Please explain why.
Question 7. Can you suggest any other core element(s) that
NHTSA should consider in developing a safety framework for ADS? Please
provide the basis of your suggestion.
Question 8. At this early point in the development of ADS,
how should NHTSA determine whether regulation is actually needed versus
theoretically desirable? Can it be done effectively at this early stage
and would it yield a safety outcome outweighing the associated risk of
delaying or distorting paths of technological development in ways that
might result in forgone safety benefits and/or increased costs?
Question 9. If NHTSA were to develop standards before an
ADS-equipped vehicle or an ADS that the Agency could test is widely
available, how could NHTSA validate the appropriateness of its
standards? How would such a standard impact future ADS development and
design? How would such standards be consistent with NHTSA's legal
obligations?
Question 10. Which safety standards would be considered
the most
[[Page 78074]]
effective as improving safety and consumer confidence and should
therefore be given priority over other possible standards? What about
other administrative mechanisms available to NHTSA?
Question 11. What rule-based and statistical methodologies
are best suited for assessing the extent to which an ADS meets the core
functions of ADS safety performance? Please explain the basis for your
answers. Rule-based assessment involves the definition of a
comprehensive set of rules that define precisely what it means to
function safely, and which vehicles can be empirically tested against.
Statistical approaches track the performance of vehicles over millions
of miles of real-world operation and calculate their probability of
safe operation as an extrapolation of their observed frequency of
safety violations. If there are other types of methodologies that would
be suitable, please identify and discuss them. Please explain the basis
for your answers.
Question 12. What types and quanta of evidence would be
necessary for reliable demonstrations of the level of performance
achieved for the core elements of ADS safety performance?
Question 13. What types and amount of argumentation would
be necessary for reliable and persuasive demonstrations of the level of
performance achieved for the core functions of ADS safety performance?
B. Question About NHTSA Research
Question 14. What additional research would best support
the creation of a safety framework? In what sequence should the
additional research be conducted and why? What tools are necessary to
perform such research?
C. Questions About Administrative Mechanisms
Question 15. Discuss the administrative mechanisms
described in this document in terms of how well they meet the selection
criteria in this document.
Question 16. Of the administrative mechanisms described in
this document, which single mechanism or combination of mechanisms
would best enable the Agency to carry out its safety mission, and why?
If you believe that any of the mechanisms described in this document
should not be considered, please explain why.
Question 17. Which mechanisms could be implemented in the
near term or are the easiest and quickest to implement, and why?
Question 18. Which mechanisms might not be implementable
until the mid or long term but might be a logical next step to those
mechanisms that could be implemented in the near term, and why?
Question 19. What additional mechanisms should be
considered, and why?
Question 20. What are the pros and cons of incorporating
the elements of the framework in new FMVSS or alternative compliance
pathways?
Question 21. Should NHTSA consider an alternative
regulatory path, with a parallel path for compliance verification
testing, that could allow for flexible demonstrations of competence
with respect to the core functions of ADS safety performance? If so,
what are the pros and cons of such alternative regulatory path? What
are the pros and cons of an alternative pathway that would allow a
vehicle to comply with either applicable FMVSS or with novel
demonstrations, or a combination of both, as is appropriate for the
vehicle design and its intended operation? Under what authority could
such an approach be developed?
D. Questions About Statutory Authority
Question 22. Discuss how each element of the framework
would interact with NHTSA's rulemaking, enforcement, and other
authority under the Vehicle Safety Act.
Question 23. Discuss how each element of the framework
would interact with Department of Transportation Rules concerning
rulemaking, enforcement, and guidance.
Question 25. If you believe that any of the administrative
mechanisms described in this document falls outside the Agency's
existing rulemaking or enforcement authority under the Vehicle Safety
Act or Department of Transportation regulations, please explain the
reasons for that belief.
Question 24. If your comment supports the Agency taking
actions that you believe may fall outside its existing rulemaking or
enforcement authority, please explain your reasons for that belief and
describe what additional authority might be needed.
VI. Preparation and Submission of Written Comments
How do I prepare and submit comments?
Your comments must be written and in English. To ensure that your
comments are filed in the correct docket, please include the docket
number of this document in your comments.
Please submit one copy (two copies if submitting by mail or hand
delivery) of your comments, including the attachments, to the docket
following the instructions given above under ADDRESSES. Please note, if
you are submitting comments electronically as a PDF (Adobe) file, we
ask that the documents submitted be scanned using an Optical Character
Recognition (OCR) process, thus allowing NHTSA to search and copy
certain portions of your submissions.
How do I submit confidential business information?
If you wish to submit any information under a claim of
confidentiality, you must submit three copies of your complete
submission, including the information you claim to be confidential
business information, to the Office of the Chief Counsel, NHTSA, at the
address given above under FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT.
In addition, you may submit a copy (two copies if submitting by
mail or hand delivery) from which you have deleted the claimed
confidential business information, to the docket by one of the methods
given above under ADDRESSES. When you send a comment containing
information claimed to be confidential business information, you should
include a cover letter setting forth the information specified in
NHTSA's confidential business information regulation (49 CFR part 512).
Will NHTSA consider late comments?
NHTSA will consider all comments received before the close of
business on the comment closing date indicated above under DATES. To
the extent possible, NHTSA will also consider comments received after
that date.
How can I read the comments submitted by other people?
You may read the comments received at the address given above under
ADDRESSES. The hours of the docket are indicated above in the same
location. You may also read the comments on the internet, identified by
the docket number at the heading of this document, at https://www.regulations.gov.
Please note that, even after the comment closing date, NHTSA will
continue to file relevant information in the docket as it becomes
available. Further, some people may submit late comments. Accordingly,
NHTSA recommends that you periodically check the docket for new
material.
VII. Regulatory Notices
This action has been determined to be significant under Executive
Order 12866, as amended by Executive Order
[[Page 78075]]
13563, and DOT's Regulatory Policies and Procedures. It has been
reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget under that Order.
Executive Orders 12866 (Regulatory Planning and Review) and 13563
(Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review) require agencies to
regulate in the ``most cost-effective manner,'' to make a ``reasoned
determination that the benefits of the intended regulation justify its
costs,'' and to develop regulations that ``impose the least burden on
society.'' In addition, Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 require
agencies to provide a meaningful opportunity for public participation.
Accordingly, we have asked commenters to answer a variety of questions
to elicit practical information about alternative approaches and
relevant technical data. These comments will help the Department
evaluate whether a proposed rulemaking is needed and appropriate. This
action is not subject to the requirements of E.O. 13771 (82 FR 9339,
February 3, 2017) because it is an advance notice of proposed
rulemaking.
Authority: 49 U.S.C. 30101 et seq., 49 U.S.C. 30182.
Issued in Washington, DC, under authority delegated in 49 CFR
1.95 and 501.5.
James C. Owens,
Deputy Administrator.
[FR Doc. 2020-25930 Filed 12-2-20; 8:45 am]
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