Order Making Fiscal Year 2021 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates, 53890-53896 [2020-19079]

Download as PDF khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES 53890 Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices physical securities may result in a CNS fail to deliver position that persists beyond the T+35 close-out timeframe. Pursuant to Rule 204(b) of Regulation SHO,23 if a Participant has not closed out a fail to deliver position in an equity security in accordance with Rule 204(a), the Participant and any broker-dealer from which the Participant receives trades for clearance and settlement, may not accept a short sale order in that equity security from another person or effect a short sale in that equity security for its own account, without first borrowing, or arranging to borrow, the security until the Participant closes out the fail to deliver position by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity, and that purchase has cleared and settled at a registered clearing agency. This requirement is known as the ‘‘Penalty Box’’ provision. As stated by the Commission, this provision is ‘‘intended to act as an additional incentive to broker-dealers to deliver securities by settlement date, and to close out fail to deliver positions in accordance with the requirements of Rule 204.’’ 24 Absent relief, Participants would be required to close out any fail to deliver positions resulting from the sale of owned physical securities pursuant to Rule 204(a)(2) and, if they did not, would be subject to the Penalty Box provision. We believe that, due to DTC’s intermittent suspension of physical securities processing, sales of owned physical securities raise policy considerations that warrant granting limited exemptive relief.25 Moreover, requiring compliance with the Rule 204(a)(2) close-out requirement may create undue burdens for Participants and other broker-dealers for which they clear and settle trades, and we do not believe that subjecting Participants or other broker-dealers to the Penalty Box provision in this context would further the policy goal of incentivizing brokerdealers to deliver securities by settlement and to close out fail to deliver positions in accordance with Rule 204. Thus, we believe that the temporary relief from the close-out requirement of Regulation SHO provided by this Exemptive Order is appropriate in the public interest and consistent with the protection of investors. Accordingly, it is further ordered, pursuant to Section 36 of the Exchange 23 17 CFR 242.204(b). 204 Adopting Release at 38275. 25 These policy considerations are similar to those considered in the context of the 2012 Hurricane Sandy Order. See supra note 6. 24 Rule VerDate Sep<11>2014 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 Jkt 250001 Act,26 that a Participant is exempt from the close-out requirement of Rule 204(a) 27 and the Penalty Box provision of Rule 204(b) 28 of Regulation SHO with respect to a fail to deliver position resulting from the sale of an owned physical security,29 subject to the following conditions: 30 (a) The Participant must determine and document that the fail to deliver position resulted from a sale of an owned physical security 31 that a person is ‘‘deemed to own’’ pursuant to Rule 200 of Regulation SHO; 32 (b) The Participant must check DTCC systems on a daily basis to determine when an owned physical security, the sale of which resulted in a fail to deliver position, is available for settlement; 33 (c) The Participant must deliver the owned physical security as soon as 26 See supra note 16. CFR 242.204(a). 28 17 CFR 242.204(b). 29 Rule 203(b)(3) of Regulation SHO provides that if a Participant has a fail to deliver position at a registered clearing agency in a threshold security, as defined by Rule 203(c)(6), for thirteen consecutive settlement days, the Participant shall immediately thereafter close out the fail to deliver position by purchasing securities of like kind and quantity. If the sale of an owned physical security resulted in a fail to deliver position in a threshold security and that fail to deliver position persisted for thirteen consecutive settlement days because the close-out date applicable under this Exemptive Order had not yet arrived, Rule 203(b)(3) would nonetheless require the Participant to close out the fail to deliver position. Accordingly, Participants are exempt from the close-out requirements of Rule 203(b)(3) with respect to fail to deliver positions in threshold securities resulting from sales of owned physical securities, provided that the Participants close out the fail to deliver positions in compliance with this Exemptive Order. See 17 CFR 242.203(b)(3). 30 These conditions are designed to (1) promote the prompt delivery of securities by participants as soon as practical under the circumstances surrounding COVID–19 without putting undue burdens on participants or their customers, and (2) aid in ensuring participants’ compliance with this Order. 31 Such determination could be based, for example, on records indicating that the sale involves a physical certificate custodied at DTCC. 32 17 CFR 242.200. 33 We understand based on conversations with SIFMA that processing for certain securities may resume prior to that for others. As such, this determination must be made on a security-bysecurity basis. We further understand that DTC systems (including the Participant Browser System and the Participant Terminal System) enable Participants to verify their positions in physical securities held at DTC and issue withdrawal instructions. We understand that these systems permit Participants, in conjunction with the Participant’s own books and records, to track when physical securities have been debited (withdrawn) and sent to the transfer agent and when the physical securities are available for settlement after they have been returned to DTC and are available for Participant pickup, are mailed directly to the customer, or are set up as a Direct Registration System account, and that Participants check these systems for completed status of physical certificate processing on a daily basis. 27 17 PO 00000 Frm 00105 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 possible, and in any event, must deliver the security or close out the fail to deliver position resulting from the sale by purchasing or borrowing securities of like kind and quantity by no later than the beginning of regular trading hours on the fourth settlement day following the date on which the Participant determines, in accordance with condition (b) above, that the owned physical security, the sale of which resulted in the fail to deliver position, is available for settlement; (d) The Participant’s books and records must reflect that it made delivery of the owned physical security or closed out the fail to deliver position resulting from the sale within the applicable time period, consistent with this Exemptive Order; (e) The Participant must maintain contemporaneous records reflecting any reliance on this Order, and make this information available to Commission staff upon request; and (f) The participant provides notice on its website promptly upon its initial reliance on the Order and maintains the notice on its website until it ceases reliance on the Order. III. Modification, Revocation, and Expiration of Exemptions The relief provided in this Order shall expire on December 31, 2020. The Commission intends to continue to monitor the current situation. The time period for any or all of the relief may, if necessary, be extended with any additional conditions that are deemed appropriate, and the Commission may issue other relief as necessary or appropriate. For the Commission, by the Division of Trading and Markets, pursuant to delegated authority.34 Jill M. Peterson, Assistant Secretary. [FR Doc. 2020–19061 Filed 8–28–20; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 8011–01–P SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release Nos. 33–10826; 34–89671/August 26, 2020] Order Making Fiscal Year 2021 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates I. Background The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 (‘‘Securities Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees from issuers 34 See E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 17 CFR 200.30–3(a)(11). 31AUN1 Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices on the registration of securities.1 Section 13(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (‘‘Exchange Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.2 Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect fees on specified proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control transactions.3 These provisions require the Commission to make annual adjustments to the applicable fee rates. II. Fiscal Year 2021 Annual Adjustment to Fee Rates Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act requires the Commission to make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 6(b).4 The annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also sets the annual adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.5 Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method for determining the annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2021. Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 6(b) to a ‘‘rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2021], is reasonably likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that are equal to the target fee collection amount for [fiscal year 2021].’’ That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2021 by the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices’’ for fiscal year 2021. III. Target Fee Collection Amount for FY 2021 The statutory ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2021 and ‘‘each fiscal year thereafter’’ is ‘‘an amount that is equal to the target fee collection amount for the prior fiscal year, adjusted by the rate of inflation.’’ The target fee collection amount for fiscal year 2020 was $705,000,000. To adjust the fiscal year 2020 target fee collection amount by the rate of inflation to determine the fiscal year 2021 target fee collect amount, the Commission has determined that it will use an approach 1 15 U.S.C. 77f(b). U.S.C. 78m(e). 3 15 U.S.C. 78n(g). 4 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are designed to adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ specified in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for that fiscal year. 5 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4). khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES 2 15 VerDate Sep<11>2014 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 Jkt 250001 similar to one that it uses to annually adjust civil monetary penalties by the rate of inflation.6 Under this approach, the Commission will use the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (‘‘CPI–U’’), not seasonally adjusted, rounded to five decimal places, in calculating the target fee collection amount, which is then rounded to the nearest whole dollar. The calculation for the fiscal year 2021 target fee collection amount is described in more detail below. The most recent CPI–U index value, not seasonally adjusted, available for use by the Commission is for June 2020. This value is 257.797.7 The CPI–U index value, not seasonally adjusted, for June 2019 is 256.143.8 Dividing the June 2020 value by the June 2019 value and rounding to five decimal places yields a multiplier value of 1.00646. Multiplying the fiscal year 2020 target fee collection amount of $705,000,000 by the multiplier value of 1.00646 and rounding to the nearest whole dollar yields a fiscal year 2021 target fee collection amount of $709,554,300. Section 6(b)(6)(B) defines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices’’ for fiscal year 2021 as ‘‘the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission during [fiscal year 2021] as determined by the Commission, after consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and Budget . . . .’’ To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price for fiscal year 2021, the Commission is using the methodology it has used in prior fiscal years and that was developed in consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and Budget (‘‘OMB’’). 9 Using this methodology, the 6 The Commission annually adjusts for inflation the civil money penalties that can be imposed under the statutes administered by Commission, as required by the Federal Civil Penalties Inflation Adjustment Act Improvements Act of 2015, pursuant to guidance from the Office of Management and Budget (‘‘OMB’’). See OMB December 16, 2019 Memorandum for the Heads of Executive Departments and Agencies,’’ M–20–05, on ‘‘Implementation of Penalty Inflation Adjustments for 2020, Pursuant to the Federal Civil Penalties Inflation Adjustment Act Improvements Act of 2015.’’ 7 This was announced on July 14, 2020. See https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_ 07142020.htm. 8 See Supplemental Tables, ‘‘CPI–U News Release Companion File’’ from the July 14, 2020 press release. 9 Appendix A explains how we determined the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum PO 00000 Frm 00106 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 53891 Commission determines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2021 to be $6,506,143,522,561. Based on this estimate and the fiscal year 2021 target fee collection amount, the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2021 to be $109.10 per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act. IV. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments The fiscal year 2021 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act will be effective on October 1, 2020.10 V. Conclusion Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,11 It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act shall be $109.10 per million effective on October 1, 2020. By the Commission. Vanessa A. Countryman, Secretary. Appendix A Congress has established a target amount of monies to be collected from fees charged to issuers based on the value of their registrations. This appendix provides the formula for determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. Congress has mandated that the Commission determine these fees based on the ‘‘aggregate maximum offering prices,’’ which measures the aggregate dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission over the course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum offering prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering prices. For 2021, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the previous decade. More specifically, an auto-regressive integrated moving average (‘‘ARIMA’’) model was used to forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for months subsequent to July 2020, offering price’’ for fiscal year 2021 using our methodology, and then shows the arithmetical process of calculating the fiscal year 2021 annual adjustment based on that estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the Commission in making its ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2021. 10 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(6). 11 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g). E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1 53892 Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices the last month for which the Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices. The following sections describe this process in detail. A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for Fiscal Year 2021 First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) for each month in the sample (July 2010–July 2020). Next, calculate the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month. Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of AMOP tends to be followed by a more ‘‘typical’’ value of AMOP. Use the [estimated moving average] [ARIMA] model to forecast the monthly percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of registrations. The following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the procedure: 1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten years, from July 2010 to July 2020. 2. Divide each month’s AMOP (column C) by the number of trading days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP (AAMOP, column D). 3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported in column E. 4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as Dt = log (AAMOPt)-log(AAMOPt-1). This approximates the percentage change. 5. Estimate the first order moving average model Dt = a + be tØ1 + e t, where e t denotes the forecast error for month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of D t. The forecast error is expressed as e t = D t¥a¥be tØ1. The model can be estimated using standard commercially available software. Using least squares, the estimated parameter values are a = 0.0070920641 and b = 0.8803315102. 6. For the month of August 2020 forecast D t = 8/2020 = a + be t = 7/2020. For all subsequent months, forecast D t = a. 7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast of log(AAMOP) for October 2020 is given by FLAAMOP t = 10/2020 = log(AAMOP t = 7/2020) + D t = 8/2020 + D t = 9/2020 + D t = 10/2020. 8. Under the assumption that e t is normally distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by exp(FLAAMOP t + s n 2/2), where s n denotes the standard error of the n-step ahead forecast. 9. For October 2020, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $24.705 billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $543.503 billion (Column J). 10. Iterate this process through September 2021 to obtain a baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for fiscal year 2021 of $6,506,143,522,561. B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate 1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum offering prices between 10/01/20 and 9/30/21 to be $6,506,143,522,561. 2. The rate necessary to collect the target $709,554,300 in fee revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $709,554,300 ÷ $6,506,143,522,561 = 0.00010906. 3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a rate of 0.0001091 (or $109.10 per million). TABLE A—ESTIMATION OF BASELINE OF AGGREGATE MAXIMUM OFFERING PRICES Fee rate calculation khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES a. Baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices, 10/01/20 to 09/30/21 ($Millions) .................................................. b. Implied fee rate ($709,554,300 / a) ................................................................................................................................................. Month Number of trading days in month Aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions Average daily aggregate max. offering prices (AAMOP) in $millions Log(AAMOP) Log (change in AAMOP) forecast log(AAMOP) (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) .................... 0.295 0.126 –0.193 0.459 ¥0.179 ¥0.148 0.130 0.665 ¥0.784 0.251 0.073 ¥0.418 ¥0.320 0.023 0.077 0.346 ¥0.076 0.202 ¥0.193 0.539 ¥0.813 0.774 ¥0.373 ¥0.468 0.459 0.305 ¥0.979 0.476 Jul–10 ........... Aug–10 ......... Sep–10 ......... Oct–10 .......... Nov–10 ......... Dec–10 ......... Jan–11 ......... Feb–11 ......... Mar–11 ......... Apr–11 .......... May–11 ........ Jun–11 ......... Jul–11 ........... Aug–11 ......... Sep–11 ......... Oct–11 .......... Nov–11 ......... Dec–11 ......... Jan–12 ......... Feb–12 ......... Mar–12 ......... Apr–12 .......... May–12 ........ Jun–12 ......... Jul–12 ........... Aug–12 ......... Sep–12 ......... Oct–12 .......... Nov–12 ......... VerDate Sep<11>2014 21 22 21 21 21 22 20 19 23 20 21 22 20 23 21 21 21 21 20 20 22 20 22 21 21 23 19 21 21 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 171,191 240,793 260,783 214,988 340,112 297,992 233,668 252,785 595,198 236,355 319,053 359,727 215,391 179,870 168,005 181,452 256,418 237,652 276,965 228,419 430,806 173,626 414,122 272,218 170,462 295,472 331,295 137,562 221,521 Jkt 250001 8,152 10,945 12,418 10,238 16,196 13,545 11,683 13,304 25,878 11,818 15,193 16,351 10,770 7,820 8,000 8,641 12,210 11,317 13,848 11,421 19,582 8,681 18,824 12,963 8,117 12,847 17,437 6,551 10,549 PO 00000 Frm 00107 22.822 23.116 23.242 23.049 23.508 23.329 23.181 23.311 23.977 23.193 23.444 23.518 23.100 22.780 22.803 22.880 23.226 23.150 23.351 23.159 23.698 22.884 23.658 23.285 22.817 23.276 23.582 22.603 23.079 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 6,506,144 $109.10 Standard error Forecast AAMOP, in $millions Forecast aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions (G) (H) (I) (J) .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1 53893 khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices Month Number of trading days in month Aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions Average daily aggregate max. offering prices (AAMOP) in $millions Log(AAMOP) Log (change in AAMOP) forecast log(AAMOP) (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) Dec–12 ......... Jan–13 ......... Feb–13 ......... Mar–13 ......... Apr–13 .......... May–13 ........ Jun–13 ......... Jul–13 ........... Aug–13 ......... Sep–13 ......... Oct–13 .......... Nov–13 ......... Dec–13 ......... Jan–14 ......... Feb–14 ......... Mar–14 ......... Apr–14 .......... May–14 ........ Jun–14 ......... Jul–14 ........... Aug–14 ......... Sep–14 ......... Oct–14 .......... Nov–14 ......... Dec–14 ......... Jan–15 ......... Feb–15 ......... Mar–15 ......... Apr–15 .......... May–15 ........ Jun–15 ......... Jul–15 ........... Aug–15 ......... Sep–15 ......... Oct–15 .......... Nov–15 ......... Dec–15 ......... Jan–16 ......... Feb–16 ......... Mar–16 ......... Apr–16 .......... May–16 ........ Jun–16 ......... Jul–16 ........... Aug–16 ......... Sep–16 ......... Oct–16 .......... Nov–16 ......... Dec–16 ......... Jan–17 ......... Feb–17 ......... Mar–17 ......... Apr–17 .......... May–17 ........ Jun–17 ......... Jul–17 ........... Aug–17 ......... Sep–17 ......... Oct–17 .......... Nov–17 ......... Dec–17 ......... Jan–18 ......... Feb–18 ......... Mar–18 ......... Apr–18 .......... May–18 ........ Jun–18 ......... Jul–18 ........... VerDate Sep<11>2014 20 21 19 20 22 22 20 22 22 20 23 20 21 21 19 21 21 21 21 22 21 21 23 19 22 20 19 22 21 20 22 22 21 21 22 20 22 19 20 22 21 21 22 20 23 21 21 21 21 20 19 23 19 22 22 20 23 20 22 21 20 21 19 21 21 22 21 21 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 321,602 368,488 252,148 533,440 235,779 382,950 480,624 263,869 253,305 267,923 293,847 326,257 358,169 369,067 298,376 564,840 263,401 403,700 423,075 373,811 405,017 409,349 338,832 386,898 370,760 394,127 466,138 753,747 356,560 478,591 446,102 402,062 334,746 289,872 300,276 409,690 308,569 457,411 554,343 900,301 250,716 409,992 321,219 289,671 352,068 326,116 266,115 443,034 310,614 503,030 255,815 723,870 255,275 569,965 445,081 291,167 263,981 372,705 173,749 377,262 281,126 593,025 353,182 685,784 367,569 543,840 477,967 327,710 Jkt 250001 16,080 17,547 13,271 26,672 10,717 17,407 24,031 11,994 11,514 13,396 12,776 16,313 17,056 17,575 15,704 26,897 12,543 19,224 20,146 16,991 19,287 19,493 14,732 20,363 16,853 19,706 24,534 34,261 16,979 23,930 20,277 18,276 15,940 13,803 13,649 20,485 14,026 24,074 27,717 40,923 11,939 19,523 14,601 14,484 15,307 15,529 12,672 21,097 14,791 25,152 13,464 31,473 13,436 25,908 20,231 14,558 11,477 18,635 7,898 17,965 14,056 28,239 18,589 32,656 17,503 24,720 22,760 15,605 PO 00000 Frm 00108 23.501 23.588 23.309 24.007 23.095 23.580 23.903 23.208 23.167 23.318 23.271 23.515 23.560 23.590 23.477 24.015 23.252 23.679 23.726 23.556 23.683 23.693 23.413 23.737 23.548 23.704 23.923 24.257 23.555 23.898 23.733 23.629 23.492 23.348 23.337 23.743 23.364 23.904 24.045 24.435 23.203 23.695 23.404 23.396 23.452 23.466 23.263 23.772 23.417 23.948 23.323 24.172 23.321 23.978 23.730 23.401 23.164 23.648 22.790 23.612 23.366 24.064 23.646 24.209 23.586 23.931 23.848 23.471 Fmt 4703 0.422 0.087 ¥0.279 0.698 ¥0.912 0.485 0.322 ¥0.695 ¥0.041 0.151 ¥0.047 0.244 0.045 0.030 ¥0.113 0.538 ¥0.763 0.427 0.047 ¥0.170 0.127 0.011 ¥0.280 0.324 ¥0.189 0.156 0.219 0.334 ¥0.702 0.343 ¥0.166 ¥0.104 ¥0.137 ¥0.144 ¥0.011 0.406 ¥0.379 0.540 0.141 0.390 ¥1.232 0.492 ¥0.291 ¥0.008 0.055 0.014 ¥0.203 0.510 ¥0.355 0.531 ¥0.625 0.849 ¥0.851 0.657 ¥0.247 ¥0.329 ¥0.238 0.485 ¥0.858 0.822 ¥0.245 0.698 ¥0.418 0.563 ¥0.624 0.345 ¥0.083 ¥0.377 Sfmt 4703 Standard error Forecast AAMOP, in $millions Forecast aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions (G) (H) (I) (J) .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 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.................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 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E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1 53894 Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices Month Number of trading days in month Aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions Average daily aggregate max. offering prices (AAMOP) in $millions Log(AAMOP) Log (change in AAMOP) forecast log(AAMOP) (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) 347,239 259,874 300,814 447,767 276,130 495,624 372,166 604,813 267,737 476,892 399,178 359,438 401,391 382,876 181,113 553,889 438,062 636,403 424,133 409,403 389,821 731,835 650,219 457,871 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 15,097 13,678 13,079 21,322 14,533 23,601 19,588 28,801 12,749 21,677 19,959 16,338 18,245 19,144 7,874 27,694 20,860 30,305 22,323 18,609 18,563 36,592 29,555 20,812 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 23.438 23.339 23.294 23.783 23.400 23.885 23.698 24.084 23.269 23.800 23.717 23.517 23.627 23.675 22.787 24.044 23.761 24.135 23.829 23.647 23.644 24.323 24.110 23.759 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... ¥0.033 ¥0.099 ¥0.045 0.489 ¥0.383 0.485 ¥0.186 0.385 ¥0.815 0.531 ¥0.083 ¥0.200 0.110 0.048 ¥0.888 1.258 ¥0.283 0.373 ¥0.306 ¥0.182 ¥0.002 0.679 ¥0.214 ¥0.351 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... Aug–18 ......... Sep–18 ......... Oct–18 .......... Nov–18 ......... Dec–18 ......... Jan–19 ......... Feb–19 ......... Mar–19 ......... Apr–19 .......... May–19 ........ Jun–19 ......... Jul–19 ........... Aug–19 ......... Sep–19 ......... Oct–19 .......... Nov–19 ......... Dec–19 ......... Jan–20 ......... Feb–20 ......... Mar–20 ......... Apr–20 .......... May–20 ........ Jun–20 ......... Jul–20 ........... Aug–20 ......... Sep–20 ......... Oct–20 .......... Nov–20 ......... Dec–20 ......... Jan–21 ......... Feb–21 ......... Mar–21 ......... Apr–21 .......... May–21 ........ Jun–21 ......... Jul–21 ........... Aug–21 ......... Sep–21 ......... 23 19 23 21 19 21 19 21 21 22 20 22 22 20 23 20 21 21 19 22 21 20 22 22 21 21 22 20 22 19 19 23 21 20 22 21 22 21 Standard error Forecast AAMOP, in $millions Forecast aggregate maximum offering prices, in $millions (G) (H) (I) (J) .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 23.858 23.865 23.872 23.879 23.886 23.893 23.901 23.908 23.915 23.922 23.929 23.936 23.943 23.950 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 0.336 0.338 0.341 0.343 0.346 0.348 0.350 0.353 0.355 0.357 0.359 0.362 0.364 0.366 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 24,317 24,510 24,705 24,901 25,098 25,297 25,498 25,700 25,904 26,109 26,317 26,525 26,736 26,948 .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... .................... 510,665 514,715 543,503 498,013 552,159 480,647 484,460 591,103 543,984 522,189 578,965 557,032 588,186 565,904 khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES BILLING CODE 8011–01–P VerDate Sep<11>2014 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 Jkt 250001 PO 00000 Frm 00109 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1 VerDate Sep<11>2014 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 Jkt 250001 PO 00000 Frm 00110 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1 53895 EN31AU20.001</GPH> khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices 53896 Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 169 / Monday, August 31, 2020 / Notices A. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Purpose of, and the Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule Change [FR Doc. 2020–19079 Filed 8–28–20; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 8011–01–C SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release No. 34–89651; File No. SR– NYSEAMER–2020–63] Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE American LLC; Notice of Filing and Immediate Effectiveness of Proposed Change To Extend the Temporary Waiver of the Co-Location Hot Hands Fee August 25, 2020. Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) 1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the ‘‘Act’’) 2 and Rule 19b-4 thereunder,3 notice is hereby given that, on August 11, 2020, NYSE American LLC (‘‘NYSE American’’ or the ‘‘Exchange’’) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the ‘‘Commission’’) the proposed rule change as described in Items I, II, and III below, which Items have been prepared by the selfregulatory organization. The Commission is publishing this notice to solicit comments on the proposed rule change from interested persons. I. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Terms of Substance of the Proposed Rule Change The Exchange proposes to extend the temporary waiver of the co-location ‘‘Hot Hands’’ fee. The proposed change is available on the Exchange’s website at www.nyse.com, at the principal office of the Exchange, and at the Commission’s Public Reference Room. khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with NOTICES II. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Purpose of, and Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule Change In its filing with the Commission, the self-regulatory organization included statements concerning the purpose of, and basis for, the proposed rule change and discussed any comments it received on the proposed rule change. The text of those statements may be examined at the places specified in Item IV below. The Exchange has prepared summaries, set forth in sections A, B, and C below, of the most significant parts of such statements. 1 15 U.S.C. 78s(b)(1). U.S.C. 78a. 3 17 CFR 240.19b–4. 2 15 VerDate Sep<11>2014 19:30 Aug 28, 2020 Jkt 250001 1. Purpose The Exchange proposes to extend of the temporary waiver of the colocation 4 ‘‘Hot Hands’’ fee through the reopening of the Mahwah, New Jersey data center (‘‘Data Center’’). The waiver of the Hot Hands fee is scheduled to expire on August 31, 2020.5 The Exchange is an indirect subsidiary of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (‘‘ICE’’). Through its ICE Data Services (‘‘IDS’’) business, ICE operates the Data Center, from which the Exchange provides co-location services to Users.6 Among those services is a ‘‘Hot Hands’’ service, which allows Users to use on-site Data Center personnel to maintain User equipment, support network troubleshooting, rack and stack a server in a User’s cabinet; power recycling; and install and document the fitting of cable in a User’s cabinet(s).7 The Hot Hands fee is $100 per half hour. ICE previously announced to Users that the Data Center would be closed to third parties starting on March 16, 2020, to help avoid the spread of COVID–19, which could negatively impact Data Center functions. Prior to the closure of the Data Center, the Chief Executive Officer of the Exchange took the actions required under NYSE American Rules 7.1E and 901NY to close the co-location 4 The Exchange initially filed rule changes relating to its co-location services with the Securities and Exchange Commission (‘‘Commission’’) in 2010. See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 62961 (September 21, 2010), 75 FR 59299 (September 27, 2010) (SR–NYSEAmex–2010– 80). 5 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 89173 (June 29, 2020), 85 FR 40352 (July 6, 2020) (SR– NYSEAmer–2020–46). 6 For purposes of the Exchange’s co-location services, a ‘‘User’’ means any market participant that requests to receive co-location services directly from the Exchange. See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 76009 (September 29, 2015), 80 FR 60213 (October 5, 2015) (SR–NYSEMKT–2015–67). As specified in the NYSE American Equities Price List and Fee Schedule and the NYSE American Options Fee Schedule (together, the ‘‘Price List and Fee Schedule’’), a User that incurs co-location fees for a particular co-location service pursuant thereto would not be subject to co-location fees for the same co-location service charged by the Exchange’s affiliates the New York Stock Exchange LLC, NYSE Arca, Inc., NYSE Chicago, Inc., and NYSE National, Inc. (together, the ‘‘Affiliate SROs’’). See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 70176 (August 13, 2013), 78 FR 50471 (August 19, 2013) (SR–NYSEMKT– 2013–67). Each Affiliate SRO has submitted substantially the same proposed rule change to propose the changes described herein. See SR– NYSE–2020–69, SR–NYSEArca–2020–74, SR– NYSECHX–2020–25, and SR–NYSENAT–2020–26. 7 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 72719 (July 30, 2014), 79 FR 45502 (August 5, 2014) (SR– NYSEMKT–2014–61). PO 00000 Frm 00111 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 facility of the Exchange to third parties. The closure period was extended twice, through June 30, 2020 (the ‘‘Initial Closure’’).8 ICE has announced to Users that, because the concerns that led to the Initial Closure still apply, the closure of the Data Center will be extended, with the date of the reopening announced through a customer notice. If a User’s equipment requires work while a Rules 7.1E and 901NY closure is in effect, the User has to use the Hot Hands service and, absent a waiver, incurs Hot Hands fees for the work. Given that, the Exchange waived all Hot Hands fees for the duration of the Initial Closure.9 Because the period has been extended, the Exchange proposes to extend the waiver of the Hot Hands Fee for the length of the period. To that end, the Exchange proposes to revise the footnote to the Hot Hands Fee in the Price List and Fee Schedule as follows (deletions bracketed, additions underlined): † Fees for Hot Hands Services will be waived beginning on March 16, 2020 through [the earlier of August 31, 2020 and] the reopening of the Mahwah, New Jersey data center. The date of the reopening will be announced through a customer notice. The Exchange believes that there will be sufficient Data Center staff on-site to comply with User requests for Hot Hands service. The proposed extension of the waiver would apply equally to all Users. The proposed extension of the fee waiver would not apply differently to distinct types or sizes of market participants. Rather, it would continue to apply uniformly to all Users. The proposed change is not otherwise intended to address any other issues relating to co-location services and/or related fees, and the Exchange is not aware of any problems that Users would have in complying with the proposed change. 2. Statutory Basis The Exchange believes that the proposed rule change is consistent with Section 6(b) of the Act,10 in general, and furthers the objectives of Sections 6(b)(4) and (5) of the Act,11 in particular, because it provides for the equitable allocation of reasonable dues, fees, and other charges among its members, 8 See Securities Exchange Act Release Nos. 88403 (March 17, 2020), 85 FR 16400 (March 23, 2020) (SR–NYSEAMER–2020–19); 88523 (March 31, 2020), 85 FR 19179 (April 6, 2020) (SR– NYSEAMER–2020–23); and 88956 (May 27, 2020), 85 FR 33760 (June 2, 2020) (SR–NYSEAmer–2020– 39). 9 See 85 FR 40352, supra note 5. 10 15 U.S.C. 78f(b). 11 15 U.S.C. 78f(b)(4) and (5). E:\FR\FM\31AUN1.SGM 31AUN1

Agencies

[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 169 (Monday, August 31, 2020)]
[Notices]
[Pages 53890-53896]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2020-19079]


-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release Nos. 33-10826; 34-89671/August 26, 2020]


Order Making Fiscal Year 2021 Annual Adjustments to Registration 
Fee Rates

I. Background

    The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the 
securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 
(``Securities Act'') requires the Commission to collect fees from 
issuers

[[Page 53891]]

on the registration of securities.\1\ Section 13(e) of the Securities 
Exchange Act of 1934 (``Exchange Act'') requires the Commission to 
collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.\2\ Section 14(g) 
of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect fees on 
specified proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control 
transactions.\3\ These provisions require the Commission to make annual 
adjustments to the applicable fee rates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b).
    \2\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e).
    \3\ 15 U.S.C. 78n(g).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

II. Fiscal Year 2021 Annual Adjustment to Fee Rates

    Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act requires the Commission to 
make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 
6(b).\4\ The annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) of 
the Securities Act also sets the annual adjustment to the fee rates 
under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.\5\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \4\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are designed to 
adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to 
the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are 
proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely 
to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the 
``target fee collection amount'' specified in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for 
that fiscal year.
    \5\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method for determining the annual 
adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2021. 
Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 
6(b) to a ``rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2021], is reasonably 
likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that 
are equal to the target fee collection amount for [fiscal year 2021].'' 
That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ``target fee 
collection amount'' for fiscal year 2021 by the ``baseline estimate of 
the aggregate maximum offering prices'' for fiscal year 2021.

III. Target Fee Collection Amount for FY 2021

    The statutory ``target fee collection amount'' for fiscal year 2021 
and ``each fiscal year thereafter'' is ``an amount that is equal to the 
target fee collection amount for the prior fiscal year, adjusted by the 
rate of inflation.'' The target fee collection amount for fiscal year 
2020 was $705,000,000. To adjust the fiscal year 2020 target fee 
collection amount by the rate of inflation to determine the fiscal year 
2021 target fee collect amount, the Commission has determined that it 
will use an approach similar to one that it uses to annually adjust 
civil monetary penalties by the rate of inflation.\6\ Under this 
approach, the Commission will use the Consumer Price Index for All 
Urban Consumers (``CPI-U''), not seasonally adjusted, rounded to five 
decimal places, in calculating the target fee collection amount, which 
is then rounded to the nearest whole dollar. The calculation for the 
fiscal year 2021 target fee collection amount is described in more 
detail below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ The Commission annually adjusts for inflation the civil 
money penalties that can be imposed under the statutes administered 
by Commission, as required by the Federal Civil Penalties Inflation 
Adjustment Act Improvements Act of 2015, pursuant to guidance from 
the Office of Management and Budget (``OMB''). See OMB December 16, 
2019 Memorandum for the Heads of Executive Departments and 
Agencies,'' M-20-05, on ``Implementation of Penalty Inflation 
Adjustments for 2020, Pursuant to the Federal Civil Penalties 
Inflation Adjustment Act Improvements Act of 2015.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The most recent CPI-U index value, not seasonally adjusted, 
available for use by the Commission is for June 2020. This value is 
257.797.\7\ The CPI-U index value, not seasonally adjusted, for June 
2019 is 256.143.\8\ Dividing the June 2020 value by the June 2019 value 
and rounding to five decimal places yields a multiplier value of 
1.00646. Multiplying the fiscal year 2020 target fee collection amount 
of $705,000,000 by the multiplier value of 1.00646 and rounding to the 
nearest whole dollar yields a fiscal year 2021 target fee collection 
amount of $709,554,300.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ This was announced on July 14, 2020. See https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_07142020.htm.
    \8\ See Supplemental Tables, ``CPI-U News Release Companion 
File'' from the July 14, 2020 press release.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 6(b)(6)(B) defines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate 
maximum offering prices'' for fiscal year 2021 as ``the baseline 
estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities 
are proposed to be offered pursuant to registration statements filed 
with the Commission during [fiscal year 2021] as determined by the 
Commission, after consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and 
the Office of Management and Budget . . . .''
    To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price for fiscal year 2021, the Commission is using the methodology it 
has used in prior fiscal years and that was developed in consultation 
with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and 
Budget (``OMB''). \9\ Using this methodology, the Commission determines 
the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for 
fiscal year 2021 to be $6,506,143,522,561. Based on this estimate and 
the fiscal year 2021 target fee collection amount, the Commission 
calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2021 to be $109.10 per million. This 
adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act, as 
well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act. IV. Effective 
Dates of the Annual Adjustments
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ Appendix A explains how we determined the ``baseline 
estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 
2021 using our methodology, and then shows the arithmetical process 
of calculating the fiscal year 2021 annual adjustment based on that 
estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the Commission in 
making its ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price'' for fiscal year 2021.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The fiscal year 2021 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable 
under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) 
of the Exchange Act will be effective on October 1, 2020.\10\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \10\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15 U.S.C. 
78n(g)(6).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

V. Conclusion

    Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and 
Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,\11\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 
6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange 
Act shall be $109.10 per million effective on October 1, 2020.

    By the Commission.
Vanessa A. Countryman,
Secretary.

Appendix A

    Congress has established a target amount of monies to be 
collected from fees charged to issuers based on the value of their 
registrations. This appendix provides the formula for determining 
such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. Congress has 
mandated that the Commission determine these fees based on the 
``aggregate maximum offering prices,'' which measures the aggregate 
dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission over the 
course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the 
amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee 
rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum offering 
prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target 
amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering 
prices.
    For 2021, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum 
offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the 
previous decade. More specifically, an auto-regressive integrated 
moving average (``ARIMA'') model was used to forecast the value of 
the aggregate maximum offering prices for months subsequent to July 
2020,

[[Page 53892]]

the last month for which the Commission has data on the aggregate 
maximum offering prices.
    The following sections describe this process in detail.

A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for 
Fiscal Year 2021

    First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) 
for each month in the sample (July 2010-July 2020). Next, calculate 
the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month.
    Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order 
moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to 
model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of 
AMOP tends to be followed by a more ``typical'' value of AMOP.
    Use the [estimated moving average] [ARIMA] model to forecast the 
monthly percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be 
applied to obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of 
registrations. The following is a more formal (mathematical) 
description of the procedure:
    1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten 
years, from July 2010 to July 2020.
    2. Divide each month's AMOP (column C) by the number of trading 
days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP 
(AAMOP, column D).
    3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported 
in column E.
    4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as 
[Delta]t = log (AAMOPt)-
log(AAMOPt-1). This approximates the percentage change.
    5. Estimate the first order moving average model 
[Delta]t = [alpha] + [beta]e t-1 + 
e t, where e t denotes the forecast error for 
month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the 
one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of [Delta] 
t. The forecast error is expressed as e t = 
[Delta] t-[alpha]-[beta]e t-1. The 
model can be estimated using standard commercially available 
software. Using least squares, the estimated parameter values are 
[alpha] = 0.0070920641 and [beta] = 0.8803315102.
    6. For the month of August 2020 forecast [Delta] t = 
8/2020 = [alpha] + [beta]e t = 
7/2020. For all subsequent months, forecast [Delta] 
t = [alpha].
    7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast 
of log(AAMOP) for October 2020 is given by FLAAMOP t = 
10/2020 = log(AAMOP t = 7/2020) + 
[Delta] t = 8/2020 + [Delta] t = 
9/2020 + [Delta] t = 10/2020.
    8. Under the assumption that e t is normally 
distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by 
exp(FLAAMOP t + [sigma] n \2\/2), where 
[sigma] n denotes the standard error of the n-step ahead 
forecast.
    9. For October 2020, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $24.705 
billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $543.503 billion (Column 
J).
    10. Iterate this process through September 2021 to obtain a 
baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
fiscal year 2021 of $6,506,143,522,561.

B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate

    1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum 
offering prices between 10/01/20 and 9/30/21 to be 
$6,506,143,522,561.
    2. The rate necessary to collect the target $709,554,300 in fee 
revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $709,554,300 / 
$6,506,143,522,561 = 0.00010906.
    3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a 
rate of 0.0001091 (or $109.10 per million).

  Table A--Estimation of Baseline of Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Fee rate calculation
------------------------------------------------------------------------
a. Baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering         6,506,144
 prices, 10/01/20 to 09/30/21 ($Millions)...............
b. Implied fee rate ($709,554,300 / a)..................         $109.10
------------------------------------------------------------------------
 


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                 Average
                                                                  daily                                                                        Forecast
                                       Number of   Aggregate    aggregate                                                                     aggregate
                                        trading     maximum        max.                  Log (change    forecast     Standard     Forecast     maximum
                Month                   days in     offering     offering    Log(AAMOP)   in AAMOP)    log(AAMOP)     error      AAMOP, in     offering
                                         month     prices, in     prices                                                         $millions    prices, in
                                                   $millions    (AAMOP) in                                                                    $millions
                                                                $millions
(A)                                          (B)          (C)          (D)          (E)          (F)          (G)          (H)          (I)          (J)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jul-10...............................         21      171,191        8,152       22.822  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-10...............................         22      240,793       10,945       23.116        0.295  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-10...............................         21      260,783       12,418       23.242        0.126  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-10...............................         21      214,988       10,238       23.049       -0.193  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-10...............................         21      340,112       16,196       23.508        0.459  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-10...............................         22      297,992       13,545       23.329       -0.179  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-11...............................         20      233,668       11,683       23.181       -0.148  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-11...............................         19      252,785       13,304       23.311        0.130  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-11...............................         23      595,198       25,878       23.977        0.665  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-11...............................         20      236,355       11,818       23.193       -0.784  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-11...............................         21      319,053       15,193       23.444        0.251  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-11...............................         22      359,727       16,351       23.518        0.073  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-11...............................         20      215,391       10,770       23.100       -0.418  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-11...............................         23      179,870        7,820       22.780       -0.320  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-11...............................         21      168,005        8,000       22.803        0.023  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-11...............................         21      181,452        8,641       22.880        0.077  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-11...............................         21      256,418       12,210       23.226        0.346  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-11...............................         21      237,652       11,317       23.150       -0.076  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-12...............................         20      276,965       13,848       23.351        0.202  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-12...............................         20      228,419       11,421       23.159       -0.193  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-12...............................         22      430,806       19,582       23.698        0.539  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-12...............................         20      173,626        8,681       22.884       -0.813  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-12...............................         22      414,122       18,824       23.658        0.774  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-12...............................         21      272,218       12,963       23.285       -0.373  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-12...............................         21      170,462        8,117       22.817       -0.468  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-12...............................         23      295,472       12,847       23.276        0.459  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-12...............................         19      331,295       17,437       23.582        0.305  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-12...............................         21      137,562        6,551       22.603       -0.979  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-12...............................         21      221,521       10,549       23.079        0.476  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........

[[Page 53893]]

 
Dec-12...............................         20      321,602       16,080       23.501        0.422  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-13...............................         21      368,488       17,547       23.588        0.087  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-13...............................         19      252,148       13,271       23.309       -0.279  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-13...............................         20      533,440       26,672       24.007        0.698  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-13...............................         22      235,779       10,717       23.095       -0.912  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-13...............................         22      382,950       17,407       23.580        0.485  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-13...............................         20      480,624       24,031       23.903        0.322  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-13...............................         22      263,869       11,994       23.208       -0.695  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-13...............................         22      253,305       11,514       23.167       -0.041  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-13...............................         20      267,923       13,396       23.318        0.151  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-13...............................         23      293,847       12,776       23.271       -0.047  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-13...............................         20      326,257       16,313       23.515        0.244  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-13...............................         21      358,169       17,056       23.560        0.045  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-14...............................         21      369,067       17,575       23.590        0.030  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-14...............................         19      298,376       15,704       23.477       -0.113  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-14...............................         21      564,840       26,897       24.015        0.538  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-14...............................         21      263,401       12,543       23.252       -0.763  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-14...............................         21      403,700       19,224       23.679        0.427  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-14...............................         21      423,075       20,146       23.726        0.047  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-14...............................         22      373,811       16,991       23.556       -0.170  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-14...............................         21      405,017       19,287       23.683        0.127  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-14...............................         21      409,349       19,493       23.693        0.011  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-14...............................         23      338,832       14,732       23.413       -0.280  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-14...............................         19      386,898       20,363       23.737        0.324  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-14...............................         22      370,760       16,853       23.548       -0.189  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-15...............................         20      394,127       19,706       23.704        0.156  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-15...............................         19      466,138       24,534       23.923        0.219  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-15...............................         22      753,747       34,261       24.257        0.334  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-15...............................         21      356,560       16,979       23.555       -0.702  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-15...............................         20      478,591       23,930       23.898        0.343  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-15...............................         22      446,102       20,277       23.733       -0.166  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-15...............................         22      402,062       18,276       23.629       -0.104  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-15...............................         21      334,746       15,940       23.492       -0.137  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-15...............................         21      289,872       13,803       23.348       -0.144  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-15...............................         22      300,276       13,649       23.337       -0.011  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-15...............................         20      409,690       20,485       23.743        0.406  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-15...............................         22      308,569       14,026       23.364       -0.379  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-16...............................         19      457,411       24,074       23.904        0.540  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-16...............................         20      554,343       27,717       24.045        0.141  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-16...............................         22      900,301       40,923       24.435        0.390  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-16...............................         21      250,716       11,939       23.203       -1.232  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-16...............................         21      409,992       19,523       23.695        0.492  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-16...............................         22      321,219       14,601       23.404       -0.291  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-16...............................         20      289,671       14,484       23.396       -0.008  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-16...............................         23      352,068       15,307       23.452        0.055  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-16...............................         21      326,116       15,529       23.466        0.014  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-16...............................         21      266,115       12,672       23.263       -0.203  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-16...............................         21      443,034       21,097       23.772        0.510  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-16...............................         21      310,614       14,791       23.417       -0.355  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-17...............................         20      503,030       25,152       23.948        0.531  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-17...............................         19      255,815       13,464       23.323       -0.625  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-17...............................         23      723,870       31,473       24.172        0.849  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-17...............................         19      255,275       13,436       23.321       -0.851  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-17...............................         22      569,965       25,908       23.978        0.657  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-17...............................         22      445,081       20,231       23.730       -0.247  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-17...............................         20      291,167       14,558       23.401       -0.329  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-17...............................         23      263,981       11,477       23.164       -0.238  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-17...............................         20      372,705       18,635       23.648        0.485  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-17...............................         22      173,749        7,898       22.790       -0.858  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-17...............................         21      377,262       17,965       23.612        0.822  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-17...............................         20      281,126       14,056       23.366       -0.245  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-18...............................         21      593,025       28,239       24.064        0.698  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-18...............................         19      353,182       18,589       23.646       -0.418  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-18...............................         21      685,784       32,656       24.209        0.563  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-18...............................         21      367,569       17,503       23.586       -0.624  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-18...............................         22      543,840       24,720       23.931        0.345  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-18...............................         21      477,967       22,760       23.848       -0.083  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-18...............................         21      327,710       15,605       23.471       -0.377  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........

[[Page 53894]]

 
Aug-18...............................         23      347,239       15,097       23.438       -0.033  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-18...............................         19      259,874       13,678       23.339       -0.099  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-18...............................         23      300,814       13,079       23.294       -0.045  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-18...............................         21      447,767       21,322       23.783        0.489  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-18...............................         19      276,130       14,533       23.400       -0.383  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-19...............................         21      495,624       23,601       23.885        0.485  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-19...............................         19      372,166       19,588       23.698       -0.186  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-19...............................         21      604,813       28,801       24.084        0.385  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-19...............................         21      267,737       12,749       23.269       -0.815  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-19...............................         22      476,892       21,677       23.800        0.531  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-19...............................         20      399,178       19,959       23.717       -0.083  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-19...............................         22      359,438       16,338       23.517       -0.200  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-19...............................         22      401,391       18,245       23.627        0.110  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Sep-19...............................         20      382,876       19,144       23.675        0.048  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Oct-19...............................         23      181,113        7,874       22.787       -0.888  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Nov-19...............................         20      553,889       27,694       24.044        1.258  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Dec-19...............................         21      438,062       20,860       23.761       -0.283  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jan-20...............................         21      636,403       30,305       24.135        0.373  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Feb-20...............................         19      424,133       22,323       23.829       -0.306  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Mar-20...............................         22      409,403       18,609       23.647       -0.182  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Apr-20...............................         21      389,821       18,563       23.644       -0.002  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
May-20...............................         20      731,835       36,592       24.323        0.679  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jun-20...............................         22      650,219       29,555       24.110       -0.214  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Jul-20...............................         22      457,871       20,812       23.759       -0.351  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Aug-20...............................         21  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.858        0.336       24,317      510,665
Sep-20...............................         21  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.865        0.338       24,510      514,715
Oct-20...............................         22  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.872        0.341       24,705      543,503
Nov-20...............................         20  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.879        0.343       24,901      498,013
Dec-20...............................         22  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.886        0.346       25,098      552,159
Jan-21...............................         19  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.893        0.348       25,297      480,647
Feb-21...............................         19  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.901        0.350       25,498      484,460
Mar-21...............................         23  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.908        0.353       25,700      591,103
Apr-21...............................         21  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.915        0.355       25,904      543,984
May-21...............................         20  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.922        0.357       26,109      522,189
Jun-21...............................         22  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.929        0.359       26,317      578,965
Jul-21...............................         21  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.936        0.362       26,525      557,032
Aug-21...............................         22  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.943        0.364       26,736      588,186
Sep-21...............................         21  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........       23.950        0.366       26,948      565,904
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BILLING CODE 8011-01-P

[[Page 53895]]

[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN31AU20.001


[[Page 53896]]


[FR Doc. 2020-19079 Filed 8-28-20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8011-01-C
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