Self-Regulatory Organizations; ICE Clear Credit LLC; Notice of Filing of Proposed Rule Change Relating to ICC's Risk Management Model Description Document and ICC's Risk Management Framework, 35033-35038 [2018-15771]
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Self-Regulatory Organizations; ICE
Clear Credit LLC; Notice of Filing of
Proposed Rule Change Relating to
ICC’s Risk Management Model
Description Document and ICC’s Risk
Management Framework
July 18, 2018.
jstallworth on DSKBBY8HB2PROD with NOTICES
Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, 15
U.S.C. 78s(b)(1) and Rule 19b–4, 17 CFR
240.19b–4, notice is hereby given that
on July 5, 2018, ICE Clear Credit LLC
(‘‘ICC’’) filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission the proposed
rule change as described in Items I, II
and III below, which Items have been
prepared by ICC. The Commission is
publishing this notice to solicit
comments on the proposed rule change
from interested persons.
I. Clearing Agency’s Statement of the
Terms of Substance of the Proposed
Rule Change, Security-Based Swap
Submission, or Advance Notice
The principal purpose of the
proposed rule change is to make
revisions to the ICC Risk Management
Model Description Document and the
ICC Risk Management Framework
related to the transition from a stressbased approach to a Monte Carlo-based
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methodology for the spread response
and recovery rate (‘‘RR’’) sensitivity
response components of the Initial
Margin model. These revisions do not
require any changes to the ICC Clearing
Rules.
II. Clearing Agency’s Statement of the
Purpose of, and Statutory Basis for, the
Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based
Swap Submission, or Advance Notice
In its filing with the Commission, ICC
included statements concerning the
purpose of and basis for the proposed
rule change, security-based swap
submission, or advance notice and
discussed any comments it received on
the proposed rule change, securitybased swap submission, or advance
notice. The text of these statements may
be examined at the places specified in
Item IV below. ICC has prepared
summaries, set forth in sections (A), (B),
and (C) below, of the most significant
aspects of these statements.
(A) Clearing Agency’s Statement of the
Purpose of, and Statutory Basis for, the
Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based
Swap Submission, or Advance Notice
(a) Purpose
ICC proposes revising its Risk
Management Model Description
Document and its Risk Management
Framework. ICC believes such revisions
will facilitate the prompt and accurate
clearance and settlement of securities
transactions and derivative agreements,
contracts, and transactions for which it
is responsible. The proposed revisions
are described in detail as follows.
The purpose of the proposed changes
is to transition from a stress-based
approach to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology for the spread response
and recovery rate (‘‘RR’’) sensitivity
response components of the Initial
Margin model. ICC notes certain
limitations of its stress-based approach,
namely, that it generates a limited
number of stress scenarios that may not
capture the risk of portfolios with more
complex non-linear instruments and
that it does not provide for a consistent
estimation of the portfolio level spread
response based on a defined risk
measure (e.g., Value-at-Risk (‘‘VaR’’))
and quantile (e.g., 99%). The transition
to a Monte Carlo-based methodology
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rectifies these limitations, as it
considers a large set of scenarios to
more appropriately capture portfolio
risk, including the risk of more complex
non-linear instruments, and produces
consistent quantile-based portfolio risk
measure estimates.
To derive the spread response
component, the current stress-based
approach considers a set of hypothetical
‘‘tightening’’ and ‘‘widening’’ credit
spread scenarios, from which it
computes instrument Profit/Loss (‘‘P/
L’’) responses for every Risk Factor
(‘‘RF’’) scenario. All instrument P/L
responses for a scenario are aggregated
to obtain the portfolio P/L response for
that scenario. Since the set of scenarios
does not reflect the joint distribution of
the considered RFs, offsets between P/
Ls are applied to provide some portfolio
benefits. To derive the RR sensitivity
response component, all instruments
belonging to a RF or Risk Sub-Factor
(‘‘RSF’’) are subjected to RR stress
scenarios to obtain the resulting P/L
responses, and the worst scenario
response is chosen for the estimation of
the RF/RSF RR sensitivity response
component.
Under the proposed Monte Carlobased methodology, the ‘‘integrated
spread response’’ component replaces
the spread response and RR sensitivity
response components. This component
will be computed by creating P/L
distributions from a set of jointlysimulated hypothetical (forward
looking) spread and RR scenarios. The
proposed Monte Carlo-based
methodology utilizes standard tools in
modeling dependence, which can be
seen as a means for constructing
multivariate distributions with different
univariate distributions and with
desired dependence structures, to
generate the spread and RR scenarios.
The proposed Monte Carlo-based
methodology provides flexibility in
modeling tail dependence, an important
concept in risk management as it
provides information about how
frequently extreme values are expected
to occur, and thus ICC considers them
particularly suitable for implementing
its Monte Carlo framework.
The univariate RF distribution
assumptions do not change under the
proposed Monte Carlo-based
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methodology. ICC will utilize the
simulated scenarios to derive
hypothetical spread and RR levels, at
which each instrument is repriced in
order to generate a scenario instrument
P/L based on post-index-decomposition
positions. ICC will create P/L
distributions from the set of jointlysimulated hypothetical (forward
looking) credit spread and RR scenarios
to compute the integrated spread
response component. The P/L
distributions for each instrument allow
ICC to decompose portfolio level P/L at
the RF level and to estimate RF-level
risk measures. The proposed model will
utilize the 5-day 99.5% VaR measure
and allow ICC to be compliant with the
European Market Infrastructure
Regulation (‘‘EMIR’’) as applied to OverThe-Counter instruments.
Risk Management Model Description
Document
ICC proposes revisions to the ‘Initial
Margin Methodology’ section of the Risk
Management Model Description
Document to reflect the described
transition from a stress-based approach
to a Monte Carlo-based methodology for
the spread response and RR sensitivity
response components. ICC proposes to
clarify its risk management approach to
note that it features stress loss
considerations and a P/L distribution
analysis at selected quantile levels that
are 99% or higher. The proposed
changes also include a description of
each of the Initial Margin model
components, which are separated into
statistically calibrated components and
stress-based add-on components. The
statistically calibrated components (i.e.,
spread and RR dynamics, interest rate
dynamics, and index/single-name
(‘‘SN’’) basis dynamics) reflect
fluctuations in market observed or
implied quantities, and their direct P/L
impacts. The stress-based add-on
components (i.e., idiosyncratic loss
given default (‘‘LGD’’), wrong-way-risk
(‘‘WWR’’) LGD, bid/offer width risk, and
concentration risk) reflect the risk
associated with low probability events
with limited information sets.
ICC proposes to reorganize the ‘Initial
Margin Methodology’ section to begin
with the ‘LGD Risk Analysis’ section.
The proposed changes to the ‘LGD Risk
Analysis’ section include minor updates
to terminology. The proposed revisions
clarify that the LGD calculation
considers RSF-specific RR level
scenarios and that the Jump-To-Default
(‘‘JTD’’) RR stress levels are updated if
needed. ICC proposes to update the
Profit/Loss-Given-Default (‘‘P/LGD’’)
calculation at the RSF level to indicate
the association between JTD and the RR
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level scenarios. ICC proposes to remove
a reference to the stress levels noted in
the current ‘RR Sensitivity Risk
Analysis’ section. ICC proposes to move
the RF level P/LGD calculation ahead of
the Risk Factor Group (‘‘RFG’’) LGD
calculations to avoid disrupting the
grouping of RFG LGD calculations.
ICC proposes amendments to the ‘JTD
Risk Analysis’ section. The proposed
revisions to the Uncollateralized LGD
(‘‘ULGD’’) calculation incorporate the
integrated spread response component
described above and remove reference
to the current RR sensitivity response
component. ICC also proposes, for
clarity, to shorten a description in the
WWR JTD calculation and to move
details regarding the Kendall tau rankorder correlation to follow the WWR
JTD calculation since such details are
associated with the WWR JTD
calculation. The details regarding the
Kendall tau rank-order correlation
remain unchanged, except for the
addition of clarifying language
referencing regulatory guidance with
respect to RFs deemed highly
correlated. ICC proposes to include this
information, which is currently located
in a source in a footnote, within the text
to provide further description of the
source in the footnote. ICC also
proposes minor structural updates to its
description of specific WWR (‘‘SWWR’’)
to enhance readability.
ICC proposes to add clarifying
language to the ‘Interest Rate Sensitivity
Risk Analysis’ section to note that the
interest rate sensitivity component is a
statistically calibrated Initial Margin
component. ICC also proposes to correct
a notation to reflect an inverse
distribution function.
ICC proposes amendments to the
‘Basis Risk Analysis’ section, which
consist of combining into this section
the current index decomposition
process, followed by SN position offsets,
and then generating basis risk
requirements. Currently, the index
decomposition process and SN position
offsets are discussed under the ‘Spread
Risk Analysis’ section. However, given
the proposed changes to the ‘Spread
Risk Analysis’ section along with the
interrelation of these concepts, ICC
proposes to combine these concepts by
discussing each of them as a different
subsection under the ‘Basis Risk
Analysis’ section. Since the index
decomposition process, followed by SN
position offsets, generates basis risk
requirements, these concepts are
particularly well suited for discussion
within the same section. Specifically,
ICC proposes moving the description
under the current ‘Long-Short Benefits
among RFs with Common Basis’
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subsection to the proposed ‘Index
Decomposition and Long-Short Offsets’
subsection. ICC proposes minor changes
to such description, including removing
references to the spread response
component that ICC proposes to replace.
Similarly, ICC proposes moving the
description under the current ‘Portfolio
Benefits Hierarchy Summary’
subsection to the proposed ‘Long/Short
Offset Hierarchy’ subsection. The
description includes the hierarchy to be
followed in the allocation of each SN
position to the index derived opposite
positions and remains largely the same.
ICC proposes minor changes to remove
references to the current spread
response component and to update the
index series in an example.
ICC proposes moving the analysis
under the current ‘Basis Risk Analysis’
section to the proposed ‘Index-Basis
Risk Estimation’ subsection. The
analysis discusses the calculation of the
basis risk component and remains
largely the same. The proposed edits
state that the basis risk component is
statistically calibrated to provide
additional clarity, update a description
to specify that index instruments may
react to changing market conditions
differently than SN instruments to more
accurately reflect trading characteristics,
and remove an example considered to
be unnecessary and overly specific
given its applicability to one index.
ICC proposes to combine the current
‘Spread Risk Analysis’ and ‘RR
Sensitivity Risk Analysis’ sections into
the proposed ‘Spread and RR Risk
Analysis’ section to reflect ICC’s
transition from a stress-based approach
to a Monte Carlo-based methodology for
the spread response and RR sensitivity
response components. As discussed
above, ICC currently utilizes different
methodologies to separately derive the
spread response and the RR sensitivity
response components, which are
discussed in the ‘Spread Risk Analysis’
and ‘RR Sensitivity Risk Analysis’
sections, respectively. Under the
proposed approach, ICC will utilize
credit spreads and RR distributions to
jointly simulate scenarios to estimate
portfolio risk measures. Accordingly,
ICC proposes to combine the ‘Spread
Risk Analysis’ and ‘RR Sensitivity Risk
Analysis’ sections into the ‘Spread and
RR Risk Analysis’ section given their
interrelation under the proposed
approach, in which the integrated
spread response will be computed by
creating P/L distributions from a set of
jointly-simulated hypothetical (forward
looking) spread and RR scenarios.
ICC proposes to remove details
regarding the current stress-based
approach from the ‘Initial Margin
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Methodology’ section and to describe
how ICC generates credit spread
scenarios using Monte Carlo techniques
in the amended ‘Spread Risk Analysis’
section. As described above, the spread
response component is derived in terms
of a set of hypothetical ‘‘tightening’’ and
‘‘widening’’ credit spread scenarios
under the current stress-based approach.
The analysis of the univariate
characteristics of credit spread logreturns to arrive at credit spread
scenarios does not change under the
Monte Carlo-based methodology.
The univariate RF distribution
assumptions do not change under the
Monte Carlo-based methodology and
thus the ‘Distribution of the Credit
Spreads’ subsection remains largely the
same with some clarifying changes to
language included.
ICC proposes to describe the
implementation of the Monte Carlobased methodology in the new
‘Multivariate Statistical Approach via
Copulas’ subsection. ICC proposes to
include a discussion on the construction
and application of the standard tools in
modeling dependence, including the
review of their theoretical background,
in the new ‘Copulas’ subsection.
ICC proposes the ‘Tail Dependence’
subsection to provide a description of
the concept of tail dependence, given its
relevancy as it indicates the probability
of extreme values occurring jointly. The
proposed subsection provides
additional support behind ICC’s
conclusion that the tools for modeling
dependence are particularly suitable for
connecting the various univariate
distributions in a multivariate setting as
they provide flexibility in modeling tail
dependence.
Under the proposed ‘Copula
Simulation’ subsection, ICC describes
its Monte Carlo-based simulation
approach. The proposed approach is
based on first generating for all SN RF/
RSF and On The Run indices Most
Actively Traded Tenor (‘‘MATT’’)
scenarios using the stochastic
representation of the selected
multivariate distribution under
consideration. The conditional
simulation approach is then utilized to
generate individual RF/tenor-specific
scenarios. ICC also proposes to describe
the block simulation approach that it
utilizes in generating scenarios, which
departs from an approach where all
tenors for all SNs are simulated
together. Instead, specific blocks of the
correlation matrix are considered
through the stepwise block simulation
approach.
Under the proposed ‘Copula
Parameter Estimation’ subsection, ICC
discusses the estimation of a new
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parameter. The proposed subsection
includes a description of two methods
that can be used for parameter
estimation, namely the ‘‘quasi
Maximum Likelihood’’ approach and
the ‘‘Canonical Maximum Likelihood’’
method. ICC proposes to include the
value at which this parameter is set
conservatively and to explain that such
a value reflects strong tail dependence
within the simulation framework, which
is important because ICC estimates that
tail dependence will increase in stressed
market conditions.
Next, ICC proposes to remove details
regarding the current stress-based
approach for the RR sensitivity response
component and to describe how ICC
jointly simulates credit spread and RR
scenarios using Monte Carlo techniques
in the amended ‘RR Risk Analysis’
section. As discussed above, under the
current stress-based approach, the RR
sensitivity response component is
computed in terms of RR stress
scenarios and incorporates potential
losses associated with changes in the
market implied RR. The proposed
Monte Carlo-based methodology
considers the risk arising from
fluctuations in the market implied RRs
of each SN RF and/or RSF jointly with
the fluctuations in the curves of credit
spreads.
The univariate RR distribution
assumptions do not change under the
Monte Carlo-based methodology and
thus the proposed ‘Distribution of RRs’
subsection contains much of the
relevant analysis under the current ‘RR
Sensitivity Risk Analysis’ section with
some additional clarifying language to
further specify that the RR stress-based
sensitivity requirement transitioned to a
Monte Carlo simulation-based
methodology. ICC proposes to note the
assumption regarding the analysis of
each SN RF/RSF that includes the
description located under the current
‘Beta Distribution’ subsection since the
integrated spread response also assumes
a Beta distribution describing the
behavior of the RRs.
The amended ‘Parameter Estimation’
subsection discusses the parameter
calibration necessary to simulate RR
scenarios and is largely the same. The
proposed revisions remove or replace
terminology associated with the stressbased approach with terminology
associated with the Monte Carlo-based
approach.
The proposed ‘Spread-Recovery-Rate
Bivariate Model’ subsection describes
the use of credit spread and RR
distributions to jointly simulate
scenarios to estimate portfolio risk
measures under the Monte Carlo-based
methodology. Namely, ICC proposes to
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discuss the use of the conditional
simulation approach to jointly simulate
SN RF/RSF-specific RR scenarios with
SN RF/RSF MATT spread log-return
scenarios. ICC proposes to note several
assumptions under this model, along
with an explanation of how it generates
the individual SN RF/RSF-specific RR
scenarios and the tenor-specific spread
scenarios using copulas.
ICC proposes moving the ‘ArbitrageFree Modeling’ subsection, which is
currently located under the ‘Spread Risk
Analysis’ section, under the ‘Spread and
RR Risk Analysis’ section. The analysis
remains largely the same with some
language clarifications, including
references to simulated spread levels in
conjunction with simulated RR levels
within the text and within formulas to
ensure consistency with the proposed
‘Spread and RR Risk Analysis’ section.
ICC proposes further revisions to
terminology, such as removing
terminology associated with the stressbased approach and incorporating the
Monte Carlo simulation based
methodology described above to ensure
consistency with the proposed ‘Spread
and RR Risk Analysis’ section. ICC also
proposes replacing specific references to
the current most actively traded tenor
with references to the more general
concept of ‘‘most actively traded tenor’’
to account for a situation in which the
referenced most actively traded tenor is
different.
Under the proposed ‘Risk Estimations’
subsection, ICC describes the
computation of the integrated spread
response component. Once the Monte
Carlo scenarios are simulated, all
instruments will be repriced, and the
respective instrument P/L responses
will be computed. Upon consideration
of the instrument positions in each
portfolio along with the instrument P/L
responses, portfolio risk estimations
will be performed and the integrated
spread response component will be
established.
ICC proposes to discuss its calculation
of P/Ls for instruments, RFs, common
currency sub-portfolios, and multicurrency sub-portfolios under the new
‘RF and Sub-Portfolio Level Integrated
Spread Response’ subsection. ICC
proposes to retain the use of subportfolios as is currently done today.
However, the portfolio benefits across
sub-portfolios will be limited. This
enhancement allows ICC to decompose
portfolio level P/L at the sub-portfolio
level and to estimate sub-portfolio level
risk measures.
Under the proposed ‘Instrument P/L
Estimations’ subsection, ICC describes
the calculation of instrument P/Ls.
Namely, ICC will reprice all instruments
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at the hypothetical spread and RR
levels, which are derived from the
simulated spread and RR scenarios, and
take the difference between the prices of
the instruments at the simulated
scenarios and the current end-of-day
(‘‘EOD’’) prices. ICC will utilize the
instrument-related P/L distribution to
estimate the instrument-specific
integrated spread response as the 99.5%
VaR measure in the currency of the
instrument.
Under the proposed ‘RF P/L
Estimations’ subsection, ICC describes
the calculation of RF P/Ls. ICC will
utilize the simulated P/L scenarios,
combined with the post-indexdecomposition positions related to a
given RF, to generate a currency-specific
RF P/L distribution. ICC will utilize this
RF-related P/L distribution to estimate
the RF-specific integrated spread
response as the 99.5% VaR measure in
the currency of the considered RF.
Under the proposed ‘Common
Currency Sub-Portfolio P/L Estimations’
subsection, ICC describes the
calculation of common currency subportfolio P/Ls. For a currency specific
sub-portfolio, ICC extracts the relevant
risk measures from sub-portfolio level
P/L distributions, which are obtained
from the aggregation of common
currency RF P/L distributions.
Under the proposed ‘Multi-Currency
Sub-Portfolio P/L Estimations’
subsection, ICC adds clarifying language
describing the calculation of multicurrency sub-portfolio P/Ls. ICC
proposes to extend multi-currency
portfolio benefits to RFs with similar
market characteristics, where the RFs
and their respective instruments are
denominated in different currencies.
Under the proposed approach, longshort integrated spread response
benefits are provided between Corporate
RFs that are denominated in different
currencies. ICC proposes to retain the
multi-currency risk aggregation
approach, which involves obtaining
U.S. Dollar (‘‘USD’’) and Euro (‘‘EUR’’)
denominated sub-portfolio P/L
distributions, to RFs within the North
American Corporate and European
Corporate sub-portfolios denominated
in USD and EUR currencies,
respectively.
ICC proposes to include its
calculation for the portfolio level
integrated spread response component
in the ‘Portfolio level Integrated Spread
Response’ subsection. The calculation
will include the sub-portfolio-specific
integrated spread response after any
potential multicurrency benefits and the
RF-specific integrated spread response.
ICC proposes the new ‘RF Attributed
Integrated Spread Response
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Requirements’ subsection to describe
the calculation of the RF attributed
integrated spread response component
for each RF in the considered portfolio.
ICC proposes minor revisions to the
‘Anti-Procyclicality Measures’
subsection to replace terminology
associated with the stress-based
approach with terminology associated
with the Monte Carlo-based approach.
ICC also proposes to update calculation
descriptions relating to portfolio
responses to note that certain amounts
are converted to or represented in USD
using the EOD established foreign
exchange (‘‘FX’’) rate.
ICC proposes updates to the ‘MultiCurrency Portfolio Treatment’ section to
incorporate the proposed integrated
spread response component. ICC
proposes to clarify that it implements a
multi-currency portfolio treatment
methodology for portfolios with
instruments that are denominated in
different currencies. The proposed
changes also remove references to the
current spread response component.
ICC propose minor edits to the
‘Portfolio Loss Boundary Condition’
section to remove or replace references
to the current spread response and RR
sensitivity response components with
references to the proposed integrated
spread response component within the
text and within formulas to ensure
consistency with the proposed ‘Spread
and RR Risk Analysis’ section,
specifically the ‘Portfolio Level
Integrated SR’ subsection. Moreover,
ICC proposes to reference, for clarity,
the total number of RFs within the
considered sub-portfolio in its
calculations of the maximum portfolio
loss and the maximum portfolio
integrated spread response to ensure
consistency with the proposed ‘Spread
and RR Risk Analysis’ section,
specifically the ‘Portfolio Level
Integrated SR’ subsection.
ICC proposes minor changes to the
‘Guaranty Fund (‘‘GF’’) Methodology’
section. The proposed changes move the
descriptions associated with the credit
spread curve shape scenarios (i.e.,
Uniform Scaling, Pivoting, and Tenor
Specific) from the current ‘Spread Risk
Analysis’ section to the ‘Unconditional
Uncollateralized Exposures’ subsection.
Although the credit spread curve shape
scenarios are currently considered as
part of the spread response component,
ICC proposes to only use them for GF
purposes. The descriptions and
calculations associated with the credit
spread curve shape scenarios remain
largely the same with some clarifying
changes, including the substitution of a
variable for the simulation quantile in
the calculations to reflect consistency
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with the GF risk measure, and structural
changes to the descriptions to enhance
readability. Additionally, the proposed
changes include reference to the
integrated spread response in place of
the spread response in the calculations
describing the GF stress spread
response.
ICC proposes other non-material
changes to the Risk Management Model
Description Document, including minor
grammatical, typographical, and
structural changes to enhance
readability and minor updates to
calculations to update symbol notations.
Risk Management Framework
ICC proposes conforming revisions to
its Risk Management Framework to
reflect the transition from a stress-based
approach to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology for the spread response
and RR sensitivity response components
of the Initial Margin model. The
proposed revisions are described in
detail as follows.
ICC proposes changes to the ‘Waterfall
Level 2: Initial Margin’ section to
combine the spread response and the RR
sensitivity components into the
proposed integrated spread response
component. The proposed revisions
introduce the integrated spread
response component under the
amended ‘Integrated Spread Response
Requirements’ section and replace all
references to the spread response with
references to the integrated spread
response. ICC proposes conforming
changes throughout the framework.
Currently, the spread response
component is obtained by estimating
scenario P/L for a set of hypothetical
‘‘tightening’’ and ‘‘widening’’ credit
spread scenarios and by considering the
largest loss. Under the proposed
revisions, the integrated spread
response will be computed by creating
P/L distributions from a set of jointlysimulated hypothetical (forward
looking) credit spread and RR scenarios.
The proposed changes provide an
updated calculation of the instrument
scenario P/L, note the mappings
between spread and RR levels and
prices are performed by means of the
International Swap and Derivatives
Association (‘‘ISDA’’) standard
conversion convention, and specify that
the hypothetical prices are forward
looking. ICC also proposes to state that
the integrated spread response approach
assumes a distribution that describes the
behavior of the RRs.
ICC proposes the new ‘Index
Decomposition Approach’ subsection,
which contains the analysis under the
current ‘Index Decomposition Benefits
between Index RFs and SN RSFs’
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subsection without any material
changes. ICC also proposes the new
‘Portfolio Approach’ subsection to
describe the Monte Carlo simulation
framework, which replaces the current
stress-based approach noted above. ICC
proposes to utilize Monte Carlo
techniques to generate spread and RR
scenarios. ICC will utilize the simulated
scenarios to derive hypothetical spread
and RR levels, at which each instrument
is repriced in order to generate a
scenario instrument P/L based on postindex-decomposition positions. For
each scenario, instrument P/Ls are
aggregated to obtain RF and subportfolio P/Ls, which represent the RF
and sub-portfolio P/L distributions that
are used to estimate the RF and subportfolio 99.5% VaR measures at a risk
horizon that is at least 5 days. The
portfolio level integrated spread
response is estimated as a weighted sum
of RF and sub-portfolio 99.5% VaR
measures. ICC also proposes to move its
analysis related to achieving anti procyclicality to the amended ‘Integrated
Spread Response Requirements’ section
without any material changes.
(b) Statutory Basis
Section 17A(b)(3)(F) of the Act 1
requires, among other things, that the
rules of a clearing agency be designed to
promote the prompt and accurate
clearance and settlement of securities
transactions, and to the extent
applicable, derivative agreements,
contracts and transactions; to assure the
safeguarding of securities and funds
which are in the custody or control of
the clearing agency or for which it is
responsible; and to comply with the
provisions of the Act and the rules and
regulations thereunder. ICC believes
that the proposed rule changes are
consistent with the requirements of the
Act and the rules and regulations
thereunder applicable to ICC, in
particular, to Section 17(A)(b)(3)(F),2
because ICC believes that the proposed
rule changes will promote the prompt
and accurate clearance and settlement of
securities transactions, derivatives
agreements, contracts, and transactions,
and contribute to the safeguarding of
securities and funds associated with
security-based swap transactions in
ICC’s custody or control, or for which
ICC is responsible. The transition to a
Monte Carlo-based methodology
rectifies certain limitations associated
with the current stress-based approach,
since Monte Carlo techniques allow ICC
to consider a large set of scenarios to
more appropriately capture portfolio
risk, including the risk of more complex
non-linear instruments, and produce
consistent quantile-based portfolio risk
measures. Moreover, the proposed
transition to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology enhances ICC’s Initial
Margin model since it provides a robust
and flexible solution to assessing the
risk of complex portfolios. As a result,
ICC believes that it will be better able to
capture portfolio risk and generate
sound and efficient Initial Margin
requirements, which would enhance the
financial resources available to ICC and
thus decrease the possibility that a
default adversely impacts ICC’s
operations, thereby facilitating ICC’s
ability to promptly and accurately clear
and settle its cleared CDS contracts and
enhancing ICC’s ability to assure the
safeguarding of securities and funds
which are in the custody or control of
ICC or for which it is responsible. As
such, the proposed rule changes are
designed to promote the prompt and
accurate clearance and settlement of
securities transactions, derivatives
agreements, contracts, and transactions
and to contribute to the safeguarding of
securities and funds associated with
security-based swap transactions in
ICC’s custody or control, or for which
ICC is responsible within the meaning
of Section 17A(b)(3)(F) 3 of the Act.
The proposed rule change will also
satisfy the requirements of Rule 17Ad–
22.4 Rule 17Ad–22(b)(2) 5 requires ICC
to establish, implement, maintain and
enforce written policies and procedures
reasonably designed to use margin
requirements to limit its credit
exposures to participants under normal
market conditions. ICC believes that the
transition from a stress-based to a Monte
Carlo-based methodology provides for a
consistent and capital-efficient portfolio
approach, which will improve ICC’s
ability to calculate margin requirements.
An enhanced margin calculation will
allow ICC to establish margin
requirements that are better able to
capture the risk of portfolios, including
portfolios with more complex nonlinear instruments, to ensure that ICC
establishes margin requirements that are
commensurate with the risks and
characteristics of each portfolio, thereby
improving ICC’s ability to limit its credit
exposures to participants under normal
market conditions, consistent with the
requirements of Rule 17Ad–22(b)(2).6
Rule 17Ad–22(b)(3) 7 requires ICC to
establish, implement, maintain and
5 17
1 15
U.S.C. 78q–1(b)(3)(F).
VerDate Sep<11>2014
7 17
13:59 Jul 23, 2018
CFR 240.17Ad–22.
CFR 240.17Ad–22(b)(2).
6 Id.
2 Id.
Jkt 244001
PO 00000
enforce written policies and procedures
reasonably designed to maintain
sufficient financial resources to
withstand, at a minimum, a default by
the two Clearing Participant (‘‘CP’’)
families to which it has the largest
exposures in extreme but plausible
market conditions. The utilization of
Monte Carlo techniques will enhance
the financial resources available to ICC
by enhancing ICC’s Initial Margin model
such that ICC is better able to capture
portfolio risk and generate stable and
efficient Initial Margin requirements. As
a result, the likelihood that a default
adversely impacts ICC’s operations
lessens, allowing ICC to continue to
ensure that it maintains sufficient
financial resources to withstand, at a
minimum, a default by the two CP
families to which it has the largest
exposures in extreme but plausible
market conditions, consistent with the
requirements of Rule 17Ad–22(b)(3).8
Rule 17Ad–22(d)(8) 9 requires ICC to
have governance arrangements that are
clear and transparent to fulfill the
public interest requirements in Section
17A of the Act.10 ICC’s Risk
Management Framework and Risk
Management Model Description
Document clearly assign and document
responsibility and accountability for
risk decisions and require consultation
with or approval from the ICC Board,
committees, or management. ICC
determined to transition to a Monte
Carlo-based methodology in accordance
with its governance process, which
included review of the changes to the
Risk Management Framework and the
Risk Management Model Description
Document and related risk management
considerations by the ICC Risk
Committee and approval by the Board.
These governance arrangements
continue to be clear and transparent,
such that information relating to the
assignment of responsibilities for risk
decisions and the requisite involvement
of the ICC Board, committees, and
management is clearly documented,
consistent with the requirements of Rule
17Ad–22(d)(8).11
(B) Clearing Agency’s Statement on
Burden on Competition
ICC does not believe the proposed
rule changes would have any impact, or
impose any burden, on competition.
The proposed changes to ICC’s Risk
Management Model Description
Document and ICC’s Risk Management
Framework will apply uniformly across
3 Id.
4 17
8 Id.
9 17
CFR 240.17Ad–22(d)(8).
U.S.C. 78q–1.
11 17 CFR 240.17Ad–22(d)(8).
10 15
CFR 240.17Ad–22(b)(3).
Frm 00057
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Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 142 / Tuesday, July 24, 2018 / Notices
all market participants. Therefore, ICC
does not believe the proposed rule
changes impose any burden on
competition that is inappropriate in
furtherance of the purposes of the Act.
(C) Clearing Agency’s Statement on
Comments on the Proposed Rule
Change, Security-Based Swap
Submission, or Advance Notice
Received From Members, Participants or
Others
Written comments relating to the
proposed rule change have not been
solicited or received. ICC will notify the
Commission of any written comments
received by ICC.
III. Date of Effectiveness of the
Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based
Swap Submission, or Advance Notice
and Timing for Commission Action
Within 45 days of the date of
publication of this notice in the Federal
Register or within such longer period
up to 90 days (i) as the Commission may
designate if it finds such longer period
to be appropriate and publishes its
reasons for so finding or (ii) as to which
the self-regulatory organization
consents, the Commission will:
(A) By order approve or disapprove
such proposed rule change, or
(B) institute proceedings to determine
whether the proposed rule change
should be disapproved.
IV. Solicitation of Comments
Interested persons are invited to
submit written data, views, and
arguments concerning the foregoing,
including whether the proposed rule
change, security-based swap
submission, or advance notice is
consistent with the Act. Comments may
be submitted by any of the following
methods:
jstallworth on DSKBBY8HB2PROD with NOTICES
Electronic Comments
• Use the Commission’s internet
comment form (https://www.sec.gov/
rules/sro.shtml); or
• Send an email to rule-comments@
sec.gov. Please include File Number SR–
ICC–2018–008 on the subject line.
Paper Comments
Send paper comments in triplicate to
Secretary, Securities and Exchange
Commission, 100 F Street NE,
Washington, DC 20549–1090.
All submissions should refer to File
Number SR–ICC–2018–008. This file
number should be included on the
subject line if email is used. To help the
Commission process and review your
comments more efficiently, please use
only one method. The Commission will
post all comments on the Commission’s
VerDate Sep<11>2014
13:59 Jul 23, 2018
Jkt 244001
internet website (https://www.sec.gov/
rules/sro.shtml). Copies of the
submission, all subsequent
amendments, all written statements
with respect to the proposed rule
change, security-based swap
submission, or advance notice that are
filed with the Commission, and all
written communications relating to the
proposed rule change, security-based
swap submission, or advance notice
between the Commission and any
person, other than those that may be
withheld from the public in accordance
with the provisions of 5 U.S.C. 552, will
be available for website viewing and
printing in the Commission’s Public
Reference Room, 100 F Street NE,
Washington, DC 20549, on official
business days between the hours of
10:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m. Copies the
filing also will be available for
inspection and copying at the principal
office of ICE Clear Credit and on ICE
Clear Credit’s website at https://
www.theice.com/clear-credit/regulation.
All comments received will be posted
without change. Persons submitting
comments are cautioned that we do not
redact or edit personal identifying
information from comment submissions.
You should submit only information
that you wish to make available
publicly. All submissions should refer
to File Number SR–ICC–2018–008 and
should be submitted on or before
August 14, 2018.
For the Commission, by the Division of
Trading and Markets, pursuant to delegated
authority.12
Eduardo A. Aleman,
Assistant Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2018–15771 Filed 7–23–18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8011–01–P
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE
COMMISSION
[Release No. 34–83660; File No. SR–ISE–
2018–63]
Self-Regulatory Organizations; Nasdaq
ISE, LLC; Notice of Filing and
Immediate Effectiveness of Proposed
Rule Change To Amend the
Exchange’s Schedule of Fees To
Waive Fees and Rebates for Trades in
NQX Options
July 18, 2018.
Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
(‘‘Act’’),1 and Rule 19b–4 thereunder,2
notice is hereby given that on July 6,
2018, Nasdaq ISE, LLC (‘‘ISE’’ or
PO 00000
12 17
CFR 200.30–3(a)(12).
U.S.C. 78s(b)(1).
2 17 CFR 240.19b–4.
1 15
Frm 00058
Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
‘‘Exchange’’) filed with the Securities
and Exchange Commission
(‘‘Commission’’) the proposed rule
change as described in Items I and II
below, which Items have been prepared
by the Exchange. The Commission is
publishing this notice to solicit
comments on the proposed rule change
from interested persons.
I. Self-Regulatory Organization’s
Statement of the Terms of Substance of
the Proposed Rule Change
The Exchange proposes to amend the
Exchange’s Schedule of Fees, as further
described below.
The text of the proposed rule change
is available on the Exchange’s website at
https://ise.cchwallstreet.com/, at the
principal office of the Exchange, and at
the Commission’s Public Reference
Room.
II. Self-Regulatory Organization’s
Statement of the Purpose of, and
Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule
Change
In its filing with the Commission, the
Exchange included statements
concerning the purpose of and basis for
the proposed rule change and discussed
any comments it received on the
proposed rule change. The text of these
statements may be examined at the
places specified in Item IV below. The
Exchange has prepared summaries, set
forth in sections A, B, and C below, of
the most significant aspects of such
statements.
A. Self-Regulatory Organization’s
Statement of the Purpose of, and
Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule
Change
1. Purpose
The Exchange recently received
approval to list index options on the
Nasdaq 100 Reduced Value Index
(‘‘NQX’’) on a pilot basis.3 The NQX
options contract will be the same in all
respects as the current Nasdaq-100
Index (‘‘NDX’’) options contract listed
on the Exchange, except that it will be
based on 1⁄5 of the value of the Nasdaq
100 Index, and will be P.M. settled with
an exercise settlement value based on
the closing index value of the Nasdaq
100 on the day of expiration.4 The
3 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 82911
(March 20, 2018), 83 FR 12966 (March 26, 2018)
(SR–ISE–2017–106).
4 Id. The Exchange notes that similar features are
available with other index options contracts listed
on the Exchange and other options exchanges,
including P.M. settled options on the full value of
the Nasdaq-100 Index (‘‘NDXP’’).
E:\FR\FM\24JYN1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 142 (Tuesday, July 24, 2018)]
[Notices]
[Pages 35033-35038]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2018-15771]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
[Release No. 34-83662; File No. SR-ICC-2018-008]
Self-Regulatory Organizations; ICE Clear Credit LLC; Notice of
Filing of Proposed Rule Change Relating to ICC's Risk Management Model
Description Document and ICC's Risk Management Framework
July 18, 2018.
Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, 15 U.S.C. 78s(b)(1) and Rule 19b-4, 17 CFR 240.19b-4, notice is
hereby given that on July 5, 2018, ICE Clear Credit LLC (``ICC'') filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission the proposed rule change as
described in Items I, II and III below, which Items have been prepared
by ICC. The Commission is publishing this notice to solicit comments on
the proposed rule change from interested persons.
I. Clearing Agency's Statement of the Terms of Substance of the
Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based Swap Submission, or Advance Notice
The principal purpose of the proposed rule change is to make
revisions to the ICC Risk Management Model Description Document and the
ICC Risk Management Framework related to the transition from a stress-
based approach to a Monte Carlo-based methodology for the spread
response and recovery rate (``RR'') sensitivity response components of
the Initial Margin model. These revisions do not require any changes to
the ICC Clearing Rules.
II. Clearing Agency's Statement of the Purpose of, and Statutory Basis
for, the Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based Swap Submission, or
Advance Notice
In its filing with the Commission, ICC included statements
concerning the purpose of and basis for the proposed rule change,
security-based swap submission, or advance notice and discussed any
comments it received on the proposed rule change, security-based swap
submission, or advance notice. The text of these statements may be
examined at the places specified in Item IV below. ICC has prepared
summaries, set forth in sections (A), (B), and (C) below, of the most
significant aspects of these statements.
(A) Clearing Agency's Statement of the Purpose of, and Statutory Basis
for, the Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based Swap Submission, or
Advance Notice
(a) Purpose
ICC proposes revising its Risk Management Model Description
Document and its Risk Management Framework. ICC believes such revisions
will facilitate the prompt and accurate clearance and settlement of
securities transactions and derivative agreements, contracts, and
transactions for which it is responsible. The proposed revisions are
described in detail as follows.
The purpose of the proposed changes is to transition from a stress-
based approach to a Monte Carlo-based methodology for the spread
response and recovery rate (``RR'') sensitivity response components of
the Initial Margin model. ICC notes certain limitations of its stress-
based approach, namely, that it generates a limited number of stress
scenarios that may not capture the risk of portfolios with more complex
non-linear instruments and that it does not provide for a consistent
estimation of the portfolio level spread response based on a defined
risk measure (e.g., Value-at-Risk (``VaR'')) and quantile (e.g., 99%).
The transition to a Monte Carlo-based methodology rectifies these
limitations, as it considers a large set of scenarios to more
appropriately capture portfolio risk, including the risk of more
complex non-linear instruments, and produces consistent quantile-based
portfolio risk measure estimates.
To derive the spread response component, the current stress-based
approach considers a set of hypothetical ``tightening'' and
``widening'' credit spread scenarios, from which it computes instrument
Profit/Loss (``P/L'') responses for every Risk Factor (``RF'')
scenario. All instrument P/L responses for a scenario are aggregated to
obtain the portfolio P/L response for that scenario. Since the set of
scenarios does not reflect the joint distribution of the considered
RFs, offsets between P/Ls are applied to provide some portfolio
benefits. To derive the RR sensitivity response component, all
instruments belonging to a RF or Risk Sub-Factor (``RSF'') are
subjected to RR stress scenarios to obtain the resulting P/L responses,
and the worst scenario response is chosen for the estimation of the RF/
RSF RR sensitivity response component.
Under the proposed Monte Carlo-based methodology, the ``integrated
spread response'' component replaces the spread response and RR
sensitivity response components. This component will be computed by
creating P/L distributions from a set of jointly-simulated hypothetical
(forward looking) spread and RR scenarios. The proposed Monte Carlo-
based methodology utilizes standard tools in modeling dependence, which
can be seen as a means for constructing multivariate distributions with
different univariate distributions and with desired dependence
structures, to generate the spread and RR scenarios. The proposed Monte
Carlo-based methodology provides flexibility in modeling tail
dependence, an important concept in risk management as it provides
information about how frequently extreme values are expected to occur,
and thus ICC considers them particularly suitable for implementing its
Monte Carlo framework.
The univariate RF distribution assumptions do not change under the
proposed Monte Carlo-based
[[Page 35034]]
methodology. ICC will utilize the simulated scenarios to derive
hypothetical spread and RR levels, at which each instrument is repriced
in order to generate a scenario instrument P/L based on post-index-
decomposition positions. ICC will create P/L distributions from the set
of jointly-simulated hypothetical (forward looking) credit spread and
RR scenarios to compute the integrated spread response component. The
P/L distributions for each instrument allow ICC to decompose portfolio
level P/L at the RF level and to estimate RF-level risk measures. The
proposed model will utilize the 5-day 99.5% VaR measure and allow ICC
to be compliant with the European Market Infrastructure Regulation
(``EMIR'') as applied to Over-The-Counter instruments.
Risk Management Model Description Document
ICC proposes revisions to the `Initial Margin Methodology' section
of the Risk Management Model Description Document to reflect the
described transition from a stress-based approach to a Monte Carlo-
based methodology for the spread response and RR sensitivity response
components. ICC proposes to clarify its risk management approach to
note that it features stress loss considerations and a P/L distribution
analysis at selected quantile levels that are 99% or higher. The
proposed changes also include a description of each of the Initial
Margin model components, which are separated into statistically
calibrated components and stress-based add-on components. The
statistically calibrated components (i.e., spread and RR dynamics,
interest rate dynamics, and index/single-name (``SN'') basis dynamics)
reflect fluctuations in market observed or implied quantities, and
their direct P/L impacts. The stress-based add-on components (i.e.,
idiosyncratic loss given default (``LGD''), wrong-way-risk (``WWR'')
LGD, bid/offer width risk, and concentration risk) reflect the risk
associated with low probability events with limited information sets.
ICC proposes to reorganize the `Initial Margin Methodology' section
to begin with the `LGD Risk Analysis' section. The proposed changes to
the `LGD Risk Analysis' section include minor updates to terminology.
The proposed revisions clarify that the LGD calculation considers RSF-
specific RR level scenarios and that the Jump-To-Default (``JTD'') RR
stress levels are updated if needed. ICC proposes to update the Profit/
Loss-Given-Default (``P/LGD'') calculation at the RSF level to indicate
the association between JTD and the RR level scenarios. ICC proposes to
remove a reference to the stress levels noted in the current `RR
Sensitivity Risk Analysis' section. ICC proposes to move the RF level
P/LGD calculation ahead of the Risk Factor Group (``RFG'') LGD
calculations to avoid disrupting the grouping of RFG LGD calculations.
ICC proposes amendments to the `JTD Risk Analysis' section. The
proposed revisions to the Uncollateralized LGD (``ULGD'') calculation
incorporate the integrated spread response component described above
and remove reference to the current RR sensitivity response component.
ICC also proposes, for clarity, to shorten a description in the WWR JTD
calculation and to move details regarding the Kendall tau rank-order
correlation to follow the WWR JTD calculation since such details are
associated with the WWR JTD calculation. The details regarding the
Kendall tau rank-order correlation remain unchanged, except for the
addition of clarifying language referencing regulatory guidance with
respect to RFs deemed highly correlated. ICC proposes to include this
information, which is currently located in a source in a footnote,
within the text to provide further description of the source in the
footnote. ICC also proposes minor structural updates to its description
of specific WWR (``SWWR'') to enhance readability.
ICC proposes to add clarifying language to the `Interest Rate
Sensitivity Risk Analysis' section to note that the interest rate
sensitivity component is a statistically calibrated Initial Margin
component. ICC also proposes to correct a notation to reflect an
inverse distribution function.
ICC proposes amendments to the `Basis Risk Analysis' section, which
consist of combining into this section the current index decomposition
process, followed by SN position offsets, and then generating basis
risk requirements. Currently, the index decomposition process and SN
position offsets are discussed under the `Spread Risk Analysis'
section. However, given the proposed changes to the `Spread Risk
Analysis' section along with the interrelation of these concepts, ICC
proposes to combine these concepts by discussing each of them as a
different subsection under the `Basis Risk Analysis' section. Since the
index decomposition process, followed by SN position offsets, generates
basis risk requirements, these concepts are particularly well suited
for discussion within the same section. Specifically, ICC proposes
moving the description under the current `Long-Short Benefits among RFs
with Common Basis' subsection to the proposed `Index Decomposition and
Long-Short Offsets' subsection. ICC proposes minor changes to such
description, including removing references to the spread response
component that ICC proposes to replace.
Similarly, ICC proposes moving the description under the current
`Portfolio Benefits Hierarchy Summary' subsection to the proposed
`Long/Short Offset Hierarchy' subsection. The description includes the
hierarchy to be followed in the allocation of each SN position to the
index derived opposite positions and remains largely the same. ICC
proposes minor changes to remove references to the current spread
response component and to update the index series in an example.
ICC proposes moving the analysis under the current `Basis Risk
Analysis' section to the proposed `Index-Basis Risk Estimation'
subsection. The analysis discusses the calculation of the basis risk
component and remains largely the same. The proposed edits state that
the basis risk component is statistically calibrated to provide
additional clarity, update a description to specify that index
instruments may react to changing market conditions differently than SN
instruments to more accurately reflect trading characteristics, and
remove an example considered to be unnecessary and overly specific
given its applicability to one index.
ICC proposes to combine the current `Spread Risk Analysis' and `RR
Sensitivity Risk Analysis' sections into the proposed `Spread and RR
Risk Analysis' section to reflect ICC's transition from a stress-based
approach to a Monte Carlo-based methodology for the spread response and
RR sensitivity response components. As discussed above, ICC currently
utilizes different methodologies to separately derive the spread
response and the RR sensitivity response components, which are
discussed in the `Spread Risk Analysis' and `RR Sensitivity Risk
Analysis' sections, respectively. Under the proposed approach, ICC will
utilize credit spreads and RR distributions to jointly simulate
scenarios to estimate portfolio risk measures. Accordingly, ICC
proposes to combine the `Spread Risk Analysis' and `RR Sensitivity Risk
Analysis' sections into the `Spread and RR Risk Analysis' section given
their interrelation under the proposed approach, in which the
integrated spread response will be computed by creating P/L
distributions from a set of jointly-simulated hypothetical (forward
looking) spread and RR scenarios.
ICC proposes to remove details regarding the current stress-based
approach from the `Initial Margin
[[Page 35035]]
Methodology' section and to describe how ICC generates credit spread
scenarios using Monte Carlo techniques in the amended `Spread Risk
Analysis' section. As described above, the spread response component is
derived in terms of a set of hypothetical ``tightening'' and
``widening'' credit spread scenarios under the current stress-based
approach. The analysis of the univariate characteristics of credit
spread log-returns to arrive at credit spread scenarios does not change
under the Monte Carlo-based methodology.
The univariate RF distribution assumptions do not change under the
Monte Carlo-based methodology and thus the `Distribution of the Credit
Spreads' subsection remains largely the same with some clarifying
changes to language included.
ICC proposes to describe the implementation of the Monte Carlo-
based methodology in the new `Multivariate Statistical Approach via
Copulas' subsection. ICC proposes to include a discussion on the
construction and application of the standard tools in modeling
dependence, including the review of their theoretical background, in
the new `Copulas' subsection.
ICC proposes the `Tail Dependence' subsection to provide a
description of the concept of tail dependence, given its relevancy as
it indicates the probability of extreme values occurring jointly. The
proposed subsection provides additional support behind ICC's conclusion
that the tools for modeling dependence are particularly suitable for
connecting the various univariate distributions in a multivariate
setting as they provide flexibility in modeling tail dependence.
Under the proposed `Copula Simulation' subsection, ICC describes
its Monte Carlo-based simulation approach. The proposed approach is
based on first generating for all SN RF/RSF and On The Run indices Most
Actively Traded Tenor (``MATT'') scenarios using the stochastic
representation of the selected multivariate distribution under
consideration. The conditional simulation approach is then utilized to
generate individual RF/tenor-specific scenarios. ICC also proposes to
describe the block simulation approach that it utilizes in generating
scenarios, which departs from an approach where all tenors for all SNs
are simulated together. Instead, specific blocks of the correlation
matrix are considered through the stepwise block simulation approach.
Under the proposed `Copula Parameter Estimation' subsection, ICC
discusses the estimation of a new parameter. The proposed subsection
includes a description of two methods that can be used for parameter
estimation, namely the ``quasi Maximum Likelihood'' approach and the
``Canonical Maximum Likelihood'' method. ICC proposes to include the
value at which this parameter is set conservatively and to explain that
such a value reflects strong tail dependence within the simulation
framework, which is important because ICC estimates that tail
dependence will increase in stressed market conditions.
Next, ICC proposes to remove details regarding the current stress-
based approach for the RR sensitivity response component and to
describe how ICC jointly simulates credit spread and RR scenarios using
Monte Carlo techniques in the amended `RR Risk Analysis' section. As
discussed above, under the current stress-based approach, the RR
sensitivity response component is computed in terms of RR stress
scenarios and incorporates potential losses associated with changes in
the market implied RR. The proposed Monte Carlo-based methodology
considers the risk arising from fluctuations in the market implied RRs
of each SN RF and/or RSF jointly with the fluctuations in the curves of
credit spreads.
The univariate RR distribution assumptions do not change under the
Monte Carlo-based methodology and thus the proposed `Distribution of
RRs' subsection contains much of the relevant analysis under the
current `RR Sensitivity Risk Analysis' section with some additional
clarifying language to further specify that the RR stress-based
sensitivity requirement transitioned to a Monte Carlo simulation-based
methodology. ICC proposes to note the assumption regarding the analysis
of each SN RF/RSF that includes the description located under the
current `Beta Distribution' subsection since the integrated spread
response also assumes a Beta distribution describing the behavior of
the RRs.
The amended `Parameter Estimation' subsection discusses the
parameter calibration necessary to simulate RR scenarios and is largely
the same. The proposed revisions remove or replace terminology
associated with the stress-based approach with terminology associated
with the Monte Carlo-based approach.
The proposed `Spread-Recovery-Rate Bivariate Model' subsection
describes the use of credit spread and RR distributions to jointly
simulate scenarios to estimate portfolio risk measures under the Monte
Carlo-based methodology. Namely, ICC proposes to discuss the use of the
conditional simulation approach to jointly simulate SN RF/RSF-specific
RR scenarios with SN RF/RSF MATT spread log-return scenarios. ICC
proposes to note several assumptions under this model, along with an
explanation of how it generates the individual SN RF/RSF-specific RR
scenarios and the tenor-specific spread scenarios using copulas.
ICC proposes moving the `Arbitrage-Free Modeling' subsection, which
is currently located under the `Spread Risk Analysis' section, under
the `Spread and RR Risk Analysis' section. The analysis remains largely
the same with some language clarifications, including references to
simulated spread levels in conjunction with simulated RR levels within
the text and within formulas to ensure consistency with the proposed
`Spread and RR Risk Analysis' section. ICC proposes further revisions
to terminology, such as removing terminology associated with the
stress-based approach and incorporating the Monte Carlo simulation
based methodology described above to ensure consistency with the
proposed `Spread and RR Risk Analysis' section. ICC also proposes
replacing specific references to the current most actively traded tenor
with references to the more general concept of ``most actively traded
tenor'' to account for a situation in which the referenced most
actively traded tenor is different.
Under the proposed `Risk Estimations' subsection, ICC describes the
computation of the integrated spread response component. Once the Monte
Carlo scenarios are simulated, all instruments will be repriced, and
the respective instrument P/L responses will be computed. Upon
consideration of the instrument positions in each portfolio along with
the instrument P/L responses, portfolio risk estimations will be
performed and the integrated spread response component will be
established.
ICC proposes to discuss its calculation of P/Ls for instruments,
RFs, common currency sub-portfolios, and multi-currency sub-portfolios
under the new `RF and Sub-Portfolio Level Integrated Spread Response'
subsection. ICC proposes to retain the use of sub-portfolios as is
currently done today. However, the portfolio benefits across sub-
portfolios will be limited. This enhancement allows ICC to decompose
portfolio level P/L at the sub-portfolio level and to estimate sub-
portfolio level risk measures.
Under the proposed `Instrument P/L Estimations' subsection, ICC
describes the calculation of instrument P/Ls. Namely, ICC will reprice
all instruments
[[Page 35036]]
at the hypothetical spread and RR levels, which are derived from the
simulated spread and RR scenarios, and take the difference between the
prices of the instruments at the simulated scenarios and the current
end-of-day (``EOD'') prices. ICC will utilize the instrument-related P/
L distribution to estimate the instrument-specific integrated spread
response as the 99.5% VaR measure in the currency of the instrument.
Under the proposed `RF P/L Estimations' subsection, ICC describes
the calculation of RF P/Ls. ICC will utilize the simulated P/L
scenarios, combined with the post-index-decomposition positions related
to a given RF, to generate a currency-specific RF P/L distribution. ICC
will utilize this RF-related P/L distribution to estimate the RF-
specific integrated spread response as the 99.5% VaR measure in the
currency of the considered RF.
Under the proposed `Common Currency Sub-Portfolio P/L Estimations'
subsection, ICC describes the calculation of common currency sub-
portfolio P/Ls. For a currency specific sub-portfolio, ICC extracts the
relevant risk measures from sub-portfolio level P/L distributions,
which are obtained from the aggregation of common currency RF P/L
distributions.
Under the proposed `Multi-Currency Sub-Portfolio P/L Estimations'
subsection, ICC adds clarifying language describing the calculation of
multi-currency sub-portfolio P/Ls. ICC proposes to extend multi-
currency portfolio benefits to RFs with similar market characteristics,
where the RFs and their respective instruments are denominated in
different currencies. Under the proposed approach, long-short
integrated spread response benefits are provided between Corporate RFs
that are denominated in different currencies. ICC proposes to retain
the multi-currency risk aggregation approach, which involves obtaining
U.S. Dollar (``USD'') and Euro (``EUR'') denominated sub-portfolio P/L
distributions, to RFs within the North American Corporate and European
Corporate sub-portfolios denominated in USD and EUR currencies,
respectively.
ICC proposes to include its calculation for the portfolio level
integrated spread response component in the `Portfolio level Integrated
Spread Response' subsection. The calculation will include the sub-
portfolio-specific integrated spread response after any potential
multicurrency benefits and the RF-specific integrated spread response.
ICC proposes the new `RF Attributed Integrated Spread Response
Requirements' subsection to describe the calculation of the RF
attributed integrated spread response component for each RF in the
considered portfolio.
ICC proposes minor revisions to the `Anti-Procyclicality Measures'
subsection to replace terminology associated with the stress-based
approach with terminology associated with the Monte Carlo-based
approach. ICC also proposes to update calculation descriptions relating
to portfolio responses to note that certain amounts are converted to or
represented in USD using the EOD established foreign exchange (``FX'')
rate.
ICC proposes updates to the `Multi-Currency Portfolio Treatment'
section to incorporate the proposed integrated spread response
component. ICC proposes to clarify that it implements a multi-currency
portfolio treatment methodology for portfolios with instruments that
are denominated in different currencies. The proposed changes also
remove references to the current spread response component.
ICC propose minor edits to the `Portfolio Loss Boundary Condition'
section to remove or replace references to the current spread response
and RR sensitivity response components with references to the proposed
integrated spread response component within the text and within
formulas to ensure consistency with the proposed `Spread and RR Risk
Analysis' section, specifically the `Portfolio Level Integrated SR'
subsection. Moreover, ICC proposes to reference, for clarity, the total
number of RFs within the considered sub-portfolio in its calculations
of the maximum portfolio loss and the maximum portfolio integrated
spread response to ensure consistency with the proposed `Spread and RR
Risk Analysis' section, specifically the `Portfolio Level Integrated
SR' subsection.
ICC proposes minor changes to the `Guaranty Fund (``GF'')
Methodology' section. The proposed changes move the descriptions
associated with the credit spread curve shape scenarios (i.e., Uniform
Scaling, Pivoting, and Tenor Specific) from the current `Spread Risk
Analysis' section to the `Unconditional Uncollateralized Exposures'
subsection. Although the credit spread curve shape scenarios are
currently considered as part of the spread response component, ICC
proposes to only use them for GF purposes. The descriptions and
calculations associated with the credit spread curve shape scenarios
remain largely the same with some clarifying changes, including the
substitution of a variable for the simulation quantile in the
calculations to reflect consistency with the GF risk measure, and
structural changes to the descriptions to enhance readability.
Additionally, the proposed changes include reference to the integrated
spread response in place of the spread response in the calculations
describing the GF stress spread response.
ICC proposes other non-material changes to the Risk Management
Model Description Document, including minor grammatical, typographical,
and structural changes to enhance readability and minor updates to
calculations to update symbol notations.
Risk Management Framework
ICC proposes conforming revisions to its Risk Management Framework
to reflect the transition from a stress-based approach to a Monte
Carlo-based methodology for the spread response and RR sensitivity
response components of the Initial Margin model. The proposed revisions
are described in detail as follows.
ICC proposes changes to the `Waterfall Level 2: Initial Margin'
section to combine the spread response and the RR sensitivity
components into the proposed integrated spread response component. The
proposed revisions introduce the integrated spread response component
under the amended `Integrated Spread Response Requirements' section and
replace all references to the spread response with references to the
integrated spread response. ICC proposes conforming changes throughout
the framework. Currently, the spread response component is obtained by
estimating scenario P/L for a set of hypothetical ``tightening'' and
``widening'' credit spread scenarios and by considering the largest
loss. Under the proposed revisions, the integrated spread response will
be computed by creating P/L distributions from a set of jointly-
simulated hypothetical (forward looking) credit spread and RR
scenarios. The proposed changes provide an updated calculation of the
instrument scenario P/L, note the mappings between spread and RR levels
and prices are performed by means of the International Swap and
Derivatives Association (``ISDA'') standard conversion convention, and
specify that the hypothetical prices are forward looking. ICC also
proposes to state that the integrated spread response approach assumes
a distribution that describes the behavior of the RRs.
ICC proposes the new `Index Decomposition Approach' subsection,
which contains the analysis under the current `Index Decomposition
Benefits between Index RFs and SN RSFs'
[[Page 35037]]
subsection without any material changes. ICC also proposes the new
`Portfolio Approach' subsection to describe the Monte Carlo simulation
framework, which replaces the current stress-based approach noted
above. ICC proposes to utilize Monte Carlo techniques to generate
spread and RR scenarios. ICC will utilize the simulated scenarios to
derive hypothetical spread and RR levels, at which each instrument is
repriced in order to generate a scenario instrument P/L based on post-
index-decomposition positions. For each scenario, instrument P/Ls are
aggregated to obtain RF and sub-portfolio P/Ls, which represent the RF
and sub-portfolio P/L distributions that are used to estimate the RF
and sub-portfolio 99.5% VaR measures at a risk horizon that is at least
5 days. The portfolio level integrated spread response is estimated as
a weighted sum of RF and sub-portfolio 99.5% VaR measures. ICC also
proposes to move its analysis related to achieving anti pro-cyclicality
to the amended `Integrated Spread Response Requirements' section
without any material changes.
(b) Statutory Basis
Section 17A(b)(3)(F) of the Act \1\ requires, among other things,
that the rules of a clearing agency be designed to promote the prompt
and accurate clearance and settlement of securities transactions, and
to the extent applicable, derivative agreements, contracts and
transactions; to assure the safeguarding of securities and funds which
are in the custody or control of the clearing agency or for which it is
responsible; and to comply with the provisions of the Act and the rules
and regulations thereunder. ICC believes that the proposed rule changes
are consistent with the requirements of the Act and the rules and
regulations thereunder applicable to ICC, in particular, to Section
17(A)(b)(3)(F),\2\ because ICC believes that the proposed rule changes
will promote the prompt and accurate clearance and settlement of
securities transactions, derivatives agreements, contracts, and
transactions, and contribute to the safeguarding of securities and
funds associated with security-based swap transactions in ICC's custody
or control, or for which ICC is responsible. The transition to a Monte
Carlo-based methodology rectifies certain limitations associated with
the current stress-based approach, since Monte Carlo techniques allow
ICC to consider a large set of scenarios to more appropriately capture
portfolio risk, including the risk of more complex non-linear
instruments, and produce consistent quantile-based portfolio risk
measures. Moreover, the proposed transition to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology enhances ICC's Initial Margin model since it provides a
robust and flexible solution to assessing the risk of complex
portfolios. As a result, ICC believes that it will be better able to
capture portfolio risk and generate sound and efficient Initial Margin
requirements, which would enhance the financial resources available to
ICC and thus decrease the possibility that a default adversely impacts
ICC's operations, thereby facilitating ICC's ability to promptly and
accurately clear and settle its cleared CDS contracts and enhancing
ICC's ability to assure the safeguarding of securities and funds which
are in the custody or control of ICC or for which it is responsible. As
such, the proposed rule changes are designed to promote the prompt and
accurate clearance and settlement of securities transactions,
derivatives agreements, contracts, and transactions and to contribute
to the safeguarding of securities and funds associated with security-
based swap transactions in ICC's custody or control, or for which ICC
is responsible within the meaning of Section 17A(b)(3)(F) \3\ of the
Act.
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\1\ 15 U.S.C. 78q-1(b)(3)(F).
\2\ Id.
\3\ Id.
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The proposed rule change will also satisfy the requirements of Rule
17Ad-22.\4\ Rule 17Ad-22(b)(2) \5\ requires ICC to establish,
implement, maintain and enforce written policies and procedures
reasonably designed to use margin requirements to limit its credit
exposures to participants under normal market conditions. ICC believes
that the transition from a stress-based to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology provides for a consistent and capital-efficient portfolio
approach, which will improve ICC's ability to calculate margin
requirements. An enhanced margin calculation will allow ICC to
establish margin requirements that are better able to capture the risk
of portfolios, including portfolios with more complex non-linear
instruments, to ensure that ICC establishes margin requirements that
are commensurate with the risks and characteristics of each portfolio,
thereby improving ICC's ability to limit its credit exposures to
participants under normal market conditions, consistent with the
requirements of Rule 17Ad-22(b)(2).\6\
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\4\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22.
\5\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22(b)(2).
\6\ Id.
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Rule 17Ad-22(b)(3) \7\ requires ICC to establish, implement,
maintain and enforce written policies and procedures reasonably
designed to maintain sufficient financial resources to withstand, at a
minimum, a default by the two Clearing Participant (``CP'') families to
which it has the largest exposures in extreme but plausible market
conditions. The utilization of Monte Carlo techniques will enhance the
financial resources available to ICC by enhancing ICC's Initial Margin
model such that ICC is better able to capture portfolio risk and
generate stable and efficient Initial Margin requirements. As a result,
the likelihood that a default adversely impacts ICC's operations
lessens, allowing ICC to continue to ensure that it maintains
sufficient financial resources to withstand, at a minimum, a default by
the two CP families to which it has the largest exposures in extreme
but plausible market conditions, consistent with the requirements of
Rule 17Ad-22(b)(3).\8\
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\7\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22(b)(3).
\8\ Id.
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Rule 17Ad-22(d)(8) \9\ requires ICC to have governance arrangements
that are clear and transparent to fulfill the public interest
requirements in Section 17A of the Act.\10\ ICC's Risk Management
Framework and Risk Management Model Description Document clearly assign
and document responsibility and accountability for risk decisions and
require consultation with or approval from the ICC Board, committees,
or management. ICC determined to transition to a Monte Carlo-based
methodology in accordance with its governance process, which included
review of the changes to the Risk Management Framework and the Risk
Management Model Description Document and related risk management
considerations by the ICC Risk Committee and approval by the Board.
These governance arrangements continue to be clear and transparent,
such that information relating to the assignment of responsibilities
for risk decisions and the requisite involvement of the ICC Board,
committees, and management is clearly documented, consistent with the
requirements of Rule 17Ad-22(d)(8).\11\
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\9\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22(d)(8).
\10\ 15 U.S.C. 78q-1.
\11\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22(d)(8).
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(B) Clearing Agency's Statement on Burden on Competition
ICC does not believe the proposed rule changes would have any
impact, or impose any burden, on competition. The proposed changes to
ICC's Risk Management Model Description Document and ICC's Risk
Management Framework will apply uniformly across
[[Page 35038]]
all market participants. Therefore, ICC does not believe the proposed
rule changes impose any burden on competition that is inappropriate in
furtherance of the purposes of the Act.
(C) Clearing Agency's Statement on Comments on the Proposed Rule
Change, Security-Based Swap Submission, or Advance Notice Received From
Members, Participants or Others
Written comments relating to the proposed rule change have not been
solicited or received. ICC will notify the Commission of any written
comments received by ICC.
III. Date of Effectiveness of the Proposed Rule Change, Security-Based
Swap Submission, or Advance Notice and Timing for Commission Action
Within 45 days of the date of publication of this notice in the
Federal Register or within such longer period up to 90 days (i) as the
Commission may designate if it finds such longer period to be
appropriate and publishes its reasons for so finding or (ii) as to
which the self-regulatory organization consents, the Commission will:
(A) By order approve or disapprove such proposed rule change, or
(B) institute proceedings to determine whether the proposed rule
change should be disapproved.
IV. Solicitation of Comments
Interested persons are invited to submit written data, views, and
arguments concerning the foregoing, including whether the proposed rule
change, security-based swap submission, or advance notice is consistent
with the Act. Comments may be submitted by any of the following
methods:
Electronic Comments
Use the Commission's internet comment form (https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro.shtml); or
Send an email to [email protected]. Please include
File Number SR-ICC-2018-008 on the subject line.
Paper Comments
Send paper comments in triplicate to Secretary, Securities and
Exchange Commission, 100 F Street NE, Washington, DC 20549-1090.
All submissions should refer to File Number SR-ICC-2018-008. This file
number should be included on the subject line if email is used. To help
the Commission process and review your comments more efficiently,
please use only one method. The Commission will post all comments on
the Commission's internet website (https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro.shtml).
Copies of the submission, all subsequent amendments, all written
statements with respect to the proposed rule change, security-based
swap submission, or advance notice that are filed with the Commission,
and all written communications relating to the proposed rule change,
security-based swap submission, or advance notice between the
Commission and any person, other than those that may be withheld from
the public in accordance with the provisions of 5 U.S.C. 552, will be
available for website viewing and printing in the Commission's Public
Reference Room, 100 F Street NE, Washington, DC 20549, on official
business days between the hours of 10:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m. Copies the
filing also will be available for inspection and copying at the
principal office of ICE Clear Credit and on ICE Clear Credit's website
at https://www.theice.com/clear-credit/regulation. All comments
received will be posted without change. Persons submitting comments are
cautioned that we do not redact or edit personal identifying
information from comment submissions. You should submit only
information that you wish to make available publicly. All submissions
should refer to File Number SR-ICC-2018-008 and should be submitted on
or before August 14, 2018.
For the Commission, by the Division of Trading and Markets,
pursuant to delegated authority.\12\
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\12\ 17 CFR 200.30-3(a)(12).
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Eduardo A. Aleman,
Assistant Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2018-15771 Filed 7-23-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8011-01-P