Order Making Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates, 54934-54941 [2013-21642]

Download as PDF 54934 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices meeting (Release No. 33–9445), indicating that the meeting is open to the public and inviting the public to submit written comments to the Committee. This Sunshine Act notice is being issued because a majority of the Commission may attend the meeting. The agenda for the meeting includes matters relating to rules and regulations affecting small and emerging companies under the federal securities laws. For further information, please contact the Office of the Secretary at (202) 551–5400. Dated: September 3, 2013. Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary. [FR Doc. 2013–21790 Filed 9–4–13; 11:15 am] BILLING CODE 8011–01–P has not filed any periodic reports since the period ended March 31, 2012. It appears to the Securities and Exchange Commission that there is a lack of current and accurate information concerning the securities of China WiMax Communications, Inc. because it has not filed any periodic reports since the period ended June 30, 2011. The Commission is of the opinion that the public interest and the protection of investors require a suspension of trading in the securities of the above-listed companies. Therefore, it is ordered, pursuant to Section 12(k) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that trading in the securities of the abovelisted companies is suspended for the period from 9:30 a.m. EDT on September 4, 2013, through 11:59 p.m. EDT on September 17, 2013. By the Commission. Jill M. Peterson, Assistant Secretary. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION In the Matter of K’s Media, File No. 500–1; Order of Suspension of Trading [FR Doc. 2013–21838 Filed 9–4–13; 4:15 pm] BILLING CODE 8011–01–P September 4, 2013. It appears to the Securities and Exchange Commission that there is a lack of current and accurate information concerning the securities of K’s Media because it has not filed any periodic reports since the period ended April 30, 2010. The Commission is of the opinion that the public interest and the protection of investors require a suspension of trading in the securities of the above-listed company. Therefore, it is ordered, pursuant to Section 12(k) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that trading in the securities of the abovelisted company is suspended for the period from 9:30 a.m. EDT on September 4, 2013, through 11:59 p.m. EDT on September 17, 2013. By the Commission. Jill M. Peterson, Assistant Secretary. [FR Doc. 2013–21839 Filed 9–4–13; 4:15 pm] BILLING CODE 8011–01–P SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES [File No. 500–1] China Lithium Technologies, Inc. and China Wi-Max Communications, Inc.; Order of Suspension of Trading September 4, 2013. It appears to the Securities and Exchange Commission that there is a lack of current and accurate information concerning the securities of China Lithium Technologies, Inc. because it VerDate Mar<15>2010 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release Nos. 33–9447; 34–70298/August 30, 2013] Order Making Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates I. Background The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 (‘‘Securities Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees from issuers on the registration of securities.1 Section 13(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (‘‘Exchange Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.2 Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect fees on proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control transactions.3 The Investor and Capital Markets Fee Relief Act of 2002 (‘‘Fee Relief Act’’) 4 required the Commission to make annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under these sections for each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011 in an attempt to generate collections equal to yearly targets specified in the statute.5 Under the Fee Relief Act, each year’s fee rate was announced on the preceding April 30, and took effect five 1 15 U.S.C. 77f(b). U.S.C. 78m(e). 3 15 U.S.C. 78n(g). 4 Public Law 107–123, 115 Stat. 2390 (2002). 5 See 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(5), 77f(b)(6), 78m(e)(5), 78m(e)(6), 78n(g)(5) and 78n(g)(6). 2 15 PO 00000 Frm 00073 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 days after the date of enactment of the Commission’s regular appropriation. The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (‘‘DoddFrank Act’’) 6 changed many of the provisions related to these fees. The Dodd-Frank Act created new annual collection targets for FY 2012 and thereafter. It also changed the date by which the Commission must announce a new fiscal year’s fee rate (August 31) and the date on which the new rate takes effect (October 1). II. Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rate Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act, as amended by the Dodd-Frank Act, requires the Commission to make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 6(b).7 The annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also sets the annual adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.8 Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method for determining the annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2014. Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 6(b) to a ‘‘rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2014], is reasonably likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that are equal to the target fee collection amount for [fiscal year 2014].’’ That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2014 by the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices’’ for fiscal year 2014. Section 6(b)(6)(A) specifies that the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2014 is $485,000,000. Section 6(b)(6)(B) defines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2014 as ‘‘the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission during [fiscal year 2014] as determined by the Commission, after consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and Budget. . . .’’ 6 Public Law 111–203, 124 Stat.1376 (2010). U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are designed to adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ specified in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for that fiscal year. 8 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4). 7 15 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price for fiscal year 2014, the Commission used a methodology similar to that developed in consultation with the Congressional Budget Office (‘‘CBO’’) and Office of Management and Budget (‘‘OMB’’) to project the aggregate offering price for purposes of the fiscal year 2012 annual adjustment (and identical to the methodology employed during fiscal year 2013).9 Using this methodology, the Commission determines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2014 to be $3,766,638,654,272.10 Based on this estimate, the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2014 to be $128.80 per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act. 14(g) of the Exchange Act shall be $128.80 per million effective on October 1, 2013. By the Commission. Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary. Appendix A IV. Conclusion Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,12 It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and With the passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Congress has, among other things, established a target amount of monies to be collected from fees charged to issuers based on the value of their registrations. This appendix provides the formula for determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. Congress has mandated that the Commission determine these fees based on the ‘‘aggregate maximum offering prices,’’ which measures the aggregate dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission over the course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum offering prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering prices. For 2014, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the previous decade. More specifically, an ARIMA model was used to forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for months subsequent to July 2013, the last month for which the Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices. The following sections describe this process in detail. 9 For the fiscal year 2011 estimate, the Commission used a ten-year series of monthly observations ending in March 2011. For fiscal year 2012, the Commission used a ten-year series ending in July 2011. For fiscal year 2013, the Commission used a ten-year series ending in July 2012. For fiscal year 2014, the Commission used a ten-year series ending in July 2013. 10 Appendix A explains how we determined the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2014 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical process of calculating the fiscal year 2014 annual adjustment based on that estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the Commission in making its ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2014. 11 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(6). 12 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g). A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for Fiscal Year 2014 First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) for each month in the sample (July 2003–July 2013). Next, calculate the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month. Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of AMOP tends to be followed by a more ‘‘typical’’ value of AMOP. Use the estimated moving average model to forecast the monthly percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to obtain forecasts of the total dollar mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES III. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments The fiscal year 2014 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act will be effective on October 1, 2013.11 VerDate Mar<15>2010 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00074 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 54935 value of registrations. The following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the procedure: 1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten years, from July 2003 to July 2013. 2. Divide each month’s AMOP (column C) by the number of trading days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP (AAMOP, column D). 3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported in column E. 4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as Dt = log(AAMOPt) ¥ log(AAMOPt¥1). This approximates the percentage change. 5. Estimate the first order moving average model Dt = a + bet¥1 + et , where et denotes the forecast error for month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of Dt . The forecast error is expressed as et = Dt ¥ a ¥ bet¥1. The model can be estimated using standard commercially available software. Using least squares, the estimated parameter values are a = ¥0.0003334 and b = ¥0.90946. 6. For the month of August 2013 forecast Dt = 8/12 = a + bet = 7/12. For all subsequent months, forecast Dt = a. 7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast of log(AAMOP) for October 2013 is given by FLAAMOPt=10/12 = log(AAMOPt=&7/12) + Dt=8/12 + Dt=9/12 + Dt=10/12. 8. Under the assumption that et is normally distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by exp(FLAAMOPt + sn2/2), where sn denotes the standard error of the nstep ahead forecast. 9. For October 2013, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $14.93 billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $343.4 billion (Column J). 10. Iterate this process through September 2014 to obtain a baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for fiscal year 2014 of $3,766,638,654,272. B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate 1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum offering prices between 10/1/13 and 9/30/14 to be $3,766,638,654,272. 2. The rate necessary to collect the target $485,000,000 in fee revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $485,000,000 ÷ $3,766,638,654,272 = 0.000128762. 3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a rate of 0.0001288 (or $128.80 per million). BILLING CODE 8011–01–P E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00075 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 EN06SE13.000</GPH> mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES 54936 VerDate Mar<15>2010 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00076 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 54937 EN06SE13.001</GPH> mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00077 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 EN06SE13.002</GPH> mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES 54938 VerDate Mar<15>2010 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00078 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 54939 EN06SE13.003</GPH> mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 PO 00000 Frm 00079 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 EN06SE13.004</GPH> mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES 54940 Federal Register / Vol. 78, No. 173 / Friday, September 6, 2013 / Notices BILLING CODE 8011–01–C SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release No. 34–70295; File No. SR–BX– 2013–016) Self-Regulatory Organizations; NASDAQ OMX BX Inc.; Notice of Designation of Longer Period for Commission Action on Proceedings To Determine Whether To Approve or Disapprove the Proposed Rule Change To Adopt a Directed Order Process mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES August 30, 2013. On February 21, 2013, NASDAQ OMX BX, Inc. (‘‘Exchange’’ or ‘‘BX’’) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (‘‘Commission’’), pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (‘‘Act’’),1 and Rule 19b–4 thereunder,2 a proposed rule change to establish a directed order process. The proposed rule change was published for comment in the Federal Register on March 11, 2013.3 The Commission received a comment letter 1 15 U.S.C. 78a. CFR 240.19b–4. 3 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 69040 (March 5, 2013), 78 FR 15385 (March 11, 2013). 2 17 VerDate Mar<15>2010 18:05 Sep 05, 2013 Jkt 229001 from one commenter on the proposal,4 a letter responding to the comment,5 and a follow up comment letter from the same commenter.6 In addition, on April 17, 2013, the Exchange filed Amendment No. 1 to the proposed rule change.7 On April 22, 2013, the Exchange extended to June 6, 2013, the time period within which the Commission must approve the proposed rule change, disapprove the proposed rule change, or institute proceedings to determine whether to disapprove the proposed rule change. On June 3, 2013, the Commission instituted proceedings to determine whether to approve or disapprove the proposed rule change.8 On July 1, 2013, BX submitted a letter in further support of its proposed rule change.9 On July 15, 2013, the 4 See Letter, dated April 2, 2013, to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Janet McGuiness, Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel, NYSE Euronext. 5 See Letter, dated April 17, 2013, to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Edith Hallahan, Principal Associate General Counsel, BX. 6 See Letter, dated May 10, 2013, to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Janet McGuiness, Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel, NYSE Euronext. 7 For a description of Amendment No. 1, see Securities Exchange Act Release No. 69684, 78 FR 34683 (June 10, 2013) (‘‘Order Instituting Proceedings’’). 8 See Order Instituting Proceedings, supra note 7. 9 See Letter, dated July 1, 2013 to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Edith Hallahan, Principal Associate General Counsel, BX. PO 00000 Frm 00080 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 Commission received a comment in response to BX’s letter,10 and on August 28, 2013, BX submitted a letter responding to the comment letter.11 Section 19(b)(2) of the Act 12 provides that, after initiating disapproval proceedings, the Commission shall issue an order approving or disapproving the proposed rule change not later than 180 days after the date of publication of the notice of the filing of the proposed rule change. The Commission may extend the period for issuing an order approving or disapproving the proposed rule change, however, by not more than 60 days if the Commission determines that a longer period is appropriate and publishes the reasons for such determination. The proposed rule change was published for notice and comment in the Federal Register on March 11, 2013. September 7, 2013 is 180 days from that date and November 6, 2013 is an additional 60 days from that date. The Commission finds it is appropriate to designate a longer period within which to issue an order approving or disapproving the proposed 10 See Letter, dated July 15, 2013 to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Janet McGuiness, Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel, NYSE Euronext. 11 See Letter, dated August 28, 2013 to Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary, Commission, from Edith Hallahan, Principal Associate General Counsel, BX. 12 15. U.S.C. 78s(b)(2). E:\FR\FM\06SEN1.SGM 06SEN1 EN06SE13.005</GPH> [FR Doc. 2013–21642 Filed 9–5–13; 8:45 am] 54941

Agencies

[Federal Register Volume 78, Number 173 (Friday, September 6, 2013)]
[Notices]
[Pages 54934-54941]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2013-21642]


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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release Nos. 33-9447; 34-70298/August 30, 2013]


Order Making Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Adjustments to Registration 
Fee Rates

I. Background

    The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the 
securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 
(``Securities Act'') requires the Commission to collect fees from 
issuers on the registration of securities.\1\ Section 13(e) of the 
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (``Exchange Act'') requires the 
Commission to collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.\2\ 
Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect 
fees on proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control 
transactions.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b).
    \2\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e).
    \3\ 15 U.S.C. 78n(g).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Investor and Capital Markets Fee Relief Act of 2002 (``Fee 
Relief Act'') \4\ required the Commission to make annual adjustments to 
the fee rates applicable under these sections for each of the fiscal 
years 2003 through 2011 in an attempt to generate collections equal to 
yearly targets specified in the statute.\5\ Under the Fee Relief Act, 
each year's fee rate was announced on the preceding April 30, and took 
effect five days after the date of enactment of the Commission's 
regular appropriation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \4\ Public Law 107-123, 115 Stat. 2390 (2002).
    \5\ See 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(5), 77f(b)(6), 78m(e)(5), 78m(e)(6), 
78n(g)(5) and 78n(g)(6).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act 
(``Dodd-Frank Act'') \6\ changed many of the provisions related to 
these fees. The Dodd-Frank Act created new annual collection targets 
for FY 2012 and thereafter. It also changed the date by which the 
Commission must announce a new fiscal year's fee rate (August 31) and 
the date on which the new rate takes effect (October 1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ Public Law 111-203, 124 Stat.1376 (2010).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

II. Fiscal Year 2014 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rate

    Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act, as amended by the Dodd-Frank 
Act, requires the Commission to make an annual adjustment to the fee 
rate applicable under Section 6(b).\7\ The annual adjustment to the fee 
rate under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also sets the annual 
adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the 
Exchange Act.\8\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are designed to 
adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to 
the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are 
proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely 
to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the 
``target fee collection amount'' specified in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for 
that fiscal year.
    \8\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method for determining the annual 
adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2014. 
Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 
6(b) to a ``rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2014], is reasonably 
likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that 
are equal to the target fee collection amount for [fiscal year 2014].'' 
That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ``target fee 
collection amount'' for fiscal year 2014 by the ``baseline estimate of 
the aggregate maximum offering prices'' for fiscal year 2014.
    Section 6(b)(6)(A) specifies that the ``target fee collection 
amount'' for fiscal year 2014 is $485,000,000. Section 6(b)(6)(B) 
defines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price'' for fiscal year 2014 as ``the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be 
offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission 
during [fiscal year 2014] as determined by the Commission, after 
consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of 
Management and Budget. . . .''

[[Page 54935]]

    To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price for fiscal year 2014, the Commission used a methodology similar 
to that developed in consultation with the Congressional Budget Office 
(``CBO'') and Office of Management and Budget (``OMB'') to project the 
aggregate offering price for purposes of the fiscal year 2012 annual 
adjustment (and identical to the methodology employed during fiscal 
year 2013).\9\ Using this methodology, the Commission determines the 
``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for 
fiscal year 2014 to be $3,766,638,654,272.\10\ Based on this estimate, 
the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2014 to be $128.80 
per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the 
Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange 
Act.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ For the fiscal year 2011 estimate, the Commission used a 
ten-year series of monthly observations ending in March 2011. For 
fiscal year 2012, the Commission used a ten-year series ending in 
July 2011. For fiscal year 2013, the Commission used a ten-year 
series ending in July 2012. For fiscal year 2014, the Commission 
used a ten-year series ending in July 2013.
    \10\ Appendix A explains how we determined the ``baseline 
estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 
2014 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical 
process of calculating the fiscal year 2014 annual adjustment based 
on that estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the 
Commission in making its ``baseline estimate of the aggregate 
maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 2014.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

III. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments

    The fiscal year 2014 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable 
under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) 
of the Exchange Act will be effective on October 1, 2013.\11\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15 U.S.C. 
78n(g)(6).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

IV. Conclusion

    Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and 
Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,\12\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \12\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 
6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange 
Act shall be $128.80 per million effective on October 1, 2013.

By the Commission.
Elizabeth M. Murphy,
Secretary.

Appendix A

    With the passage of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and 
Consumer Protection Act, Congress has, among other things, 
established a target amount of monies to be collected from fees 
charged to issuers based on the value of their registrations. This 
appendix provides the formula for determining such fees, which the 
Commission adjusts annually. Congress has mandated that the 
Commission determine these fees based on the ``aggregate maximum 
offering prices,'' which measures the aggregate dollar amount of 
securities registered with the Commission over the course of the 
year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the amount of monies 
targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee rate must be set to 
reflect projected aggregate maximum offering prices. As a 
percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target amounts of 
monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering prices.
    For 2014, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum 
offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the 
previous decade. More specifically, an ARIMA model was used to 
forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
months subsequent to July 2013, the last month for which the 
Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices.
    The following sections describe this process in detail.

A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for 
Fiscal Year 2014

    First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) 
for each month in the sample (July 2003-July 2013). Next, calculate 
the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month.
    Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order 
moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to 
model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of 
AMOP tends to be followed by a more ``typical'' value of AMOP.
    Use the estimated moving average model to forecast the monthly 
percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to 
obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of registrations. The 
following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the 
procedure:
    1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten 
years, from July 2003 to July 2013.
    2. Divide each month's AMOP (column C) by the number of trading 
days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP 
(AAMOP, column D).
    3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported 
in column E.
    4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as 
[Delta]t = log(AAMOPt) - 
log(AAMOPt-1). This approximates the percentage change.
    5. Estimate the first order moving average model 
[Delta]t = [alpha] + [beta]et-1 + 
et , where et denotes the forecast error for 
month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the 
one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of 
[Delta]t . The forecast error is expressed as 
et = [Delta]t - [alpha] - 
[beta]et-1. The model can be estimated using standard 
commercially available software. Using least squares, the estimated 
parameter values are [alpha] = -0.0003334 and [beta] = -0.90946.
    6. For the month of August 2013 forecast 
[Delta]t = 8[sol]12 = [alpha] + 
[beta]et = 7/12. For all subsequent months, forecast 
[Delta]t = [alpha].
    7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast 
of log(AAMOP) for October 2013 is given by 
FLAAMOPt=10[sol]12 = log(AAMOPt=&7/12) + 
[Delta]t=8/12 + [Delta]t=9/12 + 
[Delta]t=10/12.
    8. Under the assumption that et is normally 
distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by 
exp(FLAAMOPt + [sigma]n\2\/2), where 
[sigma]n denotes the standard error of the n-step ahead 
forecast.
    9. For October 2013, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $14.93 
billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $343.4 billion (Column 
J).
    10. Iterate this process through September 2014 to obtain a 
baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
fiscal year 2014 of $3,766,638,654,272.

B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate

    1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum 
offering prices between 10/1/13 and 9/30/14 to be 
$3,766,638,654,272.
    2. The rate necessary to collect the target $485,000,000 in fee 
revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $485,000,000 / 
$3,766,638,654,272 = 0.000128762.
    3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a 
rate of 0.0001288 (or $128.80 per million).

BILLING CODE 8011-01-P

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[FR Doc. 2013-21642 Filed 9-5-13; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8011-01-C
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