Uniform Criteria for State Observational Surveys of Seat Belt Use, 18042-18059 [2011-7632]
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PART 71—DESIGNATION OF CLASS A,
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40120; E.O. 10854, 24 FR 9565, 3 CFR, 1959–
1963 Comp., p. 389.
§ 71.1
[Amended]
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Airspace Designations and Reporting
Points, dated August 18, 2010, and
effective September 15, 2010 is
amended as follows:
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[FR Doc. 2011–7601 Filed 3–31–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4910–13–P
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
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Table of Contents
23 CFR Part 1340
[Docket No. NHTSA–2010–0002]
RIN 2127–AK41
Uniform Criteria for State
Observational Surveys of Seat Belt
Use
National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Final rule.
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AGENCY:
This Final Rule amends the
regulation establishing uniform criteria
for designing and conducting State seat
belt use observational surveys and the
procedures for obtaining NHTSA
approval of survey designs, and
SUMMARY:
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provides a new form for reporting seat
belt use rates to NHTSA. Since the
adoption of the Uniform Criteria in
1998, NHTSA and the States have
accumulated substantial experience in
the design and implementation of seat
belt use surveys. This experience has
provided insight into factors that could
affect survey accuracy and reliability. In
addition, technological improvements
in road inventories have made it
possible to select observation sites that
are more representative of the road
segments in the State in a more cost
effective manner. For these reasons,
NHTSA is revising the Uniform Criteria
so that future surveys will give States
more accurate data to guide their
occupant protection programs.
DATES: This Final Rule becomes
effective on May 2, 2011.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
program issues: Mr. Jack Oates, Chief,
Program Implementation, Regional
Operations and Program Delivery,
National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration, 1200 New Jersey
Avenue, SE., NTI–200, Washington, DC
20590. Telephone number: 202–366–
2730; E-mail: Jack.Oates@dot.gov.
For statistical issues: Dr. Chou-Lin
Chen, Chief, Mathematical Analysis
Division, National Center for Statistics
and Analysis, National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration, 1200 New Jersey
Avenue, SE., NVS–421, Washington, DC
20590. Telephone number: 202–366–
1048; E-mail: Chou-Lin.Chen@dot.gov.
For legal issues: Ms. Jin Kim,
Attorney-Advisor, Office of the Chief
Counsel, National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration, 1200 New Jersey
Avenue, SE., NCC–113, Washington, DC
20590. Telephone number: 202–366–
1834; E-mail: Jin.Kim@dot.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
II. Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
III. Comments
A. In General
B. General Cost
C. Definitions
D. Selection of Observation Sites
E. Assignment of Observation Times
F. Observation Procedures
G. Quality Control
H. Computation of Estimates
I. Submission and Approval of Seat Belt
Survey Design
J. Re-Selection of Observation Sites
K. Annual Reporting Requirements
IV. Statutory Basis for This Action
V. Regulatory Analyses and Notices
A. Executive Order 12866 and Regulatory
Policies and Procedures
B. Regulatory Flexibility Act
C. Executive Order 13132 (Federalism)
D. Executive Order 12988 (Civil Justice
Reform)
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E. Paperwork Reduction Act
F. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
G. National Environmental Policy Act
H. Executive Order 13175 (Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribes)
I. Regulatory Identifier Number (RIN)
J. Privacy Act
K. Congressional Review of Agency
Rulemaking
I. Background
Section 1403 of the Transportation
Equity Act for the 21st Century (TEA–
21) (Pub. L. 105–178) authorized a seat
belt incentive grant program that
awarded grant funds to States based on
a State’s seat belt use rate. On
September 1, 1998, the National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration
(NHTSA) published as an interim final
rule the criteria to ensure accurate and
representative measurements of a State’s
seat belt use rate, known as the Uniform
Criteria for State Observational Surveys
of Seat Belt Use (the Uniform Criteria).
See 63 FR 46389. On March 14, 2000,
NHTSA published a Final Rule,
adopting the Uniform Criteria with one
clarifying change.1 See 65 FR 13679.
The Safe, Accountable, Flexible,
Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A
Legacy for Users (SAFETEA–LU) (Pub.
L. 109–59), enacted on August 10, 2005,
did not reauthorize the seat belt
incentive grant program. However,
SAFETEA–LU established new
administrative requirements relating to
a State’s qualification for a highway
safety grant under 23 U.S.C. 402. One
such requirement is that the State must
provide satisfactory assurances that it
will conduct an annual Statewide seat
belt use survey in accordance with the
criteria for State seat belt use rate
measurement established by the
Secretary of Transportation.2 In August
2005, NHTSA notified the States and
Territories that the Statewide surveys
conducted in accordance with the
Uniform Criteria for State Observational
Surveys of Seat Belt Use, as published
at 23 CFR part 1340, would satisfy the
administrative requirements of Section
402. In addition, the implementing
guidelines for the safety belt
performance grant program under
23 U.S.C. 406 provide that seat belt use
surveys conducted in accordance with
the Uniform Criteria serve as the basis
for an award under the seat belt
1 In 2000, NHTSA clarified that States are
permitted to ‘‘cluster sample,’’ i.e., group
observation sites according to geographic areas to
minimize travel time and distance required to
conduct the observations.
2 49 CFR 1.50 (delegation of authority to
Administrator of National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration).
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performance provisions of that grant
program.
Since the adoption of the Uniform
Criteria in 1998, NHTSA and the States
have accumulated substantial
experience in the design and
implementation of seat belt use surveys.
This experience has provided insight
into factors that could affect survey
accuracy and reliability. In addition,
technological improvements in road
inventories have made it possible to
select observation sites that are more
representative of the road segments in
the State in a more cost effective
manner. For these reasons, NHTSA
proposed to revise the Uniform Criteria
so that future surveys would give States
more accurate data to guide their
occupant protection programs.
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II. Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
On January 28, 2010, NHTSA
published a notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM) to amend the
Uniform Criteria. See 75 FR 4509.
NHTSA proposed several key changes to
the 1998 Uniform Criteria. In particular,
the agency proposed to revise the
geographic coverage of the sampling
frame from the population-based
exclusion criterion to a fatality-based
exclusion criterion and to identify the
road types that are required to be
included in a State’s sampling frame.
The proposal also changed the precision
requirement from a five percent relative
error to a 2.5 percentage point standard
error. In addition, the agency proposed
quality control procedures, such as
quality control monitors, training and
statistical review, to help ensure
accuracy and consistency across all
State surveys. Finally, the agency
proposed submission of additional
information from the survey results as
part of a State’s annual certification,
including the data source of the
sampling frame, exclusions applied to
the sampling frame, procedures for
collecting additional data to reduce the
nonresponse rates, explanation of any
imputation methods, procedures to
adjust the sampling weight, and
procedures to be followed if the
standard error is exceeded.
III. Comments
By the close of the comment period
on March 29, 2010, the agency received
submissions from 27 commenters in
response to the NPRM. Commenters
included the following State agencies:
California Office of Traffic Safety
(CA OTS), Colorado Department of
Transportation (CO DOT), Idaho
Transportation Department (ID DOT),
Illinois Department of Transportation
(IL DOT), Iowa Governor’s Traffic Safety
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Bureau—Department of Public Safety
(IA TSB), Kansas Department of
Transportation (KS DOT), Louisiana
Highway Safety Commission—
Department of Public Safety and
Corrections (LA HSC), Maine Bureau of
Highway Safety (ME DPSC), Missouri
Highway Safety Division—Department
of Transportation (MO DOT), Nevada
Department of Public Safety (prepared
by University of Nevada—Las Vegas)
(NV DPS), New Hampshire Highway
Safety Agency (NH HSA), New York
Governor’s Traffic Safety Committee—
Department of Motor Vehicles (NY
TSC), North Dakota Department of
Transportation (ND DOT), Oregon
Department of Transportation (OR
DOT), Pennsylvania Department of
Transportation (PA DOT), Texas
Department of Transportation (TX
DOT), Washington Traffic Safety
Commission (WA TSC), West Virginia
Governor’s Highway Safety Program
(WV HSP), Wisconsin Division of State
Patrol, Bureau of Transportation
Safety—Department of Transportation
(WI State Patrol), Wyoming Highway
Safety Program—Department of
Transportation (WY HSP). Additional
commenters included two
associations—Governor’s Highway
Safety Association (GHSA) and
International Association of Chiefs of
Police (IACP); three professors and
staff—Mississippi State University (MS
State Univ.), New Jersey Institute of
Technology (NJIT) and Old Dominion
University (ODU); one consultant to a
State—Peters and Associates Engineers
Inc. (Peters & Assoc.); and one
interested member of the public.
A. In General
Several commenters expressed
general support for revising the criteria.
These commenters stated that the
changes to the protocol are appropriate
and timely and will enhance the
accuracy and consistency of seat belt
use surveys. (E.g., GHSA at 1; WI State
Patrol at 1; WA TSC at 1; TX DOT at 1;
CA OTS at 1. See also NV DPS at 9;
ODU at 1.) In addition to expressing
general support for revising the criteria,
these commenters also had more
specific comments regarding different
aspects of the proposal. The agency
addresses these comments below under
the appropriate heading.
Some commenters expressed general
concern with revising the Uniform
Criteria. One commenter suggested
reducing the frequency of State
observational surveys, and one
commenter suggested expanding the
National Occupant Protection Use
Survey (NOPUS) to each State instead of
requiring States to conduct independent
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surveys. (WI State Patrol at 1; CO DOT
at 1.) We decline to adopt these
commenters’ suggestions as Section 402
requires each State to provide
assurances that it will conduct annual
Statewide seat belt use surveys in
accordance with the Uniform Criteria to
ensure that the measurements are
accurate and representative.
One commenter believed that
changing the survey criteria at the end
of the authorization was not cost
effective unless a seat belt incentive
program formed a part of the future
authorization. (LA HSC at 1.) In the
NPRM, we stated that the purpose of
revising the criteria was to improve the
accuracy and reliability of surveys
conducted by States. We believe it is
necessary to do so now based on our
experience reviewing State survey
results. Regardless of whether a seat belt
incentive program is part of a future
authorization, improved data will
enable States to guide their highway
safety program evaluation and program
management more effectively now.
The NH HSA stated that the most
significant effect of the proposed change
would be damage to trend information.
(NH HSA 1.) The commenter further
stated that policy analysis based on
previous methodology would no longer
be relevant as a tool to measure seat belt
usage. Id. For some States, seat belt use
rate estimates obtained from a survey
meeting the new criteria may depart
from the trend of survey outcomes in
recent years. However, any departure
from the trend will reflect the fact that
the data will be more accurate and more
reliable. Specifically, observation sites
will be drawn from a more up-to-date
and comprehensive road inventory. The
seat belt survey will also be less biased
toward urban areas due to the shift from
a population-based exclusion to a
fatality-based exclusion. (See discussion
in Section III.D.1 below.) Finally, the
survey will have greater precision due
to the shift from a five percent relative
error to a 2.5 percentage point standard
error. (See discuss in Section III.D.5
below.) NHTSA believes that the need
for more accurate and reliable data
outweighs concerns about departure
from trends reflected under the 1998
Uniform Criteria.
The CO DOT stated that the proposal
did not address the large gap in data
through lack of nighttime observations.
(CO DOT at 1.) As we stated in the
NPRM, although nighttime observations
of seat belt use may provide States with
useful data, the agency believes that
several factors weigh against extending
the sampling requirements. First,
extending the sampling requirement to
nighttime observations would reduce
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the value, for comparison purposes, of
survey results from previous years’ data.
States and other interested parties use
this information to determine the
impact of various seat belt use programs
and activities. In addition, seat belt use
is difficult to reliably observe in the
dark, even in the most well-lit areas.
Nighttime observations are also less safe
for data collectors than daytime
observations because data collectors are
less conspicuous and exposed to an
increased presence of impaired drivers.
For these reasons, the agency declines to
change the rule in response to this
comment.
The LA HSC suggested that traffic
cameras positioned in predetermined
locations will provide higher data
quality at a fraction of the costs of
manual collection and will reduce
exposure of data collectors to highway
hazards. (LA HSC at 1.) The Uniform
Criteria do not prohibit States from
using traffic cameras to conduct seat
belt use observations. However, States
must still comply with the other
provisions of the Uniform Criteria, such
as observation procedures (§ 1340.7) and
quality control (§ 1340.8). With this
clarification, no change is made to the
rule.
The OR DOT suggested that States
should be allowed to continue using
their current survey methodology but
adjust sampling to re-weight observation
sites using the proposed fatality-based
criterion. (OR DOT at 2.) Much of the
survey methodology in the revised
criteria is a clarification of the 1998
Uniform Criteria. The major change for
most States will be in the sampling
frame—changing from a populationbased exclusion of counties to a fatalitybased exclusion of counties and an
updated road inventory. Because of this
change, we expect that the large
majority of States will have to re-select
a probability sample of observation
sites. However, some States already may
be in close compliance with the revised
criteria and may not need to make
significant changes to their current
survey design.
NHTSA received four comments
requesting additional guidance. The
IACP and WV HSP requested greater
guidance and technical assistance on
conducting surveys, including common
data collection procedures and
approaches for calculation of sampling
error estimates. (IACP at 1; WV HSP at
2.) The OR DOT and NV DPS requested
a sample of an acceptable survey design
for States. (OR DOT at 2; NV DPS at 7.)
The agency intends to provide technical
assistance, such as providing county-bycounty breakdowns of passenger motor
vehicle occupant fatalities and an
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inventory of roads. In addition, NHTSA
is developing a sample of an acceptable
survey design to assist the States’
redesign efforts. This sample design will
provide general guidance for designing
a seat belt use survey, including the
calculation of survey standard error.
However, the Final Rule still requires
States to rely on their own statistician
to design, conduct and analyze the data.
As we discuss in Section III.G below,
the purpose of requiring statistician
involvement is to ensure that both the
survey design and the annual reporting
of seat belt use rates are carried out in
a methodologically-sound manner. No
change to the Final Rule is made in
response to these comments.
Two commenters mentioned a ‘‘selfreport survey’’ and a ‘‘public opinion
survey’’ as further increasing costs to the
States. (IACP at 2; CO DOT at 1.) We
believe the commenters are referring to
the annual public opinion survey that
States voluntarily agreed to conduct and
report on as part of their core highway
safety program performance measures.
We note that the public opinion survey
is not mandatory and not related to the
seat belt survey criteria. Therefore, we
do not address these comments here.
The OR DOT stated that the revised
criteria require new performance
measures. (OR DOT at 2.) The revised
criteria do not impose a performance
measure—States are not required to
meet a specific seat belt use rate. Rather
States are required to conduct surveys
that are consistent with the revised
criteria so that seat belt use rate
estimates are more accurate and reliable.
The agency received more specific
comments regarding different aspects of
the proposal, including requests for
clarification and recommendations to
change the proposal. The agency
addresses these comments below under
the appropriate heading.
B. General Cost
One interested member of the public
stated that conducting such surveys is a
waste of taxpayer’s money. (Jean Public
at 1.) As discussed in Section III.A.
above, States are required by statute to
provide assurances that it will conduct
annual Statewide seat belt use surveys
in accordance with the Uniform Criteria
to ensure that the measurements are
accurate and representative. See 23
U.S.C. 402.
A number of commenters expressed
general concerns regarding increased
costs as a result of the revised Uniform
Criteria, especially related to the
number of observation sites, and the
requirements for quality control
monitoring and additional observations
as a result of nonresponse rates. (WA
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TSC at 4; OR DOT at 2; IACP at 2; ID
DOT at 1; WY HSP at 1; LA HSC at 1;
NJIT at 3; CO DOT at 1; GHSA at 1; ODU
at 1–2; MO DOT at 1; CA OTS at 1.)
Some of these commenters stated that
the additional costs would divert
resources away from other programs.
(CO DOT at 1; LA HSC at 1; GHSA at
1; ID DOT at 1.) NHTSA understands
that the new criteria may impose
additional costs for some States,
especially States that will need to
conduct observations in more counties
and at more observation sites. Based on
our review of the changes required
under the new criteria and States’
current seat belt use surveys approved
under the 1998 Uniform Criteria, we do
not believe that this will significantly
increase costs for most States.3
However, the changes to the Uniform
Criteria will yield better data, and this
will improve the States’ identification of
low seat belt use problem areas and
permit more effective targeting of
countermeasures to increase seat belt
use. Accordingly, States will be able to
target their life-saving programs more
effectively, resulting in fewer fatalities.
For these reasons, we believe that the
improved quality and reliability of the
survey outweighs the additional costs.
Several commenters suggested that
NHTSA provide additional funding to
assist States or that NHTSA redesign 56
surveys and analyze the data from those
surveys. (ODU at 1–2; MO DOT at 2;
WA TSC at 2, 4.) Although NHTSA
intends to provide technical assistance
to States, including a road inventory
and a fatality distribution, NHTSA does
not have the resources to provide States
with additional funds, and NHTSA does
not have the resources to redesign all 56
surveys and analyze the data. Currently,
all States receive NHTSA grant funds,
such as Section 402 program funds (23
U.S.C. 402), which may be used to
design and conduct surveys and analyze
data. States may also use other grant
funds, such as Section 406 program
funds (23 U.S.C. 406), to redesign and
3 The WA TSC stated that the revised criteria will
substantially increase its costs, up to $100,000 the
first year. (WA TSC at 1, 4.) NHTSA does not
believe that many, if any, States will incur costs of
$100,000 to redesign the survey. Based on our
estimate, we expect that many States will spend
tens of thousands of dollars to redesign the survey.
The CA OTS stated that it expected increased costs
due to a 50 percent increase in the number of
survey sites. (CA OTS at 1. See also MO DOT at
1.) It is not clear how CA OTS determined that it
would need a 50 percent increase in the number of
observation sites under the new criteria. Because
we have revised the survey criteria in order to
provide States with design flexibility, we believe
that CA OTS would not need a 50 percent increase
in the number of observation sites and suggest
California and other States consult its statistician
for survey design alternatives. (See discussion in
Section III.D.1 below.)
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conduct surveys. Consequently, NHTSA
declines to adopt these commenters’
suggestion.
C. Definitions (§ 1340.3)
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GHSA asked for an explanation of the
source of roadway-related definitions.
(GHSA at 1.) The agency relied on the
U.S. Census Bureau’s TIGER/Line files,
Second Edition (2006) for the definition
of most of the roadway-related terms.
Specifically, the definition for access
ramp, cul-de-sac, vehicular trail, service
drive, and traffic circle comes from the
TIGER/Line files. The TIGER/Line files
are typically used in conjunction with
geographic information system (GIS), or
similar, software. Because the database
of road segments that NHTSA will
provide to States will be the GIS
population of roads, we relied on the
definitions used in the TIGER/Line files.
The other two terms (nonpublic road
and unnamed road) are not defined in
the TIGER/Line files, but are defined to
reflect a common understanding of
these terms.
The TX DOT asked whether the
definition of passenger motor vehicle
included limousines and other for-hire
vehicles, whether a pickup truck
included a wrecker tow vehicle, a
flatbed 3 or 4 ton truck or a utility
service truck, and whether a van
included any size or type a van. (TX
DOT at 3.) In the NPRM, passenger
motor vehicle was defined as ‘‘a
passenger car, a pickup truck, van,
minivan or sport utility vehicle.’’
Generally, most passenger cars, pickup
trucks, vans, minivans and sport utility
vehicles (SUVs) are motor vehicles with
a gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) of
less than 10,000 pounds (lbs). In the
proposal, NHTSA intended those
vehicles with a GVWR of under 10,000
lbs to be included in the seat belt use
survey. To clarify this point and in
response to this comment, we amended
the definition of ‘‘passenger motor
vehicle’’ to read as follows: ‘‘A motor
vehicle with a gross vehicle weight
rating of less than 10,000 pounds,
including a passenger car, pickup truck,
van, minivan or sport utility vehicle.’’
Accordingly, those vehicles, including
limousines, for-hire vehicles, wrecker
tow vehicles, flatbed 3 or 4 ton trucks,
utility service trucks and vans that are
under 10,000 lbs GVWR must be
included in the seat belt use survey.
D. Selection of Observation Sites
(§ 1340.5)
1. Sampling Frame: Exclusion
The agency received many comments
regarding the sampling frame
requirements. It appears that most of
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these comments reflect a
misunderstanding of the sampling frame
requirements. Much of this
misunderstanding appears to stem from
the fatality-based exclusion at the
county level, as specified in § 1340.5(a).
(E.g., ID DOT at 1; Peters & Assoc. at 1–
2; IA TSB at 1; MS State Univ. at 1; ND
Dot at 1; NV DPS at 5; OR DOT at 1; PA
DOT at 1; TX DOT at 1; WA TSC at 4–
5; WV HSP at 1–2; WY HSP at 1; NH
HSA at 1.) Many commenters
mistakenly referred to a ‘‘fatality-based
survey’’ or a ‘‘fatality-based criterion’’.
(E.g., Peters & Assoc. at 1–2; GHSA at
2; IA TSB at 1; NV DPS at 5.) For
example, one commenter stated that the
switch from a population-based to a
fatality-based seat belt survey is flawed
and will produce far less representative
results of actual safety belt use for a
number of reasons: (1) The location of
fatalities is not necessarily
representative of where people live,
work and drive; (2) fatal crashes are not
representative of where injury crashes
occur and not representative of where
property damage crashes occur; and (3)
a fatality-based survey is not
representative of exposure or
population, which are two critical
components of a measurement of seat
belt use. (IA TSB at 1.) Some
commenters asked how site selection
can be based on both a fatality and
county-by-county basis. (E.g., OR DOT
at 1; Peters & Assoc. at 1.) We believe
that these comments capture the general
misunderstanding among commenters
regarding the fatality-based exclusion.
As a general matter, in a survey that
covers a large geographic area, such as
a Statewide seat belt use survey, it may
be costly to send data collectors to a
random sample of observation sites
across the large geographic area. To
reduce travel costs and time of
collection, the large geographic area is
divided into subareas, or primary
sampling units, and a sample of these
primary sampling units is selected. Data
are then collected within these primary
sampling units. For Statewide seat belt
use surveys, the large geographic area is
the State itself, and the primary
sampling units are counties (or county
equivalents). Because States believed
that the costs were too great to send data
collectors to a randomly selected sample
of observation sites across the State, in
the 1998 Uniform Criteria, NHTSA
allowed the State to select a probabilitybased sample of its counties and then to
select observation sites within the
selected counties in which to count seat
belt use observations. The selection of
counties is called the first stage of the
sample. A number of States had many
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small counties with little population
and road traffic. Thus, the 1998 Uniform
Criteria allowed States to exclude the
smallest counties with a cumulative 15
percent of the population from the first
stage sampling frame, i.e., a populationbased exclusion.
Over time, NHTSA became aware that
some small counties had measurable
road traffic because they contained
major roads. The traffic on these roads
resulted in a disproportionate share of
the motor vehicle related fatalities
compared to the population of the
county. This circumstance was the basis
for NHTSA’s proposal to change the
exclusion criteria in the revised criteria
from a population-based exclusion to a
fatality-based exclusion in the first stage
sampling frame. With this change,
counties that have few fatalities may be
excluded from the seat belt survey. We
note, however, States are not required to
exclude counties from the sampling
frame, and may include and sample
randomly from all counties. (See KS
DOT at 1.) Accordingly, under the new
criteria, the State may identify any set
of counties that collectively account for
15 percent of the State’s passenger
motor vehicle occupant fatalities, and
that set of counties may be excluded
from the first stage sampling frame.
The main purpose for allowing any
exclusion, whether fatality-based or
population-based, is to control
operational costs. As explained above,
the purpose of the exclusion is to help
States reduce travel costs and time of
collection by excluding areas where
little data are likely to be collected. The
fatality-based exclusion does not
directly affect the selection of the actual
observation sites within eligible
counties. In other words, neither the
number of fatalities in a county nor the
specific locations where those fatalities
occurred should serve as the basis for
selecting the observation sites. (See LA
HSC at 2.)
Some commenters stated that shifting
from a sampling frame of counties
accounting for at least 85 percent of the
Statewide population to one that
includes at least 85 percent of the
passenger vehicle occupant fatalities
seems to replace a potentially biased
sampling frame with one that is almost
certainly biased. (E.g., WA TSC at 1–2;
GHSA at 1–2. See also IACP at 2; NV
DPS at 2, 4; ODU at 2; NJIT at 1–2.)
NHTSA believes that, by permitting the
systematic exclusion of the State’s most
sparsely populated counties from the
sampling frame, the 1998 Uniform
Criteria created an urban bias. While we
are not eliminating the urban bias, we
believe we are reducing it in many
States by replacing the population-based
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exclusion with the fatality-based
exclusion. For some States, the change
to a fatality-based exclusion may not
have any impact on the sampling frame.
For example, under a population-based
exclusion, States systematically set
aside sparsely populated counties from
the sampling frame. Therefore, States
end up with more urban areas in the
first stage sampling frame. A fatalitybased exclusion is less urban-biased
with respect to seat belt use because
States are not systematically eliminating
all low population areas, but are
required to include those low
population counties which have enough
fatalities to be included in the sampling
frame. It is not uncommon in many
States for a sparsely populated county to
have high traffic volume, sometimes
resulting in relatively frequent crashes
and deaths. A population-based
exclusion may eliminate that county
while a fatality-based exclusion may
keep that county in the sampling frame.
Other variables, such as crash or
fatality rates, registered vehicles, vehicle
miles traveled (VMT), could be used as
the basis for excluding counties from
the sampling frame. (See MS State Univ.
at 1.) NHTSA decided to use passenger
vehicle occupant fatalities in motor
vehicle crashes as the measure because
these other measures are similar to
population and would result in a similar
urban bias. For example, vehicle
registrations likely are closely correlated
with population so that a registrationbased exclusion probably would
produce the same urban bias as the
current population-based exclusion. On
the other hand, VMT or VMT-based
crash or fatality rates could be used to
exclude counties in a way that would
avoid an urban bias. However, many
States do not have accurate counts of
VMT for all counties. For this reason,
NHTSA believes that allowing fatalitybased exclusion of counties is the
preferred method of balancing survey
efficiency and cost considerations while
continuing to ensure a representative
sample. Therefore, no change is made in
response to these comments.
One commenter stated that it is likely
that oversampling and overweighting
the observations in rural counties with
high fatality rates and low belt use rates
will erroneously depress the State’s seat
belt use rate in an attempt to focus
attention on problem areas. (WA TSC at
2.) The fatality-based exclusion is not an
attempt to focus on problem areas.
Rather, as discussed above, its intent is
to help reduce the current urban bias
and ensure that seat belt use rate
estimates are more representative. We
note that oversampling need not lead to
overweighting if the weight is calculated
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properly. In our opinion, properly
weighted observations will not
introduce error into the Statewide seat
belt use rate estimate.
Commenters expressed concern that
the fatality-based exclusion would
result in additional counties being
included in the sampling frame,
especially in more rural areas. (NJIT at
1; WA TSC at 2; WY HSP at 1; MO DOT
at 1; ND DOT at 1; GHSA at 2.) For
example, the MO DOT stated that the
‘‘fatality based sampling frame’’ will
result in 62 counties and 1,426
observation sites being included in the
sampling frame when the State’s current
sampling frame includes 20 counties
and 460 observation sites. (MO DOT at
1. See also CA OTS at 1.) We note that
when more counties are in a sampling
frame, more counties are eligible for
selection, but this does not necessarily
mean that more counties will be
selected. Although it is not clear how
the MO DOT estimated the number of
counties and observation sites, we
believe that the estimate may be a result
of a misunderstanding of the fatalitybased exclusion as discussed above, and
we do not expect that Missouri or any
State would be required to more than
triple the number of observation sites at
which it collects data. Some States will
need to increase the number of counties
included in their county sampling
frame. This may result in an increase in
the number of counties selected in the
first stage of their sample, which, in
turn, may impose additional costs for
these States. However, we do not
believe it would approach the
magnitude described by MO DOT.
Based on our review of current seat belt
survey designs, we do not believe that
change to a fatality-based exclusion will
significantly increase costs in most
States. Because these new Uniform
Criteria were designed to give States
flexibility in designing seat belt use
surveys, States should work with their
survey statisticians to develop a design
that best meets their needs and
circumstances.
Some commenters stated that the shift
to a fatality-based exclusion may impact
low population States, where fewer
motor vehicle fatalities occur, and
suggested that five years of fatality data
should be averaged. (ND DOT at 1; ME
DPSC at 1; WY HSP at 1; NH HSA at 1.)
We recognize that in small rural States,
there can be sharp annual fluctuations
in the numbers and distribution of
fatalities. Accordingly, after careful
consideration, we have decided to
amend the rule to allow States the
option to average three, four or five
years of FARS data to determine
passenger vehicle occupant fatalities.
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We believe that allowing States this
flexibility will reduce the potentially
disproportionate impact of any single
multi-fatality crash in any given year.
Accordingly, we have amended the rule
in response to these comments.
Several States asked for clarification
about the kinds of fatalities that are to
be counted for the fatality-based
exclusion. Two commenters asked for
clarification about which occupants and
which vehicles counted in the fatalitybased exclusion. (OR DOT at 1; WV HSP
at 1.) Two commenters suggested that
the sampling frame should be limited to
unrestrained fatalities. (NY TSC at 1–2;
PA DOT at 1.) To clarify, the county-bycounty fatality counts that will be used
to identify counties that may be
excluded from the sampling frame will
be based on passenger motor vehicle
occupant fatalities only (and not on
commercial vehicle occupant,
motorcycle, bicycle or pedestrian
fatalities) that occur in each county on
roads to which the public has the right
of vehicular access. We recognize that
counts of unrestrained fatalities could
be used as the basis for determining
which counties may be excluded from
the sampling frame. However, especially
in sparsely populated States with
relatively low fatality totals, the counts
of unrestrained fatalities even when
using three, four or five year totals may
produce unstable distributions. For
consistency, NHTSA believes that all
States should use counts of all
passenger motor vehicle fatalities to
determine which counties may be
excluded from the sampling frame. As
noted before, the purpose of the fatality
exclusion is not to direct data collection
to specific locations of fatalities but to
reduce the bias toward urban areas. The
agency declines to adopt these
commenters’ suggestions.
The LA HSC commented that if
crashes are used in lieu of population as
a factor in determining site location,
States should be permitted to account
for serious injury crash data. (LA HSC
at 2.) Another commenter recommended
that the rule be changed to measure
‘‘fatal crashes’’ instead of ‘‘crash
fatalities.’’ (IACP at 1.) As stated above,
neither the number of fatalities in a
county nor the specific locations where
those fatalities occurred is a factor in
selecting the actual observation sites.
The fatality counts are used solely to
determine which counties a State may
exclude from its sampling frame in
order to control operational costs.
NHTSA believes that fatality counts
serve as an adequate basis for that
determination. We do not believe that
counts of serious injuries or of fatal
crashes (in lieu of crash fatalities) would
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provide additional value in the
identification of counties that may be
excluded from the sampling frame. We
decline to change the rule in response
to these comments.
One commenter asked if day and
night differences in fatalities will be
considered in selecting observation
sites. (NV DPS at 4.) As noted above, we
believe that the commenter
misunderstood the purpose of the
fatality-based exclusion. The actual
fatalities do not determine where the
observation sites are located. Rather, the
three-, four- or five-year fatality counts
will be used to allow the State to
exclude counties that make up 15
percent of the State’s passenger vehicle
occupant fatalities. Both day and night
passenger vehicle occupant fatalities
will be counted in determining the
fatality counts. With this clarification,
no change to the rule is made.
One State asked if States could have
the option to use their own non-FARS
fatality data because the most recent
FARS data are often less current than
State’s own traffic fatality counts. (WI
State Patrol at 1.) In the preamble to the
NPRM, NHTSA stated that the agency
would provide States with county-bycounty passenger motor vehicle
occupant fatality counts for the relevant
time period. We believe that allowing
States to use their own fatality data
would have little or no impact on
defining the State’s sampling frame.
After careful consideration, we have
decided to allow States the option to use
the NHTSA-provided fatality data or
their own fatality data for the most
recent three, four or five years, provided
that the State fatality data reflect the
FARS definitions and are approved by
NHTSA. We have revised the Final Rule
accordingly.
One commenter stated that under the
existing rule, the population and
average VMT based sampling criteria
took into account an ‘‘infinite sample
size,’’ but with the proposed fatalitybased sampling, ‘‘the fatalities become
the universe.’’ (NV DPS at 4.) The
commenter further stated that the
statistical concepts related to the
‘‘central limit theorem’’ and the ‘‘normal
distribution’’ might lose their ‘‘essence,’’
and that we cannot derive statistical
results. Id. The commenter asked if it
was necessary to look into the ‘‘finite
population theory for sampling.’’
This commenter appears to assume,
incorrectly, a change from populationbased exclusion to fatality-based
exclusion, in which the central limit
theorem (which states that as the sample
size becomes larger, the sample mean
will have an approximately normal
distribution) would cease to have
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applicability because the sample size
would be finite. As discussed above, the
proposal did not change to fatalitybased exclusion. It changed only the
way counties are excluded from the
sampling frame. In other words, the
proposal did not require observations to
be conducted at locations of fatal
crashes. In fact, locations of fatal crashes
should not serve as the basis for
selecting actual observation sites. Under
both the 1998 Uniform Criteria and the
proposal, both population and sample
sizes are finite, not infinite. This does
not mean that the central limit theorem
cannot be applied to the seat belt use
rate estimate. In a seat belt use survey,
the sample mean is the estimated seat
belt use rate. As the sample size in a
State’s seat belt use survey becomes
large enough, the central limit theorem
would still be valid, i.e., the estimated
seat belt use rate will have an
approximately normal distribution.
Several commenters stated that the
change from a population-based
exclusion to a fatality-based exclusion
would make it difficult for States to
compare the seat belt survey results to
previous years’ estimates. (NY TSC at 1;
PA DOT at 1; GHSA at 2; IA TSB at 1;
TX DOT at 2. See discussion in Section
III.A above.) While the change in the
sampling frame exclusion may make
comparing estimates from previous
years more challenging, we believe that
the data still remains valuable. The new
seat belt use rate estimates will be more
representative of the actual seat belt use
rate in the State than previous estimates.
We believe that the need for more
accurate and reliable data outweighs the
challenges in comparing survey results.
(As noted above, this is not a change
from a population-based survey to
fatality-based survey. Rather, the change
only affects the exclusion from the
sampling frame that is allowed for
controlling operational costs.)
2. Sampling Frame: Database of Roads
Some commenters supported the
requirement that the database of road
inventories includes all roads with a
few exceptions, and agreed that NHTSA
should provide the database to the
States. (WA TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at
2; NV DPS at 6.) Two commenters
requested more specific information
about the database of road inventories.
(ND DOT at 1; GHSA at 2.) The
commenters asked whether the NHTSAprovided database would be a GIS
population of roads, what variables
would be included in the database, and
whether roads on tribal lands and
national parks would be included. The
road database that NHTSA intends to
provide will include road type and
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18047
location, but is unlikely to include
vehicle miles traveled. Roads on tribal
lands and national parks are included in
the database. As discussed in more
detail below, NHTSA has amended the
rule to allow the exclusion of rural local
roads in counties that are not included
in a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA)
and, as a result, many roads in tribal
lands and national parks may be
excluded. No change to the rule is made
in response to these comments.
One commenter requested
clarification on whether the State could
use its own map, aerial photos or
satellite images in site selection. (WI
State Patrol at 2.) As stated in the rule,
a State may use its own map, aerial
photos or satellite images if it is
approved by NHTSA, as provided in
§ 1340.5(a)(2).
One commenter asked whether the
State must abandon the practice of
making seat belt use observations only
at stop lights or stop signs. (WI State
Patrol at 2.) As specified in the
proposal, the sampling frame may not
be limited only to roads having a stop
sign or stop light. Accordingly, States
may not confine the data collection to
stop lights and stop signs. Such a
practice would exclude observation of a
large universe of road segments, and
would produce a biased seat belt use
estimate. Consequently, the agency
declines to adopt the suggestion in
response to this comment.
Another commenter agreed with the
proposed exclusions except for the
exclusion of access ramps to interstate
roadways. (Peters & Assoc. at 2.) GHSA
requested an explanation of the road
exclusions. (GHSA at 2.) As stated in the
NPRM, the agency excluded these
categories of roads for reasons of safety
and practicality. In addition, some of
these road categories are not likely to be
in the database of road inventories, and
they are low traffic volume roads that
will not affect the overall estimate of the
seat belt use rate. We note that a State
may choose to exclude the roads
identified in § 1340.5(a)(2)(iii), but is
not required to do so. Therefore, a State
may include access ramps in its
database of road inventories. With this
clarification, no change to the rule is
made.
Several commenters expressed
concern that the proposed road coverage
requirement would require States,
especially those with more rural areas,
to sample on road segments with very
little traffic volume. (ID DOT at 1; IL
DOT at 1; NH HSA at 1; IACP at 1; ME
DPSC at 1; GHSA at 1–2.) NHTSA
researched this issue and found that
while local roads (as defined by the
Federal Highway Administration) have
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more than two-thirds of road miles in
rural areas, these roads experience only
13 percent of the VMT in rural areas.
Sending data collectors to observation
sites on some of these local roads might
result in few, or even no, observations
and would increase costs to the State.
However, NHTSA determined that
excluding all local roads in rural areas
would have a measurable impact on the
accuracy of the seat belt use rate
estimate.
FHWA has classification standards for
roads (‘‘Functional Classification
Guidelines’’) that all States use. In
FHWA’s Functional Classification
Guidelines, ‘‘local roads’’ are a category
of roads which are not collectors or
arterials, but permit travel between end
points of a trip. FHWA further classifies
local, collector and arterial roads as
being in an urban or rural area. Based
on our review of available data,
allowing States to exclude all ‘‘rural
local roads’’ from the sampling frame
would significantly impact the seat belt
use rate estimate because a substantial
number of rural local roads are in areas
that have high traffic volumes and
potentially high fatality rates. For this
reason, NHTSA determined that
allowing a more limited exclusion of
rural local roads would be more
appropriate.
Pursuant to 44 U.S.C. 3504(e)(3), 31
U.S.C. 1104(d), and Executive Order No.
10253, the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) defines Metropolitan
Statistical Areas (MSAs) and other
statistical areas. (E.g., OMB Bulletin No.
10–02.) MSAs are statistical areas that
include multiple counties and countyequivalents with at least one urbanized
area that has a population of at least
50,000. See 75 FR 37246, 37252 (June
28, 2010). Rural local roads in counties
or county-equivalents that are not part
of an MSA are those roads that are likely
to have very low traffic volume.
Consequently, excluding rural local
roads in non-MSA areas from the
sampling frame would have a limited
impact on the seat belt use rate estimate,
but would significantly reduce data
collection costs. Therefore, NHTSA has
amended the Final Rule to allow an
additional exclusion of rural local roads
that are not included in an MSA.
3. Sampling Selection Requirements
A number of commenters requested
clarification on the selection of
observation sites, as provided in
§ 1340.5(b). (E.g., TX at 2; Peters &
Assoc. at 2; ND DOT at 1.) One
commenter asked about the selection of
roads and assignment of weights in
order to avoid oversampling one road
type. (GHSA at 2. See also NV DPS at
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6.) We believe that this commenter is
seeking clarification of two issues—(1)
how should the road inventory be
stratified by functional classifications
for purposes of this selection; and (2)
how should the observations at each
observation site be weighted to ensure
an accurate estimation of seat belt use
rate. (See also WY HSP at 3, 11; MO
DOT at 2; NY TSC at 2.) One commenter
stated that if all roads in the State have
an equal probability of being selected,
streets and other roads with relatively
low traffic volumes are likely to be
overrepresented in the sample. (NY TSC
at 2. See also NJIT at 1–2.)
States are not required to stratify their
sampling frame, whether by road type or
by another variable. The only
requirement is that the selection of
observation sites be probability-based,
i.e., each observation site should have a
known probability of selection. A State
may draw a simple random sample
without stratification from the entire
road sampling frame, i.e., from the
listing of all road segments within a
county selected in the first stage of
sampling. A State also may stratify the
sampling frame in a variety of ways,
using such variables as road
classification or VMT, and then draw a
probability based sample of observation
sites from each stratum. Although
NHTSA believes that stratifying road
inventories by functional classification
and selecting road segments with
probability proportional to VMT within
these strata is good practice, there are
other valid approaches to forming a
probability sample of observation sites.
Regardless of the method used for
selecting observation sites, once
observations are made, the data must be
weighted in a manner consistent with
the survey design. One commenter
stated that because the State does not
have VMT for all local roads, it would
be forced to exclude these roads from
the sampling frame. (LA HSC at 1.)
States are not permitted to exclude
systematically all local roads from the
sampling frame. If the State does not
have VMT for some or all eligible road
segments in the selected counties, the
State must use some other method for
designing and selecting its sample. The
survey statistician should be able to
help States select an appropriate
method for weighting observation sites.
With this clarification, no change to the
rule is made.
Several commenters requested
additional information on the number of
observation sites States need to include
in their survey. The WY HSP asked
whether States will be given any
guidelines as to the recommended
number of observation sites to be
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selected based on the number of
counties. (WY HSP at 3.) The MO DOT
requested that provisions be added for
States to randomly select a
representative group of counties from
those representing 85 percent of the
State’s fatalities, similar to the table
provided in the appendix to the current
criteria. (MO DOT at 1.) The commenter
further requested that the rule specify
the required number of road segments to
be sampled in each county. (MO DOT at
2.) The OR DOT requested a formula for
determining the total number of
sampling sites that would be needed.
(OR DOT at 1.)
NHTSA does not intend to provide a
table or formula specifying the number
of observation sites per county based on
the number of road segments available
within that county. One table or formula
will not optimally serve to determine
the number of observation sites for all
survey designs. We revised the Uniform
Criteria to give States the flexibility to
design a survey in a manner that best
meets the specific environment in each
State. States should rely on their survey
statistician to develop a survey design
that will meet the Uniform Criteria and
meet the State’s needs. The survey
statistician can help the State determine
the necessary sample sizes for selection
of counties at the first stage and
selection of observation sites (road
segments) within the selected counties.
NHTSA is developing a sample of an
acceptable survey design to assist the
States’ redesign efforts, and will post the
sample survey design on NHTSA’s Web
site. Accordingly, we decline to adopt
these commenters’ suggestion.
4. Substitution and Resecheduling of
Observation Sites
Generally, commenters stated that the
agency’s proposal in § 1340.5(c)
regarding protocols when observation
sites are not available was reasonable.
(WA TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at 3.) One
commenter suggested that pre-selecting
alternate observation sites before the
start of data collection would be more
practical. (Peters & Assoc. at 3.) The preselection of alternate observation sites is
not precluded under the Uniform
Criteria. The alternate observation sites
must be in the same county and the
same road classification as the
observation site the State is replacing.
Another commenter asked if it would be
acceptable to combine both options—
returning to the observation site on the
same day of the week and at the same
time of the day and selecting an
alternate observation site—as part of the
State’s protocol when an observation
site is temporarily unavailable. (TX DOT
at 2.) States may include one or both
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options as part of their protocol in their
survey design. With this clarification,
no change to the rule is made.
The commenter stated that requiring
the State to return to an observation site
at the same time and day of the week
if an observation site is missed,
especially if the observation site is
hundreds of miles away, would increase
commuting time and other costs. (IACP
at 2. See also ODU at 3.) As stated in
the NPRM, if conditions preclude data
collection at an observation site at the
scheduled time and day, States may
elect to return to the observation site at
the same time and day or collect data
from preselected alternate observation
sites to replace the observation site that
is unavailable. See § 1340.5(c). If
adverse weather precludes data
collection, it is likely to affect data
collection at multiple observation sites,
especially if observation sites are cluster
sampled. With adverse weather
conditions, States generally should be
able to anticipate whether the
conditions would affect data collection
before data collectors travel to the
observation sites, and therefore, should
be able to plan accordingly to mitigate
commuting time and costs. States are
encouraged to consider these issues and
develop a protocol that best fits the
conditions in its State. The agency
makes no change to the rule in response
to this comment.
5. Precision
The agency received a number of
comments regarding the standard error
in §§ 1340.5(d) and 1340.9(g). Some
commenters agreed with the change.
(WY HSP at 2–3; WA TSC at 3; IL DOT
at 1.) Others stated that the change in
the precision requirement would require
a larger sample size or longer
observation times, and this would result
in higher survey costs. (Peters & Assoc.
at 1, 3, 5; TX DOT at 2; GHSA at 2; NV
DPS at 7; WV HSP at 2; ND DOT at 1;
NH HSA at 1.) One of these commenters
further stated that reducing the standard
error by half would require a four-fold
increase in sampling size, and asked
whether it would be possible to get four
times the current sample size with the
same observation time. (NV DPS at 7.)
This commenter may have
misunderstood the change in the
precision requirement—the 1998
Uniform Criteria specify that the relative
error not exceed 5 percent while the
proposed rule specifies that the
standard error not exceed 2.5 percentage
points. The standard error is an absolute
measurement whereas the relative error
measures the standard error as a fraction
of the actual seat belt use estimate.
Unlike the relative error, the standard
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error will not change regardless of a
State’s seat belt use rate estimate. A
standard error holds all States to the
same standard.
Our review of States’ current surveys
indicates that most States will be able to
meet the required standard error of 2.5
percentage points with sample sizes
comparable to their current surveys.
Therefore, we believe that most States
will not have to add a significant
number of observation sites, and costs
will not be significant. We also believe
that any additional costs are outweighed
by the improved quality and reliability
of the survey data.
One commenter also stated that the
precision calculation is made after the
data are collected, and that an
inadequate precision would require
returning to some number or all of the
observation sites to collect additional
data, which could significantly increase
the costs. (Peters & Assoc. at 3.) The
commenter is correct that the final
precision estimate cannot be made until
after the data are collected. While a
State would have to collect additional
data if the precision is above 2.5
percentage points, the State would not
have to return to all the observation
sites to collect additional data. We note
that at the survey design stage, the State
may use information from its current
survey or a similar survey from another
State to estimate the number of
observation sites that may be needed to
provide a reasonable assurance that the
precision requirement will be met.
Consistent with standard practice in
survey collection, States should select a
sufficient number of observation sites to
account for issues that may affect the
standard error. We believe that a survey
statistician should be able to help the
State determine the proper sample size
for the required precision. The agency
declines to change the rule in response
to these comments.
A commenter stated that the change
in precision requirement will be
difficult and expensive to achieve on
rural roads. (NJIT at 2.) According to
this commenter, fewer interstate and
freeway roadways will be selected for
performing data collection, which will
lead to more roads of lower
classifications and lower volumes being
selected for observation. Id. The
commenter further stated that this will
result in longer time periods for data
collection and in some cases require
more than one visit to a location for data
collection. Id. The precision
requirement applies to the entire
survey—not to individual observation
sites. As stated above, for most States,
we do not believe that the change will
substantially affect the number of
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18049
observation sites that will be required.
Consequently, the periods of data
collection should not substantially
change for most States. We note that
NHTSA is revising the proposal to allow
States to exclude rural local roads in
counties that are not included in an
MSA from the sampling frame, which
will help mitigate the concerns of this
commenter. Accordingly, no further
change to the rule is made in response
to this comment.
One commenter stated that
consistency in training and observation
would be a much better place to invest
resources than in reducing sampling
error. (NH HSA at 1.) NHTSA assumes
the commenter is asserting that
improved training would reduce survey
sampling error. There are two kinds of
errors—measurement errors and
sampling errors. Consistency in training
to improve observation skills can reduce
measurement errors, i.e., the accuracy of
the observations. However, it will not
reduce sampling error, which is a result
of a subset of the target population is
being observed. Consequently, the
agency declines to adopt this
commenter’s suggestion.
E. Assignment of Observation Times
(§ 1340.6)
Two commenters expressed support
for the proposed observation times. (WA
TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at 3.) One
commenter stated that requiring data
collection until 6 p.m. could pose
difficulties during late fall and winter,
when it gets dark by 5 p.m. (IACP at 1.)
In the NPRM, the agency proposed that
data collection must take place during
daylight hours, not all hours, between 7
a.m. and 6 p.m. Accordingly, States
would not be required to collect data at
an observation site during non-daylight
hours even if they fall between the
hours 7 a.m. and 6 p.m. No change to
the rule is made in response to these
comments.
Two commenters stated that requiring
random assignment of the day of the
week for observations would increase
costs, especially if data collectors were
sent to opposite corners of the State in
a 24-hour period. (IACP at 2; ODU at 3.)
While the NPRM proposed random
assignment of the day of the week for
observations, it also proposed allowing
States to cluster sample or group
observation sites in close geographic
proximity in order to reduce the costs of
random assignment of observation sites.
(See also OR DOT at 1.) This would
reduce the need for data collectors to be
sent to opposite corners of the State in
a 24-hour period.
These commenters also suggested
treating weekdays as equal and
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weekends as equal. (IACP at 2; ODU at
3.) NHTSA does not have data to
support the assumption that there is no
seat belt use rate difference between the
days of the week and between Saturday
and Sunday. We believe that allowing
States to cluster sample observation
sites in close proximity should
sufficiently reduce the operational costs
of random assignment of the day of the
week. Therefore, NHTSA declines to
adopt this recommendation.
The NV DPS asked how many
observation sites can be grouped
together into geographical clusters. (NV
DPS at 7.) NHTSA did not propose to
limit the number of observation sites
that can form a cluster. As long as the
State can allocate an appropriate time
period for data collection at each
observation site, those observation sites
may be cluster sampled. No change to
the rule is made in response to this
comment.
F. Observation Procedures (§ 1340.7)
1. Data collection dates. The TX DOT
commented that the proposal did not
specify that the surveys should be
conducted uniformly after Click It or
Ticket or Memorial Day Monday. (TX
DOT at 2.) This commenter
recommended a wider window of
survey time, such as May 1 through June
30. Id. In the NPRM, the agency did not
propose a change from the requirement
in 1998 Uniform Criteria that all
observations take place during the
calendar year, i.e., January 1 to
December 31. Although most States
choose to conduct seat belt use surveys
after Click It or Ticket or Memorial Day
Monday, States may conduct surveys
anytime during the calendar year. No
change to the rule is made in response
to this comment.
2. Roads with two-way traffic. Peters
& Assoc. commented that on low
volume two-way streets, limiting an
observer to observing one direction of
traffic flow would result in unnecessary
additional survey cost. (Peters & Assoc.
at 4.) NHTSA believes that consistent
methods for data collection should be
applied at all observation sites,
regardless of the volume of traffic.
Moreover, requiring the data collector to
observe traffic in one direction will help
reduce measurement error. Accordingly,
the agency declines to change the rule
in response to this comment.
3. Vehicle coverage. The agency
received a number of comments
regarding the proposal’s vehicle
coverage requirements. The commenters
were generally supportive of the
proposal, but a few questioned the
inclusion of certain vehicles. Several
commenters appeared to misunderstand
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the requirements, and some commenters
requested clarification.
One commenter stated that the
proposal did not address State seat belt
law exemptions for certain vehicles and
recommended that all vehicles operated
on a public roadway should be included
in the survey regardless of a State’s
exemptions. (LA HSC at 2.) In contrast,
two commenters questioned the
inclusion of vehicles that are exempt
under the State’s seat belt law because
it would not provide an accurate
measure of compliance. (NY TSC at 2;
GHSA at 2.) In the NPRM, the agency
stated that all passenger motor vehicles
must be included in the survey,
including vehicles that are exempt by
the State’s seat belt law. The purpose of
the seat belt use rate survey is not to
determine compliance with the State’s
seat belt law, but rather to estimate the
actual seat belt use of drivers and right
front passengers. Consequently, the
agency makes no change to the rule in
response to these comments.
One commenter supported the
inclusion of ‘‘passenger vehicles for
commercial use’’ in the seat belt use
survey. (WY HSP at 2.) Three
commenters requested clarification of
the term ‘‘commercial passenger motor
vehicle.’’ (OR DOT at 1; TX DOT at 3;
GHSA at 2.) Earlier in this notice, we
clarified that passenger motor vehicles
include a passenger car, pickup truck,
van, minivan or sports utility vehicle
with a GWVR of less than 10,000 lbs.
Data from motor vehicles over 10,000
lbs GWVR need not be included in this
survey. As stated in the preamble of the
NPRM, data must be collected for
passenger motor vehicles being used for
commercial purposes. In other words,
data from such passenger motor vehicles
as taxis, flower delivery vans, and pizza
delivery cars that are under 10,000 lbs
GVWR must be included in the seat belt
use survey. To clarify this point, in
§ 1340.7(c), the agency has amended the
phrase ‘‘commercial passenger motor
vehicles’’ to read ‘‘passenger motor
vehicles used for commercial purposes.’’
Three commenters stated that it
would be difficult to collect or report
data separately for various types of
vehicles, such as passenger vehicles,
commercial vehicles and out-of-state
vehicles. (OR DOT at 1; WA TSC at 2;
NV DPS at 8.) Although some States
may want to collect such data separately
in order to better serve their problem
identification and program evaluation
needs, the NPRM did not propose, and
the Final Rule does not require, States
to collect or report the data separately
for these various vehicles.
4. Occupant coverage. Two
commenters supported the agency’s
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proposal to include right front
passengers in booster seats in the seat
belt use survey and exclude right front
passengers in child safety seats. (Peters
& Assoc. at 4; WY HSP at 2.) Three
commenters disagreed with the
proposal, with one recommending that
children in child safety seats and
booster seats be included in the seat belt
use survey, another recommending that
children in child safety seats and
booster seats be excluded from the seat
belt use survey, and a third
recommending that both be excluded or
both be included. (NY TSC at 2–3; WA
TSC at 3; GHSA at 2–3.) As stated in the
NPRM, we believe that data on
passengers in child safety seats should
be excluded because it is not possible to
observe whether a child safety seat is
properly installed or the child is
properly restrained in the child safety
seat. Unlike child safety seats, however,
booster seats require the use of the
readily-observable shoulder belt to
secure the passenger. To clarify any
misunderstanding, data on children in
child safety seats should not be
collected and reported in the seat belt
survey conducted. (See GHSA at 3.) We
do not believe that this will have much
impact on the seat belt rate estimate
since we expect the number of children
in child safety seats in the front right
passenger side of passenger motor
vehicles to be limited. With this
clarification, the agency makes no
change to the rule.
Two commenters supported the
proposal’s requirement to record belted
and unbelted occupants. (GHSA at 3;
WY HSP at 2.) Two commenters
disagreed with recording the belt status
as unknown if it could not reasonably
be determined whether the driver or the
right front passenger is belted. (WI State
Patrol at 2; Peters & Assoc. at 4.) These
commenters suggested recording
unknowns as unbelted. Id. We believe
that the practice of recording unknown
belt use as unbelted would
underestimate the actual seat belt use
rate estimate. For this reason, the agency
declines to change the rule in response
to these comments.
NJIT stated that there are many cases
when shoulder belt use is ‘‘unknown,’’
and that recording unknowns will
gather unusable data, making it difficult
for data collectors to know when they
have collected enough observations.
(NJIT at 3.) We believe that the
commenter is concerned that
observations must continue at all
observation sites until the percent of
unknown seat belt use observations is
below 10 percent. To clarify, the
nonresponse rate is determined based
on the entire survey sample, not
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individual observation sites. In
addition, we do not agree that recording
unknowns results in collecting unusable
data. For quality control purposes, it is
good practice to count and report the
number of unknown belt use
observations that occur. If the percent of
unknown observations is high, this may
indicate a need to improve observer
training. The agency makes no change to
the rule in response to this comment.
The agency did not receive specific
comments regarding survey variables in
§ 1340.7(e). However, the agency has
decided to change the term ‘‘survey
variable’’ to ‘‘survey data’’ because this
term describes the information more
accurately.
The agency received only supportive
comments regarding the data collection
environment in § 1340.7(f). Accordingly,
the agency made no changes to this
provision.
G. Quality Control (§ 1340.8)
Although some commenters agreed
that random unannounced visits would
ensure more accurate data, several
commenters stated that requiring quality
control monitors at five percent of the
observation sites would increase the
survey costs. (WA TSC 3; Peters &
Assoc. at 4; NV DPS at 8; GHSA at 3.)
The LA HSC stated that unannounced
visits by quality control monitors would
require increased supervision of
personnel. (LA HSC at 1.) Requiring
quality control monitors to conduct
random unannounced visits will
increase survey costs to some States,
especially to those States that do not
currently conduct such visits. However,
some level of supervision of data
collectors is necessary for quality
control. We believe that quality control
monitors at five percent of the
observation sites strikes the proper
balance to minimize the costs while still
ensuring that good data are being
collected. The agency makes no change
to the rule in response to these
comments.
One commenter stated that sending
quality control monitors would be
difficult, especially in States with
limited resources, and suggested that
standards for inter-accuracy ratio testing
be required for all States instead of
quality control monitors. (WY HSP at 2.)
We assume that the commenter is
referring to ‘‘inter-rater reliability.’’ Interrater reliability is a measure of rating or
coding consistency among different
raters or coders, i.e., data collectors.
While inter-rater reliability would be
helpful for training observers,
independent quality control monitors
provide reasonable assurance that
observation protocols are being properly
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implemented. As stated above, while
this may increase some survey costs, we
believe that this requirement would
help ensure that good data are being
collected. Consequently, the agency
declines to adopt this recommendation.
The WY HSP asked whether ‘‘random
unannounced visits’’ means randomly
selected sites within each county or
throughout the State, whether quality
control monitors must visit each
observer, and whether there are any
criteria for these quality control
monitors. (WY HSP at 5.) In the NPRM,
the agency did not specify how to
conduct random unannounced visits.
Instead of requiring States to conduct
these visits in a specific manner, the
only requirements are that States
conduct these visits to five percent of
the observation sites and that the same
individual cannot both collect data and
monitor the collection of data at the
same time. We believe that States
should have flexibility in how to
conduct these visits, taking into account
each State’s survey design and specific
conditions. For example, a State may
elect to conduct an unannounced visit
in each county, for each survey crew or
using some other factor. We note that
random unannounced visits serve not
only to check if data are being collected
in accordance with the survey protocol,
but also as a deterrent to bad data
collection. The ME DPSC requested
clarification regarding whether the
quality control must be conducted by a
vendor and not by the observer. (ME
DPSC at 1.) As noted above, the same
individual cannot both collect data and
monitor data collection at the same
time. Other than that restriction, the
only requirements for a quality control
monitor are that the individual be
trained in the observation protocols and
the substitution and rescheduling of
observation sites. No change to the rule
is made in response to these comments.
One commenter supported the
training requirements for survey
observers. (GHSA at 3.) Another
commenter suggested that once
observers have extensive training, the
trained observers should be allowed to
have refresher training via telephone
conference call, Webinar, etc. every
alternate year in order to keep the costs
down. (WY HSP at 2.) We agree with the
commenter that, once trained, observers
may have refresher training via
telephone conference calls, Webinars, or
other methods that minimize costs.
However, we believe that annual
training is important to ensure accurate
data collection, especially since data
collectors are often not regularly
engaged in data collection throughout
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the year. Accordingly, we decline to
adopt the commenter’s suggestion.
Three commenters questioned the
requirement for a survey statistician and
sought clarification of the statistician’s
qualifications. (ODU at 3; WY HSP at 3;
IACP at 2–3.) The proposed requirement
for a statistician is not to provide an
additional level of checks and balances,
as one commenter suggested, but to
ensure that both the survey design and
the annual reporting of seat belt use
rates are carried out in a
methodologically-sound manner. (See
WY HSP at 6.) Over the years, we have
encountered numerous instances where
data were analyzed incorrectly,
resulting in inaccurate seat belt use rate
estimates. We believe that part of the
reason for these errors was the lack of
statistician involvement in the data
analysis. For this reason, the rule
requires that adequate statistical
expertise be applied to the analysis of
the survey data. As stated in the NPRM,
the survey statistician should have
knowledge of designing probabilitybased multi-stage samples, statistical
estimators from such designs, and
variance estimation of such estimators.
To clarify, the statistician does not have
to have a specific degree in statistics,
but rather have sufficient training and
experience in designing research
surveys and analyzing the data, as
described in the Uniform Criteria.
However, the agency is removing ‘‘seat
belt’’ from the term ‘‘seat belt survey
statistician’’ in this section and
throughout the rule to clarify that the
statistician must be a person trained in
statistical methodology.
Several commenters stated that
requiring a statistician would add
significant costs. (ODU at 3; IACP at
2–3; WA TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at 6;
GHSA at 3.) As noted above, we have
found errors in some State seat belt use
rate estimates, and we believe that
requiring a statistician to review and
confirm the estimate annually will help
reduce the errors we have seen.
Although some States may incur
additional costs, especially those that
currently do not employ a statistician,
the requirement is necessary in light of
the errors noted above. States may use
Federal grant funds, such as Section 402
and Section 406, to defray the costs of
designing and conducting seat belt use
surveys. Conducting an annual
Statewide seat belt use survey in
accordance with the uniform criteria ‘‘to
ensure that measurements are accurate
and representative’’ is an administrative
requirement under Section 402. While
NHTSA is ready to provide technical
assistance, we believe that States should
rely on their own statistician to ensure
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that the State seat belt use rate estimate
is overseen and properly implemented
in accordance with the approved survey
design. Consequently, the rule remains
unchanged with regard to this
requirement.
H. Computation of Estimates (§ 1340.9)
One commenter generally supported
all of the requirements in the proposal
regarding computation of estimates.
(WA TSC at 3.)
The agency received no comment
regarding § 1340.9(b) (data editing).
Therefore, NHTSA is making no
substantive change to the requirement
in this provision. (The agency is making
a minor amendment to remove the
phrase ‘‘or statistically edited,’’ because
it is redundant.)
NHTSA received three comments
regarding the imputation of unknown
values of variables. Peters & Assoc.
questioned the need for data imputation
and GHSA stated that no imputation
should be allowed. (Peters & Assoc. at
4; GHSA at 3.) The proposal does not
require imputation, but rather allows
States to use imputation if it is preapproved by NHTSA. In general,
NHTSA does not believe that
imputation of unknown values will be
necessary. However, in order to provide
flexibility to States, NHTSA is allowing
imputation if it is necessary to improve
the estimates and the methodology is
approved by NHTSA prior to data
analysis. As noted by the IACP, there
are a number of imputation methods.
(IACP at 1.) NHTSA is not specifying
which methods are acceptable because
the acceptability of an imputation
method depends on the survey design.
NHTSA will ensure the proper use of
imputation in surveys by requiring
approval before imputation methods are
used. No change to the rule is made in
response to these comments.
One commenter asked for clarification
of data-weighting if the survey is
fatality-based as proposed in the NPRM.
(Peters & Assoc. at 4.) As discussed in
detail in Section III.D.1 above, we
believe this type of concern arises from
a misunderstanding regarding the
fatality-based exclusion from the
sampling frame. Fatality counts will be
used to determine which counties may
be excluded from the sampling frame.
States will weight the data based on the
selection probability of the sample
observation site, which is determined by
the way that the samples are selected.
For example, observation sites may be
selected by a simple random sample or
by a probability proportional to sample
size. Various measures such as VMT or
traffic flow counts could be used for the
measurement of size.
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However, to clarify the sampling
weight requirements, the agency is
changing the reference to ‘‘inverse of the
selection probability of the observation
site at which the data were obtained’’ to
‘‘sampling weights as required by the
sample design and any subsequent
adjustments.’’ This change is necessary
to clarify that the weights used in the
estimation process reflect both the
original sampling process and any
subsequent weighting necessary, e.g.,
selection of direction of travel or of
travel lanes for observation, nonresponse adjustments, among others.
The Final Rule now reads as follows:
‘‘The estimation shall weight observed
data by the sampling weights as
required by the sample design and any
subsequent adjustments.’’
NHTSA received two comments
regarding the requirement to include a
procedure to adjust the sampling
weights for observation sites with no
usable data. One commenter stated that
using an alternate observation site
would be the most practical method.
(Peters & Assoc. at 5.) In the proposal,
the agency identified several methods to
adjust for observation sites with no
usable data, including using alternate
observation sites. However, as stated in
the preamble to the NPRM, allowing the
States flexibility for selecting the
method based on their survey design
will enable them to determine which
method or combination of methods best
meets their needs.
Another commenter stated that States
will incur additional costs for the
suggested protocols for handling
observation sites where data are not
collected. (WY HSP at 3.) Although
States have flexibility to select among
several methods to adjust for
observation sites with no usable data,
some States may need to return to
observation sites at a later time or visit
an alternate observation site for data
collection. Generally, observation sites
at which no data are collected are very
low traffic volume observation sites. As
noted in Section III.D.2 above, rural
local roads in counties that are not
included in an MSA are roads with very
low traffic volume. Because the agency
is allowing States to exclude these
roads, we believe that the incidence of
returning to observations sites will be
limited. For this reason, the agency is
making no change in response to this
comment.
The agency received numerous
comments regarding the nonresponse
rates. To summarize, the NPRM
proposed that the nonresponse rates for
the entire survey must not exceed 10
percent (for the total number of
recorded unknown values of passenger
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presence to the number of passenger
motor vehicles observed and for the
ratio of the total number of recorded
unknown values of belt use to the
drivers and right front passengers
observed). The NPRM further proposed
that the State must include a procedure
to collect additional observations if the
nonresponse rates exceed 10 percent.
One commenter thought that a 10
percent nonresponse rate was too high,
especially if imputation methods are
used. (ME DPSC at 1.) States should
strive to hold their unknown values
well below 10 percent, and we believe
that most States would be able to meet
that requirement. As discussed above,
we do not require imputation, and
NHTSA will review any imputation
proposals to ensure that imputation
methods do not impair the accuracy of
the data. We believe that allowing States
a certain percentage of unknowns is
necessary to ensure that any increased
costs are not substantial. The agency
declines to change to rule in response to
this comment.
NHTSA received numerous comments
expressing concern about increased
survey costs related to the need to
oversample observation sites or collect
additional observations when the
nonresponse rate exceeds 10 percent.
(E.g., ND DOT at 1; GHSA at 3; ODU at
2.) Two commenters stated that this
requirement would result in a longer
overall survey timeline or slow the
survey results. (Peters & Assoc. at 5; WY
HSP at 3.) Although some States may
incur increased survey costs and
additional data collection time, with a
properly designed survey and
observation protocols, NHTSA does not
anticipate that many States will need to
return to observation sites to conduct
additional observations. As a general
principle, a properly designed survey
should include a sufficient number of
observation sites, anticipating that a few
or some observation sites may produce
no usable data. We believe that the
increased costs that some States may
incur are necessary to ensure a more
accurate, representative seat belt use
rate estimate. However, to reduce the
reporting burden on States, NHTSA is
deleting the proposed requirement that
the nonresponse rate of passenger
presence must not exceed 10 percent.
While States must still collect data on
passenger presence to help monitor
quality control of data collection, States
would not be required to report the
nonresponse rates for passenger
presence to NHTSA. In the Final Rule,
the agency makes amendments in
§ 1340.9 and the Appendix to reflect
this change.
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Two commenters had concerns about
nonresponse rates exceeding 10 percent
in free-flowing traffic or on interstates
with high speed travel. (IACP at 2; IL
DOT at 1.) There are several methods to
reduce the nonresponse rates in high
speed travel or in high traffic areas. For
example, observations may follow a
protocol that does not attempt to
observe all vehicles passing by, such as
observing only a single lane, observing
and recording every other vehicle or
every third vehicle, among others.
Vehicles that are not attempted to be
observed would not be counted in the
survey, i.e., they would not be counted
as unknown. Only vehicles that are
attempted to be observed must be
recorded for the seat belt use status of
the driver and right front seat passenger,
if present.
Currently, most States use one of two
methods for observations on interstate
highways or other high speed roadways.
One method is to conduct the
observations at the base of the first exit
ramp within or beyond the selected road
segment. Another method, which may
be less cost effective, is to collect
observations while travelling in a
vehicle at such locations—one member
of the observation team would drive
along the road segment at a speed below
the posted limit while another member
of the observation team would collect
the data by observing the belt use of
drivers and passengers in overtaking
vehicles. Either of these methods or a
combination of methods should help to
reduce the incidence of unknown belt
use observations, and therefore, help
keep the nonresponse rate below 10
percent. With this explanation, the
agency has made no change to the rule
in response to these comments.
One commenter suggested that
requiring States to record unknown
variables may require in-field
calculations. (Peters & Assocs. at 5. See
also ODU at 2.) The requirement that
unknown values must not exceed 10
percent applies to the entire survey, not
to data collected at individual
observation sites. There is no need to
conduct in-field calculations to verify
that the observations at a given site are
below 10 percent. Specifically, the
nonresponse rate is computed by
dividing the total number of drivers and
right front seat passengers with
unknown belt use status by the total
number of drivers and right front seat
passengers observed. At the end of the
survey, if the State still exceeds the
nonresponse rate requirement, the State
must collect additional data. No change
to the rule is made in response to this
comment.
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NHTSA received a number of
comments regarding the variance
estimation. For purposes of discussion,
these comments are addressed under the
precision requirement of the selection of
observation sites in Section III.D.5
above.
I. Submission and Approval of Seat Belt
Survey Design and Post-Approval
Alterations to Survey Design (§§ 1340.10
and 1340.11)
One commenter supported the
requirements for submission and
approval of seat belt survey designs.
(GHSA at 3.) Another commenter stated
that the new survey design requirements
will require input from a survey
statistician. (Peters & Assoc. at 5.) The
agency anticipated that States would
need a survey statistician to help design
and conduct surveys and analyze the
collected data. As discussed in detail in
Section III.G. above, we have
encountered instances of problematic
survey results over the years, and we
believe that these instances were the
result of insufficient statistical expertise
in the design and/or analysis phase of
reporting the seat belt use rate estimate.
For this reason, the agency proposed
that survey results be reviewed and
approved by a survey statistician. We
believe that this will result in improved
and more accurate survey results. The
Final Rule retains the requirement for a
survey statistician.
In § 1340.10(a), NHTSA has corrected
cross references, and in
§ 1340.10(a)(1)(v), NHTSA changed the
language ‘‘Define an observation site’’ to
‘‘Specify the method used to select the
road segments for observation sites as
provided by § 1340.5(b)’’. This change
clarifies what was being requested of the
State and reflects the sequence generally
followed in designing and selecting
samples.
Several commenters stated that States
needed more time to develop a new
survey design and recommended
delaying the implementation of the
revised criteria. (See IACP at 1, WV HSP
at 2, ND DOT at 1, GHSA at 4, and WY
DOT at 3.) NHTSA agrees and has
decided that the revised criteria will
apply to seat belt use surveys conducted
during calendar year 2012 and
thereafter, not during calendar year
2011. In response to these comments,
the agency has made changes to § 1340.2
(Applicability) and has revised the
deadline for submission of proposed
survey designs in § 1340.10(b) to
January 3, 2012.
One commenter asked whether a State
must submit its survey design every
year, even if there are no substantive
changes from the previous survey
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design approved by NHTSA. (WI DOT at
2.) The commenter agreed that States
should resubmit the survey design when
they propose to re-select observation
sites or make other substantive changes
to the survey design or data capture/
processing protocol. Id. The agency did
not intend States to submit survey
designs every year. For calendar 2012
seat belt use surveys, the first year
under the new requirements, States are
required to submit proposed survey
designs by January 3, 2012 so that
NHTSA will have sufficient time to
review the survey design before the
surveys are conducted. Once a State’s
survey design has been approved by
NHTSA, the State is not required to
resubmit the survey design unless the
State proposes alterations to a NHTSAapproved survey design. (See § 1340.11.)
This is consistent with the annual
reporting requirements, under which
States certify that the survey was
conducted using a survey design that
was approved by NHTSA and that the
survey design has not changed since
NHTSA approval. (See § 1340.13(b);
Appendix.) If a State chooses to
redesign its seat belt survey, it should
follow the procedures identified in
§ 1340.11. To clarify this point, the
agency has added language in
§ 1340.10(b).
J. Re-Selection of Observation Sites
(§ 1340.12)
One commenter disagreed with the
requirement to update the survey design
every five years, and two commenters
stated that requiring States to re-select
observation sites from updated sampling
frame data would cause States to incur
additional costs. (WY HSP at 1; Peters
& Assoc. at 6; WA TSC at 3.) States are
not required to redesign their surveys
every five years. Rather, in the NPRM,
the agency proposed requiring States to
re-select observation sites every five
years. Under the current seat belt use
surveys, many States may be using an
inventory of road segments that is years
out-of-date. The inventory of road
segments changes over time as new
roads are constructed and existing roads
are closed or changed. An up-to-date
inventory of road segments is necessary
to ensure that the seat belt use estimate
is accurate and representative of
Statewide seat belt use. We believe that
the additional costs for re-selecting
observation sites every five years will
not be significant because States are
required only to re-select observation
sites from updated sampling frame data,
not to redesign their surveys. In order to
minimize the costs, NHTSA intends to
provide States with the updated three,
four or five year fatality distribution and
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inventory of road segments. The agency
makes no change to the rule in response
to these comments.
One of the commenters also expressed
concerns that the re-selection of
observation sites would require a new
survey design, sampling of sites, pilot
testing and travel to new sites to assess
visibility and safety. (WA TSC 3–4.) The
agency does not believe that the reselection of observation sites requires a
new survey design. While we believe
that it is good practice to travel to new
observation sites to assess visibility and
safety, NHTSA is not specifying how
States should determine where
observations should be conducted and
what other implementation measures
should be adopted. These are decisions
that the State is best positioned to make.
We do not believe that these costs
would be significant. The reasonable
additional costs associated with reselecting observation sites are necessary
to ensure that the survey continues to be
representative of the current inventory
of road segments. No change to the rule
is made in response to this comment.
One of the commenters stated that the
requirement to reexamine geographic
distribution of fatalities from the most
recent three years could result in an
inclusion or exclusion of different
counties every five years, causing site
selection changes and efficiencies
associated with sample clustering to
change every five years. (Peters & Assoc.
at 2.) Although the sampling frame of
counties could change every five years,
we do not expect significant changes
based on our review of historical FARS
data. As discussed in Section III.D.1
above, NHTSA is amending the Final
Rule to allow States the option of using
a fatality distribution of three, four or
five years instead of three years, which
will help further reduce changes in the
sampling frame. We note that the actual
observation sites would change, because
of re-selection requirements, regardless
of whether the sampling frame of
counties changes. States will still be
able to cluster sample with the new
observation sites. The agency makes no
change to the rule in response to this
comment.
A commenter questioned whether
NHTSA would have the capacity to
review all State and territorial seat belt
survey designs every five years. (GHSA
at 4.) The commenter suggested that
after the initial review, NHTSA should
stagger subsequent State reviews so that
one-fifth of all State and Territory
survey protocols are reviewed every
year. Id. NHTSA will review and
approve survey designs from all States
and Territories for surveys conducted
beginning calendar year 2012. The
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NPRM did not propose and the Final
Rule does not require States to redesign
surveys for NHTSA approval every five
years. Rather, States are required to reselect observation sites using updated
sampling frame data. It is the updated
sampling frame data that requires
NHTSA approval. NHTSA will deploy
the necessary resources to review
updated sampling frame data from all
States and Territories.
certification in the Appendix in
response to this comment.
K. Annual Reporting Requirements
NHTSA received two positive
comments in support of the annual
reporting requirements.4 (TX DOT at 1;
GHSA at 3.) However, one commenter
seemed to suggest that the current
‘‘research report’’ describing the survey
methodology and results produced by
States was sufficient. (WA TSC at 4.)
Under the current reporting
requirements, NHTSA does not have
sufficient information to evaluate the
computation of the seat belt use rate
estimate. Based on our experience, some
of the reported results were not
consistent with the computation
formula in the NHTSA-approved survey
design. For this reason, NHTSA is
requiring additional information in the
annual reports submitted by States.
NHTSA believes that the additional
information is necessary in order to
carry out the agency’s responsibilities
for grant management and oversight. No
change to the rule is made in response
to this comment.
One commenter suggested requiring a
certification from the Governor’s
Representative for Highway Safety
instead of the certification by the
statistician. (GHSA at 3.) After careful
consideration, the agency has decided to
amend the rule to require only a
certification from the Governor’s
Representative and to remove the
requirement for certification by the
statistician. However, a qualified survey
statistician is still required to review
and approve the survey results. See
§ 1340.8(c). Accordingly, NHTSA is
amending the certification by the
Governor’s Representative to certify that
a qualified statistician has reviewed the
reported seat belt use rate estimate and
information reported in Part B, and has
determined that they meet the Uniform
Criteria for State Observational Surveys
of Seat Belt Use, 23 CFR Part 1340. The
agency has made changes to § 1340.13
and corresponding changes to the
A. Executive Order 12866 and DOT
Regulatory Policies and Procedures
4 NV DPS stated that the raw data from all States
should be available online to the public. (NV DPS
at 1.) We believe that the idea of making raw data
available online deserves further consideration, but
that it is a policy decision that is ancillary to the
rulemaking. Therefore, we do not make changes to
the rule in response to this comment.
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IV. Statutory Basis for This Action
The Final Rule amends the uniform
criteria for the measurement of State
seat belt use rates for surveys that States
are required to conduct annually under
a grant program in accordance with 23
U.S.C. 402(b)(1)(E)(iii).
V. Regulatory Analyses and Notices
Executive Order 12866, ‘‘Regulatory
Planning and Review’’ (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993), as amended by
Executive Order 13563, ‘‘Improving
Regulation and Regulatory Review’’ (76
FR 3821, January 21, 2011), provides for
making determinations whether a
regulatory action is ‘‘significant’’ and
therefore subject to OMB review and to
the requirements of the Executive Order.
The Order defines a ‘‘significant
regulatory action’’ as one that is likely to
result in a rule that may:
(1) Have an annual effect on the
economy of $100 million or more or
adversely affect in a material way the
economy, a sector of the economy,
productivity, competition, jobs, the
environment, public health or safety, or
State, local, or Tribal governments or
communities;
(2) Create a serious inconsistency or
otherwise interfere with an action taken
or planned by another agency;
(3) Materially alter the budgetary
impact of entitlements, grants, user fees,
or loan programs or the rights and
obligations of recipients thereof; or
(4) Raise novel legal or policy issues
arising out of legal mandates, the
President’s priorities, or the principles
set forth in the Executive Order.
This Final Rule was not reviewed by the
Office of Management and Budget under
Executive Order 12866. The Final Rule
is not considered to be significant
within the meaning of E.O. 12866 or the
Department of Transportation’s
Regulatory Policies and Procedures
(44 FR 11034 (Feb. 26, 1979)).
This Final Rule does not affect
amounts over the significance threshold
of $100 million each year. This Final
Rule sets forth the criteria for designing
and conducting State seat belt use
observational surveys, procedures for
obtaining NHTSA approval of survey
designs, and a new form for reporting
seat belt use rates to NHTSA. The costs
to design and conduct observation
surveys under the criteria are well
below the annual threshold of $100
million. This Final Rule does not
adversely affect in a material way the
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economy, a sector of the economy,
productivity, competition, jobs, the
environment, public health or safety, or
State, local, or Tribal governments or
communities. This Final Rule does not
create an inconsistency or interfere with
any actions taken or planned by other
agencies. This Final Rule does not
materially alter the budgetary impact of
entitlements, grants, user fees, or loan
programs or the rights and obligations of
recipients thereof. Finally, this Final
Rule does not raise novel legal or policy
issues arising out of legal mandates, the
President’s priorities, or the principles
set forth in the Executive Order.
Currently, States are required to
provide satisfactory assurances that they
will conduct an annual Statewide seat
belt use survey in accordance with the
uniform criteria as part of the
administrative requirements for a
highway safety grant under 23 U.S.C.
402(b)(1)(E)(iii). This Final Rule does
not change the statutory requirement to
provide assurances that the State will
conduct an annual Statewide seat belt
use survey, but does change the way
States collect and report survey data and
the allowable error rate. Specifically,
this Final Rule requires States to draw
observation sites from an updated
sampling frame. This Final Rule also
improves quality control of the data
collected by requiring States to train
observers before data collection, to have
quality control monitors conduct
unannounced visits, and to have a
statistician review the data collected.
Finally, this Final Rule requires States
to submit additional information in
their annual certifications.
The agency has determined that this
Final Rule is not significant. If a State
does not provide assurances that it will
conduct an annual Statewide seat belt
use survey in accordance with the
uniform criteria in a given year, a
percentage of Section 402 grant funds
could be withheld. However, States rely
on statistically valid observational
surveys of seat belt use to plan and
evaluate their highway safety programs
and have committed, through their
highway safety offices, to conduct
annual Statewide seat belt use surveys
as part of the core performance
measurement process. The agency
believes that no State will decline to
provide the required assurances.
Because the impacts of this Final Rule
are minimal, the agency is not required
to prepare a full regulatory evaluation.
B. Regulatory Flexibility Act
Pursuant to the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq., as amended by
the Small Business Regulatory
Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) of
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1996), whenever an agency publishes a
notice of rulemaking for any proposed
or Final Rule, it must prepare and make
available for public comment a
regulatory flexibility analysis that
describes the effect of the rule on small
entities (i.e., small businesses, small
organizations, and small governmental
jurisdictions). The Small Business
Administration’s regulations at 13 CFR
part 121 define a small business, in part,
as a business entity ‘‘which operates
primarily within the United States.’’ (13
CFR 121.105(a)). No regulatory
flexibility analysis is required if the
head of an agency certifies that the
rulemaking action would not have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
SBREFA amended the Regulatory
Flexibility Act to require Federal
agencies to provide a statement of the
factual basis for certifying that an action
would not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities.
NHTSA has considered the effects of
this Final Rule under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act. This Final Rule applies
to States and they are not considered to
be small businesses under the
Regulatory Flexibility Act. States may
employ contractors to collect survey
data (which may be small businesses),
but this Final Rule merely changes the
procedures of collecting survey data and
will not have a significant impact on the
costs or profits of small businesses.
Therefore, I certify that this Final Rule
would not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities.
C. Executive Order 13132 (Federalism)
Executive Order 13132, ‘‘Federalism’’
(64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999), requires
NHTSA to develop an accountable
process to ensure ‘‘meaningful and
timely input by State and local officials
in the development of regulatory
policies that have federalism
implications.’’ ‘‘Policies that have
federalism implications’’ are defined in
the Executive Order to include
regulations that have ‘‘substantial direct
effects on the States, on the relationship
between the national government and
the States, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government.’’ Under
Executive Order 13132, the agency may
not issue a regulation with Federalism
implications that imposes substantial
direct compliance costs and that is not
required by statute unless the Federal
government provides the funds
necessary to pay the direct compliance
costs incurred by State and local
governments or the agency consults
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18055
with State and local governments in the
process of developing the proposed
regulation. The agency also may not
issue a regulation with Federalism
implications that preempts a State law
without consulting with State and local
officials.
The agency has analyzed this Final
Rule in accordance with the principles
and criteria set forth in Executive Order
13132 and has determined that this
Final Rule does not have sufficient
Federalism implications to warrant
consultation with State and local
officials or the preparation of a
Federalism summary impact statement.
This Final Rule does not impose
substantial direct compliance costs.
While the costs to the States may vary
depending on such factors as the State’s
current survey design and the size of the
State, the agency estimates that the
average cost to a State would be at most
in the tens of thousands of dollars. We
note that Federal funds from a number
of NHTSA grant programs may be used
to defray these costs. This Final Rule
also does not preempt any State law or
regulation or affect the ability of States
to discharge traditional State
government functions.
While the agency has determined that
this Final Rule does not have sufficient
Federalism implications to warrant
formal consultation with State and local
officials, the agency is aware that the
revised criteria will impact States. For a
number of years, the agency has had
ongoing discussions with State officials
about the seat belt use survey criteria.
Several of these State officials expressed
concerns about the accuracy and
consistency of the survey results. Before
the NPRM was published in January
2010, the agency discussed the
possibility of revising the seat belt use
survey criteria with officials from State
Highway Safety Offices at Governors
Highway Safety Association (GHSA)
meetings. The agency sought their views
on the need to change the criteria and
potential areas of revision. Generally,
these State officials were supportive of
revising the seat belt use survey criteria
to make the survey results more
accurate and consistent.
In addition, when the NPRM was
published, the agency reached out to the
States and encouraged States to review
the NPRM and provide comments.
NHTSA received extensive comments
from many States and interested parties,
such as associations and universities
and contractors, who assist States in
conducting and analyzing the results of
seat belt use surveys. As discussed in
the preamble of the Final Rule, NHTSA
revised the criteria to reduce further the
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impact on States in response to the
States’ comments.
D. Executive Order 12988 (Civil Justice
Reform)
Pursuant to Executive Order 12988,
‘‘Civil Justice Reform’’ (61 FR 4729,
February 7, 1996), the agency has
considered whether this rulemaking
would have any retroactive effect. This
rulemaking action would not have any
retroactive effect. This action meets
applicable standards in sections 3(a)
and 3(b)(2) of Executive Order 12988,
Civil Justice Reform, to minimize
litigation, eliminate ambiguity, and
reduce burden.
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E. Paperwork Reduction Act
Under the Paperwork Reduction Act
of 1995, a person is not required to
respond to a collection of information
by a Federal agency unless the
collection displays a valid Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) control
number. There are reporting
requirements contained in the Final
Rule that are considered to be
information collection requirements
under the Paperwork Reduction Act, as
that term is defined by OMB in 5 CFR
Part 1320. The estimated total annual
burden is 19,040 hours. The total
estimated number of respondents is 56
(50 States, the District of Columbia,
Puerto Rico and 4 territories).
Pursuant to the Act, the agency
solicited public comments on the
proposed collection of information, with
a 60-day comment period, in the notice
of proposed rulemaking published on
January 28, 2010 (75 FR 4509). The
agency will publish a separate Federal
Register Notice when we submit the
information collection request to OMB
for approval.
F. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA)
requires Federal agencies to prepare a
written assessment of the costs, benefits,
and other effects of proposed or Final
Rules that include a Federal mandate
likely to result in the expenditure by
State, local, or tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector, of
more than $100 million annually
(adjusted for inflation with a base year
of 1995 (about $118 million in 2004
dollars)). This Final Rule does not
include a Federal mandate resulting in
annual State expenditures that would
exceed the $100 million threshold.
G. National Environmental Policy Act
NHTSA has reviewed this rulemaking
action for the purposes of the National
Environmental Policy Act. The agency
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has determined that this Final Rule does
not have a significant impact on the
quality of the human environment.
PART 1340—UNIFORM CRITERIA FOR
STATE OBSERVATIONAL SURVEYS
OF SEAT BELT USE
H. Executive Order 13175 (Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribes)
Subpart A—General
Sec.
1340.1 Purpose.
1340.2 Applicability.
1340.3 Definitions.
The agency has analyzed this Final
Rule under Executive Order 13175, and
has determined that the Final Rule does
not have a substantial direct effect on
one or more Indian tribes, does not
impose substantial direct compliance
costs on Indian tribal governments, and
does not preempt tribal law. Therefore,
a tribal summary impact statement is
not required.
I. Regulatory Identifier Number (RIN)
The Department of Transportation
assigns a regulation identifier number
(RIN) to each regulatory action listed in
the Unified Agenda of Federal
Regulations. The Regulatory Information
Service Center publishes the Unified
Agenda in April and October of each
year. You may use the RIN contained in
the heading at the beginning of this
document to find this action in the
Unified Agenda.
We will post all comments we
receive, without change, to https://
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information you provide.
Using the search function of our docket
Web site, anyone can find and read the
comments received into any of our
dockets, including the name of the
individual sending the comment (or
signing the comment for an association,
business, labor union, etc.). You may
review DOT’s complete Privacy Act
Statement in the Federal Register
published on April 11, 2000 (65 FR
19477–78), or you may visit https://
DocketsInfo.dot.gov.
K. Congressional Review of Agency
Rulemaking
The agency has not submitted the
Final Rule to the Congress and the
Government Accountability Office
under the Congressional Review of
Agency Rulemaking Act, 5 U.S.C. 801 et
seq. This Final Rule is not a ‘‘major rule’’
within the meaning of the Act.
List of Subjects in 23 CFR Part 1340
Grant programs—Transportation,
Highway safety, Intergovernmental
relations, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
For the reasons discussed in the
preamble, the National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration revises 23 CFR
part 1340 to read as follows:
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Subpart C—Administrative Requirements
1340.10 Submission and approval of seat
belt survey design.
1340.11 Post-approval alterations to survey
design.
1340.12 Re-selection of observation sites.
1340.13 Annual reporting requirements.
Appendix A to Part 1340—State Seat Belt
Use Survey Reporting Form
Authority: 23 U.S.C. 402; delegation of
authority at 49 CFR 1.50.
Subpart A—General
§ 1340.1
J. Privacy Act
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Subpart B—Survey Design Requirements
1340.4 In general.
1340.5 Selection of observation sites.
1340.6 Assignment of observation times.
1340.7 Observation procedures.
1340.8 Quality control.
1340.9 Computation of estimates.
Sfmt 4700
Purpose.
This part establishes uniform criteria
for State surveys of seat belt use
conducted under 23 U.S.C. 402,
procedures for NHTSA approval of
survey designs, and administrative
requirements relating to State seat belt
surveys.
§ 1340.2
Applicability.
This part applies to State surveys of
seat belt use, beginning in calendar year
2012 and continuing annually
thereafter.
§ 1340.3
Definitions.
As used in this part—
Access ramp means the segment of a
road that forms a cloverleaf or limited
access interchange.
Cul-de-sac means the closed end of a
road that forms a loop or turn-around.
Non-public road means a road on
which members of the general public
are not allowed to drive motor vehicles.
Nonresponse rate means, for any
survey variable, the percentage of
unknown values recorded for that
variable.
Observation site means the physical
location where survey data are
collected.
Passenger motor vehicle means a
motor vehicle with a gross vehicle
weight rating of less than 10,000
pounds, including a passenger car,
pickup truck, van, minivan or sport
utility vehicle.
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Service drive means the segment of a
road that provides access to businesses
and rest areas.
Traffic circle means the segment of a
road or intersection of roads forming a
roundabout.
Unnamed road means a road, public
or private, that has no name or number
designation and is often a farm or
logging road.
Vehicular trail means a road designed
or intended primarily for use by motor
vehicles with four-wheel drive.
Subpart B—Survey Design
Requirements
§ 1340.4
In general.
This subpart sets forth the minimum
design requirements to be incorporated
in surveys conducted under this part.
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§ 1340.5
Selection of observation sites.
(a) Sampling frame requirements—
(1) County coverage. The sampling
frame from which observation sites are
selected shall include counties or
county-equivalents (including tribal
territories), as defined by the U.S.
Census Bureau, that account for at least
85 percent of the State’s passenger
vehicle occupant fatalities, provided
that the average of the last three, four or
five years, at the State’s option, of
available Fatality Analysis Reporting
System (FARS) data or State fatality data
approved by NHTSA shall be used to
determine the State’s passenger vehicle
occupant fatalities.
(2) Road coverage.
(i) States shall select observation sites
from a database of road inventories
approved by NHTSA or provided by
NHTSA.
(ii) Except as provided in paragraph
(a)(2)(iii) of this section, all roads in the
State shall be eligible for sampling. The
sampling frame may not be limited only
to roads having a stop sign, stop light or
State-maintained roads.
(iii) The sampling frame need not
include: rural local roads, as classified
by the Federal Highway
Administration’s Functional
Classification Guidelines, in counties
that are not within a Metropolitan
Statistical Area (MSA), as published by
the Office of Management and Budget;
non-public roads; unnamed roads;
unpaved roads; vehicular trails; access
ramps; cul-de-sacs; traffic circles; or
service drives.
(b) Sampling selection requirements.
The set of road segments selected for
observation sites shall be chosen based
on probability sampling, except that—
(1) The specific observation site
locations on the sampled road segments
may be deterministically selected;
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(2) An alternate observation site may
be used to replace an observation site
selected based on probability sampling
if it is located in the same county or
county-equivalent, and has the same
roadway classification (e.g., local road
segment, collector road segment) when
using the protocol of substitution and
rescheduling of observation sites
pursuant to paragraph (c) of this section.
(c) Requirements for substitution and
rescheduling of observation sites. The
survey design shall include at a
minimum the following protocols:
(1) Protocol when observation site is
temporarily unavailable for data
collection.
(i) Observers shall return to the
observation site at another time
provided that it is on the same day of
the week and at same time of the day
or select an alternate observation site, as
described in paragraph (b)(2) of this
section, provided the data are collected
on the same day and at approximately
the same time as the originallyscheduled observation site.
(ii) The original observation site must
be used for future data collections.
(2) Protocol when observation site is
permanently unavailable for data
collection.
(i) Except as provided in paragraph
(c)(2)(ii), another observation site shall
be selected in accordance with
paragraph (b) of this section.
(ii) If it is not feasible to select another
observation site based on probability
sampling for the current data collection,
an alternate observation site, as
described in paragraph (b)(2) of this
section, may be selected, provided the
data is collected on the same day and at
approximately the same time as the
originally-scheduled observation site.
(iii) For future data collections,
another observation site must be
selected based on probability sampling
in accordance with paragraph (b) of this
section.
(d) Precision requirement. The
estimated seat belt use rate must have a
standard error of no more than 2.5
percentage points.
§ 1340.6
Assignment of observation times.
(a) Daylight hours. All daylight hours
between 7 a.m. and 6 p.m. for all days
of the week shall be eligible for
inclusion in the sample.
(b) Random assignment. Except as
provided in paragraph (c) of this
section, the day-of the week and timeof-the-day shall be randomly assigned to
observation sites.
(c) Grouping of observation sites in
close geographic proximity.
Observations sites in close geographic
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proximity may be grouped to reduce
data collection burdens if:
(1) The first assignment of an
observation site within the group is
randomly selected; and
(2) The assignment of other
observations sites within the group is
made in a manner that promotes
administrative efficiency and timely
completion of the survey.
§ 1340.7
Observation procedures.
(a) Data collection dates. All survey
data shall be collected through direct
observation completely within the
calendar year for which the Statewide
seat belt use rate will be reported.
Except as provided in § 1340.5(c), the
survey shall be conducted in accordance
to the schedule determined in § 1340.6.
(b) Roadway and direction(s) of
observation—
(1) Intersections. If an observation site
is located at an intersection of road
segments, the data shall be collected
from the sampled road segment, not the
intersecting road segment(s).
(2) Roads with two-way traffic. If an
observation site is located on a road
with traffic traveling in two directions,
one or both directions of traffic may be
observed, provided that—
(i) If only one direction of traffic is
observed, that direction shall be chosen
randomly;
(ii) If both directions of traffic are
observed at the same time, States shall
assign at least one person to observe
each direction of traffic.
(c) Vehicle coverage. Data shall be
collected by direct observation from all
passenger motor vehicles, including but
not limited to passenger motor vehicles
used for commercial purposes,
passenger motor vehicles exempt from
the State’s seat belt use law and
passenger motor vehicles bearing out-ofState license plates.
(d) Occupant coverage. Data shall be
collected by direct observation of all
drivers and right front passengers,
including right front passengers in
booster seats, but excluding right front
passengers in child safety seats.
Observers shall record a person as—
(1) Belted if the shoulder belt is in
front of the person’s shoulder;
(2) Unbelted if the shoulder belt is not
in front of the person’s shoulder;
(3) Unknown if it cannot reasonably
be determined whether the driver or
right front passenger is belted.
(e) Survey data. At a minimum, the
seat belt use data to be collected by
direct observation shall include—
(1) Seat belt status of driver;
(2) Presence of right front passenger;
and
(3) Seat belt status of right front
passenger, if present.
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(f) Data collection environment. When
collecting seat belt survey data—
(1) Observers shall not wear law
enforcement uniforms;
(2) Police vehicles and persons in law
enforcement uniforms shall not be
positioned at observation sites;
(3) Communications by signage or any
other means that a seat belt survey is
being or will be conducted shall not be
present in the vicinity of the observation
site.
§ 1340.8
Quality control.
(a) Quality control monitors. Monitors
shall conduct random, unannounced
visits to no less than five percent of the
observation sites for the purpose of
quality control. The same individual
shall not serve as both the observer and
quality control monitor at the same
observation site at the same time.
(b) Training. Observers and quality
control monitors involved in seat belt
use surveys shall have received training
in data collection procedures within the
past twelve months. Observers and
quality control monitors shall be trained
in the observation procedures of
§ 1340.7 and in the substitution and
rescheduling requirements of
§ 1340.5(c).
(c) Statistical review. Survey results
shall be reviewed and approved by a
survey statistician, i.e., a person with
knowledge of the design of probabilitybased multi-stage samples, statistical
estimators from such designs, and
variance estimation of such estimators.
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§ 1340.9
Computation of estimates.
(a) Data used. Except as otherwise
provided in this section, all data
collected pursuant to § 1340.7(e) shall
be used, without exclusion, in the
computation of the Statewide seat belt
use rate, standard error, and
nonresponse rate.
(b) Data editing. Known values of data
contributing to the Statewide seat belt
use rate shall not be altered in any
manner.
(c) Imputation. Unknown values of
variables shall not be imputed unless
NHTSA has approved the State’s
imputation procedure prior to data
analysis.
(d) Sampling weights. The estimation
formula shall weight observed data by
the sampling weights as required by the
sample design and any subsequent
adjustments.
(e) Sampling weight adjustments for
observation sites with no usable data.
States shall include a procedure to
adjust the sampling weights for
observation sites with no usable data,
including observation sites where no
data were collected and observation
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sites where data were discovered to be
falsified.
(f) Nonresponse rate.
(1) Subject to paragraph (f)(2) of this
section, the nonresponse rate for the
entire survey shall not exceed 10
percent for the ratio of the total number
of recorded unknown values of belt use
to the total number of drivers and
passengers observed.
(2) The State shall include a
procedure for collecting additional
observations in the same calendar year
of the survey to reduce the nonresponse
rate to no more than 10 percent if the
nonresponse rate in paragraph (f)(1) of
this section exceeds 10 percent.
(g) Variance estimation.
(1) Subject to paragraph (g)(2) of this
section, the estimated standard error,
using the variance estimation method in
the survey design, shall not exceed 2.5
percentage points.
(2) If the standard error exceeds this
threshold, additional observations shall
be conducted in the same calendar year
of the survey until the standard error
does not exceed 2.5 percentage points.
Subpart C—Administrative
Requirements
§ 1340.10 Submission and approval of seat
belt survey design.
(a) Contents: The following
information shall be included in the
State’s seat belt survey design submitted
for NHTSA approval:
(1) Sample design—The State shall–
(i) Define all sampling units, with
their measures of size, as provided in
§ 1340.5(a);
(ii) Specify the data source of the
sampling frame of road segments
(observation sites), as provided in
§ 1340.5(a)(2)(i);
(iii) Specify any exclusions that have
been applied to the sampling frame, as
provided in § 1340.5(a)(2)(iii);
(iv) Define what stratification was
used at each stage of sampling and what
methods were used for allocation of the
sample units to the strata;
(v) Specify the method used to select
the road segments for observation sites
as provided by § 1340.5(b).
(vi) List all observation sites and their
probabilities of selection;
(vii) Explain how the sample sizes
were determined, as provided in
§ 1340.5(d);
(viii) Describe how observation sites
were assigned to observation time
periods, as provided in § 1340.6; and
(ix) Identify the name and describe
the qualifications of the State survey
statistician meeting the requirements in
§ 1340.8(c).
(2) Data collection—The State shall—
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(i) Define an observation period;
(ii) Specify the procedures to be
implemented to reschedule or substitute
observation sites when data collection is
not possible on the date and time
assigned, as provided in § 1340.5(c);
(iii) Specify the procedures for
collecting additional data to reduce the
nonresponse rate, as provided in
§ 1340.9(f)(2);
(iv) Describe the data recording
procedures; and
(v) Specify the number of observers
and quality control monitors.
(3) Estimation—The State shall—
(i) Describe how seat belt use rate
estimates will be calculated;
(ii) Describe how variances will be
estimated, as provided in § 1340.9(g);
(iii) Specify imputation methods, if
any, that will be used, as provided in
§ 1340.9(c);
(iv) Specify the procedures to adjust
sampling weight for observation sites
with no usable data, as provided in
§ 1340.9(e); and
(v) Specify the procedures to be
followed if the standard error exceeds
2.5 percentage points, as required in
§ 1340.5(g).
(b) Survey design submission
deadline. For calendar year 2012, States
shall submit proposed survey designs to
NHTSA for approval no later than
January 3, 2012. Thereafter, States
should submit survey designs for
NHTSA approval as specified in
§ 1340.11.
§ 1340.11 Post-approval alterations to
survey design.
After NHTSA approval of a survey
design, States shall submit for NHTSA
approval any proposed alteration to
their survey design, including, but not
limited to, sample design, seat belt use
rate estimation method, variance
estimation method and data collection
protocols, at least three months before
data collection begins.
§ 1340.12
sites.
Re-selection of observation
(a) Re-selection of observation sites.
States shall re-select observation sites
using updated sampling frame data, as
described in § 1340.5(a), no less than
once every five years.
(b) Re-selection submission deadline.
States shall submit updated sampling
frame data meeting the requirements of
§ 1340.5(a) for NHTSA approval no later
than March 1 of the re-selection year.
§ 1340.13
Annual reporting requirements.
(a) Survey data. States shall report the
following information no later than
March 1 of each year for the preceding
calendar year’s seat belt use survey,
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using the reporting form in Appendix A
to this part:
(1) Spreadsheet in electronic format
containing the raw data for each
observation site and the observation site
weight;
(2) Statewide seat belt use rate
estimate and standard error;
(3) Nonresponse rate for the variable
‘‘belt use,’’ as provided in § 1340.9(f);
(4) Dates of the reported data
collection;
(5) Observation sites, identified by
type of observation site (i.e., observation
site selected in the original survey
design, alternate observation site
selected subsequent to the original
survey design), and by characteristics of
the observation site visit (i.e., at least
one vehicle observed, no vehicles
observed); and
(6) Name of the State survey
statistician meeting the qualification
requirements, as provided in
§ 1340.8(c).
(b) Certifications by Governor’s
Highway Safety Representative. The
Governor’s Highway Safety
Representative (GR) or if delegated in
writing, the Coordinator of the State
Highway Safety Office, shall sign the
reporting form certifying that—
(1) llllllllhas been
designated by the Governor as the GR,
and if applicable, the GR has delegated
the authority to sign the certification in
writing to llllllll, the
Coordinator of the State Highway Safety
Office;
(2) The reported Statewide seat belt
use rate is based on a survey design that
was approved by NHTSA, in writing, as
conforming to the Uniform Criteria for
State Observational Surveys of Seat Belt
Use, 23 CFR Part 1340;
(3) The survey design has remained
unchanged since the survey was
approved by NHTSA; and
(4) llllllll, a qualified
survey statistician, reviewed the seat
belt use rate reported in Part A (of the
certification) and information reported
in Part B and has determined that they
meet the Uniform Criteria for State
Observational Surveys of Seat Belt Use,
23 CFR part 1340.
(d) Audits. NHTSA may audit State
survey results and data collection. The
State shall retain the following records
for five years and make them available
to NHTSA in electronic format within
four weeks of request:
(1) Computation programs used in the
sample selection;
(2) Computation programs used to
estimate the Statewide seat belt use rate
and standard errors for the surveys
conducted since the last NHTSA
approval of the sample design; and
(3) Sampling frame(s) for design(s)
used since the last NHTSA approval of
the sample design.
18059
APPENDIX A TO PART 1340—STATE
SEAT BELT USE SURVEY REPORTING
FORM
PART A: To be completed by the
Governor’s Highway Safety Representative
(GR) or if applicable, the Coordinator of the
State Highway Safety Office.
State: llllllllllllllllll
Calendar Year of Survey: lllllllll
Statewide Seat Belt Use Rate: lllllll
I hereby certify that:
• llllllllhas been designated by
the Governor as the State’s Highway Safety
Representative (GR), and if applicable, the
GR has delegated the authority to sign the
certification in writing to
lllllllll, the Coordinator of the
State Highway Safety Office.
• The reported Statewide seat belt use rate
is based on a survey design that was
approved by NHTSA, in writing, as
conforming to the Uniform Criteria for State
Observational Surveys of Seat Belt Use, 23
CFR Part 1340.
• The survey design has remained
unchanged since the survey was approved by
NHTSA.
• llllllll, a qualified survey
statistician, has reviewed the seat belt use
rate reported above and information reported
in Part B and has determined that they meet
the Uniform Criteria for State Observational
Surveys of Seat Belt Use, 23 CFR Part 1340.
lllllllllllllllllllll
Signature
lllllllllllllllllllll
Date
lllllllllllllllllllll
Printed name of signing official
PART B—DATA COLLECTED AT OBSERVATION SITES
Site ID
Site
type 1
Date
observed
Sample
weight
Number of
drivers
Number of
front Passengers
Number of
occupants 2
belted
Number of
occupants
unbelted
Number of
occupants
with
unknown
belt use
Total
Standard Error of Statewide Belt Use
Rate 3lll
Nonresponse Rate, as provided in
§ 1340.9(f)
Nonresponse rate for the survey variable
seat belt use: llll
Issued on: March 28, 2011.
David L. Strickland,
Administrator, National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration.
[FR Doc. 2011–7632 Filed 3–31–11; 8:45 am]
Internal Revenue Service
26 CFR Part 301
[TD 9519]
BILLING CODE 4910–59–P
Identify if the observation site is an original
observation site or an alternate observation site.
2 Occupants refer to both drivers and passengers.
3 The standard error may not exceed 2.5 percent.
1
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DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
RIN 1545–BF33
Taxpayer Assistance Orders
Internal Revenue Service (IRS),
Treasury.
ACTION: Final regulations.
AGENCY:
This document contains final
regulations relating to taxpayer
SUMMARY:
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01APR1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 76, Number 63 (Friday, April 1, 2011)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 18042-18059]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2011-7632]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
23 CFR Part 1340
[Docket No. NHTSA-2010-0002]
RIN 2127-AK41
Uniform Criteria for State Observational Surveys of Seat Belt Use
AGENCY: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This Final Rule amends the regulation establishing uniform
criteria for designing and conducting State seat belt use observational
surveys and the procedures for obtaining NHTSA approval of survey
designs, and provides a new form for reporting seat belt use rates to
NHTSA. Since the adoption of the Uniform Criteria in 1998, NHTSA and
the States have accumulated substantial experience in the design and
implementation of seat belt use surveys. This experience has provided
insight into factors that could affect survey accuracy and reliability.
In addition, technological improvements in road inventories have made
it possible to select observation sites that are more representative of
the road segments in the State in a more cost effective manner. For
these reasons, NHTSA is revising the Uniform Criteria so that future
surveys will give States more accurate data to guide their occupant
protection programs.
DATES: This Final Rule becomes effective on May 2, 2011.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For program issues: Mr. Jack Oates,
Chief, Program Implementation, Regional Operations and Program
Delivery, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 1200 New
Jersey Avenue, SE., NTI-200, Washington, DC 20590. Telephone number:
202-366-2730; E-mail: Jack.Oates@dot.gov.
For statistical issues: Dr. Chou-Lin Chen, Chief, Mathematical
Analysis Division, National Center for Statistics and Analysis,
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 1200 New Jersey Avenue,
SE., NVS-421, Washington, DC 20590. Telephone number: 202-366-1048; E-
mail: Chou-Lin.Chen@dot.gov.
For legal issues: Ms. Jin Kim, Attorney-Advisor, Office of the
Chief Counsel, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 1200 New
Jersey Avenue, SE., NCC-113, Washington, DC 20590. Telephone number:
202-366-1834; E-mail: Jin.Kim@dot.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Background
II. Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
III. Comments
A. In General
B. General Cost
C. Definitions
D. Selection of Observation Sites
E. Assignment of Observation Times
F. Observation Procedures
G. Quality Control
H. Computation of Estimates
I. Submission and Approval of Seat Belt Survey Design
J. Re-Selection of Observation Sites
K. Annual Reporting Requirements
IV. Statutory Basis for This Action
V. Regulatory Analyses and Notices
A. Executive Order 12866 and Regulatory Policies and Procedures
B. Regulatory Flexibility Act
C. Executive Order 13132 (Federalism)
D. Executive Order 12988 (Civil Justice Reform)
E. Paperwork Reduction Act
F. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
G. National Environmental Policy Act
H. Executive Order 13175 (Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribes)
I. Regulatory Identifier Number (RIN)
J. Privacy Act
K. Congressional Review of Agency Rulemaking
I. Background
Section 1403 of the Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century
(TEA-21) (Pub. L. 105-178) authorized a seat belt incentive grant
program that awarded grant funds to States based on a State's seat belt
use rate. On September 1, 1998, the National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration (NHTSA) published as an interim final rule the criteria
to ensure accurate and representative measurements of a State's seat
belt use rate, known as the Uniform Criteria for State Observational
Surveys of Seat Belt Use (the Uniform Criteria). See 63 FR 46389. On
March 14, 2000, NHTSA published a Final Rule, adopting the Uniform
Criteria with one clarifying change.\1\ See 65 FR 13679.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ In 2000, NHTSA clarified that States are permitted to
``cluster sample,'' i.e., group observation sites according to
geographic areas to minimize travel time and distance required to
conduct the observations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity
Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU) (Pub. L. 109-59), enacted on
August 10, 2005, did not reauthorize the seat belt incentive grant
program. However, SAFETEA-LU established new administrative
requirements relating to a State's qualification for a highway safety
grant under 23 U.S.C. 402. One such requirement is that the State must
provide satisfactory assurances that it will conduct an annual
Statewide seat belt use survey in accordance with the criteria for
State seat belt use rate measurement established by the Secretary of
Transportation.\2\ In August 2005, NHTSA notified the States and
Territories that the Statewide surveys conducted in accordance with the
Uniform Criteria for State Observational Surveys of Seat Belt Use, as
published at 23 CFR part 1340, would satisfy the administrative
requirements of Section 402. In addition, the implementing guidelines
for the safety belt performance grant program under 23 U.S.C. 406
provide that seat belt use surveys conducted in accordance with the
Uniform Criteria serve as the basis for an award under the seat belt
[[Page 18043]]
performance provisions of that grant program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ 49 CFR 1.50 (delegation of authority to Administrator of
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Since the adoption of the Uniform Criteria in 1998, NHTSA and the
States have accumulated substantial experience in the design and
implementation of seat belt use surveys. This experience has provided
insight into factors that could affect survey accuracy and reliability.
In addition, technological improvements in road inventories have made
it possible to select observation sites that are more representative of
the road segments in the State in a more cost effective manner. For
these reasons, NHTSA proposed to revise the Uniform Criteria so that
future surveys would give States more accurate data to guide their
occupant protection programs.
II. Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
On January 28, 2010, NHTSA published a notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM) to amend the Uniform Criteria. See 75 FR 4509. NHTSA
proposed several key changes to the 1998 Uniform Criteria. In
particular, the agency proposed to revise the geographic coverage of
the sampling frame from the population-based exclusion criterion to a
fatality-based exclusion criterion and to identify the road types that
are required to be included in a State's sampling frame. The proposal
also changed the precision requirement from a five percent relative
error to a 2.5 percentage point standard error. In addition, the agency
proposed quality control procedures, such as quality control monitors,
training and statistical review, to help ensure accuracy and
consistency across all State surveys. Finally, the agency proposed
submission of additional information from the survey results as part of
a State's annual certification, including the data source of the
sampling frame, exclusions applied to the sampling frame, procedures
for collecting additional data to reduce the nonresponse rates,
explanation of any imputation methods, procedures to adjust the
sampling weight, and procedures to be followed if the standard error is
exceeded.
III. Comments
By the close of the comment period on March 29, 2010, the agency
received submissions from 27 commenters in response to the NPRM.
Commenters included the following State agencies: California Office of
Traffic Safety (CA OTS), Colorado Department of Transportation (CO
DOT), Idaho Transportation Department (ID DOT), Illinois Department of
Transportation (IL DOT), Iowa Governor's Traffic Safety Bureau--
Department of Public Safety (IA TSB), Kansas Department of
Transportation (KS DOT), Louisiana Highway Safety Commission--
Department of Public Safety and Corrections (LA HSC), Maine Bureau of
Highway Safety (ME DPSC), Missouri Highway Safety Division--Department
of Transportation (MO DOT), Nevada Department of Public Safety
(prepared by University of Nevada--Las Vegas) (NV DPS), New Hampshire
Highway Safety Agency (NH HSA), New York Governor's Traffic Safety
Committee--Department of Motor Vehicles (NY TSC), North Dakota
Department of Transportation (ND DOT), Oregon Department of
Transportation (OR DOT), Pennsylvania Department of Transportation (PA
DOT), Texas Department of Transportation (TX DOT), Washington Traffic
Safety Commission (WA TSC), West Virginia Governor's Highway Safety
Program (WV HSP), Wisconsin Division of State Patrol, Bureau of
Transportation Safety--Department of Transportation (WI State Patrol),
Wyoming Highway Safety Program--Department of Transportation (WY HSP).
Additional commenters included two associations--Governor's Highway
Safety Association (GHSA) and International Association of Chiefs of
Police (IACP); three professors and staff--Mississippi State University
(MS State Univ.), New Jersey Institute of Technology (NJIT) and Old
Dominion University (ODU); one consultant to a State--Peters and
Associates Engineers Inc. (Peters & Assoc.); and one interested member
of the public.
A. In General
Several commenters expressed general support for revising the
criteria. These commenters stated that the changes to the protocol are
appropriate and timely and will enhance the accuracy and consistency of
seat belt use surveys. (E.g., GHSA at 1; WI State Patrol at 1; WA TSC
at 1; TX DOT at 1; CA OTS at 1. See also NV DPS at 9; ODU at 1.) In
addition to expressing general support for revising the criteria, these
commenters also had more specific comments regarding different aspects
of the proposal. The agency addresses these comments below under the
appropriate heading.
Some commenters expressed general concern with revising the Uniform
Criteria. One commenter suggested reducing the frequency of State
observational surveys, and one commenter suggested expanding the
National Occupant Protection Use Survey (NOPUS) to each State instead
of requiring States to conduct independent surveys. (WI State Patrol at
1; CO DOT at 1.) We decline to adopt these commenters' suggestions as
Section 402 requires each State to provide assurances that it will
conduct annual Statewide seat belt use surveys in accordance with the
Uniform Criteria to ensure that the measurements are accurate and
representative.
One commenter believed that changing the survey criteria at the end
of the authorization was not cost effective unless a seat belt
incentive program formed a part of the future authorization. (LA HSC at
1.) In the NPRM, we stated that the purpose of revising the criteria
was to improve the accuracy and reliability of surveys conducted by
States. We believe it is necessary to do so now based on our experience
reviewing State survey results. Regardless of whether a seat belt
incentive program is part of a future authorization, improved data will
enable States to guide their highway safety program evaluation and
program management more effectively now.
The NH HSA stated that the most significant effect of the proposed
change would be damage to trend information. (NH HSA 1.) The commenter
further stated that policy analysis based on previous methodology would
no longer be relevant as a tool to measure seat belt usage. Id. For
some States, seat belt use rate estimates obtained from a survey
meeting the new criteria may depart from the trend of survey outcomes
in recent years. However, any departure from the trend will reflect the
fact that the data will be more accurate and more reliable.
Specifically, observation sites will be drawn from a more up-to-date
and comprehensive road inventory. The seat belt survey will also be
less biased toward urban areas due to the shift from a population-based
exclusion to a fatality-based exclusion. (See discussion in Section
III.D.1 below.) Finally, the survey will have greater precision due to
the shift from a five percent relative error to a 2.5 percentage point
standard error. (See discuss in Section III.D.5 below.) NHTSA believes
that the need for more accurate and reliable data outweighs concerns
about departure from trends reflected under the 1998 Uniform Criteria.
The CO DOT stated that the proposal did not address the large gap
in data through lack of nighttime observations. (CO DOT at 1.) As we
stated in the NPRM, although nighttime observations of seat belt use
may provide States with useful data, the agency believes that several
factors weigh against extending the sampling requirements. First,
extending the sampling requirement to nighttime observations would
reduce
[[Page 18044]]
the value, for comparison purposes, of survey results from previous
years' data. States and other interested parties use this information
to determine the impact of various seat belt use programs and
activities. In addition, seat belt use is difficult to reliably observe
in the dark, even in the most well-lit areas. Nighttime observations
are also less safe for data collectors than daytime observations
because data collectors are less conspicuous and exposed to an
increased presence of impaired drivers. For these reasons, the agency
declines to change the rule in response to this comment.
The LA HSC suggested that traffic cameras positioned in
predetermined locations will provide higher data quality at a fraction
of the costs of manual collection and will reduce exposure of data
collectors to highway hazards. (LA HSC at 1.) The Uniform Criteria do
not prohibit States from using traffic cameras to conduct seat belt use
observations. However, States must still comply with the other
provisions of the Uniform Criteria, such as observation procedures
(Sec. 1340.7) and quality control (Sec. 1340.8). With this
clarification, no change is made to the rule.
The OR DOT suggested that States should be allowed to continue
using their current survey methodology but adjust sampling to re-weight
observation sites using the proposed fatality-based criterion. (OR DOT
at 2.) Much of the survey methodology in the revised criteria is a
clarification of the 1998 Uniform Criteria. The major change for most
States will be in the sampling frame--changing from a population-based
exclusion of counties to a fatality-based exclusion of counties and an
updated road inventory. Because of this change, we expect that the
large majority of States will have to re-select a probability sample of
observation sites. However, some States already may be in close
compliance with the revised criteria and may not need to make
significant changes to their current survey design.
NHTSA received four comments requesting additional guidance. The
IACP and WV HSP requested greater guidance and technical assistance on
conducting surveys, including common data collection procedures and
approaches for calculation of sampling error estimates. (IACP at 1; WV
HSP at 2.) The OR DOT and NV DPS requested a sample of an acceptable
survey design for States. (OR DOT at 2; NV DPS at 7.) The agency
intends to provide technical assistance, such as providing county-by-
county breakdowns of passenger motor vehicle occupant fatalities and an
inventory of roads. In addition, NHTSA is developing a sample of an
acceptable survey design to assist the States' redesign efforts. This
sample design will provide general guidance for designing a seat belt
use survey, including the calculation of survey standard error.
However, the Final Rule still requires States to rely on their own
statistician to design, conduct and analyze the data. As we discuss in
Section III.G below, the purpose of requiring statistician involvement
is to ensure that both the survey design and the annual reporting of
seat belt use rates are carried out in a methodologically-sound manner.
No change to the Final Rule is made in response to these comments.
Two commenters mentioned a ``self-report survey'' and a ``public
opinion survey'' as further increasing costs to the States. (IACP at 2;
CO DOT at 1.) We believe the commenters are referring to the annual
public opinion survey that States voluntarily agreed to conduct and
report on as part of their core highway safety program performance
measures. We note that the public opinion survey is not mandatory and
not related to the seat belt survey criteria. Therefore, we do not
address these comments here.
The OR DOT stated that the revised criteria require new performance
measures. (OR DOT at 2.) The revised criteria do not impose a
performance measure--States are not required to meet a specific seat
belt use rate. Rather States are required to conduct surveys that are
consistent with the revised criteria so that seat belt use rate
estimates are more accurate and reliable.
The agency received more specific comments regarding different
aspects of the proposal, including requests for clarification and
recommendations to change the proposal. The agency addresses these
comments below under the appropriate heading.
B. General Cost
One interested member of the public stated that conducting such
surveys is a waste of taxpayer's money. (Jean Public at 1.) As
discussed in Section III.A. above, States are required by statute to
provide assurances that it will conduct annual Statewide seat belt use
surveys in accordance with the Uniform Criteria to ensure that the
measurements are accurate and representative. See 23 U.S.C. 402.
A number of commenters expressed general concerns regarding
increased costs as a result of the revised Uniform Criteria, especially
related to the number of observation sites, and the requirements for
quality control monitoring and additional observations as a result of
nonresponse rates. (WA TSC at 4; OR DOT at 2; IACP at 2; ID DOT at 1;
WY HSP at 1; LA HSC at 1; NJIT at 3; CO DOT at 1; GHSA at 1; ODU at 1-
2; MO DOT at 1; CA OTS at 1.) Some of these commenters stated that the
additional costs would divert resources away from other programs. (CO
DOT at 1; LA HSC at 1; GHSA at 1; ID DOT at 1.) NHTSA understands that
the new criteria may impose additional costs for some States,
especially States that will need to conduct observations in more
counties and at more observation sites. Based on our review of the
changes required under the new criteria and States' current seat belt
use surveys approved under the 1998 Uniform Criteria, we do not believe
that this will significantly increase costs for most States.\3\
However, the changes to the Uniform Criteria will yield better data,
and this will improve the States' identification of low seat belt use
problem areas and permit more effective targeting of countermeasures to
increase seat belt use. Accordingly, States will be able to target
their life-saving programs more effectively, resulting in fewer
fatalities. For these reasons, we believe that the improved quality and
reliability of the survey outweighs the additional costs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ The WA TSC stated that the revised criteria will
substantially increase its costs, up to $100,000 the first year. (WA
TSC at 1, 4.) NHTSA does not believe that many, if any, States will
incur costs of $100,000 to redesign the survey. Based on our
estimate, we expect that many States will spend tens of thousands of
dollars to redesign the survey. The CA OTS stated that it expected
increased costs due to a 50 percent increase in the number of survey
sites. (CA OTS at 1. See also MO DOT at 1.) It is not clear how CA
OTS determined that it would need a 50 percent increase in the
number of observation sites under the new criteria. Because we have
revised the survey criteria in order to provide States with design
flexibility, we believe that CA OTS would not need a 50 percent
increase in the number of observation sites and suggest California
and other States consult its statistician for survey design
alternatives. (See discussion in Section III.D.1 below.)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Several commenters suggested that NHTSA provide additional funding
to assist States or that NHTSA redesign 56 surveys and analyze the data
from those surveys. (ODU at 1-2; MO DOT at 2; WA TSC at 2, 4.) Although
NHTSA intends to provide technical assistance to States, including a
road inventory and a fatality distribution, NHTSA does not have the
resources to provide States with additional funds, and NHTSA does not
have the resources to redesign all 56 surveys and analyze the data.
Currently, all States receive NHTSA grant funds, such as Section 402
program funds (23 U.S.C. 402), which may be used to design and conduct
surveys and analyze data. States may also use other grant funds, such
as Section 406 program funds (23 U.S.C. 406), to redesign and
[[Page 18045]]
conduct surveys. Consequently, NHTSA declines to adopt these
commenters' suggestion.
C. Definitions (Sec. 1340.3)
GHSA asked for an explanation of the source of roadway-related
definitions. (GHSA at 1.) The agency relied on the U.S. Census Bureau's
TIGER/Line files, Second Edition (2006) for the definition of most of
the roadway-related terms. Specifically, the definition for access
ramp, cul-de-sac, vehicular trail, service drive, and traffic circle
comes from the TIGER/Line files. The TIGER/Line files are typically
used in conjunction with geographic information system (GIS), or
similar, software. Because the database of road segments that NHTSA
will provide to States will be the GIS population of roads, we relied
on the definitions used in the TIGER/Line files. The other two terms
(nonpublic road and unnamed road) are not defined in the TIGER/Line
files, but are defined to reflect a common understanding of these
terms.
The TX DOT asked whether the definition of passenger motor vehicle
included limousines and other for-hire vehicles, whether a pickup truck
included a wrecker tow vehicle, a flatbed 3 or 4 ton truck or a utility
service truck, and whether a van included any size or type a van. (TX
DOT at 3.) In the NPRM, passenger motor vehicle was defined as ``a
passenger car, a pickup truck, van, minivan or sport utility vehicle.''
Generally, most passenger cars, pickup trucks, vans, minivans and sport
utility vehicles (SUVs) are motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight
rating (GVWR) of less than 10,000 pounds (lbs). In the proposal, NHTSA
intended those vehicles with a GVWR of under 10,000 lbs to be included
in the seat belt use survey. To clarify this point and in response to
this comment, we amended the definition of ``passenger motor vehicle''
to read as follows: ``A motor vehicle with a gross vehicle weight
rating of less than 10,000 pounds, including a passenger car, pickup
truck, van, minivan or sport utility vehicle.'' Accordingly, those
vehicles, including limousines, for-hire vehicles, wrecker tow
vehicles, flatbed 3 or 4 ton trucks, utility service trucks and vans
that are under 10,000 lbs GVWR must be included in the seat belt use
survey.
D. Selection of Observation Sites (Sec. 1340.5)
1. Sampling Frame: Exclusion
The agency received many comments regarding the sampling frame
requirements. It appears that most of these comments reflect a
misunderstanding of the sampling frame requirements. Much of this
misunderstanding appears to stem from the fatality-based exclusion at
the county level, as specified in Sec. 1340.5(a). (E.g., ID DOT at 1;
Peters & Assoc. at 1-2; IA TSB at 1; MS State Univ. at 1; ND Dot at 1;
NV DPS at 5; OR DOT at 1; PA DOT at 1; TX DOT at 1; WA TSC at 4-5; WV
HSP at 1-2; WY HSP at 1; NH HSA at 1.) Many commenters mistakenly
referred to a ``fatality-based survey'' or a ``fatality-based
criterion''. (E.g., Peters & Assoc. at 1-2; GHSA at 2; IA TSB at 1; NV
DPS at 5.) For example, one commenter stated that the switch from a
population-based to a fatality-based seat belt survey is flawed and
will produce far less representative results of actual safety belt use
for a number of reasons: (1) The location of fatalities is not
necessarily representative of where people live, work and drive; (2)
fatal crashes are not representative of where injury crashes occur and
not representative of where property damage crashes occur; and (3) a
fatality-based survey is not representative of exposure or population,
which are two critical components of a measurement of seat belt use.
(IA TSB at 1.) Some commenters asked how site selection can be based on
both a fatality and county-by-county basis. (E.g., OR DOT at 1; Peters
& Assoc. at 1.) We believe that these comments capture the general
misunderstanding among commenters regarding the fatality-based
exclusion.
As a general matter, in a survey that covers a large geographic
area, such as a Statewide seat belt use survey, it may be costly to
send data collectors to a random sample of observation sites across the
large geographic area. To reduce travel costs and time of collection,
the large geographic area is divided into subareas, or primary sampling
units, and a sample of these primary sampling units is selected. Data
are then collected within these primary sampling units. For Statewide
seat belt use surveys, the large geographic area is the State itself,
and the primary sampling units are counties (or county equivalents).
Because States believed that the costs were too great to send data
collectors to a randomly selected sample of observation sites across
the State, in the 1998 Uniform Criteria, NHTSA allowed the State to
select a probability-based sample of its counties and then to select
observation sites within the selected counties in which to count seat
belt use observations. The selection of counties is called the first
stage of the sample. A number of States had many small counties with
little population and road traffic. Thus, the 1998 Uniform Criteria
allowed States to exclude the smallest counties with a cumulative 15
percent of the population from the first stage sampling frame, i.e., a
population-based exclusion.
Over time, NHTSA became aware that some small counties had
measurable road traffic because they contained major roads. The traffic
on these roads resulted in a disproportionate share of the motor
vehicle related fatalities compared to the population of the county.
This circumstance was the basis for NHTSA's proposal to change the
exclusion criteria in the revised criteria from a population-based
exclusion to a fatality-based exclusion in the first stage sampling
frame. With this change, counties that have few fatalities may be
excluded from the seat belt survey. We note, however, States are not
required to exclude counties from the sampling frame, and may include
and sample randomly from all counties. (See KS DOT at 1.) Accordingly,
under the new criteria, the State may identify any set of counties that
collectively account for 15 percent of the State's passenger motor
vehicle occupant fatalities, and that set of counties may be excluded
from the first stage sampling frame.
The main purpose for allowing any exclusion, whether fatality-based
or population-based, is to control operational costs. As explained
above, the purpose of the exclusion is to help States reduce travel
costs and time of collection by excluding areas where little data are
likely to be collected. The fatality-based exclusion does not directly
affect the selection of the actual observation sites within eligible
counties. In other words, neither the number of fatalities in a county
nor the specific locations where those fatalities occurred should serve
as the basis for selecting the observation sites. (See LA HSC at 2.)
Some commenters stated that shifting from a sampling frame of
counties accounting for at least 85 percent of the Statewide population
to one that includes at least 85 percent of the passenger vehicle
occupant fatalities seems to replace a potentially biased sampling
frame with one that is almost certainly biased. (E.g., WA TSC at 1-2;
GHSA at 1-2. See also IACP at 2; NV DPS at 2, 4; ODU at 2; NJIT at 1-
2.) NHTSA believes that, by permitting the systematic exclusion of the
State's most sparsely populated counties from the sampling frame, the
1998 Uniform Criteria created an urban bias. While we are not
eliminating the urban bias, we believe we are reducing it in many
States by replacing the population-based
[[Page 18046]]
exclusion with the fatality-based exclusion. For some States, the
change to a fatality-based exclusion may not have any impact on the
sampling frame. For example, under a population-based exclusion, States
systematically set aside sparsely populated counties from the sampling
frame. Therefore, States end up with more urban areas in the first
stage sampling frame. A fatality-based exclusion is less urban-biased
with respect to seat belt use because States are not systematically
eliminating all low population areas, but are required to include those
low population counties which have enough fatalities to be included in
the sampling frame. It is not uncommon in many States for a sparsely
populated county to have high traffic volume, sometimes resulting in
relatively frequent crashes and deaths. A population-based exclusion
may eliminate that county while a fatality-based exclusion may keep
that county in the sampling frame.
Other variables, such as crash or fatality rates, registered
vehicles, vehicle miles traveled (VMT), could be used as the basis for
excluding counties from the sampling frame. (See MS State Univ. at 1.)
NHTSA decided to use passenger vehicle occupant fatalities in motor
vehicle crashes as the measure because these other measures are similar
to population and would result in a similar urban bias. For example,
vehicle registrations likely are closely correlated with population so
that a registration-based exclusion probably would produce the same
urban bias as the current population-based exclusion. On the other
hand, VMT or VMT-based crash or fatality rates could be used to exclude
counties in a way that would avoid an urban bias. However, many States
do not have accurate counts of VMT for all counties. For this reason,
NHTSA believes that allowing fatality-based exclusion of counties is
the preferred method of balancing survey efficiency and cost
considerations while continuing to ensure a representative sample.
Therefore, no change is made in response to these comments.
One commenter stated that it is likely that oversampling and
overweighting the observations in rural counties with high fatality
rates and low belt use rates will erroneously depress the State's seat
belt use rate in an attempt to focus attention on problem areas. (WA
TSC at 2.) The fatality-based exclusion is not an attempt to focus on
problem areas. Rather, as discussed above, its intent is to help reduce
the current urban bias and ensure that seat belt use rate estimates are
more representative. We note that oversampling need not lead to
overweighting if the weight is calculated properly. In our opinion,
properly weighted observations will not introduce error into the
Statewide seat belt use rate estimate.
Commenters expressed concern that the fatality-based exclusion
would result in additional counties being included in the sampling
frame, especially in more rural areas. (NJIT at 1; WA TSC at 2; WY HSP
at 1; MO DOT at 1; ND DOT at 1; GHSA at 2.) For example, the MO DOT
stated that the ``fatality based sampling frame'' will result in 62
counties and 1,426 observation sites being included in the sampling
frame when the State's current sampling frame includes 20 counties and
460 observation sites. (MO DOT at 1. See also CA OTS at 1.) We note
that when more counties are in a sampling frame, more counties are
eligible for selection, but this does not necessarily mean that more
counties will be selected. Although it is not clear how the MO DOT
estimated the number of counties and observation sites, we believe that
the estimate may be a result of a misunderstanding of the fatality-
based exclusion as discussed above, and we do not expect that Missouri
or any State would be required to more than triple the number of
observation sites at which it collects data. Some States will need to
increase the number of counties included in their county sampling
frame. This may result in an increase in the number of counties
selected in the first stage of their sample, which, in turn, may impose
additional costs for these States. However, we do not believe it would
approach the magnitude described by MO DOT. Based on our review of
current seat belt survey designs, we do not believe that change to a
fatality-based exclusion will significantly increase costs in most
States. Because these new Uniform Criteria were designed to give States
flexibility in designing seat belt use surveys, States should work with
their survey statisticians to develop a design that best meets their
needs and circumstances.
Some commenters stated that the shift to a fatality-based exclusion
may impact low population States, where fewer motor vehicle fatalities
occur, and suggested that five years of fatality data should be
averaged. (ND DOT at 1; ME DPSC at 1; WY HSP at 1; NH HSA at 1.) We
recognize that in small rural States, there can be sharp annual
fluctuations in the numbers and distribution of fatalities.
Accordingly, after careful consideration, we have decided to amend the
rule to allow States the option to average three, four or five years of
FARS data to determine passenger vehicle occupant fatalities. We
believe that allowing States this flexibility will reduce the
potentially disproportionate impact of any single multi-fatality crash
in any given year. Accordingly, we have amended the rule in response to
these comments.
Several States asked for clarification about the kinds of
fatalities that are to be counted for the fatality-based exclusion. Two
commenters asked for clarification about which occupants and which
vehicles counted in the fatality-based exclusion. (OR DOT at 1; WV HSP
at 1.) Two commenters suggested that the sampling frame should be
limited to unrestrained fatalities. (NY TSC at 1-2; PA DOT at 1.) To
clarify, the county-by-county fatality counts that will be used to
identify counties that may be excluded from the sampling frame will be
based on passenger motor vehicle occupant fatalities only (and not on
commercial vehicle occupant, motorcycle, bicycle or pedestrian
fatalities) that occur in each county on roads to which the public has
the right of vehicular access. We recognize that counts of unrestrained
fatalities could be used as the basis for determining which counties
may be excluded from the sampling frame. However, especially in
sparsely populated States with relatively low fatality totals, the
counts of unrestrained fatalities even when using three, four or five
year totals may produce unstable distributions. For consistency, NHTSA
believes that all States should use counts of all passenger motor
vehicle fatalities to determine which counties may be excluded from the
sampling frame. As noted before, the purpose of the fatality exclusion
is not to direct data collection to specific locations of fatalities
but to reduce the bias toward urban areas. The agency declines to adopt
these commenters' suggestions.
The LA HSC commented that if crashes are used in lieu of population
as a factor in determining site location, States should be permitted to
account for serious injury crash data. (LA HSC at 2.) Another commenter
recommended that the rule be changed to measure ``fatal crashes''
instead of ``crash fatalities.'' (IACP at 1.) As stated above, neither
the number of fatalities in a county nor the specific locations where
those fatalities occurred is a factor in selecting the actual
observation sites. The fatality counts are used solely to determine
which counties a State may exclude from its sampling frame in order to
control operational costs. NHTSA believes that fatality counts serve as
an adequate basis for that determination. We do not believe that counts
of serious injuries or of fatal crashes (in lieu of crash fatalities)
would
[[Page 18047]]
provide additional value in the identification of counties that may be
excluded from the sampling frame. We decline to change the rule in
response to these comments.
One commenter asked if day and night differences in fatalities will
be considered in selecting observation sites. (NV DPS at 4.) As noted
above, we believe that the commenter misunderstood the purpose of the
fatality-based exclusion. The actual fatalities do not determine where
the observation sites are located. Rather, the three-, four- or five-
year fatality counts will be used to allow the State to exclude
counties that make up 15 percent of the State's passenger vehicle
occupant fatalities. Both day and night passenger vehicle occupant
fatalities will be counted in determining the fatality counts. With
this clarification, no change to the rule is made.
One State asked if States could have the option to use their own
non-FARS fatality data because the most recent FARS data are often less
current than State's own traffic fatality counts. (WI State Patrol at
1.) In the preamble to the NPRM, NHTSA stated that the agency would
provide States with county-by-county passenger motor vehicle occupant
fatality counts for the relevant time period. We believe that allowing
States to use their own fatality data would have little or no impact on
defining the State's sampling frame. After careful consideration, we
have decided to allow States the option to use the NHTSA-provided
fatality data or their own fatality data for the most recent three,
four or five years, provided that the State fatality data reflect the
FARS definitions and are approved by NHTSA. We have revised the Final
Rule accordingly.
One commenter stated that under the existing rule, the population
and average VMT based sampling criteria took into account an ``infinite
sample size,'' but with the proposed fatality-based sampling, ``the
fatalities become the universe.'' (NV DPS at 4.) The commenter further
stated that the statistical concepts related to the ``central limit
theorem'' and the ``normal distribution'' might lose their ``essence,''
and that we cannot derive statistical results. Id. The commenter asked
if it was necessary to look into the ``finite population theory for
sampling.''
This commenter appears to assume, incorrectly, a change from
population-based exclusion to fatality-based exclusion, in which the
central limit theorem (which states that as the sample size becomes
larger, the sample mean will have an approximately normal distribution)
would cease to have applicability because the sample size would be
finite. As discussed above, the proposal did not change to fatality-
based exclusion. It changed only the way counties are excluded from the
sampling frame. In other words, the proposal did not require
observations to be conducted at locations of fatal crashes. In fact,
locations of fatal crashes should not serve as the basis for selecting
actual observation sites. Under both the 1998 Uniform Criteria and the
proposal, both population and sample sizes are finite, not infinite.
This does not mean that the central limit theorem cannot be applied to
the seat belt use rate estimate. In a seat belt use survey, the sample
mean is the estimated seat belt use rate. As the sample size in a
State's seat belt use survey becomes large enough, the central limit
theorem would still be valid, i.e., the estimated seat belt use rate
will have an approximately normal distribution.
Several commenters stated that the change from a population-based
exclusion to a fatality-based exclusion would make it difficult for
States to compare the seat belt survey results to previous years'
estimates. (NY TSC at 1; PA DOT at 1; GHSA at 2; IA TSB at 1; TX DOT at
2. See discussion in Section III.A above.) While the change in the
sampling frame exclusion may make comparing estimates from previous
years more challenging, we believe that the data still remains
valuable. The new seat belt use rate estimates will be more
representative of the actual seat belt use rate in the State than
previous estimates. We believe that the need for more accurate and
reliable data outweighs the challenges in comparing survey results. (As
noted above, this is not a change from a population-based survey to
fatality-based survey. Rather, the change only affects the exclusion
from the sampling frame that is allowed for controlling operational
costs.)
2. Sampling Frame: Database of Roads
Some commenters supported the requirement that the database of road
inventories includes all roads with a few exceptions, and agreed that
NHTSA should provide the database to the States. (WA TSC at 3; Peters &
Assoc. at 2; NV DPS at 6.) Two commenters requested more specific
information about the database of road inventories. (ND DOT at 1; GHSA
at 2.) The commenters asked whether the NHTSA-provided database would
be a GIS population of roads, what variables would be included in the
database, and whether roads on tribal lands and national parks would be
included. The road database that NHTSA intends to provide will include
road type and location, but is unlikely to include vehicle miles
traveled. Roads on tribal lands and national parks are included in the
database. As discussed in more detail below, NHTSA has amended the rule
to allow the exclusion of rural local roads in counties that are not
included in a Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and, as a result,
many roads in tribal lands and national parks may be excluded. No
change to the rule is made in response to these comments.
One commenter requested clarification on whether the State could
use its own map, aerial photos or satellite images in site selection.
(WI State Patrol at 2.) As stated in the rule, a State may use its own
map, aerial photos or satellite images if it is approved by NHTSA, as
provided in Sec. 1340.5(a)(2).
One commenter asked whether the State must abandon the practice of
making seat belt use observations only at stop lights or stop signs.
(WI State Patrol at 2.) As specified in the proposal, the sampling
frame may not be limited only to roads having a stop sign or stop
light. Accordingly, States may not confine the data collection to stop
lights and stop signs. Such a practice would exclude observation of a
large universe of road segments, and would produce a biased seat belt
use estimate. Consequently, the agency declines to adopt the suggestion
in response to this comment.
Another commenter agreed with the proposed exclusions except for
the exclusion of access ramps to interstate roadways. (Peters & Assoc.
at 2.) GHSA requested an explanation of the road exclusions. (GHSA at
2.) As stated in the NPRM, the agency excluded these categories of
roads for reasons of safety and practicality. In addition, some of
these road categories are not likely to be in the database of road
inventories, and they are low traffic volume roads that will not affect
the overall estimate of the seat belt use rate. We note that a State
may choose to exclude the roads identified in Sec. 1340.5(a)(2)(iii),
but is not required to do so. Therefore, a State may include access
ramps in its database of road inventories. With this clarification, no
change to the rule is made.
Several commenters expressed concern that the proposed road
coverage requirement would require States, especially those with more
rural areas, to sample on road segments with very little traffic
volume. (ID DOT at 1; IL DOT at 1; NH HSA at 1; IACP at 1; ME DPSC at
1; GHSA at 1-2.) NHTSA researched this issue and found that while local
roads (as defined by the Federal Highway Administration) have
[[Page 18048]]
more than two-thirds of road miles in rural areas, these roads
experience only 13 percent of the VMT in rural areas. Sending data
collectors to observation sites on some of these local roads might
result in few, or even no, observations and would increase costs to the
State. However, NHTSA determined that excluding all local roads in
rural areas would have a measurable impact on the accuracy of the seat
belt use rate estimate.
FHWA has classification standards for roads (``Functional
Classification Guidelines'') that all States use. In FHWA's Functional
Classification Guidelines, ``local roads'' are a category of roads
which are not collectors or arterials, but permit travel between end
points of a trip. FHWA further classifies local, collector and arterial
roads as being in an urban or rural area. Based on our review of
available data, allowing States to exclude all ``rural local roads''
from the sampling frame would significantly impact the seat belt use
rate estimate because a substantial number of rural local roads are in
areas that have high traffic volumes and potentially high fatality
rates. For this reason, NHTSA determined that allowing a more limited
exclusion of rural local roads would be more appropriate.
Pursuant to 44 U.S.C. 3504(e)(3), 31 U.S.C. 1104(d), and Executive
Order No. 10253, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) defines
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) and other statistical areas.
(E.g., OMB Bulletin No. 10-02.) MSAs are statistical areas that include
multiple counties and county-equivalents with at least one urbanized
area that has a population of at least 50,000. See 75 FR 37246, 37252
(June 28, 2010). Rural local roads in counties or county-equivalents
that are not part of an MSA are those roads that are likely to have
very low traffic volume. Consequently, excluding rural local roads in
non-MSA areas from the sampling frame would have a limited impact on
the seat belt use rate estimate, but would significantly reduce data
collection costs. Therefore, NHTSA has amended the Final Rule to allow
an additional exclusion of rural local roads that are not included in
an MSA.
3. Sampling Selection Requirements
A number of commenters requested clarification on the selection of
observation sites, as provided in Sec. 1340.5(b). (E.g., TX at 2;
Peters & Assoc. at 2; ND DOT at 1.) One commenter asked about the
selection of roads and assignment of weights in order to avoid
oversampling one road type. (GHSA at 2. See also NV DPS at 6.) We
believe that this commenter is seeking clarification of two issues--(1)
how should the road inventory be stratified by functional
classifications for purposes of this selection; and (2) how should the
observations at each observation site be weighted to ensure an accurate
estimation of seat belt use rate. (See also WY HSP at 3, 11; MO DOT at
2; NY TSC at 2.) One commenter stated that if all roads in the State
have an equal probability of being selected, streets and other roads
with relatively low traffic volumes are likely to be overrepresented in
the sample. (NY TSC at 2. See also NJIT at 1-2.)
States are not required to stratify their sampling frame, whether
by road type or by another variable. The only requirement is that the
selection of observation sites be probability-based, i.e., each
observation site should have a known probability of selection. A State
may draw a simple random sample without stratification from the entire
road sampling frame, i.e., from the listing of all road segments within
a county selected in the first stage of sampling. A State also may
stratify the sampling frame in a variety of ways, using such variables
as road classification or VMT, and then draw a probability based sample
of observation sites from each stratum. Although NHTSA believes that
stratifying road inventories by functional classification and selecting
road segments with probability proportional to VMT within these strata
is good practice, there are other valid approaches to forming a
probability sample of observation sites.
Regardless of the method used for selecting observation sites, once
observations are made, the data must be weighted in a manner consistent
with the survey design. One commenter stated that because the State
does not have VMT for all local roads, it would be forced to exclude
these roads from the sampling frame. (LA HSC at 1.) States are not
permitted to exclude systematically all local roads from the sampling
frame. If the State does not have VMT for some or all eligible road
segments in the selected counties, the State must use some other method
for designing and selecting its sample. The survey statistician should
be able to help States select an appropriate method for weighting
observation sites. With this clarification, no change to the rule is
made.
Several commenters requested additional information on the number
of observation sites States need to include in their survey. The WY HSP
asked whether States will be given any guidelines as to the recommended
number of observation sites to be selected based on the number of
counties. (WY HSP at 3.) The MO DOT requested that provisions be added
for States to randomly select a representative group of counties from
those representing 85 percent of the State's fatalities, similar to the
table provided in the appendix to the current criteria. (MO DOT at 1.)
The commenter further requested that the rule specify the required
number of road segments to be sampled in each county. (MO DOT at 2.)
The OR DOT requested a formula for determining the total number of
sampling sites that would be needed. (OR DOT at 1.)
NHTSA does not intend to provide a table or formula specifying the
number of observation sites per county based on the number of road
segments available within that county. One table or formula will not
optimally serve to determine the number of observation sites for all
survey designs. We revised the Uniform Criteria to give States the
flexibility to design a survey in a manner that best meets the specific
environment in each State. States should rely on their survey
statistician to develop a survey design that will meet the Uniform
Criteria and meet the State's needs. The survey statistician can help
the State determine the necessary sample sizes for selection of
counties at the first stage and selection of observation sites (road
segments) within the selected counties. NHTSA is developing a sample of
an acceptable survey design to assist the States' redesign efforts, and
will post the sample survey design on NHTSA's Web site. Accordingly, we
decline to adopt these commenters' suggestion.
4. Substitution and Resecheduling of Observation Sites
Generally, commenters stated that the agency's proposal in Sec.
1340.5(c) regarding protocols when observation sites are not available
was reasonable. (WA TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at 3.) One commenter
suggested that pre-selecting alternate observation sites before the
start of data collection would be more practical. (Peters & Assoc. at
3.) The pre-selection of alternate observation sites is not precluded
under the Uniform Criteria. The alternate observation sites must be in
the same county and the same road classification as the observation
site the State is replacing. Another commenter asked if it would be
acceptable to combine both options--returning to the observation site
on the same day of the week and at the same time of the day and
selecting an alternate observation site--as part of the State's
protocol when an observation site is temporarily unavailable. (TX DOT
at 2.) States may include one or both
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options as part of their protocol in their survey design. With this
clarification, no change to the rule is made.
The commenter stated that requiring the State to return to an
observation site at the same time and day of the week if an observation
site is missed, especially if the observation site is hundreds of miles
away, would increase commuting time and other costs. (IACP at 2. See
also ODU at 3.) As stated in the NPRM, if conditions preclude data
collection at an observation site at the scheduled time and day, States
may elect to return to the observation site at the same time and day or
collect data from preselected alternate observation sites to replace
the observation site that is unavailable. See Sec. 1340.5(c). If
adverse weather precludes data collection, it is likely to affect data
collection at multiple observation sites, especially if observation
sites are cluster sampled. With adverse weather conditions, States
generally should be able to anticipate whether the conditions would
affect data collection before data collectors travel to the observation
sites, and therefore, should be able to plan accordingly to mitigate
commuting time and costs. States are encouraged to consider these
issues and develop a protocol that best fits the conditions in its
State. The agency makes no change to the rule in response to this
comment.
5. Precision
The agency received a number of comments regarding the standard
error in Sec. Sec. 1340.5(d) and 1340.9(g). Some commenters agreed
with the change. (WY HSP at 2-3; WA TSC at 3; IL DOT at 1.) Others
stated that the change in the precision requirement would require a
larger sample size or longer observation times, and this would result
in higher survey costs. (Peters & Assoc. at 1, 3, 5; TX DOT at 2; GHSA
at 2; NV DPS at 7; WV HSP at 2; ND DOT at 1; NH HSA at 1.) One of these
commenters further stated that reducing the standard error by half
would require a four-fold increase in sampling size, and asked whether
it would be possible to get four times the current sample size with the
same observation time. (NV DPS at 7.) This commenter may have
misunderstood the change in the precision requirement--the 1998 Uniform
Criteria specify that the relative error not exceed 5 percent while the
proposed rule specifies that the standard error not exceed 2.5
percentage points. The standard error is an absolute measurement
whereas the relative error measures the standard error as a fraction of
the actual seat belt use estimate. Unlike the relative error, the
standard error will not change regardless of a State's seat belt use
rate estimate. A standard error holds all States to the same standard.
Our review of States' current surveys indicates that most States
will be able to meet the required standard error of 2.5 percentage
points with sample sizes comparable to their current surveys.
Therefore, we believe that most States will not have to add a
significant number of observation sites, and costs will not be
significant. We also believe that any additional costs are outweighed
by the improved quality and reliability of the survey data.
One commenter also stated that the precision calculation is made
after the data are collected, and that an inadequate precision would
require returning to some number or all of the observation sites to
collect additional data, which could significantly increase the costs.
(Peters & Assoc. at 3.) The commenter is correct that the final
precision estimate cannot be made until after the data are collected.
While a State would have to collect additional data if the precision is
above 2.5 percentage points, the State would not have to return to all
the observation sites to collect additional data. We note that at the
survey design stage, the State may use information from its current
survey or a similar survey from another State to estimate the number of
observation sites that may be needed to provide a reasonable assurance
that the precision requirement will be met. Consistent with standard
practice in survey collection, States should select a sufficient number
of observation sites to account for issues that may affect the standard
error. We believe that a survey statistician should be able to help the
State determine the proper sample size for the required precision. The
agency declines to change the rule in response to these comments.
A commenter stated that the change in precision requirement will be
difficult and expensive to achieve on rural roads. (NJIT at 2.)
According to this commenter, fewer interstate and freeway roadways will
be selected for performing data collection, which will lead to more
roads of lower classifications and lower volumes being selected for
observation. Id. The commenter further stated that this will result in
longer time periods for data collection and in some cases require more
than one visit to a location for data collection. Id. The precision
requirement applies to the entire survey--not to individual observation
sites. As stated above, for most States, we do not believe that the
change will substantially affect the number of observation sites that
will be required. Consequently, the periods of data collection should
not substantially change for most States. We note that NHTSA is
revising the proposal to allow States to exclude rural local roads in
counties that are not included in an MSA from the sampling frame, which
will help mitigate the concerns of this commenter. Accordingly, no
further change to the rule is made in response to this comment.
One commenter stated that consistency in training and observation
would be a much better place to invest resources than in reducing
sampling error. (NH HSA at 1.) NHTSA assumes the commenter is asserting
that improved training would reduce survey sampling error. There are
two kinds of errors--measurement errors and sampling errors.
Consistency in training to improve observation skills can reduce
measurement errors, i.e., the accuracy of the observations. However, it
will not reduce sampling error, which is a result of a subset of the
target population is being observed. Consequently, the agency declines
to adopt this commenter's suggestion.
E. Assignment of Observation Times (Sec. 1340.6)
Two commenters expressed support for the proposed observation
times. (WA TSC at 3; Peters & Assoc. at 3.) One commenter stated that
requiring data collection until 6 p.m. could pose difficulties during
late fall and winter, when it gets dark by 5 p.m. (IACP at 1.) In the
NPRM, the agency proposed that data collection must take place during
daylight hours, not all hours, between 7 a.m. and 6 p.m. Accordingly,
States would not be required to collect data at an observation site
during non-daylight hours even if they fall between the hours 7 a.m.
and 6 p.m. No change to the rule is made in response to these comments.
Two commenters stated that requiring random assignment of the day
of the week for observations would increase costs, especially if data
collectors were sent to opposite corners of the State in a 24-hour
period. (IACP at 2; ODU at 3.) While the NPRM proposed random
assignment of the day of the week for observations, it also proposed
allowing States to cluster sample or group observation sites in close
geographic proximity in order to reduce the costs of random assignment
of observation sites. (See also OR DOT at 1.) This would reduce the
need for data collectors to be sent to opposite corners of the State in
a 24-hour period.
These commenters also suggested treating weekdays as equal and
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weekends as equal. (IACP at 2; ODU at 3.) NHTSA does not have data to
support the assumption that there is no seat belt use rate difference
between the days of the week and between Saturday and Sunday. We
believe that allowing States to cluster sample observation sites in
close proximity should sufficiently reduce the operational costs of
random assignment of the day of the week. Therefore, NHTSA declines to
adopt this recommendation.
The NV DPS asked how many observation sites can be grouped together
into geographical clusters. (NV DPS at 7.) NHTSA did not propose to
limit the number of observation sites that can form a cluster. As long
as the State can allocate an appropriate time period for data
collection at each observation site, those observation sites may be
cluster sampled. No change to the rule is made in response to this
comment.
F. Observation Procedures (Sec. 1340.7)
1. Data collection dates. The TX DOT commented that the proposal
did not specify that the surveys should be conducted uniformly after
Click It or Ticket or Memorial Day Monday. (TX DOT at 2.) This
commenter recommended a wider window of survey time, such as May 1
through June 30. Id. In the NPRM, the agency did not propose a change
from the requirement in 1998 Uniform Criteria that all observations
take place during the calendar year, i.e., January 1 to December 31.
Although most States choose to conduct seat belt use surveys after
Click It or Ticket or Memorial Day Monday, States may conduct surveys
anytime during the calendar year. No change to the rule is made in
response to this comment.
2. Roads with two-way traffic. Peters & Assoc. commented that on
low volume two-way streets, limiting an observer to observing one
direction of traffic flow would result in unnecessary additional survey
cost. (Peters & Assoc. at 4.) NHTSA believes that consistent methods
for data collection should be applied at all observation sites,
regardless of the volume of traffic. Moreover, requiring the data
collector to observe traffic in one direction will help reduce
measurement error. Accordingly, the agency declines to change the rule
in response to this comment.
3. Vehicle coverage. The agency received a number of comments
regarding the proposal's vehicle coverage requirements. The commenters
were generally supportive of the proposal, but a few questioned the
inclusion of certain vehicles. Several commenters appeared to
misunderstand the requirements, and some commenters requested
clarification.
One commenter stated that the proposal did not address State seat
belt law exemptions for certain vehicles and recommended that all
vehicles operated on a public roadway should be included in the survey
regardless of a State's exemptions. (LA HSC at 2.) In contrast, two
commenters questioned the inclusion of vehicles that are exempt under
the State's seat belt law because it would not provide an accurate
measure of compliance. (NY TSC at 2; GHSA at 2.) In the NPRM, the
agency stated that all passenger motor vehicles must be included in the
survey, including vehicles that are exempt by the State's seat belt
law. The purpose of the seat belt use rate survey is not to determine
compliance with the State's seat belt law, but rather to estimate the
actual seat belt use of drivers and right front passengers.
Consequently, the agency makes no change to the rule in response to
these comments.
One commenter supported the inclusion of ``passenger vehicles for
commercial use'' in the seat belt use survey. (WY HSP at 2.) Three
commenters requested clarification of the term ``commercial passenger
motor vehicle.'' (OR DOT at 1; TX DOT at 3; GHSA at 2.) Earlier in this
notice, we clarified that passenger motor vehicles include a passenger
car, pickup truck, van, minivan or sports utility vehicle with a GWVR
of less than 10,000 lbs. Data from motor vehicles over 10,000 lbs GWVR
need not be included in this survey. As stated in the preamble of the
NPRM, data must be collected for passenger motor vehicles being used
for commercial purposes. In other words, data from such passenger motor
vehicles as taxis, flower delivery vans, and pizza delivery cars that
are under 10,000 lbs GVWR must be included in the seat belt use survey.
To clarify this point, in Sec. 1340.7(c), the agency has amended the
phrase ``commercial passenger motor vehicles'' to read ``passenger
motor vehicles used for commercial purposes.''
Three commenter