Order Making Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustments to the Fee Rates Applicable Under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 and Sections 13(e), 14(g), 31(b), and 31(c) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, 24757-24769 [2010-10491]

Download as PDF Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: A. Escobar, Office of Disaster Assistance, U.S. Small Business Administration, 409 3rd Street, SW., Suite 6050, Washington, DC 20416. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The notice of the President’s major disaster declaration for Private Non-Profit organizations in the State of West Virginia, dated 03/29/2010, is hereby amended to include the following areas as adversely affected by the disaster. Primary Counties: Greenbrier. All other information in the original declaration remains unchanged. (Catalog of Federal Domestic Assistance Numbers 59002 and 59008) Joseph P. Loddo, Acting Associate Administrator for Disaster Assistance. [FR Doc. 2010–10478 Filed 5–4–10; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 8025–01–P SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION [Disaster Declaration #12144 and #12145] Virginia Disaster #VA–00029 This is a Notice of the Presidential declaration of a major disaster for Public Assistance Only for the Commonwealth of Virginia (FEMA– 1905–DR), dated 04/27/2010. Incident: Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms. Incident Period: 02/05/2010 through 02/11/2010. Effective Date: 04/27/2010. Physical Loan Application Deadline Date: 06/28/2010. Economic Injury (EIDL) Loan Application Deadline Date: 01/27/2011. ADDRESSES: Submit completed loan applications to: U.S. Small Business Administration, Processing and Disbursement Center, 14925 Kingsport Road, Fort Worth, TX 76155. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: A. Escobar, Office of Disaster Assistance, U.S. Small Business Administration, 409 3rd Street, SW., Suite 6050, Washington, DC 20416. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Notice is hereby given that as a result of the President’s major disaster declaration on 04/27/2010, Private Non-Profit organizations that provide essential services of governmental nature may file disaster loan applications at the address listed above or other locally announced locations. sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES SUMMARY: 19:02 May 04, 2010 Percent For Physical Damage: Non-Profit Organizations With Credit Available Elsewhere ..... Non-Profit Organizations Without Credit Available Elsewhere ..... For Economic Injury: Non-Profit Organizations Without Credit Available Elsewhere ..... 3.625 3.000 3.000 The number assigned to this disaster for physical damage is 12144B and for economic injury is 12145B. U.S. Small Business Administration. ACTION: Notice. AGENCY: VerDate Mar<15>2010 The following areas have been determined to be adversely affected by the disaster: Primary Counties: Albemarle, Alexandria City, Appomattox, Arlington, Augusta, Buckingham, Caroline, Clarke, Craig, Culpeper, Essex, Fairfax, Fairfax City, Falls Church City, Fauquier, Fluvanna, Frederick, Fredericksburg City, Greene, Highland, King George, Loudoun, Louisa, Madison, Manassas City, Manassas Park City, Nelson, Orange, Prince William, Rappahannock, Shenandoah, Spotsylvania, Stafford, Tazewell, Warren, Waynesboro City, Winchester City. The Interest Rates are: Jkt 220001 (Catalog of Federal Domestic Assistance Numbers 59002 and 59008) Joseph P. Loddo, Acting Associate Administrator for Disaster Assistance. [FR Doc. 2010–10477 Filed 5–4–10; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 8025–01–P SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release Nos. 33–9122; 34–62005/April 29, 2010] Order Making Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustments to the Fee Rates Applicable Under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 and Sections 13(e), 14(g), 31(b), and 31(c) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 I. Background The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 (‘‘Securities Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees from issuers on the registration of securities.1 Section 13(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (‘‘Exchange Act’’) requires the Commission to collect fees on specified 1 15 PO 00000 U.S.C. 77f(b). Frm 00190 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 24757 repurchases of securities.2 Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect fees on proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control transactions.3 Finally, Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act require national securities exchanges and national securities associations, respectively, to pay fees to the Commission on transactions in specified securities.4 The Investor and Capital Markets Fee Relief Act (‘‘Fee Relief Act’’) 5 amended Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e), 14(g), and 31 of the Exchange Act to require the Commission to make annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under these sections for each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011, and one final adjustment to fix the fee rates under these sections for fiscal year 2012 and beyond.6 II. Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rates Applicable Under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act Section 6(b)(5) of the Securities Act requires the Commission to make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act in each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011.7 In those same fiscal years, Sections 13(e)(5) and 14(g)(5) of the Exchange Act require the Commission to adjust the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) to a rate that is equal to the rate that is applicable under Section 6(b). In other words, the annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also sets the annual adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act. 2 15 U.S.C. 78m(e). U.S.C. 78n(g). 4 15 U.S.C. 78ee(b) and (c). In addition, Section 31(d) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect assessments from national securities exchanges and national securities associations for round turn transactions on security futures. 15 U.S.C. 78ee(d). 5 Public Law No. 107–123, 115 Stat. 2390 (2002). 6 See 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(5), 77f(b)(6), 78m(e)(5), 78m(e)(6), 78n(g)(5), 78n(g)(6), 78ee(j)(1), and 78ee(j)(3). Section 31(j)(2) of the Exchange Act, 15 U.S.C. 78ee(j)(2), also requires the Commission, in specified circumstances, to make a mid-year adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act in fiscal years 2002 through 2011. 7 The annual adjustments are designed to adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the ‘‘target offsetting collection amount’’ specified in Section 6(b)(11)(A) for that fiscal year. 3 15 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 24758 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES Section 6(b)(5) sets forth the method for determining the annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2011. Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 6(b) to a ‘‘rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2011], is reasonably likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that are equal to the target offsetting collection amount for [fiscal year 2011].’’ That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ‘‘target offsetting collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2011 by the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices’’ for fiscal year 2011. Section 6(b)(11)(A) specifies that the ‘‘target offsetting collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2011 is $394,000,000. Section 6(b)(11)(B) defines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2011 as ‘‘the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission during [fiscal year 2011] as determined by the Commission, after consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and Budget * * *.’’ To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price for fiscal year 2011, the Commission is using the same methodology it developed in consultation with the Congressional Budget Office (‘‘CBO’’) and Office of Management and Budget (‘‘OMB’’) to project aggregate offering price for purposes of the fiscal year 2010 annual adjustment. Using this methodology, the Commission determines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2011 to be $3,394,310,932,374.8 Based on this estimate, the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2011 to be $116.10 per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act. 8 Appendix A explains how we determined the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2011 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical process of calculating the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustment based on that estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the Commission in making its ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2011. VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 III. Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rates Applicable Under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act Section 31(b) of the Exchange Act requires each national securities exchange to pay the Commission a fee at a rate, as adjusted by our order pursuant to Section 31(j)(2),9 which currently is $16.90 per million of the aggregate dollar amount of sales of specified securities transacted on the exchange. Similarly, Section 31(c) requires each national securities association to pay the Commission a fee at the same adjusted rate on the aggregate dollar amount of sales of specified securities transacted by or through any member of the association otherwise than on an exchange. Section 31(j)(1) requires the Commission to make annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Sections 31(b) and (c) for each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011.10 Section 31(j)(1) specifies the method for determining the annual adjustment for fiscal year 2011. Specifically, the Commission must adjust the rates under Sections 31(b) and (c) to a ‘‘uniform adjusted rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales for [fiscal year 2011], is reasonably likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 31] (including assessments collected under [Section 31(d)]) that are equal to the target offsetting collection amount for [fiscal year 2011].’’ Section 31(l)(1) specifies that the ‘‘target offsetting collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2011 is $1,321,000,000. Section 31(l)(2) defines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales’’ as ‘‘the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales of securities * * * to be transacted on each national securities exchange and by or through any member of each national securities association (otherwise than on a national securities exchange) during [fiscal year 2011] as determined by the Commission, after consultation with the Congressional 9 Order Making Fiscal 2010 Mid-Year Adjustment to the Fee Rates Applicable Under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rel. No. 34–61605 (March 1, 2010), 75 FR 9964 (March 4, 2010). 10 The annual adjustments, as well as the midyear adjustments required in specified circumstances under Section 31(j)(2) in fiscal years 2002 through 2011, are designed to adjust the fee rates in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate dollar volume of sales for the fiscal year, they are reasonably likely to produce total fee collections under Section 31 equal to the ‘‘target offsetting collection amount’’ specified in Section 31(l)(1) for that fiscal year. PO 00000 Frm 00191 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 Budget Office and the Office of Management and Budget * * *.’’ To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales for fiscal year 2011, the Commission is using the same methodology it developed in consultation with the CBO and OMB to project dollar volume for purposes of prior fee adjustments.11 Using this methodology, the Commission calculates the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales for fiscal year 2011 to be $69,588,660,831,911. Based on this estimate, and an estimated collection of $17,950 in assessments on security futures transactions under Section 31(d) in fiscal year 2011, the uniform adjusted rate for fiscal year 2011 is $19.20 per million.12 IV. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments Section 6(b)(8)(A) of the Securities Act provides that the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act shall take effect on the later of October 1, 2010, or five days after the date on which a regular appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted.13 Sections 13(e)(8)(A) and 14(g)(8)(A) of the Exchange Act provide for the same effective date for the annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.14 Section 31(j)(4)(A) of the Exchange Act provides that the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act shall take effect on the later of October 1, 2010, or 30 days after the date on which a regular appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted. V. Conclusion Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e), 14(g), and 31 of the Exchange Act,15 It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 6(b) of the 11 Appendix B explains how we determined the ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales’’ for fiscal year 2011 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical process of calculating the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustment based on that estimate. The appendix also includes the data used by the Commission in making its ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales’’ for fiscal year 2011. 12 The calculation of the adjusted fee rate assumes that the current fee rate of $16.90 per million will apply through October 31, 2011, due to the operation of the effective date provision contained in Section 31(j)(4)(A) of the Exchange Act. 13 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(8)(A). 14 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(8)(A) and 78n(g)(8)(A). 15 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e), 78n(g), and 78ee(j). E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act shall be $116.10 per million effective on the later of October 1, 2010, or five days after the date on which a regular appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted; and It is further ordered that the fee rates applicable under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act shall be $19.20 per million effective on the later of October 1, 2010, or 30 days after the date on which a regular appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted. By the Commission. Elizabeth M. Murphy, Secretary. Appendix A sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES With the passage of the Investor and Capital Markets Relief Act, Congress has, among other things, established a target amount of monies to be collected from fees charged to issuers based on the value of their registrations. This appendix provides the formula for determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. Congress has mandated that the Commission determine these fees based on the ‘‘aggregate maximum offering prices,’’ which measures the aggregate dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission over the course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum offering prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering prices. For 2011, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum offering prices by VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 projecting forward the trend established in the previous decade. More specifically, an ARIMA model was used to forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for months subsequent to March 2010, the last month for which the Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices. The following sections describe this process in detail. A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for Fiscal Year 2011 First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) for each month in the sample (March 2000–March 2010). Next, calculate the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month. Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of AMOP tends to be followed by a more ‘‘typical’’ value of AMOP. Use the estimated moving average model to forecast the monthly percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of registrations. The following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the procedure: 1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten years, from March 2000 to March 2010. 2. Divide each month’s AMOP (column C) by the number of trading days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP (AAMOP, column D). 3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported in column E. 4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as Dt = log (AAMOPt)—log(AAMOPt–1). This approximates the percentage change. PO 00000 Frm 00192 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 24759 5. Estimate the first order moving average model Dt = a + bet–1 + et, where et denotes the forecast error for month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of Dt. The forecast error is expressed as et = Dt¥a¥bet–1. The model can be estimated using standard commercially available software such as SAS or Eviews. Using least squares, the estimated parameter values are a =¥0.0034456 and b =¥0.78509. 6. For the month of April 2010 forecast Dt = 4/10 = a + bet = 3/10. For all subsequent months, forecast Dt = a. 7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast of log(AAMOP) for June 2010 is given by FLAAMOP t = 6/10 = log(AAMOPt = 3/10) + Dt = 4/10 + Dt = 5/10 + Dt = 6/10. 8. Under the assumption that et is normally distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by exp(FLAAMOPt + sn2/2), where sn denotes the standard error of the nstep ahead forecast. 9. For June 2010, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $13.4 Billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $295.9 Billion (Column J). 10. Iterate this process through September 2011 to obtain a baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for fiscal year 2011 of $3,394,310,932,374. B. Using the Forecasts From A to Calculate the New Fee Rate 1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum offering prices between 10/1/10 and 9/30/11 to be $3,394,310,932,374. 2. The rate necessary to collect the target $394,000,000 in fee revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $394,000,000 ÷ $3,394,310,932,374 = 0.00011608. 3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a rate of 0.0001161 (or $116.10 per million). E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00193 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.007</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES 24760 VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00194 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 24761 EN05MY10.008</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00195 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.009</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES 24762 VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00196 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 24763 EN05MY10.010</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices VerDate Mar<15>2010 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00197 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.011</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES 24764 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES With the passage of the Investor and Capital Markets Relief Act, Congress has, among other things, established a target amount of monies to be collected from fees charged to investors based on the value of their transactions. This appendix provides the formula for determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually, and may adjust semi-annually.16 In order to maximize the likelihood that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee rate must be set to reflect projected dollar transaction volume on the securities exchanges and certain over-the-counter markets over the course of the year. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target amounts of monies to the projected dollar transaction volume. For 2011, the Commission has estimated dollar transaction volume by projecting forward the trend established in the previous decade. More specifically, dollar transaction volume was forecasted for months subsequent to March 2010, the last month for which the Commission has data on transaction volume. The following sections describe this process in detail. A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Dollar Amount of Sales for Fiscal Year 2011 First, calculate the average daily dollar amount of sales (ADS) for each month in the sample (March 2000–March 2010). The 16 Congress requires that the Commission make a mid-year adjustment to the fee rate if four months into the fiscal year it determines that its forecasts of aggregate dollar volume are reasonably likely to be off by 10% or more. VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 monthly aggregate dollar amount of sales (exchange plus certain over-the-counter markets) is presented in column C of Table B. Next, calculate the change in the natural logarithm of ADS from month to month. The average monthly percentage growth of ADS over the entire sample is 0.0025 and the standard deviation is 0.124. Assuming the monthly percentage change in ADS follows a random walk, calculating the expected monthly percentage growth rate for the full sample is straightforward. The expected monthly percentage growth rate of ADS is 1.0%. Now, use the expected monthly percentage growth rate to forecast total dollar volume. For example, one can use the ADS for March 2010 ($241,886,611,540) to forecast ADS for April 2010 ($244,367,079,739 = $241,886,611,540 × 1.010) 17 Multiply by the number of trading days in April 2010 (21) to obtain a forecast of the total dollar volume for the month ($5,131,708,674,527). Repeat the method to generate forecasts for subsequent months. The forecasts for total dollar volume are in column G of Table B. The following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the procedure: 1. Divide each month’s total dollar volume (column C) by the number of trading days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily dollar volume (ADS, column D). 2. For each month t, calculate the change in ADS from the previous month as Dt = log (ADSt/ADSt-1), where log (x) denotes the natural logarithm of x. 17 The value 1.010 has been rounded. All computations are done with the unrounded value. PO 00000 Frm 00198 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 3. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the series {D1, D2, * * * , D120}. These are given by μ = 0.0025 and s = 0.124, respectively. 4. Assume that the natural logarithm of ADS follows a random walk, so that Ds and Dt are statistically independent for any two months s and t. 5. Under the assumption that Dt is normally distributed, the expected value of ADSt/ ADSt–1 is given by exp (μ + s2/2), or on average ADSt = 1.010 × ADSt–1. 6. For April 2010, this gives a forecast ADS of 1.010 × $241,886,611,540 = $244,367,079,739. Multiply this figure by the 21 trading days in April 2010 to obtain a total dollar volume forecast of $5,131,708,674,527. 7. For May 2010, multiply the April 2010 ADS forecast by 1.010 to obtain a forecast ADS of $246,872,984,330. Multiply this figure by the 20 trading days in May 2010 to obtain a total dollar volume forecast of $4,937,459,686,603. 8. Repeat this procedure for subsequent months. B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate 1. Use Table B to estimate fees collected for the period 10/1/10 through 10/31/10. The projected aggregate dollar amount of sales for this period is $5,455,658,813,145. Projected fee collections at the current fee rate of 0.0000161 are $92,200,634. 2. Estimate the amount of assessments on securities futures products collected during 10/1/10 and 9/30/11 to be $17,950 by projecting a 1.0% monthly increase from a base of $1,316 in March 2010. 3. Subtract the amounts $92,200,634 and $17,950 from the target offsetting collection E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.012</MATH> Appendix B 24765 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES amount set by Congress of $1,321,000,000 leaving $1,228,781,416 to be collected on dollar volume for the period 11/1/10 through 9/30/11. VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 4. Use Table B to estimate dollar volume for the period 11/1/10 through 9/30/11. The estimate is $64,133,002,018,766. Finally, compute the fee rate required to produce the additional $1,228,781,416 in revenue. This PO 00000 Frm 00199 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 rate is $1,228,781,416 divided by $64,133,002,018,766 or 0.0000191599. 5. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a rate of .0000192 (or $19.20 per million). E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.013</MATH> 24766 VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00200 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4725 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 24767 EN05MY10.014</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices EN05MY10.016</MATH> Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 PO 00000 Frm 00201 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 9990 E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM 05MYN1 EN05MY10.015</MATH> sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES 24768 Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 86 / Wednesday, May 5, 2010 / Notices A. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Purpose of, and the Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule Change [FR Doc. 2010–10491 Filed 5–4–10; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 8011–01–P SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION [Release No. 34–61989; File No. SR– NYSEAmex-2010–37] Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE Amex LLC; Notice of Filing of Proposed Rule Change Amending Commentary to Rule 915 and Rule 916 April 27, 2010. Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) 1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the ‘‘Act’’) 2 and Rule 19b–4 thereunder,3 notice is hereby given that, on April 8, 2010, NYSE Amex LLC (‘‘NYSE Amex’’ or the ‘‘Exchange’’) filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the ‘‘Commission’’) the proposed rule change as described in Items I, II, and III below, which Items have been prepared by the self-regulatory organization. The Commission is publishing this notice to solicit comments on the proposed rule change from interested persons. I. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Terms of Substance of the Proposed Rule Change The Exchange proposes to amend Commentary .10 to Rule 915 and Commentary .11 to Rule 916 for the purpose of listing and trading options on the shares of the ETFS Palladium Trust and the ETFS Platinum Trust. The text of the proposed rule change is available on the Commission’s Web Site at https://www.sec.gov. A copy of this filing is available on the Exchange’s Web site at https://www.nyse.com, at the Exchange’s principal office and at the Commission’s Public Reference Room. sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES II. Self-Regulatory Organization’s Statement of the Purpose of, and Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule Change In its filing with the Commission, the self-regulatory organization included statements concerning the purpose of, and basis for, the proposed rule change and discussed any comments it received on the proposed rule change. The text of those statements may be examined at the places specified in Item IV below. The Exchange has prepared summaries, set forth in sections A, B, and C below, of the most significant parts of such statements. 1 15 U.S.C. 78s(b)(1). U.S.C. 78a. 3 17 CFR 240.19b–4. 2 15 VerDate Mar<15>2010 19:02 May 04, 2010 Jkt 220001 1. Purpose Recently, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (‘‘SEC’’ or ‘‘Commission’’) authorized the Exchange to list and trade options on the SPDR Gold Trust 4 (‘‘GLD’’) the iShares COMEX Gold Trust (‘‘IAU’’) the iShares Silver Trust (‘‘SLV’’),5 the ETFS Silver Trust (‘‘SIVR’’) and the ETFS Gold Trust (‘‘SGOL’’).6 Now, the Exchange proposes to list and trade options on the ETFS Palladium Trust (‘‘PALL’’) and the ETFS Platinum Trust (‘‘PPLT’’). Currently, Amex Rule 915 deems appropriate for options trading Exchange-Traded Fund Shares (‘‘ETFs’’ or ‘‘Fund Shares’’) that are traded on a national securities exchange and are defined as an ‘‘NMS stock’’ in Rule 600 of Regulation NMS and that represent (i) Interests in registered investment companies (or series thereof) organized as open-end management investment companies, unit investment trusts or similar entities that hold portfolios of securities and/or financial instruments including, but not limited to, stock index futures contracts, options on futures, options on securities and indexes, equity caps, collars and floors, swap agreements, forward contracts, repurchase agreements and reverse purchase agreements (the ‘‘Financial Instruments’’), and money market instruments, including, but not limited to, U.S. government securities and repurchase agreements (the ‘‘Money Market Instruments’’) comprising or otherwise based on or representing investments in indexes or portfolios of securities and/or Financial Instruments and Money Market Instruments (or that hold securities in one or more other registered investment companies that themselves hold such portfolios of securities and/or Financial Instruments and Money Market Instruments); or (ii) interests in a trust or similar entity that holds a specified non-U.S. currency deposited with the trust or similar entity when aggregated in some specified minimum number may be surrendered to the trust by the beneficial owner to receive the specified non-U.S. currency and pays the beneficial owner interest and other distributions on deposited 4 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 57894 (May 30, 2008), 73 FR 32061 (June 5, 2008) (order approving SR–Amex-2008–15). 5 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 59055 (December 4, 2008), 73 FR 238 [sic] (December 10, 2008) (order approving SR–Amex-2008–68). 6 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 61483 (February 3, 2010), 75 FR 6753 (February 10, 2010). PO 00000 Frm 00202 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 24769 non-U.S. currency, if any, declared and paid by the trust; or (iii) commodity pool interests principally engaged, directly or indirectly, in holding and/or managing portfolios or baskets of securities, commodity futures contracts, options on commodity futures contracts, swaps, forward contracts and/or options on physical commodities and/or nonU.S. currency (‘‘Commodity Pool Units’’), or (iv) represents an interest in a registered investment company (‘‘Investment Company’’) organized as an open-end management investment company or similar entity, that invests in a portfolio of securities selected by the Investment Company’s investment adviser consistent with the Investment Company’s investment objectives and policies, which is issued in a specified aggregate minimum number in return for a deposit of a specified portfolio of securities and/or a cash amount with a value equal to the next determined net asset value (‘‘NAV’’), and when aggregated in the same specified minimum number, may be redeemed at a holder’s request, which holder will be paid a specified portfolio of securities and/or cash with a value equal to the next determined NAV (‘‘Managed Fund Share’’).7 In addition, pursuant to Commentary .10 to Rule 915 the Exchange may also list options based on shares of GLD, IAU, SLV, SIVR, and SGOL. This proposed rule change seeks to expand the current exception set forth in Commentary .10 to Rule 915 for Exchange-Traded Fund Shares that may be approved for options trading on the Exchange to include PALL and PPLT. Apart from allowing PALL and PPLT to be underlyings for options traded on the Exchange as described above, the listing standards for Exchange-Traded Fund Shares will remain unchanged from those that apply under current Exchange rules. Exchange-Traded Fund Shares on which options may be listed and traded must still be listed and traded on a national securities exchange and must satisfy the other listing standards set forth in Commentary .06 to Rule 915. Specifically, in addition to satisfying the listing requirements set forth above, Exchange-Traded Fund Shares must meet either (1) the criteria and guidelines under Commentary .01 to Rule 915; or (2) be available for creation or redemption each business day from or through the issuer in cash or in kind at a price related to net asset value, and the issuer must be obligated to issue Exchange-Traded Fund Shares in a specified aggregate number even if some or all of the investment assets required to be deposited have not been 7 See E:\FR\FM\05MYN1.SGM Commentary .06 to Rule 915. 05MYN1

Agencies

[Federal Register Volume 75, Number 86 (Wednesday, May 5, 2010)]
[Notices]
[Pages 24757-24769]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2010-10491]


=======================================================================
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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release Nos. 33-9122; 34-62005/April 29, 2010]


Order Making Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustments to the Fee Rates 
Applicable Under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 and 
Sections 13(e), 14(g), 31(b), and 31(c) of the Securities Exchange Act 
of 1934

I. Background

    The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the 
securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 
(``Securities Act'') requires the Commission to collect fees from 
issuers on the registration of securities.\1\ Section 13(e) of the 
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (``Exchange Act'') requires the 
Commission to collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.\2\ 
Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect 
fees on proxy solicitations and statements in corporate control 
transactions.\3\ Finally, Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act 
require national securities exchanges and national securities 
associations, respectively, to pay fees to the Commission on 
transactions in specified securities.\4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b).
    \2\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e).
    \3\ 15 U.S.C. 78n(g).
    \4\ 15 U.S.C. 78ee(b) and (c). In addition, Section 31(d) of the 
Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect assessments from 
national securities exchanges and national securities associations 
for round turn transactions on security futures. 15 U.S.C. 78ee(d).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Investor and Capital Markets Fee Relief Act (``Fee Relief 
Act'') \5\ amended Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 
13(e), 14(g), and 31 of the Exchange Act to require the Commission to 
make annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under these 
sections for each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011, and one final 
adjustment to fix the fee rates under these sections for fiscal year 
2012 and beyond.\6\
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    \5\ Public Law No. 107-123, 115 Stat. 2390 (2002).
    \6\ See 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(5), 77f(b)(6), 78m(e)(5), 78m(e)(6), 
78n(g)(5), 78n(g)(6), 78ee(j)(1), and 78ee(j)(3). Section 31(j)(2) 
of the Exchange Act, 15 U.S.C. 78ee(j)(2), also requires the 
Commission, in specified circumstances, to make a mid-year 
adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the 
Exchange Act in fiscal years 2002 through 2011.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

II. Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rates Applicable 
Under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) 
of the Exchange Act

    Section 6(b)(5) of the Securities Act requires the Commission to 
make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 6(b) 
of the Securities Act in each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011.\7\ 
In those same fiscal years, Sections 13(e)(5) and 14(g)(5) of the 
Exchange Act require the Commission to adjust the fee rates under 
Sections 13(e) and 14(g) to a rate that is equal to the rate that is 
applicable under Section 6(b). In other words, the annual adjustment to 
the fee rate under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also sets the 
annual adjustment to the fee rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of 
the Exchange Act.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ The annual adjustments are designed to adjust the fee rate 
in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate 
maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be 
offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely to produce 
total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the ``target 
offsetting collection amount'' specified in Section 6(b)(11)(A) for 
that fiscal year.

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[[Page 24758]]

    Section 6(b)(5) sets forth the method for determining the annual 
adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2011. 
Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 
6(b) to a ``rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2011], is reasonably 
likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that 
are equal to the target offsetting collection amount for [fiscal year 
2011].'' That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the 
``target offsetting collection amount'' for fiscal year 2011 by the 
``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices'' for 
fiscal year 2011.
    Section 6(b)(11)(A) specifies that the ``target offsetting 
collection amount'' for fiscal year 2011 is $394,000,000. Section 
6(b)(11)(B) defines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum 
offering price'' for fiscal year 2011 as ``the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be 
offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission 
during [fiscal year 2011] as determined by the Commission, after 
consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of 
Management and Budget * * *.''
    To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price for fiscal year 2011, the Commission is using the same 
methodology it developed in consultation with the Congressional Budget 
Office (``CBO'') and Office of Management and Budget (``OMB'') to 
project aggregate offering price for purposes of the fiscal year 2010 
annual adjustment. Using this methodology, the Commission determines 
the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for 
fiscal year 2011 to be $3,394,310,932,374.\8\ Based on this estimate, 
the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2011 to be $116.10 
per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of the 
Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange 
Act.
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    \8\ Appendix A explains how we determined the ``baseline 
estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 
2011 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical 
process of calculating the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustment based 
on that estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the 
Commission in making its ``baseline estimate of the aggregate 
maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 2011.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

III. Fiscal Year 2011 Annual Adjustment to the Fee Rates Applicable 
Under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act

    Section 31(b) of the Exchange Act requires each national securities 
exchange to pay the Commission a fee at a rate, as adjusted by our 
order pursuant to Section 31(j)(2),\9\ which currently is $16.90 per 
million of the aggregate dollar amount of sales of specified securities 
transacted on the exchange. Similarly, Section 31(c) requires each 
national securities association to pay the Commission a fee at the same 
adjusted rate on the aggregate dollar amount of sales of specified 
securities transacted by or through any member of the association 
otherwise than on an exchange. Section 31(j)(1) requires the Commission 
to make annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Sections 
31(b) and (c) for each of the fiscal years 2003 through 2011.\10\
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    \9\ Order Making Fiscal 2010 Mid-Year Adjustment to the Fee 
Rates Applicable Under Sections 31(b) and (c) of the Securities 
Exchange Act of 1934, Rel. No. 34-61605 (March 1, 2010), 75 FR 9964 
(March 4, 2010).
    \10\ The annual adjustments, as well as the mid-year adjustments 
required in specified circumstances under Section 31(j)(2) in fiscal 
years 2002 through 2011, are designed to adjust the fee rates in a 
given fiscal year so that, when applied to the aggregate dollar 
volume of sales for the fiscal year, they are reasonably likely to 
produce total fee collections under Section 31 equal to the ``target 
offsetting collection amount'' specified in Section 31(l)(1) for 
that fiscal year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 31(j)(1) specifies the method for determining the annual 
adjustment for fiscal year 2011. Specifically, the Commission must 
adjust the rates under Sections 31(b) and (c) to a ``uniform adjusted 
rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the aggregate 
dollar amount of sales for [fiscal year 2011], is reasonably likely to 
produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 31] (including 
assessments collected under [Section 31(d)]) that are equal to the 
target offsetting collection amount for [fiscal year 2011].''
    Section 31(l)(1) specifies that the ``target offsetting collection 
amount'' for fiscal year 2011 is $1,321,000,000. Section 31(l)(2) 
defines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of 
sales'' as ``the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of 
sales of securities * * * to be transacted on each national securities 
exchange and by or through any member of each national securities 
association (otherwise than on a national securities exchange) during 
[fiscal year 2011] as determined by the Commission, after consultation 
with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of Management and 
Budget * * *.''
    To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of 
sales for fiscal year 2011, the Commission is using the same 
methodology it developed in consultation with the CBO and OMB to 
project dollar volume for purposes of prior fee adjustments.\11\ Using 
this methodology, the Commission calculates the baseline estimate of 
the aggregate dollar amount of sales for fiscal year 2011 to be 
$69,588,660,831,911. Based on this estimate, and an estimated 
collection of $17,950 in assessments on security futures transactions 
under Section 31(d) in fiscal year 2011, the uniform adjusted rate for 
fiscal year 2011 is $19.20 per million.\12\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ Appendix B explains how we determined the ``baseline 
estimate of the aggregate dollar amount of sales'' for fiscal year 
2011 using our methodology, and then shows the purely arithmetical 
process of calculating the fiscal year 2011 annual adjustment based 
on that estimate. The appendix also includes the data used by the 
Commission in making its ``baseline estimate of the aggregate dollar 
amount of sales'' for fiscal year 2011.
    \12\ The calculation of the adjusted fee rate assumes that the 
current fee rate of $16.90 per million will apply through October 
31, 2011, due to the operation of the effective date provision 
contained in Section 31(j)(4)(A) of the Exchange Act.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

IV. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments

    Section 6(b)(8)(A) of the Securities Act provides that the fiscal 
year 2011 annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 
6(b) of the Securities Act shall take effect on the later of October 1, 
2010, or five days after the date on which a regular appropriation to 
the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted.\13\ Sections 
13(e)(8)(A) and 14(g)(8)(A) of the Exchange Act provide for the same 
effective date for the annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable 
under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.\14\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(8)(A).
    \14\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(8)(A) and 78n(g)(8)(A).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 31(j)(4)(A) of the Exchange Act provides that the fiscal 
year 2011 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable under Sections 
31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act shall take effect on the later of 
October 1, 2010, or 30 days after the date on which a regular 
appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted.

V. Conclusion

    Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and 
Sections 13(e), 14(g), and 31 of the Exchange Act,\15\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \15\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e), 78n(g), and 78ee(j).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 
6(b) of the

[[Page 24759]]

Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act shall 
be $116.10 per million effective on the later of October 1, 2010, or 
five days after the date on which a regular appropriation to the 
Commission for fiscal year 2011 is enacted; and
    It is further ordered that the fee rates applicable under Sections 
31(b) and (c) of the Exchange Act shall be $19.20 per million effective 
on the later of October 1, 2010, or 30 days after the date on which a 
regular appropriation to the Commission for fiscal year 2011 is 
enacted.

    By the Commission.
Elizabeth M. Murphy,
Secretary.

Appendix A

    With the passage of the Investor and Capital Markets Relief Act, 
Congress has, among other things, established a target amount of 
monies to be collected from fees charged to issuers based on the 
value of their registrations. This appendix provides the formula for 
determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. 
Congress has mandated that the Commission determine these fees based 
on the ``aggregate maximum offering prices,'' which measures the 
aggregate dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission 
over the course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood 
that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, 
the fee rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum 
offering prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of 
the target amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum 
offering prices.
    For 2011, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum 
offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the 
previous decade. More specifically, an ARIMA model was used to 
forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
months subsequent to March 2010, the last month for which the 
Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices.
    The following sections describe this process in detail.

A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices for 
Fiscal Year 2011

    First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) 
for each month in the sample (March 2000-March 2010). Next, 
calculate the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month.
    Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order 
moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to 
model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of 
AMOP tends to be followed by a more ``typical'' value of AMOP.
    Use the estimated moving average model to forecast the monthly 
percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to 
obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of registrations. The 
following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the 
procedure:
    1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten 
years, from March 2000 to March 2010.
    2. Divide each month's AMOP (column C) by the number of trading 
days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP 
(AAMOP, column D).
    3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported 
in column E.
    4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as 
[Delta]t = log (AAMOPt)--
log(AAMOPt-1). This approximates the percentage change.
    5. Estimate the first order moving average model 
[Delta]t = [alpha] + [beta]et-1 + 
et, where et denotes the forecast error for 
month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the 
one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of 
[Delta]t. The forecast error is expressed as 
et = [Delta]t-[alpha]-[beta]et-1. 
The model can be estimated using standard commercially available 
software such as SAS or Eviews. Using least squares, the estimated 
parameter values are [alpha] =-0.0034456 and [beta] =-0.78509.
    6. For the month of April 2010 forecast 
[Delta]t = 4/10 = [alpha] + [beta]et = 3/10. 
For all subsequent months, forecast [Delta]t = [alpha].
    7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast 
of log(AAMOP) for June 2010 is given by FLAAMOP t = 6/10 
= log(AAMOPt = 3/10) + [Delta]t = 4/10 + 
[Delta]t = 5/10 + [Delta]t = 6/10.
    8. Under the assumption that et is normally 
distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by 
exp(FLAAMOPt + [sigma]n\2\/2), where 
[sigma]n denotes the standard error of the n-step ahead 
forecast.
    9. For June 2010, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $13.4 Billion 
(Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $295.9 Billion (Column J).
    10. Iterate this process through September 2011 to obtain a 
baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
fiscal year 2011 of $3,394,310,932,374.

B. Using the Forecasts From A to Calculate the New Fee Rate

    1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum 
offering prices between 10/1/10 and 9/30/11 to be 
$3,394,310,932,374.
    2. The rate necessary to collect the target $394,000,000 in fee 
revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $394,000,000 / 
$3,394,310,932,374 = 0.00011608.
    3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a 
rate of 0.0001161 (or $116.10 per million).

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Appendix B

    With the passage of the Investor and Capital Markets Relief Act, 
Congress has, among other things, established a target amount of 
monies to be collected from fees charged to investors based on the 
value of their transactions. This appendix provides the formula for 
determining such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually, and 
may adjust semi-annually.\16\ In order to maximize the likelihood 
that the amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, 
the fee rate must be set to reflect projected dollar transaction 
volume on the securities exchanges and certain over-the-counter 
markets over the course of the year. As a percentage, the fee rate 
equals the ratio of the target amounts of monies to the projected 
dollar transaction volume.
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    \16\ Congress requires that the Commission make a mid-year 
adjustment to the fee rate if four months into the fiscal year it 
determines that its forecasts of aggregate dollar volume are 
reasonably likely to be off by 10% or more.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For 2011, the Commission has estimated dollar transaction volume 
by projecting forward the trend established in the previous decade. 
More specifically, dollar transaction volume was forecasted for 
months subsequent to March 2010, the last month for which the 
Commission has data on transaction volume.
    The following sections describe this process in detail.

A. Baseline Estimate of the Aggregate Dollar Amount of Sales for Fiscal 
Year 2011

    First, calculate the average daily dollar amount of sales (ADS) 
for each month in the sample (March 2000-March 2010). The monthly 
aggregate dollar amount of sales (exchange plus certain over-the-
counter markets) is presented in column C of Table B.
    Next, calculate the change in the natural logarithm of ADS from 
month to month. The average monthly percentage growth of ADS over 
the entire sample is 0.0025 and the standard deviation is 0.124. 
Assuming the monthly percentage change in ADS follows a random walk, 
calculating the expected monthly percentage growth rate for the full 
sample is straightforward. The expected monthly percentage growth 
rate of ADS is 1.0%.
    Now, use the expected monthly percentage growth rate to forecast 
total dollar volume. For example, one can use the ADS for March 2010 
($241,886,611,540) to forecast ADS for April 2010 ($244,367,079,739 
= $241,886,611,540 x 1.010) \17\ Multiply by the number of trading 
days in April 2010 (21) to obtain a forecast of the total dollar 
volume for the month ($5,131,708,674,527). Repeat the method to 
generate forecasts for subsequent months.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \17\ The value 1.010 has been rounded. All computations are done 
with the unrounded value.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The forecasts for total dollar volume are in column G of Table 
B. The following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the 
procedure:
    1. Divide each month's total dollar volume (column C) by the 
number of trading days in that month (column B) to obtain the 
average daily dollar volume (ADS, column D).
    2. For each month t, calculate the change in ADS from the 
previous month as [Delta]t = log (ADSt/
ADSt-1), where log (x) denotes the natural logarithm of 
x.
    3. Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the series 
{[Delta]1, [Delta]2, * * * , 
[Delta]120{time} . These are given by [mu] = 0.0025 and 
[sigma] = 0.124, respectively.
    4. Assume that the natural logarithm of ADS follows a random 
walk, so that [Delta]s and [Delta]t are 
statistically independent for any two months s and t.
    5. Under the assumption that [Delta]t is normally 
distributed, the expected value of ADSt/ADSt-1 
is given by exp ([mu] + [sigma]\2\/2), or on average ADSt 
= 1.010 x ADSt-1.
    6. For April 2010, this gives a forecast ADS of 1.010 x 
$241,886,611,540 = $244,367,079,739. Multiply this figure by the 21 
trading days in April 2010 to obtain a total dollar volume forecast 
of $5,131,708,674,527.
    7. For May 2010, multiply the April 2010 ADS forecast by 1.010 
to obtain a forecast ADS of $246,872,984,330. Multiply this figure 
by the 20 trading days in May 2010 to obtain a total dollar volume 
forecast of $4,937,459,686,603.
    8. Repeat this procedure for subsequent months.

B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate

    1. Use Table B to estimate fees collected for the period 10/1/10 
through 10/31/10. The projected aggregate dollar amount of sales for 
this period is $5,455,658,813,145. Projected fee collections at the 
current fee rate of 0.0000161 are $92,200,634.
    2. Estimate the amount of assessments on securities futures 
products collected during 10/1/10 and 9/30/11 to be $17,950 by 
projecting a 1.0% monthly increase from a base of $1,316 in March 
2010.
    3. Subtract the amounts $92,200,634 and $17,950 from the target 
offsetting collection

[[Page 24766]]

amount set by Congress of $1,321,000,000 leaving $1,228,781,416 to 
be collected on dollar volume for the period 11/1/10 through 9/30/
11.
    4. Use Table B to estimate dollar volume for the period 11/1/10 
through 9/30/11. The estimate is $64,133,002,018,766. Finally, 
compute the fee rate required to produce the additional 
$1,228,781,416 in revenue. This rate is $1,228,781,416 divided by 
$64,133,002,018,766 or 0.0000191599.
    5. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a 
rate of .0000192 (or $19.20 per million).
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[FR Doc. 2010-10491 Filed 5-4-10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8011-01-P
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