Final Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2009 for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program, 56638-56698 [E8-22793]
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56638
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 189 / Monday, September 29, 2008 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR–5223–N–02]
Final Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year
2009 for the Housing Choice Voucher
Program and Moderate Rehabilitation
Single Room Occupancy Program
Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice.
jlentini on PROD1PC65 with NOTICES2
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: Section 8(c)(1) of the United
States Housing Act of 1937 (USHA)
requires the Secretary to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less than annually,
adjusted to be effective on October 1 of
each year. The primary uses of FMRs are
to determine payment standard amounts
for the Housing Choice Voucher
program, to determine initial renewal
rents for some expiring project-based
Section 8 contracts, to determine initial
rents for housing assistance payment
(HAP) contracts in the Moderate
Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy
program (Mod Rehab), and to serve as a
rent ceiling in the HOME rental
assistance program. Today’s notice
provides final FY2009 FMRs for all
areas that reflect the estimated 40th and
50th percentile rent levels trended to
April 1, 2009. The FY2009 FMRs are
based on 2000 Census data updated
with more current survey data. For
FY2009, FY2008 FMRs are updated
using 2006 American Community
Survey (ACS) data, and more recent
Consumer Price Index (CPI) rent and
utility indexes. HUD continues to use
ACS data in different ways according to
how many two-bedroom standardquality and recent-mover sample cases
are available in the FMR area or its
Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA).
Revised 2006 FMRs based on Census
and ACS data have been updated with
CPI data through the end of 2007 and
then trended to April 2009, the midpoint of FY2009.
DATES: Effective Date: The FMRs
published in this notice are effective on
October 1, 2008.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or
a listing of all FMRs, please call the
HUD USER information line at 800–
245–2691 or access the information at
the following link on the HUD Web site:
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/
fmr.html. FMRs are listed at the 40th or
50th percentile in Schedule B. An
asterisk before the FMR area name
identifies a 50th percentile area.
Any questions related to use of FMRs
or voucher payment standards should
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be directed to the respective local HUD
program staff. Questions on how to
conduct FMR surveys or further
methodological explanations may be
addressed to Marie L. Lihn or Lynn A.
Rodgers, Economic and Market Analysis
Division, Office of Economic Affairs,
Office of Policy Development and
Research, telephone number 202–708–
0590. Persons with hearing or speech
impairments may access this number
through TTY by calling the toll-free
Federal Information Relay Service at
800–877–8339. (Other than the HUD
USER information line and TTY
numbers, telephone numbers are not
toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C.
1437f) authorizes housing assistance to
aid lower-income families in renting
safe and decent housing. Housing
assistance payments are limited by
FMRs established by HUD for different
areas. In the Housing Choice Voucher
program, the FMR is the basis for
determining the ‘‘payment standard
amount’’ used to calculate the
maximum monthly subsidy for an
assisted family (see 24 CFR 982.503). In
general, the FMR for an area is the
amount that would be needed to pay the
gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) of
privately owned, decent, and safe rental
housing of a modest (non-luxury) nature
with suitable amenities. In addition, all
rents subsidized under the Housing
Choice Voucher program must meet
reasonable rent standards. The interim
rule published on October 2, 2000, (65
FR 58870), established 50th percentile
FMRs for certain areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This
Federal Register notice is available
electronically from the HUD Web site at
https://www.hudclips.org. Federal
Register notices also are available
electronically from the U.S. Government
Printing Office Web site, https://
www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/.
Complete documentation of the
methodology and data used to compute
each area’s Final FY2009 FMRs is
available at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr09.
II. Procedures for the Development of
FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the
Secretary of HUD to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less frequently
than annually. Section 8(c) states in
part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area
shall be published in the Federal Register
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with reasonable time for public comment and
shall become effective upon the date of
publication in final form in the Federal
Register. Each fair market rental in effect
under this subsection shall be adjusted to be
effective on October 1 of each year to reflect
changes—based on the most recent available
data trended so the rentals will be current for
the year to which they apply—of rents for
existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and
types in this section.
The Department’s regulations at 24
CFR part 888 provide that HUD will
develop proposed FMRs, publish them
for public comment, provide a public
comment period of at least 30 days,
analyze the comments, and publish final
FMRs (See 24 CFR 888.115).
In addition, HUD’s regulations at 24
CFR 888.113 set out procedures for HUD
to assess whether areas are eligible for
FMRs at the 50th percentile. For
FY2009, no new areas became eligible
for 50th percentile rents. Current areas
are evaluated for progress in
deconcentration every three years after
becoming 50th percentile areas.
Continued eligibility is determined
based on HUD administrative data that
show levels of poverty concentration.
The levels of poverty concentration
must be above 25 percent and show a
decrease in concentration since the last
evaluation. At least 85 percent of the
voucher units in the area must be used
to make this determination. Twenty-four
of the current 28 50th percentile FMR
areas had been in the program for a
three-year period and were reviewed to
determine if deconcentration had
occurred. A list of these 24 areas is
shown below.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas
Reviewed for Eligibility as FY2009 50th
Percentile FMR Areas
Albuquerque, NM MSA
Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA
Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA
Denver-Aurora, CO MSA
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI HMFA
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford,
CT HMFA
Honolulu, HI MSA
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX
HMFA
Kansas City, MO-KS, HMFA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI
MSA
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA
Orange County, CA HMFA
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA
Providence-Fall River, RI-MA HMFA
Richmond, VA HMFA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
MSA
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Tacoma, WA HMFA
Tucson, AZ MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News,
VA-NC MSA
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DCVA-MD HMFA
Fourteen of the 24 current 50th
percentile areas eligible for review
failed to qualify for the 50th percentile
FMR program for FY2009. Two of these
areas, as shown below, no longer qualify
for the 50th-percentile FMR program
because they no longer meet the poverty
concentration standards set out in the
50th percentile FMR program, at 24 CFR
888.113. Based on current tenant data,
less than 25 percent of the tenant-based
rental program participants reside in the
5 percent of census tracts in the
metropolitan areas with the largest
number of program participants. These
areas will be reviewed annually to see
if this concentration changes to above
25 percent so they can be reinstated as
50th percentile areas. These two areas
could re-qualify as 50th percentile FMR
areas as early as the FY2010 FMRs.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not
Eligible for FY2009 50th Percentile
FMRs Because Voucher Tenant
Concentrations Have Fallen Below the
Eligibility Threshold
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Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI HMFA
Providence-Fall River, RI-MA HMFA
Three additional areas initially did
not meet the minimum reporting criteria
of 85 percent of resident records. Based
on comments, additional data submitted
by these areas was found in a separate
database, and subsequent examination
of all data found reporting levels above
85 percent. However all three areas also
showed a failure to deconcentrate over
the three-year period when they were
using 50th percentile FMRs. These areas
will lose their 50th percentile FMRs for
FY2009 but will be eligible for reevaluation and possible re-instatement
of 50th percentile FMRs in FY2010.
These areas are not being removed from
consideration for the 50th percentile
FMR program for a period of three years,
for failing the test of deconcentration,
because they were not notified of this
failure in time for them to provide
comments, and it was an error by HUD
that led to this failure. These areas are
listed below:
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not
Eligible for FY2009 50th Percentile
FMRs Because Proposed FY2009 FMR
Publication Found Low Reporting Rates
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC–
VA–MD HMFA
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA
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As notified in the publication of
proposed FY2009 FMRs, the table below
shows nine areas that failed to
deconcentrate over the 3-year period.
Deconcentration of tenants is the
primary objective of the 50th percentile
program and failure to make any
progress to deconcentrate tenants over a
3-year period disqualifies an otherwise
eligible area for 3 years. These areas are
not eligible for participation in the 50th
percentile FMR program until FY2012.
They will be reviewed in time for the
proposed FY2012 FMRs to determine if
they can meet 50th percentile FMR
criteria.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not
Eligible for FY2009 50th Percentile
FMRs for Failure To Deconcentrate
Voucher Tenants
Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA
Honolulu, HI MSA
Orange County, CA HMFA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News,
VA–NC MSA
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA
Tucson, AZ MSA
Ten of the 24 areas reviewed will
continue to use 50th percentile FMRs
for another three-year period. These ten
areas will not be re-evaluated until
FY2012.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas
Evaluated and Continuing with 50th
Percentile FMRs in FY2009
Albuquerque, NM MSA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford,
CT HMFA
Kansas City, MO–KS HMFA
Richmond, VA HMFA
Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA
Denver-Aurora, CO MSA
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX
HMFA
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI
MSA
Tacoma, WA HMFA
In addition to these 10 areas, 4 current
50th percentile FMR areas were not
evaluated this year because they have
not completed 3 years of program
participation, so there are 14 areas that
will have 50th percentile FMRs in
FY2009. These four areas, listed below,
will complete their 3-year program
period and be evaluated to determine if
they remain 50th percentile FMR areas
in the proposed FY2010 FMR
publication.
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FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not
Slated for Eligibility Evaluation and
Continuing with 50th Percentile FMRs
in FY2009
Dallas, TX HMFA
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA
MSA
Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL HMFA
III. Proposed FY2009 FMRs
On June 12, 2008 (73 FR 33530), HUD
published proposed FY2009 FMRs. As
noted in the preamble to the proposed
FMRs, the FMRs for FY2009 reflect the
use of the 2006 ACS data to update 2005
rent estimates for metropolitan areas. In
addition, the FY2009 FMRs include all
changes made to metropolitan area
definitions made by the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB), as of
November 2007.
During the comment period, which
ended August 1, 2008, HUD received 26
public comments on the proposed
FY2009 FMRs. None of the comments
received included the data needed to
support FMR changes. Several of the
comments expressed concern over
recent utility increases and the failure of
the FY2009 FMRs to take into account
these increases. There were also
comments received on the loss of 50th
percentile FMRs resulting from low
reporting rates. The comments received
are discussed in more detail later in this
notice.
IV. FMR Methodology
The FY2009 FMRs are based on
current OMB metropolitan area
definitions that were first used in the
FY2006 FMRs. The changes OMB made
to the Metropolitan Area Definitions in
November 2007 are incorporated. This
means that there are six Metropolitan
Statistical Area (MSA) name changes
that reorder, add, or delete a primary
city name.1 The area definitions based
on 2000 Census data have the
advantages of providing more relevant
commuting interchange standards and
more current measures of housing
market relationships than those based
on 1990 Census data and used prior to
the FY2006 FMRs.
At HUD’s request, the Census Bureau
prepared a special publicly releasable
census file that permits almost exact
replication of HUD’s 2000 Base Rent
calculations, except for areas with few
rental units. This data set is located on
HUD’s HUD USER Web site at https://
1 The change from Sarasota-Brandenton-Venice,
FL MSA to Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA
includes a change in the primary city name and a
change in the metropolitan code from 42260 to
14600.
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www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/
CensusRentData/.
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A. Data Sources—2000 Census and
American Community Survey
FY2009 FMRs are based on changes in
rents measured by differences in ACS
data collected in 2005 and 2006 and
updated with CPI data. For FY2008
FMRs, HUD developed 2005 rent
estimates based on updating 2000
Census gross rent data with more
current survey data from the Census
Bureau’s 2005 ACS, the first full year of
implementation for the ACS. FY2009
FMRs use data from the 2006 ACS to
update these 2005 rent estimates. While
the Census Bureau intends for the ACS
to replace the Decennial Census sample
‘‘long form’’ for collecting detailed
socioeconomic data, the ACS has
several important distinctions from the
decennial long form. These include:
• The ACS is conducted on a
continuous ‘‘rolling’’ basis throughout
the year, so survey responses do not
correspond to a particular date, whereas
the long form responses were as of the
Census date of April 1. This has
implications for the ‘‘as-of’’ date
assumed for ACS-based rents. The ‘‘asof’’ date for ACS-based rents is set at
June 30 of the ACS year.
• The ACS has an initial sample size
(before non-response attrition) of about
one-fifth that of the decennial long form,
which surveyed approximately one out
of every six households. This means
that an adequate sample size for oneyear ACS data will be available only for
very large population geographic areas,
and that data for smaller areas will be
accumulated over 3 or 5 years to form
the basis of decennial long-formequivalent estimates.
As detailed in the notices announcing
the proposed and final FY2008 FMRs,
HUD replaced the accumulated 2001
through 2005 FMR update factors from
various sources with 2005 ACS data.
The preamble for the final FY2008 FMR
Notice (72 FR 55940) provides a
description of how the 2005 ACS data,
and in some cases Random Digit Dialing
surveys (RDDs) conducted in 2001
through 2005, were used in the FY2008
FMRs. Further details regarding the
calculation of FY2008 FMRs are
available using HUD’s online Final
FY2008 Documentation System,
available at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr08.
B. Updates From 2005 to 2006
State or local 2006 ACS data are used
to update a June 2005-calculated gross
rent from the FY2008 FMRs to June
2006. The same categories of use,
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depending upon the sizes of the
available rental unit samples in the FMR
areas, were applied to the 2006 ACS
data as had been applied to the 2005
data. There are two exceptions to the
similarity of processing 2005 ACS data
and 2006 ACS data. First, the update
factor reflecting changes in rents for the
parts of the state not included in FMR
areas covered by local ACS data was
discontinued for two reasons: (1) The
variance in rent change between 2005
and 2006 for these areas was much
larger than that for full states and it was
not clear whether these changes
reflected differences in markets or area
composition, or if they reflected survey
anomalies; and (2) basing an underlying
geography on factors that change
annually (such as the identity of FMR
areas covered by local ACS data) and
which cannot be determined until the
survey data have been processed
presents a complexity that could not be
resolved in a manner that allowed for
timely delivery of data. Consequently,
for FY2009, all state-based update
factors are calculated for the entire state.
Second, HUD-defined ‘‘HMFAs’’ in
metropolitan areas (CBSAs) where no
subarea uses the CBSA gross rent as the
basis of its FMR, are no longer tested to
determine which update factor, the state
or the CBSA, brings the subarea closer
to the CBSA. The state update factor is
now used for these cases. This change
was made because review of the data
and discussions with field economists
indicated that forcing these subareas
toward CBSA-area values moved the
rent in the wrong direction.
C. Updates From 2006 to 2007
The 2006 ACS data brought the 2005
data used in the FY2008 FMRs forward
by 12 months to June 2006. The CPI is
used to update the June 2006 FMRs to
the end of 2007. Local CPI data are used
for FMR areas with at least 75 percent
of their population within Class A
metropolitan areas covered by local CPI
data. Census region CPI data are used
for FMR areas in Class B and C size
metropolitan areas and nonmetropolitan
areas without local CPI update factors.
D. Updates From 2007 to 2009
The national 1990 to 2000 average
annual rent increase trend of 3 percent
(1.03) is applied to end-of-2007 rents for
1.25 years, to derive the final FY2009
FMRs.
E. Additional Rent Surveys and Other
Data
In early 2008, surveys were conducted
in several areas of Wyoming, Colorado,
Utah, and Texas where, as a result of
increased oil and gas drilling activity,
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housing agencies have experienced
significant rental housing market
pressure. Most of these areas have
experienced several years of problems
managing the voucher program. These
surveys show that rents in these areas
are higher than previously estimated.
All of these surveys met HUD standards
for statistical significance (i.e., the
survey result trended to April 2008 was
statistically different from the April
2008 FY2008 FMRs at a 95 percent level
of confidence). These RDD survey
results became effective in FY2008 with
the publication of the proposed FY2009
FMRs.
Three additional RDD surveys are
underway. HUD is currently conducting
surveys in New Orleans, Hattiesburg,
MS and Pearl River County, MS in its
ongoing effort to monitor rental housing
markets in Katrina and Rita affected
areas because of HUD’s concern about
FMR accuracy in these fluid housing
markets and at the request of local
PHAs. Results from these surveys will
be published as soon as they are
available.
The area-specific data and
computations used to calculate
proposed FY2009 FMRs and FMR area
definitions can be found at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr09.
F. Large Bedroom Rents
FMR estimates are calculated for twobedroom units. This generally is the
most common size of rental units, and
therefore the most reliable to survey and
analyze. After each decennial census,
rent relationships between two-bedroom
units and other unit sizes are calculated
and used to set FMRs for other units.
This is done because it is much easier
to update two-bedroom estimates and to
use pre-established cost relationships
with other bedroom sizes than it is to
develop independent FMR estimates for
each bedroom size. This was last done
using 2000 Census data. A publicly
releasable version of the data file used
that permits derivations of rent ratios is
available at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/
index.html. Rent ratio derivations are
also shown in the FMR documentation
system at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr09.
The rents for three-bedroom and
larger units continue to reflect HUD’s
policy to set higher rents for these units
than would result from using normal
market rents. This adjustment is
intended to increase the likelihood that
the largest families, who have the most
difficulty in leasing units, will be
successful in finding eligible program
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units. The adjustment adds bonuses of
8.7 percent to the unadjusted threebedroom FMR estimates and adds 7.7
percent to the unadjusted four-bedroom
FMR estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes
larger than four bedrooms are calculated
by adding 15 percent to the fourbedroom FMR for each extra bedroom.
For example, the FMR for a fivebedroom unit is 1.15 times the fourbedroom FMR, and the FMR for a sixbedroom unit is 1.30 times the fourbedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room
occupancy units are 0.75 times the zerobedroom (efficiency) FMR.
A further adjustment was made using
2000 Census data in establishing rent
ratios for areas with local bedroom-size
intervals above or below what are
considered to be reasonable ranges or
where sample sizes are inadequate to
accurately measure bedroom rent
differentials. HUD’s experience has
shown that highly unusual bedroom
ratios typically reflect inadequate
sample sizes or peculiar local
circumstances that HUD would not
want to utilize in setting FMRs (e.g.,
luxury efficiency apartments that rent
for more than typical one-bedroom
units). Bedroom interval ranges were
established based on an analysis of the
range of such intervals for all areas with
large enough samples to permit accurate
bedroom ratio determinations. The
ranges used were: Efficiency units are
constrained to fall between 0.65 and
0.83 of the two-bedroom FMR; onebedroom units must be between 0.76
and 0.90 of the two-bedroom unit; threebedroom units must be between 1.10
and 1.34 of the two-bedroom unit; and
four-bedroom units must be between
1.14 and 1.63 of the two-bedroom unit.
Bedroom rents for a given FMR area
were then adjusted if the differentials
between bedroom-size FMRs were
inconsistent with normally observed
patterns (i.e., efficiency rents were not
allowed to be higher than one-bedroom
rents and four-bedroom rents were not
allowed to be lower than three-bedroom
rents).
For low-population, nonmetropolitan
counties with small census recentmover rent samples, census-defined
county group data were used in
determining rents for each bedroom
size. This adjustment was made to
protect against unrealistically high or
low FMRs due to insufficient sample
sizes. The areas covered by this
estimation method had less than the
HUD standard of 200 two-bedroom
census-tabulated observations.
V. Public Comments
A total of 26 public comments were
received on the proposed FY2009 FMRs.
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Over one-half of these comments were
from housing agencies in Vermont and
Maine and they expressed concern with
managing the recent sharp increase in
the cost of fuel oil, which is the primary
heating fuel in these states. Although
the FY2009 FMRs for most areas in
Vermont represent an increase of more
than 9 percent, the comments stated that
this increase was not sufficient. In
Maine, there was no effective increase
in the FY2009 FMRs and they were also
seeking relief from the heating fuel
increases. HUD reviewed data on
heating fuel increases from the
Department of Energy’s Energy
Information Administration and from
the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer
Price Index. Both data sources show an
increase of approximately 70 percent in
residential fuel oil costs compared with
last winter. Approximately 30 percent of
this increase is included in the 2007 CPI
that is used in calculating the FY2009
FMRs. The remaining 40 percent
increase in fuel oil costs could be
incorporated by using the CPI through
June of 2008, replacing 6 months of
trend. Using the updated rent and utility
CPI through June 2008, however, results
in less than a 2 percent increase in the
FMR for these areas. This is because
utility costs are not a significant share
of the gross rent; a change in one
component of utility costs does not
result in a significant change in rent.
Comments concerning Greensboro,
NC and New York City included data;
however, these data are not acceptable.
None of the data were sufficient to
determine new FMRs. The Greensboro,
NC data included average rents by
housing type and bedroom size based on
a small amount of survey data. There
were three major problems with this
submission. First, actual data was not
submitted, only average rents. FMRs are
based on 40th percentile rents not on
average rents. Without actual data, it is
not possible to determine the 40th
percentile rent for this area. Using a
percentile point within a distribution
reduces survey problems with
unusually high or low rents and allows
smaller samples to be used. Second, the
sample size was not sufficient to
determine the reliability of the estimate.
There must be sufficient information to
justify any proposed changes to HUD’s
estimation of FMRs. Third, there was no
documentation on how the survey was
conducted so there was no way to
determine if the sample was random.
Recommendations and supporting data
must reflect the rent levels that exist
within the entire FMR area. The data
must be statistically significant, and
newspaper ads are specifically
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56641
excluded. The qualifications on the
acceptance of data and conducting
statistically significant surveys were
discussed in the preamble to the
proposed FMRs and should be followed
when providing comments.
New York City submitted its rent
stabilization report that was the basis of
a 4.5 percent increase for rent stabilized
units in FY2009. The 4.5 percent
increase is based on ensuring increases
in landlords’ operating costs are met.
The FY2009 FMR for New York City
shows no increase from FY2008 to
FY2009. However, as submitted in their
comment, rent stabilization increases in
New York City have been 3.5 percent,
2.75 percent, 4.25 percent, 3 percent
and 4.5 percent from 2003 to 2008, for
a total of 19.3 percent. Two-bedroom
FMRs in New York City have
experienced a 22.9 percent increase
during the same period. New York’s
justification for an increase in FMRs is
that new voucher holders will have a
difficult time finding units at the same
amount as last year, when rent
stabilization landlords are getting a 4.5
percent increase in rents. However, they
do not comment on the level of the
FMR, nor do they provide data to
support the contention that the final
FMR for New York City should be
higher than the proposed FMR.
A comment filed by the National
Association of Home Builders (NAHB)
made three specific requests: (1) Limit
all FMR decreases to 5 percent or,
conduct RDD surveys in all areas with
increases of more than 5 percent; (2)
improve the description of the
methodology used by HUD to control for
the presence of inadequate and
subsidized units; and (3) clarify HUD’s
intentions for 50th percentile reevaluation and notify areas about
success rate payment standards. The
NAHB also commended HUD on its
continuing FMR bonus for Katrina and
Rita impacted areas.
FY2009 proposed FMRs include two
areas that experience more than a 5
percent decline in FMRs. One is
Providence, RI, whose decline is a result
of the loss of the 50th percentile FMR,
and the other is Santa Barbara-Santa
Maria, CA. HUD is required by law to
use the most recent, reliable data
available in estimating FMRs. Limiting
either increases or decreases would be
counter to the law as HUD interprets
and implements it. There is no reason
to assume that such declines do not
occur as rents and utilities change over
time. Proposed FMRs for both
Providence and Santa Barbara are based
on local ACS surveys with significantly
larger samples than would be achievable
with an RDD. Conducting an RDD
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would use scarce resources to produce
less reliable data than that available
from the ACS. In addition, no comments
were filed by any party within either of
the two areas.
In response to the NAHB request for
a full description of HUD’s methodology
in establishing its cutoff rent at the 75th
percentile of the regional public housing
rent, HUD has added the methodology
of the cutoff rent as a link in our FY2009
FMR documentation system.
In response to the NAHB request that
HUD use firmer language to describe its
intentions with respect to 50th
percentile areas, firmer language has
been added to this preamble. HUD
commends the NAHB for being mindful
of small PHAs who might not be aware
of the success rate payment standard
policy and reiterates here that all of the
rules and conditions for becoming
eligible for and for maintaining
eligibility of 50th percentile status are
given in 24 CFR 888.113 and 24 CFR
982.503, including the rules applying to
the success rate payment standard.
The Council of Large Public Housing
Authorities (CLAPHA), the Housing
Authority of Baltimore and the Fairfax
County Redevelopment and Housing
Authority all commented on the loss of
the 50th percentile FMR. CLAPHA and
Baltimore are primarily concerned that
the methodology used to evaluate the
reporting rates for Moving-to-Work
(MTW) agencies is faulty and should be
reviewed. HUD has reviewed its
methodology and found that this is the
case. There is MTW data available that
was not used in the initial FY2009 50th
percentile evaluation. The three areas
designated as failing to meet an 85
percent reporting rate, do meet this
reporting rate with inclusion of MTW
data; however, the data also show that
all three areas (Baltimore, New Haven,
and Washington, DC) failed to
deconcentrate over the three-year period
from 2005 to 2008. Failure to
deconcentrate eliminates an area from
eligibility for three years, while failure
to report eliminates an area only until
they have 85 percent reporting, at which
point, the three year deconcentration
clock starts over again. This error was
found too late to provide an opportunity
for the parties to be notified and to
comment on, so these three areas will
lose their 50th percentile FMR status for
the FY2009 FMRs, but will be reviewed
for a new three-year 50th percentile
FMR program beginning with the
FY2010 FMRs. Public housing
authorities impacted by the loss of 50th
percentile status are referred to 24 CFR
982.503(f), which provides payment
standard protection for PHAs that meet
deconcentration objectives.
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The Mansfield Housing Authority,
representing three towns in southern
Connecticut that are part of the
Hartford-West Hartford-East-Hartford,
CT MSA, requested higher FMRs and
referred us to its comments filed in the
FY2008 FMRs. Last year we suggested
that they look into exception rents for
these towns and determine if they
would qualify. This year we evaluated
the towns and determined that Storrs
would qualify for an exception at 111
percent and Coventry would qualify for
an exception at 116 percent. Mansfield
does not qualify for an exception rent.
The Housing authority could request
that PIH grant exceptions for the other
towns, if it can show there is a program
need.
The City of San Jose Housing
Department and Menola Land, LLC from
Billings, Montana both submitted
comments that their FMRs were too low
but neither comment contained
sufficient data that could be used to reevaluate proposed FMRs and adjust
them.
VI. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment
standard amounts for the rental of
manufactured home spaces in the
Housing Choice Voucher program is 40
percent of the FMR for a two-bedroom
unit. HUD will consider modification of
the manufactured home space FMRs
where public comments present
statistically valid survey data showing
the 40th percentile manufactured home
space rent (including the cost of
utilities) for the entire FMR area. HUD
modified manufactured home space
FMRs for Seattle-Bellevue, WA, based
on survey data showing the 40th
percentile manufactured home space
rent (including the cost of utilities) for
the entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents
that were in effect in FY2008 were
updated to FY2009 using the same data
used to estimate the Housing Choice
Voucher program FMRs if the respective
FMR area’s definition remained the
same. If the result of this computation
was higher than 40 percent of the rebenchmarked two-bedroom rent, the
exception remains and is listed in
Schedule D. The FMR area definitions
used for the rental of manufactured
home spaces are the same as the area
definitions used for the other FMRs.
Areas with definitional changes that
previously had exceptions to their
manufactured housing space rental
FMRs are requested to submit new
surveys to justify higher-than-standard
space rental FMRs if they believe higher
space rental allowances are needed.
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VII. HUD Rental Housing Survey
Guides
For the supporting data, HUD
recommends the use of professionally
conducted RDD telephone surveys to
test the accuracy of FMRs for areas
where there is a sufficient number of
Section 8 units to justify the survey cost
of approximately $35,000. Areas with
2,000 or more program units usually
meet this cost criterion, and areas with
fewer units may meet it if actual rents
for two-bedroom units are significantly
different from the FMRs proposed by
HUD. In addition, HUD has developed
a version of the RDD survey
methodology for smaller,
nonmetropolitan PHAs. This
methodology is designed to be simple
enough to be done by the PHA itself,
rather than by professional survey
organizations, at a cost of $5,000 or less.
PHAs in nonmetropolitan areas may,
in certain circumstances, conduct
surveys of groups of counties. HUD
must approve all county-grouped
surveys in advance. PHAs are cautioned
that the resulting FMRs will not be
identical for the counties surveyed.
Each individual FMR area will have a
separate FMR based on the relationship
of rents in that area to the combined
rents in the cluster of FMR areas. In
addition, PHAs are advised that
counties where FMRs are based on the
combined rents in the cluster of FMR
areas will not have their FMRs revised
unless the grouped survey results show
a revised FMR above the combined rent
level.
PHAs that plan to use the RDD survey
technique should obtain a copy of the
appropriate survey guide. Larger PHAs
should request HUD’s survey guide
entitled ‘‘Random Digit Dialing Surveys;
A Guide to Assist Larger Public Housing
Agencies in Preparing Fair Market Rent
Comments.’’ Smaller PHAs should
obtain the guide entitled ‘‘Rental
Housing Surveys: A Guide to Assist
Smaller Public Housing Agencies in
Preparing Fair Market Rent Comments.’’
These guides, in Microsoft Word format,
are available from HUD USER at HUD’s
Web site at the following address:
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/
fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are
acceptable in providing data to support
comments, if the survey methodology
can provide statistically reliable,
unbiased estimates of the gross rent.
Survey samples should preferably be
randomly drawn from a complete list of
rental units for the FMR area. If this is
not feasible, the selected sample must
be drawn to be statistically
representative of the entire rental
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housing stock of the FMR area. Surveys
must include units at all rent levels and
be representative by structure type
(including single-family, duplex, and
other small rental properties), age of
housing unit, and geographic location.
The decennial census should be used as
a means of verifying if a sample is
representative of the FMR area’s rental
housing stock.
Most surveys of FMR areas cover only
one- and two-bedroom units. If the
survey is statistically acceptable, HUD
will estimate FMRs for other bedroom
sizes using ratios based on the decennial
census. A PHA or contractor that cannot
obtain the recommended number of
sample responses after reasonable
efforts should consult with HUD before
abandoning its survey; in such
situations, HUD may find it appropriate
to relax normal sample size
requirements.
HUD will consider increasing
manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40
percent of the two-bedroom FMR is not
adequate. In order to be accepted as a
basis for revising the manufactured
home space FMRs, comments must
include a pad rental survey of the
mobile home parks in the area, identify
the utilities included in each park’s
rental fee, and provide a copy of the
applicable public housing authority’s
utility schedule.
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent
Schedules, which will not be codified in
24 CFR Part 888, are amended as
follows:
Dated: September 22, 2008.
Darlene F. Williams,
Assistant Secretary for Policy, Development
and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D—General
Explanatory Notes
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1. Geographic Coverage
a. Metropolitan Areas—FMRs are
market-wide rent estimates that are
intended to provide housing
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opportunities throughout the geographic
area in which rental-housing units are
in direct competition. The FY2009
FMRs reflect a change in metropolitan
area definitions. HUD is using the
metropolitan Core Based Statistical
Areas (CBSA), which are made up of
one or more counties, as defined by the
OMB, with some modifications. HUD is
generally assigning separate FMRs to the
component counties of CBSA
Micropolitan Areas.
b. Modifications to OMB
Definitions—Following OMB guidance,
the estimation procedure for the
FY2009. FMRs incorporates the current
OMB definitions of metropolitan areas
based on the CBSA standards as
implemented with 2000 Census data,
but makes adjustments to the definitions
to separate subparts of these areas where
FMRs or median incomes would
otherwise change significantly if the
new area definitions were used without
modification. In CBSAs where sub-areas
are established, it is HUD’s view that the
geographic extent of the housing
markets are not yet the same as the
geographic extent of the CBSAs, but
may become so in the future as the
social and economic integration of the
CBSA component areas increases.
Modifications to metropolitan CBSA
definitions are made according to a
formula as described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to
as Metropolitan Statistical Areas or
MSAs) may be modified to allow for
sub-area FMRs within MSAs based on
the boundaries of old FMR areas (OFAs)
within the boundaries of new MSAs.
(OFAs are the FMR areas defined for the
FY2005 FMRs. Collectively, they
include 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs,
metropolitan counties deleted from
1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD
for FMR purposes, and counties and
county parts outside of 1999 definition
MSAs/PMSAs referred to as
nonmetropolitan counties.) Sub-areas of
MSAs are assigned their own FMRs
when the sub-area 2000 Census Base
Rent differs by at least 5 percent from
the MSA 2000 Census Base Rent (i.e., by
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at most 95 percent or at least 105
percent), or when the 2000 Census
Median Family Income for the sub-area
differs by at least 5 percent from the
MSA 2000 Census Median Family
Income. MSA sub-areas, and the
remaining portions of MSAs after subareas have been determined, are referred
to as HUD Metro FMR Areas (HMFAs)
to distinguish these areas from OMB’s
official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New
England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in
Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zerobedroom through four-bedroom units.
The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four
bedrooms are calculated by adding 15
percent to the four-bedroom FMR for
each extra bedroom. For example, the
FMR for a five-bedroom unit is 1.15
times the four-bedroom FMR, and the
FMR for a six-bedroom unit is 1.30
times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for
single-room-occupancy (SRO) units are
0.75 times the zero-bedroom FMR.
3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and
Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are
listed alphabetically by metropolitan
FMR area and by nonmetropolitan
county within each state. The exception
rents for manufactured home spaces
FMRs are listed alphabetically in
Schedule D.
b. The constituent counties (and New
England towns and cities) included in
each metropolitan FMR area are listed
immediately following the listings of the
FMR dollar amounts. All constituent
parts of a metropolitan FMR area that
are in more than one state can be
identified by consulting the listings for
each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are
listed alphabetically on each line of the
nonmetropolitan county listings.
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
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[FR Doc. E8–22793 Filed 9–26–08; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210–67–C
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 189 (Monday, September 29, 2008)]
[Notices]
[Pages 56638-56698]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E8-22793]
[[Page 56637]]
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Part II
Department of Housing and Urban Development
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Final Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2009 for the Housing Choice
Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy
Program; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 189 / Monday, September 29, 2008 /
Notices
[[Page 56638]]
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DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR-5223-N-02]
Final Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2009 for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room
Occupancy Program
AGENCY: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Section 8(c)(1) of the United States Housing Act of 1937
(USHA) requires the Secretary to publish FMRs periodically, but not
less than annually, adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each year.
The primary uses of FMRs are to determine payment standard amounts for
the Housing Choice Voucher program, to determine initial renewal rents
for some expiring project-based Section 8 contracts, to determine
initial rents for housing assistance payment (HAP) contracts in the
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy program (Mod Rehab), and
to serve as a rent ceiling in the HOME rental assistance program.
Today's notice provides final FY2009 FMRs for all areas that reflect
the estimated 40th and 50th percentile rent levels trended to April 1,
2009. The FY2009 FMRs are based on 2000 Census data updated with more
current survey data. For FY2009, FY2008 FMRs are updated using 2006
American Community Survey (ACS) data, and more recent Consumer Price
Index (CPI) rent and utility indexes. HUD continues to use ACS data in
different ways according to how many two-bedroom standard-quality and
recent-mover sample cases are available in the FMR area or its Core-
Based Statistical Area (CBSA). Revised 2006 FMRs based on Census and
ACS data have been updated with CPI data through the end of 2007 and
then trended to April 2009, the mid-point of FY2009.
DATES: Effective Date: The FMRs published in this notice are effective
on October 1, 2008.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or a listing of all FMRs, please call
the HUD USER information line at 800-245-2691 or access the information
at the following link on the HUD Web site: https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr.html. FMRs are listed at the 40th or 50th percentile in
Schedule B. An asterisk before the FMR area name identifies a 50th
percentile area.
Any questions related to use of FMRs or voucher payment standards
should be directed to the respective local HUD program staff. Questions
on how to conduct FMR surveys or further methodological explanations
may be addressed to Marie L. Lihn or Lynn A. Rodgers, Economic and
Market Analysis Division, Office of Economic Affairs, Office of Policy
Development and Research, telephone number 202-708-0590. Persons with
hearing or speech impairments may access this number through TTY by
calling the toll-free Federal Information Relay Service at 800-877-
8339. (Other than the HUD USER information line and TTY numbers,
telephone numbers are not toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C. 1437f) authorizes housing
assistance to aid lower-income families in renting safe and decent
housing. Housing assistance payments are limited by FMRs established by
HUD for different areas. In the Housing Choice Voucher program, the FMR
is the basis for determining the ``payment standard amount'' used to
calculate the maximum monthly subsidy for an assisted family (see 24
CFR 982.503). In general, the FMR for an area is the amount that would
be needed to pay the gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) of
privately owned, decent, and safe rental housing of a modest (non-
luxury) nature with suitable amenities. In addition, all rents
subsidized under the Housing Choice Voucher program must meet
reasonable rent standards. The interim rule published on October 2,
2000, (65 FR 58870), established 50th percentile FMRs for certain
areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This Federal Register notice is
available electronically from the HUD Web site at https://
www.hudclips.org. Federal Register notices also are available
electronically from the U.S. Government Printing Office Web site,
https://www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/. Complete documentation of the
methodology and data used to compute each area's Final FY2009 FMRs is
available at https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr09.
II. Procedures for the Development of FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the Secretary of HUD to publish
FMRs periodically, but not less frequently than annually. Section 8(c)
states in part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area shall be published in
the Federal Register with reasonable time for public comment and
shall become effective upon the date of publication in final form in
the Federal Register. Each fair market rental in effect under this
subsection shall be adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each
year to reflect changes--based on the most recent available data
trended so the rentals will be current for the year to which they
apply--of rents for existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and types in this
section.
The Department's regulations at 24 CFR part 888 provide that HUD
will develop proposed FMRs, publish them for public comment, provide a
public comment period of at least 30 days, analyze the comments, and
publish final FMRs (See 24 CFR 888.115).
In addition, HUD's regulations at 24 CFR 888.113 set out procedures
for HUD to assess whether areas are eligible for FMRs at the 50th
percentile. For FY2009, no new areas became eligible for 50th
percentile rents. Current areas are evaluated for progress in
deconcentration every three years after becoming 50th percentile areas.
Continued eligibility is determined based on HUD administrative data
that show levels of poverty concentration. The levels of poverty
concentration must be above 25 percent and show a decrease in
concentration since the last evaluation. At least 85 percent of the
voucher units in the area must be used to make this determination.
Twenty-four of the current 28 50th percentile FMR areas had been in the
program for a three-year period and were reviewed to determine if
deconcentration had occurred. A list of these 24 areas is shown below.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Reviewed for Eligibility as FY2009
50th Percentile FMR Areas
Albuquerque, NM MSA
Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA
Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA
Denver-Aurora, CO MSA
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI HMFA
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT HMFA
Honolulu, HI MSA
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX HMFA
Kansas City, MO-KS, HMFA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI MSA
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA
Orange County, CA HMFA
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA
Providence-Fall River, RI-MA HMFA
Richmond, VA HMFA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA MSA
[[Page 56639]]
Tacoma, WA HMFA
Tucson, AZ MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC MSA
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HMFA
Fourteen of the 24 current 50th percentile areas eligible for
review failed to qualify for the 50th percentile FMR program for
FY2009. Two of these areas, as shown below, no longer qualify for the
50th-percentile FMR program because they no longer meet the poverty
concentration standards set out in the 50th percentile FMR program, at
24 CFR 888.113. Based on current tenant data, less than 25 percent of
the tenant-based rental program participants reside in the 5 percent of
census tracts in the metropolitan areas with the largest number of
program participants. These areas will be reviewed annually to see if
this concentration changes to above 25 percent so they can be
reinstated as 50th percentile areas. These two areas could re-qualify
as 50th percentile FMR areas as early as the FY2010 FMRs.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not Eligible for FY2009 50th
Percentile FMRs Because Voucher Tenant Concentrations Have Fallen Below
the Eligibility Threshold
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI HMFA
Providence-Fall River, RI-MA HMFA
Three additional areas initially did not meet the minimum reporting
criteria of 85 percent of resident records. Based on comments,
additional data submitted by these areas was found in a separate
database, and subsequent examination of all data found reporting levels
above 85 percent. However all three areas also showed a failure to
deconcentrate over the three-year period when they were using 50th
percentile FMRs. These areas will lose their 50th percentile FMRs for
FY2009 but will be eligible for re-evaluation and possible re-
instatement of 50th percentile FMRs in FY2010. These areas are not
being removed from consideration for the 50th percentile FMR program
for a period of three years, for failing the test of deconcentration,
because they were not notified of this failure in time for them to
provide comments, and it was an error by HUD that led to this failure.
These areas are listed below:
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not Eligible for FY2009 50th
Percentile FMRs Because Proposed FY2009 FMR Publication Found Low
Reporting Rates
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HMFA
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA
As notified in the publication of proposed FY2009 FMRs, the table
below shows nine areas that failed to deconcentrate over the 3-year
period. Deconcentration of tenants is the primary objective of the 50th
percentile program and failure to make any progress to deconcentrate
tenants over a 3-year period disqualifies an otherwise eligible area
for 3 years. These areas are not eligible for participation in the 50th
percentile FMR program until FY2012. They will be reviewed in time for
the proposed FY2012 FMRs to determine if they can meet 50th percentile
FMR criteria.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not Eligible for FY2009 50th
Percentile FMRs for Failure To Deconcentrate Voucher Tenants
Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA
Honolulu, HI MSA
Orange County, CA HMFA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC MSA
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA
Tucson, AZ MSA
Ten of the 24 areas reviewed will continue to use 50th percentile
FMRs for another three-year period. These ten areas will not be re-
evaluated until FY2012.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Evaluated and Continuing with 50th
Percentile FMRs in FY2009
Albuquerque, NM MSA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT HMFA
Kansas City, MO-KS HMFA
Richmond, VA HMFA
Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA
Denver-Aurora, CO MSA
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX HMFA
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI MSA
Tacoma, WA HMFA
In addition to these 10 areas, 4 current 50th percentile FMR areas
were not evaluated this year because they have not completed 3 years of
program participation, so there are 14 areas that will have 50th
percentile FMRs in FY2009. These four areas, listed below, will
complete their 3-year program period and be evaluated to determine if
they remain 50th percentile FMR areas in the proposed FY2010 FMR
publication.
FY2008 50th Percentile FMR Areas Not Slated for Eligibility Evaluation
and Continuing with 50th Percentile FMRs in FY2009
Dallas, TX HMFA
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA MSA
Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL HMFA
III. Proposed FY2009 FMRs
On June 12, 2008 (73 FR 33530), HUD published proposed FY2009 FMRs.
As noted in the preamble to the proposed FMRs, the FMRs for FY2009
reflect the use of the 2006 ACS data to update 2005 rent estimates for
metropolitan areas. In addition, the FY2009 FMRs include all changes
made to metropolitan area definitions made by the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB), as of November 2007.
During the comment period, which ended August 1, 2008, HUD received
26 public comments on the proposed FY2009 FMRs. None of the comments
received included the data needed to support FMR changes. Several of
the comments expressed concern over recent utility increases and the
failure of the FY2009 FMRs to take into account these increases. There
were also comments received on the loss of 50th percentile FMRs
resulting from low reporting rates. The comments received are discussed
in more detail later in this notice.
IV. FMR Methodology
The FY2009 FMRs are based on current OMB metropolitan area
definitions that were first used in the FY2006 FMRs. The changes OMB
made to the Metropolitan Area Definitions in November 2007 are
incorporated. This means that there are six Metropolitan Statistical
Area (MSA) name changes that reorder, add, or delete a primary city
name.\1\ The area definitions based on 2000 Census data have the
advantages of providing more relevant commuting interchange standards
and more current measures of housing market relationships than those
based on 1990 Census data and used prior to the FY2006 FMRs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ The change from Sarasota-Brandenton-Venice, FL MSA to
Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice, FL MSA includes a change in the primary
city name and a change in the metropolitan code from 42260 to 14600.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
At HUD's request, the Census Bureau prepared a special publicly
releasable census file that permits almost exact replication of HUD's
2000 Base Rent calculations, except for areas with few rental units.
This data set is located on HUD's HUD USER Web site at https://
[[Page 56640]]
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/.
A. Data Sources--2000 Census and American Community Survey
FY2009 FMRs are based on changes in rents measured by differences
in ACS data collected in 2005 and 2006 and updated with CPI data. For
FY2008 FMRs, HUD developed 2005 rent estimates based on updating 2000
Census gross rent data with more current survey data from the Census
Bureau's 2005 ACS, the first full year of implementation for the ACS.
FY2009 FMRs use data from the 2006 ACS to update these 2005 rent
estimates. While the Census Bureau intends for the ACS to replace the
Decennial Census sample ``long form'' for collecting detailed
socioeconomic data, the ACS has several important distinctions from the
decennial long form. These include:
The ACS is conducted on a continuous ``rolling'' basis
throughout the year, so survey responses do not correspond to a
particular date, whereas the long form responses were as of the Census
date of April 1. This has implications for the ``as-of'' date assumed
for ACS-based rents. The ``as-of'' date for ACS-based rents is set at
June 30 of the ACS year.
The ACS has an initial sample size (before non-response
attrition) of about one-fifth that of the decennial long form, which
surveyed approximately one out of every six households. This means that
an adequate sample size for one-year ACS data will be available only
for very large population geographic areas, and that data for smaller
areas will be accumulated over 3 or 5 years to form the basis of
decennial long-form-equivalent estimates.
As detailed in the notices announcing the proposed and final FY2008
FMRs, HUD replaced the accumulated 2001 through 2005 FMR update factors
from various sources with 2005 ACS data. The preamble for the final
FY2008 FMR Notice (72 FR 55940) provides a description of how the 2005
ACS data, and in some cases Random Digit Dialing surveys (RDDs)
conducted in 2001 through 2005, were used in the FY2008 FMRs. Further
details regarding the calculation of FY2008 FMRs are available using
HUD's online Final FY2008 Documentation System, available at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data=fmr08.
B. Updates From 2005 to 2006
State or local 2006 ACS data are used to update a June 2005-
calculated gross rent from the FY2008 FMRs to June 2006. The same
categories of use, depending upon the sizes of the available rental
unit samples in the FMR areas, were applied to the 2006 ACS data as had
been applied to the 2005 data. There are two exceptions to the
similarity of processing 2005 ACS data and 2006 ACS data. First, the
update factor reflecting changes in rents for the parts of the state
not included in FMR areas covered by local ACS data was discontinued
for two reasons: (1) The variance in rent change between 2005 and 2006
for these areas was much larger than that for full states and it was
not clear whether these changes reflected differences in markets or
area composition, or if they reflected survey anomalies; and (2) basing
an underlying geography on factors that change annually (such as the
identity of FMR areas covered by local ACS data) and which cannot be
determined until the survey data have been processed presents a
complexity that could not be resolved in a manner that allowed for
timely delivery of data. Consequently, for FY2009, all state-based
update factors are calculated for the entire state.
Second, HUD-defined ``HMFAs'' in metropolitan areas (CBSAs) where
no subarea uses the CBSA gross rent as the basis of its FMR, are no
longer tested to determine which update factor, the state or the CBSA,
brings the subarea closer to the CBSA. The state update factor is now
used for these cases. This change was made because review of the data
and discussions with field economists indicated that forcing these
subareas toward CBSA-area values moved the rent in the wrong direction.
C. Updates From 2006 to 2007
The 2006 ACS data brought the 2005 data used in the FY2008 FMRs
forward by 12 months to June 2006. The CPI is used to update the June
2006 FMRs to the end of 2007. Local CPI data are used for FMR areas
with at least 75 percent of their population within Class A
metropolitan areas covered by local CPI data. Census region CPI data
are used for FMR areas in Class B and C size metropolitan areas and
nonmetropolitan areas without local CPI update factors.
D. Updates From 2007 to 2009
The national 1990 to 2000 average annual rent increase trend of 3
percent (1.03) is applied to end-of-2007 rents for 1.25 years, to
derive the final FY2009 FMRs.
E. Additional Rent Surveys and Other Data
In early 2008, surveys were conducted in several areas of Wyoming,
Colorado, Utah, and Texas where, as a result of increased oil and gas
drilling activity, housing agencies have experienced significant rental
housing market pressure. Most of these areas have experienced several
years of problems managing the voucher program. These surveys show that
rents in these areas are higher than previously estimated. All of these
surveys met HUD standards for statistical significance (i.e., the
survey result trended to April 2008 was statistically different from
the April 2008 FY2008 FMRs at a 95 percent level of confidence). These
RDD survey results became effective in FY2008 with the publication of
the proposed FY2009 FMRs.
Three additional RDD surveys are underway. HUD is currently
conducting surveys in New Orleans, Hattiesburg, MS and Pearl River
County, MS in its ongoing effort to monitor rental housing markets in
Katrina and Rita affected areas because of HUD's concern about FMR
accuracy in these fluid housing markets and at the request of local
PHAs. Results from these surveys will be published as soon as they are
available.
The area-specific data and computations used to calculate proposed
FY2009 FMRs and FMR area definitions can be found at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data=fmr09.
F. Large Bedroom Rents
FMR estimates are calculated for two-bedroom units. This generally
is the most common size of rental units, and therefore the most
reliable to survey and analyze. After each decennial census, rent
relationships between two-bedroom units and other unit sizes are
calculated and used to set FMRs for other units. This is done because
it is much easier to update two-bedroom estimates and to use pre-
established cost relationships with other bedroom sizes than it is to
develop independent FMR estimates for each bedroom size. This was last
done using 2000 Census data. A publicly releasable version of the data
file used that permits derivations of rent ratios is available at
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/. Rent
ratio derivations are also shown in the FMR documentation system at
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data=fmr09.
The rents for three-bedroom and larger units continue to reflect
HUD's policy to set higher rents for these units than would result from
using normal market rents. This adjustment is intended to increase the
likelihood that the largest families, who have the most difficulty in
leasing units, will be successful in finding eligible program
[[Page 56641]]
units. The adjustment adds bonuses of 8.7 percent to the unadjusted
three-bedroom FMR estimates and adds 7.7 percent to the unadjusted
four-bedroom FMR estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four
bedrooms are calculated by adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom FMR
for each extra bedroom. For example, the FMR for a five-bedroom unit is
1.15 times the four-bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom unit is
1.30 times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room occupancy units
are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom (efficiency) FMR.
A further adjustment was made using 2000 Census data in
establishing rent ratios for areas with local bedroom-size intervals
above or below what are considered to be reasonable ranges or where
sample sizes are inadequate to accurately measure bedroom rent
differentials. HUD's experience has shown that highly unusual bedroom
ratios typically reflect inadequate sample sizes or peculiar local
circumstances that HUD would not want to utilize in setting FMRs (e.g.,
luxury efficiency apartments that rent for more than typical one-
bedroom units). Bedroom interval ranges were established based on an
analysis of the range of such intervals for all areas with large enough
samples to permit accurate bedroom ratio determinations. The ranges
used were: Efficiency units are constrained to fall between 0.65 and
0.83 of the two-bedroom FMR; one-bedroom units must be between 0.76 and
0.90 of the two-bedroom unit; three-bedroom units must be between 1.10
and 1.34 of the two-bedroom unit; and four-bedroom units must be
between 1.14 and 1.63 of the two-bedroom unit. Bedroom rents for a
given FMR area were then adjusted if the differentials between bedroom-
size FMRs were inconsistent with normally observed patterns (i.e.,
efficiency rents were not allowed to be higher than one-bedroom rents
and four-bedroom rents were not allowed to be lower than three-bedroom
rents).
For low-population, nonmetropolitan counties with small census
recent-mover rent samples, census-defined county group data were used
in determining rents for each bedroom size. This adjustment was made to
protect against unrealistically high or low FMRs due to insufficient
sample sizes. The areas covered by this estimation method had less than
the HUD standard of 200 two-bedroom census-tabulated observations.
V. Public Comments
A total of 26 public comments were received on the proposed FY2009
FMRs. Over one-half of these comments were from housing agencies in
Vermont and Maine and they expressed concern with managing the recent
sharp increase in the cost of fuel oil, which is the primary heating
fuel in these states. Although the FY2009 FMRs for most areas in
Vermont represent an increase of more than 9 percent, the comments
stated that this increase was not sufficient. In Maine, there was no
effective increase in the FY2009 FMRs and they were also seeking relief
from the heating fuel increases. HUD reviewed data on heating fuel
increases from the Department of Energy's Energy Information
Administration and from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price
Index. Both data sources show an increase of approximately 70 percent
in residential fuel oil costs compared with last winter. Approximately
30 percent of this increase is included in the 2007 CPI that is used in
calculating the FY2009 FMRs. The remaining 40 percent increase in fuel
oil costs could be incorporated by using the CPI through June of 2008,
replacing 6 months of trend. Using the updated rent and utility CPI
through June 2008, however, results in less than a 2 percent increase
in the FMR for these areas. This is because utility costs are not a
significant share of the gross rent; a change in one component of
utility costs does not result in a significant change in rent.
Comments concerning Greensboro, NC and New York City included data;
however, these data are not acceptable. None of the data were
sufficient to determine new FMRs. The Greensboro, NC data included
average rents by housing type and bedroom size based on a small amount
of survey data. There were three major problems with this submission.
First, actual data was not submitted, only average rents. FMRs are
based on 40th percentile rents not on average rents. Without actual
data, it is not possible to determine the 40th percentile rent for this
area. Using a percentile point within a distribution reduces survey
problems with unusually high or low rents and allows smaller samples to
be used. Second, the sample size was not sufficient to determine the
reliability of the estimate. There must be sufficient information to
justify any proposed changes to HUD's estimation of FMRs. Third, there
was no documentation on how the survey was conducted so there was no
way to determine if the sample was random. Recommendations and
supporting data must reflect the rent levels that exist within the
entire FMR area. The data must be statistically significant, and
newspaper ads are specifically excluded. The qualifications on the
acceptance of data and conducting statistically significant surveys
were discussed in the preamble to the proposed FMRs and should be
followed when providing comments.
New York City submitted its rent stabilization report that was the
basis of a 4.5 percent increase for rent stabilized units in FY2009.
The 4.5 percent increase is based on ensuring increases in landlords'
operating costs are met. The FY2009 FMR for New York City shows no
increase from FY2008 to FY2009. However, as submitted in their comment,
rent stabilization increases in New York City have been 3.5 percent,
2.75 percent, 4.25 percent, 3 percent and 4.5 percent from 2003 to
2008, for a total of 19.3 percent. Two-bedroom FMRs in New York City
have experienced a 22.9 percent increase during the same period. New
York's justification for an increase in FMRs is that new voucher
holders will have a difficult time finding units at the same amount as
last year, when rent stabilization landlords are getting a 4.5 percent
increase in rents. However, they do not comment on the level of the
FMR, nor do they provide data to support the contention that the final
FMR for New York City should be higher than the proposed FMR.
A comment filed by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)
made three specific requests: (1) Limit all FMR decreases to 5 percent
or, conduct RDD surveys in all areas with increases of more than 5
percent; (2) improve the description of the methodology used by HUD to
control for the presence of inadequate and subsidized units; and (3)
clarify HUD's intentions for 50th percentile re-evaluation and notify
areas about success rate payment standards. The NAHB also commended HUD
on its continuing FMR bonus for Katrina and Rita impacted areas.
FY2009 proposed FMRs include two areas that experience more than a
5 percent decline in FMRs. One is Providence, RI, whose decline is a
result of the loss of the 50th percentile FMR, and the other is Santa
Barbara-Santa Maria, CA. HUD is required by law to use the most recent,
reliable data available in estimating FMRs. Limiting either increases
or decreases would be counter to the law as HUD interprets and
implements it. There is no reason to assume that such declines do not
occur as rents and utilities change over time. Proposed FMRs for both
Providence and Santa Barbara are based on local ACS surveys with
significantly larger samples than would be achievable with an RDD.
Conducting an RDD
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would use scarce resources to produce less reliable data than that
available from the ACS. In addition, no comments were filed by any
party within either of the two areas.
In response to the NAHB request for a full description of HUD's
methodology in establishing its cutoff rent at the 75th percentile of
the regional public housing rent, HUD has added the methodology of the
cutoff rent as a link in our FY2009 FMR documentation system.
In response to the NAHB request that HUD use firmer language to
describe its intentions with respect to 50th percentile areas, firmer
language has been added to this preamble. HUD commends the NAHB for
being mindful of small PHAs who might not be aware of the success rate
payment standard policy and reiterates here that all of the rules and
conditions for becoming eligible for and for maintaining eligibility of
50th percentile status are given in 24 CFR 888.113 and 24 CFR 982.503,
including the rules applying to the success rate payment standard.
The Council of Large Public Housing Authorities (CLAPHA), the
Housing Authority of Baltimore and the Fairfax County Redevelopment and
Housing Authority all commented on the loss of the 50th percentile FMR.
CLAPHA and Baltimore are primarily concerned that the methodology used
to evaluate the reporting rates for Moving-to-Work (MTW) agencies is
faulty and should be reviewed. HUD has reviewed its methodology and
found that this is the case. There is MTW data available that was not
used in the initial FY2009 50th percentile evaluation. The three areas
designated as failing to meet an 85 percent reporting rate, do meet
this reporting rate with inclusion of MTW data; however, the data also
show that all three areas (Baltimore, New Haven, and Washington, DC)
failed to deconcentrate over the three-year period from 2005 to 2008.
Failure to deconcentrate eliminates an area from eligibility for three
years, while failure to report eliminates an area only until they have
85 percent reporting, at which point, the three year deconcentration
clock starts over again. This error was found too late to provide an
opportunity for the parties to be notified and to comment on, so these
three areas will lose their 50th percentile FMR status for the FY2009
FMRs, but will be reviewed for a new three-year 50th percentile FMR
program beginning with the FY2010 FMRs. Public housing authorities
impacted by the loss of 50th percentile status are referred to 24 CFR
982.503(f), which provides payment standard protection for PHAs that
meet deconcentration objectives.
The Mansfield Housing Authority, representing three towns in
southern Connecticut that are part of the Hartford-West Hartford-East-
Hartford, CT MSA, requested higher FMRs and referred us to its comments
filed in the FY2008 FMRs. Last year we suggested that they look into
exception rents for these towns and determine if they would qualify.
This year we evaluated the towns and determined that Storrs would
qualify for an exception at 111 percent and Coventry would qualify for
an exception at 116 percent. Mansfield does not qualify for an
exception rent. The Housing authority could request that PIH grant
exceptions for the other towns, if it can show there is a program need.
The City of San Jose Housing Department and Menola Land, LLC from
Billings, Montana both submitted comments that their FMRs were too low
but neither comment contained sufficient data that could be used to re-
evaluate proposed FMRs and adjust them.
VI. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment standard amounts for the rental
of manufactured home spaces in the Housing Choice Voucher program is 40
percent of the FMR for a two-bedroom unit. HUD will consider
modification of the manufactured home space FMRs where public comments
present statistically valid survey data showing the 40th percentile
manufactured home space rent (including the cost of utilities) for the
entire FMR area. HUD modified manufactured home space FMRs for Seattle-
Bellevue, WA, based on survey data showing the 40th percentile
manufactured home space rent (including the cost of utilities) for the
entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents that were in effect in
FY2008 were updated to FY2009 using the same data used to estimate the
Housing Choice Voucher program FMRs if the respective FMR area's
definition remained the same. If the result of this computation was
higher than 40 percent of the re-benchmarked two-bedroom rent, the
exception remains and is listed in Schedule D. The FMR area definitions
used for the rental of manufactured home spaces are the same as the
area definitions used for the other FMRs. Areas with definitional
changes that previously had exceptions to their manufactured housing
space rental FMRs are requested to submit new surveys to justify
higher-than-standard space rental FMRs if they believe higher space
rental allowances are needed.
VII. HUD Rental Housing Survey Guides
For the supporting data, HUD recommends the use of professionally
conducted RDD telephone surveys to test the accuracy of FMRs for areas
where there is a sufficient number of Section 8 units to justify the
survey cost of approximately $35,000. Areas with 2,000 or more program
units usually meet this cost criterion, and areas with fewer units may
meet it if actual rents for two-bedroom units are significantly
different from the FMRs proposed by HUD. In addition, HUD has developed
a version of the RDD survey methodology for smaller, nonmetropolitan
PHAs. This methodology is designed to be simple enough to be done by
the PHA itself, rather than by professional survey organizations, at a
cost of $5,000 or less.
PHAs in nonmetropolitan areas may, in certain circumstances,
conduct surveys of groups of counties. HUD must approve all county-
grouped surveys in advance. PHAs are cautioned that the resulting FMRs
will not be identical for the counties surveyed. Each individual FMR
area will have a separate FMR based on the relationship of rents in
that area to the combined rents in the cluster of FMR areas. In
addition, PHAs are advised that counties where FMRs are based on the
combined rents in the cluster of FMR areas will not have their FMRs
revised unless the grouped survey results show a revised FMR above the
combined rent level.
PHAs that plan to use the RDD survey technique should obtain a copy
of the appropriate survey guide. Larger PHAs should request HUD's
survey guide entitled ``Random Digit Dialing Surveys; A Guide to Assist
Larger Public Housing Agencies in Preparing Fair Market Rent
Comments.'' Smaller PHAs should obtain the guide entitled ``Rental
Housing Surveys: A Guide to Assist Smaller Public Housing Agencies in
Preparing Fair Market Rent Comments.'' These guides, in Microsoft Word
format, are available from HUD USER at HUD's Web site at the following
address: https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are acceptable in providing data to
support comments, if the survey methodology can provide statistically
reliable, unbiased estimates of the gross rent. Survey samples should
preferably be randomly drawn from a complete list of rental units for
the FMR area. If this is not feasible, the selected sample must be
drawn to be statistically representative of the entire rental
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housing stock of the FMR area. Surveys must include units at all rent
levels and be representative by structure type (including single-
family, duplex, and other small rental properties), age of housing
unit, and geographic location. The decennial census should be used as a
means of verifying if a sample is representative of the FMR area's
rental housing stock.
Most surveys of FMR areas cover only one- and two-bedroom units. If
the survey is statistically acceptable, HUD will estimate FMRs for
other bedroom sizes using ratios based on the decennial census. A PHA
or contractor that cannot obtain the recommended number of sample
responses after reasonable efforts should consult with HUD before
abandoning its survey; in such situations, HUD may find it appropriate
to relax normal sample size requirements.
HUD will consider increasing manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40 percent of the two-bedroom FMR is
not adequate. In order to be accepted as a basis for revising the
manufactured home space FMRs, comments must include a pad rental survey
of the mobile home parks in the area, identify the utilities included
in each park's rental fee, and provide a copy of the applicable public
housing authority's utility schedule.
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent Schedules, which will not be
codified in 24 CFR Part 888, are amended as follows:
Dated: September 22, 2008.
Darlene F. Williams,
Assistant Secretary for Policy, Development and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D--General Explanatory Notes
1. Geographic Coverage
a. Metropolitan Areas--FMRs are market-wide rent estimates that are
intended to provide housing opportunities throughout the geographic
area in which rental-housing units are in direct competition. The
FY2009 FMRs reflect a change in metropolitan area definitions. HUD is
using the metropolitan Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSA), which are
made up of one or more counties, as defined by the OMB, with some
modifications. HUD is generally assigning separate FMRs to the
component counties of CBSA Micropolitan Areas.
b. Modifications to OMB Definitions--Following OMB guidance, the
estimation procedure for the FY2009. FMRs incorporates the current OMB
definitions of metropolitan areas based on the CBSA standards as
implemented with 2000 Census data, but makes adjustments to the
definitions to separate subparts of these areas where FMRs or median
incomes would otherwise change significantly if the new area
definitions were used without modification. In CBSAs where sub-areas
are established, it is HUD's view that the geographic extent of the
housing markets are not yet the same as the geographic extent of the
CBSAs, but may become so in the future as the social and economic
integration of the CBSA component areas increases. Modifications to
metropolitan CBSA definitions are made according to a formula as
described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to as Metropolitan Statistical
Areas or MSAs) may be modified to allow for sub-area FMRs within MSAs
based on the boundaries of old FMR areas (OFAs) within the boundaries
of new MSAs. (OFAs are the FMR areas defined for the FY2005 FMRs.
Collectively, they include 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs, metropolitan
counties deleted from 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD for FMR
purposes, and counties and county parts outside of 1999 definition
MSAs/PMSAs referred to as nonmetropolitan counties.) Sub-areas of MSAs
are assigned their own FMRs when the sub-area 2000 Census Base Rent
differs by at least 5 percent from the MSA 2000 Census Base Rent (i.e.,
by at most 95 percent or at least 105 percent), or when the 2000 Census
Median Family Income for the sub-area differs by at least 5 percent
from the MSA 2000 Census Median Family Income. MSA sub-areas, and the
remaining portions of MSAs after sub-areas have been determined, are
referred to as HUD Metro FMR Areas (HMFAs) to distinguish these areas
from OMB's official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zero-bedroom through four-bedroom
units. The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four bedrooms are calculated
by adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom FMR for each extra bedroom.
For example, the FMR for a five-bedroom unit is 1.15 times the four-
bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom unit is 1.30 times the four-
bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room-occupancy (SRO) units are 0.75 times
the zero-bedroom FMR.
3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are listed alphabetically by
metropolitan FMR area and by nonmetropolitan county within each state.
The exception rents for manufactured home spaces FMRs are listed
alphabetically in Schedule D.
b. The constituent counties (and New England towns and cities)
included in each metropolitan FMR area are listed immediately following
the listings of the FMR dollar amounts. All constituent parts of a
metropolitan FMR area that are in more than one state can be identified
by consulting the listings for each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are listed alphabetically on each
line of the nonmetropolitan county listings.
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[FR Doc. E8-22793 Filed 9-26-08; 8:45 am]
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