Consumer Information; New Car Assessment Program, 40016-40050 [E8-15620]
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Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration
Consumer Information; New Car
Assessment Program
National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Final decision notice.
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: On January 25, 2007, NHTSA
published a notice announcing a public
hearing and requesting comments on an
agency report titled, ‘‘The New Car
Assessment Program (NCAP) Suggested
Approaches for Future Program
Enhancements.’’ This notice
summarizes the comments received and
provides the agency’s decision on how
it will improve the NCAP ratings
program.
For model year (MY) 2010, the agency
will make changes to its existing front
and side crash rating programs. For the
frontal crash test program, NHTSA will
maintain the 35 mph (56 kmph) full
frontal barrier test protocol but will
update the test dummies and associated
injury criteria used to assess and assign
a vehicle’s frontal impact star rating. For
side impact, NHTSA will maintain the
current moving deformable barrier test
at 38.5 mph (63 kmph) but will update
that test to include new side impact test
dummies and new injury criteria that
are used to assign a vehicle’s side
impact star rating. Additionally,
vehicles will also be assessed using a
new pole test and a small female crash
test dummy.
For rollover, the agency will continue
to rate vehicles for rollover propensity,
but will wait to update its rollover risk
model to allow for more real-world
crash data of vehicles equipped with
electronic stability control.
Also for MY 2010, the agency will
implement a new ratings program that
will rate vehicles on the presence of
select advanced technologies and
establish a new overall Vehicle Safety
Score that will combine the star ratings
from the front, side, and rollover
programs.
Finally, for the agency’s vehicle
labeling program, we are announcing
that the side score, rather than being
based only on the moving deformable
barrier test, will be based on the
combination of the moving deformable
barrier test and the pole test.
Additionally, the agency will initiate
rulemaking to include the new overall
crashworthiness rating on the Monroney
label.
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For
technical issues concerning the
enhancements to NCAP, contact Mr.
Nathaniel Beuse or Mr. John Hinch.
Telephone: (202) 366–9700. Facsimile:
(202) 493–2739. For legal issues, contact
Dorothy Nakama, NHTSA Office of
Chief Counsel, Telephone (202) 366–
2992. Facsimile: (202) 366–3820. You
may send mail to these officials at: The
National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration, Attention: NVS–010,
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE.,
Washington, DC 20590.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
[Docket No. NHTSA–2006–26555]
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These changes to the New Car
Assessment Program are effective for the
2010 model year.
DATES:
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Introduction
II. Summary of Request for Comments
A. Frontal NCAP
B. Side NCAP
C. Rollover NCAP
D. Rear Impact
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
F. Presentation and Dissemination of
NCAP information
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
III. Summary of Comments
A. Frontal NCAP
1. Impact Protocol
2. Test Dummies (in the Front Seating
Position)
3. Injury Criteria
4. Test Speed
B. Side NCAP
1. Oblique Pole Test (Test Dummies and
Implementation Time)
2. Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed,
Test Dummies, and Injury Criteria)
C. Rollover NCAP
1. Rollover Risk Model
2. Dynamic Rollover Structural Test
D. Rear Impact
1. Basic Information
2. Links to the IIHS
3. Dynamic Test
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
1. Program Implementation
2. Selected Technologies
3. Rating System
F. Presentation of NCAP Information
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification (of
NCAP Results)
H. Other Suggestions
IV. Discussion and Agency Decision
A. Frontal NCAP
B. Side NCAP
C. Rollover NCAP
D. Rear Impact
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
F. Presentation and Dissemination of
Safety Information
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
H. Other Recommendations
I. Monroney Label
V. Conclusion
Appendix A
Appendix B
Appendix C
Appendix D
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I. Introduction
The National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration (NHTSA) is responsible
for reducing deaths, injuries, and
economic losses resulting from motor
vehicle crashes. One way in which
NHTSA accomplishes this mission is by
providing consumer information to the
public. NHTSA established the New Car
Assessment Program (NCAP) in 1978 in
response to Title II of the Motor Vehicle
Information and Cost Savings Act of
1972. Through NCAP, NHTSA currently
conducts tests and provides frontal and
side crash, and rollover ratings and
communicates the results using a fivestar rating system. With this
information, consumers can make
better-informed decisions about their
purchases. In turn, manufacturers
respond to the ratings by voluntarily
improving the safety of their vehicles
beyond the minimum Federal safety
standards.
For MY 1979, when the agency began
rating vehicles for frontal impact safety,
fewer than 30 percent of vehicles tested
would have received the top ratings of
4 or 5 stars for the driver seating
position.1 By comparison, for MY 2007,
98 percent of vehicles received 4 and 5
stars in the frontal NCAP rating for that
same seating position. Equally
impressive is that while it took almost
30 years to reach this level for frontal
NCAP performance, the more recent
NCAP programs, like side and rollover
NCAP, have started reaching this level
of safety performance at a pace that can
be measured in years rather than
decades. The agency believes that
consumers continue to consider safety
in their purchasing decisions and are
demanding ever-increasing levels of
safety.
Similarly, recent advances in crash
avoidance technology offer a new
opportunity for NCAP to further
enhance its ability to inform consumers
about new systems and encourage them
to purchase systems that NHTSA has
found to be effective in improving
safety.
On January 25, 2007 NHTSA
published a notice outlining proposed
enhancements to the NCAP activities. In
this notice, we requested comments on
any additional actions that the agency
could undertake so that the program
could continue to provide consumers
with relevant safety information.2 These
enhancements included new test
dummies and injury criteria for frontal
NCAP, the addition of a new side pole
test, new test dummies, and new injury
1 NHTSA began using stars in model year 1994.
See 69 FR 61072, Docket No. NHTSA–2004–18765.
2 72 FR 3473, Docket No. NHTSA–2006–26555.
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criteria for side NCAP, an overall
summary rating, and a new program to
promote advanced crash avoidance
technologies. Additionally, the notice
announced a March 7, 2007 public
hearing to allow interested parties the
opportunity to address the suggested
approaches for enhancing the program.
Seventy-six (76) individual comments
were received in response to the notice
and the public hearing.3 Commenters
offered mixed responses to the various
proposals for enhancing NCAP;
however, most commenters commended
the agency’s initiative to reexamine the
program and supported the proposed
approaches. This notice summarizes
comments to the January 2007 notice,
the March 2007 public hearing, and
provides the agency’s decision on how
it will proceed with changes to NCAP.
protocol but would also encourage
manufacturers to provide better head
and pelvis protection by including the
side impact pole test and the new test
dummies recently finalized in Federal
Motor Vehicle Safety Standard (FMVSS)
No. 214 ‘‘Side Impact Protection’’ prior
to the performance requirements being
fully phased-in.4 Furthermore, the
agency proposed research that would
focus on the assessment of the injury
mechanisms in a fully equipped side
impact air bag fleet. The purpose of the
research would be to evaluate how
serious injuries occur in the new fleet
and to develop test procedures to reflect
these impact conditions. The outcome
of this research could lead to a new
barrier test protocol (which could
include increased test speed and
different barrier characteristics).
I. Summary of Request for Comments
In its notice, the agency presented
proposals to improve not only the
program’s current front, side and
rollover activities, but also approaches
to improve its information with regards
to rear impact, and certain crash
avoidance (or active safety) technologies
such as Electronic Stability Control
(ESC). NHTSA also outlined alternatives
to enhance the presentation and
dissemination of safety information to
consumers, and solicited feedback for
additional considerations that would
allow NCAP to remain effective and
relevant in improving vehicle safety.
C. Rollover NCAP
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A. Frontal NCAP
NHTSA proposed three approaches to
enhance the frontal NCAP. The first
approach was to maintain the current
35 mph (56 kmph) test protocol with a
50th percentile male Hybrid III dummy,
but to account for injuries to the knee/
thigh/hip (KTH) complex. This would
be accomplished by including a new
injury criterion into the formula used to
calculate the frontal NCAP rating for the
driver and front passenger seating
positions. Second, while keeping the
test protocol the same, the agency
considered determining whether injury
measures obtained below the knee using
the Denton or Thor-Lx dummy legs are
predictive of real-world injuries. Last,
the agency considered evaluating
vehicles based on a lower test speed.
B. Side NCAP
To enhance its side impact safety
ratings, the agency presented two
approaches for consideration. NHTSA
proposed continuing to rate vehicles
using the moving deformable barrier test
3 This count does not include duplicative or
multiple comments from the same source.
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To enhance its rollover program, the
agency indicated that it would continue
tracking the rollover rate and the single
vehicle crash rate of vehicles equipped
with ESC to create a new rollover risk
model.
D. Rear Impact
Currently, NHTSA does not provide
consumer information on rear impacts.
However, NHTSA is aware of recent
research suggesting that consumers are
concerned about rear crashes. As such,
the agency proposed two approaches.
First, NHTSA proposed that it could
provide consumers with basic
information on rear crashes such as safe
driving behavior, proper adjustment of
head restraints, real-world safety data by
vehicle classes, and links to the
Insurance Institute of Highway Safety
(IIHS) rear impact test results. Second,
as a longer term approach, the agency
proposed that a dynamic test, which
addresses those injuries not covered by
the agency’s current standards, could be
investigated and incorporated into the
ratings program.
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
Technologies such as ESC, forward
collision warning (FCW), lane departure
warning (LDW) and crash mitigation
systems have been developed and are
being offered in the current vehicle
fleet. Some of these technologies have
shown effectiveness in reducing the
number of relevant crashes in
Department of Transportation (DOT)4 73 FR 32473, Docket No. NHTSA–2008–0104.
On June 9, 2008 the agency responded to petitions
for reconsideration of the final rule, changing the
effective date of the pole test. Now, with certain
exceptions, all vehicles have to meet the upgraded
pole test by September 1, 2014.
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sponsored field operational tests.5
Research by the agency and others has
shown that consumers are generally
unaware of these technologies or their
potential safety benefits. As a result, the
agency believed that NCAP should be
used to better highlight those beneficial
technologies to consumers and sought to
establish a new ratings program that
evaluated vehicles on the presence of
proven crash avoidance technologies.
Based on technical maturity, fleet
availability, and available effectiveness
data, NHTSA identified three
technologies that fit these criteria. These
technologies are ESC, LDW, and FCW.
NHTSA proposed two possible
approaches and illustrated a possible
implementation of the program with an
A, B, C letter grade system. First, the
agency proposed that each of the
technologies would have equal weight.
For example, if a vehicle had only one
technology, it would receive a C;
whereas, another vehicle that had all
three technologies would receive an A.
Approach two would attempt to
quantify a technology’s real-world
benefits by taking into account the target
population and anticipated effectiveness
of the technology to decide whether a
particular type of technology would be
given more weighting than another and
thus prompt a higher score. For
example, in this scheme, if ESC was
found to be more effective than lane
departure, a vehicle equipped only with
ESC could receive a B versus a vehicle
equipped only with lane departure
warning which would receive a C rating.
It was further stated that this second
approach could be expanded into a
more comprehensive performance-based
crash avoidance rating. As the
technologies evolved and as the agency
gathered more information related to
various versions of these technologies
and their associated safety effectiveness,
NHTSA proposed that a safety score
(i.e., star rating) on individual
technologies could then be developed
(e.g., different version of ESC might
yield different performance results and
thus a different star rating).
F. Presentation and Dissemination of
NCAP Information
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Several NHTSA-sponsored research
reports and consumer surveys, as well
as a Government Accountability Office
and a National Academy of Sciences
review of NCAP, have all pointed to the
public’s desire for a summary safety
rating. Similarly, other consumer
information programs around the world
5 See 72 FR 3475, Docket No. NHTSA–2006–
26555.
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such as the IIHS, Japan NCAP, and
EuroNCAP use summary ratings that
combine their respective
crashworthiness tests. The agency
proposed two summary crashworthiness
rating concepts. In both concepts, the
existing rollover rating was not included
in the calculation of the overall
summary rating, and star rating
boundaries would have to be developed
for both individual crash tests and the
overall summary rating.
The first approach computed the
overall crashworthiness rating by first
averaging the driver and right front
passenger dummy injury results from
the frontal crash mode into a single star
rating. The same would be done for the
seating positions in the side crash mode
to compute the overall side crash rating.
To compute the overall crashworthiness
rating, the overall frontal and the overall
side impact performance would be
combined by using weighting factors
obtained from real-world data (i.e. the
National Automotive Sampling System
(NASS)). Each individual total (overall
front and overall side) would be
weighted by that crash mode’s
contribution to the total injuries
occurring in the real-world.
The second approach computed the
overall crashworthiness rating by
normalizing the seating positions for
each individual crash mode (front and
side) using the Injury Assessment
Reference Values (IARVs) established
for that dummy, body region, and crash
mode. Using the NASS data, these
normalized values would then be
multiplied by the occurrence of that
injury in the real-world. Body injury
regions that are coded by NASS but are
not measured by the dummy and/or not
selected by NHTSA for inclusion in the
rating would be equally distributed
among the remaining body regions.
Presentation of Safety Information
As the consumer’s use of the Internet
for vehicle safety information has
grown, so has the need to consolidate
and better present NCAP vehicle safety
information to consumers on https://
www.safercar.gov. The four approaches
proposed by the agency were: (1)
Developing other topical areas under the
Equipment and Safety section of the
Web site; (2) redesigning the Web site to
improve organization; (3) improving
search capabilities on the Web site; and,
(4) combining agency recall and ratings
database information.
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
In addition to NHTSA’s proposed
suggestions in the notice the agency also
sought comment at the public hearing
on whether or not manufacturers should
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be allowed to conduct and publish their
own NCAP ratings via a selfcertification process. We indicated that
such an approach would be one way to
improve not only the timeliness of
NCAP ratings but also to increase the
number of vehicles rated by the agency.
III. Summary of Comments
This section provides a brief summary
of the seventy-six (76) comments
submitted to the docket by vehicle
manufacturers, safety advocates, public
health groups and the general public in
response to the notice and the public
hearing.6 It should be noted that
comments unique to the public hearing
are stated as such.
A. Frontal NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA’s frontal
program are grouped into four
categories: Impact Protocol, Test
Dummies (in the Front Seating
Position), Injury Criteria and Test
Speed.
1. Impact Protocol
The Alliance of Automobile
Manufacturers (Alliance), Automotive
Occupant Restraints Council (AORC),
Toyota Motor North America, Inc.
(Toyota), BMW of North America
(BMW), Fuji Heavy Industries USA, Inc.
(Subaru) and Volkswagen of America,
Inc. (VW) supported the retention of the
current frontal crash test protocol at 35
mph (56 kmph). Consumers Union and
Public Citizen suggested adding an
offset frontal crash test rating, which
Public Citizen believed would be far
more useful in assessing the structural
integrity of different vehicle models.
Likewise, Toyota also encouraged
NHTSA to investigate ways to include
information on offset collision
conditions in its NCAP program. Toyota
explained that their investigation of
National Automotive Sampling System
Crashworthiness Data System (NASS–
CDS) data showed that an
overwhelming majority of frontal
crashes occur in either the full overlap
or offset condition. They believed that
vehicle performance assessed in the
offset condition should yield relevant
improvements in safety technology and
provide considerable benefit.
IIHS and Subaru recommended the
addition of a frontal pole test to address
significant injuries resulting from
impacts with narrow objects. IIHS
asserted that offset tests more closely
simulate impacts with narrow objects
than do full-width tests, and that a
6 These submissions are available at https://
www.regulations.gov in Docket No. NHTSA–2006–
26555.
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narrow-object NCAP test could have an
important impact on real-world vehicle
crashworthiness, and would give
consumers a wide range of results to
inform their purchasing decisions.
Subaru suggested that NHTSA should
study and possibly propose a frontal
pole test for inclusion into NCAP if the
frequency of frontal crashes with narrow
objects is high. However, General
Motors North America (GM) asserted
that a pole test is unlikely to result in
significant change or further
improvement in structural stability and
resultant injury reduction. They stated
that research in this area may yield only
limited or incremental gains in injury
mitigation, and that the public interest
is likely to be better served by
channeling resources into areas that
could produce greater societal benefit.
2. Test Dummies (in the Front Seating
Position)
With regard to test dummies, the
Alliance stated that test dummies in
frontal NCAP should be the same as
those in FMVSS No. 208. Additionally,
GM, AORC, Consumers Union and the
Alliance supported the use of the 5th
percentile female Hybrid III dummy in
the right front passenger position. GM
provided NASS data which suggested
that small females were overrepresented (with regard to serious
injuries) in the right front passenger
seating position. GM also suggested that
in the future, the 5th percentile female
dummy should be used in both seating
positions to optimize safety. AORC
asserted that the substitution of the 5th
female for the 50th percentile male
would demonstrate a broader
population range of protection since
some data has been shown which
suggests that the weighted frequency of
serious and fatal injuries to women is
greater than to men in the right front
passenger seating position.
Furthermore, Consumers Union
asserted that the agency should
investigate using the 5th percentile
female and 95th percentile male
dummies to evaluate NCAP tests for all
sizes of vehicle occupants. Subaru
supported the continued use of 50th
percentile adult male dummies in both
front seating positions indicating that
this was more representative of realworld occupants. Subaru also asserted
that additional tests with other
dummies, such as the 5th percentile
adult female, should be done only if
well supported by real-world data.
3. Injury Criteria
Most vehicle manufacturers agreed
that NHTSA should develop and
incorporate a KTH injury criterion into
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the NCAP frontal rating. They noted that
a KTH assessment would drive vehicle
countermeasures that could mitigate
lower leg injuries and also yield
important information relevant to
vehicle design. Likewise, adding KTH
and/or lower leg injury criteria to the
NCAP rating protocol could expand the
usefulness of the NCAP system by
addressing the societal cost of
Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 2+
injuries. The Alliance, Autoliv,
Consumers Union and IIHS also
supported NHTSA’s efforts to
incorporate a KTH injury criterion into
the frontal program. However, IIHS
urged the agency to concentrate its
research tests on serious injuries and
fatalities in frontal impacts to encourage
more protective vehicle design.
Additionally, Autoliv stated that
although a reduction in KTH injuries
would have a significant impact on
societal cost, they believed that it would
have little effect in reducing fatalities.
Nissan North America (Nissan) stated
that the agency should consider a KTH
assessment only after further study is
conducted. Instead, Nissan urged
NHTSA to harmonize knee and thigh
injury values with those required in
Japanese and European regulations.
Likewise, the Association of
International Automobile Manufacturers
(AIAM) did not believe that the agency
should move expeditiously to include a
KTH criterion in the current frontal
NCAP program since the agency had
identified crashes of lower test speed as
the primary concern regarding leg
injuries. They recommended that
NHTSA present the analysis and results
of their KTH research for public
comment prior to including a KTH
criterion in the frontal program.
For lower leg assessments, several
commenters suggested that additional
research was needed to determine
whether injury measures obtained
below the knee were predictive of realworld injury. GM noted that adding a
femur load injury criterion to frontal
NCAP would drive many of the same
vehicle countermeasures that would
mitigate lower leg injuries.
With regards to what
anthropomorphic test device (ATD)
could be used for these new criteria
(KTH and lower leg), Honda specifically
stated that a KTH assessment would be
possible using the Denton dummy leg.
For injuries to the lower leg (below the
knee), Honda, Subaru, Nissan, and
Volvo Cars of North America, LLC
(Volvo), suggested that the agency adopt
the Thor-Lx legs in the future. The
Alliance did not support the
introduction of either the Denton or
Thor-Lx legs unless they were included
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in FMVSS No. 208. Furthermore, VW
believed that these test devices must be
validated, and the applicable injury
criteria and rating must be verified for
correlation with real-world safety.
Some commenters suggested that all
injury criteria incorporated in FMVSS
No. 208 (beyond head injury criteria and
chest acceleration criteria) should also
be included in frontal NCAP.
Specifically, Honda, Ford, GM, the
Alliance, and Autoliv supported the
inclusion of a chest deflection criterion
into the frontal NCAP rating based on
NASS–CDS data indicating a substantial
number of injuries to ribs and internal
organs resulting in AIS 3+ or higher
severity injuries. However, Honda stated
that the current chest deflection
calibration procedure may not be
appropriate to assure that chest
deflection measurements are accurate
enough to provide useful data. GM and
the Alliance recommended including a
chest compression criterion into frontal
NCAP. The Alliance urged NHTSA to
conduct research on neck (tension)
injury criteria before including it into
frontal NCAP. However, GM suggested
that the agency add neck injury criteria
to frontal NCAP since these criteria are
already measured by the Hybrid III
dummies and included in FMVSS No.
208.
4. Test Speed
With regards to adopting a lower test
speed, the Alliance, GM and Volvo
agreed with NHTSA’s analysis and
supported the agency’s proposal to
conduct more research on lower test
speeds. However, VW questioned
whether lower speed crashes
represented a greater risk of occupant
injury than the current NCAP test
procedure. Therefore, VW as well as the
Alliance believed that an additional test
in frontal NCAP would add significant
expense and strain on available
resources without any commensurate
advantages or benefit.
Subaru asserted that they did not
support adding low speed bumper tests
to frontal NCAP since those tests would
overlap with existing IIHS tests.
Two individual commenters, Mr.
Dainius Dalmotas and Dr. Harold Mertz
stated that a full vehicle crash test
designed to promote enhanced chest
protection in low-to-moderate speed
frontal crashes would be most
promising since the vast majority of
serious and fatal injuries among belted
drivers occur at collision speeds of 25
mph (40 kmph) or less. They also
asserted that incentives to promote
improved safety in low-to-moderate
speed frontal impacts were lacking and
could be addressed through NCAP.
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At the public hearing, Consumers
Federation of America (CFA) and the
Center for Auto Safety (CAS) suggested
that NHTSA increase test speeds and
challenge manufacturers to post the
highest speed at which their vehicles
are tested, in order to differentiate
amongst the performance of vehicles.
However, the Alliance, Consumers
Union, AIAM and Subaru opposed a
higher speed test for frontal NCAP. The
Alliance stated that field data did not
show the need for higher test speeds.
AIAM and Consumers Union did not
believe that increasing crash test speeds
would benefit the overall safety of
occupants; but rather, it could cause
vehicles to become stiffer. Subaru
asserted that a higher speed test is not
representative of the vast majority of
fatal crashes, does not enhance NCAP’s
consumer information goals, and risks
increasing vehicle aggressiveness.
B. Side NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA’s side
program are divided into the following
categories: Oblique Pole Test (Test
Dummies and Implementation Time),
Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed,
Test Dummies, and Injury Criteria), and
Side NCAP Research.
1. Oblique Pole Test (Test Dummies and
Implementation Time)
GM, Subaru, Toyota, the Alliance, and
Autoliv agreed with the agency’s
proposal to incorporate an oblique pole
test into NCAP. However, with regards
to adopting the oblique pole test prior
to the completion of the FMVSS No. 214
pole test phase-in, BMW, Ford, Toyota,
and the Alliance, asserted that such
action would be premature, and these
commenters suggested that NHTSA
adopt the test after the oblique pole test
had been fully phased-in. Furthermore,
Subaru suggested that 3 years be
allowed after the agency announced a
new test before rating vehicles under the
new test protocol.
Toyota explained that they
understood NHTSA’s intention to use
an early introduction of the pole test to
drive the installation of advanced head
protection systems (like curtain airbags),
but they believed that significant
benefits in head protection were already
being realized from the introduction of
curtain air bags, which was driven by
industry’s commitment to the industry
voluntary compatibility requirements.7
7 IIHS and the Alliance created a voluntary
agreement wherein automotive manufacturers
agreed to improve occupant protection in front and
side crashes involving cars and light trucks. For
front-to-side impacts, most automakers agreed to
design their vehicles to meet the head injury
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Therefore, Toyota recommended
additional investigation into whether
there are merits of an early introduction
of an oblique pole test into NCAP.
Honda recommended adding to the
existing side impact test by introducing
a second side impact test that is similar
to the current IIHS moving deformable
barrier (MDB) test.8 Honda suggested
that this would extend the coverage of
NHTSA’s side impact testing, be more
representative of real-world crashes, and
help to provide a more realistic
assessment of a vehicle’s
crashworthiness in these types of twovehicle collisions.
If the agency went forward with an
oblique pole test, Subaru recommended
a side impact assessment based on two
tests (the oblique pole test and IIHS’s
MDB test) with head injury criteria and
the SID–IIs dummy, as long as the
results could be combined into a single
rating. BMW and the Alliance suggested
that the 5th percentile female SID–IIs
dummy be used for the driver position
in the oblique pole test. BMW asserted
that the smaller SID–IIs dummy is most
appropriate for determining the
geometric coverage area required for a
curtain airbag. The Alliance believed
that it is appropriate to test only with
the 5th percentile female dummy in the
front seating position because this is a
very severe test condition, and it would
serve to meet the intent of NCAP while
minimizing additional test burdens on
NHTSA and the automotive industry.
Honda, Nissan and VW did not
support the inclusion of an oblique pole
test into side NCAP. Honda believed
that introducing an oblique pole test
would be a temporary measure until the
test was fully phased-in as a
requirement for FMVSS No. 214. To
comply with the requirements of
FMVSS No. 214, the head protection
benefits of the oblique pole test would
already have been realized in every
vehicle, so there would be little
practical benefit to consumers as a
result of temporarily including such a
test in NCAP. VW and Nissan, similar
to Toyota, stated that automobile
manufacturers were already committed
to front-to-side impact protection, and
that the addition of a side impact pole
test would provide no added incentive
for the manufacturers to implement
performance requirements of NHTSA’s FMVSS No.
201 side-pole test or the IIHS moving deformable
barrier test. By September 1, 2007, at least half of
all new passenger vehicles would meet one of the
two requirements, and by September 1, 2009 model
year, all new passenger vehicles would meet the
head injury requirements of the Institute’s moving
deformable barrier test.
8 This test would represent an SUV to subject
vehicle crash (IIHS Side Impact Crash Evaluation
test procedure—SICE).
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additional side impact protection.
Nissan also believed that incorporating
the pole test into NCAP is unnecessary
to encourage head protection in new
vehicles.
IIHS stated that the current NCAP
barrier test did not fully address the mix
of vehicles on the road and that the
agency needed to improve the existing
side impact barrier. IIHS suggested
giving greater priority to adopting or
modifying the IIHS side impact barrier
rather than incorporating a new oblique
pole test. However, GM asserted that the
pole test is structurally more
challenging than the IIHS MDB test, and
that the IIHS MDB test and the pole test
will not necessarily drive installation of
the same air bag solutions.
frequently injured occupant type at the
driver position is an adult male.
Autoliv asserted that the ES–2re
dummy should be used for the front
seating position in both the oblique pole
and MDB tests, as this dummy
represents the largest percentage of front
seat occupants. They also recommended
the SID–IIs dummy for the rear seating
position to provide information on
protection for older children and small
adults seated in the rear. GM also
recommended the SID–IIs dummy for
the rear seating position because more
frail persons tend to sit in the rear, the
SID–IIs dummy is tuned for frail
occupants, and placement in the rear
will import safety improvements across
the range of occupants.
2. Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed,
Test Dummies, and Injury Criteria)
NHTSA proposed a new side NCAP
barrier test protocol that would include
new dummies and additional injury
criteria. The Alliance supported the
maintenance of the current barrier test
but they suggested a revised, lower test
speed of 33.5 mph (54 kmph).
With regards to the incorporation of
new dummies into the side MDB test,
the Alliance, Subaru, Honda, Nissan,
Volvo, and AIAM proposed the
incorporation of WorldSID into NCAP.
Specifically, Volvo and the Alliance
suggested that the WorldSID dummy
should be introduced in FMVSS No. 214
and NCAP simultaneously. Honda
stated that the WorldSID dummy
provides excellent biofidelity, and does
not present problems with rib guide
shape that the ES–2re dummy appears
to have based on their evaluation. AORC
believed that the current test dummy
does not adequately address head
injuries, and they encouraged NHTSA to
use either EuroSID–2 and/or the SID–IIs
side impact dummy.
Volvo recommended that the
dummies and injury criteria for the
NCAP side barrier test procedures be the
same as they are for FMVSS No. 214.
Volvo supported the addition of head
injury criteria in the NCAP evaluation
for the side barrier; however, they
would prefer that the NCAP criteria
limits are set more stringent in order to
encourage manufacturers to exceed the
performance standards outlined in the
legal requirement. BMW recommended
that NHTSA use the ES–2re dummy for
the driver position in the MDB test
because the SID–IIs dummy is already
included in the MDB test conducted by
IIHS, and the biofidelity of the SID–IIs
dummy in these types of impacts is well
understood. GM also suggested the ES–
2re dummy for the driver position since
the most frequent occupant, and most
3. Side NCAP Research
As a longer term approach, the agency
suggested research into the moving
barrier test protocol to address injuries
and fatalities that might occur in
vehicles equipped with curtain and side
impact air bags. The agency indicated
this research could lead to a new
barrier, an increased barrier test speed,
and a reevaluation of the impact
configuration.
The Alliance, AIAM, Honda and
Subaru agreed that NHTSA should
analyze real-world side impact crashes
for vehicles with side curtain airbags.
However, the Alliance recommended
that the agency and automotive industry
should develop more experience with
the new pole test and test dummies
before considering any increase in test
speeds. In addition, the Alliance
asserted that future research should
evaluate whether it would be beneficial
for NCAP to harmonize with the
existing IIHS barrier.
Toyota supported additional research
efforts to gain a better understanding of
the potential for and the necessity of
changes to the test device and
configuration for vehicles equipped
with side airbags. Furthermore, Toyota
stated that questions remain relating to
barrier characteristics, injury criteria
and appropriate ATDs that should be
researched from relevant field data.9
Autoliv recommended that NHTSA
research increasing the test speed and
develop a single test that would assess
both the head and thorax injury
protection systems installed in newer
vehicles. Autoliv also suggested that the
adoption of the WorldSID dummy
would be suitable if incorporated into
Part 572 and FMVSS No. 214.
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9 In particular, Toyota recommended continued
investigation into previously identified concerns
with the performance of the SID–IIs upper arm,
which they believed was not biofidelic and affected
the thoracic rib response.
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Additionally, Delphi opposed releasing
a new regulation under FMVSS No. 214
and then promoting a different set of
barrier protocols, dummy types and
injury metrics for side NCAP evaluation
since that decision could cause
misdirection for original equipment
manufacturers and suppliers.
C. Rollover NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA’s
rollover program are grouped into the
following categories: Rollover Risk
Model and Dynamic Rollover Structural
Test.
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1. Rollover Risk Model
Most commenters supported the
development of a new rollover risk
model. Several commenters agreed that
real-world crash data was necessary to
develop an effective rollover risk model.
Specifically, the Alliance, AIAM, the
National Automobile Dealers
Association (NADA), and VW each
commented that NHTSA should collect
new crash data for rollover NCAP. In
particular, the Alliance and Ford
recommended that the agency collect
crash data on both ESC and non-ESC
equipped vehicles to develop a new
rollover risk model that better describes
rollover risk for all vehicles, but also
accurately reflects the differences
between ESC and non-ESC vehicles.
Toyota believed that the update to
rollover NCAP should reflect real-world
benefits of ESC on rollover risk, and that
the rollover rating should be combined
(with advanced technologies) into an
overall crash avoidance rating. AIAM
suggested that NHTSA consider
adjusting a vehicle’s rollover risk rating
to reflect the safety benefits of ESC or
adopt some other means of
communicating those benefits to
consumers.
Recognizing that since such a data
collection and analysis cannot be
completed in the near term, Ford, the
Alliance and Volvo suggested that in the
near term, an additional rollover NCAP
star should be awarded to those vehicles
equipped with an ESC system to
recognize the benefits of ESC.
Specifically, the Alliance recommended
that NHTSA provide additional
information in the form of a footnote on
the agency’s Web site and in the Safer
Car brochure that explains the benefits
of ESC and why these benefits warrant
an additional star.
2. Dynamic Rollover Structural Test
Some commenters encouraged
NHTSA to develop a test for structural
integrity to enhance rollover NCAP.
Specifically, Consumers Union, Public
Citizen and ARCCA Incorporated
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(ARCCA) urged the agency to consider
a dynamic test to assess body structure,
seat belt design (including pretension),
side curtain airbags, roof strength, door
locks and retention, and the retention of
window glazing. In particular, Public
Citizen believed that a rollover NCAP
rating should be based on a vehicle’s
ability to resist rollover and to protect
occupants in a rollover crash. They
suggested a rating that included ejection
as a consideration since this would
provide valuable information about a
vehicle’s ability to prevent death or
serious injury in a rollover crash.
Additionally, the rating should measure
rollover propensity, as well as
crashworthiness measures of
performance in a rollover crash.
The Center for Injury Research (CIR)
recommended that an NCAP rollover
test be dynamic and somewhat more
severe than a dynamic compliance
standard. According to CIR, a dynamic
test for use as both a safety compliance
standard and as an NCAP test can and
should be developed simultaneously
with action on the roof crush standard.
Moreover, CFA and CAS recommended
adding a rollover test with comparative
roof crush tests, while IIHS suggested
that NHTSA should conduct additional
research on roof crush. Bidez and
Associates stated that a meaningful
rollover crashworthiness test must
include roof deformation, seat belt
performance, door opening, and
window breakage. They emphasized
that protection should be assessed for
front and rear passengers, adults and
children, and that the Jordan Rollover
System (JRS) holds great promise.
Conversely, the Alliance, Ford and
Nissan opposed the use of JRS in NCAP.
The Alliance commented, and Ford and
Nissan stated at the public meeting that
there has been no JRS tests conducted
with an instrumented dummy and
therefore, the JRS test results cannot be
related scientifically to the real-world
risk of injury in a rollover crash.
D. Rear Impact
Comments regarding NHTSA’s rear
impact NCAP activity are divided into
the following categories: Basic
Information, Links to the IIHS, and
Dynamic Test.
1. Basic Information
Commenters presented similar views
on how NHTSA should provide
consumers with basic information
concerning rear impact crashes in an
NCAP publication. GM, Toyota, Subaru
and VW supported the inclusion of
information on the proper adjustment
and utilization of head restraint
systems. Additionally, GM supported
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consumer education that included
material such as safety tips and safe
driving practices.
2. Links to the IIHS
The IIHS endorsed the agency’s
proposal and offered their head restraint
evaluation information for posting on
the agency’s Web site. Toyota believes
that the IIHS results are only one way
to assess rear impact performance, and
thus the agency should be cautious and
thorough when determining what rear
impact evaluation should be part of a
future NCAP evaluation. They also
stated that ample consideration should
be given to passive and active head
restraint concepts in order to maintain
benefits from all design types.
The Alliance felt that NHTSA’s
proposal did not seem consistent with
the principle of the Federal government
independently generating all NCAP
data. Rather, they advocated that the
agency should investigate further the
injury mechanism of whiplash and then
choose which responses to evaluate
based on biomechanics. Similarly, GM
discouraged NHTSA from implementing
this option. According to GM, links to
the IIHS Web site might imply that
NHTSA has given full endorsement of
IIHS methodology and interpretations,
and some consumers may even
conclude that IIHS is a government
agency.
3. Dynamic Test
The Alliance believed that NHTSA
should first evaluate potential
effectiveness and safety benefits prior to
incorporating a rear crash rating into
NCAP. Consumers Union stated that
rear impact whiplash injuries are
debilitating to those involved and cause
a large cost to society. Consumers Union
recommended that NHTSA look at
IIHS’s work on rear impact testing to
determine whether developing NCAP
ratings for rear impact results would be
cost effective. Public Citizen suggested
that the agency develop a rear-impact
crash NCAP rating, especially at speeds
of 35 to 40 mph (56 to 64 kmph) to
improve rear-impact occupant
protection and seat back strength.
Furthermore, ARCCA stated that rear
impact testing for fuel integrity should
be utilized, and that this type of testing
would enable the agency to assess
occupant kinematics and interactions in
rear impacts.
Nissan recommended that NHTSA
harmonize with the global technical
regulation (GTR) dynamic test
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procedure.10 GM stated that the
development of a dynamic test by
NHTSA should be considered only after
recent revisions to FMVSS No. 202 are
assessed. According to GM, if the
regulatory changes are shown to be
effective in mitigating injury, a rear
impact NCAP could be better directed
toward areas not fully addressed by the
current regulation. Similarly, while
Subaru did not support new
requirements for FMVSS No. 202a in the
short term, they asserted that NHTSA
needs to educate consumers on the
proper use and adjustment of head
restraints. However, Subaru believed
that in the long term, NHTSA should
focus on the study of whiplash-type
injury mechanisms and applicable
countermeasures.
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E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
Comments regarding NCAP
information on crash avoidance
technologies are grouped into three
categories: Program Implementation,
Selected Technologies, and Rating
System.
1. Program Implementation
Most commenters encouraged NHTSA
to implement a new component into
NCAP to rate vehicles on the presence
of crash avoidance technologies. They
agreed that such a program would help
educate consumers about these
technologies and encourage
manufacturers to include them in more
vehicles. According to Ford, the first
step would be to identify promising
technologies with measurable realworld safety benefits. Next, those items
must be assessed using developed
performance based metrics, and finally,
the assessments should be used to
develop crash avoidance NCAP ratings
that balance rating flexibility with
stability.
GM emphasized an overarching
principle that crash avoidance NCAP
should be biased toward including
features that have a high likelihood of
improving safety. GM suggested further
that the agency consider a wording
revision, perhaps to ‘Collision
Avoidance and Post-Crash Safety
(CAPS)’ NCAP so that a technology such
as Automatic Collision Notification
could be considered and included.
Honda encouraged NHTSA to
consider a program that would define
the various crash avoidance
technologies. They stated that these
definitions should be based on the effect
10 See https://www.unece.org/trans/doc/2007/
wp29/WP29-143-23r1e.doc. This is an agreement to
begin work on Phase 2 of this GTR, which will
analyze a revised dynamic test procedure
incorporating the BioRID–II dummy.
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each function of a particular system has
from the driver’s point of view, and
include a clear explanation of the
actions the system can take to enhance
safety. Honda, along with Delphi,
suggested the development of
assessment-weighting coefficients
derived from a system’s expected
benefits and the frequency of the crash
type (using appropriate U.S. databases)
that the system is supposed to address.
BMW suggested a program that would
accomplish the agency’s goals without
over-promising consumers on expected
performance and avoid crediting
systems prematurely. They suggested a
program that would differentiate
technologies with real-world
effectiveness from those whose
effectiveness numbers were generated
by some other means. They also
suggested that NHTSA and
manufacturers collaborate on ways to
educate consumers on emerging
technologies with promising capabilities
and proven benefits.
Mercedes-Benz (Mercedes)
recommended that NHTSA work with
the automotive industry before
developing crash avoidance ratings. To
develop future ratings they, along with
Continental Automotive Systems,
supported the idea of creating an
advisory panel that represents the
viewpoints of all manufacturers
competing in the U.S. market.
Nissan agreed with the agency’s
desire to implement this new program.
They also stated that the agency should
identify immediately its priority
technologies through a press release, on
the NCAP Web site, through the
‘‘Buying a Safer Car’’ brochure, and on
each vehicle’s NCAP summary Web
page.
IIHS and NADA were not convinced
of the need for NCAP crash avoidance
ratings at this time. IIHS suggested that
NHTSA should not rate vehicle crash
avoidance technologies, since the
agency cannot currently identify which
systems are most effective.
2. Selected Technologies
Nissan and Delphi agreed with the
three technologies selected by the
agency. However, GM and Toyota
believed that there were additional
crash avoidance technologies that
should be promoted because they would
provide safety value to consumers. For
brevity, we chose not to list them all in
this document, but they included such
things as daytime running lights,
backover prevention technology, and
advanced collision notification. GM
further believed that there were data for
some of these crash avoidance
technologies and methods by which
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potential benefits could be assessed, and
they could be included in the initial
implementation of a crash avoidance
NCAP. GM felt that limiting crash
avoidance technologies to the three
identified by the agency would
unnecessarily limit the potential safety
benefits to consumers.
3. Rating System
a. Cumulative Rating (NHTSA’s
Approach 1)
There was little support for NHTSA’s
proposed Approach 1. In the short term,
only Nissan supported a simple
cumulative rating whereby each priority
technology would be weighted the
same. Both the Alliance and GM were
opposed to this approach. GM believed
that a cumulative rating would not
discriminate among the three
technologies, and they would prefer that
NHTSA weight appropriately safetyenhancing features based on their
relative benefits. The Alliance stated
that the effectiveness of the selected
technologies was not equal, and
providing equal weighting would
significantly mislead the consumer as to
their relative safety benefits.
Rather than a star rating or the use of
a cumulative rating, BMW suggested a
‘‘thumbs up’’ rating system to assist
consumers in quickly and intuitively
distinguishing among technologies on
the basis of maturity. BMW believed
that this approach would deliver to
consumers two levels of information:
which technologies have the potential
for success and which technologies have
a history of success. Furthermore, BMW
felt that this approach would reduce the
need for NHTSA to research, analyze
and document the actual benefits of a
technology. Mercedes believed that
NCAP should issue publications that
would rank the merits of emerging
technologies in a manner similar to that
used in the IIHS status reports, and that
NHTSA should communicate with the
industry so that public safety messages
could be coordinated with industry
advertisements.
b. Effectiveness Rating (NHTSA’s
Approach 2)
Nissan, in the long term, along with
Toyota, Volvo, Public Citizen, AORC,
the Alliance, AIAM and GM favored the
agency’s proposed Approach 2 of
establishing an effectiveness rating for
crash avoidance technologies. Toyota,
however, believed that it would be ideal
to develop information related to each
new technology’s safety potential and to
establish a ‘‘Graduated Comprehensive
Crash Avoidance Rating System’’
concept. They also recommended
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further study to expand the list of
technologies beyond ESC, lane
departure warning and forward collision
warning to include systems such as rear
pre-collision preparation/warning,
emergency stop signal, blind zone alert,
vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-toinfrastructure communications.
F. Presentation of NCAP Information
Comments regarding the presentation
and dissemination of NCAP focused
mainly on a combined crashworthiness
rating. A few commenters offered
suggestions on the dissemination of
NCAP information. NADA suggested
that NHTSA develop, maintain and
make available a database of non-agency
sources of credible vehicle safety
information. The CAS and CFA
suggested that the agency implement
additional and more sophisticated
systems that deliver safety information
at the point of sale. They believed this
information should be beyond the
agency’s new NCAP labeling program
(no examples were given).
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Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Most responders to the NCAP notice
expressed support for an overall
crashworthiness rating that combined
the results from all the crash modes
(front and side) tested. However, IIHS
cautioned that an all-encompassing
single rating may allow some poor
performance qualities to be hidden
under the umbrella rating. Therefore,
they urged NHTSA to provide
consumers with all of the scores in each
crash mode to allow them to choose
which vehicle to purchase.
Additionally, Delphi, Public Citizen and
Bidez and Associates noted that while a
single overall crashworthiness rating
would simplify information for
consumers, it could also confuse
consumers if not based on sound
science.
Toyota believed there is merit to
combining ratings for crashworthiness
evaluations to provide the consumer
with a comprehensive summary of the
crash performance of the vehicle in
front and side impacts. They
recommended weighting the injuries
and assessment in each impact
condition by the distribution of serious
injuries (AIS3+) and fatalities. After
determining the weighting factors for
each injury, each impact configuration
should receive similar ‘‘Field Relevance
Weighting’’ based on frequency, severe
injury risk, and occupancy. Because of
the small number of fatalities in NASS,
Toyota suggested exploring FARS
augmented with the Multiple Cause of
Death (MCOD) database.
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Honda supported a combined
crashworthiness rating that covers a
wide variety of real-world collisions.
Honda recommended compatibility
testing that assesses performance in
crashes between two vehicles with
different geometries and/or weights.
Further, they recommended weighting
coefficients for each region of the crash
test dummy, representing specific types
of injuries, based on real-world crash
and injury data.
The Alliance generally supported the
concept of a combined crashworthiness
rating. They believed that it is possible
to combine the different body regions
into a single star rating for both frontal
and side. However, they noted that the
frontal NCAP ratings are vehicle-weight
dependent while the side NCAP ratings
are generally weight independent. Thus,
the Alliance asserted that a combined
crashworthiness rating would be
comparable only within vehicle weight
class. Moreover, AIAM urged NHTSA to
ensure that a single rating is meaningful
in terms of real-world performance to
drive safety improvements in all crash
modes. They recommended that
changes to the star system be considered
only if based on appropriate research
involving consumer surveys or focus
groups, and not on intuitive judgments
about what data presentation is most
effective.
Public Citizen supported a single
rating if it were weighted with respect
to saving lives and preventing injuries.
They also suggested that NHTSA use a
letter grade rating system instead of
‘‘stars.’’ Volkswagen believed that the
agency should consider a single crash
rating only until a crash avoidance
NCAP rating grows in substance and
scope. Delphi expressed that a
combined crashworthiness rating would
obscure safety benefits; rather, they
supported a Euro NCAP style point
system and recommended that key
performance-based assessments be
presented as the primary information
and that feature-based indicators be
presented as of secondary importance.
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification (of
NCAP Results)
With regards to manufacturers
providing their own NCAP test results,
GM and Toyota supported the
implementation of a type-approval
program wherein NHTSA would
oversee NCAP testing conducted by the
manufacturer. GM felt that NHTSA’s
attendance (or the presence of a NHTSA
representative) would allow appropriate
scrutiny of the testing and ensure
consumer confidence in such a program.
Additionally, they strongly discouraged
implementation of any program that
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40023
could compromise NHTSA-sanctioned
vehicle ratings because of results
obtained through spot-checking
(presumably conducted by NHTSA).
Bidez and Associates, Consumers Union
and Public Citizen urged NHTSA to
consider a manufacturer self-certifying
process in which the industry would
test and rate its own vehicles and
undergo spot checking of their test
results by NHTSA. According to these
commenters, the benefit of such a
program would be to disseminate NCAP
test information on newly-introduced
vehicles more rapidly than under the
current system.
H. Other Suggestions
In addition to the approaches that
NHTSA had proposed to further
enhance its NCAP crashworthiness and
crash avoidance activities, commenters
submitted other recommendations to the
agency. These comments on other
possible approaches to improving NCAP
are grouped into the following
categories: Child Restraints and Rear
Seat Testing, Lighting, and Pedestrians.
1. Child Restraints
Public Citizen suggested that NHTSA
incorporate a dynamic child restraint
system (CRS) test into NCAP in all crash
modes (including frontal, rollover, side
and rear crashes). They recommended
that a six-year old Hybrid III dummy be
restrained in a backless booster and a
5th percentile female Hybrid III dummy
be placed in a 3-point belt in both rearoutboard seating positions. ARCCA
recommended adding instrumented
child dummies to the outboarddesignated seating positions in the rear
to investigate issues associated with
accommodations and crash performance
of rear-seated occupants resulting from
cargo.
Bidez & Associates asserted that the
agency should build upon and leverage
the experience of EuroNCAP in child
protection to force design innovation in
rear seat safety for six to twelve-year
olds.11 They believed there was a need
to enhance frontal impact protection of
nine to twelve-year old children who
are properly belted in the rear seat.
Their research for restrained nine to
twelve-year old children suggested that
rear seat occupants had a risk of serious
injury 78 percent higher than that of
front seat occupants. They estimated
that the overall injury rate for all
restrained nine to twelve-year olds in all
crash types was 38 percent higher in the
rear seat than in the front seat. As such,
11 The commenter did not provide specific detail
as to what design innovations have occurred as a
result of the EuroNCAP activity.
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present among belted occupants in the
rear seat.
Individual commenter Mr. Todd
Saczalski recommended rear seat testing
with adult and child dummies and child
restraints to assess the difficulty exiting
the vehicle and to examine injuries due
to seat back failure. The Children’s
Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP) stated
that the agency should place an older
belt-restrained dummy, such as the six
or ten-year old Hybrid III child dummy,
in the rear seat of the NCAP frontal test
to better understand rear restraint
systems for child occupants.
Additionally, they encouraged the use
of a belt-positioning booster seat with
the six-year old Hybrid III dummy.
Subaru did not support adding
dummies to the rear seating position.
Subaru stated that it might not be
possible, with the current front seat
positioning procedure, to properly
position a 50th percentile male Hybrid
III dummy in the rear seat of some
vehicles; the result could be
inconsistent performance evaluations
across all vehicles.
2. Rear Seat Testing
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Bidez & Associates recommended that
NHTSA immediately warn consumers,
retract its message to parents about
placing children in the rear, and force
the automobile industry to upgrade the
safety of the rear occupant area of the
existing and future vehicle fleet.
Subaru, GM and the Alliance opposed
implementation of a CRS test into
NCAP. GM asserted that there can be no
meaningful dynamic NCAP test for CRS
until there is a meaningful way to tie a
CRS NCAP performance rating to realworld performance. They believed that
it is inappropriate to invent a test and
claim correlation to real-world safety
performance improvements without
sound data to back this claim. These
commenters felt that using child safety
seats in NCAP vehicle tests would
confound the test results and would not
lead to a meaningful vehicle or CRS
rating. Additionally, the Alliance
asserted that the real-world safety
benefits of child restraints demonstrate
the children are already very wellprotected in the rear seat. As such, they
believed that adding child dummies in
child restraints to the rear seating
position for front or side NCAP testing
would not maximize advancements in
child protection.
Volvo suggested that if the agency
wanted to develop a child restraint test,
then the test should be performed on a
sled, and they asserted that there should
be improvements in FMVSS No. 213.
According to Volvo, the restrictions for
design and testing of the restraints, as
set up in this standard, basically
prohibit innovative concepts with
improved performance for reducing
misuse and improper installation and
for improving safety performance in a
crash. To improve child safety,
Consumers Union recommended that
NHTSA pursue research toward an
NCAP rating on (rear) vehicle visibility
since they believed that data from Kids
and Cars and others suggest that
children are most at risk from poor
visibility and blind zones around the
vehicle.
4. Pedestrians
Consumers Union recommended that
NHTSA study the work of auto safety
researchers in other countries to
determine whether a pedestrian-friendly
NCAP rating would be effective in the
United States. Consumers Union noted
that Honda has taken a leadership role
in designing a dummy for testing
pedestrian safety and designing its
vehicles with pedestrian safety in mind.
They urged NHTSA to consider using
the Honda pedestrian dummy and to
pursue other opportunities to improve
Adding rear seat dummies into the
frontal NCAP program was encouraged
by some commenters. In particular,
AORC and Bidez and Associates
suggested the addition of the 5th
percentile female or the 10-year old
dummy. However, AORC asserted that
an analysis of field data would be
needed to determine the most
appropriate dummy and seating
position, and that dummy development
may be required in this area to better
measure abdominal injuries that may be
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3. Lighting
Some public commenters expressed
concerns about lighting and glare
related to daytime running lights
(DRLs). However, the glare comments
were focused on the agency’s
rulemaking activity and not its
consumer information activity.
Therefore, daytime running lights are
not discussed in this notice. GM stated
that numerous field effectiveness
studies conducted throughout the world
show that DRLs could prevent some
crashes. Citing an analysis of field data
suggesting that under daytime
conditions, daytime running lights can
prevent 5 percent of opposite direction
crashes and 12 percent of pedestrian
and pedalcyclist crashes, GM
encouraged NHTSA to expand the
installation of DRLs and include this
technology in its crash avoidance rating
so that manufacturers will be
encouraged to install them and provide
additional collision avoidance benefit.
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pedestrian safety. Public Citizen
encouraged NHTSA to issue a
pedestrian NCAP test and an
accompanying safety standard. They
also challenged NHTSA to follow the
lead of the rest of the world by taking
a far more aggressive stand against the
dangers vehicles pose to pedestrians
and to raise the bar for pedestrian safety
in its discussions for a Global Technical
Regulation (GTR) on pedestrian safety.
IV. Discussion and Agency Decision
A. Frontal NCAP
In the comments to the notice and the
public hearing concerning
enhancements to frontal NCAP, most
manufacturers and vehicle safety
advocates supported the retention of the
current frontal crash test protocol at 35
mph (56 kmph). Additionally, several
comments suggested that NCAP injury
criteria and metrics be consistent with
FMVSS No. 208. Most responders
favored using the KTH injury metric
(after additional research) but also
encouraged the inclusion of other injury
criteria such as neck and chest
deflection. Some commenters suggested
that the agency immediately evaluate
lower leg injuries with the Thor-Lx
dummy, while others recommended
that NHTSA harmonize with Japan and
Euro NCAP on lower leg assessments.
The agency’s analysis and decisions on
frontal NCAP are grouped by categories:
Test Dummies, Injury Criteria and their
associated Risk Curves, and Lower
Speed Testing.
Test Dummies
Comments pertaining to the adoption
of additional test dummies included
wide support for the 5th percentile
female Hybrid III dummy, including its
placement in the right front seating
position. Others recommended that the
agency include a 95th percentile male
Hybrid III dummy in frontal NCAP. It
was also suggested that dummies be
placed in the rear seat for the purpose
of rating vehicles.
In response to these comments,
NHTSA has decided to include the 5th
percentile female Hybrid III dummy in
the right front passenger seating
position. GM provided the most
compelling evidence, and the agency
reexamined its own data and reached
the same conclusion.12 That is, the real12 The agency’s analysis found, based on NASS–
CDS estimates from 1997–2006, that the risk of AIS
2+ injury for smaller belted occupants in the right
front passenger seating position is 33% greater than
that of a mid-sized adult belted occupant in the
same seating position in full frontal crashes (0–40
delta velocities, non-rollover cases, age ranges from
13 years old or older, height for small adult: Less
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world data suggest that the smaller
females were at greater risk and more
likely to be seated in the right front
position in frontal crashes. The agency
believes that this dummy’s
incorporation into the NCAP frontal
program is reflective of real-world crash
conditions.
NHTSA has chosen, however, not to
include the 95th percentile male Hybrid
III dummy in frontal NCAP at this time.
The 95th percentile male Hybrid III
dummy has not been evaluated for
robustness, reproducibility, and
repeatability in laboratory impact
conditions and it has only undergone
very limited sled and vehicle testing. As
such, we believe additional research
and testing with this dummy is
necessary before it can be included into
frontal NCAP.
With regards to placing adult
dummies in the rear seating positions of
frontal NCAP tests, NHTSA believes
that more analysis is needed before a
rating program that includes rear seat
occupants can be established. The
agency has conducted some limited
testing with both the 50th and 5th
percentile Hybrid III adult dummies in
the rear seat under a full frontal impact
condition. However, these preliminary
results did not correlate to findings in
the real-world and additional research is
necessary to better understand the
results.13 Similarly, none of the
commenters that suggested an NCAP
rating program for the rear seat provided
the necessary data to establish how such
a program would lead to meaningful
improvements in safety.
The agency has decided not to
incorporate the use of the lower legs
from the Thor dummy to evaluate lower
leg injuries into the program at this
time. The agency is awaiting the
completion of research currently in
progress by an SAE task group.
Additionally, this tool has not
undergone the necessary robustness,
reproducibility, and repeatability testing
that the agency believes is necessary for
incorporation into an NCAP ratings
program.
With regards to frontal NCAP injury
criteria, the agency agrees with the
commenters and has decided to include
all of the FMVSS No. 208 body regions
into the frontal NCAP rating system. As
suggested by many commenters, the
agency believes that their inclusion will
not only add to the robustness of vehicle
evaluations, but it will make the criteria
used to assign NCAP frontal ratings
consistent with those used in FMVSS
No. 208 and in other frontal-crash
vehicle assessment programs. It will
also allow the agency to incorporate all
safety concerns related to injury criteria
readings into the calculation of the
frontal rating thus eliminating the need
to use the safety concern symbol.14
However, unlike the current NCAP
program which uses chest acceleration
to assess thoracic injury risk, the new
frontal program will focus instead on
peak chest deflection instead. We
believe that the inclusion of chest
deflection into frontal NCAP will
encourage development of restraint
systems that will further reduce the risk
of thoracic injuries.15 This is especially
true given a manufacturer’s compliance
margin with the chest acceleration limit
of 60 G’s and the fact that the FMVSS
No. 208 belted test is now conducted at
the same speed as the frontal NCAP test.
Accordingly, frontal NCAP will include
the following body regions and injury
criteria: Head (HIC15), neck (Nij, tension,
and compression), chest (deflection),
and femur (axial force). The risk curves
that will be used for these criteria are
described below.
As indicated in our proposal, NHTSA
is also adopting AIS 3+ and AIS 2+
injury risk curves to assess the risk of
injury to front seat occupants.16 This
approach is different from the current
NCAP rating system which uses AIS 4+
(severe) injury risk curves. The new risk
curves will focus vehicle performance
on more frequently occurring injuries
than severe (AIS 4+) or critical (AIS 5+)
injuries.
With the exception of chest
deflection, the AIS 3+ injury risk curves
that will be used by the agency in NCAP
are the same as those used for FMVSS
than 65 inches, and height for mid-sized adult:
65–73 inches).
13 Kuppa, S., Saunders, J., Fessahaie, O., Rear
Seat Occupant Protection in Frontal Crashes, Paper
No. 05–0212, Nineteenth ESV Conference,
Washington DC (2005).
14 A safety concern symbol is a test occurrence
that is not reflected in a vehicle’s star rating but that
NHTSA feels is of significant importance that the
event should be communicated to consumers.
15 The agency evaluated new MY 2005–2007
tested vehicles and found that for acceleration, the
standard deviation for risk of injury was
approximately ±3% compared to chest deflection
which was approximately ±4%.
16 Details of these injury risk curves are provided
in Appendix C, Injury Risk Curves for the NCAP
Combined Crashworthiness Rating System.
17 Laituri, T., Prasad, P., Sullivan, K., Frankstein,
M., Thomas, R. (2005), Derivation and Evaluation
of a Provisional, Age Dependent AIS 3+ Thoracic
Risk Curve for Belted Adults in Frontal Impacts,
SAE Paper No. 2005–01–0297.
18 See Ore, L., Tanner, B., States, J. (1993),
Accident Investigation and Impairment Study of
Lower Extremity Injury, SAE Paper No. 930096, SAE
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No. 208. The AIS 3+ chest deflection
injury risk curve that the agency will
use in NCAP was developed in 2003 by
Laituri et al.17 The agency chose this
risk curve for deflection because, as
noted by the agency during the FMVSS
No. 208 advanced air bag rulemaking,
the chest deflection risk curve
published by the agency was not used
to establish the performance limits
currently in FMVSS No. 208.
The agency will be using an AIS 2+
risk curve for the femur because most
femur fractures are either of the AIS 2
or AIS 3 injury severity. Additionally,
the AIS 2+ femur risk curve was
primarily developed from multifragmentary patellar fractures, which,
like other articular surface injuries, are
associated with a high level of
disability. As such, using an AIS 2+
injury risk curve will help ensure that
debilitating multi-fragmentary patellar
fractures are addressed.18
NHTSA has decided not to
incorporate an advanced KTH risk curve
into frontal NCAP at this time. In
consideration of the comments received
and because this risk curve is
undergoing additional evaluation, the
agency felt it would be premature to
include it in NCAP. However, we do
believe that the inclusion of a femur
injury criterion, as indicated above, will
lead to improved bolster design.
Similarly, when coupled with the other
injury criteria for chest deflection and
neck, will lead to overall improved
restraint system designs. NHTSA has
also decided not to harmonize its NCAP
femur injury values with those of
EuroNCAP and Japan NCAP. The
agency evaluated the rating schemes of
these international programs along with
that from the IIHS. These programs use
a sliding scale to rate vehicles as
opposed to injury risk curves. As such,
as will be explained later in this
document, because we have chosen to
maintain our current methodology for
combining injury risk we cannot
substitute sliding scales for risk
curves.19
The injury risk curves used in the
NCAP frontal crash test program for the
50th percentile male Hybrid III and 5th
percentile female Hybrid III dummies
International Congress and Exposition, Detroit, MI,
and MacKenzie, E. (1986), The Public Health
Impact of Lower Extremity Trauma, SAE Paper No.
861932, Symposium on Biomechanics and Medical
Aspects of Lower Limb Injuries, San Diego.
19 The sliding scales in these programs relate
injury measures to point values without equating
them to probability of injury. However, risk curves
equate the injury measures to expected risks of
injury.
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are shown below. How these injury risk
curves will be combined to generate a
vehicle’s frontal NCAP star rating will
be discussed later in Section IV–F.
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mechanisms, dummy biofidelity, and
risk curves to proceed.
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Lower Test Speed
A lower test speed for frontal NCAP
was supported by some commenters but
an almost equal number opposed such
an NCAP test. In light of the real-world
studies conducted by the agency and
some of the commenters, NHTSA has
decided that additional research is
necessary to fully address the proposal
for a lower test speed. At this time, the
agency has insufficient data with
respect to test speed, injury
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B. Side NCAP
Most commenters supported the
agency’s proposal to incorporate an
oblique pole test into the program, with
several suggesting that this test should
be adopted after the completion of the
FMVSS No. 214 phase-in. Additionally,
several responses encouraged the
adoption of new test dummies for side
NCAP including WorldSID, SID–IIs and
ES–2re dummies. Commenters also
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suggested that side impact test
procedures and injury criteria be
consistent with FMVSS No. 214.
Finally, IIHS encouraged NHTSA to
adopt or modify their current moving
deformable barrier (MDB). The agency’s
analysis and decisions on side NCAP
are grouped into the following
categories: MDB Design, MDB Test
Speed, Oblique Pole Test, Test
Dummies in the MDB and Oblique Pole
Tests, and Injury Criteria and their
associated Risk Curves.
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MDB Design
The agency has decided against any
modifications to the existing moving
deformable barrier. Instead, we will
evaluate the IIHS MDB (including the
crabbed vs. perpendicular
configuration) as part of a more
comprehensive approach that is
currently underway. This research will
help the agency decide what properties
a new MDB should have. As noted in
the FMVSS No. 214 Final Rule,20
initiatives to improve vehicle
compatibility between passenger cars
and light truck vehicles in side crashes
are likely to change the characteristics
of striking vehicles in the future.21 As
such, we believe these new
characteristics should be included in
any upgraded MDB.
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MDB Test Speed
There was little support for an
increased test speed for side NCAP,
while some urged the agency to
maintain or lower the current speed. As
indicated in our request for comments,
the real-world data indicates that the
current test speed is largely
representative of real-world crashes in
which serious and fatal injuries occur;
yet, increasing the test speed by 5 mph
(8 kmph) would capture approximately
5,000 more serious and fatal injuries. No
commenters disagreed with this data.
However, NHTSA has not conducted
any testing at this increased test speed
with the ES–2re or SID–IIs dummies,
and we want to better understand what
countermeasures would be developed if
the test speed in side NCAP were
increased to 43.5 mph (71 kmph) or
higher. As such, NHTSA has decided to
maintain the current test speed and we
will evaluate the test speed as part of
our more comprehensive research work
that is already underway.
Oblique Pole Test
Most commenters supported
incorporating an oblique pole test into
NCAP. However, some opposed this
proposal, stating that a pole test would
not add an incentive for manufacturers
to provide additional head side impact
protection beyond the IIHS side impact
test. The agency does not agree with
these commenters. As we stated in the
FMVSS No. 214 Final Rule, we believe
that the pole test in conjunction with
our current MDB will drive better head,
chest and pelvis protection than
conducting the IIHS side impact test
alone. Recent pole tests conducted on
vehicles that were found to have
20 72
21 69
FR 51908, Docket No. NHTSA–2007–29134.
FR at 27992, Docket No. NHTSA–2004–
17694.
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‘‘Good’’ or ‘‘Acceptable’’ performance in
the IIHS barrier test had dummy head
and pelvis injury readings, for some
vehicles, that were significantly higher
than the IIHS test indicated.22 These test
results indicate that the use of the
oblique pole test in NCAP will demand
more robust countermeasure designs
leading to higher levels of safety
performance.
Because the pole test can evaluate
only one seating position at a time, most
commenters were in support of running
one pole test. Several stated that
conducting multiple side impact pole
tests with different sizes of dummies
would introduce significant test burden.
We have decided to add the oblique
pole test procedure specified in the
FMVSS No. 214 Final Rule for all
vehicles tested by NCAP. Therefore,
rather than conducting a pole test for
each outboard seating position in the
vehicle, we will conduct only one test
to evaluate the front seat outboard
performance of vehicles. NHTSA
believes that a single pole test with one
dummy will provide consumers with
information on side pole performance
without introducing significant test
burden to both NHTSA and
manufacturers.
Test Dummies in the MDB and Oblique
Pole Tests
Outside of those commenters who
suggested use of the World SID, most
commenters supported the
incorporation of the new, recently
federalized side impact crash test
dummies into side NCAP. Some
specifically proposed that the agency
use the 50th percentile male ES–2re
dummy for the driver seating position
and the 5th percentile female SID–IIs
dummy for the rear seating position in
the MDB test. For an oblique pole test,
most encouraged the use of the SID–IIs
dummy in the driver seating position.
Several commenters recommended
that the agency incorporate the
WorldSID dummy into Part 572 and
side NCAP. For both test configurations
(pole and MDB), the agency has decided
not to incorporate this dummy into
NCAP at this time. Although the agency
has been conducting testing and
evaluation to determine the suitability
of incorporating the WorldSID into Part
572 and side impact crash tests, further
work remains to be completed before its
use in NCAP can occur.
Test dummy selection for the MDB
and the pole test are discussed below.
22 See Appendix A, NCAP and IIHS Pole Test
Results.
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a. MDB Test
NHTSA has decided to incorporate
the new 50th percentile male ES–2re
dummy into the driver seating position
and the 5th percentile female SID–IIs
dummy in the rear seating position for
the MDB test as adopted in the FMVSS
No. 214 Final Rule. The agency selected
the 50th percentile male ES–2re dummy
in the driver position because its weight
and height is more representative of the
average driving population than is the
SID–IIs dummy. The 5th percentile SID–
IIs dummy was selected for the rear
seating position because it is closer in
height to the average outboard rear seat
occupant than the 50th percentile ES–
2re dummy, and its placement in the
rear seat will lead to a more demanding
test.23
b. Oblique Pole Test
NHTSA has decided to conduct only
one oblique pole impact test with the
5th percentile female SID–IIs dummy in
the driver position. As stated in our
recent FMVSS No. 214 Final Rule, small
stature drivers (height up to 5 feet 4
inches) comprise approximately 28
percent of seriously or fatally injured
drivers in narrow object side impacts. In
addition, real-world crash data suggests
that small stature occupants have a
higher proportion of head, abdominal,
and pelvic injuries and a lesser
proportion of chest injuries than median
stature occupants.
So while we selected the 50th
percentile dummy for the front seating
position in the MDB test (because it
represents the average driver), for the
pole test we are selecting the 5th
percentile dummy as the driver because
in collisions with narrow objects, the
5th percentile has the higher risk of
injury. Additionally, since we are
conducting the MDB test with the 50th
percentile dummy in the driver seating
position and the 5th percentile dummy
in the driver seating position for the
pole test, manufacturers will have to
encompass a broader range of seating
positions with their vehicle and
restraint system designs.
Injury Criteria and Risk Curves
As with frontal NCAP, several
commenters stated that the injury
metrics used in NCAP should be
consistent with the safety standard that
serves as their basis. In the case of side
NCAP, the safety standard is FMVSS
No. 214. Several commenters stated that
23 In the testing which supported the FMVSS No.
214 upgrade, both the 5th and the 50th percentile
dummies passed the MDB test but the rear was
more stringent and difficult for the 5th percentile
dummy.
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the adoption of the 50th percentile male
ES–2re and 5th percentile female SID–
IIs dummies and their associated injury
criteria from FMVSS No. 214 would
facilitate a more comprehensive
assessment of side impact injury.
NHTSA agrees with these commenters
and has decided to incorporate head
(HIC36), chest (deflection), abdomen
(force), and pelvic (force) injury criteria
as well as applicable risk curves to rate
vehicles for the ES–2re and, consistent
with the safety standard, HIC36 and
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pelvic (force) for the SID–IIs dummy.24
NHTSA believes that these criteria and
their inclusion in side NCAP will lead
to a more robust rating. Similarly, it will
also allow the inclusion of head- and
pelvic-related injury criteria in the
calculation of the side rating without
the need for the safety concern symbol.
Similarly, the injury risk curves that the
24 We note that for the SID IIs, we are not
incorporating spine acceleration at this time. Even
though this measure is included in the new FMVSS
No. 214, we do not have a risk curve that has been
validated at this time to include in our rating
scheme for rating vehicles for side impact
protection.
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agency will use in side NCAP are the
same as those used for the recent
upgrade to FMVSS No. 214.25
The table below presents the
applicable injury criteria and associated
injury risk curves for each dummy that
will be used in the side NCAP vehicle
rating. How these injury risk curves will
be combined to generate a vehicle’s side
NCAP star rating will be discussed later
in Section IV–F.
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25 Details of these injury risk curves are provided
in Appendix C, Injury Risk Curves for the NCAP
Combined Crashworthiness Rating System.
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Lead Time
While most commenters supported
the inclusion of the pole test in NCAP,
an almost equal number suggested that
the test not be incorporated until after
FMVSS No. 214 is fully phased-in.
NHTSA does not agree with these
commenters. NHTSA believes that some
manufacturers have begun to design
vehicles to meet the pole test and we
want consumers to be aware of those
vehicles. Additionally, we believe that
conducting the pole test for MY 2010
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will provide an incentive for others to
begin and/or accelerate their processes
for improvement as well. Finally, rating
vehicles on both their performance in
the pole test and the MDB test, which
will now incorporate HIC and other
criteria, will help foster an environment
for vehicle manufacturers to design
better side impact designs for the head,
chest and pelvis, and allow consumers
to make more informed choices based
on these new tests.
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C. Rollover NCAP
Several commenters suggested that
the agency add an additional star to the
Rollover NCAP rating for vehicles
equipped with ESC. They suggested the
extra star be supplemented by a footnote
saying, ‘‘equipped with electronic
stability control.’’ In addition, one
commenter suggested that a star be
subtracted from vehicles not equipped
with ESC. Commenters also
recommended that NHTSA incorporate
a new, dynamic structural test into
rollover NCAP. The agency’s analysis
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and decisions regarding NHTSA’s
rollover program are grouped into two
categories: Rollover Risk and Injury Risk
Models and Dynamic Rollover and
Structural Test.
Rollover Risk and Injury Risk Models
With regards to the agency’s proposal
to develop a new rollover risk model,
the agency agrees with commenters’
concerns about the effects of ESC on the
rollover risk model. However, we do not
agree that is appropriate to add or
subtract a star in the rollover rating to
account for ESC. The current rollover
rating is the result of a detailed analysis
of a vehicle’s potential risk of rollover
if a crash is initiated. Given that the star
Vehicles not tipping in dynamic test: Rollover risk =
Vehicles tipping in dynamic test: Rollover risk =
t
Where SSF=static stability factor
This model describes the absolute risk
of rollover given a single-vehicle crash.
As will be discussed later, we will
include ESC in the new NCAP Crash
Avoidance Rating. We feel this will be
much more effective in highlighting the
importance of ESC and other potentially
life-saving technologies.
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Dynamic Rollover and Structural Test
In their public hearing testimony,
Ford suggested that NCAP dynamic
rollover protocol be aligned with
compliance protocol for ESC to
minimize the risk of unintended
consequences from the program. The
agency does not agree with this
suggestion. These tests have
significantly different performance
requirements and are intended to
measure different dynamic vehicle
responses. In the future, it may be
possible to address the likelihood of
aligning the new ESC compliance test
with the NCAP dynamic rollover ‘‘fishhook’’ test, but additional research is
needed before these two tests can be
combined. Neither test measures the
responses from the other test; therefore,
neither test could be used as a substitute
for the other.
Some commenters suggested a
structural rollover test; in particular,
NHTSA received comments regarding
the Jordan Rollover System (JRS) test
device.26 Some commenters believe that
26 The JRS device rotates a vehicle body structure
on a rotating apparatus (‘‘spit’’) while the road
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appears consistent with the newer data,
possibly (at least in part) because of the
sampling variability associated with the
relatively small ESC subset. A larger
sample may produce different results,
and we will recalibrate the estimates if
we determine conclusively (that is,
beyond the effects of statistical
variability) that the current estimates do
not describe the newer data. In the
meantime, we will continue to use the
risk estimated from the vehicle’s Static
Stability Factor (SSF) and its propensity
to tip up in the dynamic rollover
‘‘fishhook’’ test as described in 68 FR
59250 (October 14, 2003). These are
provided below:
bands are set at 10 percent, adding a star
to the rollover risk rating could suggest
to consumers that ESC would reduce a
particular vehicle’s risk of rollover by
up to 10 percent in a given crash. This
could result in unsupported and
inaccurate vehicle ratings.
The current rollover risk model was
fit using crash data collected several
years ago (at a time when ESC was
available in relatively few vehicles). We
are monitoring the fit of the model to
newer data and, in particular, to data for
ESC-equipped vehicles. We have
identified 7,000 single-vehicle crashes
with NCAP-tested vehicles equipped
with ESC in our State Data System
(SDS). At this time, the current model
1
1+e
2.8891+1.1686× Ln (SSF − 0.9)
1
1+e
2.6968+1.1686× Ln (SSF − 0.9)
the JRS test can be conducted with
dummies to demonstrate whether
vehicle roof performance meets
objective injury and ejection criteria for
belted and unbelted occupants. As part
of our roof crush upgrade, the agency
has received numerous comments
regarding the JRS device.27 The JRS and
other dynamic rollover procedures are
being addressed as a part of the roof
crush rulemaking currently underway.
Therefore, a decision on its
appropriateness for incorporation into
NCAP would be premature at this time.
D. Rear Impact
With regards to rear impact NCAP,
some commenters urged the agency to
include a rear impact crash test rating
and/or the IIHS test results in NCAP.
Others indicated that linkage to IIHS
could appear to be an agency
endorsement of the IIHS testing and that
it would be premature to incorporate a
new rear impact dynamic test into
NCAP since the effect of the new
FMVSS No. 202a requirements is
unknown at this time.28 Rather, they
suggested that NHTSA educate
consumers on the proper use and
adjustment of head restraints.
NHTSA does not agree that a dynamic
test would be premature at this time
since such an option exists in our
FMVSS No. 202a. However, we do agree
surface moves along the track and contacts the roof
structure.
27 See Docket No. NHTSA–2005–22143.
28 By MY 2012, 100% of front and rear seats will
have to meet the upgraded FMVSS No. 202a.
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with the commenters that providing the
IIHS results on our Web site could lead
to consumers believing that the agency
has approved, in particular, their
dynamic test procedure. In addition, we
note that the test dummy used by IIHS
has not been approved for regulatory
use, and some of the injury criteria used
for this assessment have not been
correlated with real-world injury.
We also see very little benefit to
consumers in publishing IIHS’s static
head restraint ratings of Good,
Acceptable, Marginal, etc. on https://
www.safercar.gov. The agency’s
upgraded head restraint regulation
(FMVSS No. 202a) will begin an 80%
phase-in for front seats in MY 2010. Any
manufacturer certifying their head
restraint to the static option of FMVSS
No. 202a, according to IIHS’s current
scheme, would be placed in the Good or
Acceptable category. Most of those not
achieving a Good rating will be
adjustable head restraints that IIHS
downgrades by one category simply
because they are adjustable. Thus, there
would be very little meaningful
difference in the rating.
For those manufacturers certifying
their head restraints to the dynamic
option in FMVSS No. 202a, the static
IIHS rating would not provide a
meaningful metric of performance. The
agency also contemplated publishing
the actual numerical values of static
height and backset that the IIHS
measures but have decided against this
course. We believe that consumers
would find this information confusing
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and difficult to interpret. As such, rather
than providing the IIHS data on our
Web site, we have decided to update
https://www.safercar.gov to include
information related to proper head
restraint adjustment.
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E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
Most commenters supported the
agency’s proposal to implement a crash
avoidance ratings program. However,
there were two commenters who did not
believe that a crash avoidance rating
program was needed at this time. Two
commenters suggested that NHTSA
work with the automotive industry to
create an advisory panel to develop a
crash avoidance rating system.
Additionally, most responses did not
favor a cumulative rating system;
instead, several commenters
emphasized the importance of selecting
advanced technologies and developing a
rating system based on real-world
effectiveness. Furthermore, several
commenters recommended that the
agency consider other advanced
technologies beyond ESC, FCW and
LDW.
NHTSA agrees that a rating system
that incorporates a crash avoidance
system’s estimated benefit is ideal. We
also believe that we should establish
this new program quickly for two
reasons. First, we want to draw a greater
distinction for consumers regarding
vehicles that are being equipped with
ESC during the phase-in period. Second,
in addition to ESC, there are other new
safety technologies which exist today
that can assist a driver in preventing
severe and frequently occurring crashes.
We believe that through NCAP, we can
provide an incentive to encourage
accelerated deployment of these new,
advanced technologies. The agency’s
analysis and decisions on new crash
avoidance ratings program are grouped
into the following categories: Selected
Technologies and Rating System.
Selected Technologies
Those commenters who supported
establishment of a program that would
promote crash avoidance technologies
agreed with the agency’s selection of
ESC, FCW and LDW as beneficial
technologies. Others believed that the
agency should expand its list to
encompass crash avoidance,
crashworthiness and post-crash
technologies so as not to limit the
potential safety information that could
be provided to consumers. NHTSA
believes that ESC, FCW and LDW are
the only technologies that meet the
agency’s criteria and are mature enough
for inclusion in a crash avoidance rating
program. That is, all three have
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available benefits data and performance
test procedures to be included in a
rating program.
We believe that both FCW and LDW
will address major crash problems seen
on U.S. roadways. FCW is designed to
address primarily rear-end crashes,
which account for approximately 30
percent of all crashes, while LDW is
designed to address crashes due to
unintended lane drift. Crash types that
may result from lane drift include road
departure and opposite direction
crashes. The NCAP report showed that
rear-end road departure, and opposite
direction crashes represent a significant
amount of the total maximum AIS 3+
injuries.29 Results from large scale field
tests for FCW and LDW provided
effectiveness and benefit information for
each technology and suggest that FCW
and LDW have the potential to
significantly reduce the number of
crashes that occur in the U.S.30
Additionally, NHTSA used data from
these field operational tests (FOTs), as
well as additional agency research, to
finalize performance tests establishing
minimum performance criteria for FCW
and LDW so that vehicles can be rated
on their presence.31 For ESC, because it
had been in the field for some time, we
used real-world data to establish
effectiveness and then used the test
procedure which accompanied the Final
Rule (FMVSS No. 126) to develop a
performance test and minimum
performance criteria.32 The table below
presents NHTSA’s effectiveness
estimate values for ESC, FCW, and
LDW.33 A range was used for LDW to
reflect potential system availability
variation due to lane marking quality.
EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES FOR ESC,
FCW, AND LDW
Effectiveness
(percent)
System
ESC ..................................
59
29 See https://www.safercar.gov/
newcarassessmentenhancements-2007.pdf at page
18, Table 6.
30 LDW effectiveness estimated from data
included in NHTSA Report No. DOT HS 810 854,
Evaluation of a Road Departure Crash Warning
System, December 2007. FCW effectiveness
estimated from data included in NHTSA Report No.
DOT HS 810 569, Evaluation of an Automotive
Rear-End Collision Avoidance System, March 2006.
31 See Docket No. NHTSA–2007–27662 for ESC,
LDW, and FCW test procedures.
32 See NHTSA Report No. DOT HS 810 794, The
Statistical Analysis of the Effectiveness of
Electronic Stability Control (ESC) Systems-Final
Report, July 2007. See also 72 FR 17236, Docket No.
NHTSA–2007–27662.
33 See Appendix B, Effectiveness Estimates for
ESC, FCW and LDW for a summary explanation of
how overall effectiveness estimate values were
generated.
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EFFECTIVENESS ESTIMATES FOR ESC,
FCW, AND LDW—Continued
System
FCW ..................................
LDW ..................................
Effectiveness
(percent)
15
6–11
NHTSA believes that the FOT results
for FCW and LDW are applicable for
estimating real-world safety benefits
since these technologies were evaluated
in the same real-world driving
environment in which they would be
deployed. In general, in an FOT, the
major variables impacting a
technology’s safety benefits, including
differences in individual driving styles
and behavior, system performance, and
driver acceptance, are taken into
account. Likewise, critical safety
incidents (i.e. near-crash incidents that
occur during the FOT) data are recorded
and evaluated to determine if the
technology provided a safety benefit in
terms of critical incident reduction.
Assuming a proportional relationship
between near-crash events and actual
crashes, critical incident data are further
evaluated using statistical methods to
estimate crash reduction benefits. In the
field tests for FCW and LDW systems,
NHTSA provided technical management
and the Volpe National Transportation
Systems Center performed an
independent evaluation to estimate
safety benefits which included rigorous
statistical analysis.
NHTSA believes that ESC, FCW and
LDW are the only crash avoidance
technologies that meet the agency’s
criteria for inclusion in a crash
avoidance rating program at this time.
That is, all three address a major crash
problem, safety benefit projections have
been assessed, and performance tests
and procedures are available to ensure
an acceptable performance level. The
agency acknowledges that many other
technologies were identified by
commenters such as collision mitigation
braking systems, lane keeping assist
systems, and side object detection
technologies. However, at this time the
agency does not have enough data to
estimate the safety benefits of these
systems, and therefore will not promote
these other technologies at this time.
Through our current research
activities and/or information obtained
from the automotive industry and the
public, the agency anticipates that it
will gain information on the benefits
and performance capabilities of other
advanced safety technologies. If the
agency anticipates making changes to
the rating system or the technologies
that the agency has chosen to promote
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as that information is gathered, the
agency will seek public input on the
appropriateness of such changes. At this
time, we anticipate using similar criteria
(addresses a major crash problem,
assessed safety benefits, and established
performance tests and procedures) to
determine technologies for future
program inclusion.
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Rating System
Generally, there was little support for
a crash avoidance rating system based
on a cumulative concept (e.g., the more
technology you have; the higher the
rating). Instead, several commenters
preferred that the agency develop a
rating system based on a computation of
benefits to be expected from the crash
avoidance technologies of a rated
vehicle. Regardless of approach, these
commenters all suggested that the
agency use a star rating system to inform
consumers about the presence of
advanced technologies. BMW and
Mercedes suggested a simpler approach
whereby technologies would essentially
be listed without regards to their
effectiveness and without summing
them into an overall rating crash
avoidance rating. BMW offered an
approach where all technologies would
all be treated equally but where those
technologies that had been proven
beneficial by real world studies would
somehow (in their scheme solid green
and hollow thumbs were used) be
denoted differently. Similarly, Mercedes
suggested a simple ranking system for
technologies.
To gauge consumer understanding
and acceptance of these various
systems, NHTSA tested the cumulative
approach, the effectiveness approach,
and the list approach with groups of
consumers.34 NHTSA conducted four
focus group sessions in the DC area with
participants who had to qualify as either
a primary or shared decision maker with
respect to automobile purchases for
their household and intended to
purchase a new or used automobile in
the next two years. Participants in both
groups were also screened to ensure
they had some level of concern about
the safety of automobiles and the groups
represented a mix of age, education, and
income. The agency tested letters, stars,
words, check marks, and color schemes
(for standard and optional availability)
depending on which one of the three
approaches was being tested. The
agency also tested a subset of these
treatments in an on-line forum.
34 The full study report is available https://
www.regulations.gov in Docket No. NHTSA–02004–
19104.
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With regards to what type of rating
system should be used, participants
overwhelmingly preferred a rating
system that was a simple list approach.
Additionally, focus group participants
unanimously agreed that the use of
colors is not visually appealing to fully
comprehend what they are viewing. In
the treatments tested by the agency,
single check marks as opposed to
multiple check marks to indicate a
technologies importance were preferred
by most participants. Additionally, to
display and communicate the
information, consumers stated that a
single check mark or the use of text
(indicating standard or optional) is the
most understandable way to illustrate
the presence of crash prevention
technologies, though neither marking
was overwhelmingly preferred.
Participants overwhelmingly objected
to the multiple checks, star markings
and A–D grading scale, saying they were
very difficult to understand, despite
having an associated key. Several
participants also stated that if there
were a technology or several
technologies that were more important
than the others, than that should be
specifically communicated or noted on
the layout and inferred, not the use of
stars, individual letter grades, or
multiple check marks.
The agency believes that the
preference for the use of check marks or
text over the use of an effectiveness
approach may be rooted in the fact that
participants (and to the extent that they
are reflective in general of new car
buyers) may not fully grasp the
importance of these features. For
example, participants generally stated
that they think of these features as ‘‘nice
to haves’’ rather than ‘‘must haves’’
because they are not yet aware of how
the features can reduce fatalities. As
such, the agency intends to continue
monitor the public’s understanding of
this new rating program and if necessary
change the way in which ratings are
communicated to the public. For now,
based on these focus group results, the
agency will use text to communicate the
standard or optional presence of ESC,
LDW, and FCW on vehicles.
F. Presentation and Dissemination of
Safety Information
Some commenters encouraged the
agency to disseminate additional and
more sophisticated consumer
information but no specific examples
were given. Most commenters discussed
and supported the agency’s proposal for
a combined crashworthiness rating. The
agency’s analysis and decisions on the
presentation and dissemination of safety
information are divided into the
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following categories: Presentation of
Safety Information and Combined
Crashworthiness Rating.
Presentation of Safety Information
Some commenters supported
consumer education materials such as
safety tips and safe driving practices.
Others suggested that NHTSA develop,
maintain and make available a database
of non-agency sources of credible
vehicle safety information. Finally,
some commenters suggested that the
agency provide additional information
at the point of sale (beyond that
required by the new labeling program).
NHTSA agrees with many of these
suggestions. NHTSA continuously
investigates ways to improve marketing
the NCAP vehicle ratings program. We
will place the results of our enhanced
marketing studies in Docket No.
NHTSA–02004–19104, as they are
completed.
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Most commenters supported an
overall crashworthiness rating that
combined the results from all test
conditions. Honda and Toyota provided
some details but GM and Ford provided
very specific information on how this
new rating could be calculated. Some
commenters cautioned that an overall
rating would overly simplify
information for consumers, and that it
could mislead consumers if poor
performance were hidden under an
umbrella rating. Given the general
support for an overall rating and the
public’s desire for simpler information,
NHTSA is implementing a new overall
crashworthiness rating that combines
the results of the front, side and rollover
programs.
NHTSA will provide a summary
crashworthiness rating for each vehicle
(which we will call the Vehicle Safety
Score) plus individual scores for each
occupant in each crash condition for
that vehicle (as a set of relative risk
measures). This is in accordance with
comments from Delphi, Public Citizen,
Bidez and Associates, and the IIHS who
expressed concern over individual test
results being masked and that
individual scores in each crash mode
should continue to be provided to the
consumer. Scores for vehicles will be
provided to the consumer via a star
rating system where the new bands for
1 to 5 stars were determined by the
mean and dispersion of the risk of
injury in each crash test condition (front
and side) and the risk of rollover.
Although NHTSA’s previous proposal
did not suggest including the rollover
risk rating in the crashworthiness rating,
the agency has now decided to do so.
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The agency’s decision to include the
rollover rating in the combined rating is
consistent with the 1996 Transportation
Research Board recommendation,35 and
we believe that its inclusion provides a
more complete summary rating. Below,
we describe how the frontal and side
scores are developed and how these
scores are combined with the rollover
score to create an overall score.
Consistent with what has already
been presented, NHTSA has selected the
following test conditions, test dummies
and injury criteria to develop its
combined rating:
• One frontal impact crash test (full
frontal rigid barrier crash test at 35 mph
(56 kmph)) with a 50th percentile male
Hybrid III dummy in the driver position
and a 5th percentile female Hybrid III
dummy in the front passenger seating
position.
• One side impact crash test (38.5
mph (62 kmph) with NHTSA’s moving
deformable barrier (MDB) crabbed at 27
degrees into the side of vehicle) with an
ES–2re dummy in the front seating
position and a SID-IIs dummy in the
rear seating position on the struck side
of the vehicle.
• An oblique pole impact test (20
mph (32 kmph)) at 75 degrees into a 25
cm diameter pole including the SID-IIs
dummy in the front seating position.
• Dynamic maneuvering (fish-hook)
rollover test and static stability factor
(SSF).
• All applicable injury criteria.
• Use of injury risk curves.
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a. Combining Injury Risk From Different
Body Regions
The agency has chosen to maintain its
current method for combining injury
metrics for any seating position in its
test. That is, the risk of injury to each
body region are assumed to be
independent events and can be
statistically combined to determine the
joint probability of injury to the
occupant using the following equation:
p(A or B) = p(A)+p(B)¥p(A)*p(B) where
A and B are the independent events.
Using injury risk curves for different
body regions, this method results in an
overall risk of injury for the occupant.
For the two adult Hybrid III dummies
there are four independent events to
combine, which are injury risk to the
head, neck, chest, and femur/knee. For
the ES–2re dummy, there are also four
independent events, which are injury
risk to the head, chest, abdomen, and
pelvis, while for the SID–IIs dummy,
there are only 2 independent events
35 See
Transportation Research Board, Shopping
For Safety: Providing Consumer Automotive Safety
Information. TRB Special Report 248 (1996).
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which are injury risk to the head and
pelvis.
In GM’s proposal, the normalized
injury measures for different body
regions are combined by weighting each
by the proportion of injuries associated
with each injury measure. The result of
this method does not represent either an
absolute injury risk or a relative injury
risk (as in NHTSA’s method). Therefore,
the risk levels of different vehicles are
not quantifiable. In addition, Ford stated
that GM’s proposal assumes a linear
relationship between the dummy
response and injury risk, when
generally the relationship is non-linear.
Therefore, Ford expressed that GM’s
proposal could result in an inaccurate
estimation of the relative vehicle safety
performance. NHTSA agrees with this
assessment and has chosen to use the
joint probability of injury formula, as it
does now, to combine injury risks to
different body regions for an occupant.
However, the agency notes that
computation of the joint probability
requires there to be quality data
available for all of the injury risks being
combined. Similarly, to compute the
overall summary rating, data must also
be available from all of the tests to
prevent a model from not being rated.
As such, the agency has included
redundant sensor measurement
capability in the test dummies (where
possible), grouped tests (front, side, and
rollover) together, and worked with our
test labs to ensure that they are using
the most up to date calibration
procedures. In this way, we hope to
alleviate the potential loss of data and
subsequently, vehicles with incomplete
ratings.
b. Risk of Injury by Seating Position and
Test Condition
For each vehicle, the risk of injury is
estimated from six test results, which
are: (1) Driver in frontal crash, (2)
passenger in frontal crash, (3) driver in
side MDB crash, (4) rear seat passenger
in side MDB crash, (5) driver in oblique
pole impact, and (6) rollover potential
in single-vehicle crashes using rollover
test results. Ford suggested that the
agency combine results using a simple
average, but GM suggested a weighted
approach to combine results.
To combine the risk of injury by
occupant seating position, GM
suggested weighting based on occupant
demographics and the relative
frequency of exposure by seating
position. Ford commented that this
approach would undervalue NCAP test
results for passengers since the
proportion of drivers is far greater than
that of passengers. Ford asserted that
this method of obtaining the overall
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injury risk might confuse consumers
who seek a broader assessment of safety
performance than one limited to the
driver. Ford proposed using the straight
average of the risks of injury for the
driver and the passenger to obtain the
overall injury risk. NHTSA agrees with
Ford’s suggested approach.
However, rather than use the
percentages calculated from the
probability of injury results (as is
currently done), NHTSA will be
computing the relative risk for each
seating position and each test condition.
This relative risk measure provides an
estimate of an occupant’s risk of injury
compared to a baseline injury risk. The
score for each occupant in each test
condition is computed by dividing the
overall risk of injury in each test
condition by a baseline risk of injury. As
will be explained below, the baseline
risk of injury in each test condition is
an approximation of the fleet average
injury risk for that test condition. The
baseline risk of injury is set once and
reused for subsequent model years. This
allows cross-year comparisons with
future fleets.36 This operation results in
six summary scores for each vehicle
representing the relative risk of injury
for the driver and passenger in the
frontal crash test and side MDB test, the
driver in the oblique pole test, and the
relative risk for all occupants in
rollovers with respect to a baseline
injury risk. As such, the scores indicate
how a particular vehicle compares to a
baseline risk and these are the scores
(star ratings) that will be presented to
consumers on the Web site and in
agency publications.
To compute a vehicle’s overall risk of
injury in frontal crash tests, NHTSA has
decided to use the simple average of the
probability of injury to the driver and
front passenger. The risk of injury to the
driver in side crashes is calculated as
the weighted average of the combined
probability of injury of the driver in the
MDB test (weighted by 80 percent) and
that of the driver in the oblique pole test
(weighted by 20 percent). The weights
reflect the proportion of belted driver
fatalities in real-world crashes
represented by the MDB and pole tests
in MY 1999 and newer vehicles (FMVSS
No. 214 Final Rule, Docket No. NHTSA–
2007–29134). The overall risk of injury
in side crashes is then computed as the
average of the risk of injury to the driver
in side impacts (weighted average from
MDB and pole test results) and the
probability of injury to the rear seat
36 In the future, the baseline could be adjusted to
reflect vehicle designs. However, the agency would
seek public input on the issue before such an
adjustment would occur.
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passenger in the MDB test. For rollover,
in order to combine the risk from the
rollover test with the risk of injuries
obtained from the crash test, the agency
has assumed that a belted occupant in
a single-vehicle crash p(roll) has the
same relative risk of injury as the risk
of rollover given a single vehicle crash.
As suggested in Ford’s proposal,
NHTSA is adopting this method of
averaging the risk of injury between the
driver and the passenger to obtain an
overall injury risk for each crash mode
to ensure equal weighting for all seating
positions. This is unlike GM’s approach
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of applying significantly higher weight
to the driver than the passenger based
on occupancy rates in each seating
position. NHTSA believes that GM’s
proposal would not encourage
manufacturers to offer advanced safety
systems to all seating positions, thereby
resulting in reduced protection to some.
This is especially significant in the side
MDB crash test where the SID–IIs
dummy in the rear seat generally
demonstrates a higher risk of injury than
the driver. Under GM’s approach, the
rear seating position would have far less
value than the driver seating position
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because the rear seat has a relatively low
occupancy rate. However, when
combining the pole test results with the
MDB results for the front seat, we do
believe that weighting by crash test
condition is appropriate. In this way,
the results from the pole tests are
proportional to their occurrence and do
not mask a vehicles performance in the
MDB test, possibly providing an
inaccurate portrayal of the vehicle.
The figure below graphically
illustrates the method of combining the
different risks.
BILLING CODE 4910–13–P
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c. Combined Crashworthiness Rating
The agency’s combined
crashworthiness rating, the Vehicle
Safety Score (VSS), is computed as the
weighted average of the three summary
scores for front, side, and rollover. The
weight factors applied (5⁄12 for frontal
crashes, 4⁄12 for side crashes, and 3⁄12
rollovers) reflect the proportion of
injuries for belted occupants (in
vehicles of model year 1999 and later)
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in each crash mode.37 This approach is
similar to GM’s proposal of combining
the crash test results using a weighted
average.
Since the NCAP frontal crash test
involves a vehicle with a fixed rigid
barrier, it represents a crash between
two vehicles of the same weight.
Therefore, the safety rating from the
NCAP frontal crash test and the
combined crashworthiness rating
(which includes the frontal crash test
results) depends on vehicle mass, and
cannot be compared across vehicle
weight classes. In contrast, on an
individual basis, the side crash (pole
and MDB) test results and the rollover
results can be compared across vehicle
classes.
37 These model years were chosen to reflect newer
vehicle designs and to obtain a statistically robust
trend from the NASS/CDS data.
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d. Determination of Baseline Risk and
Star Bands
NHTSA will continue to use the star
rating system to provide an individual
crashworthiness rating for each seating
position, each crash mode, and their
combination. However under the new
system, stars will be interpreted
differently. Bands for 1 to 5 stars were
determined by the mean and dispersion
of the risk of injury in all three test
conditions (front, side, and rollover).
In the NCAP frontal tests, the average
risk of injury to the driver in all 2008
model year vehicles is 15 percent ± 5
percent. Based on our NCAP injury data
for the 50th percentile male seated in
the right front passenger seat, we expect
that a 5th percentile seated in that same
seating position would have a similar
distribution. Therefore, the agency
selected a baseline injury risk of 15
percent to compute the frontal relative
risk scores. A relationship between
relative risk of injury and the number of
stars assigned was developed using the
existing NCAP frontal crash test data for
the 50th percentile male Hybrid III
dummy in the driver seating position.
To determine the star bands for
frontal NCAP, NHTSA selected a
baseline risk of 15 percent (representing
the average risk of injury to the driver
in MY 2008 vehicles in the NCAP
frontal crash test) to serve as the break
point for the 4 star and 3 star rating.
Other criteria used to determine the star
bands were (1) vehicles performing
exceptionally well (At 0–15 percentile
of vehicles tested) are assigned a five
star rating, and (2) Vehicles performing
very poorly (greater than 4 standard
deviations from mean) would be
assigned a one star. Attempts were also
made to maintain equidistant star band
boundaries. Based on these criteria and
the distribution of the relative risk of
injury scores of MY 2008 vehicles, the
relationship between the Relative Risk
Score (RRS) and the number of stars was
established, and is presented below. The
RRS is computed by (1) rounding the
injury risk to the nearest tenth of a
percent in accordance with the
rounding-off method of ASTM Standard
Practice E 29 for Using Significant Digits
in Test Data to Determine Conformance
with Specifications, (2) dividing the
injury risk by 0.15 (15.0 percent
baseline injury risk), (3) and finally
rounding the result to the nearest one
hundredth in accordance to ASTM
Standard E 29.
As with frontal NCAP, this same
methodology was applied to the scores
in the side MDB and oblique pole tests
as well as the combined
crashworthiness Vehicle Safety Score.
The agency found, for a limited number
of newer vehicles tested to both the
MDB and Pole test, that when the MDB
test results were combined with the pole
test, the average risk was 15%. As such,
for side NCAP, the combined
crashworthiness rating also represents
the relative risk of injury with respect to
an injury risk of 15 percent.
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE RELATIVE RISK AND THE STAR BANDS FOR FRONT AND SIDE CRASH TESTS USING 15
PERCENT RISK OF INJURY AS THE FLEET AVERAGE
5 stars
4 stars
3 stars
2 stars
RRS Values ........................................
RRS < 0.67 ..........
0.67 ≤ RRS < 1.00
1.00 ≤ RRS < 1.33
Probability ...........................................
P < 0.100 .............
0.100 ≤ P < 0.150
0.150 ≤ P < 0.200
1.33 ≤ RRS <
2.67.
0.200 ≤ P < 0.400
Similarly for rollover, we selected a
baseline risk of 15 percent for the risk
1 star
RRS ≥ 2.67.
P ≥ 0.400.
of rollover, which produces the relative
risk measures shown below.38
CURRENT NCAP STAR RATING IN ROLLOVER AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH THE RELATIVE RISK IN ROLLOVER USING 15
PERCENT RISK OF INJURY AS THE BASELINE
Number of stars
1
2
3
4
5
star .......................................................................................................................................
stars .....................................................................................................................................
stars .....................................................................................................................................
stars .....................................................................................................................................
stars .....................................................................................................................................
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
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Risk of rollover
Several commenters suggested that
NHTSA consider a self-certification
process in which NHTSA would oversee
the testing conducted by the
manufacturer. However, it seems
possible that manufacturers could run
several tests and report only the best
results; or because manufacturers would
know exactly what vehicle was being
tested, the vehicle’s star ratings might
not be indicative of a random sample (as
currently done by the agency).
P ≥0.40 ..........................
0.30 ≤P <0.40 ................
0.20 ≤P <0.30 ................
0.10 ≤P <0.20 ................
P <0.10 ..........................
Additionally, because NHTSA does not
currently have the resources to conduct
oversight over a manufacturer’s test
facility, dummy certification and test
setup, a manufacturer’s facilities might
take more liberty than agency contract
laboratories in their testing procedures.
These issues do not affect a
manufacturer’s self-certification of
compliance with the Federal motor
vehicle safety standards. A
manufacturer had a legal duty to report
any non-compliance promptly to
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RRS ≥2.67.
2.00 ≤RRS <2.67.
1.33 ≤RRS <2.00.
0.67 ≤RRS <1.33.
P <0.67.
NHTSA. They must also recall and
remedy without charge to the purchaser
any vehicle that fails to comply with an
applicable safety standard. The
manufacturer also is subject to
additional penalties if it cannot
demonstrate that it had no reason to
know, despite exercising reasonable
care, that the vehicle did not comply
with the standard. These are all express
provisions of Title 49, Chapter 301 of
the United States Code. There are no
38 See Appendix D, Probability of Injury, Vehicle
Safety Score, and the Star Rating System.
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parallel provisions for the New Car
Assessment Program.
In addition, one of the primary
reasons for allowing manufacturer selfcertification in NCAP was to allow
information about new vehicles to be
provided more quickly. In this case,
NHTSA has had an optional NCAP test
program in place for nearly 20 years.
This allows manufacturers to request a
test of new or redesigned vehicles and
get the NCAP information out quickly to
the public. Given these considerations,
NHTSA is not adopting the suggestions
to permit manufacturer self-certification
of NCAP results.
H. Other Recommendations
Several commenters, in their
responses to the notice and at the public
hearing, presented other
recommendations for the agency’s
consideration. NHTSA has decided not
to adopt any of these recommendations
at this time for the reasons outlined
below.
Compatibility Assessment
Some commenters recommended
front-to-front compatibility assessments,
while others suggested vehicle
aggressivity evaluations for frontal
NCAP. These commenters did not
provide (and NHTSA is not aware of)
any data that would support an NCAP
compatibility evaluation at this time.
The agency has a research program in
this area and should a valid
compatibility metric emerge from that
research, the agency will consider it at
that time.
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES2
Child Restraints
Some commenters suggested that the
agency test and rate child restraints
either in the vehicle and/or on a sled
test. NHTSA has examined this in the
past and at that time concluded that: (1)
A dynamic rating for a child restraint
system (CRS) was not feasible; (2) the
agency wanted to focus on ease of use
ratings; and (3) limited in-vehicle
testing with a six-year old dummy did
not correlate with real-world data.39
However, the agency has continued to
investigate CRS and child dummy
performance in the current NCAP test
environment, and their correlation to
injury risks for children in real-world
crashes. The agency will take actions at
such time as the test results and
analyses can be used to support such a
rating program.
39 See 70 FR 29815, Docket No. NHTSA–2004–
18682.
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Increased Test Speed
Two commenters and most
automobile manufacturers stated that
increased test speeds in frontal NCAP
would promote stiffer vehicle designs
and more aggressive restraints. NHTSA
agrees that without an appropriate
measure of vehicle stiffness, a higher
speed test could lead to more aggressive
vehicle designs. Therefore, NHTSA has
decided not to adopt a 40 mph (64
kmph) frontal NCAP test because of
concerns about vehicle compatibility,
the lack of test data, and no clear
understanding of potential
countermeasures that could be used by
manufacturers to achieve the top rating.
In addition, the agency notes that the
current frontal NCAP test speed
represents 99 percent of all crashes, and
increasing the test speed would not
address a large portion of real-world
crashes.
Lighting
Some commenters recommended that
NHTSA incorporate a lighting/visibility
program into NCAP to address vehicle
blind spots and glare. The commenters
did not provide (and NHTSA does not
believe that there is) sufficient data to
justify incorporating a lighting or
visibility measure into NCAP at this
time. The agency is conducting research
in both of these areas to better assess the
safety problem and explore what
approaches and/or countermeasures
should be considered. Therefore,
NHTSA has decided not to incorporate
an NCAP rating for lighting or visibility
at this time.
Frontal Offset Test
Some commenters encouraged the
incorporation of a frontal offset test into
frontal NCAP. However, others did not
support an offset test stating that such
a test did not provide sufficient benefit
to consumers or that it was already
being done by others (e.g., IIHS).
NHTSA has been studying the offset test
procedure, but we continue to believe
that further research and analysis is
needed to ensure that improved
occupant protection is provided by such
a test without potential unintended
consequences such as increased vehicle
stiffness and aggressivity.
Pedestrians
Some commenters encouraged
NHTSA to pursue opportunities to
improve pedestrian safety through
NCAP. The agency has no pedestrian
standard at this time. While NHTSA is
actively engaged in the development of
a Global Technical Regulation on
pedestrian safety, we feel it would be
premature to develop a rating program
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40039
before the details, test protocol and
potential benefits of this activity have
been resolved. Therefore, we are not
incorporating pedestrian rating into
NCAP at this time.
Frontal Pole Test
A frontal pole test was suggested by
two commenters and specifically
opposed by one. While the real-world
data presented by the IIHS seems to
imply that a number of fatalities and
injuries are occurring in narrow object
frontal impacts, at this time NHTSA is
unclear as to what countermeasures
might be developed. Similarly, a
significant amount of research would
need to be conducted to establish a new
frontal impact pole test for NCAP.
Accordingly, the agency is not adopting
this proposal at this time.
I. Monroney Label
On August 10, 2005, the President
signed into law the Safe, Accountable,
Flexible, Efficient Transportation Equity
Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA–LU).
Section 10307 of the Act requires new
passenger automobiles to have NCAP
safety ratings displayed on the price
sticker, known as the Monroney label.
As required by SAFETEA–LU, on
September 12, 2006 (71 FR 53572),
NHTSA published a final rule
implementing this statutory
requirement, including prescribing the
form, required information, and layout
of the label. The rule, set forth at 49 CFR
part 575.301, applied to covered
vehicles manufactured on or after
September 1, 2007.
Regulation 575.301 specifies the
required information for the NCAP
front, side and rollover tests. For the
frontal crash, there are two separate
ratings, one for the driver and one for
the right front passenger. Similarly, two
separate ratings are established for the
side crash, one for the front seat and one
for the rear seat. One rating is provided
for rollover.
Under our regulation, front, side and
rollover NCAP ratings must be placed
on new vehicles manufactured 30 or
more days after the manufacturer
receives notification from NHTSA of the
ratings. As explained earlier in this
notice, in addition to any overall rating,
the agency will still make available on
https://www.safercar.gov the individual
seating position results for each crash
condition (front, side pole, and side
MDB) and for side NCAP, the front seat
and rear seat score developed from the
combination of the pole and MDB test
results. However, the agency is using
this notice to inform manufacturers and
other interested persons of our intent to
use the new combined side impact score
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developed from the pole and MDB tests
for the Monroney label. In addition, we
will initiate rulemaking to change the
format and/or the layout of the
Monroney label to incorporate the new
overall combined crashworthiness
rating. We believe that the combined
rating and the new side impact score
will provide consumers with the
information they need to make
comparative judgments on new
vehicles.
When we issue the notice of proposed
rulemaking, we will address relevant
issues including changing the layout
and format of the label to incorporate
this new, additional information and to
address other labeling issues such as the
lead time necessary for the
manufacturers to update their labeling
operations.
V. Conclusion
NHTSA will implement these
decisions regarding enhancements to
NCAP beginning with MY 2010
vehicles. For that model year, the
agency will make changes to its existing
front and side testing activities requiring
all vehicles to be rated using these new
protocols. With regards to the frontal
crash test program, NHTSA will
maintain the 35 mph (56 kmph) full
frontal barrier test protocol but will
incorporate the following body injury
criteria: Head (HIC15), neck (Nij, tension,
and compression), chest (deflection),
and femur (axial force). The agency will
also add the 5th percentile female
Hybrid III dummy in the right front
seating position. For side impact,
NHTSA will maintain the current
moving deformable barrier test at 38.5
mph (63 kmph) but will update that test
to include head (HIC36), chest
(deflection), abdomen (force), and pelvic
(force) injury criteria for the ES–2re and,
consistent with the safety standard,
HIC36 and pelvic (force) for the SID–IIs
dummy. For the MDB test, the 50th
percentile male ES–2re dummy will be
used for the driver position and the 5th
percentile SID–IIs dummy for the rear
seated passenger position. Additionally,
vehicles will also be assessed using a
new oblique pole test and a 5th
percentile female dummy in the driver
position, using HIC36 and pelvic (force).
For rollover, the agency will continue to
rate vehicles for rollover propensity, but
will wait to update its rollover risk
model to allow for more real-world
crash data of vehicles equipped with
electronic stability control.
For MY 2010, the agency will also
implement a new crash avoidance
program that will rate vehicles on the
presence of select advanced
technologies and a new overall Vehicle
Safety Score that will combine the star
ratings from the front, side, and rollover
programs.
Appendix A
NCAP and IIHS Pole Test Results
NHTSA
Vehicle
2007
2007
2007
2006
2006
2007
Vehicle class
Honda Pilot ...............................
Nissan Quest ............................
Ford Escape .............................
VW Passat ................................
Subaru Impreza ........................
Toyota Avalon ..........................
SUV .....................
Van ......................
SUV .....................
Medium PC .........
Medium PC .........
Heavy PC ............
SAB type
Curtain
Curtain
Curtain
Curtain
Combo
Curtain
Driver test dummy
+ Torso ...
.................
+ Torso ...
+ Torso ...
.................
+ Torso ...
IARV Limits ..........
SIDIIs ...................
SIDIIs ...................
SIDIIs ...................
SIDIIs ...................
SIDIIs ...................
SIDIIs ...................
Combined
acetabulum &
iliac force
(N)
Lower spine
accel (Gs)
Combined
acetabulum
& iliac force
(N)
82
68
79
65
40
58
62
HIC36
5525
6649
5786
6515
3778
4377
6672
1000
3464
5694
407
323
184
642
Vehicle
Vehicle
class
SAB type
Driver
test
dummy
2007 Honda Pilot
2007 Nissan
Quest.
2007 Ford Escape
2006 VW Passat
2006 Subaru
Impreza.
2007 Toyota
Avalon.
SUV ............
Van .............
Curtain + Torso ...
Curtain + Torso ...
SID–IIs ..
SID–IIs ..
167
207
4700
2900
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
A
A
SUV ............
Medium PC
Medium PC
Curtain + Torso ...
Curtain + Torso ...
Combo .................
SID–IIs ..
SID–IIs ..
SID–IIs ..
216
168
325
5600
3300
5100
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
G
A
G
G
G
G
G
A
G
A
Heavy PC ...
Curtain + Torso ...
SID–IIs ..
350
4100
G
G
A
G
G
A
Appendix B
Effectiveness Estimates for ESC, FCW and
LDW
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES2
Electronic Stability Control (ESC)
This effectiveness estimate comes from the
report: Statistical Analysis of the
Effectiveness of Electronic Stability Control
(ESC) Systems—Final Report. Report No.
DOT HS 810 794, July 2007.
From the Executive Summary, page vii, for
Road Departure—Police Reported Crashes:
• The effectiveness of ESC for passenger
cars = 45% (weighting for the difference in
crash reporting among the States).
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HIC15
Overall
rating
Head/
neck
• The effectiveness of ESC for Light Trucks
and Vans (LTV’s) = 72% (weighting for the
difference in crash reporting among the
States).
• Assuming an equal weighting between
passenger cars and LTVs, the average
effectiveness = 59% for Road Departure
Crashes.
59% was assumed to be a best overall
effectiveness estimate for road departure
crashes.
Forward Collision Warning (FCW)
Based on field operational test (FOT) data
from the Automotive Rear-End Collision
Avoidance FOT (ACAS FOT) collected from
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Torso
Pelvis/leg
Head
protection
Structure/
safety
cage
66 participants who each drove an FCWequipped vehicle for 3 weeks, it was
estimated that the FCW system has the
potential to reduce about 15% of all rear-end
crashes. The FCW system integrated rear-end
crash warning function with adaptive cruise
control function. This system becomes
operational when vehicle speed exceeds 25
mph and disengages when the speed falls
below 20 mph. The participants accumulated
98,000 miles of driving data. The FCW
system operated in the background during
the first week of the FOT, providing
information about baseline driving. The final
2 weeks of the FOT generated information
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about driver performance with the FCW
system while it operated in the foreground.
FCW system effectiveness was estimated
separately in each of nine driving conditions
based on FOT data, which combined three
driving states (lead vehicle stopped, lead
vehicle decelerating, and slower constantspeed lead vehicle) and three travel speed
bins (<25, between 25 and 35, and ≥35 mph).
Total system effectiveness was derived by
integrating individual system effectiveness
estimates in the nine driving conditions
using corresponding rear-end crash data from
the GES (see Equation (6) in Section 4.2.2.3
on page 4–70). Based on available FOT data,
the FCW has shown crash prevention
potential in lead vehicle stopped at speeds
over 25 mph, slower constant-speed lead
vehicle at speeds below 25 and over 35 mph,
and lead vehicle decelerating at speeds over
35 mph (see Table 4–32 on page 4–73). Using
corresponding crash data by travel speed
only (not taking into account crash data by
attempted avoidance maneuver), total system
effectiveness was estimated at 9±5% of all
rear-end crashes (see Figure 4–42 on page 4–
74). However, GES crash data on travel speed
are unreliable since the travel speed variable
is coded as ‘‘unknown’’ in over 70% of the
rear-end crash cases. As an alternative to
travel speed, it is recommended that the
posted limit data be used to break down the
rear-end crash data. Thus by using
corresponding crash data by posted speed
limit, total system effectiveness was
estimated at 15±11% of all rear-end crashes
assuming that crash-involved vehicles were
traveling at the posted speed limits reported
in the crash database (see Figure 4–42 on
page 4–74). This safety benefit also assumes
100% system deployment in the vehicle fleet.
15% was assumed to be a best overall
effectiveness estimate for rear-end crash
prevention.
Reference
Najm, W.G., Stearns, M.D., Howarth, H.,
Koopmann, J., and Hitz, J., ‘‘Evaluation of an
Automotive Rear-End Collision Avoidance
System’’. U.S. Department of Transportation,
National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration, DOT HS 810 569, March
2006.
Lane Departure Warning (LDW)
The overall average crash reduction
estimate range (6% to 11%) for Lane
Departure Warning was obtained from data
collected during a Road Departure Collision
Warning (RDCW) System Field operational
test (FOT). The system merged and arbitrated
warnings between a lane departure warning
system (referred to as a lateral drift warning
function in the study) and Curve speed
warning (CSW) function. LDW monitored the
vehicle’s lane position, lateral speed and
available maneuvering room. The CSW
monitored the vehicle’s speed and upcoming
road curvature.
The RDCW Evaluation Final Report 1
discusses numerous safety-related benefits
that resulted during the treatment period,
when the RDCW alerts were enabled. Most
safety benefits were accrued by the LDW
portion of the RDCW system. These benefits
include increased turn signal use, improved
lane keeping, and fewer crossings of a solid
lane marker at speeds above 55 mph.
However, only one of these benefits—fewer
crossing of a solid lane marker—was used to
forecast a reduction in road-departure
crashes. Solid lane markers serve as the road
boundary. During the treatment period and at
speeds above 55 mph, drivers crossed solid
lane markers 44 percent less often than they
did in the baseline period, when RDCW
alerts were not enabled. This reduction,
weighted by the national departure crash
counts at this speed range, resulted in a
forecasted reduction in road-departure
crashes.
Road-departure crash statistics presented
in Section 4.1 of the RDCW Evaluation
Report.1
TABLE 4–1.—ROAD-DEPARTURE PRECRASH SCENARIOS (THOUSANDS) GES 2003
[Critical event]
Vehicle
movement
Lost control
Other
Row totals
...................................................................
Going Straight ...........................................
...................................................................
...................................................................
Negotiating a Curve ..................................
...................................................................
...................................................................
Initiating a Maneuver ................................
...................................................................
...................................................................
Other .........................................................
...................................................................
All Groups .................................................
261
55.7
25.4
116
40.3
11.3
65
54.2
6.3
....................
....................
442
43.0
208
44.3
20.3
172
59.7
16.7
55
45.8
5.4
....................
....................
435
42.4
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
150
....................
150
14.6
469
....................
45.7
288
....................
28.0
120
....................
11.7
150
14.6
1,027
....................
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From section 4.4.1, this results in an
estimated 9,372 to 74,844 fewer roaddeparture crashes each year. The average of
this range equals 42,108. This range is based
on full LDW availability.
Effectiveness = collisions avoided/collision
population
Collision population originates from two
departure road edge cells in Table 4–1, and
equals 377,000 crashes. With full availability,
the effectiveness equals:
42108
≈ 11%
377000
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With the 56% availability observed in the
FOT, the estimated effectiveness estimated is
(.56)(.11) = 6%.
Since system availability may vary
depending on the quality of lane markings,
a range of 6 to 11% was assumed to be the
best overall effectiveness estimate for crashes
caused by lane drift.
Reference
[1] Wilson, B.H., Stearns, M.D., Koopman,
J., Yang, D., ‘‘Evaluation of a Road Departure
Crash Warning System’’. U.S. Department of
Transportation, National Highway Traffic
Safety Administration, DOT HS 810 854,
December 2007.
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Appendix C
Injury Risk Curves for the NCAP Combined
Crashworthiness Rating System
This Appendix presents the injury risk
curves for various body regions applicable to
the Hybrid III 50th percentile male (HIII 50M)
and the Hybrid III 5th percentile female (HIII
5F) dummies in frontal crash tests and the
ES–2re and the SID–IIs side impact dummies
in lateral crash tests.
Injury Risk Curves for Frontal NCAP Head
The head injury criterion (HIC15) as a
metric for assessing head injury risk is well
established and in use in FMVSS No. 208
(Eppinger et al., 1999).
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Count ........................................................
Row Percent .............................................
Percent .....................................................
Count ........................................................
Row Percent .............................................
Percent .....................................................
Count ........................................................
Row Percent .............................................
Percent .....................................................
Count ........................................................
Percent .....................................................
Count ........................................................
Percent .....................................................
Departed
road edge
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1n ( HIC15) − 7.45231
P(AIS3+) = Φ
0.73998
Where F = cumulative normal distribution
The AIS 3+ head injury risk curve from the
FMVSS No. 208 Advanced Airbag Final
Economic Assessment was extended from the
Hertz (1993) AIS 2+ head injury risk curve
using real-world data to determine the
relative incidence of different severity brain
injuries. Since NHTSA will assess the risk of
serious or more severe head injuries, this
equation has been selected for use in NCAP
(Equation 1). Due to the uncertainty in the
(1)
scaling methods, NHTSA took the
conservative approach in estimating head
injury assessment reference values for the
HIII 5F dummy. As such, this equation will
also be used to assess the risk of AIS 3+ head
injury for the HIII 5F dummies.
Neck
The risk of AIS 3+ neck injury is assessed
using Nij (Equation 2) as described in
Eppinger et al. (1999, 2000) and currently
used in FMVSS No. 208. The equation below
presents the Nij formulation and Table 1
presents the intercept values (from FMVSS
No. 208) of Fint and Mint used in Nij.
N ij =
My
Fz
+
Fint M int
(2)
Where Fz is the axial force and My is the
flexion/extension moment measured in
the upper neck load cell.
TABLE 1.—NIJ INTERCEPT VALUES AND TENSION/COMPRESSION LIMITS FOR IN-POSITION 50TH PERCENTILE ADULT MALE
AND 5TH PERCENTILE FEMALE DUMMIES
Nij intercepts
Tension
HIII 50M .............................................................................
HIII 5F ...............................................................................
In general, neck injuries occur due to
combination loading to in-position
occupants. As such, the Nij injury risk curve
is applicable and the agency has selected the
risk curve used in the establishment of the
Advanced Air Bag rule for FMVSS No. 208
from Eppinger. The neck tension injury risk
Compression
Tension
Compression
Flexion
4170 N ......
2620 N ......
4000 N .......
2520 N .......
6806 N ......
4287 N ......
6160 N ......
3880 N .......
310 Nm ......
155 Nm ......
curve was developed using the same paired
pig and dummy test data used for the
development of Nij. NHTSA assumed that
the tensile neck tolerance is approximately
equal to the compressive neck tolerance.
Therefore, the injury risk curve for neck
tension can also be applied to obtain neck
HIII 50M and HIII 5F: P(AIS 3+) =
HIII 50M: P(AIS 3+) =
HIII 5F: P(AIS 3+) =
1+e
1
1+e10.9745− 2.375∗Tension_or_Compression
1
10.958− 3.770∗Tension_or_Compression
1+e
injury risk due to neck compression.
Equations 3–5 present the risk of AIS 3+ neck
injury as a function of Nij, neck tension, and
neck compression for the HIII 50M and HIII
5F dummies.
(3)
(4)
(5)
average age of the driving population which
is approximately 35 years. The injury risk
curve based on this evaluation for assessing
risk of AIS 3+ chest injury is presented in
Equation 6 for the Hybrid III 50th percentile
male dummy. The injury risk curve as a
function of chest deflection (Equation 7) for
the HIII 5th percentile female dummy (HIII
5F) is obtained by scaling the risk curves for
the HIII 50M using the scale factor for chest
deflection (=0.817) which is the ratio of the
chest depth of a 5th percentile female to that
of a 50th percentile male (Eppinger (1999)
and Mertz (2003)).
EN11JY08.010
recent, peer reviewed thoracic injury risk
curve using chest deflection. Laituri et al.
(2003, 2005) developed AIS 3+ thoracic
injury risk curves by analyzing published
cadaveric sled test data and then developing
a transfer function between dummy chest
deflection measurements and cadaveric chest
deflection under similar impact conditions.
The resulting thoracic injury risk curve is
based on dummy measured chest deflection
and occupant age and was evaluated against
real world injury risk in frontal crashes. In
order to apply this AIS 3+ thoracic injury risk
curve in NCAP, it was normalized to the
135 Nm.
67 Nm.
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EN11JY08.009
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Where tension_or_compression is in kV.
The risk of AIS 3+ neck injury in the NCAP
frontal crash test is the greater of the injury
risk for Nij, neck tension, and neck
compression. In general, the risk of injury
obtained from Nij is higher than that for neck
tension or compression in frontal NCAP tests.
Chest
Eppinger et al. (1999) developed injury risk
curves for chest deflection. However, the
derived injury risk curve was independent of
occupant age and was not adequately
adjusted to reflect real-world chest injury
risk. As such, we have chosen to use a more
1
3.227−1.969∗ Nij
Extension
EN11JY08.011
Dummy
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 / Notices
1
50th percentile P(AIS 3+) =
40043
(6)
12.597− 0.05861∗35 −1.568∗( ChestDefl )0.4612
1+e
1
5th percentile P(AIS 3+) =
(7)
12.597− 0.05861∗35 −1.568∗( ChestDefl/ 0.817 )0.4612
1+e
Knee-Thigh-Hip
The injury risk curve that the agency will
use for the Knee-Thigh-Hip (KTH) is the
same as that reported by Eppinger et al.
(1999) in support of FMVSS No. 208
(Equation 8). The injury risk curves represent
femur and knee injury risk since most of the
injuries in the datasets that were used to
develop these injury risk curves were to the
distal femur and knee and only four of the
126 tests used to develop these risks curves
produced a hip fracture. In addition, the knee
injuries in this dataset were primarily
multifragmentary patellar fractures, which,
like other articular surface injuries, are
associated with a high level of long-term
disability.
The femur injury risk curve as a function
of femur axial force for the HIII 5th percentile
50th percentile P(AIS 2+) =
5th percentile P(AIS 2+) =
Joint Probability of Injury
The joint probability of injury to an
occupant is obtained by combining the risk
female dummy (HIII 5F) was developed by
scaling the risk curves for the HIII 50M using
a scale factor of 0.68 (Equation 9). This scale
factor was proposed by Eppinger (1999) and
later by Mertz (2003) and is based on the
ratio of the thigh circumference of a 5th
percentile female to that of a 50th percentile
male.
1
1+e5.7949− 0.5196 Femur_Force
(8)
1
1+e
(9)
5.7949−0.7619 Femur_Force
of injury to each body region assuming the
injury to different body regions are
independent events. Therefore the
probability of serious injury, Pjoint, is given
by:
Pjoint = 1 − (1 − Phead ) × (1 − Pneck ) × (1 − Pchest ) × (1 − Pfemur )
human cadavers onto rigid and padded
surfaces where the impact area was the
forehead (Lissner et al. 1960, Hodgson et al.
1972). Though forehead impacts are
representative of a frontal impact scenario,
the ECE R95 directive and Euro NCAP
continue to apply HIC for head injury
assessment in lateral impact scenarios,
implicitly assuming that the head/brain
injury tolerance is independent of loading
direction and impact location. Similarly,
NHTSA applied HIC36 to assess head/brain
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES2
The risk of AIS 3+ and AIS 4+ thoracic
injury for a 45 year old (average age of the
driving population involved in side impacts)
50th percentile adult male occupant as a
function of maximum rib deflection of the
ES–2re side impact dummy was developed
by Kuppa (2006) by considering the injury
p (AIS 3+) =
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1
1+e
Frm 00029
(5.3895 − 0.0919 ∗ max. rib. defl.)
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4725
EN11JY08.016
adjusted to represent the average risk of
injury in real world side crashes, NHTSA
will use the AIS 4+ injury risk curve as the
corresponding AIS 3+ injury risk in NCAP.
The risk of AIS 3+ thoracic injury for a 45
year old (average age of the driving
population involved in side impacts) 50th
percentile adult male occupant as a function
of maximum rib deflection of the ES–2re for
use in NCAP is presented in Equation 11.
(11)
E:\FR\FM\11JYN2.SGM
11JYN2
EN11JY08.015
Chest
severity to be a polychotomous variable
(AIS<3, AIS=3, AIS>3). However, this AIS 3+
injury risk curve has a finite risk of injury
even at zero mm of rib deflection. The same
cadaver and dummy test data reported by
Kuppa (2006) were reanalyzed considering
the injury severity to be dichotomous (AIS<3
and AIS≥3 or AIS<4 and AIS≥4) to develop
new AIS 3+ and AIS 4+ injury risk curves.
Since the injury risk curves have not been
EN11JY08.014
Where F = cumulative normal distribution
(10)
EN11JY08.013
1n ( HIC 36) − 7.45231
P(AIS3+) = Φ
0.73998
injuries in lateral crashes in the upgrade to
FMVSS No. 214 so as to harmonize with the
existing FMVSS No. 201 optional pole
impact test.
Therefore, the FMVSS No. 208 AIS 3+
injury risk function presented above for the
HIII 50M and HIII 5F dummies will be used
in the NCAP side impact tests with the ES–
2re and SID–IIs dummies. However, in order
to be consistent with FMVSS No. 214, HIC36
will be used rather than HIC15 (Equation 10).
EN11JY08.012
Injury Risk Curves for Side NCAP
The injury risk curves for the side impact
dummies, ES–2re and SID–IIs (Kuppa, 2006),
were developed from biomechanical tests
involving human cadaveric subjects and
detailed in NHTSA docket (NHTSA–2007–
29134).
Head
The Head Injury Criterion (HIC), used for
assessing injury risk in frontal impacts is
based on repeated drop tests of embalmed
40044
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 / Notices
FMVSS 214 final rule does not utilize rib
deflection measures of the SID IIs dummy
and so they are not considered in NCAP at
this time. Additionally, because the agency
does not have a valid risk curve at this time
for spine acceleration, it is also not included.
Abdomen
The AIS 3+ abdominal injury risk curve
using the total force in the ES–2re abdomen
reported by Kuppa (2006) is utilized in NCAP
and is presented in Equation 12.
p (AIS 3+) =
1
1+e6.04044− 0.002133∗ F
(12)
Where F is the total force in the ES–2re
abdomen in Newtons.
Since FMVSS No. 214 does not utilize the
abdominal rib deflection measures of the
SID-IIs dummy for injury assessment, no
abdominal injury risk assessment will be
applied to the NCAP side MDB test and the
oblique pole test using the SID IIs dummy.
Pelvis
NHTSA will utilize the AIS 3+ pelvic
injury risk curve (Equation 13) reported by
Kuppa (2006) for injury assessment with the
ES–2re driver in the side MDB NCAP test.
p (AIS3+) =
1
1+e
of AIS 3+ injured occupants (of height less
than 5 ft 4 inches) involved in side crashes.
Research has indicated that pelvic injuries to
older occupants are associated with
increased mortality (O’Brien et al. 2002;
Henry et al. 2002). During a 5-year period, O’
Brien et al. and Henry et al. examined
patients who sustained a pelvic fracture and
found that patients 55 years and older were
more likely to sustain a lateral compression
fracture pattern and had a higher frequency
of mortality due to the injury than younger
patients (<55 years old). Due to the higher
mortality rate associated with the elderly, an
AIS 2+ injury risk curve is used in NCAP for
the SID–IIs representing a 56 year old small
female rather than the AIS 3+ injury risk
specified for the ES–2re dummy
(13)
7.5969− 0.0011∗ F
Where F is the pubic force in the ES–2re
dummy in Newtons
Kuppa (2006) developed the risk curve for
AIS 2+ pelvic fracture as a function of the
sum of iliac wing and acetabular force in the
SID-IIs by scaling the normalized 50th
percentile male data to that of a 5th
percentile female, accounting for older
subject age, adjusting for lower bone
tolerance among female occupants, and
transforming the applied force on the cadaver
to the sum of acetabular and iliac force
measured in the SID–IIs dummy. This pelvic
injury risk function for the SID–IIs is
presented in Equation 14.
Joint Probability of Injury
p (AIS2+) =
1
The joint risk of injury to an occupant is
obtained by combining the risk of injury to
the head, chest, abdomen and pelvis
assuming the injury to different body regions
are independent events (as was done for
frontal impact). Note that for the SID–IIs, the
risk of chest and abdomen injury is omitted
and only the risk of injury to the head and
pelvis are combined.
(14)
1+e6.3055− 0.00094∗ F
Where F is the sum of the acetabular and
iliac force in the SID–IIs dummy in
Newtons
In developing the pelvis injury criteria for
the SID-IIs, an occupant age of 56 years was
considered to correspond to the average age
Pjoint = 1 − (1 − Phead ) × (1 − Pchest ) × (1 − Pabdomen ) × (1 − Ppelvis )
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1
1+e
2.6968+1.1686× Ln (SSF − 0.9)
elsewhere in this Notice), we treat this as
equivalent to the relative risk that a belted
occupant is injured in a rollover crash given
a single-vehicle crash. This is not strictly
true, but our review of the SDS data for
belted drivers indicates that it is
approximately true. Therefore, the relative
risks of injury to a belted driver in a rollover
crash conditional on being involved in a
single-vehicle crash are approximately
proportional to the risks of rollover outlined
above.
REFERENCES
AAM Association of Automobile
Manufacturers (1999), Comments to the
Supplemental Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking FMVSS No. 208 Occupant Crash
Protection—Air bags, NHTSA Docket No.
NHTSA–1999–6407–40.
Backaitis SH and St. Laurent A. (1986)
Chest Deflection Characteristics of
Volunteers and Hybrid III Dummies.
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Frm 00030
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4703
(15)
(16)
Proceedings of the Thirtieth Stapp Car Crash
Conference, pp 157–166. SAE Paper No.
861884.
Bouquet, R., Ramet, M., Bermond, F., Vyes,
C. (1998) Pelvic Human Response to Lateral
Impact, 16th International Technical
Conference on the Enhanced Safety of
Vehicles, Paper No. 98–S7–W–16, National
Highway Traffic Administration, Windsor,
1998.
Cesari D and Bouquet R. (1990) Behavior
of Human Surrogates under Belt Loading.
Proceedings of the Thirty-Fourth Stapp Car
Crash Conference, pp 73–82. SAE Paper No.
902310.
Eppinger et al., (1999) Development of
Improved Injury Criteria for the Assessment
of Advanced Automotive Restraint Systems
II, NHTSA Docket No. NHTSA–1999–6407–
5.
Eppinger et al. (2000) Supplement:
Development of Improved Injury Criteria for
the Assessment of Advanced Automotive
E:\FR\FM\11JYN2.SGM
11JYN2
EN11JY08.021
Where SSF=static stability factor
This model describes the absolute risk of
rollover given a single-vehicle crash. We can
also describe the risk of rollover relative to
an ‘‘average’’ vehicle. For example, we could
use a ‘‘typical’’ SSF (which is about 1.35 for
the current fleet) for vehicles that did not tip
up in the dynamic test (which reflects the
future in the sense that when all vehicles are
equipped with ESC there will be essentially
no tip-ups in the dynamic test). The risk of
rollover for a subject vehicle compared to the
risk of rollover for this baseline case
describes how much more or less likely the
subject vehicle is to roll over compared to the
baseline. Thus, for example, a relative risk of
rollover of 0.80 means that the subject
vehicle is 20 percent less likely to roll over
than the baseline; a relative risk of 1.25
means that the subject vehicle is 25 percent
more likely to roll over than the baseline. For
certain purposes (specifically, in producing
the Vehicle Safety Score as described
1+e
EN11JY08.020
Vehicles tipping in dynamic test : Rollover risk =
1
2.8891+1.1686× Ln (SSF − 0.9)
.
EN11JY08.019
Vehicles not tipping in dynamic test : Rollover risk =
vehicle crashes as a function of the static
stability factor and the results of the dynamic
rollover test was estimated from the State
Data System and is presented below in
Equations 15 and 16.
EN11JY08.018
2004, the NCAP vehicle rollover rating has
been calculated as a function of the vehicle’s
static stability factor and its propensity to tip
up in the dynamic rollover ‘‘fishhook’’ test
(68 FR 59250). The risk of rollover in single-
EN11JY08.017
Injury Risk In Rollover Crashes
The Static Stability Factor (SSF) of a
vehicle is defined as one-half the track width,
t, divided by h, the height of the center of
gravity above the road (SSF = t/(2 × h)). Since
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 / Notices
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES2
Restraint Systems II, NHTSA Docket No.
NHTSA–2000–7013–3.
Hertz E. (1993) A Note on the Head Injury
Criteria (HIC) as a Predictor of the Risk of
Skull Fracture. 37th Annual Proceedings of
the Association for the Advancement of
Automotive Medicine.
Hodgson, V.R. and Thomas, L. M. (1972)
Effect of Long Duration Impact on Head, SAE
72096, Sixteenth Stapp Car Crash
Conference, Society of Automotive
Engineers, Warrendale, PA.
Horsch JD, et al. (1991) Thoracic Injury
Assessment of Belt Restraint Systems Based
on Hybrid III Chest Compression. SAE Paper
No. 912895, Thirty-Fifth Stapp car Crash
Conference, pp 85–108.
International Standards Organization (ISO)
Working Group 6, ISO TC 22/SC 12/ WG 6,
Road Vehicles—Injury Risk Curves to
Evaluate Occupant Protection in Side Impact,
ISO/TR 12350:2002(E).
Kent, R., Patrie, J., Benson, N. (2003) The
Hybrid III dummy as a discriminator of
injurious and non-injurious restraint loading,
Forty0Seventh Annual Proceedings,
Association for the Advancement of
Automotive Medicine.
Kuppa, S., Eppinger, R. (1998)
‘‘Development of an Improved Thoracic
Injury Criterion,’’ Proceedings of the 42nd
Stapp Car Crash Conference, SAE No.
983153.
Kuppa, S. (2001) Lower Extremity Injuries
and Associated Injury Criteria, Proceedings
of the Seventeenth International Technical
Conference on the Enhanced Safety of
Vehicles, Amsterdam, June, 2001.
Kuppa, S. (2006) Injury Criteria for Side
Impact Dummies, Docket No. NHTSA–2007–
29134–0001.
Laituri, T., Prasad, P., Kachnowski, B.,
Sullivan, K., Przybylo, P. (2003) Prediction of
AIS 3+ Thoracic Risks for Belted Occupants
in Full Engagements, Real World Frontal
Impacts: Sensitivity to Various Theoretical
Risk Curves, SAE Paper No. 2003–01–1355,
2003 SAE World Congress.
Laituri, T., Prasad, P., Sullivan, K.,
Frankstein, M., Thomas, R. (2005) Derivation
and Evaluation of a Provisional, Age
Dependent AIS 3+ Thoracic Risk Curve for
Belted Adults in Frontal Impacts, SAE Paper
No. 2005–01–0297.
Laituri, T., Henry, S., Sullivan, K., Prasad,
P. (2006) Derivation and Theoretical
Assessment of a Set of Biomechanics-based,
AIS 2+ Risk Equations for the Knee-ThighHip Complex, Stapp Car Crash journal, Vol.
50, November 2006.
Lissner, H. R. et al. (1960) Experimental
Studies on the Relation between Acceleration
and Intracranial Pressure Changes in Man,
Surgery Gynecology and Obstetrics, pp.329–
338.
Mertz, H., Weber, D. (1982) Interpretations
of the Impact Responses of a 3-year-old child
dummy relative to child injury potential.
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Ninth Experimental Safety Vehicle
Conference, pp. 368–376, Kyoto, Japan.
Mertz, H., Irwin, A., Prasad, P. (2003)
Biomechanical and Scaling Bases for Frontal
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155–188.
Mertz H. (1993) Anthropomorphic Test
Devices, Accidental Injury, Biomechanics,
and Prevention, edited by Nahum, A.,
Melvin, J., Springer-Verlag.
Morgan, et al. (1990) Human Cadaver and
Hybrid III Responses to Axial Impacts of the
Femur, Proceedings of the 1990 International
IRCOBI Conference on the Biomechanics of
Impacts, 1990.
NHTSA, Final Economic Assessment
FMVSS No. 208 Advanced Air Bag (2000),
NHTSA Docket No. NHTSA–2000–7013–2.
Nusholtz, G., Domenico, L., Shi, Y., Eagle,
P. (2003) Studies of Neck Injury Criteria
Based on Existing Biomechanical Test Data,
Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 35,
pp. 777–786.
O’ Brien, D., Luchette, F., Pereira, S., Lim,
E., Seeskin, C., James, L., Miller, S., Davis, K.,
Hurst, J., Johannigman, J., Frame, S. (2002)
Pelvic Fracture in the Elderly is Associated
with Increased Mortality, Surgery, Volume
132, pp. 710–715.
Prasad, P., Daniel, R., (1984) A
biomechanical analysis of head, neck, and
torso injuries to child surrogates due to
sudden torso acceleration, SAE Paper No.
841656.
Rupp, J., Reed, M., Kuppa, S., Wang, S.,
Goulet, J., Schneider, L., ‘‘The Tolerance of
the Human Hip to Dynamic Knee Loading,’’
Stapp Car Crash Journal, Vol. 46, pp. 211–
228, 2002.
Rupp, J., Reed, M., Jeffreys, Y., Schneider,
L. (2003). Effects of Hip Posture on the
Frontal Impact Tolerance of the Human Hip
Joint. Stapp Car Crash Journal 47:21–33.
Rupp J., Reed, M., Madura, N., Miller, C.,
Kuppa, S., Schneider, L. (2005). Comparison
of the Inertial Response of the Thor-NT,
Hybrid III, and Unembalmed Cadaver to
Simulated Knee-to-Knee-Bolster Impacts.
Proceedings of the 19th International
Technical Conference on the Enhanced
Safety of Vehicles, Paper 05–0086. National
Highway Traffic Safety Administration,
Washington DC.
Rupp, J. (2006). Biomechanics of Hip
Fractures in Frontal Motor Vehicle Crashes.
Ph.D. Dissertation. The University of
Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Viano, et al. (1977) ‘‘Considerations for a
Femur Injury Criterion,’’ Proceedings of the
Twenty-First Stapp Car Crash Conference,
SAE Paper No. 770925.
Viano, D. (1989) Biomechanical Responses
and Injuries in Blunt Lateral Impact. Proc.
Thirty-third Stapp Car Crash Conference, pp.
113–142, Society of Automotive Engineers,
Warrendale, PA.
Viano, D., Lau, I., Asbury, C., King, A.,
Begeman, P. (1989) Biomechanics of the
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40045
Human Chest, Abdomen, and Pelvis in
Lateral Impact, Accident Analysis and
Prevention, Vol. 21, No. 6, pp. 553–574.
Walfisch, G., Fayon, C., Terriere, J., et al.,
‘‘Designing of a Dummy’s Abdomen for
Detecting Injuries in Side Impact Collisions,’’
5th International IRCOBI Conference, 1980.
Appendix D
Relative Risk of Injury, Vehicle Safety Score,
and the Star Rating System
Introduction
The risk of injury to each occupant in
NHTSA’s Crashworthiness Rating System is
the joint probability of injury to each body
region considered for that occupant. The
overall risk of injury in frontal crashes is the
average of the injury risk to the driver and
passenger in the frontal crash test. The risk
of injury to the driver in side crashes is the
weighted average of the risk to the driver in
the MDB test (weight=0.8) and the pole test
(weight=0.2). The overall risk of injury in
side crashes is the average of the injury risk
to the driver in side crashes (MDB and Pole)
and the injury risk to the rear seat passenger
in the MDB test.
The crashworthiness rating system
provides relative risk of injury for each
occupant in each crash test condition (driver
and front outboard passenger in the frontal
crash test, driver and near side rear seat
passenger in the side MDB test, driver in the
oblique pole impact test, and rollover test)
and a Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Vehicle Safety Score. The relative risk of
injury in each test condition for a vehicle is
computed by dividing the overall risk of
injury in each crash mode by an average
baseline risk (for example, the average risk of
serious injury in the fleet or that of a group
of select vehicles in the fleet for a certain
model year). The Combined Crashworthiness
Rating Vehicle Safety Score (VSS) is obtained
as a weighted average of the individual
Relative Risk Score (RRS) in each test
condition.
The RRS for each test condition and the
VSS represent the risk of injury to occupants
of the vehicle relative to a baseline risk of
injury. For example, a VSS of 1.15 for a
vehicle implies that the occupants in that
vehicle are 15 percent more likely to sustain
serious injury than a vehicle representing the
baseline risk.
Frontal Crash Test Rating
The historical frontal NCAP crash test data
for the driver from the model years 1995
through 2008 were examined using the injury
risk curves presented in Appendix C.
The average risk of injury to the head,
neck, chest, and femur of the driver,
computed using the injury risk curves from
Appendix C, for each vehicle of model years
2004 to 2008 is presented in Figure 1.
E:\FR\FM\11JYN2.SGM
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40046
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 / Notices
When compared to data from 1995, these
data indicate that the average risk of injury
to the driver by model year has been reduced
since 1995 and is less than 0.2 after MY 2002
(Table 2). If the average performance of all
the vehicles tested in NCAP each year is used
to represent the fleet of new cars, then for
MY 2008, the average risk of serious injury
in the fleet is approximately 0.15. Therefore,
the baseline injury risk of 0.15 was used to
compute the relative risk of injury in frontal
crashes for each vehicle (Table 3).
TABLE 1.—PROBABILITY OF INJURY STATISTICS FOR DRIVERS IN NCAP FRONTAL CRASH TESTS BY MODEL YEAR
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES2
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
.........................................................
Average MY 1995–2008
Average MY 2004–2008
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Prob Std.
deviation
0.30
0.32
0.26
0.26
0.29
0.25
0.23
0.20
0.18
0.15
0.17
0.17
0.15
0.15
Frm 00032
0.12
0.18
0.14
0.11
0.18
0.15
0.12
0.09
0.09
0.07
0.11
0.06
0.05
0.04
Fmt 4701
Minimum P
0.10
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.09
0.11
0.09
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.09
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.10
0.08
Sfmt 4703
P 25%
quartile
P Median
0.21
0.18
0.17
0.20
0.17
0.15
0.17
0.14
0.12
0.11
0.11
0.13
0.12
0.12
0.15
0.12
E:\FR\FM\11JYN2.SGM
0.27
0.28
0.22
0.24
0.23
0.22
0.19
0.17
0.15
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.14
0.14
0.19
0.14
11JYN2
P 75%
quartile
0.35
0.40
0.28
0.30
0.36
0.28
0.26
0.22
0.18
0.18
0.19
0.22
0.17
0.18
0.25
0.19
Maximum P
0.62
0.86
0.69
0.63
0.71
0.64
0.63
0.61
0.45
0.46
0.57
0.31
0.38
0.24
0.56
0.39
EN11JY08.005
Average
prob
MY
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exceptionally well (at 0–15 percentile of
vehicles tested) are assigned a five star rating,
and (2) vehicles performing very poorly
(greater than 4 standard deviations from
mean) would be assigned a one star.
Attempts were also made to maintain
equidistant star band boundaries. Based on
these criteria and the distribution of relative
risk of injury scores presented in Table 3, the
relationship between RRS and the number of
stars was established as presented in Table 4.
The RRS is computed by (1) rounding the
injury risk to the nearest tenth of a percent
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in accordance with the rounding-off method
of ASTM Standard Practice E 29 for Using
Significant Digits in Test Data to Determine
Conformance with Specifications, (2)
dividing the injury risk by 0.15 (15.0 percent
baseline injury risk), (3) and finally rounding
the result to the nearest one hundredth in
accordance to ASTM Standard E 29. It should
be noted that a vehicle which passes
compliance (with a 20 percent compliance
margin) would have an injury risk of 52.1
percent corresponding to a RRS value of 3.47.
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The average, minimum, maximum, and the
quartiles presented in Table 3 provide an
estimate of the dispersion of Relative Risk
Score (RRS) in different model years. Since
most of the current vehicles receive four or
five stars in the NCAP frontal crash tests,
NHTSA prescribed the baseline risk of 15
percent (representing the average risk of
injury to the driver in MY 2007 and MY 2008
vehicles in the NCAP frontal crash test) to be
at the border of the 4 star and 3 star rating.
Other criteria used to determine the star
bands were (1) vehicles performing
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Side Crash Test Rating
Because the agency did not have test data
using the ES 2re or SID IIs dummies at the
NCAP test speed for the MDB test, the agency
computed the average risk of serious injury
derived from relevant MDB tests and oblique
pole impact tests done in support of the
FMVSS 214 side impact protection upgrade.
The MDB test is conducted with the ES–2re
dummy in the front driver seat and the SID–
IIs in the rear passenger seat. The pole impact
test is conduced with the SID–IIs in the
driver’s seat.
The injury risk curves for side impact
reported in Appendix C are applied to side
MDB tests and oblique pole tests. These tests
were part of NHTSA’s fleet evaluation for the
FMVSS 214 side impact upgrade and details
and thorough analysis of these tests are
available in the NHTSA docket number
NHTSA–2007–25441.
There were six vehicles which were tested
in the FMVSS 214 test conditions (MDB
impact at 53 km/h rather than the NCAP 62
km/h) as well as the oblique pole impact
with the SID–IIs dummies. The dummy
injury measures in the paired crash tests of
these vehicles with the ES–2re and SID–IIs
dummies were used to determine risk of
injury in side crashes and a Relative Risk
Score (RRS) for side crashes. Table 4 presents
the statistics for the risk of injury (average,
standard deviation, minimum, maximum,
median, and 25 and 75 percentile injury risk
values) for each dummy in the MDB and
oblique pole tests using the injury risk curves
from Appendix C.
The overall risk of injury to the driver for
each vehicle is the weighted average of the
driver injury risk in the MDB test (multiplied
by 0.8) and that in the oblique pole test
(multiplied by 0.2). The risk of injuries in
side crashes for a vehicle is the simple
average of the injury risk of the rear seat
passenger in the MDB test and the overall
driver injury risk. Table 4 also presents the
statistics for the overall risk of injury to the
driver and the risk of injury in side crashes.
TABLE 4.—PROBABILITY OF INJURY (P) STATISTICS FOR DIFFERENT OCCUPANTS IN THE SIDE MDB AND THE OBLIQUE
POLE CRASH TESTS
Crash type
Average P
MDB Driver ..............................................
MDB Pass ................................................
Pole Driver ...............................................
Overall Driver ...........................................
Side Impact ..............................................
Std. Dev. P
0.09
0.13
0.64
0.20
0.16
0.04
0.21
0.39
0.11
0.16
25% quartile
P
Min P
0.04
0.03
0.13
0.06
0.05
Median P
0.06
0.03
0.32
0.12
0.07
0.09
0.04
0.79
0.23
0.14
75% quartile
P
0.12
0.07
0.93
0.28
0.18
Max P
0.13
0.55
0.98
0.30
0.43
• The overall risk of injury to the driver is computed as the weighted average of the risk of driver injury in the MDB test (multiplied by 0.8) and
the risk of driver injury in the pole test (multiplied by 0.2).
• The risk of injury in side impact is the average of the overall driver risk and the risk of rear passenger in the MDB test.
The average risk of injury from the six
MDB tests for the driver and the rear
passenger is 0.09 and 0.13, respectively. The
average risk of injury to the driver in the six
oblique pole tests is 0.64 and the average
overall risk of injury to the driver (combining
the MDB and pole test results) is 0.20. For
these six vehicles, the average risk of injury
in side crashes is 0.16.
In order to promote improvement in side
impact safety in all the vehicles, the baseline
risk of injury to compute Relative Risk Scores
(RRS) in side crashes is taken to be 15
percent. As in frontal crash tests, the RRS in
side MDB and pole crash tests is computed
by 1) rounding the injury risk to the nearest
tenth of a percent in accordance with the
rounding-off method of ASTM Standard
Practice E 29 for Using Significant Digits in
Test Data to Determine Conformance with
Specifications, 2) dividing the injury risk by
0.15 (15.0 percent baseline injury risk), 3)
and finally rounding the result to the nearest
one hundredth in accordance to ASTM
Standard E 29. Table 5 presents the RRS
statistics corresponding to the injury risk
presented in Table 4 using a baseline injury
risk of 15 percent.
TABLE 5.—RELATIVE RISK SCORE (RRS) STATISTICS FOR DIFFERENT OCCUPANTS IN THE SIDE MDB AND THE OBLIQUE
POLE CRASH TESTS
Average
RRS
Crash type
MDB Driver ..............................................
MDB Pass ................................................
Pole Driver ...............................................
Overall Driver ...........................................
Side Impact ..............................................
Std. Dev.
RRS
0.60
0.86
4.27
1.33
1.09
0.25
1.39
2.57
0.71
1.05
Min RRS
25% quartile
RRS
0.28
0.20
0.89
0.40
0.30
Median
RRS
0.42
0.21
2.15
0.77
0.49
0.59
0.28
5.24
1.52
0.90
75% quartile
RRS
0.80
0.45
6.23
1.89
1.17
Max RRS
0.87
3.69
6.54
2.00
2.84
• The Relative Risk Score for MDB tests, pole tests, and side impacts is obtained by dividing the risk of injury in each side crash mode listed
in Table 4 by 0.15 which represents the baseline risk of injury in side impacts.
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Vehicles for which all the dummy injury
measures (for the ES–2re and SID–IIs) in the
MDB and pole tests just meet the compliance
limits, the risk of injury is 0.70 for the ES–
2re and 0.42 for the SID IIs dummies
resulting in an overall risk of injury in side
crashes of 0.532, a RRS of 3.54.
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Rollover Rating
Since the proposed rollover rating is the
same as that currently used in NCAP, the
current relationship between the risk of
rollover and star rating used in NCAP is
applied here and is shown in Table 11. If 15
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percent risk (corresponding to a 4 star rating)
is used as the baseline risk (as that in front
and side crash test rating), then the
relationship between the vehicle safety score
in rollover is as shown in Table 11.
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TABLE 11.—STAR RATING, RISK OF ROLLOVER, AND THE RELATIVE RISK SCORE IN ROLLOVER
[Using a baseline risk of 15 percent]
Number of stars
1
2
3
4
5
Relative risk score in
rollover
Risk of rollover
star ...................................................................................
stars .................................................................................
stars .................................................................................
stars .................................................................................
stars .................................................................................
Combined Crashworthiness Rating Vehicle
Safety Score
The weighted average of the Relative Risk
Scores (RRS) in front, side, and rollover
crashes is the combined crashworthiness
rating Vehicle Safety Score (VSS). The weight
applied to each crash mode represents the
proportion of injury associated with that
crash mode. Since the baseline injury risk
P ≥ 40 percent ...................................................................
30 ≤ P < 40 percent ...........................................................
20 ≤ P < 30 percent ...........................................................
10 ≤ P < 20 percent ...........................................................
P < 10 percent ...................................................................
used to compute RRS in each crash mode is
15 percent, the combined crashworthiness
rating also represents the relative risk of
injury with respect to a baseline of 15
percent. The Vehicle Safety Score for the
Combined Crashworthiness Rating is
computed below:
Combined Rating = (5/12) × RRS(front) + (4/
12) × RRS(side) + (3/12) × RRS(roll)
RRS ≥ 2.67
2.0 ≤ RRS < 2.67
1.33 ≤ RRS < 2.0
0.67 ≤ RRS < 1.33
RRS < 0.67
The final VSS value is obtained by
rounding the result from the above equation
to the nearest one hundredth in accordance
to ASTM Standard E 29. The star bands used
for rating frontal and side impacts are
applied to the combined crashworthiness
rating using VSS and is presented in Table
12.
TABLE 12.—RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN VEHICLE SAFETY SCORE AND THE STAR RATING
5 stars
VSS Values .........................................
Probability ...........................................
4 stars
3 stars
2 stars
VSS <0.67 ............
P < 0.100 .............
0.67 ≤ VSS <1.00
0.100 ≤ P < 0.150
1.00 ≤ VSS < 1.33
0.150 ≤ P < 0.200
1.33 ≤ VSS < 2.67
0.200 ≤ P < 0.400
Authority: 49 U.S.C. §§ 32302, 30111,
30115, 30117, 30166, and 30168, and Pub. L.
106–414, 114 Stat. 1800; delegation of
authority at 49 CFR 1.50.
1 star
VSS ≥ 2.67
P ≥ 0.400
Issued on: July 3, 2008.
Nicole R. Nason,
Administrator.
[FR Doc. E8–15620 Filed 7–10–08; 8:45 am]
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 134 (Friday, July 11, 2008)]
[Notices]
[Pages 40016-40050]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E8-15620]
[[Page 40015]]
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Part II
Department of Transportation
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National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
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Consumer Information; New Car Assessment Program; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 134 / Friday, July 11, 2008 /
Notices
[[Page 40016]]
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DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
[Docket No. NHTSA-2006-26555]
Consumer Information; New Car Assessment Program
AGENCY: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA),
Department of Transportation (DOT).
ACTION: Final decision notice.
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SUMMARY: On January 25, 2007, NHTSA published a notice announcing a
public hearing and requesting comments on an agency report titled,
``The New Car Assessment Program (NCAP) Suggested Approaches for Future
Program Enhancements.'' This notice summarizes the comments received
and provides the agency's decision on how it will improve the NCAP
ratings program.
For model year (MY) 2010, the agency will make changes to its
existing front and side crash rating programs. For the frontal crash
test program, NHTSA will maintain the 35 mph (56 kmph) full frontal
barrier test protocol but will update the test dummies and associated
injury criteria used to assess and assign a vehicle's frontal impact
star rating. For side impact, NHTSA will maintain the current moving
deformable barrier test at 38.5 mph (63 kmph) but will update that test
to include new side impact test dummies and new injury criteria that
are used to assign a vehicle's side impact star rating. Additionally,
vehicles will also be assessed using a new pole test and a small female
crash test dummy.
For rollover, the agency will continue to rate vehicles for
rollover propensity, but will wait to update its rollover risk model to
allow for more real-world crash data of vehicles equipped with
electronic stability control.
Also for MY 2010, the agency will implement a new ratings program
that will rate vehicles on the presence of select advanced technologies
and establish a new overall Vehicle Safety Score that will combine the
star ratings from the front, side, and rollover programs.
Finally, for the agency's vehicle labeling program, we are
announcing that the side score, rather than being based only on the
moving deformable barrier test, will be based on the combination of the
moving deformable barrier test and the pole test. Additionally, the
agency will initiate rulemaking to include the new overall
crashworthiness rating on the Monroney label.
DATES: These changes to the New Car Assessment Program are effective
for the 2010 model year.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For technical issues concerning the
enhancements to NCAP, contact Mr. Nathaniel Beuse or Mr. John Hinch.
Telephone: (202) 366-9700. Facsimile: (202) 493-2739. For legal issues,
contact Dorothy Nakama, NHTSA Office of Chief Counsel, Telephone (202)
366-2992. Facsimile: (202) 366-3820. You may send mail to these
officials at: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration,
Attention: NVS-010, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE., Washington, DC 20590.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Introduction
II. Summary of Request for Comments
A. Frontal NCAP
B. Side NCAP
C. Rollover NCAP
D. Rear Impact
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
F. Presentation and Dissemination of NCAP information
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
III. Summary of Comments
A. Frontal NCAP
1. Impact Protocol
2. Test Dummies (in the Front Seating Position)
3. Injury Criteria
4. Test Speed
B. Side NCAP
1. Oblique Pole Test (Test Dummies and Implementation Time)
2. Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed, Test Dummies, and Injury
Criteria)
C. Rollover NCAP
1. Rollover Risk Model
2. Dynamic Rollover Structural Test
D. Rear Impact
1. Basic Information
2. Links to the IIHS
3. Dynamic Test
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
1. Program Implementation
2. Selected Technologies
3. Rating System
F. Presentation of NCAP Information
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification (of NCAP Results)
H. Other Suggestions
IV. Discussion and Agency Decision
A. Frontal NCAP
B. Side NCAP
C. Rollover NCAP
D. Rear Impact
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
F. Presentation and Dissemination of Safety Information
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
H. Other Recommendations
I. Monroney Label
V. Conclusion
Appendix A
Appendix B
Appendix C
Appendix D
I. Introduction
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) is
responsible for reducing deaths, injuries, and economic losses
resulting from motor vehicle crashes. One way in which NHTSA
accomplishes this mission is by providing consumer information to the
public. NHTSA established the New Car Assessment Program (NCAP) in 1978
in response to Title II of the Motor Vehicle Information and Cost
Savings Act of 1972. Through NCAP, NHTSA currently conducts tests and
provides frontal and side crash, and rollover ratings and communicates
the results using a five-star rating system. With this information,
consumers can make better-informed decisions about their purchases. In
turn, manufacturers respond to the ratings by voluntarily improving the
safety of their vehicles beyond the minimum Federal safety standards.
For MY 1979, when the agency began rating vehicles for frontal
impact safety, fewer than 30 percent of vehicles tested would have
received the top ratings of 4 or 5 stars for the driver seating
position.\1\ By comparison, for MY 2007, 98 percent of vehicles
received 4 and 5 stars in the frontal NCAP rating for that same seating
position. Equally impressive is that while it took almost 30 years to
reach this level for frontal NCAP performance, the more recent NCAP
programs, like side and rollover NCAP, have started reaching this level
of safety performance at a pace that can be measured in years rather
than decades. The agency believes that consumers continue to consider
safety in their purchasing decisions and are demanding ever-increasing
levels of safety.
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\1\ NHTSA began using stars in model year 1994. See 69 FR 61072,
Docket No. NHTSA-2004-18765.
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Similarly, recent advances in crash avoidance technology offer a
new opportunity for NCAP to further enhance its ability to inform
consumers about new systems and encourage them to purchase systems that
NHTSA has found to be effective in improving safety.
On January 25, 2007 NHTSA published a notice outlining proposed
enhancements to the NCAP activities. In this notice, we requested
comments on any additional actions that the agency could undertake so
that the program could continue to provide consumers with relevant
safety information.\2\ These enhancements included new test dummies and
injury criteria for frontal NCAP, the addition of a new side pole test,
new test dummies, and new injury
[[Page 40017]]
criteria for side NCAP, an overall summary rating, and a new program to
promote advanced crash avoidance technologies. Additionally, the notice
announced a March 7, 2007 public hearing to allow interested parties
the opportunity to address the suggested approaches for enhancing the
program.
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\2\ 72 FR 3473, Docket No. NHTSA-2006-26555.
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Seventy-six (76) individual comments were received in response to
the notice and the public hearing.\3\ Commenters offered mixed
responses to the various proposals for enhancing NCAP; however, most
commenters commended the agency's initiative to reexamine the program
and supported the proposed approaches. This notice summarizes comments
to the January 2007 notice, the March 2007 public hearing, and provides
the agency's decision on how it will proceed with changes to NCAP.
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\3\ This count does not include duplicative or multiple comments
from the same source.
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I. Summary of Request for Comments
In its notice, the agency presented proposals to improve not only
the program's current front, side and rollover activities, but also
approaches to improve its information with regards to rear impact, and
certain crash avoidance (or active safety) technologies such as
Electronic Stability Control (ESC). NHTSA also outlined alternatives to
enhance the presentation and dissemination of safety information to
consumers, and solicited feedback for additional considerations that
would allow NCAP to remain effective and relevant in improving vehicle
safety.
A. Frontal NCAP
NHTSA proposed three approaches to enhance the frontal NCAP. The
first approach was to maintain the current 35 mph (56 kmph) test
protocol with a 50th percentile male Hybrid III dummy, but to account
for injuries to the knee/thigh/hip (KTH) complex. This would be
accomplished by including a new injury criterion into the formula used
to calculate the frontal NCAP rating for the driver and front passenger
seating positions. Second, while keeping the test protocol the same,
the agency considered determining whether injury measures obtained
below the knee using the Denton or Thor-Lx dummy legs are predictive of
real-world injuries. Last, the agency considered evaluating vehicles
based on a lower test speed.
B. Side NCAP
To enhance its side impact safety ratings, the agency presented two
approaches for consideration. NHTSA proposed continuing to rate
vehicles using the moving deformable barrier test protocol but would
also encourage manufacturers to provide better head and pelvis
protection by including the side impact pole test and the new test
dummies recently finalized in Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standard
(FMVSS) No. 214 ``Side Impact Protection'' prior to the performance
requirements being fully phased-in.\4\ Furthermore, the agency proposed
research that would focus on the assessment of the injury mechanisms in
a fully equipped side impact air bag fleet. The purpose of the research
would be to evaluate how serious injuries occur in the new fleet and to
develop test procedures to reflect these impact conditions. The outcome
of this research could lead to a new barrier test protocol (which could
include increased test speed and different barrier characteristics).
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\4\ 73 FR 32473, Docket No. NHTSA-2008-0104. On June 9, 2008 the
agency responded to petitions for reconsideration of the final rule,
changing the effective date of the pole test. Now, with certain
exceptions, all vehicles have to meet the upgraded pole test by
September 1, 2014.
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C. Rollover NCAP
To enhance its rollover program, the agency indicated that it would
continue tracking the rollover rate and the single vehicle crash rate
of vehicles equipped with ESC to create a new rollover risk model.
D. Rear Impact
Currently, NHTSA does not provide consumer information on rear
impacts. However, NHTSA is aware of recent research suggesting that
consumers are concerned about rear crashes. As such, the agency
proposed two approaches. First, NHTSA proposed that it could provide
consumers with basic information on rear crashes such as safe driving
behavior, proper adjustment of head restraints, real-world safety data
by vehicle classes, and links to the Insurance Institute of Highway
Safety (IIHS) rear impact test results. Second, as a longer term
approach, the agency proposed that a dynamic test, which addresses
those injuries not covered by the agency's current standards, could be
investigated and incorporated into the ratings program.
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
Technologies such as ESC, forward collision warning (FCW), lane
departure warning (LDW) and crash mitigation systems have been
developed and are being offered in the current vehicle fleet. Some of
these technologies have shown effectiveness in reducing the number of
relevant crashes in Department of Transportation (DOT)-sponsored field
operational tests.\5\ Research by the agency and others has shown that
consumers are generally unaware of these technologies or their
potential safety benefits. As a result, the agency believed that NCAP
should be used to better highlight those beneficial technologies to
consumers and sought to establish a new ratings program that evaluated
vehicles on the presence of proven crash avoidance technologies. Based
on technical maturity, fleet availability, and available effectiveness
data, NHTSA identified three technologies that fit these criteria.
These technologies are ESC, LDW, and FCW.
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\5\ See 72 FR 3475, Docket No. NHTSA-2006-26555.
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NHTSA proposed two possible approaches and illustrated a possible
implementation of the program with an A, B, C letter grade system.
First, the agency proposed that each of the technologies would have
equal weight. For example, if a vehicle had only one technology, it
would receive a C; whereas, another vehicle that had all three
technologies would receive an A. Approach two would attempt to quantify
a technology's real-world benefits by taking into account the target
population and anticipated effectiveness of the technology to decide
whether a particular type of technology would be given more weighting
than another and thus prompt a higher score. For example, in this
scheme, if ESC was found to be more effective than lane departure, a
vehicle equipped only with ESC could receive a B versus a vehicle
equipped only with lane departure warning which would receive a C
rating.
It was further stated that this second approach could be expanded
into a more comprehensive performance-based crash avoidance rating. As
the technologies evolved and as the agency gathered more information
related to various versions of these technologies and their associated
safety effectiveness, NHTSA proposed that a safety score (i.e., star
rating) on individual technologies could then be developed (e.g.,
different version of ESC might yield different performance results and
thus a different star rating).
F. Presentation and Dissemination of NCAP Information
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Several NHTSA-sponsored research reports and consumer surveys, as
well as a Government Accountability Office and a National Academy of
Sciences review of NCAP, have all pointed to the public's desire for a
summary safety rating. Similarly, other consumer information programs
around the world
[[Page 40018]]
such as the IIHS, Japan NCAP, and EuroNCAP use summary ratings that
combine their respective crashworthiness tests. The agency proposed two
summary crashworthiness rating concepts. In both concepts, the existing
rollover rating was not included in the calculation of the overall
summary rating, and star rating boundaries would have to be developed
for both individual crash tests and the overall summary rating.
The first approach computed the overall crashworthiness rating by
first averaging the driver and right front passenger dummy injury
results from the frontal crash mode into a single star rating. The same
would be done for the seating positions in the side crash mode to
compute the overall side crash rating. To compute the overall
crashworthiness rating, the overall frontal and the overall side impact
performance would be combined by using weighting factors obtained from
real-world data (i.e. the National Automotive Sampling System (NASS)).
Each individual total (overall front and overall side) would be
weighted by that crash mode's contribution to the total injuries
occurring in the real-world.
The second approach computed the overall crashworthiness rating by
normalizing the seating positions for each individual crash mode (front
and side) using the Injury Assessment Reference Values (IARVs)
established for that dummy, body region, and crash mode. Using the NASS
data, these normalized values would then be multiplied by the
occurrence of that injury in the real-world. Body injury regions that
are coded by NASS but are not measured by the dummy and/or not selected
by NHTSA for inclusion in the rating would be equally distributed among
the remaining body regions.
Presentation of Safety Information
As the consumer's use of the Internet for vehicle safety
information has grown, so has the need to consolidate and better
present NCAP vehicle safety information to consumers on https://
www.safercar.gov. The four approaches proposed by the agency were: (1)
Developing other topical areas under the Equipment and Safety section
of the Web site; (2) redesigning the Web site to improve organization;
(3) improving search capabilities on the Web site; and, (4) combining
agency recall and ratings database information.
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification
In addition to NHTSA's proposed suggestions in the notice the
agency also sought comment at the public hearing on whether or not
manufacturers should be allowed to conduct and publish their own NCAP
ratings via a self-certification process. We indicated that such an
approach would be one way to improve not only the timeliness of NCAP
ratings but also to increase the number of vehicles rated by the
agency.
III. Summary of Comments
This section provides a brief summary of the seventy-six (76)
comments submitted to the docket by vehicle manufacturers, safety
advocates, public health groups and the general public in response to
the notice and the public hearing.\6\ It should be noted that comments
unique to the public hearing are stated as such.
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\6\ These submissions are available at https://
www.regulations.gov in Docket No. NHTSA-2006-26555.
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A. Frontal NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA's frontal program are grouped into four
categories: Impact Protocol, Test Dummies (in the Front Seating
Position), Injury Criteria and Test Speed.
1. Impact Protocol
The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers (Alliance), Automotive
Occupant Restraints Council (AORC), Toyota Motor North America, Inc.
(Toyota), BMW of North America (BMW), Fuji Heavy Industries USA, Inc.
(Subaru) and Volkswagen of America, Inc. (VW) supported the retention
of the current frontal crash test protocol at 35 mph (56 kmph).
Consumers Union and Public Citizen suggested adding an offset frontal
crash test rating, which Public Citizen believed would be far more
useful in assessing the structural integrity of different vehicle
models. Likewise, Toyota also encouraged NHTSA to investigate ways to
include information on offset collision conditions in its NCAP program.
Toyota explained that their investigation of National Automotive
Sampling System Crashworthiness Data System (NASS-CDS) data showed that
an overwhelming majority of frontal crashes occur in either the full
overlap or offset condition. They believed that vehicle performance
assessed in the offset condition should yield relevant improvements in
safety technology and provide considerable benefit.
IIHS and Subaru recommended the addition of a frontal pole test to
address significant injuries resulting from impacts with narrow
objects. IIHS asserted that offset tests more closely simulate impacts
with narrow objects than do full-width tests, and that a narrow-object
NCAP test could have an important impact on real-world vehicle
crashworthiness, and would give consumers a wide range of results to
inform their purchasing decisions. Subaru suggested that NHTSA should
study and possibly propose a frontal pole test for inclusion into NCAP
if the frequency of frontal crashes with narrow objects is high.
However, General Motors North America (GM) asserted that a pole test is
unlikely to result in significant change or further improvement in
structural stability and resultant injury reduction. They stated that
research in this area may yield only limited or incremental gains in
injury mitigation, and that the public interest is likely to be better
served by channeling resources into areas that could produce greater
societal benefit.
2. Test Dummies (in the Front Seating Position)
With regard to test dummies, the Alliance stated that test dummies
in frontal NCAP should be the same as those in FMVSS No. 208.
Additionally, GM, AORC, Consumers Union and the Alliance supported the
use of the 5th percentile female Hybrid III dummy in the right front
passenger position. GM provided NASS data which suggested that small
females were over-represented (with regard to serious injuries) in the
right front passenger seating position. GM also suggested that in the
future, the 5th percentile female dummy should be used in both seating
positions to optimize safety. AORC asserted that the substitution of
the 5th female for the 50th percentile male would demonstrate a broader
population range of protection since some data has been shown which
suggests that the weighted frequency of serious and fatal injuries to
women is greater than to men in the right front passenger seating
position.
Furthermore, Consumers Union asserted that the agency should
investigate using the 5th percentile female and 95th percentile male
dummies to evaluate NCAP tests for all sizes of vehicle occupants.
Subaru supported the continued use of 50th percentile adult male
dummies in both front seating positions indicating that this was more
representative of real-world occupants. Subaru also asserted that
additional tests with other dummies, such as the 5th percentile adult
female, should be done only if well supported by real-world data.
3. Injury Criteria
Most vehicle manufacturers agreed that NHTSA should develop and
incorporate a KTH injury criterion into
[[Page 40019]]
the NCAP frontal rating. They noted that a KTH assessment would drive
vehicle countermeasures that could mitigate lower leg injuries and also
yield important information relevant to vehicle design. Likewise,
adding KTH and/or lower leg injury criteria to the NCAP rating protocol
could expand the usefulness of the NCAP system by addressing the
societal cost of Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 2+ injuries. The
Alliance, Autoliv, Consumers Union and IIHS also supported NHTSA's
efforts to incorporate a KTH injury criterion into the frontal program.
However, IIHS urged the agency to concentrate its research tests on
serious injuries and fatalities in frontal impacts to encourage more
protective vehicle design. Additionally, Autoliv stated that although a
reduction in KTH injuries would have a significant impact on societal
cost, they believed that it would have little effect in reducing
fatalities.
Nissan North America (Nissan) stated that the agency should
consider a KTH assessment only after further study is conducted.
Instead, Nissan urged NHTSA to harmonize knee and thigh injury values
with those required in Japanese and European regulations. Likewise, the
Association of International Automobile Manufacturers (AIAM) did not
believe that the agency should move expeditiously to include a KTH
criterion in the current frontal NCAP program since the agency had
identified crashes of lower test speed as the primary concern regarding
leg injuries. They recommended that NHTSA present the analysis and
results of their KTH research for public comment prior to including a
KTH criterion in the frontal program.
For lower leg assessments, several commenters suggested that
additional research was needed to determine whether injury measures
obtained below the knee were predictive of real-world injury. GM noted
that adding a femur load injury criterion to frontal NCAP would drive
many of the same vehicle countermeasures that would mitigate lower leg
injuries.
With regards to what anthropomorphic test device (ATD) could be
used for these new criteria (KTH and lower leg), Honda specifically
stated that a KTH assessment would be possible using the Denton dummy
leg. For injuries to the lower leg (below the knee), Honda, Subaru,
Nissan, and Volvo Cars of North America, LLC (Volvo), suggested that
the agency adopt the Thor-Lx legs in the future. The Alliance did not
support the introduction of either the Denton or Thor-Lx legs unless
they were included in FMVSS No. 208. Furthermore, VW believed that
these test devices must be validated, and the applicable injury
criteria and rating must be verified for correlation with real-world
safety.
Some commenters suggested that all injury criteria incorporated in
FMVSS No. 208 (beyond head injury criteria and chest acceleration
criteria) should also be included in frontal NCAP. Specifically, Honda,
Ford, GM, the Alliance, and Autoliv supported the inclusion of a chest
deflection criterion into the frontal NCAP rating based on NASS-CDS
data indicating a substantial number of injuries to ribs and internal
organs resulting in AIS 3+ or higher severity injuries. However, Honda
stated that the current chest deflection calibration procedure may not
be appropriate to assure that chest deflection measurements are
accurate enough to provide useful data. GM and the Alliance recommended
including a chest compression criterion into frontal NCAP. The Alliance
urged NHTSA to conduct research on neck (tension) injury criteria
before including it into frontal NCAP. However, GM suggested that the
agency add neck injury criteria to frontal NCAP since these criteria
are already measured by the Hybrid III dummies and included in FMVSS
No. 208.
4. Test Speed
With regards to adopting a lower test speed, the Alliance, GM and
Volvo agreed with NHTSA's analysis and supported the agency's proposal
to conduct more research on lower test speeds. However, VW questioned
whether lower speed crashes represented a greater risk of occupant
injury than the current NCAP test procedure. Therefore, VW as well as
the Alliance believed that an additional test in frontal NCAP would add
significant expense and strain on available resources without any
commensurate advantages or benefit.
Subaru asserted that they did not support adding low speed bumper
tests to frontal NCAP since those tests would overlap with existing
IIHS tests.
Two individual commenters, Mr. Dainius Dalmotas and Dr. Harold
Mertz stated that a full vehicle crash test designed to promote
enhanced chest protection in low-to-moderate speed frontal crashes
would be most promising since the vast majority of serious and fatal
injuries among belted drivers occur at collision speeds of 25 mph (40
kmph) or less. They also asserted that incentives to promote improved
safety in low-to-moderate speed frontal impacts were lacking and could
be addressed through NCAP.
At the public hearing, Consumers Federation of America (CFA) and
the Center for Auto Safety (CAS) suggested that NHTSA increase test
speeds and challenge manufacturers to post the highest speed at which
their vehicles are tested, in order to differentiate amongst the
performance of vehicles. However, the Alliance, Consumers Union, AIAM
and Subaru opposed a higher speed test for frontal NCAP. The Alliance
stated that field data did not show the need for higher test speeds.
AIAM and Consumers Union did not believe that increasing crash test
speeds would benefit the overall safety of occupants; but rather, it
could cause vehicles to become stiffer. Subaru asserted that a higher
speed test is not representative of the vast majority of fatal crashes,
does not enhance NCAP's consumer information goals, and risks
increasing vehicle aggressiveness.
B. Side NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA's side program are divided into the
following categories: Oblique Pole Test (Test Dummies and
Implementation Time), Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed, Test
Dummies, and Injury Criteria), and Side NCAP Research.
1. Oblique Pole Test (Test Dummies and Implementation Time)
GM, Subaru, Toyota, the Alliance, and Autoliv agreed with the
agency's proposal to incorporate an oblique pole test into NCAP.
However, with regards to adopting the oblique pole test prior to the
completion of the FMVSS No. 214 pole test phase-in, BMW, Ford, Toyota,
and the Alliance, asserted that such action would be premature, and
these commenters suggested that NHTSA adopt the test after the oblique
pole test had been fully phased-in. Furthermore, Subaru suggested that
3 years be allowed after the agency announced a new test before rating
vehicles under the new test protocol.
Toyota explained that they understood NHTSA's intention to use an
early introduction of the pole test to drive the installation of
advanced head protection systems (like curtain airbags), but they
believed that significant benefits in head protection were already
being realized from the introduction of curtain air bags, which was
driven by industry's commitment to the industry voluntary compatibility
requirements.\7\
[[Page 40020]]
Therefore, Toyota recommended additional investigation into whether
there are merits of an early introduction of an oblique pole test into
NCAP. Honda recommended adding to the existing side impact test by
introducing a second side impact test that is similar to the current
IIHS moving deformable barrier (MDB) test.\8\ Honda suggested that this
would extend the coverage of NHTSA's side impact testing, be more
representative of real-world crashes, and help to provide a more
realistic assessment of a vehicle's crashworthiness in these types of
two-vehicle collisions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ IIHS and the Alliance created a voluntary agreement wherein
automotive manufacturers agreed to improve occupant protection in
front and side crashes involving cars and light trucks. For front-
to-side impacts, most automakers agreed to design their vehicles to
meet the head injury performance requirements of NHTSA's FMVSS No.
201 side-pole test or the IIHS moving deformable barrier test. By
September 1, 2007, at least half of all new passenger vehicles would
meet one of the two requirements, and by September 1, 2009 model
year, all new passenger vehicles would meet the head injury
requirements of the Institute's moving deformable barrier test.
\8\ This test would represent an SUV to subject vehicle crash
(IIHS Side Impact Crash Evaluation test procedure--SICE).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
If the agency went forward with an oblique pole test, Subaru
recommended a side impact assessment based on two tests (the oblique
pole test and IIHS's MDB test) with head injury criteria and the SID-
IIs dummy, as long as the results could be combined into a single
rating. BMW and the Alliance suggested that the 5th percentile female
SID-IIs dummy be used for the driver position in the oblique pole test.
BMW asserted that the smaller SID-IIs dummy is most appropriate for
determining the geometric coverage area required for a curtain airbag.
The Alliance believed that it is appropriate to test only with the 5th
percentile female dummy in the front seating position because this is a
very severe test condition, and it would serve to meet the intent of
NCAP while minimizing additional test burdens on NHTSA and the
automotive industry.
Honda, Nissan and VW did not support the inclusion of an oblique
pole test into side NCAP. Honda believed that introducing an oblique
pole test would be a temporary measure until the test was fully phased-
in as a requirement for FMVSS No. 214. To comply with the requirements
of FMVSS No. 214, the head protection benefits of the oblique pole test
would already have been realized in every vehicle, so there would be
little practical benefit to consumers as a result of temporarily
including such a test in NCAP. VW and Nissan, similar to Toyota, stated
that automobile manufacturers were already committed to front-to-side
impact protection, and that the addition of a side impact pole test
would provide no added incentive for the manufacturers to implement
additional side impact protection. Nissan also believed that
incorporating the pole test into NCAP is unnecessary to encourage head
protection in new vehicles.
IIHS stated that the current NCAP barrier test did not fully
address the mix of vehicles on the road and that the agency needed to
improve the existing side impact barrier. IIHS suggested giving greater
priority to adopting or modifying the IIHS side impact barrier rather
than incorporating a new oblique pole test. However, GM asserted that
the pole test is structurally more challenging than the IIHS MDB test,
and that the IIHS MDB test and the pole test will not necessarily drive
installation of the same air bag solutions.
2. Moving Barrier Protocol (Test Speed, Test Dummies, and Injury
Criteria)
NHTSA proposed a new side NCAP barrier test protocol that would
include new dummies and additional injury criteria. The Alliance
supported the maintenance of the current barrier test but they
suggested a revised, lower test speed of 33.5 mph (54 kmph).
With regards to the incorporation of new dummies into the side MDB
test, the Alliance, Subaru, Honda, Nissan, Volvo, and AIAM proposed the
incorporation of WorldSID into NCAP. Specifically, Volvo and the
Alliance suggested that the WorldSID dummy should be introduced in
FMVSS No. 214 and NCAP simultaneously. Honda stated that the WorldSID
dummy provides excellent biofidelity, and does not present problems
with rib guide shape that the ES-2re dummy appears to have based on
their evaluation. AORC believed that the current test dummy does not
adequately address head injuries, and they encouraged NHTSA to use
either EuroSID-2 and/or the SID-IIs side impact dummy.
Volvo recommended that the dummies and injury criteria for the NCAP
side barrier test procedures be the same as they are for FMVSS No. 214.
Volvo supported the addition of head injury criteria in the NCAP
evaluation for the side barrier; however, they would prefer that the
NCAP criteria limits are set more stringent in order to encourage
manufacturers to exceed the performance standards outlined in the legal
requirement. BMW recommended that NHTSA use the ES-2re dummy for the
driver position in the MDB test because the SID-IIs dummy is already
included in the MDB test conducted by IIHS, and the biofidelity of the
SID-IIs dummy in these types of impacts is well understood. GM also
suggested the ES-2re dummy for the driver position since the most
frequent occupant, and most frequently injured occupant type at the
driver position is an adult male.
Autoliv asserted that the ES-2re dummy should be used for the front
seating position in both the oblique pole and MDB tests, as this dummy
represents the largest percentage of front seat occupants. They also
recommended the SID-IIs dummy for the rear seating position to provide
information on protection for older children and small adults seated in
the rear. GM also recommended the SID-IIs dummy for the rear seating
position because more frail persons tend to sit in the rear, the SID-
IIs dummy is tuned for frail occupants, and placement in the rear will
import safety improvements across the range of occupants.
3. Side NCAP Research
As a longer term approach, the agency suggested research into the
moving barrier test protocol to address injuries and fatalities that
might occur in vehicles equipped with curtain and side impact air bags.
The agency indicated this research could lead to a new barrier, an
increased barrier test speed, and a reevaluation of the impact
configuration.
The Alliance, AIAM, Honda and Subaru agreed that NHTSA should
analyze real-world side impact crashes for vehicles with side curtain
airbags. However, the Alliance recommended that the agency and
automotive industry should develop more experience with the new pole
test and test dummies before considering any increase in test speeds.
In addition, the Alliance asserted that future research should evaluate
whether it would be beneficial for NCAP to harmonize with the existing
IIHS barrier.
Toyota supported additional research efforts to gain a better
understanding of the potential for and the necessity of changes to the
test device and configuration for vehicles equipped with side airbags.
Furthermore, Toyota stated that questions remain relating to barrier
characteristics, injury criteria and appropriate ATDs that should be
researched from relevant field data.\9\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ In particular, Toyota recommended continued investigation
into previously identified concerns with the performance of the SID-
IIs upper arm, which they believed was not biofidelic and affected
the thoracic rib response.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Autoliv recommended that NHTSA research increasing the test speed
and develop a single test that would assess both the head and thorax
injury protection systems installed in newer vehicles. Autoliv also
suggested that the adoption of the WorldSID dummy would be suitable if
incorporated into Part 572 and FMVSS No. 214.
[[Page 40021]]
Additionally, Delphi opposed releasing a new regulation under FMVSS No.
214 and then promoting a different set of barrier protocols, dummy
types and injury metrics for side NCAP evaluation since that decision
could cause misdirection for original equipment manufacturers and
suppliers.
C. Rollover NCAP
Comments regarding NHTSA's rollover program are grouped into the
following categories: Rollover Risk Model and Dynamic Rollover
Structural Test.
1. Rollover Risk Model
Most commenters supported the development of a new rollover risk
model. Several commenters agreed that real-world crash data was
necessary to develop an effective rollover risk model. Specifically,
the Alliance, AIAM, the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA),
and VW each commented that NHTSA should collect new crash data for
rollover NCAP. In particular, the Alliance and Ford recommended that
the agency collect crash data on both ESC and non-ESC equipped vehicles
to develop a new rollover risk model that better describes rollover
risk for all vehicles, but also accurately reflects the differences
between ESC and non-ESC vehicles. Toyota believed that the update to
rollover NCAP should reflect real-world benefits of ESC on rollover
risk, and that the rollover rating should be combined (with advanced
technologies) into an overall crash avoidance rating. AIAM suggested
that NHTSA consider adjusting a vehicle's rollover risk rating to
reflect the safety benefits of ESC or adopt some other means of
communicating those benefits to consumers.
Recognizing that since such a data collection and analysis cannot
be completed in the near term, Ford, the Alliance and Volvo suggested
that in the near term, an additional rollover NCAP star should be
awarded to those vehicles equipped with an ESC system to recognize the
benefits of ESC. Specifically, the Alliance recommended that NHTSA
provide additional information in the form of a footnote on the
agency's Web site and in the Safer Car brochure that explains the
benefits of ESC and why these benefits warrant an additional star.
2. Dynamic Rollover Structural Test
Some commenters encouraged NHTSA to develop a test for structural
integrity to enhance rollover NCAP. Specifically, Consumers Union,
Public Citizen and ARCCA Incorporated (ARCCA) urged the agency to
consider a dynamic test to assess body structure, seat belt design
(including pretension), side curtain airbags, roof strength, door locks
and retention, and the retention of window glazing. In particular,
Public Citizen believed that a rollover NCAP rating should be based on
a vehicle's ability to resist rollover and to protect occupants in a
rollover crash. They suggested a rating that included ejection as a
consideration since this would provide valuable information about a
vehicle's ability to prevent death or serious injury in a rollover
crash. Additionally, the rating should measure rollover propensity, as
well as crashworthiness measures of performance in a rollover crash.
The Center for Injury Research (CIR) recommended that an NCAP
rollover test be dynamic and somewhat more severe than a dynamic
compliance standard. According to CIR, a dynamic test for use as both a
safety compliance standard and as an NCAP test can and should be
developed simultaneously with action on the roof crush standard.
Moreover, CFA and CAS recommended adding a rollover test with
comparative roof crush tests, while IIHS suggested that NHTSA should
conduct additional research on roof crush. Bidez and Associates stated
that a meaningful rollover crashworthiness test must include roof
deformation, seat belt performance, door opening, and window breakage.
They emphasized that protection should be assessed for front and rear
passengers, adults and children, and that the Jordan Rollover System
(JRS) holds great promise. Conversely, the Alliance, Ford and Nissan
opposed the use of JRS in NCAP. The Alliance commented, and Ford and
Nissan stated at the public meeting that there has been no JRS tests
conducted with an instrumented dummy and therefore, the JRS test
results cannot be related scientifically to the real-world risk of
injury in a rollover crash.
D. Rear Impact
Comments regarding NHTSA's rear impact NCAP activity are divided
into the following categories: Basic Information, Links to the IIHS,
and Dynamic Test.
1. Basic Information
Commenters presented similar views on how NHTSA should provide
consumers with basic information concerning rear impact crashes in an
NCAP publication. GM, Toyota, Subaru and VW supported the inclusion of
information on the proper adjustment and utilization of head restraint
systems. Additionally, GM supported consumer education that included
material such as safety tips and safe driving practices.
2. Links to the IIHS
The IIHS endorsed the agency's proposal and offered their head
restraint evaluation information for posting on the agency's Web site.
Toyota believes that the IIHS results are only one way to assess rear
impact performance, and thus the agency should be cautious and thorough
when determining what rear impact evaluation should be part of a future
NCAP evaluation. They also stated that ample consideration should be
given to passive and active head restraint concepts in order to
maintain benefits from all design types.
The Alliance felt that NHTSA's proposal did not seem consistent
with the principle of the Federal government independently generating
all NCAP data. Rather, they advocated that the agency should
investigate further the injury mechanism of whiplash and then choose
which responses to evaluate based on biomechanics. Similarly, GM
discouraged NHTSA from implementing this option. According to GM, links
to the IIHS Web site might imply that NHTSA has given full endorsement
of IIHS methodology and interpretations, and some consumers may even
conclude that IIHS is a government agency.
3. Dynamic Test
The Alliance believed that NHTSA should first evaluate potential
effectiveness and safety benefits prior to incorporating a rear crash
rating into NCAP. Consumers Union stated that rear impact whiplash
injuries are debilitating to those involved and cause a large cost to
society. Consumers Union recommended that NHTSA look at IIHS's work on
rear impact testing to determine whether developing NCAP ratings for
rear impact results would be cost effective. Public Citizen suggested
that the agency develop a rear-impact crash NCAP rating, especially at
speeds of 35 to 40 mph (56 to 64 kmph) to improve rear-impact occupant
protection and seat back strength. Furthermore, ARCCA stated that rear
impact testing for fuel integrity should be utilized, and that this
type of testing would enable the agency to assess occupant kinematics
and interactions in rear impacts.
Nissan recommended that NHTSA harmonize with the global technical
regulation (GTR) dynamic test
[[Page 40022]]
procedure.\10\ GM stated that the development of a dynamic test by
NHTSA should be considered only after recent revisions to FMVSS No. 202
are assessed. According to GM, if the regulatory changes are shown to
be effective in mitigating injury, a rear impact NCAP could be better
directed toward areas not fully addressed by the current regulation.
Similarly, while Subaru did not support new requirements for FMVSS No.
202a in the short term, they asserted that NHTSA needs to educate
consumers on the proper use and adjustment of head restraints. However,
Subaru believed that in the long term, NHTSA should focus on the study
of whiplash-type injury mechanisms and applicable countermeasures.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\10\ See https://www.unece.org/trans/doc/2007/wp29/WP29-143-
23r1e.doc. This is an agreement to begin work on Phase 2 of this
GTR, which will analyze a revised dynamic test procedure
incorporating the BioRID-II dummy.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
E. Crash Avoidance Technologies
Comments regarding NCAP information on crash avoidance technologies
are grouped into three categories: Program Implementation, Selected
Technologies, and Rating System.
1. Program Implementation
Most commenters encouraged NHTSA to implement a new component into
NCAP to rate vehicles on the presence of crash avoidance technologies.
They agreed that such a program would help educate consumers about
these technologies and encourage manufacturers to include them in more
vehicles. According to Ford, the first step would be to identify
promising technologies with measurable real-world safety benefits.
Next, those items must be assessed using developed performance based
metrics, and finally, the assessments should be used to develop crash
avoidance NCAP ratings that balance rating flexibility with stability.
GM emphasized an overarching principle that crash avoidance NCAP
should be biased toward including features that have a high likelihood
of improving safety. GM suggested further that the agency consider a
wording revision, perhaps to `Collision Avoidance and Post-Crash Safety
(CAPS)' NCAP so that a technology such as Automatic Collision
Notification could be considered and included.
Honda encouraged NHTSA to consider a program that would define the
various crash avoidance technologies. They stated that these
definitions should be based on the effect each function of a particular
system has from the driver's point of view, and include a clear
explanation of the actions the system can take to enhance safety.
Honda, along with Delphi, suggested the development of assessment-
weighting coefficients derived from a system's expected benefits and
the frequency of the crash type (using appropriate U.S. databases) that
the system is supposed to address.
BMW suggested a program that would accomplish the agency's goals
without over-promising consumers on expected performance and avoid
crediting systems prematurely. They suggested a program that would
differentiate technologies with real-world effectiveness from those
whose effectiveness numbers were generated by some other means. They
also suggested that NHTSA and manufacturers collaborate on ways to
educate consumers on emerging technologies with promising capabilities
and proven benefits.
Mercedes-Benz (Mercedes) recommended that NHTSA work with the
automotive industry before developing crash avoidance ratings. To
develop future ratings they, along with Continental Automotive Systems,
supported the idea of creating an advisory panel that represents the
viewpoints of all manufacturers competing in the U.S. market.
Nissan agreed with the agency's desire to implement this new
program. They also stated that the agency should identify immediately
its priority technologies through a press release, on the NCAP Web
site, through the ``Buying a Safer Car'' brochure, and on each
vehicle's NCAP summary Web page.
IIHS and NADA were not convinced of the need for NCAP crash
avoidance ratings at this time. IIHS suggested that NHTSA should not
rate vehicle crash avoidance technologies, since the agency cannot
currently identify which systems are most effective.
2. Selected Technologies
Nissan and Delphi agreed with the three technologies selected by
the agency. However, GM and Toyota believed that there were additional
crash avoidance technologies that should be promoted because they would
provide safety value to consumers. For brevity, we chose not to list
them all in this document, but they included such things as daytime
running lights, backover prevention technology, and advanced collision
notification. GM further believed that there were data for some of
these crash avoidance technologies and methods by which potential
benefits could be assessed, and they could be included in the initial
implementation of a crash avoidance NCAP. GM felt that limiting crash
avoidance technologies to the three identified by the agency would
unnecessarily limit the potential safety benefits to consumers.
3. Rating System
a. Cumulative Rating (NHTSA's Approach 1)
There was little support for NHTSA's proposed Approach 1. In the
short term, only Nissan supported a simple cumulative rating whereby
each priority technology would be weighted the same. Both the Alliance
and GM were opposed to this approach. GM believed that a cumulative
rating would not discriminate among the three technologies, and they
would prefer that NHTSA weight appropriately safety-enhancing features
based on their relative benefits. The Alliance stated that the
effectiveness of the selected technologies was not equal, and providing
equal weighting would significantly mislead the consumer as to their
relative safety benefits.
Rather than a star rating or the use of a cumulative rating, BMW
suggested a ``thumbs up'' rating system to assist consumers in quickly
and intuitively distinguishing among technologies on the basis of
maturity. BMW believed that this approach would deliver to consumers
two levels of information: which technologies have the potential for
success and which technologies have a history of success. Furthermore,
BMW felt that this approach would reduce the need for NHTSA to
research, analyze and document the actual benefits of a technology.
Mercedes believed that NCAP should issue publications that would rank
the merits of emerging technologies in a manner similar to that used in
the IIHS status reports, and that NHTSA should communicate with the
industry so that public safety messages could be coordinated with
industry advertisements.
b. Effectiveness Rating (NHTSA's Approach 2)
Nissan, in the long term, along with Toyota, Volvo, Public Citizen,
AORC, the Alliance, AIAM and GM favored the agency's proposed Approach
2 of establishing an effectiveness rating for crash avoidance
technologies. Toyota, however, believed that it would be ideal to
develop information related to each new technology's safety potential
and to establish a ``Graduated Comprehensive Crash Avoidance Rating
System'' concept. They also recommended
[[Page 40023]]
further study to expand the list of technologies beyond ESC, lane
departure warning and forward collision warning to include systems such
as rear pre-collision preparation/warning, emergency stop signal, blind
zone alert, vehicle-to-vehicle and vehicle-to-infrastructure
communications.
F. Presentation of NCAP Information
Comments regarding the presentation and dissemination of NCAP
focused mainly on a combined crashworthiness rating. A few commenters
offered suggestions on the dissemination of NCAP information. NADA
suggested that NHTSA develop, maintain and make available a database of
non-agency sources of credible vehicle safety information. The CAS and
CFA suggested that the agency implement additional and more
sophisticated systems that deliver safety information at the point of
sale. They believed this information should be beyond the agency's new
NCAP labeling program (no examples were given).
Combined Crashworthiness Rating
Most responders to the NCAP notice expressed support for an overall
crashworthiness rating that combined the results from all the crash
modes (front and side) tested. However, IIHS cautioned that an all-
encompassing single rating may allow some poor performance qualities to
be hidden under the umbrella rating. Therefore, they urged NHTSA to
provide consumers with all of the scores in each crash mode to allow
them to choose which vehicle to purchase. Additionally, Delphi, Public
Citizen and Bidez and Associates noted that while a single overall
crashworthiness rating would simplify information for consumers, it
could also confuse consumers if not based on sound science.
Toyota believed there is merit to combining ratings for
crashworthiness evaluations to provide the consumer with a
comprehensive summary of the crash performance of the vehicle in front
and side impacts. They recommended weighting the injuries and
assessment in each impact condition by the distribution of serious
injuries (AIS3+) and fatalities. After determining the weighting
factors for each injury, each impact configuration should receive
similar ``Field Relevance Weighting'' based on frequency, severe injury
risk, and occupancy. Because of the small number of fatalities in NASS,
Toyota suggested exploring FARS augmented with the Multiple Cause of
Death (MCOD) database.
Honda supported a combined crashworthiness rating that covers a
wide variety of real-world collisions. Honda recommended compatibility
testing that assesses performance in crashes between two vehicles with
different geometries and/or weights. Further, they recommended
weighting coefficients for each region of the crash test dummy,
representing specific types of injuries, based on real-world crash and
injury data.
The Alliance generally supported the concept of a combined
crashworthiness rating. They believed that it is possible to combine
the different body regions into a single star rating for both frontal
and side. However, they noted that the frontal NCAP ratings are
vehicle-weight dependent while the side NCAP ratings are generally
weight independent. Thus, the Alliance asserted that a combined
crashworthiness rating would be comparable only within vehicle weight
class. Moreover, AIAM urged NHTSA to ensure that a single rating is
meaningful in terms of real-world performance to drive safety
improvements in all crash modes. They recommended that changes to the
star system be considered only if based on appropriate research
involving consumer surveys or focus groups, and not on intuitive
judgments about what data presentation is most effective.
Public Citizen supported a single rating if it were weighted with
respect to saving lives and preventing injuries. They also suggested
that NHTSA use a letter grade rating system instead of ``stars.''
Volkswagen believed that the agency should consider a single crash
rating only until a crash avoidance NCAP rating grows in substance and
scope. Delphi expressed that a combined crashworthiness rating would
obscure safety benefits; rather, they supported a Euro NCAP style point
system and recommended that key performance-based assessments be
presented as the primary information and that feature-based indicators
be presented as of secondary importance.
G. Manufacturer Self-Certification (of NCAP Results)
With regards to manufacturers providing their own NCAP test
results, GM and Toyota supported the implementation of a type-approval
program wherein NHTSA would oversee NCAP testing conducted by the
manufacturer. GM felt that NHTSA's attendance (or the presence of a
NHTSA representative) would allow appropriate scrutiny of the testing
and ensure consumer confidence in such a program. Additionally, they
strongly discouraged implementation of any program that could
compromise NHTSA-sanctioned vehicle ratings because of results obtained
through spot-checking (presumably conducted by NHTSA). Bidez and
Associates, Consumers Union and Public Citizen urged NHTSA to consider
a manufacturer self-certifying process in which the industry would test
and rate its own vehicles and undergo spot checking of their test
results by NHTSA. According to these commenters, the benefit of such a
program would be to disseminate NCAP test information on newly-
introduced vehicles more rapidly than under the current system.
H. Other Suggestions
In addition to the approaches that NHTSA had proposed to further
enhance its NCAP crashworthiness and crash avoidance activities,
commenters submitted other recommendations to the agency. These
comments on other possible approaches to improving NCAP are grouped
into the following categories: Child Restraints and Rear Seat Testing,
Lighting, and Pedestrians.
1. Child Restraints
Public Citizen suggested that NHTSA incorporate a dynamic child
restraint system (CRS) test into NCAP in all crash modes (including
frontal, rollover, side and rear crashes). They recommended that a six-
year old Hybrid III dummy be restrained in a backless booster and a 5th
percentile female Hybrid III dummy be placed in a 3-point belt in both
rear-outboard seating positions. ARCCA recommended adding instrumented
child dummies to the outboard-designated seating positions in the rear
to investigate issues associated with accommodations and crash
performance of rear-seated occupants resulting from cargo.
Bidez & Associates asserted that the agency should build upon and
leverage the experience of EuroNCAP in child protection to force design
innovation in rear seat safety for six to twelve-year olds.\11\ They
believed there was a need to enhance frontal impact protection of nine
to twelve-year old children who are properly belted in the rear seat.
Their research for restrained nine to twelve-year old children
suggested that rear seat occupants had a risk of serious injury 78
percent higher than that of front seat occupants. They estimated that
the overall injury rate for all restrained nine to twelve-year olds in
all crash types was 38 percent higher in the rear seat than in the
front seat. As such,
[[Page 40024]]
Bidez & Associates recommended that NHTSA immediately warn consumers,
retract its message to parents about placing children in the rear, and
force the automobile industry to upgrade the safety of the rear
occupant area of the existing and future vehicle fleet.
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\11\ The commenter did not provide specific detail as to what
design innovations have occurred as a result of the EuroNCAP
activity.
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Subaru, GM and the Alliance opposed implementation of a CRS test
into NCAP. GM asserted that there can be no meaningful dynamic NCAP
test for CRS until there is a meaningful way to tie a CRS NCAP
performance rating to real-world performance. They believed that it is
inappropriate to invent a test and claim correlation to real-world
safety performance improvements without sound data to back this claim.
These commenters felt that using child safety seats in NCAP vehicle
tests would confound the test results and would not lead to a
meaningful vehicle or CRS rating. Additionally, the Alliance asserted
that the real-world safety benefits of child restraints demonstrate the
children are already very well-protected in the rear seat. As such,
they believed that adding child dummies in child restraints to the rear
seating position for front or side NCAP testing would not maximize
advancements in child protection.
Volvo suggested that if the agency wanted to develop a child
restraint test, then the test should be performed on a sled, and they
asserted that there should be improvements in FMVSS No. 213. According
to Volvo, the restrictions for design and testing of the restraints, as
set up in this standard, basically prohibit innovative concepts with
improved performance for reducing misuse and improper installation and
for improving safety performance in a crash. To improve child safety,
Consumers Union recommended that NHTSA pursue research toward an NCAP
rating on (rear) vehicle visibility since they believed that data from
Kids and Cars and others suggest that children are most at risk from
poor visibility and blind zones around the vehicle.
2. Rear Seat Testing
Adding rear seat dummies into the frontal NCAP program was
encouraged by some commenters. In particular, AORC and Bidez and
Associates suggested the addition of the 5th percentile female or the
10-year old dummy. However, AORC asserted that an analysis of field
data would be needed to determine the most appropriate dummy and
seating position, and that dummy development may be required in this
area to better measure abdominal injuries that may be present among
belted occupants in the rear seat.
Individual commenter Mr. Todd Saczalski recommended rear seat
testing with adult and child dummies and child restraints to assess the
difficulty exiting the vehicle and to examine injuries due to seat back
failure. The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP) stated that the
agency should place an older belt-restrained dummy, such as the six or
ten-year old Hybrid III child dummy, in the rear seat of the NCAP
frontal test to better understand rear restraint systems for child
occupants. Additionally, they encouraged the use of a belt-positioning
booster seat with the six-year old Hybrid III dummy.
Subaru did not support adding dummies to the rear seating position.
Subaru stated that it might not be possible, with the current front
seat positioning procedure, to properly position a 50th percentile male
Hybrid III dummy in the rear seat of some vehicles; the result could be
inconsistent performance evaluations across all vehicles.
3. Lighting
Some public commenters expressed concerns about lighting and glare
related to daytime running lights (DRLs). However, the glare comments
were focused on the agency's rulemaking activity and not its consumer
information activity. Therefore, daytime running lights are not
discussed in this notice. GM stated that numerous field effectiveness
studies conducted throughout the world show that DRLs could prevent
some crashes. Citing an analysis of field data suggesting that under
daytime conditions, daytime running lights can prevent 5 percent of
opposite direction crashes and 12 percent of pedestrian and
pedalcyclist crashes, GM encouraged NHTSA to expand the installation of
DRLs and include this technology in its crash avoidance rating so that
manufacturers will be encouraged to install them and provide additional
collision avoidance benefit.
4. Pedestrians
Consumers Union recommended that NHTSA study the work of auto
safety researchers in other countries to determine whether a
pedestrian-friendly NCAP rating would be effective in the United
States. Consumers Union noted that Honda has taken a leadership role in
designing a dummy for testing pedestrian safety and designing its
vehicles with pedestrian s