Oregon Administrative Rules
Chapter 660 - LAND CONSERVATION AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT
Division 38 - SIMPLIFIED URBAN GROWTH BOUNDARY METHOD
Section 660-038-0110 - Forecast Employment Growth Based on Oregon Employment Department Forecast

(1) Determine the number of "commercial" and "industrial" jobs currently in the UGB as provided in Table 3.

(2) Using Table 4, determine the long-term growth rates forecast by OED for commercial jobs and for industrial jobs in the OED region that includes the city. For purposes of this rule, "OED region" means Workforce Innovation and Opportunity Act (WIOA) Areas for which OED forecasts long-term job growth.

(3) To forecast the number of new commercial and new industrial jobs anticipated to occur in the UGB for the 14-year planning period, the city must:

(4) To account for jobs that are likely to occur on land that is zoned for uses other than commercial or industrial (and which therefore will not require buildable "employment land"), the city must reduce the forecast of new commercial and industrial jobs determined in subsections (3)(a) and (3)(b) by 20 percent.

(5) The result is the number of new commercial and industrial jobs forecast for the 14-year planning period to be accommodated on employment lands in the UGB. The city must use this result or the result in OAR 660-038-0100 as a basis for determining employment land needs under OAR 660-038-0140.