Sec. 8.
(a) The
utility shall develop candidate resource portfolios from existing and future
resources identified in sections 6 and 7 of this rule. The utility shall
provide a description of its process for developing its candidate resource
portfolios, including a description of its optimization modeling, if used. In
selecting the candidate resource portfolios, the utility shall at a minimum
consider:
(1) risk;
(2) uncertainty;
(3) regional resources;
(4) environmental regulations;
(5) projections for fuel costs;
(6) load growth uncertainty;
(7) economic factors; and
(8) technological change.
(b) With regard to candidate
resource portfolios, the IRP must include the following:
(1) An analysis of how candidate resource
portfolios performed across a wide range of potential future scenarios,
including the alternative scenarios required under section 4(26) of this
rule.
(2) The results of testing
and rank ordering of the candidate resource portfolios by key resource planning
objectives, including cost effectiveness and risk metrics.
(3) The present value of revenue requirement
for each candidate resource portfolio in dollars per kilowatt-hour delivered,
with the interest rate specified.
(c) Considering the analyses of the candidate
resource portfolios, a utility shall select a preferred resource portfolio and
include in the IRP the following:
(1) A
description of the utility's preferred resource portfolio.
(2) Identification of the standards of
reliability.
(3) A description of
the assumptions expected to have the greatest effect on the preferred resource
portfolio.
(4) An analysis showing
that supply-side resources and demand-side resources have been evaluated on a
consistent and comparable basis, including consideration of:
(A) safety;
(B) reliability;
(C) risk and uncertainty;
(D) cost effectiveness; and
(E) customer rate impacts.
(5) An analysis showing the
preferred resource portfolio utilizes supply-side resources and demand-side
resources that safely, reliably, efficiently, and cost-effectively meets the
electric system demand taking cost, risk, and uncertainty into
consideration.
(6) An evaluation of
the utility's DSM programs designed to defer or eliminate investment in a
transmission or distribution facility, including their impacts on the utility's
transmission and distribution system.
(7) A discussion of the financial impact on
the utility of acquiring future resources identified in the utility's preferred
resource portfolio including, where appropriate, the following:
(A) Operating and capital costs of the
preferred resource portfolio.
(B)
The average cost per kilowatt-hour of the future resources, which must be
consistent with the electricity price assumption used to forecast the utility's
expected load by customer class in section 5 of this rule.
(C) An estimate of the utility's avoided cost
for each year of the preferred resource portfolio.
(D) The utility's ability to finance the
preferred resource portfolio.
(8) A description of how the preferred
resource portfolio balances cost effectiveness, reliability, and portfolio risk
and uncertainty, including the following:
(A)
Quantification, where possible, of assumed risks and uncertainties, including,
but not limited to:
(i) environmental and
other regulatory compliance;
(ii)
reasonably anticipated future regulations;
(iii) public policy;
(iv) fuel prices;
(v) operating costs;
(vi) construction costs;
(vii) resource performance;
(viii) load requirements;
(ix) wholesale electricity and transmission
prices;
(x) RTO requirements;
and
(xi) technological
progress.
(B) An
assessment of how robustness of risk considerations factored into the selection
of the preferred resource portfolio.
(9) Utilities shall include a discussion of
potential methods under consideration to improve the data quality, tools, and
analysis as part of the ongoing efforts to improve the credibility and
efficiencies of their resource planning process.
(10) A workable strategy to quickly and
appropriately adapt its preferred resource portfolio to unexpected
circumstances, including changes in the following:
(A) Demand for electric service.
(B) Cost of new supply-side resources or
demand-side resources.
(C)
Regulatory compliance requirements and costs.
(D) Wholesale market conditions.
(E) Fuel costs.
(F) Environmental compliance costs.
(G) Technology and associated costs and
penetration.
(H) Other factors that
would cause the forecasted relationship between supply and demand for electric
service to be in error.