Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program: Standards for 2026 and 2027, Partial Waiver of 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement, and Other Changes, 25784-25871 [2025-11128]
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25784
Federal Register / Vol. 90, No. 115 / Tuesday, June 17, 2025 / Proposed Rules
DATES:
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 80 and 1090
[EPA–HQ–OAR–2024–0505; FRL–11947–01–
OAR]
RIN 2060–AW23
Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS)
Program: Standards for 2026 and 2027,
Partial Waiver of 2025 Cellulosic
Biofuel Volume Requirement, and
Other Changes
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
Under the Clean Air Act
(CAA), the Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is required to determine
the applicable volume requirements for
the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) for
years after those specified in the statute.
EPA is proposing the applicable
volumes and percentage standards for
2026 and 2027 for cellulosic biofuel,
biomass-based diesel (BBD), advanced
biofuel, and total renewable fuel. EPA is
also proposing to partially waive the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement and revise the associated
percentage standard due to a shortfall in
cellulosic biofuel production. Finally,
EPA is proposing several regulatory
changes to the RFS program, including
reducing the number of Renewable
Identification Numbers (RINs) generated
for imported renewable fuel and
renewable fuel produced from foreign
feedstocks and removing renewable
electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel
under the RFS program (eRINs).
SUMMARY:
Category
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Industry
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Comments. Comments must be
received on or before August 8, 2025.
Public Hearing. EPA will announce
information regarding the public
hearing for this proposal in
supplemental Federal Register
document.
Comments. Submit your
comments, identified by Docket ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2024–0505, at https://
www.regulations.gov. Follow the online
instructions for submitting comments.
Once submitted, comments cannot be
edited or removed from the docket. EPA
may publish any comment received to
its public docket. Do not submit to
EPA’s docket at https://
www.regulations.gov any information
you consider to be Confidential
Business Information (CBI) or other
information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. EPA will generally not consider
comments or comment contents located
outside of the primary submission (i.e.,
on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). Please visit https://
www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epadockets for additional submission
methods; the full EPA public comment
policy; information about CBI or
multimedia submissions; and general
guidance on making effective
comments.
EPA is specifically soliciting
comment on numerous aspects of the
ADDRESSES:
NAICS a codes
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111110
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112111
112210
211130
221210
324110
325120
325193
325199
424690
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424720
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proposed rule. To facilitate comment on
those portions of the rule, EPA has
indexed each comment solicitation with
a unique identifier (e.g., ‘‘A–1’’, ‘‘A–2’’,
‘‘B–1’’ . . .) to provide a consistent
framework for effective and efficient
provision of comments. Accordingly, we
ask that commenters include the
corresponding identifier when
providing comments relevant to that
comment solicitation. We ask that
commenters include the identifier either
in a heading or within the text of each
comment, to make clear which comment
solicitation is being addressed. We
emphasize that we are not limiting
comment to these identified areas and
encourage submission of any other
comments relevant to this proposed
action.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Dallas Burkholder, Assessment and
Standards Division, Office of
Transportation and Air Quality,
Environmental Protection Agency, 2000
Traverwood Drive, Ann Arbor, MI
48105; telephone number: 734–214–
4766; email address: RFS-Rulemakings@
epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Does this action apply to me?
Entities potentially affected by this
action are those involved with the
production, distribution, and sale of
transportation fuels (e.g., gasoline and
diesel fuel) and renewable fuels (e.g.,
ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel,
and biogas). Potentially affected
categories include:
Examples of potentially affected entities
Soybean farming.
Corn farming.
Cattle farming or ranching.
Swine, hog, and pig farming.
Natural gas liquids extraction and fractionation.
Natural gas production and distribution.
Petroleum refineries (including importers).
Biogases, industrial (i.e., compressed, liquified, solid), manufacturing.
Ethyl alcohol manufacturing.
Other basic organic chemical manufacturing.
Chemical and allied products merchant wholesalers.
Petroleum bulk stations and terminals.
Petroleum and petroleum products wholesalers.
Fuel dealers.
Landfills.
American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
This table is not intended to be
exhaustive, but rather provides a guide
for readers regarding entities potentially
affected by this action. This table lists
the types of entities that EPA is now
aware could potentially be affected by
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this action. Other types of entities not
listed in the table could also be affected.
To determine whether your entity
would be affected by this action, you
should carefully examine the
applicability criteria in 40 CFR part 80.
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If you have any questions regarding the
applicability of this action to a
particular entity, consult the person
listed in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section.
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Federal Register / Vol. 90, No. 115 / Tuesday, June 17, 2025 / Proposed Rules
Preamble Acronyms and Abbreviations
Throughout this document the use of
‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ‘‘our’’ is intended to refer
to EPA. We use multiple acronyms and
terms in this preamble. While this list
may not be exhaustive, to ease the
reading of this preamble and for
reference purposes, EPA defines the
following terms and acronyms here:
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
AFDC Alternative Fuels Data Center
ATJ alcohol-to-jet
BBD biomass-based diesel
CAA Clean Air Act
CARB California Air Resources Board
CKF corn kernel fiber
CNG compressed natural gas
CWC cellulosic waiver credit
DOE Department of Energy
DRIA Draft Regulatory Impact Analysis
EIA Energy Information Administration
EMTS EPA Moderated Transaction System
EU European Union
FOG fats, oils, and greases
GHG greenhouse gas
LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard
LNG liquified natural gas
MSW municipal solid waste
OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries
RFS Renewable Fuel Standard
RIN Renewable Identification Number
RNG renewable natural gas
RVO Renewable Volume Obligation
STP standard temperature and pressure
UCO used cooking oil
USDA United States Department of
Agriculture
WTI West Texas Intermediate
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Outline of This Preamble
I. Executive Summary
A. Summary of the Key Provisions of This
Action
B. Impacts of This Rule
C. Policy Considerations
D. Endangered Species Act
II. Statutory Authority
A. Directive To Set Volumes Requirements
B. Statutory Factors
C. Statutory Conditions on Volume
Requirements
D. Authority To Establish Volume
Requirements and Percentage Standards
for Multiple Years
E. Considerations Related to the Timing of
This Action
F. Impact on Other Waiver Authorities
G. Severability
III. Alternative Volume Scenarios for
Analysis and Baselines
A. Scope of Analysis
B. Production and Importation of
Renewable Fuel
C. Volume Scenarios for 2026–2030
D. Baselines
E. Volume Changes Analyzed
IV. Analysis of Volume Scenarios
A. Energy Security
B. Costs
C. Climate Change
D. Jobs and Rural Economic Development
E. Agricultural Commodity Prices and
Food Price Impacts
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V. Proposed Volume Requirements for 2026
and 2027
A. Cellulosic Biofuel
B. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
C. Biomass-Based Diesel
D. Conventional Renewable Fuel
E. Treatment of Carryover RINs
F. Summary of Proposed Volume
Requirements
G. Request for Comment on Alternatives
H. Summary of the Assessed Impacts of the
Proposed Volume Standards
VI. Proposed Percentage Standards for 2026
and 2027
A. Calculation of Percentage Standards
B. Treatment of Small Refinery Volumes
C. Percentage Standards
VII. Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic
Biofuel Volume Requirement
A. Cellulosic Waiver Authority Statutory
Background
B. Assessment of Cellulosic RINs Available
for Compliance in 2025
C. Proposed Partial Waiver of the 2025
Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement
D. Calculation of Proposed 2025 Cellulosic
Biofuel Percentage Standard
VIII. Reduction in the Number of RINs
Generated for Imported Fuels and
Feedstocks
A. Introduction and Rationale
B. Legal Authority
C. Implementation
IX. Removal of Renewable Electricity From
the RFS Program
A. Historical Treatment of Renewable
Electricity in the RFS Program
B. Statutory Basis for Removal of
Renewable Electricity From the RFS
Program
C. Implementation of Proposed Removal of
Renewable Electricity From the RFS
Program
X. Other Changes to RFS Regulations
A. Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet Fuel
Equivalence Values
B. RIN-Related Provisions
C. Percentage Standard Equations
D. Existing Renewable Fuel Pathways
E. Updates to Definitions
F. Compliance Reporting, Recordkeeping,
and Registration Provisions
G. New Approved Measurement Protocols
H. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel
Requirements
I. Technical Amendments
XI. Request for Comments
A. Renewable Fuel Volumes and Analyses
B. Import RIN Reduction
C. Removal of Renewable Electricity From
the RFS Program
D. Other RFS Program Amendments
E. Policy Considerations
XII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
B. Executive Order 14192: Unleashing
Prosperity Through Deregulation
C. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
D. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
E. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
F. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
G. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
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H. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
I. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
J. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
XIII. Amendatory Instructions
XIV. Statutory Authority
I. Executive Summary
EPA initiated the RFS program in
2006 pursuant to the requirements of
the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct),
which were codified in CAA section
211(o). Congress subsequently amended
the statutory requirements in the Energy
Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA). The statute sets forth annual,
nationally applicable volume targets for
three of the four categories of renewable
fuel (cellulosic biofuel, advanced
biofuel, and total renewable fuel)
through 2022 and for BBD through 2012.
For subsequent calendar years, CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) directs EPA to
determine the applicable volume targets
for each of the four categories of
renewable fuel in coordination with the
Secretary of Energy and the Secretary of
Agriculture, based on a review of the
implementation of the RFS program for
prior years and an analysis of specified
statutory factors.
In this action, EPA is proposing the
volume targets and applicable
percentage standards for cellulosic
biofuel, BBD, advanced biofuel, and
total renewable fuel for 2026 and 2027.1
We are also proposing a number of
regulatory changes, including reducing
the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuel and renewable
fuel produced from foreign feedstocks
and removing renewable electricity as a
qualifying renewable fuel under the RFS
program (commonly referred to as
eRINs). This preamble describes our
rationale for the proposed volume
requirements and regulatory changes
and requests comment on the proposals
and supporting rationales, including on
EPA’s proposed changes to the RFS
program and any legitimate reliance
interests that EPA should consider
during this rulemaking.
The volume requirements and
regulatory changes proposed in this
action would strengthen the RFS
program and sharpen the program’s
focus on a central goal of the policy:
supporting domestic production of
renewable fuels. Ensuring a growing
1 EPA previously established volume
requirements and applicable percentage standards
for 2023–2025 on July 12, 2023 (88 FR 44468) (the
‘‘Set 1 Rule’’).
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supply of domestically produced
renewable fuels, particularly those
produced from domestically sourced
feedstocks, is a key component in
meeting the statutory goals of increasing
the energy independence and security of
the United States. Increasing domestic
production of renewable fuel also
contributes to unleashing American
energy production towards the goal of
achieving energy dominance, consistent
with the Administration’s ‘‘Unleashing
American Energy’’ Executive Order 2
and the energy dominance pillar of
EPA’s ‘‘Powering the Great American
Comeback’’ initiative.3 The proposed
modifications and requirements in this
action are responsive to input from key
agricultural and energy stakeholders on
ways to bolster the RFS program, and
EPA looks forward to engaging with
these and additional interested
stakeholders on the proposed changes.
A. Summary of the Key Provisions of
This Action
1. Volume Requirements for 2026 and
2027
Based on our analysis of the factors
required in the statute, and in
coordination with the United States
Department of Agriculture (USDA) and
Department of Energy (DOE), EPA is
proposing the volume requirements for
2026 and 2027, as shown in Table I.A.1–
1. The proposed volumes represent
significant increases from those
established for 2023–2025, especially
after accounting for the proposal to
reduce the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuel and renewable
fuel produced from foreign feedstocks.
TABLE I.A.1–1—VOLUME REQUIREMENTS FOR 2023–2027
[Billion RINs] a
Volume requirement established in Set 1 Rule
2023
2024
2025
Proposed volume requirement
2026
2027
Cellulosic biofuel ..................................................................
Biomass-based diesel d ........................................................
Advanced biofuel .................................................................
0.84
4.51
5.94
b 1.01
c 1.19
4.86
6.54
5.36
7.33
1.30
7.12
9.02
1.36
7.50
9.46
Total renewable fuel .....................................................
e 20.94
21.54
22.33
24.02
24.46
a One
RIN is equivalent to one ethanol-equivalent gallon of renewable fuel. Throughout this preamble, RINs are generally used to describe
total volumes in each of the four renewable fuel categories, while gallons are generally used to describe volumes for individual types of biofuel
(e.g., ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel, etc.).
b EPA originally established a cellulosic biofuel volume requirement of 1.09 billion gallons for 2024 in the Set 1 Rule. EPA subsequently reduced this volume requirement to 1.01 billon RINs in a separate action.
c EPA originally established a cellulosic biofuel volume requirement of 1.38 billion gallons for 2025 in the Set 1 Rule. As described in Section
VII, we are proposing to reduce this volume requirement to 1.19 billion RINs in this action.
d Through 2025, the BBD volume requirement was established in physical gallons rather than RINs. As described in Section X.C, we are proposing to now specify the BBD volume requirement in RINs, consistent with the other three renewable fuel categories, rather than physical gallons. For the sake of comparison, we have converted the BBD volume requirements for 2023–2025 from physical gallons to RINs using the BBD
conversion factor in 40 CFR 80.1405(c) of 1.6 RINs per gallon.
e The total renewable fuel volume requirement for 2023 does not include the 0.25 billion RIN supplemental standard.
In this action, we are proposing to
specify the BBD volume requirement in
billion RINs, rather than billion gallons
as in previous RFS rules. To
demonstrate the impact of this change,
and to allow for easier comparison to
previous RFS rules, the BBD volume
requirements (in billion RINs) and the
volume of BBD (in billion gallons) we
project would be supplied to satisfy the
volume requirements are shown in
Table I.A.1–2. Finally, the quantities of
renewable fuel we project would be
supplied to satisfy the volume
requirements, after accounting for the
nested nature of the RFS volume
requirements and the proposed import
RIN reduction provisions, are shown in
Table I.A.1–3.
TABLE I.A.1–2—BBD VOLUME REQUIREMENTS FOR 2023–2027
Volume requirement established
in the Set 1 Rule
2023
BBD volume requirement (billion RINs) ...............................
Projected volume of BBD (billion gallons) ...........................
2024
Projected volume requirement
2025
2026
2027
a 4.51
a 4.86
a 5.36
7.12
7.50
2.82
3.04
3.35
b 5.61
b 5.86
a Billion
RINs estimated assuming the average gallon of BBD generates 1.6 RINs.
gallons estimated after accounting for the projected impacts of the proposed RIN reduction for imported renewable fuel and renewable
fuel produced from foreign feedstocks and the proposed revised equivalence value for renewable diesel. We project that the average number of
RINs generated for BBD will be 1.27 and 1.28 RINs per gallon in 2026 and 2027, respectively. These numbers are not proposed standards and
are presented for illustrative purposes only.
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b Billion
2 Executive Order 14154, ‘‘Unleashing American
Energy,’’ January 20, 2025 (90 FR 8353; January 29,
2025).
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3 EPA, ‘‘EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin
Announces EPA’s ‘Powering the Great American
Comeback’ Initiative,’’ February 4, 2025. https://
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TABLE I.A.1–3—PROJECTED SUPPLY OF RENEWABLE FUELS TO SATISFY THE VOLUME REQUIREMENTS FOR 2023–2027
[Billion gallons]
Projected volume in the Set 1 Rule
2023
2024
Projected volume to meet the
proposed volume requirements
2025
2026
2027
Cellulosic biofuel ..................................................................
Biomass-based diesel ..........................................................
Other advanced biofuel a .....................................................
Conventional renewable fuel ...............................................
0.84
3.71
0.23
b 13.85
1.09
3.85
0.23
13.96
1.38
4.24
0.23
13.78
1.30
6.83
0.19
13.78
1.36
7.16
0.19
13.66
Total renewable fuel .....................................................
b 18.63
19.12
19.63
22.10
22.37
a Other
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advanced biofuel includes all advanced biofuels that to not qualify as cellulosic biofuel or BBD.
b Volumes do not include the 0.25 billion RIN supplemental standard established for 2023.
As discussed above, CAA section
211(o) requires EPA to analyze a
specified set of factors in making our
determination of the appropriate
volume requirements. Many of those
factors, particularly those related to
economic and environmental impacts,
are difficult to analyze in the abstract.
To facilitate a more robust analysis of
the statutory factors, we identified a set
of renewable fuel volumes to analyze
prior to determining the appropriate
volume requirements to establish under
the statute. We began by identifying two
volume scenarios and then analyzed the
potential impacts of these volume
scenarios on the factors listed in the
statute. The derivation of these volume
scenarios is discussed in Section III.
Section IV discusses the analysis of the
volume scenarios for the statutory
factors. Section V discusses our
conclusions regarding the appropriate
volume requirements to propose in light
of the analyses conducted. Finally,
Section VI discusses the formulas and
values used to calculate the proposed
percentage standards.
The BBD and advanced biofuel
volumes we are proposing for 2026 and
2027 reflect the significant growth
observed in the production of these
fuels over the past several years and
build off the volumes already achieved
in the marketplace in 2024. The
proposed volumes reflect the projected
growth in the domestic supply of
feedstocks, primarily soybean oil, with
smaller projected increases in other
feedstocks including used cooking oil
and animal fats. Our focus on the
growth in domestic feedstocks when
projecting the supply of BBD for 2026
and 2027 is in part due to the
uncertainty in the quantity of imported
fuels and feedstocks that will be
available to U.S. markets given various
factors, including the available supply
of qualifying feedstocks and demand for
these feedstocks and fuels in other
countries.
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The cellulosic biofuel volumes we are
proposing for 2026 and 2027 are slightly
lower than the volumes we finalized for
2025.4 The primary reasons for the
decrease in the proposed volumes are
limitations on the quantities of
compressed natural gas (CNG) and
liquified natural gas (LNG) derived from
biogas projected to be used as
transportation fuel in these years. CNG/
LNG derived from biogas comprise most
of the qualifying cellulosic biofuel we
project will be supplied through 2027.
However, the proposed cellulosic
biofuel volumes also include projections
of cellulosic ethanol from corn kernel
fiber (CKF) produced at existing corn
starch ethanol production facilities.
The proposed volumes for total
renewable fuel in 2026 and 2027 reflect
an implied conventional biofuel volume
of 15 billion gallons each year. This is
consistent with the implied
conventional renewable fuel volumes in
the statutory tables for 2015–2022,5 as
well as the implied conventional biofuel
volumes established for 2023–2025. We
recognize that while the supply of
conventional biofuel in 2026 and 2027
will likely fall short of the implied 15billion-gallon volume, the proposed
total renewable fuel volumes are still
achievable through the use of additional
volumes of advanced biofuel beyond the
volume requirement for that category.
The volume requirements that we are
proposing in this action are the basis for
the calculation of percentage standards
applicable to producers and importers
of gasoline and diesel unless they are
waived in a future action using one or
more of the available waiver authorities
in CAA section 211(o)(7).
We believe that it is appropriate to
propose volume requirements for two
years instead of a longer timeframe due
to the increased uncertainty of trying to
4 As discussed in Section VII, we are also
proposing to reduce the previously established
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement for 2025 in
this action.
5 CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(i).
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project out further in the future, which
increases the likelihood of needing to
adjust volumes in the future.
Adjustments to volume requirements
create uncertainty in the RFS program
and hinder the purpose of projecting
future years, which is meant to provide
certainty to the market. However, EPA
is requesting comment on whether it
would be appropriate to set standards
for more than two years.
2. Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic
Biofuel Volume Requirement
EPA is proposing to partially waive
the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement and revise the associated
percentage standard due to a shortfall in
cellulosic biofuel production. As
discussed in Section VII, we currently
project a 0.19 billion RIN shortfall in
available cellulosic biofuel in 2025. As
such, we are proposing to use our CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D) ‘‘cellulosic waiver
authority’’ to reduce the 2025 cellulosic
biofuel volume from 1.38 billion RINs to
1.19 billion RINs. The use of such
waiver authority, if finalized, would
also make cellulosic waiver credits
(CWCs) available for the 2025
compliance year.
3. Reduction in the Number of RINs
Generated for Imported Renewable Fuel
and Renewable Fuel Produced From
Foreign Feedstocks
EPA is proposing to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks. In
simple terms, we are proposing
regulatory changes that would mean a
gallon of imported renewable fuel, or
fuel produced from foreign feedstocks,
would generate half the number of RINs
that the same gallon of fuel would
generate if produced in the U.S. from
domestic feedstocks. These proposed
changes, described in Section VIII, are
in response to the dramatic increase in
imported biofuels and feedstocks used
to produce biofuels in the U.S. observed
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in recent years and align with the
statutory goals of bolstering national
energy independence. Imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks do not
further energy independence and are
projected to result in fewer employment
and rural economic development
benefits relative to renewable fuels
produced in the U.S. from domestic
feedstocks.
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4. Removal of Renewable Electricity
From the RFS Program
As described in Section IX, EPA is
proposing to remove renewable
electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel
under the RFS program (commonly
referred to as eRINs), thereby making it
ineligible to generate RINs. The
proposed changes would find that
renewable electricity does not meet the
definition of renewable fuel under CAA
section 211(o)(1)(J). On this basis, we
are proposing to remove the regulations
related to the production and use of
renewable electricity as a transportation
fuel, including the regulations related to
facility registration for renewable
electricity producers and the provisions
for generating RINs for use of renewable
electricity as a transportation fuel. We
are also proposing to remove the
definition of ‘‘renewable electricity’’
and the renewable electricity pathways
in Table 1 of 40 CFR 80.1426 in
connection with this policy change.
5. Other Regulatory Changes
EPA is also proposing additional
regulatory changes in several areas to
strengthen our implementation of the
RFS program. These regulatory changes
are discussed in greater detail in Section
X and include:
• Specifying new equivalence values
for renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet
fuel.
• Updating RIN generation and
assignment provisions.
• Clarifying that RINs cannot be
generated on pure or neat biodiesel that
is used as process heat or for power
generation.
• Changing the percentage standards
equations, including specifying the BBD
standard in RINs rather than physical
gallons.
• Updating existing renewable fuel
pathways and adding new ones.
• Adding definitions for terms used
throughout the regulations and updating
other definitions.
• Adding a joint and several liability
provision applicable to importers of
renewable fuel.
• Revising compliance reporting and
registration provisions, including
clarifying that small refineries that
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receive an exemption from their RFS
obligations must still submit an annual
compliance report.
• Clarifying certain testing
requirements for biodiesel and
renewable diesel.
• Other minor changes and technical
corrections.
B. Impacts of This Rule
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) requires
EPA to assess several factors when
determining volume requirements for
calendar years after 2022. These factors
are described in the introduction to this
Executive Summary, and each factor is
discussed in detail in the Draft
Regulatory Impact Analysis (DRIA)
accompanying this rule.6 However, the
statute does not specify how EPA must
assess each factor. For two of these
statutory factors—costs and energy
security—we provide monetized
estimates of the impacts of the proposed
volume requirements. For the other
statutory factors, we are either unable to
quantify impacts or we provide
quantitative estimated impacts that
nevertheless cannot be easily
monetized. Thus, we are unable to
quantitatively compare all the evaluated
impacts of this rulemaking.
EPA considered all statutory factors in
developing this proposal, including
factors for which we provide monetized
impacts, otherwise quantified impacts,
or provide a qualitative assessment of
relevant impacts, and we find that the
proposed volumes are appropriate
under EPA’s statutory authority as an
outcome of balancing all relevant
factors. This approach is consistent with
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), which
requires the EPA Administrator to
‘‘determin[e]’’ volumes based on ‘‘an
analysis of’’ the statutory factors and
does not require that analysis to
monetize or quantify all relevant
considerations. A summary of our
assessment of the impacts of this
proposed rule can be found in Section
V.H. Table ES–1 in the DRIA provides
a list of all the impacts that we assessed,
both quantitative and qualitative.
Additional detail for each of the
assessed factors is provided in DRIA
Chapters 4 through 10. For this
proposed rule, we used data and
projections from the U.S. Energy
Information Administration’s (EIA’s)
Annual Energy Outlook 2023, which
was the most recent version available at
the time we conducted our analyses
supporting this action.7 For the final
6 ‘‘RFS Program Standards for 2026 and 2027:
Draft Regulatory Impact Analysis,’’ EPA–420–D–
25–001, June 2025.
7 EIA, ‘‘Annual Energy Outlook 2023’’ (AEO2023).
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/archive/aeo23.
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rule, we intend to update our analyses
using the most recent available data and
projections from EIA and other sources.8
C. Policy Considerations
The RFS program is a critical policy
tool to support the domestic production
of renewable fuels. This action seeks to
get the RFS program back on track by
establishing renewable fuel volumes for
2027 by the statutory deadline and
aligning the incentives provided by the
RFS program with the statutory goals of
increasing energy independence and
energy security. The proposed volumes
for 2026 and 2027 reflect the significant
growth potential for renewable fuel
production in the United States using
domestic feedstocks.
EPA is requesting comment on
multiple aspects of this action,
including the proposed volume
requirements, our technical analyses
supporting those volumes, our proposal
to reduce the number of RINs generated
for imported renewable fuels and
renewable fuels produced from foreign
feedstocks, the removal of renewable
electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel
under RFS program, and the other
proposed regulatory amendments. We
also recognize that while this proposal
in an important first step in getting the
RFS program back on track,
opportunities remain to improve the
RFS program. To that end, we are
requesting comment on a variety of
potential changes to the RFS program
that EPA could consider in future
actions that would increase the
program’s ability to achieve the goals of
EPAct and EISA. Our request for
comment includes, but is not limited to:
• A general pathway for the
production of renewable jet fuel from
corn ethanol, including the
consideration of ways to reduce
emissions for this pathway such as the
use of carbon capture and storage,
renewable natural gas for process energy
and low-carbon farming practices.
• The definition of ‘‘produced from
renewable biomass.’’
• Additional program amendments to
ensure that imported renewable fuels
are produced from qualifying feedstocks
and enhance our ability to track
feedstocks to their point of origin. These
comments may include input on
methods and data to improve our
evaluation of the environmental impacts
associated with imported feedstocks
such as used cooking oil and tallow.
• Program enhancements to increase
the use of qualifying woody-biomass to
8 On April 15, 2025, EIA issued ‘‘Annual Energy
Outlook 2025’’ (AEO2025). https://www.eia.gov/
outlooks/aeo.
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produce renewable transportation fuel.
We specifically request comment on the
extent to which the renewable biomass
definition in 40 CFR 80.2 aligns with
current wildfire risk potential and
corresponds to wildfire ignition
behavior science and how to best
maximize the eligibility of woody
biomass residues generated at sawmills
and other forest products manufacturing
businesses that have not been
adulterated by chemicals or other nonwood contaminants.
• An option to apply the import RIN
reduction provisions to imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced domestically from foreign
feedstock from only a subset of
countries to reflect the reduced
economic, energy security, and
environmental benefits of imported
renewable fuel and feedstock from those
countries.
• Any other modifications to the RFS
program designed to unleash the
production of American energy.
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D. Endangered Species Act
Section 7(a)(2) of the Endangered
Species Act (ESA), 16 U.S.C. 1536(a)(2),
requires that federal agencies such as
EPA, in consultation with the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service (USFWS) and/or
the National Marine Fisheries Service
(NMFS) (collectively ‘‘the Services’’),
ensure that any action authorized,
funded, or carried out by the action
agency is not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of any endangered
or threatened species or result in the
destruction or adverse modification of
designated critical habitat for such
species. Under relevant implementing
regulations, the action agency is
required to consult with the Services for
actions that ‘‘may affect’’ listed species
or designated critical habitat.9
Consultation is not required where the
action would have no effect on such
species or habitat.
Consistent with ESA section 7(a)(2)
and relevant implementing regulations
at 50 CFR part 402, EPA engaged in
informal consultation with the Services
and completed a Biological Evaluation
(BE) for the Set 1 Rule.10 Supported by
the analysis in the Set 1 Rule BE, EPA
determined that the Set 1 Rule was ‘‘not
likely to adversely affect’’ listed species
and their habitats. NMFS concurred
with EPA’s determination on July 27,
2023, and FWS concurred with EPA’s
determination on August 3, 2023,
thereby concluding the agencies’
9 50
CFR 402.14.
‘‘Biological Evaluation of the Renewable
Fuel Standard Set Rule and Addendum,’’ EPA–420–
R–23–029, May 2023 (the ‘‘Set 1 Rule BE’’).
10 EPA,
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consultation obligations.11 For the
rulemaking finalizing this proposed
action, EPA intends to develop a
biological evaluation to inform our
assessment of the effects of this action,
and in turn our ESA consultation
obligations.
II. Statutory Authority
A. Directive To Set Volumes
Requirements
Congress enacted the RFS program for
the purpose of increasing the use of
renewable fuel in transportation fuel
over time. Congress specified statutory
volumes for the initial years of the
program, including for BBD through
2012, and for the total renewable fuel,
advanced biofuel, and cellulosic biofuel
through 2022, but allowed EPA to waive
the statutory volumes in certain
circumstances. For years after 2022,
Congress provided EPA with the
directive and authority to establish the
applicable renewable fuel volume
requirements, as described in this
section.12 This section discusses EPA’s
statutory authority and additional
factors we have considered due to the
timing of this rulemaking, as well as the
severability of the various portions of
this rule.
B. Statutory Factors
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)
establishes the processes, criteria, and
standards for setting the applicable
annual renewable fuel volumes. That
provision provides that the EPA
Administrator shall, in coordination
with USDA and DOE,13 determine the
applicable volumes of each renewable
fuel category, based on a review of the
implementation of the program during
the calendar years specified in the tables
in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(i) and an
analysis of the following factors:
• The impact of the production and
use of renewable fuels on the
environment, including on air quality,
climate change, conversion of wetlands,
ecosystems, wildlife habitat, water
quality, and water supply;
• The impact of renewable fuels on
the energy security of the United States;
• The expected annual rate of future
commercial production of renewable
fuels, including advanced biofuels in
11 The outcome of the Set 1 Rule ESA
consultation is the subject of pending litigation; oral
argument was held on November 1, 2024, and we
are awaiting the court’s decision. See CBD v. EPA,
et al., Case No. 23–1177 (D.C. Cir.).
12 We refer to CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) as the
‘‘set authority.’’
13 In furtherance of this requirement, we will
continue periodic discussions with USDA and DOE
on this action.
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each category (cellulosic biofuel and
biomass-based diesel);
• The impact of renewable fuels on
the infrastructure of the United States,
including deliverability of materials,
goods, and products other than
renewable fuel, and the sufficiency of
infrastructure to deliver and use
renewable fuel;
• The impact of the use of renewable
fuels on the cost to consumers of
transportation fuel and on the cost to
transport goods; and
• The impact of the use of renewable
fuels on other factors, including job
creation, the price and supply of
agricultural commodities, rural
economic development, and food prices.
Congress provided EPA flexibility by
enumerating factors that the
Administrator must consider without
mandating any particular forms of
analysis or specifying how the EPA
Administrator must weigh the various
factors against one another. Thus, as the
CAA ‘‘does not state what weight
should be accorded to the relevant
factors,’’ it ‘‘give[s] EPA considerable
discretion to weigh and balance the
various factors required by statute.’’ 14
These factors were analyzed in the
context of the 2020–2022 RFS Rule that
modified volumes under CAA section
211(o)(7)(F),15 which requires EPA to
comply with the processes, criteria, and
standards in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii). EPA’s assessment of the
factors in that rule was recently upheld
by the D.C. Circuit in Sinclair v. EPA.16
EPA has also considered these factors in
establishing the applicable volumes for
2023–2025 under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) in the Set 1 Rule.
Consistent with our past practice in
evaluating the factors,17 we have again
determined that a holistic balancing of
the factors is appropriate.18
In addition to those factors listed in
the statute, the EPA Administrator also
has authority to consider ‘‘other’’
factors, including both the implied
14 Nat’l Wildlife Fed’n v. EPA, 286 F.3d 554, 570
(D.C. Cir. 2002) (analyzing factors within the Clean
Water Act); accord Riverkeeper, Inc. v. U.S. EPA,
358 F.3d 174, 195 (2d Cir. 2004) (same); BP
Exploration & Oil, Inc. v. EPA, 66 F.3d 784, 802 (6th
Cir. 1995) (same); see also Brown v. Watt, 668 F.3d
1290, 1317 (D.C. Cir. 1981) (‘‘A balancing of factors
is not the same as treating all factors equally. The
obligation instead is to look at all factors and then
balance the results. The Act does not mandate any
particular balance, but vests the Secretary with
discretion to weigh the elements. . . .’’)
(addressing factors articulated in the Out
Continental Shelf Lands Act).
15 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022).
16 101 F.4th 871, 888–889 (D.C. Cir. 2024).
17 87 FR 39600, 39607–08 (July 1, 2022).
18 EPA, ‘‘RFS Annual Rules: Response to
Comments,’’ EPA–420–R–22–009, June 2022
(‘‘2020–2022 RFS Rule RTC’’), at 10.
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authority to consider factors that inform
our analysis of the statutory factors and
the explicit authority under CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(VI) to consider
‘‘the impact of the use of renewable
fuels on other factors.’’ Accordingly, we
have considered several other relevant
factors beyond those enumerated in
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), including:
• The interconnected nature of the
volume requirements for 2026 and 2027,
including the nested nature of those
volume requirements and the
availability of carryover RINs (Section
V.E).19
• The ability of the market to respond
given the timing of this rulemaking
(DRIA Chapter 7).20
• The supply of qualifying renewable
fuels to U.S. consumers (Section III.B).21
• Soil quality (DRIA Chapter 4.3).22
• Ecosystem services (DRIA Chapter
4.6).23
• A consideration of costs and
benefits (Section V.H).24
C. Statutory Conditions on Volume
Requirements
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As indicated above, the CAA affords
the EPA Administrator flexibility to
consider and weigh each of the
enumerated factors. However, the CAA
contains three overarching conditions
that affect our determination of the
applicable volume requirements:
• A constraint in setting the
applicable volume of total renewable
fuel as compared to advanced biofuel,
with implications for the implied
volume requirement for conventional
renewable fuel.
19 This also informs our analysis of the statutory
factor ‘‘review of the implementation of the
program’’ in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii).
20 This also informs our analysis of the statutory
factor ‘‘the expected annual rate of future
commercial production of renewable fuels’’ in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(III).
21 This is based on our analysis of the statutory
factor the expected annual rate of future
commercial production of renewable fuel as well as
of downstream constraints on biofuel use, including
the statutory factors relating to infrastructure and
costs.
22 Soil quality is closely tied to water quality and
is also relevant to the impact of renewable fuels on
the environment more generally, such that this
analysis also informs our analysis of the statutory
factor ‘‘the impact of the production and use of
renewable fuels on the environment’’ in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(I).
23 Ecosystem services broadly consist of the many
life-sustaining benefits humans receive from nature,
such as clean air and water, fertile soil for crop
production, pollination, and flood control.
Ecosystem services are discussed in DRIA Chapter
4 due to linkages to potential environmental
impacts from this rule.
24 The consideration of costs and benefits
includes our quantitative analysis of several
statutory factors, including costs and monetizable
impacts on energy security.
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• Direction in setting the cellulosic
biofuel applicable volume regarding
potential future waivers.
• A floor on the applicable volume of
BBD.
We discuss these conditions in further
detail below.
1. Advanced Biofuel as a Percentage of
Total Renewable Fuel
While the statute generally provides
broad discretion in setting the
applicable volume requirements for
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel, it also establishes a constraint on
the relationship between these two
volume requirements. CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(iii) provides that the
applicable advanced biofuel
requirement must ‘‘be at least the same
percentage of the applicable volume of
renewable fuel as in calendar year
2022,’’ meaning that EPA must, at a
minimum, maintain the ratio of
advanced biofuel to total renewable fuel
that was established for 2022 for all
future years in which EPA itself sets the
applicable volume requirements. In
effect, this proportional requirement
limits the proportion of the implied
volume of conventional renewable fuel
within the total renewable fuel volume
for years after 2022 based on the
proportion that existed for calendar year
2022.
The applicable advanced biofuel
volume requirement established for
2022 was 5.63 billion gallons.25 The
total renewable fuel volume
requirement established for 2022 was
20.63 billion gallons, resulting in an
implied conventional volume
requirement of 15 billion gallons. Thus,
advanced biofuel represented 27.3
percent of total renewable fuel for 2022,
and EPA must maintain at least that
percentage of the advanced biofuel
volume requirement as compared to the
total renewable fuel volume
requirement for all subsequent years.
The volume requirements we are
proposing in this action for 2026 and
2027, shown in Table I.A.1–1, exceed
this 27.3 percent minimum, and thus
they satisfy this statutory requirement
for each year.
2. Cellulosic Biofuel
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) requires
that EPA set the applicable cellulosic
biofuel requirement ‘‘based on the
assumption that the Administrator will
not need to issue a waiver . . . under
[CAA section 211(o)](7)(D)’’ for the
years in which EPA sets the applicable
volume requirement. We have
historically interpreted this requirement
25 87
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to mean that the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement should be set at a
level that is achievable such that EPA
does not anticipate a need to further
lower the requirement through a waiver
under CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).26 CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D) provides that if ‘‘the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
production is less than the minimum
applicable volume established under
paragraph (2)(B),’’ EPA ‘‘shall reduce
the applicable volume of cellulosic
biofuel required under paragraph (2)(B)
to the projected volume available during
that calendar year.’’ Therefore, we are
proposing the cellulosic biofuel volume
requirements such that a waiver of those
requirements is not anticipated to be
necessary for those future years.
Operating within this limitation, and in
light of our consideration of the
statutory factors explained in Section V,
we are proposing cellulosic volumes for
2026 and 2027 at the projected volume
available in each year, respectively,
consistent with our past actions in
determining the cellulosic biofuel
volume.27 These projections, discussed
further in Sections III.B.1 and V.A,
represent our best efforts to project the
potential for growth in the volume of
cellulosic biofuel that can be achieved
in 2026 and 2027.
We recognize that, for 2024 and 2025,
the volume of cellulosic biofuel
available was less than the volume
required, and we have partially waived
the 2024 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement and are proposing to
partially waive the 2025 cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement in this
action as discussed in Section VII.
Nevertheless, we have considered the
cellulosic biofuel available in those
years and adjusted our methodology as
discussed in Sections III.B.1 and V.A
and DRIA Chapter 7.1 to account for the
prior shortfalls in the standards.
Retroactive waivers of the volume
requirements under the RFS program
decrease certainty for the market and
undermines confidence in the volumes
and standards EPA sets, which could
negatively impact investment in
renewable fuel production in future
years. In this action, we propose
changes to the methodology used to
project cellulosic biofuel volumes to
avoid the need for waivers of the RFS
standards in the future.
26 The cellulosic waiver authority applies when
the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
production is less than the minimum applicable
volume, per CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).
27 See, e.g., 2020–2022 RFS Rule (87 FR 39600;
July 1, 2022).
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3. Biomass-Based Diesel
EPA has established the BBD volume
requirement under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) for the years since 2013
because the statute only provides BBD
volume requirements through 2012.
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) also
requires that the BBD volume
requirement be set at, or greater than,
the 1.0-billion-gallon volume
requirement enumerated by statute for
2012, but it does not provide any other
numerical criteria that EPA must
consider. In the years since 2012, EPA
has steadily increased the BBD volume
requirement beyond 1.0 billion gallons
to 3.35 billion gallons in 2025. In this
action, we are proposing BBD volume
requirements for 2026 and 2027 of 7.12
and 7.50 billion RINs respectively.28
These numbers are not directly
comparable with the BBD volume
requirements in previous years, as they
express the required volume of BBD in
RINs rather than gallons and reflect our
proposal that imported renewable fuels
and renewable fuels produced from
foreign feedstocks would generate fewer
RINs.29 Nevertheless, the proposed BBD
volume requirements guarantee that at
least 4.45 and 4.69 billion gallons of
BBD would be used in 2026 and 2027
respectively,30 far greater than 1.0billion-gallon minimum requirement.
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D. Authority To Establish Volume
Requirements and Percentage Standards
for Multiple Years
In this action, EPA is proposing
applicable volume requirements and
percentage standards for 2026 and 2027.
We have a statutory obligation to
promulgate volume requirements under
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) and are
addressing that requirement in this
proposed action. The statutory deadline
for the 2026 applicable volume
requirements passed on October 31,
2024. The statutory deadline for
promulgating the 2027 applicable
volume requirements is October 31,
2025. We are proposing this action with
the intent to meet that statutory
deadline for the 2027 applicable volume
28 As noted in Section I.A.1 and explained further
in Section X.C, we are proposing to specify the BBD
volume requirement in RINs, rather than gallons, as
was the case in establishing the 2025 BBD volume
requirement of 3.35 billion physical gallons.
29 See Section VIII for more detail on the
proposed RIN reduction for renewable fuels and
renewable fuels produced from foreign feedstocks.
30 These volumes represent the lowest possible
volume of BBD that could be used to meet the
proposed BBD volume requirements for 2026 and
2027. These numbers are calculated by dividing the
proposed BBD RIN requirements by 1.6, which is
the number of RINs generated for renewable diesel
if produced by a domestic renewable fuel producer
using domestic feedstocks.
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requirements and to fulfill our
outstanding obligation to establish the
2026 applicable volume requirements
ahead of the 2026 compliance year.
As to the percentage standards with
which obligated parties must comply,
CAA section 211(o)(A)(i) and (iii)
requires EPA to promulgate regulations
that, regardless of the date of
promulgation, contain compliance
provisions applicable to refineries,
blenders, distributors, and importers
that ensure that the volumes in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)—which includes
volumes set by EPA after 2022—are met.
As in the Set 1 Rule, EPA is also
proposing to establish corresponding
percentage standards in this action.31
In summary, we are proposing
applicable volume requirements and
associated percentage standards for
2026 and 2027, as further described in
Sections V and VI.
E. Considerations Related to the Timing
of This Action
In this action, we are proposing
applicable volume requirements for the
2026 compliance year after the statutory
deadline to establish such
requirements.32 That deadline was
October 31, 2024. EPA has in the past
also missed statutory deadlines for
promulgating RFS standards, including
the 2023 and 2024 standards established
in the Set 1 Rule, and the BBD volume
requirements for 2014–2017, which
were established under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii), the same provision
under which we are proposing to
establish the 2026 standards in this
action. In its review of EPA’s 2015
action establishing BBD volume
requirements for 2014–2017,33 the D.C.
Circuit found that EPA retains authority
beyond the statutory deadlines to
promulgate volumes and annual
standards, even those that apply
retroactively, so long as EPA exercises
this authority reasonably.34 EPA had
missed the statutory deadline under
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) to establish
an applicable volume requirement for
BBD no later than 14 months before the
first year to which that volume
requirement will apply for all years. The
31 88
FR 44468, 44519–21 (July 14, 2023).
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), requiring EPA
promulgate applicable volume requirements no
later than 14 months prior to the first year in which
they will apply.
33 80 FR 77420, 77427–28, 77430–31 (December
14, 2015).
34 Americans for Clean Energy v. EPA, 864 F.3d
691 (D.C. Cir. 2017) (ACE) (EPA may issue late
applicable volumes under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii)); Monroe Energy, LLC v. EPA, 750
F.3d 909 (D.C. Cir. 2014); NPRA v. EPA, 630 F.3d
145, 154–58 (D.C. Cir. 2010). See also Sinclair v.
EPA, 101 F.4th 871 (D.C. Cir. 2024).
32 See
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25791
D.C. Circuit held that when EPA
exercises this authority after the
statutory deadline, EPA must balance
the burden on obligated parties of a
delayed rulemaking with the broader
goal of the RFS program to increase
renewable fuel use.35 In specifically
upholding the portion of that
rulemaking that was late but not
retroactive, the court considered
whether there was sufficient lead time
and adequate notice for obligated
parties.36 The court found that EPA
properly balanced the relevant
considerations and had provided
sufficient notice to parties in
establishing the applicable volume
requirements for 2014–2017.37
In this action, we are proposing to
exercise our authority to set the
applicable renewable fuel volume
requirements for 2026 after the statutory
deadline to promulgate such volume
requirements under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii). We intend to finalize
the 2026 standards prior to the
beginning of the 2026 compliance year
(i.e., before January 1, 2026) and do not
expect those standards to apply
retroactively. In this proposal, we are
providing obligated parties notice of the
proposed 2026 standards. Under the
RFS regulations, demonstrating
compliance with the 2025 standards
will not be required until the next
quarterly reporting deadline after the
2026 standards are effective.38
Additionally, obligated parties will
continue to have the ability to use
existing compliance flexibilities to
comply with the 2026 RFS standards,
such as the use of carryover RINs and
carrying forward a deficit from one
compliance year into the next.
F. Impact on Other Waiver Authorities
While we are proposing applicable
volume requirements in this action for
future years that are achievable and
appropriate based on our consideration
of the statutory factors, we retain our
legal authority to waive volumes in the
future under the waiver authorities
should circumstances so warrant.39 For
example, the general waiver authority
under CAA section 211(o)(7)(A)
provides that EPA may waive the
volume requirements in ‘‘paragraph
(2),’’ which provides both the statutory
35 NPRA
v. EPA, 630 F.3d 145, 164–65.
864 F.3d at 721–22.
37 ACE, 864 F.3d at 721–23.
38 40 CFR 80.1451(f)(1)(i)(A).
39 See J.E.M. Ag Supply, Inc. v. Pioneer Hi-Bred
Intern., Inc., 534 U.S. 124, 143–44 (2001) (holding
that when two statutes are capable of coexistence
and there is not clearly expressed legislative intent
to the contrary, each should be regarded as
effective).
36 ACE,
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applicable volume tables and EPA’s set
authority (the authority to set applicable
volumes for years not specified in the
table). Therefore, similar to our exercise
of the waiver authorities to modify the
statutory volumes in past annual
standard-setting rulemakings, EPA has
the authority to modify the applicable
volumes for 2023 and beyond in future
actions through the use of our waiver
authorities.
We note that, as described above,
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) requires
that EPA set the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirements for 2023 and
beyond based on the assumption that
EPA will not need to waive those
volume requirements under the
cellulosic waiver authority. Because we
are, in this action, proposing the
applicable volume requirements for
2026 and 2027 under the set authority,
we do not believe we could also waive
those requirements using the cellulosic
waiver authority in this same action in
a manner that would be consistent with
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv), since that
waiver authority is only triggered when
the projected production of cellulosic
biofuel is less than the ‘‘applicable
volume established under
[211(o)(2)(B)].’’ In other words, it does
not appear that EPA could use both the
set authority and the cellulosic waiver
authority to establish volumes at the
same time in this action.
Proposing the volume requirements
for 2026 and 2027 using our set
authority apart from the cellulosic
waiver authority has important
implications for the availability of
CWCs in these years. When EPA
reduces cellulosic volumes under the
cellulosic waiver authority, EPA is also
required to make CWCs available under
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(ii). In this rule
we are proposing cellulosic biofuel
volume requirements without utilizing
the cellulosic waiver authority. We
interpret CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(ii)
such that CWCs are only made available
in years in which EPA uses the
cellulosic waiver authority to reduce the
cellulosic biofuel volume. Because of
this, CWCs would not be available as a
compliance mechanism for obligated
parties in these years absent a future
action to exercise the cellulosic waiver
authority. Despite the absence of CWCs,
we expect that obligated parties will be
able to satisfy their cellulosic biofuel
obligations for these years because we
are proposing to establish the cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement based on
the quantity of cellulosic biofuel we
project will used as transportation fuel
in the U.S. each year.
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G. Severability
We intend for the volume
requirements and percentage standards
for each single year covered by this rule
(i.e., 2026 and 2027) to be severable
from the volume requirements and
percentage standards for the other year.
Each year’s volume requirements and
percentage standards are supported by
analyses for that year.
We intend for the revised cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement and
percentage standard for 2025 in Section
VII to be severable from the volume
requirements and percentage standards
for the other years. The cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement and
percentage standard for 2025 is
supported by the analysis for that year.
We intend for the import RIN
reduction in Section VIII to be severable
from the volume requirements and
percentage standards for 2026 and 2027.
While the regulatory amendments in
Section VIII propose to modify the
number of RINs generated for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks, our
basis for proposing the amendments in
Section VIII is independent from the
volume requirements themselves.
Additionally, we do not anticipate that
invalidation of the import RIN reduction
would jeopardize compliance with the
volume requirements and percentage
standards.
We also intend for the removal of
renewable electricity from the RFS
program in Section IX and the
regulatory amendments in Section X to
be severable from the volume
requirements and percentage standards.
These regulatory amendments are
intended to improve the RFS program in
general and are not part of EPA’s
analysis for the volume requirements
and percentage standards for any
specific year. Further, each of the
regulatory amendments in Sections IX
and X is severable from the other
regulatory amendments because they all
function independently of one another.
If any of the portions of the rule
identified in the preceding paragraph
(i.e., volume requirements and
percentage standards for a single year,
the individual regulatory amendments)
is invalidated by a reviewing court, we
intend the remainder of this action to
remain effective as described in the
prior paragraphs. To further illustrate, if
a reviewing court were to invalidate the
volume requirements and percentage
standards, we intend the other
regulatory amendments to remain
effective. Or, as another example, if a
reviewing court invalidates the
proposed removal of renewable
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electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel
under the RFS program, we intend the
volume requirements and percentage
standards as well as other regulatory
amendments to remain effective.
III. Alternative Volume Scenarios for
Analysis and Baselines
In establishing volumes for 2026 and
2027, the statute requires that EPA
review the implementation of the RFS
program in prior years and analyze a
specified set of factors (see Section II.B).
Many of those factors, particularly those
related to economic and environmental
impacts, are difficult to analyze in the
abstract; it is challenging to assess
impacts without understanding the
scale of the volume changes that are the
driving force behind those impacts. In
light of this, we have opted to develop
alternative volume scenarios to analyze
for each category of renewable fuel. This
section describes the factors we
considered when developing the
volume scenarios for analysis. The
analyses of the impacts of the volume
scenarios are summarized in Section IV,
and the volumes we are proposing based
on these analyses and a review of the
implementation of the RFS program to
date are described in Section V. Note
that neither of the volume scenarios we
developed for analytical purposes
include the impacts of the proposed
import RIN reduction provisions
described in Section VIII.
To develop the alternative volume
scenarios for analysis, we first assessed
two fundamental factors: (1) The
potential supply of these fuels from both
imports and domestic production; and
(2) The ability for these fuels to be used
as qualifying transportation fuel in the
United States. Throughout this
preamble, we use the term ‘‘supply’’ of
renewable fuel to refer to the quantity of
qualifying renewable fuel that can be
used as transportation fuel, heating oil,
or jet fuel in the U.S. Unless otherwise
noted, all historical data on the supply
of renewable fuel is based on data from
the EPA Moderated Transaction System
(EMTS). The projected domestic
production and importation of
renewable fuel and the use of renewable
fuel as transportation fuel closely align
with two of the explicit statutory
criteria: expected annual rate of future
commercial production of renewable
fuel and sufficiency of infrastructure to
deliver and use renewable fuels. For
cellulosic biofuel and conventional
renewable fuel, the volume scenarios we
chose to analyze are equal to the
projected volumes of these fuels we
project will be used as qualifying
transportation fuel in 2026 and 2027.
Our projections of the use of these fuels
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assumes current ongoing incentives for
the production and use of these fuels
provided by the RFS program and by
other state and federal programs remain
in place for the periods of time currently
described in their respective statutes
and regulations.
For non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
(including BBD and other advanced
biofuel), the projected supply of these
fuels in future years is highly dependent
on the incentives for these fuels
provided by the RFS program, other
state and federal incentives in the U.S.,
and actions by foreign countries. Unlike
cellulosic biofuel and conventional
renewable fuel, we do not expect that
the supply of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel will be limited by the ability for
the market to use these fuels as
qualifying transportation fuel. Instead,
we project that the available supply of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel will
depend on a number of interrelated
factors, including the supply of
feedstocks to produce these fuels,
demand for these feedstocks in nonbiofuel markets, and the available
incentives for the production and use of
these fuels in the U.S. and other
countries. Further, unlike cellulosic
biofuel and conventional renewable
fuel, which are primarily produced from
a single feedstock (biogas and corn
starch, respectively), non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel can be produced from
a variety of different feedstocks, and the
projected impacts of the production of
these fuels can vary depending on the
feedstock used to produce the fuel.
Considering these complexities, we
have developed two different volume
scenarios of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel for analysis rather that attempt
to identify a single volume scenario for
the projected supply of these fuels.
These assessments are described in
greater detail in Sections III.B and C and
DRIA Chapter 6.
We acknowledge that we are adopting
a slightly different approach to
developing the volume scenarios for
analysis in this action than we did in
the Set 1 Rule, in which EPA first
identified ‘‘candidate volumes’’ to
analyze for each category of renewable
fuel. These candidate volumes were
based primarily on a consideration of
supply-related factors, with a
consideration of other relevant factors as
noted in the Set 1 Rule. The approach
taken in this action, in which multiple
volume scenarios are analyzed, is
designed to provide additional
information about the potential impacts
of a broader range of renewable fuel
volume requirements.40 The analysis of
multiple scenarios allows EPA to
consider different volumes scenarios for
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, where
the impacts may be more heterogenous
(e.g., the impacts are not expected to be
consistent on a per-gallon basis) across
a range of potential qualifying fuels and
volume requirements.
The volume scenarios we analyzed for
this action, as well as the data that
informed these volume scenarios, can be
found in Sections III.B and C. Sections
III.D and E describe the baselines we
considered as points of reference for the
analysis of the other statutory factors
(i.e., the ‘‘No RFS’’ baseline and the
2025 baseline) and the volume changes
calculated in comparison to that
baseline, respectively.
A. Scope of Analysis
In Section II.D we discuss our
statutory authority to establish RFS
volume requirements and percentage
standards for multiple years in a single
action. As discussed in that section, we
are proposing to establish volume
requirements and percentage standards
for two years: 2026 and 2027. When
developing the scenarios described in
this section, however, EPA had not yet
determined either the number of years
for which to establish volumes in this
action or the exact levels of the
proposed volumes. To preserve the
opportunity to consider proposing an
action that would establish volumes for
a greater number of years, we developed
scenarios for analysis through 2030. We
also assessed a range of potential fuel
volumes to provide stakeholders with a
more comprehensive sense for the
potential impacts of different volume
levels. The volume scenarios discussed
in this section, as well as the results of
our analysis of these scenarios
discussed in Section IV, therefore
consider a range of renewable fuel
volumes through 2030. More
information on the projected impacts of
the renewable fuel volume requirements
we are proposing for 2026 and 2027 can
be found in Section V and the DRIA.
B. Production and Importation of
Renewable Fuel
1. Cellulosic Biofuel
CAA section 211(o)(1)(E) defines
cellulosic biofuel as renewable fuel
derived from any cellulose, hemicellulose, or lignin that has lifecycle
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that are
at least 60 percent less than the baseline
lifecycle GHG emissions. Since the
inception of the RFS program, cellulosic
biofuel production has steadily
increased, reaching record levels in
2024. This growth has primarily been
driven by biogas-derived CNG/LNG,
although small volumes of liquid
cellulosic biofuels, particularly ethanol
produced from corn kernel fiber (CKF),
have also played a contributing role. In
this section, we discuss our analysis for
projecting the production of qualifying
cellulosic biofuel for 2026–2030, along
with key uncertainties associated with
these estimates. Additional details on
our volume projections for cellulosic
biofuel can be found in DRIA Chapter
7.1.
40 We note that the two scenarios analyzed for
this action differ only in the BBD volumes.
Considering different BBD volumes is of the most
interest due to the high degree of uncertainty in the
potential supply of this fuel through 2027 and the
differences in the projected impacts between
different types of BBD.
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a. CNG/LNG Derived From Biogas
Biogas-derived CNG/LNG from
qualifying sources must first be
collected and upgraded for vehicle use.
The upgraded process varies depending
on the final application but typically
involves removing undesirable
components and contaminants from the
raw biogas. Biogas that has been
upgraded and distributed through a
closed distribution system, either as a
biointermediate or for the production of
renewable fuel, is defined as ‘‘treated
biogas,’’ whereas biogas that has been
upgraded to be suitable for injection
into the commercial natural gas pipeline
system and is used to produce
renewable fuel is defined as ‘‘renewable
natural gas’’ (RNG).41 Although they are
defined differently in the regulations,
we use the term ‘‘RNG’’ to collectively
refer to both treated biogas and RNG in
this document. Likewise, we use
‘‘biogas-derived CNG/LNG’’ to refer to
both treated biogas and RNG when used
as a transportation fuel in CNG/LNG
vehicles.
To project future volumes of biogasderived CNG/LNG, we analyzed two
limiting factors: the estimated volume of
RNG that could be produced or captured
and the estimated amount of biogasderived CNG/LNG that could be
consumed as a transportation fuel. Our
analysis indicates that consumption
(i.e., use as a transportation fuel), rather
than production, is likely to be the
primary constraint on determining
volumes during 2026–2030.
To estimate consumption, we
developed a projection of total CNG/
LNG transportation use based on vehicle
sector data, including fuel consumption
rates, vehicle miles traveled, and fuel
efficiency. Because biogas-derived CNG/
LNG can generate RINs only when used
as a transportation fuel, total CNG/LNG
consumption—whether fossil- or biogasderived—represents the upper volume
limit for biogas-derived CNG/LNG RIN
generation. However, full replacement
of total CNG/LNG usage with biogasderived fuel is unlikely due to
infrastructure limitations, costs, and
other challenges. To account for this, we
applied an efficiency factor to estimate
the portion of total CNG/LNG
consumption that could realistically be
met with biogas-derived fuel and, in
turn, the number of cellulosic RINs that
could be generated. Based on data from
California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard
(LCFS) program, we assume that even in
a fully saturated market,42 only 97
percent of total CNG/LNG transportation
demand would be met with biogasderived CNG/LNG. As a result, we
applied a 97 percent adjustment to our
total CNG/LNG consumption estimate to
calculate the potential total biogasderived CNG/LNG volume. The results
of this analysis are shown in Table
III.B.1.a–1 and are further described in
DRIA Chapter 7.1.4.1.
TABLE III.B.1.a–1—ESTIMATED CONSUMPTION OF TOTAL CNG/LNG AND THE ESTIMATED QUANTITY OF BIOGAS-DERIVED
CNG/LNG
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
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2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
.........................................................................................................................................
.........................................................................................................................................
.........................................................................................................................................
.........................................................................................................................................
.........................................................................................................................................
41 40
CFR 80.2.
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42 We use the term ‘‘saturated market’’ to describe
a market that consumes the maximum feasible
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1,210
1,277
1,349
1,426
1,509
Total biogas-derived
CNG/LNG consumption
1,174
1,239
1,309
1,384
1,464
amount of biogas-derived CNG/LNG relative to its
CNG/LNG vehicle population.
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Year
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Initial evidence of this shift towards
a consumption-limited baseline is
already apparent. In 2023, RNG volumes
were insufficient to meet the cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement established
in the Set 1 Rule. This shortfall resulted
in a 0.09 billion cellulosic RIN deficit
carried forward from 2023 into 2024.
For 2024, RNG production—and hence
cellulosic RIN generation—again fell
short of the required volume. This led
EPA to propose a partial waiver of the
2024 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement.43 Similarly, as described
in Section VII, EPA currently projects a
shortfall in cellulosic biofuel production
for 2025 and is proposing to again
partially waive the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement for 2025. Thus,
while EPA is still projecting continued
growth in cellulosic biofuel production,
growth in cellulosic RIN generation is
likely to face significant constraints for
the foreseeable future, limited by the
ability of fuel consumers to use RNG as
a qualifying transportation fuel.
As a means of cross-checking this
expected limitation on cellulosic RIN
generation, we also projected future
RNG production. To estimate this, we
used an industry-wide projection
methodology that has been employed in
the RFS standard-setting rules since
2018. This methodology applies an
industry-wide year-over-year growth
rate to the current biogas production
rate. Specifically, we used RIN
generation data from the most recent 24
months and multiplied the observed
growth rate during that period by the
most recent full calendar year of data
available. This growth rate was then
repeatedly applied to each progressive
year to project future production. This
approach was previously used in the
2018,44 2019,45 2020–2022,46 and Set 1
(2023–2025) Rules. However, unlike the
2018–2022 Rules, the Set 1 Rule relied
on data from 2015–2022 rather than the
previous 24 months. This adjustment
was made to account for the expected
impact of the COVID–19 pandemic,
which was believed at the time to have
negatively affected the market in 2020
and 2021. At the time of the Set 1 Rule
analysis, pre-pandemic growth rates
were considered a more accurate
reflection of future biogas production
potential, a view supported by
stakeholders. However, with the benefit
of post-pandemic data, we have
returned to our prior methodology,
basing projections on the most recent 24
months of data instead of the data from
FR 100442 (December 12, 2024).
FR 58486 (December 12, 2017).
45 83 FR 63704 (December 11, 2018).
46 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022).
2015–2022, as described in DRIA
Chapter 7.1.4.2. Performing this analysis
and comparing RNG production to the
consumption of RNG-derived CNG/LNG
highlights a key point: for all years from
2026–2030, projected RNG production
is expected to exceed the projected
consumption of RNG-derived CNG/
LNG, providing further evidence that
future cellulosic RIN generation is
limited by the ability of fuel consumers
to use RNG as a qualifying
transportation fuel.
While RNG production is not
expected to be a limiting factor in
determining volumes, the future
production of RNG will ultimately
depend on market demand. Because of
this, there is significant uncertainty
overall for the production of RNG. One
notable source of uncertainty is the
potential for significant competing
demands for RNG, such as to produce
RNG-based ammonia (e.g., for use as
fertilizer) and to produce RNG-based
hydrogen for use in various process
energy applications. While the demand
for these products over the 2026–2030
period is highly uncertain, substantial
growth in these competing demands for
RNG have the potential to further limit
the available supply of RNG as a
qualifying transportation fuel.
From our analysis of both RNG
consumption and production, we
believe that cellulosic RIN generation
from biogas-derived CNG/LNG during
2026–2030 will be constrained by the
total usage of CNG/LNG as
transportation fuel (i.e., the total amount
of CNG/LNG that can be used in the
fleet of CNG- and LNG-powered
vehicles). Accordingly, the volumes
presented in Table III.B.1.a–2 were used
as the volume scenario for biogasderived CNG/LNG during this period.
That said, we recognize that there is
considerable uncertainty in these
volumes and that the methodology used
to determine these volumes are different
than what we have done in prior rules.
Therefore, we request comment on our
projections for cellulosic biofuel
production for 2026–2030, specifically
regarding our assessment of future CNG/
LNG consumption. We also request any
additional data or information that
could further inform our projections for
cellulosic biofuel production during this
period.
TABLE III.B.1.a–2—ESTIMATED VOLUME OF BIOGAS-DERIVED CNG/LNG
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
43 89
Year
Volume
44 82
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2027 ..........................................
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1,174
1,239
25795
TABLE III.B.1.a–2—ESTIMATED VOLUME OF BIOGAS-DERIVED CNG/
LNG—Continued
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
Year
2028 ..........................................
2029 ..........................................
2030 ..........................................
Volume
1,309
1,384
1,464
b. Ethanol From Corn Kernel Fiber
Several technologies are currently
being developed to produce liquid fuels
from cellulosic biomass. However, most
of these technologies are unlikely to
yield significant volumes of cellulosic
biofuel by 2030. One notable exception
is the production of ethanol from CKF,
for which several companies have
developed processes. Many of these
processes involve co-processing of both
the starch and cellulosic components of
the corn kernel. However, to be eligible
for generating cellulosic RINs, facilities
must accurately determine the amount
of ethanol produced specifically from
the cellulosic portion using approved
methodologies. This requires the ability
to reliably and precisely calculate the
ethanol derived from the cellulosic
component, distinct from the starch
portion of the corn kernel. In September
2022, EPA issued updated guidance on
analytical methods that could be used to
quantify the amount of ethanol
produced when co-processing CKF and
corn starch.47
EPA has also had substantive
discussions with technology providers
intending to use analytical methods
consistent with this guidance, as well as
with owners of facilities registered as
cellulosic biofuel producers using these
methods. Based on information from
these technology providers, EPA
believes that cellulosic ethanol
production from CKF could be feasible
at all existing corn ethanol facilities,
with minimal additional processing
units or modifications. To generate
cellulosic RINs for ethanol produced
from CKF, a facility would need to
demonstrate the converted fraction
consistent with appropriate test
methods. For the purposes of this
analysis, we assume that 90 percent of
facilities will produce cellulosic ethanol
over this period due to potential facilityspecific challenges that may prevent 100
percent adoption.
Additionally, while technology
providers have indicated that using
analytical methods consistent with EPA
47 EPA, ‘‘Guidance on Qualifying an Analytical
Method for Determining the Cellulosic Converted
Fraction of Corn Kernel Fiber Co-Processed with
Starch,’’ EPA–420–B–22–041, September 2022.
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guidance can demonstrate that
approximately 1.5 percent of ethanol
produced at existing corn ethanol
facilities comes from cellulosic biomass,
data submitted to EPA by renewable
fuel producers generating cellulosic
RINs for CKF ethanol shows that the
current industry-wide average among
registered facilities is closer to 1
percent. Therefore, for the purposes of
this analysis, we are using a 1 percent
conversion rate.
The projected production of cellulosic
ethanol from CKF, as shown in Table
III.B.1.b–1, is based on projections of
total corn ethanol production, with a 90
percent facility participation rate and a
1 percent conversion efficiency
applied.48 We request comment on
these projected volumes, including our
projections of the percentage of ethanol
producers that will generate cellulosic
RINs for CKF ethanol through 2027 and
the proportion of ethanol from cellulose
vs. starch at these facilities.
TABLE III.B.1.b–1—PROJECTED
PRODUCTION OF ETHANOL FROM CKF
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
Year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Volume
..........................................
..........................................
..........................................
..........................................
..........................................
124
123
122
120
119
c. Other Cellulosic Biofuels
We expect that commercial scale
production of cellulosic biofuel in the
U.S. beyond CNG/LNG derived from
biogas and ethanol produced from CKF
will be very limited in 2026–2030.
There are several cellulosic biofuel
production facilities in various stages of
development, construction, and
commissioning that may be capable of
producing commercial scale volumes of
cellulosic biofuel by 2030. These
facilities primarily focus on producing
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48 A detailed discussion of the methodology used
to project cellulosic ethanol production from CKF
can be found in DRIA Chapter 7.1.5.
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cellulosic hydrocarbons from feedstocks
such as separated municipal solid waste
(MSW), precommercial thinnings, and
tree residues, which can be blended into
gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel. Since no
parties have achieved consistent
production of liquid cellulosic biofuel
in the U.S. or consistently exported
liquid cellulosic biofuel to the U.S.,
production and import of liquid
cellulosic biofuel in 2026–2030 is
highly uncertain and likely to be
relatively small. For the volume
scenarios we are analyzing, we have
projected no production of these fuels in
2026–2030.
2. Biomass-Based Diesel
CAA section 211(o)(1)(D) defines
biomass-based diesel as renewable fuel
that is biodiesel and that has GHG
emissions reductions of at least 50
percent from the baseline. It also
excludes biodiesel that is co-processed
with petroleum feedstocks. The BBD
standard is nested within the advanced
biofuel standard. Historically, the BBD
supply under the RFS program has
exceeded the BBD standard, with the
additional supply used by obligated
parties to meet their advanced biofuel
volume requirements. Thus, the
advanced biofuel standard has
incentivized the use of BBD beyond just
the BBD standard.
Since 2010, when the BBD volume
requirement was added to the RFS
program, production of BBD has
generally increased annually. The
volume of BBD supplied in any given
year is influenced by a number of
factors, including: production capacity;
feedstock availability and cost; available
incentives including the RFS program;
the availability of imported BBD; the
demand for BBD (and feedstocks used to
produce BBD) in foreign markets; and
several other economic factors.
Most renewable fuel that qualifies as
BBD is biodiesel or renewable diesel.
Both of these fuels are replacements for
petroleum diesel and are produced from
the same lipid-based feedstocks, a
diverse category that includes animal
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fats, used cooking oil, and vegetable oil
feedstocks. Biodiesel and renewable
diesel differ in their production
processes and chemical composition.
Biodiesel is an oxygenated fuel that is
generally produced using a
transesterification process. Renewable
diesel, on the other hand, is a
hydrocarbon fuel that closely resembles
petroleum diesel and that is generally
produced by hydrotreating renewable
feedstocks. From 2010–2018, the vast
majority of BBD supplied to the U.S.
was biodiesel. Production and imports
of renewable diesel emerged in the U.S.
in the early 2010s. Market share for
renewable diesel began a steady upward
trend in 2019, and U.S. domestic supply
of these fuels has increased significantly
over the past several years. The supply
of biodiesel has been relatively stable
since 2016 amidst the expansion of
renewable diesel supply.
In 2023, the supply of renewable
diesel exceeded the supply of biodiesel
for the first time (see Figure III.B.2–1).
Unlike biodiesel, which is often
produced at relatively small facilities,
renewable diesel is generally produced
at large facilities. While some renewable
fuel producers have built new
production facilities, much of the
renewable diesel produced in the U.S.
uses petroleum refining infrastructure
that has been converted to produce
renewable diesel. Because renewable
diesel is more chemically similar to
petroleum, it is generally not subject to
the same blending limits as biodiesel.
This has allowed very large volumes of
renewable diesel to be supplied to
California and other states with
incentives for biofuel use in addition to
the incentives provided by the RFS
program. In future years we expect to
continue to see large increases in the
supply of renewable diesel due to the
advantages in the economy of scale and
the ability to access markets with higher
incentives, and a relatively steady
supply of biodiesel from established
facilities with favorable local markets.
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There are also small volumes of
renewable jet fuel and heating oil that
qualify as BBD.49 Renewable jet fuel has
qualified as a RIN-generating BBD and
advanced biofuel under the RFS
program since 2010 and must achieve at
least a 50 percent reduction in GHGs in
comparison to petroleum-based fuels.
The technology and feedstocks that can
currently be used to produce renewable
jet fuel are often the same as those used
to produce renewable diesel. For
example, the same process that
produces renewable diesel from lipids
generally produces hydrocarbons in the
distillation range of jet fuel that can be
separated and sold as renewable jet fuel
instead of being sold as renewable
diesel. While relatively little renewable
jet fuel has been produced since 2010—
20 million gallons or less per year
49 According to EMTS data renewable jet fuel
supply ranged from 0–20 million gallons per year
from 2014–2023 and increased to approximately
110 million gallons in 2024. Renewable jet fuel is
eligible to generate RINs per 40 CFR
80.1426(a)(1)(iv), provided all other regulatory
requirements are met.
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through 2023, increasing to
approximately 110 million gallons in
2024—opportunities for increasing this
category of advanced biofuel exist.
A tax credit for renewable jet fuel for
tax years 2023 and 2024, often referred
to as the ‘‘sustainable aviation fuel
credit’’ or ‘‘40B credit,’’ may have
resulted in increasing volumes of
renewable jet fuel produced from
existing renewable diesel production
facilities. Another low carbon
transportation fuel tax credit, the ‘‘clean
fuel production credit’’ or ‘‘45Z credit,’’
is available for tax years 2025–2027, and
provides up to $1.75 per gallon of
renewable jet fuel, provided the relevant
wage and apprenticeship requirements
are met by the producer. The 45Z credit
may provide continued support for
renewable jet fuel production.
Renewable jet fuel production from
existing renewable diesel facilities,
however, would likely result in a
decrease in renewable diesel
production, with little or no net change
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in their overall production of RINgenerating fuels.50
In this rule we have not separately
projected growth in renewable jet fuel
production, but we recognize that some
of the projected growth in renewable
diesel production may instead be
renewable jet fuel from the same
production facilities. Other renewable
jet fuel production technologies and
production facilities (discussed briefly
in Section III.B.2.b) also being
developed could enable the future
production of renewable jet fuel from
new facilities and feedstocks that are
not expected to impact renewable diesel
production.
The remainder of this section
provides historical data on biodiesel
and renewable diesel production and
production capacity, briefly discusses
potential feedstock limitations for
50 The equivalence values for renewable diesel
and jet fuel are similar. As discussed in Section
X.A, we are proposing to revise the renewable
diesel equivalence value to be 1.6 RINs per gallon,
while also proposing to establish the renewable jet
fuel equivalence value to be 1.5 RINs per gallon.
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this data, annual average biodiesel
production capacity grew relatively
slowly from about 2.1 billion gallons in
2012 to a peak of approximately 2.6
billion gallons in 2019. EIA reports that
domestic biodiesel production capacity
was approximately 2.5 billion gallons as
recently as October 2021. This facility
a. Biodiesel
capacity data is collected by EIA in
For most of the history of the RFS
monthly surveys, which suggests that
program, the largest volume of BBD and this capacity represents the production
advanced biofuel supplied in the
at facilities that are currently producing
program each year have been from
some volume of biodiesel and likely
biodiesel. Domestic biodiesel
does not include facilities that are
production increased from
inactive or have closed, as these
approximately 1.3 billion gallons in
facilities are far less likely to complete
2014 to approximately 1.8 billion
a monthly survey.
gallons in 2018. Since 2018, domestic
EPA separately collects facility
biodiesel production decreased slightly, capacity information through the RFS
to approximately 1.7 billion gallons in
program facility registration process.
2024.52 The U.S. has also imported
This data includes both facilities that
significant volumes of biodiesel in
are currently producing biodiesel and
previous years and has been a net
those that are inactive. EPA’s data
importer of biodiesel since 2013.
shows a total domestic biodiesel
Biodiesel imports reached a peak in
production capacity of 2.9 billion
2016, with the majority of the imported
gallons per year in April 2025, of which
biodiesel coming from Argentina.53 In
2.6 billion gallons per year was at
August 2017, the U.S. announced tariffs biodiesel facilities that generated RINs
on biodiesel imported from Argentina
in 2024.58 These estimates of domestic
and Indonesia.54 These tariffs were
production capacity strongly suggest
subsequently confirmed in April 2018
that domestic biodiesel production
55
and remain in place. Biodiesel imports capacity is unlikely to limit domestic
started dropping in 2017 but have
biodiesel production through 2030.
increased again in recent years, reaching
b. Renewable Diesel and Renewable Jet
approximately 500 million gallons in
2023 and reduced to 420 million gallons Fuel
in 2024.56 More generally, overall
Renewable diesel and renewable jet
biodiesel supply in the U.S. has
fuel are currently produced using the
remained between 1.6 and 1.8 billion
same feedstocks and very similar
gallons since 2016 (see Figure III.B.2–1). production technologies, and in most
Available data suggests that there is
cases are produced at the same
significant unused biodiesel production production facilities. For example,
capacity in the U.S., and thus domestic
Montana Renewables produced both
biodiesel production could grow
renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel
without the need to invest in additional at their Great Falls, Montana facility in
production capacity. Data reported by
2024.59 Historically, greater incentives
EIA shows that domestic biodiesel
have been available for renewable diesel
production capacity in November 2024
production than for renewable jet fuel
was approximately 2.00 billion gallons
production, which has meant that in
per year, roughly 0.3 billion gallons
practice most production facilities chose
57
more than was utilized. According to
to maximize renewable diesel
production. In this section we have
51 Further details on these volume projections can
focused on renewable diesel production,
be found in DRIA Chapter 7.2.
but we acknowledge that an increasing
52 Id.
portion of this fuel may be used as
53 In 2016 and 2017, 67 percent of all biodiesel
imports were from Argentina. EIA, ‘‘U.S. Imports by renewable jet fuel in future years.
Country of Origin—Biodiesel,’’ Petroleum & Other
In the near term, we expect that any
Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/
increase in renewable jet fuel
pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_EPOORDB_im0_
production will result in a
mbbl_a.htm.
54 82 FR 40748 (Aug. 28, 2017).
corresponding decrease in renewable
55 83 FR 18278 (April 26, 2018).
diesel production. We recognize that
56 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Imports of Biodiesel,’’ Petroleum &
new technologies are being developed to
Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/
produce renewable jet fuel from a wider
dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=m_
variety of feedstocks, some of which are
epoordb_im0_nus-z00_mbbl&f=a.
not suitable for use in the hydrotreating
process that dominates renewable diesel
production. For example, several
companies are developing new
technologies intended to produce
renewable jet fuel from ethanol or other
alcohols, through a technology often
referred to as the ‘‘alcohol-to-jet’’ (or
‘‘ATJ’’) process. To date EPA has not
approved a generally applicable
pathway for these fuels, but we have
approved a facility specific pathway for
the production of renewable jet fuel
from ethanol to generate BBD RINs.60
While ATJ has the potential to produce
significant volumes of renewable jet fuel
in future years, there is a high degree of
uncertainty related to the production of
these fuels through 2030 as commercial
scale production of these fuels has been
limited and no RINs have yet been
generated for these fuels. Production of
renewable jet fuel using these emerging
technologies may not negatively impact
renewable diesel production to the
extent that they do not compete for
feedstocks. Through 2027, however, we
expect that only relatively modest
volumes of fuels might be produced
through these emerging technologies.
We request comment on the potential
production volume of such renewable
jet fuel through 2027 and any technical
and economic data that would help
inform our understanding of the
potential impacts of the production of
renewable jet fuel through the ATJ
process on the statutory factors.
Renewable diesel has historically
been produced and imported in smaller
quantities than biodiesel, as shown in
Figure III.B.2–1. In recent years,
however, domestic production of
renewable diesel has increased
significantly. Renewable diesel
production facilities generally have
higher capital costs and production
costs relative to biodiesel, which likely
accounts for the historically higher
volumes of biodiesel production relative
to renewable diesel production prior to
2023. The higher cost of renewable
diesel production can largely be offset
through the benefits of economies of
scale, since renewable diesel facilities
tend to be much larger than biodiesel
production facilities.61 For example,
according to EMTS data, in 2024, there
were 23 renewable diesel facilities that
produced an average of 157 million
gallons of renewable diesel per facility,
compared to 71 biodiesel facilities that
57 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Biodiesel Production Capacity,’’
Petroleum & Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://
www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/
LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOORDB_8BDPC_
NUS_MMGL&f=M.
60 See EPA, ‘‘Letter from EPA to LanzaJet, Inc.,’’
January 12, 2023.
61 See DRIA Chapter 10 for more detail on our
assessment of the cost to produce biodiesel and
renewable diesel.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
biodiesel and renewable diesel
production in future years, and
summarizes our assessment of the rate
of production and use of qualifying BBD
for 2026–2030, along with some of the
uncertainties associated with those
volumes.51
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58 See
‘‘BBD Registered Facility Capacity,’’
available in the docket for this action.
59 Montana Renewables, ‘‘Products.’’ https://
montanarenewables.com/products.
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produced an average of 29 million
gallons of biodiesel per facility.62
More importantly, because renewable
diesel more closely resembles petroleum
diesel than biodiesel (both renewable
diesel and petroleum diesel are
hydrocarbons while biodiesel is a
methyl-ester), renewable diesel can be
blended at much higher concentrations
with diesel than biodiesel (it is for this
reason that renewable diesel is
sometimes referred to as a ‘‘drop-in’’
fuel). This allows renewable diesel to
more easily be blended into diesel at
higher rates and enables renewable
diesel producers to sell greater volumes
of renewable diesel in California,
benefiting from the LCFS credits in
California in addition to RFS incentives
and the federal tax credit.63 The greater
ability for renewable diesel to generate
credits under California’s LCFS program
provides a significant advantage over
biodiesel. Biodiesel blends in California
containing 6–20 percent biodiesel
require the use of an additive to comply
with California’s Alternative Diesel
Fuels Regulations, making the use of
higher-level biodiesel blends more
challenging in California.64 The
Washington and Oregon programs
modeled from the California LCFS have
generally mirrored this incentive
structure, and the emerging New Mexico
program may do so as well. If additional
States were to adopt clean fuels
programs using a similar structure, these
programs could provide an additional
advantage to renewable diesel
production relative to biodiesel
production in the U.S.
Total domestic renewable diesel
production capacity has increased
significantly in recent years from
approximately 280 million gallons in
2017 65 to approximately 4.6 billion
gallons at the end of 2024.66
Additionally, a number of parties have
announced plans to build new
renewable diesel production capacity
with the potential to begin production
in future years. This new capacity
includes new renewable diesel
production facilities, expansions of
existing renewable diesel production
facilities, and the conversion of units at
petroleum refineries to produce
renewable diesel.
EIA currently projects that renewable
diesel production capacity will continue
to expand and could reach nearly 6
billion gallons by the end of 2025.67 A
recent report published by the National
Renewable Energy Laboratory found
that by 2028 the domestic production
capacity for renewable diesel and
renewable jet fuel through the
hydrotreating process alone could
increase to 9.6 billion gallons per year.68
In previous years, domestic renewable
diesel production has increased in
concert with increases in domestic
production capacity, with renewable
diesel facilities generally operating at
high utilization rates. In future years we
expect that competition for affordable
qualifying feedstocks may result in
renewable diesel and biodiesel facilities
operating below their production
capacity. Competition for qualifying
feedstocks could also result in
reductions in overall biodiesel
production if larger renewable diesel
facilities are able to out-compete smaller
biodiesel producers for feedstock.
Further, even if these facilities operate
at levels close to their production
capacity, demand for renewable diesel
and renewable jet fuel in other countries
may impact the quantity of these fuels
available to U.S. markets.
25799
In addition to domestic production of
renewable diesel, the U.S. has also
imported renewable diesel, with nearly
all of it produced from fats, oils, and
greases (FOG) and imported from
Singapore.69 In more recent years, the
U.S. has also exported increasing
volumes of renewable diesel. In 2022–
2024, renewable diesel exports
exceeded renewable diesel imports
based on data collected through EMTS
(see Table III.B.2.b-1). This situation,
wherein significant volumes of
renewable diesel are both imported and
exported, is likely the result of a number
of factors, including the design of the
biodiesel tax credit (which is available
to renewable diesel that is either
produced or used in the U.S. and thus
eligible for exported volumes as well),
the varying structures of incentives for
renewable diesel (with the level of
incentives varying depending on the
feedstocks used to produce the
renewable diesel varying as well as by
country), and logistical considerations
(renewable diesel may be imported and
exported from different parts of the
country). Starting in 2025, the 45Z
credit, which consolidates and replaces
the previous $1 per gallon credit for
blending biodiesel and renewable diesel
into diesel fuel under 40A, also
provides a production credit for
alternative fuels and sustainable
aviation fuel. Since the new 45Z credit
is only available for fuel produced in
the United States, it may result in
significantly decreased renewable fuel
imports and may in turn also decrease
renewable fuel exports as domestic
producers seek to satisfy demand
previously met by imported renewable
fuels.
TABLE III.B.2.b–1—RENEWABLE DIESEL IMPORTS AND EXPORTS
[Million gallons]
Renewable
diesel imports
Year
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2015 ...........................................................................................................................
2016 ...........................................................................................................................
2017 ...........................................................................................................................
62 See ‘‘Analysis of BBD RIN Generation by
Facility Size,’’ available in the docket for this
action.
63 For example, when LCFS credits are worth
$100/metric ton, blending renewable diesel into
California generates LCFS credits worth
approximately $0.25 to $0.90 per gallon (assuming
carbon intensities of 70 and 20 gCO2e/MJ
respectively). Renewable fuel producers that sell
qualifying renewable fuel in California can generate
both RINs under the RFS program and LCFS credits.
64 CARB, ‘‘Frequently Asked Questions on the
Alternative Diesel Fuels Regulation,’’ November
2017. In 2021, nearly all renewable diesel
consumed in the U.S. was consumed in California.
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120
165
191
Together renewable diesel and biodiesel
represented approximately 65–70 percent of all
diesel fuel consumed in California in the second
half of 2024.
65 Renewable diesel capacity based on facilities
registered in EMTS.
66 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Total Biofuels Operable Production
Capacity,’’ Petroleum & Other Liquids, April 30,
2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pnp_
capbio_dcu_nus_m.htm.
67 EIA, ‘‘Domestic renewable diesel capacity
could more than double through 2025,’’ Today in
Energy, February 2, 2023. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55399.
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Renewable
diesel exports
21
40
37
Net imports
99
125
154
68 Calderon, Oscar Rosales, Ling Tao, Zia
Abdullah, Michael Talmadge, Anelia Milbrandt,
Sharon Smolinski, Kristi Moriarty, et al.
‘‘Sustainable Aviation Fuel State-of-Industry
Report: Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids
Pathway,’’ National Renewable Energy Laboratory
NREL/TP–5100–87803, July 30, 2024. https://
doi.org/10.2172/2426563.
69 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Imports by Country of Origin—
Renewable Diesel Fuel,’’ Petroleum & Other
Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/
pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_EPOORDO_im0_
mbbl_a.htm.
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TABLE III.B.2.b–1—RENEWABLE DIESEL IMPORTS AND EXPORTS—Continued
[Million gallons]
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
...........................................................................................................................
c. Domestic BBD Feedstocks
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When considering the potential
production and import of biodiesel and
renewable diesel in future years and the
Use of soybean oil to produce
biodiesel grew from approximately 10
percent of all domestic soybean oil
production in the 2009/2010
agricultural marketing year to 48
percent in the 2023/2024 agricultural
marketing year.70 In the intervening
years, the total increase in domestic
soybean oil production and the increase
in the quantity of soybean oil used to
produce biodiesel and renewable diesel
were similar, indicating that the
increase in oil production was likely
driven by the increasing demand for
biofuel. However, as the production of
70 USDA, ‘‘Oil Crops Yearbook,’’ March 2025.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/oil-cropsyearbook.
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Renewable
diesel exports
176
267
280
262
311
361
430
80
148
223
241
326
414
581
Net imports
96
119
57
121
¥15
¥53
¥151
likely impacts of renewable diesel
production, the availability of
feedstocks is a key consideration.
Currently, biodiesel and renewable
diesel in the U.S. are produced from a
number of different feedstocks,
including FOG, distillers corn oil, and
virgin vegetable oils such as soybean oil
and canola oil.
renewable diesel has increased in recent
years it appears that demand for
soybean oil is growing faster than
demand for soybean meal. Notably, the
percentage of the soybean value that
came from the soybean oil (rather than
the meal and hulls) had been relatively
stable and averaged approximately 33
percent from 2016–2020. The
percentage of the soybean value that
came from the soybean oil increased
significantly starting in 2021, however,
reaching a high of 53 percent in October
2021, before declining slightly to 39
percent in August 2024 (the most recent
date for which data are available).71
Through 2020, most of the renewable
diesel produced in the U.S. was made
from FOG and distillers corn oil, with
smaller volumes produced from soybean
oil.72 While some biodiesel production
facilities are unable to use FOG and
distillers corn oil without additional
capital investment, renewable diesel
production facilities are generally able
to use them. Additionally, through 2024
the vast majority of renewable diesel
consumed in the U.S. is used in
71 Id.
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72 In December 2022, EPA approved generally
applicable pathways for renewable diesel produced
from canola oil (87 FR 73956; December 2, 2022).
Use of canola oil to produce renewable diesel for
consumption in the U.S. was therefore rare before
2023, but has gradually become more common in
recent years.
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California due to the combined value of
RFS and LCFS incentives (together with
the blenders’ tax credit). Under
California’s LCFS program, renewable
diesel produced from FOG and distillers
corn oil receive more credits than
renewable diesel produced from
soybean oil and canola oil.
Available volumes of FOG (including
used cooking oil and animal fats) and
distillers corn oil from domestic sources
are expected to continue to increase in
future years, but these increases are
expected to be limited. FOG are the
byproducts of other activities (e.g., food
production and rendering operations),
and production of FOG is not
responsive to increasing demand for
biofuel production. Because the
production of FOG is generally not
responsive to increased demand and
most of the available domestic FOG is
currently used for biofuel production or
in other industries, we expect the
availability of FOG to increase slowly,
consistent with the observed trend in
recent years. Similarly, distillers corn
oil is a byproduct of ethanol production.
Since we do not anticipate significant
growth in ethanol production in future
years (see Section III.B.4), we do not
project significant increases in the
production of distillers corn oil for
biofuel production, as most ethanol
production facilities currently produce
distillers corn oil. Therefore, if
renewable diesel production in future
years increases rapidly as suggested by
the large production capacity
announcements, it will likely require
increased use of vegetable oils such as
soybean oil and canola oil, either from
new production or diverted from other
markets, or increased use of imported
feedstocks.
Greater volumes of soybean oil are
projected to be produced from new or
expanded soybean crushing facilities
through 2030. Several parties have
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announced plans to expand existing
soybean crushing capacity or build new
soybean crushing facilities. Public
announcements of new and expanded
soybean crushing capacity suggest that
domestic soybean crush capacity could
increase by approximately 1.5 million
bushels of soybeans per day from 2024
through 2026.73 An increase in the
domestic crush capacity of this
magnitude would result in an increase
in domestic soybean oil production
sufficient to produce approximately 750
million additional gallons of BBD per
year and suggests a 250 million gallon
per year annual increase in soybean oil
production through 2026.74 Similarly,
an assessment of potential BBD
feedstocks in future years prepared for
the National Oilseed Processors
Association by S&P Global estimated
that increases in domestic soybean oil
production could support the
production of an additional 1 billion
gallons of BBD from 2023 to 2027.75
Most of the publicly announced
expansion in soybean crush capacity is
scheduled to occur in the next few
years, through 2027. Recent data
suggests that the domestic soybean
crushing industry is capable of
continuing to add significant capacity in
future years, but that any investment in
domestic soybean crushing is highly
dependent on demand for soybean oil
(and soybean meal) from biofuel
producers and other markets.76
If domestic crushing of soybeans
increases at the expense of soybean
73 Futrell, Crystal, ‘‘US Soybean Crush Capacity
on the Rise,’’ World-Grain.com, January 5, 2024.
https://www.world-grain.com/articles/19463-ussoybean-crush-capacity-on-the-rise.
74 This estimate assumes a soybean oil yield of 11
lbs per bushel of soybeans and 1 gallon of BBD per
7.75 lbs of soybean oil.
75 S&P Global, ‘‘Availability of Feedstocks for
Biofuel Use—Key Highlights,’’ July 2024.
76 See DRIA Chapter 7.2 for a further discussion
of this topic.
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25801
exports, domestic vegetable oil
production could increase without the
need for increasing domestic soybean
acreage. Alternatively, increased
demand for soybeans from new or
expanded crushing facilities could be
met through increased soybean
production in the U.S. Increased
demand for BBD feedstock could also be
met through diversion of increasing
volumes of qualifying feedstocks (e.g.,
soybean oil and canola oil) from existing
markets to produce renewable diesel.
Were this diversion to occur, nonqualifying feedstocks (e.g., palm oil or
other virgin vegetable oils) could be
used in larger quantities in place of
soybean and canola oil in food and
oleochemical markets. Diverting
feedstocks from existing uses would be
projected to result in higher prices for
these feedstocks, as biofuel producers
would have to outbid the current users
of these feedstocks.
d. Imported BBD Feedstocks
In addition to processing domestic
feedstocks such as distillers corn oil and
soybean oil, a number of domestic BBD
producers produce BBD from imported
feedstocks. In recent years, and as
multiple stakeholders have noted to
EPA, the market has seen a significant
increase in the quantity of imported
BBD feedstocks. Imports of feedstocks
that are often considered wastes or byproducts of other industries, such as
used cooking oil and tallow, have seen
the greatest increase in recent years.
Figure III.B.2.d–1 shows total imports of
common BBD feedstocks through 2024.
Figure III.B.2.d–2 shows the total
volumes of domestic BBD produced
from domestic feedstocks, domestic
BBD produced from imported
feedstocks, and imported BBD.
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likely contributed to the recent
increases in imports of certain BBD
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feedstocks to the U.S. Three key factors
contributing to the increase in imported
feedstocks are increasing domestic
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demand for these feedstocks, increasing
available supply of these feedstocks in
other countries, and the structure of
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incentive programs for biofuels in the
U.S. relative to other countries’ polices.
As noted in Section III.B.2.b, the
production capacity for renewable
diesel and renewable jet fuel has
increased rapidly and is expected to
continue to grow in future years. As the
total production capacity for these fuels
has grown, the demand for feedstocks
for renewable fuel production has
grown along with the production
capacity. While some of this demand
has been met by the increasing
production of domestic feedstocks,
domestic feedstock production has not
grown as quickly as has the production
capacity for renewable diesel and
renewable jet fuel. Renewable diesel
and renewable jet fuel producers have
thus turned to imports to source the
feedstocks needed to support increased
BBD production.
At the same time domestic demand
for these feedstocks has been increasing,
the supply available to import from
other countries has also been increasing.
For example, we project that production
of canola oil will increase in future
years due to expanding canola crushing
capacity in Canada.77 Similar to the
investments in soybean crushing in the
U.S., a number of companies have
announced investment in additional
canola crushing capacity in Canada, and
some of these projects are already under
construction. Increasing canola oil
production in Canada could provide an
opportunity for domestic renewable
diesel producers to import canola oil for
biofuel production. We note that these
parties will face competition for this
feedstock from Canadian biofuel
producers as well as food and other
non-biofuel markets. For example, in
2023, Canada began implementing their
Clean Fuels Requirements, requiring
that the carbon intensity of
transportation fuel decrease by 1.5
gCO2e/MJ per year each year from 2023
to 2030.78 These regulations are
expected to increase demand for
biofuels and biofuel feedstocks in
Canada, and therefore also impact the
quantities of canola oil and other
feedstocks available for export to the
U.S.
The incentives available in foreign
countries to encourage the production
77 Some
of the projected expansion in soybean
crushing capacity discussed in Section III.B.2.c is
from facilities also capable of crushing canola and
other oilseeds. Domestic production of canola is
limited, however, and the majority of canola oil
supplied to biofuel producers through 2027 is
expected to be imported from Canada.
78 Government of Canada, ‘‘What are the Clean
Fuel Regulations?’’ July 7, 2022. https://
www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/
services/managing-pollution/energy-production/
fuel-regulations/clean-fuel-regulations/about.html.
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and use of BBD are also changing. In
response to the increase in the prices of
energy and agricultural commodities
caused by the Russian invasion of
Ukraine in February 2022, a number of
countries, including Croatia, Czech
Republic, Finland, Latvia, Poland, and
Sweden, temporarily reduced biofuel
mandates and/or the penalties for not
fulfilling the mandates.79 The reduction
in demand from these countries resulted
in an increase in the available feedstock
supply to the U.S.
At the same time, the European Union
(EU) in recent years took actions to
discourage the importation of used
cooking oil (UCO) and biodiesel
produced from UCO from China, which
had previously been supplied in
significant volumes. On December 20,
2023, the EU announced an antidumping investigation on biodiesel
imported from China.80 This
investigation resulted in provisional
duties on biodiesel from China sold in
the EU, which were announced in July
2024.81 The anti-dumping investigation
and resulting fiscal duties on biodiesel
imported from China from the EU
opened up an opportunity for increased
exports of UCO (the primary feedstock
used to produce biodiesel in China
previously exported to the EU) from
China to the U.S.
Finally, incentive programs for
biofuels in the U.S. have contributed to
the recent observed increases in biofuel
feedstock imports. State low carbon fuel
standards or clean fuels programs, such
as California’s LCFS, provide greater
incentives for fuels with lower carbon
intensities. In general, fuels produced
from wastes or by-products such as UCO
or tallow have lower carbon intensity
values under these programs and thus
generate greater credits relative to virgin
vegetable oils such as soybean oil and
canola oil. In recent years additional
States such as Oregon, Washington, and
New Mexico have adopted programs
that similarly provide higher incentives
for fuels with lower carbon intensity.
While these State programs do not
explicitly favor imported fuels and/or
feedstocks over domestic fuels and
feedstocks, most of the available waste
and by-product feedstocks such as UCO
79 USDA, ‘‘Biofuel Mandates in the EU by
Member State—2024,’’ June 27, 2024.
80 European Commission, ‘‘European Commission
to Examine Allegations of Unfairly Traded
Biodiesel from China,’’ December 20, 2023. https://
policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/news/europeancommission-examine-allegations-unfairly-tradedbiodiesel-china-2023-12-20_en.
81 Reuters, ‘‘EU to Set Tariffs on Chinese
Biodiesel in Anti-Dumping Probe,’’ July 19, 2024.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eu-settariffs-chinese-biodiesel-imports-anti-dumpingprobe-2024-07-19.
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and tallow available in the U.S. are
already being used for biofuel
production. The nature of these
programs has likely played a role in
biofuel producers seeking to import
UCO and tallow from foreign countries
rather than increasing their use of
domestic soybean oil to maximize their
generation of credits under these
programs.
Changes to the RFS program have also
contributed to the observed increase in
feedstock imports. In December 2022,
EPA approved generally applicable
pathways for certain fuels, including
renewable diesel, that are produced
from qualifying canola oil.82 The ability
for renewable diesel producers to
generate RINs for renewable diesel
produced from canola oil created a new
demand for canola oil in the U.S.
Together, the trends and policy
factors described above collectively
contributed to increasing imports of
BBD feedstocks since 2021. We discuss
the impact of these dynamics, and a
proposed response to them in the RFS
program, in Section VIII.
e. Summary
BBD (including biodiesel, renewable
diesel, and renewable jet fuel) has been
the fastest growing category of
renewable fuel in the RFS program since
2021, with nearly all of the growth
coming from renewable diesel. While
the domestic supply of BBD feedstocks
continues to grow, in recent years
imported BBD and BBD produced from
imported feedstocks have accounted for
an increasing share of the total supply
of BBD. BBD production capacity
currently exceeds actual production and
imports of these fuels by a significant
margin, and ongoing investment is
expected to result in significantly higher
production capacity in future years,
particularly for renewable diesel and
renewable jet fuel. Further, because of
the high blending rates for BBD in
general and renewable diesel in
particular, the use of BBD in the U.S. is
unlikely to be constrained by limitations
related to the ability to distribute these
fuels or consume them in existing and
future diesel engines.
In the absence of constraints related to
the production capacity and the ability
for the market to distribute and use
BBD, the factors most likely to have the
largest impact on the quantity of BBD
required under the RFS program—in
light of our analysis of the statutory
factors—is the availability of affordable
qualifying feedstocks, competition for
those feedstocks for other uses, and
competition for them abroad. The
82 87
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sources of the feedstocks used to
produce BBD also indirectly impact
other factors, as the environmental and
economic impacts of supplying
additional volumes of BBD to the U.S.
differ depending on the feedstocks used
to produce the BBD and the likely
alternative use of those feedstocks. For
example, the projected economic and
environmental impacts of increasing
BBD production vary depending on
whether the feedstock used to produce
the BBD was UCO that would not
otherwise have been collected, soybean
oil from additional production and
processing of soybeans, or the diversion
of feedstocks or biofuels that would
otherwise have been used in other
countries.
quantity approximately equal to our
projection of the potential for growth in
waste and byproduct feedstocks such as
UCO and tallow, primarily from foreign
sources. The high growth scenario
increases the supply of BBD by 1 billion
RINs each year, a quantity
approximately equal to our projection of
the potential growth for waste and
byproduct feedstocks (primarily
imported) and potential growth in virgin
vegetable oil production that could be
available to biofuel producers from the
U.S. and Canada. These two scenarios
are summarized in Table III.B.2.e–1 (in
billion RINs) and III.B.e–2 (in billion
gallons). More detail on the
development of these scenarios can be
found in DRIA Chapters 3 and 6.
In developing the volume scenarios
for analysis in this action, we have
therefore not attempted to identify the
absolute maximum quantity of BBD that
could be produced utilizing all
potentially available production
capacity and used in the U.S. Instead,
we have developed two volume
scenarios that reflect different growth
rates for the quantity of BBD used in the
U.S. based on our projections of the
potential growth in available feedstocks.
Both scenarios start with an updated
projection of the supply of BBD to the
U.S. which reflects the expected market
conditions for 2025 based on the most
recent available data at the time these
scenarios were developed.83 The low
growth scenario increases the supply of
BBD by 500 million RINs each year, a
TABLE III.B.2.e–1—BBD VOLUME SCENARIOS
[Billion RINs]
Scenario
2025
Low Growth ......................................................................
High Growth .....................................................................
2026
7.91
7.91
2027
8.41
8.91
2028
8.91
9.91
2029
9.41
10.91
2030
9.91
11.91
10.41
12.91
TABLE III.B.2.e–2—BBD VOLUME SCENARIOS
[Billion gallons]
Scenario
2025
Low Growth ......................................................................
High Growth .....................................................................
3. Other Advanced Biofuel
In addition to BBD, other renewable
fuels that qualify as advanced biofuel
have been consumed in the U.S. in the
past and are expected to contribute to
compliance with applicable RFS volume
requirements in the future. These other
advanced biofuels include imported
sugarcane ethanol, domestically
produced advanced ethanol, RNG used
in CNG/LNG vehicles not produced
from cellulosic biomass, and heating oil,
naphtha, and renewable diesel that does
not qualify as BBD.84 However, these
biofuels have been consumed in much
smaller quantities than biodiesel and
2026
5.08
5.08
2027
5.39
5.70
renewable diesel in the past or have
been highly variable.
To estimate the volumes of these
other advanced biofuels that may be
available in 2026–2030, we used the
same general methodology as in the Set
1 Rule, which EPA originally presented
in the Set 1 Rule. We projected the
supply of these other advanced biofuels
by including data on the supply of these
fuels from 2023 (the most recent data
available at the time the volume
scenarios were defined). This
methodology addresses the historical
variability in these categories of
advanced biofuel while recognizing that
consumption in more recent years is
likely to provide a better basis for
2028
5.70
6.33
2029
6.01
6.95
2030
6.33
7.58
6.64
8.20
making future projections than
consumption in earlier years.
Specifically, we applied a weighting
scheme to historical volumes wherein
the weighting was higher for more
recent years and lower for earlier years.
The result of this approach is shown in
Table III.B.3–1. Details of the derivation
of these estimates can be found in RIA
Chapter 5.4. As the available data varies
significantly from year to year, it does
not allow us to identify an upward or
downward trend in the historical
consumption of these other advanced
biofuels. Therefore, we have used the
volumes in Table III.B.3–1 for all years
in the volume scenarios for analysis
(i.e., 2026–2030).
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TABLE III.B.3–1—ESTIMATE OF ANNUAL CONSUMPTION OF OTHER ADVANCED (D5) BIOFUEL
[Million RINs] a
Fuel
Volume
Imported sugarcane ethanol ..........................................................................................................................................................
Domestic ethanol ...........................................................................................................................................................................
83 Note that the quantity of BBD expected to be
supplied in 2025 based on the available data (7.91
billion RINs) is significantly higher than the
quantity of BBD projected to be used in 2025 in the
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Set 1 Rule (6.88 billion RINs). See DRIA Chapter 7.2
for more detail on the projected BBD supply for
2025.
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84 Renewable diesel produced through
coprocessing vegetable oils or animal fats with
petroleum cannot be categorized as BBD but
remains advanced biofuel. 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(1).
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TABLE III.B.3–1—ESTIMATE OF ANNUAL CONSUMPTION OF OTHER ADVANCED (D5) BIOFUEL—Continued
[Million RINs] a
Fuel
Volume
CNG/LNG .......................................................................................................................................................................................
Heating oil ......................................................................................................................................................................................
Naphtha b .......................................................................................................................................................................................
Renewable diesel c ........................................................................................................................................................................
6
3
43
111
Total ........................................................................................................................................................................................
249
a This
table does not include fuels that qualify as cellulosic biofuel or BBD.
b While renewable naphtha is generally a co-product of renewable diesel production, the supply of renewable naphtha has not increased in line
with the observed increases in renewable diesel production.
c Includes renewable diesel that is co-processed with petroleum, which does not qualify as BBD.
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4. Conventional Renewable Fuel
Conventional renewable fuel includes
any renewable fuel that is made from
renewable biomass as defined in 40 CFR
80.1401, does not qualify as advanced
biofuel (including cellulosic biofuel and
BBD), and meets one of the following
criteria:
• Is demonstrated to achieve a
minimum 20 percent reduction in
lifecycle GHG emissions in comparison
to the gasoline or diesel which it
displaces; or
• Is exempt (‘‘grandfathered’’) from
the 20 percent minimum GHG reduction
requirement due to having been
produced in a facility or facility
expansion that commenced construction
on or before December 19, 2007, as
described in 40 CFR 80.1403 and
pursuant to CAA section 211(o)(2)(A)(i).
Under the statute, there is no volume
requirement for conventional renewable
fuel. Instead, conventional renewable
fuel may fill that portion of the total
renewable fuel volume requirement that
is not required to be advanced biofuel.
In some cases, this portion of the total
renewable fuel requirement that can be
met with conventional renewable fuel is
referred to as an ‘‘implied’’ volume
requirement. However, obligated parties
are not required to comply with it per
se, since any portion of it can be met
with advanced biofuel volumes
exceeding what is needed to meet the
advanced biofuel volume requirement.
To project volumes of conventional
renewable fuel for 2026–2030, we
focused primarily on projecting volumes
of corn ethanol consumed via motor
gasoline use across all gasoline blends
with varying concentrations of ethanol
(i.e., E10, E15, E85). We also
investigated potential volumes of nonadvanced biodiesel and renewable
diesel.
a. Corn Ethanol
Ethanol made from corn starch has
dominated the renewable fuels market
on a volume basis in the past and is
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expected to continue to do so for the
years addressed by this rulemaking.85
Corn starch ethanol is prohibited by
CAA section 211(i)(1)(B)(i) from being
an advanced biofuel regardless of its
lifecycle GHG emissions performance in
comparison to gasoline.
Total domestic corn ethanol
production capacity increased
dramatically between 2005 and 2010
and increased at a slower rate thereafter.
As of early 2024, domestic corn ethanol
production capacity exceeded 18 billion
gallons.86 87 Actual production of corn
ethanol in the U.S. was approximately
16.2 billion gallons in 2024, up from
approximately 15.6 billion gallons in
2023.88
The expected annual rate of future
commercial production of corn ethanol
will continue to be driven primarily by
gasoline demand in 2026–2030, as most
gasoline is expected to continue to
contain 10 percent ethanol during this
period. Commercial production of corn
ethanol is also a function of exports of
ethanol and the demand for E0, E15,
and E85. There is evidence that some
fuel retailers sell higher volumes of E15
than E10, leveraging lower prices at the
pump and marketing higher-level
ethanol blends to their customers as a
cheaper fuel option with only negligible
effects on fuel economy (a 1–2 percent
85 Conventional ethanol from feedstocks other
than corn starch have been produced in the past,
but at significantly lower volumes. Production of
ethanol from grain sorghum reached 125 million
gallons in 2019, representing just less than 1
percent of all conventional ethanol in that year;
grain sorghum ethanol in 2024 was only 46 million
gallons. Waste industrial ethanol and ethanol made
from non-cellulosic portions of separated food
waste have been produced more sporadically and
at even lower volumes. These other sources do not
materially affect our assessment of volumes of
conventional ethanol that can be produced.
86 Renewable Fuels Association, ‘‘2024 Ethanol
Industry Outlook,’’ February 19, 2024.
87 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Fuel Ethanol Plant Production
Capacity,’’ Petroleum & Other Liquids, August 15,
2024. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/
ethanolcapacity.
88 EIA, ‘‘Monthly Energy Review,’’ Total Energy,
March 2025. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/
monthly/archive/00352503.pdf.
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reduction compared to E10). In addition
to government incentives, industry-led
efforts such as Prime-the-Pump have
enjoyed great success in growing
markets for higher ethanol gasoline
blends by providing technical and
financial assistance to fuel retailers.89
Acknowledging the potential for growth
in these fuel markets, we have
incorporated projected growth in
opportunities for sales of E15 and E85
blends into our assessment.
Despite this steady growth, there
remains excess of production capacity
of ethanol and corn feedstock in
comparison to the ethanol volumes that
we estimate will be consumed
domestically during 2026–2030, given
constraints on U.S. ethanol
consumption as described in Section
III.B.5. Thus, as was the case with the
Set 1 Rule, we do not expect production
capacity to be a limiting factor for
meeting the volume scenarios analyzed
in this action.
b. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel
Other than corn ethanol, the only
other conventional renewable fuels that
have been used at significant levels in
the U.S. in recent years have been
conventional biodiesel and renewable
diesel. Conventional biodiesel and
renewable diesel are produced at
facilities grandfathered under 40 CFR
80.1403 because there are no currently
valid RIN-generating pathways for their
production. Almost all conventional
biodiesel and renewable diesel
historically used in the U.S. was
imported, with the only exceptions
being less than 15 million gallons per
year produced domestically between
2014 and 2024. The use of conventional
biodiesel and renewable diesel did grow
marginally in 2024 after a period of very
low volume (less than 1 million gallons
per year from 2018–2022), though the
overall supply remained negligible (less
than 0.1 percent of total biofuel supply
89 Transportation Energy Institute, ‘‘The Case of
E15,’’ February 2018.
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reflected by measuring the observed
poolwide ethanol concentration.
Ethanol concentration across the entire
gasoline pool can exceed 10 percent
only insofar as the incremental ethanol
in E15 and E85 volumes more than
offsets the lack of ethanol in E0 volume.
Poolwide ethanol concentration
increased dramatically from 2003
through 2010 and has continued to grow
more slowly since 2010. As the average
ethanol concentration approached and
then exceeded 10 percent, the gasoline
pool became saturated with E10, with a
small, likely stable volume of E0 and
small but gradually increasing volumes
of E15 and E85. We expect this trend to
continue during 2026–2030.
to the U.S.). While some sparse
generation of D6 RINs 90 for these fuels
have been observed in recent years,
nearly all these RINs were retired for
being designated for use in any
application other than transportation
fuel and therefore do not represent
qualifying fuel under the RFS program.
As discussed in DRIA Chapter 7.7, there
exists much greater potential for
domestic production and use of
conventional biodiesel and renewable
diesel than has actually been supplied
in prior years, suggesting the use of
these fuels in the U.S. is largely a
function of domestic demand versus
other markets. While there exists some
potential for growth across the period
covered by this proposed rule, we are
not projecting any increased volumes of
these fuels will be used in 2026–2030.
For this action, new volume data from
USDA’s Higher Blends Infrastructure
Incentive Program (HBIIP) 91 and
additional volume data acquired
directly from six States with high
volumes of higher-level ethanol blends
(California, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota,
New York, and North Dakota) has
enabled a data-driven, bottom-up
approach to projecting ethanol volumes
into the future that differs from the way
these projections were calculated in
previous years.92 In the Set 1 Rule, we
projected ethanol concentration in the
national gasoline pool using a leastsquares regression model using thencurrent E15 and E85 fueling station
population data.93 This was due to lack
of data and a subsequent inability to
aggregate sales volumes by ethanol
volume at the retail fuel station level.
Now, greater availability of sales volume
data from the six aforementioned States,
HBIIP, and industry partners has
enabled an updated and simplified
methodology for producing the ethanol
volume projections in this action.
Using the average sales of each
gasoline-ethanol blend per retail fueling
station, as well as updated station
populations from DOE’s Alternative
Fuels Data Center (AFDC) 94 and the
California Air Resources Board
(CARB) 95 for 2021–2023, we produced
90 The D codes given for each component category
are defined in 40 CFR 80.1425(g). D codes are used
to identify the statutory categories that can be
fulfilled with each component category according to
40 CFR 80.1427(a)(2). D6 RINs satisfy only the
‘‘renewable fuel’’ category.
91 USDA, ‘‘Higher Blends Infrastructure Incentive
Program,’’ May 2023. https://www.rd.usda.gov/
hbiip.
92 See DRIA Chapter 7.5.1 for more information
on our projections of ethanol concentration in the
gasoline pool.
93 See ‘‘Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program:
Standards for 2023–2025 and Other Changes
Regulatory Impact Analysis,’’ EPA–420–R–23–015,
June 2023 (‘‘RFS Set 1 RIA’’), Chapter 7.5.1.
94 AFDC, ‘‘Historical Alternative Fueling Station
Counts.’’ https://afdc.energy.gov/stations/states.
95 CARB, ‘‘Annual E85 Volumes,’’ April 11, 2025.
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5. Ethanol Consumption
Ethanol consumption in the U.S. is
dominated by E10, with higher-level
ethanol blends such as E15 and E85
being used in much smaller quantities.
The total volume of ethanol that can be
consumed—including ethanol produced
from corn, grain sorghum, cellulosic
biomass, the non-cellulosic portions of
separated food waste, and sugarcane—is
a function of demand for these three
ethanol blends and for E0. The
distribution of consumption for these
different gasoline blends is best
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forecasts of expected growth in station
counts and throughputs out to 2030 for
each gasoline-ethanol blend other than
E10. We then used these forecasts to
project the total fuel volume for these
gasoline-ethanol blends (E0, E15, and
E85) for 2026–2030 using the following
relation: for gasoline-ethanol blends at
each concentration, the total fuel
volume consumed in any given year is
equal to the product of the number of
retail fueling stations offering that blend
for sale and the volume of that fuel
blend sold at a fueling station (i.e.,
throughput) on average during that year.
Finally, we projected E10 as the
remainder of the gasoline pool, after
accounting for the projected volumes of
E0, E15, and E85.
Total ethanol consumption is the sum
of ethanol blended with gasoline (E0) to
create E10, E15, and E85.96 The ethanol
25807
portion of the projected total
consumption for each fuel blend (i.e.,
total ethanol consumption) is shown in
Table III.B.5–1. While we project that
the ethanol concentration in the
gasoline pool will increase in future
years, total ethanol consumption is
projected to decrease due to decreases
in total gasoline consumption in future
years.
TABLE III.B.5–1—PROJECTED ETHANOL CONCENTRATION AND CONSUMPTION
Projected ethanol
concentration
(%)
Year
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2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
.....................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................
.....................................................................................................................
10.54
10.58
10.60
10.67
10.71
C. Volume Scenarios for 2026–2030
Based on the analyses described in
Section III.B, we developed two
different volume scenarios for 2026–
2030 that we then used to analyze the
expected impacts of the statutory
factors. This section describes the
volume scenarios, while Section IV
summarizes the results of the analyses
we performed. The volumes we are
proposing in this action based on the
analysis of the statutory factors are
described in Section V.
Both of the volume scenarios
developed for this action represent
growth in the advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel categories relative to the
volume of these fuels we expect to be
supplied in 2025. Further, both
scenarios are identical in the quantities
of cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel
other than BBD, and conventional
renewable fuel we project will be
supplied. Where the scenarios differ is
in the quantity of BBD we project will
be supplied in each year. Throughout
this action we refer to these two
scenarios as the Low Volume Scenario
and the High Volume Scenario (or
collectively, ‘‘the Volume Scenarios’’),
though we note that even the Low
Volume Scenario represents an annual
growth rate of 500 million RINs per year
of BBD.
In developing the Volume Scenarios,
we have considered the implied
volumes for each component category of
renewable fuel (cellulosic biofuel, noncellulosic advanced biofuel, and
conventional renewable fuel) in the
statutory tables through 2022. While
these volumes are not binding on the
volume requirements in future years,
they do provide an indication of
statutory intent. We also considered the
statutory intent of the RFS program to
increase renewable fuel volumes over
time, along with other factors
enumerated in the statute to inform the
proposed volumes.
Given the nested nature of the
statutory renewable fuel categories, we
have largely framed our assessment of
volumes in terms of the component
categories rather than in terms of the
statutory categories (cellulosic biofuel,
advanced biofuel, total renewable fuel).
The statutory categories are those
addressed in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(i)–(iii), and cellulosic and
advanced biofuel are nested within the
overall total renewable fuel category.
The component categories are the
categories of renewable fuels that make
up the statutory categories, but which
are not nested within one another. They
possess distinct economic,
environmental, technological, and other
characteristics relevant to the factors we
must analyze under the statute, making
our focus on them rather than the nested
categories in the statute technically
sound. Finally, an analysis of the
component categories is equivalent to
analyzing the statutory categories, since
doing so would effectively require us to
evaluate the difference between various
statutory categories (e.g., assessing ‘‘the
difference between volumes of
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel’’ instead of assessing ‘‘the volume
of conventional renewable fuel’’),
96 See DRIA Chapter 7.5.1 for a more
comprehensive discussion of the methodology
employed to produce the total ethanol consumption
projection.
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Projected ethanol consumption
(million gallons)
13,993
13,871
13,724
13,558
13,377
adding unnecessary complexity to our
analysis. In any event, were we to frame
our analysis in terms of the statutory
categories, we believe that our
substantive approach and conclusions
would remain materially the same.
1. Cellulosic Biofuel
In determining the cellulosic biofuel
volume scenario, we started by
considering the statutory volume targets
for 2010–2022. The statutory volumes
for cellulosic biofuel increased rapidly,
from 100 million gallons in 2010 to 16
billion gallons in 2022 with the largest
increases in the later years. While
notable on its own, it is even more
notable in comparison to the implied
statutory volumes for the other
renewable fuel volumes. Statutory BBD
volumes did not increase after 2012,
implied conventional renewable fuel
volumes did not increase after 2015, and
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume
increases tapered off in recent years
with a final increment in 2022. Thus,
the clear focus of the statute, and CAA
section 211(o)(1)(E) in particular, by
2022 was on growth in cellulosic biofuel
volumes, which have the greatest GHG
reduction threshold requirement in the
statute.97
This increasing emphasis in the
statute on cellulosic biofuel over time is
likely due to some or all of the following
factors:
• Expectations that cellulosic biofuel
has significant potential to reduce GHG
emissions (cellulosic biofuels are
required to reduce GHG emissions by 60
97 Cf. CAA section 211(o)(1)(B)(i), (D), (2)(A)(i).
See also definition of ‘‘cellulosic biofuel’’ in 40 CFR
80.2.
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percent relative to the gasoline or diesel
fuel they displace);
• That cellulosic biofuel feedstocks
could be produced or collected with
relatively few negative environmental
impacts;
• That the feedstocks would be
comparable or cheaper in cost relative to
other fuel feedstocks, allowing for lower
cost biofuels to be produced than those
produced from feedstocks without other
primary uses such as food; and
• That the technological
breakthroughs needed to convert
cellulosic feedstocks into biofuel were
likely imminent.
As discussed in Section II.C, CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) requires that
EPA determine the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement such that EPA will
not need to waive the volumes under
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).
The cellulosic biofuel volumes are the
same for both the Low and High Volume
Scenarios and represent the projected
amount of qualifying biofuel expected to
be used as transportation fuel in the
U.S. for 2026–2030, accounting for
incentives provided by the RFS program
and other state and federal programs.
The cellulosic biofuel volume scenario
for 2026–2030 is shown in Table III.C.1–
1. Because the technical, economic, and
regulatory challenges related to
cellulosic biofuel production vary
significantly between the various types
of cellulosic biofuel, we have shown the
volumes for ethanol from corn kernel
fiber and CNG/LNG derived from biogas
separately.
TABLE III.C.1–1—CELLULOSIC BIOFUEL VOLUME SCENARIO
[Million RINs]
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
RNG use as CNG/LNG ........................................................
Ethanol from CKF ................................................................
1,174
124
1,239
123
1,309
122
1,384
120
1,464
119
Total cellulosic biofuel ..................................................
1,298
1,362
1,431
1,504
1,583
2. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
Although there are no volume targets
in the statute for years after 2022, the
statutory volume targets for prior years
represent a useful point of reference in
the consideration of volumes that may
be appropriate for 2026–2030. For noncellulosic advanced biofuel, the implied
statutory requirement in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B) increased in every year
between 2009 and 2019. It then
remained at 4.5 billion gallons for three
years before finally rising to 5.0 billion
gallons in 2022. In the Set 1 Rule, EPA
further increased the implied volume of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel over
the course of three years to a total of
5.95 billion RINs in 2025. However, the
market has outperformed these
standards to date primarily through
higher than anticipated imports of noncellulosic advanced biofuels and their
feedstocks. In recognition of this, the
volumes for non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel in the Volume Scenarios are
higher than the non-cellulosic biofuel
volumes in the Set 1 Rule, starting with
an updated projection of supply for
2025.
For 2026–2030, we anticipate that a
key factor in the growth in the
production of advanced biodiesel and
renewable diesel (the two non-cellulosic
advanced biofuels projected to be
available in the greatest quantities
through 2030) will be the availability of
feedstocks as discussed in Section
III.B.2. In light of the significant
uncertainties related to the supply of
qualifying feedstock in these years, we
developed two scenarios for the
potential supply of advanced biodiesel
and renewable diesel: a low growth
scenario and a high growth scenario.
These two volume scenarios, when
combined with our projection of the
available supply of other advanced
biofuels discussed in Section III.B.3, are
the bases for the two non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volume scenarios that
differentiate the Low Volume Scenario
from the High Volume Scenario.
TABLE III.C.2–1—TOTAL NON-CELLULOSIC ADVANCED BIOFUEL VOLUME SCENARIOS
[Billion RINs]
2025
(Proj.) b
2025
(Set 1) a
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Low Volume Scenario
BBD ....................................................................
Other advanced biofuel ......................................
6.88
0.29
7.91
0.25
8.41
0.25
8.91
0.25
9.41
0.25
9.91
0.25
10.41
0.25
Total con-cellulosic advanced biofuel .........
7.17
8.16
8.66
9.16
9.66
10.16
10.66
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High Volume Scenario
BBD ....................................................................
Other advanced biofuel ......................................
6.88
0.29
7.91
0.25
8.91
0.25
9.91
0.25
10.91
0.25
11.91
0.25
12.91
0.25
Total con-cellulosic advanced biofuel .........
7.17
8.16
9.16
10.16
11.16
12.16
13.16
a Volumes
b Volumes
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of BBD and other advanced biofuels projected to be used in 2025 based on data available through May 2024.
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3. Conventional Renewable Fuel
The conventional renewable fuel
volume scenario represents the volume
of these fuels we project would be
supplied to the market when
considering the incentives that could be
available through the RFS program and
other state and national incentives.
Since the supply of ethanol is projected
to be limited by the ability for the
market to consume ethanol in gasoline
blends, the supply of conventional
ethanol from 2026–2030 can be
estimated from the total ethanol
consumption projections from Table
III.B.5–1 and our projections for other
25809
forms of ethanol as discussed earlier in
this section. Our projected volumes of
ethanol consumption are presented in
Table III.C.3–1. We do not currently
project that non-ethanol conventional
renewable fuels will be supplied to the
U.S. under the RFS program in 2026–
2030.
TABLE III.C.3–1—ETHANOL CONSUMPTION VOLUME SCENARIO
[Million gallons]
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
Cellulosic ethanol .................................................................
Imported sugarcane ethanol ................................................
Domestic advanced ethanol ................................................
Conventional ethanol ...........................................................
126
58
28
13,781
125
58
28
13,660
124
58
28
13,514
122
58
28
13,350
120
58
28
13,170
Total ethanol consumption ...........................................
13,993
13,871
13,724
13,558
13,377
4. Summary
Many of the factors we are statutorily
obligated to analyze under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) when setting volume
standards for the RFS program are
difficult to analyze in the abstract,
particularly those related to economic
and environmental impacts. For this
reason, we opted to develop volume
scenarios to analyze for each category of
renewable fuel, which are summarized
in Tables III.C.4–1 and 2. Note that
neither of these volume scenarios
include the impacts of the proposed
import RIN reduction provisions
described in Section VIII.
TABLE III.C.4–1—LOW VOLUME SCENARIO
[Million RINs]
2026
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-based diesel (D4) ..................................................
Other advanced biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) .......................................
2027
1,298
8,410
249
13,783
2028
1,362
8,910
249
13,662
1,431
9,410
249
13,516
2029
1,504
9,910
249
13,352
2030
1,583
10,410
249
13,172
TABLE III.C.4–2—HIGH VOLUME SCENARIO
[Million RINs]
2026
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-based diesel (D4) ..................................................
Other advanced biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) .......................................
To inform the volumes we are
proposing for 2026 and 2027, we
analyzed these volume scenarios
according to the factors required under
the statute in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii). A summary of several of
these analyses is described in Section IV
and discussed in greater detail in the
DRIA. Details of the individual biofuel
types and feedstocks that make up these
volume scenarios are provided in the
DRIA Chapter 3. In Section V, we
discuss the proposed volume
requirements based on a consideration
of all the factors that we analyzed.
D. Baselines
To estimate the impacts of the
Volume Scenarios, we must identify an
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2027
1,298
8,910
249
13,783
1,362
9,910
249
13,662
appropriate baseline(s). The baseline
reflects the use of renewable fuels
absent the proposed action or RFS
program (i.e., the alternative collection
of biofuel volumes by feedstock,
production process (where appropriate),
biofuel type, and use that would be
anticipated to occur after 2025 in the
absence of proposed standards), and
acts as the point of reference for
assessing the impacts. To this end, we
have developed a ‘‘No RFS’’ scenario
that we used as the baseline for
analytical purposes (hereafter the ‘‘No
RFS Baseline’’), which reflects a world
without the RFS program. Many of the
same supply-related factors that we
used to develop the Volume Scenarios
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2028
1,431
10,910
249
13,516
2029
1,504
11,910
249
13,352
2030
1,583
12,910
249
13,172
were also relevant in developing the No
RFS Baseline.
We also consider a 2025 baseline that
in some cases may be more informative
in understanding the impacts of the
Volume Scenarios relative to the status
quo. We further discuss alternative
baselines to describe our reasoning for
the public and interested stakeholders,
and because we understand there are
differing, informative baselines that
could be used in this type of analysis.
1. No RFS Baseline
Broadly speaking, the RFS program is
designed to increase the use of
renewable fuels in the transportation
sector beyond what would occur in the
absence of the program. It is
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appropriate, therefore, to use a scenario
representing what would occur if the
RFS program did not continue to exist
as the baseline for estimating the costs
and impacts of the Volume Scenarios.
Such a ‘‘No RFS’’ baseline is consistent
with the Office of Management and
Budget’s Circular A–4, which says that
the appropriate baseline would
normally ‘‘be a ‘no action’ baseline:
what the world will be like if the
proposed rule is not adopted.’’ 98
Importantly, a ‘‘No RFS’’ baseline
would not be equivalent to a market
scenario wherein no renewable fuels
were used at all. Prior to the RFS
program, both biodiesel and ethanol
were used in the transportation sector,
whether due to state or local incentives,
tax credits, or a price advantage over
conventional petroleum-based gasoline
and diesel. This same situation would
exist in 2026–20230 in the absence of
the RFS program. Federal, State, and
local tax credits, incentives, and support
payments will continue to be in place
for these fuels, as well as State programs
such as blending mandates and LCFS
programs. Furthermore, now that capital
investments in renewable fuels have
been made and markets have been
oriented towards their use, there are
strong incentives in place for continuing
their use even if the RFS program were
to disappear. As a result, it would be
improper and inaccurate to attribute all
use of renewable fuel in 2026–2030 to
the applicable standards under the RFS
program.
To inform our assessment of the
volume of renewable fuels that would
be used in the absence of the RFS
program for the years 2026–2030, we
began by analyzing the trends in the
economics for renewable fuels blending
in prior years. Assessing these trends is
important because the economics for
blending renewable fuels changes from
year to year based on renewable fuel
feedstock and petroleum product prices
and other factors that affect the relative
economics for blending renewable fuels
into petroleum-based transportation
fuels. A renewable fuel facility investor
and the financiers who fund their
projects will review the historical (e.g.,
did they lose money in a previous year),
current, and perceived future economics
of the renewable fuel market when
deciding whether to continue to operate
their renewable fuel facilities, and our
analysis attempted to account for these
factors.
The No RFS Baseline economic
analysis for 2026–2030 compares the
projected renewable fuel cost with the
98 Office Management and Budget, ‘‘Circular A–
4,’’ September 17, 2003.
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projected cost for the fossil fuel it
displaces, at the point that the
renewable fuel is blended with the fossil
fuel, to assess whether the renewable
fuel provides an economic advantage to
blenders. The comparison is performed
at the point that the renewable fuel is
blended with the fossil fuel to assess
whether the renewable fuel provides an
economic advantage to blenders. If the
renewable fuel is lower cost than the
fossil fuel it displaces, it is assumed that
the renewable fuel would be used
absent the RFS program (within the
constraints described below). The No
RFS Baseline economic analysis that we
conducted mirrors the cost analysis
described in Section IV.C, but there are
several differences. The primary
difference is that the No RFS Baseline
economic analysis was conducted from
the fuels industry’s perspective,
whether they would find it
economically advantageous to blend
renewable fuel into petroleum fuel in
the absence of the RFS program.
Conversely, the social cost analysis
reflects the overall cost impacts on
society at large.99 A primary example of
a social cost not considered for the No
RFS Baseline economic analysis is the
fuel economy effect due to the lower
energy density of the renewable fuel, as
this cost is generally borne by
consumers, not the fuels industry. Other
ways that the No RFS Baseline
economic analysis is different from the
social cost analysis include:
• In the context of assessing
production costs, we amortized the
capital costs at a higher rate of return
more typical for industry investment
instead of the rate of return used for
social costs.
• We assessed renewable fuel
distribution costs to the point where it
is blended into petroleum fuel, not all
the way to the point of use, which is
necessary for estimating the fuel
economy cost.100
• While we generally do not account
for the fuel economy disadvantage of
most renewable fuels for the No RFS
Baseline economic analysis, the
exception is E85 where the lower fuel
economy of using E85 is so obvious to
vehicle owners that they demand a
lower price to make up for this loss of
99 See Section IV.C and DRIA Chapter 10 for
descriptions of the social cost analysis.
100 For several renewable fuels (e.g., ethanol
blended as E10, biodiesel, and renewable diesel),
the fuel economy cost is paid by the consumer.
Because it is the fuels industry (i.e., refiners,
terminals, and retailers) that decides whether to
blend renewable fuels into petroleum fuels, they are
only concerned about the relative cost at the point
in which the renewable fuel is blended into the
petroleum fuel, not the costs downstream of that
blending point.
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fuel economy. As a result, retailers must
price E85 lower than the primary
alternative E10 to account for this bias
and they must consider this in their
decisions to blend and sell E85.101
To estimate the relative cost of a
renewable fuel compared to the fossil
fuel being displaced, we considered
several different cost components (i.e.,
production cost, distribution cost, any
blending cost, retail cost) together to
reflect the relative cost of each
renewable fuel to its respective fossil
fuel. We also considered any applicable
federal or state programs, incentives, or
subsidies that could reduce the apparent
blending cost of the renewable fuel at
the terminal, including the 45Z credit.
The exact amount of credit under 45Z
is more variable and depends on a range
of factors. However, generally speaking,
the amount of credit that fuel producers
are able to claim under 45Z is less than
the previous $1 per gallon credit that
biodiesel and renewable diesel
producers were able to claim under
40A.102 In the case of higher ethanol
blends, the retail cost associated with
the equipment or use of compatible
materials needed to enable the sale of
these newer fuels is assumed to be
reduced by 50 percent due to the HBIIP
program.
In addition, there are a number of
State programs that create subsidies for
biodiesel and renewable diesel fuel, the
largest being offered by California and
Oregon through their LCFS programs.103
We accounted for State and local
biodiesel mandates by including their
mandated volume regardless of the
economics. Several States offer tax
credits for blending ethanol at 10
percent. Other States offer tax credits for
E85, of which the largest is New York.
We are not aware of any State tax credits
or subsidies for E15.104 To account for
the various State assumptions, it was
necessary to model the cost of using
these biofuels on a State-by-State basis.
For most renewable fuels, the
economic analysis provided consistent
results, indicating that they are either
101 See DRIA Chapter 2 for further discussion of
this topic.
102 See DRIA Chapter 1 for a further discussion
of the 45Z tax credit.
103 At the time the analysis for the No RFS
Baseline was completed, there was insufficient data
to project the impacts of LCFS programs in New
Mexico on biofuel consumption in these states in
the absence of the RFS program.
104 In light of the fluid situation with respect to
a 1-psi RVP waiver for E15 or actions to remove the
1-psi wavier for E10 in eight midwestern states, our
analysis did not specifically assume either of these
potential changes. These assumptions can affect the
relative cost of E15; however, adopting these
assumptions would not have impacted the overall
conclusions with respect to blending E15 in the
absence of the RFS program.
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economical in all years or are not
economical in any year. However, this
was not true for biodiesel and renewable
diesel, where the results varied from
year to year. Such swings in the
economic attractiveness of biodiesel and
renewable diesel confound efforts on
the part of investors to project future
returns on their investments to
determine whether to continue to
operate their facilities, or shutdown.
Thus, to smooth out the swings in the
economics for using biodiesel and
renewable diesel and look at it the way
facility operators and their investors
would have in the absence of the RFS
program, we made two key
assumptions. First, the economics for
biodiesel and renewable diesel were
modeled starting in 2009 and the trend
in its use was made dependent on the
relative economics in comparison to
petroleum diesel over distinct four-year
periods. As a result, the first four-year
period modeled the costs over 2009–
2012 to estimate the volume of biodiesel
and renewable diesel that would be
used in 2012 in the absence of the RFS
program. Second, the estimated
biodiesel and renewable diesel volumes
were limited in the analysis to no
greater volume than what occurred
under the RFS program in any year,
since the existence of the RFS program
25811
would be expected to create a much
greater incentive for using these fuels
than if the RFS program was not in
place.
We also conducted an economic
analysis for cellulosic biofuels,
including cellulosic ethanol, corn kernel
fiber ethanol, and biogas. Since the
volumes of these biofuels were much
smaller, a more generalized approach
was used in lieu of the detailed state-bystate analysis conducted for corn
ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable diesel
fuel.
The No RFS Baseline for 2026–2030 is
summarized in Table III.D.1–1.105
TABLE III.D.1–1—NO RFS BASELINE
[Million RINs]
2026
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-based diesel (D4) ..................................................
Other advanced biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) .......................................
2027
582
3,156
197
13,571
2028
619
3,310
197
13,434
659
3,429
197
13,278
2029
702
3,614
197
13,099
2030
749
3,753
197
12,906
Our analysis shows that conventional
ethanol is economical to use in 10
percent blends (E10) without the
presence of the RFS program.
Conversely, higher-level ethanol blends
are only partially economic without the
RFS program. E85 is economic in some
of the years before, during, and after the
years 2026–2030 in the State of
California; 106 thus, we assumed that
E85 would be consumed in California
without the RFS program.107 While E85
is economic in New York, which offers
a large E85 blending subsidy, the
volume of E85 sold in New York is very
small even with the RFS program in
place; therefore, we ignored E85 sales in
New York. Conversely E15 is not
economic without the RFS program due
to the high cost associated with the
equipment needed to be installed at
retail stations, even if these costs are
partially subsidized by government
funding, and the lack of octane blending
value. Some volume of biodiesel is
estimated to be blended based on state
mandates in the absence of the RFS
program, and some additional volume of
both biodiesel and renewable diesel is
estimated to be economical to use
without the RFS program, particularly
in California and Oregon due to the
LCFS incentives. The volumes of CNG
from biogas and imported sugarcane
ethanol are projected to be consumed in
California due to the economic support
provided by their LCFS.
The applicable volume requirements
established for one year under the RFS
program do not roll over automatically
to the next, nor do the volume
requirements that apply in one year
become the default volume
requirements for the following year in
the event that no volume requirements
are set for that following year.
Nevertheless, the volume requirements
established for the previous year
represent the most recent set of volume
requirements that the market was
required to meet.
Since the previous year’s volume
requirements represent the starting
point for any adjustments that the
market may need to make to meet the
next year’s volume requirements, they
represent another informational baseline
for comparison. For this reason, in
previous RFS annual standard-setting
rulemakings we have used previous year
standards as a baseline against which to
compare the projected impacts of the
proposed volumes and are also doing so
here in addition to the No RFS Baseline
for some of the factors (e.g., the cost of
this action). We note that in developing
the proposed volume requirements in
this action, we considered updated
projections of biofuel production in
2025, which are significantly higher
than the 2025 Baseline shown below
that is used as a point of comparison in
some of our analyses.
The 2025 volume requirements were
finalized in the Set 1 Rule and the
volumes we projected to be used to
satisfy these requirements are shown in
Table III.D.3–1.108
105 See DRIA Chapter 2 for a more complete
description of the No RFS Baseline and its
derivation.
106 Our analysis indicated that E85 was also
economic compared to gasoline in Oregon;
however, because there are only five stations
offering E85 in Oregon, we did not include E85 sold
in Oregon in the No RFS Baseline.
107 Since E85 is borderline economic in California
in the No RFS Baseline when we do not assume any
increase in California’s LCFS credit, a likely
increase in the LCFS credit under the No RFS
Baseline increases the certainty that E85 would be
economic. Additionally, we did not consider the
possibility that cellulosic ethanol, which receives a
larger LCFS credit, could be used to produce E85
and may be more economic than corn ethanol.
108 More details on the 2025 Baseline can be
found in DRIA Chapter 2.
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2. 2025 Baseline
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TABLE III.D.3–1—2025 BASELINE
[Million RINs]
Volume
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ..........................................................................................................................................................
Biomass-based diesel (D4) ...........................................................................................................................................................
Other advanced biofuel (D5) .........................................................................................................................................................
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) .................................................................................................................................................
E. Volume Changes Analyzed
In general, our analysis of the impacts
of the Volume Scenarios was based on
the differences between the No RFS
Baseline and our assessment of how the
market would respond to the Low and
High Volume Scenarios. Those
differences are shown in Tables III.E–1
and 2.109 Note that this approach is
squarely focused on the differences in
volumes between the No RFS Baseline
and the Volume Scenarios; our analysis
does not, in other words, assess impacts
from total renewable fuel use in the U.S.
1,376
6,881
290
13,939
As noted above, we also consider the
impacts of this action relative to the
2025 Baseline for some of our analyses.
The changes in renewable fuel
consumption relative to the 2025
Baseline are shown in in Tables III.E–3
and 4.
TABLE III.E–1—CHANGES IN RENEWABLE FUEL CONSUMPTION—LOW VOLUME SCENARIO VS. NO RFS BASELINE
[Million RINs]
2026
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4) .................................................
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) .....................................
2027
716
5,255
52
212
2028
743
5,600
52
228
772
5,981
52
238
2029
2030
802
6,297
52
252
834
6,658
52
266
TABLE III.E–2—CHANGES IN RENEWABLE FUEL CONSUMPTION—HIGH VOLUME SCENARIO VS. NO RFS BASELINE
[Million RINs]
2026
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4) .................................................
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) .....................................
2027
716
5,755
52
212
2028
743
6,600
52
228
772
7,481
52
238
2029
2030
802
8,297
52
252
834
9,158
52
266
TABLE III.E–3—CHANGES IN RENEWABLE FUEL CONSUMPTION—LOW VOLUME SCENARIO VS 2025 BASELINE
[Million RINs]
2026
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4) .................................................
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) .....................................
2027
¥78
1,529
¥41
¥156
2028
¥14
2,029
¥41
¥277
55
2,529
¥41
¥423
2029
2030
128
3,029
¥41
¥587
207
3,529
¥41
¥767
TABLE III.E–4.—CHANGES IN RENEWABLE FUEL CONSUMPTION—HIGH VOLUME SCENARIO VS. 2025 BASELINE
[Million RINs]
2026
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7) ................................................
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4) .................................................
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5) ...............................................
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) .....................................
IV. Analysis of Volume Scenarios
As described in Section II.B, the
statute specifies a number of factors that
EPA must analyze in making a
109 See DRIA Chapter 2 for more details of this
assessment, including a more precise breakout of
those differences.
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determination of the appropriate
volume requirements to establish for
years after 2022 (and for BBD, years
after 2012).110 In this section, we
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provide a summary of the analysis of a
selection of factors, including climate
change, energy security, costs,
employment, and economic impacts for
110 A full description of the analysis for all factors
is provided in the DRIA.
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the Volume Scenarios, along with some
implications of those analyses. We
provide a summary of our consideration
of all factors in determining the
proposed volume requirements in
Section V.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
A. Energy Security
Changes in the required volumes of
renewable fuel can affect the financial
and security-related risks associated
with U.S. trade in crude oil and
petroleum products, including both
imports and exports (hereafter referred
to collectively as ‘‘net petroleum
imports’’), which, in turn, would have a
direct impact on the national energy
security of the U.S. Likewise, the
required volumes of renewable fuel may
lead to changes in imports and exports
of renewable fuels and renewable fuel
feedstocks that can also impact U.S.
energy security.
U.S. energy security is often defined
as the continued availability of energy
sources at an acceptable price.111 Energy
independence can be achieved by
reducing the sensitivity or reliance of an
economy to energy imports and foreign
energy markets to the point where the
costs of depending on foreign energy are
so small that they have minimal effects
on economic, military, or foreign
policies.112 A central goal of U.S. energy
policy for decades has been to lower
U.S. oil imports and, thus, become less
reliant on foreign oil suppliers.
Similarly, as described in Section VIII,
we are also proposing to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks,
which is intended to reduce America’s
reliance on such fuels in future years
consistent with the statutory goals of
energy security and independence.
The U.S. has witnessed a significant
change in its exposure to the world oil
market since the initiation of the RFS2
program in 2010, which has
implications for U.S. energy security. In
2010, U.S. net imports of petroleum
were roughly 9.4 million barrels a day
(MMBD).113 However, over the past
decade, mainly as a result of the
increased domestic production of oil,
particularly ‘‘tight’’ (i.e., shale) oil, as
well as increases in renewable fuels, the
U.S. has gradually shifted from a large
111 IEA, ‘‘Energy Security.’’ https://www.iea.org/
topics/energy-security.
112 Greene, David L. ‘‘Measuring Energy Security:
Can the United States Achieve Oil Independence?’’
Energy Policy 38, no. 4 (March 7, 2009): 1614–21.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.01.041.
113 EIA, ‘‘Oil imports and exports,’’ Oil and
petroleum products explained, January 19, 2024.
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-andpetroleum-products/imports-and-exports.php.
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net petroleum importer to a modest net
petroleum exporter.114 By 2023, U.S. net
petroleum exports were roughly 1.7
MMBD of petroleum.115 For 2026–2030,
EIA anticipates that the U.S. will
continue the long-term shift from being
a large net petroleum importer, as it was
in the 2010 decade, to a modest net
petroleum exporter of roughly 2.4
MMBD.116
In recent years, however, a substantial
quantity of imports of renewable fuels
and renewable fuel feedstocks have
been used to meet the RFS volume
obligations. In particular, there has been
a recent expansion of imports of BBD
feedstocks since 2021, as can be seen in
Figure III.B.2.d–2. This shift, which has
been driven by a confluence of factors
(as discussed in Section III.B.2), can
have implications for the U.S.’s energy
security and energy independence.
Despite the long-term shift in the
U.S.’s net petroleum trade position,
energy security risks remain for the U.S.
There are three main reasons why
energy security is still a concern. First,
oil and renewable fuels and renewable
fuel feedstocks are globally traded
commodities. As a result, price shocks
for these commodities can be
transmitted globally even if a country is
a net exporter of a commodity. For
example, since the U.S. is a large
consumer of oil, an oil price shock
would raise the price of oil and oil
products and could cause broad adverse
effects on the economy, even though the
U.S. is an overall net petroleum
exporter. Second, many U.S. refineries
rely significantly or exclusively on
imports of heavy crude oil, which could
be subject to international supply
disruptions. In 2024, gross petroleum
imports totaled roughly 8.4 MMBD.117
Likewise, there has been an expansion
in imported feedstocks for BBD in
recent years. Third, oil exporters with a
large share of global production can
raise or lower the price of oil by exerting
their market power through the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC) to alter oil supply
relative to demand. All three of the
factors listed above contribute to the
114 EIA, ‘‘Where our oil comes from,’’ Oil and
petroleum products explained, June 11, 2024.
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-andpetroleum-products/where-our-oil-comes-from-indepth.php.
115 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Net Imports of Crude Oil and
Petroleum Products,’’ Petroleum & Other Liquids,
May 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/
LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mttntus2&f=a.
116 AEO2023, Table 11—Petroleum and Other
Liquids Supply and Disposition.
117 EIA, ‘‘U.S. Supply and Disposition,’’
Petroleum & Other Liquids, May 30, 2025. https://
www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_snd_d_nus_
mbblpd_a_cur.htm.
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vulnerability of the U.S. economy to
episodic fuel supply shocks and price
spikes, even though EIA projects the
U.S. will continue to be a net petroleum
exporter through 2026–2030.
Oil markets can be subject to episodic
periods of price instability due to world
oil market disruptions. The most recent
world oil price shock started in the
beginning of 2022, when world oil
prices and price volatility rose fairly
rapidly, in large part as a response to oil
supply concerns with Russia’s invasion
of Ukraine beginning on February 24,
2022.118 For example, the West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price rose
from roughly $76 per barrel on January
3, 2022, to roughly $124 per barrel on
March 8, 2022, a 63 percent increase.119
Conversely, by September 9, 2024, the
WTI crude oil price had fallen back to
$70/barrel, a somewhat lower price than
before the Russian invasion of
Ukraine.120 Oil prices at present are
relatively low mainly because of
projected slowdown in world oil
demand growth, particularly in
China.121 Crude oil prices (i.e., the WTI
crude oil price) are projected to be
mostly flat over 2026–2027, in the $85–
86 per barrel (2022$) range.122
EPA has worked with Oak Ridge
National Laboratory (ORNL) to
understand the energy security
implications of reducing U.S. net
petroleum imports and, more generally,
exposure of the U.S. economy to global
oil markets. ORNL has developed
approaches for evaluating the social
costs/impacts and energy security
implications of oil imports, labeled the
‘‘oil import premium’’ or ‘‘oil security
premium.’’ ORNL’s methodology
estimates two distinct costs/impacts of
importing petroleum into the U.S., in
addition to the purchase price of
petroleum itself: (1) The risk of
reductions in U.S. economic output and
disruption to the U.S. economy caused
by sudden disruptions in the supply of
imported oil to the U.S. (i.e., the
macroeconomic disruption/adjustment
costs); and (2) The impacts that changes
in U.S. net oil imports have on overall
U.S. oil demand and subsequent
118 EIA, ‘‘Crude oil prices increased in first-half
2022 and declined in second-half 2022,’’ Today in
Energy, January 4, 2023. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55079.
119 EIA, ‘‘Spot Prices,’’ Petroleum & Other
Liquids, May 14, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/
pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm.
120 Id.
121 EIA, ‘‘Short-Term Energy Outlook,’’ September
2024. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/archives/
sep24.pdf.
122 AEO2023, Table 12—Petroleum and Other
Liquids Prices.
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changes in the world oil price (i.e., the
‘‘demand’’ or ‘‘monopsony’’ impacts).123
As has been the case for past RFS
rulemakings, we consider the
monopsony impacts estimated by the
ORNL methodology to be a transfer
payment, and thus exclude it from the
estimated quantified benefits of the
Volume Scenarios.124 Thus, we only
consider the macroeconomic
disruption/adjustment cost component
of the net oil import premiums (i.e.,
labeled ‘‘macroeconomic oil security
premiums’’ below) estimated using
ORNL’s methodology.
For this action, EPA and ORNL have
worked together to revise the U.S. oil
import premiums based upon recent
energy security literature and oil price
projections and energy market and
economic trends from AEO2023.125 EPA
and ORNL have continuously updated
oil import premium estimates to
account for increasing domestic shale
oil production, as well as other evolving
U.S. and world oil market trends, since
the RFS2 Rule in 2010. We do not
consider military cost impacts from
reduced oil use from the Volume
Scenarios due to methodological issues
in quantifying these impacts.126
To calculate the energy security
benefits of the Volume Scenarios, we are
using the ORNL macroeconomic oil
security premiums combined with
estimates of annual reductions in U.S.
net petroleum imports attributable to
the changes in renewable fuel
volumes.127 Table IV.A–1 presents the
macroeconomic oil security premiums
and the total energy security benefits for
the Volume Scenarios. The
macroeconomic oil security premiums
range from $3.65 per barrel in 2026 to
$3.92 per barrel in 2030. In terms of
cents per gallon, the macroeconomic oil
security premiums range from 8.6 cents
per gallon in 2026 to 9.3 cents per
gallon in 2030.
TABLE IV.A–1—MACROECONOMIC OIL SECURITY PREMIUMS AND TOTAL UNDISCOUNTED ENERGY SECURITY BENEFITS
FOR THE VOLUME SCENARIOS a
Macroeconomic oil
security premiums
(2022$/barrel of
reduced imports)
Year
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
.............................................................................................
.............................................................................................
.............................................................................................
.............................................................................................
.............................................................................................
a Top
$3.65 ($0.47–$6.89)
3.73 (0.51–7.02)
3.78 (0.51–7.15)
3.87 (0.54–7.31)
3.92 (0.51–7.46)
$138 ($18–$261)
150 (21–283)
162 (22–307)
175 (24–331)
187 (24–357)
Total energy security
benefits—High
Volume Scenario
(millions 2022$)
$151 ($19–$284)
176 (24–331)
201 (27–380)
228 (32–430)
254 (33–484)
values in each cell are the mean values, while the values in parentheses define 90 percent confidence intervals.
• Fuel economy cost: different fuels
have different energy content, leading to
different cost levels of fuel economy,
which impacts the relative fossil fuel
volume being displaced and the cost to
the consumer.
We added these various cost
components together as appropriate for
each renewable fuel to reflect the cost of
that fuel. We conducted a similar cost
estimate for the fossil fuels being
displaced since their relative cost to
biofuels is used to estimate the net cost
of the increased use of biofuels. Unlike
for biofuels, however, we did not
calculate production costs for the fossil
fuels since their production costs are
inherent in the wholesale price
projections provided in AEO2023.128
This section provides a brief
discussion of the methodology used to
estimate the cost impacts for the
renewable fuels expected to be used for
the Volume Scenarios, as well as for the
proposed volume standards, all relative
to the No RFS Baseline. A more detailed
discussion of how we estimated the
renewable fuel costs, as well as the
fossil fuel costs being displaced, can be
found in DRIA Chapter 10.
The cost analysis compared the cost
of biofuels attributable to the RFS
program to the cost of the fossil fuel it
displaces. The net estimated cost
impacts are total social costs, excluding
any subsidies and transfer payments,
and thus are incrementally added to all
other societal costs. They do not include
benefits and other factors, such as the
potential impacts on soil and water
quality or potential GHG reduction
benefits. The cost of each biofuel and
fossil fuel being displaced can be
divided into various subcomponents:
• Production cost: biofuel feedstock
cost is usually the most prominent
factor.
• Distribution cost: because a given
biofuel often has a different energy
density than the petroleum fuel it is
replacing, the distribution costs are
estimated all the way to the point of use
to capture the full fuel economy effect
of using these fuels.
• Blending value: in the case of
ethanol blended as E10, there is a
blending value that mostly incorporates
ethanol’s octane value realized by lower
gasoline production costs, but also a
volatility cost that accounts for ethanol’s
blending volatility in RVP-controlled
gasoline.
• Retail infrastructure cost: in the
case of higher-level ethanol blends,
there is a retail cost since retail stations
usually need to add equipment or use
compatible materials to enable the sale
of these newer fuels.
2. Estimated Cost Impacts
In this section, we summarize the
overall results of our cost analysis based
on changes in the use of renewable fuels
that displace fossil fuel use for the
Volume Scenarios; the costs for the
proposed volume standards are
123 Monopsony impacts stem from changes in the
demand for imported oil, which changes the price
of all imported oil.
124 See DRIA Chapter 6.4.2 for more discussion of
EPA’s assessment of monopsony impacts of this
action. Also, for a discussion of monopsony oil
security premiums, see, e.g., EPA, ‘‘Revised 2023
and Later Model Year Light Duty Vehicle GHG
Emissions Standards: Regulatory Impact Analysis,’’
EPA–420–R–21–028, December 2021, Section 3.2.5.
125 See DRIA Chapter 6.4.2 for how the
macroeconomic oil security premiums have been
updated based upon a review of recent energy
security literature on this topic.
126 See DRIA Chapter 6.3 for a discussion of the
difficulties in quantifying military cost impacts.
127 See DRIA Chapter 6.4.1 for a discussion of the
methodology used to estimate changes in U.S.
annual net petroleum imports from the Volume
Scenarios.
128 Estimating production costs for renewable
fuels facilities is possible because the plants are
generally single purpose production processes
producing a predictable, limited array of feedstocks
into products, while petroleum refineries are each
configured differently and each is refining a
different mix of feedstocks of varying quality and
each refinery is producing a unique number and
volume of products.
B. Costs
1. Methodology
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Total energy security
benefits—Low
Volume Scenario
(millions 2022$)
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summarized in Section V.H.4). The
renewable fuel costs estimated and
presented here and in Section V.H.4 are
the societal costs ultimately borne by
the consumers and do not reflect
transfer payments between parties in the
market (e.g., tax subsidies for renewable
fuels and RFS compliance costs), which
are not relevant under a societal cost
analysis.129 A detailed discussion of the
renewable fuel costs relative to the fossil
fuel costs can be found in DRIA Chapter
10.
Table IV.B.2–1 provides the total
estimated annual cost of the Volume
Scenarios while Table IV.B.2–2 provides
the per-unit cost (e.g., per gallon or per
thousand cubic feet) of the biofuel. For
both the total and per-unit cost, the cost
of the total change in renewable fuel
volume is expressed over the gallons of
the respective fossil fuel in which it is
blended. For example, the costs
associated with corn ethanol relative to
25815
that of gasoline are reflected as a cost
over the entire gasoline pool, and
biodiesel and renewable diesel costs are
reflected as a cost over the diesel fuel
pool. Biogas displaces natural gas use as
CNG in trucks, so it is reported relative
to natural gas supply. Since the entire
gasoline and diesel fuel pool of each
refinery is subject to the RFS program,
we also amortize the entire renewable
fuels cost over the combined gasoline
and diesel fuel pool.
TABLE IV.B.2–1—TOTAL SOCIAL COSTS RELATIVE TO NO RFS BASELINE
[Millions 2022$] a
Low Volumes Scenario
2026
2027
High Volumes Scenario
2026
2027
Gasoline ...........................................................................................................
Diesel ...............................................................................................................
Natural Gas ......................................................................................................
188
5,030
¥150
206
4,436
¥165
188
5,615
¥150
206
5,642
¥165
Total ..........................................................................................................
5,068
4,477
5,653
5,683
a Total
cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is blended into.
TABLE IV.B.2–2—PER-UNIT COSTS RELATIVE TO NO RFS BASELINE
[2022$]
Low Volumes Scenario
High Volumes Scenario
Units
2026
Gasoline ............................................
Diesel ................................................
Natural Gas .......................................
Gasoline and Diesel ..........................
¢/gal ..................................................
¢/gal ..................................................
¢/thousand ft3 ...................................
¢/gal ..................................................
2027
0.14
9.59
¥0.50
2.76
0.16
8.54
¥0.57
2.46
2026
0.14
10.71
¥0.50
3.07
2027
0.16
10.86
¥0.57
3.12
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
a Per-gallon or per thousand cubic feet cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is blended into; the last row expresses the
cost over the obligated pool of gasoline and diesel fuel.
The biofuel costs are higher than the
costs of the gasoline, diesel, and natural
gas that they displace as evidenced by
the increases in fuel costs shown in
Table IV.B.2–2.130 As described more
fully in DRIA Chapter 10, our
assessment of costs did not yield a
specific threshold value below which
the incremental costs of biofuels are
reasonable and above which they are
not. Given the significant inherent
uncertainty in both the crude and
agricultural feedstock price forecasts,
any attempt to identify such a threshold
value is extremely difficult.
Nevertheless, in Section V we consider
the directional cost inferences along
with the other factors that we analyzed
in the context of our discussion of the
proposed volumes for 2026 and 2027.
The costs presented in this section are
solely for the Volume Scenarios relative
to the No RFS Baseline, whereas Section
V.H.4 contains the estimated costs for
the proposed volume standards. DRIA
Chapter 10 contains summaries of the
costs of all the scenarios modeled,
including the Volume Scenarios relative
to the 2025 Baseline, which are not
summarized here.
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) provides
that when determining the applicable
volumes of each renewable fuel category
after the year 2022, EPA shall include
‘‘an analysis of . . . the impact of the
production and use of renewable fuels
on . . . climate change.’’ As such, we
have undertaken an assessment of the
potential climate impacts of volume
standards consistent with the Volume
Scenarios. This analysis considers
impacts of such volume standards for
three years—2026, 2027, and 2028—
relative to the No RFS Baseline.
Cumulative emissions impact
estimates for a thirty-year analytical
time period are presented in Table IV.C–
1. This section of the preamble contains
only a brief synopsis of the results of
our analysis; a full description of the
methods of analysis, models, scenarios,
estimated GHG emissions impacts by
year, and uncertainties considered is
presented in DRIA Chapter 5.
129 Note that in developing the No RFS Baseline
we did consider available subsidies other than
those provided by the RFS program in determining
the volume of renewable fuels that would be used
in the absence of the RFS program.
130 Natural gas shows a cost savings despite the
fact that renewable natural gas is more expensive
than fossil natural gas. This is because the proposed
cellulosic volume standard is estimated to cause a
smaller RNG volume in 2026 and 2027 compared
to either the No RFS Baseline or the 2025 Baseline.
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TABLE IV.C–1—CUMULATIVE NET EMISSIONS THROUGH 2055 FOR THE VOLUME SCENARIOS RELATIVE TO NO RFS
BASELINE
[Millions of metric tons CO2e emissions]
Scenario
Cumulative Emissions
Low Volume .........................................................................................................................................................................
High Volume ........................................................................................................................................................................
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Scenarios in the climate change
analysis produce annual emissions
estimates for a 30-year analytical
scenario duration. Additional
information about analytical methods
for estimating GHG emissions impacts
can be found in DRIA Chapter 5; we
note that the analysis for this
rulemaking relies on an updated
methodology for assessing climate
change impacts under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(I), details of which can
also be found in DRIA Chapter 5. We
request comment on our analysis of the
GHG emissions impacts of the proposed
volume standards, and whether factors
in addition to GHG emissions, such as
other drivers of climate change and
other considerations fitting within the
term ‘‘climate change,’’ are relevant to
the analysis. In addition to requesting
comment on this analysis in general,
including the updated methodology, we
specifically request comment on the
following aspects:
• The methods for evaluating cropbased fuels and waste- and byproductbased fuels.
• The use of economic models for
assessing the potential market-mediated
impacts associated with crop-based
fuels.
• The scenarios used in this analysis,
including the analytical duration, and
assumed future (post-2027) biofuel
consumption levels for both the policy
and baseline scenarios.
D. Jobs and Rural Economic
Development
In this section, we summarize our
estimates of the impacts of the Volume
Scenarios on jobs and rural economic
development (both include direct,
indirect, and induced impacts).131 This
includes details regarding potentially
offsetting impacts to the economy that
may stem from the expansion of
renewable fuels. While we acknowledge
these impacts, an attempt at formally
quantifying or modeling them to
generate an estimate of the net impacts
to the entire U.S. economy is beyond the
scope of this analysis.
To estimate the impacts on jobs, we
applied two analytical approaches
common in the literature. The first is a
basic ‘‘rule-of-thumb’’ type approach
that uses job and income impact
estimates from previous studies,
expressed in jobs and/or dollars per unit
of biofuel production, and multiplies
these estimated impacts by the projected
volumes to arrive at employment
estimates. This approach is taken to
produce estimates for the impacts of the
quantities of ethanol, BBD, and RNG
fuels in the Volume Scenarios relative to
the No RFS Baseline.
The second is a slightly more nuanced
approach that relies on the use of an
input-output modeling methodology
developed specifically for analysis of
dry mill corn ethanol, which is applied
only to the volumes of that fuel in the
Volume Scenarios relative to the No
RFS Baseline. These estimates are
summarized in Tables IV. D–1 and 2. In
some cases, we have developed ranges
of impacts for fuel volumes based on
uncertainty regarding how the volumes
will be provided. For example, volumes
associated with new production
capacity would also be associated with
some number of temporary construction
jobs, while expanded capacity
utilization at existing facilities would
not. These ranges of potential impacts
are summarized in tables in DRIA
Chapter 9, along with detailed
explanations of the associated
methodology. For the corn ethanol case
alone, we present the results of these
two analyses coequally here and request
comment regarding approaches to
estimating the employment impacts of
ethanol for the final rule. Both sets of
estimates (i.e., our rule-of-thumb
analysis and our analysis using an
input-output model for the case of
ethanol) have been computed based on
changes from the No RFS Baseline and
the results we present should be
interpreted as additive gross jobs
relative to that baseline. However, were
these analyses to be carried out relative
to the 2025 Baseline, some of these
computed estimates would then be
interpreted as jobs at risk were the RFS
program discontinued.
We estimate that all three categories
of renewable fuel we analyzed—ethanol,
BBD, and RNG—are associated with
increases in jobs to varying degrees. We
observe that RNG appears to be
associated with the highest number of
direct jobs created per unit of biofuel.
However, BBD is projected to have the
highest job creation impact overall,
primarily due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the
baseline. In terms of rural employment
specifically, ethanol has the highest
direct and total effects per million
gallons of ethanol equivalent. Relative
to the No RFS Baseline and accounting
for direct, indirect, and induced effects,
BBD is projected to have the highest
impact on agricultural employment,
mainly due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the
baseline.
We also estimate that ethanol, BBD,
and RNG are all associated with
increased rural economic development,
again to varying degrees. Since
renewable fuels rely on agricultural
feedstocks, we use the GDP impacts
associated with agricultural feedstocks
to infer the effects on rural economic
development. We estimate that BBD and
ethanol have higher impacts per million
gallons of ethanol equivalent on rural
economic development than does RNG.
Relative to the No RFS Baseline and
accounting for direct, indirect, and
induced effects, BBD is projected to
have the highest impact on rural
economic development, largely due to
substantially higher production
increases relative to the baseline.
Tables IV.D–1 and 2 summarize the
estimated economy-wide job impacts
and rural GDP impacts (both include
direct, indirect, and induced impacts)
associated with the volumes of ethanol,
BBD, and RNG attributable to the Low
Volume Scenario and High Volume
Scenario, respectively. The estimates of
rural GDP impacts are actual values as
opposed to discounted values, implying
that they do not reflect the time value
of money.
131 These analyses are described in detail in DRIA
Chapter 9.
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¥759 to ¥247
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TABLE IV.D–1—ECONOMY-WIDE JOBS AND RURAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE LOW VOLUME SCENARIO RELATIVE
TO NO RFS BASELINE
[Number of jobs in full-time equivalents; million 2022$, undiscounted]
RNG
Year
Rural
economic
development
Jobs
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
19,504
20,240
21,030
21,847
22,718
Ethanol a
BBD
$1,072.16
1,112.59
1,156.02
1,200.94
1,248.86
Rural
economic
development
Jobs
64,793
68,931
73,491
77,265
81,576
$6,840.04
7,276.90
7,758.25
8,156.68
8,611.74
Rural
economic
development
Jobs
5,332
5,735
5,986
6,338
6,690
$366.19
393.83
411.10
435.29
459.47
a For the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL’s JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate employment and income estimates under alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. See DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
TABLE IV.D–2—ECONOMY-WIDE JOBS AND RURAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE HIGH VOLUME SCENARIO RELATIVE
TO NO RFS BASELINE
[Number of jobs in full-time equivalents; million 2022$, undiscounted]
RNG
Year
Jobs
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
..............................................................
19,504
20,240
21,030
21,847
22,718
Ethanol a
BBD
Rural
economic
development
$1,072.16
1,112.59
1,156.02
1,200.94
1,248.86
Jobs
70,790
80,905
91,461
101,213
111,520
Rural
economic
development
$7,473.08
8,540.95
9,655.34
10,684.78
11,772.88
Jobs
5,332
5,735
5,986
6,338
6,690
Rural
economic
development
$366.19
393.83
411.10
435.29
459.47
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
a For the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL’s JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate employment and income estimates under alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. See DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
We request comment on our
approaches to estimating jobs and rural
economic development impacts
associated with renewable fuels.
These estimates for the various
categories of biofuels are subject to the
limitations and assumptions of the
methods employed. They are not meant
to be exact estimates, but rather to
provide an estimate of general
magnitude. In addition, while we
estimate that production and
consumption of these biofuels will lead
to higher jobs and rural GDP in some
sectors of the economy, this will likely
involve some migration in jobs and rural
GDP from other sectors. As such, we
anticipate that there would be job and
rural GDP losses as well in some sectors.
Likewise, investments in rural
development may involve some shifting
of capital from one sector to another. We
do not account for any such losses in
our analysis. In other words, our
estimates for jobs and rural
development impacts are gross
estimates and not net estimates.
The existing literature also shows, in
the long run, environmental regulation
such as the RFS program typically
affects the distribution of employment
among industries rather than the general
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employment level.132 133 The
expectation is that there will be a
movement of labor towards jobs that are
associated with greater environmental
protection, and away from those that are
not. Even if impacts are small after longrun market adjustments to full
employment, many regulatory actions
move workers in and out of jobs and
industries, which are potentially
important distributional impacts of
environmental regulations.134
For the final rule, we intend to carry
out a more robust modeling exercise
that may capture more of these nuances.
We request comments on the types of
approaches which would be appropriate
to apply in conducting such an analysis.
132 Arrow, Kenneth J., Maureen L. Cropper,
George C. Eads, Robert W. Hahn, Lester B. Lave,
Roger G. Noll, Paul R. Portney, et al. ‘‘Benefit-Cost
Analysis in Environmental, Health, and Safety
Regulation,’’ American Enterprise Institute, The
Annapolis Center, and Resources for the Future,
1996.
133 Hafstead, Marc a. C., and Roberton C.
Williams. ‘‘Jobs and Environmental Regulation.’’
Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy
1 (January 1, 2020): 192–240. https://doi.org/
10.1086/706799.
134 Walker, W. Reed. ‘‘The Transitional Costs of
Sectoral Reallocation: Evidence From the Clean Air
Act and the Workforce*.’’ The Quarterly Journal of
Economics 128, no. 4 (August 15, 2013): 1787–1835.
https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjt022.
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E. Agricultural Commodity Prices and
Food Price Impacts
In this section, we summarize the
projected impacts of the Volume
Scenarios on agricultural commodity
and food prices. A detailed explanation
of the methods used to estimate these
impacts can be found in DRIA Chapter
9.
To assess the potential impact on corn
prices, we used a literature-based
estimate that corn prices increase by 3
percent for every additional billion
gallons of corn ethanol produced.135 We
multiplied the projected corn price by
the 3 percent per-billion-gallon increase
to estimate the price change per bushel.
This value was then applied to the
difference in corn ethanol volumes
between each Volume Scenario and the
No RFS Baseline. Table IV.E–1
summarizes the results of the projected
impact of increased corn ethanol
production on corn prices under the
Volume Scenarios.136
135 Condon, Nicole, Heather Klemick, and Ann
Wolverton. ‘‘Impacts of Ethanol Policy on Corn
Prices: A Review and Meta-analysis of Recent
Evidence.’’ Food Policy 51 (January 13, 2015): 63–
73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.12.007.
136 The volume of corn ethanol is the same under
the Low and High Volume Scenarios; therefore, the
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TABLE IV.E–1—PROJECTED IMPACT OF VOLUME SCENARIOS ON CORN PRICES RELATIVE TO NO RFS BASELINE
Units
Baseline Corn Price a .....................................................
Corn Price Increase Relative to No RFS Baseline ........
2026
$/Bushel ......
$/Bushel ......
2027
$3.97
0.03
2028
$4.07
0.03
2029
$4.17
0.03
$4.27
0.03
2030
$4.30
0.03
a Corn prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 (February 2025). Prices represent the average price for a calendar year. For
corn, the price is calculated using 1⁄3 of the price for the first agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and 2⁄3 of the price for the
second agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
To determine the potential impact of
the Volume Scenarios on soybean oil
and meal prices, we calculated
projected price effects for 2026–2030
relative to the No RFS Baseline. These
projections assume a 35.7 percent
increase in the price of a pound of
soybean oil per billion gallons of biofuel
produced and a 7.94 percent decrease in
the price of a short ton of soybean meal
per billion gallons of biofuel
produced.137 We multiplied the
projected soybean oil and meal prices
by their respective percentage changes
per billion gallons of biofuel to estimate
the price impact per unit. These values
were then applied to the difference in
biofuel volumes between each Volume
Scenario and the No RFS Baseline. This
analysis provides an estimate of how
increased soy-based biofuel production
impacts soybean oil and soybean meal
prices under each Volume Scenario. The
results from this analysis are presented
in Tables IV.E–2 and 3 for the Low and
High Volume Scenarios, respectively.
TABLE IV.E–2—PROJECTED IMPACT OF THE LOW VOLUME SCENARIO ON SOYBEAN OIL AND MEAL PRICES RELATIVE TO
THE NO RFS BASELINE
Units
Baseline Soybean Oil Price a ............................
Soybean Oil Price Increase Relative to No
RFS Baseline.
Baseline Soybean Meal Price a .........................
Soybean Meal Price Change Relative to No
RFS Baseline.
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
$/Pound
$/Pound
$0.39
0.26
$0.37
0.26
$0.37
0.26
$0.36
0.26
$0.36
0.26
$/Ton ....
$/Ton ....
324
¥49
331
¥51
339
¥53
347
¥55
355
¥58
a Soybean oil and meal prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 report. Prices represent the average price for a calendar
year. For soybean oil, the price is calculated using 1⁄4 of the price for the first agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and 3⁄4 of the
price for the second agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
TABLE IV.E–3—PROJECTED IMPACT OF THE HIGH VOLUME SCENARIO ON SOYBEAN OIL AND MEAL PRICES RELATIVE TO
THE NO RFS BASELINE
Units
Baseline Soybean Oil Price a ............................
Soybean Oil Price Increase Relative to No
RFS Baseline.
Baseline Soybean Meal Price a .........................
Soybean Meal Price Change Relative to No
RFS Baseline.
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
$/Pound
$/Pound
$0.39
0.29
$0.37
0.31
$0.37
0.34
$0.36
0.37
$0.36
0.40
$/Ton ....
$/Ton ....
324
¥54
331
¥62
339
¥70
347
¥79
355
¥88
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
a Soybean oil and meal prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 report. Prices represent the average price for a calendar
year. For soybean oil, the price is calculated using 1⁄4 of the price for the first agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and 3⁄4 of the
price for the second agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
In addition to estimating the price
impacts on corn, soybean oil, and
soybean meal, we also assessed price
changes for other feed grains—grain
sorghum, barley, and oats—as well as
distillers grains. These commodities
were included in this analysis because
they have historically competed with
corn in the feed market and, to a lesser
extent, for planted acreage. These price
changes were estimated using historical
price relationships with corn, and the
analysis found only minimal impacts on
the other grains.138
Additionally, the impact on
commodity prices described above may,
in turn, have downstream effects on
food prices and other products derived
from these commodities. To estimate the
effect on total food expenditures, we
combined these projected price changes
with forecasts of commodity use for
food production.139 Because commodity
costs typically represent a small portion
of total food prices, the anticipated
effect of this action on food prices is
relatively modest, as shown in Table
IV.E–4.
results shown in Table IV.E–1 are the same for both
Volume Scenarios.
137 Lusk, Jayson L. ‘‘Food and Fuel: Modeling
Food System Wide Impacts of Increase in Demand
for Soybean Oil,’’ November 10, 2022.
138 See DRIA Chapter 9 for more information.
139 Commodity use for food production estimated
using USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034. See
DRIA Chapter 9 for further detail on this analysis.
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TABLE IV.E–4—IMPACT OF VOLUME SCENARIOS ON TOTAL FOOD EXPENDITURES a
Units
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
$1,938
$14.41
0.14
$1,802
$13.40
0.13
$1,723
$12.80
0.13
$1,648
$12.25
0.12
$1,601
$11.90
0.12
$2,129
$15.82
0.16
$2,141
$15.92
0.16
$2,187
$16.25
0.16
$2,213
$16.45
0.16
$2,260
$16.79
0.17
Low Volume Scenario
Change in Food Expenditures ...............................
Projected Food Expenditure Increase ...................
Percent Change in Food Expenditures .................
Million $ .............................................
$ per Consumer Unit .........................
Percent ..............................................
High Volume Scenario
Change in Food Expenditures ...............................
Projected Food Expenditure Increase ...................
Percent Change in Food Expenditures .................
Million $ .............................................
$ per Consumer Unit .........................
Percent ..............................................
a Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditures—2023, Table A. Average income and expenditures of all consumer
units, 2021–23.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
V. Proposed Volume Requirements for
2026 and 2027
As required by CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii), we have reviewed the
implementation of the RFS program in
prior years and have analyzed a
specified set of factors. The proposed
volume requirements for 2026 and 2027
(the ‘‘Proposed Volumes’’) are informed
by our technical analyses of the Volume
Scenarios, which are summarized in
Section IV. Further details of all
analyses performed for this action are
provided in the DRIA.
In this section, we summarize and
discuss the implications of our analyses
and any other relevant information that
apply to each of three different
component categories of biofuel:
cellulosic biofuel, non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel, and conventional
renewable fuel. These three components
combine to produce the statutory
categories: the advanced biofuel volume
requirement is equal to the sum of
cellulosic biofuel and non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel, while the total
renewable fuel volume requirement is
equal to the sum of advanced biofuel
and conventional renewable fuel.140 In
Section V.C we discuss our approach to
the BBD standard in light our analysis
of the non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
component category, the vast majority of
which we project will be comprised of
BBD.
In general, the volume requirements
we are proposing for 2026 and 2027 are
designed to provide significant support
for the continued growth in the
production and use of renewable fuels.
While the Proposed Volumes (expressed
in billion RINs) are similar to the Low
Volume Scenario and lower than the
High Volume Scenario, we project that
140 These combinations are set forth in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(i)(I)–(III). In addition, the
determination of the appropriate volume
requirements for BBD is treated separately in
Section V.C.
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the Proposed Volumes would result in
significantly higher renewable fuel
production and consumption in the U.S.
than either the Low or High Volume
Scenario, particularly for domestic
renewable fuel, due to the proposed
import RIN reduction provisions.141 Our
assessment of the expected annual rate
of future commercial production of
renewable fuels indicates that continued
growth in the production and use of
renewable fuels is not only possible but
expected if supported through the RFS
program. Increasing the production of
renewable fuels furthers the goals of the
RFS program by increasing the energy
independence and energy security of the
U.S. Further, increasing production of
renewable fuels, particularly those
produced from domestic feedstocks, can
have significant positive impacts on
employment and economic activity in
rural areas.
We note that while we do not
separately discuss each of the statutory
factors for each component category in
this section, we have analyzed all the
statutory factors. However, it was not
always possible to precisely identify the
implications of the analysis of a specific
factor for a specific component category
of renewable fuel. For instance, while
we analyzed the impact of biodiesel and
renewable diesel on the cost to
consumers of transportation fuel,
biodiesel and renewable diesel can be
used to satisfy multiple biofuel
requirements (e.g., BBD, advanced
biofuel, and total renewable fuel) and
this analysis therefore does not apply to
a single standard in that regard. Air
quality impacts are driven primarily by
biofuel type (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel)
rather than by biofuel category (e.g.,
advanced biofuel, cellulosic biofuel),
and energy security impacts are driven
141 See DRIA Chapter 3 for more detail on the
quantities and types of renewable fuel we project
would be supplied to meet the Proposed Volumes
and the Volume Scenarios.
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by the amount of fossil fuel energy
displaced. Moreover, except for CAA
section 211(o)(2)(ii)(III), the statute does
not require that the requisite analyses be
specific to each category of renewable
fuel. Rather, the statute directs EPA to
analyze certain factors, without
specifying how that analysis must be
conducted. In addition, the statute
directs EPA to analyze the ‘‘program’’
and the impacts of ‘‘renewable fuels’’
generally, further indicating that
Congress intended to provide EPA with
the discretion to decide how and at
what level of specificity to analyze the
statutory factors. This section
supplements the analyses discussed in
Sections III and IV by providing a
narrative summary of how we used the
results of our analyses of the Volume
Scenarios to derive the volumes we are
proposing in this action.
A. Cellulosic Biofuel
In EISA, Congress set increasing
targets for cellulosic biofuel, aiming to
reach 16 billion gallons by 2022. After
2015, all growth in the mandated total
renewable fuel volume was designated
for advanced biofuels, with the majority
of that growth focused on cellulosic
biofuels. This indicates that Congress
intended the RFS program to strongly
incentivize cellulosic biofuels, placing a
particular emphasis on their
development after 2015. While
cellulosic biofuel production has not
reached the levels envisioned by
Congress in 2007, EPA remains
committed to supporting the
advancement and commercialization of
these fuels.
Cellulosic biofuels, particularly those
produced from waste or residue
materials, have the potential to
significantly reduce GHG emissions
from the transportation sector. In many
cases cellulosic biofuel can be produced
without impacting current land use and
with little to no impact on other
environmental factors, such as air and
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water quality. The proposed cellulosic
biofuel volumes are intended to support
the continued development and
commercial-scale deployment of
cellulosic biofuels while steadily
increasing production, consistent with
the growth envisioned by EISA and our
evaluation of the relevant statutory
factors.
As outlined in Section III, the Volume
Scenarios reflect the projected growth in
cellulosic biofuel production and use in
the transportation sector through 2030,
accounting for potential constraints in
both the production and use of
cellulosic biofuel. We then evaluated
the Volume Scenarios using additional
statutory factors. The results of these
evaluations are summarized here and
detailed further in the DRIA. Our
analysis suggests that cellulosic biofuels
offer several significant benefits,
including the potential for exceptionally
low lifecycle GHG emissions that meet
or exceed the 60 percent GHG reduction
threshold for cellulosic biofuel.142
These benefits largely arise because the
majority of feedstocks projected for use
in cellulosic biofuel production are
either waste materials (e.g., CNG/LNG
derived from biogas) or residues (e.g.,
cellulosic diesel and heating oil from
tree residue). The processing of these
otherwise unused feedstocks into
transportation fuel is also likely to result
in increased employment and have a
positive economic impact, particularly
in the communities where the cellulosic
biofuel production facilities are located.
The feedstocks currently used and
expected to be used through 2027,
particularly biogas used for CNG/LNG
production, are not anticipated to cause
substantial land use changes that could
lead to negative environmental impacts.
None of the cellulosic biofuel feedstocks
expected to be used to produce liquid
cellulosic biofuels through 2027
(including corn kernel fiber, mill
residue, and separated MSW) are
produced with the intention that they be
used as feedstocks for cellulosic biofuel
production. Because of this, using these
feedstocks to produce liquid cellulosic
biofuel is not expected to have
significant adverse impacts related to
several of the statutory factors,
including the conversion of wetlands,
ecosystems and wildlife habitat, soil
and water quality, the price and supply
of agricultural commodities, and food
prices through 2027.
Cellulosic biofuels are also expected
to provide significant economic
development benefits. The production
of these fuels supports local economies,
creating jobs in biofuel facilities and
related distribution networks. By
encouraging the cellulosic biofuel
market, the U.S. strengthens its energy
independence and reduces reliance on
foreign fuels, while fostering economic
resilience.
Although both liquid cellulosic
biofuels and CNG/LNG from biogas are
produced from wastes or by-product
feedstocks, they differ significantly in
terms of production costs and market
competitiveness. Liquid cellulosic
biofuels face high production costs due
to low fuel yields per ton of feedstock
and the substantial capital investment
required for production facilities.
Consequently, their economic viability,
at least in the short term (through 2027),
will likely depend on high cellulosic
RIN prices and supportive programs
such as California’s LCFS program and
the 45Z tax credit to enable them to
compete with petroleum-based fuels. In
contrast, CNG/LNG derived from biogas
sourced from landfills, wastewater
treatment facilities, and agricultural
digesters can be more cost competitive
with fossil fuels. In certain cases, such
as larger landfills, CNG/LNG production
costs can even approach those of
conventional natural gas. Nonetheless,
most biogas-derived fuels, and
particularly those from new sources,
rely on financial incentives to remain
competitive. Given their relatively lower
production costs and mature
technology, and in combination with
the high financial incentive created by
the RFS program in addition to that
from State LCFS programs and tax
credits, CNG/LNG from biogas is
expected to remain the dominant form
of cellulosic biofuel through 2027. The
combination of high RIN prices and the
growing volume of CNG/LNG used as
transportation fuel and the high
cellulosic RIN prices that refiners must
recover through fuel sales leads to an
expected increase in gasoline and diesel
prices.
Our analysis of the statutory factors
indicates that the benefits of increasing
cellulosic biofuel volumes outweigh the
potential downsides. To maximize these
advantages, we are proposing cellulosic
biofuel volumes through 2027 at levels
that align with projected growth in the
consumption of CNG/LNG as
transportation fuel from 2026 to 2027.
These proposed volumes, based on the
most current data at the time of this
action, represent a well-informed
estimate of the achievable growth in
cellulosic biofuel production during this
period. We believe that these volumes
would continue to encourage
investment in and development of
cellulosic biofuels while adhering to
statutory requirements, including those
under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv).
TABLE V.A–2—PROPOSED CELLULOSIC BIOFUEL VOLUMES a
[Million RINs]
2026
CNG/LNG Derived from Biogas ..............................................................................................................................
Ethanol from CKF ....................................................................................................................................................
Total Cellulosic Biofuel .....................................................................................................................................
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
a All
1,170
120
1,300
2027
1,360
120
1,360
volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
We also acknowledge the uncertainty
in forecasting cellulosic biofuel
volumes. If actual cellulosic biofuel
production and imports fall
significantly below the required volume,
resulting in a RIN shortfall, obligated
parties may lack sufficient cellulosic
RINs to meet their RFS obligations. This
could lead to some parties carrying
142 CAA
forward compliance deficits, and if
production and imports continue to lag
targets, non-compliance could become a
risk. Conversely, if cellulosic biofuel
production and imports exceed the
required volumes, resulting in a RIN
surplus and lower prices for cellulosic
biofuels and cellulosic RINs. This
scenario could undermine investments
in cellulosic biofuel production, with
the simple possibility of such a surplus
potentially discouraging future
investments. Using the best available
data, we believe the proposed cellulosic
biofuel volumes are reasonable and
achievable, as well as consistent with
the statutory requirement in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) that EPA
section 211(o)(1)(E).
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B. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
The volume targets established by
Congress through 2022 anticipated
volumes of advanced biofuel beyond
what would be needed to satisfy the
cellulosic standard. The statutory target
for advanced biofuel in 2022 (21 billion
gallons) allowed for up to five billion
gallons of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel to be used towards the advanced
biofuel volume target, with additional
quantities of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel able to contribute towards
meeting the total renewable fuel
requirement. The applicable standards
for 2022 similarly include five billion
gallons of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel. In the Set 1 Rule, EPA
continued to grow the implied noncellulosic advanced biofuel category,
which reached 5.95 billion gallons in
2025.
As discussed in Sections III.B.2 and 3,
we developed volume scenarios for noncellulosic advanced biofuel based on a
consideration of the quantities of these
fuels potentially able to be supplied to
the U.S. market. This process included
consideration of the supply of these
fuels in 2023 and the months in 2024 for
which data were available and the
projected future projection and import
of non-cellulosic advanced biofuels in
future years. The non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes in the
Volume Scenarios reflect significantly
different growth rates for this category
(500 million RINs per year vs. 1 billion
RINs per year). These volume scenarios
were designed to enable us to consider
the likely impacts of different volume
requirements for non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel. They also reflect the
significant uncertainty in the volume of
these fuels that could be supplied to the
U.S. in future years. We then analyzed
the Volume Scenarios according to the
statutory factors.
In this action we are proposing
volume requirements for 2026 and 2027
that reflect 500 million RIN annual
increases in the projected supply of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel. These
increases are relative to the volume of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel we
project will be supplied to the U.S. in
2025 based on available data, which is
significantly higher than the volumes of
these fuels we projected would be
supplied in 2025 in the Set 1 Rule. Our
decision to propose volumes consistent
with Low Volume Scenario is based on
our assessment of the impacts of
biofuels produced from domestic
feedstocks on the statutory factors and
our projection of the quantity of
qualifying feedstocks available to
biofuel producers. Our assessment of
the statutory factors, and how these
assessments support the proposed noncellulosic advanced biofuel volumes,
are summarized in the remainder of this
section, and are discussed in greater
detail in the DRIA.
A key consideration in determining
the proposed non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel volumes is our proposal in this
action to reduce the number of RINs
generated for imported renewable fuels
and renewable fuels produced from
foreign feedstocks by 50 percent, as
discussed in Section VIII. While much
of the renewable fuel eligible to generate
RINs under the RFS program is
produced by domestic producers from
domestic feedstocks—including the vast
majority of all cellulosic biofuel and
conventional renewable fuel—we
estimate that nearly 50 percent of all
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel was
imported or produced from foreign
feedstocks in 2024.144 The 500 million
RIN annual growth rate that forms the
basis for our proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes is
approximately equal to our projection of
the annual increase in the production of
domestic feedstocks that can be used to
produce these fuels. This approach
provides a strong incentive to increase
the production of domestic renewable
fuels from domestic feedstocks. It also
allows for domestic biofuel producers to
continue to use foreign feedstocks
where it is advantageous to do so, while
incentivizing these producers to source
increasing quantities of domestic
feedstocks over time.
143 See DRIA Chapter 7.1 for further information
on the methodology EPA used to project the supply
of cellulosic biofuel in 2026 and 2027.
144 See DRIA Chapter 3.2 for more detail on EPA’s
estimate of domestic vs. imported biofuels and
feedstocks in 2024.
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determine the cellulosic biofuel volume
such that EPA need not waive the
cellulosic biofuel standard under CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D).143 Therefore, we
are proposing volumes that represent
the projected volume available in 2026
and 2027. We request comment on our
proposed cellulosic biofuel volumes for
2026 and 2027, especially regarding our
assessment of future CNG/LNG
consumption. In addition, we recognize
that the methodology used to determine
the proposed cellulosic biofuel volumes
in this rulemaking differs from past
approaches, so we also request comment
on the methodology used to arrive at
those volumes. We also request any
further data or insights that could
enhance our projections for cellulosic
biofuel production in 2026 and 2027.
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To date, the vast majority of noncellulosic advanced biofuel in the RFS
program has been biodiesel and
renewable diesel, with relatively small
volumes of sugarcane ethanol and other
advanced biofuels. While the impacts of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuels on the
statutory factors vary depending on the
fuel type, production process, where the
fuel is produced (e.g., domestically vs.
in a foreign country), and the feedstock
used to produce the fuel, all advanced
biofuels have the potential to provide
significant GHG reductions. These
potential GHG reductions suggest that
higher non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
volumes than those established by
Congress for 2022 (5.0 billion RINs) or
established by EPA for 2025 (5.95
billion RINs) may be appropriate.
Advanced biodiesel and renewable
diesel together accounted for 95 percent
or more of the total supply of noncellulosic advanced biofuel over the last
several years, and together the two fuels
are expected to continue to do so
through 2027 due to the limited
production and import of other types of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuels.145 We
have therefore focused our attention on
the impacts of these fuels in relation to
the statutory factors in determining
appropriate levels of non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel for 2026 and 2027.146
As in past RFS rulemakings, our
analyses indicate that for some of the
statutory factors the projected impacts
of increasing consumption of biodiesel
and renewable diesel are expected to be
generally positive or neutral, while for
other factors the impacts are expected to
be generally negative. For other factors,
the projected impacts vary significantly
depending on whether the feedstock
used to produce the fuel is a waste or
byproduct (e.g., used cooking oil) or an
agricultural commodity (e.g., soybean
oil) and whether it is sourced
domestically or imported.
All qualifying biodiesel and
renewable diesel is expected to diversify
the transportation fuel supply and thus
have a positive impact on the energy
security of the U.S. Similarly, because
we project that all of the increase in the
supply of biodiesel and renewable
diesel through 2027 will be supplied
from domestic biofuel producers using
domestic feedstocks, we expect these
fuels to positively impact employment
and rural economic development. We
145 See
DRIA Chapters 7.2 through 7.4.
have also considered the potential for
increasing volumes of renewable jet fuel. Given its
similarity to renewable diesel, for purposes of
projecting appropriate volume requirements for
2026 and 2027, in most cases we consider
renewable jet fuel to be a component of renewable
diesel.
146 We
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do not anticipate the availability of
infrastructure to distribute or use
biodiesel and renewable diesel will
limit the consumption of these fuels in
future years, nor do we anticipate that
increasing supplies of these fuels will
negatively impact the deliverability of
materials, goods, and products other
than renewable fuel. Together, these
statutory factors suggest that higher
volumes of biodiesel and renewable
diesel may be appropriate in future
years.
Other statutory factors suggest that
lower volumes of biodiesel and
renewable diesel may be appropriate.
Biodiesel and renewable diesel have
historically had higher costs than the
diesel fuel they displace and are
expected to continue to cost more into
the future, primarily due to relatively
high feedstock costs. These higher costs
are expected to ultimately be passed
through to consumers, resulting in
higher costs for transportation fuel and
higher costs to transport goods.147
Biodiesel and renewable diesel
produced from vegetable oils are
expected to directionally result in
higher prices for these oils and the crops
from which they are derived (e.g.,
soybeans and canola). These higher
vegetable oil prices are projected to have
both positive and negative impacts.
Higher vegetable oil prices are expected
to drive increased investment in the
domestic oilseed crushing industry,
resulting in increased employment and
economic impact, as well as higher
revenue for feedstock producers. Higher
vegetable oil prices are also expected to
result in higher prices for products that
use them as inputs.
Finally, the projected impacts on
some of the statutory factors are
expected to vary significantly
depending on the feedstock used to
produce the biodiesel or renewable
diesel. We have generally assumed that
biofuels produced from wastes or
byproducts such as UCO and tallow do
not drive the conversion of land to
cropland, increase the intensity of
farming practices, or raise agricultural
commodity or food prices.148 Because of
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147 This
discussion refers to societal costs. We
recognize that with the incentives provided by the
RFS program and other state and local programs,
the price for biodiesel and renewable diesel (net
available incentives) may be lower than the price
of petroleum fuels. See DRIA Chapter 10 for a
further discussion of our cost estimates.
148 This is particularly true if the feedstocks used
to produce these biofuels would otherwise be
landfilled or not productively used. It is not the
case, however, that all feedstocks assumed to be
wastes or byproducts would otherwise be landfilled
or not productively used. For example, UCO and
animal fats such as tallow have historically had a
variety of productive uses, include use as animal
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this assumption, biofuels produced from
wastes or byproducts are also generally
expected to result in greater GHG
emission reductions. However,
commodities such as UCO and tallow
now command prices comparable to
those of crop-derived vegetable oils. We
request comment on the potential
impact of increased demand for these
feedstocks on global crop production,
and the implications for the estimated
GHG emissions of biofuels produced
from these feedstocks.
Increases in domestic sources of waste
or byproduct feedstocks in future years
are projected to be limited as much of
the available feedstocks are already
being used for biofuel production with
smaller quantities collected for other
productive uses. Significant volumes of
these feedstocks may be available from
foreign countries, though there is
significant uncertainty in the quantities
of these feedstocks that will be available
to the U.S. in future years.
1. Assessment of Available Feedstocks
Biodiesel and renewable diesel
produced from agricultural commodities
such as soybean oil and canola oil are
more likely to have negative impacts on
wetlands, wildlife habitat and
ecosystems, and water quality, as
demand for these feedstocks can result
in increased conversion of native lands
to cropland. This land conversion
(whether land is converted directly to
produce biofuel crops or induced
through higher commodity prices)
generally results in GHG emissions, and
therefore biofuels produced from these
feedstocks are expected to have lower
GHG emission benefits than biofuels
produced from wastes or byproducts.
Significant opportunities exist for
increasing domestic production of
soybean oil (which would be expected
to positively impact job creation and
rural economic development), as well as
imported canola oil from Canada.
Because the supply of these feedstocks
is less dependent on imports and there
are relatively fewer incentives and
lower demand for biofuels produced
from vegetable oils, we have greater
feed and use as a feedstock to produce soaps,
detergents, and other oleochemicals. Historically,
such demands have been outstripped significantly
by product supply, leading to unproductive
disposal of excess supply in the absence of a
productive use opportunity. However, increasing
levels of demand for these feedstocks for biofuel
production could not only fully consume this
previously excess supply, but also result in the
diversion of these feedstocks from existing markets.
In turn, markets that previously used these waste
and byproduct feedstocks may seek alternatives,
and any impacts on cropland, GHG emissions, or
other factors that result from the sourcing of these
alternative feedstocks should then be attributable to
biofuel production.
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confidence in projecting the potential
supply of these feedstocks in future
years.
Our analysis of the Volume Scenarios
indicated likely differences in impacts
on the statutory factors between growth
in the supply of biodiesel and
renewable diesel produced from wastes
or byproducts such as UCO and tallow
(primarily imported from foreign
countries) and those produced from
virgin vegetable oils (primarily from the
U.S.). Thus, the availability and likely
use of these feedstocks for biofuel
production and use in the U.S. is a key
factor in our consideration of the
proposed non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel volumes. As discussed further in
the remainder of this section, there is
relatively less uncertainty in the
projected availability of vegetable oils
than there is in the projected availability
of wastes or byproducts such as UCO
and tallow. The higher uncertainty in
the projected availability of the waste
and byproduct feedstocks is not only a
function of the quantity of these
feedstocks that can be collected
globally, but also of demand for these
feedstocks for biofuel production and
other productive uses in other countries.
a. Vegetable Oils
The available supply of vegetable oils
to domestic biofuel producers is
generally a function of the potential for
increased production of these feedstocks
in the U.S. and Canada, though some
small imports from other countries do
occur. The available supply of distillers
corn oil is primarily a function of corn
ethanol production, as most corn
ethanol facilities currently extract and
sell distillers corn oil. The available
supply of soybean oil and canola oil is
primarily a function of the quantity of
these oils produced by oilseed crushing
facilities. Based on the observed
increases in soybean and canola crush
capacity in recent years and publicly
available information on expansions
underway, we can reasonably project
the rate of growth in the soybean and
canola crush industry through 2027,
assuming continued demand for the
vegetable oils produced from these
facilities is sufficient to support ongoing
investment in crush capacity.
For distillers corn oil, soybean oil,
and canola oil, the primary source of
uncertainty in the supply of these
feedstocks to domestic biofuel
producers is the demand for these
feedstocks in markets other than biofuel
production in the U.S. With the
exception of imports of canola oil from
Canada, imports of distillers corn oil,
soybean oil, and canola oil from
countries other than Canada have been
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relatively small in recent years and are
not expected to increase through 2027.
Consistent with the observed historical
trends, we currently project the
potential for increasing imports of
canola oil from Canada but do not
project any significant changes to the
import of distillers corn oil, soybean oil,
or canola oil from countries other than
Canada due to limited global
production, relatively high tariffs on
imports, and high demand in food
markets respectively. Any increases to
the supply of these feedstocks to biofuel
producers would require diverting these
feedstocks from current markets. While
this is possible, we project any shifts of
these vegetable oils from current
markets through 2027 to be limited.
Since 2015, the use of soybean oil and
canola oil in the U.S. in markets other
than biofuel production has remained
fairly consistent despite the significant
increase in the use of these oils for
biofuel production.149 This suggests that
these oils have a higher value in nonbiofuel markets (e.g., food) and are
unlikely to be diverted from these
markets in significant quantities due to
higher demand for biofuel production in
the near term. While the U.S. has
historically been a net exporter of
soybean oil, data for the 2023/24
agricultural marketing year indicates
that net exports of soybean oil were near
zero 150 and therefore opportunities to
divert soybean oil from export markets
are very limited.
b. Animal Fats and UCO
In addition to vegetable oils, the other
primary sources of feedstocks for
biodiesel and renewable diesel
production are animal fats (such as
tallow) and UCO. In the U.S., collection
and productive use of these feedstocks
is well established. Most of the
economically recoverable UCO and
animal fats in the U.S. are currently
collected and productively used,
primarily for biofuel production.151 We
project that the supply of these
feedstocks will continue to grow, but
that the rate of growth in the availability
of these feedstocks from domestic
markets will be modest, growing with
domestic meat production and the use
of vegetable oil for food production.
In contrast, there is both significant
growth potential and a high degree of
uncertainty surrounding the supply of
animal fats and UCO that could be
imported into the U.S. and used for
149 USDA, ‘‘Oil Crops Yearbook,’’ March 2025.
https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/oil-cropsyearbook.
150 Id.
151 Global Data, ‘‘UCO Supply Outlook,’’ August
2023.
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biofuel production. The uncertainty is
associated both with the quantity of
these materials that can be economically
collected and competition for available
feedstocks and biofuels produced from
these feedstocks in other countries.
The global supply of animal fats is
expected to increase with global meat
consumption. Global meat production
increased 53 percent from 2000 to 2021
and is expected to continue to increase
in future years.152 Like other biodiesel
and renewable diesel feedstocks, animal
fats have historically been used in other
markets such as for oleochemical
production and livestock feed. We
project that strong incentives for
biofuels produced from animal fats in
the U.S. (from both state and federal
incentive programs) will result in
increasing quantities of these feedstocks
being used for biofuel production. Thus,
we project that the available supply of
animal fats to biofuel producers will
increase in future years due to both
increasing animal fat production (as a
byproduct of increasing meat
production) and the diversion of animal
fats for existing uses to biofuel
production. We note, however, that the
environmental benefits associated with
biofuels produced from diverting animal
fats (or any feedstock) diverted from
existing markets are likely less than the
environmental benefits associated with
biofuels produced from feedstocks that
would not otherwise be productively
used.153
The global supply of UCO is primarily
a function of UCO collection rates,
which are themselves a function of the
total quantity of vegetable oils used in
food production and the infrastructure
in place to collect and productively use
UCO. UCO collection rates vary
significantly by country, from virtually
nothing in many countries to
approximately 2.5 pounds per capita in
the U.S.154 Demand for UCO as a
feedstock for biofuel production in
recent years has resulted in a rapid
increase in the global collection of UCO,
from approximately 2.3 billion gallons
in 2018 to approximately 3.7 billion
gallons in 2022.155 A recent study
152 Food and Agriculture Organization of the
United Nations, ‘‘World Food and Agriculture—
Statistical Yearbook 2023,’’ 2023. https://doi.org/
10.4060/cc8166en.
153 When feedstocks are diverted from existing
uses, the markets that previously used these
feedstocks generally seek alternative feedstocks.
Potential alternatives could include petroleumbased feedstocks or palm oil. Increased use of these
feedstocks in non-biofuel markets could reduce or
negate the intended environmental benefits from
increased biofuel production.
154 Global Data, ‘‘UCO Supply Outlook,’’ August
2023.
155 Id.
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projected that the increase in global
UCO collection from 2022 to 2027 could
range from 1.4 billion gallons (based on
projected increases in population and
GDP) to 6.1 billion gallons (based on
increasing collection rates in countries
that currently have some UCO
collection infrastructure in place).156
The study noted that even greater UCO
collection is possible by 2027 with
economic incentives sufficient to
encourage the collection of UCO in
countries where it is currently not being
collected.157
In addition to the uncertainty related
to the global collection of animal fats
and UCO, there is also significant
uncertainty related to the markets where
these feedstocks and biofuels produced
from them will be used. Because
biodiesel and renewable diesel generally
cost more to produce than the
petroleum fuels they displace, demand
for these fuels is primarily driven by the
incentives available to the producers
and/or blenders of these fuels. Many
countries around the world offer
incentives or have imposed mandates
for the use of biodiesel and renewable
diesel. These incentives vary
significantly from country to country,
both in magnitude and in structure. For
example, some countries provide the
same incentive for all gallons of
qualifying biofuel, while other countries
provide increasing incentives for
biofuels that provide greater GHG
reductions, such as the waste feedstock
derived fuels.
Because incentives are often greatest
for animal fats and UCO feedstocks and
biofuels produced from them, the
market for these fuels is subject to
greater volatility based on changes in
biofuel policies than are vegetable oils
and biofuels produced from vegetable
oils. For example, in California’s LCFS
program, biofuels produced from animal
fats and UCO generally have a lower
carbon intensity and thus generate more
credits than biofuels produced from
vegetable oils such as soybean oil and
canola oil. The EU’s RED II places no
restrictions on the crediting of biofuels
produced from animal fats and UCO
while the crediting of biofuels produced
from food and feed crops is limited to
a maximum of 7 percent of the
consumption in the road and rail
transport sector in each member
state.158 Because biofuels and biofuel
feedstocks are globally traded
commodities, the incentives available
for the production and use of these
156 Id.
157 Id.
158 European Commission, ‘‘Renewable Energy—
Recast to 2030 (RED II).’’
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2. Proposed Non-Cellulosic Advanced
Biofuel Volumes
Based on our analyses of all the
statutory factors, we are proposing
volumes for 2026 and 2027 that reflect
500 million RIN annual increases in the
projected supply of non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel relative to the
projected supply of these fuels in 2025.
These volumes reflect our consideration
of the impacts of these fuels on the
statutory factors, including the potential
increases in employment and economic
impacts associated with the increased
production of these fuels (particularly
those produced from domestic
feedstocks) and the potential for GHG
reductions that may result from their
use. The proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes also reflect
our consideration of the projected
potential increases in biodiesel and
renewable diesel production and supply
based primarily on our assessment of
the supply of feedstocks used to
produce these fuels (including the
uncertainties associated with these
projections), the projected high costs for
these fuels relative to the petroleum fuel
they displace, and the potential negative
impacts associated with increasing
demand for vegetable oils or diverting
feedstocks from existing uses to biofuel
production.
We project that the feedstocks needed
to produce the proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes could be
supplied from domestic sources and
therefore are not dependent on increases
in the quantity of imported feedstocks
in future years. The proposed reduction
in the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuels and
renewable fuels produced from foreign
feedstocks significantly increase the
likelihood that the increase in the
supply of non-cellulosic biofuels
through 2027 will be supplied by
domestic biofuel producers using
domestic feedstocks. Through 2027, we
project that imported renewable fuels
and feedstocks will continue to
contribute towards the total supply of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuels, but
that the relative share of imported
renewable fuels and feedstocks will
decrease in future years as domestic
supplies increase in response to the
incentives provided by the RFS
program. We acknowledge, however,
that the impact of the proposed import
RIN reduction provisions on imports of
biodiesel, renewable diesel, and
feedstocks used to produce these fuels
is uncertain. We request comment on
the impact of the proposed import RIN
reduction provisions on imports of
biodiesel, renewable diesel, and
feedstocks used to produce these
fuels.161
We recognize that there are potential
negative impacts likely to result from
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume
requirements that are too high or too
low. If we establish volume
159 UN Comtrade Database, Trade Data, HS Code
1518.
160 Id.
161 See DRIA Chapter 3.2 for our assessment of
the likely impacts of this proposed rule, including
the impact of the proposed import RIN reduction.
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biofuels can and historically have had a
significant impact on where these
products are used. A greater or smaller
portion of the available global supply of
animal fats and UCO could be available
to U.S. biofuel producers depending on
whether the incentives available to
biofuel producers are higher or lower
than those offered by other countries.
Recent changes in the trade flows of
UCO from China illustrate the changing
nature of incentive programs and the
impact these changes can have on the
supply of biofuel feedstocks. From
2018–2023, exports of UCO from China
increased significantly, from
approximately 0.6 million metric tons in
2018 to about 2.1 million metric tons in
2023. From 2018–2022, the primary
destination of these exports was Europe,
accounting for approximately 60 percent
of all exports of UCO from China, while
less than 1 percent of all exports of UCO
from China were exported to the U.S.159
In 2023, however, the market dynamics
changed significantly. Exports of UCO
from China to Europe fell to just 23
percent of total exports, while exports to
the U.S. increased to 41 percent.160 The
decline in European UCO imports was
due to a combination of factors,
including reduced demand for biodiesel
and renewable diesel in some EU
member states and concerns that
imported UCO from China may include
palm oil. These concerns resulted in
decreased demand for UCO sourced
from China in the EU and simultaneous
increased demand for this feedstock in
the U.S. There is potential for increased
consumption of these fuels and
feedstocks domestically in China in
future years, should the government, for
example, choose to increase incentives
for the production and use of renewable
jet fuel. The unpredictable nature of
changes to biofuel incentives in both the
U.S. and other countries in future years,
combined with the potentially
significant impact of these changes,
makes it very difficult to predict the
supply of these feedstocks to U.S.
biofuel producers with a high degree of
certainty.
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requirements for these fuels that are too
low, the market will likely supply lower
volumes of these fuels to the U.S. than
could be achieved with higher volume
requirements. This could negatively
impact biofuel producers and result in
lower employment, economic impacts,
and GHG emission reductions than
could be achieved with higher volume
requirements. Conversely, if we
establish volume requirements for these
fuels that are too high, the costs of these
fuels would be expected to rise,
increasing the prices of food, fuel, and
other goods for consumers. It is also
possible that the market would be
unable to supply higher volumes,
requiring EPA to reduce the volume
requirements in the future, undermining
the market stability the RFS program is
designed to provide. Finally, increasing
demand for feedstocks could result in
the diversion of qualifying feedstocks
from existing uses and increased
demand for substitutes such as palm oil.
We request comment on whether higher
or lower volumes of non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel may be appropriate for
2026 and 2027.
While we have determined that it is
reasonable to propose volumes for 2026
and 2027 that reflect 500 million RIN
annual increases in the projected supply
of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, we
are not proposing the advanced biofuel
volume requirements for 2026 and 2027
at a level equal to the sum of cellulosic
biofuel and non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel volumes in this scenario.
Consistent with the approach taken by
EPA in the Set 1 Rule, and as discussed
in greater detail in Section V.D, we are
proposing volume requirements in this
action that reflect an implied
conventional renewable fuel
requirement of 15 billion gallons in each
year. Since we project that the quantity
of conventional renewable fuel available
in these years will be limited,
significant volumes of non-ethanol
biofuels will be needed to meet the
proposed conventional renewable fuel
volume of 15 billion gallons.
We project that the most likely source
of non-ethanol biofuel will be biodiesel
and renewable diesel that qualifies as
BBD. Biodiesel and renewable diesel
cannot be used to satisfy the projected
shortfall in conventional renewable fuel
if we already require the use of these
fuels to meet the proposed noncellulosic advanced biofuel volumes.
Therefore, the proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes are equal to
the Low Volume Scenario less the
volume projected to be needed to meet
the shortfall in the proposed
conventional renewable fuel volume.
The proposed non-cellulosic advanced
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biofuel volumes for 2026 and 2027 are
summarized in Table V.B.2–1.
TABLE V.B.2–1—PROPOSED NON-CELLULOSIC ADVANCED BIOFUEL VOLUMES
[Million RINs] a
2026
Non-cellulosic biofuel volume (total supply) ............................................................................................................
Needed to meet the implied conventional volume ..................................................................................................
Available for the advanced biofuel standard ...........................................................................................................
a All
8,940
1,220
7,720
2027
9,440
1,340
8,100
volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
C. Biomass-Based Diesel
In previous RFS rulemakings, we have
adopted an approach of increasing the
BBD volume requirement in concert
with the change, if any, in the implied
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume
requirement. This approach provides
ongoing support for BBD producers,
while maintaining an opportunity for
other advanced biofuels to compete for
market share. In reviewing the
implementation of the RFS program to
date, we determined that this approach
successfully balanced a desire to
provide support for BBD producers with
an increasing guaranteed market, while
at the same time maintaining an
opportunity for other advanced biofuels
to compete within the advanced biofuel
category. Our assessment of the impacts
of BBD on the statutory factors is
discussed further in the DRIA.
As in recent years, we believe that
excess volumes of BBD beyond the BBD
volume requirements will be used to
satisfy the advanced biofuel volume
requirement within which the BBD
volume requirement is nested.
Historically, the BBD standard has not
independently driven the use of BBD in
the market. This is due to the nested
nature of the standards and the
competitiveness of BBD relative to other
advanced biofuels. Moreover, BBD can
also be driven by the implied
conventional renewable fuel volume
requirement as an alternative to using
increasing volumes of corn ethanol in
higher-level ethanol blends such as E15
and E85. We believe these trends will
continue through 2027.
We also believe it is important to
maintain space for other advanced
biofuels to participate within the
advanced biofuel standard of the RFS
program. Although the BBD industry
has matured over the past decade, the
production of advanced biofuels other
than biodiesel and renewable diesel
continues to be relatively low and
uncertain. Maintaining this space for
other advanced biofuels can in the longterm facilitate increased
commercialization and use of other
advanced biofuels, which may have
superior environmental benefits, avoid
concerns with food prices and supply,
and have lower costs relative to BBD.
Furthermore, rather than only
supporting BBD, the new 45Z credit
may support the production and use of
non-BBD advanced biofuels as well.
Despite the potential impacts of the 45Z
credit, we do not think increasing the
size of this space is necessary through
2027 given that only small quantities of
these other advanced biofuels have been
used in recent years relative to the space
we have provided for them in those
years.
The proposed BBD volumes represent
significant growth from the volumes
established in the Set 1 Rule. At the
same time, these volumes preserve an
opportunity for non-cellulosic advanced
biofuels other than BBD to compete for
market share within the advanced
biofuel category. We are proposing BBD
volumes that maintain a 600 million
RIN opportunity for non-cellulosic
advanced biofuels other than BBD,
which is approximately equal to the
opportunity for these fuels from 2023–
2025. We request comment on this 600
million RIN amount and whether a
higher or lower number would be
appropriate. The proposed BBD
volumes are shown in Table V.C–1.
Note that, unlike in previous years,
the BBD volume requirement is
expressed in RINs rather than physical
gallons. As discussed in Section X.C, we
are proposing to make this change to
better align the BBD requirement with
the requirements for the other three
categories of renewable fuel, which are
expressed in RINs rather than gallons.
This change also reflects the increasing
uncertainty in the relationship between
the number of gallons of BBD that will
be needed to satisfy the percentage
standards due to the proposed reduction
in the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuels and
renewable fuels produced from foreign
feedstocks.162
TABLE V.C–1—PROPOSED BBD VOLUMES
[Million RINs] a
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
2026
2027
BBD ..........................................................................................................................................................................
Opportunity for advanced biofuel other than BBD ..................................................................................................
7,120
600
7,500
600
Total non-cellulosic advanced biofuel ..............................................................................................................
7,720
8,100
a All
volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
D. Conventional Renewable Fuel
Although Congress had intended
cellulosic biofuel to become the most
162 See
widely used renewable fuel by 2022,
conventional renewable fuel has
continued to account for the majority of
renewable fuel supply since the RFS
program began in 2005. The favorable
economics of blending corn ethanol at
10 percent into gasoline, even without
the incentives created by the RFS
Section VIII.
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program, caused it to quickly saturate
the gasoline supply shortly after the RFS
program began. Indeed, corn ethanol has
been added to nearly every gallon of
gasoline used for transportation in the
United States ever since.
The implied statutory volume target
for conventional renewable fuel rose
annually between 2009 and 2015 until
it reached 15 billion gallons, where it
remained through 2022. EPA has used
15 billion gallons of conventional
renewable fuel in calculating the
applicable percentage standards for
several recent years, most recently for
2023–2025 in the Set 1 Rule.
As discussed in Section III.B.5,
constraints on ethanol consumption
have prevented the volume of ethanol
used in transportation fuel from
reaching 15 billion gallons, even with
the incentives provided by the RFS
program and after accounting for the
projected increase in the availability of
higher-level ethanol blends such as E15
and E85. Such higher-level ethanol
blends are an avenue through which
higher volumes of renewable fuel can be
used in the transportation sector to
reduce GHG emissions and improve
energy security over time. Incentives
created by the implied conventional
renewable fuel volume requirement
contribute to the economic
attractiveness of these fuels. However,
we expect the constraints that currently
limit adoption of these blends, and
ethanol consumption as a whole, to
continue to exist through 2027. The
difficulty in reaching 15 billion gallons
with ethanol is compounded by the fact
that gasoline demand for 2026 and 2027
is expected to continue to decline over
time in line with likely vehicle
efficiency improvements.
We do not believe that constraints on
ethanol consumption should be the
single determining factor in the
appropriate level of conventional
renewable fuel to establish for 2026 and
2027. The implied volume requirement
for conventional renewable fuel is not a
requirement for ethanol, nor even for
conventional renewable fuel. Instead,
conventional renewable fuel is the
portion of total renewable fuel that is
not required to be advanced biofuel. The
implied volume requirement for
conventional renewable fuel can be
satisfied by any approved renewable
fuel. Examples of non-ethanol
renewable fuels that regularly contribute
to this volume include conventional
biodiesel and renewable diesel, as well
as advanced biodiesel and renewable
diesel beyond what is required by the
advanced biofuel volume requirement.
For these reasons, we choose to propose
the appropriate level of conventional
renewable fuel on a broader basis than
just the amount of conventional ethanol
likely to be consumed each year.
While this segment of the RFS
program creates opportunities for all
approved renewable fuels to contribute,
EPA’s analysis of several of the statutory
factors also highlights, in our view, the
importance of ongoing support for corn
ethanol generally and for an implied
conventional renewable fuel volume
requirement that helps to incentivize
the domestic consumption of corn
ethanol. Moreover, sustained and
predictable support of higher-level
ethanol blends through consistent
implied conventional renewable fuel
volume requirements help provide some
longer-term incentives for the market to
invest in the necessary infrastructure.
The benefits of this approach include
potential increases in employment and
economic impact, most notably for corn
farmers, but also positive impacts on
ethanol producers and related ethanol
blending and distribution activities. The
rural economies surrounding these
industries also benefit from strong
demand for ethanol. Increased demand
for higher-level ethanol blends could
also increase employment and economic
impact more broadly if retail station
owners respond to the incentives
created by the RFS program and other
federal actions by investing in
infrastructure necessary to increase the
availability of higher-level ethanol
blends at their stations. In addition, the
consumption of renewable fuels,
including domestically produced
ethanol, reduces our reliance on foreign
sources of petroleum imports and
increases the energy security status of
the U.S. as discussed in Section IV.B.
Most corn ethanol production occurs
in facilities that commenced
construction prior to December 19,
2007. This fuel is ‘‘grandfathered’’
under the provisions of 40 CFR 80.1403
and thus is not required to achieve a 20
percent reduction in GHGs in
comparison to gasoline, pursuant to
CAA section 211(o)(2)(A)(i).
Nevertheless, based on both our
assessment of corn ethanol in the RFS2
Rule and our assessment of GHG
impacts for this rule, summarized in
Section IV.A, corn ethanol provides
GHG reductions in comparison to
gasoline. Greater volumes of ethanol
consumed thus correspond to greater
GHG reductions than would be the case
if gasoline was consumed instead of
ethanol.
We are projecting that total ethanol
consumption will be lower in 2026 and
2027 than it was in previous years
despite the increase in consumption of
E15 and E85, as discussed in Sections
III. At the same time, we are projecting
that sufficient BBD and other nonethanol advanced biofuels will be
available in 2026 and 2027 to
compensate for this reduction in ethanol
consumption and to enable an implied
volume requirement for conventional
renewable fuel of 15 billion gallons to
be met. We are thus proposing to set the
implied conventional renewable fuel
volume requirement for 2026 and 2027
at 15 billion gallons.
TABLE V.D–1—PROPOSED CONVENTIONAL RENEWABLE FUEL VOLUMES
[Million RINs] a
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
2026
2027
Conventional ethanol ...............................................................................................................................................
Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel (beyond what is needed to meet the advanced biofuel volume requirement) ...
13,780
1,220
13,660
1,340
Total conventional renewable fuel ....................................................................................................................
15,000
15,000
a All
volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
E. Treatment of Carryover RINs
In our assessment of supply-related
factors, we focused on those factors that
could directly or indirectly impact the
consumption of renewable fuel in the
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U.S. and thereby determined the
potential number of RINs generated in
each year that could be available for
compliance with the applicable
standards in those same years. However,
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carryover RINs represent another source
of RINs that can be used for compliance.
We therefore investigated whether and
to what degree carryover RINs should be
considered in the context of
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determining appropriate levels for the
volume scenarios and, ultimately, the
Proposed Volumes.
CAA section 211(o)(5) requires that
EPA establish a credit program as part
of its RFS regulations, and that the
credits be valid for obligated parties to
show compliance for 12 months as of
the date of generation. EPA
implemented this requirement through
the use of RINs, which are generated for
the production of qualifying renewable
fuels. Obligated parties can comply by
blending renewable fuels into the
transportation fuel supply themselves,
or by purchasing RINs that represent the
renewable fuels that other parties have
blended into the supply. RINs can be
used to demonstrate compliance for the
year in which they are generated or the
subsequent compliance year. Obligated
parties can obtain more RINs than they
need in a given compliance year,
allowing them to ‘‘carry over’’ these
excess RINs for use in the subsequent
compliance year, although the RFS
regulations limit the use of these
carryover RINs to 20 percent of the
obligated party’s renewable volume
obligation (RVO).163 For the collective
supply of carryover RINs to be
preserved from one year to the next,
individual carryover RINs are used for
compliance before they expire and are
essentially replaced with newer vintage
RINs that are then held for use in the
next year. For example, vintage 2025
carryover RINs must be used for
compliance with 2026 compliance year
obligations, or they will expire.
However, vintage 2026 RINs can then be
saved for use toward 2027 compliance.
As noted in past RFS annual rules,
carryover RINs are a foundational
element of the design and
implementation of the RFS program.164
Carryover RINs play an important role
in providing a liquid and wellfunctioning RIN market upon which
success of the entire program depends,
and in providing obligated parties
compliance flexibility in the face of
substantial uncertainties in the
transportation fuel marketplace.165
Carryover RINs enable parties ‘‘long’’ on
RINs to trade them to those ‘‘short’’ on
RINs, instead of forcing all obligated
parties to comply through physical
blending. Carryover RINs also provide
flexibility and reduce spikes in
compliance costs in the face of a variety
of unforeseeable circumstances—
including weather-related damage to
renewable fuel feedstocks and other
circumstances potentially affecting the
production and distribution of
renewable fuel—that could limit the
availability of RINs.
Just as the economy as a whole is able
to function efficiently when individuals
and businesses prudently plan for
unforeseen events by maintaining
inventories and reserve money
accounts, we believe that the RFS
program is best able to function when
sufficient carryover RINs are held in
reserve for potential use by the RIN
holders themselves, or for possible sale
to others that may not have established
their own carryover RIN reserves.
Without sufficient RINs in reserve, even
minor disruptions causing shortfalls in
renewable fuel production or
distribution, or higher-than-expected
transportation fuel demand (requiring
greater volumes of renewable fuel to
comply with the percentage standards
that apply to all volumes of
transportation fuel, including the
unexpected volumes) could result in
deficits and/or noncompliance by
parties without RIN reserves. Moreover,
because carryover RINs are individually
and unequally held by market
participants, a non-zero but nevertheless
small number of available carryover
RINs may negatively impact the RIN
market, even when the market overall
could satisfy the standards. In such a
case, market disruptions could force the
need for a retroactive waiver of the
standards, undermining the market
certainty so critical to the RFS program.
For all these reasons, carryover RINs
provide a necessary programmatic
buffer that helps facilitate compliance
by individual obligated parties, provides
for smooth overall functioning of the
program to the benefit of all market
participants, and is consistent with the
statutory provision requiring the
generation and use of credits.
Carryover RINs have also provided
flexibility when EPA has considered the
need to use its waiver authorities to
lower volumes. For example, in the
context of the 2013 RFS rulemaking we
noted that an abundance of carryover
RINs available in that year, together
with possible increases in renewable
fuel production and import, justified
maintaining the advanced and total
renewable fuel volume requirements for
that year at the levels specified in the
statute.166
1. Projected Number of Available
Carryover RINs
The projected number of available
carryover RINs after compliance with
the 2023 standards (i.e., the number of
carryover RINs available for compliance
with the 2024 standards) is summarized
in Table V.E.1–1.167 This is the most
recent year for which complete RFS
compliance data was available at the
time of this proposal.
TABLE V.E.1–1—PROJECTED 2023 CARRYOVER RINS
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
[Million RINs]
Absolute 2023
carryover RINs a
RFS standard
RIN type
Cellulosic Biofuel ..................................................................
Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel c .......................................
Conventional Renewable Fuel d ............................................
Total Renewable Fuel ...................................................
D3+D7 ..................................................
D4+D5 ..................................................
D6 .........................................................
All D Codes ..........................................
30
740
400
1,170
Effective 2023
carryover RINs b
0
410
0
e0
a Represents the absolute number of 2023 carryover RINs that are available for compliance with the 2024 standards and does not account for
deficits carried forward from 2023 into 2024.
b Represents the effective number of 2023 carryover RINs that are available for compliance with the 2024 standards after accounting for deficits carried forward from 2023 into 2024. Standards for which deficits exceed the number of available carryover RINs are represented as zero.
c Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel is not an RFS standard category but is calculated by subtracting the number of cellulosic RINs from the number of advanced RINs.
d Conventional renewable fuel is not an RFS standard category but is calculated by subtracting the number of advanced RINs from the number
of total renewable fuel RINs.
163 40
CFR 80.1427(a)(5).
e.g., 72 FR 23904 (May 1, 2007).
165 See 80 FR 77482–87 (December 14, 2015), 81
FR 89754–55 (December 12, 2016), 82 FR 58493–
164 See,
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95 (December 12, 2017), 83 FR 63708–10 (December
11, 2018), 85 FR 7016 (February 6, 2020), 87 FR
39600 (July 1, 2022), 88 FR 44468 (July 12, 2023).
166 79 FR 49793–95 (August 15, 2013).
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167 The calculations performed to project the
number of available carryover RINs can be found in
DRIA Chapter 1.8.
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
e This total reflects the fact that for some categories deficits exceed the absolute number of available carryover RINs such that the total volume
of effective carryover RINs is zero.
Assuming that the market exactly
meets the 2024 and 2025 standards with
new RIN generation, these are also the
number of carryover RINs that would be
available for 2026 and 2027. While we
project that the volume requirements in
2024 and 2025 and the volume
scenarios for 2026 and 2027 could be
achieved without the use of carryover
RINs, there is nevertheless some
uncertainty about how the market
would choose to meet the applicable
standards. The result is that there
remains some uncertainty surrounding
the ultimate number of carryover RINs
that will be available for compliance
with the 2026 and 2027 standards. In
particular, as discussed in DRIA Chapter
1.8, the number of available carryover
RINs has decreased significantly in
recent years. While on an absolute basis
there should still be RINs available to
purchase in the marketplace, as shown
in Table III.C.4.a–1, in reality the
magnitude of compliance deficits is
even larger, making their availability
less certain. Furthermore, we note that
there have been enforcement actions in
past years that have resulted in the
retirement of carryover RINs to make up
for the generation and use of invalid
RINs and/or the failure to retire RINs for
exported renewable fuel. To the extent
that there are enforcement actions in the
future, they could have similar results
and require that obligated parties or
renewable fuel exporters settle past
enforcement-related obligations in
addition to complying with the annual
standards. In light of these
uncertainties, the number of available
carryover RINs could be larger or
smaller than the number projected in
Table V.E.1–1.
We continue to believe that carryover
RINs serve a vital programmatic
function, but also acknowledge that the
effective number of cellulosic and
conventional renewable fuel carryover
RINs is zero, and that the effective
number of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel carryover RINs is significantly
lower than it has been in recent years
and may be necessary to make up for the
significant conventional biofuel deficits.
Should the market fall short of the
volumes we are finalizing, obligated
parties will continue to be able to carry
forward a RIN deficit from one year into
the next, although they may not carry
forward a deficit for consecutive years.
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Conversely, should the market overcomply with the standards we are
finalizing, the number of available
carryover RINs could again grow.
2. Treatment of Carryover RINs for 2026
and 2027
We evaluated the number of carryover
RINs projected to be available and
considered whether we should include
any portion of them in the
determination of the volume scenarios
that we analyzed or the volume
requirements that we are proposing for
2026 and 2027. Doing so would be
equivalent to intentionally drawing
down the number of available carryover
RINs in setting those volume
requirements. After due consideration,
we do not believe that this would be
appropriate and we propose to avoid
intentionally drawing down any portion
of the projected number of available
carryover RINs in the Proposed
Volumes. In reaching this
determination, we considered the
functions of carryover RINs, the
projected number available, the
uncertainties associated with this
projection, the potential impact of
carryover RINs on the production and
use of renewable fuel, the ability and
need for obligated parties to draw on
carryover RINs to comply with their
obligations (both on an individual basis
and on a market-wide basis), and the
impacts of drawing down the number of
available carryover RINs on obligated
parties and the fuels market more
broadly. As previously described,
carryover RINs provide important and
necessary programmatic functions—
including as a cost spike buffer—that
will both facilitate individual
compliance and provide for smooth
overall functioning of the program. We
believe that a balanced consideration of
the possible role of carryover RINs in
achieving the volume requirements,
versus maintaining an adequate number
of carryover RINs for important
programmatic functions, is appropriate
when EPA exercises its discretion under
its statutory authorities.
Furthermore, in this action we are
proposing to prospectively establish
volume requirements for multiple years.
This inherently adds uncertainty and
makes it more challenging to project
with accuracy the number of carryover
RINs that will be available for each of
these years. Given these factors, and the
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uneven holding of carryover RINs
among obligated parties, we believe that
further increasing the volume
requirements for 2026 and 2027 with
the intent to draw down the number of
available carryover RINs could lead to
significant deficit carryforwards and
noncompliance by some obligated
parties. We do not believe this would be
a desirable outcome. Therefore,
consistent with the approach we have
taken in recent annual rules, we are not
proposing to set the 2026 and 2027
volume requirements at levels that
would intentionally draw down the
projected number of available carryover
RINs.
We are not determining that the
number of carryover RINs projected in
Table V.E.1–1 is a bright-line threshold
for the number of carryover RINs that
provides sufficient market liquidity and
allows carryover RINs to play their
important programmatic functions. As
in past years, we are instead evaluating,
on a case-by-case basis, the number of
available carryover RINs in the context
of the RFS standards and the broader
transportation fuel market. Based upon
this holistic, case-by-case evaluation, we
are concluding that it would be
inappropriate to intentionally reduce
the number of carryover RINs by
establishing higher volumes than what
we anticipate the market can achieve in
2026 and 2027. Conversely, while a
larger number of available carryover
RINs may provide greater assurance of
market liquidity, we do not believe it
would be appropriate to set the
standards at levels specifically designed
(i.e., low) to increase the number of
carryover RINs available to obligated
parties.
F. Summary of Proposed Volume
Requirements
For the reasons described above, we
are proposing RFS volume requirements
based on the three component categories
discussed above. The volumes for each
of the component categories (sometimes
referred to as implied volume
requirements) are summarized in Table
V.F–1. Table V.F–1 also includes the
proposed volume requirements for BBD,
which is not a component category of
renewable fuel but is based on our
evaluation of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel and other considerations
described in Section V.C.
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TABLE V.F–1: PROPOSED VOLUME REQUIREMENTS FOR COMPONENT CATEGORIES AND BBD
[Billion RINs] a
2026
Cellulosic biofuel ..........................................................................................................................................
Biomass-based diesel ..................................................................................................................................
Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel ..................................................................................................................
Conventional renewable fuel .......................................................................................................................
a All
1.30
7.12
7.72
15.00
1.36
7.50
8.10
15.00
volumes rounded to the nearest 0.01 billion RINs.
and appropriate volumes if the
proposed provisions to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks are
not finalized. Our analysis of the Low
and High Volume Scenarios
summarized in Section IV and
presented in greater detail in the DRIA
TABLE V.F–2—PROPOSED VOLUME provides an indication of the potential
REQUIREMENTS FOR STATUTORY impacts of alternative volumes. Note
that while the Proposed Volumes
CATEGORIES
(expressed in billion RINs) are similar to
a
[Billion RINs]
the Low Volume Scenario and lower
than the High Volume Scenario, we
2026
2027
project that the Proposed Volumes
Cellulosic biofuel
1.30
1.36 would result in significantly higher
Biomass-based
renewable fuel production and
diesel .............
7.12
7.50 consumption in the U.S. than either the
Advanced
Low or High Volume Scenario,
biofuel ............
9.02
9.46 particularly for domestic renewable
fuel, due to the proposed import RIN
Total renewable fuel
24.02
24.46 reduction provisions.
We also request that commenters
a All volumes rounded to the nearest 0.01
provide any data or analysis that would
billion RINs.
support alternative volumes for these
We believe that these volume
years. In particular, we request
requirements will preserve and
comment on our proposed approach of
substantially build upon the gains made accounting for the projected shortfall in
through biofuels in previous years.
the supply of conventional renewable
These proposed volume requirements,
fuel relative to the 15-billion-gallon
in combination with the proposed
implied volume when establishing the
import RIN reduction provisions, would volume requirements for advanced
continue to support the domestic
biofuel and BBD (see Section V.B for a
renewable fuel industry and help move
description of this approach). We
the U.S. towards greater energy
request comment on the advantages and
independence and energy security.
disadvantages of establishing BBD and
These proposed volume standards are
advanced biofuel volume requirements
expected to drive increased employment at levels at or closer to the projected
and economic impact in the U.S. and
supplies of these fuels, as has been
are projected to achieve additional
suggested by some stakeholders, and the
reductions in GHG emissions from the
implications of doing so on the implied
transportation sector. The proposed
volume of conventional renewable fuel
volume requirements would also
if such an approach were adopted.
promote ongoing development within
H. Summary of the Assessed Impacts of
the biofuels and agriculture industries
the Proposed Volume Standards
as well as the economies of the rural
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) requires
areas in which biofuels production
EPA to assess specific factors when
facilities and feedstock production
determining volume requirements for
reside.
calendar years after 2022. These factors
G. Request for Comment on Alternatives are described in Section I and each
We request comment on alternative
factor is discussed in detail in the DRIA.
volume requirements for each of the
However, the statute does not specify
statutory categories of renewable fuel for how EPA must assess each factor or
2026 and 2027, including volumes both address whether the EPA Administrator
higher and lower than we are proposing should monetize particular factors,
The proposed volumes for each of the
four component categories shown in the
table above can be combined to produce
volume requirements for the four
statutory renewable fuel categories on
which the applicable percentage
standards are based. The results are
shown in Table V.F–2.
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quantify particular factors, or analyze
particular factors qualitatively in
reaching a determination. For several of
these statutory factors—costs and energy
security—we provide estimates of the
monetized impacts of the proposed
volume standards. For the other
statutory factors, we are either unable to
quantify impacts, or we provide
quantitative estimated impacts that
nevertheless cannot be easily
monetized. Thus, we are unable to
quantitatively compare all the evaluated
impacts of this rulemaking and are also
unable to compare all quantitative
impacts on a consistent basis. Our
assessments of the impacts of the
proposed volume standards mirrors our
assessment of the Volume Scenarios
discussed in Section IV. That is, we
compared the difference in estimated
outcomes under the proposed volume
standards to the estimated outcomes
under the No RFS Baseline.
Assessed effects of the proposed
volume standards on the factors
enumerated below differ in the
directions of their respective impacts.
That is, some assessments show benefits
of the proposed volume standards from
the factor(s) in question, others show
negative impacts, while still others
show impacts with ambiguous or
different directional effects. Factors
with analyses showing benefits of the
proposed volume standards include
impacts on jobs, rural economic
development, energy security benefits,
and the potential for climate benefits.
Assessed factors with analyses
indicating costs or directionally
negative effects of the proposed volume
standards include impacts on fuel costs,
water and soil resources, and impacts of
induced land use change on ecosystems.
Our assessment of the effects of the
proposed volume standards on other
factors show ambiguous or mixed
directional impacts. These factors
include effects on the supply and price
of some agricultural commodities, air
quality impacts, and impacts on
infrastructure. All the statutory factors
are taken under consideration, as is
required by the statute, regardless of
whether we were able to quantify or
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monetize the impact under the proposed
volume standards on each of the
statutory factors.
1. Jobs and Rural Economic
Development
In this section, we summarize our
estimates of the impacts of the Proposed
Volumes on economy-wide employment
and rural economic development (both
include direct, indirect, and induced
impacts). These analyses are described
in detail in DRIA Chapter 9.
To estimate the impact of this
proposed rule on jobs (relative to the No
RFS baseline), we applied the same two
analytical approaches described in
Section IV.D—the ‘‘rule-of-thumb’’
approach and the use of input-output
modeling where feasible. These results
are summarized in Table V.H.1–1. For
the corn ethanol case, using the results
from the IO analysis we have developed
ranges of impacts for fuel volumes based
on uncertainty regarding how the
volumes will be provided. For example,
volumes associated with new
production capacity would also be
associated with some number of
temporary construction jobs, while
expanded capacity utilization at existing
facilities would not. These ranges of
potential impacts are summarized in
tables in Chapter 9 along with detailed
explanations of the associated
methodology.
We estimate that all three categories
of renewable fuel we analyzed—ethanol,
BBD, and RNG—are associated with
increases in jobs to varying degrees. We
observe that RNG appears to be
associated with the highest number of
direct jobs created per unit of biofuel.
However, BBD is projected to have the
highest job creation impact overall,
primarily due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the
baseline. In terms of rural employment
specifically, ethanol has the highest
direct and total effects per million
gallons of ethanol equivalent. Relative
to the No RFS Baseline and accounting
for direct, indirect, and induced effects,
BBD is projected to have the highest
impact on agricultural employment,
mainly due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the
baseline.
We also estimate that ethanol, BBD,
and RNG are all associated with
increased rural economic development,
again to varying degrees. Since
renewable fuels rely on agricultural
feedstocks, we use the GDP impacts
associated with agricultural feedstocks
to infer the effects on rural economic
development. We estimate that BBD and
ethanol have higher impacts per million
gallons of ethanol equivalent on rural
economic development than does RNG.
Relative to the No RFS Baseline and
accounting for direct, indirect, and
induced effects, BBD is projected to
have the highest impact on rural
economic development, largely due to
substantially higher production
increases relative to the baseline.
Table V.H.1–1 summarizes the
estimated economy-wide job impacts
and rural GDP impacts (including
direct, indirect, and induced impacts)
associated with the proposed volumes
of ethanol, BBD, and RNG. These
estimates of rural GDP impacts are
actual values as opposed to discounted
values, implying that they do not reflect
the time value of money.
TABLE V.H.1–1—JOB CREATION AND RURAL GDP IMPACTS OF PROPOSED VOLUMES
[FTE; million 2022$]
2026
Fuel type
2027
Rural economic
development
Jobs
Jobs
Rural economic
development
RNG .....................................................................................................
BBD ......................................................................................................
Ethanol a ...............................................................................................
19,504
92,285
5,332
1,072.16
9,742.30
366.19
20,240
96,749
5,735
1,112.59
10,213.54
393.83
Total ..............................................................................................
117,121
11,180.66
122,723
11,719.96
a For
the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL’s JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate employment and income estimates under alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. Please refer to DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
Our estimates are subject to the
limitations and assumptions of the
methods employed. They are not meant
to be exact estimates, but rather to
provide an estimate of general
magnitude. In addition, our estimates
for jobs and rural development impacts
are gross estimates and not net
estimates. To be more accurate, the job
estimates are labor demand in the
directly regulated industry. We also
acknowledge that, in the long run,
environmental regulations such as the
RFS program typically affect the
distribution of employment among
industries rather than the general
employment level.
We request comment on our
approaches to estimating jobs and rural
economic development impacts
associated with renewable fuels.
2. Energy Security
Our analysis shows that the Proposed
Volumes would have a positive impact
on energy security by reducing U.S.
reliance on foreign sources of energy.
Monetized energy security impacts of
the Proposed Volumes are summarized
in Table V.H.2–1. Energy security and
methods of quantifying energy security
impacts are discussed in Section IV.A
and DRIA Chapter 6.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
TABLE V.H.2–1—ENERGY SECURITY IMPACTS ESTIMATES OF THE PROPOSED VOLUMES
[Million 2022$]
3% Discount rate
Present value (2025) .......................................................................................................................
Annualized value a ...........................................................................................................................
$387
202
7% Discount rate
$366
202
a Computing annualized costs and benefits from present values spreads the costs and benefits equally over each period, taking account of the
discount rate. The annualized value equals the present value divided by the sum of discount factors.
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3. Climate Change
Our analysis of the effects of the
Proposed Volumes on climate change
shows a range of potential GHG
emissions impacts, from 29 million
metric tons of cumulative CO2e
reductions through 2055 (1 million
metric tons annual average reductions)
to 491 million metric tons of cumulative
CO2e reductions through 2055 (16
million metric tons annual average
reductions). Although these reductions
are notable, the uncertainties involved
in implementation and the causal
relationship between these emissions
and climate change considerations make
it difficult to evaluate the extent to
which such reductions will
meaningfully impact climate change.
Methods for estimating climate impacts
are discussed in DRIA Chapter 5.
4. Fuel Costs
The methodology used to estimate
fuel costs is summarized in Section
IV.B, while a detailed summary of the
methodology is contained in DRIA
Chapter 10. The estimated fuel costs for
the Proposed Volumes (including the
impacts of the proposed import RIN
reduction provisions) are presented in
Tables V.H.4–1 through 3, while the
estimated fuel costs for the Volume
Scenarios are summarized in Section
IV.B.2.168 Fuel costs represent the costs
of producing and using biofuels relative
to the petroleum fuels they displace.
The net estimated cost impacts are total
social costs, excluding any subsidies
and transfer payments, and thus are
incrementally added to all other societal
costs. They do not include benefits and
other factors, such as the potential
impacts on soil and water quality or
potential GHG reduction benefits. See
DRIA Chapter 10.4.2 for more detail on
the estimated costs of this action.
TABLE V.H.4–1—AGGREGATED TOTAL SOCIAL COSTS RELATIVE TO THE NO RFS BASELINE
[Million 2022$] a
2026
2027
Gasoline .......................................................................................................................................................
Diesel ...........................................................................................................................................................
Natural Gas ..................................................................................................................................................
188
7,456
¥150
206
5,871
¥142
Total ......................................................................................................................................................
7,494
5,936
a Total
cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is blended into.
TABLE V.H.4–2—PER-UNIT COSTS RELATIVE TO NO RFS BASELINE
[2022$] a
Units
Gasoline ........................................................................
Diesel ............................................................................
Natural Gas ..................................................................
Gasoline and Diesel .....................................................
2026
¢/gal ..............................................................................
¢/gal ..............................................................................
¢/thousand ft3 ...............................................................
¢/gal ..............................................................................
2027
0.14
14.22
¥0.50
4.07
0.16
11.30
¥0.49
3.26
a Per-gallon or per thousand cubic feet cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is blended into; the last row expresses the
cost over the obligated pool of gasoline and diesel fuel.
TABLE V.H.4–3—ESTIMATED DISCOUNTED FUEL COSTS IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED VOLUMES
[Million 2022$]
3% Discount rate
Present value (2025) .......................................................................................................................
Annualized value a ...........................................................................................................................
$12,871
6,726
7% Discount rate
$12,188
6,741
a Computing annualized costs and benefits from present values spreads the costs and benefits equally over each period, taking account of the
discount rate. The annualized value equals the present value divided by the sum of discount factors.
We also estimated the impact of the
Proposed Volumes on the cost to
transport goods. However, it is not
appropriate to use the social cost for this
analysis as the fuel prices include a
number of other factors, such as state
and federal incentives, that we do not
consider in our social cost estimates.
The per-unit costs from Table V.H.4–2
are adjusted to reflect RIN price impacts
and account for the biofuel subsidies
and other market factors, and the
resulting values can be thought of as
retail costs. Consistent with our
assessment of the fuels markets, we
have assumed that obligated parties pass
through their RIN costs to consumers
and that fuel blenders reflect the RIN
value of the renewable fuels in the price
of the blended fuels they sell.169 Table
V.H.5–1 summarizes the estimated
impacts of the Proposed Volumes
(including the impacts of the proposed
import RIN reduction provisions) on
168 More detailed information on the costs for the
Proposed Volumes is available in DRIA Chapter
10.4.2.
169 See DRIA Chapter 10.5 for more detailed
information on our estimates of the fuel price
impacts of this action.
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5. Cost to Transport Goods
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gasoline and diesel fuel prices at retail
when the costs of each biofuel is
amortized over the fossil fuel it
displaces. We note that while the
Proposed Volumes for 2026 and 2027
are higher than the 2025 baseline, the
projected costs of this proposed rule are
less than the 2025 baseline. This is
primarily due to lower feedstock prices
resulting in lower projected costs of
production for renewable fuels in 2026
and 2027 relative to 2025.
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TABLE V.H.5–1—ESTIMATED EFFECT OF PROPOSED VOLUMES ON RETAIL FUEL PRICES
[¢/gal]
2026
Relative to No RFS Baseline:
Gasoline ................................................................................................................................................
Diesel ....................................................................................................................................................
Relative to 2025 Baseline:
Gasoline ................................................................................................................................................
Diesel ....................................................................................................................................................
For estimating the cost to transport
goods, we focus on the impact on diesel
fuel prices since trucks that transport
goods are normally fueled by diesel fuel.
Reviewing the data in Table V.H.5–1,
the largest projected price increase is
10.6¢ per gallon for diesel fuel in 2027
for the No RFS Baseline.
The impact of fuel price increases on
the price of goods can be estimated
based on a USDA study that analyzed
the impact of fuel prices on the
wholesale price of produce.170 Applying
the price correlation from the USDA
study indicates that the 10.6¢ per gallon
diesel fuel cost increase raises retail
prices by about 2.7 percent, which
would then increase the wholesale price
of produce by about 0.7 percent. If
produce being transported by a diesel
truck costs $3 per pound, the increase
in that product’s price would be $0.02
per pound.171 If the estimated price
impacts are averaged over the combined
gasoline and diesel fuel pool, the impact
on produce prices would be
proportionally lower based on the lower
per-gallon cost.
6. Conversion of Natural Lands, Water,
Soil, and Ecosystem Impacts
Increases in volumes—particularly
BBD volumes—attributable to this
action could lead to potential increases
in agricultural land conversion to
produce biofuel feedstocks. Such land
use changes could subsequently
contribute to negative impacts to water
and soil quality, water quantity, and
ecosystems and habitat. This is
discussed further in DRIA Chapters 4.2
through 4.5.
7. Infrastructure
We evaluated the Proposed Volumes
and how they may impact the existing
renewable fuels infrastructure required
for product distribution. This includes
whether the current infrastructure
system is sufficient to accommodate the
increases in the Proposed Volumes and
potential changes that could occur with
volume increase and future demand.
Based on our analysis, we project that
the proposed renewable fuel volumes
will be compatible with existing
infrastructure and that the supply of
these fuels will not adversely impact the
infrastructure required for product
distribution. A more detailed summary
of this analysis can be found in DRIA
Chapter 8.
8. Commodity Supply
We project that the supply of
commodities used for biofuel
production, such as corn and soybeans,
will continue to increase in future years
primarily due to yield increases,
consistent with historic trends. It is
possible that increasing demand for
biofuel feedstocks such as soybean oil
2027
4.4
9.1
4.7
10.6
0.0
¥1.0
0.0
¥0.2
will divert these feedstocks from other
markets; however, we project that most
of the increase in the use of agricultural
commodities used for biofuel
production will be met by increased
production of these feedstocks rather
than diversion from existing markets.
See DRIA Chapter 9.2 for more detail on
our analysis of the impact of biofuel
production on the supply of
commodities.
9. Air Quality
We expect some localized increases in
some air pollutant concentrations due to
the Proposed Volumes, particularly at
locations near biofuel production and
transport routes. Overall, considering
end use, transport, and production,
emission changes are expected to have
variable impacts on ambient
concentrations of pollutants in specific
locations across the U.S. Air quality
impacts are discussed further in DRIA
Chapter 4.1.
10. Food and Commodity Prices
Our analysis indicates that the
Proposed Volumes would have only a
minimal impact on agricultural
commodity and food prices, with any
resulting price increases expected to be
small. A summary of the estimated
impacts is provided in Table V.H.10–1,
and further discussion can be found in
DRIA Chapters 9.3 and 9.4.
TABLE V.H.10–1—ESTIMATED EFFECT OF PROPOSED VOLUMES ON FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY PRICES
Units
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Corn Price Increase .......................................................................
Soybean Oil Price Increase ...........................................................
Soybean Meal Price Change .........................................................
Projected Food Expenditure Increase ...........................................
VI. Proposed Percentage Standards for
2026 and 2027
EPA implements the nationally
applicable volume requirements by
170 USDA, ‘‘How Transportation Costs Affect
Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Prices,’’ Economic
Research Report 160, November 2013.
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$
$
$
$
per
per
per
per
2026
bushel ................................................
pound .................................................
short ton ............................................
Consumer Unit ..................................
$0.03
0.33
¥63
17.97
2027
$0.03
0.36
¥71
18.00
establishing percentage standards that
apply to obligated parties.172 The
obligated parties to which the
percentage standards apply are
producers and importers of gasoline and
diesel, as defined by 40 CFR 80.2. Each
obligated party multiplies the
percentage standards by the sum of all
171 Coupons.com, ‘‘Comparing Prices on
Groceries,’’ May 4, 2021.
172 See 40 CFR 80.1407 and 75 FR 14670 (March
26, 2010). As discussed in the Set 1 Rule, EPA
determined that continuing to use percentage
standards as the implementing mechanism for years
after 2022 was effective and reasonable. 88 FR
44519 (July 12, 2023).
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non-renewable gasoline and diesel they
produce or import to determine their
RVOs. The RVOs are the number of
RINs that the obligated party is
responsible for procuring to
demonstrate compliance with the
applicable standards for that year. Since
there are four separate standards under
the RFS program, there are likewise four
separate RVOs applicable to each
obligated party for each year. As
described in Section II.D, EPA
establishes applicable percentage
standards for multiple future years after
2022 in a single action for as many years
as it establishes volume requirements.
The renewable fuel volumes used to
determine the 2026 and 2027 percentage
standards are shown in Table V.F–2.
A. Calculation of Percentage Standards
The formulas used to calculate the
percentage standards applicable to
obligated parties are provided in 40 CFR
80.1405(c). In addition to the required
volumes of renewable fuel, the formulas
also require estimates of the volumes of
non-renewable gasoline and diesel, for
both highway and nonroad uses, that are
projected to be used in the year in
which the standards will apply.
Consistent with previous RFS
rulemakings, we are using gasoline and
diesel projections provided by EIA—
specifically AEO2023, as this is the
most recent projection from EIA that
covers 2026 and 2027.173 However,
these projections include volumes of
renewable fuel (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel,
renewable diesel) used in gasoline and
diesel. Since the percentage standards
apply only to the non-renewable
portions of gasoline and diesel, the
volumes of renewable fuel are
subtracted out of the EIA projections of
gasoline and diesel as part of the
percentage standard equations.174
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B. Treatment of Small Refinery Volumes
In CAA section 211(o)(9), Congress
provided for qualifying small refineries
to be temporarily exempt from RFS
compliance through December 31, 2010.
Congress also provided in CAA section
211(o)(9)(A)(ii)(II) and (B)(i) that small
refineries could receive an extension of
the exemption beyond 2010 based either
on the results of a required Department
173 EIA recently issued AEO2025 on April 15,
2025. We intend to use these updated projections
in the final rule.
174 Further adjustments of these projections are
discussed in ‘‘Calculation of Proposed 2026 and
2027 RFS Percentage Standards,’’ available in the
docket for this action. Discussion of the overall
gasoline and diesel projection adjustment factor is
discussed in RFS Set 1 RIA Chapter 1.11. We may
update this adjustment factor for the final rule after
further evaluating the projections and
methodologies used in AEO2025.
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of Energy (DOE) study or in response to
individual petitions demonstrating that
the small refinery suffered
‘‘disproportionate economic hardship.’’
There is currently significant
uncertainty regarding the number of
small refinery exemption (SRE)
petitions that could be granted for 2026
and 2027. While we stated that ‘‘we
anticipate that no SREs will be granted
for these future years’’ in the Set 1 Rule
(referring to 2023–2025) due to the SRE
Denial Actions that had recently been
issued,175 subsequent court cases
invalidated those actions.176 As a result,
the SRE Denial Actions were vacated
and the majority of the SRE petitions
decided therein were remanded back to
EPA. We have yet to take further action
on these petitions and are still
determining how we will evaluate and
decide those petitions, which would
then inform how we would evaluate and
decide any SRE petitions received for
2026 and 2027. We expect to
communicate our policy regarding SRE
petitions going forward before
finalization of this rule.
While there remains uncertainty in
the volume of gasoline and diesel that
will be exempt in 2026 and 2027, we
have developed an upper- and lowerbound estimate of this exempt volume.
We currently project that there are
approximately 34 qualifying and
operational small refineries producing
up to approximately 18 billion gallons
of gasoline and diesel each year, or
about 10 percent of the total reported
volume of obligated gasoline and diesel.
Therefore, the potential range of exempt
volumes from SREs that could be
included in the calculation specified by
40 CFR 80.1405(c) for 2026 and 2027
ranges from zero gallons (if EPA denied
all SRE petitions) to 18 billion gallons
(if EPA granted all SRE petitions).
We have used these estimates to
calculate both an upper- and lowerbound on the potential percentage
standards for 2026 and 2027. While we
are still developing our new approach to
evaluating SRE petitions, for purposes
of the proposed percentage standards in
this action, we have used a volume of
18 billion gallons of exempt gasoline
and diesel (i.e., all small refineries
would be exempt from having to comply
with their 2026 and 2027 RFS
obligations). We have also calculated
175 EPA,
‘‘April 2022 Denial of Petitions for RFS
Small Refinery Exemptions,’’ EPA–420–R–22–005,
April 2022; EPA, ‘‘June 2022 Denial of Petitions for
RFS Small Refinery Exemptions,’’ EPA–420–R–22–
011, June 2022.
176 Calumet Shreveport Refining, LLC et al. v.
EPA, 86 F.4th 1121 (5th Cir. 2023); Sinclair
Wyoming Ref. Co.et al. v. EPA, 114 F.4th 693 (D.C.
Cir. 2024).
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what the percentage standards would be
if there were zero gallons of exempt
gasoline and diesel (i.e., all small
refineries would have to comply with
their 2026 and 2027 RFS obligations).
We expect that by the time we finalize
the standards for 2026 and 2027, we
will have determined our new approach
to evaluating and deciding SRE
petitions and will use that new
approach to inform our projection of the
exempt volumes of gasoline and diesel.
In the meantime, these upper- and
lower-bound estimates provide
stakeholders with a range of plausible
outcomes on which to provide
comment. We note that a higher
projection of exempt volumes of
gasoline and diesel would increase the
percentage standards and thus the
individual RVOs for non-exempt
obligated parties. Finally, we note that
regardless of the new approach for
evaluating SRE petitions, we do not
plan to revise the percentage standards
once finalized to account for any
subsequent changes to that policy or
other inaccuracies in the projection of
exempt volumes of gasoline and
diesel.177
This proposed rule, consistent with
our regulations, proposes to project the
exempt volume of gasoline and diesel
associated with SREs for the 2026 and
2027 compliance years only. This
proposed rule does not address any
exempt volume from the potential grant
of SREs for prior compliance years (i.e.,
2025 and earlier). Comments on
exemptions for compliance years other
than 2026 and 2027 will be treated as
beyond the scope of this action.
C. Percentage Standards
The formulas used to calculate the
percentage standards applicable to
obligated parties as a function of their
gasoline and diesel fuel production or
importation are provided in 40 CFR
80.1405(c).178 Using the volumes shown
in Table V.F–2 and assuming 18 billion
gallons of exempt gasoline and diesel to
represent the upper-bound estimate, we
have calculated the proposed percentage
standards for 2026 and 2027, as shown
in Table VI.C–1.179 These percentage
standards are included in the proposed
regulations at 40 CFR 80.1405(a) and
would apply to producers and importers
177 For further discussion on our approach if the
actual volume of exempt gasoline and diesel differs
from our projection, see 2020–2022 RFS Rule RTC
Section 7.1.
178 As described in Section X.C, we are proposing
revisions and clarifications to the percentage
standard equations.
179 See ‘‘Calculation of Proposed 2026 and 2027
RFS Percentage Standards,’’ available in the docket
for this action.
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of gasoline and diesel. We have also
calculated what the percentage
standards for 2026 and 2027 would be
assuming zero gallons of exempt
gasoline and diesel, representing the
lower-bound estimate of the standards,
also as shown in Table VI.C–1.
TABLE VI.C–1—PROPOSED PERCENTAGE STANDARDS FOR 2026 AND 2027
Lower-bound estimate
(0 gal exempt G+D)
2026
(%)
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Cellulosic biofuel ......................................................................
Biomass-based diesel ..............................................................
Advanced biofuel .....................................................................
Renewable fuel ........................................................................
VII. Partial Waiver of the 2025
Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement
In the Set 1 Rule, EPA promulgated
RFS volume requirements and
percentage standards for 2023–2025. As
part of that rulemaking, EPA projected
that 1.38 billion cellulosic RINs would
be generated in 2025 and used that
volume to establish the 2025 cellulosic
biofuel percentage standard of 0.81
percent.180 This projection was largely
based on the assumption that cellulosic
RIN generation was primarily
constrained by cellulosic biofuel
production and was therefore set equal
to projected production. However, we
have now determined that the main
limitation for cellulosic RIN generation
is the number of vehicles capable of
using cellulosic biofuel as
transportation fuel.181 Consequently, we
have updated our cellulosic biofuel
projection methodology to be
constrained by the total consumption of
vehicles capable of using cellulosic
biofuel. Based on this change, we now
project that only 1.19 billion cellulosic
RINs will be generated in 2025, a
shortfall of 0.19 billion RINs from the
1.38 billion RINs projected in the Set 1
Rule. Due to this shortfall and reasons
further explained in Sections VII.A
through C, we are proposing to partially
waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement to 1.19 billion RINs
(the projected cellulosic RIN generation
in 2025) using the CAA section
211(o)(7)(D) ‘‘cellulosic waiver
authority.’’
We currently project that the supply
of advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel in 2025 will exceed the required
volumes by a significant margin, despite
the projected shortfall in cellulosic
biofuel. Given the projected surplus of
2025 advanced RINs, we are not
proposing to waive the volume
requirements for any of the other
categories of renewable fuel (i.e., BBD,
180 40
CFR 80.1405(a).
Section VII.B and DRIA Chapter 7.1.3.
181 See
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2027
(%)
0.77
4.24
5.37
14.30
A. Cellulosic Waiver Authority Statutory
Background
The cellulosic waiver authority at
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) provides
that ‘‘[f]or any calendar year for which
the projected volume of cellulosic
biofuel production is less than the
minimum applicable volume
established under [CAA section
211(o)](2)(B)], as determined by the
Administrator based on the estimate
provided under paragraph (3)(A),’’ EPA
‘‘shall reduce the applicable volume of
cellulosic biofuel required under
paragraph (2)(B) to the projected volume
available during that calendar year’’ and
that this reduction shall be made ‘‘not
later than November 30 of the preceding
calendar year.’’ For those years in which
EPA ‘‘makes such a reduction,’’ the
statute further provides that EPA may
also ‘‘reduce the applicable volume of
renewable fuel and advanced biofuels
requirement . . . by the same or a lesser
volume.’’ As such, even when EPA
exercises its cellulosic waiver authority,
the determination of whether to
correspondingly reduce the total
renewable fuel or advanced biofuel
requirements is discretionary.
When EPA determines that the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
production for a given year will be less
than the annual applicable volume
established under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B), EPA is then required to
reduce the applicable volume of
cellulosic biofuel for that calendar year.
Pursuant to this provision, EPA set the
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement
lower than the CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(i)(III) statutory volumes
enumerated by Congress for each year
from 2010–2022. EPA was challenged
regarding its interpretation of this
statutory provision, leading the D.C.
Circuit to evaluate various aspects of
EPA’s implementation of its cellulosic
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2026
(%)
0.82
4.52
5.70
14.74
advanced biofuel, and total renewable
fuel).
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(18 bil gal exempt G+D)
2027
(%)
0.87
4.75
6.02
16.02
0.92
5.07
6.40
16.54
waiver authority.182 In 2013 in API, the
court held that EPA must take a ‘‘neutral
aim at accuracy’’ in determining the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
available.183 In API and Alon Refining
Krotz Springs, Inc. v. EPA, the D.C.
Circuit upheld EPA’s decision to use the
Energy Information Administration’s
(EIA’s) projected volume of cellulosic
biofuel production to inform EPA’s
projection, without requiring ‘‘slavish
adherence by EPA to the EIA
estimate.’’ 184 In Sinclair Wyoming
Refining Co. LLC, et al. v. EPA, the D.C.
Circuit upheld EPA’s reading of the
statutory phrase ‘‘projected volume
available’’ to exclude carryover RINs.185
EPA is proposing to implement the
cellulosic waiver authority to reduce the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume after the
deadline articulated in the statute; CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) directs EPA to act
‘‘by November 30 of the preceding
calendar year’’ to determine whether
cellulosic biofuel production is likely to
fall short of the volume requirements in
a given year, and then reduce the
standard to the projected volume
available. EPA has implemented the
cellulosic waiver authority to reduce the
cellulosic biofuel volume after the
November 30 deadline on several
182 See, e.g., American Petroleum Institute v. EPA,
706 F.3d 474, 479 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (‘‘API’’)
(interpreting the ‘‘projected volume available’’ and
indicating that ‘‘the most natural reading of the
provision is to call for a projection that aims at
accuracy, not at deliberately indulging a greater risk
of overshooting than undershooting’’ in projecting
the available cellulosic biofuel volume); Americans
for Clean Energy v. EPA, 864 F.3d 691, 730 (D.C.
Cir. 2017) (‘‘ACE’’) (determining EPA’s use of the
cellulosic waiver authority to reduce advanced and
total renewable fuel was reasonable); Sinclair
Wyoming Refining Co. LLC, et al. v. EPA, 101 F.4th
871, 883 (2024) (‘‘Sinclair’’) (rejecting biofuels
producers’ challenge that EPA must include
carryover cellulosic RINs in its determination of ‘‘
projected volume available during that calendar
year’’).
183 API, 706 F.3d at 476.
184 Alon Refining Krotz Springs, Inc. v. EPA, 396
F.3d 628, 660 (D.C. Cir. 2019); API, 607 F.3d at 478.
185 Sinclair, 101 F.4th at 883–86.
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occasions.186 No party has specifically
challenged EPA’s use of the cellulosic
waiver authority after the November 30
deadline, but petitioners have
unsuccessfully challenged EPA’s late
issuance of standards under other RFS
provisions. The D.C. Circuit has
concluded that EPA retains the ability to
issue late standards even when it acts
after the statutory deadlines have
passed.187 We therefore rely on our past
practice in implementing the RFS
program and favorable case law to
implement the cellulosic waiver
authority to waive the volume
requirements for a given year even when
the November 30 deadline in the
preceding year has passed, as it has in
this instance.
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) also refers
to the ‘‘projected volume of cellulosic
biofuel production’’ and the ‘‘projected
volume available,’’ which some parties
have suggested is another indication
that the provision should or could only
be used prospectively. EPA believes the
best reading of the statute is instead that
there are projections necessary to
determine the ‘‘volume of . . .
production’’ and the ‘‘volume
available,’’ both when EPA acts in a
timely manner by November 30 of the
preceding year and when EPA waives
the volume requirement after the
November 30 date. The use of the term
‘‘projected’’ in the statute does
contemplate the need for forwardlooking estimates; however, it does not
follow that the statutory language
prohibits EPA from acting after
November 30.188
We note that the statutory language
indicates that the use of the cellulosic
waiver authority is mandatory. That is,
whenever the projected volume of
cellulosic biofuel production is less
than the minimum applicable volume
established under CAA section (o)(2)(B),
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) provides
that EPA ‘‘shall reduce the applicable
volume of cellulosic biofuel required
under paragraph (2)(B) to the projected
volume available during that calendar
year.’’ EPA implemented this provision
for every year from 2010–2022 and
186 See, e.g., 79 FR 25025 (May 2, 2014) (direct
final rule reducing the 2013 cellulosic biofuel
volume in May 2014), 80 FR 77420 (December 14,
2015) (final rule reducing the 2014 and 2015
cellulosic biofuel volumes in December 2015), 87
FR 39600 (July 1, 2022) (final rule reducing the
2020 and 2021 volumes in July 2022).
187 See ACE, 864 F.3d at 721.
188 See Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, 603
U.S. 369, 400 (2024) (in overruling Chevron
deference, the Court observed that it ‘‘makes no
sense to speak of a ‘permissible’ interpretation [of
a statute] that is not the one the court, after
applying all relevant interpretive tools, concludes is
best. In the business of statutory interpretation, if
it is not the best, it is not permissible.’’).
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again in 2024 to reduce the cellulosic
biofuel volume consistent with the
statutory directive that EPA shall reduce
the volume when the requisite
conditions are met.189
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(ii) directs
EPA to make cellulosic waiver credits
(CWCs) available whenever it reduces
the cellulosic biofuel volume under
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D). CWCs—
which are offered for sale to obligated
parties at a price established by
regulation 190 per CAA section
211(o)(7)(D)(iii)—provide compliance
flexibility for obligated parties.
However, it should be noted that CWCs
only satisfy an obligated party’s
cellulosic biofuel obligation; unlike a
cellulosic RIN, a CWC cannot be used to
satisfy an obligated party’s advanced
biofuel or total renewable fuel
obligation.191 To obtain the same
compliance value as a cellulosic RIN, an
obligated party using a CWC for
compliance with the cellulosic biofuel
standard needs to also acquire an
advanced or BBD RIN to use towards
meeting its advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel obligations. When CWCs
are made available, they generally limit
or cap the price of cellulosic RINs.192
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D) provides
that EPA may reduce the applicable
volume of total renewable fuel and
advanced biofuel in years when EPA
reduces the applicable volume of
cellulosic biofuel under that provision.
That reduction must be less than or
equal to the reduction in cellulosic
biofuel. The D.C. Circuit explained:
There is no requirement to reduce these
latter quotas, nor does the statute prescribe
any factors that EPA must consider in making
its decision. . . . In the absence of any
express or implied statutory directive to
consider particular factors, EPA reasonably
concluded that it enjoys broad discretion
regarding whether and in what circumstances
to reduce the advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel volumes under the cellulosic
waiver provision.193
Using this discretion, EPA has, in the
past, declined to reduce the advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel
volumes in certain circumstances.194 In
other circumstances, EPA has reduced
the advanced biofuel and total
189 EPA acknowledges that it did not waive the
2023 cellulosic biofuel volume requirement. See
https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standardprogram/epa-denial-petition-partial-waiver-2023cellulosic-biofuel.
190 40 CFR 80.1456.
191 72 FR 14726–27 (March 26, 2010).
192 See, e.g., 85 FR 7025 (February 6, 2020); 87 FR
39616 (July 1, 2022).
193 Monroe v. EPA, 750 F.3d 909, 915 (2014). See,
also, ACE at 721.
194 See, e.g., 78 FR 49794, 49811 (August 15,
2013).
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25835
renewable fuel volumes using this
authority.195 It is worth noting that
EPA’s practice of reducing the advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel
volumes utilizing the cellulosic waiver
authority in past years served to carry
through the partial waiver necessitated
by the shortfall in cellulosic biofuel to
the other nested renewable fuel
categories when reducing the statutory
cellulosic biofuel volumes established
by Congress in 2007. In many cases
reductions to the advanced biofuel and
total renewable fuel volumes were
necessary to enable compliance by
obligated parties. For example, EPA
reduced the cellulosic biofuel volume
by over 15 billion gallons for 2022. Had
EPA not also reduced the 2022
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel volumes, these requirements would
have been 15 billion gallons higher, far
exceeding the market’s ability to supply
qualifying renewable fuels, even after
considering available carryover RINs. In
contrast, for 2025, a year for which EPA
set the volume requirements using our
set authority, the partial waiver of the
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement is
significantly smaller than in prior years
(0.19 billion gallons), in part due to the
fact that instead of starting with a
statutory table volume set by Congress
many years ago, EPA itself established
the volume requirements in 2023 under
the set authority. As discussed further
in Section VII.B, we are not proposing
to adjust the 2025 total renewable fuel
and advanced biofuel volumes because
those volumes are likely to be achieved
in the market.
B. Assessment of Cellulosic RINs
Available for Compliance in 2025
Currently, nearly all cellulosic RINs
are generated from the production and
use of biogas-derived CNG and LNG.196
To project total cellulosic RIN
generation for 2025, we first estimated
the number of CNG/LNG vehicles and
their corresponding average
consumption. Because biogas-derived
CNG/LNG generates RINs only when
used as transportation fuel, total CNG/
LNG consumption—whether fossil- or
biogas-derived—sets the upper limit for
potential RIN generation from biogasderived CNG/LNG. However, full
replacement of total CNG/LNG usage
with biogas-derived fuel is unlikely due
to infrastructure limitations, costs, and
195 See, e.g., 80 FR 77420 (December 14, 2015). 81
FR 89746 (December 12, 2016).
196 More than 95 percent of all cellulosic RINs
generated in 2024 were attributed to CNG/LNG
derived from biogas. See ‘‘Total Net Generation’’
RIN data table at: https://www.epa.gov/fuelsregistration-reporting-and-compliance-help/rinsgenerated-transactions.
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other challenges. To account for this, we
applied an efficiency factor to estimate
the portion of total CNG/LNG
consumption that could realistically be
met with biogas-derived fuel and, in
turn, the number of cellulosic RINs that
could be generated.197 While the
majority of cellulosic biofuel comes
from biogas-derived CNG/LNG, small
volumes of liquid cellulosic biofuel
have also contributed to total cellulosic
volumes and were therefore included in
this estimate.198 Based on this updated
projection methodology, we estimate
that cellulosic RIN generation for 2025
will be 1.19 billion RINs.199
C. Proposed Partial Waiver of the 2025
Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement
1. Implementation of the Cellulosic
Waiver Authority
The cellulosic waiver authority is
specific regarding when it is available
and how the volume reduction should
be determined when acting under the
authority, as discussed in Section VII.A.
EPA has determined that ‘‘the projected
volume of cellulosic biofuel production
is less than the minimum applicable
volume’’ for 2025. In the Set 1 Rule,
EPA established the ‘‘minimum
applicable volume’’ of cellulosic biofuel
for 2025 to be 1.38 billion RINs and
used that volume to calculate the 2025
cellulosic biofuel percentage standard of
0.81 percent.200 The actual number of
cellulosic RINs that obligated parties
will ultimately need to retire for
compliance with the current standard
will not be known until after the 2025
compliance deadline,201 when obligated
parties report to EPA their 2025 gasoline
and diesel production and import
volumes.202 However, for the purpose of
making a decision to partially waive the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement, we have assumed that the
actual total 2025 cellulosic biofuel
obligation, if not reduced, will be 1.38
billion RINs.203 We currently estimate
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197 See
DRIA Chapter 7.1.3 and 7.1.4 for
information on the analysis for 2025 biogas-derived
CNG/LNG volumes.
198 See DRIA Chapter 7.1.3 and 7.1.5 for
information on the analysis for 2025 liquid
cellulosic biofuel volumes.
199 We intend to consider additional cellulosic
RIN generation data throughout the remainder of
2025 as it becomes available to inform any final
action.
200 88 FR 44470–71 (July 12, 2023).
201 The compliance deadline for the 2025
standards will be the first quarterly reporting
deadline after the 2026 standards are effective. 40
CFR 80.1451(f)(1)(i)(A).
202 40 CFR 80.1451 and 80.1427(a).
203 Because the compliance obligation is
calculated on a percentage basis, if the actual
gasoline and diesel volumes reported by obligated
parties differ from the projected gasoline and diesel
volumes that were used to derive the percentage
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that only 1.19 billion cellulosic RINs are
projected to be generated in 2025,
representing the projected volume of
cellulosic biofuel available in 2025.204
This is 0.19 billion fewer RINs than the
1.38 billion RINs needed to comply with
the original 2025 cellulosic biofuel
standard, a shortfall of approximately 14
percent. We therefore find that the
circumstances have triggered the need
for implementation of the cellulosic
waiver authority for 2025.
When EPA determines that a waiver
of the cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement is appropriate under CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D)(i), EPA must then
reduce the required cellulosic biofuel
volume to ‘‘the projected volume
available.’’ We have previously
interpreted the phrase ‘‘projected
volume available’’ to exclude carryover
RINs when determining the volume
adjustment to be made; this
interpretation was affirmed by the D.C.
Circuit in Sinclair.205 EPA has
consistently interpreted the ‘‘projected
volume available’’ as ‘‘the volume of
qualifying cellulosic biofuel projected to
be produced or imported and available
for use as transportation fuel in the U.S.
in that year.’’ 206 In determining the
‘‘projected volume available,’’ EPA must
take a ‘‘neutral aim at accuracy.’’ 207
As discussed in Section VII.B, the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
available in 2025 is 1.19 billion RINs.
Thus, when the cellulosic waiver
authority is applied, EPA is only able to
reduce the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume to the projected volume
available of 1.19 billion RINs. However,
in accordance with the statute, EPA is
also required to make CWCs available to
obligated parties, which can be used—
along with additional BBD or advanced
RINs—to cover any remaining
shortfall.208 The availability of CWCs
helps ensure RFS program stability by
reducing the likelihood that obligated
standard, then the actual number of RINs required
for compliance will differ from the projected
volume that was used to calculate the percentage
standard. Although we rely on the 1.38-billion-RIN
projection for 2025 in the Set 1 Rule that was the
basis for the 2025 cellulosic biofuel percentage
standard, EPA would reach the same conclusion to
waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement, for the reasons stated below, using a
higher RIN obligation (i.e., a higher gasoline and
diesel projection).
204 See DRIA Chapter 7.1.3.
205 Sinclair, 101 F.4th at 883–86.
206 See, e.g., 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022); see also
Sinclair, 101 F.4th at 883–86.
207 API v. EPA, 706 F.3d 474, 479 (D.C. Cir. 2013).
208 Pursuant to 40 CFR 80.1405(d), the CWC price
is calculated using the methodology specified in 40
CFR 80.1456(d) and posted on EPA’s website at:
https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standardprogram/cellulosic-waiver-credits-under-renewablefuel-standard-program.
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parties may be forced into noncompliance with their RFS obligations;
any obligated party that is unable to
acquire sufficient cellulosic RINs to
comply with their 2025 cellulosic
biofuel obligations—plus any cellulosic
RIN deficit carried from 2024—would
be able to purchase CWCs to cover the
shortfall.209
Given that ‘‘the projected volume of
cellulosic biofuel production is less
than the minimum applicable volume’’
for 2025, we are proposing to implement
the cellulosic waiver authority to waive
the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement to 1.19 billion RINs, a
reduction of 0.19 billion RINs from the
original volume requirement of 1.38
billion RINs. This proposed volume
requirement matches the projected
cellulosic RIN generation for 2025 of
1.19 billion RINs.210
Finally, CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)
provides that EPA may reduce the
applicable volume of total renewable
fuel and advanced biofuel in years when
EPA reduces the applicable volume of
cellulosic biofuel under that provision.
That reduction must be less than or
equal to the reduction in cellulosic
biofuel. The D.C. Circuit concluded that
the cellulosic waiver authority provides
EPA ‘‘broad discretion’’ to consider a
variety of factors in determining
whether to reduce the total renewable
fuel and advanced biofuel volumes
under this provision.211 We currently
have insufficient data from 2025 to
adequately project the supply of
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel in 2025. Data from previous years,
however, indicate that there will likely
be a sufficient supply of RINs to meet
the advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel volume requirements. In
2023, advanced and total RIN generation
(8.99 billion RINs and 23.82 billion
RINs, respectively) significantly
exceeded the required volumes (5.94
billion RINs and 21.54 billion RINs,
respectively).212 Similarly, advanced
209 Unlike cellulosic RINs—which apply towards
an obligated party’s cellulosic biofuel, advanced
biofuel, and total renewable fuel obligations—CWCs
only apply towards an obligated party’s cellulosic
biofuel obligation and not toward their nested
advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel
obligation. Obligated parties that satisfy their
cellulosic biofuel obligations with CWCs would
therefore also have to purchase additional BBD or
advanced RINs to meet their associated advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel obligations.
210 We intend to consider additional cellulosic
RIN generation data throughout the remainder of
2025 as it becomes available to inform any final
action.
211 ACE, 864 F.3d at 730–734; see also Monroe
Energy, LLC v. EPA, 750 F.3d 909 (D.C. Cir. 2014).
212 See ‘‘Total Net Generation’’ RIN data table at:
https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reportingand-compliance-help/rins-generated-transactions.
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and total RIN generation in 2024 (10.42
billion RINs and 25.30 billion RINs,
respectively) exceeded not only the
2024 volume requirements (6.54 billion
RINs and 21.54 billion RINs,
respectively) but also the 2025 volume
requirements (7.33 billion RINs and
22.33 billion RINs, respectively).213
These RIN generation numbers indicate
that the market is capable of meeting the
2025 advanced biofuel and total
renewable volume requirements after
accounting for the projected shortfall in
cellulosic biofuel. Further, even if the
market falls short of the volume
requirements in 2025, the significant
oversupply of RINs in previous years
indicates that there will be sufficient
carryover RINs to make up for any
shortfall in 2025.
We believe reductions to the 2025
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel volumes are not necessary or
warranted based on the available supply
data, given that the market is projected
to provide volumes of these fuels in
excess of the requirements established
in the Set 1 Rule. Reductions in these
volume requirements at this time would
only serve to increase the number of
advanced and total carryover RINs.
Historically, we have declined to take
actions that would inflate the number of
available carryover RINs.214
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2. Economic Impact
The proposed partial waiver of the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement is expected to have an
economic impact. However,
quantitatively projecting the economic
impact of this reduction is challenging
for several reasons. First, the proposed
partial waiver is due to a shortfall in the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel in
2025. Because of this, higher volumes of
cellulosic RINs cannot simply be made
available at greater prices; instead,
obligated parties will be unable to
purchase additional quantities of 2025
cellulosic RINs at any price. The
potential economic impact of this action
is further complicated by the fact that
while some obligated parties can defer
some or all of their 2025 cellulosic
biofuel obligation to 2026, other
This table includes all reported RINs that were
generated and not otherwise retired due to RIN
generation error (i.e., an invalid RIN). Thus, the
volume of RINs in this table is the volume of RINs
that have been made available for compliance with
the RFS standards.
213 Id.
214 87 FR 39600, 39621 (July 1, 2022) (‘‘While
EPA has previously set the RFS standards at what
the market actually used (like for 2014 and 2015 in
the 2014–2016 rule), we have never intentionally
reduced the standards with the express intent to
inflate the size of the carryover RIN bank.’’); 2020–
2022 RFS Rule RTC Section 2.6.1.
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obligated parties that carry cellulosic
RIN deficits from 2024 into 2025 will be
required to fully satisfy their cellulosic
biofuel obligations in 2025, including
the cellulosic RIN deficits carried
forward from 2024. Any party that fails
to do so would likely be in noncompliance and could be subject to
penalties.215
Despite the complications associated
with estimating the economic impacts of
this action, we can determine that it
would result in cost savings. We are
proposing to reduce only the 2025
cellulosic biofuel volume. Because we
are not proposing to reduce the 2025
advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel volumes, this action would
effectively replace the reduced
cellulosic biofuel volume with
additional volumes of advanced biofuel,
which generally has a lower marginal
cost than cellulosic biofuel.216
Finally, we can reasonably project
that because this action would reduce
demand for cellulosic RINs, it is
expected to directionally decrease
cellulosic RIN prices. The exact
magnitude of this price reduction
depends on a wide range of market
factors that prevent us from quantitively
projecting a RIN price impact. At the
same time, because this action
incrementally increases demand for
advanced RINs, it is projected to
directionally increase BBD and
advanced RIN prices. We note, however,
that this price impact is expected to be
relatively small, as this action would
increase demand for advanced biofuel
by the magnitude of the proposed
partial waiver of the 2025 cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement (0.19
billion RINs).
D. Calculation of Proposed 2025
Cellulosic Biofuel Percentage Standard
As described in Section VII.C, we are
proposing to implement the cellulosic
waiver authority to partially waive the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement from 1.38 billion RINs to
1.19 billion RINs. As described in
Section VI, the formula used to calculate
the cellulosic biofuel percentage
standard applicable to obligated parties
as a function of their gasoline and diesel
fuel production or importation is
215 We recognize that the cellulosic waiver
authority is mandatory, and thus would avoid the
potential noncompliance and lack of RINs
described herein. Nevertheless, we describe these
potential outcomes to illustrate the difficulty in
calculating the cost savings of the action.
216 The nested nature of the RFS program allows
cellulosic biofuel to be used to meet the advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel volume
requirements. Any cellulosic biofuel that can be
supplied beyond the required volume can be used
in place of advanced biofuel.
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provided in 40 CFR 80.1405(c). Using
the same values from the Set 1 Rule for
the variables in this formula other than
RFVCB (the cellulosic biofuel
volume),217 we have calculated the
proposed revised cellulosic biofuel
percentage standard for 2025 to be 0.70
percent, down from 0.81 percent.218
This percentage standard is included in
the proposed regulations at 40 CFR
80.1405(a) and would apply to
producers and importers of gasoline and
diesel.
VIII. Reduction in the Number of RINs
Generated for Imported Fuels and
Feedstocks
A. Introduction and Rationale
In this action, we are proposing an
‘‘import RIN reduction’’ for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced domestically from foreign
feedstocks.219 Under this proposed
approach, renewable fuel producers and
importers would generate 50 percent
fewer RINs than they generate for the
same volume of import-based renewable
fuel under the current RFS regulations
for RINs generated in 2026 and later
years. The proposed approach would
not affect RINs generated in 2025 or
earlier years. Renewable fuel produced
by domestic renewable fuel producers
using domestic feedstocks would
continue to generate the same number of
RINs that they currently do. The import
RIN reduction would apply to all
foreign-produced renewable fuel,
regardless of whether those fuels are
produced from domestic or foreign
feedstocks. The reduction of RINs
generated for import-based renewable
fuel reflects the reduced economic,
energy security, and environmental
benefits provided by these fuels relative
to renewable fuels produced
domestically using domestic feedstocks.
This proposal is intended to support
the statutory goals of energy
independence and the Administration’s
broader economic vision of
strengthening American energy
independence and bolstering domestic
agricultural markets. By implementing
an import RIN reduction, EPA aims to
reduce America’s reliance on importbased renewable fuels, enhance energy
217 88
FR 44519–21 (July 12, 2023).
‘‘Calculation of Proposed 2025 Cellulosic
Biofuel Percentage Standard,’’ available in the
docket for this action.
219 Throughout this section we refer to imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced
domestically from foreign feedstocks collectively as
‘‘import-based renewable fuel’’ and RINs generated
for these types of renewable fuel as ‘‘import RINs.’’
We also refer to renewable fuel produced
domestically from domestic feedstocks as
‘‘domestic-based renewable fuel.’’
218 See
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security, promote domestic-based
renewable fuel production, and keep
more of the economic benefits of the
RFS program within the U.S., while
accomplishing the broader goals of the
RFS program. We believe that an import
RIN reduction would align the RFS
program with these goals. We are also
requesting comment on whether a
higher or lower import RIN reduction
factor (i.e., more or less than the
proposed 50 percent reduction) would
be appropriate.
The RFS program began in 2006
pursuant to the requirements of EPAct,
the stated purpose of which was to
‘‘ensure jobs for our future with secure,
affordable, and reliable energy.’’ 220 The
statutory requirements of EPAct were
codified in CAA section 211(o) and
were subsequently amended by EISA,
the purpose of which was to ‘‘move the
United States toward greater energy
independence and security, to increase
the production of clean renewable fuels,
to protect consumers, to increase the
efficiency of products, buildings, and
vehicles, to promote research on and
deploy greenhouse gas capture and
storage options, and to improve the
energy performance of the Federal
Government, and for other
purposes.’’ 221 From the purpose
statements in these two enactments,
where Congress’ focus is clearly on
American jobs, American energy
independence and security, and
increasing the production of American
clean renewable fuels, it is evident that
Congress intended the RFS program to
be a program for the benefit of the
American people generally and for
certain important segments of the
American domestic economy
specifically. We believe it is consistent
with this Congressional intent to take
steps to ensure that most of the
economic value of the RFS program
flows to American fuel and feedstock
producers rather than their foreign
competitors.
From the inception of the RFS
program, EPA has allowed for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced domestically from foreign
feedstocks to generate RINs, provided
EPA is assured that certain statutory
criteria have been met. EPA thus
acknowledges that we have historically
placed import-based renewable fuel on
an equal footing with domestic-based
renewable fuel. The number of RINs
generated for import-based renewable
fuel has been the same as the number of
RINs generated for domestic-based
renewable fuel.
While EPA has historically treated
import-based renewable fuel as equal to
domestic-based renewable fuel, there is
nothing in CAA section 211(o) that
requires providing the same benefits to
foreign entities as domestic entities.
CAA section 211(o)(5)(A) simply
provides that EPA’s regulations must
provide ‘‘for the generation of an
appropriate amount of credits’’ by
entities covered by the RFS program,
without further specifying how ‘‘an
appropriate amount of credits’’ should
be determined. The term ‘‘appropriate’’
necessarily leaves agencies with
flexibility to implement statutory
programs, so long as that discretion is
exercised consistent with the context
and structure in which the term
appears.222
In this action, EPA is proposing to
modify the treatment of import-based
renewable fuels under the RFS program
for the reasons discussed below and in
Section VIII.B. EPA requests comment
on this issue and on any relevant
statutory interpretation issues that bear
on EPA’s authority to differentiate
among suppliers when assigning RINs
for reasons based on the statutes’
language, legislative history, and
purposes.
1. Aligning the RFS Program With
America’s Economic Interests To
Support Domestic Agriculture and Rural
Economies
As noted above, the purpose
statements of both EPAct and EISA
make it clear that Congress intended the
RFS program to, among other goals
discussed further below, support
American agriculture and strengthen
rural economies in the U.S. While the
RFS program has furthered these goals,
the recent influx of imported renewable
fuels and feedstocks threatens those
gains and the RFS program’s ability to
build on them.
In 2021, import-based renewable fuel
accounted for approximately 25 percent
of the total biodiesel and renewable
diesel supply. By 2024, such imports
surged to nearly 45 percent of the U.S.
biodiesel and renewable diesel
market.223 By volume and value, much
of this supply comes from countries
such as China and Brazil rather than
supporting American feedstock
producers.
EPA is concerned that the increasing
amounts of foreign feedstocks, such as
UCO and animal fats from China,
Southeast Asia, and South America,
v. EPA, 576 U.S. 743, 752 (2015).
Section III.B.2 and DRIA Chapter 3.2 for
more information on EPA’s estimate of imported vs.
domestic supplies of BBD in 2024.
222 Michigan
223 See
220 Public
Law 109–58, 119 Stat. 594.
221 Public Law 110–140, 121 Stat. 1492.
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may be displacing U.S.-produced
feedstocks like corn and soybean oil in
the renewable fuels market. This shift
comes at a time when American farmers
are already struggling due to declining
revenues. According to USDA, net farm
income is projected to fall by
approximately $32 billion from 2022 to
2024.224 Without EPA intervention,
these relatively cheap imports will
continue to undercut U.S. producers,
reducing the economic value of the RFS
program to American feedstock and fuel
producers, weakening support for rural
economies, and further harming U.S.
farmers.
The import RIN reduction proposed
in this action would help American
farmers by ensuring demand for
domestic-based renewable fuels.
Renewable fuel producers would be able
to generate more RINs (and thus realize
greater RIN value) for renewable fuels
produced from domestic feedstocks
relative to foreign feedstocks. This
dynamic would increase the willingness
for domestic renewable producers to
pay higher prices for domestic
feedstocks relative to foreign feedstocks
because, all else equal, they would be
able to generate higher revenue for fuels
produced from domestic feedstocks. In
turn, the higher prices offered for
domestic feedstocks would increase the
revenue of domestic feedstock
producers and provide incentives for
increased production of domestic
feedstocks. By ensuring support for
domestic feedstocks and fuels, it is our
expectation that the proposed approach
will revitalize domestic demand for
American crops, stabilize farm incomes,
and stimulate economic growth in rural
communities.
Consistent with our understanding of
the original Congressional intent for the
RFS program, EPA believes any
economic benefits derived from the RFS
program should be retained in the U.S.
to the maximum extent practicable. We
do not believe that Congress intended to
create a program to benefit foreign
producers. However, there is significant
concern that the increased importation
of feedstocks and fuels observed above
may indicate that such foreign
producers are benefiting from the
economic incentives intended to
stimulate rural American communities.
As a U.S. federal program, the RFS
program was designed to promote
American agricultural prosperity. The
proposed import RIN reduction
provisions further that goal and ensures
American farmers and domestic
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224 USDA, ‘‘Net Cash Income,’’ Farm Income and
Wealth Statistics, February 6, 2025. https://
data.ers.usda.gov/reports.aspx?ID=4024.
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renewable fuel producers remain the
primary beneficiaries of the RFS
program.
2. Strengthening U.S. Energy Security
and Energy Independence
Reducing U.S. dependence on foreign
energy sources is a cornerstone of this
Administration’s energy policy. As
discussed in detail in Section IV and
DRIA Chapter 6, it is also a foundational
goal of the RFS program. Although
import-based renewable fuels contribute
to U.S. energy supply and help to hedge
against reliance on foreign fossil fuel
producers, reliance on these imports
risks creating the exact vulnerabilities
that the RFS program was intended to
forestall. Global supply chain
disruptions, trade disputes, and
geopolitical instability can impact the
renewable fuel and feedstock markets,
leading to increased price volatility
across the RIN market, renewable fuel
and feedstock markets, and gasoline and
diesel markets.
The import RIN reduction would
encourage greater investment in
domestic-based renewable fuel
production. By putting America’s
farmers and renewable fuel producers
first, the proposed import RIN reduction
provisions would also strengthen
America’s energy independence and
resilience by reducing exposure to
global market disruptions and securing
self-reliance in the supply of domesticbased renewable fuels.
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3. Protecting the Environment
The core objective of EPA—to protect
human health and the environment—is
also the focus of our administration of
the RFS program. We believe that
allowing import-based renewable fuels
to have equal RIN generation potential
undermines this goal, particularly when
there are concerns over the validity of
imported feedstocks.
One of the most widely used
feedstocks used to produce importbased renewable fuels is UCO.
Substantial challenges already exist
regarding EPA’s ability to verify
whether the requirements for imported
UCO under the RFS program have been
satisfied. Recently, industry experts
have raised additional concerns that
some UCO shipments may be
fraudulently labeled or adulterated with
unused palm oil. Propagation of palm
trees for oil production has devastating
environmental costs and undermines
the GHG emissions-reduction goals of
the RFS program.225 These concerns
225 S&P Global, ‘‘New Biofuel Data Triggers Fresh
Fraud Concerns Over EU Imports,’’ December 14,
2023.
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contributed to the decision by the U.S.
Department of Treasury and Internal
Revenue Service to not include
pathways for imported UCO in the
initial 45ZCF–GREET model, making
these fuels ineligible to generate tax
credits under that program.226 Similar
concerns have led the EU to consider
suspending the mandatory recognition
of the certification of waste-based
biofuels by the International
Sustainability and Carbon
Certification.227
The proposed import RIN reduction
provisions would not prohibit imports
but would instead signal to market
participants that domestic-based
renewable fuels—manufactured under
closely monitored U.S. environmental
standards—are preferable. By rewarding
domestic-based renewable fuels with
full RIN generation potential, EPA
would reinforce environmental
protection and strengthen the integrity
of the RFS program without sacrificing
the flexibility to utilize import-based
renewable fuels when necessary.
4. Safeguarding the Original Intent of
the RFS Program
In sum, the RFS program was
designed with clear objectives: to reduce
GHG emissions, expand the U.S.
renewable fuel sector in support of
domestic producers and rural
economies, and decrease reliance on
foreign energy. However, the rising
share of import-based renewable fuel
undermines these goals by:
• Redirecting the economic benefits
of the program away from American
farmers and rural communities.
• Increasing America’s exposure to
volatile global fuel and commodity trade
dynamics.
• Increasing America’s reliance on
foreign sources of fuel and supplies
necessary to produce fuel domestically.
By implementing the proposed import
RIN reduction, EPA seeks to restore the
benefits of the RFS program to its
originally intended recipients. This
approach would ensure that the
program continues to achieve these
important goals while prioritizing
domestic economic prosperity.
B. Legal Authority
Historically, EPA used ‘‘equivalence
values’’ to determine how many RINs a
given quantity of renewable fuel
generates.228 In doing so, we relied on
226 Notice 2025–10, 2025–6 I.R.B. 682 (Feb. 3,
2025).
227 The Maritime Executive, ‘‘EU Scrutinizes
Fraud in Certification of Biofuels,’’ March 30, 2025.
228 See, e.g., 72 FR 23900, 23918–23922 (May 1,
2007) and 75 FR 14670, 14709–10, 14716–18
(March 26, 2010).
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CAA section 211(o)(5) to justify our
method for allocating RIN values for
different renewable fuels. The
equivalence values were calculated
based on the renewable fuel’s energy
content relative to a gallon of ethanol,
such that renewable fuels with a greater
energy potential were allowed to
generate a more than one RIN per
gallon.229
We propose using the same statutory
language to justify reduced RIN
generation for import-based renewable
fuel. Section 211(o)(5)(A) states that
EPA ‘‘shall provide’’ for ‘‘the generation
of an appropriate amount of credits by
any person that refines, blends, or
imports . . . a quantity of renewable
fuel’’ and ‘‘for the generation of an
appropriate amount of credits for
biodiesel.’’ In establishing equivalence
values, EPA highlighted these statutory
provisions as ‘‘evidence that Congress
did not limit this program solely to a
straight volume measurement of gallons
in the context of the RFS program.’’ 230
Similarly, in this action we propose to
find that the statutory language
‘‘appropriate amount of credits’’
alongside the same subsection’s
differentiation among parties who
‘‘refine[ ], blend[ ], or import[ ]’’
renewable fuel allows EPA to determine
that imported renewable fuel (and
renewable fuel made from foreign
feedstocks) may be assigned a lesser
amount of credits as EPA determines is
appropriate. We additionally rely on the
language in CAA section 211(o)(5)(A)(ii)
to determine that imported biodiesel
(and biodiesel made from foreign
feedstocks) may be assigned a lesser
amount of credits as EPA determines is
appropriate. As noted above, the term
‘‘appropriate’’ is broad and flexible, and
courts have recognized that Congress
uses it to leave agencies with flexibility
to administer statutory programs
consistent with relevant context and
structure.231
In doing so, EPA is not advancing a
new interpretation of CAA section
211(o)(5)(A). Rather, we are proposing a
change in policy consistent with EPA’s
existing understanding of that
provision’s delegation of discretion.
This new policy would further delineate
the amount of credits (i.e., RINs) that are
‘‘appropriate’’ for volumes of renewable
fuel depending on whether they are
229 Id. We note that in this action we are not
reopening our approach to providing equivalence
values established in the RFS2 Rule, nor any other
equivalence values (other than those discussed in
Section X.A). Comments about equivalence values
more generally will be treated as beyond the scope
of this action.
230 72 FR 23900, 23919 (May 1, 2007).
231 See, e.g., Michigan, 576 U.S. at 752.
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imported—a factor the statute explicitly
names as relevant to that
consideration.232 CAA section
211(o)(5)(A) is the kind of clear
Congressional delegation of discretion
that ‘‘leaves [the] agenc[y] with
flexibility’’ signaled by specific terms
such as ‘‘appropriate.’’ 233 Although
EPA has previously chosen to use this
discretion to assign equivalence values
for RIN generation based on a fuel’s
energy content, this was not an
exclusive understanding of how EPA
might determine the ‘‘appropriate’’
amount of credits to award. EPA may
also determine that the ‘‘appropriate
amount of credits’’ awarded for ‘‘a
quantity of renewable fuel’’ should vary
on other bases, including whether the
credits are awarded to a ‘‘person that
refines, blends, or imports’’ the fuel.
Consistent with that understanding, we
are proposing to appropriately reduce
the RIN value for imported renewable
fuel and renewable fuel made from
foreign feedstocks.
In proposing this policy change, EPA
is observing the relevant procedural
standards by acknowledging how the
new policy departs from the status quo;
by demonstrating the new policy is
permissible under the statute and that
‘‘there are good reasons for it;’’ and by
asserting, as this section does, that the
agency believes the new policy is an
improvement upon the status quo.234
EPA requests comment on this change
in policy, including on any legitimate
reliance interests on the prior policy
that EPA should consider during this
rulemaking.235
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C. Implementation
To implement the proposed import
RIN reduction for import-based
renewable fuel, we are proposing to
specify under 40 CFR 80.1426(a) that
the following parties must reduce the
number of RINs generated for the
specified renewable fuel by 50 percent:
• RIN-generating foreign producers,
for all renewable fuel produced.
• RIN-generating importers of
renewable fuel, for all imported
renewable fuel.
• Domestic renewable fuel producers,
for all renewable fuel produced from
foreign feedstocks or foreign
biointermediates.
232 ‘‘[W]hen a particular statute delegates
authority to an agency consistent with
constitutional limits, courts must respect the
delegation, while ensuring that the agency acts
within it.’’ Loper Bright Enters. v. Raimondo, 603
U.S. 369, 413 (2024).
233 Id. at 394–95 (quoting Michigan, 576 U.S. at
752).
234 FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 556 U.S.
502, 515 (2009).
235 Id.
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We believe this is the most
straightforward way to implement the
proposed import RIN reduction, rather
than proposing a separate set of RIN
generation equations for import RINs.
We request comment on the proposed
import RIN generation requirement, and
whether there are alternative RIN
generation approaches that we should
consider for implementing the import
RIN reduction.
Since we are proposing that the
import RIN reduction would apply to all
foreign-produced renewable fuel,
regardless of whether it is produced
from domestic or foreign feedstocks, we
are not proposing any additional
requirements for RIN-generating
importers of renewable fuel and RINgenerating foreign renewable fuel
producers. They would only be able to
generate import RINs for the renewable
fuel they produce or import, and thus
no changes would be necessary in their
registration, recordkeeping, reporting, or
attest engagement requirements.
However, there remain potential
concerns regarding mislabeling of
foreign feedstocks under the RFS
program. We are concerned that bad
actors may try to claim foreign feedstock
as domestic to gain a financial benefit.
Thus, to ensure that domestic renewable
fuel producers are generating the
appropriate number of RINs for each
batch of renewable fuel they produce,
we are proposing several changes to
their recordkeeping, reporting, attest
engagement, and quality assurance plan
(QAP) requirements that we believe are
minimally onerous while protecting
domestic feedstock producers. First, we
are proposing that all domestic
renewable fuel producers be required to
keep records of feedstock purchases and
transfers (e.g., bills of sale, delivery
receipts) that identify the feedstock
point of origin for each feedstock (i.e.,
domestic or foreign). We expect that
most domestic renewable fuel producers
already keep such records as part of
their existing business practices or other
existing RFS recordkeeping
requirements, and thus there should be
no additional recordkeeping burden for
most of these producers.
Feedstock point of origin would
depend on the feedstock type but would
generally be considered to be the
location, either domestic or foreign,
where a feedstock is grown, produced,
generated, extracted, collected, or
harvested. More specifically, we are
proposing the following specific
provisions related to what is considered
the ‘‘feedstock point of origin’’ for each
feedstock type:
• For planted crops, cover crops, or
crop residue (including starches,
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cellulosic, and non-cellulosic
components thereof), the location of the
feedstock supplier that supplied the
feedstock to the renewable fuel
producer or biointermediate producer
(e.g., grain elevator).
• For oil derived from planted crops,
cover crops, or algae, the location where
the oil is extracted from the planted
crop, cover crop, or algae (e.g., crushing
facility).
• For biogenic waste oils/fats/greases,
separated yard waste, separated food
waste, or MSW (including the
components thereof), the location of the
establishment where the waste is
collected (e.g., restaurant, food
processing facility).
• For biogas, the location of the
landfill or digester that produces the
biogas.
• For planted trees, tree residue,
slash, pre-commercial thinnings, or
other woody biomass, the location
where the woody biomass is harvested.
• For all other feedstocks, the
location where the feedstock is grown,
produced, or generated, as applicable.
Second, we are proposing that
domestic renewable fuel producers
would need to report the feedstock
point of origin (i.e., domestic or foreign)
as part of their renewable fuel batch
reports under 40 CFR
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(L). This would help
ensure that domestic renewable fuel
producers are generating the correct
number of RINs for their renewable fuel.
Finally, we are proposing to add
clarifying language for attest
engagement auditors and QAP providers
regarding verifying feedstock points of
origin. For attest engagements, we are
proposing to clarify that the existing
requirement for auditors to ‘‘[v]erify that
feedstocks were properly identified’’ in
batch reports also includes verifying
that the feedstock point of origin was
correctly reported.236 Similarly, for
QAP, we are also proposing to clarify
that the existing requirements for QAP
providers to ‘‘[v]erify that appropriate
RIN generation calculations are being
followed’’ include ensuring that the
value applied reflects the feedstock’s
point of origin.237 These clarifications
would ensure that attest auditors and
QAP providers verify that RINs are
properly generated by domestic
renewable fuel producers with domestic
feedstocks.
We request comment on both the
proposed recordkeeping, reporting,
attest engagement, and QAP
requirements and the definition of
‘‘feedstock point of origin,’’ particularly
236 40
237 40
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on the proposed origin locations for
each feedstock type and whether there
are any other feedstock types that
should have specified origin locations.
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IX. Removal of Renewable Electricity
From the RFS Program
While EPA has, in the past, taken
actions to allow RIN generation for
renewable electricity (commonly
referred to as eRINs), in this action we
are proposing to remove renewable
electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel
under the RFS program and the
implementing regulations that allow for
renewable electricity to generate RINs.
A. Historical Treatment of Renewable
Electricity in the RFS Program
The statutory definition of ‘‘renewable
fuel’’ in CAA section 211(o)(1)(J)
requires that renewable fuel be
produced from renewable biomass and
used to replace or reduce the quantity
of fossil fuel present in a transportation
fuel. CAA section 211(o)(1)(B)(ii)(B)
further indicates that non-liquid
biofuels, such as those produced from
biogas, may qualify as renewable fuel.
Thus, renewable fuels under the RFS
program can be broadly categorized as
liquid biofuels, such as ethanol or
biodiesel, or non-liquid biofuels, such
as renewable CNG/LNG that is produced
from qualifying biogas (that is in turn
produced from qualifying renewable
biomass), so long as these fuels are used
as transportation fuel. Non-liquid
renewable fuels have played a part in
the RFS program since the RFS2 Rule
was promulgated in 2010. In that final
rule, EPA specified that electricity, as
well as natural gas and propane,
produced from renewable biomass
could be a RIN-generating renewable
fuel under the RFS program. However,
EPA stipulated that electricity could
only be a RIN-generating renewable fuel
if it could be demonstrated that specific
quantities of electricity ‘‘are actually
used as a transportation fuel[ ].’’ 238 The
record for the RFS2 Rule did not further
elaborate on how renewable electricity
(i.e., electricity that is derived from
renewable biomass) satisfies the
statutory definition of renewable fuel or
is consistent with other applicable
statutory requirements.
Pursuant to the determination that
renewable electricity is, in certain
circumstances, a qualifying renewable
fuel, EPA also, in the RFS2 Rule,
established regulatory provisions
governing the generation of RINs
representing renewable electricity in
anticipation of a future action that
would provide a RIN-generating
238 74
FR 14670, 14686 (March 26, 2010).
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pathway for electricity made from
renewable biomass and used as
transportation fuel. In doing so, EPA
discussed the relevant differences
between liquid and non-liquid
renewable fuels and established
regulatory provisions for renewable
electricity that recognized those
distinctions.239
In 2010, EPA also promulgated a
definition of ‘‘renewable electricity’’ to
‘‘clarify that electricity must meet the
definition of renewable fuel in order to
qualify for RINs.’’ 240 In 2014, EPA
established novel RIN-generating
pathways for electricity produced from
biogas from landfills and waste
digesters.241 These pathways currently
exist in Rows Q and T of Table 1 to 40
CFR 80.1426. In the same 2014
rulemaking, EPA updated the
regulations governing RIN generation for
renewable electricity; it is these 2014
RIN generation provisions that currently
exist in the regulations at 40 CFR
80.1426(f)(10)(i) and (f)(11)(i). In
general, the regulatory requirements
were intended to ensure that any RINs
generated correspond to electricity that
meets the statutory criteria to qualify as
renewable fuel. For example, the
electricity must be produced from
renewable biomass under an approved
pathway (demonstrating it meets the
required GHG reduction threshold), the
electricity must be sold for use as
transportation fuel and for no other
purpose (and the RIN generator must
provide documentation to support its
use as transportation fuel), and it must
be the case that no other party relied on
the renewable electricity for the
generation of RINs.242
Even though renewable electricity has
been part of the RFS program since
2010, and a pathway has existed since
2014 for renewable electricity produced
from biogas, EPA has not, to date,
registered any party to generate RINs for
renewable electricity. Since 2014,
several stakeholders have submitted
registration requests to generate RINs for
renewable electricity produced from
biogas. EPA has reviewed these
registration requests and met with a
range of stakeholders. However, as early
as 2016, EPA recognized that structuring
a framework to allow for the generation
of RINs for renewable electricity
produced from biogas under the RFS
program presented unique,
unanticipated policy and
implementation questions that would
need to be resolved prior to registering
239 75
FR 14670, 14729 (March 26, 2010).
FR 26026, 26031 (May 10, 2010).
241 79 FR 42128 (July 18, 2014).
242 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(10)(i), (f)(11)(i).
240 75
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any party, particularly in light of the
competing policy preferences of
stakeholders.243 Based on (1) our review
of registration requests, (2) information
gathered from stakeholders via both
comments provided in response to EPA
requests and ongoing discussions, and
(3) an analysis of how to best
incorporate renewable electricity into
the RFS program, we concluded that
EPA’s existing regulations governing the
generation of RINs for renewable
electricity produced from biogas were
insufficient to guarantee overall
programmatic integrity, especially in
light of the range of different and often
competing approaches proposed by
registrants.244 Specifically, because the
regulations allow any party that can
demonstrate compliance with the
applicable requirements to be the RIN
generator, it is possible under the
current regulations for multiple parties
(from independent registrations) to
claim RIN generation for the same
quantity of renewable electricity. Such
double counting is contrary to the
regulations themselves and further
undermines EPA’s ability to ensure that
the statutory volumes are met.245 As a
result, we determined that a new
regulatory program would be necessary
to allow the generation of RINs
representing renewable electricity. The
‘‘eRIN’’ regulatory program for
renewable electricity proposed in
December 2022 as part of the Set 1
NPRM was intended to revise the
existing regulations governing
renewable electricity to allow RIN
generation under these pathways.246
The Set 1 Rule was ultimately finalized
without the proposed eRIN regulatory
program, leaving the previously
existing, inadequate regulations
governing renewable electricity in place.
B. Statutory Basis for Removal of
Renewable Electricity From the RFS
Program
EPA is proposing to remove
renewable electricity as a qualifying
renewable fuel from the RFS program.
As discussed in Section IX.A, although
EPA in the RFS2 Rule determined that
243 See, e.g., 81 FR 80828, 80890–96 (November
16, 2016).
244 Id.; see also EPA Final Brief defending
decision to not include renewable electricity
volumes in 2019 Annual Volumes Rule, Growth
Energy v. EPA, D.C. Cir. No. 19–1023, Doc. #
1831996 at 74–77 (filed March 5, 2020).
245 See CAA section 211(o)(2)(A)(i) (EPA’s
regulations must ‘‘ensure that transportation fuel
sold or introduced into commerce in the United
States . . . on an annual average basis, contains at
least the applicable volume of renewable fuel,
advanced biofuel, cellulosic biofuel, and biomassbased diesel . . .’’).
246 87 FR 80582 (December 30, 2022).
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electricity could participate in the RFS
program and promulgated regulations
for the generation of RINs for renewable
electricity, no RINs representing
renewable electricity have ever been
generated. In this action, we are
proposing to reverse the determination
in the RFS2 Rule that renewable
electricity is eligible to generate RINs
under the RFS program.
We are proposing to remove
renewable electricity from the RFS
program on the ground that, under the
best reading of the statute, renewable
electricity is not a renewable fuel.
Congress defined renewable fuel in CAA
section 211(o)(1)(J) as ‘‘fuel that is
produced from renewable biomass and
that is used to replace or reduce the
quantity of fossil fuel present in a
transportation fuel.’’ Congress further
defined transportation fuel in CAA
section 211(o)(1)(L) as ‘‘fuel for use in
motor vehicles, motor vehicle engines,
nonroad vehicles, or nonroad engines.’’
EPA has consistently interpreted
‘‘renewable fuel’’ to encompass three
key components: (1) There must be a
fuel; (2) The fuel must be produced from
renewable biomass; and (3) The fuel
must be used to replace or reduce fossil
fuel present in a transportation fuel.247
While EPA previously, in 2010,
assumed that renewable electricity
could meet this definition, we are now
revisiting the statutory analysis based
on the text of the statute and consistent
with intervening Supreme Court
decisions on standards for statutory
interpretation.
EPA’s analysis focuses on the last
component of the renewable fuel
definition—that the fuel must be used to
replace or reduce the quantity of fossil
fuel present in transportation fuel. The
best reading of this language is that a
renewable fuel must physically displace
a volume of fossil fuel that is present in
a motor vehicle or motor vehicle engine.
The statutory definition uses the
phrases ‘‘quantity of fossil fuel’’ and
‘‘present in a transportation fuel,’’ both
of which imply that there must be a
measurable physical volume of fossil
fuel that is present in a transportation
fuel and that volume must be
‘‘replace[d] or reduce[d]’’ by the
renewable fuel. Because electricity
cannot replace or reduce a volume of
fossil fuel that is present in a motor
vehicle or motor vehicle engine, it does
not meet the definition of renewable
fuel in the statute. That is, electricity is
not fungible with a fossil fuel in a motor
vehicle or motor vehicle engine.
247 87 FR 80582, 80634 (December 30, 2022); 87
FR 73956–57 (December 2, 2022) (discussing what
fuels can generate RINs).
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In contrast, biogas that is cleaned up
into RNG (and then compressed into
CNG/LNG) can replace and reduce fossil
natural gas that is present in a motor
vehicle or motor vehicle engine that
runs on CNG/LNG, and therefore
satisfies this portion of the renewable
fuel definition. But because electricity
cannot physically displace fossil fuel
present in a motor vehicle or motor
vehicle engine, it does not. Biogasgenerated electricity does not result in
a physical reduction in the ‘‘quantity of
fossil fuel present in a transportation
fuel,’’ nor is the biogas that is replacing
fossil natural gas itself present in a
transportation fuel in ‘‘motor vehicles,
motor vehicle engines, nonroad
vehicles, or nonroad engines.’’ Instead,
the biogas is burned at an electric
generating unit, and the resulting
electricity is transmitted on the grid for
use to charge batteries present in motor
vehicles. The use of the term ‘‘present
in transportation fuel’’ indicates that the
requirement intends to increase the
renewable fuel contained within fossilfuel transportation fuel itself, not to
substitute electricity for such fuel.
Additionally, we note that
‘‘electricity’’ is not mentioned by name
in CAA section 211(o), in contrast to
over fifty references to liquid fuels. The
RFS statutory language in CAA section
211(o) speaks to ‘‘volumes’’ and
‘‘gallons’’ of renewable fuel. The fact
that the CAA explicitly references
physical units implies that the RFS
program was intended to measure, and
thus include, only quantities of liquid or
gaseous fuels. Although there is no
statutory definition of ‘‘fuel’’ under the
RFS program, the widely accepted
definition is ‘‘a material used to produce
heat or power by burning.’’ 248
Electricity, which is an energy carrier
and not a fuel under this paradigm,
cannot be burned nor can it be
measured in physical units. The
frequent references to physical units in
the RFS statutory language, along with
the inability of electricity to be
quantified by the referenced units,
implies that the RFS was intended to
only include liquid and gaseous fuels.
Thus, we are also proposing to
determine that electricity does not
qualify as a fuel under the RFS program.
C. Implementation of Proposed Removal
of Renewable Electricity From the RFS
Program
Our proposed determination that
electricity is not a renewable fuel is
248 See, e.g., EPA, ‘‘Definition of Fuel,’’ September
25, 2024. https://www.epa.gov/rmp/definition-fuel.
See also, Merriam-Webster definition of fuel,
available at https://www.merriam-webster.com/
dictionary/fuel.
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effectuated in several ways. First, we are
proposing to remove the definition of
‘‘renewable electricity’’ from the
definitions in 40 CFR 80.2. Second, we
are proposing to remove the regulations
associated with generating RINs for
renewable electricity. These actions
include removing the renewable
electricity pathways in Table 1 to 40
CFR 80.1426, the renewable electricity
RIN separation requirements in 40 CFR
80.1429, and all associated registration,
reporting, and recordkeeping
requirements in 40 CFR 80.1450,
80.1451, and 80.1454.
EPA requests comment on its
statutory analyses and on its proposed
conclusions that: (1) Renewable
electricity does not meet the definition
of renewable fuel because it does not
‘‘replace or reduce the quantity of fossil
fuel present in a transportation fuel,’’
and (2) Electricity is not a fuel under the
RFS program. EPA further requests
comment on its proposed decision,
based on these analyses and
conclusions, to remove from the RFS
regulations all provisions related to
renewable electricity including, but not
limited to the definition of and
pathways for renewable electricity and
the generation of RINs for renewable
electricity.
X. Other Changes to RFS Regulations
A. Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet
Fuel Equivalence Values
We are proposing to revise the
equivalence values for renewable diesel,
naphtha, and jet fuel to account for the
non-renewable portion of these fuels, as
they are all typically produced using a
hydrotreating process. Due to an
oversight when initially establishing the
equivalence values for these fuels, the
existing equivalence values for these
fuels do not take into consideration the
fact that a portion of the hydrogen in
these fuels originates from the hydrogen
used in the hydrotreating process,
nearly all of which is produced from
fossil natural gas. By not accounting for
the hydrogen produced from fossil
natural gas in these fuels, we are
effectively allowing these hydrotreated
fuels to generate RINs for non-renewable
content. This approach conflicts not
only with the statutory direction that
fuels must be produced from renewable
biomass to be eligible under the RFS
program, but also with the approach
EPA has taken for other biofuels that
contain non-renewable content (e.g.,
biodiesel, which by standard practice is
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generally comprised partially of fossil
fuel-based methanol).249
To properly account for the fossilderived hydrogen found in most
renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel,
we are proposing to reduce the
equivalence values for these fuels.
Specifically, we are proposing to reduce
the equivalence value for renewable
diesel specified in 40 CFR 80.1415(b) to
1.6. We are also proposing to specify
equivalence values of 1.4 for renewable
naphtha and 1.6 for renewable jet fuel.
Equivalence values for these fuels are
not currently specified in 40 CFR
80.1415(b), but are instead determined
on a facility-by-facility basis using an
equation specified in 40 CFR 80.1415(c).
Previously approved equivalence values
for naphtha range from 1.4 to 1.5 with
the majority approved at 1.5, and for
renewable jet fuel range from 1.6 to 1.7,
with the majority approved at 1.6.250
The proposed equivalence values for
renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel
are based on our technical assessment of
the proportion of these fuels that are
derived from renewable biomass and
would better align the equivalence
values of these fuels with the approach
used for other biofuels that contain nonrenewable content described above.251
We note, however, that producers or
importers would continue to be able to
submit an application for an alternative
equivalence value pursuant to 40 CFR
80.1415(b)(7).
We recognize that the proportion of
these fuels that is produced from
renewable biomass will vary slightly
depending on a number of factors, such
as the feedstock used to produce the
renewable diesel, naphtha, or jet fuel.
An alternative approach to reducing the
equivalence values for these fuels as
proposed would be to require each
renewable fuel producer to determine
the proportion of the renewable diesel,
naphtha, or jet fuel that is produced
from renewable feedstock on a batch-bybatch basis. This alternative approach
would require a significant investment
from both EPA and the renewable fuel
producer to determine an acceptable
methodology for calculating the
renewable content of these fuels in the
absence of a direct measurement
technique and to execute the agreedupon protocols on an ongoing basis. We
do not expect that the number of RINs
249 See ‘‘Calculation of Equivalence Values for
renewable fuels under the RFS program,’’ Docket
Item No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2005–0161–0046.
250 See ‘‘Feedstock Summary’’ RIN data table at:
https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reportingand-compliance-help/rins-generated-transactions.
251 See ‘‘Calculation of Proposed Equivalence
Values for Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet
Fuel,’’ available in the docket for this action.
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generated under this alternative
approach would vary sufficiently from
those under our proposed approach
such that the additional burden on the
renewable fuel producer would be
warranted.
We also acknowledge that the
proportion of these fuels that is
produced from renewable biomass will
vary slightly depending on the
definition of ‘‘produced from renewable
biomass.’’ In this action we are not
proposing a definition of produced from
renewable biomass. Nevertheless, we
believe it is appropriate to propose
revised equivalence values for
renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel
prior to resolving the definition of
produced from renewable biomass. The
difference in the proportion of these
fuels that can be considered produced
from renewable biomass using an
energy-based approach and a massbased approach, the two primary
approaches to the definition of
produced from renewable biomass
considered in the Set 1 Rule, are
relatively small.252 In light of the similar
outcomes for these fuels between the
two approaches, it is not appropriate to
continue to allow these fuels to generate
a greater number of RINs than would be
the case under either approach to the
definition of produced from renewable
biomass.
We would intend to implement these
proposed changes by deactivating any
pathways with these impacted
equivalence values prior to the effective
date of the final rule (typically 60 days
after publication of the final rule in the
Federal Register. To avoid any
disruption, currently registered
renewable fuel producers utilizing these
impacted pathways would need to
update their registrations with EPA by
the effective date.
We are requesting comment on
alternative approaches to recognizing
and accounting for the non-renewable
content found in most renewable diesel,
naphtha, and jet fuel. We are also aware
that some producers of renewable
diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel have
explored producing these fuels using
hydrogen that is produced from
qualifying renewable biomass rather
than from fossil natural gas. We are not
proposing new pathways or equivalence
values for parties using renewable
hydrogen to produce renewable diesel,
naphtha, or jet fuel in this action as
significant outstanding issues remain.
These issues include developing an
approach to evaluating the lifecycle
GHG emissions for hydrogen used in
renewable diesel naphtha, and jet fuel
252 Id.
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production and how to account for
renewable hydrogen used in a
hydrotreating process that is not
incorporated into the fuel. However, we
are requesting comment on how to
recognize the potential for greater
renewable content that can be achieved
using renewable hydrogen in a future
action.
B. RIN-Related Provisions
1. RIN Generation and Assignment
Since EPA finalized the biogas
regulatory reform provisions in the Set
1 Rule, we have received a significant
number of questions from stakeholders
regarding when RINs for RNG must be
generated and assigned. In response to
these inquiries, we are proposing
regulations to specify when RINs must
be generated and assigned both for
renewable fuel and for RNG.
Specifically, we are proposing in 40
CFR 80.1426(f)(18) that RINs for most
renewable fuels must be generated at:
• For domestic renewable fuel
producers, the point of production or
point of sale.
• For RIN-generating foreign
producers, the point of production or
when the renewable fuel is loaded onto
a vessel or other transportation mode for
transport to the covered location.
• For RIN-generating importers of
renewable fuel, the point of importation
into the covered location.
We are also proposing in 40 CFR
80.1426(f)(18) that RINs for RNG and
renewable fuels that are gaseous at
standard temperature and pressure
(STP) (e.g., renewable CNG/LNG) must
be generated no later than five business
days after all applicable requirements
for RIN generation under 40 CFR
80.125(b), 80.130(b), and 80.1426(f), as
applicable, have been met. An exception
would be for foreign produced RIN-less
RNG, in which RINs must be generated
when title is transferred from the foreign
producer to the RIN-generating
importer.
Furthermore, we are proposing in 40
CFR 80.1426(e) that, except for RNG and
renewable fuels that are gaseous at STP,
RINs generated at the point of
production or the point of importation
into the covered location must be
assigned to a volume of renewable fuel
when the renewable fuel leaves the
renewable fuel production or import
facility, while RINs generated at the
point of sale or when the renewable fuel
was loaded onto a vessel or other
transportation mode for transport to the
covered location must be assigned prior
to the transfer of ownership of the
renewable fuel. We are also proposing
that RINs for RNG and renewable fuels
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that are gaseous at STP must be assigned
to a volume of RNG or renewable fuel
at the same time the RIN is generated for
the RNG or renewable fuel. We request
comment on these proposed deadlines
for RIN generation and assignment.
proposing to clarify that the volume
requirements used to calculate the
percentage standards for cellulosic
biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total
renewable fuel (RFVCB,i, RFVAB,i, and
RFVRF,i, respectively) are based on the
number of ‘‘gallon-RINs’’ of each fuel,
2. Pure and Neat Biodiesel Used for
rather than simply ‘‘gallons’’ as
Process Heat or Power Generation
currently specified. As described in the
The CAA and RFS regulations
RFS2 Rule, we have interpreted these
prohibit RIN generation for fuel that
volume requirements as being on an
energy-equivalent basis (rather than wet
does not replace or reduce the quantity
or physical gallons of liquid fuel) and
of fossil fuel present in a transportation
that when the volume requirements are
fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel. Pure
used to calculate the applicable
biodiesel (i.e., B100) or neat biodiesel
(i.e., B99) used for process heat or power percentage standards, it would be
generation is not a transportation fuel or through the use of the equivalence value
for RIN generation (the ‘‘Equivalence
jet fuel and does not qualify as heating
oil under paragraph (1) of the definition Value’’ approach).255 This energyequivalent basis for using the volume
of heating oil under 40 CFR 80.2
requirements to calculate the percentage
because: (1) It is not commonly or
commercially known as heating oil, and standards is expressed through the use
of gallon-RINs, and thus we believe
(2) It is not sold for use in furnaces,
boilers, or similar applications.253 As to these terms should be defined as such
the first criterion, pure or neat biodiesel in the regulations.
Second, we are proposing to change
is not commonly known as heating oil
the BBD volume requirement (RFVBBD,i,)
and has several natural qualities that
make it problematic as a heating oil, the from being expressed in physical
gallons to gallon-RINs, consistent with
primary issue being that biodiesel gels
the methodology used to specify the
at low temperatures and could
other three renewable fuel volume
negatively impact the equipment being
requirements. Since the BBD volume
fueled by biodiesel (e.g., by clogging
requirement was first established in the
filters). As to the second criterion, pure
or neat biodiesel is not typically sold for RFS2 Rule, we have interpreted the
statutory BBD volume requirements as
use in furnaces, boilers, or similar
being in physical gallons.256 Thus,
applications. Therefore, biodiesel
producers that use some of the biodiesel while the percentage standard equations
for cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel,
they produce for process heat or that
and total renewable fuel were
sell biodiesel to power plants cannot
established on a gallon-RINs basis, the
generate RINs on the volumes used for
BBD percentage standard was
process heat or power generation. As
established on a physical gallon basis.
such, we are proposing to clarify that
Because the BBD standard was assumed
RINs cannot be generated for pure or
in the RFS2 Rule to be met exclusively
neat biodiesel that is used for process
heat or power generation by revising the with biodiesel, and biodiesel generated
1.5 RINs per gallon, we applied a 1.5
definition of heating oil under 40 CFR
multiplier (the ‘‘BBD multiplier’’) to the
80.2 to state that ‘‘pure biodiesel (i.e.,
B100) or neat biodiesel (i.e., B99) that is BBD percentage standard equation to
convert from the number of BBD
used for process heat or power
physical gallons in the statutory volume
generation is not heating oil.’’ We
requirements to the equivalent number
request comment on the proposed
of gallon-RINs. Since the RFS2 Rule, we
clarification that RINs cannot be
have continued to use the energygenerated for pure or neat biodiesel
equivalent (or gallon-RIN) approach in
used for process heat or power
establishing the cellulosic biofuel,
generation.
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C. Percentage Standard Equations
We are proposing several changes to
the percentage standard equations in 40
CFR 80.1405(c).254 First, we are
253 EPA has already made clear that fuel oils used
for process heat or power generation do not qualify
as heating oil under paragraph (2) of the definition
of ‘‘heating oil’’ under 40 CFR 80.2. 78 FR 62462
(October 22, 2013).
254 EPA’s proposed changes to the percentage
standard formulas are limited to the changes
proposed here. We are not seeking comment on or
reopening any other aspects of the percentage
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standard formulas, including the factors that project
exempt volumes of gasoline and diesel due to small
refinery exemptions.
255 75 FR 14709–10, 16–18 (March 26, 2010).
256 In the RFS2 rule, we stated that ‘‘we are
finalizing the energy content approach to
Equivalence Values for the cellulosic biofuel,
advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel
standards. However, the biomass-based diesel
standard is based on the volume of biodiesel. In
order to align both of these approaches
simultaneously, biodiesel will continue to generate
1.5 RINs per gallon as in RFS1, and the biomassbased diesel volume mandate from EISA is then
adjusted upward by the same 1.5 factor.’’ 75 FR
14716 (March 26, 2010).
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advanced biofuel, and total renewable
fuel volume requirement and associated
percentage standards. However, the BBD
volume requirement has continued to be
expressed in physical gallons and then
converted to a gallon-RIN equivalent in
the BBD percentage standard equation
by multiplying the BBD volume
requirement by the BBD multiplier
(either 1.5 (from 2010–2022) or 1.6
(from 2023–2025)). As discussed in
Sections III and V, since the
promulgation of the RFS2 Rule, fuels
other than biodiesel and with different
equivalence values than biodiesel, most
prominently renewable diesel, have
become significant contributors to the
BBD volume requirement. This has led
to confusion among stakeholders
regarding the correct way to interpret
the BBD volume requirement and a
perceived lack of clarity regarding how
the BBD percentage standard is
calculated. Our proposal to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks
(discussed in Section VIII) would
further complicate this issue.
Acknowledging that the BBD volume
requirement is now being met with a
more complex mixture of fuels than we
anticipated in the RFS2 Rule, we are
now proposing to revise the definition
of RFVBBD,i to specify that the BBD
volume requirement is expressed in
gallon-RINs rather than gallons. We
believe that specifying the BBD volume
requirement in gallon-RINs would
reduce confusion among stakeholders
regarding how to interpret the BBD
volume requirement and how the BBD
percentage standard is calculated.
Consistent with this proposed
clarification, we are also proposing to
revise the BBD percentage standard to
remove the 1.6 multiplier. By specifying
the BBD volume requirement in RIN
gallons, the BBD multiplier would no
longer be necessary to convert from
physical gallons of BBD to gallon-RINs.
This would also eliminate the need to
track the average equivalence value of
BBD to adjust the BBD multiplier in the
future, which EPA recently revised from
1.5 to 1.6 in the Set 1 Rule due to
increased production volumes of
renewable diesel relative to biodiesel.257
We are also proposing to remove the
terms GSi, DSi, RGSi, and RDSi from the
percentage standard equations. These
terms relate to the use of gasoline,
diesel, or renewable fuels contained in
gasoline or diesel in Alaska or a U.S.
territory if the state or territory opts into
the RFS program. However, if Alaska or
a U.S. territory were to opt into the RFS
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program in the future, we would instead
account for gasoline, diesel, and
renewable fuel use in the state or
territory under the existing Gi, Di, RGi,
and RDi terms. These terms refer to the
amounts of gasoline, diesel, or
renewable fuel used in gasoline or
diesel in the covered location, which is
defined as ‘‘the contiguous 48 states,
Hawaii, and any state or territory that
has received an approval from EPA to
opt-in to the RFS program under
§ 80.1443.’’ 258 Thus, there is no need to
have separate terms in the percentage
standards just for Alaska or a U.S.
territory that opts into the RFS program
in the future.
Finally, we are proposing to revise the
definitions of RGi and RDi (the amounts
of renewable fuel projected to be
blended into gasoline and diesel,
respectively) to clarify that these
projections are for the amounts of
renewable fuel contained within the
projections of Gi and Di themselves (the
amounts of gasoline and diesel,
respectively, projected to be used in the
U.S.), rather than a projection of the
absolute amount of renewable fuel
blended into gasoline and diesel. While
the EIA projections of gasoline and
diesel used by EPA to calculate the
percentage standards have historically
contained some volume of renewable
fuel (e.g., ethanol in gasoline, biodiesel
and renewable diesel in diesel), EIA has
recently changed their STEO projection
methodology to provide separate
projections of petroleum-based diesel
and renewable fuels blended into diesel
(e.g., biodiesel and renewable diesel).
Thus, were we to use these projections
to calculate the percentage standards,
we would use the petroleum-based
diesel projection for Di and a value of
zero for RDi, as the Di projection does
not contain any renewable fuel.259 We
believe this clarification makes clear
how we would calculate the percentage
equations under this potential future
scenario. We request comment on these
proposed changes to the percentage
standard equations.
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D. Existing Renewable Fuel Pathways
Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 lists
generally applicable fuel pathways that
have been approved for the RFS
program. Fuel producers that produce
fuel through a pathway (i.e., a unique
combination of a fuel type, feedstock,
and process) described in Table 1 may
submit a registration application to
258 40
CFR 80.2.
259 Note that the proposed percentage standards
in this action are calculated using projections from
AEO2023, which does include renewable fuels in
its projections of gasoline and diesel.
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EPA.260 Table 1 lists an applicable RIN
D code for each approved pathway
based on the type of fuel produced,
whether it is produced from cellulosic
biomass, and whether it satisfies the
statutory 20 percent, 50 percent, or 60
percent lifecycle GHG emissions
reduction threshold. In Section X.D.1,
we are proposing clarifications to
certain pathways in Table 1. In Section
X.D.2, we are proposing to add
pathways to Table 1 for naphtha and
liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) produced
from biogenic waste oils, fats and
greases. We request comment on all
these proposed changes to the eligible
fuel pathways in Table 1.
1. Table 1 Pathways That Include ‘‘Any’’
Production Process
In addition to requiring that
renewable fuel be produced from
renewable biomass and used to reduce
or replace the quantity of fossil fuel in
transportation fuel,261 the CAA also
requires that qualifying biofuels meet
the lifecycle GHG reduction threshold
specified for the applicable category of
renewable fuel.262 The CAA further
requires EPA to determine the lifecycle
GHG emissions for renewable fuels.263
EPA has evaluated the lifecycle
emissions associated with fuel pathways
and listed the pathways it has analyzed
that satisfy the statutory GHG reduction
criteria in Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426. To
do so, EPA necessarily evaluates
particular feedstocks that are put
through particular production processes
to produce particular fuels. Thus, an
approved pathway in Table 1 signifies
that EPA has determined that the
specific combination of elements we
evaluated meets the applicable GHG
reduction threshold.
In 2010 when EPA promulgated the
initial set of pathways in Table 1 as part
of the RFS2 Rule, the range of
commercially available technologies for
producing renewable fuels was
relatively limited, but there was an
expectation that other nascent
technologies would be developed over
time to the point of commercialization.
Given the information available at the
time, EPA believed that the lifecycle
analyses it had conducted for certain
pathways provided sufficient basis to
approve other pathways with similar
feedstocks, production process
260 Note that an individual row in Table 1 can
include multiple fuel pathways.
261 CAA section 211(o)(1)(J).
262 CAA sections 211(o)(1)(B), (D), (E);
211(o)(2)(A)(i).
263 CAA section 211(o)(1)(H).
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technologies, and fuels.264 For example,
based on the biochemical and
thermochemical production processes
that we modeled for producing ethanol
from switchgrass and corn stover, EPA
included several other cellulosic
feedstocks in Rows K and L of Table 1
and described the production process as
‘‘Any.’’ Thus, some of the pathway
descriptions in Table 1 are quite broad
(i.e., they provide that the approved
pathway can include ‘‘any’’ production
process).
However, over the life of the RFS
program, many fuel production
processes have been developed that vary
from those assumed in the original
assessments underlying the pathways
listed in Table 1 more than we
anticipated in the RFS2 Rule. Indeed,
some of the fuel production process
technologies that parties are now
wishing to register under ‘‘any’’
pathways have little connection to the
processes EPA evaluated as the basis for
including a given pathway in Table 1.
In some cases, the GHG emissions
performance of such new processes may
be significantly worse than the
processes we analyzed for the RFS2
Rule or the notional processes we
anticipated might be developed in the
future. These new processes may
therefore not meet the applicable GHG
emissions threshold. For example, we
have received petitions for cellulosic
biofuel production technologies that
would use a large amount of
conventional natural gas and grid
electricity per unit of fuel produced,
whereas our 2010 analysis assumed that
this type of process would use very little
natural gas or grid electricity, relying
instead on cellulosic renewable biomass
(e.g., lignin) for process energy.
Given the possibility that some
pathways fitting the description in
Table 1 might not actually meet the
corresponding statutory GHG reduction
requirement, we believe it is
inappropriate to continue allowing
‘‘any’’ production process under certain
Table 1 pathways. Therefore, we are
proposing changes to Table 1 and the
RFS regulations to clarify certain fuel
pathways in Table 1 and to replace the
‘‘any’’ terminology with more precise
language.
More specifically, to further clarify
the scope of currently approved
pathways, we are proposing to add more
precise language to the description of
rows in Table 1 that include the term
‘‘any’’ to describe the production
process requirements, which are Rows
264 For example, see discussion of ‘‘assessments
of similar feedstocks sources’’ at 75 FR 14792–
14797 (March 26, 2010).
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K, L, M, P, Q, and T. Currently, Rows
K and L list the production process
requirements as ‘‘Any process that
converts cellulosic biomass to fuel,’’
Row M includes ‘‘any process utilizing
biogas and/or biomass as the only
process energy sources which converts
cellulosic biomass to fuel,’’ and Rows P,
Q, and T list the production process
requirements as ‘‘Any.’’ As discussed
below, we are proposing to replace some
or all of the current language in each of
these rows with a description of the
production process requirements that
EPA evaluated for the corresponding
lifecycle GHG assessment and that we
determined meet the applicable GHG
reduction threshold. Renewable fuel
production facilities that do not satisfy
the updated production process
requirements may petition EPA
pursuant to the petition process at 40
CFR 80.1416 to request EPA’s
evaluation of the lifecycle GHG
emissions associated with their fuel.
a. Rows K and L
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We are proposing to edit the
production process descriptions in
Rows K and L to clarify the production
process technologies that qualify under
these rows. For Row K, we are
proposing to clarify that the qualifying
production processes are: (1) A
biochemical fermentation process that
uses cellulosic biomass for all electricity
and thermal process energy; (2) A
thermochemical gasification process
that uses cellulosic biomass for nearly
all thermal and electrical process energy
needs; or (3) A dry mill fermentation
process that converts corn or grain
sorghum kernel fiber to ethanol. For
Row L, we are proposing to clarify that
the qualifying production process
technology is a Fischer-Tropsch process
that uses cellulosic biomass for nearly
all electrical and thermal process
energy. Below, we discuss these
clarifications in more detail.
For the RFS2 Rule, EPA’s evaluation
of the emissions associated with the
feedstock to fuel conversion stage of the
lifecycle was based on process modeling
conducted by the National Renewable
Energy Laboratory (NREL).265 266 267 268
265 Tao, Ling, and Andy Aden. ‘‘Techno-economic
Modeling to Support the EPA Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking (NOPR),’’ NREL, November 3, 2008.
Docket Item No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2005–0161–0844.
266 Aden, Andy. ‘‘Mixed Alcohols from Woody
Biomass—2010, 2015, 2022,’’ NREL, December 3,
2009. Docket Item No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2005–0161–
3034.
267 Aden, Andy. ‘‘Feedstock Considerations and
Impacts on Biorefining,’’ NREL, December 10, 2009.
Docket Item No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2005–0161–3044.
268 Davis, Ryan. ‘‘Techno-economic analysis of
current technology for Fischer-Tropsch fuels
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The NREL process modeling evaluated
conversion of corn stover, switchgrass
and hybrid poplar feedstocks through
biochemical and thermochemical
processes. Instead of conducting process
modeling for each possible type of
biomass, of which there are a wide
variety, NREL categorized the potential
feedstocks as crop residue, dedicated
biomass crops, and woody biomass.
NREL modeled corn stover as
representative of all crop residues,
switchgrass as representative of all
purpose-grown energy grasses, and
hybrid poplar as representative of all
woody biomass feedstocks. In the RFS2
Rule,269 the Pathways I Rule,270 and the
Additional Pathways Rule,271 EPA
applied the NREL process modeling to
evaluate the biofuel conversion
emissions associated with all the
feedstocks currently listed in Rows K
and L.272 For the reasons discussed in
those rules, EPA is confident that the
process technologies evaluated are
relevant for all these feedstocks and
supports the qualification of fuels
produced from these feedstocks and
process technologies for D3 or D7 RINs.
Thus, we believe it is appropriate for
our proposed revisions to the
production process requirements for
Rows K and L to apply for fuels
produced from all the feedstocks listed
in those rows.
We are proposing changes to Row K
based on the biochemical production
processes that we evaluated in the RFS2
Rule. For the RFS2 rule, we evaluated
the lifecycle GHG emissions associated
with a biochemical cellulosic ethanol
production process with four major
process steps: (1) Conversion of
feedstocks to sugar; (2) Fermentation of
sugar to ethanol; (3) Ethanol recovery;
and (4) Residue utilization for process
energy through a combined heat and
power system. A key assumption in the
NREL evaluation is that residues from
steps 1–3 would be utilized in step 4 to
produce heat, steam, and electricity and
meet all of the facility’s needs for these
inputs. The modeling assumed that
combusting the residues in a fluidized
bed combustor would provide adequate
heat, steam, and electricity for steps 1–
3, with excess electricity sold to the
grid. The residue materials considered
production,’’ NREL, August 14, 2009. Docket Item
No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2005–0161–3035.
269 75 FR 14793–95 (March 26, 2010).
270 78 FR 14201–06 (March 5, 2013).
271 78 FR 41705–09 (July 11, 2013).
272 Crop residue; slash, pre-commercial thinnings,
and tree residue; switchgrass; miscanthus; energy
cane; Arundo donax; Pennisetum purpureum;
separated yard waste; biogenic components of
separated MSW; cellulosic components of separated
food waste; cellulosic components of annual cover
crops.
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in our evaluation were materials left
over after the processing of the
cellulosic biomass feedstock, including
lignin, concentrated syrup, and biogas
from wastewater treatment. In
particular, the lignin residue was
assumed to be the main source of fuel
energy to the combined heat and power
system.
For the crop residue ethanol via a
biochemical process based on analysis
assuming corn stover feedstock, we
estimated a 129 percent GHG reduction
relative to the gasoline baseline (i.e., net
negative GHG emissions due to exported
electricity displacing grid average
electricity). For switchgrass ethanol, the
corresponding estimate was a 110
percent GHG reduction. Based on these
estimates and considering background
data updates since 2010, we remain
confident that a biochemical process
using the residues of the production
process (e.g., lignin, syrup, biogas) for
all heat and excess power generation
would meet the 60 percent GHG
reduction threshold for D3 RINs.
However, if we were to change the 2010
analysis to assume natural gas is used
for process heat and power, the
corresponding GHG reduction estimates
would be 56 percent for corn stover
ethanol and 41 percent for switchgrass
ethanol. Thus, our determination that
these pathways satisfy the 60 percent
threshold is dependent on the
assumption that biomass residues will
be used for process energy and power.
For these reasons, we are proposing to
revise the production process column of
Row K to include, ‘‘Biochemical
fermentation process that converts
cellulosic biomass to ethanol; only
includes processes that use the lignin
and other biogenic feedstock residues
from the fermentation and ethanol
production processes for all thermal and
electrical process energy and are net
exporters of electricity to the grid.’’
We are also proposing changes to Row
K of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 based
on the thermochemical production
processes that we evaluated in the RFS2
Rule. The RFS2 Rule evaluated
pathways for cellulosic ethanol
produced via a thermochemical process.
Our evaluation of these pathways relied
on process modeling by NREL. The
process modeled by NREL includes
biomass gasification, syngas refining,
mixed alcohol synthesis and
distillation. The NREL modeling
assumed that tar from the biomass
gasification and a slipstream of
unrefined syngas would be combusted
to provide all required process heat,
precluding the need to purchase natural
gas or other fossil fuels for almost all the
energy needs for the process.
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Specifically, the NREL modeling
assumes that the biomass residue
provides 99.8 percent of the process
energy with a very small amount of
diesel use.
For corn stover ethanol via a
thermochemical process, in 2010 we
estimated a 92 percent reduction
relative to the gasoline baseline. For
switchgrass ethanol, the corresponding
estimate was a 72 percent GHG
reduction. Based on these estimates, we
remain confident that a biochemical
process using biomass residues for
almost all heat and excess power
generation will meet the 60 percent
GHG reduction threshold for D3 RINs.
However, if we were to change the 2010
analysis to assume natural gas is used
for process heat and power, the
corresponding GHG reduction estimates
would be 16 percent for corn stover and
2 percent for switchgrass. Thus, our
determination that these pathways
satisfy the 60 percent threshold (or even
the 20 percent threshold) is dependent
on the assumption that biomass residues
will be used for process energy and
power. For these reasons, we are
proposing to revise the production
process column of Row K to include,
‘‘Thermochemical gasification process
that converts cellulosic biomass to
ethanol and uses a portion of the
feedstock for over 99% of thermal and
electrical process energy.’’
We are also proposing changes to Row
K of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 based
on the CKF to ethanol process evaluated
in the Pathways II Rule.273 In the 2014
Pathways II rule, EPA evaluated ethanol
produced from CKF at dry mill ethanol
plants. EPA determined that CKF
qualifies as a predominately cellulosic
crop residue and ethanol produced from
corn kernel fiber through a dry mill
process is covered by Row K of Table 1.
EPA’s evaluation for these pathways
was limited to dry mill ethanol plants.
This evaluation did not consider the
possibility that such plants could be
coal fired, which would substantially
increase the lifecycle GHG emissions.
As part of that rulemaking, EPA also
determined that kernel fiber from grain
sorghum is a predominately cellulosic
crop residue that may be converted to
ethanol in the same way as corn kernel
fiber. Grain sorghum kernel fiber and
CKF are very similar in terms of how
they are produced and converted to
ethanol such that it is reasonable to
extend our lifecycle analysis of ethanol
produced from CKF to ethanol produced
from grain sorghum kernel fiber. For
these reasons, we are proposing to
revise the production process column of
273 79
FR 42128 (July 18, 2014).
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Row K to include, ‘‘Dry mill process
that converts corn or grain sorghum
kernel fiber to ethanol and uses natural
gas, biogas, or crop residue for all
thermal process energy.’’
We are proposing changes to Row L
of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 based on
the Fischer-Tropsch processes that we
evaluated in the RFS2 rule. EPA
evaluated the lifecycle GHG emissions
associated with diesel, jet fuel, and
heating oil produced from corn stover
and switchgrass via a Fischer-Tropsch
process for the RFS2 Rule. The lifecycle
analysis for these pathways relied on
process modeling by NREL. The NREL
process modeling assumed that the
feedstock is dried and gasified, the
resulting syngas is cleaned and
reformed, wax is sent to a hydrocracker,
and the light hydrocarbons and
hydrocracker products are sent to a
fractionator to separate diesel from other
coproducts. The NREL modeling
assumed that almost all (99.8 percent) of
the steam and power requirements are
satisfied internally through biomass and
syngas combustion, with the small
remainder of energy needs met with grid
electricity and conventional diesel.
For diesel fuel produced from corn
stover through a Fischer-Tropsch
process, in 2010 we estimated a 91
percent reduction relative to the
gasoline baseline. For diesel produced
from switchgrass through a FischerTropsch process, the corresponding
estimate was a 71 percent GHG
reduction. Based on these estimates, we
remain confident that a Fischer-Tropsch
diesel process using residues (e.g.,
lignin, syrup, biogas) for all heat and
excess power generation will meet the
60 percent GHG reduction threshold for
D3 RINs. However, if were to change the
2010 analysis to assume natural gas is
used for process heat and power, the
lifecycle GHG emissions for these fuels
would be greater than the lifecycle GHG
emissions associated with the diesel
baseline: 25 percent greater for
switchgrass-based diesel and 5 percent
greater for stover-based diesel. Thus, our
determination that these pathways
satisfy the applicable GHG reductions
thresholds are dependent on the
assumption that feedstock residues
generated during the fuel production
process will be used for process energy
and power. For these reasons, we are
proposing to revise the production
process column of Row L to say,
‘‘Fischer-Tropsch process that converts
cellulosic biomass to fuel and uses a
portion of the feedstock for over 99% of
thermal and electrical process energy.’’
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b. Row M
We are proposing changes to Row M
to define the qualifying process
technologies more precisely to ensure
that fuels produced through Row M
satisfy the statutory criteria for RIN
generation. In the Pathways I Rule, we
approved the pathways in Row M for
cellulosic biofuels produced from
residue, byproduct and cover crop
feedstocks through multiple
biochemical and thermochemical
processes.274 These approvals were
based on our lifecycle emissions
modeling of the following production
process technologies: (1)
Thermochemical processes including
pyrolysis and upgrading; (2)
Thermochemical gasification and
upgrading; (3) Direct biological
conversion, and (4) Biological
conversion and upgrading. In that rule,
we extended the modeling results of
these specific process technologies to
‘‘any process utilizing biogas and/or
biomass as the only process energy
sources which converts cellulosic
biomass to fuel.’’ At the time, we
explained that extending the modeling
in this way was based on the premise
that the process assumptions we
modeled at the time were relatively
conservative, and we expected the
industry to improve and potentially
exceed the energy efficiencies we
modeled. For example, we stated that
‘‘[t]echnology changes in the future are
likely to increase efficiency to maximize
profits, while also lowering lifecycle
GHG emissions.’’ 275 While these
predictions made in 2013 may
eventually come to pass, our experience
over the 12 years since then has reduced
our confidence that ‘‘any’’ process using
these feedstocks and types of process
energy will satisfy the statutory
emissions reduction requirements. We
are more cautious now because the
process configurations we modeled in
2013 to support the Row M pathways
have not been commercialized.
Furthermore, new fuel pathway
petitions submitted pursuant to 40 CFR
80.1416 and pathway screening tool
submissions indicated that, rather than
exceeding the process efficiencies we
modeled in 2013, some projects under
consideration may be less energy
efficient than we projected. For these
reasons, we are no longer confident that
the fuel and feedstock combinations
listed in Row M produced through ‘‘any
process utilizing biogas and/or biomass
as the only process energy sources
which converts cellulosic biomass to
274 78
275 78
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FR 14190 (March 5, 2013).
FR 14213 (March 5, 2013).
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fuel’’ would satisfy the statutory 60
percent GHG reduction requirement to
qualify for D3 RINs. Thus, we are
proposing to remove the ‘‘any process’’
language from Row M, while leaving in
place the following processes that
convert cellulosic biomass to fuel using
natural gas, biogas, or biomass as the
only process energy sources: (1)
Catalytic pyrolysis and upgrading; (2)
Gasification and upgrading; (3) Thermocatalytic hydrodeoxygenation and
upgrading; (4) Direct biological
conversion; (5) Biological conversion
and upgrading. To our knowledge, this
action would not adversely affect any
currently operating facilities.
c. Row P
We are proposing changes to Row P
based on analyses undertaken by EPA
for prior rulemakings. Row P includes
ethanol, renewable diesel, jet fuel,
heating oil, and naphtha produced from
the non-cellulosic portions of separated
food waste and non-cellulosic
components of annual cover crops. EPA
evaluated and approved pathways for
ethanol, renewable diesel, jet fuel,
heating oil, and naphtha produced from
the non-cellulosic portions of separated
food waste and non-cellulosic
components of annual cover crops
assuming that the ethanol would be
produced through a fermentation
process, and the other fuels would be
produced through a hydrotreating or
transesterification process.
Fermentation processes use a significant
amount of thermal energy (e.g., for
feedstock heating and distillation) and
our evaluation assumed that these
facilities would be fired with natural gas
or other fuels with similar or lower
lifecycle GHG emissions such as biogas
or crop residue. For these reasons, we
are proposing to revise the production
process column of Row P to say,
‘‘Fermentation using natural gas, biogas,
or crop residue for thermal energy;
Hydrotreating; Transesterification.’’
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
d. Rows Q and T
We are proposing changes to Rows Q
and T based on analyses undertaken by
EPA for prior rulemakings. EPA’s
evaluation of renewable CNG produced
from biogas assumed the biogas would
be treated to increase biomethane
concentration and reduce impurities
such as carbon dioxide, nitrogen,
oxygen, and volatile organic
compounds, and the resulting treated
biogas would be compressed for vehicle
fueling or pipeline injection. Thus, for
the renewable CNG pathways, we are
proposing to revise the production
process column of Rows Q and T to say,
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‘‘CNG production from treated biogas
via compression.’’
EPA’s evaluation of renewable LNG
produced from biogas assumed the same
biogas treatment as the renewable CNG
pathways, and the resulting biomethane
would undergo liquefaction (i.e.,
biomethane condensed to liquid form by
reducing its temperature to
approximately minus 260 degrees
Fahrenheit at ambient pressure),
producing renewable LNG. Thus, for the
renewable LNG pathways, we are
proposing to revise the production
process column of Row Q to say, ‘‘LNG
production from treated biogas via
liquefaction.’’
Furthermore, the analyses EPA
undertook that form the basis for the
Rows Q and T pathways assumed the
renewable CNG would be transported
via pipeline and that the renewable LNG
would be used as a transportation fuel
within a relatively short time after it
was produced. After the LNG is
produced there are boil-off emissions of
approximately 0.1 to 0.15 percent per
day associated with evaporation during
transport, storage, and fueling. Thus,
renewable LNG that is transported or
stored for a long time before use as
transportation fuel has higher lifecycle
GHG emissions and is outside the
bounds of our analysis. We assume that
renewable LNG produced in North
America would be used relatively soon
after production. CNG that is produced
outside of North America would involve
additional non-pipeline transportation
emissions that were not considered in
EPA’s lifecycle analysis. For these
reasons, we are proposing to clarify that
the production process requirements for
Rows Q and T are limited to processes
that occur in North America.276
e. Conclusion
These regulatory clarifications to
Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 do not affect
renewable fuel producers that have
successfully registered for any of the
existing fuel pathways listed in Table 1.
Prior registration applications were
reviewed and accepted based on EPA’s
engineering judgement and
interpretation of the fuel pathways in
Table 1, including EPA’s consideration
of the bounds of the lifecycle analysis
that formed the basis for the approved
pathways. If finalized, the regulatory
clarifications proposed in this action
would not change the status of any of
these prior registrations.
276 For further information on the lifecycle
emissions estimates discussed in this section, see
‘‘Lifecycle Emissions Estimates Related to
Clarifications to Table 1 Pathways,’’ available in the
docket for this action.
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We believe the proposed Table 1
revisions discussed in this section
would benefit renewable fuel project
developers by giving them additional
clarity on what process technologies
qualify under the existing renewable
fuel pathways. Although we strive to
describe the pathways in Table 1 in a
precise manner that aligns with the
lifecycle analysis that supports each
pathway, we recognize that there will
likely still be some cases where it is not
clear whether a particular process
technology qualifies for a particular fuel
pathway in Table 1. Fuel producers
seeking to determine if their fuel fits
within the bounds of a pathway listed
in Table 1 can contact EPA through the
pathway screening tool for
clarification.277 The pathway screening
tool process was designed for the
express purpose of providing a means
for renewable fuel producers to seek
input on whether a fuel fits an existing
pathway in Table 1 or whether a new
renewable fuel pathway petition,
pursuant to 40 CFR 80.1416, is needed
prior to generating RINs. To provide
additional clarity regarding the criteria
that EPA will apply to determine
whether a feedstock, fuel, or production
technology qualifies for an existing
Table 1 pathway, we propose to add the
following language to 40 CFR
80.1426(f)(1): ‘‘For purposes of
identifying the appropriate approved
pathway, the fuel must be produced,
distributed, and used in a manner
consistent with the pathway EPA
evaluated when it determined that the
pathway satisfies the applicable GHG
reduction requirement.’’ Again,
producers that are unsure if their fuel
qualifies under an existing pathway may
use the pathway screening tool process
to receive clarification from EPA, and
producers of a fuel that does not fit
within the bounds of an existing
pathway may petition EPA, pursuant to
the petition process at 40 CFR 80.1416,
requesting EPA’s evaluation of the
lifecycle GHG emissions associated with
their fuel.
2. Adding Waste Fats, Oils, and Greases
as Feedstock for Producing Renewable
Naphtha and LPG
We are proposing to add generally
applicable fuel pathways to Table 1 to
40 CFR 80.1426 for renewable naphtha
and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
produced from biogenic waste oils, fats,
and greases through a hydrotreating
process to qualify for D5 (advanced
277 EPA, ‘‘Renewable Fuel Pathway Screening
Tool.’’ https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuelstandard-program/forms/renewable-fuel-pathwayscreening-tool.
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biofuel) RINs. Specifically, we are
proposing to add ‘‘Biogenic waste oils/
fats/greases’’ to the feedstock column in
Row I of Table 1. As discussed below,
we are proposing to add these fuel
pathways based on our finding that they
satisfy the statutory 50 percent GHG
reduction threshold to qualify as
advanced biofuel.
In the RFS2 Rule, we approved fuel
pathways, in Rows F and H, for
biodiesel and renewable diesel
produced from biogenic waste oils, fats,
and greases through a hydrotreating
process to qualify for D4 RINs. These
pathway approvals were based on our
estimate that biodiesel produced from
UCO (also called waste grease or yellow
grease in the RFS2 Rule) reduced
lifecycle GHG emissions by over 80
percent compared to the petroleum
baseline.278 In the Pathways I Rule, we
added ‘‘jet fuel’’ and ‘‘heating oil’’ to the
fuel type column of Rows F and H of
Table 1. The approval of these jet fuel
and heating oil pathways was based on
extending the prior determinations to
renewable diesel as the same facilities
often produce renewable diesel and jet
fuel as coproducts.279 It is also common
for hydrotreating facilities to produce
naphtha and LPG as coproducts along
with renewable diesel and jet fuel. In
the Pathways I Rule, we also approved
Row I for naphtha and LPG produced
from camelina oil through a
hydrotreating process based on the
lifecycle analysis of camelina oil
pathways that was conducted in support
of that rule.
In 2018, we approved a facilityspecific petition, submitted pursuant to
the petition process at 40 CFR 80.1416,
for naphtha and LPG produced from
biogenic waste oils, fats, and greases at
the Renewable Energy Group
hydrotreating facility in Geismar,
Louisiana, to qualify for D5 RINs.280 As
part of that determination, we estimated
that naphtha and LPG produced from
UCO at this facility would reduce
lifecycle GHG emissions by 76 percent
relative to the statutory petroleum
baseline. Based on our prior and current
evaluations, we believe that, as a general
matter, facilities producing renewable
naphtha and LPG from biogenic waste
oils, fats, and greases, such as UCO and
animal tallow, through a hydrotreating
process will satisfy the 50 percent GHG
reduction threshold for these fuels.
Thus, we are proposing to add these
pathways to Row I of Table 1 rather than
approving them on a more time
278 75
FR 14789 (March 26, 2010).
FR 14201 (March 5, 2013).
280 EPA, ‘‘Letter from EPA to Renewable Energy
Group, Inc.,’’ April 13, 2017.
279 78
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consuming and burdensome facilityspecific basis.
E. Updates to Definitions
1. New Definitions
The RFS regulations currently do not
define the terms ‘‘renewable fuel
producer,’’ ‘‘renewable fuel oil,’’
‘‘renewable naphtha,’’ and ‘‘renewable
jet fuel;’’ however, all these terms are
used within the RFS regulations. To
provide regulatory clarity, we are
proposing to define each of these terms
in this action. We are proposing to
define a renewable fuel producer as
‘‘any person that owns, leases, operates,
controls, or supervises a facility where
renewable fuels are produced.’’ This
proposed definition is consistent with
other definitions of regulated parties
under the RFS program. We are
proposing to define renewable fuel oil
as ‘‘heating oil that is renewable fuel
and that meets paragraph (2) of the
definition of heating oil,’’ renewable
naphtha as ‘‘naphtha that is renewable
fuel,’’ and renewable jet fuel as ‘‘jet fuel
that is renewable fuel and meets ASTM
D7566.’’ These proposed definitions are
consistent with other definitions of
renewable fuels under the RFS program.
We believe these proposed definitions
will provide more clarity to both the
regulated community and the public.
We request comment on the proposed
definitions.
2. Revised Definitions
Because we are proposing to reduce
the RINs that are generated on foreign
renewable fuel and renewable fuel made
from foreign feedstocks, and given the
complex nature of global supply chains,
we believe it is necessary to update the
definitions of foreign renewable fuel
producers and importers. These
proposed revisions will also provide
clarity to regulated parties regarding
which entities qualify as foreign
renewable fuel producers or importers.
Under 40 CFR 80.2, a foreign
renewable fuel producer is currently
defined as ‘‘a person from a foreign
country or from an area outside the
covered location who produces
renewable fuel for use in transportation
fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel for export to
the covered location. Foreign ethanol
producers are considered foreign
renewable fuel producers.’’ This
definition is ambiguous because
renewable fuel produced at a facility in
the United States could arguably be
considered produced by a ‘‘foreign
renewable fuel producer’’ if the
corporation that produced the
renewable fuel is incorporated in a
foreign country. We are proposing that
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a foreign renewable fuel producer
instead be defined as ‘‘any person that
owns, leases, operates, controls, or
supervises a facility outside the covered
location where renewable fuel is
produced.’’ This revised definition is
consistent with how foreign biogas
producers and foreign RNG producers
have been defined under the RFS
regulations.
Further, under 40 CFR 80.2 an
importer is defined as ‘‘any person who
imports transportation fuel or renewable
fuel into the covered location from an
area outside of the covered location.’’ To
provide greater clarity to the regulated
community as to which entities can be
considered an importer, we are
proposing to revise the definition of
importer to include ‘‘the importer of
record or an authorized agent acting on
their behalf, as well as the actual owner,
the consignee, or the transferee, if the
right to withdraw merchandise from a
bonded warehouse has been
transferred.’’
Finally, we are proposing to add a
provision in the liability provisions at
40 CFR 80.1461 that specifies that each
person meeting the definition of an
importer of renewable fuel under the
RFS regulations is jointly and severally
liable for any violations of the RFS
requirements, including the newly
proposed import RIN reduction
provisions. The proposed change is
consistent with the liability framework
for other parties participating in the RFS
program and the liability framework
that applies in EPA’s fuel quality
program under 40 CFR part 1090. These
provisions are also necessary to ensure
that importers who import nonqualifying renewable fuel or renewable
fuel feedstocks can be held liable.
We request comment on the revised
definitions of ‘‘foreign renewable fuel
producer’’ and ‘‘importer.’’ We also
request comment on the joint and
several liability provision applicable to
importers of renewable fuel.
3. New Biointermediates
In the 2020–2022 RFS Rule, we
established provisions for
biointermediates to be used to produce
qualifying renewable fuels and listed in
the regulations specific biointermediates
that are allowed under the RFS
program.281 We also stated that new
biointermediates would be brought into
the RFS program via notice-andcomment rulemaking. In the Set 1 Rule,
we added biogas as a biointermediate
and in this action, we are proposing to
add two more biointermediates. These
new biointermediates were requested in
281 87
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two separate petitions for rulemaking
submitted to EPA in 2023 and 2024.282
First, we are proposing to add activated
sludge, which is waste sludge from a
secondary wastewater treatment process
involving oxygen and microorganisms.
One petitioner suggested that activated
sludge could initially be used to
produce renewable CNG, potentially
followed by other fuels such as LNG,
ethanol, biobutanol, and methanol in
the future. Second, we are proposing to
add converted oils, which are glycerides
such as monoglycerides and
diglycerides that are produced through
the glycerolysis of waste oils, fats, or
greases with glycerol. Converted oils
must exclusively consist of glycerides
with fatty acid alkyl groups that
originate from waste oils, fats, or greases
during the conversion process. One
petitioner suggested that converted oils
could be used to produce biodiesel,
renewable diesel, or jet fuel. We request
comment on these proposed additions.
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F. Compliance Reporting,
Recordkeeping, and Registration
Provisions
1. Exempt Small Refinery Compliance
Reporting
Under the RFS program, small
refineries are eligible to petition for and
receive an exemption from their RFS
obligations for a given compliance year.
The RFS regulations do not, however,
exempt these small refineries from
having to submit an annual compliance
report. We are proposing to clarify that
such exempt small refineries must file
an annual compliance report.
While an exempt small refinery does
not have to retire RINs to comply with
an RVO, it still produces gasoline or
diesel fuel that is used as transportation
fuel in the United States and thus this
fuel is included in EIA’s projections of
nationwide gasoline and diesel fuel
consumption. EPA uses these
projections as the basis for calculating
the annual RFS percentage standards
and, as described in the Set 1 Rule, we
have recently discovered a discrepancy
between the volumes of gasoline and
diesel fuel reported by obligated parties
in their annual compliance reports and
EIA’s reported actual volumes of
gasoline and diesel fuel consumed.283 In
order for EPA to have a complete
picture of the actual volume of gasoline
and diesel fuel that was produced by
refiners—including fuel produced by
282 ‘‘Agresti Energy Petition to Add Potential
Biointermediates to the Regulatory Definition,’’
October 12, 2023; ‘‘DS Dansuk Petition for Addition
of New Biointermediate Produced via a New
Production Process,’’ November 26, 2024.
283 RFS Set 1 RIA, Chapter 1.11.
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exempt small refineries—that would
otherwise be reported as obligated fuel
in a given compliance year, it is
necessary that all refiners submit an
annual compliance report regardless of
whether they received an exemption
from their RFS obligations for the given
compliance year. Having this data will
improve the accuracy of EPA’s gasoline
and diesel fuel projections in future
standard-setting actions and better
ensure that there is not overcompliance
by obligated parties.284 Therefore, we
are proposing to clarify under 40 CFR
80.1441(e)(2) and 80.1442(h) that
exempt small refineries and small
refiners are still subject to RFS reporting
requirements under 40 CFR 80.1451(a)
and must submit an annual compliance
report by the annual compliance
reporting deadline. Such exempt small
refineries would need to report their
actual annual production of gasoline
and diesel fuel that would otherwise be
obligated fuel. In addition, we are also
proposing to clarify under 40 CFR
80.1441(e)(2) and 80.1442(h) that a
small refinery or small refiner that
receives an exemption for a given
compliance year is not exempt from
having to comply with any deficit RVOs
that were carried forward from the
previous compliance year. We request
comment on the proposed clarifications.
2. Compliance Report Updates
We are proposing several changes to
requirements related to compliance
reports. Generally, these changes are
intended to reduce burden, support
implementation, or to improve the
quality of information submitted to EPA
under 40 CFR 80.1449, 80.1451, and
80.1452.
Currently, each entity owning RINs
must calculate the volume of renewable
fuel (in gallons) owned at the end of
each quarter and report this on a
quarterly basis. The general
requirements for RIN distribution
specify that the number of assigned
RINs owned must be less than or equal
to the amount of renewable fuel owned
multiplied by 2.5. However, since 2010
there have been no documented
compliance issues with entities meeting
the distribution requirement for
assigned RINs. To reduce reporting
burden, we are proposing to remove this
quarterly reporting requirement under
40 CFR 80.1451 and to also update the
284 Without gasoline and diesel fuel production
volumes from exempt small refineries, EPA is more
likely to underestimate the actual amount of
gasoline and diesel fuel expected to be used in a
given compliance year. This would result in overly
stringent percentage standards, and thus more RINs
would need to be retired than necessary to comply
with the annual volume requirements.
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associated requirement under 40 CFR
80.1428(a)(4).
Renewable fuel producers are
required to submit an annual
‘‘production outlook report’’ that
currently includes a monthly or annual
projection in future years. We are
proposing to only require annual
projections. Reducing this reporting
requirement to annual projections will
reduce burden while maintaining a
minimum level of reporting needed to
assess future production. We are also
proposing to update or remove other
outdated language under 40 CFR
80.1449.
Additionally, producers or importers
of biogas used for transportation fuel are
currently required to report on a
quarterly basis the total energy
produced and supplied for use as
transportation fuel, as well as where the
fuel is sold for use as a transportation
fuel. These reporting requirements
under 40 CFR 80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(P) are
similar to other existing reporting
requirements under 40 CFR 80.140. We
are therefore proposing to remove this
separate quarterly reporting requirement
to further reduce reporting burden.
Finally, we are taking steps to
improve the quality of information
when entities generate RINs in EMTS.
Currently, each reporting party must
enter a ‘‘reason code’’ whenever they are
reporting a buy, sell, separate or retire
transaction in EMTS as described in 40
CFR 80.1452. This information is then
used for implementation, compliance
and public data postings on EPA’s
website. We are proposing to also add
a ‘‘reason code’’ to generate transactions
for similar purposes and updating other
language under 40 CFR 80.1452 to
improve consistency. Examples of new
reason codes include feedstock point of
origin identification, co-processed
batches, and remedial actions.
3. Third-Party Auditor Registration
Renewal
We are proposing to change the
frequency that independent third-party
auditors are required to renew their
registrations. Currently, a third-party
auditor’s registration expires each year
on December 31. However, we have
found that there is significant burden on
both EPA and auditors to review and
approve these registrations every year.
We believe that it is not necessary to
require auditors to renew their
registrations annually and that a twoyear registration period would be more
appropriate. This length of time would
still ensure that we are regularly
reviewing auditor registrations, while
also reducing burden on EPA and
auditors. Thus, we are proposing that a
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third-party auditor’s registration would
expire on December 31 every other year.
We request comment on the proposed
change to the registration renewal
requirement for independent third-party
auditors.
4. Engineering Review Site Visits
Under 40 CFR 80.1450(b)(2),
renewable fuel production facilities are
required to undergo an independent
third-party engineering review prior to
registration. As part of that engineering
review, the independent third-party
engineer is required to conduct a site
visit. However, the current regulations
do not specify when such site visits
need to occur. Recently, EPA has
received some engineering reviews
where the site visit was over a year old.
Therefore, we are proposing to specify
that engineering review site visits must
be conducted within six months prior to
submitting a registration request in
order to ensure that the site visit is
reflective of the current operation of the
facility. We request comment on the
proposed change to the engineering
review site visit requirement.
5. Biogas Batch Period of Production
As part of the biogas regulatory reform
provisions in the Set 1 Rule, a batch of
biogas was specified as the volume of
biogas measured for a calendar month,
with the last day of the month as the
production date.285 Stakeholders have
subsequently provided feedback to EPA
that allowing biogas producers to
produce batches for time periods of less
than a month would improve
implementation of the biogas
regulations. To provide additional
flexibility for biogas producers, we are
proposing to change the period of
production such that a biogas batch may
be ‘‘up to’’ a calendar month, allowing
for more frequent biogas batches as
indicated by the business practices of
the biogas producer. This change would
also provide additional flexibility to
RNG producers that use the biogas
batches as part of their RNG RIN
generation. We request comment on this
proposed flexibility, including how this
change impacts RNG RIN generation
and separation, as well as on the RNG
RIN period of production.
G. New Approved Measurement
Protocols
We are proposing to add additional
measurement protocols to the list of
approved methods for measuring the
volume of RNG or treated biogas. EPA
has already accepted all these methods
through alternative measurement
protocols. The methods we are
proposing to add under 40 CFR
80.155(a) are the following:
• AGA Report No. 3.
• AGA Report No. 9.
• AGA Report No. 11 or API MPMS
14.9.
• ASME MFC–5.1
• ASME MFC–21.2.
• ANSI B109.3.
• ISO 5167–1 and ISO 5167–2, ISO
5167–4, or ISO 5167–5.
• ISO 17089–2.
We are also proposing that flow
meters used to measure the volume of
RNG or treated biogas must be tested
and calibrated under OIML R137–1 and
2. Relatedly, we are proposing that if a
given flow meter is calibrated with a
fluid other than natural gas, the
equivalency to biogas flow or natural
gas flow, respectively, must be
demonstrated at the time of registration.
In addition, under 40 CFR
80.155(b)(2)(v), we are proposing to add
EPA Method TO–15 and ASTM D1945
as additional methods that can be used
for hydrocarbon analysis of biogas and
RNG samples. Currently, only EPA
Method 18 is specified for hydrocarbon
analysis.
We request comment on the adding
the proposed methods and whether
there are any additional methods we
should add to the list of approved
methods.
H. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel
Requirements
We are not proposing any changes to
the sulfur standards for biodiesel or
renewable diesel in this action.
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However, we are again reiterating that
biodiesel and renewable diesel
producers must comply with all of
EPA’s regulatory requirements for diesel
producers in 40 CFR part 1090 for the
biodiesel and renewable diesel they
produce (referred to as ‘‘nonpetroleum
diesel fuel’’ in 40 CFR part 1090),
including demonstrating homogeneity
for each batch of biodiesel and
renewable diesel and testing each batch
for sulfur content to ensure the fuel
meets the 15 ppm standard.286 This also
includes the requirement that all sulfur
test results must be obtained by the
producer before shipping biodiesel or
renewable diesel from the facility.
Requiring measurement before shipping
provides assurance of compliance prior
to the fuel being mixed and comingled
in the fungible distribution system.
Further, the definition of biodiesel
under 40 CFR 80.2 requires that the fuel
‘‘meet ASTM D6571,’’ which means that
each batch of biodiesel must be tested
for and meet all parameters specified in
ASTM D6751. The ASTM D6751
specification was imposed to ensure
that biodiesel for which RINs are
generated is of a sufficient quality to be
used as transportation fuel. To ensure
that all biodiesel for which RINs are
generated is fit to be used as
transportation fuel, each batch must be
tested for and meet ASTM D6751.
To further make clear that all the
above requirements apply to biodiesel
and renewable diesel, we are proposing
clarifying language at 40 CFR
1090.300(a), 1090.305(a),
1090.1310(b)(1), and 1090.1337(e). We
request comment on these proposed
clarifications in 40 CFR part 1090
relating to biodiesel and renewable
diesel.
I. Technical Amendments
We are proposing numerous technical
amendments to the RFS regulations.
These amendments are being made to
correct minor inaccuracies and clarify
the current regulations. These changes
are described in Table X.I–1.
TABLE X.I–1—MISCELLANEOUS TECHNICAL CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS TO RFS REGULATIONS
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Part and section of Title 40
Description of revision
§§ 80.2, 80.1425(a)(3), 80.1426(e)(3),
80.1428(a)(3), 80.1429(c), 80.1460(b)(4).
§ 80.2 ..................................................................
§ 80.2 ..................................................................
285 40
CFR 80.105(j)(1) and 80.140(b)(2).
has previously made clear that biodiesel
producers must comply with all of EPA’s regulatory
286 EPA
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Clarifying the definition of ‘‘Assigned RIN’’ and implementing regulations that assigned RINs
for RNG have a K code of 3.
Clarifying the definition of ‘‘Biodiesel’’ to state that it must be renewable fuel.
Clarifying the definition of ‘‘Diesel fuel’’ by adding renewable diesel as an example of a nondistillate diesel fuel.
requirement for diesel producers. See EPA,
‘‘Guidance for Biodiesel Producers and Biodiesel
Blenders/Users,’’ EPA–420–B–07–019, November
2007; see also, EPA ‘‘Am I required to register
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biodiesel? How would I do that?’’ April 1, 2025.
https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reportingand-compliance-help/am-i-required-registerbiodiesel-how-would-i-do.
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TABLE X.I–1—MISCELLANEOUS TECHNICAL CORRECTIONS AND CLARIFICATIONS TO RFS REGULATIONS—Continued
Part and section of Title 40
Description of revision
§ 80.2 ..................................................................
Clarifying that parties must use ASTM D86 to measure T90 in the definition of ‘‘MVNRLM diesel fuel’’.
Removing the definition of ‘‘Non-ester renewable diesel’’ and replacing it with a definition of
‘‘Renewable diesel’’.
Replacing text in existing regulations to use the new definition of ‘‘renewable fuel oil.’’
§§ 80.2, 80.1426(f)(17), 80.1450(b)(1)(xii),
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T), 80.1454(l).
§§ 80.2 80.1426(c)(7), Table 1 to 80.1426,
80.1450(b)(1)(xi), 80.1453(d), 80.1454(b)(8),
80.1460(g).
§§ 80.2, 80.1426(f)(17), Table 1 to 80.1426,
Replacing text in existing regulations to use the new definition of ‘‘renewable jet fuel.’’
80.1450(b)(1)(xii), 80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T),
80.1454(l).
§§ 80.2, 80.1454, 80.1469, 80.1470, 80.1471,
Removing expired Option A and Option B QAP provisions.
80.1472, 80.1473, 80.1474, 80.1477, 80.1479.
§§ 80.12 and 1090.95 ......................................... Updating numerous ASTM standards and methods to the latest versions (see Section IX.J for
list of methods).
§§ 80.105(j)(3), 80.110(j)(3), and 80.1476(h)(1)
Clarifying that batch numbers for biogas, RNG, biogas-derived renewable fuel, and
biointermediates do not need to be numbered sequentially but must be unique in a compliance period.
§ 80.125(d)(4) ...................................................... Clarifying that RNG RIN separators must separate RINs equal to or less than the total volume
of RNG used as renewable CNG/LNG.
§ 80.125(e)(2) ...................................................... Clarifying when assigned RINs for a volume of RIN must be retired and removing an example
that was inconsistent with the specified regulatory requirements.
§ 80.135(c)(10)(vi)(A)(5) ...................................... Clarifying that biogas is ‘‘produced,’’ not ‘‘generated.’’
§ 80.1426(f)(8) ..................................................... Clarifying that the batch volume standardization equations apply to liquid renewable fuels and
liquid biointermediates.
Table 1 to § 80.1426, 80.1453(a)(12)(v) ............. Replacing text in existing regulations to use the new definition of ‘‘renewable naphtha.’’
§ 80.1449(a)(4)(i) ................................................ Replacing existing and planned production capacity with nameplate and permitted production
capacity.
§ 80.1452(b) and (c) ........................................... Clarifying that EPA may allow a party to submit RIN assignment or transaction information to
EMTS outside the applicable 5- or 10-business-day deadline.
§ 80.1454(b)(3)(ix) ............................................... Clarifying that records must be kept for all calculations under 80.1426.
§ 1090.80 ............................................................ Replacing references to ‘‘NP diesel fuel’’ with ‘‘nonpetroleum diesel fuel.’’
§ 1090.80 ............................................................ Clarifying the definition of ‘‘Responsible corporate officer (RCO)’’ by removing ‘‘operations
manager’’ as an example of an RCO.
§§ 80.2, 80.3, 80.1405, 80.1407, 80.1415,
Correcting typographical, grammatical, and consistency errors.
80.1426, 80.1429, 80.1435, 80.1444,
80.1450, 80.1451, 80.1452, 80.1453, 80.1454.
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XI. Request for Comments
We solicit comments on this proposed
action. Specifically, we are soliciting
comment on the following:
A. Renewable Fuel Volumes and
Analyses
• The proposed cellulosic biofuel,
BBD, advanced biofuel, and total
renewable fuel volume requirements for
2026 and 2027 (A–1).
• Alternative volume requirements
for each of the statutory categories of
renewable fuel for 2026 and 2027,
including any data or analysis that
would support alternative volumes for
these years (A–2).
• The assessments and methodologies
used to project volumes of cellulosic
biofuel (A–3).
• The appropriate volume of noncellulosic advanced biofuel for 2026 and
2027 (A–4).
• The potential production volume
and impacts of renewable jet fuel on the
statutory factors (A–5).
• Our proposed approach of
accounting for the projected shortfall in
the supply of conventional renewable
fuel relative to the 15-billion-gallon
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implied volume when establishing the
volume requirements for advanced
biofuel and BBD (A–6).
• The advantages and disadvantages
of establishing BBD and advanced
biofuel volume requirements at levels at
or closer to the projected supplies of
these fuels and the implications of
doing so on the total renewable fuel
volume if such an approach were
adopted (A–7).
• Our analysis of the statutory factors
in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii),
including the approaches to estimating
jobs and rural economic development
impacts associated with renewable fuels
and the types of approaches that would
be appropriate to apply in analyzing net
jobs and rural development impacts (A–
8).
B. Import RIN Reduction
• The appropriateness of the
proposed import RIN reduction factor
(i.e., more or less than the proposed 50
percent reduction) (B–1).
• The proposed import RIN
generation requirement, and whether
there are alternative RIN generation
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approaches that we should consider (B–
2).
• The proposed import RIN reduction
recordkeeping, reporting, attest
engagement, and QAP requirements (B–
3).
• The proposed definition of
‘‘feedstock point of origin,’’ particularly
on the proposed origin locations for
each feedstock type and whether there
are any other feedstock types that
should have specified origin locations
(B–4).
C. Removal of Renewable Electricity
From the RFS Program
• The statutory analyses and
proposed conclusions that: (1)
Renewable electricity does not meet the
definition of renewable fuel because it
does not ‘‘replace or reduce the quantity
of fossil fuel present in a transportation
fuel,’’ and (2) Electricity is not a fuel
under the RFS program (C–1).
• The proposed removal from the RFS
regulations all provisions related to
renewable electricity, including but not
limited to the definition of and
pathways for renewable electricity and
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the generation of RINs for renewable
electricity (C–2).
DRIA Chapter 10.6, available in the
docket for this action.
D. Other RFS Program Amendments
B. Executive Order 14192: Unleashing
Prosperity Through Deregulation
• The other proposed amendments to
the RFS program, including: the
equivalence values for renewable diesel,
naphtha, and jet fuel; the changes to the
percentage standards equations; and the
changes and additions to the pathways
in Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 (D–1).
E. Policy Considerations
• Where applicable, any legitimate
reliance interests impacted by EPA’s
proposed changes in policy. (E–1)
• A general pathway for the
production of renewable jet fuel from
corn ethanol, including the
consideration of technologies that could
reduce the GHG emissions for this
pathway such as the use of carbon
capture and storage and renewable
natural gas for process energy (E–2).
• The definition of ‘‘produced from
renewable biomass’’ (E–3).
• Additional program amendments to
ensure the validity of imported
renewable fuels and feedstocks (E–4).
• Program enhancements to increase
the use of qualifying woody-biomass to
produce renewable transportation fuel
(E–5).
• An option to apply the import RIN
reduction provisions to imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced domestically from foreign
feedstock from only a subset of
countries to reflect the reduced
economic, energy security, and
environmental benefits of imported
renewable fuel and feedstocks from
those countries (E–6).
• Any other modifications to the RFS
program designed to unleash the
production of American energy (E–7).
XII. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Additional information about these
statutes and Executive Orders can be
found at https://www.epa.gov/lawsregulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
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A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
This action is a ‘‘significant regulatory
action,’’ as defined under section 3(f)(1)
of Executive Order 12866. Accordingly,
EPA, submitted this action to the Office
of Management and Budget (OMB) for
Executive Order 12866 review.
Documentation of any changes made in
response to the Executive Order 12866
review is available in the docket. EPA
prepared an analysis of the potential
costs and benefits associated with this
action. This analysis is presented in
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This action is expected to be an
Executive Order 14192 regulatory
action. Details on the estimated costs of
this proposed rule can be found in
EPA’s analysis of the potential costs and
benefits associated with this action in
DRIA Chapter 10.6, available in the
docket for this action.
C. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
The information collection activities
in this proposed rule have been
submitted for approval to the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) under
the PRA. The Information Collection
Request (ICR) document that the EPA
prepared has been assigned EPA ICR
number 7804.01. You can find a copy of
the ICR in the docket for this rule, and
it is briefly summarized here.
The proposed volume standards and
associated percentage standards for
2026 and 2027 do not add to the
burdens already estimated under
existing, approved ICRs for the RFS
program. This proposed rule proposes
recordkeeping and reporting for
domestic renewable fuel producers to
implement the proposed RIN reduction
for import-based renewable fuel. We
anticipate the increase in burden related
to identifying feedstock as foreign or
domestic will be very small because the
parties already are required to keep
underlying records and provide reports
for the RFS program, generally. General
recordkeeping and reporting for the RFS
program is contained in the Renewable
Fuel Standard program ICR, OMB
Control Number 2060–0725 (expires
November 30, 2025).
Certain information submitted to EPA
may be claimed as confidential business
information (CBI) and such information
will be handled in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR parts 2 and 80.
Respondents/affected entities:
renewable fuel producers, third party
auditors (attest engagements), QAP
auditors.
Respondent’s obligation to respond:
Mandatory, under 40 CFR part 80.
Estimated number of respondents:
2,307.
Frequency of response: Quarterly,
annual, on occasion/as needed.
Total estimated burden: 7,244 hours
(per year). Burden is defined at 5 CFR
1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $20,323, all
purchased services and including $0
annualized capital or operation &
maintenance costs.
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An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for the EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9.
Submit your comments on the
Agency’s need for this information, the
accuracy of the provided burden
estimates and any suggested methods
for minimizing respondent burden to
the EPA using the docket identified at
the beginning of this rule. The EPA will
respond to any ICR-related comments in
the final rule. You may also send your
ICR-related comments to OMB’s Office
of Information and Regulatory Affairs
using the interface at www.reginfo.gov/
public/do/PRAMain. Find this
particular information collection by
selecting ‘‘Currently under Review—
Open for Public Comments’’ or by using
the search function. OMB must receive
comments no later than July 17, 2025.
D. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the RFA.
With respect to the amendments to
the RFS regulations, this action makes
minor corrections and modifications to
those regulations. As such, we do not
anticipate that there will be any
significant adverse economic impact on
directly regulated small entities as a
result of these revisions.
The small entities directly regulated
by the annual percentage standards
associated with the RFS volumes are
small refiners that produce gasoline or
diesel fuel, which are defined at 13 CFR
121.201. EPA believes that there are
currently 6 refiners (owning 7 refineries)
producing gasoline and/or diesel that
meet the definition of small entity by
having 1,500 employees or fewer. To
evaluate the impacts of the proposed
2026 and 2027 volume requirements on
small entities, we have conducted a
screening analysis to assess whether we
should make a finding that this action
will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities.287 Currently available
information shows that the impact on
small entities from implementation of
this rule will not be significant. We have
reviewed and assessed the available
information, which shows that obligated
parties, including small entities, are able
to recover the cost of acquiring the RINs
necessary for compliance with the RFS
standards through higher sales prices of
the petroleum products they sell than
287 See
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would be expected in the absence of the
RFS program.288 This is true whether
they acquire RINs by purchasing
renewable fuels with attached RINs or
purchasing separated RINs. The costs of
the RFS program are thus being passed
on to consumers in a highly competitive
marketplace. Even if we were to assume
that the cost of acquiring RINs was not
recovered by obligated parties, a cost-tosales ratio test shows that the costs to
small entities of the RFS standards
established in this action are far less
than 1 percent of the value of their
sales.289
Furthermore, to the degree that small
entities may be impacted by this action,
these impacts are mitigated by the
existing compliance flexibilities in the
RFS program that are available to small
entities. These flexibilities include
being able to comply through RIN
trading rather than renewable fuel
blending, 20 percent RIN rollover
allowance (up to 20 percent of an
obligated party’s RVO can be met using
previous-year RINs), and deficit carryforward (the ability to carry over a
deficit from a given year into the
following year, provided that the deficit
is satisfied together with the next year’s
RVO). Additionally, as required by CAA
section 211(o)(9)(B), the RFS regulations
include a hardship relief provision that
allows for a small refinery to petition for
an extension of its small refinery
exemption at any time based on a
showing that the refinery is
experiencing a ‘‘disproportionate
economic hardship.’’ 290 EPA
regulations provide the same relief to
small refiners that are not eligible for
small refinery relief.291 In the RFS2
Rule, we discussed other potential small
entity flexibilities that had been
suggested by the Small Business
Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act
(SBREFA) panel or through comments,
but we did not adopt them, in part
because we had serious concerns
regarding our authority to do so.292
In sum, this rule will not change the
compliance flexibilities currently
offered to small entities under the RFS
program and available information
288 For a further discussion of the ability of
obligated parties to recover the cost of RINs, see
EPA, ‘‘Denial of Petitions for Rulemaking to Change
the RFS Point of Obligation,’’ EPA–420–R–17–008,
November 2017.
289 A cost-to-sales ratio of 1 percent represents a
typical agency threshold for determining the
significance of the economic impact on small
entities. See ‘‘Final Guidance for EPA Rulewriters:
Regulatory Flexibility Act as amended by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act,’’
November 2006.
290 40 CFR 80.1441(e)(2).
291 40 CFR 80.1442(h).
292 75 FR 14858–62 (March 26, 2010).
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shows that the impact on small entities
from implementation of this rule will
not be significant.
E. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
This action does not contain an
unfunded mandate of $100 million
(adjusted annually for inflation) or more
(in 1995 dollars) as described in UMRA,
2 U.S.C. 1531–1538, and does not
significantly or uniquely affect small
governments. This action imposes no
enforceable duty on any state, local, or
tribal governments. This action contains
a federal mandate under UMRA that
may result in expenditures of $100
million (adjusted annually for inflation)
or more (in 1995 dollars) for the private
sector in any one year. Accordingly, the
costs associated with this rule are
discussed in Section IV and DRIA
Chapter 10.
This action is not subject to the
requirements of section 203 of UMRA
because it contains no regulatory
requirements that might significantly or
uniquely affect small governments.
F. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism
implications. It will not have substantial
direct effects on the states, on the
relationship between the national
government and the states, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government.
G. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
This action does not have tribal
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13175. This action will be
implemented at the Federal level and
affects transportation fuel refiners,
blenders, marketers, distributors,
importers, exporters, and renewable fuel
producers and importers. Tribal
governments will be affected only to the
extent they produce, purchase, or use
regulated fuels. Thus, Executive Order
13175 does not apply to this action.
H. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
Executive Order 13045 directs federal
agencies to include an evaluation of the
health and safety effects of the planned
regulation on children in federal health
and safety standards and explain why
the regulation is preferable to
potentially effective and reasonably
feasible alternatives. This action is
subject to Executive Order 13045
because it is a significant regulatory
action under section 3(f)(1) of Executive
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Order 12866, and EPA believes that the
environmental health or safety risks of
the pollutants impacted by this action
may have a disproportionate effect on
children. An assessment of the
environmental impacts from this rule is
include in DRIA Chapter 4.
I. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
This action is not a ‘‘significant
energy action’’ because it is not likely to
have a significant adverse effect on the
supply, distribution, or use of energy.
This action proposes to establish the
required renewable fuel content of the
transportation fuel supply for 2026 and
2027 pursuant to the CAA. The RFS
program and this rule are designed to
achieve positive effects on the nation’s
transportation fuel supply by increasing
energy independence and security.
These positive impacts are described in
Section IV and DRIA Chapter 6.
J. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
This action involves technical
standards. Except for the standards
discussed in this section, the standards
included in the regulatory text as
incorporated by reference were all
previously approved for incorporation
by reference (IBR) and no change is
included in this action.
In accordance with the requirements
of 1 CFR 51.5, we are proposing to
incorporate by reference the use of
certain standards and test methods from
the American Gas Association (AGA),
American National Standards Institute
(ANSI), American Petroleum Institute
(API), American Society of Mechanical
Engineers (ASME), ASTM International
(ASTM), International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), International
Organization of Legal Metrology (OIML),
and EPA. The standards and test
methods may be obtained through the
AGA website (www.aga.org) or by
calling AGA at (202) 824–7000; the
ANSI website (www.ansi.org) or by
calling ANSI at (212) 642–4980; the API
website (www.api.org) or by calling API
at (202) 682–8000; the ASME website
(www.asme.org) or by calling ASME at
(800) 843–2763; the ASTM website
(www.astm.org) or by calling ASTM at
(877) 909–2786; the ISO website
(www.iso.org) or by calling ISO at +41–
22–749–01–11; the OIML website
(www.oiml.org) or by calling OIML at
+33 1 4878 1282; and the EPA website
(www.epa.gov) or by calling EPA at
(202) 272–0167. We are proposing to
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incorporate by reference the following
standards:
Organization and standard or test method
Part and section of Title 40
Summary
AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Orifice Metering of Natural
Gas and Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 1: General
Equations and Uncertainty Guidelines, 4th Edition, including Errata July 2013, Reaffirmed, July 2022.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 2, Orifice Metering of Natural
Gas and Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 2: Specification
and Installation Requirements, 5th Edition, March
2016.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 3, Orifice Metering of Natural
Gas and Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 3: Natural Gas
Applications, 4th Edition, Reaffirmed, June 2021.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 4, Orifice Metering of Natural
Gas and Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 4—Background, Development, Implementation Procedure, and
Example Calculations, 4th Edition, October 2019.
AGA Report No. 9, Measurement of Gas by Multipath
Ultrasonic Meters, 2nd Edition, April 2007.
AGA Report No. 11, Measurement of Natural Gas by
Coriolis Meter, 2nd Edition, February 2013.
ANSI B109.3–2019 (R2024), Rotary-Type Gas Displacement Meters, February 5, 2019, Reaffirmed April 26,
2024.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard describes engineering equations, installation requirements, and uncertainty estimations of
square-edged orifice meters in measuring the flow of
natural gas and similar fluids.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard describes design and installation of
square-edged orifice meters for measuring flow of
natural gas and similar fluids.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard describes applications using squareedged orifice meters for measuring flow of natural
gas and similar fluids.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard describes the development of equations
for coefficient of discharge, including a calculation
procedure, for square-edged orifice meters measuring flow of natural gas and similar fluids.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
API MPMS 14.9–2013, Measurement of Natural Gas by
Coriolis Meter, 2nd Edition, February 2013.
ASME MFC–5.1–2011 (R2024), Measurement of Liquid
Flow in Closed Conduits Using Transit-Time Ultrasonic Flowmeters, June 17, 2011, Reaffirmed 2024.
ASME MFC-21.2–2010 (R2018), Measurement of Fluid
Flow by Means of Thermal Dispersion Mass Flowmeters, January 10, 2011, Reaffirmed 2018.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard describes procedures and guidelines for
measuring natural gas by turbine meters.
This standard describes procedures and guidelines for
measuring natural gas by Coriolis meters.
This document describes a basic standard for safe operation, substantial and durable construction, and acceptable performance for rotary-type gas displacement meters.
This standard describes procedures and guidelines for
measuring natural gas by Coriolis meters.
This standard describes procedures and guidelines for
measuring liquid flow by ultrasonic flowmeters.
ASTM D86–23ae2, Standard Test Method for Distillation
of Petroleum Products and Liquid Fuels at Atmospheric Pressure, approved December 1, 2023.
ASTM D287–22, Standard Test Method for API Gravity
of Crude Petroleum and Petroleum Products (Hydrometer Method), approved December 1, 2022.
ASTM D975–24a, Standard Specification for Diesel
Fuel, approved August 1, 2024.
§§ 80.2, 80.12, 1090.95,
and 1090.1350(b).
ASTM D976–21e1, Standard Test Method for Calculated
Cetane Index of Distillate Fuels, approved November
1, 2021.
ASTM D1945–14 (Reapproved 2019), Standard Test
Method for Analysis of Natural Gas by Gas Chromatography, approved December 1, 2019.
ASTM D2622–24a, Standard Test Method for Sulfur in
Petroleum Products by Wavelength Dispersive X-ray
Fluorescence Spectrometry, approved December 1,
2024.
ASTM D3588–98 (Reapproved 2024)e1, Standard Practice for Calculating Heat Value, Compressibility Factor,
and Relative Density of Gaseous Fuels, reapproved
May 1, 2024.
ASTM D3606–24a, Standard Test Method for Determination of Benzene and Toluene in Spark Ignition
Fuels by Gas Chromatography, approved November
1, 2024.
ASTM D4057–22, Standard Practice for Manual Sampling of Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved
May 1, 2022.
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§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1337(d).
§§ 80.2, 80.12, 80.1426(f),
80.1450(b), 80.1451(b),
and 80.1454(l).
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 1090.95, 1090.1350(b),
1090.1360(d), and
1090.1375(c).
This standard describes guidelines for the quality, description, principle of operation, selection, installation,
and flow calibration of thermal dispersion flowmeters
for the measurement of the mass flow rate and volumetric flow rate of the flow of a fluid in a closed conduit.
This updated standard describes how to perform distillation measurements for gasoline and other petroleum products.
This updated standard describes how to measure the
density of fuels and other petroleum products, expressed in terms of API gravity.
This updated standard describes the characteristic values for several parameters to be considered suitable
as diesel fuel.
This updated standard describes how to calculate cetane index for a sample of diesel fuel and other distillate fuels.
This standard describes how to determine the chemical
composition of natural gas using gas chromatography.
This updated standard describes how to measure the
sulfur content in gasoline, diesel fuel, and other petroleum products.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155(b) and
(f)..
This updated standard describes the calculation protocol for aggregate properties of gaseous fuels from
compositional measurements.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1360(c).
This updated standard describes how to measure the
benzene content of gasoline and similar fuels.
§§ 80.8(a) and 80.12 ..........
This updated standard describes procedures for drawing samples of fuel and other petroleum products
from storage tanks and other containers using manual procedures.
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Organization and standard or test method
Part and section of Title 40
Summary
ASTM D4177–22e1, Standard Practice for Automatic
Sampling of Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved July 1, 2022.
ASTM D4737–21, Standard Test Method for Calculated
Cetane Index by Four Variable Equation, approved
November 1, 2021.
ASTM D4806–21a, Standard Specification for Denatured
Fuel Ethanol for Blending with Gasolines for Use as
Automotive Spark-Ignition Engine Fuel, approved October 1, 2021.
ASTM D4814–24b, Standard Specification for Automotive Spark-Ignition Engine Fuel, approved December 1, 2024.
ASTM D5134–21, Standard Test Method for Detailed
Analysis of Petroleum Naphthas through n-Nonane by
Capillary Gas Chromatography, approved December
1, 2021.
ASTM D5453–24, Standard Test Method for Determination of Total Sulfur in Light Hydrocarbons, Spark Ignition Engine Fuel, Diesel Engine Fuel, and Engine Oil
by Ultraviolet Fluorescence, approved October 15,
2024.
ASTM D5842–23, Standard Practice for Sampling and
Handling of Fuels for Volatility Measurement, approved October 1, 2023.
§§ 80.8(b) and 80.12 ..........
This updated standard describes procedures for using
automated procedures to draw fuel samples for testing.
This updated standard describes how to calculate cetane index for a sample of diesel fuel and other distillate fuels.
This updated standard describes the characteristic values for several parameters to be considered suitable
as denatured fuel ethanol for blending with gasoline.
ASTM D5854–19a, Standard Practice for Mixing and
Handling of Liquid Samples of Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved May 1, 2019.
ASTM D6259–23, Standard Practice for Determination
of a Pooled Limit of Quantitation for a Test Method,
approved May 1, 2023.
§§ 80.8(d) and 80.12 ..........
ASTM D6708–24, Standard Practice for Statistical Assessment and Improvement of Expected Agreement
Between Two Test Methods that Purport to Measure
the Same Property of a Material, approved March 1,
2024.
ASTM D6729–20, Standard Test Method for Determination of Individual Components in Spark Ignition Engine
Fuels by 100 Metre Capillary High Resolution Gas
Chromatography, approved June 1, 2020.
ASTM D6730–22, Standard Test Method for Determination of Individual Components in Spark Ignition Engine
Fuels by 100-Metre Capillary (with Precolumn) HighResolution Gas Chromatography, approved November
1, 2022.
ASTM D6751–24, Standard Specification for Biodiesel
Fuel Blendstock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels, approved March 1, 2024.
ASTM D6792–23c, Standard Practice for Quality Management Systems in Petroleum Products, Liquid
Fuels, and Lubricants Testing Laboratories, approved
November 1, 2023.
ASTM D6866–24a, Standard Test Methods for Determining the Biobased Content of Solid, Liquid, and
Gaseous Samples Using Radiocarbon Analysis, approved December 1, 2024.
ASTM D7717–11 (Reapproved 2021), Standard Practice
for Preparing Volumetric Blends of Denatured Fuel
Ethanol and Gasoline Blendstocks for Laboratory
Analysis, approved October 1, 2021.
ASTM D7777–24, Standard Test Method for Density,
Relative Density, or API Gravity of Liquid Petroleum
by Portable Digital Density Meter, approved July 1,
2024.
ASTM E711–23e1, Standard Test Method for Gross Calorific Value of Refuse-Derived Fuel by the Bomb Calorimeter, approved April 1, 2023.
§§ 1090.95, 1090.1360(c),
1090.1365(d) and (f), and
1090.1375(c).
ASTM E870–24, Standard Test Methods for Analysis of
Wood Fuels, approved October 1, 2024.
§§ 80.12 and 80.1426(f) .....
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§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1395(a).
§§ 1090.95, 1090.80, and
1090.1395(a).
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
This updated standard describes the characteristic values for several parameters to be considered suitable
as gasoline.
This updated standard describes how to measure benzene in butane, pentane, and other light-end petroleum compounds.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
This updated standard describes how to measure the
sulfur content of neat ethanol and other petroleum
products.
§§ 80.8(c), 80.12, 1090.95,
and 1090.1335(d).
This updated standard describes procedures for drawing samples of gasoline and other fuels from storage
tanks and other containers using manual procedures
to prepare samples for measuring vapor pressure.
This updated standard describes procedures for handling, mixing, and conditioning procedures to prepare
representative composite samples.
This updated standard describes procedures to determine how to evaluate parameter measurements at
very low levels, including a laboratory limit of quantitation that applies for a given facility.
This updated standard describes statistical criteria to
evaluate whether an alternative test method provides
results that are consistent with a reference procedure.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1355(b).
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
This updated standard describes how to determine the
benzene content of butane and pentane.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1350(b).
This updated standard describes how to determine the
benzene content of butane and pentane.
§§ 1090.95, 1090.300(a),
and 1090.1350(b).
This standard describes the characteristics of biodiesel.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1450(c).
This updated standard describes principles for ensuring
quality for laboratories involved in parameter measurements for fuels and other petroleum products.
§§ 80.12, 80.155(b),
80.1426(f), and
80.1430(e).
This updated standard describes the radiocarbon dating
test method to determine the renewable content of
biogas and RNG.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1340(b).
This updated standard describes the procedures for
blending denatured fuel ethanol with gasoline to prepare a sample for testing.
§§ 1090.95 and
1090.1337(d).
This updated standard describes how to measure the
density of fuels and other petroleum products, expressed in terms of API gravity.
§§ 80.12 and 80.1426(f) .....
This updated standard describes the procedures for determination of the gross calorific value of a prepared
analysis sample of solid forms of refuse-derived fuel
by the bomb calorimeter method.
This updated standard describes the proximate analysis, ultimate analysis, and the determination of the
gross caloric value of wood fuels.
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Organization and standard or test method
Part and section of Title 40
Summary
ISO 5167–1:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means
of pressure differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part 1: General
principles and requirements, 3rd Edition, June 2022.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
ISO 5167–2:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means
of pressure differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part 2: Orifice
plates, 2nd Edition, June 2022.
ISO 5167–4:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means
of pressure differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part 4: Venturi
tubes, 2nd Edition, June 2022.
ISO 5167–5:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means
of pressure differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part 5: Cone meters, 2nd Edition, October 2022.
ISO 17089–2:2012, Measurement of fluid flow in closed
conduits—Ultrasonic meters for gas, Part 2: Meters for
industrial applications, 1st Edition, October 2012.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
OIML R 137–1 and 2, Gas meters, Part 1: Metrological
and technical requirements and Part 2: Metrological
controls and performance tests, Edition 2012, Including Amendment 2014.
EPA Compendium Method TO–15, Determination Of
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) In Air Collected
In Specially-Prepared Canisters And Analyzed By Gas
Chromatography/Mass Spectrometry (GC/MS), Second Edition, January 1999.
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard establishes the general principles for
methods of measurement and computation of the
flow rate of fluid flowing in a conduit by means of
pressure differential devices when they are inserted
into a circular cross-section conduit running full.
This standard specifies the geometry and method of
use of orifice plates when they are inserted in a conduit running full to determine the flow rate of the fluid
flowing in the conduit.
This standard specifies the geometry and method of
use of Venturi tubes when they are inserted in a conduit running full to determine the flow rate of the fluid
flowing in the conduit.
This standard specifies the geometry and method of
use of cone meters when they are inserted in a conduit running full to determine the flow rate of the fluid
flowing in the conduit.
This standard specifies requirements and recommendations for ultrasonic gas meters, which utilize acoustic
signals to measure the flow in the gaseous phase in
closed conduits.
This standard specifies testing and calibration requirements for gas meters.
AGA, ASME, ANSI, API, ASTM, ISO,
and OIML regularly publish updated
versions of their standards and test
methods, with the potential that there
will be a published version of one or
more of the documents listed above
before we adopt the final rule that is
more recent than the documents we
identify in this proposed rule. For any
such updated versions, we will consider
including a reference to the latest
document when we finalize the
revisions covered by this proposed rule.
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XIII. Amendatory Instructions
Amendatory instructions are the
standard terms that the Office of the
Federal Register (OFR) uses to give
specific instructions to agencies on how
to change the CFR. OFR’s historical
guidance was to include amendatory
instructions accompanying each
individual change that was being made
(e.g., each sentence or individual
paragraph). The piecemeal amendments
served as an indication of changes EPA
was making. Due to the extensive
number of technical and conforming
amendments included in this action,
however, EPA is utilizing OFR’s new
amendatory instruction ‘‘revise and
republish’’ for revisions proposed in
this action.293 Therefore, instead of the
293 OFR’s Document Drafting Handbook (Chapter
2, 2–38) explains that agencies ‘‘[u]se [r]epublish to
set out unchanged text for the convenience of the
reader, often to provide context for your regulatory
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§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
§§ 80.12 and 80.155 ..........
This standard specifies sampling and analytical procedures for identifying and measuring VOCs using gas
chromatography/mass spectrometry.
past practice of piecemeal amendments
for revisions to the CFR, EPA is using
the ‘‘revise and republish’’ instruction
to both revise regulatory text and
republish in their entirety certain
sections of 40 CFR part 80 that contain
the regulatory text being revised. To
indicate those portions of provisions
where changes are being revised, EPA
has created a red-line version of 40 CFR
part 80 that incorporates the proposed
changes. This red-line version is
available in the docket for this action.
This red-line version provides further
context to assist the public in reviewing
the proposed regulatory text changes.
EPA is not reopening for comment those
unchanged provisions. Republishing
provisions that are unchanged in this
action is consistent with guidance from
OFR.
XIV. Statutory Authority
Statutory authority for this action
comes from sections 114, 203–05, 208,
211, 301, and 307 of the Clean Air Act,
42 U.S.C. 7414, 7522–24, 7542, 7545,
7601, and 7607.
List of Subjects
40 CFR Part 80
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Diesel fuel, Fuel
additives, Gasoline, Imports,
Incorporation by reference, Oil imports,
Petroleum, Renewable fuel.
40 CFR Part 1090
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Diesel fuel, Fuel
additives, Gasoline, Imports,
Incorporation by reference, Oil imports,
Petroleum, Renewable fuel.
Lee Zeldin,
≤Administrator.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, EPA proposes to amend 40
CFR parts 80 and 1090 as follows:
PART 80—REGULATION OF FUELS
AND FUEL ADDITIVES
1. The authority citation for part 80
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7521, 7542,
7545, and 7601(a).
Subpart A—General Provisions
changes.’’ https://www.archives.gov/federalregister/write/handbook. Additional information on
OFR’s mandatory use of ‘‘revise and republish’’ is
available at https://www.archives.gov/federalregister/write/ddh/revise-republish.
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2. Amend § 80.2 by:
a. Adding the definition ‘‘Activated
sludge’’ in alphabetical order;
■ b. Removing the definition ‘‘A–RIN’’;
■
■
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c. Revising the definitions ‘‘Assigned
RIN’’ and ‘‘Biodiesel’’;
■ d. Adding paragraphs (5)(x) and (xi) in
the definition ‘‘Biointermediate’’;
■ e. Revising paragraph (1)(ii) in the
definition ‘‘Biomass-based diesel’’;
■ f. Removing the definition ‘‘B–RIN’’;
■ g. Revising the definition ‘‘Cellulosic
diesel’’;
■ h. Adding the definition ‘‘Converted
oils’’ in alphabetical order;
■ i. Revising the definition ‘‘Coprocessed cellulosic diesel’’;
■ j. Revising paragraph (1)(ii) in the
definition ‘‘Diesel fuel’’;
■ k. Adding the definition ‘‘Feedstock
point of origin’’ in alphabetical order;
■ l. Revising the definitions ‘‘Foreign
renewable fuel producer’’, ‘‘Heating
oil’’, and ‘‘Importer’’;
■ m. Removing the definition ‘‘Interim
period’’;
■ n. Revising the definition ‘‘MVNRLM
diesel fuel’’;
■ o. Removing the definition ‘‘Non-ester
renewable diesel’’;
■ p. Adding the definition ‘‘Renewable
diesel’’ in alphabetical order;
■ q. Removing the definition
‘‘Renewable electricity’’; and
■ r. Adding the definitions ‘‘Renewable
fuel oil’’ and ‘‘Renewable jet fuel’’ in
alphabetical order;
■ s. Revising the definition ‘‘Renewable
liquefied natural gas or renewable
LNG’’; and
■ t. Adding the definition ‘‘Renewable
naphtha’’ in alphabetical order.
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
■
§ 80.2
Definitions.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
*
Activated sludge means the waste
sludge from a secondary wastewater
treatment process involving oxygen and
microorganisms.
*
*
*
*
*
Assigned RIN means a RIN assigned to
a volume of renewable fuel or RNG
pursuant to § 80.1426(e) or § 80.125(c),
respectively, with a K code of 1 for
renewable fuel or 3 for RNG.
*
*
*
*
*
Biodiesel means diesel fuel that is
renewable fuel and that meets ASTM
D6751 (incorporated by reference, see
§ 80.12).
*
*
*
*
*
Biointermediate * * *
(5) * * *
(x) Activated sludge.
(xi) Converted oils.
*
*
*
*
*
Biomass-based diesel * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) Meets the definition of either
biodiesel or renewable diesel.
*
*
*
*
*
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Cellulosic diesel is any renewable fuel
which meets both the definitions of
cellulosic biofuel and biomass-based
diesel. Cellulosic diesel includes
renewable fuel oil and renewable jet
fuel produced from cellulosic
feedstocks.
*
*
*
*
*
Converted oils means glycerides such
as monoglycerides and diglycerides that
are produced through the glycerolysis of
biogenic waste oils/fats/greases with
glycerol. Converted oils must
exclusively consist of glycerides with
fatty acid alkyl groups that originate
from biogenic waste oils/fats/greases
during the conversion process.
*
*
*
*
*
Co-processed cellulosic diesel is any
renewable fuel that meets the definition
of cellulosic biofuel and meets all the
requirements of paragraph (1) of this
definition:
(1) (i) Is a transportation fuel,
transportation fuel additive, heating oil,
or jet fuel.
(ii) Meets the definition of either
biodiesel or renewable diesel.
(iii) Is registered as a motor vehicle
fuel or fuel additive under 40 CFR part
79, if the fuel or fuel additive is
intended for use in a motor vehicle.
(2) Co-processed cellulosic diesel
includes all the following:
(i) Renewable fuel oil and renewable
jet fuel produced from cellulosic
feedstocks.
(ii) Cellulosic biofuel produced from
cellulosic feedstocks co-processed with
petroleum.
*
*
*
*
*
Diesel fuel * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) A non-distillate fuel other than
residual fuel with comparable physical
and chemical properties (e.g., biodiesel,
renewable diesel).
*
*
*
*
*
Feedstock point of origin means the
location, either domestic or foreign,
where a feedstock is produced,
generated, extracted, collected, or
harvested. This location is determined
as follows:
(1) For planted crops, cover crops, or
crop residue (including starches,
cellulosic, and non-cellulosic
components thereof), the location of the
feedstock supplier that supplied the
feedstock to the renewable fuel
producer or biointermediate producer
(e.g., grain elevator).
(2) For oil derived from planted crops,
cover crops, or algae, the location where
the oil is extracted from the planted
crop, cover crop, or algae (e.g., crushing
facility).
(3) For biogenic waste oils/fats/
greases, separated yard waste, separated
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food waste, or MSW (including the
components thereof), the location of the
establishment where the waste is
collected (e.g., restaurant, food
processing facility).
(4) For biogas, the location of the
landfill or digester that produces the
biogas.
(5) For planted trees, tree residue,
slash, pre-commercial thinnings, or
other woody biomass, the location
where the woody biomass is harvested.
(6) For all other feedstocks, the
location where the feedstock is
produced, generated, extracted,
collected, or harvested, as applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
Foreign renewable fuel producer
means any person that owns, leases,
operates, controls, or supervises a
facility outside the covered location
where renewable fuel is produced.
*
*
*
*
*
Heating oil means a product that
meets one of the definitions in
paragraph (1) of this definition:
(1)(i) Any No. 1, No. 2, or nonpetroleum diesel blend that is sold for
use in furnaces, boilers, and similar
applications and which is commonly or
commercially known or sold as heating
oil, fuel oil, and similar trade names,
and that is not jet fuel, kerosene, or
MVNRLM diesel fuel.
(ii) Any fuel oil that is used to heat
or cool interior spaces of homes or
buildings to control ambient climate for
human comfort. The fuel oil must be
liquid at STP and contain no more than
2.5% mass solids.
(2) Pure biodiesel (i.e., B100) or neat
biodiesel (i.e., B99) that is used for
process heat or power generation is not
heating oil.
Importer means any person who
imports transportation fuel or renewable
fuel into the covered location from an
area outside of covered location. This
includes the importer of record or an
authorized agent acting on their behalf,
as well as the actual owner, the
consignee, or the transferee, if the right
to withdraw merchandise from a
bonded warehouse has been transferred.
*
*
*
*
*
MVNRLM diesel fuel means any diesel
fuel or other distillate fuel that is used,
intended for use, or made available for
use in motor vehicles or motor vehicle
engines, or as a fuel in any nonroad
diesel engines, including locomotive
and marine diesel engines, except the
following: Distillate fuel with a T90, as
determined using ASTM D86
(incorporated by reference, see § 80.12),
at or above 700 °F that is used only in
Category 2 and 3 marine engines is not
MVNRLM diesel fuel, and ECA marine
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fuel is not MVNRLM diesel fuel (note
that fuel that conforms to the
requirements of MVNRLM diesel fuel is
excluded from the definition of ‘‘ECA
marine fuel’’ in this section without
regard to its actual use).
(1) Any diesel fuel that is sold for use
in stationary engines that are required to
meet the requirements of 40 CFR
1090.300, when such provisions are
applicable to nonroad engines, is
considered MVNRLM diesel fuel.
(2) [Reserved]
*
*
*
*
*
Renewable diesel means diesel fuel
that is renewable fuel and that is one or
more of the following:
(1) A fuel or fuel additive that meets
the Grade No. 1–D or No. 2–D
specification in ASTM D975
(incorporated by reference, see § 80.12).
(2) A fuel or fuel additive that is
registered under 40 CFR part 79.
*
*
*
*
*
Renewable fuel oil means heating oil
that is renewable fuel and that meets
paragraph (2) of the definition of heating
oil.
*
*
*
*
*
Renewable jet fuel means jet fuel that
is renewable fuel and that meets ASTM
D7566 (incorporated by reference, see
§ 80.12).
Renewable liquefied natural gas or
renewable LNG means biogas, treated
biogas, or RNG that is liquefied (i.e., it
is cooled below its boiling point) for use
as transportation fuel and meets the
definition of renewable fuel.
Renewable naphtha means naphtha
that is renewable fuel.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 3. Amend § 80.3 by revising entry
LNG to read as follows:
§ 80.3
Acronyms and abbreviations.
*
LNG
*
*
Liquefied natural gas.
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
4. Revise and republish § 80.12 to read
as follows:
■
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
§ 80.12
Incorporation by reference.
Certain material is incorporated by
reference into this part with the
approval of the Director of the Federal
Register under 5 U.S.C. 552(a) and 1
CFR part 51. All approved incorporation
by reference (IBR) material is available
for inspection at U.S. EPA and at the
National Archives and Records
Administration (NARA). Contact U.S.
EPA at: U.S. EPA, Air and Radiation
Docket and Information Center, WJC
West Building, Room 3334, 1301
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Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC
20460; (202) 566–1742. For information
on the availability of this material at
NARA, visit: www.archives.gov/federalregister/cfr/ibr-locations.html or email
fr.inspection@nara.gov. The material
may be obtained from the following
sources:
(a) American Gas Association (AGA),
400 North Capitol Street NW, Suite 450,
Washington, DC 20001; (202) 824–7000;
www.aga.org.
(1) AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Orifice
Metering of Natural Gas and Other
Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—
Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters
Part 1: General Equations and
Uncertainty Guidelines, 4th Edition,
including Errata July 2013, Reaffirmed,
July 2022 (‘‘AGA Report No. 3 Part 1’’);
IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(2) AGA Report No. 3 Part 2, Orifice
Metering of Natural Gas and Other
Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—
Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters
Part 2: Specification and Installation
Requirements, 5th Edition, March 2016
(‘‘AGA Report No. 3 Part 2’’); IBR
approved for § 80.155(a).
(3) AGA Report No. 3 Part 3, Orifice
Metering of Natural Gas and Other
Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—
Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters
Part 3: Natural Gas Applications, 4th
Edition, Reaffirmed, June 2021 (‘‘AGA
Report No. 3 Part 3’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(4) AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Orifice
Metering of Natural Gas and Other
Related Hydrocarbon Fluids—
Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters
Part 4—Background, Development,
Implementation Procedure, and
Example Calculations, 4th Edition,
October 2019 (‘‘AGA Report No. 3 Part
4’’); IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(5) AGA Report No. 9, Measurement
of Gas by Multipath Ultrasonic Meters,
2nd Edition, April 2007 (‘‘AGA Report
No. 9); IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(6) AGA Report No. 11, Measurement
of Natural Gas by Coriolis Meter, 2nd
Edition, February 2013 (‘‘AGA Report
No. 11); IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(b) American National Standards
Institute (ANSI), 1899 L Street NW, 11th
Floor, Washington, DC 20036; (202)
293–8020; www.ansi.org.
(1) ANSI B109.3–2019 (R2024),
Rotary-Type Gas Displacement Meters,
February 5, 2019, Reaffirmed April 16,
2024 (‘‘ANSI B109.3’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(c) American Petroleum Institute
(API), 200 Massachusetts Avenue NW,
Suite 1100, Washington, DC 20001–
5571; (202) 682–8000; www.api.org.
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25859
(1) API MPMS 14.1–2016, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14—Natural Gas Fluids
Measurement Section 1—Collecting and
Handling of Natural Gas Samples for
Custody Transfer, 7th Edition, May 2016
(‘‘API MPMS 14.1’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(b).
(2) API MPMS 14.3.1–2012, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.1—Orifice Metering of
Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric,
Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 1:
General Equations and Uncertainty
Guidelines, 4th Edition, including
Errata July 2013, Reaffirmed, July 2022
(‘‘API MPMS 14.3.1’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(3) API MPMS 14.3.2–2016, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.2—Orifice Metering of
Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric,
Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 2:
Specification and Installation
Requirements, 5th Edition, March 2016
(‘‘API MPMS 14.3.2’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(4) API MPMS 14.3.3–2013, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.3—Orifice Metering of
Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric,
Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 3:
Natural Gas Applications, 4th Edition,
Reaffirmed, June 2021 (‘‘API MPMS
14.3.3’’); IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(5) API MPMS 14.3.4–2019, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.4—Orifice Metering of
Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids—Concentric,
Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 4—
Background, Development,
Implementation Procedure, and
Example Calculations, 4th Edition,
October 2019 (‘‘API MPMS 14.3.4’’); IBR
approved for § 80.155(a).
(6) API MPMS 14.9–2013,
Measurement of Natural Gas by Coriolis
Meter (‘‘API MPMS 14.9’’); IBR
approved for § 80.155(a).
(7) API MPMS 14.12–2017, Manual of
Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14—Natural Gas Fluid
Measurement Section 12—Measurement
of Gas by Vortex Meters, 1st Edition,
March 2017 (‘‘API MPMS 14.12’’); IBR
approved for § 80.155(a).
Note 1 to paragraph (a):
API MPMS 14.3.1, 14.3.2, 14.3.3, and
14.3.4, are co-published as AGA Report
3, Parts 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively.
(d) American Public Health
Association (APHA), 1015 15th Street
NW, Washington, DC 20005; (202) 777–
2742; www.standardmethods.org.
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(1) SM 2540, Solids, revised June 10,
2020; IBR approved for § 80.155(c).
(2) [Reserved]
(e) American Society of Mechanical
Engineers (ASME), Two Park Avenue,
New York, NY 10016–5990; (800) 843–
2763; www.asme.org.
(1) ASME MFC–5.1–2011 (R2024),
Measurement of Liquid Flow in Closed
Conduits Using Transit-Time Ultrasonic
Flowmeters, June 17, 2011, Reaffirmed
2024 (‘‘ASME MFC–5.1’’); IBR approved
for § 80.155(a).
(2) ASME MFC-21.2–2010 (R2018),
Measurement of Fluid Flow by Means of
Thermal Dispersion Mass Flowmeters,
January 10, 2011, Reaffirmed 2018
(‘‘ASME MFC–21.2’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(f) ASTM International (ASTM), 100
Barr Harbor Dr., P.O. Box C700, West
Conshohocken, PA 19428–2959; (877)
909–2786; www.astm.org.
(1) ASTM D86–23ae2, Standard Test
Method for Distillation of Petroleum
Products and Liquid Fuels at
Atmospheric Pressure, approved
December 1, 2023 (‘‘ASTM D86’’); IBR
approved for § 80.2.
(2) ASTM D975–24a, Standard
Specification for Diesel Fuel, approved
August 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM D975’’); IBR
approved for § 80.2.
(3) ASTM D1250–19e1, Standard
Guide for the Use of the Joint API and
ASTM Adjunct for Temperature and
Pressure Volume Correction Factors for
Generalized Crude Oils, Refined
Products, and Lubricating Oils: API
MPMS Chapter 11.1, approved May 1,
2019 (‘‘ASTM D1250’’); IBR approved
for § 80.1426(f).
(4) ASTM D1945–14 (Reapproved
2019), Standard Test Method for
Analysis of Natural Gas by Gas
Chromatography, approved December 1,
2019 (‘‘ASTM D1945’’); IBR approved
for § 80.155(b).
(5) ASTM D3588–98 (Reapproved
2024)e1, Standard Practice for
Calculating Heat Value, Compressibility
Factor, and Relative Density of Gaseous
Fuels, reapproved May 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
D3588’’); IBR approved for § 80.155(b)
and (f).
(6) ASTM D4057–22, Standard
Practice for Manual Sampling of
Petroleum and Petroleum Products,
approved May 1, 2022 (‘‘ASTM
D4057’’); IBR approved for § 80.8(a).
(7) ASTM D4177–22e1, Standard
Practice for Automatic Sampling of
Petroleum and Petroleum Products,
approved July 1, 2022 (‘‘ASTM D4177’’);
IBR approved for § 80.8(b).
(8) ASTM D4442–20, Standard Test
Methods for Direct Moisture Content
Measurement of Wood and Wood-Based
Materials, approved March 1, 2020
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(‘‘ASTM D4442’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.1426(f).
(9) ASTM D4444–13 (Reapproved
2018), Standard Test Method for
Laboratory Standardization and
Calibration of Hand-Held Moisture
Meters, reapproved July 1, 2018
(‘‘ASTM D4444’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.1426(f).
(10) ASTM D4888–20, Standard Test
Method for Water Vapor in Natural Gas
Using Length-of-Stain Detector Tubes,
approved December 15, 2020 (‘‘ASTM
D4888’’); IBR approved for § 80.155(b).
(11) ASTM D5504–20, Standard Test
Method for Determination of Sulfur
Compounds in Natural Gas and Gaseous
Fuels by Gas Chromatography and
Chemiluminescence, approved
November 1, 2020 (‘‘ASTM D5504’’);
IBR approved for § 80.155(b).
(12) ASTM D5842–23, Standard
Practice for Sampling and Handling of
Fuels for Volatility Measurement,
approved October 1, 2023 (‘‘ASTM
D5842’’); IBR approved for § 80.8(c).
(13) ASTM D5854–19a, Standard
Practice for Mixing and Handling of
Liquid Samples of Petroleum and
Petroleum Products, approved May 1,
2019 (‘‘ASTM D5854’’); IBR approved
for § 80.8(d).
(14) ASTM D6751–24, Standard
Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blendstock (B100) for Middle Distillate
Fuels, approved March 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
D6751’’); IBR approved for § 80.2.
(15) ASTM D6866–24a, Standard Test
Methods for Determining the Biobased
Content of Solid, Liquid, and Gaseous
Samples Using Radiocarbon Analysis,
approved December 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
D6866’’); IBR approved for §§ 80.155(b);
80.1426(f); 80.1430(e).
(16) ASTM D7164–21, Standard
Practice for On-line/At-line Heating
Value Determination of Gaseous Fuels
by Gas Chromatography, approved April
1, 2021 (‘‘ASTM D7164’’); IBR approved
for § 80.155(a).
(17) ASTM D8230–19, Standard Test
Method for Measurement of Volatile
Silicon-Containing Compounds in a
Gaseous Fuel Sample Using Gas
Chromatography with Spectroscopic
Detection, approved June 1, 2019
(‘‘ASTM D8230’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(b).
(18) ASTM E711–23e1, Standard Test
Method for Gross Calorific Value of
Refuse-Derived Fuel by the Bomb
Calorimeter, approved April 1, 2023
(‘‘ASTM E711’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.1426(f).
(19) ASTM E870–24, Standard Test
Methods for Analysis of Wood Fuels,
approved October 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
E870’’); IBR approved for § 80.1426(f).
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(g) European Committee for
Standardization (CEN), Rue de la
Science 23, B–1040 Brussels, Belgium; +
32 2 550 08 11; www.cencenelec.eu.
(1) EN 17526:2021(E), Gas meter—
Thermal-mass flow-meter based gas
meter, approved July 11, 2021 (‘‘EN
17526’’); IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(h) International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), Chemin de
Blandonnet 8, CP 401, 1214 Vernier,
Geneva, Switzerland; +41 22 749 01 11;
www.iso.org.
(1) ISO 5167–1:2022, Measurement of
fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part
1: General principles and requirements,
3rd Edition, June 2022 (‘‘ISO 5167–1’’);
IBR approved for § 80.155(a).
(2) ISO 5167–2:2022, Measurement of
fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part
2: Orifice plates, 2nd Edition, June 2022
(‘‘ISO 5167–2’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(3) ISO 5167–4:2022, Measurement of
fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part
4: Venturi tubes, 2nd Edition, June 2022
(‘‘ISO 5167–4’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(4) ISO 5167–5:2022, Measurement of
fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular
cross-section conduits running full, Part
5: Cone meters, 2nd Edition, October
2022 (‘‘ISO 5167–5’’); IBR approved for
§ 80.155(a).
(5) ISO 17089–2:2012, Measurement
of fluid flow in closed conduits—
Ultrasonic meters for gas, Part 2: Meters
for industrial applications, 1st Edition,
October 2012 (‘‘ISO 17089–2’’); IBR
approved for § 80.155(a).
(i) International Organization of Legal
Metrology (OIML), 11 Rue Turgot, F–
75009, Paris, France; +33 1 4878 1282;
www.oiml.org.
(1) OIML R 137–1 and 2, Gas meters,
Part 1: Metrological and technical
requirements and Part 2: Metrological
controls and performance tests, Edition
2012, Including Amendment 2014
(‘‘OIML R 137–1 and 2’’); IBR approved
for § 80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(i) U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA), 1200 Pennsylvania
Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20460;
(202) 272–0167; www.epa.gov.
(1) EPA/625/R–96/010b,
Compendium Method TO–15,
Determination Of Volatile Organic
Compounds (VOCs) In Air Collected In
Specially-Prepared Canisters And
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Analyzed By Gas Chromatography/Mass
Spectrometry (GC/MS), Second Edition,
January 1999 (‘‘EPA Method TO–15’’);
IBR approved for § 80.155(b).
(2) [Reserved]
Subpart E—Biogas-Derived Renewable
Fuel
5. Amend § 80.105 by revising
paragraphs (j)(1) and (3) and adding
paragraph (j)(4) to read as follows:
■
§ 80.105
Biogas producers.
*
*
*
*
*
(j) * * *
(1) Except for biogas produced from a
mixed digester, the batch volume of
biogas is the volume of biogas measured
under paragraph (f) of this section for a
single batch pathway at a single facility
for up to a calendar month, in Btu HHV.
*
*
*
*
*
(3) The biogas producer must assign a
number (the ‘‘batch number’’) to each
batch of biogas consisting of their EPAissued company registration number,
the EPA-issued facility registration
number, the last two digits of the
compliance year in which the batch was
produced, and a unique number for the
batch during the compliance year (e.g.,
4321–54321–25–000001).
(4) The production date for a batch of
biogas is the last day of the time period
that the batch represents. For example,
the production date for a batch of biogas
for the month of January would be
January 31, while the production date
for a batch of biogas for February 1–14
would be February 14.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 6. Amend § 80.110 by revising
paragraph (j)(3) to read as follows:
§ 80.110 RNG producers, RNG importers,
and biogas closed distribution system RIN
generators.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
*
(j) * * *
(3) The RNG producer, RNG importer,
or biogas closed distribution system RIN
generator must assign a number (the
‘‘batch number’’) to each batch of RNG
or biogas-derived renewable fuel
consisting of their EPA-issued company
registration number, the EPA-issued
facility registration number, the last two
digits of the compliance year in which
the batch was produced, and a unique
number for the batch during the
compliance year (e.g., 4321–54321–25–
000001).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 7. Amend § 80.125 by revising
paragraphs (d)(4) and (e)(2) to read as
follows:
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§ 80.125
RINs for RNG.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(4) A party must only separate a
number of RINs equal to or less than the
total volume of RNG (where the Btu
LHV are converted to gallon-RINs using
the conversion specified in
§ 80.1415(b)(1)) that the party
demonstrates is used as renewable CNG/
LNG under paragraph (d)(2) of this
section.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(2) A party must retire all assigned
RINs for a volume of RNG if the RINs
are not separated under paragraph (d) of
this section by March 31 of the
subsequent calendar year after the RNG
RIN was generated.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 8. Amend § 80.135 by revising
paragraphs (c)(3)(i), (c)(10)(vi)(A)(5),
and (d)(3)(i) to read as follows:
§ 80.135
Registration.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(3) * * *
(i) A description of how biogas will be
measured, including the specific
standards under which the meters are
operated, the fluid with which the
meters were calibrated, and the
equivalency to biogas flow for meters
calibrated with a fluid other than biogas,
as applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
(10) * * *
(vi) * * *
(A) * * *
(5) A demonstration that no biogas
produced from non-cellulosic biogas
feedstocks could be used to generate
RINs for a batch of renewable fuel with
a D code of 3 or 7. EPA may reject this
demonstration if it is not sufficiently
protective.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(3) * * *
(i) A description of how RNG will be
measured, including the specific
standards under which the meters are
operated, the fluid with which the
meters were calibrated, and the
equivalency to RNG flow for meters
calibrated with a fluid other than
natural gas, as applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 9. Amend § 80.140 by revising
paragraph (b)(2) to read as follows:
§ 80.140
*
Reporting.
*
*
(b) * * *
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*
*
(2) Production date.
*
*
*
*
■ 10. Amend § 80.155 by:
■ a. Revising and republishing
paragraph (a)(2); and
■ b. Revising paragraph (b)(2)(v).
The revisions read as follows:
*
§ 80.155 Sampling, testing, and
measurement.
(a) * * *
(2) Flow meters tested and calibrated
under OIML R 137–1 and 2
(incorporated by reference, see § 80.12)
and compliant with one of the
following:
(i) AGA Report No. 3 Parts 1, 2, 3, and
4 or API MPMS 14.3.1, API MPMS
14.3.2, API MPMS 14.3.3, and API
MPMS 14.3.4 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
(ii) API MPMS 14.12 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
(iii) EN 17526 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12) compatible with
gas type H.
(iv) AGA Report No. 9 (incorporated
by reference, see § 80.12).
(v) AGA Report No. 11 or API MPMS
14.9 (incorporated by reference, see
§ 80.12).
(vi) ASME MFC–5.1 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
(vii) ASME MFC-21.2 (incorporated
by reference, see § 80.12).
(viii) ANSI B109.3 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
(ix) ISO 5167–1 and ISO 5167–2, ISO
5167–4, or ISO 5167–5 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
(x) ISO 17089–2 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(2) * * *
(v) Hydrocarbon analysis using EPA
Method 18 (see Appendix A–6 to 40
CFR part 60), EPA Method TO–15, or
ASTM D1945 (incorporated by
reference, see § 80.12).
*
*
*
*
*
Subpart M—Renewable Fuel Standard
11. Amend § 80.1405 by:
a. Revising entry 2025 and adding
entries 2026 and 2027 in table 1 to
paragraph (a); and
■ b. Revising paragraphs (c) and (d).
The revisions and addition read as
follows:
■
■
§ 80.1405 What are the Renewable Fuel
Standards?
(a) * * *
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TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (a)—ANNUAL RENEWABLE FUEL STANDARDS
Cellulosic
biofuel
standard
(%)
Year
*
*
*
2025 ......................................................................................
2026 ......................................................................................
2027 ......................................................................................
*
*
*
*
*
*
0.70
0.87
0.92
Advanced
biofuel
standard
(%)
*
3.15
4.75
5.07
Renewable
fuel
standard
(%)
Supplemental
total renewable
fuel standard
(%)
*
4.31
6.02
6.40
*
13.13
16.02
16.54
n/a
n/a
n/a
(c) EPA will calculate the annual
renewable fuel percentage standards
using the following equations:
Where:
StdCB,i = The cellulosic biofuel standard for
year i, in percent.
StdBBD,i = The biomass-based diesel standard
for year i, in percent.
StdAB,i = The advanced biofuel standard for
year i, in percent.
StdRF,i = The renewable fuel standard for year
i, in percent.
RFVCB,i = Annual volume of cellulosic
biofuel required by 42 U.S.C.
7545(o)(2)(B) for year i, or volume as
adjusted pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
7545(o)(7)(D), in gallon-RINs.
RFVBBD,i = Annual volume of biomass-based
diesel required by 42 U.S.C. 7545
(o)(2)(B) for year i, in gallon-RINs.
RFVAB,i = Annual volume of advanced
biofuel required by 42 U.S.C.
7545(o)(2)(B) for year i, in gallon-RINs.
RFVRF,i = Annual volume of renewable fuel
required by 42 U.S.C. 7545(o)(2)(B) for
year i, in gallon-RINs.
Gi = Amount of gasoline projected to be used
in the covered location for year i, in
gallons.
Di = Amount of diesel projected to be used
in the covered location for year i, in
gallons.
RGi = Amount of blended renewable fuel
projected to be contained in the
projection of Gi for year i, in gallons.
RDi = Amount of blended renewable fuel
projected to be contained in the
projection of Di for year i, in gallons.
GEi = The total amount of gasoline projected
to be exempt for year i, in gallons, per
§§ 80.1441 and 80.1442.
DEi = The total amount of diesel fuel
projected to be exempt for year i, in
gallons, per §§ 80.1441 and 80.1442.
(d) The price for cellulosic biofuel
waiver credits will be calculated in
accordance with § 80.1456(d) and
published on EPA’s website.
■ 12. Amend § 80.1407 by revising
paragraph (f)(5) to read as follows:
§ 80.1407 How are the Renewable Volume
Obligations calculated?
*
*
*
*
*
(f) * * *
(5) Gasoline or diesel fuel exported for
use outside the covered location.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 13. Amend § 80.1415 by revising
paragraphs (a), (b), and (c)(1) to read as
follows:
§ 80.1415 How are equivalence values
assigned to renewable fuel?
(a)(1) Each gallon (or gallonequivalent) of a renewable fuel must be
assigned an equivalence value by the
producer or importer pursuant to
paragraph (b) or (c) of this section, as
applicable.
(2) The equivalence value is a number
that is used to determine how many
gallon-RINs can be generated for a
gallon of renewable fuel according to
§ 80.1426.
(b)(1) Equivalence values for certain
renewable fuels are assigned as follows:
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(1)—EQUIVALENCE VALUES FOR CERTAIN RENEWABLE FUELS
Renewable fuel
Amount
Denatured ethanol ........................................................................................................
Biodiesel .......................................................................................................................
Butanol .........................................................................................................................
Renewable diesel .........................................................................................................
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1
1
1
gallon
gallon
gallon
gallon
.....................................................
.....................................................
.....................................................
.....................................................
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1.0
1.5
1.3
1.6
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Biomass-based
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(%)
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TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(1)—EQUIVALENCE VALUES FOR CERTAIN RENEWABLE FUELS—Continued
Renewable fuel
Amount
Renewable naphtha .....................................................................................................
Renewable jet fuel ........................................................................................................
Fuels that are gaseous at STP (e.g., RNG, renewable CNG/LNG) ............................
1 gallon .....................................................
1 gallon .....................................................
77,000 Btu LHV ........................................
(2) For all other renewable fuels, a
producer or importer must submit an
application to EPA for an equivalence
value following the provisions of
paragraph (c) of this section. A producer
or importer may also submit an
application for an alternative
equivalence value pursuant to
paragraph (c) of this section if the
renewable fuel is listed in this
paragraph (b), but the producer or
importer has reason to believe that a
different equivalence value than that
listed in this paragraph (b) is warranted.
(c) * * *
(1) The equivalence value for
renewable fuels described in paragraph
(b)(2) of this section must be calculated
using the following formula:
EqV = (R/0.972) * (EC/77,000)
Where:
EqV = Equivalence Value for the renewable
fuel, rounded to the nearest tenth.
R = Renewable content of the renewable fuel.
This is a measure of the portion of a
renewable fuel that came from renewable
biomass, expressed as a fraction, on an
energy basis.
EC = Energy content of the renewable fuel,
in Btu LHV per gallon.
*
*
*
*
*
14. Amend § 80.1425 by adding
paragraph (a)(3) to read as follows:
■
§ 80.1425 Renewable Identification
Numbers (RINs).
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
*
(a) * * *
(3) K has the value of 3 when the RIN
is assigned to a volume of RNG pursuant
to §§ 80.125(c) and 80.1426(e).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 15. Amend § 80.1426 by:
■ a. Adding paragraph (a)(5);
■ b. Revising paragraph (b)(2), (c)(7),
and (e);
■ c. In paragraphs (f)(1)(v)(A) and (B),
removing the text ‘‘D-code’’ and adding
in its place the text ‘‘D code’’;
■ d. Adding paragraph (f)(1)(vii);
■ e. Revising paragraph (f)(8)
introductory text, (f)(8)(iii), (f)(10), (11)
and (17);
■ f. Adding paragraph (f)(18); and
■ g. Revising table 1 to § 80.1426.
The additions and revisions read as
follows:
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§ 80.1426 How are RINs generated and
assigned to batches of renewable fuel?
(a) * * *
(5) Starting January 1, 2026, the
following parties must reduce the
number of RINs generated, as calculated
under paragraphs (f) of this section, for
the specified renewable fuel by 50
percent:
(i) RIN-generating foreign producers,
for all renewable fuel produced.
(ii) RIN-generating importers of
renewable fuel, for all imported
renewable fuel.
(iii) Domestic renewable fuel
producers, for all renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks or
foreign biointermediates.
(b) * * *
(2) If EPA approves a petition of
Alaska or a United States territory to
opt-in to the renewable fuel program
under the provisions in § 80.1443, then
the requirements of paragraph (b)(1) of
this section shall also apply to
renewable fuel produced or imported
for use as transportation fuel, heating
oil, or jet fuel in that state or territory
beginning in the next calendar year
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(7) For renewable fuel oil, renewable
fuel producers and importers must not
generate RINs unless they have received
affidavits from the final end user or
users of the fuel oil as specified in
§ 80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T)(2).
*
*
*
*
*
(e) Assignment of RINs to batches.
(1)(i) Except as specified in paragraphs
(e)(1)(ii) and (g) of this section, the
producer or importer of renewable fuel
must assign all RINs generated to
volumes of renewable fuel as follows:
(A) If RINs were generated for the
renewable fuel at the point of
production or the point of importation
into the covered location, RINs must be
assigned when such volumes leave the
renewable fuel production or import
facility.
(B) If RINs were generated for the
renewable fuel at the point of sale or
when the renewable fuel was loaded
onto a vessel or other transportation
mode for transport to the covered
location, RINs must be assigned prior to
the transfer of ownership of the
renewable fuel.
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value
1.4
1.6
1.0
(ii) For RNG and renewable fuels that
are gaseous at STP, RINs must be
assigned to a volume of RNG or
renewable fuel, as applicable, at the
same time the RIN is generated.
(2) A RIN is assigned to a volume of
renewable fuel when ownership of the
RIN is transferred along with the
transfer of ownership of the volume of
renewable fuel, pursuant to § 80.1428(a).
(3) All assigned RINs must have a K
code value of 1 for RINs assigned to
renewable fuel or 3 for RINs assigned to
RNG.
(f) * * *
(1) * * *
(vii) For purposes of identifying the
appropriate approved pathway, the fuel
must be produced, distributed, and used
in a manner consistent with the
pathway EPA evaluated when it
determined that the pathway satisfies
the applicable GHG reduction
requirement
*
*
*
*
*
(8) Standardization of volumes. In
determining the standardized volume of
a batch of liquid renewable fuel or
liquid biointermediate under this
subpart, the batch volume must be
adjusted to a standard temperature of
60 °F as follows:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) For other renewable fuels and
biointermediates, an appropriate
formula commonly accepted by the
industry must be used to standardize
the actual volume to 60 °F. Formulas
used must be reported to EPA and may
be determined to be inappropriate
*
*
*
*
*
(10) RIN generators may only generate
RINs for renewable CNG/LNG produced
from biogas that is distributed via a
closed, private, non-commercial system
if all the following requirements are
met:
(i) The renewable CNG/LNG was
produced from renewable biomass
under an approved pathway.
(ii) The RIN generator has entered into
a written contract for the sale or use of
a specific quantity of renewable CNG/
LNG for use as transportation fuel, or
has obtained affidavits from all parties
selling or using the renewable CNG/
LNG as transportation fuel.
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(iii) The renewable CNG/LNG was
used as transportation fuel and for no
other purpose.
(iv) The biogas was introduced into
the closed, private, non-commercial
system no later and the renewable CNG/
LNG produced from the biogas was used
as transportation fuel no later than
December 31, 2024.
(v) RINs may only be generated on
biomethane content of the renewable
CNG/LNG used as transportation fuel.
(11) RINs for renewable CNG/LNG
produced from RNG that is introduced
into a commercial distribution system
may only be generated if all the
following requirements are met:
(i) The renewable CNG/LNG was
produced from renewable biomass and
qualifies for a D code in an approved
pathway.
(ii) The RIN generator has entered into
a written contract for the sale or use of
a specific quantity of RNG, taken from
a commercial distribution system (e.g.,
physically connected pipeline, barge,
truck, rail), for use as transportation
fuel, or has obtained affidavits from all
parties selling or using the RNG taken
from a commercial distribution system
as transportation fuel.
(iii) The renewable CNG/LNG
produced from the RNG was sold for use
as transportation fuel and for no other
purpose.
(iv) The RNG was injected into and
withdrawn from the same commercial
distribution system.
(v) The RNG was withdrawn from the
commercial distribution system in a
manner and at a time consistent with
the transport of the RNG between the
injection and withdrawal points.
(vi) The volume of RNG injected into
the commercial distribution system and
the volume of RNG withdrawn are
measured by continuous metering.
(vii) The volume of renewable CNG/
LNG sold for use as transportation fuel
corresponds to the volume of RNG that
was injected into and withdrawn from
the commercial distribution system.
(viii) No other party relied upon the
volume of biogas, RNG, or renewable
CNG/LNG for the generation of RINs.
(ix) The RNG was introduced into the
commercial distribution system no later
than December 31, 2024, and the
renewable CNG/LNG was used as
transportation fuel no later than
December 31, 2024.
(x) RINs may only be generated on
biomethane content of the biogas,
treated biogas, RNG, or renewable CNG/
LNG.
(xi) (A) On or after January 1, 2025,
RINs may only be generated for RNG
injected into a natural gas commercial
pipeline system for use as transportation
fuel as specified in subpart E of this
part.
(B) RINs may be generated for RNG as
specified in subpart E of this part prior
to January 1, 2025, if all applicable
requirements under this part are met.
*
*
*
*
*
(17) Qualifying use demonstration for
certain renewable fuels. For purposes of
this section, any renewable fuel other
than ethanol, biodiesel, renewable
gasoline, renewable jet fuel, or
renewable diesel that meets paragraph
(1) of the definition of renewable diesel
is considered renewable fuel and the
producer or importer may generate RINs
for such fuel only if all the following
apply:
(i) The fuel is produced from
renewable biomass and qualifies to
generate RINs under an approved
pathway.
(ii) The fuel producer or importer
maintains records demonstrating that
the fuel was produced for use as a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet
fuel by any of the following:
(A) Blending the renewable fuel into
gasoline or distillate fuel to produce a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet
fuel that meets all applicable standards
under this part and 40 CFR part 1090.
(B) Entering into a written contract for
the sale of the renewable fuel, which
specifies the purchasing party must
blend the fuel into gasoline or distillate
fuel to produce a transportation fuel,
heating oil, or jet fuel that meets all
applicable standards under this part and
40 CFR part 1090.
(C) Entering into a written contract for
the sale of the renewable fuel, which
specifies that the fuel must be used in
its neat form as a transportation fuel,
heating oil, or jet fuel that meets all
applicable standards.
(ii) The fuel was sold for use in or as
a transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet
fuel, and for no other purpose.
(18) RIN generation timing. A RIN
generator must generate RINs as follows:
(i) Except as specified in paragraph
(f)(18)(ii), RINs must be generated at:
(A) For domestic renewable fuel
producers, the point of production or
point of sale.
(B) For RIN-generating foreign
producers, the point of production or
when the renewable fuel is loaded onto
a vessel or other transportation mode for
transport to the covered location.
(C) For RIN-generating importers of
renewable fuel, the point of importation
into the covered location.
(ii)(A) Except as specified in
paragraph (f)(18)(ii)(B), for RNG and
renewable fuels that are gaseous at STP,
RINs must be generated no later than 5
business days after the RIN generator
has met all applicable requirements for
the generation of RINs under
§§ 80.125(b), 80.130(b), and this
paragraph (f), as applicable.
(B) For foreign produced RIN-less
RNG, RINs must be generated when title
is transferred from the foreign producer
to the RIN-generating importer.
*
*
*
*
*
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
TABLE 1 TO § 80.1426—APPLICABLE D CODES FOR EACH FUEL PATHWAY FOR USE IN GENERATING RINS
Row
Fuel type
Feedstock
Production process requirements
A .........
Ethanol ..............................
Corn starch ....................................................
B .........
Ethanol ..............................
Corn starch ....................................................
C .........
Ethanol ..............................
Corn starch ....................................................
D .........
E .........
Ethanol ..............................
Ethanol ..............................
Corn starch ....................................................
Starches from crop residue and annual
cover crops.
All the following: Dry mill process, using natural gas, biomass, or
biogas for process energy and at least two advanced technologies from Table 2 to this section.
All the following: Dry mill process, using natural gas, biomass, or
biogas for process energy and at least one of the advanced
technologies from Table 2 to this section plus drying no more
than 65% of the distillers grains with solubles it markets annually.
All the following: Dry mill process, using natural gas, biomass, or
biogas for process energy and drying no more than 50% of the
distillers grains with solubles it markets annually.
Wet mill process using biomass or biogas for process energy .........
Fermentation using natural gas, biomass, or biogas for process energy.
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6
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TABLE 1 TO § 80.1426—APPLICABLE D CODES FOR EACH FUEL PATHWAY FOR USE IN GENERATING RINS—Continued
Row
Fuel type
Feedstock
Production process requirements
F ..........
Biodiesel; Renewable diesel; Renewable jet fuel;
Renewable fuel oil.
The following processes that do not co-process renewable biomass
and petroleum: Transesterification with or without esterification
pre-treatment; Esterification; Hydrotreating.
4
G .........
Biodiesel; Renewable diesel; Renewable jet fuel;
Renewable fuel oil.
Biodiesel; Renewable diesel; Renewable jet fuel;
Renewable fuel oil.
Soybean oil; Oil from annual cover crops; Oil
from algae grown photosynthetically; Biogenic waste oils/fats/greases; Camelina
sativa oil; Distillers corn oil; Distillers sorghum oil; Commingled distillers corn oil
and sorghum oil.
Canola/Rapeseed oil .....................................
The following processes that do not co-process renewable biomass
and petroleum: Transesterification using natural gas or biomass
for process energy; Hydrotreating.
The following processes that co-process renewable biomass and
petroleum: Transesterification with or without esterification pretreatment; Esterification; Hydrotreating.
4
Hydrotreating ......................................................................................
5
Fermentation ......................................................................................
Biochemical fermentation process that converts cellulosic biomass
to ethanol and uses the lignin and other biogenic feedstock residues from the fermentation and ethanol production processes for
all thermal and electrical process energy and are net exporters
of electricity to the grid; Thermochemical gasification process
that converts cellulosic biomass to ethanol and uses a portion of
the feedstock for over 99% of thermal and electrical process energy; Dry mill process that converts corn or grain sorghum kernel
fiber to ethanol and uses natural gas, biogas, or crop residue for
all thermal process energy.
Fischer-Tropsch process that converts cellulosic biomass to fuel
and uses a portion of the feedstock for over 99% of thermal and
electrical process energy.
5
3
The following processes that convert cellulosic biomass to fuel
using natural gas, biogas, or biomass as the only process energy sources: Catalytic pyrolysis and upgrading; Gasification and
upgrading; Thermo-catalytic hydrodeoxygenation and upgrading;
Direct biological conversion; Biological conversion and upgrading.
3
Gasification and upgrading processes that convert cellulosic biomass to fuel.
Fermentation; Dry mill process using natural gas, biomass, or
biogas for process energy.
Fermentation using natural gas, biogas, or crop residue for thermal
energy; Hydrotreating; Transesterification.
3
The following processes that occur in North America: CNG production from treated biogas via compression; LNG production from
treated biogas via liquefaction.
3
Dry mill process using natural gas or biogas from landfills, waste
treatment plants, or waste digesters for process energy.
Dry mill process using only biogas from landfills, waste treatment
plants, or waste digesters for process energy and for on-site production of all electricity used at the site other than up to 0.15
kWh of electricity from the grid per gallon of ethanol produced,
calculated on a per batch basis.
The following processes that occur in North America: CNG production from treated biogas via compression; LNG production from
treated biogas via liquefaction.
6
H .........
I ...........
Renewable naphtha; LPG
J ..........
K .........
Ethanol ..............................
Ethanol ..............................
L ..........
Cellulosic diesel; Renewable jet fuel; Renewable
fuel oil.
M .........
N .........
Renewable gasoline; Renewable gasoline
blendstock; Co-processed cellulosic diesel;
Renewable jet fuel; Renewable fuel oil.
Renewable naphtha ..........
O .........
Butanol ..............................
P .........
Ethanol; Renewable diesel; Renewable jet fuel;
Renewable fuel oil; Renewable naphtha.
Renewable CNG; Renewable LNG.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
Q .........
Soybean oil; Oil from annual cover crops; Oil
from algae grown photosynthetically; Biogenic waste oils/fats/greases; Camelina
sativa oil; Distillers corn oil; Distillers sorghum oil; Commingled distillers corn oil
and sorghum oil; Canola/Rapeseed oil.
Camelina sativa oil; Distillers sorghum oil;
Distillers corn oil; Commingled distillers
corn oil and distillers sorghum oil; Canola/
Rapeseed oil; Biogenic waste oils/fats/
greases.
Sugarcane ......................................................
Crop residue; Slash, pre-commercial
thinnings, and tree residue; Switchgrass;
Miscanthus; Energy cane; Arundo donax;
Pennisetum purpureum; Separated yard
waste; Biogenic components of separated
MSW; Cellulosic components of separated
food waste; Cellulosic components of annual cover crops.
Crop residue; Slash, pre-commercial
thinnings, and tree residue; Switchgrass;
Miscanthus; Energy cane; Arundo donax;
Pennisetum purpureum; Separated yard
waste; Biogenic components of separated
MSW; Cellulosic components of separated
food waste; Cellulosic components of annual cover crops.
Crop residue; Slash, pre-commercial
thinnings, and tree residue; Separated
yard waste; Biogenic components of separated MSW; Cellulosic components of separated food waste; Cellulosic components
of annual cover crops.
Switchgrass; Miscanthus; Energy cane;
Arundo donax; Pennisetum purpureum.
Corn starch ....................................................
Non-cellulosic portions of separated food
waste; Non-cellulosic components of annual cover crops.
R .........
Ethanol ..............................
Biogas from landfills, municipal wastewater
treatment facility digesters, agricultural digesters, and separated MSW digesters;
Biogas from the cellulosic components of
biomass processed in other waste digesters.
Grain sorghum ...............................................
S .........
Ethanol ..............................
Grain sorghum ...............................................
T ..........
Renewable CNG; Renewable LNG.
Biogas from waste digesters .........................
*
*
*
*
*
16. Amend § 80.1428 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (a)(3);
■ b. Removing paragraph (a)(4); and
■ c. Redesignating paragraph (a)(5) as
paragraph (a)(4).
The revision reads as follows:
■
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§ 80.1428 General requirements for RIN
distribution.
(a) * * *
(3) Assigned gallon-RINs with a K
code of 1 or 3 can be transferred to
another person based on the following:
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D Code
5
7
6
5
5
5
(i) No more than 2.5 assigned gallonRINs with a K code of 1 can be
transferred to another person with every
gallon of renewable fuel transferred to
that same person.
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(ii) For RNG, the transferor of
assigned RINs with a K code of 3 must
transfer RINs under § 80.125(c).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 17. Amend § 80.1429 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (b)(5)(i);
■ b. Removing the text ‘‘only’’ in
paragraph (b)(5)(ii)(B); and
■ c. Revising paragraph (c)
The revisions read as follows:
§ 80.1429 Requirements for separating
RINs from volumes of renewable fuel or
RNG.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(5) (i) Any party that produces,
imports, owns, sells, or uses a volume
of biogas for which RINs have been
generated in accordance with
§ 80.1426(f) must separate any RINs that
have been assigned to that volume of
biogas if all the following conditions are
met:
(A) The party designates the biogas as
transportation fuel.
(B) The biogas is used as
transportation fuel.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The party responsible for
separating a RIN from a volume of
renewable fuel or RNG must change the
K code in the RIN from a value of 1 or
3, as applicable, to a value of 2 prior to
transferring the RIN to any other party.
*
*
*
*
*
§ 80.1435
[Amended]
18. Amend § 80.1435 by, in paragraph
(b)(2)(ii), removing the text ‘‘RIN
gallons’’ and adding in its place the text
‘‘gallon-RINs’’.
■ 19. Amend § 80.1441 by adding
paragraphs (e)(2)(iv) and (v) to read as
follows:
■
§ 80.1441
Small refinery exemption.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(2) * * *
(iv) A refinery that is granted a small
refinery exemption under this section
must still submit reports under
§ 80.1451(a) for the compliance year for
which it was granted an exemption,
including annual compliance reports.
Such exempt small refineries must
submit annual compliance reports
containing all the information specified
in § 80.1451(a)(1) by the applicable
compliance deadline specified in
§ 80.1451(f)(1)(i).
(v) A refinery that is granted a small
refinery exemption under this section
must still comply with any deficit RVOs
carried forward from the previous year.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 20. Amend § 80.1442 by adding
paragraphs (h)(6) and (7) to read as
follows:
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§ 80.1442 What are the provisions for
small refiners under the RFS program?
*
*
*
*
*
(h) * * *
(6) A refiner that is granted a small
refiner exemption under this section
must still submit reports under
§ 80.1451(a) for the compliance year for
which it was granted an exemption,
including annual compliance reports.
Such exempt small refiners must submit
annual compliance reports containing
all the information specified in
§ 80.1451(a)(1) by the applicable
compliance deadline specified in
§ 80.1451(f)(1)(i).
(7) A refiner that is granted a small
refiner exemption under this section
must still comply with any deficit RVOs
carried forward from the previous year.
*
*
*
*
*
§ 80.1444
[Amended]
21. Amend § 80.1444 by, in paragraph
(b), removing the text ‘‘in § 80.1401’’.
■ 22. Amend § 80.1449 by:
■ a. Revising paragraphs (a)
introductory text, (a)(1), (a)(4)(i),
(a)(4)(iii), and (b);
■ b. Removing paragraph (d); and
■ c. Redesignating paragraph (e) as
paragraph (d).
The revisions read as follows:
■
§ 80.1449 What are the Production Outlook
Report requirements?
(a) By June 1 of each year, a registered
renewable fuel producer or importer
must submit and an unregistered
renewable fuel producer may submit all
of the following information for each of
its facilities, as applicable, to EPA:
(1) If currently registered, any
planned changes to the type, or types,
of renewable fuel expected to be
produced or imported at each facility
owned by the renewable fuel producer
or importer.
*
*
*
*
*
(4) * * *
(i) Nameplate production capacity
and, if applicable, permitted production
capacity.
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) If currently registered, any
planned changes to feedstocks,
biointermediates, and production
processes to be used at each production
facility.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) The information listed in
paragraph (a) of this section must
include the reporting party’s best annual
projection estimates for the five
following calendar years.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 23. Amend § 80.1450 by:
■ a. Revising the last sentence in
paragraphs (a);
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b. Revising paragraphs (b)(1)(v)(D)
introductory text, (b)(1)(v)(D)(1),
(b)(1)(xi), (b)(1)(xii) introductory text,
(b)(1)(xii)(A), (b)(2), (g)(10) introductory
text, and (g)(10)(i).
The revisions read as follows:
■
§ 80.1450 What are the registration
requirements under the RFS program?
(a) * * * Registration information
must be submitted and accepted by EPA
at least 60 days prior to RIN ownership.
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(v) * * *
(D) For all facilities producing
renewable fuel from biogas, submit all
relevant information in § 80.1426(f)(10)
or (11), including:
(1) Copies of all contracts or
affidavits, as applicable, that follow the
track of the biogas/CNG/LNG from its
original source, to the producer that
processes it into renewable fuel, and
finally to the end user that will actually
use the renewable CNG/LNG for
transportation purposes.
*
*
*
*
*
(xi) For a producer of renewable fuel
oil:
(A) An affidavit from the producer of
the renewable fuel oil stating that the
renewable fuel oil for which RINs have
been generated will be sold for the
purposes of heating or cooling interior
spaces of homes or buildings to control
ambient climate for human comfort, and
no other purpose.
(B) Affidavits from the final end user
or users of the renewable fuel oil stating
that the renewable fuel oil is being used
or will be used for purposes of heating
or cooling interior spaces of homes or
buildings to control ambient climate for
human comfort, and no other purpose,
and acknowledging that any other use of
the renewable fuel oil would violate
EPA regulations and subject the user to
civil and/or criminal penalties under
the Clean Air Act.
(xii) For a producer or importer of any
renewable fuel other than ethanol,
biodiesel, renewable gasoline,
renewable jet fuel, renewable diesel that
meets paragraph (1) of the definition of
renewable diesel, biogas-derived
renewable fuel, or RNG, all the
following:
(A) A description of the renewable
fuel and how it will be blended to into
gasoline or diesel fuel to produce a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet
fuel that meets all applicable standards.
*
*
*
*
*
(2) An independent third-party
engineering review and written report
and verification of the information
provided pursuant to paragraph (b)(1) of
this section and § 80.135, as applicable.
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The report and verification must be
based upon a review of relevant
documents and a site visit conducted
within the six months prior to
submission of the registration
information. The report and verification
must separately identify each item
required by paragraph (b)(1) of this
section, describe how the independent
third-party evaluated the accuracy of the
information provided, state whether the
independent third-party agrees with the
information provided, and identify any
exceptions between the independent
third-party’s findings and the
information provided.
*
*
*
*
*
(g) * * *
(10) Registration renewal.
Registrations for independent thirdparty auditors expire December 31 of
every other calendar year. Previously
approved registrations will renew
automatically if all the following
conditions are met:
(i) The independent third-party
auditor resubmits all information,
updated as necessary, described in
§ 80.1450(g)(1) through (g)(7) no later
than October 31 before the calendar year
that their registration expires.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 24. Amend § 80.1451 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (b)(1)(ii)(L);
■ b. Removing and reserving paragraph
(b)(1)(ii)(P);
■ c. Revising paragraph (b)(1)(ii)(T);
■ d. Removing paragraph
(c)(2)(ii)(D)(14); and
■ e. In paragraph (g)(1)(viii), removing
the text ‘‘D-code’’ and adding in its
place the text ‘‘D code’’.
The revisions read as follows:
§ 80.1451 What are the reporting
requirements under the RFS program?
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
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*
*
*
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
(L) Each process, feedstock, feedstock
point of origin, and biointermediate, as
applicable, used and proportion of
renewable volume attributable to each
process, feedstock, feedstock point of
origin, and biointermediate, as
applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
(T) Producers or importers of any
renewable fuel other than ethanol,
biodiesel, renewable gasoline,
renewable jet fuel, renewable diesel that
meets the paragraph (1) of the definition
of renewable diesel, biogas-derived
renewable fuel, or RNG, must report, on
a quarterly basis, all the following for
each volume of fuel:
*
*
*
*
*
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25. Amend § 80.1452 by
a. Revising paragraphs (a), (b)
introductory text, (b)(1), (2), (4), and
(11);
■ b. Redesignating paragraph (b)(18) as
paragraph (b)(19) and adding new
paragraph (b)(18); and
■ c. Revising paragraph (c) introductory
text.
The revisions and addition read as
follows:
■
■
§ 80.1452 What are the requirements
related to the EPA Moderated Transaction
System (EMTS)?
(a) Each party required to submit
information under this section must
establish an account with the EPA
Moderated Transaction System (EMTS)
at least 60 days prior to engaging in any
RIN transactions.
(b) Each time a RIN generator assigns
RINs to a batch of renewable fuel or
RNG pursuant to §§ 80.125(c) and
80.1426(e), as applicable, all the
following information must be
submitted to EPA via the submitting
party’s EMTS account within five (5)
business days of the date of RIN
assignment. EPA in its sole discretion
may allow a RIN generator to submit
information under this paragraph (b)
outside the 5-business-day deadline.
(1) The name of the RIN generator.
(2) The EPA company registration
number of the renewable fuel producer,
RNG producer, or foreign ethanol
producer, as applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
(4) The EPA facility registration
number of the facility at which the
renewable fuel producer, RNG producer,
or foreign ethanol producer produced
the batch, as applicable.
*
*
*
*
*
(11) The volume of ethanol
denaturant, if applicable, and applicable
equivalence value of each batch.
*
*
*
*
*
(18) The type of RIN generation
protocol (e.g., domestic, import, coprocessing, etc) used when assigning
RINs to the associated renewable fuel
volume.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) Each time any party sells,
separates, or retires RINs, all the
following information must be
submitted to EPA via the submitting
party’s EMTS account within five (5)
business days of the reportable event.
Each time any party purchases RINs, all
the following information must be
submitted to EPA via the submitting
party’s EMTS account within ten (10)
business days of the reportable event.
The reportable event for a RIN purchase
or sale occurs on the date of transfer per
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25867
§ 80.1453(a)(4). The reportable event for
a RIN separation or retirement occurs on
the date of separation or retirement as
described in § 80.1429 or § 80.1434. EPA
in its sole discretion may allow a party
to submit information under this
paragraph (c) outside the applicable 5or 10-business-day deadline.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 26. Amend § 80.1453 by revising
paragraphs (a)(12)(v), (vii), and (d) to
read as follows:
§ 80.1453 What are the product transfer
document (PTD) requirements for the RFS
program?
(a) * * *
(12) * * *
(v) Renewable naphtha. ‘‘This volume
of neat or blended renewable naphtha is
designated and intended for use as
transportation fuel or jet fuel in the 48
U.S. contiguous states and Hawaii. This
naphtha may only be used as a gasoline
blendstock, E85 blendstock, or jet fuel.
Any person exporting this fuel is subject
to the requirements of 40 CFR
80.1430.’’.
*
*
*
*
*
(vii) Renewable fuels other than
ethanol, biodiesel, heating oil,
renewable diesel, naphtha, or butanol.
‘‘This volume of neat or blended
renewable fuel is designated and
intended to be used as transportation
fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel in the 48
U.S. contiguous states and Hawaii. Any
person exporting this fuel is subject to
the requirements of 40 CFR 80.1430.’’.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) For renewable fuel oil, the PTD of
the renewable fuel oil shall state: ‘‘This
volume of renewable fuel oil is
designated and intended to be used to
heat or cool interior spaces of homes or
buildings to control ambient climate for
human comfort. Do NOT use for process
heat or cooling or any other purpose, as
these uses are prohibited pursuant to 40
CFR 80.1460(g).’’.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 27. Amend § 80.1454 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (a) introductory
text, (b) introductory text, (b)(3)(ix),
(b)(8), (c)(1) introductory text, and
(d)(1);
■ b. In paragraph (g) introductory text,
removing the text ‘‘U.S. agricultural
land as defined in § 80.1401’’ and
adding in its place the text ‘‘agricultural
land’’;
■ c. Revising and republishing
paragraph (k)(1);
■ d. Revising paragraphs (k)(2)
introductory text, (l) introductory text,
(l)(2), and (l)(3)(iv);
■ e. Removing paragraph (m)(8); and
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f. Redesignating paragraphs (m)(9)
through (11) as paragraphs (m)(8)
through (10).
The revisions read as follows:
■
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
§ 80.1454 What are the recordkeeping
requirements under the RFS program?
(a) Requirements for obligated parties
and exporters of renewable fuel. Any
obligated party or exporter of renewable
fuel must keep all the following records:
*
*
*
*
*
(b) Requirements for all producers of
renewable fuel. In addition to any other
applicable records a renewable fuel
producer must maintain under this
section, any domestic or RIN-generating
foreign producer of a renewable fuel
must keep all the following records:
*
*
*
*
*
(3) * * *
(ix) All facility-determined values
used in the calculations under § 80.1426
and the data used to obtain those values.
*
*
*
*
*
(8) A producer of renewable fuel oil
must keep copies of all contracts which
describe the renewable fuel oil under
contract with each end user.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(1) Any RIN-generating foreign
producer or importer of renewable fuel
must keep records of feedstock
purchases and transfers associated with
renewable fuel for which RINs are
generated, sufficient to verify that
feedstocks used are renewable biomass.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(1)(i) Starting January 1, 2026, any
domestic producer of renewable fuel
that generates RINs for such fuel must
keep records of feedstock purchases and
transfers (e.g., bills of sale, delivery
receipts) that identify the feedstock
point of origin for each feedstock (i.e.,
domestic or foreign).
(ii) Except as provided in paragraphs
(g) and (h) of this section, any domestic
producer of renewable fuel that
generates RINs for such fuel must keep
documents associated with feedstock
purchases and transfers that identify
where the feedstocks were produced
and are sufficient to verify that
feedstocks used are renewable biomass
if RINs are generated.
*
*
*
*
*
(k) * * *
(1) Pathways involving feedstocks
other than grain sorghum. A renewable
fuel producer that generates RINs for
renewable CNG/LNG pursuant to
§ 80.1426(f)(10) or (11), or that uses
process heat from biogas to produce
renewable fuel pursuant to
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§ 80.1426(f)(12) must keep all the
following additional records:
(i) Documentation recording the sale
of renewable CNG/LNG for use as
transportation fuel relied upon in
§ 80.1426(f)(10), § 80.1426(f)(11), or for
use of biogas for process heat to make
renewable fuel as relied upon in
§ 80.1426(f)(12) and the transfer of title
of the biogas/CNG/LNG from the point
of biogas production to the facility
which sells or uses the fuel for
transportation purposes.
(ii) Documents demonstrating the
volume and energy content of biogas/
CNG/LNG relied upon under
§ 80.1426(f)(10) that was delivered to
the facility which sells or uses the fuel
for transportation purposes.
(iii) Documents demonstrating the
volume and energy content of biogas/
CNG/LNG relied upon under
§ 80.1426(f)(11), or biogas relied upon
under § 80.1426(f)(12) that was placed
into the commercial distribution.
(iv) Documents demonstrating the
volume and energy content of biogas
relied upon under § 80.1426(f)(12) at the
point of distribution.
(v) Affidavits, EPA-approved
documentation, or data from a real-time
electronic monitoring system,
confirming that the amount of the
biogas/CNG/LNG relied upon under
§ 80.1426(f)(10) and (11) was used for
transportation purposes only, and for no
other purpose. The RIN generator must
obtain affidavits, or monitoring system
data under this paragraph (k), at least
once per calendar quarter.
(vi) The biogas producer’s
Compliance Certification required under
Title V of the Clean Air Act.
(vii) Any other records as requested
by EPA.
(2) Pathways involving grain sorghum
as feedstock. A renewable fuel producer
that produces fuel pursuant to a
pathway that uses grain sorghum as a
feedstock must keep all the following
additional records, as appropriate:
*
*
*
*
*
(l) Additional requirements for
producers or importers of any renewable
fuel other than ethanol, biodiesel,
renewable gasoline, renewable diesel,
biogas-derived renewable fuel, or RNG.
A renewable fuel producer that
generates RINs for any renewable fuel
other than ethanol, biodiesel, renewable
gasoline, renewable jet fuel, renewable
diesel that meets paragraph (1) of the
definition of renewable diesel, biogasderived renewable fuel, or RNG must
keep all the following additional
records:
*
*
*
*
*
(2) Contracts and documents
memorializing the sale of renewable fuel
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to parties who blend the fuel into
gasoline or diesel fuel to produce a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet
fuel, or who use the renewable fuel in
its neat form for a qualifying fuel use.
*
*
*
*
*
(3) * * *
(iv) A description of the finished fuel,
and a statement that the fuel meets all
applicable standards and was sold for
use as a transportation fuel, heating oil,
or jet fuel.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 28. Amend § 80.1460 by revising
paragraphs (b)(4) and (g) to read as
follows:
§ 80.1460 What acts are prohibited under
the RFS program?
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(4) Transfer to any person a RIN with
a K code of 1 or 3 without transferring
an appropriate volume of renewable fuel
to the same person on the same day.
*
*
*
*
*
(g) Failing to use a renewable fuel oil
for its intended use. No person shall use
renewable fuel oil for which RINs have
been generated in an application other
than to heat or cool interior spaces of
homes or buildings to control ambient
climate for human comfort.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 29. Amend § 80.1461 by adding
paragraph (g) to read as follows:
§ 80.1461 Who is liable for violations
under the RFS program?
*
*
*
*
*
(g) Importer joint and several liability.
Any person meeting the definition of an
importer under this subpart is jointly
and severally liable for any violation of
this subpart.
■ 30. Amend § 80.1464 by revising
paragraph (b)(1)(v)(B) to read as follows:
§ 80.1464 What are the attest engagement
requirements under the RFS program?
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(v) * * *
(B) Verify that feedstocks were
properly identified in the reports,
including the feedstock point of origin
for domestic renewable fuel producers,
and met the definition of renewable
biomass.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 31. Amend § 80.1469 by:
■ a. Removing paragraphs (a) and (b);
■ b. Redesignating paragraphs (c)
through (f) as paragraphs (a) through (d);
and
■ c. Revising newly redesignated
paragraphs (a) introductory text,
(a)(1)(vii), (a)(3)(vii), (a)(5), (c)(1), (d)(1)
introductory text, and (d)(2).
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The revisions read as follows:
§ 80.1469 Requirements for Quality
Assurance Plans.
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*
*
*
*
*
(a) QAP Requirements. All
components specified in this paragraph
(a) require quarterly monitoring, except
for paragraph (a)(4)(iii) of this section
which must be done annually.
(1) * * *
(vii) Feedstock(s) and
biointermediate(s) are not renewable
fuel for which RINs were previously
generated unless the RINs were
generated under § 80.1426(c)(6). For
renewable fuels that have RINs
generated under § 80.1426(c)(6), verify
that renewable fuels used as a feedstock
meet all applicable requirements of this
paragraph (a)(1).
*
*
*
*
*
(3) * * *
(vii) Verify that appropriate RIN
generation calculations are being
followed under § 80.1426, including the
feedstock point of origin.
*
*
*
*
*
(5) Representative sampling.
Independent third-party auditors may
use a representative sample of batches
of renewable fuel or biointermediate in
accordance with the procedures
described in 40 CFR 1090.1805 for all
components of this paragraph (a) except
for paragraphs (a)(1)(ii) and (iii),
(a)(2)(ii), (a)(3)(vi), and (a)(4)(ii) and (iii)
of this section. If a facility produces
both a renewable fuel and a
biointermediate, the independent thirdparty auditor must select separate
representative samples for the
renewable fuel and biointermediate.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(1) Each independent third-party
auditor must annually submit a general
and at least one pathway-specific QAP
to the EPA which demonstrates
adherence to the requirements of
paragraphs (a) and (b) of this section
and request approval on forms and
using procedures specified by EPA.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(1) A new QAP must be submitted to
EPA according to paragraph (c) of this
section and the independent third-party
auditor must update their registration
according to § 80.1450(g)(9) whenever
any of the following changes occur at a
renewable fuel or biointermediate
production facility audited by an
independent third-party auditor and the
auditor does not possess an appropriate
pathway-specific QAP that encompasses
the change:
*
*
*
*
*
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25869
(2) A QAP ceases to be valid as the
basis for verifying RINs or a
biointermediate under a new pathway
until a new pathway-specific QAP,
submitted to the EPA under this
paragraph (d), is approved pursuant to
paragraph (c) of this section.
a previously the EPA-approved remote
monitoring system is in place at the
renewable fuel production facility.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 34. Revise and republish § 80.1472 to
read as follows:
§ 80.1470
§ 80.1472 Requirements for quality
assurance audits.
[Reserved]
32. Remove and reserve § 80.1470.
33. Amend § 80.1471 by:
a. Revising paragraph (b)(3);
b. Revising and republishing
paragraph (e); and
■ c. Revising paragraph (f).
The revisions read as follows:
■
■
■
■
§ 80.1471
Requirements for QAP auditors.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(3) The independent third-party
auditor must not own, buy, sell, or
otherwise trade RINs unless required to
replace an invalid RIN pursuant to
§ 80.1474.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) The independent third-party
auditor must identify RINs generated
from a renewable fuel producer or
foreign renewable fuel producer as
having been verified under a QAP.
(1) For RINs verified under a QAP
pursuant to § 80.1469, RINs must be
designated as Q–RINs and must be
identified as having been verified under
a QAP in EMTS.
(2) The independent third-party
auditor must not identify RINs
generated from a renewable fuel
producer or foreign renewable fuel
producer as having been verified under
a QAP if a revised QAP must be
submitted to and approved by the EPA
under § 80.1469(d).
(3) The independent third-party
auditor must not identify RINs
generated for renewable fuel produced
using a biointermediate as having been
verified under a QAP unless the
biointermediate used to produce the
renewable fuel was verified under an
approved QAP pursuant to § 80.1477.
(f)(1) Auditors may only verify RINs
that have been generated after the audit
required under § 80.1472 has been
completed. Auditors may only verify
biointermediates that were produced
after the audit required under § 80.1472
has been completed. Auditors must only
verify RINs generated from renewable
fuels produced from biointermediates
after the audit required under § 80.1472
has been completed for both the
biointermediate production facility and
the renewable fuel production facility.
(2) Verification of RINs or
biointermediates may continue for no
more than 200 days following an on-site
visit or 380 days after an on-site visit if
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(a) General requirements. (1) An audit
must be performed by an auditor who
meets the requirements of § 80.1471.
(2) An audit must be based on a QAP
per § 80.1469.
(3) Each audit must verify every
element contained in an applicable and
approved QAP.
(4) Each audit must include a review
of documents generated by the
renewable fuel producer or
biointermediate producer.
(b) On-site visits. (1) As applicable,
the independent third-party auditor
must conduct an on-site visit at the
renewable fuel production facility,
foreign ethanol production facility, or
biointermediate production facility:
(i) At least two times per calendar
year; or
(ii) In the event an auditor uses a
remote monitoring system approved by
the EPA, at least one time per calendar
year.
(2) An on-site visit specified in
paragraph (b)(1)(i) of this section must
occur no more than:
(i) 200 days after the previous on-site
visit. The 200-day period must start the
day after the previous on-site visit ends;
or
(ii) 380 days after the previous on-site
visit if a previously approved (by EPA)
remote monitoring system is in place at
the renewable fuel production facility,
foreign ethanol production facility, or
biointermediate production facility, as
applicable. The 380-day period must
start the day after the previous on-site
visit ends.
(3) An on-site visit must include
verification of all QAP elements that
require inspection or evaluation of the
physical attributes of the renewable fuel
production facility, foreign ethanol
production facility, or biointermediate
production facility, as applicable.
(4) The on-site visit must be overseen
by a professional engineer, as specified
in § 80.1450(b)(2)(i)(A) and (b)(2)(i)(B).
■ 35. Amend § 80.1473 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (a);
■ b. Removing paragraphs (c) and (d);
■ c. Redesignating paragraphs (e) and (f)
as paragraphs (c) and (d);
■ d. Revising newly redesignated
paragraphs (c) introductory text, (c)(1),
and (d).
The revisions read as follows:
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§ 80.1473
Federal Register / Vol. 90, No. 115 / Tuesday, June 17, 2025 / Proposed Rules
Affirmative defenses.
(a) Criteria. Any person who engages
in actions that would be a violation of
the provisions of either § 80.1460(b)(2)
or (c)(1), other than the generator of an
invalid RIN, will not be deemed in
violation if the person demonstrates that
the criteria under paragraph (c) of this
section are met.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) Asserting an affirmative defense
for invalid Q–RINs. To establish an
affirmative defense to a violation of
§ 80.1460(b)(2) or (c)(1) involving
invalid Q–RINs, the person must meet
the notification requirements of
paragraph (d) of this section and prove
by a preponderance of evidence all the
following:
(1) The RIN in question was verified
through a quality assurance audit
pursuant to § 80.1472 using an approved
QAP as specified in § 80.1469.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) Notification requirements. A
person asserting an affirmative defense
to a violation of § 80.1460(b)(2) or (c)(1),
arising from the transfer or use of an
invalid Q–RIN must submit a written
report to the EPA via the EMTS support
line (fuelsprogramsupport@epa.gov),
including all pertinent supporting
documentation, demonstrating that the
requirements of paragraph (c) of this
section were met. The written report
must be submitted within 30 days of the
person discovering the invalidity.
■ 36. Amend § 80.1474 by:
■ a. Removing paragraphs (a)(1) and (2);
■ b. Redesignating paragraphs (a)(3) and
(4) as paragraphs (a)(1) and (2);
■ c. Revising paragraphs (b)(5) and
(d)(2);
■ d. Removing paragraph (e);
■ e. Redesignating paragraphs (f) and (g)
as paragraphs (e) and (f).
The revisions read as follows:
§ 80.1474 Replacement requirements for
invalidly generated RINs.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(5) Within 60 days of receiving a
notification from the EPA that a PIR
generator has failed to perform a
corrective action required pursuant to
this section, the party that owns the
invalid RIN is required to do one of the
following:
(i) Retire the invalid RIN.
(ii) If the invalid RIN has already been
used for compliance with an obligated
party’s RVO, correct the RVO to subtract
the invalid RIN.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(2) The number of RINs retired must
be equal to the number of PIRs or
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invalid RINs being replaced, subject to
paragraph (e) of this section if
applicable.
■ 37. Amend § 80.1476 by revising
paragraph (h)(1) to read as follows:
§ 80.1476 Requirements for
biointermediate producers.
*
*
*
*
*
(h) * * *
(1) Each biointermediate producer
must assign a number (the ‘‘batch
number’’) to each batch of
biointermediate consisting of their EPAissued company registration number,
the EPA-issued facility registration
number, the last two digits of the
compliance year in which the batch was
produced, and a unique number for the
batch during the compliance year (e.g.,
4321–54321–25–000001).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 38. Amend § 80.1477 by revising
paragraphs (b) and (c) to read as follows:
§ 80.1477 Requirements for QAPs for
biointermediate producers.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) QAPs approved by EPA to verify
biointermediate production must meet
the requirements in § 80.1469, as
applicable.
(c) Quality assurance audits, when
performed, must be conducted in
accordance with the requirements in
§ 80.1472.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 39. Amend § 80.1479 by revising
paragraphs (c)(2) to read as follows:
§ 80.1479 Alternative recordkeeping
requirements for separated yard waste,
separated food waste, separated MSW, and
biogenic waste oils/fats/greases.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(2) The independent third-party
auditor must conduct a site visit of each
feedstock aggregator’s establishment as
specified in § 80.1471(f). Instead of
verifying RINs with a site visit of the
feedstock aggregator’s establishment
every 200 days as specified in
§ 80.1471(f)(2), the independent thirdparty auditor may verify RINs with a
site visit every 380 days.
*
*
*
*
*
PART 1090—REGULATION OF FUELS,
FUEL ADDITIVES, AND REGULATED
BLENDSTOCKS
40. The authority citation for part
1090 continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7521, 7522–
7525, 7541, 7542, 7543, 7545, 7547, 7550,
and 7601.
Subpart A—General Provisions
■
41. Amend § 1090.80 by:
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
a. Revising paragraph (2) in the
definition ‘‘Diesel fuel’’;
■ b. Removing the definition
‘‘Nonpetroleum (NP) diesel fuel’’;
■ c. Adding the definition
‘‘Nonpetroleum diesel fuel’’; and
■ d. Revising the last sentence in the
definition of ‘‘Responsible corporate
officer (RCO)’’.
The revision and addition read as
follows:
■
§ 1090.80
Definitions.
*
*
*
*
*
Diesel fuel * * *
(2) Any fuel (including nonpetroleum
diesel fuel or a fuel blend that contains
nonpetroleum diesel fuel) that is
intended or used to power a vehicle or
engine that is designed to operate using
diesel fuel.
*
*
*
*
*
Nonpetroleum diesel fuel means
renewable diesel fuel or biodiesel.
Nonpetroleum diesel fuel also includes
other renewable fuel under 40 CFR part
80, subpart M, that is used or intended
for use to power a vehicle or engine that
is designed to operate using diesel fuel
or that is made available for use in a
vehicle or engine designed to operate
using diesel fuel.
*
*
*
*
*
Responsible corporate officer (RCO)
* * * Examples of positions in noncorporate business structures that
qualify are owner, chief executive
officer, or president.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 42. Amend § 1090.95 by revising
paragraphs (c)(1), (2), (4), (8), (11), (15)
through (18), (21), (25), (28), and (32)
through (38) to read as follows:
§ 1090.95
Incorporation by Reference.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(1) ASTM D86–23ae2, Standard Test
Method for Distillation of Petroleum
Products and Liquid Fuels at
Atmospheric Pressure, approved
December 1, 2023 (‘‘ASTM D86’’); IBR
approved for § 1090.1350(b).
(2) ASTM D287–22, Standard Test
Method for API Gravity of Crude
Petroleum and Petroleum Products
(Hydrometer Method), approved
December 1, 2022 (‘‘ASTM D287’’); IBR
approved for § 1090.1337(d).
*
*
*
*
*
(4) ASTM D976–21e1, Standard Test
Method for Calculated Cetane Index of
Distillate Fuels, approved November 1,
2021 (‘‘ASTM D976’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1350(b).
*
*
*
*
*
(8) ASTM D2622–24a, Standard Test
Method for Sulfur in Petroleum
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Products by Wavelength Dispersive Xray Fluorescence Spectrometry,
approved December 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
D2622’’); IBR approved for
§§ 1090.1350(b); 1090.1360(d);
1090.1375(c).
*
*
*
*
*
(11) ASTM D3606–24a, Standard Test
Method for Determination of Benzene
and Toluene in Spark Ignition Fuels by
Gas Chromatography, approved
November 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM D3606’’);
IBR approved for § 1090.1360(c).
*
*
*
*
*
(15) ASTM D4737–21, Standard Test
Method for Calculated Cetane Index by
Four Variable Equation, approved
November 1, 2021 (‘‘ASTM D4737’’);
IBR approved for § 1090.1350(b).
(16) ASTM D4806–21a, Standard
Specification for Denatured Fuel
Ethanol for Blending with Gasolines for
Use as Automotive Spark-Ignition
Engine Fuel, approved October 1, 2021
(‘‘ASTM D4806’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1395(a).
(17) ASTM D4814–24b, Standard
Specification for Automotive SparkIgnition Engine Fuel, approved
December 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM D4814’’); IBR
approved for §§ 1090.80; 1090.1395(a).
(18) ASTM D5134–21, Standard Test
Method for Detailed Analysis of
Petroleum Naphthas through n-Nonane
by Capillary Gas Chromatography,
approved December 1, 2021 (‘‘ASTM
D5134’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1350(b).
*
*
*
*
*
(21) ASTM D5453–24, Standard Test
Method for Determination of Total
Sulfur in Light Hydrocarbons, Spark
Ignition Engine Fuel, Diesel Engine
Fuel, and Engine Oil by Ultraviolet
Fluorescence, approved October 15,
2024 (‘‘ASTM D5453’’); IBR approved
for § 1090.1350(b).
*
*
*
*
*
(25) ASTM D5842–23, Standard
Practice for Sampling and Handling of
Fuels for Volatility Measurement,
approved October 1, 2023 (‘‘ASTM
D5842’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1335(d).
*
*
*
*
*
(28) ASTM D6259–23, Standard
Practice for Determination of a Pooled
Limit of Quantitation for a Test Method,
approved May 1, 2023 (‘‘ASTM
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D6259’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1355(b).
*
*
*
*
*
(32) ASTM D6708–24, Standard
Practice for Statistical Assessment and
Improvement of Expected Agreement
Between Two Test Methods that Purport
to Measure the Same Property of a
Material, approved March 1, 2024
(‘‘ASTM D6708’’); IBR approved for
§§ 1090.1360(c), 1090.1365(d) and (f),
and 1090.1375(c).
(33) ASTM D6729–20, Standard Test
Method for Determination of Individual
Components in Spark Ignition Engine
Fuels by 100 Metre Capillary High
Resolution Gas Chromatography,
approved June 1, 2020 (‘‘ASTM
D6729’’); IBR approved for
§ 1090.1350(b).
(34) ASTM D6730–22, Standard Test
Method for Determination of Individual
Components in Spark Ignition Engine
Fuels by 100-Metre Capillary (with
Precolumn) High-Resolution Gas
Chromatography, approved November 1,
2022 (‘‘ASTM D6730’’); IBR approved
for § 1090.1350(b).
(35) ASTM D6751–24, Standard
Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blendstock (B100) for Middle Distillate
Fuels, approved March 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM
D6751’’); IBR approved for
§§ 1090.300(a) and 1090.1350(b).
(36) ASTM D6792–23c, Standard
Practice for Quality Management
Systems in Petroleum Products, Liquid
Fuels, and Lubricants Testing
Laboratories, approved November 1,
2023 (‘‘ASTM D6792’’); IBR approved
for § 1090.1450(c).
(37) ASTM D7717–11 (Reapproved
2021), Standard Practice for Preparing
Volumetric Blends of Denatured Fuel
Ethanol and Gasoline Blendstocks for
Laboratory Analysis, approved October
1, 2021 (‘‘ASTM D7717’’); IBR approved
for § 1090.1340(b).
(38) ASTM D7777–24, Standard Test
Method for Density, Relative Density, or
API Gravity of Liquid Petroleum by
Portable Digital Density Meter,
approved July 1, 2024 (‘‘ASTM D7777’’);
IBR approved for § 1090.1337(d).
*
*
*
*
*
Subpart D—Diesel Fuel and ECA
Marine Fuel Standards
43. Amend § 1090.300 by adding
paragraph (a)(3) to read as follows:
■
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25871
§ 1090.300 Overview and general
requirements.
(a) * * *
(3) Biodiesel that meets ASTM D6751
(incorporated by reference in § 1090.95)
is not subject to the cetane index or
aromatic content standards in
§ 1090.305(c). Biodiesel or biodiesel
blends that do not meet ASTM D6751
remain subject to the cetane index or
aromatic content standards in
§ 1090.305(c).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 44. Amend § 1090.305 by revising
paragraph (a) to read as follows:
1090.305
ULSD standards.
(a) Overview. Except as specified in
§ 1090.300(a), all diesel fuel (including
nonpetroleum diesel fuel) must meet the
ULSD per-gallon standards of this
section.
*
*
*
*
*
Subpart N—Sampling, Testing, and
Retention
45. Amend § 1090.1310 by revising
paragraph (b)(1) to read as follows:
■
§ 1090.1310 Testing to demonstrate
compliance with standards.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(1) Diesel fuel. Perform testing for
each batch of ULSD (including
nonpetroleum diesel fuel), 500 ppm LM
diesel fuel, and ECA marine fuel to
demonstrate compliance with sulfur
standards.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 46. Amend § 1090.1337 by revising
paragraph (e) to read as follows:
§ 1090.1337
Demonstrating homogeneity.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) For testing of diesel fuel (including
nonpetroleum diesel fuel) and ECA
marine fuel to meet the standards in
subpart D of this part, demonstrate
homogeneity using one of the
procedures specified in paragraph (d)(1)
or (2) of this section.
*
*
*
*
*
[FR Doc. 2025–11128 Filed 6–16–25; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 90, Number 115 (Tuesday, June 17, 2025)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 25784-25871]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2025-11128]
[[Page 25783]]
Vol. 90
Tuesday,
No. 115
June 17, 2025
Part III
Environmental Protection Agency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
40 CFR Parts 80 and 1090
Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program: Standards for 2026 and 2027,
Partial Waiver of 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement, and Other
Changes; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 90 , No. 115 / Tuesday, June 17, 2025 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 25784]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 80 and 1090
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2024-0505; FRL-11947-01-OAR]
RIN 2060-AW23
Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program: Standards for 2026 and
2027, Partial Waiver of 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement, and
Other Changes
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Under the Clean Air Act (CAA), the Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is required to determine the applicable volume
requirements for the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) for years after
those specified in the statute. EPA is proposing the applicable volumes
and percentage standards for 2026 and 2027 for cellulosic biofuel,
biomass-based diesel (BBD), advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel.
EPA is also proposing to partially waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement and revise the associated percentage standard due to
a shortfall in cellulosic biofuel production. Finally, EPA is proposing
several regulatory changes to the RFS program, including reducing the
number of Renewable Identification Numbers (RINs) generated for
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from foreign
feedstocks and removing renewable electricity as a qualifying renewable
fuel under the RFS program (eRINs).
DATES:
Comments. Comments must be received on or before August 8, 2025.
Public Hearing. EPA will announce information regarding the public
hearing for this proposal in supplemental Federal Register document.
ADDRESSES: Comments. Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No.
EPA-HQ-OAR-2024-0505, at https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online
instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot
be edited or removed from the docket. EPA may publish any comment
received to its public docket. Do not submit to EPA's docket at https://www.regulations.gov any information you consider to be Confidential
Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must
be accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is considered
the official comment and should include discussion of all points you
wish to make. EPA will generally not consider comments or comment
contents located outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web,
cloud, or other file sharing system). Please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets for additional submission methods; the
full EPA public comment policy; information about CBI or multimedia
submissions; and general guidance on making effective comments.
EPA is specifically soliciting comment on numerous aspects of the
proposed rule. To facilitate comment on those portions of the rule, EPA
has indexed each comment solicitation with a unique identifier (e.g.,
``A-1'', ``A-2'', ``B-1'' . . .) to provide a consistent framework for
effective and efficient provision of comments. Accordingly, we ask that
commenters include the corresponding identifier when providing comments
relevant to that comment solicitation. We ask that commenters include
the identifier either in a heading or within the text of each comment,
to make clear which comment solicitation is being addressed. We
emphasize that we are not limiting comment to these identified areas
and encourage submission of any other comments relevant to this
proposed action.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dallas Burkholder, Assessment and
Standards Division, Office of Transportation and Air Quality,
Environmental Protection Agency, 2000 Traverwood Drive, Ann Arbor, MI
48105; telephone number: 734-214-4766; email address: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Does this action apply to me?
Entities potentially affected by this action are those involved
with the production, distribution, and sale of transportation fuels
(e.g., gasoline and diesel fuel) and renewable fuels (e.g., ethanol,
biodiesel, renewable diesel, and biogas). Potentially affected
categories include:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Category NAICS \a\ codes Examples of potentially affected entities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Industry..................................... 111110 Soybean farming.
Industry..................................... 111150 Corn farming.
Industry..................................... 112111 Cattle farming or ranching.
Industry..................................... 112210 Swine, hog, and pig farming.
Industry..................................... 211130 Natural gas liquids extraction and
fractionation.
Industry..................................... 221210 Natural gas production and distribution.
Industry..................................... 324110 Petroleum refineries (including importers).
Industry..................................... 325120 Biogases, industrial (i.e., compressed,
liquified, solid), manufacturing.
Industry..................................... 325193 Ethyl alcohol manufacturing.
Industry..................................... 325199 Other basic organic chemical manufacturing.
Industry..................................... 424690 Chemical and allied products merchant
wholesalers.
Industry..................................... 424710 Petroleum bulk stations and terminals.
Industry..................................... 424720 Petroleum and petroleum products wholesalers.
Industry..................................... 457210 Fuel dealers.
Industry..................................... 562212 Landfills.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
This table is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather provides a
guide for readers regarding entities potentially affected by this
action. This table lists the types of entities that EPA is now aware
could potentially be affected by this action. Other types of entities
not listed in the table could also be affected. To determine whether
your entity would be affected by this action, you should carefully
examine the applicability criteria in 40 CFR part 80. If you have any
questions regarding the applicability of this action to a particular
entity, consult the person listed in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section.
[[Page 25785]]
Preamble Acronyms and Abbreviations
Throughout this document the use of ``we,'' ``us,'' or ``our'' is
intended to refer to EPA. We use multiple acronyms and terms in this
preamble. While this list may not be exhaustive, to ease the reading of
this preamble and for reference purposes, EPA defines the following
terms and acronyms here:
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
AFDC Alternative Fuels Data Center
ATJ alcohol-to-jet
BBD biomass-based diesel
CAA Clean Air Act
CARB California Air Resources Board
CKF corn kernel fiber
CNG compressed natural gas
CWC cellulosic waiver credit
DOE Department of Energy
DRIA Draft Regulatory Impact Analysis
EIA Energy Information Administration
EMTS EPA Moderated Transaction System
EU European Union
FOG fats, oils, and greases
GHG greenhouse gas
LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard
LNG liquified natural gas
MSW municipal solid waste
OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
RFS Renewable Fuel Standard
RIN Renewable Identification Number
RNG renewable natural gas
RVO Renewable Volume Obligation
STP standard temperature and pressure
UCO used cooking oil
USDA United States Department of Agriculture
WTI West Texas Intermediate
Outline of This Preamble
I. Executive Summary
A. Summary of the Key Provisions of This Action
B. Impacts of This Rule
C. Policy Considerations
D. Endangered Species Act
II. Statutory Authority
A. Directive To Set Volumes Requirements
B. Statutory Factors
C. Statutory Conditions on Volume Requirements
D. Authority To Establish Volume Requirements and Percentage
Standards for Multiple Years
E. Considerations Related to the Timing of This Action
F. Impact on Other Waiver Authorities
G. Severability
III. Alternative Volume Scenarios for Analysis and Baselines
A. Scope of Analysis
B. Production and Importation of Renewable Fuel
C. Volume Scenarios for 2026-2030
D. Baselines
E. Volume Changes Analyzed
IV. Analysis of Volume Scenarios
A. Energy Security
B. Costs
C. Climate Change
D. Jobs and Rural Economic Development
E. Agricultural Commodity Prices and Food Price Impacts
V. Proposed Volume Requirements for 2026 and 2027
A. Cellulosic Biofuel
B. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
C. Biomass-Based Diesel
D. Conventional Renewable Fuel
E. Treatment of Carryover RINs
F. Summary of Proposed Volume Requirements
G. Request for Comment on Alternatives
H. Summary of the Assessed Impacts of the Proposed Volume
Standards
VI. Proposed Percentage Standards for 2026 and 2027
A. Calculation of Percentage Standards
B. Treatment of Small Refinery Volumes
C. Percentage Standards
VII. Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume
Requirement
A. Cellulosic Waiver Authority Statutory Background
B. Assessment of Cellulosic RINs Available for Compliance in
2025
C. Proposed Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume
Requirement
D. Calculation of Proposed 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Percentage
Standard
VIII. Reduction in the Number of RINs Generated for Imported Fuels
and Feedstocks
A. Introduction and Rationale
B. Legal Authority
C. Implementation
IX. Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS Program
A. Historical Treatment of Renewable Electricity in the RFS
Program
B. Statutory Basis for Removal of Renewable Electricity From the
RFS Program
C. Implementation of Proposed Removal of Renewable Electricity
From the RFS Program
X. Other Changes to RFS Regulations
A. Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet Fuel Equivalence Values
B. RIN-Related Provisions
C. Percentage Standard Equations
D. Existing Renewable Fuel Pathways
E. Updates to Definitions
F. Compliance Reporting, Recordkeeping, and Registration
Provisions
G. New Approved Measurement Protocols
H. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel Requirements
I. Technical Amendments
XI. Request for Comments
A. Renewable Fuel Volumes and Analyses
B. Import RIN Reduction
C. Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS Program
D. Other RFS Program Amendments
E. Policy Considerations
XII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review
B. Executive Order 14192: Unleashing Prosperity Through
Deregulation
C. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
D. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
E. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
F. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
G. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribal Governments
H. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From
Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks
I. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
J. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA) and
1 CFR Part 51
XIII. Amendatory Instructions
XIV. Statutory Authority
I. Executive Summary
EPA initiated the RFS program in 2006 pursuant to the requirements
of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (EPAct), which were codified in CAA
section 211(o). Congress subsequently amended the statutory
requirements in the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA). The statute sets forth annual, nationally applicable volume
targets for three of the four categories of renewable fuel (cellulosic
biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel) through 2022 and
for BBD through 2012. For subsequent calendar years, CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) directs EPA to determine the applicable volume targets
for each of the four categories of renewable fuel in coordination with
the Secretary of Energy and the Secretary of Agriculture, based on a
review of the implementation of the RFS program for prior years and an
analysis of specified statutory factors.
In this action, EPA is proposing the volume targets and applicable
percentage standards for cellulosic biofuel, BBD, advanced biofuel, and
total renewable fuel for 2026 and 2027.\1\ We are also proposing a
number of regulatory changes, including reducing the number of RINs
generated for imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from
foreign feedstocks and removing renewable electricity as a qualifying
renewable fuel under the RFS program (commonly referred to as eRINs).
This preamble describes our rationale for the proposed volume
requirements and regulatory changes and requests comment on the
proposals and supporting rationales, including on EPA's proposed
changes to the RFS program and any legitimate reliance interests that
EPA should consider during this rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ EPA previously established volume requirements and
applicable percentage standards for 2023-2025 on July 12, 2023 (88
FR 44468) (the ``Set 1 Rule'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The volume requirements and regulatory changes proposed in this
action would strengthen the RFS program and sharpen the program's focus
on a central goal of the policy: supporting domestic production of
renewable fuels. Ensuring a growing
[[Page 25786]]
supply of domestically produced renewable fuels, particularly those
produced from domestically sourced feedstocks, is a key component in
meeting the statutory goals of increasing the energy independence and
security of the United States. Increasing domestic production of
renewable fuel also contributes to unleashing American energy
production towards the goal of achieving energy dominance, consistent
with the Administration's ``Unleashing American Energy'' Executive
Order \2\ and the energy dominance pillar of EPA's ``Powering the Great
American Comeback'' initiative.\3\ The proposed modifications and
requirements in this action are responsive to input from key
agricultural and energy stakeholders on ways to bolster the RFS
program, and EPA looks forward to engaging with these and additional
interested stakeholders on the proposed changes.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ Executive Order 14154, ``Unleashing American Energy,''
January 20, 2025 (90 FR 8353; January 29, 2025).
\3\ EPA, ``EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin Announces EPA's
`Powering the Great American Comeback' Initiative,'' February 4,
2025. https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/epa-administrator-lee-zeldin-announces-epas-powering-great-american-comeback.
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A. Summary of the Key Provisions of This Action
1. Volume Requirements for 2026 and 2027
Based on our analysis of the factors required in the statute, and
in coordination with the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
and Department of Energy (DOE), EPA is proposing the volume
requirements for 2026 and 2027, as shown in Table I.A.1-1. The proposed
volumes represent significant increases from those established for
2023-2025, especially after accounting for the proposal to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks.
Table I.A.1-1--Volume Requirements for 2023-2027
[Billion RINs] \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Volume requirement established in Set 1 Rule Proposed volume requirement
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel.............. 0.84 \b\ 1.01 \c\ 1.19 1.30 1.36
Biomass-based diesel \d\........ 4.51 4.86 5.36 7.12 7.50
Advanced biofuel................ 5.94 6.54 7.33 9.02 9.46
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total renewable fuel........ \e\ 20.94 21.54 22.33 24.02 24.46
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ One RIN is equivalent to one ethanol-equivalent gallon of renewable fuel. Throughout this preamble, RINs are
generally used to describe total volumes in each of the four renewable fuel categories, while gallons are
generally used to describe volumes for individual types of biofuel (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel, renewable
diesel, etc.).
\b\ EPA originally established a cellulosic biofuel volume requirement of 1.09 billion gallons for 2024 in the
Set 1 Rule. EPA subsequently reduced this volume requirement to 1.01 billon RINs in a separate action.
\c\ EPA originally established a cellulosic biofuel volume requirement of 1.38 billion gallons for 2025 in the
Set 1 Rule. As described in Section VII, we are proposing to reduce this volume requirement to 1.19 billion
RINs in this action.
\d\ Through 2025, the BBD volume requirement was established in physical gallons rather than RINs. As described
in Section X.C, we are proposing to now specify the BBD volume requirement in RINs, consistent with the other
three renewable fuel categories, rather than physical gallons. For the sake of comparison, we have converted
the BBD volume requirements for 2023-2025 from physical gallons to RINs using the BBD conversion factor in 40
CFR 80.1405(c) of 1.6 RINs per gallon.
\e\ The total renewable fuel volume requirement for 2023 does not include the 0.25 billion RIN supplemental
standard.
In this action, we are proposing to specify the BBD volume
requirement in billion RINs, rather than billion gallons as in previous
RFS rules. To demonstrate the impact of this change, and to allow for
easier comparison to previous RFS rules, the BBD volume requirements
(in billion RINs) and the volume of BBD (in billion gallons) we project
would be supplied to satisfy the volume requirements are shown in Table
I.A.1-2. Finally, the quantities of renewable fuel we project would be
supplied to satisfy the volume requirements, after accounting for the
nested nature of the RFS volume requirements and the proposed import
RIN reduction provisions, are shown in Table I.A.1-3.
Table I.A.1-2--BBD Volume Requirements for 2023-2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Volume requirement established in the Set 1 Projected volume requirement
Rule -------------------------------
------------------------------------------------
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BBD volume requirement (billion \a\ 4.51 \a\ 4.86 \a\ 5.36 7.12 7.50
RINs)..........................
Projected volume of BBD (billion 2.82 3.04 3.35 \b\ 5.61 \b\ 5.86
gallons).......................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Billion RINs estimated assuming the average gallon of BBD generates 1.6 RINs.
\b\ Billion gallons estimated after accounting for the projected impacts of the proposed RIN reduction for
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from foreign feedstocks and the proposed revised
equivalence value for renewable diesel. We project that the average number of RINs generated for BBD will be
1.27 and 1.28 RINs per gallon in 2026 and 2027, respectively. These numbers are not proposed standards and are
presented for illustrative purposes only.
[[Page 25787]]
Table I.A.1-3--Projected Supply of Renewable Fuels To Satisfy the Volume Requirements for 2023-2027
[Billion gallons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Projected volume in the Set 1 Rule Projected volume to meet the
------------------------------------------------ proposed volume requirements
-------------------------------
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel.............. 0.84 1.09 1.38 1.30 1.36
Biomass-based diesel............ 3.71 3.85 4.24 6.83 7.16
Other advanced biofuel \a\...... 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.19 0.19
Conventional renewable fuel..... \b\ 13.85 13.96 13.78 13.78 13.66
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total renewable fuel........ \b\ 18.63 19.12 19.63 22.10 22.37
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Other advanced biofuel includes all advanced biofuels that to not qualify as cellulosic biofuel or BBD.
\b\ Volumes do not include the 0.25 billion RIN supplemental standard established for 2023.
As discussed above, CAA section 211(o) requires EPA to analyze a
specified set of factors in making our determination of the appropriate
volume requirements. Many of those factors, particularly those related
to economic and environmental impacts, are difficult to analyze in the
abstract. To facilitate a more robust analysis of the statutory
factors, we identified a set of renewable fuel volumes to analyze prior
to determining the appropriate volume requirements to establish under
the statute. We began by identifying two volume scenarios and then
analyzed the potential impacts of these volume scenarios on the factors
listed in the statute. The derivation of these volume scenarios is
discussed in Section III. Section IV discusses the analysis of the
volume scenarios for the statutory factors. Section V discusses our
conclusions regarding the appropriate volume requirements to propose in
light of the analyses conducted. Finally, Section VI discusses the
formulas and values used to calculate the proposed percentage
standards.
The BBD and advanced biofuel volumes we are proposing for 2026 and
2027 reflect the significant growth observed in the production of these
fuels over the past several years and build off the volumes already
achieved in the marketplace in 2024. The proposed volumes reflect the
projected growth in the domestic supply of feedstocks, primarily
soybean oil, with smaller projected increases in other feedstocks
including used cooking oil and animal fats. Our focus on the growth in
domestic feedstocks when projecting the supply of BBD for 2026 and 2027
is in part due to the uncertainty in the quantity of imported fuels and
feedstocks that will be available to U.S. markets given various
factors, including the available supply of qualifying feedstocks and
demand for these feedstocks and fuels in other countries.
The cellulosic biofuel volumes we are proposing for 2026 and 2027
are slightly lower than the volumes we finalized for 2025.\4\ The
primary reasons for the decrease in the proposed volumes are
limitations on the quantities of compressed natural gas (CNG) and
liquified natural gas (LNG) derived from biogas projected to be used as
transportation fuel in these years. CNG/LNG derived from biogas
comprise most of the qualifying cellulosic biofuel we project will be
supplied through 2027. However, the proposed cellulosic biofuel volumes
also include projections of cellulosic ethanol from corn kernel fiber
(CKF) produced at existing corn starch ethanol production facilities.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ As discussed in Section VII, we are also proposing to reduce
the previously established cellulosic biofuel volume requirement for
2025 in this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The proposed volumes for total renewable fuel in 2026 and 2027
reflect an implied conventional biofuel volume of 15 billion gallons
each year. This is consistent with the implied conventional renewable
fuel volumes in the statutory tables for 2015-2022,\5\ as well as the
implied conventional biofuel volumes established for 2023-2025. We
recognize that while the supply of conventional biofuel in 2026 and
2027 will likely fall short of the implied 15-billion-gallon volume,
the proposed total renewable fuel volumes are still achievable through
the use of additional volumes of advanced biofuel beyond the volume
requirement for that category.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(i).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The volume requirements that we are proposing in this action are
the basis for the calculation of percentage standards applicable to
producers and importers of gasoline and diesel unless they are waived
in a future action using one or more of the available waiver
authorities in CAA section 211(o)(7).
We believe that it is appropriate to propose volume requirements
for two years instead of a longer timeframe due to the increased
uncertainty of trying to project out further in the future, which
increases the likelihood of needing to adjust volumes in the future.
Adjustments to volume requirements create uncertainty in the RFS
program and hinder the purpose of projecting future years, which is
meant to provide certainty to the market. However, EPA is requesting
comment on whether it would be appropriate to set standards for more
than two years.
2. Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement
EPA is proposing to partially waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement and revise the associated percentage standard due to
a shortfall in cellulosic biofuel production. As discussed in Section
VII, we currently project a 0.19 billion RIN shortfall in available
cellulosic biofuel in 2025. As such, we are proposing to use our CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D) ``cellulosic waiver authority'' to reduce the 2025
cellulosic biofuel volume from 1.38 billion RINs to 1.19 billion RINs.
The use of such waiver authority, if finalized, would also make
cellulosic waiver credits (CWCs) available for the 2025 compliance
year.
3. Reduction in the Number of RINs Generated for Imported Renewable
Fuel and Renewable Fuel Produced From Foreign Feedstocks
EPA is proposing to reduce the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from foreign
feedstocks. In simple terms, we are proposing regulatory changes that
would mean a gallon of imported renewable fuel, or fuel produced from
foreign feedstocks, would generate half the number of RINs that the
same gallon of fuel would generate if produced in the U.S. from
domestic feedstocks. These proposed changes, described in Section VIII,
are in response to the dramatic increase in imported biofuels and
feedstocks used to produce biofuels in the U.S. observed
[[Page 25788]]
in recent years and align with the statutory goals of bolstering
national energy independence. Imported renewable fuel and renewable
fuel produced from foreign feedstocks do not further energy
independence and are projected to result in fewer employment and rural
economic development benefits relative to renewable fuels produced in
the U.S. from domestic feedstocks.
4. Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS Program
As described in Section IX, EPA is proposing to remove renewable
electricity as a qualifying renewable fuel under the RFS program
(commonly referred to as eRINs), thereby making it ineligible to
generate RINs. The proposed changes would find that renewable
electricity does not meet the definition of renewable fuel under CAA
section 211(o)(1)(J). On this basis, we are proposing to remove the
regulations related to the production and use of renewable electricity
as a transportation fuel, including the regulations related to facility
registration for renewable electricity producers and the provisions for
generating RINs for use of renewable electricity as a transportation
fuel. We are also proposing to remove the definition of ``renewable
electricity'' and the renewable electricity pathways in Table 1 of 40
CFR 80.1426 in connection with this policy change.
5. Other Regulatory Changes
EPA is also proposing additional regulatory changes in several
areas to strengthen our implementation of the RFS program. These
regulatory changes are discussed in greater detail in Section X and
include:
Specifying new equivalence values for renewable diesel,
naphtha, and jet fuel.
Updating RIN generation and assignment provisions.
Clarifying that RINs cannot be generated on pure or neat
biodiesel that is used as process heat or for power generation.
Changing the percentage standards equations, including
specifying the BBD standard in RINs rather than physical gallons.
Updating existing renewable fuel pathways and adding new
ones.
Adding definitions for terms used throughout the
regulations and updating other definitions.
Adding a joint and several liability provision applicable
to importers of renewable fuel.
Revising compliance reporting and registration provisions,
including clarifying that small refineries that receive an exemption
from their RFS obligations must still submit an annual compliance
report.
Clarifying certain testing requirements for biodiesel and
renewable diesel.
Other minor changes and technical corrections.
B. Impacts of This Rule
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) requires EPA to assess several factors
when determining volume requirements for calendar years after 2022.
These factors are described in the introduction to this Executive
Summary, and each factor is discussed in detail in the Draft Regulatory
Impact Analysis (DRIA) accompanying this rule.\6\ However, the statute
does not specify how EPA must assess each factor. For two of these
statutory factors--costs and energy security--we provide monetized
estimates of the impacts of the proposed volume requirements. For the
other statutory factors, we are either unable to quantify impacts or we
provide quantitative estimated impacts that nevertheless cannot be
easily monetized. Thus, we are unable to quantitatively compare all the
evaluated impacts of this rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ ``RFS Program Standards for 2026 and 2027: Draft Regulatory
Impact Analysis,'' EPA-420-D-25-001, June 2025.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA considered all statutory factors in developing this proposal,
including factors for which we provide monetized impacts, otherwise
quantified impacts, or provide a qualitative assessment of relevant
impacts, and we find that the proposed volumes are appropriate under
EPA's statutory authority as an outcome of balancing all relevant
factors. This approach is consistent with CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii),
which requires the EPA Administrator to ``determin[e]'' volumes based
on ``an analysis of'' the statutory factors and does not require that
analysis to monetize or quantify all relevant considerations. A summary
of our assessment of the impacts of this proposed rule can be found in
Section V.H. Table ES-1 in the DRIA provides a list of all the impacts
that we assessed, both quantitative and qualitative. Additional detail
for each of the assessed factors is provided in DRIA Chapters 4 through
10. For this proposed rule, we used data and projections from the U.S.
Energy Information Administration's (EIA's) Annual Energy Outlook 2023,
which was the most recent version available at the time we conducted
our analyses supporting this action.\7\ For the final rule, we intend
to update our analyses using the most recent available data and
projections from EIA and other sources.\8\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ EIA, ``Annual Energy Outlook 2023'' (AEO2023). https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/archive/aeo23.
\8\ On April 15, 2025, EIA issued ``Annual Energy Outlook 2025''
(AEO2025). https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Policy Considerations
The RFS program is a critical policy tool to support the domestic
production of renewable fuels. This action seeks to get the RFS program
back on track by establishing renewable fuel volumes for 2027 by the
statutory deadline and aligning the incentives provided by the RFS
program with the statutory goals of increasing energy independence and
energy security. The proposed volumes for 2026 and 2027 reflect the
significant growth potential for renewable fuel production in the
United States using domestic feedstocks.
EPA is requesting comment on multiple aspects of this action,
including the proposed volume requirements, our technical analyses
supporting those volumes, our proposal to reduce the number of RINs
generated for imported renewable fuels and renewable fuels produced
from foreign feedstocks, the removal of renewable electricity as a
qualifying renewable fuel under RFS program, and the other proposed
regulatory amendments. We also recognize that while this proposal in an
important first step in getting the RFS program back on track,
opportunities remain to improve the RFS program. To that end, we are
requesting comment on a variety of potential changes to the RFS program
that EPA could consider in future actions that would increase the
program's ability to achieve the goals of EPAct and EISA. Our request
for comment includes, but is not limited to:
A general pathway for the production of renewable jet fuel
from corn ethanol, including the consideration of ways to reduce
emissions for this pathway such as the use of carbon capture and
storage, renewable natural gas for process energy and low-carbon
farming practices.
The definition of ``produced from renewable biomass.''
Additional program amendments to ensure that imported
renewable fuels are produced from qualifying feedstocks and enhance our
ability to track feedstocks to their point of origin. These comments
may include input on methods and data to improve our evaluation of the
environmental impacts associated with imported feedstocks such as used
cooking oil and tallow.
Program enhancements to increase the use of qualifying
woody-biomass to
[[Page 25789]]
produce renewable transportation fuel. We specifically request comment
on the extent to which the renewable biomass definition in 40 CFR 80.2
aligns with current wildfire risk potential and corresponds to wildfire
ignition behavior science and how to best maximize the eligibility of
woody biomass residues generated at sawmills and other forest products
manufacturing businesses that have not been adulterated by chemicals or
other non-wood contaminants.
An option to apply the import RIN reduction provisions to
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced domestically from
foreign feedstock from only a subset of countries to reflect the
reduced economic, energy security, and environmental benefits of
imported renewable fuel and feedstock from those countries.
Any other modifications to the RFS program designed to
unleash the production of American energy.
D. Endangered Species Act
Section 7(a)(2) of the Endangered Species Act (ESA), 16 U.S.C.
1536(a)(2), requires that federal agencies such as EPA, in consultation
with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) and/or the National
Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) (collectively ``the Services''), ensure
that any action authorized, funded, or carried out by the action agency
is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered
or threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical habitat for such species. Under
relevant implementing regulations, the action agency is required to
consult with the Services for actions that ``may affect'' listed
species or designated critical habitat.\9\ Consultation is not required
where the action would have no effect on such species or habitat.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ 50 CFR 402.14.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Consistent with ESA section 7(a)(2) and relevant implementing
regulations at 50 CFR part 402, EPA engaged in informal consultation
with the Services and completed a Biological Evaluation (BE) for the
Set 1 Rule.\10\ Supported by the analysis in the Set 1 Rule BE, EPA
determined that the Set 1 Rule was ``not likely to adversely affect''
listed species and their habitats. NMFS concurred with EPA's
determination on July 27, 2023, and FWS concurred with EPA's
determination on August 3, 2023, thereby concluding the agencies'
consultation obligations.\11\ For the rulemaking finalizing this
proposed action, EPA intends to develop a biological evaluation to
inform our assessment of the effects of this action, and in turn our
ESA consultation obligations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\10\ EPA, ``Biological Evaluation of the Renewable Fuel Standard
Set Rule and Addendum,'' EPA-420-R-23-029, May 2023 (the ``Set 1
Rule BE'').
\11\ The outcome of the Set 1 Rule ESA consultation is the
subject of pending litigation; oral argument was held on November 1,
2024, and we are awaiting the court's decision. See CBD v. EPA, et
al., Case No. 23-1177 (D.C. Cir.).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
II. Statutory Authority
A. Directive To Set Volumes Requirements
Congress enacted the RFS program for the purpose of increasing the
use of renewable fuel in transportation fuel over time. Congress
specified statutory volumes for the initial years of the program,
including for BBD through 2012, and for the total renewable fuel,
advanced biofuel, and cellulosic biofuel through 2022, but allowed EPA
to waive the statutory volumes in certain circumstances. For years
after 2022, Congress provided EPA with the directive and authority to
establish the applicable renewable fuel volume requirements, as
described in this section.\12\ This section discusses EPA's statutory
authority and additional factors we have considered due to the timing
of this rulemaking, as well as the severability of the various portions
of this rule.
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\12\ We refer to CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) as the ``set
authority.''
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B. Statutory Factors
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) establishes the processes, criteria,
and standards for setting the applicable annual renewable fuel volumes.
That provision provides that the EPA Administrator shall, in
coordination with USDA and DOE,\13\ determine the applicable volumes of
each renewable fuel category, based on a review of the implementation
of the program during the calendar years specified in the tables in CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(i) and an analysis of the following factors:
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\13\ In furtherance of this requirement, we will continue
periodic discussions with USDA and DOE on this action.
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The impact of the production and use of renewable fuels on
the environment, including on air quality, climate change, conversion
of wetlands, ecosystems, wildlife habitat, water quality, and water
supply;
The impact of renewable fuels on the energy security of
the United States;
The expected annual rate of future commercial production
of renewable fuels, including advanced biofuels in each category
(cellulosic biofuel and biomass-based diesel);
The impact of renewable fuels on the infrastructure of the
United States, including deliverability of materials, goods, and
products other than renewable fuel, and the sufficiency of
infrastructure to deliver and use renewable fuel;
The impact of the use of renewable fuels on the cost to
consumers of transportation fuel and on the cost to transport goods;
and
The impact of the use of renewable fuels on other factors,
including job creation, the price and supply of agricultural
commodities, rural economic development, and food prices.
Congress provided EPA flexibility by enumerating factors that the
Administrator must consider without mandating any particular forms of
analysis or specifying how the EPA Administrator must weigh the various
factors against one another. Thus, as the CAA ``does not state what
weight should be accorded to the relevant factors,'' it ``give[s] EPA
considerable discretion to weigh and balance the various factors
required by statute.'' \14\ These factors were analyzed in the context
of the 2020-2022 RFS Rule that modified volumes under CAA section
211(o)(7)(F),\15\ which requires EPA to comply with the processes,
criteria, and standards in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii). EPA's
assessment of the factors in that rule was recently upheld by the D.C.
Circuit in Sinclair v. EPA.\16\ EPA has also considered these factors
in establishing the applicable volumes for 2023-2025 under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) in the Set 1 Rule. Consistent with our past practice
in evaluating the factors,\17\ we have again determined that a holistic
balancing of the factors is appropriate.\18\
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\14\ Nat'l Wildlife Fed'n v. EPA, 286 F.3d 554, 570 (D.C. Cir.
2002) (analyzing factors within the Clean Water Act); accord
Riverkeeper, Inc. v. U.S. EPA, 358 F.3d 174, 195 (2d Cir. 2004)
(same); BP Exploration & Oil, Inc. v. EPA, 66 F.3d 784, 802 (6th
Cir. 1995) (same); see also Brown v. Watt, 668 F.3d 1290, 1317 (D.C.
Cir. 1981) (``A balancing of factors is not the same as treating all
factors equally. The obligation instead is to look at all factors
and then balance the results. The Act does not mandate any
particular balance, but vests the Secretary with discretion to weigh
the elements. . . .'') (addressing factors articulated in the Out
Continental Shelf Lands Act).
\15\ 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022).
\16\ 101 F.4th 871, 888-889 (D.C. Cir. 2024).
\17\ 87 FR 39600, 39607-08 (July 1, 2022).
\18\ EPA, ``RFS Annual Rules: Response to Comments,'' EPA-420-R-
22-009, June 2022 (``2020-2022 RFS Rule RTC''), at 10.
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In addition to those factors listed in the statute, the EPA
Administrator also has authority to consider ``other'' factors,
including both the implied
[[Page 25790]]
authority to consider factors that inform our analysis of the statutory
factors and the explicit authority under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(VI) to consider ``the impact of the use of renewable
fuels on other factors.'' Accordingly, we have considered several other
relevant factors beyond those enumerated in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii), including:
The interconnected nature of the volume requirements for
2026 and 2027, including the nested nature of those volume requirements
and the availability of carryover RINs (Section V.E).\19\
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\19\ This also informs our analysis of the statutory factor
``review of the implementation of the program'' in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii).
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The ability of the market to respond given the timing of
this rulemaking (DRIA Chapter 7).\20\
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\20\ This also informs our analysis of the statutory factor
``the expected annual rate of future commercial production of
renewable fuels'' in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(III).
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The supply of qualifying renewable fuels to U.S. consumers
(Section III.B).\21\
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\21\ This is based on our analysis of the statutory factor the
expected annual rate of future commercial production of renewable
fuel as well as of downstream constraints on biofuel use, including
the statutory factors relating to infrastructure and costs.
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Soil quality (DRIA Chapter 4.3).\22\
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\22\ Soil quality is closely tied to water quality and is also
relevant to the impact of renewable fuels on the environment more
generally, such that this analysis also informs our analysis of the
statutory factor ``the impact of the production and use of renewable
fuels on the environment'' in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(I).
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Ecosystem services (DRIA Chapter 4.6).\23\
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\23\ Ecosystem services broadly consist of the many life-
sustaining benefits humans receive from nature, such as clean air
and water, fertile soil for crop production, pollination, and flood
control. Ecosystem services are discussed in DRIA Chapter 4 due to
linkages to potential environmental impacts from this rule.
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A consideration of costs and benefits (Section V.H).\24\
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\24\ The consideration of costs and benefits includes our
quantitative analysis of several statutory factors, including costs
and monetizable impacts on energy security.
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C. Statutory Conditions on Volume Requirements
As indicated above, the CAA affords the EPA Administrator
flexibility to consider and weigh each of the enumerated factors.
However, the CAA contains three overarching conditions that affect our
determination of the applicable volume requirements:
A constraint in setting the applicable volume of total
renewable fuel as compared to advanced biofuel, with implications for
the implied volume requirement for conventional renewable fuel.
Direction in setting the cellulosic biofuel applicable
volume regarding potential future waivers.
A floor on the applicable volume of BBD.
We discuss these conditions in further detail below.
1. Advanced Biofuel as a Percentage of Total Renewable Fuel
While the statute generally provides broad discretion in setting
the applicable volume requirements for advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel, it also establishes a constraint on the relationship
between these two volume requirements. CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iii)
provides that the applicable advanced biofuel requirement must ``be at
least the same percentage of the applicable volume of renewable fuel as
in calendar year 2022,'' meaning that EPA must, at a minimum, maintain
the ratio of advanced biofuel to total renewable fuel that was
established for 2022 for all future years in which EPA itself sets the
applicable volume requirements. In effect, this proportional
requirement limits the proportion of the implied volume of conventional
renewable fuel within the total renewable fuel volume for years after
2022 based on the proportion that existed for calendar year 2022.
The applicable advanced biofuel volume requirement established for
2022 was 5.63 billion gallons.\25\ The total renewable fuel volume
requirement established for 2022 was 20.63 billion gallons, resulting
in an implied conventional volume requirement of 15 billion gallons.
Thus, advanced biofuel represented 27.3 percent of total renewable fuel
for 2022, and EPA must maintain at least that percentage of the
advanced biofuel volume requirement as compared to the total renewable
fuel volume requirement for all subsequent years. The volume
requirements we are proposing in this action for 2026 and 2027, shown
in Table I.A.1-1, exceed this 27.3 percent minimum, and thus they
satisfy this statutory requirement for each year.
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\25\ 87 FR 39601 (July 1, 2022).
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2. Cellulosic Biofuel
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) requires that EPA set the applicable
cellulosic biofuel requirement ``based on the assumption that the
Administrator will not need to issue a waiver . . . under [CAA section
211(o)](7)(D)'' for the years in which EPA sets the applicable volume
requirement. We have historically interpreted this requirement to mean
that the cellulosic biofuel volume requirement should be set at a level
that is achievable such that EPA does not anticipate a need to further
lower the requirement through a waiver under CAA section
211(o)(7)(D).\26\ CAA section 211(o)(7)(D) provides that if ``the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel production is less than the
minimum applicable volume established under paragraph (2)(B),'' EPA
``shall reduce the applicable volume of cellulosic biofuel required
under paragraph (2)(B) to the projected volume available during that
calendar year.'' Therefore, we are proposing the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirements such that a waiver of those requirements is not
anticipated to be necessary for those future years. Operating within
this limitation, and in light of our consideration of the statutory
factors explained in Section V, we are proposing cellulosic volumes for
2026 and 2027 at the projected volume available in each year,
respectively, consistent with our past actions in determining the
cellulosic biofuel volume.\27\ These projections, discussed further in
Sections III.B.1 and V.A, represent our best efforts to project the
potential for growth in the volume of cellulosic biofuel that can be
achieved in 2026 and 2027.
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\26\ The cellulosic waiver authority applies when the projected
volume of cellulosic biofuel production is less than the minimum
applicable volume, per CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).
\27\ See, e.g., 2020-2022 RFS Rule (87 FR 39600; July 1, 2022).
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We recognize that, for 2024 and 2025, the volume of cellulosic
biofuel available was less than the volume required, and we have
partially waived the 2024 cellulosic biofuel volume requirement and are
proposing to partially waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement in this action as discussed in Section VII. Nevertheless,
we have considered the cellulosic biofuel available in those years and
adjusted our methodology as discussed in Sections III.B.1 and V.A and
DRIA Chapter 7.1 to account for the prior shortfalls in the standards.
Retroactive waivers of the volume requirements under the RFS program
decrease certainty for the market and undermines confidence in the
volumes and standards EPA sets, which could negatively impact
investment in renewable fuel production in future years. In this
action, we propose changes to the methodology used to project
cellulosic biofuel volumes to avoid the need for waivers of the RFS
standards in the future.
[[Page 25791]]
3. Biomass-Based Diesel
EPA has established the BBD volume requirement under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii) for the years since 2013 because the statute only
provides BBD volume requirements through 2012. CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(iv) also requires that the BBD volume requirement be set
at, or greater than, the 1.0-billion-gallon volume requirement
enumerated by statute for 2012, but it does not provide any other
numerical criteria that EPA must consider. In the years since 2012, EPA
has steadily increased the BBD volume requirement beyond 1.0 billion
gallons to 3.35 billion gallons in 2025. In this action, we are
proposing BBD volume requirements for 2026 and 2027 of 7.12 and 7.50
billion RINs respectively.\28\ These numbers are not directly
comparable with the BBD volume requirements in previous years, as they
express the required volume of BBD in RINs rather than gallons and
reflect our proposal that imported renewable fuels and renewable fuels
produced from foreign feedstocks would generate fewer RINs.\29\
Nevertheless, the proposed BBD volume requirements guarantee that at
least 4.45 and 4.69 billion gallons of BBD would be used in 2026 and
2027 respectively,\30\ far greater than 1.0-billion-gallon minimum
requirement.
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\28\ As noted in Section I.A.1 and explained further in Section
X.C, we are proposing to specify the BBD volume requirement in RINs,
rather than gallons, as was the case in establishing the 2025 BBD
volume requirement of 3.35 billion physical gallons.
\29\ See Section VIII for more detail on the proposed RIN
reduction for renewable fuels and renewable fuels produced from
foreign feedstocks.
\30\ These volumes represent the lowest possible volume of BBD
that could be used to meet the proposed BBD volume requirements for
2026 and 2027. These numbers are calculated by dividing the proposed
BBD RIN requirements by 1.6, which is the number of RINs generated
for renewable diesel if produced by a domestic renewable fuel
producer using domestic feedstocks.
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D. Authority To Establish Volume Requirements and Percentage Standards
for Multiple Years
In this action, EPA is proposing applicable volume requirements and
percentage standards for 2026 and 2027. We have a statutory obligation
to promulgate volume requirements under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)
and are addressing that requirement in this proposed action. The
statutory deadline for the 2026 applicable volume requirements passed
on October 31, 2024. The statutory deadline for promulgating the 2027
applicable volume requirements is October 31, 2025. We are proposing
this action with the intent to meet that statutory deadline for the
2027 applicable volume requirements and to fulfill our outstanding
obligation to establish the 2026 applicable volume requirements ahead
of the 2026 compliance year.
As to the percentage standards with which obligated parties must
comply, CAA section 211(o)(A)(i) and (iii) requires EPA to promulgate
regulations that, regardless of the date of promulgation, contain
compliance provisions applicable to refineries, blenders, distributors,
and importers that ensure that the volumes in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)--which includes volumes set by EPA after 2022--are met. As
in the Set 1 Rule, EPA is also proposing to establish corresponding
percentage standards in this action.\31\
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\31\ 88 FR 44468, 44519-21 (July 14, 2023).
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In summary, we are proposing applicable volume requirements and
associated percentage standards for 2026 and 2027, as further described
in Sections V and VI.
E. Considerations Related to the Timing of This Action
In this action, we are proposing applicable volume requirements for
the 2026 compliance year after the statutory deadline to establish such
requirements.\32\ That deadline was October 31, 2024. EPA has in the
past also missed statutory deadlines for promulgating RFS standards,
including the 2023 and 2024 standards established in the Set 1 Rule,
and the BBD volume requirements for 2014-2017, which were established
under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), the same provision under which we
are proposing to establish the 2026 standards in this action. In its
review of EPA's 2015 action establishing BBD volume requirements for
2014-2017,\33\ the D.C. Circuit found that EPA retains authority beyond
the statutory deadlines to promulgate volumes and annual standards,
even those that apply retroactively, so long as EPA exercises this
authority reasonably.\34\ EPA had missed the statutory deadline under
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) to establish an applicable volume
requirement for BBD no later than 14 months before the first year to
which that volume requirement will apply for all years. The D.C.
Circuit held that when EPA exercises this authority after the statutory
deadline, EPA must balance the burden on obligated parties of a delayed
rulemaking with the broader goal of the RFS program to increase
renewable fuel use.\35\ In specifically upholding the portion of that
rulemaking that was late but not retroactive, the court considered
whether there was sufficient lead time and adequate notice for
obligated parties.\36\ The court found that EPA properly balanced the
relevant considerations and had provided sufficient notice to parties
in establishing the applicable volume requirements for 2014-2017.\37\
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\32\ See CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), requiring EPA promulgate
applicable volume requirements no later than 14 months prior to the
first year in which they will apply.
\33\ 80 FR 77420, 77427-28, 77430-31 (December 14, 2015).
\34\ Americans for Clean Energy v. EPA, 864 F.3d 691 (D.C. Cir.
2017) (ACE) (EPA may issue late applicable volumes under CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii)); Monroe Energy, LLC v. EPA, 750 F.3d 909 (D.C.
Cir. 2014); NPRA v. EPA, 630 F.3d 145, 154-58 (D.C. Cir. 2010). See
also Sinclair v. EPA, 101 F.4th 871 (D.C. Cir. 2024).
\35\ NPRA v. EPA, 630 F.3d 145, 164-65.
\36\ ACE, 864 F.3d at 721-22.
\37\ ACE, 864 F.3d at 721-23.
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In this action, we are proposing to exercise our authority to set
the applicable renewable fuel volume requirements for 2026 after the
statutory deadline to promulgate such volume requirements under CAA
section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii). We intend to finalize the 2026 standards
prior to the beginning of the 2026 compliance year (i.e., before
January 1, 2026) and do not expect those standards to apply
retroactively. In this proposal, we are providing obligated parties
notice of the proposed 2026 standards. Under the RFS regulations,
demonstrating compliance with the 2025 standards will not be required
until the next quarterly reporting deadline after the 2026 standards
are effective.\38\ Additionally, obligated parties will continue to
have the ability to use existing compliance flexibilities to comply
with the 2026 RFS standards, such as the use of carryover RINs and
carrying forward a deficit from one compliance year into the next.
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\38\ 40 CFR 80.1451(f)(1)(i)(A).
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F. Impact on Other Waiver Authorities
While we are proposing applicable volume requirements in this
action for future years that are achievable and appropriate based on
our consideration of the statutory factors, we retain our legal
authority to waive volumes in the future under the waiver authorities
should circumstances so warrant.\39\ For example, the general waiver
authority under CAA section 211(o)(7)(A) provides that EPA may waive
the volume requirements in ``paragraph (2),'' which provides both the
statutory
[[Page 25792]]
applicable volume tables and EPA's set authority (the authority to set
applicable volumes for years not specified in the table). Therefore,
similar to our exercise of the waiver authorities to modify the
statutory volumes in past annual standard-setting rulemakings, EPA has
the authority to modify the applicable volumes for 2023 and beyond in
future actions through the use of our waiver authorities.
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\39\ See J.E.M. Ag Supply, Inc. v. Pioneer Hi-Bred Intern.,
Inc., 534 U.S. 124, 143-44 (2001) (holding that when two statutes
are capable of coexistence and there is not clearly expressed
legislative intent to the contrary, each should be regarded as
effective).
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We note that, as described above, CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv)
requires that EPA set the cellulosic biofuel volume requirements for
2023 and beyond based on the assumption that EPA will not need to waive
those volume requirements under the cellulosic waiver authority.
Because we are, in this action, proposing the applicable volume
requirements for 2026 and 2027 under the set authority, we do not
believe we could also waive those requirements using the cellulosic
waiver authority in this same action in a manner that would be
consistent with CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv), since that waiver
authority is only triggered when the projected production of cellulosic
biofuel is less than the ``applicable volume established under
[211(o)(2)(B)].'' In other words, it does not appear that EPA could use
both the set authority and the cellulosic waiver authority to establish
volumes at the same time in this action.
Proposing the volume requirements for 2026 and 2027 using our set
authority apart from the cellulosic waiver authority has important
implications for the availability of CWCs in these years. When EPA
reduces cellulosic volumes under the cellulosic waiver authority, EPA
is also required to make CWCs available under CAA section
211(o)(7)(D)(ii). In this rule we are proposing cellulosic biofuel
volume requirements without utilizing the cellulosic waiver authority.
We interpret CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(ii) such that CWCs are only made
available in years in which EPA uses the cellulosic waiver authority to
reduce the cellulosic biofuel volume. Because of this, CWCs would not
be available as a compliance mechanism for obligated parties in these
years absent a future action to exercise the cellulosic waiver
authority. Despite the absence of CWCs, we expect that obligated
parties will be able to satisfy their cellulosic biofuel obligations
for these years because we are proposing to establish the cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement based on the quantity of cellulosic biofuel
we project will used as transportation fuel in the U.S. each year.
G. Severability
We intend for the volume requirements and percentage standards for
each single year covered by this rule (i.e., 2026 and 2027) to be
severable from the volume requirements and percentage standards for the
other year. Each year's volume requirements and percentage standards
are supported by analyses for that year.
We intend for the revised cellulosic biofuel volume requirement and
percentage standard for 2025 in Section VII to be severable from the
volume requirements and percentage standards for the other years. The
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement and percentage standard for 2025
is supported by the analysis for that year.
We intend for the import RIN reduction in Section VIII to be
severable from the volume requirements and percentage standards for
2026 and 2027. While the regulatory amendments in Section VIII propose
to modify the number of RINs generated for imported renewable fuel and
renewable fuel produced from foreign feedstocks, our basis for
proposing the amendments in Section VIII is independent from the volume
requirements themselves. Additionally, we do not anticipate that
invalidation of the import RIN reduction would jeopardize compliance
with the volume requirements and percentage standards.
We also intend for the removal of renewable electricity from the
RFS program in Section IX and the regulatory amendments in Section X to
be severable from the volume requirements and percentage standards.
These regulatory amendments are intended to improve the RFS program in
general and are not part of EPA's analysis for the volume requirements
and percentage standards for any specific year. Further, each of the
regulatory amendments in Sections IX and X is severable from the other
regulatory amendments because they all function independently of one
another.
If any of the portions of the rule identified in the preceding
paragraph (i.e., volume requirements and percentage standards for a
single year, the individual regulatory amendments) is invalidated by a
reviewing court, we intend the remainder of this action to remain
effective as described in the prior paragraphs. To further illustrate,
if a reviewing court were to invalidate the volume requirements and
percentage standards, we intend the other regulatory amendments to
remain effective. Or, as another example, if a reviewing court
invalidates the proposed removal of renewable electricity as a
qualifying renewable fuel under the RFS program, we intend the volume
requirements and percentage standards as well as other regulatory
amendments to remain effective.
III. Alternative Volume Scenarios for Analysis and Baselines
In establishing volumes for 2026 and 2027, the statute requires
that EPA review the implementation of the RFS program in prior years
and analyze a specified set of factors (see Section II.B). Many of
those factors, particularly those related to economic and environmental
impacts, are difficult to analyze in the abstract; it is challenging to
assess impacts without understanding the scale of the volume changes
that are the driving force behind those impacts. In light of this, we
have opted to develop alternative volume scenarios to analyze for each
category of renewable fuel. This section describes the factors we
considered when developing the volume scenarios for analysis. The
analyses of the impacts of the volume scenarios are summarized in
Section IV, and the volumes we are proposing based on these analyses
and a review of the implementation of the RFS program to date are
described in Section V. Note that neither of the volume scenarios we
developed for analytical purposes include the impacts of the proposed
import RIN reduction provisions described in Section VIII.
To develop the alternative volume scenarios for analysis, we first
assessed two fundamental factors: (1) The potential supply of these
fuels from both imports and domestic production; and (2) The ability
for these fuels to be used as qualifying transportation fuel in the
United States. Throughout this preamble, we use the term ``supply'' of
renewable fuel to refer to the quantity of qualifying renewable fuel
that can be used as transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel in
the U.S. Unless otherwise noted, all historical data on the supply of
renewable fuel is based on data from the EPA Moderated Transaction
System (EMTS). The projected domestic production and importation of
renewable fuel and the use of renewable fuel as transportation fuel
closely align with two of the explicit statutory criteria: expected
annual rate of future commercial production of renewable fuel and
sufficiency of infrastructure to deliver and use renewable fuels. For
cellulosic biofuel and conventional renewable fuel, the volume
scenarios we chose to analyze are equal to the projected volumes of
these fuels we project will be used as qualifying transportation fuel
in 2026 and 2027. Our projections of the use of these fuels
[[Page 25793]]
assumes current ongoing incentives for the production and use of these
fuels provided by the RFS program and by other state and federal
programs remain in place for the periods of time currently described in
their respective statutes and regulations.
For non-cellulosic advanced biofuel (including BBD and other
advanced biofuel), the projected supply of these fuels in future years
is highly dependent on the incentives for these fuels provided by the
RFS program, other state and federal incentives in the U.S., and
actions by foreign countries. Unlike cellulosic biofuel and
conventional renewable fuel, we do not expect that the supply of non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel will be limited by the ability for the
market to use these fuels as qualifying transportation fuel. Instead,
we project that the available supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
will depend on a number of interrelated factors, including the supply
of feedstocks to produce these fuels, demand for these feedstocks in
non-biofuel markets, and the available incentives for the production
and use of these fuels in the U.S. and other countries. Further, unlike
cellulosic biofuel and conventional renewable fuel, which are primarily
produced from a single feedstock (biogas and corn starch,
respectively), non-cellulosic advanced biofuel can be produced from a
variety of different feedstocks, and the projected impacts of the
production of these fuels can vary depending on the feedstock used to
produce the fuel. Considering these complexities, we have developed two
different volume scenarios of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel for
analysis rather that attempt to identify a single volume scenario for
the projected supply of these fuels. These assessments are described in
greater detail in Sections III.B and C and DRIA Chapter 6.
We acknowledge that we are adopting a slightly different approach
to developing the volume scenarios for analysis in this action than we
did in the Set 1 Rule, in which EPA first identified ``candidate
volumes'' to analyze for each category of renewable fuel. These
candidate volumes were based primarily on a consideration of supply-
related factors, with a consideration of other relevant factors as
noted in the Set 1 Rule. The approach taken in this action, in which
multiple volume scenarios are analyzed, is designed to provide
additional information about the potential impacts of a broader range
of renewable fuel volume requirements.\40\ The analysis of multiple
scenarios allows EPA to consider different volumes scenarios for non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel, where the impacts may be more heterogenous
(e.g., the impacts are not expected to be consistent on a per-gallon
basis) across a range of potential qualifying fuels and volume
requirements.
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\40\ We note that the two scenarios analyzed for this action
differ only in the BBD volumes. Considering different BBD volumes is
of the most interest due to the high degree of uncertainty in the
potential supply of this fuel through 2027 and the differences in
the projected impacts between different types of BBD.
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The volume scenarios we analyzed for this action, as well as the
data that informed these volume scenarios, can be found in Sections
III.B and C. Sections III.D and E describe the baselines we considered
as points of reference for the analysis of the other statutory factors
(i.e., the ``No RFS'' baseline and the 2025 baseline) and the volume
changes calculated in comparison to that baseline, respectively.
A. Scope of Analysis
In Section II.D we discuss our statutory authority to establish RFS
volume requirements and percentage standards for multiple years in a
single action. As discussed in that section, we are proposing to
establish volume requirements and percentage standards for two years:
2026 and 2027. When developing the scenarios described in this section,
however, EPA had not yet determined either the number of years for
which to establish volumes in this action or the exact levels of the
proposed volumes. To preserve the opportunity to consider proposing an
action that would establish volumes for a greater number of years, we
developed scenarios for analysis through 2030. We also assessed a range
of potential fuel volumes to provide stakeholders with a more
comprehensive sense for the potential impacts of different volume
levels. The volume scenarios discussed in this section, as well as the
results of our analysis of these scenarios discussed in Section IV,
therefore consider a range of renewable fuel volumes through 2030. More
information on the projected impacts of the renewable fuel volume
requirements we are proposing for 2026 and 2027 can be found in Section
V and the DRIA.
B. Production and Importation of Renewable Fuel
1. Cellulosic Biofuel
CAA section 211(o)(1)(E) defines cellulosic biofuel as renewable
fuel derived from any cellulose, hemi-cellulose, or lignin that has
lifecycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that are at least 60 percent
less than the baseline lifecycle GHG emissions. Since the inception of
the RFS program, cellulosic biofuel production has steadily increased,
reaching record levels in 2024. This growth has primarily been driven
by biogas-derived CNG/LNG, although small volumes of liquid cellulosic
biofuels, particularly ethanol produced from corn kernel fiber (CKF),
have also played a contributing role. In this section, we discuss our
analysis for projecting the production of qualifying cellulosic biofuel
for 2026-2030, along with key uncertainties associated with these
estimates. Additional details on our volume projections for cellulosic
biofuel can be found in DRIA Chapter 7.1.
[[Page 25794]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.001
a. CNG/LNG Derived From Biogas
Biogas-derived CNG/LNG from qualifying sources must first be
collected and upgraded for vehicle use. The upgraded process varies
depending on the final application but typically involves removing
undesirable components and contaminants from the raw biogas. Biogas
that has been upgraded and distributed through a closed distribution
system, either as a biointermediate or for the production of renewable
fuel, is defined as ``treated biogas,'' whereas biogas that has been
upgraded to be suitable for injection into the commercial natural gas
pipeline system and is used to produce renewable fuel is defined as
``renewable natural gas'' (RNG).\41\ Although they are defined
differently in the regulations, we use the term ``RNG'' to collectively
refer to both treated biogas and RNG in this document. Likewise, we use
``biogas-derived CNG/LNG'' to refer to both treated biogas and RNG when
used as a transportation fuel in CNG/LNG vehicles.
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\41\ 40 CFR 80.2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To project future volumes of biogas-derived CNG/LNG, we analyzed
two limiting factors: the estimated volume of RNG that could be
produced or captured and the estimated amount of biogas-derived CNG/LNG
that could be consumed as a transportation fuel. Our analysis indicates
that consumption (i.e., use as a transportation fuel), rather than
production, is likely to be the primary constraint on determining
volumes during 2026-2030.
To estimate consumption, we developed a projection of total CNG/LNG
transportation use based on vehicle sector data, including fuel
consumption rates, vehicle miles traveled, and fuel efficiency. Because
biogas-derived CNG/LNG can generate RINs only when used as a
transportation fuel, total CNG/LNG consumption--whether fossil- or
biogas-derived--represents the upper volume limit for biogas-derived
CNG/LNG RIN generation. However, full replacement of total CNG/LNG
usage with biogas-derived fuel is unlikely due to infrastructure
limitations, costs, and other challenges. To account for this, we
applied an efficiency factor to estimate the portion of total CNG/LNG
consumption that could realistically be met with biogas-derived fuel
and, in turn, the number of cellulosic RINs that could be generated.
Based on data from California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS)
program, we assume that even in a fully saturated market,\42\ only 97
percent of total CNG/LNG transportation demand would be met with
biogas-derived CNG/LNG. As a result, we applied a 97 percent adjustment
to our total CNG/LNG consumption estimate to calculate the potential
total biogas-derived CNG/LNG volume. The results of this analysis are
shown in Table III.B.1.a-1 and are further described in DRIA Chapter
7.1.4.1.
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\42\ We use the term ``saturated market'' to describe a market
that consumes the maximum feasible amount of biogas-derived CNG/LNG
relative to its CNG/LNG vehicle population.
Table III.B.1.a-1--Estimated Consumption of Total CNG/LNG and the Estimated Quantity of Biogas-Derived CNG/LNG
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total CNG/LNG Total biogas-derived
Year consumption CNG/LNG consumption
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026.......................................................... 1,210 1,174
2027.......................................................... 1,277 1,239
2028.......................................................... 1,349 1,309
2029.......................................................... 1,426 1,384
2030.......................................................... 1,509 1,464
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 25795]]
Initial evidence of this shift towards a consumption-limited
baseline is already apparent. In 2023, RNG volumes were insufficient to
meet the cellulosic biofuel volume requirement established in the Set 1
Rule. This shortfall resulted in a 0.09 billion cellulosic RIN deficit
carried forward from 2023 into 2024. For 2024, RNG production--and
hence cellulosic RIN generation--again fell short of the required
volume. This led EPA to propose a partial waiver of the 2024 cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement.\43\ Similarly, as described in Section VII,
EPA currently projects a shortfall in cellulosic biofuel production for
2025 and is proposing to again partially waive the cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement for 2025. Thus, while EPA is still projecting
continued growth in cellulosic biofuel production, growth in cellulosic
RIN generation is likely to face significant constraints for the
foreseeable future, limited by the ability of fuel consumers to use RNG
as a qualifying transportation fuel.
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\43\ 89 FR 100442 (December 12, 2024).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As a means of cross-checking this expected limitation on cellulosic
RIN generation, we also projected future RNG production. To estimate
this, we used an industry-wide projection methodology that has been
employed in the RFS standard-setting rules since 2018. This methodology
applies an industry-wide year-over-year growth rate to the current
biogas production rate. Specifically, we used RIN generation data from
the most recent 24 months and multiplied the observed growth rate
during that period by the most recent full calendar year of data
available. This growth rate was then repeatedly applied to each
progressive year to project future production. This approach was
previously used in the 2018,\44\ 2019,\45\ 2020-2022,\46\ and Set 1
(2023-2025) Rules. However, unlike the 2018-2022 Rules, the Set 1 Rule
relied on data from 2015-2022 rather than the previous 24 months. This
adjustment was made to account for the expected impact of the COVID-19
pandemic, which was believed at the time to have negatively affected
the market in 2020 and 2021. At the time of the Set 1 Rule analysis,
pre-pandemic growth rates were considered a more accurate reflection of
future biogas production potential, a view supported by stakeholders.
However, with the benefit of post-pandemic data, we have returned to
our prior methodology, basing projections on the most recent 24 months
of data instead of the data from 2015-2022, as described in DRIA
Chapter 7.1.4.2. Performing this analysis and comparing RNG production
to the consumption of RNG-derived CNG/LNG highlights a key point: for
all years from 2026-2030, projected RNG production is expected to
exceed the projected consumption of RNG-derived CNG/LNG, providing
further evidence that future cellulosic RIN generation is limited by
the ability of fuel consumers to use RNG as a qualifying transportation
fuel.
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\44\ 82 FR 58486 (December 12, 2017).
\45\ 83 FR 63704 (December 11, 2018).
\46\ 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022).
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While RNG production is not expected to be a limiting factor in
determining volumes, the future production of RNG will ultimately
depend on market demand. Because of this, there is significant
uncertainty overall for the production of RNG. One notable source of
uncertainty is the potential for significant competing demands for RNG,
such as to produce RNG-based ammonia (e.g., for use as fertilizer) and
to produce RNG-based hydrogen for use in various process energy
applications. While the demand for these products over the 2026-2030
period is highly uncertain, substantial growth in these competing
demands for RNG have the potential to further limit the available
supply of RNG as a qualifying transportation fuel.
From our analysis of both RNG consumption and production, we
believe that cellulosic RIN generation from biogas-derived CNG/LNG
during 2026-2030 will be constrained by the total usage of CNG/LNG as
transportation fuel (i.e., the total amount of CNG/LNG that can be used
in the fleet of CNG- and LNG-powered vehicles). Accordingly, the
volumes presented in Table III.B.1.a-2 were used as the volume scenario
for biogas-derived CNG/LNG during this period. That said, we recognize
that there is considerable uncertainty in these volumes and that the
methodology used to determine these volumes are different than what we
have done in prior rules. Therefore, we request comment on our
projections for cellulosic biofuel production for 2026-2030,
specifically regarding our assessment of future CNG/LNG consumption. We
also request any additional data or information that could further
inform our projections for cellulosic biofuel production during this
period.
Table III.B.1.a-2--Estimated Volume of Biogas-Derived CNG/LNG
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Volume
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026....................................................... 1,174
2027....................................................... 1,239
2028....................................................... 1,309
2029....................................................... 1,384
2030....................................................... 1,464
------------------------------------------------------------------------
b. Ethanol From Corn Kernel Fiber
Several technologies are currently being developed to produce
liquid fuels from cellulosic biomass. However, most of these
technologies are unlikely to yield significant volumes of cellulosic
biofuel by 2030. One notable exception is the production of ethanol
from CKF, for which several companies have developed processes. Many of
these processes involve co-processing of both the starch and cellulosic
components of the corn kernel. However, to be eligible for generating
cellulosic RINs, facilities must accurately determine the amount of
ethanol produced specifically from the cellulosic portion using
approved methodologies. This requires the ability to reliably and
precisely calculate the ethanol derived from the cellulosic component,
distinct from the starch portion of the corn kernel. In September 2022,
EPA issued updated guidance on analytical methods that could be used to
quantify the amount of ethanol produced when co-processing CKF and corn
starch.\47\
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\47\ EPA, ``Guidance on Qualifying an Analytical Method for
Determining the Cellulosic Converted Fraction of Corn Kernel Fiber
Co-Processed with Starch,'' EPA-420-B-22-041, September 2022.
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EPA has also had substantive discussions with technology providers
intending to use analytical methods consistent with this guidance, as
well as with owners of facilities registered as cellulosic biofuel
producers using these methods. Based on information from these
technology providers, EPA believes that cellulosic ethanol production
from CKF could be feasible at all existing corn ethanol facilities,
with minimal additional processing units or modifications. To generate
cellulosic RINs for ethanol produced from CKF, a facility would need to
demonstrate the converted fraction consistent with appropriate test
methods. For the purposes of this analysis, we assume that 90 percent
of facilities will produce cellulosic ethanol over this period due to
potential facility-specific challenges that may prevent 100 percent
adoption.
Additionally, while technology providers have indicated that using
analytical methods consistent with EPA
[[Page 25796]]
guidance can demonstrate that approximately 1.5 percent of ethanol
produced at existing corn ethanol facilities comes from cellulosic
biomass, data submitted to EPA by renewable fuel producers generating
cellulosic RINs for CKF ethanol shows that the current industry-wide
average among registered facilities is closer to 1 percent. Therefore,
for the purposes of this analysis, we are using a 1 percent conversion
rate.
The projected production of cellulosic ethanol from CKF, as shown
in Table III.B.1.b-1, is based on projections of total corn ethanol
production, with a 90 percent facility participation rate and a 1
percent conversion efficiency applied.\48\ We request comment on these
projected volumes, including our projections of the percentage of
ethanol producers that will generate cellulosic RINs for CKF ethanol
through 2027 and the proportion of ethanol from cellulose vs. starch at
these facilities.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\48\ A detailed discussion of the methodology used to project
cellulosic ethanol production from CKF can be found in DRIA Chapter
7.1.5.
Table III.B.1.b-1--Projected Production of Ethanol From CKF
[Million ethanol-equivalent gallons]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Volume
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026....................................................... 124
2027....................................................... 123
2028....................................................... 122
2029....................................................... 120
2030....................................................... 119
------------------------------------------------------------------------
c. Other Cellulosic Biofuels
We expect that commercial scale production of cellulosic biofuel in
the U.S. beyond CNG/LNG derived from biogas and ethanol produced from
CKF will be very limited in 2026-2030. There are several cellulosic
biofuel production facilities in various stages of development,
construction, and commissioning that may be capable of producing
commercial scale volumes of cellulosic biofuel by 2030. These
facilities primarily focus on producing cellulosic hydrocarbons from
feedstocks such as separated municipal solid waste (MSW), precommercial
thinnings, and tree residues, which can be blended into gasoline,
diesel, and jet fuel. Since no parties have achieved consistent
production of liquid cellulosic biofuel in the U.S. or consistently
exported liquid cellulosic biofuel to the U.S., production and import
of liquid cellulosic biofuel in 2026-2030 is highly uncertain and
likely to be relatively small. For the volume scenarios we are
analyzing, we have projected no production of these fuels in 2026-2030.
2. Biomass-Based Diesel
CAA section 211(o)(1)(D) defines biomass-based diesel as renewable
fuel that is biodiesel and that has GHG emissions reductions of at
least 50 percent from the baseline. It also excludes biodiesel that is
co-processed with petroleum feedstocks. The BBD standard is nested
within the advanced biofuel standard. Historically, the BBD supply
under the RFS program has exceeded the BBD standard, with the
additional supply used by obligated parties to meet their advanced
biofuel volume requirements. Thus, the advanced biofuel standard has
incentivized the use of BBD beyond just the BBD standard.
Since 2010, when the BBD volume requirement was added to the RFS
program, production of BBD has generally increased annually. The volume
of BBD supplied in any given year is influenced by a number of factors,
including: production capacity; feedstock availability and cost;
available incentives including the RFS program; the availability of
imported BBD; the demand for BBD (and feedstocks used to produce BBD)
in foreign markets; and several other economic factors.
Most renewable fuel that qualifies as BBD is biodiesel or renewable
diesel. Both of these fuels are replacements for petroleum diesel and
are produced from the same lipid-based feedstocks, a diverse category
that includes animal fats, used cooking oil, and vegetable oil
feedstocks. Biodiesel and renewable diesel differ in their production
processes and chemical composition. Biodiesel is an oxygenated fuel
that is generally produced using a transesterification process.
Renewable diesel, on the other hand, is a hydrocarbon fuel that closely
resembles petroleum diesel and that is generally produced by
hydrotreating renewable feedstocks. From 2010-2018, the vast majority
of BBD supplied to the U.S. was biodiesel. Production and imports of
renewable diesel emerged in the U.S. in the early 2010s. Market share
for renewable diesel began a steady upward trend in 2019, and U.S.
domestic supply of these fuels has increased significantly over the
past several years. The supply of biodiesel has been relatively stable
since 2016 amidst the expansion of renewable diesel supply.
In 2023, the supply of renewable diesel exceeded the supply of
biodiesel for the first time (see Figure III.B.2-1). Unlike biodiesel,
which is often produced at relatively small facilities, renewable
diesel is generally produced at large facilities. While some renewable
fuel producers have built new production facilities, much of the
renewable diesel produced in the U.S. uses petroleum refining
infrastructure that has been converted to produce renewable diesel.
Because renewable diesel is more chemically similar to petroleum, it is
generally not subject to the same blending limits as biodiesel. This
has allowed very large volumes of renewable diesel to be supplied to
California and other states with incentives for biofuel use in addition
to the incentives provided by the RFS program. In future years we
expect to continue to see large increases in the supply of renewable
diesel due to the advantages in the economy of scale and the ability to
access markets with higher incentives, and a relatively steady supply
of biodiesel from established facilities with favorable local markets.
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P
[[Page 25797]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.002
BILLING CODE 6560-50-C
There are also small volumes of renewable jet fuel and heating oil
that qualify as BBD.\49\ Renewable jet fuel has qualified as a RIN-
generating BBD and advanced biofuel under the RFS program since 2010
and must achieve at least a 50 percent reduction in GHGs in comparison
to petroleum-based fuels. The technology and feedstocks that can
currently be used to produce renewable jet fuel are often the same as
those used to produce renewable diesel. For example, the same process
that produces renewable diesel from lipids generally produces
hydrocarbons in the distillation range of jet fuel that can be
separated and sold as renewable jet fuel instead of being sold as
renewable diesel. While relatively little renewable jet fuel has been
produced since 2010--20 million gallons or less per year through 2023,
increasing to approximately 110 million gallons in 2024--opportunities
for increasing this category of advanced biofuel exist.
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\49\ According to EMTS data renewable jet fuel supply ranged
from 0-20 million gallons per year from 2014-2023 and increased to
approximately 110 million gallons in 2024. Renewable jet fuel is
eligible to generate RINs per 40 CFR 80.1426(a)(1)(iv), provided all
other regulatory requirements are met.
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A tax credit for renewable jet fuel for tax years 2023 and 2024,
often referred to as the ``sustainable aviation fuel credit'' or ``40B
credit,'' may have resulted in increasing volumes of renewable jet fuel
produced from existing renewable diesel production facilities. Another
low carbon transportation fuel tax credit, the ``clean fuel production
credit'' or ``45Z credit,'' is available for tax years 2025-2027, and
provides up to $1.75 per gallon of renewable jet fuel, provided the
relevant wage and apprenticeship requirements are met by the producer.
The 45Z credit may provide continued support for renewable jet fuel
production. Renewable jet fuel production from existing renewable
diesel facilities, however, would likely result in a decrease in
renewable diesel production, with little or no net change in their
overall production of RIN-generating fuels.\50\
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\50\ The equivalence values for renewable diesel and jet fuel
are similar. As discussed in Section X.A, we are proposing to revise
the renewable diesel equivalence value to be 1.6 RINs per gallon,
while also proposing to establish the renewable jet fuel equivalence
value to be 1.5 RINs per gallon.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this rule we have not separately projected growth in renewable
jet fuel production, but we recognize that some of the projected growth
in renewable diesel production may instead be renewable jet fuel from
the same production facilities. Other renewable jet fuel production
technologies and production facilities (discussed briefly in Section
III.B.2.b) also being developed could enable the future production of
renewable jet fuel from new facilities and feedstocks that are not
expected to impact renewable diesel production.
The remainder of this section provides historical data on biodiesel
and renewable diesel production and production capacity, briefly
discusses potential feedstock limitations for
[[Page 25798]]
biodiesel and renewable diesel production in future years, and
summarizes our assessment of the rate of production and use of
qualifying BBD for 2026-2030, along with some of the uncertainties
associated with those volumes.\51\
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\51\ Further details on these volume projections can be found in
DRIA Chapter 7.2.
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a. Biodiesel
For most of the history of the RFS program, the largest volume of
BBD and advanced biofuel supplied in the program each year have been
from biodiesel. Domestic biodiesel production increased from
approximately 1.3 billion gallons in 2014 to approximately 1.8 billion
gallons in 2018. Since 2018, domestic biodiesel production decreased
slightly, to approximately 1.7 billion gallons in 2024.\52\ The U.S.
has also imported significant volumes of biodiesel in previous years
and has been a net importer of biodiesel since 2013. Biodiesel imports
reached a peak in 2016, with the majority of the imported biodiesel
coming from Argentina.\53\ In August 2017, the U.S. announced tariffs
on biodiesel imported from Argentina and Indonesia.\54\ These tariffs
were subsequently confirmed in April 2018 and remain in place.\55\
Biodiesel imports started dropping in 2017 but have increased again in
recent years, reaching approximately 500 million gallons in 2023 and
reduced to 420 million gallons in 2024.\56\ More generally, overall
biodiesel supply in the U.S. has remained between 1.6 and 1.8 billion
gallons since 2016 (see Figure III.B.2-1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\52\ Id.
\53\ In 2016 and 2017, 67 percent of all biodiesel imports were
from Argentina. EIA, ``U.S. Imports by Country of Origin--
Biodiesel,'' Petroleum & Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_EPOORDB_im0_mbbl_a.htm.
\54\ 82 FR 40748 (Aug. 28, 2017).
\55\ 83 FR 18278 (April 26, 2018).
\56\ EIA, ``U.S. Imports of Biodiesel,'' Petroleum & Other
Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=m_epoordb_im0_nus-z00_mbbl&f=a.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Available data suggests that there is significant unused biodiesel
production capacity in the U.S., and thus domestic biodiesel production
could grow without the need to invest in additional production
capacity. Data reported by EIA shows that domestic biodiesel production
capacity in November 2024 was approximately 2.00 billion gallons per
year, roughly 0.3 billion gallons more than was utilized.\57\ According
to this data, annual average biodiesel production capacity grew
relatively slowly from about 2.1 billion gallons in 2012 to a peak of
approximately 2.6 billion gallons in 2019. EIA reports that domestic
biodiesel production capacity was approximately 2.5 billion gallons as
recently as October 2021. This facility capacity data is collected by
EIA in monthly surveys, which suggests that this capacity represents
the production at facilities that are currently producing some volume
of biodiesel and likely does not include facilities that are inactive
or have closed, as these facilities are far less likely to complete a
monthly survey.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\57\ EIA, ``U.S. Biodiesel Production Capacity,'' Petroleum &
Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPOORDB_8BDPC_NUS_MMGL&f=M.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA separately collects facility capacity information through the
RFS program facility registration process. This data includes both
facilities that are currently producing biodiesel and those that are
inactive. EPA's data shows a total domestic biodiesel production
capacity of 2.9 billion gallons per year in April 2025, of which 2.6
billion gallons per year was at biodiesel facilities that generated
RINs in 2024.\58\ These estimates of domestic production capacity
strongly suggest that domestic biodiesel production capacity is
unlikely to limit domestic biodiesel production through 2030.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\58\ See ``BBD Registered Facility Capacity,'' available in the
docket for this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
b. Renewable Diesel and Renewable Jet Fuel
Renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel are currently produced
using the same feedstocks and very similar production technologies, and
in most cases are produced at the same production facilities. For
example, Montana Renewables produced both renewable diesel and
renewable jet fuel at their Great Falls, Montana facility in 2024.\59\
Historically, greater incentives have been available for renewable
diesel production than for renewable jet fuel production, which has
meant that in practice most production facilities chose to maximize
renewable diesel production. In this section we have focused on
renewable diesel production, but we acknowledge that an increasing
portion of this fuel may be used as renewable jet fuel in future years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\59\ Montana Renewables, ``Products.'' https://montanarenewables.com/products.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the near term, we expect that any increase in renewable jet fuel
production will result in a corresponding decrease in renewable diesel
production. We recognize that new technologies are being developed to
produce renewable jet fuel from a wider variety of feedstocks, some of
which are not suitable for use in the hydrotreating process that
dominates renewable diesel production. For example, several companies
are developing new technologies intended to produce renewable jet fuel
from ethanol or other alcohols, through a technology often referred to
as the ``alcohol-to-jet'' (or ``ATJ'') process. To date EPA has not
approved a generally applicable pathway for these fuels, but we have
approved a facility specific pathway for the production of renewable
jet fuel from ethanol to generate BBD RINs.\60\ While ATJ has the
potential to produce significant volumes of renewable jet fuel in
future years, there is a high degree of uncertainty related to the
production of these fuels through 2030 as commercial scale production
of these fuels has been limited and no RINs have yet been generated for
these fuels. Production of renewable jet fuel using these emerging
technologies may not negatively impact renewable diesel production to
the extent that they do not compete for feedstocks. Through 2027,
however, we expect that only relatively modest volumes of fuels might
be produced through these emerging technologies. We request comment on
the potential production volume of such renewable jet fuel through 2027
and any technical and economic data that would help inform our
understanding of the potential impacts of the production of renewable
jet fuel through the ATJ process on the statutory factors.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\60\ See EPA, ``Letter from EPA to LanzaJet, Inc.,'' January 12,
2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Renewable diesel has historically been produced and imported in
smaller quantities than biodiesel, as shown in Figure III.B.2-1. In
recent years, however, domestic production of renewable diesel has
increased significantly. Renewable diesel production facilities
generally have higher capital costs and production costs relative to
biodiesel, which likely accounts for the historically higher volumes of
biodiesel production relative to renewable diesel production prior to
2023. The higher cost of renewable diesel production can largely be
offset through the benefits of economies of scale, since renewable
diesel facilities tend to be much larger than biodiesel production
facilities.\61\ For example, according to EMTS data, in 2024, there
were 23 renewable diesel facilities that produced an average of 157
million gallons of renewable diesel per facility, compared to 71
biodiesel facilities that
[[Page 25799]]
produced an average of 29 million gallons of biodiesel per
facility.\62\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\61\ See DRIA Chapter 10 for more detail on our assessment of
the cost to produce biodiesel and renewable diesel.
\62\ See ``Analysis of BBD RIN Generation by Facility Size,''
available in the docket for this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
More importantly, because renewable diesel more closely resembles
petroleum diesel than biodiesel (both renewable diesel and petroleum
diesel are hydrocarbons while biodiesel is a methyl-ester), renewable
diesel can be blended at much higher concentrations with diesel than
biodiesel (it is for this reason that renewable diesel is sometimes
referred to as a ``drop-in'' fuel). This allows renewable diesel to
more easily be blended into diesel at higher rates and enables
renewable diesel producers to sell greater volumes of renewable diesel
in California, benefiting from the LCFS credits in California in
addition to RFS incentives and the federal tax credit.\63\ The greater
ability for renewable diesel to generate credits under California's
LCFS program provides a significant advantage over biodiesel. Biodiesel
blends in California containing 6-20 percent biodiesel require the use
of an additive to comply with California's Alternative Diesel Fuels
Regulations, making the use of higher-level biodiesel blends more
challenging in California.\64\ The Washington and Oregon programs
modeled from the California LCFS have generally mirrored this incentive
structure, and the emerging New Mexico program may do so as well. If
additional States were to adopt clean fuels programs using a similar
structure, these programs could provide an additional advantage to
renewable diesel production relative to biodiesel production in the
U.S.
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\63\ For example, when LCFS credits are worth $100/metric ton,
blending renewable diesel into California generates LCFS credits
worth approximately $0.25 to $0.90 per gallon (assuming carbon
intensities of 70 and 20 gCO2e/MJ respectively).
Renewable fuel producers that sell qualifying renewable fuel in
California can generate both RINs under the RFS program and LCFS
credits.
\64\ CARB, ``Frequently Asked Questions on the Alternative
Diesel Fuels Regulation,'' November 2017. In 2021, nearly all
renewable diesel consumed in the U.S. was consumed in California.
Together renewable diesel and biodiesel represented approximately
65-70 percent of all diesel fuel consumed in California in the
second half of 2024.
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Total domestic renewable diesel production capacity has increased
significantly in recent years from approximately 280 million gallons in
2017 \65\ to approximately 4.6 billion gallons at the end of 2024.\66\
Additionally, a number of parties have announced plans to build new
renewable diesel production capacity with the potential to begin
production in future years. This new capacity includes new renewable
diesel production facilities, expansions of existing renewable diesel
production facilities, and the conversion of units at petroleum
refineries to produce renewable diesel.
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\65\ Renewable diesel capacity based on facilities registered in
EMTS.
\66\ EIA, ``U.S. Total Biofuels Operable Production Capacity,''
Petroleum & Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pnp_capbio_dcu_nus_m.htm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EIA currently projects that renewable diesel production capacity
will continue to expand and could reach nearly 6 billion gallons by the
end of 2025.\67\ A recent report published by the National Renewable
Energy Laboratory found that by 2028 the domestic production capacity
for renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel through the hydrotreating
process alone could increase to 9.6 billion gallons per year.\68\ In
previous years, domestic renewable diesel production has increased in
concert with increases in domestic production capacity, with renewable
diesel facilities generally operating at high utilization rates. In
future years we expect that competition for affordable qualifying
feedstocks may result in renewable diesel and biodiesel facilities
operating below their production capacity. Competition for qualifying
feedstocks could also result in reductions in overall biodiesel
production if larger renewable diesel facilities are able to out-
compete smaller biodiesel producers for feedstock. Further, even if
these facilities operate at levels close to their production capacity,
demand for renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel in other countries
may impact the quantity of these fuels available to U.S. markets.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\67\ EIA, ``Domestic renewable diesel capacity could more than
double through 2025,'' Today in Energy, February 2, 2023. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55399.
\68\ Calderon, Oscar Rosales, Ling Tao, Zia Abdullah, Michael
Talmadge, Anelia Milbrandt, Sharon Smolinski, Kristi Moriarty, et
al. ``Sustainable Aviation Fuel State-of-Industry Report:
Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids Pathway,'' National Renewable
Energy Laboratory NREL/TP-5100-87803, July 30, 2024. https://doi.org/10.2172/2426563.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to domestic production of renewable diesel, the U.S.
has also imported renewable diesel, with nearly all of it produced from
fats, oils, and greases (FOG) and imported from Singapore.\69\ In more
recent years, the U.S. has also exported increasing volumes of
renewable diesel. In 2022-2024, renewable diesel exports exceeded
renewable diesel imports based on data collected through EMTS (see
Table III.B.2.b-1). This situation, wherein significant volumes of
renewable diesel are both imported and exported, is likely the result
of a number of factors, including the design of the biodiesel tax
credit (which is available to renewable diesel that is either produced
or used in the U.S. and thus eligible for exported volumes as well),
the varying structures of incentives for renewable diesel (with the
level of incentives varying depending on the feedstocks used to produce
the renewable diesel varying as well as by country), and logistical
considerations (renewable diesel may be imported and exported from
different parts of the country). Starting in 2025, the 45Z credit,
which consolidates and replaces the previous $1 per gallon credit for
blending biodiesel and renewable diesel into diesel fuel under 40A,
also provides a production credit for alternative fuels and sustainable
aviation fuel. Since the new 45Z credit is only available for fuel
produced in the United States, it may result in significantly decreased
renewable fuel imports and may in turn also decrease renewable fuel
exports as domestic producers seek to satisfy demand previously met by
imported renewable fuels.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\69\ EIA, ``U.S. Imports by Country of Origin--Renewable Diesel
Fuel,'' Petroleum & Other Liquids, April 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_move_impcus_a2_nus_EPOORDO_im0_mbbl_a.htm.
Table III.B.2.b-1--Renewable Diesel Imports and Exports
[Million gallons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Renewable diesel Renewable diesel
Year imports exports Net imports
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2015................................................... 120 21 99
2016................................................... 165 40 125
2017................................................... 191 37 154
[[Page 25800]]
2018................................................... 176 80 96
2019................................................... 267 148 119
2020................................................... 280 223 57
2021................................................... 262 241 121
2022................................................... 311 326 -15
2023................................................... 361 414 -53
2024................................................... 430 581 -151
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
c. Domestic BBD Feedstocks
When considering the potential production and import of biodiesel
and renewable diesel in future years and the likely impacts of
renewable diesel production, the availability of feedstocks is a key
consideration. Currently, biodiesel and renewable diesel in the U.S.
are produced from a number of different feedstocks, including FOG,
distillers corn oil, and virgin vegetable oils such as soybean oil and
canola oil.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.003
Use of soybean oil to produce biodiesel grew from approximately 10
percent of all domestic soybean oil production in the 2009/2010
agricultural marketing year to 48 percent in the 2023/2024 agricultural
marketing year.\70\ In the intervening years, the total increase in
domestic soybean oil production and the increase in the quantity of
soybean oil used to produce biodiesel and renewable diesel were
similar, indicating that the increase in oil production was likely
driven by the increasing demand for biofuel. However, as the production
of renewable diesel has increased in recent years it appears that
demand for soybean oil is growing faster than demand for soybean meal.
Notably, the percentage of the soybean value that came from the soybean
oil (rather than the meal and hulls) had been relatively stable and
averaged approximately 33 percent from 2016-2020. The percentage of the
soybean value that came from the soybean oil increased significantly
starting in 2021, however, reaching a high of 53 percent in October
2021, before declining slightly to 39 percent in August 2024 (the most
recent date for which data are available).\71\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\70\ USDA, ``Oil Crops Yearbook,'' March 2025. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/oil-crops-yearbook.
\71\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Through 2020, most of the renewable diesel produced in the U.S. was
made from FOG and distillers corn oil, with smaller volumes produced
from soybean oil.\72\ While some biodiesel production facilities are
unable to use FOG and distillers corn oil without additional capital
investment, renewable diesel production facilities are generally able
to use them. Additionally, through 2024 the vast majority of renewable
diesel consumed in the U.S. is used in
[[Page 25801]]
California due to the combined value of RFS and LCFS incentives
(together with the blenders' tax credit). Under California's LCFS
program, renewable diesel produced from FOG and distillers corn oil
receive more credits than renewable diesel produced from soybean oil
and canola oil.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\72\ In December 2022, EPA approved generally applicable
pathways for renewable diesel produced from canola oil (87 FR 73956;
December 2, 2022). Use of canola oil to produce renewable diesel for
consumption in the U.S. was therefore rare before 2023, but has
gradually become more common in recent years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Available volumes of FOG (including used cooking oil and animal
fats) and distillers corn oil from domestic sources are expected to
continue to increase in future years, but these increases are expected
to be limited. FOG are the byproducts of other activities (e.g., food
production and rendering operations), and production of FOG is not
responsive to increasing demand for biofuel production. Because the
production of FOG is generally not responsive to increased demand and
most of the available domestic FOG is currently used for biofuel
production or in other industries, we expect the availability of FOG to
increase slowly, consistent with the observed trend in recent years.
Similarly, distillers corn oil is a byproduct of ethanol production.
Since we do not anticipate significant growth in ethanol production in
future years (see Section III.B.4), we do not project significant
increases in the production of distillers corn oil for biofuel
production, as most ethanol production facilities currently produce
distillers corn oil. Therefore, if renewable diesel production in
future years increases rapidly as suggested by the large production
capacity announcements, it will likely require increased use of
vegetable oils such as soybean oil and canola oil, either from new
production or diverted from other markets, or increased use of imported
feedstocks.
Greater volumes of soybean oil are projected to be produced from
new or expanded soybean crushing facilities through 2030. Several
parties have announced plans to expand existing soybean crushing
capacity or build new soybean crushing facilities. Public announcements
of new and expanded soybean crushing capacity suggest that domestic
soybean crush capacity could increase by approximately 1.5 million
bushels of soybeans per day from 2024 through 2026.\73\ An increase in
the domestic crush capacity of this magnitude would result in an
increase in domestic soybean oil production sufficient to produce
approximately 750 million additional gallons of BBD per year and
suggests a 250 million gallon per year annual increase in soybean oil
production through 2026.\74\ Similarly, an assessment of potential BBD
feedstocks in future years prepared for the National Oilseed Processors
Association by S&P Global estimated that increases in domestic soybean
oil production could support the production of an additional 1 billion
gallons of BBD from 2023 to 2027.\75\ Most of the publicly announced
expansion in soybean crush capacity is scheduled to occur in the next
few years, through 2027. Recent data suggests that the domestic soybean
crushing industry is capable of continuing to add significant capacity
in future years, but that any investment in domestic soybean crushing
is highly dependent on demand for soybean oil (and soybean meal) from
biofuel producers and other markets.\76\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\73\ Futrell, Crystal, ``US Soybean Crush Capacity on the
Rise,'' World-Grain.com, January 5, 2024. https://www.world-grain.com/articles/19463-us-soybean-crush-capacity-on-the-rise.
\74\ This estimate assumes a soybean oil yield of 11 lbs per
bushel of soybeans and 1 gallon of BBD per 7.75 lbs of soybean oil.
\75\ S&P Global, ``Availability of Feedstocks for Biofuel Use--
Key Highlights,'' July 2024.
\76\ See DRIA Chapter 7.2 for a further discussion of this
topic.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
If domestic crushing of soybeans increases at the expense of
soybean exports, domestic vegetable oil production could increase
without the need for increasing domestic soybean acreage.
Alternatively, increased demand for soybeans from new or expanded
crushing facilities could be met through increased soybean production
in the U.S. Increased demand for BBD feedstock could also be met
through diversion of increasing volumes of qualifying feedstocks (e.g.,
soybean oil and canola oil) from existing markets to produce renewable
diesel. Were this diversion to occur, non-qualifying feedstocks (e.g.,
palm oil or other virgin vegetable oils) could be used in larger
quantities in place of soybean and canola oil in food and oleochemical
markets. Diverting feedstocks from existing uses would be projected to
result in higher prices for these feedstocks, as biofuel producers
would have to outbid the current users of these feedstocks.
d. Imported BBD Feedstocks
In addition to processing domestic feedstocks such as distillers
corn oil and soybean oil, a number of domestic BBD producers produce
BBD from imported feedstocks. In recent years, and as multiple
stakeholders have noted to EPA, the market has seen a significant
increase in the quantity of imported BBD feedstocks. Imports of
feedstocks that are often considered wastes or by-products of other
industries, such as used cooking oil and tallow, have seen the greatest
increase in recent years. Figure III.B.2.d-1 shows total imports of
common BBD feedstocks through 2024. Figure III.B.2.d-2 shows the total
volumes of domestic BBD produced from domestic feedstocks, domestic BBD
produced from imported feedstocks, and imported BBD.
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P
[[Page 25802]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.004
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.005
There are several factors that have likely contributed to the
recent increases in imports of certain BBD feedstocks to the U.S. Three
key factors contributing to the increase in imported feedstocks are
increasing domestic demand for these feedstocks, increasing available
supply of these feedstocks in other countries, and the structure of
[[Page 25803]]
incentive programs for biofuels in the U.S. relative to other
countries' polices. As noted in Section III.B.2.b, the production
capacity for renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel has increased
rapidly and is expected to continue to grow in future years. As the
total production capacity for these fuels has grown, the demand for
feedstocks for renewable fuel production has grown along with the
production capacity. While some of this demand has been met by the
increasing production of domestic feedstocks, domestic feedstock
production has not grown as quickly as has the production capacity for
renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel. Renewable diesel and renewable
jet fuel producers have thus turned to imports to source the feedstocks
needed to support increased BBD production.
At the same time domestic demand for these feedstocks has been
increasing, the supply available to import from other countries has
also been increasing. For example, we project that production of canola
oil will increase in future years due to expanding canola crushing
capacity in Canada.\77\ Similar to the investments in soybean crushing
in the U.S., a number of companies have announced investment in
additional canola crushing capacity in Canada, and some of these
projects are already under construction. Increasing canola oil
production in Canada could provide an opportunity for domestic
renewable diesel producers to import canola oil for biofuel production.
We note that these parties will face competition for this feedstock
from Canadian biofuel producers as well as food and other non-biofuel
markets. For example, in 2023, Canada began implementing their Clean
Fuels Requirements, requiring that the carbon intensity of
transportation fuel decrease by 1.5 gCO2e/MJ per year each
year from 2023 to 2030.\78\ These regulations are expected to increase
demand for biofuels and biofuel feedstocks in Canada, and therefore
also impact the quantities of canola oil and other feedstocks available
for export to the U.S.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\77\ Some of the projected expansion in soybean crushing
capacity discussed in Section III.B.2.c is from facilities also
capable of crushing canola and other oilseeds. Domestic production
of canola is limited, however, and the majority of canola oil
supplied to biofuel producers through 2027 is expected to be
imported from Canada.
\78\ Government of Canada, ``What are the Clean Fuel
Regulations?'' July 7, 2022. https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/managing-pollution/energy-production/fuel-regulations/clean-fuel-regulations/about.html.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The incentives available in foreign countries to encourage the
production and use of BBD are also changing. In response to the
increase in the prices of energy and agricultural commodities caused by
the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, a number of
countries, including Croatia, Czech Republic, Finland, Latvia, Poland,
and Sweden, temporarily reduced biofuel mandates and/or the penalties
for not fulfilling the mandates.\79\ The reduction in demand from these
countries resulted in an increase in the available feedstock supply to
the U.S.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\79\ USDA, ``Biofuel Mandates in the EU by Member State--2024,''
June 27, 2024.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
At the same time, the European Union (EU) in recent years took
actions to discourage the importation of used cooking oil (UCO) and
biodiesel produced from UCO from China, which had previously been
supplied in significant volumes. On December 20, 2023, the EU announced
an anti-dumping investigation on biodiesel imported from China.\80\
This investigation resulted in provisional duties on biodiesel from
China sold in the EU, which were announced in July 2024.\81\ The anti-
dumping investigation and resulting fiscal duties on biodiesel imported
from China from the EU opened up an opportunity for increased exports
of UCO (the primary feedstock used to produce biodiesel in China
previously exported to the EU) from China to the U.S.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\80\ European Commission, ``European Commission to Examine
Allegations of Unfairly Traded Biodiesel from China,'' December 20,
2023. https://policy.trade.ec.europa.eu/news/european-commission-examine-allegations-unfairly-traded-biodiesel-china-2023-12-20_en.
\81\ Reuters, ``EU to Set Tariffs on Chinese Biodiesel in Anti-
Dumping Probe,'' July 19, 2024. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/eu-set-tariffs-chinese-biodiesel-imports-anti-dumping-probe-2024-07-19.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, incentive programs for biofuels in the U.S. have
contributed to the recent observed increases in biofuel feedstock
imports. State low carbon fuel standards or clean fuels programs, such
as California's LCFS, provide greater incentives for fuels with lower
carbon intensities. In general, fuels produced from wastes or by-
products such as UCO or tallow have lower carbon intensity values under
these programs and thus generate greater credits relative to virgin
vegetable oils such as soybean oil and canola oil. In recent years
additional States such as Oregon, Washington, and New Mexico have
adopted programs that similarly provide higher incentives for fuels
with lower carbon intensity.
While these State programs do not explicitly favor imported fuels
and/or feedstocks over domestic fuels and feedstocks, most of the
available waste and by-product feedstocks such as UCO and tallow
available in the U.S. are already being used for biofuel production.
The nature of these programs has likely played a role in biofuel
producers seeking to import UCO and tallow from foreign countries
rather than increasing their use of domestic soybean oil to maximize
their generation of credits under these programs.
Changes to the RFS program have also contributed to the observed
increase in feedstock imports. In December 2022, EPA approved generally
applicable pathways for certain fuels, including renewable diesel, that
are produced from qualifying canola oil.\82\ The ability for renewable
diesel producers to generate RINs for renewable diesel produced from
canola oil created a new demand for canola oil in the U.S.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\82\ 87 FR 73956 (December 2, 2022).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Together, the trends and policy factors described above
collectively contributed to increasing imports of BBD feedstocks since
2021. We discuss the impact of these dynamics, and a proposed response
to them in the RFS program, in Section VIII.
e. Summary
BBD (including biodiesel, renewable diesel, and renewable jet fuel)
has been the fastest growing category of renewable fuel in the RFS
program since 2021, with nearly all of the growth coming from renewable
diesel. While the domestic supply of BBD feedstocks continues to grow,
in recent years imported BBD and BBD produced from imported feedstocks
have accounted for an increasing share of the total supply of BBD. BBD
production capacity currently exceeds actual production and imports of
these fuels by a significant margin, and ongoing investment is expected
to result in significantly higher production capacity in future years,
particularly for renewable diesel and renewable jet fuel. Further,
because of the high blending rates for BBD in general and renewable
diesel in particular, the use of BBD in the U.S. is unlikely to be
constrained by limitations related to the ability to distribute these
fuels or consume them in existing and future diesel engines.
In the absence of constraints related to the production capacity
and the ability for the market to distribute and use BBD, the factors
most likely to have the largest impact on the quantity of BBD required
under the RFS program--in light of our analysis of the statutory
factors--is the availability of affordable qualifying feedstocks,
competition for those feedstocks for other uses, and competition for
them abroad. The
[[Page 25804]]
sources of the feedstocks used to produce BBD also indirectly impact
other factors, as the environmental and economic impacts of supplying
additional volumes of BBD to the U.S. differ depending on the
feedstocks used to produce the BBD and the likely alternative use of
those feedstocks. For example, the projected economic and environmental
impacts of increasing BBD production vary depending on whether the
feedstock used to produce the BBD was UCO that would not otherwise have
been collected, soybean oil from additional production and processing
of soybeans, or the diversion of feedstocks or biofuels that would
otherwise have been used in other countries.
In developing the volume scenarios for analysis in this action, we
have therefore not attempted to identify the absolute maximum quantity
of BBD that could be produced utilizing all potentially available
production capacity and used in the U.S. Instead, we have developed two
volume scenarios that reflect different growth rates for the quantity
of BBD used in the U.S. based on our projections of the potential
growth in available feedstocks. Both scenarios start with an updated
projection of the supply of BBD to the U.S. which reflects the expected
market conditions for 2025 based on the most recent available data at
the time these scenarios were developed.\83\ The low growth scenario
increases the supply of BBD by 500 million RINs each year, a quantity
approximately equal to our projection of the potential for growth in
waste and byproduct feedstocks such as UCO and tallow, primarily from
foreign sources. The high growth scenario increases the supply of BBD
by 1 billion RINs each year, a quantity approximately equal to our
projection of the potential growth for waste and byproduct feedstocks
(primarily imported) and potential growth in virgin vegetable oil
production that could be available to biofuel producers from the U.S.
and Canada. These two scenarios are summarized in Table III.B.2.e-1 (in
billion RINs) and III.B.e-2 (in billion gallons). More detail on the
development of these scenarios can be found in DRIA Chapters 3 and 6.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\83\ Note that the quantity of BBD expected to be supplied in
2025 based on the available data (7.91 billion RINs) is
significantly higher than the quantity of BBD projected to be used
in 2025 in the Set 1 Rule (6.88 billion RINs). See DRIA Chapter 7.2
for more detail on the projected BBD supply for 2025.
Table III.B.2.e-1--BBD Volume Scenarios
[Billion RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Growth........................ 7.91 8.41 8.91 9.41 9.91 10.41
High Growth....................... 7.91 8.91 9.91 10.91 11.91 12.91
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table III.B.2.e-2--BBD Volume Scenarios
[Billion gallons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Growth........................ 5.08 5.39 5.70 6.01 6.33 6.64
High Growth....................... 5.08 5.70 6.33 6.95 7.58 8.20
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Other Advanced Biofuel
In addition to BBD, other renewable fuels that qualify as advanced
biofuel have been consumed in the U.S. in the past and are expected to
contribute to compliance with applicable RFS volume requirements in the
future. These other advanced biofuels include imported sugarcane
ethanol, domestically produced advanced ethanol, RNG used in CNG/LNG
vehicles not produced from cellulosic biomass, and heating oil,
naphtha, and renewable diesel that does not qualify as BBD.\84\
However, these biofuels have been consumed in much smaller quantities
than biodiesel and renewable diesel in the past or have been highly
variable.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\84\ Renewable diesel produced through coprocessing vegetable
oils or animal fats with petroleum cannot be categorized as BBD but
remains advanced biofuel. 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To estimate the volumes of these other advanced biofuels that may
be available in 2026-2030, we used the same general methodology as in
the Set 1 Rule, which EPA originally presented in the Set 1 Rule. We
projected the supply of these other advanced biofuels by including data
on the supply of these fuels from 2023 (the most recent data available
at the time the volume scenarios were defined). This methodology
addresses the historical variability in these categories of advanced
biofuel while recognizing that consumption in more recent years is
likely to provide a better basis for making future projections than
consumption in earlier years. Specifically, we applied a weighting
scheme to historical volumes wherein the weighting was higher for more
recent years and lower for earlier years. The result of this approach
is shown in Table III.B.3-1. Details of the derivation of these
estimates can be found in RIA Chapter 5.4. As the available data varies
significantly from year to year, it does not allow us to identify an
upward or downward trend in the historical consumption of these other
advanced biofuels. Therefore, we have used the volumes in Table
III.B.3-1 for all years in the volume scenarios for analysis (i.e.,
2026-2030).
Table III.B.3-1--Estimate of Annual Consumption of Other Advanced (D5)
Biofuel
[Million RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fuel Volume
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Imported sugarcane ethanol........................... 58
Domestic ethanol..................................... 28
[[Page 25805]]
CNG/LNG.............................................. 6
Heating oil.......................................... 3
Naphtha \b\.......................................... 43
Renewable diesel \c\................................. 111
------------------
Total............................................ 249
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ This table does not include fuels that qualify as cellulosic biofuel
or BBD.
\b\ While renewable naphtha is generally a co-product of renewable
diesel production, the supply of renewable naphtha has not increased
in line with the observed increases in renewable diesel production.
\c\ Includes renewable diesel that is co-processed with petroleum, which
does not qualify as BBD.
4. Conventional Renewable Fuel
Conventional renewable fuel includes any renewable fuel that is
made from renewable biomass as defined in 40 CFR 80.1401, does not
qualify as advanced biofuel (including cellulosic biofuel and BBD), and
meets one of the following criteria:
Is demonstrated to achieve a minimum 20 percent reduction
in lifecycle GHG emissions in comparison to the gasoline or diesel
which it displaces; or
Is exempt (``grandfathered'') from the 20 percent minimum
GHG reduction requirement due to having been produced in a facility or
facility expansion that commenced construction on or before December
19, 2007, as described in 40 CFR 80.1403 and pursuant to CAA section
211(o)(2)(A)(i).
Under the statute, there is no volume requirement for conventional
renewable fuel. Instead, conventional renewable fuel may fill that
portion of the total renewable fuel volume requirement that is not
required to be advanced biofuel. In some cases, this portion of the
total renewable fuel requirement that can be met with conventional
renewable fuel is referred to as an ``implied'' volume requirement.
However, obligated parties are not required to comply with it per se,
since any portion of it can be met with advanced biofuel volumes
exceeding what is needed to meet the advanced biofuel volume
requirement.
To project volumes of conventional renewable fuel for 2026-2030, we
focused primarily on projecting volumes of corn ethanol consumed via
motor gasoline use across all gasoline blends with varying
concentrations of ethanol (i.e., E10, E15, E85). We also investigated
potential volumes of non-advanced biodiesel and renewable diesel.
a. Corn Ethanol
Ethanol made from corn starch has dominated the renewable fuels
market on a volume basis in the past and is expected to continue to do
so for the years addressed by this rulemaking.\85\ Corn starch ethanol
is prohibited by CAA section 211(i)(1)(B)(i) from being an advanced
biofuel regardless of its lifecycle GHG emissions performance in
comparison to gasoline.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\85\ Conventional ethanol from feedstocks other than corn starch
have been produced in the past, but at significantly lower volumes.
Production of ethanol from grain sorghum reached 125 million gallons
in 2019, representing just less than 1 percent of all conventional
ethanol in that year; grain sorghum ethanol in 2024 was only 46
million gallons. Waste industrial ethanol and ethanol made from non-
cellulosic portions of separated food waste have been produced more
sporadically and at even lower volumes. These other sources do not
materially affect our assessment of volumes of conventional ethanol
that can be produced.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total domestic corn ethanol production capacity increased
dramatically between 2005 and 2010 and increased at a slower rate
thereafter. As of early 2024, domestic corn ethanol production capacity
exceeded 18 billion gallons.86 87 Actual production of corn
ethanol in the U.S. was approximately 16.2 billion gallons in 2024, up
from approximately 15.6 billion gallons in 2023.\88\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\86\ Renewable Fuels Association, ``2024 Ethanol Industry
Outlook,'' February 19, 2024.
\87\ EIA, ``U.S. Fuel Ethanol Plant Production Capacity,''
Petroleum & Other Liquids, August 15, 2024. https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/ethanolcapacity.
\88\ EIA, ``Monthly Energy Review,'' Total Energy, March 2025.
https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/archive/00352503.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The expected annual rate of future commercial production of corn
ethanol will continue to be driven primarily by gasoline demand in
2026-2030, as most gasoline is expected to continue to contain 10
percent ethanol during this period. Commercial production of corn
ethanol is also a function of exports of ethanol and the demand for E0,
E15, and E85. There is evidence that some fuel retailers sell higher
volumes of E15 than E10, leveraging lower prices at the pump and
marketing higher-level ethanol blends to their customers as a cheaper
fuel option with only negligible effects on fuel economy (a 1-2 percent
reduction compared to E10). In addition to government incentives,
industry-led efforts such as Prime-the-Pump have enjoyed great success
in growing markets for higher ethanol gasoline blends by providing
technical and financial assistance to fuel retailers.\89\ Acknowledging
the potential for growth in these fuel markets, we have incorporated
projected growth in opportunities for sales of E15 and E85 blends into
our assessment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\89\ Transportation Energy Institute, ``The Case of E15,''
February 2018.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Despite this steady growth, there remains excess of production
capacity of ethanol and corn feedstock in comparison to the ethanol
volumes that we estimate will be consumed domestically during 2026-
2030, given constraints on U.S. ethanol consumption as described in
Section III.B.5. Thus, as was the case with the Set 1 Rule, we do not
expect production capacity to be a limiting factor for meeting the
volume scenarios analyzed in this action.
b. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel
Other than corn ethanol, the only other conventional renewable
fuels that have been used at significant levels in the U.S. in recent
years have been conventional biodiesel and renewable diesel.
Conventional biodiesel and renewable diesel are produced at facilities
grandfathered under 40 CFR 80.1403 because there are no currently valid
RIN-generating pathways for their production. Almost all conventional
biodiesel and renewable diesel historically used in the U.S. was
imported, with the only exceptions being less than 15 million gallons
per year produced domestically between 2014 and 2024. The use of
conventional biodiesel and renewable diesel did grow marginally in 2024
after a period of very low volume (less than 1 million gallons per year
from 2018-2022), though the overall supply remained negligible (less
than 0.1 percent of total biofuel supply
[[Page 25806]]
to the U.S.). While some sparse generation of D6 RINs \90\ for these
fuels have been observed in recent years, nearly all these RINs were
retired for being designated for use in any application other than
transportation fuel and therefore do not represent qualifying fuel
under the RFS program. As discussed in DRIA Chapter 7.7, there exists
much greater potential for domestic production and use of conventional
biodiesel and renewable diesel than has actually been supplied in prior
years, suggesting the use of these fuels in the U.S. is largely a
function of domestic demand versus other markets. While there exists
some potential for growth across the period covered by this proposed
rule, we are not projecting any increased volumes of these fuels will
be used in 2026-2030.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\90\ The D codes given for each component category are defined
in 40 CFR 80.1425(g). D codes are used to identify the statutory
categories that can be fulfilled with each component category
according to 40 CFR 80.1427(a)(2). D6 RINs satisfy only the
``renewable fuel'' category.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
5. Ethanol Consumption
Ethanol consumption in the U.S. is dominated by E10, with higher-
level ethanol blends such as E15 and E85 being used in much smaller
quantities. The total volume of ethanol that can be consumed--including
ethanol produced from corn, grain sorghum, cellulosic biomass, the non-
cellulosic portions of separated food waste, and sugarcane--is a
function of demand for these three ethanol blends and for E0. The
distribution of consumption for these different gasoline blends is best
reflected by measuring the observed poolwide ethanol concentration.
Ethanol concentration across the entire gasoline pool can exceed 10
percent only insofar as the incremental ethanol in E15 and E85 volumes
more than offsets the lack of ethanol in E0 volume. Poolwide ethanol
concentration increased dramatically from 2003 through 2010 and has
continued to grow more slowly since 2010. As the average ethanol
concentration approached and then exceeded 10 percent, the gasoline
pool became saturated with E10, with a small, likely stable volume of
E0 and small but gradually increasing volumes of E15 and E85. We expect
this trend to continue during 2026-2030.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.006
For this action, new volume data from USDA's Higher Blends
Infrastructure Incentive Program (HBIIP) \91\ and additional volume
data acquired directly from six States with high volumes of higher-
level ethanol blends (California, Kansas, Iowa, Minnesota, New York,
and North Dakota) has enabled a data-driven, bottom-up approach to
projecting ethanol volumes into the future that differs from the way
these projections were calculated in previous years.\92\ In the Set 1
Rule, we projected ethanol concentration in the national gasoline pool
using a least-squares regression model using then-current E15 and E85
fueling station population data.\93\ This was due to lack of data and a
subsequent inability to aggregate sales volumes by ethanol volume at
the retail fuel station level. Now, greater availability of sales
volume data from the six aforementioned States, HBIIP, and industry
partners has enabled an updated and simplified methodology for
producing the ethanol volume projections in this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\91\ USDA, ``Higher Blends Infrastructure Incentive Program,''
May 2023. https://www.rd.usda.gov/hbiip.
\92\ See DRIA Chapter 7.5.1 for more information on our
projections of ethanol concentration in the gasoline pool.
\93\ See ``Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) Program: Standards for
2023-2025 and Other Changes Regulatory Impact Analysis,'' EPA-420-R-
23-015, June 2023 (``RFS Set 1 RIA''), Chapter 7.5.1.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Using the average sales of each gasoline-ethanol blend per retail
fueling station, as well as updated station populations from DOE's
Alternative Fuels Data Center (AFDC) \94\ and the California Air
Resources Board (CARB) \95\ for 2021-2023, we produced
[[Page 25807]]
forecasts of expected growth in station counts and throughputs out to
2030 for each gasoline-ethanol blend other than E10. We then used these
forecasts to project the total fuel volume for these gasoline-ethanol
blends (E0, E15, and E85) for 2026-2030 using the following relation:
for gasoline-ethanol blends at each concentration, the total fuel
volume consumed in any given year is equal to the product of the number
of retail fueling stations offering that blend for sale and the volume
of that fuel blend sold at a fueling station (i.e., throughput) on
average during that year. Finally, we projected E10 as the remainder of
the gasoline pool, after accounting for the projected volumes of E0,
E15, and E85.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\94\ AFDC, ``Historical Alternative Fueling Station Counts.''
https://afdc.energy.gov/stations/states.
\95\ CARB, ``Annual E85 Volumes,'' April 11, 2025.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total ethanol consumption is the sum of ethanol blended with
gasoline (E0) to create E10, E15, and E85.\96\ The ethanol portion of
the projected total consumption for each fuel blend (i.e., total
ethanol consumption) is shown in Table III.B.5-1. While we project that
the ethanol concentration in the gasoline pool will increase in future
years, total ethanol consumption is projected to decrease due to
decreases in total gasoline consumption in future years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\96\ See DRIA Chapter 7.5.1 for a more comprehensive discussion
of the methodology employed to produce the total ethanol consumption
projection.
Table III.B.5-1--Projected Ethanol Concentration and Consumption
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Projected ethanol Projected ethanol consumption
Year concentration (%) (million gallons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026............................................... 10.54 13,993
2027............................................... 10.58 13,871
2028............................................... 10.60 13,724
2029............................................... 10.67 13,558
2030............................................... 10.71 13,377
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Volume Scenarios for 2026-2030
Based on the analyses described in Section III.B, we developed two
different volume scenarios for 2026-2030 that we then used to analyze
the expected impacts of the statutory factors. This section describes
the volume scenarios, while Section IV summarizes the results of the
analyses we performed. The volumes we are proposing in this action
based on the analysis of the statutory factors are described in Section
V.
Both of the volume scenarios developed for this action represent
growth in the advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel categories
relative to the volume of these fuels we expect to be supplied in 2025.
Further, both scenarios are identical in the quantities of cellulosic
biofuel, advanced biofuel other than BBD, and conventional renewable
fuel we project will be supplied. Where the scenarios differ is in the
quantity of BBD we project will be supplied in each year. Throughout
this action we refer to these two scenarios as the Low Volume Scenario
and the High Volume Scenario (or collectively, ``the Volume
Scenarios''), though we note that even the Low Volume Scenario
represents an annual growth rate of 500 million RINs per year of BBD.
In developing the Volume Scenarios, we have considered the implied
volumes for each component category of renewable fuel (cellulosic
biofuel, non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, and conventional renewable
fuel) in the statutory tables through 2022. While these volumes are not
binding on the volume requirements in future years, they do provide an
indication of statutory intent. We also considered the statutory intent
of the RFS program to increase renewable fuel volumes over time, along
with other factors enumerated in the statute to inform the proposed
volumes.
Given the nested nature of the statutory renewable fuel categories,
we have largely framed our assessment of volumes in terms of the
component categories rather than in terms of the statutory categories
(cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, total renewable fuel). The
statutory categories are those addressed in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(i)-(iii), and cellulosic and advanced biofuel are nested
within the overall total renewable fuel category. The component
categories are the categories of renewable fuels that make up the
statutory categories, but which are not nested within one another. They
possess distinct economic, environmental, technological, and other
characteristics relevant to the factors we must analyze under the
statute, making our focus on them rather than the nested categories in
the statute technically sound. Finally, an analysis of the component
categories is equivalent to analyzing the statutory categories, since
doing so would effectively require us to evaluate the difference
between various statutory categories (e.g., assessing ``the difference
between volumes of advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel'' instead
of assessing ``the volume of conventional renewable fuel''), adding
unnecessary complexity to our analysis. In any event, were we to frame
our analysis in terms of the statutory categories, we believe that our
substantive approach and conclusions would remain materially the same.
1. Cellulosic Biofuel
In determining the cellulosic biofuel volume scenario, we started
by considering the statutory volume targets for 2010-2022. The
statutory volumes for cellulosic biofuel increased rapidly, from 100
million gallons in 2010 to 16 billion gallons in 2022 with the largest
increases in the later years. While notable on its own, it is even more
notable in comparison to the implied statutory volumes for the other
renewable fuel volumes. Statutory BBD volumes did not increase after
2012, implied conventional renewable fuel volumes did not increase
after 2015, and non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume increases
tapered off in recent years with a final increment in 2022. Thus, the
clear focus of the statute, and CAA section 211(o)(1)(E) in particular,
by 2022 was on growth in cellulosic biofuel volumes, which have the
greatest GHG reduction threshold requirement in the statute.\97\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\97\ Cf. CAA section 211(o)(1)(B)(i), (D), (2)(A)(i). See also
definition of ``cellulosic biofuel'' in 40 CFR 80.2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
This increasing emphasis in the statute on cellulosic biofuel over
time is likely due to some or all of the following factors:
Expectations that cellulosic biofuel has significant
potential to reduce GHG emissions (cellulosic biofuels are required to
reduce GHG emissions by 60
[[Page 25808]]
percent relative to the gasoline or diesel fuel they displace);
That cellulosic biofuel feedstocks could be produced or
collected with relatively few negative environmental impacts;
That the feedstocks would be comparable or cheaper in cost
relative to other fuel feedstocks, allowing for lower cost biofuels to
be produced than those produced from feedstocks without other primary
uses such as food; and
That the technological breakthroughs needed to convert
cellulosic feedstocks into biofuel were likely imminent.
As discussed in Section II.C, CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) requires
that EPA determine the cellulosic biofuel volume requirement such that
EPA will not need to waive the volumes under CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).
The cellulosic biofuel volumes are the same for both the Low and
High Volume Scenarios and represent the projected amount of qualifying
biofuel expected to be used as transportation fuel in the U.S. for
2026-2030, accounting for incentives provided by the RFS program and
other state and federal programs. The cellulosic biofuel volume
scenario for 2026-2030 is shown in Table III.C.1-1. Because the
technical, economic, and regulatory challenges related to cellulosic
biofuel production vary significantly between the various types of
cellulosic biofuel, we have shown the volumes for ethanol from corn
kernel fiber and CNG/LNG derived from biogas separately.
Table III.C.1-1--Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Scenario
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RNG use as CNG/LNG.............. 1,174 1,239 1,309 1,384 1,464
Ethanol from CKF................ 124 123 122 120 119
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total cellulosic biofuel.... 1,298 1,362 1,431 1,504 1,583
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
Although there are no volume targets in the statute for years after
2022, the statutory volume targets for prior years represent a useful
point of reference in the consideration of volumes that may be
appropriate for 2026-2030. For non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, the
implied statutory requirement in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B) increased in
every year between 2009 and 2019. It then remained at 4.5 billion
gallons for three years before finally rising to 5.0 billion gallons in
2022. In the Set 1 Rule, EPA further increased the implied volume of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel over the course of three years to a
total of 5.95 billion RINs in 2025. However, the market has
outperformed these standards to date primarily through higher than
anticipated imports of non-cellulosic advanced biofuels and their
feedstocks. In recognition of this, the volumes for non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel in the Volume Scenarios are higher than the non-
cellulosic biofuel volumes in the Set 1 Rule, starting with an updated
projection of supply for 2025.
For 2026-2030, we anticipate that a key factor in the growth in the
production of advanced biodiesel and renewable diesel (the two non-
cellulosic advanced biofuels projected to be available in the greatest
quantities through 2030) will be the availability of feedstocks as
discussed in Section III.B.2. In light of the significant uncertainties
related to the supply of qualifying feedstock in these years, we
developed two scenarios for the potential supply of advanced biodiesel
and renewable diesel: a low growth scenario and a high growth scenario.
These two volume scenarios, when combined with our projection of the
available supply of other advanced biofuels discussed in Section
III.B.3, are the bases for the two non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
volume scenarios that differentiate the Low Volume Scenario from the
High Volume Scenario.
Table III.C.2-1--Total Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel Volume Scenarios
[Billion RINs]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2025 (Set 2025
1) \a\ (Proj.) \b\ 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Volume Scenario
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BBD............................................................... 6.88 7.91 8.41 8.91 9.41 9.91 10.41
Other advanced biofuel............................................ 0.29 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total con-cellulosic advanced biofuel......................... 7.17 8.16 8.66 9.16 9.66 10.16 10.66
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
High Volume Scenario
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BBD............................................................... 6.88 7.91 8.91 9.91 10.91 11.91 12.91
Other advanced biofuel............................................ 0.29 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total con-cellulosic advanced biofuel......................... 7.17 8.16 9.16 10.16 11.16 12.16 13.16
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Volumes of BBD and other advanced biofuels projected to be used to meet the RFS volume requirements in the Set 1 Rule
\b\ Volumes of BBD and other advanced biofuels projected to be used in 2025 based on data available through May 2024.
[[Page 25809]]
3. Conventional Renewable Fuel
The conventional renewable fuel volume scenario represents the
volume of these fuels we project would be supplied to the market when
considering the incentives that could be available through the RFS
program and other state and national incentives. Since the supply of
ethanol is projected to be limited by the ability for the market to
consume ethanol in gasoline blends, the supply of conventional ethanol
from 2026-2030 can be estimated from the total ethanol consumption
projections from Table III.B.5-1 and our projections for other forms of
ethanol as discussed earlier in this section. Our projected volumes of
ethanol consumption are presented in Table III.C.3-1. We do not
currently project that non-ethanol conventional renewable fuels will be
supplied to the U.S. under the RFS program in 2026-2030.
Table III.C.3-1--Ethanol Consumption Volume Scenario
[Million gallons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic ethanol.............. 126 125 124 122 120
Imported sugarcane ethanol...... 58 58 58 58 58
Domestic advanced ethanol....... 28 28 28 28 28
Conventional ethanol............ 13,781 13,660 13,514 13,350 13,170
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total ethanol consumption... 13,993 13,871 13,724 13,558 13,377
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4. Summary
Many of the factors we are statutorily obligated to analyze under
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) when setting volume standards for the RFS
program are difficult to analyze in the abstract, particularly those
related to economic and environmental impacts. For this reason, we
opted to develop volume scenarios to analyze for each category of
renewable fuel, which are summarized in Tables III.C.4-1 and 2. Note
that neither of these volume scenarios include the impacts of the
proposed import RIN reduction provisions described in Section VIII.
Table III.C.4-1--Low Volume Scenario
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... 1,298 1,362 1,431 1,504 1,583
Biomass-based diesel (D4)....... 8,410 8,910 9,410 9,910 10,410
Other advanced biofuel (D5)..... 249 249 249 249 249
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) 13,783 13,662 13,516 13,352 13,172
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table III.C.4-2--High Volume Scenario
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... 1,298 1,362 1,431 1,504 1,583
Biomass-based diesel (D4)....... 8,910 9,910 10,910 11,910 12,910
Other advanced biofuel (D5)..... 249 249 249 249 249
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) 13,783 13,662 13,516 13,352 13,172
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To inform the volumes we are proposing for 2026 and 2027, we
analyzed these volume scenarios according to the factors required under
the statute in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii). A summary of several of
these analyses is described in Section IV and discussed in greater
detail in the DRIA. Details of the individual biofuel types and
feedstocks that make up these volume scenarios are provided in the DRIA
Chapter 3. In Section V, we discuss the proposed volume requirements
based on a consideration of all the factors that we analyzed.
D. Baselines
To estimate the impacts of the Volume Scenarios, we must identify
an appropriate baseline(s). The baseline reflects the use of renewable
fuels absent the proposed action or RFS program (i.e., the alternative
collection of biofuel volumes by feedstock, production process (where
appropriate), biofuel type, and use that would be anticipated to occur
after 2025 in the absence of proposed standards), and acts as the point
of reference for assessing the impacts. To this end, we have developed
a ``No RFS'' scenario that we used as the baseline for analytical
purposes (hereafter the ``No RFS Baseline''), which reflects a world
without the RFS program. Many of the same supply-related factors that
we used to develop the Volume Scenarios were also relevant in
developing the No RFS Baseline.
We also consider a 2025 baseline that in some cases may be more
informative in understanding the impacts of the Volume Scenarios
relative to the status quo. We further discuss alternative baselines to
describe our reasoning for the public and interested stakeholders, and
because we understand there are differing, informative baselines that
could be used in this type of analysis.
1. No RFS Baseline
Broadly speaking, the RFS program is designed to increase the use
of renewable fuels in the transportation sector beyond what would occur
in the absence of the program. It is
[[Page 25810]]
appropriate, therefore, to use a scenario representing what would occur
if the RFS program did not continue to exist as the baseline for
estimating the costs and impacts of the Volume Scenarios. Such a ``No
RFS'' baseline is consistent with the Office of Management and Budget's
Circular A-4, which says that the appropriate baseline would normally
``be a `no action' baseline: what the world will be like if the
proposed rule is not adopted.'' \98\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\98\ Office Management and Budget, ``Circular A-4,'' September
17, 2003.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Importantly, a ``No RFS'' baseline would not be equivalent to a
market scenario wherein no renewable fuels were used at all. Prior to
the RFS program, both biodiesel and ethanol were used in the
transportation sector, whether due to state or local incentives, tax
credits, or a price advantage over conventional petroleum-based
gasoline and diesel. This same situation would exist in 2026-20230 in
the absence of the RFS program. Federal, State, and local tax credits,
incentives, and support payments will continue to be in place for these
fuels, as well as State programs such as blending mandates and LCFS
programs. Furthermore, now that capital investments in renewable fuels
have been made and markets have been oriented towards their use, there
are strong incentives in place for continuing their use even if the RFS
program were to disappear. As a result, it would be improper and
inaccurate to attribute all use of renewable fuel in 2026-2030 to the
applicable standards under the RFS program.
To inform our assessment of the volume of renewable fuels that
would be used in the absence of the RFS program for the years 2026-
2030, we began by analyzing the trends in the economics for renewable
fuels blending in prior years. Assessing these trends is important
because the economics for blending renewable fuels changes from year to
year based on renewable fuel feedstock and petroleum product prices and
other factors that affect the relative economics for blending renewable
fuels into petroleum-based transportation fuels. A renewable fuel
facility investor and the financiers who fund their projects will
review the historical (e.g., did they lose money in a previous year),
current, and perceived future economics of the renewable fuel market
when deciding whether to continue to operate their renewable fuel
facilities, and our analysis attempted to account for these factors.
The No RFS Baseline economic analysis for 2026-2030 compares the
projected renewable fuel cost with the projected cost for the fossil
fuel it displaces, at the point that the renewable fuel is blended with
the fossil fuel, to assess whether the renewable fuel provides an
economic advantage to blenders. The comparison is performed at the
point that the renewable fuel is blended with the fossil fuel to assess
whether the renewable fuel provides an economic advantage to blenders.
If the renewable fuel is lower cost than the fossil fuel it displaces,
it is assumed that the renewable fuel would be used absent the RFS
program (within the constraints described below). The No RFS Baseline
economic analysis that we conducted mirrors the cost analysis described
in Section IV.C, but there are several differences. The primary
difference is that the No RFS Baseline economic analysis was conducted
from the fuels industry's perspective, whether they would find it
economically advantageous to blend renewable fuel into petroleum fuel
in the absence of the RFS program. Conversely, the social cost analysis
reflects the overall cost impacts on society at large.\99\ A primary
example of a social cost not considered for the No RFS Baseline
economic analysis is the fuel economy effect due to the lower energy
density of the renewable fuel, as this cost is generally borne by
consumers, not the fuels industry. Other ways that the No RFS Baseline
economic analysis is different from the social cost analysis include:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\99\ See Section IV.C and DRIA Chapter 10 for descriptions of
the social cost analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the context of assessing production costs, we amortized
the capital costs at a higher rate of return more typical for industry
investment instead of the rate of return used for social costs.
We assessed renewable fuel distribution costs to the point
where it is blended into petroleum fuel, not all the way to the point
of use, which is necessary for estimating the fuel economy cost.\100\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\100\ For several renewable fuels (e.g., ethanol blended as E10,
biodiesel, and renewable diesel), the fuel economy cost is paid by
the consumer. Because it is the fuels industry (i.e., refiners,
terminals, and retailers) that decides whether to blend renewable
fuels into petroleum fuels, they are only concerned about the
relative cost at the point in which the renewable fuel is blended
into the petroleum fuel, not the costs downstream of that blending
point.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While we generally do not account for the fuel economy
disadvantage of most renewable fuels for the No RFS Baseline economic
analysis, the exception is E85 where the lower fuel economy of using
E85 is so obvious to vehicle owners that they demand a lower price to
make up for this loss of fuel economy. As a result, retailers must
price E85 lower than the primary alternative E10 to account for this
bias and they must consider this in their decisions to blend and sell
E85.\101\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\101\ See DRIA Chapter 2 for further discussion of this topic.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To estimate the relative cost of a renewable fuel compared to the
fossil fuel being displaced, we considered several different cost
components (i.e., production cost, distribution cost, any blending
cost, retail cost) together to reflect the relative cost of each
renewable fuel to its respective fossil fuel. We also considered any
applicable federal or state programs, incentives, or subsidies that
could reduce the apparent blending cost of the renewable fuel at the
terminal, including the 45Z credit. The exact amount of credit under
45Z is more variable and depends on a range of factors. However,
generally speaking, the amount of credit that fuel producers are able
to claim under 45Z is less than the previous $1 per gallon credit that
biodiesel and renewable diesel producers were able to claim under
40A.\102\ In the case of higher ethanol blends, the retail cost
associated with the equipment or use of compatible materials needed to
enable the sale of these newer fuels is assumed to be reduced by 50
percent due to the HBIIP program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\102\ See DRIA Chapter 1 for a further discussion of the 45Z tax
credit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition, there are a number of State programs that create
subsidies for biodiesel and renewable diesel fuel, the largest being
offered by California and Oregon through their LCFS programs.\103\ We
accounted for State and local biodiesel mandates by including their
mandated volume regardless of the economics. Several States offer tax
credits for blending ethanol at 10 percent. Other States offer tax
credits for E85, of which the largest is New York. We are not aware of
any State tax credits or subsidies for E15.\104\ To account for the
various State assumptions, it was necessary to model the cost of using
these biofuels on a State-by-State basis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\103\ At the time the analysis for the No RFS Baseline was
completed, there was insufficient data to project the impacts of
LCFS programs in New Mexico on biofuel consumption in these states
in the absence of the RFS program.
\104\ In light of the fluid situation with respect to a 1-psi
RVP waiver for E15 or actions to remove the 1-psi wavier for E10 in
eight midwestern states, our analysis did not specifically assume
either of these potential changes. These assumptions can affect the
relative cost of E15; however, adopting these assumptions would not
have impacted the overall conclusions with respect to blending E15
in the absence of the RFS program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For most renewable fuels, the economic analysis provided consistent
results, indicating that they are either
[[Page 25811]]
economical in all years or are not economical in any year. However,
this was not true for biodiesel and renewable diesel, where the results
varied from year to year. Such swings in the economic attractiveness of
biodiesel and renewable diesel confound efforts on the part of
investors to project future returns on their investments to determine
whether to continue to operate their facilities, or shutdown. Thus, to
smooth out the swings in the economics for using biodiesel and
renewable diesel and look at it the way facility operators and their
investors would have in the absence of the RFS program, we made two key
assumptions. First, the economics for biodiesel and renewable diesel
were modeled starting in 2009 and the trend in its use was made
dependent on the relative economics in comparison to petroleum diesel
over distinct four-year periods. As a result, the first four-year
period modeled the costs over 2009-2012 to estimate the volume of
biodiesel and renewable diesel that would be used in 2012 in the
absence of the RFS program. Second, the estimated biodiesel and
renewable diesel volumes were limited in the analysis to no greater
volume than what occurred under the RFS program in any year, since the
existence of the RFS program would be expected to create a much greater
incentive for using these fuels than if the RFS program was not in
place.
We also conducted an economic analysis for cellulosic biofuels,
including cellulosic ethanol, corn kernel fiber ethanol, and biogas.
Since the volumes of these biofuels were much smaller, a more
generalized approach was used in lieu of the detailed state-by-state
analysis conducted for corn ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable diesel
fuel.
The No RFS Baseline for 2026-2030 is summarized in Table III.D.1-
1.\105\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\105\ See DRIA Chapter 2 for a more complete description of the
No RFS Baseline and its derivation.
Table III.D.1-1--No RFS Baseline
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... 582 619 659 702 749
Biomass-based diesel (D4)....... 3,156 3,310 3,429 3,614 3,753
Other advanced biofuel (D5)..... 197 197 197 197 197
Conventional renewable fuel (D6) 13,571 13,434 13,278 13,099 12,906
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Our analysis shows that conventional ethanol is economical to use
in 10 percent blends (E10) without the presence of the RFS program.
Conversely, higher-level ethanol blends are only partially economic
without the RFS program. E85 is economic in some of the years before,
during, and after the years 2026-2030 in the State of California; \106\
thus, we assumed that E85 would be consumed in California without the
RFS program.\107\ While E85 is economic in New York, which offers a
large E85 blending subsidy, the volume of E85 sold in New York is very
small even with the RFS program in place; therefore, we ignored E85
sales in New York. Conversely E15 is not economic without the RFS
program due to the high cost associated with the equipment needed to be
installed at retail stations, even if these costs are partially
subsidized by government funding, and the lack of octane blending
value. Some volume of biodiesel is estimated to be blended based on
state mandates in the absence of the RFS program, and some additional
volume of both biodiesel and renewable diesel is estimated to be
economical to use without the RFS program, particularly in California
and Oregon due to the LCFS incentives. The volumes of CNG from biogas
and imported sugarcane ethanol are projected to be consumed in
California due to the economic support provided by their LCFS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\106\ Our analysis indicated that E85 was also economic compared
to gasoline in Oregon; however, because there are only five stations
offering E85 in Oregon, we did not include E85 sold in Oregon in the
No RFS Baseline.
\107\ Since E85 is borderline economic in California in the No
RFS Baseline when we do not assume any increase in California's LCFS
credit, a likely increase in the LCFS credit under the No RFS
Baseline increases the certainty that E85 would be economic.
Additionally, we did not consider the possibility that cellulosic
ethanol, which receives a larger LCFS credit, could be used to
produce E85 and may be more economic than corn ethanol.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. 2025 Baseline
The applicable volume requirements established for one year under
the RFS program do not roll over automatically to the next, nor do the
volume requirements that apply in one year become the default volume
requirements for the following year in the event that no volume
requirements are set for that following year. Nevertheless, the volume
requirements established for the previous year represent the most
recent set of volume requirements that the market was required to meet.
Since the previous year's volume requirements represent the
starting point for any adjustments that the market may need to make to
meet the next year's volume requirements, they represent another
informational baseline for comparison. For this reason, in previous RFS
annual standard-setting rulemakings we have used previous year
standards as a baseline against which to compare the projected impacts
of the proposed volumes and are also doing so here in addition to the
No RFS Baseline for some of the factors (e.g., the cost of this
action). We note that in developing the proposed volume requirements in
this action, we considered updated projections of biofuel production in
2025, which are significantly higher than the 2025 Baseline shown below
that is used as a point of comparison in some of our analyses.
The 2025 volume requirements were finalized in the Set 1 Rule and
the volumes we projected to be used to satisfy these requirements are
shown in Table III.D.3-1.\108\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\108\ More details on the 2025 Baseline can be found in DRIA
Chapter 2.
[[Page 25812]]
Table III.D.3-1--2025 Baseline
[Million RINs]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Volume
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7)......................... 1,376
Biomass-based diesel (D4)............................ 6,881
Other advanced biofuel (D5).......................... 290
Conventional renewable fuel (D6)..................... 13,939
------------------------------------------------------------------------
E. Volume Changes Analyzed
In general, our analysis of the impacts of the Volume Scenarios was
based on the differences between the No RFS Baseline and our assessment
of how the market would respond to the Low and High Volume Scenarios.
Those differences are shown in Tables III.E-1 and 2.\109\ Note that
this approach is squarely focused on the differences in volumes between
the No RFS Baseline and the Volume Scenarios; our analysis does not, in
other words, assess impacts from total renewable fuel use in the U.S.
As noted above, we also consider the impacts of this action relative to
the 2025 Baseline for some of our analyses. The changes in renewable
fuel consumption relative to the 2025 Baseline are shown in in Tables
III.E-3 and 4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\109\ See DRIA Chapter 2 for more details of this assessment,
including a more precise breakout of those differences.
Table III.E-1--Changes in Renewable Fuel Consumption--Low Volume Scenario vs. No RFS Baseline
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... 716 743 772 802 834
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4)....... 5,255 5,600 5,981 6,297 6,658
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5)..... 52 52 52 52 52
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) 212 228 238 252 266
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table III.E-2--Changes in Renewable Fuel Consumption--High Volume Scenario vs. No RFS Baseline
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... 716 743 772 802 834
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4)....... 5,755 6,600 7,481 8,297 9,158
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5)..... 52 52 52 52 52
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) 212 228 238 252 266
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table III.E-3--Changes in Renewable Fuel Consumption--Low Volume Scenario vs 2025 Baseline
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... -78 -14 55 128 207
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4)....... 1,529 2,029 2,529 3,029 3,529
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5)..... -41 -41 -41 -41 -41
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) -156 -277 -423 -587 -767
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table III.E-4.--Changes in Renewable Fuel Consumption--High Volume Scenario vs. 2025 Baseline
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel (D3 & D7).... -78 -14 55 128 207
Biomass-Based Diesel (D4)....... 2,029 3,029 4,029 5,029 6,029
Other Advanced Biofuel (D5)..... -41 -41 -41 -41 -41
Conventional Renewable Fuel (D6) -156 -277 -423 -587 -767
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
IV. Analysis of Volume Scenarios
As described in Section II.B, the statute specifies a number of
factors that EPA must analyze in making a determination of the
appropriate volume requirements to establish for years after 2022 (and
for BBD, years after 2012).\110\ In this section, we provide a summary
of the analysis of a selection of factors, including climate change,
energy security, costs, employment, and economic impacts for
[[Page 25813]]
the Volume Scenarios, along with some implications of those analyses.
We provide a summary of our consideration of all factors in determining
the proposed volume requirements in Section V.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\110\ A full description of the analysis for all factors is
provided in the DRIA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A. Energy Security
Changes in the required volumes of renewable fuel can affect the
financial and security-related risks associated with U.S. trade in
crude oil and petroleum products, including both imports and exports
(hereafter referred to collectively as ``net petroleum imports''),
which, in turn, would have a direct impact on the national energy
security of the U.S. Likewise, the required volumes of renewable fuel
may lead to changes in imports and exports of renewable fuels and
renewable fuel feedstocks that can also impact U.S. energy security.
U.S. energy security is often defined as the continued availability
of energy sources at an acceptable price.\111\ Energy independence can
be achieved by reducing the sensitivity or reliance of an economy to
energy imports and foreign energy markets to the point where the costs
of depending on foreign energy are so small that they have minimal
effects on economic, military, or foreign policies.\112\ A central goal
of U.S. energy policy for decades has been to lower U.S. oil imports
and, thus, become less reliant on foreign oil suppliers. Similarly, as
described in Section VIII, we are also proposing to reduce the number
of RINs generated for imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks, which is intended to reduce America's
reliance on such fuels in future years consistent with the statutory
goals of energy security and independence.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\111\ IEA, ``Energy Security.'' https://www.iea.org/topics/energy-security.
\112\ Greene, David L. ``Measuring Energy Security: Can the
United States Achieve Oil Independence?'' Energy Policy 38, no. 4
(March 7, 2009): 1614-21. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.01.041.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The U.S. has witnessed a significant change in its exposure to the
world oil market since the initiation of the RFS2 program in 2010,
which has implications for U.S. energy security. In 2010, U.S. net
imports of petroleum were roughly 9.4 million barrels a day
(MMBD).\113\ However, over the past decade, mainly as a result of the
increased domestic production of oil, particularly ``tight'' (i.e.,
shale) oil, as well as increases in renewable fuels, the U.S. has
gradually shifted from a large net petroleum importer to a modest net
petroleum exporter.\114\ By 2023, U.S. net petroleum exports were
roughly 1.7 MMBD of petroleum.\115\ For 2026-2030, EIA anticipates that
the U.S. will continue the long-term shift from being a large net
petroleum importer, as it was in the 2010 decade, to a modest net
petroleum exporter of roughly 2.4 MMBD.\116\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\113\ EIA, ``Oil imports and exports,'' Oil and petroleum
products explained, January 19, 2024. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/imports-and-exports.php.
\114\ EIA, ``Where our oil comes from,'' Oil and petroleum
products explained, June 11, 2024. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/oil-and-petroleum-products/where-our-oil-comes-from-in-depth.php.
\115\ EIA, ``U.S. Net Imports of Crude Oil and Petroleum
Products,'' Petroleum & Other Liquids, May 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mttntus2&f=a.
\116\ AEO2023, Table 11--Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and
Disposition.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In recent years, however, a substantial quantity of imports of
renewable fuels and renewable fuel feedstocks have been used to meet
the RFS volume obligations. In particular, there has been a recent
expansion of imports of BBD feedstocks since 2021, as can be seen in
Figure III.B.2.d-2. This shift, which has been driven by a confluence
of factors (as discussed in Section III.B.2), can have implications for
the U.S.'s energy security and energy independence.
Despite the long-term shift in the U.S.'s net petroleum trade
position, energy security risks remain for the U.S. There are three
main reasons why energy security is still a concern. First, oil and
renewable fuels and renewable fuel feedstocks are globally traded
commodities. As a result, price shocks for these commodities can be
transmitted globally even if a country is a net exporter of a
commodity. For example, since the U.S. is a large consumer of oil, an
oil price shock would raise the price of oil and oil products and could
cause broad adverse effects on the economy, even though the U.S. is an
overall net petroleum exporter. Second, many U.S. refineries rely
significantly or exclusively on imports of heavy crude oil, which could
be subject to international supply disruptions. In 2024, gross
petroleum imports totaled roughly 8.4 MMBD.\117\ Likewise, there has
been an expansion in imported feedstocks for BBD in recent years.
Third, oil exporters with a large share of global production can raise
or lower the price of oil by exerting their market power through the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to alter oil
supply relative to demand. All three of the factors listed above
contribute to the vulnerability of the U.S. economy to episodic fuel
supply shocks and price spikes, even though EIA projects the U.S. will
continue to be a net petroleum exporter through 2026-2030.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\117\ EIA, ``U.S. Supply and Disposition,'' Petroleum & Other
Liquids, May 30, 2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_snd_d_nus_mbblpd_a_cur.htm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Oil markets can be subject to episodic periods of price instability
due to world oil market disruptions. The most recent world oil price
shock started in the beginning of 2022, when world oil prices and price
volatility rose fairly rapidly, in large part as a response to oil
supply concerns with Russia's invasion of Ukraine beginning on February
24, 2022.\118\ For example, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil
price rose from roughly $76 per barrel on January 3, 2022, to roughly
$124 per barrel on March 8, 2022, a 63 percent increase.\119\
Conversely, by September 9, 2024, the WTI crude oil price had fallen
back to $70/barrel, a somewhat lower price than before the Russian
invasion of Ukraine.\120\ Oil prices at present are relatively low
mainly because of projected slowdown in world oil demand growth,
particularly in China.\121\ Crude oil prices (i.e., the WTI crude oil
price) are projected to be mostly flat over 2026-2027, in the $85-86
per barrel (2022$) range.\122\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\118\ EIA, ``Crude oil prices increased in first-half 2022 and
declined in second-half 2022,'' Today in Energy, January 4, 2023.
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55079.
\119\ EIA, ``Spot Prices,'' Petroleum & Other Liquids, May 14,
2025. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm.
\120\ Id.
\121\ EIA, ``Short-Term Energy Outlook,'' September 2024.
https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/archives/sep24.pdf.
\122\ AEO2023, Table 12--Petroleum and Other Liquids Prices.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA has worked with Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to
understand the energy security implications of reducing U.S. net
petroleum imports and, more generally, exposure of the U.S. economy to
global oil markets. ORNL has developed approaches for evaluating the
social costs/impacts and energy security implications of oil imports,
labeled the ``oil import premium'' or ``oil security premium.'' ORNL's
methodology estimates two distinct costs/impacts of importing petroleum
into the U.S., in addition to the purchase price of petroleum itself:
(1) The risk of reductions in U.S. economic output and disruption to
the U.S. economy caused by sudden disruptions in the supply of imported
oil to the U.S. (i.e., the macroeconomic disruption/adjustment costs);
and (2) The impacts that changes in U.S. net oil imports have on
overall U.S. oil demand and subsequent
[[Page 25814]]
changes in the world oil price (i.e., the ``demand'' or ``monopsony''
impacts).\123\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\123\ Monopsony impacts stem from changes in the demand for
imported oil, which changes the price of all imported oil.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As has been the case for past RFS rulemakings, we consider the
monopsony impacts estimated by the ORNL methodology to be a transfer
payment, and thus exclude it from the estimated quantified benefits of
the Volume Scenarios.\124\ Thus, we only consider the macroeconomic
disruption/adjustment cost component of the net oil import premiums
(i.e., labeled ``macroeconomic oil security premiums'' below) estimated
using ORNL's methodology.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\124\ See DRIA Chapter 6.4.2 for more discussion of EPA's
assessment of monopsony impacts of this action. Also, for a
discussion of monopsony oil security premiums, see, e.g., EPA,
``Revised 2023 and Later Model Year Light Duty Vehicle GHG Emissions
Standards: Regulatory Impact Analysis,'' EPA-420-R-21-028, December
2021, Section 3.2.5.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For this action, EPA and ORNL have worked together to revise the
U.S. oil import premiums based upon recent energy security literature
and oil price projections and energy market and economic trends from
AEO2023.\125\ EPA and ORNL have continuously updated oil import premium
estimates to account for increasing domestic shale oil production, as
well as other evolving U.S. and world oil market trends, since the RFS2
Rule in 2010. We do not consider military cost impacts from reduced oil
use from the Volume Scenarios due to methodological issues in
quantifying these impacts.\126\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\125\ See DRIA Chapter 6.4.2 for how the macroeconomic oil
security premiums have been updated based upon a review of recent
energy security literature on this topic.
\126\ See DRIA Chapter 6.3 for a discussion of the difficulties
in quantifying military cost impacts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To calculate the energy security benefits of the Volume Scenarios,
we are using the ORNL macroeconomic oil security premiums combined with
estimates of annual reductions in U.S. net petroleum imports
attributable to the changes in renewable fuel volumes.\127\ Table IV.A-
1 presents the macroeconomic oil security premiums and the total energy
security benefits for the Volume Scenarios. The macroeconomic oil
security premiums range from $3.65 per barrel in 2026 to $3.92 per
barrel in 2030. In terms of cents per gallon, the macroeconomic oil
security premiums range from 8.6 cents per gallon in 2026 to 9.3 cents
per gallon in 2030.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\127\ See DRIA Chapter 6.4.1 for a discussion of the methodology
used to estimate changes in U.S. annual net petroleum imports from
the Volume Scenarios.
Table IV.A-1--Macroeconomic Oil Security Premiums and Total Undiscounted Energy Security Benefits for the Volume
Scenarios a
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Macroeconomic oil Total energy security Total energy security
security premiums benefits--Low Volume benefits--High Volume
Year (2022$/barrel of Scenario (millions Scenario (millions
reduced imports) 2022$) 2022$)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026.................................. $3.65 ($0.47-$6.89) $138 ($18-$261) $151 ($19-$284)
2027.................................. 3.73 (0.51-7.02) 150 (21-283) 176 (24-331)
2028.................................. 3.78 (0.51-7.15) 162 (22-307) 201 (27-380)
2029.................................. 3.87 (0.54-7.31) 175 (24-331) 228 (32-430)
2030.................................. 3.92 (0.51-7.46) 187 (24-357) 254 (33-484)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Top values in each cell are the mean values, while the values in parentheses define 90 percent confidence
intervals.
B. Costs
1. Methodology
This section provides a brief discussion of the methodology used to
estimate the cost impacts for the renewable fuels expected to be used
for the Volume Scenarios, as well as for the proposed volume standards,
all relative to the No RFS Baseline. A more detailed discussion of how
we estimated the renewable fuel costs, as well as the fossil fuel costs
being displaced, can be found in DRIA Chapter 10.
The cost analysis compared the cost of biofuels attributable to the
RFS program to the cost of the fossil fuel it displaces. The net
estimated cost impacts are total social costs, excluding any subsidies
and transfer payments, and thus are incrementally added to all other
societal costs. They do not include benefits and other factors, such as
the potential impacts on soil and water quality or potential GHG
reduction benefits. The cost of each biofuel and fossil fuel being
displaced can be divided into various subcomponents:
Production cost: biofuel feedstock cost is usually the
most prominent factor.
Distribution cost: because a given biofuel often has a
different energy density than the petroleum fuel it is replacing, the
distribution costs are estimated all the way to the point of use to
capture the full fuel economy effect of using these fuels.
Blending value: in the case of ethanol blended as E10,
there is a blending value that mostly incorporates ethanol's octane
value realized by lower gasoline production costs, but also a
volatility cost that accounts for ethanol's blending volatility in RVP-
controlled gasoline.
Retail infrastructure cost: in the case of higher-level
ethanol blends, there is a retail cost since retail stations usually
need to add equipment or use compatible materials to enable the sale of
these newer fuels.
Fuel economy cost: different fuels have different energy
content, leading to different cost levels of fuel economy, which
impacts the relative fossil fuel volume being displaced and the cost to
the consumer.
We added these various cost components together as appropriate for
each renewable fuel to reflect the cost of that fuel. We conducted a
similar cost estimate for the fossil fuels being displaced since their
relative cost to biofuels is used to estimate the net cost of the
increased use of biofuels. Unlike for biofuels, however, we did not
calculate production costs for the fossil fuels since their production
costs are inherent in the wholesale price projections provided in
AEO2023.\128\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\128\ Estimating production costs for renewable fuels facilities
is possible because the plants are generally single purpose
production processes producing a predictable, limited array of
feedstocks into products, while petroleum refineries are each
configured differently and each is refining a different mix of
feedstocks of varying quality and each refinery is producing a
unique number and volume of products.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Estimated Cost Impacts
In this section, we summarize the overall results of our cost
analysis based on changes in the use of renewable fuels that displace
fossil fuel use for the Volume Scenarios; the costs for the proposed
volume standards are
[[Page 25815]]
summarized in Section V.H.4). The renewable fuel costs estimated and
presented here and in Section V.H.4 are the societal costs ultimately
borne by the consumers and do not reflect transfer payments between
parties in the market (e.g., tax subsidies for renewable fuels and RFS
compliance costs), which are not relevant under a societal cost
analysis.\129\ A detailed discussion of the renewable fuel costs
relative to the fossil fuel costs can be found in DRIA Chapter 10.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\129\ Note that in developing the No RFS Baseline we did
consider available subsidies other than those provided by the RFS
program in determining the volume of renewable fuels that would be
used in the absence of the RFS program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table IV.B.2-1 provides the total estimated annual cost of the
Volume Scenarios while Table IV.B.2-2 provides the per-unit cost (e.g.,
per gallon or per thousand cubic feet) of the biofuel. For both the
total and per-unit cost, the cost of the total change in renewable fuel
volume is expressed over the gallons of the respective fossil fuel in
which it is blended. For example, the costs associated with corn
ethanol relative to that of gasoline are reflected as a cost over the
entire gasoline pool, and biodiesel and renewable diesel costs are
reflected as a cost over the diesel fuel pool. Biogas displaces natural
gas use as CNG in trucks, so it is reported relative to natural gas
supply. Since the entire gasoline and diesel fuel pool of each refinery
is subject to the RFS program, we also amortize the entire renewable
fuels cost over the combined gasoline and diesel fuel pool.
Table IV.B.2-1--Total Social Costs Relative to No RFS Baseline
[Millions 2022$] \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Volumes Scenario High Volumes Scenario
---------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gasoline........................................ 188 206 188 206
Diesel.......................................... 5,030 4,436 5,615 5,642
Natural Gas..................................... -150 -165 -150 -165
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total....................................... 5,068 4,477 5,653 5,683
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Total cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is blended into.
Table IV.B.2-2--Per-Unit Costs Relative to No RFS Baseline
[2022$]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Volumes Scenario High Volumes Scenario
Units ---------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gasoline...................... [cent]/gal...... 0.14 0.16 0.14 0.16
Diesel........................ [cent]/gal...... 9.59 8.54 10.71 10.86
Natural Gas................... [cent]/thousand -0.50 -0.57 -0.50 -0.57
ft\3\.
Gasoline and Diesel........... [cent]/gal...... 2.76 2.46 3.07 3.12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Per-gallon or per thousand cubic feet cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is
blended into; the last row expresses the cost over the obligated pool of gasoline and diesel fuel.
The biofuel costs are higher than the costs of the gasoline,
diesel, and natural gas that they displace as evidenced by the
increases in fuel costs shown in Table IV.B.2-2.\130\ As described more
fully in DRIA Chapter 10, our assessment of costs did not yield a
specific threshold value below which the incremental costs of biofuels
are reasonable and above which they are not. Given the significant
inherent uncertainty in both the crude and agricultural feedstock price
forecasts, any attempt to identify such a threshold value is extremely
difficult. Nevertheless, in Section V we consider the directional cost
inferences along with the other factors that we analyzed in the context
of our discussion of the proposed volumes for 2026 and 2027.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\130\ Natural gas shows a cost savings despite the fact that
renewable natural gas is more expensive than fossil natural gas.
This is because the proposed cellulosic volume standard is estimated
to cause a smaller RNG volume in 2026 and 2027 compared to either
the No RFS Baseline or the 2025 Baseline.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The costs presented in this section are solely for the Volume
Scenarios relative to the No RFS Baseline, whereas Section V.H.4
contains the estimated costs for the proposed volume standards. DRIA
Chapter 10 contains summaries of the costs of all the scenarios
modeled, including the Volume Scenarios relative to the 2025 Baseline,
which are not summarized here.
C. Climate Change
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) provides that when determining the
applicable volumes of each renewable fuel category after the year 2022,
EPA shall include ``an analysis of . . . the impact of the production
and use of renewable fuels on . . . climate change.'' As such, we have
undertaken an assessment of the potential climate impacts of volume
standards consistent with the Volume Scenarios. This analysis considers
impacts of such volume standards for three years--2026, 2027, and
2028--relative to the No RFS Baseline.
Cumulative emissions impact estimates for a thirty-year analytical
time period are presented in Table IV.C-1. This section of the preamble
contains only a brief synopsis of the results of our analysis; a full
description of the methods of analysis, models, scenarios, estimated
GHG emissions impacts by year, and uncertainties considered is
presented in DRIA Chapter 5.
[[Page 25816]]
Table IV.C-1--Cumulative Net Emissions Through 2055 for the Volume
Scenarios Relative to No RFS Baseline
[Millions of metric tons CO2e emissions]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario Cumulative Emissions
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Volume..................................... -672 to -339
High Volume.................................... -759 to -247
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenarios in the climate change analysis produce annual emissions
estimates for a 30-year analytical scenario duration. Additional
information about analytical methods for estimating GHG emissions
impacts can be found in DRIA Chapter 5; we note that the analysis for
this rulemaking relies on an updated methodology for assessing climate
change impacts under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii)(I), details of which
can also be found in DRIA Chapter 5. We request comment on our analysis
of the GHG emissions impacts of the proposed volume standards, and
whether factors in addition to GHG emissions, such as other drivers of
climate change and other considerations fitting within the term
``climate change,'' are relevant to the analysis. In addition to
requesting comment on this analysis in general, including the updated
methodology, we specifically request comment on the following aspects:
The methods for evaluating crop-based fuels and waste- and
byproduct-based fuels.
The use of economic models for assessing the potential
market-mediated impacts associated with crop-based fuels.
The scenarios used in this analysis, including the
analytical duration, and assumed future (post-2027) biofuel consumption
levels for both the policy and baseline scenarios.
D. Jobs and Rural Economic Development
In this section, we summarize our estimates of the impacts of the
Volume Scenarios on jobs and rural economic development (both include
direct, indirect, and induced impacts).\131\ This includes details
regarding potentially offsetting impacts to the economy that may stem
from the expansion of renewable fuels. While we acknowledge these
impacts, an attempt at formally quantifying or modeling them to
generate an estimate of the net impacts to the entire U.S. economy is
beyond the scope of this analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\131\ These analyses are described in detail in DRIA Chapter 9.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To estimate the impacts on jobs, we applied two analytical
approaches common in the literature. The first is a basic ``rule-of-
thumb'' type approach that uses job and income impact estimates from
previous studies, expressed in jobs and/or dollars per unit of biofuel
production, and multiplies these estimated impacts by the projected
volumes to arrive at employment estimates. This approach is taken to
produce estimates for the impacts of the quantities of ethanol, BBD,
and RNG fuels in the Volume Scenarios relative to the No RFS Baseline.
The second is a slightly more nuanced approach that relies on the
use of an input-output modeling methodology developed specifically for
analysis of dry mill corn ethanol, which is applied only to the volumes
of that fuel in the Volume Scenarios relative to the No RFS Baseline.
These estimates are summarized in Tables IV. D-1 and 2. In some cases,
we have developed ranges of impacts for fuel volumes based on
uncertainty regarding how the volumes will be provided. For example,
volumes associated with new production capacity would also be
associated with some number of temporary construction jobs, while
expanded capacity utilization at existing facilities would not. These
ranges of potential impacts are summarized in tables in DRIA Chapter 9,
along with detailed explanations of the associated methodology. For the
corn ethanol case alone, we present the results of these two analyses
coequally here and request comment regarding approaches to estimating
the employment impacts of ethanol for the final rule. Both sets of
estimates (i.e., our rule-of-thumb analysis and our analysis using an
input-output model for the case of ethanol) have been computed based on
changes from the No RFS Baseline and the results we present should be
interpreted as additive gross jobs relative to that baseline. However,
were these analyses to be carried out relative to the 2025 Baseline,
some of these computed estimates would then be interpreted as jobs at
risk were the RFS program discontinued.
We estimate that all three categories of renewable fuel we
analyzed--ethanol, BBD, and RNG--are associated with increases in jobs
to varying degrees. We observe that RNG appears to be associated with
the highest number of direct jobs created per unit of biofuel. However,
BBD is projected to have the highest job creation impact overall,
primarily due to substantially higher production increases relative to
the baseline. In terms of rural employment specifically, ethanol has
the highest direct and total effects per million gallons of ethanol
equivalent. Relative to the No RFS Baseline and accounting for direct,
indirect, and induced effects, BBD is projected to have the highest
impact on agricultural employment, mainly due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the baseline.
We also estimate that ethanol, BBD, and RNG are all associated with
increased rural economic development, again to varying degrees. Since
renewable fuels rely on agricultural feedstocks, we use the GDP impacts
associated with agricultural feedstocks to infer the effects on rural
economic development. We estimate that BBD and ethanol have higher
impacts per million gallons of ethanol equivalent on rural economic
development than does RNG. Relative to the No RFS Baseline and
accounting for direct, indirect, and induced effects, BBD is projected
to have the highest impact on rural economic development, largely due
to substantially higher production increases relative to the baseline.
Tables IV.D-1 and 2 summarize the estimated economy-wide job
impacts and rural GDP impacts (both include direct, indirect, and
induced impacts) associated with the volumes of ethanol, BBD, and RNG
attributable to the Low Volume Scenario and High Volume Scenario,
respectively. The estimates of rural GDP impacts are actual values as
opposed to discounted values, implying that they do not reflect the
time value of money.
[[Page 25817]]
Table IV.D-1--Economy-Wide Jobs and Rural Economic Development in the Low Volume Scenario Relative to No RFS Baseline
[Number of jobs in full-time equivalents; million 2022$, undiscounted]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RNG BBD Ethanol a
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Rural economic Rural economic Rural economic
Jobs development Jobs development Jobs development
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026........................................................ 19,504 $1,072.16 64,793 $6,840.04 5,332 $366.19
2027........................................................ 20,240 1,112.59 68,931 7,276.90 5,735 393.83
2028........................................................ 21,030 1,156.02 73,491 7,758.25 5,986 411.10
2029........................................................ 21,847 1,200.94 77,265 8,156.68 6,338 435.29
2030........................................................ 22,718 1,248.86 81,576 8,611.74 6,690 459.47
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ For the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL's JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate employment and income estimates under
alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. See DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
Table IV.D-2--Economy-Wide Jobs and Rural Economic Development in the High Volume Scenario Relative to No RFS Baseline
[Number of jobs in full-time equivalents; million 2022$, undiscounted]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RNG BBD Ethanol a
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Rural economic Rural economic Rural economic
Jobs development Jobs development Jobs development
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026........................................................ 19,504 $1,072.16 70,790 $7,473.08 5,332 $366.19
2027........................................................ 20,240 1,112.59 80,905 8,540.95 5,735 393.83
2028........................................................ 21,030 1,156.02 91,461 9,655.34 5,986 411.10
2029........................................................ 21,847 1,200.94 101,213 10,684.78 6,338 435.29
2030........................................................ 22,718 1,248.86 111,520 11,772.88 6,690 459.47
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ For the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL's JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate employment and income estimates under
alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. See DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
We request comment on our approaches to estimating jobs and rural
economic development impacts associated with renewable fuels.
These estimates for the various categories of biofuels are subject
to the limitations and assumptions of the methods employed. They are
not meant to be exact estimates, but rather to provide an estimate of
general magnitude. In addition, while we estimate that production and
consumption of these biofuels will lead to higher jobs and rural GDP in
some sectors of the economy, this will likely involve some migration in
jobs and rural GDP from other sectors. As such, we anticipate that
there would be job and rural GDP losses as well in some sectors.
Likewise, investments in rural development may involve some shifting of
capital from one sector to another. We do not account for any such
losses in our analysis. In other words, our estimates for jobs and
rural development impacts are gross estimates and not net estimates.
The existing literature also shows, in the long run, environmental
regulation such as the RFS program typically affects the distribution
of employment among industries rather than the general employment
level.132 133 The expectation is that there will be a
movement of labor towards jobs that are associated with greater
environmental protection, and away from those that are not. Even if
impacts are small after long-run market adjustments to full employment,
many regulatory actions move workers in and out of jobs and industries,
which are potentially important distributional impacts of environmental
regulations.\134\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\132\ Arrow, Kenneth J., Maureen L. Cropper, George C. Eads,
Robert W. Hahn, Lester B. Lave, Roger G. Noll, Paul R. Portney, et
al. ``Benefit-Cost Analysis in Environmental, Health, and Safety
Regulation,'' American Enterprise Institute, The Annapolis Center,
and Resources for the Future, 1996.
\133\ Hafstead, Marc a. C., and Roberton C. Williams. ``Jobs and
Environmental Regulation.'' Environmental and Energy Policy and the
Economy 1 (January 1, 2020): 192-240. https://doi.org/10.1086/706799.
\134\ Walker, W. Reed. ``The Transitional Costs of Sectoral
Reallocation: Evidence From the Clean Air Act and the Workforce*.''
The Quarterly Journal of Economics 128, no. 4 (August 15, 2013):
1787-1835. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjt022.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the final rule, we intend to carry out a more robust modeling
exercise that may capture more of these nuances. We request comments on
the types of approaches which would be appropriate to apply in
conducting such an analysis.
E. Agricultural Commodity Prices and Food Price Impacts
In this section, we summarize the projected impacts of the Volume
Scenarios on agricultural commodity and food prices. A detailed
explanation of the methods used to estimate these impacts can be found
in DRIA Chapter 9.
To assess the potential impact on corn prices, we used a
literature-based estimate that corn prices increase by 3 percent for
every additional billion gallons of corn ethanol produced.\135\ We
multiplied the projected corn price by the 3 percent per-billion-gallon
increase to estimate the price change per bushel. This value was then
applied to the difference in corn ethanol volumes between each Volume
Scenario and the No RFS Baseline. Table IV.E-1 summarizes the results
of the projected impact of increased corn ethanol production on corn
prices under the Volume Scenarios.\136\
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\135\ Condon, Nicole, Heather Klemick, and Ann Wolverton.
``Impacts of Ethanol Policy on Corn Prices: A Review and Meta-
analysis of Recent Evidence.'' Food Policy 51 (January 13, 2015):
63-73. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2014.12.007.
\136\ The volume of corn ethanol is the same under the Low and
High Volume Scenarios; therefore, the results shown in Table IV.E-1
are the same for both Volume Scenarios.
[[Page 25818]]
Table IV.E-1--Projected Impact of Volume Scenarios on Corn Prices Relative to No RFS Baseline
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baseline Corn Price \a\...... $/Bushel........ $3.97 $4.07 $4.17 $4.27 $4.30
Corn Price Increase Relative $/Bushel........ 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03
to No RFS Baseline.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Corn prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 (February 2025). Prices represent the average
price for a calendar year. For corn, the price is calculated using \1/3\ of the price for the first
agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and \2/3\ of the price for the second agricultural
marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
To determine the potential impact of the Volume Scenarios on
soybean oil and meal prices, we calculated projected price effects for
2026-2030 relative to the No RFS Baseline. These projections assume a
35.7 percent increase in the price of a pound of soybean oil per
billion gallons of biofuel produced and a 7.94 percent decrease in the
price of a short ton of soybean meal per billion gallons of biofuel
produced.\137\ We multiplied the projected soybean oil and meal prices
by their respective percentage changes per billion gallons of biofuel
to estimate the price impact per unit. These values were then applied
to the difference in biofuel volumes between each Volume Scenario and
the No RFS Baseline. This analysis provides an estimate of how
increased soy-based biofuel production impacts soybean oil and soybean
meal prices under each Volume Scenario. The results from this analysis
are presented in Tables IV.E-2 and 3 for the Low and High Volume
Scenarios, respectively.
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\137\ Lusk, Jayson L. ``Food and Fuel: Modeling Food System Wide
Impacts of Increase in Demand for Soybean Oil,'' November 10, 2022.
Table IV.E-2--Projected Impact of the Low Volume Scenario on Soybean Oil and Meal Prices Relative to the No RFS Baseline
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baseline Soybean Oil Price \a\.............. $/Pound................... $0.39 $0.37 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36
Soybean Oil Price Increase Relative to No $/Pound................... 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
RFS Baseline.
Baseline Soybean Meal Price \a\............. $/Ton..................... 324 331 339 347 355
Soybean Meal Price Change Relative to No RFS $/Ton..................... -49 -51 -53 -55 -58
Baseline.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Soybean oil and meal prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 report. Prices represent the average price for a calendar year. For
soybean oil, the price is calculated using \1/4\ of the price for the first agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and \3/4\ of the
price for the second agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
Table IV.E-3--Projected Impact of the High Volume Scenario on Soybean Oil and Meal Prices Relative to the No RFS Baseline
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baseline Soybean Oil Price \a\.............. $/Pound................... $0.39 $0.37 $0.37 $0.36 $0.36
Soybean Oil Price Increase Relative to No $/Pound................... 0.29 0.31 0.34 0.37 0.40
RFS Baseline.
Baseline Soybean Meal Price \a\............. $/Ton..................... 324 331 339 347 355
Soybean Meal Price Change Relative to No RFS $/Ton..................... -54 -62 -70 -79 -88
Baseline.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Soybean oil and meal prices are from the USDA Agricultural Projections to 2034 report. Prices represent the average price for a calendar year. For
soybean oil, the price is calculated using \1/4\ of the price for the first agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2025/2026 for 2026) and \3/4\ of the
price for the second agricultural marketing year (e.g., 2026/2027 for 2026).
In addition to estimating the price impacts on corn, soybean oil,
and soybean meal, we also assessed price changes for other feed
grains--grain sorghum, barley, and oats--as well as distillers grains.
These commodities were included in this analysis because they have
historically competed with corn in the feed market and, to a lesser
extent, for planted acreage. These price changes were estimated using
historical price relationships with corn, and the analysis found only
minimal impacts on the other grains.\138\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\138\ See DRIA Chapter 9 for more information.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additionally, the impact on commodity prices described above may,
in turn, have downstream effects on food prices and other products
derived from these commodities. To estimate the effect on total food
expenditures, we combined these projected price changes with forecasts
of commodity use for food production.\139\ Because commodity costs
typically represent a small portion of total food prices, the
anticipated effect of this action on food prices is relatively modest,
as shown in Table IV.E-4.
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\139\ Commodity use for food production estimated using USDA
Agricultural Projections to 2034. See DRIA Chapter 9 for further
detail on this analysis.
[[Page 25819]]
Table IV.E-4--Impact of Volume Scenarios on Total Food Expenditures \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Volume Scenario
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Change in Food Expenditures.......... Million $.............. $1,938 $1,802 $1,723 $1,648 $1,601
Projected Food Expenditure Increase.. $ per Consumer Unit.... $14.41 $13.40 $12.80 $12.25 $11.90
Percent Change in Food Expenditures.. Percent................ 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
High Volume Scenario
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Change in Food Expenditures.......... Million $.............. $2,129 $2,141 $2,187 $2,213 $2,260
Projected Food Expenditure Increase.. $ per Consumer Unit.... $15.82 $15.92 $16.25 $16.45 $16.79
Percent Change in Food Expenditures.. Percent................ 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Expenditures--2023, Table A. Average income and
expenditures of all consumer units, 2021-23.
V. Proposed Volume Requirements for 2026 and 2027
As required by CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii), we have reviewed the
implementation of the RFS program in prior years and have analyzed a
specified set of factors. The proposed volume requirements for 2026 and
2027 (the ``Proposed Volumes'') are informed by our technical analyses
of the Volume Scenarios, which are summarized in Section IV. Further
details of all analyses performed for this action are provided in the
DRIA.
In this section, we summarize and discuss the implications of our
analyses and any other relevant information that apply to each of three
different component categories of biofuel: cellulosic biofuel, non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel, and conventional renewable fuel. These
three components combine to produce the statutory categories: the
advanced biofuel volume requirement is equal to the sum of cellulosic
biofuel and non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, while the total renewable
fuel volume requirement is equal to the sum of advanced biofuel and
conventional renewable fuel.\140\ In Section V.C we discuss our
approach to the BBD standard in light our analysis of the non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel component category, the vast majority of
which we project will be comprised of BBD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\140\ These combinations are set forth in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(i)(I)-(III). In addition, the determination of the
appropriate volume requirements for BBD is treated separately in
Section V.C.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In general, the volume requirements we are proposing for 2026 and
2027 are designed to provide significant support for the continued
growth in the production and use of renewable fuels. While the Proposed
Volumes (expressed in billion RINs) are similar to the Low Volume
Scenario and lower than the High Volume Scenario, we project that the
Proposed Volumes would result in significantly higher renewable fuel
production and consumption in the U.S. than either the Low or High
Volume Scenario, particularly for domestic renewable fuel, due to the
proposed import RIN reduction provisions.\141\ Our assessment of the
expected annual rate of future commercial production of renewable fuels
indicates that continued growth in the production and use of renewable
fuels is not only possible but expected if supported through the RFS
program. Increasing the production of renewable fuels furthers the
goals of the RFS program by increasing the energy independence and
energy security of the U.S. Further, increasing production of renewable
fuels, particularly those produced from domestic feedstocks, can have
significant positive impacts on employment and economic activity in
rural areas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\141\ See DRIA Chapter 3 for more detail on the quantities and
types of renewable fuel we project would be supplied to meet the
Proposed Volumes and the Volume Scenarios.
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We note that while we do not separately discuss each of the
statutory factors for each component category in this section, we have
analyzed all the statutory factors. However, it was not always possible
to precisely identify the implications of the analysis of a specific
factor for a specific component category of renewable fuel. For
instance, while we analyzed the impact of biodiesel and renewable
diesel on the cost to consumers of transportation fuel, biodiesel and
renewable diesel can be used to satisfy multiple biofuel requirements
(e.g., BBD, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel) and this
analysis therefore does not apply to a single standard in that regard.
Air quality impacts are driven primarily by biofuel type (e.g.,
ethanol, biodiesel) rather than by biofuel category (e.g., advanced
biofuel, cellulosic biofuel), and energy security impacts are driven by
the amount of fossil fuel energy displaced. Moreover, except for CAA
section 211(o)(2)(ii)(III), the statute does not require that the
requisite analyses be specific to each category of renewable fuel.
Rather, the statute directs EPA to analyze certain factors, without
specifying how that analysis must be conducted. In addition, the
statute directs EPA to analyze the ``program'' and the impacts of
``renewable fuels'' generally, further indicating that Congress
intended to provide EPA with the discretion to decide how and at what
level of specificity to analyze the statutory factors. This section
supplements the analyses discussed in Sections III and IV by providing
a narrative summary of how we used the results of our analyses of the
Volume Scenarios to derive the volumes we are proposing in this action.
A. Cellulosic Biofuel
In EISA, Congress set increasing targets for cellulosic biofuel,
aiming to reach 16 billion gallons by 2022. After 2015, all growth in
the mandated total renewable fuel volume was designated for advanced
biofuels, with the majority of that growth focused on cellulosic
biofuels. This indicates that Congress intended the RFS program to
strongly incentivize cellulosic biofuels, placing a particular emphasis
on their development after 2015. While cellulosic biofuel production
has not reached the levels envisioned by Congress in 2007, EPA remains
committed to supporting the advancement and commercialization of these
fuels.
Cellulosic biofuels, particularly those produced from waste or
residue materials, have the potential to significantly reduce GHG
emissions from the transportation sector. In many cases cellulosic
biofuel can be produced without impacting current land use and with
little to no impact on other environmental factors, such as air and
[[Page 25820]]
water quality. The proposed cellulosic biofuel volumes are intended to
support the continued development and commercial-scale deployment of
cellulosic biofuels while steadily increasing production, consistent
with the growth envisioned by EISA and our evaluation of the relevant
statutory factors.
As outlined in Section III, the Volume Scenarios reflect the
projected growth in cellulosic biofuel production and use in the
transportation sector through 2030, accounting for potential
constraints in both the production and use of cellulosic biofuel. We
then evaluated the Volume Scenarios using additional statutory factors.
The results of these evaluations are summarized here and detailed
further in the DRIA. Our analysis suggests that cellulosic biofuels
offer several significant benefits, including the potential for
exceptionally low lifecycle GHG emissions that meet or exceed the 60
percent GHG reduction threshold for cellulosic biofuel.\142\ These
benefits largely arise because the majority of feedstocks projected for
use in cellulosic biofuel production are either waste materials (e.g.,
CNG/LNG derived from biogas) or residues (e.g., cellulosic diesel and
heating oil from tree residue). The processing of these otherwise
unused feedstocks into transportation fuel is also likely to result in
increased employment and have a positive economic impact, particularly
in the communities where the cellulosic biofuel production facilities
are located.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\142\ CAA section 211(o)(1)(E).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The feedstocks currently used and expected to be used through 2027,
particularly biogas used for CNG/LNG production, are not anticipated to
cause substantial land use changes that could lead to negative
environmental impacts. None of the cellulosic biofuel feedstocks
expected to be used to produce liquid cellulosic biofuels through 2027
(including corn kernel fiber, mill residue, and separated MSW) are
produced with the intention that they be used as feedstocks for
cellulosic biofuel production. Because of this, using these feedstocks
to produce liquid cellulosic biofuel is not expected to have
significant adverse impacts related to several of the statutory
factors, including the conversion of wetlands, ecosystems and wildlife
habitat, soil and water quality, the price and supply of agricultural
commodities, and food prices through 2027.
Cellulosic biofuels are also expected to provide significant
economic development benefits. The production of these fuels supports
local economies, creating jobs in biofuel facilities and related
distribution networks. By encouraging the cellulosic biofuel market,
the U.S. strengthens its energy independence and reduces reliance on
foreign fuels, while fostering economic resilience.
Although both liquid cellulosic biofuels and CNG/LNG from biogas
are produced from wastes or by-product feedstocks, they differ
significantly in terms of production costs and market competitiveness.
Liquid cellulosic biofuels face high production costs due to low fuel
yields per ton of feedstock and the substantial capital investment
required for production facilities. Consequently, their economic
viability, at least in the short term (through 2027), will likely
depend on high cellulosic RIN prices and supportive programs such as
California's LCFS program and the 45Z tax credit to enable them to
compete with petroleum-based fuels. In contrast, CNG/LNG derived from
biogas sourced from landfills, wastewater treatment facilities, and
agricultural digesters can be more cost competitive with fossil fuels.
In certain cases, such as larger landfills, CNG/LNG production costs
can even approach those of conventional natural gas. Nonetheless, most
biogas-derived fuels, and particularly those from new sources, rely on
financial incentives to remain competitive. Given their relatively
lower production costs and mature technology, and in combination with
the high financial incentive created by the RFS program in addition to
that from State LCFS programs and tax credits, CNG/LNG from biogas is
expected to remain the dominant form of cellulosic biofuel through
2027. The combination of high RIN prices and the growing volume of CNG/
LNG used as transportation fuel and the high cellulosic RIN prices that
refiners must recover through fuel sales leads to an expected increase
in gasoline and diesel prices.
Our analysis of the statutory factors indicates that the benefits
of increasing cellulosic biofuel volumes outweigh the potential
downsides. To maximize these advantages, we are proposing cellulosic
biofuel volumes through 2027 at levels that align with projected growth
in the consumption of CNG/LNG as transportation fuel from 2026 to 2027.
These proposed volumes, based on the most current data at the time of
this action, represent a well-informed estimate of the achievable
growth in cellulosic biofuel production during this period. We believe
that these volumes would continue to encourage investment in and
development of cellulosic biofuels while adhering to statutory
requirements, including those under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv).
Table V.A-2--Proposed Cellulosic Biofuel Volumes a
[Million RINs]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CNG/LNG Derived from Biogas............. 1,170 1,360
Ethanol from CKF........................ 120 120
Total Cellulosic Biofuel............ 1,300 1,360
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
We also acknowledge the uncertainty in forecasting cellulosic
biofuel volumes. If actual cellulosic biofuel production and imports
fall significantly below the required volume, resulting in a RIN
shortfall, obligated parties may lack sufficient cellulosic RINs to
meet their RFS obligations. This could lead to some parties carrying
forward compliance deficits, and if production and imports continue to
lag targets, non-compliance could become a risk. Conversely, if
cellulosic biofuel production and imports exceed the required volumes,
resulting in a RIN surplus and lower prices for cellulosic biofuels and
cellulosic RINs. This scenario could undermine investments in
cellulosic biofuel production, with the simple possibility of such a
surplus potentially discouraging future investments. Using the best
available data, we believe the proposed cellulosic biofuel volumes are
reasonable and achievable, as well as consistent with the statutory
requirement in CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(iv) that EPA
[[Page 25821]]
determine the cellulosic biofuel volume such that EPA need not waive
the cellulosic biofuel standard under CAA section 211(o)(7)(D).\143\
Therefore, we are proposing volumes that represent the projected volume
available in 2026 and 2027. We request comment on our proposed
cellulosic biofuel volumes for 2026 and 2027, especially regarding our
assessment of future CNG/LNG consumption. In addition, we recognize
that the methodology used to determine the proposed cellulosic biofuel
volumes in this rulemaking differs from past approaches, so we also
request comment on the methodology used to arrive at those volumes. We
also request any further data or insights that could enhance our
projections for cellulosic biofuel production in 2026 and 2027.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\143\ See DRIA Chapter 7.1 for further information on the
methodology EPA used to project the supply of cellulosic biofuel in
2026 and 2027.
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B. Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel
The volume targets established by Congress through 2022 anticipated
volumes of advanced biofuel beyond what would be needed to satisfy the
cellulosic standard. The statutory target for advanced biofuel in 2022
(21 billion gallons) allowed for up to five billion gallons of non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel to be used towards the advanced biofuel
volume target, with additional quantities of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel able to contribute towards meeting the total renewable fuel
requirement. The applicable standards for 2022 similarly include five
billion gallons of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel. In the Set 1 Rule,
EPA continued to grow the implied non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
category, which reached 5.95 billion gallons in 2025.
As discussed in Sections III.B.2 and 3, we developed volume
scenarios for non-cellulosic advanced biofuel based on a consideration
of the quantities of these fuels potentially able to be supplied to the
U.S. market. This process included consideration of the supply of these
fuels in 2023 and the months in 2024 for which data were available and
the projected future projection and import of non-cellulosic advanced
biofuels in future years. The non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes
in the Volume Scenarios reflect significantly different growth rates
for this category (500 million RINs per year vs. 1 billion RINs per
year). These volume scenarios were designed to enable us to consider
the likely impacts of different volume requirements for non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel. They also reflect the significant uncertainty in the
volume of these fuels that could be supplied to the U.S. in future
years. We then analyzed the Volume Scenarios according to the statutory
factors.
In this action we are proposing volume requirements for 2026 and
2027 that reflect 500 million RIN annual increases in the projected
supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel. These increases are relative
to the volume of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel we project will be
supplied to the U.S. in 2025 based on available data, which is
significantly higher than the volumes of these fuels we projected would
be supplied in 2025 in the Set 1 Rule. Our decision to propose volumes
consistent with Low Volume Scenario is based on our assessment of the
impacts of biofuels produced from domestic feedstocks on the statutory
factors and our projection of the quantity of qualifying feedstocks
available to biofuel producers. Our assessment of the statutory
factors, and how these assessments support the proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes, are summarized in the remainder of this
section, and are discussed in greater detail in the DRIA.
A key consideration in determining the proposed non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes is our proposal in this action to reduce the
number of RINs generated for imported renewable fuels and renewable
fuels produced from foreign feedstocks by 50 percent, as discussed in
Section VIII. While much of the renewable fuel eligible to generate
RINs under the RFS program is produced by domestic producers from
domestic feedstocks--including the vast majority of all cellulosic
biofuel and conventional renewable fuel--we estimate that nearly 50
percent of all non-cellulosic advanced biofuel was imported or produced
from foreign feedstocks in 2024.\144\ The 500 million RIN annual growth
rate that forms the basis for our proposed non-cellulosic advanced
biofuel volumes is approximately equal to our projection of the annual
increase in the production of domestic feedstocks that can be used to
produce these fuels. This approach provides a strong incentive to
increase the production of domestic renewable fuels from domestic
feedstocks. It also allows for domestic biofuel producers to continue
to use foreign feedstocks where it is advantageous to do so, while
incentivizing these producers to source increasing quantities of
domestic feedstocks over time.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\144\ See DRIA Chapter 3.2 for more detail on EPA's estimate of
domestic vs. imported biofuels and feedstocks in 2024.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To date, the vast majority of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel in
the RFS program has been biodiesel and renewable diesel, with
relatively small volumes of sugarcane ethanol and other advanced
biofuels. While the impacts of non-cellulosic advanced biofuels on the
statutory factors vary depending on the fuel type, production process,
where the fuel is produced (e.g., domestically vs. in a foreign
country), and the feedstock used to produce the fuel, all advanced
biofuels have the potential to provide significant GHG reductions.
These potential GHG reductions suggest that higher non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes than those established by Congress for 2022
(5.0 billion RINs) or established by EPA for 2025 (5.95 billion RINs)
may be appropriate.
Advanced biodiesel and renewable diesel together accounted for 95
percent or more of the total supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
over the last several years, and together the two fuels are expected to
continue to do so through 2027 due to the limited production and import
of other types of non-cellulosic advanced biofuels.\145\ We have
therefore focused our attention on the impacts of these fuels in
relation to the statutory factors in determining appropriate levels of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel for 2026 and 2027.\146\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\145\ See DRIA Chapters 7.2 through 7.4.
\146\ We have also considered the potential for increasing
volumes of renewable jet fuel. Given its similarity to renewable
diesel, for purposes of projecting appropriate volume requirements
for 2026 and 2027, in most cases we consider renewable jet fuel to
be a component of renewable diesel.
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As in past RFS rulemakings, our analyses indicate that for some of
the statutory factors the projected impacts of increasing consumption
of biodiesel and renewable diesel are expected to be generally positive
or neutral, while for other factors the impacts are expected to be
generally negative. For other factors, the projected impacts vary
significantly depending on whether the feedstock used to produce the
fuel is a waste or byproduct (e.g., used cooking oil) or an
agricultural commodity (e.g., soybean oil) and whether it is sourced
domestically or imported.
All qualifying biodiesel and renewable diesel is expected to
diversify the transportation fuel supply and thus have a positive
impact on the energy security of the U.S. Similarly, because we project
that all of the increase in the supply of biodiesel and renewable
diesel through 2027 will be supplied from domestic biofuel producers
using domestic feedstocks, we expect these fuels to positively impact
employment and rural economic development. We
[[Page 25822]]
do not anticipate the availability of infrastructure to distribute or
use biodiesel and renewable diesel will limit the consumption of these
fuels in future years, nor do we anticipate that increasing supplies of
these fuels will negatively impact the deliverability of materials,
goods, and products other than renewable fuel. Together, these
statutory factors suggest that higher volumes of biodiesel and
renewable diesel may be appropriate in future years.
Other statutory factors suggest that lower volumes of biodiesel and
renewable diesel may be appropriate. Biodiesel and renewable diesel
have historically had higher costs than the diesel fuel they displace
and are expected to continue to cost more into the future, primarily
due to relatively high feedstock costs. These higher costs are expected
to ultimately be passed through to consumers, resulting in higher costs
for transportation fuel and higher costs to transport goods.\147\
Biodiesel and renewable diesel produced from vegetable oils are
expected to directionally result in higher prices for these oils and
the crops from which they are derived (e.g., soybeans and canola).
These higher vegetable oil prices are projected to have both positive
and negative impacts. Higher vegetable oil prices are expected to drive
increased investment in the domestic oilseed crushing industry,
resulting in increased employment and economic impact, as well as
higher revenue for feedstock producers. Higher vegetable oil prices are
also expected to result in higher prices for products that use them as
inputs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\147\ This discussion refers to societal costs. We recognize
that with the incentives provided by the RFS program and other state
and local programs, the price for biodiesel and renewable diesel
(net available incentives) may be lower than the price of petroleum
fuels. See DRIA Chapter 10 for a further discussion of our cost
estimates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, the projected impacts on some of the statutory factors are
expected to vary significantly depending on the feedstock used to
produce the biodiesel or renewable diesel. We have generally assumed
that biofuels produced from wastes or byproducts such as UCO and tallow
do not drive the conversion of land to cropland, increase the intensity
of farming practices, or raise agricultural commodity or food
prices.\148\ Because of this assumption, biofuels produced from wastes
or byproducts are also generally expected to result in greater GHG
emission reductions. However, commodities such as UCO and tallow now
command prices comparable to those of crop-derived vegetable oils. We
request comment on the potential impact of increased demand for these
feedstocks on global crop production, and the implications for the
estimated GHG emissions of biofuels produced from these feedstocks.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\148\ This is particularly true if the feedstocks used to
produce these biofuels would otherwise be landfilled or not
productively used. It is not the case, however, that all feedstocks
assumed to be wastes or byproducts would otherwise be landfilled or
not productively used. For example, UCO and animal fats such as
tallow have historically had a variety of productive uses, include
use as animal feed and use as a feedstock to produce soaps,
detergents, and other oleochemicals. Historically, such demands have
been outstripped significantly by product supply, leading to
unproductive disposal of excess supply in the absence of a
productive use opportunity. However, increasing levels of demand for
these feedstocks for biofuel production could not only fully consume
this previously excess supply, but also result in the diversion of
these feedstocks from existing markets. In turn, markets that
previously used these waste and byproduct feedstocks may seek
alternatives, and any impacts on cropland, GHG emissions, or other
factors that result from the sourcing of these alternative
feedstocks should then be attributable to biofuel production.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Increases in domestic sources of waste or byproduct feedstocks in
future years are projected to be limited as much of the available
feedstocks are already being used for biofuel production with smaller
quantities collected for other productive uses. Significant volumes of
these feedstocks may be available from foreign countries, though there
is significant uncertainty in the quantities of these feedstocks that
will be available to the U.S. in future years.
1. Assessment of Available Feedstocks
Biodiesel and renewable diesel produced from agricultural
commodities such as soybean oil and canola oil are more likely to have
negative impacts on wetlands, wildlife habitat and ecosystems, and
water quality, as demand for these feedstocks can result in increased
conversion of native lands to cropland. This land conversion (whether
land is converted directly to produce biofuel crops or induced through
higher commodity prices) generally results in GHG emissions, and
therefore biofuels produced from these feedstocks are expected to have
lower GHG emission benefits than biofuels produced from wastes or
byproducts. Significant opportunities exist for increasing domestic
production of soybean oil (which would be expected to positively impact
job creation and rural economic development), as well as imported
canola oil from Canada. Because the supply of these feedstocks is less
dependent on imports and there are relatively fewer incentives and
lower demand for biofuels produced from vegetable oils, we have greater
confidence in projecting the potential supply of these feedstocks in
future years.
Our analysis of the Volume Scenarios indicated likely differences
in impacts on the statutory factors between growth in the supply of
biodiesel and renewable diesel produced from wastes or byproducts such
as UCO and tallow (primarily imported from foreign countries) and those
produced from virgin vegetable oils (primarily from the U.S.). Thus,
the availability and likely use of these feedstocks for biofuel
production and use in the U.S. is a key factor in our consideration of
the proposed non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes. As discussed
further in the remainder of this section, there is relatively less
uncertainty in the projected availability of vegetable oils than there
is in the projected availability of wastes or byproducts such as UCO
and tallow. The higher uncertainty in the projected availability of the
waste and byproduct feedstocks is not only a function of the quantity
of these feedstocks that can be collected globally, but also of demand
for these feedstocks for biofuel production and other productive uses
in other countries.
a. Vegetable Oils
The available supply of vegetable oils to domestic biofuel
producers is generally a function of the potential for increased
production of these feedstocks in the U.S. and Canada, though some
small imports from other countries do occur. The available supply of
distillers corn oil is primarily a function of corn ethanol production,
as most corn ethanol facilities currently extract and sell distillers
corn oil. The available supply of soybean oil and canola oil is
primarily a function of the quantity of these oils produced by oilseed
crushing facilities. Based on the observed increases in soybean and
canola crush capacity in recent years and publicly available
information on expansions underway, we can reasonably project the rate
of growth in the soybean and canola crush industry through 2027,
assuming continued demand for the vegetable oils produced from these
facilities is sufficient to support ongoing investment in crush
capacity.
For distillers corn oil, soybean oil, and canola oil, the primary
source of uncertainty in the supply of these feedstocks to domestic
biofuel producers is the demand for these feedstocks in markets other
than biofuel production in the U.S. With the exception of imports of
canola oil from Canada, imports of distillers corn oil, soybean oil,
and canola oil from countries other than Canada have been
[[Page 25823]]
relatively small in recent years and are not expected to increase
through 2027. Consistent with the observed historical trends, we
currently project the potential for increasing imports of canola oil
from Canada but do not project any significant changes to the import of
distillers corn oil, soybean oil, or canola oil from countries other
than Canada due to limited global production, relatively high tariffs
on imports, and high demand in food markets respectively. Any increases
to the supply of these feedstocks to biofuel producers would require
diverting these feedstocks from current markets. While this is
possible, we project any shifts of these vegetable oils from current
markets through 2027 to be limited. Since 2015, the use of soybean oil
and canola oil in the U.S. in markets other than biofuel production has
remained fairly consistent despite the significant increase in the use
of these oils for biofuel production.\149\ This suggests that these
oils have a higher value in non-biofuel markets (e.g., food) and are
unlikely to be diverted from these markets in significant quantities
due to higher demand for biofuel production in the near term. While the
U.S. has historically been a net exporter of soybean oil, data for the
2023/24 agricultural marketing year indicates that net exports of
soybean oil were near zero \150\ and therefore opportunities to divert
soybean oil from export markets are very limited.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\149\ USDA, ``Oil Crops Yearbook,'' March 2025. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/oil-crops-yearbook.
\150\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
b. Animal Fats and UCO
In addition to vegetable oils, the other primary sources of
feedstocks for biodiesel and renewable diesel production are animal
fats (such as tallow) and UCO. In the U.S., collection and productive
use of these feedstocks is well established. Most of the economically
recoverable UCO and animal fats in the U.S. are currently collected and
productively used, primarily for biofuel production.\151\ We project
that the supply of these feedstocks will continue to grow, but that the
rate of growth in the availability of these feedstocks from domestic
markets will be modest, growing with domestic meat production and the
use of vegetable oil for food production.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\151\ Global Data, ``UCO Supply Outlook,'' August 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In contrast, there is both significant growth potential and a high
degree of uncertainty surrounding the supply of animal fats and UCO
that could be imported into the U.S. and used for biofuel production.
The uncertainty is associated both with the quantity of these materials
that can be economically collected and competition for available
feedstocks and biofuels produced from these feedstocks in other
countries.
The global supply of animal fats is expected to increase with
global meat consumption. Global meat production increased 53 percent
from 2000 to 2021 and is expected to continue to increase in future
years.\152\ Like other biodiesel and renewable diesel feedstocks,
animal fats have historically been used in other markets such as for
oleochemical production and livestock feed. We project that strong
incentives for biofuels produced from animal fats in the U.S. (from
both state and federal incentive programs) will result in increasing
quantities of these feedstocks being used for biofuel production. Thus,
we project that the available supply of animal fats to biofuel
producers will increase in future years due to both increasing animal
fat production (as a byproduct of increasing meat production) and the
diversion of animal fats for existing uses to biofuel production. We
note, however, that the environmental benefits associated with biofuels
produced from diverting animal fats (or any feedstock) diverted from
existing markets are likely less than the environmental benefits
associated with biofuels produced from feedstocks that would not
otherwise be productively used.\153\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\152\ Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations,
``World Food and Agriculture--Statistical Yearbook 2023,'' 2023.
https://doi.org/10.4060/cc8166en.
\153\ When feedstocks are diverted from existing uses, the
markets that previously used these feedstocks generally seek
alternative feedstocks. Potential alternatives could include
petroleum-based feedstocks or palm oil. Increased use of these
feedstocks in non-biofuel markets could reduce or negate the
intended environmental benefits from increased biofuel production.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The global supply of UCO is primarily a function of UCO collection
rates, which are themselves a function of the total quantity of
vegetable oils used in food production and the infrastructure in place
to collect and productively use UCO. UCO collection rates vary
significantly by country, from virtually nothing in many countries to
approximately 2.5 pounds per capita in the U.S.\154\ Demand for UCO as
a feedstock for biofuel production in recent years has resulted in a
rapid increase in the global collection of UCO, from approximately 2.3
billion gallons in 2018 to approximately 3.7 billion gallons in
2022.\155\ A recent study projected that the increase in global UCO
collection from 2022 to 2027 could range from 1.4 billion gallons
(based on projected increases in population and GDP) to 6.1 billion
gallons (based on increasing collection rates in countries that
currently have some UCO collection infrastructure in place).\156\ The
study noted that even greater UCO collection is possible by 2027 with
economic incentives sufficient to encourage the collection of UCO in
countries where it is currently not being collected.\157\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\154\ Global Data, ``UCO Supply Outlook,'' August 2023.
\155\ Id.
\156\ Id.
\157\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to the uncertainty related to the global collection of
animal fats and UCO, there is also significant uncertainty related to
the markets where these feedstocks and biofuels produced from them will
be used. Because biodiesel and renewable diesel generally cost more to
produce than the petroleum fuels they displace, demand for these fuels
is primarily driven by the incentives available to the producers and/or
blenders of these fuels. Many countries around the world offer
incentives or have imposed mandates for the use of biodiesel and
renewable diesel. These incentives vary significantly from country to
country, both in magnitude and in structure. For example, some
countries provide the same incentive for all gallons of qualifying
biofuel, while other countries provide increasing incentives for
biofuels that provide greater GHG reductions, such as the waste
feedstock derived fuels.
Because incentives are often greatest for animal fats and UCO
feedstocks and biofuels produced from them, the market for these fuels
is subject to greater volatility based on changes in biofuel policies
than are vegetable oils and biofuels produced from vegetable oils. For
example, in California's LCFS program, biofuels produced from animal
fats and UCO generally have a lower carbon intensity and thus generate
more credits than biofuels produced from vegetable oils such as soybean
oil and canola oil. The EU's RED II places no restrictions on the
crediting of biofuels produced from animal fats and UCO while the
crediting of biofuels produced from food and feed crops is limited to a
maximum of 7 percent of the consumption in the road and rail transport
sector in each member state.\158\ Because biofuels and biofuel
feedstocks are globally traded commodities, the incentives available
for the production and use of these
[[Page 25824]]
biofuels can and historically have had a significant impact on where
these products are used. A greater or smaller portion of the available
global supply of animal fats and UCO could be available to U.S. biofuel
producers depending on whether the incentives available to biofuel
producers are higher or lower than those offered by other countries.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\158\ European Commission, ``Renewable Energy--Recast to 2030
(RED II).''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Recent changes in the trade flows of UCO from China illustrate the
changing nature of incentive programs and the impact these changes can
have on the supply of biofuel feedstocks. From 2018-2023, exports of
UCO from China increased significantly, from approximately 0.6 million
metric tons in 2018 to about 2.1 million metric tons in 2023. From
2018-2022, the primary destination of these exports was Europe,
accounting for approximately 60 percent of all exports of UCO from
China, while less than 1 percent of all exports of UCO from China were
exported to the U.S.\159\ In 2023, however, the market dynamics changed
significantly. Exports of UCO from China to Europe fell to just 23
percent of total exports, while exports to the U.S. increased to 41
percent.\160\ The decline in European UCO imports was due to a
combination of factors, including reduced demand for biodiesel and
renewable diesel in some EU member states and concerns that imported
UCO from China may include palm oil. These concerns resulted in
decreased demand for UCO sourced from China in the EU and simultaneous
increased demand for this feedstock in the U.S. There is potential for
increased consumption of these fuels and feedstocks domestically in
China in future years, should the government, for example, choose to
increase incentives for the production and use of renewable jet fuel.
The unpredictable nature of changes to biofuel incentives in both the
U.S. and other countries in future years, combined with the potentially
significant impact of these changes, makes it very difficult to predict
the supply of these feedstocks to U.S. biofuel producers with a high
degree of certainty.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\159\ UN Comtrade Database, Trade Data, HS Code 1518.
\160\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Proposed Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel Volumes
Based on our analyses of all the statutory factors, we are
proposing volumes for 2026 and 2027 that reflect 500 million RIN annual
increases in the projected supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
relative to the projected supply of these fuels in 2025. These volumes
reflect our consideration of the impacts of these fuels on the
statutory factors, including the potential increases in employment and
economic impacts associated with the increased production of these
fuels (particularly those produced from domestic feedstocks) and the
potential for GHG reductions that may result from their use. The
proposed non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes also reflect our
consideration of the projected potential increases in biodiesel and
renewable diesel production and supply based primarily on our
assessment of the supply of feedstocks used to produce these fuels
(including the uncertainties associated with these projections), the
projected high costs for these fuels relative to the petroleum fuel
they displace, and the potential negative impacts associated with
increasing demand for vegetable oils or diverting feedstocks from
existing uses to biofuel production.
We project that the feedstocks needed to produce the proposed non-
cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes could be supplied from domestic
sources and therefore are not dependent on increases in the quantity of
imported feedstocks in future years. The proposed reduction in the
number of RINs generated for imported renewable fuels and renewable
fuels produced from foreign feedstocks significantly increase the
likelihood that the increase in the supply of non-cellulosic biofuels
through 2027 will be supplied by domestic biofuel producers using
domestic feedstocks. Through 2027, we project that imported renewable
fuels and feedstocks will continue to contribute towards the total
supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuels, but that the relative share
of imported renewable fuels and feedstocks will decrease in future
years as domestic supplies increase in response to the incentives
provided by the RFS program. We acknowledge, however, that the impact
of the proposed import RIN reduction provisions on imports of
biodiesel, renewable diesel, and feedstocks used to produce these fuels
is uncertain. We request comment on the impact of the proposed import
RIN reduction provisions on imports of biodiesel, renewable diesel, and
feedstocks used to produce these fuels.\161\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\161\ See DRIA Chapter 3.2 for our assessment of the likely
impacts of this proposed rule, including the impact of the proposed
import RIN reduction.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We recognize that there are potential negative impacts likely to
result from non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume requirements that
are too high or too low. If we establish volume requirements for these
fuels that are too low, the market will likely supply lower volumes of
these fuels to the U.S. than could be achieved with higher volume
requirements. This could negatively impact biofuel producers and result
in lower employment, economic impacts, and GHG emission reductions than
could be achieved with higher volume requirements. Conversely, if we
establish volume requirements for these fuels that are too high, the
costs of these fuels would be expected to rise, increasing the prices
of food, fuel, and other goods for consumers. It is also possible that
the market would be unable to supply higher volumes, requiring EPA to
reduce the volume requirements in the future, undermining the market
stability the RFS program is designed to provide. Finally, increasing
demand for feedstocks could result in the diversion of qualifying
feedstocks from existing uses and increased demand for substitutes such
as palm oil. We request comment on whether higher or lower volumes of
non-cellulosic advanced biofuel may be appropriate for 2026 and 2027.
While we have determined that it is reasonable to propose volumes
for 2026 and 2027 that reflect 500 million RIN annual increases in the
projected supply of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel, we are not
proposing the advanced biofuel volume requirements for 2026 and 2027 at
a level equal to the sum of cellulosic biofuel and non-cellulosic
advanced biofuel volumes in this scenario. Consistent with the approach
taken by EPA in the Set 1 Rule, and as discussed in greater detail in
Section V.D, we are proposing volume requirements in this action that
reflect an implied conventional renewable fuel requirement of 15
billion gallons in each year. Since we project that the quantity of
conventional renewable fuel available in these years will be limited,
significant volumes of non-ethanol biofuels will be needed to meet the
proposed conventional renewable fuel volume of 15 billion gallons.
We project that the most likely source of non-ethanol biofuel will
be biodiesel and renewable diesel that qualifies as BBD. Biodiesel and
renewable diesel cannot be used to satisfy the projected shortfall in
conventional renewable fuel if we already require the use of these
fuels to meet the proposed non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes.
Therefore, the proposed non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volumes are
equal to the Low Volume Scenario less the volume projected to be needed
to meet the shortfall in the proposed conventional renewable fuel
volume. The proposed non-cellulosic advanced
[[Page 25825]]
biofuel volumes for 2026 and 2027 are summarized in Table V.B.2-1.
Table V.B.2-1--Proposed Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel Volumes
[Million RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Non-cellulosic biofuel volume (total 8,940 9,440
supply)................................
Needed to meet the implied conventional 1,220 1,340
volume.................................
Available for the advanced biofuel 7,720 8,100
standard...............................
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
C. Biomass-Based Diesel
In previous RFS rulemakings, we have adopted an approach of
increasing the BBD volume requirement in concert with the change, if
any, in the implied non-cellulosic advanced biofuel volume requirement.
This approach provides ongoing support for BBD producers, while
maintaining an opportunity for other advanced biofuels to compete for
market share. In reviewing the implementation of the RFS program to
date, we determined that this approach successfully balanced a desire
to provide support for BBD producers with an increasing guaranteed
market, while at the same time maintaining an opportunity for other
advanced biofuels to compete within the advanced biofuel category. Our
assessment of the impacts of BBD on the statutory factors is discussed
further in the DRIA.
As in recent years, we believe that excess volumes of BBD beyond
the BBD volume requirements will be used to satisfy the advanced
biofuel volume requirement within which the BBD volume requirement is
nested. Historically, the BBD standard has not independently driven the
use of BBD in the market. This is due to the nested nature of the
standards and the competitiveness of BBD relative to other advanced
biofuels. Moreover, BBD can also be driven by the implied conventional
renewable fuel volume requirement as an alternative to using increasing
volumes of corn ethanol in higher-level ethanol blends such as E15 and
E85. We believe these trends will continue through 2027.
We also believe it is important to maintain space for other
advanced biofuels to participate within the advanced biofuel standard
of the RFS program. Although the BBD industry has matured over the past
decade, the production of advanced biofuels other than biodiesel and
renewable diesel continues to be relatively low and uncertain.
Maintaining this space for other advanced biofuels can in the long-term
facilitate increased commercialization and use of other advanced
biofuels, which may have superior environmental benefits, avoid
concerns with food prices and supply, and have lower costs relative to
BBD. Furthermore, rather than only supporting BBD, the new 45Z credit
may support the production and use of non-BBD advanced biofuels as
well. Despite the potential impacts of the 45Z credit, we do not think
increasing the size of this space is necessary through 2027 given that
only small quantities of these other advanced biofuels have been used
in recent years relative to the space we have provided for them in
those years.
The proposed BBD volumes represent significant growth from the
volumes established in the Set 1 Rule. At the same time, these volumes
preserve an opportunity for non-cellulosic advanced biofuels other than
BBD to compete for market share within the advanced biofuel category.
We are proposing BBD volumes that maintain a 600 million RIN
opportunity for non-cellulosic advanced biofuels other than BBD, which
is approximately equal to the opportunity for these fuels from 2023-
2025. We request comment on this 600 million RIN amount and whether a
higher or lower number would be appropriate. The proposed BBD volumes
are shown in Table V.C-1.
Note that, unlike in previous years, the BBD volume requirement is
expressed in RINs rather than physical gallons. As discussed in Section
X.C, we are proposing to make this change to better align the BBD
requirement with the requirements for the other three categories of
renewable fuel, which are expressed in RINs rather than gallons. This
change also reflects the increasing uncertainty in the relationship
between the number of gallons of BBD that will be needed to satisfy the
percentage standards due to the proposed reduction in the number of
RINs generated for imported renewable fuels and renewable fuels
produced from foreign feedstocks.\162\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\162\ See Section VIII.
Table V.C-1--Proposed BBD Volumes
[Million RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
BBD..................................... 7,120 7,500
Opportunity for advanced biofuel other 600 600
than BBD...............................
-------------------------------
Total non-cellulosic advanced 7,720 8,100
biofuel............................
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
D. Conventional Renewable Fuel
Although Congress had intended cellulosic biofuel to become the
most widely used renewable fuel by 2022, conventional renewable fuel
has continued to account for the majority of renewable fuel supply
since the RFS program began in 2005. The favorable economics of
blending corn ethanol at 10 percent into gasoline, even without the
incentives created by the RFS
[[Page 25826]]
program, caused it to quickly saturate the gasoline supply shortly
after the RFS program began. Indeed, corn ethanol has been added to
nearly every gallon of gasoline used for transportation in the United
States ever since.
The implied statutory volume target for conventional renewable fuel
rose annually between 2009 and 2015 until it reached 15 billion
gallons, where it remained through 2022. EPA has used 15 billion
gallons of conventional renewable fuel in calculating the applicable
percentage standards for several recent years, most recently for 2023-
2025 in the Set 1 Rule.
As discussed in Section III.B.5, constraints on ethanol consumption
have prevented the volume of ethanol used in transportation fuel from
reaching 15 billion gallons, even with the incentives provided by the
RFS program and after accounting for the projected increase in the
availability of higher-level ethanol blends such as E15 and E85. Such
higher-level ethanol blends are an avenue through which higher volumes
of renewable fuel can be used in the transportation sector to reduce
GHG emissions and improve energy security over time. Incentives created
by the implied conventional renewable fuel volume requirement
contribute to the economic attractiveness of these fuels. However, we
expect the constraints that currently limit adoption of these blends,
and ethanol consumption as a whole, to continue to exist through 2027.
The difficulty in reaching 15 billion gallons with ethanol is
compounded by the fact that gasoline demand for 2026 and 2027 is
expected to continue to decline over time in line with likely vehicle
efficiency improvements.
We do not believe that constraints on ethanol consumption should be
the single determining factor in the appropriate level of conventional
renewable fuel to establish for 2026 and 2027. The implied volume
requirement for conventional renewable fuel is not a requirement for
ethanol, nor even for conventional renewable fuel. Instead,
conventional renewable fuel is the portion of total renewable fuel that
is not required to be advanced biofuel. The implied volume requirement
for conventional renewable fuel can be satisfied by any approved
renewable fuel. Examples of non-ethanol renewable fuels that regularly
contribute to this volume include conventional biodiesel and renewable
diesel, as well as advanced biodiesel and renewable diesel beyond what
is required by the advanced biofuel volume requirement. For these
reasons, we choose to propose the appropriate level of conventional
renewable fuel on a broader basis than just the amount of conventional
ethanol likely to be consumed each year.
While this segment of the RFS program creates opportunities for all
approved renewable fuels to contribute, EPA's analysis of several of
the statutory factors also highlights, in our view, the importance of
ongoing support for corn ethanol generally and for an implied
conventional renewable fuel volume requirement that helps to
incentivize the domestic consumption of corn ethanol. Moreover,
sustained and predictable support of higher-level ethanol blends
through consistent implied conventional renewable fuel volume
requirements help provide some longer-term incentives for the market to
invest in the necessary infrastructure. The benefits of this approach
include potential increases in employment and economic impact, most
notably for corn farmers, but also positive impacts on ethanol
producers and related ethanol blending and distribution activities. The
rural economies surrounding these industries also benefit from strong
demand for ethanol. Increased demand for higher-level ethanol blends
could also increase employment and economic impact more broadly if
retail station owners respond to the incentives created by the RFS
program and other federal actions by investing in infrastructure
necessary to increase the availability of higher-level ethanol blends
at their stations. In addition, the consumption of renewable fuels,
including domestically produced ethanol, reduces our reliance on
foreign sources of petroleum imports and increases the energy security
status of the U.S. as discussed in Section IV.B.
Most corn ethanol production occurs in facilities that commenced
construction prior to December 19, 2007. This fuel is ``grandfathered''
under the provisions of 40 CFR 80.1403 and thus is not required to
achieve a 20 percent reduction in GHGs in comparison to gasoline,
pursuant to CAA section 211(o)(2)(A)(i). Nevertheless, based on both
our assessment of corn ethanol in the RFS2 Rule and our assessment of
GHG impacts for this rule, summarized in Section IV.A, corn ethanol
provides GHG reductions in comparison to gasoline. Greater volumes of
ethanol consumed thus correspond to greater GHG reductions than would
be the case if gasoline was consumed instead of ethanol.
We are projecting that total ethanol consumption will be lower in
2026 and 2027 than it was in previous years despite the increase in
consumption of E15 and E85, as discussed in Sections III. At the same
time, we are projecting that sufficient BBD and other non-ethanol
advanced biofuels will be available in 2026 and 2027 to compensate for
this reduction in ethanol consumption and to enable an implied volume
requirement for conventional renewable fuel of 15 billion gallons to be
met. We are thus proposing to set the implied conventional renewable
fuel volume requirement for 2026 and 2027 at 15 billion gallons.
Table V.D-1--Proposed Conventional Renewable Fuel Volumes
[Million RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conventional ethanol.................... 13,780 13,660
Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel (beyond 1,220 1,340
what is needed to meet the advanced
biofuel volume requirement)............
-------------------------------
Total conventional renewable fuel... 15,000 15,000
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 10 million RINs.
E. Treatment of Carryover RINs
In our assessment of supply-related factors, we focused on those
factors that could directly or indirectly impact the consumption of
renewable fuel in the U.S. and thereby determined the potential number
of RINs generated in each year that could be available for compliance
with the applicable standards in those same years. However, carryover
RINs represent another source of RINs that can be used for compliance.
We therefore investigated whether and to what degree carryover RINs
should be considered in the context of
[[Page 25827]]
determining appropriate levels for the volume scenarios and,
ultimately, the Proposed Volumes.
CAA section 211(o)(5) requires that EPA establish a credit program
as part of its RFS regulations, and that the credits be valid for
obligated parties to show compliance for 12 months as of the date of
generation. EPA implemented this requirement through the use of RINs,
which are generated for the production of qualifying renewable fuels.
Obligated parties can comply by blending renewable fuels into the
transportation fuel supply themselves, or by purchasing RINs that
represent the renewable fuels that other parties have blended into the
supply. RINs can be used to demonstrate compliance for the year in
which they are generated or the subsequent compliance year. Obligated
parties can obtain more RINs than they need in a given compliance year,
allowing them to ``carry over'' these excess RINs for use in the
subsequent compliance year, although the RFS regulations limit the use
of these carryover RINs to 20 percent of the obligated party's
renewable volume obligation (RVO).\163\ For the collective supply of
carryover RINs to be preserved from one year to the next, individual
carryover RINs are used for compliance before they expire and are
essentially replaced with newer vintage RINs that are then held for use
in the next year. For example, vintage 2025 carryover RINs must be used
for compliance with 2026 compliance year obligations, or they will
expire. However, vintage 2026 RINs can then be saved for use toward
2027 compliance.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\163\ 40 CFR 80.1427(a)(5).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As noted in past RFS annual rules, carryover RINs are a
foundational element of the design and implementation of the RFS
program.\164\ Carryover RINs play an important role in providing a
liquid and well-functioning RIN market upon which success of the entire
program depends, and in providing obligated parties compliance
flexibility in the face of substantial uncertainties in the
transportation fuel marketplace.\165\ Carryover RINs enable parties
``long'' on RINs to trade them to those ``short'' on RINs, instead of
forcing all obligated parties to comply through physical blending.
Carryover RINs also provide flexibility and reduce spikes in compliance
costs in the face of a variety of unforeseeable circumstances--
including weather-related damage to renewable fuel feedstocks and other
circumstances potentially affecting the production and distribution of
renewable fuel--that could limit the availability of RINs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\164\ See, e.g., 72 FR 23904 (May 1, 2007).
\165\ See 80 FR 77482-87 (December 14, 2015), 81 FR 89754-55
(December 12, 2016), 82 FR 58493-95 (December 12, 2017), 83 FR
63708-10 (December 11, 2018), 85 FR 7016 (February 6, 2020), 87 FR
39600 (July 1, 2022), 88 FR 44468 (July 12, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Just as the economy as a whole is able to function efficiently when
individuals and businesses prudently plan for unforeseen events by
maintaining inventories and reserve money accounts, we believe that the
RFS program is best able to function when sufficient carryover RINs are
held in reserve for potential use by the RIN holders themselves, or for
possible sale to others that may not have established their own
carryover RIN reserves. Without sufficient RINs in reserve, even minor
disruptions causing shortfalls in renewable fuel production or
distribution, or higher-than-expected transportation fuel demand
(requiring greater volumes of renewable fuel to comply with the
percentage standards that apply to all volumes of transportation fuel,
including the unexpected volumes) could result in deficits and/or
noncompliance by parties without RIN reserves. Moreover, because
carryover RINs are individually and unequally held by market
participants, a non-zero but nevertheless small number of available
carryover RINs may negatively impact the RIN market, even when the
market overall could satisfy the standards. In such a case, market
disruptions could force the need for a retroactive waiver of the
standards, undermining the market certainty so critical to the RFS
program. For all these reasons, carryover RINs provide a necessary
programmatic buffer that helps facilitate compliance by individual
obligated parties, provides for smooth overall functioning of the
program to the benefit of all market participants, and is consistent
with the statutory provision requiring the generation and use of
credits.
Carryover RINs have also provided flexibility when EPA has
considered the need to use its waiver authorities to lower volumes. For
example, in the context of the 2013 RFS rulemaking we noted that an
abundance of carryover RINs available in that year, together with
possible increases in renewable fuel production and import, justified
maintaining the advanced and total renewable fuel volume requirements
for that year at the levels specified in the statute.\166\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\166\ 79 FR 49793-95 (August 15, 2013).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Projected Number of Available Carryover RINs
The projected number of available carryover RINs after compliance
with the 2023 standards (i.e., the number of carryover RINs available
for compliance with the 2024 standards) is summarized in Table V.E.1-
1.\167\ This is the most recent year for which complete RFS compliance
data was available at the time of this proposal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\167\ The calculations performed to project the number of
available carryover RINs can be found in DRIA Chapter 1.8.
Table V.E.1-1--Projected 2023 Carryover RINs
[Million RINs]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Absolute 2023 Effective 2023
RFS standard RIN type carryover RINs \a\ carryover RINs \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic Biofuel........................ D3+D7....................... 30 0
Non-Cellulosic Advanced Biofuel \c\....... D4+D5....................... 740 410
Conventional Renewable Fuel \d\........... D6.......................... 400 0
Total Renewable Fuel.................. All D Codes................. 1,170 \e\ 0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Represents the absolute number of 2023 carryover RINs that are available for compliance with the 2024
standards and does not account for deficits carried forward from 2023 into 2024.
\b\ Represents the effective number of 2023 carryover RINs that are available for compliance with the 2024
standards after accounting for deficits carried forward from 2023 into 2024. Standards for which deficits
exceed the number of available carryover RINs are represented as zero.
\c\ Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel is not an RFS standard category but is calculated by subtracting the number
of cellulosic RINs from the number of advanced RINs.
\d\ Conventional renewable fuel is not an RFS standard category but is calculated by subtracting the number of
advanced RINs from the number of total renewable fuel RINs.
[[Page 25828]]
\e\ This total reflects the fact that for some categories deficits exceed the absolute number of available
carryover RINs such that the total volume of effective carryover RINs is zero.
Assuming that the market exactly meets the 2024 and 2025 standards
with new RIN generation, these are also the number of carryover RINs
that would be available for 2026 and 2027. While we project that the
volume requirements in 2024 and 2025 and the volume scenarios for 2026
and 2027 could be achieved without the use of carryover RINs, there is
nevertheless some uncertainty about how the market would choose to meet
the applicable standards. The result is that there remains some
uncertainty surrounding the ultimate number of carryover RINs that will
be available for compliance with the 2026 and 2027 standards. In
particular, as discussed in DRIA Chapter 1.8, the number of available
carryover RINs has decreased significantly in recent years. While on an
absolute basis there should still be RINs available to purchase in the
marketplace, as shown in Table III.C.4.a-1, in reality the magnitude of
compliance deficits is even larger, making their availability less
certain. Furthermore, we note that there have been enforcement actions
in past years that have resulted in the retirement of carryover RINs to
make up for the generation and use of invalid RINs and/or the failure
to retire RINs for exported renewable fuel. To the extent that there
are enforcement actions in the future, they could have similar results
and require that obligated parties or renewable fuel exporters settle
past enforcement-related obligations in addition to complying with the
annual standards. In light of these uncertainties, the number of
available carryover RINs could be larger or smaller than the number
projected in Table V.E.1-1.
We continue to believe that carryover RINs serve a vital
programmatic function, but also acknowledge that the effective number
of cellulosic and conventional renewable fuel carryover RINs is zero,
and that the effective number of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
carryover RINs is significantly lower than it has been in recent years
and may be necessary to make up for the significant conventional
biofuel deficits. Should the market fall short of the volumes we are
finalizing, obligated parties will continue to be able to carry forward
a RIN deficit from one year into the next, although they may not carry
forward a deficit for consecutive years. Conversely, should the market
over-comply with the standards we are finalizing, the number of
available carryover RINs could again grow.
2. Treatment of Carryover RINs for 2026 and 2027
We evaluated the number of carryover RINs projected to be available
and considered whether we should include any portion of them in the
determination of the volume scenarios that we analyzed or the volume
requirements that we are proposing for 2026 and 2027. Doing so would be
equivalent to intentionally drawing down the number of available
carryover RINs in setting those volume requirements. After due
consideration, we do not believe that this would be appropriate and we
propose to avoid intentionally drawing down any portion of the
projected number of available carryover RINs in the Proposed Volumes.
In reaching this determination, we considered the functions of
carryover RINs, the projected number available, the uncertainties
associated with this projection, the potential impact of carryover RINs
on the production and use of renewable fuel, the ability and need for
obligated parties to draw on carryover RINs to comply with their
obligations (both on an individual basis and on a market-wide basis),
and the impacts of drawing down the number of available carryover RINs
on obligated parties and the fuels market more broadly. As previously
described, carryover RINs provide important and necessary programmatic
functions--including as a cost spike buffer--that will both facilitate
individual compliance and provide for smooth overall functioning of the
program. We believe that a balanced consideration of the possible role
of carryover RINs in achieving the volume requirements, versus
maintaining an adequate number of carryover RINs for important
programmatic functions, is appropriate when EPA exercises its
discretion under its statutory authorities.
Furthermore, in this action we are proposing to prospectively
establish volume requirements for multiple years. This inherently adds
uncertainty and makes it more challenging to project with accuracy the
number of carryover RINs that will be available for each of these
years. Given these factors, and the uneven holding of carryover RINs
among obligated parties, we believe that further increasing the volume
requirements for 2026 and 2027 with the intent to draw down the number
of available carryover RINs could lead to significant deficit
carryforwards and noncompliance by some obligated parties. We do not
believe this would be a desirable outcome. Therefore, consistent with
the approach we have taken in recent annual rules, we are not proposing
to set the 2026 and 2027 volume requirements at levels that would
intentionally draw down the projected number of available carryover
RINs.
We are not determining that the number of carryover RINs projected
in Table V.E.1-1 is a bright-line threshold for the number of carryover
RINs that provides sufficient market liquidity and allows carryover
RINs to play their important programmatic functions. As in past years,
we are instead evaluating, on a case-by-case basis, the number of
available carryover RINs in the context of the RFS standards and the
broader transportation fuel market. Based upon this holistic, case-by-
case evaluation, we are concluding that it would be inappropriate to
intentionally reduce the number of carryover RINs by establishing
higher volumes than what we anticipate the market can achieve in 2026
and 2027. Conversely, while a larger number of available carryover RINs
may provide greater assurance of market liquidity, we do not believe it
would be appropriate to set the standards at levels specifically
designed (i.e., low) to increase the number of carryover RINs available
to obligated parties.
F. Summary of Proposed Volume Requirements
For the reasons described above, we are proposing RFS volume
requirements based on the three component categories discussed above.
The volumes for each of the component categories (sometimes referred to
as implied volume requirements) are summarized in Table V.F-1. Table
V.F-1 also includes the proposed volume requirements for BBD, which is
not a component category of renewable fuel but is based on our
evaluation of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel and other considerations
described in Section V.C.
[[Page 25829]]
Table V.F-1: Proposed Volume Requirements for Component Categories and
BBD
[Billion RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel................ 1.30 1.36
Biomass-based diesel.............. 7.12 7.50
Non-cellulosic advanced biofuel... 7.72 8.10
Conventional renewable fuel....... 15.00 15.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 0.01 billion RINs.
The proposed volumes for each of the four component categories
shown in the table above can be combined to produce volume requirements
for the four statutory renewable fuel categories on which the
applicable percentage standards are based. The results are shown in
Table V.F-2.
Table V.F-2--Proposed Volume Requirements for Statutory Categories
[Billion RINs] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel............................ 1.30 1.36
Biomass-based diesel.......................... 7.12 7.50
Advanced biofuel.............................. 9.02 9.46
-------------------------
Total renewable fuel...................... 24.02 24.46
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ All volumes rounded to the nearest 0.01 billion RINs.
We believe that these volume requirements will preserve and
substantially build upon the gains made through biofuels in previous
years. These proposed volume requirements, in combination with the
proposed import RIN reduction provisions, would continue to support the
domestic renewable fuel industry and help move the U.S. towards greater
energy independence and energy security. These proposed volume
standards are expected to drive increased employment and economic
impact in the U.S. and are projected to achieve additional reductions
in GHG emissions from the transportation sector. The proposed volume
requirements would also promote ongoing development within the biofuels
and agriculture industries as well as the economies of the rural areas
in which biofuels production facilities and feedstock production
reside.
G. Request for Comment on Alternatives
We request comment on alternative volume requirements for each of
the statutory categories of renewable fuel for 2026 and 2027, including
volumes both higher and lower than we are proposing and appropriate
volumes if the proposed provisions to reduce the number of RINs
generated for imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from
foreign feedstocks are not finalized. Our analysis of the Low and High
Volume Scenarios summarized in Section IV and presented in greater
detail in the DRIA provides an indication of the potential impacts of
alternative volumes. Note that while the Proposed Volumes (expressed in
billion RINs) are similar to the Low Volume Scenario and lower than the
High Volume Scenario, we project that the Proposed Volumes would result
in significantly higher renewable fuel production and consumption in
the U.S. than either the Low or High Volume Scenario, particularly for
domestic renewable fuel, due to the proposed import RIN reduction
provisions.
We also request that commenters provide any data or analysis that
would support alternative volumes for these years. In particular, we
request comment on our proposed approach of accounting for the
projected shortfall in the supply of conventional renewable fuel
relative to the 15-billion-gallon implied volume when establishing the
volume requirements for advanced biofuel and BBD (see Section V.B for a
description of this approach). We request comment on the advantages and
disadvantages of establishing BBD and advanced biofuel volume
requirements at levels at or closer to the projected supplies of these
fuels, as has been suggested by some stakeholders, and the implications
of doing so on the implied volume of conventional renewable fuel if
such an approach were adopted.
H. Summary of the Assessed Impacts of the Proposed Volume Standards
CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(ii) requires EPA to assess specific
factors when determining volume requirements for calendar years after
2022. These factors are described in Section I and each factor is
discussed in detail in the DRIA. However, the statute does not specify
how EPA must assess each factor or address whether the EPA
Administrator should monetize particular factors, quantify particular
factors, or analyze particular factors qualitatively in reaching a
determination. For several of these statutory factors--costs and energy
security--we provide estimates of the monetized impacts of the proposed
volume standards. For the other statutory factors, we are either unable
to quantify impacts, or we provide quantitative estimated impacts that
nevertheless cannot be easily monetized. Thus, we are unable to
quantitatively compare all the evaluated impacts of this rulemaking and
are also unable to compare all quantitative impacts on a consistent
basis. Our assessments of the impacts of the proposed volume standards
mirrors our assessment of the Volume Scenarios discussed in Section IV.
That is, we compared the difference in estimated outcomes under the
proposed volume standards to the estimated outcomes under the No RFS
Baseline.
Assessed effects of the proposed volume standards on the factors
enumerated below differ in the directions of their respective impacts.
That is, some assessments show benefits of the proposed volume
standards from the factor(s) in question, others show negative impacts,
while still others show impacts with ambiguous or different directional
effects. Factors with analyses showing benefits of the proposed volume
standards include impacts on jobs, rural economic development, energy
security benefits, and the potential for climate benefits. Assessed
factors with analyses indicating costs or directionally negative
effects of the proposed volume standards include impacts on fuel costs,
water and soil resources, and impacts of induced land use change on
ecosystems. Our assessment of the effects of the proposed volume
standards on other factors show ambiguous or mixed directional impacts.
These factors include effects on the supply and price of some
agricultural commodities, air quality impacts, and impacts on
infrastructure. All the statutory factors are taken under
consideration, as is required by the statute, regardless of whether we
were able to quantify or
[[Page 25830]]
monetize the impact under the proposed volume standards on each of the
statutory factors.
1. Jobs and Rural Economic Development
In this section, we summarize our estimates of the impacts of the
Proposed Volumes on economy-wide employment and rural economic
development (both include direct, indirect, and induced impacts). These
analyses are described in detail in DRIA Chapter 9.
To estimate the impact of this proposed rule on jobs (relative to
the No RFS baseline), we applied the same two analytical approaches
described in Section IV.D--the ``rule-of-thumb'' approach and the use
of input-output modeling where feasible. These results are summarized
in Table V.H.1-1. For the corn ethanol case, using the results from the
IO analysis we have developed ranges of impacts for fuel volumes based
on uncertainty regarding how the volumes will be provided. For example,
volumes associated with new production capacity would also be
associated with some number of temporary construction jobs, while
expanded capacity utilization at existing facilities would not. These
ranges of potential impacts are summarized in tables in Chapter 9 along
with detailed explanations of the associated methodology.
We estimate that all three categories of renewable fuel we
analyzed--ethanol, BBD, and RNG--are associated with increases in jobs
to varying degrees. We observe that RNG appears to be associated with
the highest number of direct jobs created per unit of biofuel. However,
BBD is projected to have the highest job creation impact overall,
primarily due to substantially higher production increases relative to
the baseline. In terms of rural employment specifically, ethanol has
the highest direct and total effects per million gallons of ethanol
equivalent. Relative to the No RFS Baseline and accounting for direct,
indirect, and induced effects, BBD is projected to have the highest
impact on agricultural employment, mainly due to substantially higher
production increases relative to the baseline.
We also estimate that ethanol, BBD, and RNG are all associated with
increased rural economic development, again to varying degrees. Since
renewable fuels rely on agricultural feedstocks, we use the GDP impacts
associated with agricultural feedstocks to infer the effects on rural
economic development. We estimate that BBD and ethanol have higher
impacts per million gallons of ethanol equivalent on rural economic
development than does RNG. Relative to the No RFS Baseline and
accounting for direct, indirect, and induced effects, BBD is projected
to have the highest impact on rural economic development, largely due
to substantially higher production increases relative to the baseline.
Table V.H.1-1 summarizes the estimated economy-wide job impacts and
rural GDP impacts (including direct, indirect, and induced impacts)
associated with the proposed volumes of ethanol, BBD, and RNG. These
estimates of rural GDP impacts are actual values as opposed to
discounted values, implying that they do not reflect the time value of
money.
Table V.H.1-1--Job Creation and Rural GDP Impacts of Proposed Volumes
[FTE; million 2022$]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Fuel type Rural economic Rural economic
Jobs development Jobs development
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RNG....................................... 19,504 1,072.16 20,240 1,112.59
BBD....................................... 92,285 9,742.30 96,749 10,213.54
Ethanol \a\............................... 5,332 366.19 5,735 393.83
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Total................................. 117,121 11,180.66 122,723 11,719.96
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ For the corn ethanol case alone, using NREL's JEDI module for dry mill corn ethanol we were able to generate
employment and income estimates under alternative scenarios and also carry out a sensitivity analysis. Please
refer to DRIA Chapter 9 for more details.
Our estimates are subject to the limitations and assumptions of the
methods employed. They are not meant to be exact estimates, but rather
to provide an estimate of general magnitude. In addition, our estimates
for jobs and rural development impacts are gross estimates and not net
estimates. To be more accurate, the job estimates are labor demand in
the directly regulated industry. We also acknowledge that, in the long
run, environmental regulations such as the RFS program typically affect
the distribution of employment among industries rather than the general
employment level.
We request comment on our approaches to estimating jobs and rural
economic development impacts associated with renewable fuels.
2. Energy Security
Our analysis shows that the Proposed Volumes would have a positive
impact on energy security by reducing U.S. reliance on foreign sources
of energy. Monetized energy security impacts of the Proposed Volumes
are summarized in Table V.H.2-1. Energy security and methods of
quantifying energy security impacts are discussed in Section IV.A and
DRIA Chapter 6.
Table V.H.2-1--Energy Security Impacts Estimates of the Proposed Volumes
[Million 2022$]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3% Discount rate 7% Discount rate
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Present value (2025)........ $387 $366
Annualized value \a\........ 202 202
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Computing annualized costs and benefits from present values spreads
the costs and benefits equally over each period, taking account of the
discount rate. The annualized value equals the present value divided
by the sum of discount factors.
[[Page 25831]]
3. Climate Change
Our analysis of the effects of the Proposed Volumes on climate
change shows a range of potential GHG emissions impacts, from 29
million metric tons of cumulative CO2e reductions through
2055 (1 million metric tons annual average reductions) to 491 million
metric tons of cumulative CO2e reductions through 2055 (16
million metric tons annual average reductions). Although these
reductions are notable, the uncertainties involved in implementation
and the causal relationship between these emissions and climate change
considerations make it difficult to evaluate the extent to which such
reductions will meaningfully impact climate change. Methods for
estimating climate impacts are discussed in DRIA Chapter 5.
4. Fuel Costs
The methodology used to estimate fuel costs is summarized in
Section IV.B, while a detailed summary of the methodology is contained
in DRIA Chapter 10. The estimated fuel costs for the Proposed Volumes
(including the impacts of the proposed import RIN reduction provisions)
are presented in Tables V.H.4-1 through 3, while the estimated fuel
costs for the Volume Scenarios are summarized in Section IV.B.2.\168\
Fuel costs represent the costs of producing and using biofuels relative
to the petroleum fuels they displace. The net estimated cost impacts
are total social costs, excluding any subsidies and transfer payments,
and thus are incrementally added to all other societal costs. They do
not include benefits and other factors, such as the potential impacts
on soil and water quality or potential GHG reduction benefits. See DRIA
Chapter 10.4.2 for more detail on the estimated costs of this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\168\ More detailed information on the costs for the Proposed
Volumes is available in DRIA Chapter 10.4.2.
Table V.H.4-1--Aggregated Total Social Costs Relative to the No RFS
Baseline
[Million 2022$] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gasoline.......................... 188 206
Diesel............................ 7,456 5,871
Natural Gas....................... -150 -142
-------------------------------------
Total......................... 7,494 5,936
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Total cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it
is blended into.
Table V.H.4-2--Per-Unit Costs Relative to No RFS Baseline
[2022$] \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gasoline...................................... [cent]/gal...................... 0.14 0.16
Diesel........................................ [cent]/gal...................... 14.22 11.30
Natural Gas................................... [cent]/thousand ft\3\........... -0.50 -0.49
Gasoline and Diesel........................... [cent]/gal...................... 4.07 3.26
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Per-gallon or per thousand cubic feet cost of the renewable fuel expressed over the fossil fuel it is
blended into; the last row expresses the cost over the obligated pool of gasoline and diesel fuel.
Table V.H.4-3--Estimated Discounted Fuel Costs Impacts of the Proposed
Volumes
[Million 2022$]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3% Discount rate 7% Discount rate
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Present value (2025)........ $12,871 $12,188
Annualized value \a\........ 6,726 6,741
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Computing annualized costs and benefits from present values spreads
the costs and benefits equally over each period, taking account of the
discount rate. The annualized value equals the present value divided
by the sum of discount factors.
5. Cost to Transport Goods
We also estimated the impact of the Proposed Volumes on the cost to
transport goods. However, it is not appropriate to use the social cost
for this analysis as the fuel prices include a number of other factors,
such as state and federal incentives, that we do not consider in our
social cost estimates. The per-unit costs from Table V.H.4-2 are
adjusted to reflect RIN price impacts and account for the biofuel
subsidies and other market factors, and the resulting values can be
thought of as retail costs. Consistent with our assessment of the fuels
markets, we have assumed that obligated parties pass through their RIN
costs to consumers and that fuel blenders reflect the RIN value of the
renewable fuels in the price of the blended fuels they sell.\169\ Table
V.H.5-1 summarizes the estimated impacts of the Proposed Volumes
(including the impacts of the proposed import RIN reduction provisions)
on gasoline and diesel fuel prices at retail when the costs of each
biofuel is amortized over the fossil fuel it displaces. We note that
while the Proposed Volumes for 2026 and 2027 are higher than the 2025
baseline, the projected costs of this proposed rule are less than the
2025 baseline. This is primarily due to lower feedstock prices
resulting in lower projected costs of production for renewable fuels in
2026 and 2027 relative to 2025.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\169\ See DRIA Chapter 10.5 for more detailed information on our
estimates of the fuel price impacts of this action.
[[Page 25832]]
Table V.H.5-1--Estimated Effect of Proposed Volumes on Retail Fuel
Prices
[[cent]/gal]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 2027
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Relative to No RFS Baseline:
Gasoline...................... 4.4 4.7
Diesel........................ 9.1 10.6
Relative to 2025 Baseline:
Gasoline...................... 0.0 0.0
Diesel........................ -1.0 -0.2
------------------------------------------------------------------------
For estimating the cost to transport goods, we focus on the impact
on diesel fuel prices since trucks that transport goods are normally
fueled by diesel fuel. Reviewing the data in Table V.H.5-1, the largest
projected price increase is 10.6[cent] per gallon for diesel fuel in
2027 for the No RFS Baseline.
The impact of fuel price increases on the price of goods can be
estimated based on a USDA study that analyzed the impact of fuel prices
on the wholesale price of produce.\170\ Applying the price correlation
from the USDA study indicates that the 10.6[cent] per gallon diesel
fuel cost increase raises retail prices by about 2.7 percent, which
would then increase the wholesale price of produce by about 0.7
percent. If produce being transported by a diesel truck costs $3 per
pound, the increase in that product's price would be $0.02 per
pound.\171\ If the estimated price impacts are averaged over the
combined gasoline and diesel fuel pool, the impact on produce prices
would be proportionally lower based on the lower per-gallon cost.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\170\ USDA, ``How Transportation Costs Affect Fresh Fruit and
Vegetable Prices,'' Economic Research Report 160, November 2013.
\171\ Coupons.com, ``Comparing Prices on Groceries,'' May 4,
2021.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
6. Conversion of Natural Lands, Water, Soil, and Ecosystem Impacts
Increases in volumes--particularly BBD volumes--attributable to
this action could lead to potential increases in agricultural land
conversion to produce biofuel feedstocks. Such land use changes could
subsequently contribute to negative impacts to water and soil quality,
water quantity, and ecosystems and habitat. This is discussed further
in DRIA Chapters 4.2 through 4.5.
7. Infrastructure
We evaluated the Proposed Volumes and how they may impact the
existing renewable fuels infrastructure required for product
distribution. This includes whether the current infrastructure system
is sufficient to accommodate the increases in the Proposed Volumes and
potential changes that could occur with volume increase and future
demand. Based on our analysis, we project that the proposed renewable
fuel volumes will be compatible with existing infrastructure and that
the supply of these fuels will not adversely impact the infrastructure
required for product distribution. A more detailed summary of this
analysis can be found in DRIA Chapter 8.
8. Commodity Supply
We project that the supply of commodities used for biofuel
production, such as corn and soybeans, will continue to increase in
future years primarily due to yield increases, consistent with historic
trends. It is possible that increasing demand for biofuel feedstocks
such as soybean oil will divert these feedstocks from other markets;
however, we project that most of the increase in the use of
agricultural commodities used for biofuel production will be met by
increased production of these feedstocks rather than diversion from
existing markets. See DRIA Chapter 9.2 for more detail on our analysis
of the impact of biofuel production on the supply of commodities.
9. Air Quality
We expect some localized increases in some air pollutant
concentrations due to the Proposed Volumes, particularly at locations
near biofuel production and transport routes. Overall, considering end
use, transport, and production, emission changes are expected to have
variable impacts on ambient concentrations of pollutants in specific
locations across the U.S. Air quality impacts are discussed further in
DRIA Chapter 4.1.
10. Food and Commodity Prices
Our analysis indicates that the Proposed Volumes would have only a
minimal impact on agricultural commodity and food prices, with any
resulting price increases expected to be small. A summary of the
estimated impacts is provided in Table V.H.10-1, and further discussion
can be found in DRIA Chapters 9.3 and 9.4.
Table V.H.10-1--Estimated Effect of Proposed Volumes on Food and Agricultural Commodity Prices
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Units 2026 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corn Price Increase........................... $ per bushel.................... $0.03 $0.03
Soybean Oil Price Increase.................... $ per pound..................... 0.33 0.36
Soybean Meal Price Change..................... $ per short ton................. -63 -71
Projected Food Expenditure Increase........... $ per Consumer Unit............. 17.97 18.00
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VI. Proposed Percentage Standards for 2026 and 2027
EPA implements the nationally applicable volume requirements by
establishing percentage standards that apply to obligated parties.\172\
The obligated parties to which the percentage standards apply are
producers and importers of gasoline and diesel, as defined by 40 CFR
80.2. Each obligated party multiplies the percentage standards by the
sum of all
[[Page 25833]]
non-renewable gasoline and diesel they produce or import to determine
their RVOs. The RVOs are the number of RINs that the obligated party is
responsible for procuring to demonstrate compliance with the applicable
standards for that year. Since there are four separate standards under
the RFS program, there are likewise four separate RVOs applicable to
each obligated party for each year. As described in Section II.D, EPA
establishes applicable percentage standards for multiple future years
after 2022 in a single action for as many years as it establishes
volume requirements. The renewable fuel volumes used to determine the
2026 and 2027 percentage standards are shown in Table V.F-2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\172\ See 40 CFR 80.1407 and 75 FR 14670 (March 26, 2010). As
discussed in the Set 1 Rule, EPA determined that continuing to use
percentage standards as the implementing mechanism for years after
2022 was effective and reasonable. 88 FR 44519 (July 12, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A. Calculation of Percentage Standards
The formulas used to calculate the percentage standards applicable
to obligated parties are provided in 40 CFR 80.1405(c). In addition to
the required volumes of renewable fuel, the formulas also require
estimates of the volumes of non-renewable gasoline and diesel, for both
highway and nonroad uses, that are projected to be used in the year in
which the standards will apply. Consistent with previous RFS
rulemakings, we are using gasoline and diesel projections provided by
EIA--specifically AEO2023, as this is the most recent projection from
EIA that covers 2026 and 2027.\173\ However, these projections include
volumes of renewable fuel (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel, renewable diesel)
used in gasoline and diesel. Since the percentage standards apply only
to the non-renewable portions of gasoline and diesel, the volumes of
renewable fuel are subtracted out of the EIA projections of gasoline
and diesel as part of the percentage standard equations.\174\
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\173\ EIA recently issued AEO2025 on April 15, 2025. We intend
to use these updated projections in the final rule.
\174\ Further adjustments of these projections are discussed in
``Calculation of Proposed 2026 and 2027 RFS Percentage Standards,''
available in the docket for this action. Discussion of the overall
gasoline and diesel projection adjustment factor is discussed in RFS
Set 1 RIA Chapter 1.11. We may update this adjustment factor for the
final rule after further evaluating the projections and
methodologies used in AEO2025.
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B. Treatment of Small Refinery Volumes
In CAA section 211(o)(9), Congress provided for qualifying small
refineries to be temporarily exempt from RFS compliance through
December 31, 2010. Congress also provided in CAA section
211(o)(9)(A)(ii)(II) and (B)(i) that small refineries could receive an
extension of the exemption beyond 2010 based either on the results of a
required Department of Energy (DOE) study or in response to individual
petitions demonstrating that the small refinery suffered
``disproportionate economic hardship.''
There is currently significant uncertainty regarding the number of
small refinery exemption (SRE) petitions that could be granted for 2026
and 2027. While we stated that ``we anticipate that no SREs will be
granted for these future years'' in the Set 1 Rule (referring to 2023-
2025) due to the SRE Denial Actions that had recently been issued,\175\
subsequent court cases invalidated those actions.\176\ As a result, the
SRE Denial Actions were vacated and the majority of the SRE petitions
decided therein were remanded back to EPA. We have yet to take further
action on these petitions and are still determining how we will
evaluate and decide those petitions, which would then inform how we
would evaluate and decide any SRE petitions received for 2026 and 2027.
We expect to communicate our policy regarding SRE petitions going
forward before finalization of this rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\175\ EPA, ``April 2022 Denial of Petitions for RFS Small
Refinery Exemptions,'' EPA-420-R-22-005, April 2022; EPA, ``June
2022 Denial of Petitions for RFS Small Refinery Exemptions,'' EPA-
420-R-22-011, June 2022.
\176\ Calumet Shreveport Refining, LLC et al. v. EPA, 86 F.4th
1121 (5th Cir. 2023); Sinclair Wyoming Ref. Co.et al. v. EPA, 114
F.4th 693 (D.C. Cir. 2024).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While there remains uncertainty in the volume of gasoline and
diesel that will be exempt in 2026 and 2027, we have developed an
upper- and lower-bound estimate of this exempt volume. We currently
project that there are approximately 34 qualifying and operational
small refineries producing up to approximately 18 billion gallons of
gasoline and diesel each year, or about 10 percent of the total
reported volume of obligated gasoline and diesel. Therefore, the
potential range of exempt volumes from SREs that could be included in
the calculation specified by 40 CFR 80.1405(c) for 2026 and 2027 ranges
from zero gallons (if EPA denied all SRE petitions) to 18 billion
gallons (if EPA granted all SRE petitions).
We have used these estimates to calculate both an upper- and lower-
bound on the potential percentage standards for 2026 and 2027. While we
are still developing our new approach to evaluating SRE petitions, for
purposes of the proposed percentage standards in this action, we have
used a volume of 18 billion gallons of exempt gasoline and diesel
(i.e., all small refineries would be exempt from having to comply with
their 2026 and 2027 RFS obligations). We have also calculated what the
percentage standards would be if there were zero gallons of exempt
gasoline and diesel (i.e., all small refineries would have to comply
with their 2026 and 2027 RFS obligations). We expect that by the time
we finalize the standards for 2026 and 2027, we will have determined
our new approach to evaluating and deciding SRE petitions and will use
that new approach to inform our projection of the exempt volumes of
gasoline and diesel. In the meantime, these upper- and lower-bound
estimates provide stakeholders with a range of plausible outcomes on
which to provide comment. We note that a higher projection of exempt
volumes of gasoline and diesel would increase the percentage standards
and thus the individual RVOs for non-exempt obligated parties. Finally,
we note that regardless of the new approach for evaluating SRE
petitions, we do not plan to revise the percentage standards once
finalized to account for any subsequent changes to that policy or other
inaccuracies in the projection of exempt volumes of gasoline and
diesel.\177\
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\177\ For further discussion on our approach if the actual
volume of exempt gasoline and diesel differs from our projection,
see 2020-2022 RFS Rule RTC Section 7.1.
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This proposed rule, consistent with our regulations, proposes to
project the exempt volume of gasoline and diesel associated with SREs
for the 2026 and 2027 compliance years only. This proposed rule does
not address any exempt volume from the potential grant of SREs for
prior compliance years (i.e., 2025 and earlier). Comments on exemptions
for compliance years other than 2026 and 2027 will be treated as beyond
the scope of this action.
C. Percentage Standards
The formulas used to calculate the percentage standards applicable
to obligated parties as a function of their gasoline and diesel fuel
production or importation are provided in 40 CFR 80.1405(c).\178\ Using
the volumes shown in Table V.F-2 and assuming 18 billion gallons of
exempt gasoline and diesel to represent the upper-bound estimate, we
have calculated the proposed percentage standards for 2026 and 2027, as
shown in Table VI.C-1.\179\ These percentage standards are included in
the proposed regulations at 40 CFR 80.1405(a) and would apply to
producers and importers
[[Page 25834]]
of gasoline and diesel. We have also calculated what the percentage
standards for 2026 and 2027 would be assuming zero gallons of exempt
gasoline and diesel, representing the lower-bound estimate of the
standards, also as shown in Table VI.C-1.
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\178\ As described in Section X.C, we are proposing revisions
and clarifications to the percentage standard equations.
\179\ See ``Calculation of Proposed 2026 and 2027 RFS Percentage
Standards,'' available in the docket for this action.
Table VI.C-1--Proposed Percentage Standards for 2026 and 2027
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Lower-bound estimate (0 gal exempt Upper-bound estimate (18 bil gal
G+D) exempt G+D)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2026 (%) 2027 (%) 2026 (%) 2027 (%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic biofuel.................. 0.77 0.82 0.87 0.92
Biomass-based diesel................ 4.24 4.52 4.75 5.07
Advanced biofuel.................... 5.37 5.70 6.02 6.40
Renewable fuel...................... 14.30 14.74 16.02 16.54
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VII. Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume Requirement
In the Set 1 Rule, EPA promulgated RFS volume requirements and
percentage standards for 2023-2025. As part of that rulemaking, EPA
projected that 1.38 billion cellulosic RINs would be generated in 2025
and used that volume to establish the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
percentage standard of 0.81 percent.\180\ This projection was largely
based on the assumption that cellulosic RIN generation was primarily
constrained by cellulosic biofuel production and was therefore set
equal to projected production. However, we have now determined that the
main limitation for cellulosic RIN generation is the number of vehicles
capable of using cellulosic biofuel as transportation fuel.\181\
Consequently, we have updated our cellulosic biofuel projection
methodology to be constrained by the total consumption of vehicles
capable of using cellulosic biofuel. Based on this change, we now
project that only 1.19 billion cellulosic RINs will be generated in
2025, a shortfall of 0.19 billion RINs from the 1.38 billion RINs
projected in the Set 1 Rule. Due to this shortfall and reasons further
explained in Sections VII.A through C, we are proposing to partially
waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume requirement to 1.19 billion
RINs (the projected cellulosic RIN generation in 2025) using the CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D) ``cellulosic waiver authority.''
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\180\ 40 CFR 80.1405(a).
\181\ See Section VII.B and DRIA Chapter 7.1.3.
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We currently project that the supply of advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel in 2025 will exceed the required volumes by a
significant margin, despite the projected shortfall in cellulosic
biofuel. Given the projected surplus of 2025 advanced RINs, we are not
proposing to waive the volume requirements for any of the other
categories of renewable fuel (i.e., BBD, advanced biofuel, and total
renewable fuel).
A. Cellulosic Waiver Authority Statutory Background
The cellulosic waiver authority at CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i)
provides that ``[f]or any calendar year for which the projected volume
of cellulosic biofuel production is less than the minimum applicable
volume established under [CAA section 211(o)](2)(B)], as determined by
the Administrator based on the estimate provided under paragraph
(3)(A),'' EPA ``shall reduce the applicable volume of cellulosic
biofuel required under paragraph (2)(B) to the projected volume
available during that calendar year'' and that this reduction shall be
made ``not later than November 30 of the preceding calendar year.'' For
those years in which EPA ``makes such a reduction,'' the statute
further provides that EPA may also ``reduce the applicable volume of
renewable fuel and advanced biofuels requirement . . . by the same or a
lesser volume.'' As such, even when EPA exercises its cellulosic waiver
authority, the determination of whether to correspondingly reduce the
total renewable fuel or advanced biofuel requirements is discretionary.
When EPA determines that the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel
production for a given year will be less than the annual applicable
volume established under CAA section 211(o)(2)(B), EPA is then required
to reduce the applicable volume of cellulosic biofuel for that calendar
year. Pursuant to this provision, EPA set the cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement lower than the CAA section 211(o)(2)(B)(i)(III) statutory
volumes enumerated by Congress for each year from 2010-2022. EPA was
challenged regarding its interpretation of this statutory provision,
leading the D.C. Circuit to evaluate various aspects of EPA's
implementation of its cellulosic waiver authority.\182\ In 2013 in API,
the court held that EPA must take a ``neutral aim at accuracy'' in
determining the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel available.\183\
In API and Alon Refining Krotz Springs, Inc. v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit
upheld EPA's decision to use the Energy Information Administration's
(EIA's) projected volume of cellulosic biofuel production to inform
EPA's projection, without requiring ``slavish adherence by EPA to the
EIA estimate.'' \184\ In Sinclair Wyoming Refining Co. LLC, et al. v.
EPA, the D.C. Circuit upheld EPA's reading of the statutory phrase
``projected volume available'' to exclude carryover RINs.\185\
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\182\ See, e.g., American Petroleum Institute v. EPA, 706 F.3d
474, 479 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (``API'') (interpreting the ``projected
volume available'' and indicating that ``the most natural reading of
the provision is to call for a projection that aims at accuracy, not
at deliberately indulging a greater risk of overshooting than
undershooting'' in projecting the available cellulosic biofuel
volume); Americans for Clean Energy v. EPA, 864 F.3d 691, 730 (D.C.
Cir. 2017) (``ACE'') (determining EPA's use of the cellulosic waiver
authority to reduce advanced and total renewable fuel was
reasonable); Sinclair Wyoming Refining Co. LLC, et al. v. EPA, 101
F.4th 871, 883 (2024) (``Sinclair'') (rejecting biofuels producers'
challenge that EPA must include carryover cellulosic RINs in its
determination of `` projected volume available during that calendar
year'').
\183\ API, 706 F.3d at 476.
\184\ Alon Refining Krotz Springs, Inc. v. EPA, 396 F.3d 628,
660 (D.C. Cir. 2019); API, 607 F.3d at 478.
\185\ Sinclair, 101 F.4th at 883-86.
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EPA is proposing to implement the cellulosic waiver authority to
reduce the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume after the deadline
articulated in the statute; CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) directs EPA to
act ``by November 30 of the preceding calendar year'' to determine
whether cellulosic biofuel production is likely to fall short of the
volume requirements in a given year, and then reduce the standard to
the projected volume available. EPA has implemented the cellulosic
waiver authority to reduce the cellulosic biofuel volume after the
November 30 deadline on several
[[Page 25835]]
occasions.\186\ No party has specifically challenged EPA's use of the
cellulosic waiver authority after the November 30 deadline, but
petitioners have unsuccessfully challenged EPA's late issuance of
standards under other RFS provisions. The D.C. Circuit has concluded
that EPA retains the ability to issue late standards even when it acts
after the statutory deadlines have passed.\187\ We therefore rely on
our past practice in implementing the RFS program and favorable case
law to implement the cellulosic waiver authority to waive the volume
requirements for a given year even when the November 30 deadline in the
preceding year has passed, as it has in this instance.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\186\ See, e.g., 79 FR 25025 (May 2, 2014) (direct final rule
reducing the 2013 cellulosic biofuel volume in May 2014), 80 FR
77420 (December 14, 2015) (final rule reducing the 2014 and 2015
cellulosic biofuel volumes in December 2015), 87 FR 39600 (July 1,
2022) (final rule reducing the 2020 and 2021 volumes in July 2022).
\187\ See ACE, 864 F.3d at 721.
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CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) also refers to the ``projected volume
of cellulosic biofuel production'' and the ``projected volume
available,'' which some parties have suggested is another indication
that the provision should or could only be used prospectively. EPA
believes the best reading of the statute is instead that there are
projections necessary to determine the ``volume of . . . production''
and the ``volume available,'' both when EPA acts in a timely manner by
November 30 of the preceding year and when EPA waives the volume
requirement after the November 30 date. The use of the term
``projected'' in the statute does contemplate the need for forward-
looking estimates; however, it does not follow that the statutory
language prohibits EPA from acting after November 30.\188\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\188\ See Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, 603 U.S. 369,
400 (2024) (in overruling Chevron deference, the Court observed that
it ``makes no sense to speak of a `permissible' interpretation [of a
statute] that is not the one the court, after applying all relevant
interpretive tools, concludes is best. In the business of statutory
interpretation, if it is not the best, it is not permissible.'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We note that the statutory language indicates that the use of the
cellulosic waiver authority is mandatory. That is, whenever the
projected volume of cellulosic biofuel production is less than the
minimum applicable volume established under CAA section (o)(2)(B), CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D)(i) provides that EPA ``shall reduce the applicable
volume of cellulosic biofuel required under paragraph (2)(B) to the
projected volume available during that calendar year.'' EPA implemented
this provision for every year from 2010-2022 and again in 2024 to
reduce the cellulosic biofuel volume consistent with the statutory
directive that EPA shall reduce the volume when the requisite
conditions are met.\189\
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\189\ EPA acknowledges that it did not waive the 2023 cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement. See https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standard-program/epa-denial-petition-partial-waiver-2023-cellulosic-biofuel.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(ii) directs EPA to make cellulosic waiver
credits (CWCs) available whenever it reduces the cellulosic biofuel
volume under CAA section 211(o)(7)(D). CWCs--which are offered for sale
to obligated parties at a price established by regulation \190\ per CAA
section 211(o)(7)(D)(iii)--provide compliance flexibility for obligated
parties. However, it should be noted that CWCs only satisfy an
obligated party's cellulosic biofuel obligation; unlike a cellulosic
RIN, a CWC cannot be used to satisfy an obligated party's advanced
biofuel or total renewable fuel obligation.\191\ To obtain the same
compliance value as a cellulosic RIN, an obligated party using a CWC
for compliance with the cellulosic biofuel standard needs to also
acquire an advanced or BBD RIN to use towards meeting its advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel obligations. When CWCs are made
available, they generally limit or cap the price of cellulosic
RINs.\192\
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\190\ 40 CFR 80.1456.
\191\ 72 FR 14726-27 (March 26, 2010).
\192\ See, e.g., 85 FR 7025 (February 6, 2020); 87 FR 39616
(July 1, 2022).
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CAA section 211(o)(7)(D) provides that EPA may reduce the
applicable volume of total renewable fuel and advanced biofuel in years
when EPA reduces the applicable volume of cellulosic biofuel under that
provision. That reduction must be less than or equal to the reduction
in cellulosic biofuel. The D.C. Circuit explained:
There is no requirement to reduce these latter quotas, nor does
the statute prescribe any factors that EPA must consider in making
its decision. . . . In the absence of any express or implied
statutory directive to consider particular factors, EPA reasonably
concluded that it enjoys broad discretion regarding whether and in
what circumstances to reduce the advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel volumes under the cellulosic waiver provision.\193\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\193\ Monroe v. EPA, 750 F.3d 909, 915 (2014). See, also, ACE at
721.
Using this discretion, EPA has, in the past, declined to reduce the
advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel volumes in certain
circumstances.\194\ In other circumstances, EPA has reduced the
advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel volumes using this
authority.\195\ It is worth noting that EPA's practice of reducing the
advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel volumes utilizing the
cellulosic waiver authority in past years served to carry through the
partial waiver necessitated by the shortfall in cellulosic biofuel to
the other nested renewable fuel categories when reducing the statutory
cellulosic biofuel volumes established by Congress in 2007. In many
cases reductions to the advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel
volumes were necessary to enable compliance by obligated parties. For
example, EPA reduced the cellulosic biofuel volume by over 15 billion
gallons for 2022. Had EPA not also reduced the 2022 advanced biofuel
and total renewable fuel volumes, these requirements would have been 15
billion gallons higher, far exceeding the market's ability to supply
qualifying renewable fuels, even after considering available carryover
RINs. In contrast, for 2025, a year for which EPA set the volume
requirements using our set authority, the partial waiver of the
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement is significantly smaller than in
prior years (0.19 billion gallons), in part due to the fact that
instead of starting with a statutory table volume set by Congress many
years ago, EPA itself established the volume requirements in 2023 under
the set authority. As discussed further in Section VII.B, we are not
proposing to adjust the 2025 total renewable fuel and advanced biofuel
volumes because those volumes are likely to be achieved in the market.
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\194\ See, e.g., 78 FR 49794, 49811 (August 15, 2013).
\195\ See, e.g., 80 FR 77420 (December 14, 2015). 81 FR 89746
(December 12, 2016).
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B. Assessment of Cellulosic RINs Available for Compliance in 2025
Currently, nearly all cellulosic RINs are generated from the
production and use of biogas-derived CNG and LNG.\196\ To project total
cellulosic RIN generation for 2025, we first estimated the number of
CNG/LNG vehicles and their corresponding average consumption. Because
biogas-derived CNG/LNG generates RINs only when used as transportation
fuel, total CNG/LNG consumption--whether fossil- or biogas-derived--
sets the upper limit for potential RIN generation from biogas-derived
CNG/LNG. However, full replacement of total CNG/LNG usage with biogas-
derived fuel is unlikely due to infrastructure limitations, costs, and
[[Page 25836]]
other challenges. To account for this, we applied an efficiency factor
to estimate the portion of total CNG/LNG consumption that could
realistically be met with biogas-derived fuel and, in turn, the number
of cellulosic RINs that could be generated.\197\ While the majority of
cellulosic biofuel comes from biogas-derived CNG/LNG, small volumes of
liquid cellulosic biofuel have also contributed to total cellulosic
volumes and were therefore included in this estimate.\198\ Based on
this updated projection methodology, we estimate that cellulosic RIN
generation for 2025 will be 1.19 billion RINs.\199\
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\196\ More than 95 percent of all cellulosic RINs generated in
2024 were attributed to CNG/LNG derived from biogas. See ``Total Net
Generation'' RIN data table at: https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-help/rins-generated-transactions.
\197\ See DRIA Chapter 7.1.3 and 7.1.4 for information on the
analysis for 2025 biogas-derived CNG/LNG volumes.
\198\ See DRIA Chapter 7.1.3 and 7.1.5 for information on the
analysis for 2025 liquid cellulosic biofuel volumes.
\199\ We intend to consider additional cellulosic RIN generation
data throughout the remainder of 2025 as it becomes available to
inform any final action.
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C. Proposed Partial Waiver of the 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Volume
Requirement
1. Implementation of the Cellulosic Waiver Authority
The cellulosic waiver authority is specific regarding when it is
available and how the volume reduction should be determined when acting
under the authority, as discussed in Section VII.A. EPA has determined
that ``the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel production is less
than the minimum applicable volume'' for 2025. In the Set 1 Rule, EPA
established the ``minimum applicable volume'' of cellulosic biofuel for
2025 to be 1.38 billion RINs and used that volume to calculate the 2025
cellulosic biofuel percentage standard of 0.81 percent.\200\ The actual
number of cellulosic RINs that obligated parties will ultimately need
to retire for compliance with the current standard will not be known
until after the 2025 compliance deadline,\201\ when obligated parties
report to EPA their 2025 gasoline and diesel production and import
volumes.\202\ However, for the purpose of making a decision to
partially waive the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume requirement, we have
assumed that the actual total 2025 cellulosic biofuel obligation, if
not reduced, will be 1.38 billion RINs.\203\ We currently estimate that
only 1.19 billion cellulosic RINs are projected to be generated in
2025, representing the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel available
in 2025.\204\ This is 0.19 billion fewer RINs than the 1.38 billion
RINs needed to comply with the original 2025 cellulosic biofuel
standard, a shortfall of approximately 14 percent. We therefore find
that the circumstances have triggered the need for implementation of
the cellulosic waiver authority for 2025.
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\200\ 88 FR 44470-71 (July 12, 2023).
\201\ The compliance deadline for the 2025 standards will be the
first quarterly reporting deadline after the 2026 standards are
effective. 40 CFR 80.1451(f)(1)(i)(A).
\202\ 40 CFR 80.1451 and 80.1427(a).
\203\ Because the compliance obligation is calculated on a
percentage basis, if the actual gasoline and diesel volumes reported
by obligated parties differ from the projected gasoline and diesel
volumes that were used to derive the percentage standard, then the
actual number of RINs required for compliance will differ from the
projected volume that was used to calculate the percentage standard.
Although we rely on the 1.38-billion-RIN projection for 2025 in the
Set 1 Rule that was the basis for the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
percentage standard, EPA would reach the same conclusion to waive
the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume requirement, for the reasons
stated below, using a higher RIN obligation (i.e., a higher gasoline
and diesel projection).
\204\ See DRIA Chapter 7.1.3.
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When EPA determines that a waiver of the cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement is appropriate under CAA section 211(o)(7)(D)(i), EPA must
then reduce the required cellulosic biofuel volume to ``the projected
volume available.'' We have previously interpreted the phrase
``projected volume available'' to exclude carryover RINs when
determining the volume adjustment to be made; this interpretation was
affirmed by the D.C. Circuit in Sinclair.\205\ EPA has consistently
interpreted the ``projected volume available'' as ``the volume of
qualifying cellulosic biofuel projected to be produced or imported and
available for use as transportation fuel in the U.S. in that year.''
\206\ In determining the ``projected volume available,'' EPA must take
a ``neutral aim at accuracy.'' \207\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\205\ Sinclair, 101 F.4th at 883-86.
\206\ See, e.g., 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022); see also Sinclair,
101 F.4th at 883-86.
\207\ API v. EPA, 706 F.3d 474, 479 (D.C. Cir. 2013).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed in Section VII.B, the projected volume of cellulosic
biofuel available in 2025 is 1.19 billion RINs. Thus, when the
cellulosic waiver authority is applied, EPA is only able to reduce the
2025 cellulosic biofuel volume to the projected volume available of
1.19 billion RINs. However, in accordance with the statute, EPA is also
required to make CWCs available to obligated parties, which can be
used--along with additional BBD or advanced RINs--to cover any
remaining shortfall.\208\ The availability of CWCs helps ensure RFS
program stability by reducing the likelihood that obligated parties may
be forced into non-compliance with their RFS obligations; any obligated
party that is unable to acquire sufficient cellulosic RINs to comply
with their 2025 cellulosic biofuel obligations--plus any cellulosic RIN
deficit carried from 2024--would be able to purchase CWCs to cover the
shortfall.\209\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\208\ Pursuant to 40 CFR 80.1405(d), the CWC price is calculated
using the methodology specified in 40 CFR 80.1456(d) and posted on
EPA's website at: https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standard-program/cellulosic-waiver-credits-under-renewable-fuel-standard-program.
\209\ Unlike cellulosic RINs--which apply towards an obligated
party's cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable
fuel obligations--CWCs only apply towards an obligated party's
cellulosic biofuel obligation and not toward their nested advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel obligation. Obligated parties that
satisfy their cellulosic biofuel obligations with CWCs would
therefore also have to purchase additional BBD or advanced RINs to
meet their associated advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel
obligations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Given that ``the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel production
is less than the minimum applicable volume'' for 2025, we are proposing
to implement the cellulosic waiver authority to waive the 2025
cellulosic biofuel volume requirement to 1.19 billion RINs, a reduction
of 0.19 billion RINs from the original volume requirement of 1.38
billion RINs. This proposed volume requirement matches the projected
cellulosic RIN generation for 2025 of 1.19 billion RINs.\210\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\210\ We intend to consider additional cellulosic RIN generation
data throughout the remainder of 2025 as it becomes available to
inform any final action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, CAA section 211(o)(7)(D) provides that EPA may reduce the
applicable volume of total renewable fuel and advanced biofuel in years
when EPA reduces the applicable volume of cellulosic biofuel under that
provision. That reduction must be less than or equal to the reduction
in cellulosic biofuel. The D.C. Circuit concluded that the cellulosic
waiver authority provides EPA ``broad discretion'' to consider a
variety of factors in determining whether to reduce the total renewable
fuel and advanced biofuel volumes under this provision.\211\ We
currently have insufficient data from 2025 to adequately project the
supply of advanced biofuel and total renewable fuel in 2025. Data from
previous years, however, indicate that there will likely be a
sufficient supply of RINs to meet the advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel volume requirements. In 2023, advanced and total RIN
generation (8.99 billion RINs and 23.82 billion RINs, respectively)
significantly exceeded the required volumes (5.94 billion RINs and
21.54 billion RINs, respectively).\212\ Similarly, advanced
[[Page 25837]]
and total RIN generation in 2024 (10.42 billion RINs and 25.30 billion
RINs, respectively) exceeded not only the 2024 volume requirements
(6.54 billion RINs and 21.54 billion RINs, respectively) but also the
2025 volume requirements (7.33 billion RINs and 22.33 billion RINs,
respectively).\213\ These RIN generation numbers indicate that the
market is capable of meeting the 2025 advanced biofuel and total
renewable volume requirements after accounting for the projected
shortfall in cellulosic biofuel. Further, even if the market falls
short of the volume requirements in 2025, the significant oversupply of
RINs in previous years indicates that there will be sufficient
carryover RINs to make up for any shortfall in 2025.
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\211\ ACE, 864 F.3d at 730-734; see also Monroe Energy, LLC v.
EPA, 750 F.3d 909 (D.C. Cir. 2014).
\212\ See ``Total Net Generation'' RIN data table at: https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-help/rins-generated-transactions. This table includes all reported RINs that
were generated and not otherwise retired due to RIN generation error
(i.e., an invalid RIN). Thus, the volume of RINs in this table is
the volume of RINs that have been made available for compliance with
the RFS standards.
\213\ Id.
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We believe reductions to the 2025 advanced biofuel and total
renewable fuel volumes are not necessary or warranted based on the
available supply data, given that the market is projected to provide
volumes of these fuels in excess of the requirements established in the
Set 1 Rule. Reductions in these volume requirements at this time would
only serve to increase the number of advanced and total carryover RINs.
Historically, we have declined to take actions that would inflate the
number of available carryover RINs.\214\
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\214\ 87 FR 39600, 39621 (July 1, 2022) (``While EPA has
previously set the RFS standards at what the market actually used
(like for 2014 and 2015 in the 2014-2016 rule), we have never
intentionally reduced the standards with the express intent to
inflate the size of the carryover RIN bank.''); 2020-2022 RFS Rule
RTC Section 2.6.1.
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2. Economic Impact
The proposed partial waiver of the 2025 cellulosic biofuel volume
requirement is expected to have an economic impact. However,
quantitatively projecting the economic impact of this reduction is
challenging for several reasons. First, the proposed partial waiver is
due to a shortfall in the projected volume of cellulosic biofuel in
2025. Because of this, higher volumes of cellulosic RINs cannot simply
be made available at greater prices; instead, obligated parties will be
unable to purchase additional quantities of 2025 cellulosic RINs at any
price. The potential economic impact of this action is further
complicated by the fact that while some obligated parties can defer
some or all of their 2025 cellulosic biofuel obligation to 2026, other
obligated parties that carry cellulosic RIN deficits from 2024 into
2025 will be required to fully satisfy their cellulosic biofuel
obligations in 2025, including the cellulosic RIN deficits carried
forward from 2024. Any party that fails to do so would likely be in
non-compliance and could be subject to penalties.\215\
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\215\ We recognize that the cellulosic waiver authority is
mandatory, and thus would avoid the potential noncompliance and lack
of RINs described herein. Nevertheless, we describe these potential
outcomes to illustrate the difficulty in calculating the cost
savings of the action.
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Despite the complications associated with estimating the economic
impacts of this action, we can determine that it would result in cost
savings. We are proposing to reduce only the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume. Because we are not proposing to reduce the 2025 advanced
biofuel and total renewable fuel volumes, this action would effectively
replace the reduced cellulosic biofuel volume with additional volumes
of advanced biofuel, which generally has a lower marginal cost than
cellulosic biofuel.\216\
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\216\ The nested nature of the RFS program allows cellulosic
biofuel to be used to meet the advanced biofuel and total renewable
fuel volume requirements. Any cellulosic biofuel that can be
supplied beyond the required volume can be used in place of advanced
biofuel.
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Finally, we can reasonably project that because this action would
reduce demand for cellulosic RINs, it is expected to directionally
decrease cellulosic RIN prices. The exact magnitude of this price
reduction depends on a wide range of market factors that prevent us
from quantitively projecting a RIN price impact. At the same time,
because this action incrementally increases demand for advanced RINs,
it is projected to directionally increase BBD and advanced RIN prices.
We note, however, that this price impact is expected to be relatively
small, as this action would increase demand for advanced biofuel by the
magnitude of the proposed partial waiver of the 2025 cellulosic biofuel
volume requirement (0.19 billion RINs).
D. Calculation of Proposed 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel Percentage Standard
As described in Section VII.C, we are proposing to implement the
cellulosic waiver authority to partially waive the 2025 cellulosic
biofuel volume requirement from 1.38 billion RINs to 1.19 billion RINs.
As described in Section VI, the formula used to calculate the
cellulosic biofuel percentage standard applicable to obligated parties
as a function of their gasoline and diesel fuel production or
importation is provided in 40 CFR 80.1405(c). Using the same values
from the Set 1 Rule for the variables in this formula other than
RFVCB (the cellulosic biofuel volume),\217\ we have
calculated the proposed revised cellulosic biofuel percentage standard
for 2025 to be 0.70 percent, down from 0.81 percent.\218\ This
percentage standard is included in the proposed regulations at 40 CFR
80.1405(a) and would apply to producers and importers of gasoline and
diesel.
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\217\ 88 FR 44519-21 (July 12, 2023).
\218\ See ``Calculation of Proposed 2025 Cellulosic Biofuel
Percentage Standard,'' available in the docket for this action.
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VIII. Reduction in the Number of RINs Generated for Imported Fuels and
Feedstocks
A. Introduction and Rationale
In this action, we are proposing an ``import RIN reduction'' for
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced domestically from
foreign feedstocks.\219\ Under this proposed approach, renewable fuel
producers and importers would generate 50 percent fewer RINs than they
generate for the same volume of import-based renewable fuel under the
current RFS regulations for RINs generated in 2026 and later years. The
proposed approach would not affect RINs generated in 2025 or earlier
years. Renewable fuel produced by domestic renewable fuel producers
using domestic feedstocks would continue to generate the same number of
RINs that they currently do. The import RIN reduction would apply to
all foreign-produced renewable fuel, regardless of whether those fuels
are produced from domestic or foreign feedstocks. The reduction of RINs
generated for import-based renewable fuel reflects the reduced
economic, energy security, and environmental benefits provided by these
fuels relative to renewable fuels produced domestically using domestic
feedstocks.
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\219\ Throughout this section we refer to imported renewable
fuel and renewable fuel produced domestically from foreign
feedstocks collectively as ``import-based renewable fuel'' and RINs
generated for these types of renewable fuel as ``import RINs.'' We
also refer to renewable fuel produced domestically from domestic
feedstocks as ``domestic-based renewable fuel.''
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This proposal is intended to support the statutory goals of energy
independence and the Administration's broader economic vision of
strengthening American energy independence and bolstering domestic
agricultural markets. By implementing an import RIN reduction, EPA aims
to reduce America's reliance on import-based renewable fuels, enhance
energy
[[Page 25838]]
security, promote domestic-based renewable fuel production, and keep
more of the economic benefits of the RFS program within the U.S., while
accomplishing the broader goals of the RFS program. We believe that an
import RIN reduction would align the RFS program with these goals. We
are also requesting comment on whether a higher or lower import RIN
reduction factor (i.e., more or less than the proposed 50 percent
reduction) would be appropriate.
The RFS program began in 2006 pursuant to the requirements of
EPAct, the stated purpose of which was to ``ensure jobs for our future
with secure, affordable, and reliable energy.'' \220\ The statutory
requirements of EPAct were codified in CAA section 211(o) and were
subsequently amended by EISA, the purpose of which was to ``move the
United States toward greater energy independence and security, to
increase the production of clean renewable fuels, to protect consumers,
to increase the efficiency of products, buildings, and vehicles, to
promote research on and deploy greenhouse gas capture and storage
options, and to improve the energy performance of the Federal
Government, and for other purposes.'' \221\ From the purpose statements
in these two enactments, where Congress' focus is clearly on American
jobs, American energy independence and security, and increasing the
production of American clean renewable fuels, it is evident that
Congress intended the RFS program to be a program for the benefit of
the American people generally and for certain important segments of the
American domestic economy specifically. We believe it is consistent
with this Congressional intent to take steps to ensure that most of the
economic value of the RFS program flows to American fuel and feedstock
producers rather than their foreign competitors.
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\220\ Public Law 109-58, 119 Stat. 594.
\221\ Public Law 110-140, 121 Stat. 1492.
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From the inception of the RFS program, EPA has allowed for imported
renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced domestically from foreign
feedstocks to generate RINs, provided EPA is assured that certain
statutory criteria have been met. EPA thus acknowledges that we have
historically placed import-based renewable fuel on an equal footing
with domestic-based renewable fuel. The number of RINs generated for
import-based renewable fuel has been the same as the number of RINs
generated for domestic-based renewable fuel.
While EPA has historically treated import-based renewable fuel as
equal to domestic-based renewable fuel, there is nothing in CAA section
211(o) that requires providing the same benefits to foreign entities as
domestic entities. CAA section 211(o)(5)(A) simply provides that EPA's
regulations must provide ``for the generation of an appropriate amount
of credits'' by entities covered by the RFS program, without further
specifying how ``an appropriate amount of credits'' should be
determined. The term ``appropriate'' necessarily leaves agencies with
flexibility to implement statutory programs, so long as that discretion
is exercised consistent with the context and structure in which the
term appears.\222\
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\222\ Michigan v. EPA, 576 U.S. 743, 752 (2015).
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In this action, EPA is proposing to modify the treatment of import-
based renewable fuels under the RFS program for the reasons discussed
below and in Section VIII.B. EPA requests comment on this issue and on
any relevant statutory interpretation issues that bear on EPA's
authority to differentiate among suppliers when assigning RINs for
reasons based on the statutes' language, legislative history, and
purposes.
1. Aligning the RFS Program With America's Economic Interests To
Support Domestic Agriculture and Rural Economies
As noted above, the purpose statements of both EPAct and EISA make
it clear that Congress intended the RFS program to, among other goals
discussed further below, support American agriculture and strengthen
rural economies in the U.S. While the RFS program has furthered these
goals, the recent influx of imported renewable fuels and feedstocks
threatens those gains and the RFS program's ability to build on them.
In 2021, import-based renewable fuel accounted for approximately 25
percent of the total biodiesel and renewable diesel supply. By 2024,
such imports surged to nearly 45 percent of the U.S. biodiesel and
renewable diesel market.\223\ By volume and value, much of this supply
comes from countries such as China and Brazil rather than supporting
American feedstock producers.
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\223\ See Section III.B.2 and DRIA Chapter 3.2 for more
information on EPA's estimate of imported vs. domestic supplies of
BBD in 2024.
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EPA is concerned that the increasing amounts of foreign feedstocks,
such as UCO and animal fats from China, Southeast Asia, and South
America, may be displacing U.S.-produced feedstocks like corn and
soybean oil in the renewable fuels market. This shift comes at a time
when American farmers are already struggling due to declining revenues.
According to USDA, net farm income is projected to fall by
approximately $32 billion from 2022 to 2024.\224\ Without EPA
intervention, these relatively cheap imports will continue to undercut
U.S. producers, reducing the economic value of the RFS program to
American feedstock and fuel producers, weakening support for rural
economies, and further harming U.S. farmers.
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\224\ USDA, ``Net Cash Income,'' Farm Income and Wealth
Statistics, February 6, 2025. https://data.ers.usda.gov/reports.aspx?ID=4024.
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The import RIN reduction proposed in this action would help
American farmers by ensuring demand for domestic-based renewable fuels.
Renewable fuel producers would be able to generate more RINs (and thus
realize greater RIN value) for renewable fuels produced from domestic
feedstocks relative to foreign feedstocks. This dynamic would increase
the willingness for domestic renewable producers to pay higher prices
for domestic feedstocks relative to foreign feedstocks because, all
else equal, they would be able to generate higher revenue for fuels
produced from domestic feedstocks. In turn, the higher prices offered
for domestic feedstocks would increase the revenue of domestic
feedstock producers and provide incentives for increased production of
domestic feedstocks. By ensuring support for domestic feedstocks and
fuels, it is our expectation that the proposed approach will revitalize
domestic demand for American crops, stabilize farm incomes, and
stimulate economic growth in rural communities.
Consistent with our understanding of the original Congressional
intent for the RFS program, EPA believes any economic benefits derived
from the RFS program should be retained in the U.S. to the maximum
extent practicable. We do not believe that Congress intended to create
a program to benefit foreign producers. However, there is significant
concern that the increased importation of feedstocks and fuels observed
above may indicate that such foreign producers are benefiting from the
economic incentives intended to stimulate rural American communities.
As a U.S. federal program, the RFS program was designed to promote
American agricultural prosperity. The proposed import RIN reduction
provisions further that goal and ensures American farmers and domestic
[[Page 25839]]
renewable fuel producers remain the primary beneficiaries of the RFS
program.
2. Strengthening U.S. Energy Security and Energy Independence
Reducing U.S. dependence on foreign energy sources is a cornerstone
of this Administration's energy policy. As discussed in detail in
Section IV and DRIA Chapter 6, it is also a foundational goal of the
RFS program. Although import-based renewable fuels contribute to U.S.
energy supply and help to hedge against reliance on foreign fossil fuel
producers, reliance on these imports risks creating the exact
vulnerabilities that the RFS program was intended to forestall. Global
supply chain disruptions, trade disputes, and geopolitical instability
can impact the renewable fuel and feedstock markets, leading to
increased price volatility across the RIN market, renewable fuel and
feedstock markets, and gasoline and diesel markets.
The import RIN reduction would encourage greater investment in
domestic-based renewable fuel production. By putting America's farmers
and renewable fuel producers first, the proposed import RIN reduction
provisions would also strengthen America's energy independence and
resilience by reducing exposure to global market disruptions and
securing self-reliance in the supply of domestic-based renewable fuels.
3. Protecting the Environment
The core objective of EPA--to protect human health and the
environment--is also the focus of our administration of the RFS
program. We believe that allowing import-based renewable fuels to have
equal RIN generation potential undermines this goal, particularly when
there are concerns over the validity of imported feedstocks.
One of the most widely used feedstocks used to produce import-based
renewable fuels is UCO. Substantial challenges already exist regarding
EPA's ability to verify whether the requirements for imported UCO under
the RFS program have been satisfied. Recently, industry experts have
raised additional concerns that some UCO shipments may be fraudulently
labeled or adulterated with unused palm oil. Propagation of palm trees
for oil production has devastating environmental costs and undermines
the GHG emissions-reduction goals of the RFS program.\225\ These
concerns contributed to the decision by the U.S. Department of Treasury
and Internal Revenue Service to not include pathways for imported UCO
in the initial 45ZCF-GREET model, making these fuels ineligible to
generate tax credits under that program.\226\ Similar concerns have led
the EU to consider suspending the mandatory recognition of the
certification of waste-based biofuels by the International
Sustainability and Carbon Certification.\227\
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\225\ S&P Global, ``New Biofuel Data Triggers Fresh Fraud
Concerns Over EU Imports,'' December 14, 2023.
\226\ Notice 2025-10, 2025-6 I.R.B. 682 (Feb. 3, 2025).
\227\ The Maritime Executive, ``EU Scrutinizes Fraud in
Certification of Biofuels,'' March 30, 2025.
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The proposed import RIN reduction provisions would not prohibit
imports but would instead signal to market participants that domestic-
based renewable fuels--manufactured under closely monitored U.S.
environmental standards--are preferable. By rewarding domestic-based
renewable fuels with full RIN generation potential, EPA would reinforce
environmental protection and strengthen the integrity of the RFS
program without sacrificing the flexibility to utilize import-based
renewable fuels when necessary.
4. Safeguarding the Original Intent of the RFS Program
In sum, the RFS program was designed with clear objectives: to
reduce GHG emissions, expand the U.S. renewable fuel sector in support
of domestic producers and rural economies, and decrease reliance on
foreign energy. However, the rising share of import-based renewable
fuel undermines these goals by:
Redirecting the economic benefits of the program away from
American farmers and rural communities.
Increasing America's exposure to volatile global fuel and
commodity trade dynamics.
Increasing America's reliance on foreign sources of fuel
and supplies necessary to produce fuel domestically.
By implementing the proposed import RIN reduction, EPA seeks to
restore the benefits of the RFS program to its originally intended
recipients. This approach would ensure that the program continues to
achieve these important goals while prioritizing domestic economic
prosperity.
B. Legal Authority
Historically, EPA used ``equivalence values'' to determine how many
RINs a given quantity of renewable fuel generates.\228\ In doing so, we
relied on CAA section 211(o)(5) to justify our method for allocating
RIN values for different renewable fuels. The equivalence values were
calculated based on the renewable fuel's energy content relative to a
gallon of ethanol, such that renewable fuels with a greater energy
potential were allowed to generate a more than one RIN per gallon.\229\
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\228\ See, e.g., 72 FR 23900, 23918-23922 (May 1, 2007) and 75
FR 14670, 14709-10, 14716-18 (March 26, 2010).
\229\ Id. We note that in this action we are not reopening our
approach to providing equivalence values established in the RFS2
Rule, nor any other equivalence values (other than those discussed
in Section X.A). Comments about equivalence values more generally
will be treated as beyond the scope of this action.
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We propose using the same statutory language to justify reduced RIN
generation for import-based renewable fuel. Section 211(o)(5)(A) states
that EPA ``shall provide'' for ``the generation of an appropriate
amount of credits by any person that refines, blends, or imports . . .
a quantity of renewable fuel'' and ``for the generation of an
appropriate amount of credits for biodiesel.'' In establishing
equivalence values, EPA highlighted these statutory provisions as
``evidence that Congress did not limit this program solely to a
straight volume measurement of gallons in the context of the RFS
program.'' \230\ Similarly, in this action we propose to find that the
statutory language ``appropriate amount of credits'' alongside the same
subsection's differentiation among parties who ``refine[ ], blend[ ],
or import[ ]'' renewable fuel allows EPA to determine that imported
renewable fuel (and renewable fuel made from foreign feedstocks) may be
assigned a lesser amount of credits as EPA determines is appropriate.
We additionally rely on the language in CAA section 211(o)(5)(A)(ii) to
determine that imported biodiesel (and biodiesel made from foreign
feedstocks) may be assigned a lesser amount of credits as EPA
determines is appropriate. As noted above, the term ``appropriate'' is
broad and flexible, and courts have recognized that Congress uses it to
leave agencies with flexibility to administer statutory programs
consistent with relevant context and structure.\231\
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\230\ 72 FR 23900, 23919 (May 1, 2007).
\231\ See, e.g., Michigan, 576 U.S. at 752.
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In doing so, EPA is not advancing a new interpretation of CAA
section 211(o)(5)(A). Rather, we are proposing a change in policy
consistent with EPA's existing understanding of that provision's
delegation of discretion. This new policy would further delineate the
amount of credits (i.e., RINs) that are ``appropriate'' for volumes of
renewable fuel depending on whether they are
[[Page 25840]]
imported--a factor the statute explicitly names as relevant to that
consideration.\232\ CAA section 211(o)(5)(A) is the kind of clear
Congressional delegation of discretion that ``leaves [the] agenc[y]
with flexibility'' signaled by specific terms such as ``appropriate.''
\233\ Although EPA has previously chosen to use this discretion to
assign equivalence values for RIN generation based on a fuel's energy
content, this was not an exclusive understanding of how EPA might
determine the ``appropriate'' amount of credits to award. EPA may also
determine that the ``appropriate amount of credits'' awarded for ``a
quantity of renewable fuel'' should vary on other bases, including
whether the credits are awarded to a ``person that refines, blends, or
imports'' the fuel. Consistent with that understanding, we are
proposing to appropriately reduce the RIN value for imported renewable
fuel and renewable fuel made from foreign feedstocks.
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\232\ ``[W]hen a particular statute delegates authority to an
agency consistent with constitutional limits, courts must respect
the delegation, while ensuring that the agency acts within it.''
Loper Bright Enters. v. Raimondo, 603 U.S. 369, 413 (2024).
\233\ Id. at 394-95 (quoting Michigan, 576 U.S. at 752).
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In proposing this policy change, EPA is observing the relevant
procedural standards by acknowledging how the new policy departs from
the status quo; by demonstrating the new policy is permissible under
the statute and that ``there are good reasons for it;'' and by
asserting, as this section does, that the agency believes the new
policy is an improvement upon the status quo.\234\ EPA requests comment
on this change in policy, including on any legitimate reliance
interests on the prior policy that EPA should consider during this
rulemaking.\235\
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\234\ FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 556 U.S. 502, 515
(2009).
\235\ Id.
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C. Implementation
To implement the proposed import RIN reduction for import-based
renewable fuel, we are proposing to specify under 40 CFR 80.1426(a)
that the following parties must reduce the number of RINs generated for
the specified renewable fuel by 50 percent:
RIN-generating foreign producers, for all renewable fuel
produced.
RIN-generating importers of renewable fuel, for all
imported renewable fuel.
Domestic renewable fuel producers, for all renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks or foreign biointermediates.
We believe this is the most straightforward way to implement the
proposed import RIN reduction, rather than proposing a separate set of
RIN generation equations for import RINs. We request comment on the
proposed import RIN generation requirement, and whether there are
alternative RIN generation approaches that we should consider for
implementing the import RIN reduction.
Since we are proposing that the import RIN reduction would apply to
all foreign-produced renewable fuel, regardless of whether it is
produced from domestic or foreign feedstocks, we are not proposing any
additional requirements for RIN-generating importers of renewable fuel
and RIN-generating foreign renewable fuel producers. They would only be
able to generate import RINs for the renewable fuel they produce or
import, and thus no changes would be necessary in their registration,
recordkeeping, reporting, or attest engagement requirements.
However, there remain potential concerns regarding mislabeling of
foreign feedstocks under the RFS program. We are concerned that bad
actors may try to claim foreign feedstock as domestic to gain a
financial benefit. Thus, to ensure that domestic renewable fuel
producers are generating the appropriate number of RINs for each batch
of renewable fuel they produce, we are proposing several changes to
their recordkeeping, reporting, attest engagement, and quality
assurance plan (QAP) requirements that we believe are minimally onerous
while protecting domestic feedstock producers. First, we are proposing
that all domestic renewable fuel producers be required to keep records
of feedstock purchases and transfers (e.g., bills of sale, delivery
receipts) that identify the feedstock point of origin for each
feedstock (i.e., domestic or foreign). We expect that most domestic
renewable fuel producers already keep such records as part of their
existing business practices or other existing RFS recordkeeping
requirements, and thus there should be no additional recordkeeping
burden for most of these producers.
Feedstock point of origin would depend on the feedstock type but
would generally be considered to be the location, either domestic or
foreign, where a feedstock is grown, produced, generated, extracted,
collected, or harvested. More specifically, we are proposing the
following specific provisions related to what is considered the
``feedstock point of origin'' for each feedstock type:
For planted crops, cover crops, or crop residue (including
starches, cellulosic, and non-cellulosic components thereof), the
location of the feedstock supplier that supplied the feedstock to the
renewable fuel producer or biointermediate producer (e.g., grain
elevator).
For oil derived from planted crops, cover crops, or algae,
the location where the oil is extracted from the planted crop, cover
crop, or algae (e.g., crushing facility).
For biogenic waste oils/fats/greases, separated yard
waste, separated food waste, or MSW (including the components thereof),
the location of the establishment where the waste is collected (e.g.,
restaurant, food processing facility).
For biogas, the location of the landfill or digester that
produces the biogas.
For planted trees, tree residue, slash, pre-commercial
thinnings, or other woody biomass, the location where the woody biomass
is harvested.
For all other feedstocks, the location where the feedstock
is grown, produced, or generated, as applicable.
Second, we are proposing that domestic renewable fuel producers
would need to report the feedstock point of origin (i.e., domestic or
foreign) as part of their renewable fuel batch reports under 40 CFR
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(L). This would help ensure that domestic renewable
fuel producers are generating the correct number of RINs for their
renewable fuel.
Finally, we are proposing to add clarifying language for attest
engagement auditors and QAP providers regarding verifying feedstock
points of origin. For attest engagements, we are proposing to clarify
that the existing requirement for auditors to ``[v]erify that
feedstocks were properly identified'' in batch reports also includes
verifying that the feedstock point of origin was correctly
reported.\236\ Similarly, for QAP, we are also proposing to clarify
that the existing requirements for QAP providers to ``[v]erify that
appropriate RIN generation calculations are being followed'' include
ensuring that the value applied reflects the feedstock's point of
origin.\237\ These clarifications would ensure that attest auditors and
QAP providers verify that RINs are properly generated by domestic
renewable fuel producers with domestic feedstocks.
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\236\ 40 CFR 80.1464(b)(1)(v)(B).
\237\ 40 CFR 80.1469(c)(3)(vii).
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We request comment on both the proposed recordkeeping, reporting,
attest engagement, and QAP requirements and the definition of
``feedstock point of origin,'' particularly
[[Page 25841]]
on the proposed origin locations for each feedstock type and whether
there are any other feedstock types that should have specified origin
locations.
IX. Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS Program
While EPA has, in the past, taken actions to allow RIN generation
for renewable electricity (commonly referred to as eRINs), in this
action we are proposing to remove renewable electricity as a qualifying
renewable fuel under the RFS program and the implementing regulations
that allow for renewable electricity to generate RINs.
A. Historical Treatment of Renewable Electricity in the RFS Program
The statutory definition of ``renewable fuel'' in CAA section
211(o)(1)(J) requires that renewable fuel be produced from renewable
biomass and used to replace or reduce the quantity of fossil fuel
present in a transportation fuel. CAA section 211(o)(1)(B)(ii)(B)
further indicates that non-liquid biofuels, such as those produced from
biogas, may qualify as renewable fuel. Thus, renewable fuels under the
RFS program can be broadly categorized as liquid biofuels, such as
ethanol or biodiesel, or non-liquid biofuels, such as renewable CNG/LNG
that is produced from qualifying biogas (that is in turn produced from
qualifying renewable biomass), so long as these fuels are used as
transportation fuel. Non-liquid renewable fuels have played a part in
the RFS program since the RFS2 Rule was promulgated in 2010. In that
final rule, EPA specified that electricity, as well as natural gas and
propane, produced from renewable biomass could be a RIN-generating
renewable fuel under the RFS program. However, EPA stipulated that
electricity could only be a RIN-generating renewable fuel if it could
be demonstrated that specific quantities of electricity ``are actually
used as a transportation fuel[ ].'' \238\ The record for the RFS2 Rule
did not further elaborate on how renewable electricity (i.e.,
electricity that is derived from renewable biomass) satisfies the
statutory definition of renewable fuel or is consistent with other
applicable statutory requirements.
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\238\ 74 FR 14670, 14686 (March 26, 2010).
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Pursuant to the determination that renewable electricity is, in
certain circumstances, a qualifying renewable fuel, EPA also, in the
RFS2 Rule, established regulatory provisions governing the generation
of RINs representing renewable electricity in anticipation of a future
action that would provide a RIN-generating pathway for electricity made
from renewable biomass and used as transportation fuel. In doing so,
EPA discussed the relevant differences between liquid and non-liquid
renewable fuels and established regulatory provisions for renewable
electricity that recognized those distinctions.\239\
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\239\ 75 FR 14670, 14729 (March 26, 2010).
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In 2010, EPA also promulgated a definition of ``renewable
electricity'' to ``clarify that electricity must meet the definition of
renewable fuel in order to qualify for RINs.'' \240\ In 2014, EPA
established novel RIN-generating pathways for electricity produced from
biogas from landfills and waste digesters.\241\ These pathways
currently exist in Rows Q and T of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426. In the
same 2014 rulemaking, EPA updated the regulations governing RIN
generation for renewable electricity; it is these 2014 RIN generation
provisions that currently exist in the regulations at 40 CFR
80.1426(f)(10)(i) and (f)(11)(i). In general, the regulatory
requirements were intended to ensure that any RINs generated correspond
to electricity that meets the statutory criteria to qualify as
renewable fuel. For example, the electricity must be produced from
renewable biomass under an approved pathway (demonstrating it meets the
required GHG reduction threshold), the electricity must be sold for use
as transportation fuel and for no other purpose (and the RIN generator
must provide documentation to support its use as transportation fuel),
and it must be the case that no other party relied on the renewable
electricity for the generation of RINs.\242\
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\240\ 75 FR 26026, 26031 (May 10, 2010).
\241\ 79 FR 42128 (July 18, 2014).
\242\ 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(10)(i), (f)(11)(i).
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Even though renewable electricity has been part of the RFS program
since 2010, and a pathway has existed since 2014 for renewable
electricity produced from biogas, EPA has not, to date, registered any
party to generate RINs for renewable electricity. Since 2014, several
stakeholders have submitted registration requests to generate RINs for
renewable electricity produced from biogas. EPA has reviewed these
registration requests and met with a range of stakeholders. However, as
early as 2016, EPA recognized that structuring a framework to allow for
the generation of RINs for renewable electricity produced from biogas
under the RFS program presented unique, unanticipated policy and
implementation questions that would need to be resolved prior to
registering any party, particularly in light of the competing policy
preferences of stakeholders.\243\ Based on (1) our review of
registration requests, (2) information gathered from stakeholders via
both comments provided in response to EPA requests and ongoing
discussions, and (3) an analysis of how to best incorporate renewable
electricity into the RFS program, we concluded that EPA's existing
regulations governing the generation of RINs for renewable electricity
produced from biogas were insufficient to guarantee overall
programmatic integrity, especially in light of the range of different
and often competing approaches proposed by registrants.\244\
Specifically, because the regulations allow any party that can
demonstrate compliance with the applicable requirements to be the RIN
generator, it is possible under the current regulations for multiple
parties (from independent registrations) to claim RIN generation for
the same quantity of renewable electricity. Such double counting is
contrary to the regulations themselves and further undermines EPA's
ability to ensure that the statutory volumes are met.\245\ As a result,
we determined that a new regulatory program would be necessary to allow
the generation of RINs representing renewable electricity. The ``eRIN''
regulatory program for renewable electricity proposed in December 2022
as part of the Set 1 NPRM was intended to revise the existing
regulations governing renewable electricity to allow RIN generation
under these pathways.\246\ The Set 1 Rule was ultimately finalized
without the proposed eRIN regulatory program, leaving the previously
existing, inadequate regulations governing renewable electricity in
place.
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\243\ See, e.g., 81 FR 80828, 80890-96 (November 16, 2016).
\244\ Id.; see also EPA Final Brief defending decision to not
include renewable electricity volumes in 2019 Annual Volumes Rule,
Growth Energy v. EPA, D.C. Cir. No. 19-1023, Doc. # 1831996 at 74-77
(filed March 5, 2020).
\245\ See CAA section 211(o)(2)(A)(i) (EPA's regulations must
``ensure that transportation fuel sold or introduced into commerce
in the United States . . . on an annual average basis, contains at
least the applicable volume of renewable fuel, advanced biofuel,
cellulosic biofuel, and biomass-based diesel . . .'').
\246\ 87 FR 80582 (December 30, 2022).
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B. Statutory Basis for Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS
Program
EPA is proposing to remove renewable electricity as a qualifying
renewable fuel from the RFS program. As discussed in Section IX.A,
although EPA in the RFS2 Rule determined that
[[Page 25842]]
electricity could participate in the RFS program and promulgated
regulations for the generation of RINs for renewable electricity, no
RINs representing renewable electricity have ever been generated. In
this action, we are proposing to reverse the determination in the RFS2
Rule that renewable electricity is eligible to generate RINs under the
RFS program.
We are proposing to remove renewable electricity from the RFS
program on the ground that, under the best reading of the statute,
renewable electricity is not a renewable fuel. Congress defined
renewable fuel in CAA section 211(o)(1)(J) as ``fuel that is produced
from renewable biomass and that is used to replace or reduce the
quantity of fossil fuel present in a transportation fuel.'' Congress
further defined transportation fuel in CAA section 211(o)(1)(L) as
``fuel for use in motor vehicles, motor vehicle engines, nonroad
vehicles, or nonroad engines.'' EPA has consistently interpreted
``renewable fuel'' to encompass three key components: (1) There must be
a fuel; (2) The fuel must be produced from renewable biomass; and (3)
The fuel must be used to replace or reduce fossil fuel present in a
transportation fuel.\247\ While EPA previously, in 2010, assumed that
renewable electricity could meet this definition, we are now revisiting
the statutory analysis based on the text of the statute and consistent
with intervening Supreme Court decisions on standards for statutory
interpretation.
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\247\ 87 FR 80582, 80634 (December 30, 2022); 87 FR 73956-57
(December 2, 2022) (discussing what fuels can generate RINs).
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EPA's analysis focuses on the last component of the renewable fuel
definition--that the fuel must be used to replace or reduce the
quantity of fossil fuel present in transportation fuel. The best
reading of this language is that a renewable fuel must physically
displace a volume of fossil fuel that is present in a motor vehicle or
motor vehicle engine. The statutory definition uses the phrases
``quantity of fossil fuel'' and ``present in a transportation fuel,''
both of which imply that there must be a measurable physical volume of
fossil fuel that is present in a transportation fuel and that volume
must be ``replace[d] or reduce[d]'' by the renewable fuel. Because
electricity cannot replace or reduce a volume of fossil fuel that is
present in a motor vehicle or motor vehicle engine, it does not meet
the definition of renewable fuel in the statute. That is, electricity
is not fungible with a fossil fuel in a motor vehicle or motor vehicle
engine.
In contrast, biogas that is cleaned up into RNG (and then
compressed into CNG/LNG) can replace and reduce fossil natural gas that
is present in a motor vehicle or motor vehicle engine that runs on CNG/
LNG, and therefore satisfies this portion of the renewable fuel
definition. But because electricity cannot physically displace fossil
fuel present in a motor vehicle or motor vehicle engine, it does not.
Biogas-generated electricity does not result in a physical reduction in
the ``quantity of fossil fuel present in a transportation fuel,'' nor
is the biogas that is replacing fossil natural gas itself present in a
transportation fuel in ``motor vehicles, motor vehicle engines, nonroad
vehicles, or nonroad engines.'' Instead, the biogas is burned at an
electric generating unit, and the resulting electricity is transmitted
on the grid for use to charge batteries present in motor vehicles. The
use of the term ``present in transportation fuel'' indicates that the
requirement intends to increase the renewable fuel contained within
fossil-fuel transportation fuel itself, not to substitute electricity
for such fuel.
Additionally, we note that ``electricity'' is not mentioned by name
in CAA section 211(o), in contrast to over fifty references to liquid
fuels. The RFS statutory language in CAA section 211(o) speaks to
``volumes'' and ``gallons'' of renewable fuel. The fact that the CAA
explicitly references physical units implies that the RFS program was
intended to measure, and thus include, only quantities of liquid or
gaseous fuels. Although there is no statutory definition of ``fuel''
under the RFS program, the widely accepted definition is ``a material
used to produce heat or power by burning.'' \248\ Electricity, which is
an energy carrier and not a fuel under this paradigm, cannot be burned
nor can it be measured in physical units. The frequent references to
physical units in the RFS statutory language, along with the inability
of electricity to be quantified by the referenced units, implies that
the RFS was intended to only include liquid and gaseous fuels. Thus, we
are also proposing to determine that electricity does not qualify as a
fuel under the RFS program.
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\248\ See, e.g., EPA, ``Definition of Fuel,'' September 25,
2024. https://www.epa.gov/rmp/definition-fuel. See also, Merriam-
Webster definition of fuel, available at https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/fuel.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Implementation of Proposed Removal of Renewable Electricity From the
RFS Program
Our proposed determination that electricity is not a renewable fuel
is effectuated in several ways. First, we are proposing to remove the
definition of ``renewable electricity'' from the definitions in 40 CFR
80.2. Second, we are proposing to remove the regulations associated
with generating RINs for renewable electricity. These actions include
removing the renewable electricity pathways in Table 1 to 40 CFR
80.1426, the renewable electricity RIN separation requirements in 40
CFR 80.1429, and all associated registration, reporting, and
recordkeeping requirements in 40 CFR 80.1450, 80.1451, and 80.1454.
EPA requests comment on its statutory analyses and on its proposed
conclusions that: (1) Renewable electricity does not meet the
definition of renewable fuel because it does not ``replace or reduce
the quantity of fossil fuel present in a transportation fuel,'' and (2)
Electricity is not a fuel under the RFS program. EPA further requests
comment on its proposed decision, based on these analyses and
conclusions, to remove from the RFS regulations all provisions related
to renewable electricity including, but not limited to the definition
of and pathways for renewable electricity and the generation of RINs
for renewable electricity.
X. Other Changes to RFS Regulations
A. Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet Fuel Equivalence Values
We are proposing to revise the equivalence values for renewable
diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel to account for the non-renewable portion
of these fuels, as they are all typically produced using a
hydrotreating process. Due to an oversight when initially establishing
the equivalence values for these fuels, the existing equivalence values
for these fuels do not take into consideration the fact that a portion
of the hydrogen in these fuels originates from the hydrogen used in the
hydrotreating process, nearly all of which is produced from fossil
natural gas. By not accounting for the hydrogen produced from fossil
natural gas in these fuels, we are effectively allowing these
hydrotreated fuels to generate RINs for non-renewable content. This
approach conflicts not only with the statutory direction that fuels
must be produced from renewable biomass to be eligible under the RFS
program, but also with the approach EPA has taken for other biofuels
that contain non-renewable content (e.g., biodiesel, which by standard
practice is
[[Page 25843]]
generally comprised partially of fossil fuel-based methanol).\249\
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\249\ See ``Calculation of Equivalence Values for renewable
fuels under the RFS program,'' Docket Item No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2005-0161-
0046.
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To properly account for the fossil-derived hydrogen found in most
renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel, we are proposing to reduce the
equivalence values for these fuels. Specifically, we are proposing to
reduce the equivalence value for renewable diesel specified in 40 CFR
80.1415(b) to 1.6. We are also proposing to specify equivalence values
of 1.4 for renewable naphtha and 1.6 for renewable jet fuel.
Equivalence values for these fuels are not currently specified in 40
CFR 80.1415(b), but are instead determined on a facility-by-facility
basis using an equation specified in 40 CFR 80.1415(c). Previously
approved equivalence values for naphtha range from 1.4 to 1.5 with the
majority approved at 1.5, and for renewable jet fuel range from 1.6 to
1.7, with the majority approved at 1.6.\250\
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\250\ See ``Feedstock Summary'' RIN data table at: https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-help/rins-generated-transactions.
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The proposed equivalence values for renewable diesel, naphtha, and
jet fuel are based on our technical assessment of the proportion of
these fuels that are derived from renewable biomass and would better
align the equivalence values of these fuels with the approach used for
other biofuels that contain non-renewable content described above.\251\
We note, however, that producers or importers would continue to be able
to submit an application for an alternative equivalence value pursuant
to 40 CFR 80.1415(b)(7).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\251\ See ``Calculation of Proposed Equivalence Values for
Renewable Diesel, Naphtha, and Jet Fuel,'' available in the docket
for this action.
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We recognize that the proportion of these fuels that is produced
from renewable biomass will vary slightly depending on a number of
factors, such as the feedstock used to produce the renewable diesel,
naphtha, or jet fuel. An alternative approach to reducing the
equivalence values for these fuels as proposed would be to require each
renewable fuel producer to determine the proportion of the renewable
diesel, naphtha, or jet fuel that is produced from renewable feedstock
on a batch-by-batch basis. This alternative approach would require a
significant investment from both EPA and the renewable fuel producer to
determine an acceptable methodology for calculating the renewable
content of these fuels in the absence of a direct measurement technique
and to execute the agreed-upon protocols on an ongoing basis. We do not
expect that the number of RINs generated under this alternative
approach would vary sufficiently from those under our proposed approach
such that the additional burden on the renewable fuel producer would be
warranted.
We also acknowledge that the proportion of these fuels that is
produced from renewable biomass will vary slightly depending on the
definition of ``produced from renewable biomass.'' In this action we
are not proposing a definition of produced from renewable biomass.
Nevertheless, we believe it is appropriate to propose revised
equivalence values for renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel prior to
resolving the definition of produced from renewable biomass. The
difference in the proportion of these fuels that can be considered
produced from renewable biomass using an energy-based approach and a
mass-based approach, the two primary approaches to the definition of
produced from renewable biomass considered in the Set 1 Rule, are
relatively small.\252\ In light of the similar outcomes for these fuels
between the two approaches, it is not appropriate to continue to allow
these fuels to generate a greater number of RINs than would be the case
under either approach to the definition of produced from renewable
biomass.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\252\ Id.
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We would intend to implement these proposed changes by deactivating
any pathways with these impacted equivalence values prior to the
effective date of the final rule (typically 60 days after publication
of the final rule in the Federal Register. To avoid any disruption,
currently registered renewable fuel producers utilizing these impacted
pathways would need to update their registrations with EPA by the
effective date.
We are requesting comment on alternative approaches to recognizing
and accounting for the non-renewable content found in most renewable
diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel. We are also aware that some producers of
renewable diesel, naphtha, and jet fuel have explored producing these
fuels using hydrogen that is produced from qualifying renewable biomass
rather than from fossil natural gas. We are not proposing new pathways
or equivalence values for parties using renewable hydrogen to produce
renewable diesel, naphtha, or jet fuel in this action as significant
outstanding issues remain. These issues include developing an approach
to evaluating the lifecycle GHG emissions for hydrogen used in
renewable diesel naphtha, and jet fuel production and how to account
for renewable hydrogen used in a hydrotreating process that is not
incorporated into the fuel. However, we are requesting comment on how
to recognize the potential for greater renewable content that can be
achieved using renewable hydrogen in a future action.
B. RIN-Related Provisions
1. RIN Generation and Assignment
Since EPA finalized the biogas regulatory reform provisions in the
Set 1 Rule, we have received a significant number of questions from
stakeholders regarding when RINs for RNG must be generated and
assigned. In response to these inquiries, we are proposing regulations
to specify when RINs must be generated and assigned both for renewable
fuel and for RNG. Specifically, we are proposing in 40 CFR
80.1426(f)(18) that RINs for most renewable fuels must be generated at:
For domestic renewable fuel producers, the point of
production or point of sale.
For RIN-generating foreign producers, the point of
production or when the renewable fuel is loaded onto a vessel or other
transportation mode for transport to the covered location.
For RIN-generating importers of renewable fuel, the point
of importation into the covered location.
We are also proposing in 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(18) that RINs for RNG
and renewable fuels that are gaseous at standard temperature and
pressure (STP) (e.g., renewable CNG/LNG) must be generated no later
than five business days after all applicable requirements for RIN
generation under 40 CFR 80.125(b), 80.130(b), and 80.1426(f), as
applicable, have been met. An exception would be for foreign produced
RIN-less RNG, in which RINs must be generated when title is transferred
from the foreign producer to the RIN-generating importer.
Furthermore, we are proposing in 40 CFR 80.1426(e) that, except for
RNG and renewable fuels that are gaseous at STP, RINs generated at the
point of production or the point of importation into the covered
location must be assigned to a volume of renewable fuel when the
renewable fuel leaves the renewable fuel production or import facility,
while RINs generated at the point of sale or when the renewable fuel
was loaded onto a vessel or other transportation mode for transport to
the covered location must be assigned prior to the transfer of
ownership of the renewable fuel. We are also proposing that RINs for
RNG and renewable fuels
[[Page 25844]]
that are gaseous at STP must be assigned to a volume of RNG or
renewable fuel at the same time the RIN is generated for the RNG or
renewable fuel. We request comment on these proposed deadlines for RIN
generation and assignment.
2. Pure and Neat Biodiesel Used for Process Heat or Power Generation
The CAA and RFS regulations prohibit RIN generation for fuel that
does not replace or reduce the quantity of fossil fuel present in a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel. Pure biodiesel (i.e.,
B100) or neat biodiesel (i.e., B99) used for process heat or power
generation is not a transportation fuel or jet fuel and does not
qualify as heating oil under paragraph (1) of the definition of heating
oil under 40 CFR 80.2 because: (1) It is not commonly or commercially
known as heating oil, and (2) It is not sold for use in furnaces,
boilers, or similar applications.\253\ As to the first criterion, pure
or neat biodiesel is not commonly known as heating oil and has several
natural qualities that make it problematic as a heating oil, the
primary issue being that biodiesel gels at low temperatures and could
negatively impact the equipment being fueled by biodiesel (e.g., by
clogging filters). As to the second criterion, pure or neat biodiesel
is not typically sold for use in furnaces, boilers, or similar
applications. Therefore, biodiesel producers that use some of the
biodiesel they produce for process heat or that sell biodiesel to power
plants cannot generate RINs on the volumes used for process heat or
power generation. As such, we are proposing to clarify that RINs cannot
be generated for pure or neat biodiesel that is used for process heat
or power generation by revising the definition of heating oil under 40
CFR 80.2 to state that ``pure biodiesel (i.e., B100) or neat biodiesel
(i.e., B99) that is used for process heat or power generation is not
heating oil.'' We request comment on the proposed clarification that
RINs cannot be generated for pure or neat biodiesel used for process
heat or power generation.
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\253\ EPA has already made clear that fuel oils used for process
heat or power generation do not qualify as heating oil under
paragraph (2) of the definition of ``heating oil'' under 40 CFR
80.2. 78 FR 62462 (October 22, 2013).
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C. Percentage Standard Equations
We are proposing several changes to the percentage standard
equations in 40 CFR 80.1405(c).\254\ First, we are proposing to clarify
that the volume requirements used to calculate the percentage standards
for cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel
(RFVCB,i, RFVAB,i, and RFVRF,i,
respectively) are based on the number of ``gallon-RINs'' of each fuel,
rather than simply ``gallons'' as currently specified. As described in
the RFS2 Rule, we have interpreted these volume requirements as being
on an energy-equivalent basis (rather than wet or physical gallons of
liquid fuel) and that when the volume requirements are used to
calculate the applicable percentage standards, it would be through the
use of the equivalence value for RIN generation (the ``Equivalence
Value'' approach).\255\ This energy-equivalent basis for using the
volume requirements to calculate the percentage standards is expressed
through the use of gallon-RINs, and thus we believe these terms should
be defined as such in the regulations.
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\254\ EPA's proposed changes to the percentage standard formulas
are limited to the changes proposed here. We are not seeking comment
on or reopening any other aspects of the percentage standard
formulas, including the factors that project exempt volumes of
gasoline and diesel due to small refinery exemptions.
\255\ 75 FR 14709-10, 16-18 (March 26, 2010).
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Second, we are proposing to change the BBD volume requirement
(RFVBBD,i,) from being expressed in physical gallons to
gallon-RINs, consistent with the methodology used to specify the other
three renewable fuel volume requirements. Since the BBD volume
requirement was first established in the RFS2 Rule, we have interpreted
the statutory BBD volume requirements as being in physical
gallons.\256\ Thus, while the percentage standard equations for
cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel were
established on a gallon-RINs basis, the BBD percentage standard was
established on a physical gallon basis. Because the BBD standard was
assumed in the RFS2 Rule to be met exclusively with biodiesel, and
biodiesel generated 1.5 RINs per gallon, we applied a 1.5 multiplier
(the ``BBD multiplier'') to the BBD percentage standard equation to
convert from the number of BBD physical gallons in the statutory volume
requirements to the equivalent number of gallon-RINs. Since the RFS2
Rule, we have continued to use the energy-equivalent (or gallon-RIN)
approach in establishing the cellulosic biofuel, advanced biofuel, and
total renewable fuel volume requirement and associated percentage
standards. However, the BBD volume requirement has continued to be
expressed in physical gallons and then converted to a gallon-RIN
equivalent in the BBD percentage standard equation by multiplying the
BBD volume requirement by the BBD multiplier (either 1.5 (from 2010-
2022) or 1.6 (from 2023-2025)). As discussed in Sections III and V,
since the promulgation of the RFS2 Rule, fuels other than biodiesel and
with different equivalence values than biodiesel, most prominently
renewable diesel, have become significant contributors to the BBD
volume requirement. This has led to confusion among stakeholders
regarding the correct way to interpret the BBD volume requirement and a
perceived lack of clarity regarding how the BBD percentage standard is
calculated. Our proposal to reduce the number of RINs generated for
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced from foreign
feedstocks (discussed in Section VIII) would further complicate this
issue.
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\256\ In the RFS2 rule, we stated that ``we are finalizing the
energy content approach to Equivalence Values for the cellulosic
biofuel, advanced biofuel, and total renewable fuel standards.
However, the biomass-based diesel standard is based on the volume of
biodiesel. In order to align both of these approaches
simultaneously, biodiesel will continue to generate 1.5 RINs per
gallon as in RFS1, and the biomass-based diesel volume mandate from
EISA is then adjusted upward by the same 1.5 factor.'' 75 FR 14716
(March 26, 2010).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acknowledging that the BBD volume requirement is now being met with
a more complex mixture of fuels than we anticipated in the RFS2 Rule,
we are now proposing to revise the definition of RFVBBD,i to
specify that the BBD volume requirement is expressed in gallon-RINs
rather than gallons. We believe that specifying the BBD volume
requirement in gallon-RINs would reduce confusion among stakeholders
regarding how to interpret the BBD volume requirement and how the BBD
percentage standard is calculated.
Consistent with this proposed clarification, we are also proposing
to revise the BBD percentage standard to remove the 1.6 multiplier. By
specifying the BBD volume requirement in RIN gallons, the BBD
multiplier would no longer be necessary to convert from physical
gallons of BBD to gallon-RINs. This would also eliminate the need to
track the average equivalence value of BBD to adjust the BBD multiplier
in the future, which EPA recently revised from 1.5 to 1.6 in the Set 1
Rule due to increased production volumes of renewable diesel relative
to biodiesel.\257\
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\257\ 88 FR 44545-47 (July 12, 2023).
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We are also proposing to remove the terms GSi,
DSi, RGSi, and RDSi from the
percentage standard equations. These terms relate to the use of
gasoline, diesel, or renewable fuels contained in gasoline or diesel in
Alaska or a U.S. territory if the state or territory opts into the RFS
program. However, if Alaska or a U.S. territory were to opt into the
RFS
[[Page 25845]]
program in the future, we would instead account for gasoline, diesel,
and renewable fuel use in the state or territory under the existing
Gi, Di, RGi, and RDi terms.
These terms refer to the amounts of gasoline, diesel, or renewable fuel
used in gasoline or diesel in the covered location, which is defined as
``the contiguous 48 states, Hawaii, and any state or territory that has
received an approval from EPA to opt-in to the RFS program under Sec.
80.1443.'' \258\ Thus, there is no need to have separate terms in the
percentage standards just for Alaska or a U.S. territory that opts into
the RFS program in the future.
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\258\ 40 CFR 80.2.
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Finally, we are proposing to revise the definitions of
RGi and RDi (the amounts of renewable fuel
projected to be blended into gasoline and diesel, respectively) to
clarify that these projections are for the amounts of renewable fuel
contained within the projections of Gi and Di
themselves (the amounts of gasoline and diesel, respectively, projected
to be used in the U.S.), rather than a projection of the absolute
amount of renewable fuel blended into gasoline and diesel. While the
EIA projections of gasoline and diesel used by EPA to calculate the
percentage standards have historically contained some volume of
renewable fuel (e.g., ethanol in gasoline, biodiesel and renewable
diesel in diesel), EIA has recently changed their STEO projection
methodology to provide separate projections of petroleum-based diesel
and renewable fuels blended into diesel (e.g., biodiesel and renewable
diesel). Thus, were we to use these projections to calculate the
percentage standards, we would use the petroleum-based diesel
projection for Di and a value of zero for RDi, as
the Di projection does not contain any renewable fuel.\259\
We believe this clarification makes clear how we would calculate the
percentage equations under this potential future scenario. We request
comment on these proposed changes to the percentage standard equations.
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\259\ Note that the proposed percentage standards in this action
are calculated using projections from AEO2023, which does include
renewable fuels in its projections of gasoline and diesel.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
D. Existing Renewable Fuel Pathways
Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 lists generally applicable fuel pathways
that have been approved for the RFS program. Fuel producers that
produce fuel through a pathway (i.e., a unique combination of a fuel
type, feedstock, and process) described in Table 1 may submit a
registration application to EPA.\260\ Table 1 lists an applicable RIN D
code for each approved pathway based on the type of fuel produced,
whether it is produced from cellulosic biomass, and whether it
satisfies the statutory 20 percent, 50 percent, or 60 percent lifecycle
GHG emissions reduction threshold. In Section X.D.1, we are proposing
clarifications to certain pathways in Table 1. In Section X.D.2, we are
proposing to add pathways to Table 1 for naphtha and liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG) produced from biogenic waste oils, fats and
greases. We request comment on all these proposed changes to the
eligible fuel pathways in Table 1.
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\260\ Note that an individual row in Table 1 can include
multiple fuel pathways.
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1. Table 1 Pathways That Include ``Any'' Production Process
In addition to requiring that renewable fuel be produced from
renewable biomass and used to reduce or replace the quantity of fossil
fuel in transportation fuel,\261\ the CAA also requires that qualifying
biofuels meet the lifecycle GHG reduction threshold specified for the
applicable category of renewable fuel.\262\ The CAA further requires
EPA to determine the lifecycle GHG emissions for renewable fuels.\263\
EPA has evaluated the lifecycle emissions associated with fuel pathways
and listed the pathways it has analyzed that satisfy the statutory GHG
reduction criteria in Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426. To do so, EPA
necessarily evaluates particular feedstocks that are put through
particular production processes to produce particular fuels. Thus, an
approved pathway in Table 1 signifies that EPA has determined that the
specific combination of elements we evaluated meets the applicable GHG
reduction threshold.
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\261\ CAA section 211(o)(1)(J).
\262\ CAA sections 211(o)(1)(B), (D), (E); 211(o)(2)(A)(i).
\263\ CAA section 211(o)(1)(H).
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In 2010 when EPA promulgated the initial set of pathways in Table 1
as part of the RFS2 Rule, the range of commercially available
technologies for producing renewable fuels was relatively limited, but
there was an expectation that other nascent technologies would be
developed over time to the point of commercialization. Given the
information available at the time, EPA believed that the lifecycle
analyses it had conducted for certain pathways provided sufficient
basis to approve other pathways with similar feedstocks, production
process technologies, and fuels.\264\ For example, based on the
biochemical and thermochemical production processes that we modeled for
producing ethanol from switchgrass and corn stover, EPA included
several other cellulosic feedstocks in Rows K and L of Table 1 and
described the production process as ``Any.'' Thus, some of the pathway
descriptions in Table 1 are quite broad (i.e., they provide that the
approved pathway can include ``any'' production process).
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\264\ For example, see discussion of ``assessments of similar
feedstocks sources'' at 75 FR 14792-14797 (March 26, 2010).
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However, over the life of the RFS program, many fuel production
processes have been developed that vary from those assumed in the
original assessments underlying the pathways listed in Table 1 more
than we anticipated in the RFS2 Rule. Indeed, some of the fuel
production process technologies that parties are now wishing to
register under ``any'' pathways have little connection to the processes
EPA evaluated as the basis for including a given pathway in Table 1. In
some cases, the GHG emissions performance of such new processes may be
significantly worse than the processes we analyzed for the RFS2 Rule or
the notional processes we anticipated might be developed in the future.
These new processes may therefore not meet the applicable GHG emissions
threshold. For example, we have received petitions for cellulosic
biofuel production technologies that would use a large amount of
conventional natural gas and grid electricity per unit of fuel
produced, whereas our 2010 analysis assumed that this type of process
would use very little natural gas or grid electricity, relying instead
on cellulosic renewable biomass (e.g., lignin) for process energy.
Given the possibility that some pathways fitting the description in
Table 1 might not actually meet the corresponding statutory GHG
reduction requirement, we believe it is inappropriate to continue
allowing ``any'' production process under certain Table 1 pathways.
Therefore, we are proposing changes to Table 1 and the RFS regulations
to clarify certain fuel pathways in Table 1 and to replace the ``any''
terminology with more precise language.
More specifically, to further clarify the scope of currently
approved pathways, we are proposing to add more precise language to the
description of rows in Table 1 that include the term ``any'' to
describe the production process requirements, which are Rows
[[Page 25846]]
K, L, M, P, Q, and T. Currently, Rows K and L list the production
process requirements as ``Any process that converts cellulosic biomass
to fuel,'' Row M includes ``any process utilizing biogas and/or biomass
as the only process energy sources which converts cellulosic biomass to
fuel,'' and Rows P, Q, and T list the production process requirements
as ``Any.'' As discussed below, we are proposing to replace some or all
of the current language in each of these rows with a description of the
production process requirements that EPA evaluated for the
corresponding lifecycle GHG assessment and that we determined meet the
applicable GHG reduction threshold. Renewable fuel production
facilities that do not satisfy the updated production process
requirements may petition EPA pursuant to the petition process at 40
CFR 80.1416 to request EPA's evaluation of the lifecycle GHG emissions
associated with their fuel.
a. Rows K and L
We are proposing to edit the production process descriptions in
Rows K and L to clarify the production process technologies that
qualify under these rows. For Row K, we are proposing to clarify that
the qualifying production processes are: (1) A biochemical fermentation
process that uses cellulosic biomass for all electricity and thermal
process energy; (2) A thermochemical gasification process that uses
cellulosic biomass for nearly all thermal and electrical process energy
needs; or (3) A dry mill fermentation process that converts corn or
grain sorghum kernel fiber to ethanol. For Row L, we are proposing to
clarify that the qualifying production process technology is a Fischer-
Tropsch process that uses cellulosic biomass for nearly all electrical
and thermal process energy. Below, we discuss these clarifications in
more detail.
For the RFS2 Rule, EPA's evaluation of the emissions associated
with the feedstock to fuel conversion stage of the lifecycle was based
on process modeling conducted by the National Renewable Energy
Laboratory (NREL).265 266 267 268 The NREL process modeling
evaluated conversion of corn stover, switchgrass and hybrid poplar
feedstocks through biochemical and thermochemical processes. Instead of
conducting process modeling for each possible type of biomass, of which
there are a wide variety, NREL categorized the potential feedstocks as
crop residue, dedicated biomass crops, and woody biomass. NREL modeled
corn stover as representative of all crop residues, switchgrass as
representative of all purpose-grown energy grasses, and hybrid poplar
as representative of all woody biomass feedstocks. In the RFS2
Rule,\269\ the Pathways I Rule,\270\ and the Additional Pathways
Rule,\271\ EPA applied the NREL process modeling to evaluate the
biofuel conversion emissions associated with all the feedstocks
currently listed in Rows K and L.\272\ For the reasons discussed in
those rules, EPA is confident that the process technologies evaluated
are relevant for all these feedstocks and supports the qualification of
fuels produced from these feedstocks and process technologies for D3 or
D7 RINs. Thus, we believe it is appropriate for our proposed revisions
to the production process requirements for Rows K and L to apply for
fuels produced from all the feedstocks listed in those rows.
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\265\ Tao, Ling, and Andy Aden. ``Techno-economic Modeling to
Support the EPA Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR),'' NREL,
November 3, 2008. Docket Item No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2005-0161-0844.
\266\ Aden, Andy. ``Mixed Alcohols from Woody Biomass--2010,
2015, 2022,'' NREL, December 3, 2009. Docket Item No. EPA-HQ-OAR-
2005-0161-3034.
\267\ Aden, Andy. ``Feedstock Considerations and Impacts on
Biorefining,'' NREL, December 10, 2009. Docket Item No. EPA-HQ-OAR-
2005-0161-3044.
\268\ Davis, Ryan. ``Techno-economic analysis of current
technology for Fischer-Tropsch fuels production,'' NREL, August 14,
2009. Docket Item No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2005-0161-3035.
\269\ 75 FR 14793-95 (March 26, 2010).
\270\ 78 FR 14201-06 (March 5, 2013).
\271\ 78 FR 41705-09 (July 11, 2013).
\272\ Crop residue; slash, pre-commercial thinnings, and tree
residue; switchgrass; miscanthus; energy cane; Arundo donax;
Pennisetum purpureum; separated yard waste; biogenic components of
separated MSW; cellulosic components of separated food waste;
cellulosic components of annual cover crops.
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We are proposing changes to Row K based on the biochemical
production processes that we evaluated in the RFS2 Rule. For the RFS2
rule, we evaluated the lifecycle GHG emissions associated with a
biochemical cellulosic ethanol production process with four major
process steps: (1) Conversion of feedstocks to sugar; (2) Fermentation
of sugar to ethanol; (3) Ethanol recovery; and (4) Residue utilization
for process energy through a combined heat and power system. A key
assumption in the NREL evaluation is that residues from steps 1-3 would
be utilized in step 4 to produce heat, steam, and electricity and meet
all of the facility's needs for these inputs. The modeling assumed that
combusting the residues in a fluidized bed combustor would provide
adequate heat, steam, and electricity for steps 1-3, with excess
electricity sold to the grid. The residue materials considered in our
evaluation were materials left over after the processing of the
cellulosic biomass feedstock, including lignin, concentrated syrup, and
biogas from wastewater treatment. In particular, the lignin residue was
assumed to be the main source of fuel energy to the combined heat and
power system.
For the crop residue ethanol via a biochemical process based on
analysis assuming corn stover feedstock, we estimated a 129 percent GHG
reduction relative to the gasoline baseline (i.e., net negative GHG
emissions due to exported electricity displacing grid average
electricity). For switchgrass ethanol, the corresponding estimate was a
110 percent GHG reduction. Based on these estimates and considering
background data updates since 2010, we remain confident that a
biochemical process using the residues of the production process (e.g.,
lignin, syrup, biogas) for all heat and excess power generation would
meet the 60 percent GHG reduction threshold for D3 RINs. However, if we
were to change the 2010 analysis to assume natural gas is used for
process heat and power, the corresponding GHG reduction estimates would
be 56 percent for corn stover ethanol and 41 percent for switchgrass
ethanol. Thus, our determination that these pathways satisfy the 60
percent threshold is dependent on the assumption that biomass residues
will be used for process energy and power.
For these reasons, we are proposing to revise the production
process column of Row K to include, ``Biochemical fermentation process
that converts cellulosic biomass to ethanol; only includes processes
that use the lignin and other biogenic feedstock residues from the
fermentation and ethanol production processes for all thermal and
electrical process energy and are net exporters of electricity to the
grid.''
We are also proposing changes to Row K of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426
based on the thermochemical production processes that we evaluated in
the RFS2 Rule. The RFS2 Rule evaluated pathways for cellulosic ethanol
produced via a thermochemical process. Our evaluation of these pathways
relied on process modeling by NREL. The process modeled by NREL
includes biomass gasification, syngas refining, mixed alcohol synthesis
and distillation. The NREL modeling assumed that tar from the biomass
gasification and a slipstream of unrefined syngas would be combusted to
provide all required process heat, precluding the need to purchase
natural gas or other fossil fuels for almost all the energy needs for
the process.
[[Page 25847]]
Specifically, the NREL modeling assumes that the biomass residue
provides 99.8 percent of the process energy with a very small amount of
diesel use.
For corn stover ethanol via a thermochemical process, in 2010 we
estimated a 92 percent reduction relative to the gasoline baseline. For
switchgrass ethanol, the corresponding estimate was a 72 percent GHG
reduction. Based on these estimates, we remain confident that a
biochemical process using biomass residues for almost all heat and
excess power generation will meet the 60 percent GHG reduction
threshold for D3 RINs. However, if we were to change the 2010 analysis
to assume natural gas is used for process heat and power, the
corresponding GHG reduction estimates would be 16 percent for corn
stover and 2 percent for switchgrass. Thus, our determination that
these pathways satisfy the 60 percent threshold (or even the 20 percent
threshold) is dependent on the assumption that biomass residues will be
used for process energy and power. For these reasons, we are proposing
to revise the production process column of Row K to include,
``Thermochemical gasification process that converts cellulosic biomass
to ethanol and uses a portion of the feedstock for over 99% of thermal
and electrical process energy.''
We are also proposing changes to Row K of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426
based on the CKF to ethanol process evaluated in the Pathways II
Rule.\273\ In the 2014 Pathways II rule, EPA evaluated ethanol produced
from CKF at dry mill ethanol plants. EPA determined that CKF qualifies
as a predominately cellulosic crop residue and ethanol produced from
corn kernel fiber through a dry mill process is covered by Row K of
Table 1. EPA's evaluation for these pathways was limited to dry mill
ethanol plants. This evaluation did not consider the possibility that
such plants could be coal fired, which would substantially increase the
lifecycle GHG emissions. As part of that rulemaking, EPA also
determined that kernel fiber from grain sorghum is a predominately
cellulosic crop residue that may be converted to ethanol in the same
way as corn kernel fiber. Grain sorghum kernel fiber and CKF are very
similar in terms of how they are produced and converted to ethanol such
that it is reasonable to extend our lifecycle analysis of ethanol
produced from CKF to ethanol produced from grain sorghum kernel fiber.
For these reasons, we are proposing to revise the production process
column of Row K to include, ``Dry mill process that converts corn or
grain sorghum kernel fiber to ethanol and uses natural gas, biogas, or
crop residue for all thermal process energy.''
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\273\ 79 FR 42128 (July 18, 2014).
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We are proposing changes to Row L of Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426
based on the Fischer-Tropsch processes that we evaluated in the RFS2
rule. EPA evaluated the lifecycle GHG emissions associated with diesel,
jet fuel, and heating oil produced from corn stover and switchgrass via
a Fischer-Tropsch process for the RFS2 Rule. The lifecycle analysis for
these pathways relied on process modeling by NREL. The NREL process
modeling assumed that the feedstock is dried and gasified, the
resulting syngas is cleaned and reformed, wax is sent to a
hydrocracker, and the light hydrocarbons and hydrocracker products are
sent to a fractionator to separate diesel from other coproducts. The
NREL modeling assumed that almost all (99.8 percent) of the steam and
power requirements are satisfied internally through biomass and syngas
combustion, with the small remainder of energy needs met with grid
electricity and conventional diesel.
For diesel fuel produced from corn stover through a Fischer-Tropsch
process, in 2010 we estimated a 91 percent reduction relative to the
gasoline baseline. For diesel produced from switchgrass through a
Fischer-Tropsch process, the corresponding estimate was a 71 percent
GHG reduction. Based on these estimates, we remain confident that a
Fischer-Tropsch diesel process using residues (e.g., lignin, syrup,
biogas) for all heat and excess power generation will meet the 60
percent GHG reduction threshold for D3 RINs. However, if were to change
the 2010 analysis to assume natural gas is used for process heat and
power, the lifecycle GHG emissions for these fuels would be greater
than the lifecycle GHG emissions associated with the diesel baseline:
25 percent greater for switchgrass-based diesel and 5 percent greater
for stover-based diesel. Thus, our determination that these pathways
satisfy the applicable GHG reductions thresholds are dependent on the
assumption that feedstock residues generated during the fuel production
process will be used for process energy and power. For these reasons,
we are proposing to revise the production process column of Row L to
say, ``Fischer-Tropsch process that converts cellulosic biomass to fuel
and uses a portion of the feedstock for over 99% of thermal and
electrical process energy.''
b. Row M
We are proposing changes to Row M to define the qualifying process
technologies more precisely to ensure that fuels produced through Row M
satisfy the statutory criteria for RIN generation. In the Pathways I
Rule, we approved the pathways in Row M for cellulosic biofuels
produced from residue, byproduct and cover crop feedstocks through
multiple biochemical and thermochemical processes.\274\ These approvals
were based on our lifecycle emissions modeling of the following
production process technologies: (1) Thermochemical processes including
pyrolysis and upgrading; (2) Thermochemical gasification and upgrading;
(3) Direct biological conversion, and (4) Biological conversion and
upgrading. In that rule, we extended the modeling results of these
specific process technologies to ``any process utilizing biogas and/or
biomass as the only process energy sources which converts cellulosic
biomass to fuel.'' At the time, we explained that extending the
modeling in this way was based on the premise that the process
assumptions we modeled at the time were relatively conservative, and we
expected the industry to improve and potentially exceed the energy
efficiencies we modeled. For example, we stated that ``[t]echnology
changes in the future are likely to increase efficiency to maximize
profits, while also lowering lifecycle GHG emissions.'' \275\ While
these predictions made in 2013 may eventually come to pass, our
experience over the 12 years since then has reduced our confidence that
``any'' process using these feedstocks and types of process energy will
satisfy the statutory emissions reduction requirements. We are more
cautious now because the process configurations we modeled in 2013 to
support the Row M pathways have not been commercialized. Furthermore,
new fuel pathway petitions submitted pursuant to 40 CFR 80.1416 and
pathway screening tool submissions indicated that, rather than
exceeding the process efficiencies we modeled in 2013, some projects
under consideration may be less energy efficient than we projected. For
these reasons, we are no longer confident that the fuel and feedstock
combinations listed in Row M produced through ``any process utilizing
biogas and/or biomass as the only process energy sources which converts
cellulosic biomass to
[[Page 25848]]
fuel'' would satisfy the statutory 60 percent GHG reduction requirement
to qualify for D3 RINs. Thus, we are proposing to remove the ``any
process'' language from Row M, while leaving in place the following
processes that convert cellulosic biomass to fuel using natural gas,
biogas, or biomass as the only process energy sources: (1) Catalytic
pyrolysis and upgrading; (2) Gasification and upgrading; (3) Thermo-
catalytic hydrodeoxygenation and upgrading; (4) Direct biological
conversion; (5) Biological conversion and upgrading. To our knowledge,
this action would not adversely affect any currently operating
facilities.
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\274\ 78 FR 14190 (March 5, 2013).
\275\ 78 FR 14213 (March 5, 2013).
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c. Row P
We are proposing changes to Row P based on analyses undertaken by
EPA for prior rulemakings. Row P includes ethanol, renewable diesel,
jet fuel, heating oil, and naphtha produced from the non-cellulosic
portions of separated food waste and non-cellulosic components of
annual cover crops. EPA evaluated and approved pathways for ethanol,
renewable diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and naphtha produced from the
non-cellulosic portions of separated food waste and non-cellulosic
components of annual cover crops assuming that the ethanol would be
produced through a fermentation process, and the other fuels would be
produced through a hydrotreating or transesterification process.
Fermentation processes use a significant amount of thermal energy
(e.g., for feedstock heating and distillation) and our evaluation
assumed that these facilities would be fired with natural gas or other
fuels with similar or lower lifecycle GHG emissions such as biogas or
crop residue. For these reasons, we are proposing to revise the
production process column of Row P to say, ``Fermentation using natural
gas, biogas, or crop residue for thermal energy; Hydrotreating;
Transesterification.''
d. Rows Q and T
We are proposing changes to Rows Q and T based on analyses
undertaken by EPA for prior rulemakings. EPA's evaluation of renewable
CNG produced from biogas assumed the biogas would be treated to
increase biomethane concentration and reduce impurities such as carbon
dioxide, nitrogen, oxygen, and volatile organic compounds, and the
resulting treated biogas would be compressed for vehicle fueling or
pipeline injection. Thus, for the renewable CNG pathways, we are
proposing to revise the production process column of Rows Q and T to
say, ``CNG production from treated biogas via compression.''
EPA's evaluation of renewable LNG produced from biogas assumed the
same biogas treatment as the renewable CNG pathways, and the resulting
biomethane would undergo liquefaction (i.e., biomethane condensed to
liquid form by reducing its temperature to approximately minus 260
degrees Fahrenheit at ambient pressure), producing renewable LNG. Thus,
for the renewable LNG pathways, we are proposing to revise the
production process column of Row Q to say, ``LNG production from
treated biogas via liquefaction.''
Furthermore, the analyses EPA undertook that form the basis for the
Rows Q and T pathways assumed the renewable CNG would be transported
via pipeline and that the renewable LNG would be used as a
transportation fuel within a relatively short time after it was
produced. After the LNG is produced there are boil-off emissions of
approximately 0.1 to 0.15 percent per day associated with evaporation
during transport, storage, and fueling. Thus, renewable LNG that is
transported or stored for a long time before use as transportation fuel
has higher lifecycle GHG emissions and is outside the bounds of our
analysis. We assume that renewable LNG produced in North America would
be used relatively soon after production. CNG that is produced outside
of North America would involve additional non-pipeline transportation
emissions that were not considered in EPA's lifecycle analysis. For
these reasons, we are proposing to clarify that the production process
requirements for Rows Q and T are limited to processes that occur in
North America.\276\
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\276\ For further information on the lifecycle emissions
estimates discussed in this section, see ``Lifecycle Emissions
Estimates Related to Clarifications to Table 1 Pathways,'' available
in the docket for this action.
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e. Conclusion
These regulatory clarifications to Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 do not
affect renewable fuel producers that have successfully registered for
any of the existing fuel pathways listed in Table 1. Prior registration
applications were reviewed and accepted based on EPA's engineering
judgement and interpretation of the fuel pathways in Table 1, including
EPA's consideration of the bounds of the lifecycle analysis that formed
the basis for the approved pathways. If finalized, the regulatory
clarifications proposed in this action would not change the status of
any of these prior registrations.
We believe the proposed Table 1 revisions discussed in this section
would benefit renewable fuel project developers by giving them
additional clarity on what process technologies qualify under the
existing renewable fuel pathways. Although we strive to describe the
pathways in Table 1 in a precise manner that aligns with the lifecycle
analysis that supports each pathway, we recognize that there will
likely still be some cases where it is not clear whether a particular
process technology qualifies for a particular fuel pathway in Table 1.
Fuel producers seeking to determine if their fuel fits within the
bounds of a pathway listed in Table 1 can contact EPA through the
pathway screening tool for clarification.\277\ The pathway screening
tool process was designed for the express purpose of providing a means
for renewable fuel producers to seek input on whether a fuel fits an
existing pathway in Table 1 or whether a new renewable fuel pathway
petition, pursuant to 40 CFR 80.1416, is needed prior to generating
RINs. To provide additional clarity regarding the criteria that EPA
will apply to determine whether a feedstock, fuel, or production
technology qualifies for an existing Table 1 pathway, we propose to add
the following language to 40 CFR 80.1426(f)(1): ``For purposes of
identifying the appropriate approved pathway, the fuel must be
produced, distributed, and used in a manner consistent with the pathway
EPA evaluated when it determined that the pathway satisfies the
applicable GHG reduction requirement.'' Again, producers that are
unsure if their fuel qualifies under an existing pathway may use the
pathway screening tool process to receive clarification from EPA, and
producers of a fuel that does not fit within the bounds of an existing
pathway may petition EPA, pursuant to the petition process at 40 CFR
80.1416, requesting EPA's evaluation of the lifecycle GHG emissions
associated with their fuel.
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\277\ EPA, ``Renewable Fuel Pathway Screening Tool.'' https://www.epa.gov/renewable-fuel-standard-program/forms/renewable-fuel-pathway-screening-tool.
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2. Adding Waste Fats, Oils, and Greases as Feedstock for Producing
Renewable Naphtha and LPG
We are proposing to add generally applicable fuel pathways to Table
1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 for renewable naphtha and liquefied petroleum gas
(LPG) produced from biogenic waste oils, fats, and greases through a
hydrotreating process to qualify for D5 (advanced
[[Page 25849]]
biofuel) RINs. Specifically, we are proposing to add ``Biogenic waste
oils/fats/greases'' to the feedstock column in Row I of Table 1. As
discussed below, we are proposing to add these fuel pathways based on
our finding that they satisfy the statutory 50 percent GHG reduction
threshold to qualify as advanced biofuel.
In the RFS2 Rule, we approved fuel pathways, in Rows F and H, for
biodiesel and renewable diesel produced from biogenic waste oils, fats,
and greases through a hydrotreating process to qualify for D4 RINs.
These pathway approvals were based on our estimate that biodiesel
produced from UCO (also called waste grease or yellow grease in the
RFS2 Rule) reduced lifecycle GHG emissions by over 80 percent compared
to the petroleum baseline.\278\ In the Pathways I Rule, we added ``jet
fuel'' and ``heating oil'' to the fuel type column of Rows F and H of
Table 1. The approval of these jet fuel and heating oil pathways was
based on extending the prior determinations to renewable diesel as the
same facilities often produce renewable diesel and jet fuel as
coproducts.\279\ It is also common for hydrotreating facilities to
produce naphtha and LPG as coproducts along with renewable diesel and
jet fuel. In the Pathways I Rule, we also approved Row I for naphtha
and LPG produced from camelina oil through a hydrotreating process
based on the lifecycle analysis of camelina oil pathways that was
conducted in support of that rule.
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\278\ 75 FR 14789 (March 26, 2010).
\279\ 78 FR 14201 (March 5, 2013).
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In 2018, we approved a facility-specific petition, submitted
pursuant to the petition process at 40 CFR 80.1416, for naphtha and LPG
produced from biogenic waste oils, fats, and greases at the Renewable
Energy Group hydrotreating facility in Geismar, Louisiana, to qualify
for D5 RINs.\280\ As part of that determination, we estimated that
naphtha and LPG produced from UCO at this facility would reduce
lifecycle GHG emissions by 76 percent relative to the statutory
petroleum baseline. Based on our prior and current evaluations, we
believe that, as a general matter, facilities producing renewable
naphtha and LPG from biogenic waste oils, fats, and greases, such as
UCO and animal tallow, through a hydrotreating process will satisfy the
50 percent GHG reduction threshold for these fuels. Thus, we are
proposing to add these pathways to Row I of Table 1 rather than
approving them on a more time consuming and burdensome facility-
specific basis.
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\280\ EPA, ``Letter from EPA to Renewable Energy Group, Inc.,''
April 13, 2017.
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E. Updates to Definitions
1. New Definitions
The RFS regulations currently do not define the terms ``renewable
fuel producer,'' ``renewable fuel oil,'' ``renewable naphtha,'' and
``renewable jet fuel;'' however, all these terms are used within the
RFS regulations. To provide regulatory clarity, we are proposing to
define each of these terms in this action. We are proposing to define a
renewable fuel producer as ``any person that owns, leases, operates,
controls, or supervises a facility where renewable fuels are
produced.'' This proposed definition is consistent with other
definitions of regulated parties under the RFS program. We are
proposing to define renewable fuel oil as ``heating oil that is
renewable fuel and that meets paragraph (2) of the definition of
heating oil,'' renewable naphtha as ``naphtha that is renewable fuel,''
and renewable jet fuel as ``jet fuel that is renewable fuel and meets
ASTM D7566.'' These proposed definitions are consistent with other
definitions of renewable fuels under the RFS program.
We believe these proposed definitions will provide more clarity to
both the regulated community and the public. We request comment on the
proposed definitions.
2. Revised Definitions
Because we are proposing to reduce the RINs that are generated on
foreign renewable fuel and renewable fuel made from foreign feedstocks,
and given the complex nature of global supply chains, we believe it is
necessary to update the definitions of foreign renewable fuel producers
and importers. These proposed revisions will also provide clarity to
regulated parties regarding which entities qualify as foreign renewable
fuel producers or importers.
Under 40 CFR 80.2, a foreign renewable fuel producer is currently
defined as ``a person from a foreign country or from an area outside
the covered location who produces renewable fuel for use in
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel for export to the covered
location. Foreign ethanol producers are considered foreign renewable
fuel producers.'' This definition is ambiguous because renewable fuel
produced at a facility in the United States could arguably be
considered produced by a ``foreign renewable fuel producer'' if the
corporation that produced the renewable fuel is incorporated in a
foreign country. We are proposing that a foreign renewable fuel
producer instead be defined as ``any person that owns, leases,
operates, controls, or supervises a facility outside the covered
location where renewable fuel is produced.'' This revised definition is
consistent with how foreign biogas producers and foreign RNG producers
have been defined under the RFS regulations.
Further, under 40 CFR 80.2 an importer is defined as ``any person
who imports transportation fuel or renewable fuel into the covered
location from an area outside of the covered location.'' To provide
greater clarity to the regulated community as to which entities can be
considered an importer, we are proposing to revise the definition of
importer to include ``the importer of record or an authorized agent
acting on their behalf, as well as the actual owner, the consignee, or
the transferee, if the right to withdraw merchandise from a bonded
warehouse has been transferred.''
Finally, we are proposing to add a provision in the liability
provisions at 40 CFR 80.1461 that specifies that each person meeting
the definition of an importer of renewable fuel under the RFS
regulations is jointly and severally liable for any violations of the
RFS requirements, including the newly proposed import RIN reduction
provisions. The proposed change is consistent with the liability
framework for other parties participating in the RFS program and the
liability framework that applies in EPA's fuel quality program under 40
CFR part 1090. These provisions are also necessary to ensure that
importers who import non-qualifying renewable fuel or renewable fuel
feedstocks can be held liable.
We request comment on the revised definitions of ``foreign
renewable fuel producer'' and ``importer.'' We also request comment on
the joint and several liability provision applicable to importers of
renewable fuel.
3. New Biointermediates
In the 2020-2022 RFS Rule, we established provisions for
biointermediates to be used to produce qualifying renewable fuels and
listed in the regulations specific biointermediates that are allowed
under the RFS program.\281\ We also stated that new biointermediates
would be brought into the RFS program via notice-and-comment
rulemaking. In the Set 1 Rule, we added biogas as a biointermediate and
in this action, we are proposing to add two more biointermediates.
These new biointermediates were requested in
[[Page 25850]]
two separate petitions for rulemaking submitted to EPA in 2023 and
2024.\282\ First, we are proposing to add activated sludge, which is
waste sludge from a secondary wastewater treatment process involving
oxygen and microorganisms. One petitioner suggested that activated
sludge could initially be used to produce renewable CNG, potentially
followed by other fuels such as LNG, ethanol, biobutanol, and methanol
in the future. Second, we are proposing to add converted oils, which
are glycerides such as monoglycerides and diglycerides that are
produced through the glycerolysis of waste oils, fats, or greases with
glycerol. Converted oils must exclusively consist of glycerides with
fatty acid alkyl groups that originate from waste oils, fats, or
greases during the conversion process. One petitioner suggested that
converted oils could be used to produce biodiesel, renewable diesel, or
jet fuel. We request comment on these proposed additions.
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\281\ 87 FR 39600 (July 1, 2022).
\282\ ``Agresti Energy Petition to Add Potential
Biointermediates to the Regulatory Definition,'' October 12, 2023;
``DS Dansuk Petition for Addition of New Biointermediate Produced
via a New Production Process,'' November 26, 2024.
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F. Compliance Reporting, Recordkeeping, and Registration Provisions
1. Exempt Small Refinery Compliance Reporting
Under the RFS program, small refineries are eligible to petition
for and receive an exemption from their RFS obligations for a given
compliance year. The RFS regulations do not, however, exempt these
small refineries from having to submit an annual compliance report. We
are proposing to clarify that such exempt small refineries must file an
annual compliance report.
While an exempt small refinery does not have to retire RINs to
comply with an RVO, it still produces gasoline or diesel fuel that is
used as transportation fuel in the United States and thus this fuel is
included in EIA's projections of nationwide gasoline and diesel fuel
consumption. EPA uses these projections as the basis for calculating
the annual RFS percentage standards and, as described in the Set 1
Rule, we have recently discovered a discrepancy between the volumes of
gasoline and diesel fuel reported by obligated parties in their annual
compliance reports and EIA's reported actual volumes of gasoline and
diesel fuel consumed.\283\ In order for EPA to have a complete picture
of the actual volume of gasoline and diesel fuel that was produced by
refiners--including fuel produced by exempt small refineries--that
would otherwise be reported as obligated fuel in a given compliance
year, it is necessary that all refiners submit an annual compliance
report regardless of whether they received an exemption from their RFS
obligations for the given compliance year. Having this data will
improve the accuracy of EPA's gasoline and diesel fuel projections in
future standard-setting actions and better ensure that there is not
overcompliance by obligated parties.\284\ Therefore, we are proposing
to clarify under 40 CFR 80.1441(e)(2) and 80.1442(h) that exempt small
refineries and small refiners are still subject to RFS reporting
requirements under 40 CFR 80.1451(a) and must submit an annual
compliance report by the annual compliance reporting deadline. Such
exempt small refineries would need to report their actual annual
production of gasoline and diesel fuel that would otherwise be
obligated fuel. In addition, we are also proposing to clarify under 40
CFR 80.1441(e)(2) and 80.1442(h) that a small refinery or small refiner
that receives an exemption for a given compliance year is not exempt
from having to comply with any deficit RVOs that were carried forward
from the previous compliance year. We request comment on the proposed
clarifications.
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\283\ RFS Set 1 RIA, Chapter 1.11.
\284\ Without gasoline and diesel fuel production volumes from
exempt small refineries, EPA is more likely to underestimate the
actual amount of gasoline and diesel fuel expected to be used in a
given compliance year. This would result in overly stringent
percentage standards, and thus more RINs would need to be retired
than necessary to comply with the annual volume requirements.
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2. Compliance Report Updates
We are proposing several changes to requirements related to
compliance reports. Generally, these changes are intended to reduce
burden, support implementation, or to improve the quality of
information submitted to EPA under 40 CFR 80.1449, 80.1451, and
80.1452.
Currently, each entity owning RINs must calculate the volume of
renewable fuel (in gallons) owned at the end of each quarter and report
this on a quarterly basis. The general requirements for RIN
distribution specify that the number of assigned RINs owned must be
less than or equal to the amount of renewable fuel owned multiplied by
2.5. However, since 2010 there have been no documented compliance
issues with entities meeting the distribution requirement for assigned
RINs. To reduce reporting burden, we are proposing to remove this
quarterly reporting requirement under 40 CFR 80.1451 and to also update
the associated requirement under 40 CFR 80.1428(a)(4).
Renewable fuel producers are required to submit an annual
``production outlook report'' that currently includes a monthly or
annual projection in future years. We are proposing to only require
annual projections. Reducing this reporting requirement to annual
projections will reduce burden while maintaining a minimum level of
reporting needed to assess future production. We are also proposing to
update or remove other outdated language under 40 CFR 80.1449.
Additionally, producers or importers of biogas used for
transportation fuel are currently required to report on a quarterly
basis the total energy produced and supplied for use as transportation
fuel, as well as where the fuel is sold for use as a transportation
fuel. These reporting requirements under 40 CFR 80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(P)
are similar to other existing reporting requirements under 40 CFR
80.140. We are therefore proposing to remove this separate quarterly
reporting requirement to further reduce reporting burden.
Finally, we are taking steps to improve the quality of information
when entities generate RINs in EMTS. Currently, each reporting party
must enter a ``reason code'' whenever they are reporting a buy, sell,
separate or retire transaction in EMTS as described in 40 CFR 80.1452.
This information is then used for implementation, compliance and public
data postings on EPA's website. We are proposing to also add a ``reason
code'' to generate transactions for similar purposes and updating other
language under 40 CFR 80.1452 to improve consistency. Examples of new
reason codes include feedstock point of origin identification, co-
processed batches, and remedial actions.
3. Third-Party Auditor Registration Renewal
We are proposing to change the frequency that independent third-
party auditors are required to renew their registrations. Currently, a
third-party auditor's registration expires each year on December 31.
However, we have found that there is significant burden on both EPA and
auditors to review and approve these registrations every year. We
believe that it is not necessary to require auditors to renew their
registrations annually and that a two-year registration period would be
more appropriate. This length of time would still ensure that we are
regularly reviewing auditor registrations, while also reducing burden
on EPA and auditors. Thus, we are proposing that a
[[Page 25851]]
third-party auditor's registration would expire on December 31 every
other year. We request comment on the proposed change to the
registration renewal requirement for independent third-party auditors.
4. Engineering Review Site Visits
Under 40 CFR 80.1450(b)(2), renewable fuel production facilities
are required to undergo an independent third-party engineering review
prior to registration. As part of that engineering review, the
independent third-party engineer is required to conduct a site visit.
However, the current regulations do not specify when such site visits
need to occur. Recently, EPA has received some engineering reviews
where the site visit was over a year old. Therefore, we are proposing
to specify that engineering review site visits must be conducted within
six months prior to submitting a registration request in order to
ensure that the site visit is reflective of the current operation of
the facility. We request comment on the proposed change to the
engineering review site visit requirement.
5. Biogas Batch Period of Production
As part of the biogas regulatory reform provisions in the Set 1
Rule, a batch of biogas was specified as the volume of biogas measured
for a calendar month, with the last day of the month as the production
date.\285\ Stakeholders have subsequently provided feedback to EPA that
allowing biogas producers to produce batches for time periods of less
than a month would improve implementation of the biogas regulations. To
provide additional flexibility for biogas producers, we are proposing
to change the period of production such that a biogas batch may be ``up
to'' a calendar month, allowing for more frequent biogas batches as
indicated by the business practices of the biogas producer. This change
would also provide additional flexibility to RNG producers that use the
biogas batches as part of their RNG RIN generation. We request comment
on this proposed flexibility, including how this change impacts RNG RIN
generation and separation, as well as on the RNG RIN period of
production.
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\285\ 40 CFR 80.105(j)(1) and 80.140(b)(2).
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G. New Approved Measurement Protocols
We are proposing to add additional measurement protocols to the
list of approved methods for measuring the volume of RNG or treated
biogas. EPA has already accepted all these methods through alternative
measurement protocols. The methods we are proposing to add under 40 CFR
80.155(a) are the following:
AGA Report No. 3.
AGA Report No. 9.
AGA Report No. 11 or API MPMS 14.9.
ASME MFC-5.1
ASME MFC-21.2.
ANSI B109.3.
ISO 5167-1 and ISO 5167-2, ISO 5167-4, or ISO 5167-5.
ISO 17089-2.
We are also proposing that flow meters used to measure the volume
of RNG or treated biogas must be tested and calibrated under OIML R137-
1 and 2. Relatedly, we are proposing that if a given flow meter is
calibrated with a fluid other than natural gas, the equivalency to
biogas flow or natural gas flow, respectively, must be demonstrated at
the time of registration.
In addition, under 40 CFR 80.155(b)(2)(v), we are proposing to add
EPA Method TO-15 and ASTM D1945 as additional methods that can be used
for hydrocarbon analysis of biogas and RNG samples. Currently, only EPA
Method 18 is specified for hydrocarbon analysis.
We request comment on the adding the proposed methods and whether
there are any additional methods we should add to the list of approved
methods.
H. Biodiesel and Renewable Diesel Requirements
We are not proposing any changes to the sulfur standards for
biodiesel or renewable diesel in this action. However, we are again
reiterating that biodiesel and renewable diesel producers must comply
with all of EPA's regulatory requirements for diesel producers in 40
CFR part 1090 for the biodiesel and renewable diesel they produce
(referred to as ``nonpetroleum diesel fuel'' in 40 CFR part 1090),
including demonstrating homogeneity for each batch of biodiesel and
renewable diesel and testing each batch for sulfur content to ensure
the fuel meets the 15 ppm standard.\286\ This also includes the
requirement that all sulfur test results must be obtained by the
producer before shipping biodiesel or renewable diesel from the
facility. Requiring measurement before shipping provides assurance of
compliance prior to the fuel being mixed and comingled in the fungible
distribution system.
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\286\ EPA has previously made clear that biodiesel producers
must comply with all of EPA's regulatory requirement for diesel
producers. See EPA, ``Guidance for Biodiesel Producers and Biodiesel
Blenders/Users,'' EPA-420-B-07-019, November 2007; see also, EPA
``Am I required to register biodiesel? How would I do that?'' April
1, 2025. https://www.epa.gov/fuels-registration-reporting-and-compliance-help/am-i-required-register-biodiesel-how-would-i-do.
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Further, the definition of biodiesel under 40 CFR 80.2 requires
that the fuel ``meet ASTM D6571,'' which means that each batch of
biodiesel must be tested for and meet all parameters specified in ASTM
D6751. The ASTM D6751 specification was imposed to ensure that
biodiesel for which RINs are generated is of a sufficient quality to be
used as transportation fuel. To ensure that all biodiesel for which
RINs are generated is fit to be used as transportation fuel, each batch
must be tested for and meet ASTM D6751.
To further make clear that all the above requirements apply to
biodiesel and renewable diesel, we are proposing clarifying language at
40 CFR 1090.300(a), 1090.305(a), 1090.1310(b)(1), and 1090.1337(e). We
request comment on these proposed clarifications in 40 CFR part 1090
relating to biodiesel and renewable diesel.
I. Technical Amendments
We are proposing numerous technical amendments to the RFS
regulations. These amendments are being made to correct minor
inaccuracies and clarify the current regulations. These changes are
described in Table X.I-1.
Table X.I-1--Miscellaneous Technical Corrections and Clarifications to
RFS Regulations
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Part and section of Title 40 Description of revision
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sec. Sec. 80.2, Clarifying the definition of ``Assigned
80.1425(a)(3), RIN'' and implementing regulations that
80.1426(e)(3), assigned RINs for RNG have a K code of
80.1428(a)(3), 80.1429(c), 3.
80.1460(b)(4).
Sec. 80.2.................. Clarifying the definition of
``Biodiesel'' to state that it must be
renewable fuel.
Sec. 80.2.................. Clarifying the definition of ``Diesel
fuel'' by adding renewable diesel as an
example of a non-distillate diesel fuel.
[[Page 25852]]
Sec. 80.2.................. Clarifying that parties must use ASTM D86
to measure T90 in the definition of
``MVNRLM diesel fuel''.
Sec. Sec. 80.2, Removing the definition of ``Non-ester
80.1426(f)(17), renewable diesel'' and replacing it with
80.1450(b)(1)(xii), a definition of ``Renewable diesel''.
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T),
80.1454(l).
Sec. Sec. 80.2 Replacing text in existing regulations to
80.1426(c)(7), Table 1 to use the new definition of ``renewable
80.1426, 80.1450(b)(1)(xi), fuel oil.''
80.1453(d), 80.1454(b)(8),
80.1460(g).
Sec. Sec. 80.2, Replacing text in existing regulations to
80.1426(f)(17), Table 1 to use the new definition of ``renewable
80.1426, 80.1450(b)(1)(xii), jet fuel.''
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T),
80.1454(l).
Sec. Sec. 80.2, 80.1454, Removing expired Option A and Option B
80.1469, 80.1470, 80.1471, QAP provisions.
80.1472, 80.1473, 80.1474,
80.1477, 80.1479.
Sec. Sec. 80.12 and Updating numerous ASTM standards and
1090.95. methods to the latest versions (see
Section IX.J for list of methods).
Sec. Sec. 80.105(j)(3), Clarifying that batch numbers for biogas,
80.110(j)(3), and RNG, biogas-derived renewable fuel, and
80.1476(h)(1). biointermediates do not need to be
numbered sequentially but must be unique
in a compliance period.
Sec. 80.125(d)(4).......... Clarifying that RNG RIN separators must
separate RINs equal to or less than the
total volume of RNG used as renewable
CNG/LNG.
Sec. 80.125(e)(2).......... Clarifying when assigned RINs for a
volume of RIN must be retired and
removing an example that was
inconsistent with the specified
regulatory requirements.
Sec. Clarifying that biogas is ``produced,''
80.135(c)(10)(vi)(A)(5). not ``generated.''
Sec. 80.1426(f)(8)......... Clarifying that the batch volume
standardization equations apply to
liquid renewable fuels and liquid
biointermediates.
Table 1 to Sec. 80.1426, Replacing text in existing regulations to
80.1453(a)(12)(v). use the new definition of ``renewable
naphtha.''
Sec. 80.1449(a)(4)(i)...... Replacing existing and planned production
capacity with nameplate and permitted
production capacity.
Sec. 80.1452(b) and (c).... Clarifying that EPA may allow a party to
submit RIN assignment or transaction
information to EMTS outside the
applicable 5- or 10-business-day
deadline.
Sec. 80.1454(b)(3)(ix)..... Clarifying that records must be kept for
all calculations under 80.1426.
Sec. 1090.80............... Replacing references to ``NP diesel
fuel'' with ``nonpetroleum diesel
fuel.''
Sec. 1090.80............... Clarifying the definition of
``Responsible corporate officer (RCO)''
by removing ``operations manager'' as an
example of an RCO.
Sec. Sec. 80.2, 80.3, Correcting typographical, grammatical,
80.1405, 80.1407, 80.1415, and consistency errors.
80.1426, 80.1429, 80.1435,
80.1444, 80.1450, 80.1451,
80.1452, 80.1453, 80.1454.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
XI. Request for Comments
We solicit comments on this proposed action. Specifically, we are
soliciting comment on the following:
A. Renewable Fuel Volumes and Analyses
The proposed cellulosic biofuel, BBD, advanced biofuel,
and total renewable fuel volume requirements for 2026 and 2027 (A-1).
Alternative volume requirements for each of the statutory
categories of renewable fuel for 2026 and 2027, including any data or
analysis that would support alternative volumes for these years (A-2).
The assessments and methodologies used to project volumes
of cellulosic biofuel (A-3).
The appropriate volume of non-cellulosic advanced biofuel
for 2026 and 2027 (A-4).
The potential production volume and impacts of renewable
jet fuel on the statutory factors (A-5).
Our proposed approach of accounting for the projected
shortfall in the supply of conventional renewable fuel relative to the
15-billion-gallon implied volume when establishing the volume
requirements for advanced biofuel and BBD (A-6).
The advantages and disadvantages of establishing BBD and
advanced biofuel volume requirements at levels at or closer to the
projected supplies of these fuels and the implications of doing so on
the total renewable fuel volume if such an approach were adopted (A-7).
Our analysis of the statutory factors in CAA section
211(o)(2)(B)(ii), including the approaches to estimating jobs and rural
economic development impacts associated with renewable fuels and the
types of approaches that would be appropriate to apply in analyzing net
jobs and rural development impacts (A-8).
B. Import RIN Reduction
The appropriateness of the proposed import RIN reduction
factor (i.e., more or less than the proposed 50 percent reduction) (B-
1).
The proposed import RIN generation requirement, and
whether there are alternative RIN generation approaches that we should
consider (B-2).
The proposed import RIN reduction recordkeeping,
reporting, attest engagement, and QAP requirements (B-3).
The proposed definition of ``feedstock point of origin,''
particularly on the proposed origin locations for each feedstock type
and whether there are any other feedstock types that should have
specified origin locations (B-4).
C. Removal of Renewable Electricity From the RFS Program
The statutory analyses and proposed conclusions that: (1)
Renewable electricity does not meet the definition of renewable fuel
because it does not ``replace or reduce the quantity of fossil fuel
present in a transportation fuel,'' and (2) Electricity is not a fuel
under the RFS program (C-1).
The proposed removal from the RFS regulations all
provisions related to renewable electricity, including but not limited
to the definition of and pathways for renewable electricity and
[[Page 25853]]
the generation of RINs for renewable electricity (C-2).
D. Other RFS Program Amendments
The other proposed amendments to the RFS program,
including: the equivalence values for renewable diesel, naphtha, and
jet fuel; the changes to the percentage standards equations; and the
changes and additions to the pathways in Table 1 to 40 CFR 80.1426 (D-
1).
E. Policy Considerations
Where applicable, any legitimate reliance interests
impacted by EPA's proposed changes in policy. (E-1)
A general pathway for the production of renewable jet fuel
from corn ethanol, including the consideration of technologies that
could reduce the GHG emissions for this pathway such as the use of
carbon capture and storage and renewable natural gas for process energy
(E-2).
The definition of ``produced from renewable biomass'' (E-
3).
Additional program amendments to ensure the validity of
imported renewable fuels and feedstocks (E-4).
Program enhancements to increase the use of qualifying
woody-biomass to produce renewable transportation fuel (E-5).
An option to apply the import RIN reduction provisions to
imported renewable fuel and renewable fuel produced domestically from
foreign feedstock from only a subset of countries to reflect the
reduced economic, energy security, and environmental benefits of
imported renewable fuel and feedstocks from those countries (E-6).
Any other modifications to the RFS program designed to
unleash the production of American energy (E-7).
XII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Additional information about these statutes and Executive Orders
can be found at https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review
This action is a ``significant regulatory action,'' as defined
under section 3(f)(1) of Executive Order 12866. Accordingly, EPA,
submitted this action to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for
Executive Order 12866 review. Documentation of any changes made in
response to the Executive Order 12866 review is available in the
docket. EPA prepared an analysis of the potential costs and benefits
associated with this action. This analysis is presented in DRIA Chapter
10.6, available in the docket for this action.
B. Executive Order 14192: Unleashing Prosperity Through Deregulation
This action is expected to be an Executive Order 14192 regulatory
action. Details on the estimated costs of this proposed rule can be
found in EPA's analysis of the potential costs and benefits associated
with this action in DRIA Chapter 10.6, available in the docket for this
action.
C. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
The information collection activities in this proposed rule have
been submitted for approval to the Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) under the PRA. The Information Collection Request (ICR) document
that the EPA prepared has been assigned EPA ICR number 7804.01. You can
find a copy of the ICR in the docket for this rule, and it is briefly
summarized here.
The proposed volume standards and associated percentage standards
for 2026 and 2027 do not add to the burdens already estimated under
existing, approved ICRs for the RFS program. This proposed rule
proposes recordkeeping and reporting for domestic renewable fuel
producers to implement the proposed RIN reduction for import-based
renewable fuel. We anticipate the increase in burden related to
identifying feedstock as foreign or domestic will be very small because
the parties already are required to keep underlying records and provide
reports for the RFS program, generally. General recordkeeping and
reporting for the RFS program is contained in the Renewable Fuel
Standard program ICR, OMB Control Number 2060-0725 (expires November
30, 2025).
Certain information submitted to EPA may be claimed as confidential
business information (CBI) and such information will be handled in
accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR parts 2 and 80.
Respondents/affected entities: renewable fuel producers, third
party auditors (attest engagements), QAP auditors.
Respondent's obligation to respond: Mandatory, under 40 CFR part
80.
Estimated number of respondents: 2,307.
Frequency of response: Quarterly, annual, on occasion/as needed.
Total estimated burden: 7,244 hours (per year). Burden is defined
at 5 CFR 1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $20,323, all purchased services and including
$0 annualized capital or operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required
to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number. The OMB control numbers for the
EPA's regulations in 40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9.
Submit your comments on the Agency's need for this information, the
accuracy of the provided burden estimates and any suggested methods for
minimizing respondent burden to the EPA using the docket identified at
the beginning of this rule. The EPA will respond to any ICR-related
comments in the final rule. You may also send your ICR-related comments
to OMB's Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs using the
interface at www.reginfo.gov/public/do/PRAMain. Find this particular
information collection by selecting ``Currently under Review--Open for
Public Comments'' or by using the search function. OMB must receive
comments no later than July 17, 2025.
D. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities under the RFA.
With respect to the amendments to the RFS regulations, this action
makes minor corrections and modifications to those regulations. As
such, we do not anticipate that there will be any significant adverse
economic impact on directly regulated small entities as a result of
these revisions.
The small entities directly regulated by the annual percentage
standards associated with the RFS volumes are small refiners that
produce gasoline or diesel fuel, which are defined at 13 CFR 121.201.
EPA believes that there are currently 6 refiners (owning 7 refineries)
producing gasoline and/or diesel that meet the definition of small
entity by having 1,500 employees or fewer. To evaluate the impacts of
the proposed 2026 and 2027 volume requirements on small entities, we
have conducted a screening analysis to assess whether we should make a
finding that this action will not have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.\287\ Currently available
information shows that the impact on small entities from implementation
of this rule will not be significant. We have reviewed and assessed the
available information, which shows that obligated parties, including
small entities, are able to recover the cost of acquiring the RINs
necessary for compliance with the RFS standards through higher sales
prices of the petroleum products they sell than
[[Page 25854]]
would be expected in the absence of the RFS program.\288\ This is true
whether they acquire RINs by purchasing renewable fuels with attached
RINs or purchasing separated RINs. The costs of the RFS program are
thus being passed on to consumers in a highly competitive marketplace.
Even if we were to assume that the cost of acquiring RINs was not
recovered by obligated parties, a cost-to-sales ratio test shows that
the costs to small entities of the RFS standards established in this
action are far less than 1 percent of the value of their sales.\289\
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\287\ See DRIA Chapter 11.
\288\ For a further discussion of the ability of obligated
parties to recover the cost of RINs, see EPA, ``Denial of Petitions
for Rulemaking to Change the RFS Point of Obligation,'' EPA-420-R-
17-008, November 2017.
\289\ A cost-to-sales ratio of 1 percent represents a typical
agency threshold for determining the significance of the economic
impact on small entities. See ``Final Guidance for EPA Rulewriters:
Regulatory Flexibility Act as amended by the Small Business
Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act,'' November 2006.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Furthermore, to the degree that small entities may be impacted by
this action, these impacts are mitigated by the existing compliance
flexibilities in the RFS program that are available to small entities.
These flexibilities include being able to comply through RIN trading
rather than renewable fuel blending, 20 percent RIN rollover allowance
(up to 20 percent of an obligated party's RVO can be met using
previous-year RINs), and deficit carry-forward (the ability to carry
over a deficit from a given year into the following year, provided that
the deficit is satisfied together with the next year's RVO).
Additionally, as required by CAA section 211(o)(9)(B), the RFS
regulations include a hardship relief provision that allows for a small
refinery to petition for an extension of its small refinery exemption
at any time based on a showing that the refinery is experiencing a
``disproportionate economic hardship.'' \290\ EPA regulations provide
the same relief to small refiners that are not eligible for small
refinery relief.\291\ In the RFS2 Rule, we discussed other potential
small entity flexibilities that had been suggested by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) panel or through
comments, but we did not adopt them, in part because we had serious
concerns regarding our authority to do so.\292\
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\290\ 40 CFR 80.1441(e)(2).
\291\ 40 CFR 80.1442(h).
\292\ 75 FR 14858-62 (March 26, 2010).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In sum, this rule will not change the compliance flexibilities
currently offered to small entities under the RFS program and available
information shows that the impact on small entities from implementation
of this rule will not be significant.
E. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
This action does not contain an unfunded mandate of $100 million
(adjusted annually for inflation) or more (in 1995 dollars) as
described in UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538, and does not significantly or
uniquely affect small governments. This action imposes no enforceable
duty on any state, local, or tribal governments. This action contains a
federal mandate under UMRA that may result in expenditures of $100
million (adjusted annually for inflation) or more (in 1995 dollars) for
the private sector in any one year. Accordingly, the costs associated
with this rule are discussed in Section IV and DRIA Chapter 10.
This action is not subject to the requirements of section 203 of
UMRA because it contains no regulatory requirements that might
significantly or uniquely affect small governments.
F. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the states, on the relationship between
the national government and the states, or on the distribution of power
and responsibilities among the various levels of government.
G. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With Indian
Tribal Governments
This action does not have tribal implications as specified in
Executive Order 13175. This action will be implemented at the Federal
level and affects transportation fuel refiners, blenders, marketers,
distributors, importers, exporters, and renewable fuel producers and
importers. Tribal governments will be affected only to the extent they
produce, purchase, or use regulated fuels. Thus, Executive Order 13175
does not apply to this action.
H. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental
Health Risks and Safety Risks
Executive Order 13045 directs federal agencies to include an
evaluation of the health and safety effects of the planned regulation
on children in federal health and safety standards and explain why the
regulation is preferable to potentially effective and reasonably
feasible alternatives. This action is subject to Executive Order 13045
because it is a significant regulatory action under section 3(f)(1) of
Executive Order 12866, and EPA believes that the environmental health
or safety risks of the pollutants impacted by this action may have a
disproportionate effect on children. An assessment of the environmental
impacts from this rule is include in DRIA Chapter 4.
I. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
This action is not a ``significant energy action'' because it is
not likely to have a significant adverse effect on the supply,
distribution, or use of energy. This action proposes to establish the
required renewable fuel content of the transportation fuel supply for
2026 and 2027 pursuant to the CAA. The RFS program and this rule are
designed to achieve positive effects on the nation's transportation
fuel supply by increasing energy independence and security. These
positive impacts are described in Section IV and DRIA Chapter 6.
J. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
This action involves technical standards. Except for the standards
discussed in this section, the standards included in the regulatory
text as incorporated by reference were all previously approved for
incorporation by reference (IBR) and no change is included in this
action.
In accordance with the requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, we are proposing
to incorporate by reference the use of certain standards and test
methods from the American Gas Association (AGA), American National
Standards Institute (ANSI), American Petroleum Institute (API),
American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), ASTM International
(ASTM), International Organization for Standardization (ISO),
International Organization of Legal Metrology (OIML), and EPA. The
standards and test methods may be obtained through the AGA website
(www.aga.org) or by calling AGA at (202) 824-7000; the ANSI website
(www.ansi.org) or by calling ANSI at (212) 642-4980; the API website
(www.api.org) or by calling API at (202) 682-8000; the ASME website
(www.asme.org) or by calling ASME at (800) 843-2763; the ASTM website
(www.astm.org) or by calling ASTM at (877) 909-2786; the ISO website
(www.iso.org) or by calling ISO at +41-22-749-01-11; the OIML website
(www.oiml.org) or by calling OIML at +33 1 4878 1282; and the EPA
website (www.epa.gov) or by calling EPA at (202) 272-0167. We are
proposing to
[[Page 25855]]
incorporate by reference the following standards:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Organization and standard or Part and section
test method of Title 40 Summary
------------------------------------------------------------------------
AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Sec. Sec. This standard
Orifice Metering of Natural 80.12 and 80.155. describes
Gas and Other Related engineering
Hydrocarbon Fluids-- equations,
Concentric, Square-edged installation
Orifice Meters Part 1: requirements, and
General Equations and uncertainty
Uncertainty Guidelines, 4th estimations of
Edition, including Errata square-edged orifice
July 2013, Reaffirmed, July meters in measuring
2022. the flow of natural
gas and similar
fluids.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 2, Sec. Sec. This standard
Orifice Metering of Natural 80.12 and 80.155. describes design and
Gas and Other Related installation of
Hydrocarbon Fluids-- square-edged orifice
Concentric, Square-edged meters for measuring
Orifice Meters Part 2: flow of natural gas
Specification and and similar fluids.
Installation Requirements,
5th Edition, March 2016.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 3, Sec. Sec. This standard
Orifice Metering of Natural 80.12 and 80.155. describes
Gas and Other Related applications using
Hydrocarbon Fluids-- square-edged orifice
Concentric, Square-edged meters for measuring
Orifice Meters Part 3: flow of natural gas
Natural Gas Applications, 4th and similar fluids.
Edition, Reaffirmed, June
2021.
AGA Report No. 3 Part 4, Sec. Sec. This standard
Orifice Metering of Natural 80.12 and 80.155. describes the
Gas and Other Related development of
Hydrocarbon Fluids-- equations for
Concentric, Square-edged coefficient of
Orifice Meters Part 4-- discharge, including
Background, Development, a calculation
Implementation Procedure, and procedure, for
Example Calculations, 4th square-edged orifice
Edition, October 2019. meters measuring
flow of natural gas
and similar fluids.
AGA Report No. 9, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of Gas by Multipath 80.12 and 80.155. describes procedures
Ultrasonic Meters, 2nd and guidelines for
Edition, April 2007. measuring natural
gas by turbine
meters.
AGA Report No. 11, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of Natural Gas by Coriolis 80.12 and 80.155. describes procedures
Meter, 2nd Edition, February and guidelines for
2013. measuring natural
gas by Coriolis
meters.
ANSI B109.3-2019 (R2024), Sec. Sec. This document
Rotary-Type Gas Displacement 80.12 and 80.155. describes a basic
Meters, February 5, 2019, standard for safe
Reaffirmed April 26, 2024. operation,
substantial and
durable
construction, and
acceptable
performance for
rotary-type gas
displacement meters.
API MPMS 14.9-2013, Sec. Sec. This standard
Measurement of Natural Gas by 80.12 and 80.155. describes procedures
Coriolis Meter, 2nd Edition, and guidelines for
February 2013. measuring natural
gas by Coriolis
meters.
ASME MFC-5.1-2011 (R2024), Sec. Sec. This standard
Measurement of Liquid Flow in 80.12 and 80.155. describes procedures
Closed Conduits Using Transit- and guidelines for
Time Ultrasonic Flowmeters, measuring liquid
June 17, 2011, Reaffirmed flow by ultrasonic
2024. flowmeters.
ASME MFC[hyphen]21.2-2010 Sec. Sec. This standard
(R2018), Measurement of Fluid 80.12 and 80.155. describes guidelines
Flow by Means of Thermal for the quality,
Dispersion Mass Flowmeters, description,
January 10, 2011, Reaffirmed principle of
2018. operation,
selection,
installation, and
flow calibration of
thermal dispersion
flowmeters for the
measurement of the
mass flow rate and
volumetric flow rate
of the flow of a
fluid in a closed
conduit.
ASTM D86-23ae2, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Distillation of 80.2, 80.12, describes how to
Petroleum Products and Liquid 1090.95, and perform distillation
Fuels at Atmospheric 1090.1350(b). measurements for
Pressure, approved December gasoline and other
1, 2023. petroleum products.
ASTM D287-22, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for API Gravity of 1090.95 and describes how to
Crude Petroleum and Petroleum 1090.1337(d). measure the density
Products (Hydrometer Method), of fuels and other
approved December 1, 2022. petroleum products,
expressed in terms
of API gravity.
ASTM D975-24a, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Specification for Diesel 80.2, 80.12, describes the
Fuel, approved August 1, 2024. 80.1426(f), characteristic
80.1450(b), values for several
80.1451(b), and parameters to be
80.1454(l). considered suitable
as diesel fuel.
ASTM D976-21e1, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Calculated Cetane 1090.95 and describes how to
Index of Distillate Fuels, 1090.1350(b). calculate cetane
approved November 1, 2021. index for a sample
of diesel fuel and
other distillate
fuels.
ASTM D1945-14 (Reapproved Sec. Sec. This standard
2019), Standard Test Method 80.12 and 80.155. describes how to
for Analysis of Natural Gas determine the
by Gas Chromatography, chemical composition
approved December 1, 2019. of natural gas using
gas chromatography.
ASTM D2622-24a, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Sulfur in 1090.95, describes how to
Petroleum Products by 1090.1350(b), measure the sulfur
Wavelength Dispersive X-ray 1090.1360(d), content in gasoline,
Fluorescence Spectrometry, and 1090.1375(c). diesel fuel, and
approved December 1, 2024. other petroleum
products.
ASTM D3588-98 (Reapproved Sec. Sec. This updated standard
2024)e1, Standard Practice 80.12 and describes the
for Calculating Heat Value, 80.155(b) and calculation protocol
Compressibility Factor, and (f).. for aggregate
Relative Density of Gaseous properties of
Fuels, reapproved May 1, 2024. gaseous fuels from
compositional
measurements.
ASTM D3606-24a, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Determination of 1090.95 and describes how to
Benzene and Toluene in Spark 1090.1360(c). measure the benzene
Ignition Fuels by Gas content of gasoline
Chromatography, approved and similar fuels.
November 1, 2024.
ASTM D4057-22, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Manual Sampling 80.8(a) and describes procedures
of Petroleum and Petroleum 80.12. for drawing samples
Products, approved May 1, of fuel and other
2022. petroleum products
from storage tanks
and other containers
using manual
procedures.
[[Page 25856]]
ASTM D4177-22e1, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Automatic 80.8(b) and describes procedures
Sampling of Petroleum and 80.12. for using automated
Petroleum Products, approved procedures to draw
July 1, 2022. fuel samples for
testing.
ASTM D4737-21, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Calculated Cetane 1090.95 and describes how to
Index by Four Variable 1090.1350(b). calculate cetane
Equation, approved November index for a sample
1, 2021. of diesel fuel and
other distillate
fuels.
ASTM D4806-21a, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Specification for Denatured 1090.95 and describes the
Fuel Ethanol for Blending 1090.1395(a). characteristic
with Gasolines for Use as values for several
Automotive Spark-Ignition parameters to be
Engine Fuel, approved October considered suitable
1, 2021. as denatured fuel
ethanol for blending
with gasoline.
ASTM D4814-24b, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Specification for Automotive 1090.95, describes the
Spark-Ignition Engine Fuel, 1090.80, and characteristic
approved December 1, 2024. 1090.1395(a). values for several
parameters to be
considered suitable
as gasoline.
ASTM D5134-21, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Detailed Analysis 1090.95 and describes how to
of Petroleum Naphthas through 1090.1350(b). measure benzene in
n-Nonane by Capillary Gas butane, pentane, and
Chromatography, approved other light-end
December 1, 2021. petroleum compounds.
ASTM D5453-24, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Determination of 1090.95 and describes how to
Total Sulfur in Light 1090.1350(b). measure the sulfur
Hydrocarbons, Spark Ignition content of neat
Engine Fuel, Diesel Engine ethanol and other
Fuel, and Engine Oil by petroleum products.
Ultraviolet Fluorescence,
approved October 15, 2024.
ASTM D5842-23, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Sampling and 80.8(c), 80.12, describes procedures
Handling of Fuels for 1090.95, and for drawing samples
Volatility Measurement, 1090.1335(d). of gasoline and
approved October 1, 2023. other fuels from
storage tanks and
other containers
using manual
procedures to
prepare samples for
measuring vapor
pressure.
ASTM D5854-19a, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Mixing and 80.8(d) and describes procedures
Handling of Liquid Samples of 80.12. for handling,
Petroleum and Petroleum mixing, and
Products, approved May 1, conditioning
2019. procedures to
prepare
representative
composite samples.
ASTM D6259-23, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Determination of 1090.95 and describes procedures
a Pooled Limit of 1090.1355(b). to determine how to
Quantitation for a Test evaluate parameter
Method, approved May 1, 2023. measurements at very
low levels,
including a
laboratory limit of
quantitation that
applies for a given
facility.
ASTM D6708-24, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Statistical 1090.95, describes
Assessment and Improvement of 1090.1360(c), statistical criteria
Expected Agreement Between 1090.1365(d) and to evaluate whether
Two Test Methods that Purport (f), and an alternative test
to Measure the Same Property 1090.1375(c). method provides
of a Material, approved March results that are
1, 2024. consistent with a
reference procedure.
ASTM D6729-20, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Determination of 1090.95 and describes how to
Individual Components in 1090.1350(b). determine the
Spark Ignition Engine Fuels benzene content of
by 100 Metre Capillary High butane and pentane.
Resolution Gas
Chromatography, approved June
1, 2020.
ASTM D6730-22, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Determination of 1090.95 and describes how to
Individual Components in 1090.1350(b). determine the
Spark Ignition Engine Fuels benzene content of
by 100-Metre Capillary (with butane and pentane.
Precolumn) High-Resolution
Gas Chromatography, approved
November 1, 2022.
ASTM D6751-24, Standard Sec. Sec. This standard
Specification for Biodiesel 1090.95, describes the
Fuel Blendstock (B100) for 1090.300(a), and characteristics of
Middle Distillate Fuels, 1090.1350(b). biodiesel.
approved March 1, 2024.
ASTM D6792-23c, Standard Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Practice for Quality 1090.95 and describes principles
Management Systems in 1090.1450(c). for ensuring quality
Petroleum Products, Liquid for laboratories
Fuels, and Lubricants Testing involved in
Laboratories, approved parameter
November 1, 2023. measurements for
fuels and other
petroleum products.
ASTM D6866-24a, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Methods for Determining the 80.12, describes the
Biobased Content of Solid, 80.155(b), radiocarbon dating
Liquid, and Gaseous Samples 80.1426(f), and test method to
Using Radiocarbon Analysis, 80.1430(e). determine the
approved December 1, 2024. renewable content of
biogas and RNG.
ASTM D7717-11 (Reapproved Sec. Sec. This updated standard
2021), Standard Practice for 1090.95 and describes the
Preparing Volumetric Blends 1090.1340(b). procedures for
of Denatured Fuel Ethanol and blending denatured
Gasoline Blendstocks for fuel ethanol with
Laboratory Analysis, approved gasoline to prepare
October 1, 2021. a sample for
testing.
ASTM D7777-24, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Density, Relative 1090.95 and describes how to
Density, or API Gravity of 1090.1337(d). measure the density
Liquid Petroleum by Portable of fuels and other
Digital Density Meter, petroleum products,
approved July 1, 2024. expressed in terms
of API gravity.
ASTM E711-23e1, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Method for Gross Calorific 80.12 and describes the
Value of Refuse-Derived Fuel 80.1426(f). procedures for
by the Bomb Calorimeter, determination of the
approved April 1, 2023. gross calorific
value of a prepared
analysis sample of
solid forms of
refuse-derived fuel
by the bomb
calorimeter method.
ASTM E870-24, Standard Test Sec. Sec. This updated standard
Methods for Analysis of Wood 80.12 and describes the
Fuels, approved October 1, 80.1426(f). proximate analysis,
2024. ultimate analysis,
and the
determination of the
gross caloric value
of wood fuels.
[[Page 25857]]
ISO 5167-1:2022, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of fluid flow by means of 80.12 and 80.155. establishes the
pressure differential devices general principles
inserted in circular cross- for methods of
section conduits running measurement and
full, Part 1: General computation of the
principles and requirements, flow rate of fluid
3rd Edition, June 2022. flowing in a conduit
by means of pressure
differential devices
when they are
inserted into a
circular cross-
section conduit
running full.
ISO 5167-2:2022, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of fluid flow by means of 80.12 and 80.155. specifies the
pressure differential devices geometry and method
inserted in circular cross- of use of orifice
section conduits running plates when they are
full, Part 2: Orifice plates, inserted in a
2nd Edition, June 2022. conduit running full
to determine the
flow rate of the
fluid flowing in the
conduit.
ISO 5167-4:2022, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of fluid flow by means of 80.12 and 80.155. specifies the
pressure differential devices geometry and method
inserted in circular cross- of use of Venturi
section conduits running tubes when they are
full, Part 4: Venturi tubes, inserted in a
2nd Edition, June 2022. conduit running full
to determine the
flow rate of the
fluid flowing in the
conduit.
ISO 5167-5:2022, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of fluid flow by means of 80.12 and 80.155. specifies the
pressure differential devices geometry and method
inserted in circular cross- of use of cone
section conduits running meters when they are
full, Part 5: Cone meters, inserted in a
2nd Edition, October 2022. conduit running full
to determine the
flow rate of the
fluid flowing in the
conduit.
ISO 17089-2:2012, Measurement Sec. Sec. This standard
of fluid flow in closed 80.12 and 80.155. specifies
conduits--Ultrasonic meters requirements and
for gas, Part 2: Meters for recommendations for
industrial applications, 1st ultrasonic gas
Edition, October 2012. meters, which
utilize acoustic
signals to measure
the flow in the
gaseous phase in
closed conduits.
OIML R 137-1 and 2, Gas Sec. Sec. This standard
meters, Part 1: Metrological 80.12 and 80.155. specifies testing
and technical requirements and calibration
and Part 2: Metrological requirements for gas
controls and performance meters.
tests, Edition 2012,
Including Amendment 2014.
EPA Compendium Method TO-15, Sec. Sec. This standard
Determination Of Volatile 80.12 and 80.155. specifies sampling
Organic Compounds (VOCs) In and analytical
Air Collected In Specially- procedures for
Prepared Canisters And identifying and
Analyzed By Gas measuring VOCs using
Chromatography/Mass gas chromatography/
Spectrometry (GC/MS), Second mass spectrometry.
Edition, January 1999.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
AGA, ASME, ANSI, API, ASTM, ISO, and OIML regularly publish updated
versions of their standards and test methods, with the potential that
there will be a published version of one or more of the documents
listed above before we adopt the final rule that is more recent than
the documents we identify in this proposed rule. For any such updated
versions, we will consider including a reference to the latest document
when we finalize the revisions covered by this proposed rule.
XIII. Amendatory Instructions
Amendatory instructions are the standard terms that the Office of
the Federal Register (OFR) uses to give specific instructions to
agencies on how to change the CFR. OFR's historical guidance was to
include amendatory instructions accompanying each individual change
that was being made (e.g., each sentence or individual paragraph). The
piecemeal amendments served as an indication of changes EPA was making.
Due to the extensive number of technical and conforming amendments
included in this action, however, EPA is utilizing OFR's new amendatory
instruction ``revise and republish'' for revisions proposed in this
action.\293\ Therefore, instead of the past practice of piecemeal
amendments for revisions to the CFR, EPA is using the ``revise and
republish'' instruction to both revise regulatory text and republish in
their entirety certain sections of 40 CFR part 80 that contain the
regulatory text being revised. To indicate those portions of provisions
where changes are being revised, EPA has created a red-line version of
40 CFR part 80 that incorporates the proposed changes. This red-line
version is available in the docket for this action. This red-line
version provides further context to assist the public in reviewing the
proposed regulatory text changes. EPA is not reopening for comment
those unchanged provisions. Republishing provisions that are unchanged
in this action is consistent with guidance from OFR.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\293\ OFR's Document Drafting Handbook (Chapter 2, 2-38)
explains that agencies ``[u]se [r]epublish to set out unchanged text
for the convenience of the reader, often to provide context for your
regulatory changes.'' https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/write/handbook. Additional information on OFR's mandatory use of
``revise and republish'' is available at https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/write/ddh/revise-republish.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
XIV. Statutory Authority
Statutory authority for this action comes from sections 114, 203-
05, 208, 211, 301, and 307 of the Clean Air Act, 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7522-
24, 7542, 7545, 7601, and 7607.
List of Subjects
40 CFR Part 80
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Diesel fuel, Fuel additives, Gasoline, Imports,
Incorporation by reference, Oil imports, Petroleum, Renewable fuel.
40 CFR Part 1090
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Diesel fuel, Fuel additives, Gasoline, Imports,
Incorporation by reference, Oil imports, Petroleum, Renewable fuel.
Lee Zeldin,
>Administrator.
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, EPA proposes to amend 40
CFR parts 80 and 1090 as follows:
PART 80--REGULATION OF FUELS AND FUEL ADDITIVES
0
1. The authority citation for part 80 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7521, 7542, 7545, and 7601(a).
Subpart A--General Provisions
0
2. Amend Sec. 80.2 by:
0
a. Adding the definition ``Activated sludge'' in alphabetical order;
0
b. Removing the definition ``A-RIN'';
[[Page 25858]]
0
c. Revising the definitions ``Assigned RIN'' and ``Biodiesel'';
0
d. Adding paragraphs (5)(x) and (xi) in the definition
``Biointermediate'';
0
e. Revising paragraph (1)(ii) in the definition ``Biomass-based
diesel'';
0
f. Removing the definition ``B-RIN'';
0
g. Revising the definition ``Cellulosic diesel'';
0
h. Adding the definition ``Converted oils'' in alphabetical order;
0
i. Revising the definition ``Co-processed cellulosic diesel'';
0
j. Revising paragraph (1)(ii) in the definition ``Diesel fuel'';
0
k. Adding the definition ``Feedstock point of origin'' in alphabetical
order;
0
l. Revising the definitions ``Foreign renewable fuel producer'',
``Heating oil'', and ``Importer'';
0
m. Removing the definition ``Interim period'';
0
n. Revising the definition ``MVNRLM diesel fuel'';
0
o. Removing the definition ``Non-ester renewable diesel'';
0
p. Adding the definition ``Renewable diesel'' in alphabetical order;
0
q. Removing the definition ``Renewable electricity''; and
0
r. Adding the definitions ``Renewable fuel oil'' and ``Renewable jet
fuel'' in alphabetical order;
0
s. Revising the definition ``Renewable liquefied natural gas or
renewable LNG''; and
0
t. Adding the definition ``Renewable naphtha'' in alphabetical order.
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 80.2 Definitions.
* * * * *
Activated sludge means the waste sludge from a secondary wastewater
treatment process involving oxygen and microorganisms.
* * * * *
Assigned RIN means a RIN assigned to a volume of renewable fuel or
RNG pursuant to Sec. 80.1426(e) or Sec. 80.125(c), respectively, with
a K code of 1 for renewable fuel or 3 for RNG.
* * * * *
Biodiesel means diesel fuel that is renewable fuel and that meets
ASTM D6751 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
* * * * *
Biointermediate * * *
(5) * * *
(x) Activated sludge.
(xi) Converted oils.
* * * * *
Biomass-based diesel * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) Meets the definition of either biodiesel or renewable diesel.
* * * * *
Cellulosic diesel is any renewable fuel which meets both the
definitions of cellulosic biofuel and biomass-based diesel. Cellulosic
diesel includes renewable fuel oil and renewable jet fuel produced from
cellulosic feedstocks.
* * * * *
Converted oils means glycerides such as monoglycerides and
diglycerides that are produced through the glycerolysis of biogenic
waste oils/fats/greases with glycerol. Converted oils must exclusively
consist of glycerides with fatty acid alkyl groups that originate from
biogenic waste oils/fats/greases during the conversion process.
* * * * *
Co-processed cellulosic diesel is any renewable fuel that meets the
definition of cellulosic biofuel and meets all the requirements of
paragraph (1) of this definition:
(1) (i) Is a transportation fuel, transportation fuel additive,
heating oil, or jet fuel.
(ii) Meets the definition of either biodiesel or renewable diesel.
(iii) Is registered as a motor vehicle fuel or fuel additive under
40 CFR part 79, if the fuel or fuel additive is intended for use in a
motor vehicle.
(2) Co-processed cellulosic diesel includes all the following:
(i) Renewable fuel oil and renewable jet fuel produced from
cellulosic feedstocks.
(ii) Cellulosic biofuel produced from cellulosic feedstocks co-
processed with petroleum.
* * * * *
Diesel fuel * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) A non-distillate fuel other than residual fuel with comparable
physical and chemical properties (e.g., biodiesel, renewable diesel).
* * * * *
Feedstock point of origin means the location, either domestic or
foreign, where a feedstock is produced, generated, extracted,
collected, or harvested. This location is determined as follows:
(1) For planted crops, cover crops, or crop residue (including
starches, cellulosic, and non-cellulosic components thereof), the
location of the feedstock supplier that supplied the feedstock to the
renewable fuel producer or biointermediate producer (e.g., grain
elevator).
(2) For oil derived from planted crops, cover crops, or algae, the
location where the oil is extracted from the planted crop, cover crop,
or algae (e.g., crushing facility).
(3) For biogenic waste oils/fats/greases, separated yard waste,
separated food waste, or MSW (including the components thereof), the
location of the establishment where the waste is collected (e.g.,
restaurant, food processing facility).
(4) For biogas, the location of the landfill or digester that
produces the biogas.
(5) For planted trees, tree residue, slash, pre-commercial
thinnings, or other woody biomass, the location where the woody biomass
is harvested.
(6) For all other feedstocks, the location where the feedstock is
produced, generated, extracted, collected, or harvested, as applicable.
* * * * *
Foreign renewable fuel producer means any person that owns, leases,
operates, controls, or supervises a facility outside the covered
location where renewable fuel is produced.
* * * * *
Heating oil means a product that meets one of the definitions in
paragraph (1) of this definition:
(1)(i) Any No. 1, No. 2, or non-petroleum diesel blend that is sold
for use in furnaces, boilers, and similar applications and which is
commonly or commercially known or sold as heating oil, fuel oil, and
similar trade names, and that is not jet fuel, kerosene, or MVNRLM
diesel fuel.
(ii) Any fuel oil that is used to heat or cool interior spaces of
homes or buildings to control ambient climate for human comfort. The
fuel oil must be liquid at STP and contain no more than 2.5% mass
solids.
(2) Pure biodiesel (i.e., B100) or neat biodiesel (i.e., B99) that
is used for process heat or power generation is not heating oil.
Importer means any person who imports transportation fuel or
renewable fuel into the covered location from an area outside of
covered location. This includes the importer of record or an authorized
agent acting on their behalf, as well as the actual owner, the
consignee, or the transferee, if the right to withdraw merchandise from
a bonded warehouse has been transferred.
* * * * *
MVNRLM diesel fuel means any diesel fuel or other distillate fuel
that is used, intended for use, or made available for use in motor
vehicles or motor vehicle engines, or as a fuel in any nonroad diesel
engines, including locomotive and marine diesel engines, except the
following: Distillate fuel with a T90, as determined using ASTM D86
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12), at or above 700 [deg]F
that is used only in Category 2 and 3 marine engines is not MVNRLM
diesel fuel, and ECA marine
[[Page 25859]]
fuel is not MVNRLM diesel fuel (note that fuel that conforms to the
requirements of MVNRLM diesel fuel is excluded from the definition of
``ECA marine fuel'' in this section without regard to its actual use).
(1) Any diesel fuel that is sold for use in stationary engines that
are required to meet the requirements of 40 CFR 1090.300, when such
provisions are applicable to nonroad engines, is considered MVNRLM
diesel fuel.
(2) [Reserved]
* * * * *
Renewable diesel means diesel fuel that is renewable fuel and that
is one or more of the following:
(1) A fuel or fuel additive that meets the Grade No. 1-D or No. 2-D
specification in ASTM D975 (incorporated by reference, see Sec.
80.12).
(2) A fuel or fuel additive that is registered under 40 CFR part
79.
* * * * *
Renewable fuel oil means heating oil that is renewable fuel and
that meets paragraph (2) of the definition of heating oil.
* * * * *
Renewable jet fuel means jet fuel that is renewable fuel and that
meets ASTM D7566 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
Renewable liquefied natural gas or renewable LNG means biogas,
treated biogas, or RNG that is liquefied (i.e., it is cooled below its
boiling point) for use as transportation fuel and meets the definition
of renewable fuel.
Renewable naphtha means naphtha that is renewable fuel.
* * * * *
0
3. Amend Sec. 80.3 by revising entry LNG to read as follows:
Sec. 80.3 Acronyms and abbreviations.
* * * * *
LNG............................ Liquefied natural gas.
* * * * *
------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
4. Revise and republish Sec. 80.12 to read as follows:
Sec. 80.12 Incorporation by reference.
Certain material is incorporated by reference into this part with
the approval of the Director of the Federal Register under 5 U.S.C.
552(a) and 1 CFR part 51. All approved incorporation by reference (IBR)
material is available for inspection at U.S. EPA and at the National
Archives and Records Administration (NARA). Contact U.S. EPA at: U.S.
EPA, Air and Radiation Docket and Information Center, WJC West
Building, Room 3334, 1301 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20460;
(202) 566-1742. For information on the availability of this material at
NARA, visit: www.archives.gov/federal-register/cfr/ibr-locations.html
or email [email protected]. The material may be obtained from the
following sources:
(a) American Gas Association (AGA), 400 North Capitol Street NW,
Suite 450, Washington, DC 20001; (202) 824-7000; www.aga.org.
(1) AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and
Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice
Meters Part 1: General Equations and Uncertainty Guidelines, 4th
Edition, including Errata July 2013, Reaffirmed, July 2022 (``AGA
Report No. 3 Part 1''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(2) AGA Report No. 3 Part 2, Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and
Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice
Meters Part 2: Specification and Installation Requirements, 5th
Edition, March 2016 (``AGA Report No. 3 Part 2''); IBR approved for
Sec. 80.155(a).
(3) AGA Report No. 3 Part 3, Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and
Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice
Meters Part 3: Natural Gas Applications, 4th Edition, Reaffirmed, June
2021 (``AGA Report No. 3 Part 3''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(4) AGA Report No. 3 Part 1, Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and
Other Related Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice
Meters Part 4--Background, Development, Implementation Procedure, and
Example Calculations, 4th Edition, October 2019 (``AGA Report No. 3
Part 4''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(5) AGA Report No. 9, Measurement of Gas by Multipath Ultrasonic
Meters, 2nd Edition, April 2007 (``AGA Report No. 9); IBR approved for
Sec. 80.155(a).
(6) AGA Report No. 11, Measurement of Natural Gas by Coriolis
Meter, 2nd Edition, February 2013 (``AGA Report No. 11); IBR approved
for Sec. 80.155(a).
(b) American National Standards Institute (ANSI), 1899 L Street NW,
11th Floor, Washington, DC 20036; (202) 293-8020; www.ansi.org.
(1) ANSI B109.3-2019 (R2024), Rotary-Type Gas Displacement Meters,
February 5, 2019, Reaffirmed April 16, 2024 (``ANSI B109.3''); IBR
approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(c) American Petroleum Institute (API), 200 Massachusetts Avenue
NW, Suite 1100, Washington, DC 20001-5571; (202) 682-8000; www.api.org.
(1) API MPMS 14.1-2016, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14--Natural Gas Fluids Measurement Section 1--Collecting and
Handling of Natural Gas Samples for Custody Transfer, 7th Edition, May
2016 (``API MPMS 14.1''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(b).
(2) API MPMS 14.3.1-2012, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.1--Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 1:
General Equations and Uncertainty Guidelines, 4th Edition, including
Errata July 2013, Reaffirmed, July 2022 (``API MPMS 14.3.1''); IBR
approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(3) API MPMS 14.3.2-2016, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.2--Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 2:
Specification and Installation Requirements, 5th Edition, March 2016
(``API MPMS 14.3.2''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(4) API MPMS 14.3.3-2013, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.3--Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 3:
Natural Gas Applications, 4th Edition, Reaffirmed, June 2021 (``API
MPMS 14.3.3''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(5) API MPMS 14.3.4-2019, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14.3.4--Orifice Metering of Natural Gas and Other Related
Hydrocarbon Fluids--Concentric, Square-edged Orifice Meters Part 4--
Background, Development, Implementation Procedure, and Example
Calculations, 4th Edition, October 2019 (``API MPMS 14.3.4''); IBR
approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(6) API MPMS 14.9-2013, Measurement of Natural Gas by Coriolis
Meter (``API MPMS 14.9''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(7) API MPMS 14.12-2017, Manual of Petroleum Measurement Standards
Chapter 14--Natural Gas Fluid Measurement Section 12--Measurement of
Gas by Vortex Meters, 1st Edition, March 2017 (``API MPMS 14.12''); IBR
approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
Note 1 to paragraph (a):
API MPMS 14.3.1, 14.3.2, 14.3.3, and 14.3.4, are co-published as
AGA Report 3, Parts 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively.
(d) American Public Health Association (APHA), 1015 15th Street NW,
Washington, DC 20005; (202) 777-2742; www.standardmethods.org.
[[Page 25860]]
(1) SM 2540, Solids, revised June 10, 2020; IBR approved for Sec.
80.155(c).
(2) [Reserved]
(e) American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), Two Park
Avenue, New York, NY 10016-5990; (800) 843-2763; www.asme.org.
(1) ASME MFC-5.1-2011 (R2024), Measurement of Liquid Flow in Closed
Conduits Using Transit-Time Ultrasonic Flowmeters, June 17, 2011,
Reaffirmed 2024 (``ASME MFC-5.1''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(2) ASME MFC[hyphen]21.2-2010 (R2018), Measurement of Fluid Flow by
Means of Thermal Dispersion Mass Flowmeters, January 10, 2011,
Reaffirmed 2018 (``ASME MFC-21.2''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(f) ASTM International (ASTM), 100 Barr Harbor Dr., P.O. Box C700,
West Conshohocken, PA 19428-2959; (877) 909-2786; www.astm.org.
(1) ASTM D86-23ae2, Standard Test Method for Distillation of
Petroleum Products and Liquid Fuels at Atmospheric Pressure, approved
December 1, 2023 (``ASTM D86''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.2.
(2) ASTM D975-24a, Standard Specification for Diesel Fuel, approved
August 1, 2024 (``ASTM D975''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.2.
(3) ASTM D1250-19e1, Standard Guide for the Use of the Joint API
and ASTM Adjunct for Temperature and Pressure Volume Correction Factors
for Generalized Crude Oils, Refined Products, and Lubricating Oils: API
MPMS Chapter 11.1, approved May 1, 2019 (``ASTM D1250''); IBR approved
for Sec. 80.1426(f).
(4) ASTM D1945-14 (Reapproved 2019), Standard Test Method for
Analysis of Natural Gas by Gas Chromatography, approved December 1,
2019 (``ASTM D1945''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(b).
(5) ASTM D3588-98 (Reapproved 2024)e1, Standard Practice for
Calculating Heat Value, Compressibility Factor, and Relative Density of
Gaseous Fuels, reapproved May 1, 2024 (``ASTM D3588''); IBR approved
for Sec. 80.155(b) and (f).
(6) ASTM D4057-22, Standard Practice for Manual Sampling of
Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved May 1, 2022 (``ASTM
D4057''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.8(a).
(7) ASTM D4177-22e1, Standard Practice for Automatic Sampling of
Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved July 1, 2022 (``ASTM
D4177''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.8(b).
(8) ASTM D4442-20, Standard Test Methods for Direct Moisture
Content Measurement of Wood and Wood-Based Materials, approved March 1,
2020 (``ASTM D4442''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.1426(f).
(9) ASTM D4444-13 (Reapproved 2018), Standard Test Method for
Laboratory Standardization and Calibration of Hand-Held Moisture
Meters, reapproved July 1, 2018 (``ASTM D4444''); IBR approved for
Sec. 80.1426(f).
(10) ASTM D4888-20, Standard Test Method for Water Vapor in Natural
Gas Using Length-of-Stain Detector Tubes, approved December 15, 2020
(``ASTM D4888''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(b).
(11) ASTM D5504-20, Standard Test Method for Determination of
Sulfur Compounds in Natural Gas and Gaseous Fuels by Gas Chromatography
and Chemiluminescence, approved November 1, 2020 (``ASTM D5504''); IBR
approved for Sec. 80.155(b).
(12) ASTM D5842-23, Standard Practice for Sampling and Handling of
Fuels for Volatility Measurement, approved October 1, 2023 (``ASTM
D5842''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.8(c).
(13) ASTM D5854-19a, Standard Practice for Mixing and Handling of
Liquid Samples of Petroleum and Petroleum Products, approved May 1,
2019 (``ASTM D5854''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.8(d).
(14) ASTM D6751-24, Standard Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blendstock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels, approved March 1, 2024
(``ASTM D6751''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.2.
(15) ASTM D6866-24a, Standard Test Methods for Determining the
Biobased Content of Solid, Liquid, and Gaseous Samples Using
Radiocarbon Analysis, approved December 1, 2024 (``ASTM D6866''); IBR
approved for Sec. Sec. 80.155(b); 80.1426(f); 80.1430(e).
(16) ASTM D7164-21, Standard Practice for On-line/At-line Heating
Value Determination of Gaseous Fuels by Gas Chromatography, approved
April 1, 2021 (``ASTM D7164''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(17) ASTM D8230-19, Standard Test Method for Measurement of
Volatile Silicon-Containing Compounds in a Gaseous Fuel Sample Using
Gas Chromatography with Spectroscopic Detection, approved June 1, 2019
(``ASTM D8230''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(b).
(18) ASTM E711-23e1, Standard Test Method for Gross Calorific Value
of Refuse-Derived Fuel by the Bomb Calorimeter, approved April 1, 2023
(``ASTM E711''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.1426(f).
(19) ASTM E870-24, Standard Test Methods for Analysis of Wood
Fuels, approved October 1, 2024 (``ASTM E870''); IBR approved for Sec.
80.1426(f).
(g) European Committee for Standardization (CEN), Rue de la Science
23, B-1040 Brussels, Belgium; + 32 2 550 08 11; www.cencenelec.eu.
(1) EN 17526:2021(E), Gas meter--Thermal-mass flow-meter based gas
meter, approved July 11, 2021 (``EN 17526''); IBR approved for Sec.
80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(h) International Organization for Standardization (ISO), Chemin de
Blandonnet 8, CP 401, 1214 Vernier, Geneva, Switzerland; +41 22 749 01
11; www.iso.org.
(1) ISO 5167-1:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular cross-section conduits
running full, Part 1: General principles and requirements, 3rd Edition,
June 2022 (``ISO 5167-1''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(2) ISO 5167-2:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular cross-section conduits
running full, Part 2: Orifice plates, 2nd Edition, June 2022 (``ISO
5167-2''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(3) ISO 5167-4:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular cross-section conduits
running full, Part 4: Venturi tubes, 2nd Edition, June 2022 (``ISO
5167-4''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(4) ISO 5167-5:2022, Measurement of fluid flow by means of pressure
differential devices inserted in circular cross-section conduits
running full, Part 5: Cone meters, 2nd Edition, October 2022 (``ISO
5167-5''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(5) ISO 17089-2:2012, Measurement of fluid flow in closed
conduits--Ultrasonic meters for gas, Part 2: Meters for industrial
applications, 1st Edition, October 2012 (``ISO 17089-2''); IBR approved
for Sec. 80.155(a).
(i) International Organization of Legal Metrology (OIML), 11 Rue
Turgot, F-75009, Paris, France; +33 1 4878 1282; www.oiml.org.
(1) OIML R 137-1 and 2, Gas meters, Part 1: Metrological and
technical requirements and Part 2: Metrological controls and
performance tests, Edition 2012, Including Amendment 2014 (``OIML R
137-1 and 2''); IBR approved for Sec. 80.155(a).
(2) [Reserved]
(i) U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 1200 Pennsylvania
Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20460; (202) 272-0167; www.epa.gov.
(1) EPA/625/R-96/010b, Compendium Method TO-15, Determination Of
Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) In Air Collected In Specially-
Prepared Canisters And
[[Page 25861]]
Analyzed By Gas Chromatography/Mass Spectrometry (GC/MS), Second
Edition, January 1999 (``EPA Method TO-15''); IBR approved for Sec.
80.155(b).
(2) [Reserved]
Subpart E--Biogas-Derived Renewable Fuel
0
5. Amend Sec. 80.105 by revising paragraphs (j)(1) and (3) and adding
paragraph (j)(4) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.105 Biogas producers.
* * * * *
(j) * * *
(1) Except for biogas produced from a mixed digester, the batch
volume of biogas is the volume of biogas measured under paragraph (f)
of this section for a single batch pathway at a single facility for up
to a calendar month, in Btu HHV.
* * * * *
(3) The biogas producer must assign a number (the ``batch number'')
to each batch of biogas consisting of their EPA-issued company
registration number, the EPA-issued facility registration number, the
last two digits of the compliance year in which the batch was produced,
and a unique number for the batch during the compliance year (e.g.,
4321-54321-25-000001).
(4) The production date for a batch of biogas is the last day of
the time period that the batch represents. For example, the production
date for a batch of biogas for the month of January would be January
31, while the production date for a batch of biogas for February 1-14
would be February 14.
* * * * *
0
6. Amend Sec. 80.110 by revising paragraph (j)(3) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.110 RNG producers, RNG importers, and biogas closed
distribution system RIN generators.
* * * * *
(j) * * *
(3) The RNG producer, RNG importer, or biogas closed distribution
system RIN generator must assign a number (the ``batch number'') to
each batch of RNG or biogas-derived renewable fuel consisting of their
EPA-issued company registration number, the EPA-issued facility
registration number, the last two digits of the compliance year in
which the batch was produced, and a unique number for the batch during
the compliance year (e.g., 4321-54321-25-000001).
* * * * *
0
7. Amend Sec. 80.125 by revising paragraphs (d)(4) and (e)(2) to read
as follows:
Sec. 80.125 RINs for RNG.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(4) A party must only separate a number of RINs equal to or less
than the total volume of RNG (where the Btu LHV are converted to
gallon-RINs using the conversion specified in Sec. 80.1415(b)(1)) that
the party demonstrates is used as renewable CNG/LNG under paragraph
(d)(2) of this section.
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(2) A party must retire all assigned RINs for a volume of RNG if
the RINs are not separated under paragraph (d) of this section by March
31 of the subsequent calendar year after the RNG RIN was generated.
* * * * *
0
8. Amend Sec. 80.135 by revising paragraphs (c)(3)(i),
(c)(10)(vi)(A)(5), and (d)(3)(i) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.135 Registration.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(3) * * *
(i) A description of how biogas will be measured, including the
specific standards under which the meters are operated, the fluid with
which the meters were calibrated, and the equivalency to biogas flow
for meters calibrated with a fluid other than biogas, as applicable.
* * * * *
(10) * * *
(vi) * * *
(A) * * *
(5) A demonstration that no biogas produced from non-cellulosic
biogas feedstocks could be used to generate RINs for a batch of
renewable fuel with a D code of 3 or 7. EPA may reject this
demonstration if it is not sufficiently protective.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(3) * * *
(i) A description of how RNG will be measured, including the
specific standards under which the meters are operated, the fluid with
which the meters were calibrated, and the equivalency to RNG flow for
meters calibrated with a fluid other than natural gas, as applicable.
* * * * *
0
9. Amend Sec. 80.140 by revising paragraph (b)(2) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.140 Reporting.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) Production date.
* * * * *
0
10. Amend Sec. 80.155 by:
0
a. Revising and republishing paragraph (a)(2); and
0
b. Revising paragraph (b)(2)(v).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.155 Sampling, testing, and measurement.
(a) * * *
(2) Flow meters tested and calibrated under OIML R 137-1 and 2
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12) and compliant with one of
the following:
(i) AGA Report No. 3 Parts 1, 2, 3, and 4 or API MPMS 14.3.1, API
MPMS 14.3.2, API MPMS 14.3.3, and API MPMS 14.3.4 (incorporated by
reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(ii) API MPMS 14.12 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(iii) EN 17526 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12)
compatible with gas type H.
(iv) AGA Report No. 9 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(v) AGA Report No. 11 or API MPMS 14.9 (incorporated by reference,
see Sec. 80.12).
(vi) ASME MFC-5.1 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(vii) ASME MFC[hyphen]21.2 (incorporated by reference, see Sec.
80.12).
(viii) ANSI B109.3 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(ix) ISO 5167-1 and ISO 5167-2, ISO 5167-4, or ISO 5167-5
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
(x) ISO 17089-2 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 80.12).
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) * * *
(v) Hydrocarbon analysis using EPA Method 18 (see Appendix A-6 to
40 CFR part 60), EPA Method TO-15, or ASTM D1945 (incorporated by
reference, see Sec. 80.12).
* * * * *
Subpart M--Renewable Fuel Standard
0
11. Amend Sec. 80.1405 by:
0
a. Revising entry 2025 and adding entries 2026 and 2027 in table 1 to
paragraph (a); and
0
b. Revising paragraphs (c) and (d).
The revisions and addition read as follows:
Sec. 80.1405 What are the Renewable Fuel Standards?
(a) * * *
[[Page 25862]]
Table 1 to Paragraph (a)--Annual Renewable Fuel Standards
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cellulosic Advanced Renewable
biofuel Biomass-based biofuel fuel Supplemental total
Year standard diesel standard standard standard renewable fuel
(%) (%) (%) (%) standard (%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
2025............................... 0.70 3.15 4.31 13.13 n/a
2026............................... 0.87 4.75 6.02 16.02 n/a
2027............................... 0.92 5.07 6.40 16.54 n/a
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(c) EPA will calculate the annual renewable fuel percentage
standards using the following equations:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP17JN25.007
Where:
StdCB,i = The cellulosic biofuel standard for year i, in
percent.
StdBBD,i = The biomass-based diesel standard for year i,
in percent.
StdAB,i = The advanced biofuel standard for year i, in
percent.
StdRF,i = The renewable fuel standard for year i, in
percent.
RFVCB,i = Annual volume of cellulosic biofuel required by
42 U.S.C. 7545(o)(2)(B) for year i, or volume as adjusted pursuant
to 42 U.S.C. 7545(o)(7)(D), in gallon-RINs.
RFVBBD,i = Annual volume of biomass-based diesel required
by 42 U.S.C. 7545 (o)(2)(B) for year i, in gallon-RINs.
RFVAB,i = Annual volume of advanced biofuel required by
42 U.S.C. 7545(o)(2)(B) for year i, in gallon-RINs.
RFVRF,i = Annual volume of renewable fuel required by 42
U.S.C. 7545(o)(2)(B) for year i, in gallon-RINs.
Gi = Amount of gasoline projected to be used in the
covered location for year i, in gallons.
Di = Amount of diesel projected to be used in the covered
location for year i, in gallons.
RGi = Amount of blended renewable fuel projected to be
contained in the projection of Gi for year i, in gallons.
RDi = Amount of blended renewable fuel projected to be
contained in the projection of Di for year i, in gallons.
GEi = The total amount of gasoline projected to be exempt
for year i, in gallons, per Sec. Sec. 80.1441 and 80.1442.
DEi = The total amount of diesel fuel projected to be
exempt for year i, in gallons, per Sec. Sec. 80.1441 and 80.1442.
(d) The price for cellulosic biofuel waiver credits will be
calculated in accordance with Sec. 80.1456(d) and published on EPA's
website.
0
12. Amend Sec. 80.1407 by revising paragraph (f)(5) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1407 How are the Renewable Volume Obligations calculated?
* * * * *
(f) * * *
(5) Gasoline or diesel fuel exported for use outside the covered
location.
* * * * *
0
13. Amend Sec. 80.1415 by revising paragraphs (a), (b), and (c)(1) to
read as follows:
Sec. 80.1415 How are equivalence values assigned to renewable fuel?
(a)(1) Each gallon (or gallon-equivalent) of a renewable fuel must
be assigned an equivalence value by the producer or importer pursuant
to paragraph (b) or (c) of this section, as applicable.
(2) The equivalence value is a number that is used to determine how
many gallon-RINs can be generated for a gallon of renewable fuel
according to Sec. 80.1426.
(b)(1) Equivalence values for certain renewable fuels are assigned
as follows:
Table 1 to Paragraph (b)(1)--Equivalence Values for Certain Renewable
Fuels
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Equivalence
Renewable fuel Amount value
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Denatured ethanol................. 1 gallon............ 1.0
Biodiesel......................... 1 gallon............ 1.5
Butanol........................... 1 gallon............ 1.3
Renewable diesel.................. 1 gallon............ 1.6
[[Page 25863]]
Renewable naphtha................. 1 gallon............ 1.4
Renewable jet fuel................ 1 gallon............ 1.6
Fuels that are gaseous at STP 77,000 Btu LHV...... 1.0
(e.g., RNG, renewable CNG/LNG).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) For all other renewable fuels, a producer or importer must
submit an application to EPA for an equivalence value following the
provisions of paragraph (c) of this section. A producer or importer may
also submit an application for an alternative equivalence value
pursuant to paragraph (c) of this section if the renewable fuel is
listed in this paragraph (b), but the producer or importer has reason
to believe that a different equivalence value than that listed in this
paragraph (b) is warranted.
(c) * * *
(1) The equivalence value for renewable fuels described in
paragraph (b)(2) of this section must be calculated using the following
formula:
EqV = (R/0.972) * (EC/77,000)
Where:
EqV = Equivalence Value for the renewable fuel, rounded to the
nearest tenth.
R = Renewable content of the renewable fuel. This is a measure of
the portion of a renewable fuel that came from renewable biomass,
expressed as a fraction, on an energy basis.
EC = Energy content of the renewable fuel, in Btu LHV per gallon.
* * * * *
0
14. Amend Sec. 80.1425 by adding paragraph (a)(3) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.1425 Renewable Identification Numbers (RINs).
* * * * *
(a) * * *
(3) K has the value of 3 when the RIN is assigned to a volume of
RNG pursuant to Sec. Sec. 80.125(c) and 80.1426(e).
* * * * *
0
15. Amend Sec. 80.1426 by:
0
a. Adding paragraph (a)(5);
0
b. Revising paragraph (b)(2), (c)(7), and (e);
0
c. In paragraphs (f)(1)(v)(A) and (B), removing the text ``D-code'' and
adding in its place the text ``D code'';
0
d. Adding paragraph (f)(1)(vii);
0
e. Revising paragraph (f)(8) introductory text, (f)(8)(iii), (f)(10),
(11) and (17);
0
f. Adding paragraph (f)(18); and
0
g. Revising table 1 to Sec. 80.1426.
The additions and revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1426 How are RINs generated and assigned to batches of
renewable fuel?
(a) * * *
(5) Starting January 1, 2026, the following parties must reduce the
number of RINs generated, as calculated under paragraphs (f) of this
section, for the specified renewable fuel by 50 percent:
(i) RIN-generating foreign producers, for all renewable fuel
produced.
(ii) RIN-generating importers of renewable fuel, for all imported
renewable fuel.
(iii) Domestic renewable fuel producers, for all renewable fuel
produced from foreign feedstocks or foreign biointermediates.
(b) * * *
(2) If EPA approves a petition of Alaska or a United States
territory to opt-in to the renewable fuel program under the provisions
in Sec. 80.1443, then the requirements of paragraph (b)(1) of this
section shall also apply to renewable fuel produced or imported for use
as transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel in that state or
territory beginning in the next calendar year
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(7) For renewable fuel oil, renewable fuel producers and importers
must not generate RINs unless they have received affidavits from the
final end user or users of the fuel oil as specified in Sec.
80.1451(b)(1)(ii)(T)(2).
* * * * *
(e) Assignment of RINs to batches. (1)(i) Except as specified in
paragraphs (e)(1)(ii) and (g) of this section, the producer or importer
of renewable fuel must assign all RINs generated to volumes of
renewable fuel as follows:
(A) If RINs were generated for the renewable fuel at the point of
production or the point of importation into the covered location, RINs
must be assigned when such volumes leave the renewable fuel production
or import facility.
(B) If RINs were generated for the renewable fuel at the point of
sale or when the renewable fuel was loaded onto a vessel or other
transportation mode for transport to the covered location, RINs must be
assigned prior to the transfer of ownership of the renewable fuel.
(ii) For RNG and renewable fuels that are gaseous at STP, RINs must
be assigned to a volume of RNG or renewable fuel, as applicable, at the
same time the RIN is generated.
(2) A RIN is assigned to a volume of renewable fuel when ownership
of the RIN is transferred along with the transfer of ownership of the
volume of renewable fuel, pursuant to Sec. 80.1428(a).
(3) All assigned RINs must have a K code value of 1 for RINs
assigned to renewable fuel or 3 for RINs assigned to RNG.
(f) * * *
(1) * * *
(vii) For purposes of identifying the appropriate approved pathway,
the fuel must be produced, distributed, and used in a manner consistent
with the pathway EPA evaluated when it determined that the pathway
satisfies the applicable GHG reduction requirement
* * * * *
(8) Standardization of volumes. In determining the standardized
volume of a batch of liquid renewable fuel or liquid biointermediate
under this subpart, the batch volume must be adjusted to a standard
temperature of 60 [deg]F as follows:
* * * * *
(iii) For other renewable fuels and biointermediates, an
appropriate formula commonly accepted by the industry must be used to
standardize the actual volume to 60 [deg]F. Formulas used must be
reported to EPA and may be determined to be inappropriate
* * * * *
(10) RIN generators may only generate RINs for renewable CNG/LNG
produced from biogas that is distributed via a closed, private, non-
commercial system if all the following requirements are met:
(i) The renewable CNG/LNG was produced from renewable biomass under
an approved pathway.
(ii) The RIN generator has entered into a written contract for the
sale or use of a specific quantity of renewable CNG/LNG for use as
transportation fuel, or has obtained affidavits from all parties
selling or using the renewable CNG/LNG as transportation fuel.
[[Page 25864]]
(iii) The renewable CNG/LNG was used as transportation fuel and for
no other purpose.
(iv) The biogas was introduced into the closed, private, non-
commercial system no later and the renewable CNG/LNG produced from the
biogas was used as transportation fuel no later than December 31, 2024.
(v) RINs may only be generated on biomethane content of the
renewable CNG/LNG used as transportation fuel.
(11) RINs for renewable CNG/LNG produced from RNG that is
introduced into a commercial distribution system may only be generated
if all the following requirements are met:
(i) The renewable CNG/LNG was produced from renewable biomass and
qualifies for a D code in an approved pathway.
(ii) The RIN generator has entered into a written contract for the
sale or use of a specific quantity of RNG, taken from a commercial
distribution system (e.g., physically connected pipeline, barge, truck,
rail), for use as transportation fuel, or has obtained affidavits from
all parties selling or using the RNG taken from a commercial
distribution system as transportation fuel.
(iii) The renewable CNG/LNG produced from the RNG was sold for use
as transportation fuel and for no other purpose.
(iv) The RNG was injected into and withdrawn from the same
commercial distribution system.
(v) The RNG was withdrawn from the commercial distribution system
in a manner and at a time consistent with the transport of the RNG
between the injection and withdrawal points.
(vi) The volume of RNG injected into the commercial distribution
system and the volume of RNG withdrawn are measured by continuous
metering.
(vii) The volume of renewable CNG/LNG sold for use as
transportation fuel corresponds to the volume of RNG that was injected
into and withdrawn from the commercial distribution system.
(viii) No other party relied upon the volume of biogas, RNG, or
renewable CNG/LNG for the generation of RINs.
(ix) The RNG was introduced into the commercial distribution system
no later than December 31, 2024, and the renewable CNG/LNG was used as
transportation fuel no later than December 31, 2024.
(x) RINs may only be generated on biomethane content of the biogas,
treated biogas, RNG, or renewable CNG/LNG.
(xi) (A) On or after January 1, 2025, RINs may only be generated
for RNG injected into a natural gas commercial pipeline system for use
as transportation fuel as specified in subpart E of this part.
(B) RINs may be generated for RNG as specified in subpart E of this
part prior to January 1, 2025, if all applicable requirements under
this part are met.
* * * * *
(17) Qualifying use demonstration for certain renewable fuels. For
purposes of this section, any renewable fuel other than ethanol,
biodiesel, renewable gasoline, renewable jet fuel, or renewable diesel
that meets paragraph (1) of the definition of renewable diesel is
considered renewable fuel and the producer or importer may generate
RINs for such fuel only if all the following apply:
(i) The fuel is produced from renewable biomass and qualifies to
generate RINs under an approved pathway.
(ii) The fuel producer or importer maintains records demonstrating
that the fuel was produced for use as a transportation fuel, heating
oil, or jet fuel by any of the following:
(A) Blending the renewable fuel into gasoline or distillate fuel to
produce a transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel that meets all
applicable standards under this part and 40 CFR part 1090.
(B) Entering into a written contract for the sale of the renewable
fuel, which specifies the purchasing party must blend the fuel into
gasoline or distillate fuel to produce a transportation fuel, heating
oil, or jet fuel that meets all applicable standards under this part
and 40 CFR part 1090.
(C) Entering into a written contract for the sale of the renewable
fuel, which specifies that the fuel must be used in its neat form as a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel that meets all applicable
standards.
(ii) The fuel was sold for use in or as a transportation fuel,
heating oil, or jet fuel, and for no other purpose.
(18) RIN generation timing. A RIN generator must generate RINs as
follows:
(i) Except as specified in paragraph (f)(18)(ii), RINs must be
generated at:
(A) For domestic renewable fuel producers, the point of production
or point of sale.
(B) For RIN-generating foreign producers, the point of production
or when the renewable fuel is loaded onto a vessel or other
transportation mode for transport to the covered location.
(C) For RIN-generating importers of renewable fuel, the point of
importation into the covered location.
(ii)(A) Except as specified in paragraph (f)(18)(ii)(B), for RNG
and renewable fuels that are gaseous at STP, RINs must be generated no
later than 5 business days after the RIN generator has met all
applicable requirements for the generation of RINs under Sec. Sec.
80.125(b), 80.130(b), and this paragraph (f), as applicable.
(B) For foreign produced RIN-less RNG, RINs must be generated when
title is transferred from the foreign producer to the RIN-generating
importer.
* * * * *
Table 1 to Sec. 80.1426--Applicable D Codes for Each Fuel Pathway for
Use in Generating RINs
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Production
Row Fuel type Feedstock process D Code
requirements
------------------------------------------------------------------------
A........ Ethanol......... Corn starch..... All the 6
following: Dry
mill process,
using natural
gas, biomass,
or biogas for
process energy
and at least
two advanced
technologies
from Table 2
to this
section.
B........ Ethanol......... Corn starch..... All the 6
following: Dry
mill process,
using natural
gas, biomass,
or biogas for
process energy
and at least
one of the
advanced
technologies
from Table 2
to this
section plus
drying no more
than 65% of
the distillers
grains with
solubles it
markets
annually.
C........ Ethanol......... Corn starch..... All the 6
following: Dry
mill process,
using natural
gas, biomass,
or biogas for
process energy
and drying no
more than 50%
of the
distillers
grains with
solubles it
markets
annually.
D........ Ethanol......... Corn starch..... Wet mill 6
process using
biomass or
biogas for
process energy.
E........ Ethanol......... Starches from Fermentation 6
crop residue using natural
and annual gas, biomass,
cover crops. or biogas for
process energy.
[[Page 25865]]
F........ Biodiesel; Soybean oil; Oil The following 4
Renewable from annual processes that
diesel; cover crops; do not co-
Renewable jet Oil from algae process
fuel; Renewable grown renewable
fuel oil. photosynthetica biomass and
lly; Biogenic petroleum:
waste oils/fats/ Transesterific
greases; ation with or
Camelina sativa without
oil; Distillers esterification
corn oil; pre-treatment;
Distillers Esterification
sorghum oil; ;
Commingled Hydrotreating.
distillers corn
oil and sorghum
oil.
G........ Biodiesel; Canola/Rapeseed The following 4
Renewable oil. processes that
diesel; do not co-
Renewable jet process
fuel; Renewable renewable
fuel oil. biomass and
petroleum:
Transesterific
ation using
natural gas or
biomass for
process
energy;
Hydrotreating.
H........ Biodiesel; Soybean oil; Oil The following 5
Renewable from annual processes that
diesel; cover crops; co-process
Renewable jet Oil from algae renewable
fuel; Renewable grown biomass and
fuel oil. photosynthetica petroleum:
lly; Biogenic Transesterific
waste oils/fats/ ation with or
greases; without
Camelina sativa esterification
oil; Distillers pre-treatment;
corn oil; Esterification
Distillers ;
sorghum oil; Hydrotreating.
Commingled
distillers corn
oil and sorghum
oil; Canola/
Rapeseed oil.
I........ Renewable Camelina sativa Hydrotreating.. 5
naphtha; LPG. oil; Distillers
sorghum oil;
Distillers corn
oil; Commingled
distillers corn
oil and
distillers
sorghum oil;
Canola/Rapeseed
oil; Biogenic
waste oils/fats/
greases.
J........ Ethanol......... Sugarcane....... Fermentation... 5
K........ Ethanol......... Crop residue; Biochemical 3
Slash, pre- fermentation
commercial process that
thinnings, and converts
tree residue; cellulosic
Switchgrass; biomass to
Miscanthus; ethanol and
Energy cane; uses the
Arundo donax; lignin and
Pennisetum other biogenic
purpureum; feedstock
Separated yard residues from
waste; Biogenic the
components of fermentation
separated MSW; and ethanol
Cellulosic production
components of processes for
separated food all thermal
waste; and electrical
Cellulosic process energy
components of and are net
annual cover exporters of
crops. electricity to
the grid;
Thermochemical
gasification
process that
converts
cellulosic
biomass to
ethanol and
uses a portion
of the
feedstock for
over 99% of
thermal and
electrical
process
energy; Dry
mill process
that converts
corn or grain
sorghum kernel
fiber to
ethanol and
uses natural
gas, biogas,
or crop
residue for
all thermal
process energy.
L........ Cellulosic Crop residue; Fischer-Tropsch 7
diesel; Slash, pre- process that
Renewable jet commercial converts
fuel; Renewable thinnings, and cellulosic
fuel oil. tree residue; biomass to
Switchgrass; fuel and uses
Miscanthus; a portion of
Energy cane; the feedstock
Arundo donax; for over 99%
Pennisetum of thermal and
purpureum; electrical
Separated yard process energy.
waste; Biogenic
components of
separated MSW;
Cellulosic
components of
separated food
waste;
Cellulosic
components of
annual cover
crops.
M........ Renewable Crop residue; The following 3
gasoline; Slash, pre- processes that
Renewable commercial convert
gasoline thinnings, and cellulosic
blendstock; Co- tree residue; biomass to
processed Separated yard fuel using
cellulosic waste; Biogenic natural gas,
diesel; components of biogas, or
Renewable jet separated MSW; biomass as the
fuel; Renewable Cellulosic only process
fuel oil. components of energy
separated food sources:
waste; Catalytic
Cellulosic pyrolysis and
components of upgrading;
annual cover Gasification
crops. and upgrading;
Thermo-
catalytic
hydrodeoxygena
tion and
upgrading;
Direct
biological
conversion;
Biological
conversion and
upgrading.
N........ Renewable Switchgrass; Gasification 3
naphtha. Miscanthus; and upgrading
Energy cane; processes that
Arundo donax; convert
Pennisetum cellulosic
purpureum. biomass to
fuel.
O........ Butanol......... Corn starch..... Fermentation; 6
Dry mill
process using
natural gas,
biomass, or
biogas for
process energy.
P........ Ethanol; Non-cellulosic Fermentation 5
Renewable portions of using natural
diesel; separated food gas, biogas,
Renewable jet waste; Non- or crop
fuel; Renewable cellulosic residue for
fuel oil; components of thermal
Renewable annual cover energy;
naphtha. crops. Hydrotreating;
Transesterific
ation.
Q........ Renewable CNG; Biogas from The following 3
Renewable LNG. landfills, processes that
municipal occur in North
wastewater America: CNG
treatment production
facility from treated
digesters, biogas via
agricultural compression;
digesters, and LNG production
separated MSW from treated
digesters; biogas via
Biogas from the liquefaction.
cellulosic
components of
biomass
processed in
other waste
digesters.
R........ Ethanol......... Grain sorghum... Dry mill 6
process using
natural gas or
biogas from
landfills,
waste
treatment
plants, or
waste
digesters for
process energy.
S........ Ethanol......... Grain sorghum... Dry mill 5
process using
only biogas
from
landfills,
waste
treatment
plants, or
waste
digesters for
process energy
and for on-
site
production of
all
electricity
used at the
site other
than up to
0.15 kWh of
electricity
from the grid
per gallon of
ethanol
produced,
calculated on
a per batch
basis.
T........ Renewable CNG; Biogas from The following 5
Renewable LNG. waste digesters. processes that
occur in North
America: CNG
production
from treated
biogas via
compression;
LNG production
from treated
biogas via
liquefaction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
0
16. Amend Sec. 80.1428 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (a)(3);
0
b. Removing paragraph (a)(4); and
0
c. Redesignating paragraph (a)(5) as paragraph (a)(4).
The revision reads as follows:
Sec. 80.1428 General requirements for RIN distribution.
(a) * * *
(3) Assigned gallon-RINs with a K code of 1 or 3 can be transferred
to another person based on the following:
(i) No more than 2.5 assigned gallon-RINs with a K code of 1 can be
transferred to another person with every gallon of renewable fuel
transferred to that same person.
[[Page 25866]]
(ii) For RNG, the transferor of assigned RINs with a K code of 3
must transfer RINs under Sec. 80.125(c).
* * * * *
0
17. Amend Sec. 80.1429 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (b)(5)(i);
0
b. Removing the text ``only'' in paragraph (b)(5)(ii)(B); and
0
c. Revising paragraph (c)
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1429 Requirements for separating RINs from volumes of
renewable fuel or RNG.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(5) (i) Any party that produces, imports, owns, sells, or uses a
volume of biogas for which RINs have been generated in accordance with
Sec. 80.1426(f) must separate any RINs that have been assigned to that
volume of biogas if all the following conditions are met:
(A) The party designates the biogas as transportation fuel.
(B) The biogas is used as transportation fuel.
* * * * *
(c) The party responsible for separating a RIN from a volume of
renewable fuel or RNG must change the K code in the RIN from a value of
1 or 3, as applicable, to a value of 2 prior to transferring the RIN to
any other party.
* * * * *
Sec. 80.1435 [Amended]
0
18. Amend Sec. 80.1435 by, in paragraph (b)(2)(ii), removing the text
``RIN gallons'' and adding in its place the text ``gallon-RINs''.
0
19. Amend Sec. 80.1441 by adding paragraphs (e)(2)(iv) and (v) to read
as follows:
Sec. 80.1441 Small refinery exemption.
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(2) * * *
(iv) A refinery that is granted a small refinery exemption under
this section must still submit reports under Sec. 80.1451(a) for the
compliance year for which it was granted an exemption, including annual
compliance reports. Such exempt small refineries must submit annual
compliance reports containing all the information specified in Sec.
80.1451(a)(1) by the applicable compliance deadline specified in Sec.
80.1451(f)(1)(i).
(v) A refinery that is granted a small refinery exemption under
this section must still comply with any deficit RVOs carried forward
from the previous year.
* * * * *
0
20. Amend Sec. 80.1442 by adding paragraphs (h)(6) and (7) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1442 What are the provisions for small refiners under the RFS
program?
* * * * *
(h) * * *
(6) A refiner that is granted a small refiner exemption under this
section must still submit reports under Sec. 80.1451(a) for the
compliance year for which it was granted an exemption, including annual
compliance reports. Such exempt small refiners must submit annual
compliance reports containing all the information specified in Sec.
80.1451(a)(1) by the applicable compliance deadline specified in Sec.
80.1451(f)(1)(i).
(7) A refiner that is granted a small refiner exemption under this
section must still comply with any deficit RVOs carried forward from
the previous year.
* * * * *
Sec. 80.1444 [Amended]
0
21. Amend Sec. 80.1444 by, in paragraph (b), removing the text ``in
Sec. 80.1401''.
0
22. Amend Sec. 80.1449 by:
0
a. Revising paragraphs (a) introductory text, (a)(1), (a)(4)(i),
(a)(4)(iii), and (b);
0
b. Removing paragraph (d); and
0
c. Redesignating paragraph (e) as paragraph (d).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1449 What are the Production Outlook Report requirements?
(a) By June 1 of each year, a registered renewable fuel producer or
importer must submit and an unregistered renewable fuel producer may
submit all of the following information for each of its facilities, as
applicable, to EPA:
(1) If currently registered, any planned changes to the type, or
types, of renewable fuel expected to be produced or imported at each
facility owned by the renewable fuel producer or importer.
* * * * *
(4) * * *
(i) Nameplate production capacity and, if applicable, permitted
production capacity.
* * * * *
(iii) If currently registered, any planned changes to feedstocks,
biointermediates, and production processes to be used at each
production facility.
* * * * *
(b) The information listed in paragraph (a) of this section must
include the reporting party's best annual projection estimates for the
five following calendar years.
* * * * *
0
23. Amend Sec. 80.1450 by:
0
a. Revising the last sentence in paragraphs (a);
0
b. Revising paragraphs (b)(1)(v)(D) introductory text, (b)(1)(v)(D)(1),
(b)(1)(xi), (b)(1)(xii) introductory text, (b)(1)(xii)(A), (b)(2),
(g)(10) introductory text, and (g)(10)(i).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1450 What are the registration requirements under the RFS
program?
(a) * * * Registration information must be submitted and accepted
by EPA at least 60 days prior to RIN ownership.
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(v) * * *
(D) For all facilities producing renewable fuel from biogas, submit
all relevant information in Sec. 80.1426(f)(10) or (11), including:
(1) Copies of all contracts or affidavits, as applicable, that
follow the track of the biogas/CNG/LNG from its original source, to the
producer that processes it into renewable fuel, and finally to the end
user that will actually use the renewable CNG/LNG for transportation
purposes.
* * * * *
(xi) For a producer of renewable fuel oil:
(A) An affidavit from the producer of the renewable fuel oil
stating that the renewable fuel oil for which RINs have been generated
will be sold for the purposes of heating or cooling interior spaces of
homes or buildings to control ambient climate for human comfort, and no
other purpose.
(B) Affidavits from the final end user or users of the renewable
fuel oil stating that the renewable fuel oil is being used or will be
used for purposes of heating or cooling interior spaces of homes or
buildings to control ambient climate for human comfort, and no other
purpose, and acknowledging that any other use of the renewable fuel oil
would violate EPA regulations and subject the user to civil and/or
criminal penalties under the Clean Air Act.
(xii) For a producer or importer of any renewable fuel other than
ethanol, biodiesel, renewable gasoline, renewable jet fuel, renewable
diesel that meets paragraph (1) of the definition of renewable diesel,
biogas-derived renewable fuel, or RNG, all the following:
(A) A description of the renewable fuel and how it will be blended
to into gasoline or diesel fuel to produce a transportation fuel,
heating oil, or jet fuel that meets all applicable standards.
* * * * *
(2) An independent third-party engineering review and written
report and verification of the information provided pursuant to
paragraph (b)(1) of this section and Sec. 80.135, as applicable.
[[Page 25867]]
The report and verification must be based upon a review of relevant
documents and a site visit conducted within the six months prior to
submission of the registration information. The report and verification
must separately identify each item required by paragraph (b)(1) of this
section, describe how the independent third-party evaluated the
accuracy of the information provided, state whether the independent
third-party agrees with the information provided, and identify any
exceptions between the independent third-party's findings and the
information provided.
* * * * *
(g) * * *
(10) Registration renewal. Registrations for independent third-
party auditors expire December 31 of every other calendar year.
Previously approved registrations will renew automatically if all the
following conditions are met:
(i) The independent third-party auditor resubmits all information,
updated as necessary, described in Sec. 80.1450(g)(1) through (g)(7)
no later than October 31 before the calendar year that their
registration expires.
* * * * *
0
24. Amend Sec. 80.1451 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (b)(1)(ii)(L);
0
b. Removing and reserving paragraph (b)(1)(ii)(P);
0
c. Revising paragraph (b)(1)(ii)(T);
0
d. Removing paragraph (c)(2)(ii)(D)(14); and
0
e. In paragraph (g)(1)(viii), removing the text ``D-code'' and adding
in its place the text ``D code''.
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1451 What are the reporting requirements under the RFS
program?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
(L) Each process, feedstock, feedstock point of origin, and
biointermediate, as applicable, used and proportion of renewable volume
attributable to each process, feedstock, feedstock point of origin, and
biointermediate, as applicable.
* * * * *
(T) Producers or importers of any renewable fuel other than
ethanol, biodiesel, renewable gasoline, renewable jet fuel, renewable
diesel that meets the paragraph (1) of the definition of renewable
diesel, biogas-derived renewable fuel, or RNG, must report, on a
quarterly basis, all the following for each volume of fuel:
* * * * *
0
25. Amend Sec. 80.1452 by
0
a. Revising paragraphs (a), (b) introductory text, (b)(1), (2), (4),
and (11);
0
b. Redesignating paragraph (b)(18) as paragraph (b)(19) and adding new
paragraph (b)(18); and
0
c. Revising paragraph (c) introductory text.
The revisions and addition read as follows:
Sec. 80.1452 What are the requirements related to the EPA Moderated
Transaction System (EMTS)?
(a) Each party required to submit information under this section
must establish an account with the EPA Moderated Transaction System
(EMTS) at least 60 days prior to engaging in any RIN transactions.
(b) Each time a RIN generator assigns RINs to a batch of renewable
fuel or RNG pursuant to Sec. Sec. 80.125(c) and 80.1426(e), as
applicable, all the following information must be submitted to EPA via
the submitting party's EMTS account within five (5) business days of
the date of RIN assignment. EPA in its sole discretion may allow a RIN
generator to submit information under this paragraph (b) outside the 5-
business-day deadline.
(1) The name of the RIN generator.
(2) The EPA company registration number of the renewable fuel
producer, RNG producer, or foreign ethanol producer, as applicable.
* * * * *
(4) The EPA facility registration number of the facility at which
the renewable fuel producer, RNG producer, or foreign ethanol producer
produced the batch, as applicable.
* * * * *
(11) The volume of ethanol denaturant, if applicable, and
applicable equivalence value of each batch.
* * * * *
(18) The type of RIN generation protocol (e.g., domestic, import,
co-processing, etc) used when assigning RINs to the associated
renewable fuel volume.
* * * * *
(c) Each time any party sells, separates, or retires RINs, all the
following information must be submitted to EPA via the submitting
party's EMTS account within five (5) business days of the reportable
event. Each time any party purchases RINs, all the following
information must be submitted to EPA via the submitting party's EMTS
account within ten (10) business days of the reportable event. The
reportable event for a RIN purchase or sale occurs on the date of
transfer per Sec. 80.1453(a)(4). The reportable event for a RIN
separation or retirement occurs on the date of separation or retirement
as described in Sec. 80.1429 or Sec. 80.1434. EPA in its sole
discretion may allow a party to submit information under this paragraph
(c) outside the applicable 5- or 10-business-day deadline.
* * * * *
0
26. Amend Sec. 80.1453 by revising paragraphs (a)(12)(v), (vii), and
(d) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.1453 What are the product transfer document (PTD)
requirements for the RFS program?
(a) * * *
(12) * * *
(v) Renewable naphtha. ``This volume of neat or blended renewable
naphtha is designated and intended for use as transportation fuel or
jet fuel in the 48 U.S. contiguous states and Hawaii. This naphtha may
only be used as a gasoline blendstock, E85 blendstock, or jet fuel. Any
person exporting this fuel is subject to the requirements of 40 CFR
80.1430.''.
* * * * *
(vii) Renewable fuels other than ethanol, biodiesel, heating oil,
renewable diesel, naphtha, or butanol. ``This volume of neat or blended
renewable fuel is designated and intended to be used as transportation
fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel in the 48 U.S. contiguous states and
Hawaii. Any person exporting this fuel is subject to the requirements
of 40 CFR 80.1430.''.
* * * * *
(d) For renewable fuel oil, the PTD of the renewable fuel oil shall
state: ``This volume of renewable fuel oil is designated and intended
to be used to heat or cool interior spaces of homes or buildings to
control ambient climate for human comfort. Do NOT use for process heat
or cooling or any other purpose, as these uses are prohibited pursuant
to 40 CFR 80.1460(g).''.
* * * * *
0
27. Amend Sec. 80.1454 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (a) introductory text, (b) introductory text,
(b)(3)(ix), (b)(8), (c)(1) introductory text, and (d)(1);
0
b. In paragraph (g) introductory text, removing the text ``U.S.
agricultural land as defined in Sec. 80.1401'' and adding in its place
the text ``agricultural land'';
0
c. Revising and republishing paragraph (k)(1);
0
d. Revising paragraphs (k)(2) introductory text, (l) introductory text,
(l)(2), and (l)(3)(iv);
0
e. Removing paragraph (m)(8); and
[[Page 25868]]
0
f. Redesignating paragraphs (m)(9) through (11) as paragraphs (m)(8)
through (10).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1454 What are the recordkeeping requirements under the RFS
program?
(a) Requirements for obligated parties and exporters of renewable
fuel. Any obligated party or exporter of renewable fuel must keep all
the following records:
* * * * *
(b) Requirements for all producers of renewable fuel. In addition
to any other applicable records a renewable fuel producer must maintain
under this section, any domestic or RIN-generating foreign producer of
a renewable fuel must keep all the following records:
* * * * *
(3) * * *
(ix) All facility-determined values used in the calculations under
Sec. 80.1426 and the data used to obtain those values.
* * * * *
(8) A producer of renewable fuel oil must keep copies of all
contracts which describe the renewable fuel oil under contract with
each end user.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(1) Any RIN-generating foreign producer or importer of renewable
fuel must keep records of feedstock purchases and transfers associated
with renewable fuel for which RINs are generated, sufficient to verify
that feedstocks used are renewable biomass.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(1)(i) Starting January 1, 2026, any domestic producer of renewable
fuel that generates RINs for such fuel must keep records of feedstock
purchases and transfers (e.g., bills of sale, delivery receipts) that
identify the feedstock point of origin for each feedstock (i.e.,
domestic or foreign).
(ii) Except as provided in paragraphs (g) and (h) of this section,
any domestic producer of renewable fuel that generates RINs for such
fuel must keep documents associated with feedstock purchases and
transfers that identify where the feedstocks were produced and are
sufficient to verify that feedstocks used are renewable biomass if RINs
are generated.
* * * * *
(k) * * *
(1) Pathways involving feedstocks other than grain sorghum. A
renewable fuel producer that generates RINs for renewable CNG/LNG
pursuant to Sec. 80.1426(f)(10) or (11), or that uses process heat
from biogas to produce renewable fuel pursuant to Sec. 80.1426(f)(12)
must keep all the following additional records:
(i) Documentation recording the sale of renewable CNG/LNG for use
as transportation fuel relied upon in Sec. 80.1426(f)(10), Sec.
80.1426(f)(11), or for use of biogas for process heat to make renewable
fuel as relied upon in Sec. 80.1426(f)(12) and the transfer of title
of the biogas/CNG/LNG from the point of biogas production to the
facility which sells or uses the fuel for transportation purposes.
(ii) Documents demonstrating the volume and energy content of
biogas/CNG/LNG relied upon under Sec. 80.1426(f)(10) that was
delivered to the facility which sells or uses the fuel for
transportation purposes.
(iii) Documents demonstrating the volume and energy content of
biogas/CNG/LNG relied upon under Sec. 80.1426(f)(11), or biogas relied
upon under Sec. 80.1426(f)(12) that was placed into the commercial
distribution.
(iv) Documents demonstrating the volume and energy content of
biogas relied upon under Sec. 80.1426(f)(12) at the point of
distribution.
(v) Affidavits, EPA-approved documentation, or data from a real-
time electronic monitoring system, confirming that the amount of the
biogas/CNG/LNG relied upon under Sec. 80.1426(f)(10) and (11) was used
for transportation purposes only, and for no other purpose. The RIN
generator must obtain affidavits, or monitoring system data under this
paragraph (k), at least once per calendar quarter.
(vi) The biogas producer's Compliance Certification required under
Title V of the Clean Air Act.
(vii) Any other records as requested by EPA.
(2) Pathways involving grain sorghum as feedstock. A renewable fuel
producer that produces fuel pursuant to a pathway that uses grain
sorghum as a feedstock must keep all the following additional records,
as appropriate:
* * * * *
(l) Additional requirements for producers or importers of any
renewable fuel other than ethanol, biodiesel, renewable gasoline,
renewable diesel, biogas-derived renewable fuel, or RNG. A renewable
fuel producer that generates RINs for any renewable fuel other than
ethanol, biodiesel, renewable gasoline, renewable jet fuel, renewable
diesel that meets paragraph (1) of the definition of renewable diesel,
biogas-derived renewable fuel, or RNG must keep all the following
additional records:
* * * * *
(2) Contracts and documents memorializing the sale of renewable
fuel to parties who blend the fuel into gasoline or diesel fuel to
produce a transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel, or who use the
renewable fuel in its neat form for a qualifying fuel use.
* * * * *
(3) * * *
(iv) A description of the finished fuel, and a statement that the
fuel meets all applicable standards and was sold for use as a
transportation fuel, heating oil, or jet fuel.
* * * * *
0
28. Amend Sec. 80.1460 by revising paragraphs (b)(4) and (g) to read
as follows:
Sec. 80.1460 What acts are prohibited under the RFS program?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(4) Transfer to any person a RIN with a K code of 1 or 3 without
transferring an appropriate volume of renewable fuel to the same person
on the same day.
* * * * *
(g) Failing to use a renewable fuel oil for its intended use. No
person shall use renewable fuel oil for which RINs have been generated
in an application other than to heat or cool interior spaces of homes
or buildings to control ambient climate for human comfort.
* * * * *
0
29. Amend Sec. 80.1461 by adding paragraph (g) to read as follows:
Sec. 80.1461 Who is liable for violations under the RFS program?
* * * * *
(g) Importer joint and several liability. Any person meeting the
definition of an importer under this subpart is jointly and severally
liable for any violation of this subpart.
0
30. Amend Sec. 80.1464 by revising paragraph (b)(1)(v)(B) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1464 What are the attest engagement requirements under the
RFS program?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(1) * * *
(v) * * *
(B) Verify that feedstocks were properly identified in the reports,
including the feedstock point of origin for domestic renewable fuel
producers, and met the definition of renewable biomass.
* * * * *
0
31. Amend Sec. 80.1469 by:
0
a. Removing paragraphs (a) and (b);
0
b. Redesignating paragraphs (c) through (f) as paragraphs (a) through
(d); and
0
c. Revising newly redesignated paragraphs (a) introductory text,
(a)(1)(vii), (a)(3)(vii), (a)(5), (c)(1), (d)(1) introductory text, and
(d)(2).
[[Page 25869]]
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1469 Requirements for Quality Assurance Plans.
* * * * *
(a) QAP Requirements. All components specified in this paragraph
(a) require quarterly monitoring, except for paragraph (a)(4)(iii) of
this section which must be done annually.
(1) * * *
(vii) Feedstock(s) and biointermediate(s) are not renewable fuel
for which RINs were previously generated unless the RINs were generated
under Sec. 80.1426(c)(6). For renewable fuels that have RINs generated
under Sec. 80.1426(c)(6), verify that renewable fuels used as a
feedstock meet all applicable requirements of this paragraph (a)(1).
* * * * *
(3) * * *
(vii) Verify that appropriate RIN generation calculations are being
followed under Sec. 80.1426, including the feedstock point of origin.
* * * * *
(5) Representative sampling. Independent third-party auditors may
use a representative sample of batches of renewable fuel or
biointermediate in accordance with the procedures described in 40 CFR
1090.1805 for all components of this paragraph (a) except for
paragraphs (a)(1)(ii) and (iii), (a)(2)(ii), (a)(3)(vi), and (a)(4)(ii)
and (iii) of this section. If a facility produces both a renewable fuel
and a biointermediate, the independent third-party auditor must select
separate representative samples for the renewable fuel and
biointermediate.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(1) Each independent third-party auditor must annually submit a
general and at least one pathway-specific QAP to the EPA which
demonstrates adherence to the requirements of paragraphs (a) and (b) of
this section and request approval on forms and using procedures
specified by EPA.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(1) A new QAP must be submitted to EPA according to paragraph (c)
of this section and the independent third-party auditor must update
their registration according to Sec. 80.1450(g)(9) whenever any of the
following changes occur at a renewable fuel or biointermediate
production facility audited by an independent third-party auditor and
the auditor does not possess an appropriate pathway-specific QAP that
encompasses the change:
* * * * *
(2) A QAP ceases to be valid as the basis for verifying RINs or a
biointermediate under a new pathway until a new pathway-specific QAP,
submitted to the EPA under this paragraph (d), is approved pursuant to
paragraph (c) of this section.
Sec. 80.1470 [Reserved]
0
32. Remove and reserve Sec. 80.1470.
0
33. Amend Sec. 80.1471 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (b)(3);
0
b. Revising and republishing paragraph (e); and
0
c. Revising paragraph (f).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1471 Requirements for QAP auditors.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(3) The independent third-party auditor must not own, buy, sell, or
otherwise trade RINs unless required to replace an invalid RIN pursuant
to Sec. 80.1474.
* * * * *
(e) The independent third-party auditor must identify RINs
generated from a renewable fuel producer or foreign renewable fuel
producer as having been verified under a QAP.
(1) For RINs verified under a QAP pursuant to Sec. 80.1469, RINs
must be designated as Q-RINs and must be identified as having been
verified under a QAP in EMTS.
(2) The independent third-party auditor must not identify RINs
generated from a renewable fuel producer or foreign renewable fuel
producer as having been verified under a QAP if a revised QAP must be
submitted to and approved by the EPA under Sec. 80.1469(d).
(3) The independent third-party auditor must not identify RINs
generated for renewable fuel produced using a biointermediate as having
been verified under a QAP unless the biointermediate used to produce
the renewable fuel was verified under an approved QAP pursuant to Sec.
80.1477.
(f)(1) Auditors may only verify RINs that have been generated after
the audit required under Sec. 80.1472 has been completed. Auditors may
only verify biointermediates that were produced after the audit
required under Sec. 80.1472 has been completed. Auditors must only
verify RINs generated from renewable fuels produced from
biointermediates after the audit required under Sec. 80.1472 has been
completed for both the biointermediate production facility and the
renewable fuel production facility.
(2) Verification of RINs or biointermediates may continue for no
more than 200 days following an on-site visit or 380 days after an on-
site visit if a previously the EPA-approved remote monitoring system is
in place at the renewable fuel production facility.
* * * * *
0
34. Revise and republish Sec. 80.1472 to read as follows:
Sec. 80.1472 Requirements for quality assurance audits.
(a) General requirements. (1) An audit must be performed by an
auditor who meets the requirements of Sec. 80.1471.
(2) An audit must be based on a QAP per Sec. 80.1469.
(3) Each audit must verify every element contained in an applicable
and approved QAP.
(4) Each audit must include a review of documents generated by the
renewable fuel producer or biointermediate producer.
(b) On-site visits. (1) As applicable, the independent third-party
auditor must conduct an on-site visit at the renewable fuel production
facility, foreign ethanol production facility, or biointermediate
production facility:
(i) At least two times per calendar year; or
(ii) In the event an auditor uses a remote monitoring system
approved by the EPA, at least one time per calendar year.
(2) An on-site visit specified in paragraph (b)(1)(i) of this
section must occur no more than:
(i) 200 days after the previous on-site visit. The 200-day period
must start the day after the previous on-site visit ends; or
(ii) 380 days after the previous on-site visit if a previously
approved (by EPA) remote monitoring system is in place at the renewable
fuel production facility, foreign ethanol production facility, or
biointermediate production facility, as applicable. The 380-day period
must start the day after the previous on-site visit ends.
(3) An on-site visit must include verification of all QAP elements
that require inspection or evaluation of the physical attributes of the
renewable fuel production facility, foreign ethanol production
facility, or biointermediate production facility, as applicable.
(4) The on-site visit must be overseen by a professional engineer,
as specified in Sec. 80.1450(b)(2)(i)(A) and (b)(2)(i)(B).
0
35. Amend Sec. 80.1473 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (a);
0
b. Removing paragraphs (c) and (d);
0
c. Redesignating paragraphs (e) and (f) as paragraphs (c) and (d);
0
d. Revising newly redesignated paragraphs (c) introductory text,
(c)(1), and (d).
The revisions read as follows:
[[Page 25870]]
Sec. 80.1473 Affirmative defenses.
(a) Criteria. Any person who engages in actions that would be a
violation of the provisions of either Sec. 80.1460(b)(2) or (c)(1),
other than the generator of an invalid RIN, will not be deemed in
violation if the person demonstrates that the criteria under paragraph
(c) of this section are met.
* * * * *
(c) Asserting an affirmative defense for invalid Q-RINs. To
establish an affirmative defense to a violation of Sec. 80.1460(b)(2)
or (c)(1) involving invalid Q-RINs, the person must meet the
notification requirements of paragraph (d) of this section and prove by
a preponderance of evidence all the following:
(1) The RIN in question was verified through a quality assurance
audit pursuant to Sec. 80.1472 using an approved QAP as specified in
Sec. 80.1469.
* * * * *
(d) Notification requirements. A person asserting an affirmative
defense to a violation of Sec. 80.1460(b)(2) or (c)(1), arising from
the transfer or use of an invalid Q-RIN must submit a written report to
the EPA via the EMTS support line ([email protected]),
including all pertinent supporting documentation, demonstrating that
the requirements of paragraph (c) of this section were met. The written
report must be submitted within 30 days of the person discovering the
invalidity.
0
36. Amend Sec. 80.1474 by:
0
a. Removing paragraphs (a)(1) and (2);
0
b. Redesignating paragraphs (a)(3) and (4) as paragraphs (a)(1) and
(2);
0
c. Revising paragraphs (b)(5) and (d)(2);
0
d. Removing paragraph (e);
0
e. Redesignating paragraphs (f) and (g) as paragraphs (e) and (f).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 80.1474 Replacement requirements for invalidly generated RINs.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(5) Within 60 days of receiving a notification from the EPA that a
PIR generator has failed to perform a corrective action required
pursuant to this section, the party that owns the invalid RIN is
required to do one of the following:
(i) Retire the invalid RIN.
(ii) If the invalid RIN has already been used for compliance with
an obligated party's RVO, correct the RVO to subtract the invalid RIN.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(2) The number of RINs retired must be equal to the number of PIRs
or invalid RINs being replaced, subject to paragraph (e) of this
section if applicable.
0
37. Amend Sec. 80.1476 by revising paragraph (h)(1) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1476 Requirements for biointermediate producers.
* * * * *
(h) * * *
(1) Each biointermediate producer must assign a number (the ``batch
number'') to each batch of biointermediate consisting of their EPA-
issued company registration number, the EPA-issued facility
registration number, the last two digits of the compliance year in
which the batch was produced, and a unique number for the batch during
the compliance year (e.g., 4321-54321-25-000001).
* * * * *
0
38. Amend Sec. 80.1477 by revising paragraphs (b) and (c) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1477 Requirements for QAPs for biointermediate producers.
* * * * *
(b) QAPs approved by EPA to verify biointermediate production must
meet the requirements in Sec. 80.1469, as applicable.
(c) Quality assurance audits, when performed, must be conducted in
accordance with the requirements in Sec. 80.1472.
* * * * *
0
39. Amend Sec. 80.1479 by revising paragraphs (c)(2) to read as
follows:
Sec. 80.1479 Alternative recordkeeping requirements for separated
yard waste, separated food waste, separated MSW, and biogenic waste
oils/fats/greases.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(2) The independent third-party auditor must conduct a site visit
of each feedstock aggregator's establishment as specified in Sec.
80.1471(f). Instead of verifying RINs with a site visit of the
feedstock aggregator's establishment every 200 days as specified in
Sec. 80.1471(f)(2), the independent third-party auditor may verify
RINs with a site visit every 380 days.
* * * * *
PART 1090--REGULATION OF FUELS, FUEL ADDITIVES, AND REGULATED
BLENDSTOCKS
0
40. The authority citation for part 1090 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7414, 7521, 7522-7525, 7541, 7542, 7543,
7545, 7547, 7550, and 7601.
Subpart A--General Provisions
0
41. Amend Sec. 1090.80 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (2) in the definition ``Diesel fuel'';
0
b. Removing the definition ``Nonpetroleum (NP) diesel fuel'';
0
c. Adding the definition ``Nonpetroleum diesel fuel''; and
0
d. Revising the last sentence in the definition of ``Responsible
corporate officer (RCO)''.
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 1090.80 Definitions.
* * * * *
Diesel fuel * * *
(2) Any fuel (including nonpetroleum diesel fuel or a fuel blend
that contains nonpetroleum diesel fuel) that is intended or used to
power a vehicle or engine that is designed to operate using diesel
fuel.
* * * * *
Nonpetroleum diesel fuel means renewable diesel fuel or biodiesel.
Nonpetroleum diesel fuel also includes other renewable fuel under 40
CFR part 80, subpart M, that is used or intended for use to power a
vehicle or engine that is designed to operate using diesel fuel or that
is made available for use in a vehicle or engine designed to operate
using diesel fuel.
* * * * *
Responsible corporate officer (RCO) * * * Examples of positions in
non-corporate business structures that qualify are owner, chief
executive officer, or president.
* * * * *
0
42. Amend Sec. 1090.95 by revising paragraphs (c)(1), (2), (4), (8),
(11), (15) through (18), (21), (25), (28), and (32) through (38) to
read as follows:
Sec. 1090.95 Incorporation by Reference.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(1) ASTM D86-23ae2, Standard Test Method for Distillation of
Petroleum Products and Liquid Fuels at Atmospheric Pressure, approved
December 1, 2023 (``ASTM D86''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
(2) ASTM D287-22, Standard Test Method for API Gravity of Crude
Petroleum and Petroleum Products (Hydrometer Method), approved December
1, 2022 (``ASTM D287''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1337(d).
* * * * *
(4) ASTM D976-21e1, Standard Test Method for Calculated Cetane
Index of Distillate Fuels, approved November 1, 2021 (``ASTM D976'');
IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
* * * * *
(8) ASTM D2622-24a, Standard Test Method for Sulfur in Petroleum
[[Page 25871]]
Products by Wavelength Dispersive X-ray Fluorescence Spectrometry,
approved December 1, 2024 (``ASTM D2622''); IBR approved for Sec. Sec.
1090.1350(b); 1090.1360(d); 1090.1375(c).
* * * * *
(11) ASTM D3606-24a, Standard Test Method for Determination of
Benzene and Toluene in Spark Ignition Fuels by Gas Chromatography,
approved November 1, 2024 (``ASTM D3606''); IBR approved for Sec.
1090.1360(c).
* * * * *
(15) ASTM D4737-21, Standard Test Method for Calculated Cetane
Index by Four Variable Equation, approved November 1, 2021 (``ASTM
D4737''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
(16) ASTM D4806-21a, Standard Specification for Denatured Fuel
Ethanol for Blending with Gasolines for Use as Automotive Spark-
Ignition Engine Fuel, approved October 1, 2021 (``ASTM D4806''); IBR
approved for Sec. 1090.1395(a).
(17) ASTM D4814-24b, Standard Specification for Automotive Spark-
Ignition Engine Fuel, approved December 1, 2024 (``ASTM D4814''); IBR
approved for Sec. Sec. 1090.80; 1090.1395(a).
(18) ASTM D5134-21, Standard Test Method for Detailed Analysis of
Petroleum Naphthas through n-Nonane by Capillary Gas Chromatography,
approved December 1, 2021 (``ASTM D5134''); IBR approved for Sec.
1090.1350(b).
* * * * *
(21) ASTM D5453-24, Standard Test Method for Determination of Total
Sulfur in Light Hydrocarbons, Spark Ignition Engine Fuel, Diesel Engine
Fuel, and Engine Oil by Ultraviolet Fluorescence, approved October 15,
2024 (``ASTM D5453''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
* * * * *
(25) ASTM D5842-23, Standard Practice for Sampling and Handling of
Fuels for Volatility Measurement, approved October 1, 2023 (``ASTM
D5842''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1335(d).
* * * * *
(28) ASTM D6259-23, Standard Practice for Determination of a Pooled
Limit of Quantitation for a Test Method, approved May 1, 2023 (``ASTM
D6259''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1355(b).
* * * * *
(32) ASTM D6708-24, Standard Practice for Statistical Assessment
and Improvement of Expected Agreement Between Two Test Methods that
Purport to Measure the Same Property of a Material, approved March 1,
2024 (``ASTM D6708''); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 1090.1360(c),
1090.1365(d) and (f), and 1090.1375(c).
(33) ASTM D6729-20, Standard Test Method for Determination of
Individual Components in Spark Ignition Engine Fuels by 100 Metre
Capillary High Resolution Gas Chromatography, approved June 1, 2020
(``ASTM D6729''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
(34) ASTM D6730-22, Standard Test Method for Determination of
Individual Components in Spark Ignition Engine Fuels by 100-Metre
Capillary (with Precolumn) High-Resolution Gas Chromatography, approved
November 1, 2022 (``ASTM D6730''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1350(b).
(35) ASTM D6751-24, Standard Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blendstock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels, approved March 1, 2024
(``ASTM D6751''); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 1090.300(a) and
1090.1350(b).
(36) ASTM D6792-23c, Standard Practice for Quality Management
Systems in Petroleum Products, Liquid Fuels, and Lubricants Testing
Laboratories, approved November 1, 2023 (``ASTM D6792''); IBR approved
for Sec. 1090.1450(c).
(37) ASTM D7717-11 (Reapproved 2021), Standard Practice for
Preparing Volumetric Blends of Denatured Fuel Ethanol and Gasoline
Blendstocks for Laboratory Analysis, approved October 1, 2021 (``ASTM
D7717''); IBR approved for Sec. 1090.1340(b).
(38) ASTM D7777-24, Standard Test Method for Density, Relative
Density, or API Gravity of Liquid Petroleum by Portable Digital Density
Meter, approved July 1, 2024 (``ASTM D7777''); IBR approved for Sec.
1090.1337(d).
* * * * *
Subpart D--Diesel Fuel and ECA Marine Fuel Standards
0
43. Amend Sec. 1090.300 by adding paragraph (a)(3) to read as follows:
Sec. 1090.300 Overview and general requirements.
(a) * * *
(3) Biodiesel that meets ASTM D6751 (incorporated by reference in
Sec. 1090.95) is not subject to the cetane index or aromatic content
standards in Sec. 1090.305(c). Biodiesel or biodiesel blends that do
not meet ASTM D6751 remain subject to the cetane index or aromatic
content standards in Sec. 1090.305(c).
* * * * *
0
44. Amend Sec. 1090.305 by revising paragraph (a) to read as follows:
1090.305 ULSD standards.
(a) Overview. Except as specified in Sec. 1090.300(a), all diesel
fuel (including nonpetroleum diesel fuel) must meet the ULSD per-gallon
standards of this section.
* * * * *
Subpart N--Sampling, Testing, and Retention
0
45. Amend Sec. 1090.1310 by revising paragraph (b)(1) to read as
follows:
Sec. 1090.1310 Testing to demonstrate compliance with standards.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(1) Diesel fuel. Perform testing for each batch of ULSD (including
nonpetroleum diesel fuel), 500 ppm LM diesel fuel, and ECA marine fuel
to demonstrate compliance with sulfur standards.
* * * * *
0
46. Amend Sec. 1090.1337 by revising paragraph (e) to read as follows:
Sec. 1090.1337 Demonstrating homogeneity.
* * * * *
(e) For testing of diesel fuel (including nonpetroleum diesel fuel)
and ECA marine fuel to meet the standards in subpart D of this part,
demonstrate homogeneity using one of the procedures specified in
paragraph (d)(1) or (2) of this section.
* * * * *
[FR Doc. 2025-11128 Filed 6-16-25; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P