Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species Status With Section 4(d) Rule for Pecos Pupfish and Designation of Critical Habitat, 92744-92785 [2024-27127]
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92744
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 226 / Friday, November 22, 2024 / Proposed Rules
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143;
FXES1111090FEDR–256–FF09E21000]
RIN 1018–BH76
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Threatened Species Status
With Section 4(d) Rule for Pecos
Pupfish and Designation of Critical
Habitat
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
list the Pecos pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis), a fish species from the
Pecos River Basin of New Mexico and
Texas, as a threatened species and
designate critical habitat under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). This determination also
serves as our 12-month finding on a
petition to list the Pecos pupfish. After
a review of the best available scientific
and commercial information, we find
that listing the species is warranted.
Accordingly, we propose to list the
Pecos pupfish as a threatened species
with a rule issued under section 4(d) of
the Act (‘‘4(d) rule’’). If we finalize this
rule as proposed, the Pecos pupfish
would be added to the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and the Act’s protections would be
extended to the species. We also
propose to designate critical habitat for
the Pecos pupfish under the Act. In
total, 136.12 river miles (219.06 river
kilometers) and 26,555.54 acres
(10,746.64 hectares) in Chaves and Eddy
Counties, New Mexico, and Culberson
and Reeves Counties, Texas, fall within
the boundaries of the proposed critical
habitat designation. We also announce
the availability of an economic analysis
of the proposed designation of critical
habitat for Pecos pupfish.
DATES: We will accept comments
received or postmarked on or before
January 21, 2025. We must receive
requests for a public hearing, in writing,
at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT, by January 6,
2025.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments
by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. In the Search box,
enter FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143, which is
the docket number for this rulemaking.
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SUMMARY:
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Then, click on the Search button. On the
resulting page, in the panel on the left
side of the screen, under the Document
Type heading, check the Proposed Rule
box to locate this document. You may
submit a comment by clicking on
‘‘Comment.’’ Comments submitted
electronically using the Federal
eRulemaking Portal must be received by
11:59 p.m. eastern time on the closing
date.
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail
to: Public Comments Processing, Attn:
FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, MS: PRB/3W, 5275
Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041–
3803.
We request that you send comments
only by the methods described above.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
means that we will post any personal
information you provide us (see
Information Requested, below, for more
information).
Availability of supporting materials:
Supporting materials, such as the
species status assessment report, are
available on the Service’s website at
https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexicoecological-services, at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143, or both. If we
finalize the critical habitat designation,
we will make the coordinates or plot
points or both from which the maps are
generated available at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143 and on the
Service’s website at https://
www.fws.gov/office/new-mexicoecological-services.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Shawn Sartorius, Field Supervisor, U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service, New Mexico
Ecological Services Field Office, 2105
Osuna NE, Albuquerque, NM 87113;
telephone 505–697–7606. Individuals in
the United States who are deaf,
deafblind, hard of hearing, or have a
speech disability may dial 711 (TTY,
TDD, or TeleBraille) to access
telecommunications relay services.
Individuals outside the United States
should use the relay services offered
within their country to make
international calls to the point-ofcontact in the United States. Please see
Docket No. FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143 on
https://www.regulations.gov for a
document that summarizes this
proposed rule.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Why we need to publish a rule. Under
the Act, a species warrants listing if it
meets the definition of an endangered
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species (in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range) or a threatened species (likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range). If we
determine that a species warrants
listing, we must list the species
promptly and designate the species’
critical habitat to the maximum extent
prudent and determinable. We have
determined that the Pecos pupfish
meets the definition of a threatened
species; therefore, we are proposing to
list it as such, and we are proposing a
designation of its critical habitat. Both
listing a species as an endangered or
threatened species and making a critical
habitat designation can be completed
only by issuing a rule through the
Administrative Procedure Act
rulemaking process (5 U.S.C. 551 et
seq.).
What this document does. We
propose to list the Pecos as a threatened
species with a rule issued under section
4(d) of the Act, and we propose the
designation of critical habitat for the
species
The basis for our action. Under the
Act, we may determine that a species is
an endangered or threatened species
because of any of five factors: (A) The
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We
have determined that Pecos pupfish
meets the definition of a threatened
species due to the following threats: (1)
introgression of the sheepshead minnow
(Cyprinodon variegatus) (Factor E), (2)
the loss and decline of surface and
ground waters (Factor A), (3)
degradation of water quality (Factor A),
and (4) habitat loss and fragmentation
(Factor A), all of which are exacerbated
by the ongoing and expected effects of
climate change (Factor E).
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires that
the Secretary of the Interior (Secretary),
to the maximum extent prudent and
determinable, concurrently with listing,
designate critical habitat for the species.
Section 3(5)(A) of the Act defines
critical habitat as (i) the specific areas
within the geographical area occupied
by the species, at the time it is listed,
on which are found those physical or
biological features (I) essential to the
conservation of the species and (II)
which may require special management
considerations or protections; and (ii)
specific areas outside the geographical
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area occupied by the species at the time
it is listed, upon a determination by the
Secretary that such areas are essential
for the conservation of the species.
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act states that the
Secretary must make the designation on
the basis of the best scientific data
available and after taking into
consideration the economic impact, the
impact on national security, and any
other relevant impacts of specifying any
particular area as critical habitat.
Information Requested
We intend that any final action
resulting from this proposed rule will be
based on the best scientific and
commercial data available and be as
accurate and as effective as possible.
Therefore, we request comments or
information from other governmental
agencies, Native American Tribes, the
scientific community, industry, or any
other interested parties concerning this
proposed rule. We particularly seek
comments concerning:
(1) The species’ biology, range, and
population trends, including:
(a) Biological or ecological
requirements of the species, including
habitat requirements for feeding,
breeding, and sheltering;
(b) Genetics and taxonomy;
(c) Historical and current range,
including distribution patterns and the
locations of any additional populations
of this species;
(d) Historical and current population
levels, and current and projected trends;
and
(e) Past and ongoing conservation
measures for the species, its habitat, or
both.
(2) Threats and conservation actions
affecting the species, including:
(a) Factors that may be affecting the
continued existence of the species,
which may include habitat modification
or destruction, overutilization, disease,
predation, the inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms, or other natural
or manmade factors.
(b) Biological, commercial trade, or
other relevant data concerning any
threats (or lack thereof) to this species.
(c) Existing regulations or
conservation actions that may be
addressing threats to this species.
(3) Additional information concerning
the historical and current status of this
species.
(4) Information to assist with applying
or issuing protective regulations under
section 4(d) of the Act that may be
necessary and advisable to provide for
the conservation of the Pecos pupfish.
In particular, information concerning:
(a) The extent to which we should
include any of the Act’s section 9
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prohibitions in the proposed 4(d) rule;
or
(b) Whether we should consider any
additional or different exceptions from
the prohibitions in the proposed 4(d)
rule.
(5) Specific information related to
critical habitat, such as:
(a) The amount and distribution of
Pecos pupfish habitat;
(b) Any additional areas occurring
within the range of the species, Chaves
and Eddy Counties, New Mexico, and
Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas,
that should be included in the
designation because they (i) are
occupied at the time of listing and
contain the physical or biological
features that are essential to the
conservation of the species and that may
require special management
considerations or protection, or (ii) are
unoccupied at the time of listing and are
essential for the conservation of the
species; and
(c) Special management
considerations or protection that may be
needed in critical habitat areas we are
proposing, including managing for the
potential effects of climate change.
(6) Land use designations and current
or planned activities in the subject areas
and their possible impacts on proposed
critical habitat.
(7) Any probable economic, national
security, or other relevant impacts of
designating any area that may be
included in the final designation, and
the related benefits of including or
excluding specific areas.
(8) Information on the extent to which
the description of probable economic
impacts in the economic analysis is a
reasonable estimate of the likely
economic impacts and the description
of the environmental impacts in the
environmental assessment is complete
and accurate and any additional
information regarding probable
economic impacts that we should
consider.
(9) Whether any specific areas we are
proposing for critical habitat
designation should be considered for
exclusion under section 4(b)(2) of the
Act, and whether the benefits of
potentially excluding any specific area
outweigh the benefits of including that
area, in particular for those covered by
the Pecos Pupfish Conservation
Agreement (see more details in
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory
Mechanisms below). If you think we
should exclude any additional areas,
please provide information supporting a
benefit of exclusion.
(10) Whether we could improve or
modify our approach to designating
critical habitat in any way to provide for
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greater public participation and
understanding, or to better
accommodate public concerns and
comments.
Please include sufficient information
with your submission (such as scientific
journal articles or other publications) to
allow us to verify any scientific or
commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely
stating support for, or opposition to, the
action under consideration without
providing supporting information,
although noted, do not provide
substantial information necessary to
support a determination. Section
4(b)(1)(A) of the Act directs that
determinations as to whether any
species is an endangered or a threatened
species must be made solely on the
basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available, and section
4(b)(2) of the Act directs that the
Secretary shall designate critical habitat
on the basis of the best scientific data
available.
You may submit your comments and
materials concerning this proposed rule
by one of the methods listed in
ADDRESSES. We request that you send
comments only by the methods
described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://
www.regulations.gov, your entire
submission—including any personal
identifying information—will be posted
on the website. If your submission is
made via a hardcopy that includes
personal identifying information, you
may request at the top of your document
that we withhold this information from
public review. However, we cannot
guarantee that we will be able to do so.
We will post all hardcopy submissions
on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive,
as well as supporting documentation we
used in preparing this proposed rule,
will be available for public inspection
on https://www.regulations.gov.
Our final determination may differ
from this proposal because we will
consider all comments we receive
during the comment period as well as
any information that may become
available after this proposal. Based on
the new information we receive (and, if
relevant, any comments on that new
information), we may conclude that the
species is endangered instead of
threatened, or we may conclude that the
species does not warrant listing as either
an endangered species or a threatened
species. For critical habitat, our final
designation may not include all areas
proposed, may include some additional
areas that meet the definition of critical
habitat, or may exclude some areas if we
find the benefits of exclusion outweigh
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the benefits of inclusion and exclusion
will not result in the extinction of the
species. In addition, we may change the
parameters of the prohibitions or the
exceptions to those prohibitions in the
protective regulations under section 4(d)
of the Act if we conclude it is
appropriate in light of comments and
new information received. For example,
we may expand the prohibitions if we
conclude that the protective regulation
as a whole, including those additional
prohibitions, is necessary and advisable
to provide for the conservation of the
species. Conversely, we may establish
additional or different exceptions to the
prohibitions in the final rule if we
conclude that the activities would
facilitate or are compatible with the
conservation and recovery of the
species. In our final rule, we will clearly
explain our rationale and the basis for
our final decision, including why we
made changes, if any, that differ from
this proposal.
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Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5) of the Act provides for
a public hearing on this proposal, if
requested. Requests must be received by
the date specified in DATES. Such
requests must be sent to the address
shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT. We will schedule a public
hearing on this proposal, if requested,
and announce the date, time, and place
of the hearing, as well as how to obtain
reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register and local newspapers
at least 15 days before the hearing. We
may hold the public hearing in person
or virtually via webinar. We will
announce any public hearing on our
website, in addition to the Federal
Register. The use of virtual public
hearings is consistent with our
regulations at 50 CFR 424.16(c)(3).
Previous Federal Actions
We identified the Pecos pupfish as a
Category 2 candidate in both the
December 30, 1982, Review of
Vertebrate Wildlife, Notice of Review
(47 FR 58454); and the September 18,
1985, Review of Vertebrate Wildlife,
Notice of Review (50 FR 37958).
Category 2 candidates were those
species for which the Service had
information that proposed listing was
possibly appropriate, but conclusive
data on biological vulnerability and
threats were not available to support a
proposed rule at the time. This situation
changed when the Pecos pupfish was
identified as a Category 1 candidate in
the January 6, 1989, Animal Notice of
Review (54 FR 554) and in the
November 21, 1991, Animal Notice of
Review (56 FR 58804). Category 1
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candidates were those species for which
the Service had on file sufficient
information to support issuance of
proposed listing rules. In the February
28, 1996, Candidate Notice of Review
(61 FR 7596), we discontinued the
designation of multiple categories of
candidates, and only former Category 1
species are now recognized as
candidates for listing purposes. The
Pecos pupfish remained a candidate
species in the 1996 Notice of Review
and also in the September 19, 1997,
Notice of Review (62 FR 49398).
The Pecos pupfish was proposed for
listing as an endangered species without
critical habitat on January 30, 1998 (63
FR 4608). Within the ensuing year
between the proposal of the species for
listing and the required final
determination, a conservation
agreement was developed. The
conservation agreement was cited in the
March 17, 2000, withdrawal of the
proposed rule to list (65 FR 14513) as
sufficient to ensure the viability of the
Pecos pupfish.
On June 18, 2007, we were petitioned
to list the Pecos pupfish as an
endangered species as part of a multispecies petition to list 475 species in the
Service’s Southwest Region by
WildEarth Guardians (WEG, formerly
Forest Guardians). On December 16,
2009, we issued a positive 90-day
finding that the petition presented
information indicating that the listing of
the Pecos pupfish may be warranted (74
FR 66866) and initiated a status review.
Per a court-approved settlement
agreement, we agreed to send a 12month petition finding for the Pecos
pupfish to the Federal Register by
December 1, 2024.
Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA)
team prepared an SSA report for the
Pecos pupfish. The SSA team was
composed of Service biologists, in
consultation with other species experts.
The SSA report represents a
compilation of the best scientific and
commercial data available concerning
the status of the species, including the
impacts of past, present, and future
factors (both negative and beneficial)
affecting the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on
peer review published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270),
and in our August 22, 2016,
memorandum updating and clarifying
the role of peer review in listing and
recovery actions under the Act (https://
www.fws.gov/sites/default/files/
documents/peer-review-policy-directorsmemo-2016-08-22.pdf), we solicited
independent scientific review of the
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information contained in the Pecos
pupfish SSA report. We sent the SSA
report to four independent peer
reviewers and received four responses.
Results of this structured peer review
process can be found at https://
www.regulations.gov and https://
www.fws.gov/office/new-mexicoecological-services. In preparing this
proposed rule, we incorporated the
results of these reviews, as appropriate,
into the SSA report, which is the
foundation for this proposed rule.
Summary of Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above,
we received comments from four peer
reviewers on the draft SSA report. We
reviewed all comments we received
from the peer reviewers for substantive
issues and new information regarding
the contents of the SSA report. The peer
reviewers generally concurred with our
methods and conclusions and provided
additional information, clarifications,
and suggestions, including clarifications
in terminology, additional literature on
habitat fragmentation, discussions of
severity of threats, and other editorial
suggestions. Otherwise, no substantive
changes to our analysis and conclusions
within the SSA report were deemed
necessary, and peer reviewer comments
are addressed in version 1.2 of the SSA
report (Service 2024, entire).
I. Proposed Listing Determination
Background
A thorough review of the taxonomy,
life history, and ecology of the Pecos
pupfish is presented in the SSA report
(version 1.2; Service 2024, pp. 1–21).
The following sections are a synopsis of
that information.
The Pecos pupfish is a small, deepbodied (28 to 46 millimeter (mm) (1.1 to
1.8 inch (in.)), freshwater fish from the
Pecos River Basin of New Mexico and
Texas. It occurs in a variety of aquatic
environments including wetlands,
sinkholes, waterfowl impoundments,
streams, springs and the Pecos River
mainstem. The species historically
inhabited the upper, middle, and lower
Pecos River from just above Bitter Lake
National Wildlife Refuge (NWR), Chaves
County, NM, in the north, to south of
the mouth of Independence Creek, in
Crockett and Terrell Counties, TX, in
the south. The Pecos pupfish is a
member of the Cyprinodontidae family
(pupfish and killifish), a group that
includes 9 genera, 115 species, and 8
subspecies (ITIS 2023, entire). It is
recognized as a valid taxon by the
American Fisheries Society, and the
Service accepts this taxonomy.
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The Pecos pupfish varies in body
color from gray to brown to iridescent
blue. Pecos pupfish vary phenotypically
amongst isolated habitat types, which
may be advantageous for adapting to
different food availability, dissolved
oxygen availability, and salinity levels
(Collyer et al. 2015, entire; Xu 2017, p.
22). Pecos pupfish are opportunistic
omnivores; their diet is primarily
composed of a diatom-detritus mixture,
but may also include animal material,
filamentous algae, macrophytes, sand,
and seeds (Davis 1981, p. 536).
Pupfish are a euryhaline group of fish
and are able to withstand conditions
such as elevated salinity, higher water
temperatures, and lower dissolved
oxygen, that many other fish cannot
tolerate (Kodric-Brown 1975, pp. 3, 6).
The Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety of
aquatic environments including
wetlands, sinkholes, waterfowl
impoundments, streams, springs, and
the Pecos River mainstem (Hoagstrom
and Brooks 1999, pp. 14–16; Collyer et
al. 2015, p. 182). Pecos pupfish prefer
environments with little to no water
flow, and, in areas with flows, they
typically occupy pools and shallow runs
and riffles (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999,
pp. 36, 45). Within their occupied
habitat, Pecos pupfish require a diverse
set of microscale habitat conditions. A
variety of underwater features such as
crevices, boulders, large rocks, scattered
pebbles, and aquatic plants provide
topographic diversity throughout the
range of the Pecos pupfish (KodricBrown 1975, p. 35; 1977, pp. 750–751,
753–756, and 761–762).
Pecos pupfish are sexually mature at
20 mm (0.79 in), within a few months
of hatching (Kodric-Brown 1983, p.
128). Female Pecos pupfish lay an
average of 10 eggs per day that adhere
to spawning substrate, such as
vegetation or rocks (Kodric-Brown 1977,
pp. 751, 761–762, 764; (Garrett 1982,
pp. 360, 363; Farrington and
Brandenburg 2003, p. 1). Spawning
occurs May through September, peaking
in late June through July when water
temperatures consistently exceed 30
degrees Celsius (°C) (86 degrees
Fahrenheit (°F)) in shallow waters less
than 2 meters (m) (6.56 feet (ft)) deep,
and in areas with a variety of silt-free
underwater features such as crevices,
boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles,
and aquatic plants (Kodric-Brown 1975,
p. 35; 1977, pp. 750–751, 753–756, and
761–762). Pecos pupfish generally live
for 1 year but can live an average of 2.5
years in captivity (Kodric-Brown 1977,
p. 752m 765; Doege 2023, entire).
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Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and the implementing regulations in
title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations set forth the procedures for
determining whether a species is an
endangered species or a threatened
species, issuing protective regulations
for threatened species, and designating
critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species.
The Act defines an ‘‘endangered
species’’ as a species that is in danger
of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, and a
‘‘threatened species’’ as a species that is
likely to become an endangered species
within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.
The Act requires that we determine
whether any species is an endangered
species or a threatened species because
of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
These factors represent broad
categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an
effect on a species’ continued existence.
In evaluating these actions and
conditions, we look for those that may
have a negative effect on individuals of
the species, as well as other actions or
conditions that may ameliorate any
negative effects or may have positive
effects.
We use the term ‘‘threat’’ to refer in
general to actions or conditions that are
known to or are reasonably likely to
negatively affect individuals of a
species. The term ‘‘threat’’ includes
actions or conditions that have a direct
impact on individuals (direct impacts),
as well as those that affect individuals
through alteration of their habitat or
required resources (stressors). The term
‘‘threat’’ may encompass—either
together or separately—the source of the
action or condition or the action or
condition itself.
However, the mere identification of
any threat(s) does not necessarily mean
that the species meets the statutory
definition of an ‘‘endangered species’’ or
a ‘‘threatened species.’’ In determining
whether a species meets either
definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the
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species’ expected response and the
effects of the threats—in light of those
actions and conditions that will
ameliorate the threats—on an
individual, population, and species
level. We evaluate each threat and its
expected effects on the species, then
analyze the cumulative effect of all of
the threats on the species as a whole.
We also consider the cumulative effect
of the threats in light of those actions
and conditions that will have positive
effects on the species, such as any
existing regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts. The Secretary
determines whether the species meets
the definition of an ‘‘endangered
species’’ or a ‘‘threatened species’’ only
after conducting this cumulative
analysis and describing the expected
effect on the species.
The Act does not define the term
‘‘foreseeable future,’’ which appears in
the statutory definition of ‘‘threatened
species.’’ Our implementing regulations
at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a
framework for evaluating the foreseeable
future on a case-by-case basis, which is
further described in the 2009
Memorandum Opinion on the
foreseeable future from the Department
of the Interior (DOI), Office of the
Solicitor (M–37021, January 16, 2009;
‘‘M-Opinion,’’ available online at
https://www.doi.gov/sites/
doi.opengov.ibmcloud.com/files/
uploads/M-37021.pdf). The foreseeable
future extends as far into the future as
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and
National Marine Fisheries Service
(hereafter, the Services) can make
reasonably reliable predictions about
the threats to the species and the
species’ responses to those threats. We
need not identify the foreseeable future
in terms of a specific period of time. We
will describe the foreseeable future on a
case-by-case basis, using the best
available data and taking into account
considerations such as the species’ lifehistory characteristics, threat-projection
timeframes, and environmental
variability. In other words, the
foreseeable future is the period of time
over which we can make reasonably
reliable predictions. ‘‘Reliable’’ does not
mean ‘‘certain’’; it means sufficient to
provide a reasonable degree of
confidence in the prediction, in light of
the conservation purposes of the Act.
Analytical Framework
The SSA report documents the results
of our comprehensive biological review
of the best scientific and commercial
data regarding the status of the species,
including an assessment of the potential
threats to the species. The SSA report
does not represent our decision on
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whether the species should be proposed
for listing as an endangered or
threatened species under the Act.
However, it does provide the scientific
basis that informs our regulatory
decisions, which involve the further
application of standards within the Act
and its implementing regulations and
policies.
To assess Pecos pupfish viability, we
used the three conservation biology
principles of resiliency, redundancy,
and representation (Shaffer and Stein
2000, pp. 306–310). Briefly, resiliency is
the ability of the species to withstand
environmental and demographic
stochasticity (for example, wet or dry,
warm or cold years); redundancy is the
ability of the species to withstand
catastrophic events (for example,
droughts, large pollution events); and
representation is the ability of the
species to adapt to both near-term and
long-term changes in its physical and
biological environment (for example,
climate conditions, pathogens). In
general, species viability will increase
with increases in resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Smith
et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these
principles, we identified the species’
ecological requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and
described the beneficial and risk factors
influencing the species’ viability.
The SSA process can be categorized
into three sequential stages. During the
first stage, we evaluated the individual
species’ life-history needs. The next
stage involved an assessment of the
historical and current condition of the
species’ demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived
at its current condition. The final stage
of the SSA involved making predictions
about the species’ responses to positive
and negative environmental and
anthropogenic influences. Throughout
all of these stages, we used the best
available information to characterize
viability as the ability of a species to
sustain populations in the wild over
time, which we then used to inform our
regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key
results and conclusions from the SSA
report; the full SSA report can be found
at Docket No. FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143
on https://www.regulations.gov and at
https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexicoecological-services.
Summary of Biological Status and
Threats
In this discussion, we review the
biological condition of the species, its
resources, and the threats that influence
the species’ current and future
condition, in order to assess the species’
overall viability and the risks to that
viability.
We analyze these factors both
individually and cumulatively to
determine the current condition of the
species and project the future condition
of the species under both plausible
future scenarios at mid- and latecentury.
Species Needs
For the Pecos pupfish to have
sufficient resiliency, redundancy, and
representation, individuals need
suitable habitat that supports essential
life functions at all life stages (see table
1, below). Based upon the best available
scientific and commercial information,
and acknowledging existing ecological
uncertainties, the Pecos pupfish needs
include: (1) adequate population
abundance, (2) sufficient water quantity,
(3) suitable water quality, and (4) habitat
diversity.
TABLE 1—SUMMARY OF PECOS PUPFISH INDIVIDUAL ENVIRONMENTAL NEEDS BY LIFE STAGE
Life stage
Resource/environmental needs
Spawning adult .........................................................................................
• Warm water temperatures between May and September.
• Suitable oviposition sites (such as crevices, boulders, pebbles, scattered rocks, and subsurface vegetation mats).
• Shallow water less than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep.
• Salinities greater than 35,000 milligrams/liter (mg/L).
• Adequate abundance of food (algae, insects, vegetation, etc.).
• Dense vegetation.
• Deeper water.
• Hydrologic conditions conducive to survival (sufficient water levels,
sufficient water temperature, etc.).
Egg ...........................................................................................................
Juvenile/non-breeding adults ....................................................................
Overwintering adults and juveniles ..........................................................
All ..............................................................................................................
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Adequate Population Abundance
Two demographic factors, adult
survival and fecundity, influence Pecos
pupfish population trends and stability
(Kodric-Brown and Mazzolini 1992, p.
175; Echelle and Connor 1989, p. 725;
Echelle et al. 2003b, entire). The best
available information indicates that
Pecos pupfish can live up to 1 year in
the wild and 2.5 years in captivity;
however, we have no data on egg and
juvenile survival (Kodric-Brown 1977,
pp. 756–758; Garrett et al. 2002, p. 366;
Doege 2023, entire). Data collected
annually as part of a 23-year monitoring
effort for the Pecos Pupfish
Conservation Agreement (see more
details in Conservation Efforts and
Regulatory Mechanisms below) have
consistently detected Pecos pupfish;
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however, there are typically significant
year-to-year variations in the number of
fish caught at each sampling location
(Hatt 2021, p. 6). To be resilient,
populations of Pecos pupfish need to
have enough individuals (abundance) to
withstand stochastic events.
Additionally, populations need to exist
in locations where environmental
conditions provide suitable habitat and
water quality such that adequate
numbers of individuals can be
supported, and where there is an
absence of sheepshead minnow.
Without all these factors, a population
has an increased likelihood for localized
extirpation.
The sheepshead minnow, once
confined to shallow, brackish, coastal
waters of the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of
the continental United States, was
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introduced via a bait-bucket transfer
into Red Bluff Reservoir near Pecos,
Texas, in the early 1980s (Echelle and
Connor 1989, p. 717; Childs et al. 1996,
p. 2020;). By the late 1980s, Pecos
pupfish were extirpated from this area
and replaced by the Pecos pupfish ×
sheepshead minnow hybrid (Connor
1987, p. 2; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp.
717–720). In 1997, Pecos pupfish ×
sheepshead minnow hybrids were
discovered in the Pecos River at Loving
Crossing, Eddy County, NM (Echelle et
al. 1997, p. 338; Echelle and Echelle
2007, p. 4). Records from 2016 and 2017
indicate that sheepshead minnow likely
occur as far north as the Brantley Dam,
Eddy County, NM, and that nonintrogressed Pecos pupfish are
extirpated from the Pecos River below
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Brantley Reservoir, with the exception
of the Salt Creek Texas (TX) population
(Davenport 2023a, entire).
Sufficient Water Quantity
Pecos pupfish depend on sufficient
water quantity to complete all stages of
their lifecycle. While Pecos pupfish
persist in shallow habitats less than 1 m
(3.3 ft) deep (Salt Creek, NM), they may
need deeper water to provide thermal
refugia and winter habitat (KodricBrown 1977, p. 755). Sufficient water
quantity is also necessary throughout
the year for breeding and adult survival
(Kodric-Brown 1977, p. 754; Hoagstrom
et al. 2015, p. 14). It is surmised that
water quantity changes in small,
ephemeral streams have led to Pecos
pupfish mortality events in both Bitter
Creek and Salt Creek (NM) (Davenport
2023a and 2023b, entire; Jacobsen 2023,
entire; Hoagstrom 2009, p. 28).
Water quantity for the Pecos pupfish
is influenced by a variety of factors
depending on the specific aquatic
environment of a particular Pecos
pupfish site or population. Sinkhole
environments in the Pecos Basin are
largely spring-fed systems derived from
the San Andres artesian aquifer (Land
2003, p. 230). Similarly, permanent
water in the Bitter Creek and Salt Creek
(NM) likely originates from spring flow
from the San Andres aquifer (Land and
Huff 2009, p. 1). Salt Creek (TX) likely
is supported by spring flows from the
Toyah Aquifer, though no direct
modeling has been done on this
particular stream (LaFave 1987, p. 34).
These streams also hold water during
precipitation events. Water in Bitter
Lake NWR is managed through a series
of constructed impoundments and water
conveyance structures. The Bureau of
Land Management (BLM) Overflow
Wetlands are supported by outflows of
water from Lea Lake, a sinkhole in
Bottomless Lakes State Park, as well as
precipitation. Finally, water in the
Pecos River is managed by the Bureau
of Reclamation (BOR) for water
deliveries, environmental flows, and
fulfilling obligations under the 1948
Pecos River Compact (Llewellyn et al.
2021, pp. 39–42).
Karst aquifer systems, like that found
in Bitter Lake NWR, may affect sinkhole
systems, as groundwater pumping may
tap into conduits that feed springs or
sinkholes (Veni 2013, p. 47).
Precipitation cycles and agricultural
activity appear to be the two main
factors causing variation in the aquifer
levels (Land and Newton 2008, p. 189).
However, the Roswell Artesian Basin
provides an example of a rechargeable
artesian aquifer, where water reduction
measures and high levels of rainfall in
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the 1970’s led to a reversal in long-term
hydraulic head declines and allowed
this aquifer to recharge (Land and
Newton 2008, p. 190).
Suitable Water Quality
Members of the Cyprinodon genus are
known for their wide physiological
tolerance relative to many other
freshwater fishes. Pecos pupfish are able
to tolerate a wide range of water quality
conditions (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999
entire). In areas where the salinity
gradient changes, Pecos pupfish
dominate the areas with the highest
salinities (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999
p. 12). However, at salinities greater
than 35,000 mg/L, larval and egg
development are suppressed or halted
(Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 21;
Propst 1999, p. 67). Pecos pupfish can
also tolerate low dissolved oxygen for at
least short periods, with measurements
of dissolved oxygen levels as low as 2.5
mg/L during Pecos pupfish sampling
(Hoagstrom and Brooks, 1999, p. 31;
Propst 1999, pp. 67–68). These tolerance
limits are further supported by extremes
of temperature, dissolved oxygen, and
salinity, often resulting in pupfish
mortality (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999,
p. 21; Propst 1999, p. 67). In addition to
natural impacts to water quality,
industrial and agricultural pollutants
have been shown to negatively impact
Pecos pupfish (Houston et al. 2019, p.
33).
Habitat Diversity
The Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety
of aquatic environments with a variety
of underwater features that provide
topographic diversity, such as crevices,
boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles,
and aquatic plants provide topographic
diversity throughout the range (KodricBrown 1975, p. 35; 1977, pp. 750–751,
753–756, and 761–762).Pecos pupfish
typically occupy pools and shallow runs
and riffles (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999,
pp. 36, 45). For reproduction, Pecos
pupfish require shallow water less than
2 m (6.56 ft) deep and in areas with
topographic diversity (Kodric-Brown
1977, pp. 750–751). Rocky
embankments appear to be the most
desirable breeding substrate, as the most
aggressive and largest males occupy
these areas at Mirror Lake, Bottomless
Lakes State Park, Chaves County, NM
(Kodric-Brown 1975, pp. 34–35). The
percentage of males holding territory
can vary year to year and is influenced
by the amount of breeding and foraging
habitat available (dependent on water
levels), and that density of territorial
males was highest in dense patches of
aquatic vegetation, and lowest in flat
silty areas with isolated rocks (Kodric-
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Brown 1975, pp. 20, 34–35). During the
colder months when water temperatures
drop below 10 °C (50 °F), Pecos pupfish
become inactive and can be found in
deeper water with dense vegetation and
flocculent material (such as fine detritus
or non-living organic matter) present in
the substrate (Kodric-Brown 1977, p.
752; Hoagstrom et al. 2015, p. 17).
For the Pecos pupfish to be resilient,
each population needs to be able to
withstand stochastic events or
disturbances that can drastically alter
local ecosystems. Populations of Pecos
pupfish need to have enough
individuals (abundance) and occupy
multiple types of habitats with
sufficient water quantity and quality,
(habitat diversity), such as sinkholes,
streams, and wetlands to withstand
stochastic events. Additionally,
populations need to exist in locations
where environmental conditions
provide suitable habitat and water
quality such that adequate numbers of
individuals can be supported. Without
all these factors, a population has an
increased likelihood for localized
extirpation.
For a species to persist over time, it
must exhibit attributes across its range
that relate to either representation or
redundancy. Representation describes
the ability of a species to adapt to
changing environmental conditions over
time and is characterized by the breadth
of genetic and environmental diversity
within and among populations (Shaffer
and Stein 2000, p. 308). For the Pecos
pupfish to exhibit adequate
representation, resilient populations
should occur within the Pecos River
Basin to which it is native. The breadth
of morphological, genetic, and
behavioral variation should be
preserved to maintain the evolutionary
variation of the species.
Redundancy describes the ability of a
species to withstand catastrophic events
(Tear et al. 2005, p. 841; Redford et al.
2011, p. 42). Adequate redundancy
minimizes the effect of localized
extirpation on the range-wide
persistence of a species (Shaffer and
Stein 2000, p. 308). Redundancy for the
Pecos pupfish is characterized by
having multiple, resilient, and
representative populations across the
range of the species. Also important for
measuring redundancy is the
connectivity among discrete
populations that allows for immigration
and emigration between populations
and increases the likelihood of
recolonization should a population
become extirpated. In the case of the
Pecos pupfish, however, increasing
connectivity among populations can
present a hybridization risk.
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Threats
implemented State fishing regulations
that prohibit use of sheepshead minnow
in the bait harvest and use program
since 1999. However, this nonnative
invasive species occurs within the lower
Pecos River, below the Red Bluff
Reservoir, and may be unintentionally
captured, transferred, and released into
Pecos pupfish habitat, and thus remains
an ongoing threat (Conservation Team
2022, pp. 3, 5). While the Red Bluff
Reservoir provides a physical barrier
that prevents sheepshead minnow from
naturally moving into the middle Pecos
River, and the Brantley Dam and
Reservoir provide a barrier that prevents
the sheepshead minnow from naturally
moving into the upper Pecos River,
recreational fishing occurs throughout
the river, so it is highly likely that a baitbucket transfer would lead to an
introduction of sheepshead minnow and
result in the introgression of the
population of Pecos pupfish within the
upper Pecos River. Fish barriers have
been installed at Bitter Lake NWR and
at the BLM Overflow Wetlands to
prevent entrance of sheepshead minnow
from the mainstem Pecos River.
Following are summary evaluations of
four threats analyzed in the SSA report
for the Pecos pupfish: introgression of
the sheepshead minnow (Factor E), the
loss and decline of surface and ground
water, degradation of water quality, and
habitat loss and fragmentation (Factor
A), which are exacerbated by the effects
of climate change (Factor A). We also
evaluate existing regulatory mechanisms
(Factor D) and ongoing conservation
measures.
In the SSA report, we also considered
two additional threats: golden algal
blooms (Factor A) and competition for
food resources (Factor C). We concluded
that, as indicated by the best available
scientific and commercial information,
these threats are currently having little
to no impact on Pecos pupfish
populations and thus the overall effect
of these threats now and into the future
is expected to be minimal. Therefore,
we will not present summary analyses
of those threats in this document, but
we considered them in the current and
future condition assessments in the SSA
report. For full descriptions of all
threats and how they impact the
species, please see the SSA report
(Service 2024, pp. 43–44).
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Sheepshead Minnow Introgression
The sheepshead minnow is a threat to
the Pecos pupfish through hybridization
and competition for resources (Echelle
et al. 2003b, entire; Echelle and Connor
1989, pp. 725–726). Pecos pupfish and
sheepshead minnow lack isolating
mechanisms and readily interbreed, and
within as few as 5 to 7 years
hybridization leads to the complete loss
of genetically pure (non-introgressed)
Pecos pupfish in the area of
introgression (Cokendolpher 1980,
entire; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp.
725–726; Echelle et al. 2003b, entire;
Kodric-Brown and Rosenfield 2004,
entire). Once a population is no longer
genetically pure, it no longer exists. In
addition, research suggests that the
hybrid fish grow faster and are larger
than pure Pecos pupfish, and thus
outcompete genetically pure Pecos
pupfish for resources (Rosenfield et al.
2004, p. 1595). Pecos pupfish
hybridization with the sheepshead
minnow is one of the greatest threats to
this species and is cited as the cause of
extirpation from historical sites (Echelle
and Connor 1989, pp. 725–726; Echelle
et al. 2003b, entire; Pecos Pupfish
Conservation Team (Conservation
Team) 2022, p. 5).
The New Mexico State Game
Commission and Texas Parks and
Wildlife Department (TPWD)
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Loss and Decline of Surface and
Groundwater
Adverse impacts to both water
quantity and, to a lesser extent, water
quality, are threats to Pecos pupfish
viability. As anthropogenic uses of
water increase from urban, agricultural,
and industrial development, water
management will become more
important to maintain adequate water
for the Pecos pupfish. While the
demand on water in the Pecos River
Basin is expected to increase based on
climate change projections (Sites
Southwest 2008, pp. 6–3, 6–6), we have
reasonable certainty that there will be
adequate aquifer levels until 2100
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 99–100).
Although diversions from the Pecos
River are capped by existing water
rights, agreements, and regulations,
decreasing surface water availability can
increase the demand for pumped
ground water (Dunbar et al. 2022, p. 87).
In New Mexico, population growth in
Chaves County, which contains the
majority of current occupied Pecos
pupfish sites, averaged a 1.3 percent
annual growth rate between 1960 and
2010 (Consensus Planning, Inc. 2016, p.
10) but a 1.9 percent annual decline
between 2010 and 2020. The Pecos
Valley Artesian Conservancy District
(PVACD) regulates ground water use
within the aquifer and supplies water to
about 110,000 acres of crops/year
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 47). The
amount of water withdrawn causes
seasonal variability in aquifer levels, but
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yearly fluctuations in ground water
levels typically remain similar (PVACD
2023, entire). The long-term average
water level has remained constant.
Water availability in the Pecos River is
influenced by a variety of factors
including human development,
primarily agriculture. However, this
river is currently managed for multiple
uses, including endangered species
conservation, and future human water
use from the river is not expected to
substantially increase in the future.
In Texas, the Delaware River, 12 mi
(19.31 km) north of Salt Creek (TX), is
experiencing an increase in ground
water pumping to support hydraulic
fracturing (fracking) operations, and we
expect the increased water usage to
continue around Salt Creek (TX)
(Scanlon et al. 2020, pp. 3510–3513).
Both a deep and shallow aquifer
(Rustler and Pecos Valley complex) may
support the springs feeding Salt Creek
(TX) (George et al. 2011, pp. 4, 58, 146).
However, there are no specific
hydrologic models detailing how the
aquifers influence the flows in Salt
Creek (TX). Conversely, fracking is not
a threat to the Pecos pupfish
populations in New Mexico as the oil
formations there are structured
differently than those in Texas.
Water use may increase with a
growing human population, potentially
further depleting ground-water storage
and negatively influencing the Pecos
pupfish’s future (Llewellyn et al. 2021,
p. 84). Activities such as surface and
groundwater withdrawals, as well as
impoundments, have decreased
streamflow resulting in direct habitat
loss and increased habitat fragmentation
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 138). Karst
aquifer systems, like that found on
Bitter Lake NWR, may affect sinkhole
systems, as groundwater pumping may
tap into conduits that feed springs or
sinkholes (Veni 2013, p. 47).
Precipitation cycles and agricultural
activity appear to be the two main
factors causing variation in the aquifer
levels (Land and Newton 2008, p. 189).
We are uncertain of how the aquifers
will be affected and recover (rainfall and
recharge), if at all, and how reduced
surface flows (irrigation) would be
affected by human population growth
(Land and Newton 2008, p. 190).
The Pecos River provides connected
wetted habitat year-round. There are
four federally owned reservoirs on the
Pecos River: Santa Rosa (U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers (Corps)); Sumner
(BOR); Brantley (BOR); and Avalon
(BOR), and the ground water rights are
owned by the NM Interstate Stream
Commission (Service 2017, pp. 7 and
11). The State and Federal agencies
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work together to maintain river flows
that provide water for a variety of
reasons, including environmental
reasons. For the last few decades, the
only releases from Fort Sumner
Reservoir to Brantley Reservoir have
been block releases that occur several
times a year at intervals and timing
contrary to the historical flow regimes,
leading to artificially low flows
(Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6). These
block releases manage for the threatened
Pecos bluntnose shiner (Notropis simus
pecosensis) and act as a buffer to drying
events even though the water may be
repurposed from environmental use to
consumptive irrigation use, and will be
beneficial to the Pecos pupfish
(Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6).
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Degradation of Water Quality
Because Pecos pupfish are relatively
tolerant of more extreme water quality
conditions (high temperatures, low
dissolved oxygen, high salinity), minor
changes to water quality are generally
seen as less of a concern (Propst 1999,
p. 68). However, throughout the Pecos
pupfish’s range, water temperatures
have the potential to exceed the fish’s
thermal tolerance (Brown and Feldmeth
1971, entire). Furthermore, it is
surmised that extreme salinity caused
declines in two historical Pecos pupfish
populations in two springs in Laguna
Grande De la Sal, NM (Hoagstrom and
Brooks 1999, pp. 13–16).
The entirety of the Pecos pupfish
range in the Pecos River has ongoing
water quality concerns and is
considered impaired by the New Mexico
Environmental Department (Llewellyn
et al. 2021, pp. 27–29). Below Sumner
Reservoir, the river improves for 160 km
(100 mi) before becoming impaired by
nutrients from irrigation return flow,
urban runoff, and municipal wastewater
treatment plant effluent to the State line
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 27–28).
Another stressor is contamination of
water by oil and gas development
(Bonetti et al. 2021, entire). Pipelines
present another potential route of
contamination, as leaks or ruptures may
allow oil, gas, or brines to enter
underground aquifers that contribute to
spring flow or by point sources from
spills and leaks on the surface
(Ashworth 1990, p. 31). Oil and brine
contamination may impair water quality
to the extent that Pecos pupfish will be
unable to carry out metabolic functions
(e.g., breathing) (Bonetti et al. 2021, p.
4). However, the pipelines in the
vicinity of Bitter Lake NWR, BLM Area
of Critical Environmental Concern
(ACEC), and Bottomless Lakes State
Park are protected and managed to keep
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these systems conserved and free from
contamination.
Global Climate Change and Drought
The Southwest United States is
thought to be extremely sensitive to
increased drought and higher average
temperatures caused by climate change
(Sheffield and Wood 2008, p. 101). In
particular, temperatures across New
Mexico, including in the Pecos River
Basin, have risen approximately 1.1 °C)
(2 (°F) between 1970 and 2020 (Dunbar
et al. 2022, pp. 4–5). While Pecos
pupfish have persisted through
historical drought conditions,
observations from Bitter Lake NWR
suggest that prolonged drought or higher
temperatures have likely led to
mortality events (Jacobsen 2023, entire).
Because Pecos pupfish are able to
persist in degraded, saline water
conditions, they are likely to be
somewhat resilient to adverse water
flow and temperature impacts (Propst
1999, pp. 67–68). However, Pecos
pupfish are likely persisting at or near
their thermal maximum, particularly
during the hottest parts of the year
(Matthews and Zimmerman 1990, p.
27). The increasing temperatures
predicted by climate modeling suggest
that water temperatures have the
potential to exceed the thermal
maximum for Pecos pupfish (Llewellyn
et al. 2021, p. 88). This is particularly
crucial for sites that are shallower, have
limited freshwater input, or are isolated
from any potential thermal refugia.
Observations of the Conchos pupfish (C.
eximius), a close relative of the pupfish,
suggest that drought may have caused
declines in fish numbers (Davis 1980, p.
83).
Climate change manifests in a variety
of ways. An average increase in
temperature manifests itself locally as
higher daytime temperatures and higher
overnight low temperatures (Hayhoe et
al. 2018, p. 88). In terms of
precipitation, broadly speaking, wet
areas are expected to get wetter and
experience more intense precipitation
events, while dry areas are expected to
get drier and experience more intense
drought events (Shafer et al. 2014, pp.
443–445; Kloesel et al. 2018, pp. 995–
996, 1004). Another effect of climate
change is exacerbated drought due to
feedback loops between high air
temperatures, low humidities, and low
soil moisture (Cheng et al. 2019, pp.
4437–4440). Potential effects of climate
change that are likely to affect water
quality and quantity include increased
temperatures, evaporation,
evapotranspiration, drought, earlier
runoff, and reduced or increased
precipitation (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p.
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98). The main uncertainty of a changing
climate is the resulting demands on
surface and ground water aquifers that
support habitat for the Pecos pupfish,
thereby reducing water quantity and
leading to impaired water quality.
Habitat Loss and Fragmentation
Groundwater depletion has dried up
several marshes, playas, and spring
ponds formerly occupied by Pecos
pupfish adjacent to the Pecos River in
New Mexico and Texas (Hoagstrom and
Brooks 1999, p. 11). Direct habitat loss
was also believed to have caused the
extirpation of Comanche Springs
pupfish (C. elegans) in Texas near Fort
Stockton (Echelle et al. 2003a, p. 114).
Habitat loss occurs when streams are
dewatered, and surface flow is
eliminated. To date, we are unaware of
habitat loss within the range of the
species at a scale that has caused the
extirpation of Pecos pupfish in an entire
population. However, significant habitat
impairment has occurred throughout the
range of the Pecos pupfish. For example,
the Pecos River has been significantly
altered through dam construction,
channelization, and water diversions
resulting in the loss of off-channel
marshes, oxbows, and changes to
mainstem flows (Hoagstrom and Brooks
1999, pp. 10–12).
While we have no data regarding to
what extent the Pecos pupfish use offchannel marshes and oxbows, based on
habitat descriptions of the current
known occupied locations we presume
that at least a portion of the available
off-channel habitat may have been used
by Pecos pupfish for connectivity
(Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 22).
Furthermore, research suggests that
habitat fragmentation and alteration
may have rendered Pecos pupfish
populations in the lower Pecos River
more vulnerable to hybridization with
the sheepshead minnow, and identified
morphological differences between
populations that are linked to aquatic
habitat type and diversity (Collyer et al.
2015, p. 191). Similarly, pupfish need
large and connected populations to have
a chance to potentially withstand
introgression (Collyer et al. 2015, p.
191). More recently, in 2020, 2022, and
2023, drought events led to the loss of
portions of Bitter Creek on Bitter Lake
NWR, with Pecos pupfish mortality
observed in 2020 and 2022. Data
collected during winter surveys suggest
that the Pecos pupfish is able to return
to sections of the creek once sufficient
water quantities are present. Although
data are lacking from the Pecos River
mainstem, this scenario likely occurs
there as well.
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Habitat fragmentation is the
disruption of continuous habitat
resulting in smaller disconnected areas
and can be either temporary or
permanent (Wiegand et al. 2005, p. 109).
The natural landscape for the Pecos
pupfish comprises isolated sinkholes
with unknown subsurface connectivity,
disjunct wetlands and ephemeral
streams, and a historically wellconnected river system. Much of the
direct habitat loss and fragmentation
within the range of the Pecos pupfish is
the result of dewatering of habitat as a
result of anthropogenic development,
and water management and use, such as
demand for water for agriculture and oil
and gas development (Hoagstrom et al.
2008, p. 6). Climate change impacts in
the Pecos River Basin will likely result
in higher overall surface temperatures.
In general, warming surface
temperatures directly impact
evapotranspiration rates and can lead to
lowered surface water (Llewellyn et al.
2021, p. 21). However, throughout the
range of the Pecos pupfish the
hydrology impacting their habitat is a
complicated mix of evaporation, spring
flow, and groundwater recharge.
The loss of habitat connectivity and
the resulting fragmentation can lead to
isolation among populations, which
may have caused a genetic bottleneck in
some Pecos pupfish populations
(Collyer et al. 2015, p. 191; Whiteley
2023, pp. 6–7). Isolated and small
populations are also more susceptible to
stochastic events and amplify the effects
of inbreeding depression and genetic
drift (Rieman and Allendorf 2001, p.
762). Fragmentation and isolation of
habitats can increase the risk of local
extirpation as recolonization from
adjacent populations is less likely
(Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 13). As habitat
loss and fragmentation increases, habitat
diversity decreases.
Summary of Threats
The greatest threats to the Pecos
pupfish are introgression with
sheepshead minnow, loss and decline of
surface and ground water, degradation
of water quality, habitat loss and
fragmentation, and the effects of climate
change. Introduction of sheepshead
minnow into new locations occupied by
Pecos pupfish could lead to rapid
introgression, replacing the genetically
pure population with Pecos pupfish
hybrids. Research has found Pecos
pupfish populations that are already
negatively impacted by habitat
alteration are likely more at risk of
introgression because the reduction in
habitat increases competition for
breeding substrate (Kodric-Brown and
Rosenfield 2004, pp. 121–122; Collyer et
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al. 2015, p. 191). Anthropogenic water
use and management has impacts on
most of the surface water and
groundwater within the range of the
Pecos pupfish, and continued
development and climate-driven
changes to water availability will
continue to impact the species in the
future. Climate change impacts
including higher average annual
temperatures, more variable or lower
average annual precipitation, and
increased drought frequency, are
currently impacting the Pecos pupfish
and will likely continue to do so.
Increasing temperatures increase the
risk that shallow habitat could exceed
the thermal tolerance of Pecos pupfish,
and the resulting increased
evapotranspiration leads to lowering of
water levels with the potential for
corresponding increases in salinity and
water temperatures and lowered
dissolved oxygen.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory
Mechanisms
In 1999, a conservation agreement
was developed to address the threats to
Pecos pupfish (Conservation Team
1999; entire). Since implementation of
the conservation agreement,
conservation efforts have included
sheepshead minnow eradication,
installation of fish barriers, and
enforcement of State fishing rules in an
effort to protect the Pecos pupfish from
further introgression of sheepshead
minnows or hybrids and alleviate other
threats affecting the Pecos pupfish
(Conservation Team 2022, p. 3). The
conservation agreement was amended in
2013 and in 2022 (Conservation Team
2022, pp. 1, 4).
These above-mentioned stressors—
introgression, water quantity, and
habitat degradation and loss—have been
considered and some have been reduced
through the implementation of the
conservation agreement (Conservation
Team 2022, entire). The agreement has
eight signatory agencies: TPWD; New
Mexico Department of Game and Fish
(NMDGF); New Mexico Energy,
Minerals, and Natural Resources
Department; New Mexico Department of
Agriculture; New Mexico Interstate
Stream Commission; Commissioner of
Public Lands; New Mexico State Land
Office; BLM; and the Service
(Conservation Team 2022, pp. 8–23).
The duration of the conservation
agreement is indefinite with formal
review every 10 years (Conservation
Team 2022, p. 12).
Since 1999, one fish barrier has been
installed at Bitter Lake NWR, near the
confluence with the Pecos River. In
2019, two fish barriers were replaced at
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the BLM Overflow Wetlands, where
north and south concrete barriers were
installed to prevent the entrance of fish
from the mainstem Pecos River into the
complex. The barrier on the BLM
Overflow Wetlands not only protects the
wetlands, but also protects the
Bottomless Lakes complex from the
threat of hybridization.
Moving forward, the conservation
agreement will continue to provide
guidance for agencies and partners
working towards Pecos pupfish
conservation, help provide for ongoing
maintenance of fish barriers, installation
of additional fish barriers, and enforcing
existing State and Federal baitfish
regulations.
The Fort Worth Zoo and other
collaborating zoos have successfully
bred Pecos pupfish in captivity since
2000. Captive conservation efforts have
focused on propagation techniques,
animal husbandry research, and
propagation for stocking. Beginning in
2012, the State of Texas began working
with private landowners within the
Pecos River watershed to identify
opportunities for the development of
Pecos pupfish production ponds. Two
ponds were established in 2024;
recruitment of additional landowners
and establishment of additional ponds
is ongoing. The goal of the ponds is to
sustain the genetic lineage from the Salt
Creek, TX, population, create stable
habitats isolated from potential
sheepshead minnow incursion with
secure water sources, and provide a
stock of fish that can be used to
establish other locations.
Current Condition
A thorough review of the Pecos
pupfish’s current condition is presented
in chapter 4 of the SSA report (version
1.2, Service 2024, pp. 46–74).
We divided the Pecos pupfish’s range
into nine analysis units (AU) (Figure 1).
Currently, the Pecos pupfish is
distributed across seven of nine AUs
covering the historical range; two of the
AUs are considered extirpated (figure 1;
table 3; Service 2024, figure 20, p. 52).
We defined Pecos pupfish AUs based on
documented occurrences, U.S.
Geological Survey hydrological unit
code (HUC)–12 sub-watershed
boundaries, stream and river features,
and barriers (such as Brantley Reservoir
and Red Bluff Reservoir) (Service 2024,
p, 51). This approach is based on the
assumption that the closer occurrences
are (such as within the same AU), the
more likely similar environmental
processes are influencing the sites
where the fish occurs. We evaluated the
current viability of Pecos pupfish using
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population resiliency and species’
redundancy and representation.
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
Figure 1-Pecos pupfish range map, distributed across the Pecos River Basin.
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BILLING CODE 4333–15–C
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The species is known from nine
analysis units.
TABLE 2—ANALYSIS UNITS FOR THE PECOS PUPFISH
Analysis unit
1:
2:
3:
4:
5:
6:
7:
8:
9:
Land ownership
Upper Pecos River ......................................................................................................................
Salt Creek Wilderness ................................................................................................................
Bitter Creek Drainage .................................................................................................................
Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands ....................................................................................
Bottomless Lakes State Park .....................................................................................................
BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake ......................................................................................
Middle Pecos River .....................................................................................................................
Salt Creek (TX) ...........................................................................................................................
Lower Pecos River ......................................................................................................................
To assess resiliency, we developed a
qualitative model that incorporates one
demographic metric (occurrence) and
three habitat metrics (water quantity,
water quality, and habitat diversity),
and genetic security into the overall
status for each unit (table 3). We
selected habitat diversity as a metric as
habitats with multiple aquatic
environments may better allow the fish
to withstand changing or adverse
conditions.
To assess redundancy of the Pecos
pupfish, we examined (1) how many
extant sites exist within each AU, (2)
how connected these sites are within
the unit, and (3) how connected each
unit is to nearby units. Importantly
though, the diversity of the habitat, and
not the number of sites Pecos pupfish
have been detected, reflects the extent of
the occupied Pecos pupfish habitat
within the unit. For example, Bitter
Creek (on Bitter Lake NWR) is
approximately 1,546 m (5,072 ft) of
variably wetted stream and is counted
as a single site. Similarly, the BLM
Overflow Wetlands cover over 1,000
acres (405 ha) and is also counted as a
single site. However, we assume that
with the exception of the sites
delineated on the upper Pecos River,
which is a riverine environment, each
site is representative of a discrete
aquatic environment.
To assess representation, we used
aquatic environment (riverine, shallow
stream, sinkholes, and wetlands) as a
surrogate for genetic data. Genetic
studies of Pecos pupfish have revealed
important genetic relationships across
the range of the species. The population
of Pecos pupfish in the upper reaches of
Salt Creek (TX) shows a specific allele
that is unique to this location (Echelle
et al. 2003b, p. 6). Recent work in the
northern portion of their range has
found that Pecos pupfish populations in
the Bottomless Lakes State Park and
BLM Overflow Wetland (AUs 5 and 6,
respectively), are highly genetically
differentiated from each other and from
other populations (Whiteley 2023, pp.
7–9, 18). Additionally, individuals
sampled from Bottomless Lakes State
Park showed high inbreeding
BLM, State, private.
FWS.
FWS.
FWS.
State.
BLM, State.
BLM, State, private.
Private.
BLM, State, private.
coefficient, (Whiteley 2023, p. 26).
Analysis showed distinct clustering of
Pecos pupfish at two sites at Bottomless
Lakes State Park (Mirror Lake and Lazy
Lagoon) and all of the sampled sites at
Bitter Lake NWR (Whiteley 2023, p. 18).
On Bitter Lake NWR, two distinct
clusters were observed that may
indicate gene flow (Whiteley 2023, p.
19). The sampled sites in the Middle
Tract Wetlands clustered with each
other and Bitter Creek, while the four
sample sinkholes all clustered with each
other (Whiteley 2023, p. 8). While that
data analyzed by Whitely (2023, entire)
did not attempt to infer a relationship
between environmental factors, a result
that might reflect either developmental
plasticity or local genetic adaptation,
research does suggest that Pecos pupfish
morphology differs depending on the
aquatic environments (i.e., habitat
diversity) (Echelle and Echelle 2007, p.
7; Collyer et al. 2015, p. 187–189; Xu
2017, pp. 22, 26–27; Whiteley 2023,
entire).
TABLE 3—CONDITION CRITERIA RESILIENCY ANALYSIS METRICS AS APPLIED TO EACH ANALYSIS UNIT
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Condition
Genetic security
Occurrence
High condition (high resiliency).
No evidence of
introgression with
sheepshead minnow.
Extant or presumed extant observed at, or in
the vicinity of, each of
these sites at least
once within the last 5
years.
Moderate condition (moderate resiliency).
Introgression possible in
the unit, but no confirmation.
Two or fewer of the
known occupied sites
confirmed or presumed
extirpated.
Low condition (low resiliency).
Introgression only in a
portion of the unit.
Likely extirpated ...............
Confirmed introgression
throughout the unit.
Pupfish extant at 50% or
fewer of sites identified. Populations low
enough that fish are
not detected on 50%
or more visits to occupied locations.
N/A
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Water quantity
Stable and sufficient
water availability
throughout the unit.
Low flow or drying
events documented,
but no long-term drying
events recorded.
Occasional low flows or
drying events across
<50% of the unit with
rare long-term drying
events documented.
Routine low flows and
drying events across
the majority of the unit
and regular long-term
drying events.
N/A
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Water quality
Habitat diversity
No severe impairments
to water quality documented and no recorded contamination
events.
Unit has a diverse habitat
assemblage within the
unit (streams/river,
wetlands, and sinkholes).
Occasional water quality
impairments documented, likely linked to
low flows. No documented exposure to
surface contaminants.
Documented exposure to
surface contaminants
within much of the unit.
Fish restricted to just a
single habitat type
within the unit.
N/A
N/A.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 226 / Friday, November 22, 2024 / Proposed Rules
Fundamental to our analysis of the
Pecos pupfish was the determination of
scientifically sound analytical units at a
scale useful for assessing the species. As
there is little information available
regarding the demographic or genetic
processes that define the spatial
structure of Pecos pupfish populations,
we relied on spatial occurrence data to
define a suitable extent for our AUs.
Within each AU, we identified discrete
sites where Pecos pupfish have been
documented to occur during past
sampling and inventory efforts (Brooks
1992, entire; Hoagstrom and Brooks
1999, entire; National Heritage New
Mexico (NHNM) 2021, entire; GBIF
2022, entire). These sites represent the
documentation of at least one Pecos
pupfish at a specific location at a point
in time. Many of these sites have not
been routinely visited or have been
visited only once. Eleven sampling
locations representing nine sites have
been annually sampled (Hatt 2022, p. 5).
In some cases, such as sinkholes, these
sites are analogous to subpopulations. In
others, such as the Pecos River or BLM
Overflow Wetlands, the documented
sites represent only the accessible
portion of the habitat and likely do not
represent the entire population in the
area.
92755
Based on the available data and our
understanding of Pecos pupfish ecology,
we developed a basis for assigning a risk
category for each metric at the
population AU level (table 4). The risk
category reflects a qualitative
determination of the likelihood that the
species’ response to the conditions
described in each individual metric,
over the 20-year period following the
year 2023, would be extirpated from a
given population AU. This 20-year
timeframe correlates with
approximately 20 1-year generations,
which is near the maximum of the
presumed Pecos pupfish lifespan in the
wild.
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TABLE 4—QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE DESCRIPTIONS OF THE THREE RISK CATEGORIES USED IN THE RESILIENCY
ANALYSIS
Numerical
extirpation
risk estimate
Risk category
Analysis unit condition
Estimated chance of extirpation
for 20 years
Low risk ..........................................
High condition ...............................
Extirpation is very unlikely ............
<10%
Moderate risk ..................................
Moderate condition .......................
Extirpation is unlikely ....................
10–40%
High risk ..........................................
Low condition ................................
Extirpation risk ranges from being
about as likely as not to being
very likely.
We ranked and scored the individual
metrics as one (low), two (moderate) or
three (high), based on criteria described
in table 3, then combined them to
produce a categorical condition score
for each AU. We then averaged that
score across all four categories to
develop an overall unit score. For the
overall unit score, an average of greater
than 2.6 was considered high condition,
1.6 to 2.5 was considered moderate
condition, and 1.5 or less was
considered low condition. To aid in the
comparison of AUs (with each other and
under various future scenarios (see the
Future Condition section, below)) and
assess the species’ viability, we
categorized the final condition scores as
‘‘high’’ (population generally secure),
‘‘moderate’’ (population marginally
secure), or ‘‘low’’ (population generally
insecure). We based these categories
primarily on our understanding of Pecos
pupfish habitat needs, known stressors,
and the principles of conservation
biology. We acknowledge that there is
uncertainty associated with this model
and some of the supporting data;
however, the methodology is
appropriate for assessing the status of
the Pecos pupfish across its range given
the best available information.
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Resiliency
Unit 1: Upper Pecos River: Pecos
pupfish remain extant in the upper
Pecos River. Based on their preference
for slower, warmer, and more saline
conditions, and observations from
surveys conducted in support of other
routine fish monitoring, Pecos pupfish
are limited to specific areas within the
upper Pecos River channel and these
areas likely shift both spatially and
temporally. This situation is reflected in
data that show varying numbers of
Pecos pupfish in year-to-year sampling
and seem to indicate that, during
periods of drying, Pecos pupfish are
often more represented in samples
(Davenport 2023b, entire). Although it is
unclear if any particular site in the
upper Pecos River has been lost, the
highly variable nature of this river
section and shifting populations likely
means that sampling at the same site
will not always detect the Pecos
pupfish.
The upper Pecos River is subject to
regular severe low flows and
intermittent drying (Follansbee et al.
1915, p. 452; Hatch et al. 1985, p. 561;
Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6). Because
this situation threatens the persistence
of the federally threatened Pecos
bluntnose shiner, conservation
measures are in place by the BOR
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>40%
Threats characterization
Threats to pupfish needs are minimized or limited in spatial extent
within the unit.
Threats to pupfish needs are
widespread throughout the unit
but limited in duration or severity.
Threats to pupfish are severe and
pervasive throughout the unit.
through a biological opinion (under
section 7 of the Act) to minimize
intermittent drying. These measures
buffer the threat of river drying for
Pecos bluntnose shiner and, by
extension, Pecos pupfish. The entire
Pecos pupfish range in the Pecos River
has ongoing water quality concerns and
is considered impaired due to nutrient
loading, discharges from municipal
wastewater treatment plant discharges,
and livestock grazing (Llewellyn et al.
2021, pp. 28–29). The current condition
evaluation for the upper Pecos River
population determined that occurrence,
water quality, and habitat diversity are
in moderate condition, and water
quality is in low condition. Thus, the
Upper Pecos River population is
determined to be in overall moderate
current condition and has moderate
resiliency.
Unit 2: Salt Creek Wilderness: No
routine Pecos pupfish monitoring
occurs within the Salt Creek Wilderness
AU. Pecos pupfish remain extant in Salt
Creek (NM) and likely at three sinkholes
in the unit (Inkpot, Little Inkpot, and
New Sinkhole). A visit to Salt Creek
(NM) in February 2023 confirmed
presence of the pupfish but also
documented a mortality event of several
thousand mostly juvenile pupfish from
an undetermined cause (Jacobsen 2023,
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entire). Although Pecos pupfish remain
extant at several locations in the unit,
the habitat available within the unit is
small, so this stream unit may be subject
to mortality events. Pecos pupfish are
presumed to have been extirpated from
Pren’s Hole, though the cause is
unknown (Hatt 2019, p. 5). Pren’s Hole
seemingly was colonized by a flash
flood (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p.
16).
We have no recent data on water
quality or quantity within this unit from
the sinkholes or Salt Creek (NM).
Deeper sinkholes generally have stable
conditions, both in water quantity and
quality, and thus we assume that likely
holds true for the sinkholes in this unit
as pupfish need large populations and
room for expansion (Collyer et al. 2015,
p. 191). Salt Creek (NM) likely
experiences routine drying events
throughout the year, and concurrently
with those drying events, impairments
to temperature, dissolved oxygen, and
salinity.
Though the permanent water in both
stream and sinkhole aquatic
environments is supported by water
from the San Andres aquifer, the depth
of the sinkholes likely provides a more
stable long-term environment.
Conversely, Salt Creek (NM), although
more ephemeral, allows for Pecos
pupfish dispersal throughout the unit
and provides a potential connection to
the Pecos River. This diversity of habitat
helps buffer the unit against both
gradual environmental changes as well
as stochastic events, such as floods or
golden algae, that may impact a single
aquatic environment. The current
condition evaluation for the Salt Creek
Wilderness determined that habitat
diversity is in high condition, and
occurrence, water quality, and water
quantity are in moderate condition.
Thus, the Salt Creek Wilderness
population is determined to be in
overall moderate current condition and
has moderate resiliency.
Unit 3: Bitter Creek Drainage: Routine
monitoring occurs in Bitter Creek as
well as two of the sinkholes in the unit.
We extrapolated both formal and
informal monitoring data to the
remainder of the unit, and based on
habitat availability presumed the Pecos
pupfish remains extant at all
documented occupied sites in the unit.
There have been documented fish kills
on Bitter Creek, but routine monitoring
indicates that Pecos pupfish
populations in the creek remain extant,
though highly variable (Hatt 2021).
Water quality is routinely sampled,
and no impairments have been detected.
Much of the water in this unit is derived
from underground springs from the San
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Andres aquifer. This includes all of the
sinkholes as well as the springs that
feed Bitter Creek such as the Dragonfly
Spring and Lost River. The closest
monitoring well to this unit shows a
long-term stable water depth trend that
likely corresponds to stable spring flows
in the unit (Pecos Valley Artesian
Conservancy District (PVACD) 2023,
entire). The water in Bitter Creek is
supplemented by precipitation. Because
evaporation exceeds precipitation across
the Pecos River Basin, during drought
years, portions of Bitter Creek dry out
(Land 2003, p. 230).
Though the permanent water in both
the stream and sinkhole aquatic
environments is supported by water
from the San Andres aquifer, the depth
of the sinkholes likely provides a more
stable long-term environment. Bitter
Creek is supported by both seasonal
precipitation as well as spring flows
from Dragonfly Spring and the Lost
River. This diversity of habitat helps
buffer the unit against both gradual
environmental changes as well as
stochastic events, such as floods or
golden algae, that may impact a single
aquatic environment. The Bitter Creek
Drainage population’s current condition
evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quality, and habitat diversity are
in high condition, and water quality is
in moderate condition. Thus, the Bitter
Creek Drainage population is
determined to be in overall high current
condition and has high resiliency.
Unit 4: Bitter Creek Middle Tract
Wetlands: Pecos pupfish are routinely
monitored at three sites within the
Middle Tract Wetlands AU, however,
most of the impoundments listed as
occupied have not been surveyed in
decades (Hatt 2022, p. 5). Despite this
lack of data, we presume that the Pecos
pupfish remains extant at all
documented occupied sites in the unit,
due to both their connection to
occupied habitat and the absence of any
known mortality event. While Pecos
pupfish are not always detected at the
monitoring sites during consecutive
surveys, they have been shown to
remain extant within those sites (Hatt
2019, p. 5; Hatt 2022, p. 5).
This unit is composed of artificial
wetlands and ditches that are managed
by Bitter Lake NWR. The ditches are
spring fed and retain permanent water.
The wetland impoundments vary
widely in habitat extent, and while
many are likely to retain permanent
water in most years, given the variable
nature of the water in the
impoundments, the amount of habitat is
presumed to vary widely in any given
year, and may be extremely limited in
particularly dry years.
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There are no known water quality
impairments in the unit that would
impact the Pecos pupfish. When water
levels are low, the shallow
impoundments and wetlands in the unit
are subject to adverse water quality such
as increased temperature and salinity,
and decreased available dissolved
oxygen because water becomes lentic or
stagnant and soon evaporates.
Aquatic environments in this unit
area are a mix of manmade channels,
impoundments, and wetlands. While we
do not have data on how Pecos pupfish
move between these environments, the
diversity of habitats likely helps buffer
the Pecos pupfish from short-term
environmental changes such as drought,
provides ample sheltering and breeding
habitat, and provides protection from
stochastic events such as floods or
golden algae blooms. Thus, the Bitter
Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands
population’s current condition
evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quantity, water quality, and
habitat diversity are in overall high
current condition and the population
has high resiliency.
Unit 5: Bottomless Lakes State Park:
Pecos pupfish have been routinely
monitored at three sites in this AU and
are found exclusively in sinkhole
habitat. While Pecos pupfish were
confirmed extirpated from Upper Figure
8 Lake during the 2021 monitoring, they
remain extant throughout the remainder
of the known occupied sites within the
unit, including the adjacent Lower
Figure 8 Lake sinkhole (Hatt 2021, p. 7).
All of the Pecos pupfish sinkholes at
Bottomless Lakes State Park are fed by
springs from the San Andres artesian
aquifer (Land 2003, p. 229). Though
some historical lowering of sinkhole
levels has occurred, the recent trend is
an increase in surface water levels in the
sinkholes. Water levels in the sinkholes
appear to be closely related to the
overall fluctuation in water levels in the
artesian aquifer (Land 2003, p. 231). No
documented water contamination either
from surface sources or natural water
quality parameters has been recorded in
the unit. Although sinkholes may
exhibit more stable water quantity and
quality, a mortality event was
documented in 2020 in Upper Figure 8
Lake, which illustrates the susceptibility
of these habitats to stochastic events.
The Bottomless Lakes State Park
population’s current condition
evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quantity, and water quality are in
high condition, and habitat diversity is
in moderate condition. Thus, the
Bottomless Lakes State Park population
is in overall high current condition and
high resiliency.
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Unit 6: BLM Overflow Wetlands and
Lea Lake: Pecos pupfish in this unit are
surveyed in limited accessible areas of
the BLM Overflow Wetlands (Hatt 2022,
p. 2). Pecos pupfish are presumed extant
throughout the suitable habitat within
the wetland because installed fish
barriers protect the unit from
sheepshead minnow introgression
(Hoagstrom et al. 2015, p. 16).
Lea Lake typically exhibits stable
water quantity throughout the year
(Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 16). In
addition, wetland water is supplied by
several springs throughout the complex
as well as surface flows during
precipitation events. As a result of the
different sources of water, the extent of
aquatic habitat varies both seasonally
and annually. However, owing to the
constant source of water from Lea Lake,
as well as the springs in the complex,
permanent water remains in many
locations. Additionally, there are no
known water contamination issues in
this unit.
This unit contains a large wetland
complex and the largest sinkhole in
Bottomless Lakes State Park. This
sinkhole was not included in Unit 5 as
it is not hydrologically connected to the
other sinkholes in Unit 5 and is
hydrologically connected to the BLM
Overflow Wetlands. The habitat
diversity represented by these aquatic
environments provides a buffer from
stochastic events.
The BLM Overflow Wetlands AU is
the only other unit that has high
internal redundancy. Similar to the
Pecos River, the BLM Overflow
Wetlands provide a large area with
many microhabitats. This unit was
historically connected to the Pecos
River during high flows, but fish
barriers installed to protect the unit
from sheepshead minnow introgression
have limited this connection. The BLM
Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake
population’s current condition
evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quantity, and habitat diversity are
in high condition, and water quality is
in moderate condition. Thus, the BLM
Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake
population is in overall high current
condition and has high resilience.
Unit 7: Middle Pecos River: It is likely
that Pecos pupfish are extirpated from
the Pecos River between Brantley Dam
and Red Bluff Reservoir. Sheepshead
minnow are regularly caught between
Brantley Dam and Red Bluff Reservoir,
which indicates that they are present
throughout this segment of the Pecos
River system (Davenport 2023a, entire).
Additionally, the middle Pecos River
has regular issues with severe low flows
and intermittency, water quality
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impairments, and stochastic events
(Zymonas and Propst 2007, p. 45). The
middle Pecos River population’s current
condition evaluation determined that
water quantity and habitat diversity are
in moderate condition, and water
quality is in low condition. Due to the
presence of sheepshead minnow, the
middle Pecos River population is
considered extirpated.
Unit 8: Salt Creek (TX): Pecos pupfish
in Salt Creek (TX) are currently present
in only a single reach of the stream.
While the fish at this location are not
routinely monitored, a visit to this unit
in 2023 confirmed that fish are present
(Montagne 2023, p. 2). Pecos pupfish
from the lower reach of Salt Creek (TX),
near the confluence with the Pecos
River, were confirmed introgressed with
sheepshead minnow from the Pecos
River. An unidentified physical barrier
in the lower reaches of Salt Creek (TX)
appears to have limited the spread of
sheepshead minnow and introgressed
pupfish into the upper reaches that
comprise this AU (Echelle et al. 2003b,
pp. 4–6). The Salt Creek (TX)
population’s current condition
evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quantity, and habitat diversity are
in moderate condition, and water
quality is in low condition. Thus, the
Salt Creek (TX) population is in overall
moderate current condition and has
moderate resilience.
Unit 9: Lower Pecos River: Pecos
pupfish have been extirpated from the
lower Pecos River due to introgression
with the sheepshead minnow. The flow
of the lower Pecos River north of
Independence Creek is subject to
frequent and ongoing intermittency
issues, regularly experiencing no flow
events, especially during the irrigation
season and during periods of drought.
South of Independence Creek the
character of the river changes to one
with steeper bank and canyon and
permanent water flow. The water in this
unit has very high salinity and
increasing ongoing impacts from
contaminants (Hoagstrom 2009, pp. 35–
36). Hazardous material spills or leaks
associated with oil and gas production
are an ongoing problem in this unit and
may be increasing in both number and
frequency (Scanlon et al. 2020, p. 3511).
The lower Pecos River population’s
current condition evaluation
determined that water quantity and
habitat diversity are in moderate
condition, and water quality is in low
condition. Due to the presence of
sheepshead minnow, the lower Pecos
River population is considered
extirpated.
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Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a
species to withstand catastrophic events
by maintaining multiple, resilient
populations distributed (and connected,
as appropriate) within the species’
varied habitats and across the species’
range. We assessed Pecos pupfish
redundancy at two scales, within the
individual AUs and across the range of
the species. Within the analysis unit we
looked at connection both internal to
the unit and across adjacent units to
characterize the overall redundancy of a
unit. The overall redundancy of the unit
could not be higher than the lowest
internal or external redundancy score.
Important to the discussion of
redundancy in Pecos pupfish
populations is the consideration of
sheepshead minnow introgression.
While connectivity enhances
redundancy within and among AUs,
this same connectivity increases the
threat of sheepshead minnow
introgression. A well-connected Pecos
pupfish population is one that allows
for dispersal and recolonization but is
also one that is at increased risk of
introgression. Redundancy throughout
the species’ range, coupled with healthy
populations, may help lower the risk of
introgression. A healthy, robust Pecos
pupfish population may be more
resistant to introgression and, thus, less
likely to contribute to spread of hybrid
fish (Kodric-Brown and Rosenfield
2004, p. 122).
The Upper Pecos AU (Unit 1) is well
connected throughout its length and the
pattern of flow within the river likely
creates a variety of microhabitat sites
that are suitable for the Pecos pupfish.
The Upper Pecos is moderately
connected to adjacent off-channel units,
though only at times of high flow.
The Salt Creek Wilderness unit (Unit
2) is one of two units that are currently
connected to the Pecos River during
periods of high flow. In the Salt Creek
Wilderness unit, the connection to the
unit is limited to Salt Creek (NM) proper
where the Pecos pupfish may be found
in only one permanent pool in Salt
Creek (NM). Within this unit, Pecos
pupfish are distributed among several
sinkholes and in Salt Creek (NM); there
is no known, above-ground connection
between these areas.
Bitter Creek Drainage unit (Unit 3)
does not have any known connection to
adjacent AUs. Internally, many of the
occupied sites within the Bitter Creek
Drainage are isolated sinkholes. There is
connection along Bitter Creek and to the
springs that feed the creek; however,
there is no known connection between
the creek and adjacent sinkholes. It is
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also surmised that there may be some
underground connection between the
springs in the Dragonfly Spring sinkhole
area (Land and Huff 2009, p. 20). It is
currently unknown how extensive this
connection is (if at all) or if a Pecos
pupfish would be able to move between
sinkholes underground.
The Middle Tract unit (Unit 4) is
connected to the Upper Pecos at the
southern end of the unit during periods
of high flow. While pupfish are likely
widely distributed within the Middle
Tract unit, connection among the
different occupied sites is managed
through a series of diversions and
manmade impoundments. Water flow
through the unit is generally north to
south, and when the gates between the
impoundments are open, flow is likely
too great to allow Pecos pupfish to move
up the current.
The Bottomless Lakes State Park unit
(Unit 5) does not have any known
connection to adjacent AUs and is fully
isolated from all other AUs.
The BLM Overflow Wetlands unit
(Unit 6) is the only other unit that has
high internal redundancy. Similar to the
Pecos River, the Overflow Wetlands
provide a large area with many
microhabitats. This unit was historically
connected to the Pecos River during
high flows, but fish barriers installed to
protect the unit from sheepshead
minnow introgression have limited this
connection.
Salt Creek (TX) unit (Unit 8) is
directly connected to the lower Pecos
River. There is a presumed natural
barrier within Salt Creek (TX) upstream
from the confluence that moderates this
connectivity. The barrier has allowed
non-introgressed Pecos pupfish to
remain extant in the upper reaches of
Salt Creek (TX) despite the presence of
an introgressed population downstream.
It is currently unknown how many
extant sites are found in the upper areas
of Salt Creek (TX), but the connection
between them likely varies seasonally
with the amount of water in the creek.
We did not analyze the redundancy in
the middle or lower Pecos River units
(AUs 7 and 9), as the Pecos pupfish
populations there are considered to be
extirpated.
Representation
Representation describes the ability of
a species to adapt to changing
environmental conditions over time and
is characterized by the breadth of
genetic and environmental diversity
within and among populations. As
previously discussed, Pecos pupfish are
known from a variety of different
aquatic environmental settings and
show specific morphological variation
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related to these environmental settings.
Populations have been documented in
sinkholes, streams, marshes, managed
wetlands, and rivers with varying
physical characteristics (i.e., size,
gradient, elevation, temperature, etc.).
Although some limited genetic
analysis has been done on the Pecos
pupfish that indicated potential
geographic structure to Pecos pupfish
populations, research cautioned against
a rigorous application of the results
since the divergence was minor (Echelle
and Echelle 2007, p. 7). More recent
research has shown differences between
Pecos pupfish populations among the
samples from Bitter Lake NWR,
Bottomless Lakes State Park, and the
BLM Overflow Wetlands (Whiteley
2023, entire), and morphological
divergence in Pecos pupfish
populations that corresponded to
differing habitat use (Collyer et al. 2015,
p. 187; Xu 2017, p. 22). While there are
no studies that directly relates
morphological differences in Pecos
pupfish to genetic differentiation, the
best available information suggests that
including a range of aquatic
environments (i.e., habitat diversity)
represents much of the current diversity
of the Pecos pupfish species (Echelle
and Echelle 2007, p. 7; Collyer et al.
2015, p. 187; Xu 2017, p. 22; Whiteley
2023, entire). Therefore, we are using
environmental setting as a surrogate for
genetics to measure representation.
Currently, the Pecos pupfish is found
within nearly all of the historically
occupied environmental settings but is
considered extirpated from the Pecos
River in southern New Mexico and
northwestern Texas and is likely
extirpated from several off-channel
locations in that same region. However,
the upper Pecos River, the only
remaining riverine AU, has moderate
resiliency, which reflects a potential
increase in the loss of representation of
riverine Pecos pupfish in New Mexico.
The only remaining extant AU in Texas
also has moderate resiliency, which
presents a risk to representation of
Pecos pupfish in Texas. Pecos pupfish
have likely experienced some reduction
in representation as a result of the large
range reduction following extirpations
from the Pecos River and off-channel
locations in Texas and southern New
Mexico.
Assessment of Current Viability
The Pecos pupfish is currently
distributed across seven of nine AUs
covering the historical range. Within
those seven AUs, four were assessed to
be in high resiliency condition and
three in moderate condition. Across the
range of the species, we identified 66
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distinct locations (sites) where Pecos
pupfish have been recorded since 1992.
As of 2023, 8 (12.1 percent) of these 66
sites are confirmed or presumed
extirpated and four are in unknown
status. The remaining 54 sites (81.2
percent) are extant or presumed extant.
Twenty-one sites (31.8 percent) have
been confirmed as extant within the last
5 years. This does not consider losses
that may have occurred before the first
comprehensive range-wide surveys
occurred in 1999 (Hoagstrom and
Brooks 1999, entire). There has been a
large decline in the extent of the
occupied range because of the
extirpation of Pecos pupfish from their
historical range in the Pecos River
below Brantley Dam (southern New
Mexico and Texas). Pecos pupfish were
historically found in riverine, stream,
wetland, and sinkhole habitats and
currently continue to be recorded in all
of these habitats. Because of the
reduction in the range caused by the
extirpation of Pecos pupfish from a large
section of the Pecos River, the species
has experienced a reduction in both
redundancy and representation.
However, we do not have the data on
the historical size of the Pecos pupfish
population in the Pecos River or the
genetic relationship between this
population and others to adequately
assess the relative importance of this
population to the species. Regardless,
the species has four populations in high
condition, three in moderate condition,
and none in low condition. These
populations are well distributed
throughout the range and among habitat
types.
Although there is uncertainty
surrounding the demography of
differing Pecos pupfish populations and
their genetic relationships, data suggests
that the Pecos pupfish still occurs in
multiple populations representing the
historical range of habitat variation for
the species. Though declines in range
extent and, likely, population size have
occurred, 11 years of monitoring data
suggest that the Pecos pupfish continues
to have multiple, long-term persistent
populations throughout its range.
Future Condition
Using the same methods described for
Current Condition, we assessed viability
of the Pecos pupfish under three future
scenarios at two timesteps, years 2050
and 2100, consistent with the best
available information (Service 2024, pp.
76–102). Each scenario focused on a
different climate projection for the
Pecos River Basin, because changing
climate conditions will affect the Pecos
pupfish’s required water quality and
quantity parameters. We also assessed
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the risk of sheepshead minnow
introgression into other parts of the
species’ range.
Although development such as
urbanization, agriculture, and oil and
gas extraction may have local effects on
some Pecos pupfish sites, we do not
expect substantial effects from these
sources at the species or AU level. The
exception to this situation is the
potential for oil and gas development in
the vicinity of Salt Creek (TX) to cause
significant variation in stream flow. Oil
and gas development in this area is
expected to increase as energy demands
are needed with increased human
development (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp.
81, 163, 171). While we do not have
ongoing monitoring on Salt Creek (TX),
stream gauges on the Black River in
New Mexico have shown a direct
correlation between oil and gas
activities and reductions in stream flow,
which provides relevant context for how
Salt Creek (TX) may be impacted.
Water availability in the Pecos River
is influenced by a variety of factors
including human development,
primarily agriculture (see Loss and
Decline of Surface and Groundwater
above). However, this river is currently
managed for multiple uses, including
endangered species conservation, and
future human water use from the river
is not expected to substantially increase
in the future. Given these factors, we
find that the most important abiotic
factors affecting Pecos pupfish viability
will result from potential changes in
water availability resulting from
changing climatic conditions.
The most important biotic factor is the
potential for hybridization and genetic
introgression by sheepshead minnow. If
sheepshead minnow gain access to the
upper Pecos River, the Salt Creek
Wilderness and Middle Tract Wetlands
AUs are most at risk of introgression
because they are both connected
hydrologically to the Pecos River during
flooding events, thus allowing for
potential movement of sheepshead
minnow into these off-channel habitats.
In the case of the Salt Creek Wilderness,
only Salt Creek (NM) itself is vulnerable
to sheepshead minnow invasion, as the
isolated sink holes in that AU are not
likely to be inundated during Pecos
River flooding events. Because of the
managed nature of the Middle Tract
Wetlands by the Bitter Lake NWR staff
and the existence of numerous water
control structures that can reduce
opportunities for fish movement, the
vulnerability within the unit decreases
with distance from the Pecos River.
Managed water flows, manmade
barriers, and direct human intervention
would likely be employed to manage the
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spread of sheepshead minnow
throughout the unit if the species were
to gain access to the upper Pecos River.
The lower portion of Salt Creek (TX) is
already introgressed with sheepshead
minnow, although some upstream
portions of the stream have maintained
non-introgressed pupfish. However,
there is no clear barrier preventing
additional upstream movement, so we
assume the risk of introgression remains
high there. The remaining three units
adjacent to the Pecos River (Bitter Creek
Drainage, Bottomless Lakes State Park,
and the isolated sinkholes with the Salt
Creek Wilderness) have either manmade
or natural barriers that would prevent or
minimize the chance of the spread of
sheepshead minnow from the Pecos
River into these units resulting in low
introgression risk.
The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change uses representative
concentration pathways (RCPs) in
climate change scenarios to project
future concentrations of greenhouse
gases (IPPC 2014, entire). Among the
RCPs, the higher values mean higher
greenhouse gas emissions and therefore
higher global surface temperatures and
more pronounced effects of climate
change.
To assess potential future conditions
for the Pecos pupfish, we utilized
results from a study that developed
projections of future water management
and hydrologic conditions to assess
future water availability across the
Pecos River Basin in New Mexico
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, entire) and
selected three scenarios to represent the
variability of potential future conditions
that could impact the Pecos pupfish and
its habitat:
• Scenario 1: Hot and dry (RCP 8.5)—
Steep increase in annual average
temperature coupled with steep
decreases in annual precipitation.
• Scenario 2: Hot and wet (RCP 8.5)—
Steep increase in annual average
temperature coupled with an increase in
annual average precipitation.
• Scenario 3: Warm and dry (RCP
4.5)—Modest increase in annual average
temperature and modest decrease in
annual average precipitation.
For each of the scenarios we assumed
that the Pecos Pupfish Conservation
Agreement will remain active, and the
signatory agencies will continue
monitoring the biological condition of
the species and working to prevent
spread of sheepshead minnow
(Conservation Team 2022, p. 3).
Assumptions and Limitations
As with any analysis, we made many
assumptions that have consequences for
our projections and interpretation of
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Pecos pupfish viability. First, we only
used occurrence data starting in 1992 as
the basis for our analysis. This was the
first published range-wide survey of the
Pecos pupfish and therefore provided
the most comprehensive data set on
Pecos pupfish occurrence. Sites that
were only recorded prior to 1992 were
excluded from our analysis but were
included in the overall picture of
historical distribution.
We were unable to locate information
on thresholds or water body sizes that
equate to an increase in extirpation risk
specifically for Pecos pupfish. It is
logical to assume populations that
occupy smaller and shallower habitats
are less resilient, but there are no clear
thresholds in the literature at which the
size raises extinction risk. We also did
not find any specific thresholds for
water quality impacts to Pecos pupfish
populations that equate to a specific
extirpation risk. Pupfish, including the
Pecos pupfish, are known for their
tolerance for water quality conditions
that inhibit the fecundity and survival
of other fish. We assumed that
populations experiencing long-term
high temperatures or elevated salinity
are less resilient, but there are no clear
thresholds at which this long-term
exposure raises extirpation risk. Thus,
our categorization methodology may
over- or under-estimate resiliency of
populations depending on the actual
biological thresholds.
A critical assumption is that the
primary stressors we identified,
sheepshead minnow presence, and
water quality and quantity alteration
that leads to habitat loss and
fragmentation, which are exacerbated
due to climate change, are the primary
threats to the species’ long-term
viability. Although land use practices
and development have impacted the
species historically, given the current
distribution of Pecos pupfish
populations, we anticipate that these
activities would not have a large future
impact.
In order to characterize sheepshead
minnow introgression into the future,
we separately assessed this stressor.
This stressor is a low probability, high
consequence event where, if the event
occurs, a population could be extirpated
or highly degraded. The future scenarios
included climate effects but assumed no
change in sheepshead minnow
presence. Both the climate change
scenarios and the risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression should be
considered when assessing the status of
the species.
Another assumption in this SSA
regards the role of conservation in
future viability of the Pecos pupfish.
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With the current conservation
agreement in place, the Conservation
Team has been proactive in supporting
the species. We incorporated these
efforts into several aspects of our
analysis, such as our evaluation of the
probability of current Pecos pupfish
populations being invaded by
nonnatives, taking into consideration
conservation measures to prevent such
invasion. However, we did not
incorporate water conservation efforts
into our future projects. While past
water conservation, particularly in the
PVACD, has had beneficial impacts to
groundwater supply within the range of
the Pecos pupfish, we were uncertain of
the direct link between these measures
and Pecos pupfish habitat. Based on
this, we assume that water conservation
efforts that maintain current aquifer
levels, or limit future declines could
improve resilience of Pecos pupfish
populations. However, because both the
implementation and success of any
water conservation efforts and response
of Pecos pupfish habitat to changing
aquifer levels is unknown, were unable
to incorporate this into our analysis.
Surface Temperature
Average annual surface temperatures
as well as the incidence of extreme heat
events are projected to increase across
the entirety of the Southwest including
the Pecos Basin (Vose et al. 2017,
entire). Within the Pecos Basin, average
surface temperatures could increase by
as much as 13.32 °F (¥10.4 °C) to an
average surface temperature in excess of
70 °F (21.1 °C).
As temperatures increase across the
region, we anticipate a corresponding
increase in evapotranspiration rates.
Both temperature and
evapotranspiration rates can have
negative effects on Pecos pupfish and
their habitat. Increasing temperatures
increase the risk of golden algae blooms
as well as increasing the chances that
shallow habitat could exceed the
thermal tolerance of Pecos pupfish.
Greater evapotranspiration leads to
lowering of water levels with the
potential for corresponding increases in
salinity and water temperatures and
lowered dissolved oxygen. Lowered
water levels also may lead to a
reduction in the overall habitat available
to Pecos pupfish along with the
potential of the complete loss of water
in shallow aquatic environments.
overall projected changes to
precipitation in the Pecos River Basin.
Though generally models predict a
drying trend across the Pecos Basin,
under certain RCP 8.5 conditions,
monsoon moisture increases, leading to
an increase in average annual
precipitation. Under both RCP 4.5 and
RCP 8.5 scenarios, snowpack in the
headwater of the Pecos River decreases
with a corresponding earlier snowmelt
runoff (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 191).
Though precipitation changes could
potentially reduce flows into the San
Andres aquifer from the Sacramento
Mountains, the effect of lower snowpack
and runoff will likely be most impactful
to the Pecos River.
The level of the San Andres aquifer
likely directly impacts the water sources
for most non-riverine Pecos pupfish
habitats, except for those in Salt Creek
(TX) (Land 2003, p. 228). Although we
do not know the exact relationship
between aquifer levels and the springs
that provide flows to sinkholes,
wetlands, and streams that provide
Pecos pupfish habitat, we can infer that
changes to the aquifer level will likely
produce a corresponding change in
spring flows. Levels in the San Andres
aquifer are influenced by the amount of
historical water in the aquifer and
current inputs (Land and Huff 2009, p.
20) as well as pumping by users in the
PVACD.
Precipitation and Aquifer Levels
Precipitation changes related to
climate change are more variable and
less certain than those changes
projected for temperature. In the
Southwest, the occurrence of seasonal
monsoons complicates the picture for
In this scenario, both temperature and
annual precipitation increase
throughout the Pecos River Basin.
Increased temperatures retain more
moisture in the atmosphere leading to
increased monsoons. This scenario is
more seasonally variable, with sharply
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Future Scenarios
Scenario 1—Hot and Dry (RCP 8.5)
In this scenario, future annual air
temperature increases slightly, and
annual precipitation decreases
throughout the Pecos River Basin.
Though temperatures increase in all
seasons, summer and autumn
temperatures are predicted to increase
more than winter and spring
temperatures. By 2100 (and likely much
sooner), conditions in the Pecos River
Basin would be much drier than the
historical average. Precipitation would
be greatly decreased in all seasons,
though decreases would be most
extreme during the monsoon season.
Runoff inflow into the Pecos River Basin
will decrease across every season, and
the inflow that will occur is anticipated
to be the result of very few large storm
events (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 105).
Scenario 2—Hot and Wet (RCP 8.5)
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increased inflow during the monsoon
season and a steep decrease of inflow
during the spring runoff. In this
scenario, spring and summer
temperatures increase more rapidly than
fall and winter temperatures. While
precipitation decreases during winter
and spring, precipitation increases
during the summer and autumn
monsoon season, leading to an overall
increase in precipitation within the
Pecos River Basin. As a result of
decreased winter precipitation, spring
runoff is anticipated to decrease.
However, a large increase in monsoon
flows make up for the spring runoff
decrease (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp.
105–106).
Scenario 3—Warm and Dry (RCP 4.5)
This scenario anticipates the smallest
changes to temperature and
precipitation of the three scenarios. By
2100, this scenario predicts slightly
higher average temperatures and a
slightly dryer climate. Importantly,
summer and fall temperatures are
anticipated to increase almost twice as
much as winter and spring temperatures
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 101).
Future Condition Projections
Using the projections for temperature,
precipitation, and San Andres aquifer
under the three scenarios outlined
above, we then predicted the potential
range of outcomes these scenarios could
have on the Pecos pupfish. Future
conditions were analyzed for each
resiliency metric and summarized for
each unit (Service 2024, appendix C,
entire).
Scenario 1—Hot and Dry (RCP 8.5)
This scenario forecasts extreme drying
and higher temperatures across the
Pecos River Basin. A decrease in
precipitation across the basin along with
increased air temperatures and overall
drying trends is projected to lead to
decreases in stream flow, spring output,
and potentially a lowering of the aquifer
that supports wetland and sinkhole
habitats for the pupfish. Although the
Pecos River is managed for flows that
support endangered species such as the
Pecos bluntnose shiner, decreasing
precipitation will lead to an increase in
drying days, impeding the ability of the
upstream storage to deliver reliable
water to both downstream users and
retain adequate flow in the Pecos River
and. Higher temperatures, particularly
during the summer, will lead to an
increase in water needs and increased
groundwater pumping by agriculture in
the PVACD. Higher temperatures also
increase evaporative loss from water
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bodies and could lead to decreases in
habitats available for the pupfish.
This scenario will have some negative
effects on all Pecos pupfish AUs. The
most severe impacts are anticipated to
be to small streams. Salt Creek (TX), Salt
Creek (NM), and Bitter Creek are all
projected to dry and cease flowing
during the hottest parts of the year
leading to local fish kills, or in the case
of Salt Creek (TX), possibly the loss of
all habitats in the AU. All of these
creeks currently experience intermittent
drying events, and lower precipitation
and increased temperatures in the future
will exacerbate this existing condition
that stresses these habitats. Wetland
areas such as the BLM Overflow
Wetlands and the managed wetlands on
Bitter Lake NWR are also anticipated to
be significantly impacted in this
scenario. At the 2050 timestep, given
the climate projections, habitat
conditions are projected to be similar to
current conditions with minimal
changes to most aquatic environments,
with the exception of small streams that
are already experiencing impacts from
warming and drying temperatures. By
2100, significant degradation to Pecos
pupfish habitat and a decline in its
distribution are expected. Shallow
streams will likely no longer support
permanent water leading to the loss of
fish in Bitter Creek, Salt Creek (NM),
and Salt Creek (TX), which would mean
the extirpation of Pecos pupfish from
Texas. Habitat extent in wetland
habitats in the BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Middle Tract on Bitter Lake NWR
will be greatly reduced, and pupfish
would be expected to persist only in
deeper channels or near springs.
Historically, the San Andres aquifer
has been resilient and rebounded after
extended drought (Land and Newton
2008, pp. 189–190). However, the
conditions under this scenario, RCP 8.5,
at 2100 will be much hotter and drier
than the historical average and are
expected to lead to unprecedented
conditions in aquifer levels and surface
water quality and quantity. Across the
range of the Pecos pupfish, we
anticipate substantial increases in
salinity as a result of increased
evapotranspiration. Although Pecos
pupfish can tolerate higher salinity
levels than most fish, significant salinity
impairment (salinities greater than
35,000 mg/L) could lead to a reduction
in suitable conditions for breeding.
Increasing surface temperatures will
lead to an increase in water
temperatures and likely lowered
dissolved oxygen saturation. This will
be particularly pronounced in shallow
habitat such as streams and wetlands. A
substantial reduction in the aquifer level
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would reduce the outflow of springs
leading to a loss of fish in habitats that
rely on steady, perennial spring flow
and a reduction (or elimination) of
available habitat in shallower sinkholes.
Additionally, the increasing
temperature and evaporation could
cause shallower habitats to exceed the
thermal and saline tolerances of the
Pecos pupfish. Consequently, we
anticipate a reduction in both the
number, extent, and population sizes of
extant sites in sinkhole units. Finally,
we anticipate greatly reduced flows in
the Pecos River under this scenario.
While reduced flows in the Pecos River
have the potential to benefit the pupfish
on a seasonal basis, long-term drying
events will lead to the disconnection of
occupied sites and increased
impairment of water quality.
Given these assumed future changes
in the environment, by 2050, three AUs
(Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract
Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes State Park,
and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea
Lake) are projected to remain in high
condition, three units (Upper Pecos
River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and Bitter
Creek Drainage) are in moderate
condition, and one unit (Salt Creek
(TX)) is in low condition (Service 2024,
p. 83). At 2100, only one AU
(Bottomless Lakes State Park) is in high
condition, four units (Upper Pecos
River, Bitter Creek Drainage, Bitter Lake
NWR Middle Tract Wetlands, and BLM
Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake) are in
moderate condition, one unit (Salt Creek
Wilderness) is in low condition, and
one AU (Salt Creek (TX)) is extirpated.
Although habitat conditions are
expected to generally decline across the
range, the Bottomless Lakes State Park
AU is anticipated to remain in high
condition because the sinkhole habitats
there are expected to be less affected by
potential aquifer declines. While only
two units (Bitter Creek Drainage and
Salt Creek (TX)) experience declines
from current condition at 2050, by 2100
all units except Bottomless Lakes State
Park experience declines from current
condition.
Scenario 2—Hot and Wet (RCP 8.5)
This scenario forecasts a significantly
higher average annual surface
temperature across the Pecos River
Basin. Unlike Scenario 1, higher
summer temperatures result in more
moisture in the atmosphere,
consequently leading to an increase in
precipitation during the summer
monsoon season (June–September).
Overall higher surface temperatures will
lead to similar outcomes as described
under Scenario 1, such as water quality
impairment, and reduction in habitat
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extent. However, the predicted
increased monsoons may buffer some
systems from the most severe impacts of
increasing average temperatures.
As with Scenario 1, the small streams
are most likely to experience the most
severe adverse impacts from increasing
annual temperatures. These aquatic
environments will likely experience
more drying events and subsequent
impairments to salinity, water
temperatures, and dissolved oxygen. At
the 2050 timestep, conditions appear
similar to current conditions throughout
much of the Pecos pupfish range.
However, small streams will likely stop
flowing during the hottest parts of the
year, leading to local fish kills, or in the
case of Salt Creek (TX), possibly the loss
of all habitats in the AU. By 2100, rising
annual temperatures may eliminate
year-round stream flow in all but the
wettest years. Consequently, we
anticipate the loss of the Pecos pupfish
population at Salt Creek (TX) and a
reduction in occupied sites in Bitter
Creek and the Salt Creek Wilderness.
Increased temperatures will have an
impact on shallower wetlands in the
BLM Overflow Wetlands and Bitter Lake
NWR Middle Tract Wetlands. Prolonged
extreme air temperatures can adversely
impact water quality and could result in
decreased fitness, hinder breeding, or
lead to fish kills. Sinkholes are the most
stable environment for the Pecos
pupfish, and this is unlikely to change
in this scenario. The San Andres aquifer
responds quickly to precipitation
inputs, and an increase in monsoon
season precipitation will likely prevent
significant declines in sinkhole water
levels.
Given these assumed future changes
in the environment, at 2050, three units
(Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract
Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes State Park,
and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea
Lake) are projected to remain in high
condition, three units (Upper Pacos
River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and Bitter
Creek Drainage) are in moderate
condition, one unit (Salt Creek (TX)) is
in low condition, and two units (Middle
Pecos River and Lower Pecos River)
remain extirpated. Under this scenario,
only two units (Bitter Creek Drainage
and Salt Creek (TX)) experience a
decrease from current condition. At
2100, two units (Bottomless Lakes State
Park and BLM Overflow Wetlands and
Lea Lake) are in high condition, three
units (Upper Pecos River, Bitter Creek
Drainage, and Bitter Lake NWR Middle
Tract Wetlands) are in moderate
condition, one unit (Salt Creek
Wilderness) is in low condition, and
three units (Middle Pecos River, Salt
Creek (TX), and Lower Pecos River) are
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extirpated, with all units except Upper
Pecos River, Bottomless Lakes State
Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands and
Lea Lake experiencing a decrease from
current condition.
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Scenario 3—Warm and Dry (RCP 4.5)
This scenario forecasts a minimal
increase in yearly average temperatures
and a minimal decrease in precipitation
across the basin. Even minimal
decreases in precipitation could have
consequences for shallow streams in
several units (Salt Creek Wilderness,
Bitter Creek Drainage, and Salt Creek
(TX)). Like the prior scenarios, the 2050
time step appears fairly similar to
current condition. By 2100, small
streams are likely experiencing
increased water stress, and in dry years
likely most of the stream environments
will be dry. However, under this
scenario, we anticipate minimal impacts
to groundwater resources and thus
minimal impacts to sinkhole, spring fed,
and river habitats.
At 2050, four units (Bitter Creek
Drainage, Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract
Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes State Park,
and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea
Lake) are projected to be in high
condition, and three units (Upper Pecos
River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and Salt
Creek (TX)) are in moderate condition,
and two units (Middle Pecos River and
Lower Pecos River) are extirpated. At
2100, three units (Bitter Lake NWR
Middle Tract Wetlands, Bottomless
Lakes State Park, and BLM Overflow
Wetlands and Lea Lake) are projected to
be in high condition, three units (Upper
Pecos River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and
Bitter Creek Drainage) are in moderate
condition, one unit (Salt Creek (TX)) is
in low condition, and two units (Middle
Pecos River and Lower Pecos River) are
extirpated. In Scenario 3, no units
experience decreases from current
condition at 2050; however, at 2100 two
units (Bitter Creek Drainage and Salt
Creek (TX)) experience decreases from
current condition.
Sheepshead Minnow
Along with the three scenarios
described above, we also considered the
risk of sheepshead minnow
introgression into the different AUs.
Because sheepshead minnow are often
used as bait fish, the most likely path for
the sheepshead minnow to move into
units existing with non-introgressed
Pecos pupfish populations is through a
bait bucket transfer into the Pecos River
upstream of Brantley Reservoir. Based
on data collected from the lower Pecos
River, this scenario would be highly
likely to result in the introgression of
the entire population of Pecos pupfish
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in the Pecos River (Unit 1, Upper Pecos
River) (Whiteley 2023, p. 2). Bait bucket
transfers are highly unlikely to occur in
any of the other AUs, as these units are
generally either well controlled or do
not contain game fish species. As such,
the most likely route for sheepshead
minnow introgression into other AUs
would be natural movement of
sheepshead minnow from the Upper
Pecos River AU, if they gained access
there.
The AUs most at risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression from the upper
Pecos River are the Salt Creek
Wilderness and Middle Tract Wetlands,
which are both connected
hydrologically to the upper Pecos River
during flooding events, allowing for
potential movement of sheepshead
minnow into these off-channel habitats.
In the case of the Salt Creek Wilderness,
only Salt Creek (NM) itself is vulnerable
to sheepshead minnow invasion, as the
isolated sink holes in that AU are not
likely to be inundated during Pecos
River flooding events. Because of the
managed nature of the Middle Tract
Wetlands by the Bitter Lake NWR staff
and the existence of numerous water
control structures that can reduce
opportunities for fish movement, the
vulnerability within the unit decreases
with distance from the Pecos River.
Managed water flows, manmade
barriers, and direct human intervention
would likely be employed to manage the
spread of sheepshead minnow
throughout the unit if the species were
to gain access to the Upper Pecos River.
The lower portion of Salt Creek (TX) is
already introgressed with sheepshead
minnow; however, despite the lack of a
clear barrier preventing upstream
movement, upstream portions of the
stream have maintained nonintrogressed pupfish. Because we
cannot identify a barrier, we assume the
risk of introgression remains high. The
remaining three units adjacent to the
Pecos River (Salt Creek Wilderness,
Bitter Creek Drainage, and Bottomless
Lakes State Park) have either manmade
or natural barriers that would prevent or
minimize the chance of the spread of
sheepshead minnow from the Pecos
River into these units, resulting in low
introgression risk.
Assessment of Future Viability
We considered what the Pecos
pupfish needs to maintain viability and
characterized the status of the species in
terms of its resiliency, redundancy, and
representation. For the purpose of this
assessment, we define viability as the
ability of the species to sustain
populations in natural ecosystems
within a biologically meaningful
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timeframe: in this case, out to 2100. We
chose 2100 because we have
information to reasonably project the
potential significant effects of stressors
within the range of the Pecos pupfish
within this timeframe. Based on the
Pecos pupfish life history and habitat
needs, and in consultation with the
species’ experts, we identified the
potential stressors (negative influences),
and the contributing sources of those
stressors, that are likely to affect the
species’ future viability. We then
evaluated how these potential future
stressors would interact with current
stressors, and how, and to what extent
they would affect the species in the
future. Based on the best available
information, we believe the two largest
influences on the future viability of the
Pecos pupfish are the potential of
introgression with sheepshead minnow
and climate change-driven impacts to
water quantity, water quality, and loss
of habitat diversity. While water
pollution and human development
(particularly agricultural and oil and gas
development) activities have likely
influenced the species’ current
condition and may affect some areas
(Salt Creek (TX)) in the future, we found
that the changing climate and the
related effects to water availability to
sustain habitats has, and will continue
to have, the greatest influence on the
status of the Pecos pupfish. Sheepshead
minnow introduction, while much less
predictable, does have the potential to
impact Pecos pupfish populations above
Brantley Dam should an introduction
occur.
We note that, by using the SSA
framework to guide our analysis of the
scientific information documented in
the SSA report, we have analyzed the
cumulative effects of identified threats
and conservation actions on the species.
To assess the current and future
condition of the species, we evaluate the
effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species,
including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework
considers not just the presence of the
factors, but to what degree they
collectively influence risk to the entire
species, our assessment integrates the
cumulative effects of the factors and
replaces a standalone cumulative-effects
analysis.
Determination of Pecos Pupfish Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of an endangered species
or a threatened species. The Act defines
an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a species in
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danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, and a
‘‘threatened species’’ as a species likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range. The
Act requires that we determine whether
a species meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
Our assessment of best available
information indicates that currently two
of the nine known Pecos pupfish
populations have been extirpated, and
three others are in moderate condition.
The majority of known occupied Pecos
pupfish sites are within the other five
units around Bitter Lake NWR and
Bottomless Lakes State Park in New
Mexico (AUs 2–6). Within these units,
four were found to be in high condition
and one in moderate condition,
indicating that multiple areas across the
species’ core range have high resiliency.
The small Salt Creek AU in Texas is
currently in moderate condition. This
unit is disconnected from the remainder
of the species’ range in New Mexico,
providing some redundancy in
maintaining a relatively large
geographic range. The two large units of
the Lower and Middle Pecos River have
been previously extirpated due to the
introgression of the sheepshead
minnow. Loss of these parts of the range
represent a significant reduction in the
overall range and redundancy for the
species and loss of a large segment of
the riverine habitats historically
available to the species. The riverine
habitats continue to be represented by
the Upper Pecos River Unit.
Under all three plausible future
scenarios, species condition would be
reduced by 2100. In the hottest and
driest scenario (Scenario 1), shallow
streams are likely to be lost, leading to
the extirpation of Pecos pupfish in Salt
Creek (TX) and a reduction in
redundancy and representation in the
Salt Creek Wilderness and Bitter Creek
Drainage units. Deeper sinkholes and
wetlands are more stable and are
expected to maintain suitable
conditions for the Pecos pupfish under
all scenarios. However, units such as
Bitter Creek Drainage, Middle Tract, and
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BLM Overflow Wetlands are more
vulnerable to losses in redundancy in
Scenario 1 due to susceptibility to
habitat losses from future drying
climatic conditions. The Pecos River
may also be unable to sustain yearround flows under conditions predicted
in Scenario 1. The increased stream
flows from projected increase in
monsoons in Scenario 2 help maintain
sinkhole habitats throughout the range
of the Pecos pupfish, and to a lesser
extent, likely may buffer wetland
habitats from the most severe impacts of
increased temperatures. However, small
streams are likely still at elevated risk of
being lost or experiencing long-term
drying or mortality events. Finally, in
the mildest future climate scenario
(Scenario 3), further effects to most
habitat (wetlands, sinkholes, and
riverine) are anticipated to be minimal.
However, like the other two scenarios,
shallow streams likely will experience
drying and mortality events.
Under all three scenarios, we
anticipate some reductions to resilience,
redundance, and representation.
Although some additional changes to
Pecos pupfish status are projected to
occur by 2050, we anticipate that
measurable changes to viability will be
more apparent by 2100. The resilience
of the aquifer to small year-to-year
variation and the adaptability of the
Pecos pupfish to variable habitat
conditions will likely offset some of the
climate changes through 2050. Under all
scenarios, at least one AU remains in
high condition. Under both Scenarios 1
and 2, Pecos pupfish are projected to be
extirpated from Salt Creek (TX),
eliminating the only population outside
of New Mexico that has been described
as genetically different from the core
populations in New Mexico. Pecos
pupfish experience most losses of
known occupied sites under Scenario 1,
though losses would be likely to occur
under scenarios 2 and 3 as well.
Bottomless Lakes State Park remains the
only AU that would be in high
condition under all three scenarios.
Concurrent with the effects of climate
change is the risk of expansion of
sheepshead minnow and subsequent
hybridization with Pecos pupfish. Salt
Creek (TX) is already at high risk of loss
due to sheepshead minnow
introgression. The Upper Pecos River is
currently highly vulnerable to
sheepshead minnow introduction via a
bait bucket transfer. Should this
introduction occur, non-introgressed
Pecos pupfish would likely be
extirpated from this unit, and, as a
consequence there would be no
remaining Pecos pupfish in the Pecos
River. This would also increase the
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potential for sheepshead minnow
invasion into portions of the Salt Creek
Wilderness, the Middle Tract Wetlands,
and possibly the Overflow Wetlands
units.
The Pecos Pupfish Conservation
Agreement will continue to provide
guidance for agencies and partners
working toward Pecos pupfish
conservation through several means.
First, the monitoring outlined in the
conservation agreement will provide a
long-term data set on the persistence of
Pecos pupfish and, as methods are
refined, population trends within four
AUs (Bitter Creek Drainage and Bitter
Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands, BLM
Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake, and
Bottomless Lakes State Park). This
monitoring will allow partners to detect
potential sheepshead minnow
introgression and allow for the detection
of long-term declines or extirpations of
Pecos pupfish. Secondly, the
conservation agreement will help
provide for ongoing maintenance (or
potentially additional) barriers to fish
passage that may protect some of the
AUs from sheepshead minnow
introgression should a bait bucket
transfer into the Upper Pecos River
occur. Finally, the agreement can reduce
the opportunity for further invasions by
a collaborative effort of State and
Federal entities to enforce existing
baitfish regulations.
After evaluating threats to the species
and assessing the cumulative effect of
the threats under the Act’s section
4(a)(1) factors, we find that Pecos
pupfish populations will continue to
face the ongoing risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression, and populations
will remain small and isolated from one
another. The risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression is cumulative,
meaning that the risk builds over time
such that the risk of this species being
introduced into the current Pecos
pupfish range by a bait bucket transfer
is higher in the future than it is
currently. Additionally, Pecos pupfish
populations will experience reductions
in resiliency, redundance, and
representation through 2050, with more
measurable declines by 2100 due to
decreased surface water availability,
increased frequency of drought, higher
than average temperatures, and
continued groundwater depletion.
We considered whether the Pecos
pupfish is presently in danger of
extinction and determined that
endangered status is not appropriate.
The current conditions assessed in the
SSA report show that the Pecos pupfish
is distributed across seven of nine AUs
across the historical range. Although
there may have been reductions from
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the historical range and population
sizes, monitoring data indicate that the
Pecos pupfish continues to have
multiple, long-term, persistent
populations throughout the range.
Currently only two of the seven AUs are
at high risk for sheepshead minnow
introgression, and four AUs are not
subjected to declines in water quantity.
While threats are currently acting on the
species and many of those threats are
expected to continue into the future, we
did not find that the species is currently
in danger of extinction throughout all of
its range. We believe the demand on
water in the Pecos River Basin is
expected to increase based on climate
change projections (Sites Southwest
2008, pp. 6–3, 6–6), but adequate
aquifer levels may be maintained until
2100 (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 100).
Thus, after assessing the best available
information, we conclude that the Pecos
pupfish is not in danger of extinction
but is likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion
of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range. The court in Center
for Biological Diversity v. Everson, 435
F. Supp. 3d 69 (D.D.C. 2020) (Everson),
vacated the provision of the Final Policy
on Interpretation of the Phrase
‘‘Significant Portion of Its Range’’ in the
Endangered Species Act’s Definitions of
‘‘Endangered Species’’ and ‘‘Threatened
Species’’ (hereafter ‘‘Final Policy’’; 79
FR 37578, July 1, 2014) that provided if
the Services determine that a species is
threatened throughout all of its range,
the Services will not analyze whether
the species is endangered in a
significant portion of its range.
Therefore, we proceed to evaluating
whether the species is endangered in a
significant portion of its range—that is,
whether there is any portion of the
species’ range for which both (1) the
portion is significant; and (2) the species
is in danger of extinction in that
portion. Depending on the case, it might
be more efficient for us to address the
‘‘significance’’ question or the ‘‘status’’
question first. We can choose to address
either question first. Regardless of
which question we address first, if we
reach a negative answer with respect to
the first question that we address, we do
not need to evaluate the other question
for that portion of the species’ range.
Following the court’s holding in
Everson, we now consider whether the
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species is in danger of extinction in a
significant portion of its range. In
undertaking this analysis for Pecos
pupfish, we choose to address the status
question first.
We evaluated the range of the Pecos
pupfish to determine if the species is in
danger of extinction in any portion of its
range. The range of a species can
theoretically be divided into portions in
an infinite number of ways. We focused
our analysis on portions of the species’
range that may meet the definition of an
endangered species. For Pecos pupfish,
we considered whether the threats or
their effects on the species are greater in
any biologically meaningful portion of
the species’ range than in other portions
such that the species is in danger of
extinction in that portion.
We examined the range for
biologically meaningful portions based
on the four broad categories of aquatic
environments that Pecos pupfish
occupy throughout its range, which
reflect phylogenic relationships as well
as physiogeographical differences in
aquatic habitat. The aquatic
environments germane to the range of
the Pecos pupfish are riverine (includes
the upper, middle, and lower Pecos
River segments), shallow stream
(includes Salt Creek (NM) and Salt
Creek (TX)), sinkholes (includes Salt
Creek Wilderness, Bitter Creek Drainage,
and Bottomless Lakes State Park), and
wetlands (includes Bitter Creek Middle
Tract Wetlands and BLM Overflow
Wetlands and Lea Lake).
Once we identified the biologically
meaningful portions to examine, we
then turned to the question of whether
these portions may have a different
biological status. Of these aquatic
environments, the riverine environment
contains just one population, the upper
Pecos River, which is in moderate
condition. The other environments have
multiple populations, including four in
high condition. Therefore, we are
examining the riverine environment to
determine if it has a different status than
the remainder of the range.
We evaluated the available
information about this portion of the
range of Pecos pupfish that occupies the
upper Pecos River in this context,
assessing its biological significance in
terms of condition criteria (genetic
security, occurrence, water quality,
water quantity, and habitat diversity;
see Current Condition) used to assign
the current condition of Pecos pupfish
populations. While the entire Pecos
River is characterized as a sometimes
fairly shallow and meandering riverine
habitat with ephemeral tributaries, the
primary risk to the upper Pecos River
population is the introduction of
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sheepshead minnow. The single
population in this aquatic habitat is also
affected by severe low flow or no flow
events and intermittency, as well as
water quality impairments. Sheepshead
minnow were introduced to portions of
the Pecos River in the 1980s; Brantley
Dam currently serves as a barrier to
prevent sheepshead minnow from
naturally moving north into the upper
Pecos River. Because sheepshead
minnow are often used as bait fish, the
most likely path for the sheepshead
minnow to move into non-introgressed
Pecos pupfish populations is through a
bait bucket transfer into the Pecos River
upstream of Brantley Reservoir. At that
point, sheepshead minnow could
naturally spread from the upper Pecos
River to additional Pecos pupfish
populations. Because the risk of
introduction of sheepshead minnow is
equal across all habitat types and is the
primary reason that we found the Pecos
pupfish to be threatened rangewide,
there is not a difference in risk that
would cause the upper Pecos River to
have a different status than the
remainder of the range.
Therefore, no portion of the species’
range provides a basis for determining
that the species is in danger of
extinction in a significant portion of its
range, and we determine that the
species is likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range. This does not
conflict with the courts’ holdings in
Desert Survivors v. U.S. Department of
the Interior, 321 F. Supp. 3d 1011,
1070–74 (N.D. Cal. 2018) and Center for
Biological Diversity v. Jewell, 248 F.
Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017)
because, in reaching this conclusion, we
did not apply the aspects of the Final
Policy, including the definition of
‘‘significant’’ that those court decisions
held to be invalid.
Determination of Status
Based on of the best scientific and
commercial data available, we
determine that the Pecos pupfish meets
the Act’s definition of a threatened
species. Therefore, we propose to list
the Pecos pupfish as a threatened
species in accordance with sections
3(20) and 4(a)(1) of the Act.
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to
species listed as endangered or
threatened species under the Act
include recognition as a listed species,
planning and implementation of
recovery actions, requirements for
Federal protection, and prohibitions
against certain practices. Recognition
through listing results in public
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awareness, and conservation by Federal,
State, Tribal, and local agencies, foreign
governments, private organizations, and
individuals. The Act encourages
cooperation with the States and other
countries and calls for recovery actions
to be carried out for listed species. The
protection required by Federal agencies,
including the Service, and the
prohibitions against certain activities
are discussed, in part, below.
The primary purpose of the Act is the
conservation of endangered and
threatened species and the ecosystems
upon which they depend. The ultimate
goal of such conservation efforts is the
recovery of these listed species, so that
they no longer need the protective
measures of the Act. Section 4(f) of the
Act calls for the Service to develop and
implement recovery plans for the
conservation of endangered and
threatened species. The goal of this
process is to restore listed species to a
point where they are secure, selfsustaining, and functioning components
of their ecosystems.
The recovery planning process begins
with development of a recovery outline
made available to the public soon after
a final listing determination. The
recovery outline guides the immediate
implementation of urgent recovery
actions while a recovery plan is being
developed. Recovery teams (composed
of species experts, Federal and State
agencies, nongovernmental
organizations, and stakeholders) may be
established to develop and implement
recovery plans. The recovery planning
process involves the identification of
actions that are necessary to halt and
reverse the species’ decline by
addressing the threats to its survival and
recovery. The recovery plan identifies
recovery criteria for review of when a
species may be ready for reclassification
from endangered to threatened
(‘‘downlisting’’) or removal from
protected status (‘‘delisting’’), and
methods for monitoring recovery
progress. Recovery plans also establish
a framework for agencies to coordinate
their recovery efforts and provide
estimates of the cost of implementing
recovery tasks. Revisions of the plan
may be done to address continuing or
new threats to the species, as new
substantive information becomes
available. The recovery outline, draft
recovery plan, final recovery plan, and
any revisions will be available on our
website as they are completed (https://
www.fws.gov/program/endangeredspecies), or from our New Mexico
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Implementation of recovery actions
generally requires the participation of a
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broad range of partners, including other
Federal agencies, States, Tribes,
nongovernmental organizations,
businesses, and private landowners.
Examples of recovery actions include
habitat restoration (e.g., restoration of
native vegetation), research, captive
propagation and reintroduction, and
outreach and education. The recovery of
many listed species cannot be
accomplished solely on Federal lands
because their range may occur primarily
or solely on non-Federal lands. To
achieve recovery of these species
requires cooperative conservation efforts
on private, State, and Tribal lands.
If this species is listed, funding for
recovery actions will be available from
a variety of sources, including Federal
budgets, State programs, and cost-share
grants for non-Federal landowners, the
academic community, and
nongovernmental organizations. In
addition, pursuant to section 6 of the
Act, the State(s) of New Mexico and
Texas would be eligible for Federal
funds to implement management
actions that promote the protection or
recovery of the Pecos pupfish.
Information on our grant programs that
are available to aid species recovery can
be found at: https://www.fws.gov/
service/financial-assistance.
Although the Pecos pupfish is only
proposed for listing under the Act at
this time, please let us know if you are
interested in participating in recovery
efforts for this species. Additionally, we
invite you to submit any new
information on this species whenever it
becomes available and any information
you may have for recovery planning
purposes (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT).
Section 7 of the Act is titled
Interagency Cooperation and mandates
all Federal action agencies to use their
existing authorities to further the
conservation purposes of the Act and to
ensure that their actions are not likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of
listed species or adversely modify
critical habitat. Regulations
implementing section 7 are codified at
50 CFR part 402.
Section 7(a)(2) states that each Federal
action agency shall, in consultation with
the Secretary, ensure that any action
they authorize, fund, or carry out is not
likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of a listed species or result in
the destruction or adverse modification
of designated critical habitat. Each
Federal agency shall review its action at
the earliest possible time to determine
whether it may affect listed species or
critical habitat. If a determination is
made that the action may affect listed
species or critical habitat, formal
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consultation is required (50 CFR
402.14(a)), unless the Service concurs in
writing that the action is not likely to
adversely affect listed species or critical
habitat. At the end of a formal
consultation, the Service issues a
biological opinion, containing its
determination of whether the federal
action is likely to result in jeopardy or
adverse modification.
In contrast, section 7(a)(4) of the Act
requires Federal agencies to confer with
the Service on any action which is likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of
any species proposed to be listed under
the Act or result in the destruction or
adverse modification of critical habitat
proposed to be designated for such
species. Although the conference
procedures are required only when an
action is likely to result in jeopardy or
adverse modification, action agencies
may voluntarily confer with the Service
on actions that may affect species
proposed for listing or critical habitat
proposed to be designated. In the event
that the subject species is listed or the
relevant critical habitat is designated, a
conference opinion may be adopted as
a biological opinion and serve as
compliance with section 7(a)(2).
Examples of discretionary actions for
the Pecos pupfish that may be subject to
conference and consultation procedures
under section 7 are management of
Federal lands administered by the BLM,
the BOR, the Corps, and the Service’s
NWR System as well as actions that
require a Federal permit (such as a
permit from the Corps under section 404
of the Clean Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251
et seq.) or actions funded be Federal
agencies such as the Federal Highway
Administration, Federal Aviation
Administration, or the Federal
Emergency Management Agency.
Federal actions not affecting listed
species or critical habitat—and actions
on State, Tribal, local, or private lands
that are not federally funded,
authorized, or carried out by a Federal
agency—do not require section 7
consultation. Federal agencies should
coordinate with the New Mexico
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT) with any
specific questions on section 7
consultation and conference
requirements.
II. Protective Regulations Under
Section 4(d) of the Act
Background
Section 4(d) of the Act contains two
sentences. The first sentence states that
the Secretary shall issue such
regulations as she deems necessary and
advisable to provide for the
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conservation of species listed as
threatened species. Conservation is
defined in the Act to mean the use of
all methods and procedures which are
necessary to bring any endangered
species or threatened species to the
point at which the measures provided
pursuant to the Act are no longer
necessary. Additionally, the second
sentence of section 4(d) of the Act states
that the Secretary may by regulation
prohibit with respect to any threatened
species any act prohibited under section
9(a)(1), in the case of fish or wildlife, or
section 9(a)(2), in the case of plants.
With these two sentences in section
4(d), Congress delegated broad authority
to the Secretary to determine what
protections would be necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of threatened species, and
even broader authority to put in place
any of the section 9 prohibitions, for a
given species.
The courts have recognized the extent
of the Secretary’s discretion under this
standard to develop rules that are
appropriate for the conservation of a
species. For example, courts have
upheld, as a valid exercise of agency
authority, rules developed under section
4(d) that included limited prohibitions
against takings (see Alsea Valley
Alliance v. Lautenbacher, 2007 WL
2344927 (D. Or. 2007); Washington
Environmental Council v. National
Marine Fisheries Service, 2002 WL
511479 (W.D. Wash. 2002)). Courts have
also upheld 4(d) rules that do not
address all of the threats a species faces
(see State of Louisiana v. Verity, 853
F.2d 322 (5th Cir. 1988)). As noted in
the legislative history when the Act was
initially enacted, ‘‘once an animal is on
the threatened list, the Secretary has an
almost infinite number of options
available to [her] with regard to the
permitted activities for those species.
[She] may, for example, permit taking,
but not importation of such species, or
[she] may choose to forbid both taking
and importation but allow the
transportation of such species’’ (H.R.
Rep. No. 412, 93rd Cong., 1st Sess.
1973).
The provisions of this species’
proposed protective regulations under
section 4(d) of the Act are one of many
tools that we would use to promote the
conservation of the Pecos pupfish. The
proposed protective regulations would
apply only if and when we make final
the listing of the Pecos pupfish as a
threatened species. Nothing in 4(d) rules
change in any way the recovery
planning provisions of section 4(f) of the
Act, the consultation requirements
under section 7 of the Act, or the ability
of the Service to enter into partnerships
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for the management and protection of
the Pecos pupfish. As mentioned
previously in Available Conservation
Measures, section 7(a)(2) of the Act
requires Federal agencies, including the
Service, to ensure that any action they
authorize, fund, or carry out is not likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of
any endangered species or threatened
species or result in the destruction or
adverse modification of designated
critical habitat of such species. In
addition, even before the listing of any
species or the designation of its critical
habitat is finalized, section 7(a)(4) of the
Act requires Federal agencies to confer
with the Service on any agency action
which is likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of any species
proposed to be listed under the Act or
result in the destruction or adverse
modification of critical habitat proposed
to be designated for such species. These
requirements are the same for a
threatened species regardless of what is
included in its 4(d) rule.
Section 7 consultation is required for
Federal actions that ‘‘may affect’’ a
listed species regardless of whether take
caused by the activity is prohibited or
excepted by a 4(d) rule (under
application of a ‘‘blanket rule’’ (for more
information, see 89 FR 23919, April 5,
2024) or a species-specific 4(d) rule). A
4(d) rule does not change the process
and criteria for informal or formal
consultations and does not alter the
analytical process used for biological
opinions or concurrence letters. For
example, as with an endangered species,
if a Federal agency determines that an
action is ‘‘not likely to adversely affect’’
a threatened species, this will require
the Service’s written concurrence (50
CFR 402.13(c)). Similarly, if a Federal
agency determines that an action is
‘‘likely to adversely affect’’ a threatened
species, the action will require formal
consultation with the Service and the
formulation of a biological opinion (50
CFR 402.14(a)). Because consultation
obligations and processes are unaffected
by 4(d) rules, we may consider
developing tools to streamline future
intra-Service and inter-agency
consultations for actions that result in
forms of take that are not prohibited by
the 4(d) rule (but that still require
consultation). These tools may include
consultation guidance, online
consultation processes via the Service’s
digital project planning tool
(Information for Planning and
Consultation; https://
ipac.ecosphere.fws.gov/), template
language for biological opinions, or
programmatic consultations.
Exercising the Secretary’s authority
under section 4(d) of the Act, we
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propose to apply the protections for the
Pecos pupfish through our regulations at
50 CFR 17.31(a). In our April 5, 2024,
final rule revising those regulations (89
FR 23919 at 23922–23923), we found
that applying those regulations as a
whole satisfies the requirement in
section 4(d) of the Act to issue
regulations deemed necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of the threatened species.
We have not identified any ways in
which a protective regulation for this
threatened species would need to differ
from the regulations at 50 CFR 17.31(a)
in order to contain the protections that
are necessary and advisable to provide
for the conservation of the Pecos
pupfish. Therefore, if we finalize this
rule as proposed, the regulations at 50
CFR 17.31(a) apply. This means that
except as provided in 50 CFR 17.4
through 17.8, or in a permit issued
pursuant to 50 CFR 17.32, all of the
provisions of 50 CFR 17.21 for
endangered wildlife, except § 17.21(c)(3)
and (5), would apply to the Pecos
pupfish, and the provisions of 50 CFR
17.32(b) concerning exceptions for
certain entities would also apply to the
species.
Provisions of the Proposed 4(d) Rule
Exercising the Secretary’s authority
under section 4(d) of the Act, we have
developed a proposed rule that is
designed to address the Pecos pupfish’s
conservation needs. As discussed
previously in Summary of Biological
Status and Threats, we have concluded
that the Pecos pupfish is likely to
become in danger of extinction within
the foreseeable future primarily due to
risk of introduction of nonnative
invasive sheepshead minnow into new
locations occupied by Pecos pupfish,
loss and declines of surface and ground
water, degradation of water quality, and
habitat loss and fragmentation. Section
4(d) requires the Secretary to issue such
regulations as she deems necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of each threatened species
and authorizes the Secretary to include
among those protective regulations any
of the prohibitions that section 9(a)(1) of
the Act prescribes for endangered
species. We are not required to make a
‘‘necessary and advisable’’
determination when we apply or do not
apply specific section 9 prohibitions to
a threatened species (In re: Polar Bear
Endangered Species Act Listing and 4(d)
Rule Litigation, 818 F. Supp. 2d 214,
228 (D.D.C. 2011) (citing Sweet Home
Chapter of Communities for a Great
Oregon v. Babbitt, 1 F.3d 1, 8 (D.C. Cir.
1993), rev’d on other grounds, 515 U.S.
687 (1995))). Nevertheless, even though
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we are not required to make such a
determination, we have chosen to be as
transparent as possible and explain
below why we find that, if finalized, the
protections, prohibitions, and
exceptions in this proposed rule as a
whole satisfy the requirement in section
4(d) of the Act to issue regulations
deemed necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of the
Pecos pupfish.
The protective regulations we are
proposing for Pecos pupfish incorporate
prohibitions from section 9(a)(1) to
address the threats to the species. The
prohibitions of section 9(a)(1) of the Act,
and implementing regulations codified
at 50 CFR 17.21, make it illegal for any
person subject to the jurisdiction of the
United States to commit, to attempt to
commit, to solicit another to commit or
to cause to be committed any of the
following acts with regard to any
endangered wildlife: (1) import into, or
export from, the United States; (2) take
(which includes harass, harm, pursue,
hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture,
or collect) within the United States,
within the territorial sea of the United
States, or on the high seas; (3) possess,
sell, deliver, carry, transport, or ship, by
any means whatsoever, any such
wildlife that has been taken illegally; (4)
deliver, receive, carry, transport, or ship
in interstate or foreign commerce, by
any means whatsoever and in the course
of commercial activity; or (5) sell or
offer for sale in interstate or foreign
commerce. This protective regulation
includes all of these prohibitions
because the Pecos pupfish is at risk of
extinction in the foreseeable future and
putting these prohibitions in place will
help to prevent further declines,
preserve the species’ remaining
populations, slow its rate of decline,
and decrease synergistic, negative
effects from other ongoing or future
threats.
In particular, this proposed 4(d) rule
would provide for the conservation of
the Pecos pupfish by prohibiting the
following activities, unless they fall
within specific exceptions or are
otherwise authorized or permitted:
importing or exporting; take; possession
and other acts with unlawfully taken
specimens; delivering, receiving,
carrying, transporting, or shipping in
interstate or foreign commerce in the
course of commercial activity; or selling
or offering for sale in interstate or
foreign commerce.
Under the Act, ‘‘take’’ means to
harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot,
wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect, or
to attempt to engage in any such
conduct. Some of these provisions have
been further defined in regulations at 50
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CFR 17.3. Take can result knowingly or
otherwise, by direct and indirect
impacts, intentionally or incidentally.
Regulating take would help preserve the
species’ remaining populations, slow
their rate of decline, and decrease
cumulative effects from other ongoing or
future threats. Therefore, we propose to
prohibit take of the Pecos pupfish,
except for take resulting from those
actions and activities specifically
excepted by the 4(d) rule.
Exceptions to the prohibition on take
would include all of the general
exceptions to the prohibition on take of
endangered wildlife, as set forth in 50
CFR 17.21.
Despite these prohibitions regarding
threatened species, we may under
certain circumstances issue permits to
carry out one or more otherwiseprohibited activities, including those
described above. The regulations that
govern permits for threatened wildlife
state that the Director may issue a
permit authorizing any activity
otherwise prohibited with regard to
threatened species. These include
permits issued for the following
purposes: for scientific purposes, to
enhance propagation or survival, for
economic hardship, for zoological
exhibition, for educational purposes, for
incidental taking, or for special
purposes consistent with the purposes
of the Act (50 CFR 17.32). The statute
also contains certain exemptions from
the prohibitions, which are found in
sections 9 and 10 of the Act.
In addition, to further the
conservation of the species, any
employee or agent of the Service, any
other Federal land management agency,
the National Marine Fisheries Service, a
State conservation agency, or a federally
recognized Tribe, who is designated by
their agency or Tribe for such purposes,
may, when acting in the course of their
official duties, take threatened wildlife
without a permit if such action is
necessary to: (i) Aid a sick, injured, or
orphaned specimen; or (ii) dispose of a
dead specimen; or (iii) salvage a dead
specimen that may be useful for
scientific study; or (iv) remove
specimens that constitute a
demonstrable but nonimmediate threat
to human safety, provided that the
taking is done in a humane manner; the
taking may involve killing or injuring
only if it has not been reasonably
possible to eliminate such threat by livecapturing and releasing the specimen
unharmed, in an appropriate area.
We recognize the special and unique
relationship that we have with our State
natural resource agency partners in
contributing to conservation of listed
species. State agencies often possess
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scientific data and valuable expertise on
the status and distribution of
endangered, threatened, and candidate
species of wildlife and plants. State
agencies, because of their authorities
and their close working relationships
with local governments and
landowners, are in a unique position to
assist us in implementing all aspects of
the Act. In this regard, section 6 of the
Act provides that we must cooperate to
the maximum extent practicable with
the States in carrying out programs
authorized by the Act. Therefore, any
qualified employee or agent of a State
conservation agency that is a party to a
cooperative agreement with us in
accordance with section 6(c) of the Act,
who is designated by his or her agency
for such purposes, would be able to
conduct activities designed to conserve
Pecos pupfish that may result in
otherwise prohibited take without
additional authorization.
The proposed 4(d) rule would also
provide for the conservation of the
species by allowing exceptions that
incentivize conservation actions or that,
while they may have some minimal
impact on the Pecos pupfish, are not
expected to rise to the level that would
have a negative impact (i.e., would have
only de minimis impacts) on the
species’ conservation. The exceptions to
these prohibitions include incidental
and intentional take (described below)
that are expected to have negligible
impacts to the Pecos pupfish and its
habitat.
Those exceptions include the
following activities:
(1) Management and maintenance of
ponds that are stocked with captivebred Pecos pupfish by the State of
Texas.
(2) Research activities on individual
Pecos pupfish in those ponds by holders
of a valid State-issued scientific
research permit, zoological permit, or
educational display permit. Individuals
exercising this exception must provide
to the State of Texas annual reports
containing the following information:
the nature of research performed; dates
of fieldwork; the number of individuals
collected or captured, and the methods
used to obtain them; a description of
any accidental injuries or mortalities;
the number of individuals from which
genetic material was collected, the type
of tissue collected, and the institution or
location where the genetic material is
being stored. The location of fieldwork
and landowner identifying information
is not required. This exception applies
only to individuals with a current, valid
permit from the State of Texas and
applies only to research conducted on
pupfish ponds on private lands that are
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part of the TPWD Pecos pupfish
production pond effort. The State of
Texas must provide annual reports to
the Service regarding use of this
exception.
III. Critical Habitat
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Background
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires
that, to the maximum extent prudent
and determinable, we designate a
species’ critical habitat concurrently
with listing the species. Critical habitat
is defined in section 3 of the Act as:
(1) The specific areas within the
geographical area occupied by the
species, at the time it is listed in
accordance with the Act, on which are
found those physical or biological
features
(a) Essential to the conservation of the
species, and
(b) Which may require special
management considerations or
protection; and
(2) Specific areas outside the
geographical area occupied by the
species at the time it is listed, upon a
determination that such areas are
essential for the conservation of the
species.
Our regulations at 50 CFR 424.02
define the geographical area occupied
by the species as an area that may
generally be delineated around species’
occurrences, as determined by the
Secretary (i.e., range). Such areas may
include those areas used throughout all
or part of the species’ life cycle, even if
not used on a regular basis (e.g.,
migratory corridors, seasonal habitats,
and habitats used periodically, but not
solely by vagrant individuals).
Conservation, as defined under
section 3 of the Act, means to use and
the use of all methods and procedures
that are necessary to bring an
endangered or threatened species to the
point at which the measures provided
pursuant to the Act are no longer
necessary. Such methods and
procedures include, but are not limited
to, all activities associated with
scientific resources management such as
research, census, law enforcement,
habitat acquisition and maintenance,
propagation, live trapping, and
transplantation, and, in the
extraordinary case where population
pressures within a given ecosystem
cannot be otherwise relieved, may
include regulated taking.
Critical habitat receives protection
under section 7 of the Act through the
requirement that each Federal action
agency ensure, in consultation with the
Service, that any action they authorize,
fund, or carry out is not likely to result
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in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical
habitat. The designation of critical
habitat does not affect land ownership
or establish a refuge, wilderness,
reserve, preserve, or other conservation
area. Such designation also does not
allow the government or public to
access private lands. Such designation
does not require implementation of
restoration, recovery, or enhancement
measures by non-Federal landowners.
Rather, designation requires that, where
a landowner requests Federal agency
funding or authorization for an action
that may affect an area designated as
critical habitat, the Federal agency
consult with the Service under section
7(a)(2) of the Act. If the action may
affect the listed species itself (such as
for occupied critical habitat), the
Federal agency would have already been
required to consult with the Service
even absent the designation because of
the requirement to ensure that the
action is not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of the species. Even
if the Service were to conclude after
consultation that the proposed activity
is likely to result in destruction or
adverse modification of the critical
habitat, the Federal action agency and
the landowner are not required to
abandon the proposed activity, or to
restore or recover the species; instead,
they must implement ‘‘reasonable and
prudent alternatives’’ to avoid
destruction or adverse modification of
critical habitat.
Under the first prong of the Act’s
definition of critical habitat, areas
within the geographical area occupied
by the species at the time it was listed
are included in a critical habitat
designation if they contain physical or
biological features (1) which are
essential to the conservation of the
species and (2) which may require
special management considerations or
protection. For these areas, critical
habitat designations identify, to the
extent known using the best scientific
data available, those physical or
biological features that are essential to
the conservation of the species (such as
space, food, cover, and protected
habitat).
Under the second prong of the Act’s
definition of critical habitat, we can
designate critical habitat in areas
outside the geographical area occupied
by the species at the time it is listed,
upon a determination that such areas
are essential for the conservation of the
species.
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act requires that
we designate critical habitat on the basis
of the best scientific data available.
Further, our Policy on Information
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Standards Under the Endangered
Species Act (published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34271)),
the Information Quality Act (section 515
of the Treasury and General
Government Appropriations Act for
Fiscal Year 2001 (Pub. L. 106–554; H.R.
5658)), and our associated Information
Quality Guidelines provide criteria,
establish procedures, and provide
guidance to ensure that our decisions
are based on the best scientific data
available. They require our biologists, to
the extent consistent with the Act and
with the use of the best scientific data
available, to use primary and original
sources of information as the basis for
recommendations to designate critical
habitat.
When we are determining which areas
should be designated as critical habitat,
our primary source of information is
generally the information compiled in
the SSA report and information
developed during the listing process for
the species. Additional information
sources may include any generalized
conservation strategy, criteria, or outline
that may have been developed for the
species; the recovery plan for the
species; articles in peer-reviewed
journals; conservation plans developed
by States and counties; scientific status
surveys and studies; biological
assessments; other unpublished
materials; or experts’ opinions or
personal knowledge.
Habitat is dynamic, and species may
move from one area to another over
time. We recognize that critical habitat
designated at a particular point in time
may not include all of the habitat areas
that we may later determine are
necessary for the recovery of the
species. For these reasons, a critical
habitat designation does not signal that
habitat outside the designated area is
unimportant or may not be needed for
recovery of the species. Areas that are
important to the conservation of the
species, both inside and outside the
critical habitat designation, will
continue to be subject to: (1)
Conservation actions implemented
under section 7(a)(1) of the Act; (2)
regulatory protections afforded by the
requirement in section 7(a)(2) of the Act
for Federal agencies to ensure their
actions are not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of any endangered
or threatened species; and (3) the
prohibitions found in the 4(d) rule.
Federally funded or permitted projects
affecting listed species outside their
designated critical habitat areas may
still result in jeopardy findings in some
cases. These protections and
conservation tools will continue to
contribute to recovery of the species.
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Similarly, critical habitat designations
made on the basis of the best scientific
data available at the time of designation
will not control the direction and
substance of future recovery plans,
habitat conservation plans (HCPs), or
other species conservation planning
efforts if new information available at
the time of those planning efforts calls
for a different outcome.
Physical or Biological Features
Essential to the Conservation of the
Species
In accordance with section 3(5)(A)(i)
of the Act and regulations at 50 CFR
424.12(b), in determining which areas
we will designate as critical habitat from
within the geographical area occupied
by the species at the time of listing, we
consider the physical or biological
features that are essential to the
conservation of the species and which
may require special management
considerations or protection. The
regulations at 50 CFR 424.02 define
‘‘physical or biological features essential
to the conservation of the species’’ as
the features that occur in specific areas
and that are essential to support the lifehistory needs of the species, including,
but not limited to, water characteristics,
soil type, geological features, sites, prey,
vegetation, symbiotic species, or other
features. A feature may be a single
habitat characteristic or a more complex
combination of habitat characteristics.
Features may include habitat
characteristics that support ephemeral
or dynamic habitat conditions. Features
may also be expressed in terms relating
to principles of conservation biology,
such as patch size, distribution
distances, and connectivity. For
example, physical features essential to
the conservation of the species might
include gravel of a particular size
required for spawning, alkaline soil for
seed germination, protective cover for
migration, or susceptibility to flooding
or fire that maintains necessary earlysuccessional habitat characteristics.
Biological features might include prey
species, forage grasses, specific kinds or
ages of trees for roosting or nesting,
symbiotic fungi, or absence of a
particular level of nonnative species
consistent with conservation needs of
the listed species. The features may also
be combinations of habitat
characteristics and may encompass the
relationship between characteristics or
the necessary amount of a characteristic
essential to support the life history of
the species.
In considering whether features are
essential to the conservation of the
species, we may consider an appropriate
quality, quantity, and spatial and
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temporal arrangement of habitat
characteristics in the context of the lifehistory needs, condition, and status of
the species. These characteristics
include, but are not limited to, space for
individual and population growth and
for normal behavior; food, water, air,
light, minerals, or other nutritional or
physiological requirements; cover or
shelter; sites for breeding, reproduction,
or rearing (or development) of offspring;
and habitats that are protected from
disturbance.
The individual needs of Pecos
pupfish vary somewhat by life stage
(egg, hatchling, juvenile, adult);
however, as an aquatic species, Pecos
pupfish need adequate water quantity
and water quality to meet their resource
functions, which include feeding,
growth, survival, and breeding. The
Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety of
aquatic environments including
wetlands, sinkholes, impoundments,
streams, springs, and rivers, specifically
the Pecos River mainstem (Hoagstrom
and Brooks 1999, pp. 14–16; Collyer et
al. 2015, p. 182). All life stages of the
Pecos pupfish prefer environments with
little to no water flow, and, in areas
with flows, they typically occupy pools
and shallow runs and riffles (Hoagstrom
and Brooks 1999, pp. 36, 45). Pecos
pupfish tolerate high salinity (less than
35,000 mg/L) and low dissolved oxygen
(greater than 2.5 mg/L), and while the
specific thermal tolerance of Pecos
pupfish is unknown, studies examining
thermal tolerance of other pupfish
found tolerance to range from below
0 °C to 45 °C (23 °F to 113 °F) (Bennett
and Beitinger 1997, pp. 81–85;
Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, pp. 21, 31;
Propst 1999, pp. 67–68). However, data
collected in studies of desert pupfish
found that temperatures above 42.7 °C
(108.9 °F) may be lethal (Schoenherr and
Feldmeth 1992, p. 50; BEEC 2010, p. 8).
These physical conditions (dissolved
oxygen, salinity, and temperature) can
be greatly affected by spring discharge
and other flow parameters (KodricBrown 1975, pp. 3, 6). Overwintering
juvenile and adult Pecos pupfish need
dense aquatic vegetation and flocculent
materials (such as fine detritus or nonliving organic matter) in the substrate
(Kodric-Brown 1977, p. 752; Hoagstrom
et al. 2015, p. 17). Therefore, sufficient
water quality and water quantity that
provides the appropriate conditions for
the Pecos pupfish is essential to the
species.
Spawning adult Pecos pupfish require
slow-moving waters that are less than 2
m (6.56 ft) deep, and in areas with
topographic diversity that include a
variety of underwater features such as
crevices, boulders, large rocks, scattered
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92769
pebbles, and aquatic plants that are used
for oviposition sites (Kodric-Brown
1975, p. 35; 1977, pp. 750–751, 753–
756, and 761–762). Rocky embankments
appear to be the most desirable breeding
substrate, and the density of territorial
males is highest in dense patches of
aquatic vegetation, and lowest in flat
silty areas with isolated rocks (KodricBrown 1975, pp. 20, 34–35). Female
Pecos pupfish lay individual eggs that
adhere to spawning substrate, such as
vegetation or rocks (Kodric-Brown 1977,
pp. 751, 761–762, 764). Therefore,
habitat with crevices, boulders, large
rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic
plants is essential to the species.
The introduction of the nonnative,
invasive sheepshead minnow has the
potential to negatively affect Pecos
pupfish through hybridization (Echelle
et al. 2003b, entire; Echelle and Connor
1989, pp. 725–726). Hybridization
eventually leads to the loss of nonintrogressed (genetically pure) Pecos
pupfish in the area of introgression
(Echelle and Connor 1989, p. 725;
Echelle et al. 2003b, entire). Sheepshead
minnow also outcompete the Pecos
pupfish for resources (Echelle et al.
2003b, entire; Echelle and Connor 1989,
pp. 725–726). Therefore, the absence of
this nonnative invasive species is
essential to the Pecos pupfish. Bait
bucket transfers of sheepshead minnow
are most likely in the Upper Pecos Unit.
Bait bucket transfers are highly unlikely
to occur in any of the other AUs as these
generally are either well controlled or
do not contain game fish species. As
such, the most likely route for
sheepshead minnow introgression
would be from the Upper Pecos River
AU to the Salt Creek Wilderness and
Middle Tract Wetlands, which are both
hydrologically connected to the upper
Pecos River during flooding events,
allowing for potential movement of
sheepshead minnow into these offchannel habitats.
Summary of Essential Physical or
Biological Features
We derive the specific physical or
biological features essential to the
conservation of Pecos pupfish from
studies of the species’ habitat, ecology,
and life history as described below.
Additional information can be found in
the SSA report (Service 2024, entire;
available on https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143). We have
determined that the following physical
or biological features are essential to the
conservation of Pecos pupfish:
(1) Water quality parameters that
support all life stages of the Pecos
pupfish, including:
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(a) Absence of pollutants, or a level of
contaminants low enough that it does
not negatively impact necessary water
quality conditions for Pecos pupfish
individuals;
(b) Salinity less than 35,000 mg/L;
(c) Temperature less than 42.7 °C
(108.9 °F); and
(d) Dissolved oxygen greater than 2.5
mg/L.
(2) Sufficient water quantity
parameters that support all life stages of
the Pecos pupfish, including:
(a) Permanent water in some area of
habitat; and
(b) Water depth less than 2 m (6.56 ft)
deep to allow for thermal refugia and
breeding.
(3) Presence of silt-free underwater
features such as crevices, boulders, large
rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic
plants that are used for egg deposition.
(4) Absence of nonnative invasive
sheepshead minnow.
Special Management Considerations or
Protection
When designating critical habitat, we
assess whether the specific areas within
the geographical area occupied by the
species at the time of listing contain
features which are essential to the
conservation of the species and which
may require special management
considerations or protection. The
features essential to the conservation of
this species may require special
management considerations or
protection to reduce the following
threats: introduction of sheepshead
minnow, habitat degradation due to
declines in water quantity and water
quality, and habitat fragmentation.
Management activities that could
ameliorate these threats include, but are
not limited to: (1) construction and
maintenance of barriers that prevent the
spread of sheepshead minnow; (2)
enforcement of existing State regulatory
mechanisms that prohibit bait-bucket
releases of sheepshead minnow in New
Mexico and Texas; (3) active
management of wetlands to provide for
adequate water quantity and flow; (4)
securing water rights to provide longterm spring flows; (5) monitoring and
preventing water quality impairments
from upland sources such as
agricultural runoff and industrial
pollutants; and (6) survey and
monitoring to further characterize the
extent and spread of hybridization with
sheepshead minnows.
Criteria Used To Identify Critical
Habitat
As required by section 4(b)(2) of the
Act, we use the best scientific data
available to designate critical habitat. In
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accordance with the Act and our
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
424.12(b), we review available
information pertaining to the habitat
requirements of the species and identify
specific areas within the geographical
area occupied by the species at the time
of listing and any specific areas outside
the geographical area occupied by the
species to be considered for designation
as critical habitat. We are not currently
proposing to designate any areas outside
the geographical area occupied by the
species because (1) we have not
identified any unoccupied areas that
meet the definition of critical habitat,
and (2) we have determined that the
occupied areas are sufficient to conserve
the species.
We anticipate that recovery will
require conserving the genetic diversity
of extant populations across the species’
current range and maintaining and,
where necessary, improving habitat and
habitat connectivity to ensure the longterm viability of the Pecos pupfish. This
proposed critical habitat designation
delineates the habitat that is physically
occupied and used by the species rather
than delineating all land or aquatic
areas that influence the species. We
have determined that the areas currently
occupied by the Pecos pupfish would
maintain the species’ resiliency,
redundancy, and representation and are
sufficient to conserve the species.
Therefore, we are not currently
proposing to designate any areas outside
the geographical area occupied by the
species. Sources of data for this
proposed critical habitat include
multiple databases maintained by
universities and State agencies,
scientific and agency reports, and
numerous survey reports throughout the
species’ range (Service 2024, pp. 28–34).
In summary, for areas within the
geographical area occupied by the
species at the time of listing, we
delineated critical habitat unit
boundaries using the following criteria:
(1) We delineated areas within the
historical range that had positive survey
data between the year 1992 and the time
of listing (see Service 2024).
(2) We terminated stream segments at
barriers, confluences, areas where
genetically pure Pecos pupfish have
been extirpated, other obvious
unsuitable habitat, or a location selected
based on expert knowledge of a lack of
presence.
(3) We included connecting stream
segments between occupied stream
segments as long as the inclusion does
not disagree with criterion (2) and there
are no data to suggest that the Pecos
pupfish is not present.
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When determining proposed critical
habitat boundaries, we made every
effort to avoid including developed
areas such as lands covered by
buildings, pavement, and other
structures because such lands lack
physical or biological features necessary
for Pecos pupfish. The scale of the maps
we prepared under the parameters for
publication within the Code of Federal
Regulations may not reflect the
exclusion of such developed lands. Any
such lands inadvertently left inside
critical habitat boundaries shown on the
maps of this proposed rule have been
excluded by text in the proposed rule
and are not proposed for designation as
critical habitat. Therefore, if the critical
habitat is finalized as proposed, a
Federal action involving these lands
would not trigger section 7 consultation
with respect to critical habitat and the
requirement of no adverse modification
unless the specific action would affect
the physical or biological features in the
adjacent critical habitat.
The proposed critical habitat
designation is defined by the map or
maps, as modified by any accompanying
regulatory text, presented at the end of
this document under Proposed
Regulation Promulgation.
Proposed Critical Habitat Designation
We are proposing to designate five
units of critical habitat for Pecos
pupfish: 136.12 river mi (219.06 river
km) of instream habitat (to the ordinary
high water mark, not including riparian
areas) and 26,555.54 acres (10,746.64
ha) of lands that encompass numerous
isolated sinkholes and wetland areas.
The critical habitat areas we describe
below constitute our current best
assessment of areas that meet the
definition of critical habitat for Pecos
pupfish.
The five areas we propose as critical
habitat are: (1) Upper Pecos River Unit;
(2) Salt Creek Wilderness Unit; (3) Bitter
Lake Unit; (4) BLM Overflow Wetlands/
Bottomless Lakes Unit; and (5) Salt
Creek (TX) Unit. Table 5 shows the
proposed critical habitat units and the
approximate area of each unit. The
Bitter Lake Unit includes both the Bitter
Creek Drainage and Bitter Lake NWR
Middle Tract Wetlands AUs (see table 2
for a list of the AUs). The BLM Overflow
Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes Unit
includes both the Bottomless Lakes
State Park and BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Lea Lake AUs. Two AUs from the
SSA report, the Middle Pecos River and
Lower Pecos River units, are not
proposed as critical habitat units
because no extant genetically pure
Pecos pupfish remain in these units.
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TABLE 5—PROPOSED CRITICAL HABITAT UNITS FOR PECOS PUPFISH
[Area estimates reflect all land within critical habitat unit boundaries.]
Critical habitat unit
Occupied?
1. Upper Pecos River .......................................................
2. Salt Creek Wilderness ..................................................
3. Bitter Lake ....................................................................
4. BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes .................
5. Salt Creek (TX) ............................................................
Total ...........................................................................
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Land
ownership
by type
Length of unit in river miles (km) or unit size in acres
(ha)
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
.............
Federal .......
State ..........
Private ........
Federal .......
32.61 river mi (52.48 km).
4.86 river mi (7.82 km).
84.41 river mi (135.84 km).
5,428.74 acres (2,196.93 ha).
Federal .......
State ..........
Private ........
Federal .......
State ..........
Private ........
Private ........
9,663.15 acres (3,910.54 ha).
87.87 acres (35.56 ha).
2,221.88 acres (899.16 ha).
1,784 acres (721.96 ha).
1,854.78 acres (750.60 ha).
5,515.12 acres (2,231.89 ha).
14.24 river mi (22.92 km)
....................
....................
136.12 river mi (219.06 km).
26,555.54 acres (10,746.64 ha).
Note: Area sizes may not sum due to rounding.
We present brief descriptions of all
units, and reasons why they meet the
definition of critical habitat for Pecos
pupfish, below.
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Unit 1: Upper Pecos River
The Upper Pecos River Unit consists
of 121.88 river mi (196.15 km). The
Upper Pecos River Unit begins at
Bosque Draw in Chaves County, New
Mexico, and extends south on the Pecos
River to (but not including) Brantley
Lake, in Eddy County, New Mexico. The
entire unit is currently occupied by the
species and supports all of the physical
and biological features (PBFs) essential
to the conservation of the species.
Ownership of the adjacent riparian areas
is 26.76 percent Federal, 3.99 percent
State, and 69.26 percent private.
Based on prior introductions, without
barriers, sheepshead minnow could
spread through all the accessible
portions of the Upper Pecos River Unit.
In addition, this unit is subject to
regular severe low and intermittent
flows. Conservation measures are in
place by the BOR under a biological
opinion to minimize river intermittency
for the federally threatened Pecos
bluntnose shiner. These measures buffer
the threat of river drying for Pecos
bluntnose shiner and, by extension,
Pecos pupfish.
The entirety of this unit has ongoing
water quality concerns and is
considered impaired. Water availability
in the unit is primarily influenced by
the management of the upstream dam at
Fort Sumner. River flows downstream of
Bitter Lake NWR are influenced by
groundwater pumping by PVACD water
users and return flows from crop
irrigation. Therefore, special
management considerations may be
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required to maintain barriers that
prevent the spread of sheepshead
minnow into the upper Pecos River,
enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket
releases of sheepshead minnow in New
Mexico and Texas, maintain adequate
water quantity and flow, monitor and
prevent water quality impairments from
upland sources such as agricultural
runoff and industrial pollutants,
routinely monitor for Pecos pupfish and
to document the extent and spread of
hybridization with sheepshead
minnows. The Upper Pecos River Unit
is occupied by two federally listed
species, the threatened Pecos sunflower
(Helianthus paradoxus) and the
endangered Pecos bluntnose shiner.
There is a complete overlap with
designated critical habitat for the Pecos
bluntnose shiner (see 50 CFR 17.95(e);
52 FR 5295, February 20, 1987).
Unit 2: Salt Creek Wilderness
The Salt Creek Wilderness Unit
contains Salt Creek (New Mexico (NM))
and four sinkholes within 5,428.74 acres
(2,196.93 ha) of land between
Cottonwood Road and the confluence
with the Pecos River in Chaves County,
New Mexico. Areas within this
proposed critical habitat unit are limited
to the sinkholes and wetlands areas, and
do not include the lands adjacent to the
wetted areas. The wetted areas within
this unit are currently occupied by the
species and support all of the PBFs
essential to the conservation of the
species. Ownership of the adjacent
riparian areas is 100 percent Federal,
primarily encompassing the Refuge
North Tract of Bitter Lake NWR. Salt
Creek (NM) is an ephemeral stream with
permanent water in deeper pools along
the stream course. There is a low risk of
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introgression with sheepshead minnow
into the sinkholes within the Salt Creek
Wilderness Unit, as they are isolated
from the Pecos River. Although fish
remain extant at several locations in the
unit, the extent of habitat is small, and
Salt Creek (NM) is subject to mortality
events. Therefore, special management
considerations may be required to
enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket
releases of sheepshead minnow in New
Mexico and Texas, maintain fish
barriers to prevent spread of sheepshead
minnow, maintain adequate water
quantity and flow in Salt Creek (NM),
monitor and prevent water quality
impairments from upland sources such
as agricultural runoff and industrial
pollutants, and routinely monitor for
Pecos pupfish to document the spread
and extent of hybridization with
sheepshead minnows. There is no
overlap with any designated critical
habitat for other listed species.
Unit 3: Bitter Lake
The Bitter Lake Unit contains Bitter
Creek and numerous isolated sinkholes,
spring ditches, managed and natural
wetlands, and oxbows of the Pecos
River within 11,972.90 acres (4,845.26
ha) of land between Bitter Lake Road in
the north and Miami Road in the South
in Chaves County, New Mexico. All of
the wetted areas in the entire unit are
currently occupied by the species and
support all of the PBFs essential to the
conservation of the species. Ownership
of the adjacent riparian areas is 80.71
percent Federal, 0.73 percent State, and
18.56 percent private. Most of the unit
falls within Bitter Lake NWR. While the
sinkholes in the Bitter Lake Unit are
isolated and well protected from
sheepshead minnow introgression, there
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is a potential to introduce sheepshead
minnow to the managed wetlands
within Bitter Lake NWR if the fish
barriers are overtopped in high flow
events. Water quality surveys have not
detected any impairment to the aquatic
environments in the unit. Furthermore,
most of the unit is within Bitter Lake
NWR, which protects the unit from
direct surface contamination.
The water in Bitter Creek is
supplemented by precipitation during
wet seasons or years, and during
drought years, when precipitation is not
sufficient to maintain surface flows,
portions of Bitter Creek dry out.
Therefore, special management
considerations may be required to
maintain adequate flows in Bitter Creek
to maintain habitat connectivity and for
routine monitoring for Pecos pupfish.
The Bitter Lake Unit is occupied by
seven federally listed species, the
threatened Wright’s marsh thistle
(Cirsium wrightii), threatened Pecos
sunflower, endangered Noel’s amphipod
(Gammarus desperatus), endangered
Roswell springsnail (Pyrgulopsis
roswellensis), endangered Pecos
assiminea (Assiminea pecos),
endangered Pecos gambusia (Gambusia
nobilis), and the endangered Koster’s
springsnail (Juturnia kosteri). There is a
complete overlap with designated
critical habitat for the Wright’s marsh
thistle (see 50 CFR 17.96(a); 88 FR
25208, May 25, 2023), Noel’s amphipod
(see 50 CFR 17.95(h); 76 FR 33036, June
7, 2011), Roswell springsnail (see 50
CFR 17.95(f); 77 FR 33036, June 7,
2011), Pecos assiminea (see 50 CFR
17.95(f); 76 FR 33036, June 7, 2011), and
Koster’s springsnail (see 50 CFR
17.95(f); 76 FR 33036, June 7, 2011).
Unit 4: BLM Overflow Wetlands/
Bottomless Lakes
The BLM Overflow Wetlands/
Bottomless Lakes Unit contains a
wetland and several sinkholes within
9,153.90 acres (3,704.45 ha) of land in
Chaves County, New Mexico. This unit
is east of the Pecos River and between
Highway 380 in the north and the
approximate southern border of the
BLM Overflow Wetlands ACEC in the
South. The wetlands and sinkholes
within this unit are currently occupied
by the species and support all of the
PBFs essential to the conservation of the
species. Ownership of the adjacent
riparian areas is 19.49 percent Federal,
20.26 percent State, and 60.25 percent
private. The majority of occupied
habitat within this unit falls within
Bottomless Lakes State Park and the
BLM Overflow Wetlands ACEC.
Although the BLM Overflow
Wetlands contain constructed and
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maintained fish barriers, a severe flood
could overtop or wash out these
barriers, presenting a risk from
sheepshead minnow, which are present
near this population. The isolated
sinkholes and wetlands within
Bottomless Lakes State Park are well
protected from sheepshead minnow
introgression because (1) they do not
contain game fish species and (2) fishing
with baitfish is illegal, making these
areas a low risk of bait-bucket releases.
In 2020, a complete loss of pupfish in
Upper Figure 8 Lake sinkhole is
speculated to have been caused by a
golden algae outbreak, but the actual
causes are unknown. Therefore, special
management considerations may be
required for routine monitoring for
Pecos pupfish to document the extent
and spread of hybridization with
sheepshead minnows. The BLM
Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes
Unit is occupied by one federally listed
species, the threatened Pecos sunflower.
Unit 5: Salt Creek (TX)
The Salt Creek (TX) Unit consists of
14.24 river mi (22.92 km) in Culberson
and Reeves Counties, Texas. The unit
begins at RM 2119 in Culberson County,
Texas, and extends northeast on Salt
Creek to RM 652 in Reeves County,
Texas. Ownership of the adjacent
riparian areas is entirely under private
ownership.
Pecos pupfish from the lower reach of
the Salt Creek (TX) Unit, near the
confluence with the Pecos River, were
confirmed introgressed with sheepshead
minnow, though an unidentified
physical barrier appears to have limited
the spread of introgressed fish further
upstream. The entirety of this unit has
ongoing water quality concerns and is
considered impaired due to
contaminants introduced from upland
sources such as agricultural runoff and
industrial pollutants from oil and gas
extraction. While during wet seasons or
years, the water in Salt Creek (TX) is
supplemented by precipitation, during
drought years, the precipitation is not
sufficient to maintain surface flows.
Therefore, special management
considerations may be required to
maintain barriers that prevent the
spread of sheepshead minnow into the
upper portion of Salt Creek (TX),
enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket
releases of sheepshead minnow in New
Mexico and Texas, maintain adequate
water quantity and flow, and monitor
and prevent water quality impairments
from upland sources such as
agricultural runoff and industrial
pollutants, and to survey and monitor
the extent and spread of hybridization
with sheepshead minnows. There is no
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overlap with any designated critical
habitat for other listed species in the
Salt Creek (TX) Unit.
Effects of Critical Habitat Designation
Section 7 Consultation
Section 7(a)(2) of the Act requires
Federal agencies, including the Service,
to ensure that any action they authorize,
fund, or carry out is not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of
any endangered species or threatened
species or result in the destruction or
adverse modification of designated
critical habitat of such species. In
addition, section 7(a)(4) of the Act
requires Federal agencies to confer with
the Service on any agency action which
is likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of any species proposed to be
listed under the Act or result in the
destruction or adverse modification of
proposed critical habitat.
Destruction or adverse modification
means a direct or indirect alteration that
appreciably diminishes the value of
critical habitat as a whole for the
conservation of a listed species (50 CFR
402.02).
Compliance with the requirements of
section 7(a)(2) is documented through
our issuance of:
(1) A concurrence letter for Federal
actions that may affect, but are not
likely to adversely affect, listed species
or critical habitat; or
(2) A biological opinion for Federal
actions that may affect, and are likely to
adversely affect, listed species or critical
habitat.
When we issue a biological opinion
concluding that a project is likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of a
listed species and/or destroy or
adversely modify critical habitat, we
provide reasonable and prudent
alternatives to the project, if any are
identifiable, that would avoid the
likelihood of jeopardy and/or
destruction or adverse modification of
critical habitat. We define ‘‘reasonable
and prudent alternatives’’ (at 50 CFR
402.02) as alternative actions identified
during formal consultation that:
(1) Can be implemented in a manner
consistent with the intended purpose of
the action,
(2) Can be implemented consistent
with the scope of the Federal agency’s
legal authority and jurisdiction,
(3) Are economically and
technologically feasible, and
(4) Would, in the Service Director’s
opinion, avoid the likelihood of
jeopardizing the continued existence of
the listed species or avoid the likelihood
of destroying or adversely modifying
critical habitat.
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Reasonable and prudent alternatives
can vary from slight project
modifications to extensive redesign or
relocation of the project. Costs
associated with implementing a
reasonable and prudent alternative are
similarly variable.
Regulations at 50 CFR 402.16 set forth
requirements for Federal agencies to
reinitiate consultation. Reinitiation of
consultation is required and shall be
requested by the Federal agency, where
discretionary Federal involvement or
control over the action has been
retained or is authorized by law and: (1)
If the amount or extent of taking
specified in the incidental take
statement is exceeded; (2) if new
information reveals effects of the action
that may affect listed species or critical
habitat in a manner or to an extent not
previously considered; (3) if the
identified action is subsequently
modified in a manner that causes an
effect to the listed species or critical
habitat that was not considered in the
biological opinion or written
concurrence; or (4) if a new species is
listed or critical habitat designated that
may be affected by the identified action.
As provided in 50 CFR 402.16, the
requirement to reinitiate consultations
for new species listings or critical
habitat designation does not apply to
certain agency actions (e.g., land
management plans issued by the Bureau
of Land Management in certain
circumstances).
Destruction or Adverse Modification of
Critical Habitat
The key factor related to the
destruction or adverse modification
determination is whether
implementation of the proposed Federal
action directly or indirectly alters the
designated critical habitat in a way that
appreciably diminishes the value of the
critical habitat for the conservation of
the listed species. As discussed above,
the role of critical habitat is to support
physical or biological features essential
to the conservation of a listed species
and provide for the conservation of the
species.
Section 4(b)(8) of the Act requires that
our Federal Register documents ‘‘shall,
to the maximum extent practicable also
include a brief description and
evaluation of those activities (whether
public or private) which, in the opinion
of the Secretary, if undertaken may
adversely modify [critical] habitat, or
may be affected by such designation.’’
Activities that may be affected by
designation of critical habitat for the
Pecos pupfish include those that may
affect the physical or biological features
of the proposed critical habitat (see
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Physical or Biological Features Essential
to the Conservation of the Species).
Exemptions
Application of Section 4(a)(3) of the Act
Section 4(a)(3)(B)(i) of the Act
provides that the Secretary shall not
designate as critical habitat any lands or
other geographical areas owned or
controlled by the Department of Defense
(DoD), or designated for its use, that are
subject to an integrated natural
resources management plan (INRMP)
prepared under section 101 of the Sikes
Act Improvement Act of 1997 (16 U.S.C.
670a), if the Secretary determines in
writing that such plan provides a benefit
to the species for which critical habitat
is proposed for designation. No DoD
lands with a completed INRMP are
within the proposed critical habitat
designation.
Consideration of Impacts Under Section
4(b)(2) of the Act
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act states that
the Secretary shall designate and make
revisions to critical habitat on the basis
of the best available scientific data after
taking into consideration the economic
impact, national security impact, and
any other relevant impact of specifying
any particular area as critical habitat.
The Secretary may exclude an area from
critical habitat if the benefits of
exclusion outweigh those of inclusion,
so long as exclusion will not result in
the extinction of the species concerned.
Exclusion decisions are governed by the
regulations at 50 CFR 424.19 and the
‘‘Policy Regarding Implementation of
Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered
Species Act’’ (hereafter, the ‘‘2016
Policy’’; 81 FR 7226, February 11, 2016),
both of which were developed jointly
with the National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS). We also refer to a 2008
Department of the Interior Solicitor’s
opinion entitled ‘‘The Secretary’s
Authority to Exclude Areas from a
Critical Habitat Designation under
Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered
Species Act’’ (M–37016).
In considering whether to exclude a
particular area from the designation, we
identify the benefits of including the
area in the designation, identify the
benefits of excluding the area from the
designation, and evaluate whether the
benefits of exclusion outweigh the
benefits of inclusion. If the analysis
indicates that the benefits of exclusion
outweigh the benefits of inclusion, the
Secretary may exercise discretion to
exclude the area only if such exclusion
would not result in the extinction of the
species. In making the determination to
exclude a particular area, the statute on
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its face, as well as the legislative history,
are clear that the Secretary has broad
discretion regarding which factor(s) to
use and how much weight to give to any
factor. In our final rules, we explain any
decision to exclude areas, as well as
decisions not to exclude, to make clear
the rational basis for our decision. We
describe below the process that we use
for taking into consideration each
category of impacts and any initial
analyses of the relevant impacts.
Consideration of Economic Impacts
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act and its
implementing regulations require that
we consider the economic impact that
may result from a designation of critical
habitat. To assess the probable
economic impacts of a designation, we
must first evaluate specific land uses or
activities and projects that may occur in
the area of the critical habitat. We then
must evaluate the impacts that a specific
critical habitat designation may have on
restricting or modifying specific land
uses or activities for the benefit of the
species and its habitat within the areas
proposed. We then identify which
conservation efforts may be the result of
the species being listed under the Act
versus those attributed solely to the
designation of critical habitat for this
particular species. The probable
economic impact of a proposed critical
habitat designation is analyzed by
comparing scenarios both ‘‘with critical
habitat’’ and ‘‘without critical habitat.’’
The ‘‘without critical habitat’’
scenario represents the baseline for the
analysis, which includes the existing
regulatory and socio-economic burden
imposed on landowners, managers, or
other resource users potentially affected
by the designation of critical habitat
(e.g., under the Federal listing as well as
other Federal, State, and local
regulations). Therefore, the baseline
represents the costs of all efforts
attributable to the listing of the species
under the Act (i.e., conservation of the
species and its habitat incurred
regardless of whether critical habitat is
designated). The ‘‘with critical habitat’’
scenario describes the incremental
impacts associated specifically with the
designation of critical habitat for the
species. The incremental conservation
efforts and associated impacts would
not be expected without the designation
of critical habitat for the species. In
other words, the incremental costs are
those attributable solely to the
designation of critical habitat, above and
beyond the baseline costs. These are the
costs we use when evaluating the
benefits of inclusion and exclusion of
particular areas from the final
designation of critical habitat should we
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choose to conduct a discretionary
section 4(b)(2) exclusion analysis.
Executive Order (E.O.) 14094 amends
and reaffirms E.O. 12866 and E.O. 13563
and directs Federal agencies to assess
the costs and benefits of available
regulatory alternatives in quantitative
(to the extent feasible) and qualitative
terms. Consistent with the E.O.
regulatory analysis requirements, our
effects analysis under the Act may take
into consideration impacts to both
directly and indirectly affected entities,
where practicable and reasonable. If
sufficient data are available, we assess
to the extent practicable the probable
impacts to both directly and indirectly
affected entities. Section 3(f) of E.O.
12866 identifies four criteria when a
regulation is considered a ‘‘significant
regulatory action’’ and requires
additional analysis, review, and
approval if met. The criterion relevant
here is whether the designation of
critical habitat may have an economic
effect of $200 million or more in any
given year (section 3(f)(1) of E.O 12866
as amended by E.O. 14094). Therefore,
our consideration of economic impacts
uses a screening analysis to assess
whether a designation of critical habitat
for Pecos pupfish is likely to exceed the
threshold for a regulatory action
significant under section 3(f)(1) of E.O.
12866, as amended by E.O. 14094.
For this particular designation, we
developed an incremental effects
memorandum (IEM) considering the
probable incremental economic impacts
that may result from this proposed
designation of critical habitat. The
information contained in our IEM was
then used to develop a screening
analysis of the probable effects of the
designation of critical habitat for the
Pecos pupfish (Industrial Economics,
Inc. (IEc) 2024; entire). We began by
conducting a screening analysis of the
proposed designation of critical habitat
in order to focus our analysis on the key
factors that are likely to result in
incremental economic impacts. The
purpose of the screening analysis is to
filter out particular geographical areas of
critical habitat that are already subject
to such protections and are, therefore,
unlikely to incur incremental economic
impacts. In particular, the screening
analysis considers baseline costs (i.e.,
absent critical habitat designation) and
includes any probable incremental
economic impacts where land and water
use may already be subject to
conservation plans, land management
plans, best management practices, or
regulations that protect the habitat area
as a result of the Federal listing status
of the species. Ultimately, the screening
analysis allows us to focus our analysis
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on evaluating the specific areas or
sectors that may incur probable
incremental economic impacts as a
result of the designation. The presence
of the listed species in occupied areas
of critical habitat means that any
destruction or adverse modification of
those areas is also likely to jeopardize
the continued existence of the species.
Therefore, designating occupied areas as
critical habitat typically causes little if
any incremental impacts above and
beyond the impacts of listing the
species. As a result, we generally focus
the screening analysis on areas of
unoccupied critical habitat (unoccupied
units or unoccupied areas within
occupied units). Overall, the screening
analysis assesses whether designation of
critical habitat is likely to result in any
additional management or conservation
efforts that may incur incremental
economic impacts. This screening
analysis combined with the information
contained in our IEM constitute what
we consider to be our economic analysis
of the proposed critical habitat
designation for the Pecos pupfish and is
summarized in the narrative below.
As part of our screening analysis, we
considered the types of economic
activities that are likely to occur within
the areas likely affected by the critical
habitat designation. In our evaluation of
the probable incremental economic
impacts that may result from the
proposed designation of critical habitat
for the Pecos pupfish, first we
identified, in the IEM dated March 26,
2024, probable incremental economic
impacts associated with the following
categories of activities: (1) Federal lands
management (BLM, Natural Resources
Conservation Service, BOR, and our
NWR System), (2) prescribed fire
projects, (3) pipeline and utility
crossings, (4) watershed restoration
activities, (5) road maintenance and
bridge replacement maintenance, (6)
pesticide use, (7) construction of
recreation improvements and
management of recreation activities, (8)
stocking practices, (9) surveys and
monitoring, (10) agriculture, and (11) oil
and gas exploration and extraction. We
considered each industry or category
individually. Additionally, we
considered whether their activities have
any Federal involvement. Critical
habitat designation generally will not
affect activities that do not have any
Federal involvement; under the Act,
designation of critical habitat only
affects activities conducted, funded,
permitted, or authorized by Federal
agencies. If we list the species, in areas
where the Pecos pupfish is present,
Federal agencies would be required to
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consult with the Service under section
7 of the Act on activities they authorize,
fund, or carry out that may affect the
species. If when we list the species, we
also finalize this proposed critical
habitat designation, Federal agencies
would be required to consider the
effects of their actions on the designated
habitat, and if the Federal action may
affect critical habitat, our consultations
would include an evaluation of
measures to avoid the destruction or
adverse modification of critical habitat.
In our IEM, we attempted to clarify
the distinction between the effects that
would result from the species being
listed and those attributable to the
critical habitat designation (i.e.,
difference between the jeopardy and
adverse modification standards) for the
Pecos pupfish’s critical habitat. Because
the designation of critical habitat for
Pecos pupfish is being proposed
concurrently with the listing, it has been
our experience that it is more difficult
to discern which conservation efforts
are attributable to the species being
listed and those which will result solely
from the designation of critical habitat.
However, the following specific
circumstances in this case help to
inform our evaluation: (1) The essential
physical or biological features identified
for critical habitat are the same features
essential for the life requisites of the
species, and (2) any actions that would
likely adversely affect the essential
physical or biological features of
occupied critical habitat are also likely
to adversely affect the Pecos pupfish
itself. The IEM outlines our rationale
concerning this limited distinction
between baseline conservation efforts
and incremental impacts of the
designation of critical habitat for this
species. This evaluation of the
incremental effects has been used as the
basis to evaluate the probable
incremental economic impacts of this
proposed designation of critical habitat.
The proposed critical habitat
designation for the Pecos pupfish
includes a total of five units, all of
which are occupied by the species.
Ownership of the riparian lands
adjacent to the two proposed riverine
units includes 32.61 river mi (52.48 km;
23.95 percent) Federal, 4.86 river mi
(7.82 km; 3.57 percent) State, and 98.65
river mi (158.76 km; 72.47 percent)
private. Ownership of lands that
encompass numerous isolated sinkholes
and wetland areas that are currently
occupied by the species in three
proposed units includes 16,875.89 acres
(6,829.43 ha, 63.55 percent) Federal,
1,942.65 acres (786.16 ha, 7.32 percent)
State, and 7,737 acres (3131.05 ha, 29.14
percent) private. In these areas, any
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actions that may affect the Pecos
pupfish or its habitats would also affect
designated critical habitat. Three of the
five proposed units overlap with
existing critical habitat for seven other
federally listed species, including Pecos
bluntnose shiner, Koster’s springsnail,
Pecos sunflower, Noel’s amphipod,
Wright’s marsh thistle, Roswell
springsnail, and Pecos assiminea.
The proposed critical habitat
designation for the Pecos pupfish totals
136.12 river mi (219.06 river km) of
instream habitat (to the ordinary high
water mark, not including riparian
areas) and 26,555.54 acres (10,746.64
ha) of lands that encompass numerous
isolated sinkholes and wetland areas
that are currently occupied by the
species (the sinkholes and wetlands
areas, not including the lands adjacent
to the wetted areas). In these areas any
actions that may affect the species or its
habitat would also affect designated
critical habitat, and it is unlikely that
any additional conservation efforts
would be recommended to address the
adverse modification standard over and
above those recommended to avoid
jeopardizing the continued existence of
the Pecos pupfish. Therefore, only
administrative costs are expected in 100
percent of the proposed critical habitat
designation. While this additional
analysis will require time and resources
by both the Federal action agency and
the Service, it is believed that, in most
circumstances, these costs would
predominantly be administrative in
nature and would not be significant.
The entities most likely to incur
incremental costs are parties to section
7 consultations, including Federal
action agencies and, in some cases, third
parties, most frequently State agencies
or municipalities. Activities that we
expect would be subject to consultations
that may involve private entities as third
parties are oil and gas operations that
may occur on private lands. However,
based on coordination with State
agencies, the cost to private entities is
expected to be relatively minor
(administrative costs of less than $5,700
per consultation effort); therefore, they
would not be significant.
The probable incremental economic
impacts of the Pecos pupfish critical
habitat designation are expected to be
limited to additional administrative
effort as well as minor costs of
conservation efforts resulting from a
small number of future section 7
consultations. This limitation is due to
two factors: (1) the proposed units are
considered occupied by the Pecos
pupfish, and occupied units are
afforded significant baseline protection
under the Act due to the presence of the
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listed species; and (2) the Pecos pupfish
receives additional baseline protection
from co-occurring listed species, which
include species with overlapping
critical habitat and similar resource and
habitat needs. At approximately $5,700
or less per consultation, the burden
resulting from designation of critical
habitat for the Pecos pupfish, based on
the anticipated annual number of
consultations and associated
consultation costs, is not expected to
exceed $11,000 in most years. The
designation is unlikely to trigger
additional requirements under State or
local regulations. Thus, the annual
administrative burden is relatively low.
Any future probable incremental
economic impacts are not likely to
exceed $200 million in any single year,
and impacts that are concentrated in
any geographical area are not likely as
a result of this critical habitat
designation.
We are soliciting data and comments
from the public on the economic
analysis discussed above. During the
development of a final designation, we
will consider the information presented
in the economic analysis and any
additional information on economic
impacts we receive during the public
comment period to determine whether
any specific areas should be excluded
from the final critical habitat
designation under authority of section
4(b)(2), our implementing regulations at
50 CFR 424.19, and the 2016 Policy. We
may exclude an area from critical
habitat if we determine that the benefits
of excluding the area outweigh the
benefits of including the area, provided
the exclusion will not result in the
extinction of this species.
Consideration of National Security
Impacts
Section 4(a)(3)(B)(i) of the Act may
not cover all DoD lands or areas that
pose potential national-security
concerns (e.g., a DoD installation that is
in the process of revising its INRMP for
a newly listed species or a species
previously not covered). If a particular
area is not covered under section
4(a)(3)(B)(i), then national-security or
homeland-security concerns are not a
factor in the process of determining
what areas meet the definition of
‘‘critical habitat.’’ However, we must
still consider impacts on national
security, including homeland security,
on those lands or areas not covered by
section 4(a)(3)(B)(i) because section
4(b)(2) requires us to consider those
impacts whenever it designates critical
habitat. Accordingly, if DoD,
Department of Homeland Security
(DHS), or another Federal agency has
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requested exclusion based on an
assertion of national-security or
homeland-security concerns, or we have
otherwise identified national-security or
homeland-security impacts from
designating particular areas as critical
habitat, we generally have reason to
consider excluding those areas.
However, we cannot automatically
exclude requested areas. When DoD,
DHS, or another Federal agency requests
exclusion from critical habitat on the
basis of national-security or homelandsecurity impacts, we must conduct an
exclusion analysis if the Federal
requester provides information,
including a reasonably specific
justification of an incremental impact
on national security that would result
from the designation of that specific
area as critical habitat. That justification
could include demonstration of
probable impacts, such as impacts to
ongoing border-security patrols and
surveillance activities, or a delay in
training or facility construction, as a
result of compliance with section 7(a)(2)
of the Act. If the agency requesting the
exclusion does not provide us with a
reasonably specific justification, we will
contact the agency to recommend that it
provide a specific justification or
clarification of its concerns relative to
the probable incremental impact that
could result from the designation. If we
conduct an exclusion analysis because
the agency provides a reasonably
specific justification or because we
decide to exercise the discretion to
conduct an exclusion analysis, we will
defer to the expert judgment of DoD,
DHS, or another Federal agency as to:
(1) Whether activities on its lands or
waters, or its activities on other lands or
waters, have national-security or
homeland-security implications; (2) the
importance of those implications; and
(3) the degree to which the cited
implications would be adversely
affected in the absence of an exclusion.
In that circumstance, in conducting a
discretionary section 4(b)(2) exclusion
analysis, we will give great weight to
national-security and homeland-security
concerns in analyzing the benefits of
exclusion.
In preparing this proposal, we have
determined that the lands within the
proposed designation of critical habitat
for Pecos pupfish are not owned or
managed by the DoD or DHS, and,
therefore, we anticipate no impact on
national security or homeland security.
Consideration of Other Relevant
Impacts
Under section 4(b)(2) of the Act, we
consider any other relevant impacts, in
addition to economic impacts and
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impacts on national security discussed
above. To identify other relevant
impacts that may affect the exclusion
analysis, we consider a number of
factors, including whether there are
approved and permitted conservation
agreements or plans covering the
species in the area—such as safe harbor
agreements (SHAs), candidate
conservation agreements with
assurances (CCAAs) or ‘‘conservation
benefit agreements’’ or ‘‘conservation
agreements’’ (‘‘CBAs’’) (CBAs are a new
type of agreement replacing SHAs and
CCAAs in use after April 2024 (89 FR
26070; April 12, 2024)), or HCPs—or
whether there are non-permitted
conservation agreements and
partnerships that may be impaired by
designation of, or exclusion from,
critical habitat. In addition, we look at
whether Tribal conservation plans or
partnerships, Tribal resources, or
government-to-government
relationships of the United States with
Tribal entities may be affected by the
designation. We also consider any State,
local, social, or other impacts that might
occur because of the designation.
Summary of Exclusions Considered
Under 4(b)(2) of the Act
At this time, we are not considering
any exclusions from the proposed
designation based on economic impacts,
national security impacts, or other
relevant impacts—such as partnerships,
management, or protection afforded by
cooperative management efforts—under
section 4(b)(2) of the Act. Some areas
within the proposed designation are
included in the Conservation Agreement
for the Pecos Pupfish between and
among TPWD; NMDGF; New Mexico
Energy, Minerals and Natural Resources
Department; New Mexico Department of
Agriculture; New Mexico Interstate
Stream Commission; New Mexico State
Land Office; BLM; and the Service.
If through the public comment period
we receive information that we
determine indicates that there are
economic, national security, or other
relevant impacts from designating
particular areas as critical habitat, then
as part of developing the final
designation of critical habitat, we will
evaluate that information and may
conduct a discretionary exclusion
analysis to determine whether to
exclude those areas under authority of
section 4(b)(2) and our implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 424.19. If we
receive a request for exclusion of a
particular area and after evaluation of
supporting information we do not
exclude, we will fully explain our
decision in the final rule for this action.
(Please see ADDRESSES, above, for
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instructions on how to submit
comments).
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Proposed Rule
We are required by E.O.s 12866 and
12988 and by the Presidential
Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write
all rules in plain language. This means
that each rule we publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address
readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than
jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and
sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever
possible.
If you feel that we have not met these
requirements, send us comments by one
of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To
better help us revise the rulemaking,
your comments should be as specific as
possible. For example, you should tell
us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written,
which sections or sentences are too
long, the sections where you feel lists or
tables would be useful, etc.
Regulatory Planning and Review
(Executive Orders 12866, 13563 and
14094)
Executive Order 14094 amends and
reaffirms the principles of E.O. 12866
and E.O. 13563 and states that
regulatory analysis should facilitate
agency efforts to develop regulations
that serve the public interest, advance
statutory objectives, and are consistent
with E.O.s 12866, 13563, and 14094.
Regulatory analysis, as practicable and
appropriate, shall recognize distributive
impacts and equity, to the extent
permitted by law. E.O. 13563
emphasizes further that regulations
must be based on the best available
science and that the rulemaking process
must allow for public participation and
an open exchange of ideas. We have
developed this proposed rule in a
manner consistent with these
requirements.
Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601
et seq.)
Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act
(RFA; 5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.), as amended
by the Small Business Regulatory
Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996
(SBREFA; title II of Pub. L. 104–121,
March 29, 1996.), whenever an agency
is required to publish a notice of
rulemaking for any proposed or final
rule, it must prepare and make available
for public comment a regulatory
flexibility analysis that describes the
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effects of the rule on small entities (i.e.,
small businesses, small organizations,
and small government jurisdictions).
However, no regulatory flexibility
analysis is required if the head of the
agency certifies the rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
The SBREFA amended the RFA to
require Federal agencies to provide a
certification statement of the factual
basis for certifying that the rule will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
According to the Small Business
Administration, small entities include
small organizations such as
independent nonprofit organizations;
small governmental jurisdictions,
including school boards and city and
town governments that serve fewer than
50,000 residents; and small businesses
(13 CFR 121.201). Small businesses
include manufacturing and mining
concerns with fewer than 500
employees, wholesale trade entities
with fewer than 100 employees, retail
and service businesses with less than $5
million in annual sales, general and
heavy construction businesses with less
than $27.5 million in annual business,
special trade contractors doing less than
$11.5 million in annual business, and
agricultural businesses with annual
sales less than $750,000. To determine
whether potential economic impacts to
these small entities are significant, we
considered the types of activities that
might trigger regulatory impacts under
this designation as well as types of
project modifications that may result. In
general, the term ‘‘significant economic
impact’’ is meant to apply to a typical
small business firm’s business
operations.
Under the RFA, as amended, as
understood in light of recent court
decisions, Federal agencies are required
to evaluate the potential incremental
impacts of rulemaking on those entities
directly regulated by the rulemaking
itself; in other words, the RFA does not
require agencies to evaluate the
potential impacts to indirectly regulated
entities. The regulatory mechanism
through which critical habitat
protections are realized is section 7 of
the Act, which requires Federal
agencies, in consultation with the
Service, to ensure that any action
authorized, funded, or carried out by the
agency is not likely to destroy or
adversely modify critical habitat.
Therefore, under section 7, only Federal
action agencies are directly subject to
the specific regulatory requirement
(avoiding destruction and adverse
modification) imposed by critical
habitat designation. Consequently, only
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Federal action agencies would be
directly regulated if we adopt the
proposed critical habitat designation.
The RFA does not require evaluation of
the potential impacts to entities not
directly regulated. Moreover, Federal
agencies are not small entities.
Therefore, because no small entities
would be directly regulated by this
rulemaking, the Service certifies that, if
made final as proposed, the proposed
critical habitat designation will not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
In summary, we have considered
whether the proposed designation
would result in a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities. For the above reasons and
based on currently available
information, we certify that, if made
final, the proposed critical habitat
designation would not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small business entities.
Therefore, an initial regulatory
flexibility analysis is not required.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS2
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use—
Executive Order 13211
E.O. 13211 (Actions Concerning
Regulations That Significantly Affect
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use)
requires agencies to prepare statements
of energy effects to the extent permitted
by law when undertaking actions
identified as significant energy actions
(66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001). E.O. 13211
defines a ‘‘significant energy action’’ as
an action that (i) meets the definition of
a ‘‘significant regulatory action’’ under
E.O. 12866, as amended by E.O. 14094,
and (ii) is likely to have a significant
adverse effect on the supply,
distribution, or use of energy. In our
economic analysis, we did not find that
this proposed critical habitat
designation would significantly affect
energy supplies, distribution, or use.
Therefore, this action is not a significant
energy action, and no statement of
energy effects is required.
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (2
U.S.C. 1501 et seq.)
In accordance with the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act (2 U.S.C. 1501 et
seq.), we make the following finding:
(1) This proposed rule would not
produce a Federal mandate. In general,
a Federal mandate is a provision in
legislation, statute, or regulation that
would impose an enforceable duty upon
State, local, or Tribal governments, or
the private sector, and includes both
‘‘Federal intergovernmental mandates’’
and ‘‘Federal private sector mandates.’’
These terms are defined in 2 U.S.C.
658(5)–(7). ‘‘Federal intergovernmental
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mandate’’ includes a regulation that
‘‘would impose an enforceable duty
upon State, local, or Tribal
governments’’ with two exceptions. It
excludes ‘‘a condition of Federal
assistance.’’ It also excludes ‘‘a duty
arising from participation in a voluntary
Federal program,’’ unless the regulation
‘‘relates to a then-existing Federal
program under which $500,000,000 or
more is provided annually to State,
local, and Tribal governments under
entitlement authority,’’ if the provision
would ‘‘increase the stringency of
conditions of assistance’’ or ‘‘place caps
upon, or otherwise decrease, the Federal
Government’s responsibility to provide
funding,’’ and the State, local, or Tribal
governments ‘‘lack authority’’ to adjust
accordingly. At the time of enactment,
these entitlement programs were
Medicaid; Aid to Families with
Dependent Children work programs;
Child Nutrition; Food Stamps; Social
Services Block Grants; Vocational
Rehabilitation State Grants; Foster Care,
Adoption Assistance, and Independent
Living; Family Support Welfare
Services; and Child Support
Enforcement. ‘‘Federal private sector
mandate’’ includes a regulation that
‘‘would impose an enforceable duty
upon the private sector, except (i) a
condition of Federal assistance or (ii) a
duty arising from participation in a
voluntary Federal program.’’
The designation of critical habitat
does not impose a legally binding duty
on non-Federal Government entities or
private parties. Under the Act, the only
regulatory effect is that Federal agencies
must ensure that their actions are not
likely to destroy or adversely modify
critical habitat under section 7. While
non-Federal entities that receive Federal
funding, assistance, or permits, or that
otherwise require approval or
authorization from a Federal agency for
an action, may be indirectly impacted
by the designation of critical habitat, the
legally binding duty to avoid
destruction or adverse modification of
critical habitat rests squarely on the
Federal agency. Furthermore, to the
extent that non-Federal entities are
indirectly impacted because they
receive Federal assistance or participate
in a voluntary Federal aid program, the
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act would
not apply, nor would critical habitat
shift the costs of the large entitlement
programs listed above onto State
governments.
(2) We do not believe that this
proposed rule would significantly or
uniquely affect small governments,
because the lands being proposed for
critical habitat designation are owned
by the New Mexico State Parks, BLM,
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92777
BOR, and the Service’s NWR System.
None of these government entities fits
the definition of ‘‘small government
jurisdiction.’’ Therefore, a small
government agency plan is not required.
Takings—Executive Order 12630
In accordance with E.O. 12630
(Government Actions and Interference
with Constitutionally Protected Private
Property Rights), we have analyzed the
potential takings implications of
designating critical habitat for Pecos
pupfish in a takings implications
assessment. The Act does not authorize
the Services to regulate private actions
on private lands or confiscate private
property as a result of critical habitat
designation. Designation of critical
habitat does not affect land ownership,
or establish any closures, or restrictions
on use of or access to the designated
areas. Furthermore, the designation of
critical habitat does not affect
landowner actions that do not require
Federal funding or permits, nor does it
preclude development of habitat
conservation programs or issuance of
incidental take permits to permit actions
that do require Federal funding or
permits to go forward. However, Federal
agencies are prohibited from carrying
out, funding, or authorizing actions that
would destroy or adversely modify
critical habitat. A takings implications
assessment has been completed for the
proposed designation of critical habitat
for Pecos pupfish, and it concludes that,
if adopted, this designation of critical
habitat does not pose significant takings
implications for lands within or affected
by the designation.
Federalism—Executive Order 13132
In accordance with E.O. 13132
(Federalism), this proposed rule does
not have significant federalism effects.
A federalism summary impact statement
is not required. In keeping with
Department of the Interior and
Department of Commerce policy, we
requested information from, and
coordinated development of this
proposed critical habitat designation
with, appropriate State resource
agencies. From a federalism perspective,
the designation of critical habitat
directly affects only the responsibilities
of Federal agencies. The Act imposes no
other duties with respect to critical
habitat, either for States and local
governments, or for anyone else. As a
result, the proposed rule does not have
substantial direct effects either on the
States, or on the relationship between
the Federal Government and the States,
or on the distribution of powers and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government. The proposed
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designation may have some benefit to
these governments because the areas
that contain the features essential to the
conservation of the species are more
clearly defined, and the physical or
biological features of the habitat
necessary for the conservation of the
species are specifically identified. This
information does not alter where and
what federally sponsored activities may
occur. However, it may assist State and
local governments in long-range
planning because they no longer have to
wait for case-by-case section 7
consultations to occur.
Where State and local governments
require approval or authorization from a
Federal agency for actions that may
affect critical habitat, consultation
under section 7(a)(2) of the Act would
be required. While non-Federal entities
that receive Federal funding, assistance,
or permits, or that otherwise require
approval or authorization from a Federal
agency for an action, may be indirectly
impacted by the designation of critical
habitat, the legally binding duty to
avoid destruction or adverse
modification of critical habitat rests
squarely on the Federal agency.
Civil Justice Reform—Executive Order
12988
In accordance with E.O. 12988 (Civil
Justice Reform), the Office of the
Solicitor has determined that the rule
would not unduly burden the judicial
system and that it meets the
requirements of sections 3(a) and 3(b)(2)
of the order. We have proposed
designating critical habitat in
accordance with the provisions of the
Act. To assist the public in
understanding the habitat needs of the
species, this proposed rule identifies the
physical or biological features essential
to the conservation of the species. The
proposed areas of critical habitat are
presented on maps, and the proposed
rule provides several options for the
interested public to obtain more
detailed location information, if desired.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS2
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.)
This proposed rule does not contain
information collection requirements,
and a submission to the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) under
the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
(44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.) is not required.
We may not conduct or sponsor and you
are not required to respond to a
collection of information unless it
displays a currently valid OMB control
number.
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National Environmental Policy Act (42
U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
Regulations adopted pursuant to
section 4(a) of the Act are exempt from
the National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.) and do
not require an environmental analysis
under NEPA. We published a rulerelated notice outlining our reasons for
this determination in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244). This includes listing, delisting,
and reclassification rules, as well as
critical habitat designations and speciesspecific protective regulations
promulgated concurrently with a
decision to list or reclassify a species as
threatened. The courts have upheld this
position (e.g., Douglas County v.
Babbitt, 48 F.3d 1495 (9th Cir. 1995)
(critical habitat); Center for Biological
Diversity v. U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, 2005 WL 2000928 (N.D. Cal.
Aug. 19, 2005) (concurrent 4(d) rule)).
However, when we designate as
‘‘critical habitat’’ any of the areas that
fall within the jurisdiction of the U.S.
Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit,
including this designation proposed for
the Pecos pupfish, we undertake a
NEPA analysis for that critical habitat
designation consistent with the Tenth
Circuit’s ruling in Catron County Board
of Commissioners v. U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, 75 F.3d 1429 (10th Cir.
1996). We invite the public to comment
on the extent to which this proposed
critical habitat designation may have a
significant impact on the human
environment, or fall within one of the
categorical exclusions for actions that
have no individual or cumulative effect
on the quality of the human
environment. We will complete our
analysis, in compliance with NEPA,
before finalizing this proposed rule.
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951, May 4,
1994), E.O. 13175 (Consultation and
Coordination with Indian Tribal
Governments), the President’s
memorandum of November 30, 2022
(Uniform Standards for Tribal
Consultation; 87 FR 74479, December 5,
2022), and the Department of the
Interior’s manual at 512 DM 2, we
readily acknowledge our responsibility
to communicate meaningfully with
federally recognized Tribes and Alaska
Native Corporations (ANCs) on a
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
government-to-government basis. In
accordance with Secretary’s Order 3206
of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal
Rights, Federal-Tribal Trust
Responsibilities, and the Endangered
Species Act), we readily acknowledge
our responsibilities to work directly
with Tribes in developing programs for
healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that
Tribal lands are not subject to the same
controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and
to make information available to Tribes.
We will continue to work with relevant
Tribal entities during the development
of any final rules for the Pecos pupfish.
We have determined that no Tribal
lands fall within the boundaries of the
proposed critical habitat for the Pecos
pupfish, so no Tribal lands would be
affected by the proposed designation.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in
this rulemaking is available on the
internet at https://www.regulations.gov
and upon request from the New Mexico
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed
rule are the staff members of the Fish
and Wildlife Service’s Species
Assessment Team and the New Mexico
Ecological Services Field Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Plants, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation, Wildlife.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we propose to amend
part 17, subchapter B of chapter I, title
50 of the Code of Federal Regulations,
as set forth below:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
2. In § 17.11, in paragraph (h), amend
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife by adding an entry for
‘‘Pupfish, Pecos’’ in alphabetical order
under FISHES to read as follows:
■
§ 17.11 Endangered and threatened
wildlife.
*
*
*
(h) * * *
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*
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 226 / Friday, November 22, 2024 / Proposed Rules
Common name
*
Scientific name
*
Where listed
*
*
Status
Listing citations and applicable rules
*
*
*
FISHES
*
Pupfish, Pecos ............................
*
*
*
Cyprinodon pecosensis .............
*
*
3. In § 17.44, add paragraph (bb) to
read as follows:
■
§ 17.44
Species-specific rules—fishes.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS2
*
*
*
*
*
(bb) Pecos pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis)—(1) Prohibitions. The
following prohibitions that apply to
endangered wildlife also apply to Pecos
pupfish. Except as provided under
paragraph (bb)(2) of this section and
§§ 17.4 and 17.5, it is unlawful for any
person subject to the jurisdiction of the
United States to commit, to attempt to
commit, to solicit another to commit, or
cause to be committed, any of the
following acts in regard to this species:
(i) Import or export, as set forth at
§ 17.21(b) for endangered wildlife.
(ii) Take, as set forth at § 17.21(c)(1)
for endangered wildlife.
(iii) Possession and other acts with
unlawfully taken specimens, as set forth
at § 17.21(d)(1) for endangered wildlife.
(iv) Interstate or foreign commerce in
the course of a commercial activity, as
set forth at § 17.21(e) for endangered
wildlife.
(v) Sale or offer for sale, as set forth
at § 17.21(f) for endangered wildlife.
(2) Exceptions from prohibitions. In
regard to this species, you may:
(i) Conduct activities as authorized by
a permit under § 17.32.
(ii) Take, as set forth at § 17.21(c)(2)
through (c)(4) for endangered wildlife.
(iii) Take, as set forth at § 17.31(b).
(iv) Possess and engage in other acts
with unlawfully taken wildlife, as set
forth at § 17.21(d)(2) for endangered
wildlife.
(v) Take incidental to an otherwise
lawful activity caused by:
(A) Management and maintenance of
ponds that satisfy Texas Parks and
Wildlife Department (TPWD) permitting
requirements and are stocked by TPWD
with captive-bred Pecos pupfish.
(B) Research activities conducted by
holders of a valid scientific research
permit, zoological permit, or
educational display permit issued by
TPWD on individual Pecos pupfish in
ponds that are part of the TPWD Pecos
pupfish production effort. Researchers
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*
*
Wherever found ......................... T
*
*
must report annually to TPWD, and
TPWD must annually report to the
Service, the following information:
(1) The nature of research performed;
(2) The dates of fieldwork;
(3) The number of individuals
collected or captured and the methods
used to obtain them;
(4) A description of any accidental
injuries or mortalities; and
(5) The number of individuals from
which genetic material was collected,
the type of tissue collected, and the
institution or location where the genetic
material is being stored.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 4. In § 17.95, in paragraph (e), add an
entry for ‘‘Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis)’’ after the entry for ‘‘Leon
Springs Pupfish (Cyprinodon bovinus)’’,
to read as follows:
§ 17.95
Critical habitat—fish and wildlife.
*
*
*
(e) Fishes.
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis)
(1) Critical habitat units are depicted
for Chaves and Eddy Counties, New
Mexico, and Culberson and Reeves
Counties, Texas, on the maps in this
entry.
(2) Within these areas, the physical or
biological features essential to the
conservation of Pecos pupfish consist of
the following components:
(i) Water quality parameters that
support all life stages of the Pecos
pupfish, including:
(A) Absence of pollutants, or a level
of contaminants low enough that it does
not negatively impact necessary water
quality conditions for Pecos pupfish
individuals;
(B) Salinity less than 35,000 mg/L;
(C) Temperature less than 42.7 °C
(108.9 °F); and
(D) Dissolved oxygen greater than 2.5
mg/L.
(ii) Sufficient water quantity
parameters that support all life stages of
the Pecos pupfish, including:
(A) Permanent water in a portion of
the habitat; and
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Fmt 4701
*
*
[Federal Register citation when published as a
final rule]; 50 CFR 17.44(bb); 4d 50 CFR
17.95(e).CH
Sfmt 4702
*
*
(B) Water depth less than 2 m (6.56 ft)
deep to allow for thermal refugia and
breeding.
(iii) Presence of silt-free underwater
features such as crevices, boulders, large
rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic
plants that are used for egg deposition.
(iv) Absence of nonnative invasive
sheepshead minnow.
(3) Critical habitat does not include
manmade structures (such as buildings,
aqueducts, runways, roads, and other
paved areas) and the land on which they
are located existing within the legal
boundaries on the effective date of the
final rule.
(4) Data layers defining map units
were created using ESRI OpenStreets
and Imagery basemaps, USA Federal
Lands data, and the National
Hydrography Dataset (NHD) Plus
dataset. Polygons for units 2, 3, and 4
were largely defined through heads-up
digitization or land ownership
boundaries (Unit 3, Bitter Lake NWR);
acreage or mileage numbers in the
designation came from these features.
For online distribution, linear features
in Unit 1 (the Pecos River) and Unit 5
(Salt Creek) were converted to polygons.
We used NHD polygons when available.
When polygons were unavailable, we
buffered the linear features by a set
distance; 20 m for the lower third of
unit 1, and 5 m for the entirety of unit
5. The boundaries of units 2, 3, and 4
that abutted the Pecos River were
adjusted to match the new Unit 1
polygon. The maps in this entry, as
modified by any accompanying
regulatory text, establish the boundaries
of the critical habitat designation. The
coordinates or plot points or both on
which each map is based are available
to the public at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R2–ES–2024–0143 and at the field
office responsible for this designation.
You may obtain field office location
information by contacting one of the
Service regional offices, the addresses of
which are listed at 50 CFR 2.2.
(5) Index map follows:
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Figure 1 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis) paragraph (5)
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
Critical Habitat for Pecos Pupfish - Unit Overview
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' '•'
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS2
1 I'l
D 1ti 20Km
BILLING CODE 4333–15–C
(6) Unit 1: Upper Pecos River, Chaves
and Eddy Counties, New Mexico.
(i) Unit 1 consists of 121.88 river mi
(196.15 km) of the upper Pecos River in
Chaves and Eddy Counties, New
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Jkt 265001
r
Lake I Reservoir
□.
City
CJ State BQUnd,'iry
Mexico, and is composed of lands in
Federal (32.61 river mi (52.48 km)),
State (4.86 river mi (7.82 km)), and
private (84.41 river mi (135.84 km))
ownership. Unit 1 includes river habitat
up to bank full height.
PO 00000
Frm 00038
Fmt 4701
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(ii) Map of Unit 1 follows:
Figure 2 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis) paragraph (6)(ii)
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(8) Unit 3: Bitter Lake, Chaves County,
New Mexico.
(i) Unit 3 contains Bitter Creek and
numerous isolated sinkholes, spring
ditches, managed and natural wetlands,
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and oxbows of the Pecos River within
11,972.90 acres (4,845.26 ha) of Chaves
County, New Mexico. The unit is
composed of lands in Federal (9,663.15
acres (3,910.54 ha)), State (87.87 acres
PO 00000
(35.56 ha)), and private (2,221.88 acres
(899.16 ha)) ownership.
(ii) Map of Unit 3 follows:
Figure 4 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis) paragraph (8)(ii)
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1 - Upper Pecos River
Unit 3 - Bitter Lak~
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(9) Unit 4: Overflow Wetlands/
Bottomless Lakes, Chaves County, New
Mexico.
(i) Unit 4 contains a wetland and
several isolated sinkholes within
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:09 Nov 21, 2024
Jkt 265001
9,153.90 acres (3,704.45 ha) in Chaves
County, New Mexico. The unit is
composed of lands in Federal (1,784
acres (721.96 ha)), State (1854.78 acres
(750.60 ha)), and private (5,515.12 acres
(2,231.89 ha)) ownership.
PO 00000
Frm 00041
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
(ii) Map of Unit 4 follows:
Figure 5 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis) paragraph (9)(ii)
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BLM Overflow Wetlands
•
River / Creek
0
Road
2Km
D
TEXAS
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with PROPOSALS2
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(10) Unit 5: Salt Creek (TX), in
Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas.
(i) Unit 5 consists of 14.24 river mi
(23.20 km) in Culberson and Reeves
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Counties, Texas, and is composed of
lands in 100 percent private ownership.
Unit 5 includes river habitat up to bank
full height.
PO 00000
Frm 00042
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
cn:y
(ii) Map of Unit 5 follows:
Figure 6 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon
pecosensis) paragraph (10)(ii)
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Critical Habitat for Pecos Pupfish
Unit 5: Salt Creek (TX)
Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas
NE\'\/ MEXICO
TEXAS
Unit 5 • Salt Creek (TX)
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*
*
*
*
*
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2024–27127 Filed 11–21–24; 8:45 am]
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 226 (Friday, November 22, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 92744-92785]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-27127]
[[Page 92743]]
Vol. 89
Friday,
No. 226
November 22, 2024
Part II
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species
Status With Section 4(d) Rule for Pecos Pupfish and Designation of
Critical Habitat; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 226 / Friday, November 22, 2024 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 92744]]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143; FXES1111090FEDR-256-FF09E21000]
RIN 1018-BH76
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species
Status With Section 4(d) Rule for Pecos Pupfish and Designation of
Critical Habitat
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
list the Pecos pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis), a fish species from the
Pecos River Basin of New Mexico and Texas, as a threatened species and
designate critical habitat under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). This determination also serves as our 12-month finding
on a petition to list the Pecos pupfish. After a review of the best
available scientific and commercial information, we find that listing
the species is warranted. Accordingly, we propose to list the Pecos
pupfish as a threatened species with a rule issued under section 4(d)
of the Act (``4(d) rule''). If we finalize this rule as proposed, the
Pecos pupfish would be added to the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and the Act's protections would be extended to the species. We
also propose to designate critical habitat for the Pecos pupfish under
the Act. In total, 136.12 river miles (219.06 river kilometers) and
26,555.54 acres (10,746.64 hectares) in Chaves and Eddy Counties, New
Mexico, and Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas, fall within the
boundaries of the proposed critical habitat designation. We also
announce the availability of an economic analysis of the proposed
designation of critical habitat for Pecos pupfish.
DATES: We will accept comments received or postmarked on or before
January 21, 2025. We must receive requests for a public hearing, in
writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT, by
January 6, 2025.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143,
which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click on the
Search button. On the resulting page, in the panel on the left side of
the screen, under the Document Type heading, check the Proposed Rule
box to locate this document. You may submit a comment by clicking on
``Comment.'' Comments submitted electronically using the Federal
eRulemaking Portal must be received by 11:59 p.m. eastern time on the
closing date.
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail to: Public Comments
Processing, Attn: FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
MS: PRB/3W, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
We request that you send comments only by the methods described
above. We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
us (see Information Requested, below, for more information).
Availability of supporting materials: Supporting materials, such as
the species status assessment report, are available on the Service's
website at https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexico-ecological-services,
at https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143, or
both. If we finalize the critical habitat designation, we will make the
coordinates or plot points or both from which the maps are generated
available at https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R2-ES-2024-
0143 and on the Service's website at https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexico-ecological-services.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Shawn Sartorius, Field Supervisor,
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, New Mexico Ecological Services Field
Office, 2105 Osuna NE, Albuquerque, NM 87113; telephone 505-697-7606.
Individuals in the United States who are deaf, deafblind, hard of
hearing, or have a speech disability may dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or
TeleBraille) to access telecommunications relay services. Individuals
outside the United States should use the relay services offered within
their country to make international calls to the point-of-contact in
the United States. Please see Docket No. FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143 on https://www.regulations.gov for a document that summarizes this proposed rule.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Why we need to publish a rule. Under the Act, a species warrants
listing if it meets the definition of an endangered species (in danger
of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range) or
a threatened species (likely to become an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range). If we determine that a species warrants listing, we must list
the species promptly and designate the species' critical habitat to the
maximum extent prudent and determinable. We have determined that the
Pecos pupfish meets the definition of a threatened species; therefore,
we are proposing to list it as such, and we are proposing a designation
of its critical habitat. Both listing a species as an endangered or
threatened species and making a critical habitat designation can be
completed only by issuing a rule through the Administrative Procedure
Act rulemaking process (5 U.S.C. 551 et seq.).
What this document does. We propose to list the Pecos as a
threatened species with a rule issued under section 4(d) of the Act,
and we propose the designation of critical habitat for the species
The basis for our action. Under the Act, we may determine that a
species is an endangered or threatened species because of any of five
factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or educational purposes; (C)
disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors affecting its
continued existence. We have determined that Pecos pupfish meets the
definition of a threatened species due to the following threats: (1)
introgression of the sheepshead minnow (Cyprinodon variegatus) (Factor
E), (2) the loss and decline of surface and ground waters (Factor A),
(3) degradation of water quality (Factor A), and (4) habitat loss and
fragmentation (Factor A), all of which are exacerbated by the ongoing
and expected effects of climate change (Factor E).
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires that the Secretary of the
Interior (Secretary), to the maximum extent prudent and determinable,
concurrently with listing, designate critical habitat for the species.
Section 3(5)(A) of the Act defines critical habitat as (i) the specific
areas within the geographical area occupied by the species, at the time
it is listed, on which are found those physical or biological features
(I) essential to the conservation of the species and (II) which may
require special management considerations or protections; and (ii)
specific areas outside the geographical
[[Page 92745]]
area occupied by the species at the time it is listed, upon a
determination by the Secretary that such areas are essential for the
conservation of the species. Section 4(b)(2) of the Act states that the
Secretary must make the designation on the basis of the best scientific
data available and after taking into consideration the economic impact,
the impact on national security, and any other relevant impacts of
specifying any particular area as critical habitat.
Information Requested
We intend that any final action resulting from this proposed rule
will be based on the best scientific and commercial data available and
be as accurate and as effective as possible. Therefore, we request
comments or information from other governmental agencies, Native
American Tribes, the scientific community, industry, or any other
interested parties concerning this proposed rule. We particularly seek
comments concerning:
(1) The species' biology, range, and population trends, including:
(a) Biological or ecological requirements of the species, including
habitat requirements for feeding, breeding, and sheltering;
(b) Genetics and taxonomy;
(c) Historical and current range, including distribution patterns
and the locations of any additional populations of this species;
(d) Historical and current population levels, and current and
projected trends; and
(e) Past and ongoing conservation measures for the species, its
habitat, or both.
(2) Threats and conservation actions affecting the species,
including:
(a) Factors that may be affecting the continued existence of the
species, which may include habitat modification or destruction,
overutilization, disease, predation, the inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms, or other natural or manmade factors.
(b) Biological, commercial trade, or other relevant data concerning
any threats (or lack thereof) to this species.
(c) Existing regulations or conservation actions that may be
addressing threats to this species.
(3) Additional information concerning the historical and current
status of this species.
(4) Information to assist with applying or issuing protective
regulations under section 4(d) of the Act that may be necessary and
advisable to provide for the conservation of the Pecos pupfish. In
particular, information concerning:
(a) The extent to which we should include any of the Act's section
9 prohibitions in the proposed 4(d) rule; or
(b) Whether we should consider any additional or different
exceptions from the prohibitions in the proposed 4(d) rule.
(5) Specific information related to critical habitat, such as:
(a) The amount and distribution of Pecos pupfish habitat;
(b) Any additional areas occurring within the range of the species,
Chaves and Eddy Counties, New Mexico, and Culberson and Reeves
Counties, Texas, that should be included in the designation because
they (i) are occupied at the time of listing and contain the physical
or biological features that are essential to the conservation of the
species and that may require special management considerations or
protection, or (ii) are unoccupied at the time of listing and are
essential for the conservation of the species; and
(c) Special management considerations or protection that may be
needed in critical habitat areas we are proposing, including managing
for the potential effects of climate change.
(6) Land use designations and current or planned activities in the
subject areas and their possible impacts on proposed critical habitat.
(7) Any probable economic, national security, or other relevant
impacts of designating any area that may be included in the final
designation, and the related benefits of including or excluding
specific areas.
(8) Information on the extent to which the description of probable
economic impacts in the economic analysis is a reasonable estimate of
the likely economic impacts and the description of the environmental
impacts in the environmental assessment is complete and accurate and
any additional information regarding probable economic impacts that we
should consider.
(9) Whether any specific areas we are proposing for critical
habitat designation should be considered for exclusion under section
4(b)(2) of the Act, and whether the benefits of potentially excluding
any specific area outweigh the benefits of including that area, in
particular for those covered by the Pecos Pupfish Conservation
Agreement (see more details in Conservation Efforts and Regulatory
Mechanisms below). If you think we should exclude any additional areas,
please provide information supporting a benefit of exclusion.
(10) Whether we could improve or modify our approach to designating
critical habitat in any way to provide for greater public participation
and understanding, or to better accommodate public concerns and
comments.
Please include sufficient information with your submission (such as
scientific journal articles or other publications) to allow us to
verify any scientific or commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely stating support for, or
opposition to, the action under consideration without providing
supporting information, although noted, do not provide substantial
information necessary to support a determination. Section 4(b)(1)(A) of
the Act directs that determinations as to whether any species is an
endangered or a threatened species must be made solely on the basis of
the best scientific and commercial data available, and section 4(b)(2)
of the Act directs that the Secretary shall designate critical habitat
on the basis of the best scientific data available.
You may submit your comments and materials concerning this proposed
rule by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. We request that you
send comments only by the methods described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://www.regulations.gov, your
entire submission--including any personal identifying information--will
be posted on the website. If your submission is made via a hardcopy
that includes personal identifying information, you may request at the
top of your document that we withhold this information from public
review. However, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so. We
will post all hardcopy submissions on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
available for public inspection on https://www.regulations.gov.
Our final determination may differ from this proposal because we
will consider all comments we receive during the comment period as well
as any information that may become available after this proposal. Based
on the new information we receive (and, if relevant, any comments on
that new information), we may conclude that the species is endangered
instead of threatened, or we may conclude that the species does not
warrant listing as either an endangered species or a threatened
species. For critical habitat, our final designation may not include
all areas proposed, may include some additional areas that meet the
definition of critical habitat, or may exclude some areas if we find
the benefits of exclusion outweigh
[[Page 92746]]
the benefits of inclusion and exclusion will not result in the
extinction of the species. In addition, we may change the parameters of
the prohibitions or the exceptions to those prohibitions in the
protective regulations under section 4(d) of the Act if we conclude it
is appropriate in light of comments and new information received. For
example, we may expand the prohibitions if we conclude that the
protective regulation as a whole, including those additional
prohibitions, is necessary and advisable to provide for the
conservation of the species. Conversely, we may establish additional or
different exceptions to the prohibitions in the final rule if we
conclude that the activities would facilitate or are compatible with
the conservation and recovery of the species. In our final rule, we
will clearly explain our rationale and the basis for our final
decision, including why we made changes, if any, that differ from this
proposal.
Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5) of the Act provides for a public hearing on this
proposal, if requested. Requests must be received by the date specified
in DATES. Such requests must be sent to the address shown in FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT. We will schedule a public hearing on this
proposal, if requested, and announce the date, time, and place of the
hearing, as well as how to obtain reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register and local newspapers at least 15 days before the
hearing. We may hold the public hearing in person or virtually via
webinar. We will announce any public hearing on our website, in
addition to the Federal Register. The use of virtual public hearings is
consistent with our regulations at 50 CFR 424.16(c)(3).
Previous Federal Actions
We identified the Pecos pupfish as a Category 2 candidate in both
the December 30, 1982, Review of Vertebrate Wildlife, Notice of Review
(47 FR 58454); and the September 18, 1985, Review of Vertebrate
Wildlife, Notice of Review (50 FR 37958). Category 2 candidates were
those species for which the Service had information that proposed
listing was possibly appropriate, but conclusive data on biological
vulnerability and threats were not available to support a proposed rule
at the time. This situation changed when the Pecos pupfish was
identified as a Category 1 candidate in the January 6, 1989, Animal
Notice of Review (54 FR 554) and in the November 21, 1991, Animal
Notice of Review (56 FR 58804). Category 1 candidates were those
species for which the Service had on file sufficient information to
support issuance of proposed listing rules. In the February 28, 1996,
Candidate Notice of Review (61 FR 7596), we discontinued the
designation of multiple categories of candidates, and only former
Category 1 species are now recognized as candidates for listing
purposes. The Pecos pupfish remained a candidate species in the 1996
Notice of Review and also in the September 19, 1997, Notice of Review
(62 FR 49398).
The Pecos pupfish was proposed for listing as an endangered species
without critical habitat on January 30, 1998 (63 FR 4608). Within the
ensuing year between the proposal of the species for listing and the
required final determination, a conservation agreement was developed.
The conservation agreement was cited in the March 17, 2000, withdrawal
of the proposed rule to list (65 FR 14513) as sufficient to ensure the
viability of the Pecos pupfish.
On June 18, 2007, we were petitioned to list the Pecos pupfish as
an endangered species as part of a multi-species petition to list 475
species in the Service's Southwest Region by WildEarth Guardians (WEG,
formerly Forest Guardians). On December 16, 2009, we issued a positive
90-day finding that the petition presented information indicating that
the listing of the Pecos pupfish may be warranted (74 FR 66866) and
initiated a status review. Per a court-approved settlement agreement,
we agreed to send a 12-month petition finding for the Pecos pupfish to
the Federal Register by December 1, 2024.
Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA) team prepared an SSA report for
the Pecos pupfish. The SSA team was composed of Service biologists, in
consultation with other species experts. The SSA report represents a
compilation of the best scientific and commercial data available
concerning the status of the species, including the impacts of past,
present, and future factors (both negative and beneficial) affecting
the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on peer review published in the
Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and in our August 22,
2016, memorandum updating and clarifying the role of peer review in
listing and recovery actions under the Act (https://www.fws.gov/sites/default/files/documents/peer-review-policy-directors-memo-2016-08-22.pdf), we solicited independent scientific review of the information
contained in the Pecos pupfish SSA report. We sent the SSA report to
four independent peer reviewers and received four responses. Results of
this structured peer review process can be found at https://www.regulations.gov and https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexico-ecological-services. In preparing this proposed rule, we incorporated
the results of these reviews, as appropriate, into the SSA report,
which is the foundation for this proposed rule.
Summary of Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above, we received comments from four
peer reviewers on the draft SSA report. We reviewed all comments we
received from the peer reviewers for substantive issues and new
information regarding the contents of the SSA report. The peer
reviewers generally concurred with our methods and conclusions and
provided additional information, clarifications, and suggestions,
including clarifications in terminology, additional literature on
habitat fragmentation, discussions of severity of threats, and other
editorial suggestions. Otherwise, no substantive changes to our
analysis and conclusions within the SSA report were deemed necessary,
and peer reviewer comments are addressed in version 1.2 of the SSA
report (Service 2024, entire).
I. Proposed Listing Determination
Background
A thorough review of the taxonomy, life history, and ecology of the
Pecos pupfish is presented in the SSA report (version 1.2; Service
2024, pp. 1-21). The following sections are a synopsis of that
information.
The Pecos pupfish is a small, deep-bodied (28 to 46 millimeter (mm)
(1.1 to 1.8 inch (in.)), freshwater fish from the Pecos River Basin of
New Mexico and Texas. It occurs in a variety of aquatic environments
including wetlands, sinkholes, waterfowl impoundments, streams, springs
and the Pecos River mainstem. The species historically inhabited the
upper, middle, and lower Pecos River from just above Bitter Lake
National Wildlife Refuge (NWR), Chaves County, NM, in the north, to
south of the mouth of Independence Creek, in Crockett and Terrell
Counties, TX, in the south. The Pecos pupfish is a member of the
Cyprinodontidae family (pupfish and killifish), a group that includes 9
genera, 115 species, and 8 subspecies (ITIS 2023, entire). It is
recognized as a valid taxon by the American Fisheries Society, and the
Service accepts this taxonomy.
[[Page 92747]]
The Pecos pupfish varies in body color from gray to brown to
iridescent blue. Pecos pupfish vary phenotypically amongst isolated
habitat types, which may be advantageous for adapting to different food
availability, dissolved oxygen availability, and salinity levels
(Collyer et al. 2015, entire; Xu 2017, p. 22). Pecos pupfish are
opportunistic omnivores; their diet is primarily composed of a diatom-
detritus mixture, but may also include animal material, filamentous
algae, macrophytes, sand, and seeds (Davis 1981, p. 536).
Pupfish are a euryhaline group of fish and are able to withstand
conditions such as elevated salinity, higher water temperatures, and
lower dissolved oxygen, that many other fish cannot tolerate (Kodric-
Brown 1975, pp. 3, 6). The Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety of aquatic
environments including wetlands, sinkholes, waterfowl impoundments,
streams, springs, and the Pecos River mainstem (Hoagstrom and Brooks
1999, pp. 14-16; Collyer et al. 2015, p. 182). Pecos pupfish prefer
environments with little to no water flow, and, in areas with flows,
they typically occupy pools and shallow runs and riffles (Hoagstrom and
Brooks 1999, pp. 36, 45). Within their occupied habitat, Pecos pupfish
require a diverse set of microscale habitat conditions. A variety of
underwater features such as crevices, boulders, large rocks, scattered
pebbles, and aquatic plants provide topographic diversity throughout
the range of the Pecos pupfish (Kodric-Brown 1975, p. 35; 1977, pp.
750-751, 753-756, and 761-762).
Pecos pupfish are sexually mature at 20 mm (0.79 in), within a few
months of hatching (Kodric-Brown 1983, p. 128). Female Pecos pupfish
lay an average of 10 eggs per day that adhere to spawning substrate,
such as vegetation or rocks (Kodric-Brown 1977, pp. 751, 761-762, 764;
(Garrett 1982, pp. 360, 363; Farrington and Brandenburg 2003, p. 1).
Spawning occurs May through September, peaking in late June through
July when water temperatures consistently exceed 30 degrees Celsius
([deg]C) (86 degrees Fahrenheit ([deg]F)) in shallow waters less than 2
meters (m) (6.56 feet (ft)) deep, and in areas with a variety of silt-
free underwater features such as crevices, boulders, large rocks,
scattered pebbles, and aquatic plants (Kodric-Brown 1975, p. 35; 1977,
pp. 750-751, 753-756, and 761-762). Pecos pupfish generally live for 1
year but can live an average of 2.5 years in captivity (Kodric-Brown
1977, p. 752m 765; Doege 2023, entire).
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and the implementing
regulations in title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations set forth
the procedures for determining whether a species is an endangered
species or a threatened species, issuing protective regulations for
threatened species, and designating critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species.
The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a species that is in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we
determine whether any species is an endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
These factors represent broad categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an effect on a species' continued
existence. In evaluating these actions and conditions, we look for
those that may have a negative effect on individuals of the species, as
well as other actions or conditions that may ameliorate any negative
effects or may have positive effects.
We use the term ``threat'' to refer in general to actions or
conditions that are known to or are reasonably likely to negatively
affect individuals of a species. The term ``threat'' includes actions
or conditions that have a direct impact on individuals (direct
impacts), as well as those that affect individuals through alteration
of their habitat or required resources (stressors). The term ``threat''
may encompass--either together or separately--the source of the action
or condition or the action or condition itself.
However, the mere identification of any threat(s) does not
necessarily mean that the species meets the statutory definition of an
``endangered species'' or a ``threatened species.'' In determining
whether a species meets either definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the species' expected response and
the effects of the threats--in light of those actions and conditions
that will ameliorate the threats--on an individual, population, and
species level. We evaluate each threat and its expected effects on the
species, then analyze the cumulative effect of all of the threats on
the species as a whole. We also consider the cumulative effect of the
threats in light of those actions and conditions that will have
positive effects on the species, such as any existing regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts. The Secretary determines whether
the species meets the definition of an ``endangered species'' or a
``threatened species'' only after conducting this cumulative analysis
and describing the expected effect on the species.
The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future,'' which
appears in the statutory definition of ``threatened species.'' Our
implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a framework for
evaluating the foreseeable future on a case-by-case basis, which is
further described in the 2009 Memorandum Opinion on the foreseeable
future from the Department of the Interior (DOI), Office of the
Solicitor (M-37021, January 16, 2009; ``M-Opinion,'' available online
at https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.opengov.ibmcloud.com/files/uploads/M-37021.pdf). The foreseeable future extends as far into the future as
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and National Marine Fisheries
Service (hereafter, the Services) can make reasonably reliable
predictions about the threats to the species and the species' responses
to those threats. We need not identify the foreseeable future in terms
of a specific period of time. We will describe the foreseeable future
on a case-by-case basis, using the best available data and taking into
account considerations such as the species' life-history
characteristics, threat-projection timeframes, and environmental
variability. In other words, the foreseeable future is the period of
time over which we can make reasonably reliable predictions.
``Reliable'' does not mean ``certain''; it means sufficient to provide
a reasonable degree of confidence in the prediction, in light of the
conservation purposes of the Act.
Analytical Framework
The SSA report documents the results of our comprehensive
biological review of the best scientific and commercial data regarding
the status of the species, including an assessment of the potential
threats to the species. The SSA report does not represent our decision
on
[[Page 92748]]
whether the species should be proposed for listing as an endangered or
threatened species under the Act. However, it does provide the
scientific basis that informs our regulatory decisions, which involve
the further application of standards within the Act and its
implementing regulations and policies.
To assess Pecos pupfish viability, we used the three conservation
biology principles of resiliency, redundancy, and representation
(Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp. 306-310). Briefly, resiliency is the
ability of the species to withstand environmental and demographic
stochasticity (for example, wet or dry, warm or cold years); redundancy
is the ability of the species to withstand catastrophic events (for
example, droughts, large pollution events); and representation is the
ability of the species to adapt to both near-term and long-term changes
in its physical and biological environment (for example, climate
conditions, pathogens). In general, species viability will increase
with increases in resiliency, redundancy, and representation (Smith et
al. 2018, p. 306). Using these principles, we identified the species'
ecological requirements for survival and reproduction at the
individual, population, and species levels, and described the
beneficial and risk factors influencing the species' viability.
The SSA process can be categorized into three sequential stages.
During the first stage, we evaluated the individual species' life-
history needs. The next stage involved an assessment of the historical
and current condition of the species' demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an explanation of how the species arrived at
its current condition. The final stage of the SSA involved making
predictions about the species' responses to positive and negative
environmental and anthropogenic influences. Throughout all of these
stages, we used the best available information to characterize
viability as the ability of a species to sustain populations in the
wild over time, which we then used to inform our regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key results and conclusions from
the SSA report; the full SSA report can be found at Docket No. FWS-R2-
ES-2024-0143 on https://www.regulations.gov and at https://www.fws.gov/office/new-mexico-ecological-services.
Summary of Biological Status and Threats
In this discussion, we review the biological condition of the
species, its resources, and the threats that influence the species'
current and future condition, in order to assess the species' overall
viability and the risks to that viability.
We analyze these factors both individually and cumulatively to
determine the current condition of the species and project the future
condition of the species under both plausible future scenarios at mid-
and late-century.
Species Needs
For the Pecos pupfish to have sufficient resiliency, redundancy,
and representation, individuals need suitable habitat that supports
essential life functions at all life stages (see table 1, below). Based
upon the best available scientific and commercial information, and
acknowledging existing ecological uncertainties, the Pecos pupfish
needs include: (1) adequate population abundance, (2) sufficient water
quantity, (3) suitable water quality, and (4) habitat diversity.
Table 1--Summary of Pecos Pupfish Individual Environmental Needs by Life
Stage
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Life stage Resource/environmental needs
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Spawning adult......................... Warm water
temperatures between May and
September.
Suitable oviposition
sites (such as crevices,
boulders, pebbles, scattered
rocks, and subsurface
vegetation mats).
Shallow water less
than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep.
Egg.................................... Salinities greater
than 35,000 milligrams/liter
(mg/L).
Juvenile/non-breeding adults........... Adequate abundance of
food (algae, insects,
vegetation, etc.).
Overwintering adults and juveniles..... Dense vegetation.
Deeper water.
All.................................... Hydrologic conditions
conducive to survival
(sufficient water levels,
sufficient water temperature,
etc.).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adequate Population Abundance
Two demographic factors, adult survival and fecundity, influence
Pecos pupfish population trends and stability (Kodric-Brown and
Mazzolini 1992, p. 175; Echelle and Connor 1989, p. 725; Echelle et al.
2003b, entire). The best available information indicates that Pecos
pupfish can live up to 1 year in the wild and 2.5 years in captivity;
however, we have no data on egg and juvenile survival (Kodric-Brown
1977, pp. 756-758; Garrett et al. 2002, p. 366; Doege 2023, entire).
Data collected annually as part of a 23-year monitoring effort for the
Pecos Pupfish Conservation Agreement (see more details in Conservation
Efforts and Regulatory Mechanisms below) have consistently detected
Pecos pupfish; however, there are typically significant year-to-year
variations in the number of fish caught at each sampling location (Hatt
2021, p. 6). To be resilient, populations of Pecos pupfish need to have
enough individuals (abundance) to withstand stochastic events.
Additionally, populations need to exist in locations where
environmental conditions provide suitable habitat and water quality
such that adequate numbers of individuals can be supported, and where
there is an absence of sheepshead minnow. Without all these factors, a
population has an increased likelihood for localized extirpation.
The sheepshead minnow, once confined to shallow, brackish, coastal
waters of the Gulf and Atlantic coasts of the continental United
States, was introduced via a bait-bucket transfer into Red Bluff
Reservoir near Pecos, Texas, in the early 1980s (Echelle and Connor
1989, p. 717; Childs et al. 1996, p. 2020;). By the late 1980s, Pecos
pupfish were extirpated from this area and replaced by the Pecos
pupfish x sheepshead minnow hybrid (Connor 1987, p. 2; Echelle and
Connor 1989, pp. 717-720). In 1997, Pecos pupfish x sheepshead minnow
hybrids were discovered in the Pecos River at Loving Crossing, Eddy
County, NM (Echelle et al. 1997, p. 338; Echelle and Echelle 2007, p.
4). Records from 2016 and 2017 indicate that sheepshead minnow likely
occur as far north as the Brantley Dam, Eddy County, NM, and that non-
introgressed Pecos pupfish are extirpated from the Pecos River below
[[Page 92749]]
Brantley Reservoir, with the exception of the Salt Creek Texas (TX)
population (Davenport 2023a, entire).
Sufficient Water Quantity
Pecos pupfish depend on sufficient water quantity to complete all
stages of their lifecycle. While Pecos pupfish persist in shallow
habitats less than 1 m (3.3 ft) deep (Salt Creek, NM), they may need
deeper water to provide thermal refugia and winter habitat (Kodric-
Brown 1977, p. 755). Sufficient water quantity is also necessary
throughout the year for breeding and adult survival (Kodric-Brown 1977,
p. 754; Hoagstrom et al. 2015, p. 14). It is surmised that water
quantity changes in small, ephemeral streams have led to Pecos pupfish
mortality events in both Bitter Creek and Salt Creek (NM) (Davenport
2023a and 2023b, entire; Jacobsen 2023, entire; Hoagstrom 2009, p. 28).
Water quantity for the Pecos pupfish is influenced by a variety of
factors depending on the specific aquatic environment of a particular
Pecos pupfish site or population. Sinkhole environments in the Pecos
Basin are largely spring-fed systems derived from the San Andres
artesian aquifer (Land 2003, p. 230). Similarly, permanent water in the
Bitter Creek and Salt Creek (NM) likely originates from spring flow
from the San Andres aquifer (Land and Huff 2009, p. 1). Salt Creek (TX)
likely is supported by spring flows from the Toyah Aquifer, though no
direct modeling has been done on this particular stream (LaFave 1987,
p. 34). These streams also hold water during precipitation events.
Water in Bitter Lake NWR is managed through a series of constructed
impoundments and water conveyance structures. The Bureau of Land
Management (BLM) Overflow Wetlands are supported by outflows of water
from Lea Lake, a sinkhole in Bottomless Lakes State Park, as well as
precipitation. Finally, water in the Pecos River is managed by the
Bureau of Reclamation (BOR) for water deliveries, environmental flows,
and fulfilling obligations under the 1948 Pecos River Compact
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 39-42).
Karst aquifer systems, like that found in Bitter Lake NWR, may
affect sinkhole systems, as groundwater pumping may tap into conduits
that feed springs or sinkholes (Veni 2013, p. 47). Precipitation cycles
and agricultural activity appear to be the two main factors causing
variation in the aquifer levels (Land and Newton 2008, p. 189).
However, the Roswell Artesian Basin provides an example of a
rechargeable artesian aquifer, where water reduction measures and high
levels of rainfall in the 1970's led to a reversal in long-term
hydraulic head declines and allowed this aquifer to recharge (Land and
Newton 2008, p. 190).
Suitable Water Quality
Members of the Cyprinodon genus are known for their wide
physiological tolerance relative to many other freshwater fishes. Pecos
pupfish are able to tolerate a wide range of water quality conditions
(Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999 entire). In areas where the salinity
gradient changes, Pecos pupfish dominate the areas with the highest
salinities (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999 p. 12). However, at salinities
greater than 35,000 mg/L, larval and egg development are suppressed or
halted (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 21; Propst 1999, p. 67). Pecos
pupfish can also tolerate low dissolved oxygen for at least short
periods, with measurements of dissolved oxygen levels as low as 2.5 mg/
L during Pecos pupfish sampling (Hoagstrom and Brooks, 1999, p. 31;
Propst 1999, pp. 67-68). These tolerance limits are further supported
by extremes of temperature, dissolved oxygen, and salinity, often
resulting in pupfish mortality (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 21;
Propst 1999, p. 67). In addition to natural impacts to water quality,
industrial and agricultural pollutants have been shown to negatively
impact Pecos pupfish (Houston et al. 2019, p. 33).
Habitat Diversity
The Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety of aquatic environments with
a variety of underwater features that provide topographic diversity,
such as crevices, boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic
plants provide topographic diversity throughout the range (Kodric-Brown
1975, p. 35; 1977, pp. 750-751, 753-756, and 761-762).Pecos pupfish
typically occupy pools and shallow runs and riffles (Hoagstrom and
Brooks 1999, pp. 36, 45). For reproduction, Pecos pupfish require
shallow water less than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep and in areas with
topographic diversity (Kodric-Brown 1977, pp. 750-751). Rocky
embankments appear to be the most desirable breeding substrate, as the
most aggressive and largest males occupy these areas at Mirror Lake,
Bottomless Lakes State Park, Chaves County, NM (Kodric-Brown 1975, pp.
34-35). The percentage of males holding territory can vary year to year
and is influenced by the amount of breeding and foraging habitat
available (dependent on water levels), and that density of territorial
males was highest in dense patches of aquatic vegetation, and lowest in
flat silty areas with isolated rocks (Kodric-Brown 1975, pp. 20, 34-
35). During the colder months when water temperatures drop below 10
[deg]C (50 [deg]F), Pecos pupfish become inactive and can be found in
deeper water with dense vegetation and flocculent material (such as
fine detritus or non-living organic matter) present in the substrate
(Kodric-Brown 1977, p. 752; Hoagstrom et al. 2015, p. 17).
For the Pecos pupfish to be resilient, each population needs to be
able to withstand stochastic events or disturbances that can
drastically alter local ecosystems. Populations of Pecos pupfish need
to have enough individuals (abundance) and occupy multiple types of
habitats with sufficient water quantity and quality, (habitat
diversity), such as sinkholes, streams, and wetlands to withstand
stochastic events. Additionally, populations need to exist in locations
where environmental conditions provide suitable habitat and water
quality such that adequate numbers of individuals can be supported.
Without all these factors, a population has an increased likelihood for
localized extirpation.
For a species to persist over time, it must exhibit attributes
across its range that relate to either representation or redundancy.
Representation describes the ability of a species to adapt to changing
environmental conditions over time and is characterized by the breadth
of genetic and environmental diversity within and among populations
(Shaffer and Stein 2000, p. 308). For the Pecos pupfish to exhibit
adequate representation, resilient populations should occur within the
Pecos River Basin to which it is native. The breadth of morphological,
genetic, and behavioral variation should be preserved to maintain the
evolutionary variation of the species.
Redundancy describes the ability of a species to withstand
catastrophic events (Tear et al. 2005, p. 841; Redford et al. 2011, p.
42). Adequate redundancy minimizes the effect of localized extirpation
on the range-wide persistence of a species (Shaffer and Stein 2000, p.
308). Redundancy for the Pecos pupfish is characterized by having
multiple, resilient, and representative populations across the range of
the species. Also important for measuring redundancy is the
connectivity among discrete populations that allows for immigration and
emigration between populations and increases the likelihood of
recolonization should a population become extirpated. In the case of
the Pecos pupfish, however, increasing connectivity among populations
can present a hybridization risk.
[[Page 92750]]
Threats
Following are summary evaluations of four threats analyzed in the
SSA report for the Pecos pupfish: introgression of the sheepshead
minnow (Factor E), the loss and decline of surface and ground water,
degradation of water quality, and habitat loss and fragmentation
(Factor A), which are exacerbated by the effects of climate change
(Factor A). We also evaluate existing regulatory mechanisms (Factor D)
and ongoing conservation measures.
In the SSA report, we also considered two additional threats:
golden algal blooms (Factor A) and competition for food resources
(Factor C). We concluded that, as indicated by the best available
scientific and commercial information, these threats are currently
having little to no impact on Pecos pupfish populations and thus the
overall effect of these threats now and into the future is expected to
be minimal. Therefore, we will not present summary analyses of those
threats in this document, but we considered them in the current and
future condition assessments in the SSA report. For full descriptions
of all threats and how they impact the species, please see the SSA
report (Service 2024, pp. 43-44).
Sheepshead Minnow Introgression
The sheepshead minnow is a threat to the Pecos pupfish through
hybridization and competition for resources (Echelle et al. 2003b,
entire; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp. 725-726). Pecos pupfish and
sheepshead minnow lack isolating mechanisms and readily interbreed, and
within as few as 5 to 7 years hybridization leads to the complete loss
of genetically pure (non-introgressed) Pecos pupfish in the area of
introgression (Cokendolpher 1980, entire; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp.
725-726; Echelle et al. 2003b, entire; Kodric-Brown and Rosenfield
2004, entire). Once a population is no longer genetically pure, it no
longer exists. In addition, research suggests that the hybrid fish grow
faster and are larger than pure Pecos pupfish, and thus outcompete
genetically pure Pecos pupfish for resources (Rosenfield et al. 2004,
p. 1595). Pecos pupfish hybridization with the sheepshead minnow is one
of the greatest threats to this species and is cited as the cause of
extirpation from historical sites (Echelle and Connor 1989, pp. 725-
726; Echelle et al. 2003b, entire; Pecos Pupfish Conservation Team
(Conservation Team) 2022, p. 5).
The New Mexico State Game Commission and Texas Parks and Wildlife
Department (TPWD) implemented State fishing regulations that prohibit
use of sheepshead minnow in the bait harvest and use program since
1999. However, this nonnative invasive species occurs within the lower
Pecos River, below the Red Bluff Reservoir, and may be unintentionally
captured, transferred, and released into Pecos pupfish habitat, and
thus remains an ongoing threat (Conservation Team 2022, pp. 3, 5).
While the Red Bluff Reservoir provides a physical barrier that prevents
sheepshead minnow from naturally moving into the middle Pecos River,
and the Brantley Dam and Reservoir provide a barrier that prevents the
sheepshead minnow from naturally moving into the upper Pecos River,
recreational fishing occurs throughout the river, so it is highly
likely that a bait-bucket transfer would lead to an introduction of
sheepshead minnow and result in the introgression of the population of
Pecos pupfish within the upper Pecos River. Fish barriers have been
installed at Bitter Lake NWR and at the BLM Overflow Wetlands to
prevent entrance of sheepshead minnow from the mainstem Pecos River.
Loss and Decline of Surface and Groundwater
Adverse impacts to both water quantity and, to a lesser extent,
water quality, are threats to Pecos pupfish viability. As anthropogenic
uses of water increase from urban, agricultural, and industrial
development, water management will become more important to maintain
adequate water for the Pecos pupfish. While the demand on water in the
Pecos River Basin is expected to increase based on climate change
projections (Sites Southwest 2008, pp. 6-3, 6-6), we have reasonable
certainty that there will be adequate aquifer levels until 2100
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 99-100). Although diversions from the Pecos
River are capped by existing water rights, agreements, and regulations,
decreasing surface water availability can increase the demand for
pumped ground water (Dunbar et al. 2022, p. 87).
In New Mexico, population growth in Chaves County, which contains
the majority of current occupied Pecos pupfish sites, averaged a 1.3
percent annual growth rate between 1960 and 2010 (Consensus Planning,
Inc. 2016, p. 10) but a 1.9 percent annual decline between 2010 and
2020. The Pecos Valley Artesian Conservancy District (PVACD) regulates
ground water use within the aquifer and supplies water to about 110,000
acres of crops/year (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 47). The amount of water
withdrawn causes seasonal variability in aquifer levels, but yearly
fluctuations in ground water levels typically remain similar (PVACD
2023, entire). The long-term average water level has remained constant.
Water availability in the Pecos River is influenced by a variety of
factors including human development, primarily agriculture. However,
this river is currently managed for multiple uses, including endangered
species conservation, and future human water use from the river is not
expected to substantially increase in the future.
In Texas, the Delaware River, 12 mi (19.31 km) north of Salt Creek
(TX), is experiencing an increase in ground water pumping to support
hydraulic fracturing (fracking) operations, and we expect the increased
water usage to continue around Salt Creek (TX) (Scanlon et al. 2020,
pp. 3510-3513). Both a deep and shallow aquifer (Rustler and Pecos
Valley complex) may support the springs feeding Salt Creek (TX) (George
et al. 2011, pp. 4, 58, 146). However, there are no specific hydrologic
models detailing how the aquifers influence the flows in Salt Creek
(TX). Conversely, fracking is not a threat to the Pecos pupfish
populations in New Mexico as the oil formations there are structured
differently than those in Texas.
Water use may increase with a growing human population, potentially
further depleting ground-water storage and negatively influencing the
Pecos pupfish's future (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 84). Activities such
as surface and groundwater withdrawals, as well as impoundments, have
decreased streamflow resulting in direct habitat loss and increased
habitat fragmentation (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 138). Karst aquifer
systems, like that found on Bitter Lake NWR, may affect sinkhole
systems, as groundwater pumping may tap into conduits that feed springs
or sinkholes (Veni 2013, p. 47). Precipitation cycles and agricultural
activity appear to be the two main factors causing variation in the
aquifer levels (Land and Newton 2008, p. 189). We are uncertain of how
the aquifers will be affected and recover (rainfall and recharge), if
at all, and how reduced surface flows (irrigation) would be affected by
human population growth (Land and Newton 2008, p. 190).
The Pecos River provides connected wetted habitat year-round. There
are four federally owned reservoirs on the Pecos River: Santa Rosa
(U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (Corps)); Sumner (BOR); Brantley (BOR);
and Avalon (BOR), and the ground water rights are owned by the NM
Interstate Stream Commission (Service 2017, pp. 7 and 11). The State
and Federal agencies
[[Page 92751]]
work together to maintain river flows that provide water for a variety
of reasons, including environmental reasons. For the last few decades,
the only releases from Fort Sumner Reservoir to Brantley Reservoir have
been block releases that occur several times a year at intervals and
timing contrary to the historical flow regimes, leading to artificially
low flows (Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6). These block releases manage
for the threatened Pecos bluntnose shiner (Notropis simus pecosensis)
and act as a buffer to drying events even though the water may be
repurposed from environmental use to consumptive irrigation use, and
will be beneficial to the Pecos pupfish (Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6).
Degradation of Water Quality
Because Pecos pupfish are relatively tolerant of more extreme water
quality conditions (high temperatures, low dissolved oxygen, high
salinity), minor changes to water quality are generally seen as less of
a concern (Propst 1999, p. 68). However, throughout the Pecos pupfish's
range, water temperatures have the potential to exceed the fish's
thermal tolerance (Brown and Feldmeth 1971, entire). Furthermore, it is
surmised that extreme salinity caused declines in two historical Pecos
pupfish populations in two springs in Laguna Grande De la Sal, NM
(Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, pp. 13-16).
The entirety of the Pecos pupfish range in the Pecos River has
ongoing water quality concerns and is considered impaired by the New
Mexico Environmental Department (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 27-29).
Below Sumner Reservoir, the river improves for 160 km (100 mi) before
becoming impaired by nutrients from irrigation return flow, urban
runoff, and municipal wastewater treatment plant effluent to the State
line (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 27-28). Another stressor is
contamination of water by oil and gas development (Bonetti et al. 2021,
entire). Pipelines present another potential route of contamination, as
leaks or ruptures may allow oil, gas, or brines to enter underground
aquifers that contribute to spring flow or by point sources from spills
and leaks on the surface (Ashworth 1990, p. 31). Oil and brine
contamination may impair water quality to the extent that Pecos pupfish
will be unable to carry out metabolic functions (e.g., breathing)
(Bonetti et al. 2021, p. 4). However, the pipelines in the vicinity of
Bitter Lake NWR, BLM Area of Critical Environmental Concern (ACEC), and
Bottomless Lakes State Park are protected and managed to keep these
systems conserved and free from contamination.
Global Climate Change and Drought
The Southwest United States is thought to be extremely sensitive to
increased drought and higher average temperatures caused by climate
change (Sheffield and Wood 2008, p. 101). In particular, temperatures
across New Mexico, including in the Pecos River Basin, have risen
approximately 1.1 [deg]C) (2 ([deg]F) between 1970 and 2020 (Dunbar et
al. 2022, pp. 4-5). While Pecos pupfish have persisted through
historical drought conditions, observations from Bitter Lake NWR
suggest that prolonged drought or higher temperatures have likely led
to mortality events (Jacobsen 2023, entire). Because Pecos pupfish are
able to persist in degraded, saline water conditions, they are likely
to be somewhat resilient to adverse water flow and temperature impacts
(Propst 1999, pp. 67-68). However, Pecos pupfish are likely persisting
at or near their thermal maximum, particularly during the hottest parts
of the year (Matthews and Zimmerman 1990, p. 27). The increasing
temperatures predicted by climate modeling suggest that water
temperatures have the potential to exceed the thermal maximum for Pecos
pupfish (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 88). This is particularly crucial
for sites that are shallower, have limited freshwater input, or are
isolated from any potential thermal refugia. Observations of the
Conchos pupfish (C. eximius), a close relative of the pupfish, suggest
that drought may have caused declines in fish numbers (Davis 1980, p.
83).
Climate change manifests in a variety of ways. An average increase
in temperature manifests itself locally as higher daytime temperatures
and higher overnight low temperatures (Hayhoe et al. 2018, p. 88). In
terms of precipitation, broadly speaking, wet areas are expected to get
wetter and experience more intense precipitation events, while dry
areas are expected to get drier and experience more intense drought
events (Shafer et al. 2014, pp. 443-445; Kloesel et al. 2018, pp. 995-
996, 1004). Another effect of climate change is exacerbated drought due
to feedback loops between high air temperatures, low humidities, and
low soil moisture (Cheng et al. 2019, pp. 4437-4440). Potential effects
of climate change that are likely to affect water quality and quantity
include increased temperatures, evaporation, evapotranspiration,
drought, earlier runoff, and reduced or increased precipitation
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 98). The main uncertainty of a changing
climate is the resulting demands on surface and ground water aquifers
that support habitat for the Pecos pupfish, thereby reducing water
quantity and leading to impaired water quality.
Habitat Loss and Fragmentation
Groundwater depletion has dried up several marshes, playas, and
spring ponds formerly occupied by Pecos pupfish adjacent to the Pecos
River in New Mexico and Texas (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 11).
Direct habitat loss was also believed to have caused the extirpation of
Comanche Springs pupfish (C. elegans) in Texas near Fort Stockton
(Echelle et al. 2003a, p. 114). Habitat loss occurs when streams are
dewatered, and surface flow is eliminated. To date, we are unaware of
habitat loss within the range of the species at a scale that has caused
the extirpation of Pecos pupfish in an entire population. However,
significant habitat impairment has occurred throughout the range of the
Pecos pupfish. For example, the Pecos River has been significantly
altered through dam construction, channelization, and water diversions
resulting in the loss of off-channel marshes, oxbows, and changes to
mainstem flows (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, pp. 10-12).
While we have no data regarding to what extent the Pecos pupfish
use off-channel marshes and oxbows, based on habitat descriptions of
the current known occupied locations we presume that at least a portion
of the available off-channel habitat may have been used by Pecos
pupfish for connectivity (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 22).
Furthermore, research suggests that habitat fragmentation and
alteration may have rendered Pecos pupfish populations in the lower
Pecos River more vulnerable to hybridization with the sheepshead
minnow, and identified morphological differences between populations
that are linked to aquatic habitat type and diversity (Collyer et al.
2015, p. 191). Similarly, pupfish need large and connected populations
to have a chance to potentially withstand introgression (Collyer et al.
2015, p. 191). More recently, in 2020, 2022, and 2023, drought events
led to the loss of portions of Bitter Creek on Bitter Lake NWR, with
Pecos pupfish mortality observed in 2020 and 2022. Data collected
during winter surveys suggest that the Pecos pupfish is able to return
to sections of the creek once sufficient water quantities are present.
Although data are lacking from the Pecos River mainstem, this scenario
likely occurs there as well.
[[Page 92752]]
Habitat fragmentation is the disruption of continuous habitat
resulting in smaller disconnected areas and can be either temporary or
permanent (Wiegand et al. 2005, p. 109). The natural landscape for the
Pecos pupfish comprises isolated sinkholes with unknown subsurface
connectivity, disjunct wetlands and ephemeral streams, and a
historically well-connected river system. Much of the direct habitat
loss and fragmentation within the range of the Pecos pupfish is the
result of dewatering of habitat as a result of anthropogenic
development, and water management and use, such as demand for water for
agriculture and oil and gas development (Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6).
Climate change impacts in the Pecos River Basin will likely result in
higher overall surface temperatures. In general, warming surface
temperatures directly impact evapotranspiration rates and can lead to
lowered surface water (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 21). However,
throughout the range of the Pecos pupfish the hydrology impacting their
habitat is a complicated mix of evaporation, spring flow, and
groundwater recharge.
The loss of habitat connectivity and the resulting fragmentation
can lead to isolation among populations, which may have caused a
genetic bottleneck in some Pecos pupfish populations (Collyer et al.
2015, p. 191; Whiteley 2023, pp. 6-7). Isolated and small populations
are also more susceptible to stochastic events and amplify the effects
of inbreeding depression and genetic drift (Rieman and Allendorf 2001,
p. 762). Fragmentation and isolation of habitats can increase the risk
of local extirpation as recolonization from adjacent populations is
less likely (Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 13). As habitat loss and
fragmentation increases, habitat diversity decreases.
Summary of Threats
The greatest threats to the Pecos pupfish are introgression with
sheepshead minnow, loss and decline of surface and ground water,
degradation of water quality, habitat loss and fragmentation, and the
effects of climate change. Introduction of sheepshead minnow into new
locations occupied by Pecos pupfish could lead to rapid introgression,
replacing the genetically pure population with Pecos pupfish hybrids.
Research has found Pecos pupfish populations that are already
negatively impacted by habitat alteration are likely more at risk of
introgression because the reduction in habitat increases competition
for breeding substrate (Kodric-Brown and Rosenfield 2004, pp. 121-122;
Collyer et al. 2015, p. 191). Anthropogenic water use and management
has impacts on most of the surface water and groundwater within the
range of the Pecos pupfish, and continued development and climate-
driven changes to water availability will continue to impact the
species in the future. Climate change impacts including higher average
annual temperatures, more variable or lower average annual
precipitation, and increased drought frequency, are currently impacting
the Pecos pupfish and will likely continue to do so. Increasing
temperatures increase the risk that shallow habitat could exceed the
thermal tolerance of Pecos pupfish, and the resulting increased
evapotranspiration leads to lowering of water levels with the potential
for corresponding increases in salinity and water temperatures and
lowered dissolved oxygen.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory Mechanisms
In 1999, a conservation agreement was developed to address the
threats to Pecos pupfish (Conservation Team 1999; entire). Since
implementation of the conservation agreement, conservation efforts have
included sheepshead minnow eradication, installation of fish barriers,
and enforcement of State fishing rules in an effort to protect the
Pecos pupfish from further introgression of sheepshead minnows or
hybrids and alleviate other threats affecting the Pecos pupfish
(Conservation Team 2022, p. 3). The conservation agreement was amended
in 2013 and in 2022 (Conservation Team 2022, pp. 1, 4).
These above-mentioned stressors--introgression, water quantity, and
habitat degradation and loss--have been considered and some have been
reduced through the implementation of the conservation agreement
(Conservation Team 2022, entire). The agreement has eight signatory
agencies: TPWD; New Mexico Department of Game and Fish (NMDGF); New
Mexico Energy, Minerals, and Natural Resources Department; New Mexico
Department of Agriculture; New Mexico Interstate Stream Commission;
Commissioner of Public Lands; New Mexico State Land Office; BLM; and
the Service (Conservation Team 2022, pp. 8-23). The duration of the
conservation agreement is indefinite with formal review every 10 years
(Conservation Team 2022, p. 12).
Since 1999, one fish barrier has been installed at Bitter Lake NWR,
near the confluence with the Pecos River. In 2019, two fish barriers
were replaced at the BLM Overflow Wetlands, where north and south
concrete barriers were installed to prevent the entrance of fish from
the mainstem Pecos River into the complex. The barrier on the BLM
Overflow Wetlands not only protects the wetlands, but also protects the
Bottomless Lakes complex from the threat of hybridization.
Moving forward, the conservation agreement will continue to provide
guidance for agencies and partners working towards Pecos pupfish
conservation, help provide for ongoing maintenance of fish barriers,
installation of additional fish barriers, and enforcing existing State
and Federal baitfish regulations.
The Fort Worth Zoo and other collaborating zoos have successfully
bred Pecos pupfish in captivity since 2000. Captive conservation
efforts have focused on propagation techniques, animal husbandry
research, and propagation for stocking. Beginning in 2012, the State of
Texas began working with private landowners within the Pecos River
watershed to identify opportunities for the development of Pecos
pupfish production ponds. Two ponds were established in 2024;
recruitment of additional landowners and establishment of additional
ponds is ongoing. The goal of the ponds is to sustain the genetic
lineage from the Salt Creek, TX, population, create stable habitats
isolated from potential sheepshead minnow incursion with secure water
sources, and provide a stock of fish that can be used to establish
other locations.
Current Condition
A thorough review of the Pecos pupfish's current condition is
presented in chapter 4 of the SSA report (version 1.2, Service 2024,
pp. 46-74).
We divided the Pecos pupfish's range into nine analysis units (AU)
(Figure 1). Currently, the Pecos pupfish is distributed across seven of
nine AUs covering the historical range; two of the AUs are considered
extirpated (figure 1; table 3; Service 2024, figure 20, p. 52). We
defined Pecos pupfish AUs based on documented occurrences, U.S.
Geological Survey hydrological unit code (HUC)-12 sub-watershed
boundaries, stream and river features, and barriers (such as Brantley
Reservoir and Red Bluff Reservoir) (Service 2024, p, 51). This approach
is based on the assumption that the closer occurrences are (such as
within the same AU), the more likely similar environmental processes
are influencing the sites where the fish occurs. We evaluated the
current viability of Pecos pupfish using
[[Page 92753]]
population resiliency and species' redundancy and representation.
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
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BILLING CODE 4333-15-C
[[Page 92754]]
The species is known from nine analysis units.
Table 2--Analysis Units for the Pecos Pupfish
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Analysis unit Land ownership
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1: Upper Pecos River......................... BLM, State, private.
2: Salt Creek Wilderness..................... FWS.
3: Bitter Creek Drainage..................... FWS.
4: Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands..... FWS.
5: Bottomless Lakes State Park............... State.
6: BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake........ BLM, State.
7: Middle Pecos River........................ BLM, State, private.
8: Salt Creek (TX)........................... Private.
9: Lower Pecos River......................... BLM, State, private.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
To assess resiliency, we developed a qualitative model that
incorporates one demographic metric (occurrence) and three habitat
metrics (water quantity, water quality, and habitat diversity), and
genetic security into the overall status for each unit (table 3). We
selected habitat diversity as a metric as habitats with multiple
aquatic environments may better allow the fish to withstand changing or
adverse conditions.
To assess redundancy of the Pecos pupfish, we examined (1) how many
extant sites exist within each AU, (2) how connected these sites are
within the unit, and (3) how connected each unit is to nearby units.
Importantly though, the diversity of the habitat, and not the number of
sites Pecos pupfish have been detected, reflects the extent of the
occupied Pecos pupfish habitat within the unit. For example, Bitter
Creek (on Bitter Lake NWR) is approximately 1,546 m (5,072 ft) of
variably wetted stream and is counted as a single site. Similarly, the
BLM Overflow Wetlands cover over 1,000 acres (405 ha) and is also
counted as a single site. However, we assume that with the exception of
the sites delineated on the upper Pecos River, which is a riverine
environment, each site is representative of a discrete aquatic
environment.
To assess representation, we used aquatic environment (riverine,
shallow stream, sinkholes, and wetlands) as a surrogate for genetic
data. Genetic studies of Pecos pupfish have revealed important genetic
relationships across the range of the species. The population of Pecos
pupfish in the upper reaches of Salt Creek (TX) shows a specific allele
that is unique to this location (Echelle et al. 2003b, p. 6). Recent
work in the northern portion of their range has found that Pecos
pupfish populations in the Bottomless Lakes State Park and BLM Overflow
Wetland (AUs 5 and 6, respectively), are highly genetically
differentiated from each other and from other populations (Whiteley
2023, pp. 7-9, 18). Additionally, individuals sampled from Bottomless
Lakes State Park showed high inbreeding coefficient, (Whiteley 2023, p.
26). Analysis showed distinct clustering of Pecos pupfish at two sites
at Bottomless Lakes State Park (Mirror Lake and Lazy Lagoon) and all of
the sampled sites at Bitter Lake NWR (Whiteley 2023, p. 18). On Bitter
Lake NWR, two distinct clusters were observed that may indicate gene
flow (Whiteley 2023, p. 19). The sampled sites in the Middle Tract
Wetlands clustered with each other and Bitter Creek, while the four
sample sinkholes all clustered with each other (Whiteley 2023, p. 8).
While that data analyzed by Whitely (2023, entire) did not attempt to
infer a relationship between environmental factors, a result that might
reflect either developmental plasticity or local genetic adaptation,
research does suggest that Pecos pupfish morphology differs depending
on the aquatic environments (i.e., habitat diversity) (Echelle and
Echelle 2007, p. 7; Collyer et al. 2015, p. 187-189; Xu 2017, pp. 22,
26-27; Whiteley 2023, entire).
Table 3--Condition Criteria Resiliency Analysis Metrics as Applied to Each Analysis Unit
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Condition Genetic security Occurrence Water quantity Water quality Habitat diversity
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
High condition (high resiliency).. No evidence of Extant or presumed Stable and sufficient No severe impairments Unit has a diverse
introgression with extant observed at, water availability to water quality habitat assemblage
sheepshead minnow. or in the vicinity throughout the unit. documented and no within the unit
of, each of these Low flow or drying recorded (streams/river,
sites at least once events documented, contamination events. wetlands, and
within the last 5 but no long-term sinkholes).
years. drying events
recorded.
Moderate condition (moderate Introgression possible Two or fewer of the Occasional low flows Occasional water Fish restricted to
resiliency). in the unit, but no known occupied sites or drying events quality impairments just a single
confirmation. confirmed or presumed across <50% of the documented, likely habitat type within
extirpated. unit with rare long- linked to low flows. the unit.
term drying events No documented
documented. exposure to surface
contaminants.
Low condition (low resiliency).... Introgression only in Pupfish extant at 50% Routine low flows and Documented exposure to N/A.
a portion of the or fewer of sites drying events across surface contaminants
unit. identified. the majority of the within much of the
Populations low unit and regular long- unit.
enough that fish are term drying events.
not detected on 50%
or more visits to
occupied locations.
Likely extirpated................. Confirmed N/A N/A N/A N/A.
introgression
throughout the unit.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 92755]]
Fundamental to our analysis of the Pecos pupfish was the
determination of scientifically sound analytical units at a scale
useful for assessing the species. As there is little information
available regarding the demographic or genetic processes that define
the spatial structure of Pecos pupfish populations, we relied on
spatial occurrence data to define a suitable extent for our AUs. Within
each AU, we identified discrete sites where Pecos pupfish have been
documented to occur during past sampling and inventory efforts (Brooks
1992, entire; Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, entire; National Heritage New
Mexico (NHNM) 2021, entire; GBIF 2022, entire). These sites represent
the documentation of at least one Pecos pupfish at a specific location
at a point in time. Many of these sites have not been routinely visited
or have been visited only once. Eleven sampling locations representing
nine sites have been annually sampled (Hatt 2022, p. 5). In some cases,
such as sinkholes, these sites are analogous to subpopulations. In
others, such as the Pecos River or BLM Overflow Wetlands, the
documented sites represent only the accessible portion of the habitat
and likely do not represent the entire population in the area.
Based on the available data and our understanding of Pecos pupfish
ecology, we developed a basis for assigning a risk category for each
metric at the population AU level (table 4). The risk category reflects
a qualitative determination of the likelihood that the species'
response to the conditions described in each individual metric, over
the 20-year period following the year 2023, would be extirpated from a
given population AU. This 20-year timeframe correlates with
approximately 20 1-year generations, which is near the maximum of the
presumed Pecos pupfish lifespan in the wild.
Table 4--Qualitative and Quantitative Descriptions of the Three Risk Categories Used in the Resiliency Analysis
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estimated chance Numerical
Risk category Analysis unit of extirpation for extirpation risk Threats
condition 20 years estimate characterization
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low risk........................ High condition..... Extirpation is <10% Threats to pupfish
very unlikely. needs are
minimized or
limited in spatial
extent within the
unit.
Moderate risk................... Moderate condition. Extirpation is 10-40% Threats to pupfish
unlikely. needs are
widespread
throughout the
unit but limited
in duration or
severity.
High risk....................... Low condition...... Extirpation risk >40% Threats to pupfish
ranges from being are severe and
about as likely pervasive
as not to being throughout the
very likely. unit.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
We ranked and scored the individual metrics as one (low), two
(moderate) or three (high), based on criteria described in table 3,
then combined them to produce a categorical condition score for each
AU. We then averaged that score across all four categories to develop
an overall unit score. For the overall unit score, an average of
greater than 2.6 was considered high condition, 1.6 to 2.5 was
considered moderate condition, and 1.5 or less was considered low
condition. To aid in the comparison of AUs (with each other and under
various future scenarios (see the Future Condition section, below)) and
assess the species' viability, we categorized the final condition
scores as ``high'' (population generally secure), ``moderate''
(population marginally secure), or ``low'' (population generally
insecure). We based these categories primarily on our understanding of
Pecos pupfish habitat needs, known stressors, and the principles of
conservation biology. We acknowledge that there is uncertainty
associated with this model and some of the supporting data; however,
the methodology is appropriate for assessing the status of the Pecos
pupfish across its range given the best available information.
Resiliency
Unit 1: Upper Pecos River: Pecos pupfish remain extant in the upper
Pecos River. Based on their preference for slower, warmer, and more
saline conditions, and observations from surveys conducted in support
of other routine fish monitoring, Pecos pupfish are limited to specific
areas within the upper Pecos River channel and these areas likely shift
both spatially and temporally. This situation is reflected in data that
show varying numbers of Pecos pupfish in year-to-year sampling and seem
to indicate that, during periods of drying, Pecos pupfish are often
more represented in samples (Davenport 2023b, entire). Although it is
unclear if any particular site in the upper Pecos River has been lost,
the highly variable nature of this river section and shifting
populations likely means that sampling at the same site will not always
detect the Pecos pupfish.
The upper Pecos River is subject to regular severe low flows and
intermittent drying (Follansbee et al. 1915, p. 452; Hatch et al. 1985,
p. 561; Hoagstrom et al. 2008, p. 6). Because this situation threatens
the persistence of the federally threatened Pecos bluntnose shiner,
conservation measures are in place by the BOR through a biological
opinion (under section 7 of the Act) to minimize intermittent drying.
These measures buffer the threat of river drying for Pecos bluntnose
shiner and, by extension, Pecos pupfish. The entire Pecos pupfish range
in the Pecos River has ongoing water quality concerns and is considered
impaired due to nutrient loading, discharges from municipal wastewater
treatment plant discharges, and livestock grazing (Llewellyn et al.
2021, pp. 28-29). The current condition evaluation for the upper Pecos
River population determined that occurrence, water quality, and habitat
diversity are in moderate condition, and water quality is in low
condition. Thus, the Upper Pecos River population is determined to be
in overall moderate current condition and has moderate resiliency.
Unit 2: Salt Creek Wilderness: No routine Pecos pupfish monitoring
occurs within the Salt Creek Wilderness AU. Pecos pupfish remain extant
in Salt Creek (NM) and likely at three sinkholes in the unit (Inkpot,
Little Inkpot, and New Sinkhole). A visit to Salt Creek (NM) in
February 2023 confirmed presence of the pupfish but also documented a
mortality event of several thousand mostly juvenile pupfish from an
undetermined cause (Jacobsen 2023,
[[Page 92756]]
entire). Although Pecos pupfish remain extant at several locations in
the unit, the habitat available within the unit is small, so this
stream unit may be subject to mortality events. Pecos pupfish are
presumed to have been extirpated from Pren's Hole, though the cause is
unknown (Hatt 2019, p. 5). Pren's Hole seemingly was colonized by a
flash flood (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 16).
We have no recent data on water quality or quantity within this
unit from the sinkholes or Salt Creek (NM). Deeper sinkholes generally
have stable conditions, both in water quantity and quality, and thus we
assume that likely holds true for the sinkholes in this unit as pupfish
need large populations and room for expansion (Collyer et al. 2015, p.
191). Salt Creek (NM) likely experiences routine drying events
throughout the year, and concurrently with those drying events,
impairments to temperature, dissolved oxygen, and salinity.
Though the permanent water in both stream and sinkhole aquatic
environments is supported by water from the San Andres aquifer, the
depth of the sinkholes likely provides a more stable long-term
environment. Conversely, Salt Creek (NM), although more ephemeral,
allows for Pecos pupfish dispersal throughout the unit and provides a
potential connection to the Pecos River. This diversity of habitat
helps buffer the unit against both gradual environmental changes as
well as stochastic events, such as floods or golden algae, that may
impact a single aquatic environment. The current condition evaluation
for the Salt Creek Wilderness determined that habitat diversity is in
high condition, and occurrence, water quality, and water quantity are
in moderate condition. Thus, the Salt Creek Wilderness population is
determined to be in overall moderate current condition and has moderate
resiliency.
Unit 3: Bitter Creek Drainage: Routine monitoring occurs in Bitter
Creek as well as two of the sinkholes in the unit. We extrapolated both
formal and informal monitoring data to the remainder of the unit, and
based on habitat availability presumed the Pecos pupfish remains extant
at all documented occupied sites in the unit. There have been
documented fish kills on Bitter Creek, but routine monitoring indicates
that Pecos pupfish populations in the creek remain extant, though
highly variable (Hatt 2021).
Water quality is routinely sampled, and no impairments have been
detected. Much of the water in this unit is derived from underground
springs from the San Andres aquifer. This includes all of the sinkholes
as well as the springs that feed Bitter Creek such as the Dragonfly
Spring and Lost River. The closest monitoring well to this unit shows a
long-term stable water depth trend that likely corresponds to stable
spring flows in the unit (Pecos Valley Artesian Conservancy District
(PVACD) 2023, entire). The water in Bitter Creek is supplemented by
precipitation. Because evaporation exceeds precipitation across the
Pecos River Basin, during drought years, portions of Bitter Creek dry
out (Land 2003, p. 230).
Though the permanent water in both the stream and sinkhole aquatic
environments is supported by water from the San Andres aquifer, the
depth of the sinkholes likely provides a more stable long-term
environment. Bitter Creek is supported by both seasonal precipitation
as well as spring flows from Dragonfly Spring and the Lost River. This
diversity of habitat helps buffer the unit against both gradual
environmental changes as well as stochastic events, such as floods or
golden algae, that may impact a single aquatic environment. The Bitter
Creek Drainage population's current condition evaluation determined
that occurrence, water quality, and habitat diversity are in high
condition, and water quality is in moderate condition. Thus, the Bitter
Creek Drainage population is determined to be in overall high current
condition and has high resiliency.
Unit 4: Bitter Creek Middle Tract Wetlands: Pecos pupfish are
routinely monitored at three sites within the Middle Tract Wetlands AU,
however, most of the impoundments listed as occupied have not been
surveyed in decades (Hatt 2022, p. 5). Despite this lack of data, we
presume that the Pecos pupfish remains extant at all documented
occupied sites in the unit, due to both their connection to occupied
habitat and the absence of any known mortality event. While Pecos
pupfish are not always detected at the monitoring sites during
consecutive surveys, they have been shown to remain extant within those
sites (Hatt 2019, p. 5; Hatt 2022, p. 5).
This unit is composed of artificial wetlands and ditches that are
managed by Bitter Lake NWR. The ditches are spring fed and retain
permanent water. The wetland impoundments vary widely in habitat
extent, and while many are likely to retain permanent water in most
years, given the variable nature of the water in the impoundments, the
amount of habitat is presumed to vary widely in any given year, and may
be extremely limited in particularly dry years.
There are no known water quality impairments in the unit that would
impact the Pecos pupfish. When water levels are low, the shallow
impoundments and wetlands in the unit are subject to adverse water
quality such as increased temperature and salinity, and decreased
available dissolved oxygen because water becomes lentic or stagnant and
soon evaporates.
Aquatic environments in this unit area are a mix of manmade
channels, impoundments, and wetlands. While we do not have data on how
Pecos pupfish move between these environments, the diversity of
habitats likely helps buffer the Pecos pupfish from short-term
environmental changes such as drought, provides ample sheltering and
breeding habitat, and provides protection from stochastic events such
as floods or golden algae blooms. Thus, the Bitter Lake NWR Middle
Tract Wetlands population's current condition evaluation determined
that occurrence, water quantity, water quality, and habitat diversity
are in overall high current condition and the population has high
resiliency.
Unit 5: Bottomless Lakes State Park: Pecos pupfish have been
routinely monitored at three sites in this AU and are found exclusively
in sinkhole habitat. While Pecos pupfish were confirmed extirpated from
Upper Figure 8 Lake during the 2021 monitoring, they remain extant
throughout the remainder of the known occupied sites within the unit,
including the adjacent Lower Figure 8 Lake sinkhole (Hatt 2021, p. 7).
All of the Pecos pupfish sinkholes at Bottomless Lakes State Park
are fed by springs from the San Andres artesian aquifer (Land 2003, p.
229). Though some historical lowering of sinkhole levels has occurred,
the recent trend is an increase in surface water levels in the
sinkholes. Water levels in the sinkholes appear to be closely related
to the overall fluctuation in water levels in the artesian aquifer
(Land 2003, p. 231). No documented water contamination either from
surface sources or natural water quality parameters has been recorded
in the unit. Although sinkholes may exhibit more stable water quantity
and quality, a mortality event was documented in 2020 in Upper Figure 8
Lake, which illustrates the susceptibility of these habitats to
stochastic events. The Bottomless Lakes State Park population's current
condition evaluation determined that occurrence, water quantity, and
water quality are in high condition, and habitat diversity is in
moderate condition. Thus, the Bottomless Lakes State Park population is
in overall high current condition and high resiliency.
[[Page 92757]]
Unit 6: BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake: Pecos pupfish in this
unit are surveyed in limited accessible areas of the BLM Overflow
Wetlands (Hatt 2022, p. 2). Pecos pupfish are presumed extant
throughout the suitable habitat within the wetland because installed
fish barriers protect the unit from sheepshead minnow introgression
(Hoagstrom et al. 2015, p. 16).
Lea Lake typically exhibits stable water quantity throughout the
year (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, p. 16). In addition, wetland water is
supplied by several springs throughout the complex as well as surface
flows during precipitation events. As a result of the different sources
of water, the extent of aquatic habitat varies both seasonally and
annually. However, owing to the constant source of water from Lea Lake,
as well as the springs in the complex, permanent water remains in many
locations. Additionally, there are no known water contamination issues
in this unit.
This unit contains a large wetland complex and the largest sinkhole
in Bottomless Lakes State Park. This sinkhole was not included in Unit
5 as it is not hydrologically connected to the other sinkholes in Unit
5 and is hydrologically connected to the BLM Overflow Wetlands. The
habitat diversity represented by these aquatic environments provides a
buffer from stochastic events.
The BLM Overflow Wetlands AU is the only other unit that has high
internal redundancy. Similar to the Pecos River, the BLM Overflow
Wetlands provide a large area with many microhabitats. This unit was
historically connected to the Pecos River during high flows, but fish
barriers installed to protect the unit from sheepshead minnow
introgression have limited this connection. The BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Lea Lake population's current condition evaluation determined that
occurrence, water quantity, and habitat diversity are in high
condition, and water quality is in moderate condition. Thus, the BLM
Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake population is in overall high current
condition and has high resilience.
Unit 7: Middle Pecos River: It is likely that Pecos pupfish are
extirpated from the Pecos River between Brantley Dam and Red Bluff
Reservoir. Sheepshead minnow are regularly caught between Brantley Dam
and Red Bluff Reservoir, which indicates that they are present
throughout this segment of the Pecos River system (Davenport 2023a,
entire). Additionally, the middle Pecos River has regular issues with
severe low flows and intermittency, water quality impairments, and
stochastic events (Zymonas and Propst 2007, p. 45). The middle Pecos
River population's current condition evaluation determined that water
quantity and habitat diversity are in moderate condition, and water
quality is in low condition. Due to the presence of sheepshead minnow,
the middle Pecos River population is considered extirpated.
Unit 8: Salt Creek (TX): Pecos pupfish in Salt Creek (TX) are
currently present in only a single reach of the stream. While the fish
at this location are not routinely monitored, a visit to this unit in
2023 confirmed that fish are present (Montagne 2023, p. 2). Pecos
pupfish from the lower reach of Salt Creek (TX), near the confluence
with the Pecos River, were confirmed introgressed with sheepshead
minnow from the Pecos River. An unidentified physical barrier in the
lower reaches of Salt Creek (TX) appears to have limited the spread of
sheepshead minnow and introgressed pupfish into the upper reaches that
comprise this AU (Echelle et al. 2003b, pp. 4-6). The Salt Creek (TX)
population's current condition evaluation determined that occurrence,
water quantity, and habitat diversity are in moderate condition, and
water quality is in low condition. Thus, the Salt Creek (TX) population
is in overall moderate current condition and has moderate resilience.
Unit 9: Lower Pecos River: Pecos pupfish have been extirpated from
the lower Pecos River due to introgression with the sheepshead minnow.
The flow of the lower Pecos River north of Independence Creek is
subject to frequent and ongoing intermittency issues, regularly
experiencing no flow events, especially during the irrigation season
and during periods of drought. South of Independence Creek the
character of the river changes to one with steeper bank and canyon and
permanent water flow. The water in this unit has very high salinity and
increasing ongoing impacts from contaminants (Hoagstrom 2009, pp. 35-
36). Hazardous material spills or leaks associated with oil and gas
production are an ongoing problem in this unit and may be increasing in
both number and frequency (Scanlon et al. 2020, p. 3511). The lower
Pecos River population's current condition evaluation determined that
water quantity and habitat diversity are in moderate condition, and
water quality is in low condition. Due to the presence of sheepshead
minnow, the lower Pecos River population is considered extirpated.
Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a species to withstand
catastrophic events by maintaining multiple, resilient populations
distributed (and connected, as appropriate) within the species' varied
habitats and across the species' range. We assessed Pecos pupfish
redundancy at two scales, within the individual AUs and across the
range of the species. Within the analysis unit we looked at connection
both internal to the unit and across adjacent units to characterize the
overall redundancy of a unit. The overall redundancy of the unit could
not be higher than the lowest internal or external redundancy score.
Important to the discussion of redundancy in Pecos pupfish populations
is the consideration of sheepshead minnow introgression. While
connectivity enhances redundancy within and among AUs, this same
connectivity increases the threat of sheepshead minnow introgression. A
well-connected Pecos pupfish population is one that allows for
dispersal and recolonization but is also one that is at increased risk
of introgression. Redundancy throughout the species' range, coupled
with healthy populations, may help lower the risk of introgression. A
healthy, robust Pecos pupfish population may be more resistant to
introgression and, thus, less likely to contribute to spread of hybrid
fish (Kodric-Brown and Rosenfield 2004, p. 122).
The Upper Pecos AU (Unit 1) is well connected throughout its length
and the pattern of flow within the river likely creates a variety of
microhabitat sites that are suitable for the Pecos pupfish. The Upper
Pecos is moderately connected to adjacent off-channel units, though
only at times of high flow.
The Salt Creek Wilderness unit (Unit 2) is one of two units that
are currently connected to the Pecos River during periods of high flow.
In the Salt Creek Wilderness unit, the connection to the unit is
limited to Salt Creek (NM) proper where the Pecos pupfish may be found
in only one permanent pool in Salt Creek (NM). Within this unit, Pecos
pupfish are distributed among several sinkholes and in Salt Creek (NM);
there is no known, above-ground connection between these areas.
Bitter Creek Drainage unit (Unit 3) does not have any known
connection to adjacent AUs. Internally, many of the occupied sites
within the Bitter Creek Drainage are isolated sinkholes. There is
connection along Bitter Creek and to the springs that feed the creek;
however, there is no known connection between the creek and adjacent
sinkholes. It is
[[Page 92758]]
also surmised that there may be some underground connection between the
springs in the Dragonfly Spring sinkhole area (Land and Huff 2009, p.
20). It is currently unknown how extensive this connection is (if at
all) or if a Pecos pupfish would be able to move between sinkholes
underground.
The Middle Tract unit (Unit 4) is connected to the Upper Pecos at
the southern end of the unit during periods of high flow. While pupfish
are likely widely distributed within the Middle Tract unit, connection
among the different occupied sites is managed through a series of
diversions and manmade impoundments. Water flow through the unit is
generally north to south, and when the gates between the impoundments
are open, flow is likely too great to allow Pecos pupfish to move up
the current.
The Bottomless Lakes State Park unit (Unit 5) does not have any
known connection to adjacent AUs and is fully isolated from all other
AUs.
The BLM Overflow Wetlands unit (Unit 6) is the only other unit that
has high internal redundancy. Similar to the Pecos River, the Overflow
Wetlands provide a large area with many microhabitats. This unit was
historically connected to the Pecos River during high flows, but fish
barriers installed to protect the unit from sheepshead minnow
introgression have limited this connection.
Salt Creek (TX) unit (Unit 8) is directly connected to the lower
Pecos River. There is a presumed natural barrier within Salt Creek (TX)
upstream from the confluence that moderates this connectivity. The
barrier has allowed non-introgressed Pecos pupfish to remain extant in
the upper reaches of Salt Creek (TX) despite the presence of an
introgressed population downstream. It is currently unknown how many
extant sites are found in the upper areas of Salt Creek (TX), but the
connection between them likely varies seasonally with the amount of
water in the creek.
We did not analyze the redundancy in the middle or lower Pecos
River units (AUs 7 and 9), as the Pecos pupfish populations there are
considered to be extirpated.
Representation
Representation describes the ability of a species to adapt to
changing environmental conditions over time and is characterized by the
breadth of genetic and environmental diversity within and among
populations. As previously discussed, Pecos pupfish are known from a
variety of different aquatic environmental settings and show specific
morphological variation related to these environmental settings.
Populations have been documented in sinkholes, streams, marshes,
managed wetlands, and rivers with varying physical characteristics
(i.e., size, gradient, elevation, temperature, etc.).
Although some limited genetic analysis has been done on the Pecos
pupfish that indicated potential geographic structure to Pecos pupfish
populations, research cautioned against a rigorous application of the
results since the divergence was minor (Echelle and Echelle 2007, p.
7). More recent research has shown differences between Pecos pupfish
populations among the samples from Bitter Lake NWR, Bottomless Lakes
State Park, and the BLM Overflow Wetlands (Whiteley 2023, entire), and
morphological divergence in Pecos pupfish populations that corresponded
to differing habitat use (Collyer et al. 2015, p. 187; Xu 2017, p. 22).
While there are no studies that directly relates morphological
differences in Pecos pupfish to genetic differentiation, the best
available information suggests that including a range of aquatic
environments (i.e., habitat diversity) represents much of the current
diversity of the Pecos pupfish species (Echelle and Echelle 2007, p. 7;
Collyer et al. 2015, p. 187; Xu 2017, p. 22; Whiteley 2023, entire).
Therefore, we are using environmental setting as a surrogate for
genetics to measure representation.
Currently, the Pecos pupfish is found within nearly all of the
historically occupied environmental settings but is considered
extirpated from the Pecos River in southern New Mexico and northwestern
Texas and is likely extirpated from several off-channel locations in
that same region. However, the upper Pecos River, the only remaining
riverine AU, has moderate resiliency, which reflects a potential
increase in the loss of representation of riverine Pecos pupfish in New
Mexico. The only remaining extant AU in Texas also has moderate
resiliency, which presents a risk to representation of Pecos pupfish in
Texas. Pecos pupfish have likely experienced some reduction in
representation as a result of the large range reduction following
extirpations from the Pecos River and off-channel locations in Texas
and southern New Mexico.
Assessment of Current Viability
The Pecos pupfish is currently distributed across seven of nine AUs
covering the historical range. Within those seven AUs, four were
assessed to be in high resiliency condition and three in moderate
condition. Across the range of the species, we identified 66 distinct
locations (sites) where Pecos pupfish have been recorded since 1992. As
of 2023, 8 (12.1 percent) of these 66 sites are confirmed or presumed
extirpated and four are in unknown status. The remaining 54 sites (81.2
percent) are extant or presumed extant. Twenty-one sites (31.8 percent)
have been confirmed as extant within the last 5 years. This does not
consider losses that may have occurred before the first comprehensive
range-wide surveys occurred in 1999 (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999,
entire). There has been a large decline in the extent of the occupied
range because of the extirpation of Pecos pupfish from their historical
range in the Pecos River below Brantley Dam (southern New Mexico and
Texas). Pecos pupfish were historically found in riverine, stream,
wetland, and sinkhole habitats and currently continue to be recorded in
all of these habitats. Because of the reduction in the range caused by
the extirpation of Pecos pupfish from a large section of the Pecos
River, the species has experienced a reduction in both redundancy and
representation. However, we do not have the data on the historical size
of the Pecos pupfish population in the Pecos River or the genetic
relationship between this population and others to adequately assess
the relative importance of this population to the species. Regardless,
the species has four populations in high condition, three in moderate
condition, and none in low condition. These populations are well
distributed throughout the range and among habitat types.
Although there is uncertainty surrounding the demography of
differing Pecos pupfish populations and their genetic relationships,
data suggests that the Pecos pupfish still occurs in multiple
populations representing the historical range of habitat variation for
the species. Though declines in range extent and, likely, population
size have occurred, 11 years of monitoring data suggest that the Pecos
pupfish continues to have multiple, long-term persistent populations
throughout its range.
Future Condition
Using the same methods described for Current Condition, we assessed
viability of the Pecos pupfish under three future scenarios at two
timesteps, years 2050 and 2100, consistent with the best available
information (Service 2024, pp. 76-102). Each scenario focused on a
different climate projection for the Pecos River Basin, because
changing climate conditions will affect the Pecos pupfish's required
water quality and quantity parameters. We also assessed
[[Page 92759]]
the risk of sheepshead minnow introgression into other parts of the
species' range.
Although development such as urbanization, agriculture, and oil and
gas extraction may have local effects on some Pecos pupfish sites, we
do not expect substantial effects from these sources at the species or
AU level. The exception to this situation is the potential for oil and
gas development in the vicinity of Salt Creek (TX) to cause significant
variation in stream flow. Oil and gas development in this area is
expected to increase as energy demands are needed with increased human
development (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 81, 163, 171). While we do not
have ongoing monitoring on Salt Creek (TX), stream gauges on the Black
River in New Mexico have shown a direct correlation between oil and gas
activities and reductions in stream flow, which provides relevant
context for how Salt Creek (TX) may be impacted.
Water availability in the Pecos River is influenced by a variety of
factors including human development, primarily agriculture (see Loss
and Decline of Surface and Groundwater above). However, this river is
currently managed for multiple uses, including endangered species
conservation, and future human water use from the river is not expected
to substantially increase in the future. Given these factors, we find
that the most important abiotic factors affecting Pecos pupfish
viability will result from potential changes in water availability
resulting from changing climatic conditions.
The most important biotic factor is the potential for hybridization
and genetic introgression by sheepshead minnow. If sheepshead minnow
gain access to the upper Pecos River, the Salt Creek Wilderness and
Middle Tract Wetlands AUs are most at risk of introgression because
they are both connected hydrologically to the Pecos River during
flooding events, thus allowing for potential movement of sheepshead
minnow into these off-channel habitats. In the case of the Salt Creek
Wilderness, only Salt Creek (NM) itself is vulnerable to sheepshead
minnow invasion, as the isolated sink holes in that AU are not likely
to be inundated during Pecos River flooding events. Because of the
managed nature of the Middle Tract Wetlands by the Bitter Lake NWR
staff and the existence of numerous water control structures that can
reduce opportunities for fish movement, the vulnerability within the
unit decreases with distance from the Pecos River. Managed water flows,
manmade barriers, and direct human intervention would likely be
employed to manage the spread of sheepshead minnow throughout the unit
if the species were to gain access to the upper Pecos River. The lower
portion of Salt Creek (TX) is already introgressed with sheepshead
minnow, although some upstream portions of the stream have maintained
non-introgressed pupfish. However, there is no clear barrier preventing
additional upstream movement, so we assume the risk of introgression
remains high there. The remaining three units adjacent to the Pecos
River (Bitter Creek Drainage, Bottomless Lakes State Park, and the
isolated sinkholes with the Salt Creek Wilderness) have either manmade
or natural barriers that would prevent or minimize the chance of the
spread of sheepshead minnow from the Pecos River into these units
resulting in low introgression risk.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change uses representative
concentration pathways (RCPs) in climate change scenarios to project
future concentrations of greenhouse gases (IPPC 2014, entire). Among
the RCPs, the higher values mean higher greenhouse gas emissions and
therefore higher global surface temperatures and more pronounced
effects of climate change.
To assess potential future conditions for the Pecos pupfish, we
utilized results from a study that developed projections of future
water management and hydrologic conditions to assess future water
availability across the Pecos River Basin in New Mexico (Llewellyn et
al. 2021, entire) and selected three scenarios to represent the
variability of potential future conditions that could impact the Pecos
pupfish and its habitat:
Scenario 1: Hot and dry (RCP 8.5)--Steep increase in
annual average temperature coupled with steep decreases in annual
precipitation.
Scenario 2: Hot and wet (RCP 8.5)--Steep increase in
annual average temperature coupled with an increase in annual average
precipitation.
Scenario 3: Warm and dry (RCP 4.5)--Modest increase in
annual average temperature and modest decrease in annual average
precipitation.
For each of the scenarios we assumed that the Pecos Pupfish
Conservation Agreement will remain active, and the signatory agencies
will continue monitoring the biological condition of the species and
working to prevent spread of sheepshead minnow (Conservation Team 2022,
p. 3).
Assumptions and Limitations
As with any analysis, we made many assumptions that have
consequences for our projections and interpretation of Pecos pupfish
viability. First, we only used occurrence data starting in 1992 as the
basis for our analysis. This was the first published range-wide survey
of the Pecos pupfish and therefore provided the most comprehensive data
set on Pecos pupfish occurrence. Sites that were only recorded prior to
1992 were excluded from our analysis but were included in the overall
picture of historical distribution.
We were unable to locate information on thresholds or water body
sizes that equate to an increase in extirpation risk specifically for
Pecos pupfish. It is logical to assume populations that occupy smaller
and shallower habitats are less resilient, but there are no clear
thresholds in the literature at which the size raises extinction risk.
We also did not find any specific thresholds for water quality impacts
to Pecos pupfish populations that equate to a specific extirpation
risk. Pupfish, including the Pecos pupfish, are known for their
tolerance for water quality conditions that inhibit the fecundity and
survival of other fish. We assumed that populations experiencing long-
term high temperatures or elevated salinity are less resilient, but
there are no clear thresholds at which this long-term exposure raises
extirpation risk. Thus, our categorization methodology may over- or
under-estimate resiliency of populations depending on the actual
biological thresholds.
A critical assumption is that the primary stressors we identified,
sheepshead minnow presence, and water quality and quantity alteration
that leads to habitat loss and fragmentation, which are exacerbated due
to climate change, are the primary threats to the species' long-term
viability. Although land use practices and development have impacted
the species historically, given the current distribution of Pecos
pupfish populations, we anticipate that these activities would not have
a large future impact.
In order to characterize sheepshead minnow introgression into the
future, we separately assessed this stressor. This stressor is a low
probability, high consequence event where, if the event occurs, a
population could be extirpated or highly degraded. The future scenarios
included climate effects but assumed no change in sheepshead minnow
presence. Both the climate change scenarios and the risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression should be considered when assessing the status of
the species.
Another assumption in this SSA regards the role of conservation in
future viability of the Pecos pupfish.
[[Page 92760]]
With the current conservation agreement in place, the Conservation Team
has been proactive in supporting the species. We incorporated these
efforts into several aspects of our analysis, such as our evaluation of
the probability of current Pecos pupfish populations being invaded by
nonnatives, taking into consideration conservation measures to prevent
such invasion. However, we did not incorporate water conservation
efforts into our future projects. While past water conservation,
particularly in the PVACD, has had beneficial impacts to groundwater
supply within the range of the Pecos pupfish, we were uncertain of the
direct link between these measures and Pecos pupfish habitat. Based on
this, we assume that water conservation efforts that maintain current
aquifer levels, or limit future declines could improve resilience of
Pecos pupfish populations. However, because both the implementation and
success of any water conservation efforts and response of Pecos pupfish
habitat to changing aquifer levels is unknown, were unable to
incorporate this into our analysis. Surface Temperature
Average annual surface temperatures as well as the incidence of
extreme heat events are projected to increase across the entirety of
the Southwest including the Pecos Basin (Vose et al. 2017, entire).
Within the Pecos Basin, average surface temperatures could increase by
as much as 13.32 [deg]F (-10.4 [deg]C) to an average surface
temperature in excess of 70 [deg]F (21.1 [deg]C).
As temperatures increase across the region, we anticipate a
corresponding increase in evapotranspiration rates. Both temperature
and evapotranspiration rates can have negative effects on Pecos pupfish
and their habitat. Increasing temperatures increase the risk of golden
algae blooms as well as increasing the chances that shallow habitat
could exceed the thermal tolerance of Pecos pupfish. Greater
evapotranspiration leads to lowering of water levels with the potential
for corresponding increases in salinity and water temperatures and
lowered dissolved oxygen. Lowered water levels also may lead to a
reduction in the overall habitat available to Pecos pupfish along with
the potential of the complete loss of water in shallow aquatic
environments.
Precipitation and Aquifer Levels
Precipitation changes related to climate change are more variable
and less certain than those changes projected for temperature. In the
Southwest, the occurrence of seasonal monsoons complicates the picture
for overall projected changes to precipitation in the Pecos River
Basin. Though generally models predict a drying trend across the Pecos
Basin, under certain RCP 8.5 conditions, monsoon moisture increases,
leading to an increase in average annual precipitation. Under both RCP
4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, snowpack in the headwater of the Pecos River
decreases with a corresponding earlier snowmelt runoff (Llewellyn et
al. 2021, p. 191). Though precipitation changes could potentially
reduce flows into the San Andres aquifer from the Sacramento Mountains,
the effect of lower snowpack and runoff will likely be most impactful
to the Pecos River.
The level of the San Andres aquifer likely directly impacts the
water sources for most non-riverine Pecos pupfish habitats, except for
those in Salt Creek (TX) (Land 2003, p. 228). Although we do not know
the exact relationship between aquifer levels and the springs that
provide flows to sinkholes, wetlands, and streams that provide Pecos
pupfish habitat, we can infer that changes to the aquifer level will
likely produce a corresponding change in spring flows. Levels in the
San Andres aquifer are influenced by the amount of historical water in
the aquifer and current inputs (Land and Huff 2009, p. 20) as well as
pumping by users in the PVACD.
Future Scenarios
Scenario 1--Hot and Dry (RCP 8.5)
In this scenario, future annual air temperature increases slightly,
and annual precipitation decreases throughout the Pecos River Basin.
Though temperatures increase in all seasons, summer and autumn
temperatures are predicted to increase more than winter and spring
temperatures. By 2100 (and likely much sooner), conditions in the Pecos
River Basin would be much drier than the historical average.
Precipitation would be greatly decreased in all seasons, though
decreases would be most extreme during the monsoon season. Runoff
inflow into the Pecos River Basin will decrease across every season,
and the inflow that will occur is anticipated to be the result of very
few large storm events (Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 105).
Scenario 2--Hot and Wet (RCP 8.5)
In this scenario, both temperature and annual precipitation
increase throughout the Pecos River Basin. Increased temperatures
retain more moisture in the atmosphere leading to increased monsoons.
This scenario is more seasonally variable, with sharply increased
inflow during the monsoon season and a steep decrease of inflow during
the spring runoff. In this scenario, spring and summer temperatures
increase more rapidly than fall and winter temperatures. While
precipitation decreases during winter and spring, precipitation
increases during the summer and autumn monsoon season, leading to an
overall increase in precipitation within the Pecos River Basin. As a
result of decreased winter precipitation, spring runoff is anticipated
to decrease. However, a large increase in monsoon flows make up for the
spring runoff decrease (Llewellyn et al. 2021, pp. 105-106).
Scenario 3--Warm and Dry (RCP 4.5)
This scenario anticipates the smallest changes to temperature and
precipitation of the three scenarios. By 2100, this scenario predicts
slightly higher average temperatures and a slightly dryer climate.
Importantly, summer and fall temperatures are anticipated to increase
almost twice as much as winter and spring temperatures (Llewellyn et
al. 2021, p. 101).
Future Condition Projections
Using the projections for temperature, precipitation, and San
Andres aquifer under the three scenarios outlined above, we then
predicted the potential range of outcomes these scenarios could have on
the Pecos pupfish. Future conditions were analyzed for each resiliency
metric and summarized for each unit (Service 2024, appendix C, entire).
Scenario 1--Hot and Dry (RCP 8.5)
This scenario forecasts extreme drying and higher temperatures
across the Pecos River Basin. A decrease in precipitation across the
basin along with increased air temperatures and overall drying trends
is projected to lead to decreases in stream flow, spring output, and
potentially a lowering of the aquifer that supports wetland and
sinkhole habitats for the pupfish. Although the Pecos River is managed
for flows that support endangered species such as the Pecos bluntnose
shiner, decreasing precipitation will lead to an increase in drying
days, impeding the ability of the upstream storage to deliver reliable
water to both downstream users and retain adequate flow in the Pecos
River and. Higher temperatures, particularly during the summer, will
lead to an increase in water needs and increased groundwater pumping by
agriculture in the PVACD. Higher temperatures also increase evaporative
loss from water
[[Page 92761]]
bodies and could lead to decreases in habitats available for the
pupfish.
This scenario will have some negative effects on all Pecos pupfish
AUs. The most severe impacts are anticipated to be to small streams.
Salt Creek (TX), Salt Creek (NM), and Bitter Creek are all projected to
dry and cease flowing during the hottest parts of the year leading to
local fish kills, or in the case of Salt Creek (TX), possibly the loss
of all habitats in the AU. All of these creeks currently experience
intermittent drying events, and lower precipitation and increased
temperatures in the future will exacerbate this existing condition that
stresses these habitats. Wetland areas such as the BLM Overflow
Wetlands and the managed wetlands on Bitter Lake NWR are also
anticipated to be significantly impacted in this scenario. At the 2050
timestep, given the climate projections, habitat conditions are
projected to be similar to current conditions with minimal changes to
most aquatic environments, with the exception of small streams that are
already experiencing impacts from warming and drying temperatures. By
2100, significant degradation to Pecos pupfish habitat and a decline in
its distribution are expected. Shallow streams will likely no longer
support permanent water leading to the loss of fish in Bitter Creek,
Salt Creek (NM), and Salt Creek (TX), which would mean the extirpation
of Pecos pupfish from Texas. Habitat extent in wetland habitats in the
BLM Overflow Wetlands and Middle Tract on Bitter Lake NWR will be
greatly reduced, and pupfish would be expected to persist only in
deeper channels or near springs.
Historically, the San Andres aquifer has been resilient and
rebounded after extended drought (Land and Newton 2008, pp. 189-190).
However, the conditions under this scenario, RCP 8.5, at 2100 will be
much hotter and drier than the historical average and are expected to
lead to unprecedented conditions in aquifer levels and surface water
quality and quantity. Across the range of the Pecos pupfish, we
anticipate substantial increases in salinity as a result of increased
evapotranspiration. Although Pecos pupfish can tolerate higher salinity
levels than most fish, significant salinity impairment (salinities
greater than 35,000 mg/L) could lead to a reduction in suitable
conditions for breeding. Increasing surface temperatures will lead to
an increase in water temperatures and likely lowered dissolved oxygen
saturation. This will be particularly pronounced in shallow habitat
such as streams and wetlands. A substantial reduction in the aquifer
level would reduce the outflow of springs leading to a loss of fish in
habitats that rely on steady, perennial spring flow and a reduction (or
elimination) of available habitat in shallower sinkholes. Additionally,
the increasing temperature and evaporation could cause shallower
habitats to exceed the thermal and saline tolerances of the Pecos
pupfish. Consequently, we anticipate a reduction in both the number,
extent, and population sizes of extant sites in sinkhole units.
Finally, we anticipate greatly reduced flows in the Pecos River under
this scenario. While reduced flows in the Pecos River have the
potential to benefit the pupfish on a seasonal basis, long-term drying
events will lead to the disconnection of occupied sites and increased
impairment of water quality.
Given these assumed future changes in the environment, by 2050,
three AUs (Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes
State Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake) are projected to
remain in high condition, three units (Upper Pecos River, Salt Creek
Wilderness, and Bitter Creek Drainage) are in moderate condition, and
one unit (Salt Creek (TX)) is in low condition (Service 2024, p. 83).
At 2100, only one AU (Bottomless Lakes State Park) is in high
condition, four units (Upper Pecos River, Bitter Creek Drainage, Bitter
Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands, and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake)
are in moderate condition, one unit (Salt Creek Wilderness) is in low
condition, and one AU (Salt Creek (TX)) is extirpated. Although habitat
conditions are expected to generally decline across the range, the
Bottomless Lakes State Park AU is anticipated to remain in high
condition because the sinkhole habitats there are expected to be less
affected by potential aquifer declines. While only two units (Bitter
Creek Drainage and Salt Creek (TX)) experience declines from current
condition at 2050, by 2100 all units except Bottomless Lakes State Park
experience declines from current condition.
Scenario 2--Hot and Wet (RCP 8.5)
This scenario forecasts a significantly higher average annual
surface temperature across the Pecos River Basin. Unlike Scenario 1,
higher summer temperatures result in more moisture in the atmosphere,
consequently leading to an increase in precipitation during the summer
monsoon season (June-September). Overall higher surface temperatures
will lead to similar outcomes as described under Scenario 1, such as
water quality impairment, and reduction in habitat extent. However, the
predicted increased monsoons may buffer some systems from the most
severe impacts of increasing average temperatures.
As with Scenario 1, the small streams are most likely to experience
the most severe adverse impacts from increasing annual temperatures.
These aquatic environments will likely experience more drying events
and subsequent impairments to salinity, water temperatures, and
dissolved oxygen. At the 2050 timestep, conditions appear similar to
current conditions throughout much of the Pecos pupfish range. However,
small streams will likely stop flowing during the hottest parts of the
year, leading to local fish kills, or in the case of Salt Creek (TX),
possibly the loss of all habitats in the AU. By 2100, rising annual
temperatures may eliminate year-round stream flow in all but the
wettest years. Consequently, we anticipate the loss of the Pecos
pupfish population at Salt Creek (TX) and a reduction in occupied sites
in Bitter Creek and the Salt Creek Wilderness. Increased temperatures
will have an impact on shallower wetlands in the BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands. Prolonged extreme air
temperatures can adversely impact water quality and could result in
decreased fitness, hinder breeding, or lead to fish kills. Sinkholes
are the most stable environment for the Pecos pupfish, and this is
unlikely to change in this scenario. The San Andres aquifer responds
quickly to precipitation inputs, and an increase in monsoon season
precipitation will likely prevent significant declines in sinkhole
water levels.
Given these assumed future changes in the environment, at 2050,
three units (Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes
State Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake) are projected to
remain in high condition, three units (Upper Pacos River, Salt Creek
Wilderness, and Bitter Creek Drainage) are in moderate condition, one
unit (Salt Creek (TX)) is in low condition, and two units (Middle Pecos
River and Lower Pecos River) remain extirpated. Under this scenario,
only two units (Bitter Creek Drainage and Salt Creek (TX)) experience a
decrease from current condition. At 2100, two units (Bottomless Lakes
State Park and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake) are in high
condition, three units (Upper Pecos River, Bitter Creek Drainage, and
Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands) are in moderate condition, one
unit (Salt Creek Wilderness) is in low condition, and three units
(Middle Pecos River, Salt Creek (TX), and Lower Pecos River) are
[[Page 92762]]
extirpated, with all units except Upper Pecos River, Bottomless Lakes
State Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake experiencing a
decrease from current condition.
Scenario 3--Warm and Dry (RCP 4.5)
This scenario forecasts a minimal increase in yearly average
temperatures and a minimal decrease in precipitation across the basin.
Even minimal decreases in precipitation could have consequences for
shallow streams in several units (Salt Creek Wilderness, Bitter Creek
Drainage, and Salt Creek (TX)). Like the prior scenarios, the 2050 time
step appears fairly similar to current condition. By 2100, small
streams are likely experiencing increased water stress, and in dry
years likely most of the stream environments will be dry. However,
under this scenario, we anticipate minimal impacts to groundwater
resources and thus minimal impacts to sinkhole, spring fed, and river
habitats.
At 2050, four units (Bitter Creek Drainage, Bitter Lake NWR Middle
Tract Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes State Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Lea Lake) are projected to be in high condition, and three units
(Upper Pecos River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and Salt Creek (TX)) are in
moderate condition, and two units (Middle Pecos River and Lower Pecos
River) are extirpated. At 2100, three units (Bitter Lake NWR Middle
Tract Wetlands, Bottomless Lakes State Park, and BLM Overflow Wetlands
and Lea Lake) are projected to be in high condition, three units (Upper
Pecos River, Salt Creek Wilderness, and Bitter Creek Drainage) are in
moderate condition, one unit (Salt Creek (TX)) is in low condition, and
two units (Middle Pecos River and Lower Pecos River) are extirpated. In
Scenario 3, no units experience decreases from current condition at
2050; however, at 2100 two units (Bitter Creek Drainage and Salt Creek
(TX)) experience decreases from current condition.
Sheepshead Minnow
Along with the three scenarios described above, we also considered
the risk of sheepshead minnow introgression into the different AUs.
Because sheepshead minnow are often used as bait fish, the most likely
path for the sheepshead minnow to move into units existing with non-
introgressed Pecos pupfish populations is through a bait bucket
transfer into the Pecos River upstream of Brantley Reservoir. Based on
data collected from the lower Pecos River, this scenario would be
highly likely to result in the introgression of the entire population
of Pecos pupfish in the Pecos River (Unit 1, Upper Pecos River)
(Whiteley 2023, p. 2). Bait bucket transfers are highly unlikely to
occur in any of the other AUs, as these units are generally either well
controlled or do not contain game fish species. As such, the most
likely route for sheepshead minnow introgression into other AUs would
be natural movement of sheepshead minnow from the Upper Pecos River AU,
if they gained access there.
The AUs most at risk of sheepshead minnow introgression from the
upper Pecos River are the Salt Creek Wilderness and Middle Tract
Wetlands, which are both connected hydrologically to the upper Pecos
River during flooding events, allowing for potential movement of
sheepshead minnow into these off-channel habitats. In the case of the
Salt Creek Wilderness, only Salt Creek (NM) itself is vulnerable to
sheepshead minnow invasion, as the isolated sink holes in that AU are
not likely to be inundated during Pecos River flooding events. Because
of the managed nature of the Middle Tract Wetlands by the Bitter Lake
NWR staff and the existence of numerous water control structures that
can reduce opportunities for fish movement, the vulnerability within
the unit decreases with distance from the Pecos River. Managed water
flows, manmade barriers, and direct human intervention would likely be
employed to manage the spread of sheepshead minnow throughout the unit
if the species were to gain access to the Upper Pecos River. The lower
portion of Salt Creek (TX) is already introgressed with sheepshead
minnow; however, despite the lack of a clear barrier preventing
upstream movement, upstream portions of the stream have maintained non-
introgressed pupfish. Because we cannot identify a barrier, we assume
the risk of introgression remains high. The remaining three units
adjacent to the Pecos River (Salt Creek Wilderness, Bitter Creek
Drainage, and Bottomless Lakes State Park) have either manmade or
natural barriers that would prevent or minimize the chance of the
spread of sheepshead minnow from the Pecos River into these units,
resulting in low introgression risk.
Assessment of Future Viability
We considered what the Pecos pupfish needs to maintain viability
and characterized the status of the species in terms of its resiliency,
redundancy, and representation. For the purpose of this assessment, we
define viability as the ability of the species to sustain populations
in natural ecosystems within a biologically meaningful timeframe: in
this case, out to 2100. We chose 2100 because we have information to
reasonably project the potential significant effects of stressors
within the range of the Pecos pupfish within this timeframe. Based on
the Pecos pupfish life history and habitat needs, and in consultation
with the species' experts, we identified the potential stressors
(negative influences), and the contributing sources of those stressors,
that are likely to affect the species' future viability. We then
evaluated how these potential future stressors would interact with
current stressors, and how, and to what extent they would affect the
species in the future. Based on the best available information, we
believe the two largest influences on the future viability of the Pecos
pupfish are the potential of introgression with sheepshead minnow and
climate change-driven impacts to water quantity, water quality, and
loss of habitat diversity. While water pollution and human development
(particularly agricultural and oil and gas development) activities have
likely influenced the species' current condition and may affect some
areas (Salt Creek (TX)) in the future, we found that the changing
climate and the related effects to water availability to sustain
habitats has, and will continue to have, the greatest influence on the
status of the Pecos pupfish. Sheepshead minnow introduction, while much
less predictable, does have the potential to impact Pecos pupfish
populations above Brantley Dam should an introduction occur.
We note that, by using the SSA framework to guide our analysis of
the scientific information documented in the SSA report, we have
analyzed the cumulative effects of identified threats and conservation
actions on the species. To assess the current and future condition of
the species, we evaluate the effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species, including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework considers not just the presence of
the factors, but to what degree they collectively influence risk to the
entire species, our assessment integrates the cumulative effects of the
factors and replaces a standalone cumulative-effects analysis.
Determination of Pecos Pupfish Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species meets the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species. The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
species in
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danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species likely to become an
endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we determine
whether a species meets the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species because of any of the following factors: (A) The
present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued existence.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
Our assessment of best available information indicates that
currently two of the nine known Pecos pupfish populations have been
extirpated, and three others are in moderate condition. The majority of
known occupied Pecos pupfish sites are within the other five units
around Bitter Lake NWR and Bottomless Lakes State Park in New Mexico
(AUs 2-6). Within these units, four were found to be in high condition
and one in moderate condition, indicating that multiple areas across
the species' core range have high resiliency. The small Salt Creek AU
in Texas is currently in moderate condition. This unit is disconnected
from the remainder of the species' range in New Mexico, providing some
redundancy in maintaining a relatively large geographic range. The two
large units of the Lower and Middle Pecos River have been previously
extirpated due to the introgression of the sheepshead minnow. Loss of
these parts of the range represent a significant reduction in the
overall range and redundancy for the species and loss of a large
segment of the riverine habitats historically available to the species.
The riverine habitats continue to be represented by the Upper Pecos
River Unit.
Under all three plausible future scenarios, species condition would
be reduced by 2100. In the hottest and driest scenario (Scenario 1),
shallow streams are likely to be lost, leading to the extirpation of
Pecos pupfish in Salt Creek (TX) and a reduction in redundancy and
representation in the Salt Creek Wilderness and Bitter Creek Drainage
units. Deeper sinkholes and wetlands are more stable and are expected
to maintain suitable conditions for the Pecos pupfish under all
scenarios. However, units such as Bitter Creek Drainage, Middle Tract,
and BLM Overflow Wetlands are more vulnerable to losses in redundancy
in Scenario 1 due to susceptibility to habitat losses from future
drying climatic conditions. The Pecos River may also be unable to
sustain year-round flows under conditions predicted in Scenario 1. The
increased stream flows from projected increase in monsoons in Scenario
2 help maintain sinkhole habitats throughout the range of the Pecos
pupfish, and to a lesser extent, likely may buffer wetland habitats
from the most severe impacts of increased temperatures. However, small
streams are likely still at elevated risk of being lost or experiencing
long-term drying or mortality events. Finally, in the mildest future
climate scenario (Scenario 3), further effects to most habitat
(wetlands, sinkholes, and riverine) are anticipated to be minimal.
However, like the other two scenarios, shallow streams likely will
experience drying and mortality events.
Under all three scenarios, we anticipate some reductions to
resilience, redundance, and representation. Although some additional
changes to Pecos pupfish status are projected to occur by 2050, we
anticipate that measurable changes to viability will be more apparent
by 2100. The resilience of the aquifer to small year-to-year variation
and the adaptability of the Pecos pupfish to variable habitat
conditions will likely offset some of the climate changes through 2050.
Under all scenarios, at least one AU remains in high condition. Under
both Scenarios 1 and 2, Pecos pupfish are projected to be extirpated
from Salt Creek (TX), eliminating the only population outside of New
Mexico that has been described as genetically different from the core
populations in New Mexico. Pecos pupfish experience most losses of
known occupied sites under Scenario 1, though losses would be likely to
occur under scenarios 2 and 3 as well. Bottomless Lakes State Park
remains the only AU that would be in high condition under all three
scenarios.
Concurrent with the effects of climate change is the risk of
expansion of sheepshead minnow and subsequent hybridization with Pecos
pupfish. Salt Creek (TX) is already at high risk of loss due to
sheepshead minnow introgression. The Upper Pecos River is currently
highly vulnerable to sheepshead minnow introduction via a bait bucket
transfer. Should this introduction occur, non-introgressed Pecos
pupfish would likely be extirpated from this unit, and, as a
consequence there would be no remaining Pecos pupfish in the Pecos
River. This would also increase the potential for sheepshead minnow
invasion into portions of the Salt Creek Wilderness, the Middle Tract
Wetlands, and possibly the Overflow Wetlands units.
The Pecos Pupfish Conservation Agreement will continue to provide
guidance for agencies and partners working toward Pecos pupfish
conservation through several means. First, the monitoring outlined in
the conservation agreement will provide a long-term data set on the
persistence of Pecos pupfish and, as methods are refined, population
trends within four AUs (Bitter Creek Drainage and Bitter Lake NWR
Middle Tract Wetlands, BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake, and
Bottomless Lakes State Park). This monitoring will allow partners to
detect potential sheepshead minnow introgression and allow for the
detection of long-term declines or extirpations of Pecos pupfish.
Secondly, the conservation agreement will help provide for ongoing
maintenance (or potentially additional) barriers to fish passage that
may protect some of the AUs from sheepshead minnow introgression should
a bait bucket transfer into the Upper Pecos River occur. Finally, the
agreement can reduce the opportunity for further invasions by a
collaborative effort of State and Federal entities to enforce existing
baitfish regulations.
After evaluating threats to the species and assessing the
cumulative effect of the threats under the Act's section 4(a)(1)
factors, we find that Pecos pupfish populations will continue to face
the ongoing risk of sheepshead minnow introgression, and populations
will remain small and isolated from one another. The risk of sheepshead
minnow introgression is cumulative, meaning that the risk builds over
time such that the risk of this species being introduced into the
current Pecos pupfish range by a bait bucket transfer is higher in the
future than it is currently. Additionally, Pecos pupfish populations
will experience reductions in resiliency, redundance, and
representation through 2050, with more measurable declines by 2100 due
to decreased surface water availability, increased frequency of
drought, higher than average temperatures, and continued groundwater
depletion.
We considered whether the Pecos pupfish is presently in danger of
extinction and determined that endangered status is not appropriate.
The current conditions assessed in the SSA report show that the Pecos
pupfish is distributed across seven of nine AUs across the historical
range. Although there may have been reductions from
[[Page 92764]]
the historical range and population sizes, monitoring data indicate
that the Pecos pupfish continues to have multiple, long-term,
persistent populations throughout the range. Currently only two of the
seven AUs are at high risk for sheepshead minnow introgression, and
four AUs are not subjected to declines in water quantity. While threats
are currently acting on the species and many of those threats are
expected to continue into the future, we did not find that the species
is currently in danger of extinction throughout all of its range. We
believe the demand on water in the Pecos River Basin is expected to
increase based on climate change projections (Sites Southwest 2008, pp.
6-3, 6-6), but adequate aquifer levels may be maintained until 2100
(Llewellyn et al. 2021, p. 100). Thus, after assessing the best
available information, we conclude that the Pecos pupfish is not in
danger of extinction but is likely to become in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. The court in Center for Biological Diversity v. Everson, 435
F. Supp. 3d 69 (D.D.C. 2020) (Everson), vacated the provision of the
Final Policy on Interpretation of the Phrase ``Significant Portion of
Its Range'' in the Endangered Species Act's Definitions of ``Endangered
Species'' and ``Threatened Species'' (hereafter ``Final Policy''; 79 FR
37578, July 1, 2014) that provided if the Services determine that a
species is threatened throughout all of its range, the Services will
not analyze whether the species is endangered in a significant portion
of its range.
Therefore, we proceed to evaluating whether the species is
endangered in a significant portion of its range--that is, whether
there is any portion of the species' range for which both (1) the
portion is significant; and (2) the species is in danger of extinction
in that portion. Depending on the case, it might be more efficient for
us to address the ``significance'' question or the ``status'' question
first. We can choose to address either question first. Regardless of
which question we address first, if we reach a negative answer with
respect to the first question that we address, we do not need to
evaluate the other question for that portion of the species' range.
Following the court's holding in Everson, we now consider whether
the species is in danger of extinction in a significant portion of its
range. In undertaking this analysis for Pecos pupfish, we choose to
address the status question first.
We evaluated the range of the Pecos pupfish to determine if the
species is in danger of extinction in any portion of its range. The
range of a species can theoretically be divided into portions in an
infinite number of ways. We focused our analysis on portions of the
species' range that may meet the definition of an endangered species.
For Pecos pupfish, we considered whether the threats or their effects
on the species are greater in any biologically meaningful portion of
the species' range than in other portions such that the species is in
danger of extinction in that portion.
We examined the range for biologically meaningful portions based on
the four broad categories of aquatic environments that Pecos pupfish
occupy throughout its range, which reflect phylogenic relationships as
well as physiogeographical differences in aquatic habitat. The aquatic
environments germane to the range of the Pecos pupfish are riverine
(includes the upper, middle, and lower Pecos River segments), shallow
stream (includes Salt Creek (NM) and Salt Creek (TX)), sinkholes
(includes Salt Creek Wilderness, Bitter Creek Drainage, and Bottomless
Lakes State Park), and wetlands (includes Bitter Creek Middle Tract
Wetlands and BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake).
Once we identified the biologically meaningful portions to examine,
we then turned to the question of whether these portions may have a
different biological status. Of these aquatic environments, the
riverine environment contains just one population, the upper Pecos
River, which is in moderate condition. The other environments have
multiple populations, including four in high condition. Therefore, we
are examining the riverine environment to determine if it has a
different status than the remainder of the range.
We evaluated the available information about this portion of the
range of Pecos pupfish that occupies the upper Pecos River in this
context, assessing its biological significance in terms of condition
criteria (genetic security, occurrence, water quality, water quantity,
and habitat diversity; see Current Condition) used to assign the
current condition of Pecos pupfish populations. While the entire Pecos
River is characterized as a sometimes fairly shallow and meandering
riverine habitat with ephemeral tributaries, the primary risk to the
upper Pecos River population is the introduction of sheepshead minnow.
The single population in this aquatic habitat is also affected by
severe low flow or no flow events and intermittency, as well as water
quality impairments. Sheepshead minnow were introduced to portions of
the Pecos River in the 1980s; Brantley Dam currently serves as a
barrier to prevent sheepshead minnow from naturally moving north into
the upper Pecos River. Because sheepshead minnow are often used as bait
fish, the most likely path for the sheepshead minnow to move into non-
introgressed Pecos pupfish populations is through a bait bucket
transfer into the Pecos River upstream of Brantley Reservoir. At that
point, sheepshead minnow could naturally spread from the upper Pecos
River to additional Pecos pupfish populations. Because the risk of
introduction of sheepshead minnow is equal across all habitat types and
is the primary reason that we found the Pecos pupfish to be threatened
rangewide, there is not a difference in risk that would cause the upper
Pecos River to have a different status than the remainder of the range.
Therefore, no portion of the species' range provides a basis for
determining that the species is in danger of extinction in a
significant portion of its range, and we determine that the species is
likely to become in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range. This does not conflict with the courts'
holdings in Desert Survivors v. U.S. Department of the Interior, 321 F.
Supp. 3d 1011, 1070-74 (N.D. Cal. 2018) and Center for Biological
Diversity v. Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017) because,
in reaching this conclusion, we did not apply the aspects of the Final
Policy, including the definition of ``significant'' that those court
decisions held to be invalid.
Determination of Status
Based on of the best scientific and commercial data available, we
determine that the Pecos pupfish meets the Act's definition of a
threatened species. Therefore, we propose to list the Pecos pupfish as
a threatened species in accordance with sections 3(20) and 4(a)(1) of
the Act.
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to species listed as endangered or
threatened species under the Act include recognition as a listed
species, planning and implementation of recovery actions, requirements
for Federal protection, and prohibitions against certain practices.
Recognition through listing results in public
[[Page 92765]]
awareness, and conservation by Federal, State, Tribal, and local
agencies, foreign governments, private organizations, and individuals.
The Act encourages cooperation with the States and other countries and
calls for recovery actions to be carried out for listed species. The
protection required by Federal agencies, including the Service, and the
prohibitions against certain activities are discussed, in part, below.
The primary purpose of the Act is the conservation of endangered
and threatened species and the ecosystems upon which they depend. The
ultimate goal of such conservation efforts is the recovery of these
listed species, so that they no longer need the protective measures of
the Act. Section 4(f) of the Act calls for the Service to develop and
implement recovery plans for the conservation of endangered and
threatened species. The goal of this process is to restore listed
species to a point where they are secure, self-sustaining, and
functioning components of their ecosystems.
The recovery planning process begins with development of a recovery
outline made available to the public soon after a final listing
determination. The recovery outline guides the immediate implementation
of urgent recovery actions while a recovery plan is being developed.
Recovery teams (composed of species experts, Federal and State
agencies, nongovernmental organizations, and stakeholders) may be
established to develop and implement recovery plans. The recovery
planning process involves the identification of actions that are
necessary to halt and reverse the species' decline by addressing the
threats to its survival and recovery. The recovery plan identifies
recovery criteria for review of when a species may be ready for
reclassification from endangered to threatened (``downlisting'') or
removal from protected status (``delisting''), and methods for
monitoring recovery progress. Recovery plans also establish a framework
for agencies to coordinate their recovery efforts and provide estimates
of the cost of implementing recovery tasks. Revisions of the plan may
be done to address continuing or new threats to the species, as new
substantive information becomes available. The recovery outline, draft
recovery plan, final recovery plan, and any revisions will be available
on our website as they are completed (https://www.fws.gov/program/endangered-species), or from our New Mexico Ecological Services Field
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Implementation of recovery actions generally requires the
participation of a broad range of partners, including other Federal
agencies, States, Tribes, nongovernmental organizations, businesses,
and private landowners. Examples of recovery actions include habitat
restoration (e.g., restoration of native vegetation), research, captive
propagation and reintroduction, and outreach and education. The
recovery of many listed species cannot be accomplished solely on
Federal lands because their range may occur primarily or solely on non-
Federal lands. To achieve recovery of these species requires
cooperative conservation efforts on private, State, and Tribal lands.
If this species is listed, funding for recovery actions will be
available from a variety of sources, including Federal budgets, State
programs, and cost-share grants for non-Federal landowners, the
academic community, and nongovernmental organizations. In addition,
pursuant to section 6 of the Act, the State(s) of New Mexico and Texas
would be eligible for Federal funds to implement management actions
that promote the protection or recovery of the Pecos pupfish.
Information on our grant programs that are available to aid species
recovery can be found at: https://www.fws.gov/service/financial-assistance.
Although the Pecos pupfish is only proposed for listing under the
Act at this time, please let us know if you are interested in
participating in recovery efforts for this species. Additionally, we
invite you to submit any new information on this species whenever it
becomes available and any information you may have for recovery
planning purposes (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Section 7 of the Act is titled Interagency Cooperation and mandates
all Federal action agencies to use their existing authorities to
further the conservation purposes of the Act and to ensure that their
actions are not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of listed
species or adversely modify critical habitat. Regulations implementing
section 7 are codified at 50 CFR part 402.
Section 7(a)(2) states that each Federal action agency shall, in
consultation with the Secretary, ensure that any action they authorize,
fund, or carry out is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence
of a listed species or result in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical habitat. Each Federal agency shall
review its action at the earliest possible time to determine whether it
may affect listed species or critical habitat. If a determination is
made that the action may affect listed species or critical habitat,
formal consultation is required (50 CFR 402.14(a)), unless the Service
concurs in writing that the action is not likely to adversely affect
listed species or critical habitat. At the end of a formal
consultation, the Service issues a biological opinion, containing its
determination of whether the federal action is likely to result in
jeopardy or adverse modification.
In contrast, section 7(a)(4) of the Act requires Federal agencies
to confer with the Service on any action which is likely to jeopardize
the continued existence of any species proposed to be listed under the
Act or result in the destruction or adverse modification of critical
habitat proposed to be designated for such species. Although the
conference procedures are required only when an action is likely to
result in jeopardy or adverse modification, action agencies may
voluntarily confer with the Service on actions that may affect species
proposed for listing or critical habitat proposed to be designated. In
the event that the subject species is listed or the relevant critical
habitat is designated, a conference opinion may be adopted as a
biological opinion and serve as compliance with section 7(a)(2).
Examples of discretionary actions for the Pecos pupfish that may be
subject to conference and consultation procedures under section 7 are
management of Federal lands administered by the BLM, the BOR, the
Corps, and the Service's NWR System as well as actions that require a
Federal permit (such as a permit from the Corps under section 404 of
the Clean Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251 et seq.) or actions funded be
Federal agencies such as the Federal Highway Administration, Federal
Aviation Administration, or the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
Federal actions not affecting listed species or critical habitat--and
actions on State, Tribal, local, or private lands that are not
federally funded, authorized, or carried out by a Federal agency--do
not require section 7 consultation. Federal agencies should coordinate
with the New Mexico Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT) with any specific questions on section 7
consultation and conference requirements.
II. Protective Regulations Under Section 4(d) of the Act
Background
Section 4(d) of the Act contains two sentences. The first sentence
states that the Secretary shall issue such regulations as she deems
necessary and advisable to provide for the
[[Page 92766]]
conservation of species listed as threatened species. Conservation is
defined in the Act to mean the use of all methods and procedures which
are necessary to bring any endangered species or threatened species to
the point at which the measures provided pursuant to the Act are no
longer necessary. Additionally, the second sentence of section 4(d) of
the Act states that the Secretary may by regulation prohibit with
respect to any threatened species any act prohibited under section
9(a)(1), in the case of fish or wildlife, or section 9(a)(2), in the
case of plants. With these two sentences in section 4(d), Congress
delegated broad authority to the Secretary to determine what
protections would be necessary and advisable to provide for the
conservation of threatened species, and even broader authority to put
in place any of the section 9 prohibitions, for a given species.
The courts have recognized the extent of the Secretary's discretion
under this standard to develop rules that are appropriate for the
conservation of a species. For example, courts have upheld, as a valid
exercise of agency authority, rules developed under section 4(d) that
included limited prohibitions against takings (see Alsea Valley
Alliance v. Lautenbacher, 2007 WL 2344927 (D. Or. 2007); Washington
Environmental Council v. National Marine Fisheries Service, 2002 WL
511479 (W.D. Wash. 2002)). Courts have also upheld 4(d) rules that do
not address all of the threats a species faces (see State of Louisiana
v. Verity, 853 F.2d 322 (5th Cir. 1988)). As noted in the legislative
history when the Act was initially enacted, ``once an animal is on the
threatened list, the Secretary has an almost infinite number of options
available to [her] with regard to the permitted activities for those
species. [She] may, for example, permit taking, but not importation of
such species, or [she] may choose to forbid both taking and importation
but allow the transportation of such species'' (H.R. Rep. No. 412, 93rd
Cong., 1st Sess. 1973).
The provisions of this species' proposed protective regulations
under section 4(d) of the Act are one of many tools that we would use
to promote the conservation of the Pecos pupfish. The proposed
protective regulations would apply only if and when we make final the
listing of the Pecos pupfish as a threatened species. Nothing in 4(d)
rules change in any way the recovery planning provisions of section
4(f) of the Act, the consultation requirements under section 7 of the
Act, or the ability of the Service to enter into partnerships for the
management and protection of the Pecos pupfish. As mentioned previously
in Available Conservation Measures, section 7(a)(2) of the Act requires
Federal agencies, including the Service, to ensure that any action they
authorize, fund, or carry out is not likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of any endangered species or threatened species or result in
the destruction or adverse modification of designated critical habitat
of such species. In addition, even before the listing of any species or
the designation of its critical habitat is finalized, section 7(a)(4)
of the Act requires Federal agencies to confer with the Service on any
agency action which is likely to jeopardize the continued existence of
any species proposed to be listed under the Act or result in the
destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat proposed to be
designated for such species. These requirements are the same for a
threatened species regardless of what is included in its 4(d) rule.
Section 7 consultation is required for Federal actions that ``may
affect'' a listed species regardless of whether take caused by the
activity is prohibited or excepted by a 4(d) rule (under application of
a ``blanket rule'' (for more information, see 89 FR 23919, April 5,
2024) or a species-specific 4(d) rule). A 4(d) rule does not change the
process and criteria for informal or formal consultations and does not
alter the analytical process used for biological opinions or
concurrence letters. For example, as with an endangered species, if a
Federal agency determines that an action is ``not likely to adversely
affect'' a threatened species, this will require the Service's written
concurrence (50 CFR 402.13(c)). Similarly, if a Federal agency
determines that an action is ``likely to adversely affect'' a
threatened species, the action will require formal consultation with
the Service and the formulation of a biological opinion (50 CFR
402.14(a)). Because consultation obligations and processes are
unaffected by 4(d) rules, we may consider developing tools to
streamline future intra-Service and inter-agency consultations for
actions that result in forms of take that are not prohibited by the
4(d) rule (but that still require consultation). These tools may
include consultation guidance, online consultation processes via the
Service's digital project planning tool (Information for Planning and
Consultation; https://ipac.ecosphere.fws.gov/), template language for
biological opinions, or programmatic consultations.
Exercising the Secretary's authority under section 4(d) of the Act,
we propose to apply the protections for the Pecos pupfish through our
regulations at 50 CFR 17.31(a). In our April 5, 2024, final rule
revising those regulations (89 FR 23919 at 23922-23923), we found that
applying those regulations as a whole satisfies the requirement in
section 4(d) of the Act to issue regulations deemed necessary and
advisable to provide for the conservation of the threatened species. We
have not identified any ways in which a protective regulation for this
threatened species would need to differ from the regulations at 50 CFR
17.31(a) in order to contain the protections that are necessary and
advisable to provide for the conservation of the Pecos pupfish.
Therefore, if we finalize this rule as proposed, the regulations at 50
CFR 17.31(a) apply. This means that except as provided in 50 CFR 17.4
through 17.8, or in a permit issued pursuant to 50 CFR 17.32, all of
the provisions of 50 CFR 17.21 for endangered wildlife, except Sec.
17.21(c)(3) and (5), would apply to the Pecos pupfish, and the
provisions of 50 CFR 17.32(b) concerning exceptions for certain
entities would also apply to the species.
Provisions of the Proposed 4(d) Rule
Exercising the Secretary's authority under section 4(d) of the Act,
we have developed a proposed rule that is designed to address the Pecos
pupfish's conservation needs. As discussed previously in Summary of
Biological Status and Threats, we have concluded that the Pecos pupfish
is likely to become in danger of extinction within the foreseeable
future primarily due to risk of introduction of nonnative invasive
sheepshead minnow into new locations occupied by Pecos pupfish, loss
and declines of surface and ground water, degradation of water quality,
and habitat loss and fragmentation. Section 4(d) requires the Secretary
to issue such regulations as she deems necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of each threatened species and authorizes
the Secretary to include among those protective regulations any of the
prohibitions that section 9(a)(1) of the Act prescribes for endangered
species. We are not required to make a ``necessary and advisable''
determination when we apply or do not apply specific section 9
prohibitions to a threatened species (In re: Polar Bear Endangered
Species Act Listing and 4(d) Rule Litigation, 818 F. Supp. 2d 214, 228
(D.D.C. 2011) (citing Sweet Home Chapter of Communities for a Great
Oregon v. Babbitt, 1 F.3d 1, 8 (D.C. Cir. 1993), rev'd on other
grounds, 515 U.S. 687 (1995))). Nevertheless, even though
[[Page 92767]]
we are not required to make such a determination, we have chosen to be
as transparent as possible and explain below why we find that, if
finalized, the protections, prohibitions, and exceptions in this
proposed rule as a whole satisfy the requirement in section 4(d) of the
Act to issue regulations deemed necessary and advisable to provide for
the conservation of the Pecos pupfish.
The protective regulations we are proposing for Pecos pupfish
incorporate prohibitions from section 9(a)(1) to address the threats to
the species. The prohibitions of section 9(a)(1) of the Act, and
implementing regulations codified at 50 CFR 17.21, make it illegal for
any person subject to the jurisdiction of the United States to commit,
to attempt to commit, to solicit another to commit or to cause to be
committed any of the following acts with regard to any endangered
wildlife: (1) import into, or export from, the United States; (2) take
(which includes harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap,
capture, or collect) within the United States, within the territorial
sea of the United States, or on the high seas; (3) possess, sell,
deliver, carry, transport, or ship, by any means whatsoever, any such
wildlife that has been taken illegally; (4) deliver, receive, carry,
transport, or ship in interstate or foreign commerce, by any means
whatsoever and in the course of commercial activity; or (5) sell or
offer for sale in interstate or foreign commerce. This protective
regulation includes all of these prohibitions because the Pecos pupfish
is at risk of extinction in the foreseeable future and putting these
prohibitions in place will help to prevent further declines, preserve
the species' remaining populations, slow its rate of decline, and
decrease synergistic, negative effects from other ongoing or future
threats.
In particular, this proposed 4(d) rule would provide for the
conservation of the Pecos pupfish by prohibiting the following
activities, unless they fall within specific exceptions or are
otherwise authorized or permitted: importing or exporting; take;
possession and other acts with unlawfully taken specimens; delivering,
receiving, carrying, transporting, or shipping in interstate or foreign
commerce in the course of commercial activity; or selling or offering
for sale in interstate or foreign commerce.
Under the Act, ``take'' means to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot,
wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect, or to attempt to engage in any
such conduct. Some of these provisions have been further defined in
regulations at 50 CFR 17.3. Take can result knowingly or otherwise, by
direct and indirect impacts, intentionally or incidentally. Regulating
take would help preserve the species' remaining populations, slow their
rate of decline, and decrease cumulative effects from other ongoing or
future threats. Therefore, we propose to prohibit take of the Pecos
pupfish, except for take resulting from those actions and activities
specifically excepted by the 4(d) rule.
Exceptions to the prohibition on take would include all of the
general exceptions to the prohibition on take of endangered wildlife,
as set forth in 50 CFR 17.21.
Despite these prohibitions regarding threatened species, we may
under certain circumstances issue permits to carry out one or more
otherwise-prohibited activities, including those described above. The
regulations that govern permits for threatened wildlife state that the
Director may issue a permit authorizing any activity otherwise
prohibited with regard to threatened species. These include permits
issued for the following purposes: for scientific purposes, to enhance
propagation or survival, for economic hardship, for zoological
exhibition, for educational purposes, for incidental taking, or for
special purposes consistent with the purposes of the Act (50 CFR
17.32). The statute also contains certain exemptions from the
prohibitions, which are found in sections 9 and 10 of the Act.
In addition, to further the conservation of the species, any
employee or agent of the Service, any other Federal land management
agency, the National Marine Fisheries Service, a State conservation
agency, or a federally recognized Tribe, who is designated by their
agency or Tribe for such purposes, may, when acting in the course of
their official duties, take threatened wildlife without a permit if
such action is necessary to: (i) Aid a sick, injured, or orphaned
specimen; or (ii) dispose of a dead specimen; or (iii) salvage a dead
specimen that may be useful for scientific study; or (iv) remove
specimens that constitute a demonstrable but nonimmediate threat to
human safety, provided that the taking is done in a humane manner; the
taking may involve killing or injuring only if it has not been
reasonably possible to eliminate such threat by live-capturing and
releasing the specimen unharmed, in an appropriate area.
We recognize the special and unique relationship that we have with
our State natural resource agency partners in contributing to
conservation of listed species. State agencies often possess scientific
data and valuable expertise on the status and distribution of
endangered, threatened, and candidate species of wildlife and plants.
State agencies, because of their authorities and their close working
relationships with local governments and landowners, are in a unique
position to assist us in implementing all aspects of the Act. In this
regard, section 6 of the Act provides that we must cooperate to the
maximum extent practicable with the States in carrying out programs
authorized by the Act. Therefore, any qualified employee or agent of a
State conservation agency that is a party to a cooperative agreement
with us in accordance with section 6(c) of the Act, who is designated
by his or her agency for such purposes, would be able to conduct
activities designed to conserve Pecos pupfish that may result in
otherwise prohibited take without additional authorization.
The proposed 4(d) rule would also provide for the conservation of
the species by allowing exceptions that incentivize conservation
actions or that, while they may have some minimal impact on the Pecos
pupfish, are not expected to rise to the level that would have a
negative impact (i.e., would have only de minimis impacts) on the
species' conservation. The exceptions to these prohibitions include
incidental and intentional take (described below) that are expected to
have negligible impacts to the Pecos pupfish and its habitat.
Those exceptions include the following activities:
(1) Management and maintenance of ponds that are stocked with
captive-bred Pecos pupfish by the State of Texas.
(2) Research activities on individual Pecos pupfish in those ponds
by holders of a valid State-issued scientific research permit,
zoological permit, or educational display permit. Individuals
exercising this exception must provide to the State of Texas annual
reports containing the following information: the nature of research
performed; dates of fieldwork; the number of individuals collected or
captured, and the methods used to obtain them; a description of any
accidental injuries or mortalities; the number of individuals from
which genetic material was collected, the type of tissue collected, and
the institution or location where the genetic material is being stored.
The location of fieldwork and landowner identifying information is not
required. This exception applies only to individuals with a current,
valid permit from the State of Texas and applies only to research
conducted on pupfish ponds on private lands that are
[[Page 92768]]
part of the TPWD Pecos pupfish production pond effort. The State of
Texas must provide annual reports to the Service regarding use of this
exception.
III. Critical Habitat
Background
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires that, to the maximum extent
prudent and determinable, we designate a species' critical habitat
concurrently with listing the species. Critical habitat is defined in
section 3 of the Act as:
(1) The specific areas within the geographical area occupied by the
species, at the time it is listed in accordance with the Act, on which
are found those physical or biological features
(a) Essential to the conservation of the species, and
(b) Which may require special management considerations or
protection; and
(2) Specific areas outside the geographical area occupied by the
species at the time it is listed, upon a determination that such areas
are essential for the conservation of the species.
Our regulations at 50 CFR 424.02 define the geographical area
occupied by the species as an area that may generally be delineated
around species' occurrences, as determined by the Secretary (i.e.,
range). Such areas may include those areas used throughout all or part
of the species' life cycle, even if not used on a regular basis (e.g.,
migratory corridors, seasonal habitats, and habitats used periodically,
but not solely by vagrant individuals).
Conservation, as defined under section 3 of the Act, means to use
and the use of all methods and procedures that are necessary to bring
an endangered or threatened species to the point at which the measures
provided pursuant to the Act are no longer necessary. Such methods and
procedures include, but are not limited to, all activities associated
with scientific resources management such as research, census, law
enforcement, habitat acquisition and maintenance, propagation, live
trapping, and transplantation, and, in the extraordinary case where
population pressures within a given ecosystem cannot be otherwise
relieved, may include regulated taking.
Critical habitat receives protection under section 7 of the Act
through the requirement that each Federal action agency ensure, in
consultation with the Service, that any action they authorize, fund, or
carry out is not likely to result in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical habitat. The designation of
critical habitat does not affect land ownership or establish a refuge,
wilderness, reserve, preserve, or other conservation area. Such
designation also does not allow the government or public to access
private lands. Such designation does not require implementation of
restoration, recovery, or enhancement measures by non-Federal
landowners. Rather, designation requires that, where a landowner
requests Federal agency funding or authorization for an action that may
affect an area designated as critical habitat, the Federal agency
consult with the Service under section 7(a)(2) of the Act. If the
action may affect the listed species itself (such as for occupied
critical habitat), the Federal agency would have already been required
to consult with the Service even absent the designation because of the
requirement to ensure that the action is not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of the species. Even if the Service were to
conclude after consultation that the proposed activity is likely to
result in destruction or adverse modification of the critical habitat,
the Federal action agency and the landowner are not required to abandon
the proposed activity, or to restore or recover the species; instead,
they must implement ``reasonable and prudent alternatives'' to avoid
destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat.
Under the first prong of the Act's definition of critical habitat,
areas within the geographical area occupied by the species at the time
it was listed are included in a critical habitat designation if they
contain physical or biological features (1) which are essential to the
conservation of the species and (2) which may require special
management considerations or protection. For these areas, critical
habitat designations identify, to the extent known using the best
scientific data available, those physical or biological features that
are essential to the conservation of the species (such as space, food,
cover, and protected habitat).
Under the second prong of the Act's definition of critical habitat,
we can designate critical habitat in areas outside the geographical
area occupied by the species at the time it is listed, upon a
determination that such areas are essential for the conservation of the
species.
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act requires that we designate critical
habitat on the basis of the best scientific data available. Further,
our Policy on Information Standards Under the Endangered Species Act
(published in the Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34271)), the
Information Quality Act (section 515 of the Treasury and General
Government Appropriations Act for Fiscal Year 2001 (Pub. L. 106-554;
H.R. 5658)), and our associated Information Quality Guidelines provide
criteria, establish procedures, and provide guidance to ensure that our
decisions are based on the best scientific data available. They require
our biologists, to the extent consistent with the Act and with the use
of the best scientific data available, to use primary and original
sources of information as the basis for recommendations to designate
critical habitat.
When we are determining which areas should be designated as
critical habitat, our primary source of information is generally the
information compiled in the SSA report and information developed during
the listing process for the species. Additional information sources may
include any generalized conservation strategy, criteria, or outline
that may have been developed for the species; the recovery plan for the
species; articles in peer-reviewed journals; conservation plans
developed by States and counties; scientific status surveys and
studies; biological assessments; other unpublished materials; or
experts' opinions or personal knowledge.
Habitat is dynamic, and species may move from one area to another
over time. We recognize that critical habitat designated at a
particular point in time may not include all of the habitat areas that
we may later determine are necessary for the recovery of the species.
For these reasons, a critical habitat designation does not signal that
habitat outside the designated area is unimportant or may not be needed
for recovery of the species. Areas that are important to the
conservation of the species, both inside and outside the critical
habitat designation, will continue to be subject to: (1) Conservation
actions implemented under section 7(a)(1) of the Act; (2) regulatory
protections afforded by the requirement in section 7(a)(2) of the Act
for Federal agencies to ensure their actions are not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered or threatened
species; and (3) the prohibitions found in the 4(d) rule. Federally
funded or permitted projects affecting listed species outside their
designated critical habitat areas may still result in jeopardy findings
in some cases. These protections and conservation tools will continue
to contribute to recovery of the species.
[[Page 92769]]
Similarly, critical habitat designations made on the basis of the best
scientific data available at the time of designation will not control
the direction and substance of future recovery plans, habitat
conservation plans (HCPs), or other species conservation planning
efforts if new information available at the time of those planning
efforts calls for a different outcome.
Physical or Biological Features Essential to the Conservation of the
Species
In accordance with section 3(5)(A)(i) of the Act and regulations at
50 CFR 424.12(b), in determining which areas we will designate as
critical habitat from within the geographical area occupied by the
species at the time of listing, we consider the physical or biological
features that are essential to the conservation of the species and
which may require special management considerations or protection. The
regulations at 50 CFR 424.02 define ``physical or biological features
essential to the conservation of the species'' as the features that
occur in specific areas and that are essential to support the life-
history needs of the species, including, but not limited to, water
characteristics, soil type, geological features, sites, prey,
vegetation, symbiotic species, or other features. A feature may be a
single habitat characteristic or a more complex combination of habitat
characteristics. Features may include habitat characteristics that
support ephemeral or dynamic habitat conditions. Features may also be
expressed in terms relating to principles of conservation biology, such
as patch size, distribution distances, and connectivity. For example,
physical features essential to the conservation of the species might
include gravel of a particular size required for spawning, alkaline
soil for seed germination, protective cover for migration, or
susceptibility to flooding or fire that maintains necessary early-
successional habitat characteristics. Biological features might include
prey species, forage grasses, specific kinds or ages of trees for
roosting or nesting, symbiotic fungi, or absence of a particular level
of nonnative species consistent with conservation needs of the listed
species. The features may also be combinations of habitat
characteristics and may encompass the relationship between
characteristics or the necessary amount of a characteristic essential
to support the life history of the species.
In considering whether features are essential to the conservation
of the species, we may consider an appropriate quality, quantity, and
spatial and temporal arrangement of habitat characteristics in the
context of the life-history needs, condition, and status of the
species. These characteristics include, but are not limited to, space
for individual and population growth and for normal behavior; food,
water, air, light, minerals, or other nutritional or physiological
requirements; cover or shelter; sites for breeding, reproduction, or
rearing (or development) of offspring; and habitats that are protected
from disturbance.
The individual needs of Pecos pupfish vary somewhat by life stage
(egg, hatchling, juvenile, adult); however, as an aquatic species,
Pecos pupfish need adequate water quantity and water quality to meet
their resource functions, which include feeding, growth, survival, and
breeding. The Pecos pupfish occurs in a variety of aquatic environments
including wetlands, sinkholes, impoundments, streams, springs, and
rivers, specifically the Pecos River mainstem (Hoagstrom and Brooks
1999, pp. 14-16; Collyer et al. 2015, p. 182). All life stages of the
Pecos pupfish prefer environments with little to no water flow, and, in
areas with flows, they typically occupy pools and shallow runs and
riffles (Hoagstrom and Brooks 1999, pp. 36, 45). Pecos pupfish tolerate
high salinity (less than 35,000 mg/L) and low dissolved oxygen (greater
than 2.5 mg/L), and while the specific thermal tolerance of Pecos
pupfish is unknown, studies examining thermal tolerance of other
pupfish found tolerance to range from below 0 [deg]C to 45 [deg]C (23
[deg]F to 113 [deg]F) (Bennett and Beitinger 1997, pp. 81-85; Hoagstrom
and Brooks 1999, pp. 21, 31; Propst 1999, pp. 67-68). However, data
collected in studies of desert pupfish found that temperatures above
42.7 [deg]C (108.9 [deg]F) may be lethal (Schoenherr and Feldmeth 1992,
p. 50; BEEC 2010, p. 8). These physical conditions (dissolved oxygen,
salinity, and temperature) can be greatly affected by spring discharge
and other flow parameters (Kodric-Brown 1975, pp. 3, 6). Overwintering
juvenile and adult Pecos pupfish need dense aquatic vegetation and
flocculent materials (such as fine detritus or non-living organic
matter) in the substrate (Kodric-Brown 1977, p. 752; Hoagstrom et al.
2015, p. 17). Therefore, sufficient water quality and water quantity
that provides the appropriate conditions for the Pecos pupfish is
essential to the species.
Spawning adult Pecos pupfish require slow-moving waters that are
less than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep, and in areas with topographic diversity
that include a variety of underwater features such as crevices,
boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic plants that are
used for oviposition sites (Kodric-Brown 1975, p. 35; 1977, pp. 750-
751, 753-756, and 761-762). Rocky embankments appear to be the most
desirable breeding substrate, and the density of territorial males is
highest in dense patches of aquatic vegetation, and lowest in flat
silty areas with isolated rocks (Kodric-Brown 1975, pp. 20, 34-35).
Female Pecos pupfish lay individual eggs that adhere to spawning
substrate, such as vegetation or rocks (Kodric-Brown 1977, pp. 751,
761-762, 764). Therefore, habitat with crevices, boulders, large rocks,
scattered pebbles, and aquatic plants is essential to the species.
The introduction of the nonnative, invasive sheepshead minnow has
the potential to negatively affect Pecos pupfish through hybridization
(Echelle et al. 2003b, entire; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp. 725-726).
Hybridization eventually leads to the loss of non-introgressed
(genetically pure) Pecos pupfish in the area of introgression (Echelle
and Connor 1989, p. 725; Echelle et al. 2003b, entire). Sheepshead
minnow also outcompete the Pecos pupfish for resources (Echelle et al.
2003b, entire; Echelle and Connor 1989, pp. 725-726). Therefore, the
absence of this nonnative invasive species is essential to the Pecos
pupfish. Bait bucket transfers of sheepshead minnow are most likely in
the Upper Pecos Unit. Bait bucket transfers are highly unlikely to
occur in any of the other AUs as these generally are either well
controlled or do not contain game fish species. As such, the most
likely route for sheepshead minnow introgression would be from the
Upper Pecos River AU to the Salt Creek Wilderness and Middle Tract
Wetlands, which are both hydrologically connected to the upper Pecos
River during flooding events, allowing for potential movement of
sheepshead minnow into these off-channel habitats.
Summary of Essential Physical or Biological Features
We derive the specific physical or biological features essential to
the conservation of Pecos pupfish from studies of the species' habitat,
ecology, and life history as described below. Additional information
can be found in the SSA report (Service 2024, entire; available on
https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143). We
have determined that the following physical or biological features are
essential to the conservation of Pecos pupfish:
(1) Water quality parameters that support all life stages of the
Pecos pupfish, including:
[[Page 92770]]
(a) Absence of pollutants, or a level of contaminants low enough
that it does not negatively impact necessary water quality conditions
for Pecos pupfish individuals;
(b) Salinity less than 35,000 mg/L;
(c) Temperature less than 42.7 [deg]C (108.9 [deg]F); and
(d) Dissolved oxygen greater than 2.5 mg/L.
(2) Sufficient water quantity parameters that support all life
stages of the Pecos pupfish, including:
(a) Permanent water in some area of habitat; and
(b) Water depth less than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep to allow for thermal
refugia and breeding.
(3) Presence of silt-free underwater features such as crevices,
boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic plants that are
used for egg deposition.
(4) Absence of nonnative invasive sheepshead minnow.
Special Management Considerations or Protection
When designating critical habitat, we assess whether the specific
areas within the geographical area occupied by the species at the time
of listing contain features which are essential to the conservation of
the species and which may require special management considerations or
protection. The features essential to the conservation of this species
may require special management considerations or protection to reduce
the following threats: introduction of sheepshead minnow, habitat
degradation due to declines in water quantity and water quality, and
habitat fragmentation.
Management activities that could ameliorate these threats include,
but are not limited to: (1) construction and maintenance of barriers
that prevent the spread of sheepshead minnow; (2) enforcement of
existing State regulatory mechanisms that prohibit bait-bucket releases
of sheepshead minnow in New Mexico and Texas; (3) active management of
wetlands to provide for adequate water quantity and flow; (4) securing
water rights to provide long-term spring flows; (5) monitoring and
preventing water quality impairments from upland sources such as
agricultural runoff and industrial pollutants; and (6) survey and
monitoring to further characterize the extent and spread of
hybridization with sheepshead minnows.
Criteria Used To Identify Critical Habitat
As required by section 4(b)(2) of the Act, we use the best
scientific data available to designate critical habitat. In accordance
with the Act and our implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.12(b), we
review available information pertaining to the habitat requirements of
the species and identify specific areas within the geographical area
occupied by the species at the time of listing and any specific areas
outside the geographical area occupied by the species to be considered
for designation as critical habitat. We are not currently proposing to
designate any areas outside the geographical area occupied by the
species because (1) we have not identified any unoccupied areas that
meet the definition of critical habitat, and (2) we have determined
that the occupied areas are sufficient to conserve the species.
We anticipate that recovery will require conserving the genetic
diversity of extant populations across the species' current range and
maintaining and, where necessary, improving habitat and habitat
connectivity to ensure the long-term viability of the Pecos pupfish.
This proposed critical habitat designation delineates the habitat that
is physically occupied and used by the species rather than delineating
all land or aquatic areas that influence the species. We have
determined that the areas currently occupied by the Pecos pupfish would
maintain the species' resiliency, redundancy, and representation and
are sufficient to conserve the species. Therefore, we are not currently
proposing to designate any areas outside the geographical area occupied
by the species. Sources of data for this proposed critical habitat
include multiple databases maintained by universities and State
agencies, scientific and agency reports, and numerous survey reports
throughout the species' range (Service 2024, pp. 28-34).
In summary, for areas within the geographical area occupied by the
species at the time of listing, we delineated critical habitat unit
boundaries using the following criteria:
(1) We delineated areas within the historical range that had
positive survey data between the year 1992 and the time of listing (see
Service 2024).
(2) We terminated stream segments at barriers, confluences, areas
where genetically pure Pecos pupfish have been extirpated, other
obvious unsuitable habitat, or a location selected based on expert
knowledge of a lack of presence.
(3) We included connecting stream segments between occupied stream
segments as long as the inclusion does not disagree with criterion (2)
and there are no data to suggest that the Pecos pupfish is not present.
When determining proposed critical habitat boundaries, we made
every effort to avoid including developed areas such as lands covered
by buildings, pavement, and other structures because such lands lack
physical or biological features necessary for Pecos pupfish. The scale
of the maps we prepared under the parameters for publication within the
Code of Federal Regulations may not reflect the exclusion of such
developed lands. Any such lands inadvertently left inside critical
habitat boundaries shown on the maps of this proposed rule have been
excluded by text in the proposed rule and are not proposed for
designation as critical habitat. Therefore, if the critical habitat is
finalized as proposed, a Federal action involving these lands would not
trigger section 7 consultation with respect to critical habitat and the
requirement of no adverse modification unless the specific action would
affect the physical or biological features in the adjacent critical
habitat.
The proposed critical habitat designation is defined by the map or
maps, as modified by any accompanying regulatory text, presented at the
end of this document under Proposed Regulation Promulgation.
Proposed Critical Habitat Designation
We are proposing to designate five units of critical habitat for
Pecos pupfish: 136.12 river mi (219.06 river km) of instream habitat
(to the ordinary high water mark, not including riparian areas) and
26,555.54 acres (10,746.64 ha) of lands that encompass numerous
isolated sinkholes and wetland areas. The critical habitat areas we
describe below constitute our current best assessment of areas that
meet the definition of critical habitat for Pecos pupfish.
The five areas we propose as critical habitat are: (1) Upper Pecos
River Unit; (2) Salt Creek Wilderness Unit; (3) Bitter Lake Unit; (4)
BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes Unit; and (5) Salt Creek (TX)
Unit. Table 5 shows the proposed critical habitat units and the
approximate area of each unit. The Bitter Lake Unit includes both the
Bitter Creek Drainage and Bitter Lake NWR Middle Tract Wetlands AUs
(see table 2 for a list of the AUs). The BLM Overflow Wetlands/
Bottomless Lakes Unit includes both the Bottomless Lakes State Park and
BLM Overflow Wetlands and Lea Lake AUs. Two AUs from the SSA report,
the Middle Pecos River and Lower Pecos River units, are not proposed as
critical habitat units because no extant genetically pure Pecos pupfish
remain in these units.
[[Page 92771]]
Table 5--Proposed Critical Habitat Units for Pecos Pupfish
[Area estimates reflect all land within critical habitat unit boundaries.]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Length of unit in river
Critical habitat unit Occupied? Land ownership by type miles (km) or unit size in
acres (ha)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Upper Pecos River............... Yes................... Federal............... 32.61 river mi (52.48 km).
Yes................... State................. 4.86 river mi (7.82 km).
Yes................... Private............... 84.41 river mi (135.84 km).
2. Salt Creek Wilderness........... Yes................... Federal............... 5,428.74 acres (2,196.93
Yes................... ha).
3. Bitter Lake..................... Yes................... Federal............... 9,663.15 acres (3,910.54
Yes................... State................. ha).
Yes................... Private............... 87.87 acres (35.56 ha).
2,221.88 acres (899.16 ha).
4. BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Yes................... Federal............... 1,784 acres (721.96 ha).
Lakes. Yes................... State................. 1,854.78 acres (750.60 ha).
Yes................... Private............... 5,515.12 acres (2,231.89
ha).
5. Salt Creek (TX)................. Yes................... Private............... 14.24 river mi (22.92 km)
----------------------------
Total.......................... ...................... ...................... 136.12 river mi (219.06
km).
26,555.54 acres (10,746.64
ha).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: Area sizes may not sum due to rounding.
We present brief descriptions of all units, and reasons why they
meet the definition of critical habitat for Pecos pupfish, below.
Unit 1: Upper Pecos River
The Upper Pecos River Unit consists of 121.88 river mi (196.15 km).
The Upper Pecos River Unit begins at Bosque Draw in Chaves County, New
Mexico, and extends south on the Pecos River to (but not including)
Brantley Lake, in Eddy County, New Mexico. The entire unit is currently
occupied by the species and supports all of the physical and biological
features (PBFs) essential to the conservation of the species. Ownership
of the adjacent riparian areas is 26.76 percent Federal, 3.99 percent
State, and 69.26 percent private.
Based on prior introductions, without barriers, sheepshead minnow
could spread through all the accessible portions of the Upper Pecos
River Unit. In addition, this unit is subject to regular severe low and
intermittent flows. Conservation measures are in place by the BOR under
a biological opinion to minimize river intermittency for the federally
threatened Pecos bluntnose shiner. These measures buffer the threat of
river drying for Pecos bluntnose shiner and, by extension, Pecos
pupfish.
The entirety of this unit has ongoing water quality concerns and is
considered impaired. Water availability in the unit is primarily
influenced by the management of the upstream dam at Fort Sumner. River
flows downstream of Bitter Lake NWR are influenced by groundwater
pumping by PVACD water users and return flows from crop irrigation.
Therefore, special management considerations may be required to
maintain barriers that prevent the spread of sheepshead minnow into the
upper Pecos River, enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket releases of
sheepshead minnow in New Mexico and Texas, maintain adequate water
quantity and flow, monitor and prevent water quality impairments from
upland sources such as agricultural runoff and industrial pollutants,
routinely monitor for Pecos pupfish and to document the extent and
spread of hybridization with sheepshead minnows. The Upper Pecos River
Unit is occupied by two federally listed species, the threatened Pecos
sunflower (Helianthus paradoxus) and the endangered Pecos bluntnose
shiner. There is a complete overlap with designated critical habitat
for the Pecos bluntnose shiner (see 50 CFR 17.95(e); 52 FR 5295,
February 20, 1987).
Unit 2: Salt Creek Wilderness
The Salt Creek Wilderness Unit contains Salt Creek (New Mexico
(NM)) and four sinkholes within 5,428.74 acres (2,196.93 ha) of land
between Cottonwood Road and the confluence with the Pecos River in
Chaves County, New Mexico. Areas within this proposed critical habitat
unit are limited to the sinkholes and wetlands areas, and do not
include the lands adjacent to the wetted areas. The wetted areas within
this unit are currently occupied by the species and support all of the
PBFs essential to the conservation of the species. Ownership of the
adjacent riparian areas is 100 percent Federal, primarily encompassing
the Refuge North Tract of Bitter Lake NWR. Salt Creek (NM) is an
ephemeral stream with permanent water in deeper pools along the stream
course. There is a low risk of introgression with sheepshead minnow
into the sinkholes within the Salt Creek Wilderness Unit, as they are
isolated from the Pecos River. Although fish remain extant at several
locations in the unit, the extent of habitat is small, and Salt Creek
(NM) is subject to mortality events. Therefore, special management
considerations may be required to enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket
releases of sheepshead minnow in New Mexico and Texas, maintain fish
barriers to prevent spread of sheepshead minnow, maintain adequate
water quantity and flow in Salt Creek (NM), monitor and prevent water
quality impairments from upland sources such as agricultural runoff and
industrial pollutants, and routinely monitor for Pecos pupfish to
document the spread and extent of hybridization with sheepshead
minnows. There is no overlap with any designated critical habitat for
other listed species.
Unit 3: Bitter Lake
The Bitter Lake Unit contains Bitter Creek and numerous isolated
sinkholes, spring ditches, managed and natural wetlands, and oxbows of
the Pecos River within 11,972.90 acres (4,845.26 ha) of land between
Bitter Lake Road in the north and Miami Road in the South in Chaves
County, New Mexico. All of the wetted areas in the entire unit are
currently occupied by the species and support all of the PBFs essential
to the conservation of the species. Ownership of the adjacent riparian
areas is 80.71 percent Federal, 0.73 percent State, and 18.56 percent
private. Most of the unit falls within Bitter Lake NWR. While the
sinkholes in the Bitter Lake Unit are isolated and well protected from
sheepshead minnow introgression, there
[[Page 92772]]
is a potential to introduce sheepshead minnow to the managed wetlands
within Bitter Lake NWR if the fish barriers are overtopped in high flow
events. Water quality surveys have not detected any impairment to the
aquatic environments in the unit. Furthermore, most of the unit is
within Bitter Lake NWR, which protects the unit from direct surface
contamination.
The water in Bitter Creek is supplemented by precipitation during
wet seasons or years, and during drought years, when precipitation is
not sufficient to maintain surface flows, portions of Bitter Creek dry
out. Therefore, special management considerations may be required to
maintain adequate flows in Bitter Creek to maintain habitat
connectivity and for routine monitoring for Pecos pupfish. The Bitter
Lake Unit is occupied by seven federally listed species, the threatened
Wright's marsh thistle (Cirsium wrightii), threatened Pecos sunflower,
endangered Noel's amphipod (Gammarus desperatus), endangered Roswell
springsnail (Pyrgulopsis roswellensis), endangered Pecos assiminea
(Assiminea pecos), endangered Pecos gambusia (Gambusia nobilis), and
the endangered Koster's springsnail (Juturnia kosteri). There is a
complete overlap with designated critical habitat for the Wright's
marsh thistle (see 50 CFR 17.96(a); 88 FR 25208, May 25, 2023), Noel's
amphipod (see 50 CFR 17.95(h); 76 FR 33036, June 7, 2011), Roswell
springsnail (see 50 CFR 17.95(f); 77 FR 33036, June 7, 2011), Pecos
assiminea (see 50 CFR 17.95(f); 76 FR 33036, June 7, 2011), and
Koster's springsnail (see 50 CFR 17.95(f); 76 FR 33036, June 7, 2011).
Unit 4: BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes
The BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes Unit contains a wetland
and several sinkholes within 9,153.90 acres (3,704.45 ha) of land in
Chaves County, New Mexico. This unit is east of the Pecos River and
between Highway 380 in the north and the approximate southern border of
the BLM Overflow Wetlands ACEC in the South. The wetlands and sinkholes
within this unit are currently occupied by the species and support all
of the PBFs essential to the conservation of the species. Ownership of
the adjacent riparian areas is 19.49 percent Federal, 20.26 percent
State, and 60.25 percent private. The majority of occupied habitat
within this unit falls within Bottomless Lakes State Park and the BLM
Overflow Wetlands ACEC.
Although the BLM Overflow Wetlands contain constructed and
maintained fish barriers, a severe flood could overtop or wash out
these barriers, presenting a risk from sheepshead minnow, which are
present near this population. The isolated sinkholes and wetlands
within Bottomless Lakes State Park are well protected from sheepshead
minnow introgression because (1) they do not contain game fish species
and (2) fishing with baitfish is illegal, making these areas a low risk
of bait-bucket releases. In 2020, a complete loss of pupfish in Upper
Figure 8 Lake sinkhole is speculated to have been caused by a golden
algae outbreak, but the actual causes are unknown. Therefore, special
management considerations may be required for routine monitoring for
Pecos pupfish to document the extent and spread of hybridization with
sheepshead minnows. The BLM Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes Unit is
occupied by one federally listed species, the threatened Pecos
sunflower.
Unit 5: Salt Creek (TX)
The Salt Creek (TX) Unit consists of 14.24 river mi (22.92 km) in
Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas. The unit begins at RM 2119 in
Culberson County, Texas, and extends northeast on Salt Creek to RM 652
in Reeves County, Texas. Ownership of the adjacent riparian areas is
entirely under private ownership.
Pecos pupfish from the lower reach of the Salt Creek (TX) Unit,
near the confluence with the Pecos River, were confirmed introgressed
with sheepshead minnow, though an unidentified physical barrier appears
to have limited the spread of introgressed fish further upstream. The
entirety of this unit has ongoing water quality concerns and is
considered impaired due to contaminants introduced from upland sources
such as agricultural runoff and industrial pollutants from oil and gas
extraction. While during wet seasons or years, the water in Salt Creek
(TX) is supplemented by precipitation, during drought years, the
precipitation is not sufficient to maintain surface flows. Therefore,
special management considerations may be required to maintain barriers
that prevent the spread of sheepshead minnow into the upper portion of
Salt Creek (TX), enforce prohibitions of bait-bucket releases of
sheepshead minnow in New Mexico and Texas, maintain adequate water
quantity and flow, and monitor and prevent water quality impairments
from upland sources such as agricultural runoff and industrial
pollutants, and to survey and monitor the extent and spread of
hybridization with sheepshead minnows. There is no overlap with any
designated critical habitat for other listed species in the Salt Creek
(TX) Unit.
Effects of Critical Habitat Designation
Section 7 Consultation
Section 7(a)(2) of the Act requires Federal agencies, including the
Service, to ensure that any action they authorize, fund, or carry out
is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered
species or threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical habitat of such species. In
addition, section 7(a)(4) of the Act requires Federal agencies to
confer with the Service on any agency action which is likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of any species proposed to be listed
under the Act or result in the destruction or adverse modification of
proposed critical habitat.
Destruction or adverse modification means a direct or indirect
alteration that appreciably diminishes the value of critical habitat as
a whole for the conservation of a listed species (50 CFR 402.02).
Compliance with the requirements of section 7(a)(2) is documented
through our issuance of:
(1) A concurrence letter for Federal actions that may affect, but
are not likely to adversely affect, listed species or critical habitat;
or
(2) A biological opinion for Federal actions that may affect, and
are likely to adversely affect, listed species or critical habitat.
When we issue a biological opinion concluding that a project is
likely to jeopardize the continued existence of a listed species and/or
destroy or adversely modify critical habitat, we provide reasonable and
prudent alternatives to the project, if any are identifiable, that
would avoid the likelihood of jeopardy and/or destruction or adverse
modification of critical habitat. We define ``reasonable and prudent
alternatives'' (at 50 CFR 402.02) as alternative actions identified
during formal consultation that:
(1) Can be implemented in a manner consistent with the intended
purpose of the action,
(2) Can be implemented consistent with the scope of the Federal
agency's legal authority and jurisdiction,
(3) Are economically and technologically feasible, and
(4) Would, in the Service Director's opinion, avoid the likelihood
of jeopardizing the continued existence of the listed species or avoid
the likelihood of destroying or adversely modifying critical habitat.
[[Page 92773]]
Reasonable and prudent alternatives can vary from slight project
modifications to extensive redesign or relocation of the project. Costs
associated with implementing a reasonable and prudent alternative are
similarly variable.
Regulations at 50 CFR 402.16 set forth requirements for Federal
agencies to reinitiate consultation. Reinitiation of consultation is
required and shall be requested by the Federal agency, where
discretionary Federal involvement or control over the action has been
retained or is authorized by law and: (1) If the amount or extent of
taking specified in the incidental take statement is exceeded; (2) if
new information reveals effects of the action that may affect listed
species or critical habitat in a manner or to an extent not previously
considered; (3) if the identified action is subsequently modified in a
manner that causes an effect to the listed species or critical habitat
that was not considered in the biological opinion or written
concurrence; or (4) if a new species is listed or critical habitat
designated that may be affected by the identified action. As provided
in 50 CFR 402.16, the requirement to reinitiate consultations for new
species listings or critical habitat designation does not apply to
certain agency actions (e.g., land management plans issued by the
Bureau of Land Management in certain circumstances).
Destruction or Adverse Modification of Critical Habitat
The key factor related to the destruction or adverse modification
determination is whether implementation of the proposed Federal action
directly or indirectly alters the designated critical habitat in a way
that appreciably diminishes the value of the critical habitat for the
conservation of the listed species. As discussed above, the role of
critical habitat is to support physical or biological features
essential to the conservation of a listed species and provide for the
conservation of the species.
Section 4(b)(8) of the Act requires that our Federal Register
documents ``shall, to the maximum extent practicable also include a
brief description and evaluation of those activities (whether public or
private) which, in the opinion of the Secretary, if undertaken may
adversely modify [critical] habitat, or may be affected by such
designation.'' Activities that may be affected by designation of
critical habitat for the Pecos pupfish include those that may affect
the physical or biological features of the proposed critical habitat
(see Physical or Biological Features Essential to the Conservation of
the Species).
Exemptions
Application of Section 4(a)(3) of the Act
Section 4(a)(3)(B)(i) of the Act provides that the Secretary shall
not designate as critical habitat any lands or other geographical areas
owned or controlled by the Department of Defense (DoD), or designated
for its use, that are subject to an integrated natural resources
management plan (INRMP) prepared under section 101 of the Sikes Act
Improvement Act of 1997 (16 U.S.C. 670a), if the Secretary determines
in writing that such plan provides a benefit to the species for which
critical habitat is proposed for designation. No DoD lands with a
completed INRMP are within the proposed critical habitat designation.
Consideration of Impacts Under Section 4(b)(2) of the Act
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act states that the Secretary shall
designate and make revisions to critical habitat on the basis of the
best available scientific data after taking into consideration the
economic impact, national security impact, and any other relevant
impact of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. The
Secretary may exclude an area from critical habitat if the benefits of
exclusion outweigh those of inclusion, so long as exclusion will not
result in the extinction of the species concerned. Exclusion decisions
are governed by the regulations at 50 CFR 424.19 and the ``Policy
Regarding Implementation of Section 4(b)(2) of the Endangered Species
Act'' (hereafter, the ``2016 Policy''; 81 FR 7226, February 11, 2016),
both of which were developed jointly with the National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS). We also refer to a 2008 Department of the Interior
Solicitor's opinion entitled ``The Secretary's Authority to Exclude
Areas from a Critical Habitat Designation under Section 4(b)(2) of the
Endangered Species Act'' (M-37016).
In considering whether to exclude a particular area from the
designation, we identify the benefits of including the area in the
designation, identify the benefits of excluding the area from the
designation, and evaluate whether the benefits of exclusion outweigh
the benefits of inclusion. If the analysis indicates that the benefits
of exclusion outweigh the benefits of inclusion, the Secretary may
exercise discretion to exclude the area only if such exclusion would
not result in the extinction of the species. In making the
determination to exclude a particular area, the statute on its face, as
well as the legislative history, are clear that the Secretary has broad
discretion regarding which factor(s) to use and how much weight to give
to any factor. In our final rules, we explain any decision to exclude
areas, as well as decisions not to exclude, to make clear the rational
basis for our decision. We describe below the process that we use for
taking into consideration each category of impacts and any initial
analyses of the relevant impacts.
Consideration of Economic Impacts
Section 4(b)(2) of the Act and its implementing regulations require
that we consider the economic impact that may result from a designation
of critical habitat. To assess the probable economic impacts of a
designation, we must first evaluate specific land uses or activities
and projects that may occur in the area of the critical habitat. We
then must evaluate the impacts that a specific critical habitat
designation may have on restricting or modifying specific land uses or
activities for the benefit of the species and its habitat within the
areas proposed. We then identify which conservation efforts may be the
result of the species being listed under the Act versus those
attributed solely to the designation of critical habitat for this
particular species. The probable economic impact of a proposed critical
habitat designation is analyzed by comparing scenarios both ``with
critical habitat'' and ``without critical habitat.''
The ``without critical habitat'' scenario represents the baseline
for the analysis, which includes the existing regulatory and socio-
economic burden imposed on landowners, managers, or other resource
users potentially affected by the designation of critical habitat
(e.g., under the Federal listing as well as other Federal, State, and
local regulations). Therefore, the baseline represents the costs of all
efforts attributable to the listing of the species under the Act (i.e.,
conservation of the species and its habitat incurred regardless of
whether critical habitat is designated). The ``with critical habitat''
scenario describes the incremental impacts associated specifically with
the designation of critical habitat for the species. The incremental
conservation efforts and associated impacts would not be expected
without the designation of critical habitat for the species. In other
words, the incremental costs are those attributable solely to the
designation of critical habitat, above and beyond the baseline costs.
These are the costs we use when evaluating the benefits of inclusion
and exclusion of particular areas from the final designation of
critical habitat should we
[[Page 92774]]
choose to conduct a discretionary section 4(b)(2) exclusion analysis.
Executive Order (E.O.) 14094 amends and reaffirms E.O. 12866 and
E.O. 13563 and directs Federal agencies to assess the costs and
benefits of available regulatory alternatives in quantitative (to the
extent feasible) and qualitative terms. Consistent with the E.O.
regulatory analysis requirements, our effects analysis under the Act
may take into consideration impacts to both directly and indirectly
affected entities, where practicable and reasonable. If sufficient data
are available, we assess to the extent practicable the probable impacts
to both directly and indirectly affected entities. Section 3(f) of E.O.
12866 identifies four criteria when a regulation is considered a
``significant regulatory action'' and requires additional analysis,
review, and approval if met. The criterion relevant here is whether the
designation of critical habitat may have an economic effect of $200
million or more in any given year (section 3(f)(1) of E.O 12866 as
amended by E.O. 14094). Therefore, our consideration of economic
impacts uses a screening analysis to assess whether a designation of
critical habitat for Pecos pupfish is likely to exceed the threshold
for a regulatory action significant under section 3(f)(1) of E.O.
12866, as amended by E.O. 14094.
For this particular designation, we developed an incremental
effects memorandum (IEM) considering the probable incremental economic
impacts that may result from this proposed designation of critical
habitat. The information contained in our IEM was then used to develop
a screening analysis of the probable effects of the designation of
critical habitat for the Pecos pupfish (Industrial Economics, Inc.
(IEc) 2024; entire). We began by conducting a screening analysis of the
proposed designation of critical habitat in order to focus our analysis
on the key factors that are likely to result in incremental economic
impacts. The purpose of the screening analysis is to filter out
particular geographical areas of critical habitat that are already
subject to such protections and are, therefore, unlikely to incur
incremental economic impacts. In particular, the screening analysis
considers baseline costs (i.e., absent critical habitat designation)
and includes any probable incremental economic impacts where land and
water use may already be subject to conservation plans, land management
plans, best management practices, or regulations that protect the
habitat area as a result of the Federal listing status of the species.
Ultimately, the screening analysis allows us to focus our analysis on
evaluating the specific areas or sectors that may incur probable
incremental economic impacts as a result of the designation. The
presence of the listed species in occupied areas of critical habitat
means that any destruction or adverse modification of those areas is
also likely to jeopardize the continued existence of the species.
Therefore, designating occupied areas as critical habitat typically
causes little if any incremental impacts above and beyond the impacts
of listing the species. As a result, we generally focus the screening
analysis on areas of unoccupied critical habitat (unoccupied units or
unoccupied areas within occupied units). Overall, the screening
analysis assesses whether designation of critical habitat is likely to
result in any additional management or conservation efforts that may
incur incremental economic impacts. This screening analysis combined
with the information contained in our IEM constitute what we consider
to be our economic analysis of the proposed critical habitat
designation for the Pecos pupfish and is summarized in the narrative
below.
As part of our screening analysis, we considered the types of
economic activities that are likely to occur within the areas likely
affected by the critical habitat designation. In our evaluation of the
probable incremental economic impacts that may result from the proposed
designation of critical habitat for the Pecos pupfish, first we
identified, in the IEM dated March 26, 2024, probable incremental
economic impacts associated with the following categories of
activities: (1) Federal lands management (BLM, Natural Resources
Conservation Service, BOR, and our NWR System), (2) prescribed fire
projects, (3) pipeline and utility crossings, (4) watershed restoration
activities, (5) road maintenance and bridge replacement maintenance,
(6) pesticide use, (7) construction of recreation improvements and
management of recreation activities, (8) stocking practices, (9)
surveys and monitoring, (10) agriculture, and (11) oil and gas
exploration and extraction. We considered each industry or category
individually. Additionally, we considered whether their activities have
any Federal involvement. Critical habitat designation generally will
not affect activities that do not have any Federal involvement; under
the Act, designation of critical habitat only affects activities
conducted, funded, permitted, or authorized by Federal agencies. If we
list the species, in areas where the Pecos pupfish is present, Federal
agencies would be required to consult with the Service under section 7
of the Act on activities they authorize, fund, or carry out that may
affect the species. If when we list the species, we also finalize this
proposed critical habitat designation, Federal agencies would be
required to consider the effects of their actions on the designated
habitat, and if the Federal action may affect critical habitat, our
consultations would include an evaluation of measures to avoid the
destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat.
In our IEM, we attempted to clarify the distinction between the
effects that would result from the species being listed and those
attributable to the critical habitat designation (i.e., difference
between the jeopardy and adverse modification standards) for the Pecos
pupfish's critical habitat. Because the designation of critical habitat
for Pecos pupfish is being proposed concurrently with the listing, it
has been our experience that it is more difficult to discern which
conservation efforts are attributable to the species being listed and
those which will result solely from the designation of critical
habitat. However, the following specific circumstances in this case
help to inform our evaluation: (1) The essential physical or biological
features identified for critical habitat are the same features
essential for the life requisites of the species, and (2) any actions
that would likely adversely affect the essential physical or biological
features of occupied critical habitat are also likely to adversely
affect the Pecos pupfish itself. The IEM outlines our rationale
concerning this limited distinction between baseline conservation
efforts and incremental impacts of the designation of critical habitat
for this species. This evaluation of the incremental effects has been
used as the basis to evaluate the probable incremental economic impacts
of this proposed designation of critical habitat.
The proposed critical habitat designation for the Pecos pupfish
includes a total of five units, all of which are occupied by the
species. Ownership of the riparian lands adjacent to the two proposed
riverine units includes 32.61 river mi (52.48 km; 23.95 percent)
Federal, 4.86 river mi (7.82 km; 3.57 percent) State, and 98.65 river
mi (158.76 km; 72.47 percent) private. Ownership of lands that
encompass numerous isolated sinkholes and wetland areas that are
currently occupied by the species in three proposed units includes
16,875.89 acres (6,829.43 ha, 63.55 percent) Federal, 1,942.65 acres
(786.16 ha, 7.32 percent) State, and 7,737 acres (3131.05 ha, 29.14
percent) private. In these areas, any
[[Page 92775]]
actions that may affect the Pecos pupfish or its habitats would also
affect designated critical habitat. Three of the five proposed units
overlap with existing critical habitat for seven other federally listed
species, including Pecos bluntnose shiner, Koster's springsnail, Pecos
sunflower, Noel's amphipod, Wright's marsh thistle, Roswell
springsnail, and Pecos assiminea.
The proposed critical habitat designation for the Pecos pupfish
totals 136.12 river mi (219.06 river km) of instream habitat (to the
ordinary high water mark, not including riparian areas) and 26,555.54
acres (10,746.64 ha) of lands that encompass numerous isolated
sinkholes and wetland areas that are currently occupied by the species
(the sinkholes and wetlands areas, not including the lands adjacent to
the wetted areas). In these areas any actions that may affect the
species or its habitat would also affect designated critical habitat,
and it is unlikely that any additional conservation efforts would be
recommended to address the adverse modification standard over and above
those recommended to avoid jeopardizing the continued existence of the
Pecos pupfish. Therefore, only administrative costs are expected in 100
percent of the proposed critical habitat designation. While this
additional analysis will require time and resources by both the Federal
action agency and the Service, it is believed that, in most
circumstances, these costs would predominantly be administrative in
nature and would not be significant.
The entities most likely to incur incremental costs are parties to
section 7 consultations, including Federal action agencies and, in some
cases, third parties, most frequently State agencies or municipalities.
Activities that we expect would be subject to consultations that may
involve private entities as third parties are oil and gas operations
that may occur on private lands. However, based on coordination with
State agencies, the cost to private entities is expected to be
relatively minor (administrative costs of less than $5,700 per
consultation effort); therefore, they would not be significant.
The probable incremental economic impacts of the Pecos pupfish
critical habitat designation are expected to be limited to additional
administrative effort as well as minor costs of conservation efforts
resulting from a small number of future section 7 consultations. This
limitation is due to two factors: (1) the proposed units are considered
occupied by the Pecos pupfish, and occupied units are afforded
significant baseline protection under the Act due to the presence of
the listed species; and (2) the Pecos pupfish receives additional
baseline protection from co-occurring listed species, which include
species with overlapping critical habitat and similar resource and
habitat needs. At approximately $5,700 or less per consultation, the
burden resulting from designation of critical habitat for the Pecos
pupfish, based on the anticipated annual number of consultations and
associated consultation costs, is not expected to exceed $11,000 in
most years. The designation is unlikely to trigger additional
requirements under State or local regulations. Thus, the annual
administrative burden is relatively low. Any future probable
incremental economic impacts are not likely to exceed $200 million in
any single year, and impacts that are concentrated in any geographical
area are not likely as a result of this critical habitat designation.
We are soliciting data and comments from the public on the economic
analysis discussed above. During the development of a final
designation, we will consider the information presented in the economic
analysis and any additional information on economic impacts we receive
during the public comment period to determine whether any specific
areas should be excluded from the final critical habitat designation
under authority of section 4(b)(2), our implementing regulations at 50
CFR 424.19, and the 2016 Policy. We may exclude an area from critical
habitat if we determine that the benefits of excluding the area
outweigh the benefits of including the area, provided the exclusion
will not result in the extinction of this species.
Consideration of National Security Impacts
Section 4(a)(3)(B)(i) of the Act may not cover all DoD lands or
areas that pose potential national-security concerns (e.g., a DoD
installation that is in the process of revising its INRMP for a newly
listed species or a species previously not covered). If a particular
area is not covered under section 4(a)(3)(B)(i), then national-security
or homeland-security concerns are not a factor in the process of
determining what areas meet the definition of ``critical habitat.''
However, we must still consider impacts on national security, including
homeland security, on those lands or areas not covered by section
4(a)(3)(B)(i) because section 4(b)(2) requires us to consider those
impacts whenever it designates critical habitat. Accordingly, if DoD,
Department of Homeland Security (DHS), or another Federal agency has
requested exclusion based on an assertion of national-security or
homeland-security concerns, or we have otherwise identified national-
security or homeland-security impacts from designating particular areas
as critical habitat, we generally have reason to consider excluding
those areas.
However, we cannot automatically exclude requested areas. When DoD,
DHS, or another Federal agency requests exclusion from critical habitat
on the basis of national-security or homeland-security impacts, we must
conduct an exclusion analysis if the Federal requester provides
information, including a reasonably specific justification of an
incremental impact on national security that would result from the
designation of that specific area as critical habitat. That
justification could include demonstration of probable impacts, such as
impacts to ongoing border-security patrols and surveillance activities,
or a delay in training or facility construction, as a result of
compliance with section 7(a)(2) of the Act. If the agency requesting
the exclusion does not provide us with a reasonably specific
justification, we will contact the agency to recommend that it provide
a specific justification or clarification of its concerns relative to
the probable incremental impact that could result from the designation.
If we conduct an exclusion analysis because the agency provides a
reasonably specific justification or because we decide to exercise the
discretion to conduct an exclusion analysis, we will defer to the
expert judgment of DoD, DHS, or another Federal agency as to: (1)
Whether activities on its lands or waters, or its activities on other
lands or waters, have national-security or homeland-security
implications; (2) the importance of those implications; and (3) the
degree to which the cited implications would be adversely affected in
the absence of an exclusion. In that circumstance, in conducting a
discretionary section 4(b)(2) exclusion analysis, we will give great
weight to national-security and homeland-security concerns in analyzing
the benefits of exclusion.
In preparing this proposal, we have determined that the lands
within the proposed designation of critical habitat for Pecos pupfish
are not owned or managed by the DoD or DHS, and, therefore, we
anticipate no impact on national security or homeland security.
Consideration of Other Relevant Impacts
Under section 4(b)(2) of the Act, we consider any other relevant
impacts, in addition to economic impacts and
[[Page 92776]]
impacts on national security discussed above. To identify other
relevant impacts that may affect the exclusion analysis, we consider a
number of factors, including whether there are approved and permitted
conservation agreements or plans covering the species in the area--such
as safe harbor agreements (SHAs), candidate conservation agreements
with assurances (CCAAs) or ``conservation benefit agreements'' or
``conservation agreements'' (``CBAs'') (CBAs are a new type of
agreement replacing SHAs and CCAAs in use after April 2024 (89 FR
26070; April 12, 2024)), or HCPs--or whether there are non-permitted
conservation agreements and partnerships that may be impaired by
designation of, or exclusion from, critical habitat. In addition, we
look at whether Tribal conservation plans or partnerships, Tribal
resources, or government-to-government relationships of the United
States with Tribal entities may be affected by the designation. We also
consider any State, local, social, or other impacts that might occur
because of the designation.
Summary of Exclusions Considered Under 4(b)(2) of the Act
At this time, we are not considering any exclusions from the
proposed designation based on economic impacts, national security
impacts, or other relevant impacts--such as partnerships, management,
or protection afforded by cooperative management efforts--under section
4(b)(2) of the Act. Some areas within the proposed designation are
included in the Conservation Agreement for the Pecos Pupfish between
and among TPWD; NMDGF; New Mexico Energy, Minerals and Natural
Resources Department; New Mexico Department of Agriculture; New Mexico
Interstate Stream Commission; New Mexico State Land Office; BLM; and
the Service.
If through the public comment period we receive information that we
determine indicates that there are economic, national security, or
other relevant impacts from designating particular areas as critical
habitat, then as part of developing the final designation of critical
habitat, we will evaluate that information and may conduct a
discretionary exclusion analysis to determine whether to exclude those
areas under authority of section 4(b)(2) and our implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 424.19. If we receive a request for exclusion of
a particular area and after evaluation of supporting information we do
not exclude, we will fully explain our decision in the final rule for
this action. (Please see ADDRESSES, above, for instructions on how to
submit comments).
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Proposed Rule
We are required by E.O.s 12866 and 12988 and by the Presidential
Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain language. This
means that each rule we publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
revise the rulemaking, your comments should be as specific as possible.
For example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are
too long, the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful,
etc.
Regulatory Planning and Review (Executive Orders 12866, 13563 and
14094)
Executive Order 14094 amends and reaffirms the principles of E.O.
12866 and E.O. 13563 and states that regulatory analysis should
facilitate agency efforts to develop regulations that serve the public
interest, advance statutory objectives, and are consistent with E.O.s
12866, 13563, and 14094. Regulatory analysis, as practicable and
appropriate, shall recognize distributive impacts and equity, to the
extent permitted by law. E.O. 13563 emphasizes further that regulations
must be based on the best available science and that the rulemaking
process must allow for public participation and an open exchange of
ideas. We have developed this proposed rule in a manner consistent with
these requirements.
Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.)
Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA; 5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.),
as amended by the Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of
1996 (SBREFA; title II of Pub. L. 104-121, March 29, 1996.), whenever
an agency is required to publish a notice of rulemaking for any
proposed or final rule, it must prepare and make available for public
comment a regulatory flexibility analysis that describes the effects of
the rule on small entities (i.e., small businesses, small
organizations, and small government jurisdictions). However, no
regulatory flexibility analysis is required if the head of the agency
certifies the rule will not have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. The SBREFA amended the RFA to
require Federal agencies to provide a certification statement of the
factual basis for certifying that the rule will not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.
According to the Small Business Administration, small entities
include small organizations such as independent nonprofit
organizations; small governmental jurisdictions, including school
boards and city and town governments that serve fewer than 50,000
residents; and small businesses (13 CFR 121.201). Small businesses
include manufacturing and mining concerns with fewer than 500
employees, wholesale trade entities with fewer than 100 employees,
retail and service businesses with less than $5 million in annual
sales, general and heavy construction businesses with less than $27.5
million in annual business, special trade contractors doing less than
$11.5 million in annual business, and agricultural businesses with
annual sales less than $750,000. To determine whether potential
economic impacts to these small entities are significant, we considered
the types of activities that might trigger regulatory impacts under
this designation as well as types of project modifications that may
result. In general, the term ``significant economic impact'' is meant
to apply to a typical small business firm's business operations.
Under the RFA, as amended, as understood in light of recent court
decisions, Federal agencies are required to evaluate the potential
incremental impacts of rulemaking on those entities directly regulated
by the rulemaking itself; in other words, the RFA does not require
agencies to evaluate the potential impacts to indirectly regulated
entities. The regulatory mechanism through which critical habitat
protections are realized is section 7 of the Act, which requires
Federal agencies, in consultation with the Service, to ensure that any
action authorized, funded, or carried out by the agency is not likely
to destroy or adversely modify critical habitat. Therefore, under
section 7, only Federal action agencies are directly subject to the
specific regulatory requirement (avoiding destruction and adverse
modification) imposed by critical habitat designation. Consequently,
only
[[Page 92777]]
Federal action agencies would be directly regulated if we adopt the
proposed critical habitat designation. The RFA does not require
evaluation of the potential impacts to entities not directly regulated.
Moreover, Federal agencies are not small entities. Therefore, because
no small entities would be directly regulated by this rulemaking, the
Service certifies that, if made final as proposed, the proposed
critical habitat designation will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities.
In summary, we have considered whether the proposed designation
would result in a significant economic impact on a substantial number
of small entities. For the above reasons and based on currently
available information, we certify that, if made final, the proposed
critical habitat designation would not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small business entities. Therefore,
an initial regulatory flexibility analysis is not required.
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use--Executive Order 13211
E.O. 13211 (Actions Concerning Regulations That Significantly
Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use) requires agencies to
prepare statements of energy effects to the extent permitted by law
when undertaking actions identified as significant energy actions (66
FR 28355, May 22, 2001). E.O. 13211 defines a ``significant energy
action'' as an action that (i) meets the definition of a ``significant
regulatory action'' under E.O. 12866, as amended by E.O. 14094, and
(ii) is likely to have a significant adverse effect on the supply,
distribution, or use of energy. In our economic analysis, we did not
find that this proposed critical habitat designation would
significantly affect energy supplies, distribution, or use. Therefore,
this action is not a significant energy action, and no statement of
energy effects is required.
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (2 U.S.C. 1501 et seq.)
In accordance with the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (2 U.S.C. 1501
et seq.), we make the following finding:
(1) This proposed rule would not produce a Federal mandate. In
general, a Federal mandate is a provision in legislation, statute, or
regulation that would impose an enforceable duty upon State, local, or
Tribal governments, or the private sector, and includes both ``Federal
intergovernmental mandates'' and ``Federal private sector mandates.''
These terms are defined in 2 U.S.C. 658(5)-(7). ``Federal
intergovernmental mandate'' includes a regulation that ``would impose
an enforceable duty upon State, local, or Tribal governments'' with two
exceptions. It excludes ``a condition of Federal assistance.'' It also
excludes ``a duty arising from participation in a voluntary Federal
program,'' unless the regulation ``relates to a then-existing Federal
program under which $500,000,000 or more is provided annually to State,
local, and Tribal governments under entitlement authority,'' if the
provision would ``increase the stringency of conditions of assistance''
or ``place caps upon, or otherwise decrease, the Federal Government's
responsibility to provide funding,'' and the State, local, or Tribal
governments ``lack authority'' to adjust accordingly. At the time of
enactment, these entitlement programs were Medicaid; Aid to Families
with Dependent Children work programs; Child Nutrition; Food Stamps;
Social Services Block Grants; Vocational Rehabilitation State Grants;
Foster Care, Adoption Assistance, and Independent Living; Family
Support Welfare Services; and Child Support Enforcement. ``Federal
private sector mandate'' includes a regulation that ``would impose an
enforceable duty upon the private sector, except (i) a condition of
Federal assistance or (ii) a duty arising from participation in a
voluntary Federal program.''
The designation of critical habitat does not impose a legally
binding duty on non-Federal Government entities or private parties.
Under the Act, the only regulatory effect is that Federal agencies must
ensure that their actions are not likely to destroy or adversely modify
critical habitat under section 7. While non-Federal entities that
receive Federal funding, assistance, or permits, or that otherwise
require approval or authorization from a Federal agency for an action,
may be indirectly impacted by the designation of critical habitat, the
legally binding duty to avoid destruction or adverse modification of
critical habitat rests squarely on the Federal agency. Furthermore, to
the extent that non-Federal entities are indirectly impacted because
they receive Federal assistance or participate in a voluntary Federal
aid program, the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act would not apply, nor
would critical habitat shift the costs of the large entitlement
programs listed above onto State governments.
(2) We do not believe that this proposed rule would significantly
or uniquely affect small governments, because the lands being proposed
for critical habitat designation are owned by the New Mexico State
Parks, BLM, BOR, and the Service's NWR System. None of these government
entities fits the definition of ``small government jurisdiction.''
Therefore, a small government agency plan is not required.
Takings--Executive Order 12630
In accordance with E.O. 12630 (Government Actions and Interference
with Constitutionally Protected Private Property Rights), we have
analyzed the potential takings implications of designating critical
habitat for Pecos pupfish in a takings implications assessment. The Act
does not authorize the Services to regulate private actions on private
lands or confiscate private property as a result of critical habitat
designation. Designation of critical habitat does not affect land
ownership, or establish any closures, or restrictions on use of or
access to the designated areas. Furthermore, the designation of
critical habitat does not affect landowner actions that do not require
Federal funding or permits, nor does it preclude development of habitat
conservation programs or issuance of incidental take permits to permit
actions that do require Federal funding or permits to go forward.
However, Federal agencies are prohibited from carrying out, funding, or
authorizing actions that would destroy or adversely modify critical
habitat. A takings implications assessment has been completed for the
proposed designation of critical habitat for Pecos pupfish, and it
concludes that, if adopted, this designation of critical habitat does
not pose significant takings implications for lands within or affected
by the designation.
Federalism--Executive Order 13132
In accordance with E.O. 13132 (Federalism), this proposed rule does
not have significant federalism effects. A federalism summary impact
statement is not required. In keeping with Department of the Interior
and Department of Commerce policy, we requested information from, and
coordinated development of this proposed critical habitat designation
with, appropriate State resource agencies. From a federalism
perspective, the designation of critical habitat directly affects only
the responsibilities of Federal agencies. The Act imposes no other
duties with respect to critical habitat, either for States and local
governments, or for anyone else. As a result, the proposed rule does
not have substantial direct effects either on the States, or on the
relationship between the Federal Government and the States, or on the
distribution of powers and responsibilities among the various levels of
government. The proposed
[[Page 92778]]
designation may have some benefit to these governments because the
areas that contain the features essential to the conservation of the
species are more clearly defined, and the physical or biological
features of the habitat necessary for the conservation of the species
are specifically identified. This information does not alter where and
what federally sponsored activities may occur. However, it may assist
State and local governments in long-range planning because they no
longer have to wait for case-by-case section 7 consultations to occur.
Where State and local governments require approval or authorization
from a Federal agency for actions that may affect critical habitat,
consultation under section 7(a)(2) of the Act would be required. While
non-Federal entities that receive Federal funding, assistance, or
permits, or that otherwise require approval or authorization from a
Federal agency for an action, may be indirectly impacted by the
designation of critical habitat, the legally binding duty to avoid
destruction or adverse modification of critical habitat rests squarely
on the Federal agency.
Civil Justice Reform--Executive Order 12988
In accordance with E.O. 12988 (Civil Justice Reform), the Office of
the Solicitor has determined that the rule would not unduly burden the
judicial system and that it meets the requirements of sections 3(a) and
3(b)(2) of the order. We have proposed designating critical habitat in
accordance with the provisions of the Act. To assist the public in
understanding the habitat needs of the species, this proposed rule
identifies the physical or biological features essential to the
conservation of the species. The proposed areas of critical habitat are
presented on maps, and the proposed rule provides several options for
the interested public to obtain more detailed location information, if
desired.
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.)
This proposed rule does not contain information collection
requirements, and a submission to the Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) under the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et
seq.) is not required. We may not conduct or sponsor and you are not
required to respond to a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number.
National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
Regulations adopted pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act are exempt
from the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et
seq.) and do not require an environmental analysis under NEPA. We
published a rule-related notice outlining our reasons for this
determination in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244). This includes listing, delisting, and reclassification rules,
as well as critical habitat designations and species-specific
protective regulations promulgated concurrently with a decision to list
or reclassify a species as threatened. The courts have upheld this
position (e.g., Douglas County v. Babbitt, 48 F.3d 1495 (9th Cir. 1995)
(critical habitat); Center for Biological Diversity v. U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, 2005 WL 2000928 (N.D. Cal. Aug. 19, 2005) (concurrent
4(d) rule)).
However, when we designate as ``critical habitat'' any of the areas
that fall within the jurisdiction of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the
Tenth Circuit, including this designation proposed for the Pecos
pupfish, we undertake a NEPA analysis for that critical habitat
designation consistent with the Tenth Circuit's ruling in Catron County
Board of Commissioners v. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 75 F.3d 1429
(10th Cir. 1996). We invite the public to comment on the extent to
which this proposed critical habitat designation may have a significant
impact on the human environment, or fall within one of the categorical
exclusions for actions that have no individual or cumulative effect on
the quality of the human environment. We will complete our analysis, in
compliance with NEPA, before finalizing this proposed rule.
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951, May 4, 1994), E.O. 13175 (Consultation and
Coordination with Indian Tribal Governments), the President's
memorandum of November 30, 2022 (Uniform Standards for Tribal
Consultation; 87 FR 74479, December 5, 2022), and the Department of the
Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
responsibility to communicate meaningfully with federally recognized
Tribes and Alaska Native Corporations (ANCs) on a government-to-
government basis. In accordance with Secretary's Order 3206 of June 5,
1997 (American Indian Tribal Rights, Federal-Tribal Trust
Responsibilities, and the Endangered Species Act), we readily
acknowledge our responsibilities to work directly with Tribes in
developing programs for healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that Tribal
lands are not subject to the same controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and to make information available
to Tribes. We will continue to work with relevant Tribal entities
during the development of any final rules for the Pecos pupfish. We
have determined that no Tribal lands fall within the boundaries of the
proposed critical habitat for the Pecos pupfish, so no Tribal lands
would be affected by the proposed designation.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in this rulemaking is available
on the internet at https://www.regulations.gov and upon request from
the New Mexico Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed rule are the staff members of
the Fish and Wildlife Service's Species Assessment Team and the New
Mexico Ecological Services Field Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Plants,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Transportation, Wildlife.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we propose to amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter
I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245, unless
otherwise noted.
0
2. In Sec. 17.11, in paragraph (h), amend the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife by adding an entry for ``Pupfish, Pecos'' in
alphabetical order under FISHES to read as follows:
Sec. 17.11 Endangered and threatened wildlife.
* * * * *
(h) * * *
[[Page 92779]]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Listing citations
Common name Scientific name Where listed Status and applicable
rules
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fishes
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
Pupfish, Pecos................... Cyprinodon Wherever found..... T [Federal Register
pecosensis. citation when
published as a
final rule]; 50
CFR 17.44(bb);
\4d\ 50 CFR
17.95(e).\CH\
* * * * * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
3. In Sec. 17.44, add paragraph (bb) to read as follows:
Sec. 17.44 Species-specific rules--fishes.
* * * * *
(bb) Pecos pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis)--(1) Prohibitions. The
following prohibitions that apply to endangered wildlife also apply to
Pecos pupfish. Except as provided under paragraph (bb)(2) of this
section and Sec. Sec. 17.4 and 17.5, it is unlawful for any person
subject to the jurisdiction of the United States to commit, to attempt
to commit, to solicit another to commit, or cause to be committed, any
of the following acts in regard to this species:
(i) Import or export, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(b) for endangered
wildlife.
(ii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(c)(1) for endangered
wildlife.
(iii) Possession and other acts with unlawfully taken specimens, as
set forth at Sec. 17.21(d)(1) for endangered wildlife.
(iv) Interstate or foreign commerce in the course of a commercial
activity, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(e) for endangered wildlife.
(v) Sale or offer for sale, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(f) for
endangered wildlife.
(2) Exceptions from prohibitions. In regard to this species, you
may:
(i) Conduct activities as authorized by a permit under Sec. 17.32.
(ii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(c)(2) through (c)(4) for
endangered wildlife.
(iii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.31(b).
(iv) Possess and engage in other acts with unlawfully taken
wildlife, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(d)(2) for endangered wildlife.
(v) Take incidental to an otherwise lawful activity caused by:
(A) Management and maintenance of ponds that satisfy Texas Parks
and Wildlife Department (TPWD) permitting requirements and are stocked
by TPWD with captive-bred Pecos pupfish.
(B) Research activities conducted by holders of a valid scientific
research permit, zoological permit, or educational display permit
issued by TPWD on individual Pecos pupfish in ponds that are part of
the TPWD Pecos pupfish production effort. Researchers must report
annually to TPWD, and TPWD must annually report to the Service, the
following information:
(1) The nature of research performed;
(2) The dates of fieldwork;
(3) The number of individuals collected or captured and the methods
used to obtain them;
(4) A description of any accidental injuries or mortalities; and
(5) The number of individuals from which genetic material was
collected, the type of tissue collected, and the institution or
location where the genetic material is being stored.
* * * * *
0
4. In Sec. 17.95, in paragraph (e), add an entry for ``Pecos Pupfish
(Cyprinodon pecosensis)'' after the entry for ``Leon Springs Pupfish
(Cyprinodon bovinus)'', to read as follows:
Sec. 17.95 Critical habitat--fish and wildlife.
* * * * *
(e) Fishes.
* * * * *
Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis)
(1) Critical habitat units are depicted for Chaves and Eddy
Counties, New Mexico, and Culberson and Reeves Counties, Texas, on the
maps in this entry.
(2) Within these areas, the physical or biological features
essential to the conservation of Pecos pupfish consist of the following
components:
(i) Water quality parameters that support all life stages of the
Pecos pupfish, including:
(A) Absence of pollutants, or a level of contaminants low enough
that it does not negatively impact necessary water quality conditions
for Pecos pupfish individuals;
(B) Salinity less than 35,000 mg/L;
(C) Temperature less than 42.7 [deg]C (108.9 [deg]F); and
(D) Dissolved oxygen greater than 2.5 mg/L.
(ii) Sufficient water quantity parameters that support all life
stages of the Pecos pupfish, including:
(A) Permanent water in a portion of the habitat; and
(B) Water depth less than 2 m (6.56 ft) deep to allow for thermal
refugia and breeding.
(iii) Presence of silt-free underwater features such as crevices,
boulders, large rocks, scattered pebbles, and aquatic plants that are
used for egg deposition.
(iv) Absence of nonnative invasive sheepshead minnow.
(3) Critical habitat does not include manmade structures (such as
buildings, aqueducts, runways, roads, and other paved areas) and the
land on which they are located existing within the legal boundaries on
the effective date of the final rule.
(4) Data layers defining map units were created using ESRI
OpenStreets and Imagery basemaps, USA Federal Lands data, and the
National Hydrography Dataset (NHD) Plus dataset. Polygons for units 2,
3, and 4 were largely defined through heads-up digitization or land
ownership boundaries (Unit 3, Bitter Lake NWR); acreage or mileage
numbers in the designation came from these features. For online
distribution, linear features in Unit 1 (the Pecos River) and Unit 5
(Salt Creek) were converted to polygons. We used NHD polygons when
available. When polygons were unavailable, we buffered the linear
features by a set distance; 20 m for the lower third of unit 1, and 5 m
for the entirety of unit 5. The boundaries of units 2, 3, and 4 that
abutted the Pecos River were adjusted to match the new Unit 1 polygon.
The maps in this entry, as modified by any accompanying regulatory
text, establish the boundaries of the critical habitat designation. The
coordinates or plot points or both on which each map is based are
available to the public at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS-R2-ES-2024-0143 and at the field office responsible for this
designation. You may obtain field office location information by
contacting one of the Service regional offices, the addresses of which
are listed at 50 CFR 2.2.
(5) Index map follows:
[[Page 92780]]
Figure 1 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (5)
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[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.003
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(6) Unit 1: Upper Pecos River, Chaves and Eddy Counties, New
Mexico.
(i) Unit 1 consists of 121.88 river mi (196.15 km) of the upper
Pecos River in Chaves and Eddy Counties, New Mexico, and is composed of
lands in Federal (32.61 river mi (52.48 km)), State (4.86 river mi
(7.82 km)), and private (84.41 river mi (135.84 km)) ownership. Unit 1
includes river habitat up to bank full height.
(ii) Map of Unit 1 follows:
Figure 2 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (6)(ii)
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
[[Page 92781]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.004
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(7) Unit 2: Salt Creek Wilderness, Chaves County, New Mexico.
(i) Unit 2 contains Salt Creek (New Mexico) and four sinkholes
within 5,428.74 acres (2,196.93 hectares (ha)) of land in Chaves
County, New Mexico. The wetted areas within this unit are entirely
under Federal ownership, specifically the Service's Bitter Lake
National Wildlife Refuge (NWR).
(ii) Map of Unit 2 follows:
Figure 3 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (7)(ii)
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
[[Page 92782]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.005
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(8) Unit 3: Bitter Lake, Chaves County, New Mexico.
(i) Unit 3 contains Bitter Creek and numerous isolated sinkholes,
spring ditches, managed and natural wetlands, and oxbows of the Pecos
River within 11,972.90 acres (4,845.26 ha) of Chaves County, New
Mexico. The unit is composed of lands in Federal (9,663.15 acres
(3,910.54 ha)), State (87.87 acres (35.56 ha)), and private (2,221.88
acres (899.16 ha)) ownership.
(ii) Map of Unit 3 follows:
Figure 4 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (8)(ii)
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
[[Page 92783]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.006
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(9) Unit 4: Overflow Wetlands/Bottomless Lakes, Chaves County, New
Mexico.
(i) Unit 4 contains a wetland and several isolated sinkholes within
9,153.90 acres (3,704.45 ha) in Chaves County, New Mexico. The unit is
composed of lands in Federal (1,784 acres (721.96 ha)), State (1854.78
acres (750.60 ha)), and private (5,515.12 acres (2,231.89 ha))
ownership.
(ii) Map of Unit 4 follows:
Figure 5 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (9)(ii)
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[[Page 92784]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.007
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(10) Unit 5: Salt Creek (TX), in Culberson and Reeves Counties,
Texas.
(i) Unit 5 consists of 14.24 river mi (23.20 km) in Culberson and
Reeves Counties, Texas, and is composed of lands in 100 percent private
ownership. Unit 5 includes river habitat up to bank full height.
(ii) Map of Unit 5 follows:
Figure 6 to Pecos Pupfish (Cyprinodon pecosensis) paragraph (10)(ii)
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
[[Page 92785]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP22NO24.008
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* * * * *
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2024-27127 Filed 11-21-24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P