Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Regional Haze Plan for the Second Implementation Period, 71124-71151 [2024-19189]
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 169 / Friday, August 30, 2024 / Proposed Rules
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R05–OAR–2021–0544; FRL–12175–
01–R5]
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Regional
Haze Plan for the Second
Implementation Period
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve
the Ohio regional haze state
implementation plan (SIP) revision
submitted by the Ohio Environmental
Protection Agency (Ohio or Ohio EPA)
on July 30, 2021, which Ohio EPA
supplemented on August 6, 2024, as
satisfying applicable requirements
under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and
EPA’s Regional Haze Rule for the
program’s second implementation
period. EPA proposes to find that Ohio’s
SIP submission addresses the
requirement that States must
periodically revise their long-term
strategies for making reasonable
progress towards the national goal of
preventing any future, and remedying
any existing, anthropogenic impairment
of visibility, including regional haze, in
mandatory Class I Federal areas, and
also addresses other applicable
requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program. EPA is taking this action
pursuant to sections 110 and 169A of
the CAA.
DATES: Written comments must be
received on or before September 30,
2024.
SUMMARY:
Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R05–
OAR–2021–0544 at https://
www.regulations.gov or via email to
langman.michael@epa.gov. For
comments submitted at Regulations.gov,
follow the online instructions for
submitting comments. Once submitted,
comments cannot be edited or removed
from the docket. EPA may publish any
comment received to its public docket.
Do not submit to EPA’s docket at
https://www.regulations.gov any
information you consider to be
confidential business information (CBI),
Proprietary Business Information (PBI),
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
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ADDRESSES:
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discussion of all points you wish to
make. EPA will generally not consider
comments or comment contents located
outside of the primary submission (i.e.,
on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission
methods, please contact the person
identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the
full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Alisa Liu, Air and Radiation Division
(AR–18J), Environmental Protection
Agency, Region 5, 77 West Jackson
Boulevard, Chicago, Illinois 60604,
(312) 353–3193, liu.alisa@epa.gov. The
EPA Region 5 office is open from 8:30
a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday through
Friday.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document whenever
‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ‘‘our’’ is used, we mean
EPA.
Table of Contents
I. What action is EPA proposing?
II. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for
the Second Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
IV. EPA’s Evaluation of Ohio’s Regional Haze
Submission for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Background on Ohio’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
B. Ohio’s Second Implementation Period
SIP Submission and EPA’s Evaluation
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
1. Selection of Sources for Analysis
2. Emission Measures Necessary To Make
Reasonable Progress
3. Ohio’s Long-Term Strategy
4. EPA’s Evaluation of Ohio’s Compliance
With 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i)
5. Consultation With States
6. Five Additional Factors
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
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G. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
I. Requirements for State and Federal Land
Manager Coordination
V. Proposed Action
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. What action is EPA proposing?
On July 30, 2021, Ohio EPA submitted
a revision to its SIP to address regional
haze for the second implementation
period and supplemented it on August
6, 2024. Ohio EPA made this SIP
submission to satisfy the requirements
of the CAA’s regional haze program
pursuant to CAA sections 169A and
169B and 40 CFR 51.308. EPA proposes
to find that the Ohio regional haze SIP
submission for the second
implementation period meets the
applicable statutory and regulatory
requirements and thus proposes to
approve Ohio’s submission into its SIP.
II. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA Amendments,
Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation’s
mandatory Class I Federal areas, which
include certain national parks and
wilderness areas.1 CAA 169A. The CAA
establishes as a national goal the
‘‘prevention of any future, and the
remedying of any existing, impairment
of visibility in mandatory class I Federal
areas which impairment results from
manmade air pollution.’’ CAA
169A(a)(1). The CAA further directs
EPA to promulgate regulations to assure
reasonable progress toward meeting this
national goal. CAA 169A(a)(4). On
December 2, 1980, EPA promulgated
regulations to address visibility
impairment in mandatory Class I
Federal areas (hereinafter referred to as
‘‘Class I areas’’) that is ‘‘reasonably
attributable’’ to a single source or small
group of sources. (45 FR 80084,
December 2, 1980). These regulations,
codified at 40 CFR 51.300 through
51.307, represented the first phase of
EPA’s efforts to address visibility
impairment. In 1990, Congress added
section 169B to the CAA to further
address visibility impairment,
specifically, impairment from regional
1 Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class
I Federal areas consist of national parks exceeding
6,000 acres, wilderness areas and national memorial
parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and all international
parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977.
CAA 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas.
The list of areas to which the requirements of the
visibility protection program apply is in 40 CFR
part 81, subpart D.
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haze. CAA 169B. EPA promulgated the
Regional Haze Rule (RHR), codified at
40 CFR 51.308,2 on July 1, 1999. (64 FR
35714, July 1, 1999). These regional
haze regulations are a central
component of EPA’s comprehensive
visibility protection program for Class I
areas.
Regional haze is visibility impairment
that is produced by a multitude of
anthropogenic sources and activities
which are located across a broad
geographic area and that emit pollutants
that impair visibility. Visibility
impairing pollutants include fine and
coarse particulate matter (PM) (e.g.,
sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and
their precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide
(SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds
(VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). Fine
particle precursors react in the
atmosphere to form fine particulate
matter (PM2.5), which impairs visibility
by scattering and absorbing light.
Visibility impairment reduces the
perception of clarity and color, as well
as visible distance.3
To address regional haze visibility
impairment, the 1999 RHR established
an iterative planning process that
requires both States in which Class I
areas are located and States ‘‘the
emissions from which may reasonably
be anticipated to cause or contribute to
any impairment of visibility’’ in a Class
I area to periodically submit SIP
revisions to address such impairment.
2 In addition to the generally applicable regional
haze provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, EPA also
promulgated regulations specific to addressing
regional haze visibility impairment in Class I areas
on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. The
latter regulations are applicable only for specific
jurisdictions’ regional haze plans submitted no later
than December 17, 2007, and thus are not relevant
here.
3 There are several ways to measure the amount
of visibility impairment, i.e., haze. One such
measurement is the deciview, which is the
principal metric used by the RHR. Under many
circumstances, a change in one deciview will be
perceived by the human eye to be the same on both
clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric
extinction of light, which is the perceived dimming
of light due to its being scattered and absorbed as
it passes through the atmosphere. Atmospheric light
extinction (bext) is a metric used to for expressing
visibility and is measured in inverse megameters
(Mm-1). EPA’s Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period (‘‘2019 Guidance’’) offers
the flexibility for the use of light extinction in
certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use
in calculations than deciview, since it is not a
logarithmic function. See, e.g., 2019 Guidance at 16,
19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidanceregional-haze-state-implementation-plans-secondimplementation-period, EPA Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park
(August 20, 2019). The formula for the deciview is
10 ln (bext)/10 Mm¥1). 40 CFR 51.301.
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CAA 169A(b)(2); 4 see also 40 CFR
51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission
dates for iterative regional haze SIP
revisions); (64 FR 35714 at 35768, July
1, 1999). Under the CAA, each SIP
submission must contain ‘‘a long-term
(ten to fifteen years) strategy for making
reasonable progress toward meeting the
national goal,’’ CAA 169A(b)(2)(B); the
initial round of SIP submissions also
had to address the statutory requirement
that certain older, larger sources of
visibility impairing pollutants install
and operate the best available retrofit
technology (BART). CAA 169A(b)(2)(A);
40 CFR 51.308(d), (e). States’ first
regional haze SIPs were due by
December 17, 2007, 40 CFR 51.308(b),
with subsequent SIP submissions
containing updated long-term strategies
originally due July 31, 2018, and every
ten years thereafter. (64 FR at 35768,
July 1, 1999). EPA established in the
1999 RHR that all States either have
Class I areas within their borders or
‘‘contain sources whose emissions are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
regional haze in a Class I area’’;
therefore, all States must submit
regional haze SIPs.5 Id. at 35721.
Much of the focus in the first
implementation period of the regional
haze program, which ran from 2007
through 2018, was on satisfying States’
BART obligations. First implementation
period SIPs were additionally required
to contain long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress toward the
national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required
elements for the first implementation
period SIPs (other than BART) are laid
out in 40 CFR 51.308(d). Those
provisions required that States
containing Class I areas establish
reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that
are measured in deciviews (dv) and
reflect the anticipated visibility
conditions at the end of the
implementation period including from
implementation of States’ long-term
strategies. The first planning period
RPGs were required to provide for an
improvement in visibility for the most
impaired days over the period of the
implementation plan and ensure no
4 The RHR expresses the statutory requirement for
States to submit plans addressing out-of-state class
I areas by providing that States must address
visibility impairment ‘‘in each mandatory Class I
Federal area located outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the State.’’ 40
CFR 51.308(d) and (f).
5 In addition to each of the fifty States, EPA also
concluded that the Virgin Islands and District of
Columbia must also submit regional haze SIPs
because they either contain a Class I area or contain
sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated
to contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40
CFR 51.300(b) and (d)(3).
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degradation in visibility for the least
impaired days over the same period. In
establishing the RPGs for any Class I
area in a State, the State was required
to consider four statutory factors: the
costs of compliance, the time necessary
for compliance, the energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts of
compliance, and the remaining useful
life of any potentially affected sources.
CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).
States were also required to calculate
baseline (using the five year period of
2000–2004) and natural visibility
conditions (i.e., visibility conditions
without anthropogenic visibility
impairment) for each Class I area, and
to calculate the linear rate of progress
needed to attain natural visibility
conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004
and ending with natural conditions in
2064. This linear interpolation is known
as the uniform rate of progress (URP)
and is used as a tracking metric to help
States assess the amount of progress
they are making towards the national
visibility goal over time in each Class I
area.6 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2).
The 1999 RHR also provided that States’
long-term strategies must include the
‘‘enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance, schedules, and other
measures as necessary to achieve the
reasonable progress goals.’’ 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3). In establishing their longterm strategies, States are required to
consult with other States that also
contribute to visibility impairment in a
given Class I area and include all
measures necessary to obtain their
shares of the emission reductions
needed to meet the RPGs. See 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii). The provisions of 40
CFR 51.308(d) also contain seven
additional factors States must consider
in formulating their long-term strategies,
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v), as well as
provisions governing monitoring and
other implementation plan
requirements. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4).
6 EPA established the URP framework in the 1999
RHR to provide ‘‘an equitable analytical approach’’
to assessing the rate of visibility improvement at
Class I areas across the country. The start point for
the URP analysis is 2004 and the endpoint was
calculated based on the amount of visibility
improvement that was anticipated to result from
implementation of existing CAA programs over the
period from the mid-1990s to approximately 2005.
Assuming this rate of progress would continue into
the future, EPA determined that natural visibility
conditions would be reached in 60 years, or 2064
(60 years from the baseline starting point of 2004).
However, EPA did not establish 2064 as the year
by which the national goal must be reached. 64 FR
at 35731–32. That is, the URP and the 2064 date are
not enforceable targets but are rather tools that
‘‘allow for analytical comparisons between the rate
of progress that would be achieved by the State’s
chosen set of control measures and the URP.’’ (82
FR 3078 at 3084, January 10, 2017).
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Finally, the 1999 RHR required States to
submit periodic progress reports—SIP
revisions due every five years that
contain information on States’
implementation of their regional haze
plans and an assessment of whether
anything additional is needed to make
reasonable progress, see 40 CFR
51.308(g),(h)—and to consult with the
Federal Land Manager(s) 7 (FLMs)
responsible for each Class I area
according to the requirements in CAA
169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).
On January 10, 2017, EPA
promulgated revisions to the RHR, (82
FR 3078, January 10, 2017), that apply
for the second and subsequent
implementation periods. The 2017
rulemaking made several changes to the
requirements for regional haze SIPs to
clarify States’ obligations and streamline
certain regional haze requirements. The
revisions to the regional haze program
for the second and subsequent
implementation periods focused on the
requirement that States’ SIPs contain
long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. The reasonable
progress requirements as revised in the
2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the
2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40
CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes,
the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the
deadline for States to submit their
second implementation period SIPs
from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021,
clarified the order of analysis and the
relationship between RPGs and the
long-term strategy, and focused on
making visibility improvements on the
days with the most anthropogenic
visibility impairment, as opposed to the
days with the most visibility
impairment overall. EPA also revised
requirements of the visibility protection
program related to periodic progress
reports and FLM consultation. The
specific requirements applicable to
second implementation period regional
haze SIP submissions are addressed in
detail below.
EPA provided guidance to the states
for their second implementation period
SIP submissions in the preamble to the
2017 RHR Revisions as well as in
subsequent, stand-alone guidance
documents. In August 2019, EPA issued
‘‘Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2019
7 EPA’s regulations define ‘‘Federal Land
Manager’’ as ‘‘the Secretary of the department with
authority over the Federal Class I area (or the
Secretary’s designee) or, with respect to RooseveltCampobello International Park, the Chairman of the
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park
Commission.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
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Guidance’’).8 On July 8, 2021, EPA
issued a memorandum containing
‘‘Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2021
Clarifications Memo’’).9 Additionally,
EPA further clarified the recommended
procedures for processing ambient
visibility data and optionally adjusting
the URP to account for international
anthropogenic and prescribed fire
impacts in two technical guidance
documents: the December 2018
‘‘Technical Guidance on Tracking
Visibility Progress for the Second
Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program’’ (‘‘2018 Visibility
Tracking Guidance’’),10 and the June
2020 ‘‘Recommendation for the Use of
Patched and Substituted Data and
Clarification of Data Completeness for
Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the
Regional Haze Program’’ and associated
Technical Addendum (‘‘2020 Data
Completeness Memo’’).11
As explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, EPA intends the
second implementation period of the
regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants that build on the
significant progress States have
achieved to date. The Agency also
recognizes that analyses regarding
reasonable progress are State-specific
and that, based on States’ and sources’
individual circumstances, what
constitutes reasonable reductions in
visibility impairing pollutants will vary
from State-to-State. While there exist
many opportunities for States to
8 Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
visibility/guidance-regional-haze-stateimplementation-plans-second-implementationperiod EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20,
2019).
9 Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2021-07/clarificationsregarding-regional-haze-state-implementationplans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf.
EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
10 Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of
the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/
sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf
EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park. (December 20, 2018).
11 Recommendation for the Use of Patched and
Substituted Data and Clarification of Data
Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/
memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-datausage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program
EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park (June 3, 2020).
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leverage both ongoing and upcoming
emission reductions under other CAA
programs, the Agency expects States to
undertake rigorous reasonable progress
analyses that identify further
opportunities to advance the national
visibility goal consistent with the
statutory and regulatory requirements.
See generally 2021 Clarifications Memo.
This is consistent with Congress’s
determination that a visibility
protection program is needed in
addition to the CAA’s National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and
Prevention of Significant Deterioration
(PSD) programs, as further emission
reductions may be necessary to
adequately protect visibility in Class I
areas throughout the country.12
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and
pollution affecting visibility in Class I
areas can be transported over long
distances, successful implementation of
the regional haze program requires longterm, regional coordination among
multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and
the emissions that impact visibility in
those areas. To address regional haze,
States need to develop strategies in
coordination with one another,
considering the effect of emissions from
one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning
organizations (RPOs),13 which include
representation from State and Tribal
governments, EPA, and FLMs, were
developed in the lead-up to the first
implementation period to address
regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical
information to better understand how
emissions from State and Tribal land
impact Class I areas across the country,
pursue the development of regional
strategies to reduce emissions of
particulate matter and other pollutants
leading to regional haze, and help States
meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
The Lake Michigan Air Directors
Consortium (LADCO) is an RPO that
includes the States of Illinois, Indiana,
Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and
Wisconsin. LADCO’s work is a
12 See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95–294 at 205 (‘‘In
determining how to best remedy the growing
visibility problem in these areas of great scenic
importance, the committee realizes that as a matter
of equity, the national ambient air quality standards
cannot be revised to adequately protect visibility in
all areas of the country.’’), (‘‘the mandatory class I
increments of [the PSD program] do not adequately
protect visibility in class I areas’’).
13 RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ‘‘multijurisdictional organizations,’’ or MJOs. For the
purposes of this notice, the terms RPO and MJO are
synonymous.
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collaborative effort of State
governments, Tribal governments, and
various Federal agencies established to
initiate and coordinate activities
associated with the management of
regional haze, visibility, and other air
quality issues in the Midwest. Along
with the six LADCO States, participants
in LADCO’s Regional Haze Technical
Workgroup include EPA, U.S. National
Parks Service (NPS), U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (FWS), and U.S. Forest
Service (USFS).
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III. Requirements for Regional Haze
Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and EPA’s
regulations, all 50 States, the District of
Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
were required to submit regional haze
SIPs satisfying the applicable
requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program by July 31, 2021. Each
State’s SIP must contain a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress
toward meeting the national goal of
remedying any existing and preventing
any future anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas. CAA
169A(b)(2)(B). To this end, 40 CFR
51.308(f) lays out the process by which
States determine what constitutes their
long-term strategies, with the order of
the requirements in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)
through (3) generally mirroring the
order of the steps in the reasonable
progress analysis 14 and (f)(4) through
(6) containing additional, related
requirements. Broadly speaking, a State
first must identify the Class I areas
within the State and determine the Class
I areas outside the State in which
visibility may be affected by emissions
from the State. These are the Class I
areas that must be addressed in the
State’s long-term strategy. See 40 CFR
51.308(f), (f)(2). For each Class I area
within its borders, a State must then
calculate the baseline, current, and
natural visibility conditions for that
area, as well as the visibility
improvement made to date and the URP.
See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1). Each State
having a Class I area and/or emissions
that may affect visibility in a Class I area
must then develop a long-term strategy
that includes the enforceable emission
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress in such areas.
A reasonable progress determination is
based on applying the four factors in
CAA section 169A(g)(1) to sources of
visibility-impairing pollutants that the
State has selected to assess for controls
for the second implementation period.
Additionally, as further explained
below, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
‘‘additional factors’’ 15 that States must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). A
State evaluates potential emission
reduction measures for those selected
sources and determines which are
necessary to make reasonable progress.
Those measures are then incorporated
into the State’s long-term strategy. After
a State has developed its long-term
strategy, it then establishes RPGs for
each Class I area within its borders by
modeling the visibility impacts of all
reasonable progress controls at the end
of the second implementation period,
i.e., in 2028, as well as the impacts of
other requirements of the CAA. The
RPGs include reasonable progress
controls not only for sources in the State
in which the Class I area is located, but
also for sources in other States that
contribute to visibility impairment in
that area. The RPGs are then compared
to the baseline visibility conditions and
the URP to ensure that progress is being
made towards the statutory goal of
preventing any future and remedying
any existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)and(3).
In addition to satisfying the
requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f) related
to reasonable progress, the regional haze
SIP revisions for the second
implementation period must address the
requirements in 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)
through (5) pertaining to periodic
reports describing progress towards the
RPGs, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5), as well as
requirements for FLM consultation that
apply to all visibility protection SIPs
and SIP revisions. 40 CFR 51.308(i).
A State must submit its regional haze
SIP and subsequent SIP revisions to
EPA according to the requirements
applicable to all SIP revisions under the
CAA and EPA’s regulations. See CAA
169A(b)(2); CAA 110(a). Upon EPA
approval, a SIP is enforceable by the
Agency and the public under the CAA.
If EPA finds that a State fails to make
a required SIP revision, or if EPA finds
that a State’s SIP is incomplete or
disapproves the SIP, the Agency must
promulgate a Federal implementation
plan (FIP) that satisfies the applicable
requirements. See CAA 110(c)(1).
A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional
haze SIP is for a State to determine
which Class I areas, in addition to those
within its borders, ‘‘may be affected’’ by
emissions from within the State. In the
1999 RHR, EPA determined that all
States contribute to visibility
impairment in at least one Class I area
and explained that the statute and
regulations lay out an ‘‘extremely low
triggering threshold’’ for determining
‘‘whether States should be required to
engage in air quality planning and
analysis as a prerequisite to determining
the need for control of emissions from
sources within their State.’’ 64 FR 35714
at 35720–22, July 1, 1999.
A State must determine which Class
I areas must be addressed by its SIP by
evaluating the total emissions of
visibility impairing pollutants from all
sources within the State. While the RHR
does not require this evaluation to be
conducted in any particular manner,
EPA’s 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for how such an
assessment might be accomplished,
including by, where appropriate, using
the determinations previously made for
the first implementation period. See
2019 Guidance at 8–9. In addition, the
determination of which Class I areas
may be affected by a State’s emissions
is subject to the requirement in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ‘‘document the
technical basis, including modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and
emissions information, on which the
State is relying to determine the
emission reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
in each mandatory Class I Federal area
it affects.’’
14 EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that
we were adopting new regulatory language in 40
CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike the structure in
51.308(d), ‘‘tracked the actual planning sequence.’’
(82 FR 3091, January 10, 2017).
15 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four
factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that States must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
16 The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance
references and relies on parts of the 2003 Tracking
Guidance: ‘‘Guidance for Tracking Progress Under
the Regional Haze Rule,’’ which can be found at
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B. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP
submission for the second
implementation period is providing for
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
contains requirements in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility
improvement over time. The
requirements of this section apply only
to States having Class I areas within
their borders; the required calculations
must be made for each such Class I area.
EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance 16 provides recommendations
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to assist States in satisfying their
obligations under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1);
specifically, in developing information
on baseline, current, and natural
visibility conditions, and in making
optional adjustments to the URP to
account for the impacts of international
anthropogenic emissions and prescribed
fires. See 82 FR 3078 at 3103–05,
January 10, 2017.
The RHR requires tracking of
visibility conditions on two sets of days:
the clearest and the most impaired days.
Visibility conditions for both sets of
days are expressed as the average
deciview index for the relevant five-year
period (the period representing baseline
or current visibility conditions). The
RHR provides that the relevant sets of
days for visibility tracking purposes are
the 20 percent clearest (the 20 percent
of monitored days in a calendar year
with the lowest values of the deciview
index) and 20 percent most impaired
days (the 20 percent of monitored days
in a calendar year with the highest
amounts of anthropogenic visibility
impairment).17 40 CFR 51.301. A State
must calculate visibility conditions for
both the 20 percent clearest and 20
percent most impaired days for the
baseline period of 2000–2004 and the
most recent five-year period for which
visibility monitoring data are available
(representing current visibility
conditions). 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i) and
(iii). States must also calculate natural
visibility conditions for the clearest and
most impaired days,18 by estimating the
conditions that would exist on those
two sets of days absent anthropogenic
visibility impairment. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(ii). Using all these data,
States must then calculate, for each
Class I area, the amount of progress
made since the baseline period (2000–
2004) and how much improvement is
left to achieve to reach natural visibility
conditions.
Using the data for the set of most
impaired days only, States must plot a
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/
documents/tracking.pdf.
17 This action also refers to the 20 percent clearest
and 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired
days as the ‘‘clearest’’ and ‘‘most impaired’’ or
‘‘most anthropogenically impaired’’ days,
respectively.
18 The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an
error related to the requirement for calculating two
sets of natural conditions values. The rule says,
‘‘most impaired days or the clearest days’’ where it
should say ‘‘most impaired days and clearest days.’’
This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected
in the final rule language. This is supported by the
preamble text at 82 FR 3098: ‘‘In the final version
of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of ‘‘or’’ has
been corrected to ‘‘and’’ to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired
days and the clearest days must be based on
available monitoring information.’’
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line between visibility conditions in the
baseline period and natural visibility
conditions for each Class I area to
determine the URP—the amount of
visibility improvement, measured in dv,
that would need to be achieved during
each implementation period to achieve
natural visibility conditions by the end
of 2064. The URP is used in later steps
of the reasonable progress analysis for
informational purposes and to provide a
non-enforceable benchmark against
which to assess a Class I area’s rate of
visibility improvement.19 Additionally,
in the 2017 RHR Revisions, EPA
provided States the option of proposing
to adjust the endpoint of the URP to
account for impacts of anthropogenic
sources outside the United States and/
or impacts of certain types of wildland
prescribed fires. These adjustments,
which must be approved by EPA, are
intended to avoid any perception that
States should compensate for impacts
from international anthropogenic
sources and to give States the flexibility
to determine that limiting the use of
wildland-prescribed fire is not
necessary for reasonable progress. See
82 FR 3078 at 3107, January 10, 2017,
footnote 116.
EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance can be used to help satisfy the
40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements,
including in developing information on
baseline, current, and natural visibility
conditions, and in making optional
adjustments to the URP. In addition, the
2020 Data Completeness Memo provides
recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in 40
CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides
updated natural conditions estimates for
each Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional
Haze
The core component of a regional
haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in
each Class I area within a State’s borders
and each Class I area that may be
affected by emissions from the State.
The long-term strategy ‘‘must include
the enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress, as determined
pursuant to (f)(2)(i) through (iv).’’ 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2). The amount of
progress that is ‘‘reasonable progress’’ is
based on applying the four statutory
19 Being on or below the URP is not a ‘‘safe
harbor’’; i.e., achieving the URP does not mean that
a Class I area is making ‘‘reasonable progress’’ and
does not relieve a State from using the four
statutory factors to determine what level of control
is needed to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR
3078 at 3093, January 10, 2017.
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factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an
evaluation of potential control options
for sources of visibility impairing
pollutants, which is referred to as a
‘‘four-factor’’ analysis. The outcome of
that analysis is the emission reduction
measures that a particular source or
group of sources needs to implement to
make reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i). Emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress may be either new,
additional control measures for a
source, or they may be the existing
emission reduction measures that a
source is already implementing. See
2019 Guidance at 43; 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 8–10. Such measures must be
represented by ‘‘enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures’’ (i.e., any additional
compliance tools) in a State’s long-term
strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
The construct of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i)
provides the requirements for the fourfactor analysis. The first step of this
analysis entails selecting the sources to
be evaluated for emission reduction
measures; to this end, the RHR requires
States to consider ‘‘major and minor
stationary sources or groups of sources,
mobile sources, and area sources’’ of
visibility impairing pollutants for
potential four-factor control analysis. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). A threshold
question at this step is which visibility
impairing pollutants will be analyzed.
As EPA previously explained,
consistent with the first implementation
period, EPA generally expects that each
State will analyze at least SO2 and NOX
in selecting sources and determining
control measures. See 2019 Guidance at
12, 2021, Clarifications Memo at 4. A
State that chooses not to consider at
least these two pollutants should
demonstrate why such consideration
would be unreasonable. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 4.
While States have the option to
analyze all sources, the 2019 Guidance
explains that ‘‘an analysis of control
measures is not required for every
source in each implementation period,’’
and that ‘‘[s]electing a set of sources for
analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . .
consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning
process and anticipates that a state may
not need to analyze control measures for
all its sources in a given SIP revision.’’
2019 Guidance at 9. However, given that
source selection is the basis of all
subsequent control determinations, a
reasonable source selection process
‘‘should be designed and conducted to
ensure that source selection results in a
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set of pollutants and sources the
evaluation of which has the potential to
meaningfully reduce their contributions
to visibility impairment.’’ 2021
Clarifications Memo at 3.
EPA explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo that each State has
an obligation to submit a long-term
strategy that addresses the regional haze
visibility impairment that results from
emissions from within that State. Thus,
source selection should focus on the instate contribution to visibility
impairment and be designed to capture
a meaningful portion of the State’s total
contribution to visibility impairment in
Class I areas. A State should not decline
to select its largest in-state sources on
the basis that there are even larger outof-state contributors. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 4.20
Thus, while States have discretion to
choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable,
whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that a State’s
SIP submission include ‘‘a description
of the criteria it used to determine
which sources or groups of sources it
evaluated.’’ The technical basis for
source selection, which may include
methods for quantifying potential
visibility impacts such as emissions
divided by distance metrics, trajectory
analyses, residence time analyses, and/
or photochemical modeling, must also
be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a State has selected the set of
sources, the next step is to determine
the emissions reduction measures for
those sources that are necessary to make
reasonable progress for the second
implementation period.21 This is
accomplished by considering the four
factors—‘‘the costs of compliance, the
time necessary for compliance, and the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
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20 Similarly,
in responding to comments on the
2017 RHR Revisions, EPA explained that ‘‘[a] state
should not fail to address its many relatively lowimpact sources merely because it only has such
sources and another state has even more low-impact
sources and/or some high impact sources.’’
Responses to Comments on Protection of Visibility:
Amendments to Requirements for State Plans;
Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942 at 26987–88, May 4,
2016).
21 The CAA provides that, ‘‘[i]n determining
reasonable progress there shall be taken into
consideration’’ the four statutory factors. CAA
169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-factor
analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or
source categories, a State may also consider
additional emission reduction measures for
inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other
newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules
and measures for sources not selected for four-factor
analysis for the second planning period.
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existing source subject to such
requirements.’’ CAA 169A(g)(1). EPA
has explained that the four-factor
analysis is an assessment of potential
emission reduction measures (i.e.,
control options) for sources; ‘‘use of the
terms ‘compliance’ and ‘subject to such
requirements’ in section 169A(g)(1)
strongly indicates that Congress
intended the relevant determination to
be the requirements with which sources
would have to comply to satisfy the
CAA’s reasonable progress mandate.’’ 82
FR 3078 at 3091, January 10, 2017.
Thus, for each source it has selected for
four-factor analysis,22 a State must
consider a ‘‘meaningful set’’ of
technically feasible control options for
reducing emissions of visibility
impairing pollutants. Id. at 3088. The
2019 Guidance provides that ‘‘[a] state
must reasonably pick and justify the
measures that it will consider,
recognizing that there is no statutory or
regulatory requirement to consider all
technically feasible measures or any
particular measures. A range of
technically feasible measures available
to reduce emissions would be one way
to justify a reasonable set.’’ 2019
Guidance at 29.
EPA’s 2021 Clarifications Memo
provides further guidance on what
constitutes a reasonable set of control
options for consideration: ‘‘A reasonable
four-factor analysis will consider the
full range of potentially reasonable
options for reducing emissions.’’ 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7. In addition to
add-on controls and other retrofits (i.e.,
new emissions reduction measures for
sources), EPA explained that States
should generally analyze efficiency
improvements for sources’ existing
measures as control options in their
four-factor analyses, as in many cases
such improvements are reasonable given
that they typically involve only
additional operation and maintenance
costs. Additionally, the 2021
22 ‘‘Each source’’ or ‘‘particular source’’ is used
here as shorthand. While a source-specific analysis
is one way of applying the four factors, neither the
statute nor the RHR requires States to evaluate
individual sources. Rather, States have ‘‘the
flexibility to conduct four-factor analyses for
specific sources, groups of sources or even entire
source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each
state.’’ 82 FR 3078 at 3088, January 10, 2017.
However, not all approaches to grouping sources for
four-factor analysis are necessarily reasonable; the
reasonableness of grouping sources in any
particular instance will depend on the
circumstances and the manner in which grouping
is conducted. If it is feasible to establish and
enforce different requirements for sources or
subgroups of sources, and if relevant factors can be
quantified for those sources or subgroups, then
States should make a separate reasonable progress
determination for each source or subgroup. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7–8.
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71129
Clarifications Memo provides that States
that have assumed a higher emissions
rate than a source has achieved or could
potentially achieve using its existing
measures should also consider lower
emissions rates as potential control
options. That is, a State should consider
a source’s recent actual and projected
emission rates to determine if it could
reasonably attain lower emission rates
with its existing measures. If so, the
State should analyze the lower emission
rate as a control option for reducing
emissions. 2021 Clarifications Memo at
7. EPA’s recommendations to analyze
potential efficiency improvements and
achievable lower emission rates apply to
both sources that have been selected for
four-factor analysis and those that have
forgone a four-factor analysis on the
basis of existing ‘‘effective controls.’’
See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 5, 10.
After identifying a reasonable set of
potential control options for the sources
it has selected, a State then collects
information on the four factors with
regard to each option identified. EPA
has also explained that, in addition to
the four statutory factors, States have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to
reasonably consider visibility benefits as
an additional factor alongside the four
statutory factors.23 The 2019 Guidance
provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to
characterize the four factors (with or
without visibility), as well as ways in
which States might reasonably consider
and balance that information to
determine which of the potential control
options is necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2019 Guidance at 30–36.
The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains
further guidance on how States can
reasonably consider modeled visibility
impacts or benefits in the context of a
four-factor analysis. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 12–13, 14–15. Specifically,
EPA explained that while visibility can
reasonably be used when comparing
and choosing between multiple
reasonable control options, it should not
be used to summarily reject controls
that are reasonable given the four
statutory factors. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 13. Ultimately, while States
have discretion to reasonably weigh the
factors and to determine what level of
control is needed, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i)
provides that a State ‘‘must include in
its implementation plan a description of
. . . how the four factors were taken
into consideration in selecting the
23 See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection
of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for
State Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4,
2016), Docket Number EPA–HQ–OAR–2015–0531,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019
Guidance at 36–37.
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measure for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.’’
As explained above, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) requires States to
determine the emission reduction
measures for sources that are necessary
to make reasonable progress by
considering the four factors. Pursuant to
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2), measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
towards the national visibility goal must
be included in a State’s long-term
strategy and in its SIP.24 If the outcome
of a four-factor analysis is a new,
additional emission reduction measure
for a source, that new measure is
necessary to make reasonable progress
towards remedying existing
anthropogenic visibility impairment and
must be included in the SIP. If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is that
no new measures are reasonable for a
source, continued implementation of
the source’s existing measures is
generally necessary to prevent future
emission increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second
part of the national visibility goal:
preventing future anthropogenic
visibility impairment. See CAA
169A(a)(1). That is, when the result of
a four-factor analysis is that no new
measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress, the source’s
existing measures are generally
necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP.
However, there may be circumstances in
which a State can demonstrate that a
source’s existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress.
Specifically, if a State can demonstrate
that a source will continue to
implement its existing measures and
will not increase its emissions rate, it
may not be necessary to have those
measures in the long-term strategy to
prevent future emissions increases and
future visibility impairment. EPA’s 2021
Clarifications Memo provides further
explanation and guidance on how States
may demonstrate that a source’s existing
measures are not necessary to make
reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 8–10. If the State
can make such a demonstration, it need
24 States may choose to, but are not required to,
include measures in their long-term strategies
beyond just the emission reduction measures that
are necessary for reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 16. For example, States with
smoke management programs may choose to submit
their smoke management plans to EPA for inclusion
in their SIPs but are not required to do so. See, e.g.,
82 FR 3078 at 3108–09, January 10, 2017,
(requirement to consider smoke management
practices and smoke management programs under
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require States to
adopt such practices or programs into their SIPs,
although they may elect to do so).
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not include a source’s existing measures
in the long-term strategy or its SIP.
As with source selection, the
characterization of information on each
of the factors is also subject to the
documentation requirement in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress
analysis, including source selection,
information gathering, characterization
of the four statutory factors (and
potentially visibility), balancing of the
four factors, and selection of the
emission reduction measures that
represent reasonable progress, is a
technically complex exercise, but also a
flexible one that provides States with
bounded discretion to design and
implement approaches appropriate to
their circumstances. Given this
flexibility, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays
an important function in requiring a
State to document the technical basis for
its decision making so that the public
and EPA can comprehend and evaluate
the information and analysis the State
relied upon to determine what emission
reduction measures must be in place to
make reasonable progress. The technical
documentation must include the
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering,
and emissions information on which the
State relied to determine the measures
necessary to make reasonable progress.
This documentation requirement can be
met through the provision of and
reliance on technical analyses
developed through a regional planning
process, so long as that process and its
output has been approved by all State
participants. In addition to the explicit
regulatory requirement to document the
technical basis of their reasonable
progress determinations, States are also
subject to the general principle that
those determinations must be
reasonably moored to the statute.25 That
is, a State’s decisions about the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress must be
consistent with the statutory goal of
remedying existing and preventing
future visibility impairment.
The four statutory factors (and
potentially visibility) are used to
determine what emission reduction
measures for selected sources must be
included in a State’s long-term strategy
for making reasonable progress.
Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
25 See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815
F.3d 519, 531 (9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA,
812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir. 2016); North Dakota v.
EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013); Oklahoma
v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208–10 (10th Cir.
2013); cf. also Nat’l Parks Conservation Ass’n v.
EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep’t
of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S. 461, 485,
490 (2004).
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‘‘additional factors’’ 26 that States must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies: (1) Emission reductions due
to ongoing air pollution control
programs, including measures to
address reasonably attributable visibility
impairment; (2) measures to reduce the
impacts of construction activities; (3)
source retirement and replacement
schedules; (4) basic smoke management
practices for prescribed fire used for
agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke
management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to
projected changes in point, area, and
mobile source emissions over the period
addressed by the long-term strategy. The
2019 Guidance provides that a State
may satisfy this requirement by
considering these additional factors in
the process of selecting sources for fourfactor analysis, when performing that
analysis, or both, and that not every one
of the additional factors needs to be
considered at the same stage of the
process. See 2019 Guidance at 21. EPA
provided further guidance on the five
additional factors in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, explaining that a
State should generally not reject costeffective and otherwise reasonable
controls merely because there have been
emission reductions since the first
planning period owing to other ongoing
air pollution control programs or merely
because visibility is otherwise projected
to improve at Class I areas.
Additionally, States generally should
not rely on these additional factors to
summarily assert that the State has
already made sufficient progress and,
therefore, no sources need to be selected
or no new controls are needed
regardless of the outcome of four-factor
analyses. 2021 Clarifications Memo at
13.
Because the air pollution that causes
regional haze crosses State boundaries,
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a State
to consult with other States that also
have emissions that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each State that
impacts visibility in an area to share
whatever technical information,
analyses, and control determinations
may be necessary to develop
coordinated emission management
strategies. This coordination may be
managed through inter- and intra-RPO
consultation and the development of
26 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four
factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that States must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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regional emissions strategies; additional
consultations between States outside of
RPO processes may also occur. If a
State, pursuant to consultation, agrees
that certain measures (e.g., a certain
emission limitation) are necessary to
make reasonable progress at a Class I
area, it must include those measures in
its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
Additionally, the RHR requires that
States that contribute to visibility
impairment at the same Class I area
consider the emission reduction
measures the other contributing States
have identified as being necessary to
make reasonable progress for their own
sources. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B). If a
State has been asked to consider or
adopt certain emission reduction
measures, but ultimately determines
those measures are not necessary to
make reasonable progress, that State
must document in its SIP the actions
taken to resolve the disagreement. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C). EPA will
consider the technical information and
explanations presented by the
submitting State and the State with
which it disagrees when considering
whether to approve the State’s SIP. See
Id.; 2019 Guidance at 53. Under all
circumstances, a State must document
in its SIP submission all substantive
consultations with other contributing
States. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
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D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ‘‘measure
the progress that is projected to be
achieved by the control measures States
have determined are necessary to make
reasonable progress based on a fourfactor analysis.’’ 82 FR 3078 at 3091,
January 10, 2017. Their primary purpose
is to assist the public and EPA in
assessing the reasonableness of States’
long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(iii)and(iv). States in which
Class I areas are located must establish
two RPGs, both in dv—one representing
visibility conditions on the clearest days
and one representing visibility on the
most anthropogenically impaired days—
for each area within their borders. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i). The two RPGs are
intended to reflect the projected
impacts, on the two sets of days, of the
emission reduction measures the State
with the Class I area, as well as all other
contributing States, have included in
their long-term strategies for the second
implementation period.27 The RPGs also
27 RPGs are intended to reflect the projected
impacts of the measures all contributing States
include in their long-term strategies. However, due
to the timing of analyses, control determinations by
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account for the projected impacts of
implementing other CAA requirements,
including non-SIP based requirements.
Because RPGs are the modeled result of
the measures in States’ long-term
strategies (as well as other measures
required under the CAA), they cannot
be determined before States have
conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that
are necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo
at 6.
For the second implementation
period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not
enforceable targets, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(iii); rather, they ‘‘provide a
way for the states to check the projected
outcome of the [long-term strategy]
against the goals for visibility
improvement.’’ 2019 Guidance at 46.
While States are not legally obligated to
achieve the visibility conditions
described in their RPGs, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that ‘‘[t]he longterm strategy and the reasonable
progress goals must provide for an
improvement in visibility for the most
impaired days since the baseline period
and ensure no degradation in visibility
for the clearest days since the baseline
period.’’ Thus, States are required to
have emission reduction measures in
their long-term strategies that are
projected to achieve visibility
conditions on the most impaired days
that are better than the baseline period
and shows no degradation on the
clearest days compared to the clearest
days from the baseline period. The
baseline period for the purpose of this
comparison is the baseline visibility
condition—the annual average visibility
condition for the period 2000–2004. See
40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3078 at
3097–98, January 10, 2017.
So that RPGs may also serve as a
metric for assessing the amount of
progress a State is making towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
requires States with Class I areas to
compare the 2028 RPG for the most
impaired days to the corresponding
point on the URP line (representing
visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility
were to improve at a linear rate from
conditions in the baseline period of
2000–2004 to natural visibility
conditions in 2064). If the most
other States, and other on-going emissions changes,
a particular State’s RPGs may not reflect all control
measures and emissions reductions that are
expected to occur by the end of the implementation
period. The 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for addressing the timing of RPG
calculations when States are developing their longterm strategies on disparate schedules, as well as for
adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling approach.
2019 Guidance at 47–48.
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impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the
URP (i.e., if visibility conditions are
improving more slowly than the rate
described by the URP), each State that
contributes to visibility impairment in
the Class I area must demonstrate, based
on the four-factor analysis required
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no
additional emission reduction measures
would be reasonable to include in its
long-term strategy. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii). To this end, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires that each State
contributing to visibility impairment in
a Class I area that is projected to
improve more slowly than the URP
provide ‘‘a robust demonstration,
including documenting the criteria used
to determine which sources or groups
[of] sources were evaluated and how the
four factors required by paragraph
(f)(2)(i) were taken into consideration in
selecting the measures for inclusion in
its long-term strategy.’’ The 2019
Guidance provides suggestions about
how such a ‘‘robust demonstration’’
might be conducted. See 2019 Guidance
at 50–51.
The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and
2021 Clarifications Memo also explain
that projecting an RPG that is on or
below the URP based on only on-thebooks and/or on-the-way control
measures (i.e., control measures already
required or anticipated before the fourfactor analysis is conducted) is not a
‘‘safe harbor’’ from the CAA’s and RHR’s
requirement that all States must conduct
a four-factor analysis to determine what
emission reduction measures constitute
reasonable progress. The URP is a
planning metric used to gauge the
amount of progress made thus far and
the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP
is not based on consideration of the four
statutory factors and therefore cannot
answer the question of whether the
amount of progress being made in any
particular implementation period is
‘‘reasonable progress.’’ See 82 FR at
3093, 3099–3100; 2019 Guidance at 22;
2021 Clarifications Memo at 15–16.
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)
require States to have certain strategies
and elements in place for assessing and
reporting on visibility. Individual
requirements under this section apply
either to States with Class I areas within
their borders, States with no Class I
areas but that are reasonably anticipated
to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in any Class I area, or both.
A State with Class I areas within its
borders must submit with its SIP
revision a monitoring strategy for
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measuring, characterizing, and reporting
regional haze visibility impairment that
is representative of all Class I areas
within the State. SIP revisions for such
States must also provide for the
establishment of any additional
monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess visibility conditions in Class I
areas, as well as reporting of all
visibility monitoring data to EPA at least
annually. Compliance with the
monitoring strategy requirement may be
met through a State’s participation in
the Interagency Monitoring of Protected
Visual Environments (IMPROVE)
monitoring network, which is used to
measure visibility impairment caused
by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i), (f)(6)(iv). The
IMPROVE monitoring data is used to
determine the 20 percent most
anthropogenically impaired and 20
percent clearest sets of days every year
at each Class I area and tracks visibility
impairment over time.
All States’ SIPs must provide for
procedures by which monitoring data
and other information are used to
determine the contribution of emissions
from within the State to regional haze
visibility impairment in affected Class I
areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii). The
provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v)
further require that all States’ SIPs
provide for a statewide inventory of
emissions of pollutants that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in
any Class I area; the inventory must
include emissions for the most recent
year for which data are available and
estimates of future projected emissions.
States must also include commitments
to update their inventories periodically.
The inventories themselves do not need
to be included as elements in the SIP
and are not subject to EPA review as
part of the Agency’s evaluation of a SIP
revision.28 All States’ SIPs must also
provide for any other elements,
including reporting, recordkeeping, and
other measures, that are necessary for
States to assess and report on visibility.
40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). Per the 2019
Guidance, a State may note in its
regional haze SIP that its compliance
with the Air Emissions Reporting Rule
(AERR) in 40 CFR part 51, subpart A
satisfies the requirement to provide for
an emissions inventory for the most
recent year for which data are available.
To satisfy the requirement to provide
estimates of future projected emissions,
a State may explain in its SIP how
projected emissions were developed for
28 See ‘‘Step 8: Additional requirements for
regional haze SIPs’’ in 2019 Guidance at 55.
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use in establishing RPGs for its own and
nearby Class I areas.29
Separate from the requirements
related to monitoring for regional haze
purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the
RHR also contains a requirement at 40
CFR 51.308(f)(4) related to any
additional monitoring that may be
needed to address visibility impairment
in Class I areas from a single source or
a small group of sources. This is called
‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment.’’ 30 Under this provision, if
EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I
area has advised a State that additional
monitoring is needed to assess
reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, the State must include in
its SIP revision for the second
implementation period an appropriate
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5)
require a State’s regional haze SIP
revision to address the requirements of
paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through
(5) so that the plan revision due in 2021
will serve also as a progress report
addressing the period since submission
of the progress report for the first
implementation period. The regional
haze progress report requirement is
designed to inform the public and EPA
about a State’s implementation of its
existing long-term strategy and whether
such implementation is in fact resulting
in the expected visibility improvement.
See 81 FR 26942, 26950, May 4, 2016,
(82 FR 3078 at 3119, January 10, 2017).
To this end, every State’s SIP revision
for the second implementation period is
required to describe the status of
implementation of all measures
included in the State’s long-term
strategy, including BART and
reasonable progress emission reduction
measures from the first implementation
period, and the resulting emissions
reductions. 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
A core component of the progress
report requirements is an assessment of
changes in visibility conditions on the
clearest and most impaired days. For
second implementation period progress
reports, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3) requires
States with Class I areas within their
borders to first determine current
visibility conditions for each area on the
most impaired and clearest days, 40
CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i), and then to
29 Id.
30 EPA’s visibility protection regulations define
‘‘reasonably attributable visibility impairment’’ as
‘‘visibility impairment that is caused by the
emission of air pollutants from one, or a small
number of sources.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
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calculate the difference between those
current conditions and baseline (2000–
2004) visibility conditions to assess
progress made to date. See 40 CFR
51.308(g)(3)(ii). States must also assess
the changes in visibility impairment for
the most impaired and clearest days
since they submitted their first
implementation period progress reports.
See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii), (f)(5). Since
different States submitted their first
implementation period progress reports
at different times, the starting point for
this assessment will vary State by State.
Similarly, States must provide
analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to
visibility impairment from all sources
and activities within the State over the
period since they submitted their first
implementation period progress reports.
See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5). Changes
in emissions should be identified by the
type of source or activity. The
provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5) also
address changes in emissions since the
period addressed by the previous
progress report and requires States’ SIP
revisions to include an assessment of
any significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the State. This assessment must
explain whether these changes in
emissions were anticipated and whether
they have limited or impeded progress
in reducing emissions and improving
visibility relative to what the State
projected based on its long-term strategy
for the first implementation period.
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that
before a State holds a public hearing on
a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it
must consult with the appropriate FLM
or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation,
the State must include a summary of the
FLMs’ conclusions and
recommendations in the notice to the
public. Consistent with this statutory
requirement, the RHR also requires that
States ‘‘provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person
and at a point early enough in the
State’s policy analyses of its long-term
strategy emission reduction obligation
so that information and
recommendations provided by the
[FLM] can meaningfully inform the
State’s decisions on the long-term
strategy.’’ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
Consultation that occurs 120 days prior
to any public hearing or public
comment opportunity will be deemed
‘‘early enough,’’ but the RHR provides
that in any event the opportunity for
consultation must be provided at least
60 days before a public hearing or
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comment opportunity. This consultation
must include the opportunity for the
FLMs to discuss their assessment of
visibility impairment in any Class I area
and their recommendations on the
development and implementation of
strategies to address such impairment.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). For EPA to evaluate
whether FLM consultation meeting the
requirements of the RHR has occurred,
the SIP submission should include
documentation of the timing and
content of such consultation. The SIP
revision submitted to EPA must also
describe how the State addressed any
comments provided by the FLMs. 40
CFR 51.308(i)(3). Finally, a SIP revision
must provide procedures for continuing
consultation between the State and
FLMs regarding the State’s visibility
protection program, including
development and review of SIP
revisions, five-year progress reports, and
the implementation of other programs
having the potential to contribute to
impairment of visibility in Class I areas.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
IV. EPA’s Evaluation of Ohio’s Regional
Haze Submission for the Second
Implementation Period
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A. Background on Ohio’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
Ohio submitted its regional haze SIP
for the first implementation period for
2007–2018 to EPA on December 31,
2008. Based on the failure to submit a
complete SIP addressing all elements of
40 CFR 51.308, EPA issued a finding of
failure to submit on January 9, 2009. 74
FR 2392, January 15, 2009.
On March 11, 2011, Ohio submitted
an updated first implementation period
regional haze SIP, and EPA finalized a
limited approval on May 29, 2012. 77
FR 39177, July 2, 2012.
In a separate action, EPA finalized a
limited disapproval of Ohio’s March 11,
2011, regional haze SIP because of
deficiencies arising from the remand of
the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR).
EPA promulgated a Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) to replace
Ohio’s reliance on CAIR with the CrossState Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR). 77 FR
33642, June 7, 2012.
On April 14, 2014, Ohio submitted a
revision to its March 11, 2011, regional
haze SIP and supplemented it on July
27, 2015, to extend the compliance date
for the non-EGU BART emission limits
for SO2, which EPA approved on
February 22, 2016. 81 FR 11445, March
4, 2016.
On November 30, 2016, Ohio EPA
submitted a second revision to change
reliance on CAIR to reliance on the
CSAPR, which EPA approved on April
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30, 2018, converting EPA’s limited
approval/limited disapproval of Ohio’s
March 11, 2011, regional haze SIP to a
full approval, and withdrawing the FIP
provisions that addressed the limited
disapproval. See 83 FR 21719, May 10,
2018. The requirements for regional
haze SIPs for the first implementation
period are contained in 40 CFR
51.308(d) and (e). 40 CFR 51.308(b).
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(g), Ohio
was also responsible for submitting a
five-year progress report as a SIP
revision for the first implementation
period, which it did on March 11, 2016.
EPA approved this five-year progress
report as a revision to the Ohio SIP at
40 CFR 52.1870(e) on December 8, 2017
(82 FR 60543, December 21, 2017).
B. Ohio’s Second Implementation
Period SIP Submission and EPA’s
Evaluation
In accordance with CAA sections
169A and the RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f),
Ohio EPA submitted a revision to the
Ohio SIP on July 30, 2021, to address its
regional haze obligations for the second
implementation period, which runs
through 2028. Ohio EPA supplemented
its SIP submittal on August 6, 2024.
Ohio initiated an FLM consultation
process and provided three public
comment periods on the regional haze
SIP for the second implementation
period. The first public comment period
on the initial SIP revision ran from May
10, 2021 through June 28, 2021, and a
public hearing was held on June 14,
2021. The second public comment
period, limited to proposed emission
limitations for three sources, ran from
January 16, 2024 through March 18,
2024, and a public hearing was held on
March 18, 2024. The third public
comment period, regarding draft
administrative orders effectuating the
proposed emission limitations for the
three sources, ran from June 6, 2024
through July 8, 2024, and a public
hearing was held on July 9, 2024. Ohio
received and responded to comments
from FLMs and the public. Ohio
included the comments and responses
in Appendices K1–K4, L1–L4, M1–M3,
N1–N2, O, and P9–P12 of its July 30,
2021, submission and in Appendices
C3, C4, C7, C8, E2, E3, F2, F3, F4, F5,
and G of its August 6, 2024,
supplement.
The following sections describe
Ohio’s SIP submission, including Ohio’s
assessment of progress made since the
first implementation period in reducing
emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants, and the visibility
improvement progress at nearby Class I
areas. Also described is Ohio’s August
6, 2024 supplement, which provides
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administrative orders effectuating
emission limitations for three sources to
be incorporated into the regulatory
portion of Ohio’s SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870(d). This action also contains
EPA’s evaluation of Ohio’s submission
against the requirements of the CAA and
the RHR for the second implementation
period of the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
The provisions of section 169A(b)(2)
of the CAA require each State in which
any Class I area is located or ‘‘the
emissions from which may reasonably
be anticipated to cause or contribute to
any impairment of visibility’’ in a Class
I area to have a plan for making
reasonable progress toward the national
visibility goal. The RHR implements
this statutory requirement at 40 CFR
51.308(f), which provides that each
State’s plan ‘‘must address regional haze
in each mandatory Class I Federal area
located within the State and in each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
outside the State that may be affected by
emissions from within the State,’’ and
(f)(2), which requires each State’s plan
to include a long-term strategy that
addresses regional haze in such Class I
areas.
Ohio has no Class I areas within its
borders that are among the 156
mandatory Class I Federal areas where
EPA deemed visibility to be an
important value. See 40 CFR part 81,
subpart D. Thus, Ohio EPA only
considered out-of-state mandatory Class
I Federal areas covered under the RHR.
Ohio is a member of LADCO and
participated in its regional approach for
developing a strategy for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility in the northern
Midwest Class I areas. Ohio EPA
reviewed technical analyses conducted
by LADCO to determine what Class I
areas outside the State are affected by
Ohio emission sources. For the second
regional haze implementation period,
LADCO used the Comprehensive Air
Quality Model with extensions
Particulate Matter Source
Apportionment Tool (PSAT). LADCO
tagged States and regions as well as
individual point sources and inventory
source groups to apportion emissions to
States and regions. LADCO assessed
relative visibility impacts in 2028 by
projecting representative emissions
inventories and known emission
controls from 2016.31 A group of RPOs,
31 See appendix A of Ohio EPA’s SIP submittal.
Details of the analysis and source-apportioned
visibility contributions at Class I areas within the
LADCO region for regional haze second planning
period are documented in LADCO’s modeling
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States, and EPA established 2016 as the
base year for a national air quality
modeling platform for future ozone,
PM2.5, and regional haze SIP
development because of fairly typical
ozone conditions and wildfire
conditions.32 LADCO relied upon EPA’s
inventory estimates for 2016 and 2028
for most emission sectors as described
in EPA’s September 19, 2019,
‘‘Availability of Modeling Data and
Associated Technical Support
Document for the EPA’s Updated 2028
Visibility Air Quality Modeling,’’ (EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality
Modeling).33 For Electric Generating
Units (EGUs), LADCO used forecasts
from the Eastern Regional Technical
Advisory Committee (ERTAC) based on
continuous emissions monitoring data
from 2016 instead of the Integrated
Planning Model used in EPA’s 2016
modeling platform. LADCO also
incorporated State-reported changes to
EGUs received through September 2020
to estimate 2028 EGU emissions.
Ohio identified affected Class I areas
where progress toward natural visibility
conditions may be impacted by
emissions from sources in Ohio. Ohio
reviewed technical analyses conducted
by LADCO and other RPOs to determine
which Class I areas outside the State are
affected by Ohio emission sources.
For the second implementation
period, Ohio used LADCO’s modeled
emissions projections for 2028 as a
framework to assess the potential for
changes in visibility-impairing
emissions. Like the metrics used in the
first implementation period,34 Ohio
EPA retained the 2 percent light
extinction threshold for determining
Ohio’s contribution to visibility at Class
I areas. LADCO’s modeling results
showed that a 2 percent light extinction
threshold, when applied to all six
LADCO States and seven other States,
would account for 92 percent or more of
the total light extinction at the Class I
areas located in the LADCO States on
the most impaired days. When applying
the 2 percent total light extinction
threshold, Ohio identified 17 Class I
technical support document (TSD), dated June 17,
2021.
32 See ‘‘Base Year Selection Workgroup Final
Report,’’ produced by the Inventory Collaborative
Base Year Selection Workgroup, April 5, 2017.
https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/2017-12-12_Base_
Year_Selection_Report_V1.1.pdf.
33 EPA, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, ‘‘Availability of Modeling Data and
Associate Technical Support Document for EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality Modeling,’’
September 19, 2019. https://www.epa.gov/sites/
default/files/2019-10/documents/updated_2028_
regional_haze_modeling-tsd-2019_0.pdf
34 See Section III.2. and Appendix A of Ohio’s SIP
submission for LADCO’s technical support
document and supporting materials.
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areas affected by Ohio emission sources
for the second implementation period.
These Class I areas, along with Ohio’s
2028 projected contributions to
visibility impairment, are: Sipsey
Wilderness Area in Alabama (2.3
percent); Cohutta Wilderness Area in
Georgia (2.1 percent); Mammoth Cave
National Park in Kentucky (5.9 percent);
Seney Wilderness Area in Michigan (2.0
percent); Great Gulf Wilderness Area
(2.5 percent) and Presidential Range—
Dry River Wilderness in New
Hampshire (2.5 percent); Brigantine
Wilderness Area in New Jersey (4.3
percent); Linville Gorge (3.8 percent)
and Shining Rock Wilderness Areas (2.8
percent) and Swanquarter National
Wildlife Refuge in North Carolina (3.6
percent); Great Smoky Mountains
National Park (2.3 percent) and JoyceKilmer-Slickrock Wilderness Area in
Tennessee (2.3 percent); Lye Brook
Wilderness Area in Vermont (3.3
percent); James River Face Wilderness
Area (6.5 percent) and Shenandoah
National Park in Virginia (10.5 percent);
and Dolly Sods (13.1 percent) and Otter
Creek Wilderness Areas (13.1 percent)
in West Virginia.35 Based on the
adjusted URP glidepaths for each of
these Class I areas provided in EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality
Modeling, visibility conditions, as
depicted in Table 1 of Ohio’s SIP
submission, are projected to be below
their respective glidepaths in 2028.
Visibility conditions at Dolly Sods and
Otter Creek Wilderness Areas, the Class
I areas impacted most significantly by
Ohio, are projected to be approximately
5 dv below their respective glidepaths
in 2028.
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)
require States to determine the
following for ‘‘each mandatory Class I
Federal area located within the State’’:
baseline visibility conditions for the
most impaired and clearest days, natural
visibility conditions for the most
impaired and clearest days, progress to
date for the most impaired and clearest
days, the differences between current
visibility conditions and natural
visibility conditions, and the URP. This
section also provides the option for
States to propose adjustments to the
URP line for a Class I area to account for
visibility impacts from anthropogenic
35 The list of Class I areas impacted by Ohio,
including the 2028 projections for visibility on the
20 percent most impaired days and Ohio’s
contribution, is found in Table 1 of Ohio’s SIP
submission.
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sources outside the United States and/
or the impacts from wildland prescribed
fires that were conducted for certain,
specified objectives. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
Ohio has no mandatory Class I areas
within its borders to which the
requirements of the visibility protection
program apply in 40 CFR part 81,
subpart D, and therefore, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1) and its requirements do not
apply.
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
Each State having a Class I area
within its borders or emissions that may
affect visibility in a Class I area must
develop a long-term strategy for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. CAA
169A(b)(2)(B). As explained in the
Background section of this notice,
reasonable progress is achieved when
all States contributing to visibility
impairment in a Class I area are
implementing the measures determined
through application of the four statutory
factors to sources of visibility impairing
pollutants to be necessary to make
reasonable progress. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i). Each State’s long-term
strategy must include the enforceable
emission limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress.
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). All new (i.e.,
additional) measures that are the
outcome of four-factor analyses are
necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be in the long-term strategy.
If the outcome of a four-factor analysis
and other measures necessary to make
reasonable progress is that no new
measures are reasonable for a source,
that source’s existing measures are
necessary to make reasonable progress,
unless the State can demonstrate that
the source will continue to implement
those measures and will not increase its
emission rate. Existing measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
must also be in the long-term strategy.
In developing its long-term strategies, a
State must also consider the five
additional factors in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its reasonable
progress determinations, the State must
describe the criteria used to determine
which sources or group of sources were
evaluated (i.e., subjected to four-factor
analysis) for the second implementation
period and how the four factors were
taken into consideration in selecting the
emission reduction measures for
inclusion in the long-term strategy. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
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1. Selection of Sources for Analysis
This section summarizes how Ohio
EPA’s SIP submission addressed the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) of
the Regional Haze Rule. Specifically, it
describes the criteria Ohio EPA used to
determine the selection of sources or
groups of sources it evaluated for an
analysis of potential emission control
measures. States may rely on technical
information developed by the RPOs of
which they are members to select
sources for four-factor analysis and to
conduct that analysis, as well as to
satisfy the documentation requirements
under 40 CFR 51.308(f).
In selecting sources to determine
possible additional control measures
during the second planning period,
Ohio EPA considered NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
and NH3, which are direct or precursor
pollutants than can impair visibility.
Based on EPA’s Updated 2028 Visibility
Air Quality Modeling showing that the
EGU and non-EGU point source sectors
contribute 37 to 76 percent of the
visibility impact at Class I areas
impacted by Ohio sources, Ohio found
it reasonable to focus on point sources
for the second implementation period.
To assist States with their source
selection, LADCO generated source lists
based on total process-level emissions
(Q) divided by distance (d) to the
nearest Class I area, where Q/d was used
as a surrogate quantitative metric of
visibility impact. Total emissions of Q
refer to the sum of NOX, SO2, PM2.5, and
NH3. The National Emissions Inventory
Collaborative 2016 alpha inventory was
selected by participants in the LADCO
Regional Haze Technical Workgroup for
the Q/d analysis in 2018 as the best
available inventory at that time. LADCO
identified unit level sources above Q/d
thresholds of 1, 4, and 10, providing key
information the States could use to
select potential sources to be subject to
the four-factor analysis. For details on
the data and methods used in the Q/d
analysis, see LADCO’s October 14, 2020,
technical memorandum ‘‘Description of
the Sources and Methods Used to
Support Q/d Analysis for the 2nd
Regional Haze Planning Period’’ and
section 5 of LADCO’s June 17, 2021,
Technical Support Document
‘‘Modeling and Analysis for
Demonstrating Reasonable Progress for
the Regional Haze Rule 2018–2028
Planning Period,’’ (LADCO’s 2021 TSD)
contained in appendix A and B of
Ohio’s SIP submission.
In addition to LADCO’s Q/d analysis,
Ohio EPA compared point source
inventories from the 2017 National
Emissions Inventory (NEI) and the 2018
Ohio Emissions Inventory System
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(EIS) 36 with the emissions used in
LADCO’s analysis. For sources where Q
was greater than 500 tons per year for
the sum of NOX, SO2, PM2.5, and NH3 in
either the emissions data from the 2016
alpha inventory, 2017 NEI, or 2018 Ohio
EIS, Ohio calculated updated Q/d
values to determine if any additional
sources would be identified beyond
those in LADCO’s list. However, the
process did not result in the
identification of any additional sources.
As such, Ohio EPA relied upon the Q/
d information developed by LADCO to
select emission units for further
analysis.
Ohio EPA began by using a unit Q/d
greater than 5 as a threshold for
selecting sources for further evaluation.
Then on May 12, 2020, and October 2,
2020, Ohio received lists of sources
recommended for four-factor analyses
that were prepared by NPS and USFS,
respectively, and are included in
Appendices K2, K3, and K4 in Ohio’s
SIP submission. The list from NPS
identified facilities with emissions
comprising 80 percent of Ohio’s total Q
based on only SO2 and NOX that
covered a mix of years from 2014 to
2017, whereas the list from USFS
identified facilities with a Q/d greater
than 8 as calculated by LADCO with the
addition of VOC to represent 80 percent
of Ohio’s total Q at the closest Class I
area to Ohio managed by USFS, the
Dolly Sods Wilderness Area. While
Ohio EPA’s primary approach was to
consider Q/d on an individual unit
basis, the FLM’s consideration of Q/d on
a facility-wide basis prompted Ohio to
include facility-wide contribution as an
additional consideration. As such, Ohio
EPA added a secondary selection
criterion for facility-wide Q/d and
developed a two-tiered approach to
capture significant point source
emissions in Ohio for further analysis.
Ohio EPA’s first tier identified
individual units with a Q/d greater than
5 for a potential four-factor analysis. For
facilities with Q/d greater than 10, Ohio
EPA’s second tier selected individual
units with Q/d greater than 4 for a
potential four-factor analysis. This
secondary selection criteria resulted in
the addition of two units to Ohio EPA’s
initial list for a total of 38 units at 16
facilities, accounting for 73 percent of
the total Q for all sources in Ohio with
Q greater than 0.1 tons per year,
including 80 percent of SO2, 57 percent
36 Ohio EPA’s Emission Inventory System (EIS) is
a compilation of data describing emissions from
different sources of air pollution. Ohio EPA’s EIS
data and reports are available at https://
epa.ohio.gov/divisions-and-offices/air-pollutioncontrol/reports-and-data/emision-inventory-system.
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of NOX, 47 percent of PM2.5, and 23
percent of NH3.
Using this two-tiered approach, Ohio
EPA identified the following facilities
and units: Avon Lake Power Plant Unit
B012; Cardinal Power Plant Units B001,
B002, B009; Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—
Maple Grove Operations Units P003,
P004; Conesville Power Plant Units
B004, B007, B008; City of Orrville
Department of Public Utilities Units
B001, B004; Dover Municipal Light &
Power Plant Unit B004; DP&L, J.M.
Stuart Generating Station Units B001,
B002, B003, B004; DP&L, Killen
Generating Station Unit B001;
FirstEnergy Generation LLC—Bay Shore
Plant Unit B006; General James M.
Gavin Power Plant Units B003, B004;
Haverhill Coke Company LLC Unit
P902; Miami Fort Power Station Units
B015, B016; Ohio Valley Electric
Corp.—Kyger Creek Station Units B001,
B002, B003, B004, B005; P.H. Glatfelter
Company—Chillicothe Facility Units
B002, B003; W.H. Sammis Plant Units
B007, B008, B009, B010, B011, B012,
B013; and Zimmer Power Station Unit
B006.
Ohio then refined the list above by
considering whether units had
permanently shut down, accepted a
commitment to permanently shut down
by 2028, converted to natural gas only,
converted to limited use, accepted new
emission limits, or had existing effective
controls such that, in all these cases, a
full four-factor analysis would likely
result in a conclusion that no further
controls are necessary. For units
accepting a commitment to permanently
shut down by 2028 or to comply with
new emission limits by 2025, Ohio
issued Director’s Final Findings and
Orders (DFFO) and requested they be
incorporated into its SIP to ensure that
the measures become permanent and
federally enforceable. For units that had
already permanently shut down or had
converted to natural gas or limited use,
Ohio ensured measures were permanent
and federally enforceable through
Ohio’s permitting process under its SIP
approved Permit to Install (PTI) program
and its title V program. Ohio has PTI
rules under Ohio Administrative Code
(OAC) Chapter 3745–31 that have been
approved into Ohio’s SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870 as well as a federally approved
title V operating permit program set
forth at 40 CFR part 70. When an owner
or operator certifies a permanent
shutdown and notifies Ohio EPA, the
unit cannot resume operation without
being considered a new source subject
to the Federal New Source Review
(NSR) requirements. Ohio’s rules at
OAC 3745–31 prevent installation or
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modification and subsequent operation
of a new source without a new permit.
Of the emission units that had already
permanently shut down during the
second implementation period, 12 met
Ohio’s two-tier Q/d source selection
criteria. For Conesville Power Plant,
coal-fired boiler B007 permanently shut
down on May 31, 2019, and coal-fired
boilers B004 and B008 permanently
shut down on May 31, 2020. DP&L—
J.M. Stuart Generating Station
permanently shut down its coal-fired
boiler B001 on September 30, 2017, and
boilers B002, B003, and B004 on June 1,
2018. DP&L—Killen Generating Station
also shut down its coal-fired boiler B001
on June 1, 2018. W.H. Sammis Plant
permanently shut down its coal-fired
boilers B007, B008, B009, and B010 on
May 31, 2020.37
Of the units that met Ohio’s Q/d
source selection criteria but had not yet
permanently shut down by Ohio’s SIP
submittal date in 2021, 3 units accepted
enforceable commitments to
permanently shut down by 2028: Miami
Fort Power Station’s coal-fired boilers
B015 and B016 and Zimmer Power
Station’s coal-fired boiler B006. On
September 29, 2020, the owner of Miami
Fort and Zimmer Power Stations
announced plans to permanently shut
down these units. In lieu of a four-factor
analysis, Ohio determined that these
permanent shutdowns were necessary
for reasonable progress. As such, on July
9, 2021, Ohio EPA issued DFFOs which
established enforceable commitments
for the shutdown of these three units by
January 1, 2028, and requested that the
DFFOs be approved into Ohio’s SIP at
40 CFR 52.1870(d) for EPA approved
State source-specific requirements.38
Units that met Ohio’s Q/d source
selection criteria but have since
converted from coal to natural gas or
limited use include the non-EGUs at
P.H. Glatfelter Company—Chillicothe
Facility Units B002 and B003 as well as
the EGUs at the City of Orrville
Department of Public Utilities Units
B001 and B004. P.H. Glatfelter
37 Each of these units have been certified by the
source owner or operator as retired under the
provisions for Retired Unit Exemptions in the Acid
Rain Program and/or CSAPR NOX and SO2 Trading
Programs. The Retired Unit Exemption prohibits
these units from emitting SO2, NOX, or both starting
on the day the exemption takes effect. See 40 CFR
72.8, 40 CFR 97.405, 40 CFR 97.505, 40 CFR 97.605,
CFR 97.705, 40 CFR 97.805. Copies of the Retired
Unit Exemption forms for each of these units are
included in the docket. Also included in the docket
is a copy of the list of retired generators from the
Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection
(PJM) Regional Transmission Organization (RTO),
which includes each of these units as well.
38 Appendix C of Ohio’s July 30, 2021, SIP
revision contains the DFFOs issued for the Miami
Fort and Zimmer Power Stations.
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Company, now Pixelle Specialty
Solutions LLC, converted units B002
and B003 to natural gas on May 31,
2016, and September 6, 2016,
respectively. The conversions were part
of a strategy to address BART
requirements under the first
implementation planning period as well
as Boiler Maximum Achievable Control
Technology (Boiler MACT) under
permit PTI P0118906. Following the
conversions, SO2 emissions from P.H.
Glatfelter Company units B002 and
B003 decreased from 2,873 tons per year
(tpy) and 5,708 tpy in 2016 to 1 tpy and
1 tpy in 2018, respectively, and NOX
emissions decreased from 412 tpy and
691 tpy in 2016 to 134 tpy and 195 tpy
in 2018, respectively. Similarly, the City
of Orrville Department of Public
Utilities converted B004 to natural gas
on December 20, 2016, and converted
B001 to a limited use boiler beginning
January 31, 2017, to comply with
requirements of Boiler MACT and the
Data Requirements Rule (DRR) for the
SO2 NAAQS designation process under
permit PTI P0124959 and title V Permit
No. P0125633. Following the
conversions, SO2 emissions from B001
and B004 decreased from 3,846 tpy and
3,030 tpy in 2016 to 275 tpy and 0 tpy
in 2018, respectively, and NOX
emissions decreased from 647 tpy and
510 tpy in 2016 to 57 tpy and 20 tpy in
2018, respectively. For both facilities,
reversing the conversion back to coal or
fulltime use would require approval for
a modification of its federally
enforceable permit.
Beyond the 15 units shutting down
and 4 units converting to natural gas or
limited use as described above, Ohio
EPA also evaluated 13 units at 5
facilities for existing effective controls.
As explained in EPA’s July 8, 2021,
Clarifications Memo (section 4.1), a
‘‘source’s existing measures are
generally needed to prevent future
visibility impairment (i.e., to prevent
future emission increases) and thus
necessary to make reasonable progress.’’
Measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress must be included in
the SIP. However, if a State can
demonstrate that a source will continue
to implement its existing measures and
will not increase its emission rate, it
may not be necessary to require those
measures under the regional haze
program in its long-term strategy or SIP
in order to prevent future emission
increases.
The units that Ohio identified with
existing effective controls are
FirstEnergy Generation LLC—Bay Shore
Plant Unit B006; Haverhill Coke
Company LLC Unit P902; and W.H.
Sammis Plant Units B011, B012, B013.
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Ohio provided a weight-of-evidence
demonstration as each unit has
consistently implemented their existing
measures and have achieved, using
those measures, a reasonably consistent
emission rate. With historical data from
2016 through 2019 showing reasonably
consistent emission rates and 2028
projections from LADCO showing rates
consistent with 2016, Ohio
demonstrated that NOX and SO2
emission rates for these units are not
expected to increase in the future. As
such, except where expressly noted
below for Cardinal Power Plant, Ohio
Valley Electric Corp.—Kyger Creek
Station, and General James M. Gavin
Power Plant, Ohio determined the
existing measures are not necessary to
make reasonable progress or prevent
future emission increases and, thus, do
not need to be included in the
regulatory portion of the SIP.
FirstEnergy Generation LLC—Bay
Shore Plant Unit B006 is a fluidized bed
boiler with limestone injection and a
baghouse. The operational nature of this
process, whereby calcium sulfate is
formed in the boiler and is captured in
the baghouse, results in approximately
94 percent removal of SO2 and a SO2
emission rate of 0.34 pounds per million
British thermal units (lbs/MMBtu) or
less. Unit B006 operates with low
combustion temperatures along with
very low nitrogen content petroleum
coke fuel, which have resulted in NOX
emission rates of 0.08 lbs/MMBtu and
less from 2016 to 2019. The facility’s
title V permit contains both SO2 and
NOX emission limits as well as a
requirement for 90 percent SO2
reduction. Given the reasonably
consistent emission rates, the permitted
emission limitations, and the
operational nature of the process in
which SO2 is inherently controlled and
NOX has a low formation potential,
Ohio determined that B006 is effectively
controlled and that a full four-factor
analysis would likely result in the
conclusion that no further controls are
necessary for reasonable progress.
Haverhill Coke Company LLC Unit
P902 is a coke battery with SO2 controls
installed in 2007 with design control
efficiency of 92 percent. Under the
terms of a Federal consent decree
entered in 2014 and amended in 2018,39
portions of which were incorporated
into the facility’s title V permit, Heat
Recovery Steam Generators were
39 United States of America, the State of Illinois
and the State of Ohio v. Gateway Energy & Coke
Company, LLC, Haverhill Coke Company, LLC and
Suncoke Energy, Inc. (S.D. Illinois Case No. 3:13–
cv–00616–DH–SCW), entered on November 10,
2014, as amended on June 5, 2015, and July 10,
2018.
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installed on P902. This resulted in
further SO2 emission reductions from
1,183 tpy in 2016 to 777 tpy in 2019.
With SO2 controls demonstrating greater
than 90 percent effectiveness, title V
permit limits, and consent decree
requirements resulting in decreasing
emissions, Ohio EPA determined that
P902 is effectively controlled.
While W.H. Sammis Plant
permanently shut down coal-fired Units
B007, B008, B009, and B010 in 2020 as
noted above, there are three remaining
coal-fired Units B011, B012, B013
operating with an SO2 emission limit of
0.130 lbs/MMBtu under the terms of a
Federal consent decree,40 which was
incorporated into the facility’s title V
permit. For NOX control, a selective
non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) system
was installed on B011 in 2006, and
selective catalytic reduction (SCR)
systems with at least 90 percent control
efficiency were installed on B012 and
B013 in 2010, all of which must be
operated continuously under the
Federal consent decree. Flue Gas
Desulfurization (FGD) systems with 95
percent SO2 control efficiency were
installed on each unit in 2010. With SO2
and NOX controls achieving greater than
90 percent control efficiency, title V SO2
permit limits below the 0.2 lbs/MMBtu
limit in the Mercury and Air Toxics
Standards for coal-fired EGUs, and
reasonably consistent emission rates
showing no increasing future trends,
Ohio EPA determined that B012 and
B013 are effectively controlled as
described in the 2019 Guidance. For
B011 with a Q/d of 5, Ohio determined
that although the existing SNCR does
not meet the examples of in the 2019
Guidance, its year-round operation and
an emission rate consistently between
0.13 and of 0.15 lbs/MMBtu with no
future projected increase indicate that a
full four-factor analysis would likely
result in the conclusion that no further
controls are necessary.
Of the 13 units that Ohio initially
identified with existing effective
controls, there were 8 units for which
Ohio later provided, in its August 6,
2024, supplement, new enforceable
measures necessary for reasonable
progress as described below: Cardinal
Power Units B001, B002, B009; and
Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—Kyger Creek
Station Units B001, B002, B003, B004,
B005.
Cardinal Power Plant operates three
coal-fired boilers: B001, B002, and
40 United States of America, et al. v. Ohio Edison
Company, et al., U.S. District Court for the Southern
District of Ohio, Eastern Division, Civil Action No.
C2–99–1181, entered on March 18, 2005. Ohio EPA
provided a link to the Consent Decree, a copy of
which is provided in the docket.
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B009. For NOX control, SCRs with
approximately 90 percent control
efficiency were installed on all three
boilers in 2003. The SCRs must be
continuously operated under the terms
of their PTI permits and a Federal
consent decree.41 From 2016–2019, the
SCRs have consistently achieved NOX
emission rates of 0.09 lbs/MMBtu and
lower. For SO2 control, FGD systems
with approximately 95 percent control
efficiency were installed on B001 in
2008, on B002 in 2007, and on B009 in
2011. The FGD systems must be
operated continuously under the terms
of the same Federal consent decree that
were incorporated into their PTI
permits. The permitted SO2 emission
limits were set at 1.056 lbs/MMBtu for
B001 and B002 as well as 0.66 lbs/
MMBtu for B009. From 2016–2019, the
FGDs have consistently achieved SO2
emission rates at or below 0.24 lbs/
MMBtu for B001, 0.27 lbs/MMBtu for
B002, and 0.15 for B009. With FGD
systems achieving at least 90 percent
effectiveness that were installed since
2007 and emission rates that were
reasonably consistent from 2016 to 2019
with no projected increase, Ohio
determined that the units were
effectively controlled as described in the
2019 Guidance.
Subsequently, on August 6, 2024,
Ohio EPA submitted a supplement to its
July 30, 2021, Regional Haze SIP after
going through FLM consultation and
two public notice and comment periods.
Units B001, B002, and B009 combined
are subject to a SO2 emission limit of
4,858.75 lbs/hour as a rolling, thirty-day
average that was derived as a part of the
attainment demonstration for the
Steubenville, OH–WV 2010 1-hour SO2
nonattainment area. The SO2 limit
became effective on July 5, 2019 and
was approved into Ohio‘s SIP, effective
November 21, 2019.42 84 FR 56385,
October 22, 2019. Ohio EPA submitted
its August 6, 2024, supplement to
incorporate the SO2 limit through a
DFFO into the SIP for Regional Haze
purposes and to ensure reasonable
progress by maintaining the existing
measures.
41 United States, et al. v. American Electric Power
Service Corp., et al., S.D. Ohio Civil Action Nos.
C2–99–1250, C2–99–1182, C2–05–360, and C2–04–
1098 entered on December 10, 2007, and
substantively modified on July 17, 2019 (AEP
Consent Decree). Ohio provided a link to the AEP
Consent Decree and modification, which are
included in the docket.
42 For the technical justification and development
methodology behind the SO2 limit, Ohio EPA
provided a link to its June 2019 Redesignation
Request and Maintenance Plan for the Ohio Portion
of the Steubenville, OH–WV 1-hour SO2
Nonattainment Area, a copy of which is provided
in the docket.
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Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—Kyger
Creek Station operates five coal-fired
boilers: B001, B002, B003, B004, and
B005. For SO2 control, FGD systems
operating year-round with 97 percent
control efficiency were installed on
B001 and B002 in 2012 and on B003,
B004, and B005 in 2011. Under its title
V permit, the facility demonstrates
compliance with the Mercury and Air
Toxics Standard through the SO2
emission limit of 0.2 lbs/MMBtu. For
NOX control, SCRs with 70–90 percent
efficiency were installed on B001 and
B002 in 2002 and on B003, B004, and
B005 in 2003. Together with overfire air
systems, the SCRs achieve an average 87
percent NOX control efficiency. Ohio
EPA recognized that the SCRs do not
meet the 90 percent control efficiency
examples of effectively controlled units
in the 2019 Guidance and that NOX
emission control is limited by ammonia
slip and mercury oxidation that
jeopardize compliance with the Mercury
and Air Toxics Standards. Since Ohio
submitted its SIP in 2021, Kyger Creek
enhanced its preventative maintenance
and made process improvements to
increase the reliability of the urea
injection system. This is expected to
increase both seasonal and year-round
NOX removal efficiency. To ensure that
these recent improvements are
sustained going forward, Ohio EPA
adopted NOX emission limits of 0.4 lbs/
MMBtu on a 720-operating rolling
hourly average for each stack: Common
Stack 12 for combined emissions from
B001 and B002 and Common Stack 35
for combined emissions from B003,
B004, and B005. Both stacks are
equipped with continuous emissions
monitoring systems. The limits were
developed by analysis of NOX emission
rates from 2018 to 2023, prior to and
following system improvements, and
represent a reduction from the previous
permitted limit of 0.84 lbs/MMBtu. As
such, in the supplement that Ohio EPA
submitted on August 6, 2024, Ohio
requested to incorporate the new NOX
emission limit of 0.4 lbs/MMBtu for
both Common Stacks 12 and 35 into
Ohio’s SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d) through
a DFFO for Regional Haze purposes to
ensure reasonable progress by
maintaining the recent improvements.
After refining the list of 38 units
identified by Ohio’s Q/d source
selection threshold and addressing 32 of
those as described above, Ohio EPA
provided four-factor analyses for the
remaining 6 units at the following 4
facilities: Avon Lake Power Plant Unit
B012; Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple
Grove Operations Units P003 and P004;
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
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Unit B004; and General James M. Gavin
Power Plant Units B003 and B004. The
emission units that Ohio selected for a
four-factor analysis are described below.
Consistent with the first regional haze
implementation period, Ohio EPA
focused on NOX and SO2 emissions in
considering potential additional control
measures at these four facilities. As
demonstrated by the analysis in
LADCO’s Technical Support Document
of the IMPROVE monitoring data, the
NOX and SO2 emissions lead to the
formation of the particulate species of
nitrate and sulfate that currently
contribute more to visibility impairment
in the LADCO Class I Areas than PM2.5,
NH3, and VOC. The LADCO Class I
Areas consist of Boundary Waters Canoe
Area Wilderness and Voyageurs
National Park in Minnesota, as well as
Isle Royale National Park and Seney
Wilderness Area in Michigan.
Additionally, in Table 20 of its
submittal, Ohio EPA provided 2017 NEI
data for Ohio point sources, showing
smaller VOC, PM, and NH3 emissions
relative to NOX and SO2 emissions. For
this reason, Ohio EPA chose to focus on
reducing emissions of NOX and SO2,
which the 2019 Guidance recommended
would be a reasonable approach for the
second implementation period. See
2019 Guidance at page 12. Nevertheless,
Ohio considered emissions from each of
the regional haze precursors NOX, SO2,
PM2.5, NH3 and VOC in the source
selection process. As shown in Table 4
of its submittal, the sources meeting
Ohio’s primary and secondary Q/d
selection criteria account for 38 units at
16 facilities, representing 80 percent of
SO2 emissions, 57 percent of NOX
emissions, 47 percent of PM2.5
emissions, and 23 percent of NH3
emissions for all sources with a sum of
SO2, NOX, PM2.5, and NH3 emissions
from 2016 greater than 0.1 tpy. The
background on each of the 6 units
selected for a four-factor analysis is
described below.
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Avon Lake Power Plant
Avon Lake Power Plant is an EGU,
and Unit B012 is a 6,040 MMBtu/Hour
pulverized coal-fired boiler that was
installed in 1970. For NOX control, B012
is equipped with low-NOX cell burners
and overfire air. For SO2 control, Avon
Lake Power Plant accepted a federally
enforceable SO2 emissions limit of 9,600
lbs/hr on a 1-hour average basis for all
SO2-emitting sources at the facility
(B010, B012, B013, B015, and B016) to
satisfy requirements under the DRR for
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS designation
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process.43 See 83 FR 40723, August 16,
2018. The facility’s title V permit
P0085253, effective April 18, 2017,
contains a SO2 permit limit for B012,
which was reduced from the previous
limit of 4.65 lbs/MMBtu to a new
combined SO2 permit limit on B010 and
B012 of 1.59 lbs/MMBtu as a rolling, 30day average. To comply with the new
SO2 emissions limits, the facility
switched to a blend of Western
Bituminous and Powder River Basin
coal in 2016, which contributed to
reductions in annual SO2 emissions for
B012 from 8,862 tpy in 2016 to 1,597
tpy in 2019, lowered the SO2 emission
rate from 1.60 lbs/MMBtu in 2016 to
0.70 lbs/MMBtu in 2019, and reduced
Q/d from 32 in 2016 to 7 in 2019.
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations is a lime manufacturing
plant. Unit P003 and Unit P004 both
consist of a rotary kiln and cooler as
well as a shared stack for emissions.
P003 and P004 burn coal, petroleum
coke, and/or natural gas. For PM
control, both units have baghouses,
however, there are no add-on controls
for SO2 or NOX. Although both units
were subject to a best available control
technology analysis under the Federal
PSD program in 2002–2003 when lime
manufacturing operations were
restarted, no add-on control
technologies for NOX or SO2 were found
to be cost-effective. However, SO2 at
both units is inherently controlled when
calcium-rich lime kiln dust chemically
absorbs the SO2 in the flue gas, which
is then removed in the baghouse. NOX
emissions at both units are controlled by
good combustion practices.
Limits on SO2 and NOX are included
in the facility’s title V Permit P0125171.
The permit includes a maximum sulfur
content limit for fuel of 5.50 percent for
coal and 6.50 percent for coke by
weight. P003 and P004 are subject to
SO2 limits of 1,102 lbs/hour and
4,826.80 tons per rolling, 12-month
period. P003 and P004 are also subject
to NOX limits of 1,234.90 lbs/hour and
5,408.90 tons per rolling 12-month
period.
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
is a coal-fired electrical generating
43 Ohio’s January 13, 2017, submittals for the
2010 SO2 NAAQS DRR describing the AERMOD
Modeling Results for Avon Lake Power Plant with
the derivation of the limits of 1.59 lbs/MMBtu and
9,600 lbs/hour as the resulting critical emissions
value is available at https://www.epa.gov/so2pollution/so2-data-requirements-rule-january-132017-state-submittals-ohio.
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plant. Unit B004 is a 247 MMBtu/hour
coal-fired stoker boiler that was
installed in 1962 that uses natural gas as
a backup fuel. Under title V Permit
P0090810, B004 is subject to SO2
emissions limit of 4.60 lbs/MMBtu.
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
is a coal-fired electrical generating
plant. Unit B003 and Unit B004 are both
11,936 MMBtu/hr pulverized coal-fired,
dry-bottom boilers installed in 1974. For
SO2, wet FGD systems with 95 percent
control efficiency were installed on
B003 in 1994 and on B004 in 1995. NOX
emissions for B003 and B004 are
controlled through the use of low NOX
burners and SCR, achieving 91 percent
control efficiency. The FGDs and SCRs
are operated continuously under the
terms of the facility’s title V Permit
P0089258 and the Federal AEP Consent
Decree. A federally enforceable SO2
emission limit of 7.41 lbs/MMBtu
applies to both B003 and B004 under
the title V permit. From 2016 to 2019,
SO2 emission rates have ranged from
0.27 to 0.37 lbs/MMBtu for B003 and
0.29 to 0.39 lbs/MMBtu for B004, while
NOX emission rates have remained
between 0.10 and 0.11 for both units
during the same time period.
2. Emission Measures Necessary To
Make Reasonable Progress
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) require States to evaluate
and determine the emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress by applying the four
statutory factors to sources in a control
analysis. The emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress must be included in
the long-term strategy. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2).
Ohio EPA’s four-factor analyses are
described below for each of the 6 units
identified through its Q/d source
selection process. This includes units
that had not already permanently shut
down, accepted an enforceable
commitment to permanently shut down
or comply with new limits, converted to
natural gas or limited use, or had
existing effective controls.
Avon Lake Power Plant
Avon Lake Power Plant Unit B012
was selected for a four-factor analysis
based on 2016 emissions resulting in a
Q/d of 32. Avon Lake evaluated B012
for both NOX and SO2 controls.
Avon Lake evaluated wet FGD and a
spray dryer absorber (SDA) for SO2
control. Capital costs were estimated at
$417,000,000 for SDA and $483,000,000
for wet FGD. Annual operating costs
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were estimated at $44,500,000 for SDA
and $51,600,000$ for wet FGD. Based on
a remaining useful life of either 20 or 30
years and retrofit factors of 1.2 and 1,
the cost effectiveness was estimated at
$19,500/ton and $22,600/ton for wet
FGD for 2,284 tpy in potential emission
reductions from either control option.
For NOX control, Avon Lake
evaluated SNCR and SCR with capital
costs ranging from $13,000,000 for
SNCR to $191,000,000 for SCR, while
annual operating costs were estimated at
$1,679,100 for SNCR and $25,600,000
for SCR. Cost effectiveness was
estimated at $10,200/ton for SNCR for
164 tpy in potential emission reductions
and $26,700/ton for SCR for 959 tpy in
reductions. Installation time was
estimated at 5 years for SO2 controls and
2 to 5 years for SNCR and SCR,
respectively. Impacts from energy
requirements, solid waste, and ammonia
usage were also evaluated.
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations Units P003 and P004 were
selected for a four-factor analysis.
The evaluation of SO2 controls at
Units P003 and P004 included
conditioning tower slurry injection, DSI,
and wet scrubbers. Capital costs for each
unit were estimated at $14,437,783 for
conditioning tower slurry injection,
$16,960,653 for DSI, and $23,784,927
for wet scrubbers. Annual costs were
estimated at $3,982,597 for conditioning
tower slurry injection, $9,140,819 for
DSI, and $6,305,184 for wet scrubber.
The cost effectiveness values at Units
P003 and P004, respectively, were
estimated for conditioning tower slurry
injection at $3,266 and $3,274/ton, DSI
at $5,857 and $5,862/ton, and wet
scrubbing at $4,506 and 4,043/ton SO2.
Potential SO2 emission reductions for
each unit P003 and P004, respectively,
were 1,221 and 1,216 tpy for
conditioning tower slurry injection,
1,566 and 1,559 tpy for DSI, and 1,559
and 1,559 tpy for wet scrubbing.
Switching fuel to solely natural gas
was also evaluated and found to be
technically infeasible due to the
insufficient supply of natural gas in the
region as well as the impact on the
production process that would result
from altering the product chemistry and
capacity. The switch to natural gas
would fundamentally change the
production process since the flame
temperature would be lower, altering
product chemistry and quality, changing
the thermal profile of the kiln, and
reducing production capacity.
For NOX, several control options were
evaluated, including preheater
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installation, low-NOX burners, SCR, and
SNCR. However, no options were
determined to be technically feasible
beyond current operation under good
combustion practices. Despite the
concerns about technical feasibility,
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations performed a four-factor
analysis on the addition of tail-end SCR,
which would have required the
installation of an SO2 wet scrubber
upstream and stack gas reheat
downstream. Estimated capital costs for
Units P003 and P004 were $16,878,012
and $16,722,674, respectively, while
estimated annual costs were
$11,596,001 and $11,431,638, resulting
in cost effectiveness values of $10,419
and $11,484/ton NOX.
Both SO2 and NOX analyses
considered a remaining useful life of 20
or 25 years, a 4 to 5 year installation
time, and energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts. In addition to
the consideration of candidate control
options, Carmeuse Lime, Inc.,—Maple
Grove Operations considered visibility
impact and noted that an analysis done
during the first implementation period
shows that the facility is located outside
the area of influence for the closest
Class I area, the Dolly Sods Wilderness
Area, and that it was not one of the four
sources in Ohio identified by VISTAS in
their June 22, 2020, request as a source
that strongly contributes to regional
haze.
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
Unit B004 was selected for a four-factor
analysis based on 2016 emissions
resulting in a Q/d of 7 and the absence
of existing SO2 add-on controls. The
unit is controlled with a baghouse for
PM, activated carbon for mercury, and
DSI for hydrogen chloride.
The evaluation of SO2 controls
considered fuel switching, DSI, wet
FGD, and SDA. The City of Dover
determined that switching from the
current low sulfur coal to natural gas
was infeasible, not only because it
would require major changes to the
boiler’s burner design and an additional
mile of natural gas pipeline, but also
because of the insufficiency of a natural
gas supply. For the other control
options, capital costs were estimated at
$2,640,000 for DSI, $28,110,269 for wet
FGD, and $24,274,288 for SDA. Annual
costs were estimated at $1,558,509 for
DSI, $4,615,991 for wet FGD, and
$4,030,803 for SDA. The cost
effectiveness and potential reductions in
SO2 emissions were estimated at $2,985/
ton for 522 tpy with DSI, $5,016/ton for
920 tpy with wet FGD, and $4,402/ton
for 916 tpy with SDA.
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The analyses considered a remaining
useful life of 30 years, a 5-year
installation time, as well as energy and
non-air quality environmental impacts.
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
also compared annualized compliance
costs as a percentage of sales for each
control option, which resulted in 6.2
percent for DSI and 18.5 percent for wet
FGD. Citing to guidance for the
Regulatory Flexibility Act,44 Dover
Municipal Light & Power Plant observed
that EPA has employed discretion in not
proceeding with rulemakings that
regulate only a small number of small
businesses with annualized compliance
costs as a percentage of sales greater
than 3 percent. As such, Dover
Municipal Power & Light Plant noted
that as a non-profit governmental
organization, the costs of any of the
controls evaluated would threaten the
viability of the plant, with the options
of wet FGD and SDA almost certainly
resulting in closure.
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
was selected for a four-factor analysis
based on 2016 emissions resulting in a
Q/d above Ohio’s threshold for Units
B003 and B004 as well as the relative
impact of this source on visibility
impairment.
For NOX, Ohio EPA determined that
the units were effectively controlled.
This determination considered that the
SCRs were installed in 2001, are
operated continuously, and achieve 91
percent control efficiency with low NOX
burners. In addition, Ohio found that
the emission rates, which ranged
between 0.10 and 0.11 lbs/MMBtu from
2016 to 2019, were reasonably
consistent and that no increase in those
rates was projected into 2028.
SO2 was considered in the four-factor
analysis since the current FGDs were
installed in 1994–1995 before the
beginning of the first implementation
period. General James M. Gavin Power
Plant evaluated fuel switching,
retrofitting new dry FGD, retrofitting
new wet FGD, and making operational
improvements to the existing wet FGD.
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
currently burns eastern bituminous coal
with a sulfur content of 3.9 to 4.2
percent. Switching to lower sulfur coal
was considered technically infeasible
due to operational issues from a higher
ash content causing slagging issues and
overburdening the electrostatic
precipitator (ESP), thereby decreasing
44 EPA Office of Policy, Economic and
Innovation, ‘‘Final Guidance for EPA Rulewriters:
Regulatory Flexibility Act as Amended by the Small
Business and Regulatory Enforcement Fairness
Act,’’ November 30, 2006.
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its control efficiency. Switching to
natural gas was precluded since natural
gas is not currently available at the site,
and the nearest pipeline 10 miles away
does not have the capacity to supply the
required loading to the plant.
In terms of add-on SO2 controls, the
existing DSI systems designed for SO3
emissions control were evaluated for
collateral removal of SO2. However, the
analysis determined that modifying
operational parameters with higher
sorbent injection rates required for
significant SO2 emissions control would
overburden the ESP in handling
particulate emissions. Similarly, the
analysis found that installation of a new
SDA would require replacing the
existing ESP and would offer no
advantage compared to the existing wet
FGD. In 2019, General James M. Gavin
Power Plant made significant
expenditures to upgrade and optimize
the existing wet FGD systems which
improved control efficiency to 95
percent. With the significant recent
expenditures for the upgrades and the
lack of technically feasible options for
further optimization, the analysis cited
to the 2019 Guidance in determining
that replacing the existing wet FGD was
not a practical option and that
additional controls were unlikely to be
reasonable. See 2019 Guidance at 22–23.
In December 2023, General James M.
Gavin Power Plant provided to Ohio
EPA a supplemental analysis with new
information on $9.3 million in
additional upgrades and improvements
to their FGD systems made since 2020,
many of which occurred after Ohio EPA
submitted its Regional Haze SIP in July
2021. Additionally, General James M.
Gavin Power Plant evaluated whether
the facility could, at a reasonable cost,
achieve a consistently lower SO2
emission rate either through existing
measures or potential low-cost
upgrades. Although no additional
upgrades were found to be feasible
based on the custom-build nature of the
FGD systems and the recent
improvements, General James M. Gavin
Power Plant identified the feasibility of
consistently achieving a lower SO2
emission rate as a result of the recent
upgrades based on 2019–2023 emissions
data, load variability, coal content and
supply. To ensure that the recent
improvements are maintained going
forward, Ohio adopted new SO2
emission limits of 0.75 lbs/MMBtu on a
rolling 30-operating day average for both
B003 and B004, representing a
reduction from the former SO2 limits of
7.41 lbs/MMBtu. To ensure the new SO2
limits are permanent and federally
enforceable, Ohio EPA submitted the
August 6, 2024, supplement to
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incorporate the new SO2 limits through
a DFFO into the SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870(d) for Regional Haze purposes.
Ohio’s Evaluation of the Four-Factor
Analyses
In considering the four-factor analyses
for each of the four facilities described
above, Ohio determined that additional
add-on controls are not cost-effective
and thus not necessary for reasonable
progress in the second planning period.
In making its determination, Ohio
evaluated the analyses of energy and
solid waste impacts from increased
power usage and generation of solid
waste and wastewater. Ohio evaluated
capital and operating costs, costs per ton
of pollutant removed, and potential
emission reductions, and took under
consideration compliance costs/sales
ratios. To compare the candidate control
options at a facility, Ohio estimated the
visibility benefit of potential emission
reductions as a part of a weight-of
evidence approach to be considered
alongside, not instead of, the four
statutory factors. In determining the
maximum visibility benefit at any Class
I area in 2028, Ohio used source
apportionment modeling conducted by
VISTAS 45 and scaled the modeled
visibility impacts to the expected
emissions reductions from the potential
controls evaluated, which ranged from
0.001 to 0.180 Mm¥1 at Avon Lake
Power Plant, 0.192 to 0.246 Mm¥1 at
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove, and
0.041 to 0.072 Mm¥1 at Dover
Municipal Power & Light Plant. Ohio
also pointed to the State’s progress
report in its regional haze SIP revision
for the seconding planning period,
showing emission trends with
significant reductions of 90 percent SO2
and 57 percent NOX from 2005 to 2017.
Looking forward to 2028, Ohio
identified additional emission
reductions that will be achieved in the
second planning period through
measures identified in the long-term
strategy, which are discussed below.
Ohio concluded that on-the-books and
on-the-way controls identified in the
State’s long-term strategy, including the
DFFOs for permanent shutdowns at
Miami Fort Power Plant and Zimmer
Power Station as well as the DFFOs for
SO2 and NOX limits at Cardinal Power
Plant, General James M. Gavin Power
45 ‘‘The VISTAS Regional Haze Project,’’ https://
metro4-sesarm.org/content/vistas-regional-hazeprogram; ‘‘Task 7—PSAT Source Apportionment
Modeling/Tagging,’’ https://www.metro4sesarm.org/content/task-7-source-apportionmentmodelingtagging; ‘‘PSAT Source Apportionment
Modeling Results Report—August 2020,’’ https://
www.metro4-sesarm.org/sites/default/files/
VISTAS%20Task%207%20PSAT_20200831.pdf.
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Plant, and Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—
Kyger Creek, are necessary to achieve
reasonable progress at the Class I areas
impacted by emissions from Ohio.
3. Ohio’s Long-Term Strategy
Each State’s long-term strategy must
include the enforceable emission
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2). After considering
information regarding existing effective
controls, analyses under the four
statutory factors in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i), and the five additional
factors in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) in
addition to other requirements in 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii) described below,
Ohio determined the State’s long-term
strategy for the second implementation
planning period is comprised of the
following measures to make reasonable
progress.46 These measures represent
reductions beyond those planned in the
first implementation planning period
with numerous changes in emissions
and emission limits since the first
implementation planning period, as
well as emission reductions due to
ongoing air pollution control programs
and permanent shutdowns. Except as
noted below for the DFFOs and Ohio’s
Beneficiary Mitigation Plan for the
Volkswagen Settlement, the following
measures in Ohio’s long-term strategy
are already permanent and federally
enforceable. Ohio EPA requested that
the DFFOs be incorporated into the
regulatory portion of Ohio’s SIP at 40
CFR 52.1870(d) to ensure that they will
also be federally enforceable and
permanent for regional haze purposes.
On-the-books controls for the longterm strategy in the 2nd implementation
period include:
• Permanent shutdown of Conesville
Power Plant Units B004, B007, and
B008
• Permanent shutdown of DP&L J.M.
Stuart Units B001, B002, B003, and
B004
• Permanent shutdown of DP&L J.M.
Killen Unit B001
• Permanent shutdown of W.H. Sammis
Plant Units B007, B008, B009, and
B010
• National Emission Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP)
for Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines
• Control of Hazardous Air Pollutants
from Mobile Sources (also known as
the Federal Mobile Source Air Toxics
Rules)
46 The measures listed in Ohio’s long-term
strategy are described in Ohio’s SIP submission in
Section III.3(e)(5) and III.5(e).
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• Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (40
CFR 63, subpart UUUUU)
• Federal Oil and Natural Gas Industry
Standards
• NOX Emission Standards for New
Commercial Aircraft Engines (40 CFR
87, 40 CFR 1068)
• NESHAPs for Industrial, Commercial,
and Institutional Area Source Boilers,
Major Source Boilers (40 CFR 63)
• New Source Performance Standards
(NSPS) for Commercial and Industrial
Solid Waste Incinerators (CISWI) (40
CFR 60, subpart CCCC, 40 CFR 60,
subpart DDDD)
• NSPS for New Residential Wood
Heaters (40 CFR 60, subpart AAA)
• SO2 Data Requirements Rule (40 CFR
51)
• Ohio’s Beneficiary Mitigation Plan for
the Volkswagen Settlement (84 FR
43508, August 21, 2019)
On-the-way controls for the long-term
strategy that reflect additional emission
reductions expected by 2028 include:
• Revised CSAPR Update (40 CFR 97,
subpart GGGGG)
• DFFO for Miami Fort Power Station,
providing for the permanent
shutdown of coal-fired Boilers B015
and B016, and for Zimmer Power
Station, providing for the permanent
shutdown of coal-fired Boiler B006
• DFFO for Cardinal Power Plant,
providing for an SO2 emission limit
on coal-fired Boilers B001, B002, and
B009
• DFFO for Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—
Kyger Creek, providing for a new NOX
emission limit on coal-fired Boilers
B001, B002, B003, B004, and B005
• DFFO for General James M. Gavin
Power Plant, providing for a new SO2
emission limit on coal-fired Boilers
B003 and B004
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4. EPA’s Evaluation of Ohio’s
Compliance With 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i)
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has
satisfied the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating
sources and determining the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress by
considering the four statutory factors.
Ohio’s selection of sources and
evaluation of control measures was
reasonable and consistent with the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
For Ohio’s source selection
methodology, Ohio EPA targeted the
sources with the highest potential to
impair visibility at mandatory Class I
areas. Ohio EPA included a thorough
description of its source selection
methodology. Starting with LADCO’s
calculations for Q/d based on 2016 data,
Ohio EPA compared more recent point
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source inventories from the 2017 NEI
and 2018 Ohio EIS to determine if
updated Q/d values on a unit basis
would identify additional sources for
selection. Then, in response to other
methods used by NPS and USFS to
identify sources for further evaluation,
Ohio EPA modified its source selection
process by adding a secondary criterion
for a facility-wide Q/d. Ohio EPA’s twotiered approach broadened its source
selection process and identified
individual units with a Q/d greater than
5 as well as units with a Q/d greater
than 4 at facilities with a Q/d greater
than 10. Using this source selection
methodology, Ohio EPA selected 38
units at 16 facilities for further analysis,
accounting for 80 percent of SO2 and 57
percent of NOX for point sources with
Q greater than 0.1 tpy.
In determining which facilities to
evaluate through a four-factor analysis,
Ohio EPA refined the list of sources
selected using its Q/d thresholds by
providing adequate justification for no
further analysis where sources had
accepted an enforceable commitment for
SO2 or NOX limits, permanently shut
down, accepted an enforceable
commitment to permanently shut down
by 2028, converted to natural gas or
limited use, or had existing effective
controls.
For selected sources that had accepted
an enforceable commitment for SO2 or
NOX limits, Ohio issued DFFOs to be
incorporated into its SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870(d) for 10 units at 3 facilities:
Cardinal Power Units B001, B002, and
B009; Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—Kyger
Creek Station Units B001, B002, B003,
B004, and B005; and General James M.
Gavin Power Plant Units B003 and
B004. These limits in the DFFOs ensure
recent improvements in emission
controls are maintained and that the
measures are permanent and federally
enforceable for regional haze purposes.
For selected sources that had
permanently shut down or had accepted
an enforceable commitment to
permanently shut down by 2028, Ohio
identified 15 units at 6 facilities:
Conesville Power Plant Units B004,
B007, and B008; DP&L J.M. Stuart Units
B001, B002, B003, and B004; DP&L JM
Killen Unit B001; W.H. Sammis Plant
Units B007, B008, B009, and B010;
Miami Fort Power Station Units B015
and B016; and Zimmer Power Station
Unit B006. Based on 2016 inventories,
the permanent shutdown of these units
represents federally enforceable and
permanent emission reductions from
some of Ohio’s largest sources as
follows. In 2019 and 2020, the
shutdowns at Conesville Power Plant
Units B004, B007, and B008 achieved
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emission reductions of 5,013 tpy SO2
and 5,981 tpy NOX. In 2017 and 2018,
the shutdowns at DP&L, J.M. Stuart
Generating Station achieved emission
reductions of 9,005 tpy SO2 and 5,466
tpy NOX. In 2018, the shutdown at
DP&L, Killen Generating Station
achieved emission reductions of 10,130
tpy SO2 and 6,057 tpy NOX. In 2020, the
shutdowns at W.H. Sammis Plant
achieved reductions of 2,996 tpy SO2
and 1,634 NOX. By 2028, under the
DFFOs, the shutdowns at Miami Fort
Power Station will achieve emission
reductions of 10,214 tpy SO2 and 5,052
tpy NOX, while the shutdown at
Zimmer Power Station will achieve
emission reductions of 9,973 tpy SO2
and 5,458 tpy NOX. Together, these
shutdowns will reduce SO2 by over
47,000 tpy and NOX by over 33,000 tpy
and represent emission reductions of 32
percent SO2 and 32 percent NOX from
all point sources in Ohio with total
emissions of SO2, NOX, PM, and NH3
greater than 0.1 tpy based on 2016
emissions.
For selected sources that converted to
natural gas or limited use under
enforceable permit conditions, Ohio
identified conversions at 4 units within
2 facilities, where add-on controls or
more stringent limits would not be
necessary for reasonable progress.
Compared to 2016 base-year emissions,
the conversions at the City of Orrville
Department of Public Utilities Units
B001 and B004 reduced SO2 emissions
by 6,601 tpy, and the conversations at
P.H. Glatfelter Company—Chillicothe
Facility B002 and B003 reduced SO2
emissions by 8,579 tpy. Together, in
addition to the emission reductions
from the shutdowns mentioned above,
these conversions represent an
additional 10 percent reduction in SO2
emissions from all point sources in Ohio
with total emissions of SO2, NOX, PM,
and NH3 greater than 0.1 tpy.
For selected sources that had existing
effective controls, Ohio sufficiently
provided a weight-of-evidence
demonstration as described in the 2021
Clarifications Memo for 5 units at 3
facilities: FirstEnergy Generation LLC—
Bay Shore Plant Unit B006; Haverhill
Coke Company LLC Unit P902; and
W.H. Sammis Plant Units B011, B012,
B013. Ohio documented that these units
are effectively controlled for SO2 and
NOX by inherent process or control
systems installed during the first
implementation period with greater
than 90 percent control efficiency as
well as federally enforceable limits in
Federal consent decrees or limits below
levels recommended in the 2019
Guidance as potentially existing
effective controls. With reasonably
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consistent trends in emission rates,
Ohio also adequately demonstrated that
the existing measures for these units are
not necessary to make reasonable
progress or prevent future emission
increases and, thus, do not need to be
included in the regulatory portion of the
SIP.
Of all the 38 emission units Ohio
identified through its Q/d source
selection process listed above, Ohio
relied upon the following specific
control measures at 25 units in its longterm strategy in addition to the other
Federal regulations and State programs
included. For 12 of those units, Ohio’s
long-term strategy relies upon
permanent shutdowns that have already
occurred during the 2nd
implementation period. For the other 13
units, Ohio EPA provided DFFOs with
enforceable commitments for either SO2
limits or NOX limits by 2025 or
permanent shutdowns by 2028 to be
incorporated into Ohio’s SIP for regional
haze purposes at 40 CFR 52.1870(d).
For the remaining 13 emission units
that Ohio EPA identified through its Q/
d source selection process, Ohio did not
rely on new or existing measures as part
of the long-term strategy to make
reasonable progress in the second
planning period. At 4 of those units,
Ohio EPA documented enforceable
conversions to natural gas or limited
use. At another 5 of those units, Ohio
provided a weight of evidence
demonstration and determined their
existing measures are not necessary to
make reasonable progress or prevent
future emission increases. At the other
4 units, Ohio provided four-factor
analyses. Each of these analyses
considered all four statutory factors and
appropriately followed the methods in
the EPA Air Pollution Control Cost
Manual.47 The lowest cost control
options in the four-factor analyses
outlined the potential for emission
reductions at each unit for Avon Lake
Power Plant of 2,284 tpy SO2 for
$19,500/ton, Dover Municipal Power &
Light Plant of 522 tpy SO2 for $2,985/
ton, and at Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple
Grove Operations of 1,221 and 1,216 tpy
SO2 for $3,226/ton and $3,274/ton,
respectively. With the emission
reductions from already implemented
shutdowns and fuel conversions, Ohio
made a reasoned determination that
additional add-on controls are not cost
effective and thus not necessary for
47 See EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual,
available at https://www.epa.gov/economic-andcost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-reportsand-guidance-air-pollution.
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reasonable progress in the second
planning period.
The permanent shutdown of 15 units
at 6 large EGUs during the second
implementation period represents large
enforceable reductions in SO2 and NOX
from Ohio sources that had impacted
the same Class I areas that are impacted
by the 4 units evaluated in the fourfactor analyses. With a relatively small
potential for additional emission
reductions identified in the four-factor
analyses compared to those of the
shutdowns and fuel conversions already
taking place, Ohio EPA provided a
reasoned basis for its conclusions to not
require additional controls at those 4
units for the second implementation
period.
Overall, 29 out of 38 coal-fired units
above Ohio’s Q/d threshold either
converted to natural gas or limited use,
accepted enforceable limits, or have or
will permanently shut down by 2028.
The trends in NOX and SO2 emissions
noted in Ohio’s progress report
discussed below demonstrate how
Ohio’s long-term strategy will continue
to make significant reductions during
the second implementation period. The
shutdowns will reduce statewide SO2 by
over 47,000 tpy and NOX by over 33,000
tpy, and the conversions to natural gas
add another 15,000 tpy of SO2
reductions to that total. Together, these
shutdowns and fuel conversions
represent statewide emission reductions
of 43 percent SO2 and 32 percent NOX
from point sources in Ohio with total
emissions of SO2, NOX, PM, and NH3
greater than 0.1 tpy based on 2016
emissions. Ohio’s plan shows that these
measures will achieve substantial SO2
and NOX emission reductions beyond
those included in its first
implementation period. These
shutdowns, conversions, and committed
controls contribute to Ohio’s emission
reductions and the associated visibility
improvements at the affected Class I
areas for the second implementation
planning period.
EPA proposes to find that the
shutdowns and conversions noted above
that have already taken place during the
second planning period are already
federally enforceable and permanent
and do not need to be included in the
regulatory portion of the SIP. For the
upcoming permanent shutdowns and
committed controls provided for in the
DFFOs, EPA proposes to find that those
are necessary for reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP and
made federally enforceable and
permanent. For the other 9 coal-fired
units, Ohio EPA determined that no
additional controls would be necessary
for reasonable progress in the second
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planning period based on existing
effective controls that have achieved
reasonably consistent emission rates
that are not expected to increase in the
future.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has
satisfied the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating
sources and determining the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress by applying
the four statutory factors to sources in
a control analysis. Ohio EPA’s SIP
submission, as supplemented,
reasonably applied the Q/d source
selection process in relying on the
closest Class I areas and the emissions
of NOX, SO2, PM2.5, NH3 and VOC. Ohio
EPA examined a reasonable set of
sources, including sources identified by
FLMs. In addition, Ohio EPA adequately
explained its decision to focus on the
two pollutants—SO2 and NOX—that
currently drive visibility impairment
within the LADCO region. EPA
proposes to find that Ohio EPA
adequately supported its conclusions for
its top-impacting sources in determining
permanent and federally enforceable
shutdowns, controls, and fuel
conversions necessary for reasonable
progress. EPA is basing this proposed
finding on the State’s examination of its
largest operating EGU and non-EGU
sources. EPA proposes to find the
State’s approach reasonable because it
demonstrated that these sources with
the greatest modeled impacts on
visibility, as well as other sources above
the State’s Q/d threshold that might be
expected to impact visibility, either
have shut down, accepted an
enforceable commitment to shut down
by 2028, accepted new emission limits
by 2025, converted to natural gas or
limited use, or have existing effective
controls.
As part of the State’s long-term
strategy, Ohio EPA submitted 4 DFFOs
providing legally binding, enforceable
commitments upon the owners or
operators of the facilities, and any
subsequent owner or operator, at the
State level under Ohio Revised Code
3704.03 and 3745.01. Since Ohio is
relying on these 4 DFFOs to make
reasonable progress as part of its longterm strategy for the second
implementation period, Ohio EPA
requested the incorporation of the
DFFOs into the Ohio SIP to ensure that
they are federally enforceable and
permanent for regional haze purposes.
The first DFFO was effective on July 9,
2021, and provides for the shutdown of
Miami Fort Power Station Units B015
and B016 and Zimmer Power Station
Unit B006 by no later than January 1,
2028. The other three DFFOs provide for
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SO2 emission limits at Cardinal Power
Plant Units B001, B002, and B009 and
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
Units B003 and B004 as well as a NOX
emission limit Ohio Valley Electric
Corp.—Kyger Creek Units B001, B002,
B003, B004, and B005. These three
DFFOs became effective July 26, 2024,
when they were entered into the Ohio
EPA Director’s journal, and compliance
begins on January 1, 2025. Based on the
discussion herein, these 4 DFFOs
provide an adequate technical and legal
basis for source-specific measures that
are consistent with the CAA
requirements and EPA’s Regional Haze
Rule. As such, EPA proposes to approve
Ohio EPA’s request and incorporate by
reference these 4 DFFOs into the SIP.
5. Consultation With States
The consultation requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii), provides that States
must consult with other States that are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area to
develop coordinated emission
management strategies containing the
emission reductions measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require States
to consider the emission reduction
measures identified by other States as
necessary for reasonable progress and to
include agreed upon measures in their
SIPs, respectively. The provisions of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speak to what
happens if States cannot agree on what
measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress. States may satisfy
the requirement of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii) to engage in interstate
consultation with other States that have
emissions that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area under
the auspices of intra- and inter-RPO
engagement.
Although Ohio has no mandatory
Class I Federal areas within its borders,
Ohio has previously been shown to have
sources with emissions that impact
visibility at downwind mandatory Class
I Federal areas. Ohio EPA consulted
with other States to develop a
coordinated emission management
approach to its regional haze SIP and to
address Ohio’s impact on nearby Class
I areas. Ohio EPA participated in the
LADCO and inter-RPO processes, which
developed the technical information
needed for such coordinated strategies.
Ohio participated in the LADCO
Regional Haze Technical Workgroup
meetings with other LADCO States,
FLMs, and EPA Region 5. Through
LADCO, Ohio also consulted with other
States and Tribes.
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Ohio EPA received and responded to
requests from MANE–VU and VISTAS
on behalf of the States in their RPOs. On
August 25, 2017, Ohio EPA received the
‘‘Statement of the Mid-Atlantic/
Northeast Visibility Union (MANE–VU)
Class I Area States concerning a Course
of Action in Contributing States Located
Upwind of MANE–VU toward Assuring
Reasonable Progress for the Second
Regional Haze Implementation Period
(2018–2028),’’ (2017 MANE–VU Ask).48
MANE–VU is the RPO for the
Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic States
and Tribal Governments, which include:
Connecticut, Delaware, the District of
Columbia, Maine, Maryland,
Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Penobscot Indian Nation, Rhode Island,
St. Regis Mohawk Tribe, and Vermont.
For the second implementation period,
MANE–VU performed contribution
analyses to identify source and Statelevel contributions to visibility
impairment and the need for interstate
consultation. MANE–VU used the
results of these analyses to determine
emission units in various States that
have a potential for visibility impacts of
3.0Mm¥1 or greater using action 2015
emissions from EGUs and 2011
emissions from other sources. For Ohio,
MANE–VU identified 8 units at the
following facilities: Avon Lake Power
Plant (Unit 12), General James M. Gavin
Power Plant (Units 1 and 2), and
Muskingum River (Units 1, 2, 3, 4, and
5). The five specific parts of the 2017
MANE–VU Ask requested Ohio and
other upwind States to pursue specific
emission management strategies to meet
the 2028 reasonable progress goals for
the second regional haze
implementation period. On December
20, 2017, LADCO responded to the
MANE–VU Ask, indicating that LADCO
did not agree with MANE–VU’s impact
assessment results and recommended
that MANE–VU use emissions estimates
that, in the opinion of LADCO, better
reflect the current state of knowledge.49
On December 29, 2017, Ohio EPA also
responded to the 2017 MANE–VU Ask
to address the requests and alleged
inaccuracies regarding Ohio sources,
48 MANE–VU’s ‘‘2017 Statement of the MidAtlantic/Northeast Visibility Union (MANE–VU)
Class I Area States concerning a Course of Action
in Contributing States Located Upwind of MANE–
VU toward Assuring Reasonable Progress for the
Second Regional Haze Implementation Period
(2018–2028)’’ dated August 25, 2017, which
includes a link to MANE–VU’s contribution
analyses report at https://www.otcair.org.manevu, is
provided as appendix M1 to Ohio’s Regional Haze
SIP submission in the docket.
49 LACDO’s December 20, 2017, response to the
MANE–VU Ask is found in appendix M2 of Ohio’s
Regional Haze SIP revision submittal in the docket.
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71143
which did not include recent permanent
shutdowns or fuel conversions and
resulted in modeling that overestimated
Ohio’s contribution.50
MANE–VU Ask 1 requested that
States ‘‘ensure the most effective use of
control technologies on a year-round
basis to consistently minimize
emissions of haze precursors, or obtain
equivalent alternative emission
reductions’’ at EGUs ‘‘with a nameplate
capacity larger than or equal to 25 MW
with already installed NOX and/or SO2
controls.’’ MANE–VU Ask 2 requested
four-factor analyses be performed for
any source modeled by MANE–VU that
has the potential for a visibility impact
greater than 3.0 Mm¥1. In response to
both MANE–VU Asks 1 and 2, Ohio
EPA referred to its Q/d source selection
process and four-factor analyses, where
Ohio made a determination of existing
effective controls or provided a fourfactor analysis for the sources identified
by MANE–VU: Avon Lake Power Plant
and General James M. Power Plant, with
the exception of Muskingum River
Power Plant, which permanently shut
down in 2015.
MANE–VU Ask 3 requested States
pursue, before 2028, an ultra-low sulfur
fuel oil standard for #2 distillate oil of
0.0015 percent sulfur by weight or 15
ppm, for #4 residual oil of 0.25–0.5
percent sulfur by weight, and for #6
residual oil of 0.3–0.5 percent sulfur by
weight. Ohio responded to MANE–VU
Ask 3 by explaining that these fuel types
do not comprise a significant portion of
fuel usage in Ohio, and as such, would
have little impact on visibility and
would not warrant further evaluation
and standard setting.
MANE–VU Ask 4 requested States
lock in lower emission rates for SO2,
NOX, and PM at EGUs and sources with
more than 250 MMBtu/hour heat input
that have switched to lower emitting
fuels by updating permits, enforceable
agreements, and/or rules. Ohio
responded to MANE–VU Ask 4 that, in
most cases, switches to lower emitting
fuels have already been incorporated
into Ohio’s federally enforceable
permits, however, lowering emission
rates for such facilities across the board
is not required or appropriate.
MANE–VU Ask 5 requested States
include, in their Regional Haze SIP
revision, measures to decrease energy
demand by improved energy efficiency
and to increase use of Combined Heat
and Power and distributed generation
technologies, such as fuel cells, wind,
50 Ohio EPA’s December 29, 2017, Technical
Response Letter to the 2017 MANE–VU Ask is
found in appendix M3 of Ohio’s Regional Haze SIP
revision in the docket.
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and solar. Ohio responded to MANE–
VU Ask 5, noting that Ohio EPA lacks
the legislative authority to set energy
policy, but encourages energy efficiency
through efforts such as Ohio’s
Encouraging Environmental Excellence
Program.51
MANE–VU issued a second statement
to Ohio EPA, similar to the one
discussed above and also dated August
25, 2017, entitled, ‘‘Statement of the
Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Visibility Union
(MANE–VU) Concerning a Course of
Action Within MANE–VU Toward
Assuring Reasonable Progress for the
Second Implementation Period (2018–
2028).’’ 52 Ohio EPA responded to
MANE–VU’s request, noting that even
though Ohio’s source selection process
did not result in the selection of peaking
combustion turbines for four-factor
analysis, Ohio considered such NOX
controls and did not find the measures
necessary for Ohio sources during the
second implementation period.
On June 22, 2020, the VISTAS RPO
sent a letter to Ohio EPA on behalf of
Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina,
South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia,
and West Virginia.53 VISTAS shared
with Ohio EPA the results of a technical
analyses identifying Ohio sources to
which VISTAS attributed significant
impacts on visibility impairment at
Class I areas within the VISTAS states.
VISTAS’ analyses identified sources
with a sulfate or nitrate impact greater
than 1.00 percent of the total sulfate
plus nitrate point source visibility
impairment on the 20 percent most
impaired days for each Class I area. For
Ohio, VISTAS identified the following
four sources: Ohio Valley Electric
Corp.—Kyger Creek Station, Cardinal
Power, General James M. Gavin Power
Plant, and Zimmer Power Station.
VISTAS requested that Ohio conduct a
reasonable progress analysis for each of
the four sources, and, if Ohio
determined that a four-factor analysis
was not warranted, provide a rationale.
On October 29, 2020, Ohio EPA
responded to VISTAS request by
providing information for each of the
four sources on emissions controls,
51 Ohio’s Encouraging Environmental Excellence
Program is available at https://epa.ohio.gov/
divisions-and-offices/environmental-financialassistance/recognition-and-awards/e3-program.
52 MANE–VU’s second statement dated August
25, 2017, entitled ‘‘Statement of the Mid-Atlantic/
Northeast Visibility Union (MANE–VU) Concerning
a Course of Action Within MANE–VU Toward
Assuring Reasonable Progress for the Second
Implementation Period (2018–2028)’’ is included as
appendix O in Ohio’s Regional haze SIP revision
included in the docket.
53 VISTAS June 22, 2020, letter to Ohio EPA is
included as appendix N1 in Ohio’s Regional Haze
SIP revision included in the docket.
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control efficiencies, permitted limits,
consent decree provisions, and trends in
emission rates and annual emissions
from 2016 to 2019.54 Citing to examples
in the 2019 Guidance of sources with
effective emission controls, Ohio replied
to VISTAS that, other than Zimmer
Power Station, each of the other sources
have existing effective controls with
FGD or SCR with at least 90 percent
effectiveness, and that a four-factor
analysis would likely result in the
conclusion that no further controls are
necessary. For Zimmer Power Station,
Ohio EPA confirmed that the facility
announced it would permanently shut
down in 2027, and that discussions
were underway to secure the upcoming
shutdown in an enforceable
commitment such that a four-factor
analysis would not be warranted.
In addition to the measures identified
by MANE–VU and VISTAS above, Ohio
reviewed the Regional Haze SIPs for
other States, that were available at the
time, to ensure appropriate
consideration was given to measures
determined necessary by other States for
similar types of sources as those
selected by Ohio for four-factor analysis,
which were EGUs and lime
manufacturing plants.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has
satisfied the consultation requirements
of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii). Ohio has met
the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B)
requirements with its participation in
the LADCO consultation process plus its
individual consultation meetings with
contributing States. There were no
disagreements with another State,
therefore 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) does
not apply to Ohio.
The requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) provide that a State
must document the technical basis for
its decision making to determine the
emission reductions measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress.
The documentation requirement of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) provides that States
may meet their obligations to document
the technical bases on which they are
relying to determine the emission
reductions measures that are necessary
to make reasonable progress through an
RPO, as long as the process has been
‘‘approved by all State participants.’’
Ohio documented the technical basis,
including the modeling, monitoring,
engineering, costs, and emissions
information that was relied on in
determining the emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress.
54 Ohio’s October 29, 2020, response to VISTAS
is included as appendix N2 to Ohio’s Regional Haze
SIP revision included in the docket.
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For modeling, Ohio EPA documented
the modeling done by LADCO to
determine visibility projections and
contributions to impairment at the Class
I areas. Ohio included justification for
the 2016 base year selection and the
2028 emission projections based on
ERTAC forecasts and State-reported
changes.
For monitoring, Ohio described how
ambient air quality monitoring data
were analyzed to produce a conceptual
understanding of the air quality
problems contributing to haze as well as
to project visibility conditions in 2028
through LADCO’s modeling and EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality
Modeling. Ohio noted that LADCO
relied upon the IMPROVE monitoring
data to track the chemical composition
of PM2.5 in haze at Class I areas in the
LADCO region, which included
ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate,
elemental carbon, organic carbon, sea
salt, and inorganic soil. Ohio EPA also
pointed to its statewide monitoring
network of EPA-approved monitors for
ozone and PM2.5, which Ohio
continually reviews and uses to
determine the contribution of emissions
from sources within Ohio to visibility
impairment at Class I areas in other
States for SIP development.
For emissions information, Ohio EPA
provided data for 2016 through 2019,
the most recent data year available at
the time, from various sources for each
unit screened in using Ohio’s Q/d
source selection threshold. Data from
2016 for annual emissions of NOX, SO2,
PM2.5, and NH3 that was used by
LADCO in the Q/d analysis relied upon
the 2016 inventory developed by the
National Emissions Inventory
Collaborative described above.
Emissions data for 2016–2019 for NOX
and SO2 were obtained from EPA’s
Clean Air Markets Database (CAMD) for
sources that report emissions data to
CAMD. To quantify emissions from
sources that do not report to CAMD,
data for 2017–2019 was obtained from
Ohio EPA’s EIS. Ohio also provided an
emissions summary by source category
and pollutant obtained from the 2017
NEI, the most recent triennial NEI
available at the time. For engineering
and costs, Ohio EPA provided sitespecific four-factor analyses, which
evaluated potential engineering designs
and costs for various NOX and SO2
emission control systems for 4 coal-fired
EGUs at 3 different power plants (Avon
Lake Power Plant, Dover Municipal
Light & Power Plant, and General James
M. Gavin Power Plant) and 2 coal-fired
boilers at one lime manufacturing plant
(Carmeuse Lime, Inc.—Maple Grove
Operations). Additionally, Ohio EPA
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provided information to support to the
incorporation of specific emissions rates
in the long-term strategy and the SIP at
40 CFR 52.1870(d) at three power plants
for the purposes of regional haze
(Cardinal Power Plant, General James M.
Gavin Power Plant, and Ohio Valley
Electric Corp.—Kyger Creek Station).
EPA proposes to find that such
documentation of the technical basis of
the long-term strategy satisfies the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) require that the
emissions information considered to
determine the measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
include information on emissions for
the most recent year for which the State
has submitted triennial emissions data
to EPA (or a more recent year), with a
12-month exemption period for newly
submitted data. As previously
mentioned above, Ohio EPA
participated in the development of
technical analyses, including emission
inventory information, by LADCO and
its member States, and is relying in part
on those analyses to satisfy the emission
inventory requirements. Ohio EPA
explained that emissions for the 2016
base year and the 2028 projected year
used in LADCO’s modeling address
elements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v) of the
Regional Haze Rule, which requires that
States provide recent and future year
emissions inventories of pollutants
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in any Class I areas. Ohio
EPA’s regional haze SIP revision for the
second implementation period also
included 2017 NEI emission data, which
corresponds to the year of the most
recent triennial NEI at the time of Ohio’s
SIP submission, as required under 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) of the Regional
Haze Rule. Based on Ohio EPA’s
consideration and analysis of the 2017
emission data in its SIP submittal, EPA
proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied
the emissions information requirement
in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
6. Five Additional Factors
In addition to the four statutory
factors, States must also consider the
five additional factors listed in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) in developing their longterm strategies.
As required by 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(A), Ohio EPA
considered emission reductions due to
ongoing air pollution control programs.
Ohio EPA noted ongoing Federal and
State emission control programs that
have reduced and will continue to
reduce visibility impairing pollutants
from Ohio point and area sources as
well as on-road and non-road mobile
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sources in the second implementation
period. For point sources, this included
Federal provisions for title V permitting
actions; Acid Rain Program; Boiler
MACT; VOC MACT; Combustion
turbine MACT; NSPS for New
Residential Wood Heaters; NSPS for
Commercial and Industrial Solid Waste
Incinerators; NESHAPs for Industrial,
Commercial, and Institutional Area
Source Boilers, Major Source Boilers;
NESHAP for Reciprocating Internal
Combustion Engines; Mercury and Air
Toxics Standards for power plants; oil
and natural gas industry standards; SO2
DRR; and Revised CSAPR Update. For
area sources, regulations include
national emission standards for aerosol
coatings plus State regulations for
Ohio’s consumer product rules, Ohio’s
Architectural and Industrial
Maintenance coatings rules, and Ohio’s
portable fuel container rules.
For on-road mobile sources, Ohio EPA
cited to Federal regulations for the
Motor Vehicle Emission Control
Program—low sulfur gasoline and ultralow sulfur diesel fuel; Control of
Hazardous Air Pollutants from Mobile
Sources; and NOX Emission Standards
for New Commercial Aircraft Engines.
Among the controls for on-road mobile
sources is the Ohio-administered
Federal inspection and maintenance (I/
M) program known as ‘‘E-check’’ in
northeast Ohio, codified at Ohio
Administrative Code 3745–26–01(Z).
For non-road mobile sources, Ohio EPA
cited to Federal regulations for the
Clean Air Non-road Diesel Rule, Nonroad Spark-Ignition Engines and
Recreational Engine Standards, New
Non-road Spark Ignition Engines, heavyduty diesel engine standard/low sulfur
fuel, railroad/locomotive standards, and
commercial marine vessel engine
standards. For both on-road and nonroad mobile sources, Ohio EPA also
provided information about Ohio’s
Beneficiary Mitigation Plan, which
accepted and distributed funds from the
Volkswagen settlement in 2018,
resulting in benefits that compound
over the lifetime of the equipment
purchased or repowered. This included
$40 million to on-road fleets (school bus
replacements, transit bus replacements,
and class 4–8 local freight and port
drayage trucks and shuttle buses), $19
million to non-road equipment
(tugboats, ferries, switcher locomotives,
airport ground support, and port cargo
handling equipment); and $11.25
million for infrastructure to support
Zero Emissions Vehicles.
As required by 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(B), Ohio’s consideration
of measures to mitigate the impacts of
construction activities in its SIP
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submission focus on windblown dust
resulting from earth moving activities as
a primary source of airborne particles.
For work on construction sites where
greater than one acre of land is
disturbed, Ohio EPA points to general
permits required under the National
Pollutant Discharge Elimination System,
which require best management
practices to control soil erosion and
stormwater runoff that are also effective
in preventing and reducing airborne soil
as particulate matter emissions.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv),
Ohio EPA’s SIP submission addressed
schedules for source retirements,
replacements, and natural gas
conversions for 18 coal-fired units that
are or will be permanent and federally
enforceable during the second
implementation period. As such, Ohio
did not select these sources for a fourfactor analysis. During the second
implementation period, as enumerated
above, 12 coal-fired EGUs have already
permanently shut down, 3 coal-fired
units converted to natural gas, and 3
coal-fired EGUs will permanently shut
down by 2028. These retirements and
conversions contribute to Ohio’s
emission reductions and the associated
visibility improvements at the affected
Class I areas for the second
implementation period.
In considering smoke management for
prescribed burns as required in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(D), Ohio EPA referred to
interrelated laws and regulations for
management of air emissions from
prescribed fires. Among the enforcing
agencies is the Ohio Department of
Natural Resources Division of Forestry,
which has the authority under Ohio
Revised Code (ORC) 1503.18 55 to ban
outdoor burning statewide in
unincorporated areas during certain
months and times of the year and to
provide waivers only for individuals
who are Certified Prescribed Fire
Managers. In addition, OAC 3745–19 56
‘‘Open Burning Standards’’ regulates
prescribed fires for horticultural,
silvicultural, range, or wildfire
management practices and requires
applications for permission, which must
specify methods to reduce air emissions
and certify adherence to the
requirements of OAC 3745–19. To put
Ohio’s contribution from prescribed
fires into context, Ohio EPA also
provided emissions data from the 2017
55 Ohio Revised Code (ORC), title 15 Conservation
of Natural Resources, Chapter 1503 Division of
Forestry, Section 1503.18 is available at https://
codes.ohio.gov/ohio-revised-code/section-1503.18.
56 Ohio Administrative Code (OAC), Chapter
3745–19 Open Burning Standards is available at
https://codes.ohio.gov/ohio-administrative-code/
chapter-3745-19.
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NEI showing that prescribed fire activity
in the State constitutes less than 1
percent of total U.S. prescribed fire
emissions.
As required by 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv), Ohio EPA considered
the anticipated net effect on visibility
improvements at the LADCO Class I
Areas due to projected changes in
emissions from point, area, and mobile
sources during the second
implementation period. For each
potential control measure evaluated in
the four-factor analyses, Ohio EPA
projected the maximum estimated
visibility benefit at any Class I area
among the sources that were modeled,
as listed in Table 18 of Ohio’s SIP
submission, to compare the relative
control measures at a particular facility.
Ohio considered cost-effectiveness
along with time necessary to install
controls, energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts, and remaining
useful life. Ohio found no potential new
add-on controls necessary for reasonable
progress.
Ohio EPA considered other projected
changes in emissions that would affect
visibility at the LADCO Class I Areas.
The visibility improvement expected
during the second implementation
period was estimated using LADCO’s
2016 base year and 2028 future year
inventory components to simulate 2016
and 2028 air quality. As described
above, for EGUs, projected changes for
2028 emissions in LADCO’s modeling
platform were based on ERTAC
forecasts and State-reported changes.
For most other emission sectors, LADCO
relied upon EPA’s 2016 and 2028
inventory estimates for projected
changes. As Ohio EPA pointed out in
section III.3(e)(5) of its SIP submission,
these projected changes in EPA’s 2016
and 2028 inventory estimates took into
account Federal on-the-books controls,
such as those listed in Ohio’s long-term
strategy above. In addition, as noted in
section III.3(e)(5) of Ohio’s SIP
submission, improvements in visibility
are also anticipated by the end of the
second implementation period due to
the upcoming permanent shutdowns of
coal-fired EGUs at Miami Fort Power
Station and Zimmer Power Station by
2028.
Ohio EPA also demonstrated that
visibility conditions in the LADCO
Class I Areas have shown continued
improvement relative to baseline
conditions. As depicted in LADCO’s
2021 TSD, 2016 visibility impairment
conditions at the LADCO Class I Areas
on the 20 percent most impaired days as
well as the 20 percent clearest days
were below their respective glidepaths.
By the end of the second
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implementation period in 2028, both
LADCO’s projections and EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality
Modeling show 2028 visibility
conditions will be below the URP
glidepaths for the LADCO Class I Areas.
Ohio EPA concluded, in section V of
its SIP submission, that when weighing
the four-factor analyses and the five
additional required factors, new add-on
controls are not necessary to meet
second implementation period regional
haze SIP requirements beyond the
measures included in Ohio’s long-term
strategy. Ohio’s process for selecting
sources for four-factor analyses
represented 80 percent of the total SO2
and 57 percent of NOX for all sources
with Q greater than 0.1 tons per year
and provided an analytical means for
refining the list based on shutdowns,
conversions, and existing effective
controls. For the add-on controls
evaluated for the 6 units selected for
four-factor analyses, Ohio considered
the cost effectiveness, time necessary to
install the controls, energy and solid
waste impacts, the costs/sales ratio, and
comparable visibility benefits in
determining that the controls evaluated
were not cost effective to achieve
emission reductions during the second
implementation period. Ohio EPA
reflected upon the steady and
significant improvement in visibility at
each of the Class I areas impacted by
sources in Ohio and noted that
LADCO’s modeling shows continued
improvement with 2028 projections
below their URP glidepaths. As
discussed under the progress report
elements below, from 2005 to 2017,
Ohio’s SO2 emissions decreased by 90
percent while NOX emissions decreased
by 47 percent. During the second
implementation period, the decreasing
trend continues with the shutdowns of
12 coal-fired EGUs at 4 facilities and the
upcoming permanent shutdowns of 3
more coal-fired EGUs at 2 power
stations. Given all these factors, Ohio
concluded that the on-the-books and onthe-way controls included in its longterm strategy, including the shutdowns
and emission limits for NOX and SO2 in
the DFFOs, are more than sufficient to
make reasonable progress in the second
implementation period. EPA proposes
to find that Ohio reasonably considered
and satisfied the requirements for each
of the five additional factors in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) in developing its longterm strategy.
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)
contain the requirements pertaining to
RPGs for each Class I area. Under 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i), a State, in which a
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mandatory Class I area is located, is
required to establish RPGs—one each
for the most impaired and clearest
days—reflecting the visibility
conditions that will be achieved at the
end of the implementation period as a
result of the emission limitations,
compliance schedules and other
measures required under paragraph
(f)(2) to be in States’ long-term
strategies, as well as implementation of
other CAA requirements. The long-term
strategies as reflected by the RPGs must
provide for an improvement in visibility
on the most impaired days relative to
the baseline period and ensure no
degradation on the clearest days relative
to the baseline period. The provisions of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) apply in
circumstances in which a Class I area’s
RPG for the most impaired days
represents a slower rate of visibility
improvement than the uniform rate of
progress calculated under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi). Under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii)(A), if the State in which
a mandatory Class I area is located
establishes an RPG for the most
impaired days that provides for a slower
rate of visibility improvement than the
URP, the State must demonstrate that
there are no additional emission
reduction measures for anthropogenic
sources or groups of sources in the State
that would be reasonable to include in
its long-term strategy. The provisions of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) requires that if
a State contains sources that are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area in
another State, and the RPG for the most
impaired days in that Class I area is
above the URP, the upwind State must
provide the same demonstration.
Because Ohio has no Class I areas
within its borders to which the
requirements of the visibility protection
program apply in 40 CFR part 81,
subpart D, Ohio is subject only to 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B), but not 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(i) or (f)(3)(ii)(A).
Under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B), a
State that contains sources that are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area in
another State for which a demonstration
by the other State is required under 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) must demonstrate
that there are no additional emission
reduction measures that would be
reasonable to include in its long-term
strategy. Ohio’s SIP submission at Table
1, section III(7)(b), and appendix A
show that at each of the Class I areas
impacted by emissions from Ohio, the
2028 projected visibility impairment is
not above the adjusted URP glidepaths
for the 20 percent most impaired days
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and ensures no degradation on the 20
percent clearest days. Therefore, EPA
proposes it is reasonable to assume that
the demonstration requirement under 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) as it pertains to
these areas will not be triggered.
EPA proposes to determine that Ohio
has satisfied the applicable
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)
relating to RPGs.
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
The requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6) specify that each
comprehensive revision of a State’s
regional haze SIP must contain or
provide for certain elements, including
monitoring strategies, emissions
inventories, and any reporting,
recordkeeping and other measures
needed to assess and report on
visibility. A main requirement of this
subsection is for States with Class I
areas to submit monitoring strategies for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting
on visibility impairment. Compliance
with this requirement may be met
through participation in the IMPROVE
network.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(i) require SIPs to provide for
the establishment of any additional
monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess whether reasonable progress
goals to address regional haze for all
mandatory Class I Federal areas within
the State are being achieved. The
provisions of 51.308(f)(6)(ii) require
SIPs to provide for procedures by which
monitoring data and other information
are used in determining the contribution
of emissions from within the State to
regional haze visibility impairment at
mandatory Class I Federal areas both
within and outside the State. As noted
above, Ohio does not have any
mandatory Class I Federal areas located
within its borders to which the
requirements of the visibility protection
program apply in 40 CFR part 81,
subpart D. Therefore, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(i) and (ii) do not apply.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(iii) require States with no
Class I areas to include procedures by
which monitoring data and other
information are used in determining the
contribution of emissions from within
the State to regional haze visibility
impairment at Class I areas in other
States. States with Class I areas must
establish a monitoring program and
report data to EPA that is representative
of visibility at the Class I Federal areas.
The IMPROVE network meets this
requirement. Ohio EPA stated that, as a
participant in LADCO, it reviewed
information about the chemical
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composition of baseline monitoring data
at LADCO Class I Federal areas to
understand the sources of haze causing
pollutants. Ohio EPA does not operate
any monitoring sites under the Federal
IMPROVE program and, therefore, does
not require approval of its monitoring
network under the Regional Haze Rule.
Ohio EPA relies upon participation in
the IMPROVE network as part of the
State’s monitoring strategy for regional
haze to review progress and trends in
visibility at Class I areas that may be
affected by emissions from Ohio, for
comprehensive periodic revisions of
this implementation plan, and for
periodic reports describing progress
towards the reasonable progress goals
for those areas. Ohio also runs a
monitoring network of EPA-approved
monitors for ozone and PM2.5, as
described in section III(8)(c) of Ohio’s
SIP submission, which Ohio EPA uses
to determine the contribution of
emissions from sources within Ohio to
visibility impairment at Class I areas in
other States for SIP development.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(iv) require the SIP to
provide for the reporting of all visibility
monitoring data to the Administrator at
least annually for each Class I area in
the State. As noted above, Ohio does not
have any mandatory Class I Federal
areas located within its borders to
which the requirements of the visibility
protection program apply in 40 CFR part
81, subpart D, and, therefore, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(iv) does not apply.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(v) require SIPs to provide
for a statewide inventory of emissions of
pollutants that are reasonably
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment, including
emissions for the most recent year for
which data are available. Ohio EPA, as
described in section III(8)(c)(ii) of its SIP
submission, provided statewide
emission inventories, including data
from 2017 as the most recent year
available at the time of the State’s SIP
submission, by complying with EPA’s
AERR. In 40 CFR part 51, subpart A, the
AERR requires States to submit updated
emissions inventories for criteria
pollutants to EPA’s Emissions Inventory
System every three years. The emission
inventory data is used to develop the
NEI, which provides for, among other
things, a triennial State-wide inventory
of pollutants that are reasonably
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment. Ohio’s SIP
submission, in section III(8)(b), includes
a table of 2017 NEI data with source
categories covering emissions from EGU
point, non-EGU point, on-road, nonroad, commercial marine vessels, dust,
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71147
and other for the following pollutants:
SO2, NOX, PM2.5, PM10, VOC, and NH3.
To depict changes in emissions over
time, Ohio EPA accompanied the 2017
NEI data with side-by-side comparisons
comparing 2005 emissions for the same
source categories and pollutants. Ohio
EPA also provided a summary of SO2,
NOX, PM2.5, VOCs, and NH3 emissions
for 2016 that LADCO used in
developing Q/d metrics and the 2016
base year emissions inventory to project
emissions to year 2028. Additionally, as
described in further detail under the
progress report elements in section
III(8)(b) of Ohio’s SIP submission, Ohio
EPA provided more recent data through
2019 from CAMD to depict trends in
EGU emissions, which demonstrated a
94 percent decrease in SO2 emissions
and an 84 percent decrease in NOX
emissions from 2005 to 2019.
The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(v) also require States to
include estimates of future projected
emissions and include a commitment to
update the inventory periodically. For
future projected emissions, Ohio relied
on the LADCO modeling and analysis,
which estimated 2028 projected
emissions of SO2 and NOX for specific
facilities in the LADCO States to
provide an assessment of expected
future year air quality based on 2016
emissions as well as ERTAC and State
forecasts. In addition to Ohio’s
commitment to comply with the AERR
to periodically update EPA’s emission
inventories for creating and analyzing
the NEI, Ohio annually updates the
State’s own EIS for pollutants
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in Class I areas to
support future regional haze progress
reports and SIP revisions.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has
met the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6) as described above,
including through its continued
participation in LADCO, its own
statewide EIS, and its emissions
reporting to EPA under AERR.
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5)
require that periodic comprehensive
revisions of States’ regional haze plans
also address the progress report
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)
through (5). The purpose of these
requirements is to evaluate progress
towards the applicable RPGs for each
Class I area within the State and each
Class I area outside the State that may
be affected by emissions from within
that State. The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) and (2) apply to all States
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and require a description of the status
of implementation of all measures
included in a State’s first
implementation period regional haze
plan and a summary of the emission
reductions achieved through
implementation of those measures. The
provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3) apply
only to States with Class I areas within
their borders and requires such States to
assess current visibility conditions,
changes in visibility relative to baseline
(2000–2004) visibility conditions, and
changes in visibility conditions relative
to the period addressed in the first
implementation period progress report.
The provisions of 51.308(g)(4) apply to
all States and requires an analysis
tracking changes in emissions of
pollutants contributing to visibility
impairment from all sources and sectors
since the period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report.
This provision further specifies the year
or years through which the analysis
must extend depending on the type of
source and the platform through which
its emission information is reported.
Finally, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5), which also
applies to all States, requires an
assessment of any significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the State have occurred since
the period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report,
including whether such changes were
anticipated and whether they have
limited or impeded expected progress
towards reducing emissions and
improving visibility.
Ohio’s previous progress report,
which was a 5-year progress report
submitted as a SIP revision for the first
implementation period on March 11,
2016, included emission inventories
from 2002–2014 of NOX and SO2 for
EGUs as well as inventories from 2005
and 2011 of NOX, SO2, PM2.5, PM10,
VOC, and NH3 for additional source
categories: EGUs, non-EGUs, on-road,
non-road, commercial marine vessels,
and other. Based on CAMD data for
emissions from EGUs covering the
period 2002 to 2014, Ohio’s 2016 5-year
progress report showed a decrease in
NOX emissions by 76 percent and a
decrease in SO2 emissions by 75
percent. (82 FR 60543, December 21,
2017).
For the second implementation period
SIP submittal, the 2019 Guidance
recommends the progress report cover
the first full year that was not
incorporated into the previous progress
report through a year that is as close as
possible to the submission date of the
SIP. 2019 Guidance at 55. Ohio’s 2021
progress report, contained in section
III(8)(b) of its SIP submission, covered
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the measures and emissions reductions
achieved from 2005 through 2019,
including 2017 as the most recent NEI
year available at the time for sector level
emissions.
To address the progress report
elements of 51.308(g)(1), Ohio EPA
described the status of implementation
of all measures in the long-term strategy
under its first implementation period
regional haze plan. These measures
included several Federal measures,
including CAIR and its successor
CSAPR, to which Ohio attributed the
majority of reductions in visibilityimpairing emissions from the largest
point-source sector, EGUs, during the
first implementation period, along with
the Acid Rain Program under title IV
and the NOX SIP Call. Additional onthe-books control measures that
generated further emission reductions
addressed mobile sources, such as onroad provisions under the Federal Motor
Vehicle Emission Control Program for
low-sulfur gasoline and ultra-low sulfur
diesel fuel as well as the Ohioadministered Federal I/M program, Echeck. Non-road Federal measures for
mobile sources included the Clean Air
Non-road Diesel Rule, the evaporative
Large Spark Ignition and Recreational
Vehicle standards, heavy-duty diesel
engine standard for low-sulfur diesel
fuel, railroad/locomotive standards, and
commercial marine vessel engine
standards. Measures for area sources
included Ohio’s consumer products
rules for consumer solvents, Ohio’s
Architectural and Industrial
Maintenance coatings rules, Ohio’s
portable fuel container rules, and
NESHAP for aerosol coatings. Among
the other measures, Ohio also included
BART and Industrial Boiler MACT,
which applied to only one EGU in the
State.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(g)(2),
Ohio provided a summary of the
emission reductions achieved through
the measures outlined above from the
first implementation period. As a result
of these measures, NEI data from 2005
to 2017 from across all emission
categories, discussed more fully below,
show that Ohio’s SO2 emissions
decreased by 90 percent, NOX emissions
decreased by 57 percent, VOC emissions
decreased by 33 percent, and ammonia
emissions decreased by 26 percent. The
most significant emissions reductions
from Ohio’s SIP strategies were realized
mainly as a result of CAIR and CSAPR,
where CAMD data show that the EGU
sector experienced a 94 percent
decrease in SO2 from 1,085,485 tpy in
2005 to 68,905 tpy in 2019 as well as an
84 percent decrease in NOX from
255,000 tpy in 2005 to 40,493 tpy in
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2019. EPA proposes to find that Ohio
has met the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) and (2) because its SIP
submission describes the measures
included in the long-term strategy from
the first implementation period, as well
as the status of their implementation
and the emission reductions achieved
through such implementation.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)
require States to assess Reasonable
Progress Goals, including current
visibility conditions and changes, for
any Class I areas within the State. As
described above, Ohio has no
mandatory Class I Federal areas within
its borders that are among the 156
mandatory Class I Federal areas where
EPA deemed visibility to be an
important value. Therefore, 40 CFR
51.308(g)(3) does not apply.
To address 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), Ohio
EPA provided an analysis, in section
III.8(b)(iv) of its SIP submittal, tracking
the change in emissions of NOX, SO2,
PM2.5, PM10, NH3, and VOC from all
sources and activities in the State. Table
21 of Ohio’s SIP submission documents
changes in emissions of each of these
pollutants for the EGU point, non-EGU
point, on-road, non-road, commercial
marine vessels, and other categories
based on the NEIs from 2005 through
2017, the most recent NEI year available
at the time for category level emissions.
As a caveat, Ohio noted that there were
several changes in the methodologies for
estimating emissions between the 2005
and 2017 NEIs, such that they are not
readily comparable as explained in
EPA’s 2017 National Emissions
Inventory: January 2021 Updated
Release, Technical Support
Document.57 Specifically, these
inconsistencies resulted from changes in
the reporting of the condensable portion
of PM emissions, changes in the model
used for on-road and non-road
emissions, as well as improvements in
methodologies for other sources such as
paved and unpaved PM emissions,
ammonia fertilizer and animal waste
emissions, oil and gas production,
residential wood combustion, solvents,
industrial and commercial/institutional
fuel combustion, and commercial
marine vessel emissions. While Ohio
EPA noted that the inventories are not
directly comparable, 40 CFR
51.308(g)(4) does not require States to
revise previous NEI year estimates to
use the same methods as a more recent
year.
57 2017 National Emissions Inventory: January
2017 Updated Release, Technical Support
Document,’’ EPA–454/R–21=001, February 2021.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-02/
documents/nei2017_tsd_full_jan2021.pdf.
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Ohio EPA’s analysis of Table 21
documents overall emission reductions
in NOX and SO2 across all source
categories from the 2005 and 2017 NEIs,
with a 90 percent reduction in SO2 and
57 percent reduction in NOX. Based on
the 2005 and 2017 NEIs, Ohio
documented decreases in NOX
emissions of 77 percent from EGU Point,
32 percent from non-EGU point, 49
percent from on-road, 55 percent from
non-road, 38 percent from commercial
marine vessels, and 44 percent from
other categories. For SO2, Ohio
calculated decreases from the 2005 to
2017 NEIs of 92 percent from EGU
point, 77 percent from non-EGU point,
87 percent from on-road, 99 percent
from non-road, 92 percent from
commercial marine vessels, and 36
percent from other categories. Overall
reductions in VOC and NH3 emissions,
which Ohio EPA notes are less
impactful on visibility in the LADCO
Class I Areas, reached 33 percent and 26
percent, respectively, despite an
apparent increase in EGU point source
emissions in NH3, which Ohio EPA
attributes to changes in estimation
methodologies at a few select facilities
that Ohio EPA is investigating further.
Similarly, while overall PM2.5 and PM10
emissions appear to increase by 14
percent and 12 percent, respectively,
Ohio EPA notes that a direct
comparison between the 2005 and 2017
NEIs would be inaccurate because of the
inconsistencies in PM reporting and
changes in the modeling of emissions as
explained above. In addition to the
NEIs, Ohio EPA provided data, as noted
earlier, with respect to EGUs that report
to CAMD from 2005 to 2019, the most
recent year available at the time,
tracking the change in emissions and
chronicling the decrease in SO2 by 94
percent and the decrease in NOX by 84
percent. EPA proposes to find that Ohio
has satisfied the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(4) by tracking the change in
emissions of NOX, SO2, PM2.5, VOCs,
and NH3 identified by type of source
since the first progress report.
To address 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5), Ohio
EPA assessed significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions since the first
implementation period plan, within and
outside of the State, including whether
they were anticipated and whether they
limited or impeded progress in
improving visibility. Within the State,
Ohio compared the 2005 and 2017 NEIs
in Table 21 of its submittal to identify
changes in anthropogenic emissions,
finding that emissions significantly
decreased across all categories for NOX
and SO2. As previously mentioned,
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these changes were anticipated and
occurred mainly as a result of CSAPR as
it replaced CAIR. Where emissions
appeared to increase significantly, such
as for NH3 emissions from EGU-point
source category, Ohio explained the
changes occurred as a result the
inconsistencies in the reporting,
modeling, and methodologies used for
the 2005 and 2017 NEI data sets as
described above, and that Ohio is
investigating the potential for the
increases to be attributed to errors at a
few select facilities. With the significant
decreases in anthropogenic emissions of
NOX, SO2, VOC, and NH3 across all
source categories from 2005 to 2017
NEIs, Ohio EPA found that no changes
in anthropogenic emissions within or
outside Ohio have occurred from 2005
to 2017 that would limit or impede
progress in reducing pollutant
emissions and improving visibility.
Ohio noted that further improvements
in visibility are anticipated with the
emission reductions to be realized the
Revised CSAPR Update along with the
permanent shutdown of coal-fired
boilers at Miami Fort Power Station and
Zimmer Power Station. The emissions
trend data in Ohio’s SIP submission
support an assessment that
anthropogenic haze-causing pollutant
emissions in Ohio have decreased
during the reporting period and that
changes in emissions have not limited
or impeded progress in reducing
pollutant emissions and improving
visibility. EPA proposes to find that
Ohio has met the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(g)(5).
Following up on Ohio’s 2021 progress
report, in section III.8(b)of its SIP
submission, Ohio EPA committed to
submit a progress report for the second
implementation period by January 31,
2025, to evaluate progress towards the
reasonable progress goal for each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within and outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the
State as required by 40 CFR 51.308(g).
I. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires States
to consult with FLMs before holding the
public hearing on a proposed regional
haze SIP and to include a summary of
the FLMs’ conclusions and
recommendations in the notice to the
public. In addition, 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2)’s FLM consultation
provision requires a State to provide
FLMs with an opportunity for
consultation that is early enough in the
State’s policy analyses of its emission
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71149
reduction obligation so that information
and recommendations provided by the
FLMs’ can meaningfully inform the
State’s decisions on its long-term
strategy. If the consultation has taken
place at least 120 days before a public
hearing or public comment period, the
opportunity for consultation will be
deemed early enough. Regardless, the
opportunity for consultation must be
provided at least 60 days before a public
hearing or public comment period at the
State level. The requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2) also provide two
substantive topics on which FLMs must
be provided an opportunity to discuss
with States: assessment of visibility
impairment in any Class I area and
recommendations on the development
and implementation of strategies to
address visibility impairment. In 40 CFR
51.308(i)(3), States, in developing their
implementation plans, are required to
include a description of how they
addressed FLMs’ comments.
In development of its SIP submittal,
Ohio participated with the FLMs in an
early engagement process as well as a
formal consultation process, sharing
drafts of its SIP submission, reviewing
information provided by the FLMs, and
meeting to discuss the development of
Ohio’s proposed Regional Haze plan. On
May 12, 2020, and October 2, 2020,
Ohio received lists of sources
recommended for four-factor analyses
by NPS and USFS, respectively, which
are included as Appendices K2 and K3
in Ohio’s SIP submission. On October 8,
2020, Ohio EPA shared an early draft of
its Regional Haze plan with USFS, FWS,
and NPS for their review and comments.
Following this early engagement
process, Ohio initiated a formal
consultation process with the FLMs on
January 6, 2021, providing another draft
of its Regional Haze plan and offering an
opportunity for consultation in person.
Ohio EPA initiated the early
engagement process more than 120 days
before the first public comment period
on Ohio’s plan and began the formal
consultation process at least 60 days
prior to the first public comment period
on Ohio’s plan as required by 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2). On February 10, 2021,
USFS shared their comments on the
draft plan with Ohio EPA, and NPS
shared their comments with Ohio EPA
on February 17, 2021, both of which are
contained in Appendices L1, L2, L3 of
Ohio’s SIP submission. Ohio EPA’s
response to the FLM’s comments from
February 2021 are included as
Appendix L4 of Ohio’s SIP submittal as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3).
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On May 10, 2021, Ohio announced its
initial public comment period and
public hearing regarding the State’s
proposed SIP submittal for the second
implementation period on Ohio EPA’s
Regional Haze website,58 in the Ohio
EPA Weekly Review,59 and through
electronic mailing lists to interested
parties, including FLMs. The public
notice included FLM’s comments and
Ohio EPA’s response in the proposed
SIP submission. The initial public
comment period took place from May
10, 2021, through June 28, 2021, being
extended beyond the original 30-day
period by an additional two weeks, and
a virtual and in-person public hearing
was held on June 14, 2021. Following
the public comment period, Ohio
submitted its SIP revision to EPA on
July 30, 2021.
Subsequently, in 2023 and 2024, Ohio
EPA re-engaged with the FLMs on a
proposed supplement to its July 30,
2021, SIP submission. As discussed
above, Ohio EPA shared a proposed
supplement with the FLMs that
included an analyses and proposed
emission limits for General James M.
Gavin Power Plant, Cardinal Power
Plant, and Ohio Valley Electric Corp.—
Kyger Creek Station. For the proposed
supplement, Ohio EPA provided a 45day FLM consultation period from
January 16, 2024, to March 1, 2024, that
ran concurrently with an extended
public comment period from January 16,
2024, to March 18, 2024, during which
Ohio made the FLM comments available
to the public on its website by March 5,
2024. A virtual and in-person public
hearing on Ohio EPA’s proposed
supplement was held on March 18,
2024.
Following the second public comment
period, Ohio EPA again re-engaged with
the FLMs on proposed DFFOs that
would effectuate the emissions
limitations contained within the
proposed supplement. After Ohio EPA
and the FLMs agreed on a shortened
FLM consultation period from May 3,
2024, to May 31, 2024, Ohio provided
a third public comment period
regarding draft DFFOs effectuating the
proposed emission limitations from
June 3, 2024, through July 8, 2024, and
a virtual and in-person public hearing
was held on July 8, 2024. Ohio EPA
considered input from FLMs and the
public provided during each of the three
FLM consultation periods and three
58 The Ohio EPA Regional Haze website is
available at https://epa.ohio.gov/divisions-andoffices/air-pollution-control/state-implementationplans/state-implementation-plan-sip-regional-haze.
59 The Ohio EPA Weekly Review is available at
https://epa.ohio.gov/about/media-center/publicnotices.
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public notice periods when finalizing
this SIP revision.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4),
Ohio committed to continue
consultation with States and FLMs on
the development and review of any
future plan revisions and progress
reports, as well as other programs
having the potential to contribute to
visibility impairment in the mandatory
Class I areas, including NSR sources
that might impact visibility in Class I
areas. Given Ohio EPA’s actions
recounted above, EPA proposes to find
that Ohio has satisfied the requirements
of 40 CFR 51.308(i) to consult with the
FLMs on its regional haze SIP for the
second implementation period.
V. Proposed Action
EPA proposes to approve Ohio’s July
30, 2021, SIP submission, as
supplemented on August 6, 2024, as
satisfying the regional haze
requirements for the second
implementation period contained in 40
CFR 51.308(f).
VI. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
CAA and applicable Federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions,
EPA’s role is to approve State choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely proposes to approve State law as
meeting Federal requirements and does
not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by State law. For
that reason, this proposed action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR
21879, April 11, 2023);
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have Federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
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• Is not subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997)
because it approves a State program;
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001); and
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA.
In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where EPA or an
Indian Tribe has demonstrated that a
Tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have
Tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on Tribal
governments or preempt Tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
Executive Order 12898 (Federal
Actions to Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994) directs Federal
agencies to identify and address
‘‘disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects’’
of their actions on communities with
environmental justice (EJ) concerns to
the greatest extent practicable and
permitted by law. EPA defines EJ as
‘‘the fair treatment and meaningful
involvement of all people regardless of
race, color, national origin, or income
with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of
environmental laws, regulations, and
policies.’’ EPA further defines the term
fair treatment to mean that ‘‘no group of
people should bear a disproportionate
burden of environmental harms and
risks, including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’
Ohio EPA did not evaluate EJ
considerations as part of its SIP
submittal; the CAA and applicable
implementing regulations neither
prohibit nor require such an evaluation.
EPA did not perform an EJ analysis and
did not consider EJ in this action. Due
to the nature of the action being taken
here, this action is expected to have a
neutral to positive impact on the air
quality of the affected area.
Consideration of EJ is not required as
part of this action, and there is no
information in the record inconsistent
with the stated goal of E.O. 12898 of
achieving environmental justice for
communities with EJ concerns.
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List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: August 21, 2024.
Debra Shore,
Regional Administrator, Region 5.
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 169 (Friday, August 30, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 71124-71151]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-19189]
[[Page 71123]]
Vol. 89
Friday,
No. 169
August 30, 2024
Part IV
Environmental Protection Agency
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40 CFR Part 52
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Regional Haze Plan for the Second
Implementation Period; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 169 / Friday, August 30, 2024 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 71124]]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R05-OAR-2021-0544; FRL-12175-01-R5]
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Regional Haze Plan for the Second
Implementation Period
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve the Ohio regional haze state implementation plan (SIP) revision
submitted by the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency (Ohio or Ohio
EPA) on July 30, 2021, which Ohio EPA supplemented on August 6, 2024,
as satisfying applicable requirements under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and
EPA's Regional Haze Rule for the program's second implementation
period. EPA proposes to find that Ohio's SIP submission addresses the
requirement that States must periodically revise their long-term
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national goal of
preventing any future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic
impairment of visibility, including regional haze, in mandatory Class I
Federal areas, and also addresses other applicable requirements for the
second implementation period of the regional haze program. EPA is
taking this action pursuant to sections 110 and 169A of the CAA.
DATES: Written comments must be received on or before September 30,
2024.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R05-
OAR-2021-0544 at https://www.regulations.gov or via email to
[email protected]. For comments submitted at Regulations.gov,
follow the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted,
comments cannot be edited or removed from the docket. EPA may publish
any comment received to its public docket. Do not submit to EPA's
docket at https://www.regulations.gov any information you consider to
be confidential business information (CBI), Proprietary Business
Information (PBI), or other information whose disclosure is restricted
by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include discussion of all points you wish
to make. EPA will generally not consider comments or comment contents
located outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
other file sharing system). For additional submission methods, please
contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section. For the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI
or multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective
comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Alisa Liu, Air and Radiation Division
(AR-18J), Environmental Protection Agency, Region 5, 77 West Jackson
Boulevard, Chicago, Illinois 60604, (312) 353-3193, [email protected].
The EPA Region 5 office is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday
through Friday.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document whenever ``we,''
``us,'' or ``our'' is used, we mean EPA.
Table of Contents
I. What action is EPA proposing?
II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan
Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
IV. EPA's Evaluation of Ohio's Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Ohio's First Implementation Period SIP
Submission
B. Ohio's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and EPA's
Evaluation
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
1. Selection of Sources for Analysis
2. Emission Measures Necessary To Make Reasonable Progress
3. Ohio's Long-Term Strategy
4. EPA's Evaluation of Ohio's Compliance With 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i)
5. Consultation With States
6. Five Additional Factors
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan
Requirements
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
I. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
V. Proposed Action
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. What action is EPA proposing?
On July 30, 2021, Ohio EPA submitted a revision to its SIP to
address regional haze for the second implementation period and
supplemented it on August 6, 2024. Ohio EPA made this SIP submission to
satisfy the requirements of the CAA's regional haze program pursuant to
CAA sections 169A and 169B and 40 CFR 51.308. EPA proposes to find that
the Ohio regional haze SIP submission for the second implementation
period meets the applicable statutory and regulatory requirements and
thus proposes to approve Ohio's submission into its SIP.
II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA Amendments, Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation's mandatory Class I Federal areas,
which include certain national parks and wilderness areas.\1\ CAA 169A.
The CAA establishes as a national goal the ``prevention of any future,
and the remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in
mandatory class I Federal areas which impairment results from manmade
air pollution.'' CAA 169A(a)(1). The CAA further directs EPA to
promulgate regulations to assure reasonable progress toward meeting
this national goal. CAA 169A(a)(4). On December 2, 1980, EPA
promulgated regulations to address visibility impairment in mandatory
Class I Federal areas (hereinafter referred to as ``Class I areas'')
that is ``reasonably attributable'' to a single source or small group
of sources. (45 FR 80084, December 2, 1980). These regulations,
codified at 40 CFR 51.300 through 51.307, represented the first phase
of EPA's efforts to address visibility impairment. In 1990, Congress
added section 169B to the CAA to further address visibility impairment,
specifically, impairment from regional
[[Page 71125]]
haze. CAA 169B. EPA promulgated the Regional Haze Rule (RHR), codified
at 40 CFR 51.308,\2\ on July 1, 1999. (64 FR 35714, July 1, 1999).
These regional haze regulations are a central component of EPA's
comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I areas.
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\1\ Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class I Federal
areas consist of national parks exceeding 6,000 acres, wilderness
areas and national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and all
international parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977. CAA
162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas. The list of areas to
which the requirements of the visibility protection program apply is
in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.
\2\ In addition to the generally applicable regional haze
provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, EPA also promulgated regulations
specific to addressing regional haze visibility impairment in Class
I areas on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. The latter
regulations are applicable only for specific jurisdictions' regional
haze plans submitted no later than December 17, 2007, and thus are
not relevant here.
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Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a
multitude of anthropogenic sources and activities which are located
across a broad geographic area and that emit pollutants that impair
visibility. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors (e.g., sulfur
dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia
(NH3)). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to
form fine particulate matter (PM2.5), which impairs
visibility by scattering and absorbing light. Visibility impairment
reduces the perception of clarity and color, as well as visible
distance.\3\
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\3\ There are several ways to measure the amount of visibility
impairment, i.e., haze. One such measurement is the deciview, which
is the principal metric used by the RHR. Under many circumstances, a
change in one deciview will be perceived by the human eye to be the
same on both clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric extinction of
light, which is the perceived dimming of light due to its being
scattered and absorbed as it passes through the atmosphere.
Atmospheric light extinction (b\ext\) is a metric used to for
expressing visibility and is measured in inverse megameters (Mm-1).
EPA's Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period (``2019 Guidance'') offers the
flexibility for the use of light extinction in certain cases. Light
extinction can be simpler to use in calculations than deciview,
since it is not a logarithmic function. See, e.g., 2019 Guidance at
16, 19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period, EPA Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20,
2019). The formula for the deciview is 10 ln (b\ext\)/10 Mm-1). 40
CFR 51.301.
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To address regional haze visibility impairment, the 1999 RHR
established an iterative planning process that requires both States in
which Class I areas are located and States ``the emissions from which
may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment
of visibility'' in a Class I area to periodically submit SIP revisions
to address such impairment. CAA 169A(b)(2); \4\ see also 40 CFR
51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates for iterative regional
haze SIP revisions); (64 FR 35714 at 35768, July 1, 1999). Under the
CAA, each SIP submission must contain ``a long-term (ten to fifteen
years) strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the
national goal,'' CAA 169A(b)(2)(B); the initial round of SIP
submissions also had to address the statutory requirement that certain
older, larger sources of visibility impairing pollutants install and
operate the best available retrofit technology (BART). CAA
169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e). States' first regional haze SIPs
were due by December 17, 2007, 40 CFR 51.308(b), with subsequent SIP
submissions containing updated long-term strategies originally due July
31, 2018, and every ten years thereafter. (64 FR at 35768, July 1,
1999). EPA established in the 1999 RHR that all States either have
Class I areas within their borders or ``contain sources whose emissions
are reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional haze in a Class I
area''; therefore, all States must submit regional haze SIPs.\5\ Id. at
35721.
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\4\ The RHR expresses the statutory requirement for States to
submit plans addressing out-of-state class I areas by providing that
States must address visibility impairment ``in each mandatory Class
I Federal area located outside the State that may be affected by
emissions from within the State.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d) and (f).
\5\ In addition to each of the fifty States, EPA also concluded
that the Virgin Islands and District of Columbia must also submit
regional haze SIPs because they either contain a Class I area or
contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40 CFR 51.300(b) and
(d)(3).
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Much of the focus in the first implementation period of the
regional haze program, which ran from 2007 through 2018, was on
satisfying States' BART obligations. First implementation period SIPs
were additionally required to contain long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required elements for the first
implementation period SIPs (other than BART) are laid out in 40 CFR
51.308(d). Those provisions required that States containing Class I
areas establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that are measured in
deciviews (dv) and reflect the anticipated visibility conditions at the
end of the implementation period including from implementation of
States' long-term strategies. The first planning period RPGs were
required to provide for an improvement in visibility for the most
impaired days over the period of the implementation plan and ensure no
degradation in visibility for the least impaired days over the same
period. In establishing the RPGs for any Class I area in a State, the
State was required to consider four statutory factors: the costs of
compliance, the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful
life of any potentially affected sources. CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1).
States were also required to calculate baseline (using the five
year period of 2000-2004) and natural visibility conditions (i.e.,
visibility conditions without anthropogenic visibility impairment) for
each Class I area, and to calculate the linear rate of progress needed
to attain natural visibility conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004 and ending with natural
conditions in 2064. This linear interpolation is known as the uniform
rate of progress (URP) and is used as a tracking metric to help States
assess the amount of progress they are making towards the national
visibility goal over time in each Class I area.\6\ 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2). The 1999 RHR also provided that States'
long-term strategies must include the ``enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance, schedules, and other measures as necessary to
achieve the reasonable progress goals.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3). In
establishing their long-term strategies, States are required to consult
with other States that also contribute to visibility impairment in a
given Class I area and include all measures necessary to obtain their
shares of the emission reductions needed to meet the RPGs. See 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii). The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(d) also contain
seven additional factors States must consider in formulating their
long-term strategies, 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v), as well as provisions
governing monitoring and other implementation plan requirements. 40 CFR
51.308(d)(4).
[[Page 71126]]
Finally, the 1999 RHR required States to submit periodic progress
reports--SIP revisions due every five years that contain information on
States' implementation of their regional haze plans and an assessment
of whether anything additional is needed to make reasonable progress,
see 40 CFR 51.308(g),(h)--and to consult with the Federal Land
Manager(s) \7\ (FLMs) responsible for each Class I area according to
the requirements in CAA 169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ EPA established the URP framework in the 1999 RHR to provide
``an equitable analytical approach'' to assessing the rate of
visibility improvement at Class I areas across the country. The
start point for the URP analysis is 2004 and the endpoint was
calculated based on the amount of visibility improvement that was
anticipated to result from implementation of existing CAA programs
over the period from the mid-1990s to approximately 2005. Assuming
this rate of progress would continue into the future, EPA determined
that natural visibility conditions would be reached in 60 years, or
2064 (60 years from the baseline starting point of 2004). However,
EPA did not establish 2064 as the year by which the national goal
must be reached. 64 FR at 35731-32. That is, the URP and the 2064
date are not enforceable targets but are rather tools that ``allow
for analytical comparisons between the rate of progress that would
be achieved by the State's chosen set of control measures and the
URP.'' (82 FR 3078 at 3084, January 10, 2017).
\7\ EPA's regulations define ``Federal Land Manager'' as ``the
Secretary of the department with authority over the Federal Class I
area (or the Secretary's designee) or, with respect to Roosevelt-
Campobello International Park, the Chairman of the Roosevelt-
Campobello International Park Commission.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On January 10, 2017, EPA promulgated revisions to the RHR, (82 FR
3078, January 10, 2017), that apply for the second and subsequent
implementation periods. The 2017 rulemaking made several changes to the
requirements for regional haze SIPs to clarify States' obligations and
streamline certain regional haze requirements. The revisions to the
regional haze program for the second and subsequent implementation
periods focused on the requirement that States' SIPs contain long-term
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national
visibility goal. The reasonable progress requirements as revised in the
2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the 2017 RHR Revisions) are
codified at 40 CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes, the 2017 RHR
Revisions adjusted the deadline for States to submit their second
implementation period SIPs from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021,
clarified the order of analysis and the relationship between RPGs and
the long-term strategy, and focused on making visibility improvements
on the days with the most anthropogenic visibility impairment, as
opposed to the days with the most visibility impairment overall. EPA
also revised requirements of the visibility protection program related
to periodic progress reports and FLM consultation. The specific
requirements applicable to second implementation period regional haze
SIP submissions are addressed in detail below.
EPA provided guidance to the states for their second implementation
period SIP submissions in the preamble to the 2017 RHR Revisions as
well as in subsequent, stand-alone guidance documents. In August 2019,
EPA issued ``Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for
the Second Implementation Period'' (``2019 Guidance'').\8\ On July 8,
2021, EPA issued a memorandum containing ``Clarifications Regarding
Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation
Period'' (``2021 Clarifications Memo'').\9\ Additionally, EPA further
clarified the recommended procedures for processing ambient visibility
data and optionally adjusting the URP to account for international
anthropogenic and prescribed fire impacts in two technical guidance
documents: the December 2018 ``Technical Guidance on Tracking
Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the
Regional Haze Program'' (``2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance''),\10\
and the June 2020 ``Recommendation for the Use of Patched and
Substituted Data and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking
Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the
Regional Haze Program'' and associated Technical Addendum (``2020 Data
Completeness Memo'').\11\
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\8\ Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019).
\9\ Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation
Plans for the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf. EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
\10\ Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf EPA
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park. (December 20, 2018).
\11\ Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data
and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze
Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program EPA Office
of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (June
3, 2020).
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As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, EPA intends the
second implementation period of the regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility impairing pollutants that build on
the significant progress States have achieved to date. The Agency also
recognizes that analyses regarding reasonable progress are State-
specific and that, based on States' and sources' individual
circumstances, what constitutes reasonable reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants will vary from State-to-State. While there exist
many opportunities for States to leverage both ongoing and upcoming
emission reductions under other CAA programs, the Agency expects States
to undertake rigorous reasonable progress analyses that identify
further opportunities to advance the national visibility goal
consistent with the statutory and regulatory requirements. See
generally 2021 Clarifications Memo. This is consistent with Congress's
determination that a visibility protection program is needed in
addition to the CAA's National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)
and Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) programs, as further
emission reductions may be necessary to adequately protect visibility
in Class I areas throughout the country.\12\
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\12\ See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95-294 at 205 (``In determining how
to best remedy the growing visibility problem in these areas of
great scenic importance, the committee realizes that as a matter of
equity, the national ambient air quality standards cannot be revised
to adequately protect visibility in all areas of the country.''),
(``the mandatory class I increments of [the PSD program] do not
adequately protect visibility in class I areas'').
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B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and pollution affecting visibility in
Class I areas can be transported over long distances, successful
implementation of the regional haze program requires long-term,
regional coordination among multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and the emissions that impact
visibility in those areas. To address regional haze, States need to
develop strategies in coordination with one another, considering the
effect of emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning organizations (RPOs),\13\ which include
representation from State and Tribal governments, EPA, and FLMs, were
developed in the lead-up to the first implementation period to address
regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical information to better understand
how emissions from State and Tribal land impact Class I areas across
the country, pursue the development of regional strategies to reduce
emissions of particulate matter and other pollutants leading to
regional haze, and help States meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
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\13\ RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ``multi-
jurisdictional organizations,'' or MJOs. For the purposes of this
notice, the terms RPO and MJO are synonymous.
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The Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO) is an RPO that
includes the States of Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio,
and Wisconsin. LADCO's work is a
[[Page 71127]]
collaborative effort of State governments, Tribal governments, and
various Federal agencies established to initiate and coordinate
activities associated with the management of regional haze, visibility,
and other air quality issues in the Midwest. Along with the six LADCO
States, participants in LADCO's Regional Haze Technical Workgroup
include EPA, U.S. National Parks Service (NPS), U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service (FWS), and U.S. Forest Service (USFS).
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and EPA's regulations, all 50 States, the District of
Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands were required to submit regional
haze SIPs satisfying the applicable requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional haze program by July 31, 2021.
Each State's SIP must contain a long-term strategy for making
reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal of remedying any
existing and preventing any future anthropogenic visibility impairment
in Class I areas. CAA 169A(b)(2)(B). To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f) lays
out the process by which States determine what constitutes their long-
term strategies, with the order of the requirements in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1) through (3) generally mirroring the order of the steps in
the reasonable progress analysis \14\ and (f)(4) through (6) containing
additional, related requirements. Broadly speaking, a State first must
identify the Class I areas within the State and determine the Class I
areas outside the State in which visibility may be affected by
emissions from the State. These are the Class I areas that must be
addressed in the State's long-term strategy. See 40 CFR 51.308(f),
(f)(2). For each Class I area within its borders, a State must then
calculate the baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions for
that area, as well as the visibility improvement made to date and the
URP. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1). Each State having a Class I area and/or
emissions that may affect visibility in a Class I area must then
develop a long-term strategy that includes the enforceable emission
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress in such areas. A reasonable
progress determination is based on applying the four factors in CAA
section 169A(g)(1) to sources of visibility-impairing pollutants that
the State has selected to assess for controls for the second
implementation period. Additionally, as further explained below, the
RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five ``additional
factors'' \15\ that States must consider in developing their long-term
strategies. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). A State evaluates potential
emission reduction measures for those selected sources and determines
which are necessary to make reasonable progress. Those measures are
then incorporated into the State's long-term strategy. After a State
has developed its long-term strategy, it then establishes RPGs for each
Class I area within its borders by modeling the visibility impacts of
all reasonable progress controls at the end of the second
implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as well as the impacts of other
requirements of the CAA. The RPGs include reasonable progress controls
not only for sources in the State in which the Class I area is located,
but also for sources in other States that contribute to visibility
impairment in that area. The RPGs are then compared to the baseline
visibility conditions and the URP to ensure that progress is being made
towards the statutory goal of preventing any future and remedying any
existing anthropogenic visibility impairment in Class I areas. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)and(3).
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\14\ EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that we were
adopting new regulatory language in 40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike
the structure in 51.308(d), ``tracked the actual planning
sequence.'' (82 FR 3091, January 10, 2017).
\15\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that States
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable
progress.
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In addition to satisfying the requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f)
related to reasonable progress, the regional haze SIP revisions for the
second implementation period must address the requirements in 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) through (5) pertaining to periodic reports describing
progress towards the RPGs, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5), as well as requirements
for FLM consultation that apply to all visibility protection SIPs and
SIP revisions. 40 CFR 51.308(i).
A State must submit its regional haze SIP and subsequent SIP
revisions to EPA according to the requirements applicable to all SIP
revisions under the CAA and EPA's regulations. See CAA 169A(b)(2); CAA
110(a). Upon EPA approval, a SIP is enforceable by the Agency and the
public under the CAA. If EPA finds that a State fails to make a
required SIP revision, or if EPA finds that a State's SIP is incomplete
or disapproves the SIP, the Agency must promulgate a Federal
implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies the applicable requirements.
See CAA 110(c)(1).
A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional haze SIP is for a State to
determine which Class I areas, in addition to those within its borders,
``may be affected'' by emissions from within the State. In the 1999
RHR, EPA determined that all States contribute to visibility impairment
in at least one Class I area and explained that the statute and
regulations lay out an ``extremely low triggering threshold'' for
determining ``whether States should be required to engage in air
quality planning and analysis as a prerequisite to determining the need
for control of emissions from sources within their State.'' 64 FR 35714
at 35720-22, July 1, 1999.
A State must determine which Class I areas must be addressed by its
SIP by evaluating the total emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants from all sources within the State. While the RHR does not
require this evaluation to be conducted in any particular manner, EPA's
2019 Guidance provides recommendations for how such an assessment might
be accomplished, including by, where appropriate, using the
determinations previously made for the first implementation period. See
2019 Guidance at 8-9. In addition, the determination of which Class I
areas may be affected by a State's emissions is subject to the
requirement in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ``document the technical
basis, including modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions
information, on which the State is relying to determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress in
each mandatory Class I Federal area it affects.''
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP submission for the second
implementation period is providing for reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR contains requirements in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility improvement over time. The
requirements of this section apply only to States having Class I areas
within their borders; the required calculations must be made for each
such Class I area. EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance \16\
provides recommendations
[[Page 71128]]
to assist States in satisfying their obligations under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1); specifically, in developing information on baseline,
current, and natural visibility conditions, and in making optional
adjustments to the URP to account for the impacts of international
anthropogenic emissions and prescribed fires. See 82 FR 3078 at 3103-
05, January 10, 2017.
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\16\ The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance references and relies
on parts of the 2003 Tracking Guidance: ``Guidance for Tracking
Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule,'' which can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf.
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The RHR requires tracking of visibility conditions on two sets of
days: the clearest and the most impaired days. Visibility conditions
for both sets of days are expressed as the average deciview index for
the relevant five-year period (the period representing baseline or
current visibility conditions). The RHR provides that the relevant sets
of days for visibility tracking purposes are the 20 percent clearest
(the 20 percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the lowest
values of the deciview index) and 20 percent most impaired days (the 20
percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the highest amounts
of anthropogenic visibility impairment).\17\ 40 CFR 51.301. A State
must calculate visibility conditions for both the 20 percent clearest
and 20 percent most impaired days for the baseline period of 2000-2004
and the most recent five-year period for which visibility monitoring
data are available (representing current visibility conditions). 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(i) and (iii). States must also calculate natural
visibility conditions for the clearest and most impaired days,\18\ by
estimating the conditions that would exist on those two sets of days
absent anthropogenic visibility impairment. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii).
Using all these data, States must then calculate, for each Class I
area, the amount of progress made since the baseline period (2000-2004)
and how much improvement is left to achieve to reach natural visibility
conditions.
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\17\ This action also refers to the 20 percent clearest and 20
percent most anthropogenically impaired days as the ``clearest'' and
``most impaired'' or ``most anthropogenically impaired'' days,
respectively.
\18\ The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an error
related to the requirement for calculating two sets of natural
conditions values. The rule says, ``most impaired days or the
clearest days'' where it should say ``most impaired days and
clearest days.'' This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected in the final
rule language. This is supported by the preamble text at 82 FR 3098:
``In the final version of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of
``or'' has been corrected to ``and'' to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired days and the
clearest days must be based on available monitoring information.''
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Using the data for the set of most impaired days only, States must
plot a line between visibility conditions in the baseline period and
natural visibility conditions for each Class I area to determine the
URP--the amount of visibility improvement, measured in dv, that would
need to be achieved during each implementation period to achieve
natural visibility conditions by the end of 2064. The URP is used in
later steps of the reasonable progress analysis for informational
purposes and to provide a non-enforceable benchmark against which to
assess a Class I area's rate of visibility improvement.\19\
Additionally, in the 2017 RHR Revisions, EPA provided States the option
of proposing to adjust the endpoint of the URP to account for impacts
of anthropogenic sources outside the United States and/or impacts of
certain types of wildland prescribed fires. These adjustments, which
must be approved by EPA, are intended to avoid any perception that
States should compensate for impacts from international anthropogenic
sources and to give States the flexibility to determine that limiting
the use of wildland-prescribed fire is not necessary for reasonable
progress. See 82 FR 3078 at 3107, January 10, 2017, footnote 116.
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\19\ Being on or below the URP is not a ``safe harbor''; i.e.,
achieving the URP does not mean that a Class I area is making
``reasonable progress'' and does not relieve a State from using the
four statutory factors to determine what level of control is needed
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3078 at 3093, January 10,
2017.
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EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance can be used to help satisfy
the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements, including in developing
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
and in making optional adjustments to the URP. In addition, the 2020
Data Completeness Memo provides recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides
updated natural conditions estimates for each Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
The core component of a regional haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in each Class I area within a
State's borders and each Class I area that may be affected by emissions
from the State. The long-term strategy ``must include the enforceable
emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that
are necessary to make reasonable progress, as determined pursuant to
(f)(2)(i) through (iv).'' 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). The amount of progress
that is ``reasonable progress'' is based on applying the four statutory
factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of potential control
options for sources of visibility impairing pollutants, which is
referred to as a ``four-factor'' analysis. The outcome of that analysis
is the emission reduction measures that a particular source or group of
sources needs to implement to make reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). Emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress may
be either new, additional control measures for a source, or they may be
the existing emission reduction measures that a source is already
implementing. See 2019 Guidance at 43; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 8-
10. Such measures must be represented by ``enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures'' (i.e., any
additional compliance tools) in a State's long-term strategy in its
SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
The construct of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the requirements
for the four-factor analysis. The first step of this analysis entails
selecting the sources to be evaluated for emission reduction measures;
to this end, the RHR requires States to consider ``major and minor
stationary sources or groups of sources, mobile sources, and area
sources'' of visibility impairing pollutants for potential four-factor
control analysis. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). A threshold question at this
step is which visibility impairing pollutants will be analyzed. As EPA
previously explained, consistent with the first implementation period,
EPA generally expects that each State will analyze at least
SO2 and NOX in selecting sources and determining
control measures. See 2019 Guidance at 12, 2021, Clarifications Memo at
4. A State that chooses not to consider at least these two pollutants
should demonstrate why such consideration would be unreasonable. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 4.
While States have the option to analyze all sources, the 2019
Guidance explains that ``an analysis of control measures is not
required for every source in each implementation period,'' and that
``[s]electing a set of sources for analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . . consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that a
state may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in a
given SIP revision.'' 2019 Guidance at 9. However, given that source
selection is the basis of all subsequent control determinations, a
reasonable source selection process ``should be designed and conducted
to ensure that source selection results in a
[[Page 71129]]
set of pollutants and sources the evaluation of which has the potential
to meaningfully reduce their contributions to visibility impairment.''
2021 Clarifications Memo at 3.
EPA explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo that each State has
an obligation to submit a long-term strategy that addresses the
regional haze visibility impairment that results from emissions from
within that State. Thus, source selection should focus on the in-state
contribution to visibility impairment and be designed to capture a
meaningful portion of the State's total contribution to visibility
impairment in Class I areas. A State should not decline to select its
largest in-state sources on the basis that there are even larger out-
of-state contributors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4.\20\
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\20\ Similarly, in responding to comments on the 2017 RHR
Revisions, EPA explained that ``[a] state should not fail to address
its many relatively low-impact sources merely because it only has
such sources and another state has even more low-impact sources and/
or some high impact sources.'' Responses to Comments on Protection
of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed
Rule (81 FR 26942 at 26987-88, May 4, 2016).
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Thus, while States have discretion to choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable, whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that
a State's SIP submission include ``a description of the criteria it
used to determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated.''
The technical basis for source selection, which may include methods for
quantifying potential visibility impacts such as emissions divided by
distance metrics, trajectory analyses, residence time analyses, and/or
photochemical modeling, must also be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a State has selected the set of sources, the next step is to
determine the emissions reduction measures for those sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress for the second implementation
period.\21\ This is accomplished by considering the four factors--``the
costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, and the energy
and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the
remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such
requirements.'' CAA 169A(g)(1). EPA has explained that the four-factor
analysis is an assessment of potential emission reduction measures
(i.e., control options) for sources; ``use of the terms `compliance'
and `subject to such requirements' in section 169A(g)(1) strongly
indicates that Congress intended the relevant determination to be the
requirements with which sources would have to comply to satisfy the
CAA's reasonable progress mandate.'' 82 FR 3078 at 3091, January 10,
2017. Thus, for each source it has selected for four-factor
analysis,\22\ a State must consider a ``meaningful set'' of technically
feasible control options for reducing emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants. Id. at 3088. The 2019 Guidance provides that ``[a] state
must reasonably pick and justify the measures that it will consider,
recognizing that there is no statutory or regulatory requirement to
consider all technically feasible measures or any particular measures.
A range of technically feasible measures available to reduce emissions
would be one way to justify a reasonable set.'' 2019 Guidance at 29.
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\21\ The CAA provides that, ``[i]n determining reasonable
progress there shall be taken into consideration'' the four
statutory factors. CAA 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-
factor analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or source
categories, a State may also consider additional emission reduction
measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other
newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules and measures for
sources not selected for four-factor analysis for the second
planning period.
\22\ ``Each source'' or ``particular source'' is used here as
shorthand. While a source-specific analysis is one way of applying
the four factors, neither the statute nor the RHR requires States to
evaluate individual sources. Rather, States have ``the flexibility
to conduct four-factor analyses for specific sources, groups of
sources or even entire source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each state.'' 82 FR
3078 at 3088, January 10, 2017. However, not all approaches to
grouping sources for four-factor analysis are necessarily
reasonable; the reasonableness of grouping sources in any particular
instance will depend on the circumstances and the manner in which
grouping is conducted. If it is feasible to establish and enforce
different requirements for sources or subgroups of sources, and if
relevant factors can be quantified for those sources or subgroups,
then States should make a separate reasonable progress determination
for each source or subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7-8.
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EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further guidance on what
constitutes a reasonable set of control options for consideration: ``A
reasonable four-factor analysis will consider the full range of
potentially reasonable options for reducing emissions.'' 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7. In addition to add-on controls and other
retrofits (i.e., new emissions reduction measures for sources), EPA
explained that States should generally analyze efficiency improvements
for sources' existing measures as control options in their four-factor
analyses, as in many cases such improvements are reasonable given that
they typically involve only additional operation and maintenance costs.
Additionally, the 2021 Clarifications Memo provides that States that
have assumed a higher emissions rate than a source has achieved or
could potentially achieve using its existing measures should also
consider lower emissions rates as potential control options. That is, a
State should consider a source's recent actual and projected emission
rates to determine if it could reasonably attain lower emission rates
with its existing measures. If so, the State should analyze the lower
emission rate as a control option for reducing emissions. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7. EPA's recommendations to analyze potential
efficiency improvements and achievable lower emission rates apply to
both sources that have been selected for four-factor analysis and those
that have forgone a four-factor analysis on the basis of existing
``effective controls.'' See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 5, 10.
After identifying a reasonable set of potential control options for
the sources it has selected, a State then collects information on the
four factors with regard to each option identified. EPA has also
explained that, in addition to the four statutory factors, States have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider visibility
benefits as an additional factor alongside the four statutory
factors.\23\ The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to characterize the four factors (with
or without visibility), as well as ways in which States might
reasonably consider and balance that information to determine which of
the potential control options is necessary to make reasonable progress.
See 2019 Guidance at 30-36. The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains
further guidance on how States can reasonably consider modeled
visibility impacts or benefits in the context of a four-factor
analysis. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 12-13, 14-15. Specifically, EPA
explained that while visibility can reasonably be used when comparing
and choosing between multiple reasonable control options, it should not
be used to summarily reject controls that are reasonable given the four
statutory factors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13. Ultimately, while
States have discretion to reasonably weigh the factors and to determine
what level of control is needed, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides that a
State ``must include in its implementation plan a description of . . .
how the four factors were taken into consideration in selecting the
[[Page 71130]]
measure for inclusion in its long-term strategy.''
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\23\ See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection of
Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed
Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016), Docket Number EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0531,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019 Guidance at 36-37.
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As explained above, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires States to
determine the emission reduction measures for sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four factors.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2), measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal must be
included in a State's long-term strategy and in its SIP.\24\ If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is a new, additional emission
reduction measure for a source, that new measure is necessary to make
reasonable progress towards remedying existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment and must be included in the SIP. If the outcome of a four-
factor analysis is that no new measures are reasonable for a source,
continued implementation of the source's existing measures is generally
necessary to prevent future emission increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second part of the national visibility
goal: preventing future anthropogenic visibility impairment. See CAA
169A(a)(1). That is, when the result of a four-factor analysis is that
no new measures are necessary to make reasonable progress, the source's
existing measures are generally necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP. However, there may be circumstances in
which a State can demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress. Specifically, if a State can
demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its existing
measures and will not increase its emissions rate, it may not be
necessary to have those measures in the long-term strategy to prevent
future emissions increases and future visibility impairment. EPA's 2021
Clarifications Memo provides further explanation and guidance on how
States may demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at
8-10. If the State can make such a demonstration, it need not include a
source's existing measures in the long-term strategy or its SIP.
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\24\ States may choose to, but are not required to, include
measures in their long-term strategies beyond just the emission
reduction measures that are necessary for reasonable progress. See
2021 Clarifications Memo at 16. For example, States with smoke
management programs may choose to submit their smoke management
plans to EPA for inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to do
so. See, e.g., 82 FR 3078 at 3108-09, January 10, 2017, (requirement
to consider smoke management practices and smoke management programs
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require States to adopt such
practices or programs into their SIPs, although they may elect to do
so).
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As with source selection, the characterization of information on
each of the factors is also subject to the documentation requirement in
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress analysis, including
source selection, information gathering, characterization of the four
statutory factors (and potentially visibility), balancing of the four
factors, and selection of the emission reduction measures that
represent reasonable progress, is a technically complex exercise, but
also a flexible one that provides States with bounded discretion to
design and implement approaches appropriate to their circumstances.
Given this flexibility, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays an important
function in requiring a State to document the technical basis for its
decision making so that the public and EPA can comprehend and evaluate
the information and analysis the State relied upon to determine what
emission reduction measures must be in place to make reasonable
progress. The technical documentation must include the modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information on which the
State relied to determine the measures necessary to make reasonable
progress. This documentation requirement can be met through the
provision of and reliance on technical analyses developed through a
regional planning process, so long as that process and its output has
been approved by all State participants. In addition to the explicit
regulatory requirement to document the technical basis of their
reasonable progress determinations, States are also subject to the
general principle that those determinations must be reasonably moored
to the statute.\25\ That is, a State's decisions about the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress must
be consistent with the statutory goal of remedying existing and
preventing future visibility impairment.
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\25\ See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 531
(9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA, 812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir.
2016); North Dakota v. EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013);
Oklahoma v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208-10 (10th Cir. 2013); cf.
also Nat'l Parks Conservation Ass'n v. EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d
Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep't of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S.
461, 485, 490 (2004).
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The four statutory factors (and potentially visibility) are used to
determine what emission reduction measures for selected sources must be
included in a State's long-term strategy for making reasonable
progress. Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately
provides five ``additional factors'' \26\ that States must consider in
developing their long-term strategies: (1) Emission reductions due to
ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to address
reasonably attributable visibility impairment; (2) measures to reduce
the impacts of construction activities; (3) source retirement and
replacement schedules; (4) basic smoke management practices for
prescribed fire used for agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point,
area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the
long-term strategy. The 2019 Guidance provides that a State may satisfy
this requirement by considering these additional factors in the process
of selecting sources for four-factor analysis, when performing that
analysis, or both, and that not every one of the additional factors
needs to be considered at the same stage of the process. See 2019
Guidance at 21. EPA provided further guidance on the five additional
factors in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, explaining that a State should
generally not reject cost-effective and otherwise reasonable controls
merely because there have been emission reductions since the first
planning period owing to other ongoing air pollution control programs
or merely because visibility is otherwise projected to improve at Class
I areas. Additionally, States generally should not rely on these
additional factors to summarily assert that the State has already made
sufficient progress and, therefore, no sources need to be selected or
no new controls are needed regardless of the outcome of four-factor
analyses. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13.
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\26\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that States
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable
progress.
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Because the air pollution that causes regional haze crosses State
boundaries, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a State to consult with
other States that also have emissions that are reasonably anticipated
to contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each State that impacts visibility in an area
to share whatever technical information, analyses, and control
determinations may be necessary to develop coordinated emission
management strategies. This coordination may be managed through inter-
and intra-RPO consultation and the development of
[[Page 71131]]
regional emissions strategies; additional consultations between States
outside of RPO processes may also occur. If a State, pursuant to
consultation, agrees that certain measures (e.g., a certain emission
limitation) are necessary to make reasonable progress at a Class I
area, it must include those measures in its SIP. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A). Additionally, the RHR requires that States that
contribute to visibility impairment at the same Class I area consider
the emission reduction measures the other contributing States have
identified as being necessary to make reasonable progress for their own
sources. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B). If a State has been asked to
consider or adopt certain emission reduction measures, but ultimately
determines those measures are not necessary to make reasonable
progress, that State must document in its SIP the actions taken to
resolve the disagreement. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C). EPA will consider
the technical information and explanations presented by the submitting
State and the State with which it disagrees when considering whether to
approve the State's SIP. See Id.; 2019 Guidance at 53. Under all
circumstances, a State must document in its SIP submission all
substantive consultations with other contributing States. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ``measure the progress that is projected
to be achieved by the control measures States have determined are
necessary to make reasonable progress based on a four-factor
analysis.'' 82 FR 3078 at 3091, January 10, 2017. Their primary purpose
is to assist the public and EPA in assessing the reasonableness of
States' long-term strategies for making reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii)and(iv). States
in which Class I areas are located must establish two RPGs, both in
dv--one representing visibility conditions on the clearest days and one
representing visibility on the most anthropogenically impaired days--
for each area within their borders. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i). The two
RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts, on the two sets of
days, of the emission reduction measures the State with the Class I
area, as well as all other contributing States, have included in their
long-term strategies for the second implementation period.\27\ The RPGs
also account for the projected impacts of implementing other CAA
requirements, including non-SIP based requirements. Because RPGs are
the modeled result of the measures in States' long-term strategies (as
well as other measures required under the CAA), they cannot be
determined before States have conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 6.
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\27\ RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts of the
measures all contributing States include in their long-term
strategies. However, due to the timing of analyses, control
determinations by other States, and other on-going emissions
changes, a particular State's RPGs may not reflect all control
measures and emissions reductions that are expected to occur by the
end of the implementation period. The 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for addressing the timing of RPG calculations when
States are developing their long-term strategies on disparate
schedules, as well as for adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling
approach. 2019 Guidance at 47-48.
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For the second implementation period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not enforceable targets, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(iii); rather, they ``provide a way for the states to check
the projected outcome of the [long-term strategy] against the goals for
visibility improvement.'' 2019 Guidance at 46. While States are not
legally obligated to achieve the visibility conditions described in
their RPGs, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that ``[t]he long-term
strategy and the reasonable progress goals must provide for an
improvement in visibility for the most impaired days since the baseline
period and ensure no degradation in visibility for the clearest days
since the baseline period.'' Thus, States are required to have emission
reduction measures in their long-term strategies that are projected to
achieve visibility conditions on the most impaired days that are better
than the baseline period and shows no degradation on the clearest days
compared to the clearest days from the baseline period. The baseline
period for the purpose of this comparison is the baseline visibility
condition--the annual average visibility condition for the period 2000-
2004. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3078 at 3097-98, January 10,
2017.
So that RPGs may also serve as a metric for assessing the amount of
progress a State is making towards the national visibility goal, the
RHR requires States with Class I areas to compare the 2028 RPG for the
most impaired days to the corresponding point on the URP line
(representing visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility were to
improve at a linear rate from conditions in the baseline period of
2000-2004 to natural visibility conditions in 2064). If the most
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the URP (i.e., if visibility
conditions are improving more slowly than the rate described by the
URP), each State that contributes to visibility impairment in the Class
I area must demonstrate, based on the four-factor analysis required
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no additional emission reduction
measures would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii). To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires
that each State contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area
that is projected to improve more slowly than the URP provide ``a
robust demonstration, including documenting the criteria used to
determine which sources or groups [of] sources were evaluated and how
the four factors required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were taken into
consideration in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.'' The 2019 Guidance provides suggestions about how such a
``robust demonstration'' might be conducted. See 2019 Guidance at 50-
51.
The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and 2021 Clarifications Memo also
explain that projecting an RPG that is on or below the URP based on
only on-the-books and/or on-the-way control measures (i.e., control
measures already required or anticipated before the four-factor
analysis is conducted) is not a ``safe harbor'' from the CAA's and
RHR's requirement that all States must conduct a four-factor analysis
to determine what emission reduction measures constitute reasonable
progress. The URP is a planning metric used to gauge the amount of
progress made thus far and the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP is not based on consideration
of the four statutory factors and therefore cannot answer the question
of whether the amount of progress being made in any particular
implementation period is ``reasonable progress.'' See 82 FR at 3093,
3099-3100; 2019 Guidance at 22; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 15-16.
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) require States to have
certain strategies and elements in place for assessing and reporting on
visibility. Individual requirements under this section apply either to
States with Class I areas within their borders, States with no Class I
areas but that are reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in any Class I area, or both. A State with Class
I areas within its borders must submit with its SIP revision a
monitoring strategy for
[[Page 71132]]
measuring, characterizing, and reporting regional haze visibility
impairment that is representative of all Class I areas within the
State. SIP revisions for such States must also provide for the
establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess visibility conditions in Class I areas, as well as reporting of
all visibility monitoring data to EPA at least annually. Compliance
with the monitoring strategy requirement may be met through a State's
participation in the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual
Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring network, which is used to measure
visibility impairment caused by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i),
(f)(6)(iv). The IMPROVE monitoring data is used to determine the 20
percent most anthropogenically impaired and 20 percent clearest sets of
days every year at each Class I area and tracks visibility impairment
over time.
All States' SIPs must provide for procedures by which monitoring
data and other information are used to determine the contribution of
emissions from within the State to regional haze visibility impairment
in affected Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii). The
provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v) further require that all States'
SIPs provide for a statewide inventory of emissions of pollutants that
are reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in any Class I area; the inventory must include emissions
for the most recent year for which data are available and estimates of
future projected emissions. States must also include commitments to
update their inventories periodically. The inventories themselves do
not need to be included as elements in the SIP and are not subject to
EPA review as part of the Agency's evaluation of a SIP revision.\28\
All States' SIPs must also provide for any other elements, including
reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures, that are necessary for
States to assess and report on visibility. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). Per
the 2019 Guidance, a State may note in its regional haze SIP that its
compliance with the Air Emissions Reporting Rule (AERR) in 40 CFR part
51, subpart A satisfies the requirement to provide for an emissions
inventory for the most recent year for which data are available. To
satisfy the requirement to provide estimates of future projected
emissions, a State may explain in its SIP how projected emissions were
developed for use in establishing RPGs for its own and nearby Class I
areas.\29\
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\28\ See ``Step 8: Additional requirements for regional haze
SIPs'' in 2019 Guidance at 55.
\29\ Id.
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Separate from the requirements related to monitoring for regional
haze purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the RHR also contains a
requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional monitoring
that may be needed to address visibility impairment in Class I areas
from a single source or a small group of sources. This is called
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment.'' \30\ Under this
provision, if EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I area has advised a
State that additional monitoring is needed to assess reasonably
attributable visibility impairment, the State must include in its SIP
revision for the second implementation period an appropriate strategy
for evaluating such impairment.
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\30\ EPA's visibility protection regulations define ``reasonably
attributable visibility impairment'' as ``visibility impairment that
is caused by the emission of air pollutants from one, or a small
number of sources.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5) require a State's regional
haze SIP revision to address the requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) through (5) so that the plan revision due in 2021 will
serve also as a progress report addressing the period since submission
of the progress report for the first implementation period. The
regional haze progress report requirement is designed to inform the
public and EPA about a State's implementation of its existing long-term
strategy and whether such implementation is in fact resulting in the
expected visibility improvement. See 81 FR 26942, 26950, May 4, 2016,
(82 FR 3078 at 3119, January 10, 2017). To this end, every State's SIP
revision for the second implementation period is required to describe
the status of implementation of all measures included in the State's
long-term strategy, including BART and reasonable progress emission
reduction measures from the first implementation period, and the
resulting emissions reductions. 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
A core component of the progress report requirements is an
assessment of changes in visibility conditions on the clearest and most
impaired days. For second implementation period progress reports, 40
CFR 51.308(g)(3) requires States with Class I areas within their
borders to first determine current visibility conditions for each area
on the most impaired and clearest days, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i), and
then to calculate the difference between those current conditions and
baseline (2000-2004) visibility conditions to assess progress made to
date. See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii). States must also assess the changes
in visibility impairment for the most impaired and clearest days since
they submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See
40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii), (f)(5). Since different States submitted
their first implementation period progress reports at different times,
the starting point for this assessment will vary State by State.
Similarly, States must provide analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility impairment from all
sources and activities within the State over the period since they
submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See 40
CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5). Changes in emissions should be identified by
the type of source or activity. The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5)
also address changes in emissions since the period addressed by the
previous progress report and requires States' SIP revisions to include
an assessment of any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions
within or outside the State. This assessment must explain whether these
changes in emissions were anticipated and whether they have limited or
impeded progress in reducing emissions and improving visibility
relative to what the State projected based on its long-term strategy
for the first implementation period.
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that before a State holds a public
hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it must consult with
the appropriate FLM or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation, the State
must include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in
the notice to the public. Consistent with this statutory requirement,
the RHR also requires that States ``provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person and at a point early enough in
the State's policy analyses of its long-term strategy emission
reduction obligation so that information and recommendations provided
by the [FLM] can meaningfully inform the State's decisions on the long-
term strategy.'' 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). Consultation that occurs 120 days
prior to any public hearing or public comment opportunity will be
deemed ``early enough,'' but the RHR provides that in any event the
opportunity for consultation must be provided at least 60 days before a
public hearing or
[[Page 71133]]
comment opportunity. This consultation must include the opportunity for
the FLMs to discuss their assessment of visibility impairment in any
Class I area and their recommendations on the development and
implementation of strategies to address such impairment. 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2). For EPA to evaluate whether FLM consultation meeting the
requirements of the RHR has occurred, the SIP submission should include
documentation of the timing and content of such consultation. The SIP
revision submitted to EPA must also describe how the State addressed
any comments provided by the FLMs. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3). Finally, a SIP
revision must provide procedures for continuing consultation between
the State and FLMs regarding the State's visibility protection program,
including development and review of SIP revisions, five-year progress
reports, and the implementation of other programs having the potential
to contribute to impairment of visibility in Class I areas. 40 CFR
51.308(i)(4).
IV. EPA's Evaluation of Ohio's Regional Haze Submission for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Background on Ohio's First Implementation Period SIP Submission
Ohio submitted its regional haze SIP for the first implementation
period for 2007-2018 to EPA on December 31, 2008. Based on the failure
to submit a complete SIP addressing all elements of 40 CFR 51.308, EPA
issued a finding of failure to submit on January 9, 2009. 74 FR 2392,
January 15, 2009.
On March 11, 2011, Ohio submitted an updated first implementation
period regional haze SIP, and EPA finalized a limited approval on May
29, 2012. 77 FR 39177, July 2, 2012.
In a separate action, EPA finalized a limited disapproval of Ohio's
March 11, 2011, regional haze SIP because of deficiencies arising from
the remand of the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). EPA promulgated a
Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) to replace Ohio's reliance on CAIR
with the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR). 77 FR 33642, June 7,
2012.
On April 14, 2014, Ohio submitted a revision to its March 11, 2011,
regional haze SIP and supplemented it on July 27, 2015, to extend the
compliance date for the non-EGU BART emission limits for
SO2, which EPA approved on February 22, 2016. 81 FR 11445,
March 4, 2016.
On November 30, 2016, Ohio EPA submitted a second revision to
change reliance on CAIR to reliance on the CSAPR, which EPA approved on
April 30, 2018, converting EPA's limited approval/limited disapproval
of Ohio's March 11, 2011, regional haze SIP to a full approval, and
withdrawing the FIP provisions that addressed the limited disapproval.
See 83 FR 21719, May 10, 2018. The requirements for regional haze SIPs
for the first implementation period are contained in 40 CFR 51.308(d)
and (e). 40 CFR 51.308(b).
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(g), Ohio was also responsible for
submitting a five-year progress report as a SIP revision for the first
implementation period, which it did on March 11, 2016. EPA approved
this five-year progress report as a revision to the Ohio SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870(e) on December 8, 2017 (82 FR 60543, December 21, 2017).
B. Ohio's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and EPA's
Evaluation
In accordance with CAA sections 169A and the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f), Ohio EPA submitted a revision to the Ohio SIP on July 30,
2021, to address its regional haze obligations for the second
implementation period, which runs through 2028. Ohio EPA supplemented
its SIP submittal on August 6, 2024. Ohio initiated an FLM consultation
process and provided three public comment periods on the regional haze
SIP for the second implementation period. The first public comment
period on the initial SIP revision ran from May 10, 2021 through June
28, 2021, and a public hearing was held on June 14, 2021. The second
public comment period, limited to proposed emission limitations for
three sources, ran from January 16, 2024 through March 18, 2024, and a
public hearing was held on March 18, 2024. The third public comment
period, regarding draft administrative orders effectuating the proposed
emission limitations for the three sources, ran from June 6, 2024
through July 8, 2024, and a public hearing was held on July 9, 2024.
Ohio received and responded to comments from FLMs and the public. Ohio
included the comments and responses in Appendices K1-K4, L1-L4, M1-M3,
N1-N2, O, and P9-P12 of its July 30, 2021, submission and in Appendices
C3, C4, C7, C8, E2, E3, F2, F3, F4, F5, and G of its August 6, 2024,
supplement.
The following sections describe Ohio's SIP submission, including
Ohio's assessment of progress made since the first implementation
period in reducing emissions of visibility impairing pollutants, and
the visibility improvement progress at nearby Class I areas. Also
described is Ohio's August 6, 2024 supplement, which provides
administrative orders effectuating emission limitations for three
sources to be incorporated into the regulatory portion of Ohio's SIP at
40 CFR 52.1870(d). This action also contains EPA's evaluation of Ohio's
submission against the requirements of the CAA and the RHR for the
second implementation period of the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
The provisions of section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA require each State
in which any Class I area is located or ``the emissions from which may
reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of
visibility'' in a Class I area to have a plan for making reasonable
progress toward the national visibility goal. The RHR implements this
statutory requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f), which provides that each
State's plan ``must address regional haze in each mandatory Class I
Federal area located within the State and in each mandatory Class I
Federal area located outside the State that may be affected by
emissions from within the State,'' and (f)(2), which requires each
State's plan to include a long-term strategy that addresses regional
haze in such Class I areas.
Ohio has no Class I areas within its borders that are among the 156
mandatory Class I Federal areas where EPA deemed visibility to be an
important value. See 40 CFR part 81, subpart D. Thus, Ohio EPA only
considered out-of-state mandatory Class I Federal areas covered under
the RHR.
Ohio is a member of LADCO and participated in its regional approach
for developing a strategy for making reasonable progress towards the
national visibility in the northern Midwest Class I areas. Ohio EPA
reviewed technical analyses conducted by LADCO to determine what Class
I areas outside the State are affected by Ohio emission sources. For
the second regional haze implementation period, LADCO used the
Comprehensive Air Quality Model with extensions Particulate Matter
Source Apportionment Tool (PSAT). LADCO tagged States and regions as
well as individual point sources and inventory source groups to
apportion emissions to States and regions. LADCO assessed relative
visibility impacts in 2028 by projecting representative emissions
inventories and known emission controls from 2016.\31\ A group of RPOs,
[[Page 71134]]
States, and EPA established 2016 as the base year for a national air
quality modeling platform for future ozone, PM2.5, and
regional haze SIP development because of fairly typical ozone
conditions and wildfire conditions.\32\ LADCO relied upon EPA's
inventory estimates for 2016 and 2028 for most emission sectors as
described in EPA's September 19, 2019, ``Availability of Modeling Data
and Associated Technical Support Document for the EPA's Updated 2028
Visibility Air Quality Modeling,'' (EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air
Quality Modeling).\33\ For Electric Generating Units (EGUs), LADCO used
forecasts from the Eastern Regional Technical Advisory Committee
(ERTAC) based on continuous emissions monitoring data from 2016 instead
of the Integrated Planning Model used in EPA's 2016 modeling platform.
LADCO also incorporated State-reported changes to EGUs received through
September 2020 to estimate 2028 EGU emissions.
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\31\ See appendix A of Ohio EPA's SIP submittal. Details of the
analysis and source-apportioned visibility contributions at Class I
areas within the LADCO region for regional haze second planning
period are documented in LADCO's modeling technical support document
(TSD), dated June 17, 2021.
\32\ See ``Base Year Selection Workgroup Final Report,''
produced by the Inventory Collaborative Base Year Selection
Workgroup, April 5, 2017. https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/2017-12-12_Base_Year_Selection_Report_V1.1.pdf.
\33\ EPA, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
``Availability of Modeling Data and Associate Technical Support
Document for EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality Modeling,''
September 19, 2019. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-10/documents/updated_2028_regional_haze_modeling-tsd-2019_0.pdf
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Ohio identified affected Class I areas where progress toward
natural visibility conditions may be impacted by emissions from sources
in Ohio. Ohio reviewed technical analyses conducted by LADCO and other
RPOs to determine which Class I areas outside the State are affected by
Ohio emission sources.
For the second implementation period, Ohio used LADCO's modeled
emissions projections for 2028 as a framework to assess the potential
for changes in visibility-impairing emissions. Like the metrics used in
the first implementation period,\34\ Ohio EPA retained the 2 percent
light extinction threshold for determining Ohio's contribution to
visibility at Class I areas. LADCO's modeling results showed that a 2
percent light extinction threshold, when applied to all six LADCO
States and seven other States, would account for 92 percent or more of
the total light extinction at the Class I areas located in the LADCO
States on the most impaired days. When applying the 2 percent total
light extinction threshold, Ohio identified 17 Class I areas affected
by Ohio emission sources for the second implementation period. These
Class I areas, along with Ohio's 2028 projected contributions to
visibility impairment, are: Sipsey Wilderness Area in Alabama (2.3
percent); Cohutta Wilderness Area in Georgia (2.1 percent); Mammoth
Cave National Park in Kentucky (5.9 percent); Seney Wilderness Area in
Michigan (2.0 percent); Great Gulf Wilderness Area (2.5 percent) and
Presidential Range--Dry River Wilderness in New Hampshire (2.5
percent); Brigantine Wilderness Area in New Jersey (4.3 percent);
Linville Gorge (3.8 percent) and Shining Rock Wilderness Areas (2.8
percent) and Swanquarter National Wildlife Refuge in North Carolina
(3.6 percent); Great Smoky Mountains National Park (2.3 percent) and
Joyce-Kilmer-Slickrock Wilderness Area in Tennessee (2.3 percent); Lye
Brook Wilderness Area in Vermont (3.3 percent); James River Face
Wilderness Area (6.5 percent) and Shenandoah National Park in Virginia
(10.5 percent); and Dolly Sods (13.1 percent) and Otter Creek
Wilderness Areas (13.1 percent) in West Virginia.\35\ Based on the
adjusted URP glidepaths for each of these Class I areas provided in
EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality Modeling, visibility
conditions, as depicted in Table 1 of Ohio's SIP submission, are
projected to be below their respective glidepaths in 2028. Visibility
conditions at Dolly Sods and Otter Creek Wilderness Areas, the Class I
areas impacted most significantly by Ohio, are projected to be
approximately 5 dv below their respective glidepaths in 2028.
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\34\ See Section III.2. and Appendix A of Ohio's SIP submission
for LADCO's technical support document and supporting materials.
\35\ The list of Class I areas impacted by Ohio, including the
2028 projections for visibility on the 20 percent most impaired days
and Ohio's contribution, is found in Table 1 of Ohio's SIP
submission.
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D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) require States to determine
the following for ``each mandatory Class I Federal area located within
the State'': baseline visibility conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, natural visibility conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, progress to date for the most impaired and clearest
days, the differences between current visibility conditions and natural
visibility conditions, and the URP. This section also provides the
option for States to propose adjustments to the URP line for a Class I
area to account for visibility impacts from anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or the impacts from wildland prescribed
fires that were conducted for certain, specified objectives. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
Ohio has no mandatory Class I areas within its borders to which the
requirements of the visibility protection program apply in 40 CFR part
81, subpart D, and therefore, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) and its requirements
do not apply.
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
Each State having a Class I area within its borders or emissions
that may affect visibility in a Class I area must develop a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility
goal. CAA 169A(b)(2)(B). As explained in the Background section of this
notice, reasonable progress is achieved when all States contributing to
visibility impairment in a Class I area are implementing the measures
determined through application of the four statutory factors to sources
of visibility impairing pollutants to be necessary to make reasonable
progress. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). Each State's long-term strategy must
include the enforceable emission limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2). All new (i.e., additional) measures that are the outcome
of four-factor analyses are necessary to make reasonable progress and
must be in the long-term strategy. If the outcome of a four-factor
analysis and other measures necessary to make reasonable progress is
that no new measures are reasonable for a source, that source's
existing measures are necessary to make reasonable progress, unless the
State can demonstrate that the source will continue to implement those
measures and will not increase its emission rate. Existing measures
that are necessary to make reasonable progress must also be in the
long-term strategy. In developing its long-term strategies, a State
must also consider the five additional factors in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its reasonable progress determinations,
the State must describe the criteria used to determine which sources or
group of sources were evaluated (i.e., subjected to four-factor
analysis) for the second implementation period and how the four factors
were taken into consideration in selecting the emission reduction
measures for inclusion in the long-term strategy. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii).
[[Page 71135]]
1. Selection of Sources for Analysis
This section summarizes how Ohio EPA's SIP submission addressed the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) of the Regional Haze Rule.
Specifically, it describes the criteria Ohio EPA used to determine the
selection of sources or groups of sources it evaluated for an analysis
of potential emission control measures. States may rely on technical
information developed by the RPOs of which they are members to select
sources for four-factor analysis and to conduct that analysis, as well
as to satisfy the documentation requirements under 40 CFR 51.308(f).
In selecting sources to determine possible additional control
measures during the second planning period, Ohio EPA considered
NOX, SO2, PM2.5, and NH3,
which are direct or precursor pollutants than can impair visibility.
Based on EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality Modeling showing
that the EGU and non-EGU point source sectors contribute 37 to 76
percent of the visibility impact at Class I areas impacted by Ohio
sources, Ohio found it reasonable to focus on point sources for the
second implementation period.
To assist States with their source selection, LADCO generated
source lists based on total process-level emissions (Q) divided by
distance (d) to the nearest Class I area, where Q/d was used as a
surrogate quantitative metric of visibility impact. Total emissions of
Q refer to the sum of NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
and NH3. The National Emissions Inventory Collaborative 2016
alpha inventory was selected by participants in the LADCO Regional Haze
Technical Workgroup for the Q/d analysis in 2018 as the best available
inventory at that time. LADCO identified unit level sources above Q/d
thresholds of 1, 4, and 10, providing key information the States could
use to select potential sources to be subject to the four-factor
analysis. For details on the data and methods used in the Q/d analysis,
see LADCO's October 14, 2020, technical memorandum ``Description of the
Sources and Methods Used to Support Q/d Analysis for the 2nd Regional
Haze Planning Period'' and section 5 of LADCO's June 17, 2021,
Technical Support Document ``Modeling and Analysis for Demonstrating
Reasonable Progress for the Regional Haze Rule 2018-2028 Planning
Period,'' (LADCO's 2021 TSD) contained in appendix A and B of Ohio's
SIP submission.
In addition to LADCO's Q/d analysis, Ohio EPA compared point source
inventories from the 2017 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) and the
2018 Ohio Emissions Inventory System (EIS) \36\ with the emissions used
in LADCO's analysis. For sources where Q was greater than 500 tons per
year for the sum of NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
and NH3 in either the emissions data from the 2016 alpha
inventory, 2017 NEI, or 2018 Ohio EIS, Ohio calculated updated Q/d
values to determine if any additional sources would be identified
beyond those in LADCO's list. However, the process did not result in
the identification of any additional sources. As such, Ohio EPA relied
upon the Q/d information developed by LADCO to select emission units
for further analysis.
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\36\ Ohio EPA's Emission Inventory System (EIS) is a compilation
of data describing emissions from different sources of air
pollution. Ohio EPA's EIS data and reports are available at https://epa.ohio.gov/divisions-and-offices/air-pollution-control/reports-and-data/emision-inventory-system.
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Ohio EPA began by using a unit Q/d greater than 5 as a threshold
for selecting sources for further evaluation. Then on May 12, 2020, and
October 2, 2020, Ohio received lists of sources recommended for four-
factor analyses that were prepared by NPS and USFS, respectively, and
are included in Appendices K2, K3, and K4 in Ohio's SIP submission. The
list from NPS identified facilities with emissions comprising 80
percent of Ohio's total Q based on only SO2 and
NOX that covered a mix of years from 2014 to 2017, whereas
the list from USFS identified facilities with a Q/d greater than 8 as
calculated by LADCO with the addition of VOC to represent 80 percent of
Ohio's total Q at the closest Class I area to Ohio managed by USFS, the
Dolly Sods Wilderness Area. While Ohio EPA's primary approach was to
consider Q/d on an individual unit basis, the FLM's consideration of Q/
d on a facility-wide basis prompted Ohio to include facility-wide
contribution as an additional consideration. As such, Ohio EPA added a
secondary selection criterion for facility-wide Q/d and developed a
two-tiered approach to capture significant point source emissions in
Ohio for further analysis. Ohio EPA's first tier identified individual
units with a Q/d greater than 5 for a potential four-factor analysis.
For facilities with Q/d greater than 10, Ohio EPA's second tier
selected individual units with Q/d greater than 4 for a potential four-
factor analysis. This secondary selection criteria resulted in the
addition of two units to Ohio EPA's initial list for a total of 38
units at 16 facilities, accounting for 73 percent of the total Q for
all sources in Ohio with Q greater than 0.1 tons per year, including 80
percent of SO2, 57 percent of NOX, 47 percent of
PM2.5, and 23 percent of NH3.
Using this two-tiered approach, Ohio EPA identified the following
facilities and units: Avon Lake Power Plant Unit B012; Cardinal Power
Plant Units B001, B002, B009; Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove
Operations Units P003, P004; Conesville Power Plant Units B004, B007,
B008; City of Orrville Department of Public Utilities Units B001, B004;
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant Unit B004; DP&L, J.M. Stuart
Generating Station Units B001, B002, B003, B004; DP&L, Killen
Generating Station Unit B001; FirstEnergy Generation LLC--Bay Shore
Plant Unit B006; General James M. Gavin Power Plant Units B003, B004;
Haverhill Coke Company LLC Unit P902; Miami Fort Power Station Units
B015, B016; Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station Units B001,
B002, B003, B004, B005; P.H. Glatfelter Company--Chillicothe Facility
Units B002, B003; W.H. Sammis Plant Units B007, B008, B009, B010, B011,
B012, B013; and Zimmer Power Station Unit B006.
Ohio then refined the list above by considering whether units had
permanently shut down, accepted a commitment to permanently shut down
by 2028, converted to natural gas only, converted to limited use,
accepted new emission limits, or had existing effective controls such
that, in all these cases, a full four-factor analysis would likely
result in a conclusion that no further controls are necessary. For
units accepting a commitment to permanently shut down by 2028 or to
comply with new emission limits by 2025, Ohio issued Director's Final
Findings and Orders (DFFO) and requested they be incorporated into its
SIP to ensure that the measures become permanent and federally
enforceable. For units that had already permanently shut down or had
converted to natural gas or limited use, Ohio ensured measures were
permanent and federally enforceable through Ohio's permitting process
under its SIP approved Permit to Install (PTI) program and its title V
program. Ohio has PTI rules under Ohio Administrative Code (OAC)
Chapter 3745-31 that have been approved into Ohio's SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870 as well as a federally approved title V operating permit
program set forth at 40 CFR part 70. When an owner or operator
certifies a permanent shutdown and notifies Ohio EPA, the unit cannot
resume operation without being considered a new source subject to the
Federal New Source Review (NSR) requirements. Ohio's rules at OAC 3745-
31 prevent installation or
[[Page 71136]]
modification and subsequent operation of a new source without a new
permit.
Of the emission units that had already permanently shut down during
the second implementation period, 12 met Ohio's two-tier Q/d source
selection criteria. For Conesville Power Plant, coal-fired boiler B007
permanently shut down on May 31, 2019, and coal-fired boilers B004 and
B008 permanently shut down on May 31, 2020. DP&L--J.M. Stuart
Generating Station permanently shut down its coal-fired boiler B001 on
September 30, 2017, and boilers B002, B003, and B004 on June 1, 2018.
DP&L--Killen Generating Station also shut down its coal-fired boiler
B001 on June 1, 2018. W.H. Sammis Plant permanently shut down its coal-
fired boilers B007, B008, B009, and B010 on May 31, 2020.\37\
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\37\ Each of these units have been certified by the source owner
or operator as retired under the provisions for Retired Unit
Exemptions in the Acid Rain Program and/or CSAPR NOX and
SO2 Trading Programs. The Retired Unit Exemption
prohibits these units from emitting SO2, NOX,
or both starting on the day the exemption takes effect. See 40 CFR
72.8, 40 CFR 97.405, 40 CFR 97.505, 40 CFR 97.605, CFR 97.705, 40
CFR 97.805. Copies of the Retired Unit Exemption forms for each of
these units are included in the docket. Also included in the docket
is a copy of the list of retired generators from the Pennsylvania-
New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection (PJM) Regional Transmission
Organization (RTO), which includes each of these units as well.
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Of the units that met Ohio's Q/d source selection criteria but had
not yet permanently shut down by Ohio's SIP submittal date in 2021, 3
units accepted enforceable commitments to permanently shut down by
2028: Miami Fort Power Station's coal-fired boilers B015 and B016 and
Zimmer Power Station's coal-fired boiler B006. On September 29, 2020,
the owner of Miami Fort and Zimmer Power Stations announced plans to
permanently shut down these units. In lieu of a four-factor analysis,
Ohio determined that these permanent shutdowns were necessary for
reasonable progress. As such, on July 9, 2021, Ohio EPA issued DFFOs
which established enforceable commitments for the shutdown of these
three units by January 1, 2028, and requested that the DFFOs be
approved into Ohio's SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d) for EPA approved State
source-specific requirements.\38\
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\38\ Appendix C of Ohio's July 30, 2021, SIP revision contains
the DFFOs issued for the Miami Fort and Zimmer Power Stations.
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Units that met Ohio's Q/d source selection criteria but have since
converted from coal to natural gas or limited use include the non-EGUs
at P.H. Glatfelter Company--Chillicothe Facility Units B002 and B003 as
well as the EGUs at the City of Orrville Department of Public Utilities
Units B001 and B004. P.H. Glatfelter Company, now Pixelle Specialty
Solutions LLC, converted units B002 and B003 to natural gas on May 31,
2016, and September 6, 2016, respectively. The conversions were part of
a strategy to address BART requirements under the first implementation
planning period as well as Boiler Maximum Achievable Control Technology
(Boiler MACT) under permit PTI P0118906. Following the conversions,
SO2 emissions from P.H. Glatfelter Company units B002 and
B003 decreased from 2,873 tons per year (tpy) and 5,708 tpy in 2016 to
1 tpy and 1 tpy in 2018, respectively, and NOX emissions
decreased from 412 tpy and 691 tpy in 2016 to 134 tpy and 195 tpy in
2018, respectively. Similarly, the City of Orrville Department of
Public Utilities converted B004 to natural gas on December 20, 2016,
and converted B001 to a limited use boiler beginning January 31, 2017,
to comply with requirements of Boiler MACT and the Data Requirements
Rule (DRR) for the SO2 NAAQS designation process under
permit PTI P0124959 and title V Permit No. P0125633. Following the
conversions, SO2 emissions from B001 and B004 decreased from
3,846 tpy and 3,030 tpy in 2016 to 275 tpy and 0 tpy in 2018,
respectively, and NOX emissions decreased from 647 tpy and
510 tpy in 2016 to 57 tpy and 20 tpy in 2018, respectively. For both
facilities, reversing the conversion back to coal or fulltime use would
require approval for a modification of its federally enforceable
permit.
Beyond the 15 units shutting down and 4 units converting to natural
gas or limited use as described above, Ohio EPA also evaluated 13 units
at 5 facilities for existing effective controls. As explained in EPA's
July 8, 2021, Clarifications Memo (section 4.1), a ``source's existing
measures are generally needed to prevent future visibility impairment
(i.e., to prevent future emission increases) and thus necessary to make
reasonable progress.'' Measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress must be included in the SIP. However, if a State can
demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its existing
measures and will not increase its emission rate, it may not be
necessary to require those measures under the regional haze program in
its long-term strategy or SIP in order to prevent future emission
increases.
The units that Ohio identified with existing effective controls are
FirstEnergy Generation LLC--Bay Shore Plant Unit B006; Haverhill Coke
Company LLC Unit P902; and W.H. Sammis Plant Units B011, B012, B013.
Ohio provided a weight-of-evidence demonstration as each unit has
consistently implemented their existing measures and have achieved,
using those measures, a reasonably consistent emission rate. With
historical data from 2016 through 2019 showing reasonably consistent
emission rates and 2028 projections from LADCO showing rates consistent
with 2016, Ohio demonstrated that NOX and SO2
emission rates for these units are not expected to increase in the
future. As such, except where expressly noted below for Cardinal Power
Plant, Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station, and General
James M. Gavin Power Plant, Ohio determined the existing measures are
not necessary to make reasonable progress or prevent future emission
increases and, thus, do not need to be included in the regulatory
portion of the SIP.
FirstEnergy Generation LLC--Bay Shore Plant Unit B006 is a
fluidized bed boiler with limestone injection and a baghouse. The
operational nature of this process, whereby calcium sulfate is formed
in the boiler and is captured in the baghouse, results in approximately
94 percent removal of SO2 and a SO2 emission rate
of 0.34 pounds per million British thermal units (lbs/MMBtu) or less.
Unit B006 operates with low combustion temperatures along with very low
nitrogen content petroleum coke fuel, which have resulted in
NOX emission rates of 0.08 lbs/MMBtu and less from 2016 to
2019. The facility's title V permit contains both SO2 and
NOX emission limits as well as a requirement for 90 percent
SO2 reduction. Given the reasonably consistent emission
rates, the permitted emission limitations, and the operational nature
of the process in which SO2 is inherently controlled and
NOX has a low formation potential, Ohio determined that B006
is effectively controlled and that a full four-factor analysis would
likely result in the conclusion that no further controls are necessary
for reasonable progress.
Haverhill Coke Company LLC Unit P902 is a coke battery with
SO2 controls installed in 2007 with design control
efficiency of 92 percent. Under the terms of a Federal consent decree
entered in 2014 and amended in 2018,\39\ portions of which were
incorporated into the facility's title V permit, Heat Recovery Steam
Generators were
[[Page 71137]]
installed on P902. This resulted in further SO2 emission
reductions from 1,183 tpy in 2016 to 777 tpy in 2019. With
SO2 controls demonstrating greater than 90 percent
effectiveness, title V permit limits, and consent decree requirements
resulting in decreasing emissions, Ohio EPA determined that P902 is
effectively controlled.
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\39\ United States of America, the State of Illinois and the
State of Ohio v. Gateway Energy & Coke Company, LLC, Haverhill Coke
Company, LLC and Suncoke Energy, Inc. (S.D. Illinois Case No. 3:13-
cv-00616-DH-SCW), entered on November 10, 2014, as amended on June
5, 2015, and July 10, 2018.
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While W.H. Sammis Plant permanently shut down coal-fired Units
B007, B008, B009, and B010 in 2020 as noted above, there are three
remaining coal-fired Units B011, B012, B013 operating with an
SO2 emission limit of 0.130 lbs/MMBtu under the terms of a
Federal consent decree,\40\ which was incorporated into the facility's
title V permit. For NOX control, a selective non-catalytic
reduction (SNCR) system was installed on B011 in 2006, and selective
catalytic reduction (SCR) systems with at least 90 percent control
efficiency were installed on B012 and B013 in 2010, all of which must
be operated continuously under the Federal consent decree. Flue Gas
Desulfurization (FGD) systems with 95 percent SO2 control
efficiency were installed on each unit in 2010. With SO2 and
NOX controls achieving greater than 90 percent control
efficiency, title V SO2 permit limits below the 0.2 lbs/
MMBtu limit in the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards for coal-fired
EGUs, and reasonably consistent emission rates showing no increasing
future trends, Ohio EPA determined that B012 and B013 are effectively
controlled as described in the 2019 Guidance. For B011 with a Q/d of 5,
Ohio determined that although the existing SNCR does not meet the
examples of in the 2019 Guidance, its year-round operation and an
emission rate consistently between 0.13 and of 0.15 lbs/MMBtu with no
future projected increase indicate that a full four-factor analysis
would likely result in the conclusion that no further controls are
necessary.
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\40\ United States of America, et al. v. Ohio Edison Company, et
al., U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Ohio, Eastern
Division, Civil Action No. C2-99-1181, entered on March 18, 2005.
Ohio EPA provided a link to the Consent Decree, a copy of which is
provided in the docket.
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Of the 13 units that Ohio initially identified with existing
effective controls, there were 8 units for which Ohio later provided,
in its August 6, 2024, supplement, new enforceable measures necessary
for reasonable progress as described below: Cardinal Power Units B001,
B002, B009; and Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station Units
B001, B002, B003, B004, B005.
Cardinal Power Plant operates three coal-fired boilers: B001, B002,
and B009. For NOX control, SCRs with approximately 90
percent control efficiency were installed on all three boilers in 2003.
The SCRs must be continuously operated under the terms of their PTI
permits and a Federal consent decree.\41\ From 2016-2019, the SCRs have
consistently achieved NOX emission rates of 0.09 lbs/MMBtu
and lower. For SO2 control, FGD systems with approximately
95 percent control efficiency were installed on B001 in 2008, on B002
in 2007, and on B009 in 2011. The FGD systems must be operated
continuously under the terms of the same Federal consent decree that
were incorporated into their PTI permits. The permitted SO2
emission limits were set at 1.056 lbs/MMBtu for B001 and B002 as well
as 0.66 lbs/MMBtu for B009. From 2016-2019, the FGDs have consistently
achieved SO2 emission rates at or below 0.24 lbs/MMBtu for
B001, 0.27 lbs/MMBtu for B002, and 0.15 for B009. With FGD systems
achieving at least 90 percent effectiveness that were installed since
2007 and emission rates that were reasonably consistent from 2016 to
2019 with no projected increase, Ohio determined that the units were
effectively controlled as described in the 2019 Guidance.
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\41\ United States, et al. v. American Electric Power Service
Corp., et al., S.D. Ohio Civil Action Nos. C2-99-1250, C2-99-1182,
C2-05-360, and C2-04-1098 entered on December 10, 2007, and
substantively modified on July 17, 2019 (AEP Consent Decree). Ohio
provided a link to the AEP Consent Decree and modification, which
are included in the docket.
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Subsequently, on August 6, 2024, Ohio EPA submitted a supplement to
its July 30, 2021, Regional Haze SIP after going through FLM
consultation and two public notice and comment periods. Units B001,
B002, and B009 combined are subject to a SO2 emission limit
of 4,858.75 lbs/hour as a rolling, thirty-day average that was derived
as a part of the attainment demonstration for the Steubenville, OH-WV
2010 1-hour SO2 nonattainment area. The SO2 limit
became effective on July 5, 2019 and was approved into Ohio`s SIP,
effective November 21, 2019.\42\ 84 FR 56385, October 22, 2019. Ohio
EPA submitted its August 6, 2024, supplement to incorporate the
SO2 limit through a DFFO into the SIP for Regional Haze
purposes and to ensure reasonable progress by maintaining the existing
measures.
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\42\ For the technical justification and development methodology
behind the SO2 limit, Ohio EPA provided a link to its
June 2019 Redesignation Request and Maintenance Plan for the Ohio
Portion of the Steubenville, OH-WV 1-hour SO2
Nonattainment Area, a copy of which is provided in the docket.
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Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station operates five coal-
fired boilers: B001, B002, B003, B004, and B005. For SO2
control, FGD systems operating year-round with 97 percent control
efficiency were installed on B001 and B002 in 2012 and on B003, B004,
and B005 in 2011. Under its title V permit, the facility demonstrates
compliance with the Mercury and Air Toxics Standard through the
SO2 emission limit of 0.2 lbs/MMBtu. For NOX
control, SCRs with 70-90 percent efficiency were installed on B001 and
B002 in 2002 and on B003, B004, and B005 in 2003. Together with
overfire air systems, the SCRs achieve an average 87 percent
NOX control efficiency. Ohio EPA recognized that the SCRs do
not meet the 90 percent control efficiency examples of effectively
controlled units in the 2019 Guidance and that NOX emission
control is limited by ammonia slip and mercury oxidation that
jeopardize compliance with the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards. Since
Ohio submitted its SIP in 2021, Kyger Creek enhanced its preventative
maintenance and made process improvements to increase the reliability
of the urea injection system. This is expected to increase both
seasonal and year-round NOX removal efficiency. To ensure
that these recent improvements are sustained going forward, Ohio EPA
adopted NOX emission limits of 0.4 lbs/MMBtu on a 720-
operating rolling hourly average for each stack: Common Stack 12 for
combined emissions from B001 and B002 and Common Stack 35 for combined
emissions from B003, B004, and B005. Both stacks are equipped with
continuous emissions monitoring systems. The limits were developed by
analysis of NOX emission rates from 2018 to 2023, prior to
and following system improvements, and represent a reduction from the
previous permitted limit of 0.84 lbs/MMBtu. As such, in the supplement
that Ohio EPA submitted on August 6, 2024, Ohio requested to
incorporate the new NOX emission limit of 0.4 lbs/MMBtu for
both Common Stacks 12 and 35 into Ohio's SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d)
through a DFFO for Regional Haze purposes to ensure reasonable progress
by maintaining the recent improvements.
After refining the list of 38 units identified by Ohio's Q/d source
selection threshold and addressing 32 of those as described above, Ohio
EPA provided four-factor analyses for the remaining 6 units at the
following 4 facilities: Avon Lake Power Plant Unit B012; Carmeuse Lime,
Inc.--Maple Grove Operations Units P003 and P004; Dover Municipal Light
& Power Plant
[[Page 71138]]
Unit B004; and General James M. Gavin Power Plant Units B003 and B004.
The emission units that Ohio selected for a four-factor analysis are
described below.
Consistent with the first regional haze implementation period, Ohio
EPA focused on NOX and SO2 emissions in
considering potential additional control measures at these four
facilities. As demonstrated by the analysis in LADCO's Technical
Support Document of the IMPROVE monitoring data, the NOX and
SO2 emissions lead to the formation of the particulate
species of nitrate and sulfate that currently contribute more to
visibility impairment in the LADCO Class I Areas than PM2.5,
NH3, and VOC. The LADCO Class I Areas consist of Boundary
Waters Canoe Area Wilderness and Voyageurs National Park in Minnesota,
as well as Isle Royale National Park and Seney Wilderness Area in
Michigan. Additionally, in Table 20 of its submittal, Ohio EPA provided
2017 NEI data for Ohio point sources, showing smaller VOC, PM, and
NH3 emissions relative to NOX and SO2
emissions. For this reason, Ohio EPA chose to focus on reducing
emissions of NOX and SO2, which the 2019 Guidance
recommended would be a reasonable approach for the second
implementation period. See 2019 Guidance at page 12. Nevertheless, Ohio
considered emissions from each of the regional haze precursors
NOX, SO2, PM2.5, NH3 and
VOC in the source selection process. As shown in Table 4 of its
submittal, the sources meeting Ohio's primary and secondary Q/d
selection criteria account for 38 units at 16 facilities, representing
80 percent of SO2 emissions, 57 percent of NOX
emissions, 47 percent of PM2.5 emissions, and 23 percent of
NH3 emissions for all sources with a sum of SO2,
NOX, PM2.5, and NH3 emissions from
2016 greater than 0.1 tpy. The background on each of the 6 units
selected for a four-factor analysis is described below.
Avon Lake Power Plant
Avon Lake Power Plant is an EGU, and Unit B012 is a 6,040 MMBtu/
Hour pulverized coal-fired boiler that was installed in 1970. For
NOX control, B012 is equipped with low-NOX cell
burners and overfire air. For SO2 control, Avon Lake Power
Plant accepted a federally enforceable SO2 emissions limit
of 9,600 lbs/hr on a 1-hour average basis for all SO2-
emitting sources at the facility (B010, B012, B013, B015, and B016) to
satisfy requirements under the DRR for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS
designation process.\43\ See 83 FR 40723, August 16, 2018. The
facility's title V permit P0085253, effective April 18, 2017, contains
a SO2 permit limit for B012, which was reduced from the
previous limit of 4.65 lbs/MMBtu to a new combined SO2
permit limit on B010 and B012 of 1.59 lbs/MMBtu as a rolling, 30-day
average. To comply with the new SO2 emissions limits, the
facility switched to a blend of Western Bituminous and Powder River
Basin coal in 2016, which contributed to reductions in annual
SO2 emissions for B012 from 8,862 tpy in 2016 to 1,597 tpy
in 2019, lowered the SO2 emission rate from 1.60 lbs/MMBtu
in 2016 to 0.70 lbs/MMBtu in 2019, and reduced Q/d from 32 in 2016 to 7
in 2019.
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\43\ Ohio's January 13, 2017, submittals for the 2010
SO2 NAAQS DRR describing the AERMOD Modeling Results for
Avon Lake Power Plant with the derivation of the limits of 1.59 lbs/
MMBtu and 9,600 lbs/hour as the resulting critical emissions value
is available at https://www.epa.gov/so2-pollution/so2-data-requirements-rule-january-13-2017-state-submittals-ohio.
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Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove Operations
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove Operations is a lime manufacturing
plant. Unit P003 and Unit P004 both consist of a rotary kiln and cooler
as well as a shared stack for emissions. P003 and P004 burn coal,
petroleum coke, and/or natural gas. For PM control, both units have
baghouses, however, there are no add-on controls for SO2 or
NOX. Although both units were subject to a best available
control technology analysis under the Federal PSD program in 2002-2003
when lime manufacturing operations were restarted, no add-on control
technologies for NOX or SO2 were found to be
cost-effective. However, SO2 at both units is inherently
controlled when calcium-rich lime kiln dust chemically absorbs the
SO2 in the flue gas, which is then removed in the baghouse.
NOX emissions at both units are controlled by good
combustion practices.
Limits on SO2 and NOX are included in the
facility's title V Permit P0125171. The permit includes a maximum
sulfur content limit for fuel of 5.50 percent for coal and 6.50 percent
for coke by weight. P003 and P004 are subject to SO2 limits
of 1,102 lbs/hour and 4,826.80 tons per rolling, 12-month period. P003
and P004 are also subject to NOX limits of 1,234.90 lbs/hour
and 5,408.90 tons per rolling 12-month period.
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant is a coal-fired electrical
generating plant. Unit B004 is a 247 MMBtu/hour coal-fired stoker
boiler that was installed in 1962 that uses natural gas as a backup
fuel. Under title V Permit P0090810, B004 is subject to SO2
emissions limit of 4.60 lbs/MMBtu.
General James M. Gavin Power Plant
General James M. Gavin Power Plant is a coal-fired electrical
generating plant. Unit B003 and Unit B004 are both 11,936 MMBtu/hr
pulverized coal-fired, dry-bottom boilers installed in 1974. For
SO2, wet FGD systems with 95 percent control efficiency were
installed on B003 in 1994 and on B004 in 1995. NOX emissions
for B003 and B004 are controlled through the use of low NOX
burners and SCR, achieving 91 percent control efficiency. The FGDs and
SCRs are operated continuously under the terms of the facility's title
V Permit P0089258 and the Federal AEP Consent Decree. A federally
enforceable SO2 emission limit of 7.41 lbs/MMBtu applies to
both B003 and B004 under the title V permit. From 2016 to 2019,
SO2 emission rates have ranged from 0.27 to 0.37 lbs/MMBtu
for B003 and 0.29 to 0.39 lbs/MMBtu for B004, while NOX
emission rates have remained between 0.10 and 0.11 for both units
during the same time period.
2. Emission Measures Necessary To Make Reasonable Progress
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) require States to evaluate
and determine the emission reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress by applying the four statutory factors to
sources in a control analysis. The emission reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress must be included in the long-term
strategy. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
Ohio EPA's four-factor analyses are described below for each of the
6 units identified through its Q/d source selection process. This
includes units that had not already permanently shut down, accepted an
enforceable commitment to permanently shut down or comply with new
limits, converted to natural gas or limited use, or had existing
effective controls.
Avon Lake Power Plant
Avon Lake Power Plant Unit B012 was selected for a four-factor
analysis based on 2016 emissions resulting in a Q/d of 32. Avon Lake
evaluated B012 for both NOX and SO2 controls.
Avon Lake evaluated wet FGD and a spray dryer absorber (SDA) for
SO2 control. Capital costs were estimated at $417,000,000
for SDA and $483,000,000 for wet FGD. Annual operating costs
[[Page 71139]]
were estimated at $44,500,000 for SDA and $51,600,000$ for wet FGD.
Based on a remaining useful life of either 20 or 30 years and retrofit
factors of 1.2 and 1, the cost effectiveness was estimated at $19,500/
ton and $22,600/ton for wet FGD for 2,284 tpy in potential emission
reductions from either control option.
For NOX control, Avon Lake evaluated SNCR and SCR with
capital costs ranging from $13,000,000 for SNCR to $191,000,000 for
SCR, while annual operating costs were estimated at $1,679,100 for SNCR
and $25,600,000 for SCR. Cost effectiveness was estimated at $10,200/
ton for SNCR for 164 tpy in potential emission reductions and $26,700/
ton for SCR for 959 tpy in reductions. Installation time was estimated
at 5 years for SO2 controls and 2 to 5 years for SNCR and
SCR, respectively. Impacts from energy requirements, solid waste, and
ammonia usage were also evaluated.
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove Operations
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove Operations Units P003 and P004
were selected for a four-factor analysis.
The evaluation of SO2 controls at Units P003 and P004
included conditioning tower slurry injection, DSI, and wet scrubbers.
Capital costs for each unit were estimated at $14,437,783 for
conditioning tower slurry injection, $16,960,653 for DSI, and
$23,784,927 for wet scrubbers. Annual costs were estimated at
$3,982,597 for conditioning tower slurry injection, $9,140,819 for DSI,
and $6,305,184 for wet scrubber. The cost effectiveness values at Units
P003 and P004, respectively, were estimated for conditioning tower
slurry injection at $3,266 and $3,274/ton, DSI at $5,857 and $5,862/
ton, and wet scrubbing at $4,506 and 4,043/ton SO2.
Potential SO2 emission reductions for each unit P003 and
P004, respectively, were 1,221 and 1,216 tpy for conditioning tower
slurry injection, 1,566 and 1,559 tpy for DSI, and 1,559 and 1,559 tpy
for wet scrubbing.
Switching fuel to solely natural gas was also evaluated and found
to be technically infeasible due to the insufficient supply of natural
gas in the region as well as the impact on the production process that
would result from altering the product chemistry and capacity. The
switch to natural gas would fundamentally change the production process
since the flame temperature would be lower, altering product chemistry
and quality, changing the thermal profile of the kiln, and reducing
production capacity.
For NOX, several control options were evaluated,
including preheater installation, low-NOX burners, SCR, and
SNCR. However, no options were determined to be technically feasible
beyond current operation under good combustion practices. Despite the
concerns about technical feasibility, Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove
Operations performed a four-factor analysis on the addition of tail-end
SCR, which would have required the installation of an SO2
wet scrubber upstream and stack gas reheat downstream. Estimated
capital costs for Units P003 and P004 were $16,878,012 and $16,722,674,
respectively, while estimated annual costs were $11,596,001 and
$11,431,638, resulting in cost effectiveness values of $10,419 and
$11,484/ton NOX.
Both SO2 and NOX analyses considered a
remaining useful life of 20 or 25 years, a 4 to 5 year installation
time, and energy and non-air quality environmental impacts. In addition
to the consideration of candidate control options, Carmeuse Lime,
Inc.,--Maple Grove Operations considered visibility impact and noted
that an analysis done during the first implementation period shows that
the facility is located outside the area of influence for the closest
Class I area, the Dolly Sods Wilderness Area, and that it was not one
of the four sources in Ohio identified by VISTAS in their June 22,
2020, request as a source that strongly contributes to regional haze.
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant Unit B004 was selected for a
four-factor analysis based on 2016 emissions resulting in a Q/d of 7
and the absence of existing SO2 add-on controls. The unit is
controlled with a baghouse for PM, activated carbon for mercury, and
DSI for hydrogen chloride.
The evaluation of SO2 controls considered fuel
switching, DSI, wet FGD, and SDA. The City of Dover determined that
switching from the current low sulfur coal to natural gas was
infeasible, not only because it would require major changes to the
boiler's burner design and an additional mile of natural gas pipeline,
but also because of the insufficiency of a natural gas supply. For the
other control options, capital costs were estimated at $2,640,000 for
DSI, $28,110,269 for wet FGD, and $24,274,288 for SDA. Annual costs
were estimated at $1,558,509 for DSI, $4,615,991 for wet FGD, and
$4,030,803 for SDA. The cost effectiveness and potential reductions in
SO2 emissions were estimated at $2,985/ton for 522 tpy with
DSI, $5,016/ton for 920 tpy with wet FGD, and $4,402/ton for 916 tpy
with SDA.
The analyses considered a remaining useful life of 30 years, a 5-
year installation time, as well as energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts. Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant also
compared annualized compliance costs as a percentage of sales for each
control option, which resulted in 6.2 percent for DSI and 18.5 percent
for wet FGD. Citing to guidance for the Regulatory Flexibility Act,\44\
Dover Municipal Light & Power Plant observed that EPA has employed
discretion in not proceeding with rulemakings that regulate only a
small number of small businesses with annualized compliance costs as a
percentage of sales greater than 3 percent. As such, Dover Municipal
Power & Light Plant noted that as a non-profit governmental
organization, the costs of any of the controls evaluated would threaten
the viability of the plant, with the options of wet FGD and SDA almost
certainly resulting in closure.
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\44\ EPA Office of Policy, Economic and Innovation, ``Final
Guidance for EPA Rulewriters: Regulatory Flexibility Act as Amended
by the Small Business and Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act,''
November 30, 2006.
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General James M. Gavin Power Plant
General James M. Gavin Power Plant was selected for a four-factor
analysis based on 2016 emissions resulting in a Q/d above Ohio's
threshold for Units B003 and B004 as well as the relative impact of
this source on visibility impairment.
For NOX, Ohio EPA determined that the units were
effectively controlled. This determination considered that the SCRs
were installed in 2001, are operated continuously, and achieve 91
percent control efficiency with low NOX burners. In
addition, Ohio found that the emission rates, which ranged between 0.10
and 0.11 lbs/MMBtu from 2016 to 2019, were reasonably consistent and
that no increase in those rates was projected into 2028.
SO2 was considered in the four-factor analysis since the
current FGDs were installed in 1994-1995 before the beginning of the
first implementation period. General James M. Gavin Power Plant
evaluated fuel switching, retrofitting new dry FGD, retrofitting new
wet FGD, and making operational improvements to the existing wet FGD.
General James M. Gavin Power Plant currently burns eastern bituminous
coal with a sulfur content of 3.9 to 4.2 percent. Switching to lower
sulfur coal was considered technically infeasible due to operational
issues from a higher ash content causing slagging issues and
overburdening the electrostatic precipitator (ESP), thereby decreasing
[[Page 71140]]
its control efficiency. Switching to natural gas was precluded since
natural gas is not currently available at the site, and the nearest
pipeline 10 miles away does not have the capacity to supply the
required loading to the plant.
In terms of add-on SO2 controls, the existing DSI
systems designed for SO3 emissions control were evaluated
for collateral removal of SO2. However, the analysis
determined that modifying operational parameters with higher sorbent
injection rates required for significant SO2 emissions
control would overburden the ESP in handling particulate emissions.
Similarly, the analysis found that installation of a new SDA would
require replacing the existing ESP and would offer no advantage
compared to the existing wet FGD. In 2019, General James M. Gavin Power
Plant made significant expenditures to upgrade and optimize the
existing wet FGD systems which improved control efficiency to 95
percent. With the significant recent expenditures for the upgrades and
the lack of technically feasible options for further optimization, the
analysis cited to the 2019 Guidance in determining that replacing the
existing wet FGD was not a practical option and that additional
controls were unlikely to be reasonable. See 2019 Guidance at 22-23.
In December 2023, General James M. Gavin Power Plant provided to
Ohio EPA a supplemental analysis with new information on $9.3 million
in additional upgrades and improvements to their FGD systems made since
2020, many of which occurred after Ohio EPA submitted its Regional Haze
SIP in July 2021. Additionally, General James M. Gavin Power Plant
evaluated whether the facility could, at a reasonable cost, achieve a
consistently lower SO2 emission rate either through existing
measures or potential low-cost upgrades. Although no additional
upgrades were found to be feasible based on the custom-build nature of
the FGD systems and the recent improvements, General James M. Gavin
Power Plant identified the feasibility of consistently achieving a
lower SO2 emission rate as a result of the recent upgrades
based on 2019-2023 emissions data, load variability, coal content and
supply. To ensure that the recent improvements are maintained going
forward, Ohio adopted new SO2 emission limits of 0.75 lbs/
MMBtu on a rolling 30-operating day average for both B003 and B004,
representing a reduction from the former SO2 limits of 7.41
lbs/MMBtu. To ensure the new SO2 limits are permanent and
federally enforceable, Ohio EPA submitted the August 6, 2024,
supplement to incorporate the new SO2 limits through a DFFO
into the SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d) for Regional Haze purposes.
Ohio's Evaluation of the Four-Factor Analyses
In considering the four-factor analyses for each of the four
facilities described above, Ohio determined that additional add-on
controls are not cost-effective and thus not necessary for reasonable
progress in the second planning period. In making its determination,
Ohio evaluated the analyses of energy and solid waste impacts from
increased power usage and generation of solid waste and wastewater.
Ohio evaluated capital and operating costs, costs per ton of pollutant
removed, and potential emission reductions, and took under
consideration compliance costs/sales ratios. To compare the candidate
control options at a facility, Ohio estimated the visibility benefit of
potential emission reductions as a part of a weight-of evidence
approach to be considered alongside, not instead of, the four statutory
factors. In determining the maximum visibility benefit at any Class I
area in 2028, Ohio used source apportionment modeling conducted by
VISTAS \45\ and scaled the modeled visibility impacts to the expected
emissions reductions from the potential controls evaluated, which
ranged from 0.001 to 0.180 Mm-1 at Avon Lake Power Plant,
0.192 to 0.246 Mm-1 at Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove, and
0.041 to 0.072 Mm-1 at Dover Municipal Power & Light Plant.
Ohio also pointed to the State's progress report in its regional haze
SIP revision for the seconding planning period, showing emission trends
with significant reductions of 90 percent SO2 and 57 percent
NOX from 2005 to 2017. Looking forward to 2028, Ohio
identified additional emission reductions that will be achieved in the
second planning period through measures identified in the long-term
strategy, which are discussed below.
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\45\ ``The VISTAS Regional Haze Project,'' https://metro4-sesarm.org/content/vistas-regional-haze-program; ``Task 7--PSAT
Source Apportionment Modeling/Tagging,'' https://www.metro4-sesarm.org/content/task-7-source-apportionment-modelingtagging;
``PSAT Source Apportionment Modeling Results Report--August 2020,''
https://www.metro4-sesarm.org/sites/default/files/VISTAS%20Task%207%20PSAT_20200831.pdf.
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Ohio concluded that on-the-books and on-the-way controls identified
in the State's long-term strategy, including the DFFOs for permanent
shutdowns at Miami Fort Power Plant and Zimmer Power Station as well as
the DFFOs for SO2 and NOX limits at Cardinal
Power Plant, General James M. Gavin Power Plant, and Ohio Valley
Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek, are necessary to achieve reasonable
progress at the Class I areas impacted by emissions from Ohio.
3. Ohio's Long-Term Strategy
Each State's long-term strategy must include the enforceable
emission limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). After
considering information regarding existing effective controls, analyses
under the four statutory factors in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), and the
five additional factors in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) in addition to other
requirements in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii) described below, Ohio
determined the State's long-term strategy for the second implementation
planning period is comprised of the following measures to make
reasonable progress.\46\ These measures represent reductions beyond
those planned in the first implementation planning period with numerous
changes in emissions and emission limits since the first implementation
planning period, as well as emission reductions due to ongoing air
pollution control programs and permanent shutdowns. Except as noted
below for the DFFOs and Ohio's Beneficiary Mitigation Plan for the
Volkswagen Settlement, the following measures in Ohio's long-term
strategy are already permanent and federally enforceable. Ohio EPA
requested that the DFFOs be incorporated into the regulatory portion of
Ohio's SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d) to ensure that they will also be
federally enforceable and permanent for regional haze purposes.
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\46\ The measures listed in Ohio's long-term strategy are
described in Ohio's SIP submission in Section III.3(e)(5) and
III.5(e).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On-the-books controls for the long-term strategy in the 2nd
implementation period include:
Permanent shutdown of Conesville Power Plant Units B004, B007,
and B008
Permanent shutdown of DP&L J.M. Stuart Units B001, B002, B003,
and B004
Permanent shutdown of DP&L J.M. Killen Unit B001
Permanent shutdown of W.H. Sammis Plant Units B007, B008,
B009, and B010
National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants
(NESHAP) for Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines
Control of Hazardous Air Pollutants from Mobile Sources (also
known as the Federal Mobile Source Air Toxics Rules)
[[Page 71141]]
Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (40 CFR 63, subpart UUUUU)
Federal Oil and Natural Gas Industry Standards
NOX Emission Standards for New Commercial Aircraft
Engines (40 CFR 87, 40 CFR 1068)
NESHAPs for Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional Area
Source Boilers, Major Source Boilers (40 CFR 63)
New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) for Commercial and
Industrial Solid Waste Incinerators (CISWI) (40 CFR 60, subpart CCCC,
40 CFR 60, subpart DDDD)
NSPS for New Residential Wood Heaters (40 CFR 60, subpart AAA)
SO2 Data Requirements Rule (40 CFR 51)
Ohio's Beneficiary Mitigation Plan for the Volkswagen
Settlement (84 FR 43508, August 21, 2019)
On-the-way controls for the long-term strategy that reflect
additional emission reductions expected by 2028 include:
Revised CSAPR Update (40 CFR 97, subpart GGGGG)
DFFO for Miami Fort Power Station, providing for the permanent
shutdown of coal-fired Boilers B015 and B016, and for Zimmer Power
Station, providing for the permanent shutdown of coal-fired Boiler B006
DFFO for Cardinal Power Plant, providing for an SO2
emission limit on coal-fired Boilers B001, B002, and B009
DFFO for Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek, providing
for a new NOX emission limit on coal-fired Boilers B001,
B002, B003, B004, and B005
DFFO for General James M. Gavin Power Plant, providing for a
new SO2 emission limit on coal-fired Boilers B003 and B004
4. EPA's Evaluation of Ohio's Compliance With 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i)
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating sources and determining the
emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress by considering the four statutory factors. Ohio's selection of
sources and evaluation of control measures was reasonable and
consistent with the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
For Ohio's source selection methodology, Ohio EPA targeted the
sources with the highest potential to impair visibility at mandatory
Class I areas. Ohio EPA included a thorough description of its source
selection methodology. Starting with LADCO's calculations for Q/d based
on 2016 data, Ohio EPA compared more recent point source inventories
from the 2017 NEI and 2018 Ohio EIS to determine if updated Q/d values
on a unit basis would identify additional sources for selection. Then,
in response to other methods used by NPS and USFS to identify sources
for further evaluation, Ohio EPA modified its source selection process
by adding a secondary criterion for a facility-wide Q/d. Ohio EPA's
two-tiered approach broadened its source selection process and
identified individual units with a Q/d greater than 5 as well as units
with a Q/d greater than 4 at facilities with a Q/d greater than 10.
Using this source selection methodology, Ohio EPA selected 38 units at
16 facilities for further analysis, accounting for 80 percent of
SO2 and 57 percent of NOX for point sources with
Q greater than 0.1 tpy.
In determining which facilities to evaluate through a four-factor
analysis, Ohio EPA refined the list of sources selected using its Q/d
thresholds by providing adequate justification for no further analysis
where sources had accepted an enforceable commitment for SO2
or NOX limits, permanently shut down, accepted an
enforceable commitment to permanently shut down by 2028, converted to
natural gas or limited use, or had existing effective controls.
For selected sources that had accepted an enforceable commitment
for SO2 or NOX limits, Ohio issued DFFOs to be
incorporated into its SIP at 40 CFR 52.1870(d) for 10 units at 3
facilities: Cardinal Power Units B001, B002, and B009; Ohio Valley
Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station Units B001, B002, B003, B004, and
B005; and General James M. Gavin Power Plant Units B003 and B004. These
limits in the DFFOs ensure recent improvements in emission controls are
maintained and that the measures are permanent and federally
enforceable for regional haze purposes.
For selected sources that had permanently shut down or had accepted
an enforceable commitment to permanently shut down by 2028, Ohio
identified 15 units at 6 facilities: Conesville Power Plant Units B004,
B007, and B008; DP&L J.M. Stuart Units B001, B002, B003, and B004; DP&L
JM Killen Unit B001; W.H. Sammis Plant Units B007, B008, B009, and
B010; Miami Fort Power Station Units B015 and B016; and Zimmer Power
Station Unit B006. Based on 2016 inventories, the permanent shutdown of
these units represents federally enforceable and permanent emission
reductions from some of Ohio's largest sources as follows. In 2019 and
2020, the shutdowns at Conesville Power Plant Units B004, B007, and
B008 achieved emission reductions of 5,013 tpy SO2 and 5,981
tpy NOX. In 2017 and 2018, the shutdowns at DP&L, J.M.
Stuart Generating Station achieved emission reductions of 9,005 tpy
SO2 and 5,466 tpy NOX. In 2018, the shutdown at
DP&L, Killen Generating Station achieved emission reductions of 10,130
tpy SO2 and 6,057 tpy NOX. In 2020, the shutdowns
at W.H. Sammis Plant achieved reductions of 2,996 tpy SO2
and 1,634 NOX. By 2028, under the DFFOs, the shutdowns at
Miami Fort Power Station will achieve emission reductions of 10,214 tpy
SO2 and 5,052 tpy NOX, while the shutdown at
Zimmer Power Station will achieve emission reductions of 9,973 tpy
SO2 and 5,458 tpy NOX. Together, these shutdowns
will reduce SO2 by over 47,000 tpy and NOX by
over 33,000 tpy and represent emission reductions of 32 percent
SO2 and 32 percent NOX from all point sources in
Ohio with total emissions of SO2, NOX, PM, and
NH3 greater than 0.1 tpy based on 2016 emissions.
For selected sources that converted to natural gas or limited use
under enforceable permit conditions, Ohio identified conversions at 4
units within 2 facilities, where add-on controls or more stringent
limits would not be necessary for reasonable progress. Compared to 2016
base-year emissions, the conversions at the City of Orrville Department
of Public Utilities Units B001 and B004 reduced SO2
emissions by 6,601 tpy, and the conversations at P.H. Glatfelter
Company--Chillicothe Facility B002 and B003 reduced SO2
emissions by 8,579 tpy. Together, in addition to the emission
reductions from the shutdowns mentioned above, these conversions
represent an additional 10 percent reduction in SO2
emissions from all point sources in Ohio with total emissions of
SO2, NOX, PM, and NH3 greater than 0.1
tpy.
For selected sources that had existing effective controls, Ohio
sufficiently provided a weight-of-evidence demonstration as described
in the 2021 Clarifications Memo for 5 units at 3 facilities:
FirstEnergy Generation LLC--Bay Shore Plant Unit B006; Haverhill Coke
Company LLC Unit P902; and W.H. Sammis Plant Units B011, B012, B013.
Ohio documented that these units are effectively controlled for
SO2 and NOX by inherent process or control
systems installed during the first implementation period with greater
than 90 percent control efficiency as well as federally enforceable
limits in Federal consent decrees or limits below levels recommended in
the 2019 Guidance as potentially existing effective controls. With
reasonably
[[Page 71142]]
consistent trends in emission rates, Ohio also adequately demonstrated
that the existing measures for these units are not necessary to make
reasonable progress or prevent future emission increases and, thus, do
not need to be included in the regulatory portion of the SIP.
Of all the 38 emission units Ohio identified through its Q/d source
selection process listed above, Ohio relied upon the following specific
control measures at 25 units in its long-term strategy in addition to
the other Federal regulations and State programs included. For 12 of
those units, Ohio's long-term strategy relies upon permanent shutdowns
that have already occurred during the 2nd implementation period. For
the other 13 units, Ohio EPA provided DFFOs with enforceable
commitments for either SO2 limits or NOX limits
by 2025 or permanent shutdowns by 2028 to be incorporated into Ohio's
SIP for regional haze purposes at 40 CFR 52.1870(d).
For the remaining 13 emission units that Ohio EPA identified
through its Q/d source selection process, Ohio did not rely on new or
existing measures as part of the long-term strategy to make reasonable
progress in the second planning period. At 4 of those units, Ohio EPA
documented enforceable conversions to natural gas or limited use. At
another 5 of those units, Ohio provided a weight of evidence
demonstration and determined their existing measures are not necessary
to make reasonable progress or prevent future emission increases. At
the other 4 units, Ohio provided four-factor analyses. Each of these
analyses considered all four statutory factors and appropriately
followed the methods in the EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual.\47\
The lowest cost control options in the four-factor analyses outlined
the potential for emission reductions at each unit for Avon Lake Power
Plant of 2,284 tpy SO2 for $19,500/ton, Dover Municipal
Power & Light Plant of 522 tpy SO2 for $2,985/ton, and at
Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple Grove Operations of 1,221 and 1,216 tpy
SO2 for $3,226/ton and $3,274/ton, respectively. With the
emission reductions from already implemented shutdowns and fuel
conversions, Ohio made a reasoned determination that additional add-on
controls are not cost effective and thus not necessary for reasonable
progress in the second planning period.
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\47\ See EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual, available at
https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-reports-and-guidance-air-pollution.
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The permanent shutdown of 15 units at 6 large EGUs during the
second implementation period represents large enforceable reductions in
SO2 and NOX from Ohio sources that had impacted
the same Class I areas that are impacted by the 4 units evaluated in
the four-factor analyses. With a relatively small potential for
additional emission reductions identified in the four-factor analyses
compared to those of the shutdowns and fuel conversions already taking
place, Ohio EPA provided a reasoned basis for its conclusions to not
require additional controls at those 4 units for the second
implementation period.
Overall, 29 out of 38 coal-fired units above Ohio's Q/d threshold
either converted to natural gas or limited use, accepted enforceable
limits, or have or will permanently shut down by 2028. The trends in
NOX and SO2 emissions noted in Ohio's progress
report discussed below demonstrate how Ohio's long-term strategy will
continue to make significant reductions during the second
implementation period. The shutdowns will reduce statewide
SO2 by over 47,000 tpy and NOX by over 33,000
tpy, and the conversions to natural gas add another 15,000 tpy of
SO2 reductions to that total. Together, these shutdowns and
fuel conversions represent statewide emission reductions of 43 percent
SO2 and 32 percent NOX from point sources in Ohio
with total emissions of SO2, NOX, PM, and
NH3 greater than 0.1 tpy based on 2016 emissions. Ohio's
plan shows that these measures will achieve substantial SO2
and NOX emission reductions beyond those included in its
first implementation period. These shutdowns, conversions, and
committed controls contribute to Ohio's emission reductions and the
associated visibility improvements at the affected Class I areas for
the second implementation planning period.
EPA proposes to find that the shutdowns and conversions noted above
that have already taken place during the second planning period are
already federally enforceable and permanent and do not need to be
included in the regulatory portion of the SIP. For the upcoming
permanent shutdowns and committed controls provided for in the DFFOs,
EPA proposes to find that those are necessary for reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP and made federally enforceable and
permanent. For the other 9 coal-fired units, Ohio EPA determined that
no additional controls would be necessary for reasonable progress in
the second planning period based on existing effective controls that
have achieved reasonably consistent emission rates that are not
expected to increase in the future.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating sources and determining the
emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress by applying the four statutory factors to sources in a control
analysis. Ohio EPA's SIP submission, as supplemented, reasonably
applied the Q/d source selection process in relying on the closest
Class I areas and the emissions of NOX, SO2,
PM2.5, NH3 and VOC. Ohio EPA examined a
reasonable set of sources, including sources identified by FLMs. In
addition, Ohio EPA adequately explained its decision to focus on the
two pollutants--SO2 and NOX--that currently drive
visibility impairment within the LADCO region. EPA proposes to find
that Ohio EPA adequately supported its conclusions for its top-
impacting sources in determining permanent and federally enforceable
shutdowns, controls, and fuel conversions necessary for reasonable
progress. EPA is basing this proposed finding on the State's
examination of its largest operating EGU and non-EGU sources. EPA
proposes to find the State's approach reasonable because it
demonstrated that these sources with the greatest modeled impacts on
visibility, as well as other sources above the State's Q/d threshold
that might be expected to impact visibility, either have shut down,
accepted an enforceable commitment to shut down by 2028, accepted new
emission limits by 2025, converted to natural gas or limited use, or
have existing effective controls.
As part of the State's long-term strategy, Ohio EPA submitted 4
DFFOs providing legally binding, enforceable commitments upon the
owners or operators of the facilities, and any subsequent owner or
operator, at the State level under Ohio Revised Code 3704.03 and
3745.01. Since Ohio is relying on these 4 DFFOs to make reasonable
progress as part of its long-term strategy for the second
implementation period, Ohio EPA requested the incorporation of the
DFFOs into the Ohio SIP to ensure that they are federally enforceable
and permanent for regional haze purposes. The first DFFO was effective
on July 9, 2021, and provides for the shutdown of Miami Fort Power
Station Units B015 and B016 and Zimmer Power Station Unit B006 by no
later than January 1, 2028. The other three DFFOs provide for
[[Page 71143]]
SO2 emission limits at Cardinal Power Plant Units B001,
B002, and B009 and General James M. Gavin Power Plant Units B003 and
B004 as well as a NOX emission limit Ohio Valley Electric
Corp.--Kyger Creek Units B001, B002, B003, B004, and B005. These three
DFFOs became effective July 26, 2024, when they were entered into the
Ohio EPA Director's journal, and compliance begins on January 1, 2025.
Based on the discussion herein, these 4 DFFOs provide an adequate
technical and legal basis for source-specific measures that are
consistent with the CAA requirements and EPA's Regional Haze Rule. As
such, EPA proposes to approve Ohio EPA's request and incorporate by
reference these 4 DFFOs into the SIP.
5. Consultation With States
The consultation requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii), provides
that States must consult with other States that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area to
develop coordinated emission management strategies containing the
emission reductions measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require
States to consider the emission reduction measures identified by other
States as necessary for reasonable progress and to include agreed upon
measures in their SIPs, respectively. The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speak to what happens if States cannot agree on
what measures are necessary to make reasonable progress. States may
satisfy the requirement of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii) to engage in
interstate consultation with other States that have emissions that are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a
given Class I area under the auspices of intra- and inter-RPO
engagement.
Although Ohio has no mandatory Class I Federal areas within its
borders, Ohio has previously been shown to have sources with emissions
that impact visibility at downwind mandatory Class I Federal areas.
Ohio EPA consulted with other States to develop a coordinated emission
management approach to its regional haze SIP and to address Ohio's
impact on nearby Class I areas. Ohio EPA participated in the LADCO and
inter-RPO processes, which developed the technical information needed
for such coordinated strategies.
Ohio participated in the LADCO Regional Haze Technical Workgroup
meetings with other LADCO States, FLMs, and EPA Region 5. Through
LADCO, Ohio also consulted with other States and Tribes.
Ohio EPA received and responded to requests from MANE-VU and VISTAS
on behalf of the States in their RPOs. On August 25, 2017, Ohio EPA
received the ``Statement of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Visibility Union
(MANE-VU) Class I Area States concerning a Course of Action in
Contributing States Located Upwind of MANE-VU toward Assuring
Reasonable Progress for the Second Regional Haze Implementation Period
(2018-2028),'' (2017 MANE-VU Ask).\48\ MANE-VU is the RPO for the
Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic States and Tribal Governments, which
include: Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Maine,
Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York,
Pennsylvania, Penobscot Indian Nation, Rhode Island, St. Regis Mohawk
Tribe, and Vermont. For the second implementation period, MANE-VU
performed contribution analyses to identify source and State-level
contributions to visibility impairment and the need for interstate
consultation. MANE-VU used the results of these analyses to determine
emission units in various States that have a potential for visibility
impacts of 3.0Mm-1 or greater using action 2015 emissions
from EGUs and 2011 emissions from other sources. For Ohio, MANE-VU
identified 8 units at the following facilities: Avon Lake Power Plant
(Unit 12), General James M. Gavin Power Plant (Units 1 and 2), and
Muskingum River (Units 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5). The five specific parts of
the 2017 MANE-VU Ask requested Ohio and other upwind States to pursue
specific emission management strategies to meet the 2028 reasonable
progress goals for the second regional haze implementation period. On
December 20, 2017, LADCO responded to the MANE-VU Ask, indicating that
LADCO did not agree with MANE-VU's impact assessment results and
recommended that MANE-VU use emissions estimates that, in the opinion
of LADCO, better reflect the current state of knowledge.\49\ On
December 29, 2017, Ohio EPA also responded to the 2017 MANE-VU Ask to
address the requests and alleged inaccuracies regarding Ohio sources,
which did not include recent permanent shutdowns or fuel conversions
and resulted in modeling that overestimated Ohio's contribution.\50\
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\48\ MANE-VU's ``2017 Statement of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast
Visibility Union (MANE-VU) Class I Area States concerning a Course
of Action in Contributing States Located Upwind of MANE-VU toward
Assuring Reasonable Progress for the Second Regional Haze
Implementation Period (2018-2028)'' dated August 25, 2017, which
includes a link to MANE-VU's contribution analyses report at https://www.otcair.org.manevu, is provided as appendix M1 to Ohio's Regional
Haze SIP submission in the docket.
\49\ LACDO's December 20, 2017, response to the MANE-VU Ask is
found in appendix M2 of Ohio's Regional Haze SIP revision submittal
in the docket.
\50\ Ohio EPA's December 29, 2017, Technical Response Letter to
the 2017 MANE-VU Ask is found in appendix M3 of Ohio's Regional Haze
SIP revision in the docket.
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MANE-VU Ask 1 requested that States ``ensure the most effective use
of control technologies on a year-round basis to consistently minimize
emissions of haze precursors, or obtain equivalent alternative emission
reductions'' at EGUs ``with a nameplate capacity larger than or equal
to 25 MW with already installed NOX and/or SO2
controls.'' MANE-VU Ask 2 requested four-factor analyses be performed
for any source modeled by MANE-VU that has the potential for a
visibility impact greater than 3.0 Mm-1. In response to both
MANE-VU Asks 1 and 2, Ohio EPA referred to its Q/d source selection
process and four-factor analyses, where Ohio made a determination of
existing effective controls or provided a four-factor analysis for the
sources identified by MANE-VU: Avon Lake Power Plant and General James
M. Power Plant, with the exception of Muskingum River Power Plant,
which permanently shut down in 2015.
MANE-VU Ask 3 requested States pursue, before 2028, an ultra-low
sulfur fuel oil standard for #2 distillate oil of 0.0015 percent sulfur
by weight or 15 ppm, for #4 residual oil of 0.25-0.5 percent sulfur by
weight, and for #6 residual oil of 0.3-0.5 percent sulfur by weight.
Ohio responded to MANE-VU Ask 3 by explaining that these fuel types do
not comprise a significant portion of fuel usage in Ohio, and as such,
would have little impact on visibility and would not warrant further
evaluation and standard setting.
MANE-VU Ask 4 requested States lock in lower emission rates for
SO2, NOX, and PM at EGUs and sources with more
than 250 MMBtu/hour heat input that have switched to lower emitting
fuels by updating permits, enforceable agreements, and/or rules. Ohio
responded to MANE-VU Ask 4 that, in most cases, switches to lower
emitting fuels have already been incorporated into Ohio's federally
enforceable permits, however, lowering emission rates for such
facilities across the board is not required or appropriate.
MANE-VU Ask 5 requested States include, in their Regional Haze SIP
revision, measures to decrease energy demand by improved energy
efficiency and to increase use of Combined Heat and Power and
distributed generation technologies, such as fuel cells, wind,
[[Page 71144]]
and solar. Ohio responded to MANE-VU Ask 5, noting that Ohio EPA lacks
the legislative authority to set energy policy, but encourages energy
efficiency through efforts such as Ohio's Encouraging Environmental
Excellence Program.\51\
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\51\ Ohio's Encouraging Environmental Excellence Program is
available at https://epa.ohio.gov/divisions-and-offices/environmental-financial-assistance/recognition-and-awards/e3-program.
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MANE-VU issued a second statement to Ohio EPA, similar to the one
discussed above and also dated August 25, 2017, entitled, ``Statement
of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Visibility Union (MANE-VU) Concerning a
Course of Action Within MANE-VU Toward Assuring Reasonable Progress for
the Second Implementation Period (2018-2028).'' \52\ Ohio EPA responded
to MANE-VU's request, noting that even though Ohio's source selection
process did not result in the selection of peaking combustion turbines
for four-factor analysis, Ohio considered such NOX controls
and did not find the measures necessary for Ohio sources during the
second implementation period.
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\52\ MANE-VU's second statement dated August 25, 2017, entitled
``Statement of the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast Visibility Union (MANE-VU)
Concerning a Course of Action Within MANE-VU Toward Assuring
Reasonable Progress for the Second Implementation Period (2018-
2028)'' is included as appendix O in Ohio's Regional haze SIP
revision included in the docket.
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On June 22, 2020, the VISTAS RPO sent a letter to Ohio EPA on
behalf of Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee,
Virginia, and West Virginia.\53\ VISTAS shared with Ohio EPA the
results of a technical analyses identifying Ohio sources to which
VISTAS attributed significant impacts on visibility impairment at Class
I areas within the VISTAS states. VISTAS' analyses identified sources
with a sulfate or nitrate impact greater than 1.00 percent of the total
sulfate plus nitrate point source visibility impairment on the 20
percent most impaired days for each Class I area. For Ohio, VISTAS
identified the following four sources: Ohio Valley Electric Corp.--
Kyger Creek Station, Cardinal Power, General James M. Gavin Power
Plant, and Zimmer Power Station. VISTAS requested that Ohio conduct a
reasonable progress analysis for each of the four sources, and, if Ohio
determined that a four-factor analysis was not warranted, provide a
rationale.
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\53\ VISTAS June 22, 2020, letter to Ohio EPA is included as
appendix N1 in Ohio's Regional Haze SIP revision included in the
docket.
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On October 29, 2020, Ohio EPA responded to VISTAS request by
providing information for each of the four sources on emissions
controls, control efficiencies, permitted limits, consent decree
provisions, and trends in emission rates and annual emissions from 2016
to 2019.\54\ Citing to examples in the 2019 Guidance of sources with
effective emission controls, Ohio replied to VISTAS that, other than
Zimmer Power Station, each of the other sources have existing effective
controls with FGD or SCR with at least 90 percent effectiveness, and
that a four-factor analysis would likely result in the conclusion that
no further controls are necessary. For Zimmer Power Station, Ohio EPA
confirmed that the facility announced it would permanently shut down in
2027, and that discussions were underway to secure the upcoming
shutdown in an enforceable commitment such that a four-factor analysis
would not be warranted.
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\54\ Ohio's October 29, 2020, response to VISTAS is included as
appendix N2 to Ohio's Regional Haze SIP revision included in the
docket.
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In addition to the measures identified by MANE-VU and VISTAS above,
Ohio reviewed the Regional Haze SIPs for other States, that were
available at the time, to ensure appropriate consideration was given to
measures determined necessary by other States for similar types of
sources as those selected by Ohio for four-factor analysis, which were
EGUs and lime manufacturing plants.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the consultation
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii). Ohio has met the 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) requirements with its participation in the
LADCO consultation process plus its individual consultation meetings
with contributing States. There were no disagreements with another
State, therefore 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) does not apply to Ohio.
The requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) provide that a State
must document the technical basis for its decision making to determine
the emission reductions measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. The documentation requirement of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii)
provides that States may meet their obligations to document the
technical bases on which they are relying to determine the emission
reductions measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress
through an RPO, as long as the process has been ``approved by all State
participants.'' Ohio documented the technical basis, including the
modeling, monitoring, engineering, costs, and emissions information
that was relied on in determining the emission reduction measures that
are necessary to make reasonable progress.
For modeling, Ohio EPA documented the modeling done by LADCO to
determine visibility projections and contributions to impairment at the
Class I areas. Ohio included justification for the 2016 base year
selection and the 2028 emission projections based on ERTAC forecasts
and State-reported changes.
For monitoring, Ohio described how ambient air quality monitoring
data were analyzed to produce a conceptual understanding of the air
quality problems contributing to haze as well as to project visibility
conditions in 2028 through LADCO's modeling and EPA's Updated 2028
Visibility Air Quality Modeling. Ohio noted that LADCO relied upon the
IMPROVE monitoring data to track the chemical composition of
PM2.5 in haze at Class I areas in the LADCO region, which
included ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate, elemental carbon, organic
carbon, sea salt, and inorganic soil. Ohio EPA also pointed to its
statewide monitoring network of EPA-approved monitors for ozone and
PM2.5, which Ohio continually reviews and uses to determine
the contribution of emissions from sources within Ohio to visibility
impairment at Class I areas in other States for SIP development.
For emissions information, Ohio EPA provided data for 2016 through
2019, the most recent data year available at the time, from various
sources for each unit screened in using Ohio's Q/d source selection
threshold. Data from 2016 for annual emissions of NOX,
SO2, PM2.5, and NH3 that was used by
LADCO in the Q/d analysis relied upon the 2016 inventory developed by
the National Emissions Inventory Collaborative described above.
Emissions data for 2016-2019 for NOX and SO2 were
obtained from EPA's Clean Air Markets Database (CAMD) for sources that
report emissions data to CAMD. To quantify emissions from sources that
do not report to CAMD, data for 2017-2019 was obtained from Ohio EPA's
EIS. Ohio also provided an emissions summary by source category and
pollutant obtained from the 2017 NEI, the most recent triennial NEI
available at the time. For engineering and costs, Ohio EPA provided
site-specific four-factor analyses, which evaluated potential
engineering designs and costs for various NOX and
SO2 emission control systems for 4 coal-fired EGUs at 3
different power plants (Avon Lake Power Plant, Dover Municipal Light &
Power Plant, and General James M. Gavin Power Plant) and 2 coal-fired
boilers at one lime manufacturing plant (Carmeuse Lime, Inc.--Maple
Grove Operations). Additionally, Ohio EPA
[[Page 71145]]
provided information to support to the incorporation of specific
emissions rates in the long-term strategy and the SIP at 40 CFR
52.1870(d) at three power plants for the purposes of regional haze
(Cardinal Power Plant, General James M. Gavin Power Plant, and Ohio
Valley Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station). EPA proposes to find that
such documentation of the technical basis of the long-term strategy
satisfies the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) require that the
emissions information considered to determine the measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress include information on emissions
for the most recent year for which the State has submitted triennial
emissions data to EPA (or a more recent year), with a 12-month
exemption period for newly submitted data. As previously mentioned
above, Ohio EPA participated in the development of technical analyses,
including emission inventory information, by LADCO and its member
States, and is relying in part on those analyses to satisfy the
emission inventory requirements. Ohio EPA explained that emissions for
the 2016 base year and the 2028 projected year used in LADCO's modeling
address elements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v) of the Regional Haze Rule,
which requires that States provide recent and future year emissions
inventories of pollutants anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in any Class I areas. Ohio EPA's regional haze SIP revision
for the second implementation period also included 2017 NEI emission
data, which corresponds to the year of the most recent triennial NEI at
the time of Ohio's SIP submission, as required under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) of the Regional Haze Rule. Based on Ohio EPA's
consideration and analysis of the 2017 emission data in its SIP
submittal, EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the emissions
information requirement in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
6. Five Additional Factors
In addition to the four statutory factors, States must also
consider the five additional factors listed in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv)
in developing their long-term strategies.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(A), Ohio EPA considered
emission reductions due to ongoing air pollution control programs. Ohio
EPA noted ongoing Federal and State emission control programs that have
reduced and will continue to reduce visibility impairing pollutants
from Ohio point and area sources as well as on-road and non-road mobile
sources in the second implementation period. For point sources, this
included Federal provisions for title V permitting actions; Acid Rain
Program; Boiler MACT; VOC MACT; Combustion turbine MACT; NSPS for New
Residential Wood Heaters; NSPS for Commercial and Industrial Solid
Waste Incinerators; NESHAPs for Industrial, Commercial, and
Institutional Area Source Boilers, Major Source Boilers; NESHAP for
Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines; Mercury and Air Toxics
Standards for power plants; oil and natural gas industry standards;
SO2 DRR; and Revised CSAPR Update. For area sources,
regulations include national emission standards for aerosol coatings
plus State regulations for Ohio's consumer product rules, Ohio's
Architectural and Industrial Maintenance coatings rules, and Ohio's
portable fuel container rules.
For on-road mobile sources, Ohio EPA cited to Federal regulations
for the Motor Vehicle Emission Control Program--low sulfur gasoline and
ultra-low sulfur diesel fuel; Control of Hazardous Air Pollutants from
Mobile Sources; and NOX Emission Standards for New
Commercial Aircraft Engines. Among the controls for on-road mobile
sources is the Ohio-administered Federal inspection and maintenance (I/
M) program known as ``E-check'' in northeast Ohio, codified at Ohio
Administrative Code 3745-26-01(Z). For non-road mobile sources, Ohio
EPA cited to Federal regulations for the Clean Air Non-road Diesel
Rule, Non-road Spark-Ignition Engines and Recreational Engine
Standards, New Non-road Spark Ignition Engines, heavy-duty diesel
engine standard/low sulfur fuel, railroad/locomotive standards, and
commercial marine vessel engine standards. For both on-road and non-
road mobile sources, Ohio EPA also provided information about Ohio's
Beneficiary Mitigation Plan, which accepted and distributed funds from
the Volkswagen settlement in 2018, resulting in benefits that compound
over the lifetime of the equipment purchased or repowered. This
included $40 million to on-road fleets (school bus replacements,
transit bus replacements, and class 4-8 local freight and port drayage
trucks and shuttle buses), $19 million to non-road equipment (tugboats,
ferries, switcher locomotives, airport ground support, and port cargo
handling equipment); and $11.25 million for infrastructure to support
Zero Emissions Vehicles.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(B), Ohio's consideration of
measures to mitigate the impacts of construction activities in its SIP
submission focus on windblown dust resulting from earth moving
activities as a primary source of airborne particles. For work on
construction sites where greater than one acre of land is disturbed,
Ohio EPA points to general permits required under the National
Pollutant Discharge Elimination System, which require best management
practices to control soil erosion and stormwater runoff that are also
effective in preventing and reducing airborne soil as particulate
matter emissions.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv), Ohio EPA's SIP submission
addressed schedules for source retirements, replacements, and natural
gas conversions for 18 coal-fired units that are or will be permanent
and federally enforceable during the second implementation period. As
such, Ohio did not select these sources for a four-factor analysis.
During the second implementation period, as enumerated above, 12 coal-
fired EGUs have already permanently shut down, 3 coal-fired units
converted to natural gas, and 3 coal-fired EGUs will permanently shut
down by 2028. These retirements and conversions contribute to Ohio's
emission reductions and the associated visibility improvements at the
affected Class I areas for the second implementation period.
In considering smoke management for prescribed burns as required in
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(D), Ohio EPA referred to interrelated laws and
regulations for management of air emissions from prescribed fires.
Among the enforcing agencies is the Ohio Department of Natural
Resources Division of Forestry, which has the authority under Ohio
Revised Code (ORC) 1503.18 \55\ to ban outdoor burning statewide in
unincorporated areas during certain months and times of the year and to
provide waivers only for individuals who are Certified Prescribed Fire
Managers. In addition, OAC 3745-19 \56\ ``Open Burning Standards''
regulates prescribed fires for horticultural, silvicultural, range, or
wildfire management practices and requires applications for permission,
which must specify methods to reduce air emissions and certify
adherence to the requirements of OAC 3745-19. To put Ohio's
contribution from prescribed fires into context, Ohio EPA also provided
emissions data from the 2017
[[Page 71146]]
NEI showing that prescribed fire activity in the State constitutes less
than 1 percent of total U.S. prescribed fire emissions.
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\55\ Ohio Revised Code (ORC), title 15 Conservation of Natural
Resources, Chapter 1503 Division of Forestry, Section 1503.18 is
available at https://codes.ohio.gov/ohio-revised-code/section-1503.18.
\56\ Ohio Administrative Code (OAC), Chapter 3745-19 Open
Burning Standards is available at https://codes.ohio.gov/ohio-administrative-code/chapter-3745-19.
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As required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv), Ohio EPA considered the
anticipated net effect on visibility improvements at the LADCO Class I
Areas due to projected changes in emissions from point, area, and
mobile sources during the second implementation period. For each
potential control measure evaluated in the four-factor analyses, Ohio
EPA projected the maximum estimated visibility benefit at any Class I
area among the sources that were modeled, as listed in Table 18 of
Ohio's SIP submission, to compare the relative control measures at a
particular facility. Ohio considered cost-effectiveness along with time
necessary to install controls, energy and non-air quality environmental
impacts, and remaining useful life. Ohio found no potential new add-on
controls necessary for reasonable progress.
Ohio EPA considered other projected changes in emissions that would
affect visibility at the LADCO Class I Areas. The visibility
improvement expected during the second implementation period was
estimated using LADCO's 2016 base year and 2028 future year inventory
components to simulate 2016 and 2028 air quality. As described above,
for EGUs, projected changes for 2028 emissions in LADCO's modeling
platform were based on ERTAC forecasts and State-reported changes. For
most other emission sectors, LADCO relied upon EPA's 2016 and 2028
inventory estimates for projected changes. As Ohio EPA pointed out in
section III.3(e)(5) of its SIP submission, these projected changes in
EPA's 2016 and 2028 inventory estimates took into account Federal on-
the-books controls, such as those listed in Ohio's long-term strategy
above. In addition, as noted in section III.3(e)(5) of Ohio's SIP
submission, improvements in visibility are also anticipated by the end
of the second implementation period due to the upcoming permanent
shutdowns of coal-fired EGUs at Miami Fort Power Station and Zimmer
Power Station by 2028.
Ohio EPA also demonstrated that visibility conditions in the LADCO
Class I Areas have shown continued improvement relative to baseline
conditions. As depicted in LADCO's 2021 TSD, 2016 visibility impairment
conditions at the LADCO Class I Areas on the 20 percent most impaired
days as well as the 20 percent clearest days were below their
respective glidepaths. By the end of the second implementation period
in 2028, both LADCO's projections and EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air
Quality Modeling show 2028 visibility conditions will be below the URP
glidepaths for the LADCO Class I Areas.
Ohio EPA concluded, in section V of its SIP submission, that when
weighing the four-factor analyses and the five additional required
factors, new add-on controls are not necessary to meet second
implementation period regional haze SIP requirements beyond the
measures included in Ohio's long-term strategy. Ohio's process for
selecting sources for four-factor analyses represented 80 percent of
the total SO2 and 57 percent of NOX for all
sources with Q greater than 0.1 tons per year and provided an
analytical means for refining the list based on shutdowns, conversions,
and existing effective controls. For the add-on controls evaluated for
the 6 units selected for four-factor analyses, Ohio considered the cost
effectiveness, time necessary to install the controls, energy and solid
waste impacts, the costs/sales ratio, and comparable visibility
benefits in determining that the controls evaluated were not cost
effective to achieve emission reductions during the second
implementation period. Ohio EPA reflected upon the steady and
significant improvement in visibility at each of the Class I areas
impacted by sources in Ohio and noted that LADCO's modeling shows
continued improvement with 2028 projections below their URP glidepaths.
As discussed under the progress report elements below, from 2005 to
2017, Ohio's SO2 emissions decreased by 90 percent while
NOX emissions decreased by 47 percent. During the second
implementation period, the decreasing trend continues with the
shutdowns of 12 coal-fired EGUs at 4 facilities and the upcoming
permanent shutdowns of 3 more coal-fired EGUs at 2 power stations.
Given all these factors, Ohio concluded that the on-the-books and on-
the-way controls included in its long-term strategy, including the
shutdowns and emission limits for NOX and SO2 in
the DFFOs, are more than sufficient to make reasonable progress in the
second implementation period. EPA proposes to find that Ohio reasonably
considered and satisfied the requirements for each of the five
additional factors in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv) in developing its long-
term strategy.
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3) contain the requirements
pertaining to RPGs for each Class I area. Under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i),
a State, in which a mandatory Class I area is located, is required to
establish RPGs--one each for the most impaired and clearest days--
reflecting the visibility conditions that will be achieved at the end
of the implementation period as a result of the emission limitations,
compliance schedules and other measures required under paragraph (f)(2)
to be in States' long-term strategies, as well as implementation of
other CAA requirements. The long-term strategies as reflected by the
RPGs must provide for an improvement in visibility on the most impaired
days relative to the baseline period and ensure no degradation on the
clearest days relative to the baseline period. The provisions of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii) apply in circumstances in which a Class I area's RPG
for the most impaired days represents a slower rate of visibility
improvement than the uniform rate of progress calculated under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi). Under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(A), if the State in
which a mandatory Class I area is located establishes an RPG for the
most impaired days that provides for a slower rate of visibility
improvement than the URP, the State must demonstrate that there are no
additional emission reduction measures for anthropogenic sources or
groups of sources in the State that would be reasonable to include in
its long-term strategy. The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B)
requires that if a State contains sources that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area in
another State, and the RPG for the most impaired days in that Class I
area is above the URP, the upwind State must provide the same
demonstration. Because Ohio has no Class I areas within its borders to
which the requirements of the visibility protection program apply in 40
CFR part 81, subpart D, Ohio is subject only to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B), but not 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i) or (f)(3)(ii)(A).
Under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B), a State that contains sources
that are reasonably anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment
in a Class I area in another State for which a demonstration by the
other State is required under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) must
demonstrate that there are no additional emission reduction measures
that would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy. Ohio's
SIP submission at Table 1, section III(7)(b), and appendix A show that
at each of the Class I areas impacted by emissions from Ohio, the 2028
projected visibility impairment is not above the adjusted URP
glidepaths for the 20 percent most impaired days
[[Page 71147]]
and ensures no degradation on the 20 percent clearest days. Therefore,
EPA proposes it is reasonable to assume that the demonstration
requirement under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) as it pertains to these
areas will not be triggered.
EPA proposes to determine that Ohio has satisfied the applicable
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3) relating to RPGs.
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan Requirements
The requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) specify that each
comprehensive revision of a State's regional haze SIP must contain or
provide for certain elements, including monitoring strategies,
emissions inventories, and any reporting, recordkeeping and other
measures needed to assess and report on visibility. A main requirement
of this subsection is for States with Class I areas to submit
monitoring strategies for measuring, characterizing, and reporting on
visibility impairment. Compliance with this requirement may be met
through participation in the IMPROVE network.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(i) require SIPs to provide
for the establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment
needed to assess whether reasonable progress goals to address regional
haze for all mandatory Class I Federal areas within the State are being
achieved. The provisions of 51.308(f)(6)(ii) require SIPs to provide
for procedures by which monitoring data and other information are used
in determining the contribution of emissions from within the State to
regional haze visibility impairment at mandatory Class I Federal areas
both within and outside the State. As noted above, Ohio does not have
any mandatory Class I Federal areas located within its borders to which
the requirements of the visibility protection program apply in 40 CFR
part 81, subpart D. Therefore, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(i) and (ii) do not
apply.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(iii) require States with no
Class I areas to include procedures by which monitoring data and other
information are used in determining the contribution of emissions from
within the State to regional haze visibility impairment at Class I
areas in other States. States with Class I areas must establish a
monitoring program and report data to EPA that is representative of
visibility at the Class I Federal areas. The IMPROVE network meets this
requirement. Ohio EPA stated that, as a participant in LADCO, it
reviewed information about the chemical composition of baseline
monitoring data at LADCO Class I Federal areas to understand the
sources of haze causing pollutants. Ohio EPA does not operate any
monitoring sites under the Federal IMPROVE program and, therefore, does
not require approval of its monitoring network under the Regional Haze
Rule. Ohio EPA relies upon participation in the IMPROVE network as part
of the State's monitoring strategy for regional haze to review progress
and trends in visibility at Class I areas that may be affected by
emissions from Ohio, for comprehensive periodic revisions of this
implementation plan, and for periodic reports describing progress
towards the reasonable progress goals for those areas. Ohio also runs a
monitoring network of EPA-approved monitors for ozone and
PM2.5, as described in section III(8)(c) of Ohio's SIP
submission, which Ohio EPA uses to determine the contribution of
emissions from sources within Ohio to visibility impairment at Class I
areas in other States for SIP development.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(iv) require the SIP to
provide for the reporting of all visibility monitoring data to the
Administrator at least annually for each Class I area in the State. As
noted above, Ohio does not have any mandatory Class I Federal areas
located within its borders to which the requirements of the visibility
protection program apply in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D, and, therefore,
40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(iv) does not apply.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v) require SIPs to provide
for a statewide inventory of emissions of pollutants that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment,
including emissions for the most recent year for which data are
available. Ohio EPA, as described in section III(8)(c)(ii) of its SIP
submission, provided statewide emission inventories, including data
from 2017 as the most recent year available at the time of the State's
SIP submission, by complying with EPA's AERR. In 40 CFR part 51,
subpart A, the AERR requires States to submit updated emissions
inventories for criteria pollutants to EPA's Emissions Inventory System
every three years. The emission inventory data is used to develop the
NEI, which provides for, among other things, a triennial State-wide
inventory of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment. Ohio's SIP submission, in section
III(8)(b), includes a table of 2017 NEI data with source categories
covering emissions from EGU point, non-EGU point, on-road, non-road,
commercial marine vessels, dust, and other for the following
pollutants: SO2, NOX, PM2.5,
PM10, VOC, and NH3. To depict changes in
emissions over time, Ohio EPA accompanied the 2017 NEI data with side-
by-side comparisons comparing 2005 emissions for the same source
categories and pollutants. Ohio EPA also provided a summary of
SO2, NOX, PM2.5, VOCs, and
NH3 emissions for 2016 that LADCO used in developing Q/d
metrics and the 2016 base year emissions inventory to project emissions
to year 2028. Additionally, as described in further detail under the
progress report elements in section III(8)(b) of Ohio's SIP submission,
Ohio EPA provided more recent data through 2019 from CAMD to depict
trends in EGU emissions, which demonstrated a 94 percent decrease in
SO2 emissions and an 84 percent decrease in NOX
emissions from 2005 to 2019.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(v) also require States to
include estimates of future projected emissions and include a
commitment to update the inventory periodically. For future projected
emissions, Ohio relied on the LADCO modeling and analysis, which
estimated 2028 projected emissions of SO2 and NOX
for specific facilities in the LADCO States to provide an assessment of
expected future year air quality based on 2016 emissions as well as
ERTAC and State forecasts. In addition to Ohio's commitment to comply
with the AERR to periodically update EPA's emission inventories for
creating and analyzing the NEI, Ohio annually updates the State's own
EIS for pollutants anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in Class I areas to support future regional haze progress
reports and SIP revisions.
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has met the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6) as described above, including through its continued
participation in LADCO, its own statewide EIS, and its emissions
reporting to EPA under AERR.
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5) require that periodic
comprehensive revisions of States' regional haze plans also address the
progress report requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through (5). The
purpose of these requirements is to evaluate progress towards the
applicable RPGs for each Class I area within the State and each Class I
area outside the State that may be affected by emissions from within
that State. The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2) apply to all
States
[[Page 71148]]
and require a description of the status of implementation of all
measures included in a State's first implementation period regional
haze plan and a summary of the emission reductions achieved through
implementation of those measures. The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)
apply only to States with Class I areas within their borders and
requires such States to assess current visibility conditions, changes
in visibility relative to baseline (2000-2004) visibility conditions,
and changes in visibility conditions relative to the period addressed
in the first implementation period progress report. The provisions of
51.308(g)(4) apply to all States and requires an analysis tracking
changes in emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility
impairment from all sources and sectors since the period addressed by
the first implementation period progress report. This provision further
specifies the year or years through which the analysis must extend
depending on the type of source and the platform through which its
emission information is reported. Finally, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5), which
also applies to all States, requires an assessment of any significant
changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside the State have
occurred since the period addressed by the first implementation period
progress report, including whether such changes were anticipated and
whether they have limited or impeded expected progress towards reducing
emissions and improving visibility.
Ohio's previous progress report, which was a 5-year progress report
submitted as a SIP revision for the first implementation period on
March 11, 2016, included emission inventories from 2002-2014 of
NOX and SO2 for EGUs as well as inventories from
2005 and 2011 of NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
PM10, VOC, and NH3 for additional source
categories: EGUs, non-EGUs, on-road, non-road, commercial marine
vessels, and other. Based on CAMD data for emissions from EGUs covering
the period 2002 to 2014, Ohio's 2016 5-year progress report showed a
decrease in NOX emissions by 76 percent and a decrease in
SO2 emissions by 75 percent. (82 FR 60543, December 21,
2017).
For the second implementation period SIP submittal, the 2019
Guidance recommends the progress report cover the first full year that
was not incorporated into the previous progress report through a year
that is as close as possible to the submission date of the SIP. 2019
Guidance at 55. Ohio's 2021 progress report, contained in section
III(8)(b) of its SIP submission, covered the measures and emissions
reductions achieved from 2005 through 2019, including 2017 as the most
recent NEI year available at the time for sector level emissions.
To address the progress report elements of 51.308(g)(1), Ohio EPA
described the status of implementation of all measures in the long-term
strategy under its first implementation period regional haze plan.
These measures included several Federal measures, including CAIR and
its successor CSAPR, to which Ohio attributed the majority of
reductions in visibility-impairing emissions from the largest point-
source sector, EGUs, during the first implementation period, along with
the Acid Rain Program under title IV and the NOX SIP Call.
Additional on-the-books control measures that generated further
emission reductions addressed mobile sources, such as on-road
provisions under the Federal Motor Vehicle Emission Control Program for
low-sulfur gasoline and ultra-low sulfur diesel fuel as well as the
Ohio-administered Federal I/M program, E-check. Non-road Federal
measures for mobile sources included the Clean Air Non-road Diesel
Rule, the evaporative Large Spark Ignition and Recreational Vehicle
standards, heavy-duty diesel engine standard for low-sulfur diesel
fuel, railroad/locomotive standards, and commercial marine vessel
engine standards. Measures for area sources included Ohio's consumer
products rules for consumer solvents, Ohio's Architectural and
Industrial Maintenance coatings rules, Ohio's portable fuel container
rules, and NESHAP for aerosol coatings. Among the other measures, Ohio
also included BART and Industrial Boiler MACT, which applied to only
one EGU in the State.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(g)(2), Ohio provided a summary of the
emission reductions achieved through the measures outlined above from
the first implementation period. As a result of these measures, NEI
data from 2005 to 2017 from across all emission categories, discussed
more fully below, show that Ohio's SO2 emissions decreased
by 90 percent, NOX emissions decreased by 57 percent, VOC
emissions decreased by 33 percent, and ammonia emissions decreased by
26 percent. The most significant emissions reductions from Ohio's SIP
strategies were realized mainly as a result of CAIR and CSAPR, where
CAMD data show that the EGU sector experienced a 94 percent decrease in
SO2 from 1,085,485 tpy in 2005 to 68,905 tpy in 2019 as well
as an 84 percent decrease in NOX from 255,000 tpy in 2005 to
40,493 tpy in 2019. EPA proposes to find that Ohio has met the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2) because its SIP submission
describes the measures included in the long-term strategy from the
first implementation period, as well as the status of their
implementation and the emission reductions achieved through such
implementation.
The provisions of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3) require States to assess
Reasonable Progress Goals, including current visibility conditions and
changes, for any Class I areas within the State. As described above,
Ohio has no mandatory Class I Federal areas within its borders that are
among the 156 mandatory Class I Federal areas where EPA deemed
visibility to be an important value. Therefore, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)
does not apply.
To address 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), Ohio EPA provided an analysis, in
section III.8(b)(iv) of its SIP submittal, tracking the change in
emissions of NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
PM10, NH3, and VOC from all sources and
activities in the State. Table 21 of Ohio's SIP submission documents
changes in emissions of each of these pollutants for the EGU point,
non-EGU point, on-road, non-road, commercial marine vessels, and other
categories based on the NEIs from 2005 through 2017, the most recent
NEI year available at the time for category level emissions. As a
caveat, Ohio noted that there were several changes in the methodologies
for estimating emissions between the 2005 and 2017 NEIs, such that they
are not readily comparable as explained in EPA's 2017 National
Emissions Inventory: January 2021 Updated Release, Technical Support
Document.\57\ Specifically, these inconsistencies resulted from changes
in the reporting of the condensable portion of PM emissions, changes in
the model used for on-road and non-road emissions, as well as
improvements in methodologies for other sources such as paved and
unpaved PM emissions, ammonia fertilizer and animal waste emissions,
oil and gas production, residential wood combustion, solvents,
industrial and commercial/institutional fuel combustion, and commercial
marine vessel emissions. While Ohio EPA noted that the inventories are
not directly comparable, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4) does not require States to
revise previous NEI year estimates to use the same methods as a more
recent year.
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\57\ 2017 National Emissions Inventory: January 2017 Updated
Release, Technical Support Document,'' EPA-454/R-21=001, February
2021. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-02/documents/nei2017_tsd_full_jan2021.pdf.
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[[Page 71149]]
Ohio EPA's analysis of Table 21 documents overall emission
reductions in NOX and SO2 across all source
categories from the 2005 and 2017 NEIs, with a 90 percent reduction in
SO2 and 57 percent reduction in NOX. Based on the
2005 and 2017 NEIs, Ohio documented decreases in NOX
emissions of 77 percent from EGU Point, 32 percent from non-EGU point,
49 percent from on-road, 55 percent from non-road, 38 percent from
commercial marine vessels, and 44 percent from other categories. For
SO2, Ohio calculated decreases from the 2005 to 2017 NEIs of
92 percent from EGU point, 77 percent from non-EGU point, 87 percent
from on-road, 99 percent from non-road, 92 percent from commercial
marine vessels, and 36 percent from other categories. Overall
reductions in VOC and NH3 emissions, which Ohio EPA notes
are less impactful on visibility in the LADCO Class I Areas, reached 33
percent and 26 percent, respectively, despite an apparent increase in
EGU point source emissions in NH3, which Ohio EPA attributes
to changes in estimation methodologies at a few select facilities that
Ohio EPA is investigating further. Similarly, while overall
PM2.5 and PM10 emissions appear to increase by 14
percent and 12 percent, respectively, Ohio EPA notes that a direct
comparison between the 2005 and 2017 NEIs would be inaccurate because
of the inconsistencies in PM reporting and changes in the modeling of
emissions as explained above. In addition to the NEIs, Ohio EPA
provided data, as noted earlier, with respect to EGUs that report to
CAMD from 2005 to 2019, the most recent year available at the time,
tracking the change in emissions and chronicling the decrease in
SO2 by 94 percent and the decrease in NOX by 84
percent. EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the requirements
of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4) by tracking the change in emissions of
NOX, SO2, PM2.5, VOCs, and
NH3 identified by type of source since the first progress
report.
To address 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5), Ohio EPA assessed significant
changes in anthropogenic emissions since the first implementation
period plan, within and outside of the State, including whether they
were anticipated and whether they limited or impeded progress in
improving visibility. Within the State, Ohio compared the 2005 and 2017
NEIs in Table 21 of its submittal to identify changes in anthropogenic
emissions, finding that emissions significantly decreased across all
categories for NOX and SO2. As previously
mentioned, these changes were anticipated and occurred mainly as a
result of CSAPR as it replaced CAIR. Where emissions appeared to
increase significantly, such as for NH3 emissions from EGU-
point source category, Ohio explained the changes occurred as a result
the inconsistencies in the reporting, modeling, and methodologies used
for the 2005 and 2017 NEI data sets as described above, and that Ohio
is investigating the potential for the increases to be attributed to
errors at a few select facilities. With the significant decreases in
anthropogenic emissions of NOX, SO2, VOC, and
NH3 across all source categories from 2005 to 2017 NEIs,
Ohio EPA found that no changes in anthropogenic emissions within or
outside Ohio have occurred from 2005 to 2017 that would limit or impede
progress in reducing pollutant emissions and improving visibility. Ohio
noted that further improvements in visibility are anticipated with the
emission reductions to be realized the Revised CSAPR Update along with
the permanent shutdown of coal-fired boilers at Miami Fort Power
Station and Zimmer Power Station. The emissions trend data in Ohio's
SIP submission support an assessment that anthropogenic haze-causing
pollutant emissions in Ohio have decreased during the reporting period
and that changes in emissions have not limited or impeded progress in
reducing pollutant emissions and improving visibility. EPA proposes to
find that Ohio has met the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(5).
Following up on Ohio's 2021 progress report, in section III.8(b)of
its SIP submission, Ohio EPA committed to submit a progress report for
the second implementation period by January 31, 2025, to evaluate
progress towards the reasonable progress goal for each mandatory Class
I Federal area located within and outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the State as required by 40 CFR
51.308(g).
I. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires States to consult with FLMs before
holding the public hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP and to
include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in the
notice to the public. In addition, 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2)'s FLM
consultation provision requires a State to provide FLMs with an
opportunity for consultation that is early enough in the State's policy
analyses of its emission reduction obligation so that information and
recommendations provided by the FLMs' can meaningfully inform the
State's decisions on its long-term strategy. If the consultation has
taken place at least 120 days before a public hearing or public comment
period, the opportunity for consultation will be deemed early enough.
Regardless, the opportunity for consultation must be provided at least
60 days before a public hearing or public comment period at the State
level. The requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2) also provide two
substantive topics on which FLMs must be provided an opportunity to
discuss with States: assessment of visibility impairment in any Class I
area and recommendations on the development and implementation of
strategies to address visibility impairment. In 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3),
States, in developing their implementation plans, are required to
include a description of how they addressed FLMs' comments.
In development of its SIP submittal, Ohio participated with the
FLMs in an early engagement process as well as a formal consultation
process, sharing drafts of its SIP submission, reviewing information
provided by the FLMs, and meeting to discuss the development of Ohio's
proposed Regional Haze plan. On May 12, 2020, and October 2, 2020, Ohio
received lists of sources recommended for four-factor analyses by NPS
and USFS, respectively, which are included as Appendices K2 and K3 in
Ohio's SIP submission. On October 8, 2020, Ohio EPA shared an early
draft of its Regional Haze plan with USFS, FWS, and NPS for their
review and comments. Following this early engagement process, Ohio
initiated a formal consultation process with the FLMs on January 6,
2021, providing another draft of its Regional Haze plan and offering an
opportunity for consultation in person. Ohio EPA initiated the early
engagement process more than 120 days before the first public comment
period on Ohio's plan and began the formal consultation process at
least 60 days prior to the first public comment period on Ohio's plan
as required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). On February 10, 2021, USFS shared
their comments on the draft plan with Ohio EPA, and NPS shared their
comments with Ohio EPA on February 17, 2021, both of which are
contained in Appendices L1, L2, L3 of Ohio's SIP submission. Ohio EPA's
response to the FLM's comments from February 2021 are included as
Appendix L4 of Ohio's SIP submittal as required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3).
[[Page 71150]]
On May 10, 2021, Ohio announced its initial public comment period
and public hearing regarding the State's proposed SIP submittal for the
second implementation period on Ohio EPA's Regional Haze website,\58\
in the Ohio EPA Weekly Review,\59\ and through electronic mailing lists
to interested parties, including FLMs. The public notice included FLM's
comments and Ohio EPA's response in the proposed SIP submission. The
initial public comment period took place from May 10, 2021, through
June 28, 2021, being extended beyond the original 30-day period by an
additional two weeks, and a virtual and in-person public hearing was
held on June 14, 2021. Following the public comment period, Ohio
submitted its SIP revision to EPA on July 30, 2021.
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\58\ The Ohio EPA Regional Haze website is available at https://epa.ohio.gov/divisions-and-offices/air-pollution-control/state-implementation-plans/state-implementation-plan-sip-regional-haze.
\59\ The Ohio EPA Weekly Review is available at https://epa.ohio.gov/about/media-center/public-notices.
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Subsequently, in 2023 and 2024, Ohio EPA re-engaged with the FLMs
on a proposed supplement to its July 30, 2021, SIP submission. As
discussed above, Ohio EPA shared a proposed supplement with the FLMs
that included an analyses and proposed emission limits for General
James M. Gavin Power Plant, Cardinal Power Plant, and Ohio Valley
Electric Corp.--Kyger Creek Station. For the proposed supplement, Ohio
EPA provided a 45-day FLM consultation period from January 16, 2024, to
March 1, 2024, that ran concurrently with an extended public comment
period from January 16, 2024, to March 18, 2024, during which Ohio made
the FLM comments available to the public on its website by March 5,
2024. A virtual and in-person public hearing on Ohio EPA's proposed
supplement was held on March 18, 2024.
Following the second public comment period, Ohio EPA again re-
engaged with the FLMs on proposed DFFOs that would effectuate the
emissions limitations contained within the proposed supplement. After
Ohio EPA and the FLMs agreed on a shortened FLM consultation period
from May 3, 2024, to May 31, 2024, Ohio provided a third public comment
period regarding draft DFFOs effectuating the proposed emission
limitations from June 3, 2024, through July 8, 2024, and a virtual and
in-person public hearing was held on July 8, 2024. Ohio EPA considered
input from FLMs and the public provided during each of the three FLM
consultation periods and three public notice periods when finalizing
this SIP revision.
As required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4), Ohio committed to continue
consultation with States and FLMs on the development and review of any
future plan revisions and progress reports, as well as other programs
having the potential to contribute to visibility impairment in the
mandatory Class I areas, including NSR sources that might impact
visibility in Class I areas. Given Ohio EPA's actions recounted above,
EPA proposes to find that Ohio has satisfied the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(i) to consult with the FLMs on its regional haze SIP for the
second implementation period.
V. Proposed Action
EPA proposes to approve Ohio's July 30, 2021, SIP submission, as
supplemented on August 6, 2024, as satisfying the regional haze
requirements for the second implementation period contained in 40 CFR
51.308(f).
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the CAA and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve State choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this
action merely proposes to approve State law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those
imposed by State law. For that reason, this proposed action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR 21879, April 11,
2023);
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885,
April 23, 1997) because it approves a State program;
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001); and
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the CAA.
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian Tribe has
demonstrated that a Tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian
country, the rule does not have Tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on Tribal governments or preempt Tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
Executive Order 12898 (Federal Actions to Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies to identify and address
``disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental
effects'' of their actions on communities with environmental justice
(EJ) concerns to the greatest extent practicable and permitted by law.
EPA defines EJ as ``the fair treatment and meaningful involvement of
all people regardless of race, color, national origin, or income with
respect to the development, implementation, and enforcement of
environmental laws, regulations, and policies.'' EPA further defines
the term fair treatment to mean that ``no group of people should bear a
disproportionate burden of environmental harms and risks, including
those resulting from the negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and commercial operations or programs and
policies.''
Ohio EPA did not evaluate EJ considerations as part of its SIP
submittal; the CAA and applicable implementing regulations neither
prohibit nor require such an evaluation. EPA did not perform an EJ
analysis and did not consider EJ in this action. Due to the nature of
the action being taken here, this action is expected to have a neutral
to positive impact on the air quality of the affected area.
Consideration of EJ is not required as part of this action, and there
is no information in the record inconsistent with the stated goal of
E.O. 12898 of achieving environmental justice for communities with EJ
concerns.
[[Page 71151]]
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: August 21, 2024.
Debra Shore,
Regional Administrator, Region 5.
[FR Doc. 2024-19189 Filed 8-29-24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P