Air Plan Approval; IA; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second Implementation Period, 63258-63279 [2024-16502]
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 149 / Friday, August 2, 2024 / Proposed Rules
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R07–OAR–2024–0313; FRL–12096–
01–R7]
Air Plan Approval; IA; Regional Haze
State Implementation Plan for the
Second Implementation Period
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve
the regional haze state implementation
plan (SIP) revision submitted by Iowa
on August 15, 2023, as satisfying
applicable requirements under the
Clean Air Act (CAA) and EPA’s
Regional Haze Rule (RHR) for the
program’s second implementation
period. Iowa’s SIP submission addresses
the requirement that states must
periodically revise their long-term
strategies for making reasonable
progress towards the national goal of
preventing any future, and remedying
any existing, anthropogenic impairment
of visibility, including regional haze, in
mandatory Class I Federal areas. The
SIP submission also addresses other
applicable requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program. The EPA is taking this
action pursuant to the CAA.
DATES: Written comments must be
received on or before September 3,
2024.
SUMMARY:
Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R07–
OAR–2024–0313 at https://
www.regulations.gov. For comments
submitted at Regulations.gov, follow the
online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments
cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. For either manner of
submission, the EPA may publish any
comment received to its public docket.
Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be
confidential business information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment
contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, please
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ADDRESSES:
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contact the person identified in the FOR
section.
For the full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Bethany Olson, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Region 7 Office, Air
Permitting and Planning Branch, 11201
Renner Boulevard, Lenexa, Kansas
66219; telephone number: (913) 551–
7905; email address: olson.bethany@
epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’
and ‘‘our’’ refer to the EPA.
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
Table of Contents
I. Written Comments
II. What is being addressed in this document?
III. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
IV. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for
the Second Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
V. The EPA’s Evaluation of Iowa’s Regional
Haze Submission for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Background on Iowa’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
B. Iowa’s Second Implementation Period
SIP Submission and the EPA’s
Evaluation
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
a. Iowa’s Source Selection and Four Factor
Analysis
b. The EPA’s Evaluation of Iowa’s
Emissions Reduction Measures and
Compliance With § 51.308(f)(2)(i)
c. Additional Long-Term Strategy
Requirements
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
I. Requirements for State and Federal Land
Manager Coordination
VI. What action is the EPA proposing?
VII. Incorporation by Reference
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VIII. Environmental Justice Considerations
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Written Comments
Submit your comments, identified by
Docket ID No. EPA–R07–OAR–2024–
0313, at https://www.regulations.gov.
Once submitted, comments cannot be
edited or removed from Regulations.gov.
The EPA may publish any comment
received to its public docket. Do not
submit electronically any information
you consider to be CBI or other
information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment
contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, the full
EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets.
II. What is being addressed in this
document?
On August 15, 2023, the Iowa
Department of Natural Resources (IDNR)
submitted a plan to satisfy the regional
haze program requirements pursuant to
CAA sections 169A and 40 CFR 51.308.
The EPA is proposing to approve Iowa’s
Regional Haze plan for the second
planning period. As required by section
169A of the CAA, the Federal RHR calls
for state and Federal agencies to work
together to improve visibility in 156
national parks and wilderness areas.
The rule requires the states, in
coordination with the EPA, the National
Parks Service (NPS), the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (FWS), the U.S. Forest
Service (USFS), and other interested
parties, to develop and implement air
quality protection plans to reduce the
pollution that causes visibility
impairment. Visibility impairing
pollutants include fine and coarse
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates,
nitrates, organic carbon, elemental
carbon, and soil dust) and their
precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2),
nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in some
cases, volatile organic compounds
(VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). As
discussed in further detail below and in
the technical support document (TSD)
included in this docket, the EPA is
proposing to find that Iowa has
submitted a Regional Haze plan that
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meets the Regional Haze requirements
for the second planning period. The
State’s submission can be found in the
docket for this action.
III. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
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A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA amendments,
Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation’s
mandatory Class I Federal areas, which
include certain national parks and
wilderness areas.1 CAA section 169A.
The CAA establishes as a national goal
the ‘‘prevention of any future, and the
remedying of any existing, impairment
of visibility in mandatory class I Federal
areas which impairment results from
manmade air pollution.’’ CAA section
169A(a)(1). The CAA further directs the
EPA to promulgate regulations to assure
reasonable progress toward meeting this
national goal. CAA section 169A(a)(4).
On December 2, 1980, the EPA
promulgated regulations to address
visibility impairment in mandatory
Class I Federal areas (hereinafter
referred to as ‘‘Class I areas’’) that is
‘‘reasonably attributable’’ to a single
source or small group of sources. (45 FR
80084, December 2, 1980) These
regulations, codified at 40 CFR 51.300
through 51.307, represented the first
phase of the EPA’s efforts to address
visibility impairment. In 1990, Congress
added section 169B to the CAA to
further address visibility impairment,
specifically, impairment from regional
haze. CAA section 169B. The EPA
promulgated the Regional Haze Rule
(RHR), codified at 40 CFR 51.308,2 on
July 1, 1999. (64 FR 35714, July 1, 1999)
These regional haze regulations are a
central component of the EPA’s
comprehensive visibility protection
program for Class I areas.
Regional haze is visibility impairment
that is produced by a multitude of
anthropogenic sources and activities
which are located across a broad
geographic area and that emit pollutants
that impair visibility. Visibility
1 Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class
I Federal areas consist of national parks exceeding
6,000 acres, wilderness areas and national memorial
parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and all international
parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977.
CAA section 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class
I areas. The list of areas to which the requirements
of the visibility protection program apply is in 40
CFR part 81, subpart D.
2 In addition to the generally applicable regional
haze provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also
promulgated regulations specific to addressing
regional haze visibility impairment in Class I areas
on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. The
latter regulations are applicable only for specific
jurisdictions’ regional haze plans submitted no later
than December 17, 2007, and thus are not relevant
here.
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impairing pollutants include fine and
coarse particulate matter (PM) (e.g.,
sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and
their precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide
(SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds
(VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). Fine
particle precursors react in the
atmosphere to form fine particulate
matter (PM2.5), which impairs visibility
by scattering and absorbing light.
Visibility impairment reduces the
perception of clarity and color, as well
as visible distance.3
To address regional haze visibility
impairment, the 1999 RHR established
an iterative planning process that
requires both states in which Class I
areas are located and states ‘‘the
emissions from which may reasonably
be anticipated to cause or contribute to
any impairment of visibility’’ in a Class
I area to periodically submit SIP
revisions to address such impairment.
CAA section 169A(b)(2); 4 see also 40
CFR 51.308(b), (f) (establishing
submission dates for iterative regional
haze SIP revisions) (64 FR 35768, July
1, 1999). Under the CAA, each SIP
submission must contain ‘‘a long-term
(ten to fifteen years) strategy for making
reasonable progress toward meeting the
national goal,’’ CAA section
169A(b)(2)(B); the initial round of SIP
submissions also had to address the
statutory requirement that certain older,
larger sources of visibility impairing
pollutants install and operate the best
available retrofit technology (BART).
CAA section 169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR
3 There are several ways to measure the amount
of visibility impairment, i.e., haze. One such
measurement is the deciview, which is the
principal metric used by the RHR. Under many
circumstances, a change in one deciview will be
perceived by the human eye to be the same on both
clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric
extinction of light, which is the perceived dimming
of light due to its being scattered and absorbed as
it passes through the atmosphere. Atmospheric light
extinction (bext) is a metric used for expressing
visibility and is measured in inverse megameters
(Mm¥1). The EPA’s Guidance on Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period (‘‘2019 Guidance’’) offers
the flexibility for the use of light extinction in
certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use
in calculations than deciviews, since it is not a
logarithmic function. See, e.g., 2019 Guidance at 16,
19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidanceregional-haze-state-implementation-plans-secondimplementation-period, The EPA Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for the
deciview is 10 ln (bext)/10 Mm¥1). 40 CFR 51.301.
4 The RHR expresses the statutory requirement for
states to submit plans addressing out-of-state class
I areas by providing that states must address
visibility impairment ‘‘in each mandatory Class I
Federal area located outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the State.’’ 40
CFR 51.308(d), (f).
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51.308(d), (e). States’ first regional haze
SIPs were due by December 17, 2007, 40
CFR 51.308(b), with subsequent SIP
submissions containing updated longterm strategies originally due July 31,
2018, and every ten years thereafter. (64
FR 35768, July 1, 1999) The EPA
established in the 1999 RHR that all
states either have Class I areas within
their borders or ‘‘contain sources whose
emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to regional haze in a Class I
area’’; therefore, all states must submit
regional haze SIPs.5 Id. at 35721.
Much of the focus in the first
implementation period of the regional
haze program, which ran from 2007
through 2018, was on satisfying states’
BART obligations. First implementation
period SIPs were additionally required
to contain long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress toward the
national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required
elements for the first implementation
period SIPs (other than BART) are laid
out in 40 CFR 51.308(d). Those
provisions required that states
containing Class I areas establish
reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that
are measured in deciviews and reflect
the anticipated visibility conditions at
the end of the implementation period
including from implementation of
states’ long-term strategies. The first
planning period RPGs were required to
provide for an improvement in visibility
for the most impaired days over the
period of the implementation plan and
ensure no degradation in visibility for
the least impaired days over the same
period. In establishing the RPGs for any
Class I area in a state, the state was
required to consider four statutory
factors: the costs of compliance, the
time necessary for compliance, the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
potentially affected sources. CAA
section 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).
States were also required to calculate
baseline (using the five year period of
2000–2004) and natural visibility
conditions (i.e., visibility conditions
without anthropogenic visibility
impairment) for each Class I area, and
to calculate the linear rate of progress
needed to attain natural visibility
conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004
and ending with natural conditions in
5 In addition to each of the fifty states, the EPA
also concluded that the Virgin Islands and District
of Columbia must also submit regional haze SIPs
because they either contain a Class I area or contain
sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated
to contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40
CFR 51.300(b), (d)(3).
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2064. This linear interpolation is known
as the uniform rate of progress (URP)
and is used as a tracking metric to help
states assess the amount of progress they
are making towards the national
visibility goal over time in each Class I
area.6 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2).
The 1999 RHR also provided that States’
long-term strategies must include the
‘‘enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance, schedules, and other
measures as necessary to achieve the
reasonable progress goals.’’ 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3). In establishing their longterm strategies, states are required to
consult with other states that also
contribute to visibility impairment in a
given Class I area and include all
measures necessary to obtain their
shares of the emission reductions
needed to meet the RPGs. 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii). Section 51.308(d)
also contains seven additional factors
states must consider in formulating their
long-term strategies, 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3)(v), as well as provisions
governing monitoring and other
implementation plan requirements. 40
CFR 51.308(d)(4). Finally, the 1999 RHR
required states to submit periodic
progress reports—SIP revisions due
every five years that contain information
on states’ implementation of their
regional haze plans and an assessment
of whether anything additional is
needed to make reasonable progress, see
40 CFR 51.308(g), (h)—and to consult
with the Federal Land Manager(s) 7
(FLMs) responsible for each Class I area
according to the requirements in CAA
section 169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).
On January 10, 2017, the EPA
promulgated revisions to the RHR, (82
FR 3078, January 10, 2017), that apply
6 The EPA established the URP framework in the
1999 RHR to provide ‘‘an equitable analytical
approach’’ to assessing the rate of visibility
improvement at Class I areas across the country.
The start point for the URP analysis is 2004 and the
endpoint was calculated based on the amount of
visibility improvement that was anticipated to
result from implementation of existing CAA
programs over the period from the mid-1990s to
approximately 2005. Assuming this rate of progress
would continue into the future, the EPA determined
that natural visibility conditions would be reached
in 60 years, or 2064 (60 years from the baseline
starting point of 2004). However, the EPA did not
establish 2064 as the year by which the national
goal must be reached. 64 FR 35731–32. That is, the
URP and the 2064 date are not enforceable targets
but are rather tools that ‘‘allow for analytical
comparisons between the rate of progress that
would be achieved by the state’s chosen set of
control measures and the URP.’’ (82 FR 3078, 3084,
January 10, 2017).
7 The EPA’s regulations define ‘‘Federal Land
Manager’’ as ‘‘the Secretary of the department with
authority over the Federal Class I area (or the
Secretary’s designee) or, with respect to RooseveltCampobello International Park, the Chairman of the
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park
Commission.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
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for the second and subsequent
implementation periods. The 2017
rulemaking made several changes to the
requirements for regional haze SIPs to
clarify States’ obligations and streamline
certain regional haze requirements. The
revisions to the regional haze program
for the second and subsequent
implementation periods focused on the
requirement that States’ SIPs contain
long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. The reasonable
progress requirements as revised in the
2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the
2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40
CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes,
the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the
deadline for States to submit their
second implementation period SIPs
from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021,
clarified the order of analysis and the
relationship between RPGs and the
long-term strategy, and focused on
making visibility improvements on the
days with the most anthropogenic
visibility impairment, as opposed to the
days with the most visibility
impairment overall. The EPA also
revised requirements of the visibility
protection program related to periodic
progress reports and FLM consultation.
The specific requirements applicable to
second implementation period regional
haze SIP submissions are addressed in
detail below.
The EPA provided guidance to the
states for their second implementation
period SIP submissions in the preamble
to the 2017 RHR Revisions as well as in
subsequent, stand-alone guidance
documents. In August 2019, the EPA
issued ‘‘Guidance on Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2019
Guidance’’).8 On July 8, 2021, the EPA
issued a memorandum containing
‘‘Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2021
Clarifications Memo’’).9 Additionally,
the EPA further clarified the
recommended procedures for processing
ambient visibility data and optionally
adjusting the URP to account for
8 Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
visibility/guidance-regional-haze-stateimplementation-plans-second-implementationperiod. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20,
2019).
9 Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2021-07/clarificationsregarding-regional-haze-state-implementationplans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf.
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
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international anthropogenic and
prescribed fire impacts in two technical
guidance documents: the December
2018 ‘‘Technical Guidance on Tracking
Visibility Progress for the Second
Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program’’ (‘‘2018 Visibility
Tracking Guidance’’),10 and the June
2020 ‘‘Recommendation for the Use of
Patched and Substituted Data and
Clarification of Data Completeness for
Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the
Regional Haze Program’’ and associated
Technical Addendum (‘‘2020 Data
Completeness Memo’’).11
As explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends
the second implementation period of
the regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants that build on the
significant progress states have achieved
to date. The Agency also recognizes that
analyses regarding reasonable progress
are state-specific and that, based on
states’ and sources’ individual
circumstances, what constitutes
reasonable reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants will vary from
state-to-state. While there exist many
opportunities for states to leverage both
ongoing and upcoming emission
reductions under other CAA programs,
the Agency expects states to undertake
rigorous reasonable progress analyses
that identify further opportunities to
advance the national visibility goal
consistent with the statutory and
regulatory requirements. See generally
2021 Clarifications Memo. This is
consistent with Congress’s
determination that a visibility
protection program is needed in
addition to the CAA’s National Ambient
Air Quality Standards and Prevention of
Significant Deterioration programs, as
further emission reductions may be
necessary to adequately protect
visibility in Class I areas throughout the
country.12
10 Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of
the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/
visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibilityprogress-second-implementation-period-regional.
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (December 20,
2018).
11 Recommendation for the Use of Patched and
Substituted Data and Clarification of Data
Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/
memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-datausage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program.
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (June 3, 2020).
12 See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95–294 at 205 (‘‘In
determining how to best remedy the growing
visibility problem in these areas of great scenic
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B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and
pollution affecting visibility in Class I
areas can be transported over long
distances, successful implementation of
the regional haze program requires longterm, regional coordination among
multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and
the emissions that impact visibility in
those areas. To address regional haze,
states need to develop strategies in
coordination with one another,
considering the effect of emissions from
one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning
organizations (RPOs),13 which include
representation from state and Tribal
governments, the EPA, and FLMs, were
developed in the lead-up to the first
implementation period to address
regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical
information to better understand how
emissions from State and Tribal land
impact Class I areas across the country,
pursue the development of regional
strategies to reduce emissions of
particulate matter and other pollutants
leading to regional haze, and help states
meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
The Central Regional Air Planning
Association (CenRAP), one of the five
RPOs described above, that Iowa was a
member of during the first planning
period, was a collaborative effort of
State governments, Tribal governments,
and Federal agencies established to
initiate and coordinate activities
associated with the management of
Regional Haze, visibility, and other air
quality issues in parts of Great Plains,
Midwest, Southwest, and South Regions
of the United States.
After the first planning period SIPs
were submitted, the CenRAP was
disbanded, and the relevant regulatory
entities reorganized as the Central States
Air Resources Agencies (CenSARA).
CenSARA is a collaborative effort of
State governments established to initiate
and coordinate activities associated
with the management of Regional Haze
and other air quality issues in parts of
the Great Plains, Midwest, Southwest,
and South Regions of the United States.
Member States include: Arkansas, Iowa,
Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Nebraska,
importance, the committee realizes that as a matter
of equity, the national ambient air quality standards
cannot be revised to adequately protect visibility in
all areas of the country.’’), (‘‘the mandatory class I
increments of [the PSD program] do not adequately
protect visibility in class I areas’’).
13 RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ‘‘multijurisdictional organizations,’’ or MJOs. For the
purposes of this document, the terms RPO and MJO
are synonymous.
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Oklahoma, and Texas. Unlike CenRAP,
CenSARA’s voting members are only
comprised of state agency
representatives. However, CenSARA
continues to include interested Tribal
and Federal partners on
communications and regular meetings.
The Federal partners of CenSARA are
the EPA, NPS, FWS, and USFS.
Iowa also benefited from planning
activities of the Lake Michigan Air
Directors Consortium (LADCO). Like
CenSARA, LADCO is a collaborative
effort to improve air quality in the Great
Lakes Region of the United States.
Though Iowa is not a member State of
LADCO, Iowa does impact LADCO State
Class I Areas in Minnesota and
Michigan, and utilized resources
available through LADCO for the second
planning period, as referenced
throughout the submission.
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IV. Requirements for Regional Haze
Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and EPA’s
regulations, all 50 states, the District of
Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
are required to submit regional haze
SIPs satisfying the applicable
requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program by July 31, 2021. Each
state’s SIP must contain a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress
toward meeting the national goal of
remedying any existing and preventing
any future anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas. CAA
section 169A(b)(2)(B). To this end,
§ 51.308(f) lays out the process by which
states determine what constitutes their
long-term strategies, with the order of
the requirements in § 51.308(f)(1)
through (3) generally mirroring the
order of the steps in the reasonable
progress analysis 14 and (f)(4) through
(6) containing additional, related
requirements. Broadly speaking, a state
first must identify the Class I areas
within the state and determine the Class
I areas outside the state in which
visibility may be affected by emissions
from the state. These are the Class I
areas that must be addressed in the
state’s long-term strategy. See 40 CFR
51.308(f) introductory text, (f)(2). For
each Class I area within its borders, a
state must then calculate the baseline,
current, and natural visibility
conditions for that area, as well as the
visibility improvement made to date
and the URP. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1).
Each state having a Class I area and/or
emissions that may affect visibility in a
Class I area must then develop a longterm strategy that includes the
enforceable emission limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress in such areas. A
reasonable progress determination is
based on applying the four factors in
CAA section 169A(g)(1) to sources of
visibility impairing pollutants that the
state has selected to assess for controls
for the second implementation period.
Additionally, as further explained
below, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
‘‘additional factors’’ 15 that states must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). A
state evaluates potential emission
reduction measures for those selected
sources and determines which are
necessary to make reasonable progress.
Those measures are then incorporated
into the state’s long-term strategy. After
a state has developed its long-term
strategy, it then establishes RPGs for
each Class I area within its borders by
modeling the visibility impacts of all
reasonable progress controls at the end
of the second implementation period,
i.e., in 2028, as well as the impacts of
other requirements of the CAA. The
RPGs include reasonable progress
controls not only for sources in the state
in which the Class I area is located, but
also for sources in other states that
contribute to visibility impairment in
that area. The RPGs are then compared
to the baseline visibility conditions and
the URP to ensure that progress is being
made towards the statutory goal of
preventing any future and remedying
any existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2) and (3).
In addition to satisfying the
requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f) related
to reasonable progress, the regional haze
SIP revisions for the second
implementation period must address the
requirements in § 51.308(g)(1) through
(5) pertaining to periodic reports
describing progress towards the RPGs,
40 CFR 51.308(f)(5), as well as
requirements for FLM consultation that
apply to all visibility protection SIPs
and SIP revisions. 40 CFR 51.308(i).
A state must submit its regional haze
SIP and subsequent SIP revisions to the
EPA according to the requirements
applicable to all SIP revisions under the
CAA and EPA’s regulations. See CAA
14 The EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions
that we were adopting new regulatory language in
40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike the structure in
51.308(d), ‘‘tracked the actual planning sequence.’’
(82 FR 3091, January 10, 2017).
15 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in § 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors
listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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section 169A(b)(2); CAA section 110(a).
Upon EPA approval, a SIP is enforceable
by the Agency and the public under the
CAA. If EPA finds that a state fails to
make a required SIP revision, or if the
EPA finds that a state’s SIP is
incomplete or disapproves the SIP, the
Agency must promulgate a Federal
implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies
the applicable requirements. CAA
section 110(c)(1).
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A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional
haze SIP is for a state to determine
which Class I areas, in addition to those
within its borders, ‘‘may be affected’’ by
emissions from within the state. In the
1999 RHR, the EPA determined that all
states contribute to visibility
impairment in at least one Class I area,
64 FR 35720–22, and explained that the
statute and regulations lay out an
‘‘extremely low triggering threshold’’ for
determining ‘‘whether States should be
required to engage in air quality
planning and analysis as a prerequisite
to determining the need for control of
emissions from sources within their
State.’’ Id. at 35721.
A state must determine which Class I
areas must be addressed by its SIP by
evaluating the total emissions of
visibility impairing pollutants from all
sources within the state. While the RHR
does not require this evaluation to be
conducted in any particular manner,
EPA’s 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for how such an
assessment might be accomplished,
including by, where appropriate, using
the determinations previously made for
the first implementation period. 2019
Guidance at 8–9. In addition, the
determination of which Class I areas
may be affected by a state’s emissions is
subject to the requirement in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ‘‘document the
technical basis, including modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and
emissions information, on which the
State is relying to determine the
emission reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
in each mandatory Class I Federal area
it affects.’’
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP
submission for the second
implementation period is providing for
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
contains requirements in § 51.308(f)(1)
related to tracking visibility
improvement over time. The
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requirements of this section apply only
to states having Class I areas within
their borders; the required calculations
must be made for each such Class I area.
EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance 16 provides recommendations
to assist states in satisfying their
obligations under § 51.308(f)(1);
specifically, in developing information
on baseline, current, and natural
visibility conditions, and in making
optional adjustments to the URP to
account for the impacts of international
anthropogenic emissions and prescribed
fires. See 82 FR 3103–05.
The RHR requires tracking of
visibility conditions on two sets of days:
the clearest and the most impaired days.
Visibility conditions for both sets of
days are expressed as the average
deciview index for the relevant five-year
period (the period representing baseline
or current visibility conditions). The
RHR provides that the relevant sets of
days for visibility tracking purposes are
the 20% clearest (the 20% of monitored
days in a calendar year with the lowest
values of the deciview index) and 20%
most impaired days (the 20% of
monitored days in a calendar year with
the highest amounts of anthropogenic
visibility impairment).17 40 CFR 51.301.
A state must calculate visibility
conditions for both the 20% clearest and
20% most impaired days for the
baseline period of 2000–2004 and the
most recent five-year period for which
visibility monitoring data are available
(representing current visibility
conditions). 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii).
States must also calculate natural
visibility conditions for the clearest and
most impaired days,18 by estimating the
conditions that would exist on those
two sets of days absent anthropogenic
visibility impairment. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(ii). Using all these data,
states must then calculate, for each
16 The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance
references and relies on parts of the 2003 Tracking
Guidance: ‘‘Guidance for Tracking Progress Under
the Regional Haze Rule,’’ which can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/
documents/tracking.pdf.
17 This document also refers to the 20% clearest
and 20% most anthropogenically impaired days as
the ‘‘clearest’’ and ‘‘most impaired’’ or ‘‘most
anthropogenically impaired’’ days, respectively.
18 The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an
error related to the requirement for calculating two
sets of natural conditions values. The rule says
‘‘most impaired days or the clearest days’’ where it
should say ‘‘most impaired days and clearest days.’’
This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected
in the final rule language. This is supported by the
preamble text at 82 FR 3098: ‘‘In the final version
of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of ‘‘or’’ has
been corrected to ‘‘and’’ to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired
days and the clearest days must be based on
available monitoring information.’’
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Class I area, the amount of progress
made since the baseline period (2000–
2004) and how much improvement is
left to achieve to reach natural visibility
conditions.
Using the data for the set of most
impaired days only, states must plot a
line between visibility conditions in the
baseline period and natural visibility
conditions for each Class I area to
determine the URP—the amount of
visibility improvement, measured in
deciviews, that would need to be
achieved during each implementation
period to achieve natural visibility
conditions by the end of 2064. The URP
is used in later steps of the reasonable
progress analysis for informational
purposes and to provide a nonenforceable benchmark against which to
assess a Class I area’s rate of visibility
improvement.19 Additionally, in the
2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided
states the option of proposing to adjust
the endpoint of the URP to account for
impacts of anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or
impacts of certain types of wildland
prescribed fires. These adjustments,
which must be approved by the EPA,
are intended to avoid any perception
that states should compensate for
impacts from international
anthropogenic sources and to give states
the flexibility to determine that limiting
the use of wildland-prescribed fire is
not necessary for reasonable progress.
82 FR 3107 footnote 116.
EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance can be used to help satisfy the
40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements,
including in developing information on
baseline, current, and natural visibility
conditions, and in making optional
adjustments to the URP. In addition, the
2020 Data Completeness Memo provides
recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in
§ 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides updated
natural conditions estimates for each
Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional
Haze
The core component of a regional
haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in
each Class I area within a state’s borders
and each Class I area that may be
affected by emissions from the state.
The long-term strategy ‘‘must include
the enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
19 Being on or below the URP is not a ‘‘safe
harbor’’; i.e., achieving the URP does not mean that
a Class I area is making ‘‘reasonable progress’’ and
does not relieve a state from using the four statutory
factors to determine what level of control is needed
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3093.
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measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress, as determined
pursuant to (f)(2)(i) through (iv).’’ 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2). The amount of
progress that is ‘‘reasonable progress’’ is
based on applying the four statutory
factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an
evaluation of potential control options
for sources of visibility impairing
pollutants, which is referred to as a
‘‘four-factor’’ analysis. The outcome of
that analysis is the emission reduction
measures that a particular source or
group of sources needs to implement to
make reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i). Emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress may be either new,
additional control measures for a
source, or they may be the existing
emission reduction measures that a
source is already implementing. See
2019 Guidance at 43; 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 8–10. Such measures must be
represented by ‘‘enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures’’ (i.e., any additional
compliance tools) in a state’s long-term
strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the
requirements for the four-factor
analysis. The first step of this analysis
entails selecting the sources to be
evaluated for emission reduction
measures; to this end, the RHR requires
states to consider ‘‘major and minor
stationary sources or groups of sources,
mobile sources, and area sources’’ of
visibility impairing pollutants for
potential four-factor control analysis. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). A threshold
question at this step is which visibility
impairing pollutants will be analyzed.
As EPA previously explained,
consistent with the first implementation
period, EPA generally expects that each
state will analyze at least SO2 and NOX
in selecting sources and determining
control measures. See 2019 Guidance at
12, 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4. A
state that chooses not to consider at
least these two pollutants should
demonstrate why such consideration
would be unreasonable. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 4.
While states have the option to
analyze all sources, the 2019 Guidance
explains that ‘‘an analysis of control
measures is not required for every
source in each implementation period,’’
and that ‘‘[s]electing a set of sources for
analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . .
consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning
process and anticipates that a state may
not need to analyze control measures for
all its sources in a given SIP revision.’’
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2019 Guidance at 9. However, given that
source selection is the basis of all
subsequent control determinations, a
reasonable source selection process
‘‘should be designed and conducted to
ensure that source selection results in a
set of pollutants and sources the
evaluation of which has the potential to
meaningfully reduce their contributions
to visibility impairment.’’ 2021
Clarifications Memo at 3.
EPA explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo that each state has
an obligation to submit a long-term
strategy that addresses the regional haze
visibility impairment that results from
emissions from within that state. Thus,
source selection should focus on the instate contribution to visibility
impairment and be designed to capture
a meaningful portion of the state’s total
contribution to visibility impairment in
Class I areas. A state should not decline
to select its largest in-state sources on
the basis that there are even larger outof-state contributors. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 4.20
Thus, while states have discretion to
choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable,
whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that a state’s
SIP submission include ‘‘a description
of the criteria it used to determine
which sources or groups of sources it
evaluated.’’ The technical basis for
source selection, which may include
methods for quantifying potential
visibility impacts such as emissions
divided by distance metrics, trajectory
analyses, residence time analyses, and/
or photochemical modeling, must also
be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a state has selected the set of
sources, the next step is to determine
the emissions reduction measures for
those sources that are necessary to make
reasonable progress for the second
implementation period.21 This is
accomplished by considering the four
factors—‘‘the costs of compliance, the
time necessary for compliance, and the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
existing source subject to such
requirements.’’ CAA section 169A(g)(1).
The EPA has explained that the fourfactor analysis is an assessment of
potential emission reduction measures
(i.e., control options) for sources; ‘‘use
of the terms ‘compliance’ and ‘subject to
such requirements’ in section 169A(g)(1)
strongly indicates that Congress
intended the relevant determination to
be the requirements with which sources
would have to comply to satisfy the
CAA’s reasonable progress mandate.’’ 82
FR 3091. Thus, for each source it has
selected for four-factor analysis,22 a state
must consider a ‘‘meaningful set’’ of
technically feasible control options for
reducing emissions of visibility
impairing pollutants. Id. at 3088. The
2019 Guidance provides that ‘‘[a] state
must reasonably pick and justify the
measures that it will consider,
recognizing that there is no statutory or
regulatory requirement to consider all
technically feasible measures or any
particular measures. A range of
technically feasible measures available
to reduce emissions would be one way
to justify a reasonable set.’’ 2019
Guidance at 29.
EPA’s 2021 Clarifications Memo
provides further guidance on what
constitutes a reasonable set of control
options for consideration: ‘‘A reasonable
four-factor analysis will consider the
full range of potentially reasonable
options for reducing emissions.’’ 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7. In addition to
add-on controls and other retrofits (i.e.,
new emissions reduction measures for
sources), EPA explained that states
should generally analyze efficiency
improvements for sources’ existing
measures as control options in their
four-factor analyses, as in many cases
20 Similarly, in responding to comments on the
2017 RHR Revisions the EPA explained that ‘‘[a]
state should not fail to address its many relatively
low-impact sources merely because it only has such
sources and another state has even more low-impact
sources and/or some high impact sources.’’
Responses to Comments on Protection of Visibility:
Amendments to Requirements for State Plans;
Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016) at 87–
88.
21 The CAA provides that, ‘‘[i]n determining
reasonable progress there shall be taken into
consideration’’ the four statutory factors. CAA
section 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to fourfactor analyses for selected sources, groups of
sources, or source categories, a state may also
consider additional emission reduction measures
for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from
other newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way
rules and measures for sources not selected for fourfactor analysis for the second planning period.
22 ‘‘Each source’’ or ‘‘particular source’’ is used
here as shorthand. While a source-specific analysis
is one way of applying the four factors, neither the
statute nor the RHR requires states to evaluate
individual sources. Rather, states have ‘‘the
flexibility to conduct four-factor analyses for
specific sources, groups of sources or even entire
source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each
state.’’ 82 FR 3088. However, not all approaches to
grouping sources for four-factor analysis are
necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of
grouping sources in any particular instance will
depend on the circumstances and the manner in
which grouping is conducted. If it is feasible to
establish and enforce different requirements for
sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant
factors can be quantified for those sources or
subgroups, then states should make a separate
reasonable progress determination for each source
or subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7–8.
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such improvements are reasonable given
that they typically involve only
additional operation and maintenance
costs. Additionally, the 2021
Clarifications Memo provides that states
that have assumed a higher emissions
rate than a source has achieved or could
potentially achieve using its existing
measures should also consider lower
emissions rates as potential control
options. That is, a state should consider
a source’s recent actual and projected
emission rates to determine if it could
reasonably attain lower emission rates
with its existing measures. If so, the
state should analyze the lower emission
rate as a control option for reducing
emissions. 2021 Clarifications Memo at
7. The EPA’s recommendations to
analyze potential efficiency
improvements and achievable lower
emission rates apply to both sources
that have been selected for four-factor
analysis and those that have forgone a
four-factor analysis on the basis of
existing ‘‘effective controls.’’ See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 5, 10.
After identifying a reasonable set of
potential control options for the sources
it has selected, a state then collects
information on the four factors with
regard to each option identified. The
EPA has also explained that, in addition
to the four statutory factors, states have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to
reasonably consider visibility benefits as
an additional factor alongside the four
statutory factors.23 The 2019 Guidance
provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to
characterize the four factors (with or
without visibility), as well as ways in
which states might reasonably consider
and balance that information to
determine which of the potential control
options is necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2019 Guidance at 30–36.
The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains
further guidance on how states can
reasonably consider modeled visibility
impacts or benefits in the context of a
four-factor analysis. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 12–13, 14–15. Specifically, the
EPA explained that while visibility can
reasonably be used when comparing
and choosing between multiple
reasonable control options, it should not
be used to summarily reject controls
that are reasonable given the four
statutory factors. 2021 Clarifications
Memo at 13. Ultimately, while states
have discretion to reasonably weigh the
factors and to determine what level of
23 See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection
of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for
State Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4,
2016) (December 2016), Docket Number EPA–HQ–
OAR–2015–0531, U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency at 186; 2019 Guidance at 36–37.
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control is needed, § 51.308(f)(2)(i)
provides that a state ‘‘must include in
its implementation plan a description of
. . . how the four factors were taken
into consideration in selecting the
measure for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.’’
As explained above, § 51.308(f)(2)(i)
requires states to determine the
emission reduction measures for sources
that are necessary to make reasonable
progress by considering the four factors.
Pursuant to § 51.308(f)(2), measures that
are necessary to make reasonable
progress towards the national visibility
goal must be included in a state’s longterm strategy and in its SIP.24 If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is a
new, additional emission reduction
measure for a source, that new measure
is necessary to make reasonable progress
towards remedying existing
anthropogenic visibility impairment and
must be included in the SIP. If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is that
no new measures are reasonable for a
source, continued implementation of
the source’s existing measures is
generally necessary to prevent future
emission increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second
part of the national visibility goal:
preventing future anthropogenic
visibility impairment. See CAA section
169A(a)(1). That is, when the result of
a four-factor analysis is that no new
measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress, the source’s
existing measures are generally
necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP.
However, there may be circumstances in
which a state can demonstrate that a
source’s existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress.
Specifically, if a state can demonstrate
that a source will continue to
implement its existing measures and
will not increase its emissions rate, it
may not be necessary to have those
measures in the long-term strategy to
prevent future emissions increases and
future visibility impairment. The EPA’s
2021 Clarifications Memo provides
further explanation and guidance on
how states may demonstrate that a
24 States may choose to, but are not required to,
include measures in their long-term strategies
beyond just the emission reduction measures that
are necessary for reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 16. For example, states with
smoke management programs may choose to submit
their smoke management plans to the EPA for
inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to do
so. See, e.g., 82 FR 3108–09 (requirement to
consider smoke management practices and smoke
management programs under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such
practices or programs into their SIPs, although they
may elect to do so).
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source’s existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress.
See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 8–10.
If the state can make such a
demonstration, it need not include a
source’s existing measures in the longterm strategy or its SIP.
As with source selection, the
characterization of information on each
of the factors is also subject to the
documentation requirement in
§ 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable
progress analysis, including source
selection, information gathering,
characterization of the four statutory
factors (and potentially visibility),
balancing of the four factors, and
selection of the emission reduction
measures that represent reasonable
progress, is a technically complex
exercise, but also a flexible one that
provides states with bounded discretion
to design and implement approaches
appropriate to their circumstances.
Given this flexibility, § 51.308(f)(2)(iii)
plays an important function in requiring
a state to document the technical basis
for its decision making so that the
public and the EPA can comprehend
and evaluate the information and
analysis the state relied upon to
determine what emission reduction
measures must be in place to make
reasonable progress. The technical
documentation must include the
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering,
and emissions information on which the
state relied to determine the measures
necessary to make reasonable progress.
This documentation requirement can be
met through the provision of and
reliance on technical analyses
developed through a regional planning
process, so long as that process and its
output has been approved by all state
participants. In addition to the explicit
regulatory requirement to document the
technical basis of their reasonable
progress determinations, states are also
subject to the general principle that
those determinations must be
reasonably moored to the statute.25 That
is, a state’s decisions about the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress must be
consistent with the statutory goal of
remedying existing and preventing
future visibility impairment.
The four statutory factors (and
potentially visibility) are used to
25 See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815
F.3d 519, 531 (9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA,
812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir. 2016); North Dakota v.
EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013); Oklahoma
v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208–10 (10th Cir.
2013); cf. also Nat’l Parks Conservation Ass’n v.
EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep’t
of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S. 461, 485,
490 (2004).
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determine what emission reduction
measures for selected sources must be
included in a state’s long-term strategy
for making reasonable progress.
Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
‘‘additional factors’’ 26 that states must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies: (1) Emission reductions due
to ongoing air pollution control
programs, including measures to
address reasonably attributable visibility
impairment; (2) measures to reduce the
impacts of construction activities; (3)
source retirement and replacement
schedules; (4) basic smoke management
practices for prescribed fire used for
agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke
management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to
projected changes in point, area, and
mobile source emissions over the period
addressed by the long-term strategy. The
2019 Guidance provides that a state may
satisfy this requirement by considering
these additional factors in the process of
selecting sources for four-factor
analysis, when performing that analysis,
or both, and that not every one of the
additional factors needs to be
considered at the same stage of the
process. See 2019 Guidance at 21. The
EPA provided further guidance on the
five additional factors in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, explaining that a
state should generally not reject costeffective and otherwise reasonable
controls merely because there have been
emission reductions since the first
planning period owing to other ongoing
air pollution control programs or merely
because visibility is otherwise projected
to improve at Class I areas.
Additionally, states generally should
not rely on these additional factors to
summarily assert that the state has
already made sufficient progress and,
therefore, no sources need to be selected
or no new controls are needed
regardless of the outcome of four-factor
analyses. 2021 Clarifications Memo at
13.
Because the air pollution that causes
regional haze crosses state boundaries,
§ 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a state to
consult with other states that also have
emissions that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each state that
impacts visibility in an area to share
whatever technical information,
26 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in § 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors
listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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analyses, and control determinations
may be necessary to develop
coordinated emission management
strategies. This coordination may be
managed through inter- and intra-RPO
consultation and the development of
regional emissions strategies; additional
consultations between states outside of
RPO processes may also occur. If a state,
pursuant to consultation, agrees that
certain measures (e.g., a certain
emission limitation) are necessary to
make reasonable progress at a Class I
area, it must include those measures in
its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
Additionally, the RHR requires that
states that contribute to visibility
impairment at the same Class I area
consider the emission reduction
measures the other contributing states
have identified as being necessary to
make reasonable progress for their own
sources. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B). If a
state has been asked to consider or
adopt certain emission reduction
measures, but ultimately determines
those measures are not necessary to
make reasonable progress, that state
must document in its SIP the actions
taken to resolve the disagreement. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C). The EPA will
consider the technical information and
explanations presented by the
submitting state and the state with
which it disagrees when considering
whether to approve the state’s SIP. See
Id.; 2019 Guidance at 53. Under all
circumstances, a state must document in
its SIP submission all substantive
consultations with other contributing
states. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ‘‘measure
the progress that is projected to be
achieved by the control measures states
have determined are necessary to make
reasonable progress based on a fourfactor analysis.’’ 82 FR 3091. Their
primary purpose is to assist the public
and the EPA in assessing the
reasonableness of states’ long-term
strategies for making reasonable
progress towards the national visibility
goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii) and
(iv). States in which Class I areas are
located must establish two RPGs, both
in deciviews—one representing
visibility conditions on the clearest days
and one representing visibility on the
most anthropogenically impaired days—
for each area within their borders. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i). The two RPGs are
intended to reflect the projected
impacts, on the two sets of days, of the
emission reduction measures the state
with the Class I area, as well as all other
contributing states, have included in
their long-term strategies for the second
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63265
implementation period.27 The RPGs also
account for the projected impacts of
implementing other CAA requirements,
including non-SIP based requirements.
Because RPGs are the modeled result of
the measures in states’ long-term
strategies (as well as other measures
required under the CAA), they cannot
be determined before states have
conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that
are necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo
at 6.
For the second implementation
period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not
enforceable targets, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(iii); rather, they ‘‘provide a
way for the states to check the projected
outcome of the [long-term strategy]
against the goals for visibility
improvement.’’ 2019 Guidance at 46.
While states are not legally obligated to
achieve the visibility conditions
described in their RPGs, § 51.308(f)(3)(i)
requires that ‘‘[t]he long-term strategy
and the reasonable progress goals must
provide for an improvement in visibility
for the most impaired days since the
baseline period and ensure no
degradation in visibility for the clearest
days since the baseline period.’’ Thus,
states are required to have emission
reduction measures in their long-term
strategies that are projected to achieve
visibility conditions on the most
impaired days that are better than the
baseline period and shows no
degradation on the clearest days
compared to the clearest days from the
baseline period. The baseline period for
the purpose of this comparison is the
baseline visibility condition—the
annual average visibility condition for
the period 2000–2004. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3097–98.
So that RPGs may also serve as a
metric for assessing the amount of
progress a state is making towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
requires states with Class I areas to
compare the 2028 RPG for the most
impaired days to the corresponding
point on the URP line (representing
visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility
27 RPGs are intended to reflect the projected
impacts of the measures all contributing states
include in their long-term strategies. However, due
to the timing of analyses, control determinations by
other states, and other on-going emissions changes,
a particular state’s RPGs may not reflect all control
measures and emissions reductions that are
expected to occur by the end of the implementation
period. The 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for addressing the timing of RPG
calculations when states are developing their longterm strategies on disparate schedules, as well as for
adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling approach.
2019 Guidance at 47–48.
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were to improve at a linear rate from
conditions in the baseline period of
2000–2004 to natural visibility
conditions in 2064). If the most
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the
URP (i.e., if visibility conditions are
improving more slowly than the rate
described by the URP), each state that
contributes to visibility impairment in
the Class I area must demonstrate, based
on the four-factor analysis required
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no
additional emission reduction measures
would be reasonable to include in its
long-term strategy. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii). To this end, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires that each state
contributing to visibility impairment in
a Class I area that is projected to
improve more slowly than the URP
provide ‘‘a robust demonstration,
including documenting the criteria used
to determine which sources or groups
[of] sources were evaluated and how the
four factors required by paragraph
(f)(2)(i) were taken into consideration in
selecting the measures for inclusion in
its long-term strategy.’’ The 2019
Guidance provides suggestions about
how such a ‘‘robust demonstration’’
might be conducted. See 2019 Guidance
at 50–51.
The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and
2021 Clarifications Memo also explain
that projecting an RPG that is on or
below the URP based on only on-thebooks and/or on-the-way control
measures (i.e., control measures already
required or anticipated before the fourfactor analysis is conducted) is not a
‘‘safe harbor’’ from the CAA’s and RHR’s
requirement that all states must conduct
a four-factor analysis to determine what
emission reduction measures constitute
reasonable progress. The URP is a
planning metric used to gauge the
amount of progress made thus far and
the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP
is not based on consideration of the four
statutory factors and therefore cannot
answer the question of whether the
amount of progress being made in any
particular implementation period is
‘‘reasonable progress.’’ See 82 FR 3093,
3099–3100; 2019 Guidance at 22; 2021
Clarifications Memo at 15–16.
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to
have certain strategies and elements in
place for assessing and reporting on
visibility. Individual requirements
under this section apply either to states
with Class I areas within their borders,
states with no Class I areas but that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in
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any Class I area, or both. A state with
Class I areas within its borders must
submit with its SIP revision a
monitoring strategy for measuring,
characterizing, and reporting regional
haze visibility impairment that is
representative of all Class I areas within
the state. SIP revisions for such states
must also provide for the establishment
of any additional monitoring sites or
equipment needed to assess visibility
conditions in Class I areas, as well as
reporting of all visibility monitoring
data to the EPA at least annually.
Compliance with the monitoring
strategy requirement may be met
through a state’s participation in the
Interagency Monitoring of Protected
Visual Environments (IMPROVE)
monitoring network, which is used to
measure visibility impairment caused
by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6) introductory text and
(f)(6)(i) and (iv). The IMPROVE
monitoring data is used to determine the
20% most anthropogenically impaired
and 20% clearest sets of days every year
at each Class I area and tracks visibility
impairment over time.
All states’ SIPs must provide for
procedures by which monitoring data
and other information are used to
determine the contribution of emissions
from within the state to regional haze
visibility impairment in affected Class I
areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii).
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) further requires
that all states’ SIPs provide for a
statewide inventory of emissions of
pollutants that are reasonably
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in any Class I area;
the inventory must include emissions
for the most recent year for which data
are available and estimates of future
projected emissions. States must also
include commitments to update their
inventories periodically. The
inventories themselves do not need to
be included as elements in the SIP and
are not subject to EPA review as part of
the Agency’s evaluation of a SIP
revision.28 All states’ SIPs must also
provide for any other elements,
including reporting, recordkeeping, and
other measures, that are necessary for
states to assess and report on visibility.
40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). Per the 2019
Guidance, a state may note in its
regional haze SIP that its compliance
with the Air Emissions Reporting Rule
(AERR) in 40 CFR part 51, subpart A,
satisfies the requirement to provide for
an emissions inventory for the most
recent year for which data are available.
28 See ‘‘Step 8: Additional requirements for
regional haze SIPs’’ in 2019 Guidance at 55.
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To satisfy the requirement to provide
estimates of future projected emissions,
a state may explain in its SIP how
projected emissions were developed for
use in establishing RPGs for its own and
nearby Class I areas.29
Separate from the requirements
related to monitoring for regional haze
purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the
RHR also contains a requirement at
§ 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional
monitoring that may be needed to
address visibility impairment in Class I
areas from a single source or a small
group of sources. This is called
‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment.’’ 30 Under this provision, if
the EPA or the FLM of an affected Class
I area has advised a state that additional
monitoring is needed to assess
reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, the state must include in
its SIP revision for the second
implementation period an appropriate
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state’s
regional haze SIP revision to address the
requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) through (5) so that the plan
revision due in 2021 will serve also as
a progress report addressing the period
since submission of the progress report
for the first implementation period. The
regional haze progress report
requirement is designed to inform the
public and the EPA about a state’s
implementation of its existing long-term
strategy and whether such
implementation is in fact resulting in
the expected visibility improvement.
See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016),
(82 FR 3119, January 10, 2017). To this
end, every state’s SIP revision for the
second implementation period is
required to describe the status of
implementation of all measures
included in the state’s long-term
strategy, including BART and
reasonable progress emission reduction
measures from the first implementation
period, and the resulting emissions
reductions. 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
A core component of the progress
report requirements is an assessment of
changes in visibility conditions on the
clearest and most impaired days. For
second implementation period progress
reports, § 51.308(g)(3) requires states
with Class I areas within their borders
29 Id.
30 The EPA’s visibility protection regulations
define ‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment’’ as ‘‘visibility impairment that is
caused by the emission of air pollutants from one,
or a small number of sources.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
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to first determine current visibility
conditions for each area on the most
impaired and clearest days, 40 CFR
51.308(g)(3)(i)(B), and then to calculate
the difference between those current
conditions and baseline (2000–2004)
visibility conditions to assess progress
made to date. See 40 CFR
51.308(g)(3)(ii)(B). States must also
assess the changes in visibility
impairment for the most impaired and
clearest days since they submitted their
first implementation period progress
reports. See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii)(B),
(f)(5). Since different states submitted
their first implementation period
progress reports at different times, the
starting point for this assessment will
vary state by state.
Similarly, states must provide
analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to
visibility impairment from all sources
and activities within the state over the
period since they submitted their first
implementation period progress reports.
See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5). Changes
in emissions should be identified by the
type of source or activity. Section
51.308(g)(5) also addresses changes in
emissions since the period addressed by
the previous progress report and
requires states’ SIP revisions to include
an assessment of any significant changes
in anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the state. This assessment must
explain whether these changes in
emissions were anticipated and whether
they have limited or impeded progress
in reducing emissions and improving
visibility relative to what the state
projected based on its long-term strategy
for the first implementation period.
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that
before a state holds a public hearing on
a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it
must consult with the appropriate FLM
or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation,
the state must include a summary of the
FLMs’ conclusions and
recommendations in the notice to the
public. Consistent with this statutory
requirement, the RHR also requires that
states ‘‘provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person
and at a point early enough in the
State’s policy analyses of its long-term
strategy emission reduction obligation
so that information and
recommendations provided by the
[FLM] can meaningfully inform the
State’s decisions on the long-term
strategy.’’ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
Consultation that occurs 120 days prior
to any public hearing or public
comment opportunity will be deemed
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‘‘early enough,’’ but the RHR provides
that in any event the opportunity for
consultation must be provided at least
60 days before a public hearing or
comment opportunity. This consultation
must include the opportunity for the
FLMs to discuss their assessment of
visibility impairment in any Class I area
and their recommendations on the
development and implementation of
strategies to address such impairment.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). For the EPA to
evaluate whether FLM consultation
meeting the requirements of the RHR
has occurred, the SIP submission should
include documentation of the timing
and content of such consultation. The
SIP revision submitted to the EPA must
also describe how the state addressed
any comments provided by the FLMs.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(3). Finally, a SIP
revision must provide procedures for
continuing consultation between the
state and FLMs regarding the state’s
visibility protection program, including
development and review of SIP
revisions, five-year progress reports, and
the implementation of other programs
having the potential to contribute to
impairment of visibility in Class I areas.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
V. The EPA’s Evaluation of Iowa’s
Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Iowa’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
IDNR submitted its regional haze SIP
for the first implementation period to
the EPA on March 25, 2008. Iowa relied
on the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR)
to satisfy BART requirements. In July
2008, the CAIR rule was vacated by the
District of Columbia Circuit Court.31 In
response on August 8, 2011, the EPA
replaced CAIR with the Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR). On June 7,
2012, the EPA promulgated the CSAPR
better than BART rule, allowing states to
rely on CSAPR to satisfy BART
requirements. In that same action, the
EPA finalized the limited disapproval of
Iowa’s regional haze SIP and imposed a
Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) for
Iowa to replace reliance on CAIR for
BART with reliance on CSAPR to satisfy
BART requirements (77 FR 33642, June
7, 2012). On June 26, 2012, the EPA
finalized a limited approval for certain
elements of Iowa’s first implementation
period regional haze SIP submission (77
FR 38006, June 26, 2012). On May 14,
2019, Iowa submitted a SIP revision to
change their reliance on CAIR for BART
to relying on CSAPR for BART. The EPA
31 North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir.
2008), modified on rehearing, North Carolina v.
EPA, 550 F.3d 1176, 1178 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
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63267
fully approved Iowa’s regional haze SIP
for the first implementation period on
December 3, 2019 (84 FR 66075,
December 3, 2019). The requirements
for regional haze SIPs for the first
implementation period are contained in
40 CFR 51.308(d) and (e). Pursuant to 40
CFR 51.308(g), Iowa was also
responsible for submitting a five-year
progress report as a SIP revision for the
first implementation period, which it
did on July 19, 2013. The EPA approved
the progress report into the Iowa SIP on
August 15, 2016 (81 FR 53924, August
15, 2016).
B. Iowa’s Second Implementation Period
SIP Submission and the EPA’s
Evaluation
In accordance with CAA section 169A
and the RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f), (g),
and (i), on August 15, 2023, IDNR
submitted a revision to the Iowa SIP to
address its regional haze obligations for
the second implementation period,
which runs through 2028. Iowa made its
2023 Regional Haze SIP submission
available for public comment from
February 13, 2023, through March 16,
2023. The State held a public hearing
for the plan on March 16, 2023. IDNR
received and responded to public
comments and included the comments
and responses to those comments in its
submission.
The following sections describe
Iowa’s SIP submission. This document
also contains the EPA’s evaluation of
Iowa’s submission against the
requirements of the CAA and RHR for
the second implementation period of
the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA
requires each state in which any Class
I area is located or ‘‘the emissions from
which may reasonably be anticipated to
cause or contribute to any impairment
of visibility’’ in a Class I area to have a
plan for making reasonable progress
toward the national visibility goal. The
RHR implements this statutory
requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f)
introductory text, which provides that
each state’s plan ‘‘must address regional
haze in each mandatory Class I Federal
area located within the State and in
each mandatory Class I Federal area
located outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the
State,’’ and (f)(2), which requires each
state’s plan to include a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in
such Class I areas.
The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR
preamble that the CAA section
169A(b)(2) requirement that states
submit SIPs to address visibility
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impairment establishes ‘‘an ‘extremely
low triggering threshold’ in determining
which States should submit SIPs for
regional haze.’’ 64 FR 35721. In
concluding that each of the contiguous
48 states and the District of Columbia
meet this threshold,32 the EPA relied on
‘‘a large body of evidence
demonstrat[ing] that long-range
transport of fine PM contributes to
regional haze,’’ Id., including modeling
studies that ‘‘preliminarily
demonstrated that each State not having
a Class I area had emissions
contributing to impairment in at least
one downwind Class I area.’’ Id. at
35722. In addition to the technical
evidence supporting a conclusion that
each state contributes to existing
visibility impairment, the EPA also
explained that the second half of the
national visibility goal—preventing
future visibility impairment—requires
having a framework in place to address
future growth in visibility impairing
emissions and makes it inappropriate to
‘‘establish criteria for excluding States
or geographic areas from consideration
as potential contributors to regional
haze visibility impairment.’’ Id. at
35721. Thus, the EPA concluded that
the agency’s ‘‘statutory authority and
the scientific evidence are sufficient to
require all States to develop regional
haze SIPs to ensure the prevention of
any future impairment of visibility, and
to conduct further analyses to determine
whether additional control measures are
needed to ensure reasonable progress in
remedying existing impairment in
downwind Class I areas.’’ Id. at 35722.
The EPA’s 2017 revisions to the RHR
did not disturb this conclusion. See 82
FR 3094.
Iowa contains no Class I Areas. In
Iowa’s Regional Haze plan for the first
planning period, Iowa analyzed ten
Class I areas: Boundary Waters Canoe
Area, Minnesota; Voyageurs National
Park, Minnesota; Seney Wilderness
Area, Michigan; Isle Royale National
Park, Michigan; Hercules Glades
Wilderness Area, Missouri; Mingo
Wilderness Area, Missouri; Caney Creek
Wilderness, Arkansas; Upper Buffalo
Wilderness, Arkansas; Badlands
National Park, South Dakota; and Wind
Cave National Park, South Dakota.33 In
Iowa’s Regional Haze plan for the
second planning period, Iowa analyzed
potential contributions to visibility
impairment in twelve Class I areas: the
ten Class I areas analyzed in the first
planning period, plus Mammoth Cave,
Kentucky and Wichita Mountains
Wilderness Area, Oklahoma. To make
this determination, Iowa used
photochemical source apportionment
modeling completed by LADCO and
contained in appendix A–1 and
appendix A–2 of the state submission.
The 2021 LADCO analysis used
Particulate Matter Source
Apportionment Technology (PSAT)
results from the Comprehensive Air
Quality Model with extensions (CAMx)
to track state contributions to
downwind Class I areas for the 2018 to
2028 Regional Haze planning period.
Based on LADCO’s analysis using 2028
projected emissions, the State compiled
Iowa’s modeled anthropogenic sulfate,
nitrate, and primary particulate
(elemental carbon, primary organic
aerosols, fine soil and course mass)
source contributions to visibility
impairment in inverse megameters
(Mm¥1) on the 20% most impaired days
at each of the twelve Class I areas in
table 2–2 of the State submission. Iowa
also included the results as a percentage
of the total modeled impact (excluding
Rayleigh and sea salt contributions) in
table 2–3 of the State’s plan.
In Iowa’s regional haze plan for the
first planning period, Iowa determined
State emissions could contribute to
visibility impairment in four Class I
areas: Isle Royale, Michigan; Seney,
Michigan; Boundary Waters Canoe Area,
Minnesota; and Voyageurs, Minnesota.
Based on the LADCO CAMx PSAT
results provided in table 2–3 of the State
submission, Iowa’s projected 2028
anthropogenic contributions to visibility
impairment for each of those Class I
areas ranges from 3 percent (Voyageurs,
Minnesota) to 3.9 percent (Isle Royale,
Michigan). For consistency with the
SIP-approved regional haze plan from
the first period, Iowa determined it was
reasonable to retain the same linkages in
the second planning period and to
include any additional Class I areas
where State contributions were 3
percent or greater. Based on that
approach, the State added one
additional linkage for the second
planning period to Hercules-Glades
Wilderness Area, Missouri because
Iowa’s contribution was 3.9 percent.
The State contributions did not exceed
the 3 percent threshold for any of the
other Class I areas modeled by LADCO.
Table 1 summarizes Iowa’s modeled
contributions to the twelve Class I areas
based on LADCO’s 2028 CAMx PSAT
analysis and identifies the five Class I
areas linked to Iowa’s emissions in the
State’s regional haze plan for the second
implementation period using the State’s
chosen 3% contribution threshold.
TABLE 1—SUMMARY OF MODELED CONTRIBUTIONS ON 20% MOST IMPAIRED DAYS FROM LADCO’S 2028 CAMx PSAT
ANALYSIS AND DETERMINATION OF CLASS I AREAS LINKED TO IOWA’S EMISSIONS IN 2ND PLANNING PERIOD
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State
Total modeled
extinction
excluding
Rayleigh &
Sea Salt
(Mm¥1)
Class I area
Arkansas .......................................................
Arkansas .......................................................
Kentucky .......................................................
Michigan ........................................................
Michigan ........................................................
Minnesota .....................................................
Minnesota .....................................................
Missouri .........................................................
Missouri .........................................................
Oklahoma ......................................................
South Dakota ................................................
South Dakota ................................................
Caney Creek ................................................
Upper Buffalo ...............................................
Mammoth Cave ...........................................
Isle Royale ...................................................
Seney ...........................................................
Boundary Waters .........................................
Voyageurs ....................................................
Hercules-Glades ..........................................
Mingo ...........................................................
Wichita Mountains .......................................
Badlands ......................................................
Wind Cave ...................................................
Iowa’s modeled
anthropogenic
contributions *
Mm¥1
42.95
42.96
62.89
36.36
45.12
29.31
28.74
48.13
57.35
44.82
22.47
18.10
0.59
0.90
1.81
1.42
1.49
0.94
0.87
1.86
1.34
0.56
0.25
0.18
Class I areas
linked to
Iowa’s emissions
in 2nd planning
period
%
1.4
2.1
2.9
3.9
3.3
3.2
3.0
3.9
2.3
1.2
1.1
1.0
................................
................................
................................
X
X
X
X
X
................................
................................
................................
................................
* The anthropogenic contributions account for sulfates, nitrates, and primary particulates.
32 The EPA determined that ‘‘there is more than
sufficient evidence to support our conclusion that
emissions from each of the 48 contiguous states and
the District of Columba may reasonably be
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anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in a Class I area.’’ 64 FR 35721. Hawaii,
Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin Islands must also
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submit regional haze SIPs because they contain
Class I areas.
33 Iowa State Implementation Plan for Regional
Haze—Final March 2008.
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We acknowledge that the 3 percent or
greater State contribution threshold
used to determine whether Iowa
emissions contribute to visibility
impairment at a particular Class I area
may be higher than what EPA believes
is an ‘‘extremely low triggering
threshold’’ intended by the statute and
regulations. However, we note that
although Iowa did not establish formal
linkages to Class I areas other than Isle
Royale, Seney, Boundary Waters,
Voyageurs, and Hercules-Glades, the
State evaluated source impacts on all
twelve of the Class I areas listed in table
1 in the source-selection process as
discussed in section V.E.a. of this
document. Furthermore, Iowa consulted
with other states and FLMs regarding
their long-term strategy for regional haze
through regional calls organized by
CenSARA and LADCO. At the time of
submission, no other states requested
additional emission reduction measures
or evaluation of other Class I areas. As
discussed in further detail below, the
EPA is proposing to find that Iowa has
submitted a regional haze plan that
meets the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2) related to the development
of a long-term strategy. Thus, although
the 3 percent contribution threshold
used in this analysis may be higher than
intended by the statute and regulation,
we propose to find that Iowa
appropriately evaluated its visibility
impact at twelve out of State Class I
areas and has satisfied the applicable
requirements for making reasonable
progress towards natural visibility
conditions in Class I areas that may be
affected be emissions from the State.
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D. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
Section 51.308(f)(1) requires states to
determine the following for ‘‘each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State’’: baseline visibility
conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, natural visibility
conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, progress to date for the
most impaired and clearest days, the
differences between current visibility
conditions and natural visibility
conditions, and the URP. This section
also provides the option for states to
propose adjustments to the URP line for
a Class I area to account for visibility
impacts from anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or the
impacts from wildland prescribed fires
that were conducted for certain,
specified objectives. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
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These requirements only apply to
states with Class I areas. These statutory
requirements do not apply because Iowa
does not have any Class I areas.
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
a. Iowa’s Source Selection and Four
Factor Analysis
Each state having a Class I area within
its borders or emissions that may affect
visibility in a Class I area must develop
a long-term strategy for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. CAA section
169A(b)(2)(B). As explained in the
Background section of this document,
reasonable progress is achieved when
all states contributing to visibility
impairment in a Class I area are
implementing the measures
determined—through application of the
four statutory factors to sources of
visibility impairing pollutants—to be
necessary to make reasonable progress.
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). Each state’s longterm strategy must include the
enforceable emission limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2). All new (i.e., additional)
measures that are the outcome of fourfactor analyses are necessary to make
reasonable progress and must be in the
long-term strategy. If the outcome of a
four-factor analysis and other measures
necessary to make reasonable progress is
that no new measures are reasonable for
a source, that source’s existing measures
are necessary to make reasonable
progress, unless the state can
demonstrate that the source will
continue to implement those measures
and will not increase its emission rate.
Existing measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress must also be
in the long-term strategy. In developing
its long-term strategies, a state must also
consider the five additional factors in
§ 51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its
reasonable progress determinations, the
state must describe the criteria used to
determine which sources or group of
sources were evaluated (i.e., subjected
to four-factor analysis) for the second
implementation period and how the
four factors were taken into
consideration in selecting the emission
reduction measures for inclusion in the
long-term strategy. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii).
The following paragraphs summarize
how Iowa’s SIP submission addressed
the requirements of § 51.308(f)(2)(i). The
EPA’s evaluation of Iowa’s SIP revision
with regard to the same is contained in
the following section V.E.b. and in the
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technical support document (TSD) in
the docket for this action.
States may rely on technical
information developed by the RPOs of
which they are members to select
sources for four-factor analysis and to
conduct that analysis, as well as to
satisfy the documentation requirements
under § 51.308(f). Where an RPO has
performed source selection and/or fourfactor analyses (or considered the five
additional factors in § 51.308(f)(2)(iv))
for its member states, those states may
rely on the RPO’s analyses for the
purpose of satisfying the requirements
of § 51.308(f)(2)(i) so long as the states
have a reasonable basis to do so and all
state participants in the RPO process
have approved the technical analyses.
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii). States may also
satisfy the requirement of
§ 51.308(f)(2)(ii) to engage in interstate
consultation with other states that have
emissions that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area under
the auspices of intra- and inter-RPO
engagement.
Iowa is a member of the CenSARA
RPO. CenSARA and its contractor
provided member States with an area of
influence (AOI) study for Class I areas
throughout and near the CenSARA
region. The AOI study provided by
CenSARA is a technical analysis
product to help assess source and Statelevel contributions to visibility
impairment and the need for interstate
consultation. Iowa relied upon the AOI
study to conduct an analysis of emission
sources and select sources for a fourfactor analysis.
The cumulative sulfate and nitrate
extinction weighted residence time
(EWRT) multiplied by Q/d (emissions
divided by distance) analysis was
performed by a CenSARA contractor
using 2016 actual emissions data and
2028 emissions projections. It relied on
a back-trajectory model combined with
air quality measurement data and
emission inventories to identify the
geographic areas and emission sources
with a high probability of contributing
to anthropogenically impaired visibility
at Class I areas within CenSARA and
nearby states. For the EWRT multiplied
by Q/d analysis, back trajectory
residence times were first calculated by
summing the amount of time trajectories
reside in a specific geographic area (e.g.,
modeling grid cell). The trajectory
residence times were then weighted by
sulfate and nitrate extinction
coefficients to account for the varying
contributions of sulfates and nitrates to
total light extinction. To determine the
potential impact from sources of SO2
and NOX emissions (precursors of SO4
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and NO3, respectively), the EWRT
values for SO4 and NO3 were combined
with emissions (Q) from sources of SO2
and NOX, respectively. CenSARA States
chose to focus on electric generating
units (EGU) and non-EGU point sources
since these sources comprise major
fractions of the NOX and SO2 emissions
inventory. To incorporate the effects of
dispersion, deposition, and chemical
transformation along the path of the
trajectories, emissions were inversely
weighted by the distance (d) between
the centers of the grid cell emitting the
emissions and the grid cell containing
the IMPROVE site. The AOI study and
analysis tool are included in appendix
B and appendix C–1 of the State
submission.
For its own analysis, IDNR decided to
sum the sulfate and nitrate
contributions for each facility based on
2016 emissions. Rather than evaluating
all sources with an individual impact
greater than a given percentage, such as
1 percent, Iowa used the per-facility
percentage contributions (ranked from
largest to smallest) for Iowa facilities, as
well as sources in other states, to
compute a cumulative (rolling total)
percentage of the total visibility
impairment for a Class I area. The
cumulative rankings for each of the 12
Class I areas evaluated by IDNR is
provided in appendix C–2 of the State
submission.
Based on that analysis, Iowa decided
to select sources for a four-factor
analysis based upon a cumulative
percentage threshold of 50 percent, or
all sources contributing to a majority of
the combined (sulfate plus nitrate)
impacts in any Class I area. This
approach of focusing on cumulative
sulfate and nitrate impacts among all
sources at each Class I area resulted in
the selection of sources with fairly low
individual contributions to those Class
I areas. This analysis resulted in Iowa
selecting two sources for four-factor
analysis: Louisa Generating Station
(LGS) and Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center
(WSEC). The LGS and WSEC each
contributed to a majority of the
combined visibility impacts at Isle
Royale, even though their individual
sulfate plus nitrate impacts were 0.86%
and 0.55%, respectively. No other Iowa
source contributed above the 50 percent
threshold chosen by IDNR in any other
Class I area.
To support the development of
emissions reduction measures, Iowa
gathered information on each of the four
statutory factors for the two sources
identified. Both sources are coal-fired
EGUs operated by MidAmerican Energy
Company. Source-specific data included
explanations of source characteristics,
existing controls for SO2 and NOX, unitlevel emissions, projected boiler
operations, and the identification of
technically feasible control options for
SO2 and NOX. In section 5 of Iowa’s
submittal, the State explains the fourfactor analyses performed by the
MidAmerican Energy Company for the
two facilities. The analyses evaluated
the costs of control options, potential
time frames for compliance with control
options, potential energy, and non-air
quality environmental impacts of
certain control options, and how the
remaining useful lives of sources might
be considered in a control analysis. The
state also considered the visibility
impacts of control options as an
additional factor. Iowa’s emission
reduction measures were based on these
analyses and looked to either optimize
the use of existing controls or require
the addition of new controls.
LGS has one boiler that is currently
equipped with dry lime flue gas
desulfurization (FGD) system to reduce
SO2 emissions and low NOX burners
(LNB) with overfire air (OFA) to reduce
NOX emissions. WSEC has two boilers,
identified as Unit 3 (WSEC–3) and Unit
4 (WSEC–4). Both units are equipped
with dry lime FGD to reduce SO2
emissions and LNB with OFA to reduce
NOX. Unit 4 additionally includes a
selective catalytic reduction (SCR)
system to further control NOX
emissions. Based on the analysis of
technically feasible control options,
Iowa determined that WSEC–4 is
currently equipped with all feasible
control options.
Four potential control options were
identified for LGS and WSEC–3. The
two evaluated SO2 controls were
operational improvements to the
existing dry FGD systems or
replacement with new wet FGDs. The
two evaluated NOX controls included
the addition of either selective
noncatalytic reduction (SNCR) or SCR
systems.
The source evaluated the cost of each
identified control option for LGC and
WSEC. The results for the SO2 control
options are shown in table 2 and the
results of the NOX control options are
shown in table 3. The full cost control
analysis was provided in appendix D–
1 of the State submission and is
included in the docket for this action.
TABLE 2—COST OF EVALUATED SO2 CONTROL OPTIONS
Total
annualized
cost
($)
Facility
Control technology
LGS (Unit 101) ..................................................
Improve Existing Dry FGD ...............................
Wet FGD ..........................................................
Improve Existing Dry FGD ...............................
Wet FGD ..........................................................
WSEC–3 ...........................................................
$1,102,000
42,122,000
1,248,000
41,163,000
Emission
reduction
(tons/year)
3,903
4,722
5,785
6,687
Effective
cost
($/ton)
$282
8,920
216
6,160
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TABLE 3—COST OF EVALUATED NOX CONTROL OPTIONS
Total
annualized
cost
($)
Facility
Control technology
LGS (Unit 101) ..................................................
SNCR ...............................................................
SCR ..................................................................
SNCR ...............................................................
SCR ..................................................................
WSEC–3 ...........................................................
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$3,621,000
24,271,942
4,240,300
24,771,688
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02AUP2
Emission
reduction
(tons/year)
566
2,739
755
3,849
Effective
cost
($/ton)
$6,398
8,862
5,616
6,436
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MidAmerican evaluated the time
necessary for compliance for each
potential control option for the two
sources. MidAmerican estimated that
improvements to the existing dry FGD
systems at both LGC and WSEC–3 could
be implemented within approximately
six months. The company estimated that
the time needed to install and
implement new wet FGD systems would
be approximately five years. The
company estimated SNCR could be
implemented within three years and
SCR could be implemented within five
years. Iowa determined these
timeframes were appropriate for
considering the time necessary for
compliance, but this factor was not used
to eliminate any potential control
options.
In the State submission, Iowa
characterized the information provided
by MidAmerican on the statutory factors
of energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts and the
remaining useful life of the sources
consistent with 2019 Guidance.
MidAmerican evaluated energy and
non-air quality environmental impacts
for each technically feasible control
option but this factor was not used to
eliminate any potential control options.
The remaining useful life of the two
sources was also evaluated but was not
a determining factor in selecting control
measures because operation of these
units is not limited. In completing the
control cost analysis, the company
considered the useful life of the control
systems.
Iowa also evaluated the visibility
impacts of control measures as a fifth
factor and presented this analysis in
section 5.8 of the State’s submission. As
explained in section IV.C. of this
proposed rule, states have flexibility
under the CAA and RHR to reasonably
consider visibility benefits as an
optional additional factor alongside the
four statutory factors. The 2019
Guidance and the 2021 Clarification
Memo provide recommendations and
guidance on how states can consider
modeled visibility impacts or benefits in
the context of a four-factor analysis. For
its analysis, Iowa calculated a ratio of
sulfate impacts relative to nitrate
impacts from LGS and WSEC on the
20% most impaired days at the five
linked Class I areas. Iowa first
quantified the State’s predicted
anthropogenic sulfate and nitrate
contributions to the 20% most impaired
days at each of the Class I areas based
on LADCO’s 2028 CAMx PSAT
modeling results. The results are
presented as extinction values in Mm-1
and percent of total modeled visibility
impairment in tables 5–7 and 5–8 of the
State’s submission. Iowa then chose the
maximum predicted sulfate and nitrate
contributions attributed to the State’s
anthropogenic emissions among the five
linked Class I areas (Isle Royale, Seney,
Boundary Waters, Voyageurs, and
Hercules-Glades). The maximum sulfate
impact is 1.000 Mm-1 at HerculesGlades, and the maximum nitrate
impact is 0.798 Mm-1 at Seney. The
maximum sulfate and nitrate extinction
values were then apportioned to LGS
and WSEC based on the 2028 projected
anthropogenic emissions inventory for
Iowa, which is summarized in table 5–
9 and Figure 5–4 of the State’s
submission. EGUs are projected to emit
78.8% and 22.2% of Iowa’s 2028 SO2
and NOX emissions, respectively.34 To
calculate factors for apportioning sulfate
and nitrate contributions to LGS and
WSEC, Iowa assumed that LGS and
WSEC emit the entirety of the State’s
projected 2028 EGU SO2 and NOX
emissions totals. For each pollutant, the
percentage of statewide EGU emissions
was multiplied by the ratio of each
facility’s emissions to the sum of LGS
and WSEC emissions.35 The resulting
factors were then multiplied by the
statewide maximum sulfate and nitrate
impact values. LGS’s estimated sulfate
contribution is 0.285 Mm-1 and its
nitrate contribution is 0.064 Mm-1. The
corresponding sulfate and nitrate
impacts for WSEC are 0.503 Mm-1 and
0.133 Mm-1, respectively. For both LGS
and WSEC, Iowa’s analysis indicates
that sulfate impacts are estimated to be
4.4 times the nitrate impacts. Table 4
summarizes Iowa’s calculations and the
resulting estimated sulfate and nitrate
impacts from LGS and WSEC.
TABLE 4—ESTIMATED SULFATE AND NITRATE IMPACTS ATTRIBUTED TO LGS AND WSEC ON THE 20% MOST IMPAIRED
DAYS AT IOWA’S FIVE LINKED CLASS I AREAS
2028 Projected
emissions
Apportionment
factor
Sulfate
impact
(Mm-1)
Facility
SO2
(tpy)
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LGS ..........................................................
WSEC ......................................................
NOX
(tpy)
5,605
9,897
3,403
6,025
SO2
(%)
NOX
(%)
28.5
50.3
8.0
14.2
0.285
0.503
Nitrate
impact
(Mm-1)
0.064
0.113
Ratio
(sulfate/
nitrate
impact)
4.4
4.4
Based upon the four-factor analysis
for LGS and WSEC, Iowa determined
that implementing operational
improvements to the existing dry FGD
systems at LGS and WSEC–3 were
necessary to make reasonable progress.
The cost effectiveness of this control
option at LGS is less than $300 per ton
and results in an estimated reduction of
actual SO2 emissions by 3,903 tons per
year from this source. The cost
effectiveness of this control option at
WSEC is less than $300 per ton and
results in an estimated reduction of
actual SO2 emissions by 5,785 tons per
year from this source. The state
determined the new wet FGD systems
were not considered reasonable due to
the cost and estimated incremental
decrease in SO2 emissions being
relatively small compared to
improvements to the existing dry FGD
systems (less than 14 percent versus
baseline emissions at LGS and less than
11 percent versus baseline emissions at
WSEC–3).36 Iowa decided not to require
the addition of SNCR or SCR control
systems to further control NOX
emissions at either facility at this time
due to the estimated cost effectiveness
of both options exceeding $5,000 per
ton and the lower visibility benefits
than compared to SO2 controls.
Based on the conclusions from the
four-factor analysis, Iowa modified the
air construction permits for the main
34 Based on LADCO’s 2028 emissions projections
as summarized in table 5–9 of Iowa’s regional haze
plan submission, Iowa EGUs are projected to emit
28,002 tons/year of the total statewide SO2
emissions of 35,538 tons/year. For NOX, Iowa EGUs
are projected to emit 21,442 tons/year of the state’s
total 96,398 tons/year.
35 For example, the SO apportionment for LGS is
2
calculated as follows: 78.8% * (5,605/(5,605 +
9,897)) = 28.5%. The NOX apportionment for LGS
is: 22.2% * (3,403/(3,403 + 6,025)) = 8.0%.
36 See table 5.5 of the State submission, included
in the docket for this action.
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boiler at LGS and WSEC–3 to
implement operational improvements to
the existing dry FGD systems. The
permits include new SO2 emissions
limits and compliance schedules. The
new SO2 emission limit for the main
boiler at LGS is 800 lb/hr based on a 30day rolling average. The new SO2
emission limit for WSEC–3 is 770 lb/hr
based on a 30-day rolling average. Iowa
issued both permits on July 20, 2023,
with compliance dates of December 31,
2023. Iowa determined that WSEC–4 is
currently equipped with all feasible
control options. The current permit
restricts WSEC–4 to an enforceable best
available control technology (BACT)
SO2 emission limit of 0.1 lb/MMBtu and
a NOX emission limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu.
To establish permanent emission limits
for its long-term strategy for regional
haze, Iowa submitted the air
construction permits for LGS, WSEC–3,
and WSEC–4 for incorporation into the
SIP in 40 CFR 52.820(d), EPA approved
state source-specific requirements. The
State’s SIP submission requested that
the EPA not act on Condition 11 of the
permits for LGS and WSEC–3 nor
Condition 6 of the permit for WSEC–4,
and accordingly those conditions are
not included in this action. The full
permits are included in appendix E of
the State submission in the docket for
this action.
b. The EPA’s Evaluation of Iowa’s
Emissions Reduction Measures and
Compliance With § 51.308(f)(2)(i)
The EPA is proposing to find that
Iowa has satisfied the requirements of
§ 51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating
sources and determining the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress by
considering the four statutory factors.
We are proposing to find that Iowa
reasonably evaluated the two
pollutants—SO2 and NOX—that
currently drive visibility impairment
within the linked Class I areas and that
it adequately explained and supported
its decision to focus on these two
pollutants through its technical analyses
included in the state submission.37
Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states
to evaluate and determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress by applying
the four statutory factors to sources in
a control analysis. The State must
include in its implementation plan a
description of the criteria it used to
determine which sources or groups of
sources it evaluated and how the four
factors were taken into consideration in
37 See section 3.3 of the State submission,
included in the docket for this action.
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selecting the measures for inclusion in
its long-term strategy. As explained
above, Iowa relied on the cumulative
sulfate and nitrate emissions weighted
residence time (EWRT) multiplied by Q/
d (emissions divided by distance)
analysis performed by a CenSARA
contractor to compute a cumulative
percentage of the total visibility
impairment from major sources for each
Class I area. Iowa used the per-facility
percentage contributions (ranked from
largest to smallest) to compute a
cumulative (rolling total) percentage of
the total visibility impairment to each
Class I area. Iowa selected sources for
four-factor analysis based upon a
cumulative impact threshold of 50
percent in any Class I area. Based on
this analysis, Iowa selected two sources:
Louisa Generating Station and Walter
Scott Jr. Generating Station.
Pursuant to the RHR, states must
consider selecting sources identified by
other states or by FLMs. A state
receiving a request to select a particular
source(s) should either perform a fourfactor analysis on the source(s) or
provide a well-reasoned explanation as
to why it is choosing not to do so. See
2021 Clarifications Memo at 4. No other
states identified additional sources for
evaluation. During initial consultations
with FLMs, Iowa received
recommendations from FLMs to
evaluate several sources. The U.S.
Forest Service identified three sources
based on its review of emission rate data
(lb/MMBtu) and results from a LADCO
Q/d analysis: University of Northern
Iowa, Burlington Generating Station,
and Muscatine Power and Water, Unit 8.
The National Park Service identified
eleven Iowa sources using a Q/d(SO2 +
NOX) threshold of 1.2 based on 2017
National Emissions Inventory (NEI)
emissions data for the non-EGUs and
2019 Clean Air Markets Division
(CAMD) data for EGUs: Walter Scott Jr.
Energy Center (EGU), Louisa Generating
Station (EGU), George Neal North
(EGU), George Neal South (EGU),
Burlington Generating Station (EGU),
Muscatine Power and Water (EGU),
Ottumwa Generating Station (EGU),
ADM Corn Processing—Cedar Rapids
(non-EGU), Continental Cement
Company—Davenport (non-EGU),
Natural Gas Pipeline Co. Of America—
Station 107 (non-EGU), and Northern
Natural Gas Co.—Ogden (non-EGU).
However, Iowa chose to rely on a
different source selection methodology
based on CenSARA’s AOI analysis, as
explained above and in the State
submission. While Iowa did not select
additional sources identified by FLMs
for four-factor analysis, it provided
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supplemental information supporting its
decision to use CenSARA’s AOI analysis
because it resulted in more technical
data.
During the formal FLM consultation
and public comment period, Iowa
received several comments to broaden
its source selection criteria by using a
higher percent contribution threshold
and expand its source selection to
include two additional sources in Iowa:
George Neal North and George Neal
South. As explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, states have the
discretion to choose any source
selection threshold or methodology that
is reasonable, as long as whatever
choices states make are reasonably
explained and produce a reasonable
outcome. 2021 Memo at 3. Iowa
described its source selection criteria in
the state submission and selected all
sources that met the source selection
threshold. In this case, the 50 percent
cumulative impact threshold identified
two sources in Iowa. We note that Iowa
selected its two largest EGUs for fourfactor analysis and that the evaluation of
these sources had the potential to
meaningfully reduce their contributions
to visibility impairment. Furthermore,
the 2019 Guidance explains that the
Regional Haze Rule ‘‘sets up an iterative
planning process and anticipates that a
state may not need to analyze control
measures for all its sources in a given
SIP revision.’’ 2019 Guidance at 9. Thus,
although the source selection threshold
resulted in two sources being evaluated,
Iowa reasonably chose factors to
consider when selecting sources and
applied these factors in a reasonable
way. Therefore, we propose to find
Iowa’s source selection methodology
and the sources selected for further
analysis to be reasonable for the second
planning period.
As detailed above, Iowa included
four-factor analyses performed by
MidAmerican Energy Company for each
of the two sources selected for further
analysis. The state chose to evaluate
visibility benefits of control measures
along with the four statutory factors and
described how each of the factors were
considered in the SIP submission. In
considering whether compliance costs
for sources were reasonable, Iowa
evaluated the cost estimates for each
technically feasible control option for
both SO2 and NOX completed by
MidAmerican.
Based on the EPA’s review, we find
that Iowa’s control cost analysis was
both reasonable and consistent with the
EPA Air Pollution Control Cost
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Manual.38 The State submission
included details on the consideration of
the time necessary for compliance, the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
potentially affected sources. EPA finds
the consideration of these statutory
factors was reasonable and consistent
with the 2019 Guidance and 2021
Clarifications Memo. The EPA further
reviews the control cost analyses in the
TSD contained in the docket for this
rulemaking.
Iowa also included a visibility
benefits analysis that estimated sulfate
impacts relative to nitrate impacts from
LGS and WSEC on the 20% most
impaired days at the five linked Class I
areas, as described in section V.E.a. of
this document. Based on that analysis,
the State estimated that sulfate impacts
to visibility in the linked Class I areas
are 4.4 times greater than nitrate
impacts for both LGS and WSEC. While
visibility is not an explicitly listed
factor to consider when determining
whether additional controls are
reasonable, the purpose of the fourfactor analysis is to determine what
degree of progress toward natural
visibility conditions is reasonable.
Therefore, the EPA has interpreted the
CAA and the RHR as allowing states to
consider visibility alongside the four
statutory factors when comparing
multiple emission reduction control
options that may be necessary to make
reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 12. We find that
Iowa’s consideration of visibility
improvements was reasonable and
consistent with the requirements of the
CAA.
The State determined that operational
improvements to the existing FGD
systems at both LGS and WSEC–3 were
the most cost-effective control option
and showed reducing SO2 emissions
increased visibility benefits in several
Class I areas. Iowa stated that these
emission reduction measures will
reduce actual SO2 emissions by an
estimated 9,688 tons per year. The State
determined that WSEC–4 is currently
equipped with all feasible control
options and that the existing measures
are necessary to reasonable progress.
Iowa submitted the air construction
permits for LGS, WSEC–3, and WSEC–
4 for inclusion in its long-term strategy.
The permits are included in appendix E
of the State submission in the docket for
this action. Section 51.308(f)(2) of the
38 EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual,
https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysisair-pollution-regulations/cost-reports-andguidance-air-pollution.
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RHR requires that emission reduction
measures must be represented by
‘‘enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures’’ (i.e., any additional
compliance tools) in a state’s long-term
strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
The permits for LGS and WSEC–3
include limits in lb/hour, with
compliance determined on thirty-day
rolling averages through the use of
Continuous Emission Monitors (CEMs)
to the EPA standards, necessary
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements, and cover all times of
operation. The new limits are: 800 lb/hr
for MidAmerican Energy Co.—Louisa
Station Unit EU1, Louisa Boiler, and
770 lb/hr for MidAmerican Energy Co.—
Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center, Unit 003,
Boiler #3. WSEC–4 was subject to the
prevention of significant deterioration
(PSD) preconstruction permitting for
SO2 and NOX emissions in 2003. As part
of the PSD review process, BACT was
required for SO2 and NOX controls. The
air construction permit includes a BACT
SO2 emission limit of 0.1 lb/MMBtu (30day rolling average) and an annual
emission restriction of 3,362 tons per
rolling 12-month period. The BACT
emission limit for NOX is 0.07 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average) and an
annual emission restriction of 2,353
tons per rolling 12-month period.
Compliance with SO2 and NOX BACT
limits is demonstrated using continuous
emissions monitoring systems (CEMS).
The EPA finds the air quality
construction permits, submitted by Iowa
to serve as the enforceable mechanism
of the long-term strategy, meet the
requirements of § 51.308(f)(2) to include
enforceable emissions limitations. We
propose to find Iowa’s four-factor
analysis and emission reduction
measures to be reasonable for the
second planning period.
In sum, the EPA proposes to find that
Iowa has satisfied the requirements that
states determine the emission reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress by considering the
four factors, and that its long-term
strategy includes the enforceable
emission limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures
necessary to make reasonable progress.
c. Additional Long-Term Strategy
Requirements
The consultation requirements of
§ 51.308(f)(2)(ii) provides that states
must consult with other states that are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area to
develop coordinate emission
management strategies containing the
emission reductions measures that are
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necessary to make reasonable progress.
Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B)
require states to consider the emission
reduction measures identified by other
states as necessary for reasonable
progress and to include agreed upon
measures in their SIPs, respectively.
Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speaks to
what happens if states cannot agree on
what measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress.
Iowa included documentation of its
consultation with RPOs and individual
states in its SIP submission.
Specifically, Iowa consulted with three
states containing the five Class I Areas
that Iowa sources were expected to
impact: Minnesota, Michigan, and
Missouri. Documentation of
consultation with each state is
contained in appendix H to the State
submittal. In addition, Iowa consulted
with CenSARA and LADCO through its
participation in regular planning calls
each RPO. Iowa did not receive any
requests from other states nor did it
encounter any disagreements. We
propose to determine that Iowa has
satisfied the consultation requirements
of § 51.308(f)(2)(ii).
The documentation requirement of
§ 51.308(f)(2)(iii) provides that states
may meet their obligations to document
the technical bases on which they are
relying to determine the emission
reductions measures that are necessary
to make reasonable progress through an
RPO, as long as the process has been
‘‘approved by all State participants.’’
Section 51.308(f)(2)(iii) also requires
that the emissions information
considered to determine the measures
that are necessary to make reasonable
progress include information on
emissions for the most recent year for
which the state has submitted triennial
emissions data to the EPA (or a more
recent year), with a 12-month
exemption period for newly submitted
data. Iowa’s SIP submission included in
section 7 emissions information by
sector and pollutant from LADCO’s
2016 modeling inventory and from the
2017 NEI. The state analysis included
data from the 2016 base year and 2028
modeled emissions inventories for NOX,
SO2, PM2.5, VOCs, and NH3. The State’s
four factor analysis relied on emission
data from 2009–2021. The State also
included emission data from 2009–2021
for Iowa EGUs. Based on Iowa’s
consideration of the emission data in
their SIP submittal, the EPA proposes to
find that Iowa has satisfied the
emissions information requirement in
§ 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
We also propose to find that Iowa
reasonably considered the five
additional factors in § 51.308(f)(2)(iv) in
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developing its long-term strategy.
Pursuant to § 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(A), Iowa
noted that existing and ongoing state
and Federal emission control programs
that contribute to emission reductions
through 2028 would impact emissions
of visibility impairing pollutants from
point and nonpoint sources in the
second implementation period. Iowa
included in its SIP submission details of
control measures with their effective
dates and pollutants addressed.
Iowa’s consideration of measures to
mitigate the impacts of construction
activities as required by
§ 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(B) is included in
section 6.2.2. of its SIP submission.
Iowa described the minor NSR permit
requirements for aggregate processing
plants, concrete batch plants, and
asphalt plants and its rules to reduce
fugitive dust emissions from beyond the
property line.39 Iowa noted that
construction activities are unlikely to
contribute to visibility impairment in
Class I areas due to the extensive
transport distances in combination with
relatively low emissions and release
heights for construction activities.
Pursuant to § 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(C),
source retirements and replacement
schedules are addressed in section 6.2.3
of Iowa’s submission. The LADCO
modeling used by Iowa considered
known source retirements and
replacements in developing the 2028
emission projections. The Iowa EGU
source retirements, refuelings, or
replacements that occurred during or
after the 2016 base year are identified in
table 6–4 of the State submission.40
Iowa’s consideration of smoke
management as required in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(D) is included in section
6.2.4. of the SIP submission. Iowa
explained that source apportionment
modeling conducted by Central
Regional Air Planning Association
(CENRAP) for the first implementation
period demonstrated that fires in Iowa
do not significantly contribute to
visibility in Class I areas. Iowa
determined that conclusion is still valid
since Iowa’s total prescribed fire and
agricultural fire emissions represent less
than one percent of the U.S. totals in the
2017 NEI, as shown in tables 6–5 and 6–
6 of the State submission.
Iowa considered the anticipated net
effect of projected changes in emissions
as required by § 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(E) by
discussing, in section 8 of its
submission, the photochemical
modeling for the 2018–2028 period it
conducted by LADCO. Table 8–1 of the
39 567
IAC 23.3(2)‘‘c.’’
table 6–4 of the Iowa Regional Haze SIP—
Final August 2023.
40 See
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State submission summarizes the
visibility improvements in linked Class
I areas. The results show improvements
of 0.71 to 1.24 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days and no
visibility degredation on the clearest
days. Iowa explained the results are
conservative because they do not
incorporate the scrubber improvements
from its long term strategy (LTS), which
will further improve visibility.
Because Iowa has reasonably
considered each of the five additional
factors the EPA proposes to find that
Iowa has satisfied the requirements of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv).
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(3) contains the
requirements pertaining to RPGs for
each Class I area. This provision does
not apply to Iowa because it does not
have a Class I Area. Section
51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) requires that if a state
contains sources that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a Class I area in another
state, and the RPG for the most impaired
days in that Class I area is above the
URP, the upwind state must provide the
same demonstration. This provision
does not apply because the states with
Class I areas that are affected by Iowa
sources did not submit any RPGs that
are above the URP.
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) specifies that
each comprehensive revision of a state’s
regional haze SIP must contain or
provide for certain elements, including
monitoring strategies, emissions
inventories, and any reporting,
recordkeeping and other measures
needed to assess and report on
visibility. A main requirement of this
subsection is for states with Class I areas
to submit monitoring strategies for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting
on visibility impairment. Section
51.308(f)(6)(ii) requires SIPs to provide
for procedures by which monitoring
data and other information are used in
determining the contribution of
emissions from within the state to
regional haze visibility impairment at
mandatory Class I Federal areas both
within and outside the state. As noted
previously, most regulatory
requirements in § 51.308(f)(6) do not
apply to states without Class I Areas.
However, § 51.308(f)(6)(iii) and (v)
apply to all states that have emissions
that contribute to a Class I Area,
including Iowa. Section 51.308(f)(6)(iii)
requires SIPs to provide procedures by
which monitoring data and other
information are used in determining the
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contribution of emissions from within
the state to Regional Haze visibility
impairment at mandatory Class I
Federal areas in other states.
Iowa included details on the
monitoring data the State used to
estimate its visibility contribution to
out-of-state Class I Areas, to address
§ 51.308(f)(6)(iii). Iowa relies on the
IMPROVE monitoring network for
monitoring at the Class I areas Iowa
selected. We note Iowa included details
on two IMPROVE protocol monitors
previously operated by the State in
section 9 of the state plan. Iowa’s 2023
Ambient Air Monitoring Network Plan
included the removal of the IMPROVE
protocol monitors and was separately
reviewed and approved by EPA. The
removal of the IMPROVE protocol
monitors does not impact this action
because IMPROVE protocol monitors
are not located at and do not represent
visibility at mandatory Class I Federal
areas. Therefore, neither the presence
nor lack of IMPROVE protocol monitors
has any direct impact on ‘‘determining
the contribution of emissions from
within the state to out-of-state Class I
areas’’.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) requires SIPs to
provide for a statewide inventory of
emissions of pollutants that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment,
including emissions for the most recent
year for which data are available and
estimates of future projected emissions.
It also requires a commitment to update
the inventory periodically. Section
51.308(f)(6)(v) also requires states to
include estimates of future projected
emissions and include a commitment to
update the inventory periodically.
To address § 51.308(f)(6)(v), Iowa
included emissions information by
pollutant from LADCO’s 2016 modeling
inventory and from the 2017 NEI.41 The
State’s four factor analysis relied on
emission data from 2009–2021. The
State also included emission data from
2009–2021 for Iowa EGUs. Iowa also
included future projections for 2028.
Iowa committed to update the inventory
periodically and comply with the Air
Emissions Reporting Requirements.
Based on Iowa’s consideration of the
emission data in their SIP submittal, the
EPA proposes to find that Iowa has
satisfied the emissions information
requirement in § 51.308(f)(6)(v).
41 See section 7 and 11 of the Iowa Regional Haze
SIP—Final August 2023, included in the docket for
this action.
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H. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires that
periodic comprehensive revisions of
states’ regional haze plans also address
the progress report requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(g)(1) through (5). The
purpose of these requirements is to
evaluate progress towards the applicable
RPGs for each Class I area within the
state and each Class I area outside the
state that may be affected by emissions
from within that state. Section
51.308(g)(1) and (2) apply to all states
and require a description of the status
of implementation of all measures
included in a state’s first
implementation period regional haze
plan and a summary of the emission
reductions achieved through
implementation of those measures.
Section 51.308(g)(3) applies only to
states with Class I areas within their
borders and requires such states to
assess current visibility conditions,
changes in visibility relative to baseline
(2000–2004) visibility conditions, and
changes in visibility conditions relative
to the period addressed in the first
implementation period progress report.
Section 51.308(g)(4) applies to all states
and requires an analysis tracking
changes in emissions of pollutants
contributing to visibility impairment
from all sources and sectors since the
period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report.
This provision further specifies the year
or years through which the analysis
must extend depending on the type of
source and the platform through which
its emission information is reported.
Finally, § 51.308(g)(5), which also
applies to all states, requires an
assessment of any significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the state have occurred since the
period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report,
including whether such changes were
anticipated and whether they have
limited or impeded expected progress
towards reducing emissions and
improving visibility.
Iowa’s submission describes the status
of measures of the long-term strategy
from the first implementation period.
Iowa relied upon the Clean Air
Interstate Rule (CAIR), later replaced by
the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
(CSAPR), to satisfy long-term strategy
obligations and Best Available Retrofit
Technology (BART) requirements for
EGUs. Iowa met all the identified
reasonable measures during the first
implementation period. Iowa’s SIP
submission includes EGU emission data
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demonstrating the reductions achieved
throughout the State in table 10–1. The
included emission data demonstrates a
decrease in SO2 and NOX emissions
since 2008, the year preceding CAIR
implementation. Between 2008 and
2021, SO2 and NOX emissions declined
by 81,258 and 30,078 tons, respectively.
The EPA proposes to find that Iowa
has met the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) and (2) because its SIP
submission describes the measures
included in the long-term strategy from
the first implementation period, as well
as the status of their implementation
and the emission reductions achieved
through such implementation. Section
51.308(g)(3) does not apply to Iowa
because it does not have a Class I Area.
Pursuant to § 51.308(g)(4), in section
10 of their submittal, Iowa provided a
summary of NEI data for SO2, NOX,
VOCs, PM10, PM2.5, and NH3 for the
years 2008 and 2017. The summarized
emissions data in tables 10–2 and 10–
3 of the state submission include
anthropogenic emissions represented by
point source EGU, point source nonEGU, nonpoint sources, on-road mobile
sources and nonroad mobile sources;
fire emissions including wildfire,
prescribed fire and agriculture fire; and
biogenic emissions from vegetation and
soils. Iowa also included CAMD data in
table 10–1 showing annual total EGU
SO2 and NOX emissions for the time
period from 2002 to 2021.
The reductions achieved through
Iowa emission control measures are
seen in the emissions inventory. Based
on Iowa’s SIP submittal, NOX emissions
have significantly declined in Iowa from
2008 to 2017 based on decreased
emissions in the point EGU, point nonEGU, on-road and non-road sectors.
NOX emissions from the EGU sector
decreased by 28,009 tpy, equating to a
sector reduction of 55%. Total NOX
reductions decreased by 103,080 tpy, or
34%.
Emissions of SO2 have shown a
significant decline in Iowa from 2008 to
2017, particularly in the point EGU
sector. During that period, SO2
emissions from EGUs decreased by
86,091 tpy, equating to a sector
reduction of 73%. Overall, SO2
emissions declined by 125,347 tpy, or
76%.
Iowa’s submission includes a
summary of PM10 emissions from all
NEI data categories point EGU, point
non-EGU, nonpoint, on-road, nonroad,
and fire for 2008 and 2017 in Iowa. In
Iowa, PM10 emissions decreased in all
categories except fire during that period.
The PM10 emissions decreased by more
than 200,000 tpy, or 37%.
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Iowa’s submission shows a summary
of PM2.5 emissions from all NEI data
categories for 2008 and 2017 in Iowa.
PM2.5 emissions decreased all categories
except the fire sector. Decreases in PM2.5
emissions are attributed to Federal new
engine standards for nonroad vehicles
and equipment, Federal and State
regulations for on-road vehicles, and
reductions in the nonpoint sector. The
other large decrease in PM2.5 emissions
is primarily due to the decrease in
emissions from fuel combustion at EGU
and Industrial stationary sources.
VOC emissions declined in Iowa from
477,959 tpy in 2008 to 141,289 tpy in
2017. VOC decreases were achieved in
all sectors except the fire sector.
Overall, ammonia (NH3) emissions
increased in Iowa from 2008 to 2017,
primarily driven by increased emissions
from the nonpoint source category.
Nonpoint increases are due to reporting,
grouping and methodology changes, as
well as estimated emissions increase
from agricultural sources. Overall,
ammonia emissions increased by 11%
in Iowa from 2008 to 2017.
The EPA is proposing to find that
Iowa has satisfied the requirements of
§ 51.308(g)(4) by providing emissions
information for NOX, SO2, PM10, PM2.5,
VOCs, and NH3 broken down by type of
source.
Iowa uses the emissions trend data in
the SIP submission 42 to support the
assessment that anthropogenic hazecausing pollutant emissions in Iowa
have decreased during the reporting
period and that changes in emissions
have not limited or impeded progress in
reducing pollutant emissions and
improving visibility. Overall, Iowa’s
2017 emission inventories for NOX, SO2,
PM10, PM2.5, and VOCs were lower than
their 2008 emission inventories and the
forecasted 2018 emissions from Iowa’s
regional haze SIP for the first planning
period 43 for those same pollutants
emissions. The 2017 emission inventory
for NH3 were higher than the 2008
emission inventory and the forecasted
2018 emissions. However, the slight
increase did not impede progress
towards improving visibility in Class I
Areas. The EPA is proposing to find that
Iowa has met the requirements of
§ 51.308(g)(5).
I. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
Section 169A(d) of the CAA requires
states to consult with FLMs before
42 See section 10.5 ‘‘Emissions Changes
Assessment’’ of the Iowa Region Haze SIP—Final
August 2023, included in the docket for this action.
43 See table 10–5 of the Iowa Regional Haze SIP—
Final August 2023, included in the docket for this
action.
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holding the public hearing on a
proposed regional haze SIP, and to
include a summary of the FLMs’
conclusions and recommendations in
the notice to the public. In addition,
§ 51.308(i)(2)’s FLM consultation
provision requires a state to provide
FLMs with an opportunity for
consultation that is early enough in the
state’s policy analyses of its emission
reduction obligation so that information
and recommendations provided by the
FLMs’ can meaningfully inform the
state’s decisions on its long-term
strategy. If the consultation has taken
place at least 120 days before a public
hearing or public comment period, the
opportunity for consultation will be
deemed early enough. Regardless, the
opportunity for consultation must be
provided at least sixty days before a
public hearing or public comment
period at the state level. Section
51.308(i)(2) also provides two
substantive topics on which FLMs must
be provided an opportunity to discuss
with states: assessment of visibility
impairment in any Class I area and
recommendations on the development
and implementation of strategies to
address visibility impairment. Section
51.308(i)(3) requires states, in
developing their implementation plans,
to include a description of how they
addressed FLMs’ comments. Section
51.308(i)(4) requires states to provide for
ongoing consultation between the state
and FLM’s on the implementation of the
given plan and on development of
future plan revisions or progress reports.
Iowa conducted informal FLM
consultation early in the planning
process to inform the state’s decisionmaking process. As part of this early
engagement with the FLMs, the U.S.
Forest Service and the National Park
Service each provided a
recommendation to Iowa suggesting that
it consider specific individual sources
in its long-term strategies. In March
2020, the Forest Service identified three
sources based on its review of emission
rate data (lb/MMBtu) and results from a
LADCO Q/d analysis. In June 2020, the
National Park Service identified eleven
Iowa sources using a Q/d(SO2 + NOX)
threshold of 1.2 based on 2017 NEI
emissions data for the non-EGUs and
2019 CAMD data for EGUs. As part of
the consultation, Iowa reviewed its
source selection methods and results
with FLMs on June 3, 2020. On January
20, 2022, the state met with FLMs to
informally discuss Iowa’s four-factor
analysis.
On October 11, 2022, Iowa submitted
a draft Regional Haze SIP to the U.S.
Forest Service, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, and the National Park
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Service for a 60-day review and
comment period pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2).44 On November 3, 2022,
Iowa held a virtual consultation meeting
with the FLMs. Iowa received comments
from the Forest Service and the National
Park Service on December 8, 2022.45
Iowa responded to the FLM comments
and included the responses in section
11.5 of its submission to EPA and their
public notice, in accordance with the
requirements in CAA section 169A(d)
and § 51.308(i)(3). Notices of the
proposed SIP, availability and the
public hearing were published on
IDNR’s website, published in the Des
Moines Register on February 13, 2023,
and issued on the IDNR air quality
listserv. A virtual public hearing on the
proposed SIP revision was held on
March 16, 2023. Written comments
relevant to the proposal were accepted
until the close of business March 16,
2023. Iowa’s August 2023 SIP includes
a commitment to ongoing consultation
with FLMs in accordance with
§ 51.308(i)(4).
For the reasons stated above, the EPA
proposes to find that Iowa has satisfied
the requirements under 40 CFR
51.308(i) to consult with the FLMs on
its regional haze SIP for the second
implementation period.
Iowa’s August 2023 SIP submission
includes a commitment to submit
periodic progress reports in accordance
with § 51.308(f) and a commitment to
evaluate progress towards the
reasonable progress goal for each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State and in each mandatory
Class I Federal area located outside the
State that may be affected by emissions
from within the State in accordance
with § 51.308(g).46
VI. What action is the EPA proposing?
The EPA is proposing to approve the
Iowa SIP submission received on
August 15, 2023, as satisfying the
regional haze requirements for the
second implementation period
contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f). We are
processing this as a proposed action
because we are soliciting comments on
this proposed action. Final rulemaking
will occur after consideration of any
comments.
VII. Incorporation by Reference
In this document, the EPA is
proposing to include regulatory text in
an EPA final rule that includes
incorporation by reference. In
44 Id.
45 See appendix F of the State submission,
included in the docket for this action.
46 See section 10.5 of the ‘‘Iowa Regional Haze
SIP—Final August 2023.’’
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accordance with requirements of 1 CFR
51.5, the EPA is proposing to
incorporate by reference ‘‘Iowa Regional
Haze Plan for the Second
Implementation Period’’ source specific
requirements for MidAmerican Energy
Company Louisa Station (Permit
number 05–A–031–P6) and
MidAmerican Energy Company Walter
Scott Jr. Energy Center (Permit numbers
75–A–357–P9 and 03–A–425–P4),
submitted on August 15, 2023. The EPA
has made, and will continue to make,
these materials generally available
through https://www.regulations.gov
and at the EPA Region 7 Office (please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section of
this preamble for more information).
VIII. Environmental Justice
Considerations
The EPA defines environmental
justice (EJ) as ‘‘the fair treatment and
meaningful involvement of all people
regardless of race, color, national origin,
or income with respect to the
development, implementation, and
enforcement of environmental laws,
regulations, and policies.’’ The EPA
further defines the term fair treatment to
mean that ‘‘no group of people should
bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’ 47
Consideration of EJ is not required as
part of this action, and there is no
information in the record inconsistent
with the stated goal of Executive Order
12898 of achieving environmental
justice for people of color, low-income
populations, and Indigenous peoples.
However, recognizing the importance of
environmental justice considerations to
local communities, the EPA conducted
an environmental justice screening
analysis around the location of the
facilities associated with this action to
identify potential environmental
stressors on these communities and the
potential impacts of this action. The
EPA is providing the information
associated with this analysis for
informational purposes only. The
information provided herein is not a
basis of the proposed action. The EPA
conducted the screening analyses using
EJScreen, an EJ mapping and screening
tool that provides the EPA with a
nationally consistent dataset and
approach for combining various
environmental and demographic
47 See https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice/
learn-about-environmentaljustice.
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indicators.48 The EJScreen tool presents
these indicators at a Census block group
(CBG) level or a larger user specified
‘‘buffer’’ area that covers multiple
CBGs.49 An individual CBG is a cluster
of contiguous blocks within the same
census tract and generally contains
between 600 and 3,000 people. EJScreen
is not a tool for performing in-depth risk
analysis, but is instead a screening tool
that provides an initial representation of
indicators related to EJ and is subject to
uncertainty in some underlying data
(e.g., some environmental indicators are
based on monitoring data which are not
uniformly available; others are based on
self-reported data).50 For informational
purposes, we have summarized
EJScreen data within larger ‘‘buffer’’
areas covering multiple block groups
and representing the average resident
within the buffer areas surrounding the
facilities selected by Iowa for further
control analysis. EJScreen
environmental indicators help screen
for locations where residents may
experience a higher overall pollution
burden than would be expected for a
block group with the same total
population in the U.S. These indicators
of overall pollution burden include
estimates of ambient PM2.5 and ozone
concentration, a score for traffic
proximity and volume, percentage of
pre-1960 housing units (lead paint
indicator), and scores for proximity to
Superfund sites, risk management plan
(RMP) sites, and hazardous waste
facilities.51 EJScreen also provides
information on demographic indicators,
including percent low-income,
communities of color, linguistic
isolation, and less than high school
education.
The EPA prepared EJScreen reports
covering buffer areas of approximately
6-mile radius around the facilities
selected by Iowa for further analysis.
For each facility, the EPA indicates in
the following statements whether there
48 The EJSCREEN tool is available at https://
www.epa.gov/ejscreen.
49 See https://www.census.gov/programssurveys/
geography/about/glossary.html.
50 In addition, EJSCREEN relies on the five-year
block group estimates from the U.S. Census
American Community Survey. The advantage of
using five-year over single-year estimates is
increased statistical reliability of the data (i.e.,
lower sampling error), particularly for small
geographic areas and population groups. For more
information, see https://www.census.gov/content/
dam/Census/library/publications/2020/acs/acs_
general_handbook_2020.pdf.
51 For additional information on environmental
indicators and proximity scores in EJSCREEN, see
‘‘EJSCREEN Environmental Justice Mapping and
Screening Tool: EJSCREEN Technical
Documentation,’’ Chapter 3 and appendix C
(September 2019) at https://www.epa.gov/sites/
default/files/2021-04/documents/ejscreen_
technical_document.pdf.
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is an environmental or socioeconomic
indicator for the selected source area
above the 80th percentile nationally.52
These indicators are displayed in the
table on page 3 of each report. The
report for Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center
showed environmental indicators
greater than the 80th national
percentiles superfund proximity and
RMP facility proximity. The report for
Louis Generating Station does not
include environmental or
socioeconomic indicators greater than
the 80th national percentiles. The full,
detailed EJScreen reports for the two
facilities selected by Iowa for further
analysis are provided in the docket for
this rulemaking for informational
purposes only.
This action is proposing to approve
Iowa’s second planning period regional
haze plan as meeting the requirements
of the CAA and the EPA’s RHR.
Exposure to PM and SO2 is associated
with significant public health effects.
Short-term exposures to SO2 can harm
the human respiratory system and make
breathing difficult. People with asthma,
particularly children, are sensitive to
these effects of SO2.53 Exposure to PM
can affect both the lungs and heart and
is associated with: premature death in
people with heart or lung disease,
nonfatal heart attacks, irregular
heartbeat, aggravated asthma, decreased
lung function, and increased respiratory
symptoms, such as irritation of the
airways, coughing or difficulty
breathing. People with heart or lung
diseases or conditions, children, and
older adults are the most likely to be
affected by PM exposure.54 We expect
that this action and resulting emissions
reductions will generally be neutral or
contribute to reduced environmental
and health impacts on all populations
near both Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center
and Louisa Generating Station. There is
nothing in the record which indicates
that this proposed action, if finalized,
would have disproportionately high or
adverse human health or environmental
effects on communities with
environmental justice concerns.
This action is proposing to approve
Iowa’s second planning period regional
haze plan as meeting the requirements
of the CAA and the EPA’s RHR.
52 For a place at the 80th percentile nationwide,
that means 20% of the U.S. population has a higher
value. EPA identified the 80th percentile filter as
an initial starting point for interpreting EJScreen
results. The use of an initial filter promotes
consistency for EPA programs and regions when
interpreting screening results.
53 See https://www.epa.gov/so2-pollution/
sulfurdioxide-basics#effects.
54 See https://www.epa.gov/pm-pollution/
healthand-environmental-effects-particulatematter-pm.
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However, as stated previously, the EPA
is not required to, but has provided the
information associated with the
environmental justice analysis for
informational purposes only. The
information provided herein does not
serve as a basis of the proposed action.
IX. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
CAA and applicable Federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions,
EPA’s role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely approves state law as meeting
Federal requirements and does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that
reason, this action:
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to review by the Office of
Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR
21879, April 11, 2023);
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997)
because it approves a state program;
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001); and
• Is not subject to requirements of
section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA.
Executive Order 12898 (Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994) directs Federal
agencies to identify and address
‘‘disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects’’
of their actions on minority populations
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 149 / Friday, August 2, 2024 / Proposed Rules
and low-income populations to the
greatest extent practicable and
permitted by law. EPA defines
environmental justice (EJ) as ‘‘the fair
treatment and meaningful involvement
of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect
to the development, implementation,
and enforcement of environmental laws,
regulations, and policies.’’ EPA further
defines the term fair treatment to mean
that ‘‘no group of people should bear a
disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’ The Iowa Department of
Natural Resources did not evaluate
environmental justice considerations as
part of its SIP submittal; the CAA and
applicable implementing regulations
neither prohibit nor require such an
evaluation. The EPA performed an
environmental justice analysis, as is
described above in the section titled,
‘‘Environmental Justice
Considerations.’’ The analysis was done
for the purpose of providing additional
context and information about this
rulemaking to the public, not as a basis
of the action. Due to the nature of the
action being taken here, this action is
expected to have a neutral to positive
impact on the air quality of the affected
area. In addition, there is no information
in the record upon which this decision
is based inconsistent with the stated
goal of E.O. 12898 of achieving
environmental justice for people of
color, low-income populations, and
Indigenous peoples.
In addition, this proposed rulemaking
action, pertaining to Iowa regional haze
SIP submission for the second planning
period, is not approved to apply on any
Indian reservation land or in any other
area where the EPA or an Indian tribe
has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian
country, the rule does not have Tribal
implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on Tribal
governments or preempt Tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: July 22, 2024.
Meghan A. McCollister,
Regional Administrator, Region 7.
Title 40, chapter I, of the Code of
Federal Regulations is proposed to be
amended as follows:
PART 52—APPROVAL AND
PROMULGATION OF
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart Q—Iowa
2. In § 52.820:
a. The table in paragraph (d) is
amended by adding the entries ‘‘(170)’’,
‘‘(171)’’, and ‘‘(172)’’ in numerical order.
■ b. The table in paragraph (e) is
amended by adding the entry ‘‘(56)’’ in
numerical order.
The additions read as follows:
■
■
§ 52.820
*
Identification of plan.
*
*
(d) * * *
*
*
EPA-APPROVED IOWA SOURCE-SPECIFIC ORDERS/PERMITS
Order/
permit No.
Name of source
State
effective
date
*
(170) MidAmerican Energy
Co.—Louisa Station.
*
05–A–031–P6
*
7/20/2023
(171) MidAmerican Energy
Co—Walter Scott Jr. Energy
Center.
(172) MidAmerican Energy
Company—Walter Scott, Jr.
Energy Center.
75–A–357–P9
7/20/2023
03–A–425–P4
12/5/2011
EPA approval date
Explanation
*
*
[Date of publication of the final rule in the Federal Register], [Federal Register citation of
the final rule].
[Date of publication of the final rule in the Federal Register], [Federal Register citation of
the final rule].
[Date of publication of the final rule in the Federal Register], [Federal Register citation of
the final rule].
*
*
Regional Haze Plan for the second implementation period; condition 11 of the permit is
not part of the SIP.
Regional Haze Plan for the second implementation period; condition 11 of the permit is
not part of the SIP.
Regional Haze Plan for the second implementation period; condition 6 of the permit is not
part of the SIP.
(e) * * *
EPA-APPROVED IOWA NONREGULATORY PROVISIONS
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Name of nonregulatory SIP provision
*
(56) Iowa Regional Haze Plan for the
Second Implementation Period.
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Applicable
geographic or
nonattainment
area
State
submittal
date
*
*
Statewide ........................
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8/15/2023
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EPA approval date
Explanation
*
*
[Date of publication of the final rule in
the Federal Register], [Federal
Register citation of the final rule].
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[EPA–R07–OAR–2024–0313; FRL–
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■
3. Revise § 52.842 to read as follows:
§ 52.842
Visibility protection.
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
(a) The requirements of section 169A
of the Clean Air Act are met because the
Regional Haze plan submitted by Iowa
on March 25, 2008, and supplemented
on May 14, 2019, includes fully
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approvable measures for meeting the
requirements of the Regional Haze Rule
including 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3) and (e)
with respect to emissions of NOX and
SO2 from electric generating units.
(b) The requirements of section 169A
of the Clean Air Act are met because the
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Regional Haze plan submitted by Iowa
on August 15, 2023, includes fully
approvable measures for meeting the
requirements of the Regional Haze Rule
in 40 CFR 51.308.
[FR Doc. 2024–16502 Filed 8–1–24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 149 (Friday, August 2, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 63258-63279]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-16502]
[[Page 63257]]
Vol. 89
Friday,
No. 149
August 2, 2024
Part II
Environmental Protection Agency
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40 CFR Part 52
Air Plan Approval; IA; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the
Second Implementation Period; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 149 / Friday, August 2, 2024 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 63258]]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R07-OAR-2024-0313; FRL-12096-01-R7]
Air Plan Approval; IA; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan
for the Second Implementation Period
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve the regional haze state implementation plan (SIP) revision
submitted by Iowa on August 15, 2023, as satisfying applicable
requirements under the Clean Air Act (CAA) and EPA's Regional Haze Rule
(RHR) for the program's second implementation period. Iowa's SIP
submission addresses the requirement that states must periodically
revise their long-term strategies for making reasonable progress
towards the national goal of preventing any future, and remedying any
existing, anthropogenic impairment of visibility, including regional
haze, in mandatory Class I Federal areas. The SIP submission also
addresses other applicable requirements for the second implementation
period of the regional haze program. The EPA is taking this action
pursuant to the CAA.
DATES: Written comments must be received on or before September 3,
2024.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R07-
OAR-2024-0313 at https://www.regulations.gov. For comments submitted at
Regulations.gov, follow the online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. For either manner of submission, the EPA may publish
any comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically
any information you consider to be confidential business information
(CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a
written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment
and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA
will generally not consider comments or comment contents located
outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other
file sharing system). For additional submission methods, please contact
the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
For the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or
multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective
comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Bethany Olson, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Region 7 Office, Air Permitting and Planning Branch,
11201 Renner Boulevard, Lenexa, Kansas 66219; telephone number: (913)
551-7905; email address: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document ``we,'' ``us,'' and
``our'' refer to the EPA.
Table of Contents
I. Written Comments
II. What is being addressed in this document?
III. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
IV. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan
Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
V. The EPA's Evaluation of Iowa's Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Iowa's First Implementation Period SIP
Submission
B. Iowa's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and the
EPA's Evaluation
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
a. Iowa's Source Selection and Four Factor Analysis
b. The EPA's Evaluation of Iowa's Emissions Reduction Measures
and Compliance With Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i)
c. Additional Long-Term Strategy Requirements
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan
Requirements
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
I. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
VI. What action is the EPA proposing?
VII. Incorporation by Reference
VIII. Environmental Justice Considerations
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Written Comments
Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R07-OAR-2024-
0313, at https://www.regulations.gov. Once submitted, comments cannot
be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any
comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be CBI or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio,
video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written
comment is considered the official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general guidance
on making effective comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
II. What is being addressed in this document?
On August 15, 2023, the Iowa Department of Natural Resources (IDNR)
submitted a plan to satisfy the regional haze program requirements
pursuant to CAA sections 169A and 40 CFR 51.308. The EPA is proposing
to approve Iowa's Regional Haze plan for the second planning period. As
required by section 169A of the CAA, the Federal RHR calls for state
and Federal agencies to work together to improve visibility in 156
national parks and wilderness areas. The rule requires the states, in
coordination with the EPA, the National Parks Service (NPS), the U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), the U.S. Forest Service (USFS), and
other interested parties, to develop and implement air quality
protection plans to reduce the pollution that causes visibility
impairment. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors (e.g., sulfur
dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia
(NH3)). As discussed in further detail below and in the
technical support document (TSD) included in this docket, the EPA is
proposing to find that Iowa has submitted a Regional Haze plan that
[[Page 63259]]
meets the Regional Haze requirements for the second planning period.
The State's submission can be found in the docket for this action.
III. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA amendments, Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation's mandatory Class I Federal areas,
which include certain national parks and wilderness areas.\1\ CAA
section 169A. The CAA establishes as a national goal the ``prevention
of any future, and the remedying of any existing, impairment of
visibility in mandatory class I Federal areas which impairment results
from manmade air pollution.'' CAA section 169A(a)(1). The CAA further
directs the EPA to promulgate regulations to assure reasonable progress
toward meeting this national goal. CAA section 169A(a)(4). On December
2, 1980, the EPA promulgated regulations to address visibility
impairment in mandatory Class I Federal areas (hereinafter referred to
as ``Class I areas'') that is ``reasonably attributable'' to a single
source or small group of sources. (45 FR 80084, December 2, 1980) These
regulations, codified at 40 CFR 51.300 through 51.307, represented the
first phase of the EPA's efforts to address visibility impairment. In
1990, Congress added section 169B to the CAA to further address
visibility impairment, specifically, impairment from regional haze. CAA
section 169B. The EPA promulgated the Regional Haze Rule (RHR),
codified at 40 CFR 51.308,\2\ on July 1, 1999. (64 FR 35714, July 1,
1999) These regional haze regulations are a central component of the
EPA's comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I areas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class I Federal
areas consist of national parks exceeding 6,000 acres, wilderness
areas and national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and all
international parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977. CAA
section 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas. The list of
areas to which the requirements of the visibility protection program
apply is in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.
\2\ In addition to the generally applicable regional haze
provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also promulgated regulations
specific to addressing regional haze visibility impairment in Class
I areas on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. The latter
regulations are applicable only for specific jurisdictions' regional
haze plans submitted no later than December 17, 2007, and thus are
not relevant here.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a
multitude of anthropogenic sources and activities which are located
across a broad geographic area and that emit pollutants that impair
visibility. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors (e.g., sulfur
dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia
(NH3)). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to
form fine particulate matter (PM2.5), which impairs
visibility by scattering and absorbing light. Visibility impairment
reduces the perception of clarity and color, as well as visible
distance.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ There are several ways to measure the amount of visibility
impairment, i.e., haze. One such measurement is the deciview, which
is the principal metric used by the RHR. Under many circumstances, a
change in one deciview will be perceived by the human eye to be the
same on both clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric extinction of
light, which is the perceived dimming of light due to its being
scattered and absorbed as it passes through the atmosphere.
Atmospheric light extinction (b\ext\) is a metric used for
expressing visibility and is measured in inverse megameters
(Mm-1). The EPA's Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (``2019
Guidance'') offers the flexibility for the use of light extinction
in certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use in
calculations than deciviews, since it is not a logarithmic function.
See, e.g., 2019 Guidance at 16, 19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period, The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for
the deciview is 10 ln (b\ext\)/10 Mm-1). 40 CFR 51.301.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To address regional haze visibility impairment, the 1999 RHR
established an iterative planning process that requires both states in
which Class I areas are located and states ``the emissions from which
may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment
of visibility'' in a Class I area to periodically submit SIP revisions
to address such impairment. CAA section 169A(b)(2); \4\ see also 40 CFR
51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates for iterative regional
haze SIP revisions) (64 FR 35768, July 1, 1999). Under the CAA, each
SIP submission must contain ``a long-term (ten to fifteen years)
strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the national
goal,'' CAA section 169A(b)(2)(B); the initial round of SIP submissions
also had to address the statutory requirement that certain older,
larger sources of visibility impairing pollutants install and operate
the best available retrofit technology (BART). CAA section
169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e). States' first regional haze SIPs
were due by December 17, 2007, 40 CFR 51.308(b), with subsequent SIP
submissions containing updated long-term strategies originally due July
31, 2018, and every ten years thereafter. (64 FR 35768, July 1, 1999)
The EPA established in the 1999 RHR that all states either have Class I
areas within their borders or ``contain sources whose emissions are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional haze in a Class I
area''; therefore, all states must submit regional haze SIPs.\5\ Id. at
35721.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ The RHR expresses the statutory requirement for states to
submit plans addressing out-of-state class I areas by providing that
states must address visibility impairment ``in each mandatory Class
I Federal area located outside the State that may be affected by
emissions from within the State.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d), (f).
\5\ In addition to each of the fifty states, the EPA also
concluded that the Virgin Islands and District of Columbia must also
submit regional haze SIPs because they either contain a Class I area
or contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40 CFR 51.300(b),
(d)(3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Much of the focus in the first implementation period of the
regional haze program, which ran from 2007 through 2018, was on
satisfying states' BART obligations. First implementation period SIPs
were additionally required to contain long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required elements for the first
implementation period SIPs (other than BART) are laid out in 40 CFR
51.308(d). Those provisions required that states containing Class I
areas establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that are measured in
deciviews and reflect the anticipated visibility conditions at the end
of the implementation period including from implementation of states'
long-term strategies. The first planning period RPGs were required to
provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days
over the period of the implementation plan and ensure no degradation in
visibility for the least impaired days over the same period. In
establishing the RPGs for any Class I area in a state, the state was
required to consider four statutory factors: the costs of compliance,
the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of
any potentially affected sources. CAA section 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1).
States were also required to calculate baseline (using the five
year period of 2000-2004) and natural visibility conditions (i.e.,
visibility conditions without anthropogenic visibility impairment) for
each Class I area, and to calculate the linear rate of progress needed
to attain natural visibility conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004 and ending with natural
conditions in
[[Page 63260]]
2064. This linear interpolation is known as the uniform rate of
progress (URP) and is used as a tracking metric to help states assess
the amount of progress they are making towards the national visibility
goal over time in each Class I area.\6\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B),
(d)(2). The 1999 RHR also provided that States' long-term strategies
must include the ``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance,
schedules, and other measures as necessary to achieve the reasonable
progress goals.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3). In establishing their long-term
strategies, states are required to consult with other states that also
contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area and include
all measures necessary to obtain their shares of the emission
reductions needed to meet the RPGs. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii).
Section 51.308(d) also contains seven additional factors states must
consider in formulating their long-term strategies, 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3)(v), as well as provisions governing monitoring and other
implementation plan requirements. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4). Finally, the
1999 RHR required states to submit periodic progress reports--SIP
revisions due every five years that contain information on states'
implementation of their regional haze plans and an assessment of
whether anything additional is needed to make reasonable progress, see
40 CFR 51.308(g), (h)--and to consult with the Federal Land Manager(s)
\7\ (FLMs) responsible for each Class I area according to the
requirements in CAA section 169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).
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\6\ The EPA established the URP framework in the 1999 RHR to
provide ``an equitable analytical approach'' to assessing the rate
of visibility improvement at Class I areas across the country. The
start point for the URP analysis is 2004 and the endpoint was
calculated based on the amount of visibility improvement that was
anticipated to result from implementation of existing CAA programs
over the period from the mid-1990s to approximately 2005. Assuming
this rate of progress would continue into the future, the EPA
determined that natural visibility conditions would be reached in 60
years, or 2064 (60 years from the baseline starting point of 2004).
However, the EPA did not establish 2064 as the year by which the
national goal must be reached. 64 FR 35731-32. That is, the URP and
the 2064 date are not enforceable targets but are rather tools that
``allow for analytical comparisons between the rate of progress that
would be achieved by the state's chosen set of control measures and
the URP.'' (82 FR 3078, 3084, January 10, 2017).
\7\ The EPA's regulations define ``Federal Land Manager'' as
``the Secretary of the department with authority over the Federal
Class I area (or the Secretary's designee) or, with respect to
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park, the Chairman of the
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park Commission.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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On January 10, 2017, the EPA promulgated revisions to the RHR, (82
FR 3078, January 10, 2017), that apply for the second and subsequent
implementation periods. The 2017 rulemaking made several changes to the
requirements for regional haze SIPs to clarify States' obligations and
streamline certain regional haze requirements. The revisions to the
regional haze program for the second and subsequent implementation
periods focused on the requirement that States' SIPs contain long-term
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national
visibility goal. The reasonable progress requirements as revised in the
2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the 2017 RHR Revisions) are
codified at 40 CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes, the 2017 RHR
Revisions adjusted the deadline for States to submit their second
implementation period SIPs from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021,
clarified the order of analysis and the relationship between RPGs and
the long-term strategy, and focused on making visibility improvements
on the days with the most anthropogenic visibility impairment, as
opposed to the days with the most visibility impairment overall. The
EPA also revised requirements of the visibility protection program
related to periodic progress reports and FLM consultation. The specific
requirements applicable to second implementation period regional haze
SIP submissions are addressed in detail below.
The EPA provided guidance to the states for their second
implementation period SIP submissions in the preamble to the 2017 RHR
Revisions as well as in subsequent, stand-alone guidance documents. In
August 2019, the EPA issued ``Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period'' (``2019
Guidance'').\8\ On July 8, 2021, the EPA issued a memorandum containing
``Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for
the Second Implementation Period'' (``2021 Clarifications Memo'').\9\
Additionally, the EPA further clarified the recommended procedures for
processing ambient visibility data and optionally adjusting the URP to
account for international anthropogenic and prescribed fire impacts in
two technical guidance documents: the December 2018 ``Technical
Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation
Period of the Regional Haze Program'' (``2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance''),\10\ and the June 2020 ``Recommendation for the Use of
Patched and Substituted Data and Clarification of Data Completeness for
Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second Implementation Period of
the Regional Haze Program'' and associated Technical Addendum (``2020
Data Completeness Memo'').\11\
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\8\ Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019).
\9\ Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation
Plans for the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
\10\ Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibility-progress-second-implementation-period-regional. The EPA Office of
Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park (December
20, 2018).
\11\ Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data
and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze
Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program. The EPA
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park
(June 3, 2020).
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As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends the
second implementation period of the regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility impairing pollutants that build on
the significant progress states have achieved to date. The Agency also
recognizes that analyses regarding reasonable progress are state-
specific and that, based on states' and sources' individual
circumstances, what constitutes reasonable reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants will vary from state-to-state. While there exist
many opportunities for states to leverage both ongoing and upcoming
emission reductions under other CAA programs, the Agency expects states
to undertake rigorous reasonable progress analyses that identify
further opportunities to advance the national visibility goal
consistent with the statutory and regulatory requirements. See
generally 2021 Clarifications Memo. This is consistent with Congress's
determination that a visibility protection program is needed in
addition to the CAA's National Ambient Air Quality Standards and
Prevention of Significant Deterioration programs, as further emission
reductions may be necessary to adequately protect visibility in Class I
areas throughout the country.\12\
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\12\ See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95-294 at 205 (``In determining how
to best remedy the growing visibility problem in these areas of
great scenic importance, the committee realizes that as a matter of
equity, the national ambient air quality standards cannot be revised
to adequately protect visibility in all areas of the country.''),
(``the mandatory class I increments of [the PSD program] do not
adequately protect visibility in class I areas'').
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[[Page 63261]]
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and pollution affecting visibility in
Class I areas can be transported over long distances, successful
implementation of the regional haze program requires long-term,
regional coordination among multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and the emissions that impact
visibility in those areas. To address regional haze, states need to
develop strategies in coordination with one another, considering the
effect of emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning organizations (RPOs),\13\ which include
representation from state and Tribal governments, the EPA, and FLMs,
were developed in the lead-up to the first implementation period to
address regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical information to better
understand how emissions from State and Tribal land impact Class I
areas across the country, pursue the development of regional strategies
to reduce emissions of particulate matter and other pollutants leading
to regional haze, and help states meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
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\13\ RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ``multi-
jurisdictional organizations,'' or MJOs. For the purposes of this
document, the terms RPO and MJO are synonymous.
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The Central Regional Air Planning Association (CenRAP), one of the
five RPOs described above, that Iowa was a member of during the first
planning period, was a collaborative effort of State governments,
Tribal governments, and Federal agencies established to initiate and
coordinate activities associated with the management of Regional Haze,
visibility, and other air quality issues in parts of Great Plains,
Midwest, Southwest, and South Regions of the United States.
After the first planning period SIPs were submitted, the CenRAP was
disbanded, and the relevant regulatory entities reorganized as the
Central States Air Resources Agencies (CenSARA). CenSARA is a
collaborative effort of State governments established to initiate and
coordinate activities associated with the management of Regional Haze
and other air quality issues in parts of the Great Plains, Midwest,
Southwest, and South Regions of the United States. Member States
include: Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Nebraska,
Oklahoma, and Texas. Unlike CenRAP, CenSARA's voting members are only
comprised of state agency representatives. However, CenSARA continues
to include interested Tribal and Federal partners on communications and
regular meetings. The Federal partners of CenSARA are the EPA, NPS,
FWS, and USFS.
Iowa also benefited from planning activities of the Lake Michigan
Air Directors Consortium (LADCO). Like CenSARA, LADCO is a
collaborative effort to improve air quality in the Great Lakes Region
of the United States. Though Iowa is not a member State of LADCO, Iowa
does impact LADCO State Class I Areas in Minnesota and Michigan, and
utilized resources available through LADCO for the second planning
period, as referenced throughout the submission.
IV. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and EPA's regulations, all 50 states, the District of
Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands are required to submit regional
haze SIPs satisfying the applicable requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional haze program by July 31, 2021.
Each state's SIP must contain a long-term strategy for making
reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal of remedying any
existing and preventing any future anthropogenic visibility impairment
in Class I areas. CAA section 169A(b)(2)(B). To this end, Sec.
51.308(f) lays out the process by which states determine what
constitutes their long-term strategies, with the order of the
requirements in Sec. 51.308(f)(1) through (3) generally mirroring the
order of the steps in the reasonable progress analysis \14\ and (f)(4)
through (6) containing additional, related requirements. Broadly
speaking, a state first must identify the Class I areas within the
state and determine the Class I areas outside the state in which
visibility may be affected by emissions from the state. These are the
Class I areas that must be addressed in the state's long-term strategy.
See 40 CFR 51.308(f) introductory text, (f)(2). For each Class I area
within its borders, a state must then calculate the baseline, current,
and natural visibility conditions for that area, as well as the
visibility improvement made to date and the URP. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1). Each state having a Class I area and/or emissions that
may affect visibility in a Class I area must then develop a long-term
strategy that includes the enforceable emission limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress in such areas. A reasonable progress determination is based on
applying the four factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) to sources of
visibility impairing pollutants that the state has selected to assess
for controls for the second implementation period. Additionally, as
further explained below, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately
provides five ``additional factors'' \15\ that states must consider in
developing their long-term strategies. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). A state
evaluates potential emission reduction measures for those selected
sources and determines which are necessary to make reasonable progress.
Those measures are then incorporated into the state's long-term
strategy. After a state has developed its long-term strategy, it then
establishes RPGs for each Class I area within its borders by modeling
the visibility impacts of all reasonable progress controls at the end
of the second implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as well as the
impacts of other requirements of the CAA. The RPGs include reasonable
progress controls not only for sources in the state in which the Class
I area is located, but also for sources in other states that contribute
to visibility impairment in that area. The RPGs are then compared to
the baseline visibility conditions and the URP to ensure that progress
is being made towards the statutory goal of preventing any future and
remedying any existing anthropogenic visibility impairment in Class I
areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) and (3).
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\14\ The EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that we were
adopting new regulatory language in 40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike
the structure in 51.308(d), ``tracked the actual planning
sequence.'' (82 FR 3091, January 10, 2017).
\15\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed in CAA
section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must
consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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In addition to satisfying the requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f)
related to reasonable progress, the regional haze SIP revisions for the
second implementation period must address the requirements in Sec.
51.308(g)(1) through (5) pertaining to periodic reports describing
progress towards the RPGs, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5), as well as requirements
for FLM consultation that apply to all visibility protection SIPs and
SIP revisions. 40 CFR 51.308(i).
A state must submit its regional haze SIP and subsequent SIP
revisions to the EPA according to the requirements applicable to all
SIP revisions under the CAA and EPA's regulations. See CAA
[[Page 63262]]
section 169A(b)(2); CAA section 110(a). Upon EPA approval, a SIP is
enforceable by the Agency and the public under the CAA. If EPA finds
that a state fails to make a required SIP revision, or if the EPA finds
that a state's SIP is incomplete or disapproves the SIP, the Agency
must promulgate a Federal implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies the
applicable requirements. CAA section 110(c)(1).
A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional haze SIP is for a state to
determine which Class I areas, in addition to those within its borders,
``may be affected'' by emissions from within the state. In the 1999
RHR, the EPA determined that all states contribute to visibility
impairment in at least one Class I area, 64 FR 35720-22, and explained
that the statute and regulations lay out an ``extremely low triggering
threshold'' for determining ``whether States should be required to
engage in air quality planning and analysis as a prerequisite to
determining the need for control of emissions from sources within their
State.'' Id. at 35721.
A state must determine which Class I areas must be addressed by its
SIP by evaluating the total emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants from all sources within the state. While the RHR does not
require this evaluation to be conducted in any particular manner, EPA's
2019 Guidance provides recommendations for how such an assessment might
be accomplished, including by, where appropriate, using the
determinations previously made for the first implementation period.
2019 Guidance at 8-9. In addition, the determination of which Class I
areas may be affected by a state's emissions is subject to the
requirement in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ``document the technical
basis, including modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions
information, on which the State is relying to determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress in
each mandatory Class I Federal area it affects.''
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP submission for the second
implementation period is providing for reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR contains requirements in Sec.
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility improvement over time. The
requirements of this section apply only to states having Class I areas
within their borders; the required calculations must be made for each
such Class I area. EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance \16\
provides recommendations to assist states in satisfying their
obligations under Sec. 51.308(f)(1); specifically, in developing
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
and in making optional adjustments to the URP to account for the
impacts of international anthropogenic emissions and prescribed fires.
See 82 FR 3103-05.
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\16\ The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance references and relies
on parts of the 2003 Tracking Guidance: ``Guidance for Tracking
Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule,'' which can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf.
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The RHR requires tracking of visibility conditions on two sets of
days: the clearest and the most impaired days. Visibility conditions
for both sets of days are expressed as the average deciview index for
the relevant five-year period (the period representing baseline or
current visibility conditions). The RHR provides that the relevant sets
of days for visibility tracking purposes are the 20% clearest (the 20%
of monitored days in a calendar year with the lowest values of the
deciview index) and 20% most impaired days (the 20% of monitored days
in a calendar year with the highest amounts of anthropogenic visibility
impairment).\17\ 40 CFR 51.301. A state must calculate visibility
conditions for both the 20% clearest and 20% most impaired days for the
baseline period of 2000-2004 and the most recent five-year period for
which visibility monitoring data are available (representing current
visibility conditions). 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii). States must also
calculate natural visibility conditions for the clearest and most
impaired days,\18\ by estimating the conditions that would exist on
those two sets of days absent anthropogenic visibility impairment. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii). Using all these data, states must then calculate,
for each Class I area, the amount of progress made since the baseline
period (2000-2004) and how much improvement is left to achieve to reach
natural visibility conditions.
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\17\ This document also refers to the 20% clearest and 20% most
anthropogenically impaired days as the ``clearest'' and ``most
impaired'' or ``most anthropogenically impaired'' days,
respectively.
\18\ The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an error
related to the requirement for calculating two sets of natural
conditions values. The rule says ``most impaired days or the
clearest days'' where it should say ``most impaired days and
clearest days.'' This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected in the final
rule language. This is supported by the preamble text at 82 FR 3098:
``In the final version of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of
``or'' has been corrected to ``and'' to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired days and the
clearest days must be based on available monitoring information.''
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Using the data for the set of most impaired days only, states must
plot a line between visibility conditions in the baseline period and
natural visibility conditions for each Class I area to determine the
URP--the amount of visibility improvement, measured in deciviews, that
would need to be achieved during each implementation period to achieve
natural visibility conditions by the end of 2064. The URP is used in
later steps of the reasonable progress analysis for informational
purposes and to provide a non-enforceable benchmark against which to
assess a Class I area's rate of visibility improvement.\19\
Additionally, in the 2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided states the
option of proposing to adjust the endpoint of the URP to account for
impacts of anthropogenic sources outside the United States and/or
impacts of certain types of wildland prescribed fires. These
adjustments, which must be approved by the EPA, are intended to avoid
any perception that states should compensate for impacts from
international anthropogenic sources and to give states the flexibility
to determine that limiting the use of wildland-prescribed fire is not
necessary for reasonable progress. 82 FR 3107 footnote 116.
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\19\ Being on or below the URP is not a ``safe harbor''; i.e.,
achieving the URP does not mean that a Class I area is making
``reasonable progress'' and does not relieve a state from using the
four statutory factors to determine what level of control is needed
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3093.
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EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance can be used to help satisfy
the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements, including in developing
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
and in making optional adjustments to the URP. In addition, the 2020
Data Completeness Memo provides recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in Sec. 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides
updated natural conditions estimates for each Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
The core component of a regional haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in each Class I area within a
state's borders and each Class I area that may be affected by emissions
from the state. The long-term strategy ``must include the enforceable
emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other
[[Page 63263]]
measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress, as determined
pursuant to (f)(2)(i) through (iv).'' 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). The amount
of progress that is ``reasonable progress'' is based on applying the
four statutory factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of
potential control options for sources of visibility impairing
pollutants, which is referred to as a ``four-factor'' analysis. The
outcome of that analysis is the emission reduction measures that a
particular source or group of sources needs to implement to make
reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. See 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i). Emission reduction measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress may be either new, additional control measures for
a source, or they may be the existing emission reduction measures that
a source is already implementing. See 2019 Guidance at 43; 2021
Clarifications Memo at 8-10. Such measures must be represented by
``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other
measures'' (i.e., any additional compliance tools) in a state's long-
term strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the requirements for the four-
factor analysis. The first step of this analysis entails selecting the
sources to be evaluated for emission reduction measures; to this end,
the RHR requires states to consider ``major and minor stationary
sources or groups of sources, mobile sources, and area sources'' of
visibility impairing pollutants for potential four-factor control
analysis. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). A threshold question at this step is
which visibility impairing pollutants will be analyzed. As EPA
previously explained, consistent with the first implementation period,
EPA generally expects that each state will analyze at least
SO2 and NOX in selecting sources and determining
control measures. See 2019 Guidance at 12, 2021 Clarifications Memo at
4. A state that chooses not to consider at least these two pollutants
should demonstrate why such consideration would be unreasonable. 2021
Clarifications Memo at 4.
While states have the option to analyze all sources, the 2019
Guidance explains that ``an analysis of control measures is not
required for every source in each implementation period,'' and that
``[s]electing a set of sources for analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . . consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that a
state may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in a
given SIP revision.'' 2019 Guidance at 9. However, given that source
selection is the basis of all subsequent control determinations, a
reasonable source selection process ``should be designed and conducted
to ensure that source selection results in a set of pollutants and
sources the evaluation of which has the potential to meaningfully
reduce their contributions to visibility impairment.'' 2021
Clarifications Memo at 3.
EPA explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo that each state has
an obligation to submit a long-term strategy that addresses the
regional haze visibility impairment that results from emissions from
within that state. Thus, source selection should focus on the in-state
contribution to visibility impairment and be designed to capture a
meaningful portion of the state's total contribution to visibility
impairment in Class I areas. A state should not decline to select its
largest in-state sources on the basis that there are even larger out-
of-state contributors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4.\20\
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\20\ Similarly, in responding to comments on the 2017 RHR
Revisions the EPA explained that ``[a] state should not fail to
address its many relatively low-impact sources merely because it
only has such sources and another state has even more low-impact
sources and/or some high impact sources.'' Responses to Comments on
Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State
Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016) at 87-88.
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Thus, while states have discretion to choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable, whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that
a state's SIP submission include ``a description of the criteria it
used to determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated.''
The technical basis for source selection, which may include methods for
quantifying potential visibility impacts such as emissions divided by
distance metrics, trajectory analyses, residence time analyses, and/or
photochemical modeling, must also be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a state has selected the set of sources, the next step is to
determine the emissions reduction measures for those sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress for the second implementation
period.\21\ This is accomplished by considering the four factors--``the
costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, and the energy
and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the
remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such
requirements.'' CAA section 169A(g)(1). The EPA has explained that the
four-factor analysis is an assessment of potential emission reduction
measures (i.e., control options) for sources; ``use of the terms
`compliance' and `subject to such requirements' in section 169A(g)(1)
strongly indicates that Congress intended the relevant determination to
be the requirements with which sources would have to comply to satisfy
the CAA's reasonable progress mandate.'' 82 FR 3091. Thus, for each
source it has selected for four-factor analysis,\22\ a state must
consider a ``meaningful set'' of technically feasible control options
for reducing emissions of visibility impairing pollutants. Id. at 3088.
The 2019 Guidance provides that ``[a] state must reasonably pick and
justify the measures that it will consider, recognizing that there is
no statutory or regulatory requirement to consider all technically
feasible measures or any particular measures. A range of technically
feasible measures available to reduce emissions would be one way to
justify a reasonable set.'' 2019 Guidance at 29.
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\21\ The CAA provides that, ``[i]n determining reasonable
progress there shall be taken into consideration'' the four
statutory factors. CAA section 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to
four-factor analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or
source categories, a state may also consider additional emission
reduction measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g.,
from other newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules and
measures for sources not selected for four-factor analysis for the
second planning period.
\22\ ``Each source'' or ``particular source'' is used here as
shorthand. While a source-specific analysis is one way of applying
the four factors, neither the statute nor the RHR requires states to
evaluate individual sources. Rather, states have ``the flexibility
to conduct four-factor analyses for specific sources, groups of
sources or even entire source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each state.'' 82 FR
3088. However, not all approaches to grouping sources for four-
factor analysis are necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of
grouping sources in any particular instance will depend on the
circumstances and the manner in which grouping is conducted. If it
is feasible to establish and enforce different requirements for
sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant factors can be
quantified for those sources or subgroups, then states should make a
separate reasonable progress determination for each source or
subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7-8.
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EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further guidance on what
constitutes a reasonable set of control options for consideration: ``A
reasonable four-factor analysis will consider the full range of
potentially reasonable options for reducing emissions.'' 2021
Clarifications Memo at 7. In addition to add-on controls and other
retrofits (i.e., new emissions reduction measures for sources), EPA
explained that states should generally analyze efficiency improvements
for sources' existing measures as control options in their four-factor
analyses, as in many cases
[[Page 63264]]
such improvements are reasonable given that they typically involve only
additional operation and maintenance costs. Additionally, the 2021
Clarifications Memo provides that states that have assumed a higher
emissions rate than a source has achieved or could potentially achieve
using its existing measures should also consider lower emissions rates
as potential control options. That is, a state should consider a
source's recent actual and projected emission rates to determine if it
could reasonably attain lower emission rates with its existing
measures. If so, the state should analyze the lower emission rate as a
control option for reducing emissions. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 7.
The EPA's recommendations to analyze potential efficiency improvements
and achievable lower emission rates apply to both sources that have
been selected for four-factor analysis and those that have forgone a
four-factor analysis on the basis of existing ``effective controls.''
See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 5, 10.
After identifying a reasonable set of potential control options for
the sources it has selected, a state then collects information on the
four factors with regard to each option identified. The EPA has also
explained that, in addition to the four statutory factors, states have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider visibility
benefits as an additional factor alongside the four statutory
factors.\23\ The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to characterize the four factors (with
or without visibility), as well as ways in which states might
reasonably consider and balance that information to determine which of
the potential control options is necessary to make reasonable progress.
See 2019 Guidance at 30-36. The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains
further guidance on how states can reasonably consider modeled
visibility impacts or benefits in the context of a four-factor
analysis. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 12-13, 14-15. Specifically, the
EPA explained that while visibility can reasonably be used when
comparing and choosing between multiple reasonable control options, it
should not be used to summarily reject controls that are reasonable
given the four statutory factors. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13.
Ultimately, while states have discretion to reasonably weigh the
factors and to determine what level of control is needed, Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(i) provides that a state ``must include in its
implementation plan a description of . . . how the four factors were
taken into consideration in selecting the measure for inclusion in its
long-term strategy.''
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\23\ See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection of
Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed
Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016) (December 2016), Docket Number EPA-
HQ-OAR-2015-0531, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019
Guidance at 36-37.
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As explained above, Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to
determine the emission reduction measures for sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four factors.
Pursuant to Sec. 51.308(f)(2), measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal must be
included in a state's long-term strategy and in its SIP.\24\ If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is a new, additional emission
reduction measure for a source, that new measure is necessary to make
reasonable progress towards remedying existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment and must be included in the SIP. If the outcome of a four-
factor analysis is that no new measures are reasonable for a source,
continued implementation of the source's existing measures is generally
necessary to prevent future emission increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second part of the national visibility
goal: preventing future anthropogenic visibility impairment. See CAA
section 169A(a)(1). That is, when the result of a four-factor analysis
is that no new measures are necessary to make reasonable progress, the
source's existing measures are generally necessary to make reasonable
progress and must be included in the SIP. However, there may be
circumstances in which a state can demonstrate that a source's existing
measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress. Specifically,
if a state can demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its
existing measures and will not increase its emissions rate, it may not
be necessary to have those measures in the long-term strategy to
prevent future emissions increases and future visibility impairment.
The EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further explanation and
guidance on how states may demonstrate that a source's existing
measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo at 8-10. If the state can make such a
demonstration, it need not include a source's existing measures in the
long-term strategy or its SIP.
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\24\ States may choose to, but are not required to, include
measures in their long-term strategies beyond just the emission
reduction measures that are necessary for reasonable progress. See
2021 Clarifications Memo at 16. For example, states with smoke
management programs may choose to submit their smoke management
plans to the EPA for inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to
do so. See, e.g., 82 FR 3108-09 (requirement to consider smoke
management practices and smoke management programs under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such practices or
programs into their SIPs, although they may elect to do so).
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As with source selection, the characterization of information on
each of the factors is also subject to the documentation requirement in
Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress analysis, including
source selection, information gathering, characterization of the four
statutory factors (and potentially visibility), balancing of the four
factors, and selection of the emission reduction measures that
represent reasonable progress, is a technically complex exercise, but
also a flexible one that provides states with bounded discretion to
design and implement approaches appropriate to their circumstances.
Given this flexibility, Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays an important
function in requiring a state to document the technical basis for its
decision making so that the public and the EPA can comprehend and
evaluate the information and analysis the state relied upon to
determine what emission reduction measures must be in place to make
reasonable progress. The technical documentation must include the
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information on
which the state relied to determine the measures necessary to make
reasonable progress. This documentation requirement can be met through
the provision of and reliance on technical analyses developed through a
regional planning process, so long as that process and its output has
been approved by all state participants. In addition to the explicit
regulatory requirement to document the technical basis of their
reasonable progress determinations, states are also subject to the
general principle that those determinations must be reasonably moored
to the statute.\25\ That is, a state's decisions about the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress must
be consistent with the statutory goal of remedying existing and
preventing future visibility impairment.
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\25\ See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 531
(9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA, 812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir.
2016); North Dakota v. EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013);
Oklahoma v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208-10 (10th Cir. 2013); cf.
also Nat'l Parks Conservation Ass'n v. EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d
Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep't of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S.
461, 485, 490 (2004).
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The four statutory factors (and potentially visibility) are used to
[[Page 63265]]
determine what emission reduction measures for selected sources must be
included in a state's long-term strategy for making reasonable
progress. Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately
provides five ``additional factors'' \26\ that states must consider in
developing their long-term strategies: (1) Emission reductions due to
ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to address
reasonably attributable visibility impairment; (2) measures to reduce
the impacts of construction activities; (3) source retirement and
replacement schedules; (4) basic smoke management practices for
prescribed fire used for agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point,
area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the
long-term strategy. The 2019 Guidance provides that a state may satisfy
this requirement by considering these additional factors in the process
of selecting sources for four-factor analysis, when performing that
analysis, or both, and that not every one of the additional factors
needs to be considered at the same stage of the process. See 2019
Guidance at 21. The EPA provided further guidance on the five
additional factors in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, explaining that a
state should generally not reject cost-effective and otherwise
reasonable controls merely because there have been emission reductions
since the first planning period owing to other ongoing air pollution
control programs or merely because visibility is otherwise projected to
improve at Class I areas. Additionally, states generally should not
rely on these additional factors to summarily assert that the state has
already made sufficient progress and, therefore, no sources need to be
selected or no new controls are needed regardless of the outcome of
four-factor analyses. 2021 Clarifications Memo at 13.
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\26\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed in CAA
section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must
consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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Because the air pollution that causes regional haze crosses state
boundaries, Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a state to consult with
other states that also have emissions that are reasonably anticipated
to contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each state that impacts visibility in an area
to share whatever technical information, analyses, and control
determinations may be necessary to develop coordinated emission
management strategies. This coordination may be managed through inter-
and intra-RPO consultation and the development of regional emissions
strategies; additional consultations between states outside of RPO
processes may also occur. If a state, pursuant to consultation, agrees
that certain measures (e.g., a certain emission limitation) are
necessary to make reasonable progress at a Class I area, it must
include those measures in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
Additionally, the RHR requires that states that contribute to
visibility impairment at the same Class I area consider the emission
reduction measures the other contributing states have identified as
being necessary to make reasonable progress for their own sources. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B). If a state has been asked to consider or adopt
certain emission reduction measures, but ultimately determines those
measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress, that state must
document in its SIP the actions taken to resolve the disagreement. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C). The EPA will consider the technical
information and explanations presented by the submitting state and the
state with which it disagrees when considering whether to approve the
state's SIP. See Id.; 2019 Guidance at 53. Under all circumstances, a
state must document in its SIP submission all substantive consultations
with other contributing states. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ``measure the progress that is projected
to be achieved by the control measures states have determined are
necessary to make reasonable progress based on a four-factor
analysis.'' 82 FR 3091. Their primary purpose is to assist the public
and the EPA in assessing the reasonableness of states' long-term
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national
visibility goal. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii) and (iv). States in which
Class I areas are located must establish two RPGs, both in deciviews--
one representing visibility conditions on the clearest days and one
representing visibility on the most anthropogenically impaired days--
for each area within their borders. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i). The two
RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts, on the two sets of
days, of the emission reduction measures the state with the Class I
area, as well as all other contributing states, have included in their
long-term strategies for the second implementation period.\27\ The RPGs
also account for the projected impacts of implementing other CAA
requirements, including non-SIP based requirements. Because RPGs are
the modeled result of the measures in states' long-term strategies (as
well as other measures required under the CAA), they cannot be
determined before states have conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 6.
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\27\ RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts of the
measures all contributing states include in their long-term
strategies. However, due to the timing of analyses, control
determinations by other states, and other on-going emissions
changes, a particular state's RPGs may not reflect all control
measures and emissions reductions that are expected to occur by the
end of the implementation period. The 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for addressing the timing of RPG calculations when
states are developing their long-term strategies on disparate
schedules, as well as for adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling
approach. 2019 Guidance at 47-48.
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For the second implementation period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not enforceable targets, 40 CFR
51.308(f)(3)(iii); rather, they ``provide a way for the states to check
the projected outcome of the [long-term strategy] against the goals for
visibility improvement.'' 2019 Guidance at 46. While states are not
legally obligated to achieve the visibility conditions described in
their RPGs, Sec. 51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that ``[t]he long-term
strategy and the reasonable progress goals must provide for an
improvement in visibility for the most impaired days since the baseline
period and ensure no degradation in visibility for the clearest days
since the baseline period.'' Thus, states are required to have emission
reduction measures in their long-term strategies that are projected to
achieve visibility conditions on the most impaired days that are better
than the baseline period and shows no degradation on the clearest days
compared to the clearest days from the baseline period. The baseline
period for the purpose of this comparison is the baseline visibility
condition--the annual average visibility condition for the period 2000-
2004. See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3097-98.
So that RPGs may also serve as a metric for assessing the amount of
progress a state is making towards the national visibility goal, the
RHR requires states with Class I areas to compare the 2028 RPG for the
most impaired days to the corresponding point on the URP line
(representing visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility
[[Page 63266]]
were to improve at a linear rate from conditions in the baseline period
of 2000-2004 to natural visibility conditions in 2064). If the most
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the URP (i.e., if visibility
conditions are improving more slowly than the rate described by the
URP), each state that contributes to visibility impairment in the Class
I area must demonstrate, based on the four-factor analysis required
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no additional emission reduction
measures would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy. 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii). To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires
that each state contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area
that is projected to improve more slowly than the URP provide ``a
robust demonstration, including documenting the criteria used to
determine which sources or groups [of] sources were evaluated and how
the four factors required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were taken into
consideration in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.'' The 2019 Guidance provides suggestions about how such a
``robust demonstration'' might be conducted. See 2019 Guidance at 50-
51.
The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and 2021 Clarifications Memo also
explain that projecting an RPG that is on or below the URP based on
only on-the-books and/or on-the-way control measures (i.e., control
measures already required or anticipated before the four-factor
analysis is conducted) is not a ``safe harbor'' from the CAA's and
RHR's requirement that all states must conduct a four-factor analysis
to determine what emission reduction measures constitute reasonable
progress. The URP is a planning metric used to gauge the amount of
progress made thus far and the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP is not based on consideration
of the four statutory factors and therefore cannot answer the question
of whether the amount of progress being made in any particular
implementation period is ``reasonable progress.'' See 82 FR 3093, 3099-
3100; 2019 Guidance at 22; 2021 Clarifications Memo at 15-16.
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to have certain strategies and
elements in place for assessing and reporting on visibility. Individual
requirements under this section apply either to states with Class I
areas within their borders, states with no Class I areas but that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment
in any Class I area, or both. A state with Class I areas within its
borders must submit with its SIP revision a monitoring strategy for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting regional haze visibility
impairment that is representative of all Class I areas within the
state. SIP revisions for such states must also provide for the
establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess visibility conditions in Class I areas, as well as reporting of
all visibility monitoring data to the EPA at least annually. Compliance
with the monitoring strategy requirement may be met through a state's
participation in the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual
Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring network, which is used to measure
visibility impairment caused by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) introductory
text and (f)(6)(i) and (iv). The IMPROVE monitoring data is used to
determine the 20% most anthropogenically impaired and 20% clearest sets
of days every year at each Class I area and tracks visibility
impairment over time.
All states' SIPs must provide for procedures by which monitoring
data and other information are used to determine the contribution of
emissions from within the state to regional haze visibility impairment
in affected Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii). Section
51.308(f)(6)(v) further requires that all states' SIPs provide for a
statewide inventory of emissions of pollutants that are reasonably
anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in any
Class I area; the inventory must include emissions for the most recent
year for which data are available and estimates of future projected
emissions. States must also include commitments to update their
inventories periodically. The inventories themselves do not need to be
included as elements in the SIP and are not subject to EPA review as
part of the Agency's evaluation of a SIP revision.\28\ All states' SIPs
must also provide for any other elements, including reporting,
recordkeeping, and other measures, that are necessary for states to
assess and report on visibility. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). Per the 2019
Guidance, a state may note in its regional haze SIP that its compliance
with the Air Emissions Reporting Rule (AERR) in 40 CFR part 51, subpart
A, satisfies the requirement to provide for an emissions inventory for
the most recent year for which data are available. To satisfy the
requirement to provide estimates of future projected emissions, a state
may explain in its SIP how projected emissions were developed for use
in establishing RPGs for its own and nearby Class I areas.\29\
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\28\ See ``Step 8: Additional requirements for regional haze
SIPs'' in 2019 Guidance at 55.
\29\ Id.
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Separate from the requirements related to monitoring for regional
haze purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the RHR also contains a
requirement at Sec. 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional monitoring
that may be needed to address visibility impairment in Class I areas
from a single source or a small group of sources. This is called
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment.'' \30\ Under this
provision, if the EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I area has
advised a state that additional monitoring is needed to assess
reasonably attributable visibility impairment, the state must include
in its SIP revision for the second implementation period an appropriate
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
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\30\ The EPA's visibility protection regulations define
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment'' as ``visibility
impairment that is caused by the emission of air pollutants from
one, or a small number of sources.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state's regional haze SIP revision
to address the requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through
(5) so that the plan revision due in 2021 will serve also as a progress
report addressing the period since submission of the progress report
for the first implementation period. The regional haze progress report
requirement is designed to inform the public and the EPA about a
state's implementation of its existing long-term strategy and whether
such implementation is in fact resulting in the expected visibility
improvement. See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016), (82 FR 3119, January
10, 2017). To this end, every state's SIP revision for the second
implementation period is required to describe the status of
implementation of all measures included in the state's long-term
strategy, including BART and reasonable progress emission reduction
measures from the first implementation period, and the resulting
emissions reductions. 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
A core component of the progress report requirements is an
assessment of changes in visibility conditions on the clearest and most
impaired days. For second implementation period progress reports, Sec.
51.308(g)(3) requires states with Class I areas within their borders
[[Page 63267]]
to first determine current visibility conditions for each area on the
most impaired and clearest days, 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i)(B), and then to
calculate the difference between those current conditions and baseline
(2000-2004) visibility conditions to assess progress made to date. See
40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii)(B). States must also assess the changes in
visibility impairment for the most impaired and clearest days since
they submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See
40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii)(B), (f)(5). Since different states submitted
their first implementation period progress reports at different times,
the starting point for this assessment will vary state by state.
Similarly, states must provide analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility impairment from all
sources and activities within the state over the period since they
submitted their first implementation period progress reports. See 40
CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5). Changes in emissions should be identified by
the type of source or activity. Section 51.308(g)(5) also addresses
changes in emissions since the period addressed by the previous
progress report and requires states' SIP revisions to include an
assessment of any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions within
or outside the state. This assessment must explain whether these
changes in emissions were anticipated and whether they have limited or
impeded progress in reducing emissions and improving visibility
relative to what the state projected based on its long-term strategy
for the first implementation period.
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that before a state holds a public
hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it must consult with
the appropriate FLM or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation, the state
must include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in
the notice to the public. Consistent with this statutory requirement,
the RHR also requires that states ``provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person and at a point early enough in
the State's policy analyses of its long-term strategy emission
reduction obligation so that information and recommendations provided
by the [FLM] can meaningfully inform the State's decisions on the long-
term strategy.'' 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). Consultation that occurs 120 days
prior to any public hearing or public comment opportunity will be
deemed ``early enough,'' but the RHR provides that in any event the
opportunity for consultation must be provided at least 60 days before a
public hearing or comment opportunity. This consultation must include
the opportunity for the FLMs to discuss their assessment of visibility
impairment in any Class I area and their recommendations on the
development and implementation of strategies to address such
impairment. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). For the EPA to evaluate whether FLM
consultation meeting the requirements of the RHR has occurred, the SIP
submission should include documentation of the timing and content of
such consultation. The SIP revision submitted to the EPA must also
describe how the state addressed any comments provided by the FLMs. 40
CFR 51.308(i)(3). Finally, a SIP revision must provide procedures for
continuing consultation between the state and FLMs regarding the
state's visibility protection program, including development and review
of SIP revisions, five-year progress reports, and the implementation of
other programs having the potential to contribute to impairment of
visibility in Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
V. The EPA's Evaluation of Iowa's Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Iowa's First Implementation Period SIP Submission
IDNR submitted its regional haze SIP for the first implementation
period to the EPA on March 25, 2008. Iowa relied on the Clean Air
Interstate Rule (CAIR) to satisfy BART requirements. In July 2008, the
CAIR rule was vacated by the District of Columbia Circuit Court.\31\ In
response on August 8, 2011, the EPA replaced CAIR with the Cross-State
Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR). On June 7, 2012, the EPA promulgated the
CSAPR better than BART rule, allowing states to rely on CSAPR to
satisfy BART requirements. In that same action, the EPA finalized the
limited disapproval of Iowa's regional haze SIP and imposed a Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) for Iowa to replace reliance on CAIR for BART
with reliance on CSAPR to satisfy BART requirements (77 FR 33642, June
7, 2012). On June 26, 2012, the EPA finalized a limited approval for
certain elements of Iowa's first implementation period regional haze
SIP submission (77 FR 38006, June 26, 2012). On May 14, 2019, Iowa
submitted a SIP revision to change their reliance on CAIR for BART to
relying on CSAPR for BART. The EPA fully approved Iowa's regional haze
SIP for the first implementation period on December 3, 2019 (84 FR
66075, December 3, 2019). The requirements for regional haze SIPs for
the first implementation period are contained in 40 CFR 51.308(d) and
(e). Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(g), Iowa was also responsible for
submitting a five-year progress report as a SIP revision for the first
implementation period, which it did on July 19, 2013. The EPA approved
the progress report into the Iowa SIP on August 15, 2016 (81 FR 53924,
August 15, 2016).
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\31\ North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir. 2008),
modified on rehearing, North Carolina v. EPA, 550 F.3d 1176, 1178
(D.C. Cir. 2008).
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B. Iowa's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission and the EPA's
Evaluation
In accordance with CAA section 169A and the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f), (g), and (i), on August 15, 2023, IDNR submitted a revision
to the Iowa SIP to address its regional haze obligations for the second
implementation period, which runs through 2028. Iowa made its 2023
Regional Haze SIP submission available for public comment from February
13, 2023, through March 16, 2023. The State held a public hearing for
the plan on March 16, 2023. IDNR received and responded to public
comments and included the comments and responses to those comments in
its submission.
The following sections describe Iowa's SIP submission. This
document also contains the EPA's evaluation of Iowa's submission
against the requirements of the CAA and RHR for the second
implementation period of the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA requires each state in which any
Class I area is located or ``the emissions from which may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility'' in
a Class I area to have a plan for making reasonable progress toward the
national visibility goal. The RHR implements this statutory requirement
at 40 CFR 51.308(f) introductory text, which provides that each state's
plan ``must address regional haze in each mandatory Class I Federal
area located within the State and in each mandatory Class I Federal
area located outside the State that may be affected by emissions from
within the State,'' and (f)(2), which requires each state's plan to
include a long-term strategy that addresses regional haze in such Class
I areas.
The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR preamble that the CAA section
169A(b)(2) requirement that states submit SIPs to address visibility
[[Page 63268]]
impairment establishes ``an `extremely low triggering threshold' in
determining which States should submit SIPs for regional haze.'' 64 FR
35721. In concluding that each of the contiguous 48 states and the
District of Columbia meet this threshold,\32\ the EPA relied on ``a
large body of evidence demonstrat[ing] that long-range transport of
fine PM contributes to regional haze,'' Id., including modeling studies
that ``preliminarily demonstrated that each State not having a Class I
area had emissions contributing to impairment in at least one downwind
Class I area.'' Id. at 35722. In addition to the technical evidence
supporting a conclusion that each state contributes to existing
visibility impairment, the EPA also explained that the second half of
the national visibility goal--preventing future visibility impairment--
requires having a framework in place to address future growth in
visibility impairing emissions and makes it inappropriate to
``establish criteria for excluding States or geographic areas from
consideration as potential contributors to regional haze visibility
impairment.'' Id. at 35721. Thus, the EPA concluded that the agency's
``statutory authority and the scientific evidence are sufficient to
require all States to develop regional haze SIPs to ensure the
prevention of any future impairment of visibility, and to conduct
further analyses to determine whether additional control measures are
needed to ensure reasonable progress in remedying existing impairment
in downwind Class I areas.'' Id. at 35722. The EPA's 2017 revisions to
the RHR did not disturb this conclusion. See 82 FR 3094.
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\32\ The EPA determined that ``there is more than sufficient
evidence to support our conclusion that emissions from each of the
48 contiguous states and the District of Columba may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in a
Class I area.'' 64 FR 35721. Hawaii, Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands must also submit regional haze SIPs because they contain
Class I areas.
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Iowa contains no Class I Areas. In Iowa's Regional Haze plan for
the first planning period, Iowa analyzed ten Class I areas: Boundary
Waters Canoe Area, Minnesota; Voyageurs National Park, Minnesota; Seney
Wilderness Area, Michigan; Isle Royale National Park, Michigan;
Hercules Glades Wilderness Area, Missouri; Mingo Wilderness Area,
Missouri; Caney Creek Wilderness, Arkansas; Upper Buffalo Wilderness,
Arkansas; Badlands National Park, South Dakota; and Wind Cave National
Park, South Dakota.\33\ In Iowa's Regional Haze plan for the second
planning period, Iowa analyzed potential contributions to visibility
impairment in twelve Class I areas: the ten Class I areas analyzed in
the first planning period, plus Mammoth Cave, Kentucky and Wichita
Mountains Wilderness Area, Oklahoma. To make this determination, Iowa
used photochemical source apportionment modeling completed by LADCO and
contained in appendix A-1 and appendix A-2 of the state submission. The
2021 LADCO analysis used Particulate Matter Source Apportionment
Technology (PSAT) results from the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with
extensions (CAMx) to track state contributions to downwind Class I
areas for the 2018 to 2028 Regional Haze planning period. Based on
LADCO's analysis using 2028 projected emissions, the State compiled
Iowa's modeled anthropogenic sulfate, nitrate, and primary particulate
(elemental carbon, primary organic aerosols, fine soil and course mass)
source contributions to visibility impairment in inverse megameters
(Mm-1) on the 20% most impaired days at each of the twelve
Class I areas in table 2-2 of the State submission. Iowa also included
the results as a percentage of the total modeled impact (excluding
Rayleigh and sea salt contributions) in table 2-3 of the State's plan.
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\33\ Iowa State Implementation Plan for Regional Haze--Final
March 2008.
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In Iowa's regional haze plan for the first planning period, Iowa
determined State emissions could contribute to visibility impairment in
four Class I areas: Isle Royale, Michigan; Seney, Michigan; Boundary
Waters Canoe Area, Minnesota; and Voyageurs, Minnesota. Based on the
LADCO CAMx PSAT results provided in table 2-3 of the State submission,
Iowa's projected 2028 anthropogenic contributions to visibility
impairment for each of those Class I areas ranges from 3 percent
(Voyageurs, Minnesota) to 3.9 percent (Isle Royale, Michigan). For
consistency with the SIP-approved regional haze plan from the first
period, Iowa determined it was reasonable to retain the same linkages
in the second planning period and to include any additional Class I
areas where State contributions were 3 percent or greater. Based on
that approach, the State added one additional linkage for the second
planning period to Hercules-Glades Wilderness Area, Missouri because
Iowa's contribution was 3.9 percent. The State contributions did not
exceed the 3 percent threshold for any of the other Class I areas
modeled by LADCO. Table 1 summarizes Iowa's modeled contributions to
the twelve Class I areas based on LADCO's 2028 CAMx PSAT analysis and
identifies the five Class I areas linked to Iowa's emissions in the
State's regional haze plan for the second implementation period using
the State's chosen 3% contribution threshold.
Table 1--Summary of Modeled Contributions on 20% Most Impaired Days From LADCO's 2028 CAMx PSAT Analysis and Determination of Class I Areas Linked to
Iowa's Emissions in 2nd Planning Period
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total modeled Iowa's modeled anthropogenic
extinction contributions * Class I areas
excluding -------------------------------- linked to Iowa's
State Class I area Rayleigh & Sea emissions in 2nd
Salt (Mm-\1\) Mm-\1\ % planning period
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arkansas....................................... Caney Creek...................... 42.95 0.59 1.4 ...................
Arkansas....................................... Upper Buffalo.................... 42.96 0.90 2.1 ...................
Kentucky....................................... Mammoth Cave..................... 62.89 1.81 2.9 ...................
Michigan....................................... Isle Royale...................... 36.36 1.42 3.9 X
Michigan....................................... Seney............................ 45.12 1.49 3.3 X
Minnesota...................................... Boundary Waters.................. 29.31 0.94 3.2 X
Minnesota...................................... Voyageurs........................ 28.74 0.87 3.0 X
Missouri....................................... Hercules-Glades.................. 48.13 1.86 3.9 X
Missouri....................................... Mingo............................ 57.35 1.34 2.3 ...................
Oklahoma....................................... Wichita Mountains................ 44.82 0.56 1.2 ...................
South Dakota................................... Badlands......................... 22.47 0.25 1.1 ...................
South Dakota................................... Wind Cave........................ 18.10 0.18 1.0 ...................
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The anthropogenic contributions account for sulfates, nitrates, and primary particulates.
[[Page 63269]]
We acknowledge that the 3 percent or greater State contribution
threshold used to determine whether Iowa emissions contribute to
visibility impairment at a particular Class I area may be higher than
what EPA believes is an ``extremely low triggering threshold'' intended
by the statute and regulations. However, we note that although Iowa did
not establish formal linkages to Class I areas other than Isle Royale,
Seney, Boundary Waters, Voyageurs, and Hercules-Glades, the State
evaluated source impacts on all twelve of the Class I areas listed in
table 1 in the source-selection process as discussed in section V.E.a.
of this document. Furthermore, Iowa consulted with other states and
FLMs regarding their long-term strategy for regional haze through
regional calls organized by CenSARA and LADCO. At the time of
submission, no other states requested additional emission reduction
measures or evaluation of other Class I areas. As discussed in further
detail below, the EPA is proposing to find that Iowa has submitted a
regional haze plan that meets the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)
related to the development of a long-term strategy. Thus, although the
3 percent contribution threshold used in this analysis may be higher
than intended by the statute and regulation, we propose to find that
Iowa appropriately evaluated its visibility impact at twelve out of
State Class I areas and has satisfied the applicable requirements for
making reasonable progress towards natural visibility conditions in
Class I areas that may be affected be emissions from the State.
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
Section 51.308(f)(1) requires states to determine the following for
``each mandatory Class I Federal area located within the State'':
baseline visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days,
natural visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days,
progress to date for the most impaired and clearest days, the
differences between current visibility conditions and natural
visibility conditions, and the URP. This section also provides the
option for states to propose adjustments to the URP line for a Class I
area to account for visibility impacts from anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or the impacts from wildland prescribed
fires that were conducted for certain, specified objectives. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
These requirements only apply to states with Class I areas. These
statutory requirements do not apply because Iowa does not have any
Class I areas.
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
a. Iowa's Source Selection and Four Factor Analysis
Each state having a Class I area within its borders or emissions
that may affect visibility in a Class I area must develop a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility
goal. CAA section 169A(b)(2)(B). As explained in the Background section
of this document, reasonable progress is achieved when all states
contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area are
implementing the measures determined--through application of the four
statutory factors to sources of visibility impairing pollutants--to be
necessary to make reasonable progress. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i). Each
state's long-term strategy must include the enforceable emission
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). All new
(i.e., additional) measures that are the outcome of four-factor
analyses are necessary to make reasonable progress and must be in the
long-term strategy. If the outcome of a four-factor analysis and other
measures necessary to make reasonable progress is that no new measures
are reasonable for a source, that source's existing measures are
necessary to make reasonable progress, unless the state can demonstrate
that the source will continue to implement those measures and will not
increase its emission rate. Existing measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress must also be in the long-term strategy. In
developing its long-term strategies, a state must also consider the
five additional factors in Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its
reasonable progress determinations, the state must describe the
criteria used to determine which sources or group of sources were
evaluated (i.e., subjected to four-factor analysis) for the second
implementation period and how the four factors were taken into
consideration in selecting the emission reduction measures for
inclusion in the long-term strategy. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
The following paragraphs summarize how Iowa's SIP submission
addressed the requirements of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i). The EPA's
evaluation of Iowa's SIP revision with regard to the same is contained
in the following section V.E.b. and in the technical support document
(TSD) in the docket for this action.
States may rely on technical information developed by the RPOs of
which they are members to select sources for four-factor analysis and
to conduct that analysis, as well as to satisfy the documentation
requirements under Sec. 51.308(f). Where an RPO has performed source
selection and/or four-factor analyses (or considered the five
additional factors in Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv)) for its member states,
those states may rely on the RPO's analyses for the purpose of
satisfying the requirements of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i) so long as the
states have a reasonable basis to do so and all state participants in
the RPO process have approved the technical analyses. 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii). States may also satisfy the requirement of Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(ii) to engage in interstate consultation with other states
that have emissions that are reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a given Class I area under the auspices of
intra- and inter-RPO engagement.
Iowa is a member of the CenSARA RPO. CenSARA and its contractor
provided member States with an area of influence (AOI) study for Class
I areas throughout and near the CenSARA region. The AOI study provided
by CenSARA is a technical analysis product to help assess source and
State-level contributions to visibility impairment and the need for
interstate consultation. Iowa relied upon the AOI study to conduct an
analysis of emission sources and select sources for a four-factor
analysis.
The cumulative sulfate and nitrate extinction weighted residence
time (EWRT) multiplied by Q/d (emissions divided by distance) analysis
was performed by a CenSARA contractor using 2016 actual emissions data
and 2028 emissions projections. It relied on a back-trajectory model
combined with air quality measurement data and emission inventories to
identify the geographic areas and emission sources with a high
probability of contributing to anthropogenically impaired visibility at
Class I areas within CenSARA and nearby states. For the EWRT multiplied
by Q/d analysis, back trajectory residence times were first calculated
by summing the amount of time trajectories reside in a specific
geographic area (e.g., modeling grid cell). The trajectory residence
times were then weighted by sulfate and nitrate extinction coefficients
to account for the varying contributions of sulfates and nitrates to
total light extinction. To determine the potential impact from sources
of SO2 and NOX emissions (precursors of
SO4
[[Page 63270]]
and NO3, respectively), the EWRT values for SO4
and NO3 were combined with emissions (Q) from sources of
SO2 and NOX, respectively. CenSARA States chose
to focus on electric generating units (EGU) and non-EGU point sources
since these sources comprise major fractions of the NOX and
SO2 emissions inventory. To incorporate the effects of
dispersion, deposition, and chemical transformation along the path of
the trajectories, emissions were inversely weighted by the distance (d)
between the centers of the grid cell emitting the emissions and the
grid cell containing the IMPROVE site. The AOI study and analysis tool
are included in appendix B and appendix C-1 of the State submission.
For its own analysis, IDNR decided to sum the sulfate and nitrate
contributions for each facility based on 2016 emissions. Rather than
evaluating all sources with an individual impact greater than a given
percentage, such as 1 percent, Iowa used the per-facility percentage
contributions (ranked from largest to smallest) for Iowa facilities, as
well as sources in other states, to compute a cumulative (rolling
total) percentage of the total visibility impairment for a Class I
area. The cumulative rankings for each of the 12 Class I areas
evaluated by IDNR is provided in appendix C-2 of the State submission.
Based on that analysis, Iowa decided to select sources for a four-
factor analysis based upon a cumulative percentage threshold of 50
percent, or all sources contributing to a majority of the combined
(sulfate plus nitrate) impacts in any Class I area. This approach of
focusing on cumulative sulfate and nitrate impacts among all sources at
each Class I area resulted in the selection of sources with fairly low
individual contributions to those Class I areas. This analysis resulted
in Iowa selecting two sources for four-factor analysis: Louisa
Generating Station (LGS) and Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center (WSEC). The
LGS and WSEC each contributed to a majority of the combined visibility
impacts at Isle Royale, even though their individual sulfate plus
nitrate impacts were 0.86% and 0.55%, respectively. No other Iowa
source contributed above the 50 percent threshold chosen by IDNR in any
other Class I area.
To support the development of emissions reduction measures, Iowa
gathered information on each of the four statutory factors for the two
sources identified. Both sources are coal-fired EGUs operated by
MidAmerican Energy Company. Source-specific data included explanations
of source characteristics, existing controls for SO2 and
NOX, unit-level emissions, projected boiler operations, and
the identification of technically feasible control options for
SO2 and NOX. In section 5 of Iowa's submittal,
the State explains the four-factor analyses performed by the
MidAmerican Energy Company for the two facilities. The analyses
evaluated the costs of control options, potential time frames for
compliance with control options, potential energy, and non-air quality
environmental impacts of certain control options, and how the remaining
useful lives of sources might be considered in a control analysis. The
state also considered the visibility impacts of control options as an
additional factor. Iowa's emission reduction measures were based on
these analyses and looked to either optimize the use of existing
controls or require the addition of new controls.
LGS has one boiler that is currently equipped with dry lime flue
gas desulfurization (FGD) system to reduce SO2 emissions and
low NOX burners (LNB) with overfire air (OFA) to reduce
NOX emissions. WSEC has two boilers, identified as Unit 3
(WSEC-3) and Unit 4 (WSEC-4). Both units are equipped with dry lime FGD
to reduce SO2 emissions and LNB with OFA to reduce
NOX. Unit 4 additionally includes a selective catalytic
reduction (SCR) system to further control NOX emissions.
Based on the analysis of technically feasible control options, Iowa
determined that WSEC-4 is currently equipped with all feasible control
options.
Four potential control options were identified for LGS and WSEC-3.
The two evaluated SO2 controls were operational improvements
to the existing dry FGD systems or replacement with new wet FGDs. The
two evaluated NOX controls included the addition of either
selective noncatalytic reduction (SNCR) or SCR systems.
The source evaluated the cost of each identified control option for
LGC and WSEC. The results for the SO2 control options are
shown in table 2 and the results of the NOX control options
are shown in table 3. The full cost control analysis was provided in
appendix D-1 of the State submission and is included in the docket for
this action.
Table 2--Cost of Evaluated SO2 Control Options
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Emission
Facility Control technology annualized reduction Effective
cost ($) (tons/year) cost ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LGS (Unit 101).......................... Improve Existing Dry FGD.. $1,102,000 3,903 $282
Wet FGD................... 42,122,000 4,722 8,920
WSEC-3.................................. Improve Existing Dry FGD.. 1,248,000 5,785 216
Wet FGD................... 41,163,000 6,687 6,160
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 3--Cost of Evaluated NOX Control Options
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Emission
Facility Control technology annualized reduction Effective
cost ($) (tons/year) cost ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LGS (Unit 101).......................... SNCR...................... $3,621,000 566 $6,398
SCR....................... 24,271,942 2,739 8,862
WSEC-3.................................. SNCR...................... 4,240,300 755 5,616
SCR....................... 24,771,688 3,849 6,436
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 63271]]
MidAmerican evaluated the time necessary for compliance for each
potential control option for the two sources. MidAmerican estimated
that improvements to the existing dry FGD systems at both LGC and WSEC-
3 could be implemented within approximately six months. The company
estimated that the time needed to install and implement new wet FGD
systems would be approximately five years. The company estimated SNCR
could be implemented within three years and SCR could be implemented
within five years. Iowa determined these timeframes were appropriate
for considering the time necessary for compliance, but this factor was
not used to eliminate any potential control options.
In the State submission, Iowa characterized the information
provided by MidAmerican on the statutory factors of energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts and the remaining useful life of the
sources consistent with 2019 Guidance. MidAmerican evaluated energy and
non-air quality environmental impacts for each technically feasible
control option but this factor was not used to eliminate any potential
control options. The remaining useful life of the two sources was also
evaluated but was not a determining factor in selecting control
measures because operation of these units is not limited. In completing
the control cost analysis, the company considered the useful life of
the control systems.
Iowa also evaluated the visibility impacts of control measures as a
fifth factor and presented this analysis in section 5.8 of the State's
submission. As explained in section IV.C. of this proposed rule, states
have flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider
visibility benefits as an optional additional factor alongside the four
statutory factors. The 2019 Guidance and the 2021 Clarification Memo
provide recommendations and guidance on how states can consider modeled
visibility impacts or benefits in the context of a four-factor
analysis. For its analysis, Iowa calculated a ratio of sulfate impacts
relative to nitrate impacts from LGS and WSEC on the 20% most impaired
days at the five linked Class I areas. Iowa first quantified the
State's predicted anthropogenic sulfate and nitrate contributions to
the 20% most impaired days at each of the Class I areas based on
LADCO's 2028 CAMx PSAT modeling results. The results are presented as
extinction values in Mm-1 and percent of total modeled visibility
impairment in tables 5-7 and 5-8 of the State's submission. Iowa then
chose the maximum predicted sulfate and nitrate contributions
attributed to the State's anthropogenic emissions among the five linked
Class I areas (Isle Royale, Seney, Boundary Waters, Voyageurs, and
Hercules-Glades). The maximum sulfate impact is 1.000 Mm-1 at Hercules-
Glades, and the maximum nitrate impact is 0.798 Mm-1 at Seney. The
maximum sulfate and nitrate extinction values were then apportioned to
LGS and WSEC based on the 2028 projected anthropogenic emissions
inventory for Iowa, which is summarized in table 5-9 and Figure 5-4 of
the State's submission. EGUs are projected to emit 78.8% and 22.2% of
Iowa's 2028 SO2 and NOX emissions,
respectively.\34\ To calculate factors for apportioning sulfate and
nitrate contributions to LGS and WSEC, Iowa assumed that LGS and WSEC
emit the entirety of the State's projected 2028 EGU SO2 and
NOX emissions totals. For each pollutant, the percentage of
statewide EGU emissions was multiplied by the ratio of each facility's
emissions to the sum of LGS and WSEC emissions.\35\ The resulting
factors were then multiplied by the statewide maximum sulfate and
nitrate impact values. LGS's estimated sulfate contribution is 0.285
Mm-1 and its nitrate contribution is 0.064 Mm-1. The corresponding
sulfate and nitrate impacts for WSEC are 0.503 Mm-1 and 0.133 Mm-1,
respectively. For both LGS and WSEC, Iowa's analysis indicates that
sulfate impacts are estimated to be 4.4 times the nitrate impacts.
Table 4 summarizes Iowa's calculations and the resulting estimated
sulfate and nitrate impacts from LGS and WSEC.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\34\ Based on LADCO's 2028 emissions projections as summarized
in table 5-9 of Iowa's regional haze plan submission, Iowa EGUs are
projected to emit 28,002 tons/year of the total statewide
SO2 emissions of 35,538 tons/year. For NOX,
Iowa EGUs are projected to emit 21,442 tons/year of the state's
total 96,398 tons/year.
\35\ For example, the SO2 apportionment for LGS is
calculated as follows: 78.8% * (5,605/(5,605 + 9,897)) = 28.5%. The
NOX apportionment for LGS is: 22.2% * (3,403/(3,403 +
6,025)) = 8.0%.
Table 4--Estimated Sulfate and Nitrate Impacts Attributed to LGS and WSEC on the 20% Most Impaired Days at Iowa's Five Linked Class I Areas
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2028 Projected emissions Apportionment factor Ratio
---------------------------------------------------- Sulfate Nitrate (sulfate/
Facility SO2 (tpy) NOX (tpy) impact (Mm- impact (Mm- nitrate
SO2 (%) NOX (%) 1) 1) impact)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LGS.......................................................... 5,605 3,403 28.5 8.0 0.285 0.064 4.4
WSEC......................................................... 9,897 6,025 50.3 14.2 0.503 0.113 4.4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based upon the four-factor analysis for LGS and WSEC, Iowa
determined that implementing operational improvements to the existing
dry FGD systems at LGS and WSEC-3 were necessary to make reasonable
progress. The cost effectiveness of this control option at LGS is less
than $300 per ton and results in an estimated reduction of actual
SO2 emissions by 3,903 tons per year from this source. The
cost effectiveness of this control option at WSEC is less than $300 per
ton and results in an estimated reduction of actual SO2
emissions by 5,785 tons per year from this source. The state determined
the new wet FGD systems were not considered reasonable due to the cost
and estimated incremental decrease in SO2 emissions being
relatively small compared to improvements to the existing dry FGD
systems (less than 14 percent versus baseline emissions at LGS and less
than 11 percent versus baseline emissions at WSEC-3).\36\ Iowa decided
not to require the addition of SNCR or SCR control systems to further
control NOX emissions at either facility at this time due to
the estimated cost effectiveness of both options exceeding $5,000 per
ton and the lower visibility benefits than compared to SO2
controls.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\36\ See table 5.5 of the State submission, included in the
docket for this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based on the conclusions from the four-factor analysis, Iowa
modified the air construction permits for the main
[[Page 63272]]
boiler at LGS and WSEC-3 to implement operational improvements to the
existing dry FGD systems. The permits include new SO2
emissions limits and compliance schedules. The new SO2
emission limit for the main boiler at LGS is 800 lb/hr based on a 30-
day rolling average. The new SO2 emission limit for WSEC-3
is 770 lb/hr based on a 30-day rolling average. Iowa issued both
permits on July 20, 2023, with compliance dates of December 31, 2023.
Iowa determined that WSEC-4 is currently equipped with all feasible
control options. The current permit restricts WSEC-4 to an enforceable
best available control technology (BACT) SO2 emission limit
of 0.1 lb/MMBtu and a NOX emission limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu.
To establish permanent emission limits for its long-term strategy for
regional haze, Iowa submitted the air construction permits for LGS,
WSEC-3, and WSEC-4 for incorporation into the SIP in 40 CFR 52.820(d),
EPA approved state source-specific requirements. The State's SIP
submission requested that the EPA not act on Condition 11 of the
permits for LGS and WSEC-3 nor Condition 6 of the permit for WSEC-4,
and accordingly those conditions are not included in this action. The
full permits are included in appendix E of the State submission in the
docket for this action.
b. The EPA's Evaluation of Iowa's Emissions Reduction Measures and
Compliance With Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i)
The EPA is proposing to find that Iowa has satisfied the
requirements of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(i) related to evaluating sources and
determining the emission reduction measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress by considering the four statutory factors. We are
proposing to find that Iowa reasonably evaluated the two pollutants--
SO2 and NOX--that currently drive visibility
impairment within the linked Class I areas and that it adequately
explained and supported its decision to focus on these two pollutants
through its technical analyses included in the state submission.\37\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\37\ See section 3.3 of the State submission, included in the
docket for this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to evaluate and determine
the emission reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress by applying the four statutory factors to sources in a control
analysis. The State must include in its implementation plan a
description of the criteria it used to determine which sources or
groups of sources it evaluated and how the four factors were taken into
consideration in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term
strategy. As explained above, Iowa relied on the cumulative sulfate and
nitrate emissions weighted residence time (EWRT) multiplied by Q/d
(emissions divided by distance) analysis performed by a CenSARA
contractor to compute a cumulative percentage of the total visibility
impairment from major sources for each Class I area. Iowa used the per-
facility percentage contributions (ranked from largest to smallest) to
compute a cumulative (rolling total) percentage of the total visibility
impairment to each Class I area. Iowa selected sources for four-factor
analysis based upon a cumulative impact threshold of 50 percent in any
Class I area. Based on this analysis, Iowa selected two sources: Louisa
Generating Station and Walter Scott Jr. Generating Station.
Pursuant to the RHR, states must consider selecting sources
identified by other states or by FLMs. A state receiving a request to
select a particular source(s) should either perform a four-factor
analysis on the source(s) or provide a well-reasoned explanation as to
why it is choosing not to do so. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 4. No
other states identified additional sources for evaluation. During
initial consultations with FLMs, Iowa received recommendations from
FLMs to evaluate several sources. The U.S. Forest Service identified
three sources based on its review of emission rate data (lb/MMBtu) and
results from a LADCO Q/d analysis: University of Northern Iowa,
Burlington Generating Station, and Muscatine Power and Water, Unit 8.
The National Park Service identified eleven Iowa sources using a Q/
d(SO2 + NOX) threshold of 1.2 based on 2017
National Emissions Inventory (NEI) emissions data for the non-EGUs and
2019 Clean Air Markets Division (CAMD) data for EGUs: Walter Scott Jr.
Energy Center (EGU), Louisa Generating Station (EGU), George Neal North
(EGU), George Neal South (EGU), Burlington Generating Station (EGU),
Muscatine Power and Water (EGU), Ottumwa Generating Station (EGU), ADM
Corn Processing--Cedar Rapids (non-EGU), Continental Cement Company--
Davenport (non-EGU), Natural Gas Pipeline Co. Of America--Station 107
(non-EGU), and Northern Natural Gas Co.--Ogden (non-EGU). However, Iowa
chose to rely on a different source selection methodology based on
CenSARA's AOI analysis, as explained above and in the State submission.
While Iowa did not select additional sources identified by FLMs for
four-factor analysis, it provided supplemental information supporting
its decision to use CenSARA's AOI analysis because it resulted in more
technical data.
During the formal FLM consultation and public comment period, Iowa
received several comments to broaden its source selection criteria by
using a higher percent contribution threshold and expand its source
selection to include two additional sources in Iowa: George Neal North
and George Neal South. As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo,
states have the discretion to choose any source selection threshold or
methodology that is reasonable, as long as whatever choices states make
are reasonably explained and produce a reasonable outcome. 2021 Memo at
3. Iowa described its source selection criteria in the state submission
and selected all sources that met the source selection threshold. In
this case, the 50 percent cumulative impact threshold identified two
sources in Iowa. We note that Iowa selected its two largest EGUs for
four-factor analysis and that the evaluation of these sources had the
potential to meaningfully reduce their contributions to visibility
impairment. Furthermore, the 2019 Guidance explains that the Regional
Haze Rule ``sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that
a state may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in
a given SIP revision.'' 2019 Guidance at 9. Thus, although the source
selection threshold resulted in two sources being evaluated, Iowa
reasonably chose factors to consider when selecting sources and applied
these factors in a reasonable way. Therefore, we propose to find Iowa's
source selection methodology and the sources selected for further
analysis to be reasonable for the second planning period.
As detailed above, Iowa included four-factor analyses performed by
MidAmerican Energy Company for each of the two sources selected for
further analysis. The state chose to evaluate visibility benefits of
control measures along with the four statutory factors and described
how each of the factors were considered in the SIP submission. In
considering whether compliance costs for sources were reasonable, Iowa
evaluated the cost estimates for each technically feasible control
option for both SO2 and NOX completed by
MidAmerican.
Based on the EPA's review, we find that Iowa's control cost
analysis was both reasonable and consistent with the EPA Air Pollution
Control Cost
[[Page 63273]]
Manual.\38\ The State submission included details on the consideration
of the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of
any potentially affected sources. EPA finds the consideration of these
statutory factors was reasonable and consistent with the 2019 Guidance
and 2021 Clarifications Memo. The EPA further reviews the control cost
analyses in the TSD contained in the docket for this rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\38\ EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual, https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-reports-and-guidance-air-pollution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Iowa also included a visibility benefits analysis that estimated
sulfate impacts relative to nitrate impacts from LGS and WSEC on the
20% most impaired days at the five linked Class I areas, as described
in section V.E.a. of this document. Based on that analysis, the State
estimated that sulfate impacts to visibility in the linked Class I
areas are 4.4 times greater than nitrate impacts for both LGS and WSEC.
While visibility is not an explicitly listed factor to consider when
determining whether additional controls are reasonable, the purpose of
the four-factor analysis is to determine what degree of progress toward
natural visibility conditions is reasonable. Therefore, the EPA has
interpreted the CAA and the RHR as allowing states to consider
visibility alongside the four statutory factors when comparing multiple
emission reduction control options that may be necessary to make
reasonable progress. See 2021 Clarifications Memo at 12. We find that
Iowa's consideration of visibility improvements was reasonable and
consistent with the requirements of the CAA.
The State determined that operational improvements to the existing
FGD systems at both LGS and WSEC-3 were the most cost-effective control
option and showed reducing SO2 emissions increased
visibility benefits in several Class I areas. Iowa stated that these
emission reduction measures will reduce actual SO2 emissions
by an estimated 9,688 tons per year. The State determined that WSEC-4
is currently equipped with all feasible control options and that the
existing measures are necessary to reasonable progress. Iowa submitted
the air construction permits for LGS, WSEC-3, and WSEC-4 for inclusion
in its long-term strategy. The permits are included in appendix E of
the State submission in the docket for this action. Section
51.308(f)(2) of the RHR requires that emission reduction measures must
be represented by ``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures'' (i.e., any additional compliance tools)
in a state's long-term strategy in its SIP. 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2). The
permits for LGS and WSEC-3 include limits in lb/hour, with compliance
determined on thirty-day rolling averages through the use of Continuous
Emission Monitors (CEMs) to the EPA standards, necessary recordkeeping
and reporting requirements, and cover all times of operation. The new
limits are: 800 lb/hr for MidAmerican Energy Co.--Louisa Station Unit
EU1, Louisa Boiler, and 770 lb/hr for MidAmerican Energy Co.--Walter
Scott Jr. Energy Center, Unit 003, Boiler #3. WSEC-4 was subject to the
prevention of significant deterioration (PSD) preconstruction
permitting for SO2 and NOX emissions in 2003. As
part of the PSD review process, BACT was required for SO2
and NOX controls. The air construction permit includes a
BACT SO2 emission limit of 0.1 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average) and an annual emission restriction of 3,362 tons per rolling
12-month period. The BACT emission limit for NOX is 0.07 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average) and an annual emission restriction of
2,353 tons per rolling 12-month period. Compliance with SO2
and NOX BACT limits is demonstrated using continuous
emissions monitoring systems (CEMS). The EPA finds the air quality
construction permits, submitted by Iowa to serve as the enforceable
mechanism of the long-term strategy, meet the requirements of Sec.
51.308(f)(2) to include enforceable emissions limitations. We propose
to find Iowa's four-factor analysis and emission reduction measures to
be reasonable for the second planning period.
In sum, the EPA proposes to find that Iowa has satisfied the
requirements that states determine the emission reduction measures that
are necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four
factors, and that its long-term strategy includes the enforceable
emission limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures
necessary to make reasonable progress.
c. Additional Long-Term Strategy Requirements
The consultation requirements of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(ii) provides
that states must consult with other states that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area to
develop coordinate emission management strategies containing the
emission reductions measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require states to
consider the emission reduction measures identified by other states as
necessary for reasonable progress and to include agreed upon measures
in their SIPs, respectively. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speaks to what
happens if states cannot agree on what measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress.
Iowa included documentation of its consultation with RPOs and
individual states in its SIP submission. Specifically, Iowa consulted
with three states containing the five Class I Areas that Iowa sources
were expected to impact: Minnesota, Michigan, and Missouri.
Documentation of consultation with each state is contained in appendix
H to the State submittal. In addition, Iowa consulted with CenSARA and
LADCO through its participation in regular planning calls each RPO.
Iowa did not receive any requests from other states nor did it
encounter any disagreements. We propose to determine that Iowa has
satisfied the consultation requirements of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(ii).
The documentation requirement of Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iii) provides
that states may meet their obligations to document the technical bases
on which they are relying to determine the emission reductions measures
that are necessary to make reasonable progress through an RPO, as long
as the process has been ``approved by all State participants.''
Section 51.308(f)(2)(iii) also requires that the emissions
information considered to determine the measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress include information on emissions for the most
recent year for which the state has submitted triennial emissions data
to the EPA (or a more recent year), with a 12-month exemption period
for newly submitted data. Iowa's SIP submission included in section 7
emissions information by sector and pollutant from LADCO's 2016
modeling inventory and from the 2017 NEI. The state analysis included
data from the 2016 base year and 2028 modeled emissions inventories for
NOX, SO2, PM2.5, VOCs, and
NH3. The State's four factor analysis relied on emission
data from 2009-2021. The State also included emission data from 2009-
2021 for Iowa EGUs. Based on Iowa's consideration of the emission data
in their SIP submittal, the EPA proposes to find that Iowa has
satisfied the emissions information requirement in Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(iii).
We also propose to find that Iowa reasonably considered the five
additional factors in Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv) in
[[Page 63274]]
developing its long-term strategy. Pursuant to Sec.
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(A), Iowa noted that existing and ongoing state and
Federal emission control programs that contribute to emission
reductions through 2028 would impact emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants from point and nonpoint sources in the second implementation
period. Iowa included in its SIP submission details of control measures
with their effective dates and pollutants addressed.
Iowa's consideration of measures to mitigate the impacts of
construction activities as required by Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(B) is
included in section 6.2.2. of its SIP submission. Iowa described the
minor NSR permit requirements for aggregate processing plants, concrete
batch plants, and asphalt plants and its rules to reduce fugitive dust
emissions from beyond the property line.\39\ Iowa noted that
construction activities are unlikely to contribute to visibility
impairment in Class I areas due to the extensive transport distances in
combination with relatively low emissions and release heights for
construction activities.
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\39\ 567 IAC 23.3(2)``c.''
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Pursuant to Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(C), source retirements and
replacement schedules are addressed in section 6.2.3 of Iowa's
submission. The LADCO modeling used by Iowa considered known source
retirements and replacements in developing the 2028 emission
projections. The Iowa EGU source retirements, refuelings, or
replacements that occurred during or after the 2016 base year are
identified in table 6-4 of the State submission.\40\
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\40\ See table 6-4 of the Iowa Regional Haze SIP--Final August
2023.
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Iowa's consideration of smoke management as required in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv)(D) is included in section 6.2.4. of the SIP
submission. Iowa explained that source apportionment modeling conducted
by Central Regional Air Planning Association (CENRAP) for the first
implementation period demonstrated that fires in Iowa do not
significantly contribute to visibility in Class I areas. Iowa
determined that conclusion is still valid since Iowa's total prescribed
fire and agricultural fire emissions represent less than one percent of
the U.S. totals in the 2017 NEI, as shown in tables 6-5 and 6-6 of the
State submission.
Iowa considered the anticipated net effect of projected changes in
emissions as required by Sec. 51.308(f)(2)(iv)(E) by discussing, in
section 8 of its submission, the photochemical modeling for the 2018-
2028 period it conducted by LADCO. Table 8-1 of the State submission
summarizes the visibility improvements in linked Class I areas. The
results show improvements of 0.71 to 1.24 deciviews on the 20 percent
most impaired days and no visibility degredation on the clearest days.
Iowa explained the results are conservative because they do not
incorporate the scrubber improvements from its long term strategy
(LTS), which will further improve visibility.
Because Iowa has reasonably considered each of the five additional
factors the EPA proposes to find that Iowa has satisfied the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iv).
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(3) contains the requirements pertaining to RPGs
for each Class I area. This provision does not apply to Iowa because it
does not have a Class I Area. Section 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) requires that
if a state contains sources that are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area in another state,
and the RPG for the most impaired days in that Class I area is above
the URP, the upwind state must provide the same demonstration. This
provision does not apply because the states with Class I areas that are
affected by Iowa sources did not submit any RPGs that are above the
URP.
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) specifies that each comprehensive revision of
a state's regional haze SIP must contain or provide for certain
elements, including monitoring strategies, emissions inventories, and
any reporting, recordkeeping and other measures needed to assess and
report on visibility. A main requirement of this subsection is for
states with Class I areas to submit monitoring strategies for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting on visibility impairment.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(ii) requires SIPs to provide for procedures by
which monitoring data and other information are used in determining the
contribution of emissions from within the state to regional haze
visibility impairment at mandatory Class I Federal areas both within
and outside the state. As noted previously, most regulatory
requirements in Sec. 51.308(f)(6) do not apply to states without Class
I Areas.
However, Sec. 51.308(f)(6)(iii) and (v) apply to all states that
have emissions that contribute to a Class I Area, including Iowa.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(iii) requires SIPs to provide procedures by which
monitoring data and other information are used in determining the
contribution of emissions from within the state to Regional Haze
visibility impairment at mandatory Class I Federal areas in other
states.
Iowa included details on the monitoring data the State used to
estimate its visibility contribution to out-of-state Class I Areas, to
address Sec. 51.308(f)(6)(iii). Iowa relies on the IMPROVE monitoring
network for monitoring at the Class I areas Iowa selected. We note Iowa
included details on two IMPROVE protocol monitors previously operated
by the State in section 9 of the state plan. Iowa's 2023 Ambient Air
Monitoring Network Plan included the removal of the IMPROVE protocol
monitors and was separately reviewed and approved by EPA. The removal
of the IMPROVE protocol monitors does not impact this action because
IMPROVE protocol monitors are not located at and do not represent
visibility at mandatory Class I Federal areas. Therefore, neither the
presence nor lack of IMPROVE protocol monitors has any direct impact on
``determining the contribution of emissions from within the state to
out-of-state Class I areas''.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) requires SIPs to provide for a statewide
inventory of emissions of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to
cause or contribute to visibility impairment, including emissions for
the most recent year for which data are available and estimates of
future projected emissions. It also requires a commitment to update the
inventory periodically. Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) also requires states to
include estimates of future projected emissions and include a
commitment to update the inventory periodically.
To address Sec. 51.308(f)(6)(v), Iowa included emissions
information by pollutant from LADCO's 2016 modeling inventory and from
the 2017 NEI.\41\ The State's four factor analysis relied on emission
data from 2009-2021. The State also included emission data from 2009-
2021 for Iowa EGUs. Iowa also included future projections for 2028.
Iowa committed to update the inventory periodically and comply with the
Air Emissions Reporting Requirements. Based on Iowa's consideration of
the emission data in their SIP submittal, the EPA proposes to find that
Iowa has satisfied the emissions information requirement in Sec.
51.308(f)(6)(v).
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\41\ See section 7 and 11 of the Iowa Regional Haze SIP--Final
August 2023, included in the docket for this action.
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[[Page 63275]]
H. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires that periodic comprehensive revisions
of states' regional haze plans also address the progress report
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through (5). The purpose of these
requirements is to evaluate progress towards the applicable RPGs for
each Class I area within the state and each Class I area outside the
state that may be affected by emissions from within that state. Section
51.308(g)(1) and (2) apply to all states and require a description of
the status of implementation of all measures included in a state's
first implementation period regional haze plan and a summary of the
emission reductions achieved through implementation of those measures.
Section 51.308(g)(3) applies only to states with Class I areas within
their borders and requires such states to assess current visibility
conditions, changes in visibility relative to baseline (2000-2004)
visibility conditions, and changes in visibility conditions relative to
the period addressed in the first implementation period progress
report. Section 51.308(g)(4) applies to all states and requires an
analysis tracking changes in emissions of pollutants contributing to
visibility impairment from all sources and sectors since the period
addressed by the first implementation period progress report. This
provision further specifies the year or years through which the
analysis must extend depending on the type of source and the platform
through which its emission information is reported. Finally, Sec.
51.308(g)(5), which also applies to all states, requires an assessment
of any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside
the state have occurred since the period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report, including whether such changes
were anticipated and whether they have limited or impeded expected
progress towards reducing emissions and improving visibility.
Iowa's submission describes the status of measures of the long-term
strategy from the first implementation period. Iowa relied upon the
Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), later replaced by the Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR), to satisfy long-term strategy obligations and
Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) requirements for EGUs. Iowa
met all the identified reasonable measures during the first
implementation period. Iowa's SIP submission includes EGU emission data
demonstrating the reductions achieved throughout the State in table 10-
1. The included emission data demonstrates a decrease in SO2
and NOX emissions since 2008, the year preceding CAIR
implementation. Between 2008 and 2021, SO2 and
NOX emissions declined by 81,258 and 30,078 tons,
respectively.
The EPA proposes to find that Iowa has met the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2) because its SIP submission describes the
measures included in the long-term strategy from the first
implementation period, as well as the status of their implementation
and the emission reductions achieved through such implementation.
Section 51.308(g)(3) does not apply to Iowa because it does not have a
Class I Area.
Pursuant to Sec. 51.308(g)(4), in section 10 of their submittal,
Iowa provided a summary of NEI data for SO2, NOX,
VOCs, PM10, PM2.5, and NH3 for the
years 2008 and 2017. The summarized emissions data in tables 10-2 and
10-3 of the state submission include anthropogenic emissions
represented by point source EGU, point source non-EGU, nonpoint
sources, on-road mobile sources and nonroad mobile sources; fire
emissions including wildfire, prescribed fire and agriculture fire; and
biogenic emissions from vegetation and soils. Iowa also included CAMD
data in table 10-1 showing annual total EGU SO2 and
NOX emissions for the time period from 2002 to 2021.
The reductions achieved through Iowa emission control measures are
seen in the emissions inventory. Based on Iowa's SIP submittal,
NOX emissions have significantly declined in Iowa from 2008
to 2017 based on decreased emissions in the point EGU, point non-EGU,
on-road and non-road sectors. NOX emissions from the EGU
sector decreased by 28,009 tpy, equating to a sector reduction of 55%.
Total NOX reductions decreased by 103,080 tpy, or 34%.
Emissions of SO2 have shown a significant decline in
Iowa from 2008 to 2017, particularly in the point EGU sector. During
that period, SO2 emissions from EGUs decreased by 86,091
tpy, equating to a sector reduction of 73%. Overall, SO2
emissions declined by 125,347 tpy, or 76%.
Iowa's submission includes a summary of PM10 emissions
from all NEI data categories point EGU, point non-EGU, nonpoint, on-
road, nonroad, and fire for 2008 and 2017 in Iowa. In Iowa,
PM10 emissions decreased in all categories except fire
during that period. The PM10 emissions decreased by more
than 200,000 tpy, or 37%.
Iowa's submission shows a summary of PM2.5 emissions
from all NEI data categories for 2008 and 2017 in Iowa.
PM2.5 emissions decreased all categories except the fire
sector. Decreases in PM2.5 emissions are attributed to
Federal new engine standards for nonroad vehicles and equipment,
Federal and State regulations for on-road vehicles, and reductions in
the nonpoint sector. The other large decrease in PM2.5
emissions is primarily due to the decrease in emissions from fuel
combustion at EGU and Industrial stationary sources.
VOC emissions declined in Iowa from 477,959 tpy in 2008 to 141,289
tpy in 2017. VOC decreases were achieved in all sectors except the fire
sector.
Overall, ammonia (NH3) emissions increased in Iowa from
2008 to 2017, primarily driven by increased emissions from the nonpoint
source category. Nonpoint increases are due to reporting, grouping and
methodology changes, as well as estimated emissions increase from
agricultural sources. Overall, ammonia emissions increased by 11% in
Iowa from 2008 to 2017.
The EPA is proposing to find that Iowa has satisfied the
requirements of Sec. 51.308(g)(4) by providing emissions information
for NOX, SO2, PM10, PM2.5,
VOCs, and NH3 broken down by type of source.
Iowa uses the emissions trend data in the SIP submission \42\ to
support the assessment that anthropogenic haze-causing pollutant
emissions in Iowa have decreased during the reporting period and that
changes in emissions have not limited or impeded progress in reducing
pollutant emissions and improving visibility. Overall, Iowa's 2017
emission inventories for NOX, SO2,
PM10, PM2.5, and VOCs were lower than their 2008
emission inventories and the forecasted 2018 emissions from Iowa's
regional haze SIP for the first planning period \43\ for those same
pollutants emissions. The 2017 emission inventory for NH3
were higher than the 2008 emission inventory and the forecasted 2018
emissions. However, the slight increase did not impede progress towards
improving visibility in Class I Areas. The EPA is proposing to find
that Iowa has met the requirements of Sec. 51.308(g)(5).
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\42\ See section 10.5 ``Emissions Changes Assessment'' of the
Iowa Region Haze SIP--Final August 2023, included in the docket for
this action.
\43\ See table 10-5 of the Iowa Regional Haze SIP--Final August
2023, included in the docket for this action.
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I. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
Section 169A(d) of the CAA requires states to consult with FLMs
before
[[Page 63276]]
holding the public hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP, and to
include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in the
notice to the public. In addition, Sec. 51.308(i)(2)'s FLM
consultation provision requires a state to provide FLMs with an
opportunity for consultation that is early enough in the state's policy
analyses of its emission reduction obligation so that information and
recommendations provided by the FLMs' can meaningfully inform the
state's decisions on its long-term strategy. If the consultation has
taken place at least 120 days before a public hearing or public comment
period, the opportunity for consultation will be deemed early enough.
Regardless, the opportunity for consultation must be provided at least
sixty days before a public hearing or public comment period at the
state level. Section 51.308(i)(2) also provides two substantive topics
on which FLMs must be provided an opportunity to discuss with states:
assessment of visibility impairment in any Class I area and
recommendations on the development and implementation of strategies to
address visibility impairment. Section 51.308(i)(3) requires states, in
developing their implementation plans, to include a description of how
they addressed FLMs' comments. Section 51.308(i)(4) requires states to
provide for ongoing consultation between the state and FLM's on the
implementation of the given plan and on development of future plan
revisions or progress reports.
Iowa conducted informal FLM consultation early in the planning
process to inform the state's decision-making process. As part of this
early engagement with the FLMs, the U.S. Forest Service and the
National Park Service each provided a recommendation to Iowa suggesting
that it consider specific individual sources in its long-term
strategies. In March 2020, the Forest Service identified three sources
based on its review of emission rate data (lb/MMBtu) and results from a
LADCO Q/d analysis. In June 2020, the National Park Service identified
eleven Iowa sources using a Q/d(SO2 + NOX)
threshold of 1.2 based on 2017 NEI emissions data for the non-EGUs and
2019 CAMD data for EGUs. As part of the consultation, Iowa reviewed its
source selection methods and results with FLMs on June 3, 2020. On
January 20, 2022, the state met with FLMs to informally discuss Iowa's
four-factor analysis.
On October 11, 2022, Iowa submitted a draft Regional Haze SIP to
the U.S. Forest Service, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, and the
National Park Service for a 60-day review and comment period pursuant
to 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).\44\ On November 3, 2022, Iowa held a virtual
consultation meeting with the FLMs. Iowa received comments from the
Forest Service and the National Park Service on December 8, 2022.\45\
Iowa responded to the FLM comments and included the responses in
section 11.5 of its submission to EPA and their public notice, in
accordance with the requirements in CAA section 169A(d) and Sec.
51.308(i)(3). Notices of the proposed SIP, availability and the public
hearing were published on IDNR's website, published in the Des Moines
Register on February 13, 2023, and issued on the IDNR air quality
listserv. A virtual public hearing on the proposed SIP revision was
held on March 16, 2023. Written comments relevant to the proposal were
accepted until the close of business March 16, 2023. Iowa's August 2023
SIP includes a commitment to ongoing consultation with FLMs in
accordance with Sec. 51.308(i)(4).
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\44\ Id.
\45\ See appendix F of the State submission, included in the
docket for this action.
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For the reasons stated above, the EPA proposes to find that Iowa
has satisfied the requirements under 40 CFR 51.308(i) to consult with
the FLMs on its regional haze SIP for the second implementation period.
Iowa's August 2023 SIP submission includes a commitment to submit
periodic progress reports in accordance with Sec. 51.308(f) and a
commitment to evaluate progress towards the reasonable progress goal
for each mandatory Class I Federal area located within the State and in
each mandatory Class I Federal area located outside the State that may
be affected by emissions from within the State in accordance with Sec.
51.308(g).\46\
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\46\ See section 10.5 of the ``Iowa Regional Haze SIP--Final
August 2023.''
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VI. What action is the EPA proposing?
The EPA is proposing to approve the Iowa SIP submission received on
August 15, 2023, as satisfying the regional haze requirements for the
second implementation period contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f). We are
processing this as a proposed action because we are soliciting comments
on this proposed action. Final rulemaking will occur after
consideration of any comments.
VII. Incorporation by Reference
In this document, the EPA is proposing to include regulatory text
in an EPA final rule that includes incorporation by reference. In
accordance with requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, the EPA is proposing to
incorporate by reference ``Iowa Regional Haze Plan for the Second
Implementation Period'' source specific requirements for MidAmerican
Energy Company Louisa Station (Permit number 05-A-031-P6) and
MidAmerican Energy Company Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center (Permit
numbers 75-A-357-P9 and 03-A-425-P4), submitted on August 15, 2023. The
EPA has made, and will continue to make, these materials generally
available through https://www.regulations.gov and at the EPA Region 7
Office (please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this preamble for more information).
VIII. Environmental Justice Considerations
The EPA defines environmental justice (EJ) as ``the fair treatment
and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and
policies.'' The EPA further defines the term fair treatment to mean
that ``no group of people should bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks, including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and policies.'' \47\
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\47\ See https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice/learn-about-environmentaljustice.
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Consideration of EJ is not required as part of this action, and
there is no information in the record inconsistent with the stated goal
of Executive Order 12898 of achieving environmental justice for people
of color, low-income populations, and Indigenous peoples. However,
recognizing the importance of environmental justice considerations to
local communities, the EPA conducted an environmental justice screening
analysis around the location of the facilities associated with this
action to identify potential environmental stressors on these
communities and the potential impacts of this action. The EPA is
providing the information associated with this analysis for
informational purposes only. The information provided herein is not a
basis of the proposed action. The EPA conducted the screening analyses
using EJScreen, an EJ mapping and screening tool that provides the EPA
with a nationally consistent dataset and approach for combining various
environmental and demographic
[[Page 63277]]
indicators.\48\ The EJScreen tool presents these indicators at a Census
block group (CBG) level or a larger user specified ``buffer'' area that
covers multiple CBGs.\49\ An individual CBG is a cluster of contiguous
blocks within the same census tract and generally contains between 600
and 3,000 people. EJScreen is not a tool for performing in-depth risk
analysis, but is instead a screening tool that provides an initial
representation of indicators related to EJ and is subject to
uncertainty in some underlying data (e.g., some environmental
indicators are based on monitoring data which are not uniformly
available; others are based on self-reported data).\50\ For
informational purposes, we have summarized EJScreen data within larger
``buffer'' areas covering multiple block groups and representing the
average resident within the buffer areas surrounding the facilities
selected by Iowa for further control analysis. EJScreen environmental
indicators help screen for locations where residents may experience a
higher overall pollution burden than would be expected for a block
group with the same total population in the U.S. These indicators of
overall pollution burden include estimates of ambient PM2.5
and ozone concentration, a score for traffic proximity and volume,
percentage of pre-1960 housing units (lead paint indicator), and scores
for proximity to Superfund sites, risk management plan (RMP) sites, and
hazardous waste facilities.\51\ EJScreen also provides information on
demographic indicators, including percent low-income, communities of
color, linguistic isolation, and less than high school education.
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\48\ The EJSCREEN tool is available at https://www.epa.gov/ejscreen.
\49\ See https://www.census.gov/programssurveys/geography/about/glossary.html.
\50\ In addition, EJSCREEN relies on the five-year block group
estimates from the U.S. Census American Community Survey. The
advantage of using five-year over single-year estimates is increased
statistical reliability of the data (i.e., lower sampling error),
particularly for small geographic areas and population groups. For
more information, see https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2020/acs/acs_general_handbook_2020.pdf.
\51\ For additional information on environmental indicators and
proximity scores in EJSCREEN, see ``EJSCREEN Environmental Justice
Mapping and Screening Tool: EJSCREEN Technical Documentation,''
Chapter 3 and appendix C (September 2019) at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-04/documents/ejscreen_technical_document.pdf.
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The EPA prepared EJScreen reports covering buffer areas of
approximately 6-mile radius around the facilities selected by Iowa for
further analysis. For each facility, the EPA indicates in the following
statements whether there is an environmental or socioeconomic indicator
for the selected source area above the 80th percentile nationally.\52\
These indicators are displayed in the table on page 3 of each report.
The report for Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center showed environmental
indicators greater than the 80th national percentiles superfund
proximity and RMP facility proximity. The report for Louis Generating
Station does not include environmental or socioeconomic indicators
greater than the 80th national percentiles. The full, detailed EJScreen
reports for the two facilities selected by Iowa for further analysis
are provided in the docket for this rulemaking for informational
purposes only.
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\52\ For a place at the 80th percentile nationwide, that means
20% of the U.S. population has a higher value. EPA identified the
80th percentile filter as an initial starting point for interpreting
EJScreen results. The use of an initial filter promotes consistency
for EPA programs and regions when interpreting screening results.
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This action is proposing to approve Iowa's second planning period
regional haze plan as meeting the requirements of the CAA and the EPA's
RHR. Exposure to PM and SO2 is associated with significant
public health effects. Short-term exposures to SO2 can harm
the human respiratory system and make breathing difficult. People with
asthma, particularly children, are sensitive to these effects of
SO2.\53\ Exposure to PM can affect both the lungs and heart
and is associated with: premature death in people with heart or lung
disease, nonfatal heart attacks, irregular heartbeat, aggravated
asthma, decreased lung function, and increased respiratory symptoms,
such as irritation of the airways, coughing or difficulty breathing.
People with heart or lung diseases or conditions, children, and older
adults are the most likely to be affected by PM exposure.\54\ We expect
that this action and resulting emissions reductions will generally be
neutral or contribute to reduced environmental and health impacts on
all populations near both Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center and Louisa
Generating Station. There is nothing in the record which indicates that
this proposed action, if finalized, would have disproportionately high
or adverse human health or environmental effects on communities with
environmental justice concerns.
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\53\ See https://www.epa.gov/so2-pollution/sulfurdioxide-basics#effects.
\54\ See https://www.epa.gov/pm-pollution/healthand-environmental-effects-particulate-matter-pm.
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This action is proposing to approve Iowa's second planning period
regional haze plan as meeting the requirements of the CAA and the EPA's
RHR. However, as stated previously, the EPA is not required to, but has
provided the information associated with the environmental justice
analysis for informational purposes only. The information provided
herein does not serve as a basis of the proposed action.
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the CAA and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this
action merely approves state law as meeting Federal requirements and
does not impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state
law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to review
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR 21879, April 11, 2023);
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885,
April 23, 1997) because it approves a state program;
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001); and
Is not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the CAA.
Executive Order 12898 (Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies to identify and address
``disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental
effects'' of their actions on minority populations
[[Page 63278]]
and low-income populations to the greatest extent practicable and
permitted by law. EPA defines environmental justice (EJ) as ``the fair
treatment and meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race,
color, national origin, or income with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and
policies.'' EPA further defines the term fair treatment to mean that
``no group of people should bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks, including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and policies.'' The Iowa Department
of Natural Resources did not evaluate environmental justice
considerations as part of its SIP submittal; the CAA and applicable
implementing regulations neither prohibit nor require such an
evaluation. The EPA performed an environmental justice analysis, as is
described above in the section titled, ``Environmental Justice
Considerations.'' The analysis was done for the purpose of providing
additional context and information about this rulemaking to the public,
not as a basis of the action. Due to the nature of the action being
taken here, this action is expected to have a neutral to positive
impact on the air quality of the affected area. In addition, there is
no information in the record upon which this decision is based
inconsistent with the stated goal of E.O. 12898 of achieving
environmental justice for people of color, low-income populations, and
Indigenous peoples.
In addition, this proposed rulemaking action, pertaining to Iowa
regional haze SIP submission for the second planning period, is not
approved to apply on any Indian reservation land or in any other area
where the EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian country, the rule does not have
Tribal implications and will not impose substantial direct costs on
Tribal governments or preempt Tribal law as specified by Executive
Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: July 22, 2024.
Meghan A. McCollister,
Regional Administrator, Region 7.
Title 40, chapter I, of the Code of Federal Regulations is proposed
to be amended as follows:
PART 52--APPROVAL AND PROMULGATION OF IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
0
1. The authority citation for part 52 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart Q--Iowa
0
2. In Sec. 52.820:
0
a. The table in paragraph (d) is amended by adding the entries
``(170)'', ``(171)'', and ``(172)'' in numerical order.
0
b. The table in paragraph (e) is amended by adding the entry ``(56)''
in numerical order.
The additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.820 Identification of plan.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
EPA-Approved Iowa Source-Specific Orders/Permits
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Order/ permit State
Name of source No. effective date EPA approval date Explanation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
(170) MidAmerican Energy Co.-- 05-A-031-P6 7/20/2023 [Date of publication Regional Haze Plan
Louisa Station. of the final rule in for the second
the Federal implementation
Register], [Federal period; condition 11
Register citation of of the permit is not
the final rule]. part of the SIP.
(171) MidAmerican Energy Co-- 75-A-357-P9 7/20/2023 [Date of publication Regional Haze Plan
Walter Scott Jr. Energy Center. of the final rule in for the second
the Federal implementation
Register], [Federal period; condition 11
Register citation of of the permit is not
the final rule]. part of the SIP.
(172) MidAmerican Energy Company-- 03-A-425-P4 12/5/2011 [Date of publication Regional Haze Plan
Walter Scott, Jr. Energy Center. of the final rule in for the second
the Federal implementation
Register], [Federal period; condition 6
Register citation of of the permit is not
the final rule]. part of the SIP.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(e) * * *
EPA-Approved Iowa Nonregulatory Provisions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Name of nonregulatory SIP Applicable geographic or State EPA approval
provision nonattainment area submittal date date Explanation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
(56) Iowa Regional Haze Plan Statewide................... 8/15/2023 [Date of [EPA-R07-OAR-202
for the Second Implementation publication of 4-0313; FRL-
Period. the final rule 12096-01-R7].
in the Federal
Register],
[Federal
Register
citation of the
final rule].
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 63279]]
0
3. Revise Sec. 52.842 to read as follows:
Sec. 52.842 Visibility protection.
(a) The requirements of section 169A of the Clean Air Act are met
because the Regional Haze plan submitted by Iowa on March 25, 2008, and
supplemented on May 14, 2019, includes fully approvable measures for
meeting the requirements of the Regional Haze Rule including 40 CFR
51.308(d)(3) and (e) with respect to emissions of NOX and
SO2 from electric generating units.
(b) The requirements of section 169A of the Clean Air Act are met
because the Regional Haze plan submitted by Iowa on August 15, 2023,
includes fully approvable measures for meeting the requirements of the
Regional Haze Rule in 40 CFR 51.308.
[FR Doc. 2024-16502 Filed 8-1-24; 8:45 am]
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