Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of Northeastern Bulrush From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants, 61387-61396 [2024-16417]
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 147 / Wednesday, July 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014;
FF09E22000 FXES1113090FEDR 245]
RIN 1018–BD66
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removal of Northeastern
Bulrush From the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
remove the northeastern bulrush
(Scirpus ancistrochaetus) from the
Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants. After a review of the
best available scientific and commercial
information, we find that delisting the
species is warranted. Our review
indicates that the threats to the
northeastern bulrush have been
eliminated or reduced to the point that
the species no longer meets the
definition of an endangered or
threatened species under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). Accordingly, we
propose to delist the northeastern
bulrush. If we finalize this rule as
proposed, the prohibitions and
conservation measures provided by the
Act, particularly through Sections 7 and
9 would no longer apply to the
northeastern bulrush.
DATES: We will accept comments
received or postmarked on or before
September 30, 2024. Comments
submitted electronically using the
Federal eRulemaking Portal (see
ADDRESSES, below) must be received by
11:59 p.m. eastern time on the closing
date. We must receive requests for
public hearings, in writing, at the
address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT by September 16,
2024.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments
by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. In the Search box,
enter FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014, which is
the docket number for this rulemaking.
Then, click on the Search button. On the
resulting page, in the Search panel on
the left side of the screen, under the
Document Type heading, check the
Proposed Rule box to locate this
document. You may submit a comment
by clicking on ‘‘Comment.’’
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SUMMARY:
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(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail
to: Public Comments Processing, Attn:
FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, MS: PRB/3W, 5275
Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041–
3803.
We request that you send comments
only by the methods described above.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
means that we will post any personal
information you provide us (see
Information Requested, below, for more
information).
Availability of supporting materials:
This proposed rule and supporting
documents, including the 5-year
reviews, the Recovery Plan, and the
species status assessment (SSA) report,
are available at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Audrey Mayer, Field Supervisor, New
England Ecological Services Field
Office, 70 Commercial Street, Suite 300,
Concord, NH 03301; telephone 603–
223–2541. Individuals in the United
States who are deaf, deafblind, hard of
hearing, or have a speech disability may
dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or TeleBraille) to
access telecommunications relay
services. Individuals outside the United
States should use the relay services
offered within their country to make
international calls to the point-ofcontact in the United States. Please see
Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014 on
https://www.regulations.gov for a
document that summarizes this
proposed rule.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information Requested
We intend that any final action
resulting from this proposed rule will be
based on the best scientific and
commercial data available and be as
accurate and as effective as possible.
Therefore, we request comments or
information from other concerned
governmental agencies, Native
American Tribes, the scientific
community, industry, or any other
interested parties concerning this
proposed rule.
We particularly seek comments
concerning:
(1) Reasons we should or should not
remove the northeastern bulrush from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants.
(2) Relevant data concerning any
threats (or lack thereof) to the
northeastern bulrush, particularly any
data on the possible effects of climate
change as it relates to habitat, as well as
the extent of State protection and
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management that would be provided to
this plant as a delisted species;
(3) Current or planned activities
within the geographic range of the
northeastern bulrush that may have
either a negative or positive impact on
the species; and
(4) Considerations for post-delisting
monitoring, including monitoring
protocols and length of time monitoring
is needed, as well as triggers for
reevaluation.
Please include sufficient information
with your submission (such as scientific
journal articles or other publications) to
allow us to verify any scientific or
commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely
stating support for, or opposition to, the
action under consideration without
providing supporting information,
although noted, do not provide
substantial information necessary to
support a determination. Section
4(b)(1)(A) of the Act directs that
determinations as to whether any
species is an endangered species or a
threatened species must be made solely
on the basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available.
You may submit your comments and
materials concerning this proposed rule
by one of the methods listed in
ADDRESSES. We request that you send
comments only by the methods
described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://
www.regulations.gov, your entire
submission—including any personal
identifying information—will be posted
on the website. If your submission is
made via a hardcopy that includes
personal identifying information, you
may request at the top of your document
that we withhold this information from
public review. However, we cannot
guarantee that we will be able to do so.
We will post all hardcopy submissions
on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive,
as well as supporting documentation we
used in preparing this proposed rule,
will be available for public inspection
on https://www.regulations.gov.
Our final determination may differ
from this proposal because we will
consider all comments we receive
during the comment period as well as
any information that may become
available after this proposal. For
example, based on the new information
we receive (and if relevant, any
comments on that new information), we
may conclude that the species should
remain listed as endangered, or we may
conclude that the species should be
reclassified from endangered to
threatened. We will clearly explain our
rationale and the basis for our final
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 147 / Wednesday, July 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
decision, including why we made
changes, if any, that differ from this
proposal.
Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5) of the Act provides for
a public hearing on this proposal, if
requested. Requests must be received by
the date specified in DATES. Such
requests must be sent to the address
shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT. We will schedule a public
hearing on this proposal, if requested,
and announce the date, time, and place
of the hearing, as well as how to obtain
reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register and local newspapers
at least 15 days before the hearing. We
may hold the public hearing in person
or virtually via webinar. We will
announce any public hearing on our
website, in addition to the Federal
Register. The use of these virtual public
hearings is consistent with our
regulation at 50 CFR 424.16(c)(3).
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Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA)
team prepared an SSA report for the
northeastern bulrush. The SSA team
was composed of Service biologists, in
consultation with other species experts.
The SSA report represents a
compilation of the best scientific and
commercial data available concerning
the status of the species, including the
impacts of past, present, and future
factors (both negative and beneficial)
affecting the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on
peer review published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270),
and our August 22, 2016, memorandum
updating and clarifying the role of peer
review of listing and recovery actions
under the Act, we solicited independent
scientific review of the information
contained in the northeastern bulrush
SSA report. The Service sent the SSA
report to 3 independent peer reviewers
and received 2 responses. Results of this
structured peer review process can be
found at https://www.regulations.gov
under Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2023–
0014. In preparing this proposed rule,
we incorporated the results of these
reviews, as appropriate, into the final
SSA report, which is the foundation for
this proposed rule.
Summary of Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above,
we received comments from 2 peer
reviewers on the draft SSA report. We
reviewed all comments we received
from the peer reviewers for substantive
issues and new information regarding
the information contained in the SSA
report. Overall, the comments were
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supportive of the approach, analyses,
and projections of the SSA. Information
was presented that helped to improve
the assessment and inform this
proposed rule. Such information
included new references, comments
regarding using a spatial assessment of
climate change projections, discussion
of population responses to weather
events, and new information to help
inform our analysis of synergistic
impacts to bulrush viability.
Previous Federal Actions
On May 7, 1991, we published in the
Federal Register (56 FR 21091) a final
rule listing the northeastern bulrush as
an endangered species under the Act.
On August 25, 1993, we approved the
northeastern bulrush recovery plan
(Service 1993, entire). On September 24,
2009, we completed a 5-year review
(Service 2009, entire) of the status of the
northeastern bulrush, which
recommended reclassification from
endangered to threatened status based
on the increased number and status of
known extant populations. On August
28, 2019, we completed a second 5-year
review (Service 2019b, entire), resulting
in a recommendation to delist the
species, because, based on the species’
current representation, resiliency, and
redundancy, and our analysis of threats
that may influence its future condition,
the species no longer met the statutory
definition of an endangered or a
threatened species.
Background
Species Information
For more information on the
description, biology, ecology, genetics,
and habitat of the northeastern bulrush,
please refer to the final listing rule (56
FR 21091; May 7, 1991), the
northeastern bulrush (Scirpus
ancistrochaetus) recovery plan (Service
1993, pp. 1–31), and the SSA report
(Service 2019a, entire). These
documents will be available as
supporting materials at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R5–ES–2023–0014.
Taxonomy and Species Description
The northeastern bulrush is a member
of the Cyperaceae (sedge) family. It is a
tall (80 to 120 centimeter), leafy,
perennial herb that produces stems and
leaves from short, thick, underground
rhizomes. It is distinguished from other
Scirpus species by its drooping,
clustered, fruiting heads; dark,
chocolate-brown florets; achene bristles
that are barbed to the base; and broad
bracts (Schuyler 1962, pp. 44–46).
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Population size may vary from year to
year. In some cases, plants are absent
above ground for several years before reemerging (Service 2019a, p. 10). This is
likely due to changes in environmental
conditions, although the exact causal
mechanisms are not well understood.
When water levels and/or light
availability are not favorable, the
population becomes stressed, dwindles
in size, and sometimes becomes
completely absent above ground. When
favorable habitat conditions return, the
population may re-emerge.
The northeastern bulrush is a wetland
obligate plant occurring in acidic to
almost neutral wetlands including
sinkhole ponds, wet depressions, and
vernal pools (collectively, seasonal or
ephemeral wetlands); American beaver
(Castor canadensis) flowages; and other
riparian areas found in hilly country
(Schuyler 1962, p. 47). Optimal habitat
includes abundant sunlight, higher
organic matter (Lentz and Dunson 1999,
p. 165), and seasonally and/or annually
fluctuating water levels, although
prolonged periods with too much or too
little water may be detrimental.
Distribution
At the time of listing in 1991, only 13
populations of the northeastern bulrush
scattered across 6 U.S. States were
known to exist (Service 1991, entire);
however, the species is now known
from 148 extant populations in 8 States
(Service 2019a, p. 2). The populations
can be loosely organized into a northern
region and a southern or Appalachian
region, with a large gap in the
distribution in southeastern New York.
The northern region includes extreme
eastern New York and the New England
States of Vermont, New Hampshire, and
Massachusetts; and the southern or
Appalachian region includes
southwestern New York, Pennsylvania,
Maryland, Virginia, and West Virginia.
The vast majority of populations are in
Pennsylvania (59.5 percent), Vermont
(20.9 percent), and New Hampshire (9.5
percent).
Recovery Criteria
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to
develop and implement recovery plans
for the conservation and survival of
endangered and threatened species
unless we determine that such a plan
will not promote the conservation of the
species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii),
recovery plans must, to the maximum
extent practicable, include objective,
measurable criteria which, when met,
would result in a determination, in
accordance with the provisions of
section 4 of the Act, that the species be
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removed from the Lists of Endangered
and Threatened Wildlife and Plants.
Recovery plans provide a roadmap for
us and our partners on methods of
enhancing conservation and minimizing
threats to listed species, as well as
measurable criteria against which to
evaluate progress towards recovery and
assess the species’ likely future
condition. However, they are not
regulatory documents and do not
substitute for the determinations and
promulgation of regulations required
under section 4(a)(1) of the Act. A
decision to revise the status of a species
or to delist a species is ultimately based
on an analysis of the best scientific and
commercial data available to determine
whether a species is no longer an
endangered species or a threatened
species, regardless of whether that
information differs from the recovery
plan.
There are many paths to
accomplishing recovery of a species,
and recovery may be achieved without
all of the criteria in a recovery plan
being fully met. For example, one or
more criteria may be exceeded while
other criteria may not yet be
accomplished. In that instance, we may
determine that the threats are
minimized sufficiently and that the
species is robust enough that it no
longer meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species. In other cases, we may discover
new recovery opportunities after having
finalized the recovery plan. Parties
seeking to conserve the species may use
these opportunities instead of methods
identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, we may learn new
information about the species after we
finalize the recovery plan. The new
information may change the extent to
which existing criteria are appropriate
for identifying recovery of the species.
The recovery of a species is a dynamic
process requiring adaptive management
that may, or may not, follow all of the
guidance provided in a recovery plan.
The objective identified in the
northeastern bulrush recovery plan
(Service 1993, p. 37), when there were
33 known extant populations, was to
reclassify the species from endangered
to threatened, and the plan provides
three criteria for doing so: (1) 20
populations are permanently protected;
(2) annual monitoring over a 10-year
period shows that 20 representative
populations are stable or increasing; and
(3) life-history and ecological
requirements are understood
sufficiently to allow for effective
protection, monitoring, and
management. The recovery plan does
not contain delisting criteria.
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In the 2009 5-year review (Service
2009, entire), the Service determined
that the downlisting criteria were
partially met and recommended a
change in listing status to threatened,
because (1) the number of extant
populations was three times greater than
when the species was listed; 1 (2)
approximately half of all known
populations were on public lands; and
(3) approximately half of the extant
populations appeared to be stable or
increasing. In the 2019 5-year review
(Service 2019b, entire), the Service
recommended delisting the northeastern
bulrush, because it no longer meets the
Act’s definition of an endangered or a
threatened species. While the recovery
plan does not include delisting criteria,
our analysis presented in the SSA report
(Service 2019a, entire) shows that the
intent of the recovery plan’s downlisting
criteria (Service 1993, p. 37) has been
exceeded substantially, supporting our
conclusion that the species is neither
endangered nor threatened.
The purpose and intent of the first
downlisting criterion calling for
permanent protection of 20 populations
was to provide evidence that a
reasonable number of populations were
reliably protected from development,
which was identified as a threat to the
species’ viability. Currently, 89
(approximately 60 percent) of the 148
known extant populations occur on
public lands, which affords consistent
and reliable protection through a
management structure conducive to
conservation. In addition, although
development was identified as an
important threat at the time of listing,
that threat appears to have diminished.
Currently, oil and gas development in
Pennsylvania is perhaps the most likely
development threat; however, no
available information indicates any
populations are under known threat
from oil and gas development. Although
other types of activities such as road
construction, forestry, recreation, and
plant competition are factors that may
affect the species, data indicate they are
not primary factors influencing the
viability of the northeastern bulrush.
Also, because the species occurs in
wetland habitats, which are provided
some protections under State laws, the
species is protected from many sources
of impacts from human activities. As a
result, the need for further affirmative
protection from these threats on both
public and private lands is less than
previously determined at the time the
recovery plan was issued in 1993.
Together these factors lead to our
conclusion that the purpose and intent
of the first downlisting criterion of
permanent protection for 20 populations
has been substantially exceeded.
The intent of the second downlisting
criterion calling for 20 stable or
increasing populations was to
demonstrate and ensure the species was
not in active decline. This element of
the recovery plan has also been
exceeded by a wide margin. There are
148 known extant populations of the
northeastern bulrush in 8 States, an
increase of 31 percent from the 113
known extant populations in 7 States at
the time of the 2009 5-year review. Our
analysis of these populations in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, p. 27) indicates
that 132 (89 percent) of the 148 known
extant populations demonstrate
excellent, good, and fair resiliency, and
only 16 (11 percent) of the populations
demonstrate poor resiliency or have
been extirpated. We determined that the
recovery plan’s terms ‘‘stable’’ and
‘‘increasing’’ are not appropriate for
describing a species whose populations
may naturally fluctuate dramatically in
response to environmental stochasticity;
for this reason, the number of
populations in excellent, good, or fair
condition is a better measure of the
intent of this criterion. Also, because the
number of populations in fair or better
condition is an order of magnitude
higher than the number of stable or
increasing populations called for in the
second downlisting criterion, we
conclude that the intent of this criterion
has been substantially exceeded.
The third downlisting criterion
calling for increased understanding of
the life-history and ecological
requirements of the northeastern
bulrush has been achieved in that we
have sufficient information to support
long-term management of populations.
Research by State, Federal, and
university partners on the effects of
hydrology, shading, herbivory, genetics,
propagation, transplantation, and
nutrients on germination and plant
growth has provided better
understanding of how to more
effectively protect, monitor, and manage
the species. Therefore, lack of
knowledge to support long-term
management of populations no longer
contributes a substantial risk to the
species.
1 There were 13 known extant populations at
listing in 1991, 33 at the time of the recovery plan
in 1993, and 113 in 2009 when the 5-year review
was completed. To clarify the 2009 5-year review,
the number of extant populations in 2009 was 8.7
times the number of populations known in 1991.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
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Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and the implementing regulations in
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 147 / Wednesday, July 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations set forth the procedures for
determining whether a species is an
endangered species or a threatened
species, issuing protective regulations
for threatened species, and designating
critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species. On April 5, 2024,
jointly with the National Marine
Fisheries Service, the Service issued a
final rule that revised the regulations in
50 CFR 424 regarding how we add,
remove, and reclassify endangered and
threatened species and what criteria we
apply when designating listed species’
critical habitat (89 FR 24300). This final
rule is now in effect and is incorporated
into the current regulations. The Act
defines an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a
species that is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range, and a ‘‘threatened species’’ as
a species that is likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act
requires that we determine whether any
species is an endangered species or a
threatened species because of any of the
following factors:
(A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
These factors represent broad
categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an
effect on a species’ continued existence.
In evaluating these actions and
conditions, we look for those that may
have a negative effect on individuals of
the species, as well as other actions or
conditions that may ameliorate any
negative effects or may have positive
effects. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of
the same five factors.
We use the term ‘‘threat’’ to refer in
general to actions or conditions that are
known to or are reasonably likely to
negatively affect individuals of a
species. The term ‘‘threat’’ includes
actions or conditions that have a direct
impact on individuals (direct impacts),
as well as those that affect individuals
through alteration of their habitat or
required resources (stressors). The term
‘‘threat’’ may encompass—either
together or separately—the source of the
action or condition or the action or
condition itself.
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However, the mere identification of
any threat(s) does not necessarily mean
that the species meets the statutory
definition of an ‘‘endangered species’’ or
a ‘‘threatened species.’’ In determining
whether a species meets either
definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the
species’ expected response and the
effects of the threats—in light of those
actions and conditions that will
ameliorate the threats—on an
individual, population, and species
level. We evaluate each threat and its
expected effects on the species, then
analyze the cumulative effect of all of
the threats on the species as a whole.
We also consider the cumulative effect
of the threats in light of those actions
and conditions that will have positive
effects on the species—such as any
existing regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts. The Secretary
determines whether the species meets
the definition of an ‘‘endangered
species’’ or a ‘‘threatened species’’ only
after conducting this cumulative
analysis and describing the expected
effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term
‘‘foreseeable future,’’ which appears in
the statutory definition of ‘‘threatened
species.’’ Our implementing regulations
at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a
framework for evaluating the foreseeable
future on a case-by-case basis which is
further described in the 2009
Memorandum Opinion on the
foreseeable future from the Department
of the Interior, Office of the Solicitor
(M–37021, January 16, 2009; ‘‘MOpinion,’’ available online at https://
www.doi.gov/sites/
doi.opengov.ibmcloud.com/files/
uploads/M-37021.pdf). The foreseeable
future extends as far into the future as
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and
National Marine Fisheries Service
(hereafter, the Services) can make
reasonably reliable predictions about
the threats to the species and the
species’ responses to those threats. We
need not identify the foreseeable future
in terms of a specific period of time. We
will describe the foreseeable future on a
case-by-case basis, using the best
available data and taking into account
considerations such as the species’ lifehistory characteristics, threat-projection
timeframes, and environmental
variability. In other words, the
foreseeable future is the period of time
over which we can make reasonably
reliable predictions. ‘‘Reliable’’ does not
mean ‘‘certain’’; it means sufficient to
provide a reasonable degree of
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confidence in the prediction, in light of
the conservation purposes of the Act.
Analytical Framework
The SSA report documents the results
of our comprehensive biological review
of the best scientific and commercial
data regarding the status of the species,
including an assessment of the potential
threats to the species. The SSA report
does not represent our decision on
whether the species should be proposed
for delisting. However, it does provide
the scientific basis that informs our
regulatory decisions, which involve the
further application of standards within
the Act and its implementing
regulations and policies.
To assess northeastern bulrush
viability, we used the three conservation
biology principles of resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Shaffer
and Stein 2000, pp. 306–310). Briefly,
resiliency is the ability of the species to
withstand environmental and
demographic stochasticity (for example,
wet or dry, warm or cold years);
redundancy is the ability of the species
to withstand catastrophic events (for
example, droughts, large pollution
events), and representation is the ability
of the species to adapt to both near-term
and long-term changes in its physical
and biological environment (for
example, climate conditions, pathogen).
In general, species viability will
increase with increases in resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Smith
et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these
principles, we identified the species’
ecological requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and
described the beneficial and risk factors
influencing the species’ viability.
The SSA process can be categorized
into three sequential stages. During the
first stage, we evaluated individual
species’ life-history needs. The next
stage involved an assessment of the
historical and current condition of the
species’ demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived
at its current condition. The final stage
of the SSA involved making predictions
about the species’ responses to positive
and negative environmental and
anthropogenic influences. Throughout
all of these stages, we used the best
available information to characterize
viability as the ability of a species to
sustain populations in the wild over
time which we then used to inform our
regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key
results and conclusions from the SSA
report; the full SSA report can be found
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Summary of Biological Status and
Threats
In this discussion, we review the
biological condition of the species and
its resources, and the threats that
influence the species’ current and future
condition, in order to assess the species’
overall viability and the risks to that
viability. In addition, the SSA report
(Service 2019a, entire) and most recent
5-year review (Service 2019b, entire)
document our comprehensive biological
status review for the species, including
an assessment of the potential threats to
the species.
The following is a summary of this
status review and the best available
information gathered since that time
that have informed this decision.
The northeastern bulrush is a wetland
obligate plant occurring in acidic to
almost neutral wetlands including
sinkhole ponds, wet depressions, vernal
pools (collectively, seasonal or
ephemeral wetlands), beaver flowages,
and other riparian areas found in hilly
country (Schuyler 1962, p. 47). Optimal
habitat includes abundant sunlight,
higher organic matter (Lentz and
Dunson 1999, p. 165), and seasonally
and/or annually fluctuating water
levels, although prolonged periods with
too much or too little water may be
detrimental. The northeastern bulrush
may be found in a wide range of water
depths from just a few centimeters up to
a meter in depth, depending on seasonal
fluctuations in water levels (Thompson
1991, p. 5). Plants typically grow in
open areas surrounded by forest. Light
availability is known to influence plant
growth, reproduction, and distribution
(Boardman 1977, p. 372; Lentz and
Cipollini 1998, p. 126). Shaded plants
are often taller, but at the expense of the
roots and other organs (Lentz and
Cipollini 1998, pp. 127, 129), and the
species usually is absent from the highly
shaded perimeter of wetlands.
Current Condition
As stated previously, when the
northeastern bulrush was listed in 1991,
only 13 populations were known to
exist; however, the species is now
known from 148 extant populations in
8 States (Service 2019a, p. 2). The
populations can be loosely organized
into a northern region and a southern or
Appalachian region, with a large gap in
the distribution in southeastern New
York. As described in chapter 4 of the
SSA report (Service 2019a, pp. 25–31),
we used element occurrence (E.O.) rank
to assess and describe the current
resiliency of northeastern bulrush
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populations. E.O. rankings document
the status and quality of plant
population occurrences and assess the
probability of an occurrence persisting.
We consider the E.O. rank to be the
most meaningful way to describe a
population’s status, as it requires an inperson observation and combines
multiple components of a population’s
condition into a single metric. E.O.
ranks are assigned by a surveyor based
on observations beyond just population
size, but also habitat conditions at the
site at the time of the survey, conditions
over time since its last observation, and
probability of persistence. Our analysis
of these populations (Service 2019a, p.
27) indicates that 132 (89 percent) of the
148 known extant populations
demonstrate excellent, good, and fair
resiliency, and only 16 (11 percent) of
the populations demonstrate poor
resiliency or have been extirpated.
Factors Influencing Viability
At the time of listing (see 56 FR
21091; May 7, 1991), habitat disturbance
and destruction from development and
other anthropogenic impacts, especially
on private land, was identified as an
important threat to the northeastern
bulrush, even though there were only a
few examples of populations that were
under imminent threat from these
activities. Since listing, one population
has been lost to development, but
overall, the anticipated threat of habitat
loss from development has not
materialized and has a much lower
overall impact risk because of the
increased number of known
populations.
A search of the Service’s Tracking and
Integrated Logging System, which has
information dating back approximately
15 years, revealed relatively few
consultations under section 7 of the Act
between the Service and Federal
agencies on Federal actions that may
affect the northeastern bulrush.
Consultations often consider proposals
for development, road construction and/
or maintenance, or other habitat
disturbance, and none of the
consultations that included northeastern
bulrush anticipated adverse effects to
the species. While these search results
do not capture non-Federal actions on
private land, in the available survey and
monitoring data, surveyors did not
identify any northeastern bulrush
populations as being under threat of
extirpation as a result of development
activities since regular surveys began.
Moreover, there is no evidence that the
lack of development impacts to the
extant populations is attributable to the
protections afforded by the Act.
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At this time, oil and gas development
in Pennsylvania is perhaps the most
likely development threat; however, we
are not aware of any information, such
as project proposals, that indicates any
populations are under threat from oil
and gas development. Accordingly, we
conclude that the threat of the
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of the northeastern
bulrush’s habitat from development is
less than previously thought, and not a
significant factor impacting the
continued viability of the species.
Although other types of activities such
as road construction, forestry, and
recreation are factors that may affect the
species, to date they have not proved to
be significant factors contributing to the
risk of extinction of the northeastern
bulrush. The 88 northeastern bulrush
populations that occur on publicly
owned land (approximately 60 percent
of known populations) are provided
long-term protection from risk of
development. Publicly owned lands
include State Game Lands, National
Wildlife Refuges, National Park Service
units, and lands protected by nongovernmental organizations such as The
Nature Conservancy. A description of
these factors can be found in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, pp. 21–24).
Native species are known to modify
habitat for the northeastern bulrush and
can have meaningful, although mostly
temporary, impacts on populations.
Beavers can create flood conditions that
negatively impact the species through
increasing water depth by constructing
or adding to a dam and raising the water
level in a wetland occupied by the
northeastern bulrush. However, beavers
also have a long-term positive effect on
habitat quality by harvesting trees and
other woody vegetation for food and
shelter, thereby creating open canopy
and increasing light availability.
Trampling by white-tailed deer
(Odocoileus virginianus) and trampling
and wallowing by American black bears
(Ursus americanus) have been noted in
some northeastern bulrush populations,
and these activities can have mixed,
sometimes substantial, impacts,
especially where bulrush populations
are very small. Trampling and soil
compaction occur as deer and bears
move through northeastern bulrush
sites. Bears excavate wallows near the
edge of wetlands, and some
northeastern bulrush populations have
been impacted by this activity. Wallows
can be big enough to affect entire
populations if the populations are very
small; however, wallows also can be
beneficial as they help create areas of
open water, which are important during
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dry periods. These factors affect a small
number of populations, and it appears
that the timing, location, and scale of
the trampling and wallows that would
need to align to extirpate a population
occur with such infrequency as to be
discountable. Therefore, while beaver
activity, trampling, and wallowing can
cause substantial localized impacts to
individual northeastern bulrush
populations, these are not significant
factors contributing to the risk of
extinction.
There is no evidence the species is
used for commercial or recreational
purposes, or that the scientific and/or
educational uses (e.g., seed collection,
surveys, etc.) have significant impacts.
Similarly, disease has not been
documented as a factor affecting the
species. Browsing by white-tailed deer
has been noted in some northeastern
bulrush populations in the Appalachian
region; although it has not been reported
in the northern region, it likely occurs
rangewide at a similar scale as the
Appalachian region. Deer browsing may
affect plant fitness, particularly if other
factors, such as decreased light
availability, are affecting the population.
Deer browsing impacts under these
conditions likely affects a small number
of populations, and it appears that the
timing, location, and scale of the
browsing that would need to align to
extirpate a population occur with such
infrequency as to be discountable.
Therefore, overutilization, disease, and
predation do not constitute a risk to the
northeastern bulrush.
The wetland habitats in which the
northeastern bulrush occurs are
protected by State statutes and
regulations, although these mechanisms
typically include a permitting process
that allows direct impacts to wetlands.
Some States have additional statutes or
regulations or both that protect the
northeastern bulrush or its habitat. For
example, Vermont, New York, and
Massachusetts require protection of
upland buffers and permits to work
within wetlands; however, State
protection of upland areas around the
wetlands is inconsistent, and
disturbance such as roads or other
development near wetlands can cause
indirect effects such as sedimentation,
altered hydrology, and introduction of
invasive species.
The species is designated as State
endangered throughout its range, except
in West Virginia, and these State
designations are independent of the
species’ Federal status. West Virginia
does not have a State law to protect
endangered species, but only three
northeastern bulrush populations occur
in West Virginia. The States that
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currently protect the northeastern
bulrush under State law require, at a
minimum, project proponents to
coordinate with State resource agencies
to develop minimization measures for
projects that may affect the northeastern
bulrush or its habitat. The Regulatory
Protection discussion in the SSA report
(Service 2019a, pp. 17–21) includes a
summary of our current understanding
of the laws and regulations regarding
wetlands and buffers in States where the
northeastern bulrush occurs. The best
available information indicates that the
northeastern bulrush is not threatened
by inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms.
Climate change, especially in the
southern portion of its range, is the
primary factor influencing the viability
of the northeastern bulrush. Although
the species exists in wetlands that
regularly experience fluctuating water
levels, the northeastern bulrush and its
habitat are susceptible to floods and
droughts. Based on global, regional, and
local climate models (Service 2019a,
chapter 5), we expect that changes in
climate will impact the northeastern
bulrush’s habitat by changing the
amount, timing, and severity of
precipitation and drought, and the
number of extreme precipitation events.
Higher temperatures, without increasing
summer precipitation, may cause
wetlands to dry up earlier, and an
extended growing season may allow
other vegetation to encroach upon,
compete with, and increase shading of,
northeastern bulrush plants. We expect
these impacts to be more noticeable in
populations that occur in seasonal
wetlands. We expect beaver activity
may at least partially mitigate effects of
changing climate by regulating water
levels through damming, maintaining
larger wetlands and open area compared
to seasonal wetlands, and removing
trees and reducing shading at the
wetland perimeter.
The 13 populations (8.7 percent of
known extant populations) in seasonal
wetlands that are currently in poor
condition are the most vulnerable to the
effects of changing climate and have a
high risk of extirpation. However, the
populations in beaver wetlands are
much less vulnerable to the effects of
changing climate and have a low risk of
extirpation. Rangewide, most
populations (78 percent) occur in
seasonal wetlands, but the distribution
is geographically disparate. In the New
England region, 60.4 percent of
populations (29 of 48) occur in beaver
wetlands, while in the Appalachian
region, 97 percent of populations (97 of
100) occur in seasonal wetlands (Service
2019a, p. 29). Additional information on
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the effects of climate change on the
northeastern bulrush can be found in
the SSA report (Service 2019a, pp. 33–
34).
Future Condition Analysis
We modeled a single scenario to
assess the potential future viability of
the northeastern bulrush in the context
of the factors influencing species
viability and resiliency, representation,
and redundancy. Due to uncertainties
with factors such as fluctuating water
levels, climatic stochasticity, light
availability, and regulatory protection,
we used EO rank to assess future
resiliency condition, consistent with our
current condition analysis.
We explored plausible changes in the
factors considered in an EO ranking,
such as population size, biotic factors,
abiotic factors, and landscape context
(Hammerson et al. 2008) to anticipate
future changes in EO rank at each
population. We were unable to
explicitly predict changes in population
size; however, we were able to use
existing climate models to qualitatively
anticipate effects of changing climate on
biotic and abiotic factors (i.e., habitat
type and quality). We used the same
population resiliency scoring model for
future condition that we used for
current condition. Accordingly, to
describe plausible future viability, we
model future resiliency at the
population level and reasonably reliable
trends in redundancy and
representation at the rangewide scale
(see Service 2019a, pp. 32–39).
We considered the potential
consequences of climate change and
carried the scenario approximately 30
years into the future (2050) to be
considered our foreseeable future
because we have information to
reasonably reliably predict changes in
climate within this timeframe. We first
modeled the response of northeastern
bulrush habitat to changes in climate
consistent with representative
concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5. The
best available information, as
summarized in the SSA report,
generally presents this scenario as a
plausible, high-emissions scenario
anticipating greater changes in climate
than moderate climate scenarios, such
as RCP 4.5. Available information also
suggests the probability of scenarios
worse than RCP 8.5 is low. Therefore,
RCP 8.5 presents a worst case, but still
plausible, scenario for northeastern
bulrush habitat. As our analysis using
RCP 8.5 resulted in the northeastern
bulrush not meeting the Act’s definition
of an endangered or a threatened
species, it follows that additional
analyses using RCP 4.5 or another
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moderate-emissions climate model
would result in lower magnitude effects
on the species’ habitat and, ultimately,
the same listing determination.
Therefore, we did not bracket our
analysis with lower emissions climate
models.
We generally anticipate, and
modeling reflects, that climate change is
likely to impact the species’ habitat
through higher water levels early in the
growing season followed by hotter
summers and a faster drying cycle. For
the northeastern bulrush, this will affect
fluctuating water levels, climatic
stochasticity, and light availability,
resulting in neutral effects on beaver
wetlands and negative effects on
seasonal wetlands. We expect beavers to
mitigate anticipated climate changes at
beaver wetlands by thinning canopy
cover and regulating water levels by
damming. In addition, while we are not
aware of climate studies examining
specific effects on beavers, beavers
occur within and outside the range of
the northeastern bulrush in diverse
landscapes, some of which are hotter
and have different precipitation
regimes. Accordingly, we anticipate
beavers will remain within the range of
the northeastern bulrush through 2050.
Therefore, we expect no reduction in
northeastern bulrush population
representation in beaver wetlands before
2050 beyond that which could occur
through normal beaver use and disuse of
wetlands.
Our future scenario anticipated
moderate negative effects on resiliency,
a slight decline in representation and
redundancy, and extirpation of 13
populations (2 in the northern region
and 11 in the Appalachian region) from
seasonal wetlands. In 2050,
approximately 135 populations would
remain distributed across a large
geographical range in at least three
physiographic provinces, two habitat
types, and all currently occupied States.
The number of future populations could
be slightly higher if new populations are
discovered. The species likely would
retain low genetic diversity, especially
in the northern region. The species’
apparent limited dispersal capacity will
reduce its ability to shift its range in
response to changing climate. However,
the species would retain its redundancy
driven by a wide geographic
distribution and retain representation
via the use of a variety of environmental
settings (habitat and physiographic
provinces).
We note that, by using the SSA
framework to guide our analysis of the
scientific information documented in
the SSA report, we have analyzed the
cumulative effects of identified threats
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and conservation actions on the species.
To assess the current and future
condition of the species, we evaluate the
effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species,
including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework
considers not just the presence of the
factors, but to what degree they
collectively influence risk to the entire
species, our assessment integrates the
cumulative effects of the factors and
replaces a standalone cumulative-effects
analysis.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory
Mechanisms
There are many conservation
measures that benefit the northeastern
bulrush’s viability. These measures are
consistent with those described in the
recovery plan (Service 1993, entire) and
include protection through State
endangered species laws, protection
through State wetland protection laws,
protection of sites through perpetual
conservation easements and public land
ownership, surveys to monitor known
populations and to locate additional
populations, research efforts to better
understand the species’ life history,
propagation and transplantation efforts,
canopy thinning, invasive species
control measures, and active
management to address shrub
encroachment.
Determination of Northeastern Bulrush
Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of an endangered species
or a threatened species. The Act defines
an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a species
that is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range, and a ‘‘threatened species’’ as
a species that is likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act
requires that we determine whether a
species meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D)
The inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
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Status Throughout All of Its Range
After evaluating threats to the species
and assessing the cumulative effect of
the threats under the Act’s section
4(a)(1) factors, we listed the
northeastern bulrush in 1991 (see 56 FR
21091; May 7, 1991). At that time, there
were only 13 known occurrences, and
the species faced threats from habitat
loss primarily due to land conversion
for development. The northeastern
bulrush has been the subject of recovery
efforts since it was listed under the Act,
and the discovery of previously
unknown populations, research leading
to the understanding of the species’
needs, and identification of
management actions that support those
needs have led to a revised assessment
of the status of the species since that
time.
As explained above, while the
recovery plan does not include delisting
criteria, our analysis presented in the
SSA report (Service 2019a, entire)
shows that the intent of the recovery
plan’s downlisting criteria (Service
1993, p. 37) has been exceeded
substantially, supporting our conclusion
that the species is neither endangered
nor threatened. The underlying purpose
and intent of each of the three
downlisting criteria has been exceeded
by a wide margin. At the time of listing
in 1991, there were 13 known extant
populations in 6 States. By the time the
recovery plan was approved 2 years
later, in 1993, 33 extant populations had
been identified. Largely due to
increased survey effort, there are
presently 148 known extant populations
in 8 States; this amounts to a 4-fold
increase in known populations since the
downlisting criteria were established.
The first downlisting criterion in the
recovery plan calls for permanent
protection of 20 populations. Eightynine (approximately 60 percent) of the
148 known extant populations occur on
public lands. This number greatly
exceeds the protected populations
called for in the first downlisting
criterion, and we have also determined
that the threat from development is less
than projected at the time we completed
the recovery plan (1993). Accordingly,
we conclude that the intent of this
criterion has been substantially
exceeded. The second criterion calls for
20 stable or increasing populations. Of
the 148 extant populations, 132 are in
excellent, good, or fair condition, which
is an order of magnitude higher than the
number of stable or increasing
populations called for in the second
downlisting criterion. The third
downlisting criterion calls for increased
understanding of the species’ life-
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history and ecological requirements.
Research on the effects of hydrology,
shading, herbivory, genetics,
propagation, transplantation, and
nutrients on germination and plant
growth has provided understanding that
is sufficient to support long-term
management of northeastern bulrush
populations (e.g., Lentz and Cipollini
1998, entire; Lentz and Dunson 1998,
entire).
As discussed, under current
conditions, there are 148 known
populations of northeastern bulrush
distributed throughout 4 physiographic
provinces in 8 States—New Hampshire,
Vermont, Massachusetts, New York,
Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia, and
West Virginia. The increase in known
populations since listing is due
primarily to increased survey effort, and
it is possible that more populations will
be found in the future. Despite the
dynamic nature of the species’ life
history, there have been only a few (9)
documented extirpations of extant
populations (Service 2019a, p. 27).
Some populations have benefited from
habitat management, but we are not
aware of any populations that were
newly established or re-established after
extirpation as a result of outplanting or
other restoration efforts. Our analysis of
these populations in the SSA report
(Service 2019a, p. 27) indicates that 89
percent of the populations demonstrate
excellent, good, and fair resiliency, and
only 11 percent of the populations
demonstrate poor resiliency.
Development activities are no longer
considered a significant threat. Deer
browsing and trampling, as well as
trampling and wallowing by black bears,
have been noted in some populations,
and these activities can have
detrimental effects on a population,
particularly if other factors, such as
decreased light availability, are affecting
the population. However, these factors
affect only a small number of
populations, and the likelihood is low
that browsing, trampling, or wallowing
would occur in a particular population
with poor resiliency and with sufficient
magnitude to affect the entire
population. Accordingly, we conclude
that browsing, trampling, and
wallowing either individually or
cumulatively are not likely to cause the
extirpation of a population and,
therefore, are not significant factors
contributing to the risk of extinction of
the northeastern bulrush.
Regulatory protections afforded to the
northeastern bulrush include State
wetland protections and State
endangered species regulations. These
protections apply independently of the
species’ Federal status under the Act
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and, at a minimum, require project
proponents to coordinate with State
resource agencies to develop
minimization measures for projects that
may affect the northeastern bulrush or
its habitat. A description of the States’
regulatory protections can be found in
the SSA report (Service 2019a, pp. 17–
21).
Since the listing of the northeastern
bulrush in 1991, we have become aware
of the potential for the effects of climate
change to affect organisms and
ecosystems, including the northeastern
bulrush. To inform our understanding of
the species’ risk of extinction, we
modeled a single future scenario
detailed above in Summary of Biological
Status and Threats. This future
scenario, by itself, does not provide an
estimate of the species’ risk of
extinction, but it does help us better
understand the extent to which threats
would have to further affect the species
to cause extinction, considering the
present population figures and
resiliency status. Based on the best
information regarding the species’
current condition and threats, we
projected how the threats would
manifest under this ‘‘worst case’’
scenario and how the species would
respond.
To summarize, our greater knowledge
regarding the prevalence of northeastern
bulrush populations and the impacts of
natural and artificial systems and
disturbances on the species results in a
conclusion that the overall extinction
risk for the northeastern bulrush is
much lower than we had previously
determined it to be at the time the
species was listed in 1991 (see 56 FR
21091; May 7, 1991). Considering our
modeled ‘‘worst case’’ future scenario, it
is apparent that the risk of threats
manifesting in such a way as to cause
extinction of the species is very low.
Known impacts at the time of listing,
such as habitat loss due to development
and inadequate regulatory protections,
that could have resulted in the
extirpation of populations have either
been reduced or have not materialized
since listing. Through our assessment of
future condition, including the status of
known stressors and probable impacts
of climate change, we anticipate that 88
percent of populations across the range
of the species would maintain high,
moderate, or fair resiliency over a
timeframe of approximately 30 years
into the future. We, therefore, conclude
the previously recognized impacts to the
northeastern bulrush from present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
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purposes; disease or predation; the
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; and other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence do not rise to a level of
significance, either individually or in
combination, such that the species is in
danger of extinction now or likely to
become so within the foreseeable future.
Thus, after assessing the best available
scientific information, we conclude that
the northeastern bulrush is not in
danger of extinction now or likely to
become so within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion
of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range. Having determined
that the northeastern bulrush is not in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future throughout
all of its range, we now consider
whether it may be in danger of
extinction (i.e., endangered) or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future (i.e.,
threatened) in a significant portion of its
range—that is, whether there is any
portion of the species’ range for which
both (1) the portion is significant; and,
(2) the species is in danger of extinction
or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in that portion. Depending on the
case, it might be more efficient for us to
address the ‘‘significance’’ question or
the ‘‘status’’ question first. We can
choose to address either question first.
Regardless of which question we
address first, if we reach a negative
answer with respect to the first question
that we address, we do not need to
evaluate the other question for that
portion of the species’ range.
In undertaking this analysis for
northeastern bulrush, we choose to
address the status question first. We
began by identifying portions of the
range where the biological status of the
species may be different from its
biological status elsewhere in its range.
For this purpose, we considered
information pertaining to the geographic
distribution of (a) individuals of the
species, (b) the threats that the species
faces, and (c) the resiliency condition of
populations.
We evaluated the range of the
northeastern bulrush to determine if the
species is in danger of extinction now
or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in any portion of its range. The
range of a species can theoretically be
divided into portions in an infinite
number of ways. We focused our
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analysis on portions of the species’
range that may meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species. For northeastern bulrush, we
considered whether the threats or their
effects on the species are greater in any
biologically meaningful portion of the
species’ range than in other portions
such that the species is in danger of
extinction now or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future in that portion.
We examined the following threats
and cumulative impacts of these threats:
(1) habitat disturbance and destruction
from development; (2) beaver activity;
(3) deer and bear activities, such as
trampling, browsing, and wallowing;
and (4) climate change. As stated
previously under Summary of Biological
Status and Threats, when this species
was listed, habitat disturbance and
destruction from development and other
anthropogenic impacts was identified as
an important threat to the northeastern
bulrush. However, since listing, the
anticipated threat of habitat loss from
development has not materialized in
any portion of the range, and we
conclude that the threat of habitat
disturbance and destruction from
development does not rise to a level that
threatens the species now or into the
future. Similarly, while we identified
threats of beaver activity, trampling, and
wallowing that can cause localized
impacts to individual northeastern
bulrush populations, these factors are
not occurring at a significant level in
any portion of the species’ range.
The effects of climate change differ
between the northern and southern
portions of the range of the northeastern
bulrush, as most populations in the
southern portion of the range occur in
seasonal wetlands while populations in
the northern portion are more evenly
distributed between seasonal wetlands
and beaver marshes. Changing climatic
conditions will include more
precipitation during winters, higher
temperatures throughout the species’
range, and an increased frequency of
extreme precipitation events. We project
these conditions will have more
negative effects on seasonal wetlands
and neutral effects on beaver marshes,
equating to a slightly elevated risk from
climate change in the southern portion
of the range. As described in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, pp. 32–39),
climate change under a worst-case
scenario could contribute to extirpation
of 13 populations (2 populations in the
northern portion and 11 in the southern
portion) across the species’ range.
However, there are still projected to be
135 populations remaining: 46
populations in the northern portion
(96% of extant populations) and 89 in
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the southern portion (89%), providing
representation and redundancy within
each portion and across the species’
range. Moreover, it is projected that the
southern and northern portions of the
range will each retain strong resiliency,
with more than 85 percent of
populations in the southern portion and
93 percent in the northern portion
projected to maintain high, moderate, or
fair resiliency.
Our conclusion regarding the current
and future viability of the species is
supported by multiple, sufficiently
resilient populations distributed across
representative ecological settings and
physiographic provinces and
encompassing most of the species’
known genetic diversity. We found no
biologically meaningful portion of the
northeastern bulrush’s range where the
condition of the species differs from its
condition elsewhere in its range such
that the status of the species in that
portion differs from its status in any
other portion of the species’ range.
Therefore, we find that the species is
not in danger of extinction now or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in
any significant portion of its range. This
does not conflict with the courts’
holdings in Desert Survivors v. U.S.
Department of the Interior, 321 F. Supp.
3d 1011, 1070–74 (N.D. Cal. 2018) and
Center for Biological Diversity v. Jewell,
248 F. Supp. 3d. 946, 959 (D. Ariz.
2017) because, in reaching this
conclusion, we did not apply the
aspects of the Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase ‘‘Significant
Portion of Its Range’’ in the Endangered
Species Act’s Definitions of
‘‘Endangered Species’’ and ‘‘Threatened
Species’’ (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014),
including the definition of ‘‘significant’’
that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and
commercial data available indicates that
the northeastern bulrush does not meet
the definition of an endangered species
or a threatened species in accordance
with sections 3(6) and 3(20) of the Act.
In accordance with our regulations at 50
CFR 424.11(e)(2), currently in effect, the
species has recovered to the point at
which it no longer meets the definition
of an endangered species or a threatened
species. Therefore, we propose to
remove northeastern bulrush from the
Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants.
Effects of This Rule
This proposed rule, if made final,
would revise 50 CFR 17.12(h) by
removing northeastern bulrush [species]
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Frm 00038
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
61395
from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants. The prohibitions and
conservation measures provided by the
Act, particularly through sections 7 and
9, would no longer apply to this species.
Federal agencies would no longer be
required to consult with the Service
under section 7 of the Act in the event
that activities they authorize, fund, or
carry out may affect northeastern
bulrush.
There is no critical habitat designated
for this species, so there would be no
effect to 50 CFR 17.96.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us,
in cooperation with the States, to
implement a monitoring program for not
less than 5 years for all species that have
been recovered. Post-delisting
monitoring (PDM) refers to activities
undertaken to verify that a species
delisted due to recovery remains secure
from the risk of extinction after the
protections of the Act no longer apply.
The primary goal of PDM is to monitor
the species to ensure that its status does
not deteriorate, and if a decline is
detected, to take measures to halt the
decline so that proposing it as
endangered or threatened is not again
needed. If at any time during the
monitoring period data indicate that
protective status under the Act should
be reinstated, we can initiate listing
procedures, including, if appropriate,
emergency listing.
We will coordinate with other Federal
agencies, State resource agencies,
interested scientific organizations, and
others as appropriate to develop and
implement an effective PDM plan for
northeastern bulrush. The PDM plan
will build upon current research and
effective management practices that
have improved the status of the species
since listing. Ensuring continued
implementation of proven management
strategies that have been developed to
sustain the species will be a
fundamental goal for the PDM plan. The
PDM plan will identify measurable
management thresholds and responses
for detecting and reacting to significant
changes in northeastern bulrush
numbers, distribution, and persistence.
If declines are detected equaling or
exceeding these thresholds, the Service,
in combination with other PDM
participants, will investigate causes of
these declines. The investigation will be
to determine if the northeastern bulrush
warrants expanded monitoring,
additional research, additional habitat
protection, or resumption of Federal
protection under the Act.
We appreciate any information on
what should be included in post-
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61396
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 147 / Wednesday, July 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
delisting monitoring strategies for these
species (see Information Requested,
above).
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Rule
lotter on DSK11XQN23PROD with PROPOSALS1
We are required by Executive Orders
12866 and 12988 and by the
Presidential Memorandum of June 1,
1998, to write all rules in plain
language. This means that each rule we
publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address
readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than
jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and
sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever
possible.
If you feel that we have not met these
requirements, send us comments by one
of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To
better help us revise the rule, your
comments should be as specific as
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16:22 Jul 30, 2024
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possible. For example, you should tell
us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written,
which sections or sentences are too
long, the sections where you feel lists or
tables would be useful, etc.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in
this rulemaking is available on the
internet at https://www.regulations.gov
and upon request from the New England
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed
rule are the staff members of the Fish
and Wildlife Service’s Species
Assessment Team and the New England
Ecological Services Field Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Plants, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation, Wildlife.
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Accordingly, we propose to amend
part 17, subchapter B of chapter I, title
50 of the Code of Federal Regulations,
as set forth below:
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
§ 17.12
[Amended]
2. In § 17.12, amend paragraph (h) by
removing the entry for ‘‘Scirpus
ancistrochaetus’’ under FLOWERING
PLANTS from the List of Endangered
and Threatened Plants.
■
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2024–16417 Filed 7–30–24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
E:\FR\FM\31JYP1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 147 (Wednesday, July 31, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 61387-61396]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-16417]
[[Page 61387]]
=======================================================================
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014; FF09E22000 FXES1113090FEDR 245]
RIN 1018-BD66
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of
Northeastern Bulrush From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
remove the northeastern bulrush (Scirpus ancistrochaetus) from the
Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants. After a review of the
best available scientific and commercial information, we find that
delisting the species is warranted. Our review indicates that the
threats to the northeastern bulrush have been eliminated or reduced to
the point that the species no longer meets the definition of an
endangered or threatened species under the Endangered Species Act of
1973, as amended (Act). Accordingly, we propose to delist the
northeastern bulrush. If we finalize this rule as proposed, the
prohibitions and conservation measures provided by the Act,
particularly through Sections 7 and 9 would no longer apply to the
northeastern bulrush.
DATES: We will accept comments received or postmarked on or before
September 30, 2024. Comments submitted electronically using the Federal
eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES, below) must be received by 11:59
p.m. eastern time on the closing date. We must receive requests for
public hearings, in writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT by September 16, 2024.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014,
which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click on the
Search button. On the resulting page, in the Search panel on the left
side of the screen, under the Document Type heading, check the Proposed
Rule box to locate this document. You may submit a comment by clicking
on ``Comment.''
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail to: Public Comments
Processing, Attn: FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
MS: PRB/3W, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
We request that you send comments only by the methods described
above. We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
us (see Information Requested, below, for more information).
Availability of supporting materials: This proposed rule and
supporting documents, including the 5-year reviews, the Recovery Plan,
and the species status assessment (SSA) report, are available at
https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Audrey Mayer, Field Supervisor, New
England Ecological Services Field Office, 70 Commercial Street, Suite
300, Concord, NH 03301; telephone 603-223-2541. Individuals in the
United States who are deaf, deafblind, hard of hearing, or have a
speech disability may dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or TeleBraille) to access
telecommunications relay services. Individuals outside the United
States should use the relay services offered within their country to
make international calls to the point-of-contact in the United States.
Please see Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014 on https://www.regulations.gov for a document that summarizes this proposed rule.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information Requested
We intend that any final action resulting from this proposed rule
will be based on the best scientific and commercial data available and
be as accurate and as effective as possible. Therefore, we request
comments or information from other concerned governmental agencies,
Native American Tribes, the scientific community, industry, or any
other interested parties concerning this proposed rule.
We particularly seek comments concerning:
(1) Reasons we should or should not remove the northeastern bulrush
from the List of Endangered and Threatened Plants.
(2) Relevant data concerning any threats (or lack thereof) to the
northeastern bulrush, particularly any data on the possible effects of
climate change as it relates to habitat, as well as the extent of State
protection and management that would be provided to this plant as a
delisted species;
(3) Current or planned activities within the geographic range of
the northeastern bulrush that may have either a negative or positive
impact on the species; and
(4) Considerations for post-delisting monitoring, including
monitoring protocols and length of time monitoring is needed, as well
as triggers for reevaluation.
Please include sufficient information with your submission (such as
scientific journal articles or other publications) to allow us to
verify any scientific or commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely stating support for, or
opposition to, the action under consideration without providing
supporting information, although noted, do not provide substantial
information necessary to support a determination. Section 4(b)(1)(A) of
the Act directs that determinations as to whether any species is an
endangered species or a threatened species must be made solely on the
basis of the best scientific and commercial data available.
You may submit your comments and materials concerning this proposed
rule by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. We request that you
send comments only by the methods described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://www.regulations.gov, your
entire submission--including any personal identifying information--will
be posted on the website. If your submission is made via a hardcopy
that includes personal identifying information, you may request at the
top of your document that we withhold this information from public
review. However, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so. We
will post all hardcopy submissions on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
available for public inspection on https://www.regulations.gov.
Our final determination may differ from this proposal because we
will consider all comments we receive during the comment period as well
as any information that may become available after this proposal. For
example, based on the new information we receive (and if relevant, any
comments on that new information), we may conclude that the species
should remain listed as endangered, or we may conclude that the species
should be reclassified from endangered to threatened. We will clearly
explain our rationale and the basis for our final
[[Page 61388]]
decision, including why we made changes, if any, that differ from this
proposal.
Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5) of the Act provides for a public hearing on this
proposal, if requested. Requests must be received by the date specified
in DATES. Such requests must be sent to the address shown in FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT. We will schedule a public hearing on this
proposal, if requested, and announce the date, time, and place of the
hearing, as well as how to obtain reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register and local newspapers at least 15 days before the
hearing. We may hold the public hearing in person or virtually via
webinar. We will announce any public hearing on our website, in
addition to the Federal Register. The use of these virtual public
hearings is consistent with our regulation at 50 CFR 424.16(c)(3).
Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA) team prepared an SSA report for
the northeastern bulrush. The SSA team was composed of Service
biologists, in consultation with other species experts. The SSA report
represents a compilation of the best scientific and commercial data
available concerning the status of the species, including the impacts
of past, present, and future factors (both negative and beneficial)
affecting the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on peer review published in the
Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and our August 22,
2016, memorandum updating and clarifying the role of peer review of
listing and recovery actions under the Act, we solicited independent
scientific review of the information contained in the northeastern
bulrush SSA report. The Service sent the SSA report to 3 independent
peer reviewers and received 2 responses. Results of this structured
peer review process can be found at https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014. In preparing this proposed rule, we
incorporated the results of these reviews, as appropriate, into the
final SSA report, which is the foundation for this proposed rule.
Summary of Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above, we received comments from 2 peer
reviewers on the draft SSA report. We reviewed all comments we received
from the peer reviewers for substantive issues and new information
regarding the information contained in the SSA report. Overall, the
comments were supportive of the approach, analyses, and projections of
the SSA. Information was presented that helped to improve the
assessment and inform this proposed rule. Such information included new
references, comments regarding using a spatial assessment of climate
change projections, discussion of population responses to weather
events, and new information to help inform our analysis of synergistic
impacts to bulrush viability.
Previous Federal Actions
On May 7, 1991, we published in the Federal Register (56 FR 21091)
a final rule listing the northeastern bulrush as an endangered species
under the Act. On August 25, 1993, we approved the northeastern bulrush
recovery plan (Service 1993, entire). On September 24, 2009, we
completed a 5-year review (Service 2009, entire) of the status of the
northeastern bulrush, which recommended reclassification from
endangered to threatened status based on the increased number and
status of known extant populations. On August 28, 2019, we completed a
second 5-year review (Service 2019b, entire), resulting in a
recommendation to delist the species, because, based on the species'
current representation, resiliency, and redundancy, and our analysis of
threats that may influence its future condition, the species no longer
met the statutory definition of an endangered or a threatened species.
Background
Species Information
For more information on the description, biology, ecology,
genetics, and habitat of the northeastern bulrush, please refer to the
final listing rule (56 FR 21091; May 7, 1991), the northeastern bulrush
(Scirpus ancistrochaetus) recovery plan (Service 1993, pp. 1-31), and
the SSA report (Service 2019a, entire). These documents will be
available as supporting materials at https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014.
Taxonomy and Species Description
The northeastern bulrush is a member of the Cyperaceae (sedge)
family. It is a tall (80 to 120 centimeter), leafy, perennial herb that
produces stems and leaves from short, thick, underground rhizomes. It
is distinguished from other Scirpus species by its drooping, clustered,
fruiting heads; dark, chocolate-brown florets; achene bristles that are
barbed to the base; and broad bracts (Schuyler 1962, pp. 44-46).
Population size may vary from year to year. In some cases, plants
are absent above ground for several years before re-emerging (Service
2019a, p. 10). This is likely due to changes in environmental
conditions, although the exact causal mechanisms are not well
understood. When water levels and/or light availability are not
favorable, the population becomes stressed, dwindles in size, and
sometimes becomes completely absent above ground. When favorable
habitat conditions return, the population may re-emerge.
The northeastern bulrush is a wetland obligate plant occurring in
acidic to almost neutral wetlands including sinkhole ponds, wet
depressions, and vernal pools (collectively, seasonal or ephemeral
wetlands); American beaver (Castor canadensis) flowages; and other
riparian areas found in hilly country (Schuyler 1962, p. 47). Optimal
habitat includes abundant sunlight, higher organic matter (Lentz and
Dunson 1999, p. 165), and seasonally and/or annually fluctuating water
levels, although prolonged periods with too much or too little water
may be detrimental.
Distribution
At the time of listing in 1991, only 13 populations of the
northeastern bulrush scattered across 6 U.S. States were known to exist
(Service 1991, entire); however, the species is now known from 148
extant populations in 8 States (Service 2019a, p. 2). The populations
can be loosely organized into a northern region and a southern or
Appalachian region, with a large gap in the distribution in
southeastern New York. The northern region includes extreme eastern New
York and the New England States of Vermont, New Hampshire, and
Massachusetts; and the southern or Appalachian region includes
southwestern New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia, and West
Virginia. The vast majority of populations are in Pennsylvania (59.5
percent), Vermont (20.9 percent), and New Hampshire (9.5 percent).
Recovery Criteria
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and
threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not
promote the conservation of the species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii),
recovery plans must, to the maximum extent practicable, include
objective, measurable criteria which, when met, would result in a
determination, in accordance with the provisions of section 4 of the
Act, that the species be
[[Page 61389]]
removed from the Lists of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and
Plants.
Recovery plans provide a roadmap for us and our partners on methods
of enhancing conservation and minimizing threats to listed species, as
well as measurable criteria against which to evaluate progress towards
recovery and assess the species' likely future condition. However, they
are not regulatory documents and do not substitute for the
determinations and promulgation of regulations required under section
4(a)(1) of the Act. A decision to revise the status of a species or to
delist a species is ultimately based on an analysis of the best
scientific and commercial data available to determine whether a species
is no longer an endangered species or a threatened species, regardless
of whether that information differs from the recovery plan.
There are many paths to accomplishing recovery of a species, and
recovery may be achieved without all of the criteria in a recovery plan
being fully met. For example, one or more criteria may be exceeded
while other criteria may not yet be accomplished. In that instance, we
may determine that the threats are minimized sufficiently and that the
species is robust enough that it no longer meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened species. In other cases, we may
discover new recovery opportunities after having finalized the recovery
plan. Parties seeking to conserve the species may use these
opportunities instead of methods identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, we may learn new information about the species after we
finalize the recovery plan. The new information may change the extent
to which existing criteria are appropriate for identifying recovery of
the species. The recovery of a species is a dynamic process requiring
adaptive management that may, or may not, follow all of the guidance
provided in a recovery plan.
The objective identified in the northeastern bulrush recovery plan
(Service 1993, p. 37), when there were 33 known extant populations, was
to reclassify the species from endangered to threatened, and the plan
provides three criteria for doing so: (1) 20 populations are
permanently protected; (2) annual monitoring over a 10-year period
shows that 20 representative populations are stable or increasing; and
(3) life-history and ecological requirements are understood
sufficiently to allow for effective protection, monitoring, and
management. The recovery plan does not contain delisting criteria.
In the 2009 5-year review (Service 2009, entire), the Service
determined that the downlisting criteria were partially met and
recommended a change in listing status to threatened, because (1) the
number of extant populations was three times greater than when the
species was listed; \1\ (2) approximately half of all known populations
were on public lands; and (3) approximately half of the extant
populations appeared to be stable or increasing. In the 2019 5-year
review (Service 2019b, entire), the Service recommended delisting the
northeastern bulrush, because it no longer meets the Act's definition
of an endangered or a threatened species. While the recovery plan does
not include delisting criteria, our analysis presented in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, entire) shows that the intent of the recovery
plan's downlisting criteria (Service 1993, p. 37) has been exceeded
substantially, supporting our conclusion that the species is neither
endangered nor threatened.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ There were 13 known extant populations at listing in 1991,
33 at the time of the recovery plan in 1993, and 113 in 2009 when
the 5-year review was completed. To clarify the 2009 5-year review,
the number of extant populations in 2009 was 8.7 times the number of
populations known in 1991.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The purpose and intent of the first downlisting criterion calling
for permanent protection of 20 populations was to provide evidence that
a reasonable number of populations were reliably protected from
development, which was identified as a threat to the species'
viability. Currently, 89 (approximately 60 percent) of the 148 known
extant populations occur on public lands, which affords consistent and
reliable protection through a management structure conducive to
conservation. In addition, although development was identified as an
important threat at the time of listing, that threat appears to have
diminished. Currently, oil and gas development in Pennsylvania is
perhaps the most likely development threat; however, no available
information indicates any populations are under known threat from oil
and gas development. Although other types of activities such as road
construction, forestry, recreation, and plant competition are factors
that may affect the species, data indicate they are not primary factors
influencing the viability of the northeastern bulrush. Also, because
the species occurs in wetland habitats, which are provided some
protections under State laws, the species is protected from many
sources of impacts from human activities. As a result, the need for
further affirmative protection from these threats on both public and
private lands is less than previously determined at the time the
recovery plan was issued in 1993. Together these factors lead to our
conclusion that the purpose and intent of the first downlisting
criterion of permanent protection for 20 populations has been
substantially exceeded.
The intent of the second downlisting criterion calling for 20
stable or increasing populations was to demonstrate and ensure the
species was not in active decline. This element of the recovery plan
has also been exceeded by a wide margin. There are 148 known extant
populations of the northeastern bulrush in 8 States, an increase of 31
percent from the 113 known extant populations in 7 States at the time
of the 2009 5-year review. Our analysis of these populations in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, p. 27) indicates that 132 (89 percent) of the
148 known extant populations demonstrate excellent, good, and fair
resiliency, and only 16 (11 percent) of the populations demonstrate
poor resiliency or have been extirpated. We determined that the
recovery plan's terms ``stable'' and ``increasing'' are not appropriate
for describing a species whose populations may naturally fluctuate
dramatically in response to environmental stochasticity; for this
reason, the number of populations in excellent, good, or fair condition
is a better measure of the intent of this criterion. Also, because the
number of populations in fair or better condition is an order of
magnitude higher than the number of stable or increasing populations
called for in the second downlisting criterion, we conclude that the
intent of this criterion has been substantially exceeded.
The third downlisting criterion calling for increased understanding
of the life-history and ecological requirements of the northeastern
bulrush has been achieved in that we have sufficient information to
support long-term management of populations. Research by State,
Federal, and university partners on the effects of hydrology, shading,
herbivory, genetics, propagation, transplantation, and nutrients on
germination and plant growth has provided better understanding of how
to more effectively protect, monitor, and manage the species.
Therefore, lack of knowledge to support long-term management of
populations no longer contributes a substantial risk to the species.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and the implementing
regulations in
[[Page 61390]]
title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species is an endangered species or a
threatened species, issuing protective regulations for threatened
species, and designating critical habitat for endangered and threatened
species. On April 5, 2024, jointly with the National Marine Fisheries
Service, the Service issued a final rule that revised the regulations
in 50 CFR 424 regarding how we add, remove, and reclassify endangered
and threatened species and what criteria we apply when designating
listed species' critical habitat (89 FR 24300). This final rule is now
in effect and is incorporated into the current regulations. The Act
defines an ``endangered species'' as a species that is in danger of
extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range, and a
``threatened species'' as a species that is likely to become an
endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we determine
whether any species is an endangered species or a threatened species
because of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
These factors represent broad categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an effect on a species' continued
existence. In evaluating these actions and conditions, we look for
those that may have a negative effect on individuals of the species, as
well as other actions or conditions that may ameliorate any negative
effects or may have positive effects. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of the same five factors.
We use the term ``threat'' to refer in general to actions or
conditions that are known to or are reasonably likely to negatively
affect individuals of a species. The term ``threat'' includes actions
or conditions that have a direct impact on individuals (direct
impacts), as well as those that affect individuals through alteration
of their habitat or required resources (stressors). The term ``threat''
may encompass--either together or separately--the source of the action
or condition or the action or condition itself.
However, the mere identification of any threat(s) does not
necessarily mean that the species meets the statutory definition of an
``endangered species'' or a ``threatened species.'' In determining
whether a species meets either definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the species' expected response and
the effects of the threats--in light of those actions and conditions
that will ameliorate the threats--on an individual, population, and
species level. We evaluate each threat and its expected effects on the
species, then analyze the cumulative effect of all of the threats on
the species as a whole. We also consider the cumulative effect of the
threats in light of those actions and conditions that will have
positive effects on the species--such as any existing regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts. The Secretary determines whether
the species meets the definition of an ``endangered species'' or a
``threatened species'' only after conducting this cumulative analysis
and describing the expected effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future,'' which
appears in the statutory definition of ``threatened species.'' Our
implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a framework for
evaluating the foreseeable future on a case-by-case basis which is
further described in the 2009 Memorandum Opinion on the foreseeable
future from the Department of the Interior, Office of the Solicitor (M-
37021, January 16, 2009; ``M- Opinion,'' available online at https://www.doi.gov/sites/doi.opengov.ibmcloud.com/files/uploads/M-37021.pdf).
The foreseeable future extends as far into the future as the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service and National Marine Fisheries Service (hereafter,
the Services) can make reasonably reliable predictions about the
threats to the species and the species' responses to those threats. We
need not identify the foreseeable future in terms of a specific period
of time. We will describe the foreseeable future on a case-by-case
basis, using the best available data and taking into account
considerations such as the species' life-history characteristics,
threat-projection timeframes, and environmental variability. In other
words, the foreseeable future is the period of time over which we can
make reasonably reliable predictions. ``Reliable'' does not mean
``certain''; it means sufficient to provide a reasonable degree of
confidence in the prediction, in light of the conservation purposes of
the Act.
Analytical Framework
The SSA report documents the results of our comprehensive
biological review of the best scientific and commercial data regarding
the status of the species, including an assessment of the potential
threats to the species. The SSA report does not represent our decision
on whether the species should be proposed for delisting. However, it
does provide the scientific basis that informs our regulatory
decisions, which involve the further application of standards within
the Act and its implementing regulations and policies.
To assess northeastern bulrush viability, we used the three
conservation biology principles of resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp. 306-310). Briefly,
resiliency is the ability of the species to withstand environmental and
demographic stochasticity (for example, wet or dry, warm or cold
years); redundancy is the ability of the species to withstand
catastrophic events (for example, droughts, large pollution events),
and representation is the ability of the species to adapt to both near-
term and long-term changes in its physical and biological environment
(for example, climate conditions, pathogen). In general, species
viability will increase with increases in resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (Smith et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these principles, we
identified the species' ecological requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual, population, and species levels, and
described the beneficial and risk factors influencing the species'
viability.
The SSA process can be categorized into three sequential stages.
During the first stage, we evaluated individual species' life-history
needs. The next stage involved an assessment of the historical and
current condition of the species' demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an explanation of how the species arrived at
its current condition. The final stage of the SSA involved making
predictions about the species' responses to positive and negative
environmental and anthropogenic influences. Throughout all of these
stages, we used the best available information to characterize
viability as the ability of a species to sustain populations in the
wild over time which we then used to inform our regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key results and conclusions from
the SSA report; the full SSA report can be found
[[Page 61391]]
at Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2023-0014 on https://www.regulations.gov.
Summary of Biological Status and Threats
In this discussion, we review the biological condition of the
species and its resources, and the threats that influence the species'
current and future condition, in order to assess the species' overall
viability and the risks to that viability. In addition, the SSA report
(Service 2019a, entire) and most recent 5-year review (Service 2019b,
entire) document our comprehensive biological status review for the
species, including an assessment of the potential threats to the
species.
The following is a summary of this status review and the best
available information gathered since that time that have informed this
decision.
The northeastern bulrush is a wetland obligate plant occurring in
acidic to almost neutral wetlands including sinkhole ponds, wet
depressions, vernal pools (collectively, seasonal or ephemeral
wetlands), beaver flowages, and other riparian areas found in hilly
country (Schuyler 1962, p. 47). Optimal habitat includes abundant
sunlight, higher organic matter (Lentz and Dunson 1999, p. 165), and
seasonally and/or annually fluctuating water levels, although prolonged
periods with too much or too little water may be detrimental. The
northeastern bulrush may be found in a wide range of water depths from
just a few centimeters up to a meter in depth, depending on seasonal
fluctuations in water levels (Thompson 1991, p. 5). Plants typically
grow in open areas surrounded by forest. Light availability is known to
influence plant growth, reproduction, and distribution (Boardman 1977,
p. 372; Lentz and Cipollini 1998, p. 126). Shaded plants are often
taller, but at the expense of the roots and other organs (Lentz and
Cipollini 1998, pp. 127, 129), and the species usually is absent from
the highly shaded perimeter of wetlands.
Current Condition
As stated previously, when the northeastern bulrush was listed in
1991, only 13 populations were known to exist; however, the species is
now known from 148 extant populations in 8 States (Service 2019a, p.
2). The populations can be loosely organized into a northern region and
a southern or Appalachian region, with a large gap in the distribution
in southeastern New York. As described in chapter 4 of the SSA report
(Service 2019a, pp. 25-31), we used element occurrence (E.O.) rank to
assess and describe the current resiliency of northeastern bulrush
populations. E.O. rankings document the status and quality of plant
population occurrences and assess the probability of an occurrence
persisting. We consider the E.O. rank to be the most meaningful way to
describe a population's status, as it requires an in-person observation
and combines multiple components of a population's condition into a
single metric. E.O. ranks are assigned by a surveyor based on
observations beyond just population size, but also habitat conditions
at the site at the time of the survey, conditions over time since its
last observation, and probability of persistence. Our analysis of these
populations (Service 2019a, p. 27) indicates that 132 (89 percent) of
the 148 known extant populations demonstrate excellent, good, and fair
resiliency, and only 16 (11 percent) of the populations demonstrate
poor resiliency or have been extirpated.
Factors Influencing Viability
At the time of listing (see 56 FR 21091; May 7, 1991), habitat
disturbance and destruction from development and other anthropogenic
impacts, especially on private land, was identified as an important
threat to the northeastern bulrush, even though there were only a few
examples of populations that were under imminent threat from these
activities. Since listing, one population has been lost to development,
but overall, the anticipated threat of habitat loss from development
has not materialized and has a much lower overall impact risk because
of the increased number of known populations.
A search of the Service's Tracking and Integrated Logging System,
which has information dating back approximately 15 years, revealed
relatively few consultations under section 7 of the Act between the
Service and Federal agencies on Federal actions that may affect the
northeastern bulrush. Consultations often consider proposals for
development, road construction and/or maintenance, or other habitat
disturbance, and none of the consultations that included northeastern
bulrush anticipated adverse effects to the species. While these search
results do not capture non-Federal actions on private land, in the
available survey and monitoring data, surveyors did not identify any
northeastern bulrush populations as being under threat of extirpation
as a result of development activities since regular surveys began.
Moreover, there is no evidence that the lack of development impacts to
the extant populations is attributable to the protections afforded by
the Act.
At this time, oil and gas development in Pennsylvania is perhaps
the most likely development threat; however, we are not aware of any
information, such as project proposals, that indicates any populations
are under threat from oil and gas development. Accordingly, we conclude
that the threat of the destruction, modification, or curtailment of the
northeastern bulrush's habitat from development is less than previously
thought, and not a significant factor impacting the continued viability
of the species. Although other types of activities such as road
construction, forestry, and recreation are factors that may affect the
species, to date they have not proved to be significant factors
contributing to the risk of extinction of the northeastern bulrush. The
88 northeastern bulrush populations that occur on publicly owned land
(approximately 60 percent of known populations) are provided long-term
protection from risk of development. Publicly owned lands include State
Game Lands, National Wildlife Refuges, National Park Service units, and
lands protected by non-governmental organizations such as The Nature
Conservancy. A description of these factors can be found in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, pp. 21-24).
Native species are known to modify habitat for the northeastern
bulrush and can have meaningful, although mostly temporary, impacts on
populations. Beavers can create flood conditions that negatively impact
the species through increasing water depth by constructing or adding to
a dam and raising the water level in a wetland occupied by the
northeastern bulrush. However, beavers also have a long-term positive
effect on habitat quality by harvesting trees and other woody
vegetation for food and shelter, thereby creating open canopy and
increasing light availability. Trampling by white-tailed deer
(Odocoileus virginianus) and trampling and wallowing by American black
bears (Ursus americanus) have been noted in some northeastern bulrush
populations, and these activities can have mixed, sometimes
substantial, impacts, especially where bulrush populations are very
small. Trampling and soil compaction occur as deer and bears move
through northeastern bulrush sites. Bears excavate wallows near the
edge of wetlands, and some northeastern bulrush populations have been
impacted by this activity. Wallows can be big enough to affect entire
populations if the populations are very small; however, wallows also
can be beneficial as they help create areas of open water, which are
important during
[[Page 61392]]
dry periods. These factors affect a small number of populations, and it
appears that the timing, location, and scale of the trampling and
wallows that would need to align to extirpate a population occur with
such infrequency as to be discountable. Therefore, while beaver
activity, trampling, and wallowing can cause substantial localized
impacts to individual northeastern bulrush populations, these are not
significant factors contributing to the risk of extinction.
There is no evidence the species is used for commercial or
recreational purposes, or that the scientific and/or educational uses
(e.g., seed collection, surveys, etc.) have significant impacts.
Similarly, disease has not been documented as a factor affecting the
species. Browsing by white-tailed deer has been noted in some
northeastern bulrush populations in the Appalachian region; although it
has not been reported in the northern region, it likely occurs
rangewide at a similar scale as the Appalachian region. Deer browsing
may affect plant fitness, particularly if other factors, such as
decreased light availability, are affecting the population. Deer
browsing impacts under these conditions likely affects a small number
of populations, and it appears that the timing, location, and scale of
the browsing that would need to align to extirpate a population occur
with such infrequency as to be discountable. Therefore,
overutilization, disease, and predation do not constitute a risk to the
northeastern bulrush.
The wetland habitats in which the northeastern bulrush occurs are
protected by State statutes and regulations, although these mechanisms
typically include a permitting process that allows direct impacts to
wetlands. Some States have additional statutes or regulations or both
that protect the northeastern bulrush or its habitat. For example,
Vermont, New York, and Massachusetts require protection of upland
buffers and permits to work within wetlands; however, State protection
of upland areas around the wetlands is inconsistent, and disturbance
such as roads or other development near wetlands can cause indirect
effects such as sedimentation, altered hydrology, and introduction of
invasive species.
The species is designated as State endangered throughout its range,
except in West Virginia, and these State designations are independent
of the species' Federal status. West Virginia does not have a State law
to protect endangered species, but only three northeastern bulrush
populations occur in West Virginia. The States that currently protect
the northeastern bulrush under State law require, at a minimum, project
proponents to coordinate with State resource agencies to develop
minimization measures for projects that may affect the northeastern
bulrush or its habitat. The Regulatory Protection discussion in the SSA
report (Service 2019a, pp. 17-21) includes a summary of our current
understanding of the laws and regulations regarding wetlands and
buffers in States where the northeastern bulrush occurs. The best
available information indicates that the northeastern bulrush is not
threatened by inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms.
Climate change, especially in the southern portion of its range, is
the primary factor influencing the viability of the northeastern
bulrush. Although the species exists in wetlands that regularly
experience fluctuating water levels, the northeastern bulrush and its
habitat are susceptible to floods and droughts. Based on global,
regional, and local climate models (Service 2019a, chapter 5), we
expect that changes in climate will impact the northeastern bulrush's
habitat by changing the amount, timing, and severity of precipitation
and drought, and the number of extreme precipitation events. Higher
temperatures, without increasing summer precipitation, may cause
wetlands to dry up earlier, and an extended growing season may allow
other vegetation to encroach upon, compete with, and increase shading
of, northeastern bulrush plants. We expect these impacts to be more
noticeable in populations that occur in seasonal wetlands. We expect
beaver activity may at least partially mitigate effects of changing
climate by regulating water levels through damming, maintaining larger
wetlands and open area compared to seasonal wetlands, and removing
trees and reducing shading at the wetland perimeter.
The 13 populations (8.7 percent of known extant populations) in
seasonal wetlands that are currently in poor condition are the most
vulnerable to the effects of changing climate and have a high risk of
extirpation. However, the populations in beaver wetlands are much less
vulnerable to the effects of changing climate and have a low risk of
extirpation. Rangewide, most populations (78 percent) occur in seasonal
wetlands, but the distribution is geographically disparate. In the New
England region, 60.4 percent of populations (29 of 48) occur in beaver
wetlands, while in the Appalachian region, 97 percent of populations
(97 of 100) occur in seasonal wetlands (Service 2019a, p. 29).
Additional information on the effects of climate change on the
northeastern bulrush can be found in the SSA report (Service 2019a, pp.
33-34).
Future Condition Analysis
We modeled a single scenario to assess the potential future
viability of the northeastern bulrush in the context of the factors
influencing species viability and resiliency, representation, and
redundancy. Due to uncertainties with factors such as fluctuating water
levels, climatic stochasticity, light availability, and regulatory
protection, we used EO rank to assess future resiliency condition,
consistent with our current condition analysis.
We explored plausible changes in the factors considered in an EO
ranking, such as population size, biotic factors, abiotic factors, and
landscape context (Hammerson et al. 2008) to anticipate future changes
in EO rank at each population. We were unable to explicitly predict
changes in population size; however, we were able to use existing
climate models to qualitatively anticipate effects of changing climate
on biotic and abiotic factors (i.e., habitat type and quality). We used
the same population resiliency scoring model for future condition that
we used for current condition. Accordingly, to describe plausible
future viability, we model future resiliency at the population level
and reasonably reliable trends in redundancy and representation at the
rangewide scale (see Service 2019a, pp. 32-39).
We considered the potential consequences of climate change and
carried the scenario approximately 30 years into the future (2050) to
be considered our foreseeable future because we have information to
reasonably reliably predict changes in climate within this timeframe.
We first modeled the response of northeastern bulrush habitat to
changes in climate consistent with representative concentration pathway
(RCP) 8.5. The best available information, as summarized in the SSA
report, generally presents this scenario as a plausible, high-emissions
scenario anticipating greater changes in climate than moderate climate
scenarios, such as RCP 4.5. Available information also suggests the
probability of scenarios worse than RCP 8.5 is low. Therefore, RCP 8.5
presents a worst case, but still plausible, scenario for northeastern
bulrush habitat. As our analysis using RCP 8.5 resulted in the
northeastern bulrush not meeting the Act's definition of an endangered
or a threatened species, it follows that additional analyses using RCP
4.5 or another
[[Page 61393]]
moderate-emissions climate model would result in lower magnitude
effects on the species' habitat and, ultimately, the same listing
determination. Therefore, we did not bracket our analysis with lower
emissions climate models.
We generally anticipate, and modeling reflects, that climate change
is likely to impact the species' habitat through higher water levels
early in the growing season followed by hotter summers and a faster
drying cycle. For the northeastern bulrush, this will affect
fluctuating water levels, climatic stochasticity, and light
availability, resulting in neutral effects on beaver wetlands and
negative effects on seasonal wetlands. We expect beavers to mitigate
anticipated climate changes at beaver wetlands by thinning canopy cover
and regulating water levels by damming. In addition, while we are not
aware of climate studies examining specific effects on beavers, beavers
occur within and outside the range of the northeastern bulrush in
diverse landscapes, some of which are hotter and have different
precipitation regimes. Accordingly, we anticipate beavers will remain
within the range of the northeastern bulrush through 2050. Therefore,
we expect no reduction in northeastern bulrush population
representation in beaver wetlands before 2050 beyond that which could
occur through normal beaver use and disuse of wetlands.
Our future scenario anticipated moderate negative effects on
resiliency, a slight decline in representation and redundancy, and
extirpation of 13 populations (2 in the northern region and 11 in the
Appalachian region) from seasonal wetlands. In 2050, approximately 135
populations would remain distributed across a large geographical range
in at least three physiographic provinces, two habitat types, and all
currently occupied States. The number of future populations could be
slightly higher if new populations are discovered. The species likely
would retain low genetic diversity, especially in the northern region.
The species' apparent limited dispersal capacity will reduce its
ability to shift its range in response to changing climate. However,
the species would retain its redundancy driven by a wide geographic
distribution and retain representation via the use of a variety of
environmental settings (habitat and physiographic provinces).
We note that, by using the SSA framework to guide our analysis of
the scientific information documented in the SSA report, we have
analyzed the cumulative effects of identified threats and conservation
actions on the species. To assess the current and future condition of
the species, we evaluate the effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species, including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework considers not just the presence of
the factors, but to what degree they collectively influence risk to the
entire species, our assessment integrates the cumulative effects of the
factors and replaces a standalone cumulative-effects analysis.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory Mechanisms
There are many conservation measures that benefit the northeastern
bulrush's viability. These measures are consistent with those described
in the recovery plan (Service 1993, entire) and include protection
through State endangered species laws, protection through State wetland
protection laws, protection of sites through perpetual conservation
easements and public land ownership, surveys to monitor known
populations and to locate additional populations, research efforts to
better understand the species' life history, propagation and
transplantation efforts, canopy thinning, invasive species control
measures, and active management to address shrub encroachment.
Determination of Northeastern Bulrush Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species meets the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species. The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
species that is in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is
likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires
that we determine whether a species meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened species because of any of the
following factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
After evaluating threats to the species and assessing the
cumulative effect of the threats under the Act's section 4(a)(1)
factors, we listed the northeastern bulrush in 1991 (see 56 FR 21091;
May 7, 1991). At that time, there were only 13 known occurrences, and
the species faced threats from habitat loss primarily due to land
conversion for development. The northeastern bulrush has been the
subject of recovery efforts since it was listed under the Act, and the
discovery of previously unknown populations, research leading to the
understanding of the species' needs, and identification of management
actions that support those needs have led to a revised assessment of
the status of the species since that time.
As explained above, while the recovery plan does not include
delisting criteria, our analysis presented in the SSA report (Service
2019a, entire) shows that the intent of the recovery plan's downlisting
criteria (Service 1993, p. 37) has been exceeded substantially,
supporting our conclusion that the species is neither endangered nor
threatened. The underlying purpose and intent of each of the three
downlisting criteria has been exceeded by a wide margin. At the time of
listing in 1991, there were 13 known extant populations in 6 States. By
the time the recovery plan was approved 2 years later, in 1993, 33
extant populations had been identified. Largely due to increased survey
effort, there are presently 148 known extant populations in 8 States;
this amounts to a 4-fold increase in known populations since the
downlisting criteria were established. The first downlisting criterion
in the recovery plan calls for permanent protection of 20 populations.
Eighty-nine (approximately 60 percent) of the 148 known extant
populations occur on public lands. This number greatly exceeds the
protected populations called for in the first downlisting criterion,
and we have also determined that the threat from development is less
than projected at the time we completed the recovery plan (1993).
Accordingly, we conclude that the intent of this criterion has been
substantially exceeded. The second criterion calls for 20 stable or
increasing populations. Of the 148 extant populations, 132 are in
excellent, good, or fair condition, which is an order of magnitude
higher than the number of stable or increasing populations called for
in the second downlisting criterion. The third downlisting criterion
calls for increased understanding of the species' life-
[[Page 61394]]
history and ecological requirements. Research on the effects of
hydrology, shading, herbivory, genetics, propagation, transplantation,
and nutrients on germination and plant growth has provided
understanding that is sufficient to support long-term management of
northeastern bulrush populations (e.g., Lentz and Cipollini 1998,
entire; Lentz and Dunson 1998, entire).
As discussed, under current conditions, there are 148 known
populations of northeastern bulrush distributed throughout 4
physiographic provinces in 8 States--New Hampshire, Vermont,
Massachusetts, New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia, and West
Virginia. The increase in known populations since listing is due
primarily to increased survey effort, and it is possible that more
populations will be found in the future. Despite the dynamic nature of
the species' life history, there have been only a few (9) documented
extirpations of extant populations (Service 2019a, p. 27). Some
populations have benefited from habitat management, but we are not
aware of any populations that were newly established or re-established
after extirpation as a result of outplanting or other restoration
efforts. Our analysis of these populations in the SSA report (Service
2019a, p. 27) indicates that 89 percent of the populations demonstrate
excellent, good, and fair resiliency, and only 11 percent of the
populations demonstrate poor resiliency.
Development activities are no longer considered a significant
threat. Deer browsing and trampling, as well as trampling and wallowing
by black bears, have been noted in some populations, and these
activities can have detrimental effects on a population, particularly
if other factors, such as decreased light availability, are affecting
the population. However, these factors affect only a small number of
populations, and the likelihood is low that browsing, trampling, or
wallowing would occur in a particular population with poor resiliency
and with sufficient magnitude to affect the entire population.
Accordingly, we conclude that browsing, trampling, and wallowing either
individually or cumulatively are not likely to cause the extirpation of
a population and, therefore, are not significant factors contributing
to the risk of extinction of the northeastern bulrush.
Regulatory protections afforded to the northeastern bulrush include
State wetland protections and State endangered species regulations.
These protections apply independently of the species' Federal status
under the Act and, at a minimum, require project proponents to
coordinate with State resource agencies to develop minimization
measures for projects that may affect the northeastern bulrush or its
habitat. A description of the States' regulatory protections can be
found in the SSA report (Service 2019a, pp. 17-21).
Since the listing of the northeastern bulrush in 1991, we have
become aware of the potential for the effects of climate change to
affect organisms and ecosystems, including the northeastern bulrush. To
inform our understanding of the species' risk of extinction, we modeled
a single future scenario detailed above in Summary of Biological Status
and Threats. This future scenario, by itself, does not provide an
estimate of the species' risk of extinction, but it does help us better
understand the extent to which threats would have to further affect the
species to cause extinction, considering the present population figures
and resiliency status. Based on the best information regarding the
species' current condition and threats, we projected how the threats
would manifest under this ``worst case'' scenario and how the species
would respond.
To summarize, our greater knowledge regarding the prevalence of
northeastern bulrush populations and the impacts of natural and
artificial systems and disturbances on the species results in a
conclusion that the overall extinction risk for the northeastern
bulrush is much lower than we had previously determined it to be at the
time the species was listed in 1991 (see 56 FR 21091; May 7, 1991).
Considering our modeled ``worst case'' future scenario, it is apparent
that the risk of threats manifesting in such a way as to cause
extinction of the species is very low. Known impacts at the time of
listing, such as habitat loss due to development and inadequate
regulatory protections, that could have resulted in the extirpation of
populations have either been reduced or have not materialized since
listing. Through our assessment of future condition, including the
status of known stressors and probable impacts of climate change, we
anticipate that 88 percent of populations across the range of the
species would maintain high, moderate, or fair resiliency over a
timeframe of approximately 30 years into the future. We, therefore,
conclude the previously recognized impacts to the northeastern bulrush
from present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of
its habitat or range; overutilization for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes; disease or predation; the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; and other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued existence do not rise to a
level of significance, either individually or in combination, such that
the species is in danger of extinction now or likely to become so
within the foreseeable future. Thus, after assessing the best available
scientific information, we conclude that the northeastern bulrush is
not in danger of extinction now or likely to become so within the
foreseeable future throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. Having determined that the northeastern bulrush is not in
danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range, we now consider whether it may be in
danger of extinction (i.e., endangered) or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future (i.e., threatened) in a significant portion of its
range--that is, whether there is any portion of the species' range for
which both (1) the portion is significant; and, (2) the species is in
danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
in that portion. Depending on the case, it might be more efficient for
us to address the ``significance'' question or the ``status'' question
first. We can choose to address either question first. Regardless of
which question we address first, if we reach a negative answer with
respect to the first question that we address, we do not need to
evaluate the other question for that portion of the species' range.
In undertaking this analysis for northeastern bulrush, we choose to
address the status question first. We began by identifying portions of
the range where the biological status of the species may be different
from its biological status elsewhere in its range. For this purpose, we
considered information pertaining to the geographic distribution of (a)
individuals of the species, (b) the threats that the species faces, and
(c) the resiliency condition of populations.
We evaluated the range of the northeastern bulrush to determine if
the species is in danger of extinction now or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future in any portion of its range. The range of a
species can theoretically be divided into portions in an infinite
number of ways. We focused our
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analysis on portions of the species' range that may meet the definition
of an endangered species or a threatened species. For northeastern
bulrush, we considered whether the threats or their effects on the
species are greater in any biologically meaningful portion of the
species' range than in other portions such that the species is in
danger of extinction now or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in that portion.
We examined the following threats and cumulative impacts of these
threats: (1) habitat disturbance and destruction from development; (2)
beaver activity; (3) deer and bear activities, such as trampling,
browsing, and wallowing; and (4) climate change. As stated previously
under Summary of Biological Status and Threats, when this species was
listed, habitat disturbance and destruction from development and other
anthropogenic impacts was identified as an important threat to the
northeastern bulrush. However, since listing, the anticipated threat of
habitat loss from development has not materialized in any portion of
the range, and we conclude that the threat of habitat disturbance and
destruction from development does not rise to a level that threatens
the species now or into the future. Similarly, while we identified
threats of beaver activity, trampling, and wallowing that can cause
localized impacts to individual northeastern bulrush populations, these
factors are not occurring at a significant level in any portion of the
species' range.
The effects of climate change differ between the northern and
southern portions of the range of the northeastern bulrush, as most
populations in the southern portion of the range occur in seasonal
wetlands while populations in the northern portion are more evenly
distributed between seasonal wetlands and beaver marshes. Changing
climatic conditions will include more precipitation during winters,
higher temperatures throughout the species' range, and an increased
frequency of extreme precipitation events. We project these conditions
will have more negative effects on seasonal wetlands and neutral
effects on beaver marshes, equating to a slightly elevated risk from
climate change in the southern portion of the range. As described in
the SSA report (Service 2019a, pp. 32-39), climate change under a
worst-case scenario could contribute to extirpation of 13 populations
(2 populations in the northern portion and 11 in the southern portion)
across the species' range. However, there are still projected to be 135
populations remaining: 46 populations in the northern portion (96% of
extant populations) and 89 in the southern portion (89%), providing
representation and redundancy within each portion and across the
species' range. Moreover, it is projected that the southern and
northern portions of the range will each retain strong resiliency, with
more than 85 percent of populations in the southern portion and 93
percent in the northern portion projected to maintain high, moderate,
or fair resiliency.
Our conclusion regarding the current and future viability of the
species is supported by multiple, sufficiently resilient populations
distributed across representative ecological settings and physiographic
provinces and encompassing most of the species' known genetic
diversity. We found no biologically meaningful portion of the
northeastern bulrush's range where the condition of the species differs
from its condition elsewhere in its range such that the status of the
species in that portion differs from its status in any other portion of
the species' range.
Therefore, we find that the species is not in danger of extinction
now or likely to become so in the foreseeable future in any significant
portion of its range. This does not conflict with the courts' holdings
in Desert Survivors v. U.S. Department of the Interior, 321 F. Supp. 3d
1011, 1070-74 (N.D. Cal. 2018) and Center for Biological Diversity v.
Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d. 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017) because, in reaching
this conclusion, we did not apply the aspects of the Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase ``Significant Portion of Its Range'' in
the Endangered Species Act's Definitions of ``Endangered Species'' and
``Threatened Species'' (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014), including the
definition of ``significant'' that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and commercial data available
indicates that the northeastern bulrush does not meet the definition of
an endangered species or a threatened species in accordance with
sections 3(6) and 3(20) of the Act. In accordance with our regulations
at 50 CFR 424.11(e)(2), currently in effect, the species has recovered
to the point at which it no longer meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened species. Therefore, we propose to
remove northeastern bulrush from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants.
Effects of This Rule
This proposed rule, if made final, would revise 50 CFR 17.12(h) by
removing northeastern bulrush [species] from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants. The prohibitions and conservation
measures provided by the Act, particularly through sections 7 and 9,
would no longer apply to this species. Federal agencies would no longer
be required to consult with the Service under section 7 of the Act in
the event that activities they authorize, fund, or carry out may affect
northeastern bulrush.
There is no critical habitat designated for this species, so there
would be no effect to 50 CFR 17.96.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us, in cooperation with the
States, to implement a monitoring program for not less than 5 years for
all species that have been recovered. Post-delisting monitoring (PDM)
refers to activities undertaken to verify that a species delisted due
to recovery remains secure from the risk of extinction after the
protections of the Act no longer apply. The primary goal of PDM is to
monitor the species to ensure that its status does not deteriorate, and
if a decline is detected, to take measures to halt the decline so that
proposing it as endangered or threatened is not again needed. If at any
time during the monitoring period data indicate that protective status
under the Act should be reinstated, we can initiate listing procedures,
including, if appropriate, emergency listing.
We will coordinate with other Federal agencies, State resource
agencies, interested scientific organizations, and others as
appropriate to develop and implement an effective PDM plan for
northeastern bulrush. The PDM plan will build upon current research and
effective management practices that have improved the status of the
species since listing. Ensuring continued implementation of proven
management strategies that have been developed to sustain the species
will be a fundamental goal for the PDM plan. The PDM plan will identify
measurable management thresholds and responses for detecting and
reacting to significant changes in northeastern bulrush numbers,
distribution, and persistence. If declines are detected equaling or
exceeding these thresholds, the Service, in combination with other PDM
participants, will investigate causes of these declines. The
investigation will be to determine if the northeastern bulrush warrants
expanded monitoring, additional research, additional habitat
protection, or resumption of Federal protection under the Act.
We appreciate any information on what should be included in post-
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delisting monitoring strategies for these species (see Information
Requested, above).
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Rule
We are required by Executive Orders 12866 and 12988 and by the
Presidential Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain
language. This means that each rule we publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
revise the rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For
example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or paragraphs
that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long,
the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in this rulemaking is available
on the internet at https://www.regulations.gov and upon request from
the New England Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed rule are the staff members of
the Fish and Wildlife Service's Species Assessment Team and the New
England Ecological Services Field Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Plants,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Transportation, Wildlife.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we propose to amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter
I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245, unless
otherwise noted.
Sec. 17.12 [Amended]
0
2. In Sec. 17.12, amend paragraph (h) by removing the entry for
``Scirpus ancistrochaetus'' under FLOWERING PLANTS from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants.
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2024-16417 Filed 7-30-24; 8:45 am]
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