Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and 2012 Particulate Matter Standards, 47398-47438 [2024-11807]
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R09–OAR–2024–0005; FRL–11919–
01–R9]
Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air
Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona;
Regional Haze State Implementation
Plan for the Second Implementation
Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the
2015 Ozone and 2012 Particulate
Matter Standards
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing to partially
approve and partially disapprove the
regional haze state implementation plan
(SIP) revision submitted by Arizona on
August 15, 2022 (‘‘2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan’’), under the Clean
Air Act (CAA) and the EPA’s Regional
Haze Rule for the program’s second
implementation period. Arizona’s SIP
submission addresses the requirement
that states must periodically revise their
long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress towards the
national goal of preventing any future,
and remedying any existing,
anthropogenic impairment of visibility,
including regional haze, in mandatory
Class I Federal areas. The SIP
submission also addresses other
applicable requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program. Within this action, the
EPA is also proposing to disapprove the
visibility transport prong of Arizona’s
infrastructure SIP submittals for the
2012 annual fine particulate matter
(PM2.5) and 2015 ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS). The EPA is taking this action
pursuant to CAA sections 110 and
169A.
SUMMARY:
Written comments must be
received on or before July 1, 2024.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R09–
OAR–2024–0005 at https://
www.regulations.gov. For comments
submitted at Regulations.gov, follow the
online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments
cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish
any comment received to its public
docket. Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be
confidential business information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
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DATES:
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submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment
contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
For the full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets. If you need
assistance in a language other than
English or if you are a person with a
disability who needs a reasonable
accommodation at no cost to you, please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Khoi Nguyen, Geographic Strategies &
Modeling Section (AIR–2–2), Planning &
Analysis Branch, EPA Region IX, 75
Hawthorne Street, San Francisco, CA
94105, (415) 947–4120, or by email at
nguyen.khoi@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document, ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’
and ‘‘our’’ refer to the EPA.
Table of Contents
I. What action is the EPA proposing for
regional haze?
II. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for
the Second Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
IV. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Arizona’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
B. Overview of Arizona’s Second
Implementation Period SIP Submission
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and
Natural Visibility Conditions; Progress to
Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
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1. Arizona’s Long-Term Strategy in the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
2. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s LongTerm Strategy
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Additional Monitoring To Assess
Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment
H. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
I. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
J. Requirements for State and Federal Land
Manager Coordination
V. Prong 4 (Visibility) of the 2012 PM2.5
NAAQS and 2015 Ozone NAAQS
Infrastructure SIPs
A. Infrastructure SIPs
B. Prong 4 Requirements
1. 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS
2. 2015 Ozone NAAQS
C. Arizona’s Prong 4 Elements
D. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Submittal
VI. Proposed Action
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. What action is the EPA proposing for
regional haze?
On August 15, 2022,1 the Arizona
Department of Environmental Quality
(ADEQ) submitted the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan. ADEQ
supplemented its SIP revision on
August 25, 2023, with nonpoint source
rules (‘‘2023 Arizona Regional Haze
Rules Supplement’’).2 ADEQ made these
SIP submissions to satisfy requirements
of the CAA’s regional haze program
pursuant to CAA sections 169A and
169B and 40 CFR 51.308. The EPA is
proposing to partially approve and
partially disapprove the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan. For the reasons
described in this document, the EPA is
proposing to approve the elements of
the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
related to requirements contained in 40
CFR 51.308(f)(1), (f)(4)–(6), and (g)(1)–
(5). The EPA is proposing to disapprove
the elements of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan related to
requirements contained in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2), (f)(3), and (i)(2)–(4). We are
1 Letter dated August 15, 2022, from Daniel
Czecholinski, Director, Arizona Department of
Environmental Quality Air Quality Division, to
Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA
Region IX (submitted electronically August 15,
2022). On August 16, 2022, the EPA determined
that the SIP submittal met the completeness criteria
outlined in 40 CFR part 51, Appendix V. Letter
dated August 16, 2022, from Elizabeth Adams,
Director, Air and Radiation Division, EPA Region
IX, to Daniel Czecholinski, Director, Arizona
Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality
Division.
2 Letter dated August 21, 2023, from Daniel
Czecholinski, Director, Arizona Department of
Environmental Quality Air Quality Division, to
Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA
Region IX (submitted electronically August 25,
2023).
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not proposing to act on the 2023
Arizona Regional Haze Rules
Supplement at this time.
II. Background and Requirements for
Regional Haze Plans
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A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA Amendments,
Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation’s
mandatory Class I Federal areas, which
include certain national parks and
wilderness areas.3 The CAA establishes
as a national goal the ‘‘prevention of any
future, and the remedying of any
existing, impairment of visibility in
mandatory class I Federal areas which
impairment results from manmade air
pollution.’’ 4 The CAA further directs
the EPA to promulgate regulations to
assure reasonable progress toward
meeting this national goal.5 On
December 2, 1980, the EPA promulgated
regulations to address visibility
impairment in mandatory Class I
Federal areas (hereinafter referred to as
‘‘Class I areas’’) that is ‘‘reasonably
attributable’’ to a single source or small
group of sources.6 These regulations,
codified at 40 CFR 51.300 through
51.307, represented the first phase of the
EPA’s efforts to address visibility
impairment. In 1990, Congress added
section 169B to the CAA to further
address visibility impairment,
specifically, impairment from regional
haze.7 The EPA promulgated the
Regional Haze Rule (RHR), codified at
40 CFR 51.308,8 on July 1, 1999.9 These
regional haze regulations are a central
component of the EPA’s comprehensive
visibility protection program for Class I
areas.
Regional haze is visibility impairment
that is produced by a multitude of
anthropogenic sources and activities
3 CAA 169A. Areas statutorily designated as
mandatory Class I Federal areas consist of national
parks exceeding 6,000 acres, wilderness areas and
national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres, and
all international parks that were in existence on
August 7, 1977. CAA 162(a). There are 156
mandatory Class I areas. The list of areas to which
the requirements of the visibility protection
program apply is in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.
4 CAA 169A(a)(1).
5 CAA 169A(a)(4).
6 45 FR 80084 (December 2, 1980).
7 CAA 169B.
8 In addition to the generally applicable regional
haze provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also
promulgated regulations specific to addressing
regional haze visibility impairment in Class I areas
on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. ADEQ
submitted SIP revisions to address the regional haze
regulations at 40 CFR 51.309, on December 23,
2003, December 30, 2004, and December 24, 2008.
The EPA approved certain burning and smoke
management rules that were part of the 2008 SIP
submittal, but disapproved the remainder of those
submittals. 78 FR 48326 (August 8, 2013).
9 64 FR 35714.
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which are located across a broad
geographic area and that emit pollutants
that impair visibility. Visibility
impairing pollutants include fine and
coarse particulate matter (PM) (e.g.,
sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and
their precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide
(SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds
(VOC) and ammonia (NH3)). Fine
particle precursors react in the
atmosphere to form PM2.5, which
impairs visibility by scattering and
absorbing light. Visibility impairment
reduces the perception of clarity and
color, as well as visible distance.10
To address regional haze visibility
impairment, the 1999 RHR established
an iterative planning process that
requires both states in which Class I
areas are located and states ‘‘the
emissions from which may reasonably
be anticipated to cause or contribute to
any impairment of visibility’’ in a Class
I area to periodically submit SIP
revisions to address such impairment.11
Under the CAA, each SIP submission
must contain ‘‘a long-term (ten to fifteen
years) strategy for making reasonable
progress toward meeting the national
goal.’’ 12 The initial round of SIP
submissions also had to address the
statutory requirement that certain older,
larger sources of visibility impairing
pollutants install and operate the best
available retrofit technology (BART).13
10 There are several ways to measure the amount
of visibility impairment, i.e., haze. One such
measurement is the deciview, which is the
principal metric used by the RHR. Under many
circumstances, a change in one deciview will be
perceived by the human eye to be the same on both
clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric
extinction of light, which is the perceived dimming
of light due to its being scattered and absorbed as
it passes through the atmosphere. Atmospheric light
extinction (bext) is a metric used for expressing
visibility and is measured in inverse megameters
(Mm¥1). The EPA’s Guidance on Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period (‘‘2019 Guidance’’) offers
the flexibility for the use of light extinction in
certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use
in calculations than deciviews, since it is not a
logarithmic function. See, e.g., 2019 Guidance, pp
16, 19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidanceregional-haze-state-implementation-plans-secondimplementation-period, The EPA Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for the
deciview is 10 ln (bext)/10 Mm ¥ 1). 40 CFR 51.301.
11 CAA 169A(b)(2). The RHR expresses the
statutory requirement for states to submit plans
addressing out-of-state class I areas by providing
that states must address visibility impairment ‘‘in
each mandatory Class I Federal area located outside
the State that may be affected by emissions from
within the State.’’ 40 CFR 51.308(d), (f). See also 40
CFR 51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates for
iterative regional haze SIP revisions); (64 FR at
35768, July 1, 1999).
12 CAA 169A(b)(2)(B).
13 CAA 169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e).
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States’ first regional haze SIPs were due
by December 17, 2007,14 with
subsequent SIP submissions containing
updated long-term strategies originally
due July 31, 2018, and every ten years
thereafter.15 The EPA established in the
1999 RHR that all states either have
Class I areas within their borders or
‘‘contain sources whose emissions are
reasonably anticipated to contribute to
regional haze in a Class I area;’’
therefore, all states must submit regional
haze SIPs.16
Much of the focus in the first
implementation period of the regional
haze program, which ran from 2007
through 2018, was on satisfying states’
BART obligations. First implementation
period SIPs were additionally required
to contain long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress toward the
national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required
elements for the first implementation
period SIPs (other than BART) are laid
out in 40 CFR 51.308(d). Those
provisions required that states
containing Class I areas establish
reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that
are measured in deciviews and reflect
the anticipated visibility conditions at
the end of the implementation period
including from implementation of
states’ long-term strategies. The first
planning period RPGs were required to
provide for an improvement in visibility
for the most impaired days over the
period of the implementation plan and
ensure no degradation in visibility for
the least impaired days over the same
period. In establishing the RPGs for any
Class I area in a state, the state was
required to consider four statutory
factors: the costs of compliance, the
time necessary for compliance, the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
potentially affected sources.17
States were also required to calculate
baseline (using the five year period of
2000–2004) and natural visibility
conditions (i.e., visibility conditions
without anthropogenic visibility
impairment) for each Class I area, and
to calculate the linear rate of progress
needed to attain natural visibility
conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004
14 40
CFR 51.308(b).
FR at 35768 (July 1, 1999).
16 Id. at 35721. In addition to each of the fifty
states, the EPA also concluded that the Virgin
Islands and District of Columbia must also submit
regional haze SIPs because they either contain a
Class I area or contain sources whose emissions are
reasonably anticipated to contribute regional haze
in a Class I area. See 40 CFR 51.300(b), (d)(3).
17 CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).
15 64
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and ending with natural conditions in
2064. This linear interpolation is known
as the uniform rate of progress (URP)
and is used as a tracking metric to help
states assess the amount of progress they
are making towards the national
visibility goal over time in each Class I
area.18 The 1999 RHR also provided that
States’ long-term strategies must include
the ‘‘enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance, schedules, and other
measures as necessary to achieve the
reasonable progress goals.’’ 19 In
establishing their long-term strategies,
states are required to consult with other
states that also contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area and
include all measures necessary to obtain
their shares of the emission reductions
needed to meet the RPGs.20 Section
51.308(d) also contains seven additional
factors states must consider in
formulating their long-term strategies,21
as well as provisions governing
monitoring and other implementation
plan requirements.22 Finally, the 1999
RHR required states to submit periodic
progress reports, which are SIP
revisions due every five years that
contain information on states’
implementation of their regional haze
plans and an assessment of whether
anything additional is needed to make
reasonable progress,23 and to consult
with the Federal Land Manager(s) 24
(FLMs) responsible for each Class I area
according to the requirements in CAA
section 169A(d) and 40 CFR 51.308(i).
On January 10, 2017, the EPA
promulgated revisions to the RHR,
18 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2). The EPA
established the URP framework in the 1999 RHR to
provide ‘‘an equitable analytical approach’’ to
assessing the rate of visibility improvement at Class
I areas across the country. The starting point for the
URP analysis is 2004 and the endpoint was
calculated based on the amount of visibility
improvement that was anticipated to result from
implementation of existing CAA programs over the
period from the mid-1990s to approximately 2005.
Assuming this rate of progress would continue into
the future, the EPA determined that natural
visibility conditions would be reached in 60 years,
or 2064 (60 years from the baseline starting point
of 2004). However, the EPA did not establish 2064
as the year by which the national goal must be
reached. 64 FR at 35731–32. That is, the URP and
the 2064 date are not enforceable targets but are
rather tools that ‘‘allow for analytical comparisons
between the rate of progress that would be achieved
by the state’s chosen set of control measures and the
URP.’’ 82 FR 3078, 3084 (January 10, 2017).
19 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3).
20 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii).
21 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v).
22 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4).
23 See 40 CFR 51.308(g), (h).
24 The EPA’s regulations define ‘‘Federal Land
Manager’’ as ‘‘the Secretary of the department with
authority over the Federal Class I area (or the
Secretary’s designee) or, with respect to RooseveltCampobello International Park, the Chairman of the
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park
Commission.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
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which apply for the second and
subsequent implementation periods.25
The 2017 rulemaking made several
changes to the requirements for regional
haze SIPs to clarify States’ obligations
and streamline certain regional haze
requirements. The revisions to the
regional haze program for the second
and subsequent implementation periods
focused on the requirement that States’
SIPs contain long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. The reasonable
progress requirements as revised in the
2017 rulemaking (referred to here as the
2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40
CFR 51.308(f). Among other changes,
the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the
deadline for States to submit their
second implementation period SIPs
from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021,
clarified the order of analysis and the
relationship between RPGs and the
long-term strategy, and focused on
making visibility improvements on the
days with the most anthropogenic
visibility impairment, as opposed to the
days with the most visibility
impairment overall. The EPA also
revised requirements of the visibility
protection program related to periodic
progress reports and FLM consultation.
The specific requirements applicable to
second implementation period regional
haze SIP submissions are addressed in
detail in Section III of this document.
The EPA provided guidance to the
states for their second implementation
period SIP submissions in the preamble
to the 2017 RHR Revisions as well as in
subsequent, stand-alone guidance
documents. In August 2019, the EPA
issued ‘‘Guidance on Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2019
Guidance’’).26 On July 8, 2021, the EPA
issued a memorandum containing
‘‘Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze
State Implementation Plans for the
Second Implementation Period’’ (‘‘2021
Clarifications Memo’’).27 Additionally,
the EPA further clarified the
recommended procedures for processing
ambient visibility data and optionally
25 82
FR 3078.
on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
visibility/guidance-regional-haze-stateimplementation-plans-second-implementationperiod. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20,
2019).
27 Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second
Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2021-07/clarificationsregarding-regional-haze-state-implementationplans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf.
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
26 Guidance
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adjusting the URP to account for
international anthropogenic and
prescribed fire impacts in two technical
guidance documents: the December
2018 ‘‘Technical Guidance on Tracking
Visibility Progress for the Second
Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program’’ (‘‘2018 Visibility
Tracking Guidance’’),28 and the June
2020 ‘‘Recommendation for the Use of
Patched and Substituted Data and
Clarification of Data Completeness for
Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the
Regional Haze Program’’ and associated
Technical Addendum (‘‘2020 Data
Completeness Memo’’).29
As explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends
the second implementation period of
the regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants that build on the
significant progress states have achieved
to date. The Agency also recognizes that
analyses regarding reasonable progress
are state-specific and that, based on
states’ and sources’ individual
circumstances, what constitutes
reasonable reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants will vary from
state-to-state. While there exist many
opportunities for states to leverage both
ongoing and upcoming emissions
reductions under other CAA programs,
the Agency expects states to undertake
rigorous reasonable progress analyses
that identify further opportunities to
advance the national visibility goal
consistent with the statutory and
regulatory requirements.30 This is
consistent with Congress’s
determination that a visibility
protection program is needed in
addition to the CAA’s NAAQS and
Prevention of Significant Deterioration
(PSD) programs, as further emissions
reductions may be necessary to
adequately protect visibility in Class I
areas throughout the country.31
28 Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of
the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/
visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibilityprogress-second-implementation-period-regional
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park. (December 20,
2018).
29 Recommendation for the Use of Patched and
Substituted Data and Clarification of Data
Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional
Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/
memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-datausage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program
The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (June 3, 2020).
30 See generally 2021 Clarifications Memo.
31 See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95–294 p. 205 (‘‘In
determining how to best remedy the growing
visibility problem in these areas of great scenic
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B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and
pollution affecting visibility in Class I
areas can be transported over long
distances, successful implementation of
the regional haze program requires longterm, regional coordination among
multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and
the emissions that impact visibility in
those areas. To address regional haze,
states need to develop strategies in
coordination with one another,
considering the effect of emissions from
one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning
organizations (RPOs),32 which include
representation from state and Tribal
governments, the EPA, and FLMs, were
developed in the lead-up to the first
implementation period to address
regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical
information to better understand how
emissions from State and Tribal land
impact Class I areas across the country,
pursue the development of regional
strategies to reduce emissions of
particulate matter and other pollutants
leading to regional haze, and help states
meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
The Western Regional Air Partnership
(WRAP), one of the five RPOs, is a
collaborative effort of state governments,
Tribal governments, and various Federal
agencies established to initiate and
coordinate activities associated with the
management of regional haze, visibility,
and other air quality issues in the
western corridor of the United States.
Member states (listed alphabetically)
include: Alaska, Arizona, California,
Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New
Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South
Dakota, Utah, Washington, and
Wyoming. The Federal partner members
of WRAP are the EPA, U.S. National
Parks Service (NPS), U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (FWS), and U.S. Forest
Service (USFS). There are also 468
federally recognized Tribes within the
WRAP region.
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III. Requirements for Regional Haze
Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and the EPA’s
regulations, all 50 states, the District of
importance, the committee realizes that as a matter
of equity, the national ambient air quality standards
cannot be revised to adequately protect visibility in
all areas of the country.’’), (‘‘the mandatory class I
increments of [the PSD program] do not adequately
protect visibility in class I areas’’).
32 RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ‘‘multijurisdictional organizations,’’ or MJOs. For the
purposes of this notice, the terms RPO and MJO are
synonymous.
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Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
were required to submit regional haze
SIP revisions satisfying the applicable
requirements for the second
implementation period of the regional
haze program by July 31, 2021. Each
state’s SIP must contain a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress
toward meeting the national goal of
remedying any existing and preventing
any future anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas.33 To this
end, section 51.308(f) lays out the
process by which states determine what
constitutes their long-term strategies,
with the order of the requirements in
section 51.308(f)(1) through (3)
generally mirroring the order of the
steps in the reasonable progress
analysis 34 and (f)(4) through (6)
containing additional, related
requirements. Broadly speaking, a state
first must identify the Class I areas
within the state and determine the Class
I areas outside the state in which
visibility may be affected by emissions
from the state. These are the Class I
areas that must be addressed in the
state’s long-term strategy.35 For each
Class I area within its borders, a state
must then calculate the baseline,
current, and natural visibility
conditions for that area, as well as the
visibility improvement made to date
and the URP.36 Each state having a Class
I area and/or emissions that may affect
visibility in a Class I area must then
develop a long-term strategy that
includes the enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress in such areas.
A reasonable progress determination is
based on applying the four factors in
CAA section 169A(g)(1) to sources of
visibility-impairing pollutants that the
state has selected to assess for controls
for the second implementation period.
Additionally, as further explained
below, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
‘‘additional factors’’ 37 that states must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies.38 A state evaluates potential
emissions reduction measures for those
selected sources and determines which
33 CAA
169A(b)(2)(B).
EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions
that we were adopting new regulatory language in
40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike the structure in
51.308(d), ‘‘tracked the actual planning sequence.’’
82 FR 3091 (January 10, 2017).
35 See 40 CFR 51.308(f), (f)(2).
36 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1).
37 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four
factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
38 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
34 The
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47401
are necessary to make reasonable
progress. Those measures are then
incorporated into the state’s long-term
strategy. After a state has developed its
long-term strategy, it then establishes
RPGs for each Class I area within its
borders by modeling the visibility
impacts of all reasonable progress
controls at the end of the second
implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as
well as the impacts of other
requirements of the CAA. The RPGs
include reasonable progress controls not
only for sources in the state in which
the Class I area is located, but also for
sources in other states that contribute to
visibility impairment in that area. The
RPGs are then compared to the baseline
visibility conditions and the URP to
ensure that progress is being made
towards the statutory goal of preventing
any future and remedying any existing
anthropogenic visibility impairment in
Class I areas.39
In addition to satisfying the
requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f) related
to reasonable progress, the regional haze
SIP revisions for the second
implementation period must address the
requirements in section 51.308(g)(1)
through (5) pertaining to periodic
reports describing progress towards the
RPGs,40 as well as requirements for FLM
consultation that apply to all visibility
protection SIPs and SIP revisions.41
A state must submit its regional haze
SIP and subsequent SIP revisions to the
EPA according to the requirements
applicable to all SIP revisions under the
CAA and the EPA’s regulations.42 Upon
EPA approval, a SIP is enforceable by
the Agency and the public under the
CAA. If the EPA finds that a state failed
to make a required SIP revision, or if the
EPA finds that a state’s SIP is
incomplete or disapproves the SIP, the
Agency must promulgate a federal
implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies
the applicable requirements.43
A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional
haze SIP is for a state to determine
which Class I areas, in addition to those
within its borders, ‘‘may be affected’’ by
emissions from within the state. In the
1999 RHR, the EPA determined that all
states contribute to visibility
impairment in at least one Class I area,44
and explained that the statute and
regulations lay out an ‘‘extremely low
triggering threshold’’ for determining
39 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)–(3).
CFR 51.308(f)(5).
41 40 CFR 51.308(i).
42 See CAA 169A(b)(2); CAA 110(a).
43 CAA 110(c)(1).
44 64 FR 35720–22.
40 40
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‘‘whether States should be required to
engage in air quality planning and
analysis as a prerequisite to determining
the need for control of emissions from
sources within their State.’’ 45
A state must determine which Class I
areas must be addressed by its SIP by
evaluating the total emissions of
visibility impairing pollutants from all
sources within the state. While the RHR
does not require this evaluation to be
conducted in any particular manner, the
EPA’s 2019 Guidance provides
recommendations for how such an
assessment might be accomplished,
including by, where appropriate, using
the determinations previously made for
the first implementation period.46 In
addition, the determination of which
Class I areas may be affected by a state’s
emissions is subject to the requirement
in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ‘‘document
the technical basis, including modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and
emissions information, on which the
State is relying to determine the
emission reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
in each mandatory Class I Federal area
it affects.’’
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP
submission for the second
implementation period is providing for
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
contains requirements in section
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility
improvement over time. The
requirements of this section apply only
to states that have Class I areas within
their borders; the required calculations
must be made for each such Class I area.
The EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance 47 provides recommendations
to assist states in satisfying their
obligations under section 51.308(f)(1);
specifically, in developing information
on baseline, current, and natural
visibility conditions, and in making
optional adjustments to the URP to
account for the impacts of international
anthropogenic emissions and prescribed
fires.
The RHR requires tracking of
visibility conditions on two sets of days:
the clearest and the most impaired days.
45 Id.
at 35721.
46 2019 Guidance, pp. 8–9.
47 The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance
references and relies on parts of the 2003 Tracking
Guidance: ‘‘Guidance for Tracking Progress Under
the Regional Haze Rule,’’ which can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/
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Visibility conditions for both sets of
days are expressed as the average
deciview index for the relevant five-year
period (the period representing baseline
or current visibility conditions). The
RHR provides that the relevant sets of
days for visibility tracking purposes are
the 20 percent clearest (the 20 percent
of monitored days in a calendar year
with the lowest values of the deciview
index) and 20 percent most impaired
days (the 20 percent of monitored days
in a calendar year with the highest
amounts of anthropogenic visibility
impairment).48 A state must calculate
visibility conditions for both the 20
percent clearest and 20 percent most
impaired days for the baseline period of
2000–2004 and the most recent five-year
period for which visibility monitoring
data are available (representing current
visibility conditions).49 States must also
calculate natural visibility conditions
for the clearest and most impaired
days,50 by estimating the conditions that
would exist on those two sets of days
absent anthropogenic visibility
impairment.51 Using all these data,
states must then calculate, for each
Class I area, the amount of progress
made since the baseline period (2000–
2004) and how much improvement is
left to achieve to reach natural visibility
conditions.
Using the data for the set of most
impaired days only, states must plot a
line between visibility conditions in the
baseline period and natural visibility
conditions for each Class I area to
determine the URP—the amount of
visibility improvement, measured in
deciviews, that would need to be
achieved during each implementation
period to achieve natural visibility
conditions by the end of 2064. The URP
is used in later steps of the reasonable
progress analysis for informational
purposes and to provide a nonenforceable benchmark against which to
assess a Class I area’s rate of visibility
48 40 CFR 51.301. This notice also refers to the 20
percent clearest and 20 percent most
anthropogenically impaired days as the ‘‘clearest’’
and ‘‘most impaired’’ or ‘‘most anthropogenically
impaired’’ days, respectively.
49 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii).
50 The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an
error related to the requirement for calculating two
sets of natural conditions values. The rule says
‘‘most impaired days or the clearest days’’ where it
should say ‘‘most impaired days and clearest days.’’
This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected
in the final rule language. This is supported by the
preamble text at 82 FR 3098: ‘‘In the final version
of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of ‘‘or’’ has
been corrected to ‘‘and’’ to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired
days and the clearest days must be based on
available monitoring information.’’
51 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii).
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improvement.52 Additionally, in the
2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided
states the option of proposing to adjust
the endpoint of the URP to account for
impacts of anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or
impacts of certain types of wildland
prescribed fires. These adjustments,
which must be approved by the EPA,
are intended to avoid any perception
that states should compensate for
impacts from international
anthropogenic sources and to give states
the flexibility to determine that limiting
the use of wildland-prescribed fire is
not necessary for reasonable progress.53
The EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance can be used to help satisfy the
40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements,
including in developing information on
baseline, current, and natural visibility
conditions, and in making optional
adjustments to the URP. In addition, the
2020 Data Completeness Memo provides
recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in
section 51.308(f)(1)(i) and provides
updated natural conditions estimates for
each Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional
Haze
The core component of a regional
haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in
each Class I area within a state’s borders
and each Class I area that may be
affected by emissions from the state.
The long-term strategy ‘‘must include
the enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress, as determined
pursuant to (f)(2)(i) through (iv).’’ 54 The
amount of progress that is ‘‘reasonable
progress’’ is based on applying the four
statutory factors in CAA section
169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of potential
control options for sources of visibility
impairing pollutants, which is referred
to as a ‘‘four-factor’’ analysis. The
outcome of that analysis is the
emissions reduction measures that a
particular source or group of sources
needs to implement to make reasonable
progress towards the national visibility
goal.55 Emissions reduction measures
that are necessary to make reasonable
progress may be either new, additional
control measures for a source, or they
52 Being on or below the URP is not a ‘‘safe
harbor’’; i.e., achieving the URP does not mean that
a Class I area is making ‘‘reasonable progress’’ and
does not relieve a state from using the four statutory
factors to determine what level of control is needed
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3093.
53 82 FR 3107 footnote 116.
54 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
55 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
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may be the existing emissions reduction
measures that a source is already
implementing.56 Such measures must be
represented by ‘‘enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and
other measures’’ (i.e., any additional
compliance tools) in a state’s long-term
strategy in its SIP.57
Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the
requirements for the four-factor
analysis. The first step of this analysis
entails selecting the sources to be
evaluated for emissions reduction
measures; to this end, states should
consider ‘‘major and minor stationary
sources or groups of sources, mobile
sources, and area sources’’ of visibility
impairing pollutants for potential fourfactor control analysis.58 A threshold
question at this step is which visibility
impairing pollutants will be analyzed.
As the EPA previously explained,
consistent with the first implementation
period, the EPA generally expects that
each state will analyze at least SO2 and
NOX in selecting sources and
determining control measures.59 A state
that chooses not to consider at least
these two pollutants should
demonstrate why such consideration
would be unreasonable.60
While states have the option to
analyze all sources, the 2019 Guidance
explains that ‘‘an analysis of control
measures is not required for every
source in each implementation period,’’
and that ‘‘[s]electing a set of sources for
analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . .
consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning
process and anticipates that a state may
not need to analyze control measures for
all its sources in a given SIP
revision.’’ 61 However, given that source
selection is the basis of all subsequent
control determinations, a reasonable
source selection process ‘‘should be
designed and conducted to ensure that
source selection results in a set of
pollutants and sources the evaluation of
which has the potential to meaningfully
reduce their contributions to visibility
impairment.’’ 62
The EPA explained in the 2021
Clarifications Memo that each state has
an obligation to submit a long-term
strategy that addresses the regional haze
visibility impairment that results from
emissions from within that state. Thus,
56 See 2019 Guidance, p. 43; 2021 Clarifications
Memo, pp. 8–10.
57 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
58 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
59 See 2019 Guidance, p. 12; 2021 Clarifications
Memo, p. 4.
60 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 4.
61 2019 Guidance, p. 9.
62 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 3.
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source selection should focus on the instate contribution to visibility
impairment and be designed to capture
a meaningful portion of the state’s total
contribution to visibility impairment in
Class I areas. A state should not decline
to select its largest in-state sources on
the basis that there are even larger outof-state contributors.63
Thus, while states have discretion to
choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable,
whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that a state’s
SIP submission include ‘‘a description
of the criteria it used to determine
which sources or groups of sources it
evaluated.’’ The technical basis for
source selection, which may include
methods for quantifying potential
visibility impacts such as emissions
divided by distance metrics, trajectory
analyses, residence time analyses, and/
or photochemical modeling, must also
be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a state has selected the set of
sources, the next step is to determine
the emissions reduction measures for
those sources that are necessary to make
reasonable progress for the second
implementation period.64 This is
accomplished by considering the four
factors—‘‘the costs of compliance, the
time necessary for compliance, and the
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance,
and the remaining useful life of any
existing source subject to such
requirements.’’ 65 The EPA has
explained that the four-factor analysis is
an assessment of potential emissions
reduction measures (i.e., control
options) for sources; ‘‘use of the terms
‘compliance’ and ‘subject to such
requirements’ in section 169A(g)(1)
strongly indicates that Congress
intended the relevant determination to
be the requirements with which sources
63 Id. at 4. Similarly, in responding to comments
on the 2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA explained that
‘‘[a] state should not fail to address its many
relatively low-impact sources merely because it
only has such sources and another state has even
more low-impact sources and/or some high impact
sources.’’ Responses to Comments on Protection of
Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State
Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016),
pp. 87–88.
64 The CAA provides that, ‘‘[i]n determining
reasonable progress there shall be taken into
consideration’’ the four statutory factors. CAA
169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-factor
analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or
source categories, a state may also consider
additional emissions reduction measures for
inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other
newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules
and measures for sources not selected for four-factor
analysis for the second planning period.
65 CAA 169A(g)(1).
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would have to comply to satisfy the
CAA’s reasonable progress mandate.’’ 66
Thus, for each source it has selected for
four-factor analysis,67 a state must
consider a ‘‘meaningful set’’ of
technically feasible control options for
reducing emissions of visibility
impairing pollutants.68 The 2019
Guidance provides that ‘‘[a] state must
reasonably pick and justify the measures
that it will consider, recognizing that
there is no statutory or regulatory
requirement to consider all technically
feasible measures or any particular
measures. A range of technically
feasible measures available to reduce
emissions would be one way to justify
a reasonable set.’’ 69
The EPA’s 2021 Clarifications Memo
provides further guidance on what
constitutes a reasonable set of control
options for consideration: ‘‘A reasonable
four-factor analysis will consider the
full range of potentially reasonable
options for reducing emissions.’’ 70 In
addition to add-on controls and other
retrofits (i.e., new emissions reduction
measures for sources), the EPA
explained that states should generally
analyze efficiency improvements for
sources’ existing measures as control
options in their four-factor analyses, as
in many cases such improvements are
reasonable given that they typically
involve only additional operation and
maintenance costs. Additionally, the
2021 Clarifications Memo provides that
states that have assumed a higher
emissions rate than a source has
achieved or could potentially achieve
using its existing measures should also
consider lower emissions rates as
potential control options. That is, a state
should consider a source’s recent actual
and projected emissions rates to
determine if it could reasonably attain
lower emissions rates with its existing
66 82
FR 3091.
source’’ or ‘‘particular source’’ is used
here as shorthand. While a source-specific analysis
is one way of applying the four factors, neither the
statute nor the RHR requires states to evaluate
individual sources. Rather, states have ‘‘the
flexibility to conduct four-factor analyses for
specific sources, groups of sources or even entire
source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each
state.’’ 82 FR at 3088. However, not all approaches
to grouping sources for four-factor analysis are
necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of
grouping sources in any particular instance will
depend on the circumstances and the manner in
which grouping is conducted. If it is feasible to
establish and enforce different requirements for
sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant
factors can be quantified for those sources or
subgroups, then states should make a separate
reasonable progress determination for each source
or subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 7–8.
68 Id. at 3088.
69 2019 Guidance, p. 29.
70 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 7.
67 ‘‘Each
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measures. If so, the state should analyze
the lower emissions rate as a control
option for reducing emissions.71 The
EPA’s recommendations to analyze
potential efficiency improvements and
achievable lower emissions rates apply
to both sources that have been selected
for four-factor analysis and those that
have forgone a four-factor analysis on
the basis of existing ‘‘effective
controls.’’ 72
After identifying a reasonable set of
potential control options for the sources
it has selected, a state then collects
information on the four factors with
regard to each option identified. The
EPA has also explained that, in addition
to the four statutory factors, states have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to
reasonably consider visibility benefits as
an additional factor alongside the four
statutory factors.73 The 2019 Guidance
provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to
characterize the four factors (with or
without visibility), as well as ways in
which states might reasonably consider
and balance that information to
determine which of the potential control
options is necessary to make reasonable
progress.74 The 2021 Clarifications
Memo contains further guidance on how
states can reasonably consider modeled
visibility impacts or benefits in the
context of a four-factor analysis.75
Specifically, the EPA explained that
while visibility can reasonably be used
when comparing and choosing between
multiple reasonable control options, it
should not be used to summarily reject
controls that are reasonable given the
four statutory factors.76 Ultimately,
while states have discretion to
reasonably weigh the factors and to
determine what level of control is
needed, section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides
that a state ‘‘must include in its
implementation plan a description of
. . . how the four factors were taken
into consideration in selecting the
measure for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.’’
As explained above, section
51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to
determine the emissions reduction
measures for sources that are necessary
to make reasonable progress by
considering the four factors. Pursuant to
71 Id.
at 7.
at 5, 10.
73 See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection
of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for
State Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4,
2016), Docket Number EPA–HQ–OAR–2015–0531,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019
Guidance, pp. 36–37.
74 See 2019 Guidance, pp. 30–36.
75 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 12–15.
76 Id. at 13.
72 Id.
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section 51.308(f)(2), measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
towards the national visibility goal must
be included in a state’s long-term
strategy and in its SIP.77 If the outcome
of a four-factor analysis is a new,
additional emissions reduction measure
for a source, that new measure is
necessary to make reasonable progress
towards remedying existing
anthropogenic visibility impairment and
must be included in the SIP. If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is that
no new measures are reasonable for a
source, continued implementation of
the source’s existing measures is
generally necessary to prevent future
emissions increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second
part of the national visibility goal:
preventing future anthropogenic
visibility impairment.78 That is, when
the result of a four-factor analysis is that
no new measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress, the source’s
existing measures are generally
necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be included in the SIP.
However, there may be circumstances in
which a state can demonstrate that a
source’s existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress.
Specifically, if a state can demonstrate
that a source will continue to
implement its existing measures and
will not increase its emissions rate, it
may not be necessary to have those
measures in the long-term strategy to
prevent future emissions increases and
future visibility impairment. The EPA’s
2021 Clarifications Memo provides
further explanation and guidance on
how states may demonstrate that a
source’s existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable
progress.79 If the state can make such a
demonstration, it need not include a
source’s existing measures in the longterm strategy or its SIP.
As with source selection, the
characterization of information on each
of the factors is also subject to the
documentation requirement in section
51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress
analysis, including source selection,
77 States may choose to, but are not required to,
include measures in their long-term strategies
beyond just the emission reduction measures that
are necessary for reasonable progress. See 2021
Clarifications Memo, p. 16. For example, states with
smoke management programs may choose to submit
their smoke management plans to the EPA for
inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to do
so. See, e.g., 82 FR at 3108–09 (requirement to
consider smoke management practices and smoke
management programs under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such
practices or programs into their SIPs, although they
may elect to do so).
78 See CAA 169A(a)(1).
79 See 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8–10.
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information gathering, characterization
of the four statutory factors (and
potentially visibility), balancing of the
four factors, and selection of the
emissions reduction measures that
represent reasonable progress, is a
technically complex exercise, but also a
flexible one that provides states with
bounded discretion to design and
implement approaches appropriate to
their circumstances. Given this
flexibility, section 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays
an important function in requiring a
state to document the technical basis for
its decision making so that the public
and the EPA can comprehend and
evaluate the information and analysis
the state relied upon to determine what
emissions reduction measures must be
in place to make reasonable progress.
The technical documentation must
include the modeling, monitoring, cost,
engineering, and emissions information
on which the state relied to determine
the measures necessary to make
reasonable progress. This
documentation requirement can be met
through the provision of and reliance on
technical analyses developed through a
regional planning process, so long as
that process and its output has been
approved by all state participants. In
addition to the explicit regulatory
requirement to document the technical
basis of their reasonable progress
determinations, states are also subject to
the general principle that those
determinations must be reasonably
moored to the statute.80 That is, a state’s
decisions about the emissions reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress must be consistent
with the statutory goal of remedying
existing and preventing future visibility
impairment.
The four statutory factors (and
potentially visibility) are used to
determine what emissions reduction
measures for selected sources must be
included in a state’s long-term strategy
for making reasonable progress.
Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five
‘‘additional factors’’ 81 that states must
consider in developing their long-term
strategies: (1) Emissions reductions due
80 See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815
F.3d 519, 531 (9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA,
812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir. 2016); North Dakota v.
EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013); Oklahoma
v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208–10 (10th Cir.
2013); cf. also Nat’l Parks Conservation Ass’n v.
EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep’t
of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S. 461, 485,
490 (2004).
81 The five ‘‘additional factors’’ for consideration
in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four
factors listed in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i) that states must consider and apply
to sources in determining reasonable progress.
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to ongoing air pollution control
programs, including measures to
address reasonably attributable visibility
impairment; (2) measures to reduce the
impacts of construction activities; (3)
source retirement and replacement
schedules; (4) basic smoke management
practices for prescribed fire used for
agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke
management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to
projected changes in point, area, and
mobile source emissions over the period
addressed by the long-term strategy. The
2019 Guidance provides that a state may
satisfy this requirement by considering
these additional factors in the process of
selecting sources for four-factor
analysis, when performing that analysis,
or both, and that not every one of the
additional factors needs to be
considered at the same stage of the
process.82 The EPA provided further
guidance on the five additional factors
in the 2021 Clarifications Memo,
explaining that a state should generally
not reject cost-effective and otherwise
reasonable controls merely because
there have been emissions reductions
since the first planning period owing to
other ongoing air pollution control
programs or merely because visibility is
otherwise projected to improve at Class
I areas. Additionally, states generally
should not rely on these additional
factors to summarily assert that the state
has already made sufficient progress
and, therefore, no sources need to be
selected or no new controls are needed
regardless of the outcome of four-factor
analyses.83
Because the air pollution that causes
regional haze crosses state boundaries,
section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a state to
consult with other states that also have
emissions that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each state that
impacts visibility in an area to share
whatever technical information,
analyses, and control determinations
may be necessary to develop
coordinated emissions management
strategies. This coordination may be
managed through inter- and intra-RPO
consultation and the development of
regional emissions strategies; additional
consultations between states outside of
RPO processes may also occur. If a state,
pursuant to consultation, agrees that
certain measures (e.g., a certain
emissions limitation) are necessary to
make reasonable progress at a Class I
area, it must include those measures in
82 See
2019 Guidance, p. 21.
Clarifications Memo, p. 13.
83 2021
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its SIP.84 Additionally, the RHR requires
that states that contribute to visibility
impairment at the same Class I area
consider the emissions reduction
measures the other contributing states
have identified as being necessary to
make reasonable progress for their own
sources.85 If a state has been asked to
consider or adopt certain emissions
reduction measures, but ultimately
determines those measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress,
that state must document in its SIP the
actions taken to resolve the
disagreement.86 The EPA will consider
the technical information and
explanations presented by the
submitting state and the state with
which it disagrees when considering
whether to approve the state’s SIP.87
Under all circumstances, a state must
document in its SIP submission all
substantive consultations with other
contributing states.88
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ‘‘measure
the progress that is projected to be
achieved by the control measures states
have determined are necessary to make
reasonable progress based on a fourfactor analysis.’’ 89 Their primary
purpose is to assist the public and the
EPA in assessing the reasonableness of
states’ long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal.90 States in
which Class I areas are located must
establish two RPGs, both in deciviews—
one representing visibility conditions on
the clearest days and one representing
visibility on the most anthropogenically
impaired days—for each area within
their borders.91 The two RPGs are
intended to reflect the projected
impacts, on the two sets of days, of the
emissions reduction measures the state
with the Class I area, as well as all other
contributing states, have included in
their long-term strategies for the second
implementation period.92 The RPGs also
84 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B).
86 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
87 See id.; 2019 Guidance, p. 53.
88 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
89 82 FR 3091.
90 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii)–(iv).
91 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i).
92 RPGs are intended to reflect the projected
impacts of the measures all contributing states
include in their long-term strategies. However, due
to the timing of analyses and of control
determinations by other states, other on-going
emissions changes, a particular state’s RPGs may
not reflect all control measures and emissions
reductions that are expected to occur by the end of
the implementation period. The 2019 Guidance
provides recommendations for addressing the
timing of RPG calculations when states are
developing their long-term strategies on disparate
85 40
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account for the projected impacts of
implementing other CAA requirements,
including non-SIP based requirements.
Because RPGs are the modeled result of
the measures in states’ long-term
strategies (as well as other measures
required under the CAA), they cannot
be determined before states have
conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that
are necessary to make reasonable
progress.93
For the second implementation
period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not
enforceable targets; 94 rather, they
‘‘provide a way for the states to check
the projected outcome of the [long-term
strategy] against the goals for visibility
improvement.’’ 95 While states are not
legally obligated to achieve the visibility
conditions described in their RPGs,
section 51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that
‘‘[t]he long-term strategy and the
reasonable progress goals must provide
for an improvement in visibility for the
most impaired days since the baseline
period and ensure no degradation in
visibility for the clearest days since the
baseline period.’’ Thus, states are
required to have emissions reduction
measures in their long-term strategies
that are projected to achieve visibility
conditions on the most impaired days
that are better than the baseline period
and shows no degradation on the
clearest days compared to the clearest
days from the baseline period. The
baseline period for the purpose of this
comparison is the baseline visibility
condition—the annual average visibility
condition for the period 2000–2004.96
So that RPGs may also serve as a
metric for assessing the amount of
progress a state is making towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR
requires states with Class I areas to
compare the 2028 RPG for the most
impaired days to the corresponding
point on the URP line (representing
visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility
were to improve at a linear rate from
conditions in the baseline period of
2000–2004 to natural visibility
conditions in 2064). If the most
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the
URP (i.e., if visibility conditions are
improving more slowly than the rate
described by the URP), each state that
contributes to visibility impairment in
the Class I area must demonstrate, based
on the four-factor analysis required
schedules, as well as for adjusting RPGs using a
post-modeling approach. 2019 Guidance, pp. 47–48.
93 See 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 6.
94 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii).
95 2019 Guidance, p. 46.
96 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3097–98.
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under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no
additional emissions reduction
measures would be reasonable to
include in its long-term strategy.97 To
this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires
that each state contributing to visibility
impairment in a Class I area that is
projected to improve more slowly than
the URP provide ‘‘a robust
demonstration, including documenting
the criteria used to determine which
sources or groups [of] sources were
evaluated and how the four factors
required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were
taken into consideration in selecting the
measures for inclusion in its long-term
strategy.’’ The 2019 Guidance provides
suggestions about how such a ‘‘robust
demonstration’’ might be conducted.98
The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and
2021 Clarifications Memo also explain
that projecting an RPG that is on or
below the URP based on only on-thebooks and/or on-the-way control
measures (i.e., control measures already
required or anticipated before the fourfactor analysis is conducted) is not a
‘‘safe harbor’’ from the CAA’s and RHR’s
requirement that all states must conduct
a four-factor analysis to determine what
emissions reduction measures constitute
reasonable progress. The URP is a
planning metric used to gauge the
amount of progress made thus far and
the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP
is not based on consideration of the four
statutory factors and therefore cannot
answer the question of whether the
amount of progress being made in any
particular implementation period is
‘‘reasonable progress.’’ 99
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State
Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to
have certain strategies and elements in
place for assessing and reporting on
visibility. Individual requirements
under this section apply either to states
with Class I areas within their borders,
states with no Class I areas but that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in
any Class I area, or both. A state with
Class I areas within its borders must
submit with its SIP revision a
monitoring strategy for measuring,
characterizing, and reporting regional
haze visibility impairment that is
representative of all Class I areas within
the state. SIP revisions for such states
must also provide for the establishment
of any additional monitoring sites or
equipment needed to assess visibility
conditions in Class I areas, as well as
reporting of all visibility monitoring
data to the EPA at least annually.
Compliance with the monitoring
strategy requirement may be met
through a state’s participation in the
Interagency Monitoring of Protected
Visual Environments (IMPROVE)
monitoring network, which is used to
measure visibility impairment caused
by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program.100
The IMPROVE monitoring data is used
to determine the 20 percent most
anthropogenically impaired and 20
percent clearest sets of days every year
at each Class I area and tracks visibility
impairment over time.
All states’ SIPs must provide for
procedures by which monitoring data
and other information are used to
determine the contribution of emissions
from within the state to regional haze
visibility impairment in affected Class I
areas.101 Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) further
requires that all states’ SIPs provide for
a statewide inventory of emissions of
pollutants that are reasonably
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in any Class I area;
the inventory must include emissions
for the most recent year for which data
are available and estimates of future
projected emissions. States must also
include commitments to update their
inventories periodically. The
inventories themselves do not need to
be included as elements in the SIP
revision and are not subject to EPA
review as part of the Agency’s
evaluation of a SIP revision.102 All
states’ SIP revisions must also provide
for any other elements, including
reporting, recordkeeping, and other
measures, that are necessary for states to
assess and report on visibility.103 Per
the 2019 Guidance, a state may note in
its regional haze SIP revision that its
compliance with the in 40 CFR part 51
subpart A satisfies the requirement to
provide for an emissions inventory for
the most recent year for which data are
available. To satisfy the requirement to
provide estimates of future projected
emissions, a state may explain in its SIP
revision how projected emissions were
developed for use in establishing RPGs
for its own and nearby Class I areas.104
Separate from the requirements
related to monitoring for regional haze
purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the
100 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i), (f)(6)(iv).
CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii).
102 See ‘‘Step 8: Additional requirements for
regional haze SIPs’’ in 2019 Guidance, p. 55.
103 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi).
104 Id.
101 40
97 40
CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii).
2019 Guidance, pp. 50–51.
99 See 82 FR 3093, 3099–3100; 2019 Guidance, p.
22; 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 15–16.
98 See
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RHR also contains a requirement at 40
CFR 51.308(f)(4) related to any
additional monitoring that may be
needed to address visibility impairment
in Class I areas from a single source or
a small group of sources. This is called
‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment.’’ 105 Under this provision,
if the EPA or the FLM of an affected
Class I area has advised a state that
additional monitoring is needed to
assess reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, the state must include in
its SIP revision for the second
implementation period an appropriate
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state’s
regional haze SIP revision to address the
requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR
51.308(g)(1) through (5) so that the plan
revision due in 2021 will serve also as
a progress report addressing the period
since submission of the progress report
for the first implementation period. The
regional haze progress report
requirement is designed to inform the
public and the EPA about a state’s
implementation of its existing long-term
strategy and whether such
implementation is in fact resulting in
the expected visibility improvement.106
To this end, every state’s SIP revision
for the second implementation period is
required to describe the status of
implementation of all measures
included in the state’s long-term
strategy, including BART and
reasonable progress emissions reduction
measures from the first implementation
period, and the resulting emissions
reductions.107
A core component of the progress
report requirements is an assessment of
changes in visibility conditions on the
clearest and most impaired days. For
second implementation period progress
reports, section 51.308(g)(3) requires
states with Class I areas within their
borders to first determine current
visibility conditions for each area on the
most impaired and clearest days,108 and
then to calculate the difference between
those current conditions and baseline
(2000–2004) visibility conditions to
assess progress made to date.109 States
105 The EPA’s visibility protection regulations
define ‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment’’ as ‘‘visibility impairment that is
caused by the emission of air pollutants from one,
or a small number of sources.’’ 40 CFR 51.301.
106 See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016); 82 FR
3119 (January 10, 2017).
107 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
108 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i).
109 See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii).
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must also assess the changes in
visibility impairment for the most
impaired and clearest days since they
submitted their first implementation
period progress reports.110 Since
different states submitted their first
implementation period progress reports
at different times, the starting point for
this assessment will vary state by state.
Similarly, states must provide
analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to
visibility impairment from all sources
and activities within the state over the
period since they submitted their first
implementation period progress
reports.111 Changes in emissions should
be identified by the type of source or
activity. Section 51.308(g)(5) also
addresses changes in emissions since
the period addressed by the previous
progress report and requires states’ SIP
revisions to include an assessment of
any significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the state. This assessment must
explain whether these changes in
emissions were anticipated and whether
they have limited or impeded progress
in reducing emissions and improving
visibility relative to what the state
projected based on its long-term strategy
for the first implementation period.
G. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that
before a state holds a public hearing on
a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it
must consult with the appropriate FLM
or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation,
the state must include a summary of the
FLMs’ conclusions and
recommendations in the notice to the
public. Consistent with this statutory
requirement, the RHR also requires that
states ‘‘provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person
and at a point early enough in the
State’s policy analyses of its long-term
strategy emission reduction obligation
so that information and
recommendations provided by the
[FLM] can meaningfully inform the
State’s decisions on the long-term
strategy.’’ 112 Consultation that occurs
120 days prior to any public hearing or
public comment opportunity will be
deemed ‘‘early enough,’’ but the RHR
provides that in any event the
opportunity for consultation must be
provided at least 60 days before a public
hearing or comment opportunity. This
consultation must include the
opportunity for the FLMs to discuss
their assessment of visibility
impairment in any Class I area and their
recommendations on the development
47407
and implementation of strategies to
address such impairment.113 For the
EPA to evaluate whether FLM
consultation meeting the requirements
of the RHR has occurred, the SIP
submission should include
documentation of the timing and
content of such consultation. The SIP
revision submitted to the EPA must also
describe how the state addressed any
comments provided by the FLMs.114
Finally, a SIP revision must provide
procedures for continuing consultation
between the state and FLMs regarding
the state’s visibility protection program,
including development and review of
SIP revisions, five-year progress reports,
and the implementation of other
programs having the potential to
contribute to impairment of visibility in
Class I areas.115
IV. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Arizona’s First
Implementation Period SIP Submission
Arizona submitted its initial regional
haze SIP under 40 CFR 51.308 to the
EPA on February 28, 2011 (hereinafter
‘‘2011 Submittal’’).116 The EPA actions
following the 2011 Submittal are
outlined in Table 1.
TABLE 1—SUMMARY OF EPA ACTIONS UNDER CAA SECTION 308 ON ARIZONA REGIONAL HAZE IN THE FIRST
IMPLEMENTATION PERIOD
Date
EPA action
December 5, 2012 .....
‘‘Phase 1’’ partial approval and partial disapproval of certain provisions of the 2011 Submittal and promulgation of partial
federal implementation plan (FIP).a
‘‘Phase 2’’ partial approval and partial disapproval of remaining portions of Arizona Regional Haze 2011 Submittal.b
‘‘Phase 3’’ promulgation of FIP for remaining portions of Arizona Regional Haze program.c
Approval of SIP revision for the Arizona Electric Power Cooperative (AEPCO) Apache Generating Station.d
FIP revision replacing the control technology demonstration requirements for NOX at Lhoist North America of Arizona,
Inc. Nelson Lime Plant with revised recordkeeping and reporting requirements.e
FIP revision revising NOX requirements for the Salt River Project Agricultural Improvement and Power District (SRP)
Coronado Generating Station.f
FIP revision replacing the control technology demonstration requirements for NOX at CalPortland Cement (CPC) Rillito
Plant Kiln 4 and Phoenix Cement Company (PCC) Clarkdale Plant Kiln 4 with revised recordkeeping and reporting requirements.g
Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP for Arizona Public Service (APS) Cholla Generating Station.h
Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP for the SRP Coronado Generating Station.i
July 30, 2013 .............
September 3, 2014 ....
April 10, 2015 ............
April 17, 2015 ............
April 13, 2016 ............
November 21, 2016 ...
March 27, 2017 .........
October 10, 2017 ......
a 77
FR 72512 (December 5, 2012).
FR 46142 (July 30, 2013).
c 79 FR 52420 (September 3, 2014).
d 80 FR 19220 (April 10, 2015).
e 80 FR 21176 (April 17, 2015).
f 81 FR 21735 (April 13, 2016).
g 81 FR 83144 (November 21, 2016).
h 82 FR 15139 (March 27, 2017).
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b 78
110 See
40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii), (f)(5).
40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5).
112 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
113 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
114 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3).
115 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
116 On December 23, 2003, ADEQ submitted a
Regional Haze plan under 40 CFR 51.309 (‘‘309
Plan’’). Letter dated December 23, 2003, from
111 See
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Stephen A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne
Nastri, Regional Administrator, EPA, Region IX. On
December 30, 2004, ADEQ submitted a revision to
its 309 Plan, consisting of rules on emissions
trading and smoke management, and a correction to
the State’s regional haze statutes. Letter dated
December 30, 2004, from Stephen A. Owens,
Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional
Administrator, EPA. On December 24, 2008, ADEQ
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sent a letter resubmitting the 309 Plan revisions to
the EPA. Letter dated December 24, 2008, from
Stephen A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne
Nastri, Regional Administrator, EPA. On May 16,
2006 (71 FR 28270) and May 8, 2007 (72 FR 25973),
the EPA approved the smoke management rules that
were part of these submittals. On August 8, 2013
(78 FR 48326), the EPA disapproved the remainder
of the State’s submittals under 40 CFR 309.
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FR 46903 (October 10, 2017).
On November 12, 2015, the State of
Arizona submitted its Progress Report to
meet the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g) and (h).117 The EPA approved
the Progress Report on July 11, 2019.118
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B. Overview of Arizona’s Second
Implementation Period SIP Submission
In accordance with CAA sections
169A and the RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f),
on August 15, 2022, ADEQ submitted a
revision to the Arizona SIP to address
its regional haze obligations for the
second implementation period, which
runs through 2028. Arizona made its
2022 Regional Haze Plan submission
available for public comment on June
13, 2022. ADEQ received and responded
to public comments and included the
comments and responses to those
comments in their submission.
The following sections describe
Arizona’s SIP submission, including
analyses conducted by the WRAP and
Arizona, Arizona’s assessment of
progress made since the first
implementation period in reducing
emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants, and the visibility
improvement progress at its Class I areas
and nearby Class I areas. This notice
also provides the EPA’s evaluation of
Arizona’s submission against the
requirements of the CAA and RHR for
the second implementation period of
the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA
requires each state in which any Class
I area is located or ‘‘the emissions from
which may reasonably be anticipated to
cause or contribute to any impairment
of visibility’’ in a Class I area to have a
plan for making reasonable progress
toward the national visibility goal. The
RHR implements this statutory
requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f), which
provides that each state’s plan ‘‘must
address regional haze in each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State and in each mandatory
Class I Federal area located outside the
State that may be affected by emissions
from within the State,’’ and (f)(2), which
requires each state’s plan to include a
long-term strategy that addresses
regional haze in such Class I areas.
The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR
preamble that the CAA section
169A(b)(2) requirement that states
117 Letter dated November 12, 2015, from Eric C.
Massey, Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to
Jared Blumenfeld, Regional Administrator, EPA
Region IX.
118 84 FR 33002.
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submit SIP revisions to address
visibility impairment establishes ‘‘an
‘extremely low triggering threshold’ in
determining which States should submit
SIPs for regional haze.’’ 119 In
concluding that each of the contiguous
48 states and the District of Columbia
meet this threshold,120 the EPA relied
on ‘‘a large body of evidence
demonstrat[ing] that long-range
transport of fine PM contributes to
regional haze,’’ 121 including modeling
studies that ‘‘preliminarily
demonstrated that each State not having
a Class I area had emissions
contributing to impairment in at least
one downwind Class I area.’’ 122 In
addition to the technical evidence
supporting a conclusion that each state
contributes to existing visibility
impairment, the EPA also explained that
the second half of the national visibility
goal—preventing future visibility
impairment—requires having a
framework in place to address future
growth in visibility-impairing emissions
and makes it inappropriate to ‘‘establish
criteria for excluding States or
geographic areas from consideration as
potential contributors to regional haze
visibility impairment.’’ 123 Thus, the
EPA concluded that the agency’s
‘‘statutory authority and the scientific
evidence are sufficient to require all
States to develop regional haze SIPs to
ensure the prevention of any future
impairment of visibility, and to conduct
further analyses to determine whether
additional control measures are needed
to ensure reasonable progress in
remedying existing impairment in
downwind Class I areas.’’ 124 The EPA’s
2017 revisions to the RHR did not
disturb this conclusion.125
Arizona has 12 Class I areas within its
borders: the Chiricahua National
Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness
Area, Galiuro Wilderness Area, Grand
Canyon National Park, Mazatzal
Wilderness Area, Mount Baldy
Wilderness Area, Petrified Forest
National Park, Pine Mountain
119 64
FR 35721.
EPA determined that ‘‘there is more than
sufficient evidence to support our conclusion that
emissions from each of the 48 contiguous states and
the District of Columba may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in a Class I area.’’ 64 FR at 35721.
Hawaii, Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin Islands must
also submit regional haze SIPs because they contain
Class I areas.
121 Id.
122 Id. at 35722.
123 Id. at 35721.
124 Id. at 35722.
125 See 82 FR 3094.
120 The
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Wilderness, Saguaro National Park,126
Sierra Ancha Wilderness Area,
Superstition Wilderness Area, and
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
Arizona did not expressly identify
within its SIP which Class I Federal
areas located outside of Arizona may be
affected by emissions from within
Arizona. However, as part of its source
selection process described in Chapter 8
and Appendix C, Section C2 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Arizona
included the Q/d 127 values associated
with Class I areas outside the State.
Further, ADEQ reviewed the source
apportionment results of the ‘‘On the
Books’’ (‘‘2028OTBa2’’) projections
scenario from the WRAP Regional Haze
photochemical grid modeling
platform.128 ADEQ participated in
interstate consultation with California,
Utah, Nevada, Colorado, and New
Mexico, which included discussion of
the WRAP modeling and source
apportionment products.129 For New
Mexico specifically, ADEQ also
provided WRAP regional modeling
platform source apportionment results
for the 20 percent most impaired days
at the four Class I areas in New Mexico
that are closest to Arizona.130
As explained above, the EPA
concluded in the 1999 RHR that ‘‘all
[s]tates contain sources whose
emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to regional haze in a Class I
area,’’ 131 and this determination was
not changed in the 2017 RHR. Critically,
the statute and regulation both require
that the cause-or-contribute assessment
consider all emissions of visibilityimpairing pollutants from a state, as
opposed to emissions of a particular
pollutant or emissions from a certain set
126 Saguaro National Park was originally
established in 1933 as a National Monument. In
1976, portions of Saguaro National Monument were
designated as a Wilderness Area, and the Saguaro
Wilderness Area was designated as a Mandatory
Class I area in 1979. 44 FR 69124 (November 30,
1979). Congress officially elevated the area known
as Saguaro National Monument to the current
designation as a National Park in 1994.
127 Q/d represents a source’s annual emissions in
tons (Q) divided by the distance in kilometers (d)
between the source and the nearest Class I area. For
regional haze purposes, only primary visibilityimpairing pollutants were included in a source’s
total Q: NOX, SO2, and PM10.
128 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 7.4
and Appendix D. The Particle Source
Apportionment Technology (PSAT) tool was
applied at a regional level to separate U.S.
anthropogenic contributions from those of fire,
natural, and international anthropogenic
contributions for a current period and a future year
in 2028.
129 Id. at Chapter 2.6.
130 Id. at Table 2–3.
131 64 FR at 35721.
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of sources. Consistent with these
requirements, the 2019 Guidance makes
it clear that ‘‘all types of anthropogenic
sources are to be included in the
determination’’ of whether a state’s
emissions are reasonably anticipated to
result in any visibility impairment.132
As explained in Section IV.E.2 of this
document, we are proposing to find that
the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
did not fully meet the requirements of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) related to the
development of a long-term strategy.
Although the State’s failure to identify
specific out-of-state Class I areas is not
the basis for this proposed disapproval,
we recommend that ADEQ more clearly
identify which out-of-state Class I areas
may be affected by emissions from
Arizona.
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current,
and Natural Visibility Conditions;
Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate
of Progress
Section 51.308(f)(1) requires states to
determine the following for ‘‘each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State’’: baseline visibility
conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, natural visibility
conditions for the most impaired and
clearest days, progress to date for the
most impaired and clearest days, the
differences between current visibility
conditions and natural visibility
conditions, and the URP. This section
also provides the option for states to
propose adjustments to the URP line for
a Class I area to account for visibility
impacts from anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or the
impacts from wildland prescribed fires
that were conducted for certain,
specified objectives.133
In the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan, ADEQ used visibility data from
IMPROVE monitoring sites for 2000–
2004 for baseline visibility.134 ADEQ
also obtained visibility data from
IMPROVE monitoring data for 2005–
2019. The five-year average of 2015–
2019 represents current visibility
conditions. ADEQ also determined
natural visibility by estimating the
natural concentrations of visibilityimpairing pollutants and then
calculating total light extinction with
the IMPROVE algorithm. Comparison of
baseline conditions to natural visibility
conditions shows the improvement
necessary to attain natural visibility by
2064 measured in deciviews of
improvement per year that represents
the URP. The calculations of baseline,
132 2019
Guidance, p. 8.
CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
134 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 5.
133 40
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current, and natural visibility
conditions, as well as the progress to
date, differences between current
visibility conditions and natural
visibility conditions, and the URP for
each of the state’s Class I areas can be
found in Chapter 5.2 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan. The URP
glidepaths and 2028 visibility
projections are discussed further in
Section 7 and Appendix D. A summary
of Arizona’s visibility conditions and
unadjusted URPs is also presented in
Table 2 of this document. A summary of
Arizona’s adjusted URPs is presented in
Table 21 of this document.
Data for the Chiricahua National
Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness
Area, and the Galiuro Wilderness Area
come from the CHIR1 monitoring
site.135 These three Class I areas have
2000–2004 baseline visibility conditions
of 4.9 deciviews on the 20 percent
clearest days and 10.5 deciviews on the
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 1.8 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.9
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days for these three Class I
areas. The current visibility conditions,
which are based on 2015–2019
monitoring data, were 3.9 deciviews on
the clearest days and 9.5 deciviews on
the most impaired days, which are 2.1
deciviews and 4.6 deciviews greater
than natural conditions on the
respective sets of days. The progress to
date, subtracting current conditions
from baseline conditions, yields a 1.1
deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.0 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent most
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per year
needed to reach natural visibility on the
20 percent most impaired days by 2064.
ADEQ also indicates that the visibility
improvement needed to maintain the
URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.2
deciviews.
Data for the Grand Canyon National
Park come from the GRCA2 site.136 The
Grand Canyon has 2000–2004 baseline
visibility conditions of 2.2 deciviews on
the 20 percent clearest days and 8
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
estimated natural background visibility
135 Figure 5–2 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in
deciviews (dv), the unadjusted MID URP, and the
clearest days threshold for the CHIR1 site.
136 Figure 5–3 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the GRCA2 site.
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of 0.3 deciviews on the 20 percent
clearest days and 4.2 deciviews on the
20 percent most impaired days for these
three Class I areas. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015–
2019 monitoring data, were 1.6
deciviews on the clearest days and 6.9
deciviews on the most impaired days,
which are 1.3 deciviews and 2.7
deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 0.6 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.1 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.06
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ also
indicates that the visibility
improvement needed to maintain the
URP from the baseline to 2028 is 1.5
deciviews.
Data for the Mazatzal Wilderness Area
and Pine Mountain Wilderness Area
come from the IKBA1 monitoring
site.137 These two Class I areas have
2000–2004 baseline visibility conditions
of 5.4 deciviews on the 20 percent
clearest days and 11.2 deciviews on the
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 1.9 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.2
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days for these two Class I
areas. The current visibility conditions,
which are based on 2015–2019
monitoring data, were 4.2 deciviews on
the clearest days and 9.5 deciviews on
the most impaired days, which are 2.3
deciviews and 4.3 deciviews greater
than natural conditions on the
respective sets of days. The progress to
date, subtracting current conditions
from baseline conditions, yields a 1.2
deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.7 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent most
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
annual URP of 0.10 deciviews per year
needed to reach natural visibility on the
20 percent most impaired days by 2064.
ADEQ indicates that the visibility
improvement needed to maintain the
URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.4
deciviews.
Data for the Mount Baldy Wilderness
Area come from the BALD1 monitoring
137 Figure 5–4 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility (dv), the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the IKBA1 site.
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site.138 Mount Baldy has 2000–2004
baseline visibility conditions of 3.0
deciviews on the 20 percent clearest
days and 8.8 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 0.5 on the 20
percent clearest days and 4.2 deciviews
on the 20 percent most impaired days.
The current visibility conditions, which
are based on 2015–2019 monitoring
data, were 1.8 deciviews on the clearest
days and 7.3 deciviews on the most
impaired days, which are 1.3 deciviews
and 3.1 deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.2 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.5 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.08
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 1.8 deciviews.
Data for the Petrified Forest National
Park come from the PEFO1 monitoring
site.139 The Class I area has 2000–2004
baseline visibility conditions of 5.0
deciviews on the 20 percent clearest
days and 9.8 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 1.1 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.2
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015–
2019 monitoring data, were 3.3
deciviews on the clearest days and 8.1
deciviews on the most impaired days,
which are 2.2 deciviews and 3.9
deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.8 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.7 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 2.4 deciviews.
138 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Tables 5–
1 through 5–3.
139 Figure 5–5 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the PEFO1 site.
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Data for the Saguaro National Park
come from the SAGU1 monitoring
site.140 The Class I area has 2000–2004
baseline visibility conditions of 6.9
deciviews on the 20 percent clearest
days and 12.6 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 2.2 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015–
2019 monitoring data, were 5.8
deciviews on the clearest days and 10.7
deciviews on the most impaired days,
which are 3.6 deciviews and 5.6
deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.1 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.9 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.12
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
Data for the Sierra Ancha Wilderness
Area come from the SIAN1 monitoring
site.141 The Class I area has 2000–2004
baseline visibility conditions of 6.2
deciviews on the 20 percent clearest
days and 10.8 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 2.0 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015–
2019 monitoring data, were 4.3
deciviews on the clearest days and 9.4
deciviews on the most impaired days,
which are 2.3 deciviews and 4.3
deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.9 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.4 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09
deciviews per year needed to reach
140 Figure 5–6 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SAGU1 site.
141 Figure 5–7 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SIAN1 site. Data is not available
for 2016–2020 for SIAN1.
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natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 2.3 deciviews.
Data for the Superstition Wilderness
Area come from the TONT1 monitoring
site.142 The Class I area has 2000–2004
baseline visibility conditions of 6.5
deciviews on the 20 percent clearest
days and 11.7 deciviews on the 20
percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 2.0 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015–
2019 monitoring data, were 4.9
deciviews on the clearest days and 10.3
deciviews on the most impaired days,
which are 2.9 deciviews and 5.2
deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.6 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 1.3 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 2.6 deciviews.
Data for the Sycamore Canyon
Wilderness Area come from the SYCA_
RHTS monitoring site.143 The Class I
area has 2000–2004 baseline visibility
conditions of 5.6 deciviews on the 20
percent clearest days and 12.2
deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
estimated natural background visibility
of 1.0 deciview on the 20 percent
clearest days and 4.7 deciviews on the
20 percent most impaired days. The
current visibility conditions, which are
based on 2015–2019 monitoring data,
were 3.9 deciviews on the clearest days
and 11.7 deciviews on the most
impaired days, which are 2.9 deciviews
and 7.0 deciviews greater than natural
142 Figure 5–8 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the TONT1 site.
143 Figure 5–9 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan depicts the annual and 5-year average most
impaired day and clearest day visibility in dv, the
unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SYCA_RHTS site. The
abbreviation ‘‘SYCA_RHTS’’ is for Sycamore
Regional Haze Tracking Site, and combines data
from the SYCA1 IMPROVE site, which closed in
2015 during the baseline period, and data from the
newer SYCA2 site.
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conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting
current conditions from baseline
conditions, yields a 1.6 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent clearest
days and 0.4 deciview improvement for
the 20 percent most impaired days.
ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.12
deciviews per year needed to reach
natural visibility on the 20 percent most
impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed
to maintain the URP from the baseline
to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
TABLE 2—VISIBILITY CONDITIONS AND UNIFORM RATE OF PROGRESS, IN DECIVIEWS (dv)
20% Clearest days
Class I Area
Chiricahua NM
WA .................
Chiricahua WA ..
Galiuro WA ........
Grand Canyon
NP ..................
Mazatzal WA .....
Mount Baldy WA
Petrified Forest
NP ..................
Pine Mountain
WA .................
Saguaro NP .......
Sierra Ancha WA
Superstition WA
Sycamore Canyon WA ..........
Baseline
Current
Natural
20% Most-impaired days
Difference
Baseline
Current
Natural
Maintain URP
Difference
dv per year
total dv
(baseline to
2019)
total dv
(baseline to
2028)
4.9
4.9
4.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
1.8
1.8
1.8
2.1
2.1
2.1
10.5
10.5
10.5
9.5
9.5
9.5
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.6
4.6
4.6
0.09
0.09
0.09
1.4
1.4
1.4
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
5.4
3.0
1.6
4.2
1.8
0.3
1.9
0.5
1.3
2.3
1.3
8.0
11.2
8.8
6.9
9.5
7.3
4.2
5.2
4.2
2.7
4.3
3.1
0.06
0.10
0.08
1.0
1.5
1.2
1.5
2.4
1.8
5.0
3.3
1.1
2.2
9.8
8.1
4.2
3.9
0.09
1.4
2.2
5.4
6.9
6.2
6.5
4.2
5.8
4.3
4.9
1.9
2.2
2.0
2.0
2.3
3.6
2.3
2.9
11.2
12.6
10.8
11.7
9.5
10.7
9.4
10.3
5.2
5.1
5.1
5.1
4.3
5.6
4.3
5.2
0.10
0.12
0.09
0.11
1.5
1.9
1.2
1.6
2.4
3.0
2.3
2.6
5.6
3.9
1.0
2.9
12.2
11.7
4.7
7.0
0.12
1.9
3.0
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Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 38, Tables 5–1, 5–2, and 5–3. Baseline conditions are for 2000–2004 Current Conditions are for 2015–2019; Difference is Current dv minus Natural Conditions. Maintain URP shows the deciviews per year and the total deciview improvements needed to maintain the Uniform
Rate of Progress to 2019 and 2028.
ADEQ chose to adjust its URP to
account for international anthropogenic
impacts and for the impacts of wildland
prescribed fires. The WRAP/WAQS
Regional Haze modeling platform used
scaled 2014 NEI wildland prescribed
fire data for purposes of calculating the
URP adjustments. ADEQ submits
activity data related to wildland
prescribed fires approved under its SIP
approved Enhanced Smoke
Management Program to the EPA for use
in the development of the NEI. WRAP
used the results from the CAMx
2028OTBa2 High-Level Source
Apportionment run to obtain
concentrations due to international
emissions and to prescribed fire. These
concentrations were then used in a
relative sense to estimate the
contributions for use in adjusting the
URP. That is, the modeled relative effect
of removing their emissions (relative
response factors) was applied to
projections of 2028 concentrations. The
resulting concentration decrease was
taken as the contribution of these
sources. The international and
prescribed fire contributions were
therefore calculated in a fashion
consistent with each other and with the
2028 projections. This approach is
consistent with the default method
described in the EPA’s September 2019
regional haze modeling Technical
Support Document (‘‘EPA 2019
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Modeling TSD’’) 144 and with the source
apportionment approach described in
EPA’s 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance.145 Two different adjusted
glidepath options, ‘‘International
Emissions Only (A)’’ and ‘‘International
Emissions + Wildland Rx Fire (B),’’
were made available on the WRAP TSS
to adjust the URP glidepath end points
projections at 2064 for Class I federal
areas on the most impaired days. ADEQ
used the International Emissions +
Wildland Rx Fire glidepath endpoint
adjustment option. The choice of
adjustment option made a negligible
difference for five of the nine IMPROVE
monitor locations, a small difference for
three others, and a larger difference for
the SYCA_RHTS monitor covering the
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness. The
deciview values for the URP glidepaths,
both unadjusted and adjusted, were
144 Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland,
Director, Air Quality Assessment Division, EPA, to
Regional Air Division Directors, Subject:
‘‘Availability of Modeling Data and Associated
Technical Support Document for the EPA’s
Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality Modeling,’’
September 19, 2019, available at https://
www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-supportdocument-epas-updated-2028-regional-hazemodeling.
145 Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland,
Director, Air Quality Assessment Division, EPA, to
Regional Air Division Directors, Subject: ‘‘Technical
Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze
Program,’’ December 20, 2018, available at https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/
documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_
progress.pdf.
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fairly close to values estimated in the
EPA 2019 Modeling TSD. The choice of
adjustment option made no difference
in whether the RPG for each area was
above or below its URP glidepath,
which is discussed in the Section IV.F
of this document.
The EPA is therefore proposing to
find that Chapter 5 and Appendix A of
the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
meet the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1) related to the calculations of
baseline, current, and natural visibility
conditions; progress to date; differences
between current visibility conditions
and natural visibility conditions; and
the URPs for the second implementation
period. We also propose to find that
ADEQ has estimated the impacts from
anthropogenic sources outside the
United States and wildland prescribed
fires using scientifically valid data and
methods, and we therefore propose to
approve the adjustments to the URPs
pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
1. Arizona’s Long-Term Strategy in the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
Each state having a Class I area within
its borders or emissions that may affect
visibility in a Class I area must develop
a long-term strategy for making
reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal. As explained in
Section 3 of this notice, reasonable
progress is achieved when all states
contributing to visibility impairment in
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a Class I area are implementing the
measures determined—through
application of the four statutory factors
to sources of visibility impairing
pollutants—to be necessary to make
reasonable progress.146 Each state’s
long-term strategy must include the
enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress.147 All new (i.e.,
additional) measures that are the
outcome of four-factor analyses are
necessary to make reasonable progress
and must be in the long-term strategy.
If the outcome of a four-factor analysis
and analysis of other measures
necessary to make reasonable progress is
that no new measures are reasonable for
a source, that source’s existing measures
are necessary to make reasonable
progress, unless the state can
demonstrate that the source will
continue to implement those measures
and will not increase its emissions rate.
Existing measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress must also be
in the long-term strategy. In developing
its long-term strategies, a state must also
consider the five additional factors in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its
reasonable progress determinations, the
state must describe the criteria used to
determine which sources or group of
sources were evaluated in a four-factor
analysis for the second implementation
period and how the four factors were
taken into consideration in selecting the
emissions reduction measures for
inclusion in the long-term strategy.148
The consultation requirements of
section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) provide that
states must consult with other states
that are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment in a
Class I area to develop and coordinate
emissions management strategies
containing the emissions reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress. Section
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require states
to consider the emissions reduction
measures identified by other states as
necessary for reasonable progress and to
include agreed upon measures in their
SIPs, respectively. Section
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speaks to what
happens if states cannot agree on what
measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress.
The following sections summarize
Arizona’s long-term strategy for the
second planning period, as set forth in
the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan.
The EPA’s evaluation with respect to
146 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
CFR 51.308(f)(2).
148 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
147 40
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the requirements of 51.308(f)(2) is
provided in Section IV.E.2.
a. Point Sources
i. Source Selection
PM is composed of different chemical
constituents, including sulfates, nitrates,
organic carbon, elemental carbon, coarse
mass, and soil dust (‘‘PM species’’ or
‘‘species’’). ADEQ focused its source
evaluation on the PM species that
dominate visibility impairment at its
Class I areas.149 ADEQ evaluated light
extinction for PM species by calculating
total light extinction 150 and
anthropogenic extinction 151 for each
species on the most impaired days at its
Class I areas. ADEQ indicated that when
the anthropogenic portion of the impact
is considered, the sulfate, nitrate, and
coarse mass species collectively
constitute 80 percent of total extinction
on average across the Arizona Class I
areas (ranging from 72.3 percent at the
PEFO1 monitor to 88.8 percent at the
CHIR1 monitor).152 ADEQ also noted
that, while organic carbon mass and
light absorbing carbon account for more
than 10 percent of the anthropogenic
light extinction impact for at least one
of the Class I areas, the emissions that
contribute to these species are primarily
from biogenic, wildfires, and onroad
sources, for which the State has limited
available control opportunities. Based
on this analysis, ADEQ determined that
sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass are the
three species that should be evaluated
for source controls during this planning
period in order to maximize the
visibility benefit of controls. SO2
emissions are a precursor to the
formation of sulfate, and NOX emissions
are a precursor to the formation of
nitrate. Coarse mass emissions involve
particulates with an aerodynamic
diameter between 10 and 2.5 microns
(i.e., PM10 less PM2.5). Because coarse
mass is not commonly included in
emissions inventories, states generally
use particulate matter with an
aerodynamic diameter under 10 microns
(PM10) as a surrogate for coarse mass.
Therefore, ADEQ conducted its
screening based on NOX, SO2, and PM10
emissions.
Arizona used the Q/d method to
identify sources that are reasonably
expected to contribute to visibility
impairment at any Class I area. ADEQ
used a Q/d threshold of 10 (combined
NOX, SO2 and PM10 emissions) based on
the 2014 National Emissions Inventory
149 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section
8.2.1.
150 Id., Appendix C, Table 3.
151 Id. at Table 4.
152 Id. at Table 5.
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(NEI) Version 2 (‘‘2014v2’’) emissions.
ADEQ’s approach included additional
steps in order to screen out processes
within the identified sources that have
installed or will install ‘‘effective
controls’’ prior to the end of the second
planning period.153 ADEQ evaluated
2018 operational and emissions data to
determine which processes have an
effective control installed or
incorporated within the last five years
or will install or incorporate an effective
control prior to 2028.154
ADEQ used following the criteria for
determining what constitutes an
effective control: (1) the control was
installed within the last five years of
this analysis (i.e., during or since 2014)
or will be installed prior to 2028; (2) the
control was installed to meet (a) PSD
requirements (or is otherwise
considered a to be equivalent to the best
available control technology (BACT)),
(b) BART requirements (including
BART reconsiderations and better-thanBART determinations),155 (c) Regional
Haze 1st planning period Reasonable
Progress, requirements, or (d) other SIP
requirements to achieve NAAQS
compliance; and (3) process emissions
must be controlled through routing
those emissions through a newly
constructed or recently upgraded
pollution control device or ‘‘taking
emission limits that would otherwise
equate to the installation of a pollution
control device.’’ 156
ADEQ further determined that the
application of the effective control
screening should be applied at the
process level as opposed to the facilitywide level. Given an increase in
resolution at the process level as
compared to the unit level, ADEQ
determined that examining facility
processes was the most appropriate
level of resolution for determining
which emission sources at a facility
would undergo a four-factor control
determination. Additionally, given that
some permitted sources submit
emissions inventories containing
hundreds of processes, including many
that emit low levels of pollutants, ADEQ
153 A full description of the methodology and
determinations of effective controls and their
treatment are included in Appendix C of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan. Figure 8–1 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan presents a flowchart of
ADEQ’s major point source screening process.
154 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C,
Section C2.2.1.2.
155 Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2), States have
the flexibility to adopt alternatives that provide
greater reasonable progress towards natural
visibility conditions than BART for one or more
subject-to-BART sources (commonly known as
‘‘better-than-BART’’ alternatives).
156 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, p.
30.
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determined that it was unnecessary to
perform a control evaluation on all
processes at each facility, but that at
least the largest 80 percent of pollutantand process-specific emissions at a
source should be considered.
As shown in Table 3 of this
document, ADEQ determined that 55
processes within the identified sources
were effectively controlled.157 These
include certain processes where no
control has been installed within the
last five years, but where new emissions
limits were established, such as Tucson
Electric Power (TEP) Company Irvington
Generating Station (IGS) Unit 4 and
AEPCO Apache Generating Station Unit
2, both of which converted from coal to
47413
natural gas as part of better-than-BART
alternatives during the first planning
period. ADEQ then screened out these
effectively controlled processes from
further consideration and indicated that
these effectively controlled processes
will be reevaluated in future rounds of
Regional Haze planning.
TABLE 3—LIST OF EFFECTIVE CONTROLS IDENTIFIED BY ADEQ FOR ARIZONA MAJOR POINT SOURCES
Unit/process
description
Facility
Control program
Comments
AEPCO—Apache
Steam Unit 1 Gas
Generating Station.
AEPCO—Apache
Generating Station.
AEPCO—Apache
Generating Station.
AEPCO—Apache
Generating Station.
AEPCO—Apache
Generating Station.
AEPCO—Apache
Generating Station.
APS—Cholla Power
Plant.
APS—Cholla Power
Plant.
APS—Cholla Power
Plant.
APS—Cholla Power
Plant.
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
157 Id.
Regional Haze—
NOX limit of 0.056 pounds per million British thermal unit (lb/MMBtu) standBART Alternative.
alone and 0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/GT1 and a 30-calendar day average of 1,205 lb/day, PM10 limit of 0.0075 lb/MMBtu, and SO2 limit of
0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
Steam Unit 2 Gas
Regional Haze—
Conversion from coal to natural gas with NOX limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day
BART Alternative.
average, SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-day average, PM10 limit of
0.008 lb/MMBtu 30-day average.
Steam Unit 2 Coal
Regional Haze—
Conversion from coal to natural gas w/NOX limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day
average, SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-day average, PM10 limit of
BART Alternative.
0.008 lb/MMBtu 30-day average.
Steam Unit 3 Coal
Regional Haze—
Selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) installation w/a NOX 30-day average
BART Alternative.
limit of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
Steam Unit 3 Gas
Regional Haze—
SNCR installation w/a NOX 30-day average limit of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
BART Alternative.
Gas Combust TurRegional Haze—
NOX limit of 0.056 lb/MMBtu standalone and 0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/
bine #1.
BART Alternative.
GT1 and a 30-calendar day average of 1,205 lb/day, PM10 limit of 0.0075
lb/MMBtu, and SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
Coal Combustion
Regional Haze—
Cease operation or convert unit from coal to natural gas by April 30, 2025,
In Steam Unit #1.
BART.
with 20% annual capacity factor.
Coal Combustion
Regional Haze—
Permanently shut down April 1, 2016.
in Steam Unit #2.
BART.
Coal Combustion
Regional Haze—
Permanently cease coal burning by April 30, 2025. Natural gas option with
in Steam Unit #3.
BART.
less than 20% average annual capacity factor (NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits specified).
Coal Combustion
Regional Haze—
Permanently cease coal burning by April 30, 2025. Natural gas option with
in Steam Unit #4.
BART.
less than 20% average annual capacity factor (NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits specified).
Flash Furnace,
SIP Action—Pb,
Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/Baghouse.
Converter.
SO2.
Paved Road Traffic SIP Action—Pb ..... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from the Hayden smelter.
Product Dryer
Baghouses.
Storage & Handling
SIP Action—Pb,
SO2.
SIP Action—Pb .....
Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/Baghouse.
Unpaved Road
Traffic.
Flash Furnace/
Converter Primary Ventilation—Acid Plant
Outlet.
Converter Aisle Fugitives.
Fines Crushing Circuit.
Flash Furnace Fugitives.
Flash Furnace
Baghouse Outlet.
Peirce Smith Converters.
Peirce Smith Converters.
Revert Crushing
Circuit.
Secondary Hood
Baghouse.
SIP Action—Pb .....
Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from the Hayden smelter.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and control improvements made as part of
the converter retrofit project.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
New tertiary ventilation system.
SIP Action—Pb .....
Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from the Hayden smelter.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and control improvements made as part of
the converter retrofit project.
Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and control improvements made as part of
the converter retrofit project.
New tertiary ventilation system.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from the Hayden smelter.
SIP Action—Pb,
SO2.
SIP Action—Pb .....
Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/Baghouse.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
New tertiary ventilation system.
Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from the Hayden smelter.
at Exhibit CI.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 3—LIST OF EFFECTIVE CONTROLS IDENTIFIED BY ADEQ FOR ARIZONA MAJOR POINT SOURCES—Continued
Unit/process
description
Control program
Asarco—Hayden
Smelter.
Calportland-Rillito
Cement Plant.
Tertiary Hood Ventilation Outlet.
Preheater & Kiln 4
SIP Action—SO2 ...
New tertiary ventilation system.
SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 3.46 lb/ton.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant.
Coronado Generating Plant.
Baghouse ..............
Coal Combustion
Unit 1.
Regional Haze—
Reasonable
Progress.
Regional Haze—
BART.
Regional Haze—
BART.
Regional Haze—
BART.
Coronado Generating Plant.
Fuel Oil Combustion Unit 1.
Regional Haze—
BART.
Coronado Generating Plant.
Coronado Generating Plant.
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Coal Combustion
Unit 2.
Fuel Oil Combustion Unit 2.
Smelting: Isa & Elf
Regional Haze—
BART.
Regional Haze—
BART.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Captured Converter Fugitives
and Anode Process Emissions.
Collected Fugitives
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Bypass Stack ........
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Smelting Fugitives
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Natural Gas Combustion.
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Phoenix Cement—
Clarkdale.
Anode Refining .....
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Raw Mill/Kiln .........
Phoenix Cement—
Clarkdale.
Coal Milling ...........
Tucson Electric
Power—Irvington.
U1 Boiler—Natural
Gas.
Regional Haze—
Reasonable
Progress.
Regional Haze—
Reasonable
Progress.
PSD BACT ............
Tucson Electric
Power—Irvington.
Tucson Electric
Power—Irvington.
Tucson Electric
Power—Irvington.
Tucson Electric
Power—Irvington.
U2 Boiler—Natural
Gas.
U4 Boiler—Natural
Gas.
IGT1–Turbine—
Natural Gas.
IGT2–Turbine—
Natural Gas.
Facility
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Freeport McMoran
Miami Smelter.
Baghouse ..............
SIP Action—SO2 ...
Comments
SNCR NOX limit of 3.80 lb/ton. Use of lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.32
lb/ton.
SNCR NOX limit of 2.61 lb/ton. Use of lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.73
lb/ton.
Selective catalytic reduction (SCR) installation or shut down by 12/31/2025.
0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX limit and 0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit.
Additional facility-wide cap on SO2 emissions.
SCR installation or shut down by 12/31/2025. 0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX
limit and 0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit. Additional facility-wide cap on
SO2 emissions.
SCR installation in June 2014.
SCR installation in June 2014.
2018 environmental upgrades included capture of anode vessel process
emissions, routing to baghouse and caustic scrubber.
Anode process emissions routed through baghouse and caustic scrubber,
Converter fugitive emissions routed through caustic scrubber.
Vent fume system, including Wet Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) and caustic
scrubber.
Bypass stack subject to facility-wide SO2 limit in SO2 and permit.
Fugitive originating from IsaSmelt vessel, electric furnace, converters, and
anode vessels, each of which have emissions capture and control systems.
Majority of smelter natural gas combustion occurs within IsaSmelt, Electric
Furnace, Converters and Anode Vessels and is co-mingled with process
gas which is routed to the various control devices. Insignificant emissions
originating from uncontrolled space heaters, small water heaters, etc.
2018 environmental upgrades included capture of anode vessel process
emissions, routing to baghouse and caustic scrubber.
SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67 lb/ton.
SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67 lb/ton.
Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded reciprocating internal combustion engines (RICE) engines and a combined annual NOX limit of 170 tons per
year (tpy).
PSD BACT ............ Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE engines and a combined annual
NOX limit of 170 tpy.
Regional Haze—
Fuel switch with a 0.25 lb/MMBtu NOX limit, 0.57 lb/MMBtu SO2 limit, and
BART Alternative.
0.010 lb/MMBtu PM10 limit.
PSD BACT ............ Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE engines and a combined annual
NOX limit of 170 tpy.
PSD BACT ............ Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE engines and a combined annual
NOX limit of 170 tpy.
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Exhibit CI.
ADEQ then recalculated Q/d using a
threshold of 10 for each facility utilizing
the remaining processes and 2018 data.
Based on the source screening results,
ADEQ determined that the 11 permitted
sources listed in Table 4 of this
document would undergo a four-factor
analysis.158
TABLE 4—ARIZONA SOURCE SCREENING RESULTS
Q
(tpy)
Facility
ASARCO LLC—Mission Complex .......................................
ASARCO LLC—Ray Operations ..........................................
158 2022
d
(km)
1,254
371
Q/d
42
26
Nearest Class I area
30
14
Saguaro National Park.
Superstition Wilderness Area.
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8–2.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 4—ARIZONA SOURCE SCREENING RESULTS—Continued
Q
(tpy)
Facility
CalPortland—Rillito Cement Plant .......................................
Drake Cement LLC ..............................................................
El Paso Natural Gas—Willcox Compressor Station ............
El Paso Natural Gas—Williams Compressor Station ..........
Freeport-McMoran—Morenci ...............................................
Freeport-McMoran—Sierrita Mine ........................................
Phoenix Cement—Clarkdale ................................................
Tucson Electric Power Co—Irvington ..................................
Tucson Electric Power Co—Springerville ............................
d
(km)
246
375
321
786
2,768
869
136
444
17,044
Q/d
8
22
27
19
54
42
10
16
50
Nearest Class I area
30
17
12
40
52
21
14
28
339
Saguaro National Park.
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
Chiricahua Wilderness Area.
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
Gila Wilderness Area.
Saguaro National Park.
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
Saguaro National Park.
Mount Baldy Wilderness Area.
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8–2. The Q and Q/d values shown here exclude those processes that ADEQ screened out
based on a finding that they were effectively controlled.
ii. Overall Approach to Four-Factor
Analyses
For cost calculation interest rates,
ADEQ requested that the sources
undergoing a four-factor analysis
provide source specific lending/interest
rates in line with the general
recommendations of the 7th Edition of
the EPA Control Cost Manual.159 In the
absence of source-specific information,
ADEQ relied on a 4.75 percent interest
rate developed by analyzing and
averaging historical bank prime rate
data. ADEQ looked at 3-year average
bank prime rates for the periods of
2017–2019 (4.83 percent) and April
2018–March 2020 (4.78 percent). These
dates were chosen as they were the most
recent data at the time of the analysis.
ADEQ determined, based on these 3year averages, that a 3-year average bank
prime rate of 4.75 percent was
appropriate. ADEQ indicates that the
use of a 3-year average was more
appropriate than the utilization of the
bank prime rate at a singular point in
time due to the variability that can
occur in bank prime rates over time.
ADEQ also performed an analysis to
determine a reasonable costeffectiveness (cost/ton) threshold for
Arizona emissions sources evaluated
under the four-factor analysis in the
regional haze second planning period,
based on the cost-effectiveness values
for controls required in regional haze
SIP revisions from the first planning
period. ADEQ indicated that it found
that none of the implemented costeffectiveness values during the first
planning period exceeded $5,300/ton.
Adjusting the cost for inflation to 2019
dollars based on Chemical Engineering
Plant Cost Index values,160 ADEQ
determined that any controls having an
average cost-effectiveness of more than
$6,500/ton would be cost excessive and
could be rejected without further
justification.
iii. Summary of Four-Factor Analyses
TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF FACILITIES AND PROCESSES EVALUATED UNDER FOUR-FACTOR ANALYSIS
Facility
Process
Pollutant
ASARCO LLC—Mission Complex ...............................
Trucks hauling ore and waste rock ..............................
Rubber tire rigs traveling on unpaved roads ...............
Trucks hauling ore and waste rock ..............................
Miscellaneous vehicles traveling on unpaved roads ...
Dumps and tailings windblown dust ............................
Dozing mine areas, dumps and stockpiles ..................
Blasting ore and waste rock ........................................
Clinker From K234—Overhead Crane Building ...........
Unpaved Roads ...........................................................
Plant Materials .............................................................
Finish Milling—D2–PC .................................................
Iron Stockpile ...............................................................
Finish Milling—D3–1–DC2 ...........................................
Cooler—Kiln 4 H2–GB .................................................
Quarry Materials ...........................................................
Paved Roads ................................................................
Mining Operations—Blasting ........................................
Quarry Crusher System—B2–DC1 ..............................
Raw Mill and Kiln .........................................................
TURBINE–1 ..................................................................
TURBINE–2 ..................................................................
TURBINE–1 ..................................................................
RECIP–1 ......................................................................
RECIP–2 ......................................................................
RECIP–5 ......................................................................
Haul Trucks Traveling on Mine Roads ........................
Other Vehicles Traveling on Mine Roads ....................
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks ....................................
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
ASARCO LLC—Ray Operations ..................................
CalPortland—Rillito Cement Plant ...............................
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Drake Cement LLC ......................................................
El Paso Natural Gas—Willcox Compressor Station ....
El Paso Natural Gas—Williams Compressor Station ..
Freeport—McMoran—Morenci .....................................
159 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section
8.3.2.
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site/plant-cost-index/.
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Projected 2028
emissions
(tpy)
713
97
158
87
41
21
89
62.5
51.7
17.3
9.5
8.5
7.1
7.0
6.5
5.8
5.7
5.3
a 316
134
157
290
148
170
205
1,552
229
120
47416
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF FACILITIES AND PROCESSES EVALUATED UNDER FOUR-FACTOR ANALYSIS—Continued
Facility
Process
Pollutant
Freeport—McMoran—Sierrita Mine .............................
Unpaved Roads ...........................................................
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks ....................................
Sierrita Tailings ............................................................
Blasting Operations ......................................................
Rock Sampling and Storage—Raw Storage Piles ......
Coal/Coke Handling 2—Coal/Coke Storage Pile .........
Gypsum Handling—Gypsum Storage Piles .................
Cement Storage—DC510 ............................................
Quarry Rds/Blast/Drill—Quarry—Blasting ....................
Raw Storage and Homog2—DC607 ............................
Kiln Feed System—DC409 ..........................................
Clinker Handling and STR3—DC352 ..........................
Finish Milling—DC340 ..................................................
Cement Storage 2—DC512 .........................................
Raw Mill—DC366 .........................................................
Rock Reclaimer and TPS—DC205 ..............................
Cement Storage 2—DC508 .........................................
Clinker Handling and STR3—DC350 ..........................
Raw Storage and Homog1—DC601 ............................
Clinker Handling and STR1—DC447 ..........................
Clinker Cooling—DC445 ..............................................
Clinker Handling and STR3—DC312 ..........................
Raw Storage and Homog2—DC224 ............................
Raw Storage and Homog2—DC228 ............................
Raw Storage and Homog2—DC615 ............................
Raw Storage and Homog2—DC616 ............................
Coal/Coke Handling1—DC452 ....................................
Finish Milling—DC341 ..................................................
Paved Plant Roads ......................................................
Unit 3 ............................................................................
Unit 1 Boiler .................................................................
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
Phoenix Cement—Clarkdale ........................................
Tucson Electric Power Co—Irvington ..........................
Tucson Electric Power Co—Springerville ....................
Unit 2 Boiler .................................................................
Unit 3 Boiler .................................................................
Unit 4 Boiler .................................................................
Projected 2028
emissions
(tpy)
449
82
171
97
31.4
12.1
7.4
5.5
3.5
3.1
3.0
2.8
2.6
2.6
2.2
2.4
2.1
2.0
1.9
1.9
1.7
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.6
1.4
1.3
1.2
251
92
2,099
2,869
107
2,283
2,982
158
1,019
1,036
31
929
1,039
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
a The Plan does not state the projected 2028 emissions for this unit. However, the highest annual facility-wide NO emissions during the baseX
line period were 316 tpy in 2018, so this may be considered an upper-bound of emissions from the Raw Mill and Kiln.
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C.
ASARCO LLC (Asarco) Mission
Complex 161 is a copper mine located in
Sahuarita, Arizona. The facility operates
an open-pit copper mine, two
concentrators, and a by-products
molybdenum plant. Asarco Mission
Complex was screened in with a Q/d
value of 30, and the nearest Class I area
is Saguaro National Park at 42
kilometers away. ADEQ identified two
processes that are subject to the fourfactor analysis for Asarco Mission
Complex: haul trucks hauling ore and
waste rock, and rubber rigs traveling on
unpaved roads. Using information
supplied by Asarco, ADEQ conducted
four-factor analyses for these two
processes, the results of which are
summarized in Table 6 of this
document. Based on these results,
ADEQ determined that the emissions
controls that Asarco is implementing for
the two processes, such as a speed limit
of 35 miles per hour and application of
water, reflect current best management
practices for the mining industry and
that it is reasonable not to require
additional controls during this planning
period. Although ADEQ did not specify
why no other controls were reasonable,
cost appears to have been the
determining factor, as the cost
effectiveness of all feasible controls
exceeded ADEQ’s chosen costeffectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
161 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.1 and Appendix C, Section C3.3.
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47417
TABLE 6—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR ASARCO MISSION COMPLEX
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
Process
Control
Emission reduction
Truck Hauling Ore and Waste Rock .......
Reduce the speed limit for haul trucks
from 35 mph to 25 mph.
Apply additional water to haul roads
(outside pit only).
Apply additional water to haul roads (inside and outside pit).
Increase freeboard in the haul trucks .....
203.7 ........................................................
$80,544
71.3 ..........................................................
12,183
356.5 ........................................................
10,117
Emissions reductions could not be quantified.
No reduction expected since average
traveling speed of rubber tire rigs is 15
mph.
49.7 ..........................................................
N/A
18,043
59.4 ..........................................................
15,771
5.1 ............................................................
25,711
73.7 ..........................................................
47,295
Rubber Tire Rigs Traveling on Unpaved
Non-Haul Roads.
Reduce the speed limit for rubber tire
rigs from 35 mph to 25 mph.
Apply additional water to unpaved roads
(non-haul roads only).
Apply additional water to unpaved roads
(haul roads non-haul roads only).
Apply and maintain surface gravel on
unpaved non-haul roads (decreasing
the silt content from 6.9% to 6.4%).
Paving unpaved non-haul roads .............
N/A
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.3.
Asarco Ray Operations is located near
Kearny, Arizona and consists of an open
pit mine, concentrator, solvent
extraction-electrowinning operation,
and associated maintenance, warehouse,
and administrative facilities.162 The
facility was screened in with a Q/d
value of 14, and the nearest Class I area
is Saguaro National Park at 26
kilometers away. ADEQ identified five
processes that are subject to the fourfactor analysis for Asarco Ray
Operations: trucks hauling ore and
waste rock, miscellaneous vehicles
traveling on unpaved roads, dumps and
tailings windblown dust, dozing mine
areas, dumps and stockpiles, and
blasting ore and waste rock. Asarco
completed and submitted a four-factor
analysis report for the five processes in
December 2019 and provided additional
information in March 2020 through
2021. ADEQ’s determination in the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan is that the
emissions controls that Asarco is
implementing for these processes, such
as a speed limit of 35 miles per hour,
water sprays, and application of
chemical dust suppressants (on nonhaul roads), reflect current best
management practices for the mining
industry and that it is reasonable not to
require additional controls during this
planning period.
CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant is a
portland cement manufacturing plant in
Rillito, Arizona.163 The facility was
screened in with a Q/d value of 30, and
the nearest Class I area is Superstition
Wilderness Area at 8 kilometers away.
ADEQ evaluated potential controls at
nine emissions sources at the
CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant and
conducted a four-factor analysis for each
control that it found to be feasible. The
results of these analyses are shown in
Table 7. While ADEQ’s was conducting
its four-factor analysis for the Rillito
facility, CalPortland took on a
voluntary, enforceable air quality
control permit condition for the location
of its iron stockpile (horseshoe pit,
three-sided artificial windbreak).164
ADEQ subsequently found that no other
controls were reasonable based the
statutory four factors. Although ADEQ
did not specify why no other controls
were reasonable, cost appears to have
been the determining factor, as the cost
effectiveness of all feasible controls
exceeded ADEQ’s chosen costeffectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
TABLE 7—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR CALPORTLAND CEMENT
Source
Control option
Technically
feasible
(Y/N)
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building ...............
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building ...............
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic .....................
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic .....................
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic .....................
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic .....................
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic .....................
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic .........................
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic .........................
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic .........................
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic .........................
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic .........................
Fabric Filter Baghouse ...................................
Full Enclosure ................................................
Traffic Management Plans .............................
Additional Watering ........................................
Surface Gravel ...............................................
Paving ............................................................
Chemical Dust Suppressant ..........................
Cover Haul Trucks .........................................
Stabilize Unpaved Points ...............................
Rapid Cleanup of Spills .................................
Curb or Pave Shoulders ................................
Street Sweepers .............................................
N
Y
N
Y
N
N
N
N
Y
N
N
Y
162 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.2 and Appendix C, Section C3.4.
163 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.3 and Appendix C.
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164 ADEQ Air Quality Control Permit #85424
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Requirements of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
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Emissions
reduction
(tpy)
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
N/A
9.38
N/A
44.34
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
N/A
N/A
1.5
Plan. ADEQ has not submit the new permit
condition as a SIP revision.
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N/A
$13,605
N/A
23,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
28,146
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TABLE 7—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR CALPORTLAND CEMENT—Continued
Source
Control option
Technically
feasible
(Y/N)
Material Handling ............................................
Material Handling ............................................
Material Handling ............................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Iron Stockpile ..................................................
Finish Mill ........................................................
Clinker Cooler .................................................
Quarry Crusher ...............................................
Blasting ...........................................................
Water Sprays .................................................
Baghouse .......................................................
Enclosures ......................................................
Water Application ...........................................
Chemical Dust Suppressant ..........................
Artificial Wind Break .......................................
Vegetative Wind Break ..................................
Compact Piles ................................................
Cover with Tarps ............................................
Improved Baghouses .....................................
Improved Baghouses .....................................
Improved Baghouses .....................................
N/A .................................................................
N
N
N
N
N
Y
Y
N
N
Y
Y
Y
N/A
Emissions
reduction
(tpy)
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
0
N/A
N/A
15.85–18.26
21.19
5.92
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
14,254–16,057
16,210
12,099
N/A
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C.3.5.
The Drake Cement Paulden facility is
a Portland cement manufacturing
facility in Paulden, Yavapai County,
Arizona.165 The facility was screened in
with a Q/d value of 17, and the nearest
Class I area is Sycamore Canyon
Wilderness Area at 22 kilometers away.
One emission source, the Main
Baghouse Raw Mill and Kiln,
contributed approximately 84 percent of
the facility’s total NOX, SO2, and PM10
combined emissions, and ADEQ
evaluated this unit for regional haze
controls. The Plan does not state the
projected 2028 emissions for this unit.
However, the highest annual facilitywide NOX emissions during the baseline
period were 316 tpy in 2018, so this
may be considered an upper-bound of
emissions from the Raw Mill and Kiln.
ADEQ indicated that Low NOX Burners,
Preheater Riser Duct Firing, and SNCR
are currently implemented at the Drake
Cement Paulden facility. The only
remaining potential control available for
implementation at the Paulden facility
is SCR. Noting that SCR has been
employed at only a handful of cement
plants in Europe and one in the United
States, ADEQ concluded that SCR was
technically infeasible. Despite this,
ADEQ conducted a four-factor analysis
of SCR, using a control efficiency of 65
percent, which resulted in a reduction
of 83.6 tons per year at approximately
$30,521/ton.166 This cost exceeds
ADEQ’s cost threshold and therefore,
ADEQ determined that it is reasonable
not to require additional controls on
Drake Cement during this planning
period.
EPNG Willcox Compressor Station is
a natural gas compressor station facility
that provides natural gas compression to
EPNG’s pipeline network.167 The
facility screened in with a Q/d value of
12, and the nearest Class I area is
Chiricahua Wilderness Area at 27
kilometers away. The two units subject
to four-factor analysis were TURBINE–
1 and TURBINE–2, with 2028 emissions
of 134.72 and 157.44 tons NOX,
respectively.
ADEQ found that EPNG was already
implementing Good Combustion
Practices at both units, and that the
following control options would be
technically feasible: Combustion Liner
Upgrade with Dry Low NOX (DLN; 68–
71 percent control effectiveness) and
SCR (77 percent control effectiveness).
The results of ADEQ’s analysis of these
two options are summarized in Table 8
of this document.
TABLE 8—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR EPNG WILLCOX
Process
Emission
reduction
Control
TURBINE–1 .....................................
TURBINE–2 .....................................
Lean
SCR
Lean
SCR
Head End Combustion Liner Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control
...........................................................................................................
Head End Combustion Liner Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control
...........................................................................................................
91.24
106
115.82
124
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
$12,764
10,008
10,524
8,892
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C3.8.
ADEQ determined that neither the
Combustion Liner Upgrade with DLN
nor SCR are cost-effective options
because they exceed ADEQ’s cost
threshold. ADEQ found that EPNG
should continue to implement Good
Combustion Practices but did not
consider whether or not this measure
was necessary to make reasonable
progress.
El Paso Natural Gas (EPNG) Williams
Compressor Station is a natural gas
compressor station facility that provides
natural gas compression to EPNG’s
pipeline network.168 The facility was
screened in with a Q/d value of 40, and
the nearest Class I area is Sycamore
Canyon Wilderness Area at 19
kilometers away. EPNG reviewed NOX
control options for both the General
Electric (GE) gas turbine (TURBINE–1,
with 2028 emissions of 290.42 tons
NOX) and three reciprocating engines
(RECIP–1, RECIP–2, and RECIP–5, with
165 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, Section C3.6.
166 Drake Cement estimated a cost effectiveness of
$28,641/ton utilizing a 3 percent interest rate.
ADEQ updated the interest rate to 4.75 percent for
consistency with other four-factor analyses in its
SIP submittal. The cost is based on a 30-year
lifespan of the SCR.
167 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.6 and Appendix C, Section C3.8.
168 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.5 and Appendix C, Section C3.7.
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2028 emissions of 148.4, 179.4, and
205.16 tons NOX, respectively) located
at the Williams Compressor Station.
Based on information provided by
EPNG, ADEQ evaluated the following
controls for the Williams compressor
station TURBINE–1 for NOX: Water or
Steam Injection, Combustion Liner
Upgrade with Low NOX Burner Design,
Good Combustion Practices, EMXTM/
SCONOXTM Technology, SCR, and
SNCR. Of the list, ADEQ determined
three of the control options to be
technically feasible: water or steam
injection (74 percent control
effectiveness), SCR (80 percent control
effectiveness), and combustion liner
upgrade with low NOX burner design
(78 percent control effectiveness). The
results of this analysis are summarized
in Table 9 of this document. After the
evaluation of these costs of compliance,
ADEQ determined that the control
options were not cost effective, and that
the continued use of Good Combustion
Practices is reasonable for TURBINE–1.
ADEQ did not determine whether this
measure was necessary to make
reasonable progress.
Additionally, the following controls
were evaluated for the three Williams
compressor station reciprocating
engines: SCR, Air-Fuel Ratio
Adjustment with High Energy Ignition,
Low-Emission Combustion (LEC)
Retrofits, Replacement of Three Engines
with one Low NOX Emissions Gas
Turbine, Replacement of Three Engines
with Electric Motors or a Gas Turbine,
and Good Combustion Practices. The
results of ADEQ’s four-factor analysis
for the engines are summarized in Table
9 of this document. Based on these
results, ADEQ found that all LEC
47419
options were cost-effective for every
engine based on average costeffectiveness. However, ADEQ also
found that the incremental cost
effectiveness of requiring LEC–3 on
RECIP–1 as compared to requiring LEC–
2 ($11,120/ton) was ‘‘cost-excessive.’’
Therefore, while ADEQ determined that
LEC–3 was necessary to make
reasonable progress for RECIP–2 and
RECIP–5, it selected a less stringent
control, LEC–2, for RECIP–1. ADEQ also
found that replacement of the three
engines with a gas turbine would be
cost-effective but did not adopt this
option due to issues and uncertainties
with this option, such as the need for
operational flexibility to control
pipeline flowrate changes and a
potential increase in fuel usage and
emissions during low flow
conditions.169
TABLE 9—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR EPNG WILLIAMS
Emission
reduction
Process
Control
TURBINE–1 .............................
Water Injection ..................................................................................................
Steam Injection ..................................................................................................
Combustion Liner Upgrade and Low NOX Burner Design ...............................
SCR ...................................................................................................................
Air-Fuel Ratio Adjustment with High Energy Ignition ........................................
LEC–1 ................................................................................................................
LEC–2 ................................................................................................................
LEC–3 ................................................................................................................
SCR ...................................................................................................................
Replacement with Electric Motors .....................................................................
LEC–1 ................................................................................................................
LEC–2 ................................................................................................................
LEC–3 ................................................................................................................
SCR ...................................................................................................................
Replacement with Electric Motors .....................................................................
LEC–1 ................................................................................................................
LEC–2 ................................................................................................................
LEC–3 ................................................................................................................
SCR ...................................................................................................................
Replacement with Electric Motors .....................................................................
Replacement of Three Engines with Low NOX Emissions Gas Turbine ..........
RECIP–1 ..................................
RECIP–2 ..................................
RECIP–5 ..................................
RECIP–1, 2, & 5 ......................
201.54
201.54
213.5
219
20.67
76.46
116.30
131.45
119.18
140.21
74.36
127.42
147.59
135.37
159.26
87.51
181.86
217.72
202.70
238.47
484.21
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
$6,536
7,601
8,775
8,051
2,484
4,058
4,581
5,334
5,782
20,880
4,172
4,181
4,751
5,553
23,301
3,645
2,977
3,302
4,409
27,011
3,905
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.7.
Freeport-McMoRan Morenci Complex
is located in Greenlee County, Arizona
and consists of three major operations:
mining operations, including the
drilling and blasting of ore in open-pit
copper mines, three in-pit crushers and
an ore conveying system, the Morenci
Concentrator and Metcalf Concentrator
operations for production of copper and
molybdenum concentrates through
conventional milling and froth flotation
operations, and the Metcalf Mine-forLeach (MFL) plant and five Solution
Extraction and four Electrowinning
facilities (SX/EW) operations for
169 Id.
at 126–127.
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production of high quality copper
cathodes through leaching and
hydrometallurgy.170 The facility was
screened in with a Q/d value of 52 and
the nearest Class I area is Gila
Wilderness Area at 54 kilometers away.
ADEQ identified two processes that
are subject to the four-factor analysis for
Freeport-McMoRan Morenci: haul
trucks and other vehicles travel on mine
roads and loading ore into haul trucks.
Using information supplied by FreeportMcMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor
analyses for these two processes, the
results of which are summarized in
Table 10 of this document. Based on
these results, ADEQ determined that the
emissions controls Freeport is already
implementing for the two processes,
such as a speed limit of 35 miles per
hour and application of water, reflect
current best management practices for
the mining industry, and that it is
reasonable not to require additional
controls during this planning period.
Although ADEQ did not specify why it
found that no other controls were
reasonable, cost appears to have been
the determining factor, as the cost
effectiveness of all feasible controls
170 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.7 and Appendix C, Section C3.9.
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exceeded ADEQ’s chosen threshold of
$6,500/ton.
TABLE 10—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR FREEPORT-MCMORAN MORENCI
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
Process
Control
Emission reduction
Haul Trucks and Other Vehicles Traveling on Mine
Roads.
Reduce the speed limit for haul trucks to 25 mph ..
427 .........................
$383,018
Apply additional water to unpaved mine roads .......
Increase freeboard in the haul trucks ......................
Apply additional water to ores .................................
Ceasing operations during high wind hours ............
890.8 ......................
Not quantifiable ......
52.06 ......................
0.06 ........................
10,949
N/A
406,990
14,625,548
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks .................................
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.9.
Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita Complex
is located in southern Pima County,
Arizona and consists of three major
operations: mining operations,
including the drilling and blasting of ore
in open-pit copper mines, the Sierrita
concentrator operations for production
of copper and molybdenum
concentrates, and the run of mine
(ROM) oxide-leaching plant and the
Twin Buttes SX/EW operations for
production of high quality copper
cathodes.171 The facility was screened
in with a Q/d value of 21, and the
nearest Class I area is Saguaro National
Park at 42 kilometers away. ADEQ
identified four processes that are subject
to the four-factor analysis for the
Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita complex:
vehicle travel on unpaved roads,
tailings, loading/unloading ore into haul
trucks, and blasting operations. Using
information supplied by FreeportMcMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor
analyses for these four processes, the
results of which are summarized in
Table 11 of this document. Based on
these results, ADEQ determined that the
emissions controls Freeport-McMoRan
is already implementing, such as a
speed limit of 35 miles per hour and
water application, reflect current best
management practices for the mining
industry, and that it is reasonable not to
require additional controls during this
planning period. Although ADEQ did
not specify why it found that no other
controls were reasonable, cost appears
to have been the determining factor, as
the cost effectiveness of all feasible
controls exceeded ADEQ’s chosen
threshold of $6,500/ton.
TABLE 11—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR FREEPORT-MCMORAN SIERRITA
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
Process
Control
Emission reduction
Vehicle Travel on Unpaved Mine Roads ..................
Reduce the speed limit from 34.5 mph to 25 mph ..
Apply additional water to unpaved roads (increasing the control efficiency from 90% to 95%).
Increase freeboard in the haul trucks ......................
124 .........................
224.7 ......................
$233,539
12,021
Emissions reductions could not be
quantified.
57.73 ......................
N/A
240,703
0.66 ........................
N/A .........................
N/A .........................
8,081,366
N/A
N/A
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks .................................
Emissions from Tailings ............................................
Blasting Operations ..................................................
Apply water to ores to increase the moisture content from 2% to 4.8%.
Ceasing loading operations during high wind hours
No feasible controls .................................................
No feasible controls .................................................
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.10.
Phoenix Cement Clarkdale Facility is
a Portland cement plant and quarry near
Clarkdale, Arizona that is owned by an
enterprise division of the Salt River
Pima-Maricopa Indian Community.172
The facility was screened in with a
Q/d value of 14, and the nearest Class
I area is Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
Area at 10 kilometers away. As shown
in Table 3 of this document, ADEQ
screened out the raw mill/kiln and coal
milling emissions sources because they
were required to install SNCR as part of
the first implementation period of the
Regional Haze Rule and were deemed
effectively controlled. The remaining
emissions sources subject to a fourfactor analysis included: raw storage
piles, coal/coke storage piles, gypsum
storage piles, paved plant roads, quarry
blasting, and material handling
processes. Based on the results of these
171 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.8 and Appendix C, Section C3.10.
172 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.9 and Appendix C, Section C3.11.
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analyses, which are summarized in
Table 12 of this document, ADEQ
determined that no new controls were
reasonable. Although ADEQ did not
specify its reasoning, cost appears to
have been the determining factor, as the
cost effectiveness of all feasible controls
exceeded ADEQ’s cost-effectiveness
threshold of $6,500/ton.
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TABLE 12—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR PHOENIX CEMENT CLARKDALE
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
Process
Control
Emission reduction
Raw Storage Piles ...................................
Enclosure .................................................
Increase Moisture Content ......................
Cover with Tarps .....................................
Enclosure .................................................
Increase Moisture Content ......................
Enclosure .................................................
Increase Moisture Content ......................
Cover with Tarps .....................................
Berm Installation ......................................
Curbing/Paving or Shoulder Stabilization
Curbing with Gutters ...............................
Traffic Rerouting ......................................
Storm Water Drainage ............................
Street Sweepers ......................................
Watering ..................................................
N/A ...........................................................
Fabric Filters ............................................
28.31 ........................................................
Technically Infeasible ..............................
Technically Infeasible ..............................
10.94 ........................................................
Technically Infeasible ..............................
6.64 ..........................................................
Technically Infeasible ..............................
Technically Infeasible ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
Already Implemented ..............................
1.10 ..........................................................
N/A ...........................................................
Already Implemented ..............................
Coal/Coke Storage Pile ...........................
Gypsum Storage Piles .............................
Paved Plant Roads ..................................
Quarry Blasting ........................................
Material Handling Processes ...................
$154,422
N/A
N/A
228,410
N/A
44,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
77,438
N/A
N/A
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.11.
Tucson Electric Power (TEP)
Company Irvington Generating Station
(IGS) is located in Tuscon, Arizona and
includes two fossil fuel-fired electric
utility steam-generating units,
designated as Units 3 and 4; two simple
cycle combustion turbines; ten RICE;
and various ancillary units used to
produce electricity for consumers.173
The facility is permitted by the Pima
Department of Environmental Quality
(PDEQ), and was screened in with a Q/
d value of 28, with the nearest Class I
area 16 kilometers away at Saguaro
National Park. As shown in Table 3,
ADEQ screened out IGS Unit 4 as
effectively controlled based on the fact
that it was subject to a ‘‘better-thanBART’’ alternative determination, and
the simple cycle turbines were replaced
with ten RICE engines, leaving only
Unit 3 subject to a four-factor analysis.
On January 18, 2021, TEP submitted
a permit application to PDEQ for the
following voluntary NOX emissions
limits for Unit 3: 335 tons per 12-month
rolling total, 753 tons per 36-month
rolling total, and 1,285 cumulative tons
for the remaining life of the unit. The
unit must shut down permanently
before the cumulative limit is exceeded.
ADEQ updated the four-factor analysis
for IGS to include these new emissions
limits as the baseline emissions for
control evaluation, as these limits will
become enforceable upon finalization of
the revised IGS permit and approval of
ADEQ’s regional haze reasonable
progress determination for IGS by the
EPA. Specifically, ADEQ analyzed a
range of different scenarios under which
Unit 3 could meet the emissions limits,
using a remaining useful life of between
6 and 20 years, as shown in Table 13 of
this document. Under each of these
scenarios, the cost of all available
control options (low NOX burners
(LNB), SCR, and SCR+LNB) exceeded
ADEQ’s cost threshold of $6,500/ton.
Therefore, ADEQ determined that with
the emissions reductions associated
with the new Unit 3 emissions caps, no
additional controls are necessary to
make reasonable progress towards
natural visibility at Class I areas during
this implementation period. ADEQ also
indicated that despite the expected
emissions reductions at IGS Unit 3,
ADEQ cannot guarantee emissions
reductions for the single year 2028 longterm strategy (2028LTS) modeling
scenario as compared to the baseline.
However, the limits in place will ensure
no degradation as compared to the
baseline.174 Therefore, ADEQ indicated
that they are conservatively assuming
no change in NOX emissions in the 2028
RPG calculations.
TABLE 13—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR IGS UNIT 3 WITH LIFETIME CAP OF 1,285 TONS
LNB ..................................................................................................
20
15
10
6
20
15
10
6
20
15
10
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
SCR .................................................................................................
SCR+LNB ........................................................................................
173 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.10 and Appendix C, Section C3.12.
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Annual
emissions
with cap
(tpy)
Remaining
useful life
(years)
Control
Emission
reduction
(tpy)
64.25
85.67
128.50
214.17
64.25
85.67
128.50
214.17
64.25
85.67
128.50
33.23
44.30
66.45
110.75
51.84
69.12
103.68
172.80
58.05
77.40
116.09
174 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
B, Section B2.2.2.
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Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
$10,355
9,020
7,729
6,730
26,260
23,231
20,318
18,091
29,253
25,791
22,482
47422
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 13—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR IGS UNIT 3 WITH LIFETIME CAP OF 1,285 TONS—Continued
Annual
emissions
with cap
(tpy)
Remaining
useful life
(years)
Control
6
Emission
reduction
(tpy)
214.17
193.49
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
19,938
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C3.12.
TEP Springerville Generating Station
(SGS) is located near Springerville,
Arizona, and consists of four coal-fired
electric generating units with a
combined, nominal, net generating
capacity of 1,620 megawatts.175 Units 1
and 2 at SGS are owned and operated
by TEP. Unit 3 is owned by Tri-State
Generation and Transmission
Association, Inc., and Unit 4 is owned
by the Salt River Project Agricultural
Improvement and Power District. All
units are operated by TEP. The facility
was screened in with a Q/d value of
339, and the nearest Class I area is
Mount Baldy Wilderness Area at 50
kilometers away. Based on information
from TEP, ADEQ completed four-factor
analyses that considered emissions of
PM10, NOX, and SO2, and associated
control technologies, the results of
which are summarized in Table 14 of
this document.
TABLE 14—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR SPRINGERVILLE GENERATING STATION
Process
Control
Pollutant
Technically
feasible
(Y/N)
Emissions reduction
(tpy)
Unit 1 ..................
Baghouse ..............................
Wet ESP ................................
ESP .......................................
LNB and overfire air (OFA) ...
SNCR ....................................
SCR .......................................
Current Spray Dryer Absorber
(SDA).
Upgraded SDA ......................
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
SO2 ............
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N/A
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
Not further considered ...........
Already Implemented ............
289 .........................................
1,375 ......................................
Already Implemented ............
N/A
N/A.
N/A.
N/A
8,079.
9,194.
N/A.
SO2 ............
Y
1,060 ......................................
Dry Sorbent Injection (DSI) ...
SO2 ............
Y
699 .........................................
Circulating Dry Scrubber
(CDS).
Wet Flue Gas Desulfurization
(FGD).
Baghouse ..............................
Wet ESP ................................
ESP .......................................
LNB and OFA ........................
SNCR ....................................
SCR .......................................
Current SDA ..........................
Upgraded SDA ......................
SO2 ............
Y
2,025 ......................................
SO2 ............
Y
2,508 ......................................
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
NOX ............
NOX ............
SO2 ............
SO2 ............
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
N/A
Y
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
Not further considered ...........
Already Implemented ............
364 .........................................
1,516 ......................................
Already Implemented ............
1,062 ......................................
DSI .........................................
SO2 ............
Y
678 .........................................
CDS .......................................
SO2 ............
Y
2,086 ......................................
Wet FGD ...............................
SO2 ............
Y
2,598 ......................................
Baghouse ..............................
Wet ESP ................................
ESP .......................................
LNB, OFA and SCR ..............
Low sulfur coal and SDA ......
Baghouse ..............................
Wet ESP ................................
ESP .......................................
LNB, OFA and SCR ..............
Low sulfur coal and SDA ......
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
PM10 ...........
NOX ............
SO2 ............
Y
Y
Y
Y
N/A
Y
Y
Y
Y
N/A
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
Not further considered ...........
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
Not further considered ...........
Already Implemented ............
Not further considered ...........
883 (20 years), 828 (30
years).
11,976 (20 years), 11,544 (30
years).
8,230 (20 years), 6,670 (30
years).
8,185 (20 years), 6,393 (30
years).
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
6,769.
8,395.
N/A.
908 (20 years),853 (30
years).
12,843 (20 years), 12,399 (30
years).
7,995 (20 years), 6,480 (30
years).
7,638 (20 years), 5,944 (30
years).
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
N/A.
Unit 2 ..................
Unit 3 ..................
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Unit 4 ..................
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C3.13.
175 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.3.11 and Appendix C, Section C3.13.
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Cost effectiveness
($/ton)
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
For PM10, ADEQ concluded that
because Units 1–3 are already equipped
with baghouses to control particulate
matter emissions, further evaluation was
not needed. However, ADEQ did not
consider whether these measures were
necessary to make reasonable progress
and thus a part of their long-term
strategy. For electrostatic precipitators
(ESP) and wet ESP, ADEQ indicated that
because ESP collection efficiency is
comparable to or less than that of the
current baghouses installed on the units,
ADEQ determined that replacing the
control device with an ESP, while
technically feasible, should not be
considered further.
For NOX at Units 1 and 2, ADEQ
appears to have rejected new controls
based on costs being above ADEQ’s
$6,500/ton threshold. ADEQ concluded
that TEP should continue to implement
the existing NOX controls but did not
consider whether these measures were
necessary to make reasonable progress
and thus should be a part of their longterm strategy.
For NOX at Units 3 and 4, ADEQ
concluded that the existing controls of
combustion controls (LNB+OFA) and
SCR is the most effective control
technology available for NOX for coal
fired EGUs, and thus, no further
analysis for other control technologies
was needed.
For SO2 at Units 1 and 2, ADEQ
evaluated control costs based on a
remaining useful life of 20 and 30 years.
For CDS and FGD at Units 1 and 2,
ADEQ indicated that the average costeffective values were near or exceeding
ADEQ’s cost-effectiveness threshold of
$6,500/ton. ADEQ also calculated
incremental costs for these measures
that ranged from approximately $9,400
to over $13,500. ADEQ indicated that
due to the high incremental costs and
excessive capital cost of the controls,
CDS and wet FGD were not reasonable.
ADEQ also reported the results of
visibility modeling performed by TEP
and stated that, while it did not
consider visibility impacts as a fifth
factor, ‘‘the small visibility benefits
associated with the modeled SO2
controls supports the determination that
CDS and wet FGD control options are
not necessary to make reasonable
progress towards natural visibility at
Class I areas during this implementation
period.’’ 176 Therefore, ADEQ concluded
that it was reasonable to require TEP to
upgrade the current SDA systems.
However, instead of setting a
throughput-based limit (e.g., lb/MMBtu)
corresponding to the upgraded SDA on
each unit, ADEQ instead chose to set
mass-based emissions caps that it
determined to be ‘‘equivalent’’ to
upgraded SDA. Specifically, ADEQ set a
combined emissions limitation for Unit
1 and Unit 2 of 16.1 tons per day limit,
on a 30-calendar-day rolling averaging
period and 3,729 tons per year limit, on
a 12-month rolling averaging period.
ADEQ indicated that these caps would
‘‘provide compliance flexibility yet still
guarantee that each unit is well
controlled to protect and improve the
visibility in Class I areas.’’ 177
For SO2 at Units 3 and 4, ADEQ
indicated that these units were
equipped with SDA systems subject to
the 2012 Mercury Air Toxics Standards
(MATS) rule. ADEQ reviewed the most
recent 5 years (2016–2020) of the SO2
emissions data for SGS. The SO2
emissions rates for Unit 3 and Unit 4
ranged from 0.069 to 0.090 lb/MMBtu
and from 0.076 to 0.10 lb/MMBtu on an
annual basis, respectively. ADEQ
indicated that this demonstrates that
Unit 3 and Unit 4 have continuously
complied with the applicable MATS
rule SO2 emission standard of 0.20 lb/
MMBtu. ADEQ therefore determined
that no new controls are reasonable.
ADEQ did not address whether or not
the existing measures were necessary to
make reasonable progress and thus
should be a part of its long-term
strategy.
For each new control determined to
be reasonable, ADEQ submitted revised
permit conditions for EPA approval into
the Arizona portion of the SIP. Table 20
47423
of this document provides a summary of
controls and permit conditions that
ADEQ submitted for EPA approval.
b. Nonpoint Sources
i. Source Selection
ADEQ also determined that it was
appropriate to examine nonpoint
sources (also known as ‘‘area sources’’)
that emit visibility impairing pollutants,
based on feedback from stakeholders to
consider sources not previously
controlled in the last round of planning.
ADEQ used the following steps to select
area sources for analysis:
1. Gather 2014 EPA NEIv2 countylevel nonpoint datasets for the State of
Arizona.
2. Isolate source classification code
(SCC) annual emissions (tpy) for PM10
primary, nitrogen oxide, and sulfur
dioxide.
3. Remove PM10 primary emissions
from consideration for those counties
that are not located within 50 km of a
Class I area since PM10 does not
generally experience high transport
distances.
4. Sum the remaining SCC-specific
PM10 primary, nitrogen oxide, and
sulfur dioxide annual emissions to
calculate ‘‘Q.’’
5. Sort all SCCs from highest to lowest
‘‘Q.’’
6. Determine the ‘‘Q’’-threshold which
achieved inclusion of the SCCs with the
largest ‘‘Q’s’’ until >80 percent of total
‘‘Q’’ emissions across all SCCs are
accounted for (i.e., ‘‘Q’’ >13,500 tpy
includes 6 sectors which account for
81.6 percent of the total statewide).
7. Isolate those sources with a ‘‘Q’’
value greater than 13,500 tpy.
Following this process, ADEQ
identified six nonpoint source sectors,
as shown in Table 15 of this document.
ADEQ removed locomotive and
biogenic sectors from consideration, due
to the majority of emissions from these
sectors originating from sources which
ADEQ is generally unable to control.
TABLE 15—SUMMARY OF SELECTED NON-POINT SOURCE CATEGORIES
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
SCC
2285002006
2294000000
2296000000
2311020000
NOX
PM10
SO2
Q
...................
...................
...................
...................
18,045
0
0
0
541
14,501
107,924
15,536
11
0
0
0
18,597
14,501
107,924
15,536
2325000000 ...................
2701220000 ...................
0
13,912
44,753
0
0
0
44,753
13,912
176 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, p. 233.
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177 Id.
PO 00000
Sector
Mobile—Locomotives.
Dust—Paved Road Dust.
Dust—Unpaved Road Dust.
Dust—Industrial/Commercial/Institutional Construction Dust.
Industrial Processes—Mining.
Biogenics—Vegetation and Soil.
at 239.
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31MYP2
47424
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
ii. Overall Approach to Four-Factor
Analyses
Because the selected non-point source
categories were all PM10 sources, ADEQ
focused on evaluating PM10 controls on
nonpoint sources in those Class I areas
which monitors exhibited coarse mass
impacts on the most impaired days of
greater than 10 percent of the total
anthropogenic extinction during the
2013–2017 period.178 These Class I
areas were: Chiricahua National
Monument and Wilderness Area,
Galiuro Wilderness Area, Saguaro
National Park, and Superstition
Wilderness Area. ADEQ indicated that
because PM10 is generally not
transported long distances, it limited its
evaluation of emissions reduction
strategies for paved and unpaved roads,
mining and quarrying, and nonresidential construction on nonpoint
sources within 50 km of these Class I
areas.
ADEQ used a cost threshold of
$5,000/ton for cost effective measures
for non-point sources.179 ADEQ stated
that it had selected a lower threshold for
nonpoint sources compared to point
sources, because (1) this threshold was
used by Colorado in its first planning
period action for nonpoint sources; (2)
ADEQ considers the economic burden
of control costs higher for nonpoint
sources than point sources because
these are generally smaller sources and
less able to afford expensive control
requirements; and (3) ADEQ ‘‘is able to
achieve reasonable progress at Arizona
Class I areas with the nonpoint control
measures identified with a $5,000/ton
threshold.’’ 180
iii. Summary of Four-Factor Analyses
ADEQ indicated that Industrial/
Commercial/Institutional (ICI)
construction dust was based on general
construction activities, earthmoving,
material handling, transport, and
storage, activity on disturbed surfaces,
and emissions from uncovered haul
trucks. ADEQ reviewed available
controls and considered stakeholder
input. ADEQ further relied on cost
estimates derived from industry
representatives such as the Associated
General Contractors of Arizona (AGCA),
vendor quotes, and estimates from Pinal
County and Maricopa County control
measure analyses. The results of
ADEQ’s four-factor analysis for this
source category are summarized in
Table 16 of this document. The
following control options were
determined to be reasonable with cost
effectiveness values below ADEQ’s cost
threshold of $5,000/ton: paving
unpaved parking and staging areas,
applying acrylic polymer to unpaved
parking and staging areas, applying
gravel to unpaved parking and staging
areas, and limiting vehicle speed at
work sites to 15 mph with signage.
TABLE 16—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR ICI CONSTRUCTION
Cost-effectiveness
($/ton)
Control measure
Technically feasible?
Require dust control plans [permit] for construction or land clearing projects .............
Require haul trucks to be covered/Control freeboard and spillage from haul vehicles.
[material transport].
Alter load-in load-out procedures (e.g., load on downwind side, watering, empty
loader slowly, keep bucket close to truck while dumping). [material handling].
Utilize trackout control device, gravel pad, or other means to stabilize access points
where unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin paved roads.
Provide for rapid clean-up of mud/dirt track out, material spills, on paved roads
(Street Sweeping).
Apply water to disturbed surfaces and dust generating operations (pre-watering,
operational).
Yes .....................................
Yes .....................................
$5,076.
N/A.
Yes .....................................
$25,040–$25,304.
Yes .....................................
$24,875 for gravel pad—
$147,248 for pipe grid.
$5,164.
Apply chemical stabilizers/dust suppressants to unpaved parking and staging areas
Yes .....................................
Limit, restrict or reroute motor vehicle access to work site. [Reduce vehicle disturbance of unpaved surfaces (access/haul roads, staging areas, parking areas/lots,
etc.).].
Limit vehicle speed at work site ....................................................................................
Yes .....................................
$7,959–$8,770 for unpaved
traffic areas, $1,194,223–
$1,375,027 for open
areas.
$3,528 for acrylic polymer,
$2,139 for gravel, $4,820
for paving.
$16,635.
Yes .....................................
$2,526–$4,717.
Yes .....................................
Yes .....................................
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.3.
For nonpoint mining and quarrying,
ADEQ evaluated three activities:
earthmoving, including overburden
removal and replacement; drilling and
blasting; and material handling,
including loading and unloading.
Relying on cost estimates derived from
industry representatives such as the
178 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
8.3.4.
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Arizona Rock Products Association and
vendor quotes, ADEQ conducted a fourfactor analysis of available controls, the
results of which are summarized in
Table 17 of this document. Because the
controls were either not technically
feasible or the cost-effectiveness values
far exceeded ADEQ’s $5,000/ton cost
179 Id.
PO 00000
at Appendix C, p. 242.
Frm 00028
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threshold ($18,308/ton for additional
watering and purchasing an additional
water truck being the lowest cost
effectiveness value), ADEQ determined
it is not reasonable to require additional
nonpoint mining and quarrying controls
during this planning period.
180 Id.
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at footnote 207.
31MYP2
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
47425
TABLE 17—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR MINING AND QUARRYING
Activity
Earthmoving & Excavating.
Material Handling—Bulk
Loading.
Material Handling—
Stockpiles.
Blasting ..........................
Costeffectiveness
($/ton)
Control measure
Technically feasible?
Additional Watering—Purchase Additional Water Truck ..........................
Yes ...............................
$18,308
Additional Watering—Rent Additional Water Truck ..................................
Implement Additional Watering with Available Trucks ..............................
Water in Operational Areas—Other Water Distribution Systems (besides trucks).
Applying dust suppressants (other than water) ........................................
Avoid clearing during wind gusts ..............................................................
Partial Closure with Hanging Curtains and the use of Water Spraying at
Primary Dump.
Regularly Apply Water Through Wetting of Material at the Pit ................
Regularly Apply Water Through Water Sprays .........................................
Reduce Falling Distance ...........................................................................
Use of Loading Spouts ..............................................................................
Use of Loading Spout Equipped with Dust Control System .....................
Use of Cascading Loading Spouts ...........................................................
Use of Cascading Loading Spouts Equipped with Wind Shrouds and
Discharge Skirts.
Use of Conical Loading Hoppers (Dust Suppression Hopper) .................
Use of Dry Fog Dust Suppression System at Loading/Unloading Points
Wetting Product with Plain Water and/or Wetting Agents as it is Loaded/Unloaded Onto Stockpile Through Use Of New Water Truck.
Continuous Watering with New Water Truck ............................................
Continuous Watering with Existing Water Truck ......................................
Wetting Product with Plain Water and/or Wetting Agents as It Is Loaded/Unloaded onto Stockpile Through Use of Spray Bars.
Dry Fog Dust Suppression System during Material Loading/Unloading
onto Pile.
Reduce Falling Distance ...........................................................................
Utilize Good Design (i.e., Drilling Fewer Holes) .......................................
Temporarily Cease Operations Until Conditions Improve ........................
Employ BMPs ............................................................................................
Wet Down Blasting Area ...........................................................................
Water Cartridges (Underground Blasting) .................................................
Fogger Spray .............................................................................................
Air Filtration System (Underground Blasting) ...........................................
Minimize Area to Be Blasted at Any One Time ........................................
Yes ...............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
24,496
............................
............................
No .................................
N/A ...............................
Yes ...............................
............................
............................
101,309
Yes ...............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
No .................................
No .................................
No .................................
No .................................
204,319
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
No .................................
No .................................
Yes ...............................
............................
............................
204,319
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
............................
............................
............................
N/A ...............................
............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
N/A ...............................
No .................................
No .................................
No .................................
No .................................
N/A ...............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
............................
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.3.
For paved road dust, ADEQ indicated
that emissions estimates were based on
re-entrained road dust emissions from
paved road surfaces, re-entrained road
dust emissions from unpaved shoulders
of paved roads, re-entrained road dust
emissions from medians of paved roads,
re-entrained road dust emissions and
track out from access points where
unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin paved
roads, and re-entrained road dust
emissions from material spills. ADEQ
conducted a four-factor analysis of
available controls, the results of which
are summarized in Table 18 of this
document. Based on these results,
ADEQ determined the following two
control measures to be reasonable:
paving access points where unpaved
traffic surfaces adjoin paved roads and
providing for traffic rerouting or rapid
cleanup of temporary (and not readily
preventable) sources of dust on paved
roads (trackout, spills, water erosion,
runoff, and skid control sand).
Therefore, ADEQ indicated that these
new measures were considered to be a
part of Arizona’s long-term strategy for
the second planning period.181 ADEQ
rejected other evaluated controls
because they exceeded ADEQ’s $5,000/
ton threshold.
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
TABLE 18—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR PAVED ROAD DUST
Control measure
Technically
feasible?
Pave, cover with aggregate, or chemically stabilize access points where unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin
paved roads. (Aggregate Coverage).
Pave, cover with aggregate, or chemically stabilize access points where unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin
paved roads. (Paving).
Pave, cover with aggregate, or chemically stabilize access points where unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin
paved roads. (Chemical Stabilization).
Require haul trucks to be covered ...............................................................................................................
Provide for traffic rerouting or rapid cleanup of temporary (and not readily preventable) sources of dust
on paved roads (trackout, spills, water erosion, runoff, and skid control sand).
Yes ....................
$5,058
Yes ....................
2,351
Yes ....................
221
Yes ....................
Yes ....................
N/A
3,614
181 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 96.
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Cost-effectiveness
($/ton)
47426
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 18—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR PAVED ROAD DUST—Continued
Control measure
Technically
feasible?
Reduced usage of skid control sand or salt and improved material specification (e.g., require use of
coarse, non-friable material during snow and ice season).
Require curbing and pave or stabilize shoulders of paved roads. (Asphalt Concrete) ..............................
Require curbing and pave or stabilize shoulders of paved roads. (Chemical Stabilization) .......................
Stabilize medians of paved roads. (Asphalt Concrete) ...............................................................................
Stabilize medians of paved roads. (Chemical Stabilization) .......................................................................
Ensure stabilization during work on unpaved shoulders of paved roads (e.g., weed abatement/vegetation management).
Provide for storm water drainage to prevent water erosion onto paved roads ...........................................
Employ PM10 certified street sweepers on principal arterials. ....................................................................
Reduce speed limits .....................................................................................................................................
N/A ....................
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Cost-effectiveness
($/ton)
N/A
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
9,434
14,144
9,434
14,144
31,877
No ......................
Yes ....................
No ......................
N/A
5,164
N/A
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.4.
For unpaved road dust, ADEQ
evaluated re-entrained road dust
emissions from unpaved roads as part of
its analysis. ADEQ conducted a fourfactor analysis of available controls, the
results of which are summarized in
Table 19 of this document. Based on
these results, ADEQ determined that it
is not reasonable to require additional
unpaved road dust controls during this
planning period. Although ADEQ did
not specify why no other controls were
reasonable, cost appears to have been
the determining factor, as the cost
effectiveness of all feasible controls
exceeded ADEQ’s chosen costeffectiveness threshold of $5,000/ton.
TABLE 19—SUMMARY OF CONTROL OPTIONS FOR UNPAVED ROAD DUST
Control measure
Technically
feasible?
Develop traffic reduction plans for unpaved roads. Use of speed bumps, low speed limits, etc., to encourage use of other (paved) roads.
Pave unpaved roads (chip-seal) 800 average daily trips (ADT) .................................................................
Pave unpaved roads (asphalt) 800 ADT .....................................................................................................
Pave unpaved roads (concrete) 800 ADT ...................................................................................................
Chemically stabilize unpaved roads (dust suppressants other than water). 800 ADT ...............................
Apply and maintain surface gravel. 800 ADT ..............................................................................................
Prohibit [limit] construction of new unpaved roads chip seal ......................................................................
Prohibit [limit] construction of new unpaved roads asphalt .........................................................................
Prohibit [limit] construction of new unpaved roads concrete .......................................................................
No ......................
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
Cost-effectiveness
($/ton)
N/A
$19,545
26,227
33,571
47,528
223,420
19,545
26,227
33,571
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Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.5.
In the 2023 Arizona Regional Haze
Rules Supplement, ADEQ submitted
‘‘Nonpoint Rules to Supplement
Arizona’s 2022 Regional Haze SIP.’’
ADEQ added three new rules to Arizona
Administrative Code (A.A.C.) Title 18,
Chapter 2, Article 13 to incorporate
measures intended to reduce emissions
of fugitive dust from nonpoint sources
in and around the following Class I
areas: Chiricahua National Monument
and Wilderness Area, Galiuro
Wilderness Area, Saguaro National Park,
and Superstition Wilderness Area. The
rules limit emissions from certain dust
generating activities at nonresidential
construction sites and from paved roads
to implement ADEQ’s control
determinations for the nonpoint
sources. The three rules submitted are:
A.A.C. R18–2–D1301 (Definitions for
R18–2–D1302 and R18–2–D1303),
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A.A.C. R18–2–D1302 (Fugitive Dust
Emissions from Nonresidential
Construction), and A.A.C. R18–2–D1303
(Fugitive Dust Emissions from Paved
Roads). The EPA will act on these three
rules in a separate rulemaking.
Arizona is not using the anticipated
emissions reductions from the nonpoint
source emissions reduction measures in
the state’s 2028 RPG calculations and in
the estimate of emissions reductions
from their long-term strategy. ADEQ
indicated that while the new emissions
reduction measures are reasonable on a
per event/location basis, the agency
does not currently have enough
information to quantify the total number
of track out events and access points to
which these controls would be
applicable. ADEQ indicated that it
intends to gather additional information
through the implementation of these
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measures and take emissions reduction
credits in future Regional Haze planning
periods.
c. Summary of Control Determinations
Arizona’s control measure
determinations, including the specific
permit conditions and rules submitted
to the EPA for approval into the Arizona
SIP by incorporation by reference, are
summarized in Table 20 of this
proposed rulemaking document. Some
emissions controls are included in the
modeling of 2028 RPGs of Arizona’s
long-term strategy, and ADEQ estimated
the emissions reductions to be: 2,122
tpy SO2 for SGS 1 & 2, and 499 tpy NOX
for Williams Compressor Station. ADEQ
indicated that the State’s calculation of
2028 RPGs does not include anticipated
emissions reductions from IGS Unit 3
nor the nonpoint sources.
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TABLE 20—ARIZONA REGIONAL HAZE NEW CONTROL MEASURE DETERMINATIONS
Source
Compliance
deadline
Unit
Control
Pollutant
Springerville Generating Station.
Units 1 and 2
Units 1 and 2
Combined annual SO2 cap for Units 1 &
2 of 3,729 tpy.
Combined 16.1 tons/day SO2 30-day rolling average.
SO2 ...............
SO2 ...............
One year after SIP
approval.
One year after SIP
approval.
Williams Compressor
Station.
RECIP–1 .......
Low Emission Combustion (LEC–2) controls.
NOX ..............
18 months after SIP
approval.
RECIP–2 .......
NOX ..............
RECIP–5 .......
Low Emission Combustion (LEC–3) controls.
LEC–3 controls .........................................
NOX ..............
Unit 3 ............
Useful life NOX cap of 1,285 tons ............
NOX ..............
18 months after SIP
approval.
18 months after SIP
approval.
One year after SIP
approval.
Rolling 3-year average NOX cap of 251
tpy.
Single year annual NOX cap of 392 tpy ..
NOX ..............
Irvington Generating
Station.
Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional Construction.
N/A ................
Paved Roads ...........
N/A ................
(1) Paving unpaved parking and staging
areas, (2) applying acrylic polymer to
unpaved parking and staging areas,
(3) applying gravel to unpaved parking
and staging areas, and (4) limiting vehicle speed at work site to 15 mph with
signage.
(1) Paving access points where unpaved
traffic surfaces adjoin paved roads; (2)
Providing for traffic rerouting or rapid
cleanup of temporary (and not readily
preventable) sources of dust on paved
roads (trackout, spills, water erosion,
runoff, and skid control sand).
Permit conditions or rules submitted for
approval into the Arizona SIP
Arizona Department of Environmental
Quality Significant Permit Revision No.
91093 to Operating Permit No. 65614
Cover Page and Attachment ‘‘E’’ Regional Haze Provisions: Tucson Electric Power Plant—Springerville Generating Station.
Arizona Department of Environmental
Quality Significant Permit Revision No.
93062 to Operating Permit No. 77575
Cover Page and Attachment ‘‘D’’: Regional Haze Provisions.
Pima Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality Permit No. 1052 Cover
Page and Section VI. Unit EGU–I3 Regional Haze State Implementation
Plan.
PM10 .............
One year after SIP
approval.
One year after SIP
approval.
January 1, 2025 ......
PM10 .............
September 10, 2023
NOX ..............
A.A.C. R18–2–D1301 (Definitions for
R18–2–D1302 and R18–2–D1303) and
A.A.C. R18–2–D1302 (Fugitive Dust
Emissions from Nonresidential Construction).
A.A.C. R18–2–D1301 (Definitions for
R18–2–D1302 and R18–2–D1303) and
A.A.C. R18–2–D1303 (Fugitive Dust
Emissions from Paved Roads).
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan and 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement.
Note: ADEQ is not claiming emissions reduction credit in calculating RPGs for IGS or for the nonpoint sources. ADEQ stated that it intends to claim emissions reduction credit stemming from the enactment of the nonpoint emissions reduction measures in future Regional Haze planning periods.
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d. Additional Long-Term Strategy
Requirements
Arizona indicates in its submittal that
the State consulted with other WRAP
states in development of this SIP.182 The
majority of state consultation in the
development of the regional haze SIPs
was conducted through the WRAP’s
Regional Haze Planning group, as
Arizona participated in regular calls
with WRAP states.
Arizona also had individual
consultations with California, Utah,
Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico
regarding source screening, approaches
to four factor analyses, and general SIP
preparation. ADEQ indicated that these
states were selected by Arizona for
consultation in anticipation that they
may contribute to visibility impairment
in the State’s mandatory Class I Federal
areas given their proximity to the
Arizona border. No other states
approached Arizona for regional haze
consultation during this planning
182 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapters
2.3 and 2.6.
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period. Pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A), ADEQ and the above
agencies did not agree on any measures
during their state-to-state consultations.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B),
the agencies confirmed that they shared
the measures they have identified as
being necessary to make reasonable
progress in a mandatory Class I Federal
area with ADEQ, and that the Agencies
have not requested for ADEQ to
consider any measures necessary to
make reasonable progress in any
mandatory Class I Federal areas.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C),
ADEQ indicates that there are currently
no disagreements between ADEQ and
other state agencies on Arizona’s
emissions reduction measures. ADEQ
also documented outreach efforts with
the New Mexico Environmental
Department but indicated that no
feedback was received from New
Mexico.
In its submittal, Arizona also commits
to continue consultation with
California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado,
New Mexico, and any other state which
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may reasonably be anticipated to cause
or contribute to visibility impairment in
Class I Federal areas located within
Arizona.183 As part of this commitment,
Arizona will also continue consultation
with any state for which Arizona’s
emissions may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in those states’
Class I areas. With regard to the
established or updated goal for
reasonable progress, should
disagreement arise between another
state or group of states, Arizona
indicated that it will describe the
actions taken to resolve the
disagreement in future regional haze SIP
revision. With regard to assessing or
updating long-term strategies, Arizona
also committed to coordinate its
emissions management strategies with
affected states and to continue to
include in its future regional haze SIP
revisions all measures agreed to during
state-to-state consultations or a regional
183 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
2.6.3.
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planning process, or measures that will
provide equivalent visibility
improvement.184
2. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Long-Term Strategy
The EPA is proposing to find that, due
to flaws in some of its analyses and
conclusions, Arizona has not fully
satisfied the long-term strategy
requirements of section 51.308(f)(2). In
the following sections we summarize
the most significant shortcomings in
Arizona’s source selection process, fourfactor analyses, and control
determinations, which form the basis for
this proposed finding.
a. Source Selection
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The EPA finds that many aspects of
ADEQ’s source selection process, such
as its focus on sulfate, nitrate, and
coarse mass and its use of a Q/d value
of 10 for point sources, were reasonable
and adequately explained and
documented. However, ADEQ did not
provide an adequate justification for
screening out certain sources and units
from conducting a four-factor analysis
on the basis that they are ‘‘effectively
controlled’’ as part of its source
selection process.185 Specifically, in
some cases, ADEQ did not identify the
controls for each pollutant at each unit
or process, the associated limits, or
where the controls/limits currently exist
in the Arizona SIP. In other cases,
ADEQ listed the controls, but did not
clearly explain why it is reasonable to
assume, without conducting a fourfactor analysis, that no additional
controls would be reasonable.186 For
example, ADEQ cites better-than-BART
determinations from the first planning
period for Apache Generating Station
Units 2 and 3 and IGS Unit 4 as a
rationale that it is not necessary to
conduct a four factor analysis.187
However, despite ADEQ providing some
of the limits associated with these
determinations, the mere fact that a unit
installed BART (or better-than-BART)
controls in the first planning period is
not a sufficient justification on its own
that no new controls are necessary for
reasonable progress in the second
184 Id.
185 See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) (‘‘. . . The State
must include in its implementation plan a
description of the criteria is used to determine
which sources or groups of sources it evaluated and
how the four factors were taken into consideration
in selecting the measures for inclusion in its longterm strategy’’).
186 Id., see also 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 5,
2019 Guidance, p. 23.
187 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, pp. 109 and
114.
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planning period.188 Indeed, the
evaluation and control of BART sources
under the reasonable progress
requirements in the second planning
period may be necessary to achieve the
national goal of the prevention of any
future, and the remedying of any
existing, manmade impairment of
visibility in Class I areas.189
Accordingly, ADEQ should have
identified where the existing limits are
found in the SIP or FIP and clearly
explained why no additional controls
would likely be reasonable under a fourfactor reasonable progress analysis for
the second planning period. Therefore,
ADEQ also did not adequately explain
whether these facilities’ existing
controls were necessary for reasonable
progress and therefore a part of the
state’s long-term strategy.190
b. Four-Factor Analyses
The EPA finds that many of ADEQ’s
four-factor analyses included flaws in
the cost analyses, which in some
instances, significantly affected the
resulting cost effectiveness values that
ADEQ used to determine what measures
are necessary to make reasonable
progress. These flaws are detailed in the
following sections.
i. Controlled Emission Rates
The emission rates used in some of
Arizona’s four-factor analyses did not
appropriately reflect the emissions rate
achievable with the relevant controls.
For example, in the NOX four-factor
analysis for SGS Units 1 and 2, ADEQ
determined that the emission rates of
0.060 lb/MMBtu and 0.15 lb/MMBtu
provide a reasonable estimate of the
achievable rates for SCR and SNCR,
respectively. ADEQ noted
considerations related to more frequent
startup/shutdown cycles occurrences at
SGS and higher baseline NOX emissions
compared to other similar units, as
reasons for using these emissions rates.
SCR has been demonstrated to
achieve 0.05 lb/MMBtu (or up to 90
188 See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(5) (‘‘After a State has
met the requirements for BART or implemented an
emissions trading program or other alternative
measure that achieves more reasonable progress
than the installation and operation of BART, BARTeligible sources will be subject to the requirements
of [40 CFR 51.308(d) and (f)], as applicable, in the
same manner as other sources.’’).
189 See 2019 Guidance, p. 25 (‘‘[S]tates may not
categorically exclude all BART-eligible sources, or
all sources that installed BART controls, as
candidates for analysis of control measures.’’).
190 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) (‘‘Each State must submit
a long-term strategy that addresses regional haze
visibility impairment . . . the long-term strategy
must include the enforceable emissions limitations
. . . that are necessary to make reasonable
progress.’’); see also 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp.
8–9.
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percent reduction) a retrofit basis,191
and achieving this emission rate at
Units 1 and 2 instead of 0.06 lb/MMBtu
would result in approximately 150 tpy
of additional NOX reductions per unit
(based upon 2028 emissions provided in
Table 5 of this document). We
acknowledge that the startup/shutdown
considerations noted by ADEQ are
relevant, particularly for establishing
emissions limits on a short-term
averaging period (such as 24-hour
average or rolling 30-day), where startup
and shutdown emissions can represent
a larger portion of a unit total emission
rate. However, ADEQ has not
demonstrated why these startup/
shutdown considerations would be
significant enough at SGS Units 1 and
2 on an annual average basis, which is
the averaging period used to calculate
ton/year emissions reductions for cost
effectiveness calculations, to preclude
them from achieving this emissions
reduction level with SCR. Similarly,
while these factors could also be
relevant to SNCR performance, it has
not been demonstrated why they would
cause SNCR on these units to achieve as
little as a 15 percent reduction. Use of
lower emissions rates that more
accurately reflect the rates achievable
with the associated control technologies
on an annual basis would have resulted
in greater emissions reductions and thus
lower cost per ton values associated
with these control options. The State’s
failure to analyze such lower limits in
their four-factor analyses, combined
with other flaws discussed in Section
IV.E.2.b.ii of this document, render the
State’s analyses insufficient to support
reasoned control determinations.
ii. Deviations From Control Cost Manual
When developing a long-term strategy
for making reasonable progress, states
must consider the four statutory
factors.192 In considering these factors,
including the costs of compliance and
the remaining useful life of affected
sources, it is important to use consistent
methods in order to allow for
comparisons between different sources
within a state, and cost analyses in other
states. Therefore, as part of any fourfactor analysis, the EPA has
recommended that costs of compliance
should be calculated consistent with the
191 Ravi K. Srivastava, Robert E. Hall, Sikander
Khan, Kevin Culligan & Bruce W. Lani (2005)
Nitrogen Oxides Emission Control Options for CoalFired Electric Utility Boilers, Journal of the Air &
Waste Management Association, 55:9, 1367–1388,
DOI: 10.1080/10473289.2005.10464736. Available
at: https://www.tandfonline.com/action/
showCitFormats?doi=10.1080/10473289.2005
.10464736.
192 See CAA 169A(b)(2)(B), CAA 169A(g)(7), and
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
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methods set forth in the EPA’s Control
Cost Manual.193 As we have previously
noted in relation to BART
determinations, ‘‘[w]ithout an ‘applesto-apples’ comparison of costs, it is
impossible to draw rational conclusions
about the reasonableness of the costs of
compliance for particular control
options. Use of the [Control Cost
Manual] methodology is intended to
allow a fair comparison of pollution
control costs between similar
applications for regulatory
purposes.’’ 194 The same principle
applies to the evaluation of the cost of
compliance as part of a four-factor
analysis.195 Therefore, where a state
deviates from these methods, it should
explain how its alternative approach is
appropriate and consistent with the
regulations and the statutory
requirement to make reasonable
progress towards the national goal.
Arizona did not do so.
One important element of a costeffectiveness analysis is the remaining
useful life of the equipment. The
equipment life used to calculate costs
for each control technology option,
unless constrained by an enforceable
retirement date for the source contained
in the SIP, should be consistent with
that found in the respective chapter of
the Control Cost Manual. Any
deviations from the Control Cost
Manual should be documented and an
appropriate rationale provided.196
ADEQ did not provide appropriate
documentation of the remaining useful
life (i.e., the control equipment life)
used to calculate the costs of controls
for some of the facilities it analyzed. For
example, in its analysis for EPNG
Williams TURBINE–1, ADEQ assumed a
useful life of 25 years for NOX controls,
including for SCR, based on the
expected life of the turbine. However,
an enforceable shutdown date is not
associated with the turbine, and in
situations where an enforceable
shutdown date does not exist, the
remaining useful life of a control under
consideration should be the full period
of the useful life of that control as
recommended by the EPA’s Control Cost
Manual.197 Similarly, in its analysis for
193 2019
Guidance, p. 31.
FR 72512, 72518. See also Arizona ex rel.
Darwin v. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 540 (9th Cir. 2016);
(upholding this interpretation as reasonable).
195 2019 Guidance, p. 31.
196 Id. at pp. 33–34. See also 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) (‘‘The State must document the
technical basis, including modeling, monitoring,
cost, engineering, and emissions information, on
which the State is relying to determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress in each mandatory Class I
Federal area it affects’’).
197 Id.
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194 77
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the compressor engines at EPNG
Williams, ADEQ amortized SCR and
other control options over a 20-year
period. This assumption is not
supported with any additional
information in either ADEQ’s TSD or in
the original source document from
EPNG.
Another important element of the cost
effectiveness analysis is the interest rate
used. In its cost calculations for EPNG
Willcox and Williams, ADEQ used an
interest rate of 8.53 percent (for most
control options such as SCR) and 9
percent for water/steam injection. These
values were well above the bank prime
interest rates at the time these analyses
were developed, and above the sourcespecific interest rates used in other
facilities’ analyses. While the TSD notes
that 8.53 percent is based upon site
specific information provided by EPNG,
that information is not in the TSD or the
original source document from EPNG.
Additional documentation is needed to
support the use of the 8.53 percent and
9 percent interest rates in cost
calculations.198
In the absence of adequate
documentation supporting deviations
from the Control Cost Manual, we find
that ADEQ’s cost analyses are not
sufficiently reliable to support its
control determinations.
c. Control Determinations
In addition to the issues with source
selection and four-factor analyses noted
in the previous sections, we find that
ADEQ did not reasonably weigh the
statutory factors in reaching its control
determinations for certain sources, as
detailed in the following paragraphs. In
addition, where ADEQ determined that
no additional measures were necessary
to make reasonable progress for a
particular source, it did not determine
whether the source’s existing measures
are necessary to make reasonable
progress and therefore, whether they
should be a part of its long-term
strategy.
i. Application of Cost Thresholds
As described in Sections IV.E.1.a.ii
and IV.E.1.b of this document, ADEQ set
an average cost-effectiveness threshold
of $6,500/ton for point sources.
Generally, ADEQ did not provide an
adequate justification for how this
threshold resulted in a reasonable set of
198 Control Cost Manual, Chapter 2, p. 15. See
also 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) (‘‘The State must
document the technical basis, including modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions
information, on which the State is relying to
determine the emission reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress in each
mandatory Class I Federal area it affects’’).
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47429
control measures.199 In a few instances,
ADEQ rejected controls for which the
average cost effectiveness was below
this chosen threshold based on
incremental cost effectiveness (i.e., the
cost-effectiveness of a more expensive
control compared to a less expensive
control). Specifically, ADEQ rejected
wet FGD on SGS 1 and 2, and LEC–3 on
Williams RECIP–1, on the grounds that
the incremental costs of these controls,
relative to less stringent controls, were
excessive. Although states may choose
to consider incremental costs in a
reasonable manner,200 we find it was
unreasonable for ADEQ to do so only for
specific units and only as a reason to
reject controls that otherwise met the
state’s chosen cost-effectiveness
threshold. In addition, while ADEQ
conducted an analysis of numerous first
planning period control determinations
to set its threshold of $6,500/ton, it
considered only a single BART
determination to determine that
incremental costs of $11,120/ton (for
LEC–3 on Williams Units RECIP–1), and
$9,400–13,500/ton (for wet WGD on
SGS 1 and 2) were excessive.201 We find
that the use of incremental cost in this
way, without adequate support or
consistent application, is not
reasonable.
In addition, we note that several
controls were rejected by ADEQ on the
grounds that they were marginally
above the chosen cost threshold
($6,500/ton for point sources and
$5,000/ton for nonpoint sources). For
example, the cost effectiveness for water
injection at Williams TURBINE–1 was
close to ADEQ’s cost effectiveness
threshold of $6,500/ton, with a
difference of $36. The cost effectiveness
threshold for SNCR on SGS Unit 2 was
also marginally above the $6,500/ton
threshold, with a $269 difference.
Additionally, a few nonpoint source
controls were also marginally above
ADEQ’s $5,000/ton threshold but
rejected based on cost, such as a dust
control plan ($76 difference) and
sweeping ($164 difference) for ICI
construction and sweeping ($164
difference) for paved road dust. Given
the flaws in the cost-effectiveness
analyses noted in Section IV.E.2.b,
which may have resulted in inflated
cost-effectiveness values, we
199 ‘‘As the Ninth Circuit explained in NPCA v.
EPA, 788 F.3d at 1142, the Regional Haze Rule does
not prevent states from implementing ‘bright line’
rules, such as thresholds, when considering costs
and visibility benefits. However, the state must
explain the basis for any thresholds or other rules
(see 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)).’’ 2019 Guidance, p. 38.
200 Id. p. 40.
201 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, pp. 121 and 229.
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recommend that ADEQ revisit these
control determinations in particular.
ii. Use of Visibility as a Factor To Avoid
Controls
The EPA has explained that states
choosing to consider visibility benefits
as an optional additional factor should
not use visibility to summarily dismiss
cost-effective potential controls, and
that a state that has identified costeffective controls but rejects most or all
of them based on visibility benefits is
likely to be improperly using visibility
as an additional factor.202 Arizona has
not considered visibility benefits for
most of its sources, but appears to have
considered visibility modeling
submitted by TEP for SGS. In the SGS
analysis, ADEQ stated that ‘‘[a]ny
controls having an average costeffectiveness of 6,500 $/ton are cost
excessive unless there [is] compelling
evidence that the controls would result
in a significant visibility improvement
at Class I areas.’’ 203 In addition, ADEQ
pointed to ‘‘small visibility benefits’’
associated with the modeled NOX and
SO2 controls to support its
determinations that no new NOX
controls and a less stringent SO2 control
(SDA upgrades) are necessary to make
reasonable progress with respect to SGS
Units 1 and 2.204 However, ADEQ has
not defined what it considers to be a
significant visibility improvement or
how its analysis comports with the
regional haze regulations.
Whether a particular visibility impact
is meaningful should be assessed in
context and cannot be used to
undermine the four statutory factors that
are to be analyzed in order to determine
what measures are necessary for
reasonable progress.205 As many of the
largest individual visibility impairing
sources have either already been
controlled (under the RHR or other CAA
or state programs) or have retired, the
remaining individual sources are often
smaller and better controlled, with each
source making relatively smaller
contributions to a Class I area as a
proportion of total impairment. This
does not mean, however, that additional
emissions reductions are not needed in
the second planning period and beyond,
and the remaining sources need not be
analyzed for additional controls. To the
contrary, the evaluation and control of
such smaller sources may be necessary
to achieve the national goal of the
prevention of any future, and the
202 2021
203 2022
Clarifications Memo, p. 13.
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, p. 216.
204 Id. at 234.
205 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i); 2021 Clarifications
Memo, p. 14.
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remedying of any existing,
anthropogenic impairment of visibility
in Class I areas.
With a Q of 17,044 and a Q/d of 339,
SGS is by far the largest emissions
source analyzed by ADEQ in the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan. ADEQ
found that Units 3 and 4, as well as
Units 1 and 2 for PM10, were effectively
controlled, leaving only NOX and SO2 at
Units 1 and 2 as providing an
opportunity for further control. In the
absence of any opportunities for larger
emissions reductions and corresponding
visibility benefits, we find that ADEQ’s
reliance on ‘‘small’’ visibility benefits as
an additional justification for not
adopting more stringent controls at
these units is not persuasive.
We also have concerns with certain
aspects of the modeling for SGS. In
particular, the analysis considered
visibility benefits from a NOX control on
Units 1 and 2 with an emission factor
of 0.08 lb/MMBtu, roughly half that
resulting from SNCR (0.15 lb/MMBtu)
and 25 percent higher than that
resulting from SCR (0.06 lb/MMBtu). In
addition, the analyses focused on the
average over the 20 percent most
impaired days and concluded the
visibility benefits from installing SCR
were small. While it is reasonable to
consider visibility impacts on the most
impaired days, due to variability in
daily transport patterns, the EPA’s
guidance recommends that for
individual sources, the maximum daily
visibility impact on all days may be a
more meaningful metric.206
In sum, we find that ADEQ’s
consideration of visibility benefits of
potential controls at SGS Units 1 and 2
did not provide meaningful support of
its rejection of more stringent NOX and
SO2 controls at these two units.
iii. Mass-Based Emissions Caps at SGS
For SGS Units 1 and 2, ADEQ
determined that ‘‘emission reductions
equivalent to SDA upgrades at Unit 1
and Unit 2 are necessary to make
reasonable progress’’ and established
two combined emissions limits for Unit
1 and Unit 2: 3,729 tons per year on 12month rolling average; and 16.1 tons per
day (tpd) on a 30-calendar-day rolling
average. ADEQ stated that ‘‘establishing
the two capped emission limits within
the two emission units can provide
compliance flexibility yet still guarantee
that each unit is well controlled to
protect and improve the visibility in
Class I areas.’’ 207 For the reasons that
follow, the EPA proposes to find that
206 2019
207 2022
Guidance, pp. 15–16.
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, p. 239.
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these limits will not ensure
implementation of the emissions
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress at these units.
First, as noted in the preceding
section, ADEQ rejected wet FGD for SGS
1 and 2 in part due to incremental cost
effectiveness compared to SDA.208
However, as ADEQ acknowledged in the
SIP submittal, the proposed emissions
caps will not, in fact, require TEP to
upgrade the SDA controls at these units.
Instead, ‘‘TEP will be very likely to
manage its operating level strategically
instead of completing the upgrades to
the SDA systems for meeting the RP
requirements.’’ 209 Given that TEP will
not be required to implement SDA
upgrades, we find it was not reasonable
to reject wet FGD on the basis of
incremental cost relative to SDA.
Second, the cost of SDA upgrades was
well below ADEQ’s established cost
threshold of $6,500/ton, ranging from
$828-$883/ton for SGS Unit 1 and $853–
$908/ton for SGS Unit 2. Therefore,
even if TEP meets the proposed annual
and 30-day limits, it appears that SDA
upgrades would still be cost-effective,
based on ADEQ’s established cost
threshold.
Third, because the limits are set
across two units and the tpd limit is set
on a 30-calendar-day basis (rather than
a 30-day-boiler-operating day),210 they
would not meaningfully constrain the
emissions from one unit during periods
when the other unit is not operating. In
particular, the annual SO2 cap of 3,739
tpy is significantly higher than ADEQ’s
projected 2028 SO2 emissions for either
Unit 1 or Unit 2 (2,869 and 2,982 tpy,
respectively) and nearly double each
unit’s recent emissions (1,980 and 1,988
tpy respectively on average 2021–
2023).211 Similarly, the daily SO2 cap of
16.1 tpd is greater than half of the
maximum combined 30-calendar-day
emissions of both Unit 1 and Unit 2 over
the baseline period of 2016–2019.212 As
noted by ADEQ in their submission and
confirmed in TEP’s most recent
Integrated Resources Plan, TEP intends
to retire Unit 1 in 2027.213 If this occurs,
208 Id.
at p. 229.
at p. 236.
210 A limit based on boiler operating days would
effectively exclude days with zero emissions from
the calculation of the 30-day average whereas a
limit based on calendar days does not.
211 Emissions information can be publicly
accessed through the EPA Clean Air Markets
Program data, available at https://campd.epa.gov/.
212 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
C, Figure 5: Comparison 30–CD Rolling Average
Emission Rates over Baseline Years against
Emission Limit. ADEQ did not provide separate
daily emissions data for Units 1 and 2.
213 As part of its preferred alternative in its 2023
Integrated Resources Plan, p. 56, TEP states that
209 Id.
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Unit 2 would be able to emit 3,739 tpy
SO2 in 2028, nearly double what it
emitted on average in 2021–2023 and
significantly more than the 2,982 tpy it
is projected to emit in the absence of a
cap. In contrast, a lb/MMbtu limit
representing SDA set on each unit
would ensure emissions from Unit 2
would be reduced by approximately 1⁄3
from recent emissions levels even if
Unit 1 ceases operation.
By comparison, the NOX emission
limits ADEQ proposed for IGS Unit 3
are also mass-based limits and share
some similar elements with the
proposed SGS Unit 1 and 2 limits. We
note that the IGS Unit 3 NOX limits
differ primarily because the proposed
limits are not relied upon to implement
the control determination of a fourfactor analysis. Rather, the IGS Unit 3
limits, which consist of a combination
of limitations on unit capacity and total
lifetime emissions, are subsequently
reflected in the unit’s four-factor
analysis and have the effect of
increasing the cost effectiveness of
additional controls into a cost per ton
range that ADEQ considered to be not
cost effective. However, we also note
that as currently established in the
permit revision submitted by ADEQ, the
IGS Unit 3 limits would become
effective only upon approval of ADEQ’s
regional haze reasonable progress
determination for IGS by the EPA.
Because these limits are not yet
enforceable, we find that they are not an
appropriate basis for modifying the
baseline control scenario for a fourfactor analysis.214
Finally, we note that ADEQ’s
proposed determination is that
‘‘emission reductions equivalent to SDA
upgrades at SGS Unit 1 and Unit 2 are
necessary to make reasonable
progress,’’ 215 rather than that the SDA
upgrades themselves are necessary to
make reasonable progress. This
conclusion is not supported by the fourfactor analysis, which examines specific
control measures (including SDA
upgrades), rather than total emissions
reductions levels and, which concludes
‘‘it is reasonable to require TEP to
upgrade the current SDA systems to
further reduce the SO2 emissions at Unit
‘‘Initially, the units will alternate idling between
spring and fall (both seasons include the adjacent
winter months). TEP plans to transition Unit 1 to
summer-only operations prior to full retirement at
the end of 2027.’’
214 See 40 CFR 51.231(b) (SIP must show the State
has the authority to carry out the SIP at the time
of submittal); 2019 Guidance, p. 29 (‘‘[e]nforceable
requirements are one reasonable basis for projecting
a change in operating parameters and thus
emissions’’).
215 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 236.
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1 and Unit 2.’’ 216 In particular, as noted
above, ADEQ rejected the use of a more
stringent control (wet FGD), based on
incremental costs compared to the cost
of actual SDA upgrades, not emission
reductions ‘‘equivalent’’ to such
upgrades.
For all of these reasons, we propose
to find that the SO2 emissions caps
adopted for SGS Units 1 and 2 will not
ensure implementation of the emissions
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress at these units.
iv. Analysis of Existing Measures
Necessary for Reasonable Progress
As described in Section III.C of this
document, where a state determines that
no additional measures are necessary to
make reasonable progress for a
particular source, the state must then
determine whether the source’s existing
measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress. Generally, a
source’s existing measures are needed to
prevent future emissions increases and
are thus needed to make reasonable
progress. If the existing controls at a
selected source are necessary to make
reasonable progress, the state must
adopt emissions limits based on those
controls as part of its long-term strategy
for the second planning period and
include those limits in its SIP (to the
extent they do not already exist in the
SIP).
ADEQ has not addressed whether any
of the existing measures relied upon in
its four-factor analyses or its ‘‘effective
controls’’ determinations are necessary
to make reasonable progress and thus
should be a part of the State’s long-term
strategy for the second planning period.
For example, for SGS Units 3 and 4,
ADEQ determined that no new
measures were necessary to make
reasonable progress for any pollutant.
Similarly, ADEQ found that no
additional controls were necessary for
NOX or PM10 at SGS Units 1 and 2.
However, ADEQ did not evaluate nor
determine whether any of the existing
measures for these units and pollutants
were necessary to make reasonable
progress and therefore should be a part
of its long-term strategy. The same is
true for the many other emissions
processes for which ADEQ determined
that no new measures were necessary to
make reasonable progress. Additionally,
in general, an emissions limit reflecting
a source’s existing measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress
should be in the form of the emissions
rate achieved when implementing those
measures (e.g., pounds per million
British thermal units or lbs/MMBtu,
216 Id.
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pounds per hour or lbs/hr, or pounds
per ton or lbs/ton of produced material)
and should correspond to the emissions
rate that was determined to be necessary
to make reasonable progress.217 It is
therefore unclear what measures the
State is relying on to make reasonable
progress, and which are a part of its
long-term strategy for the second
planning period.
As part of its analysis of whether
existing effective measures are
necessary to make reasonable progress,
the State should have considered
whether the relevant sources are subject
to enforceable emissions limits that
ensure their emissions rates will not
increase.218
e. Conclusions
As explained in the preceding
sections, due to flaws and omissions in
its source selection and four-factor
analyses and the resulting control
determinations, the EPA proposes to
find that Arizona failed to reasonably
‘‘evaluate and determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to
make reasonable progress’’ by
considering the four statutory factors as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) and
CAA section 169A(g)(1). We also
propose to find that Arizona failed to
adequately document the technical basis
that it relied upon to determine these
emissions reduction measures, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii). In
so doing, Arizona failed to submit to the
EPA a long-term strategy that includes
‘‘the enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress’’ as required by 40
CFR 51.308(f)(2).219
Consequently, the EPA is proposing to
find that the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan does not satisfy the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
Therefore, we are proposing to
disapprove Chapters 2, 6.1–6.3, 8, and 9
and Appendices B, C, E, F, G, and H of
the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan.
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(3) contains the
requirements pertaining to RPGs for
each Class I area. Because Arizona is
host to Class I areas, it is subject to
217 See
Clarifications Memo, p. 11.
Section III.C of this document.
219 See also CAA 169A(b)(2), 169(b)(2)(B) (the
CAA requires that each implementation plan for a
State in which the emissions from may reasonably
be anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in a Class I area ‘‘contain such emision
limits, schedules of compliance and other measures
as may be necessary to make reasonable progress
toward meeting the national goal, . . . including
. . . a long-term . . . strategy for making reasonable
progress[.]’’
218 See
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section 51.308(f)(3)(i) and potentially
subject to 51.308(f)(3)(ii). Section
51.308(f)(3)(i) requires a state in which
a Class I area is located to establish
RPGs—one each for the most impaired
and clearest days—reflecting the
visibility conditions that will be
achieved at the end of the
implementation period as a result of the
emissions limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures required
under paragraph (f)(2) to be in states’
long-term strategies, as well as
implementation of other CAA
requirements. The long-term strategies
as reflected by the RPGs must provide
for an improvement in visibility on the
most impaired days relative to the
baseline period and ensure no
degradation on the clearest days relative
to the baseline period. Section
51.308(f)(3)(ii) applies in circumstances
in which a Class I area’s RPGs for the
most impaired days represents a slower
rate of visibility improvement than the
uniform rate of progress calculated
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi). Under
section 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(A), if the state in
which a mandatory Class I area is
located establishes an RPG for the most
impaired days that provides for a slower
rate of visibility improvement than the
URP, the state must demonstrate that
there are no additional emissions
reduction measures for anthropogenic
sources or groups of sources in the state
that would be reasonable to include in
its long-term strategy. Section
51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) requires that if a state
contains sources that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment in a Class I area in another
state, and the RPG for the most impaired
days in that Class I area is above the
URP, the upwind state must provide the
same demonstration.
Independent of the URP endpoint
adjustments, WRAP used three different
visibility projection methods to estimate
visibility conditions in 2028 (EPA,
EPAwoF, and ModMID) for initial
calculation of RPGs. These represent,
respectively, the standard approach
recommended in EPA photochemical
modeling guidance,220 the same
approach except without fire (‘‘woF’’)
emissions, and a further variant in
which the model is used to select the
most impaired days (‘‘Mod’’, ‘‘MID’’),
rather than selecting them using
baseline monitoring data. The approach
ultimately relied upon by ADEQ was
EPAwoF. Excluding fire emissions from
the model runs used to calculate the
relative change in concentrations
between 2014 and 2028 has the effect of
focusing the projection on the changes
in anthropogenic emissions over the
period. (Including fire emissions would
make the impairment projection less
responsive to changes in anthropogenic
emissions.) While this is not the
standard procedure, it is consistent with
the use of anthropogenic impairment
from IMPROVE monitor data. These
2028 estimates are described in
Appendix D of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan and are calculated
following ‘‘Procedures for Making
Visibility Projections and Adjusting
Glidepaths using the WRAP-WAQS
2014 Modeling Platform’’ 221 to postprocess model results from the
2028OTBa2 projections scenario.
ADEQ’s RPGs for its Class I areas
(shown by the IMPROVE monitor), as
compared with baseline conditions and
the 2028 Adjusted URP (for the mostimpaired days) are set out in Tables 10–
1 and 10–2 of the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan and shown in Table 21 of this
document. As compared to the 2028
projections illustrated in plan figures 7–
11 through 7–19 as ‘‘2028OTBa2 EPA
w/o Fire Projection—MID’’, these RPGs
account for point-source controls
resulting from ADEQ’s four factor
analyses. Appendix D, section D6 of the
plan describes how SOX and NOX
emissions reductions due to the controls
were used to scale extinction as used in
the IMPROVE equation, then summed
and converted to deciviews. While the
decreases in the RPGs from this
procedure were quite small, the result
better fits the regulatory definition of
RPG as reflecting the effect of controls.
TABLE 21—ARIZONA BASELINE CONDITIONS, ADJUSTED URP AND 2028 RPGS
20% Most-impaired days
Site
2000–2004
Baseline
BALD1 ....................................................
CHIR1 ....................................................
GRCA2 ...................................................
IKBA1 .....................................................
PEFO1 ...................................................
SAGU1 ...................................................
SIAN1 ** .................................................
SYCA_RHTS ..........................................
TONT1 ...................................................
20% Clearest days
2028 adjusted
URP
8.80
10.50
7.98
11.19
9.82
12.64
10.76
12.16
11.65
2028 RPG
7.85
9.39
7.33
9.65
8.37
10.65
9.35
10.14
10.00
2000–2004
Baseline
6.71
8.90
6.37
8.63
7.41
10.33
8.41
10.73
9.68
2028 RPG
2.98
4.91
2.18
5.40
5.02
6.94
6.16
5.58
6.46
1.46
3.63
1.29
3.77
2.78
5.77
3.98
3.43
4.48
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Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Tables 10–1 and 10–2.
** 2013–2017 data is presented instead of 2014–2018 data for SIAN1 as it contains the most recent, complete 3-years dataset for SIAN1.
As described in Section IV.E.2 of this
document, we find that ADEQ’s
determination of emissions reduction
measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress does not meet the
requirements of section 51.308(f)(2).
Section 51.308(f)(3)(i) specifies that
RPGs must reflect ‘‘enforceable
emissions limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures required
under paragraph (f)(2) of this section.’’
We commend ADEQ for setting
reasonable progress goals in an effort to
meet the requirements of 51.308(f)(3) in
Chapter 3 of the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan. However, in the absence of
an approved long-term strategy, we
cannot approve the associated RPGs.
We also note that for this planning
period, all but one Arizona IMPROVE
monitor are projected to have RPGs for
the 20 percent most impaired days that
provide for a greater rate of
improvement in visibility than the
220 Modeling Guidance for Demonstrating Air
Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze,
EPA 454/R–18–009, EPA OAQPS, November 2018,
available at https://www.epa.gov/scram/state-
implementation-plan-sip-attainmentdemonstration-guidance.
221 ‘‘Procedures for Making Visibility Projections
and Adjusting Glidepaths using the WRAP-WAQS
2014 Modeling Platform,’’ Ramboll, March 1, 2021,
final draft, available at the WRAP Regional
Technical Operations Work Group website, https://
www.wrapair2.org/RTOWG.aspx; direct link:
https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/2028_Vis_Proj_
Glidepath_Adj_2021-03-01draft_final.pdf.
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adjusted uniform rate of progress. The
IMPROVE visibility monitor for the
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Class I
area is projected to have a 0.59 dv
slower rate of visibility improvement
than the uniform rate of progress by
2028.222 Section 51.308(f)(3)(ii) of the
Regional Haze Rule requires that if a
state adopts an RPG for the most
impaired days that provides for a slower
rate of improvement in visibility than
the uniform rate of progress, i.e., if the
RPG is above the URP glidepath, it must
include within its SIP submission an
assessment of the number of years it
would take to attain natural visibility
conditions if visibility improvement
were to continue at the rate of progress
selected by the state as reasonable for
the implementation period. ADEQ
provided a discussion in its submission
that explains how the monitor was
relocated in 2015 and experienced
increases in soil and coarse mass
extinction.223 However, the rule
requires the state with the Class I area
and any other state with sources
affecting that area to make a ‘‘robust
demonstration’’ that there are no
additional emissions reduction
measures for sources that may
reasonably be anticipated to contribute
to visibility impairment that would be
reasonable to include in the long-term
strategy. The robust demonstration
requires an analysis to ensure there are
no additional emissions reduction
measures that would be reasonable to
include in the long-term strategy.
Because we are proposing to find that
ADEQ has not met the requirements of
51.308(f)(2), we also propose to find that
it has not satisfied 51.308(f)(3)(ii) with
respect to Sycamore Canyon.
Finally, we also note that Arizona has
not considered whether sources in
Arizona are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment in a
Class I area in another state whose RPG
for the most impaired days in that Class
I area is above the URP, as required
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B).
For these reasons, we propose to
disapprove Chapters 7 and 10 and
Appendix D of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan for not meeting the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)
pertaining to RPGs.
G. Additional Monitoring To Assess
Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment
The EPA and FLMs have not
previously advised Arizona that
additional monitoring is needed to
assess reasonably attributable visibility
impairment. Therefore, the
requirements under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4)
are not applicable to Arizona.
H. Monitoring Strategy and Other
Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) specifies that
each comprehensive revision of a state’s
regional haze SIP must contain or
provide for certain elements, including
monitoring strategies, emissions
inventories, and any reporting,
recordkeeping, and other measures
needed to assess and report on
visibility. A main requirement of this
section is for states with Class I areas to
submit monitoring strategies for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting
on visibility impairment. Compliance
with this requirement may be met
through participation in the IMPROVE
network.
According to Chapter 4 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, there are
nine IMPROVE monitors and 12 Class 1
areas in Arizona, as summarized in
Table 22 of this document. The
monitoring sites are operated and
maintained through a formal
cooperative relationship between the
EPA, NPS, FWS, USFS, and Bureau of
Land Management.
TABLE 22—ARIZONA IMPROVE MONITORS
IMPROVE monitor
Class I area
BALD1 .......................................................
CHIR1 ........................................................
Mount Baldy Wilderness .............................................................................................
Chiricahua National Monument ...................................................................................
Chiricahua Wilderness, Galiuro Wilderness ................................................................
Grand Canyon National Park ......................................................................................
Mazatzal Wilderness, Pine Mountain Wilderness .......................................................
Petrified Forest National Park .....................................................................................
Saguaro National Park ................................................................................................
Sierra Ancha Wilderness .............................................................................................
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness ....................................................................................
Superstition Wilderness ...............................................................................................
GRCA2 ......................................................
IKBA1 ........................................................
PEFO1 .......................................................
SAGU1 ......................................................
SIAN1 ........................................................
SYCA2 .......................................................
TONT1 .......................................................
FLM
USFS.
NPS.
USFS.
NPS.
USFS.
NPS.
NPS.
USFS.
USFS.
USFS.
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Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 4–1.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(i) requires SIPs to
provide for the establishment of any
additional monitoring sites or
equipment needed to assess whether
reasonable progress goals to address
regional haze for all mandatory Class I
Federal areas within the state are being
achieved. Regional haze data for each
Class I area in Arizona is collected by
an IMPROVE monitor that is operated
and maintained by the FLMs specified
in Table 22 of this document. Pursuant
to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(i), ADEQ does not
recommend the establishment of any
additional monitoring sites or
equipment to assess whether reasonable
222 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
10.1.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
progress goals to address regional haze
for all Class I Federal areas within the
State are being achieved. ADEQ also
indicated that there have been
incomplete years of data and
temporarily closed sites. Arizona has
engaged in discussions with IMPROVE,
USFS, and the EPA on improving data
collection at closed sites and hopes
future site changes will increase data
reliability.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(ii) requires SIPs
to provide for procedures by which
monitoring data and other information
are used in determining the contribution
of emissions from within the state to
223 2022
regional haze visibility impairment at
mandatory Class I Federal areas both
within and outside the state.
ADEQ indicates that pursuant to 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), Chapters 5, 6.4, and
9 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan describe the procedures used in
developing this SIP revision. These
chapters include the procedures to
assess the quantitative impact of
emissions from Arizona on Class I
Federal areas in Arizona and on Class I
Federal areas that Arizona’s emissions
affect in other states. In general, the
WRAP has analyzed and provided
information on relative contributions to
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix
A.
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visibility impairment for Arizona.
Arizona has also used data reported by
the IMPROVE program as input into the
regional technical support analysis tool
found at the Visibility Information
Exchange Web System and WRAP’s
Technical Support System, as well as
other analysis tools and efforts
sponsored by the WRAP.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(iii) does not
apply to Arizona, as it has a Class I area.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(iv) requires the
SIP to provide for the reporting of all
visibility monitoring data to the
Administrator at least annually for each
Class I area in the state. ADEQ indicates
that it does not directly collect or
handle IMPROVE data, and that ADEQ
will continue to participate in the
IMPROVE Visibility Information
Exchange Web System for reporting
monitoring data. As noted in Table 22
of this document, the IMPROVE
monitors are operated and maintained
by FLMs. The monitoring strategy for
Arizona relies upon the continued
availability of the IMPROVE network.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) requires SIPs to
provide for a statewide inventory of
emissions of pollutants that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment,
including emissions for the most recent
year for which data are available and
estimates of future projected emissions.
It also requires a commitment to update
the inventory periodically.
Chapter 6 and Appendix B of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan describe the
procedures used to produce the
statewide emissions inventory of
pollutants reasonably anticipated to
cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in the Class I Federal areas
that Arizona’s emissions affect. ADEQ
indicates that their plan relies primarily
upon four different emissions inventory
scenarios: 2014v2, RepBase2,
2028OTBa2, and 2028LTS. Three of
those scenarios (2014v2, RepBase2,
2028OTBa2) were developed by WRAP
utilizing methods agreed upon by
member states, local air agencies, and
western Tribal organizations and in
coordination with FLMs and the EPA.
The WRAP 2014v2 inventory is based
on the 2014v2 NEI plus updates
provided by western states through the
WRAP Regional Haze workgroup’s
Emissions and Modeling Protocol
subcommittee. The Representative
Baseline (RepBase2) emissions scenario
updates the 2014v2 inventory to
account for changes and variation in
emissions between 2014 and 2018 for
key WRAP source sectors, as defined by
the WRAP Emissions and Modeling
Protocol subcommittee.
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Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) also requires
states to include estimates of future
projected emissions and include a
commitment to update the inventory
periodically.
ADEQ described its 2028 emissions
projection methodology in Chapter 6
and Appendix B Section B3 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan. ADEQ
indicates that the WRAP 2028OTBa
emissions inventory projection follows
the methods applied in the EPA 2019
Modeling TSD. The WRAP states
updated source sectors to account for
implementation of all applicable federal
and state requirements for U.S.
anthropogenic emissions by 2028.
The 2028LTS is an emissions
inventory developed by ADEQ with the
2028OTBa2 as a base. The scenario
adjusts 2028OTBa2 emissions to
account for those controls included
within ADEQ’s long-term strategy for
which statewide emission reductions
could be estimated. Arizona has also
committed in its SIP submittal to
periodically update the emissions
inventories which will include
incorporation of emissions reductions
from any new or ongoing air pollution
control programs and any new source
retirement/replacement schedules.224
The EPA proposes to find that
Arizona has met the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6) as described above,
including through its continued
participation in the IMPROVE network,
continued inventory work with the
WRAP, and commitment to update the
inventory periodically, and that no
further elements are necessary at this
time for Arizona to assess and report on
visibility pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(vi). The EPA therefore is
proposing to approve Chapters 4 and 6.4
of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
as meeting the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6).
I. Requirements for Periodic Reports
Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires that
periodic comprehensive revisions of
states’ regional haze plans also address
the progress report requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(g)(1)–(5). The purpose of
these requirements is to evaluate
progress towards the applicable RPGs
for each Class I area within the state and
each Class I area outside the state that
may be affected by emissions from
within that state. Sections 51.308(g)(1)
and (2) apply to all states and require a
description of the status of
implementation of all measures
included in a state’s first
224 2022
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implementation period regional haze
plan and a summary of the emissions
reductions achieved through
implementation of those measures.
Section 51.308(g)(3) applies only to
states with Class I areas within their
borders and requires such states to
assess current visibility conditions,
changes in visibility relative to baseline
(2000–2004) visibility conditions, and
changes in visibility conditions relative
to the period addressed in the first
implementation period progress report.
Section 51.308(g)(4) applies to all states
and requires an analysis tracking
changes in emissions of pollutants
contributing to visibility impairment
from all sources and sectors since the
period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report.
This provision further specifies the year,
or years, through which the analysis
must extend depending on the type of
source and the platform through which
its emissions information is reported. In
addition, section 51.308(g)(5), which
also applies to all states, requires an
assessment of any significant changes in
anthropogenic emissions within or
outside the state have occurred since the
period addressed by the first
implementation period progress report,
including whether such changes were
anticipated and whether they have
limited or impeded expected progress
towards reducing emissions and
improving visibility.
Section 51.308(f)(5) specifies that a
progress report submitted as part of a
comprehensive regional haze SIP
revision must address the time period
since the most recent progress report.
Arizona submitted its most recent
progress report to the EPA on November
12, 2015, which presented data analysis
for the period 2009 through 2013.225
Therefore, for Arizona, the time period
required to be addressed in the progress
report began in 2014.
Arizona’s submission also describes
the status of measures of the long-term
strategy from the first implementation
period, explaining the controls required
under both the SIP and FIP and how
those controls have been
implemented.226
Arizona’s submission also contains a
summary of the emissions from the
long-term strategy from the first
implementation period for NOX, SO2,
and PM10 at BART facilities.227 In total,
ADEQ estimated reductions of 21,296
225 84
FR 33002 (July 11, 2019).
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 11
and 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Technical
Supplement.
227 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 11–
8.
226 2022
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tpy NOX, 34,533–38,999 tpy SO2, and
849 tpy PM10.
The EPA therefore proposes to find
that Arizona has met the requirements
of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2) because
its SIP submission describes the
measures included in the long-term
strategy from the first implementation
period, as well as the status of their
implementation and the emission
reductions achieved through such
implementation.
Arizona’s SIP submission included
summaries of the visibility conditions
and the trend of the 5-year averages at
the Class I areas.228 The SIP submission
included the 5-year baseline (2000–
2004) visibility conditions and current
conditions (2015–2019) for the clearest
and most impaired days, as discussed in
Section IV.D of this document. The EPA
therefore proposes to find that Arizona
has met the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(3).
In a technical supplement sent on
November 22, 2023 (‘‘2023 Arizona
Regional Haze Technical
Supplement’’),229 ADEQ provided
additional supporting information to
address the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(4)–(5). Pursuant to section
51.308(g)(4), Arizona provided a
summary of emissions of NOX, SO2,
PM10, PM2.5, VOC, and NH3 from all
sources and activities, including from
point, nonpoint, non-road mobile, and
on-road mobile sources for the progress
report period, using the 2014 and 2017
NEI. ADEQ also provided 2014–2019
Clean Air Markets Program Data
(CAMPD) data for all sources with
emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants. The reductions achieved by
Arizona emissions control measures are
seen in the emissions inventory and
visibility progress. The EPA is therefore
proposing to find that Arizona has met
the requirements of section 51.308(g)(4)
by providing emissions information for
NOX, SO2, PM10, PM2.5, VOC, and NH3
broken down by type of sources and
activities within the state.
Pursuant to section 51.308(g)(5),
Arizona provided an assessment of any
significant changes in anthropogenic
emissions within or outside the state
that have occurred since the period,
including whether or not these changes
in anthropogenic emissions were
anticipated in that most recent plan, and
whether they have limited or impeded
progress in reducing pollutant
228 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 5.
dated November 22, 2023, from Hether
Krause, Deputy Assistant Director, ADEQ Air
Quality Division, to Martha Guzman, Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX (submitted
electronically November 22, 2023).
229 Letter
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emissions and improving visibility.230
ADEQ noted overall reductions of 21
percent in NOX, 11 percent in SO2, and
48 percent in VOC using NEI data.
ADEQ also noted overall reductions of
45 percent NOX and 47 percent SO2 in
CAMPD EGU emissions during the
progress report period. ADEQ indicated
that these reductions have met or
exceeded the downward trend predicted
from the regional haze plan in the first
round. For NH3, ADEQ noted increases
from the agriculture sector, but
primarily from a different methodology
used to calculate the emissions. ADEQ
noted that the increases in NH3 have not
limited or impeded visibility progress.
The EPA is proposing to find that
Arizona has met the requirements of
section 51.308(g)(5).
Additionally, the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze SIP includes a
commitment to submit periodic progress
reports in accordance with section
51.308(f) 231 and a commitment to
evaluate progress towards the
reasonable progress goal for each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the state and in each mandatory
Class I Federal area located outside the
state that may be affected by emissions
from within the state in accordance with
section 51.308(g).232
For these reasons, the EPA proposes
to approve Chapter 11 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan (as
supplement by the 2023 Arizona
Regional Haze Technical Supplement)
as meeting the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(5) and 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)-(5)
for periodic progress reports.
J. Requirements for State and Federal
Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires states
to consult with FLMs before holding the
public hearing on a proposed regional
haze SIP, and to include a summary of
the FLMs’ conclusions and
recommendations in the notice to the
public. In addition, the FLM
consultation provision in section
51.308(i)(2) requires a state to provide
FLMs with an opportunity for
consultation that is early enough in the
state’s policy analyses of its emissions
reduction obligation so that information
and recommendations provided by the
FLMs can meaningfully inform the
state’s decisions on its long-term
strategy. If the consultation has taken
230 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Technical
Supplement, Section 3.
231 40 CFR 51.308(f) (‘‘. . . The [regional haze
SIP] revision due on or before July 31, 2021, must
include a commitment by the State to meet the
requirements of paragraph (g) of this section. . . .’’
232 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
11.4.
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47435
place at least 120 days before a public
hearing or public comment period, the
opportunity for consultation will be
deemed early enough. Regardless, the
opportunity for consultation must be
provided at least sixty days before a
public hearing or public comment
period at the state level. Section
51.308(i)(2) also provides two
substantive topics on which FLMs must
be provided an opportunity to discuss
with states: assessment of visibility
impairment in any Class I area and
recommendations on the development
and implementation of strategies to
address visibility impairment. Section
51.308(i)(3) requires states, in
developing their implementation plans,
to include a description of how they
addressed FLMs’ comments.
ADEQ met with USFS and NPS and
communicated with the FLMs via email
on multiple occasions before providing
the draft SIP to those agencies for
comment.233 ADEQ indicated that the
purpose of these meetings was to
discuss source screening methodologies,
selection of particulate matter species
for analysis, effective control
determinations, initial control
determinations, and general
consultation on the formation of the
long-term strategy. ADEQ also indicated
that FWS was invited to these events
but did not participate.
On January 4, 2022, Arizona
submitted a draft Regional Haze SIP to
the FLMs for a 60-day review and
comment period pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2).234 ADEQ also met with
USFS and NPS on January 13, 2022, to
present the draft SIP revision, answer
questions, and receive initial feedback.
Arizona received comments from the
USFS on March 10, 2022, and from the
NPS on March 11, 2022. ADEQ
responded to the FLM comments and
included the responses in Appendix L
of their submission to the EPA, in
accordance with section 51.308(i)(3).
However, as explained above, because
the EPA is proposing to disapprove
certain elements of Arizona’s SIP
revision, namely the long-term strategy
under 51.308(f)(2) and the reasonable
progress goals under 51.308(f)(3), the
EPA is also proposing to disapprove the
Plan with respect to the FLM
consultation requirements under
51.308(i). While Arizona did take
administrative steps to provide the
FLMs the requisite opportunity to
review and provide feedback on the
state’s initial draft plan, the EPA cannot
approve the requirements under
233 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter
2.4.2 and Table 2–2.
234 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 2.4.
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51.308(f)(i) because Arizona’s
consultation was based on a SIP
revision that did not meet the required
statutory and regulatory requirements of
the CAA and the RHR, respectively.
Additionally, we note that ADEQ did
not indicate whether the 2023 Arizona
Regional Haze Rules Supplement went
through the FLM 60-day review period
pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2). In
addition, if the EPA finalizes the partial
approval and partial disapproval of the
Plan, as proposed in this document, in
the process of correcting the
deficiencies outlined above with respect
to the RHR and statutory requirements,
the state (or the EPA in the case of an
eventual FIP) will be required to again
satisfy the FLM consultation
requirement under 51.308(i). Therefore,
we are proposing to disapprove Section
2.4 (‘‘Consultation with Federal Land
Managers’’) and Appendix L of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not
meeting the requirements under 40 CFR
51.308(i) as outlined in this section.
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V. Prong 4 (Visibility) of the 2012 PM2.5
NAAQS and 2015 Ozone NAAQS
Infrastructure SIPs
A. Infrastructure SIPs
Under CAA sections 110(a)(1) and
110(a)(2), each state is required to
submit a SIP that provides for the
implementation, maintenance, and
enforcement of each primary or
secondary NAAQS. Moreover, CAA
section 110(a)(1) and section 110(a)(2)
require each state to make this new SIP
submission within three years (or less,
if the Administrator so prescribes) after
promulgation of a new or revised
NAAQS. This type of SIP submission is
commonly referred to as an
‘‘infrastructure SIP.’’ The overall
purpose of the infrastructure SIP
requirements is to ensure that the
necessary structural components of each
state’s air quality management program
are adequate to meet the state’s
responsibilities for the new or revised
NAAQS. Overall, the infrastructure SIP
submission process provides an
opportunity for the responsible air
agency, the public, and the EPA to
review the basic structural requirements
of the air agency’s air quality
management program in light of each
new or revised NAAQS.
Section 110(a)(2)(D) has two
components: 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and
110(a)(2)(D)(ii). Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
includes four distinct components,
commonly referred to as ‘‘prongs,’’ that
must be addressed in infrastructure SIP
submissions. The first two prongs,
which are codified in section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prohibit any source or
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other type of emissions activity in one
state from contributing significantly to
nonattainment of the NAAQS in another
state (prong 1) and from interfering with
maintenance of the NAAQS in another
state (prong 2). The third and fourth
prongs, which are codified in section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), prohibit emissions
activity in one state from interfering
with measures required to prevent
significant deterioration of air quality in
another state (prong 3) or from
interfering with measures to protect
visibility in another state (prong 4).
B. Prong 4 Requirements
Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) requires
SIPs to contain provisions prohibiting
sources in that state from emitting
pollutants in amounts that interfere
with any other state’s efforts to protect
visibility under part C of the CAA
(which includes sections 169A and
169B). The EPA issued guidance on
infrastructure SIPs in a September 13,
2013 memorandum from Stephen D.
Page titled ‘‘Guidance on Infrastructure
State Implementation Plan (SIP)
Elements under Clean Air Act Sections
110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2)’’ (‘‘2013
Guidance’’). The 2013 Guidance states
that these prong 4 requirements can be
satisfied by approved SIP provisions
that the EPA has found to adequately
address any contribution of that state’s
sources that impact the visibility
program requirements in other states.
The 2013 Guidance also states that the
EPA interprets this prong to be
pollutant-specific, such that the
infrastructure SIP submission need only
address the potential for interference
with protection of visibility caused by
the pollutant (including precursors) to
which the new or revised NAAQS
applies.
The 2013 Guidance lays out how a
state’s infrastructure SIP may satisfy
prong 4. In the second planning period,
confirmation that the state has a fully
approved regional haze SIP that fully
meets the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308 or 51.309 will satisfy the
requirements of prong 4.235 The
regulations at 40 CFR 51.308 and 51.309
specifically require that a state
participating in a regional planning
process include all measures needed to
achieve its apportionment of emission
235 The EPA acknowledges that in the 2013
Guidance, we indicate that the EPA may find it
appropriate to supplement the guidance regarding
the relationship between regional haze SIPs and
prong 4 after second planning SIPs become due,
which occurred on July 31, 2021. After a review of
the 2013 guidance and the second planning period
regional haze requirements, the EPA maintains the
interpretation that a fully approved regional haze
SIP satisfies Prong 4 requirements in the second
planning period.
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reduction obligations agreed upon
through that process. A fully approved
regional haze SIP 236 will ensure that
emissions from sources under an air
agency’s jurisdiction are not interfering
with measures required to be included
in other air agencies’ plans to protect
visibility.
Through this action, the EPA is
proposing to disapprove the prong 4
portion of Arizona’s infrastructure SIP
submissions for the 2012 PM2.5 and
2015 ozone NAAQS. All other
applicable infrastructure SIP
requirements for these SIP submissions
have been or will be addressed in
separate rulemakings. A brief
background regarding the NAAQS
relevant to this proposal is provided in
the following sections.
1. 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS
On December 14, 2012, the EPA
revised the annual primary PM2.5
NAAQS to 12 mg/m3.237 States were
required to submit infrastructure SIP
submissions for the 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS
to the EPA within three years of
promulgation of the revised NAAQS.
Arizona submitted its infrastructure SIP
for the 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS on December
11, 2015 (‘‘2015 PM2.5 I–SIP
submittal’’).238 This proposed
rulemaking only addresses the prong 4
element of 2015 PM2.5 I–SIP submittal.
2. 2015 Ozone NAAQS
On October 26, 2015, the EPA revised
the 8-hour ozone NAAQS to 70 parts per
billion.239 States were required to
submit infrastructure SIPs within three
years of promulgation of the revised
NAAQS. Arizona submitted its
infrastructure SIP for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS on September 24, 2018 (‘‘2018
Ozone I–SIP submittal’’).240 This
proposed rulemaking only addresses the
prong 4 element of the 2018 Ozone I–
SIP submittal.241
236 Since second planning period SIPs became
due, a ‘‘fully approved regional haze SIP’’ would
necessarily include fully approved first and second
planning period regional haze SIPs.
237 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013).
238 Letter dated December 11, 2015, from Eric
Massey, Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to
Jared Blumenfeld, Regional Administrator, EPA
Region IX.
239 80 FR 65292 (October 26, 2015).
240 Letter dated September 24, 2018, from
Timothy S. Franquist, Director, Air Quality
Division, ADEQ, to Michael Stoker, Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX (submitted
electronically September 24, 2018).
241 The EPA proposed action on the rest of the
2018 Ozone I–SIP submittal in two separate
rulemakings. See 87 FR 37776 (June 24, 2022) and
87 FR 74349 (December 5, 2022). On February 16,
2024, the EPA issued a supplemental proposal
regarding transport prongs 1 and 2 (88 FR 12666).
The EPA proposed to partially approve the 2018
Ozone I–SIP submittal with respect to Prong 1 and
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C. Arizona’s Prong 4 Elements
Arizona’s 2018 Ozone I–SIP submittal
and 2015 PM2.5 I–SIP submittal
acknowledge that Arizona does not
currently have a fully approved
Regional Haze SIP. They therefore rely,
in part, on regulations imposed by FIPs
during the first planning period to
address visibility impairment in Class I
Areas caused by NOX, SO2, and PM.242
The FIPs include emissions limits for
the following facilities: Freeport
McMoran Miami Smelter,243 Asarco
Hayden Smelter,244 Sundt Generating
Station Unit 4,245 Nelson Lime Plant
Kilns 1 and 2,246 CPC Rillito Kiln 4,247
and PCC Clarkdale Kiln 4.248 Emissions
limits have been incorporated into the
state SIP, replacing previous FIPs, at
AEPCO Apache Generating Station
Units 1, 2, and 3,249 APS Cholla Power
Plant Units 1–4,250 and SRP Coronado
Generating Station Units 1 and 2.251
D. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Submittal
Because Arizona does not have a fully
approved regional haze plan for the first
or second planning period, it cannot
rely on a fully approved regional haze
SIP in order to fulfill the prong 4
requirements for the 2012 PM2.5 and
2015 ozone NAAQS. Consequently, the
EPA is proposing to disapprove the
prong 4 portion of Arizona’s 2018
Ozone I–SIP submittal and 2015 PM2.5
I–SIP submittal.
VI. Proposed Action
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For the reasons discussed in this
notice, under CAA section 110(k)(3), the
EPA is proposing to partially approve
and partially disapprove the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan. We
propose to approve the following
portions of the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan:
• Chapter 5 and Appendix A of the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan as
meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)
requirements related to calculations of
baseline, current, and natural visibility
conditions, progress to date, and the
uniform rate of progress;
to partially disapprove the 2018 Ozone I–SIP
submittal with respect to Prong 2.
242 Arizona Infrastructure SIP for the 2012 PM
2.5
NAAQS, p. 11; Arizona Infrastructure SIP for the
2015 Ozone NAAQS, pp. 15–16.
243 79 FR 52420 (September 3, 2014).
244 Id.
245 Id. Sundt Generating Station is also known as
Irvington Generating Station.
246 Id.
247 81 FR 83144 (November 21, 2016).
248 Id.
249 80 FR 19220 (April 10, 2015).
250 82 FR 15139 (March 27, 2017).
251 82 FR 46903 (October 10, 2017).
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• Chapters 4 and 6.4 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan as meeting
the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4) requirements for
additional monitoring to assess
reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, which is not applicable to
Arizona;
• Chapter 11 of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan and the 2023
Arizona Regional Haze Technical
Supplement as meeting the 40 CFR
51.308(f)(5) requirements for the plan to
serve as a progress report;
• Chapters 4 and 6.4 of the Arizona
Regional Haze Plan as meeting the 40
CFR 51.308(f)(6) monitoring strategy
requirements; and
• Chapter 11 of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan and the 2023
Arizona Regional Haze Technical
Supplement as meeting the 40 CFR
51.308 (g)(1)–(5) progress report
requirements.
Additionally, the EPA is proposing to
approve Chapters 1 (‘‘Regional Haze
Program Overview’’) and 3
(‘‘Description of Arizona Class I Federal
Areas’’) as supporting information. The
EPA is excluding Appendix I
(‘‘Authorizing Statutes’’) of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan, which
provides information on the authorizing
statutes in Arizona, from our action.
The EPA is proposing to disapprove
the following portions of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan:
• Chapters 2, 6.1–6.3, 8, and 9 and
Appendices B, C, E, F, G, H, and J of the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not
meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) longterm strategy requirement;
• Chapters 7 and 10, and Appendix D
of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
for not meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)
reasonable progress goals requirement;
• Chapter 2.4 (‘‘Consultation with
Federal Land Managers’’) and Appendix
L of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan for not meeting the 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2)–(4) FLM consultation
requirements.
Further, the EPA is proposing to
disapprove the interstate transport
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) prong 4 (visibility) for
the 2018 Ozone I–SIP submittal and
2015 PM2.5 I–SIP submittal.
Under section 179(a) of the CAA, final
disapproval of a submittal that
addresses a requirement of part D, title
I of the CAA or is required in response
to a finding of substantial inadequacy as
described in CAA section 110(k)(5) (SIP
Call) starts a sanctions clock. Arizona’s
2022 Regional Haze Plan, 2018 Ozone I–
SIP submittal, and 2015 PM2.5 I–SIP
submittal were not submitted to meet
any of these requirements. Therefore, if
finalized, these disapprovals would not
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47437
trigger any offset or highway sanctions
clocks. Disapproving a SIP submission
also establishes a two-year deadline for
the EPA to promulgate a FIP to address
the relevant requirements under CAA
section 110(c), unless the EPA approves
a subsequent SIP submission that meets
these requirements. We anticipate that,
if these disapprovals are finalized, any
SIP or FIP that remedies the
disapprovals with respect to Regional
Haze requirements, would also, in
conjunction with the existing Arizona
Regional Haze FIP, remedy the
disapproval for the interstate transport
visibility requirement of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) for the 2018 Ozone I–
SIP submittal and 2015 PM2.5 I–SIP
submittal.
VII. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
Act and applicable federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the
EPA’s role is to review state choices,
and approve those choices if they meet
the minimum criteria of the Act.
Accordingly, this proposed rulemaking
proposes to partially approve and
partially disapprove state law as
meeting federal requirements and does
not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by state law.
Additional information about these
statutes and Executive Orders can be
found at https://www.epa.gov/lawsregulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and
Regulatory Review
This action is not a significant
regulatory action and was therefore not
submitted to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) for review.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
This action does not impose an
information collection burden under the
PRA because this action does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the RFA. This action will not
impose any requirements on small
entities beyond those imposed by state
law.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 / Proposed Rules
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
This action does not contain any
unfunded mandate as described in
UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531–1538, and does
not significantly or uniquely affect small
governments. This action does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law.
Accordingly, no additional costs to
state, local, or Tribal governments, or to
the private sector, will result from this
action.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism
implications. It will not have substantial
direct effects on the states, on the
relationship between the national
government and the states, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government.
F. Executive Order 13175: Coordination
With Indian Tribal Governments
This action does not have Tribal
implications, as specified in Executive
Order 13175, because the SIP is not
approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area
where the EPA or an Indian Tribe has
demonstrated that a Tribe has
jurisdiction, and will not impose
substantial direct costs on Tribal
governments or preempt Tribal law.
Thus, Executive Order 13175 does not
apply to this action.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with PROPOSALS2
The EPA interprets Executive Order
13045 as applying only to those
regulatory actions that concern
environmental health or safety risks that
the EPA has reason to believe may
VerDate Sep<11>2014
19:11 May 30, 2024
Jkt 262001
disproportionately affect children, per
the definition of ‘‘covered regulatory
action’’ in section 2–202 of the
Executive Order. Therefore, this action
is not subject to Executive Order 13045
because it merely proposes to partially
approve and partially disapprove state
law as meeting federal requirements.
Furthermore, the EPA’s Policy on
Children’s Health does not apply to this
action.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
This action is not subject to Executive
Order 13211, because it is not a
significant regulatory action under
Executive Order 12866.
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA)
Section 12(d) of the NTTAA directs
the EPA to use voluntary consensus
standards in its regulatory activities
unless to do so would be inconsistent
with applicable law or otherwise
impractical. The EPA believes that this
action is not subject to the requirements
of section 12(d) of the NTTAA because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA.
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Population
Executive Order 12898 (Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
Feb. 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies
to identify and address
‘‘disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects’’
of their actions on minority populations
and low-income populations to the
greatest extent practicable and
PO 00000
Frm 00042
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
permitted by law. The EPA defines
environmental justice (EJ) as ‘‘the fair
treatment and meaningful involvement
of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect
to the development, implementation,
and enforcement of environmental laws,
regulations, and policies.’’ The EPA
further defines the term fair treatment to
mean that ‘‘no group of people should
bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’
The State did not evaluate
environmental justice considerations as
part of its SIP submittals; the CAA and
applicable implementing regulations
neither prohibit nor require such an
evaluation. The EPA did not perform an
EJ analysis and did not consider EJ in
this action. Due to the nature of the
action being taken here, if finalized, this
action is expected to have a neutral to
positive impact on the air quality of the
affected area. Consideration of EJ is not
required as part of this action, and there
is no information in the record
inconsistent with the stated goal of E.O.
12898 of achieving environmental
justice for people of color, low-income
populations, and Indigenous peoples.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: May 23, 2024.
Martha Guzman Aceves,
Regional Administrator, Region IX.
[FR Doc. 2024–11807 Filed 5–30–24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
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[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 106 (Friday, May 31, 2024)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 47398-47438]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-11807]
[[Page 47397]]
Vol. 89
Friday,
No. 106
May 31, 2024
Part III
Environmental Protection Agency
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40 CFR Part 52
Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation Plans;
Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second
Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and
2012 Particulate Matter Standards; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 106 / Friday, May 31, 2024 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 47398]]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R09-OAR-2024-0005; FRL-11919-01-R9]
Partial Approval and Disapproval of Air Quality Implementation
Plans; Arizona; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan for the Second
Implementation Period and Prong 4 (Visibility) for the 2015 Ozone and
2012 Particulate Matter Standards
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
partially approve and partially disapprove the regional haze state
implementation plan (SIP) revision submitted by Arizona on August 15,
2022 (``2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan''), under the Clean Air Act
(CAA) and the EPA's Regional Haze Rule for the program's second
implementation period. Arizona's SIP submission addresses the
requirement that states must periodically revise their long-term
strategies for making reasonable progress towards the national goal of
preventing any future, and remedying any existing, anthropogenic
impairment of visibility, including regional haze, in mandatory Class I
Federal areas. The SIP submission also addresses other applicable
requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze
program. Within this action, the EPA is also proposing to disapprove
the visibility transport prong of Arizona's infrastructure SIP
submittals for the 2012 annual fine particulate matter
(PM2.5) and 2015 ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS). The EPA is taking this action pursuant to CAA
sections 110 and 169A.
DATES: Written comments must be received on or before July 1, 2024.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R09-
OAR-2024-0005 at https://www.regulations.gov. For comments submitted at
Regulations.gov, follow the online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any comment received to its public
docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be
confidential business information (CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio,
video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written
comment is considered the official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, please contact the person identified in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full EPA public
comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and
general guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets. If you need assistance in a
language other than English or if you are a person with a disability
who needs a reasonable accommodation at no cost to you, please contact
the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Khoi Nguyen, Geographic Strategies &
Modeling Section (AIR-2-2), Planning & Analysis Branch, EPA Region IX,
75 Hawthorne Street, San Francisco, CA 94105, (415) 947-4120, or by
email at [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document, ``we,'' ``us,''
and ``our'' refer to the EPA.
Table of Contents
I. What action is the EPA proposing for regional haze?
II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second
Implementation Period
A. Identification of Class I Areas
B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
D. Reasonable Progress Goals
E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan
Requirements
F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Regional Haze Submission for
the Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Arizona's First Implementation Period SIP
Submission
B. Overview of Arizona's Second Implementation Period SIP
Submission
C. Identification of Class I Areas
D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
1. Arizona's Long-Term Strategy in the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan
2. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Long-Term Strategy
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
G. Additional Monitoring To Assess Reasonably Attributable
Visibility Impairment
H. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan
Requirements
I. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards
the Reasonable Progress Goals
J. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
V. Prong 4 (Visibility) of the 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS and 2015
Ozone NAAQS Infrastructure SIPs
A. Infrastructure SIPs
B. Prong 4 Requirements
1. 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS
2. 2015 Ozone NAAQS
C. Arizona's Prong 4 Elements
D. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Submittal
VI. Proposed Action
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. What action is the EPA proposing for regional haze?
On August 15, 2022,\1\ the Arizona Department of Environmental
Quality (ADEQ) submitted the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. ADEQ
supplemented its SIP revision on August 25, 2023, with nonpoint source
rules (``2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement'').\2\ ADEQ made
these SIP submissions to satisfy requirements of the CAA's regional
haze program pursuant to CAA sections 169A and 169B and 40 CFR 51.308.
The EPA is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. For the reasons described in this
document, the EPA is proposing to approve the elements of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan related to requirements contained in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(1), (f)(4)-(6), and (g)(1)-(5). The EPA is proposing to
disapprove the elements of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan related
to requirements contained in 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2), (f)(3), and (i)(2)-
(4). We are
[[Page 47399]]
not proposing to act on the 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement
at this time.
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\1\ Letter dated August 15, 2022, from Daniel Czecholinski,
Director, Arizona Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality
Division, to Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX
(submitted electronically August 15, 2022). On August 16, 2022, the
EPA determined that the SIP submittal met the completeness criteria
outlined in 40 CFR part 51, Appendix V. Letter dated August 16,
2022, from Elizabeth Adams, Director, Air and Radiation Division,
EPA Region IX, to Daniel Czecholinski, Director, Arizona Department
of Environmental Quality Air Quality Division.
\2\ Letter dated August 21, 2023, from Daniel Czecholinski,
Director, Arizona Department of Environmental Quality Air Quality
Division, to Martha Guzman, Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX
(submitted electronically August 25, 2023).
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II. Background and Requirements for Regional Haze Plans
A. Regional Haze Background
In the 1977 CAA Amendments, Congress created a program for
protecting visibility in the nation's mandatory Class I Federal areas,
which include certain national parks and wilderness areas.\3\ The CAA
establishes as a national goal the ``prevention of any future, and the
remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in mandatory class
I Federal areas which impairment results from manmade air pollution.''
\4\ The CAA further directs the EPA to promulgate regulations to assure
reasonable progress toward meeting this national goal.\5\ On December
2, 1980, the EPA promulgated regulations to address visibility
impairment in mandatory Class I Federal areas (hereinafter referred to
as ``Class I areas'') that is ``reasonably attributable'' to a single
source or small group of sources.\6\ These regulations, codified at 40
CFR 51.300 through 51.307, represented the first phase of the EPA's
efforts to address visibility impairment. In 1990, Congress added
section 169B to the CAA to further address visibility impairment,
specifically, impairment from regional haze.\7\ The EPA promulgated the
Regional Haze Rule (RHR), codified at 40 CFR 51.308,\8\ on July 1,
1999.\9\ These regional haze regulations are a central component of the
EPA's comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I areas.
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\3\ CAA 169A. Areas statutorily designated as mandatory Class I
Federal areas consist of national parks exceeding 6,000 acres,
wilderness areas and national memorial parks exceeding 5,000 acres,
and all international parks that were in existence on August 7,
1977. CAA 162(a). There are 156 mandatory Class I areas. The list of
areas to which the requirements of the visibility protection program
apply is in 40 CFR part 81, subpart D.
\4\ CAA 169A(a)(1).
\5\ CAA 169A(a)(4).
\6\ 45 FR 80084 (December 2, 1980).
\7\ CAA 169B.
\8\ In addition to the generally applicable regional haze
provisions at 40 CFR 51.308, the EPA also promulgated regulations
specific to addressing regional haze visibility impairment in Class
I areas on the Colorado Plateau at 40 CFR 51.309. ADEQ submitted SIP
revisions to address the regional haze regulations at 40 CFR 51.309,
on December 23, 2003, December 30, 2004, and December 24, 2008. The
EPA approved certain burning and smoke management rules that were
part of the 2008 SIP submittal, but disapproved the remainder of
those submittals. 78 FR 48326 (August 8, 2013).
\9\ 64 FR 35714.
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Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a
multitude of anthropogenic sources and activities which are located
across a broad geographic area and that emit pollutants that impair
visibility. Visibility impairing pollutants include fine and coarse
particulate matter (PM) (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, and soil dust) and their precursors (e.g., sulfur
dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and, in
some cases, volatile organic compounds (VOC) and ammonia
(NH3)). Fine particle precursors react in the atmosphere to
form PM2.5, which impairs visibility by scattering and
absorbing light. Visibility impairment reduces the perception of
clarity and color, as well as visible distance.\10\
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\10\ There are several ways to measure the amount of visibility
impairment, i.e., haze. One such measurement is the deciview, which
is the principal metric used by the RHR. Under many circumstances, a
change in one deciview will be perceived by the human eye to be the
same on both clear and hazy days. The deciview is unitless. It is
proportional to the logarithm of the atmospheric extinction of
light, which is the perceived dimming of light due to its being
scattered and absorbed as it passes through the atmosphere.
Atmospheric light extinction (b\ext\) is a metric used for
expressing visibility and is measured in inverse megameters
(Mm-\1\). The EPA's Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period (``2019
Guidance'') offers the flexibility for the use of light extinction
in certain cases. Light extinction can be simpler to use in
calculations than deciviews, since it is not a logarithmic function.
See, e.g., 2019 Guidance, pp 16, 19, https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period, The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019). The formula for
the deciview is 10 ln (b\ext\)/10 Mm - 1). 40 CFR 51.301.
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To address regional haze visibility impairment, the 1999 RHR
established an iterative planning process that requires both states in
which Class I areas are located and states ``the emissions from which
may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment
of visibility'' in a Class I area to periodically submit SIP revisions
to address such impairment.\11\ Under the CAA, each SIP submission must
contain ``a long-term (ten to fifteen years) strategy for making
reasonable progress toward meeting the national goal.'' \12\ The
initial round of SIP submissions also had to address the statutory
requirement that certain older, larger sources of visibility impairing
pollutants install and operate the best available retrofit technology
(BART).\13\ States' first regional haze SIPs were due by December 17,
2007,\14\ with subsequent SIP submissions containing updated long-term
strategies originally due July 31, 2018, and every ten years
thereafter.\15\ The EPA established in the 1999 RHR that all states
either have Class I areas within their borders or ``contain sources
whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional
haze in a Class I area;'' therefore, all states must submit regional
haze SIPs.\16\
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\11\ CAA 169A(b)(2). The RHR expresses the statutory requirement
for states to submit plans addressing out-of-state class I areas by
providing that states must address visibility impairment ``in each
mandatory Class I Federal area located outside the State that may be
affected by emissions from within the State.'' 40 CFR 51.308(d),
(f). See also 40 CFR 51.308(b), (f) (establishing submission dates
for iterative regional haze SIP revisions); (64 FR at 35768, July 1,
1999).
\12\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(B).
\13\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(A); 40 CFR 51.308(d), (e).
\14\ 40 CFR 51.308(b).
\15\ 64 FR at 35768 (July 1, 1999).
\16\ Id. at 35721. In addition to each of the fifty states, the
EPA also concluded that the Virgin Islands and District of Columbia
must also submit regional haze SIPs because they either contain a
Class I area or contain sources whose emissions are reasonably
anticipated to contribute regional haze in a Class I area. See 40
CFR 51.300(b), (d)(3).
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Much of the focus in the first implementation period of the
regional haze program, which ran from 2007 through 2018, was on
satisfying states' BART obligations. First implementation period SIPs
were additionally required to contain long-term strategies for making
reasonable progress toward the national visibility goal, of which BART
is one component. The core required elements for the first
implementation period SIPs (other than BART) are laid out in 40 CFR
51.308(d). Those provisions required that states containing Class I
areas establish reasonable progress goals (RPGs) that are measured in
deciviews and reflect the anticipated visibility conditions at the end
of the implementation period including from implementation of states'
long-term strategies. The first planning period RPGs were required to
provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired days
over the period of the implementation plan and ensure no degradation in
visibility for the least impaired days over the same period. In
establishing the RPGs for any Class I area in a state, the state was
required to consider four statutory factors: the costs of compliance,
the time necessary for compliance, the energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts of compliance, and the remaining useful life of
any potentially affected sources.\17\
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\17\ CAA 169A(g)(1); 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1).
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States were also required to calculate baseline (using the five
year period of 2000-2004) and natural visibility conditions (i.e.,
visibility conditions without anthropogenic visibility impairment) for
each Class I area, and to calculate the linear rate of progress needed
to attain natural visibility conditions, assuming a starting point of
baseline visibility conditions in 2004
[[Page 47400]]
and ending with natural conditions in 2064. This linear interpolation
is known as the uniform rate of progress (URP) and is used as a
tracking metric to help states assess the amount of progress they are
making towards the national visibility goal over time in each Class I
area.\18\ The 1999 RHR also provided that States' long-term strategies
must include the ``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance,
schedules, and other measures as necessary to achieve the reasonable
progress goals.'' \19\ In establishing their long-term strategies,
states are required to consult with other states that also contribute
to visibility impairment in a given Class I area and include all
measures necessary to obtain their shares of the emission reductions
needed to meet the RPGs.\20\ Section 51.308(d) also contains seven
additional factors states must consider in formulating their long-term
strategies,\21\ as well as provisions governing monitoring and other
implementation plan requirements.\22\ Finally, the 1999 RHR required
states to submit periodic progress reports, which are SIP revisions due
every five years that contain information on states' implementation of
their regional haze plans and an assessment of whether anything
additional is needed to make reasonable progress,\23\ and to consult
with the Federal Land Manager(s) \24\ (FLMs) responsible for each Class
I area according to the requirements in CAA section 169A(d) and 40 CFR
51.308(i).
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\18\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(B), (d)(2). The EPA established the
URP framework in the 1999 RHR to provide ``an equitable analytical
approach'' to assessing the rate of visibility improvement at Class
I areas across the country. The starting point for the URP analysis
is 2004 and the endpoint was calculated based on the amount of
visibility improvement that was anticipated to result from
implementation of existing CAA programs over the period from the
mid-1990s to approximately 2005. Assuming this rate of progress
would continue into the future, the EPA determined that natural
visibility conditions would be reached in 60 years, or 2064 (60
years from the baseline starting point of 2004). However, the EPA
did not establish 2064 as the year by which the national goal must
be reached. 64 FR at 35731-32. That is, the URP and the 2064 date
are not enforceable targets but are rather tools that ``allow for
analytical comparisons between the rate of progress that would be
achieved by the state's chosen set of control measures and the
URP.'' 82 FR 3078, 3084 (January 10, 2017).
\19\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3).
\20\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i), (ii).
\21\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v).
\22\ 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4).
\23\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g), (h).
\24\ The EPA's regulations define ``Federal Land Manager'' as
``the Secretary of the department with authority over the Federal
Class I area (or the Secretary's designee) or, with respect to
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park, the Chairman of the
Roosevelt-Campobello International Park Commission.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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On January 10, 2017, the EPA promulgated revisions to the RHR,
which apply for the second and subsequent implementation periods.\25\
The 2017 rulemaking made several changes to the requirements for
regional haze SIPs to clarify States' obligations and streamline
certain regional haze requirements. The revisions to the regional haze
program for the second and subsequent implementation periods focused on
the requirement that States' SIPs contain long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal. The
reasonable progress requirements as revised in the 2017 rulemaking
(referred to here as the 2017 RHR Revisions) are codified at 40 CFR
51.308(f). Among other changes, the 2017 RHR Revisions adjusted the
deadline for States to submit their second implementation period SIPs
from July 31, 2018, to July 31, 2021, clarified the order of analysis
and the relationship between RPGs and the long-term strategy, and
focused on making visibility improvements on the days with the most
anthropogenic visibility impairment, as opposed to the days with the
most visibility impairment overall. The EPA also revised requirements
of the visibility protection program related to periodic progress
reports and FLM consultation. The specific requirements applicable to
second implementation period regional haze SIP submissions are
addressed in detail in Section III of this document.
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\25\ 82 FR 3078.
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The EPA provided guidance to the states for their second
implementation period SIP submissions in the preamble to the 2017 RHR
Revisions as well as in subsequent, stand-alone guidance documents. In
August 2019, the EPA issued ``Guidance on Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period'' (``2019
Guidance'').\26\ On July 8, 2021, the EPA issued a memorandum
containing ``Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period'' (``2021
Clarifications Memo'').\27\ Additionally, the EPA further clarified the
recommended procedures for processing ambient visibility data and
optionally adjusting the URP to account for international anthropogenic
and prescribed fire impacts in two technical guidance documents: the
December 2018 ``Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program'' (``2018
Visibility Tracking Guidance''),\28\ and the June 2020 ``Recommendation
for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data and Clarification of Data
Completeness for Tracking Visibility Progress for the Second
Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program'' and associated
Technical Addendum (``2020 Data Completeness Memo'').\29\
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\26\ Guidance on Regional Haze State Implementation Plans for
the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/guidance-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-second-implementation-period. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Research Triangle Park (August 20, 2019).
\27\ Clarifications Regarding Regional Haze State Implementation
Plans for the Second Implementation Period. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-07/clarifications-regarding-regional-haze-state-implementation-plans-for-the-second-implementation-period.pdf. The EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park (July 8, 2021).
\28\ Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for the
Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-guidance-tracking-visibility-progress-second-implementation-period-regional The EPA Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park. (December
20, 2018).
\29\ Recommendation for the Use of Patched and Substituted Data
and Clarification of Data Completeness for Tracking Visibility
Progress for the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze
Program. https://www.epa.gov/visibility/memo-and-technical-addendum-ambient-data-usage-and-completeness-regional-haze-program The EPA
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle Park
(June 3, 2020).
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As explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo, the EPA intends the
second implementation period of the regional haze program to secure
meaningful reductions in visibility impairing pollutants that build on
the significant progress states have achieved to date. The Agency also
recognizes that analyses regarding reasonable progress are state-
specific and that, based on states' and sources' individual
circumstances, what constitutes reasonable reductions in visibility
impairing pollutants will vary from state-to-state. While there exist
many opportunities for states to leverage both ongoing and upcoming
emissions reductions under other CAA programs, the Agency expects
states to undertake rigorous reasonable progress analyses that identify
further opportunities to advance the national visibility goal
consistent with the statutory and regulatory requirements.\30\ This is
consistent with Congress's determination that a visibility protection
program is needed in addition to the CAA's NAAQS and Prevention of
Significant Deterioration (PSD) programs, as further emissions
reductions may be necessary to adequately protect visibility in Class I
areas throughout the country.\31\
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\30\ See generally 2021 Clarifications Memo.
\31\ See, e.g., H.R. Rep No. 95-294 p. 205 (``In determining how
to best remedy the growing visibility problem in these areas of
great scenic importance, the committee realizes that as a matter of
equity, the national ambient air quality standards cannot be revised
to adequately protect visibility in all areas of the country.''),
(``the mandatory class I increments of [the PSD program] do not
adequately protect visibility in class I areas'').
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[[Page 47401]]
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
Because the air pollutants and pollution affecting visibility in
Class I areas can be transported over long distances, successful
implementation of the regional haze program requires long-term,
regional coordination among multiple jurisdictions and agencies that
have responsibility for Class I areas and the emissions that impact
visibility in those areas. To address regional haze, states need to
develop strategies in coordination with one another, considering the
effect of emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another. Five regional planning organizations (RPOs),\32\ which include
representation from state and Tribal governments, the EPA, and FLMs,
were developed in the lead-up to the first implementation period to
address regional haze. RPOs evaluate technical information to better
understand how emissions from State and Tribal land impact Class I
areas across the country, pursue the development of regional strategies
to reduce emissions of particulate matter and other pollutants leading
to regional haze, and help states meet the consultation requirements of
the RHR.
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\32\ RPOs are sometimes also referred to as ``multi-
jurisdictional organizations,'' or MJOs. For the purposes of this
notice, the terms RPO and MJO are synonymous.
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The Western Regional Air Partnership (WRAP), one of the five RPOs,
is a collaborative effort of state governments, Tribal governments, and
various Federal agencies established to initiate and coordinate
activities associated with the management of regional haze, visibility,
and other air quality issues in the western corridor of the United
States. Member states (listed alphabetically) include: Alaska, Arizona,
California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota,
Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The Federal
partner members of WRAP are the EPA, U.S. National Parks Service (NPS),
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS), and U.S. Forest Service (USFS).
There are also 468 federally recognized Tribes within the WRAP region.
III. Requirements for Regional Haze Plans for the Second Implementation
Period
Under the CAA and the EPA's regulations, all 50 states, the
District of Columbia, and the U.S. Virgin Islands were required to
submit regional haze SIP revisions satisfying the applicable
requirements for the second implementation period of the regional haze
program by July 31, 2021. Each state's SIP must contain a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress toward meeting the national
goal of remedying any existing and preventing any future anthropogenic
visibility impairment in Class I areas.\33\ To this end, section
51.308(f) lays out the process by which states determine what
constitutes their long-term strategies, with the order of the
requirements in section 51.308(f)(1) through (3) generally mirroring
the order of the steps in the reasonable progress analysis \34\ and
(f)(4) through (6) containing additional, related requirements. Broadly
speaking, a state first must identify the Class I areas within the
state and determine the Class I areas outside the state in which
visibility may be affected by emissions from the state. These are the
Class I areas that must be addressed in the state's long-term
strategy.\35\ For each Class I area within its borders, a state must
then calculate the baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions
for that area, as well as the visibility improvement made to date and
the URP.\36\ Each state having a Class I area and/or emissions that may
affect visibility in a Class I area must then develop a long-term
strategy that includes the enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress in such areas. A reasonable progress determination
is based on applying the four factors in CAA section 169A(g)(1) to
sources of visibility-impairing pollutants that the state has selected
to assess for controls for the second implementation period.
Additionally, as further explained below, the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) separately provides five ``additional factors'' \37\
that states must consider in developing their long-term strategies.\38\
A state evaluates potential emissions reduction measures for those
selected sources and determines which are necessary to make reasonable
progress. Those measures are then incorporated into the state's long-
term strategy. After a state has developed its long-term strategy, it
then establishes RPGs for each Class I area within its borders by
modeling the visibility impacts of all reasonable progress controls at
the end of the second implementation period, i.e., in 2028, as well as
the impacts of other requirements of the CAA. The RPGs include
reasonable progress controls not only for sources in the state in which
the Class I area is located, but also for sources in other states that
contribute to visibility impairment in that area. The RPGs are then
compared to the baseline visibility conditions and the URP to ensure
that progress is being made towards the statutory goal of preventing
any future and remedying any existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment in Class I areas.\39\
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\33\ CAA 169A(b)(2)(B).
\34\ The EPA explained in the 2017 RHR Revisions that we were
adopting new regulatory language in 40 CFR 51.308(f) that, unlike
the structure in 51.308(d), ``tracked the actual planning
sequence.'' 82 FR 3091 (January 10, 2017).
\35\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f), (f)(2).
\36\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1).
\37\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable
progress.
\38\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
\39\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)-(3).
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In addition to satisfying the requirements at 40 CFR 51.308(f)
related to reasonable progress, the regional haze SIP revisions for the
second implementation period must address the requirements in section
51.308(g)(1) through (5) pertaining to periodic reports describing
progress towards the RPGs,\40\ as well as requirements for FLM
consultation that apply to all visibility protection SIPs and SIP
revisions.\41\
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\40\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(5).
\41\ 40 CFR 51.308(i).
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A state must submit its regional haze SIP and subsequent SIP
revisions to the EPA according to the requirements applicable to all
SIP revisions under the CAA and the EPA's regulations.\42\ Upon EPA
approval, a SIP is enforceable by the Agency and the public under the
CAA. If the EPA finds that a state failed to make a required SIP
revision, or if the EPA finds that a state's SIP is incomplete or
disapproves the SIP, the Agency must promulgate a federal
implementation plan (FIP) that satisfies the applicable
requirements.\43\
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\42\ See CAA 169A(b)(2); CAA 110(a).
\43\ CAA 110(c)(1).
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A. Identification of Class I Areas
The first step in developing a regional haze SIP is for a state to
determine which Class I areas, in addition to those within its borders,
``may be affected'' by emissions from within the state. In the 1999
RHR, the EPA determined that all states contribute to visibility
impairment in at least one Class I area,\44\ and explained that the
statute and regulations lay out an ``extremely low triggering
threshold'' for determining
[[Page 47402]]
``whether States should be required to engage in air quality planning
and analysis as a prerequisite to determining the need for control of
emissions from sources within their State.'' \45\
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\44\ 64 FR 35720-22.
\45\ Id. at 35721.
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A state must determine which Class I areas must be addressed by its
SIP by evaluating the total emissions of visibility impairing
pollutants from all sources within the state. While the RHR does not
require this evaluation to be conducted in any particular manner, the
EPA's 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for how such an assessment
might be accomplished, including by, where appropriate, using the
determinations previously made for the first implementation period.\46\
In addition, the determination of which Class I areas may be affected
by a state's emissions is subject to the requirement in 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) to ``document the technical basis, including
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information, on
which the State is relying to determine the emission reduction measures
that are necessary to make reasonable progress in each mandatory Class
I Federal area it affects.''
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\46\ 2019 Guidance, pp. 8-9.
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B. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
As part of assessing whether a SIP submission for the second
implementation period is providing for reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal, the RHR contains requirements in section
51.308(f)(1) related to tracking visibility improvement over time. The
requirements of this section apply only to states that have Class I
areas within their borders; the required calculations must be made for
each such Class I area. The EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance
\47\ provides recommendations to assist states in satisfying their
obligations under section 51.308(f)(1); specifically, in developing
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
and in making optional adjustments to the URP to account for the
impacts of international anthropogenic emissions and prescribed fires.
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\47\ The 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance references and relies
on parts of the 2003 Tracking Guidance: ``Guidance for Tracking
Progress Under the Regional Haze Rule,'' which can be found at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2021-03/documents/tracking.pdf.
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The RHR requires tracking of visibility conditions on two sets of
days: the clearest and the most impaired days. Visibility conditions
for both sets of days are expressed as the average deciview index for
the relevant five-year period (the period representing baseline or
current visibility conditions). The RHR provides that the relevant sets
of days for visibility tracking purposes are the 20 percent clearest
(the 20 percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the lowest
values of the deciview index) and 20 percent most impaired days (the 20
percent of monitored days in a calendar year with the highest amounts
of anthropogenic visibility impairment).\48\ A state must calculate
visibility conditions for both the 20 percent clearest and 20 percent
most impaired days for the baseline period of 2000-2004 and the most
recent five-year period for which visibility monitoring data are
available (representing current visibility conditions).\49\ States must
also calculate natural visibility conditions for the clearest and most
impaired days,\50\ by estimating the conditions that would exist on
those two sets of days absent anthropogenic visibility impairment.\51\
Using all these data, states must then calculate, for each Class I
area, the amount of progress made since the baseline period (2000-2004)
and how much improvement is left to achieve to reach natural visibility
conditions.
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\48\ 40 CFR 51.301. This notice also refers to the 20 percent
clearest and 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired days as the
``clearest'' and ``most impaired'' or ``most anthropogenically
impaired'' days, respectively.
\49\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), (iii).
\50\ The RHR at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii) contains an error
related to the requirement for calculating two sets of natural
conditions values. The rule says ``most impaired days or the
clearest days'' where it should say ``most impaired days and
clearest days.'' This is an error that was intended to be corrected
in the 2017 RHR Revisions but did not get corrected in the final
rule language. This is supported by the preamble text at 82 FR 3098:
``In the final version of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii), an occurrence of
``or'' has been corrected to ``and'' to indicate that natural
visibility conditions for both the most impaired days and the
clearest days must be based on available monitoring information.''
\51\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(ii).
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Using the data for the set of most impaired days only, states must
plot a line between visibility conditions in the baseline period and
natural visibility conditions for each Class I area to determine the
URP--the amount of visibility improvement, measured in deciviews, that
would need to be achieved during each implementation period to achieve
natural visibility conditions by the end of 2064. The URP is used in
later steps of the reasonable progress analysis for informational
purposes and to provide a non-enforceable benchmark against which to
assess a Class I area's rate of visibility improvement.\52\
Additionally, in the 2017 RHR Revisions, the EPA provided states the
option of proposing to adjust the endpoint of the URP to account for
impacts of anthropogenic sources outside the United States and/or
impacts of certain types of wildland prescribed fires. These
adjustments, which must be approved by the EPA, are intended to avoid
any perception that states should compensate for impacts from
international anthropogenic sources and to give states the flexibility
to determine that limiting the use of wildland-prescribed fire is not
necessary for reasonable progress.\53\
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\52\ Being on or below the URP is not a ``safe harbor''; i.e.,
achieving the URP does not mean that a Class I area is making
``reasonable progress'' and does not relieve a state from using the
four statutory factors to determine what level of control is needed
to achieve such progress. See, e.g., 82 FR 3093.
\53\ 82 FR 3107 footnote 116.
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The EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking Guidance can be used to help
satisfy the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements, including in developing
information on baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
and in making optional adjustments to the URP. In addition, the 2020
Data Completeness Memo provides recommendations on the data
completeness language referenced in section 51.308(f)(1)(i) and
provides updated natural conditions estimates for each Class I area.
C. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
The core component of a regional haze SIP submission is a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze in each Class I area within a
state's borders and each Class I area that may be affected by emissions
from the state. The long-term strategy ``must include the enforceable
emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that
are necessary to make reasonable progress, as determined pursuant to
(f)(2)(i) through (iv).'' \54\ The amount of progress that is
``reasonable progress'' is based on applying the four statutory factors
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) in an evaluation of potential control options
for sources of visibility impairing pollutants, which is referred to as
a ``four-factor'' analysis. The outcome of that analysis is the
emissions reduction measures that a particular source or group of
sources needs to implement to make reasonable progress towards the
national visibility goal.\55\ Emissions reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress may be either new, additional
control measures for a source, or they
[[Page 47403]]
may be the existing emissions reduction measures that a source is
already implementing.\56\ Such measures must be represented by
``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other
measures'' (i.e., any additional compliance tools) in a state's long-
term strategy in its SIP.\57\
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\54\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
\55\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
\56\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 43; 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8-
10.
\57\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
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Section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides the requirements for the four-
factor analysis. The first step of this analysis entails selecting the
sources to be evaluated for emissions reduction measures; to this end,
states should consider ``major and minor stationary sources or groups
of sources, mobile sources, and area sources'' of visibility impairing
pollutants for potential four-factor control analysis.\58\ A threshold
question at this step is which visibility impairing pollutants will be
analyzed. As the EPA previously explained, consistent with the first
implementation period, the EPA generally expects that each state will
analyze at least SO2 and NOX in selecting sources
and determining control measures.\59\ A state that chooses not to
consider at least these two pollutants should demonstrate why such
consideration would be unreasonable.\60\
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\58\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
\59\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 12; 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 4.
\60\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 4.
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While states have the option to analyze all sources, the 2019
Guidance explains that ``an analysis of control measures is not
required for every source in each implementation period,'' and that
``[s]electing a set of sources for analysis of control measures in each
implementation period is . . . consistent with the Regional Haze Rule,
which sets up an iterative planning process and anticipates that a
state may not need to analyze control measures for all its sources in a
given SIP revision.'' \61\ However, given that source selection is the
basis of all subsequent control determinations, a reasonable source
selection process ``should be designed and conducted to ensure that
source selection results in a set of pollutants and sources the
evaluation of which has the potential to meaningfully reduce their
contributions to visibility impairment.'' \62\
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\61\ 2019 Guidance, p. 9.
\62\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 3.
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The EPA explained in the 2021 Clarifications Memo that each state
has an obligation to submit a long-term strategy that addresses the
regional haze visibility impairment that results from emissions from
within that state. Thus, source selection should focus on the in-state
contribution to visibility impairment and be designed to capture a
meaningful portion of the state's total contribution to visibility
impairment in Class I areas. A state should not decline to select its
largest in-state sources on the basis that there are even larger out-
of-state contributors.\63\
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\63\ Id. at 4. Similarly, in responding to comments on the 2017
RHR Revisions, the EPA explained that ``[a] state should not fail to
address its many relatively low-impact sources merely because it
only has such sources and another state has even more low-impact
sources and/or some high impact sources.'' Responses to Comments on
Protection of Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State
Plans; Proposed Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016), pp. 87-88.
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Thus, while states have discretion to choose any source selection
methodology that is reasonable, whatever choices they make should be
reasonably explained. To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires that
a state's SIP submission include ``a description of the criteria it
used to determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated.''
The technical basis for source selection, which may include methods for
quantifying potential visibility impacts such as emissions divided by
distance metrics, trajectory analyses, residence time analyses, and/or
photochemical modeling, must also be appropriately documented, as
required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
Once a state has selected the set of sources, the next step is to
determine the emissions reduction measures for those sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress for the second implementation
period.\64\ This is accomplished by considering the four factors--``the
costs of compliance, the time necessary for compliance, and the energy
and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance, and the
remaining useful life of any existing source subject to such
requirements.'' \65\ The EPA has explained that the four-factor
analysis is an assessment of potential emissions reduction measures
(i.e., control options) for sources; ``use of the terms `compliance'
and `subject to such requirements' in section 169A(g)(1) strongly
indicates that Congress intended the relevant determination to be the
requirements with which sources would have to comply to satisfy the
CAA's reasonable progress mandate.'' \66\ Thus, for each source it has
selected for four-factor analysis,\67\ a state must consider a
``meaningful set'' of technically feasible control options for reducing
emissions of visibility impairing pollutants.\68\ The 2019 Guidance
provides that ``[a] state must reasonably pick and justify the measures
that it will consider, recognizing that there is no statutory or
regulatory requirement to consider all technically feasible measures or
any particular measures. A range of technically feasible measures
available to reduce emissions would be one way to justify a reasonable
set.'' \69\
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\64\ The CAA provides that, ``[i]n determining reasonable
progress there shall be taken into consideration'' the four
statutory factors. CAA 169A(g)(1). However, in addition to four-
factor analyses for selected sources, groups of sources, or source
categories, a state may also consider additional emissions reduction
measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy, e.g., from other
newly adopted, on-the-books, or on-the-way rules and measures for
sources not selected for four-factor analysis for the second
planning period.
\65\ CAA 169A(g)(1).
\66\ 82 FR 3091.
\67\ ``Each source'' or ``particular source'' is used here as
shorthand. While a source-specific analysis is one way of applying
the four factors, neither the statute nor the RHR requires states to
evaluate individual sources. Rather, states have ``the flexibility
to conduct four-factor analyses for specific sources, groups of
sources or even entire source categories, depending on state policy
preferences and the specific circumstances of each state.'' 82 FR at
3088. However, not all approaches to grouping sources for four-
factor analysis are necessarily reasonable; the reasonableness of
grouping sources in any particular instance will depend on the
circumstances and the manner in which grouping is conducted. If it
is feasible to establish and enforce different requirements for
sources or subgroups of sources, and if relevant factors can be
quantified for those sources or subgroups, then states should make a
separate reasonable progress determination for each source or
subgroup. 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 7-8.
\68\ Id. at 3088.
\69\ 2019 Guidance, p. 29.
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The EPA's 2021 Clarifications Memo provides further guidance on
what constitutes a reasonable set of control options for consideration:
``A reasonable four-factor analysis will consider the full range of
potentially reasonable options for reducing emissions.'' \70\ In
addition to add-on controls and other retrofits (i.e., new emissions
reduction measures for sources), the EPA explained that states should
generally analyze efficiency improvements for sources' existing
measures as control options in their four-factor analyses, as in many
cases such improvements are reasonable given that they typically
involve only additional operation and maintenance costs. Additionally,
the 2021 Clarifications Memo provides that states that have assumed a
higher emissions rate than a source has achieved or could potentially
achieve using its existing measures should also consider lower
emissions rates as potential control options. That is, a state should
consider a source's recent actual and projected emissions rates to
determine if it could reasonably attain lower emissions rates with its
existing
[[Page 47404]]
measures. If so, the state should analyze the lower emissions rate as a
control option for reducing emissions.\71\ The EPA's recommendations to
analyze potential efficiency improvements and achievable lower
emissions rates apply to both sources that have been selected for four-
factor analysis and those that have forgone a four-factor analysis on
the basis of existing ``effective controls.'' \72\
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\70\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 7.
\71\ Id. at 7.
\72\ Id. at 5, 10.
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After identifying a reasonable set of potential control options for
the sources it has selected, a state then collects information on the
four factors with regard to each option identified. The EPA has also
explained that, in addition to the four statutory factors, states have
flexibility under the CAA and RHR to reasonably consider visibility
benefits as an additional factor alongside the four statutory
factors.\73\ The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations for the types
of information that can be used to characterize the four factors (with
or without visibility), as well as ways in which states might
reasonably consider and balance that information to determine which of
the potential control options is necessary to make reasonable
progress.\74\ The 2021 Clarifications Memo contains further guidance on
how states can reasonably consider modeled visibility impacts or
benefits in the context of a four-factor analysis.\75\ Specifically,
the EPA explained that while visibility can reasonably be used when
comparing and choosing between multiple reasonable control options, it
should not be used to summarily reject controls that are reasonable
given the four statutory factors.\76\ Ultimately, while states have
discretion to reasonably weigh the factors and to determine what level
of control is needed, section 51.308(f)(2)(i) provides that a state
``must include in its implementation plan a description of . . . how
the four factors were taken into consideration in selecting the measure
for inclusion in its long-term strategy.''
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\73\ See, e.g., Responses to Comments on Protection of
Visibility: Amendments to Requirements for State Plans; Proposed
Rule (81 FR 26942, May 4, 2016), Docket Number EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0531,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency at 186; 2019 Guidance, pp. 36-
37.
\74\ See 2019 Guidance, pp. 30-36.
\75\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 12-15.
\76\ Id. at 13.
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As explained above, section 51.308(f)(2)(i) requires states to
determine the emissions reduction measures for sources that are
necessary to make reasonable progress by considering the four factors.
Pursuant to section 51.308(f)(2), measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal must be
included in a state's long-term strategy and in its SIP.\77\ If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis is a new, additional emissions
reduction measure for a source, that new measure is necessary to make
reasonable progress towards remedying existing anthropogenic visibility
impairment and must be included in the SIP. If the outcome of a four-
factor analysis is that no new measures are reasonable for a source,
continued implementation of the source's existing measures is generally
necessary to prevent future emissions increases and thus to make
reasonable progress towards the second part of the national visibility
goal: preventing future anthropogenic visibility impairment.\78\ That
is, when the result of a four-factor analysis is that no new measures
are necessary to make reasonable progress, the source's existing
measures are generally necessary to make reasonable progress and must
be included in the SIP. However, there may be circumstances in which a
state can demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress. Specifically, if a state can
demonstrate that a source will continue to implement its existing
measures and will not increase its emissions rate, it may not be
necessary to have those measures in the long-term strategy to prevent
future emissions increases and future visibility impairment. The EPA's
2021 Clarifications Memo provides further explanation and guidance on
how states may demonstrate that a source's existing measures are not
necessary to make reasonable progress.\79\ If the state can make such a
demonstration, it need not include a source's existing measures in the
long-term strategy or its SIP.
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\77\ States may choose to, but are not required to, include
measures in their long-term strategies beyond just the emission
reduction measures that are necessary for reasonable progress. See
2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 16. For example, states with smoke
management programs may choose to submit their smoke management
plans to the EPA for inclusion in their SIPs but are not required to
do so. See, e.g., 82 FR at 3108-09 (requirement to consider smoke
management practices and smoke management programs under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iv) does not require states to adopt such practices or
programs into their SIPs, although they may elect to do so).
\78\ See CAA 169A(a)(1).
\79\ See 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8-10.
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As with source selection, the characterization of information on
each of the factors is also subject to the documentation requirement in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iii). The reasonable progress analysis, including
source selection, information gathering, characterization of the four
statutory factors (and potentially visibility), balancing of the four
factors, and selection of the emissions reduction measures that
represent reasonable progress, is a technically complex exercise, but
also a flexible one that provides states with bounded discretion to
design and implement approaches appropriate to their circumstances.
Given this flexibility, section 51.308(f)(2)(iii) plays an important
function in requiring a state to document the technical basis for its
decision making so that the public and the EPA can comprehend and
evaluate the information and analysis the state relied upon to
determine what emissions reduction measures must be in place to make
reasonable progress. The technical documentation must include the
modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information on
which the state relied to determine the measures necessary to make
reasonable progress. This documentation requirement can be met through
the provision of and reliance on technical analyses developed through a
regional planning process, so long as that process and its output has
been approved by all state participants. In addition to the explicit
regulatory requirement to document the technical basis of their
reasonable progress determinations, states are also subject to the
general principle that those determinations must be reasonably moored
to the statute.\80\ That is, a state's decisions about the emissions
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress must
be consistent with the statutory goal of remedying existing and
preventing future visibility impairment.
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\80\ See Arizona ex rel. Darwin v. U.S. EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 531
(9th Cir. 2016); Nebraska v. U.S. EPA, 812 F.3d 662, 668 (8th Cir.
2016); North Dakota v. EPA, 730 F.3d 750, 761 (8th Cir. 2013);
Oklahoma v. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1206, 1208-10 (10th Cir. 2013); cf.
also Nat'l Parks Conservation Ass'n v. EPA, 803 F.3d 151, 165 (3d
Cir. 2015); Alaska Dep't of Envtl. Conservation v. EPA, 540 U.S.
461, 485, 490 (2004).
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The four statutory factors (and potentially visibility) are used to
determine what emissions reduction measures for selected sources must
be included in a state's long-term strategy for making reasonable
progress. Additionally, the RHR at 40 CFR 51.3108(f)(2)(iv) separately
provides five ``additional factors'' \81\ that states must consider in
developing their long-term strategies: (1) Emissions reductions due
[[Page 47405]]
to ongoing air pollution control programs, including measures to
address reasonably attributable visibility impairment; (2) measures to
reduce the impacts of construction activities; (3) source retirement
and replacement schedules; (4) basic smoke management practices for
prescribed fire used for agricultural and wildland vegetation
management purposes and smoke management programs; and (5) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to projected changes in point,
area, and mobile source emissions over the period addressed by the
long-term strategy. The 2019 Guidance provides that a state may satisfy
this requirement by considering these additional factors in the process
of selecting sources for four-factor analysis, when performing that
analysis, or both, and that not every one of the additional factors
needs to be considered at the same stage of the process.\82\ The EPA
provided further guidance on the five additional factors in the 2021
Clarifications Memo, explaining that a state should generally not
reject cost-effective and otherwise reasonable controls merely because
there have been emissions reductions since the first planning period
owing to other ongoing air pollution control programs or merely because
visibility is otherwise projected to improve at Class I areas.
Additionally, states generally should not rely on these additional
factors to summarily assert that the state has already made sufficient
progress and, therefore, no sources need to be selected or no new
controls are needed regardless of the outcome of four-factor
analyses.\83\
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\81\ The five ``additional factors'' for consideration in
section 51.308(f)(2)(iv) are distinct from the four factors listed
in CAA section 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) that states
must consider and apply to sources in determining reasonable
progress.
\82\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 21.
\83\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 13.
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Because the air pollution that causes regional haze crosses state
boundaries, section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) requires a state to consult with
other states that also have emissions that are reasonably anticipated
to contribute to visibility impairment in a given Class I area.
Consultation allows for each state that impacts visibility in an area
to share whatever technical information, analyses, and control
determinations may be necessary to develop coordinated emissions
management strategies. This coordination may be managed through inter-
and intra-RPO consultation and the development of regional emissions
strategies; additional consultations between states outside of RPO
processes may also occur. If a state, pursuant to consultation, agrees
that certain measures (e.g., a certain emissions limitation) are
necessary to make reasonable progress at a Class I area, it must
include those measures in its SIP.\84\ Additionally, the RHR requires
that states that contribute to visibility impairment at the same Class
I area consider the emissions reduction measures the other contributing
states have identified as being necessary to make reasonable progress
for their own sources.\85\ If a state has been asked to consider or
adopt certain emissions reduction measures, but ultimately determines
those measures are not necessary to make reasonable progress, that
state must document in its SIP the actions taken to resolve the
disagreement.\86\ The EPA will consider the technical information and
explanations presented by the submitting state and the state with which
it disagrees when considering whether to approve the state's SIP.\87\
Under all circumstances, a state must document in its SIP submission
all substantive consultations with other contributing states.\88\
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\84\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A).
\85\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B).
\86\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
\87\ See id.; 2019 Guidance, p. 53.
\88\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C).
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D. Reasonable Progress Goals
Reasonable progress goals ``measure the progress that is projected
to be achieved by the control measures states have determined are
necessary to make reasonable progress based on a four-factor
analysis.'' \89\ Their primary purpose is to assist the public and the
EPA in assessing the reasonableness of states' long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress towards the national visibility goal.\90\
States in which Class I areas are located must establish two RPGs, both
in deciviews--one representing visibility conditions on the clearest
days and one representing visibility on the most anthropogenically
impaired days--for each area within their borders.\91\ The two RPGs are
intended to reflect the projected impacts, on the two sets of days, of
the emissions reduction measures the state with the Class I area, as
well as all other contributing states, have included in their long-term
strategies for the second implementation period.\92\ The RPGs also
account for the projected impacts of implementing other CAA
requirements, including non-SIP based requirements. Because RPGs are
the modeled result of the measures in states' long-term strategies (as
well as other measures required under the CAA), they cannot be
determined before states have conducted their four-factor analyses and
determined the control measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress.\93\
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\89\ 82 FR 3091.
\90\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii)-(iv).
\91\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(i).
\92\ RPGs are intended to reflect the projected impacts of the
measures all contributing states include in their long-term
strategies. However, due to the timing of analyses and of control
determinations by other states, other on-going emissions changes, a
particular state's RPGs may not reflect all control measures and
emissions reductions that are expected to occur by the end of the
implementation period. The 2019 Guidance provides recommendations
for addressing the timing of RPG calculations when states are
developing their long-term strategies on disparate schedules, as
well as for adjusting RPGs using a post-modeling approach. 2019
Guidance, pp. 47-48.
\93\ See 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 6.
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For the second implementation period, the RPGs are set for 2028.
Reasonable progress goals are not enforceable targets; \94\ rather,
they ``provide a way for the states to check the projected outcome of
the [long-term strategy] against the goals for visibility
improvement.'' \95\ While states are not legally obligated to achieve
the visibility conditions described in their RPGs, section
51.308(f)(3)(i) requires that ``[t]he long-term strategy and the
reasonable progress goals must provide for an improvement in visibility
for the most impaired days since the baseline period and ensure no
degradation in visibility for the clearest days since the baseline
period.'' Thus, states are required to have emissions reduction
measures in their long-term strategies that are projected to achieve
visibility conditions on the most impaired days that are better than
the baseline period and shows no degradation on the clearest days
compared to the clearest days from the baseline period. The baseline
period for the purpose of this comparison is the baseline visibility
condition--the annual average visibility condition for the period 2000-
2004.\96\
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\94\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(iii).
\95\ 2019 Guidance, p. 46.
\96\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(i), 82 FR 3097-98.
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So that RPGs may also serve as a metric for assessing the amount of
progress a state is making towards the national visibility goal, the
RHR requires states with Class I areas to compare the 2028 RPG for the
most impaired days to the corresponding point on the URP line
(representing visibility conditions in 2028 if visibility were to
improve at a linear rate from conditions in the baseline period of
2000-2004 to natural visibility conditions in 2064). If the most
impaired days RPG in 2028 is above the URP (i.e., if visibility
conditions are improving more slowly than the rate described by the
URP), each state that contributes to visibility impairment in the Class
I area must demonstrate, based on the four-factor analysis required
[[Page 47406]]
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i), that no additional emissions reduction
measures would be reasonable to include in its long-term strategy.\97\
To this end, 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii) requires that each state
contributing to visibility impairment in a Class I area that is
projected to improve more slowly than the URP provide ``a robust
demonstration, including documenting the criteria used to determine
which sources or groups [of] sources were evaluated and how the four
factors required by paragraph (f)(2)(i) were taken into consideration
in selecting the measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy.''
The 2019 Guidance provides suggestions about how such a ``robust
demonstration'' might be conducted.\98\
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\97\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii).
\98\ See 2019 Guidance, pp. 50-51.
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The 2017 RHR, 2019 Guidance, and 2021 Clarifications Memo also
explain that projecting an RPG that is on or below the URP based on
only on-the-books and/or on-the-way control measures (i.e., control
measures already required or anticipated before the four-factor
analysis is conducted) is not a ``safe harbor'' from the CAA's and
RHR's requirement that all states must conduct a four-factor analysis
to determine what emissions reduction measures constitute reasonable
progress. The URP is a planning metric used to gauge the amount of
progress made thus far and the amount left before reaching natural
visibility conditions. However, the URP is not based on consideration
of the four statutory factors and therefore cannot answer the question
of whether the amount of progress being made in any particular
implementation period is ``reasonable progress.'' \99\
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\99\ See 82 FR 3093, 3099-3100; 2019 Guidance, p. 22; 2021
Clarifications Memo, pp. 15-16.
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E. Monitoring Strategy and Other State Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) requires states to have certain strategies and
elements in place for assessing and reporting on visibility. Individual
requirements under this section apply either to states with Class I
areas within their borders, states with no Class I areas but that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment
in any Class I area, or both. A state with Class I areas within its
borders must submit with its SIP revision a monitoring strategy for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting regional haze visibility
impairment that is representative of all Class I areas within the
state. SIP revisions for such states must also provide for the
establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess visibility conditions in Class I areas, as well as reporting of
all visibility monitoring data to the EPA at least annually. Compliance
with the monitoring strategy requirement may be met through a state's
participation in the Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual
Environments (IMPROVE) monitoring network, which is used to measure
visibility impairment caused by air pollution at the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program.\100\ The IMPROVE monitoring data is
used to determine the 20 percent most anthropogenically impaired and 20
percent clearest sets of days every year at each Class I area and
tracks visibility impairment over time.
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\100\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), (f)(6)(i), (f)(6)(iv).
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All states' SIPs must provide for procedures by which monitoring
data and other information are used to determine the contribution of
emissions from within the state to regional haze visibility impairment
in affected Class I areas.\101\ Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) further
requires that all states' SIPs provide for a statewide inventory of
emissions of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in any Class I area; the inventory
must include emissions for the most recent year for which data are
available and estimates of future projected emissions. States must also
include commitments to update their inventories periodically. The
inventories themselves do not need to be included as elements in the
SIP revision and are not subject to EPA review as part of the Agency's
evaluation of a SIP revision.\102\ All states' SIP revisions must also
provide for any other elements, including reporting, recordkeeping, and
other measures, that are necessary for states to assess and report on
visibility.\103\ Per the 2019 Guidance, a state may note in its
regional haze SIP revision that its compliance with the in 40 CFR part
51 subpart A satisfies the requirement to provide for an emissions
inventory for the most recent year for which data are available. To
satisfy the requirement to provide estimates of future projected
emissions, a state may explain in its SIP revision how projected
emissions were developed for use in establishing RPGs for its own and
nearby Class I areas.\104\
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\101\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), (iii).
\102\ See ``Step 8: Additional requirements for regional haze
SIPs'' in 2019 Guidance, p. 55.
\103\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi).
\104\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Separate from the requirements related to monitoring for regional
haze purposes under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6), the RHR also contains a
requirement at 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4) related to any additional monitoring
that may be needed to address visibility impairment in Class I areas
from a single source or a small group of sources. This is called
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment.'' \105\ Under this
provision, if the EPA or the FLM of an affected Class I area has
advised a state that additional monitoring is needed to assess
reasonably attributable visibility impairment, the state must include
in its SIP revision for the second implementation period an appropriate
strategy for evaluating such impairment.
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\105\ The EPA's visibility protection regulations define
``reasonably attributable visibility impairment'' as ``visibility
impairment that is caused by the emission of air pollutants from
one, or a small number of sources.'' 40 CFR 51.301.
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F. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires a state's regional haze SIP revision
to address the requirements of paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) through
(5) so that the plan revision due in 2021 will serve also as a progress
report addressing the period since submission of the progress report
for the first implementation period. The regional haze progress report
requirement is designed to inform the public and the EPA about a
state's implementation of its existing long-term strategy and whether
such implementation is in fact resulting in the expected visibility
improvement.\106\ To this end, every state's SIP revision for the
second implementation period is required to describe the status of
implementation of all measures included in the state's long-term
strategy, including BART and reasonable progress emissions reduction
measures from the first implementation period, and the resulting
emissions reductions.\107\
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\106\ See 81 FR 26942, 26950 (May 4, 2016); 82 FR 3119 (January
10, 2017).
\107\ 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2).
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A core component of the progress report requirements is an
assessment of changes in visibility conditions on the clearest and most
impaired days. For second implementation period progress reports,
section 51.308(g)(3) requires states with Class I areas within their
borders to first determine current visibility conditions for each area
on the most impaired and clearest days,\108\ and then to calculate the
difference between those current conditions and baseline (2000-2004)
visibility conditions to assess progress made to date.\109\ States
[[Page 47407]]
must also assess the changes in visibility impairment for the most
impaired and clearest days since they submitted their first
implementation period progress reports.\110\ Since different states
submitted their first implementation period progress reports at
different times, the starting point for this assessment will vary state
by state.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\108\ 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(i).
\109\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(ii).
\110\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3)(iii), (f)(5).
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Similarly, states must provide analyses tracking the change in
emissions of pollutants contributing to visibility impairment from all
sources and activities within the state over the period since they
submitted their first implementation period progress reports.\111\
Changes in emissions should be identified by the type of source or
activity. Section 51.308(g)(5) also addresses changes in emissions
since the period addressed by the previous progress report and requires
states' SIP revisions to include an assessment of any significant
changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside the state. This
assessment must explain whether these changes in emissions were
anticipated and whether they have limited or impeded progress in
reducing emissions and improving visibility relative to what the state
projected based on its long-term strategy for the first implementation
period.
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\111\ See 40 CFR 51.308(g)(4), (f)(5).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
G. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires that before a state holds a public
hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP revision, it must consult with
the appropriate FLM or FLMs; pursuant to that consultation, the state
must include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in
the notice to the public. Consistent with this statutory requirement,
the RHR also requires that states ``provide the [FLM] with an
opportunity for consultation, in person and at a point early enough in
the State's policy analyses of its long-term strategy emission
reduction obligation so that information and recommendations provided
by the [FLM] can meaningfully inform the State's decisions on the long-
term strategy.'' \112\ Consultation that occurs 120 days prior to any
public hearing or public comment opportunity will be deemed ``early
enough,'' but the RHR provides that in any event the opportunity for
consultation must be provided at least 60 days before a public hearing
or comment opportunity. This consultation must include the opportunity
for the FLMs to discuss their assessment of visibility impairment in
any Class I area and their recommendations on the development and
implementation of strategies to address such impairment.\113\ For the
EPA to evaluate whether FLM consultation meeting the requirements of
the RHR has occurred, the SIP submission should include documentation
of the timing and content of such consultation. The SIP revision
submitted to the EPA must also describe how the state addressed any
comments provided by the FLMs.\114\ Finally, a SIP revision must
provide procedures for continuing consultation between the state and
FLMs regarding the state's visibility protection program, including
development and review of SIP revisions, five-year progress reports,
and the implementation of other programs having the potential to
contribute to impairment of visibility in Class I areas.\115\
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\112\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
\113\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2).
\114\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(3).
\115\ 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
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IV. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Regional Haze Submission for the
Second Implementation Period
A. Background on Arizona's First Implementation Period SIP Submission
Arizona submitted its initial regional haze SIP under 40 CFR 51.308
to the EPA on February 28, 2011 (hereinafter ``2011 Submittal'').\116\
The EPA actions following the 2011 Submittal are outlined in Table 1.
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\116\ On December 23, 2003, ADEQ submitted a Regional Haze plan
under 40 CFR 51.309 (``309 Plan''). Letter dated December 23, 2003,
from Stephen A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional
Administrator, EPA, Region IX. On December 30, 2004, ADEQ submitted
a revision to its 309 Plan, consisting of rules on emissions trading
and smoke management, and a correction to the State's regional haze
statutes. Letter dated December 30, 2004, from Stephen A. Owens,
Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional Administrator, EPA. On
December 24, 2008, ADEQ sent a letter resubmitting the 309 Plan
revisions to the EPA. Letter dated December 24, 2008, from Stephen
A. Owens, Director, ADEQ, to Wayne Nastri, Regional Administrator,
EPA. On May 16, 2006 (71 FR 28270) and May 8, 2007 (72 FR 25973),
the EPA approved the smoke management rules that were part of these
submittals. On August 8, 2013 (78 FR 48326), the EPA disapproved the
remainder of the State's submittals under 40 CFR 309.
Table 1--Summary of EPA Actions Under CAA Section 308 on Arizona
Regional Haze in the First Implementation Period
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date EPA action
------------------------------------------------------------------------
December 5, 2012............ ``Phase 1'' partial approval and partial
disapproval of certain provisions of the
2011 Submittal and promulgation of
partial federal implementation plan
(FIP).\a\
July 30, 2013............... ``Phase 2'' partial approval and partial
disapproval of remaining portions of
Arizona Regional Haze 2011 Submittal.\b\
September 3, 2014........... ``Phase 3'' promulgation of FIP for
remaining portions of Arizona Regional
Haze program.\c\
April 10, 2015.............. Approval of SIP revision for the Arizona
Electric Power Cooperative (AEPCO) Apache
Generating Station.\d\
April 17, 2015.............. FIP revision replacing the control
technology demonstration requirements for
NOX at Lhoist North America of Arizona,
Inc. Nelson Lime Plant with revised
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements.\e\
April 13, 2016.............. FIP revision revising NOX requirements for
the Salt River Project Agricultural
Improvement and Power District (SRP)
Coronado Generating Station.\f\
November 21, 2016........... FIP revision replacing the control
technology demonstration requirements for
NOX at CalPortland Cement (CPC) Rillito
Plant Kiln 4 and Phoenix Cement Company
(PCC) Clarkdale Plant Kiln 4 with revised
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements.\g\
March 27, 2017.............. Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP
for Arizona Public Service (APS) Cholla
Generating Station.\h\
October 10, 2017............ Approval of SIP revision to replace FIP
for the SRP Coronado Generating
Station.\i\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ 77 FR 72512 (December 5, 2012).
\b\ 78 FR 46142 (July 30, 2013).
\c\ 79 FR 52420 (September 3, 2014).
\d\ 80 FR 19220 (April 10, 2015).
\e\ 80 FR 21176 (April 17, 2015).
\f\ 81 FR 21735 (April 13, 2016).
\g\ 81 FR 83144 (November 21, 2016).
\h\ 82 FR 15139 (March 27, 2017).
[[Page 47408]]
\i\ 82 FR 46903 (October 10, 2017).
On November 12, 2015, the State of Arizona submitted its Progress
Report to meet the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g) and (h).\117\ The
EPA approved the Progress Report on July 11, 2019.\118\
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\117\ Letter dated November 12, 2015, from Eric C. Massey,
Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to Jared Blumenfeld, Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX.
\118\ 84 FR 33002.
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B. Overview of Arizona's Second Implementation Period SIP Submission
In accordance with CAA sections 169A and the RHR at 40 CFR
51.308(f), on August 15, 2022, ADEQ submitted a revision to the Arizona
SIP to address its regional haze obligations for the second
implementation period, which runs through 2028. Arizona made its 2022
Regional Haze Plan submission available for public comment on June 13,
2022. ADEQ received and responded to public comments and included the
comments and responses to those comments in their submission.
The following sections describe Arizona's SIP submission, including
analyses conducted by the WRAP and Arizona, Arizona's assessment of
progress made since the first implementation period in reducing
emissions of visibility impairing pollutants, and the visibility
improvement progress at its Class I areas and nearby Class I areas.
This notice also provides the EPA's evaluation of Arizona's submission
against the requirements of the CAA and RHR for the second
implementation period of the regional haze program.
C. Identification of Class I Areas
Section 169A(b)(2) of the CAA requires each state in which any
Class I area is located or ``the emissions from which may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to any impairment of visibility'' in
a Class I area to have a plan for making reasonable progress toward the
national visibility goal. The RHR implements this statutory requirement
at 40 CFR 51.308(f), which provides that each state's plan ``must
address regional haze in each mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State and in each mandatory Class I Federal area located
outside the State that may be affected by emissions from within the
State,'' and (f)(2), which requires each state's plan to include a
long-term strategy that addresses regional haze in such Class I areas.
The EPA explained in the 1999 RHR preamble that the CAA section
169A(b)(2) requirement that states submit SIP revisions to address
visibility impairment establishes ``an `extremely low triggering
threshold' in determining which States should submit SIPs for regional
haze.'' \119\ In concluding that each of the contiguous 48 states and
the District of Columbia meet this threshold,\120\ the EPA relied on
``a large body of evidence demonstrat[ing] that long-range transport of
fine PM contributes to regional haze,'' \121\ including modeling
studies that ``preliminarily demonstrated that each State not having a
Class I area had emissions contributing to impairment in at least one
downwind Class I area.'' \122\ In addition to the technical evidence
supporting a conclusion that each state contributes to existing
visibility impairment, the EPA also explained that the second half of
the national visibility goal--preventing future visibility impairment--
requires having a framework in place to address future growth in
visibility-impairing emissions and makes it inappropriate to
``establish criteria for excluding States or geographic areas from
consideration as potential contributors to regional haze visibility
impairment.'' \123\ Thus, the EPA concluded that the agency's
``statutory authority and the scientific evidence are sufficient to
require all States to develop regional haze SIPs to ensure the
prevention of any future impairment of visibility, and to conduct
further analyses to determine whether additional control measures are
needed to ensure reasonable progress in remedying existing impairment
in downwind Class I areas.'' \124\ The EPA's 2017 revisions to the RHR
did not disturb this conclusion.\125\
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\119\ 64 FR 35721.
\120\ The EPA determined that ``there is more than sufficient
evidence to support our conclusion that emissions from each of the
48 contiguous states and the District of Columba may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in a
Class I area.'' 64 FR at 35721. Hawaii, Alaska, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands must also submit regional haze SIPs because they contain
Class I areas.
\121\ Id.
\122\ Id. at 35722.
\123\ Id. at 35721.
\124\ Id. at 35722.
\125\ See 82 FR 3094.
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Arizona has 12 Class I areas within its borders: the Chiricahua
National Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness Area, Galiuro Wilderness Area,
Grand Canyon National Park, Mazatzal Wilderness Area, Mount Baldy
Wilderness Area, Petrified Forest National Park, Pine Mountain
Wilderness, Saguaro National Park,\126\ Sierra Ancha Wilderness Area,
Superstition Wilderness Area, and Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area.
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\126\ Saguaro National Park was originally established in 1933
as a National Monument. In 1976, portions of Saguaro National
Monument were designated as a Wilderness Area, and the Saguaro
Wilderness Area was designated as a Mandatory Class I area in 1979.
44 FR 69124 (November 30, 1979). Congress officially elevated the
area known as Saguaro National Monument to the current designation
as a National Park in 1994.
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Arizona did not expressly identify within its SIP which Class I
Federal areas located outside of Arizona may be affected by emissions
from within Arizona. However, as part of its source selection process
described in Chapter 8 and Appendix C, Section C2 of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan, Arizona included the Q/d \127\ values associated
with Class I areas outside the State. Further, ADEQ reviewed the source
apportionment results of the ``On the Books'' (``2028OTBa2'')
projections scenario from the WRAP Regional Haze photochemical grid
modeling platform.\128\ ADEQ participated in interstate consultation
with California, Utah, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico, which included
discussion of the WRAP modeling and source apportionment products.\129\
For New Mexico specifically, ADEQ also provided WRAP regional modeling
platform source apportionment results for the 20 percent most impaired
days at the four Class I areas in New Mexico that are closest to
Arizona.\130\
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\127\ Q/d represents a source's annual emissions in tons (Q)
divided by the distance in kilometers (d) between the source and the
nearest Class I area. For regional haze purposes, only primary
visibility-impairing pollutants were included in a source's total Q:
NOX, SO2, and PM10.
\128\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 7.4 and Appendix
D. The Particle Source Apportionment Technology (PSAT) tool was
applied at a regional level to separate U.S. anthropogenic
contributions from those of fire, natural, and international
anthropogenic contributions for a current period and a future year
in 2028.
\129\ Id. at Chapter 2.6.
\130\ Id. at Table 2-3.
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As explained above, the EPA concluded in the 1999 RHR that ``all
[s]tates contain sources whose emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to regional haze in a Class I area,'' \131\ and this
determination was not changed in the 2017 RHR. Critically, the statute
and regulation both require that the cause-or-contribute assessment
consider all emissions of visibility-impairing pollutants from a state,
as opposed to emissions of a particular pollutant or emissions from a
certain set
[[Page 47409]]
of sources. Consistent with these requirements, the 2019 Guidance makes
it clear that ``all types of anthropogenic sources are to be included
in the determination'' of whether a state's emissions are reasonably
anticipated to result in any visibility impairment.\132\ As explained
in Section IV.E.2 of this document, we are proposing to find that the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan did not fully meet the requirements of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) related to the development of a long-term strategy.
Although the State's failure to identify specific out-of-state Class I
areas is not the basis for this proposed disapproval, we recommend that
ADEQ more clearly identify which out-of-state Class I areas may be
affected by emissions from Arizona.
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\131\ 64 FR at 35721.
\132\ 2019 Guidance, p. 8.
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D. Calculations of Baseline, Current, and Natural Visibility
Conditions; Progress to Date; and the Uniform Rate of Progress
Section 51.308(f)(1) requires states to determine the following for
``each mandatory Class I Federal area located within the State'':
baseline visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days,
natural visibility conditions for the most impaired and clearest days,
progress to date for the most impaired and clearest days, the
differences between current visibility conditions and natural
visibility conditions, and the URP. This section also provides the
option for states to propose adjustments to the URP line for a Class I
area to account for visibility impacts from anthropogenic sources
outside the United States and/or the impacts from wildland prescribed
fires that were conducted for certain, specified objectives.\133\
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\133\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
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In the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, ADEQ used visibility data
from IMPROVE monitoring sites for 2000-2004 for baseline
visibility.\134\ ADEQ also obtained visibility data from IMPROVE
monitoring data for 2005-2019. The five-year average of 2015-2019
represents current visibility conditions. ADEQ also determined natural
visibility by estimating the natural concentrations of visibility-
impairing pollutants and then calculating total light extinction with
the IMPROVE algorithm. Comparison of baseline conditions to natural
visibility conditions shows the improvement necessary to attain natural
visibility by 2064 measured in deciviews of improvement per year that
represents the URP. The calculations of baseline, current, and natural
visibility conditions, as well as the progress to date, differences
between current visibility conditions and natural visibility
conditions, and the URP for each of the state's Class I areas can be
found in Chapter 5.2 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. The URP
glidepaths and 2028 visibility projections are discussed further in
Section 7 and Appendix D. A summary of Arizona's visibility conditions
and unadjusted URPs is also presented in Table 2 of this document. A
summary of Arizona's adjusted URPs is presented in Table 21 of this
document.
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\134\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 5.
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Data for the Chiricahua National Monument, Chiricahua Wilderness
Area, and the Galiuro Wilderness Area come from the CHIR1 monitoring
site.\135\ These three Class I areas have 2000-2004 baseline visibility
conditions of 4.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 10.5
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
estimated natural background visibility of 1.8 deciviews on the 20
percent clearest days and 4.9 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired
days for these three Class I areas. The current visibility conditions,
which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 3.9 deciviews on the
clearest days and 9.5 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are
2.1 deciviews and 4.6 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the
respective sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current
conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.1 deciview improvement
for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.0 deciview improvement for the
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09
deciviews per year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent
most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ also indicates that the visibility
improvement needed to maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.2
deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\135\ Figure 5-2 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in deciviews (dv), the unadjusted MID URP, and the
clearest days threshold for the CHIR1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Grand Canyon National Park come from the GRCA2
site.\136\ The Grand Canyon has 2000-2004 baseline visibility
conditions of 2.2 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 8
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
estimated natural background visibility of 0.3 deciviews on the 20
percent clearest days and 4.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired
days for these three Class I areas. The current visibility conditions,
which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 1.6 deciviews on the
clearest days and 6.9 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are
1.3 deciviews and 2.7 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the
respective sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current
conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 0.6 deciview improvement
for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.1 deciview improvement for the
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.06
deciviews per year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent
most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ also indicates that the visibility
improvement needed to maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 1.5
deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\136\ Figure 5-3 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the GRCA2 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Mazatzal Wilderness Area and Pine Mountain Wilderness
Area come from the IKBA1 monitoring site.\137\ These two Class I areas
have 2000-2004 baseline visibility conditions of 5.4 deciviews on the
20 percent clearest days and 11.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most
impaired days. ADEQ calculated an estimated natural background
visibility of 1.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.2
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days for these two Class I
areas. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019
monitoring data, were 4.2 deciviews on the clearest days and 9.5
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.3 deciviews and 4.3
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from
baseline conditions, yields a 1.2 deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.7 deciview improvement for the 20 percent
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.10 deciviews per
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.4 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\137\ Figure 5-4 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility (dv), the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the IKBA1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Mount Baldy Wilderness Area come from the BALD1
monitoring
[[Page 47410]]
site.\138\ Mount Baldy has 2000-2004 baseline visibility conditions of
3.0 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 8.8 deciviews on the
20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an estimated natural
background visibility of 0.5 on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.2
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. The current visibility
conditions, which are based on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 1.8
deciviews on the clearest days and 7.3 deciviews on the most impaired
days, which are 1.3 deciviews and 3.1 deciviews greater than natural
conditions on the respective sets of days. The progress to date,
subtracting current conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.2
deciview improvement for the 20 percent clearest days and 1.5 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
annual URP of 0.08 deciviews per year needed to reach natural
visibility on the 20 percent most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed to maintain the URP from the
baseline to 2028 is 1.8 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\138\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Tables 5-1 through 5-3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Petrified Forest National Park come from the PEFO1
monitoring site.\139\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline
visibility conditions of 5.0 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days
and 9.8 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated
an estimated natural background visibility of 1.1 deciviews on the 20
percent clearest days and 4.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired
days. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019
monitoring data, were 3.3 deciviews on the clearest days and 8.1
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.2 deciviews and 3.9
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from
baseline conditions, yields a 1.8 deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.7 deciview improvement for the 20 percent
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.4 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\139\ Figure 5-5 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the PEFO1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Saguaro National Park come from the SAGU1 monitoring
site.\140\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline visibility
conditions of 6.9 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days and 12.6
deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
estimated natural background visibility of 2.2 deciviews on the 20
percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired
days. The current visibility conditions, which are based on 2015-2019
monitoring data, were 5.8 deciviews on the clearest days and 10.7
deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 3.6 deciviews and 5.6
deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective sets of
days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from
baseline conditions, yields a 1.1 deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.9 deciview improvement for the 20 percent
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.12 deciviews per
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\140\ Figure 5-6 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SAGU1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Sierra Ancha Wilderness Area come from the SIAN1
monitoring site.\141\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline
visibility conditions of 6.2 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days
and 10.8 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 2.0 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 4.3 deciviews on the clearest days
and 9.4 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.3 deciviews
and 4.3 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective
sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from
baseline conditions, yields a 1.9 deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.4 deciview improvement for the 20 percent
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.3 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\141\ Figure 5-7 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SIAN1 site. Data is not available for 2016-2020
for SIAN1.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Superstition Wilderness Area come from the TONT1
monitoring site.\142\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline
visibility conditions of 6.5 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days
and 11.7 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 2.0 deciviews
on the 20 percent clearest days and 5.1 deciviews on the 20 percent
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 4.9 deciviews on the clearest days
and 10.3 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.9 deciviews
and 5.2 deciviews greater than natural conditions on the respective
sets of days. The progress to date, subtracting current conditions from
baseline conditions, yields a 1.6 deciview improvement for the 20
percent clearest days and 1.3 deciview improvement for the 20 percent
most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an annual URP of 0.09 deciviews per
year needed to reach natural visibility on the 20 percent most impaired
days by 2064. ADEQ indicates that the visibility improvement needed to
maintain the URP from the baseline to 2028 is 2.6 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\142\ Figure 5-8 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the TONT1 site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Data for the Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area come from the
SYCA_RHTS monitoring site.\143\ The Class I area has 2000-2004 baseline
visibility conditions of 5.6 deciviews on the 20 percent clearest days
and 12.2 deciviews on the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ
calculated an estimated natural background visibility of 1.0 deciview
on the 20 percent clearest days and 4.7 deciviews on the 20 percent
most impaired days. The current visibility conditions, which are based
on 2015-2019 monitoring data, were 3.9 deciviews on the clearest days
and 11.7 deciviews on the most impaired days, which are 2.9 deciviews
and 7.0 deciviews greater than natural
[[Page 47411]]
conditions on the respective sets of days. The progress to date,
subtracting current conditions from baseline conditions, yields a 1.6
deciview improvement for the 20 percent clearest days and 0.4 deciview
improvement for the 20 percent most impaired days. ADEQ calculated an
annual URP of 0.12 deciviews per year needed to reach natural
visibility on the 20 percent most impaired days by 2064. ADEQ indicates
that the visibility improvement needed to maintain the URP from the
baseline to 2028 is 3.0 deciviews.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\143\ Figure 5-9 in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan depicts
the annual and 5-year average most impaired day and clearest day
visibility in dv, the unadjusted MID URP, and the clearest days
threshold for the SYCA_RHTS site. The abbreviation ``SYCA_RHTS'' is
for Sycamore Regional Haze Tracking Site, and combines data from the
SYCA1 IMPROVE site, which closed in 2015 during the baseline period,
and data from the newer SYCA2 site.
Table 2--Visibility Conditions and Uniform Rate of Progress, in Deciviews (dv)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20% Clearest days 20% Most-impaired days Maintain URP
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
total dv total dv
Class I Area Baseline Current Natural Difference Baseline Current Natural Difference dv per year (baseline (baseline
to 2019) to 2028)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chiricahua NM WA............................................. 4.9 3.9 1.8 2.1 10.5 9.5 4.9 4.6 0.09 1.4 2.2
Chiricahua WA................................................ 4.9 3.9 1.8 2.1 10.5 9.5 4.9 4.6 0.09 1.4 2.2
Galiuro WA................................................... 4.9 3.9 1.8 2.1 10.5 9.5 4.9 4.6 0.09 1.4 2.2
Grand Canyon NP.............................................. 2.2 1.6 0.3 1.3 8.0 6.9 4.2 2.7 0.06 1.0 1.5
Mazatzal WA.................................................. 5.4 4.2 1.9 2.3 11.2 9.5 5.2 4.3 0.10 1.5 2.4
Mount Baldy WA............................................... 3.0 1.8 0.5 1.3 8.8 7.3 4.2 3.1 0.08 1.2 1.8
Petrified Forest NP.......................................... 5.0 3.3 1.1 2.2 9.8 8.1 4.2 3.9 0.09 1.4 2.2
Pine Mountain WA............................................. 5.4 4.2 1.9 2.3 11.2 9.5 5.2 4.3 0.10 1.5 2.4
Saguaro NP................................................... 6.9 5.8 2.2 3.6 12.6 10.7 5.1 5.6 0.12 1.9 3.0
Sierra Ancha WA.............................................. 6.2 4.3 2.0 2.3 10.8 9.4 5.1 4.3 0.09 1.2 2.3
Superstition WA.............................................. 6.5 4.9 2.0 2.9 11.7 10.3 5.1 5.2 0.11 1.6 2.6
Sycamore Canyon WA........................................... 5.6 3.9 1.0 2.9 12.2 11.7 4.7 7.0 0.12 1.9 3.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 38, Tables 5-1, 5-2, and 5-3. Baseline conditions are for 2000-2004 Current Conditions are for 2015-2019; Difference is Current dv minus Natural
Conditions. Maintain URP shows the deciviews per year and the total deciview improvements needed to maintain the Uniform Rate of Progress to 2019 and 2028.
ADEQ chose to adjust its URP to account for international
anthropogenic impacts and for the impacts of wildland prescribed fires.
The WRAP/WAQS Regional Haze modeling platform used scaled 2014 NEI
wildland prescribed fire data for purposes of calculating the URP
adjustments. ADEQ submits activity data related to wildland prescribed
fires approved under its SIP approved Enhanced Smoke Management Program
to the EPA for use in the development of the NEI. WRAP used the results
from the CAMx 2028OTBa2 High-Level Source Apportionment run to obtain
concentrations due to international emissions and to prescribed fire.
These concentrations were then used in a relative sense to estimate the
contributions for use in adjusting the URP. That is, the modeled
relative effect of removing their emissions (relative response factors)
was applied to projections of 2028 concentrations. The resulting
concentration decrease was taken as the contribution of these sources.
The international and prescribed fire contributions were therefore
calculated in a fashion consistent with each other and with the 2028
projections. This approach is consistent with the default method
described in the EPA's September 2019 regional haze modeling Technical
Support Document (``EPA 2019 Modeling TSD'') \144\ and with the source
apportionment approach described in EPA's 2018 Visibility Tracking
Guidance.\145\ Two different adjusted glidepath options,
``International Emissions Only (A)'' and ``International Emissions +
Wildland Rx Fire (B),'' were made available on the WRAP TSS to adjust
the URP glidepath end points projections at 2064 for Class I federal
areas on the most impaired days. ADEQ used the International Emissions
+ Wildland Rx Fire glidepath endpoint adjustment option. The choice of
adjustment option made a negligible difference for five of the nine
IMPROVE monitor locations, a small difference for three others, and a
larger difference for the SYCA_RHTS monitor covering the Sycamore
Canyon Wilderness. The deciview values for the URP glidepaths, both
unadjusted and adjusted, were fairly close to values estimated in the
EPA 2019 Modeling TSD. The choice of adjustment option made no
difference in whether the RPG for each area was above or below its URP
glidepath, which is discussed in the Section IV.F of this document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\144\ Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland, Director, Air Quality
Assessment Division, EPA, to Regional Air Division Directors,
Subject: ``Availability of Modeling Data and Associated Technical
Support Document for the EPA's Updated 2028 Visibility Air Quality
Modeling,'' September 19, 2019, available at https://www.epa.gov/visibility/technical-support-document-epas-updated-2028-regional-haze-modeling.
\145\ Memorandum from Richard A. Wayland, Director, Air Quality
Assessment Division, EPA, to Regional Air Division Directors,
Subject: ``Technical Guidance on Tracking Visibility Progress for
the Second Implementation Period of the Regional Haze Program,''
December 20, 2018, available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-12/documents/technical_guidance_tracking_visibility_progress.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is therefore proposing to find that Chapter 5 and Appendix
A of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan meet the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(1) related to the calculations of baseline, current, and
natural visibility conditions; progress to date; differences between
current visibility conditions and natural visibility conditions; and
the URPs for the second implementation period. We also propose to find
that ADEQ has estimated the impacts from anthropogenic sources outside
the United States and wildland prescribed fires using scientifically
valid data and methods, and we therefore propose to approve the
adjustments to the URPs pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi)(B).
E. Long-Term Strategy for Regional Haze
1. Arizona's Long-Term Strategy in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
Each state having a Class I area within its borders or emissions
that may affect visibility in a Class I area must develop a long-term
strategy for making reasonable progress towards the national visibility
goal. As explained in Section 3 of this notice, reasonable progress is
achieved when all states contributing to visibility impairment in
[[Page 47412]]
a Class I area are implementing the measures determined--through
application of the four statutory factors to sources of visibility
impairing pollutants--to be necessary to make reasonable progress.\146\
Each state's long-term strategy must include the enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress.\147\ All new (i.e., additional)
measures that are the outcome of four-factor analyses are necessary to
make reasonable progress and must be in the long-term strategy. If the
outcome of a four-factor analysis and analysis of other measures
necessary to make reasonable progress is that no new measures are
reasonable for a source, that source's existing measures are necessary
to make reasonable progress, unless the state can demonstrate that the
source will continue to implement those measures and will not increase
its emissions rate. Existing measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress must also be in the long-term strategy. In
developing its long-term strategies, a state must also consider the
five additional factors in section 51.308(f)(2)(iv). As part of its
reasonable progress determinations, the state must describe the
criteria used to determine which sources or group of sources were
evaluated in a four-factor analysis for the second implementation
period and how the four factors were taken into consideration in
selecting the emissions reduction measures for inclusion in the long-
term strategy.\148\
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\146\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i).
\147\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2).
\148\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The consultation requirements of section 51.308(f)(2)(ii) provide
that states must consult with other states that are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area to
develop and coordinate emissions management strategies containing the
emissions reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable
progress. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A) and (B) require states to
consider the emissions reduction measures identified by other states as
necessary for reasonable progress and to include agreed upon measures
in their SIPs, respectively. Section 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C) speaks to what
happens if states cannot agree on what measures are necessary to make
reasonable progress.
The following sections summarize Arizona's long-term strategy for
the second planning period, as set forth in the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan. The EPA's evaluation with respect to the requirements of
51.308(f)(2) is provided in Section IV.E.2.
a. Point Sources
i. Source Selection
PM is composed of different chemical constituents, including
sulfates, nitrates, organic carbon, elemental carbon, coarse mass, and
soil dust (``PM species'' or ``species''). ADEQ focused its source
evaluation on the PM species that dominate visibility impairment at its
Class I areas.\149\ ADEQ evaluated light extinction for PM species by
calculating total light extinction \150\ and anthropogenic extinction
\151\ for each species on the most impaired days at its Class I areas.
ADEQ indicated that when the anthropogenic portion of the impact is
considered, the sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass species collectively
constitute 80 percent of total extinction on average across the Arizona
Class I areas (ranging from 72.3 percent at the PEFO1 monitor to 88.8
percent at the CHIR1 monitor).\152\ ADEQ also noted that, while organic
carbon mass and light absorbing carbon account for more than 10 percent
of the anthropogenic light extinction impact for at least one of the
Class I areas, the emissions that contribute to these species are
primarily from biogenic, wildfires, and onroad sources, for which the
State has limited available control opportunities. Based on this
analysis, ADEQ determined that sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass are
the three species that should be evaluated for source controls during
this planning period in order to maximize the visibility benefit of
controls. SO2 emissions are a precursor to the formation of
sulfate, and NOX emissions are a precursor to the formation
of nitrate. Coarse mass emissions involve particulates with an
aerodynamic diameter between 10 and 2.5 microns (i.e., PM10
less PM2.5). Because coarse mass is not commonly included in
emissions inventories, states generally use particulate matter with an
aerodynamic diameter under 10 microns (PM10) as a surrogate
for coarse mass. Therefore, ADEQ conducted its screening based on
NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\149\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section 8.2.1.
\150\ Id., Appendix C, Table 3.
\151\ Id. at Table 4.
\152\ Id. at Table 5.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona used the Q/d method to identify sources that are reasonably
expected to contribute to visibility impairment at any Class I area.
ADEQ used a Q/d threshold of 10 (combined NOX,
SO2 and PM10 emissions) based on the 2014
National Emissions Inventory (NEI) Version 2 (``2014v2'') emissions.
ADEQ's approach included additional steps in order to screen out
processes within the identified sources that have installed or will
install ``effective controls'' prior to the end of the second planning
period.\153\ ADEQ evaluated 2018 operational and emissions data to
determine which processes have an effective control installed or
incorporated within the last five years or will install or incorporate
an effective control prior to 2028.\154\
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\153\ A full description of the methodology and determinations
of effective controls and their treatment are included in Appendix C
of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. Figure 8-1 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan presents a flowchart of ADEQ's major
point source screening process.
\154\ Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C2.2.1.2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ used following the criteria for determining what constitutes
an effective control: (1) the control was installed within the last
five years of this analysis (i.e., during or since 2014) or will be
installed prior to 2028; (2) the control was installed to meet (a) PSD
requirements (or is otherwise considered a to be equivalent to the best
available control technology (BACT)), (b) BART requirements (including
BART reconsiderations and better-than-BART determinations),\155\ (c)
Regional Haze 1st planning period Reasonable Progress, requirements, or
(d) other SIP requirements to achieve NAAQS compliance; and (3) process
emissions must be controlled through routing those emissions through a
newly constructed or recently upgraded pollution control device or
``taking emission limits that would otherwise equate to the
installation of a pollution control device.'' \156\
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\155\ Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(e)(2), States have the
flexibility to adopt alternatives that provide greater reasonable
progress towards natural visibility conditions than BART for one or
more subject-to-BART sources (commonly known as ``better-than-BART''
alternatives).
\156\ Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, p. 30.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ further determined that the application of the effective
control screening should be applied at the process level as opposed to
the facility-wide level. Given an increase in resolution at the process
level as compared to the unit level, ADEQ determined that examining
facility processes was the most appropriate level of resolution for
determining which emission sources at a facility would undergo a four-
factor control determination. Additionally, given that some permitted
sources submit emissions inventories containing hundreds of processes,
including many that emit low levels of pollutants, ADEQ
[[Page 47413]]
determined that it was unnecessary to perform a control evaluation on
all processes at each facility, but that at least the largest 80
percent of pollutant- and process-specific emissions at a source should
be considered.
As shown in Table 3 of this document, ADEQ determined that 55
processes within the identified sources were effectively
controlled.\157\ These include certain processes where no control has
been installed within the last five years, but where new emissions
limits were established, such as Tucson Electric Power (TEP) Company
Irvington Generating Station (IGS) Unit 4 and AEPCO Apache Generating
Station Unit 2, both of which converted from coal to natural gas as
part of better-than-BART alternatives during the first planning period.
ADEQ then screened out these effectively controlled processes from
further consideration and indicated that these effectively controlled
processes will be reevaluated in future rounds of Regional Haze
planning.
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\157\ Id. at Exhibit CI.
Table 3--List of Effective Controls Identified by ADEQ for Arizona Major Point Sources
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unit/process
Facility description Control program Comments
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AEPCO--Apache Generating Steam Unit 1 Gas. Regional Haze-- NOX limit of 0.056 pounds per million
Station. BART Alternative. British thermal unit (lb/MMBtu)
standalone and 0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/
GT1 and a 30-calendar day average of
1,205 lb/day, PM10 limit of 0.0075 lb/
MMBtu, and SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating Steam Unit 2 Gas. Regional Haze-- Conversion from coal to natural gas with
Station. BART Alternative. NOX limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day
average, SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-
day average, PM10 limit of 0.008 lb/MMBtu
30-day average.
AEPCO--Apache Generating Steam Unit 2 Coal Regional Haze-- Conversion from coal to natural gas w/NOX
Station. BART Alternative. limit of 0.085 lb/MMBtu 30-day average,
SO2 limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu 30-day
average, PM10 limit of 0.008 lb/MMBtu 30-
day average.
AEPCO--Apache Generating Steam Unit 3 Coal Regional Haze-- Selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR)
Station. BART Alternative. installation w/a NOX 30-day average limit
of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating Steam Unit 3 Gas. Regional Haze-- SNCR installation w/a NOX 30-day average
Station. BART Alternative. limit of 0.23 lb/MMBtu.
AEPCO--Apache Generating Gas Combust Regional Haze-- NOX limit of 0.056 lb/MMBtu standalone and
Station. Turbine #1. BART Alternative. 0.1 lb/MMBtu combined ST1/GT1 and a 30-
calendar day average of 1,205 lb/day,
PM10 limit of 0.0075 lb/MMBtu, and SO2
limit of 0.00064 lb/MMBtu.
APS--Cholla Power Plant....... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- Cease operation or convert unit from coal
In Steam Unit #1. BART. to natural gas by April 30, 2025, with
20% annual capacity factor.
APS--Cholla Power Plant....... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- Permanently shut down April 1, 2016.
in Steam Unit #2. BART.
APS--Cholla Power Plant....... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- Permanently cease coal burning by April
in Steam Unit #3. BART. 30, 2025. Natural gas option with less
than 20% average annual capacity factor
(NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits
specified).
APS--Cholla Power Plant....... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- Permanently cease coal burning by April
in Steam Unit #4. BART. 30, 2025. Natural gas option with less
than 20% average annual capacity factor
(NOX, SO2, and PM10 emissions limits
specified).
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Flash Furnace, SIP Action--Pb, Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
Converter. SO2. Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Paved Road SIP Action--Pb... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
Traffic. the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Product Dryer SIP Action--Pb, Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
Baghouses. SO2. Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Storage & SIP Action--Pb... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
Handling. the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Unpaved Road SIP Action--Pb... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
Traffic. the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Flash Furnace/ SIP Action--SO2.. Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
Converter control improvements made as part of the
Primary converter retrofit project.
Ventilation--Aci
d Plant Outlet.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Converter Aisle SIP Action--SO2.. New tertiary ventilation system.
Fugitives.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Fines Crushing SIP Action--Pb... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
Circuit. the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Flash Furnace SIP Action--SO2.. Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
Fugitives. control improvements made as part of the
converter retrofit project.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Flash Furnace SIP Action--SO2.. Flash furnace fugitive SO2 capture and
Baghouse Outlet. control improvements made as part of the
converter retrofit project.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Peirce Smith SIP Action--SO2.. New tertiary ventilation system.
Converters.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Peirce Smith SIP Action--Pb, Converter retrofit & HSA Lime Injection/
Converters. SO2. Baghouse.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Revert Crushing SIP Action--Pb... Limits on Lead Bearing Fugitive Dust from
Circuit. the Hayden smelter.
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Secondary Hood SIP Action--SO2.. New tertiary ventilation system.
Baghouse.
[[Page 47414]]
Asarco--Hayden Smelter........ Tertiary Hood SIP Action--SO2.. New tertiary ventilation system.
Ventilation
Outlet.
Calportland-Rillito Cement Preheater & Kiln Regional Haze-- SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 3.46
Plant. 4. Reasonable lb/ton.
Progress.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant.... Baghouse......... Regional Haze-- SNCR NOX limit of 3.80 lb/ton. Use of
BART. lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.32
lb/ton.
Chemical Lime Nelson Plant.... Baghouse......... Regional Haze-- SNCR NOX limit of 2.61 lb/ton. Use of
BART. lower sulfur fuel with SO2 limit of 9.73
lb/ton.
Coronado Generating Plant..... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- Selective catalytic reduction (SCR)
Unit 1. BART. installation or shut down by 12/31/2025.
0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX limit and
0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit.
Additional facility-wide cap on SO2
emissions.
Coronado Generating Plant..... Fuel Oil Regional Haze-- SCR installation or shut down by 12/31/
Combustion Unit BART. 2025. 0.065 lb/MMBtu average NOX limit
1. and 0.060 lb/MMBtu average SO2 limit.
Additional facility-wide cap on SO2
emissions.
Coronado Generating Plant..... Coal Combustion Regional Haze-- SCR installation in June 2014.
Unit 2. BART.
Coronado Generating Plant..... Fuel Oil Regional Haze-- SCR installation in June 2014.
Combustion Unit BART.
2.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Smelting: Isa & SIP Action--SO2.. 2018 environmental upgrades included
Elf. capture of anode vessel process
emissions, routing to baghouse and
caustic scrubber.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Captured SIP Action--SO2.. Anode process emissions routed through
Converter baghouse and caustic scrubber, Converter
Fugitives and fugitive emissions routed through caustic
Anode Process scrubber.
Emissions.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Collected SIP Action--SO2.. Vent fume system, including Wet
Fugitives. Electrostatic Precipitator (ESP) and
caustic scrubber.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Bypass Stack..... SIP Action--SO2.. Bypass stack subject to facility-wide SO2
limit in SO2 and permit.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Smelting SIP Action--SO2.. Fugitive originating from IsaSmelt vessel,
Fugitives. electric furnace, converters, and anode
vessels, each of which have emissions
capture and control systems.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Natural Gas SIP Action--SO2.. Majority of smelter natural gas combustion
Combustion. occurs within IsaSmelt, Electric Furnace,
Converters and Anode Vessels and is co-
mingled with process gas which is routed
to the various control devices.
Insignificant emissions originating from
uncontrolled space heaters, small water
heaters, etc.
Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter Anode Refining... SIP Action--SO2.. 2018 environmental upgrades included
capture of anode vessel process
emissions, routing to baghouse and
caustic scrubber.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale..... Raw Mill/Kiln.... Regional Haze-- SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67
Reasonable lb/ton.
Progress.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale..... Coal Milling..... Regional Haze-- SNCR installation with a NOX limit of 2.67
Reasonable lb/ton.
Progress.
Tucson Electric Power-- U1 Boiler-- PSD BACT......... Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded
Irvington. Natural Gas. reciprocating internal combustion engines
(RICE) engines and a combined annual NOX
limit of 170 tons per year (tpy).
Tucson Electric Power-- U2 Boiler-- PSD BACT......... Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
Irvington. Natural Gas. engines and a combined annual NOX limit
of 170 tpy.
Tucson Electric Power-- U4 Boiler-- Regional Haze-- Fuel switch with a 0.25 lb/MMBtu NOX
Irvington. Natural Gas. BART Alternative. limit, 0.57 lb/MMBtu SO2 limit, and 0.010
lb/MMBtu PM10 limit.
Tucson Electric Power-- IGT1-Turbine--Nat PSD BACT......... Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
Irvington. ural Gas. engines and a combined annual NOX limit
of 170 tpy.
Tucson Electric Power-- IGT2-Turbine--Nat PSD BACT......... Replacement of unit with 10 upgraded RICE
Irvington. ural Gas. engines and a combined annual NOX limit
of 170 tpy.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Exhibit CI.
ADEQ then recalculated Q/d using a threshold of 10 for each
facility utilizing the remaining processes and 2018 data.
Based on the source screening results, ADEQ determined that the 11
permitted sources listed in Table 4 of this document would undergo a
four-factor analysis.\158\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\158\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8-2.
Table 4--Arizona Source Screening Results
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Facility Q (tpy) d (km) Q/d Nearest Class I area
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASARCO LLC--Mission Complex............... 1,254 42 30 Saguaro National Park.
ASARCO LLC--Ray Operations................ 371 26 14 Superstition Wilderness Area.
[[Page 47415]]
CalPortland--Rillito Cement Plant......... 246 8 30 Saguaro National Park.
Drake Cement LLC.......................... 375 22 17 Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
Area.
El Paso Natural Gas--Willcox Compressor 321 27 12 Chiricahua Wilderness Area.
Station.
El Paso Natural Gas--Williams Compressor 786 19 40 Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
Station. Area.
Freeport-McMoran--Morenci................. 2,768 54 52 Gila Wilderness Area.
Freeport-McMoran--Sierrita Mine........... 869 42 21 Saguaro National Park.
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale................. 136 10 14 Sycamore Canyon Wilderness
Area.
Tucson Electric Power Co--Irvington....... 444 16 28 Saguaro National Park.
Tucson Electric Power Co--Springerville... 17,044 50 339 Mount Baldy Wilderness Area.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 8-2. The Q and Q/d values shown here exclude those processes that
ADEQ screened out based on a finding that they were effectively controlled.
ii. Overall Approach to Four-Factor Analyses
For cost calculation interest rates, ADEQ requested that the
sources undergoing a four-factor analysis provide source specific
lending/interest rates in line with the general recommendations of the
7th Edition of the EPA Control Cost Manual.\159\ In the absence of
source-specific information, ADEQ relied on a 4.75 percent interest
rate developed by analyzing and averaging historical bank prime rate
data. ADEQ looked at 3-year average bank prime rates for the periods of
2017-2019 (4.83 percent) and April 2018-March 2020 (4.78 percent).
These dates were chosen as they were the most recent data at the time
of the analysis. ADEQ determined, based on these 3-year averages, that
a 3-year average bank prime rate of 4.75 percent was appropriate. ADEQ
indicates that the use of a 3-year average was more appropriate than
the utilization of the bank prime rate at a singular point in time due
to the variability that can occur in bank prime rates over time. ADEQ
also performed an analysis to determine a reasonable cost-effectiveness
(cost/ton) threshold for Arizona emissions sources evaluated under the
four-factor analysis in the regional haze second planning period, based
on the cost-effectiveness values for controls required in regional haze
SIP revisions from the first planning period. ADEQ indicated that it
found that none of the implemented cost-effectiveness values during the
first planning period exceeded $5,300/ton. Adjusting the cost for
inflation to 2019 dollars based on Chemical Engineering Plant Cost
Index values,\160\ ADEQ determined that any controls having an average
cost-effectiveness of more than $6,500/ton would be cost excessive and
could be rejected without further justification.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\159\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Section 8.3.2.
\160\ Available at https://www.chemengonline.com/site/plant-cost-index/.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
iii. Summary of Four-Factor Analyses
Table 5--Summary of Facilities and Processes Evaluated Under Four-Factor Analysis
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Projected 2028
Facility Process Pollutant emissions (tpy)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASARCO LLC--Mission Complex............ Trucks hauling ore and PM10..................... 713
waste rock.
Rubber tire rigs traveling PM10..................... 97
on unpaved roads.
ASARCO LLC--Ray Operations............. Trucks hauling ore and PM10..................... 158
waste rock.
Miscellaneous vehicles PM10..................... 87
traveling on unpaved
roads.
Dumps and tailings PM10..................... 41
windblown dust.
Dozing mine areas, dumps PM10..................... 21
and stockpiles.
Blasting ore and waste NOX...................... 89
rock.
CalPortland--Rillito Cement Plant...... Clinker From K234-- PM10..................... 62.5
Overhead Crane Building.
Unpaved Roads............. PM10..................... 51.7
Plant Materials........... PM10..................... 17.3
Finish Milling--D2-PC..... PM10..................... 9.5
Iron Stockpile............ PM10..................... 8.5
Finish Milling--D3-1-DC2.. PM10..................... 7.1
Cooler--Kiln 4 H2-GB...... PM10..................... 7.0
Quarry Materials.......... PM10..................... 6.5
Paved Roads............... PM10..................... 5.8
Mining Operations-- NOX...................... 5.7
Blasting.
Quarry Crusher System--B2- PM10..................... 5.3
DC1.
Drake Cement LLC....................... Raw Mill and Kiln......... NOX...................... \a\ 316
El Paso Natural Gas--Willcox Compressor TURBINE-1................. NOX...................... 134
Station.
TURBINE-2................. NOX...................... 157
El Paso Natural Gas--Williams TURBINE-1................. NOX...................... 290
Compressor Station.
RECIP-1................... NOX...................... 148
RECIP-2................... NOX...................... 170
RECIP-5................... NOX...................... 205
Freeport--McMoran--Morenci............. Haul Trucks Traveling on PM10..................... 1,552
Mine Roads.
Other Vehicles Traveling PM10..................... 229
on Mine Roads.
Loading Ores into Haul PM10..................... 120
Trucks.
[[Page 47416]]
Freeport--McMoran--Sierrita Mine....... Unpaved Roads............. PM10..................... 449
Loading Ores into Haul PM10..................... 82
Trucks.
Sierrita Tailings......... PM10..................... 171
Blasting Operations....... NOX...................... 97
Phoenix Cement--Clarkdale.............. Rock Sampling and Storage-- PM10..................... 31.4
Raw Storage Piles.
Coal/Coke Handling 2--Coal/ PM10..................... 12.1
Coke Storage Pile.
Gypsum Handling--Gypsum PM10..................... 7.4
Storage Piles.
Cement Storage--DC510..... PM10..................... 5.5
Quarry Rds/Blast/Drill-- NOX...................... 3.5
Quarry--Blasting.
Raw Storage and Homog2-- PM10..................... 3.1
DC607.
Kiln Feed System--DC409... PM10..................... 3.0
Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10..................... 2.8
DC352.
Finish Milling--DC340..... PM10..................... 2.6
Cement Storage 2--DC512... PM10..................... 2.6
Raw Mill--DC366........... PM10..................... 2.2
Rock Reclaimer and TPS-- PM10..................... 2.4
DC205.
Cement Storage 2--DC508... PM10..................... 2.1
Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10..................... 2.0
DC350.
Raw Storage and Homog1-- PM10..................... 1.9
DC601.
Clinker Handling and STR1-- PM10..................... 1.9
DC447.
Clinker Cooling--DC445.... PM10..................... 1.7
Clinker Handling and STR3-- PM10..................... 1.6
DC312.
Raw Storage and Homog2-- PM10..................... 1.6
DC224.
Raw Storage and Homog2-- PM10..................... 1.6
DC228.
Raw Storage and Homog2-- PM10..................... 1.6
DC615.
Raw Storage and Homog2-- PM10..................... 1.6
DC616.
Coal/Coke Handling1--DC452 PM10..................... 1.4
Finish Milling--DC341..... PM10..................... 1.3
Paved Plant Roads......... PM10..................... 1.2
Tucson Electric Power Co--Irvington.... Unit 3.................... NOX...................... 251
Tucson Electric Power Co--Springerville Unit 1 Boiler............. PM10..................... 92
NOX...................... 2,099
SO2...................... 2,869
Unit 2 Boiler............. PM10..................... 107
NOX...................... 2,283
SO2...................... 2,982
Unit 3 Boiler............. PM10..................... 158
NOX...................... 1,019
SO2...................... 1,036
Unit 4 Boiler............. PM10..................... 31
NOX...................... 929
SO2...................... 1,039
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The Plan does not state the projected 2028 emissions for this unit. However, the highest annual facility-
wide NOX emissions during the baseline period were 316 tpy in 2018, so this may be considered an upper-bound
of emissions from the Raw Mill and Kiln.
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C.
ASARCO LLC (Asarco) Mission Complex \161\ is a copper mine located
in Sahuarita, Arizona. The facility operates an open-pit copper mine,
two concentrators, and a by-products molybdenum plant. Asarco Mission
Complex was screened in with a Q/d value of 30, and the nearest Class I
area is Saguaro National Park at 42 kilometers away. ADEQ identified
two processes that are subject to the four-factor analysis for Asarco
Mission Complex: haul trucks hauling ore and waste rock, and rubber
rigs traveling on unpaved roads. Using information supplied by Asarco,
ADEQ conducted four-factor analyses for these two processes, the
results of which are summarized in Table 6 of this document. Based on
these results, ADEQ determined that the emissions controls that Asarco
is implementing for the two processes, such as a speed limit of 35
miles per hour and application of water, reflect current best
management practices for the mining industry and that it is reasonable
not to require additional controls during this planning period.
Although ADEQ did not specify why no other controls were reasonable,
cost appears to have been the determining factor, as the cost
effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen cost-
effectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\161\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.1 and
Appendix C, Section C3.3.
[[Page 47417]]
Table 6--Summary of Control Options for Asarco Mission Complex
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission reduction effectiveness
($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Truck Hauling Ore and Waste Rock........ Reduce the speed limit for 203.7..................... $80,544
haul trucks from 35 mph
to 25 mph.
Apply additional water to 71.3...................... 12,183
haul roads (outside pit
only).
Apply additional water to 356.5..................... 10,117
haul roads (inside and
outside pit).
Increase freeboard in the Emissions reductions could N/A
haul trucks. not be quantified.
Rubber Tire Rigs Traveling on Unpaved Reduce the speed limit for No reduction expected N/A
Non-Haul Roads. rubber tire rigs from 35 since average traveling
mph to 25 mph. speed of rubber tire rigs
is 15 mph.
Apply additional water to 49.7...................... 18,043
unpaved roads (non-haul
roads only).
Apply additional water to 59.4...................... 15,771
unpaved roads (haul roads
non-haul roads only).
Apply and maintain surface 5.1....................... 25,711
gravel on unpaved non-
haul roads (decreasing
the silt content from
6.9% to 6.4%).
Paving unpaved non-haul 73.7...................... 47,295
roads.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.3.
Asarco Ray Operations is located near Kearny, Arizona and consists
of an open pit mine, concentrator, solvent extraction-electrowinning
operation, and associated maintenance, warehouse, and administrative
facilities.\162\ The facility was screened in with a Q/d value of 14,
and the nearest Class I area is Saguaro National Park at 26 kilometers
away. ADEQ identified five processes that are subject to the four-
factor analysis for Asarco Ray Operations: trucks hauling ore and waste
rock, miscellaneous vehicles traveling on unpaved roads, dumps and
tailings windblown dust, dozing mine areas, dumps and stockpiles, and
blasting ore and waste rock. Asarco completed and submitted a four-
factor analysis report for the five processes in December 2019 and
provided additional information in March 2020 through 2021. ADEQ's
determination in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan is that the
emissions controls that Asarco is implementing for these processes,
such as a speed limit of 35 miles per hour, water sprays, and
application of chemical dust suppressants (on non-haul roads), reflect
current best management practices for the mining industry and that it
is reasonable not to require additional controls during this planning
period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\162\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.2 and
Appendix C, Section C3.4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant is a portland cement manufacturing
plant in Rillito, Arizona.\163\ The facility was screened in with a Q/d
value of 30, and the nearest Class I area is Superstition Wilderness
Area at 8 kilometers away. ADEQ evaluated potential controls at nine
emissions sources at the CalPortland Rillito Cement Plant and conducted
a four-factor analysis for each control that it found to be feasible.
The results of these analyses are shown in Table 7. While ADEQ's was
conducting its four-factor analysis for the Rillito facility,
CalPortland took on a voluntary, enforceable air quality control permit
condition for the location of its iron stockpile (horseshoe pit, three-
sided artificial windbreak).\164\ ADEQ subsequently found that no other
controls were reasonable based the statutory four factors. Although
ADEQ did not specify why no other controls were reasonable, cost
appears to have been the determining factor, as the cost effectiveness
of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen cost-effectiveness
threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\163\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.3 and
Appendix C.
\164\ ADEQ Air Quality Control Permit #85424 Attachment C
Section XI Regional Haze Requirements of the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan. ADEQ has not submit the new permit condition as a SIP
revision.
Table 7--Summary of Control Options for CalPortland Cement
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Technically Emissions Cost-
Source Control option feasible (Y/ reduction effectiveness ($/
N) (tpy) ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building.... Fabric Filter Baghouse.. N N/A N/A
Clinker to Overhead Crane Building.... Full Enclosure.......... Y 9.38 $13,605
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........ Traffic Management Plans N N/A N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........ Additional Watering..... Y 44.34 23,955
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........ Surface Gravel.......... N N/A N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........ Paving.................. N N/A N/A
Unpaved Road Vehicular Traffic........ Chemical Dust N N/A N/A
Suppressant.
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic.......... Cover Haul Trucks....... N N/A N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic.......... Stabilize Unpaved Points Y 0 N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic.......... Rapid Cleanup of Spills. N N/A N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic.......... Curb or Pave Shoulders.. N N/A N/A
Paved Road Vehicular Traffic.......... Street Sweepers......... Y 1.5 28,146
[[Page 47418]]
Material Handling..................... Water Sprays............ N N/A N/A
Material Handling..................... Baghouse................ N N/A N/A
Material Handling..................... Enclosures.............. N N/A N/A
Iron Stockpile........................ Water Application....... N N/A N/A
Iron Stockpile........................ Chemical Dust N N/A N/A
Suppressant.
Iron Stockpile........................ Artificial Wind Break... Y 0 N/A
Iron Stockpile........................ Vegetative Wind Break... Y 0 N/A
Iron Stockpile........................ Compact Piles........... N N/A N/A
Iron Stockpile........................ Cover with Tarps........ N N/A N/A
Finish Mill........................... Improved Baghouses...... Y 15.85-18.26 14,254-16,057
Clinker Cooler........................ Improved Baghouses...... Y 21.19 16,210
Quarry Crusher........................ Improved Baghouses...... Y 5.92 12,099
Blasting.............................. N/A..................... N/A N/A N/A
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C.3.5.
The Drake Cement Paulden facility is a Portland cement
manufacturing facility in Paulden, Yavapai County, Arizona.\165\ The
facility was screened in with a Q/d value of 17, and the nearest Class
I area is Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area at 22 kilometers away. One
emission source, the Main Baghouse Raw Mill and Kiln, contributed
approximately 84 percent of the facility's total NOX,
SO2, and PM10 combined emissions, and ADEQ
evaluated this unit for regional haze controls. The Plan does not state
the projected 2028 emissions for this unit. However, the highest annual
facility-wide NOX emissions during the baseline period were
316 tpy in 2018, so this may be considered an upper-bound of emissions
from the Raw Mill and Kiln. ADEQ indicated that Low NOX
Burners, Preheater Riser Duct Firing, and SNCR are currently
implemented at the Drake Cement Paulden facility. The only remaining
potential control available for implementation at the Paulden facility
is SCR. Noting that SCR has been employed at only a handful of cement
plants in Europe and one in the United States, ADEQ concluded that SCR
was technically infeasible. Despite this, ADEQ conducted a four-factor
analysis of SCR, using a control efficiency of 65 percent, which
resulted in a reduction of 83.6 tons per year at approximately $30,521/
ton.\166\ This cost exceeds ADEQ's cost threshold and therefore, ADEQ
determined that it is reasonable not to require additional controls on
Drake Cement during this planning period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\165\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C3.6.
\166\ Drake Cement estimated a cost effectiveness of $28,641/ton
utilizing a 3 percent interest rate. ADEQ updated the interest rate
to 4.75 percent for consistency with other four-factor analyses in
its SIP submittal. The cost is based on a 30-year lifespan of the
SCR.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPNG Willcox Compressor Station is a natural gas compressor station
facility that provides natural gas compression to EPNG's pipeline
network.\167\ The facility screened in with a Q/d value of 12, and the
nearest Class I area is Chiricahua Wilderness Area at 27 kilometers
away. The two units subject to four-factor analysis were TURBINE-1 and
TURBINE-2, with 2028 emissions of 134.72 and 157.44 tons
NOX, respectively.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\167\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.6 and
Appendix C, Section C3.8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ found that EPNG was already implementing Good Combustion
Practices at both units, and that the following control options would
be technically feasible: Combustion Liner Upgrade with Dry Low
NOX (DLN; 68-71 percent control effectiveness) and SCR (77
percent control effectiveness). The results of ADEQ's analysis of these
two options are summarized in Table 8 of this document.
Table 8--Summary of Control Options for EPNG Willcox
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission effectiveness
reduction ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TURBINE-1.................................. Lean Head End Combustion Liner 91.24 $12,764
Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control.
SCR................................ 106 10,008
TURBINE-2.................................. Lean Head End Combustion Liner 115.82 10,524
Upgrade with Dry Low-NOX Control.
SCR................................ 124 8,892
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C3.8.
ADEQ determined that neither the Combustion Liner Upgrade with DLN
nor SCR are cost-effective options because they exceed ADEQ's cost
threshold. ADEQ found that EPNG should continue to implement Good
Combustion Practices but did not consider whether or not this measure
was necessary to make reasonable progress.
El Paso Natural Gas (EPNG) Williams Compressor Station is a natural
gas compressor station facility that provides natural gas compression
to EPNG's pipeline network.\168\ The facility was screened in with a Q/
d value of 40, and the nearest Class I area is Sycamore Canyon
Wilderness Area at 19 kilometers away. EPNG reviewed NOX
control options for both the General Electric (GE) gas turbine
(TURBINE-1, with 2028 emissions of 290.42 tons NOX) and
three reciprocating engines (RECIP-1, RECIP-2, and RECIP-5, with
[[Page 47419]]
2028 emissions of 148.4, 179.4, and 205.16 tons NOX,
respectively) located at the Williams Compressor Station.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\168\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.5 and
Appendix C, Section C3.7.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based on information provided by EPNG, ADEQ evaluated the following
controls for the Williams compressor station TURBINE-1 for
NOX: Water or Steam Injection, Combustion Liner Upgrade with
Low NOX Burner Design, Good Combustion Practices,
EMXTM/SCONOXTM Technology, SCR, and SNCR. Of the
list, ADEQ determined three of the control options to be technically
feasible: water or steam injection (74 percent control effectiveness),
SCR (80 percent control effectiveness), and combustion liner upgrade
with low NOX burner design (78 percent control
effectiveness). The results of this analysis are summarized in Table 9
of this document. After the evaluation of these costs of compliance,
ADEQ determined that the control options were not cost effective, and
that the continued use of Good Combustion Practices is reasonable for
TURBINE-1. ADEQ did not determine whether this measure was necessary to
make reasonable progress.
Additionally, the following controls were evaluated for the three
Williams compressor station reciprocating engines: SCR, Air-Fuel Ratio
Adjustment with High Energy Ignition, Low-Emission Combustion (LEC)
Retrofits, Replacement of Three Engines with one Low NOX
Emissions Gas Turbine, Replacement of Three Engines with Electric
Motors or a Gas Turbine, and Good Combustion Practices. The results of
ADEQ's four-factor analysis for the engines are summarized in Table 9
of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ found that all LEC
options were cost-effective for every engine based on average cost-
effectiveness. However, ADEQ also found that the incremental cost
effectiveness of requiring LEC-3 on RECIP-1 as compared to requiring
LEC-2 ($11,120/ton) was ``cost-excessive.'' Therefore, while ADEQ
determined that LEC-3 was necessary to make reasonable progress for
RECIP-2 and RECIP-5, it selected a less stringent control, LEC-2, for
RECIP-1. ADEQ also found that replacement of the three engines with a
gas turbine would be cost-effective but did not adopt this option due
to issues and uncertainties with this option, such as the need for
operational flexibility to control pipeline flowrate changes and a
potential increase in fuel usage and emissions during low flow
conditions.\169\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\169\ Id. at 126-127.
Table 9--Summary of Control Options for EPNG Williams
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission effectiveness
reduction ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TURBINE-1.................................. Water Injection.................... 201.54 $6,536
Steam Injection.................... 201.54 7,601
Combustion Liner Upgrade and Low 213.5 8,775
NOX Burner Design.
SCR................................ 219 8,051
RECIP-1.................................... Air-Fuel Ratio Adjustment with High 20.67 2,484
Energy Ignition.
LEC-1.............................. 76.46 4,058
LEC-2.............................. 116.30 4,581
LEC-3.............................. 131.45 5,334
SCR................................ 119.18 5,782
Replacement with Electric Motors... 140.21 20,880
RECIP-2.................................... LEC-1.............................. 74.36 4,172
LEC-2.............................. 127.42 4,181
LEC-3.............................. 147.59 4,751
SCR................................ 135.37 5,553
Replacement with Electric Motors... 159.26 23,301
RECIP-5.................................... LEC-1.............................. 87.51 3,645
LEC-2.............................. 181.86 2,977
LEC-3.............................. 217.72 3,302
SCR................................ 202.70 4,409
Replacement with Electric Motors... 238.47 27,011
RECIP-1, 2, & 5............................ Replacement of Three Engines with 484.21 3,905
Low NOX Emissions Gas Turbine.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.7.
Freeport-McMoRan Morenci Complex is located in Greenlee County,
Arizona and consists of three major operations: mining operations,
including the drilling and blasting of ore in open-pit copper mines,
three in-pit crushers and an ore conveying system, the Morenci
Concentrator and Metcalf Concentrator operations for production of
copper and molybdenum concentrates through conventional milling and
froth flotation operations, and the Metcalf Mine-for-Leach (MFL) plant
and five Solution Extraction and four Electrowinning facilities (SX/EW)
operations for production of high quality copper cathodes through
leaching and hydrometallurgy.\170\ The facility was screened in with a
Q/d value of 52 and the nearest Class I area is Gila Wilderness Area at
54 kilometers away.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\170\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.7 and
Appendix C, Section C3.9.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ identified two processes that are subject to the four-factor
analysis for Freeport-McMoRan Morenci: haul trucks and other vehicles
travel on mine roads and loading ore into haul trucks. Using
information supplied by Freeport-McMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor
analyses for these two processes, the results of which are summarized
in Table 10 of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ determined
that the emissions controls Freeport is already implementing for the
two processes, such as a speed limit of 35 miles per hour and
application of water, reflect current best management practices for the
mining industry, and that it is reasonable not to require additional
controls during this planning period. Although ADEQ did not specify why
it found that no other controls were reasonable, cost appears to have
been the determining factor, as the cost effectiveness of all feasible
controls
[[Page 47420]]
exceeded ADEQ's chosen threshold of $6,500/ton.
Table 10--Summary of Control Options for Freeport-McMoRan Morenci
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission reduction effectiveness
($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Haul Trucks and Other Vehicles Reduce the speed limit 427............................. $383,018
Traveling on Mine Roads. for haul trucks to 25
mph.
Apply additional water 890.8........................... 10,949
to unpaved mine roads.
Increase freeboard in Not quantifiable................ N/A
the haul trucks.
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks........ Apply additional water 52.06........................... 406,990
to ores.
Ceasing operations 0.06............................ 14,625,548
during high wind hours.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.9.
Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita Complex is located in southern Pima
County, Arizona and consists of three major operations: mining
operations, including the drilling and blasting of ore in open-pit
copper mines, the Sierrita concentrator operations for production of
copper and molybdenum concentrates, and the run of mine (ROM) oxide-
leaching plant and the Twin Buttes SX/EW operations for production of
high quality copper cathodes.\171\ The facility was screened in with a
Q/d value of 21, and the nearest Class I area is Saguaro National Park
at 42 kilometers away. ADEQ identified four processes that are subject
to the four-factor analysis for the Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita complex:
vehicle travel on unpaved roads, tailings, loading/unloading ore into
haul trucks, and blasting operations. Using information supplied by
Freeport-McMoRan, ADEQ conducted four-factor analyses for these four
processes, the results of which are summarized in Table 11 of this
document. Based on these results, ADEQ determined that the emissions
controls Freeport-McMoRan is already implementing, such as a speed
limit of 35 miles per hour and water application, reflect current best
management practices for the mining industry, and that it is reasonable
not to require additional controls during this planning period.
Although ADEQ did not specify why it found that no other controls were
reasonable, cost appears to have been the determining factor, as the
cost effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen
threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\171\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.8 and
Appendix C, Section C3.10.
Table 11--Summary of Control Options for Freeport-McMoRan Sierrita
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission reduction effectiveness
($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vehicle Travel on Unpaved Mine Roads. Reduce the speed limit 124............................. $233,539
from 34.5 mph to 25
mph.
Apply additional water 224.7........................... 12,021
to unpaved roads
(increasing the
control efficiency
from 90% to 95%).
Increase freeboard in Emissions reductions could not N/A
the haul trucks. be quantified.
Loading Ores into Haul Trucks........ Apply water to ores to 57.73........................... 240,703
increase the moisture
content from 2% to
4.8%.
Ceasing loading 0.66............................ 8,081,366
operations during high
wind hours.
Emissions from Tailings.............. No feasible controls... N/A............................. N/A
Blasting Operations.................. No feasible controls... N/A............................. N/A
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.10.
Phoenix Cement Clarkdale Facility is a Portland cement plant and
quarry near Clarkdale, Arizona that is owned by an enterprise division
of the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community.\172\ The facility was
screened in with a Q/d value of 14, and the nearest Class I area is
Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Area at 10 kilometers away. As shown in
Table 3 of this document, ADEQ screened out the raw mill/kiln and coal
milling emissions sources because they were required to install SNCR as
part of the first implementation period of the Regional Haze Rule and
were deemed effectively controlled. The remaining emissions sources
subject to a four-factor analysis included: raw storage piles, coal/
coke storage piles, gypsum storage piles, paved plant roads, quarry
blasting, and material handling processes. Based on the results of
these analyses, which are summarized in Table 12 of this document, ADEQ
determined that no new controls were reasonable. Although ADEQ did not
specify its reasoning, cost appears to have been the determining
factor, as the cost effectiveness of all feasible controls exceeded
ADEQ's cost-effectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\172\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.9 and
Appendix C, Section C3.11.
[[Page 47421]]
Table 12--Summary of Control Options for Phoenix Cement Clarkdale
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Process Control Emission reduction effectiveness
($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Raw Storage Piles....................... Enclosure................. 28.31..................... $154,422
Increase Moisture Content. Technically Infeasible.... N/A
Cover with Tarps.......... Technically Infeasible.... N/A
Coal/Coke Storage Pile.................. Enclosure................. 10.94..................... 228,410
Increase Moisture Content. Technically Infeasible.... N/A
Gypsum Storage Piles.................... Enclosure................. 6.64...................... 44,441
Increase Moisture Content. Technically Infeasible.... N/A
Cover with Tarps.......... Technically Infeasible.... N/A
Paved Plant Roads....................... Berm Installation......... Already Implemented....... N/A
Curbing/Paving or Shoulder Already Implemented....... N/A
Stabilization.
Curbing with Gutters...... Already Implemented....... N/A
Traffic Rerouting......... Already Implemented....... N/A
Storm Water Drainage...... Already Implemented....... N/A
Street Sweepers........... Already Implemented....... N/A
Watering.................. 1.10...................... 77,438
Quarry Blasting......................... N/A....................... N/A....................... N/A
Material Handling Processes............. Fabric Filters............ Already Implemented....... N/A
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.3.11.
Tucson Electric Power (TEP) Company Irvington Generating Station
(IGS) is located in Tuscon, Arizona and includes two fossil fuel-fired
electric utility steam-generating units, designated as Units 3 and 4;
two simple cycle combustion turbines; ten RICE; and various ancillary
units used to produce electricity for consumers.\173\ The facility is
permitted by the Pima Department of Environmental Quality (PDEQ), and
was screened in with a Q/d value of 28, with the nearest Class I area
16 kilometers away at Saguaro National Park. As shown in Table 3, ADEQ
screened out IGS Unit 4 as effectively controlled based on the fact
that it was subject to a ``better-than-BART'' alternative
determination, and the simple cycle turbines were replaced with ten
RICE engines, leaving only Unit 3 subject to a four-factor analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\173\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.10 and
Appendix C, Section C3.12.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On January 18, 2021, TEP submitted a permit application to PDEQ for
the following voluntary NOX emissions limits for Unit 3: 335
tons per 12-month rolling total, 753 tons per 36-month rolling total,
and 1,285 cumulative tons for the remaining life of the unit. The unit
must shut down permanently before the cumulative limit is exceeded.
ADEQ updated the four-factor analysis for IGS to include these new
emissions limits as the baseline emissions for control evaluation, as
these limits will become enforceable upon finalization of the revised
IGS permit and approval of ADEQ's regional haze reasonable progress
determination for IGS by the EPA. Specifically, ADEQ analyzed a range
of different scenarios under which Unit 3 could meet the emissions
limits, using a remaining useful life of between 6 and 20 years, as
shown in Table 13 of this document. Under each of these scenarios, the
cost of all available control options (low NOX burners
(LNB), SCR, and SCR+LNB) exceeded ADEQ's cost threshold of $6,500/ton.
Therefore, ADEQ determined that with the emissions reductions
associated with the new Unit 3 emissions caps, no additional controls
are necessary to make reasonable progress towards natural visibility at
Class I areas during this implementation period. ADEQ also indicated
that despite the expected emissions reductions at IGS Unit 3, ADEQ
cannot guarantee emissions reductions for the single year 2028 long-
term strategy (2028LTS) modeling scenario as compared to the baseline.
However, the limits in place will ensure no degradation as compared to
the baseline.\174\ Therefore, ADEQ indicated that they are
conservatively assuming no change in NOX emissions in the
2028 RPG calculations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\174\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix B, Section
B2.2.2.
Table 13--Summary of Control Options for IGS Unit 3 With Lifetime Cap of 1,285 Tons
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Control Remaining useful Annual emissions Emission effectiveness ($/
life (years) with cap (tpy) reduction (tpy) ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LNB..................................... 20 64.25 33.23 $10,355
15 85.67 44.30 9,020
10 128.50 66.45 7,729
6 214.17 110.75 6,730
SCR..................................... 20 64.25 51.84 26,260
15 85.67 69.12 23,231
10 128.50 103.68 20,318
6 214.17 172.80 18,091
SCR+LNB................................. 20 64.25 58.05 29,253
15 85.67 77.40 25,791
10 128.50 116.09 22,482
[[Page 47422]]
6 214.17 193.49 19,938
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C3.12.
TEP Springerville Generating Station (SGS) is located near
Springerville, Arizona, and consists of four coal-fired electric
generating units with a combined, nominal, net generating capacity of
1,620 megawatts.\175\ Units 1 and 2 at SGS are owned and operated by
TEP. Unit 3 is owned by Tri-State Generation and Transmission
Association, Inc., and Unit 4 is owned by the Salt River Project
Agricultural Improvement and Power District. All units are operated by
TEP. The facility was screened in with a Q/d value of 339, and the
nearest Class I area is Mount Baldy Wilderness Area at 50 kilometers
away. Based on information from TEP, ADEQ completed four-factor
analyses that considered emissions of PM10, NOX,
and SO2, and associated control technologies, the results of
which are summarized in Table 14 of this document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\175\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.3.11 and
Appendix C, Section C3.13.
Table 14--Summary of Control Options for Springerville Generating Station
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Technically Cost
Process Control Pollutant feasible (Y/ Emissions effectiveness
N) reduction (tpy) ($/ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unit 1....................... Baghouse........ PM10........... Y Already N/A
Implemented.
Wet ESP......... PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
ESP............. PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
LNB and overfire NOX............ Y Already N/A
air (OFA). Implemented.
SNCR............ NOX............ Y 289............ 8,079.
SCR............. NOX............ Y 1,375.......... 9,194.
Current Spray SO2............ N/A Already N/A.
Dryer Absorber Implemented.
(SDA).
Upgraded SDA.... SO2............ Y 1,060.......... 883 (20 years),
828 (30
years).
Dry Sorbent SO2............ Y 699............ 11,976 (20
Injection (DSI). years), 11,544
(30 years).
Circulating Dry SO2............ Y 2,025.......... 8,230 (20
Scrubber (CDS). years), 6,670
(30 years).
Wet Flue Gas SO2............ Y 2,508.......... 8,185 (20
Desulfurization years), 6,393
(FGD). (30 years).
Unit 2....................... Baghouse........ PM10........... Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
Wet ESP......... PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
ESP............. PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
LNB and OFA..... NOX............ Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
SNCR............ NOX............ Y 364............ 6,769.
SCR............. NOX............ Y 1,516.......... 8,395.
Current SDA..... SO2............ N/A Already N/A.
Implemented.
Upgraded SDA.... SO2............ Y 1,062.......... 908 (20
years),853 (30
years).
DSI............. SO2............ Y 678............ 12,843 (20
years), 12,399
(30 years).
CDS............. SO2............ Y 2,086.......... 7,995 (20
years), 6,480
(30 years).
Wet FGD......... SO2............ Y 2,598.......... 7,638 (20
years), 5,944
(30 years).
Unit 3....................... Baghouse........ PM10........... Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
Wet ESP......... PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
ESP............. PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
LNB, OFA and SCR NOX............ Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
Low sulfur coal SO2............ N/A Not further N/A.
and SDA. considered.
Unit 4....................... Baghouse........ PM10........... Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
Wet ESP......... PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
ESP............. PM10........... Y Not further N/A.
considered.
LNB, OFA and SCR NOX............ Y Already N/A.
Implemented.
Low sulfur coal SO2............ N/A Not further N/A.
and SDA. considered.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan Appendix C, Section C3.13.
[[Page 47423]]
For PM10, ADEQ concluded that because Units 1-3 are
already equipped with baghouses to control particulate matter
emissions, further evaluation was not needed. However, ADEQ did not
consider whether these measures were necessary to make reasonable
progress and thus a part of their long-term strategy. For electrostatic
precipitators (ESP) and wet ESP, ADEQ indicated that because ESP
collection efficiency is comparable to or less than that of the current
baghouses installed on the units, ADEQ determined that replacing the
control device with an ESP, while technically feasible, should not be
considered further.
For NOX at Units 1 and 2, ADEQ appears to have rejected
new controls based on costs being above ADEQ's $6,500/ton threshold.
ADEQ concluded that TEP should continue to implement the existing
NOX controls but did not consider whether these measures
were necessary to make reasonable progress and thus should be a part of
their long-term strategy.
For NOX at Units 3 and 4, ADEQ concluded that the
existing controls of combustion controls (LNB+OFA) and SCR is the most
effective control technology available for NOX for coal
fired EGUs, and thus, no further analysis for other control
technologies was needed.
For SO2 at Units 1 and 2, ADEQ evaluated control costs
based on a remaining useful life of 20 and 30 years. For CDS and FGD at
Units 1 and 2, ADEQ indicated that the average cost-effective values
were near or exceeding ADEQ's cost-effectiveness threshold of $6,500/
ton. ADEQ also calculated incremental costs for these measures that
ranged from approximately $9,400 to over $13,500. ADEQ indicated that
due to the high incremental costs and excessive capital cost of the
controls, CDS and wet FGD were not reasonable. ADEQ also reported the
results of visibility modeling performed by TEP and stated that, while
it did not consider visibility impacts as a fifth factor, ``the small
visibility benefits associated with the modeled SO2 controls
supports the determination that CDS and wet FGD control options are not
necessary to make reasonable progress towards natural visibility at
Class I areas during this implementation period.'' \176\ Therefore,
ADEQ concluded that it was reasonable to require TEP to upgrade the
current SDA systems. However, instead of setting a throughput-based
limit (e.g., lb/MMBtu) corresponding to the upgraded SDA on each unit,
ADEQ instead chose to set mass-based emissions caps that it determined
to be ``equivalent'' to upgraded SDA. Specifically, ADEQ set a combined
emissions limitation for Unit 1 and Unit 2 of 16.1 tons per day limit,
on a 30-calendar-day rolling averaging period and 3,729 tons per year
limit, on a 12-month rolling averaging period. ADEQ indicated that
these caps would ``provide compliance flexibility yet still guarantee
that each unit is well controlled to protect and improve the visibility
in Class I areas.'' \177\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\176\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, p. 233.
\177\ Id. at 239.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For SO2 at Units 3 and 4, ADEQ indicated that these
units were equipped with SDA systems subject to the 2012 Mercury Air
Toxics Standards (MATS) rule. ADEQ reviewed the most recent 5 years
(2016-2020) of the SO2 emissions data for SGS. The
SO2 emissions rates for Unit 3 and Unit 4 ranged from 0.069
to 0.090 lb/MMBtu and from 0.076 to 0.10 lb/MMBtu on an annual basis,
respectively. ADEQ indicated that this demonstrates that Unit 3 and
Unit 4 have continuously complied with the applicable MATS rule
SO2 emission standard of 0.20 lb/MMBtu. ADEQ therefore
determined that no new controls are reasonable. ADEQ did not address
whether or not the existing measures were necessary to make reasonable
progress and thus should be a part of its long-term strategy.
For each new control determined to be reasonable, ADEQ submitted
revised permit conditions for EPA approval into the Arizona portion of
the SIP. Table 20 of this document provides a summary of controls and
permit conditions that ADEQ submitted for EPA approval.
b. Nonpoint Sources
i. Source Selection
ADEQ also determined that it was appropriate to examine nonpoint
sources (also known as ``area sources'') that emit visibility impairing
pollutants, based on feedback from stakeholders to consider sources not
previously controlled in the last round of planning. ADEQ used the
following steps to select area sources for analysis:
1. Gather 2014 EPA NEIv2 county-level nonpoint datasets for the
State of Arizona.
2. Isolate source classification code (SCC) annual emissions (tpy)
for PM10 primary, nitrogen oxide, and sulfur dioxide.
3. Remove PM10 primary emissions from consideration for
those counties that are not located within 50 km of a Class I area
since PM10 does not generally experience high transport
distances.
4. Sum the remaining SCC-specific PM10 primary, nitrogen
oxide, and sulfur dioxide annual emissions to calculate ``Q.''
5. Sort all SCCs from highest to lowest ``Q.''
6. Determine the ``Q''-threshold which achieved inclusion of the
SCCs with the largest ``Q's'' until >80 percent of total ``Q''
emissions across all SCCs are accounted for (i.e., ``Q'' >13,500 tpy
includes 6 sectors which account for 81.6 percent of the total
statewide).
7. Isolate those sources with a ``Q'' value greater than 13,500
tpy.
Following this process, ADEQ identified six nonpoint source
sectors, as shown in Table 15 of this document. ADEQ removed locomotive
and biogenic sectors from consideration, due to the majority of
emissions from these sectors originating from sources which ADEQ is
generally unable to control.
Table 15--Summary of Selected Non-Point Source Categories
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SCC NOX PM10 SO2 Q Sector
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2285002006..................................... 18,045 541 11 18,597 Mobile--Locomotives.
2294000000..................................... 0 14,501 0 14,501 Dust--Paved Road Dust.
2296000000..................................... 0 107,924 0 107,924 Dust--Unpaved Road Dust.
2311020000..................................... 0 15,536 0 15,536 Dust--Industrial/Commercial/
Institutional Construction Dust.
2325000000..................................... 0 44,753 0 44,753 Industrial Processes--Mining.
2701220000..................................... 13,912 0 0 13,912 Biogenics--Vegetation and Soil.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 47424]]
ii. Overall Approach to Four-Factor Analyses
Because the selected non-point source categories were all
PM10 sources, ADEQ focused on evaluating PM10
controls on nonpoint sources in those Class I areas which monitors
exhibited coarse mass impacts on the most impaired days of greater than
10 percent of the total anthropogenic extinction during the 2013-2017
period.\178\ These Class I areas were: Chiricahua National Monument and
Wilderness Area, Galiuro Wilderness Area, Saguaro National Park, and
Superstition Wilderness Area. ADEQ indicated that because
PM10 is generally not transported long distances, it limited
its evaluation of emissions reduction strategies for paved and unpaved
roads, mining and quarrying, and non-residential construction on
nonpoint sources within 50 km of these Class I areas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\178\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 8.3.4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ used a cost threshold of $5,000/ton for cost effective
measures for non-point sources.\179\ ADEQ stated that it had selected a
lower threshold for nonpoint sources compared to point sources, because
(1) this threshold was used by Colorado in its first planning period
action for nonpoint sources; (2) ADEQ considers the economic burden of
control costs higher for nonpoint sources than point sources because
these are generally smaller sources and less able to afford expensive
control requirements; and (3) ADEQ ``is able to achieve reasonable
progress at Arizona Class I areas with the nonpoint control measures
identified with a $5,000/ton threshold.'' \180\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\179\ Id. at Appendix C, p. 242.
\180\ Id. at footnote 207.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
iii. Summary of Four-Factor Analyses
ADEQ indicated that Industrial/Commercial/Institutional (ICI)
construction dust was based on general construction activities,
earthmoving, material handling, transport, and storage, activity on
disturbed surfaces, and emissions from uncovered haul trucks. ADEQ
reviewed available controls and considered stakeholder input. ADEQ
further relied on cost estimates derived from industry representatives
such as the Associated General Contractors of Arizona (AGCA), vendor
quotes, and estimates from Pinal County and Maricopa County control
measure analyses. The results of ADEQ's four-factor analysis for this
source category are summarized in Table 16 of this document. The
following control options were determined to be reasonable with cost
effectiveness values below ADEQ's cost threshold of $5,000/ton: paving
unpaved parking and staging areas, applying acrylic polymer to unpaved
parking and staging areas, applying gravel to unpaved parking and
staging areas, and limiting vehicle speed at work sites to 15 mph with
signage.
Table 16--Summary of Control Options for ICI Construction
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Control measure Technically effectiveness ($/
feasible? ton)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Require dust control plans Yes............... $5,076.
[permit] for construction or
land clearing projects.
Require haul trucks to be covered/ Yes............... N/A.
Control freeboard and spillage
from haul vehicles. [material
transport].
Alter load-in load-out procedures Yes............... $25,040-$25,304.
(e.g., load on downwind side,
watering, empty loader slowly,
keep bucket close to truck while
dumping). [material handling].
Utilize trackout control device, Yes............... $24,875 for
gravel pad, or other means to gravel pad--
stabilize access points where $147,248 for
unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin pipe grid.
paved roads.
Provide for rapid clean-up of mud/ Yes............... $5,164.
dirt track out, material spills,
on paved roads (Street Sweeping).
Apply water to disturbed surfaces Yes............... $7,959-$8,770 for
and dust generating operations unpaved traffic
(pre-watering, operational). areas,
$1,194,223-$1,37
5,027 for open
areas.
Apply chemical stabilizers/dust Yes............... $3,528 for
suppressants to unpaved parking acrylic polymer,
and staging areas. $2,139 for
gravel, $4,820
for paving.
Limit, restrict or reroute motor Yes............... $16,635.
vehicle access to work site.
[Reduce vehicle disturbance of
unpaved surfaces (access/haul
roads, staging areas, parking
areas/lots, etc.).].
Limit vehicle speed at work site. Yes............... $2,526-$4,717.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.3.
For nonpoint mining and quarrying, ADEQ evaluated three activities:
earthmoving, including overburden removal and replacement; drilling and
blasting; and material handling, including loading and unloading.
Relying on cost estimates derived from industry representatives such as
the Arizona Rock Products Association and vendor quotes, ADEQ conducted
a four-factor analysis of available controls, the results of which are
summarized in Table 17 of this document. Because the controls were
either not technically feasible or the cost-effectiveness values far
exceeded ADEQ's $5,000/ton cost threshold ($18,308/ton for additional
watering and purchasing an additional water truck being the lowest cost
effectiveness value), ADEQ determined it is not reasonable to require
additional nonpoint mining and quarrying controls during this planning
period.
[[Page 47425]]
Table 17--Summary of Control Options for Mining and Quarrying
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cost-
Activity Control measure Technically effectiveness ($/
feasible? ton)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Earthmoving & Excavating.......... Additional Watering--Purchase Yes................. $18,308
Additional Water Truck.
Additional Watering--Rent Additional Yes................. 24,496
Water Truck.
Implement Additional Watering with N/A................. ................
Available Trucks.
Water in Operational Areas--Other N/A................. ................
Water Distribution Systems (besides
trucks).
Applying dust suppressants (other No.................. ................
than water).
Avoid clearing during wind gusts.... N/A................. ................
Material Handling--Bulk Loading... Partial Closure with Hanging Yes................. 101,309
Curtains and the use of Water
Spraying at Primary Dump.
Regularly Apply Water Through Yes................. 204,319
Wetting of Material at the Pit.
Regularly Apply Water Through Water N/A................. ................
Sprays.
Reduce Falling Distance............. N/A................. ................
Use of Loading Spouts............... No.................. ................
Use of Loading Spout Equipped with No.................. ................
Dust Control System.
Use of Cascading Loading Spouts..... No.................. ................
Use of Cascading Loading Spouts No.................. ................
Equipped with Wind Shrouds and
Discharge Skirts.
Use of Conical Loading Hoppers (Dust No.................. ................
Suppression Hopper).
Use of Dry Fog Dust Suppression No.................. ................
System at Loading/Unloading Points.
Material Handling--Stockpiles..... Wetting Product with Plain Water and/ Yes................. 204,319
or Wetting Agents as it is Loaded/
Unloaded Onto Stockpile Through Use
Of New Water Truck.
Continuous Watering with New Water N/A................. ................
Truck.
Continuous Watering with Existing N/A................. ................
Water Truck.
Wetting Product with Plain Water and/ N/A................. ................
or Wetting Agents as It Is Loaded/
Unloaded onto Stockpile Through Use
of Spray Bars.
Dry Fog Dust Suppression System N/A................. ................
during Material Loading/Unloading
onto Pile.
Reduce Falling Distance............. N/A................. ................
Blasting.......................... Utilize Good Design (i.e., Drilling N/A................. ................
Fewer Holes).
Temporarily Cease Operations Until N/A................. ................
Conditions Improve.
Employ BMPs......................... N/A................. ................
Wet Down Blasting Area.............. No.................. ................
Water Cartridges (Underground No.................. ................
Blasting).
Fogger Spray........................ No.................. ................
Air Filtration System (Underground No.................. ................
Blasting).
Minimize Area to Be Blasted at Any N/A................. ................
One Time.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.3.
For paved road dust, ADEQ indicated that emissions estimates were
based on re-entrained road dust emissions from paved road surfaces, re-
entrained road dust emissions from unpaved shoulders of paved roads,
re-entrained road dust emissions from medians of paved roads, re-
entrained road dust emissions and track out from access points where
unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin paved roads, and re-entrained road dust
emissions from material spills. ADEQ conducted a four-factor analysis
of available controls, the results of which are summarized in Table 18
of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ determined the following
two control measures to be reasonable: paving access points where
unpaved traffic surfaces adjoin paved roads and providing for traffic
rerouting or rapid cleanup of temporary (and not readily preventable)
sources of dust on paved roads (trackout, spills, water erosion,
runoff, and skid control sand). Therefore, ADEQ indicated that these
new measures were considered to be a part of Arizona's long-term
strategy for the second planning period.\181\ ADEQ rejected other
evaluated controls because they exceeded ADEQ's $5,000/ton threshold.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\181\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 96.
Table 18--Summary of Control Options for Paved Road Dust
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Technically Cost-effectiveness
Control measure feasible? ($/ton)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pave, cover with aggregate, or Yes.............. $5,058
chemically stabilize access
points where unpaved traffic
surfaces adjoin paved roads.
(Aggregate Coverage).
Pave, cover with aggregate, or Yes.............. 2,351
chemically stabilize access
points where unpaved traffic
surfaces adjoin paved roads.
(Paving).
Pave, cover with aggregate, or Yes.............. 221
chemically stabilize access
points where unpaved traffic
surfaces adjoin paved roads.
(Chemical Stabilization).
Require haul trucks to be covered Yes.............. N/A
Provide for traffic rerouting or Yes.............. 3,614
rapid cleanup of temporary (and
not readily preventable) sources
of dust on paved roads
(trackout, spills, water
erosion, runoff, and skid
control sand).
[[Page 47426]]
Reduced usage of skid control N/A.............. N/A
sand or salt and improved
material specification (e.g.,
require use of coarse, non-
friable material during snow and
ice season).
Require curbing and pave or Yes.............. 9,434
stabilize shoulders of paved
roads. (Asphalt Concrete).
Require curbing and pave or Yes.............. 14,144
stabilize shoulders of paved
roads. (Chemical Stabilization).
Stabilize medians of paved roads. Yes.............. 9,434
(Asphalt Concrete).
Stabilize medians of paved roads. Yes.............. 14,144
(Chemical Stabilization).
Ensure stabilization during work Yes.............. 31,877
on unpaved shoulders of paved
roads (e.g., weed abatement/
vegetation management).
Provide for storm water drainage No............... N/A
to prevent water erosion onto
paved roads.
Employ PM10 certified street Yes.............. 5,164
sweepers on principal arterials..
Reduce speed limits.............. No............... N/A
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.4.
For unpaved road dust, ADEQ evaluated re-entrained road dust
emissions from unpaved roads as part of its analysis. ADEQ conducted a
four-factor analysis of available controls, the results of which are
summarized in Table 19 of this document. Based on these results, ADEQ
determined that it is not reasonable to require additional unpaved road
dust controls during this planning period. Although ADEQ did not
specify why no other controls were reasonable, cost appears to have
been the determining factor, as the cost effectiveness of all feasible
controls exceeded ADEQ's chosen cost-effectiveness threshold of $5,000/
ton.
Table 19--Summary of Control Options for Unpaved Road Dust
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Technically Cost-effectiveness
Control measure feasible? ($/ton)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Develop traffic reduction plans No............... N/A
for unpaved roads. Use of speed
bumps, low speed limits, etc.,
to encourage use of other
(paved) roads.
Pave unpaved roads (chip-seal) Yes.............. $19,545
800 average daily trips (ADT).
Pave unpaved roads (asphalt) 800 Yes.............. 26,227
ADT.
Pave unpaved roads (concrete) 800 Yes.............. 33,571
ADT.
Chemically stabilize unpaved Yes.............. 47,528
roads (dust suppressants other
than water). 800 ADT.
Apply and maintain surface Yes.............. 223,420
gravel. 800 ADT.
Prohibit [limit] construction of Yes.............. 19,545
new unpaved roads chip seal.
Prohibit [limit] construction of Yes.............. 26,227
new unpaved roads asphalt.
Prohibit [limit] construction of Yes.............. 33,571
new unpaved roads concrete.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Section C.4.5.
In the 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement, ADEQ submitted
``Nonpoint Rules to Supplement Arizona's 2022 Regional Haze SIP.'' ADEQ
added three new rules to Arizona Administrative Code (A.A.C.) Title 18,
Chapter 2, Article 13 to incorporate measures intended to reduce
emissions of fugitive dust from nonpoint sources in and around the
following Class I areas: Chiricahua National Monument and Wilderness
Area, Galiuro Wilderness Area, Saguaro National Park, and Superstition
Wilderness Area. The rules limit emissions from certain dust generating
activities at nonresidential construction sites and from paved roads to
implement ADEQ's control determinations for the nonpoint sources. The
three rules submitted are: A.A.C. R18-2-D1301 (Definitions for R18-2-
D1302 and R18-2-D1303), A.A.C. R18-2-D1302 (Fugitive Dust Emissions
from Nonresidential Construction), and A.A.C. R18-2-D1303 (Fugitive
Dust Emissions from Paved Roads). The EPA will act on these three rules
in a separate rulemaking.
Arizona is not using the anticipated emissions reductions from the
nonpoint source emissions reduction measures in the state's 2028 RPG
calculations and in the estimate of emissions reductions from their
long-term strategy. ADEQ indicated that while the new emissions
reduction measures are reasonable on a per event/location basis, the
agency does not currently have enough information to quantify the total
number of track out events and access points to which these controls
would be applicable. ADEQ indicated that it intends to gather
additional information through the implementation of these measures and
take emissions reduction credits in future Regional Haze planning
periods.
c. Summary of Control Determinations
Arizona's control measure determinations, including the specific
permit conditions and rules submitted to the EPA for approval into the
Arizona SIP by incorporation by reference, are summarized in Table 20
of this proposed rulemaking document. Some emissions controls are
included in the modeling of 2028 RPGs of Arizona's long-term strategy,
and ADEQ estimated the emissions reductions to be: 2,122 tpy
SO2 for SGS 1 & 2, and 499 tpy NOX for Williams
Compressor Station. ADEQ indicated that the State's calculation of 2028
RPGs does not include anticipated emissions reductions from IGS Unit 3
nor the nonpoint sources.
[[Page 47427]]
Table 20--Arizona Regional Haze New Control Measure Determinations
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Permit conditions or
rules submitted for
Source Unit Control Pollutant Compliance deadline approval into the
Arizona SIP
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Springerville Generating Station. Units 1 and 2....... Combined annual SO2 cap SO2................. One year after SIP Arizona Department of
Units 1 and 2....... for Units 1 & 2 of 3,729 SO2................. approval. Environmental Quality
tpy. One year after SIP Significant Permit
Combined 16.1 tons/day approval. Revision No. 91093 to
SO2 30-day rolling Operating Permit No.
average. 65614 Cover Page and
Attachment ``E''
Regional Haze
Provisions: Tucson
Electric Power Plant--
Springerville
Generating Station.
Williams Compressor Station...... RECIP-1............. Low Emission Combustion NOX................. 18 months after SIP Arizona Department of
(LEC-2) controls. approval. Environmental Quality
Significant Permit
Revision No. 93062 to
Operating Permit No.
77575 Cover Page and
Attachment ``D'':
Regional Haze
Provisions.
RECIP-2............. Low Emission Combustion NOX................. 18 months after SIP
(LEC-3) controls. approval.
RECIP-5............. LEC-3 controls........... NOX................. 18 months after SIP
approval.
Irvington Generating Station..... Unit 3.............. Useful life NOX cap of NOX................. One year after SIP Pima Department of
1,285 tons. approval. Environmental Quality
Air Quality Permit No.
1052 Cover Page and
Section VI. Unit EGU-I3
Regional Haze State
Implementation Plan.
Rolling 3-year average NOX................. One year after SIP
NOX cap of 251 tpy. approval.
Single year annual NOX NOX................. One year after SIP
cap of 392 tpy. approval.
Industrial, Commercial, and N/A................. (1) Paving unpaved PM10................ January 1, 2025..... A.A.C. R18-2-D1301
Institutional Construction. parking and staging (Definitions for R18-2-
areas, (2) applying D1302 and R18-2-D1303)
acrylic polymer to and A.A.C. R18-2-D1302
unpaved parking and (Fugitive Dust
staging areas, (3) Emissions from
applying gravel to Nonresidential
unpaved parking and Construction).
staging areas, and (4)
limiting vehicle speed
at work site to 15 mph
with signage.
Paved Roads...................... N/A................. (1) Paving access points PM10................ September 10, 2023.. A.A.C. R18-2-D1301
where unpaved traffic (Definitions for R18-2-
surfaces adjoin paved D1302 and R18-2-D1303)
roads; (2) Providing for and A.A.C. R18-2-D1303
traffic rerouting or (Fugitive Dust
rapid cleanup of Emissions from Paved
temporary (and not Roads).
readily preventable)
sources of dust on paved
roads (trackout, spills,
water erosion, runoff,
and skid control sand).
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan and 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement.
Note: ADEQ is not claiming emissions reduction credit in calculating RPGs for IGS or for the nonpoint sources. ADEQ stated that it intends to claim
emissions reduction credit stemming from the enactment of the nonpoint emissions reduction measures in future Regional Haze planning periods.
d. Additional Long-Term Strategy Requirements
Arizona indicates in its submittal that the State consulted with
other WRAP states in development of this SIP.\182\ The majority of
state consultation in the development of the regional haze SIPs was
conducted through the WRAP's Regional Haze Planning group, as Arizona
participated in regular calls with WRAP states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\182\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapters 2.3 and 2.6.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona also had individual consultations with California, Utah,
Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico regarding source screening, approaches
to four factor analyses, and general SIP preparation. ADEQ indicated
that these states were selected by Arizona for consultation in
anticipation that they may contribute to visibility impairment in the
State's mandatory Class I Federal areas given their proximity to the
Arizona border. No other states approached Arizona for regional haze
consultation during this planning period. Pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(A), ADEQ and the above agencies did not agree on any
measures during their state-to-state consultations. Pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(ii)(B), the agencies confirmed that they shared the
measures they have identified as being necessary to make reasonable
progress in a mandatory Class I Federal area with ADEQ, and that the
Agencies have not requested for ADEQ to consider any measures necessary
to make reasonable progress in any mandatory Class I Federal areas.
Pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(ii)(C), ADEQ indicates that there are
currently no disagreements between ADEQ and other state agencies on
Arizona's emissions reduction measures. ADEQ also documented outreach
efforts with the New Mexico Environmental Department but indicated that
no feedback was received from New Mexico.
In its submittal, Arizona also commits to continue consultation
with California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, and any other
state which may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in Class I Federal areas located within
Arizona.\183\ As part of this commitment, Arizona will also continue
consultation with any state for which Arizona's emissions may
reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to visibility
impairment in those states' Class I areas. With regard to the
established or updated goal for reasonable progress, should
disagreement arise between another state or group of states, Arizona
indicated that it will describe the actions taken to resolve the
disagreement in future regional haze SIP revision. With regard to
assessing or updating long-term strategies, Arizona also committed to
coordinate its emissions management strategies with affected states and
to continue to include in its future regional haze SIP revisions all
measures agreed to during state-to-state consultations or a regional
[[Page 47428]]
planning process, or measures that will provide equivalent visibility
improvement.\184\
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\183\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 2.6.3.
\184\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Long-Term Strategy
The EPA is proposing to find that, due to flaws in some of its
analyses and conclusions, Arizona has not fully satisfied the long-term
strategy requirements of section 51.308(f)(2). In the following
sections we summarize the most significant shortcomings in Arizona's
source selection process, four-factor analyses, and control
determinations, which form the basis for this proposed finding.
a. Source Selection
The EPA finds that many aspects of ADEQ's source selection process,
such as its focus on sulfate, nitrate, and coarse mass and its use of a
Q/d value of 10 for point sources, were reasonable and adequately
explained and documented. However, ADEQ did not provide an adequate
justification for screening out certain sources and units from
conducting a four-factor analysis on the basis that they are
``effectively controlled'' as part of its source selection
process.\185\ Specifically, in some cases, ADEQ did not identify the
controls for each pollutant at each unit or process, the associated
limits, or where the controls/limits currently exist in the Arizona
SIP. In other cases, ADEQ listed the controls, but did not clearly
explain why it is reasonable to assume, without conducting a four-
factor analysis, that no additional controls would be reasonable.\186\
For example, ADEQ cites better-than-BART determinations from the first
planning period for Apache Generating Station Units 2 and 3 and IGS
Unit 4 as a rationale that it is not necessary to conduct a four factor
analysis.\187\ However, despite ADEQ providing some of the limits
associated with these determinations, the mere fact that a unit
installed BART (or better-than-BART) controls in the first planning
period is not a sufficient justification on its own that no new
controls are necessary for reasonable progress in the second planning
period.\188\ Indeed, the evaluation and control of BART sources under
the reasonable progress requirements in the second planning period may
be necessary to achieve the national goal of the prevention of any
future, and the remedying of any existing, manmade impairment of
visibility in Class I areas.\189\ Accordingly, ADEQ should have
identified where the existing limits are found in the SIP or FIP and
clearly explained why no additional controls would likely be reasonable
under a four-factor reasonable progress analysis for the second
planning period. Therefore, ADEQ also did not adequately explain
whether these facilities' existing controls were necessary for
reasonable progress and therefore a part of the state's long-term
strategy.\190\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\185\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) (``. . . The State must include
in its implementation plan a description of the criteria is used to
determine which sources or groups of sources it evaluated and how
the four factors were taken into consideration in selecting the
measures for inclusion in its long-term strategy'').
\186\ Id., see also 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 5, 2019
Guidance, p. 23.
\187\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, pp. 109 and 114.
\188\ See 40 CFR 51.308(e)(5) (``After a State has met the
requirements for BART or implemented an emissions trading program or
other alternative measure that achieves more reasonable progress
than the installation and operation of BART, BART-eligible sources
will be subject to the requirements of [40 CFR 51.308(d) and (f)],
as applicable, in the same manner as other sources.'').
\189\ See 2019 Guidance, p. 25 (``[S]tates may not categorically
exclude all BART-eligible sources, or all sources that installed
BART controls, as candidates for analysis of control measures.'').
\190\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) (``Each State must submit a long-term
strategy that addresses regional haze visibility impairment . . .
the long-term strategy must include the enforceable emissions
limitations . . . that are necessary to make reasonable
progress.''); see also 2021 Clarifications Memo, pp. 8-9.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
b. Four-Factor Analyses
The EPA finds that many of ADEQ's four-factor analyses included
flaws in the cost analyses, which in some instances, significantly
affected the resulting cost effectiveness values that ADEQ used to
determine what measures are necessary to make reasonable progress.
These flaws are detailed in the following sections.
i. Controlled Emission Rates
The emission rates used in some of Arizona's four-factor analyses
did not appropriately reflect the emissions rate achievable with the
relevant controls. For example, in the NOX four-factor
analysis for SGS Units 1 and 2, ADEQ determined that the emission rates
of 0.060 lb/MMBtu and 0.15 lb/MMBtu provide a reasonable estimate of
the achievable rates for SCR and SNCR, respectively. ADEQ noted
considerations related to more frequent startup/shutdown cycles
occurrences at SGS and higher baseline NOX emissions
compared to other similar units, as reasons for using these emissions
rates.
SCR has been demonstrated to achieve 0.05 lb/MMBtu (or up to 90
percent reduction) a retrofit basis,\191\ and achieving this emission
rate at Units 1 and 2 instead of 0.06 lb/MMBtu would result in
approximately 150 tpy of additional NOX reductions per unit
(based upon 2028 emissions provided in Table 5 of this document). We
acknowledge that the startup/shutdown considerations noted by ADEQ are
relevant, particularly for establishing emissions limits on a short-
term averaging period (such as 24-hour average or rolling 30-day),
where startup and shutdown emissions can represent a larger portion of
a unit total emission rate. However, ADEQ has not demonstrated why
these startup/shutdown considerations would be significant enough at
SGS Units 1 and 2 on an annual average basis, which is the averaging
period used to calculate ton/year emissions reductions for cost
effectiveness calculations, to preclude them from achieving this
emissions reduction level with SCR. Similarly, while these factors
could also be relevant to SNCR performance, it has not been
demonstrated why they would cause SNCR on these units to achieve as
little as a 15 percent reduction. Use of lower emissions rates that
more accurately reflect the rates achievable with the associated
control technologies on an annual basis would have resulted in greater
emissions reductions and thus lower cost per ton values associated with
these control options. The State's failure to analyze such lower limits
in their four-factor analyses, combined with other flaws discussed in
Section IV.E.2.b.ii of this document, render the State's analyses
insufficient to support reasoned control determinations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\191\ Ravi K. Srivastava, Robert E. Hall, Sikander Khan, Kevin
Culligan & Bruce W. Lani (2005) Nitrogen Oxides Emission Control
Options for Coal-Fired Electric Utility Boilers, Journal of the Air
& Waste Management Association, 55:9, 1367-1388, DOI: 10.1080/
10473289.2005.10464736. Available at: https://www.tandfonline.com/action/showCitFormats?doi=10.1080/10473289.2005.10464736.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ii. Deviations From Control Cost Manual
When developing a long-term strategy for making reasonable
progress, states must consider the four statutory factors.\192\ In
considering these factors, including the costs of compliance and the
remaining useful life of affected sources, it is important to use
consistent methods in order to allow for comparisons between different
sources within a state, and cost analyses in other states. Therefore,
as part of any four-factor analysis, the EPA has recommended that costs
of compliance should be calculated consistent with the
[[Page 47429]]
methods set forth in the EPA's Control Cost Manual.\193\ As we have
previously noted in relation to BART determinations, ``[w]ithout an
`apples-to-apples' comparison of costs, it is impossible to draw
rational conclusions about the reasonableness of the costs of
compliance for particular control options. Use of the [Control Cost
Manual] methodology is intended to allow a fair comparison of pollution
control costs between similar applications for regulatory purposes.''
\194\ The same principle applies to the evaluation of the cost of
compliance as part of a four-factor analysis.\195\ Therefore, where a
state deviates from these methods, it should explain how its
alternative approach is appropriate and consistent with the regulations
and the statutory requirement to make reasonable progress towards the
national goal. Arizona did not do so.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\192\ See CAA 169A(b)(2)(B), CAA 169A(g)(7), and 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(i).
\193\ 2019 Guidance, p. 31.
\194\ 77 FR 72512, 72518. See also Arizona ex rel. Darwin v.
EPA, 815 F.3d 519, 540 (9th Cir. 2016); (upholding this
interpretation as reasonable).
\195\ 2019 Guidance, p. 31.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
One important element of a cost-effectiveness analysis is the
remaining useful life of the equipment. The equipment life used to
calculate costs for each control technology option, unless constrained
by an enforceable retirement date for the source contained in the SIP,
should be consistent with that found in the respective chapter of the
Control Cost Manual. Any deviations from the Control Cost Manual should
be documented and an appropriate rationale provided.\196\ ADEQ did not
provide appropriate documentation of the remaining useful life (i.e.,
the control equipment life) used to calculate the costs of controls for
some of the facilities it analyzed. For example, in its analysis for
EPNG Williams TURBINE-1, ADEQ assumed a useful life of 25 years for
NOX controls, including for SCR, based on the expected life
of the turbine. However, an enforceable shutdown date is not associated
with the turbine, and in situations where an enforceable shutdown date
does not exist, the remaining useful life of a control under
consideration should be the full period of the useful life of that
control as recommended by the EPA's Control Cost Manual.\197\
Similarly, in its analysis for the compressor engines at EPNG Williams,
ADEQ amortized SCR and other control options over a 20-year period.
This assumption is not supported with any additional information in
either ADEQ's TSD or in the original source document from EPNG.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\196\ Id. at pp. 33-34. See also 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(iii) (``The
State must document the technical basis, including modeling,
monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions information, on which
the State is relying to determine the emission reduction measures
that are necessary to make reasonable progress in each mandatory
Class I Federal area it affects'').
\197\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Another important element of the cost effectiveness analysis is the
interest rate used. In its cost calculations for EPNG Willcox and
Williams, ADEQ used an interest rate of 8.53 percent (for most control
options such as SCR) and 9 percent for water/steam injection. These
values were well above the bank prime interest rates at the time these
analyses were developed, and above the source-specific interest rates
used in other facilities' analyses. While the TSD notes that 8.53
percent is based upon site specific information provided by EPNG, that
information is not in the TSD or the original source document from
EPNG. Additional documentation is needed to support the use of the 8.53
percent and 9 percent interest rates in cost calculations.\198\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\198\ Control Cost Manual, Chapter 2, p. 15. See also 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii) (``The State must document the technical basis,
including modeling, monitoring, cost, engineering, and emissions
information, on which the State is relying to determine the emission
reduction measures that are necessary to make reasonable progress in
each mandatory Class I Federal area it affects'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the absence of adequate documentation supporting deviations from
the Control Cost Manual, we find that ADEQ's cost analyses are not
sufficiently reliable to support its control determinations.
c. Control Determinations
In addition to the issues with source selection and four-factor
analyses noted in the previous sections, we find that ADEQ did not
reasonably weigh the statutory factors in reaching its control
determinations for certain sources, as detailed in the following
paragraphs. In addition, where ADEQ determined that no additional
measures were necessary to make reasonable progress for a particular
source, it did not determine whether the source's existing measures are
necessary to make reasonable progress and therefore, whether they
should be a part of its long-term strategy.
i. Application of Cost Thresholds
As described in Sections IV.E.1.a.ii and IV.E.1.b of this document,
ADEQ set an average cost-effectiveness threshold of $6,500/ton for
point sources. Generally, ADEQ did not provide an adequate
justification for how this threshold resulted in a reasonable set of
control measures.\199\ In a few instances, ADEQ rejected controls for
which the average cost effectiveness was below this chosen threshold
based on incremental cost effectiveness (i.e., the cost-effectiveness
of a more expensive control compared to a less expensive control).
Specifically, ADEQ rejected wet FGD on SGS 1 and 2, and LEC-3 on
Williams RECIP-1, on the grounds that the incremental costs of these
controls, relative to less stringent controls, were excessive. Although
states may choose to consider incremental costs in a reasonable
manner,\200\ we find it was unreasonable for ADEQ to do so only for
specific units and only as a reason to reject controls that otherwise
met the state's chosen cost-effectiveness threshold. In addition, while
ADEQ conducted an analysis of numerous first planning period control
determinations to set its threshold of $6,500/ton, it considered only a
single BART determination to determine that incremental costs of
$11,120/ton (for LEC-3 on Williams Units RECIP-1), and $9,400-13,500/
ton (for wet WGD on SGS 1 and 2) were excessive.\201\ We find that the
use of incremental cost in this way, without adequate support or
consistent application, is not reasonable.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\199\ ``As the Ninth Circuit explained in NPCA v. EPA, 788 F.3d
at 1142, the Regional Haze Rule does not prevent states from
implementing `bright line' rules, such as thresholds, when
considering costs and visibility benefits. However, the state must
explain the basis for any thresholds or other rules (see 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)).'' 2019 Guidance, p. 38.
\200\ Id. p. 40.
\201\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, pp. 121 and
229.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition, we note that several controls were rejected by ADEQ on
the grounds that they were marginally above the chosen cost threshold
($6,500/ton for point sources and $5,000/ton for nonpoint sources). For
example, the cost effectiveness for water injection at Williams
TURBINE-1 was close to ADEQ's cost effectiveness threshold of $6,500/
ton, with a difference of $36. The cost effectiveness threshold for
SNCR on SGS Unit 2 was also marginally above the $6,500/ton threshold,
with a $269 difference. Additionally, a few nonpoint source controls
were also marginally above ADEQ's $5,000/ton threshold but rejected
based on cost, such as a dust control plan ($76 difference) and
sweeping ($164 difference) for ICI construction and sweeping ($164
difference) for paved road dust. Given the flaws in the cost-
effectiveness analyses noted in Section IV.E.2.b, which may have
resulted in inflated cost-effectiveness values, we
[[Page 47430]]
recommend that ADEQ revisit these control determinations in particular.
ii. Use of Visibility as a Factor To Avoid Controls
The EPA has explained that states choosing to consider visibility
benefits as an optional additional factor should not use visibility to
summarily dismiss cost-effective potential controls, and that a state
that has identified cost-effective controls but rejects most or all of
them based on visibility benefits is likely to be improperly using
visibility as an additional factor.\202\ Arizona has not considered
visibility benefits for most of its sources, but appears to have
considered visibility modeling submitted by TEP for SGS. In the SGS
analysis, ADEQ stated that ``[a]ny controls having an average cost-
effectiveness of 6,500 $/ton are cost excessive unless there [is]
compelling evidence that the controls would result in a significant
visibility improvement at Class I areas.'' \203\ In addition, ADEQ
pointed to ``small visibility benefits'' associated with the modeled
NOX and SO2 controls to support its
determinations that no new NOX controls and a less stringent
SO2 control (SDA upgrades) are necessary to make reasonable
progress with respect to SGS Units 1 and 2.\204\ However, ADEQ has not
defined what it considers to be a significant visibility improvement or
how its analysis comports with the regional haze regulations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\202\ 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 13.
\203\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, p. 216.
\204\ Id. at 234.
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Whether a particular visibility impact is meaningful should be
assessed in context and cannot be used to undermine the four statutory
factors that are to be analyzed in order to determine what measures are
necessary for reasonable progress.\205\ As many of the largest
individual visibility impairing sources have either already been
controlled (under the RHR or other CAA or state programs) or have
retired, the remaining individual sources are often smaller and better
controlled, with each source making relatively smaller contributions to
a Class I area as a proportion of total impairment. This does not mean,
however, that additional emissions reductions are not needed in the
second planning period and beyond, and the remaining sources need not
be analyzed for additional controls. To the contrary, the evaluation
and control of such smaller sources may be necessary to achieve the
national goal of the prevention of any future, and the remedying of any
existing, anthropogenic impairment of visibility in Class I areas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\205\ 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i); 2021 Clarifications Memo, p. 14.
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With a Q of 17,044 and a Q/d of 339, SGS is by far the largest
emissions source analyzed by ADEQ in the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan. ADEQ found that Units 3 and 4, as well as Units 1 and 2 for
PM10, were effectively controlled, leaving only
NOX and SO2 at Units 1 and 2 as providing an
opportunity for further control. In the absence of any opportunities
for larger emissions reductions and corresponding visibility benefits,
we find that ADEQ's reliance on ``small'' visibility benefits as an
additional justification for not adopting more stringent controls at
these units is not persuasive.
We also have concerns with certain aspects of the modeling for SGS.
In particular, the analysis considered visibility benefits from a
NOX control on Units 1 and 2 with an emission factor of 0.08
lb/MMBtu, roughly half that resulting from SNCR (0.15 lb/MMBtu) and 25
percent higher than that resulting from SCR (0.06 lb/MMBtu). In
addition, the analyses focused on the average over the 20 percent most
impaired days and concluded the visibility benefits from installing SCR
were small. While it is reasonable to consider visibility impacts on
the most impaired days, due to variability in daily transport patterns,
the EPA's guidance recommends that for individual sources, the maximum
daily visibility impact on all days may be a more meaningful
metric.\206\
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\206\ 2019 Guidance, pp. 15-16.
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In sum, we find that ADEQ's consideration of visibility benefits of
potential controls at SGS Units 1 and 2 did not provide meaningful
support of its rejection of more stringent NOX and
SO2 controls at these two units.
iii. Mass-Based Emissions Caps at SGS
For SGS Units 1 and 2, ADEQ determined that ``emission reductions
equivalent to SDA upgrades at Unit 1 and Unit 2 are necessary to make
reasonable progress'' and established two combined emissions limits for
Unit 1 and Unit 2: 3,729 tons per year on 12-month rolling average; and
16.1 tons per day (tpd) on a 30-calendar-day rolling average. ADEQ
stated that ``establishing the two capped emission limits within the
two emission units can provide compliance flexibility yet still
guarantee that each unit is well controlled to protect and improve the
visibility in Class I areas.'' \207\ For the reasons that follow, the
EPA proposes to find that these limits will not ensure implementation
of the emissions reduction measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress at these units.
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\207\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, p. 239.
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First, as noted in the preceding section, ADEQ rejected wet FGD for
SGS 1 and 2 in part due to incremental cost effectiveness compared to
SDA.\208\ However, as ADEQ acknowledged in the SIP submittal, the
proposed emissions caps will not, in fact, require TEP to upgrade the
SDA controls at these units. Instead, ``TEP will be very likely to
manage its operating level strategically instead of completing the
upgrades to the SDA systems for meeting the RP requirements.'' \209\
Given that TEP will not be required to implement SDA upgrades, we find
it was not reasonable to reject wet FGD on the basis of incremental
cost relative to SDA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\208\ Id. at p. 229.
\209\ Id. at p. 236.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Second, the cost of SDA upgrades was well below ADEQ's established
cost threshold of $6,500/ton, ranging from $828-$883/ton for SGS Unit 1
and $853-$908/ton for SGS Unit 2. Therefore, even if TEP meets the
proposed annual and 30-day limits, it appears that SDA upgrades would
still be cost-effective, based on ADEQ's established cost threshold.
Third, because the limits are set across two units and the tpd
limit is set on a 30-calendar-day basis (rather than a 30-day-boiler-
operating day),\210\ they would not meaningfully constrain the
emissions from one unit during periods when the other unit is not
operating. In particular, the annual SO2 cap of 3,739 tpy is
significantly higher than ADEQ's projected 2028 SO2
emissions for either Unit 1 or Unit 2 (2,869 and 2,982 tpy,
respectively) and nearly double each unit's recent emissions (1,980 and
1,988 tpy respectively on average 2021-2023).\211\ Similarly, the daily
SO2 cap of 16.1 tpd is greater than half of the maximum
combined 30-calendar-day emissions of both Unit 1 and Unit 2 over the
baseline period of 2016-2019.\212\ As noted by ADEQ in their submission
and confirmed in TEP's most recent Integrated Resources Plan, TEP
intends to retire Unit 1 in 2027.\213\ If this occurs,
[[Page 47431]]
Unit 2 would be able to emit 3,739 tpy SO2 in 2028, nearly
double what it emitted on average in 2021-2023 and significantly more
than the 2,982 tpy it is projected to emit in the absence of a cap. In
contrast, a lb/MMbtu limit representing SDA set on each unit would
ensure emissions from Unit 2 would be reduced by approximately \1/3\
from recent emissions levels even if Unit 1 ceases operation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\210\ A limit based on boiler operating days would effectively
exclude days with zero emissions from the calculation of the 30-day
average whereas a limit based on calendar days does not.
\211\ Emissions information can be publicly accessed through the
EPA Clean Air Markets Program data, available at https://campd.epa.gov/.
\212\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix C, Figure 5:
Comparison 30-CD Rolling Average Emission Rates over Baseline Years
against Emission Limit. ADEQ did not provide separate daily
emissions data for Units 1 and 2.
\213\ As part of its preferred alternative in its 2023
Integrated Resources Plan, p. 56, TEP states that ``Initially, the
units will alternate idling between spring and fall (both seasons
include the adjacent winter months). TEP plans to transition Unit 1
to summer-only operations prior to full retirement at the end of
2027.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
By comparison, the NOX emission limits ADEQ proposed for
IGS Unit 3 are also mass-based limits and share some similar elements
with the proposed SGS Unit 1 and 2 limits. We note that the IGS Unit 3
NOX limits differ primarily because the proposed limits are
not relied upon to implement the control determination of a four-factor
analysis. Rather, the IGS Unit 3 limits, which consist of a combination
of limitations on unit capacity and total lifetime emissions, are
subsequently reflected in the unit's four-factor analysis and have the
effect of increasing the cost effectiveness of additional controls into
a cost per ton range that ADEQ considered to be not cost effective.
However, we also note that as currently established in the permit
revision submitted by ADEQ, the IGS Unit 3 limits would become
effective only upon approval of ADEQ's regional haze reasonable
progress determination for IGS by the EPA. Because these limits are not
yet enforceable, we find that they are not an appropriate basis for
modifying the baseline control scenario for a four-factor
analysis.\214\
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\214\ See 40 CFR 51.231(b) (SIP must show the State has the
authority to carry out the SIP at the time of submittal); 2019
Guidance, p. 29 (``[e]nforceable requirements are one reasonable
basis for projecting a change in operating parameters and thus
emissions'').
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Finally, we note that ADEQ's proposed determination is that
``emission reductions equivalent to SDA upgrades at SGS Unit 1 and Unit
2 are necessary to make reasonable progress,'' \215\ rather than that
the SDA upgrades themselves are necessary to make reasonable progress.
This conclusion is not supported by the four-factor analysis, which
examines specific control measures (including SDA upgrades), rather
than total emissions reductions levels and, which concludes ``it is
reasonable to require TEP to upgrade the current SDA systems to further
reduce the SO\2\ emissions at Unit 1 and Unit 2.'' \216\ In particular,
as noted above, ADEQ rejected the use of a more stringent control (wet
FGD), based on incremental costs compared to the cost of actual SDA
upgrades, not emission reductions ``equivalent'' to such upgrades.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\215\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, p. 236.
\216\ Id. at 232.
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For all of these reasons, we propose to find that the
SO2 emissions caps adopted for SGS Units 1 and 2 will not
ensure implementation of the emissions reduction measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress at these units.
iv. Analysis of Existing Measures Necessary for Reasonable Progress
As described in Section III.C of this document, where a state
determines that no additional measures are necessary to make reasonable
progress for a particular source, the state must then determine whether
the source's existing measures are necessary to make reasonable
progress. Generally, a source's existing measures are needed to prevent
future emissions increases and are thus needed to make reasonable
progress. If the existing controls at a selected source are necessary
to make reasonable progress, the state must adopt emissions limits
based on those controls as part of its long-term strategy for the
second planning period and include those limits in its SIP (to the
extent they do not already exist in the SIP).
ADEQ has not addressed whether any of the existing measures relied
upon in its four-factor analyses or its ``effective controls''
determinations are necessary to make reasonable progress and thus
should be a part of the State's long-term strategy for the second
planning period. For example, for SGS Units 3 and 4, ADEQ determined
that no new measures were necessary to make reasonable progress for any
pollutant. Similarly, ADEQ found that no additional controls were
necessary for NOX or PM10 at SGS Units 1 and 2.
However, ADEQ did not evaluate nor determine whether any of the
existing measures for these units and pollutants were necessary to make
reasonable progress and therefore should be a part of its long-term
strategy. The same is true for the many other emissions processes for
which ADEQ determined that no new measures were necessary to make
reasonable progress. Additionally, in general, an emissions limit
reflecting a source's existing measures that are necessary to make
reasonable progress should be in the form of the emissions rate
achieved when implementing those measures (e.g., pounds per million
British thermal units or lbs/MMBtu, pounds per hour or lbs/hr, or
pounds per ton or lbs/ton of produced material) and should correspond
to the emissions rate that was determined to be necessary to make
reasonable progress.\217\ It is therefore unclear what measures the
State is relying on to make reasonable progress, and which are a part
of its long-term strategy for the second planning period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\217\ See Clarifications Memo, p. 11.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As part of its analysis of whether existing effective measures are
necessary to make reasonable progress, the State should have considered
whether the relevant sources are subject to enforceable emissions
limits that ensure their emissions rates will not increase.\218\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\218\ See Section III.C of this document.
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e. Conclusions
As explained in the preceding sections, due to flaws and omissions
in its source selection and four-factor analyses and the resulting
control determinations, the EPA proposes to find that Arizona failed to
reasonably ``evaluate and determine the emission reduction measures
that are necessary to make reasonable progress'' by considering the
four statutory factors as required by 40 CFR 51.308(f)(2)(i) and CAA
section 169A(g)(1). We also propose to find that Arizona failed to
adequately document the technical basis that it relied upon to
determine these emissions reduction measures, as required by 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2)(iii). In so doing, Arizona failed to submit to the EPA a
long-term strategy that includes ``the enforceable emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures that are
necessary to make reasonable progress'' as required by 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2).\219\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\219\ See also CAA 169A(b)(2), 169(b)(2)(B) (the CAA requires
that each implementation plan for a State in which the emissions
from may reasonably be anticipated to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area ``contain such emision
limits, schedules of compliance and other measures as may be
necessary to make reasonable progress toward meeting the national
goal, . . . including . . . a long-term . . . strategy for making
reasonable progress[.]''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Consequently, the EPA is proposing to find that the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan does not satisfy the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(2). Therefore, we are proposing to disapprove Chapters 2,
6.1-6.3, 8, and 9 and Appendices B, C, E, F, G, and H of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan.
F. Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(3) contains the requirements pertaining to RPGs
for each Class I area. Because Arizona is host to Class I areas, it is
subject to
[[Page 47432]]
section 51.308(f)(3)(i) and potentially subject to 51.308(f)(3)(ii).
Section 51.308(f)(3)(i) requires a state in which a Class I area is
located to establish RPGs--one each for the most impaired and clearest
days--reflecting the visibility conditions that will be achieved at the
end of the implementation period as a result of the emissions
limitations, compliance schedules, and other measures required under
paragraph (f)(2) to be in states' long-term strategies, as well as
implementation of other CAA requirements. The long-term strategies as
reflected by the RPGs must provide for an improvement in visibility on
the most impaired days relative to the baseline period and ensure no
degradation on the clearest days relative to the baseline period.
Section 51.308(f)(3)(ii) applies in circumstances in which a Class I
area's RPGs for the most impaired days represents a slower rate of
visibility improvement than the uniform rate of progress calculated
under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1)(vi). Under section 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(A), if
the state in which a mandatory Class I area is located establishes an
RPG for the most impaired days that provides for a slower rate of
visibility improvement than the URP, the state must demonstrate that
there are no additional emissions reduction measures for anthropogenic
sources or groups of sources in the state that would be reasonable to
include in its long-term strategy. Section 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B) requires
that if a state contains sources that are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment in a Class I area in another state,
and the RPG for the most impaired days in that Class I area is above
the URP, the upwind state must provide the same demonstration.
Independent of the URP endpoint adjustments, WRAP used three
different visibility projection methods to estimate visibility
conditions in 2028 (EPA, EPAwoF, and ModMID) for initial calculation of
RPGs. These represent, respectively, the standard approach recommended
in EPA photochemical modeling guidance,\220\ the same approach except
without fire (``woF'') emissions, and a further variant in which the
model is used to select the most impaired days (``Mod'', ``MID''),
rather than selecting them using baseline monitoring data. The approach
ultimately relied upon by ADEQ was EPAwoF. Excluding fire emissions
from the model runs used to calculate the relative change in
concentrations between 2014 and 2028 has the effect of focusing the
projection on the changes in anthropogenic emissions over the period.
(Including fire emissions would make the impairment projection less
responsive to changes in anthropogenic emissions.) While this is not
the standard procedure, it is consistent with the use of anthropogenic
impairment from IMPROVE monitor data. These 2028 estimates are
described in Appendix D of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan and are
calculated following ``Procedures for Making Visibility Projections and
Adjusting Glidepaths using the WRAP-WAQS 2014 Modeling Platform'' \221\
to post-process model results from the 2028OTBa2 projections scenario.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\220\ Modeling Guidance for Demonstrating Air Quality Goals for
Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze, EPA 454/R-18-009, EPA
OAQPS, November 2018, available at https://www.epa.gov/scram/state-implementation-plan-sip-attainment-demonstration-guidance.
\221\ ``Procedures for Making Visibility Projections and
Adjusting Glidepaths using the WRAP-WAQS 2014 Modeling Platform,''
Ramboll, March 1, 2021, final draft, available at the WRAP Regional
Technical Operations Work Group website, https://www.wrapair2.org/RTOWG.aspx; direct link: https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/2028_Vis_Proj_Glidepath_Adj_2021-03-01draft_final.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ADEQ's RPGs for its Class I areas (shown by the IMPROVE monitor),
as compared with baseline conditions and the 2028 Adjusted URP (for the
most-impaired days) are set out in Tables 10-1 and 10-2 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan and shown in Table 21 of this document. As
compared to the 2028 projections illustrated in plan figures 7-11
through 7-19 as ``2028OTBa2 EPA w/o Fire Projection--MID'', these RPGs
account for point-source controls resulting from ADEQ's four factor
analyses. Appendix D, section D6 of the plan describes how
SOX and NOX emissions reductions due to the
controls were used to scale extinction as used in the IMPROVE equation,
then summed and converted to deciviews. While the decreases in the RPGs
from this procedure were quite small, the result better fits the
regulatory definition of RPG as reflecting the effect of controls.
Table 21--Arizona Baseline Conditions, Adjusted URP and 2028 RPGs
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20% Most-impaired days 20% Clearest days
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Site 2000-2004 2000-2004
Baseline 2028 adjusted URP 2028 RPG Baseline 2028 RPG
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BALD1.................................................... 8.80 7.85 6.71 2.98 1.46
CHIR1.................................................... 10.50 9.39 8.90 4.91 3.63
GRCA2.................................................... 7.98 7.33 6.37 2.18 1.29
IKBA1.................................................... 11.19 9.65 8.63 5.40 3.77
PEFO1.................................................... 9.82 8.37 7.41 5.02 2.78
SAGU1.................................................... 12.64 10.65 10.33 6.94 5.77
SIAN1 **................................................. 10.76 9.35 8.41 6.16 3.98
SYCA_RHTS................................................ 12.16 10.14 10.73 5.58 3.43
TONT1.................................................... 11.65 10.00 9.68 6.46 4.48
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Tables 10-1 and 10-2.
** 2013-2017 data is presented instead of 2014-2018 data for SIAN1 as it contains the most recent, complete 3-years dataset for SIAN1.
As described in Section IV.E.2 of this document, we find that
ADEQ's determination of emissions reduction measures that are necessary
to make reasonable progress does not meet the requirements of section
51.308(f)(2). Section 51.308(f)(3)(i) specifies that RPGs must reflect
``enforceable emissions limitations, compliance schedules, and other
measures required under paragraph (f)(2) of this section.'' We commend
ADEQ for setting reasonable progress goals in an effort to meet the
requirements of 51.308(f)(3) in Chapter 3 of the 2022 Arizona Regional
Haze Plan. However, in the absence of an approved long-term strategy,
we cannot approve the associated RPGs.
We also note that for this planning period, all but one Arizona
IMPROVE monitor are projected to have RPGs for the 20 percent most
impaired days that provide for a greater rate of improvement in
visibility than the
[[Page 47433]]
adjusted uniform rate of progress. The IMPROVE visibility monitor for
the Sycamore Canyon Wilderness Class I area is projected to have a 0.59
dv slower rate of visibility improvement than the uniform rate of
progress by 2028.\222\ Section 51.308(f)(3)(ii) of the Regional Haze
Rule requires that if a state adopts an RPG for the most impaired days
that provides for a slower rate of improvement in visibility than the
uniform rate of progress, i.e., if the RPG is above the URP glidepath,
it must include within its SIP submission an assessment of the number
of years it would take to attain natural visibility conditions if
visibility improvement were to continue at the rate of progress
selected by the state as reasonable for the implementation period. ADEQ
provided a discussion in its submission that explains how the monitor
was relocated in 2015 and experienced increases in soil and coarse mass
extinction.\223\ However, the rule requires the state with the Class I
area and any other state with sources affecting that area to make a
``robust demonstration'' that there are no additional emissions
reduction measures for sources that may reasonably be anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment that would be reasonable to include
in the long-term strategy. The robust demonstration requires an
analysis to ensure there are no additional emissions reduction measures
that would be reasonable to include in the long-term strategy. Because
we are proposing to find that ADEQ has not met the requirements of
51.308(f)(2), we also propose to find that it has not satisfied
51.308(f)(3)(ii) with respect to Sycamore Canyon.
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\222\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 10.1.
\223\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Appendix A.
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Finally, we also note that Arizona has not considered whether
sources in Arizona are reasonably anticipated to contribute to
visibility impairment in a Class I area in another state whose RPG for
the most impaired days in that Class I area is above the URP, as
required under 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3)(ii)(B).
For these reasons, we propose to disapprove Chapters 7 and 10 and
Appendix D of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not meeting the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3) pertaining to RPGs.
G. Additional Monitoring To Assess Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment
The EPA and FLMs have not previously advised Arizona that
additional monitoring is needed to assess reasonably attributable
visibility impairment. Therefore, the requirements under 40 CFR
51.308(f)(4) are not applicable to Arizona.
H. Monitoring Strategy and Other Implementation Plan Requirements
Section 51.308(f)(6) specifies that each comprehensive revision of
a state's regional haze SIP must contain or provide for certain
elements, including monitoring strategies, emissions inventories, and
any reporting, recordkeeping, and other measures needed to assess and
report on visibility. A main requirement of this section is for states
with Class I areas to submit monitoring strategies for measuring,
characterizing, and reporting on visibility impairment. Compliance with
this requirement may be met through participation in the IMPROVE
network.
According to Chapter 4 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan,
there are nine IMPROVE monitors and 12 Class 1 areas in Arizona, as
summarized in Table 22 of this document. The monitoring sites are
operated and maintained through a formal cooperative relationship
between the EPA, NPS, FWS, USFS, and Bureau of Land Management.
Table 22--Arizona IMPROVE Monitors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
IMPROVE monitor Class I area FLM
------------------------------------------------------------------------
BALD1........................ Mount Baldy USFS.
Wilderness.
CHIR1........................ Chiricahua National NPS.
Monument.
Chiricahua USFS.
Wilderness, Galiuro
Wilderness.
GRCA2........................ Grand Canyon National NPS.
Park.
IKBA1........................ Mazatzal Wilderness, USFS.
Pine Mountain
Wilderness.
PEFO1........................ Petrified Forest NPS.
National Park.
SAGU1........................ Saguaro National Park NPS.
SIAN1........................ Sierra Ancha USFS.
Wilderness.
SYCA2........................ Sycamore Canyon USFS.
Wilderness.
TONT1........................ Superstition USFS.
Wilderness.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 4-1.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(i) requires SIPs to provide for the
establishment of any additional monitoring sites or equipment needed to
assess whether reasonable progress goals to address regional haze for
all mandatory Class I Federal areas within the state are being
achieved. Regional haze data for each Class I area in Arizona is
collected by an IMPROVE monitor that is operated and maintained by the
FLMs specified in Table 22 of this document. Pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6)(i), ADEQ does not recommend the establishment of any
additional monitoring sites or equipment to assess whether reasonable
progress goals to address regional haze for all Class I Federal areas
within the State are being achieved. ADEQ also indicated that there
have been incomplete years of data and temporarily closed sites.
Arizona has engaged in discussions with IMPROVE, USFS, and the EPA on
improving data collection at closed sites and hopes future site changes
will increase data reliability.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(ii) requires SIPs to provide for procedures by
which monitoring data and other information are used in determining the
contribution of emissions from within the state to regional haze
visibility impairment at mandatory Class I Federal areas both within
and outside the state.
ADEQ indicates that pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(ii), Chapters
5, 6.4, and 9 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan describe the
procedures used in developing this SIP revision. These chapters include
the procedures to assess the quantitative impact of emissions from
Arizona on Class I Federal areas in Arizona and on Class I Federal
areas that Arizona's emissions affect in other states. In general, the
WRAP has analyzed and provided information on relative contributions to
[[Page 47434]]
visibility impairment for Arizona. Arizona has also used data reported
by the IMPROVE program as input into the regional technical support
analysis tool found at the Visibility Information Exchange Web System
and WRAP's Technical Support System, as well as other analysis tools
and efforts sponsored by the WRAP.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(iii) does not apply to Arizona, as it has a
Class I area.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(iv) requires the SIP to provide for the
reporting of all visibility monitoring data to the Administrator at
least annually for each Class I area in the state. ADEQ indicates that
it does not directly collect or handle IMPROVE data, and that ADEQ will
continue to participate in the IMPROVE Visibility Information Exchange
Web System for reporting monitoring data. As noted in Table 22 of this
document, the IMPROVE monitors are operated and maintained by FLMs. The
monitoring strategy for Arizona relies upon the continued availability
of the IMPROVE network.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) requires SIPs to provide for a statewide
inventory of emissions of pollutants that are reasonably anticipated to
cause or contribute to visibility impairment, including emissions for
the most recent year for which data are available and estimates of
future projected emissions. It also requires a commitment to update the
inventory periodically.
Chapter 6 and Appendix B of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
describe the procedures used to produce the statewide emissions
inventory of pollutants reasonably anticipated to cause or contribute
to visibility impairment in the Class I Federal areas that Arizona's
emissions affect. ADEQ indicates that their plan relies primarily upon
four different emissions inventory scenarios: 2014v2, RepBase2,
2028OTBa2, and 2028LTS. Three of those scenarios (2014v2, RepBase2,
2028OTBa2) were developed by WRAP utilizing methods agreed upon by
member states, local air agencies, and western Tribal organizations and
in coordination with FLMs and the EPA. The WRAP 2014v2 inventory is
based on the 2014v2 NEI plus updates provided by western states through
the WRAP Regional Haze workgroup's Emissions and Modeling Protocol
subcommittee. The Representative Baseline (RepBase2) emissions scenario
updates the 2014v2 inventory to account for changes and variation in
emissions between 2014 and 2018 for key WRAP source sectors, as defined
by the WRAP Emissions and Modeling Protocol subcommittee.
Section 51.308(f)(6)(v) also requires states to include estimates
of future projected emissions and include a commitment to update the
inventory periodically.
ADEQ described its 2028 emissions projection methodology in Chapter
6 and Appendix B Section B3 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan.
ADEQ indicates that the WRAP 2028OTBa emissions inventory projection
follows the methods applied in the EPA 2019 Modeling TSD. The WRAP
states updated source sectors to account for implementation of all
applicable federal and state requirements for U.S. anthropogenic
emissions by 2028.
The 2028LTS is an emissions inventory developed by ADEQ with the
2028OTBa2 as a base. The scenario adjusts 2028OTBa2 emissions to
account for those controls included within ADEQ's long-term strategy
for which statewide emission reductions could be estimated. Arizona has
also committed in its SIP submittal to periodically update the
emissions inventories which will include incorporation of emissions
reductions from any new or ongoing air pollution control programs and
any new source retirement/replacement schedules.\224\
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\224\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 6.4.
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The EPA proposes to find that Arizona has met the requirements of
40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) as described above, including through its continued
participation in the IMPROVE network, continued inventory work with the
WRAP, and commitment to update the inventory periodically, and that no
further elements are necessary at this time for Arizona to assess and
report on visibility pursuant to 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6)(vi). The EPA
therefore is proposing to approve Chapters 4 and 6.4 of the 2022
Arizona Regional Haze Plan as meeting the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(f)(6).
I. Requirements for Periodic Reports Describing Progress Towards the
Reasonable Progress Goals
Section 51.308(f)(5) requires that periodic comprehensive revisions
of states' regional haze plans also address the progress report
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)-(5). The purpose of these
requirements is to evaluate progress towards the applicable RPGs for
each Class I area within the state and each Class I area outside the
state that may be affected by emissions from within that state.
Sections 51.308(g)(1) and (2) apply to all states and require a
description of the status of implementation of all measures included in
a state's first implementation period regional haze plan and a summary
of the emissions reductions achieved through implementation of those
measures. Section 51.308(g)(3) applies only to states with Class I
areas within their borders and requires such states to assess current
visibility conditions, changes in visibility relative to baseline
(2000-2004) visibility conditions, and changes in visibility conditions
relative to the period addressed in the first implementation period
progress report. Section 51.308(g)(4) applies to all states and
requires an analysis tracking changes in emissions of pollutants
contributing to visibility impairment from all sources and sectors
since the period addressed by the first implementation period progress
report. This provision further specifies the year, or years, through
which the analysis must extend depending on the type of source and the
platform through which its emissions information is reported. In
addition, section 51.308(g)(5), which also applies to all states,
requires an assessment of any significant changes in anthropogenic
emissions within or outside the state have occurred since the period
addressed by the first implementation period progress report, including
whether such changes were anticipated and whether they have limited or
impeded expected progress towards reducing emissions and improving
visibility.
Section 51.308(f)(5) specifies that a progress report submitted as
part of a comprehensive regional haze SIP revision must address the
time period since the most recent progress report. Arizona submitted
its most recent progress report to the EPA on November 12, 2015, which
presented data analysis for the period 2009 through 2013.\225\
Therefore, for Arizona, the time period required to be addressed in the
progress report began in 2014.
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\225\ 84 FR 33002 (July 11, 2019).
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Arizona's submission also describes the status of measures of the
long-term strategy from the first implementation period, explaining the
controls required under both the SIP and FIP and how those controls
have been implemented.\226\
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\226\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 11 and 2023
Arizona Regional Haze Technical Supplement.
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Arizona's submission also contains a summary of the emissions from
the long-term strategy from the first implementation period for
NOX, SO2, and PM10 at BART
facilities.\227\ In total, ADEQ estimated reductions of 21,296
[[Page 47435]]
tpy NOX, 34,533-38,999 tpy SO2, and 849 tpy
PM10.
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\227\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Table 11-8.
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The EPA therefore proposes to find that Arizona has met the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1) and (2) because its SIP submission
describes the measures included in the long-term strategy from the
first implementation period, as well as the status of their
implementation and the emission reductions achieved through such
implementation.
Arizona's SIP submission included summaries of the visibility
conditions and the trend of the 5-year averages at the Class I
areas.\228\ The SIP submission included the 5-year baseline (2000-2004)
visibility conditions and current conditions (2015-2019) for the
clearest and most impaired days, as discussed in Section IV.D of this
document. The EPA therefore proposes to find that Arizona has met the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(g)(3).
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\228\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 5.
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In a technical supplement sent on November 22, 2023 (``2023 Arizona
Regional Haze Technical Supplement''),\229\ ADEQ provided additional
supporting information to address the requirements of 40 CFR
51.308(g)(4)-(5). Pursuant to section 51.308(g)(4), Arizona provided a
summary of emissions of NOX, SO2,
PM10, PM2.5, VOC, and NH3 from all
sources and activities, including from point, nonpoint, non-road
mobile, and on-road mobile sources for the progress report period,
using the 2014 and 2017 NEI. ADEQ also provided 2014-2019 Clean Air
Markets Program Data (CAMPD) data for all sources with emissions of
visibility impairing pollutants. The reductions achieved by Arizona
emissions control measures are seen in the emissions inventory and
visibility progress. The EPA is therefore proposing to find that
Arizona has met the requirements of section 51.308(g)(4) by providing
emissions information for NOX, SO2,
PM10, PM2.5, VOC, and NH3 broken down
by type of sources and activities within the state.
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\229\ Letter dated November 22, 2023, from Hether Krause, Deputy
Assistant Director, ADEQ Air Quality Division, to Martha Guzman,
Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX (submitted electronically
November 22, 2023).
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Pursuant to section 51.308(g)(5), Arizona provided an assessment of
any significant changes in anthropogenic emissions within or outside
the state that have occurred since the period, including whether or not
these changes in anthropogenic emissions were anticipated in that most
recent plan, and whether they have limited or impeded progress in
reducing pollutant emissions and improving visibility.\230\ ADEQ noted
overall reductions of 21 percent in NOX, 11 percent in
SO2, and 48 percent in VOC using NEI data. ADEQ also noted
overall reductions of 45 percent NOX and 47 percent
SO2 in CAMPD EGU emissions during the progress report
period. ADEQ indicated that these reductions have met or exceeded the
downward trend predicted from the regional haze plan in the first
round. For NH3, ADEQ noted increases from the agriculture
sector, but primarily from a different methodology used to calculate
the emissions. ADEQ noted that the increases in NH3 have not
limited or impeded visibility progress. The EPA is proposing to find
that Arizona has met the requirements of section 51.308(g)(5).
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\230\ 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Technical Supplement, Section
3.
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Additionally, the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze SIP includes a
commitment to submit periodic progress reports in accordance with
section 51.308(f) \231\ and a commitment to evaluate progress towards
the reasonable progress goal for each mandatory Class I Federal area
located within the state and in each mandatory Class I Federal area
located outside the state that may be affected by emissions from within
the state in accordance with section 51.308(g).\232\
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\231\ 40 CFR 51.308(f) (``. . . The [regional haze SIP] revision
due on or before July 31, 2021, must include a commitment by the
State to meet the requirements of paragraph (g) of this section. . .
.''
\232\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 11.4.
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For these reasons, the EPA proposes to approve Chapter 11 of the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan (as supplement by the 2023 Arizona
Regional Haze Technical Supplement) as meeting the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(f)(5) and 40 CFR 51.308(g)(1)-(5) for periodic progress
reports.
J. Requirements for State and Federal Land Manager Coordination
CAA section 169A(d) requires states to consult with FLMs before
holding the public hearing on a proposed regional haze SIP, and to
include a summary of the FLMs' conclusions and recommendations in the
notice to the public. In addition, the FLM consultation provision in
section 51.308(i)(2) requires a state to provide FLMs with an
opportunity for consultation that is early enough in the state's policy
analyses of its emissions reduction obligation so that information and
recommendations provided by the FLMs can meaningfully inform the
state's decisions on its long-term strategy. If the consultation has
taken place at least 120 days before a public hearing or public comment
period, the opportunity for consultation will be deemed early enough.
Regardless, the opportunity for consultation must be provided at least
sixty days before a public hearing or public comment period at the
state level. Section 51.308(i)(2) also provides two substantive topics
on which FLMs must be provided an opportunity to discuss with states:
assessment of visibility impairment in any Class I area and
recommendations on the development and implementation of strategies to
address visibility impairment. Section 51.308(i)(3) requires states, in
developing their implementation plans, to include a description of how
they addressed FLMs' comments.
ADEQ met with USFS and NPS and communicated with the FLMs via email
on multiple occasions before providing the draft SIP to those agencies
for comment.\233\ ADEQ indicated that the purpose of these meetings was
to discuss source screening methodologies, selection of particulate
matter species for analysis, effective control determinations, initial
control determinations, and general consultation on the formation of
the long-term strategy. ADEQ also indicated that FWS was invited to
these events but did not participate.
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\233\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 2.4.2 and Table
2-2.
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On January 4, 2022, Arizona submitted a draft Regional Haze SIP to
the FLMs for a 60-day review and comment period pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2).\234\ ADEQ also met with USFS and NPS on January 13, 2022,
to present the draft SIP revision, answer questions, and receive
initial feedback. Arizona received comments from the USFS on March 10,
2022, and from the NPS on March 11, 2022. ADEQ responded to the FLM
comments and included the responses in Appendix L of their submission
to the EPA, in accordance with section 51.308(i)(3).
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\234\ 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan, Chapter 2.4.
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However, as explained above, because the EPA is proposing to
disapprove certain elements of Arizona's SIP revision, namely the long-
term strategy under 51.308(f)(2) and the reasonable progress goals
under 51.308(f)(3), the EPA is also proposing to disapprove the Plan
with respect to the FLM consultation requirements under 51.308(i).
While Arizona did take administrative steps to provide the FLMs the
requisite opportunity to review and provide feedback on the state's
initial draft plan, the EPA cannot approve the requirements under
[[Page 47436]]
51.308(f)(i) because Arizona's consultation was based on a SIP revision
that did not meet the required statutory and regulatory requirements of
the CAA and the RHR, respectively. Additionally, we note that ADEQ did
not indicate whether the 2023 Arizona Regional Haze Rules Supplement
went through the FLM 60-day review period pursuant to 40 CFR
51.308(i)(2). In addition, if the EPA finalizes the partial approval
and partial disapproval of the Plan, as proposed in this document, in
the process of correcting the deficiencies outlined above with respect
to the RHR and statutory requirements, the state (or the EPA in the
case of an eventual FIP) will be required to again satisfy the FLM
consultation requirement under 51.308(i). Therefore, we are proposing
to disapprove Section 2.4 (``Consultation with Federal Land Managers'')
and Appendix L of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not meeting
the requirements under 40 CFR 51.308(i) as outlined in this section.
V. Prong 4 (Visibility) of the 2012 PM[bdi2].[bdi5] NAAQS
and 2015 Ozone NAAQS Infrastructure SIPs
A. Infrastructure SIPs
Under CAA sections 110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2), each state is required
to submit a SIP that provides for the implementation, maintenance, and
enforcement of each primary or secondary NAAQS. Moreover, CAA section
110(a)(1) and section 110(a)(2) require each state to make this new SIP
submission within three years (or less, if the Administrator so
prescribes) after promulgation of a new or revised NAAQS. This type of
SIP submission is commonly referred to as an ``infrastructure SIP.''
The overall purpose of the infrastructure SIP requirements is to ensure
that the necessary structural components of each state's air quality
management program are adequate to meet the state's responsibilities
for the new or revised NAAQS. Overall, the infrastructure SIP
submission process provides an opportunity for the responsible air
agency, the public, and the EPA to review the basic structural
requirements of the air agency's air quality management program in
light of each new or revised NAAQS.
Section 110(a)(2)(D) has two components: 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and
110(a)(2)(D)(ii). Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) includes four distinct
components, commonly referred to as ``prongs,'' that must be addressed
in infrastructure SIP submissions. The first two prongs, which are
codified in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prohibit any source or other
type of emissions activity in one state from contributing significantly
to nonattainment of the NAAQS in another state (prong 1) and from
interfering with maintenance of the NAAQS in another state (prong 2).
The third and fourth prongs, which are codified in section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), prohibit emissions activity in one state from
interfering with measures required to prevent significant deterioration
of air quality in another state (prong 3) or from interfering with
measures to protect visibility in another state (prong 4).
B. Prong 4 Requirements
Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) requires SIPs to contain provisions
prohibiting sources in that state from emitting pollutants in amounts
that interfere with any other state's efforts to protect visibility
under part C of the CAA (which includes sections 169A and 169B). The
EPA issued guidance on infrastructure SIPs in a September 13, 2013
memorandum from Stephen D. Page titled ``Guidance on Infrastructure
State Implementation Plan (SIP) Elements under Clean Air Act Sections
110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2)'' (``2013 Guidance''). The 2013 Guidance states
that these prong 4 requirements can be satisfied by approved SIP
provisions that the EPA has found to adequately address any
contribution of that state's sources that impact the visibility program
requirements in other states. The 2013 Guidance also states that the
EPA interprets this prong to be pollutant-specific, such that the
infrastructure SIP submission need only address the potential for
interference with protection of visibility caused by the pollutant
(including precursors) to which the new or revised NAAQS applies.
The 2013 Guidance lays out how a state's infrastructure SIP may
satisfy prong 4. In the second planning period, confirmation that the
state has a fully approved regional haze SIP that fully meets the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.308 or 51.309 will satisfy the requirements
of prong 4.\235\ The regulations at 40 CFR 51.308 and 51.309
specifically require that a state participating in a regional planning
process include all measures needed to achieve its apportionment of
emission reduction obligations agreed upon through that process. A
fully approved regional haze SIP \236\ will ensure that emissions from
sources under an air agency's jurisdiction are not interfering with
measures required to be included in other air agencies' plans to
protect visibility.
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\235\ The EPA acknowledges that in the 2013 Guidance, we
indicate that the EPA may find it appropriate to supplement the
guidance regarding the relationship between regional haze SIPs and
prong 4 after second planning SIPs become due, which occurred on
July 31, 2021. After a review of the 2013 guidance and the second
planning period regional haze requirements, the EPA maintains the
interpretation that a fully approved regional haze SIP satisfies
Prong 4 requirements in the second planning period.
\236\ Since second planning period SIPs became due, a ``fully
approved regional haze SIP'' would necessarily include fully
approved first and second planning period regional haze SIPs.
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Through this action, the EPA is proposing to disapprove the prong 4
portion of Arizona's infrastructure SIP submissions for the 2012
PM2.5 and 2015 ozone NAAQS. All other applicable
infrastructure SIP requirements for these SIP submissions have been or
will be addressed in separate rulemakings. A brief background regarding
the NAAQS relevant to this proposal is provided in the following
sections.
1. 2012 PM2.5 NAAQS
On December 14, 2012, the EPA revised the annual primary
PM2.5 NAAQS to 12 [mu]g/m\3\.\237\ States were required to
submit infrastructure SIP submissions for the 2012 PM2.5
NAAQS to the EPA within three years of promulgation of the revised
NAAQS. Arizona submitted its infrastructure SIP for the 2012
PM2.5 NAAQS on December 11, 2015 (``2015 PM2.5 I-
SIP submittal'').\238\ This proposed rulemaking only addresses the
prong 4 element of 2015 PM2.5 I-SIP submittal.
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\237\ 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013).
\238\ Letter dated December 11, 2015, from Eric Massey,
Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to Jared Blumenfeld, Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX.
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2. 2015 Ozone NAAQS
On October 26, 2015, the EPA revised the 8-hour ozone NAAQS to 70
parts per billion.\239\ States were required to submit infrastructure
SIPs within three years of promulgation of the revised NAAQS. Arizona
submitted its infrastructure SIP for the 2015 ozone NAAQS on September
24, 2018 (``2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal'').\240\ This proposed
rulemaking only addresses the prong 4 element of the 2018 Ozone I-SIP
submittal.\241\
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\239\ 80 FR 65292 (October 26, 2015).
\240\ Letter dated September 24, 2018, from Timothy S.
Franquist, Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ, to Michael Stoker,
Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX (submitted electronically
September 24, 2018).
\241\ The EPA proposed action on the rest of the 2018 Ozone I-
SIP submittal in two separate rulemakings. See 87 FR 37776 (June 24,
2022) and 87 FR 74349 (December 5, 2022). On February 16, 2024, the
EPA issued a supplemental proposal regarding transport prongs 1 and
2 (88 FR 12666). The EPA proposed to partially approve the 2018
Ozone I-SIP submittal with respect to Prong 1 and to partially
disapprove the 2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal with respect to Prong 2.
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[[Page 47437]]
C. Arizona's Prong 4 Elements
Arizona's 2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal and 2015 PM2.5 I-
SIP submittal acknowledge that Arizona does not currently have a fully
approved Regional Haze SIP. They therefore rely, in part, on
regulations imposed by FIPs during the first planning period to address
visibility impairment in Class I Areas caused by NOX,
SO2, and PM.\242\ The FIPs include emissions limits for the
following facilities: Freeport McMoran Miami Smelter,\243\ Asarco
Hayden Smelter,\244\ Sundt Generating Station Unit 4,\245\ Nelson Lime
Plant Kilns 1 and 2,\246\ CPC Rillito Kiln 4,\247\ and PCC Clarkdale
Kiln 4.\248\ Emissions limits have been incorporated into the state
SIP, replacing previous FIPs, at AEPCO Apache Generating Station Units
1, 2, and 3,\249\ APS Cholla Power Plant Units 1-4,\250\ and SRP
Coronado Generating Station Units 1 and 2.\251\
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\242\ Arizona Infrastructure SIP for the 2012 PM2.5
NAAQS, p. 11; Arizona Infrastructure SIP for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS,
pp. 15-16.
\243\ 79 FR 52420 (September 3, 2014).
\244\ Id.
\245\ Id. Sundt Generating Station is also known as Irvington
Generating Station.
\246\ Id.
\247\ 81 FR 83144 (November 21, 2016).
\248\ Id.
\249\ 80 FR 19220 (April 10, 2015).
\250\ 82 FR 15139 (March 27, 2017).
\251\ 82 FR 46903 (October 10, 2017).
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D. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Submittal
Because Arizona does not have a fully approved regional haze plan
for the first or second planning period, it cannot rely on a fully
approved regional haze SIP in order to fulfill the prong 4 requirements
for the 2012 PM2.5 and 2015 ozone NAAQS. Consequently, the
EPA is proposing to disapprove the prong 4 portion of Arizona's 2018
Ozone I-SIP submittal and 2015 PM2.5 I-SIP submittal.
VI. Proposed Action
For the reasons discussed in this notice, under CAA section
110(k)(3), the EPA is proposing to partially approve and partially
disapprove the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan. We propose to approve
the following portions of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan:
Chapter 5 and Appendix A of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze
Plan as meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(1) requirements related to
calculations of baseline, current, and natural visibility conditions,
progress to date, and the uniform rate of progress;
Chapters 4 and 6.4 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan
as meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(4) requirements for additional
monitoring to assess reasonably attributable visibility impairment,
which is not applicable to Arizona;
Chapter 11 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan and the
2023 Arizona Regional Haze Technical Supplement as meeting the 40 CFR
51.308(f)(5) requirements for the plan to serve as a progress report;
Chapters 4 and 6.4 of the Arizona Regional Haze Plan as
meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(6) monitoring strategy requirements; and
Chapter 11 of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan and the
2023 Arizona Regional Haze Technical Supplement as meeting the 40 CFR
51.308 (g)(1)-(5) progress report requirements.
Additionally, the EPA is proposing to approve Chapters 1
(``Regional Haze Program Overview'') and 3 (``Description of Arizona
Class I Federal Areas'') as supporting information. The EPA is
excluding Appendix I (``Authorizing Statutes'') of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan, which provides information on the authorizing
statutes in Arizona, from our action.
The EPA is proposing to disapprove the following portions of the
2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan:
Chapters 2, 6.1-6.3, 8, and 9 and Appendices B, C, E, F,
G, H, and J of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not meeting the
40 CFR 51.308(f)(2) long-term strategy requirement;
Chapters 7 and 10, and Appendix D of the 2022 Arizona
Regional Haze Plan for not meeting the 40 CFR 51.308(f)(3) reasonable
progress goals requirement;
Chapter 2.4 (``Consultation with Federal Land Managers'')
and Appendix L of the 2022 Arizona Regional Haze Plan for not meeting
the 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2)-(4) FLM consultation requirements.
Further, the EPA is proposing to disapprove the interstate
transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) prong 4
(visibility) for the 2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal and 2015
PM2.5 I-SIP submittal.
Under section 179(a) of the CAA, final disapproval of a submittal
that addresses a requirement of part D, title I of the CAA or is
required in response to a finding of substantial inadequacy as
described in CAA section 110(k)(5) (SIP Call) starts a sanctions clock.
Arizona's 2022 Regional Haze Plan, 2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal, and 2015
PM2.5 I-SIP submittal were not submitted to meet any of
these requirements. Therefore, if finalized, these disapprovals would
not trigger any offset or highway sanctions clocks. Disapproving a SIP
submission also establishes a two-year deadline for the EPA to
promulgate a FIP to address the relevant requirements under CAA section
110(c), unless the EPA approves a subsequent SIP submission that meets
these requirements. We anticipate that, if these disapprovals are
finalized, any SIP or FIP that remedies the disapprovals with respect
to Regional Haze requirements, would also, in conjunction with the
existing Arizona Regional Haze FIP, remedy the disapproval for the
interstate transport visibility requirement of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) for the 2018 Ozone I-SIP submittal and 2015
PM2.5 I-SIP submittal.
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable
federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to review state choices,
and approve those choices if they meet the minimum criteria of the Act.
Accordingly, this proposed rulemaking proposes to partially approve and
partially disapprove state law as meeting federal requirements and does
not impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state law.
Additional information about these statutes and Executive Orders
can be found at https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review
This action is not a significant regulatory action and was
therefore not submitted to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB)
for review.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
This action does not impose an information collection burden under
the PRA because this action does not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by state law.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities under the RFA. This
action will not impose any requirements on small entities beyond those
imposed by state law.
[[Page 47438]]
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
This action does not contain any unfunded mandate as described in
UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538, and does not significantly or uniquely affect
small governments. This action does not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by state law. Accordingly, no additional costs to
state, local, or Tribal governments, or to the private sector, will
result from this action.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the states, on the relationship between
the national government and the states, or on the distribution of power
and responsibilities among the various levels of government.
F. Executive Order 13175: Coordination With Indian Tribal Governments
This action does not have Tribal implications, as specified in
Executive Order 13175, because the SIP is not approved to apply on any
Indian reservation land or in any other area where the EPA or an Indian
Tribe has demonstrated that a Tribe has jurisdiction, and will not
impose substantial direct costs on Tribal governments or preempt Tribal
law. Thus, Executive Order 13175 does not apply to this action.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental
Health Risks and Safety Risks
The EPA interprets Executive Order 13045 as applying only to those
regulatory actions that concern environmental health or safety risks
that the EPA has reason to believe may disproportionately affect
children, per the definition of ``covered regulatory action'' in
section 2-202 of the Executive Order. Therefore, this action is not
subject to Executive Order 13045 because it merely proposes to
partially approve and partially disapprove state law as meeting federal
requirements. Furthermore, the EPA's Policy on Children's Health does
not apply to this action.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions That Significantly Affect Energy
Supply, Distribution, or Use
This action is not subject to Executive Order 13211, because it is
not a significant regulatory action under Executive Order 12866.
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA)
Section 12(d) of the NTTAA directs the EPA to use voluntary
consensus standards in its regulatory activities unless to do so would
be inconsistent with applicable law or otherwise impractical. The EPA
believes that this action is not subject to the requirements of section
12(d) of the NTTAA because application of those requirements would be
inconsistent with the CAA.
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Population
Executive Order 12898 (Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
Feb. 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies to identify and address
``disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental
effects'' of their actions on minority populations and low-income
populations to the greatest extent practicable and permitted by law.
The EPA defines environmental justice (EJ) as ``the fair treatment and
meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and
policies.'' The EPA further defines the term fair treatment to mean
that ``no group of people should bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks, including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and policies.''
The State did not evaluate environmental justice considerations as
part of its SIP submittals; the CAA and applicable implementing
regulations neither prohibit nor require such an evaluation. The EPA
did not perform an EJ analysis and did not consider EJ in this action.
Due to the nature of the action being taken here, if finalized, this
action is expected to have a neutral to positive impact on the air
quality of the affected area. Consideration of EJ is not required as
part of this action, and there is no information in the record
inconsistent with the stated goal of E.O. 12898 of achieving
environmental justice for people of color, low-income populations, and
Indigenous peoples.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: May 23, 2024.
Martha Guzman Aceves,
Regional Administrator, Region IX.
[FR Doc. 2024-11807 Filed 5-30-24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P