New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, 39798-40064 [2024-09233]
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39798
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40 CFR Part 60
[EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072; FRL–8536–01–
OAR]
RIN 2060–AV09
New Source Performance Standards
for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
New, Modified, and Reconstructed
Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating
Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; and Repeal of the
Affordable Clean Energy Rule
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is finalizing multiple
actions under section 111 of the Clean
Air Act (CAA) addressing greenhouse
gas (GHG) emissions from fossil fuelfired electric generating units (EGUs).
First, the EPA is finalizing the repeal of
the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) Rule.
Second, the EPA is finalizing emission
guidelines for GHG emissions from
existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating EGUs, which include both
coal-fired and oil/gas-fired steam
generating EGUs. Third, the EPA is
finalizing revisions to the New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) for GHG
emissions from new and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbine EGUs. Fourth, the EPA is
finalizing revisions to the NSPS for GHG
emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units that undertake a large
modification, based upon the 8-year
review required by the CAA. The EPA
is not finalizing emission guidelines for
GHG emissions from existing fossil fuelfired stationary combustion turbines at
this time; instead, the EPA intends to
take further action on the proposed
emission guidelines at a later date.
DATES: This final rule is effective on July
8, 2024. The incorporation by reference
of certain publications listed in the rules
is approved by the Director of the
Federal Register as of July 8, 2024. The
incorporation by reference of certain
other materials listed in the rule was
approved by the Director of the Federal
Register as of October 23, 2015.
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SUMMARY:
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The EPA has established a
docket for these actions under Docket ID
No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072. All
documents in the docket are listed on
the https://www.regulations.gov
website. Although listed, some
information is not publicly available,
e.g., Confidential Business Information
(CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute.
Certain other material, such as
copyrighted material, is not placed on
the internet and will be publicly
available only in hard copy form.
Publicly available docket materials are
available electronically through https://
www.regulations.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lisa
Thompson (she/her), Sector Policies and
Programs Division (D243–02), Office of
Air Quality Planning and Standards,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
109 T.W. Alexander Drive, P.O. Box
12055, Research Triangle Park, North
Carolina 27711; telephone number:
(919) 541–5158; and email address:
thompson.lisa@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Preamble acronyms and
abbreviations. Throughout this
document the use of ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or
‘‘our’’ is intended to refer to the EPA.
The EPA uses multiple acronyms and
terms in this preamble. While this list
may not be exhaustive, to ease the
reading of this preamble and for
reference purposes, the EPA defines the
following terms and acronyms here:
ADDRESSES:
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
ACE Affordable Clean Energy rule
BSER best system of emissions reduction
Btu British thermal unit
CAA Clean Air Act
CBI Confidential Business Information
CCS carbon capture and sequestration/
storage
CCUS carbon capture, utilization, and
sequestration/storage
CO2 carbon dioxide
DER distributed energy resources
DOE Department of Energy
EEA energy emergency alert
EGU electric generating unit
EIA Energy Information Administration
EJ environmental justice
E.O. Executive Order
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
FEED front-end engineering and design
FGD flue gas desulfurization
FR Federal Register
GHG greenhouse gas
GW gigawatt
GWh gigawatt-hour
HAP hazardous air pollutant
HRSG heat recovery steam generator
IIJA Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
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IRC Internal Revenue Code
kg kilogram
kWh kilowatt-hour
LCOE levelized cost of electricity
LNG liquefied natural gas
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
MMBtu/h million British thermal units per
hour
MMT CO2e million metric tons of carbon
dioxide equivalent
MW megawatt
MWh megawatt-hour
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality
Standards
NESHAP National Emission Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants
NGCC natural gas combined cycle
NOX nitrogen oxides
NSPS new source performance standards
NSR New Source Review
PM particulate matter
PM2.5 fine particulate matter
RIA regulatory impact analysis
TSD technical support document
U.S. United States
Organization of this document. The
information in this preamble is
organized as follows:
I. Executive Summary
A. Climate Change and Fossil Fuel-Fired
EGUs
B. Recent Developments in Emissions
Controls and the Electric Power Sector
C. Summary of the Principal Provisions of
These Regulatory Actions
D. Grid Reliability Considerations
E. Environmental Justice Considerations
F. Energy Workers and Communities
G. Key Changes From Proposal
II. General Information
A. Action Applicability
B. Where To Get a Copy of This Document
and Other Related Information
III. Climate Change Impacts
IV. Recent Developments in Emissions
Controls and the Electric Power Sector
A. Background
B. GHG Emissions From Fossil Fuel-Fired
EGUs
C. Recent Developments in Emissions
Control
D. The Electric Power Sector: Trends and
Current Structure
E. The Legislative, Market, and State Law
Context
F. Future Projections of Power Sector
Trends
V. Statutory Background and Regulatory
History for CAA Section 111
A. Statutory Authority To Regulate GHGs
From EGUs Under CAA Section 111
B. History of EPA Regulation of
Greenhouse Gases From Electricity
Generating Units Under CAA Section
111 and Caselaw
C. Detailed Discussion of CAA Section 111
Requirements
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VI. ACE Rule Repeal
A. Summary of Selected Features of the
ACE Rule
B. Developments Undermining ACE Rule’s
Projected Emission Reductions
C. Developments Showing That Other
Technologies Are the BSER for This
Source Category
D. Insufficiently Precise Degree of
Emission Limitation Achievable From
Application of the BSER
E. Withdrawal of Proposed NSR Revisions
VII. Regulatory Approach for Existing Fossil
Fuel-Fired Steam Generating Units
A. Overview
B. Applicability Requirements and Fossil
Fuel-Type Definitions for Subcategories
of Steam Generating Units
C. Rationale for the BSER for Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units
D. Rationale for the BSER for Natural GasFired and Oil-Fired Steam Generating
Units
E. Additional Comments Received on the
Emission Guidelines for Existing Steam
Generating Units and Responses
F. Regulatory Requirement To Review
Emission Guidelines for Coal-Fired Units
VIII. Requirements for New and
Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbine EGUs and Rationale for
Requirements
A. Overview
B. Combustion Turbine Technology
C. Overview of Regulation of Stationary
Combustion Turbines for GHGs
D. Eight-Year Review of NSPS
E. Applicability Requirements and
Subcategorization
F. Determination of the Best System of
Emission Reduction (BSER) for New and
Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbines
G. Standards of Performance
H. Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbines
I. Modified Stationary Combustion
Turbines
J. Startup, Shutdown, and Malfunction
K. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
L. Recordkeeping and Reporting
Requirements
M. Compliance Dates
N. Compliance Date Extension
IX. Requirements for New, Modified, and
Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam
Generating Units
A. 2018 NSPS Proposal Withdrawal
B. Additional Amendments
C. Eight-Year Review of NSPS for Fossil
Fuel-Fired Steam Generating Units
D. Projects Under Development
X. State Plans for Emission Guidelines for
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
A. Overview
B. Requirement for State Plans To Maintain
Stringency of the EPA’s BSER
Determination
C. Establishing Standards of Performance
D. Compliance Flexibilities
E. State Plan Components and Submission
XI. Implications for Other CAA Programs
A. New Source Review Program
B. Title V Program
XII. Summary of Cost, Environmental, and
Economic Impacts
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A. Air Quality Impacts
B. Compliance Cost Impacts
C. Economic and Energy Impacts
D. Benefits
E. Net Benefits
F. Environmental Justice Analytical
Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
G. Grid Reliability Considerations and
Reliability-Related Mechanisms
XIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory
Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995
(UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks Populations and
Low-Income Populations
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions
To Address Environmental Justice in
Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations and Executive Order 14096:
Revitalizing Our Nation’s Commitment
to Environmental Justice for All
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
XIV. Statutory Authority
I. Executive Summary
In 2009, the EPA concluded that GHG
emissions endanger our nation’s public
health and welfare.1 Since that time, the
evidence of the harms posed by GHG
emissions has only grown, and
Americans experience the destructive
and worsening effects of climate change
every day.2 Fossil fuel-fired EGUs are
the nation’s largest stationary source of
GHG emissions, representing 25 percent
of the United States’ total GHG
emissions in 2021.3 At the same time, a
range of cost-effective technologies and
approaches to reduce GHG emissions
from these sources is available to the
power sector—including carbon capture
and sequestration/storage (CCS), cofiring with less GHG-intensive fuels,
1 74
FR 66496 (December 15, 2009).
5th National Climate Assessment (NCA5)
states that the effects of human-caused climate
change are already far-reaching and worsening
across every region of the United States and that
climate change affects all aspects of the energy
system-supply, delivery, and demand-through the
increased frequency, intensity, and duration of
extreme events and through changing climate
trends.
3 https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sourcesgreenhouse-gas-emissions.
2 The
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and more efficient generation. Congress
has also acted to provide funding and
other incentives to encourage the
deployment of various technologies,
including CCS, to achieve reductions in
GHG emissions from the power sector.
In this notice, the EPA is finalizing
several actions under section 111 of the
Clean Air Act (CAA) to reduce the
significant quantity of GHG emissions
from fossil fuel-fired EGUs by
establishing emission guidelines and
new source performance standards
(NSPS) that are based on available and
cost-effective technologies that directly
reduce GHG emissions from these
sources. Consistent with the statutory
command of CAA section 111, the final
NSPS and emission guidelines reflect
the application of the best system of
emission reduction (BSER) that, taking
into account costs, energy requirements,
and other statutory factors, is adequately
demonstrated.
Specifically, the EPA is first finalizing
the repeal of the Affordable Clean
Energy (ACE) Rule. Second, the EPA is
finalizing emission guidelines for GHG
emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating EGUs, which include
both coal-fired and oil/gas-fired steam
generating EGUs. Third, the EPA is
finalizing revisions to the NSPS for GHG
emissions from new and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbine EGUs. Fourth, the EPA is
finalizing revisions to the NSPS for GHG
emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units that undertake a large
modification, based upon the 8-year
review required by the CAA. The EPA
is not finalizing emission guidelines for
GHG emissions from existing fossil fuelfired combustion turbines at this time
and plans to expeditiously issue an
additional proposal that more
comprehensively addresses GHG
emissions from this portion of the fleet.
The EPA acknowledges that the share of
GHG emissions from existing fossil fuelfired combustion turbines has been
growing and is projected to continue to
do so, particularly as emissions from
other portions of the fleet decline, and
that it is vital to regulate the GHG
emissions from these sources consistent
with CAA section 111.
These final actions ensure that the
new and existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs
that are subject to these rules reduce
their GHG emissions in a manner that is
cost-effective and improves the
emissions performance of the sources,
consistent with the applicable CAA
requirements and caselaw. These
standards and emission guidelines will
significantly decrease GHG emissions
from fossil fuel-fired EGUs and the
associated harms to human health and
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welfare. Further, the EPA has designed
these standards and emission guidelines
in a way that is compatible with the
nation’s overall need for a reliable
supply of affordable electricity.
reducing GHG emissions from these
affected sources can also help reduce
power sector pollution that might
otherwise result from the electrification
of other sectors of the economy.
A. Climate Change and Fossil Fuel-Fired
EGUs
These final actions reduce the
emissions of GHGs from new and
existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The
increasing concentrations of GHGs in
the atmosphere are, and have been,
warming the planet, resulting in serious
and life-threatening environmental and
human health impacts. The increased
concentrations of GHGs in the
atmosphere and the resulting warming
have led to more frequent and more
intense heat waves and extreme weather
events, rising sea levels, and retreating
snow and ice, all of which are occurring
at a pace and scale that threaten human
health and welfare.
Fossil fuel-fired EGUs that are
uncontrolled for GHGs are one of the
biggest domestic sources of GHG
emissions. At the same time, there are
technologies available (including
technologies that can be applied to
fossil fuel-fired power plants) to
significantly reduce emissions of GHGs
from the power sector. Low- and zeroGHG electricity are also key enabling
technologies to significantly reduce
GHG emissions in almost every other
sector of the economy.
In 2021, the power sector was the
largest stationary source of GHGs in the
United States, emitting 25 percent of
overall domestic emissions.4 In 2021,
existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units accounted for 65
percent of the GHG emissions from the
sector, but only accounted for 23
percent of the total electricity
generation.
Because of its outsized contributions
to overall emissions, reducing emissions
from the power sector is essential to
addressing the challenge of climate
change—and sources in the power
sector also have many available options
for reducing their climate-destabilizing
emissions. Particularly relevant to these
actions are several key technologies
(CCS and co-firing of lower-GHG fuels)
that allow fossil fuel-fired steam
generating EGUs and stationary
combustion turbines to provide power
while emitting significantly lower GHG
emissions. Moreover, with the increased
electrification of other GHG-emitting
sectors of the economy, such as personal
vehicles, heavy-duty trucks, and the
heating and cooling of buildings,
B. Recent Developments in Emissions
Controls and the Electric Power Sector
Several recent developments
concerning emissions controls are
relevant for the EPA’s determination of
the BSER for existing coal-fired steam
generating EGUs and new natural gasfired stationary combustion turbines.
These include lower costs and
continued improvements in CCS
technology, alongside Federal tax
incentives that allow companies to
largely offset the cost of CCS. Wellestablished trends in the sector further
inform where using such technologies is
cost effective and feasible, and form part
of the basis for the EPA’s determination
of the BSER.
In recent years, the cost of CCS has
declined in part because of process
improvements learned from earlier
deployments and other advances in the
technology. In addition, the Inflation
Reduction Act (IRA), enacted in 2022,
extended and significantly increased the
tax credit for carbon dioxide (CO2)
sequestration under Internal Revenue
Code (IRC) section 45Q. The provision
of tax credits in the IRA, combined with
the funding included in the
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
(IIJA), enacted in 2021, incentivize and
facilitate the deployment of CCS and
other GHG emission control
technologies. As explained later in this
preamble, these developments support
the EPA’s conclusion that CCS is the
BSER for certain subcategories of new
and existing EGUs because it is an
adequately demonstrated and available
control technology that significantly
reduces emissions of dangerous
pollution and because the costs of its
installation and operation are
reasonable. Some companies have
already made plans to install CCS on
their units independent of the EPA’s
regulations.
Well documented trends in the power
sector also influence the EPA’s
determination of the BSER. In
particular, CCS entails significant
capital expenditures and is only costreasonable for units that will operate
enough to defray those capital costs. At
the same time, many utilities and power
generating companies have recently
announced plans to accelerate changing
the mix of their generating assets. The
IIJA and IRA, state legislation,
technology advancements, market
forces, consumer demand, and the
advanced age of much of the existing
4 https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sourcesgreenhouse-gas-emissions.
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fossil fuel-fired generating fleet are
collectively leading to, in most cases,
decreased use of the fossil fuel-fired
units that are the subjects of these final
actions. From 2010 through 2022, fossil
fuel-fired generation declined from
approximately 72 percent of total net
generation to approximately 60 percent,
with generation from coal-fired sources
dropping from 49 percent to 20 percent
of net generation during this period.5
These trends are expected to continue
and are relevant to determining where
capital-intensive technologies, like CCS,
may be feasibly and cost-reasonably
deployed to reduce emissions.
Congress has taken other recent
actions to drive the reduction of GHG
emissions from the power sector. As
noted earlier, Congress enacted IRC
section 45Q in section 115 of the Energy
Improvement and Extension Act of 2008
to provide a tax credit for the
sequestration of CO2. Congress
significantly amended IRC section 45Q
in the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018,
and more recently in the IRA, to make
this tax incentive more generous and
effective in spurring long-term
deployment of CCS. In addition, the IIJA
provided more than $65 billion for
infrastructure investments and upgrades
for transmission capacity, pipelines, and
low-carbon fuels.6 Further, the Creating
Helpful Incentives to Produce
Semiconductors and Science Act
(CHIPS Act) authorized billions more in
funding for development of low- and
non-GHG emitting energy technologies
that could provide additional low-cost
options for power companies to reduce
overall GHG emissions.7 As discussed
in greater detail in section IV.E.1 of this
preamble, the IRA, the IIJA, and CHIPS
contain numerous other provisions
encouraging companies to reduce their
GHGs.
C. Summary of the Principal Provisions
of These Regulatory Actions
These final actions include the repeal
of the ACE Rule, BSER determinations
and emission guidelines for existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units,
and BSER determinations and
accompanying standards of performance
for GHG emissions from new and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired stationary
combustion turbines and modified fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units.
5 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Power Annual. 2010 and 2022. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/html/epa_03_01_
a.html.
6 https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/
house-bill/3684.
7 https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/
house-bill/4346.
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The EPA is taking these actions
consistent with its authority under CAA
section 111. Under CAA section 111,
once the EPA has identified a source
category that contributes significantly to
dangerous air pollution, it proceeds to
regulate new sources and, for GHGs and
certain other air pollutants, existing
sources. The central requirement is that
the EPA must determine the ‘‘best
system of emission reduction . . .
adequately demonstrated,’’ taking into
account the cost of the reductions, nonair quality health and environmental
impacts, and energy requirements.8 The
EPA may determine that different sets of
sources have different characteristics
relevant for determining the BSER and
may subcategorize sources accordingly.
Once it identifies the BSER, the EPA
must determine the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation’’ achievable by application of
the BSER. For new sources, the EPA
establishes the standard of performance
with which the sources must comply,
which is a standard for emissions that
reflects the degree of emission
limitation. For existing sources, the EPA
includes the information it has
developed concerning the BSER and
associated degree of emission limitation
in emission guidelines and directs the
states to adopt state plans that contain
standards of performance that are
consistent with the emission guidelines.
Since the early 1970s, the EPA has
promulgated regulations under CAA
section 111 for more than 60 source
categories, which has established a
robust set of regulatory precedents that
has informed the development of these
final actions. During this period, the
courts, primarily the U.S. Court of
Appeals for the D.C. Circuit and the
Supreme Court, have developed a body
of caselaw interpreting CAA section
111. As the Supreme Court has
recognized, the EPA has typically (and
does so in these actions) determined the
BSER to be ‘‘measures that improve the
pollution performance of individual
sources,’’ such as add-on controls and
clean fuels. West Virginia v. EPA, 597
U.S. 697, 734 (2022). For present
purposes, several of a BSER’s key
features include that it must reduce
emissions, be based on ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ technology, and have a
reasonable cost of control. The case law
interpreting section 111 has also
recognized that the BSER can be
forward-looking in nature and take into
account anticipated improvements in
control technologies. For example, the
EPA may determine a control to be
‘‘adequately demonstrated’’ even if it is
new and not yet in widespread
8 CAA
section 111(a)(1).
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commercial use, and, further, that the
EPA may reasonably project the
development of a control system at a
future time and establish requirements
that take effect at that time. Further, the
most relevant costs under CAA section
111 are the costs to the regulated
facility. The actions that the EPA is
finalizing are consistent with the
requirements of CAA section 111 and its
regulatory history and caselaw, which is
discussed in further detail in section V
of this preamble.
1. Repeal of ACE Rule
The EPA is finalizing its proposed
repeal of the existing ACE Rule
emission guidelines. First, as a policy
matter, the EPA concludes that the suite
of heat rate improvements (HRI) that
was identified in the ACE Rule as the
BSER is not an appropriate BSER for
existing coal-fired EGUs. Second, the
ACE Rule rejected CCS and natural gas
co-firing as the BSER for reasons that no
longer apply. Third, the EPA concludes
that the ACE Rule conflicted with CAA
section 111 and the EPA’s implementing
regulations because it did not provide
sufficient specificity as to the BSER the
EPA had identified or the ‘‘degree of
emission limitation achievable though
application of the [BSER].’’
Also, the EPA is withdrawing the
proposed revisions to the New Source
Review (NSR) regulations that were
included the ACE Rule proposal (83 FR
44773–83; August 31, 2018).
2. Emission Guidelines for Existing
Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90
percent capture as BSER for existing
coal-fired steam generating units. These
units have a presumptive standard 9 of
an 88.4 percent reduction in annual
emission rate, with a compliance
deadline of January 1, 2032. As
explained in detail below, CCS is an
adequately demonstrated technology
that achieves significant emissions
reduction and is cost-reasonable, taking
into account the declining costs of the
technology and a substantial tax credit
available to sources. In recognition of
the significant capital expenditures
involved in deploying CCS technology
and the fact that 45 percent of regulated
units already have announced
retirement dates, the EPA is finalizing a
separate subcategory for existing coal9 Presumptive standards of performance are
discussed in detail in section X of the preamble.
While states establish standards of performance for
sources, the EPA provides presumptively
approvable standards of performance based on the
degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER for each subcategory.
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fired steam generating units that
demonstrate that they plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2039. The BSER for this
subcategory is co-firing with natural gas,
at a level of 40 percent of the unit’s
annual heat input. These units have a
presumptive standard of 16 percent
reduction in annual emission rate
corresponding to this BSER, with a
compliance deadline of January 1, 2030.
The EPA is finalizing an applicability
exemption for existing coal-fired steam
EGUs demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2032, based on the Agency’s
determination that units retiring before
this date generally do not have costreasonable options for improving their
GHG emissions performance. Sources
that demonstrate they will permanently
cease operation before this applicability
deadline will not be subject to these
emission guidelines. Further, the EPA is
not finalizing the proposed imminentterm or near-term subcategories.
The EPA is finalizing the proposed
structure of the subcategory definitions
for natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units. The EPA is also
finalizing routine methods of operation
and maintenance as the BSER for
intermediate load and base load natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units.
Furthermore, the EPA is finalizing
presumptive standards for natural gasand oil-fired steam generating units that
are slightly higher than at proposal: base
load sources (those with annual
capacity factors greater than 45 percent)
have a presumptive standard of 1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-gross, and intermediate load
sources (those with annual capacity
factors greater than 8 percent and less
than or equal to 45 percent) have a
presumptive standard of 1,600 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. For low load (those with
annual capacity factors less than 8
percent), the EPA is finalizing a uniform
fuels BSER and a presumptive inputbased standard of 170 lb CO2/MMBtu
for oil-fired sources and a presumptive
standard of 130 lb CO2/MMBtu for
natural gas-fired sources.
3. Standards of Performance for New
and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired
Combustion Turbines
The EPA is finalizing emission
standards for three subcategories of
combustion turbines—base load,
intermediate load, and low load. The
BSER for base load combustion turbines
includes two components to be
implemented initially in two phases.
The first component of the BSER for
base load combustion turbines is highly
efficient generation (based on the
emission rates that the best performing
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units are achieving) and the second
component for base load combustion
turbines is utilization of CCS with 90
percent capture. Recognizing the lead
time that is necessary for new base load
combustion turbines to plan for and
install the second component of the
BSER (i.e., 90 percent CCS), including
the time that is needed to deploy the
associated infrastructure (CO2 pipelines,
storage sites, etc.), the EPA is finalizing
a second phase compliance deadline of
January 1, 2032, for this second
component of the standard.
The EPA has identified highly
efficient simple cycle generation as the
BSER for intermediate load combustion
turbines. For low load combustion
turbines, the EPA is finalizing its
proposed determination that the BSER
is the use of lower-emitting fuels.
4. New, Modified, and Reconstructed
Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing revisions of the
standards of performance for coal-fired
steam generating units that undertake a
large modification (i.e., a modification
that increases its hourly emission rate
by more than 10 percent) to mirror the
emission guidelines for existing coalfired steam generators. This reflects the
EPA’s determination that such modified
sources are capable of meeting the same
presumptive standards that the EPA is
finalizing for existing steam EGUs.
Further, this revised standard for
modified coal-fired steam EGUs will
avoid creating an unjustified disparity
between emission control obligations for
modified and existing coal-fired steam
EGUs.
The EPA did not propose, and we are
not finalizing, any review or revision of
the 2015 standard for large
modifications of oil- or gas-fired steam
generating units because we are not
aware of any existing oil- or gas-fired
steam generating EGUs that have
undertaken such modifications or have
plans to do so, and, unlike an existing
coal-fired steam generating EGUs,
existing oil- or gas-fired steam units
have no incentive to undertake such a
modification to avoid the requirements
we are including in this final rule for
existing oil- or gas-fired steam
generating units.
As discussed in the proposal
preamble, the EPA is not revising the
NSPS for newly constructed or
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam
electric generating units (EGU) at this
time because the EPA anticipates that
few, if any, such units will be
constructed or reconstructed in the
foreseeable future. However, the EPA
has recently become aware that a new
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coal-fired power plant is under
consideration in Alaska. Accordingly,
the EPA is not, at this time, finalizing
its proposal not to review the 2015
NSPS, and, instead, will continue to
consider whether to review the 2015
NSPS. As developments warrant, the
EPA will determine either to conduct a
review, and propose revised standards
of performance, or not conduct a review.
Also, in this final action, the EPA is
withdrawing the 2018 proposed
amendments 10 to the NSPS for GHG
emissions from coal-fired EGUs.
5. Severability
This final action is composed of four
independent rules: the repeal of the
ACE rule; GHG emission guidelines for
existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units; NSPS for GHG
emissions from new and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines;
and revisions to the standards of
performance for new, modified, and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units. The EPA could have
finalized each of these rules in separate
Federal Register notices as separate
final actions. The Agency decided to
include these four independent rules in
a single Federal Register notice for
administrative ease because they all
relate to climate pollution from the
fossil fuel-fired electric generating units
source category. Accordingly, despite
grouping these rules into one single
Federal Register notice, the EPA
intends that each of these rules
described in sections I.C.1 through I.C.4
is severable from the other.
In addition, each rule is severable as
a practical matter. For example, the EPA
would repeal the ACE Rule separate and
apart from finalizing new standards for
these sources as explained herein.
Moreover, the BSER and associated
emission guidelines for existing fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units are
independent of and would have been
the same regardless of whether the EPA
finalized the other parts of this rule. In
determining the BSER for existing fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units, the
EPA considered only the technologies
available to reduce GHG emissions at
those sources and did not take into
consideration the technologies or
standards of performance for new fossil
fuel-fired combustion turbines. The
same is true for the Agency’s evaluation
and determination of the BSER and
associated standards of performance for
new fossil fuel-fired combustion
turbines. The EPA identified the BSER
and established the standards of
performance by examining the controls
10 See
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that were available for these units. That
analysis can stand alone and apart from
the EPA’s separate analysis for existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units.
Though the record evidence (including,
for example, modeling results) often
addresses the availability, performance,
and expected implementation of the
technologies at both existing fossil fuelfired steam generating units and new
fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines in
the same record documents, the
evidence for each evaluation stands on
its own, and is independently sufficient
to support each of the final BSERs.
In addition, within section I.C.1, the
final action to repeal the ACE Rule is
severable from the withdrawal of the
NSR revisions that were proposed in
parallel with the ACE Rule proposal.
Within the group of actions for existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
in section I.C.2, the requirements for
each subcategory of existing sources are
severable from the requirements for
each other subcategory of existing
sources. For example, if a court were to
invalidate the BSER and associated
emission standard for units in the
medium-term subcategory, the BSER
and associated emission standard for
units in the long-term subcategory could
function sensibly because the
effectiveness of the BSER for each
subcategory is not dependent on the
effectiveness of the BSER for other
subcategories. Within the group of
actions for new and reconstructed fossil
fuel-fired combustion turbines in
section I.C.3, the following actions are
severable: the requirements for each
subcategory of new and reconstructed
turbines are severable from the
requirements for each other subcategory;
and within the subcategory for base load
turbines, the requirements for each of
the two components are severable from
the requirements for the other
component. Each of these standards can
function sensibly without the others.
For example, the BSER for low load,
intermediate load, and base load
subcategories is based on the
technologies the EPA determined met
the statutory standards for those
subcategories and are independent from
each other. And in the base load
subcategory units may practically be
constructed using the most efficient
technology without then installing CCS
and likewise may install CCS on a
turbine system that was not constructed
with the most efficient technology.
Within the group of actions for new,
modified, and reconstructed fossil fuelfired steam generating units in section
I.C.4, the revisions of the standards of
performance for coal-fired steam
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generators that undertake a large
modification are severable from the
withdrawal of the 2018 proposal to
revise the NSPS for emissions of GHG
from EGUs. Each of the actions in these
final rules that the EPA has identified as
severable is functionally independent—
i.e., may operate in practice
independently of the other actions.
In addition, while the EPA is
finalizing this rule at the same time as
other final rules regulating different
types of pollution from EGUs—
specifically the Supplemental Effluent
Limitations Guidelines and Standards
for the Steam Electric Power Generating
Point Source Category (FR 2024–09815,
EPA–HQ–OW–2009–0819; FRL–8794–
02–OW); National Emission Standards
for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal and
Oil-Fired Electric Utility Steam
Generating Units Review of the Residual
Risk and Technology Review (FR 2024–
09148, EPA–HQ–OAR–2018–0794;
FRL–6716.3–02–OAR); Hazardous and
Solid Waste Management System:
Disposal of Coal Combustion Residuals
From Electric Utilities; Legacy CCR
Surface Impoundments (FR 2024–
09157, EPA–HQ–OLEM–2020–0107;
FRL–7814–04–OLEM)—and has
considered the interactions between and
cumulative effects of these rules, each
rule is based on different statutory
authority, a different record, and is
completely independent of the other
rules.
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D. Grid Reliability Considerations
The EPA is finalizing multiple
adjustments to the proposed rules that
ensure the requirements in these final
actions can be implemented without
compromising the ability of power
companies, grid operators, and state and
Federal energy regulators to maintain
resource adequacy and grid reliability.
In response to the May 2023 proposed
rule, the EPA received extensive
comments from balancing authorities,
independent system operators and
regional transmission organizations,
state regulators, power companies, and
other stakeholders on the need for the
final rule to accommodate resource
adequacy and grid reliability needs. The
EPA also engaged with the balancing
authorities that submitted comments to
the docket, the staff and Commissioners
of the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC), the Department of
Energy (DOE), the North American
Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC),
and other expert entities during the
course of this rulemaking. Finally, at the
invitation of FERC, the EPA participated
in FERC’s Annual Reliability Technical
Conference on November 9, 2023.
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These final actions respond to this
input and feedback in multiple ways,
including through changes to the
universe of affected sources, longer
compliance timeframes for CCS
implementation, and other compliance
flexibilities, as well as articulation of
the appropriate use of RULOF to
address reliability issues during state
plan development and in subsequent
state plan revisions. In addition to these
adjustments, the EPA is finalizing
several programmatic mechanisms
specifically designed to address
reliability concerns raised by
commenters. For existing fossil fuelfired EGUs, a short-term reliability
emergency mechanism is available for
states to provide more flexibility by
using an alternative emission limitation
during acute operational emergencies
when the grid might be temporarily
under heavy strain. A similar short-term
reliability emergency mechanism is also
available to new sources. In addition,
the EPA is creating an option for states
to provide for a compliance date
extension for existing sources of up to
1 year under certain circumstances for
sources that are installing control
technologies to comply with their
standards of performance. Lastly, states
may also provide, by inclusion in their
state plans, a reliability assurance
mechanism of up to 1 year that under
limited circumstances would allow
existing units that had planned to cease
operating by a certain date to
temporarily remain available to support
reliability. Any extensions exceeding 1
year must be addressed through a state
plan revision. In order to utilize this
reliability pathway, there must be an
adequate demonstration of need and
certification by a reliability authority,
and approval by the appropriate EPA
Regional Administrator. The EPA plans
to seek the advice of FERC for extension
requests exceeding 6 months. Similarly,
for new fossil fuel-fired combustion
turbines, the EPA is creating a
mechanism whereby baseload units may
request a 1-year extension of their CCS
compliance deadline under certain
circumstances.
The EPA has evaluated the resource
adequacy implications of these actions
in the final technical support document
(TSD), Resource Adequacy Analysis,
and conducted capacity expansion
modeling of the final rules in a manner
that takes into account resource
adequacy needs. The EPA finds that
resource adequacy can be maintained
with the final rules. The EPA modeled
a scenario that complies with the final
rules and that meets resource adequacy
needs. The EPA also performed a variety
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of other sensitivity analyses looking at
higher electricity demand (load growth)
and impact of the EPA’s additional
regulatory actions affecting the power
sector. These sensitivity analyses
indicate that, in the context of higher
demand and other pending power sector
rules, the industry has available
pathways to comply with this rule that
respect NERC reliability considerations
and constraints.
In addition, the EPA notes that
significant planning and regulatory
mechanisms exist to ensure that
sufficient generation resources are
available to maintain reliability. The
EPA’s consideration of reliability in this
rulemaking has also been informed by
consultation with the DOE under the
auspices of the March 9, 2023,
memorandum of understanding
(MOU) 11 signed by the EPA
Administrator and the Secretary of
Energy, as well as by consultation with
FERC expert staff. In these final actions,
the EPA has included various
flexibilities that allow power companies
and grid operators to plan for achieving
feasible and necessary reductions of
GHGs from affected sources consistent
with the EPA’s statutory charge while
ensuring that the rule will not interfere
with systems operators’ ability to ensure
grid reliability.
A thorough description of how
adjustments in the final rules address
reliability issues, the EPA’s outreach to
balancing authorities, EPA’s
supplemental notice, as well as the
introduction of mechanisms to address
short- and long-term reliability needs is
presented in section XII.F of this
preamble.
E. Environmental Justice Considerations
Consistent with Executive Order
(E.O.) 14096, and the EPA’s
commitment to upholding
environmental justice (EJ) across its
policies and programs, the EPA
carefully considered the impacts of
these actions on communities with
environmental justice concerns. As part
of the regulatory development process
for these rulemakings, and consistent
with directives set forth in multiple
Executive Orders, the EPA conducted
extensive outreach with interested
parties including Tribal nations and
communities with environmental justice
concerns. These opportunities gave the
EPA a chance to hear directly from the
public, including from communities
potentially impacted by these final
11 Joint Memorandum of Understanding on
Interagency Communication and Consultation on
Electric Reliability (March 9, 2023). https://
www.epa.gov/power-sector/electric-reliability-mou.
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actions. The EPA took this feedback into
account in its development of these
final actions.12 The EPA’s analysis of
environmental justice in these final
actions is briefly summarized here and
discussed in further detail in sections
XII.E and XIII.J of the preamble and
section 6 of the regulatory impact
analysis (RIA).
Several environmental justice
organizations and community
representatives raised significant
concerns about the potential health,
environmental, and safety impacts of
CCS. The EPA takes these concerns
seriously, agrees that any impacts to
historically disadvantaged and
overburdened communities are
important to consider, and has carefully
considered these concerns as it finalized
its determinations of the BSERs for
these rules. The Agency acknowledges
that while these final actions will result
in large reductions of both GHGs and
other emissions that will have
significant positive benefits, there is the
potential for localized increases in
emissions, particularly if units installing
CCS operate for more hours during the
year and/or for more years than they
would have otherwise. However, as
discussed in section VII.C.1.a.iii(B), a
robust regulatory framework exists to
reduce the risks of localized emissions
increases in a manner that is protective
of public health, safety, and the
environment. The Council on
Environmental Quality’s (CEQ) February
2022 Carbon Capture, Utilization, and
Sequestration Guidance and the EPA’s
evaluation of BSER recognize that
multiple Federal agencies have
responsibility for regulating and
permitting CCS projects, along with
state and tribal governments. As the
CEQ has noted, Federal agencies have
‘‘taken actions in the past decade to
develop a robust carbon capture,
utilization, and sequestration/storage
(CCUS) regulatory framework to protect
the environment and public health
across multiple statutes.’’ 13 14
12 Specifically, the EPA has relied on, and is
incorporating as a basis for this rulemaking,
analyses regarding possible adverse environmental
effects from CCS, including those highlighted by
commenters. Consideration of these effects is
permissible under CAA section 111(a)(1). Although
the EPA also conducted analyses of
disproportionate impacts pursuant to E.O. 14096,
see section XII.E, the EPA did not consider or rely
on these analyses as a basis for these rules.
13 87 FR 8808, 8809 (February 16, 2022).
14 This framework includes, among other things,
the EPA regulation of geologic sequestration wells
under the Underground Injection Control (UIC)
program of the Safe Drinking Water Act; required
reporting and public disclosure of geologic
sequestration activity, as well as implementation of
rigorous monitoring, reporting, and verification of
geologic sequestration under the EPA’s Greenhouse
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Furthermore, the EPA plans to review
and update as needed its guidance on
NSR permitting, specifically with
respect to BACT determinations for
GHG emissions and consideration of copollutant increases from sources
installing CCS. For the reasons
explained in section VII.C, the EPA is
finalizing the determination that CCS is
the BSER for certain subcategories of
new and existing EGUs based on its
consideration of all of the statutory
criteria for BSER, including emission
reductions, cost, energy requirements,
and non-air health and environmental
considerations. At the same time, the
EPA recognizes the critical importance
of ensuring that the regulatory
framework performs as intended to
protect communities.
These actions are focused on
establishing NSPS and emission
guidelines for GHGs that states will
implement to significantly reduce GHGs
and move us a step closer to avoiding
the worst impacts of climate change,
which is already having a
disproportionate impact on
communities with environmental justice
concerns. The EPA analyzed several
illustrative scenarios representing
potential compliance outcomes and
evaluated the potential impacts that
these actions may have on emissions of
GHG and other health-harming air
pollutants from fossil fuel-fired EGUs,
as well as how these changes in
emissions might affect air quality and
public health, particularly for
communities with EJ concerns.
The EPA’s national-level analysis of
emission reduction and public health
impacts, which is documented in
section 6 of the RIA and summarized in
greater detail in section XII.A and XII.D
of this preamble, finds that these actions
achieve nationwide reductions in EGU
emissions of multiple health-harming
air pollutants including nitrogen oxides
(NOX), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and fine
particulate matter (PM2.5), resulting in
public health benefits. The EPA also
evaluated how the air quality impacts
associated with these final actions are
distributed, with particular focus on
communities with EJ concerns. As
discussed in the RIA, our analysis
indicates that baseline ozone and PM2.5
concentration will decline substantially
relative to today’s levels. Relative to
these low baseline levels, ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations will decrease
further in virtually all areas of the
country, although some areas of the
Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP); and safety
regulations for CO2 pipelines administered by the
Pipeline and Hazardous Materials and Safety
Administration (PHMSA).
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country may experience slower or faster
rates of decline in ozone and PM2.5
pollution over time due to the changes
in generation and utilization resulting
from these rules. Additionally, our
comparison of future air quality
conditions with and without these rules
suggests that while these actions are
anticipated to lead to modest but
widespread reductions in ambient levels
of PM2.5 and ozone for a large majority
of the nation’s population, there is
potential for some geographic areas and
demographic groups to experience small
increases in ozone concentrations
relative to the baseline levels which are
projected to be substantially lower than
today’s levels.
It is important to recognize that while
these projections of emissions changes
and resulting air quality changes under
various illustrative compliance
scenarios are based upon the best
information available to the EPA at this
time, with regard to existing sources,
each state will ultimately be responsible
for determining the future operation of
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
located within its jurisdiction. The EPA
expects that, in making these
determinations, states will consider a
number of factors and weigh input from
the wide range of potentially affected
stakeholders. The meaningful
engagement requirements discussed in
section X.E.1.b.i of this preamble will
ensure that all interested stakeholders—
including community members
adversely impacted by pollution, energy
workers affected by construction and/or
other changes in operation at fossil-fuelfired power plants, consumers and other
interested parties—will have an
opportunity to have their concerns
heard as states make decisions
balancing a multitude of factors
including appropriate standards of
performance, compliance strategies, and
compliance flexibilities for existing
EGUs, as well as public health and
environmental considerations. The EPA
believes that these provisions, together
with the protections referenced above,
can reduce the risks of localized
emissions increases in a manner that is
protective of public health, safety, and
the environment.
F. Energy Workers and Communities
These final actions include
requirements for meaningful
engagement in development of state
plans, including with energy workers
and communities. These communities,
including energy workers employed at
affected EGUs, workers who may
construct and install pollution control
technology, workers employed by fuel
extraction and delivery, organizations
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representing these workers, and
communities living near affected EGUs,
are impacted by power sector trends on
an ongoing basis and by these final
actions, and the EPA expects that states
will include these stakeholders as part
of their constructive engagement under
the requirements in this rule.
The EPA consulted with the Federal
Interagency Working Group on Coal and
Power Plant Communities and
Economic Revitalization (Energy
Communities IWG) in development of
these rules and the meaningful
engagement requirements. The EPA
notes that the Energy Communities IWG
has provided resources to help energy
communities access the expanded
federal resources made available by the
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, CHIPS
and Science Act, and Inflation
Reduction Act, many of which are
relevant to the development of state
plans.
G. Key Changes From Proposal
The key changes from proposal in
these final actions are: (1) the reduction
in number of subcategories for existing
coal-fired steam generating units, (2) the
extension of the compliance date for
existing coal-fired steam generating
units to meet a standard of performance
based on implementation of CCS, (3) the
removal of low-GHG hydrogen co-firing
as a BSER pathway, and (4) the addition
of two reliability-related instruments. In
addition, (5), the EPA is not finalizing
proposed requirements for existing
fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines at this time.
The reduction in number of
subcategories for existing coal-fired
steam generating units: The EPA
proposed four subcategories for existing
coal-fired steam generating units, which
would have distinguished these units by
operating horizon and by load level.
These included subcategories for
existing coal-fired EGUs planning to
cease operations in the imminent-term
(i.e., prior to January 1, 2032) and those
planning to cease operations in the nearterm (i.e., prior to January 1, 2035).
While commenters were generally
supportive of the proposed
subcategorization approach, some
requested that the cease-operation-by
date for the imminent-term subcategory
be extended and the utilization limit for
the near-term subcategory be relaxed.
The EPA is not finalizing the imminentterm and near-term subcategories of
coal-fired steam generating units.
Rather, the EPA is finalizing an
applicability exemption for coal-fired
steam generating units demonstrating
that they plan to permanently cease
operation before January 1, 2032. See
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section VII.B of this preamble for further
discussion.
The extension of the compliance date
for existing coal-fired steam generating
units to meet a standard of performance
based on implementation of CCS. The
EPA proposed a compliance date for
implementation of CCS for long-term
coal-fired steam generating units of
January 1, 2030. The EPA received
comments asserting that this deadline
did not provide adequate lead time. In
consideration of those comments, and
the record as a whole, the EPA is
finalizing a CCS compliance date of
January 1, 2032 for these sources.
The removal of low-GHG hydrogen cofiring as a BSER pathway and only use
of low-GHG hydrogen as a compliance
option: The EPA is not finalizing its
proposed BSER pathway of low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing for new and
reconstructed base load and
intermediate load combustion turbines
in accordance with CAA section
111(a)(1). The EPA is also not finalizing
its proposed requirement that only lowGHG hydrogen may be co-fired in a
combustion turbine for the purpose of
compliance with the standards of
performance. These decisions are based
on uncertainties identified for specific
criteria used to evaluate low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing as a potential BSER,
and after further analysis in response to
public comments, the EPA has
determined that these uncertainties
prevent the EPA from concluding that
low-GHG hydrogen co-firing is a
component of the ‘‘best’’ system of
emission reduction at this time. Under
CAA section 111, the EPA establishes
standards of performance but does not
mandate use of any particular
technology to meet those standards.
Therefore, certain sources may elect to
co-fire hydrogen for compliance with
the final standards of performance, even
absent the technology being a BSER
pathway.15 See section VIII.F.5 of this
preamble for further discussion.
15 The EPA is not placing qualifications on the
type of hydrogen a source may elect to co-fire at this
time (see section VIII.F.6.a of this preamble for
further discussion). The Agency continues to
recognize that even though the combustion of
hydrogen is zero-GHG emitting, its production can
entail a range of GHG emissions, from low to high,
depending on the production method. Thus, even
though the EPA is not finalizing the low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing as a BSER, as proposed, it
maintains that the overall GHG profile of a
particular method of hydrogen production should
be a primary consideration for any source that
decides to co-fire hydrogen to ensure that overall
GHG reductions and important climate benefits are
achieved. The EPA also notes the anticipated final
rule from the U.S. Department of the Treasury
pertaining to clean hydrogen production tax and
energy credits, which in its proposed form contains
certain eligibility parameters, as well as programs
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The addition of two reliability-related
instruments: Commenters expressed
concerns that these rules, in
combination with other factors, may
affect the reliability of the bulk power
system. In response to these comments
the EPA engaged extensively with
balancing authorities, power companies,
reliability experts, and regulatory
authorities responsible for reliability to
inform its decisions in these final rules.
As described later in this preamble, the
EPA has made adjustments in these
final rules that will support power
companies, grid operators, and states in
maintaining the reliability of the electric
grid during the implementation of these
final rules. In addition, the EPA has
undertaken an analysis of the reliability
and resource adequacy implications of
these final rules that supports the
Agency’s conclusion that these final
rules can be implemented without
adverse consequences for grid
reliability. Further, the EPA is finalizing
two reliability-related instruments as an
additional layer of safeguards for
reliability. These instruments include a
reliability mechanism for short-term
emergency issues, and a reliability
assurance mechanism, or compliance
flexibility, for units that have chosen
compliance pathways with enforceable
retirement dates, provided there is a
documented and verified reliability
concern. In addition, the EPA is
finalizing compliance extensions for
unanticipated delays with control
technology implementation.
Specifically, as described in greater
detail in section XII.F of this preamble,
the EPA is finalizing the following
features and changes from the proposal
that will provide even greater certainty
that these final rules are sensitive to
reliability-related issues and
constructed in a manner that does not
interfere with grid operators’
responsibility to deliver reliable power:
(1) longer compliance timelines for
existing coal-fired steam generating
units;
(2) a mechanism to extend
compliance timelines by up to 1 year in
the case of unforeseen circumstances,
outside of an owner/operator’s control,
that delay the ability to apply controls
(e.g., supply chain challenges or
permitting delays);
(3) transparent unit-specific
compliance information for EGUs that
will allow grid operators to plan for
system changes with greater certainty
and precision;
(4) a short-term reliability mechanism
to allow affected EGUs to operate at
administered by the U.S. Department of Energy,
such as the recent H2Hubs selections.
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baseline emission rates during
documented reliability emergencies;
and
(5) a reliability assurance mechanism
to allow states to delay cease operation
dates by up to 1 year in cases where the
planned cease operation date is forecast
to disrupt system reliability.
Not finalizing proposed requirements
for existing fossil fuel-fired stationary
combustion turbines at this time: The
EPA proposed emission guidelines for
large (i.e., greater than 300 MW),
frequently operated (i.e., with an annual
capacity factor of greater than 50
percent), existing fossil fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines. The
EPA received a wide range of comments
on the proposed guidelines. Multiple
commenters suggested that the proposed
provisions would largely result in
shifting of generation away from the
most efficient natural gas-fired turbines
to less efficient natural gas-fired
turbines. Commenters stated that, as
emissions from coal-fired steam
generating units decreased, existing
natural gas-fired EGUs were poised to
become the largest source of GHG
emissions in the power sector.
Commenters noted that these units play
an important role in grid reliability,
particularly as aging coal-fired EGUs
retire. Commenters further noted that
the existing fossil fuel-fired stationary
combustion turbines that were not
covered by the proposal (i.e., the smaller
and less frequently operating units) are
often less efficient, less well controlled
for other pollutants such as NOX, and
are more likely to be located near
population centers and communities
with environmental justice concerns.
The EPA agrees with commenters
who observed that GHG emissions from
existing natural gas-fired stationary
combustion turbines are a growing
portion of the emissions from the power
sector. This is consistent with EPA
modeling that shows that by 2030 these
units will represent the largest portion
of GHG emissions from the power
sector. The EPA agrees that it is vital to
promulgate emission guidelines to
address GHG emissions from these
sources, and that the EPA has a
responsibility to do so under section
111(d) of the Clean Air Act. The EPA
also agrees with commenters who noted
that focusing only on the largest and
most frequently operating units, without
also addressing emissions from other
units, as the May 2023 proposed rule
provided, may not be the most effective
way to address emissions from this
sector. The EPA’s modeling shows that
over time as the power sector comes
closer to reaching the phase-out
threshold of the clean electricity
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incentives in the Inflation Reduction
Act (IRA) (i.e., a 75 percent reduction in
emissions from the power sector from
2022 levels), the average capacity factor
for existing natural gas-fired stationary
combustion turbines decreases.
Therefore, the EPA’s proposal to focus
only on the largest units with the
highest capacity factors may not be the
most effective policy design for
reducing GHG emissions from these
sources.
Recognizing the importance of
reducing emissions from all fossil fuelfired EGUs, the EPA is not finalizing the
proposed emission guidelines for
certain existing fossil fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines at this
time. Instead, the EPA intends to issue
a new, more comprehensive proposal to
regulate GHGs from existing sources.
The new proposal will focus on
achieving greater emission reductions
from existing stationary combustion
turbines—which will soon be the largest
stationary sources of GHG emissions—
while taking into account other factors
including the local non-GHG impacts of
gas turbine generation and the need for
reliable, affordable electricity.
II. General Information
A. Action Applicability
The source category that is the subject
of these actions is composed of fossil
fuel-fired electric utility generating
units. The North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS) codes for
the source category are 221112 and
921150. The list of categories and
NAICS codes is not intended to be
exhaustive, but rather provides a guide
for readers regarding the entities that
these final actions are likely to affect.
Final amendments to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, are directly applicable to
affected facilities that began
construction after January 8, 2014, but
before May 23, 2023, and affected
facilities that began reconstruction or
modification after June 18, 2014, but
before May 23, 2023. The NSPS codified
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, is
directly applicable to affected facilities
that begin construction, reconstruction,
or modification on or after May 23,
2023. Federal, state, local, and tribal
government entities that own and/or
operate EGUs subject to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT or TTTTa, are affected by
these amendments and standards.
The emission guidelines codified in
40 CFR part 60, subpart UUUUb, are for
states to follow in developing,
submitting, and implementing state
plans to establish performance
standards to reduce emissions of GHGs
from designated facilities that are
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existing sources. Section 111(a)(6) of the
CAA defines an ‘‘existing source’’ as
‘‘any stationary source other than a new
source.’’ Therefore, the emission
guidelines would not apply to any EGUs
that are new after January 8, 2014, or
reconstructed after June 18, 2014, the
applicability dates of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT. Under the Tribal
Authority Rule (TAR), eligible tribes
may seek approval to implement a plan
under CAA section 111(d) in a manner
similar to a state. See 40 CFR part 49,
subpart A. Tribes may, but are not
required to, seek approval for treatment
in a manner similar to a state for
purposes of developing a tribal
implementation plan (TIP)
implementing the emission guidelines
codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
UUUUb. The TAR authorizes tribes to
develop and implement their own air
quality programs, or portions thereof,
under the CAA. However, it does not
require tribes to develop a CAA
program. Tribes may implement
programs that are most relevant to their
air quality needs. If a tribe does not seek
and obtain the authority from the EPA
to establish a TIP, the EPA has the
authority to establish a Federal CAA
section 111(d) plan for designated
facilities that are located in areas of
Indian country.16 A Federal plan would
apply to all designated facilities located
in the areas of Indian country covered
by the Federal plan unless and until the
EPA approves a TIP applicable to those
facilities.
B. Where To Get a Copy of This
Document and Other Related
Information
In addition to being available in the
docket, an electronic copy of these final
rulemakings is available on the internet
at https://www.epa.gov/stationarysources-air-pollution/greenhouse-gasstandards-and-guidelines-fossil-fuelfired-power. Following signature by the
EPA Administrator, the EPA will post a
copy of these final rulemakings at this
same website. Following publication in
the Federal Register, the EPA will post
the Federal Register version of the final
rules and key technical documents at
this same website.
C. Judicial Review and Administrative
Review
Under CAA section 307(b)(1), judicial
review of these final actions is available
only by filing a petition for review in
16 See the EPA’s website, https://www.epa.gov/
tribal/tribes-approved-treatment-state-tas, for
information on those tribes that have treatment as
a state for specific environmental regulatory
programs, administrative functions, and grant
programs.
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the United States Court of Appeals for
the District of Columbia Circuit by July
8, 2024. These final actions are
‘‘standard[s] of performance or
requirement[s] under section 111,’’ and,
in addition, are ‘‘nationally applicable
regulations promulgated, or final action
taken, by the Administrator under [the
CAA],’’ CAA section 307(b)(1). Under
CAA section 307(b)(2), the requirements
established by this final rule may not be
challenged separately in any civil or
criminal proceedings brought by the
EPA to enforce the requirements.
Section 307(d)(7)(B) of the CAA
further provides that ‘‘[o]nly an
objection to a rule or procedure which
was raised with reasonable specificity
during the period for public comment
(including any public hearing) may be
raised during judicial review.’’ This
section also provides a mechanism for
the EPA to convene a proceeding for
reconsideration, ‘‘[i]f the person raising
an objection can demonstrate to the EPA
that it was impracticable to raise such
objection within [the period for public
comment] or if the grounds for such
objection arose after the period for
public comment, (but within the time
specified for judicial review) and if such
objection is of central relevance to the
outcome of the rule.’’ Any person
seeking to make such a demonstration to
us should submit a Petition for
Reconsideration to the Office of the
Administrator, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Room 3000, WJC
West Building, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave.
NW, Washington, DC 20460, with a
copy to both the person(s) listed in the
preceding FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section, and the Associate
General Counsel for the Air and
Radiation Law Office, Office of General
Counsel (Mail Code 2344A), U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, 1200
Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Washington, DC
20460.
III. Climate Change Impacts
Elevated concentrations of GHGs have
been warming the planet, leading to
changes in the Earth’s climate that are
occurring at a pace and in a way that
threatens human health, society, and the
natural environment. While the EPA is
not making any new scientific or factual
findings with regard to the welldocumented impact of GHG emissions
on public health and welfare in support
of these rules, the EPA is providing in
this section a brief scientific background
on climate change to offer additional
context for these rulemakings and to
help the public understand the
environmental impacts of GHGs.
Extensive information on climate
change is available in the scientific
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assessments and the EPA documents
that are briefly described in this section,
as well as in the technical and scientific
information supporting them. One of
those documents is the EPA’s 2009
‘‘Endangerment and Cause or Contribute
Findings for Greenhouse Gases Under
Section 202(a) of the CAA’’ (74 FR
66496, December 15, 2009) (‘‘2009
Endangerment Finding’’). In the 2009
Endangerment Finding, the
Administrator found under section
202(a) of the CAA that elevated
atmospheric concentrations of six key
well-mixed GHGs—CO2, methane (CH4),
nitrous oxide (N2O), HFCs,
perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfur
hexafluoride (SF6)—‘‘may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger the public
health and welfare of current and future
generations’’ (74 FR 66523, December
15, 2009). The 2009 Endangerment
Finding, together with the extensive
scientific and technical evidence in the
supporting record, documented that
climate change caused by human
emissions of GHGs threatens the public
health of the U.S. population. It
explained that by raising average
temperatures, climate change increases
the likelihood of heat waves, which are
associated with increased deaths and
illnesses (74 FR 66497, December 15,
2009). While climate change also
increases the likelihood of reductions in
cold-related mortality, evidence
indicates that the increases in heat
mortality will be larger than the
decreases in cold mortality in the U.S.
(74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). The
2009 Endangerment Finding further
explained that compared with a future
without climate change, climate change
is expected to increase tropospheric
ozone pollution over broad areas of the
U.S., including in the largest
metropolitan areas with the worst
tropospheric ozone problems, and
thereby increase the risk of adverse
effects on public health (74 FR 66525,
December 15, 2009). Climate change is
also expected to cause more intense
hurricanes and more frequent and
intense storms of other types and heavy
precipitation, with impacts on other
areas of public health, such as the
potential for increased deaths, injuries,
infectious and waterborne diseases, and
stress-related disorders (74 FR 66525
December 15, 2009). Children, the
elderly, and the poor are among the
most vulnerable to these climate-related
health effects (74 FR 66498, December
15, 2009).
The 2009 Endangerment Finding also
documented, together with the
extensive scientific and technical
evidence in the supporting record, that
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39807
climate change touches nearly every
aspect of public welfare 17 in the U.S.,
including the following: changes in
water supply and quality due to changes
in drought and extreme rainfall events;
increased risk of storm surge and
flooding in coastal areas and land loss
due to inundation; increases in peak
electricity demand and risks to
electricity infrastructure; and the
potential for significant agricultural
disruptions and crop failures (though
offset to some extent by carbon
fertilization). These impacts are also
global and may exacerbate problems
outside the U.S. that raise humanitarian,
trade, and national security issues for
the U.S. (74 FR 66530, December 15,
2009).
In 2016, the Administrator issued a
similar finding for GHG emissions from
aircraft under section 231(a)(2)(A) of the
CAA.18 In the 2016 Endangerment
Finding, the Administrator found that
the body of scientific evidence amassed
in the record for the 2009 Endangerment
Finding compellingly supported a
similar endangerment finding under
CAA section 231(a)(2)(A) and also found
that the science assessments released
between the 2009 and 2016 Findings
‘‘strengthen and further support the
judgment that GHGs in the atmosphere
may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger the public health and welfare
of current and future generations’’ (81
FR 54424, August 15, 2016).
Since the 2016 Endangerment
Finding, the climate has continued to
change, with new observational records
being set for several climate indicators
such as global average surface
temperatures, GHG concentrations, and
sea level rise. Additionally, major
scientific assessments continue to be
released that further advance our
understanding of the climate system and
the impacts that GHGs have on public
health and welfare for both current and
future generations. These updated
observations and projections document
the rapid rate of current and future
17 The CAA states in section 302(h) that ‘‘[a]ll
language referring to effects on welfare includes,
but is not limited to, effects on soils, water, crops,
vegetation, manmade materials, animals, wildlife,
weather, visibility, and climate, damage to and
deterioration of property, and hazards to
transportation, as well as effects on economic
values and on personal comfort and well-being,
whether caused by transformation, conversion, or
combination with other air pollutants.’’ 42 U.S.C.
7602(h).
18 Finding That Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
Aircraft Cause or Contribute to Air Pollution That
May Reasonably Be Anticipated To Endanger Public
Health and Welfare. 81 FR 54422, August 15, 2016
(‘‘2016 Endangerment Finding’’).
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climate change both globally and in the
U.S.19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
19 USGCRP, 2017: Climate Science Special
Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment,
Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A.
Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K.
Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470 pp, doi:
10.7930/J0J964J6.
20 USGCRP, 2016: The Impacts of Climate Change
on Human Health in the United States: A Scientific
Assessment. Crimmins, A., J. Balbus, J.L. Gamble,
C.B. Beard, J.E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R.J. Eisen, N. Fann,
M.D. Hawkins, S.C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, D.M.
Mills, S. Saha, M.C.
21 USGCRP, 2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
in the United States: Fourth National Climate
Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R., C.W.
Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis,
T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global
Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA,
1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.
22 IPCC, 2018: Global Warming of 1.5 °C. An IPCC
Special Report on the impacts of global warming of
1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global
greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context
of strengthening the global response to the threat of
climate change, sustainable development, and
efforts to eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P.
Zhai, H.-O. Po¨rtner, D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla,
A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C. Pe´an, R. Pidcock,
S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X. Zhou, M.I.
Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T.
Waterfield (eds.)].
23 IPCC, 2019: Climate Change and Land: an IPCC
special report on climate change, desertification,
land degradation, sustainable land management,
food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in
terrestrial ecosystems [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, E. Calvo
Buendia, V. Masson-Delmotte, H.-O. Po¨rtner, D.C.
Roberts, P. Zhai, R. Slade, S. Connors, R. van
Diemen, M. Ferrat, E. Haughey, S. Luz, S. Neogi, M.
Pathak, J. Petzold, J. Portugal Pereira, P. Vyas, E.
Huntley, K. Kissick, M. Belkacemi, J. Malley, (eds.)].
24 IPCC, 2019: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean
and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate [H.-O.
Po¨rtner, D.C. Roberts, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai,
M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A.
Alegriı´a, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama,
N.M. Weyer (eds.)].
25 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering,
and Medicine. 2016. Attribution of Extreme
Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://dio.org/10.17226/21852.
26 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering,
and Medicine. 2017. Valuing Climate Damages:
Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon
Dioxide. Washington, DC: The National Academies
Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/24651.
27 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering,
and Medicine. 2019. Climate Change and
Ecosystems. Washington, DC: The National
Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25504.
28 Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds., 2022: ‘‘State of
the Climate in 2021.’’ Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103
(8), Si–S465, https://doi.org/10.1175/
2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
29 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 2021.
Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the
United States: A Focus on Six Impacts. EPA 430–
R–21–003.
30 Jay, A.K., A.R. Crimmins, C.W. Avery, T.A.
Dahl, R.S. Dodder, B.D. Hamlington, A. Lustig, K.
Marvel, P.A. Me´ndez-Lazaro, M.S. Osler, A.
Terando, E.S. Weeks, and A. Zycherman, 2023: Ch.
1. Overview: Understanding risks, impacts, and
responses. In: Fifth National Climate Assessment.
Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E.
Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S.
Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC,
USA. https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH1.
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The most recent information
demonstrates that the climate is
continuing to change in response to the
human-induced buildup of GHGs in the
atmosphere. These recent assessments
show that atmospheric concentrations of
GHGs have risen to a level that has no
precedent in human history and that
they continue to climb, primarily
because of both historical and current
anthropogenic emissions, and that these
elevated concentrations endanger our
health by affecting our food and water
sources, the air we breathe, the weather
we experience, and our interactions
with the natural and built
environments. For example,
atmospheric concentrations of one of
these GHGs, CO2, measured at Mauna
Loa in Hawaii and at other sites around
the world reached 419 parts per million
(ppm) in 2022 (nearly 50 percent higher
than preindustrial levels) 32 and have
continued to rise at a rapid rate. Global
average temperature has increased by
about 1.1 °C (2.0 °F) in the 2011–2020
decade relative to 1850–1900.33 The
years 2015–2021 were the warmest 7
years in the 1880–2021 record,
contributing to the warmest decade on
record with a decadal temperature of
0.82 °C (1.48 °F) above the 20th
century.34 35 The Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
determined (with medium confidence)
that this past decade was warmer than
any multi-century period in at least the
past 100,000 years.36 Global average sea
level has risen by about 8 inches (about
21 centimeters (cm)) from 1901 to 2018,
with the rate from 2006 to 2018 (0.15
inches/year or 3.7 millimeters (mm)/
year) almost twice the rate over the 1971
to 2006 period, and three times the rate
31 IPCC, 2023: Summary for Policymakers. In:
Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report.
Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the
Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H.
Lee and J. Romero (eds.)].
32 https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/
co2_annmean_mlo.txt.
33 IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In:
Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai,
A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Pe´an, S. Berger, N. Caud,
Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K.
Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock,
T. Waterfield, O. Yelekc¸i, R. Yu, and B. Zhou
(eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,
United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3–
32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
34 NOAA National Centers for Environmental
Information, State of the Climate 2021 retrieved on
August 3, 2023, from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/
bams-state-of-climate.
35 Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds., 2022: ‘‘State of
the Climate in 2021.’’ Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103
(8), Si–S465, https://doi.org/10.1175/
2022BAMSStateoftheClimate1.
36 IPCC, 2021.
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of the 1901 to 2018 period.37 The rate
of sea level rise over the 20th century
was higher than in any other century in
at least the last 2,800 years.38 Higher
CO2 concentrations have led to
acidification of the surface ocean in
recent decades to an extent unusual in
the past 65 million years, with negative
impacts on marine organisms that use
calcium carbonate to build shells or
skeletons.39 Arctic sea ice extent
continues to decline in all months of the
year; the most rapid reductions occur in
September (very likely almost a 13
percent decrease per decade between
1979 and 2018) and are unprecedented
in at least 1,000 years.40 Humaninduced climate change has led to
heatwaves and heavy precipitation
becoming more frequent and more
intense, along with increases in
agricultural and ecological droughts 41
in many regions.42
The assessment literature
demonstrates that modest additional
amounts of warming may lead to a
climate different from anything humans
have ever experienced. The 2022 CO2
concentration of 419 ppm is already
higher than at any time in the last 2
million years.43 If concentrations exceed
450 ppm, they would likely be higher
than any time in the past 23 million
years: 44 at the current rate of increase of
more than 2 ppm per year, this would
occur in about 15 years. While GHGs are
not the only factor that controls climate,
it is illustrative that 3 million years ago
(the last time CO2 concentrations were
above 400 ppm) Greenland was not yet
completely covered by ice and still
supported forests, while 23 million
years ago (the last time concentrations
were above 450 ppm) the West Antarctic
ice sheet was not yet developed,
indicating the possibility that high GHG
concentrations could lead to a world
that looks very different from today and
from the conditions in which human
civilization has developed. If the
Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets were
37 IPCC,
2021.
2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
in the United States: Fourth National Climate
Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R., C.W.
Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis,
T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global
Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA,
1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.
39 IPCC, 2018.
40 IPCC, 2021.
41 These are drought measures based on soil
moisture.
42 IPCC, 2021.
43 Annual Mauna Loa CO concentration data
2
from https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/
co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt, accessed September 9,
2023.
44 IPCC, 2013.
38 USGCRP,
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to melt substantially, sea levels would
rise dramatically.
The NCA4 found that it is very likely
(greater than 90 percent likelihood) that
by mid-century, the Arctic Ocean will
be almost entirely free of sea ice by late
summer for the first time in about 2
million years.45 Coral reefs will be at
risk for almost complete (99 percent)
losses with 1 °C (1.8 °F) of additional
warming from today (2 °C or 3.6 °F since
preindustrial). At this temperature,
between 8 and 18 percent of animal,
plant, and insect species could lose over
half of the geographic area with suitable
climate for their survival, and 7 to 10
percent of rangeland livestock would be
projected to be lost.46 The IPCC
similarly found that climate change has
caused substantial damages and
increasingly irreversible losses in
terrestrial, freshwater, and coastal and
open ocean marine ecosystems.
Every additional increment of
temperature comes with consequences.
For example, the half degree of warming
from 1.5 to 2 °C (0.9 °F of warming from
2.7 °F to 3.6 °F) above preindustrial
temperatures is projected on a global
scale to expose 420 million more people
to frequent extreme heatwaves at least
every five years, and 62 million more
people to frequent exceptional
heatwaves at least every five years
(where heatwaves are defined based on
a heat wave magnitude index which
takes into account duration and
intensity—using this index, the 2003
French heat wave that led to almost
15,000 deaths would be classified as an
‘‘extreme heatwave’’ and the 2010
Russian heatwave which led to
thousands of deaths and extensive
wildfires would be classified as
‘‘exceptional’’). It would increase the
frequency of sea-ice-free Arctic
summers from once in 100 years to once
in a decade. It could lead to 4 inches of
additional sea level rise by the end of
the century, exposing an additional 10
million people to risks of inundation as
well as increasing the probability of
triggering instabilities in either the
Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets.
Between half a million and a million
additional square miles of permafrost
would thaw over several centuries.
Risks to food security would increase
from medium to high for several lowerincome regions in the Sahel, southern
Africa, the Mediterranean, central
Europe, and the Amazon. In addition to
food security issues, this temperature
increase would have implications for
human health in terms of increasing
ozone concentrations, heatwaves, and
45 USGCRP,
46 IPCC,
2018.
2018.
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vector-borne diseases (for example,
expanding the range of the mosquitoes
which carry dengue fever, chikungunya,
yellow fever, and the Zika virus or the
ticks which carry Lyme, babesiosis, or
Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever).47
Moreover, every additional increment in
warming leads to larger changes in
extremes, including the potential for
events unprecedented in the
observational record. Every additional
degree will intensify extreme
precipitation events by about 7 percent.
The peak winds of the most intense
tropical cyclones (hurricanes) are
projected to increase with warming. In
addition to a higher intensity, the IPCC
found that precipitation and frequency
of rapid intensification of these storms
has already increased, the movement
speed has decreased, and elevated sea
levels have increased coastal flooding,
all of which make these tropical
cyclones more damaging.48
The NCA4 also evaluated a number of
impacts specific to the U.S. Severe
drought and outbreaks of insects like the
mountain pine beetle have killed
hundreds of millions of trees in the
western U.S. Wildfires have burned
more than 3.7 million acres in 14 of the
17 years between 2000 and 2016, and
Federal wildfire suppression costs were
about a billion dollars annually.49 The
National Interagency Fire Center has
documented U.S. wildfires since 1983,
and the 10 years with the largest acreage
burned have all occurred since 2004.50
Wildfire smoke degrades air quality,
increasing health risks, and more
frequent and severe wildfires due to
climate change would further diminish
air quality, increase incidences of
respiratory illness, impair visibility, and
disrupt outdoor activities, sometimes
thousands of miles from the location of
the fire. Meanwhile, sea level rise has
amplified coastal flooding and erosion
impacts, requiring the installation of
costly pump stations, flooding streets,
and increasing storm surge damages.
Tens of billions of dollars of U.S. real
estate could be below sea level by 2050
under some scenarios. Increased
frequency and duration of drought will
reduce agricultural productivity in some
regions, accelerate depletion of water
supplies for irrigation, and expand the
distribution and incidence of pests and
diseases for crops and livestock. The
NCA4 also recognized that climate
change can increase risks to national
47 IPCC,
2018.
2021.
49 USGCRP, 2018.
50 NIFC (National Interagency Fire Center). 2021.
Total wildland fires and acres (1983–2020).
Accessed August 2021. https://www.nifc.gov/
fireInfo/fireInfo_stats_totalFires.html.
48 IPCC,
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security, both through direct impacts on
military infrastructure and by affecting
factors such as food and water
availability that can exacerbate conflict
outside U.S. borders. Droughts, floods,
storm surges, wildfires, and other
extreme events stress nations and
people through loss of life,
displacement of populations, and
impacts on livelihoods.51 The NCA5
further reinforces the science showing
that climate change will have many
impacts on the U.S., as described above
in the preamble. Particularly relevant
for these rules, the NCA5 states that
climate change affects all aspects of the
energy system-supply, delivery, and
demand-through the increased
frequency, intensity, and duration of
extreme events and through changing
climate trends.’’ 52
EPA modeling efforts can further
illustrate how these impacts from
climate change may be experienced
across the U.S. EPA’s Framework for
Evaluating Damages and Impacts
(FrEDI) 53 uses information from over 30
peer-reviewed climate change impact
studies to project the physical and
economic impacts of climate change to
the U.S. resulting from future
temperature changes. These impacts are
projected for specific regions within the
U.S. and for more than 20 impact
categories, which span a large number
of sectors of the U.S. economy.54 Using
51 USGCRP,
2018.
A.K., A.R. Crimmins, C.W. Avery, T.A.
Dahl, R.S. Dodder, B.D. Hamlington, A. Lustig, K.
Marvel, P.A. Me´ndez-Lazaro, M.S. Osler, A.
Terando, E.S. Weeks, and A. Zycherman, 2023: Ch.
1. Overview: Understanding risks, impacts, and
responses. In: Fifth National Climate Assessment.
Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E.
Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S.
Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC,
USA. https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH1.
53 (1) Hartin, C., et al. (2023). Advancing the
estimation of future climate impacts within the
United States. Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 1015–1037,
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1015-2023. (2)
Supplementary Material for the Regulatory Impact
Analysis for the Final Rulemaking, Standards of
Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified
Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing
Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate
Review, ‘‘Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse
Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific
Advances,’’ Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0317, November 2023, (3) The Long-Term Strategy
of the United States: Pathways to Net-Zero
Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050. Published by
the U.S. Department of State and the U.S. Executive
Office of the President, Washington DC. November
2021, (4) Climate Risk Exposure: An Assessment of
the Federal Government’s Financial Risks to
Climate Change, White Paper, Office of
Management and Budget, April 2022.
54 EPA (2021). Technical Documentation on the
Framework for Evaluating Damages and Impacts
(FrEDI). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
EPA 430–R–21–004, https://www.epa.gov/cira/
fredi. Documentation has been subject to both a
public review comment period and an independent
52 Jay,
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this framework, the EPA estimates that
global emission projections, with no
additional mitigation, will result in
significant climate-related damages to
the U.S.55 These damages to the U.S.
would mainly be from increases in lives
lost due to increases in temperatures, as
well as impacts to human health from
increases in climate-driven changes in
air quality, dust and wildfire smoke
exposure, and incidence of suicide.
Additional major climate-related
damages would occur to U.S.
infrastructure such as roads and rail, as
well as transportation impacts and
coastal flooding from sea level rise,
increases in property damage from
tropical cyclones, and reductions in
labor hours worked in outdoor settings
and buildings without air conditioning.
These impacts are also projected to vary
from region to region with the
Southeast, for example, projected to see
some of the largest damages from sea
level rise, the West Coast projected to
experience damages from wildfire
smoke more than other parts of the
country, and the Northern Plains states
projected to see a higher proportion of
damages to rail and road infrastructure.
While information on the distribution of
climate impacts helps to better
understand the ways in which climate
change may impact the U.S., recent
analyses are still only a partial
assessment of climate impacts relevant
to U.S. interests and in addition do not
reflect increased damages that occur due
to interactions between different sectors
impacted by climate change or all the
ways in which physical impacts of
climate change occurring abroad have
spillover effects in different regions of
the U.S.
Some GHGs also have impacts beyond
those mediated through climate change.
For example, elevated concentrations of
CO2 stimulate plant growth (which can
be positive in the case of beneficial
species, but negative in terms of weeds
and invasive species, and can also lead
to a reduction in plant
micronutrients 56) and cause ocean
acidification. Nitrous oxide depletes the
levels of protective stratospheric
expert peer review, following EPA peer-review
guidelines.
55 Compared to a world with no additional
warming after the model baseline (1986–2005).
56 Ziska, L., A. Crimmins, A. Auclair, S. DeGrasse,
J.F. Garofalo, A.S. Khan, I. Loladze, A.A. Pe´rez de
Leo´n, A. Showler, J. Thurston, and I. Walls, 2016:
Ch. 7: Food Safety, Nutrition, and Distribution. The
Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the
United States: A Scientific Assessment. U.S. Global
Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 189–
216. https://health2016.globalchange.gov/low/
ClimateHealth2016_07_Food_small.pdf.
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ozone.57 Methane reacts to form
tropospheric ozone.
Section XII.E of this preamble
discusses the impacts of GHG emissions
on individuals living in socially and
economically vulnerable communities.
While the EPA did not conduct
modeling to specifically quantify
changes in climate impacts resulting
from these rules in terms of avoided
temperature change or sea-level rise, the
Agency did quantify climate benefits by
monetizing the emission reductions
through the application of the social
cost of greenhouse gases (SC–GHGs), as
described in section XII.D of this
preamble.
These scientific assessments, the EPA
analyses, and documented observed
changes in the climate of the planet and
of the U.S. present clear support
regarding the current and future dangers
of climate change and the importance of
GHG emissions mitigation.
IV. Recent Developments in Emissions
Controls and the Electric Power Sector
In this section, we discuss
background information about the
electric power sector and controls
available to limit GHG pollution from
the fossil fuel-fired power plants
regulated by these final rules, and then
discuss several recent developments
that are relevant for determining the
BSER for these sources. After giving
some general background, we first
discuss CCS and explain that its costs
have fallen significantly. Lower costs
are central for the EPA’s determination
that CCS is the BSER for certain existing
coal-fired steam generating units and
certain new natural gas-fired
combustion turbines. Second, we
discuss natural gas co-firing for coalfired steam generating units and explain
recent reductions in cost for this
approach as well as its widespread
availability and current and potential
deployment within this subcategory.
Third, we discuss highly efficient
generation as a BSER technology for
new and reconstructed simple cycle and
combined cycle combustion turbine
EGUs. The emission reductions
achieved by highly efficient turbines are
well demonstrated in the power sector,
and along with operational and
maintenance best practices, represent a
cost-effective technology that reduces
fuel consumption. Finally, we discuss
key developments in the electric power
sector that influence which units can
57 WMO (World Meteorological Organization),
Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2018,
Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project—
Report No. 58, 588 pp., Geneva, Switzerland, 2018.
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feasibly and cost-effectively deploy
these technologies.
A. Background
1. Electric Power Sector
Electricity in the U.S. is generated by
a range of technologies, and different
EGUs play different roles in providing
reliable and affordable electricity. For
example, certain EGUs generate base
load power, which is the portion of
electricity loads that are continually
present and typically operate
throughout all hours of the year.
Intermediate EGUs often provide
complementary generation to balance
variable supply and demand resources.
Low load ‘‘peaking units’’ provide
capacity during hours of the highest
daily, weekly, or seasonal net demand,
and while these resources have low
levels of utilization on an annual basis,
they play important roles in providing
generation to meet short-term demand
and often must be available to quickly
increase or decrease their output.
Furthermore, many of these EGUs also
play important roles ensuring the
reliability of the electric grid, including
facilitating the regulation of frequency
and voltage, providing ‘‘black start’’
capability in the event the grid must be
repowered after a widespread outage,
and providing reserve generating
capacity 58 in the event of unexpected
changes in the availability of other
generators.
In general, the EGUs with the lowest
operating costs are dispatched first, and,
as a result, an inefficient EGU with high
fuel costs will typically only operate if
other lower-cost plants are unavailable
or are insufficient to meet demand.
Units are also unavailable during both
routine and unanticipated outages,
which typically become more frequent
as power plants age. These factors result
in the mix of available generating
capacity types (e.g., the share of
capacity of each type of generating
source) being substantially different
than the mix of the share of total
electricity produced by each type of
generating source in a given season or
year.
58 Generation and capacity are commonly
reported statistics with key distinctions. Generation
is the production of electricity and is a measure of
an EGU’s actual output while capacity is a measure
of the maximum potential production of an EGU
under certain conditions. There are several methods
to calculate an EGU’s capacity, which are suited for
different applications of the statistic. Capacity is
typically measured in megawatts (MW) for
individual units or gigawatts (1 GW = 1,000 MW)
for multiple EGUs. Generation is often measured in
kilowatt-hours (1 kWh = 1,000 watt-hours),
megawatt-hours (1 MWh = 1,000 kWh), gigawatthours (1 GWh = 1 million kWh), or terawatt-hours
(1 TWh = 1 billion kWh).
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Generated electricity must be
transmitted over networks 59 of high
voltage lines to substations where power
is stepped down to a lower voltage for
local distribution. Within each of these
transmission networks, there are
multiple areas where the operation of
power plants is monitored and
controlled by regional organizations to
ensure that electricity generation and
load are kept in balance. In some areas,
the operation of the transmission system
is under the control of a single regional
operator; 60 in others, individual
utilities 61 coordinate the operations of
their generation and transmission to
balance the system across their
respective service territories.
2. Types of EGUs
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There are many types of EGUs
including fossil fuel-fired power plants
(i.e., those using coal, oil, and natural
gas), nuclear power plants, renewable
generating sources (such as wind and
solar) and others. This rule focuses on
the fossil fuel-fired portion of the
generating fleet that is responsible for
the vast majority of GHG emissions from
the power sector. The definition of fossil
fuel-fired electric utility steam
generating units includes utility boilers
as well as those that use gasification
technology (i.e., integrated gasification
combined cycle (IGCC) units). While
coal is the most common fuel for fossil
fuel-fired utility boilers, natural gas can
also be used as a fuel in these EGUs and
many existing coal- and oil-fired utility
boilers have refueled as natural gas-fired
utility boilers. An IGCC unit gasifies
fuel—typically coal or petroleum coke—
to form a synthetic gas (or syngas)
composed of carbon monoxide (CO) and
hydrogen (H2), which can be combusted
in a combined cycle system to generate
power. The heat created by these
technologies produces high-pressure
steam that is released to rotate turbines,
which, in turn, spin an electric
generator.
59 The three network interconnections are the
Western Interconnection, comprising the western
parts of the U.S. and Canada, the Eastern
Interconnection, comprising the eastern parts of the
U.S. and Canada except parts of Eastern Canada in
the Quebec Interconnection, and the Texas
Interconnection, encompassing the portion of the
Texas electricity system commonly known as the
Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). See
map of all NERC interconnections at https://
www.nerc.com/AboutNERC/keyplayers/Publishing
Images/NERC%20Interconnections.pdf.
60 For example, PJM Interconnection, LLC, New
York Independent System Operator (NYISO),
Midwest Independent System Operator (MISO),
California Independent System Operator (CAISO),
etc.
61 For example, Los Angeles Department of Power
and Water, Florida Power and Light, etc.
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Stationary combustion turbine EGUs
(most commonly natural gas-fired) use
one of two configurations: combined
cycle or simple cycle turbines.
Combined cycle units have two
generating components (i.e., two cycles)
operating from a single source of heat.
Combined cycle units first generate
power from a combustion turbine (i.e.,
the combustion cycle) directly from the
heat of burning natural gas or other fuel.
The second cycle reuses the waste heat
from the combustion turbine engine,
which is routed to a heat recovery steam
generator (HRSG) that generates steam,
which is then used to produce
additional power using a steam turbine
(i.e., the steam cycle). Combining these
generation cycles increases the overall
efficiency of the system. Combined
cycle units that fire mostly natural gas
are commonly referred to as natural gas
combined cycle (NGCC) units, and, with
greater efficiency, are utilized at higher
capacity factors to provide base load or
intermediate load power. An EGU’s
capacity factor indicates a power plant’s
electricity output as a percentage of its
total generation capacity. Simple cycle
turbines only use a combustion turbine
to produce electricity (i.e., there is no
heat recovery or steam cycle). These
less-efficient combustion turbines are
generally utilized at non-base load
capacity factors and contribute to
reliable operations of the grid during
periods of peak demand or provide
flexibility to support increased
generation from variable energy
sources.62
Other generating sources produce
electricity by harnessing kinetic energy
from flowing water, wind, or tides,
thermal energy from geothermal wells,
or solar energy primarily through
photovoltaic solar arrays. Spurred by a
combination of declining costs,
consumer preferences, and government
policies, the capacity of these renewable
technologies is growing, and when
considered with existing nuclear energy,
accounted for 40 percent of the overall
62 Non-dispatchable renewable energy (electrical
output cannot be used at any given time to meet
fluctuating demand) is both variable and
intermittent and is often referred to as intermittent
renewable energy. The variability aspect results
from predictable changes in electric generation (e.g.,
solar not generating electricity at night) that often
occur on longer time periods. The intermittent
aspect of renewable energy results from
inconsistent generation due to unpredictable
external factors outside the control of the owner/
operator (e.g., imperfect local weather forecasts)
that often occur on shorter time periods. Since
renewable energy fluctuates over multiple time
periods, grid operators are required to adjust
forecast and real time operating procedures. As
more renewable energy is added to the electric grid
and generation forecasts improve, the intermittency
of renewable energy is reduced.
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39811
net electricity supply in 2022. Many
projections show this share growing
over time. For example, the EPA’s
Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM
(i.e., the EPA’s baseline projections of
the power sector) projects zero-emitting
sources reaching 76 percent of
electricity generation by 2040. This shift
is driven by multiple factors. These
factors include changes in the relative
economics of generating technologies,
the efforts by states to reduce GHG
emissions, utility and other corporate
commitments, and customer preference.
The shift is further promoted by
provisions of Federal legislation, most
notably the Clean Electricity Investment
and Production tax credits included in
IRC sections 48E and 45Y of the IRA,
which do not begin to phase out until
the later of 2032 or when power sector
GHG emissions are 75 percent less than
2022 levels. (See section IV.F of this
preamble and the accompanying RIA for
additional discussion of projections for
the power sector.) These projections are
consistent with power company
announcements. For example, as the
Edison Electric Institute (EEI) stated in
pre-proposal public comments
submitted to the regulatory docket:
‘‘Fifty EEI members have announced
forward-looking carbon reduction goals,
two-thirds of which include a net-zero
by 2050 or earlier equivalent goal, and
members are routinely increasing the
ambition or speed of their goals or
altogether transforming them into netzero goals . . . . EEI’s member
companies see a clear path to continued
emissions reductions over the next
decade using current technologies,
including nuclear power, natural gasbased generation, energy demand
efficiency, energy storage, and
deployment of new renewable energy—
especially wind and solar—as older
coal-based and less-efficient natural gasbased generating units retire.’’ 63 The
Energy Strategy Coalition similarly said
in public comments that ‘‘[a]s major
electrical utilities and power producers,
our top priority is providing clean,
affordable, and reliable energy to our
customers’’ and are ‘‘seeking to
advance’’ technologies ‘‘such as a
carbon capture and storage, which can
significantly reduce carbon dioxide
63 Edison Electric Institute (EEI). (November 18,
2022). Clean Air Act Section 111 Standards and the
Power Sector: Considerations and Options for
Setting Standards and Providing Compliance
Flexibility to Units and States. Public comments
submitted to the EPA’s pre-proposal rulemaking,
Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2022–0723–0024.
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emissions from fossil fuel-fired
EGUs.’’ 64
B. GHG Emissions From Fossil FuelFired EGUs
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The principal GHGs that accumulate
in the Earth’s atmosphere above preindustrial levels because of human
activity are CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs,
and SF6. Of these, CO2 is the most
abundant, accounting for 80 percent of
all GHGs present in the atmosphere.
This abundance of CO2 is largely due to
the combustion of fossil fuels by the
transportation, electricity, and
industrial sectors.65
The amount of CO2 produced when a
fossil fuel is burned in an EGU is a
function of the carbon content of the
fuel relative to the size and efficiency of
the EGU. Different fuels emit different
amounts of CO2 in relation to the energy
they produce when combusted. The
heat content, or the amount of energy
produced when a fuel is burned, is
mainly determined by the carbon and
hydrogen content of the fuel. For
example, in terms of pounds of CO2
emitted per million British thermal
units of energy produced when
combusted, natural gas is the lowest
compared to other fossil fuels at 117 lb
CO2/MMBtu.66 67 The average for coal is
216 lb CO2/MMBtu, but varies between
206 to 229 lb CO2/MMBtu by type (e.g.,
anthracite, lignite, subbituminous, and
bituminous).68 The value for petroleum
products such as diesel fuel and heating
oil is 161 lb CO2/MMBtu.
The EPA prepares the official U.S.
Inventory of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
64 Energy Strategy Coalition Comments on EPA’s
proposed New Source Performance Standards for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified,
and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of
the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, Document ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072–0672, August 14, 2023.
65 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Overview of greenhouse gas emissions. July 2021.
https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overviewgreenhouse-gases#carbon-dioxide.
66 Natural gas is primarily CH , which has a
4
higher hydrogen to carbon atomic ratio, relative to
other fuels, and thus, produces the least CO2 per
unit of heat released. In addition to a lower CO2
emission rate on a lb/MMBtu basis, natural gas is
generally converted to electricity more efficiently
than coal. According to EIA, the 2020 emissions
rate for coal and natural gas were 2.23 lb CO2/kWh
and 0.91 lb CO2/kWh, respectively. www.eia.gov/
tools/faqs/faq.php?id=74&t=11.
67 Values reflect the carbon content on a per unit
of energy produced on a higher heating value (HHV)
combustion basis and are not reflective of recovered
useful energy from any particular technology.
68 Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Carbon Dioxide Emissions Coefficients. https://
www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_
mass.php.
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and Sinks 69 (the U.S. GHG Inventory) to
comply with commitments under the
United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC). This
inventory, which includes recent trends,
is organized by industrial sectors. It
presents total U.S. anthropogenic
emissions and sinks 70 of GHGs,
including CO2 emissions since 1990.
According to the latest inventory of all
sectors, in 2021, total U.S. GHG
emissions were 6,340 million metric
tons of CO2 equivalent (MMT CO2e).71
The transportation sector (28.5 percent),
which includes approximately 300
million vehicles, was the largest
contributor to total U.S. GHG emissions
with 1,804 MMT CO2e followed by the
power sector (25.0 percent) with 1,584
MMT CO2e. In fact, GHG emissions from
the power sector were higher than the
GHG emissions from all other industrial
sectors combined (1,487 MMT CO2e).
Specifically, the power sector’s
emissions were far more than petroleum
and natural gas systems 72 at 301 MMT
CO2e; chemicals (71 MMT CO2e);
minerals (64 MMT CO2e); coal mining
(53 MMT CO2e); and metals (48 MMT
CO2e). The agriculture (636 MMT CO2e),
commercial (439 MMT CO2e), and
residential (366 MMT CO2e) sectors
combined to emit 1,441 MMT CO2e.
Fossil fuel-fired EGUs are by far the
largest stationary source emitters of
GHGs in the nation. For example,
according to the EPA’s Greenhouse Gas
Reporting Program (GHGRP), of the top
100 large facilities that reported facilitylevel GHGs in 2022, 85 were fossil fuelfired power plants while 10 were
refineries and/or chemical plants, four
were metals facilities, and one was a
petroleum and natural gas systems
facility.73 Of the 85 fossil fuel-fired
power plants, 81 were primarily coal69 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Sinks: 1990–2021. https://www.epa.gov/
ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gasemissions-and-sinks-1990-2021.
70 Sinks are a physical unit or process that stores
GHGs, such as forests or underground or deep-sea
reservoirs of carbon dioxide.
71 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Sinks: 1990–2021. https://www.epa.gov/
ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gasemissions-and-sinks.
72 Petroleum and natural gas systems include:
offshore and onshore petroleum and natural gas
production; onshore petroleum and natural gas
gathering and boosting; natural gas processing;
natural gas transmission/compression; onshore
natural gas transmission pipelines; natural gas local
distribution companies; underground natural gas
storage; liquified natural gas storage; liquified
natural gas import/export equipment; and other
petroleum and natural gas systems.
73 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program. Facility Level
Information on Greenhouse Gases Tool (FLIGHT).
https://ghgdata.epa.gov/ghgp/main.do#.
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fired, including the top 41 emitters of
CO2. In addition, of the 81 coal-fired
plants, 43 have no retirement planned
prior to 2039. The top 10 of these plants
combined to emit more than 135 MMT
of CO2e, with the top emitter (James H.
Miller power plant in Alabama)
reporting approximately 22 MMT of
CO2e with each of its four EGUs
emitting between 5 MMT and 6 MMT
CO2e that year. The combined capacity
of these 10 plants is more than 23
gigawatts (GW), and all except for the
Monroe (Michigan) plant operated at
annual capacity factors of 50 percent or
higher.74 For comparison, the largest
GHG emitter in the U.S. that is not a
fossil fuel-fired power plant is the
ExxonMobil refinery and chemical plant
in Baytown, Texas, which reported 12.6
MMT CO2e (No. 6 overall in the nation)
to the GHGRP in 2022. The largest
metals facility in terms of GHG
emissions was the U.S. Steel facility in
Gary, Indiana, with 10.4 MMT CO2e
(No. 16 overall in the nation).
Overall, CO2 emissions from the
power sector have declined by 36
percent since 2005 (when the power
sector reached annual emissions of
2,400 MMT CO2, its historical peak to
date).75 The reduction in CO2 emissions
can be attributed to the power sector’s
ongoing trend away from carbonintensive coal-fired generation and
toward more natural gas-fired and
renewable sources. In 2005, CO2
emissions from coal-fired EGUs alone
measured 1,983 MMT.76 This total
dropped to 1,351 MMT in 2015 and
reached 974 MMT in 2019, the first time
since 1978 that CO2 emissions from
coal-fired EGUs were below 1,000 MMT.
In 2020, emissions of CO2 from coalfired EGUs measured 788 MMT as the
result of pandemic-related closures and
reduced utilization before rebounding in
2021 to 909 MMT. By contrast, CO2
emissions from natural gas-fired
generation have almost doubled since
2005, increasing from 319 MMT to 613
MMT in 2021, and CO2 emissions from
petroleum products (i.e., distillate fuel
oil, petroleum coke, and residual fuel
oil) declined from 98 MMT in 2005 to
18 MMT in 2021.
74 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory,
Form EIA–860M, November 2023. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
75 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Sinks: 1990–2020. https://cfpub.epa.gov/ghgdata/
inventoryexplorer/#electricitygeneration/
entiresector/allgas/category/all.
76 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Monthly Energy Review, table 11.6. September
2022. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/
monthly/pdf/sec11.pdf.
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When the EPA finalized the Clean
Power Plan (CPP) in October 2015, the
Agency projected that, as a result of the
CPP, the power sector would reduce its
annual CO2 emissions to 1,632 MMT by
2030, or 32 percent below 2005 levels
(2,400 MMT).77 Instead, even in the
absence of Federal regulations for
existing EGUs, annual CO2 emissions
from sources covered by the CPP had
fallen to 1,540 MMT by the end of 2021,
a nearly 36 percent reduction below
2005 levels. The power sector achieved
a deeper level of reductions than
forecast under the CPP and
approximately a decade ahead of time.
By the end of 2015, several months after
the CPP was finalized, those sources
already had achieved CO2 emission
levels of 1,900 MMT, or approximately
21 percent below 2005 levels. However,
progress in emission reductions is not
uniform across all states and is not
guaranteed to continue, therefore
Federal policies play an essential role.
As discussed earlier in this section, the
power sector remains a leading emitter
of CO2 in the U.S., and, despite the
emission reductions since 2005, current
CO2 levels continue to endanger human
health and welfare. Further, as sources
in other sectors of the economy turn to
electrification to decarbonize, future
CO2 reductions from fossil fuel-fired
EGUs have the potential to take on
added significance and increased
benefits.
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C. Recent Developments in Emissions
Control
This section of the preamble describes
recent developments in GHG emissions
control in general. Details of those
controls in the context of BSER
determination are provided in section
VII.C.1.a for CCS on coal-fired steam
generating units, section VII.C.2.a for
natural gas co-firing on coal-fired steam
generating units, section VIII.F.2.b for
efficient generation on natural gas-fired
combustion turbines, and section
VIII.F.4.c.iv for CCS on natural gas-fired
combustion turbines. Further details of
the control technologies are available in
the final TSDs, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units
and GHG Mitigation Measures—CCS for
Combustion Turbines, available in the
docket for these actions.
1. CCS
One of the key GHG reduction
technologies upon which the BSER
determinations are founded in these
final rules is CCS—a technology that
can capture and permanently store CO2
from fossil fuel-fired EGUs. CCS has
77 80
FR 63662 (October 23, 2015).
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three major components: CO2 capture,
transportation, and sequestration/
storage. Solvent-based CO2 capture was
patented nearly 100 years ago in the
1930s 78 and has been used in a variety
of industrial applications for decades.
Thousands of miles of CO2 pipelines
have been constructed and securely
operated in the U.S. for decades.79 And
tens of millions of tons of CO2 have
been permanently stored deep
underground either for geologic
sequestration or in association with
enhanced oil recovery (EOR).80 The
American Petroleum Institute (API)
explains that ‘‘CCS is a proven
technology’’ and that ‘‘[t]he methods
that apply to [the] carbon sequestration
process are not novel. The U.S. has
more than 40 years of CO2 gas injection
and storage experience. During the last
40 years the U.S. gas and oil industry’s
(EOR) enhanced oil recovery operations)
have injected more than 1 billion tonnes
of CO2.’’ 81 82
In 2009, Mike Morris, then-CEO of
American Electric Power (AEP), was
interviewed by Reuters and the article
noted that Morris’s ‘‘companies’ work in
West Virginia on [CCS] gave [Morris]
more insight than skeptics who doubt
the technology.’’ In that interview,
Morris explained, ‘‘I’m convinced it will
be primetime ready by 2015 and
deployable.’’ 83 In 2011, Alstom Power,
the company that developed the 30 MW
pilot project upon which Morris had
78 Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic
Gases (1930) United States patent application.
United States Patent US1783901A; Allen, A.S. and
Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide
from a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent
Application. United States Patent US1934472A.
79 U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline
and Hazardous Material Safety Administration,
‘‘Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.’’ 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/
gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmissionhazardous-liquids.
80 GHGRP US EPA. https://www.epa.gov/
ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-andgeologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
81 American Petroleum Institute (API). (2024).
Carbon Capture and Storage: A Low-Carbon
Solution to Economy-Wide Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Reductions. https://www.api.org/newspolicy-and-issues/carbon-capture-storage.
82 Major energy company presidents have made
similar statements. For example, in 2021, Shell Oil
Company president Gretchen H. Watkins testified to
Congress that ‘‘Carbon capture and storage is a
proven technology,’’ and in 2022, Joe Blommaert,
the president of ExxonMobil Low Carbon Solutions,
stated that ‘‘Carbon capture and storage is a readily
available technology that can play a critical role in
helping society reduce greenhouse gas emissions.’’
See https://www.congress.gov/117/meeting/house/
114185/witnesses/HHRG-117-GO00-WstateWatkinsG-20211028.pdf and https://
corporate.exxonmobil.com/news/news-releases/
2022/0225_exxonmobil-to-expand-carbon-captureand-storage-at-labarge-wyoming-facility.
83 Woodall, B. (June 25, 2009). AEP sees carbon
capture from coal ready by 2015. Reuters. https://
www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE55O6TS/.
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based his conclusions, reiterated the
claim that CCS would be commercially
available in 2015. A press release from
Alstom Power stated that, based on the
results of Alstom’s ‘‘13 pilot and
demonstration projects and validated by
independent experts . . . we can now
be confident that CCS works and is cost
effective . . . and will be available at a
commercial scale in 2015 and will allow
[plants] to capture 90% of the emitted
CO2.’’ The press release went on to note
that ‘‘the same conclusion applies for a
gas plant using CCS.’’ 84
In 2011, however, AEP determined
that the economic and regulatory
environment at the time did not support
further development of the technology.
After canceling a large-scale commercial
project, Morris explained, ‘‘as a
regulated utility, it is impossible to gain
regulatory approval to cover our share of
the costs for validating and deploying
the technology without federal
requirements to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions already in place.’’ 85
Thirteen years later, the situation is
fundamentally different. Since 2011, the
technological advances from full-scale
deployments (e.g., the Petra Nova and
Boundary Dam projects discussed later
in this preamble) combined with
supportive policies in multiple states
and the financial incentives included in
the IRA, mean that CCS can be deployed
at scale today. In addition to
applications at fossil fuel-fired EGUs,
installation of CCS is poised to
dramatically increase across a range of
industries in the coming years,
including ethanol production, natural
gas processing, and steam methane
reformers.86 Many of the CCS projects
across these industries, including
capture systems, pipelines, and
sequestration, are already in operation
or are in advanced stages of
deployment. There are currently at least
15 operating CCS projects in the U.S.,
and another 121 that are under
84 Alstom Power. (June 14, 2011). Alstom Power
study demonstrates carbon capture and storage
(CCS) is efficient and cost competitive. https://
www.alstom.com/press-releases-news/2011/6/pressreleases-3-26.
85 Indiana Michigan Power. (July 14, 2011). AEP
Places Carbon Capture Commercialization on Hold,
Citing Uncertain Status of Climate Policy, Weak
Economy. Press release. https://
www.indianamichiganpower.com/company/news/
view?releaseID=1206.
86 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (2023).
Pathways to Commercial Liftoff: Carbon
Management. https://liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2024/02/20230424-Liftoff-CarbonManagement-vPUB_update4.pdf.
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construction or in advanced stages of
development.87
Process improvements learned from
earlier deployments of CCS, the
availability of better solvents, and other
advances have decreased the costs of
CCS in recent years. As a result, the cost
of CO2 capture, excluding any tax
credits, from coal-fired power
generation is projected to fall by 50
percent by 2025 compared to 2010.88
The IRA makes additional and
significant reductions in the cost of
implementing CCS by extending and
increasing the tax credit for CO2
sequestration under IRC section 45Q.
With this combination of polices, and
the advances related to CO2 capture,
multiple projects consistent with the
emission reduction requirements of a 90
percent capture amine based BSER are
in advanced stages of development.
These projects use a wider range of
technologies, and some of them are
being developed as first-of-a-kind
projects and offer significant advantages
over the amine-based CCS technology
that the EPA is finalizing as BSER.
For instance, in North Dakota,
Governor Doug Burgum announced a
goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2030
while retaining the core position of its
fossil fuel industries, and to do so by
significant CCS implementation. Gov.
Burgum explained, ‘‘This may seem like
a moonshot goal, but it’s actually not.
It’s actually completely doable, even
with the technologies that we have
today.’’ 89 Companies in the state are
backing up this claim with projects in
multiple industries in various stages of
operation and development. In the
power sector, two of the biggest projects
under development are Project Tundra
and Coal Creek. Project Tundra is a
carbon capture project on Minnkota
Power’s 705 MW Milton R Young Power
Plant in Oliver County, North Dakota.
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries will be
providing an advanced version of its
carbon capture equipment that builds
upon the lessons learned from the Petra
Nova project.90 Rainbow Energy is
87 Congressional Budget Office (CBO). (December
13, 2023). Carbon Capture and Storage in the United
States. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
88 Global CCS Institute. (March 2021). Technology
Readiness and Costs of CCS. https://
www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/
2021/03/Technology-Readiness-and-Costs-for-CCS2021-1.pdf.
89 Willis, A. (May 12, 2021). Gov. Doug Burgum
calls for North Dakota to be carbon neutral by 2030.
The Dickinson Press. https://
www.thedickinsonpress.com/business/gov-dougburgum-calls-for-north-dakota-to-be-carbonneutral-by-2030.
90 Tanaka, H. et al. Advanced KM CDR Process
using New Solvent. 14th International Conference
on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT–
14. https://www.cfaenm.org/wp-content/uploads/
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developing the project at the Coal Creek
Station, located in McLean, North
Dakota. Notably, Rainbow Energy
purchased the 1,150 MW Coal Creek
Station with a business model of
installing CCS based on the IRC section
45Q tax credit of $50/ton that existed at
the time (the IRA has since increased
the amount to $85/ton).91 Rainbow
Energy explains, ‘‘CCUS technology has
been proven and is an economical
option for a facility like Coal Creek
Station. We see CCUS as the best way
to manage emissions at our facility.’’ 92
While North Dakota has encouraged
CCS on coal-fired power plants without
specific mandates, Wyoming is taking a
different approach. Senate Bill 42,
enacted in 2024, requires utilities to
generate a specified percentage of their
electricity using coal-fired power plants
with CCS. SB 42 updates HB 200,
enacted in 2020, which required the
CCS to be installed by 2030, which SB
42 extends to 2033. To comply with
those requirements, PacificCorp has
stated in its 2023 IRP that it intends to
install CCS on two coal-fired units by
2028.93 Rocky Mountain Power has also
announced that it will explore a new
carbon capture technology at either its
David Johnston plant or its Wyodak
plant.94 Another CCS project is also
under development at the Dry Fork
Power Plant in Wyoming. Currently, a
pilot project that will capture 150 tons
of CO2 per day is under construction
and is scheduled to be completed in late
2024. Work has also begun on a fullscale front end engineering design
(FEED) study.
Like North Dakota, West Virginia does
not have a carbon capture mandate, but
there are several carbon capture projects
under development in the state. One is
a new, 2,000 MW natural gas combined
cycle plant being developed by
Competitive Power Ventures that will
capture 90–95 percent of the CO2 using
GE turbine and carbon capture
2019/03/GHGT14_manuscript_20180913Cleanversion.pdf.
91 Minot Daily News. (April 8, 2024). Hoeven: ND
to lead country with carbon capture project at Coal
Creek Station. https://minotdailynews.com/news/
local-news/2021/07/hoeven-nd-to-lead-countrywith-carbon-capture-project-at-coal-creek-station/.
92 Rainbow Energy Center. (ND). Carbon Capture.
https://rainbowenergycenter.com/what-we-do/
carbon-capture/.
93 PacifiCorp. (April 1, 2024). 2023 Integrated
Resource Plan Update. https://www.pacificorp.com/
content/dam/pcorp/documents/en/pacificorp/
energy/integrated-resource-plan/2023_IRP_
Update.pdf.
94 Rocky Mountain Power. (April 1, 2024). Rocky
Mountain Power and 8 Rivers to collaborate on
proposed Wyoming carbon capture project. Press
release. https://www.rockymountainpower.net/
about/newsroom/news-releases/rmp-proposedwyoming-carbon-capture-project.html.
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technology.95 A second is an Omnis
Fuel Technologies project to convert the
coal-fired Pleasants Power Station to
run on hydrogen.96 Omnis intends to
use a pyrolysis-based process to convert
coal into hydrogen and graphite.
Because the graphite is a usable, solid
form of carbon, no CO2 sequestration
will be required. Therefore, unlike more
traditional amine-based approaches,
instead of the captured CO2 being a cost,
the graphite product will provide a
revenue stream.97 Omnis states that the
Pleasants Power Project broke ground in
August 2023 and will be online by 2025.
It should be noted that Wyoming,
West Virginia, and North Dakota
represented the first-, second-, and
seventh-largest coal producers,
respectively, in the U.S. in 2022.98
In addition to the coal-based CCS
projects mentioned above, multiple
other projects are in advanced stages of
development and/or have completed
FEED studies. For instance, Linde/BASF
is installing a 10 MW pilot project on
the Dallman Power Plant in Illinois.
Based on results from small scale pilot
studies, techno economic analysis
indicates that the Linde/BASF process
can provide a significant reduction in
capital costs compared to the NETL base
case for a supercritical pulverized coal
plant with carbon capture.’’ 99 Multiple
other FEED studies are either completed
or under development, putting those
projects on a path to being able to be
built and to commence operation well
before January 1, 2032.
In addition to the Competitive Power
Partners project, there are multiple postcombustion CCS retrofit projects in
various stages of development. In
particular, NET Power is in advanced
stages of development on a 300 MW
project in west Texas using the AllamFetvedt cycle, which is being designed
to achieve greater than 97 percent CO2
capture. In addition to working on this
first project, NET Power has indicated
that it has an additional project under
development and is working with
95 Competitive Power Ventures (CPV). Shay Clean
Energy Center. https://www.cpv.com/our-projects/
cpv-shay-energy-center/.
96 The Associated Press (AP). (August 30, 2023).
New owner restarts West Virginia coal-fired power
plant and intends to convert it to hydrogen use.
https://apnews.com/article/west-virginia-powerplant-coal-hydrogen-7b46798c8e3b093
a8591f25f66340e8f.
97 omnigenglobal.com.
98 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(October 2023). Annual Coal Report 2022. https://
www.eia.gov/coal/annual/pdf/acr.pdf.
99 National Energy Technology Laboratory
(NETL). Large Pilot Carbon Capture Project
Supported by NETL Breaks Ground in Illinois.
https://netl.doe.gov/node/12284.
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suppliers to support additional future
projects.100
In developing these final rules, the
EPA reviewed the current state and cost
of CCS technology for use with both
steam generating units and stationary
combustion turbines. This review is
reflected in the respective BSER
discussions later in this preamble and is
further detailed in the accompanying
RIA and final TSDs, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units
and GHG Mitigation Measures—Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion
Turbines. These documents are
included in the rulemaking docket.
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2. Natural Gas Co-Firing
For a coal-fired steam generating unit,
the substitution of natural gas for some
of the coal so that the unit fires a
combination of coal and natural gas is
known as ‘‘natural gas co-firing.’’
Existing coal-fired steam generating
units can be modified to co-fire natural
gas in any desired proportion with coal.
Generally, the modification of existing
boilers to enable or increase natural gas
firing involves the installation of new
gas burners and related boiler
modifications and may involve the
construction of a natural gas supply
pipeline if one does not already exist. In
recent years, the cost of natural gas cofiring has declined because the expected
difference between coal and gas prices
has decreased and analysis supports
lower capital costs for modifying
existing boilers to co-fire with natural
gas, as discussed in section VII.C.2.a of
this preamble.
It is common practice for steam
generating units to have the capability
to burn multiple fuels onsite, and of the
565 coal-fired steam generating units
operating at the end of 2021, 249 of
them reported use of natural gas as a
primary fuel or for startup.101 Based on
hourly reported CO2 emission rates from
the start of 2015 through the end of
2020, 29 coal-fired steam generating
units co-fired with natural gas at rates
at or above 60 percent of capacity on an
hourly basis.102 The capability of those
units on an hourly basis is indicative of
the extent of boiler burner modifications
and sizing and capacity of natural gas
100 Net Power. (March 11, 2024). Q4 2023
Business Update and Results. https://
d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_
cde4aad258e20f5aec49abd8654499f8/netpower/db/
3583/33195/pdf/Q4_2023+Earnings+Presentation_
3.11.24.pdf.
101 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Form 923. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/
eia923/.
102 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
‘‘Power Sector Emissions Data.’’ Washington, DC:
Office of Atmospheric Protection, Clean Air
Markets Division. https://campd.epa.gov.
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pipelines to those units, and it implies
that those units are technically capable
of co-firing at least 60 percent natural
gas on a heat input basis on average over
the course of an extended period (e.g.,
a year). Additionally, many coal-fired
steam generating EGUs have also opted
to switch entirely to providing
generation from the firing of natural gas.
Since 2011, more than 80 coal-fired
utility boilers have been converted to
natural gas-fired utility boilers.103
In developing these final actions, the
EPA reviewed in detail the current state
of natural gas co-firing technology and
costs. This review is reflected in the
BSER discussions later in this preamble
and is further detailed in the
accompanying RIA and final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units. Both documents are
included in the rulemaking docket.
3. Efficient Generation
Highly efficient generation is the
BSER technology upon which the first
phase standards of performance are
based for certain new and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbine EGUs.
This technology is available for both
simple cycle and combined cycle
combustion turbines and has been
demonstrated—along with best
operating and maintenance practices—
to reduce emissions. Generally, as the
thermal efficiency of a combustion
turbine increases, less fuel is burned per
gross MWh of electricity produced and
there is a corresponding decrease in CO2
and other air emissions.
For simple cycle turbines,
manufacturers continue to improve the
efficiency by increasing firing
temperature, increasing pressure ratios,
using intercooling on the air
compressor, and adopting other
measures. Best operating practices for
simple cycle turbines include proper
maintenance of the combustion turbine
flow path components and the use of
inlet air cooling to reduce efficiency
losses during periods of high ambient
temperatures. For combined cycle
turbines, a highly efficient combustion
turbine engine is matched with a highefficiency HRSG. High efficiency also
includes, but is not limited to, the use
of the most efficient steam turbine and
minimizing energy losses using
insulation and blowdown heat recovery.
Best operating and maintenance
practices include, but are not limited to,
minimizing steam leaks, minimizing air
103 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(5 August 2020). Today in Energy. More than 100
coal-fired plants have been replaced or converted to
natural gas since 2011. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=44636.
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infiltration, and cleaning and
maintaining heat transfer surfaces.
As discussed in section VIII.F.2.b of
this preamble, efficient generation
technologies have been in use at
facilities in the power sector for decades
and the levels of efficiency that the EPA
is finalizing in this rule have been
achieved by many recently constructed
turbines. The efficiency improvements
are incremental in nature and do not
change how the combustion turbine is
operated or maintained and present
little incremental capital or compliance
costs compared to other types of
technologies that may be considered for
new and reconstructed sources. In
addition, more efficient designs have
lower fuel costs, which offset at least a
portion of the increase in capital costs.
For additional discussion of this BSER
technology, see the final TSD, Efficient
Generation in Combustion Turbines in
the docket for this rulemaking.
Efficiency improvements are also
available for fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units, and as discussed
further in section VII.D.4.a, the more
efficiently an EGU operates the less fuel
it consumes, thereby emitting lower
amounts of CO2 and other air pollutants
per MWh generated. Efficiency
improvements for steam generating
EGUs include a variety of technology
upgrades and operating practices that
may achieve CO2 emission rate
reductions of 0.1 to 5 percent for
individual EGUs. These reductions are
small relative to the reductions that are
achievable from natural gas co-firing
and from CCS. Also, as efficiency
increases, some facilities could increase
their utilization and therefore increase
their CO2 emissions (as well as
emissions of other air pollutants). This
phenomenon is known as the ‘‘rebound
effect.’’ Because of this potential for
perverse GHG emission outcomes
resulting from deployment of efficiency
measures at certain steam generating
units, coupled with the relatively minor
overall GHG emission reductions that
would be expected, the EPA is not
finalizing efficiency improvements as
the BSER for any subcategory of existing
coal-fired steam generating units.
Specific details of efficiency measures
are described in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, and an updated 2023
Sargent and Lundy HRI report (Heat
Rate Improvement Method Costs and
Limitations Memo), available in the
docket.
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D. The Electric Power Sector: Trends
and Current Structure
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1. Overview
The electric power sector is
experiencing a prolonged period of
transition and structural change. Since
the generation of electricity from coalfired power plants peaked nearly two
decades ago, the power sector has
changed at a rapid pace. Today, natural
gas-fired power plants provide the
largest share of net generation, coal-fired
power plants provide a significantly
smaller share than in the recent past,
renewable energy provides a steadily
increasing share, and as new
technologies enter the marketplace,
power producers continue to replace
aging assets—especially coal-fired
power plants—with more efficient and
lower-cost alternatives.
These developments have significant
implications for the types of controls
that the EPA determined to qualify as
the BSER for different types of fossil
fuel-fired EGUs. For example, power
plant owners and operators retired an
average annual coal-fired EGU capacity
of 10 GW from 2015 to 2023, and coalfired EGUs comprised 58 percent of all
retired capacity in 2023.104 While use of
CCS promises significant emissions
reduction from fossil fuel-fired sources,
it requires substantial up-front capital
expenditure. Therefore, it is not a
feasible or cost-reasonable emission
reduction technology for units that
intend to cease operation before they
would be able to amortize its costs.
Industry stakeholders requested that the
EPA structure these rules to avoid
imposing costly control obligations on
coal-fired power plants that have
announced plans to voluntarily cease
operations, and the EPA has determined
the BSER in accordance with its
understanding of which coal-fired units
will be able to feasibly and costeffectively deploy the BSER
technologies. In addition, the EPA
recognizes that utilities and power plant
operators are building new natural gasfired combustion turbines with plans to
operate them at varying levels of
utilization, in coordination with other
existing and expected new energy
sources. These patterns of operation are
important for the type of controls that
the EPA is finalizing as the BSER for
these turbines.
104 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(7 February 2023). Today in Energy. Coal and
natural gas plants will account for 98 percent of
U.S. capacity retirements in 2023. https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55439.
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2. Broad Trends Within the Power
Sector
For more than a decade, the power
sector has been experiencing substantial
transition and structural change, both in
terms of the mix of generating capacity
and in the share of electricity generation
supplied by different types of EGUs.
These changes are the result of multiple
factors, including normal replacements
of older EGUs; technological
improvements in electricity generation
from both existing and new EGUs;
changes in the prices and availability of
different fuels; state and Federal policy;
the preferences and purchasing
behaviors of end-use electricity
consumers; and substantial growth in
electricity generation from renewable
sources.
One of the most important
developments of this transition has been
the evolving economics of the power
sector. Specifically, as discussed in
section IV.D.3.b of this preamble and in
the final TSD, Power Sector Trends, the
existing fleet of coal-fired EGUs
continues to age and become more
costly to maintain and operate. At the
same time, natural gas prices have held
relatively low due to increased supply,
and renewable costs have fallen rapidly
with technological improvement and
growing scale. Natural gas surpassed
coal in monthly net electricity
generation for the first time in April
2015, and since that time natural gas has
maintained its position as the primary
fuel for base load electricity generation,
for peaking applications, and for
balancing renewable generation.105 In
2023, generation from natural gas was
more than 2.5 times as much as
generation from coal.106 Additionally,
there has been increased generation
from investments in zero- and low-GHG
emission energy technologies spurred
by technological advancements,
declining costs, state and Federal
policies, and most recently, the IIJA and
the IRA. For example, the IIJA provides
investments and other policies to help
commercialize, demonstrate, and deploy
technologies such as small modular
nuclear reactors, long-duration energy
storage, regional clean hydrogen hubs,
CCS and associated infrastructure,
advanced geothermal systems, and
advanced distributed energy resources
(DER) as well as more traditional wind,
solar, and battery energy storage
105 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Monthly Energy Review and Short-Term Energy
Outlook, March 2016. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=25392.
106 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Power Monthly, March 2024. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/current_month/
march2024.pdf.
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resources. The IRA provides numerous
tax and other incentives to directly spur
deployment of clean energy
technologies. Particularly relevant to
these final actions, the incentives in the
IRA,107 108 which are discussed in detail
later in this section of the preamble,
support the expansion of technologies,
such as CCS, that reduce GHG emissions
from fossil-fired EGUs.
The ongoing transition of the power
sector is illustrated by a comparison of
data between 2007 and 2022. In 2007,
the year of peak coal generation,
approximately 72 percent of the
electricity provided to the U.S. grid was
produced through the combustion of
fossil fuels, primarily coal and natural
gas, with coal accounting for the largest
single share. By 2022, fossil fuel net
generation was approximately 60
percent, less than the share in 2007
despite electricity demand remaining
relatively flat over this same period.
Moreover, the share of generation
supplied by coal-fired EGUs fell from 49
percent in 2007 to 19 percent in 2022
while the share supplied by natural gasfired EGUs rose from 22 to 39 percent
during the same period. In absolute
terms, coal-fired generation declined by
59 percent while natural gas-fired
generation increased by 88 percent. This
reflects both the increase in natural gas
capacity as well as an increase in the
utilization of new and existing natural
gas-fired EGUs. The combination of
wind and solar generation also grew
from 1 percent of the electric power
sector mix in 2007 to 15 percent in
2022.109
Additional analysis of the utility
power sector, including projections of
future power sector behavior and the
impacts of these final rules, is discussed
in more detail in section XII of this
preamble, in the accompanying RIA,
and in the final TSD, Power Sector
Trends. The latter two documents are
available in the rulemaking docket.
Consistent with analyses done by other
energy modelers, the information
107 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). August
2022. The Inflation Reduction Act Drives
Significant Emissions Reductions and Positions
America to Reach Our Climate Goals. https://
www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-08/
8.18%20InflationReductionAct_Factsheet_
Final.pdf.
108 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). August
2023. Investing in American Energy. Significant
Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act and
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law on the U.S. Energy
Economy and Emissions Reductions. https://
www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/
DOE%20OP%20Economy%20Wide%20Report_
0.pdf.
109 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Annual Energy Review, table 8.2b Electricity net
generation: electric power sector. https://
www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/.
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provided in the RIA and TSD
demonstrates that the sector trend of
moving away from coal-fired generation
is likely to continue, the share from
natural gas-fired generation is projected
to decline eventually, and the share of
generation from non-emitting
technologies is likely to continue
increasing. For instance, according to
the Energy Information Administration
(EIA), the net change in solar capacity
has been larger than the net change in
capacity for any other source of
electricity for every year since 2020. In
2024, EIA projects that the actual
increase in generation from solar will
exceed every other source of generating
capacity. This is in part because of the
large amounts of new solar coming
online in 2024 but is also due to the
large amount of energy storage coming
online, which will help reduce
renewable curtailments.110 EIA also
projects that in 2024, the U.S. will see
its largest year for installation of both
solar and battery storage. Specifically,
EIA projects that 36.4 GW of solar will
be added, nearly doubling last year’s
record of 18.4 GW. Similarly, EIA
projects 14.3 GW of new energy storage.
This would more than double last year’s
record installation of 6.4 GW and nearly
double the existing total capacity of 15.5
GW. This compares to only 2.5 GW of
new natural gas turbine capacity.111 The
only year since 2013 when renewable
generation did not make up the majority
of new generation capacity in the U.S.
was 2018.112
3. Coal-Fired Generation: Historical
Trends and Current Structure
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a. Historical Trends in Coal-Fired
Generation
Coal-fired steam generating units have
historically been the nation’s foremost
source of electricity, but coal-fired
generation has declined steadily since
its peak approximately 20 years ago.113
Construction of new coal-fired steam
generating units was at its highest
between 1967 and 1986, with
approximately 188 GW (or 9.4 GW per
year) of capacity added to the grid
110 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Short Term Energy Outlook, December 2023.
111 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(February 15, 2024). Today in Energy. Solar and
Battery Storage to make up 81% of new U.S.
Electric-generating capacity in 2024. https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=61424.
112 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Today in Energy. Natural gas and renewables make
up most of 2018 electric capacity additions. https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=36092.
113 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Today in Energy. Natural gas expected to surpass
coal in mix of fuel used for U.S. power generation
in 2016. March 2016. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=25392.
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during that 20-year period.114 The peak
annual capacity addition was 14 GW,
which was added in 1980. These coalfired steam generating units operated as
base load units for decades. However,
beginning in 2005, the U.S. power
sector—and especially the coal-fired
fleet—began experiencing a period of
transition that continues today. Many of
the older coal-fired steam generating
units built in the 1960s, 1970s, and
1980s have retired or have experienced
significant reductions in net generation
due to cost pressures and other factors.
Some of these coal-fired steam
generating units repowered with
combustion turbines and natural gas.115
With no new coal-fired steam generating
units larger than 25 MW commencing
construction in the past decade—and
with the EPA unaware of any plans
being approved to construct a new coalfired EGU—much of the fleet that
remains is aging, expensive to operate
and maintain, and increasingly
uncompetitive relative to other sources
of generation in many parts of the
country.
Since 2007, the power sector’s total
installed net summer capacity 116 has
increased by 167 GW (17 percent) while
coal-fired steam generating unit capacity
has declined by 123 GW.117 This
reduction in coal-fired steam generating
unit capacity was offset by a net
increase in total installed wind capacity
of 125 GW, net natural gas capacity of
110 GW, and a net increase in utilityscale solar capacity of 71 GW during the
same period. Additionally, significant
amounts (40 GW) of DER solar were also
added. At least half of these changes
were in the most recent 7 years of this
period. From 2015 to 2022, coal
capacity was reduced by 90 GW and this
reduction in capacity was offset by a net
increase of 69 GW of wind capacity, 63
GW of natural gas capacity, and 59 GW
114 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Generators Inventory, Form EIA–860M,
Inventory of Operating Generators and Inventory of
Retired Generators, March 2022. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
115 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Today in Energy. More than 100 coal-fired plants
have been replaced or converted to natural gas
since 2011. August 2020. https://www.eia.gov/
todayinenergy/detail.php?id=44636.
116 This includes generating capacity at EGUs
primarily operated to supply electricity to the grid
and combined heat and power (CHP) facilities
classified as Independent Power Producers and
excludes generating capacity at commercial and
industrial facilities that does not operate primarily
as an EGU. Natural gas information reflects data for
all generating units using natural gas as the primary
fossil heat source unless otherwise stated. This
includes combined cycle, simple cycle, steam, and
miscellaneous (<1 percent).
117 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Power Annuals 2010 (Tables 1.1.A and
1.1.B) and 2022 (Tables 4.2.A and 4.2.B).
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of utility-scale solar capacity.
Additionally, a net summer capacity of
30 GW of DER solar were added from
2015 to 2022.
b. Current Structure of Coal-Fired
Generation
Although much of the fleet of coalfired steam generating units has
historically operated as base load, there
can be notable differences in design and
operation across various facilities. For
example, coal-fired steam generating
units smaller than 100 MW comprise 18
percent of the total number of coal-fired
units, but only 2 percent of total coalfired capacity.118 Moreover, average
annual capacity factors for coal-fired
steam generating units have declined
from 74 to 50 percent since 2007.119
These declining capacity factors
indicate that a larger share of units are
operating in non-base load fashion
largely because they are no longer costcompetitive in many hours of the year.
Older power plants also tend to
become uneconomic over time as they
become more costly to maintain and
operate,120 especially when competing
for dispatch against newer and more
efficient generating technologies that
have lower operating costs. The average
coal-fired power plant that retired
between 2015 and 2022 was more than
50 years old, and 65 percent of the
remaining fleet of coal-fired steam
generating units will be 50 years old or
more within a decade.121 To further
illustrate this trend, the existing coalfired steam generating units older than
40 years represent 71 percent (129
GW) 122 of the total remaining capacity.
In fact, more than half (100 GW) of the
coal-fired steam generating units still
operating have already announced
retirement dates prior to 2039 or
conversion to gas-fired units by the
118 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
National Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7.
December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sectormodeling/national-electric-energy-data-systemneeds.
119 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Power Annual 2021, table 1.2.
120 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
U.S. coal plant retirements linked to plants with
higher operating costs. December 2019. https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=42155.
121 eGRID 2020 (January 2022 release from EPA
eGRID website). Represents data from generators
that came online between 1950 and 2020
(inclusive); a 71-year period. Full eGRID data
includes generators that came online as far back as
1915.
122 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Generators Inventory, Form–860M,
Inventory of Operating Generators and Inventory of
Retired Generators. August 2022. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
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same year.123 As discussed later in this
section, projections anticipate that this
trend will continue.
The reduction in coal-fired generation
by electric utilities is also evident in
data for annual U.S. coal production,
which reflects reductions in
international demand as well. In 2008,
annual coal production peaked at nearly
1,172 million short tons (MMst)
followed by sharp declines in 2015 and
2020.124 In 2015, less than 900 MMst
were produced, and in 2020, the total
dropped to 535 MMst, the lowest output
since 1965. Following the pandemic, in
2022, annual coal production had
increased to 594 MMst. For additional
analysis of the coal-fired steam
generation fleet, see the final TSD,
Power Sector Trends included in the
docket for this rulemaking.
Notwithstanding these trends, in
2022, coal-fired energy sources were
still responsible for 50 percent of CO2
emissions from the electric power
sector.125
4. Natural Gas-Fired Generation:
Historical Trends and Current Structure
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a. Historical Trends in Natural GasFired Generation
There has been significant expansion
of the natural gas-fired EGU fleet since
2000, coinciding with efficiency
improvements of combustion turbine
technologies, increased availability of
natural gas, increased demand for
flexible generation to support the
expanding capacity of variable energy
resources, and declining costs for all
three elements. According to data from
EIA, annual capacity additions for
natural gas-fired EGUs peaked between
2000 and 2006, with more than 212 GW
added to the grid during this period
(about 35 GW per year). Of this total,
approximately 147 GW (70 percent)
were combined cycle capacity and 65
GW were simple cycle capacity.126 From
2007 to 2022, more than 132 GW of
capacity were constructed and
approximately 77 percent of that total
were combined cycle EGUs. This figure
123 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
National Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) v6.
October 2022. https://www.epa.gov/power-sectormodeling/national-electric-energy-data-systemneeds.
124 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(October 2023). Annual Coal Report 2022. https://
www.eia.gov/coal/annual/pdf/acr.pdf.
125 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
U.S. CO2 emissions from energy consumption by
source and sector, 2022. https://www.eia.gov/
totalenergy/data/monthly/pdf/flow/CO2_emissions_
2022.pdf.
126 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Electric Generators Inventory, Form EIA–860M,
Inventory of Operating Generators and Inventory of
Retired Generators, July 2022. https://www.eia.gov/
electricity/data/eia860m/.
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represents an average of almost 8.8 GW
of new combustion turbine generation
capacity per year. In 2022, the net
summer capacity of combustion turbine
EGUs totaled 419 GW, with 289 GW
being combined cycle generation and
130 GW being simple cycle generation.
This trend away from electricity
generation using coal-fired EGUs to
natural gas-fired turbine EGUs is also
reflected in comparisons of annual
capacity factors, sizes, and ages of
affected EGUs. For example, the average
annual capacity factors for natural gasfired units increased from 28 to 38
percent between 2010 and 2022. And
compared with the fleet of coal-fired
steam generating units, the natural gas
fleet is generally smaller and newer.
While 67 percent of the coal-fired steam
generating unit fleet capacity is over 500
MW per unit, 75 percent of the gas fleet
is between 50 and 500 MW per unit. In
terms of the age of the generating units,
nearly 50 percent of the natural gas
capacity has been in service less than 15
years.127
b. Current Structure of Natural GasFired Generation
In the lower 48 states, most
combustion turbine EGUs burn natural
gas, and some have the capability to fire
distillate oil as backup for periods when
natural gas is not available, such as
when residential demand for natural gas
is high during the winter. Areas of the
country without access to natural gas
often use distillate oil or some other
locally available fuel. Combustion
turbines have the capability to burn
either gaseous or liquid fossil fuels,
including but not limited to kerosene,
naphtha, synthetic gas, biogases,
liquified natural gas (LNG), and
hydrogen.
Over the past 20 years, advances in
hydraulic fracturing (i.e., fracking) and
horizontal drilling techniques have
opened new regions of the U.S. to gas
exploration. As the production of
natural gas has increased, the annual
average price has declined during the
same period, leading to more natural
gas-fired combustion turbines.128
Natural gas net generation increased 181
percent in the past two decades, from
601 thousand gigawatt-hours (GWh) in
2000 to 1,687 thousand GWh in 2022.
For additional analysis of natural gasfired generation, see the final TSD,
127 National
Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS)
v.6.
128 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Natural Gas Annual, September 2021. https://
www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/
prices.php.
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Power Sector Trends included in the
docket for this rulemaking.
E. The Legislative, Market, and State
Law Context
1. Recent Legislation Impacting the
Power Sector
On November 15, 2021, President
Biden signed the IIJA 129 (also known as
the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law),
which allocated more than $65 billion
in funding via grant programs, contracts,
cooperative agreements, credit
allocations, and other mechanisms to
develop and upgrade infrastructure and
expand access to clean energy
technologies. Specific objectives of the
legislation are to improve the nation’s
electricity transmission capacity,
pipeline infrastructure, and increase the
availability of low-GHG fuels. Some of
the IIJA programs 130 that will impact
the utility power sector include more
than $20 billion to build and upgrade
the nation’s electric grid, up to $6
billion in financial support for existing
nuclear reactors that are at risk of
closing, and more than $700 million for
upgrades to the existing hydroelectric
fleet. The IIJA established the Carbon
Dioxide Transportation Infrastructure
Finance and Innovation Program to
provide flexible Federal loans and
grants for building CO2 pipelines
designed with excess capacity, enabling
integrated carbon capture and geologic
storage. The IIJA also allocated $21.5
billion to fund new programs to support
the development, demonstration, and
deployment of clean energy
technologies, such as $8 billion for the
development of regional clean hydrogen
hubs and $7 billion for the development
of carbon management technologies,
including regional direct air capture
hubs, carbon capture large-scale pilot
projects for development of
transformational technologies, and
carbon capture commercial-scale
demonstration projects to improve
efficiency and effectiveness. Other clean
energy technologies with IIJA and IRA
funding include industrial
demonstrations, geologic sequestration,
grid-scale energy storage, and advanced
nuclear reactors.
The IRA, which President Biden
signed on August 16, 2022,131 has the
potential for even greater impacts on the
electric power sector. Energy Security
and Climate Change programs in the
129 https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/
house-bill/3684/text.
130 https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2022/05/BUILDING-A-BETTER-AMERICAV2.pdf.
131 https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/
house-bill/5376/text.
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IRA covering grant funding and tax
incentives provide significant
investments in low and non GHGemitting generation. For example, one of
the conditions set by Congress for the
expiration of the Clean Electricity
Production Tax Credits of the IRA,
found in section 13701, is a 75 percent
reduction in GHG emissions from the
power sector below 2022 levels. The
IRA also contains the Low Emission
Electricity Program (LEEP) with funding
provided to the EPA with the objective
to reduce GHG emissions from domestic
electricity generation and use through
promotion of incentives, tools to
facilitate action, and use of CAA
regulatory authority. In particular, CAA
section 135, added by IRA section
60107, requires the EPA to conduct an
assessment of the GHG emission
reductions expected to occur from
changes in domestic electricity
generation and use through fiscal year
2031 and, further, provides the EPA $18
million ‘‘to ensure that reductions in
[GHG] emissions are achieved through
use of the existing authorities of [the
Clean Air Act], incorporating the
assessment. . . .’’ CAA section
135(a)(6).
The IRA’s provisions also
demonstrate an intent to support
development and deployment of lowGHG emitting technologies in the power
sector through a broad array of
additional tax credits, loan guarantees,
and public investment programs.
Particularly relevant for these final
actions, these provisions are aimed at
reducing emissions of GHGs from new
and existing generating assets, with tax
credits for CCUS and clean hydrogen
production, providing a pathway for the
use of coal and natural gas as part of a
low-GHG electricity grid.
To assist states and utilities in their
decarbonizing efforts, and most germane
to these final actions, the IRA increased
the tax credit incentives for capturing
and storing CO2, including from
industrial sources, coal-fired steam
generating units, and natural gas-fired
stationary combustion turbines. The
increase in credit values, found in
section 13104 (which revises IRC
section 45Q), is 70 percent, equaling
$85/metric ton for CO2 captured and
securely stored in geologic formations
and $60/metric ton for CO2 captured
and utilized or securely stored
incidentally in conjunction with
EOR.132 The CCUS incentives include
12 years of credits that can be claimed
132 26 U.S.C. 45Q. Note, qualified facilities must
meet prevailing wage and apprenticeship
requirements to be eligible for the full value of the
tax credit.
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at the higher credit value beginning in
2023 for qualifying projects. These
incentives will significantly cut costs
and are expected to accelerate the
adoption of CCS in the utility power
and other industrial sectors. Specifically
for the power sector, the IRA requires
that a qualifying carbon capture facility
have a CO2 capture design capacity of
not less than 75 percent of the baseline
CO2 production of the unit and that
construction must begin before January
1, 2033. Tax credits under IRC section
45Q can be combined with some other
tax credits, in some circumstances, and
with state-level incentives, including
California’s low carbon fuel standard,
which is a market-based program with
fuel-specific carbon intensity
benchmarks.133 The magnitude of this
incentive is driving investment and
announcements, evidenced by the
increased number of permit applications
for geologic sequestration.134
The new provisions in section 13204
(IRC section 45V) codify production tax
credits for ‘clean hydrogen’ as defined
in the provision. The value of the
credits earned by a project is tiered (four
different tiers) and depends on the
estimated GHG emissions of the
hydrogen production process as defined
in the statute. The credits range from
$3/kg H2 for less than 0.45 kilograms of
CO2-equivalent emitted per kilogram of
low-GHG hydrogen produced (kg CO2e/
kg H2) down to $0.6/kg H2 for 2.5 to 4.0
kg CO2e/kg H2 (assuming wage and
apprenticeship requirements are met).
Projects with production related GHG
emissions greater than 4.0 kg CO2e/kg
H2 are not eligible. Future costs for
clean hydrogen produced using
renewable energy are anticipated to
through 2030 due to these tax incentives
and concurrent scaling up of
manufacturing and deployment of clean
hydrogen production facilities.
Both IRC section 45Q and IRC section
45V are eligible for additional
provisions that increase the value and
usability of the credits. Certain taxexempt entities, such as electric cooperatives, may elect direct payment for
the full 12- or 10-year lifetime of the
credits to monetize the credits directly
as cash refunds rather than through tax
equity transactions. Tax-paying entities
may elect to have direct payment of IRC
section 45Q or 45V credits for 5
133 Global CCS Institute. (2019). The LCFS and
CCS Protocol: An Overview for Policymakers and
Project Developers. Policy report. https://
www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/
2019/05/LCFS-and-CCS-Protocol_digital_version2.pdf.
134 EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/currentclass-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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consecutive years. Tax-paying entities
may also elect to transfer credits to
unrelated taxpayers, enabling direct
monetization of the credits again
without relying on tax equity
transactions.
In addition to provisions such as 45Q
that allow for the use of fossilgenerating assets in a low-GHG future,
the IRA also includes significant
incentives to deploy clean energy
generation. For instance, the IRA
provides an additional 10 percent in
production tax credit (PTC) and
investment tax credit (ITC) bonuses for
clean energy projects located in energy
communities with historic employment
and tax bases related to fossil fuels.135
The IRA’s Energy Infrastructure
Reinvestment Program also provides
$250 billion for the DOE to finance loan
guarantees that can be used to reduce
both the cost of retiring existing fossil
assets and of replacement generation for
those assets, including updating
operating energy infrastructure with
emissions control technologies.136 As a
further example, the Empowering Rural
America (New ERA) Program provides
rural electric cooperatives with funds
that can be used for a variety of
purposes, including ‘‘funding for
renewable and zero emissions energy
systems that eliminate aging, obsolete or
expensive infrastructure’’ or that allow
rural cooperatives to ‘‘change [their]
purchased-power mixes to support
cleaner portfolios, manage stranded
assets and boost [the] transition to clean
energy.’’ 137 The $9.7 billion New ERA
program represents the single largest
investment in rural energy systems
since the Rural Electrification Act of
1936.138
On September 12, 2023, the EPA
released a report assessing the impact of
the IRA on the power sector. Modeling
results showed that economy-wide CO2
emissions are lower under the IRA. The
135 U.S. Department of the Treasury. (April 4,
2023). Treasury Releases Guidance to Drive
Investment to Coal Communities. Press release.
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/
jy1383.
136 Fong, C., Posner, D., Varadarajan, U. (February
16, 2024). The Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment
Program: Federal financing for an equitable, clean
economy. Case studies from Missouri and Iowa.
Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI). https://rmi.org/
the-energy-infrastructure-reinvestment-programfederal-financing-for-an-equitable-clean-economy/.
137 U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).
Empowering Rural America New ERA Program.
https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/
electric-programs/empowering-rural-america-newera-program.
138 Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI). (October 4,
2023). USDA $9.7B Rural Community Clean Energy
Program Receives 150+ Letters of Interest. Press
release. https://rmi.org/press-release/usda-9-7brural-community-clean-energy-program-receives150-letters-of-interest/.
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results from the EPA’s analysis of an
array of multi-sector and electric sector
modeling efforts show that a wide range
of emissions reductions are possible.
The IRA spurs CO2 emissions
reductions from the electric power
sector of 49 to 83 percent below 2005
levels in 2030. This finding reflects
diversity in how the models represent
the IRA, the assumptions the models
use, and fundamental differences in
model structures.139
In determining the CAA section 111
emission limitations that are included
in these final actions, the EPA did not
consider many of the technologies that
receive investment under recent Federal
legislation. The EPA’s determination of
the BSER focused on ‘‘measures that
improve the pollution performance of
individual sources,’’ 140 not generation
technologies that entities could employ
as alternatives to fossil fuel-fired EGUs.
However, these overarching incentives
and policies are important context for
this rulemaking and influence where
control technologies can be feasibly and
cost-reasonably deployed, as well as
how owners and operators of EGUs may
respond to the requirements of these
final actions.
2. Commitments by Utilities To Reduce
GHG Emissions
Integrated resource plans (IRPs) are
filed by public utilities and demonstrate
how utilities plan to meet future
forecasted energy demand while
ensuring reliable and cost-effective
service. In developing these rules, the
EPA reviewed filed IRPs of companies
that have publicly committed to
reducing their GHGs. These IRPs
demonstrate a range of strategies that
public utilities are planning to adopt to
reduce their GHGs, independent of
these final actions. These strategies
include retiring aging coal-fired steam
generating EGUs and replacing them
with a combination of renewable
resources, energy storage, other nonemitting technologies, and natural gasfired combustion turbines, and reducing
GHGs from their natural gas-fired assets
through a combination of CCS and
reduced utilization. To affirm these
findings, according to EIA, as of 2022
there are no new coal-fired EGUs in
development. This section highlights
recent actions and announced plans of
many utilities across the industry to
reduce GHGs from their fleets. Indeed,
139 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
(September 2023). Electricity Sector Emissions
Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-09/
Electricity_Emissions_Impacts_Inflation_
Reduction_Act_Report_EPA–FINAL.pdf.
140 West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 734.
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50 power producers that are members of
the Edison Electric Institute (EEI) have
announced CO2 reduction goals, twothirds of which include net-zero carbon
emissions by 2050.141 The members of
the Energy Strategies Coalition, a group
of companies that operate and manage
electricity generation facilities, as well
as electricity and natural gas
transmission and distribution systems,
likewise are focused on investments to
reduce carbon dioxide emissions from
the electricity sector.142 This trend is
not unique. Smaller utilities, rural
electric cooperatives, and municipal
entities are also contributing to these
changes.
Many electric utilities have publicly
announced near- and long-term
emission reduction commitments
independent of these final actions. The
Smart Electric Power Alliance
demonstrates that the geographic
footprint of commitments for 100
percent renewable, net-zero, or other
carbon emission reductions by 2050
made by utilities, their parent
companies, or in response to a state
clean energy requirement, covers
portions of 47 states and includes 80
percent of U.S. customer accounts.143
According to this same source, 341
utilities in 26 states have similar
commitments by 2040. Additional detail
about emission reduction commitments
from major utilities is provided in
section 2.2 of the RIA and in the final
TSD, Power Sector Trends.
percent by 2030.144 145 146 These actions
include legislation to decarbonize state
power systems as well as commitments
that require utilities to expand
renewable and clean energy production
through the adoption of renewable
portfolio standards (RPS) and clean
energy standards (CES).
Several states have enacted binding
economy-wide emission reduction
targets that will require significant
decarbonization from state power
sectors, including California, Colorado,
Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New
Jersey, New York, Rhode Island,
Vermont, and Washington.147 These
commitments are statutory emission
reduction targets accompanied by
mandatory agency directives to develop
comprehensive implementing
regulations to achieve the necessary
reductions. Some of these states, along
with other neighboring states, also
participate in the Regional Greenhouse
Gas Initiative (RGGI), a carbon market
limiting pollution from power plants
throughout New England.148 The
pollution limit combined with carbon
price and allowance market has led
member states to reduce power sector
CO2 emissions by nearly 50 percent
since the start of the program in 2009.
This is 10 percent more than all nonRGGI states.149
Other states dependent on coal-fired
power generation or coal production
also have significant, albeit non-
3. State Actions To Reduce Power
Sector GHG Emissions
States across the country have taken
the lead in efforts to reduce GHG
emissions from the power sector. As of
mid-2023, 25 states had made
commitments to reduce economy-wide
GHG emissions consistent with the
goals of the Paris Agreement, including
reducing GHG emissions by 50 to 52
144 Cao, L., Brindle., T., Schneer, K., and DeGolia,
A. (December 2023). Turning Climate Commitments
into Results: Evaluating Updated 2023 Projections
vs. State Climate Targets. Environmental Defense
Fund (EDF). https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/
2023–11/EDF-State-Emissions-Gap-December2023.pdf.
145 United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change. What is the Paris Agreement?
https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-parisagreement.
146 U.S. Department of State and U.S. Executive
Office of the President. November 2021. The LongTerm Strategy of the United States: Pathways to
Net-Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/
2021/10/us-long-term-strategy.pdf.
147 Cao, L., Brindle., T., Schneer, K., and DeGolia,
A., December 2023. Turning Climate Commitments
into Results: Evaluating Updated 2023 Projections
vs. State Climate Targets. Environmental Defense
Fund (EDF). https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/
2023-11/EDF-State-Emissions-Gap-December2023.pdf.
148 A full list of states currently participating in
RGGI include Connecticut, Delaware, Maine,
Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and
Vermont.
149 Note that these figures do not include Virginia
and Pennsylvania, which were not members of
RGGI for the full duration of 2009–2023. Acadia
Center: Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative;
Findings and Recommendations for the Third
Program Review. https://acadiacenter.wpengine
powered.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/AC_
RGGI_2023_Layout_R6.pdf.
141 See Comments of Edison Electric Institute to
EPA’s Pre-Proposal Docket on Greenhouse Gas
Regulations for Fossil Fuel-fired Power Plants,
Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2022–0723–0024,
November 18, 2022 (‘‘Fifty EEI members have
announced forward-looking carbon reduction goals,
two-third of which include a net-zero by 2050 or
earlier equivalent goal, and members are routinely
increasing the ambition or speed of their goals or
altogether transforming them into net-zero goals.’’).
142 Energy Strategy Coalition Comments on EPA’s
proposed New Source Performance Standards for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified,
and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of
the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, Document ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072–0672, August 14, 2023.
143 Smart Electric Power Alliance Utility Carbon
Tracker. https://sepapower.org/utilitytransformation-challenge/utility-carbon-reductiontracker/.
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binding, commitments that signal broad
public support for policy with
emissions-based metrics and public
affirmation that climate change is
fundamentally linked to fossil-intensive
energy sources. These states include
Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New
Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania,
and Virginia. States like Wyoming, the
top coal producing state in the U.S.,
have promulgated sector-specific
regulations requiring their public
service commissions to implement lowcarbon energy standards for public
utilities.150 151 Specific standards are
further detailed in the sections that
follow and in the final TSD, Power
Sector Trends.
Technologies like CCS provide a
means to achieve significant emission
reduction targets. For example, to
achieve GHG emission reduction goals
legislatively enacted in 2016, California
Senate Bill 100, passed in 2018, requires
the state to procure 60 percent of all
electricity from renewable sources by
2030 and plan for 100 percent from
carbon-free sources by 2045.152
Achieving California’s established goal
of carbon-free electricity by 2045
requires emissions to be balanced by
carbon sequestration, capture, or other
technologies. Therefore, California
Senate Bill 905, passed in 2022, requires
the California Air Resources Board
(CARB) to establish programs for
permitting CCS projects while
preventing the use of captured CO2 for
EOR within the state.153 As mentioned
previously, as the top coal producing
state, Wyoming has been exceptionally
persistent on the implementation of CCS
by incentivizing the national testing of
CCS at Basin Electric’s coal-fired Dry
Fork Station154 and by requiring the
consideration of CCS as an alternative to
coal plant retirement.155 At least five
150 State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 24, 2020).
House Bill 200 Reliable and dispatchable lowcarbon energy standards. https://www.wyoleg.gov/
Legislation/2020/HB0200.
151 State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 15, 2024).
Senate Bill 42 Low-carbon reliable energy
standards-amendments. https://www.wyoleg.gov/
Legislation/2024/SF0042.
152 Berkeley Law. California Climate Policy
Dashboard. https://www.law.berkeley.edu/research/
clee/research/climate/climate-policy-dashboard.
153 Berkeley Law. California Climate Policy
Dashboard. https://www.law.berkeley.edu/research/
clee/research/climate/climate-policy-dashboard.
154 Basin Electric Power Cooperative. (May 2023).
Press Release: Carbon Capture Technology
Developers Break Ground at Wyoming Integrated
Test Center Located at Basin Electric’s Dry Fork
Station. https://www.basinelectric.com/NewsCenter/news-briefs/Carbon-capture-technologydevelopers-break-ground-at-Wyoming-IntegratedTest-Center-located-at-Basin-Electrics-Dry-ForkStation.
155 State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 15, 2024).
Senate Bill 42 Low-carbon reliable energy
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other states, including Montana and
North Dakota, also have tax incentives
and regulations for CCS.156 In the case
of Montana, the acquisition of an equity
interest or lease of coal-fired EGUs is
prohibited unless it captures and stores
at least 50 percent of its CO2
emissions.157 These state policies have
coincided with the planning and
development of large CCS projects.
Other states have broad
decarbonization laws that will drive
significant decrease in power sector
GHG emissions. In New York, The
Climate Leadership and Community
Protection Act, passed in 2019, sets
several climate targets. The most
important goals include an 85 percent
reduction in GHG emissions by 2050,
100 percent zero-emission electricity by
2040, and 70 percent renewable energy
by 2030. Other targets include 9,000
MW of offshore wind by 2035, 3,000
MW of energy storage by 2030, and
6,000 MW of solar by 2025.158
Washington State’s Climate
Commitment Act sets a target of
reducing GHG emissions by 95 percent
by 2050. The state is required to reduce
emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, 45
percent below 1990 levels by 2030, 70
percent below 1990 levels by 2040, and
95 percent below 1990 levels by 2050.
This also includes achieving net-zero
emissions by 2050.159 Illinois’ Climate
and Equitable Jobs Act, enacted in
September 2021, requires all private
coal-fired or oil-fired power plants to
reach zero carbon emissions by 2030,
municipal coal-fired plants to reach zero
carbon emissions by 2045, and natural
gas-fired plants to reach zero carbon
emissions by 2045.160 In October 2021,
North Carolina passed House Bill 951
that required the North Carolina
Utilities Commission to ‘‘take all
reasonable steps to achieve a seventy
percent (70 percent) reduction in
emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2)
standards-amendments. https://www.wyoleg.gov/
Legislation/2024/SF0042.
156 Sabin Center for Climate Change Law. 2019.
Legal Pathways to Deep Decarbonization.
Interactive Tracker for State Action on Carbon
Capture. https://cdrlaw.org/ccus-tracker/.
157 Sabin Center for Climate Change Law. 2019.
Legal Pathways to Deep Decarbonization. Model
Laws. Montana prohibition on acquiring coal plants
without CCS. https://lpdd.org/resources/montanaprohibition-on-acquiring-coal-plants-without-ccs/.
158 New York State. Climate Act: Progress to our
Goals. https://climate.ny.gov/Our-Impact/OurProgress.
159 Department of Ecology Washington State.
Greenhouse Gases. https://ecology.wa.gov/AirClimate/Climate-change/Tracking-greenhousegases.
160 State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act
102–0662: Climate and Equitable Jobs Act. 2021.
https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/102/
PDF/102-0662.pdf.
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emitted in the state from electric
generating facilities owned or operated
by electric public utilities from 2005
levels by the year 2030 and carbon
neutrality by the year 2050.’’ 161
The ambition and scope of these state
power sector polices will impact the
electric generation fleet for decades.
Seven states with 100-percent power
sector decarbonization polices include a
total of 20 coal-fired EGUs with slightly
less than 10 GW total capacity and
without announced retirement dates
before 2039.162 Virginia, which has
three coal-steam units with no
announced retirement dates and one
with a 2045 retirement date, enacted the
Clean Economy Act in 2020 to impose
a 100 percent RPS requirement by 2050.
The combined capacity of all four of
these units in Virginia totals nearly 1.5
GW. North Carolina, which has one
coal-fired unit without an announced
retirement date and one with a planned
2048 retirement, as previously
mentioned, enacted a state law in 2021
requiring the state’s utilities
commission to achieve carbon neutrality
by 2050. The combined capacity of both
units totals approximately 1.4 GW of
capacity. Nebraska, where three public
utility boards serving a large portion of
the state have adopted net-zero
electricity emission goals by 2040 or
2050, includes six coal-fired units with
a combined capacity of 2.9 GW. The
remaining eight units are in states with
long-term decarbonization goals
(Illinois, Louisiana, Maryland, and
Wisconsin). All four of these states have
set 100 percent clean energy goals by
2050.
Twenty-nine states and the District of
Columbia have enforceable RPS 163 that
require a percentage of electricity that
utilities sell to come from eligible
renewable sources like wind and solar
rather than from fossil fuel-based
sources like coal and natural gas.
Furthermore, 20 states have adopted a
CES that includes some form of clean
161 General Assembly of North Carolina, House
Bill 951 (2021). https://www.ncleg.gov/Sessions/
2021/Bills/House/PDF/H951v5.pdf.
162 These estimates are based on an analysis of the
EPA’s NEEDS database, which contains information
about EGUs across the country. The analysis
includes a basic screen for units within the NEEDS
database that are likely subject to the final 111(d)
EGU rule, namely coal-steam units with capacity
greater than 25 MW, and then removes units with
an announced retirement dates prior to 2039, units
with announced plans to convert from coal- to gasfired units, and units likely to fall outside of the
rule’s applicability via the cogeneration exemption.
163 DSIRE, Renewable Portfolio Standards and
Clean Energy Standards (2023). https://ncsolarcenprod.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/
12/RPS-CES-Dec2023-1.pdf; LBNL, U.S. State
Renewables Portfolio & Clean Electricity Standards:
2023 Status Update. https://emp.lbl.gov/
publications/us-state-renewables-portfolio-clean.
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energy requirement or goal with a 100
percent or net-zero target.164 A CES
shifts generating fleets away from fossil
fuel resources by requiring a percentage
of retail electricity to come from sources
that are defined as clean. Unlike an RPS,
which defines eligible generation in
terms of the renewable attributes of its
energy source, CES eligibility is based
on the GHG emission attributes of the
generation itself, typically with a zero or
net-zero carbon emissions requirement.
Additional discussion of state actions
and legislation to reduce GHG emissions
from the power sector is provided in the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends.
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F. Future Projections of Power Sector
Trends
Projections for the U.S. power
sector—based on the landscape of
market forces in addition to the known
actions of Congress, utilities, and
states—have indicated that the ongoing
transition will continue for specific fuel
types and EGUs. The EPA’s Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM
reference case (i.e., the EPA’s
projections of the power sector, which
includes representation of the IRA
absent further regulation), provides
projections out to 2050 on future
outcomes of the electric power sector.
For more information on the details of
this modeling, see the model
documentation.165
Since the passage of the IRA in
August 2022, the EPA has engaged with
many external partners, including other
164 This count is adapted from Lawrence Berkeley
National Laboratory’s (LBNL) U.S. State Renewables
Portfolio & Clean Electricity Standards: 2023 Status
Update, which identifies 15 states with 100 percent
CES. The LBNL count includes Virginia, which the
EPA omits because it considers Virginia a 100
percent RPS. Further, the LBNL count excludes
Louisiana, Michigan, New Jersey, and Wisconsin
because their clean energy goals are set by executive
order. The EPA instead includes Louisiana, New
Jersey, and Wisconsin but characterizes them as
goals rather than requirements. Michigan, which
enacted a CES by statute after the LBNL report’s
publication, is also included in the EPA count.
Finally, the EPA count includes Maryland, whose
December 2023 Climate Pollution Reduction Plan
sets a goal of 100 percent clean energy by 2035, and
Delaware, which enacted a statutory goal to reach
net-zero GHG emissions by 2050. See LBNL, U.S.
State Renewables Portfolio & Clean Electricity
Standards: 2023 Status Update, https://emp.lbl.gov/
publications/us-state-renewables-portfolio-clean;
Maryland’s Climate Pollution Reduction Plan,
https://mde.maryland.gov/programs/air/
ClimateChange/Maryland%20Climate
%20Reduction%20Plan/Maryland%27s
%20Climate%20Pollution%20Reduction
%20Plan%20-%20Final%20-%20Dec
%2028%202023.pdf; and HB 99, An Act to Amend
Titles 7 and 29 of the Delaware Code Relating to
Climate Change, https://legis.delaware.gov/json/
BillDetail/GenerateHtmlDocumentEngrossment
?engrossmentId=25785&docTypeId=6.
165 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM. April 2024. https://
www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling.
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governmental entities, academia, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), and
industry, to understand the impacts that
the IRA will have on power sector GHG
emissions. In addition to engaging in
several workgroups, the EPA has
contributed to two separate journal
articles that include multi-model
comparisons of IRA impacts across
several state-of-the-art models of the
U.S. energy system and electricity
sector 166 167 and participated in public
events exploring modeling assumptions
for the IRA.168 The EPA plans to
continue collaborating with
stakeholders, conducting external
engagements, and using information
gathered to refine modeling of the IRA.
While much of the discussion below
focuses on the EPA’s Power Sector
Platform 2023 using IPM reference case,
many other analyses show similar
trends,169 and these trends are
consistent with utility IRPs and public
GHG reduction commitments, as well as
state actions, both of which were
described in the previous sections.
1. Future Projections for Coal-Fired
Generation
As described in the EPA’s baseline
modeling, coal-fired steam generating
unit capacity is projected to fall from
181 GW in 2023 170 to 52 GW in 2035,
of which 11 GW includes retrofit CCS.
Generation from coal-fired steam
generating units is projected to also fall
from 898 thousand GWh in 2021 171 to
236 thousand GWh by 2035. This
change in generation reflects the
anticipated continued decline in
projected coal-fired steam generating
unit capacity as well as a steady decline
in annual operation of those EGUs that
166 Bistline, et al. (2023). ‘‘Emissions and Energy
System Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act of
2022.’’ https://www.science.org/stoken/authortokens/ST-1277/full.
167 Bistline, et al. (2023). ‘‘Power Sector Impacts
of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.’’https://
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/
ad0d3b.
168 Resource for the Future (2023). ‘‘Future
Generation: Exploring the New Baseline for
Electricity in the Presence of the Inflation
Reduction Act.’’ https://www.rff.org/events/rff-live/
future-generation-exploring-the-new-baseline-forelectricity-in-the-presence-of-the-inflationreduction-act/.
169 A wide variety of modeling teams have
assessed baselines with IRA. The baseline estimated
here is generally in line with these other estimates.
Bistline, et al. (2023). ‘‘Power Sector Impacts of the
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.’’ https://
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/
ad0d3b.
170 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA),
Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator Inventory,
December 2023. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/
data/eia860m/
171 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA),
Electric Power Annual, table 3.1.A. November 2022.
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/.
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remain online, with capacity factors
falling from approximately 48 percent in
2022 to 45 percent in 2035 at facilities
that do not install CCS. By 2050, coalfired steam generating unit capacity is
projected to diminish further, with only
28 GW, or less than 16 percent of 2023
capacity (and approximately 9 percent
of the 2010 capacity), still in operation
across the continental U.S.
These projections are driven by the
eroding economic opportunities for
coal-fired steam generating units to
operate, the continued aging of the fleet
of coal-fired steam generating units, and
the continued availability and
expansion of low-cost alternatives, like
natural gas, renewable technologies, and
energy storage. The projected
retirements continue the trend of coal
plant retirements in recent decades that
is described in section IV.D.3. of this
preamble (and further in the Power
Sector Trends technical support
document). The decline in coal
generation capacity has generally
resulted from a more competitive
economic environment and increasing
coal plant age. Most notably, declines in
natural gas prices associated with the
rise of hydraulic fracturing and
horizontal drilling lowered the cost of
natural gas-fired generation.172 Lower
gas generation costs reduced coal plant
capacity factors and revenues. Rapid
declines in the costs of renewables and
battery storage have put further price
pressure on coal plants, given the zero
marginal cost operation of solar and
wind.173 174 175 In addition, most
operational coal plants today were built
before 2000, and many are reaching or
have surpassed their expected useful
lives.176 Retiring coal plants tend to be
172 International Energy Agency (IEA). Energy
Policies of IEA Countries: United States 2019
Review. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/
7c65c270-ba15-466a-b50d-1c5cd19e359c/United_
States_2019_Review.pdf.
173 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(April 13, 2023). U.S. Electric Capacity Mix shifts
from Fossil Fuels to Renewables in AEO2023.
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/
detail.php?id=56160.
174 Solomon, M., et al. (January 2023). Coal Cost
Crossover 3.0: Local Renewables Plus Storage
Create New Opportunities for Customer Savings
and Community Reinvestment. Energy Innovation.
https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/
2023/01/Coal-Cost-Crossover-3.0.pdf.
175 Barbose, G., et al. (September 2023). Tracking
the Sun: Pricing and Design Trends for Distributed
Photovoltaic Systems in the United States, 2023
Edition. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.
https://emp.lbl.gov/sites/default/files/5_tracking_
the_sun_2023_report.pdf.
176 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
(August 2022). Electric Generators Inventory, Form–
860M, Inventory of Operating Generators and
Inventory of Retired Generators. https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
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old.177 As plants age, their efficiency
tends to decline and operations and
maintenance costs increase. Older coal
plant operational parameters are less
aligned with current electric grid needs.
Coal plants historically were used as
base load power sources and can be
slow (or expensive) to increase or
decrease generation output throughout a
typical day. That has put greater
economic pressure on older coal plants,
which are forced to either incur the
costs of adjusting their generation or
operate during less profitable hours
when loads are lower or renewable
generation is more plentiful.178 All of
these factors have contributed to
retirements over the past 15 years, and
similar underlying factors are projected
to continue the trend of coal retirements
in the coming years.
In 2020, there was a total of 1,439
million metric tons of CO2 emissions
from the power sector with coal-fired
sources contributing to more than half
of those emissions. In the EPA’s Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM
reference case, power sector related CO2
emission are projected to fall to 724
million metric tons by 2035, of which
23 percent is projected to come from
coal-fired sources in 2035.
2. Future Projections for Natural GasFired Generation
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As described in the EPA’s Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM
reference case, natural gas-fired capacity
is expected to continue to build out
during the next decade with 34 GW of
new capacity projected to come online
by 2035 and 261 GW of new capacity by
2050. By 2035, the new natural gas
capacity is comprised of 14 GW of
simple cycle turbines and 20 GW of
combined cycle turbines. By 2050, most
of the incremental new capacity is
projected to come just from simple cycle
turbines. This also represents a higher
rate of new simple cycle turbine builds
compared to the reference periods (i.e.,
2000–2006 and 2007–2021) discussed
previously in this section.
It should be noted that despite this
increase in capacity, both overall
generation and emissions from the
natural gas-fired capacity are projected
to decline. Generation from natural gas
units is projected to fall from 1,579
177 Mills, A., et al. (November 2017). Power Plant
Retirements: Trends and Possible Drivers. Lawrence
Berkeley National Laboratory. https://liveetabiblio.pantheonsite.io/sites/default/files/lbnl_
retirements_data_synthesis_final.pdf.
178 National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners. (January 2020). Recent Changes to
U.S. Coal Plant Operations and Current
Compensation Practices. https://pubs.naruc.org/
pub/7B762FE1-A71B-E947-04FB-D2154DE77D45.
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thousand GWh in 2021179 to 1,344
thousand GWh by 2035. Power sector
related CO2 emissions from natural gasfired EGUs were 615 million metric tons
in 2021.180 By 2035, emission levels are
projected to reach 521 million metric
tons, 96 percent of which comes from
NGCC sources.
The decline in generation and
emissions is driven by a projected
decline in NGCC capacity factors. In
model projections, NGCC units have a
capacity factor early in the projection
period of 59 percent, but by 2035,
capacity factor projections fall to 48
percent as many of these units switch
from base load operation to more
intermediate load operation to support
the integration of variable renewable
energy resources. Natural gas-fired
simple cycle turbine capacity factors
also fall, although since they are used
primarily as a peaking resource and
their capacity factors are already below
10 percent annually, their impact on
generation and emissions changes are
less notable.
Some of the reasons for this
anticipated continued growth in natural
gas-fired capacity, coupled with a
decline in generation and emissions,
include the anticipated growth in peak
load, retirement of older fossil
generators, and growth in renewable
energy coupled with the greater
flexibility offered by combustion
turbines. Simple cycle turbines operate
at lower efficiencies than NGCC units
but offer fast startup times to meet
peaking load demands. In addition,
combustion turbines, along with energy
storage technologies and demand
response strategies, support the
expansion of renewable electricity by
meeting demand during peak periods
and providing flexibility around the
variability of renewable generation and
electricity demand. In the longer term,
as renewables and battery storage grow,
they are anticipated to outcompete the
need for some natural gas-fired
generation and the overall utilization of
natural gas-fired capacity is expected to
decline. For additional discussion and
analysis of projections of future coaland natural gas-fired generation, see the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends in the
docket for this rulemaking.
As explained in greater detail later in
this preamble and in the accompanying
RIA, future generation projections for
179 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA),
Electric Power Annual, table 3.1.A. November 2022.
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/.
180 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emission Sources
and Sinks. February 2023. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2023-02/US-GHGInventory-2023-Main-Text.pdf.
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natural gas-fired combustion turbines
differ from those highlighted in recent
historical trends. The largest source of
new generation is from renewable
energy, and projections show that total
natural gas-fired combined cycle
capacity is likely to decline after 2030
in response to increased generation from
renewables, deployment of energy
storage, and other technologies.
Approximately 95 percent of capacity
additions in 2024 are expected to be
from non-emitting generation resources
including solar, battery storage, wind,
and nuclear.181 The IRA is likely to
influence this trend, which is also
expected to impact the operation of
certain combustion turbines. For
example, as the electric output from
additional variable renewable
generating sources fluctuates daily and
seasonally, flexible low and
intermediate load combustion turbines
will be needed to support these variable
sources and provide reliability to the
grid. This requires the ability to start
and stop quickly and change load more
frequently. Today’s system includes 212
GW of intermediate and low load
combustion turbines. These operational
changes, alongside other tools like
demand response, energy storage, and
expanded transmission, will maintain
reliability of the grid.
V. Statutory Background and
Regulatory History for CAA Section 111
A. Statutory Authority To Regulate
GHGs From EGUs Under CAA Section
111
The EPA’s authority for and
obligation to issue these final rules is
CAA section 111, which establishes
mechanisms for controlling emissions of
air pollutants from new and existing
stationary sources. CAA section
111(b)(1)(A) requires the EPA
Administrator to promulgate a list of
categories of stationary sources that the
Administrator, in his or her judgment,
finds ‘‘causes, or contributes
significantly to, air pollution which may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger
public health or welfare.’’ The EPA has
the authority to define the scope of the
source categories, determine the
pollutants for which standards should
be developed, and distinguish among
classes, types, and sizes within
categories in establishing the standards.
181 U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Today in Energy. Solar and battery storage to make
up 81 percent of new U.S. electric-generating
capacity in 2024. February 2024. https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=61424.
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1. Regulation of Emissions From New
Sources
Once the EPA lists a source category,
the EPA must, under CAA section
111(b)(1)(B), establish ‘‘standards of
performance’’ for ‘‘new sources’’ in the
source category. These standards are
referred to as new source performance
standards, or NSPS. The NSPS are
national requirements that apply
directly to the sources subject to them.
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), a
‘‘standard of performance’’ is defined, in
the singular, as ‘‘a standard for
emissions of air pollutants’’ that is
determined in a specified manner, as
noted in this section, below.
Under CAA section 111(a)(2), a ‘‘new
source’’ is defined, in the singular, as
‘‘any stationary source, the construction
or modification of which is commenced
after the publication of regulations (or,
if earlier, proposed regulations)
prescribing a standard of performance
under this section, which will be
applicable to such source.’’ Under CAA
section 111(a)(3), a ‘‘stationary source’’
is defined as ‘‘any building, structure,
facility, or installation which emits or
may emit any air pollutant.’’ Under
CAA section 111(a)(4), ‘‘modification’’
means any physical change in, or
change in the method of operation of, a
stationary source which increases the
amount of any air pollutant emitted by
such source or which results in the
emission of any air pollutant not
previously emitted. While this provision
treats modified sources as new sources,
EPA regulations also treat a source that
undergoes ‘‘reconstruction’’ as a new
source. Under the provisions in 40 CFR
60.15, ‘‘reconstruction’’ means the
replacement of components of an
existing facility such that: (1) The fixed
capital cost of the new components
exceeds 50 percent of the fixed capital
cost that would be required to construct
a comparable entirely new facility; and
(2) it is technologically and
economically feasible to meet the
applicable standards. Pursuant to CAA
section 111(b)(1)(B), the standards of
performance or revisions thereof shall
become effective upon promulgation.
In setting or revising a performance
standard, CAA section 111(a)(1)
provides that performance standards are
to reflect ‘‘the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the best system of
emission reduction which (taking into
account the cost of achieving such
reduction and any non-air quality health
and environmental impact and energy
requirements) the Administrator
determines has been adequately
demonstrated.’’ The term ‘‘standard of
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performance’’ in CAA 111(a)(1) makes
clear that the EPA is to determine both
the ‘‘best system of emission reduction
. . . adequately demonstrated’’ (BSER)
for the regulated sources in the source
category and the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the [BSER].’’ West
Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 709
(2022). To determine the BSER, the EPA
first identifies the ‘‘system[s] of
emission reduction’’ that are
‘‘adequately demonstrated,’’ and then
determines the ‘‘best’’ of those systems,
‘‘taking into account’’ factors including
‘‘cost,’’ ‘‘nonair quality health and
environmental impact,’’ and ‘‘energy
requirements.’’ The EPA then derives
from that system an ‘‘achievable’’
‘‘degree of emission limitation.’’ The
EPA must then, under CAA section
111(b)(1)(B), promulgate ‘‘standard[s]
for emissions’’—the NSPS—that reflect
that level of stringency.
2. Regulation of Emissions From
Existing Sources
When the EPA establishes a standard
for emissions of an air pollutant from
new sources within a category, it must
also, under CAA section 111(d), regulate
emissions of that pollutant from existing
sources within the same category,
unless the pollutant is regulated under
the National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS) program, under
CAA sections 108–110, or the National
Emission Standards for Hazardous Air
Pollutants (NESHAP) program, under
CAA section 112. See CAA section
111(d)(1)(A)(i) and (ii); West Virginia,
597 U.S. at 710.
CAA section 111(d) establishes a
framework of ‘‘cooperative federalism
for the regulation of existing sources.’’
American Lung Ass’n, 985 F.3d at 931.
CAA sections 111(d)(1)(A)–(B) require
‘‘[t]he Administrator . . . to prescribe
regulations’’ that require ‘‘[e]ach state
. . . to submit to [EPA] a plan . . .
which establishes standards of
performance for any existing stationary
source for’’ the air pollutant at issue,
and which ‘‘provides for the
implementation and enforcement of
such standards of performance.’’ CAA
section 111(a)(6) defines an ‘‘existing
source’’ as ‘‘any stationary source other
than a new source.’’
To meet these requirements, the EPA
promulgates ‘‘emission guidelines’’ that
identify the BSER and the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
the application of the BSER. Each state
must then establish standards of
performance for its sources that reflect
that level of stringency. However, the
states need not compel regulated
sources to adopt the particular
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components of the BSER itself. The
EPA’s emission guidelines must also
permit a state, ‘‘in applying a standard
of performance to any particular
source,’’ to ‘‘take into consideration,
among other factors, the remaining
useful life of the existing source to
which such standard applies.’’ 42 U.S.C.
7411(d)(1). Once a state receives the
EPA’s approval of its plan, the
provisions in the plan become federally
enforceable against the source, in the
same manner as the provisions of an
approved State Implementation Plan
(SIP) under the Act. CAA section
111(d)(2)(B). If a state elects not to
submit a plan or submits a plan that the
EPA does not find ‘‘satisfactory,’’ the
EPA must promulgate a plan that
establishes Federal standards of
performance for the state’s existing
sources. CAA section 111(d)(2)(A).
3. EPA Review of Requirements
CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) requires the
EPA to ‘‘at least every 8 years, review
and, if appropriate, revise’’ new source
performance standards. However, the
Administrator need not review any such
standard if the ‘‘Administrator
determines that such review is not
appropriate in light of readily available
information on the efficacy’’ of the
standard. Id. When conducting a review
of an NSPS, the EPA has the discretion
and authority to add emission limits for
pollutants or emission sources not
currently regulated for that source
category. CAA section 111 does not by
its terms require the EPA to review
emission guidelines for existing sources,
but the EPA retains the authority to do
so. See 81 FR 59277 (August 29, 2016)
(explaining legal authority to review
emission guidelines for municipal solid
waste landfills).
B. History of EPA Regulation of
Greenhouse Gases From Electricity
Generating Units Under CAA Section
111 and Caselaw
The EPA has listed more than 60
stationary source categories under CAA
section 111(b)(1)(A). See 40 CFR part 60,
subparts Cb–OOOO. In 1971, the EPA
listed fossil fuel-fired EGUs (which
includes natural gas, petroleum, and
coal) that use steam-generating boilers
in a category under CAA section
111(b)(1)(A). See 36 FR 5931 (March 31,
1971) (listing ‘‘fossil fuel-fired steam
generators of more than 250 million Btu
per hour heat input’’). In 1977, the EPA
listed fossil fuel-fired combustion
turbines, which can be used in EGUs, in
a category under CAA section
111(b)(1)(A). See 42 FR 53657 (October
3, 1977) (listing ‘‘stationary gas
turbines’’).
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Beginning in 2007, several decisions
by the U.S. Supreme Court and the D.C.
Circuit have made clear that under CAA
section 111, the EPA has authority to
regulate GHG emissions from listed
source categories. The U.S. Supreme
Court ruled in Massachusetts v. EPA
that GHGs 182 meet the definition of ‘‘air
pollutant’’ in the CAA,183 and
subsequently premised its decision in
AEP v. Connecticut 184—that the CAA
displaced any Federal common law
right to compel reductions in CO2
emissions from fossil fuel-fired power
plants—on its view that CAA section
111 applies to GHG emissions. The D.C.
Circuit confirmed in American Lung
Ass’n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 914, 977 (D.C.
Cir. 2021), discussed in section V.B.5,
that the EPA is authorized to
promulgate requirements under CAA
section 111 for GHG from the fossil fuelfired EGU source category
notwithstanding that the source
category is regulated under CAA section
112. As discussed in section V.B.6, the
U.S. Supreme Court did not accept
certiorari on the question whether the
EPA could regulate GHGs from fossilfuel fired EGUs under CAA section
111(d) when other pollutants from
fossil-fuel fired EGUs are regulated
under CAA section 112 in West Virginia
v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022), and so the
D.C. Circuit’s holding on this issue
remains good law.
In 2015, the EPA promulgated two
rules that addressed CO2 emissions from
fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The first
promulgated standards of performance
for new fossil fuel-fired EGUs.
‘‘Standards of Performance for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary
Sources: Electric Utility Generating
Units; Final Rule,’’ (80 FR 64510;
October 23, 2015) (2015 NSPS). The
second promulgated emission
guidelines for existing sources. ‘‘Carbon
Pollution Emission Guidelines for
Existing Stationary Sources: Electric
Utility Generating Units; Final Rule,’’
(80 FR 64662; October 23, 2015) (Clean
Power Plan, or CPP).
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1. 2015 NSPS
In 2015, the EPA promulgated an
NSPS to limit emissions of GHGs,
manifested as CO2, from newly
constructed, modified, and
182 The EPA’s 2009 endangerment finding defines
the air pollution which may endanger public health
and welfare as the well-mixed aggregate group of
the following gases: CO2, methane (CH4), nitrous
oxide (N2O), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6),
hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), and perfluorocarbons
(PFCs).
183 549 U.S. 497, 520 (2007).
184 131 S. Ct. 2527, 2537–38 (2011).
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reconstructed fossil fuel-fired electric
utility steam generating units, i.e.,
utility boilers and IGCC EGUs, and
newly constructed and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbine EGUs.
These final standards are codified in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. In
promulgating the NSPS for newly
constructed fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units, the EPA determined
the BSER to be a new, highly efficient,
supercritical pulverized coal (SCPC)
EGU that implements post-combustion
partial CCS technology. The EPA
concluded that CCS was adequately
demonstrated (including being
technically feasible) and widely
available and could be implemented at
reasonable cost. The EPA identified
natural gas co-firing and IGCC
technology (either with natural gas cofiring or implementing partial CCS) as
alternative methods of compliance.
The 2015 NSPS included standards of
performance for steam generating units
that undergo a ‘‘reconstruction’’ as well
as units that implement ‘‘large
modifications,’’ (i.e., modifications
resulting in an increase in hourly CO2
emissions of more than 10 percent). The
2015 NSPS did not establish standards
of performance for steam generating
units that undertake ‘‘small
modifications’’ (i.e., modifications
resulting in an increase in hourly CO2
emissions of less than or equal to 10
percent), due to the limited information
available to inform the analysis of a
BSER and corresponding standard of
performance.
The 2015 NSPS also finalized
standards of performance for newly
constructed and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbine EGUs.
For newly constructed and
reconstructed base load natural gas-fired
stationary combustion turbines, the EPA
finalized a standard based on efficient
NGCC technology as the BSER. For
newly constructed and reconstructed
non-base load natural gas-fired
stationary combustion turbines and for
both base load and non-base load multifuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines, the EPA finalized a heat inputbased standard based on the use of
lower-emitting fuels (referred to as clean
fuels in the 2015 NSPS). The EPA did
not promulgate final standards of
performance for modified stationary
combustion turbines due to lack of
information. The 2015 NSPS remains in
effect today.
The EPA received six petitions for
reconsideration of the 2015 NSPS. On
May 6, 2016 (81 FR 27442), the EPA
denied five of the petitions on the basis
that they did not satisfy the statutory
conditions for reconsideration under
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CAA section 307(d)(7)(B) and deferred
action on one petition that raised the
issue of the treatment of biomass. Apart
from these petitions, the EPA proposed
to revise the 2015 NSPS in 2018, as
discussed in section V.B.2.
Multiple parties also filed petitions
for judicial review of the 2015 NSPS in
the D.C. Circuit. These cases have been
briefed and, on the EPA’s motion, are
being held in abeyance pending EPA
action concerning the 2018 proposal to
revise the 2015 NSPS.
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA noted that
it was authorized to regulate GHGs from
the fossil fuel-fired EGU source
categories because it had listed those
source categories under CAA section
111(b)(1)(A). The EPA added that CAA
section 111 did not require it to make
a determination that GHGs from EGUs
contribute significantly to dangerous air
pollution (a pollutant-specific
significant contribution finding), but in
the alternative, the EPA did make that
finding. It explained that ‘‘[greenhouse
gas] air pollution may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or
welfare,’’ 80 FR 64530 (October 23,
2015) and emphasized that power plants
are ‘‘by far the largest emitters’’ of
greenhouse gases among stationary
sources in the U.S. Id. at 64522. In
American Lung Ass’n v. EPA, 985 F.3d
977 (D.C. Cir. 2021), the court held that
even if the EPA were required to
determine that CO2 from fossil fuel-fired
EGUs contributes significantly to
dangerous air pollution—and the court
emphasized that it was not deciding that
the EPA was required to make such a
pollutant-specific determination—the
determination in the alternative that the
EPA made in the 2015 NSPS was not
arbitrary and capricious and,
accordingly, the EPA had a sufficient
basis to regulate greenhouse gases from
EGUs under CAA section 111(d) in the
ACE Rule. This aspect of the decision
remains good law. The EPA is not
reopening and did not solicit comment
on any of those determinations in the
2015 NSPS concerning its rational basis
to regulate GHG emissions from EGUs or
its alternative finding that GHG
emissions from EGUs contribute
significantly to dangerous air pollution.
2. 2018 NSPS Proposal To Revise the
2015 NSPS
In 2018, the EPA proposed to revise
the NSPS for new, modified, and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units and IGCC units, in the
Review of Standards of Performance for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary
Sources: Electric Utility Generating
Units; Proposed Rule (83 FR 65424;
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December 20, 2018) (2018 NSPS
Proposal). The EPA proposed to revise
the NSPS for newly constructed units,
based on a revised BSER of a highly
efficient SCPC, without partial CCS. The
EPA also proposed to revise the NSPS
for modified and reconstructed units. As
discussed in IX.A, in the present action,
the EPA is withdrawing this proposed
rule.185
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3. Clean Power Plan
With the promulgation of the 2015
NSPS, the EPA also incurred a statutory
obligation under CAA section 111(d) to
issue emission guidelines for GHG
emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating EGUs and stationary
combustion turbine EGUs, which the
EPA initially fulfilled with the
promulgation of the CPP. See 80 FR
64662 (October 23, 2015). The EPA first
determined that the BSER included
three types of measures: (1) improving
heat rate (i.e., the amount of fuel that
must be burned to generate a unit of
electricity) at coal-fired steam plants; (2)
substituting increased generation from
lower-emitting NGCC plants for
generation from higher-emitting steam
plants (which are primarily coal-fired);
and (3) substituting increased
generation from new renewable energy
sources for generation from fossil fuelfired steam plants and combustion
turbines. See 80 FR 64667 (October 23,
2015). The latter two measures are
known as ‘‘generation shifting’’ because
they involve shifting electricity
generation from higher-emitting sources
to lower-emitting ones. See 80 FR
64728–29 (October 23, 2015).
The EPA based this BSER
determination on a technical record that
evaluated generation shifting, including
its cost-effectiveness, against the
relevant statutory criteria for BSER and
on a legal interpretation that the term
‘‘system’’ in CAA section 111(a)(1) is
sufficiently broad to encompass shifting
of generation from higher-emitting to
lower-emitting sources. See 80 FR 64720
(October 23, 2015). The EPA then
185 In the 2018 NSPS Proposal, the EPA solicited
comment on whether it is required to make a
determination that GHGs from a source category
contribute significantly to dangerous air pollution
as a predicate to promulgating a NSPS for GHG
emissions from that source category for the first
time. 83 FR 65432 (December 20, 2018). The EPA
subsequently issued a final rule that provided that
it would not regulate GHGs under CAA section 111
from a source category unless the GHGs from the
category exceed 3 percent of total U.S. GHG
emissions, on grounds that GHGs emitted in a lesser
amount do not contribute significantly to dangerous
air pollution. 86 FR 2652 (January 13, 2021).
Shortly afterwards, the D.C. Circuit granted an
unopposed motion by the EPA for voluntary vacatur
and remand of the final rule. California v. EPA, No.
21–1035, doc. 1893155 (D.C. Cir. April 5, 2021).
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determined the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the [BSER],’’ CAA section
111(a)(1), expressed as emission
performance rates. See 80 FR 64667
(October 23, 2015). The EPA explained
that a state would ‘‘have to ensure,
through its plan, that the emission
standards it establishes for its sources
individually, in the aggregate, or in
combination with other measures
undertaken by the state, represent the
equivalent of’’ those performance rates
(80 FR 64667; October 23, 2015).
Neither states nor sources were required
to apply the specific measures identified
in the BSER (80 FR 64667; October 23,
2015), and states could include trading
or averaging programs in their state
plans for compliance. See 80 FR 64840
(October 23, 2015).
Numerous states and private parties
petitioned for review of the CPP before
the D.C. Circuit. On February 9, 2016,
the U.S. Supreme Court stayed the rule
pending review, West Virginia v. EPA,
577 U.S. 1126 (2016). The D.C. Circuit
held the litigation in abeyance, and
ultimately dismissed it at the
petitioners’ request. American Lung
Ass’n, 985 F.3d at 937.
4. The CPP Repeal and ACE Rule
In 2019, the EPA repealed the CPP
and replaced it with the ACE Rule. In
contrast to its interpretation of CAA
section 111 in the CPP, in the ACE Rule
the EPA determined that the statutory
‘‘text and reasonable inferences from it’’
make ‘‘clear’’ that a ‘‘system’’ of
emission reduction under CAA section
111(a)(1) ‘‘is limited to measures that
can be applied to and at the level of the
individual source,’’ (84 FR 32529; July
8, 2019); that is, the system must be
limited to control measures that could
be applied at and to each source to
reduce emissions at each source. See 84
FR 32523–24 (July 8, 2019). Specifically,
the ACE Rule argued that the
requirements in CAA sections 111(d)(1),
(a)(3), and (a)(6), that each state
establish a standard of performance
‘‘for’’ ‘‘any existing source,’’ defined, in
general, as any ‘‘building . . . [or]
facility,’’ and the requirement in CAA
section 111(a)(1) that the degree of
emission limitation must be
‘‘achievable’’ through the ‘‘application’’
of the BSER, by their terms, impose this
limitation. The EPA concluded that
generation shifting is not such a control
measure. See 84 FR 32546 (July 8, 2019).
Based on its view that the CPP was a
‘‘major rule,’’ the EPA further
determined that, absent ‘‘a clear
statement from Congress,’’ the term
‘‘ ‘system of emission reduction’ ’’
should not be read to encompass
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‘‘generation-shifting measures.’’ See 84
FR 32529 (July 8, 2019). The EPA
acknowledged, however, that ‘‘[m]arketbased forces ha[d] already led to
significant generation shifting in the
power sector,’’ (84 FR 32532; July 8,
2019), and that there was ‘‘likely to be
no difference between a world where
the CPP is implemented and one where
it is not.’’ See 84 FR 32561 (July 8,
2019); the Regulatory Impact Analysis
for the Repeal of the Clean Power Plan,
and the Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from
Existing Electric Utility Generating
Units, 2–1 to 2–5.186
In addition, the EPA promulgated in
the ACE Rule a new set of emission
guidelines for existing coal-fired steamgenerating EGUs. See 84 FR 32532 (July
8, 2019). In light of ‘‘the legal
interpretation adopted in the repeal of
the CPP,’’ (84 FR 32532; July 8, 2019)—
which ‘‘limit[ed] ‘standards of
performance’ to systems that can be
applied at and to a stationary source,’’
(84 FR 32534; July 8, 2019)—the EPA
found the BSER to be heat rate
improvements alone. See 84 FR 32535
(July 8, 2019). The EPA listed various
technologies that could improve heat
rate (84 FR 32536; July 8, 2019), and
identified the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation achievable’’ by ‘‘providing
ranges of expected [emission]
reductions associated with each of the
technologies.’’ See 84 FR 32537–38 (July
8, 2019).
5. D.C. Circuit Decision in American
Lung Association v. EPA Concerning the
CPP Repeal and ACE Rule
Numerous states and private parties
petitioned for review of the CPP Repeal
and ACE Rule. In 2021, the D.C. Circuit
vacated the ACE Rule, including the
CPP Repeal. American Lung Ass’n v.
EPA, 985 F.3d 914 (D.C. Cir. 2021). The
court held, among other things, that
CAA section 111(d) does not limit the
EPA, in determining the BSER, to
measures applied at and to an
individual source. The court noted that
‘‘the sole ground on which the EPA
defends its abandonment of the [CPP] in
favor of the ACE Rule is that the text of
[CAA section 111] is clear and
unambiguous in constraining the EPA to
use only improvements at and to
existing sources in its [BSER].’’ 985 F.3d
at 944. The court found ‘‘nothing in the
text, structure, history, or purpose of
[CAA section 111] that compels the
reading the EPA adopted.’’ 985 F.3d at
957. The court likewise rejected the
186 https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/201906/documents/utilities_ria_final_cpp_repeal_and_
ace_2019-06.pdf.
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view that the CPP’s use of generationshifting implicated a ‘‘major question’’
requiring unambiguous authorization by
Congress. 985 F.3d at 958–68.
The D.C. Circuit concluded that,
because the EPA had relied on an
‘‘erroneous legal premise,’’ both the CPP
Repeal Rule and the ACE Rule should
be vacated. 985 F.3d at 995. The court
did not decide, however, ‘‘whether the
approach of the ACE Rule is a
permissible reading of the statute as a
matter of agency discretion,’’ 985 F.3d at
944, and instead ‘‘remanded to the EPA
so that the Agency may ‘consider the
question afresh,’ ’’ 985 F.3d at 995
(citations omitted).
The court also rejected the arguments
that the EPA cannot regulate CO2
emissions from coal-fired power plants
under CAA section 111(d) at all because
it had already regulated mercury
emissions from coal-fired power plants
under CAA section 112. 985 F.3d at 988.
In addition, the court held that that the
2015 NSPS included a valid
determination that greenhouse gases
from the EGU source category
contributed significantly to dangerous
air pollution, which provided a
sufficient basis for a CAA section 111(d)
rule regulating greenhouse gases from
existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. Id. at
977.
Because the D.C. Circuit vacated the
ACE Rule on the grounds noted above,
it did not address the other challenges
to the ACE Rule, including the
arguments by Petitioners that the heat
rate improvement BSER was inadequate
because of the limited number of
reductions it achieved and because the
ACE Rule failed to include an
appropriately specific degree of
emission limitation.
Upon a motion from the EPA, the D.C.
Circuit agreed to stay its mandate with
respect to vacatur of the CPP Repeal,
American Lung Assn v. EPA, No. 19–
1140, Order (February 22, 2021), so that
the CPP remained repealed. Therefore,
following the D.C. Circuit’s decision, no
EPA rule under CAA section 111 to
reduce GHGs from existing fossil fuelfired EGUs remained in place.
6. U.S. Supreme Court Decision in West
Virginia v. EPA Concerning the CPP
The Supreme Court granted petitions
for certiorari from the D.C. Circuit’s
American Lung Association decision,
limited to the question of whether CAA
section 111 authorized the EPA to
determine that ‘‘generation shifting’’
was the best system of emission
reduction for fossil-fuel fired EGUs. The
Supreme Court did not grant certiorari
on the question of whether the EPA was
authorized to regulate GHG emissions
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from fossil-fuel fired power plants
under CAA section 111, when fossil-fuel
fired power plants are regulated for
other pollutants under CAA section 112.
In 2022, the U.S. Supreme Court
reversed the D.C. Circuit’s vacatur of the
ACE Rule’s embedded repeal of the CPP.
West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697
(2022). The Supreme Court stated that
CAA section 111 authorizes the EPA to
determine the BSER and the degree of
emission limitation that state plans
must achieve. Id. at 2601–02. The
Supreme Court concluded, however,
that the CPP’s BSER of ‘‘generationshifting’’ raised a ‘‘major question,’’ and
was not clearly authorized by section
111. The Court characterized the
generation-shifting BSER as
‘‘restructuring the Nation’s overall mix
of electricity generation,’’ and stated
that the EPA’s claim that CAA section
111 authorized it to promulgate
generation shifting as the BSER was
‘‘not only unprecedented; it also
effected a fundamental revision of the
statute, changing it from one sort of
scheme of regulation into an entirely
different kind.’’ Id. at 2612 (internal
quotation marks, brackets, and citation
omitted). The Court explained that the
EPA, in prior rules under CAA section
111, had set emissions limits based on
‘‘measures that would reduce pollution
by causing the regulated source to
operate more cleanly.’’ Id. at 2610. The
Court noted with approval those ‘‘more
traditional air pollution control
measures,’’ and gave as examples ‘‘fuelswitching’’ and ‘‘add-on controls,’’
which, the Court observed, the EPA had
considered in the CPP. Id. at 2611
(internal quotations marks and citation
omitted). In contrast, the Court
continued, generation shifting was
‘‘unprecedented’’ because ‘‘[r]ather than
focus on improving the performance of
individual sources, it would improve
the overall power system by lowering
the carbon intensity of power
generation. And it would do that by
forcing a shift throughout the power
grid from one type of energy source to
another.’’ Id. at 2611–12 (internal
quotation marks, emphasis, and citation
omitted).
The Court recognized that a rule
based on traditional measures ‘‘may end
up causing an incidental loss of coal’s
market share,’’ but emphasized that the
CPP was ‘‘obvious[ly] differen[t]’’
because, with its generation-shifting
BSER, it ‘‘simply announc[ed] what the
market share of coal, natural gas, wind,
and solar must be, and then require[ed]
plants to reduce operations or subsidize
their competitors to get there.’’ Id. at
2613 n.4. The Court also emphasized
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‘‘the magnitude and consequence’’ of
the CPP. Id. at 2616. It noted ‘‘the
magnitude of this unprecedented power
over American industry,’’ id. at 2612
(internal quotation marks and citation
omitted), and added that the EPA’s
adoption of generation shifting
‘‘represent[ed] a transformative
expansion in its regulatory authority.’’
Id. at 2610 (internal quotation marks
and citation omitted). The Court also
viewed the CPP as promulgating ‘‘a
program that . . . Congress had
considered and rejected multiple
times.’’ Id. at 2614 (internal quotation
marks and citation omitted). For these
and related reasons, the Court viewed
the CPP as raising a major question, and
therefore, requiring ‘‘clear congressional
authorization’’ as a basis. Id. (internal
quotation marks and citation omitted).
The Court declined to address the
D.C. Circuit’s conclusion that the text of
CAA section 111 did not limit the type
of ‘‘system’’ the EPA could consider as
the BSER to measures applied at and to
an individual source. See id. at 2615.
Nor did the Court address the scope of
the states’ compliance flexibilities.
7. D.C. Circuit Order Reinstating the
ACE Rule
On October 27, 2022, the D.C. Circuit
responded to the U.S. Supreme Court’s
reversal by recalling its mandate for the
vacatur of the ACE Rule. American Lung
Ass’n v. EPA, No. 19–1140, Order
(October 27, 2022). Accordingly, at that
time, the ACE Rule came back into
effect. The court also revised its
judgment to deny petitions for review
challenging the CPP Repeal Rule,
consistent with the judgment in West
Virginia, so that the CPP remains
repealed. The court took further action
denying several of the petitions for
review unaffected by the Supreme
Court’s decision in West Virginia, which
means that certain parts of its 2021
decision in American Lung Association
remain in effect. These parts include the
holding that the EPA’s prior regulation
of mercury emissions from coal-fired
electric power plants under CAA
section 112 does not preclude the
Agency from regulating CO2 from coalfired electric power plants under CAA
section 111, and the holding, discussed
above, that the 2015 NSPS included a
valid significant contribution
determination and therefore provided a
sufficient basis for a CAA section 111(d)
rule regulating greenhouse gases from
existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The
court’s holding to invalidate
amendments to the implementing
regulations applicable to emission
guidelines under CAA section 111(d)
that extended the preexisting schedules
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for state and Federal actions and
sources’ compliance, also remains in
force. Based on the EPA’s stated
intention to replace the ACE Rule, the
court stayed further proceedings with
respect to the ACE Rule, including the
various challenges that its BSER was
flawed because it did not achieve
sufficient emission reductions and
failed to specify an appropriately
specific degree of emission limitation.
C. Detailed Discussion of CAA Section
111 Requirements
This section discusses in more detail
the key requirements of CAA section
111 for both new and existing sources
that are relevant for these rulemakings.
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1. Approach to the Source Category and
Subcategorizing
CAA section 111 requires the EPA
first to list stationary source categories
that cause or contribute to air pollution
which may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health or welfare and
then to regulate new sources within
each such source category. CAA section
111(b)(2) grants the EPA discretion
whether to ‘‘distinguish among classes,
types, and sizes within categories of
new sources for the purpose of
establishing [new source] standards,’’
which we refer to as ‘‘subcategorizing.’’
Whether and how to subcategorize is a
decision for which the EPA is entitled
to a ‘‘high degree of deference’’ because
it entails ‘‘scientific judgment.’’ Lignite
Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930,
933 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
Although CAA section 111(d)(1) does
not explicitly address subcategorization,
since its first regulations implementing
the CAA, the EPA has interpreted it to
authorize the Agency to exercise
discretion as to whether and, if so, how
to subcategorize, for the following
reasons. CAA section 111(d)(1) grants
the EPA authority to ‘‘prescribe
regulations which shall establish a
procedure . . . under which each State
shall submit to the Administrator a plan
[with standards of performance for
existing sources.]’’ The EPA
promulgates emission guidelines under
this provision directing the states to
regulate existing sources. The Supreme
Court has recognized that, under CAA
section 111(d), the ‘‘Agency, not the
States, decides the amount of pollution
reduction that must ultimately be
achieved. It does so by again
determining, as when setting the new
source rules, ‘the best system of
emission reduction . . . that has been
adequately demonstrated for [existing
covered] facilities.’ West Virginia, 597
U.S. at 710 (citations omitted).
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The EPA’s authority to determine the
BSER includes the authority to create
subcategories that tailor the BSER for
differently situated sets of sources.
Again, for new sources, CAA section
111(b)(2) confers authority for the EPA
to ‘‘distinguish among classes, types,
and sizes within categories.’’ Though
CAA section 111(d) does not speak
specifically to the creation of
subcategories for a category of existing
sources, the authority to identify the
‘‘best’’ system of emission reduction for
existing sources includes the discretion
to differentiate between differently
situated sources in the category, and
group those sources into subcategories
in appropriate circumstances. The size,
type, class, and other characteristics can
make different emission controls more
appropriate for different sources. A
system of emission reduction that is
‘‘best’’ for some sources may not be
‘‘best’’ for others with different
characteristics. For more than four
decades, the EPA has interpreted CAA
section 111(d) to confer authority on the
Agency to create subcategories. The
EPA’s implementing regulations under
CAA section 111(d), promulgated in
1975, 40 FR 53340 (November 17, 1975),
provide that the Administrator will
specify different emission guidelines or
compliance times or both ‘‘for different
sizes, types, and classes of designated
facilities when [based on] costs of
control, physical limitations,
geographical location, or [based on]
similar factors.’’ 187 This regulation
governs the EPA’s general authority to
subcategorize under CAA section
111(d), and the EPA is not reopening
that issue here. At the time of
promulgation, the EPA explained that
subcategorization allows the EPA to take
into account ‘‘differences in sizes and
types of facilities and similar
considerations, including differences in
control costs that may be involved for
sources located in different parts of the
country’’ so that the ‘‘EPA’s emission
guidelines will in effect be tailored to
what is reasonably achievable by
particular classes of existing
sources. . . .’’ Id. at 53343. The EPA’s
authority to ‘‘distinguish among classes,
types, and sizes within categories,’’ as
provided under CAA section 111(b)(2),
generally allows the Agency to place
types of sources into subcategories. This
is consistent with the commonly
understood meaning of the term ‘‘type’’
in CAA section 111(b)(2): ‘‘a particular
187 40 CFR 60.22(b)(5), 60.22a(b)(5). Because the
definition of subcategories depends on
characteristics relevant to the BSER, and because
those characteristics can differ as between new and
existing sources, the EPA may establish different
subcategories as between new and existing sources.
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kind, class, or group,’’ or ‘‘qualities
common to a number of individuals that
distinguish them as an identifiable
class.’’ See https://www.merriamwebster.com/dictionary/type.
The EPA has developed subcategories
in many rulemakings under CAA
section 111 since the 1970s. These
rulemakings have included
subcategories on the basis of the size of
the sources, see 40 CFR 60.40b(b)(1)–(2)
(subcategorizing certain coal-fired steam
generating units on the basis of heat
input capacity); the types of fuel
combusted, see Sierra Club, v. EPA, 657
F.2d 298, 318–19 (D.C. Cir. 1981)
(upholding a rulemaking that
established different NSPS ‘‘for utility
plants that burn coal of varying sulfur
content’’), 2015 NSPS, 80 FR 64510,
64602 (table 15) (October 23, 2015)
(subdividing new combustion turbines
on the basis of type of fuel combusted);
the types of equipment used to produce
products, see 81 FR 35824 (June 3, 2016)
(promulgating separate NSPS for many
types of oil and gas sources, such as
centrifugal compressors, pneumatic
controllers, and well sites); types of
manufacturing processes used to
produce product, see 42 FR 12022
(March 1, 1977) (announcing
availability of final guideline document
for control of atmospheric fluoride
emissions from existing phosphate
fertilizer plants) and ‘‘Final Guideline
Document: Control of Fluoride
Emissions From Existing Phosphate
Fertilizer Plants,’’ EPA–450/2–77–005
1–7 to 1–9, including table 1–2
(applying different control requirements
for different manufacturing operations
for phosphate fertilizer); levels of
utilization of the sources, see 2015
NSPS, 80 FR 64510, 64602 (table 15)
(October 23, 2015) (dividing new
natural gas-fired combustion turbines
into the subcategories of base load and
non-base load); the activity level of the
sources, see 81 FR 59276, 59278–79
(August 29, 2016) (dividing municipal
solid waste landfills into the
subcategories of active and closed
landfills); and geographic location of the
sources, see 71 FR 38482 (July 6, 2006)
(SO2 NSPS for stationary combustion
turbines subcategorizing turbines on the
basis of whether they are located in, for
example, a continental area, a noncontinental area, the part of Alaska
north of the Arctic Circle, and the rest
of Alaska). Thus, the EPA has
subcategorized many times in
rulemaking under CAA sections 111(b)
and 111(d) and based on a wide variety
of physical, locational, and operational
characteristics.
Regardless of whether the EPA
subcategorizes within a source category
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for purposes of determining the BSER
and the degree of emission limitation
achievable, a state retains certain
flexibility in assigning standards of
performance to its affected EGUs. The
statutory framework for CAA section
111(d) emission guidelines, and the
flexibilities available to states within
that framework, are discussed below.
2. Key Elements of Determining a
Standard of Performance
Congress first included the definition
of ‘‘standard of performance’’ when
enacting CAA section 111 in the 1970
Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA),
amended it in the 1977 CAAA, and then
amended it again in the 1990 CAAA to
largely restore the definition as it read
in the 1970 CAAA. The current text of
CAA section 111(a)(1) reads: ‘‘The term
‘standard of performance’ means a
standard for emission of air pollutants
which reflects the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the best system of
emission reduction which (taking into
account the cost of achieving such
reduction and any non-air quality health
and environmental impact and energy
requirements) the Administrator
determines has been adequately
demonstrated.’’ The D.C. Circuit has
reviewed CAA section 111 rulemakings
on numerous occasions since 1973,188
and has developed a body of caselaw
that interprets the term ‘‘standard of
performance,’’ as discussed throughout
this preamble.
The basis for standards of
performance, whether promulgated by
the EPA under CAA section 111(b) or
established by the states under CAA
section 111(d), is that the EPA
determines the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation’’ that is ‘‘achievable’’ by the
sources by application of a ‘‘system of
emission reduction’’ that the EPA
determines is ‘‘adequately
demonstrated,’’ ‘‘taking into account’’
the factors of ‘‘cost . . . and any nonair
quality health and environmental
impact and energy requirements,’’ and
that the EPA determines to be the
‘‘best.’’ The D.C. Circuit has stated that
in determining the ‘‘best’’ system, the
EPA must also take into account ‘‘the
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188 Portland
Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus, 486
F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973); Essex Chemical Corp. v.
Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973); Sierra
Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981); Lignite
Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir.
1999); Portland Cement Ass’n v. EPA, 665 F.3d 177
(D.C. Cir. 2011); American Lung Ass’n v. EPA, 985
F.3d 914 (D.C. Cir. 2021), rev’d in part, West
Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022). See also
Delaware v. EPA, No. 13–1093 (D.C. Cir. May 1,
2015).
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amount of air pollution’’ 189 reduced
and the role of ‘‘technological
innovation.’’ 190 The D.C. Circuit has
also stated that to determine the ‘‘best’’
system, the EPA may weigh the various
factors identified in the statute and
caselaw against each other, and has
emphasized that the EPA has discretion
in weighing the factors.191 192
The EPA’s overall approach to
determining the BSER and degree of
emission limitation achievable, which
incorporates the various elements, is as
follows: The EPA identifies ‘‘system[s]
of emission reduction’’ that have been
‘‘adequately demonstrated’’ for a
particular source category and
determines the ‘‘best’’ of these systems
after evaluating the amount of emission
reductions, costs, any non-air health
and environmental impacts, and energy
requirements. As discussed below, for
each of numerous subcategories, the
EPA followed this approach to
determine the BSER on the basis that
the identified costs are reasonable and
that the BSER is rational in light of the
statutory factors, including the amount
of emission reductions, that the EPA
examined in its BSER analysis,
consistent with governing precedent.
After determining the BSER, the EPA
determines an achievable emission limit
based on application of the BSER.193 For
a CAA section 111(b) rule, the EPA
determines the standard of performance
that reflects the achievable emission
limit. For a CAA section 111(d) rule, the
states have the obligation of establishing
standards of performance for the
affected sources that reflect the degree
of emission limitation that the EPA has
determined. As discussed below, the
EPA is finalizing these determinations
in association with each of the BSER
determinations.
The remainder of this subsection
discusses each element in our general
analytical approach.
189 See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 326
(D.C. Cir. 1981).
190 See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 347.
191 See Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933.
192 CAA section 111(a)(1), by its terms states that
the factors enumerated in the parenthetical are part
of the ‘‘adequately demonstrated’’ determination. In
addition, the D.C. Circuit’s caselaw makes clear that
the EPA may consider these same factors when it
determines which adequately demonstrated system
of emission reduction is the ‘‘best.’’ See Sierra Club
v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 330 (recognizing that CAA
section 111 gives the EPA authority ‘‘when
determining the best technological system to weigh
cost, energy, and environmental impacts’’).
193 See, e.g., Oil and Natural Gas Sector: New
Source Performance Standards and National
Emission Standards for Hazardous Air pollutants
Reviews (77 FR 49494; August 16, 2012) (describing
the three-step analysis in setting a standard of
performance).
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39829
a. System of Emission Reduction
The CAA does not define the phrase
‘‘system of emission reduction.’’ In West
Virginia v. EPA, the Supreme Court
recognized that historically, the EPA
had looked to ‘‘measures that improve
the pollution performance of individual
sources and followed a ‘‘technologybased approach’’ in identifying systems
of emission reduction. In particular, the
Court identified ‘‘the sort of ‘systems of
emission reduction’ [the EPA] had
always before selected,’’ which included
‘‘ ‘efficiency improvements, fuelswitching,’ and ‘add-on controls’.’’ 597
U.S. at 727 (quoting the Clean Power
Plan).194 Section 111 itself recognizes
that such systems may include off-site
activities that may reduce a source’s
pollution contribution, identifying
‘‘precombustion cleaning or treatment of
fuels’’ as a ‘‘system’’ of ‘‘emission
reduction.’’ 42 U.S.C. 7411(a)(7)(B). A
‘‘system of emission reduction’’ thus, at
a minimum, includes measures that an
individual source applies that improve
the emissions performance of that
source. Measures are fairly
characterized as improving the
pollution performance of a source where
they reduce the individual source’s
overall contribution to pollution.
In West Virginia, the Supreme Court
did not define the term ‘‘system of
emissions reduction,’’ and so did not
rule on whether ‘‘system of emission
reduction’’ is limited to those measures
that the EPA has historically relied
upon. It did go on to apply the major
questions doctrine to hold that the term
‘‘system’’ does not provide the requisite
clear authorization to support the Clean
Power Plan’s BSER, which the Court
described as ‘‘carbon emissions caps
based on a generation shifting
approach.’’ Id. at 2614. While the Court
did not define the outer bounds of the
meaning of ‘‘system,’’ systems of
emissions reduction like fuel switching,
add-on controls, and efficiency
improvements fall comfortably within
the scope of prior practice as recognized
by the Supreme Court.
b. ‘‘Adequately Demonstrated’’
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), an
essential, although not sufficient,
condition for a ‘‘system of emission
194 As noted in section V.B.4 of this preamble, the
ACE Rule adopted the interpretation that CAA
section 111(a)(1), by its plain language, limits
‘‘system of emission reduction’’ to those control
measures that could be applied at and to each
source to reduce emissions at each source. 84 FR
32523–24 (July 8, 2019). The EPA has subsequently
rejected that interpretation as too narrow. See
Adoption and Submittal of State Plans for
Designated Facilities: Implementing Regulations
Under Clean Air Act Section 111(d), 88 FR 80535
(November 17, 2023).
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reduction’’ to serve as the basis for an
‘‘achievable’’ emission standard is that
the Administrator must determine that
the system is ‘‘adequately
demonstrated.’’ The concepts of
adequate demonstration and
achievability are closely related: as the
D.C. Circuit has stated, ‘‘[i]t is the
system which must be adequately
demonstrated and the standard which
must be achievable,’’ 195 through
application of the system. An achievable
standard means a standard based on the
EPA’s record-based finding that
sufficient evidence exists to reasonably
determine that the affected sources in
the source category can adopt a specific
system of emission reduction to achieve
the specified degree of emission
limitation. As discussed below,
consistent with Congress’s use of the
word ‘‘demonstrated,’’ the caselaw has
approved the EPA’s ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ determinations
concerning systems utilized at test
sources or other individual sources
operating at commercial scale. The case
law also authorizes the EPA to set an
emissions standard at levels more
stringent than has regularly been
achieved, based on the understanding
that sources will be able to adopt
specific technological improvements to
the system in question that will enable
them to achieve the lower standard.
Importantly, and contrary to some
comments received on the proposed
rule, CAA section 111(a)(1) does not
require that a system of emission
reduction exist in widespread
commercial use in order to satisfy the
‘‘adequately demonstrated’’
requirement.196 Instead, CAA section
111(a)(1) authorizes the EPA to establish
standards which encourage the
deployment of more effective systems of
emission reduction that have been
adequately demonstrated but that are
not yet in widespread use. This aligns
with Congress’s purpose in enacting the
CAA, in particular its recognition that
polluting sources were not widely
adopting emission control technology
on a voluntary basis and that Federal
regulation was necessary to spur the
development and deployment of those
technologies.197
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195 Essex
Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d
427, 433 (1973) (emphasis omitted).
196 See, e.g., Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus,
486 F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973) (in which the D.C.
Circuit upheld a CAA section 111 standard based
on a system which had been extensively used in
Europe but at the time of promulgation was only in
use in the United States at one plant).
197 In introducing the respective bills which
ultimately became the 1970 Clean Air Act upon
Conference Committee review, both the House and
Senate emphasized the urgency of the matter at
hand, the intended power of the new legislation,
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i. Plain Text, Statutory Context, and
Legislative History of the ‘‘Adequately
Demonstrated’’ Provision in CAA
Section 111(a)(1)
Analysis of the plain text, statutory
context, and legislative history of CAA
section 111(a)(1) establishes two
primary themes. First, Congress
assigned the task of determining the
appropriate BSER to the Administrator,
based on a reasonable review of
available evidence. Second, Congress
authorized the EPA to set a standard,
based on the evidence, that encourages
broader adoption of an emissionsreducing technological approach that
may not yet be in widespread use.
The plain text of CAA section
111(a)(1), and in particular the phrase
‘‘the Administrator determines’’ and the
term ‘‘adequately,’’ confer discretion to
the EPA in identifying the appropriate
system. Rather than providing specific
criteria for determining what constitutes
appropriate evidence, Congress directed
the Administrator to ‘‘determine[ ]’’ that
the demonstration is ‘‘adequate[ ].’’
Courts have typically deferred to the
EPA’s scientific and technological
judgments in making such
determinations.198 Further, use of the
term ‘‘adequate’’ in provisions
throughout the CAA highlights EPA
flexibility and discretion in setting
standards and in analyzing data that
forms the basis for standard setting.
In setting NAAQS under CAA section
109, for example, the EPA is directed to
and in particular its technology-forcing nature. The
first page of the House report declared that ‘‘[t]he
purpose of the legislation reported unanimously by
[Committee was] to speed up, expand, and intensify
the war against air pollution in the United States
. . .’’ H.R. Rep. No. 17255 at 1 (1970). It was clear,
stated the House report, that until that point ‘‘the
strategies which [the United States had] pursued in
the war against air pollution [had] been inadequate
in several important respects, and the methods
employed in implementing those strategies often
[had] been slow and less effective than they might
have been.’’ Id. The Senate report agreed, stating
that their bill would ‘‘provide a much more
intensive and comprehensive attack on air
pollution,’’ 1 S. 4358 at 4 (1970), including,
crucially, by increased federal involvement. See id.
198 The D.C. Circuit stated in Nat’l Asphalt
Pavement Ass’n v. Train, 539 F.2d 775, 786 (D.C.
Cir. 1976) ‘‘The standard of review of actions of the
Administrator in setting standards of performance
is an appropriately deferential one, and we are to
affirm the action of the Administrator unless it is
‘‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or
otherwise not in accordance with law,’’ 5 U.S.C.
706(2)(A) (1970). Since this is one of those ‘‘highly
technical areas, where our understanding of the
import of the evidence is attenuated, our readiness
to review evidentiary support for decisions must be
correspondingly restrained.’’ Ethyl Corporation v.
EPA, 96 S. Ct. 2663 (1976). ‘‘Our ‘expertise’ is not
in setting standards for emission control, but in
determining if the standards as set are the result of
reasoned decision-making.’’ Essex Chem. Corp. v.
Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 434 (D.C. Cir. 1973))
(cleaned up).’’
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determine, according to ‘‘the judgment
of the Administrator,’’ an ‘‘adequate
margin of safety.’’ 199 The D.C. Circuit
has held that the use of the term
‘‘adequate’’ confers significant deference
to the Administrator’s scientific and
technological judgment. In Mississippi
v. EPA,200 for example, the D.C. Circuit
in 2013 upheld the EPA’s choice to set
the NAAQS for ozone below 0.08 ppm,
and noted that any disagreements with
the EPA’s interpretations of the
scientific evidence that underlay this
decision ‘‘must come from those who
are qualified to evaluate the science, not
[the court].’’ 201 This Mississippi v. EPA
precedent aligns with the general
standard for judicial review of the EPA’s
understanding of the evidence under
CAA section 307(d)(9)(A) (‘‘arbitrary,
capricious, an abuse of discretion, or
otherwise not in accordance with law’’).
The plain language of the phrase ‘‘has
been adequately demonstrated,’’ in
context, and in light of the legislative
history, further strongly indicates that
the system in question need not be in
widespread use at the time the EPA’s
rule is published. To the contrary, CAA
section 111(a)(1) authorizes technology
forcing, in the sense that the EPA is
authorized to promote a system which
is not yet in widespread use; provided
the technology is in existence and the
EPA has adequate evidence to
extrapolate.202
Some commenters argued that use of
the phrase ‘‘has been’’ in ‘‘has been
adequately demonstrated’’ means that
the system must be in widespread
commercial use at the time of rule
promulgation. We disagree. Considering
the plain text, the use of the past tense,
‘‘has been adequately demonstrated’’
indicates a requirement that the
technology currently be demonstrated.
However, ‘‘demonstrated’’ in common
usage at the time of enactment meant to
‘‘explain or make clear by using
examples, experiments, etc.’’ 203 As a
general matter, and as this definition
indicates, the term ‘‘to demonstrate’’
suggests the need for a test or study—
as in, for example, a ‘‘demonstration
199 42
U.S.C. 7409(b)(1).
F.3d 1334 (D.C. Cir. 2013).
200 744
201 Id.
202 While not relevant here, because CCS is
already in existence, the text, case law, and
legislative history make a compelling case that EPA
is authorized to go farther than this, and may make
a projection regarding the way in which a particular
system will develop to allow for greater emissions
reductions in the future. See 80 FR 64556–58
(discussion of ‘‘adequately demonstrated’’ in 2015
NSPS).
203 Webster’s New World Dictionary: Second
College Edition (David B. Guralnik, ed., 1972).
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project’’ or ‘‘demonstration plant’’—that
is, examples of technological feasibility.
The statutory context is also useful in
establishing that where Congress
wanted to specify the availability of the
control system, it did so. The only other
use of the exact term ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ occurs in CAA section
119, which establishes that, in order for
the EPA to require a particular ‘‘means
of emission limitation’’ for smelters, the
Agency must establish that such means
‘‘has been adequately demonstrated to
be reasonably available. . . .’’ 204 The
lack of the phrase ‘‘reasonably
available’’ in CAA section 111(a)(1) is
notable, and suggests that a system may
be ‘‘adequately demonstrated’’ under
CAA section 111 even if it is not
‘‘reasonably available’’ for every single
source.205
The term ‘‘demonstration’’ also
appears in CAA section 103 in an
instructive context. CAA section 103,
which establishes a ‘‘national research
and development program for the
prevention and control of air pollution’’
directs that as part of this program, the
EPA shall ‘‘conduct, and promote the
coordination and acceleration of,
research, investigations, experiments,
demonstrations, surveys, and studies
relating to’’ the issue of air pollution.206
According to the canon of noscitur a
sociis, associated words in a list bear on
one another’s meaning.207 In CAA
section 103, the word ‘‘demonstrations’’
appears alongside ‘‘research,’’
‘‘investigations,’’ ‘‘experiments,’’ and
‘‘studies’’—all words suggesting the
development of new and emerging
technology. This supports interpreting
CAA section 111(a)(1) to authorize the
EPA to determine a system of emission
reduction to be ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ based on demonstration
projects, testing, examples, or
comparable evidence.
Finally, the legislative history of the
CAA in general, and section 111 in
particular, strongly supports the point
that BSER technology need not be in
204 The statutory text at CAA section 119
continues, ‘‘as determined by the Administrator,
taking into account the cost of compliance, nonair
quality health and environmental impact, and
energy consideration.’’ 42 U.S.C. 7419(b)(3).
205 It should also be noted that the section 119
language was added as part of the 1977 Clean Air
Act amendments, while the section 111 language
was established in 1970. Thus, Congress was aware
of section 111’s more permissive language when it
added the ‘‘reasonably available’’ language to
section 119.
206 42 U.S.C. 7403(a)(1).
207 As the Supreme Court recently explained in
Dubin v. United States, even words that might be
indeterminate alone may be more easily interpreted
in ‘‘company,’’ because per noscitur a sociis ‘‘a
word is known by the company it keeps.’’ 599 U.S.
110, 244 (2023).
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widespread use at the time of rule
enactment. The final language of CAA
section 111(a)(1), requiring that systems
of emission reduction be ‘‘adequately
demonstrated,’’ was the result of
compromise in the Conference
Committee between the House and
Senate bill language. The House bill
would have required that the EPA give
‘‘appropriate consideration to
technological and economic feasibility’’
when establishing standards.208 The
Senate bill would have required that
standards ‘‘reflect the greatest degree of
emission control which the Secretary
determines to be achievable through
application of the latest available
control technology, processes, operating
methods, or other alternatives.’’ 209
Although the exact language of neither
the House nor Senate bill was adopted
in the final bill, both reports made clear
their intent that CAA section 111 would
be significantly technology-forcing. In
particular, the Senate Report referred to
‘‘available control technology’’—a
phrase that, as just noted, the Senate bill
included—but clarified that the
technology need not ‘‘be in actual,
routine use somewhere.’’ 210 The House
Report explained that EPA regulations
would ‘‘prevent and control such
emissions to the fullest extent
compatible with the available
technology and economic feasibility as
determined by [the EPA],’’ and ‘‘[i]n
order to be considered ‘available’ the
technology may not be one which
constitutes a purely theoretical or
experimental means of preventing or
controlling air pollution.’’ 211 This last
statement implies that the House Report
anticipated that the EPA’s
determination may be technology
forcing. Nothing in the legislative
history suggests that Congress intended
that the technology already be in
widespread commercial use.
ii. Caselaw
In a series of cases reviewing
standards for new sources, the D.C.
Circuit has held that an adequately
208 H.R. Rep. No. 17255 at 921 (1970) (quoting
CAA Sec. 112(a), as proposed).
209 S. Rept. 4358 at 91 (quoting CAA Sec.
113(b)(2), as proposed).
210 S. Rep. 4358 at 15–16 (1970). The Senate
Report went on to say that the EPA should
‘‘examine the degree of emission control that has
been or can be achieved through the application of
technology which is available or normally can be
made available . . . at a cost and at a time which
[the Agency] determines to be reasonable.’’ Id.
Again, this language rebuts any suggestion that a
BSER technology must be in widespread use at the
time of rule enactment—Congress assumed only
that the technology would be ‘‘available’’ or even
that it ‘‘[could] be made available,’’ not that it
would be already broadly used.
211 H.R. Rep. No. 17255 at 900.
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demonstrated standard of performance
may reflect the EPA’s reasonable
projection of what that particular system
may be expected to achieve going
forward, extrapolating from available
data from pilot projects or individual
commercial-scale sources. A standard
may be considered achievable even if
the system upon which the standard is
based has not regularly achieved the
standard in testing. See, e.g., Essex
Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus 212
(upholding a standard of 4.0 lbs per ton
based on a system whose average
control rate was 4.6 lbs per ton, and
which had achieved 4.0 lbs per ton on
only three occasions and ‘‘‘nearly
equaled’ [the standard] on the average of
nineteen different readings.’’) 213 The
Ruckelshaus court concluded that the
EPA’s extrapolation from available data
was ‘‘the result of the exercise of
reasoned discretion by the
Administrator’’ and therefore ‘‘[could
not] be upset by [the] court.’’ 214 The
court also emphasized that in order to
be considered achievable, the standard
set by the EPA need not be regularly or
even specifically achieved at the time of
rule promulgation. Instead, according to
the court, ‘‘[a]n achievable standard is
one which is within the realm of the
adequately demonstrated system’s
efficiency and which, while not at a
level that is purely theoretical or
experimental, need not necessarily be
routinely achieved within the industry
prior to its adoption.’’ 215
Case law also establishes that the EPA
may set a standard more stringent than
has regularly been achieved based on its
identification of specific available
technological improvements to the
system. See Sierra Club v. Costle 216
(upholding a 90 percent standard for
SO2 emissions from coal-fired steam
generators despite the fact that not all
plants had previously achieved this
standard, based on the EPA’s
expectations for improved performance
with specific technological fixes and the
use of ‘‘coal washing’’ going forward).217
Further, the EPA may extrapolate based
on testing at a particular kind of source
to conclude that the technology at issue
will also be effective at a different,
212 486
F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973).
at 437.
214 Id. at 437.
215 Id. at 433–34 (D.C. Cir. 1973). See also Sierra
Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981), which
supports the point that EPA may extrapolate from
testing results, rather than relying on consistent
performance, to identify an appropriate system and
standard based on that system. In that case, EPA
analyzed scrubber performance by considering
performance during short-term testing periods. See
id. at 377.
216 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981).
217 Id. at 365, 370–73; 365.
213 Id.
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related, source. See Lignite Energy
Council v. EPA 218 (holding it
permissible to base a standard for
industrial boilers on application of SCR
based on extrapolated information about
the application of SCR on utility
boilers).219 The Lignite court clarified
that ‘‘where data are unavailable, EPA
may not base its determination that a
technology is adequately demonstrated
or that a standard is achievable on mere
speculation or conjecture,’’ but the
‘‘EPA may compensate for a shortage of
data through the use of other qualitative
methods, including the reasonable
extrapolation of a technology’s
performance in other industries.’’ 220
As a general matter, the case law is
clear that at the time of Rule
promulgation, the system which the
EPA establishes as BSER need not be in
widespread use. See, e.g.,
Ruckelshaus 221 (upholding a standard
based on a relatively new system which
was in use at only one United States
plant at the time of rule promulgation.
Although the system was in use more
extensively in Europe at the time of rule
promulgation, the EPA based its
analysis on test results from the lone
U.S. plant only.) 222 This makes good
sense, because, as discussed above, CAA
section 111(a)(1) authorizes a
technology-forcing standard that
encourages broader adoption of an
emissions-reducing technological
approach that is not yet broadly used. It
follows that at the time of promulgation,
not every source will be prepared to
adopt the BSER at once. Instead, as
discussed next, the EPA’s responsibility
is to determine that the technology can
be adopted in a reasonable period of
time, and to base its requirements on
this understanding.
iii. Compliance Timeframe
The preceding subsections have
shown various circumstances under
which the EPA may determine that a
system of emission reduction is
‘‘adequately demonstrated.’’ In order to
establish that a system is appropriate for
the source category as a whole, the EPA
must also demonstrate that the industry
can deploy the technology at scale in
the compliance timeframe. The D.C.
218 198
F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
id. at 933–34.
220 Id. at 934 (emphasis added).
221 486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973). See also Sierra
Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981), which
supports the point that EPA may extrapolate from
testing results, rather than relying on consistent
performance, to identify an appropriate system and
standard based on that system. In that case, EPA
analyzed scrubber performance by considering
performance during short-term testing periods. See
id. at 377.
222 486 F.2d at 435–36.
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219 See
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Circuit has stated that the EPA may
determine a ‘‘system of emission
reduction’’ to be ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ if the EPA reasonably
projects that it may be more broadly
deployed with adequate lead time. This
view is well-grounded in the purposes
of CAA section 111(a)(1), discussed
above, which aim to control dangerous
air pollution by allowing for standards
which encourage more widespread
adoption of a technology demonstrated
at individual plants.
As a practical matter, CAA section
111’s allowance for lead time recognizes
that existing pollution control systems
may be complex and may require a
predictable amount of time for sources
across the source category to be able to
design, acquire, install, test, and begin
to operate them.223 Time may also be
required to allow for the development of
skilled labor, and materials like steel,
concrete, and speciality parts.
Accordingly, in setting 111 standards
for both new and existing sources, the
EPA has typically allowed for some
amount of time before sources must
demonstrate compliance with the
standards. For instance, in the 2015
NSPS for residential wood heaters, the
EPA established a ‘‘stepped compliance
approach’’ which phased in
requirements over 5 years to ‘‘allow
manufacturers lead time to develop,
test, field evaluate and certify current
technologies’’ across their model
lines.224 The EPA also allowed for a
series of phase-ins of various
requirements in the 2023 oil and gas
NSPS.225 For example: the EPA
finalized a compliance deadline for
process controllers allowing for 1 year
from the effective date of the final rule,
to allow for delays in equipment
availability; 226 the EPA established a 1year lead time period for pumps, also in
response to possible equipment and
labor shortages; 227 and the EPA built in
24 months between publication in the
Federal Register and the
223 As discussed above, although the EPA is not
relying on this point for purposes of these rules, it
should be noted that the EPA may determine a
system of emission reduction to be adequately
demonstrated based on some amount of projection,
even if some aspects of the system are still in
development. Thus, the authorization for lead time
accommodates the development of projected
technology.
224 See Standards of Performance for New
Residential Wood Heaters, New Residential
Hydronic Heaters and Forced-Air Furnaces, 80 FR
13672, 13676 (March 16, 2015).
225 See Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and
Natural Gas Sector Climate Review. 89 FR 16943
(March 8, 2024).
226 See id. at 16929.
227 See id. at 16937.
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commencement of a requirement to end
routine flaring and route associated gas
to a sales line.228
Finally, the EPA’s longstanding
regulations for new source performance
standards under CAA section 111
specifically authorize a minimum
period for lead time. Pursuant to 40 CFR
60.11, compliance with CAA section
111 standards is generally determined
in accordance with performance tests
conducted under 40 CFR 60.8. Both of
these regulatory provisions were
adopted in 1971. Under 40 CFR 60.8,
source performance is generally
measured via performance tests, which
must typically be carried out ‘‘within 60
days after achieving the maximum
production rate at which the affected
facility will be operated, but not later
than 180 days after initial startup of
such facility, or at such other times
specified by this part, and at such other
times as may be required by the
Administrator under section 114 of the
Act. . . .’’ 229 The fact that this
provision has been in place for over 50
years indicates that the EPA has long
recognized the need for lead time for at
least one component of control
development.230
c. Costs
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), in
determining whether a particular
emission control is the ‘‘best system of
emission reduction . . . adequately
demonstrated,’’ the EPA is required to
take into account ‘‘the cost of achieving
[the emission] reduction.’’ Although the
CAA does not describe how the EPA is
to account for costs to affected sources,
the D.C. Circuit has formulated the cost
standard in various ways, including
stating that the EPA may not adopt a
standard the cost of which would be
‘‘excessive’’ or ‘‘unreasonable.’’ 231 232
228 See
id. at 16886.
CFR 60.8.
230 For further discussion of lead time in the
context of this rulemaking, see section VIII.F.
231 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 343 (D.C.
Cir. 1981). See 79 FR 1430, 1464 (January 8, 2014);
Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933 (costs may
not be ‘‘exorbitant’’); Portland Cement Ass’n v. EPA,
513 F.2d 506, 508 (D.C. Cir. 1975) (costs may not
be ‘‘greater than the industry could bear and
survive’’).
232 These cost formulations are consistent with
the legislative history of CAA section 111. The 1977
House Committee Report noted:
In the [1970] Congress [sic: Congress’s] view, it
was only right that the costs of applying best
practicable control technology be considered by the
owner of a large new source of pollution as a
normal and proper expense of doing business.
1977 House Committee Report at 184. Similarly,
the 1970 Senate Committee Report stated:
The implicit consideration of economic factors in
determining whether technology is ‘‘available’’
should not affect the usefulness of this section. The
overriding purpose of this section would be to
229 40
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The EPA has discretion in its
consideration of cost under section
111(a), both in determining the
appropriate level of costs and in
balancing costs with other BSER
factors.233 To determine the BSER, the
EPA must weigh the relevant factors,
including the cost of controls and the
amount of emission reductions, as well
as other factors.234
The D.C. Circuit has repeatedly
upheld the EPA’s consideration of cost
in reviewing standards of performance.
In several cases, the court upheld
standards that entailed significant costs,
consistent with Congress’s view that
‘‘the costs of applying best practicable
control technology be considered by the
owner of a large new source of pollution
as a normal and proper expense of doing
business.’’ 235 See Essex Chemical Corp.
v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 440 (D.C.
Cir. 1973); 236 Portland Cement Ass’n v.
Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375, 387–88
(D.C. Cir. 1973); Sierra Club v. Costle,
657 F.2d 298, 313 (D.C. Cir. 1981)
(upholding NSPS imposing controls on
SO2 emissions from coal-fired power
plants when the ‘‘cost of the new
controls . . . is substantial. The EPA
estimates that utilities will have to
spend tens of billions of dollars by 1995
on pollution control under the new
NSPS.’’).
In its CAA section 111 rulemakings,
the EPA has frequently used a costeffectiveness metric, which determines
the cost in dollars for each ton or other
quantity of the regulated air pollutant
removed through the system of emission
reduction. See, e.g., 81 FR 35824 (June
3, 2016) (NSPS for GHG and VOC
emissions for the oil and natural gas
source category); 71 FR 9866, 9870
(February 27, 2006) (NSPS for NOX, SO2,
and PM emissions from fossil fuel-fired
electric utility steam generating units);
61 FR 9905, 9910 (March 12, 1996)
(NSPS and emission guidelines for
nonmethane organic compounds and
landfill gas from new and existing
municipal solid waste landfills); 50 FR
40158 (October 1, 1985) (NSPS for SO2
emissions from sweetening and sulfur
recovery units in natural gas processing
prevent new air pollution problems, and toward
that end, maximum feasible control of new sources
at the time of their construction is seen by the
committee as the most effective and, in the long
run, the least expensive approach.
S. Comm. Rep. No. 91–1196 at 16.
233 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 343 (D.C.
Cir. 1981).
234 Id. (EPA’s conclusion that the high cost of
control was acceptable was ‘‘a judgment call with
which we are not inclined to quarrel’’).
235 1977 House Committee Report at 184.
236 The costs for these standards were described
in the rulemakings. See 36 FR 24876 (December 23,
1971), 37 FR 5769 (March 21, 1972).
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plants). This metric allows the EPA to
compare the amount a regulation would
require sources to pay to reduce a
particular pollutant across regulations
and industries. In rules for the electric
power sector, the EPA has also looked
at a metric that determines the dollar
increase in the cost of a MWh of
electricity generated by the affected
sources due to the emission controls,
which shows the cost of controls
relative to the output of electricity. See
section VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble,
which discusses $/MWh costs of the
Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone
NAAQS (88 FR 36654; June 5, 2023) and
the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
(CSAPR) (76 FR 48208; August 8, 2011).
This metric facilitates comparing costs
across regulations and pollutants. In
these final actions, as explained herein,
the EPA looks at both of these metrics,
in addition to other cost evaluations, to
assess the cost reasonableness of the
final requirements. The EPA’s
consideration of cost reasonableness in
this way meets the statutory
requirement that the EPA take into
account ‘‘the cost of achieving [the
emission] reduction’’ under section
111(a)(1).
d. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), the EPA
is required to take into account ‘‘any
nonair quality health and environmental
impact and energy requirements’’ in
determining the BSER. Non-air quality
health and environmental impacts may
include the impacts of the disposal of
byproducts of the air pollution controls,
or requirements of the air pollution
control equipment for water. Portland
Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus, 465 F.2d
375, 387–88 (D.C. Cir. 1973), cert.
denied, 417 U.S. 921 (1974). Energy
requirements may include the impact, if
any, of the air pollution controls on the
source’s own energy needs.
e. Sector or Nationwide Component of
Factors in Determining the BSER
Another component of the D.C.
Circuit’s interpretations of CAA section
111 is that the EPA may consider the
various factors it is required to consider
on a national or regional level and over
time, and not only on a plant-specific
level at the time of the rulemaking.237
The D.C. Circuit based this
interpretation—which it made in the
1981 Sierra Club v. Costle case
regarding the NSPS for new power
237 See 79 FR 1430, 1465 (January 8, 2014) (citing
Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 351).
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39833
plants—on a review of the legislative
history, stating,
[T]he Reports from both Houses on the
Senate and House bills illustrate very clearly
that Congress itself was using a long-term
lens with a broad focus on future costs,
environmental and energy effects of different
technological systems when it discussed
section 111.238
The court has upheld EPA rules that
the EPA ‘‘justified . . . in terms of the
policies of the Act,’’ including balancing
long-term national and regional impacts.
For example, the court upheld a
standard of performance for SO2
emissions from new coal-fired power
plants on grounds that it—
reflects a balance in environmental,
economic, and energy consideration by being
sufficiently stringent to bring about
substantial reductions in SO2 emissions (3
million tons in 1995) yet does so at
reasonable costs without significant energy
penalties. . . .239
The EPA interprets this caselaw to
authorize it to assess the impacts of the
controls it is considering as the BSER,
including their costs and implications
for the energy system, on a sector-wide,
regional, or national basis, as
appropriate. For example, the EPA may
assess whether controls it is considering
would create risks to the reliability of
the electricity system in a particular
area or nationwide and, if they would,
to reject those controls as the BSER.
f. ‘‘Best’’
In determining which adequately
demonstrated system of emission
reduction is the ‘‘best,’’ the EPA has
broad discretion. In AEP v. Connecticut,
564 U.S. 410, 427 (2011), the Supreme
Court explained that under CAA section
111, ‘‘[t]he appropriate amount of
regulation in any particular greenhouse
gas-producing sector cannot be
prescribed in a vacuum: . . . informed
assessment of competing interests is
required. Along with the environmental
benefit potentially achievable, our
Nation’s energy needs and the
possibility of economic disruption must
weigh in the balance. The Clean Air Act
entrusts such complex balancing to the
EPA in the first instance, in
combination with state regulators. Each
‘‘standard of performance’’ the EPA sets
must ‘‘tak[e] into account the cost of
achieving [emissions] reduction and any
nonair quality health and environmental
impact and energy requirements.’’
(paragraphing revised; citations
omitted)).
238 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 331 (citations
omitted) (citing legislative history).
239 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 327–28
(quoting 44 FR 33583–84; June 11, 1979).
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Likewise, in Sierra Club v. Costle, 657
F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981), the court
explained that ‘‘section 111(a) explicitly
instructs the EPA to balance multiple
concerns when promulgating a
NSPS,’’ 240 and emphasized that ‘‘[t]he
text gives the EPA broad discretion to
weigh different factors in setting the
standard,’’ including the amount of
emission reductions, the cost of the
controls, and the non-air quality
environmental impacts and energy
requirements.241 And in Lignite Energy
Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir.
1999), the court reiterated:
Because section 111 does not set forth the
weight that should be assigned to each of
these factors, we have granted the agency a
great degree of discretion in balancing them
. . . . EPA’s choice [of the ‘best system’] will
be sustained unless the environmental or
economic costs of using the technology are
exorbitant . . . . EPA [has] considerable
discretion under section 111.242
Importantly, the courts recognize that
the EPA must consider several factors
and that determining what is ‘‘best’’
depends on how much weight to give
the factors. In promulgating certain
standards of performance, the EPA may
give greater weight to particular factors
than it does in promulgating other
standards of performance. Thus, the
determination of what is ‘‘best’’ is
complex and necessarily requires an
exercise of judgment. By analogy, the
question of who is the ‘‘best’’ sprinter in
the 100-meter dash primarily depends
on only one criterion—speed—and
therefore is relatively straightforward,
whereas the question of who is the
‘‘best’’ baseball player depends on a
more complex weighing of multiple
criteria and therefore requires a greater
exercise of judgment.
The term ‘‘best’’ also authorizes the
EPA to consider factors in addition to
the ones enumerated in CAA section
111(a)(1), that further the purpose of the
statute. In Portland Cement Ass’n v.
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240 Sierra
Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 319.
241 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 321; see also
New York v. Reilly, 969 F.2d at 1150 (because
Congress did not assign the specific weight the
Administrator should assign to the statutory
elements, ‘‘the Administrator is free to exercise
[her] discretion’’ in promulgating an NSPS).
242 Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933
(paragraphing revised for convenience). See New
York v. Reilly, 969 F.2d 1147, 1150 (D.C. Cir. 1992)
(‘‘Because Congress did not assign the specific
weight the Administrator should accord each of
these factors, the Administrator is free to exercise
his discretion in this area.’’); see also NRDC v. EPA,
25 F.3d 1063, 1071 (D.C. Cir. 1994) (The EPA did
not err in its final balancing because ‘‘neither RCRA
nor EPA’s regulations purports to assign any
particular weight to the factors listed in subsection
(a)(3). That being the case, the Administrator was
free to emphasize or deemphasize particular factors,
constrained only by the requirements of reasoned
agency decisionmaking.’’).
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Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir.
1973), the D.C. Circuit held that under
CAA section 111(a)(1) as it read prior to
the enactment of the 1977 CAA
Amendments that added a requirement
that the EPA take account of non-air
quality environmental impacts, the EPA
must consider ‘‘counter-productive
environmental effects’’ in Determining
the BSER. Id. at 385. The court
elaborated: ‘‘The standard of the ‘best
system’ is comprehensive, and we
cannot imagine that Congress intended
that ‘best’ could apply to a system
which did more damage to water than
it prevented to air.’’ Id., n.42. In Sierra
Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 326, 346–47,
the court added that the EPA must
consider the amount of emission
reductions and technology advancement
in determining BSER, as discussed in
section V.C.2.g of this preamble.
The court’s view that ‘‘best’’ includes
additional factors that further the
purpose of CAA section 111 is a
reasonable interpretation of that term in
its statutory context. The purpose of
CAA section 111 is to reduce emissions
of air pollutants that endanger public
health or welfare. CAA section
111(b)(1)(A). The court reasonably
surmised that the EPA’s determination
of whether a system of emission
reduction that reduced certain air
pollutants is ‘‘best’’ should be informed
by impacts that the system may have on
other pollutants that affect public or
welfare. Portland Cement Ass’n, 486
F.2d at 385. The Supreme Court
confirmed the D.C. Circuit’s approach in
Michigan v. EPA, 576 U.S. 743 (2015),
explaining that administrative agencies
must engage in ‘‘reasoned
decisionmaking’’ that, in the case of
pollution control, cannot be based on
technologies that ‘‘do even more damage
to human health’’ than the emissions
they eliminate. Id. at 751–52. After
Portland Cement Ass’n, Congress
revised CAA section 111(a)(1) to make
explicit that in determining whether a
system of emission reduction is the
‘‘best,’’ the EPA should account for nonair quality health and environmental
impacts. By the same token, the EPA
takes the position that in determining
whether a system of emission reduction
is the ‘‘best,’’ the EPA may account for
the impacts of the system on air
pollutants other than the ones that are
the subject of the CAA section 111
regulation.243 We discuss immediately
243 See generally Standards of Performance for
New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and
Natural Gas Sector Climate Review—Supplemental
Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 87 FR 74765
(December 6, 2022) (proposing the BSER for
reducing methane and VOC emissions from natural
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below other factors that the D.C. Circuit
has held the EPA should account for in
determining what system is the ‘‘best.’’
g. Amount of Emissions Reductions
Consideration of the amount of
emissions from the category of sources
or the amount of emission reductions
achieved as factors the EPA must
consider in determining the ‘‘best
system of emission reduction’’ is
implicit in the plain language of CAA
section 111(a)(1)—the EPA must choose
the best system of emission reduction.
Indeed, consistent with this plain
language and the purpose of CAA
section 111, the EPA must consider the
quantity of emissions at issue. See
Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 326
(D.C. Cir. 1981) (‘‘we can think of no
sensible interpretation of the statutory
words ‘‘best . . . system’’ which would
not incorporate the amount of air
pollution as a relevant factor to be
weighed when determining the optimal
standard for controlling . . .
emissions’’).244 The fact that the
purpose of a ‘‘system of emission
reduction’’ is to reduce emissions, and
that the term itself explicitly
incorporates the concept of reducing
emissions, supports the court’s view
that in determining whether a ‘‘system
of emission reduction’’ is the ‘‘best,’’ the
EPA must consider the amount of
emission reductions that the system
would yield. Even if the EPA were not
required to consider the amount of
emission reductions, the EPA has the
discretion to do so, on grounds that
either the term ‘‘system of emission
reduction’’ or the term ‘‘best’’ may
reasonably be read to allow that
discretion.
h. Expanded Use and Development of
Technology
The D.C. Circuit has long held that
Congress intended for CAA section 111
gas-driven controllers in the oil and natural gas
sector on the basis of, among other things, impacts
on emissions of criteria pollutants). In this
preamble, for convenience, the EPA generally
discusses the effects of controls on non-GHG air
pollutants along with the effects of controls on nonair quality health and environmental impacts.
244 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir.
1981) was governed by the 1977 CAAA version of
the definition of ‘‘standard of performance,’’ which
revised the phrase ‘‘best system of emission
reduction’’ to read, ‘‘best technological system of
continuous emission reduction.’’ As noted above,
the 1990 CAAA deleted ‘‘technological’’ and
‘‘continuous’’ and thereby returned the phrase to
how it read under the 1970 CAAA. The court’s
interpretation of the 1977 CAAA phrase in Sierra
Club v. Costle to require consideration of the
amount of air emissions focused on the term ‘‘best,’’
and the terms ‘‘technological’’ and ‘‘continuous’’
were irrelevant to its analysis. It thus remains valid
for the 1990 CAAA phrase ‘‘best system of emission
reduction.’’
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to create incentives for new technology
and therefore that the EPA is required
to consider technological innovation as
one of the factors in determining the
‘‘best system of emission reduction.’’
See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at
346–47. The court has grounded its
reading in the statutory text of CAA
111(a)(1), defining the term ‘‘standard of
performance.’’ 245 In addition, the
court’s interpretation finds support in
the legislative history.246 The legislative
history identifies three different ways
that Congress designed CAA section 111
to authorize standards of performance
that promote technological
improvement: (1) The development of
technology that may be treated as the
‘‘best system of emission reduction . . .
adequately demonstrated;’’ under CAA
section 111(a)(1); 247 (2) the expanded
use of the best demonstrated
technology; 248 and (3) the development
of emerging technology.249 Even if the
EPA were not required to consider
technological innovation as part of its
determination of the BSER, it would be
reasonable for the EPA to consider it
because technological innovation may
be considered an element of the term
‘‘best,’’ particularly in light of
Congress’s emphasis on technological
innovation.
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i. Achievability of the Degree of
Emission Limitation
For new sources, CAA section
111(b)(1)(B) and (a)(1) provides that the
EPA must establish ‘‘standards of
performance,’’ which are standards for
emissions that reflect the degree of
emission limitation that is ‘‘achievable’’
through the application of the BSER. A
245 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 346 (‘‘Our
interpretation of section 111(a) is that the mandated
balancing of cost, energy, and non-air quality health
and environmental factors embraces consideration
of technological innovation as part of that balance.
The statutory factors which EPA must weigh are
broadly defined and include within their ambit
subfactors such as technological innovation.’’).
246 See S. Rep. No. 91–1196 at 16 (1970)
(‘‘Standards of performance should provide an
incentive for industries to work toward constant
improvement in techniques for preventing and
controlling emissions from stationary sources’’); S.
Rep. No. 95–127 at 17 (1977) (cited in Sierra Club
v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 346 n.174) (‘‘The section 111
Standards of Performance . . . sought to assure the
use of available technology and to stimulate the
development of new technology’’).
247 Portland Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus, 486
F.2d 375, 391 (D.C. Cir. 1973) (the best system of
emission reduction must ‘‘look[ ] toward what may
fairly be projected for the regulated future, rather
than the state of the art at present’’).
248 1970 Senate Committee Report No. 91–1196 at
15 (‘‘The maximum use of available means of
preventing and controlling air pollution is essential
to the elimination of new pollution problems’’).
249 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 351
(upholding a standard of performance designed to
promote the use of an emerging technology).
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standard of performance is ‘‘achievable’’
if a technology can reasonably be
projected to be available to an
individual source at the time it is
constructed that will allow it to meet
the standard.250 Moreover, according to
the court, ‘‘[a]n achievable standard is
one which is within the realm of the
adequately demonstrated system’s
efficiency and which, while not at a
level that is purely theoretical or
experimental, need not necessarily be
routinely achieved within the industry
prior to its adoption.’’ 251 To be
achievable, a standard ‘‘must be capable
of being met under most adverse
conditions which can reasonably be
expected to recur and which are not or
cannot be taken into account in
determining the ‘costs’ of
compliance.’’ 252 To show a standard is
achievable, the EPA must ‘‘(1) identify
variable conditions that might
contribute to the amount of expected
emissions, and (2) establish that the test
data relied on by the agency are
representative of potential industrywide performance, given the range of
variables that affect the achievability of
the standard.’’ 253
Although the courts have established
these standards for achievability in
cases concerning CAA section 111(b)
new source standards of performance,
generally comparable standards for
achievability should apply under CAA
section 111(d), although the BSER may
differ in some cases as between new and
existing sources due to, for example,
higher costs of retrofit. 40 FR 53340
(November 17, 1975). For existing
sources, CAA section 111(d)(1) requires
the EPA to establish requirements for
state plans that, in turn, must include
‘‘standards of performance.’’ As the
Supreme Court has recognized, this
provision requires the EPA to
promulgate emission guidelines that
determine the BSER for a source
category and then identify the degree of
emission limitation achievable by
250 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 364, n.276
(D.C. Cir. 1981).
251 Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d
427, 433–34 (D.C. Cir. 1973), cert. denied, 416 U.S.
969 (1974).
252 Nat’l Lime Ass’n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416, 433,
n.46 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
253 Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 377 (D.C.
Cir. 1981) (citing Nat’l Lime Ass’n v. EPA, 627 F.2d
416 (D.C. Cir. 1980). In considering the
representativeness of the source tested, the EPA
may consider such variables as the ‘‘ ‘feedstock,
operation, size and age’ of the source.’’ Nat’l Lime
Ass’n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416, 433 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
Moreover, it may be sufficient to ‘‘generalize from
a sample of one when one is the only available
sample, or when that one is shown to be
representative of the regulated industry along
relevant parameters.’’ Nat’l Lime Ass’n v. EPA, 627
F.2d 416, 434, n.52 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
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39835
application of the BSER. See West
Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 710.254
The EPA has promulgated emission
guidelines on the basis that the existing
sources can achieve the degree of
emission limitation described therein,
even though under the RULOF
provision of CAA section 111(d)(1), the
state retains discretion to apply
standards of performance to individual
sources that are less stringent, which
indicates that Congress recognized that
the EPA may promulgate emission
guidelines that are consistent with CAA
section 111(d) even though certain
individual sources may not be able to
achieve the degree of emission
limitation identified therein by applying
the controls that the EPA determined to
be the BSER. Note further that this
requirement that the emission limitation
be ‘‘achievable’’ based on the ‘‘best
system of emission reduction . . .
adequately demonstrated’’ indicates that
the technology or other measures that
the EPA identifies as the BSER must be
technically feasible.
3. EPA Promulgation of Emission
Guidelines for States To Establish
Standards of Performance
CAA section 111(d)(1) directs the EPA
to promulgate regulations establishing a
procedure similar to that provided by
CAA section 110 under which states
submit state plans that establish
‘‘standards of performance’’ for
emissions of certain air pollutants from
sources which, if they were new
sources, would be regulated under CAA
section 111(b), and that provide for the
implementation and enforcement of
such standards of performance. The
term ‘‘standard of performance’’ is
defined under CAA section 111(a)(1),
quoted above. Thus, CAA sections
111(a)(1) and (d)(1) collectively require
the EPA to determine the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER to existing
sources and to establish regulations
under which states establish standards
of performance reflecting that degree of
emission limitation. The EPA addresses
both responsibilities through its
emission guidelines, as well as through
its general implementing regulations for
CAA section 111(d). Consistent with the
statutory requirements, the general
implementing regulations require that
the EPA’s emission guidelines reflect—
the degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the best system of
emission reduction which (taking into
account the cost of such reduction and any
non-air quality health and environmental
254 40
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impact and energy requirements) the
Administrator has determined has been
adequately demonstrated from designated
facilities.255
Following the EPA’s promulgation of
emission guidelines, each state must
establish standards of performance for
its existing sources, which the EPA’s
regulations call ‘‘designated
facilities.’’ 256 Such standards of
performance must reflect the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
application of the best system of
emission reduction as determined by
the EPA, which the Agency may express
as a presumptive standard of
performance in the applicable emission
guidelines.
While the standards of performance
that states establish in their plans must
generally be no less stringent than the
degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA,257 CAA section
111(d)(1) also requires that the EPA’s
regulations ‘‘permit the State in
applying a standard of performance to
any particular source . . . to take into
consideration, among other factors, the
remaining useful life of the existing
source to which such standard applies.’’
Consistent with this statutory direction,
the EPA’s general implementing
regulations for CAA section 111(d)
provide a framework for states’
consideration of remaining useful life
and other factors (referred to as
‘‘RULOF’’) when applying a standard of
performance to a particular source. In
November 2023, the EPA finalized
clarifications to its regulations
governing states’ consideration of
RULOF to apply less stringent standards
of performance to particular existing
sources. As amended, these regulations
provide that states may apply a standard
of performance to a particular
designated facility that is less stringent
than, or has a longer compliance
schedule than, otherwise required by
the applicable emission guideline taking
into consideration that facility’s
remaining useful life and other factors.
255 40
CFR 60.21a(e).
CFR 60.21a(b), 60.24a(b).
257 As the Supreme Court explained in West
Virginia v. EPA, ‘‘Although the States set the actual
rules governing existing power plants, EPA itself
still retains the primary regulatory role in Section
111(d).’’ 597 U.S. at 710. The Court elaborated that
‘‘[t]he Agency, not the States, decides the amount
of pollution reduction that must ultimately be
achieved. It does so by again determining, as when
setting the new source rules, ‘the best system of
emission reduction . . . that has been adequately
demonstrated for [existing covered] facilities.’ 40
CFR 60.22(b)(5) (2021); see also 80 FR 64664, and
n.1. The States then submit plans containing the
emissions restrictions that they intend to adopt and
enforce in order not to exceed the permissible level
of pollution established by EPA. See §§ 60.23,
60.24; 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)(1).’’ Id.
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256 40
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To apply a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance
schedule, the state must demonstrate
with respect to each facility (or class of
such facilities), that the facility cannot
reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation determined by the
EPA based on unreasonable cost of
control resulting from plant age,
location, or basic process design;
physical impossibility or technical
infeasibility of installing necessary
control equipment; or other
circumstances specific to the facility. In
doing so, the state must demonstrate
that there are fundamental differences
between the information specific to a
facility (or class of such facilities) and
the information the EPA considered in
determining the degree of emission
limitation achievable through
application of the BSER or the
compliance schedule that make
achieving such degree of emission
reduction or meeting such compliance
schedule unreasonable for that facility.
In addition, under CAA section 116,
states may establish standard of
performances that are more stringent
than the presumptive standards of
performance contained in the EPA’s
emission guidelines.258 The state must
include the standards of performance in
their state plans and submit the plans to
the EPA for review according to the
procedures established in the Agency’s
general implementing regulations for
CAA section 111(d).259 Under CAA
section 111(d)(2)(A), the EPA approves
state plans that are determined to be
‘‘satisfactory.’’ CAA section 111(d)(2)(A)
also gives the Agency ‘‘the same
authority’’ as under CAA section 110(c)
to promulgate a Federal plan in cases
where a state fails to submit a
satisfactory state plan.
VI. ACE Rule Repeal
The EPA is finalizing repeal of the
ACE Rule. The EPA proposed to repeal
the ACE Rule and did not receive
significant comments objecting to the
proposal. The EPA is finalizing the
proposal largely as proposed. A general
summary of the ACE Rule, including its
regulatory and judicial history, is
included in section V.B.4 of this
preamble. The EPA repeals the ACE
Rule on three grounds that each
independently justify the rule’s repeal.
First, as a policy matter, the EPA
concludes that the suite of heat rate
improvements (HRI) the ACE Rule
selected as the BSER is not an
appropriate BSER for existing coal-fired
EGUs. In the EPA’s technical judgment,
258 40
CFR 60.24a(i).
generally 40 CFR 60.23a–60.28a.
259 See
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the suite of HRI set forth in the ACE
Rule provide negligible CO2 reductions
at best and, in many cases, may increase
CO2 emissions because of the ‘‘rebound
effect,’’ as explained in section
VII.D.4.a.iii of this preamble. These
concerns, along with the EPA’s
experience in implementing the ACE
Rule, cast doubt that the ACE Rule
would achieve emission reductions and
increase the likelihood that the ACE
Rule could make CO2 pollution worse.
As a result, the EPA has determined it
is appropriate to repeal the rule, and to
reevaluate whether other technologies
constitute the BSER.
Second, even assuming the ACE
Rule’s rejection of CCS and natural gas
co-firing was supported at the time, the
ACE Rule’s rationale for rejecting CCS
and natural gas co-firing as the BSER no
longer applies because of new factual
developments. Since the ACE Rule was
promulgated, changes in the power
industry, developments in the costs of
controls, and new federal subsidies have
made other controls more broadly
available and less expensive.
Considering these developments, the
EPA has determined that co-firing with
natural gas and CCS are the BSER for
certain subcategories of sources as
described in section VII.C of this
preamble, and that the HRI technologies
adopted by the ACE Rule are not the
BSER. Thus, repeal of the ACE Rule is
proper on this ground as well.
Third, the EPA concludes that the
ACE Rule conflicted with CAA section
111 and the EPA’s implementing
regulations because it did not
specifically identify the BSER or the
‘‘degree of emission limitation
achievable though application of the
[BSER].’’ Instead, the ACE Rule
described only a broad range of values
as the ‘‘degree of emission limitation
achievable.’’ In doing so, the rule did
not provide the states with adequate
guidance on the degree of emission
limitation that must be reflected in the
standards of performance so that a state
plan would be approvable by the EPA.
The ACE Rule is repealed for this reason
also.
A. Summary of Selected Features of the
ACE Rule
The ACE Rule determined that the
BSER for coal-fired EGUs was a ‘‘list of
‘candidate technologies,’ ’’ consisting of
seven types of the ‘‘most impactful HRI
technologies, equipment upgrades, and
best operating and maintenance
practices,’’ (84 FR 32536; July 8, 2019),
including, among others, ‘‘Boiler Feed
Pumps’’ and ‘‘Redesign/Replace
Economizer.’’ Id. at 32537 (table 1). The
rule provided a range of improvements
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in heat rate that each of the seven
‘‘candidate technologies’’ could achieve
if applied to coal-fired EGUs of different
capacities. For six of the technologies,
the expected level of improvement in
heat rate ranged from 0.1–0.4 percent to
1.0–2.9 percent, and for the seventh
technology, ‘‘Improved Operating and
Maintenance (O&M) Practices,’’ the
range was ‘‘0 to >2%.’’ Id. The ACE Rule
explained that states must review each
of their designated facilities, on either a
source-by-source or group-of-sources
basis, and ‘‘evaluate the applicability of
each of the candidate technologies.’’ Id.
at 32550. States were to use the list of
HRI technologies ‘‘as guidance but will
be expected to conduct unit-specific
evaluations of HRI potential, technical
feasibility, and applicability for each of
the BSER candidate technologies.’’ Id. at
32538.
The ACE Rule emphasized that states
had ‘‘inherent flexibility’’ in evaluating
candidate technologies with ‘‘a wide
range of potential outcomes.’’ Id. at
32542. The ACE Rule provided that
states could conclude that it was not
appropriate to apply some technologies.
Id. at 32550. Moreover, if a state decided
to apply a particular technology to a
particular source, the state could
determine the level of heat rate
improvement from the technology could
be anywhere within the range that the
EPA had identified for that technology,
or even outside that range. Id. at 32551.
The ACE Rule stated that after the state
evaluated the technologies and
calculated the amount of HRI in this
way, it should determine the standard of
performance 0that the source could
achieve, Id. at 32550, and then adjust
that standard further based on the
application of source-specific factors
such as remaining useful life. Id. at
32551.
The ACE Rule then identified the
process by which states had to take
these actions. States must ‘‘evaluat[e]
each’’ of the seven candidate
technologies and provide a summary,
which ‘‘include[s] an evaluation of the
. . . degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the
technologies.’’ Id. at 32580. Then, the
state must provide a variety of
information about each power plant,
including, the plant’s ‘‘annual
generation,’’ ‘‘CO2 emissions,’’ ‘‘[f]uel
use, fuel price, and carbon content,’’
‘‘operation and maintenance costs,’’
‘‘[h]eat rates,’’ ‘‘[e]lectric generating
capacity,’’ and the ‘‘timeline for
implementation,’’ among other
information. Id. at 32581. The EPA
explained that the purpose of this data
was to allow the Agency to ‘‘adequately
and appropriately review the plan to
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determine whether it is satisfactory.’’ Id.
at 32558.
The ACE Rule projected a very low
level of overall emission reduction if
states generally applied the set of
candidate technologies to their sources.
The rule was projected to achieve a lessthan-1-percent reduction in powersector CO2 emissions by 2030.260
Further, the EPA also projected that it
would increase CO2 emissions from
power plants in 15 states and the
District of Columbia because of the
‘‘rebound effect’’ as coal-fired sources
implemented HRI measures and became
more efficient. This phenomenon is
explained in more detail in section
VII.D.4.a.iii of this document.261
The ACE Rule considered several
other control measures as the BSER,
including co-firing with natural gas and
CCS, but rejected them. The ACE Rule
rejected co-firing with natural gas
primarily on grounds that it was too
costly in general. 84 FR 32545 (July 8,
2019). The rule also concluded that
generating electricity by co-firing
natural gas in a utility boiler would be
an inefficient use of the gas when
compared to combusting it in a
combustion turbine. Id. The ACE Rule
rejected CCS on grounds that it was too
costly. Id. at 32548. The rule identified
the high capital and operating costs of
CCS and noted the fact that the IRC
section 45Q tax credit, as it then
applied, would provide only limited
benefit to sources. Id. at 32548–49.
B. Developments Undermining ACE
Rule’s Projected Emission Reductions
The EPA’s first basis for repealing the
ACE Rule is that it is unlikely that—if
implemented—the rule would reduce
emissions, and implementation could
increase CO2 emissions instead. Thus,
the EPA concludes that as a matter of
policy it is appropriate to repeal the rule
and evaluate anew whether other
technologies qualify as the BSER.
Two factors, taken together,
undermine the ACE Rule’s projected
emission reductions and create the risk
that implementation of the ACE Rule
could increase—rather than reduce—
CO2 emissions from coal-fired EGUs.
First, HRI technologies achieve only
limited GHG emission reductions. The
ACE Rule projected that if states
generally applied the set of candidate
technologies to their sources, the rule
would achieve a less-than-1-percent
reduction in power-sector CO2
emissions by 2030.262 The EPA now
doubts that even these minimal
reductions would be achieved. The ACE
Rule’s projected benefits were premised
in part on a 2009 technical report by
Sargent & Lundy that evaluated the
effects of HRI technologies. In 2023,
Sargent & Lundy issued an updated
report which details that the HRI
selected as the BSER in the ACE Rule
would bring fewer emissions reductions
than estimated in 2009. The 2023 report
concludes that, with few exceptions,
HRI technologies are less effective at
reducing CO2 emissions than assumed
in 2009. Further reinforcing the
conclusion that HRIs would bring few
reductions, the 2023 report also
concluded that most sources had
already optimized application of HRIs,
and so there are fewer opportunities to
reduce emissions than previously
anticipated.263
Second, for a subset of sources, HRI
are likely to cause a ‘‘rebound effect’’
leading to an increase in GHG emissions
for those sources. The rebound effect is
explained in detail in section
VII.D.4.a.iii of this preamble. The ACE
Rule’s analysis projected that the rule
would increase CO2 emissions from
power plants in 15 states and the
District of Columbia. The EPA’s
modeling projections assumed that,
consistent with the rule, some sources
would impose a small degree of
efficiency improvements. The modeling
showed that, as a consequence of these
improvements, the rule would increase
absolute emissions at some coal-fired
sources as these sources became more
efficient and displaced lower emitting
sources like natural gas-fired EGUs.264
Even though the ACE Rule was
projected to increase emissions in many
states, these states were nevertheless
obligated under the rule to assemble
detailed state plans that evaluated
available technologies and the
performance of each existing coal-fired
power plant, as described in section
IX.A of this preamble. For example, the
state was required to analyze the plant’s
‘‘annual generation,’’ ‘‘CO2 emissions,’’
‘‘[f]uel use, fuel price, and carbon
content,’’ ‘‘operation and maintenance
262 ACE
260 ACE
Rule RIA 3–11, table 3–3.
261 The rebound effect becomes evident by
comparing the results of the ACE Rule IPM runs for
the 2018 reference case, EPA, IPM State-Level
Emissions: EPAv6 November 2018 Reference Case,
Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2017–0355–
26720, and for the ‘‘Illustrative ACE Scenario. IPM
State-Level Emissions: Illustrative ACE Scenario,
Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2017–0355–
26724.
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39837
Rule RIA 3–11, table 3–3.
and Lundy. Heat Rate Improvement
Method Costs and Limitations Memo. Available in
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072.
264 See EPA, IPM State-Level Emissions: EPAv6
November 2018 Reference Case, Document ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2017–0355–26720 (providing ACE
reference case); IPM State-Level Emissions:
Illustrative ACE Scenario, Document ID No. EPA–
HQ–OAR–2017–0355–26724 (providing illustrative
scenario).
263 Sargent
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costs,’’ ‘‘[h]eat rates,’’ ‘‘[e]lectric
generating capacity,’’ and the ‘‘timeline
for implementation,’’ among other
information. 84 FR 32581 (July 8, 2019).
The risk of an increase in emissions
raises doubts that the HRI for coal-fired
sources satisfies the statutory criteria to
constitute the BSER for this category of
sources. The core element of the BSER
analysis is whether the emission
reduction technology selected reduces
emissions. See Essex Chem. Corp. v.
Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 441 (D.C.
Cir. 1973) (noting ‘‘counter productive
environmental effects’’ raises questions
as to whether the BSER selected was in
fact the ‘‘best’’). Moreover, this
evaluation and the imposition of
standards of performance was mandated
even though the state plan would lead
to an increase rather than decrease CO2
emissions. Imposing such an obligation
on states under these circumstances was
arbitrary.
The EPA’s experience in
implementing the ACE Rule reinforces
these concerns. After the ACE Rule was
promulgated, one state drafted a state
plan that set forth a standard of
performance that allowed the affected
source to increase its emission rate. The
draft partial plan would have applied to
one source, the Longview Power, LLC
facility, and would have established a
standard of performance, based on the
state’s consideration of the ‘‘candidate
technologies,’’ that was higher (i.e., less
stringent) than the source’s historical
emission rate. Thus, the draft plan
would not have achieved any emission
reductions from the source, and instead
would have allowed the source to
increase its emissions, if it had been
finalized.265
Because there is doubt that the
minimal reductions projected by the
ACE Rule would be achieved, and
because the rebound effect could lead to
an increase in emissions for many
sources in many states, the EPA
concludes that it is appropriate to repeal
the ACE Rule and reevaluate the BSER
for this category of sources.
C. Developments Showing That Other
Technologies Are the BSER for This
Source Category
Since the promulgation of the ACE
Rule in 2019, the factual underpinnings
of the rule have changed in several ways
and lead the EPA to determine that HRI
are not the BSER for coal-fired power
plants. This reevaluation is consistent
265 West Virginia CAA § 111(d) Partial Plan for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Existing Electric
Utility Generating Units (EGUs), https://dep.wv.gov/
daq/publicnoticeandcomment/Documents/
Proposed%20WV%20ACE%20State%20Partial
%20Plan.pdf.
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with FCC v. Fox Television Stations,
Inc., 556 U.S. 502 (2009). There, the
Supreme Court explained that an agency
issuing a new policy ‘‘need not
demonstrate to a court’s satisfaction that
the reasons for the new policy are better
than the reasons for the old one.’’
Instead, ‘‘it suffices that the new policy
is permissible under the statute, that
there are good reasons for it, and that
the agency believes it to be better, which
the conscious change of course
adequately indicates.’’ Id. at 514–16
(emphasis in original; citation omitted).
Along with changes in the anticipated
reductions from HRI, it makes sense for
the EPA to reexamine the BSER because
the costs of two control measures, cofiring with natural gas and CCS, have
fallen for sources with longer-term
operating horizons. As noted, the ACE
Rule rejected natural gas co-firing as the
BSER on grounds that it was too costly
and would lead to inefficient use of
natural gas. But as discussed in section
VII.C.2.b of this preamble, the costs of
natural gas co-firing are presently
reasonable, and the EPA concludes that
the costs of co-firing 40 percent by
volume natural gas are cost-effective for
existing coal-fired EGUs that intend to
operate after January 1, 2032, and cease
operation before January 1, 2039. In
addition, changed circumstances—
including that natural gas is available in
greater amounts, that many coal-fired
EGUs have begun co-firing with natural
gas or converted wholly to natural-gas,
and that there are fewer coal-fired EGUs
in operation—mitigate the concerns the
ACE Rule identified about inefficient
use of natural gas.
Similarly, the ACE Rule rejected CCS
as the BSER on grounds that it was too
costly. But the costs of CCS have
substantially declined, as discussed in
section VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble,
partly because of developments in the
technology that have lowered capital
costs, and partly because the IRA
extended and increased the IRS section
45Q tax credit so that it defrays a higher
portion of the costs of CCS.
Accordingly, for coal-fired EGUs that
will continue to operate past 2039, the
EPA concludes that the costs of CCS are
reasonable, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble.
The emission reductions from these
two technologies are substantial. For
long-term coal-fired steam generating
units, the BSER of 90 percent capture
CCS results in substantial CO2
emissions reductions amounting to
emission rates that are 88.4 percent
lower on a lb/MWh-gross basis and 87.1
percent lower on a lb/MWh-net basis
compared to units without capture, as
described in section VII.C.2.b.iv of this
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preamble. For medium term units, the
BSER of 40 percent natural gas co-firing
achieves CO2 stack emissions reductions
of 16 percent, as described in section
VII.C.2.b.iv of this preamble. Given the
availability of more effective, costreasonable technology, the EPA
concludes that HRIs are not the BSER
for all coal-fired EGUs.
The EPA is thus finalizing a new
policy for coal-fired power plants. This
rule applies to those sources that intend
to operate past January 1, 2032. For
sources that intend to cease operations
after January 1, 2032, but before January
1, 2039, the EPA concludes that the
BSER is co-firing 40 percent by volume
natural gas. The EPA concludes this
control measure is appropriate because
it achieves substantial reductions at
reasonable cost. In addition, the EPA
believes that because a large supply of
natural gas is available, devoting part of
this supply for fuel for a coal-fired
steam generating unit in place of a
percentage of the coal burned at the unit
is an appropriate use of natural gas and
will not adversely impact the energy
system, as described in section
VII.C.2.b.iii(B) of this preamble. For
sources that intend to operate past
January 1, 2039, the EPA concludes that
the BSER is CCS with 90 percent
capture of CO2. The EPA believes that
this control measure is appropriate
because it achieves substantial
reductions at reasonable cost, as
described in section VII.C.1 of this
preamble.
The EPA is not concluding that HRI
is the BSER for any coal-fired EGUs. As
discussed in section VII.D.4.a, the EPA
does not consider HRIs an appropriate
BSER for coal-fired EGUs because these
technologies would achieve few, if any,
emissions reductions and may increase
emissions due to the rebound effect.
Most importantly, changed
circumstances show that co-firing
natural gas and CCS are available at
reasonable cost, and will achieve more
GHG emissions reductions.
Accordingly, the EPA believes that HRI
do not qualify as the BSER for any coalfired EGUs, and that other approaches
meet the statutory standard. On this
basis, the EPA repeals the ACE Rule.
D. Insufficiently Precise Degree of
Emission Limitation Achievable From
Application of the BSER
The third independent reason why
the EPA is repealing the ACE Rule is
that the rule did not identify with
sufficient specificity the BSER or the
degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the BSER.
Thus, states lacked adequate guidance
on the BSER they should consider and
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level of emission reduction that the
standards of performance must achieve.
The ACE Rule determined the BSER to
be a suite of HRI ‘‘candidate
technologies,’’ but did not identify with
specificity the degree of emission
limitation states should apply in
developing standards of performance for
their sources. As a result, the ACE Rule
conflicted with CAA section 111 and
the implementing regulations, and thus
failed to provide states adequate
guidance so that they could ensure that
their state plans were satisfactory and
approvable by the EPA.
CAA section 111 and the EPA’s
longstanding implementing regulations
establish a clear process for the EPA and
states to regulate emissions of certain air
pollutants from existing sources. ‘‘The
statute directs the EPA to (1)
‘determine[ ],’ taking into account
various factors, the ‘best system of
emission reduction which . . . has been
adequately demonstrated,’ (2) ascertain
the ‘degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application’ of
that system, and (3) impose an
emissions limit on new stationary
sources that ‘reflects’ that amount.’’
West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 709
(quoting 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)). Further,
‘‘[a]lthough the States set the actual
rules governing existing power plants,
EPA itself still retains the primary
regulatory role in Section 111(d) . . .
[and] decides the amount of pollution
reduction that must ultimately be
achieved.’’ Id. at 2602.
Once the EPA makes these
determinations, the state must establish
‘‘standards of performance’’ for its
sources that are based on the degree of
emission limitation that the EPA
determines in the emission guidelines.
CAA section 111(a)(1) makes this clear
through its definition of ‘‘standard of
performance’’ as ‘‘a standard for
emissions of air pollutants which
reflects the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the [BSER].’’ After the
EPA determines the BSER, 40 CFR
60.22(b)(5), and the degree of emission
limitation achievable from application
of the BSER, ‘‘the States then submit
plans containing the emissions
restrictions that they intend to adopt
and enforce in order not to exceed the
permissible level of pollution
established by EPA.’’ 597 U.S. at 710
(citing 40 CFR 60.23, 60.24; 42 U.S.C.
7411(d)(1)).
The EPA then reviews the plan and
approves it if the standards of
performance are ‘‘satisfactory,’’ under
CAA section 111(d)(2)(A). The EPA’s
longstanding implementing regulations
make clear that the EPA’s basis for
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determining whether the plan is
‘‘satisfactory’’ includes that the plan
must contain ‘‘emission standards . . .
no less stringent than the corresponding
emission guideline(s).’’ 40 CFR 60.24(c),
40 CFR 60.24a(c). In addition, under
CAA section 111(d)(1), in ‘‘applying a
standard of performance to any
particular source’’ a state may consider,
‘‘among other factors, the remaining
useful life of the existing source to
which such standard applies.’’ This is
also known as the RULOF provision and
is discussed in section X.C.2 of this
preamble.
In the ACE Rule, the EPA recognized
that the CAA required it to determine
the BSER and identify the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER. 84 FR 32537
(July 8, 2019). But the rule did not make
those determinations. Rather, the ACE
Rule described the BSER as a list of
‘‘candidate technologies.’’ And the rule
described the degree of emission
limitation achievable by application of
the BSER as ranges of reductions from
the HRI technologies. The rule thus
shifted the responsibility for
determining the BSER and degree of
emission limitation achievable from the
EPA to the states. Accordingly, the ACE
Rule did not meet the CAA section 111
requirement that the EPA determine the
BSER or the degree of emission
limitation from application of the BSER.
As described above, the ACE Rule
identified the HRI in the form of a list
of seven ‘‘candidate technologies,’’
accompanied by a wide range of
percentage improvements to heat rate
that these technologies could provide.
Indeed, for one of them, improved
‘‘O&M’’ practices (that is, operation and
management practices), the range was
‘‘0 to >2%,’’ which is effectively
unbounded. 84 FR 32537 (table 1) (July
8, 2019). The ACE Rule was clear that
this list was simply the starting point for
a state to calculate the standards of
performance for its sources. That is, the
seven sets of technologies were
‘‘candidate[s]’’ that the state could apply
to determine the standard of
performance for a source, and if the
state did choose to apply one or more
of them, the state could do so in a
manner that yielded any percentage of
heat rate improvement within the range
that the EPA identified, or even outside
that range. Thus, as a practical matter,
the ACE Rule did not determine the
BSER or any degree of emission
limitation from application of the BSER,
and so states had no guidance on how
to craft approvable state plans. In this
way, the ACE Rule did not adhere to the
applicable statutory obligations. See 84
FR 32537–38 (July 8, 2019).
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39839
The only constraints that the ACE
Rule imposed on the states were
procedural ones, and those did not give
the EPA any benchmark to determine
whether a plan could be approved or
give the states any certainty on whether
their plan would be approved. As noted
above, when a state submitted its plan,
it needed to show that it evaluated each
candidate technology for each source or
group of sources, explain how it
determined the degree of emission
limitation achievable, and include data
about the sources. But because the ACE
Rule did not identify a BSER or include
a degree of emission limitation that the
standards must reflect, the states lacked
specific guidance on how to craft
adequate standards of performance, and
the EPA had no benchmark against
which to evaluate whether a state’s
submission was ‘‘satisfactory’’ under
CAA section 111(d)(2)(A). Thus, the
EPA’s review of state plans would be
essentially a standardless exercise,
notwithstanding the Agency’s
longstanding view that it was
‘‘essential’’ that ‘‘EPA review . . . [state]
plans for their substantive adequacy.’’
40 FR 53342–43 (November 17, 1975).
In 1975, the EPA explained that it was
not appropriate to limit its review based
‘‘solely on procedural criteria’’ because
otherwise ‘‘states could set extremely
lenient standards . . . so long as EPA’s
procedural requirements were met.’’ Id.
at 53343.
Finally, the ACE Rule’s approach to
determining the BSER and degree of
emission limitation departed from prior
emission guidelines under CAA section
111(d), in which the EPA included a
numeric degree of emission limitation.
See, e.g., 42 FR 55796, 55797 (October
18, 1977) (limiting emission rate of acid
mist from sulfuric acid plants to 0.25
grams per kilogram of acid); 44 FR
29829 (May 22, 1979) (limiting
concentrations of total reduced sulfur
from most of the subcategories of kraft
pulp mills, such as digester systems and
lime kilns, to 5, 20, or 25 ppm over 12hour averages); 61 FR 9919 (March 12,
1996) (limiting concentration of nonmethane organic compounds from solid
waste landfills to 20 parts per million by
volume or a 98 percent reduction). The
ACE Rule did not grapple with this
change in position as required by FCC
v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 556 U.S.
502 (2009), or explain why it was
appropriate to provide a boundless
degree of emission limitation achievable
in this context.
The EPA is finalizing the repeal the
ACE Rule on this ground as well. The
ACE Rule’s failure to determine the
BSER and the associated degree of
emission limitation achievable from
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application of the BSER deviated from
CAA section 111 and the implementing
regulations. Without these
determinations, the ACE Rule lacked
any benchmark that would guide the
states in developing their state plans,
and by which the EPA could determine
whether those state plans were
satisfactory.
For each of these three, independent
reasons, repeal of the ACE Rule is
proper.
E. Withdrawal of Proposed NSR
Revisions
In addition to repealing the ACE Rule,
the Agency is withdrawing the proposed
revisions to the NSR applicability
provisions that were included the ACE
Rule proposal (83 FR 44756, 44773–83;
August 31, 2018). These proposed
revisions would have included an
hourly emissions rate test to determine
NSR applicability for a modified EGU,
with the expressed purpose of
alleviating permitting burdens for
sources undertaking HRI projects
pursuant to the ACE Rule emission
guidelines. The ACE Rule final action
did not include the NSR revisions, and
the EPA indicated in that preamble that
it intended to take final action on the
NSR proposal in a separate action at a
later date. However, the EPA did not
take a final action on the NSR revisions,
and the EPA has decided to no longer
pursue them and to withdraw the
proposed revisions.
Withdrawal of the proposal to
establish an hourly emissions test for
NSR applicability for EGUs is
appropriate because of the repeal of the
ACE rule and the EPA’s conclusion that
HRI is not the BSER for coal-fired EGUs.
The EPA’s basis for proposing the NSR
revisions was to ease permitting
burdens for state agencies and sources
that may result from implementing the
ACE Rule. There was concern that, for
sources that modified their EGU to
improve the heat rate, if a source were
to be dispatched more frequently
because of improved efficiency (the
‘‘rebound effect’’), the source could
experience an increase in absolute
emissions for one or more pollutants
and potentially trigger major NSR
requirements. The hourly emissions rate
test was proposed to relieve such
sources that were undertaking HRI
projects to comply with their state plans
from the burdens of NSR permitting,
particularly in cases in which a source
has an increase in annual emissions of
a pollutant. However, given that this
final rule BSER is not based on HRIs for
coal-fired EGUs, the NSR revisions
proposed as part of the ACE Rule would
no longer serve the purpose that the
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EPA expressed in that proposal
preamble.
Furthermore, in the event that any
sources are increasing their absolute
emissions after modifying an EGU,
applicability of the NSR program is
beneficial as a backstop that provides
review of those situations to determine
if additional controls or other emission
limitations are necessary on a case-bycase basis to protect air quality. In
addition, given that considerable time
has passed since these EGU-specific
NSR applicability revisions were
proposed in 2018, should the EPA
decide to pursue them at a later time, it
is prudent for the Agency to propose
them again at that time, accompanied
with the EPA’s updated context and
justification to support re-proposing the
NSR revisions, rather than relying on
the proposal from 2018. Therefore, the
EPA is withdrawing these proposed
NSR revisions.
VII. Regulatory Approach for Existing
Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
Existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generation units are the largest
stationary source of CO2 emissions,
emitting 909 MMT CO2e in 2021. Recent
developments in control technologies
offer opportunities to reduce CO2
emissions from these sources. The
EPA’s regulatory approach for these
units is to require emissions reduction
consistent with these technologies,
where their use is cost-reasonable.
A. Overview
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA identifies the BSER and degree of
emission limitation achievable for the
regulation of GHG emissions from
existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units. As detailed in section
V of this preamble, to meet the
requirements of CAA section 111(d), the
EPA promulgates ‘‘emission guidelines’’
that identify the BSER and the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
the application of the BSER, and states
then establish standards of performance
for affected sources that reflect that level
of stringency. To determine the BSER
for a source category, the EPA identifies
systems of emission reduction (e.g.,
control technologies) that have been
adequately demonstrated and evaluates
the potential emissions reduction, costs,
any non-air health and environmental
impacts, and energy requirements. As
described in section V.C.1 of this
preamble, the EPA has broad authority
to create subcategories under CAA
section 111(d). Therefore, where the
sources in a category differ from each
other by some characteristic that is
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relevant for the suitability of the
emission controls, the EPA may create
separate subcategories and make
separate BSER determinations for those
subcategories.
The EPA considered the
characteristics of fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units that may impact the
suitability of different control measures.
First, the EPA observed that the type
and amounts of fossil fuels—coal, oil,
and natural gas—fired in the steam
generating unit affect the performance
and emissions reductions achievable by
different control technologies, in part
due to the differences in the carbon
content of those fuels. The EPA
recognized that many sources fire
multiple types of fossil fuel. Therefore,
the EPA is finalizing subcategories of
coal-fired, oil-fired, and natural gasfired steam generating units. The EPA is
basing these subcategories, in part, on
the amount of fuel combusted by the
steam generating unit.
The EPA then considered the BSER
that may be suitable for each of those
subcategories of fuel type. For coal-fired
steam generating units, of the available
control technologies, the EPA is
determining that CCS with 90 percent
capture of CO2 meets the requirements
for BSER, including being adequately
demonstrated and achieving significant
emission reductions at reasonable cost
for units operating in the long-term, as
detailed in section VII.C.1.a of this
preamble. Application of this BSER
results in a degree of emission
limitation equivalent to an 88.4 percent
reduction in emission rate (lb CO2/
MWh-gross). The compliance date for
these sources is January 1, 2032.
Typically, the EPA assumes that
sources subject to controls operate in
the long-term.266 See, for example, the
2015 NSPS (80 FR 64509; October 23,
2015) or the 2011 CSAPR (76 FR 48208;
August 8, 2011). Under that assumption,
fleet average costs for CCS are
comparable to the cost metrics the EPA
has previously considered to be
reasonable. However, the EPA observes
that about half of the capacity (87 GW
out of 181 GW) of existing coal-fired
steam generating units have announced
plans to permanently cease operation
prior to 2039, as detailed in section
IV.D.3.b of this preamble, affecting the
period available for those sources to
amortize the capital costs of CCS.
266 Typically, the EPA assumes that the capital
costs can be amortized over a period of 15 years.
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble,
in the case of CCS, the IRC section 45Q tax credit,
which defrays a significant portion of the costs of
CCS, is available for the first 12 years of operation.
Accordingly, EPA generally assumed a 12-year
amortization period in determining CCS costs.
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Accordingly, the EPA evaluated the
costs of CCS for different amortization
periods. For an amortization period of
more than 7 years—such that sources
operate after January 1, 2039—
annualized fleet average costs are
comparable to or less than the metrics
of costs for controls that the EPA has
previously found to be reasonable.
However, the group of sources ceasing
operation prior to January 1, 2039, have
less time available to amortize the
capital costs of CCS, resulting in higher
annualized costs.
Because the costs of CCS depend on
the available amortization period, the
EPA is creating a subcategory for
sources demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2039. Instead, for this
subcategory of sources, the EPA is
determining that natural gas co-firing at
40 percent of annual heat input meets
the requirements of BSER. Application
of the natural gas co-firing BSER results
in a degree of emission limitation
equivalent to a 16 percent reduction in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross). Cofiring at 40 percent entails significantly
less control equipment and
infrastructure than CCS, and as a result,
the EPA has determined that affected
sources are able to implement it more
quickly than CCS, by January 1, 2030.
Importantly, co-firing at 40 percent also
entails significantly less capital cost
than CCS, and as a result, the costs of
co-firing are comparable to or less than
the metrics for cost reasonableness with
an amortization period that is
significantly shorter than the period for
CCS. The EPA has determined that the
costs of co-firing meet the metrics for
cost reasonableness for the majority of
the capacity that permanently cease
operation more than 2 years after the
January 1, 2030, implementation date,
or after January 1, 2032 (and up to
December 31, 2038), and that therefore
have an amortization period of more
than 2 years (and up to 9 years).
The EPA is also determining that
sources demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032, are not subject to the
40 percent co-firing requirement. This is
because their amortization period would
be so short—2 years or less—that the
costs of co-firing would, in general, be
less comparable to the cost metrics for
reasonableness for that group of sources.
Accordingly, the EPA is defining the
medium-term subcategory to include
those sources demonstrating that they
plan to permanently cease operating
after December 31, 2031, and before
January 1, 2039.
Considering the limited emission
reductions available in light of the cost
reasonableness of controls with short
amortization periods, the EPA is
finalizing an applicability exemption for
coal-fired steam generating units
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032.
For natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units, the EPA is finalizing
39841
subcategories based on capacity factor.
Because natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units with similar annual
capacity factors perform similarly to one
another, the EPA is finalizing a BSER of
routine methods of operation and
maintenance and a degree of emission
limitation of no increase in emission
rate for intermediate and base load
subcategories. For low load natural gasand oil-fired steam generating units, the
EPA is finalizing a BSER of uniform
fuels and respective degrees of emission
limitation defined on a heat input basis
(130 lb CO2/MMBtu and 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu). Furthermore, the EPA is
finalizing presumptive standards for
natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units as follows: base load
sources (those with annual capacity
factors greater than 45 percent) have a
presumptive standard of 1,400 lb CO2/
MWh-gross, intermediate load sources
(those with annual capacity factors
greater than 8 percent and or less than
or equal to 45 percent) have a
presumptive standard of 1,600 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. For low load oil-fired
sources, the EPA is finalizing a
presumptive standard of 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu, while for low load natural gasfired sources the EPA is finalizing a
presumptive standard of 130 lb CO2/
MMBtu. A compliance date of January
1, 2030, applies for all natural gas- and
oil-fired steam generating units.
The final subcategories and BSER are
summarized in table 1 of this document.
TABLE 1—SUMMARY OF FINAL BSER, SUBCATEGORIES, AND DEGREES OF EMISSION LIMITATION FOR AFFECTED EGUS
Affected
EGUs
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Long-term existing coal-fired
steam generating units.
Subcategory definition
Coal-fired steam generating units
that are not medium-term units.
Medium-term existing coalCoal-fired steam generating units
fired steam generating units.
that have demonstrated that they
plan to permanently cease operations after December 31, 2031,
and before January 1, 2039.
Base load existing oil-fired
Oil-fired steam generating units with
steam generating units.
an annual capacity factor greater
than or equal to 45 percent.
Intermediate load existing oil- Oil-fired steam generating units with
fired steam generating units.
an annual capacity factor greater
than or equal to 8 percent and
less than 45 percent.
Low load existing oil-fired
Oil-fired steam generating units with
steam generating units.
an annual capacity factor less
than 8 percent.
Base load existing natural
Natural gas-fired steam generating
gas-fired steam generating
units with an annual capacity facunits.
tor greater than or equal to 45
percent.
Intermediate load existing nat- Natural gas-fired steam generating
ural gas-fired steam generunits with an annual capacity facating units.
tor greater than or equal to 8 percent and less than 45 percent.
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Presumptively
approvable
standard of
performance *
Degree of
emission
limitation
BSER
CCS with 90 percent capture of CO2.
88.4 percent reduction in
emission rate (lb CO2/
MWh-gross).
Natural gas co-firing at 40
percent of the heat input
to the unit.
A 16 percent reduction in
emission rate (lb CO2/
MWh-gross).
Routine methods of operation and maintenance.
No increase in emission rate
(lb CO2/MWh-gross).
An annual emission rate limit of
1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Routine methods of operation and maintenance.
No increase in emission rate
(lb CO2/MWh-gross).
An annual emission rate limit of
1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
lower-emitting fuels ..............
170 lb CO2/MMBtu ..............
170 lb CO2/MMBtu.
Routine methods of operation and maintenance.
No increase in emission rate
(lb CO2/MWh-gross).
An annual emission rate limit of
1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Routine methods of operation and maintenance.
No increase in emission rate
(lb CO2/MWh-gross).
An annual emission rate limit of
1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Frm 00045
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88.4 percent reduction in annual
emission rate (lb CO2/MWhgross) from the unit-specific
baseline.
A 16 percent reduction in annual emission rate (lb CO2/
MWh-gross) from the unitspecific baseline.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE 1—SUMMARY OF FINAL BSER, SUBCATEGORIES, AND DEGREES OF EMISSION LIMITATION FOR AFFECTED EGUS—
Continued
Affected
EGUs
Low load existing natural gas- Oil-fired steam generating units with
fired steam generating units.
an annual capacity factor less
than 8 percent.
Presumptively
approvable
standard of
performance *
BSER
Degree of
emission
limitation
lower-emitting fuels ..............
130 lb CO2/MMBtu ..............
Subcategory definition
130 lb CO2/MMBtu.
* Presumptive standards of performance are discussed in detail in section X of the preamble. While states establish standards of performance for sources, the EPA
provides presumptively approvable standards of performance based on the degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the BSER for each subcategory. Inclusion in this table is for completeness.
B. Applicability Requirements and
Fossil Fuel-Type Definitions for
Subcategories of Steam Generating
Units
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA describes the rationale for the final
applicability requirements for existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units.
The EPA also describes the rationale for
the fuel type definitions and associated
subcategories.
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1. Applicability Requirements
For the emission guidelines, the EPA
is finalizing that a designated facility 267
is any fossil fuel-fired electric utility
steam generating unit (i.e., utility boiler
or IGCC unit) that: (1) was in operation
or had commenced construction on or
before January 8, 2014; 268 (2) serves a
generator capable of selling greater than
25 MW to a utility power distribution
system; and (3) has a base load rating
greater than 260 GJ/h (250 million
British thermal units per hour (MMBtu/
h)) heat input of fossil fuel (either alone
or in combination with any other fuel).
Consistent with the implementing
regulations, the term ‘‘designated
facility’’ is used throughout this
preamble to refer to the sources affected
by these emission guidelines.269 For the
emission guidelines, consistent with
prior CAA section 111 rulemakings
concerning EGUs, the term ‘‘designated
facility’’ refers to a single EGU that is
affected by these emission guidelines.
The rationale for the final applicability
requirements is the same as that for 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT (80 FR
64543–44; October 23, 2015). The EPA
267 The term ‘‘designated facility’’ means ‘‘any
existing facility . . . which emits a designated
pollutant and which would be subject to a standard
of performance for that pollutant if the existing
facility were an affected facility.’’ See 40 CFR
60.21a(b).
268 Under CAA section 111, the determination of
whether a source is a new source or an existing
source (and thus potentially a designated facility)
is based on the date that the EPA proposes to
establish standards of performance for new sources.
269 The EPA recognizes, however, that the word
‘‘facility’’ is often understood colloquially to refer
to a single power plant, which may have one or
more EGUs co-located within the plant’s
boundaries.
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includes that discussion by reference
here.
Section 111(a)(6) of the CAA defines
an ‘‘existing source’’ as ‘‘any stationary
source other than a new source.’’
Therefore, the emission guidelines do
not apply to any steam generating units
that are new after January 8, 2014, or
reconstructed after June 18, 2014, the
applicability dates of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT. Moreover, because the
EPA is now finalizing revised standards
of performance for coal-fired steam
generating units that undertake a
modification, a modified coal-fired
steam generating unit would be
considered ‘‘new,’’ and therefore not
subject to these emission guidelines, if
the modification occurs after the date
the proposal was published in the
Federal Register (May 23, 2023). Any
coal-fired steam generating unit that has
modified prior to that date would be
considered an existing source that is
subject to these emission guidelines.
In addition, the EPA is finalizing in
the applicability requirements of the
emission guidelines many of the same
exemptions as discussed for 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, in section VIII.E.1 of
this preamble. EGUs that may be
excluded from the requirement to
establish standards under a state plan
are: (1) units that are subject to 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, as a result of
commencing a qualifying modification
or reconstruction; (2) steam generating
units subject to a federally enforceable
permit limiting net-electric sales to onethird or less of their potential electric
output or 219,000 MWh or less on an
annual basis and annual net-electric
sales have never exceeded one-third or
less of their potential electric output or
219,000 MWh; (3) non-fossil fuel units
(i.e., units that are capable of deriving at
least 50 percent of heat input from nonfossil fuel at the base load rating) that
are subject to a federally enforceable
permit limiting fossil fuel use to 10
percent or less of the annual capacity
factor; (4) combined heat and power
(CHP) units that are subject to a
federally enforceable permit limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than
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either 219,000 MWh or the product of
the design efficiency and the potential
electric output, whichever is greater; (5)
units that serve a generator along with
other affected EGU(s), where the
effective generation capacity
(determined based on a prorated output
of the base load rating of EGU) is 25 MW
or less; (6) municipal waste combustor
units subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart
Eb; (7) commercial or industrial solid
waste incineration units that are subject
to 40 CFR part 60, subpart CCCC; (8)
EGUs that derive greater than 50 percent
of the heat input from an industrial
process that does not produce any
electrical or mechanical output or useful
thermal output that is used outside the
affected EGU; or (9) coal-fired steam
generating units that have elected to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2032.
The exemptions listed above at (4),
(5), (6), and (7) are among the current
exemptions at 40 CFR 60.5509(b), as
discussed in section VIII.E.1 of this
preamble. The exemptions listed above
at (2), (3), and (8) are exemptions the
EPA is finalizing revisions for 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, and the rationale
for the exemptions is in section VIII.E.1
of this preamble. For consistency with
the applicability requirements in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, and 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, the Agency is
finalizing these same exemptions for the
applicability of the emission guidelines.
2. Coal-Fired Units Permanently Ceasing
Operation Before January 1, 2032
The EPA is not addressing existing
coal-fired steam generating units
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operating before
January 1, 2032, in these emission
guidelines. Sources ceasing operation
before that date have far less emission
reduction potential than sources that
will be operating longer, because there
are unlikely to be appreciable, costreasonable emission reductions
available on average for the group of
sources operating in that timeframe.
This is because controls that entail
capital expenditures are unlikely to be
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
of reasonable cost for these sources due
to the relatively short period over which
they could amortize the capital costs of
controls.
In particular, in developing the
emission guidelines, the EPA evaluated
two systems of emission reduction that
achieve substantial emission reductions
for coal-fired steam generating units:
CCS with 90 percent capture; and
natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of
heat input. For CCS, the EPA has
determined that controls can be
installed and fully operational by the
compliance date of January 1, 2032, as
detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E) of this
preamble. CCS would therefore, in most
cases, be unavailable to coal-fired steam
generating units planning to cease
operation prior to that date.
Furthermore, the EPA evaluated the
costs of CCS for different amortization
periods. For an amortization period of
more than 7 years—such that sources
operate after January 1, 2039—
annualized fleet average costs are
comparable to or less than the costs of
controls the EPA has previously
determined to be reasonable ($18.50/
MWh of generation and $98/ton of CO2
reduced), as detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble. However,
the costs for shorter amortization
periods are higher. For sources ceasing
operation by January 1, 2032, it would
be unlikely that the annualized costs of
CCS would be reasonable even were
CCS installed at an earlier date (e.g., by
January 1, 2030) due to the shorter
amortization period available.
Because the costs of CCS would be
higher for shorter amortization periods,
the EPA is finalizing a separate
subcategory for sources demonstrating
that they plan to permanently cease
operating by January 1, 2039, with a
BSER of 40 percent natural gas co-firing,
as detailed in section VII.C.2.b.ii of this
preamble. For natural gas co-firing, the
EPA is finalizing a compliance date of
January 1, 2030, as detailed in section
VII.C.2.b.i(C) of this preamble.
Therefore, the EPA assumes sources
subject to a natural gas co-firing BSER
can amortize costs for a period of up to
9 years. The EPA has determined that
the costs of natural gas co-firing at 40
percent meet the metrics for cost
reasonableness for the majority of the
capacity that operate more than 2 years
after the January 1, 2030,
implementation date, i.e., that operate
after January 1, 2032 (and up to
December 31, 2038), and that therefore
have an amortization period of more
than 2 years (and up to 9 years).
However, for sources ceasing
operation prior to January 1, 2032, the
EPA believes that establishing a best
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system of emission reduction
corresponding to a substantial level of
natural gas co-firing would broadly
entail costs of control that are above
those that the EPA is generally
considering reasonable. Sources
permanently ceasing operation before
January 1, 2032 would have less than 2
years to amortize the capital costs, as
detailed in section VII.C.2.a of this
preamble. Compared to the metrics for
cost reasonableness that EPA has
previously deemed reasonable ($18.50/
MWh of generation and $98/ton of CO2
reduced), very few sources can co-fire
40 percent natural gas at costs
comparable to these metrics with an
amortization period of only one year;
only 1 percent of units have costs that
are below both $18.50/MWh of
generation and $98/ton of CO2 reduced.
The number of sources that can co-fire
lower amounts of natural gas at costs
comparable to these metrics is likewise
limited—only approximately 34 percent
of units can co-fire with 20 percent
natural gas at costs lower than both cost
metrics. Furthermore, the period that
these sources would operate with cofiring for would be short, so that the
emission reductions from that group of
sources would be limited.
By contrast, assuming a two-year
amortization period, many more units
can co-fire with meaningful amounts of
natural gas at a cost that is consistent
with the metrics EPA has previously
used: 18 percent of units can co-fire
with 40 percent natural gas at costs less
than $98/ton and $18.50/MWh, and 50
percent of units can co-fire with 20
percent natural gas at costs lower than
both metrics. Because a substantial
number of sources can implement 40percent co-firing with natural gas with
an amortization period of two years or
longer with reasonable costs, and even
more can co-fire with lesser amounts
with reasonable costs with amortization
periods longer than two years,270 the
270 As described in detail in section X.C.2 of this
preamble, the EPA recognizes that particular
affected EGUs may have characteristics that make
it unreasonable to achieve the degree of emission
limitation corresponding to 40 percent co-firing
with natural gas. For example, a state may be able
to demonstrate a fundamental difference between
the costs the EPA considered in these emission
guidelines and the costs to an affected EGU that
plans to cease operation in late 2032. If such costs
make it unreasonable for a particular unit to meet
the degree of emission limitation corresponding to
40 percent co-firing with natural gas, the state may
apply a less stringent standard of performance to
that unit. Consistent with the requirements for
calculating a less stringent standard of performance
at 40 CFR 60.24a(f), under these emission
guidelines states would consider whether it is
reasonable for units that cannot cost-reasonably cofire natural gas at 40 percent to co-fire at levels
lower than 40 percent. It is thus appropriate that
coal-fired EGUs that can reasonably co-fire any
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39843
EPA determined that a technology-based
BSER was available for coal-fired units
operating past January 1, 2032.
Sources that retire before that date,
however, are differently situated as
described above. In light of the small
number of sources that are planning to
retire before January 1, 2032 that could
cost-effectively co-fire with natural gas,
coupled with the small amount of
emissions reductions that can be
achieved from co-firing in such a short
time span, the EPA is choosing not to
establish a BSER for these sources.271
Because, at this time, the EPA has
determined that CCS and natural gas cofiring are not available at reasonable
cost for sources ceasing operation before
January 1, 2032, the EPA is not
finalizing a BSER for such sources. Not
finalizing a BSER for these sources is
consistent with the Agency’s discretion
to take incremental steps to address CO2
from sources in the category, and to
direct the EPA’s limited resources at
regulation of those sources that can
achieve the most emission reductions.
The EPA is therefore providing that
existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs that have elected to cease
operating before January 1, 2032, are not
regulated by these emission guidelines.
This exemption applies to a source until
the earlier of December 31, 2031, or the
date it demonstrates in the state plan
that it plans to cease operation. If a
source continues to operate past this
date, it is no longer exempt from these
emission guidelines. See section X.E.1
of this preamble for discussion of how
state plans should address sources
subject to exemption (9).272
3. Sources Outside of the Contiguous
U.S.
The EPA proposed the same emission
guidelines for fossil fuel-fired steam
amount of natural gas be subject to these emission
guidelines.
271 For the reasons described at length in section
VI.B, the EPA does not believe that heat rate
improvement measures or HRI are appropriate for
sources retiring before January 1, 2032 because HRI
applied to coal-fired sources achieve few emission
reductions, and can lead to the ‘‘rebound effect’’
where CO2 emissions from the source increase
rather than decrease as a consequence of imposing
the technologies.
272 The EPA notes that this applicability
exemption does not conflict with states’ ability to
consider the remaining useful lives of ‘‘particular’’
sources that are subject to these emission
guidelines. 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)(1). As the EPA’s
implementing regulations specify, the provision for
states’ consideration of RULOF is intended address
the specific conditions of particular sources,
whereas the EPA is responsible for determining
generally how to regulate a source category under
an emission guideline. Moreover, RULOF applies
only to when a state is applying a standard of
performance to an affected source—and the state
would not apply a standard of performance to
exempted sources.
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
generating units in non-continental
areas (i.e., Hawaii, the U.S. Virgin
Islands, Guam, American Samoa, the
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the
Northern Mariana Islands) and noncontiguous areas (non-continental areas
and Alaska) as the EPA proposed for
comparable units in the contiguous 48
states. The EPA notes that the modeling
that supports the final emission
guidelines focus on sources in the
contiguous U.S. Further, the EPA notes
that few, if any, coal-fired steam
generating units operate outside of the
contiguous 48 states and meet the
applicability criteria. Finally, the EPA
notes that the proposed BSER and
degree of emissions limitation for noncontinental oil-fired steam generating
units would have achieved few
emission reductions. Therefore, the EPA
is not finalizing emission guidelines for
existing steam generating units in states
and territories (including Alaska,
Hawaii, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the U.S.
Virgin Islands) that are outside of the
contiguous U.S. at this time.
4. IGCC Units
The EPA notes that existing IGCC
units were included in the proposed
applicability requirements and that, in
section VII.B of this preamble, the EPA
is finalizing inclusion of those units in
the subcategory of coal-fired steam
generating units. IGCC units gasify coal
or solid fossil fuel (e.g., pet coke) to
produce syngas (a mixture of carbon
monoxide and hydrogen), and either
burn the syngas directly in a combined
cycle unit or use a catalyst for water-gas
shift (WGS) to produce a precombustion gas stream with a higher
concentration of CO2 and hydrogen,
which can be burned in a hydrogen
turbine combined cycle unit. As
described in section VII.C of this
preamble, the final BSER for coal-fired
steam generating units includes cofiring natural gas and CCS. The few
IGCC units that now operate in the U.S.
either burn natural gas exclusively—and
as such operate as natural gas combined
cycle units—or in amounts near to the
40 percent level of the natural gas cofiring BSER. Additionally, IGCC units
may be suitable for pre-combustion CO2
capture. Because the CO2 concentration
in the pre-combustion gas, after WGS, is
high relative to coal-combustion flue
gas, pre-combustion CO2 capture for
IGCC units can be performed using
either an amine-based (or other solventbased) capture process or a physical
absorption capture process.
Alternatively, post-combustion CO2
capture can be applied to the source.
The one existing IGCC unit that still
uses coal was recently awarded funding
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from DOE for a front-end engineering
design (FEED) study for CCS targeting a
capture efficiency of more than 95
percent.273 For these reasons, the EPA is
not distinguishing IGCC units from
other coal-fired steam generating EGUs,
so that the BSER of co-firing for
medium-term coal-fired units and CCS
for long-term coal-fired units apply to
IGCC units.274
5. Fossil Fuel-Type Definitions for
Subcategories of Steam Generating Units
In this action, the EPA is finalizing
definitions for subcategories of existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
based on the type and amount of fossil
fuel used in the unit. The EPA is
finalizing separate subcategories based
on fuel type because the carbon content
of the fuel combusted affects the output
emission rate (i.e., lb CO2/MWh). Fuels
with a higher carbon content produce a
greater amount of CO2 emissions per
unit of fuel combusted (on a heat input
basis, MMBtu) and per unit of electricity
generated (i.e., MWh).
The EPA proposed fossil fuel type
subcategory definitions based on the
definitions in 40 CFR part 63, subpart
UUUUU, and the fossil fuel definitions
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. Those
proposed definitions were determined
by the relative heat input contribution
of the different fuels combusted in a
unit during the 3 years prior to the
proposed compliance date of January 1,
2030. Further, to be considered an oilfired or natural gas-fired unit for
purposes of this emission guideline, a
source would no longer retain the
capability to fire coal after December 31,
2029.
The EPA proposed a 3-year lookback
period, so that the proposed fuel-type
subcategorization would have been
based, in part, on the fuel type fired
between January 1, 2027, and January 1,
2030. However, the intent of the
proposed fuel type subcategorization
was to base the fuel type definition on
the state of the source on January 1,
2030. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing
the following fuel type subcategory
definitions:
• A coal-fired steam generating unit
is an electric utility steam generating
unit or IGCC unit that meets the
definition of ‘‘fossil fuel-fired’’ and that
burns coal for more than 10.0 percent of
the average annual heat input during
any continuous 3-calendar-year period
273 Duke Edwardsport DOE FEED Study Fact
Sheet. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/
2024-01/OCED_CCFEEDs_AwardeeFactSheet_
Duke_1.5.2024.pdf.
274 For additional details on pre-combustion CO
2
capture, please see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units.
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after December 31, 2029, or for more
than 15.0 percent of the annual heat
input during any one calendar year after
December 31, 2029, or that retains the
capability to fire coal after December 31,
2029.
• An oil-fired steam generating unit is
an electric utility steam generating unit
meeting the definition of ‘‘fossil fuelfired’’ that is not a coal-fired steam
generating unit, that no longer retains
the capability to fire coal after December
31, 2029, and that burns oil for more
than 10.0 percent of the average annual
heat input during any continuous 3calendar-year period after December 31,
2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of
the annual heat input during any one
calendar year after December 31, 2029.
• A natural gas-fired steam
generating unit is an electric utility
steam generating unit meeting the
definition of ‘‘fossil fuel-fired,’’ that is
not a coal-fired or oil-fired steam
generating unit, that no longer retains
the capability to fire coal after December
31, 2029, and that burns natural gas for
more than 10.0 percent of the average
annual heat input during any
continuous 3-calendar-year period after
December 31, 2029, or for more than
15.0 percent of the annual heat input
during any one calendar year after
December 31, 2029.
The EPA received some comments on
the fuel type definitions. Those
comments and responses are as follows.
Comment: Some industry
stakeholders suggested changes to the
proposed definitions for fossil fuel type.
Specifically, some commenters
requested that the reference to the initial
compliance date be removed and that
the fuel type determination should
instead be rolling and continually
update after the initial compliance date.
Those commenters suggested this
would, for example, allow sources in
the coal-fired subcategory that begin
natural gas co-firing in 2030 to convert
to the natural-gas fired subcategory prior
to the proposed date of January 1, 2040,
instead of ceasing operation.
Other industry commenters suggested
that to be a natural gas-fired steam
generating unit, a source could either
meet the heat input requirements during
the 3 years prior to the compliance date
or (emphasis added) no longer retain the
capability to fire coal after December 31,
2029. Those commenters noted that, as
proposed, a source that had planned to
convert to 100 percent natural gas-firing
would essentially have to do so prior to
January 1, 2027, to meet the proposed
heat input-based definition, in addition
to removing the capability to fire coal by
the compliance date.
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Response: Although full natural gas
conversions are not a measure that the
EPA considered as a potential BSER, the
emission guidelines do not prohibit
such conversions should a state elect to
require or accommodate them. As noted
above, the EPA recognizes that many
steam EGUs that formerly utilized coal
as a primary fuel have fully or partially
converted to natural gas, and that
additional steam EGUs may elect to do
so during the implementation period for
these emission guidelines. However,
these emission guidelines place
reasonable constraints on the timing of
such a conversion in situations where a
source seeks to be regulated as a natural
gas-fired steam EGU rather than as a
coal-fired steam EGU. The EPA believes
that such constraints are necessary in
order to avoid creating a perverse
incentive for EGUs to defer conversions
in a way that could undermine the
emission reduction purpose of the rule.
Therefore, the EPA disagrees with those
commenters that suggest the EPA
should, in general, allow EGUs to be
regulated as natural gas-fired steam
EGUs when they undertake such
conversions past January 1, 2030.
However, the EPA acknowledges that
the proposed subcategorization would
have essentially required a unit to
convert to natural gas by January 1, 2027
in order to be regulated as a natural gasfired steam EGU. The EPA is finalizing
fuel type subcategorization based on the
state of the source on the compliance
date of January 1, 2030, and during any
period thereafter, as detailed in section
VII.B of this preamble. Should a source
not be able to fully convert to natural
gas by this date, it would be treated as
a coal-fired steam generating EGU;
however, the state may be able to use
the RULOF provisions, as discussed in
section X.C.2 of this preamble, to
particularize a standard of performance
for the unit. Note that if a state relies on
operating conditions within the control
of the source as the basis of providing
a less stringent standard of performance
or longer compliance schedule, it must
include those operating conditions as an
enforceable requirement in the state
plan. 40 CFR 60.24a(g).
C. Rationale for the BSER for Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units
This section of the preamble describes
the rationale for the final BSERs for
existing coal-fired steam generating
units based on the criteria described in
section V.C of this preamble.
At proposal, the EPA evaluated two
primary control technologies as
potentially representing the BSER for
existing coal-fired steam generating
units: CCS and natural gas co-firing. For
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sources operating in the long-term, the
EPA proposed CCS with 90 percent
capture as BSER. For sources operating
in the medium-term (i.e., those
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation by January
1, 2040), the EPA proposed 40 percent
natural gas co-firing as BSER. For
imminent-term and near-term sources
ceasing operation earlier, the EPA
proposed BSERs of routine methods of
operation and maintenance.
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90
percent capture as BSER for coal-fired
steam generating units because CCS can
achieve a substantial amount of
emission reductions and satisfies the
other BSER criteria. CCS has been
adequately demonstrated and results in
by far the largest emissions reductions
of the available control technologies. As
noted below, the EPA has also
determined that the compliance date for
CCS is January 1, 2032. CCS, however,
entails significant up-front capital
expenditures that are amortized over a
period of years. The EPA evaluated the
cost for different amortization periods,
and the EPA has concluded that CCS is
cost-reasonable for units that operate
past January 1, 2039. As noted in
section IV.D.3.b of this preamble, about
half (87 GW out of 181 GW) of all coalfired capacity currently in existence has
announced plans to permanently cease
operations by January 1, 2039, and
additional sources are likely to do so
because they will be older than the age
at which sources generally have
permanently ceased operations since
2000. The EPA has determined that the
remaining sources that may operate after
January 1, 2039, can, on average, install
CCS at a cost that is consistent with the
EPA’s metrics for cost reasonableness,
accounting for an amortization period
for the capital costs of more than 7
years, as detailed in section VII.C.1.a.ii
of this preamble. If a particular source
has costs of CCS that are fundamentally
different from those amounts, the state
may consider it to be a candidate for a
different control requirement under the
RULOF provision, as detailed in section
X.C.2 of this preamble. For the group of
sources that permanently cease
operation before January 1, 2039, the
EPA has concluded that CCS would in
general be of higher cost, and therefore
is finalizing a subcategory for these
units, termed medium-term units, and
finalizing 40 percent natural gas cofiring on a heat input basis as the BSER.
These final subcategories and BSERs
are largely consistent with the proposal,
which included a long-term subcategory
for sources that did not plan to
permanently cease operations by
January 1, 2040, with 90 percent capture
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CCS as the BSER; and a medium-term
subcategory for sources that
permanently cease operations by that
date and were not in any of the other
proposed subcategories, discussed next,
with 40 percent co-firing as the BSER.
For both subcategories, the compliance
date was January 1, 2030. The EPA also
proposed an imminent-term
subcategory, for sources that planned to
permanently cease operations by
January 1, 2032; and a near-term
subcategory, for sources that planned to
permanently case operations by January
1, 2035, and that limited their annual
capacity utilization to 20 percent. The
EPA proposed a BSER of routine
methods of operation and maintenance
for these two subcategories.
The EPA is not finalizing these
imminent-term and near-term
subcategories. In addition, after
considering the comments, the EPA
acknowledges that some additional time
from what was proposed may be
beneficial for the planning and
installation of CCS. Therefore, the EPA
is finalizing a January 1, 2032,
compliance date for long-term existing
coal-fired steam generating units. As
noted above, the EPA’s analysis of the
costs of CCS also indicates that CCS is
cost-reasonable with a minimum
amortization period of seven years; as a
result, the final emission guidelines
would apply a CCS-based standard only
to those units that plan to operate for at
least seven years after the compliance
deadline (i.e., units that plan to remain
in operation after January 1, 2039). For
medium-term sources subject to a
natural gas co-firing BSER, the EPA is
finalizing a January 1, 2030, compliance
date because the EPA has concluded
that this provides a reasonable amount
of time to begin co-firing, a technology
that entails substantially less up-front
infrastructure and, relatedly, capital
expenditure than CCS.
1. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90
percent capture of CO2 at the stack as
BSER for long-term coal-fired steam
generating units. Coal-fired steam
generating units are the largest
stationary source of CO2 in the United
States. Coal-fired steam generating units
have higher emission rates than other
generating technologies, about twice the
emission rate of a natural gas combined
cycle unit. Typically, even newer, more
efficient coal-fired steam generating
units emit over 1,800 lb CO2/MWhgross, while many existing coal-fired
steam generating units have emission
rates of 2,200 lb CO2/MWh-gross or
higher. As noted in section IV.B of this
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preamble, coal-fired sources emitted 909
MMT CO2e in 2021, 59 percent of the
GHG emissions from the power sector
and 14 percent of the total U.S. GHG
emissions—contributing more to U.S.
GHG emissions than any other sector,
aside from transportation road
sources.275 Furthermore, considering
the sources in the long-term subcategory
will operate longer than sources with
shorter operating horizons, long-term
coal-fired units have the potential to
emit more total CO2.
CCS is a control technology that can
be applied at the stack of a steam
generating unit, achieves substantial
reductions in emissions and can capture
and permanently sequester more than
90 percent of CO2 emitted by coal-fired
steam generating units. The technology
is adequately demonstrated, given that it
has been operated at scale and is widely
applicable to these sources, and there
are vast sequestration opportunities
across the continental U.S.
Additionally, the costs for CCS are
reasonable, in light of recent technology
cost declines and policies including the
tax credit under IRC section 45Q.
Moreover, the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts of CCS can be
mitigated and the energy requirements
of CCS are not unreasonably adverse.
The EPA’s weighing of these factors
together provides the basis for finalizing
CCS as BSER for these sources. In
addition, this BSER determination
aligns with the caselaw, discussed in
section V.C.2.h of the preamble, stating
that CAA section 111 encourages
continued advancement in pollution
control technology.
At proposal, the EPA also evaluated
natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of
heat input as a potential BSER for longterm coal-fired steam generating units.
While the unit level emission rate
reductions of 16 percent achieved by 40
percent natural gas co-firing are
appreciable, those reductions are
substantially less than CCS with 90
percent capture of CO2. Therefore,
because CCS achieves more reductions
at the unit level and is cost-reasonable,
the EPA is not finalizing natural gas cofiring as the BSER for these units.
Further, the EPA is not finalizing
partial-CCS at lower capture rates (e.g.,
30 percent) because it achieves
substantially fewer unit-level reductions
at greater cost, and because CCS at 90
percent is achievable. Notably, the IRC
section 45Q tax credit may not be
available to defray the costs of partial
CCS and the emission reductions would
be limited. And the EPA is not
finalizing HRI as the BSER for these
units because of the limited reductions
and potential rebound effect.
sequestration sites are widely available
across the nation, and the EPA has
developed a comprehensive regulatory
structure to oversee geologic
sequestration projects and assure their
safety and effectiveness.277
a. Rationale for CCS as the BSER for
Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating
Units
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA explains the rationale for CCS as
the BSER for existing long-term coalfired steam generating units. This
section discusses the aspects of CCS that
are relevant for existing coal-fired steam
generating units and, in particular, longterm units. As noted in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv of this preamble, much of
this discussion is also relevant for the
EPA’s determination that CCS is the
BSER for new base load combustion
turbines.
In general, CCS has three major
components: CO2 capture,
transportation, and sequestration/
storage. Detailed descriptions of these
components are provided in section
VII.C.1.a.i of this preamble. As an
overview, post-combustion capture
processes remove CO2 from the exhaust
gas of a combustion system, such as a
utility boiler or combustion turbine.
This technology is referred to as ‘‘postcombustion capture’’ because CO2 is a
product of the combustion of the
primary fuel and the capture takes place
after the combustion of that fuel. The
exhaust gases from most combustion
processes are at atmospheric pressure,
contain somewhat dilute concentrations
of CO2, and are moved through the flue
gas duct system by fans. To separate the
CO2 contained in the flue gas, most
current post-combustion capture
systems utilize liquid solvents—
commonly amine-based solvents—in
CO2 scrubber systems using chemical
absorption (or chemisorption).276 In a
chemisorption-based separation process,
the flue gas is processed through the
CO2 scrubber and the CO2 is absorbed
by the liquid solvent. The CO2-rich
solvent is then regenerated by heating
the solvent to release the captured CO2.
The high purity CO2 is then
compressed and transported, generally
through pipelines, to a site for geologic
sequestration (i.e., the long-term
containment of CO2 in subsurface
geologic formations). Pipelines are
subject to Federal safety regulations
administered by PHMSA. Furthermore,
i. Adequately Demonstrated
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA explains the rationale for finalizing
its determination that 90 percent
capture applied to long-term coal-fired
steam generating units is adequately
demonstrated. In this section, the EPA
first describes how simultaneous
operation of all components of CCS
functioning in concert with one another
has been demonstrated, including a
commercial scale application on a coalfired steam generating unit. The
demonstration of the individual
components of CO2 capture, transport,
and sequestration further support that
CCS is adequately demonstrated. The
EPA describes how demonstrations of
CO2 capture support that 90 percent
capture rates are adequately
demonstrated. The EPA further
describes how transport and geologic
sequestration are adequately
demonstrated, including the feasibility
of transport infrastructure and the broad
availability of geologic sequestration
reservoirs in the U.S.
(A) Simultaneous Demonstration of CO2
Capture, Transport, and Sequestration
The EPA proposed that CCS was
adequately demonstrated for
applications on combustion turbines
and existing coal-fired steam generating
units.
On reviewing the available
information, all components of CCS—
CO2 capture, CO2 transport, and CO2
sequestration—have been demonstrated
concurrently, with each component
operating simultaneously and in concert
with the other components.
(1) Industrial Applications of CCS
Solvent-based CO2 capture was
patented nearly 100 years ago in the
1930s 278 and has been used in a variety
of industrial applications for decades.
For example, since 1978, an aminebased system has been used to capture
approximately 270,000 metric tons of
CO2 per year from the flue gas of the
bituminous coal-fired steam generating
units at the 63 MW Argus Cogeneration
Plant at Searles Valley Minerals (Trona,
277 80
275 U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Sinks: 1990–2021. U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions
by Inventory Sector, 2021. https://cfpub.epa.gov/
ghgdata/inventoryexplorer/#iallsectors/
allsectors/allgas/inventsect/current.
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276 Other
technologies may be used to capture
CO2, as described in the final TSDs, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units and the GHG
Mitigation Measures—Carbon Capture and Storage
for Combustion Turbines, available in the
rulemaking docket.
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FR 64549 (October 23, 2015).
R.R. Process for Separating Acidic
Gases (1930) United States patent application.
United States Patent US1783901A; Allen, A.S. and
Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide
from a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent
Application. United States Patent US1934472A.
278 Bottoms,
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California).279 Furthermore, thousands
of miles of CO2 pipelines have been
constructed and securely operated in
the U.S. for decades.280 And tens of
millions of tons of CO2 have been
permanently stored deep underground
either for geologic sequestration or in
association with EOR.281 There are
currently at least 15 operating CCS
projects in the U.S., and another 121
that are under construction or in
advanced stages of development.282
This broad application of CCS
demonstrates that the components of
CCS have been successfully operated
simultaneously. The Shute Creek
Facility has a capture capacity of 7
million metric tons per year and has
been in operation since 1986.283 The
facility uses a solvent-based process to
remove CO2 from natural gas, and the
captured CO2 is stored in association
with EOR. Another example of CCS in
industrial applications is the Great
Plains Synfuels Plant has a capture
capacity of 3 million metric tons per
year and has been in operation since
2000.284 285 The Great Plains Synfuels
Plant (Beulah, North Dakota) uses a
solvent-based process to remove CO2
from lignite-derived syngas, the CO2 is
transported by the Souris Valley
pipeline, and stored underground in
association with EOR in the Weyburn
and Midale Oil Units in Saskatchewan,
Canada. Over 39 million metric tons of
CO2 has been captured since 2000.
(2) Various CO2 capture methods are
used in industrial applications and are
tailored to the flue gas conditions of a
particular industry (see the TSD GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units for details). Of those
capture technologies, amine solventbased capture has been demonstrated
for removal of CO2 from the postcombustion flue gas of fossil fuel-fired
EGUs. The Quest CO2 capture facility in
Alberta, Canada, uses amine-based CO2
capture retrofitted to three existing
279 Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ‘‘An Assessment of
the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009.’’
U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,
under Contract DE–AC05–76RL01830.
280 U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline
and Hazardous Material Safety Administration,
‘‘Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.’’ 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/
gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmissionhazardous-liquids.
281 GHGRP US EPA. https://www.epa.gov/
ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-andgeologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
282 Carbon Capture and Storage in the United
States. CBO. December 13, 2023. https://
www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
283 Id.
284 https://netl.doe.gov/research/Coal/energysystems/gasification/gasifipedia/great-plains.
285 https://co2re.co/FacilityData.
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steam methane reformers at the Scotford
Upgrader facility (operated by Shell
Canada Energy) to capture and sequester
approximately 80 percent of the CO2 in
the produced syngas.286 Amine-solvents
are also applied for post-combustion
capture from fossil fuel fired EGUs. The
Quest facility has been operating since
2015 and captures approximately 1
million metric tons of CO2 per year.
Applications of CCS at Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
For electricity generation
applications, this includes operation of
CCS at Boundary Dam Unit 3 in
Saskatchewan, Canada. CCS at
Boundary Dam Unit 3 includes capture
of the CO2 from the flue-gas of the fossil
fuel-fired EGU, compression of the CO2
onsite and transport via pipeline offsite,
and storage of the captured CO2
underground. Storage of the CO2
captured at Boundary Dam primarily
occurs via EOR. Moreover, CO2 captured
from Boundary Dam Unit 3 is also
stored in a deep saline aquifer at the
Aquistore Deep Saline CO2 Storage
Project, which has permanently stored
over 550,000 tons of CO2 to date.287
Other demonstrations of CCS include
the 240 MWe Petra Nova CCS project at
the subbituminous coal-fired W.A.
Parish plant in Texas, which, because it
was EPAct05-assisted, we cite as useful
in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(2) of this
preamble, but not essential,
corroboration. See section
VII.C.1.a.i(H)(1) for a detailed
description of how the EPA considers
information from EPAct05-assisted
projects.
Commenters stated that that all
constituent components of CCS—carbon
capture, transportation, and
sequestration—have not been
adequately demonstrated in integrated,
simultaneous operation. We disagree
with this comment. The record
described in the preceding shows that
all components have been demonstrated
simultaneously. Even if the record only
included demonstration of the
individual components of CCS, the EPA
would still determine that CCS is
adequately demonstrated as it would be
reasonable on a technical basis that the
individual components are capable of
functioning together—they have been
engineered and designed to do so, and
the record for the demonstration of the
286 Quest Carbon Capture and Storage Project
Annual Summary Report, Alberta Department of
Energy: 2021. https://open.alberta.ca/publications/
quest-carbon-capture-and-storage-project-annualreport-2021.
287 Aquistore Project. https://ptrc.ca/media/
whats-new/aquistore-co2-storage-project-reached+500000-tonnes-stored.
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individual components is based on
decades of direct data and experience.
(B) CO2 Capture Technology at CoalFired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing the
determination that the CO2 capture
component of CCS has been adequately
demonstrated at a capture efficiency of
90 percent, is technically feasible, and
is achievable over long periods (e.g., a
year) for the reasons summarized here
and detailed in the following
subsections of this preamble. This
determination is based, in part, on the
demonstration of the technology at
existing coal-fired steam generating
units, including the commercial-scale
installation at Boundary Dam Unit 3.
The application of CCS at Boundary
Dam follows decades of development of
CO2 capture for coal-fired steam
generating units, as well as numerous
smaller-scale demonstrations that have
successfully implemented this
technology. Review of the available
information has also identified specific,
currently available, minor technological
improvements that can be applied today
to better the performance of new capture
plant retrofits, and which can assure
that the capture plants achieve 90
percent capture. The EPA’s
determination that 90 percent capture of
CO2 is adequately demonstrated is
further corroborated by EPAct05assisted projects, including the Petra
Nova project.
Moreover, several CCS retrofit
projects on coal-fired steam generating
units are in progress that apply the
lessons from the prior projects and use
solvents that achieve higher capture
rates. Technology providers that supply
those solvents and the associated
process technologies have made
statements concluding that the
technology is commercially proven and
available today and have further stated
that those solvents achieve capture rates
of 95 percent or greater. Technology
providers have decades of experience
and have done the work to responsibly
scale up the technology over that time
across a range of flue gas compositions.
Taking all of those factors into
consideration, and accounting for the
operation and flue gas conditions of the
affected sources, solvent-based capture
will consistently achieve capture rates
of 90 percent or greater for the fleet of
long-term coal-fired steam generating
units.
Various technologies may be used to
capture CO2, the details of which are
described generally in section IV.C.1 of
this preamble and in more detail in the
final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units, which is
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available in the rulemaking docket.288
For post-combustion capture, these
technologies include solvent-based
methods (e.g., amines, chilled
ammonia), solid sorbent-based methods,
membrane filtration, pressure-swing
adsorption, and cryogenic methods.289
Lastly, oxy-combustion uses a purified
oxygen stream from an air separation
unit (often diluted with recycled CO2 to
control the flame temperature) to
combust the fuel and produce a higher
concentration of CO2 in the flue gas, as
opposed to combustion with oxygen in
air which contains 80 percent nitrogen.
The CO2 can then be separated by the
aforementioned CO2 capture methods.
Of the available capture technologies,
solvent-based processes have been the
most widely demonstrated at
commercial scale for post-combustion
capture and are applicable to use with
either combustion turbines or steam
generating units.
The EPA’s identification of CCS with
90 percent capture as the BSER is
premised, in part, on an amine solventbased CO2 system. Amine solvents used
for carbon capture are typically
proprietary, although non-proprietary
solvents (e.g., monoethanolamine, MEA)
may be used. Carbon capture occurs by
reactive absorption of the CO2 from the
flue gas into the amine solution in an
absorption column. The amine reacts
with the CO2 but will also react with
impurities in the flue gas, including
SO2. PM will also affect the capture
system. Adequate removal of SO2 and
PM prior to the CO2 capture system is
therefore necessary. After pretreatment
of the flue gas with conventional SO2
and PM controls, the flue gas goes
through a quencher to cool the flue gas
and remove further impurities before
the CO2 absorption column. After
absorption, the CO2-rich amine solution
passes to the solvent regeneration
column, while the treated gas passes
through a water and/or acid wash
column to limit emission of amines or
other byproducts. In the solvent
regeneration column, the solution is
heated (using steam) to release the
absorbed CO2. The released CO2 is then
compressed and transported offsite,
288 Technologies to capture CO are also
2
discussed in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures—Carbon Capture and Storage for
Combustion Turbines.
289 For pre-combustion capture (as is applicable
to an IGCC unit), syngas produced by gasification
passes through a water-gas shift catalyst to produce
a gas stream with a higher concentration of
hydrogen and CO2. The higher CO2 concentration
relative to conventional combustion flue gas
reduces the demands (power, heating, and cooling)
of the subsequent CO2 capture process (e.g., solid
sorbent-based or solvent-based capture); the treated
hydrogen can then be combusted in the unit.
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usually by pipeline. The amine solution
from the regenerating column is then
cooled, a portion of the lean solvent is
treated in a solvent reclaiming process
to mitigate degradation of the solvent,
and the lean solvent streams are
recombined and sent back to the
absorption column.
(1) Capture Demonstrations at CoalFired Steam Generating Units
(a) SaskPower’s Boundary Dam Unit 3
SaskPower’s Boundary Dam Unit 3, a
110 MW lignite-fired unit in
Saskatchewan, Canada, was designed to
achieve CO2 capture rates of 90 percent
using an amine-based post-combustion
capture system retrofitted to the existing
steam generating unit. The capture
plant, which began operation in 2014, is
the first full-scale CO2 capture system
retrofit on an existing coal-fired power
plant. It uses the amine-based Shell
CANSOLV® process, which includes an
amine-based SO2 scrubbing process and
a separate amine-based CO2 capture
process, with integrated heat and power
from the steam generating unit.290
After undergoing maintenance and
design improvements in September and
October of 2015 to address technical
and mechanical challenges faced in its
first year of operation, Boundary Dam
Unit 3 completed a 72-hour test of its
design capture rate (3,240 metric tons/
day), and captured 9,695 metric tons of
CO2 or 99.7 percent of the design
capacity (approximately 89.7 percent
capture) with a peak rate of 3,341 metric
tons/day.291 However, the capture plant
has not consistently operated at this
total capture efficiency. In general, the
capture plant ran less than 100 percent
of the flue gas through the capture
equipment and the coal-fired steam
generating unit also operates when the
capture plant is offline for maintenance.
As a result, although the capture plant
has consistently achieved 90 percent
capture rates of the CO2 in the processed
slipstream, the amount of CO2 captured
was less than 90 percent of the total
amount of CO2 in the flue gas of the
steam generating unit. Some of the
reasons for this operation were due to
the economic incentives and regulatory
requirements of the project, while other
reasons were due to technical
290 Giannaris, S., et al. Proceedings of the 15th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas
Control Technologies (March 15–18, 2021).
SaskPower’s Boundary Dam Unit 3 Carbon Capture
Facility—The Journey to Achieving Reliability.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_
id=3820191.
291 SaskPower Annual Report (2015–16). https://
www.saskpower.com/about-us/Our-Company/∼/
link.aspx?_id=29E795C8C20D48398EAB
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challenges. The EPA has reviewed the
record of CO2 capture at Boundary Dam
Unit 3. While Boundary Dam is in
Canada and therefore not subject to this
action, these technical challenges have
been sufficiently overcome or are
actively mitigated so that Boundary
Dam has more recently been capable of
achieving capture rates of 83 percent
when the capture plant is online.292
Furthermore, the improvements already
employed and identified at Boundary
Dam can be readily applied during the
initial construction of a new CO2
capture plant today.
The CO2 captured at Boundary Dam is
mostly used for EOR and CO2 is also
stored geologically in a deep saline
reservoir at the Aquistore site.293 The
amount of flue gas captured is based in
part on economic reasons (i.e., to meet
related contract requirements). The
incentives for CO2 capture at Boundary
Dam beyond revenue from EOR have
been limited to date, and there have
been limited regulatory requirements for
CO2 capture at the facility. As a result,
a portion (about 25 percent on average)
of the flue gas bypasses the capture
plant and is emitted untreated.
However, because of increasing
requirements to capture CO2 in Canada,
Boundary Dam Unit 3 has more recently
pursued further process optimization.
Total capture efficiencies at the plant
have also been affected by technical
issues, particularly with the SO2
removal system that is upstream of the
CO2 capture system. Operation of the
SO2 removal system affects downstream
CO2 capture and the amount of flue gas
that can be processed. Specifically, fly
ash (PM) in the flue gas at Boundary
Dam Unit 3 contributed to fouling of
SO2 system components, particularly in
the SO2 reboiler and the demisters of the
SO2 absorber column. Buildup of scale
in the SO2 reboiler limited heat transfer
and regeneration of the SO2 scrubbing
amine, and high pressure drop affected
the flowrate of the SO2 lean-solvent
back to the SO2 absorber. Likewise,
fouling of the demisters in the SO2
absorber column caused high pressure
drop and restricted the flow of flue gas
through the system, limiting the amount
of flue gas that could be processed by
the downstream CO2 capture system. To
address these technical issues,
additional wash systems were added,
including ‘‘demister wash systems, a
pre-scrubber flue gas inlet curtain spray
wash system, flue gas cooler throat
sprays, and a booster fan wash
system.’’ 294
293 Aquistore.
https://ptrc.ca/aquistore.
294 Id.
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Such issues will definitively not
occur in a different type of SO2 removal
system (e.g., wet lime scrubber flue gas
desulfurization, wet-FGD). SO2
scrubbers have been successfully
operated for decades across a large
number of U.S. coal-fired sources. Of
the coal-fired sources with planned
operation after 2039, 60 percent have
wet FGD and 23 percent have a dry
FGD. In section VII.C.1.a.ii of this
preamble, the EPA accounts for the cost
of adding a wet-FGD for those sources
that do not have an FGD.
To further mitigate fouling due to fly
ash, the PM controls (electrostatic
precipitators) at Boundary Dam Unit 3
were upgraded in 2015/2016 by adding
switch integrated rectifiers. Of the coalfired sources with planned operation
after 2039, 31 percent have baghouses
and 67 percent have electrostatic
precipitators. Sources with baghouses
have greater or more consistent degrees
of emission control, and wet FGD also
provides additional PM control.
Fouling at Boundary Dam Unit 3 also
affected the heat exchangers in both the
SO2 removal system and the CO2
capture system. Additional
redundancies and isolations to those
key components were added in 2017 to
allow for online maintenance. Damage
to the capture plant’s CO2 compressor
resulted in an unplanned outage in
2021, and the issue was corrected.295
The facility reported 98.3 percent
capture system availability in the third
quarter of 2023.296
Regular maintenance further mitigates
fouling in the SO2 and CO2 absorbers,
and other challenges (e.g., foaming,
biological fouling) typical of gas-liquid
absorbers can be mitigated by standard
procedures. According to the 2022
paper co-authored by the International
CCS Knowledge Centre and SaskPower,
‘‘[a] number of initiatives are ongoing or
planned with the goal of eliminating
flue gas bypass as follows: Since 2016,
online cleaning of demisters has been
effective at controlling demister
pressure; Chemical cleans and
replacement of fouled packing in the
absorber towers to reduce pressure
losses; Optimization of antifoam
injection and other aspects of amine
health, to minimize foaming potential;
[and] Optimization of Liquid-to-Gas (L/
295 S&P Global Market Intelligence (January 6,
2022). Only still-operating carbon capture project
battled technical issues in 2021. https://
www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/newsinsights/latest-news-headlines/only-still-operatingcarbon-capture-project-battled-technical-issues-in2021-68302671.
296 SaskPower (October 18, 2022). BD3 Status
Update: Q3 2023. https://www.saskpower.com/
about-us/Our-Company/Blog/2023/BD3-StatusUpdate-Q3-2023.
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G) ratio in the absorber and other
process parameters,’’ as well as other
optimization procedures.297 While
foaming is mitigated by an antifoam
injection regimen, the EPA further notes
that the extent of foaming that could
occur may be specific to the chemistry
of the solvent and the source’s flue gas
conditions—foaming was not reported
for MHI’s KS–1 solvent when treating
bituminous coal post-combustion flue
gas at Petra Nova. Lastly, while
biological fouling in the CO2 absorber
wash water and the SO2 absorber caustic
polisher has been observed, ‘‘the current
mitigation plan is to perform chemical
shocking to remove this particular
buildup.’’ 298
Based on the experiences of Boundary
Dam Unit 3, key improvements can be
implemented in future CCS
deployments during initial design and
construction. Improvements to PM and
SO2 controls can be made prior to
operation of the CO2 capture system.
Where fly ash is present in the flue gas,
wash systems can be installed to limit
associated fouling. Additional
redundancies and isolations of key heatexchangers can be made to allow for inline cleaning during operation.
Redundancy of key equipment (e.g.,
utilizing two CO2 compressor trains
instead of one) will further improve
operational availability. A feasibility
study for the Shand power plant, which
is also operated by SaskPower, includes
many such design improvements, at an
overall cost that was less than the cost
for Boundary Dam.299
(b) Other Coal-Fired Demonstrations
Several other projects have
successfully demonstrated the capture
component of CCS at electricity
generating plants and other industrial
facilities, some of which were
previously noted in the discussion in
the 2015 NSPS.300 Since 1978, an
amine-based system has been used to
capture approximately 270,000 metric
297 Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas
Control Technologies (October 2022). Reducing the
CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary Dam Unit 3
Through Optimization of Operating Parameters of
the Power Plant and Carbon Capture Facilities.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_
id=4286430.
298 Pradoo, P., et al. Proceedings of the 16th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas
Control Technologies (October 2022). Improving the
Operating Availability of the Boundary Dam Unit 3
Carbon Capture Facility. https://papers.ssrn.com/
sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286503.
299 International CCS Knowledge Centre. The
Shand CCS Feasibility Study Public Report. https://
ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_
Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(202105-12).pdf.
300 80 FR 64548–54 (October 23, 2015).
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39849
tons of CO2 per year from the flue gas
of the bituminous coal-fired steam
generating units at the 63 MW Argus
Cogeneration Plant (Trona,
California).301 Amine-based carbon
capture has further been demonstrated
at AES’s Warrior Run (Cumberland,
Maryland) and Shady Point (Panama,
Oklahoma) coal-fired power plants, with
the captured CO2 being sold for use in
the food processing industry.302 At the
180 MW bituminous coal-fired Warrior
Run plant, approximately 10 percent of
the plant’s CO2 emissions (about
110,000 metric tons of CO2 per year) has
been captured since 2000 and sold to
the food and beverage industry. AES’s
320 MW Shady Point plant fires
subbituminous and bituminous coal,
and captured CO2 from an approximate
5 percent slipstream (about 66,000
metric tons of CO2 per year) from 2001
through around 2019.303 These
facilities, which have operated for
multiple years, clearly show the
technical feasibility of post-combustion
carbon capture.
(2) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Capture
Projects at Coal-Fired Steam Generating
Units 304
(a) Petra Nova
Petra Nova is a 240 MW-equivalent
capture facility that is the first at-scale
application of carbon capture at a coalfired power plant in the U.S. The system
is located at the subbituminous coal301 Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ‘‘An Assessment of
the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009.’’
U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,
under Contract DE–AC05–76RL01830.
302 Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ‘‘An Assessment of
the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009.’’
U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,
under Contract DE–AC05–76RL01830.
303 Shady Point Plant (River Valley) was sold to
Oklahoma Gas and Electric in 2019. https://
www.oklahoman.com/story/business/columns/
2019/05/23/oklahoma-gas-and-electric-acquiresaes-shady-point-after-federal-approval/
60454346007/.
304 In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA provided a legal
interpretation of the constraints on how the EPA
could rely on EPAct05-assisted projects in
determining whether technology is adequately
demonstrated for the purposes of CAA section 111.
Under that legal interpretation, ‘‘these provisions
[in the EPAct05] . . . preclude the EPA from
relying solely on the experience of facilities that
received [EPAct05] assistance, but [do] not . . .
preclude the EPA from relying on the experience of
such facilities in conjunction with other
information.’’ As part of the rulemaking action here,
the EPA incorporates the legal interpretation and
discussion of these EPAct05 provisions with respect
the appropriateness of considering facilities that
received EPAct05 assistance in determining
whether CCS is adequately demonstrated, as found
in the 2015 NSPS, 80 FR 64509, 64541–43 (October
23, 2015), and the supporting response to
comments, EPA–HQ–OAR–2013–0495–11861 at
pgs.113–134.
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fired W.A. Parish Generating Station in
Thompsons, Texas, and began operation
in 2017, successfully capturing and
sequestering CO2 for several years. The
system was put into reserve shutdown
(i.e., idled) in May 2020, citing the poor
economics of utilizing captured CO2 for
EOR at that time. On September 13,
2023, JX Nippon announced that the
carbon capture facility at Petra Nova
had been restarted.305 A final report
from the National Energy Technology
Laboratory (NETL) details the success of
the project and what was learned from
this first-of-a-kind demonstration at
scale.306 The project used Mitsubishi
Heavy Industry’s proprietary KM–CDR
Process®, a process that is similar to an
amine-based solvent process but that
uses a proprietary solvent. During its
operation, the project successfully
captured 92.4 percent of the CO2 from
the slip stream of flue gas processed
with 99.08 percent of the captured CO2
sequestered by EOR.
The amount of flue gas treated at Petra
Nova was consistent with a 240 MW
size coal-fired steam EGU. The
properties of the flue gas—composition,
temperature, pressure, density, flowrate,
etc.—are the same as would occur for a
similarly sized coal-firing unit.
Therefore, Petra Nova corroborates that
the capture equipment—including the
CO2 absorption column, solvent
regeneration column, balance of plant
equipment, and the solvent itself—work
at commercial scale and can achieve
capture rates of 90 percent.
The Petra Nova project did experience
periodic outages that were unrelated to
the CO2 capture facility and do not
implicate the basis for the EPA’s BSER
determination.307 These include outages
at either the coal-fired steam generating
unit (W.A. Parish Unit 8) or the
auxiliary combined cycle facility,
extreme weather events (Hurricane
Harvey), and the operation of the EOR
site and downstream oil recovery and
processing. Outages at the coal-fired
steam generating unit itself do not
compromise the reliability of the CO2
capture plant or the plant’s ability to
achieve a standard of performance based
on CCS, as there would be no CO2 to
capture. Outages at the auxiliary
combined cycle facility are also not
relevant to the EPA’s BSER
305 JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration Corporation.
Restart of the large-scale Petra Nova Carbon
Capture Facility in the U.S. (September 2023).
https://www.nex.jx-group.co.jp/english/
newsrelease/upload_files/20230913EN.pdf.
306 W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO Capture
2
and Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final
Scientific/Technical Report (March 2020). https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
307 Id.
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determination, because the final BSER is
not premised on the CO2 capture plant
using an auxiliary combined cycle plant
for steam and power. Rather, the final
BSER assumes the steam and power
come directly from the associated steam
generating unit. Extreme weather events
can affect the operation of any facility.
Furthermore, the BSER is not premised
on EOR, and it is not dependent on
downstream oil recovery or processing.
Outages attributable to the CO2 capture
facility were 41 days in 2017, 34 days
in 2018, and 29 days in 2019—outages
decreased year-on-year and were on
average less than 10 percent of the year.
Planned and unplanned outages are
normal for industrial processes,
including steam generating units.
Petra Nova experienced some
technical challenges that were
addressed during its first 3 years of
operation.308 One of these issues was
leaks from heat exchangers due to the
properties of the gasket materials—
replacement of the gaskets addressed
the issue. Another issue was vibration of
the flue gas blower due to build-up of
slurry and solids carryover. W.A. Parish
Unit 8 uses a wet limestone FGD
scrubber to remove SO2, and the flue gas
connection to the capture plant is
located at the bottom of the duct
running from the wet-FGD to the
original stack. A diversion wall and
collection drains were installed to
mitigate solids and slurry carryover.
Regular maintenance is required to
clean affected components and reduce
the amount of slurry carryover to the
quencher. Solids and slurry carryover
also resulted in calcium scale buildup
on the flue gas blower. Although
calcium concentrations were observed
to increase in the solvent, impacts of
calcium on the quencher and capture
plant chemistry were not observed.
Some scaling may have been occurring
in the cooling section of the quencher
and would have been addressed during
a planned outage in 2020. Another issue
encountered was scaling related to the
CO2 compressor intercoolers,
compressor dehydration system, and an
associated heat exchanger. The issue
was determined to be due to a material
incompatibility of the CO2 compressor
intercooler, and the components were
replaced during a 2018 planned outage.
To mitigate the scaling prior to the
replacement of those components, the
compressor drain was also rerouted to
the reclaimer and a backup filtering
system was also installed and used, both
of which proved to be effective. Some
decrease in performance was also
observed in heat exchangers. The
308 Id.
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presence of cooling tower fill (a solid
medium used to increase surface area in
cooling towers) in the cooling water
system exchangers may have impacted
performance. It is also possible that
there could have been some fouling in
heat exchangers. Fill was planned to be
removed and fouling checked for during
regular maintenance. Petra Nova did not
observe fouling of the CO2 absorber
packing or high pressure drops across
the CO2 absorber bed, and Petra Nova
also did not report any foaming of the
solvent. Even with the challenges that
were faced, Petra Nova was never
restricted in reaching its maximum
capture rate of 5,200 tons of CO2 per
day, a scale that was substantially
greater than Boundary Dam Unit 3
(approximately 3,600 tons of CO2 per
day).
(b) Plant Barry
Plant Barry, a bituminous coal-fired
steam generating unit in Mobile,
Alabama, began using the KM–CDR
Process® in 2011 for a fully integrated
25 MWe CCS project with a capture rate
of 90 percent.309 The CCS project at
Plant Barry captured approximately
165,000 tons of CO2 annually, which
was then transported via pipeline and
sequestered underground in geologic
formations.310
(c) Project Tundra
Project Tundra is a carbon capture
project in North Dakota at the Milton R.
Young Station lignite coal-fired power
plant. Project Tundra will capture up to
4 million metric tons of CO2 per year for
permanent geologic storage. One
planned storage site is collocated with
the power plant and is already fully
permitted, while permitting for a second
nearby storage site is in progress.311 An
air permit for the capture facility has
also been issued by North Dakota
Department of Environmental Quality.
The project is designed to capture CO2
at a rate of about 95 percent of the
treated flue gas.312 The capture plant
will treat the flue gas from the 455 MW
Unit 2 and additional flue gas from the
250 MW Unit 1, and will treat an
equivalent capacity of 530 MW.313 The
project began a final FEED study in
February 2023 with planned completion
309 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). National
Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). https://
www.netl.doe.gov/node/1741.
310 80 FR 64552 (October 23, 2015).
311 Project Tundra—Progress, Minnkota Power
Cooperative, 2023. https://
www.projecttundrand.com.
312 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0632.
313 Id.
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in April 2024,314 and, prior to selection
by DOE for funding award negotiation,
the project was scheduled to begin
construction in 2024.315 The project will
use MHI’s KS–21 solvent and the
Advanced KM–CDR process. The MHI
solvent KS–1 and an advanced MHI
solvent (likely KS–21) were previously
tested on the lignite post-combustion
flue gas from the Milton R. Young
Station.316 To provide additional
conditioning of the flue gas, the project
is utilizing a wet electrostatic
precipitator (WESP). A draft
Environmental Assessment
summarizing the project and potential
environmental impacts was released by
DOE.317 Finally, Project Tundra was
selected for award negotiation for
funding from DOE.318
That this project has funding through
the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, and
that this funding is facilitated through
DOE’s Office of Clean Energy
Demonstration’s (OCED) Carbon Capture
Demonstration Projects Program, does
not detract from the adequate
demonstration of CCS. Rather, the goal
of that program is, ‘‘to accelerate the
implementation of integrated carbon
capture and storage technologies and
catalyze significant follow-on
investments from the private sector to
mitigate carbon emissions sources in
industries across America.’’ 319 For the
commercial scale projects, the stated
requirement of the funding opportunity
announcement (FOA) is not that
projects demonstrate CCS in general, but
that they ‘‘demonstrate significant
improvements in the efficiency,
effectiveness, cost, operational and
environmental performance of existing
carbon capture technologies.’’ 320 This
implies that the basic technology
already exists and is already
314 ‘‘An Overview of Minnkota’s Carbon Capture
Initiative—Project Tundra,’’ 2023 LEC Annual
Meeting, October 5, 2023.
315 Project Tundra—Progress, Minnkota Power
Cooperative, 2023. https://
www.projecttundrand.com.
316 Laum, Jason. Subtask 2.4—Overcoming
Barriers to the Implementation of Postcombustion
Carbon Capture. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/
1580659.
317 DOE–EA–2197 Draft Environmental
Assessment, August 17, 2023. https://
www.energy.gov/nepa/listings/doeea-2197documents-available-download.
318 Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects
Selections for Award Negotiations. https://
www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capturedemonstration-projects-selections-awardnegotiations.
319 DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/carboncapture-demonstration-projects-program-front-endengineering-design-feed-studies.
320 DE–FOA–0002962. https://ocedexchange.energy.gov/
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demonstrated. The FOA further notes
that the technologies used by the
projects receiving funding should be
proven such that, ‘‘the technologies
funded can be readily replicated and
deployed into commercial practice.’’ 321
The EPA also notes that this and other
on-going projects were announced well
in advance of the FOA. Considering
these factors, Project Tundra and other
similarly funded projects are supportive
of the determination that CCS is
adequately demonstrated.
(d) Project Diamond Vault
Project Diamond Vault will capture
up to 95 percent of CO2 emissions from
the 600 MW Madison Unit 3 at Brame
Energy Center in Lena, Louisiana.
Madison Unit 3 fires approximately 70
percent petroleum coke and 30 percent
bituminous (Illinois Basin) coal in a
circulating fluidized bed. The FEED
study for the project is targeted for
completion on September 9, 2024.322 323
Construction is planned to begin by the
end of 2025 with commercial operation
starting in 2028.324 From the utility:
‘‘Government Inflation Reduction Act
(IRA) funding through 45Q tax credits
makes the project financially viable.
With these government tax credits, the
company does not expect a rate increase
as a result of this project.’’ 325
(e) Other Projects
Other projects have completed or are
in the process of completing feasibility
work or FEED studies, or are taking
other steps towards installing CCS on
coal-fired steam generating units. These
projects are summarized in the final
TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units, available in the
docket. In general, these projects target
capture rates of 90 percent or above and
provide evidence that sources are
actively pursuing the installation of
CCS.
(3) CO2 Capture Technology Vendor
Statements
CO2 capture technology providers
have issued statements supportive of the
application of systems and solvents for
CO2 capture at fossil fuel-fired EGUs.
These statements speak to the decades
of experience that technology providers
have and as noted below, vendors attest,
321 Id.
322 Diamond Vault Carbon Capture FEED Study.
https://netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/netl-file/
23CM_PSCC31_Bordelon.pdf.
323 Note that while the FEED study is EPAct05assisted, the capture plant is not.
324 Project Diamond Vault Overview. https://
www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamondvault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
325 Id.
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and offer guarantees that 90 percent
capture rates are achievable. Generally,
while there are many CO2 capture
methods available, solvent-based CO2
capture from post-combustion flue gas is
particularly applicable to fossil fuelfired EGUs. Solvent-based CO2 capture
systems are commercially available from
technology providers including Shell,
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI),
Linde/BASF, Fluor and ION Clean
Energy.
Technology providers have made
statements asserting extensive
experience in CO2 capture and the
commercial availability of CO2 capture
technologies. Solvent-based CO2 capture
was first patented in the 1930s.326 Since
then, commercial solvent-based capture
systems have been developed that are
focused on applications to postcombustion flue gas. Several technology
providers have over 30 years of
experience applying solvent-based CO2
capture to the post-combustion flue gas
of fossil fuel-fired EGUs. In general,
technology providers describe the
technologies for CO2 capture from postcombustion flue gas as ‘‘proven’’ or
‘‘commercially available’’ or
‘‘commercially proven’’ or ‘‘available
now’’ and describe their experience
with CO2 capture from post-combustion
flue gas as ‘‘extensive.’’ CO2 capture
rates of 90 percent or higher from postcombustion flue gas have been proven
by CO2 capture technology providers
using several commercially available
solvents. Many of the available solvent
technologies have over 50,000 hours of
operation, equivalent to over 5 years of
operation.
Shell has decades of experience in
CO2 capture systems. Shell notes that
‘‘[c]apturing and safely storing carbon is
an option that’s available now.’’ 327
Shell has developed the CANSOLV®
CO2 capture system for CO2 capture
from post-combustion flue gas, a
regenerable amine that the company
claims has multiple advantages
including ‘‘low parasitic energy
consumption, fast kinetics and
extremely low volatility.’’ 328 Shell
further notes, ‘‘Moreover, the
technology has been designed for
326 Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic
Gases (1930) United States patent application.
United States Patent US1783901A; Allen, A.S. and
Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide
from a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent
Application. United States Patent US1934472A.
327 Shell Global—Carbon Capture and Storage.
https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/
carbon-capture-and-storage.html.
328 Shell Global—CANSOLV® CO Capture
2
System. https://www.shell.com/business-customers/
catalysts-technologies/licensed-technologies/
emissions-standards/tail-gas-treatment-unit/
cansolv-co2.html.
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reliability through its highly flexible
turn-up and turndown capacity.’’ 329
The company has stated that ‘‘Over 90%
of the CO2 in exhaust gases can be
effectively and economically removed
through the implementation of Shell’s
carbon capture technology.’’ 330 Shell
also notes, ‘‘Systems can be guaranteed
for bulk CO2 removal of over 90%.’’ 331
MHI in collaboration with Kansai
Electric Power Co., Inc. began
developing a solvent-based capture
process (the KM CDR ProcessTM) using
the KS–1TM solvent in 1990.332 MHI
describes the extensive experience of
commercial application of the solvent,
‘‘KS–1TM—a solvent whose high
reliability has been confirmed by a track
record of deliveries to 15 commercial
plants worldwide.’’ 333 Notable
applications of KS–1TM and the KM–
CDR ProcessTM include applications at
Plant Barry and Petra Nova. Previously,
MHI has achieved capture rates of
greater than 90 percent over long
periods and at full scale at the Petra
Nova project where the KS–1TM solvent
was used.334 MHI has further improved
on the original process and solvent by
making available the Advanced KM
CDR ProcessTM using the KS–21TM
solvent. From MHI, ‘‘Commercialization
of KS–21TM solvent was completed
following demonstration testing in 2021
at the Technology Centre Mongstad in
Norway, one of the world’s largest
carbon capture demonstration
facilities.’’ 335 MHI has achieved CO2
capture rates of 95 to 98 percent using
both the KS–1TM and KS–21TM solvent
at the Technology Centre Mongstad
(TCM).336 Higher capture rates under
modified conditions were also
measured, ‘‘In addition, in testing
conducted under modified operating
conditions, the KS–21TM solvent
delivered an industry-leading carbon
capture rate was 99.8% and
demonstrated the successful recovery of
CO2 from flue gas of lower
329 Shell Catalysts & Technologies—Shell
CANSOLV® CO2 Capture System. https://
catalysts.shell.com/en/Cansolv-co2-fact-sheet.
330 Id.
331 Id.
332 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries—CO Capture
2
Technology—CO2 Capture Process. https://
www.mhi.com/products/engineering/co2plants_
process.html.
333 Id.
334 Note: Petra Nova is an EPAct05-assisted
project. W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture
and Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final
Scientific/Technical Report (March 2020). https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
335 Id.
336 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, ‘‘Mitsubishi
Heavy Industries Engineering Successfully
Completes Testing of New KS–21TM Solvent for CO2
Capture,’’ https://www.mhi.com/news/211019.html.
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concentration than the CO2 contained in
the atmosphere.’’ 337
Linde engineering in partnership with
BASF has made available BASF’s
OASE® blue amine solvent technology
for post-combustion CO2 capture. Linde
notes their experience: ‘‘We have
longstanding experience in the design
and construction of chemical wash
processes, providing the necessary
amine-based solvent systems and the
CO2 compression, drying and
purification system.’’ 338 Linde also
notes that ‘‘[t]he BASF OASE® process
is used successfully in more than 400
plants worldwide to scrub natural,
synthesis and other industrial gases.’’ 339
The OASE® blue technology has been
successfully piloted at RWE Power,
Niederaussem, Germany (from 2009
through 2017; 55,000 operating hours)
and the National Center for Carbon
Capture in Wilsonville, Alabama
(January 2015 through January 2016;
3,200 operating hours). Based on the
demonstrated performance, Linde
concludes that ‘‘PCC plants combining
Linde’s engineering skills and BASF’s
OASE® blue solvent technology are now
commercially available for a wide range
of applications.’’ 340 Linde and BASF
have demonstrated capture rates over 90
percent and operating availability 341
rates of more than 97 percent during
55,000 hours of operation.
Fluor provides a solvent technology
(Econamine FG Plus) and EPC services
for CO2 capture. Fluor describes their
technology as ‘‘proven,’’ noting that,
‘‘Proven technology. Fluor Econamine
FG Plus technology is a propriety
carbon capture solution with more than
30 licensed plants and more than 30
years of operation.’’ 342 Fluor further
notes, ‘‘The technology builds on
Fluor’s more than 400 CO2 removal
units in natural gas and synthesis gas
processing.’’ 343 Fluor further states,
‘‘Fluor is a global leader in CO2 capture
[. . .] with long-term commercial
operating experience in CO2 recovery
from flue gas.’’ On the status of
337 Id.
338 Linde Engineering—Post Combustion Capture.
https://www.linde-engineering.com/en/processplants/co2-plants/carbon-capture/post-combustioncapture/.
339 Linde and BASF—Carbon capture storage and
utilisation. https://www.linde-engineering.com/en/
images/Carbon-capture-storage-utilisation-LindeBASF_tcm19-462558.pdf.
340 Id.
341 Operating availability is the percent of time
that the CO2 capture equipment is available relative
to its planned operation.
342 Fluor—Comprehensive Solutions for Carbon
Capture. https://www.fluor.com/client-markets/
energy/production/carbon-capture.
343 Fluor—Econamine FG PlusSM. https://
www.fluor.com/sitecollectiondocuments/qr/
econamine-fg-plus-brochure.pdf.
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Econamine FG Plus, Fluor notes that the
‘‘[the] Technology [is] commercially
proven on natural gas, coal, and fuel oil
flue gases,’’ and further note that
‘‘[o]perating experience includes using
steam reformers, gas turbines, gas
engines, and coal/natural gas boilers.’’
ION Clean Energy is a company
focused on post-combustion carbon
capture founded in 2008. ION’s ICE–21
solvent has been used at NCCC and
TCM Norway.344 ION has achieved
capture rates of 98 percent using the
ICE–31 solvent.
(4) CCS User Statements on CCS
A number of the companies who have
either completed large scale pilot
projects or who are currently developing
full scale projects have also indicated
that CCS technology is currently a
viable technology for large coal-fired
power plants. In 2011, announcing a
decision not to move forward with the
first full scale commercial CCS
installation of a carbon capture system
on a coal plant, AEP did not cite any
technology concerns, but rather
indicated that ‘‘it is impossible to gain
regulatory approval to recover our share
of the costs for validating and deploying
the technology without federal
requirements to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions already in place.’’ 345 Enchant
Energy, a company developing CCS for
coal-fired power plants explained that
its FEED study for the San Juan
Generating Station, ‘‘shows that the
technical and business case for adding
carbon capture to existing coal-fired
power plants is strong.’’ 346 Rainbow
Energy, who is developing a carbon
capture project at the Coal Creek Power
Station in North Dakota explains,
‘‘CCUS technology has been proven and
is an economical option for a facility
like Coal Creek Station. We see CCUS as
the best option to manage CO2
emissions at our facility.’’ 347
(5) State CCS Requirements
Several states encourage or even
require sources to install CCS. These
state requirements further indicate that
CCS is well-established and effective.
These state laws include the Illinois
2021 Climate and Equitable Jobs Act,
which requires privately owned coal344 ION Clean Energy—Company. https://
www.ioncleanenergy.com/company.
345 https://www.aep.com/news/releases/read/
1206/AEP-Places-Carbon-CaptureCommercialization-On-Hold-Citing-UncertainStatus-Of-Climate-Policy-Weak-Economy.
346 Enchant Energy. What is Carbon Capture and
Sequestration (CCS)? https://enchantenergy.com/
carbon-capture-technology/.
347 Rainbow Energy Center. Carbon Capture.
https://rainbowenergycenter.com/what-we-do/
carbon-capture/.
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fired units to reduce emissions to zero
by 2030 and requires publicly owned
coal-fired units to reduce emissions to
zero by 2045.348 Illinois has also
imposed CCS-based CO2 emission
standards on new coal-fired power
plants since 2009 when the state
adopted its Clean Coal Portfolio
Standard law.349 The statute required an
initial capture rate of 50 percent when
enacted but steadily increased the
capture rate requirement to 90 percent
in 2017, where it remains.
Michigan in 2023 established a 100
percent clean energy requirement by
2040 with a nearer term 80 percent
clean energy by 2035 requirement.350
The statute encourages the application
of CCS by defining ‘‘clean energy’’ to
include generation resources that
achieve 90 percent carbon capture.
California identifies carbon capture
and sequestration as a necessary tool to
reduce GHG emissions within its 2022
scoping plan update 351 and, that same
year, enacted a statutory requirement
through Assembly Bill 1279 352
requiring the state to plan and
implement policies that enable carbon
capture and storage technologies.
Several states in different parts of the
country have adopted strategic and
planning frameworks that also
encourage CCS. Louisiana, which in
2020 set an economy-wide net-zero goal
by 2050, has explored policies that
encourage CCS deployment in the
power sector. The state’s 2022 Climate
Action Plan proposes a Renewable and
Clean Portfolio Standard requiring 100
percent renewable or clean energy by
2035.353 That proposal defines power
plants achieving 90 percent carbon
capture as a qualifying clean energy
resource that can be used to meet the
standard.
348 State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act
102–0662: Climate and Equitable Jobs Act. 2021.
https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/102/
PDF/102-0662.pdf.
349 State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act
095–1027: Clean Coal Portfolio Standard Law.
https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/95/PDF/
095-1027.pdf.
350 State of Michigan Legislature. Public Act 235
of 2023. Clean and Renewable Energy and Energy
Waste Reduction Act. https://legislature.mi.gov/
documents/2023-2024/publicact/pdf/2023-PA0235.pdf.
351 California Air Resources Board, 2022 Scoping
Plan for Achieving Carbon Neutrality. https://
ww2.arb.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2023-04/2022sp.pdf.
352 State of California Legislature. Assembly Bill
1279 (2022). The California Climate Crisis Act.
https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/
billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220AB1279.
353 Louisiana Climate Initiatives Task Force.
Louisiana Climate Action Plan (February 1, 2022).
https://gov.louisiana.gov/assets/docs/CCI-Taskforce/CAP/ClimateActionPlanFinal.pdf.
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Pennsylvania’s 2021 Climate Action
Plan notes that the state is well
positioned to install CCS to transition
the state’s electric fleet to a zero-carbon
economy.354 The state also established
an interagency workgroup in 2019 to
identify ways to speed the deployment
of CCS.
The Governor of North Dakota
announced in 2021 an economy-wide
carbon neutral goal by 2030.355 The
announcement singled out the Project
Tundra Initiative, which is working to
apply CCS technology to the state’s
Milton R. Young Power Station.
The Governor of Wyoming has
broadly promoted a Decarbonizing the
West initiative that includes the study
of CCS technologies to reduce carbon
emissions from the region.356 A 2024
Wyoming law also requires utilities in
the state to install CCS technologies on
a portion of their existing coal-fired
power plants by 2033.357
(6) Variable Load and Startups and
Shutdowns
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA considers the effects of variable
load and startups and shutdowns on the
achievability of 90 percent capture.
First, the coal-fired steam generating
unit can itself turndown 358 to only
about 40 percent of its maximum design
capacity. Due to this, coal-fired EGUs
have relatively high duty cycles 359—
that is, they do not cycle as frequently
as other sources and typically have high
average loads when operating. In 2021,
coal-fired steam generating units had an
average duty cycle of 70 percent, and
more than 75 percent of units had duty
354 Pennsylvania Dept. of Environmental
Protection. Pennsylvania Climate Action Plan
(2021). https://www.dep.pa.gov/Citizens/climate/
Pages/PA-Climate-Action-Plan.aspx.
355 https://www.governor.nd.gov/news/updatedwaudio-burgum-addresses-williston-basinpetroleum-conference-issues-carbon-neutral.
356 https://westgov.org/initiatives/overview/
decarbonizing-the-west.
357 State of Wyoming Legislature. SF0042. Lowcarbon Reliable Energy Standards-amendments.
https://www.wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2024/SF0042.
358 Here, ‘‘turndown’’ is the ability of a facility to
turn down some process value, such as flowrate,
throughput or capacity. Typically, this is expressed
as a ratio relative to operation at its maximum
instantaneous capability. Because processes are
designed to operate within specific ranges,
turndown is typically limited by some lower
threshold.
359 Here, ‘‘duty cycle’’ is the ratio of the gross
amount of electricity generated relative to the
amount that could be potentially generated if the
unit operated at its nameplate capacity during every
hour of operation. Duty cycle is thereby an
indication of the amount of cycling or load
following a unit experiences (higher duty cycles
indicate less cycling, i.e., more time at nameplate
capacity when operating). Duty cycle is different
from capacity factor, as the latter also quantifies the
amount that the unit spends offline.
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cycles greater than 60 percent.360 Prior
demonstrations of CO2 capture plants on
coal-fired steam generating units have
had turndown limits of approximately
60 percent of throughput for Boundary
Dam Unit 3 361 and about 70 percent
throughput for Petra Nova.362 Based on
the technology currently available,
turndown to throughputs of 50
percent 363 are achievable for a single
capture train.364 Considering that coal
units can typically only turndown to 40
percent, a 50 percent turndown ratio for
the CO2 capture plant is likely sufficient
for most sources, although utilizing two
CO2 capture trains would allow for
turndown to as low as 25 percent of
throughput. When operating at less than
maximum throughputs, the CO2 capture
facility actually achieves higher capture
efficiencies, as evidenced by the data
collected at Boundary Dam Unit 3.365
Data from the Shand Feasibility Report
suggests that, for a solvent and design
achieving 90 percent capture at 100
percent of net load, 97.5 percent capture
is achievable at 62.5 percent of net
load.366 Considering these factors, CO2
capture is, in general, able to meet the
variable load of coal-fired steam
generating units without any adverse
impact on the CO2 capture rate. In fact,
operation at lower loads may lead to
360 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
‘‘Power Sector Emissions Data.’’ Washington, DC:
Office of Atmospheric Protection, Clean Air
Markets Division. Available from EPA’s Air Markets
Program Data website: https://campd.epa.gov.
361 Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas
Control Technologies (March 15–18, 2021).
Reducing the CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary
Dam Unit 3 Through Optimization of Operating
Parameters of the Power Plant and Carbon Capture
Facilities. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/
papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286430.
362 W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO Capture
2
and Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final
Scientific/Technical Report (March 2020). https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
363 International CCS Knowledge Centre. The
Shand CCS Feasibility Study Public Report. https://
ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_
Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(202105-12).pdf.
364 Here, a ‘‘train’’ in this context is a series of
connected sequential process equipment. For
carbon capture, a process train can include the
quencher, absorber, stripper, and compressor.
Rather than doubling the size of a single train of
process equipment, a source could use two
equivalent sized trains.
365 Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas
Control Technologies (March 15–18, 2021).
Reducing the CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary
Dam Unit 3 Through Optimization of Operating
Parameters of the Power Plant and Carbon Capture
Facilities. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/
papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286430.
366 International CCS Knowledge Centre. The
Shand CCS Feasibility Study Public Report. https://
ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_
Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(202105-12).pdf.
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higher achievable capture rates over
long periods of time.
Coal-fired steam generating units also
typically have few startups and
shutdowns per year, and CO2 emissions
during those periods are low. Although
capacity factor has declined in recent
years, as noted in section IV.D.3 of the
preamble, the number of startups per
year has been relatively stable. In 2011,
coal-fired sources had about 10 startups
on average. In 2021, coal-fired steam
generating units had only 12 startups on
average, see the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, available in the
docket. Prior to generation of electricity,
coal-fired steam generating units use
natural gas or distillate oil—which have
a lower carbon content than coal—
because of their ignition stability and
low ignition temperature. Heat input
rates during startup are relatively low,
to slowly raise the temperature of the
boiler. Existing natural gas- or oil-fired
ignitors designed for startup purposes
are generally sized for up to 15 percent
of the maximum heat-input.
Considering the low heat input rate, use
of fuel with a lower carbon content, and
the relatively few startups per year, the
contribution of startup to total GHG
emissions is relatively low. Shutdowns
are relatively short events, so that the
contribution to total emissions are also
low. The emissions during startup and
shutdown are therefore small relative to
emissions during normal operation, so
that any impact is averaged out over the
course of a year.
Furthermore, the IRC section 45Q tax
credit provides incentive for units to
operate more. Sources operating at
higher capacity factors are likely to have
fewer startups and shutdowns and
spend less time at low loads, so that
their average load would be higher. This
would further minimize the
insubstantial contribution of startups
and shutdowns to total emissions.
Additionally, as noted in the preceding
sections of the preamble, new solvents
achieve capture rates of 95 percent at
full load, and ongoing projects are
targeting capture rates of 95 percent.
Considering all of these factors, startup
and shutdown, in general, do not affect
the achievability of 90 percent capture
over long periods (i.e., a year).
(7) Coal Rank
CO2 capture at coal-fired steam
generating units achieves 90 percent
capture, for the reasons detailed in
sections VII.C.1.a.i(B)(1) through (6) of
this preamble. Moreover, 90 percent
capture is achievable for all coal types
because amine solvents have been used
to remove CO2 from a variety of flue gas
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compositions including a broad range of
different coal ranks, differences in CO2
concentration are slight and the capture
process can be designed to the
appropriate scale, amine solvents have
been used to capture CO2 from flue gas
with much lower CO2 concentrations,
and differences in flue gas impurities
due to different coal compositions can
be managed or mitigated by controls.
As detailed in the preceding sections,
CO2 capture has been operated on flue
gas from the combustion of a broad
range of coal ranks including lignite,
bituminous, subbituminous, and
anthracite coals. Post-combustion CO2
capture from the flue gas of an EGU
firing lignite has been demonstrated at
the Boundary Dam Unit 3 EGU
(Saskatchewan, Canada). Most lignites
have a higher ash and moisture content
than other coal types and, in that
respect, the flue gas can be more
challenging to manage for CO2 capture.
Amine CO2 capture has also been used
to treat lignite post-combustion flue gas
in pilot studies at the Milton R. Young
station (North Dakota).367 CO2 capture
solvents have been used to treat
subbituminous post-combustion flue gas
from W.A. Parish Generating Station
(Texas),368 and the bituminous postcombustion flue gas from Plant Barry
(Mobile, Alabama),369 Warrior Run
(Maryland),370 and Argus Cogeneration
Plant (California).371 Amine solvents
have also been used to remove CO2 from
the flue gas of the bituminous- and
subbituminous-fired Shady Point
plant.372 CO2 capture solvents have
been used to treat anthracite postcombustion flue gas at the
Wilhelmshaven power plant
(Germany).373 There are also ongoing
projects that will apply CCS to the flue
gas of coal-fired steam generating units.
The EPA considers these ongoing
projects to be indicative of the
confidence that industry stakeholders
have in CCS. These include Project
Tundra at the lignite-fired Milton R.
367 Laum, Jason. Subtask 2.4—Overcoming
Barriers to the Implementation of Postcombustion
Carbon Capture. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/
1580659.
368 W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO Capture
2
and Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final
Scientific/Technical Report (March 2020). https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
369 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). National
Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). https://
www.netl.doe.gov/node/1741.
370 Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ‘‘An Assessment of
the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009.’’
U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,
under Contract DE–AC05–76RL01830.
371 Id.
372 Id.
373 Reddy, et al. Energy Procedia, 37 (2013) 6216–
6225.
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Young station (North Dakota),374 Project
Diamond Vault at the petroleum cokeand subbituminous-fired Brame Energy
Center Madison Unit 3 (Louisiana) 375
and two units at the Jim Bridger Plant
(Wyoming).376
Different coal ranks have different
carbon contents, affecting the
concentration of CO2 in flue gas. In
general, however, CO2 concentration of
coal combustion flue gas varies only
between 13 and 15 percent. Differences
in CO2 concentration can be accounted
for by appropriately designing the
capture equipment, including sizing the
absorber columns. As detailed in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv of the preamble, CO2 has
been captured from the post-combustion
flue gas of NGCCs, which typically have
a CO2 concentration of 4 percent.
Prior to emission controls and preconditioning, characteristics of different
coal ranks and boiler design result in
other differences in the flue gas
composition, including in the
concentration of SO2, NOX, PM, and
trace impurities. Such impurities in the
flue gas can react with the solvent or
cause fouling of downstream processes.
However, in general, most existing coalfired steam generating units in the U.S.
have controls that are necessary for the
pre-conditioning of flue gas prior to the
CO2 capture plant, including PM and
SO2 controls. For those sources without
an FGD for SO2 control, the EPA
included the costs of adding an FGD in
its cost analysis. Other marginal
differences in flue gas impurities can be
managed by appropriately designing the
polishing column (direct contact cooler)
for the individual source’s flue gas.
Trace impurities can be mitigated using
conventional controls in the solvent
reclaiming process (e.g., an activated
carbon bed).
Considering the broad range of coal
post-combustion flue gases amine
solvents have been operated with, that
solvents capture CO2 from flue gases
with lower CO2 concentrations, that the
capture process can be designed for
different CO2 concentrations, and that
flue gas impurities that may differ by
coal rank can be managed by controls,
the EPA therefore concludes that 90
percent capture is achievable across all
coal ranks, including waste coal.
374 Project Tundra—Progress, Minnkota Power
Cooperative, 2023. https://
www.projecttundrand.com.
375 Project Diamond Vault Overview. https://
www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamondvault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
376 2023 Integrated Resource Plan Update,
PacifiCorp, April 1, 2024, https://
www.pacificorp.com/content/dam/pcorp/
documents/en/pacificorp/energy/integratedresource-plan/2023_IRP_Update.pdf.
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(8) Natural Gas-Fired Combustion
Turbines
Additional information supporting
the EPA’s determination that 90 percent
capture of CO2 from steam generating
units is adequately demonstrated is the
experience from CO2 capture from
natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
The EPA describes this information in
section VIII.F.4.c.iv(B)(1), including
explaining how information about CO2
capture from coal-fired steam generating
units also applies to natural gas-fired
combustion turbines. The reverse is true
as well; information about CO2 capture
from natural gas-fired turbines can be
applied to coal fired-units, for much the
same reasons.
(9) Summary of Evidence Supporting
BSER Determination Without EPAct05Assisted Projects
As noted above, under the EPA’s
interpretation of the EPAct05
provisions, the EPA may not rely on
capture projects that received assistance
under EPAct05 as the sole basis for a
determination of adequate
demonstration, but the EPA may rely on
those projects to support or corroborate
other information that supports such a
determination. The information
described above that supports the EPA’s
determination that 90 percent CO2
capture from coal-fired steam generating
units is adequately demonstrated,
without consideration of the EPAct05assisted projects, includes (i) the
information concerning Boundary Dam,
coupled with engineering analysis
concerning key improvements that can
be implemented in future CCS
deployments during initial design and
construction (i.e., all the information in
section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a) and the
information concerning Boundary Dam
in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(b)); (ii) the
information concerning other coal-fired
demonstrations, including the Argus
Cogeneration Plant and AES’s Warrior
Run (i.e., all the information concerning
those sources in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a)); (iii) the information
concerning industrial applications of
CCS (i.e., all the information in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1); (iv) the information
concerning CO2 capture technology
vendor statements (i.e., all the
information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3));
(v) information concerning carbon
capture at natural gas-fired combustion
turbines other than EPAct05-assisted
projects (i.e., all the information other
than information about EPAct05assisted projects in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)). All this information
by itself is sufficient to support the
EPA’s determination that 90 percent
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CO2 capture from coal-fired steam
generating units is adequately
demonstrated. Substantial additional
information from EPAct05-assisted
projects, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(B), provides additional
support and confirms that 90 percent
CO2 capture from coal-fired steam
generating units is adequately
demonstrated.
(C) CO2 Transport
The EPA is finalizing its
determination that CO2 transport by
pipelines as a component of CCS is
adequately demonstrated. The EPA
anticipates that in the coming years, a
large-scale interstate pipeline network
may develop to transport CO2. Indeed,
PHMSA is currently engaged in a
rulemaking to update and strengthen its
safety regulations for CO2 pipelines,
which assumes that such a pipeline
network will develop.377 For purposes
of determining the CCS BSER in this
final action, however, the EPA did not
base its analysis of the availability of
CCS on the projected existence of a
large-scale interstate pipeline network.
Instead, the EPA adopted a more
conservative approach. The BSER is
premised on the construction of
relatively short lateral pipelines that
extend from the source to the nearest
geologic storage reservoir. While the
EPA anticipates that sources would
likely avail themselves of an existing
interstate pipeline network if one were
constructed and that using an existing
network would reduce costs, the EPA’s
analysis focuses on steps that an
individual source could take to access
CO2 storage independently.
EGUs that do not currently capture
and transport CO2 will need to construct
new CO2 pipelines to access CO2 storage
sites, or make arrangements with
pipeline owners and operators who can
do so. Most coal-fired steam EGUs,
however, are located in relatively close
proximity to deep saline formations that
have the potential to be used as longterm CO2 storage sites.378 Of existing
coal-fired steam generating capacity
with planned operation during or after
2039, more than 50 percent is located
377 PHMSA submitted the associated Notice of
Proposed Rulemaking to the White House Office of
Management and Budget on February 1, 2024 for
pre-publication review. The notice stated that the
proposed rulemaking would enhance safety
regulations to ‘‘accommodate an anticipated
increase in the number of carbon dioxide pipelines
and volume of carbon dioxide transported.’’ Office
of Management and Budget. https://
www.reginfo.gov/public/do/
eAgendaViewRule?pubId=202310&RIN=2137-AF60.
378 Individual saline formations would require
site-specific characterization to determine their
suitability for geologic sequestration and the
potential capacity for storage.
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less than 32 km (20 miles) from
potential deep saline sequestration sites,
73 percent is located within 50 km (31
miles), 80 percent is located within 100
km (62 miles), and 91 percent is within
160 km (100 miles). While the EPA’s
analysis focuses on the geographic
availability of deep saline formations,
unmineable coal seams and depleted oil
and gas reservoirs could also potentially
serve as storage formations depending
on site-specific characteristics. Thus, for
the majority of sources, only relatively
short pipelines would be needed for
transporting CO2 from the source to the
sequestration site. For the reasons
described below, the EPA believes that
both new and existing EGUs are capable
of constructing CO2 pipelines as needed.
New EGUs may also be planned to be
co-located with a storage site so that
minimal transport of the CO2 is
required. The EPA has assurance that
the necessary pipelines will be safe
because the safety of existing and new
supercritical CO2 pipelines is
comprehensively regulated by
PHMSA.379
(1) CO2 Transport Demonstrations
The majority of CO2 transported in the
United States is moved through
pipelines. CO2 pipelines have been in
use across the country for nearly 60
years. Operation of this pipeline
infrastructure for this period of time
establishes that the design, construction,
and operational requirements for CO2
pipelines have been adequately
demonstrated.380 PHMSA reported that
8,666 km (5,385 miles) of CO2 pipelines
were in operation in 2022, a 14 percent
increase in CO2 pipeline miles since
2011.381 This pipeline infrastructure
continues to expand with a number of
anticipated projects underway.
The U.S. CO2 pipeline network
includes major trunkline (i.e., large
capacity) pipelines as well as shorter,
smaller capacity lateral pipelines
connecting a CO2 source to a larger
trunkline or connecting a CO2 source to
a nearby CO2 end use. While CO2
379 PHMSA additionally initiated a rulemaking in
2022 to develop and implement new measures to
strengthen its safety oversight of CO2 pipelines
following investigation into a CO2 pipeline failure
in Satartia, Mississippi in 2020. For more
information, see: https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/
phmsa-announces-new-safety-measures-protectamericans-carbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
380 For additional information on CO
2
transportation infrastructure project timelines, costs
and other details, please see EPA’s final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
381 U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline
and Hazardous Material Safety Administration,
‘‘Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.’’ 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/
gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmissionhazardous-liquids.
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pipelines are generally more
economical, other methods of CO2
transport may also be used in certain
circumstances and are detailed in the
final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units.
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(a) Distance of CO2 Transport for CoalFired Power Plants
An important factor in the
consideration of the feasibility of CO2
transport from existing coal-fired steam
generating units to sequestration sites is
the distance the CO2 must be
transported. As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D), potential sequestration
formations include deep saline
formations, unmineable coal seams, and
oil and gas reservoirs. Based on data
from DOE/NETL studies of storage
resources, of existing coal-fired steam
generating capacity with planned
operation during or after 2039, 80
percent is within 100 km (62 miles) of
potential deep saline sequestration sites,
and another 11 percent is within 160 km
(100 miles).382 In other words, 91
percent of this capacity is within 160
km (100 miles) of potential deep saline
sequestration sites. In gigawatts, of the
81 GW of coal-fired steam generation
capacity with planned operation during
or after 2039, only 16 GW is not within
100 km (62 miles) of a potential saline
sequestration site, and only 7 GW is not
within 160 km (100 mi). The vast
majority of these units (on the order of
80 percent) can reach these deep saline
sequestration sites by building an
intrastate pipeline. This distance is
consistent with the distances referenced
in studies that form the basis for
transport cost estimates for this final
rule.383 While the EPA’s analysis
focuses on the geographic availability of
deep saline formations, unmineable coal
seams and depleted oil and gas
reservoirs could also potentially serve as
storage formations depending on sitespecific characteristics.
Of the 9 percent of existing coal-fired
steam generating capacity with planned
operation during or after 2039 that is not
within 160 km (100 miles) of a potential
deep saline sequestration site, 5 percent
is within 241 km (150 miles) of
potential saline sequestration sites, an
additional 3 percent is within 322 km
(200 miles) of potential saline
sequestration sites, and another 1
382 Sequestration potential as it relates to distance
from existing resources is a key part of the EPA’s
regular power sector modeling development, using
data from DOE/NETL studies. For details, please see
chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/
chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
383 The pipeline diameter was sized for this to be
achieved without the need for recompression stages
along the pipeline length.
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other words, more pipeline buildout for
one compliance method necessarily
means less pipeline buildout for the
other method. Therefore, there is no
compliance scenario in which the total
pipeline construction is equal to the
sum of the CCS and natural gas co-firing
pipeline estimates presented in this
preamble.
While natural gas line construction
may be easier in some circumstances
given the uniform federal regulation that
governs those such construction, the
historical trends support the EPA’s
conclusion that constructing less CO2
pipeline length over a several year
period is feasible.
percent is within 402 km (250 miles) of
potential sequestration sites. In total,
assuming all existing coal-fired steam
generating capacity with planned
operation during or after 2039 adopts
CCS, the EPA analysis shows that
approximately 8,000 km (5,000 miles) of
CO2 pipelines would be constructed by
2032. This includes units located at any
distance from sequestration. Note that
this value is not optimized for the least
total pipeline length, but rather
represents the approximate total
pipeline length that would be required
if each power plant constructed a lateral
pipeline connecting their power plant to
the nearest potential saline
sequestration site.384
Additionally, the EPA’s compliance
modeling projects 3,300 miles of CO2
pipeline buildout in the baseline and
4,700 miles of pipeline buildout in the
policy scenario. This is comparable to
the 4,700 to 6,000 miles of CO2 pipeline
buildout estimated by other simulations
examining similar scenarios of coal CCS
deployment.385 Over 5 years, this total
projected CO2 pipeline capacity would
amount to about 660 to 940 miles per
year on average.386 This projected
pipeline mileage is comparable to other
types of pipelines that are regularly
constructed in the United States each
year. For example, based on data
collected by EIA, the total annual
mileage of natural gas pipelines
constructed over the 2017–2021 period
ranged from approximately 1,000 to
2,500 miles per year. The projected
annual average CO2 pipeline mileage is
less than each year in this historical
natural gas pipeline range, and
significantly less than the upper end of
this range.
The EPA also notes that the pipeline
construction estimates presented in this
section are not additive with the natural
gas co-firing pipeline construction
estimates presented below because
individual sources will not elect to
utilize both compliance methods. In
PHMSA reported that 8,666 km (5,385
miles) of CO2 pipelines were in
operation in 2022.387 Due to the unique
nature of each project, CO2 pipelines
vary widely in length and capacity.
Examples of projects that have utilized
CO2 pipelines include the following:
Beaver Creek (76 km), Monell (52.6 km),
Bairoil (258 km), Salt Creek (201 km),
Sheep Mountain (656 km), Slaughter (56
km), Cortez (808 km), Central Basin (231
km), Canyon Reef Carriers (354 km), and
Choctaw (294 km). These pipelines
range in capacity from 1.6 million tons
per year to 27 million tons per year, and
transported CO2 for uses such as
EOR.388
Most sources deploying CCS are
anticipated to construct pipelines that
run from the source to the sequestration
site. Similar CO2 pipelines have been
successfully constructed and operated
in the past. For example, a 109 km (68
mile) CO2 pipeline was constructed
from a fertilizer plant in Coffeyville,
Kansas, to the North Burbank Unit, an
EOR operation in Oklahoma.389
Chaparral Energy entered a long-term
CO2 purchase and sale agreement with
a subsidiary of CVR Energy for the
capture of CO2 from CVR’s nitrogen
fertilizer plant in 2011.390 The pipeline
384 Note that multiple coal-fired EGUs may be
located at each power plant.
385 CO Pipeline Analysis for Existing Coal-Fired
2
Powerplants. Chen et. al. Los Alamos National Lab.
2024. https://permalink.lanl.gov/object/
tr?what=info:lanl-repo/lareport/LA-UR-24-23321.
386 In the EPA’s representative timeline, the CO
2
pipeline is constructed in an 18-month period. In
practice, all CO2 pipeline construction projects
would be spread over a larger time period. In the
Transport and Storage Timeline Summary, ICF
(2024), available in Docket ID EPA–HQ–OAR–
2023–0072, permitting is 1.5 years. Some CO2
pipeline construction would therefore likely begin
by the start of 2028, or even earlier considering ongoing projects. With the one-year compliance
extension for delays outside of the owner/operators
control that would provide extra time if there were
challenges in building pipelines, the construction
on CO2 pipelines could occur during 2032.
387 U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline
and Hazardous Material Safety Administration,
‘‘Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.’’ 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/
gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmissionhazardous-liquids.
388 Noothout, Paul. Et. Al. (2014). ‘‘CO Pipeline
2
infrastructure—lessons learnt.’’ https://
www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S187661021402864.
389 Rassenfoss, Stephen. (2014). ‘‘Carbon Dioxide:
From Industry to Oil Fields.’’ ttps://jpt.spe.org/
carbon-dioxide-industry-oil-fields.
390 GlobeNewswire. ‘‘Chaparral Energy Agrees to
a CO2 Purchase and Sale Agreement with CVR
Energy for Capture of CO2 for Enhanced Oil
Recovery.’’ March 29, 2011. https://
www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2011/03/29/
443163/10562/en/Chaparral-Energy-Agrees-to-aCO2-Purchase-and-Sale-Agreement-With-CVR-
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was then constructed, and operations
started in 2013.391 Furthermore, a 132
km (82 mile) pipeline was constructed
from the Terrell Gas facility (formerly
Val Verde) in Texas to supply CO2 for
EOR projects in the Permian Basin.392
Additionally, the Kemper Country CCS
project in Mississippi, was designed to
capture CO2 from an integrated
gasification combined cycle power
plant, and transport CO2 via a 96 km (60
mile) pipeline to be used in EOR.393
Construction for this facility
commenced in 2010 and was completed
in 2014.394 Furthermore, the Citronelle
Project in Alabama, which was the
largest demonstration of a fully
integrated, pulverized coal-fired CCS
project in the United States as of 2016,
utilized a dedicated 19 km (12 mile)
pipeline constructed by Denbury
Resources in 2011 to transport CO2 to a
saline storage site.395
(c) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Pipelines for
CCS
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Consistent with the EPA’s legal
interpretation that the Agency can rely
on experience from EPAct05 funded
facilities in conjunction with other
information, this section provides
additional examples of CO2 pipelines
with EPAct05 funding. CCS projects
with EPAct05 funding have built
pipelines to connect the captured CO2
source with sequestration sites,
including Illinois Industrial Carbon
Capture and Storage in Illinois, Petra
Nova in Texas, and Red Trail Energy in
North Dakota. The Petra Nova project,
which restarted operations in September
2023,396 transports CO2 via a 131 km (81
mile) pipeline to the injection site,
while the Illinois Industrial Carbon
Capture project and Red Trail Energy
transport CO2 using pipelines under 8
Energy-for-Capture-of-CO2-for-Enhanced-OilRecovery.html.
391 Chaparral Energy. ‘‘A ‘CO Midstream’
2
Overview: EOR Carbon Management Workshop.’’
December 10, 2013. https://www.co2conference.net/
wp-content/uploads/2014/01/13-Chaparral-CO2Midstream-Overview-2013.12.09new.pdf.
392 ‘‘Val Verde Fact Sheet: Commercial EOR using
Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide.’’ https://
sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/val_
verde.html.
393 Kemper County IGCC Fact Sheet: Carbon
Dioxide Capture and Storage Project. https://
sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/kemper.html.
394 Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon
Management. Southern Company—Kemper County,
Mississippi. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/
southern-company-kemper-county-mississippi.
395 Citronelle Project. National Energy
Technology Laboratory. (2018). https://
www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/2018-11/
Citronelle-SECARB-Project.PDF.
396 Jacobs, Trent. (2023). ‘‘A New Day Begins for
Shuttered Petra Nova CCUS.’’ https://jpt.spe.org/anew-day-begins-for-shuttered-petra-nova-ccus.
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km (5 miles) long.397 398 399 Additionally,
Project Tundra, a saline sequestration
project planned at the lignite-fired
Milton R. Young Station in North
Dakota will transport CO2 via a 0.4 km
(0.25 mile) pipeline.400
(d) Existing and Planned CO2
Trunklines
Although the BSER is premised on the
construction of pipelines that connect
the CO2 source to the sequestration site,
in practice some sources may construct
short laterals to existing CO2 trunklines,
which can reduce the number of miles
of pipeline that may need to be
constructed. A map displaying both
existing and planned CO2 pipelines,
overlayed on potential geologic
sequestration sites, is available in the
final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units. Pipelines
connect natural CO2 sources in south
central Colorado, northeast New
Mexico, and Mississippi to oil fields in
Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah,
and Louisiana. The Cortez pipeline is
the longest CO2 pipeline, and it
traverses over 800 km (500) miles from
southwest Colorado to Denver City,
Texas CO2 Hub, where it connects with
several other CO2 pipelines. Many
existing CO2 pipelines in the U.S. are
located in the Permian Basin region of
west Texas and eastern New Mexico.
CO2 pipelines in Wyoming, Texas, and
Louisiana also carry CO2 captured from
natural gas processing plants and
refineries to EOR projects. Additional
pipelines have been constructed to meet
the demand for CO2 transportation. A
170 km (105 mile) CO2 pipeline owned
by Denbury connecting oil fields in the
Cedar Creek Anticline (located along the
Montana-North Dakota border) to CO2
produced in Wyoming was completed
in 2021, and a 30 km (18 mile) pipeline
also owned by Denbury connects to the
same oil field and was completed in
2022.401 402 These pipelines form a
397 Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for
Petra Nova West Ranch Unit. (2021). https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/
wru_decision.pdf.
398 Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for
Archer Daniels Midland Illinois Industrial Carbon
Capture and Storage Project. (2017). https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2017-01/
documents/adm_final_decision.pdf.
399 Red Trail Energy Subpart RR Monitoring,
Reporting, and Verification (MRV) Plan. (2022).
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/202204/rtemrvplan.pdf.
400 Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for
Tundra SGS LLC at the Milton R. Young Station.
(2022). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2022-04/tsgsdecision.pdf.
401 Denbury. Detailed Pipeline and Ownership
Information. (2022) https://www.denbury.com/wpcontent/uploads/2022/11/DEN-PipelineSchedule.pdf.
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network with existing pipelines in the
region—including the Denbury
Greencore pipeline, which was
completed in 2012 and is 232 miles
long, running from the Lost Cabin gas
plant in Wyoming to Bell Creek Field in
Montana.403
In addition to the existing pipeline
network, there are a number of large
CO2 trunklines that are planned or in
progress, which could further reduce
the number of miles of pipeline that a
source may need to construct. Several
major projects have recently been
announced to expand the CO2 pipeline
network across the United States. For
example, the Summit Carbon Solutions
Midwest Carbon Express project has
proposed to add more than 3,200 km
(2,000) miles of dedicated CO2 pipeline
in Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, South
Dakota, and Minnesota. The Midwest
Carbon Express is projected to begin
operations in 2026. Further, Wolf
Carbon Solutions has recently
announced that it plans to refile permit
applications for the Mt. Simon Hub,
which will expand the CO2 pipeline by
450 km (280 miles) in the Midwest.
Tallgrass announced in 2022 a plan to
convert an existing 630 km (392 mile)
natural gas pipeline to carry CO2 from
an ADM ethanol production facility in
Nebraska to a planned commercial-scale
CO2 sequestration hub in Wyoming
aimed for completion in 2024.404
Recently, as part of agreeing to a
communities benefits plan, a number of
community groups have agreed that
they will support construction of the
Tallgrass pipeline in Nebraska.405 While
the construction of larger networks of
trunklines could facilitate CCS for
power plants, the BSER is not
predicated on the buildout of a
trunkline network and the existence of
future trunklines was not assumed in
the EPA’s feasibility or costing analysis.
The EPA’s analysis is conservative in
that it does not presume the buildout of
trunkline networks. The development of
more robust and interconnected
pipeline systems over the next several
years would merely lower the EPA’s
402 AP News. Officials mark start of CO pipeline
2
used for oil recovery. (2022) https://apnews.com/
article/business-texas-north-dakota-plano25f1dbf9a924613a56827c1c83e4ba68.
403 Denbury. Detailed Pipeline and Ownership
Information. (2022) https://www.denbury.com/wpcontent/uploads/2022/11/DEN-PipelineSchedule.pdf.
404 Tallgrass. Tallgrass to Capture and Sequester
CO2 Emissions from ADM Corn Processing Complex
in Nebraska. (2022). https://tallgrass.com/
newsroom/press-releases/tallgrass-to-capture-andsequester-co2-emissions-from-adm-corn-processingcomplex-in-nebraska.
405 https://boldnebraska.org/upcoming-meetingsunderstanding-the-new-tallgrass-carbon-pipelinecommunity-benefits-agreement/.
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cost projections and create additional
CO2 transport options for power plants
that do CCS.
Moreover, pipeline projects have
received funding under the IIJA to
conduct front-end engineering and
design (FEED) studies.406 Carbon
Solutions LLC received funding to
conduct a FEED study for a commercialscale pipeline to transport CO2 in
support of the Wyoming Trails Carbon
Hub as part of a statewide pipeline
system that would be capable of
transporting up to 45 million metric
tons of CO2 per year from multiple
sources. In addition, Howard Midstream
Energy Partners LLC received funding to
conduct a FEED study for a 965 km (600
mi) CO2 pipeline system on the Gulf
Coast that would be capable of moving
at least 250 million metric tons of CO2
annually and connecting carbon sources
within 30 mi of the trunkline.
Other programs were created by the
IIJA to facilitate the buildout of large
pipelines to carry carbon dioxide from
multiple sources. For example, the
Carbon Dioxide Transportation
Infrastructure Finance and Innovation
Act (CIFIA) was incorporated into the
IIJA and provided $2.1 billion to DOE to
finance projects that build shared (i.e.,
common carrier) transport infrastructure
to move CO2 from points of capture to
conversion facilities and/or storage
wells. The program offers direct loans,
loan guarantees, and ‘‘future growth
grants’’ to provide cash payments to
specifically for eligible costs to build
additional capacity for potential future
demand.407
(2) Permitting and Rights of Way
The permitting process for CO2
pipelines often involves a number of
private, local, state, tribal, and/or
Federal agencies. States and local
governments are directly involved in
siting and permitting proposed CO2
pipeline projects. CO2 pipeline siting
and permitting authorities, landowner
rights, and eminent domain laws are
governed by the states and vary by state.
State laws determine pipeline siting
and the process for developers to
acquire rights-of-way needed to build.
Pipeline developers may secure rightsof-way for proposed projects through
voluntary agreements with landowners;
pipeline developers may also secure
rights-of-way through eminent domain
406 Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon
Management. ‘‘Project Selections for FOA 2730:
Carbon Dioxide Transport Engineering and Design
(Round 1).’’ https://www.energy.gov/fecm/projectselections-foa-2730-carbon-dioxide-transportengineering-and-design-round-1.
407 https://www.energy.gov/lpo/carbon-dioxidetransportation-infrastructure.
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authority, which typically accompanies
siting permits from state utility
regulators with jurisdiction over CO2
pipeline siting.408 The permitting
process for interstate pipelines may take
longer than for intrastate pipelines.
Whereas multiple state regulatory
agencies would be involved in the
permitting process for an interstate
pipeline, only one primary state
regulatory agency would be involved in
the permitting process for an intrastate
pipeline.
Most regulation of CO2 pipeline siting
and development is conducted at the
state level, and under state specific
regulatory regimes. As the interest in
CO2 pipelines has grown, states have
taken steps to facilitate pipeline siting
and construction. State level regulation
related to CO2 sequestration and
transport is an very active area of
legislation across states in all parts of
the country, with many states seeking to
facilitate pipeline siting and
construction.409 Many states, including
Kentucky, Michigan, Montana,
Arkansas, and Rhode Island, treat CO2
pipeline operators as common carriers
or public utilities.410 This is an
important classification in some
jurisdictions where it may be required
for pipelines seeking to exercise
eminent domain.411 Currently, 17 states
explicitly allow CO2 pipeline operators
to exercise eminent domain authority
for acquisition of CO2 pipeline rights-ofway, should developers not secure them
through negotiation with landowners.412
Some states have recognized the need
for a streamlined CO2 pipeline
permitting process when there are
multiple layers of regulation and
developed joint permit applications.
Illinois, Louisiana, New York, and
408 Congressional Research Service.2022. Carbon
Dioxide Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June
3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/
pdf/IN/IN11944.
409 Great Plains Institute State Legislative Tracker
2023. Carbon Management State Legislative
Program Tracker. https://www.quorum.us/
spreadsheet/external/fVOjsTvwyeWkIqVlNmoq/
?mc_cid=915706f2bc&.
410 National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). (2023). Onshore U.S.
Carbon Pipeline Deployment: Siting, Safety. and
Regulation. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6BCD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
411 Martin Lockman. Permitting CO Pipelines.
2
Sabin Center for Climate Change Law (2023).
https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/cgi/
viewcontent.cgi?article=1208&context=sabin_
climate_change.
412 The 17 states are: Arizona, Illinois, Indiana,
Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Montana, New Mexico, North Carolina,
North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Texas,
and Wyoming. National Association of Regulatory
Utility Commissioners (NARUC). (2023). Onshore
U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment: Siting, Safety.
and Regulation. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/
F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
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Pennsylvania have created a joint
permitting form that allows applicants
to file a single application for pipeline
projects covering both state and federal
permitting requirements.413 Even in
states without this streamlined process,
pipeline developers can pursue required
state permits concurrently with federal
permits, NEPA review (as applicable),
and the acquisition of rights-of-way.
Pipeline developers have been able to
successfully secure the necessary rightsof way for CO2 pipeline projects. For
example, Summit Carbon Solutions,
which has proposed to add more than
3,200 km (2,000 mi) of dedicated CO2
pipeline in Iowa, Nebraska, North
Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota,
has stated that as of November 7, 2023,
it had reached easement agreements
with 2,100 landowners along the
route.414 As of February 23, 2024,
Summit Carbon Solutions stated that it
had acquired about 75 percent of the
rights of way needed in Iowa, about 80
percent in North Dakota, about 75
percent in South Dakota, and about 89
percent in Minnesota. The company has
successfully navigated hurdles, such as
rerouting the pipelines in certain
counties where necessary.415 416 The
EPA notes that this successful
acquisition of right-of-way easements
for thousands of miles of pipeline across
five states has taken place in just the
three years since the project launched in
2021.417 In addition, the Citronelle
Project, which was constructed in
Alabama in 2011, successfully acquired
rights-of-way through 9 miles of forested
and commercial timber land and 3 miles
of emergent shrub and forested
wetlands. The Citronelle Project was
able to attain rights-of-way through the
habitat of an endangered species by
mitigating potential environmental
413 Martin Lockman. Permitting CO Pipelines.
2
Sabin Center for Climate Change Law (Sept. 2023).
https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/cgi/
viewcontent.cgi?article=1208&context=sabin_
climate_change.
414 South Dakota Public Broadcasting. ‘‘Summit
reaches land deals on more than half of CO2
pipeline route.’’ (2022). https://listen.sdpb.org/
business-economics/2022-11-08/summit-reachesland-deals-on-more-than-half-of-co2-pipeline-route.
415 Summit CEO: CO2 Pipeline’s Time is Now.
(2024). https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/
news/business-inputs/article/2024/02/23/summitceo-blank-says-company-toward.
416 Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon
Solutions Signs 80 Percent of North Dakota
Landowners. (2023). https://
summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbonsolutions-signs-80-percent-of-north-dakotalandowners/.
417 Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon
Solutions Announces Progress on Carbon Capture
and Storage Project. (2022). https://
summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbonsolutions-announces-progress-on-carbon-captureand-storage-project/.
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impacts.418 Even projects that require
rights-of-way across multiple ownership
regimes including state, private, and
federally owned land have been
successfully developed. The 170 km
(105 mile) Cedar Creek Anticline CO2
pipeline owned by Denbury required
easements for approximately 10 km (6.2
mi) to cross state school trust lands in
Montana, 27 km (17 mi) across Federal
land and the remaining miles across
private lands.419 420 The pipeline was
completed in 2021.421
Federal actions (e.g., funding a CCS
project) must generally comply with
NEPA, which often requires that an
environmental assessment (EA) or
environmental impact statement (EIS)
be conducted to consider environmental
impacts of the proposed action,
including consideration of reasonable
alternatives.422 An EA determines
whether or not a Federal action has the
potential to cause significant
environmental effects. Each Federal
agency has adopted its own NEPA
procedures for the preparation of
EAs.423 If the agency determines that the
action will not have significant
environmental impacts, the agency will
issue a Finding of No Significant Impact
(FONSI). Some projects may also be
‘‘categorically excluded’’ from a detailed
environmental analysis when the
Federal action normally does not have
a significant effect on the human
environment. Federal agencies prepare
an EIS if a proposed Federal action is
determined to significantly affect the
quality of the human environment. The
regulatory requirements for an EIS are
more detailed and rigorous than the
requirements for an EA. The
determination of the level of NEPA
review depends on the potential for
significant environmental impacts
418 SECARB. (2021). Final Project Report—
SECARB Phase III, September 2021. https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1823250.
419 Great Falls Tribune. Texas company plans
110-mile CO2 pipeline to enhance Montana oil
recovery. (2018). https://www.greatfallstribune.
com/story/news/2018/10/09/texas-company-plansco-2-pipeline-injection-free-montana-oil/
1577657002/.
420 U.S. D.O.I B.L.M. Denbury-Green Pipeline-MT,
LLC, Denbury Onshore, LLC Cedar Creek Anticline
CO2 Pipeline and EOR Development Project
Scoping Report. https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_
projects/nepa/89883/137194/167548/BLM_
Denbury_Projects_Scoping_Report_March2018.pdf.
421 AP News. Officials mark start of CO pipeline
2
used for oil recovery. (2022) https://apnews.com/
article/business-texas-north-dakota-plano25f1dbf9a924613a56827c1c83e4ba68.
422 Council on Environmental Quality. (2024).
CEQ NEPA Regulations. https://ceq.doe.gov/lawsregulations/regulations.html.
423 Council of Environmental Quality. (2023).
Agency NEPA Implementing Procedures. https://
ceq.doe.gov/laws-regulations/agency_
implementing_procedures.html.
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considering the whole project (e.g.,
crossings of sensitive habitats, cultural
resources, wetlands, public safety
concerns). Consequently, whether a
pipeline project is covered by NEPA and
the associated permitting timelines may
vary depending on site characteristics
(e.g., pipeline length, whether a project
crosses a water of the U.S.) and funding
source. Pipelines through Bureau of
Land Management (BLM) land, U.S.
Forest Service (USFS) land, or other
Federal land would be subject to NEPA.
To ensure that agencies conduct NEPA
reviews as efficiently and expeditiously
as practicable, the Fiscal Responsibility
Act 424 amendments to NEPA
established deadlines for the
preparation of environmental
assessments and environmental impact
statements. Environmental assessments
must be completed within 1 year and
environmental impact statements must
be completed within 2 years 425 A lead
agency that determines it is not able to
meet the deadline may extend the
deadline, in consultation with the
applicant, to establish a new deadline
that provides only so much additional
time as is necessary to complete such
environmental impact statement or
environmental assessment.426
As discussed above, it is anticipated
that most EGUs would need shorter,
intrastate pipeline segments. For
example, ADM’s Decatur, Illinois,
pipeline, which spans 1.9 km (1.18
miles), was constructed after Decatur
was selected for the DOE Phase 1
research and development grants in
October 2009.427 Construction of the
CO2 compression, dehydration, and
pipeline facilities began in July 2011
and was completed in June 2013.428 The
ADM project required only an EA.
Additionally, Air Products operates a
large-scale system to capture CO2 from
two steam methane reformers located
within the Valero Refinery in Port
Arthur, Texas. The recovered and
purified CO2 is delivered by pipeline for
use in enhanced oil recovery
operations.429 This 12-mile pipeline
required only an EA.430 Conversely, the
424 Public
Law 118–5 (June 3, 2023).
Sec. 107(g)(1); 42 U.S.C. 4336a(g)(1).
426 NEPA sec. 107(g)(2); 42 U.S.C. 4336a(g)(2).
427 Massachusetts Institute of Technology. (2014).
Decatur Fact Sheet: Carbon Dioxide Capture and
Storage Project. https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/
projects/decatur.html.
428 NETL. ‘‘CO2 Capture from Biofuels Production
and Sequestration into the Mt. Simon Sandstone.’’
Award #DE–FE0001547. https://www.usaspending.
gov/award/ASST_NON_DEFE0001547_8900.
429 Air Products. Carbon Capture. https://
www.airproducts.com/company/innovation/carboncapture.
430 Department of Energy. (2011). Final
Environmental Assessment for Air Products and
425 NEPA
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Petra Nova project in Texas required an
EIS to evaluate the potential
environmental impacts associated with
DOE’s proposed action of providing
financial assistance for the project. This
EIS addressed potential impacts from
both the associated 131 km (81 mile)
pipeline and other aspects of the larger
CCS system, including the postcombustion CO2.431 For Petra Nova, a
notice of intent to issue an EIS was
published on November 14, 2011, and
the record of decision was issued less
than 2 years later, on May 23, 2013.432
Construction of the CO2 pipeline for
Petra Nova from the W.A. Parish Power
Plant to the West Ranch Oilfield in
Jackson County, TX began in July 2014
and was completed in July 2016.433
Compliance with section 7 of the
Endangered Species Act related to
Federal agency consultation and
biological assessment is also required
for projects on Federal lands.
Specifically, the Endangered Species
Act requires consultation with the
Department of Interior’s Fish and
Wildlife Service and Department of
Commerce’s NOAA Fisheries, in order
to avoid or mitigate impacts to any
threatened or endangered species and
their habitats.434 This agency
consultation process and biological
assessment are generally conducted
during preparation of the NEPA
documentation (EIS or EA) for the
Federal project and generally within the
regulatory timeframes for environmental
assessment or environmental impact
statement preparation. Consequently,
the EPA does not anticipate that
compliance with the Endangered
Species Act will change the anticipated
timeline for most projects.
The EPA notes that the Fixing
America’s Surface Transportation Act
(FAST Act) is also relevant to CCS
projects and pipelines. Title 41 of this
Act (42 U.S.C. 4370m et seq.), referred
to as ‘‘FAST–41,’’ created a new
Chemicals, Inc. Recovery Act: Demonstration of
CO2 Capture and Sequestration of Steam Methane
Reforming Process Gas Used for Large Scale
Hydrogen Production. https://netl.doe.gov/sites/
default/files/environmental-assessments/20110622_
APCI_PtA_CO2_FEA.pdf.
431 Department of Energy, Office of NEPA Policy
and Compliance. (2013). EIS–0473: Record of
Decision. https://www.energy.gov/nepa/articles/eis0473-record-decision.
432 Department of Energy. (2017). Petra Nova
W.A. Parish Project. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/
petra-nova-wa-parish-project.
433 Kennedy, Greg. (2020). ‘‘W.A. Parish Post
Combustion CO2 Capture and Sequestration
Demonstration Project.’’ Final Technical Report.
https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1608572/.
434 CEQ. (2021). ‘‘Council on Environmental
Quality Report to Congress on Carbon Capture,
Utilization, and Sequestration.’’ https://
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/
CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
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governance structure, set of procedures,
and funding authorities to improve the
Federal environmental review and
authorization process for covered
infrastructure projects.435 The Utilizing
Significant Emissions with Innovative
Technologies (USE IT) Act, among other
actions, clarified that CCS projects and
CO2 pipelines are eligible for this more
predictable and transparent review
process.436 FAST–41 created the Federal
Permitting Improvement Steering
Council (Permitting Council), composed
of agency Deputy Secretary-level
members and chaired by an Executive
Director appointed by the President.
FAST–41 establishes procedures that
standardize interagency consultation
and coordination practices. FAST–41
codifies into law the use of the
Permitting Dashboard 437 to track project
timelines, including qualifying actions
that must be taken by the EPA and other
Federal agencies. Project sponsor
participation in FAST–41 is
voluntary.438
Community engagement also plays a
role in the safe operation and
construction of CO2 pipelines. These
efforts can be supported using the CCS
Pipeline Route Planning Database that
was developed by NETL, a public
resource designed to support pipeline
routing decisions and increase
transportation safety.439 The database
includes state-specific regulations and
restrictions, energy and social justice
factors, land use requirements, existing
infrastructure, and areas of potential
risk. The database produces weighted
values ranging from zero to one, where
zero represents acceptable areas for
pipeline placement and one represents
areas that should be avoided.440 The
database will be a key input for the CCS
Pipeline Route Planning Tool under
development by NETL.441 The purpose
435 Federal Permitting Improvement Steering
Council. (2022). FAST–41 Fact Sheet. https://
www.permits.performance.gov/documentation/fast41-fact-sheet.
436 Galford, Chris. USE IT carbon capture bill
becomes law, incentivizing development and
deployment. (2020). https://
dailyenergyinsider.com/news/28522-use-it-carboncapture-bill-becomes-law-incentivizingdevelopment-and-deployment/.
437 Permitting Dashboard Federal Infrastructure
Projects. https://permits.performance.gov/.
438 EPA. ‘‘FAST–41 Coordination.’’ (2023).
https://www.epa.gov/sustainability/fast-41coordination.
439 ‘‘CCS Pipeline Route Planning Database V1—
EDX.’’ https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccspipeline-route-planning-database-v1.
440 ‘‘CCS Pipeline Route Planning Database V1—
EDX.’’ https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccspipeline-route-planning-database-v1.
441 Department of Energy. ‘‘CCS Pipeline Route
Planning Database V1—EDX.’’ https://
edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccs-pipeline-routeplanning-database-v1.
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of the siting tool is to aid pipeline
routing decisions and facilitate
avoidance of areas that would pose
permitting challenges.
In sum, the permitting process for CO2
pipelines often involves private, local,
state, tribal, and/or Federal agencies,
and permitting timelines may vary
depending on site characteristics.
Projects that opt in to the FAST–41
process are eligible for a more
transparent and predictable review
process. EGUs can generally proceed to
obtain permits and rights-of-way
simultaneously, and the EPA anticipates
that, in total, the permitting process
would only take around 2.5 years for
pipelines that only need an EA, with a
possible additional year if the project
requires an EIS (see the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units for additional
information). This is consistent with the
anticipated timelines for CCS discussed
in section VII.C.1.a.i(E). Furthermore,
the EPA notes that there is over 60 years
of experience in the CO2 pipeline
industry designing, permitting, building
and operating CO2 pipelines, and that
this expertise can be applied to the CO2
pipelines that would be constructed to
connect to sequestration sites and units.
As discussed above in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(a), the core of the EPA’s
analysis of pipeline feasibility focuses
on units located within 100 km (62
miles) of potential deep saline
sequestration formations. The EPA notes
that the majority (80 percent) of the
coal-fired steam generating capacity
with planned operation during or after
2039 is located within 100 km (62
miles) of the nearest potential deep
saline sequestration site. For these
sources, as explained, units would be
required only to build relatively short
pipelines, and such buildout would be
feasible within the required timeframe.
For the capacity that is more than 100
km (62 miles) away from sequestration,
building a pipeline may become more
complex. Almost all (98 percent) of this
capacity’s closest sequestration site is
located outside state boundaries, and
access to the nearest sequestration site
would require building an interstate
pipeline and coordinating with multiple
state authorities for permitting
purposes. Conversely, for capacity
where the distance to the nearest
potential sequestration site is less than
100 km (62 miles), only about 19
percent would require the associated
pipeline to cross state boundaries.
Therefore, the EPA believes that
distance to the nearest sequestration site
is a useful proxy for considerations
related to the complexity of pipeline
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construction and how long it will take
to build a pipeline.
A unit that is located more than 100
km away from sequestration may face
complexities in pipeline construction,
including additional permitting hurdles,
difficulties in obtaining the necessary
rights of way over such a distance, or
other considerations, that may make it
unreasonable for that unit to meet the
compliance schedule that is generally
reasonable for sources in the
subcategory as a whole. Pursuant to the
RULOF provisions of 40 CFR 60.2a(e)–
(h), if a state can demonstrate that there
is a fundamental difference between the
information relevant to a particular
affected EGU and the information the
EPA considered in determining the
compliance deadline for sources in the
long-term subcategory, and that this
difference makes it unreasonable for the
EGU to meet the compliance deadline,
a longer compliance schedule may be
warranted. The EPA does not believe
that the fact that a pipeline crosses state
boundaries standing alone is sufficient
to show that an extended timeframe
would be appropriate—many such
pipelines could be reasonably
accomplished in the required
timeframe. Rather, it is the confluence
of factors, including that a pipeline
crosses state boundaries, along with
others that may make RULOF
appropriate.
(3) Security of CO2 Transport
As part of its analysis, the EPA also
considered the safety of CO2 pipelines.
The safety of existing and new CO2
pipelines that transport CO2 in a
supercritical state is regulated by
PHMSA. These regulations include
standards related to pipeline design,
pipeline construction and testing,
pipeline operations and maintenance,
operator reporting requirements,
operator qualifications, corrosion
control and pipeline integrity
management, incident reporting and
response, and public awareness and
communications. PHMSA has
regulatory authority to conduct
inspections of supercritical CO2
pipeline operations and issue notices to
operators in the event of operator
noncompliance with regulatory
requirements.442
CO2 pipelines have been operating
safely for more than 60 years. In the past
20 years, 500 million metric tons of CO2
moved through over 5,000 miles of CO2
pipelines with zero incidents involving
fatalities.443 PHMSA reported a total of
442 See
generally 49 CFR 190–199.
Research Service. 2022. Carbon
Dioxide Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June
443 Congressional
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102 CO2 pipeline incidents between
2003 and 2022, with one injury
(requiring in-patient hospitalization)
and zero fatalities.444
As noted previously in this preamble,
a significant CO2 pipeline rupture
occurred in 2020 in Satartia,
Mississippi, following heavy rains that
resulted in a landslide. Although no one
required in-patient hospitalization as a
result of this incident, 45 people
received treatment at local emergency
rooms after the incident and 200
hundred residents were evacuated.
Typically, when CO2 is released into the
open air, it vaporizes into a heavierthan-air gas and dissipates. During the
Satartia incident, however, unique
atmospheric conditions and the
topographical features of the area
delayed this dissipation. As a result,
residents were exposed to high
concentrations of CO2 in the air after the
rupture. Furthermore, local emergency
responders were not informed by the
operator of the rupture and the nature
of the unique safety risks of the CO2
pipeline.445
PHMSA initiated a rulemaking in
2022 to develop and implement new
measures to strengthen its safety
oversight of supercritical CO2 pipelines
following the investigation into the CO2
pipeline failure in Satartia.446 PHMSA
submitted the associated Notice of
Proposed Rulemaking to the White
House Office of Management and
Budget on February 1, 2024 for prepublication review.447 Following the
Satartia incident, PHMSA also issued a
Notice of Probable Violation, Proposed
Civil Penalty, and Proposed Compliance
Order (Notice) to the operator related to
probable violations of Federal pipeline
safety regulations. The Notice was
ultimately resolved through a Consent
Agreement between PHMSA and the
operator that includes the assessment of
3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/
pdf/IN/IN11944.
444 NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline
Deployment: Siting, Safety. and Regulation.
Prepared by Public Sector Consultants for the
National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://
pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05BE7DA0F12672E.
445 Failure Investigation Report—Denbury Gulf
Coast Pipeline, May 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/sites/phmsa.dot.gov/files/
2022-05/Failure%20Investigation%20Report%20%20Denbury%20Gulf%20Coast%20Pipeline.pdf.
446 PHMSA. (2022). ‘‘PHMSA Announces New
Safety Measures to Protect Americans From Carbon
Dioxide Pipeline Failures After Satartia, MS Leak.’’
https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsaannounces-new-safety-measures-protect-americanscarbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
447 Columbia Law School. (2024). PHMSA
Advances CO2 Pipeline Safety Regulations. https://
climate.law.columbia.edu/content/phmsaadvances-co2-pipeline-safety-regulations.
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civil penalties and identifies actions for
the operator to take to address the
alleged violations and risk
conditions.448 PHMSA has further
issued an updated nationwide advisory
bulletin to all pipeline operators and
solicited research proposals to
strengthen CO2 pipeline safety.449 Given
the Federal and state regulation of CO2
pipelines and the steps that PHMSA is
taking to further improve pipeline
safety, the EPA believes CO2 can be
safely transported by pipeline.
Certain states have authority
delegated from the U.S. Department of
Transportation to conduct safety
inspections and enforce state and
Federal pipeline safety regulations for
intrastate CO2 pipelines.450 451 452
PHMSA’s state partners employ about
70 percent of all pipeline inspectors,
which covers more than 80 percent of
regulated pipelines.453 Federal law
requires certified state authorities to
adopt safety standards at least as
stringent as the Federal standards.454
Further, there are required steps that
CO2 pipeline operators must take to
ensure pipelines are operated safely
under PHMSA standards and related
state standards, such as the use of
pressure monitors to detect leaks or
initiate shut-off valves, and annual
reporting on operations, structural
integrity assessments, and
inspections.455 These CO2 pipeline
448 Department of Transportation. (2023). Consent
Order, Denbury Gulf Coast Pipelines, LLC, CPF No.
4–2022–017–NOPV https://primis.phmsa.dot.gov/
comm/reports/enforce/CaseDetail_cpf_
42022017NOPV.html?nocache=7208.
449 Ibid.
450 New Mexico Public Regulation Commission.
2023. Transportation Pipeline Safety. New Mexico
Public Regulation Commission, Bureau of Pipeline
Safety. https://www.nm-prc.org/transportation/
pipeline-safety.
451 Texas Railroad Commission. 2023. Oversight &
Safety Division. Texas Railroad Commission.
https://www.rrc.texas.gov/about-us/organizationand-activities/rrc-divisions/oversight-safetydivision.
452 NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline
Deployment: Siting, Safety. and Regulation.
Prepared by Public Sector Consultants for the
National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://
pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05BE7DA0F12672E.
453 PHMSA. (2023). ‘‘PHMSA Issues Letters to
Wolf Carbon, Summit, and Navigator Clarifying
Federal, State, and Local Government Pipeline
Authorities.’’ https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/
phmsa-issues-letters-wolf-carbon-summit-andnavigator-clarifying-federal-state-and-local.
454 PHMSA, ‘‘PHMSA Issues Letters to Wolf
Carbon, Summit, and Navigator Clarifying Federal,
State, and Local Government Pipeline Authorities.’’
2023. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsaissues-letters-wolf-carbon-summit-and-navigatorclarifying-federal-state-and-local.
455 Carbon Capture Coalition. ‘‘PHMSA/Pipeline
Safety Fact Sheet,’’ November 2023. https://
carboncapturecoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/
2023/11/Pipeline-Safety-Fact-Sheet.pdf.
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39861
controls and PHMSA standards are
designed to ensure that captured CO2
will be securely conveyed to a
sequestration site.
(4) Comments Received on CO2
Transport and Responses
The EPA received comments on CO2
transport, including CO2 pipelines.
Those comments, and the EPA’s
responses, are as follows.
Comment: Some commenters
identified challenges to the deployment
of a national, interstate CO2 pipeline
network. In particular, those
commenters discussed the experience
faced by long (e.g., over 1,000 miles)
CO2 pipelines seeking permitting and
right-of-way access in Midwest states
including Iowa and North Dakota.
Commenters claimed those challenges
make CCS as BSER infeasible. Some
commenters argued that the existing
CO2 pipeline capacity is not adequate to
meet potential demand caused by this
rule and that the ability of the network
to grow and meet future potential
demand is hindered by significant
public opposition.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the
challenges that some large multi-state
pipeline projects have faced, but does
not agree that those experiences show
that the BSER is not adequately
demonstrated or that the standards
finalized in these actions are not
achievable. As detailed in the preceding
subsections of the preamble, the BSER
is not premised on the buildout of a
national, trunkline CO2 pipeline
network. Most coal-fired steam
generating units are in relatively close
proximity to geologic storage, and those
shorter pipelines would not likely be as
challenging to permit and build as
demonstrated by the examples of
smaller pipeline discussed above.
The EPA acknowledges that some
larger trunkline CO2 pipeline projects,
specifically the Heartland Greenway
project, have recently been delayed or
canceled. However, many projects are
still moving forward and several major
projects have recently been announced
to expand the CO2 pipeline network
across the United States. The EPA notes
that there are often opportunities to
reroute pipelines to minimize
permitting challenges and landowner
concerns. For example, Summit Carbon
Solutions changed their planned
pipeline route in North Dakota after
their initial permit was denied, leading
to successful acquisition of rights of
way.456 Additionally, Tallgrass, which
456 Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon
Solutions Signs 80 Percent of North Dakota
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is planning to convert a 630 km (392
mile) natural gas pipeline to carry CO2,
announced that they had reach a
community benefits agreement, in
which certain organizations have agreed
not to oppose the pipeline project while
Tallgrass has agreed to terms such as
contributing funds to first responders
along the pipeline route and providing
royalty checks to landowners.457 See
section VII.C.1.a.i(C)(1)(d) for additional
discussion of planned CO2 pipelines.
While access to larger trunkline projects
would not be required for most EGUs,
at least some larger trunkline projects
are likely to be constructed, which
would increase opportunities for
connecting to pipeline networks.
Comment: Some commenters
disagreed with the modeling
assumption that 100 km is a typical
pipeline distance. The commenters
asserted that there is data showing the
actual locations of the power plants
affected by the rule, and the required
pipeline distance is not always 100 km.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that the physical locations of EGUs and
the physical locations of carbon
sequestration capacity and
corresponding pipeline distance will
not be 100 km in all cases. As discussed
previously in section VII.C.1.a.i(C)(1)(a),
the EPA modeled the unique
approximate distance from each existing
coal-fired steam generating capacity
with planned operation during or after
2039 to the nearest potential saline
sequestration site, and found that the
majority (80 percent) is within 100 km
(62 miles) of potential saline
sequestration sites, and another 11
percent is within 160 km (100 miles).458
Furthermore, the EPA disagrees with the
comments suggesting that the use of 100
km is an inappropriate economic
modeling assumption. The 100 km
assumption was not meant to
encompass the physical location of
every potentially affected EGU. The 100
km assumption is intended as an
economic modeling assumption and is
based on similar assumptions applied in
Landowners. (2023). https://
summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbonsolutions-signs-80-percent-of-north-dakotalandowners/.
457 Hammel, Paul. (2024). Pipeline company,
Nebraska environmental group strike unique
‘community benefits’ agreement. https://
www.desmoinesregister.com/story/tech/science/
environment/2024/04/11/nebraskaenvironmentalist-forge-peace-pact-with-pipelinecompany/73282852007/.
458 Sequestration potential as it relates to distance
from existing resources is a key part of the EPA’s
regular power sector modeling development, using
data from DOE/NETL studies. For details, please see
chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/
chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
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NETL studies used to estimate CO2
transport costs. The EPA carefully
reviewed the assumptions on which the
NETL transport cost estimates are based
and continues to find them reasonable.
The NETL studies referenced in section
VII.C.1.a.ii based transport costs on a
generic 100 km (62 mile) pipeline and
a generic 80 km pipeline.459 For most
EGUs, the necessary pipeline distance is
anticipated to be less than 100 km and
therefore the associated costs could also
be lower than these assumptions. Other
published economic models applying
different assumptions have also reached
the conclusion that CO2 transport and
sequestration are adequately
demonstrated.460
Comment: Commenters also stated
that the permitting and construction
processes can be time-consuming.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
building CO2 pipelines requires capital
expenditure and acknowledges that the
timeline for siting, engineering design,
permitting, and construction of CO2
pipelines depends on factors including
the pipeline capacity and pipeline
length, whether the pipeline route is
intrastate or interstate, and the specifics
of the state pipeline regulator’s
regulatory requirements. In the BSER
analysis, individual EGUs that are
subject to carbon capture requirements
are assumed to take a point-to-point
approach to CO2 transport and
sequestration. These smaller-scale
projects require less capital and may
present less complexity than larger
projects. The EPA considers the
timeline to permit and install such
pipelines in section VII.C.1.a.i(E) of the
preamble, and has determined that a
compliance date of January 1, 2032
allows for a sufficient amount of time.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed significant concerns about the
safety of CO2 pipelines following the
CO2 pipeline failure in Satartia,
Mississippi in 2020.
Response: For a discussion of the
safety of CO2 pipelines and the Satartia
pipeline failure, see section
VII.C.1.a.i(C)(3). The EPA believes that
the framework of Federal and state
regulation of CO2 pipelines and the
steps that PHMSA is taking to further
improve pipeline safety, is sufficient to
459 The pipeline diameter was sized for this to be
achieved without the need for recompression stages
along the pipeline length.
460 Ogland-Hand, Jonathan D. et. al. 2022.
Screening for Geologic Sequestration of CO2: A
Comparison Between SCO2TPRO and the FE/NETL
CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model. International
Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, Volume 114,
February 2022, 103557. https://
www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S175058362100308X.
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ensure CO2 can be safely transported by
pipeline.
(D) Geologic Sequestration of CO2
The EPA is finalizing its
determination that geologic
sequestration (i.e., the long-term
containment of a CO2 stream in
subsurface geologic formations) is
adequately demonstrated. In this
section, we provide an overview of the
availability of sequestration sites in the
U.S., discuss how geologic sequestration
of CO2 is well proven and broadly
available throughout the U.S, explain
the effectiveness of sequestration,
discuss the regulatory framework for
UIC wells, and discuss the timing of
permitting for sequestration sites. We
then provide a summary of key
comments received concerning geologic
sequestration and our responses to those
comments.
(1) Sequestration Sites for Coal-Fired
Power Plants Subject to CCS
Requirements
(a) Broad Availability of Sequestration
Sequestration is broadly available in
the United States, which makes clear
that it is adequately demonstrated. By
far the most widely available and well
understood type of sequestration is that
in deep saline formations. These
formations are common in the U.S.
These formations are numerous and
only a small subset of the existing saline
storage capacity would be required to
store the CO2 from EGUs. Many projects
are in the process of completing
thorough subsurface studies of these
deep saline formations to determine
their suitability for regional-scale
storage. Furthermore, sequestration
formations could also include
unmineable coal seams and oil and gas
reservoirs. CO2 may be stored in oil and
gas reservoirs in association with EOR
and enhanced gas recovery (EGR)
technologies, collectively referred to as
enhanced recovery (ER), which include
the injection of CO2 in oil and gas
reservoirs to increase production. ER is
a technology that has been used for
decades in states across the U.S.461
Geologic sequestration is based on a
demonstrated understanding of the
trapping and containment processes that
retain CO2 in the subsurface. The
presence of a low permeability seal is an
important component of demonstrating
secure geologic sequestration. Analyses
of the potential availability of geologic
sequestration capacity in the United
States have been conducted by DOE,
461 NETL. (2010). Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil
Recovery. https://www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/
files/netl-file/co2_eor_primer.pdf.
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and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)
has also undertaken a comprehensive
assessment of geologic sequestration
resources in the United States.462 463
Geologic sequestration potential for CO2
is widespread and available throughout
the United States. Nearly every state in
the United States has or is in close
proximity to formations with geologic
sequestration potential, including areas
offshore. There have been numerous
efforts demonstrating successful
geologic sequestration projects in the
United States and overseas, and the
United States has developed a detailed
set of regulatory requirements to ensure
the security of sequestered CO2.
Moreover, the amount of storage
potential can readily accommodate the
amount of CO2 for which sequestration
could be expected under this final rule.
The EPA has performed a geographic
availability analysis in which the
Agency examined areas of the U.S. with
sequestration potential in deep saline
formations, unmineable coal seams, and
oil and gas reservoirs; information on
existing and probable, planned or under
study CO2 pipelines; and areas within a
100 km (62-mile) area of potential
sequestration sites. This availability
analysis is based on resources from the
DOE, the USGS, and the EPA. The
distance of 100 km is consistent with
the assumptions underlying the NETL
cost estimates for transporting CO2 by
pipeline. The scoping assessment by the
EPA found that at least 37 states have
geologic characteristics that are
amenable to deep saline sequestration,
and an additional 6 states are within
100 kilometers of potentially amenable
deep saline formations in either onshore
or offshore locations. Of the 7 states that
are further than 100 km (62 mi) of
onshore or offshore storage potential in
deep saline formations, only New
Hampshire has coal EGUs that were
assumed to be in operation after 2039,
with a total capacity of 534 MW.
However, the EPA notes that as of
March 27, 2024, the last coal-fired steam
EGUs in New Hampshire announced
that they would cease operation by
2028.464 Therefore, the EPA anticipates
that there will no existing coal-fired
462 U.S. DOE NETL. (2015). Carbon Storage Atlas,
Fifth Edition, September 2015. https://
www.netl.doe.gov/research/coal/carbon-storage/
atlasv.
463 U.S. Geological Survey Geologic Carbon
Dioxide Storage Resources Assessment Team.
(2013). National assessment of geologic carbon
dioxide storage resources—Summary: U.S.
Geological Survey Factsheet 2013–3020. https://
pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2013/3020/.
464 Vickers, Clayton. (2024). ‘‘Last coal plants in
New England to close; renewables take their place.’’
https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/
4560375-new-hampshire-coal-plants-closing/.
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steam EGUs located in states that are
further than 100 km (62 mi) of potential
geologic sequestration sites.
Furthermore, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i(C), new EGUs would have the
ability to consider proximity and access
to geologic sequestration sites or CO2
pipelines in the siting process.
The DOE and the United States
Geological Survey (USGS) have
independently conducted preliminary
analyses of the availability and potential
CO2 sequestration resources in the
United States. The DOE estimates are
compiled in the DOE’s National Carbon
Sequestration Database and Geographic
Information System (NATCARB) using
volumetric models and are published in
its Carbon Utilization and Sequestration
Atlas (NETL Atlas). The DOE estimates
that areas of the United States with
appropriate geology have a
sequestration potential of at least 2,400
billion to over 21,000 billion metric tons
of CO2 in deep saline formations,
unmineable coal seams, and oil and gas
reservoirs. The USGS assessment
estimates a mean of 3,000 billion metric
tons of subsurface CO2 sequestration
potential across the United States. With
respect to deep saline formations, the
DOE estimates a sequestration potential
of at least 2,200 billion metric tons of
CO2 in these formations in the United
States. The EPA estimates that the CO2
emissions reductions for this rule
(which is similar to the amount of CO2
may be sequestered under this rule) are
estimated in the range of 1.3 to 1.4
billion metric tons over the 2028 to 2047
timeframe.465 This volume of
sequestered CO2 is less than a tenth of
a percent of the storage capacity in deep
saline formations estimated to be
available by DOE.
Unmineable coal seams offer another
potential option for geologic
sequestration of CO2. Enhanced coalbed
methane recovery is the process of
injecting and storing CO2 in unmineable
coal seams to enhance methane
recovery. These operations take
advantage of the preferential chemical
affinity of coal for CO2 relative to the
methane that is naturally found on the
surfaces of coal. When CO2 is injected,
it is adsorbed to the coal surface and
releases methane that can then be
captured and produced. This process
effectively ‘‘locks’’ the CO2 to the coal,
where it remains stored. States with the
potential for sequestration in
unmineable coal seams include Iowa
and Missouri, which have little to no
saline sequestration potential and have
465 For detailed information on the estimated
emissions reductions from this rule, see section 3
of the RIA, available in the rulemaking docket.
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existing coal-fired EGUs. Unmineable
coal seams have a sequestration
potential of at least 54 billion metric
tons of CO2, or 2 percent of total
potential in the United States, and are
located in 22 states.
The potential for CO2 sequestration in
unmineable coal seams has been
demonstrated in small-scale
demonstration projects, including the
Allison Unit pilot project in New
Mexico, which injected a total of
270,000 tons of CO2 over a 6-year period
(1995–2001). Further, DOE Regional
Carbon Sequestration Partnership
projects have injected CO2 volumes in
unmineable coal seams ranging from 90
tons to 16,700 tons, and completed site
characterization, injection, and postinjection monitoring for sites. DOE has
included unmineable coal seams in the
NETL Atlas. One study estimated that in
the United States, 86.16 billion tons of
CO2 could be permanently stored in
unmineable coal seams.466 Although the
large-scale injection of CO2 in coal
seams can lead to swelling of coal, the
literature also suggests that there are
available technologies and techniques to
compensate for the resulting reduction
in injectivity. Further, the reduced
injectivity can be anticipated and
accommodated in sizing and
characterizing prospective sequestration
sites.
Depleted oil and gas reservoirs
present additional potential for geologic
sequestration. The reservoir
characteristics of developed fields are
well known as a result of exploration
and many years of hydrocarbon
production and, in many areas,
infrastructure already exists which
could be evaluated for conversion to
CO2 transportation and sequestration
service. Other types of geologic
formations such as organic rich shale
and basalt may also have the ability to
store CO2, and DOE is continuing to
evaluate their potential sequestration
capacity and efficacy.
(b) Inventory of Coal-Fired Power Plants
That Are Candidates for CCS
Sequestration potential as it relates to
distance from existing coal-fired steam
generating units is a key part of the
EPA’s regular power sector modeling,
using data from DOE/NETL studies.467
As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(1)(a), the availability
466 Godec, Koperna, and Gale. (2014). ‘‘CO 2
ECBM: A Review of its Status and Global
Potential’’, Energy Procedia, Volume 63. https://
doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.619.
467 For details, please see Chapter 6 of the IPM
documentation. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storageand-transport.pdf.
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analysis shows that of the coal-fired
steam generating capacity with planned
operation during or after 2039, more
than 50 percent is less than 32 km (20
miles) from potential deep saline
sequestration sites, 73 percent is located
within 50 km (31 miles), 80 percent is
located within 100 km (62 miles), and
91 percent is within 160 km (100
miles).468
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(2) Geologic Sequestration of CO2 Is
Adequately Demonstrated
Geologic sequestration is based on a
demonstrated understanding of the
processes that affect the fate of CO2 in
the subsurface. Existing project and
regulatory experience, along with other
information, indicate that geologic
sequestration is a viable long-term CO2
sequestration option. As discussed in
this section, there are many examples of
projects successfully injecting and
containing CO2 in the subsurface.
Research conducted through the
Department of Energy’s Regional Carbon
Sequestration Partnerships has
demonstrated geologic sequestration
through a series of field research
projects that increased in scale over
time, injecting more than 12 million
tons of CO2 with no indications of
negative impacts to either human health
or the environment.469 Building on this
experience, DOE launched the Carbon
Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise
(CarbonSAFE) Initiative in 2016 to
demonstrate how knowledge from the
Regional Carbon Sequestration
Partnerships can be applied to
commercial-scale safe storage. This
initiative is furthering the development
and refinement of technologies and
techniques critical to the
characterization of sites with the
potential to sequester greater than 50
million tons of CO2.470 In Phase I of
CarbonSAFE, thirteen projects
conducted economic feasibility
analyses, collected, analyzed, and
modeled extensive regional data,
evaluated multiple storage sites and
infrastructure, and evaluated business
plans. Six projects were funded for
Phase II which involves storage complex
feasibility studies. These projects
evaluate initial reservoir characteristics
468 Sequestration potential as it relates to distance
from existing resources is a key part of the EPA’s
regular power sector modeling development, using
data from DOE/NETL studies. For details, please see
chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/
chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
469 Regional Sequestration Partnership Overview.
https://netl.doe.gov/carbon-management/carbonstorage/RCSP.
470 National Energy Technology Laboratory.
CarbonSAFE Initiative. https://netl.doe.gov/carbonmanagement/carbon-storage/carbonsafe.
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to determine if the reservoir is suitable
for geologic sequestration sites of more
than 50 million tons of CO2, address
technical and non-technical challenges
that may arise, develop a risk
assessment and CO2 management
strategy for the project; and assist with
the validation of existing tools. Five
projects have been funded for
CarbonSAFE Phase III and are currently
performing site characterization and
permitting.
The EPA notes that, while only
sequestration facilities with Federal
funding are currently operational in the
United States, multiple commercial
sequestration facilities, other than those
funded under EPAct05, are in
construction or advanced development,
with some scheduled to open for
operation as early as 2025.471 These
facilities have proposed sequestration
capacities ranging from 0.03 to 6 million
tons of CO2 per year. The Great Plains
Synfuel Plant currently captures 2
million metric tons of CO2 per year,
which is exported to Canada for use in
EOR; a planned addition of
sequestration in a saline formation for
this facility is expected to increase the
amount of CO2 captured and
sequestered (through both geologic
sequestration and EOR) to 3.5 million
metric tons of CO2 per year.472 The EPA
and states with approved UIC Class VI
programs (including Wyoming, North
Dakota, and Louisiana) are currently
reviewing UIC Class VI geologic
sequestration well permit applications
for proposed sequestration sites in
fourteen states.473 474 475 As of March 15,
2024, 44 projects with 130 injection
wells are under review by the EPA.476
471 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
472 Basin Electric Power Cooperative. (2021).
‘‘Great Plains Synfuels Plant Potential to Be Largest
Coal-Based Carbon Capture and Storage Project to
Use Geologic Storage’’. https://
www.basinelectric.com/News-Center/news-releases/
Great-Plains-Synfuels-Plant-potential-to-be-largestcoal-based-carbon-capture-and-storage-project-touse-geologic-storage.
473 UIC regulations for Class VI wells authorize
the injection of CO2 for geologic sequestration while
protecting human health by ensuring the protection
of underground sources of drinking water. The
major components to be included in UIC Class VI
permits are detailed further in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4).
474 U.S. EPA Class VI Underground Injection
Control (UIC) Class VI Wells Permitted by EPA as
of January 25, 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/tableepas-draft-and-final-class-vi-well-permits Last
updated January 19, 2024.
475 U.S. EPA Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/
current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
476 U.S. EPA. Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/
current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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Currently, there are planned geologic
sequestration facilities across the United
States in various phases of
development, construction, and
operation. The Wyoming Department of
Environmental Quality issued three UIC
Class VI permits in December 2023 to
Frontier Carbon Solutions. The Frontier
Carbon Solutions project will sequester
5 million metric tons of CO2/year.477
Additionally, UIC Class VI permit
applications have been submitted to the
Wyoming Department of Environmental
Quality for a proposed Eastern
Wyoming Sequestration Hub project
that would sequester up to 3 million
metric tons of CO2/year.478 The North
Dakota Oil and Gas Division has issued
UIC Class VI permits to 6 sequestration
projects that collectively will sequester
18 million metric tons of CO2/year.479
Since 2014, the EPA has issued two UIC
Class VI permits to Archer Daniels
Midland (ADM) in Decatur, Illinois,
which authorize the injection of up to
7 million metric tons of CO2. One of the
AMD wells is in the injection phase
while the other is in the post-injection
phase. In January 2024, the EPA issued
two UIC Class VI permits to Wabash
Carbon Services LLC for a project that
will sequester up to 1.67 million metric
tons of CO2/year over an injection
period of 12 years.480 In December 2023,
the EPA released for public comment
four UIC Class VI draft permits for the
Carbon TerraVault projects, to be
located in California.481 These projects
propose to sequester CO2 captured from
multiple different sources in California
including a hydrogen plant, direct air
capture, and pre-combustion gas
treatment. TerraVault plans to inject
1.46 million metric tons of CO2 annually
into the four proposed wells over a 26year injection period with a total
potential capacity of 191 million metric
tons.482 483 One of the proposed wells is
477 Wyoming DEQ, Water Quality. Wyoming
grants its first three Class VI permits. By Kimberly
Mazza, December 14, 2023 https://
deq.wyoming.gov/2023/12/wyoming-grants-its-firstthree-class-vi-permits/.
478 Wyoming DEQ Class VI Permit Applications.
Trailblazer permit application. https://
deq.wyoming.gov/water-quality/groundwater/uic/
class-vi.
479 North Dakota Oil and Gas Division, Class VI—
Geologic Sequestration Wells. https://
www.dmr.nd.gov/dmr/oilgas/ClassVI.
480 EPA Approves Permits to Begin Construction
of Wabash Carbon Services Underground Injection
Wells in Indiana’s Vermillion and Vigo Counties.
(2024) https://www.epa.gov/uic/epa-approvespermits-wabash-carbon-services-undergroundinjection-wells-indianas-vigo-and
481 U.S. EPA Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/
current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
482 U.S. EPA Class VI Permit Application. ‘‘Intent
to Issue Four (4) Class VI Geologic Carbon
Sequestration Underground Injection Control (UIC)
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an existing UIC Class II well that would
be converted to a UIC Class VI well for
the TerraVault project.484
Geologic sequestration has been
proven to be successful and safe in
projects internationally. In Norway,
facilities conduct offshore sequestration
under the Norwegian continental
shelf.485 In addition, the Sleipner CO2
Storage facility in the North Sea, which
began operations in 1996, injects around
1 million metric tons of CO2 per year
from natural gas processing.486 The
Snohvit CO2 Storage facility in the
Barents Sea, which began operations in
2008, injects around 0.7 million metric
tons of CO2 per year from natural gas
processing. The SaskPower carbon
capture and sequestration facility at
Boundary Dam Power Station in
Saskatchewan, Canada had, as of the
end of 2023, captured 5.6 million metric
tons of CO2 since it began operating in
2014.487 Other international
sequestration facilities in operation
include Glacier Gas Plant MCCS
(Canada),488 Quest (Canada), and Qatar
LNG CCS (Qatar). The CarbFix project in
Iceland injects CO2 into a geologic
formation in which the CO2 reacts with
basalt rock formations to form stone.
The CarbFix project has injected
approximately 100,000 metric tons of
CO2 into geologic formations since
2014.489
EOR, the process of injecting CO2 into
oil and gas formations to extract
additional oil and gas, has been
successfully used for decades at
numerous production fields throughout
the United States to increase oil and gas
recovery. The oil and gas industry in the
Permits for Carbon TerraVault JV Storage Company
Sub 1, LLC. EPA–R09–OW–2023–0623.’’ https://
www.epa.gov/publicnotices/intent-issue-class-viunderground-injection-control-permits-carbonterravault-jv.
483 California Resources Corporation. ‘‘Carbon
TerraVault Potential Storage Capacity.’’https://
www.crc.com/carbon-terravault/Vaults/
default.aspx.
484 U.S. EPA Class VI Permit Application. ‘‘Intent
to Issue Four (4) Class VI Geologic Carbon
Sequestration Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Permits for Carbon TerraVault JV Storage Company
Sub 1, LLC. EPA–R09–OW–2023–0623.
485 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
(2005). Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture
and Storage. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/carbondioxide-capture-and-storage/.
486 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
487 BD3 Status Update: Q3 2023. https://
www.saskpower.com/about-us/our-company/blog/
2023/bd3-status-update-q3-2023.
488 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
489 CarbFix Operations. (2024). https://
www.carbfix.com/.
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United States has nearly 60 years of
experience with EOR.490 This
experience provides a strong foundation
for demonstrating successful CO2
injection and monitoring technologies,
which are needed for safe and secure
geologic sequestration that can be used
for deployment of CCS across
geographically diverse areas. The
amount of CO2 that can be injected for
an EOR project and the duration of
operations are of similar magnitude to
the duration and volume of CO2 that is
expected to be captured from fossil fuelfired EGUs. The Farnsworth Unit, the
Camrick Unit, the Shute Creek Facility,
and the Core Energy CO2-EOR facility
are all examples of operations that store
anthropogenic CO2 as a part of EOR
operations.491 492 Currently, 13 states
have active EOR operations, and these
states also have areas that are amenable
to deep saline sequestration in either
onshore or offshore locations.493
(3) EPAct05-Assisted Geologic
Sequestration Projects
Consistent with the EPA’s legal
interpretation that the Agency can rely
on experience from EPAct05 funded
facilities in conjunction with other
information, this section provides
examples of EPAct05-assisted geologic
sequestration projects. While the EPA
has determined that the sequestration
component of CCS is adequately
demonstrated based on the non-EPAct05
examples discussed above, adequate
demonstration of geologic sequestration
is further corroborated by planned and
operational geologic sequestration
projects assisted by grants, loan
guarantees, and the IRC section 48A
federal tax credit for ‘‘clean coal
technology’’ authorized by the
EPAct05.494
At present, there are 13 operational
and one post-injection phase
commercial carbon sequestration
facilities in the United States.495 496 Red
490 NETL. (2010). Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil
Recovery. https://www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/
files/netl-file/co2_eor_primer.pdf.
491 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
492 Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program
monitoring reports for these facilities are available
at https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/subpart-rrgeologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide#decisions.
493 U.S. DOE NETL, Carbon Storage Atlas, Fifth
Edition, September 2015. https://www.netl.doe.gov/
research/coal/carbon-storage/atlasv.
494 80 FR 64541–42 (October 23, 2015).
495 Clean Air Task Force. (August 3, 2023). U.S.
Carbon Capture Activity and Project Map. https://
www.catf.us/ccsmapus/.
496 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
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Trail Energy CCS Project in North
Dakota and Illinois Industrial Carbon
Capture and Storage in Illinois are
dedicated saline sequestration facilities,
while the other facilities, including
Petra Nova in Texas, are sequestration
via EOR.497 498 Several other facilities
are under development.499 The Red
Trail Energy CCS facility in North
Dakota began injecting CO2 captured
from ethanol production plants in
2022.500 This project is expected to
inject 180,000 tons of CO2 per year.501
The Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture
and Storage Project began injecting CO2
from ethanol production into the Mount
Simon Sandstone in April 2017.
According to the facility’s report to the
EPA’s Greenhouse Gas Reporting
Program (GHGRP), as of 2022, 2.9
million metric tons of CO2 had been
injected into the saline reservoir.502 CO2
injection for one of the two permitted
Class VI wells ceased in 2021 and this
well is now in the post-operation data
collection phase.503
There are additional planned geologic
sequestration projects under review by
the EPA and across the United
States.504 505 Project Tundra, a saline
sequestration project planned at the
lignite-fired Milton R. Young Station in
North Dakota is projected to capture 4
million metric tons of CO2 annually.506
In Wyoming, Class VI permit
497 Reuters. (September 14, 2023) ‘‘Carbon capture
project back at Texas coal plant after 3-year
shutdown’’. https://www.reuters.com/business/
energy/carbon-capture-project-back-texas-coalplant-after-3-year-shutdown-2023-09-14/.
498 Clean Air Task Force. (August 3, 2023). U.S.
Carbon Capture Activity and Project Map. https://
www.catf.us/ccsmapus/.
499 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
500 Ibid.
501 Ibid.
502 EPA Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program. Data
reported as of August 12, 2022.
503 University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign,
Prairie Research Institute. (2022). Data from
landmark Illinois Basin carbon storage project are
now available. https://blogs.illinois.edu/view/7447/
54118905.
504 In addition, Denbury Resources injected CO
2
into a depleted oil and gas reservoir at a rate greater
than 1.2 million tons/year as part of a DOE
Southeast Regional Carbon Sequestration
Partnership study. The Texas Bureau of Economic
Geology tested a wide range of surface and
subsurface monitoring tools and approaches to
document sequestration efficiency and
sequestration permanence at the Cranfield oilfield
in Mississippi. Texas Bureau of Economic Geology,
‘‘Cranfield Log.’’ https://www.beg.utexas.edu/gccc/
research/cranfield.
505 EPA Class VI Permit Tracker. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2024-02/
class-vi-permit-tracker_2-5-24.pdf. Accessed
February 5, 2024.
506 Project Tundra. ‘‘Project Tundra.’’ https://
www.projecttundrand.com/.
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applications have been issued by the
Wyoming Department of Environmental
Quality for the proposed Eastern
Wyoming Sequestration Hub project, a
saline sequestration facility proposed to
be located in Southwestern
Wyoming.507 At full capacity, the
facility would permanently store up to
5 million metric tons of CO2 captured
from industrial facilities annually in the
Nugget saline sandstone reservoir.508 In
Texas, three NGCCs plan to add carbon
capture equipment. Deer Park NGCC
plans to capture 5 million tons per year,
Quail Run NGCC plans to capture 1.5
million tons of CO2 per year, and
Baytown NGCC plans to capture up to
2 million tons of CO2 per year.509 510
(4) Security of Geologic Sequestration
and Related Regulatory Requirements
As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(2) of this preamble, there
have been numerous instances of
geologic sequestration in the U.S. and
overseas, and the U.S. has developed a
detailed set of regulatory requirements
to ensure the security of sequestered
CO2. This regulatory framework
includes the UIC well regulations
pursuant to SDWA authority, and the
GHGRP pursuant to CAA authority.
Regulatory oversight of geologic
sequestration is built upon an
understanding of the proven
mechanisms by which CO2 is retained
in geologic formations. These
mechanisms include (1) Structural and
stratigraphic trapping (generally
trapping below a low permeability
confining layer); (2) residual CO2
trapping (retention as an immobile
phase trapped in the pore spaces of the
geologic formation); (3) solubility
trapping (dissolution in the in situ
formation fluids); (4) mineral trapping
(reaction with the minerals in the
geologic formation and confining layer
to produce carbonate minerals); and (5)
preferential adsorption trapping
(adsorption onto organic matter in coal
and shale).
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(a) Overview of Legal and Regulatory
Framework
For the reasons detailed below, the
UIC Program, the GHGRP, and other
regulatory requirements comprise a
507 Wyoming DEQ Class VI Permit Applications.
https://deq.wyoming.gov/water-quality/
groundwater/uic/class-vi/.
508 Id.
509 Calpine. (2023). Calpine Carbon Capture,
Bayton, Texas. https://calpinecarboncapture.com/
wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Calpine-BaytownOne-Pager-English-1.pdf.
510 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
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detailed regulatory framework for
geologic sequestration in the United
States. This framework is analyzed in a
2021 report from the Council on
Environmental Quality (CEQ),511 and
statutory and regulatory frameworks
that may be applicable for CCS are
summarized in the EPA CCS
Regulations Table.512 513 This regulatory
framework includes the UIC regulations,
promulgated by the EPA under the
authority of the Safe Drinking Water Act
(SDWA); and the GHGRP, promulgated
by the EPA under the authority of the
CAA. The requirements of the UIC and
GHGRP programs work together to
ensure that sequestered CO2 will remain
securely stored underground.
Furthermore, geologic sequestration
efforts on Federal lands as well as those
efforts that are directly supported with
Federal funds would need to comply
with the NEPA and other Federal laws
and regulations, depending on the
nature of the project.514 In cases where
sequestration is conducted offshore, the
SDWA, the Marine Protection, Research,
and Sanctuaries Act (MPRSA) or the
Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act
(OCSLA) may apply. The Department of
Interior Bureau of Safety and
Environmental Enforcement and Bureau
of Ocean Energy Management are
developing new regulations and creating
a program for oversight of carbon
sequestration activities on the outer
continental shelf.515 Furthermore, Title
V of the Federal Land Policy and
Management Act of 1976 (FLPMA) and
its implementing regulations, 43 CFR
part 2800, authorize the Bureau of Land
Management (BLM) to issue rights-ofway (ROWs) to geologically sequester
CO2 in Federal pore space, including
BLM ROWs for the necessary physical
infrastructure and for the use and
occupancy of the pore space itself. The
BLM has published a policy defining
The UIC regulations, including the
Class VI program, authorize the
injection of CO2 for geologic
sequestration while protecting human
health by ensuring the protection of
underground sources of drinking water
(USDW). These regulations are built
upon nearly a half-century of Federal
experience regulating underground
injection wells, and many additional
years of state UIC program expertise.
The IIJA established a $50 million grant
program to assist states and tribal
regulatory authorities in developing and
implementing UIC Class VI programs.517
Major components included in UIC
Class VI permits are site
characterization, area of review,518
corrective action,519 well construction
and operation, testing and monitoring,
financial responsibility, post-injection
site care, well plugging, emergency and
remedial response, and site closure. The
EPA’s UIC regulations are included in
40 CFR parts 144–147. The UIC
regulations ensure that injected CO2
does not migrate out of the authorized
injection zone, which in turn ensures
that CO2 is securely stored
underground.
Review of a UIC permit application by
the permitting authority, including for
Class VI geologic sequestration, entails a
multidisciplinary evaluation to
determine whether the application
includes the required information, is
technically accurate, and supports a
determination that USDWs will not be
endangered by the proposed injection
511 CEQ. (2021). ‘‘Council on Environmental
Quality Report to Congress on Carbon Capture,
Utilization, and Sequestration.’’ https://
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/
CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
512 EPA. 2023. Regulatory and Statutory
Authorities Relevant to Carbon Capture and
Sequestration (CCS) Projects. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2023-10/regulatory-andstatutory-authorities-relevant-to-carbon-captureand-sequestration-ccs-projects.pdf.
513 This table serves as a reference of many
possible authorities that may affect a CCS project
(including site selection, capture, transportation,
and sequestration). Many of the authorities listed in
this table would apply only in specific
circumstances.
514 CEQ. ‘‘Council on Environmental Quality
Report to Congress on Carbon Capture, Utilization,
and Sequestration.’’ 2021. https://
www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/
CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
515 Department of the Interior. (2023). BSEE
Budget. https://www.doi.gov/ocl/bsee-budget.
516 National Policy for the Right-of-Way
Authorizations Necessary for Site Characterization,
Capture, Transportation, Injection, and Permanent
Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide in
Connection with Carbon Sequestration Projects.
BLM IM 2022–041 Instruction Memorandum, June
8, 2022. https://www.blm.gov/policy/im-2022-041.
517 EPA. Underground Injection Control Class VI
Wells Memorandum. (December 9, 2022). https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-12/
AD.Regan_.GOVS_.Sig_.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
518 Per 40 CFR 146.84(a), the area of review is the
region surrounding the geologic sequestration
project where USDWs may be endangered by the
injection activity. The area of review is delineated
using computational modeling that accounts for the
physical and chemical properties of all phases of
the injected carbon dioxide stream and is based on
available site characterization, monitoring, and
operational data.
519 UIC permitting authorities may require
corrective action for existing wells within the area
of review to ensure protection of underground
sources of drinking water.
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access to pore space on BLM lands,
including clarification of Federal policy
for situations where the surface and
pore space are under the control of
different Federal agencies.516
(b) Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Program
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activity.520 The EPA promulgated UIC
regulations to ensure underground
injection wells are constructed,
operated, and closed in a manner that is
protective of USDWs and to address
potential risks to USDWs associated
with injection activities.521 The UIC
regulations address the major pathways
by which injected fluids can migrate
into USDWs, including along the
injection well bore, via improperly
completed or plugged wells in the area
near the injection well, direct injection
into a USDW, faults or fractures in the
confining strata, or lateral displacement
into hydraulically connected USDWs.
States may apply to the EPA to be the
UIC permitting authority in the state
and receive primary enforcement
authority (primacy). Where a state has
not obtained primacy, the EPA is the
UIC permitting authority.
Recognizing that CO2 injection, for the
purpose of geologic sequestration, poses
unique risks relative to other injection
activities, the EPA promulgated Federal
Requirements Under the UIC Program
for Carbon Dioxide GS Wells, known as
the Class VI Rule, in December 2010.522
The Class VI Rule created and set
requirements for a new class of injection
wells, Class VI. The Class VI Rule builds
upon the long-standing protective
framework of the UIC Program, with
requirements that are tailored to address
issues unique to large-scale geologic
sequestration, including large injection
volumes, higher reservoir pressures
relative to other injection formations,
the relative buoyancy of CO2, the
potential presence of impurities in
captured CO2, the corrosivity of CO2 in
the presence of water, and the mobility
of CO2 within subsurface geologic
formations. These additional protective
requirements include more extensive
geologic testing, detailed computational
modeling of the project area and
periodic re-evaluations, detailed
requirements for monitoring and
tracking the CO2 plume and pressure in
the injection zone, unique financial
responsibility requirements, and
extended post-injection monitoring and
site care.
UIC Class VI permits are designed to
ensure that geologic sequestration does
not cause the movement of injected CO2
or formation fluids outside the
520 EPA. EPA Report to Congress: Class VI
Permitting. 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2022-11/
EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
521 See 40 CFR parts 124, 144–147.
522 EPA. (2010). Federal Requirements Under the
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program for
Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Geologic Sequestration (GS)
Wells; Final Rule, 75 FR 77230, December 10, 2010
(codified at 40 CFR part 146, subpart H).
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authorized injection zone; if monitoring
indicates leakage of injected CO2 from
the injection zone, the leakage may
trigger a response per the permittee’s
Class VI Emergency and Remedial
Response Plan including halting
injection, and the permitting authority
may prescribe additional permit
requirements necessary to prevent such
movement to ensure USDWs are
protected or take appropriate
enforcement action if the permit has
been violated.523 Class II EOR permits
are also designed to ensure the
protection of USDWs with requirements
appropriate for the risks of the enhanced
recovery operation. In general, the EPA
believes that the protection of USDWs
by preventing leakage of injected CO2
out of the injection zone will also
ensure that CO2 is sufficiently
sequestered in the subsurface, and
therefore will not leak from the
subsurface to the atmosphere.
The UIC program works with
injection well operators throughout the
life of the well to confirm practices do
not pose a risk to USDWs. The program
conducts inspections to verify
compliance with the UIC permit,
including checking for leaks.524
Inspections are only one way that
programs deter noncompliance.
Programs also evaluate periodic
monitoring reports submitted by
operators and discuss potential issues
with operators. If a well is found to be
out of compliance with applicable
requirements in its permit or UIC
regulations, the program will identify
specific actions that an operator must
take to address the issues. The UIC
program may assist the operator in
returning the well to compliance or use
administrative or judicial enforcement
to return a well to compliance.
UIC program requirements address
potential safety concerns with induced
seismicity. More specifically, through
the UIC Class VI program, the EPA has
put in place mechanisms to identify,
monitor, and reduce risks associated
with induced seismicity in any areas
within or surrounding a sequestration
site through permit and program
requirements such as site
characterization and monitoring, and
the requirement for applicants to
demonstrate that induced seismic
523 See 40 CFR 144.12(b) (prohibition of
movement of fluid into USDWs); 40 CFR
146.86(a)(1) (Class VI injection well construction
requirements); 40 CFR 146(a) (Class VI injection
well operation requirements); 40 CFR 146.94
(emergency and remedial response).
524 EPA. (2020). Underground Injection Control
Program. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/
2020-04/documents/uic_fact_sheet.pdf.
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39867
activity will not endanger USDWs.525
The National Academy of Sciences
released a report in 2012 on induced
seismicity from CCS and determined
that with appropriate site selection, a
monitoring program, a regulatory
system, and the appropriate use of
remediation methods, the induced
seismicity risks of geologic
sequestration could be mitigated.526
Furthermore, the Ground Water
Protection Council and Interstate Oil
and Gas Compact Commission have
published a ‘‘Potential Induced
Seismicity Guide.’’ This report found
that the strategies for avoiding,
mitigating, and responding to potential
risks of induced seismicity should be
determined based on site-specific
characteristics (i.e., local geology).
These strategies could include
supplemental seismic monitoring,
altering operational parameters (such as
rates and pressures) to reduce the
ground motion hazard and risk, permit
modification, partial plug back of the
well, controlled restart (if feasible),
suspending or revoking injection
authorization, or stopping injection and
shutting in a well.527 The EPA’s UIC
National Technical Workgroup released
technical recommendations in 2015 to
address induced seismicity concerns in
Class II wells and elements of these
recommendations have been utilized in
developing Class VI emergency and
remedial response plans for Class VI
permits.528 529 For example, as identified
525 See 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v) (requiring the
permit applicant to submit and the permitting
authority to consider information on the seismic
history including the presence and depth of seismic
sources and a determination that the seismicity
would not interfere with containment); EPA. (2018).
Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program Class
VI Implementation Manual for UIC Program
Directors. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Office of Water (4606M) EPA 816–R–18–001.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/
documents/implementation_manual_508_
010318.pdf.
526 National Research Council. (2013). Induced
Seismicity Potential in Energy Technologies.
Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://doi.org/10.17226/13355.
527 Ground Water Protection Council and
Interstate Oil and Gas Compact Commission. (2021).
Potential Induced Seismicity Guide: A Resource of
Technical and Regulatory Considerations
Associated with Fluid Injection. https://
www.gwpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/
FINAL_Induced_Seismicity_2021_Guide_33021.pdf.
528 EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing
Potential Impacts of Injection-Induced Seismicity
from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical Approaches.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/
documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
529 EPA. (2018). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon
Dioxide: Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Program Class VI Implementation Manual for UIC
Program Directors. EPA 816–R–18–001. https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/
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by the EPA’s UIC National Technical
Workgroup, sufficient pressure buildup
from disposal activities, the presence of
Faults of Concern (i.e., a fault optimally
oriented for movement and located in a
critically stressed region), and the
existence of a pathway for allowing the
increased pressure to communicate with
the fault contribute to the risk of
injection-induced seismicity. The UIC
requirements, including site
characterization (e.g., ensuring the
confining zone 530 is free of faults of
concern) and operating requirements
(e.g., ensuring injection pressure in the
injection zone is below the fracture
pressure), work together to address
these components and reduce the risk of
injection-induced seismicity,
particularly any injection-induced
seismicity that could be felt by people
at the surface.531 Additionally, the EPA
recommends that Class VI permits
include an approach for monitoring for
seismicity near the site, including
seismicity that cannot be felt at the
surface, and that injection activities be
stopped or reduced in certain situations
if seismic activity is detected to ensure
that no seismic activity will endanger
USDWs.532 This also reduces the
likelihood of any future injectioninduced seismic activity that will be felt
at the surface.
Furthermore, during site
characterization, if any of the geologic
or seismic data obtained indicate a
substantial likelihood of seismic
activity, the EPA may require further
analyses, potential planned operational
changes, and additional monitoring.533
The EPA has the authority to require
seismic monitoring as a condition of the
UIC permit if appropriate, or to deny the
permit if the injection-induced
seismicity risk could endanger USDWs.
The EPA believes that meaningful
engagement with local communities is
an important step in the development of
geologic sequestration projects and has
documents/implementation_manual_508_
010318.pdf.
530 ‘‘Confining zone’’ means a geological
formation, group of formations, or part of a
formation that is capable of limiting fluid
movement above an injection zone. 40 CFR 146.3.
531 EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing
Potential Impacts of Injection-Induced Seismicity
from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical Approaches.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/
documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
532 See EPA. Emergency and Remedial Response
Plan: 40 CFR 146.94(a) template. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-03/err_
plan_template.docx. See also EPA. (2018). Geologic
Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide: Underground
Injection Control (UIC) Program Class VI
Implementation Manual for UIC Program Directors.
EPA 816–R–18–001. https://www.epa.gov/sites/
default/files/2018-01/documents/implementation_
manual_508_010318.pdf.
533 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v).
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programs and public participation
requirements in place to support this
process. The EPA is committed to
advancing EJ for overburdened
communities in all its programs,
including the UIC Class VI program.534
The EPA is also committed to
supporting states’ and tribes’ efforts to
obtain UIC Class VI primacy and
strongly encourages such states and
tribes to incorporate environmental
justice principles and equity into
proposed UIC Class VI programs.535 The
EPA is taking steps to address EJ in
accordance with Presidential Executive
Order 14096, Revitalizing Our Nation’s
Commitment to Environmental Justice
for All (88 FR 25251, April 26, 2023). In
2023, the EPA released Environmental
Justice Guidance for UIC Class VI
Permitting and Primacy that builds on
the 2011 UIC Quick Reference Guide:
Additional Tools for UIC Program
Directors Incorporating Environmental
Justice Considerations into the Class VI
Injection Well Permitting Process.536 537
The 2023 guidance serves as an
operating framework for identifying,
analyzing, and addressing EJ concerns
in the context of implementing and
overseeing UIC permitting and primacy
programs, including primacy approvals.
The EPA notes that while this guidance
is focused on the UIC Class VI program,
EPA Regions should apply them to the
other five injection well classes
wherever possible, including class II.
The guidance includes recommended
actions across five themes to address
various aspects of EJ in UIC Class VI
permitting including: (1) identify
communities with potential EJ concerns,
(2) enhance public involvement, (3)
conduct appropriately scoped EJ
assessments, (4) enhance transparency
throughout the permitting process, and
534 EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance
for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/
Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for
%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf; see
also EPA. Letter from the EPA Administrator
Michael S. Regan to U.S. State Governors. December
9, 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2022-12/AD.Regan_.GOVS_.Sig_
.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
535 EPA. (2023). Targeted UIC program grants for
Class VI Wells. https://www.epa.gov/uic/
underground-injection-control-grants#ClassVI_
Grants.
536 EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance
for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/
Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for
%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf.
537 EPA. (2011). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon
Dioxide—UIC Quick Reference Guide. https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/
documents/epa816r11002.pdf.
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(5) minimize adverse effects to USDWs
and the communities they may serve.538
As a part of the UIC Class VI permit
application process, applicants and the
EPA Regions should complete an EJ
review using the EPA’s EJScreen Tool,
an online mapping tool that integrates
numerous demographic, socioeconomic,
and environmental data sets that are
overlain on an applicant’s UIC Area of
Review to identify whether any
disadvantaged communities are
encompassed.539 If the results indicate a
potential EJ impact, applicants and the
EPA Regions should consider potential
measures to mitigate the impacts of the
UIC Class VI project on identified
vulnerable communities and enhance
the public participation process to be
inclusive of all potentially affected
communities (e.g., conduct early
targeted outreach to communities and
identify and mitigate any
communication obstacles such as
language barriers or lack of technology
resources).540
ER technologies are used in oil and
gas reservoirs to increase production.
Injection wells used for ER are regulated
through the UIC Class II program.
Injection of CO2 is one of several
techniques used in ER. Sometimes ER
uses CO2 from anthropogenic sources
such as natural gas processing, ammonia
and fertilizer production, and coal
gasification facilities. Through the ER
process, much of the injected CO2 is
recovered from production wells and
can be separated and reinjected into the
subsurface formation, resulting in the
storage of CO2 underground. The EPA’s
Class II regulations were designed to
regulate ER injection wells, among other
injection wells associated with oil and
natural gas production. See e.g., 40 CFR
144.6(b)(2). The EPA’s Class II program
is designed to prevent Class II injection
activities from endangering USDWs.
The Class II programs of states and
tribes must be approved by the EPA and
must meet the EPA regulatory
requirements for Class II programs, 42
U.S.C. 300h–1, or otherwise represent
an effective program to prevent
endangerment of USDWs. 42 U.S.C
300h–4.
538 EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance
for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/
Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for
%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf.
539 EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting.
2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/
2022-11/
EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
540 EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting.
2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/
2022-11/
EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
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In promulgating the Class VI
regulations, the EPA recognized that if
the business model for ER shifts to focus
on maximizing CO2 injection volumes
and permanent storage, then the risk of
endangerment to USDWs is likely to
increase. As an ER project shifts away
from oil and/or gas production,
injection zone pressure and carbon
dioxide volumes will likely increase if
carbon dioxide injection rates increase,
and the dissipation of reservoir pressure
will decrease if fluid production from
the reservoir decreases. Therefore, the
EPA’s regulations require the operator of
a Class II well to obtain a Class VI
permit when there is an increased risk
to USDWs. 40 CFR 144.19.541 While the
EPA’s regulations require the Class II
well operator to assess whether there is
an increased risk to USDWs
(considering factors identified in the
EPA’s regulations), the permitting
authority can also make this assessment
and, in the event that an operator makes
changes to Class II operations such that
the increased risk to USDWs warrants
transition to Class VI and the operator
does not notify the permitting authority,
the operator may be subject to SDWA
enforcement and compliance actions to
protect USDWs, including cessation of
injection. The determination of whether
there is an increased risk to USDWs
would be based on factors specified in
40 CFR 144.19(b), including increase in
reservoir pressure within the injection
zone; increase in CO2 injection rates;
and suitability of the Class II Area of
Review (AoR) delineation.
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(c) Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program
(GHGRP)
The GHGRP requires reporting of
greenhouse gas (GHG) data and other
relevant information from large GHG
emission sources, fuel and industrial gas
suppliers, and CO2 injection sites in the
United States. Approximately 8,000
facilities are required to report their
emissions, injection, and/or supply
activity annually, and the nonconfidential reported data are made
available to the public around October
of each year. To complement the UIC
regulations, the EPA included in the
GHGRP air-side monitoring and
reporting requirements for CO2 capture,
underground injection, and geologic
sequestration. These requirements are
included in 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR
and subpart VV, also referred to as
541 EPA. (2015). Key Principles in EPA’s
Underground Injection Control Program Class VI
Rule Related to Transition of Class II Enhanced Oil
or Gas Recovery Wells to Class VI. https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/
documents/class2eorclass6memo_1.pdf.
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‘‘GHGRP subpart RR’’ and ‘‘GHGRP
subpart VV.’’
GHGRP subpart RR applies to ‘‘any
well or group of wells that inject a CO2
stream for long-term containment in
subsurface geologic formations’’ 542 and
provides the monitoring and reporting
mechanisms to quantify CO2 storage and
to identify, quantify, and address
potential leakage. The EPA designed
GHGRP subpart RR to complement the
UIC monitoring and testing
requirements. See e.g., 40 CFR 146.90–
91. Reporting under GHGRP subpart RR
is required for, but not limited to, all
facilities that have received a UIC Class
VI permit for injection of CO2.543 Under
existing GHGRP regulations, facilities
that conduct ER in Class II wells are not
subject to reporting data under GHGRP
subpart RR unless they have chosen to
submit a proposed monitoring,
reporting, and verification (MRV) plan
to the EPA and received an approved
plan from the EPA. Facilities
conducting ER and who do not choose
to submit a subpart RR MRV plan to the
EPA would otherwise be required to
report CO2 data under subpart UU.544
GHGRP subpart RR requires facilities
meeting the source category definition
(40 CFR 98.440) for any well or group
of wells to report basic information on
the mass of CO2 received for injection;
develop and implement an EPAapproved monitoring, reporting, and
verification (MRV) plan; report the mass
of CO2 sequestered using a mass balance
approach; and report annual monitoring
activities.545 546 547 548 Extensive
subsurface monitoring is required for
UIC Class VI wells at 40 CFR 146.90 and
is the primary means of determining if
the injected CO2 remains in the
authorized injection zone and otherwise
does not endanger any USDW, and
monitoring under a GHGRP subpart RR
MRV Plan complements these
requirements. The MRV plan includes
five major components: a delineation of
monitoring areas based on the CO2
plume location; an identification and
evaluation of the potential surface
leakage pathways and an assessment of
the likelihood, magnitude, and timing,
of surface leakage of CO2 through these
pathways; a strategy for detecting and
quantifying any surface leakage of CO2
in the event leakage occurs; an approach
542 See
40 CFR 98.440.
CFR 98.440.
544 As discussed in section X.C.5.b, entities
conducting CCS to comply with this rule would be
required to send the captured CO2 to a facility that
reports data under subpart RR or subpart VV.
545 40 CFR 98.446.
546 40 CFR 98.448.
547 40 CFR 98.446(f)(9) and (10).
548 40 CFR 98.446(f)(12).
543 40
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39869
for establishing the expected baselines
for monitoring CO2 surface leakage; and,
a summary of considerations made to
calculate site-specific variables for the
mass balance equation.549
In April 2024, the EPA finalized a
new GHGRP subpart, ‘‘Geologic
Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide with
Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Using
ISO 27916’’ (or GHGRP subpart VV).550
GHGRP subpart VV applies to facilities
that quantify the geologic sequestration
of CO2 in association with EOR
operations in conformance with the ISO
standard designated as CSA/ANSI ISO
27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture,
Transportation and Geological Storage—
Carbon Dioxide Storage Using Enhanced
Oil Recovery. Facilities that have
chosen to submit an MRV plan and
report under GHGRP subpart RR must
not report data under GHGRP subpart
VV. GHGRP subpart VV is largely
modeled after the requirements in this
ISO standard and focuses on quantifying
storage of CO2. Facilities subject to
GHGRP subpart VV must include in
their GHGRP annual report a copy of
their EOR Operations Management Plan
(EOR OMP). The EOR OMP includes a
description of the EOR complex and
engineered system, establishes that the
EOR complex is adequate to provide
safe, long-term containment of CO2, and
includes site-specific and other
information including a geologic
characterization of the EOR complex, a
description of the facilities within the
EOR project, a description of all wells
and other engineered features in the
EOR project, and the operations history
of the project reservoir.551
Based on the understanding
developed from existing projects, the
security of sequestered CO2 is expected
to increase over time after injection
ceases.552 This is due to trapping
mechanisms that reduce CO2 mobility
over time (e.g., physical CO2 trapping by
a low-permeability geologic seal or
chemical trapping by conversion or
adsorption).553 The EPA acknowledges
the potential for some leakage of CO2 to
the atmosphere at sequestration sites,
primarily while injection operations are
active. For example, small quantities of
the CO2 that were sent to the
549 40
CFR 98.448(a).
(2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG
Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/
rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
551 EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG
Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/
rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
552 ‘‘Report of the Interagency Task Force on
Carbon Capture and Storage.’’ 2010. https://
www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/985209.
553 See, e.g., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change. (2005). Special Report on Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage.
550 EPA.
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sequestration site may be emitted from
leaks in pipes and valves that are
traversed before the CO2 actually
reaches the sequestration formation.
However, the EPA’s robust UIC
regulatory protections protect against
leakage out of the injection zone.
Relative to the 46.75 million metric tons
of CO2 reported as sequestered under
subpart RR of the GHGRP between 2016
to 2022, only 196,060 metric tons were
reported as leakage/emissions to the
atmosphere in the same time period
(representing less than 0.5% of the
sequestration amount). Of these
emissions, most were from equipment
leaks and vented emissions of CO2 from
equipment located on the surface rather
than leakage from the subsurface.554
Furthermore, any leakage of CO2 at a
sequestration facility would be required
to be quantified and reported under the
GHGRP subpart RR or subpart VV, and
such data are made publicly available
on the EPA’s website.
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(5) Timing of Permitting for
Sequestration Sites
As previously discussed, the EPA is
the Class VI permitting authority for
states, tribes, and territories that have
not obtained primacy over their Class VI
programs.555 The EPA is committed to
reviewing UIC Class VI permits as
expeditiously as possible when the
agency is the permitting authority. The
EPA has the experience to properly
regulate and review permits for UIC
Class VI injection wells, and technical
experts of multiple disciplines to review
permit applications submitted to the
EPA.
The EPA has seen a considerable
uptick in Class VI permit applications
over the past few years. The 2018
passage of revisions and enhancements
to the IRC section 45Q tax credit that
provides tax credits for carbon oxide
(including CO2) sequestration has led to
an increase in Class VI permit
applications submitted to the EPA. The
2022 IRA further expanded the IRC
section 45Q tax credit and the 2021 IIJA
established a $50 million program for
grants to help states and tribes in
developing and implementing a UIC
Class VI primacy program, leading to
even more interest in this area.556
554 Based on subpart RR data retrieved from the
EPA Facility Level Information on Greenhouse
Gases Tool (FLIGHT), at https://ghgdata.epa.gov/
ghgp/main.do. Retrieved March 2024.
555 See 40 CFR part 145 (State UIC Program
Requirements), 40 CFR part 147 (State, Tribal, and
EPA-Administered Underground Injection Control
Programs).
556 EPA. (2023). Targeted UIC program grants for
Class VI Wells https://www.epa.gov/uic/
underground-injection-control-grants#ClassVI_
Grants.
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Between 2011, when the Class VI rule
went into effect, and 2020, the EPA
received a total of 8 permit applications
for Class VI wells. The EPA then
received 12 Class VI permit applications
in 2021, 44 in 2022, and 123 in 2023.
As of March 2024, the EPA has 130
Class VI permit applications under
review (56 permit applications were
transferred to Louisiana in February
2024 when the EPA rule granting Class
VI primacy to the state became
effective). The majority of those 130
permit applications (63%) were
submitted to the EPA within the past 12
months. Also, as of March 2024, the
EPA has issued eight Class VI permits,
including six for projects in Illinois and
two for projects in Indiana, and has
released for public comment four
additional draft permits for proposed
projects in California. Two of the
permits are in the pre-operation phase,
one is in the injection phase, and one is
in the post-injection monitoring phase.
In light of the recent flurry of interest
in this area, the EPA is devoting
increased resources to the Class VI
program, including through increased
staffing levels in order to meet the
increased demand for action on Class VI
permit applications.557 Reviewing a
Class VI permit application entails a
multidisciplinary evaluation to
determine whether the application
includes the required information, is
technically accurate, and supports a
risk-based determination that
underground sources of drinking water
will not be endangered by the proposed
injection activity. A wide variety of
technical experts—from geologists to
engineers to physical scientists—review
permit applications submitted to the
EPA. The EPA has been working to
develop staff expertise and increase
capacity in the UIC program, and the
agency has effectively deployed
appropriated resources over the last five
years to scale UIC program staff from a
few employees to the equivalent of more
than 25 full-time employees across the
agency’s headquarters and regional
offices. We expect that the additional
resources and staff capacity for the Class
VI program will lead to increased
efficiencies in the Class VI permitting
process.
In addition to increased staffing
resources, the EPA has made
considerable improvements to the Class
VI permitting process to reduce the time
needed to make final permitting
557 EPA. (2023). Testimony Of Mr. Bruno Pigott,
Principal Deputy Assistant Administrator for Water,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Hearing On
Carbon Capture And Storage. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2023-11/testimony-pigottsenr-hearing-nov-2-2023_-cleared.pdf.
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decisions for Class VI wells while
maintaining a robust and thorough
review process that ensures USDWs are
protected. The EPA has created
additional resources for applicants
including upgrading the Geologic
Sequestration Data Tool (GSDT) to guide
applicants through the application
process.558 The EPA has also created
resources for permit writers including
training series and guidance documents
to build capacity for Class VI
permitting.559 Additionally, the EPA
issued internal guidelines to streamline
and create uniformity and consistency
in the Class VI permitting process,
which should help to reduce permitting
timeframes. These internal guidelines
include the expectation that EPA
Regions will classify all Class VI well
applications received on or after
December 12, 2023, as applications for
major new UIC injection wells, which
requires the Regions to develop project
decision schedules for reviewing Class
VI permit applications. The guidelines
also set target timeframes for
components of the permitting process,
such as the number of days EPA Regions
should set for public comment periods
and for developing responses to
comments and final permit decisions.
The EPA will continue to evaluate its
internal UIC permitting processes to
identify potential opportunities for
streamlining and other improvements
over time. Although the available data
for Class VI wells is limited, the
timeframe for processing Class I wells,
which follows a similar regulatory
structure, is typically less than 2
years.560
The EPA notes that a Class VI permit
tracker is available on its website.561
This tracker shows information for the
44 projects (representing 130 wells) that
have submitted Class VI applications to
the EPA, including details such as the
current permit review stage, whether a
project has been sent a Notice of
Deficiency (NOD) or Request for
Additional Information (RAI), and the
applicant’s response time to any NODs
or RAIs. As mentioned above, most of
the permits submitted to the EPA have
been submitted within the past 12
558 EPA. (2023). Geologic Sequestration Data Tool
(GSDT). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2023-10/geologic-sequestration-datatool_factsheet_oct2023.pdf.
559 EPA. (2023). Final Class VI Guidance
Documents. https://www.epa.gov/uic/final-class-viguidance-documents.
560 EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting.
2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/
2022-11/
EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
561 EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/currentclass-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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months. The EPA aims to review
complete Class VI applications and
issue permits when appropriate within
approximately 24 months. This
timeframe is dependent on several
factors, including the complexity of the
project and the quality and
completeness of the submitted
application. It is important for the
applicant to submit a complete
application and provide any
information requested by the permitting
agency in a timely manner so as not to
extend the overall time for the review.
States may apply to the EPA for
primacy to administer the Class VI
programs within their states. The
primacy application process has four
phases: (1) pre-application activities, (2)
completeness review and determination,
(3) application evaluation, and (4)
rulemaking and codification. To date,
three states have been granted primacy
for Class VI wells, including North
Dakota, Wyoming, and most recently
Louisiana.562 As discussed above, North
Dakota has issued 6 Class VI permits
since receiving Class VI primacy in
2018, and Wyoming issued its first three
Class VI permits in December
2023.563 564 565 The EPA finalized a rule
granting Louisiana Class VI primacy in
January 2024 and the state’s program
became effective in February 2024. At
that time, EPA Region 6 transferred 56
Class VI permit applications for projects
in Louisiana to the state for continued
review and permit issuance if
appropriate. Prior to receiving primacy,
the state worked with the EPA in
understanding where each application
was in the evaluation process.
Currently, the EPA is working with the
states of Texas, Arizona, and West
Virginia as they are developing their
UIC primacy applications.566 Arizona
562 On December 28, 2023, the EPA Administrator
signed a final rule granting Louisiana’s request for
primacy for UIC Class VI junction wells located
within the state. See EPA. (2023). Underground
Injection Control (UIC) Primary Enforcement
Authority for the Underground Injection Control
Program. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
https://www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcementauthority-underground-injection-control-program-0.
563 Wyoming Department of Environmental
Quality. (2023). Wyoming grants its first three Class
VI permits. https://deq.wyoming.gov/2023/12/
wyoming-grants-its-first-three-class-vi-permits/.
564 Ibid.
565 Arnold & Porter. (2023). EPA Provides
Increased Transparency in Class VI Permitting
Process; Now Incorporated in Update to Interactive
CCUS State Tracker. https://www.arnoldporter.com/
en/perspectives/blogs/environmental-edge/2023/11/
ccus-state-legislative-tracker.
566 EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control
(UIC) Primary Enforcement Authority for the
Underground Injection Control Program. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency. https://
www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcement-authorityunderground-injection-control-program-0.
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submitted a primacy application to the
EPA on February 13, 2024.567 Texas and
West Virginia are engaging with the EPA
to complete pre-application
activities.568 If more states apply for and
receive Class VI primacy, the number of
permits in EPA review is expected to be
reduced. The EPA has also created
resources for regulators including
training series and guidance documents
to build capacity for Class VI permitting
within UIC programs across the U.S.
Through state primacy for Class VI
programs, state expertise and capacity
can be leveraged to support effective
and efficient permit application
reviews. The IIJA established a $50
million grant program to support states,
Tribes, and territories in developing and
implementing UIC Class VI programs.
The EPA has allocated $1,930,000 to
each state, tribe, and territory that
submitted letters of intent.569
(6) Comments Received on Geologic
Sequestration and Responses
The EPA received comments on
geologic sequestration. Those
comments, and the EPA’s responses, are
as follows.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concerns that the EPA has not
demonstrated the adequacy of carbon
sequestration at a commercial scale.
Response: The EPA disagrees that
commercial carbon sequestration
capacity will be inadequate to support
this rule. As detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(1), commercial geologic
sequestration capacity is growing in the
United States. Multiple commercial
sequestration facilities, other than those
funded under EPAct05, are in
construction or advanced development,
with some scheduled to open for
operation as early as 2025.570 These
facilities have proposed sequestration
capacities ranging from 0.03 to 6 million
tons of CO2 per year. The EPA and states
with approved UIC Class VI programs
(including Wyoming, North Dakota, and
Louisiana) are currently reviewing UIC
Class VI geologic sequestration well
permit applications for proposed
567 Arizona Department of Environmental
Quality. (2024). Underground Injection Control
(UIC) Program. https://azdeq.gov/UIC.
568 EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control
(UIC) Primary Enforcement Authority for the
Underground Injection Control Program. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency. https://
www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcement-authorityunderground-injection-control-program-0.
569 EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control
(UIC) Class VI Grant Program. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2023-11/uic-class-vi-grantfact-sheet.pdf.
570 Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of
CCS 2023. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wpcontent/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCSReport-1.pdf.
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39871
sequestration sites in fourteen
states.571 572 573 As of March 2024, there
are 44 projects with 130 injection wells
are under review by the EPA.574
Furthermore, the EPA anticipates that as
the demand for commercial
sequestration grows, more commercial
sites will be developed in response to
financial incentives.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concern about leakage of CO2
from sequestration sites.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the
potential for some leakage of CO2 to the
atmosphere at sequestration sites (such
as leaks through valves before the CO2
reaches the injection formation).
However, as detailed in the preceding
sections of preamble, the EPA’s robust
UIC permitting process is adequate to
protect against CO2 escaping the
authorized injection zone (and then
entering the atmosphere). As discussed
in the preceding section, leakage out of
the injection zone could trigger
emergency and remedial response
action including ceasing injection,
possible permit modification, and
possible enforcement action.
Furthermore, the GHGRP subpart RR
and subpart VV regulations prescribe
accounting methodologies for facilities
to quantify and report any potential
leakage at the surface, and the EPA
makes sequestration data and related
monitoring plans publicly available on
its website. The reported emissions/
leakage from sequestration sites under
subpart RR is a comparatively small
fraction (less than 0.5 percent) of the
associated sequestration volumes, with
most of these reported emissions
attributable to leaks or vents from
surface equipment.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concern over safety due to
induced seismicity.
Response: The EPA believes that the
UIC program requirements adequately
address potential safety concerns with
induced seismicity at site-adjacent
communities. More specifically, through
the UIC Class VI program the EPA has
put in place mechanisms to identify,
571 UIC regulations for Class VI wells authorize
the injection of CO2 for geologic sequestration while
protecting human health by ensuring the protection
of underground sources of drinking water. The
major components to be included in UIC Class VI
permits are detailed further in section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4).
572 U.S. EPA Class VI Underground Injection
Control (UIC) Class VI Wells Permitted by EPA as
of January 25, 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/tableepas-draft-and-final-class-vi-well-permits Last
updated January 19, 2024.
573 EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under
Review at EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/currentclass-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
574 Ibid.
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monitor, and mitigate risks associated
with induced seismicity in any areas
within or surrounding a sequestration
site through permit and program
requirements, such as site
characterization and monitoring, and
the requirement for applicants to
demonstrate that induced seismic
activity will not endanger USDWs.575
See section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4)(b) for
further discussion of mitigating induced
seismicity risk. Although the UIC Class
II program does not have specific
requirements regarding seismicity, it
includes discretionary authority to add
additional conditions to a UIC permit on
a case-by-case basis. The EPA created a
document outlining practical
approaches for UIC Directors to use to
minimize and manage injection-induced
seismicity in Class II wells.576
Furthermore, during site
characterization, if any of the geologic
or seismic data obtained indicate a
substantial likelihood of seismic
activity, further analyses, potential
planned operational changes, and
additional monitoring may be
required.577 The EPA has the authority
to require seismic monitoring as a
condition of the UIC permit if
appropriate, or to deny the permit if the
injection-induced seismicity risk could
endanger USDWs.
Comment: Some commenters have
expressed concern that the EPA has not
meaningfully engaged with historically
disadvantaged and overburdened
communities who may be impacted by
environmental changes due to geologic
sequestration.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that meaningful engagement with local
communities is an important step in the
development of geologic sequestration
projects and has programs and public
participation requirements in place to
support this process. The EPA is
committed to advancing environmental
justice for overburdened communities
in all its programs, including the UIC
Class VI program.578 The EPA’s
575 EPA. (2018). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon
Dioxide: Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Program Class VI Implementation Manual for UIC
Program Directors. EPA 816–R–18–001. https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/
documents/implementation_manual_508_
010318.pdf.
576 EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing
Potential Impacts of Injection-Induced Seismicity
from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical Approaches.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/
documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
577 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v).
578 EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance
for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/
Memo%20and%20EJ%20
Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_
August%202023.pdf; see also EPA. Letter from the
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environmental justice guidance for Class
VI permitting and primacy states that
many of the expectations are broadly
applicable, and EPA Regions should
apply them to the other five injection
well classes, including Class II,
wherever possible.579 See section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4) for a detailed discussion
of environmental justice requirements
and guidance.
Comment: Commenters expressed
concern that companies are not always
in compliance with reporting
requirements for subpart RR when
required for other Federal programs.
Response: The EPA recognizes the
need for geologic sequestration facilities
to comply with the reporting
requirements of the GHGRP, and
acknowledges that there have been
instances of entities claiming geologic
sequestration under non-EPA programs
(e.g., to qualify for IRC section 45Q tax
credits) while not having an EPAapproved MRV plan or reporting data
under subpart RR.580 The EPA does not
implement the IRC section 45Q tax
credit program, and it is not privy to
taxpayer information. Thus, the EPA has
no role in implementing or enforcing
these tax credit claims, and it is unclear,
for example, whether these companies
would have been required by GHGRP
regulations to report data under subpart
RR, or if they would have been required
only by the IRC section 45Q rules to optin to reporting under subpart RR. The
EPA disagrees that compliance with the
GHGRP would be a problem for this rule
because the rule requires any affected
unit that employs CCS technology that
captures enough CO2 to meet the
proposed standard and injects the
captured CO2 underground to report
under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP
subpart VV. Unlike the IRC section 45Q
tax credit program, which is
implemented by the Internal Revenue
Service (IRS), the EPA will have the
information necessary to discern
whether a facility is in compliance with
any applicable GHGRP requirements. If
the emitting EGU sends the captured
CO2 offsite, it must transfer the CO2 to
a facility that reports in accordance with
EPA Administrator Michael S. Regan to U.S. State
Governors. December 9, 2022. https://www.epa.gov/
system/files/documents/2022-12/AD.Regan_
.GOVS_.Sig_.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
579 EPA. (2023). Environmental Justice Guidance
for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy. https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/
Memo%20and%20EJ%20
Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_
August%202023.pdf.
580 Letter from U.S. Treasury Inspector General
for Tax Administration (TIGTA). (2020). https://
www.menendez.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/
TIGTA%20IRC%2045Q%20
Response%20Letter%20FINAL%2004-15-2020.pdf.
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GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart
VV. For more information on the
relationship to GHGRP requirements,
see section X.C.5 of this preamble.
Comment: Commenters expressed
concerns that UIC regulations allow
Class II wells to be used for long-term
CO2 storage if the operator assesses that
a Class VI permit is not required and
asserted that Class II regulations are less
protective than Class VI regulations.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that Class II wells for EOR may be used
to inject CO2 including CO2 captured
from an EGU. However, the EPA
disagrees that the use of Class II wells
for ER will be less protective of human
health than the use of Class VI wells for
geologic sequestration. Class II wells are
used only to inject fluids associated
with oil and natural gas production, and
Class II ER wells are used specifically
for the injection of fluids, including
CO2, for the purpose of enhanced
recovery of oil or natural gas. The EPA’s
UIC Class II program is designed to
prevent Class II injection activities from
endangering USDWs. Any leakage out of
the designated injection zone could
pose a risk to USDWs and therefore
could be subject to enforcement action
or permit modification. Therefore, the
EPA believes that UIC protections for
USDWs would also ensure that the
injected CO2 is contained in the
subsurface formations. The Class II
programs of states and tribes must be
approved by the EPA and must meet
EPA regulatory requirements for Class II
programs, 42 U.S.C. 300h–1, or
otherwise represent an effective
program to prevent endangerment of
USDWs. 42 U.S.C 300h–4. The EPA’s
regulations require the operator of a
Class II well to obtain a Class VI permit
when operations shift to geologic
sequestration and there is consequently
an increased risk to USDWs. 40 CFR
144.19. UIC Class VI regulations require
that owners or operators must show that
the injection zone has sufficient volume
to contain the injected carbon dioxide
stream and report any fluid migration
out of the injection zone and into or
between USDWs. 40 CFR 146.83 and 40
CFR 146.91. The EPA emphasizes that
while CO2 captured from an EGU can be
injected into a Class II ER injection well,
it cannot be injected into the other two
types of Class II wells, which are Class
II disposal wells and Class II wells for
the storage of hydrocarbons. 40 CFR
144.6(b).
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concern that because few
Class VI permits have been issued, the
EPA’s current level of experience in
properly regulating and reviewing
permits for these wells is limited.
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Response: The EPA disagrees that the
Agency lacks experience to properly
regulate, and review permits for Class VI
injection wells. We expect that the
additional resources that have been
allocated for the Class VI program will
lead to increased efficiencies in the
Class VI permitting process and
timeframes. For a more detailed
discussion of Class VI permitting and
timeframes, see sections
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4)(b) and VII.C.1.a.i(D)(5)
of this preamble. The EPA emphasizes
that incomplete or insufficient
application materials can result in
substantially delayed permitting
decisions. When the EPA receives
incomplete or insufficient permit
applications, the EPA communicates the
deficiencies, waits to receive additional
materials from the applicant, and then
reviews any new data. This back and
forth can result in longer permitting
timeframes. The EPA therefore
encourages applicants to contact their
permitting authority early on so
applicants can gain a thorough
understanding of the Class VI permitting
process and the permitting authority’s
expectations. To assist potential permit
applicants, the EPA maintains a list of
UIC contacts within each EPA Regional
Office on the Agency’s website.581 The
EPA has met with more than 100
companies and other interested parties.
Comment: Some commenters claimed
that various legal uncertainties preclude
a finding that geologic sequestration of
CO2 has been adequately demonstrated.
This concern has been raised in
particular with issues of pore space
ownership and the lack of long-term
liability insurance and noted
uncertainties regarding long-term
liability generally.
Response: The EPA disagrees that
these uncertainties are sufficient to
prohibit the development of geologic
sequestration projects. An interagency
CCS task force examined sequestrationrelated legal issues thoroughly and
concluded that early CCS projects could
proceed under the existing legal
framework with respect to issues such
as property rights and liability.582 The
development of CCS projects may be
more complex in certain regions, due to
distinct pore space ownership
581 EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control
Class VI (Geologic Sequestration) Contact
Information. https://www.epa.gov/uic/undergroundinjection-control-class-vi-geologic-sequestrationcontact-information.
582 Report of the Interagency Task Force on
Carbon Capture and Storage. 2010. https://
www.energy.gov/fecm/articles/ccstf-final-report.
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regulatory regimes at the state level,
except on Federal lands.583
As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(4) of this preamble, Title
V of the FLPMA and its implementing
regulations, 43 CFR part 2800, authorize
the BLM to issue ROWs to geologically
sequester CO2 in Federal pore space,
including BLM ROWs for the necessary
physical infrastructure and for the use
and occupancy of the pore space itself.
The BLM has published a policy
defining access to pore space on BLM
lands, including clarification of Federal
policy for situations where the surface
and pore space are under the control of
different Federal agencies.584
States have established legislation and
regulations defining pore space
ownership and providing clarification to
prospective users of surface pore space.
For example, in North Dakota, the
surface owner also owns the pore space
underlying their surface estate.585 North
Dakota state courts have determined
that in situations where the surface
ownership and mineral ownership have
been legally severed the mineral estate
is the dominant estate and has the right
to use as much of the surface estate as
reasonably necessary. The North Dakota
legislature codified this interpretation in
2019.586 Summit Carbon Solutions,
which is developing a carbon storage
hub in North Dakota to store an
estimated one billion tons of CO2,
indicated that they had secured the
majority of the pore space needed
through long term leases with
landowners.587 Wyoming defines
ownership of pore space underlying
surfaces within the state.588 Other states
have also established laws,
implementing regulations and guidance
defining ownership and access to pore
space. The EPA notes that many states
are actively enacting legislation
addressing pore space ownership. See
583 Council on Environmental Quality Report to
Congress on Carbon Capture, Utilization, and
Sequestration. 2021. https://www.whitehouse.gov/
wp-content/uploads/2021/06/CEQ-CCUSPermitting-Report.pdf.
584 National Policy for the Right-of-Way
Authorizations Necessary for Site Characterization,
Capture, Transportation, Injection, and Permanent
Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide in
Connection with Carbon Sequestration Projects.
BLM IM 2022–041 Instruction Memorandum, June
8, 2022. https://www.blm.gov/policy/im-2022-041.
585 ND DMR 2023. Pore Space in North Dakota.
North Dakota Department of Mineral Resources
https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/ND_DMR_Pore_
Space_Information.pdf.
586 Ibid.
587 Summit Carbon Solutions. (2021). Summit
Carbon Solutions Announces Significant Carbon
Storage Project Milestones. (2021). https://
summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbonsolutions-announces-significant-carbon-storageproject-milestones/.
588 Wyo. Stat § 34–1–152 (2022).
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e.g., Wyoming H.B. No. 89 (2008) (Wyo.
Stat. § 34–1–152); Montana S.B. No. 498
(2009) (Mont. Code Ann. 82–11–180);
North Dakota S.B. No. 2139 (2009) (N.D.
Cent. Code § 47–31–03); Kentucky H.B.
259 (2011) (Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann.
§ 353.800); West Virginia H.B. 4491
(2022) (W. Va. Code § 22–11B–18);
California S.B. No. 905 (2022) (Cal. Pub.
Res. Code § 71462); Indiana Public Law
163 (2022) (Ind. Code § 14–39–2–3);
Utah H.B. 244 (2022) (Utah Code § 40–
6–20.5).
Liability during operation is usually
assumed by the project operator, so
liability concerns primarily arise after
the period of operations. Research has
previously shown that the
environmental risk is greatest before
injection stops.589 In terms of long-term
liability and permittee obligations under
the SDWA, the EPA’s Class VI
regulations impose various
requirements on permittees even after
injection ceases, including regarding
injection well plugging (40 CFR 146.92),
post-injection site care (PISC), and site
closure (40 CFR 146.93). The default
time period for post-injection site care is
50 years, during which the permittee
must monitor the position of the CO2
plume and pressure front and
demonstrate that USDWs are not being
endangered. 40 CFR 146.93. The
permittee must also generally maintain
financial responsibility sufficient to
cover injection well plugging, corrective
action, emergency and remedial
response, PISC, and site closure until
the permitting authority approves site
closure. 40 CFR 146.85(a)&(b). Even
after the former permittee has fulfilled
all its UIC regulatory obligations, it may
still be held liable for previous
regulatory noncompliance, such as
where the permittee provided erroneous
data to support approval of site closure.
A former permittee may always be
subject to an order that the EPA
Administrator deems necessary to
protect public health if there is fluid
migration that causes or threatens
imminent and substantial endangerment
to a USDW. 42 U.S.C. 300i; 40 CFR
144.12(e).
The EPA notes that many states are
enacting legislation addressing long
term liability. See e.g., Montana S.B. No.
498 (2009) (Mont. Code Ann. 82–11–
183); Texas H.B. 1796 (2009) (Tex.
Health & Safety Code Ann. § 382.508);
North Dakota S.B. No. 2095 (2009) (N.D.
Cent. Code § 38–22–17); Kansas H.B.
589 Benson, S.M. (2007). Carbon dioxide capture
and storage: research pathways, progress and
potential. Presentation given at the Global Climate
& Energy Project Annual Symposium, October 1,
2007. https://drive.google.com/file/d/
1ZvfRW92OqvBBAFs69SPHIWoYFGySMgtD/view.
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2418 (2010) (Kan. Stat. Ann. § 55–
1637(h)); Wyoming S.F. No. 47 (2022)
(Wyo. Stat. §§ 35–11–319); Louisiana
H.B. 661 (2009) & H.B. 571 (2023) (La.
Stat. Ann. § 30:1109). Because states are
actively working to address pore space
and liability uncertainties, the EPA does
not believe these to be issues that would
delay project implementation beyond
the timelines discussed in this
preamble.
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(E) Compliance Date for Long-Term
Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA proposed a January 1, 2030
compliance date for long-term coal fired
steam generating units subject to a CCS
BSER. That compliance date assumed
installation of CCS was concurrent with
development of state plans. While
several commenters were supportive of
the proposed compliance date, the EPA
also received comments on the
proposed rule that stated that the
proposed compliance date was not
achievable. Commenters referenced
longer project timelines for CO2 capture.
Commenters also requested that the EPA
should account for the state plan
process in determining the appropriate
compliance date.
The EPA has considered the
comments and information available
and is finalizing a compliance date of
January 1, 2032, for long-term coal-fired
steam generating units. The EPA is also
finalizing a mechanism for a 1-year
compliance date extension in cases
where a source faces delays outside its
control, as detailed in section X.C.1.d of
this preamble. The justification for the
January 1, 2032 compliance date does
not require substantial work to be done
during the state planning process.
Rather, the justification for the
compliance date reflects the assumption
that only the initial feasibility work
which is necessary to inform the state
planning process would occur during
state plan development, with the start of
more substantial work beginning after
the due date for state plan submission,
and a longer timeline for installation of
CCS than at proposal. In total, this
allows for 6 years and 7 months for both
initial feasibility and more substantial
work to occur after issuance of this rule.
This is consistent with the
approximately 6 years from start to
finish for Boundary Dam Unit 3 and
Petra Nova.
The timing for installation of CCS on
existing coal-fired steam generating
units is based on the baseline project
schedule for the CO2 capture plant
developed by Sargent and Lundy
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(S&L 590 and a review of the available
information for installation of CO2
pipelines and sequestration sites.591
Additional details on the timeline are in
the TSD GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units, available in the
docket. The dates for intermediate steps
are for reference. The specific
sequencing of steps may differ slightly,
and, for some sources, the duration of
one step may be shorter while another
may be longer, however the total
duration is expected to be the same. The
resulting timeline is therefore an
accurate representation of the time
necessary to install CCS in general.
The EPA assumes that feasibility
work, amounting to less than 1 year
(June 2024 through June 2025) for each
component of CCS (capture, transport,
and storage) occurs during the state plan
development period (June 2024 through
June 2026). This feasibility work is
limited to initial conceptual design and
other preliminary tasks, and the costs of
the feasibility work in general are
substantially less than other
components of the project schedule. The
EPA determined that it was appropriate
to assume that this work would take
place during the state plan development
period because it is necessary for
evaluating the controls that the state
may determine to be appropriate for a
source and is necessary for determining
the resulting standard of performance
that the state may apply to the source on
the basis of those controls. In other
words, without such feasibility and
design work, it would be very difficult
for a state to determine whether CCS is
appropriate for a given source or the
resulting standard of performance.
While the EPA accounts for up to 1 year
for feasibility for the capture plant, the
S&L baseline schedule estimates this
initial design activity can be completed
in 6 months. For the capture plant,
feasibility includes a preliminary
technical evaluation to review the
available utilities and siting footprint for
the capture plant, as well as screening
of the available capture technologies
and vendors for the project, with an
associated initial economic estimate.
For sequestration, in many cases,
general geologic characterization of
regional areas has already been
conducted by U.S. DOE and regional
initiatives; however, the EPA assumes
an up to 1 year period for a storage
complex feasibility study. For the
pipeline, the feasibility includes the
590 CO Capture Project Schedule and Operations
2
Memo, Sargent & Lundy (2024). Available in Docket
ID EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072.
591 Transport and Storage Timeline Summary, ICF
(2024). Available in Docket ID EPA–HQ–OAR–
2023–0072.
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initial pipeline routing analysis, taking
less than 1 year. This exercise involves
using software to review existing rightof-way and other considerations to
develop an optimized pipeline route.
Inputs to that analysis have been made
publicly available by DOE in NETL’s
Pipeline Route Planning Database.592
When state plans are submitted 24
months after publication of the final
rule, requirements included within
those state plans should be effective at
the state level. On that basis, the EPA
assumes that sources installing CCS are
fully committed, and more substantial
work (e.g., FEED study for the capture
plant, permitting, land use and right-ofway acquisition) resumes in June 2026.
The EPA notes, however, that it would
be possible that a source installing CCS
would choose to continue these
activities as soon as the initial feasibility
work is completed even if not yet
required to do so, rather than wait for
state plan submission to occur for the
reasons explained in full below.
Of the components of CCS, the CO2
capture plant is the more technically
involved and time consuming, and
therefore is the primary driver for
determining the compliance date. The
EPA assumes substantial work
commences only after submission due
date for state plans. The S&L baseline
timeline accounts for 5.78 years (301
weeks) for final design, permitting, and
installation of the CO2 capture plant.
First, the EPA describes the timeline
that is consistent with the S&L baseline
for substantial work. Subsequently, the
EPA describes the rationale for slight
adjustments that can be made to that
timeline based upon an examination of
actual project timelines.
In the S&L baseline, substantial work
on the CO2 capture plant begins with a
1-year FEED study (June 2026 to June
2027). The information developed in the
FEED study is necessary for finalizing
commercial arrangements. In the S&L
baseline, the commercial arrangements
can take up to 9 months (June 2027 to
March 2028). Commercial arrangements
include finalizing funding as well as
finalizing contracts with a CO2 capture
technology provider and engineering,
procurement, and construction
companies. The S&L baseline accounts
for 1 year for permitting, beginning
when commercial arrangements are
nearly complete (December 2027 to
December 2028). After commercial
arrangements are complete, a 2-year
period for engineering and procurement
begins (March 2028 to March 2030).
592 NETL Develops Pipeline Route Planning
Database To Guide CO2 Transport Decisions. May
31, 2023. https://netl.doe.gov/node/12580.
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Detailed engineering starts after
commercial arrangements are complete
because engineers must consider details
regarding the selected CO2 capture
technology, equipment providers, and
coordination with construction. Shortly
after permitting is complete, 6 months
of sitework (March 2029 to September
2029) occur. Sitework is followed by 2
years of construction (July 2029 to July
2031). Approximately 8 months prior to
the completion of construction, a
roughly 14 month (60 weeks) period for
startup and commissioning begins
(January 2031 to March 2032).
In many cases, the EPA believes that
sources are positioned to install CO2
capture on a slightly faster timeline than
the baseline S&L timeline detailed in
the prior paragraph, because CCS
projects have been developed in a
shorter timeframe. Including these
minor adjustments, the total time for
detailed engineering, procurement,
construction, startup and
commissioning is 4 years, which is
consistent with completed projects
(Boundary Dam Unit 3 and Petra Nova)
and project schedules developed in
completed FEED studies, see the final
TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units for additional
details. In addition, the IRC tax credits
incentivize sources to begin complying
earlier to reap economic benefits earlier.
Sources that have already completed
feasibility or FEED studies, or that have
FEED studies ongoing are likely to be
able to have CCS fully operational well
in advance of January 1, 2032. Ongoing
projects have planned dates for
commercial operation that are much
earlier. For example, Project Diamond
Vault has plans to be fully operational
in 2028.593 While the EPA assumes
FEED studies start after the date for state
plan submission, in practice sources are
likely to install CO2 capture as
expeditiously as practicable. Moreover,
the preceding timeline is derived from
project schedules developed in the
absence of any regulatory impetus.
Considering these factors, sources have
opportunities to slightly condense the
duration, overlap, or sequencing of steps
so that the total duration for completing
substantial work on the capture plant is
reduced by 2 months. For example, by
expediting the duration for commercial
arrangements from 9 months to 7
months, reasonably assuming sources
immediately begin sitework as soon as
permitting is complete, and accounting
for 13 months (rather than 14) for
startup and testing, the CO2 capture
593 Project
Diamond Vault Overview. https://
www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamondvault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
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plant will be fully operational by
January 2032. Therefore, the EPA
concludes that CO2 capture can be fully
operational by January 1, 2032. To the
extent additional time is needed to take
into account the particular
circumstances of a particular source, the
state may take those circumstances into
account to provide a different
compliance schedule, as detailed in
section X.C.2 of this preamble.
The EPA also notes that there is
additional time for permitting than
described in the S&L baseline. The key
permitting that affects the timeline are
air permits because of the permits’
impact on the ability to construct and
operate the CCS capture equipment, in
which the EPA is the expert in. The S&L
baseline assumes permitting starts after
the FEED study is complete while
commercial arrangements are ongoing,
however permitting can begin earlier
allowing a more extended period for
permitting. Examples of CCS permitting
being completed while FEED studies are
on-going include the air permits for
Project Tundra, Baytown Energy Center,
and Deer Park Energy Center. Therefore,
while the FEED study is on-going, the
EPA assumes that a 2-year process for
permitting can begin.
The EPA’s compliance deadline
assumes that storage and pipelines for
the captured CO2 can be installed
concurrently with deployment of the
capture system. Substantial work on the
storage site starts with 3 years (June
2026 to June 2029) for final site
characterization, pore-space acquisition,
and permitting, including at least 2
years for permitting of Class VI wells
during that period. Lastly, construction
for sequestration takes 1 year (June 2029
to June 2030). While the EPA assumes
that storage can be permitted and
constructed in 4 years, the EPA notes
that there is at least an additional 12
months of time available to complete
construction of the sequestration site
without impacting progress of the other
components.
The EPA assumes the substantial
work on the pipeline lags the start of
substantial work on the storage site by
6 months. After the 1 year of feasibility
work prior to state plan submission, the
general timeline for the CO2 pipeline
assumes up to 3 years for final routing,
permitting activities, and right-of-way
acquisition (December 2026 to
December 2029). Lastly, there are 1.5
years for pipeline construction
(December 2029 to June 2031).594
594 The summary timeline for CO pipelines
2
assumes feasibility for pipelines is 1 year, followed
by 1.5 years for permitting, with the pipeline
feasibility beginning 1 year after permitting for
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The EPA does not assume that CCS
projects are, in general, subject to NEPA.
NEPA review is required for reasons
including sources receiving federal
funding (e.g., through USDA or DOE) or
projects on federal lands. NEPA may
also be triggered for a CCS project if
NEPA compliance is necessary for
construction of the pipeline, such as
where necessary because of a Clean
Water Act section 404 permit, or for
sequestration. Generally, if one aspect of
a project is subject to NEPA, then the
other project components could be as
well. In cases where a project is subject
to NEPA, an environmental assessment
(EA) that takes 1 year, can be finalized
concurrently during the permitting
periods of each component of CCS
(capture, pipeline, and sequestration).
However, the EPA notes that the final
timeline can also accommodate a
concurrent 2-year period if an EIS were
required under NEPA across all
components of the project. The EPA also
notes that, in some circumstances,
NEPA review may begin prior to
completion of a FEED study. For Petra
Nova, a notice of intent to issue an EIS
was published on November 14, 2011,
and the record of decision was issued
less than 2 years later, on May 23,
2013,595 while the FEED study was
completed in 2014.
Based on this detailed analysis, the
EPA has concluded that January 1, 2032,
is an achievable compliance date for
CCS on existing coal-fired steam
generating units that takes into account
the state plan development period, as
well as the technical and bureaucratic
steps necessary to install and implement
CCS and is consistent with other expert
estimates and real-world experience.
(F) Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units Potentially Subject to
This Rule
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA estimates the size of the inventory
of coal-fired power plants in the longterm subcategory likely subject to CCS
as the BSER. Considering that capacity,
the EPA also describes the distance to
storage for those sources.
(1) Capacity of Units Potentially Subject
to This Rule
First, the EPA estimates the total
capacity of units that are currently
operating and that have not announced
plans to retire by 2039, or to cease firing
sequestration starts. The EPA assumes initial
pipeline feasibility occurs up-front, with a longer
period for final routing, permitting, and right-ofway acquisition.
595 Petra Nova W.A. Parish Project. https://
www.energy.gov/fecm/petra-nova-wa-parishproject.
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coal by 2030. Starting from that first
estimate, the EPA then estimates the
capacity of units that would likely be
subject to the CCS requirement, based
on unit age, industry trends, and
economic factors.
Currently, there are 181 GW of coalfired steam generating units.596 About
half of that capacity, totaling 87 GW,
have announced plans to retire before
2039, and an additional 13 GW have
announced plans to cease firing coal by
that time. The remaining amount, 81
GW, are likely to be the most that could
potentially be subject to requirements
based on CCS.
However, the capacity of affected
coal-fired steam generating units that
would ultimately be subject to a CCS
BSER is likely approximately 40 GW.
This determination is supported by
several lines of analysis of the historical
data on the size of the fleet over the past
several years. Historical trends in the
coal-fired generation fleet are detailed in
section IV.D.3 of this preamble. As coalfired units age, they become less
efficient and therefore the costs of their
electricity go up, rendering them even
more competitively disadvantaged.
Further, older sources require additional
investment to replace worn parts. Those
circumstances are likely to continue
through the 2030s and beyond and
become more pronounced. These factors
contribute to the historical changes in
the size of the fleet.
One way to analyze historical changes
in the size of the fleet is based on unit
age. As the average age of the coal-fired
fleet has increased, many sources have
ceased operation. From 2000 to 2022,
the average age of a unit that retired was
53 years. At present, the average age of
the operating fleet is 45 years. Of the 81
GW that are presently operating and that
have not announced plans to retire or
convert to gas prior to 2039, 56 GW will
be 53 years or older by 2039.597
Another line of analysis is based on
the rate of change of the size of the fleet.
The final TSD, Power Sector Trends,
available in the rulemaking docket,
includes analysis showing sharp and
steady decline in the total capacity of
the coal-fired steam generating fleet.
Over the last 15 years (2009–2023),
average annual coal retirements have
been 8 GW/year. Projecting that
retirements will continue at
approximately the same pace from now
596 EIA December 2023 Preliminary Monthly
Electric Generator Inventory. https://www.eia.gov/
electricity/data/eia860m/.
597 81 GW is derived capacity, plant type, and
retirement dates as represented in EPA NEEDS
database. Total amount of covered capacity in this
category may ultimately be slightly less
(approximately) due to CHP-related exemptions.
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until 2039 is reasonable because the
same circumstances will likely continue
or accelerate further given the
incentives under the IRA. Applying this
level of annual retirement would result
in 45 GW of coal capacity continuing to
operate by 2039. Alternatively, the TSD
also includes a graph that shows what
the fleet would look like assuming that
coal units without an announced
retirement date retire at age 53 (the
average retirement age of units over the
2000–2022 period). It shows that the
amount of coal-fired capacity that
remains in operation by 2039 is 38 GW.
The EPA also notes that it is often the
case that coal-fired units announce that
they plan to retire only a few years in
advance of the retirement date. For
instance, of the 15 GW of coal-fired
EGUs that reported a 2022 retirement
year in DOE’s EIA Form 860, only 0.5
GW of that capacity had announced its
retirements plans when reporting in to
the same EIA–860 survey 5 years earlier,
in 2017.598 Thus, although many coalfired units have already announced
plans to retire before 2039, it is likely
that many others may anticipate retiring
by that date but have not yet announced
it.
Finally, the EPA observes that
modeling the baseline circumstances,
absent this final rule, shows additional
retirements of coal-fired steam
generating units. At the end of 2022,
there were 189 GW of coal active in the
U.S. By 2039, the IPM baseline projects
that there will be 42 GW of operating
coal-fired capacity (not including coalto-gas conversions). Between 2023–
2039, 95 GW of coal capacity have
announced retirement and an additional
13 have announced they will cease
firing coal. Thus, of the 81 GW that have
not announced retirement or conversion
to gas by 2039, the IPM baseline projects
39 GW will retire by 2039 due to
economic reasons.
For all these reasons, the EPA
considers that it is realistic to expect
that 42 GW of coal-fired generating will
be operating by 2039—based on
announced retirements, historical
trends, and model projections—and
therefore constitutes the affected
sources in the long-term subcategory
that would be subject to requirements
based on CCS. It should be noted that
the EPA does not consider the above
analysis to predict with precision which
units will remain in operation by 2039.
598 The survey Form EIA–860 collects generatorlevel specific information about existing and
planned generators and associated environmental
equipment at electric power plants with 1 megawatt
or greater of combined nameplate capacity. Data
available at https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/
eia860/.
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Rather, the two sets of sources should be
considered to be reasonably
representative of the inventory of
sources that are likely to remain in
operation by 2039, which is sufficient
for purposes of the BSER analysis that
follows.
(2) Distance to Storage for Units
Potentially Subject to This Rule
The EPA believes that it is
conservative to assume that all 81 GW
of capacity with planned operation
during or after 2039 would need to
construct pipelines to connect to
sequestration sites. As detailed in
section VII.B.2 of this preamble, the
EPA is finalizing an exemption for coalfired sources permanently ceasing
operation by January 1, 2032. About 42
percent (34 GW) of the existing coalfired steam generation capacity that is
currently in operation and has not
announced plans to retire prior to 2039
will be 53 years or older by 2032. As
discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(F), from
2000 to 2022, the average age of a coal
unit that retired was 53 years old.
Therefore, the EPA anticipates that
approximately 34 GW of the total
capacity may permanently cease
operation by 2032 despite not having
yet announced plans to do so.
Furthermore, of the coal-fired steam
generation capacity that has not
announced plans to cease operation
before 2039 and is further than 100 km
(62 miles) of a potential saline
sequestration site, 45 percent (7 GW)
will be over 53 years old in 2032.
Therefore, it is possible that much of the
capacity that is further than 100 km (62
miles) of a saline sequestration site and
has not announced plans to retire will
permanently cease operation due to age
before 2032 and thus the rule would not
apply to them. Similarly, of the coalfired steam generation capacity that has
not announced plans to cease operation
before 2039 and is further than 160 km
(100 miles) of a potential saline
sequestration site, 56 percent (4 GW)
will be over 53 years old in 2032.
Therefore, the EPA notes that it is
possible that the majority of capacity
that is further than 160 km (100 miles)
of a saline sequestration and has not
announced plans to retire site will
permanently cease operation due to age
before 2032 and thus be exempt from
the requirements of this rule.
The EPA also notes that a majority (56
GW) of the existing coal-fired steam
generation capacity that is currently in
operation and has not announced plans
to permanently cease operation prior to
2039 will be 53 years or older by 2039.
Of the coal-fired steam generation
capacity with planned operation during
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or after 2039 that is not located within
100 km (62 miles) of a potential saline
sequestration site, the majority (58
percent or 9 GW) of the units will be 53
years or older in 2039.599 Consequently,
the EPA believes that many of these
units may permanently cease operation
due to age prior to 2039 despite not at
this point having announced specific
plans to do so, and thereby would likely
not be subject to a CCS BSER.
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(G) Resources and Workforce To Install
CCS
Sufficient resources and an available
workforce are required for installation
and operation of CCS. Raw materials
necessary for CCS are generally
available and include common
commodities such as steel and concrete
for construction of the capture plant,
pipelines, and storage wells.
Drawing on data from recently
published studies, the DOE completed
an order-of-magnitude assessment of the
potential requirements for specialized
equipment and commodity materials for
retrofitting existing U.S. coal-fueled
EGUs with CCS.600 Specialized
equipment analyzed included absorbers,
strippers, heat exchangers, and
compressors. Commodity materials
analyzed included monoethanolamine
(MEA) solvent for carbon capture,
triethylene glycol (TEG) for carbon
dioxide drying, and steel and cement for
construction of certain aspects of the
CCS value chain.601 The DOE analyzed
one scenario in which 42 GW of coalfueled EGUs are retrofitted with CCS
and a second scenario in which 73 GW
of coal-fueled EGUs are retrofitted with
CCS.602 The analysis determined that in
599 Sequestration potential as it relates to distance
from existing resources is a key part of the EPA’s
regular power sector modeling development, using
data from DOE/NETL studies. For details, please see
chapter 6 of the IPM documentation available at:.
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/202109/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-andtransport.pdf.
600 DOE. Material Requirements for Carbon
Capture and Storage Retrofits on Existing CoalFueled Electric Generating Units. https://
www.energy.gov/policy/articles/materialrequirements-carbon-capture-and-storage-retrofitsexisting-coal-fueled.
601 Steel requirements were assessed for carbon
capture, transport and storage, but cement
requirements were only assessed for capture and
storage.
602 DOE analyzed the resources—including
specialized equipment, commodity materials, and,
as discussed below, workforce, necessary for 73 GW
of coal capacity to install CCS because that is the
amount that has not announced plans to retire by
January 1, 2040. As indicated in the final TSD,
Power Sector Trends, a somewhat larger amount—
81 GW—has not announced plans to retire or cease
firing coal by January 1, 2039, and it is this latter
amount that is the maximum that, at least in theory,
could be subject to the CCS requirement. DOE’s
conclusions that sufficient resources are available
also hold true for the larger amount.
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both scenarios, the maximum annual
commodity requirements to construct
and operate the CCS systems are likely
to be much less than their respective
global production rates. The maximum
requirements are expected to be at least
one order of magnitude lower than
global annual production for all of the
commodities considered except MEA,
which was estimated to be
approximately 14 percent of global
annual production in the 42 GW
scenario and approximately 24 percent
of global annual production in the 73
GW scenario.603 For steel and cement,
the maximum annual requirements are
also expected to be at least one order of
magnitude lower than U.S. annual
production rates. Finally, the DOE
analysis determined that it is unlikely
that the deployment scenarios would
encounter any bottlenecks in the
supplies of specialized equipment
(absorbers, strippers, heat exchangers,
and compressors) because of the large
pool of potential suppliers.
The workforce necessary for installing
and operating CCS is readily available.
The required workforce includes
construction, engineering,
manufacturing, and other skilled labor
(e.g., electrical, plumbing, and
mechanical trades). The existing
workforce is well positioned to meet the
demand for installation and operation of
CCS. Many of the skills needed to build
and operate carbon capture plants are
similar to those used by workers in
existing industries, and this experience
can be leveraged to support the
workforce needed to deploy CCS. In
addition, government programs,
industry workforce investments, and
IRC section 45Q prevailing wage and
apprenticeship provisions provide
additional significant support to
workforce development and
demonstrate that the CCS industry
likely has the capacity to train and
603 Although the assessment assumed that all of
the CCS deployments would utilize MEA-based
carbon capture technologies, future CCS
deployments could potentially use different
solvents, or capture technologies that do not use
solvents, e.g., membranes, sorbents. A number of
technology providers have solvents that are
commercially available, as detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3) of this preamble. In addition, a
2022 DOE carbon capture supply chain assessment
concluded that common amines used in carbon
capture have robust and resilient supply chains that
could be rapidly scaled, with low supply chain risk
associated with the main inputs for scale-up. See
U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Supply Chain
Deep Dive Assessment: Carbon Capture, Transport
& Storage. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/
files/2022-02/Carbon%20Capture
%20Supply%20Chain%20Report%20%20Final.pdf.
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39877
expand the available workforce to meet
future needs.604
Overall, quantitative estimates of
workforce needs indicates that the total
number of jobs needed for deploying
CCS on coal power plants is
significantly less than the size of the
existing workforce in adjacent
occupations with transferrable skills in
the electricity generation and fuels
industries. The majority of direct jobs,
approximately 90 percent, are expected
to be in the construction of facilities,
which tend to be project-based. The
remaining 10 percent of jobs are
expected to be tied to ongoing facility
operations and maintenance.605 Recent
project-level estimates bear this out. The
Boundary Dam CCS facility in Canada
employed 1,700 people at peak
construction.606 A recent workforce
projection estimates average annual jobs
related to investment in carbon capture
retrofits at coal power plants could
range from 1,070 to 1,600 jobs per plant.
A DOE memorandum estimates that
71,400 to 107,100 average annual jobs
resulting from CCS project
investments—across construction,
project management, machinery
installers, sales representatives, freight,
and engineering occupations—would
likely be needed over a five-year
construction period 607 to deploy CCS at
604 DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal
Carbon Capture Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/
policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coalcarbon-capture-retrofits.
605 Ibid.
606 SaskPower, ‘‘SaskPower CCS.’’ https://
unfccc.int/files/bodies/awg/application/pdf/01_
saskatchewan_environment_micheal_monea.pdf.
For corroboration, we note similar employment
numbers for two EPAct-05 assisted projects: Petra
Nova estimated it would need approximately 1,100
construction-related jobs and up to 20 jobs for
ongoing operations. National Energy Technology
Laboratory and U.S. Department of Energy. W.A.
Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and
Sequestration Project, Final Environmental Impact
Statement. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/
files/EIS-0473-FEIS-Summary-2013_1.pdf. Project
Tundra projects a peak labor force of 600 to 700.
National Energy Technology Laboratory and U.S.
Department of Energy. Draft Environmental
Assessment for North Dakota CarbonSAFE: Project
Tundra. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/
2023-08/draft-ea-2197-nd-carbonsafe-chapters2023-08.pdf.
607 For the purposes of evaluating the actual
workforce and resources necessary for installation
of CCS, the five-year assumption in the DOE memo
is reasonable. The representative timeline for CCS
includes an about 3-year period for construction
activities (including site work, construction, and
startup and testing) across the components of CCS
(capture, pipeline, and sequestration), beginning at
the end of 2028. Many sources are well positioned
to install CCS, having already completed feasibility
work, FEED studies, and/or permitting, and could
thereby reasonably start construction activities (still
3-years in duration) by the beginning of 2028 or
earlier and, as a practical matter, would likely do
so notwithstanding the requirements of this rule
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a subset of coal power plants. The
memorandum further estimates that
116,200 to 174,300 average annual jobs
would likely be needed if CCS were
deployed at all coal-fired EGUs that
currently have no firm commitment to
retire or convert to natural gas by
2040.608 For comparison, the DOE
memorandum further categorizes
potential workforce needs by
occupation, and estimates 11,420 to
27,890 annual jobs for construction
trade workers, while the U.S. Energy
and Employment Report estimates that
electric power generation and fuels
accounted for more than 292,000
construction jobs in 2022, which is an
order of magnitude greater than the
potential workforce needs for CCS
deployment under this rule. Overall
energy-related construction activities
across the entire energy industry
accounted for nearly 2 million jobs, or
25 percent of all construction jobs in
2022, indicating that there is a very
large pool of workers potentially
available.609
As noted in section VII.C.1.a.i(F), the
EPA determined that the population of
sources without announced plans to
cease operation or discontinue coalfiring by 2039, and that is therefore
potentially subject to a CCS BSER, is not
more than 81 GW, as indicated in the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends. The
DOE CCS Commodity Materials and
Workforce Memos evaluated material
resource and workforce needs for a
similar capacity (about 73 GW), and
determined that the resources and
workforce available are more than
sufficient, in most cases by an order of
magnitude. Considering these factors,
and the similar scale of the population
of sources considered, the EPA therefore
concludes that the workforce and
resources available are more than
sufficient to meet the demands of coalgiven the strong economic incentives provided by
the tax credit. The representative timeline also
makes conservative assumptions about the preconstruction activities for pipelines and
sequestration, and for many sources construction of
those components could occur earlier. Finally, to
provide greater regulatory certainty and incentivize
the installation of controls, the EPA is finalizing a
limited one-year compliance date extension
mechanism for certain circumstances as detailed in
section X.C.1.d of the preamble, and it would also
be reasonable to assume that, in practice, some
sources use that mechanism. Considering these
factors, evaluating workforce and resource
requirements over a five-year period is reasonable.
608 DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal
Carbon Capture Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/
policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coalcarbon-capture-retrofits.
609 U.S. Department of Energy. United States
Energy & Employment Report 2023. https://
www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2023-06/
2023%20USEER%20REPORT-v2.pdf.
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fired steam generating units potentially
subject to a CCS BSER.
(H) Determination That CCS Is
‘‘Adequately Demonstrated’’
As discussed in detail in section
V.C.2.b, pursuant to the text, context,
legislative history, and judicial
precedent interpreting CAA section
111(a)(1), a technology is ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ if there is sufficient
evidence that the EPA may reasonably
conclude that a source that applies the
technology will be able to achieve the
associated standard of performance
under the reasonably expected operating
circumstances. Specifically, an
adequately demonstrated standard of
performance may reflect the EPA’s
reasonable expectation of what that
particular system will achieve, based on
analysis of available data from
individual commercial scale sources,
and, if necessary, identifying specific
available technological improvements
that are expected to improve
performance.610 The law is clear in
establishing that at the time a section
111 rule is promulgated, the system that
the EPA establishes as BSER need not be
in widespread use. Instead, the EPA’s
responsibility is to determine that the
demonstrated technology can be
implemented at the necessary scale in a
reasonable period of time, and to base
its requirements on this understanding.
In this case, the EPA acknowledged in
the proposed rule, and reaffirms now,
that sources will require some amount
of time to install CCS. Installing CCS
requires the building of capture
facilities and pipelines to transport
captured CO2 to sequestration sites, and
the development of sequestration sites.
This is true for both existing coal plants,
which will need to retrofit CCS, and
new gas plants, which must incorporate
CCS into their construction planning.
As the EPA explained at proposal, D.C.
Circuit caselaw supports this
approach.611 Moreover, the EPA has
610 A line of cases establishes that the EPA may
extrapolate based on its findings and project
technological improvements in a variety of ways.
First, the EPA may reasonably extrapolate from
testing results to predict a lower emissions rate than
has been regularly achieved in testing. See Essex
Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 433
(D.C. Cir. 1973). Second, the EPA may forecast
technological improvements allowing a lower
emissions rate or effective control at larger plants
than those previously subject to testing, provided
the agency has adequate knowledge about the
needed changes to make a reasonable prediction.
See Sierra Club v. Costle 657 F.2d 298 (1981).
Third, the EPA may extrapolate based on testing at
a particular kind of source to conclude that the
technology at issue will also be effective at a
different, related, source. See Lignite Energy
Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
611 There, EPA cited Portland Cement v.
Ruckelshaus, for the proposition that ‘‘D.C. Circuit
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determined that there will be sufficient
resources for all coal-fired power plants
that are reasonably expected to be
operating as of January 1, 2039, to
install CCS. Nothing in the comments
alters the EPA’s view of the relevant
legal requirements related to the EPA’s
determination of time necessary to
allow for adoption of the system.
With all of the above in mind, the
preceding sections show that CCS
technology with 90 percent capture is
clearly adequately demonstrated for
coal-fired steam generating units, that
the 90 percent standard is achievable,612
and that it is reasonable for the EPA to
determine that CCS can be deployed at
the necessary scale in the compliance
timeframe.
(1) EPAct05
In the proposal, the EPA noted that in
the 2015 NSPS, the EPA had considered
coal-fired industrial projects that had
installed at least some components of
CCS technology. In doing so, the EPA
recognized that some of those projects
had received assistance in the form of
grants, loan guarantees, and Federal tax
credits for investment in ‘‘clean coal
technology,’’ under provisions of the
Energy Policy Act of 2005 (‘‘EPAct05’’).
See 80 FR 64541–42 (October 23, 2015).
(The EPA refers to projects that received
assistance under that legislation as
‘‘EPAct05-assisted projects.’’) The EPA
further recognized that the EPAct05
included provisions that constrained
how the EPA could rely on EPAct05assisted projects in determining whether
technology is adequately demonstrated
for the purposes of CAA section 111.613
caselaw supports the proposition that CAA section
111 authorizes the EPA to determine that controls
qualify as the BSER—including meeting the
‘adequately demonstrated’ criterion—even if the
controls require some amount of ‘lead time,’ which
the court has defined as ‘the time in which the
technology will have to be available.’ ’’ See New
Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed
Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
From Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating
Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy
Rule, 88 FR 33240, 33289 (May 23, 2023) (quoting
Portland Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d
375, 391 (D.C. Cir. 1973)).
612 The concepts of ‘‘adequately demonstrated’’
and ‘‘achievable’’ are closely related. As the D.C.
Circuit explained in Essex Chem. Corp. v.
Ruckelshaus, ‘‘[i]t is the system which must be
adequately demonstrated and the standard which
must be achievable.’’ 486 F.2d 427, 433 (1973).
613 The relevant EPAct05 provisions include the
following: Section 402(i) of the EPAct05, codified
at 42 U.S.C. 15962(a), provides as follows: ‘‘No
technology, or level of emission reduction, solely by
reason of the use of the technology, or the
achievement of the emission reduction, by 1 or
more facilities receiving assistance under this Act,
shall be considered to be adequately demonstrated
[ ] for purposes of section 111 of the Clean Air
Act. . . .’’ IRC section 48A(g), as added by EPAct05
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In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA went on to
provide a legal interpretation of those
constraints. Under that legal
interpretation, ‘‘these provisions [in the
EPAct05] . . . preclude the EPA from
relying solely on the experience of
facilities that received [EPAct05]
assistance, but [do] not . . . preclude
the EPA from relying on the experience
of such facilities in conjunction with
other information.’’ 614 Id. at 64541–42.
In this action, the EPA is adhering to the
interpretation of these provisions that it
announced in the 2015 NSPS.
Some commenters criticized the legal
interpretation that the EPA advanced in
the 2015 NSPS, and others supported
the interpretation. The EPA has
responded to these comments in the
Response to Comments Document,
available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
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ii. Costs
The EPA has analyzed the costs of
CCS for existing coal-fired long-term
steam generating units, including costs
for CO2 capture, transport, and
sequestration. The EPA has determined
costs of CCS for these sources are
reasonable. The EPA also evaluated
costs assuming shorter amortization
periods. As elsewhere in this section of
the preamble, costs are presented in
2019 dollars. In sum, the costs of CCS
are reasonable under a variety of
metrics. The costs of CCS are reasonable
as compared to the costs of other
controls that the EPA has required for
these sources. And the costs of CCS are
reasonable when looking to the dollars
per ton of CO2 reduced. The
reasonableness of CCS as an emission
control is further reinforced by the fact
that some sources are projected to
install CCS even in the absence of any
EPA rule addressing CO2 emissions—11
GW of coal-fired EGUs install CCS in
the modeling base case.
Specifically, the EPA assessed the
average cost of CCS for the fleet of coal1307(b), provides as follows: ‘‘No use of technology
(or level of emission reduction solely by reason of
the use of the technology), and no achievement of
any emission reduction by the demonstration of any
technology or performance level, by or at one or
more facilities with respect to which a credit is
allowed under this section, shall be considered to
indicate that the technology or performance level is
adequately demonstrated [ ] for purposes of section
111 of the Clean Air Act. . . .’’ Section 421(a)
states: ‘‘No technology, or level of emission
reduction, shall be treated as adequately
demonstrated for purpose [sic] of section 7411 of
this title, . . . solely by reason of the use of such
technology, or the achievement of such emission
reduction, by one or more facilities receiving
assistance under section 13572(a)(1) of this title.’’
614 In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA adopted several
other legal interpretations of these EPAct05
provisions as well. See 80 FR 64541 (October 23,
2015).
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fired steam generating units with no
announced retirement or gas conversion
prior to 2039. In evaluating costs, the
EPA accounts for the IRC section 45Q
tax credit of $85/metric ton (assumes
prevailing wage and apprenticeship
requirements are met), a detailed
discussion of which is provided in
section VII.C.1.a.ii(C) of this preamble.
The EPA also accounts for increases in
utilization that will occur for units that
apply CCS due to the incentives
provided by the IRC section 45Q tax
credit. In other words, because the IRC
section 45Q tax credit provides a
significant economic benefit, sources
that apply CCS will have a strong
economic incentive to increase
utilization and run at higher capacity
factors than occurred historically. This
assumption is confirmed by the
modeling, which projects that sources
that install CCS run at a high capacity
factor—generally, about 80 percent or
even higher. The EPA notes that the
NETL Baseline study assumes 85
percent as the default capacity factor
assumption for coal CCS retrofits, noting
that coal plants in market conditions
supporting baseload operation have
demonstrated the ability to operate at
annual capacity factors of 85 percent or
higher.615 This assumption is also
supported by observations of wind
generators who receive the IRC section
45 production tax credit who continue
to operate even during periods of
negative power prices.616 Therefore, the
EPA assessed the costs for CCS
retrofitted to existing coal-fired steam
generating units assuming an 80 percent
annual capacity factor. Assuming an 80
percent capacity factor and 12-year
amortization period,617 the average costs
of CCS for the fleet are ¥$5/ton of CO2
reduced or ¥$4/MWh of generation.
Assuming at least a 12-year amortization
period is reasonable because any unit
that installs CCS and seeks to maximize
615 See Exhibit 2–18. https://netl.doe.gov/
projects/files/CostAndPerformanceBaseline
ForFossilEnergyPlantsVolume1Bituminous
CoalAndNaturalGasToElectricity_101422.pdf.
616 If those generators were not receiving the tax
credit, they otherwise would cease producing
power during those periods and result in a lower
overall capacity factor. As noted by EIA, ‘‘Wind
plants can offer negative prices because of the
revenue stream that results from the federal
production tax credit, which generates tax benefits
whenever the wind plant is producing electricity,
and payments from state renewable portfolio or
financial incentive programs. These alternative
revenue streams make it possible for wind
generators to offer their wind power into the
wholesale electricity market at prices lower than
other generators, and even at negative prices.’’
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/
detail.php?id=16831.
617 A 12-year amortization period is consistent
with the period of time during which the IRC
section 45Q tax credit can be claimed.
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39879
its profitability will be incentivized to
recoup the full value of the 12-year tax
credit.
Therefore for long-term coal-fired
steam generating units—ones that
operate after January 1, 2039—the costs
of CCS are similar or better than the
representative costs of controls detailed
in section VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this
preamble (i.e., costs for SCRs and FGDs
on EGUs of $10.60 to $18.50/MWh and
the costs in the 2016 NSPS regulating
GHGs for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas
source category of $98/ton of CO2e
reduced (80 FR 56627; September 18,
2015)).
The EPA also evaluated the costs for
shorter amortization periods,
considering the $/MWh and $/ton
metrics, as well as other cost indicators,
as described in section VII.C.1.a.ii.(D).
Specifically, with an initial compliance
date of January 1, 2032, sources
operating through the end of 2039 have
at least 8 years to amortize costs. For an
80 percent capacity factor and an 8-year
amortization period, the average costs of
CCS for the fleet are $19/ton of CO2
reduced or $18/MWh of generation;
these costs are comparable to those costs
that the EPA has previously determined
to be reasonable. Sources operating
through the end of 2040, 2041, and
beyond (i.e., sources with 9, 10, or more
years to amortize the costs of CCS) have
even more favorable average costs per
MWh and per ton of CO2 reduced.
Sources ceasing operation by January 1,
2039, have 7 years to amortize costs. For
an 80 percent capacity factor and a 7year amortization period, the fleet
average costs are $29/ton of CO2
reduced or $28/MWh of generation;
these average costs are less comparable
on a $/MWh of generation basis to those
costs the EPA has previously
determined to be reasonable, but
substantially lower than costs the EPA
has previously determined to be
reasonable on a $/ton of CO2 reduced
basis. The EPA further notes that the
costs presented are average costs for the
fleet. For a substantial amount of
capacity, costs assuming a 7-year
amortization period are comparable to
those costs the EPA has previously
determined to be reasonable on both a
$/MWh basis (i.e., less than $18.50/
MWh) and a $/ton basis (i.e. less than
$98/ton CO2e),618 and the EPA
concludes that a substantial amount of
capacity can install CCS at reasonable
cost with a 7-year amortization
618 See the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures
for Steam Generating Units for additional details.
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period.619 Considering that a significant
number of sources can cost reasonably
install CCS even assuming a 7-year
amortization period, the EPA concludes
that sources operating in 2039 should be
subject to a CCS BSER,620 and for this
reason, is finalizing the date of January
1, 2039 as the dividing line between the
medium-term and long-term
subcategories. Moreover, the EPA
underscores that given the strong
economic incentives of the IRC section
45Q tax credit, sources that install CCS
will have strong economic incentives to
operate at high capacity for the full 12
years that the tax credit is available.
As discussed in the RTC section 2.16,
the EPA has also examined the
reasonableness of the costs of this rule
in additional ways: considering the total
annual costs of the rule as compared to
past CAA rules for the electricity sector
and as compared to the industry’s
annual revenues and annual capital
expenditures, and considering the
effects of this rule on electricity prices.
Taking all of these into consideration, in
addition to the cost metrics just
discussed, the EPA concludes that, in
general, the costs of CCS are reasonable
for sources operating after January 1,
2039.
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(A) Capture Costs
The EPA developed an independent
engineering cost assessment for CCS
retrofits, with support from Sargent and
Lundy.621 The EPA cost analysis
619 As indicated in section 4.7.5 of the final TSD,
Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, 24 percent of all coal-fired steam
generating units in the long-term subcategory would
have CCS costs below both $18.50/MWh and $98/
ton of CO2 with a 7-year amortization period (Table
11), and that amount increases to 40 percent for
those coal-fired units that, in light of their age and
efficiency, are most likely to operate in the long
term (and thus be subject to the CCS-based
standards of performance) (Table 12). In addition,
of the 9 units in the NEEDS data base that have
announced plans to retire in 2039, and that
therefore would have a 7-year amortization period
if they installed CCS by January 1, 2032, 6 would
have costs below both $18.50/MWh and $98/ton of
CO2.
620 The EPA determines the BSER based on
considering information on the statutory factors,
including cost, on a source category or subcategory
basis. However, there may be particular sources for
which, based on source-specific considerations, the
cost of CCS is fundamentally different from the
costs the EPA considered in making its BSER
determination. If such a fundamental difference
makes it unreasonable for a particular source to
achieve the degree of emission limitation associated
with implementing CCS with 90 percent capture, a
state may provide a less stringent standard of
performance (and/or longer compliance schedule, if
applicable) for that source pursuant to the RULOF
provisions. See section X.C.2 of this preamble for
further discussion.
621 Detailed cost information, assessment of
technology options, and demonstration of cost
reasonableness can be found in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
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assumes installation of one CO2 capture
plant for each coal-fired EGU, and that
sources without SO2 controls (FGD) or
NOX controls (specifically, selective
catalytic reduction—SCR; or selective
non-catalytic reduction—SNCR) add a
wet FGD and/or SCR.622
(B) CO2 Transport and Sequestration
Costs
To calculate the costs of CCS for coalfired steam generating units for
purposes of determining BSER as well
as for EPA modeling, the EPA relied on
transportation and storage costs
consistent with the cost of transporting
and storing CO2 from each power plant
to the nearest saline reservoir.623 For a
power plant composed of multiple coalfired EGUs, the EPA’s cost analysis
assumes installation and operation of a
single, common CO2 pipeline.
The EPA notes that NETL has also
developed costs for transport and
storage. NETL’s ‘‘Quality Guidelines for
Energy System Studies; Carbon Dioxide
Transport and Sequestration Costs in
NETL Studies’’ provides an estimation
of transport costs based on the CO2
Transport Cost Model.624 The CO2
Transport Cost Model estimates costs for
a single point-to-point pipeline.
Estimated costs reflect pipeline capital
costs, related capital expenditures, and
operations and maintenance costs.625
NETL’s Quality Guidelines also
provide an estimate of sequestration
costs. These costs reflect the cost of site
screening and evaluation, permitting
and construction costs, the cost of
injection wells, the cost of injection
equipment, operation and maintenance
costs, pore volume acquisition expense,
and long-term liability protection.
Permitting and construction costs also
reflect the regulatory requirements of
the UIC Class VI program and GHGRP
subpart RR for geologic sequestration of
CO2 in deep saline formations. NETL
calculates these sequestration costs on
the basis of generic plant locations in
the Midwest, Texas, North Dakota, and
Montana, as described in the NETL
energy system studies that utilize the
622 Whether an FGD and SCR or controls with
lower costs are necessary for flue gas pretreatment
prior to the CO2 capture process will in practice
depend on the flue gas conditions of the source.
623 For additional details on CO transport and
2
storage costs, see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units.
624 Grant, T., et al. (2019). ‘‘Quality Guidelines for
Energy System Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport
and Storage Costs in NETL Studies.’’ National
Energy Technology Laboratory. https://
www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
625 Grant, T., et al. ‘‘Quality Guidelines for Energy
System Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport and
Storage Costs in NETL Studies.’’ National Energy
Technology Laboratory. 2019. https://
www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
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coal found in Illinois, East Texas,
Williston, and Powder River basins.626
There are two primary cost drivers for
a CO2 sequestration project: the rate of
injection of the CO2 into the reservoir
and the areal extent of the CO2 plume
in the reservoir. The rate of injection
depends, in part, on the thickness of the
reservoir and its permeability. Thick,
permeable reservoirs provide for better
injection and fewer injection wells. The
areal extent of the CO2 plume depends
on the sequestration capacity of the
reservoir. Thick, porous reservoirs with
a good sequestration coefficient will
present a small areal extent for the CO2
plume and have a smaller monitoring
footprint, resulting in lower monitoring
costs. NETL’s Quality Guidelines model
costs for a given cumulative
sequestration potential.627
In addition, provisions in the IIJA and
IRA are expected to significantly
increase the CO2 pipeline infrastructure
and development of sequestration sites,
which, in turn, are expected to result in
further cost reductions for the
application of CCS at new combined
cycle EGUs. The IIJA establishes a new
Carbon Dioxide Transportation
Infrastructure Finance and Innovation
program to provide direct loans, loan
guarantees, and grants to CO2
infrastructure projects, such as
pipelines, rail transport, ships and
barges.628 The IIJA also establishes a
new Regional Direct Air Capture Hubs
program that includes funds to support
four large-scale, regional direct air
capture hubs and more broadly support
projects that could be developed into a
regional or inter-regional network to
facilitate sequestration or utilization.629
DOE is additionally implementing IIJA
section 40305 (Carbon Storage
Validation and Testing) through its
CarbonSAFE initiative, which aims to
further develop geographically
widespread, commercial-scale, safe
sequestration.630 The IRA increases and
626 National Energy Technology Laboratory
(NETL). (2017). ‘‘FE/NETL CO2 Saline Storage Cost
Model (2017),’’ U.S. Department of Energy, DOE/
NETL–2018–1871. https://netl.doe.gov/energyanalysis/details?id=2403.
627 Details on CO transportation and
2
sequestration costs can be found in the final TSD,
GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating
Units.
628 Department of Energy. ‘‘Biden-Harris
Administration Announces $2 Billion from
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to Finance Carbon
Dioxide Transportation Infrastructure.’’ (2022).
https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harrisadministration-announces-2-billion-bipartisaninfrastructure-law-finance.
629 Department of Energy. ‘‘Regional Direct Air
Capture Hubs.’’ (2022). https://www.energy.gov/
oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
630 For more information, see the NETL
announcement. https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/
12405.
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extends the IRC section 45Q tax credit,
discussed next.
(C) IRC Section 45Q Tax Credit
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In determining the cost of CCS, the
EPA is taking into account the tax credit
provided under IRC section 45Q, as
revised by the IRA. The tax credit is
available at $85/metric ton ($77/ton)
and offsets a significant portion of the
capture, transport, and sequestration
costs noted above.
Several other aspects of the tax credit
should be noted. A tax credit offsets tax
liability dollar for dollar up to the
amount of the taxpayer’s tax liability.
Any credits in excess of the taxpayer’s
liability are eligible to be carried back (3
years in the case of IRC section 45Q)
and then carried forward up to 20
years.631As noted above, the IRA also
enabled additional methods to monetize
tax credits in the event the taxpayer
does not have sufficient tax liability,
such as through credit transfer.
The EPA has determined that it is
likely that EGUs installing CCS will
meet the 45Q prevailing wage and
apprenticeship requirements. First, the
requirements provide a significant
economic incentive, increasing the
value of the 45Q credit by five times
over the base value of the credit
available if the prevailing wage and
apprenticeship requirements are not
met. This provides a significant
incentive to meet the requirements.
Second, the increased cost of meeting
the requirements is likely significantly
less than the increase in credit value. A
recent EPRI assessment found meeting
the requirements for other types of
power generation projects resulted in
significant savings across projects,632
and other studies indicate prevailing
wage laws and requirements for
construction projects in general do not
significantly affect overall construction
costs.633 The EPA expects a similar
dynamic for 45Q projects. Third, the use
of registered apprenticeship programs
for training new employees is generally
well-established in the electric power
generation sector, and apprenticeship
programs are widely available to
generate additional trained workers in
this field.634 The overall U.S. apprentice
market has more than doubled between
2014 and 2023, growing at an average
631 IRC
section 39.
annual rate of more than 7 percent.635
Additional programs support the skilled
construction trade workforce required
for CCS implementation and
maintenance.636
As discussed in section V.C.2.c of this
preamble, CAA section 111(a)(1) is clear
that the cost that the Administrator
must take into account in determining
the BSER is the cost of the controls to
the source. It is reasonable to take the
tax credit into account because it
reduces the cost of the controls to the
source, which has a significant effect on
the actual cost of installing and
operating CCS. In addition, all sources
that install CCS to meet the
requirements of these final actions are
eligible for the tax credit. The legislative
history of the IRA makes clear that
Congress was well aware that the EPA
may promulgate rulemaking under CAA
section 111 based on CCS and the utility
of the tax credit in reducing the costs of
CCUS (i.e., CCS). Rep. Frank Pallone,
the chair of the House Energy &
Commerce Committee, included a
statement in the Congressional Record
when the House adopted the IRA in
which he explained: ‘‘The tax credit[ ]
for CCUS . . . included in this Act may
also figure into CAA Section 111 GHG
regulations for new and existing
industrial sources[.] . . . Congress
anticipates that EPA may consider
CCUS . . . as [a] candidate[ ] for BSER
for electric generating plants . . . .
Further, Congress anticipates that EPA
may consider the impact of the CCUS
. . . tax credit[ ] in lowering the costs of
[that] measure[ ].’’ 168 Cong. Rec. E879
(August 26, 2022) (statement of Rep.
Frank Pallone).
In the 2015 NSPS, in which the EPA
determined partial CCS to be the BSER
for GHGs from new coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, the EPA recognized
that the IRC section 45Q tax credit or
other tax incentives could factor into the
cost of the controls to the sources.
Specifically, the EPA calculated the cost
of partial CCS on the basis of cost
calculations from NETL, which
included ‘‘a range of assumptions
including the projected capital costs, the
cost of financing the project, the fixed
and variable O&M costs, the projected
fuel costs, and incorporation of any
incentives such as tax credits or
favorable financing that may be
available to the project developer.’’ 80
FR 64570 (October 23, 2015).637
632 https://www.epri.com/research/products/
000000003002027328.
633 https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/
10.1177/0160449X18766398.
634 DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal
Carbon Capture Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/
policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coalcarbon-capture-retrofits.
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635 https://www.apprenticeship.gov/data-andstatistics.
636 https://www.apprenticeship.gov/partnerfinder.
637 In fact, because of limits on the availability of
the IRC section 45Q tax credit at the time of the
2015 NSPS, the EPA did not factor it into the cost
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39881
Similarly, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA
also recognized that revenues from
utilizing captured CO2 for EOR would
reduce the cost of CCS to the sources,
although the EPA did not account for
potential EOR revenues for purposes of
determining the BSER. Id. At 64563–64.
In other rules, the EPA has considered
revenues from sale of the by-products of
emission controls to affect the costs of
the emission controls. For example, in
the 2016 Oil and Gas Methane Rule, the
EPA determined that certain control
requirements would reduce natural gas
leaks and therefore result in the
collection of recovered natural gas that
could be sold; and the EPA further
determined that revenues from the sale
of the recovered natural gas reduces the
cost of controls. See 81 FR 35824 (June
3, 2016). The EPA made the same
determination in the 2024 Oil and Gas
Methane Rule. See 89 FR 16820, 16865
(May 7, 2024). In a 2011 action
concerning a regional haze SIP, the EPA
recognized that a NOX control would
alter the chemical composition of fly
ash that the source had previously sold,
so that it could no longer be sold; and
as a result, the EPA further determined
that the cost of the NOX control should
include the foregone revenues from the
fly ash sales. 76 FR 58570, 58603
(September 21, 2011). In the 2016
emission guidelines for landfill gas from
municipal solid waste landfills, the EPA
reduced the costs of controls by
accounting for revenue from the sale of
electricity produced from the landfill
gas collected through the controls. 81
FR 59276, 19679 (August 29, 2016).
The amount of the IRC section 45Q
tax credit that the EPA is taking into
account is $85/metric ton for CO2 that
is captured and geologically stored. This
amount is available to the affected
source as long as it meets the prevailing
wage and apprenticeship requirements
of IRC section 45Q(h)(3)–(4). The
legislative history to the IRA specifically
stated that when the EPA considers CCS
as the BSER for GHG emissions from
industrial sources in CAA section 111
rulemaking, the EPA should determine
the cost of CCS by assuming that the
sources would meet those prevailing
wage and apprenticeship requirements.
168 Cong. Rec. E879 (August 26, 2022)
(statement of Rep. Frank Pallone). If
prevailing wage and apprenticeship
requirements are not met, the value of
the IRC section 45Q tax credit falls to
$17/metric ton. The substantially higher
credit available provides a considerable
incentive to meeting the prevailing wage
and apprenticeship requirements.
calculation for partial CCS. 80 FR 64558–64
(October 23, 2015).
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Therefore, the EPA assumes that
investors maximize the value of the IRC
section 45Q tax credit at $85/metric ton
by meeting those requirements.
(D) Comparison to Other Costs of
Controls and Other Measures of Cost
Reasonableness
In assessing cost reasonableness for
the BSER determination for this rule,
the EPA looks at a range of cost
information. As discussed in Chapter 2
of the RTC, the EPA considered the total
annual costs of the rule as compared to
past CAA rules for the electricity sector
and as compared to the industry’s
annual revenues and annual capital
expenditures, and considered the effects
of this rule on electricity prices.
For each of the BSER determinations,
the EPA also considers cost metrics that
it has historically considered in
assessing costs to compare the costs of
GHG control measures to control costs
that the EPA has previously determined
to be reasonable. This includes
comparison to the costs of controls at
EGUs for other air pollutants, such as
SO2 and NOX, and costs of controls for
GHGs in other industries. Based on
these costs, the EPA has developed two
metrics for assessing the cost
reasonableness of controls: the increase
in cost of electricity due to controls,
measured in $/MWh, and the control
costs of removing a ton of pollutant,
measured in $/ton CO2e. The costs
presented in this section of the
preamble are in 2019 dollars.638
In different rulemakings, the EPA has
required many coal-fired steam
generating units to install and operate
flue gas desulfurization (FGD)
equipment—that is, wet or dry
scrubbers—to reduce their SO2
emissions or SCR to reduce their NOX
emissions. The EPA compares these
control costs across technologies—steam
generating units and combustion
turbines—because these costs are
indicative of what is reasonable for the
power sector in general. The facts that
the EPA required these controls in prior
rules, and that many EGUs subsequently
installed and operated these controls,
provide evidence that these costs are
reasonable, and as a result, the cost of
these controls provides a benchmark to
assess the reasonableness of the costs of
the controls in this preamble. In the
2011 CSAPR (76 FR 48208; August 8,
638 The EPA used the NETL Baseline Report costs
directly for the combustion turbine model plant
BSER analysis. Even though these costs are in 2018
dollars, the adjustment to 2019 dollars (1.018 using
the U.S. GDP Implicit Price Deflator) is well within
the uncertainty range of the report and the minor
adjustment would not impact the EPA’s BSER
determination.
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2011), the EPA estimated the annualized
costs to install and operate wet FGD
retrofits on existing coal-fired steam
generating units. Using those same cost
equations and assumptions (i.e., a 63
percent annual capacity factor—the
average value in 2011) for retrofitting
wet FGD on a representative 700 to 300
MW coal-fired steam generating unit
results in annualized costs of $14.80 to
$18.50/MWh of generation,
respectively.639 In the Good Neighbor
Plan for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS (2023
GNP), 88 FR 36654 (June 5, 2023), the
EPA estimated the annualized costs to
install and operate SCR retrofits on
existing coal-fired steam generating
units. Using those same cost equations
and assumptions (including a 56
percent annual capacity factor—a
representative value in that rulemaking)
to retrofit SCR on a representative 700
to 300 MW coal-fired steam generating
unit results in annualized costs of
$10.60 to $11.80/MWh of generation,
respectively.640
The EPA also compares costs to the
costs for GHG controls in rulemakings
for other industries. In the 2016 NSPS
regulating GHGs for the Crude Oil and
Natural Gas source category, the EPA
found the costs of reducing methane
emissions of $2,447/ton to be reasonable
(80 FR 56627; September 18, 2015).641
Converted to a ton of CO2e reduced
basis, those costs are expressed as $98/
ton of CO2e reduced.642
The EPA does not consider either of
these metrics, $18.50/MWh and $98/ton
of CO2e, to be bright line standards that
distinguish between levels of control
costs that are reasonable and levels that
are unreasonable. But they do usefully
indicate that control costs that are
generally consistent with those levels of
control costs should be considered
reasonable. The EPA has required
controls with comparable costs in prior
rules for the electric power industry and
the industry has successfully complied
with those rules by installing and
operating the applicable controls. In the
case of the $/ton metric, the EPA has
639 For additional details, see https://
www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/
documentation-integrated-planning-model-ipmbase-case-v410.
640 For additional details, see https://
www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-01/
Updated%20Summer%202021%20
Reference%20Case%20Incremental
%20Documentation%20for%20the
%202015%20Ozone%20NAAQS%20Actions_0.pdf.
641 The EPA finalized the 2016 NSPS GHGs for
the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category at
81 FR 35824 (June 3, 2016). The EPA included cost
information in the proposed rulemaking, at 80 FR
56627 (September 18, 2015).
642 Based on the 100-year global warming
potential for methane of 25 used in the GHGRP (40
CFR 98 Subpart A, table A–1).
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required other industries—specifically,
the oil and gas industry—to reduce their
climate pollution at this level of costeffectiveness. In this rulemaking, the
costs of the controls that the EPA
identifies as the BSER generally match
up well against both of these $/MWh
and $/ton metrics for the affected
subcategories of sources. And looking
broadly at the range of cost information
and these cost metrics, the EPA
concludes that the costs of these rules
are reasonable.
(E) Comparison to Costs for CCS in Prior
Rulemakings
In the CPP and ACE Rule, the EPA
determined that CCS did not qualify as
the BSER due to cost considerations.
Two key developments have led the
EPA to reevaluate this conclusion: the
costs of CCS technology have fallen and
the extension and increase in the IRC
section 45Q tax credit, as included in
the IRA, in effect provide a significant
stream of revenue for sequestered CO2
emissions. The CPP and ACE Rule
relied on a 2015 NETL report estimating
the cost of CCS. NETL has issued
updated reports to incorporate the latest
information available, most recently in
2022, which show significant cost
reductions. The 2015 report estimated
incremental levelized cost of CCS at a
new pulverized coal facility relative to
a new facility without CCS at $74/MWh
(2022$),643 while the 2022 report
estimated incremental levelized cost at
$44/MWh (2022$).644 Additionally, the
IRA increased the IRC section 45Q tax
credit from $50/metric ton to $85/metric
ton (and, in the case of EOR or certain
industrial uses, from $35/metric ton to
$60/metric ton), assuming prevailing
wage and apprenticeship conditions are
met. The IRA also enhanced the realized
value of the tax credit through the
elective pay (informally known as direct
pay) and transferability monetization
options described in section IV.E.1. The
combination of lower costs and higher
tax credits significantly improves the
cost reasonableness of CCS for purposes
643 Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil
Energy Plants Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and
Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 3 (July 2015). Note:
The EPA adjusted reported costs to reflect $2022.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/projects/files/
CostandPerformanceBaselinefor
FossilEnergyPlantsVolume1aBit
CoalPCandNaturalGastoElectRev3_070615.pdf.
644 Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil
Energy Plants Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and
Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 4A (October 2022).
Note: The EPA adjusted reported costs to reflect
$2022. https://netl.doe.gov/projects/files/
CostAndPerformanceBaselineFor
FossilEnergyPlantsVolume1Bituminous
CoalAndNaturalGasToElectricity_101422.pdf.
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of determining whether it qualifies as
the BSER.
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iii. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
The EPA considered non-GHG
emissions impacts, the water use
impacts, the transport and sequestration
of captured CO2, and energy
requirements resulting from CCS for
steam generating units. As discussed
below, where the EPA has found
potential for localized adverse
consequences related to non-air quality
health and environmental impacts or
energy requirements, the EPA also finds
that protections are in place to mitigate
those risks. Because the non-air quality
health and environmental impacts are
closely related to the energy
requirements, we discuss the latter first.
(A) Energy Requirements
For a steam generating unit with 90
percent amine-based CO2 capture,
parasitic/auxiliary energy demand
increases and the net power output
decreases. In particular, the solvent
regeneration process requires heat in the
form of steam and CO2 compression
requires a large amount of electricity.
Heat and power for the CO2 capture
equipment can be provided either by
using the steam and electricity
produced by the steam generating unit
or by an auxiliary cogeneration unit.
However, any auxiliary source of heat
and power is part of the ‘‘designated
facility,’’ along with the steam
generating unit. The standards of
performance apply to the designated
facility. Thus, any CO2 emissions from
the connected auxiliary equipment need
to be captured or they will increase the
facility’s emission rate.
Using integrated heat and power can
reduce the capacity (i.e., the amount of
electricity that a unit can distribute to
the grid) of an approximately 474 MWnet (501 MW-gross) coal-fired steam
generating unit without CCS to
approximately 425 MW-net with CCS
and contributes to a reduction in net
efficiency of 23 percent.645 For retrofits
of CCS on existing sources, the
ductwork for flue gas and piping for
heat integration to overcome potential
spatial constraints are a component of
efficiency reduction. The EPA notes that
slightly greater efficiency reductions
than in the 2016 NETL retrofit report are
assumed for the BSER cost analyses, as
detailed in the final TSD, GHG
645 DOE/NETL–2016/1796. ‘‘Eliminating the
Derate of Carbon Capture Retrofits.’’ May 31, 2016.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/
details?id=d335ce79-84ee-4a0b-a27bc1a64edbb866.
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Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, available in the
docket. Despite decreases in efficiency,
IRC section 45Q tax credit provides an
incentive for increased generation with
full operation of CCS because the
amount of revenue from the tax credit
is based on the amount of captured and
sequestered CO2 emissions and not the
amount of electricity generated. In this
final action, the Agency considers the
energy penalty to not be unreasonable
and to be relatively minor compared to
the benefits in GHG reduction of CCS.
(B) Non-GHG Emissions
As a part of considering the non-air
quality health and environmental
impacts of CCS, the EPA considered the
potential non-GHG emission impacts of
CO2 capture. The EPA recognizes that
amine-based CO2 capture can, under
some circumstances, result in the
increase in emission of certain copollutants at a coal-fired steam
generating unit. However, there are
protections in place that can mitigate
these impacts. For example, as
discussed below, CCS retrofit projects
with co-pollutant increases may be
subject to preconstruction permitting
under the New Source Review (NSR)
program, which could require the
source to adopt emission limitations
based on applicable NSR requirements.
Sources obtaining major NSR permits
would be required to either apply
Lowest Achievable Emission Rate
(LAER) and fully offset any anticipated
increases in criteria pollutant emissions
(for their nonattainment pollutants) or
apply Best Available Control
Technology (BACT) and demonstrate
that its emissions of criteria pollutants
will not cause or contribute to a
violation of applicable National
Ambient Air Quality Standards (for
their attainment pollutants).646 The EPA
expects facility owners, states,
permitting authorities, and other
responsible parties will use these
protections to address co-pollutant
impacts in situations where individual
units use CCS to comply with these
emission guidelines.
The EPA also expects that the
meaningful engagement requirements
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this
preamble will ensure that all interested
stakeholders, including community
members who might be adversely
impacted by non-GHG pollutants, will
have an opportunity to raise this
concern with states and permitting
authorities. Additionally, state
646 Section XI.A of this preamble provides
additional information on the NSR program and
how it relates to the NSPS and emission guidelines.
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permitting authorities are, in general,
required to provide notice and an
opportunity for public comment on
construction projects that require NSR
permits. This provides additional
opportunities for affected stakeholders
to engage in that process, and it is the
EPA’s expectation that the responsible
authorities will consider these concerns
and take full advantage of existing
protections. Moreover, the EPA through
its regional offices is committed to
thoroughly review draft NSR permits
associated with CO2 capture projects
and provide comments as necessary to
state permitting authorities to address
any concerns or questions with regard to
the draft permit’s consideration and
treatment of non-GHG pollutants.
In the following discussion, the EPA
describes the potential emissions of
non-GHG pollutants resulting from
installation and operation of CO2
capture plants, the protections in place
such as the controls and processes for
mitigating those emissions, as well as
regulations and permitting that may
require review and implementation of
those controls. The EPA first discusses
these issues in relation to criteria air
pollutants and precursor pollutants
(SO2, NOX, and PM), and subsequently
provides details regarding hazardous air
pollutants (HAPs) and volatile organic
compounds (VOCs).
Operation of an amine-based CO2
capture plant on a coal-fired steam
generating unit can impact the emission
of criteria pollutants from the facility,
including SO2 and PM, as well as
precursor pollutants, like NOX. Sources
installing CCS may operate more due to
the incentives provided by the IRC
section 45Q tax credit, and increased
utilization would—all else being
equal—result in increases in SO2, PM,
and NOX. However, certain impacts are
mitigated by the flue gas conditioning
required by the CO2 capture process and
by other control equipment that the
units already have or may need to
install to meet other CAA requirements.
Substantial flue gas conditioning,
particularly to remove SO2 and PM, is
critical to limiting solvent degradation
and maintaining reliable operation of
the capture plant. To achieve the
necessary limits on SO2 levels in the
flue gas for the capture process, steam
generating units will need to add an
FGD scrubber, if they do not already
have one, and will usually need an
additional polishing column (i.e.,
quencher), thereby further reducing the
emission of SO2. A wet FGD column and
a polishing column will also reduce the
emission rate of PM. Additional
improvements in PM removal may also
be necessary to reduce the fouling of
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other components (e.g., heat exchangers)
of the capture process, including
upgrades to existing PM controls or,
where appropriate, the inclusion of
various wash stages to limit fly ash
carry-over to the CO2 removal system.
Although PM emissions from the steam
generating unit may be reduced, PM
emissions may occur from cooling
towers for those sources using wet
cooling for the capture process. For
some sources, a WESP may be necessary
to limit the amount of aerosols in the
flue gas prior to the CO2 capture
process. Reducing the amount of
aerosols to the CO2 absorber will also
reduce emissions of the solvent out of
the top of the absorber. Controls to limit
emission of aerosols installed at the
outlet of the absorber could be
considered, but could lead to higher
pressure drops. Thus, emission
increases of SO2 and PM would be
reduced through flue gas conditioning
and other system requirements of the
CO2 capture process, and NSR
permitting would serve as an added
backstop to review remaining SO2 and
PM increases for mitigation.
NOX emissions can cause solvent
degradation and nitrosamine formation,
depending on the chemical structure of
the solvent. Limits on NOX levels of the
flue gas required to avoid solvent
degradation and nitrosamine formation
in the CO2 scrubber vary. For most
units, the requisite limits on NOX levels
to assure that the CO2 capture process
functions properly may be met by the
existing NOX combustion controls.
Other units may need to install SCR to
achieve the required NOx level. Most
existing coal-fired steam generating
units either already have SCR or will be
covered by final Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) requirements
regulating interstate transport of NOX
(as ozone precursors) from EGUs. See 88
FR 36654 (June 5, 2023).647 For units
not otherwise required to have SCR, an
increase in utilization from a CO2
capture retrofit could result in increased
NOX emissions at the source that,
depending on the quantity of the
emissions increase, may trigger major
NSR permitting requirements. Under
647 As of September 21, 2023, the Good Neighbor
Plan ‘‘Group 3’’ ozone-season NOX control program
for power plants is being implemented in the
following states: Illinois, Indiana, Maryland,
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin. Pursuant to
court orders staying the Agency’s FIP Disapproval
action as to the following states, the EPA is not
currently implementing the Good Neighbor Plan
‘‘Group 3’’ ozone-season NOX control program for
power plants in the following states: Alabama,
Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, Texas,
Utah, and West Virginia.
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this scenario, the permitting authority
may determine that the NSR permit
requires the installation of SCR for those
units, based on applying the control
technology requirements of major NSR.
Alternatively, a state could, as part of its
state plan, develop enforceable
conditions for a source expected to
trigger major NSR that would effectively
limit the unit’s ability to increase its
emissions in amounts that would trigger
major NSR. Under this scenario, with no
major NSR requirements applying due
to the limit on the emissions increase,
the permitting authority may conclude
for the minor NSR permit that
installation of SCR is not required for
the units and the source is to minimize
its NOX emission increases using other
techniques. Finally, a source with some
lesser increase in NOX emissions may
not trigger major NSR to begin with and,
as with the previous scenario, the
permitting authority would determine
the NOX control requirements pursuant
to its minor NSR program requirements.
Recognizing that potential emission
increases of SO2, PM, and NOX from
operating a CO2 capture process are an
area of concern for stakeholders, the
EPA plans to review and update as
needed its guidance on NSR permitting,
specifically with respect to BACT
determinations for GHG emissions and
consideration of co-pollutant increases
from sources installing CCS. In its
analysis to support this final action, the
EPA accounted for controlling these copollutant increases by assuming that
coal-fired units that install CCS would
be required to install SCR and/or FGD
if they do not already have those
controls installed. The costs of these
controls are included in the total
program compliance cost estimates
through IPM modeling, as well as in the
BSER cost calculations.
An amine-based CO2 capture plant
can also impact emissions of HAP and
VOC (as an ozone precursor) from the
coal-fired steam generating unit.
Degradation of the solvent can produce
HAP, and organic HAP and amine
solvent emissions from the absorber
would contribute to VOC emissions out
of the top of the CO2 absorber. A
conventional multistage water or acid
wash and mist eliminator (demister) at
the exit of the CO2 scrubber is effective
at removal of gaseous amine and amine
degradation products (e.g., nitrosamine)
emissions.648 649 The DOE’s Carbon
648 Sharma,
S., Azzi, M., ‘‘A critical review of
existing strategies for emission control in the
monoethanolamine-based carbon capture process
and some recommendations for improved
strategies,’’ Fuel, 121, 178 (2014).
649 Mertens, J., et al., ‘‘Understanding
ethanolamine (MEA) and ammonia emissions from
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Management Pathway report notes that
monitoring and emission controls for
such degradation products are currently
part of standard operating procedures
for amine-based CO2 capture systems.650
Depending on the solvent properties,
different amounts of aldehydes
including acetaldehyde and
formaldehyde may form through
oxidative processes, contributing to total
HAP and VOC emissions. While a water
wash or acid wash can be effective at
limiting emission of amines, a separate
system of controls would be required to
reduce aldehyde emissions; however,
the low temperature and likely high
water vapor content of the gas emitted
out of absorber may limit the
applicability of catalytic or thermal
oxidation. Other controls (e.g.,
electrochemical, ultraviolet) common to
water treatment could be considered to
reduce the loading of copollutants in the
water wash section, although their
efficacy is still in development and it is
possible that partial treatment could
result in the formation of additional
degradation products. Apart from these
potential controls, any increase in VOC
emissions from a CCS retrofit project
would be mitigated through NSR
permitting. As such VOC increases are
not expected to be large enough to
trigger major NSR requirements, they
would likely be reviewed and addressed
under a state’s minor NSR program.
There is one nitrosamine that is a
listed HAP regulated under CAA section
112. Carbon capture systems that are
themselves a major source of HAP
should evaluate the applicability of
CAA section 112(g) and conduct a caseby-case MACT analysis if required, to
establish MACT for any listed HAP,
including listed nitrosamines,
formaldehyde, and acetaldehyde.
Because of the differences in the
formation and effectiveness of controls,
such a case-by-case MACT analysis
should evaluate the performance of
controls for nitrosamines and aldehydes
separately, as formaldehyde or
acetaldehyde may not be a suitable
surrogate for amine and nitrosamine
emissions. However, measurement of
nitrosamine emissions may be
challenging when the concentration is
low (e.g., less than 1 part per billion, dry
basis).
HAP emissions from the CO2 capture
plant will depend on the flue gas
amine-based post combustion carbon capture:
Lessons learned from field tests,’’ Int’l J. of GHG
Control, 13, 72 (2013).
650 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Pathways to
Commercial Liftoff: Carbon Management. https://
liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/
20230424-Liftoff-Carbon-Management-vPUB_
update.pdf.
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conditions, solvent, size of the source,
and process design. The air permit
application for Project Tundra 651
includes potential-to-emit (PTE) values
for CAA section 112 listed HAP specific
to the 530 MW-equivalent CO2 capture
plant, including emissions of 1.75 tons
per year (TPY) of formaldehyde (CASRN
50–00–0), 32.9 TPY of acetaldehyde
(CASRN 75–07–0), 0.54 TPY of
acetamide (CASRN 60–35–5), 0.018 TPY
of ethylenimine (CASRN 151–56–4),
0.044 TPY of N-nitrosodimethylamine
(CASRN 62–75–9), and 0.018 TPY of Nnitrosomorpholine (CASRN 59–89–2).
Additional PTE other species that are
not CAA section 112 listed HAP were
also included, including 0.022 TPY of
N-nitrosodiethylamine (CASRN 55–18–
5). PTE values for other CO2 capture
plants may differ. To comply with North
Dakota Department of Environmental
Quality (ND–DEQ) Air Toxics Policy, an
air toxics assessment was included in
the permit application. According to
that assessment, the total maximum
individual carcinogenic risk was 1.02E–
6 (approximately 1-in-1 million, below
the ND–DEQ threshold of 1E–5)
primarily driven by Nnitrosodiethylamine and Nnitrosodimethylamine. The hazard
index value was 0.022 (below the ND–
DEQ threshold of 1), with formaldehyde
being the primary driver. Results of air
toxics risk assessments for other
facilities would depend on the
emissions from the facility, controls in
place, stack height and flue gas
conditions, local ambient conditions,
and the relative location of the exposed
population.
Emissions of amines and nitrosamines
at Project Tundra are controlled by the
water wash section of the absorber
column. According to the permit to
construct issued by ND–DEQ, limits for
formaldehyde and acetaldehyde will be
established based on testing after initial
operation of the CO2 capture plant. The
permit does not include a mechanism
for establishing limits for nitrosamine
emissions, as they may be below the
limit of detection (less than 1 part per
billion, dry basis).
The EPA received several comments
related to the potential for non-GHG
emissions associated with CCS. Those
comments and the EPA’s responses are
as follows.
Comment: Some commenters noted
that there is a potential for increases in
co-pollutants when operating aminebased CO2 capture systems. One
commenter requested that the EPA
651 DCC East PTC Application. https://
ceris.deq.nd.gov/ext/nsite/map/results/detail/8992368000928857057/documents.
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proactively regulate potential
nitrosamine emissions.
Response: The EPA carefully
considered these concerns as it finalized
its determination of the BSERs for these
rules. The EPA takes these concerns
seriously, agrees that any impacts to
local and downwind communities are
important to consider and has done so
as part of its analysis discussed at
section XII.E. While the EPA
acknowledges that, in some
circumstances, there is potential for
some non-GHG emissions to increase,
there are several protections in place to
help mitigate these impacts. The EPA
believes that these protections, along
with the meaningful engagement of
potentially affected communities, can
facilitate a responsible deployment of
this technology that mitigates the risk of
any adverse impacts.
There is one nitrosamine that is a
listed HAP under CAA section 112 (NNitrosodimethylamine; CASRN 62–75–
9). Other nitrosamines would have to be
listed before the EPA could establish
regulations limiting their emission.
Furthermore, carbon capture systems
are themselves not a listed source
category of HAP, and the listing of a
source category under CAA section 112
would first require some number of the
sources to exist for the EPA to develop
MACT standards. However, if a new
CO2 capture facility were to be
permitted as a separate entity (rather
than as part of the EGU) then it may be
subject to case-by-case MACT under
section 112(g), as detailed in the
preceding section of this preamble.
Comment: Commenters noted that a
source could attempt to permit CO2
facilities as separate entities to avoid
triggering NSR for the EGU.
Response: For the CO2 capture plant
to be permitted as a separate entity, the
source would have to demonstrate to the
state permitting authority that the EGU
and CO2 capture plant are not a single
stationary source under the NSR
program. In determining what
constitutes a stationary source, the
EPA’s NSR regulations set forth criteria
that are to be used when determining
the scope of a ‘‘stationary source.’’ 652
These criteria require the aggregation of
different pollutant-emitting activities if
they (1) belong to the same industrial
grouping as defined by SIC codes, (2)
are located on contiguous or adjacent
properties, and (3) are under common
control.653 In the case of an EGU and
652 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(i) and (ii); 40 CFR
51.166(b)(5) and (6).
653 The EPA has issued guidance to clarify these
regulatory criteria of stationary source
determination. See https://www.epa.gov/nsr/singlesource-determination.
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CO2 capture plant that are collocated, to
permit them as separate sources they
should not be under common control or
not be defined by the same industrial
grouping.
The EPA would anticipate that, in
most cases, the operation of the EGU
and the CO2 capture plant will
intrinsically affect one another—
typically steam, electricity, and the flue
gas of the EGU will be provided to the
CO2 capture plant. Conditions of the
flue gas will affect the operation of the
CO2 capture plant, including its
emissions, and the steam and electrical
load will affect the operation of the
EGU. Moreover, the emissions from the
EGU will be routed through the CO2
capture system and emitted out of the
top of the CO2 absorber. Even if the EGU
and CO2 capture plant are owned by
separate entities, the CO2 capture plant
is likely to be on or directly adjacent to
land owned by the owners of the EGU
and contractual obligations are likely to
exist between the two owners. While
each of these individual factors may not
ultimately determine the outcome of
whether two nominally-separate
facilities should be treated as a single
stationary source for permitting
purposes, the EPA expects that in most
cases an EGU and its collocated CO2
capture plant would meet each of the
aforementioned NSR regulatory criteria
necessary to make such a determination.
Thus, the EPA generally would not
expect an EGU and its CO2 capture plant
to be permitted as separate stationary
sources.
(C) Water Use
Water consumption at the plant
increases when applying carbon
capture, due to solvent water makeup
and cooling demand. Water
consumption can increase by 36 percent
on a gross basis.654 A separate cooling
water system dedicated to a CO2 capture
plant may be necessary. However, the
amount of water consumption depends
on the design of the cooling system. For
example, the cooling system cited in the
CCS feasibility study for SaskPower’s
Shand Power station would rely entirely
on water condensed from the flue gas
and thus would not require any increase
in external water consumption—all
while achieving higher capture rates at
lower cost than Boundary Dam Unit
3.655 Regions with limited water supply
654 DOE/NETL–2016/1796. ‘‘Eliminating the
Derate of Carbon Capture Retrofits.’’ May 31, 2016.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/
details?id=e818549c-a565-4cbc-94db442a1c2a70a9.
655 International CCS Knowledge Centre. The
Shand CCS Feasibility Study Public Report. https://
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may therefore rely on dry or hybrid
cooling systems. Therefore, the EPA
considers the water use requirements to
be manageable and does not expect this
consideration to preclude coal-fired
power plants generally from being able
to install and operate CCS.
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(D) CO2 Capture Plant Siting
With respect to siting considerations,
CO2 capture systems have a sizeable
physical footprint and a consequent
land-use requirement. One commenter
cited their analysis showing that, for a
subset of coal-fired sources greater than
300 MW, 98 percent (154 GW of the
existing fleet) have adjacent land
available within 1 mile of the facility,
and 83 percent have adjacent land
available within 100 meters of the
facility. Furthermore, the cited analysis
did not include land available onsite,
and it is therefore possible there is even
greater land availability for siting
capture equipment. Qualitatively, some
commenters claimed there is limited
land available for siting CO2 capture
plants adjacent to coal-fired steam
generating units. However, those
commenters provided no data or
analysis to support their assertion. The
EPA has reviewed the analysis provided
by the first commenter, and the
approach, methods, and assumptions
are logical. Further, the EPA has
reviewed the available information,
including the location of coal-fired
steam generating units and visual
inspection of the associated maps and
plots. Although in some cases longer
duct runs may be required, this would
not preclude coal-fired power plants
generally from being able to install and
operate CCS. Therefore, the EPA has
concluded that siting and land-use
requirements for CO2 capture are not
unreasonable.
(E) Transport and Geologic
Sequestration
As noted in section VII.C.1.a.i(C) of
this preamble, PHMSA oversight of
supercritical CO2 pipeline safety
protects against environmental release
during transport. The vast majority of
CO2 pipelines have been operating
safely for more than 60 years. PHMSA
reported a total of 102 CO2 pipeline
incidents between 2003 and 2022, with
one injury (requiring in-patient
hospitalization) and zero fatalities.656 In
ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_
Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(202105-12).pdf.
656 NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline
Deployment: Siting, Safety. and Regulation.
Prepared by Public Sector Consultants for the
National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://
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the past 20 years, 500 million metric
tons of CO2 moved through over 5,000
miles of CO2 pipelines with zero
incidents involving fatalities.657
PHMSA initiated a rulemaking in 2022
to develop and implement new
measures to strengthen its safety
oversight of supercritical CO2 pipelines.
Furthermore, UIC Class VI and Class II
regulations under the SDWA, in tandem
with GHGRP subpart RR and subpart VV
requirements, ensure the protection of
USDWs and the security of geologic
sequestration. The EPA believes these
protections constitute an effective
framework for addressing potential
health and environmental concerns
related to CO2 transportation and
sequestration, and the EPA has taken
this regulatory framework into
consideration in determining that CCS
represents the BSER for long-term steam
EGUs.
(F) Impacts on the Energy Sector
Additionally, the EPA considered the
impacts on the power sector, on a
nationwide and long-term basis, of
determining CCS to be the BSER for
long-term coal-fired steam generating
units. In this final action, the EPA
considers that designating CCS as the
BSER for these units would have limited
and non-adverse impacts on the longterm structure of the power sector or on
the reliability of the power sector.
Absent the requirements defined in this
action, the EPA projects that 11 GW of
coal-fired steam generating units would
apply CCS by 2035 and an additional 30
GW of coal-fired steam generating units,
without controls, would remain in
operation in 2040. Designating CCS to
be the BSER for existing long-term coalfired steam generating units may result
in more of the coal-fired steam
generating unit capacity applying CCS.
The time available before the
compliance deadline of January 1, 2032,
provides for adequate resource
planning, including accounting for the
downtime necessary to install the CO2
capture equipment at long-term coalfired steam generating units. For the 12year duration that eligible EGUs earn
the IRC section 45Q tax credit, longterm coal-fired steam generating units
are anticipated to run at or near base
load conditions in order to maximize
the amount of tax credit earned through
IRC section 45Q. Total generation from
coal-fired steam generating units in the
medium-term subcategory would
pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05BE7DA0F12672E.
657 Congressional Research Service. 2022. Carbon
Dioxide Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June
3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/
pdf/IN/IN11944.
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gradually decrease over an extended
period of time through 2039, subject to
the commitments those units have
chosen to adopt. Additionally, for the
long-term units applying CCS, the EPA
has determined that the increase in the
annualized cost of generation is
reasonable. Therefore, the EPA
concludes that these elements of BSER
can be implemented while maintaining
a reliable electric grid. A broader
discussion of reliability impacts of these
final rules is available in section XII.F
of this preamble.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2
Emissions
CCS is an extremely effective
technology for reducing CO2 emissions.
As of 2021, coal-fired power plants are
the largest stationary source of GHG
emissions by sector. Furthermore,
emission rates (lb CO2/MWh-gross) from
coal-fired sources are almost twice those
of natural gas-fired combined cycle
units, and sources operating in the longterm have the more substantial
emissions potential. CCS can be applied
to coal-fired steam generating units at
the source to reduce the mass of CO2
emissions by 90 percent or more.
Increased steam and power demand
have a small impact on the reduction in
emission rate (i.e., lb CO2/MWh-gross)
that occurs with 90 percent capture.
According to the 2016 NETL Retrofit
report, 90 percent capture will result in
emission rates that are 88.4 percent
lower on a lb/MWh-gross basis and 87.1
percent lower on a lb/MWh-net basis
compared to units without capture.658
After capture, CO2 can be transported
and securely sequestered.659 Although
steam generating units with CO2 capture
will have an incentive to operate at
higher utilization because the cost to
install the CCS system is largely fixed
and the IRC section 45Q tax credit
increases based on the amount of CO2
captured and sequestered, any increase
in utilization will be far outweighed by
the substantial reductions in emission
rate.
v. Promotion of the Development and
Implementation of Technology
The EPA considered the potential
impact on technology advancement of
designating CCS as the BSER for longterm coal-fired steam generating units,
and in this final rule, the EPA considers
658 DOE/NETL–2016/1796. ‘‘Eliminating the
Derate of Carbon Capture Retrofits.’’ May 31, 2016.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/
details?id=e818549c-a565-4cbc-94db442a1c2a70a9.
659 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
(2005). Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture
and Storage.
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that designating CCS as the BSER will
provide for meaningful advancement of
CCS technology. As indicated above, the
EPA’s IPM modeling indicates that 11
GW of coal-fired power plants install
CCS and generate 76 terawatt-hours
(TWh) per year in the base case, and
that another 8 GW of plants install CCS
and generate another 57 TWh per year
in the policy case. In this manner, this
rule advances CCS technology more
widely throughout the coal-fired power
sector. As discussed in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv(G) of this preamble, this
rule advances CCS technology for new
combined cycle base load combustion
turbines, as well. It is also likely that
this rule supports advances in the
technology in other industries.
vi. Comparison With 2015 NSPS For
Newly Constructed Coal-Fired EGUs
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA
determined that the BSER for newly
constructed coal-fired EGUs was based
on CCS with 16 to 23 percent capture,
based on the type of coal combusted,
and consequently, the EPA promulgated
standards of performance of 1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-g. 80 FR 64512 (table 1),
64513 (October 23, 2015). The EPA
made those determinations based on the
costs of CCS at the time of that
rulemaking. In general, those costs were
significantly higher than at present, due
to recent technology cost declines as
well as related policies, including the
IRC section 45Q tax credit for CCS,
which were not available at that time for
purposes of consideration during the
development of the NSPS. Id. at 64562
(table 8). Based on of these higher costs,
the EPA determined that 16–23 percent
capture qualified as the BSER, rather
than a significantly higher percentage of
capture. Given the substantial
differences in the cost of CCS during the
time of the 2015 NSPS and the present
time, the capture percentage of the 2015
NSPS necessarily differed from the
capture percentage in this final action,
and, by the same token, the associated
degree of emission limitation and
resulting standards of performance
necessarily differ as well. If the EPA had
strong evidence to indicate that new
coal-fired EGUs would be built, it would
propose to revise the 2015 NSPS to align
the BSER and emissions standards to
reflect the new information regarding
the costs of CCS. Because there is no
evidence to suggest that there are any
firm plans to build new coal-fired EGUs
in the future, however, it is not at
present a good use of the EPA’s limited
resources to propose to update the new
source standard to align with the
existing source standard finalized today.
While the EPA is not revising the new
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source standard for new coal-fired EGUs
in this action, the EPA is retaining the
ability to propose review in the future.
vii. Requirement That Source Must
Transfer CO2 to an Entity That Reports
Under the Greenhouse Gas Reporting
Program
The final rule requires that EGUs that
capture CO2 in order to meet the
applicable emission standard report in
accordance with the GHGRP
requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
including subpart PP. GHGRP subpart
RR and subpart VV requirements
provide the monitoring and reporting
mechanisms to quantify CO2 storage and
to identify, quantify, and address
potential leakage. Under existing
GHGRP regulations, sequestration wells
permitted as Class VI under the UIC
program are required to report under
subpart RR. Facilities with UIC Class II
wells that inject CO2 to enhance the
recovery of oil or natural gas can opt-in
to reporting under subpart RR by
submitting and receiving approval for a
monitoring, reporting, and verification
(MRV) plan. Subpart VV applies to
facilities that conduct enhanced
recovery using ISO 27916 to quantify
geologic storage unless they have opted
to report under subpart RR. For this
rule, if injection occurs on site, the EGU
must report data accordingly under 40
CFR part 98 subpart RR or subpart VV.
If the CO2 is injected off site, the EGU
must transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that reports in accordance with
the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR or subpart VV. They may
also transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that has received an innovative
technology waiver from the EPA.
b. Options Not Determined To Be the
BSER for Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
In this section, we explain why CCS
at 90 percent capture best balances the
BSER factors and therefore why the EPA
has determined it to be the best of the
possible options for the BSER.
i. Partial Capture CCS
Partial capture for CCS was not
determined to be BSER because the
emission reductions are lower and the
costs would, in general, be higher. As
discussed in section IV.B of this
preamble, individual coal-fired power
plants are by far the highest-emitting
plants in the nation, and the coal-fired
power plant sector is higher-emitting
than any other stationary source sector.
CCS at 90 percent capture removes very
high absolute amounts of emissions.
Partial capture CCS would fail to
capture large quantities of emissions.
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With respect to costs, designs for 90
percent capture in general take greater
advantage of economies of scale.
Eligibility for the IRC section 45Q tax
credit for existing EGUs requires design
capture rates equivalent to 75 percent of
a baseline emission rate by mass. Even
assuming partial capture rates meet that
definition, lower capture rates would
receive fewer returns from the IRC
section 45Q tax credit (since these are
tied to the amount of carbon
sequestered, and all else being equal
lower capture rates would result in
lower amounts of sequestered carbon)
and costs would thereby be higher.
ii. Natural Gas Co-Firing
(A) Reasons Why Not Selected as BSER
As discussed in section VII.C.2, the
EPA is determining 40 percent natural
gas co-firing to qualify as the BSER for
the medium-term subcategory of coalfired steam generating units. This
subcategory consists of units that will
permanently cease operation by January
1, 2039. In making this BSER
determination, the EPA analyzed the
ability of all existing coal-fired units—
not only medium-term units—to install
and operate 40 percent co-firing. As a
result, all of the determinations
concerning the criteria for BSER that the
EPA made for 40 percent co-firing apply
to all existing coal-fired units, including
the units in the long-term subcategory.
For example, 40 percent co-firing is
adequately demonstrated for the longterm subcategory, and has reasonable
energy requirements and reasonable
non-air quality environmental impacts.
It would also be of reasonable cost for
the long-term subcategory. Although the
capital expenditure for natural gas cofiring is lower than CCS, the variable
costs are higher. As a result, the total
costs of natural gas co-firing, in general,
are higher on a $/ton basis and not
substantially lower on a $/MWh basis,
than for CCS. Were co-firing the BSER
for long-term units, the cost that
industry would bear might then be
considered similar to the cost for CCS.
In addition, the GHG Mitigation
Measures TSD shows that all coal-fired
units would be able to achieve the
requisite infrastructure build-out and
obtain sufficient quantities of natural
gas to comply with standards of
performance based on 40 percent cofiring by January 1, 2030.
The EPA is not selecting 40 percent
natural gas co-firing as the BSER for the
long-term subcategory, however,
because it requires substantially less
emission reductions at the unit-level
than 90 percent capture CCS. Natural
gas co-firing at 40 percent of the heat
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input to the steam generating unit
achieves 16 percent reductions in
emission rate at the stack, while CCS
achieves an 88.4 percent reduction in
emission rate. As discussed in section
IV.B of this preamble, individual coalfired power plants are by far the highestemitting plants in the nation, and the
coal-fired power plant sector is higheremitting than any other stationary
source sector. Because the unit-level
emission reductions achievable by CCS
are substantially greater, and because
CCS is of reasonable cost and matches
up well against the other BSER criteria,
the EPA did not determine natural gas
co-firing to be BSER for the long-term
subcategory although, under other
circumstances, it could be. Determining
BSER requires the EPA to select the
‘‘best’’ of the systems of emission
reduction that are adequately
demonstrated, as described in section
V.C.2; in this case, there are two systems
of emission reduction that match up
well against the BSER criteria, but based
on weighing the criteria together, and in
light of the substantially greater unitlevel emission reductions from CCS, the
EPA has determined that CCS is a better
system of emission reduction than cofiring for the long-term subcategory.
The EPA notes that if a state
demonstrates that a long-term coal-fired
steam generating unit cannot install and
operate CCS and cannot otherwise
reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation that the EPA has
determined based on CCS, following the
process the EPA has specified in its
applicable regulations for consideration
of RULOF, the state would evaluate
natural gas co-firing as a potential basis
for establishing a less stringent standard
of performance, as detailed in section
X.C.2 of this document.
iii. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate improvements were not
considered to be BSER for long-term
steam generating units because the
achievable reductions are very low and
may result in a rebound effect whereby
total emissions from the source increase,
as detailed in section VII.D.4.a of this
preamble.
Comment: One commenter requested
that HRI be considered as BSER in
addition to CCS, so that long-term
sources would be required to achieve
reductions in emission rate consistent
with performing HRI and adding CCS
with 90 percent capture to the source.
Response: As described in section
VII.D.4.a, the reductions from HRI are
very low and many sources have already
made HRI, so that additional reductions
are not available. It is possible that a
source installing CO2 capture will make
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efficiency improvements as a matter of
best practices. For example, Boundary
Dam Unit 3 made upgrades to the
existing steam generating unit when
CCS was installed, including installing
a new steam turbine.660 However, the
reductions from efficiency
improvements would not be additive to
the reductions from CCS because of the
impact of the CO2 capture plant on the
efficiency of source due to the required
steam and electricity load of the capture
plant.
c. Conclusion
Coal-fired EGUs remain the largest
stationary source of dangerous CO2
emissions. The EPA is finalizing CCS at
a capture rate of 90 percent as the BSER
for long-term coal-fired steam generating
units because this system satisfies the
criteria for BSER as summarized here.
CCS at a capture rate of 90 percent as
the BSER for long-term coal-fired steam
generating units is adequately
demonstrated, as indicated by the facts
that it has been operated at scale, is
widely applicable to these sources, and
that there are vast sequestration
opportunities across the continental
U.S. Additionally, accounting for recent
technology cost declines as well as
policies including the tax credit under
IRC section 45Q, the costs for CCS are
reasonable. Moreover, any adverse nonair quality health and environmental
impacts and energy requirements of
CCS, including impacts on the power
sector on a nationwide basis, are limited
and can be effectively avoided or
mitigated. In contrast, co-firing 40
percent natural gas would achieve far
fewer emission reductions without
improving the cost reasonableness of the
control strategy.
These considerations provide the
basis for finalizing CCS as the best of the
systems of emission reduction for longterm coal-fired power plants. In
addition, determining CCS as the BSER
promotes advancements in control
technology for CO2, which is a relevant
consideration when establishing BSER
under section 111 of the CAA.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
CCS with 90 percent capture is
adequately demonstrated based on the
information in section VII.C.1.a.i of this
preamble. Solvent-based CO2 capture
was patented nearly 100 years ago in the
660 IEAGHG Report 2015–06. Integrated Carbon
Capture and Storage Project at SaskPower’s
Boundary Dam Power Station. August 2015. https://
ieaghg.org/publications/technical-reports/reportslist/9-technical-reports/935-2015-06-integrated-ccsproject-at-saskpower-s-boundary-dam-powerstation.
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1930s 661 and has been used in a variety
of industrial applications for decades.
Thousands of miles of CO2 pipelines
have been constructed and securely
operated in the U.S. for decades.662 And
tens of millions of tons of CO2 have
been permanently stored deep
underground either for geologic
sequestration or in association with
EOR.663 There are currently at least 15
operating CCS projects in the U.S., and
another 121 that are under construction
or in advanced stages of
development.664 This broad application
of CCS demonstrates the successful
operation of all three components of
CCS, operating both independently and
simultaneously. Various CO2 capture
methods are used in industrial
applications and are tailored to the flue
gas conditions of a particular industry
(see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units for
details). Of those capture technologies,
amine solvent-based capture has been
demonstrated for removal of CO2 from
the post-combustion flue gas of fossil
fuel-fired EGUs.
Since 1978, an amine-based system
has been used to capture approximately
270,000 metric tons of CO2 per year
from the flue gas of the bituminous coalfired steam generating units at the 63
MW Argus Cogeneration Plant (Trona,
California).665 Amine solvent capture
has been further demonstrated at coalfired power plants including AES’s
Warrior Run and Shady Point. And
since 2014, CCS has been applied at the
commercial scale at Boundary Dam Unit
3, a 110 MW lignite coal-fired steam
generating unit in Saskatchewan,
Canada.
Impending increases in Canadian
regulatory CO2 emission requirements
have prompted optimization of
Boundary Dam Unit 3 so that the facility
now captures 83 percent of its total CO2
emissions. Moreover, from the flue gas
661 Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic
Gases (1930) United States patent application.
United States Patent US1783901A; Allen, A.S. and
Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide
from a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent
Application. United States Patent US1934472A.
662 U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline
and Hazardous Material Safety Administration,
‘‘Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.’’ 2022. https://
www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/
gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmissionhazardous-liquids.
663 US EPA. GHGRP. https://www.epa.gov/
ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-andgeologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
664 Carbon Capture and Storage in the United
States. CBO. December 13, 2023. https://
www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
665 Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ‘‘An Assessment of
the Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide
Capture and Storage Technologies as of June 2009.’’
U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory,
under Contract DE–AC05–76RL01830.
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treated, Boundary Dam Unit 3
consistently captured 90 percent or
more of the CO2 over a 3-year period.
The adequate demonstration of CCS is
further corroborated by the EPAct05assisted 240MW-equivalent Petra Nova
CCS project at the coal-fired W.A. Parish
Unit 8, which achieved over 90 percent
capture from the treated flue gas during
a 3-year period. Additionally, the
technical improvements put in practice
at Boundary Dam Unit 3 and Petra Nova
can be put in place on new capture
facilities during initial construction.
This includes redundancies and
isolations for key equipment, and spray
systems to limit fly ash carryover.
Projects that have announced plans to
install CO2 capture directly include
these improvements in their design and
employ new solvents achieving higher
capture rates that are commercially
available from technology providers. As
a result, these projects target capture
efficiencies of at least 95 percent, well
above the BSER finalized here.
Precedent, building upon the
statutory text and context, has
established that the EPA may make a
finding of adequate demonstration by
drawing upon existing data from
individual commercial-scale sources,
including testing at these sources,666
and that the agency may make
projections based on existing data to
establish a more stringent standard than
has been regularly shown,667 in
particular in cases when the agency can
specifically identify technological
improvements that can be expected to
achieve the standard in question.668
Further, the EPA may extrapolate based
on testing at a particular kind of source
to conclude that the technology at issue
will also be effective at a different,
related, source.669 Following this legal
standard, the available data regarding
performance and testing at Boundary
Dam, a commercial-scale plant, is
enough, by itself, to support the EPA’s
adequate demonstration finding for a 90
percent standard. In addition to this,
however, in the 9 years since Boundary
Dam began operating, operators and the
EPA have developed a clear
understanding of specific technological
improvements which, if implemented,
the EPA can reasonably expect to lead
to a 90 percent capture rate on a regular
and ongoing basis. The D.C. Circuit has
established that this information is more
than enough to establish that a 90
666 See Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486
F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973); Nat’l Asphalt Pavement
Ass’n v. Train, 539 F.2d 775 (D.C. Cir. 1976).
667 See id.
668 See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (1981).
669 Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930
(D.C. Cir. 1999).
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percent standard is achievable.670 And
per Lignite Energy Council, the findings
from Boundary Dam can be extrapolated
to other, similarly operating power
plants, including natural gas plants.671
Transport of CO2 and geological
storage of CO2 have also been
adequately demonstrated, as detailed in
VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7) and VII.C.1.a.i(D)(2).
CO2 has been transported through
pipelines for over 60 years, and in the
past 20 years, 500 million metric tons of
CO2 moved through over 5,000 miles of
CO2 pipelines. CO2 pipeline controls
and PHMSA standards ensure that
captured CO2 will be securely conveyed
to a sequestration site. Due to the
proximity of sources to storage, it would
be feasible for most sources to build
smaller and shorter source-to-sink
laterals, rather than rely on a trunkline
network buildout. In addition to
pipelines, CO2 can also be transported
via vessel, highway, or rail. Geological
storage is proven and broadly available,
and of the coal-fired steam generating
units with planned operation during or
after 2030, 77 percent are within 40
miles of the boundary of a saline
reservoir.
The EPA also considered the
timelines, materials, and workforce
necessary for installing CCS, and
determined they are sufficient.
ii. Cost
Process improvements have resulted
in a decrease in the projected costs to
install CCS on existing coal-fired steam
generating units. Additionally, the IRC
section 45Q tax credit provides $85 per
metric ton ($77 per ton) of CO2. It is
reasonable to account for the IRC
section 45Q tax credit because the costs
that should be accounted for are the
costs to the source. For the fleet of coalfired steam generating units with
planned operation during or after 2033,
and assuming a 12-year amortization
period and 80 percent annual capacity
factor and including source specific
transport and storage costs, the average
total costs of CCS are ¥$5/ton of CO2
reduced and ¥$4/MWh. And even for
shorter amortization periods, the $/
MWh costs are comparable to or less
than the costs for other controls
($10.60–$18.50/MWh) for a substantial
number of sources. Notably, the EPA’s
IPM model projects that even without
this final rule—that is, in the base case,
without any CAA section 111
requirements—some units would
deploy CCS. Similarly, the IPM model
670 See, e.g., Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus,
486 F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973); Sierra Club v. Costle,
657 F.2d 298 (1981).
671 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
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projects that even if this rule
determined 40 percent co-firing to be
the BSER for long-term coal, instead of
CCS, some additional units would
deploy CCS. Therefore, the costs of CCS
with 90 percent capture are reasonable.
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impacts and Energy
Requirements
The CO2 capture plant requires
substantial pre-treatment of the flue gas
to remove SO2 and fly ash (PM) while
other controls and process designs are
necessary to minimize solvent
degradation and solvent loss. Although
CCS has the potential to result in some
increases in non-GHG emissions, a
robust regulatory framework, generally
implemented at the state level, is in
place to mitigate other non-GHG
emissions from the CO2 capture plant.
For transport, pipeline safety is
regulated by PHMSA, while UIC Class
VI regulations under the SDWA, in
tandem with GHGRP subpart RR
requirements, ensure the protection of
USDWs and the security of geologic
sequestration. Therefore, the potential
non-air quality health and
environmental impacts do not militate
against designating CCS as the BSER for
long-term steam EGUs. The EPA also
considered energy requirements. While
the CO2 capture plant requires steam
and electricity to operate, the incentives
provided by the IRC section 45Q tax
credit will likely result in increased
total generation from the source.
Therefore, the energy requirements are
not unreasonable, and there would be
limited, non-adverse impacts on the
broader energy sector.
2. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing its conclusion
that 40 percent natural gas co-firing on
a heat input basis is the BSER for
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units. Co-firing 40 percent
natural gas, on an annual average heat
input basis, results in a 16 percent
reduction in CO2 emission rate. The
technology has been adequately
demonstrated, can be implemented at
reasonable cost, does not have
significant adverse non-air quality
health and environmental impacts or
energy requirements, including impacts
on the energy sector, and achieves
meaningful reductions in CO2
emissions. Co-firing also advances
useful control technology, which
provides additional, although not
essential, support for treating it as the
BSER.
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a. Rationale for the Medium-Term CoalFired Steam Generating Unit
Subcategory
For the development of the emission
guidelines, the EPA first considered
CCS as the BSER for existing coal-fired
steam generating units. CCS generally
achieves significant emission reductions
at reasonable cost. Typically, in setting
the BSER, the EPA assumes that
regulated units will continue to operate
indefinitely. However, that assumption
is not appropriate for all coal-fired
steam generating units. 62 percent of
existing coal-fired steam generating
units greater than 25 MW have already
announced that they will retire or
convert from coal to gas by 2039.672 CCS
is capital cost-intensive, entailing a
certain period to amortize the capital
costs. Therefore, the EPA evaluated the
costs of CCS for different amortization
periods, as detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble, and
determined that CCS was cost
reasonable, on average, for sources
operating more than 7 years after the
compliance date of January 1, 2032.
Accordingly, units that cease operating
before January 1, 2039, will generally
have less time to amortize the capital
costs, and the costs for those sources
would be higher and thereby less
comparable to those the EPA has
previously determined to be reasonable.
Considering this, and the other factors
evaluated in determining BSER, the EPA
is not finalizing CCS as BSER for units
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2039.
Instead, the EPA is subcategorizing
these units into the medium-term
subcategory and finalizing a BSER based
on 40 percent natural gas co-firing on a
heat input basis for these units. Cofiring natural gas at 40 percent has
significantly lower capital costs than
CCS and can be implemented by
January 1, 2030. For sources that expect
to continue in operation until January 1,
2039, and that therefore have a 9-year
amortization period, the costs of 40
percent co-firing are $73/ton of CO2
reduced or $13/MWh of generation,
which supports their reasonableness
because they are comparable to or less
than the costs detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this preamble for other
controls on EGUs ($10.60 to $18.50/
MWh) and for GHGs for the Crude Oil
and Natural Gas source category in the
2016 NSPS of $98/ton of CO2e reduced
672 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
National Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7.
December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sectormodeling/national-electric-energy-data-systemneeds.
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(80 FR 56627; September 18, 2015). Cofiring is also cost-reasonable for sources
permanently ceasing operations sooner,
and that therefore have a shorter
amortization period. As discussed in
section VII.B.2 of this preamble, with a
two-year amortization period, many
units can co-fire with meaningful
amounts of natural gas at reasonable
cost. Of course, even more can co-fire at
reasonable costs with amortization
periods longer than two years. For
example, the EPA has determined that
33 percent of sources with an
amortization period of at least three
years have costs for 40 percent co-firing
below both of the $/ton and $/MWh
metrics, and 68 percent of those sources
have costs for 20 percent co-firing below
both of those metrics. Therefore,
recognizing that operating horizon
affects the cost reasonableness of
controls, the EPA is finalizing a separate
subcategory for coal-fired steam
generating units operating in the
medium-term—those demonstrating that
they plan to permanently cease
operation after December 31, 2031, and
before January 1, 2039—with 40 percent
natural gas co-firing as the BSER.
i. Legal Basis for Establishing the
Medium-Term Subcategory
As noted in section V.C.1 of this
preamble, the EPA has broad authority
under CAA section 111(d) to identify
subcategories. As also noted in section
V.C.1, the EPA’s authority to
‘‘distinguish among classes, types, and
sizes within categories,’’ as provided
under CAA section 111(b)(2) and as we
interpret CAA section 111(d) to provide
as well, generally allows the Agency to
place types of sources into subcategories
when they have characteristics that are
relevant to the controls that the EPA
may determine to be the BSER for those
sources. One element of the BSER is
cost reasonableness. See CAA section
111(d)(1) (requiring the EPA, in setting
the BSER, to ‘‘tak[e] into account the
cost of achieving such reduction’’). As
noted in section V, the EPA’s
longstanding regulations under CAA
section 111(d) explicitly recognize that
subcategorizing may be appropriate for
sources based on the ‘‘costs of
control.’’ 673 Subcategorizing on the
basis of operating horizon is consistent
with a key characteristic of the coalfired power industry that is relevant for
determining the cost reasonableness of
control requirements: A large percentage
of the sources in the industry have
already announced, and more are
expected to announce, dates for ceasing
operation, and the fact that many coal673 40
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fired steam generating units intend to
cease operation in the near term affects
what controls are ‘‘best’’ for different
subcategories.674 At the outset,
installation of emission control
technology takes time, sometimes
several years. Whether the costs of
control are reasonable depends in part
on the period of time over which the
affected sources can amortize those
costs. Sources that have shorter
operating horizons will have less time to
amortize capital costs. Thus, the
annualized cost of controls may thereby
be less comparable to the costs the EPA
has previously determined to be
reasonable.675
In addition, subcategorizing by length
of period of continued operation is
similar to two other bases for
subcategorization on which the EPA has
relied in prior rules, each of which
implicates the cost reasonableness of
controls: The first is load level, noted in
section V.C.1. of this preamble. For
674 The EPA recognizes that section 111(d)
provides that in applying standards of performance,
a state may take into account, among other factors,
the remaining useful life of a facility. The EPA
believes that provision is intended to address
exceptional circumstances at particular facilities,
while the EPA has the responsibility to determine
how to address the source category as a whole. See
88 FR 80480, 80511 (November 17, 2023) (‘‘Under
CAA 111, EPA must provide BSER and degree of
emission limitation determinations that are, to the
extent reasonably practicable, applicable to all
designated facilities in the source category. In many
cases, this requires the EPA to create subcategories
of designated facilities, each of which has a BSER
and degree of emission limitation tailored to its
circumstances. . . . However, as Congress
recognized, this may not be possible in every
instance because, for example, it is not be feasible
[sic] for the Agency to know and consider the
idiosyncrasies of every designated facility or
because the circumstances of individual facilities
change after the EPA determined the BSER.’’)
(internal citations omitted). That a state may take
into account the remaining useful life of an
individual source, however, does not bar the EPA
from considering operating horizon as a factor in
determining whether subcategorization is
appropriate. As discussed, the authority to
subcategorize is encompassed within the EPA’s
authority to identify the BSER. Here, where many
units share similar characteristics and have
announced intended shorter operating horizons, it
is permissible for the EPA to take operating horizon
into account in determining the BSER for this
subcategory of sources. States may continue to take
RULOF factors into account for particular units
where the information relevant to those units is
fundamentally different than the information the
EPA took into account in determining the degree of
emission limitation achievable through application
of the BSER. Should a court conclude that the EPA
does not have the authority to create a subcategory
based on the date at which units intend to cease
operation, then the EPA believes it would be
reasonable for states to consider co-firing as an
alternative to CCS as an option for these units
through the states’ authority to consider, among
other factors, remaining useful life.
675 Steam Electric Reconsideration Rule, 85 FR
64650, 64679 (October 13, 2020) (distinguishes
between EGUs retiring before 2028 and EGUs
remaining in operation after that time).
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example, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA
divided new natural gas-fired
combustion turbines into the
subcategories of base load and non-base
load. 80 FR 64602 (table 15) (October
23, 2015). The EPA did so because the
control technologies that were ‘‘best’’—
including consideration of feasibility
and cost reasonableness—depended on
how much the unit operated. The load
level, which relates to the amount of
product produced on a yearly or other
basis, bears similarity to a limit on a
period of continued operation, which
concerns the amount of time remaining
to produce the product. In both cases,
certain technologies may not be costreasonable because of the capacity to
produce product—i.e., the costs are
spread over less product produced.
Subcategorization on this basis is also
supported by how utilities manage their
assets over the long term, and was
widely supported by industry
commenters.
The second basis for
subcategorization on which EPA has
previously relied is fuel type, as also
noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble.
The 2015 NSPS provides an example of
this type of subcategorization as well.
There, the EPA divided new combustion
turbines into subcategories on the basis
of type of fuel combusted. Id.
Subcategorizing on the basis of the type
of fuel combusted may be appropriate
when different controls have different
costs, depending on the type of fuel, so
that the cost reasonableness of the
control depends on the type of fuel. In
that way, it is similar to subcategorizing
by operating horizon because in both
cases, the subcategory is based upon the
cost reasonableness of controls.
Subcategorizing by operating horizon is
also tantamount to the length of time
over which the source will continue to
combust the fuel. Subcategorizing on
this basis may be appropriate when
different controls for a particular fuel
have different costs, depending on the
length of time when the fuel will
continue to be combusted, so that the
cost reasonableness of controls depends
on that timeframe. Some prior EPA rules
for coal-fired sources have made explicit
the link between length of time for
continued operation and type of fuel
combusted by codifying federally
enforceable retirement dates as the dates
by which the source must ‘‘cease
burning coal.’’ 676
676 See 79 FR 5031, 5192 (January 30, 2014)
(explaining that ‘‘[t]he construction permit issued
by Wyoming requires Naughton Unit 3 to cease
burning coal by December 31, 2017, and to be
retrofitted to natural gas as its fuel source by June
30, 2018’’ (emphasis added)).
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As noted above, creating a
subcategory on the basis of operating
horizon does not preclude a state from
considering RULOF in applying a
standard of performance to a particular
source. The EPA’s authority to set BSER
for a source category (including
subcategories) and a state’s authority to
invoke RULOF for individual sources
within a category or subcategory are
distinct. The EPA’s statutory obligation
is to determine a generally applicable
BSER for a source category, and where
that source category encompasses
different classes, types, or sizes of
sources, to set generally applicable
BSERs for subcategories accounting for
those differences. By contrast, states’
authority to invoke RULOF is premised
on the state’s ability to take into account
information relevant to individual units
that is fundamentally different than the
information the EPA took into account
in determining BSER generally. As
noted, the EPA may subcategorize on
the basis of cost of controls, and
operating horizon may factor into the
cost of controls. Moreover, through
section 111(d)(1), Congress also required
the EPA to develop regulations that
permit states to consider ‘‘among other
factors, the remaining useful life’’ of a
particular existing source. The EPA has
interpreted these other factors to
include costs or technical feasibility
specific to a particular source, even
though these are factors the EPA itself
considers in setting the BSER. In other
words, the factors the EPA may consider
in setting the BSER and the factors the
states may consider in applying
standards of performance are not
distinct. As noted above, the EPA is
finalizing these subcategories in
response to requests by power sector
representatives that this rule
accommodate the fact that there is a
class of sources that plan to voluntarily
cease operations in the near term.
Although the EPA has designed the
subcategories to accommodate those
requests, a particular source may still
present source-specific considerations—
whether related to its remaining useful
life or other factors—that the state may
consider relevant for the application of
that particular source’s standard of
performance, and that the state should
address as described in section X.C.2 of
this preamble.
ii. Comments Received on Existing CoalFired Subcategories
Comment: The EPA received several
comments on the proposed
subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating units. Many commenters,
including industry commenters,
supported these subcategories. Some
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commenters opposed these proposed
subcategories. They argued that the
subcategories were designed to force
coal-fired power plants to retire.
Response: We disagree with
comments suggesting that the
subcategories for existing coal-fired
steam EGUs that the EPA has finalized
in this rule were designed to force
retirements. The subcategories were not
designed for that purpose, and the
commenters do not explain their
allegations to the contrary. The
subcategories were designed, at
industry’s request,677 to ensure that
subcategories of units that can feasibly
and cost-reasonably employ emissions
reduction technologies—and only those
subcategories of units that can do so—
are required to reduce their emissions
commensurate with those technologies.
As explained above, in determining the
BSER, the EPA generally assumes that a
source will operate indefinitely, and
calculates expected control costs on that
basis. Under that assumption, the BSER
for existing fossil-fuel fired EGUs is
CCS. Nevertheless, the EPA recognizes
that many fossil-fuel fired EGUs have
already announced plans to cease
operation. In recognition of this unique,
distinguishing factor, the EPA
determined whether a different BSER
would be appropriate for fossil fuelfired EGUs that do not intend to operate
over the long term, and concluded, for
the reasons stated above, that natural
gas co-firing was appropriate for these
sources that intended to cease operation
before 2039. This subcategory is not
intended to force retirements, and the
EPA is not directing any state or any
unit as to the choice of when to cease
operation. Rather, the EPA has created
this subcategory to accommodate these
sources’ intended operation plans. In
fact, a number of industry commenters
specifically requested and supported
subcategories based on retirement dates
in recognition of the reality that many
operators are choosing to retire these
units and that whether or not a control
technology is feasible and costreasonable depends upon how long a
unit intends to operate.
Specifically, as noted in section VII.B
of this preamble, in this final action, the
677 As described in the proposal, during the early
engagement process, industry stakeholders
requested that the EPA ‘‘[p]rovide approaches that
allow for the retirement of units as opposed to
investments in new control technologies, which
could prolong the lives of higher-emitting EGUs;
this will achieve maximum and durable
environmental benefits.’’ Industry stakeholders also
suggested that the EPA recognize that some units
may remain operational for a several-year period
but will do so at limited capacity (in part to assure
reliability), and then voluntarily cease operations
entirely. 88 FR 33245 (May 23, 2023).
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medium-term subcategory includes a
date for permanently ceasing operation,
which applies to coal-fired plants
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operating after
December 31, 2031, and before January
1, 2039. The EPA is retaining this
subcategory because 55 percent of
existing coal-fired steam generating
units greater than 25 MW have already
announced that they will retire or
convert from coal to gas by January 1,
2039.678 Accordingly, the costs of CCS—
the high capital costs of which require
a lengthy amortization period from its
January 1, 2032, implementation date—
are higher than the traditional metric for
cost reasonableness for these sources.
As discussed in section VII.C.2 of this
preamble, the BSER for these sources is
co-firing 40 percent natural gas. This is
because co-firing, which has an
implementation date of January 1, 2030,
has lower capital costs and is therefore
cost-reasonable for sources continuing
to operate on or after January 1, 2032.
It is further noted that this subcategory
is elective. Furthermore, states also have
the authority to establish a less stringent
standard through RULOF in the state
plan process, as detailed in section
X.C.2 of this preamble.
In sum, these emission guidelines do
not require any coal-fired steam EGU to
retire, nor are they intended to induce
retirements. Rather, these emission
guidelines simply set forth presumptive
standards that are cost-reasonable and
achievable for each subcategory of
existing coal-fired steam EGUs. See
section VII.E.1 of this preamble
(responding to comments that this rule
violates the major questions doctrine).
Comment: The EPA broadly solicited
comment on the dates and values
defining the proposed subcategories for
coal-fired steam generating units.
Regarding the proposed dates for the
subcategories, one industry stakeholder
commented that the ‘‘EPA’s proposed
retirement dates for applicability of the
various subcategories are appropriate
and broadly consistent with system
reliability needs.’’ 679 More specifically,
industry commenters requested that the
cease-operation-by date for the
imminent-term subcategory be changed
from January 1, 2032, to January 1, 2033.
Industry commenters also stated that the
20 percent utilization limit in the
definition of the near-term subcategory
was overly restrictive and inconsistent
678 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.
National Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7.
December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sectormodeling/national-electric-energy-data-systemneeds.
679 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0772.
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with the emissions stringency of either
the proposed medium term or imminent
term subcategory—commenters
requested greater flexibility for the nearterm subcategory. Other comments from
NGOs and other groups suggested
various other changes to the subcategory
definitions. One commenter requested
moving the cease-operation-by date for
the medium-term subcategory up to
January 1, 2038, while eliminating the
imminent-term subcategory and
extending the near-term subcategory to
January 1, 2038.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing
the proposed imminent-term or nearterm subcategories. The EPA is
finalizing an applicability exemption for
sources demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2032, as detailed in section
VII.B of this preamble. The EPA is
finalizing the cease operating by date of
January 1, 2039, for medium-term coalfired steam generating units. These
dates are all based on costs of co-firing
and CCS, driven by their amortization
periods, as discussed in the preceding
sections of this preamble.
b. Rationale for Natural Gas Co-Firing as
the BSER for Medium-Term Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA describes its rationale for natural
gas co-firing as the final BSER for
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units.
For a coal-fired steam generating unit,
the substitution of natural gas for some
of the coal, so that the unit fires a
combination of coal and natural gas, is
known as ‘‘natural gas co-firing.’’ The
EPA is finalizing natural gas co-firing at
a level of 40 percent of annual heat
input as BSER for medium-term coalfired steam generating units.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA is finalizing its
determination that natural gas co-firing
at the level of 40 percent of annual heat
input is adequately demonstrated for
coal-fired steam generating units. Many
existing coal-fired steam generating
units already use some amount of
natural gas, and several have co-fired at
relatively high levels at or above 40
percent of heat input in recent years.
(A) Boiler Modifications
Existing coal-fired steam generating
units can be modified to co-fire natural
gas in any desired proportion with coal,
up to 100 percent natural gas. Generally,
the modification of existing boilers to
enable or increase natural gas firing
typically involves the installation of
new gas burners and related boiler
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modifications, including, for example,
new fuel supply lines and modifications
to existing air ducts. The introduction of
natural gas as a fuel can reduce boiler
efficiency slightly, due in large part to
the relatively high hydrogen content of
natural gas. However, since the
reduction in coal can result in reduced
auxiliary power demand, the overall
impact on net heat rate can range from
a 2 percent increase to a 2 percent
decrease.
It is common practice for steam
generating units to have the capability
to burn multiple fuels onsite, and of the
565 coal-fired steam generating units
operating at the end of 2021, 249 of
them reported consuming natural gas as
a fuel or startup source. Coal-fired steam
generating units often use natural gas or
oil as a startup fuel, to warm the units
up before running them at full capacity
with coal. While startup fuels are
generally used at low levels (up to
roughly 1 percent of capacity on an
annual average basis), some coal-fired
steam generating units have co-fired
natural gas at considerably higher
shares. Based on hourly reported CO2
emission rates from the start of 2015
through the end of 2020, 29 coal-fired
steam generating units co-fired with
natural gas at rates at or above 60
percent of capacity on an hourly
basis.680 The capability of those units on
an hourly basis is indicative of the
extent of boiler burner modifications
and sizing and capacity of natural gas
pipelines to those units, and implies
that those units are technically capable
of co-firing at least 60 percent natural
gas on a heat input basis on average over
the course of an extended period (e.g.,
a year). Additionally, during that same
2015 through 2020 period, 29 coal-fired
steam generating units co-fired natural
gas at over 40 percent on an annual heat
input basis. Because of the number of
units that have demonstrated co-firing
above 40 percent of heat input, the EPA
is finalizing that co-firing at 40 percent
is adequately demonstrated. A more
detailed discussion of the record of
natural gas co-firing, including current
trends, at coal-fired steam generating
units is included in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units.
(B) Natural Gas Pipeline Development
In addition to any potential boiler
modifications, the supply of natural gas
is necessary to enable co-firing at
existing coal-fired steam boilers. As
680 U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
‘‘Power Sector Emissions Data.’’ Washington, DC:
Office of Atmospheric Protection, Clean Air
Markets Division. Available from EPA’s Air Markets
Program Data website: https://campd.epa.gov.
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discussed in the previous section, many
plants already have at least some access
to natural gas. In order to increase
natural gas access beyond current levels,
plants may find it necessary to construct
natural gas supply pipelines.
The U.S. natural gas pipeline network
consists of approximately 3 million
miles of pipelines that connect natural
gas production with consumers of
natural gas. To increase natural gas
consumption at a coal-fired boiler
without sufficient existing natural gas
access, it is necessary to connect the
facility to the natural gas pipeline
transmission network via the
construction of a lateral pipeline. The
cost of doing so is a function of the total
necessary pipeline capacity (which is
characterized by the length, size, and
number of laterals) and the location of
the plant relative to the existing
pipeline transmission network. The EPA
estimated the costs associated with
developing new lateral pipeline
capacity sufficient to meet 60 percent of
the net summer capacity at each coalfired steam generating unit that could be
included in this subcategory. As
discussed in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, the EPA estimates that
this lateral capacity would be sufficient
to enable each unit to achieve 40
percent natural gas co-firing on an
annual average basis.
The EPA considered the availability
of the upstream natural gas pipeline
capacity to satisfy the assumed co-firing
demand implied by these new laterals.
This analysis included pipeline
development at all EGUs that could be
included in this subcategory, including
those without announced plans to cease
operating before January 1, 2039. The
EPA’s assessment reviewed the
reasonableness of each assumed new
lateral by determining whether the peak
gas capacity of that lateral could be
satisfied without modification of the
transmission pipeline systems to which
it is assumed to be connected. This
analysis found that most, if not all,
existing pipeline systems are currently
able to meet the peak needs implied by
these new laterals in aggregate,
assuming that each existing coal-fired
unit in the analysis co-fired with natural
gas at a level implied by these new
laterals, or 60 percent of net summer
generating capacity. While this is a
reasonable assumption for the analysis
to support this mitigation measure in
the BSER context, it is also a
conservative assumption that overstates
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the amount of natural gas co-firing
expected under the final rule.681
Most of these individual laterals are
less than 15 miles in length. The
maximum aggregate amount of pipeline
capacity, if all coal-fired steam capacity
that could be included in the mediumterm subcategory (i.e., all capacity that
has not announced that it plans to retire
by 2032) implemented the final BSER by
co-firing 40 percent natural gas, would
be comparable to pipeline capacity
constructed recently. The EPA estimates
that this maximum total capacity would
be nearly 14.7 billion cubic feet per day,
which would require about 3,500 miles
of pipeline costing roughly $11.5
billion. Over 2 years,682 this maximum
total incremental pipeline capacity
would amount to less than 1,800 miles
per year, with a total annual capacity of
roughly 7.35 billion cubic feet per day.
This represents an estimated annual
investment of approximately $5.75
billion per year in capital expenditures,
on average. By comparison, based on
data collected by EIA, the total annual
mileage of natural gas pipelines
constructed over the 2017–2021 period
ranged from approximately 1,000 to
2,500 miles per year, with a total annual
capacity of 10 to 25 billion cubic feet
per day. This represents an estimated
annual investment of up to nearly $15
billion. The upper end of these
historical annual values is much higher
than the maximum annual values that
could be expected under this final BSER
measure—which, as noted above,
represent a conservative estimate that
significantly overstates the amount of
co-firing that the EPA projects would
occur under this final rule.
These conservatively high estimates
of pipeline requirements also compare
favorably to industry projections of
future pipeline capacity additions.
Based on a review of a 2018 industry
report, titled ‘‘North America Midstream
Infrastructure through 2035: Significant
Development Continues,’’ investment in
midstream infrastructure development
is expected to range between $10 to $20
billion per year through 2035.
681 In practice, not all sources would necessarily
be subject to a natural gas co-firing BSER in
compliance. E.g., some portion of that population
of sources could install CCS, so the resulting
amount of natural gas co-firing would be less.
682 The average time for permitting for a natural
gas pipeline lateral is 1.5 years, and many sources
could be permitted faster (about 1 year) so that it
is reasonable to assume that many sources could
begin construction by June 2027. The average time
for construction of an individual pipeline is about
1 year or less. Considering this, the EPA assumes
construction of all of the natural gas pipeline
laterals in the analysis occurs over a 2-year period
(June 2027 through June 2029), and notes that in
practice some of these projects could be constructed
outside of this period.
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Approximately $5 to $10 billion
annually is expected to be invested in
natural gas pipelines through 2035. This
report also projects that an average of
over 1,400 miles of new natural gas
pipeline will be built through 2035,
which is similar to the approximately
1,670 miles that were built on average
from 2013 to 2017. These values are
consistent with the average annual
expenditure of $5.75 billion on less than
1,800 miles per year of new pipeline
construction that would be necessary for
the entire operational fleet of existing
coal-fired steam generating units to cofire with natural gas. The actual
pipeline investment for this subcategory
would be substantially lower.
(C) Compliance Date for Medium-Term
Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing a compliance
date for medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units of January 1, 2030.
As in the timeline for CCS for the long
term coal-fired steam generating units
described in section VII.C.1.a.i(E), the
EPA assumes here that feasibility work
occurs during the state plan
development period, and that all
subsequent work occurs after the state
plan is submitted and thereby effective
at the state level. The EPA assumes 12
months of feasibility work for the
natural gas pipeline lateral and 6
months of feasibility work for boiler
modifications (both to occur over June
2024 to June 2025). As with the
feasibility analysis for CCS, the
feasibility analysis for co-firing will
inform the state plan and therefore it is
reasonable to assume units will perform
it during the state planning window.
Feasibility for the pipeline includes a
right-of-way and routing analysis.
Feasibility for the boiler modifications
includes conceptual studies and design
basis.
The timeline for the natural gas
pipeline permitting and construction is
based on a review of recently completed
permitting approvals and
construction.683 The average time to
complete permitting and approval is
less than 1.5 years, and the average time
to complete actual construction is less
than 1 year. Of the 31 reviewed pipeline
projects, the vast majority (27 projects)
took less than a total of 3 years for
permitting and construction, and none
took more than 3.5 years. Therefore, it
is reasonable to assume that permitting
and construction would take no more
than 3 years for most sources (June 2026
to June 2029), noting that permitting
683 Documentation for the Lateral Cost Estimation
(2024), ICF International. Available in Docket ID
EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–0072.
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and construction for many sources
would be faster.
The timeline for boiler modifications
based on the baseline duration co-firing
conversion project schedule developed
by Sargent and Lundy.684 The EPA
assumes that, with the exception of the
feasibility studies discussed above,
work on the boiler modifications begins
after the state plan submission due date.
The EPA also assumes permitting for the
boiler modifications is required and
takes 12 months (June 2026 to June
2027). In the schedule developed by
Sargent and Lundy, commercial
arrangements for the boiler modification
take about 6 months (June 2026 to
December 2026). Detailed engineering
and procurement takes about 7 months
(December 2026 to July 2027), and
begins after commercial arrangements
are complete. Site work takes 3 months
(July 2027 to October 2027), followed by
4 months of construction (October 2027
to February 2028). Lastly, startup and
testing takes about 2 months (June 2029
to August 2029), noting that the EPA
assumes this occurs after the natural gas
pipeline lateral is constructed.
Considering the preceding information,
the EPA has determined January 1, 2030
is the compliance date for medium-term
coal-fired steam generating units.
ii. Costs
The capital costs associated with the
addition of new gas burners and other
necessary boiler modifications depend
on the extent to which the current boiler
is already able to co-fire with some
natural gas and on the amount of gas cofiring desired. The EPA estimates that,
on average, the total capital cost
associated with modifying existing
boilers to operate at up to 100 percent
of heat input using natural gas is
approximately $52/kW. These costs
could be higher or lower, depending on
the equipment that is already installed
and the expected impact on heat rate or
steam temperature.
While fixed O&M (FOM) costs can
potentially decrease as a result of
decreasing the amount of coal
consumed, it is common for plants to
maintain operation of one coal
pulverizer at all times, which is
necessary for maintaining several coal
burners in continuous service. In this
case, coal handling equipment would be
required to operate continuously and
therefore natural gas co-firing would
have limited effect on reducing the coalrelated FOM costs. Although, as noted,
coal-related FOM costs have the
684 Natural Gas Co-Firing Memo, Sargent & Lundy
(2023). Available in Docket ID EPA–HQ–OAR–
2023–0072.
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potential to decrease, the EPA does not
anticipate a significant increase in
impact on FOM costs related to co-firing
with natural gas.
In addition to capital and FOM cost
impacts, any additional natural gas cofiring would result in incremental costs
related to the differential in fuel cost,
taking into consideration the difference
in delivered coal and gas prices, as well
as any potential impact on the overall
net heat rate. The EPA’s reference case
projects that in 2030, the average
delivered price of coal will be $1.56/
MMBtu and the average delivered price
of natural gas will be $2.95/MMBtu.
Thus, assuming the same level of
generation and no impact on heat rate,
the additional fuel cost would be $1.39/
MMBtu on average in 2030. The total
additional fuel cost could increase or
decrease depending on the potential
impact on net heat rate. An increase in
net heat rate, for example, would result
in more fuel required to produce a given
amount of generation and thus
additional cost. In the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, the EPA’s cost
estimates assume a 1 percent average
increase in net heat rate.
Finally, for plants without sufficient
access to natural gas, it is also necessary
to construct new natural gas pipelines
(‘‘laterals’’). Pipeline costs are typically
expressed in terms of dollars per inch of
pipeline diameter per mile of pipeline
distance (i.e., dollars per inch-mile),
reflecting the fact that costs increase
with larger diameters and longer
pipelines. On average, the cost for
lateral development within the
contiguous U.S. is approximately
$280,000 per inch-mile (2019$), which
can vary based on site-specific factors.
The total pipeline cost for each coalfired steam generating unit is a function
of this cost, as well as a function of the
necessary pipeline capacity and the
location of the plant relative to the
existing pipeline transmission network.
The pipeline capacity required depends
on the amount of co-firing desired as
well as on the desired level of
generation—a higher degree of co-firing
while operating at full load would
require more pipeline capacity than a
lower degree of co-firing while
operating at partial load. It is reasonable
to assume that most plant owners would
develop sufficient pipeline capacity to
deliver the maximum amount of desired
gas use in any moment, enabling higher
levels of co-firing during periods of
lower fuel price differentials. Once the
necessary pipeline capacity is
determined, the total lateral cost can be
estimated by considering the location of
each plant relative to the existing
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natural gas transmission pipelines as
well as the available excess capacity of
each of those existing pipelines.
The EPA determined the costs of 40
percent co-firing based on the fleet of
coal-fired steam generating units that
existed in 2021 and that do not have
known plans to cease operations or
convert to gas by 2032, and assuming
that each of those units continues to
operate at the same level as it operated
over 2017–2021. The EPA assessed
those costs against the cost
reasonableness metrics, as described in
section VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this preamble
(i.e., emission control costs on EGUs of
$10.60 to $18.50/MWh and the costs in
the 2016 NSPS regulating GHGs for the
Crude Oil and Natural Gas source
category of $98/ton of CO2e reduced (80
FR 56627; September 18, 2015)). On
average, the EPA estimates that the
weighted average cost of co-firing with
40 percent natural gas as the BSER on
an annual average basis is
approximately $73/ton CO2 reduced, or
$13/MWh. The costs here reflect an
amortization period of 9 years. These
estimates support a conclusion that cofiring is cost-reasonable for sources that
continue to operate up until the January
1, 2039, threshold date for the
subcategory. The EPA also evaluated the
fleet average costs of natural gas cofiring for shorter amortization periods
and has determined that the costs are
consistent with the cost reasonableness
metrics for the majority of sources that
will operate past January 1, 2032, and
therefore have an amortization period of
at least 2 years and up to 9 years. These
estimates and all underlying
assumptions are explained in detail in
the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures
for Steam Generating Units. Based on
this cost analysis, alongside the EPA’s
overall assessment of the costs of this
rule, the EPA is finalizing that the costs
of natural gas co-firing are reasonable
for the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory. If a
particular source has costs of 40 percent
co-firing that are fundamentally
different from the cost reasonability
metrics, the state may consider this fact
under the RULOF provisions, as
detailed in section X.C.2 of this
preamble. The EPA previously
estimated the cost of natural gas cofiring in the Clean Power Plan (CPP). 80
FR 64662 (October 23, 2015). The costestimates for co-firing presented in this
section are lower than in the CPP, for
several reasons. Since then, the
expected difference between coal and
gas prices has decreased significantly,
from over $3/MMBtu to less than $1.50/
MMBtu in this final rule. Additionally,
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a recent analysis performed by Sargent
and Lundy for the EPA supports a
considerably lower capital cost for
modifying existing boilers to co-fire
with natural gas. The EPA also recently
conducted a highly detailed facilitylevel analysis of natural gas pipeline
costs, the median value of which is
slightly lower than the value used by
the EPA previously to approximate the
cost of co-firing at a representative unit.
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Natural gas co-firing for steam
generating units is not expected to have
any significant adverse consequences
related to non-air quality health and
environmental impacts or energy
requirements.
(A) Non-GHG Emissions
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Non-GHG emissions are reduced
when steam generating units co-fire
with natural gas because less coal is
combusted. SO2, PM2.5, acid gas,
mercury and other hazardous air
pollutant emissions that result from coal
combustion are reduced proportionally
to the amount of natural gas consumed,
i.e., under this final rule, by 40 percent.
Natural gas combustion does produce
NOX emissions, but in lesser amounts
than from coal-firing. However, the
magnitude of this reduction is
dependent on the combustion system
modifications that are implemented to
facilitate natural gas co-firing.
Sufficient regulations also exist
related to natural gas pipelines and
transport that assure natural gas can be
safely transported with minimal risk of
environmental release. PHMSA
develops and enforces regulations for
the safe, reliable, and environmentally
sound operation of the nation’s 2.6
million mile pipeline transportation
system. Recently, PHMSA finalized a
rule that will improve the safety and
strengthen the environmental protection
of more than 300,000 miles of onshore
gas transmission pipelines.685 PHMSA
also recently promulgated a separate
rule covering natural gas
transmission,686 as well as a rule that
significantly expanded the scope of
safety and reporting requirements for
more than 400,000 miles of previously
685 Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Transmission
Pipelines: Repair Criteria, Integrity Management
Improvements, Cathodic Protection, Management of
Change, and Other Related Amendments (87 FR
52224; August 24, 2022).
686 Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Transmission
Pipelines: MAOP Reconfirmation, Expansion of
Assessment Requirements, and Other Related
Amendments (84 FR 52180; October 1, 2019).
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unregulated gas gathering lines.687 FERC
is responsible for the regulation of the
siting, construction, and/or
abandonment of interstate natural gas
pipelines, gas storage facilities, and
Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) terminals.
(B) Energy Requirements
The introduction of natural gas cofiring will cause steam boilers to be
slightly less efficient due to the high
hydrogen content of natural gas. Cofiring at levels between 20 percent and
100 percent can be expected to decrease
boiler efficiency between 1 percent and
5 percent. However, despite the
decrease in boiler efficiency, the overall
net output efficiency of a steam
generating unit that switches from coalto natural gas-firing may change only
slightly, in either a positive or negative
direction. Since co-firing reduces coal
consumption, the auxiliary power
demand related to coal handling and
emissions controls typically decreases
as well. While a site-specific analysis
would be required to determine the
overall net impact of these
countervailing factors, generally the
effect of co-firing on net unit heat rate
can vary within approximately plus or
minus 2 percent.
The EPA previously determined in
the ACE Rule (84 FR 32545; July 8,
2019) that ‘‘co-firing natural gas in coalfired utility boilers is not the best or
most efficient use of natural gas and
[. . .] can lead to less efficient operation
of utility boilers.’’ That determination
was informed by the more limited
supply of natural gas, and the larger
amount of coal-fired EGU capacity and
generation, in 2019. Since that
determination, the expected supply of
natural gas has expanded considerably,
and the capacity and generation of the
existing coal-fired fleet has decreased,
reducing the total mass of natural gas
that might be required for sources to
implement this measure.
Furthermore, regarding the efficient
operation of boilers, the ACE
determination was based on the
observation that ‘‘co-firing can
negatively impact a unit’s heat rate
(efficiency) due to the high hydrogen
content of natural gas and the resulting
production of water as a combustion byproduct.’’ That finding does not
consider the fact that the effect of cofiring on net unit heat rate can vary
within approximately plus or minus 2
percent, and therefore the net impact on
687 Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Gathering
Pipelines: Extension of Reporting Requirements,
Regulation of Large, High-Pressure Lines, and Other
Related Amendments (86 FR 63266; November 15,
2021).
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overall utility boiler efficiency for each
steam generating unit is uncertain.
For all of these reasons, the EPA is
finalizing that natural gas co-firing at
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units does not result in any
significant adverse consequences related
to energy requirements.
Additionally, the EPA considered
longer term impacts on the energy
sector, and the EPA is finalizing these
impacts are reasonable. Designating
natural gas co-firing as the BSER for
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units would not have
significant adverse impacts on the
structure of the energy sector. Steam
generating units that currently are coalfired would be able to remain primarily
coal-fired. The replacement of some coal
with natural gas as fuel in these sources
would not have significant adverse
effects on the price of natural gas or the
price of electricity.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2
Emissions
One of the primary benefits of natural
gas co-firing is emission reduction. CO2
emissions are reduced by approximately
4 percent for every additional 10
percent of co-firing. When moving from
100 percent coal to 60 percent coal and
40 percent natural gas, CO2 stack
emissions are reduced by approximately
16 percent. Non-CO2 emissions are
reduced as well, as noted earlier in this
preamble.
v. Technology Advancement
Natural gas co-firing is already wellestablished and widely used by coalfired steam boiler generating units. As a
result, this final rule is not likely to lead
to technological advances or cost
reductions in the components of natural
gas co-firing, including modifications to
boilers and pipeline construction.
However, greater use of natural gas cofiring may lead to improvements in the
efficiency of conducting natural gas cofiring and operating the associated
equipment.
c. Options Not Determined To Be the
BSER for Medium-Term Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units
i. CCS
As discussed earlier in this preamble,
the compliance date for CCS is January
1, 2032. Accordingly, sources in the
medium-term subcategory—which have
elected to commit to permanently cease
operations prior to 2039—would have
less than 7 years to amortize the capital
costs of CCS. As a result, for these
sources, the overall costs of CCS would
exceed the metrics for cost
reasonableness that the EPA is using in
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this rulemaking, which are detailed in
section VII.C.1.a.ii(D). For this reason,
the EPA is not finalizing CCS as the
BSER for the medium-term subcategory.
ii. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate improvements were not
considered to be BSER for medium-term
steam generating units because the
achievable reductions are low and may
result in rebound effect whereby total
emissions from the source increase, as
detailed in section VII.D.4.a.
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d. Conclusion
The EPA is finalizing that natural gas
co-firing at 40 percent of heat input is
the BSER for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units because natural
gas co-firing is adequately
demonstrated, as indicated by the facts
that it has been operated at scale and is
widely applicable to sources.
Additionally, the costs for natural gas
co-firing are reasonable. Moreover,
natural gas co-firing can be expected to
reduce emissions of several other air
pollutants in addition to GHGs. Any
adverse non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy
requirements of natural gas co-firing are
limited. In contrast, CCS, although
achieving greater emission reductions,
would be of higher cost, in general, for
the subcategory of medium-term units,
and HRI would achieve few reductions
and, in fact, may increase emissions.
3. Degree of Emission Limitation for
Final Standards
Under CAA section 111(d), once the
EPA determines the BSER, it must
determine the ‘‘degree of emission
limitation’’ achievable by the
application of the BSER. States then
determine standards of performance and
include them in the state plans, based
on the specified degree of emission
limitation. Final presumptive standards
of performance are detailed in section
X.C.1.b of this preamble. There is
substantial variation in emission rates
among coal-fired steam generating
units—the range is, approximately, from
1,700 lb CO2/MWh-gross to 2,500 lb
CO2/MWh-gross—which makes it
challenging to determine a single,
uniform emission limit. Accordingly,
the EPA is finalizing the degrees of
emission limitation by a percentage
change in emission rate, as follows.
a. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
As discussed earlier in this preamble,
the EPA is finalizing the BSER for longterm coal-fired steam generating units as
‘‘full-capture’’ CCS, defined as 90
percent capture of the CO2 in the flue
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gas. The degree of emission limitation
achievable by applying this BSER can be
determined on a rate basis. A capture
rate of 90 percent results in reductions
in the emission rate of 88.4 percent on
a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis, and this
reduction in emission rate can be
observed over an extended period (e.g.,
an annual calendar-year basis).
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing that the
degree of emission limitation for longterm units is an 88.4 percent reduction
in emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis over an extended period (e.g., an
annual calendar-year basis).
b. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
As discussed earlier in this preamble,
the BSER for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units is 40 percent
natural gas co-firing. The application of
40 percent natural gas co-firing results
in reductions in the emission rate of 16
percent. Therefore, the degree of
emission limitation for these units is a
16 percent reduction in emission rate on
a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis over an
extended period (e.g., an annual
calendar-year basis).
D. Rationale for the BSER for Natural
Gas-Fired And Oil-Fired Steam
Generating Units
This section of the preamble describes
the rationale for the final BSERs for
existing natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units based on the criteria
described in section V.C of this
preamble.
1. Subcategorization of Natural Gas- and
Oil-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing subcategories
based on load level (i.e., annual capacity
factor), specifically, units that are base
load, intermediate load, and low load.
The EPA is finalizing routine methods
of operation and maintenance as BSER
for intermediate and base load units.
Applying that BSER would not achieve
emission reductions but would prevent
increases in emission rates. The EPA is
finalizing presumptive standards of
performance that differ between
intermediate and base load units due to
their differences in operation, as
detailed in section X.C.1.b.iii of this
preamble. The EPA proposed a separate
subcategory for non-continental oil-fired
steam generating units, which operate
differently from continental units;
however, the EPA is not finalizing
emission guidelines for sources outside
of the contiguous U.S., as described in
section VII.B. At proposal, the EPA
solicited comment on a BSER of
‘‘uniform fuels’’ for low load natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units,
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and the EPA is finalizing this approach
for those sources.
Natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units combust natural gas or
distillate fuel oil or residual fuel oil in
a boiler to produce steam for a turbine
that drives a generator to create
electricity. In non-continental areas,
existing natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units may provide base load
power, but in the continental U.S., most
existing units operate in a loadfollowing manner. There are
approximately 200 natural gas-fired
steam generating units and fewer than
30 oil-fired steam generating units in
operation in the continental U.S. Fuel
costs and inefficiency relative to other
technologies (e.g., combustion turbines)
result in operation at lower annual
capacity factors for most units. Based on
data reported to EIA and the EPA 688 for
the contiguous U.S., for natural gas-fired
steam generating units in 2019, the
average annual capacity factor was less
than 15 percent and 90 percent of units
had annual capacity factors less than 35
percent. For oil-fired steam generating
units in 2019, no units had annual
capacity factors above 8 percent.
Additionally, their load-following
method of operation results in frequent
cycling and a greater proportion of time
spent at low hourly capacities, when
generation is less efficient. Furthermore,
because startup times for most boilers
are usually long, natural gas steam
generating units may operate in standby
mode between periods of peak demand.
Operating in standby mode requires
combusting fuel to keep the boiler
warm, and this further reduces the
efficiency of natural gas combustion.
Unlike coal-fired steam generating
units, the CO2 emission rates of oil- and
natural gas-fired steam generating units
that have similar annual capacity factors
do not vary considerably between units.
This is partly due to the more uniform
qualities (e.g., carbon content) of the
fuel used. However, the emission rates
for units that have different annual
capacity factors do vary considerably, as
detailed in the final TSD, Natural Gasand Oil-fired Steam Generating Units.
Low annual capacity factor units cycle
frequently, have a greater proportion of
CO2 emissions that may be attributed to
startup, and have a greater proportion of
generation at inefficient hourly
capacities. Intermediate annual capacity
factor units operate more often at higher
hourly capacities, where CO2 emission
rates are lower. High annual capacity
factor units operate still more at base
load conditions, where units are more
688 Clean Air Markets Program Data at https://
campd.epa.gov.
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efficient and CO2 emission rates are
lower.
Based on these performance
differences between these load levels,
the EPA, in general, proposed
subcategories based on dividing natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units
into three groups each—low load,
intermediate load, and base load.
The EPA is finalizing subcategories
for oil-fired and natural gas-fired steam
generating units, based on load levels.
The EPA proposed the following load
levels: ‘‘low’’ load, defined by annual
capacity factors less than 8 percent;
‘‘intermediate’’ load, defined by annual
capacity factors greater than or equal to
8 percent and less than 45 percent; and
‘‘base’’ load, defined by annual capacity
factors greater than or equal to 45
percent.
The EPA is finalizing January 1, 2030,
as the compliance date for natural gasand oil-fired steam generating units and
this date is consistent with the dates in
the fuel type definitions.
The EPA received comments that
were generally supportive of the
proposed subcategory definitions,689
and the EPA is finalizing the
subcategory definitions as proposed.
2. Options Considered for BSER
The EPA has considered various
methods for controlling CO2 emissions
from natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units to determine whether
they meet the criteria for BSER. Cofiring natural gas cannot be the BSER for
these units because natural gas- and oilfired steam generating units already fire
large proportions of natural gas. Most
natural gas-fired steam generating units
fire more than 90 percent natural gas on
a heat input basis, and any oil-fired
steam generating units that would
potentially operate above an annual
capacity factor of around 15 percent
typically combust natural gas as a large
proportion of their fuel as well. Nor is
CCS a candidate for BSER. The
utilization of most gas-fired units, and
likely all oil-fired units, is relatively
low, and as a result, the amount of CO2
available to be captured is low.
However, the capture equipment would
still need to be sized for the nameplate
capacity of the unit. Therefore, the
capital and operating costs of CCS
would be high relative to the amount of
CO2 available to be captured.
Additionally, again due to lower
utilization, the amount of IRC section
45Q tax credits that owner/operators
could claim would be low. Because of
the relatively high costs and the
689 See, for example, Document ID No. EPA–HQ–
OAR–2023–0072–0583.
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relatively low cumulative emission
reduction potential for these natural gasand oil-fired steam generating units, the
EPA is not determining CCS as the
BSER for them.
The EPA has reviewed other possible
controls but is not finalizing any of
them as the BSER for natural gas- and
oil-fired units either. Co-firing hydrogen
in a boiler is technically possible, but
there is limited availability of hydrogen
now and in the near future and it should
be prioritized for more efficient units.
Additionally, for natural gas-fired steam
generating units, setting a future
standard based on hydrogen would
likely have limited GHG reduction
benefits given the low utilization of
natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units. Lastly, HRI for these
types of units would face many of the
same issues as for coal-fired steam
generating units; in particular, HRI
could result in a rebound effect that
would increase emissions.
However, the EPA recognizes that
natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units could possibly, over
time, operate more, in response to other
changes in the power sector.
Additionally, some coal-fired steam
generating units have converted to 100
percent natural gas-fired, and it is
possible that more may do so in the
future. The EPA also received several
comments from industry stating plans to
do so. Moreover, in part because the
fleet continues to age, the plants may
operate with degrading emission rates.
In light of these possibilities, identifying
the BSER and degrees of emission
limitation for these sources would be
useful to provide clarity and prevent
backsliding in GHG performance.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing BSER
for intermediate and base load natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units
to be routine methods of operation and
maintenance, such that the sources
could maintain the emission rates (on a
lb/MWh-gross basis) currently
maintained by the majority of the fleet
across discrete ranges of annual capacity
factor. The EPA is finalizing this BSER
for intermediate load and base load
natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units, regardless of the
operating horizon of the unit.
A BSER based on routine methods of
operation and maintenance is
adequately demonstrated because units
already operate with those practices.
There are no or negligible additional
costs because there is no additional
technology that units are required to
apply and there is no change in
operation or maintenance that units
must perform. Similarly, there are no
adverse non-air quality health and
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39897
environmental impacts or adverse
impacts on energy requirements. Nor do
they have adverse impacts on the energy
sector from a nationwide or long-term
perspective. The EPA’s modeling, which
supports this final rule, indicates that by
2040, a number of natural gas-fired
steam generating units will have
remained in operation since 2030,
although at reduced annual capacity
factors. There are no CO2 reductions
that may be achieved at the unit level,
but applying routine methods of
operation and maintenance as the BSER
prevents increases in emission rates.
Routine methods of operation and
maintenance do not advance useful
control technology, but this point is not
significant enough to offset their
benefits.
At proposal, the EPA also took
comment on a potential BSER of
uniform fuels for low load natural gasand oil-fired steam generating units. As
noted earlier in this preamble, non-coal
fossil fuels combusted in utility boilers
typically include natural gas, distillate
fuel oil (i.e., fuel oil No. 1 and No. 2),
and residual fuel oil (i.e., fuel oil No. 5
and No. 6). The EPA previously
established heat-input based fuel
composition as BSER in the 2015 NSPS
(termed ‘‘clean fuels’’ in that
rulemaking) for new non-base load
natural gas- and multi-fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines (80 FR
64615–17; October 23, 2015), and the
EPA is similarly finalizing loweremitting fuels as BSER for new low load
combustion turbines as described in
section VIII.F of this preamble. For low
load natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units, the high variability in
emission rates associated with the
variability of load at the lower-load
levels limits the benefits of a BSER
based on routine maintenance and
operation. That is because the high
variability in emission rates would
make it challenging to determine an
emission rate (i.e., on a lb CO2/MWhgross basis) that could serve as the
presumptive standard of performance
that would reflect application of a BSER
of routine operation and maintenance.
On the other hand, for those units, a
BSER of ‘‘uniform fuels’’ and an
associated presumptive standard of
performance based on a heat input
basis, as described in section X.C.1.b.iii
of this preamble, is reasonable.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a BSER
of uniform fuels for low load natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units,
with presumptive standards depending
on fuel type detailed in section
X.C.1.b.iii.
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3. Degree of Emission Limitation
As discussed above, because the BSER
for base load and intermediate load
natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units is routine operation
and maintenance, which the units are,
by definition, already employing, the
degree of emission limitation by
application of this BSER is no increase
in emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis over an extended period of time
(e.g., a year).
For low load natural gas- and oil-fired
steam generating units, the EPA is
finalizing a BSER of uniform fuels, with
a degree of emission limitation on a heat
input basis consistent with a fixed 130
lb CO2/MMBtu for natural gas-fired
steam generating units and 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu for oil-fired steam generating
units. The degree of emission limitation
for natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units is higher than the
corresponding values under 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, because steam
generating units may fire fuels with
slightly higher carbon contents.
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4. Other Emission Reduction Measures
Not Considered BSER
a. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate is a measure of efficiency
that is commonly used in the power
sector. The heat rate is the amount of
energy input, measured in Btu, required
to generate 1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) of
electricity. The lower an EGU’s heat
rate, the more efficiently it operates. As
a result, an EGU with a lower heat rate
will consume less fuel and emit lower
amounts of CO2 and other air pollutants
per kWh generated as compared to a less
efficient unit. HRI measures include a
variety of technology upgrades and
operating practices that may achieve
CO2 emission rate reductions of 0.1 to
5 percent for individual EGUs. The EPA
considered HRI to be part of the BSER
in the CPP and to be the BSER in the
ACE Rule. However, the reductions that
may be achieved by HRI are small
relative to the reductions from natural
gas co-firing and CCS. Also, some
facilities that apply HRI would, as a
result of their increased efficiency,
increase their utilization and therefore
increase their CO2 emissions (as well as
emissions of other air pollutants), a
phenomenon that the EPA has termed
the ‘‘rebound effect.’’ Therefore, the
EPA is not finalizing HRI as a part of
BSER.
i. CO2 Reductions From HRI in Prior
Rulemakings
In the CPP, the EPA quantified
emission reductions achievable through
heat rate improvements on a regional
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basis by an analysis of historical
emission rate data, taking into
consideration operating load and
ambient temperature. The Agency
concluded that EGUs can achieve on
average a 4.3 percent improvement in
the Eastern Interconnection, a 2.1
percent improvement in the Western
Interconnection, and a 2.3 percent
improvement in the Texas
Interconnection. See 80 FR 64789
(October 23, 2015). The Agency then
applied all three of the building blocks
to 2012 baseline data and quantified, in
the form of CO2 emission rates, the
reductions achievable in Each
interconnection in 2030, and then
selected the least stringent as a national
performance rate. Id. at 64811–19. The
EPA noted that building block 1
measures could not by themselves
constitute the BSER because the
quantity of emission reductions
achieved would be too small and
because of the potential for an increase
in emissions due to increased utilization
(i.e., the ‘‘rebound effect’’).
ii. Updated CO2 Reductions From HRI
The HRI measures include
improvements to the boiler island (e.g.,
neural network system, intelligent
sootblower system), improvements to
the steam turbine (e.g., turbine overhaul
and upgrade), and other equipment
upgrades (e.g., variable frequency
drives). Some regular practices that may
recover degradation in heat rate to
recent levels—but that do not result in
upgrades in heat rate over recent design
levels and are therefore not HRI
measures—include practices such as inkind replacements and regular surface
cleaning (e.g., descaling, fouling
removal). Specific details of the HRI
measures are described in the final TSD,
GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units and an updated 2023
Sargent and Lundy HRI report (Heat
Rate Improvement Method Costs and
Limitations Memo), available in the
docket. Most HRI upgrade measures
achieve reductions in heat rate of less
than 1 percent. In general, the 2023
Sargent and Lundy HRI report, which
updates the 2009 Sargent and Lundy
HRI report, shows that HRI achieve less
reductions than indicated in the 2009
report, and shows that several HRI
either have limited applicability or have
already been applied at many units.
Steam path overhaul and upgrade may
achieve reductions up to 5.15 percent,
with the average being around 1.5
percent. Different combinations of HRI
measures do not necessarily result in
cumulative reductions in emission rate
(e.g., intelligent sootblowing systems
combined with neural network
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systems). Some of the HRI measures
(e.g., variable frequency drives) only
impact heat rate on a net generation
basis by reducing the parasitic load on
the unit and would thereby not be
observable for emission rates measured
on a gross basis. Assuming many of the
HRI measures could be applied to the
same unit, adding together the upper
range of some of the HRI percentages
could yield an emission rate reduction
of around 5 percent. However, the
reductions that the fleet could achieve
on average are likely much smaller. As
noted, the 2023 Sargent and Lundy HRI
report notes that, in many cases, units
have already applied HRI upgrades or
that those upgrades would not be
applicable to all units. The unit level
reductions in emission rate from HRI are
small relative to CCS or natural gas cofiring. In the CPP and ACE Rule, the
EPA viewed CCS and natural gas cofiring as too costly to qualify as the
BSER; those costs have fallen since
those rules and, as a result, CCS and
natural gas co-firing do qualify as the
BSER for the long-term and mediumterm subcategories, respectively.
iii. Potential for Rebound in CO2
Emissions
Reductions achieved on a rate basis
from HRI may not result in overall
emission reductions and could instead
cause a ‘‘rebound effect’’ from increased
utilization. A rebound effect would
occur where, because of an
improvement in its heat rate, a steam
generating unit experiences a reduction
in variable operating costs that makes
the unit more competitive relative to
other EGUs and consequently raises the
unit’s output. The increase in the unit’s
CO2 emissions associated with the
increase in output would offset the
reduction in the unit’s CO2 emissions
caused by the decrease in its heat rate
and rate of CO2 emissions per unit of
output. The extent of the offset would
depend on the extent to which the unit’s
generation increased. The CPP did not
consider HRI to be BSER on its own, in
part because of the potential for a
rebound effect. Analysis for the ACE
Rule, where HRI was the entire BSER,
observed a rebound effect for certain
sources in some cases.690 In this action,
where different subcategories of units
are to be subject to different BSER
measures, steam generating units in a
hypothetical subcategory with HRI as
BSER could experience a rebound effect.
Because of this potential for perverse
GHG emission outcomes resulting from
deployment of HRI at certain steam
generating units, coupled with the
690 84
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relatively minor overall GHG emission
reductions that would be expected from
this measure, the EPA is not finalizing
HRI as the BSER for any subcategory of
existing coal-fired steam generating
units.
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E. Additional Comments Received on
the Emission Guidelines for Existing
Steam Generating Units and Responses
1. Consistency With West Virginia v.
EPA and the Major Questions Doctrine
Comment: Some commenters argued
that the EPA’s determination that CCS is
the BSER for existing coal-fired power
plants is invalid under West Virginia v.
EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022), and the major
questions doctrine (MQD). Commenters
state that for various reasons, coal-fired
power plants will not install CCS and
instead will be forced to retire their
units. They point to the EPA’s IPM
modeling which, they say, shows that
many coal-fired power plants retire
rather than install CCS. They add that,
in this way, the rule effectively results
in the EPA’s requiring generationshifting from coal-fired generation to
renewable and other generation, and
thus is like the Clean Power Plan (CPP).
For those reasons, they state that the
rule raises a major question, and further
that CAA section 111(d) does not
contain a clear authorization for this
type of rule.
Response: The EPA discussed West
Virginia and its articulation of the MQD
in section V.B.6 of this preamble.
The EPA disagrees with these
comments. This rule is fully consistent
with the Supreme Court’s interpretation
of the EPA’s authority in West Virginia.
The EPA’s determination that CCS—a
traditional, add-on emissions control—
is the BSER is consistent with the plain
text of section 111. As explained in
detail in section VII.C.1.a, for long-term
coal-fired steam generating units, CCS
meets all of the BSER factors: it is
adequately demonstrated, of reasonable
cost, and achieves substantial emissions
reductions. That some coal-fired power
plants will choose not to install
emission controls and will instead retire
does not raise major questions concerns.
In West Virginia, the U.S. Supreme
Court held that ‘‘generation-shifting’’ as
the BSER for coal- and gas-fired units
‘‘effected a fundamental revision of the
statute, changing it from one sort of
scheme of regulation into an entirely
different kind.’’ 597 U.S. at 728 (internal
quotation marks, brackets, and citation
omitted). The Court explained that prior
CAA section 111 rules were premised
on ‘‘more traditional air pollution
control measures’’ that ‘‘focus on
improving the performance of
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individual sources.’’ Id. at 727 (citing
‘‘fuel-switching’’ and ‘‘add-on
controls’’). The Court said that
generation-shifting as the BSER was
‘‘unprecedented’’ because it was
designed to ‘‘improve the overall power
system by lowering the carbon intensity
of power generation . . . by forcing a
shift throughout the power grid from
one type of energy source to another.’’
Id. at 727–28 (internal quotation marks,
emphasis, and citation omitted). The
Court cited statements by the thenAdministrator describing the CPP as
‘‘not about pollution control so much as
it was an investment opportunity for
States, especially investments in
renewables and clean energy.’’ Id. at
728. The Court further concluded that
the EPA’s view of its authority was
virtually unbounded because the ‘‘EPA
decides, for instance, how much of a
switch from coal to natural gas is
practically feasible by 2020, 2025, and
2030 before the grid collapses, and how
high energy prices can go as a result
before they become unreasonably
exorbitant.’’ Id. at 729.
Here, the EPA’s determination that
CCS is the BSER does not affect a
fundamental revision of the statute, nor
is it unbounded. CCS is not directed at
improvement of the overall power
system. Rather, CCS is a traditional
‘‘add-on [pollution] control[ ]’’ akin to
measures that the EPA identified as
BSER in prior CAA section 111 rules.
See id. at 727. It ‘‘focus[es] on
improving the performance of
individual sources’’—it reduces CO2
pollution from each individual source—
because each affected source is able to
apply it to its own facility to reduce its
own emissions. Id. at 727. Further, the
EPA determined that CCS qualifies as
the BSER by applying the criteria
specified in CAA section 111(a)(1)—
including adequate demonstration, costs
of control, and emissions reductions.
See section VII.C.1.a of this preamble.
Thus, CCS as the BSER does not
‘‘chang[e]’’ the statute ‘‘from one sort of
scheme of regulation into an entirely
different kind.’’ Id. at 728 (internal
quotation marks, brackets, and citation
omitted).
Commenters contend that
notwithstanding these distinctions, the
choice of CCS as the BSER has the effect
of shifting generation because modeling
projections for the rule show that coalfired generation will become less
competitive, and gas-fired and
renewable-generated electricity will be
more competitive and dispatched more
frequently. That some coal-fired sources
may retire rather than reduce their CO2
pollution does not mean that the rule
‘‘represents a transformative expansion
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39899
[of EPA’s] regulatory authority’’. Id. at
724. To be sure, this rule’s
determination that CCS is the BSER
imposes compliance costs on coal-fired
power plants. That sources will incur
costs to control their emissions of
dangerous pollution is an unremarkable
consequence of regulation, which, as the
Supreme Court recognized, ‘‘may end
up causing an incidental loss of coal’s
market share.’’ Id. at 731 n.4.691 Indeed,
ensuring that sources internalize the full
costs of mitigating their impacts on
human health and the environment is a
central purpose of traditional
environmental regulation.
In particular, for the power sector,
grid operators constantly shift
generation as they dispatch electricity
from sources based upon their costs.
The EPA’s IPM modeling, which is
based on the costs of the various types
of electricity generation, projects these
impacts. Viewed as a whole, these
projected impacts show that,
collectively, coal-fired power plants will
likely produce less electricity, and other
sources (like gas-fired units and
renewable sources) will likely produce
more electricity, but this pattern does
not constitute a transformative
expansion of statutory authority (EPA’s
Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM;
final TSD, Power Sector Trends.)
These projected impacts are best
understood by comparing the IPM
model’s ‘‘base case,’’ i.e., the projected
electricity generation without any rule
in place, to the model’s ‘‘policy case,’’
i.e., the projected electricity generation
expected to result from this rule. The
base case projects that many coal-fired
units will retire over the next 20 years
(EPA’s Power Sector Platform 2023
using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector
Trends). Those projected retirements
track trends over the past two decades
where coal-fired units have retired in
high numbers because gas-fired units
and renewable sources have become
increasingly able to generate lower-cost
electricity. As more gas-fired and
renewable generation sources deploy in
the future, and as coal-fired units
continue to age—which results in
decreased efficiency and increased
costs—the coal-fired units will become
increasingly marginal and continue to
retire (EPA’s Power Sector Platform
2023 using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector
Trends.) That is true in the absence of
this rule. The EPA’s modeling results
also project that even if the EPA had
691 As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.ii.(D), the
costs of CCS are reasonable based on the EPA’s
$/MWh and $/ton metrics. As discussed in RTC
section 2.16, the total annual costs of this rule are
a small fraction of the revenues and capital costs
of the electric power industry.
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determined BSER for long-term sources
to be 40 percent co-firing, which
requires significantly less capital
investment, and not 90 percent capture
CCS, a comparable number of sources
would retire instead of installing
controls. These results confirm that the
primary cause for the projected
retirements is the marginal profitability
of the sources.
Importantly, the base-case projections
also show that some coal-fired units
install CCS and run at high capacity
factors, in fact, higher than they would
have had they not installed CCS. This is
because the IRC section 45Q tax credit
significantly reduces the variable cost of
operation for qualifying sources. This
incentivizes sources to increase
generation to maximize the tons of CO2
the CCS equipment captures, and
thereby increase the amount of the tax
credit they receive. In the ‘‘policy case,’’
beginning when the CCS requirement
applies in the 2035 model year,692 some
additional coal-fired units will likely
install CCS, and also run at high
capacity factors, again, significantly
higher than they would have without
CCS. Other units may retire rather than
install emission controls (EPA’s Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM; final
TSD, Power Sector Trends). On balance,
the coal-fired units that install CCS
collectively generate nearly the same
amount of electricity in the 2040 model
year as do the group of coal-fired units
in the base case.
The policy case also shows that in the
2045 model year, by which time the 12year period for sources to claim the IRC
section 45Q tax credit will have expired,
most sources that install CCS retire due
to the costs of meeting the CCS-based
standards without the benefit of the tax
credit. However, in fact, these projected
outcomes are far from certain as the
modeling results generally do not
account for numerous potential changes
that may occur over the next 20 or more
years, any of which may enable these
units to continue to operate
economically for a longer period.
Examples of potential changes include
reductions in the operational costs of
CCS through technological
improvements, or the development of
additional potential revenue streams for
captured CO2 as the market for
beneficial uses of CO2 continues to
develop, among other possible changed
economic circumstances (including the
possible extension of the tax credits). In
692 Under the rule, sources are required to meet
their CCS-based standard of performance by January
1, 2032. IPM groups calendar years into 5-year
periods, e.g., the 2035 model year and the 2040
model year. January 1, 2032, falls into the 2035
model year.
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light of these potential significant
developments, the EPA is committing to
review and, if appropriate, revise the
requirements of this rule by January 1,
2041, as described in section VII.F.
In any event, the modeling projections
showing that many sources retire
instead of installing controls are in line
with the trends for these units in the
absence of the rule—as the coal-fired
fleet ages and lower-cost alternatives
become increasingly available, more
operators will retire coal-fired units
with or without this rule. In 2045, the
average age of coal-fired units that have
not yet announced retirement dates or
coal-to-gas conversion by 2039 will be
61 years old. And, on average, between
2000 and 2022, even in the absence of
this rule, coal-fired units generally
retired at 53 years old. Thus, taken as
a whole, this rule does not dramatically
reduce the expected operating horizon
of most coal-fired units. Indeed, for
units that install CCS, the generous IRC
section 45Q tax credit increases the
competitiveness of these units, and it
allows them to generate more electricity
with greater profit than the sources
would otherwise generate if they did not
install CCS.
The projected effects of the rule do
not show the BSER—here, CCS—is akin
to generation shifting, or otherwise
represents an expansion of EPA
authority with vast political or
economic significance. As described
above at VII.C.1.a.ii, CCS is an
affordable emissions control technology.
It is also very effective, reducing CO2
emissions from coal-fired units by 90
percent, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i. Indeed, as noted, the IRA tax
credits make CCS so affordable that
coal-fired units that install CCS run at
higher capacity factors than they would
otherwise.
Considered as a whole, and in context
with historical retirement trends, the
projected impacts of this rule on coalfired generating units do not raise MQD
concerns. The projected impacts are
merely incidental to the CCS control
itself—the unremarkable consequence of
marginally increasing the cost of doing
business in a competitive market. Nor is
the rule ‘‘transformative.’’ The rule does
not ‘‘announce what the market share of
coal, natural gas, wind, and solar must
be, and then requiring plants to reduce
operations or subsidize their
competitors to get there.’’ 597 U.S. at
731 n.4. As noted above, coal-fired units
that install CCS are projected to generate
substantial amounts of electricity. The
retirements that are projected to occur
are broadly consistent with market
trends over the past two decades, which
show that coal-fired electricity
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production is generally less economic
and less competitive than other forms of
electricity production. That is, the
retirements that the model predicts
under this rule, and the structure of the
industry that results, diverge little from
the prior rate of retirements of coal-fired
units over the past two decades. They
also diverge little from the rate of
retirements from sources that have
already announced that they will retire,
or from the additional retirements that
IPM projects will occur in the base case
(EPA’s Power Sector Platform 2023
using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector
Trends).
As discussed above, because much of
the coal-fired fleet is operating on the
edge of viability, many sources would
retire instead of installing any
meaningful CO2 emissions control—
whether CCS, natural gas co-firing, or
otherwise. Under commenters’ view that
such retirements create a major
question, any form of meaningful
regulation of these sources would create
a major question and effect a
fundamental revision of the statute.
That cannot possibly be so. Section
111(d)(1) plainly mandates regulation of
these units, which are the biggest
stationary source of dangerous CO2
emissions.
The legislative history for the CAA
further makes clear that Congress
intended the EPA to promulgate
regulations even where emissions
controls had economic costs. At the
time of the 1970 CAA Amendments,
Congress recognized that the threats of
air pollution to public health and
welfare had grown urgent and severe.
Sen. Edmund Muskie (D–ME), manager
of the bill and chair of the Public Works
Subcommittee on Air and Water
Pollution, which drafted the bill,
regularly referred to the air pollution
problem as a ‘‘crisis.’’ As Sen. Muskie
recognized, ‘‘Air pollution control will
be cheap only in relation to the costs of
lack of control.’’ 693 The Senate
Committee Report for the 1970 CAA
Amendments specifically discussed the
precursor provision to section 111(d)
and noted, ‘‘there should be no gaps in
control activities pertaining to
stationary source emissions that pose
any significant danger to public health
or welfare.’’ 694 Accordingly, some of the
693 Sen.
Muskie, Sept. 21, 1970, LH 226.
Rep. No. 91–1196, at 20 (Sept. 17, 1970),
1970 CAA Legis. Hist. at 420 (discussing section
114 of the Senate Committee bill, which was the
basis for CAA section 111(d)). Note that in the 1977
CAA Amendments, the House Committee Report
made a similar statement. H.R. Rep. No. 95–294, at
42 (May 12, 1977), 1977 CAA Legis. Hist. at 2509
(discussing a provision in the House Committee bill
that became CAA section 122, requiring EPA to
694 S.
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EPA’s prior CAA section 111
rulemakings have imposed stringent
requirements, at significant cost, in
order to achieve significant emission
reductions.695
Congress’s enactment of the IRA and
IIJA further shows its view that reducing
air pollution—specifically, in those
laws, GHG emissions to address climate
change—is a high priority. As discussed
in section IV.E.1, that law provided
funds for DOE grant and loan programs
to support CCS, and extended and
increased the IRC section 45Q tax credit
for carbon capture. It also adopted the
Low Emission Electricity Program
(LEEP), which allocates funds to the
EPA for the express purpose of using
CAA regulatory authority to reduce
GHG emissions from domestic
electricity generation through use of its
existing CAA authorities. CAA section
135, added by IRA section 60107. The
EPA is promulgating the present
rulemaking with those funds. The
congressional sponsor of the LEEP made
clear that it authorized the type of
rulemaking that the EPA is
promulgating today: he stated that the
EPA may promulgate rulemaking under
CAA section 111, based on CCS, to
address CO2 emissions from fossil fuelfired power plants, which may be
‘‘impactful’’ by having the ‘‘incidental
effect’’ of leading some ‘‘companies . . .
to choose to retire such plants. . . .’’ 696
For these reasons, the rule here is
consistent with the Supreme Court’s
decision in West Virginia. The selection
of CCS as the BSER for existing coalfired units is a traditional, add-on
control intended to reduce the
emissions performance of individual
sources. That some sources may retire
instead of controlling their emissions
does not otherwise show that the rule
runs afoul of the MQD. The modeling
projections for this rule show that the
anticipated retirements are largely
consistent with historical trends, and
due to many coal-fired units’ advanced
age and lack of competitiveness with
lower cost methods of electricity
generation.
study and then take action to regulate radioactive
air pollutants and three other air pollutants).
695 See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 313
(D.C. Cir. 1981) (upholding NSPS imposing controls
on SO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants
when the ‘‘cost of the new controls . . . is
substantial. EPA estimates that utilities will have to
spend tens of billions of dollars by 1995 on
pollution control under the new NSPS.’’).
696 168 Cong. Rec. E868 (August 23, 2022)
(statement of Rep. Frank Pallone, Jr.); id. E879
(August 26, 2022) (statement of Rep. Frank Pallone,
Jr.).
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2. Redefining the Source
Comment: Some commenters
contended that the proposed 40 percent
natural gas co-firing performance
standard violates legal precedent that
bars the EPA from setting technologybased performance standards that would
have the effect of ‘‘redefining the
source.’’ They stated that this
prohibition against the redefinition of
the source bars the EPA from adopting
the proposed performance standard for
medium-term coal-fired EGUs, which
requires such units to operate in a
manner for which the unit was never
designed to do, namely operate as a
hybrid coal/natural gas co-firing
generating unit and combusting 40
percent of its fuel input as natural gas
(instead of coal) on an annual basis.
Commenters argued that co-firing
would constitute forcing one type of
source to become an entirely different
kind of source, and that the Supreme
Court precluded such a requirement in
West Virginia v. EPA when it stated in
footnote 3 of that case that the EPA has
‘‘never ordered anything remotely like’’
a rule that would ‘‘simply require coal
plants to become natural gas plants’’
and the Court ‘‘doubt[ed that EPA]
could.’’ 697
Response: The EPA disagrees with
these comments.
Standards based on co-firing, as
contemplated in this rule, are based on
a ‘‘traditional pollution control
measure,’’ in particular, ‘‘fuel
switching,’’ as the Supreme Court
recognized in West Virginia.698 Rules
based on switching to a cleaner fuel are
authorized under the CAA, an
authorization directly acknowledged by
Congress. Specifically, as part of the
1977 CAA Amendments, Congress
required that the EPA base its standards
regulating certain new sources,
including power plants, on
‘‘technological’’ controls, rather than
simply the ‘‘best system.’’ 699 Congress
understood this to mean that new
sources would be required to implement
add-on controls, rather than merely
697 West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S, 697, 728 n.3
(2022).
698 See 597 U.S. at 727.
699 In 1977, Congress clarified that for purposes
of CAA section 111(a)(1)(A), concerning standards
of performance for new and modified ‘‘fossil fuelfired stationary sources’’ a standard or performance
‘‘shall reflect the degree of emission limitation and
the percentage reduction achievable through
application of the best technological system of
continuous emission reduction which (taking into
consideration the cost of achieving such emission
reduction, any nonair quality health and
environmental impact and energy requirements) the
Administrator determines has been adequately
demonstrated.’’ Clean Air Act 1977 Revisions
(emphasis added).
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relying on fuel switching, and noted
that one of the purposes of this
amendment was to allow new sources to
burn high sulfur coal while still
decreasing emissions, and thus to
increase the availability of low sulfur
coal for existing sources, which were
not subject to the ‘‘technological’’
control requirement.700 In 1990,
however, Congress removed the
‘‘technological’’ language, allowing the
EPA to set fuel-switching based
standards for both new and existing
power plants.701
The EPA has a tradition of
promulgating rules based on fuel
switching. For example, the 2006 NSPS
for stationary compression ignition
internal combustion engines required
the use of ultra-low sulfur diesel.702
Similarly, in the 2015 NSPS for
EGUs,703 the EPA determined that the
BSER for peaking plants was to burn
primarily natural gas, with distillate oil
used only as a backup fuel.704 Nor is
this approach unique to CAA section
111; in the 2016 rule setting section 112
standards for hazardous air pollutant
emissions from area sources, for
example, the EPA finalized an
alternative particulate matter (PM)
standard that specified that certain oilfired boilers would meet the applicable
700 See H. Rep. No. 94–1175, 94th Cong., 2d Sess.
(May 15, 1976) Part A, at 159 (listing the various
purposes of the amendment to Section 111 adding
the term ‘technological’: ‘‘Fourth, by using best
control technology on large new fuel-burning
stationary sources, these sources could burn higher
sulfur fuel than if no technological means of
reducing emissions were used. This means an
expansion of the energy resources that could be
burned in compliance with environmental
requirements. Fifth, since large new fuel-burning
sources would not rely on naturally low sulfur coal
or oil to achieve compliance with new source
performance standards, the low sulfur coal or oil
that would have been burned in these major new
sources could instead be used in older and smaller
sources.’’)
701 In 1990, Congress removed this reference to a
‘‘technological system’’, and the current text reads
simply: ‘‘The term ‘‘standard of performance’’
means a standard for emissions of air pollutants
which reflects the degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application of the best
system of emission reduction which (taking into
account the cost of achieving such reduction and
any nonair quality health and environmental
impact and energy requirements) the Administrator
determines has been adequately demonstrated.’’ 42
U.S.C. 7411(a)(1).
702 Standards of Performance for Stationary
Compression Ignition Internal Combustion Engines,
71 FR 39154 (July 11, 2006). In the preamble to the
final rule, the EPA noted that for engines which had
not previously used this new ultra-low sulfur fuel,
additives would likely need to be added to the fuel
to maintain appropriate lubricity. See id. at 39158.
703 Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed
Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating
Units, 80 FR 64510, (October 23, 2015).
704 See id. at 64621.
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standard if they combusted only ultralow-sulfur liquid fuel.705
Moreover, the West Virginia Court’s
statements in footnote 3 are irrelevant to
the question of the validity of a 40
percent co-firing standard. There, the
Court was referring to a complete
transformation of the coal-fired unit to
a 100 percent gas fired unit—a change
that would require entirely repowering
the unit. By contrast, increasing cofiring at existing coal-fired units to 40
percent would require only minor
changes to the units’ boilers. In fact,
many coal-fired units are already
capable of co-firing some amount of gas
without any changes at all, and several
have fired at 40 percent and above in
recent years. Of the 565 coal-fired EGUs
operating at the end of 2021, 249 of
them reported consuming natural gas as
a fuel or startup source, 162 reported
more than one month of consumption of
natural gas at their boiler, and 29 cofired at over 40 percent on an annual
heat input basis in at least one year
while also operating with annual
capacity factors greater than 10 percent.
For more on this, see section IV.C.2 of
this preamble; see also the final TSD,
GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units.
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F. Commitment To Review and, If
Appropriate, Revise Emission
Guidelines for Coal-Fired Units
The EPA recognizes that the IRC 45Q
tax credit is a key component to the cost
of CCS, as discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii(C) of this preamble. The EPA
further recognizes that for any affected
source, the tax credit is currently
available for a 12-year period and not
subsequently. The tax credit is generally
sufficient to defray the capital costs of
CCS and much, if not all, of the
operating costs during that 12-year
period. Following the 12-year period,
affected sources that continue to operate
the CCS equipment would have higher
costs of generation, due to the CCS
operating costs, including parasitic load.
Under certain circumstances, these
higher costs could push the affected
sources lower on the dispatch curve,
and thereby lead to reductions in the
amount of their generation, i.e., if
affected sources are not able to replace
the revenue from the tax credit with
revenue from other sources, or if the
price of electricity does not reflect any
additional costs needed to minimize
GHG emissions.
705 See National Emission Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants for Area Sources:
Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional Boilers, 81
FR 63112–01 (September 14, 2016).
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However, the costs of CCS and the
overall economic viability of operating
CO2 capture at power plants are
improving and can be expected to
continue to improve in years to come.
CO2 that is captured from fossil-fuel
fired sources is currently beneficially
used, including, for example, for
enhanced oil recovery and in the food
and beverage industry. There is much
research into developing beneficial uses
for many other industries, including
construction, chemical manufacturing,
graphite manufacturing. The demand for
CO2 is expected to grow considerably
over the next several decades. As a
result, in the decades to come, affected
sources may well be able to replace at
least some of the revenues from the tax
credit with revenues from the sale of
CO2. We discuss these potential
developments in chapter 2 of the
Response to Comments document,
available in the rulemaking docket.
In addition, numerous states have
imposed requirements to decarbonize
generation within their borders. Many
utilities have also announced plans to
decarbonize their fleet, including
building small modular (advanced
nuclear) reactors. Given the relatively
high capital and fixed costs of small
modular reactors, plans for their
construction represent an expectation of
higher future energy prices. This
suggests that, in the decades to come, at
least in certain areas of the country,
affected sources may be able to maintain
a place in the dispatch curve that allows
them to continue to generate while they
continue to operate CCS, even in the
absence of additional revenues for CO2.
We discuss these potential
developments in the final TSD, Power
Sector Trends, available in the
rulemaking docket.
These developments, which may
occur by the 2040s—the expiration of
the 12-year period for the IRC 45Q tax
credit, the potential development of the
CO2 utilization market, and potential
market supports for low-GHG
generation—may significantly affect the
costs to coal-fired steam EGUs of
operating their CCS controls. As a
result, the EPA will closely monitor
these developments. Our efforts will
include consulting with other agencies
with expertise and information,
including DOE, which currently has a
program, the Carbon Conversion
Program, in the Office of Carbon
Management, that funds research into
CO2 utilization. We regularly consult
with stakeholders, including industry
stakeholders, and will continue to do so.
In light of these potential significant
developments and their impacts,
potentially positive or negative, on the
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economics of continued generation by
affected sources that have installed CCS,
the EPA is committing to review and, if
appropriate, revise this rule by January
1, 2041. This commitment is included
in the regulations that the EPA is
promulgating with this rule. The EPA
will conduct this review based on what
we learn from monitoring these
developments, as noted above.
Completing this review and any
appropriate revisions by that date will
allow time for the states to revise, if
necessary, standards applicable to
affected sources, and for the EPA to act
on those state revisions, by the early to
mid-2040s. That is when the 12-year
period for the 45Q tax credit is expected
to expire for affected sources that
comply with the CCS requirement by
January 1, 2032, and when other
significant developments noted above
may be well underway.
VIII. Requirements for New and
Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbine EGUs and Rationale for
Requirements
A. Overview
This section discusses the
requirements for stationary combustion
turbine EGUs that commence
construction or reconstruction after May
23, 2023. The requirements are codified
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa. The
EPA explains in section VIII.B of this
document the two basic turbine
technologies that are used in the power
sector and are covered by 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa. Those are simple
cycle combustion turbines and
combined cycle combustion turbines.
The EPA also explains how these
technologies are used in the three
subcategories: low load turbines,
intermediate load turbines, and base
load turbines. Section VIII.C provides an
overview of how stationary combustion
turbines have been previously regulated.
Section VIII.D discusses the EPA’s
decision to revisit the standards for new
and reconstructed turbines as part of the
statutorily required 8-year review of the
NSPS. Section VIII.E discusses changes
that the EPA is finalizing in both
applicability and subcategories in the
new 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, as
compared to those codified previously
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. Most
notably, for new and reconstructed
natural gas-fired combustion turbines,
the EPA is finalizing BSER
determinations and standards of
performance for the three subcategories
mentioned above—low load,
intermediate load, and base load.
Sections VIII.F and VIII.G of this
document discuss the EPA’s
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determination of the BSER for each of
the three subcategories of combustion
turbines and the applicable standards of
performance, respectively. For low load
combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that the use
of lower-emitting fuels is the
appropriate BSER. For intermediate load
combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that highly
efficient simple cycle generation is the
appropriate BSER. For base load
combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that the BSER
includes two components that
correspond initially to a two-phase
standard of performance. The first
component of the BSER, with an
immediate compliance date (phase 1), is
highly efficient generation based on the
performance of a highly efficient
combined cycle turbine and the second
component of the BSER, with a
compliance date of January 1, 2032
(phase 2), is based on the use of CCS
with a 90 percent capture rate, along
with continued use of highly efficient
generation. For base load turbines, the
standards of performance corresponding
to both components of the BSER would
apply to all new and reconstructed
sources that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023. The
EPA occasionally refers to these
standards of performance as the phase 1
or phase 2 standards.
B. Combustion Turbine Technology
For purposes of 40 CFR part 60,
subparts TTTT and TTTTa, stationary
combustion turbines include both
simple cycle and combined cycle EGUs.
Simple cycle turbines operate in the
Brayton thermodynamic cycle and
include three primary components: a
multi-stage compressor, a combustion
chamber (i.e., combustor), and a turbine.
The compressor is used to supply large
volumes of high-pressure air to the
combustion chamber. The combustion
chamber converts fuel to heat and
expands the now heated, compressed air
through the turbine to create shaft work.
The shaft work drives an electric
generator to produce electricity.
Combustion turbines that recover the
energy in the high-temperature
exhaust—instead of venting it directly
to the atmosphere—are combined cycle
EGUs and can obtain additional useful
electric output. A combined cycle EGU
includes an HRSG operating in the
Rankine thermodynamic cycle. The
HRSG receives the high-temperature
exhaust and converts the heat to
mechanical energy by producing steam
that is then fed into a steam turbine that,
in turn, drives an electric generator. As
the thermal efficiency of a stationary
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combustion turbine EGU is increased,
less fuel is burned to produce the same
amount of electricity, with a
corresponding decrease in fuel costs and
lower emissions of CO2 and, generally,
of other air pollutants. The greater the
output of electric energy for a given
amount of fuel energy input, the higher
the efficiency of the electric generation
process.
Combustion turbines serve various
roles in the power sector. Some
combustion turbines operate at low
annual capacity factors and are available
to provide temporary power during
periods of high load demand. These
turbines are often referred to as
‘‘peaking units.’’ Some combustion
turbines operate at intermediate annual
capacity factors and are often referred to
as cycling or load-following units. Other
combustion turbines operate at high
annual capacity factors to serve base
load demand and are often referred to as
base load units. In this rulemaking, the
EPA refers to these types of combustion
turbines as low load, intermediate load,
and base load, respectively.
Low load combustion turbines
provide reserve capacity, support grid
reliability, and generally provide power
during periods of peak electric demand.
As such, the units may operate at or
near their full capacity, but only for
short periods, as needed. Because these
units only operate occasionally, capital
expenses are a major factor in the
overall cost of electricity, and often, the
lowest capital cost (and generally less
efficient) simple cycle EGUs are
intended for use only during periods of
peak electric demand. Due to their low
efficiency, these units require more fuel
per MWh of electricity produced and
their operating costs tend to be higher.
Because of the higher operating costs,
they are generally some of the last units
in the dispatch order. Important
characteristics for low load combustion
turbines include their low capital costs,
their ability to start quickly and to
rapidly ramp up to full load, and their
ability to operate at partial loads while
maintaining acceptable emission rates
and efficiencies. The ability to start
quickly and rapidly attain full load is
important to maximize revenue during
periods of peak electric prices and to
meet sudden shifts in demand. In
contrast, under steady-state conditions,
more efficient combined cycle EGUs are
dispatched ahead of low load turbines
and often operate at higher annual
capacity factors.
Highly efficient simple cycle turbines
and flexible fast-start combined cycle
turbines both offer different advantages
and disadvantages when operating at
intermediate loads. One of the roles of
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39903
these intermediate or load following
EGUs is to provide dispatchable backup
power to support variable renewable
generating sources (e.g., solar and
wind). A developer’s decision as to
whether to build a simple cycle turbine
or a combined cycle turbine to serve
intermediate load demand is based on
several factors related to the intended
operation of the unit. These factors
would include how frequently the unit
is expected to cycle between starts and
stops, the predominant load level at
which the unit is expected to operate,
and whether this level of operation is
expected to remain consistent or is
expected to vary over the lifetime of the
unit. In areas of the U.S. with vertically
integrated electricity markets, utilities
determine dispatch orders based
generally on economic merit of
individual units. Meanwhile, in areas of
the U.S. inside organized wholesale
electricity markets, owner/operators of
individual combustion turbines control
whether and how units will operate
over time, but they do not necessarily
control the precise timing of dispatch
for units in any given day or hour. Such
short-term dispatch decisions are often
made by regional grid operators that
determine, on a moment-to-moment
basis, which available individual units
should operate to balance supply and
demand and other requirements in an
optimal manner, based on operating
costs, price bids, and/or operational
characteristics. However, operating
permits for simple cycle turbines often
contain restrictions on the annual hours
of operation that owners/operators
incorporate into longer-term operating
plans and short-term dispatch decisions.
Intermediate load combustion
turbines vary their generation,
especially during transition periods
between low and high electric demand.
Both high-efficiency simple cycle
turbines and flexible fast-start combined
cycle turbines can fill this cycling role.
While the ability to start quickly and
quickly ramp up is important, efficiency
is also an important characteristic.
These combustion turbines generally
have higher capital costs than low load
combustion turbines but are generally
less expensive to operate.
Base load combustion turbines are
designed to operate for extended
periods at high loads with infrequent
starts and stops. Quick-start capability
and low capital costs are less important
than low operating costs. Highefficiency combined cycle turbines
typically fill the role of base load
combustion turbines.
The increase in generation from
variable renewable energy sources
during the past decade has impacted the
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way in which dispatchable generating
resources operate.706 For example, the
electric output from wind and solar
generating sources fluctuates daily and
seasonally due to increases and
decreases in the wind speed or solar
intensity. Due to this variable nature of
wind and solar, dispatchable EGUs,
including combustion turbines as well
as other technologies like energy
storage, are used to ensure the reliability
of the electric grid. This requires
dispatchable power plants to have the
ability to quickly start and stop and to
rapidly and frequently change load—
much more often than was previously
needed. These are important
characteristics of the combustion
turbines that provide firm backup
capacity. Combustion turbines are much
more flexible than coal-fired utility
boilers in this regard and have played
an important role during the past
decade in ensuring that electric supply
and demand are balanced.
As discussed in section IV.F.2 of this
preamble, in the final TSD, Power
Sector Trends, and in the accompanying
RIA, the EPA’s Power Sector Platform
2023 using IPM projects that natural
gas-fired combustion turbines will
continue to play an important role in
meeting electricity demand. However,
that role is projected to evolve as
additional renewable and nonrenewable low-GHG generation and
energy storage technologies are added to
the grid. Energy storage technologies
can store energy during periods when
generation from renewable resources is
high relative to demand and can provide
electricity to the grid during other
periods. Energy storage technologies are
projected to reduce the need for base
load fossil fuel-fired firm dispatchable
power plants, and the capacity factors of
combined cycle EGUs are forecast to
decline by 2040.
C. Overview of Regulation of Stationary
Combustion Turbines for GHGs
As explained earlier in this preamble,
the EPA originally regulated new and
reconstructed stationary combustion
turbine EGUs for emissions of GHGs in
2015 under 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT. In 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
the EPA created three subcategories: two
for natural gas-fired combustion
turbines and one for multi-fuel-fired
combustion turbines. For natural gas706 Dispatchable generating sources are those that
can be turned on and off and adjusted to provide
power to the electric grid based on the demand for
electricity. Variable (sometimes referred to as
intermittent) generating sources are those that
supply electricity based on external factors that are
not controlled by the owner/operator of the source
(e.g., wind and solar sources).
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fired turbines, the EPA created a
subcategory for base load turbines and
a separate subcategory for non-base load
turbines. Base load turbines were
defined as combustion turbines with
electric sales greater than a site-specific
electric sales threshold based on the
design efficiency of the combustion
turbine. Non-base load turbines were
defined as combustion turbines with a
capacity factor less than or equal to the
site-specific electric sales threshold. For
base load turbines, the EPA set a
standard of 1,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross
based on efficient combined cycle
turbine technology. For non-base load
and multi-fuel-fired turbines, the EPA
set a standard based on the use of loweremitting fuels that varied from 120 lb
CO2/MMBtu to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu,
depending upon whether the turbine
burned primarily natural gas or other
lower-emitting fuels.
D. Eight-Year Review of NSPS
CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) requires the
Administrator to ‘‘at least every 8 years,
review and, if appropriate, revise [the
NSPS] . . . .’’ The provision further
provides that ‘‘the Administrator need
not review any such standard if the
Administrator determines that such
review is not appropriate in light of
readily available information on the
efficacy of such [NSPS].’’
The EPA promulgated the NSPS for
GHG emissions for stationary
combustion turbines in 2015.
Announcements and modeling
projections show that project developers
are building new fossil fuel-fired
combustion turbines and have plans to
continue building additional capacity.
Because the emissions from this added
capacity have the potential to be large
and these units are likely to have long
operating lives (25 years or more), it is
important to limit emissions from these
new units. Accordingly, in this final
rule, the EPA is updating the NSPS for
newly constructed and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines.
E. Applicability Requirements and
Subcategorization
This section describes the
amendments to the specific
applicability criteria for non-fossil fuelfired EGUs, industrial EGUs, CHP EGUs,
and combustion turbine EGUs not
connected to a natural gas pipeline. The
EPA is also making certain changes to
the applicability requirements for
stationary combustion turbines affected
by this final rule as compared to those
for sources affected by the 2015 NSPS.
The amendments are described below
and include the elimination of the
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multi-fuel-fired subcategory, further
binning non-base load combustion
turbines into low load and intermediate
load subcategories and establishing a
capacity factor threshold for base load
combustion turbines.
1. Applicability Requirements
In general, the EPA refers to fossil
fuel-fired EGUs that would be subject to
a CAA section 111 NSPS as ‘‘affected’’
EGUs or units. An EGU is any fossil
fuel-fired electric utility steam
generating unit (i.e., a utility boiler or
IGCC unit) or stationary combustion
turbine (in either simple cycle or
combined cycle configuration). To be
considered an affected EGU under the
2015 NSPS at 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, the unit must meet the following
applicability criteria: The unit must: (1)
be capable of combusting more than 250
MMBtu/h (260 gigajoules per hour (GJ/
h)) of heat input of fossil fuel (either
alone or in combination with any other
fuel); and (2) serve a generator capable
of supplying more than 25 MW net to
a utility distribution system (i.e., for sale
to the grid).707 However, 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, includes applicability
exemptions for certain EGUs, including:
(1) non-fossil fuel-fired units subject to
a federally enforceable permit that
limits the use of fossil fuels to 10
percent or less of their heat input
capacity on an annual basis; (2) CHP
units that are subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting annual net
electric sales to no more than either the
unit’s design efficiency multiplied by its
potential electric output, or 219,000
MWh, whichever is greater; (3)
stationary combustion turbines that are
not physically capable of combusting
natural gas (e.g., those that are not
connected to a natural gas pipeline); (4)
utility boilers and IGCC units that have
always been subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting annual net
electric sales to one-third or less of their
potential electric output (e.g., limiting
hours of operation to less than 2,920
hours annually) or limiting annual
electric sales to 219,000 MWh or less;
(5) municipal waste combustors that are
subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb;
(6) commercial or industrial solid waste
incineration units subject to 40 CFR part
60, subpart CCCC; and (7) certain
projects under development, as
discussed in the preamble for the 2015
final NSPS.
707 The EPA refers to the capability to combust
250 MMBtu/h of fossil fuel as the ‘‘base load rating
criterion.’’ Note that 250 MMBtu/h is equivalent to
73 MW or 260 GJ/h heat input.
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a. Revisions to 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart
TTTT
The EPA is amending 40 CFR 60.5508
and 60.5509 to reflect that stationary
combustion turbines that commenced
construction after January 8, 2014, or
reconstruction after June 18, 2014, and
before May 24, 2023, and that meet the
relevant applicability criteria are subject
to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. For
steam generating EGUs and IGCC units,
40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, remains
applicable for units constructed after
January 8, 2014, or reconstructed after
June 18, 2014. The EPA is finalizing 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, to be
applicable to stationary combustion
turbines that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023, and
that meet the relevant applicability
criteria.
b. Revisions to 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart
TTTT, That Are Also Included in 40
CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTTa
The EPA is finalizing that 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, and 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, use similar regulatory
text except where specifically stated.
This section describes amendments
included in both subparts.
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i. Applicability to Non-Fossil Fuel-Fired
EGUs
The current non-fossil applicability
exemption in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, is based strictly on the
combustion of non-fossil fuels (e.g.,
biomass). To be considered a non-fossil
fuel-fired EGU, the EGU must be both:
(1) Capable of combusting more than 50
percent non-fossil fuel and (2) subject to
a federally enforceable permit condition
limiting the annual heat input capacity
for all fossil fuels combined of 10
percent or less. The current language
does not take heat input from noncombustion sources (e.g., solar thermal)
into account. Certain solar thermal
installations have natural gas backup
burners larger than 250 MMBtu/h. As
currently treated in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, these solar thermal
installations are not eligible to be
considered non-fossil units because they
are not capable of deriving more than 50
percent of their heat input from the
combustion of non-fossil fuels.
Therefore, solar thermal installations
that include backup burners could meet
the applicability criteria of 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, even if the burners
are limited to an annual capacity factor
of 10 percent or less. These EGUs would
readily comply with the standard of
performance, but the reporting and
recordkeeping would increase costs for
these EGUs.
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The EPA proposed and is finalizing
several amendments to align the
applicability criteria with the original
intent to cover only fossil fuel-fired
EGUs. These amendments ensure that
solar thermal EGUs with natural gas
backup burners, like other types of nonfossil fuel-fired units that derive most of
their energy from non-fossil fuel
sources, are not subject to the
requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT or TTTTa. Amending the
applicability language to include heat
input derived from non-combustion
sources allows these facilities to avoid
the requirements of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT or TTTTa, by limiting the
use of the natural gas burners to less
than 10 percent of the capacity factor of
the backup burners. Specifically, the
EPA is amending the definition of nonfossil fuel-fired EGUs from EGUs
capable of ‘‘combusting 50 percent or
more non-fossil fuel’’ to EGUs capable
of ‘‘deriving 50 percent or more of the
heat input from non-fossil fuel at the
base load rating’’ (emphasis added). The
definition of base load rating is also
being amended to include the heat input
from non-combustion sources (e.g., solar
thermal).
Revising ‘‘combusting’’ to ‘‘deriving’’
in the amended non-fossil fuel
applicability language ensures that 40
CFR part 60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa,
cover the fossil fuel-fired EGUs that the
original rule was intended to cover,
while minimizing unnecessary costs to
EGUs fueled primarily by steam
generated without combustion (e.g.,
thermal energy supplied through the use
of solar thermal collectors). The
corresponding change in the base load
rating to include the heat input from
non-combustion sources is necessary to
determine the relative heat input from
fossil fuel and non-fossil fuel sources.
ii. Industrial EGUs
(A) Applicability to Industrial EGUs
In simple terms, the current
applicability provisions in 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, require that an EGU
be capable of combusting more than 250
MMBtu/h of fossil fuel and be capable
of selling 25 MW to a utility distribution
system to be subject to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT. These applicability
provisions exclude industrial EGUs.
However, the definition of an EGU also
includes ‘‘integrated equipment that
provides electricity or useful thermal
output.’’ This language facilitates the
integration of non-emitting generation
and avoids energy inputs from nonaffected facilities being used in the
emission calculation without also
considering the emissions of those
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39905
facilities (e.g., an auxiliary boiler
providing steam to a primary boiler).
This language could result in certain
large processes being included as part of
the EGU and meeting the applicability
criteria. For example, the hightemperature exhaust from an industrial
process (e.g., calcining kilns, dryer,
metals processing, or carbon black
production facilities) that consumes
fossil fuel could be sent to a HRSG to
produce electricity. If the industrial
process uses more than 250 MMBtu/h
heat input and the electric sales exceed
the applicability criteria, then the unit
could be subject to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT or TTTTa. This is
potentially problematic for multiple
reasons. First, it is difficult to determine
the useful output of the EGU (i.e.,
HRSG) since part of the useful output is
included in the industrial process. In
addition, the fossil fuel that is
combusted could have a relatively high
CO2 emissions rate on a lb/MMBtu
basis, making it potentially problematic
to meet the standard of performance
using efficient generation. This could
result in the owner/operator reducing
the electric output of the industrial
facility to avoid the applicability
criteria. Finally, the compliance costs
associated with 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT or TTTTa, could discourage the
development of environmentally
beneficial projects.
To avoid these outcomes, the EPA is,
as proposed, amending the applicability
provision that exempts EGUs where
greater than 50 percent of the heat input
is derived from an industrial process
that does not produce any electrical or
mechanical output or useful thermal
output that is used outside the affected
EGU.708 Reducing the output or not
developing industrial electric generating
projects where the majority of the heat
input is derived from the industrial
process itself would not necessarily
result in reductions in GHG emissions
from the industrial facility. However,
the electricity that would have been
produced from the industrial project
could still be needed. Therefore,
projects of this type provide significant
environmental benefit by providing
additional useful output with little if
any additional environmental impact.
Including these types of projects would
result in regulatory burden without any
associated environmental benefit and
could discourage project development,
708 Auxiliary equipment such as boilers or
combustion turbines that provide heat or electricity
to the primary EGU (including to any control
equipment) would still be considered integrated
equipment and included as part of the affected
facility.
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leading to potential overall increases in
GHG emissions.
(B) Industrial EGUs Electric Sales
Threshold Permit Requirement
The current electric sales applicability
exemption in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, for non-CHP steam generating
units includes the provision that EGUs
have ‘‘always been subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting annual net
electric sales to one-third or less of their
potential electric output (e.g., limiting
hours of operation to less than 2,920
hours annually) or limiting annual
electric sales to 219,000 MWh or less’’
(emphasis added). The justification for
this restriction includes that the 40 CFR
part 60, subpart Da, applicability
language includes ‘‘constructed for the
purpose of . . .’’ and the Agency
concluded that the intent was defined
by permit conditions (80 FR 64544;
October 23, 2015). This applicability
criterion is important both for
determining applicability with the new
source CAA section 111(b) requirements
and for determining whether existing
steam generating units are subject to the
existing source CAA section 111(d)
requirements. For steam generating
units that commenced construction after
September 18, 1978, the applicability of
40 CFR part 60, subpart Da, would be
relatively clear as to what criteria
pollutant NSPS is applicable to the
facility. However, for steam generating
units that commenced construction
prior to September 18, 1978, or where
the owner/operator determined that
criteria pollutant NSPS applicability
was not critical to the project (e.g.,
emission controls were sufficient to
comply with either the EGU or
industrial boiler criteria pollutant
NSPS), owners/operators might not have
requested that an electric sales permit
restriction be included in the operating
permit. Under the current applicability
language, some onsite EGUs could be
covered by the existing source CAA
section 111(d) requirements even if they
have never sold electricity to the grid.
To avoid covering these industrial
EGUs, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing amendments to the electric
sales exemption in 40 CFR part 60,
subparts TTTT and TTTTa, to read,
‘‘annual net electric sales have never
exceeded one-third of its potential
electric output or 219,000 MWh,
whichever is greater, and is [the ‘‘always
been’’ would be deleted] subject to a
federally enforceable permit limiting
annual net electric sales to one-third or
less of their potential electric output
(e.g., limiting hours of operation to less
than 2,920 hours annually) or limiting
annual electric sales to 219,000 MWh or
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less’’ (emphasis added). EGUs that
reduce current generation will continue
to be covered as long as they sold more
than one-third of their potential electric
output at some time in the past. The
revisions make it possible for an owner/
operator of an existing industrial EGU to
provide evidence to the Administrator
that the facility has never sold
electricity in excess of the electricity
sales threshold and to modify their
permit to limit sales in the future.
Without the amendment, owners/
operators of any non-CHP industrial
EGU capable of selling 25 MW would be
subject to the existing source CAA
section 111(d) requirements even if they
have never sold any electricity.
Therefore, the EPA is eliminating the
requirement that existing industrial
EGUs must have always been subject to
a permit restriction limiting net electric
sales.
iii. Determination of the Design
Efficiency
The design efficiency (i.e., the
efficiency of converting thermal energy
to useful energy output) of a combustion
turbine is used to determine the electric
sales applicability threshold. In 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, the sales criteria
are based in part on the individual EGU
design efficiency. Three methods for
determining the design efficiency are
currently provided in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT.709 Since the 2015 NSPS
was finalized, the EPA has become
aware that owners/operators of certain
existing EGUs do not have records of the
original design efficiency. These units
would not be able to readily determine
whether they meet the applicability
criteria (and would therefore be subject
to CAA section 111(d) requirements for
existing sources) in the same way that
111(b) sources would be able to
determine if the facility meets the
applicability criteria. Many of these
EGUs are CHP units that are unlikely to
meet the 111(b) applicability criteria
and would therefore not be subject to
any future 111(d) requirements.
However, the language in the 2015
NSPS would require them to conduct
additional testing to demonstrate this.
The requirement would result in burden
to the regulated community without any
environmental benefit. The electricity
generating market has changed, in some
cases dramatically, during the lifetime
of existing EGUs, especially concerning
ownership. As a result of acquisitions
and mergers, original EGU design
709 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, currently lists
‘‘ASME PTC 22 Gas Turbines,’’ ‘‘ASME PTC 46
Overall Plant Performance,’’ and ‘‘ISO 2314 Gas
turbines—acceptance tests’’ as approved methods to
determine the design efficiency.
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efficiency documentation, as well as
performance guarantee results that
affirmed the design efficiency, may no
longer exist. Moreover, such
documentation and results may not be
relevant for current EGU efficiencies, as
changes to original EGU configurations,
upon which the original design
efficiencies were based, render those
original design efficiencies moot,
meaning that there would be little
reason to maintain former design
efficiency documentation since it would
not comport with the efficiency
associated with current EGU
configurations. As the three specified
methods would rely on documentation
from the original EGU configuration
performance guarantee testing, and
results from that documentation may no
longer exist or be relevant, it is
appropriate to allow other means to
demonstrate EGU design efficiency. To
reduce potential future compliance
burden, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing in 40 CFR part 60, subparts
TTTT and TTTTa, to allow alternative
methods as approved by the
Administrator on a case-by-case basis.
Owners/operators of EGUs can petition
the Administrator in writing to use an
alternate method to determine the
design efficiency. The Administrator’s
discretion is intentionally left broad and
can extend to other American Society of
Mechanical Engineers (ASME) or
International Organization for
Standardization (ISO) methods as well
as to operating data to demonstrate the
design efficiency of the EGU. The EPA
also proposed and is finalizing a change
to the applicability of paragraph 60.8(b)
in table 3 of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, from ‘‘no’’ to ‘‘yes’’ and that the
applicability of paragraph 60.8(b) in
table 3 of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTTa, is ‘‘yes.’’ This allows the
Administrator to approve alternatives to
the test methods specified in 40 CFR
part 60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa.
c. Applicability for 40 CFR Part 60,
Subpart TTTTa
This section describes applicability
criteria that are only incorporated into
40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, and that
differ from the requirements in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT.
Section 111 of the CAA defines a new
or modified source for purposes of a
given NSPS as any stationary source
that commences construction or
modification after the publication of the
proposed regulation. Thus, the
standards of performance apply to EGUs
that commence construction or
reconstruction after the date of proposal
of this rule—May 23, 2023. EGUs that
commenced construction after the date
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of the proposal for the 2015 NSPS and
by May 23, 2023, will remain subject to
the standards of performance
promulgated in the 2015 NSPS. A
modification is any physical change in,
or change in the method of operation of,
an existing source that increases the
amount of any air pollutant emitted to
which a standard applies.710 The NSPS
general provisions (40 CFR part 60,
subpart A) provide that an existing
source is considered a new source if it
undertakes a reconstruction.711
The EPA is finalizing the same
applicability requirements in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, as the
applicability requirements in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT. The stationary
combustion turbine must meet the
following applicability criteria: The
stationary combustion turbine must: (1)
be capable of combusting more than 250
MMBtu/h (260 gigajoules per hour (GJ/
h)) of heat input of fossil fuel (either
alone or in combination with any other
fuel); and (2) serve a generator capable
of supplying more than 25 MW net to
a utility distribution system (i.e., for sale
to the grid).712 In addition, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, to include
applicability exemptions for stationary
combustion turbines that are: (1)
capable of deriving 50 percent or more
of the heat input from non-fossil fuel at
the base load rating and subject to a
federally enforceable permit condition
limiting the annual capacity factor for
all fossil fuels combined of 10 percent
(0.10) or less; (2) combined heat and
power units subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting
annual net electric sales to no more than
219,000 MWh or the product of the
design efficiency and the potential
electric output, whichever is greater; (3)
serving a generator along with other
steam generating unit(s), IGCC, or
stationary combustion turbine(s) where
the effective generation capacity is 25
MW or less; (4) municipal waste
combustors that are subject to 40 CFR
part 60, subpart Eb; (5) commercial or
industrial solid waste incineration units
subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart
CCCC; and (6) deriving greater than 50
percent of heat input from an industrial
process that does not produce any
electrical or mechanical output that is
used outside the affected stationary
combustion turbine.
The EPA proposed the same
requirements to combustion turbines in
710 40
CFR 60.2.
CFR 60.15(a).
712 The EPA refers to the capability to combust
250 MMBtu/h of fossil fuel as the ‘‘base load rating
criterion.’’ Note that 250 MMBtu/h is equivalent to
73 MW or 260 GJ/h heat input.
711 40
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non-continental areas (i.e., Hawaii, the
Virgin Islands, Guam, American Samoa,
the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and
the Northern Mariana Islands) and noncontiguous areas (non-continental areas
and Alaska) as the EPA did for
comparable units in the contiguous 48
states.713 However, the Agency solicited
comment on whether owners/operators
of new and reconstructed combustion
turbines in non-continental and noncontiguous areas should be subject to
different requirements. Commenters
generally commented that due to the
difference in non-contiguous areas
relative to the lower 48 states, the
proposed requirements should not
apply to owners/operators of new or
reconstructed combustion turbines in
non-contiguous areas. The Agency has
considered these comments and is
finalizing that only the initial BSER
component will be applicable to
owners/operators of combustion
turbines located in non-contiguous
areas. Therefore, owners/operators of
base load combustions turbines would
not be subject to the CCS-based
numerical standards in 2032 and would
continue to comply with the efficiencybased numeric standard. Based on
information reported in the 2022 EIA
Form EIA–860, there are no planned
new combustion turbines in either
Alaska or Hawaii. In addition, since
2015 no new combustion turbines have
commenced operation in Hawaii. Two
new combustion turbine facilities
totaling 190 MW have commenced
operation in Alaska since 2015. One
facility is a combined cycle CHP facility
and the other is at an industrial facility
and neither facility would likely meet
the applicability of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa. Therefore, not finalizing
phase-2 BSER for non-continental and
non-contiguous areas will have limited,
if any, impacts on emissions or costs.
The EPA notes that the Agency has the
authority to amend this decision in
future rulemakings.
i. Applicability to CHP Units
For 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
owners/operators of CHP units calculate
net electric sales and net energy output
using an approach that includes ‘‘at
least 20.0 percent of the total gross or
net energy output consists of electric or
direct mechanical output.’’ It is unlikely
that a CHP unit with a relatively low
713 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, also includes
coverage for owners/operators of combustion
turbines in non-contiguous areas. However, owners/
operators of combustion turbines not capable of
combusting natural gas (e.g., not connected to a
natural gas pipeline) are not subject to the rule. This
exemption covers many combustion turbines in
non-contiguous areas.
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electric output (i.e., less than 20.0
percent) would meet the applicability
criteria. However, if a CHP unit with
less than 20.0 percent of the total output
consisting of electricity were to meet the
applicability criteria, the net electric
sales and net energy output would be
calculated the same as for a traditional
non-CHP EGU. Even so, it is not clear
that these CHP units would have less
environmental benefit per unit of
electricity produced than would more
traditional CHP units. For 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing to eliminate the
restriction that CHP units produce at
least 20.0 percent electrical or
mechanical output to qualify for the
CHP-specific method for calculating net
electric sales and net energy output.
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA did not
issue standards of performance for
certain types of sources—including
industrial CHP units and CHPs that are
subject to a federally enforceable permit
limiting annual net electric sales to no
more than the unit’s design efficiency
multiplied by its potential electric
output, or 219,000 MWh or less,
whichever is greater. For CHP units, the
approach in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, for determining net electric sales
for applicability purposes allows the
owner/operator to subtract the
purchased power of the thermal host
facility. The intent of the approach is to
determine applicability similarly for
third-party developers and CHP units
owned by the thermal host facility.714
However, as written in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, each third-party CHP
unit would subtract the entire electricity
use of the thermal host facility when
determining its net electric sales. It is
clearly not the intent of the provision to
allow multiple third-party developers
that serve the same thermal host to all
subtract the purchased power of the
thermal host facility when determining
net electric sales. This would result in
counting the purchased power multiple
times. In addition, it is not the intent of
the provision to allow a CHP developer
to provide a trivial amount of useful
thermal output to multiple thermal
hosts and then subtract all the thermal
hosts’ purchased power when
determining net electric sales for
applicability purposes. The EPA
714 For contractual reasons, many developers of
CHP units sell the majority of the generated
electricity to the electricity distribution grid.
Owners/operators of both the CHP unit and thermal
host can subtract the site purchased power when
determining net electric sales. Third-party
developers that do not own the thermal host can
also subtract the purchased power of the thermal
host when determining net electric sales for
applicability purposes.
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proposed and is finalizing in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, to limit to the
amount of thermal host purchased
power that a third-party CHP developer
can subtract for electric sales when
determining net electric sales equivalent
to the percentage of useful thermal
output provided to the host facility by
the specific CHP unit. This approach
eliminates both circumvention of the
intended applicability by sales of trivial
amounts of useful thermal output and
double counting of thermal hostpurchased power.
Finally, to avoid potential double
counting of electric sales, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing that for CHP
units determining net electric sales,
purchased power of the host facility be
determined based on the percentage of
thermal power provided to the host
facility by the specific CHP facility.
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ii. Non-Natural Gas Stationary
Combustion Turbines
There is currently an exemption in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, for
stationary combustion turbines that are
not physically capable of combusting
natural gas (e.g., those that are not
connected to a natural gas pipeline).
While combustion turbines not
connected to a natural gas pipeline meet
the general applicability of 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, these units are not
subject to any of the requirements. The
EPA is not including in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, the exemption for
stationary combustion turbines that are
not physically capable of combusting
natural gas. As described in the
standards of performance section,
owners/operators of combustion
turbines burning fuels with a higher
heat input emission rate than natural
gas would adjust the natural gas-fired
emissions rate by the ratio of the heat
input-based emission rates. The overall
result is that new stationary combustion
turbines combusting fuels with higher
GHG emissions rates than natural gas on
a lb CO2/MMBtu basis must maintain
the same efficiency compared to a
natural gas-fired combustion turbine
and comply with a standard of
performance based on the identified
BSER.
2. Subcategorization
In this final rule, the EPA is
continuing to include both simple and
combined cycle turbines in the
definition of a stationary combustion
turbine, and like in prior rules for this
source category, the Agency is finalizing
three subcategories—low load,
intermediate load, and base load
combustion turbines. These
subcategories are determined based on
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electric sales (i.e., utilization) relative to
the combustion turbines’ potential
electric output to an electric distribution
network on both a 12-operating month
and 3-year rolling average basis. The
applicable subcategory is determined
each operating month and a stationary
combustion turbine can switch
subcategories if the owner/operator
changes the way the facility is operated.
Subcategorization based on percent
electric sales is a proxy for how a
combustion turbine operates and for
determining the BSER and
corresponding emission standards. For
example, low load combustion turbines
tend to spend a relatively high
percentage of operating hours starting
and stopping. However, within each
subcategory not all combustion turbines
operate the same. Some low load
combustion turbines operate with less
starting and stopping, but in general,
combustion turbines tend to operate
with fewer starts and stops (i.e., more
steady-state hours of operation) with
increasing percentages of electric sales.
The BSER for each subcategory is based
on representative operation of the
combustion turbines in that subcategory
and on what is achievable for the
subcategory as a whole.
Subcategorization by electric sales is
similar, but not identical, to
subcategorizing by heat input-based
capacity factors or annual hours of
operation limits.715 The EPA has
determined that, for NSPS purposes,
electric sales is appropriate because it
reflects operational limitations inherent
in the design of certain units, and also
that—given these differences—certain
emission reduction technologies are
more suitable for some units than for
others.716 This subcategorization
approach is also consistent with
industry practice. For example,
operating permits for simple cycle
turbines often include annual operating
hour limitations of 1,500 to 4,000 hours
annually. When average hourly capacity
factors (i.e., duty cycles) are accounted
for, these hourly restrictions are similar
to annual capacity factor restrictions of
approximately 15 percent and 40
percent, respectively. The owners or
operators of these combustion turbines
never intend for them to provide base
load power. In contrast, operating
715 Percent electric sales thresholds, capacity
factor thresholds, and annual hours of operation
limitations all categorize combustion turbines based
on utilization.
716 While utilization and electric sales are often
similar, the EPA uses electric sales because the
focus of the applicability is facilities that sell
electricity to the grid and not industrial facilities
where the electricity is generated primarily for use
onsite.
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permits do not typically restrict the
number of hours of annual operation for
combined cycle turbines, reflecting that
these types of combustion turbines are
intended to have the ability to provide
base load power.
The EPA evaluated the operation of
the three general combustion turbine
technologies—combined cycle turbines,
frame-type simple cycle turbines, and
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines—
when determining the subcategorization
approach in this rulemaking.717 The
EPA found that, at the same capacity
factor, aeroderivative simple cycle
turbines have more starts (including
fewer operating hours per start) than
either frame simple cycle turbines or
combined cycle turbines. The maximum
number of starts for aeroderivative
simple cycle turbines occurs at capacity
factors of approximately 30 percent and
the maximum number of starts for frame
simple cycle turbines and combined
cycle turbines both occur at capacity
factors of approximately 25 percent. In
terms of the median hours of operation
per start, the hours per starts increases
exponentially with capacity factor for
each type of combustion turbine. The
rate of increase is greatest for combined
cycle turbines with the run times per
start increasing significantly at capacity
factors of 40 and greater. This threshold
roughly matches the subcategorization
threshold for intermediate load and base
load turbines in this final rule. As is
discussed later in section VIII.F.3 and
VIII.F.4, technology options including
those related to efficiency and to post
combustion capture are impacted by the
way units operate and can be more
effective for units with fewer stops and
starts.
a. Legal Basis for Subcategorization
As noted in section V.C.1 of this
preamble, CAA section 111(b)(2)
provides that the EPA ‘‘may distinguish
among classes, types, and sizes within
categories of new sources for the
purpose of establishing . . . standards
[of performance].’’ The D.C. Circuit has
held that the EPA has broad discretion
in determining whether and how to
subcategorize under CAA section
111(b)(2). Lignite Energy Council, 198
F.3d at 933. As also noted in section
V.C.1 of this preamble, in prior CAA
section 111 rules, the EPA has
subcategorized on numerous bases,
including, among other things, fuel type
and load, i.e., utilization. In particular,
as noted in section V.C.1 of this
preamble, the EPA subcategorized on
the basis of utilization—for base load
717 The EPA used manufacturers’ designations for
frame and aeroderivative combustion turbines.
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and non-base load subcategories—in the
2015 NSPS for GHG emissions from
combustion turbines, Standards of
Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions From New, Modified, and
Reconstructed Stationary Sources:
Electric Utility Generating Units, 80 FR
64509 (October 23, 2015), and also in
the NESHAP for Reciprocating Internal
Combustion Engines; NSPS for
Stationary Internal Combustion Engines,
79 FR 48072–01 (August 15, 2014).
Subcategorizing combustion turbines
based on utilization is appropriate
because it recognizes the way differently
designed combustion turbines actually
operate. Project developers do not
construct combined cycle combustion
turbine system to start and stop often to
serve peak demand. Similarly, project
developers do not construct and install
simple cycle combustion turbines to
operate at higher capacity factors to
provide base load demand. And
intermediate load demand may be
served by higher efficiency simple cycle
turbine systems or by ‘‘quick start’’
combined cycle units. Thus, there are
distinguishing features (i.e., different
classes, types, and sizes) of turbines that
are predominantly used in each of the
utilization-based subcategories. Further,
the amount of utilization and the mode
of operation are relevant for the systems
of emission reduction that the EPA may
evaluate to be the BSER and therefore
for the resulting standards of
performance. See section VII.C.2.a.i for
more discussion of the legal basis to
subcategorize based upon characteristics
relevant to the controls the EPA may
determine to be the BSER.
As noted in sections VIII.E.2.b and
VIII.F of this preamble, combustion
turbines that operate at low load have
highly variable operation and therefore
highly variable emission rates. This
variability made it challenging for the
EPA to specify a BSER based on
efficient design and operation and limits
the BSER for purposes of this
rulemaking to lower-emitting fuels. The
EPA notes that the subcategorization
threshold and the standard of
performance are related. For example,
the Agency could have finalized a lower
electric sales threshold for the low load
subcategory (e.g., 15 percent) and
evaluated the emission rates at the
lower capacity factors. In future
rulemaking the Agency could further
evaluate the costs and emissions
impacts of reducing the threshold for
combustion turbines subject to a BSER
based on the use of lower emitting fuels.
Intermediate load combustion
turbines (i.e., those that operate at loads
that are somewhat higher than the low
load peaking units) are most often
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designed to be simple cycle units rather
than combined cycle units. This is
because combustion turbines operating
in the intermediate load range also start
and stop and vary their load frequently
(though not as often as low load peaking
units). Because of the more frequent
starts and stops, simple cycle
combustion turbines are more
economical for project developers when
compared to combined cycle
combustion turbines. Utilization of CCS
technology is not practicable for those
simple cycle units due to the lack of a
HRSG. Therefore, the EPA has
determined that efficient design and
operation is the BSER for intermediate
load combustion turbines.
While use of CCS is practicable for
combined cycle combustion turbines, it
is most appropriate for those units that
operate at relatively higher loads (i.e., as
base load units) that do not frequently
start, stop, and change load. Moreover,
with current technology, CCS works
better on units running at base load
levels.
b. Electric Sales Subcategorization (Low,
Intermediate, and Base Load
Combustion Turbines)
As noted earlier, in the 2015 NSPS,
the EPA established separate standards
of performance for new and
reconstructed natural gas-fired base load
and non-base load stationary
combustion turbines. The electric sales
threshold distinguishing the two
subcategories is based on the design
efficiency of individual combustion
turbines. A combustion turbine qualifies
as a non-base load turbine—and is thus
subject to a less stringent standard of
performance—if it has net electric sales
equal to or less than the design
efficiency of the turbine (not to exceed
50 percent) multiplied by the potential
electric output (80 FR 64601; October
23, 2015). If the net electric sales exceed
that level on both a 12-operating month
and 3-calendar year basis, then the
combustion turbine is in the base load
subcategory and is subject to a more
stringent standard of performance.
Subcategory applicability can change on
a month-to-month basis since
applicability is determined each
operating month. For additional
discussion on this approach, see the
2015 NSPS (80 FR 64609–12; October
23, 2015). The 2015 NSPS non-base load
subcategory is broad and includes
combustion turbines that assure grid
reliability by providing electricity
during periods of peak electric demand.
These peaking turbines tend to have low
annual capacity factors and sell a small
amount of their potential electric
output. The non-base load subcategory
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in the 2015 NSPS also includes
combustion turbines that operate at
intermediate annual capacity factors
and are not considered base load EGUs.
These intermediate load EGUs provide a
variety of services, including providing
dispatchable power to support variable
generation from renewable sources of
electricity. The need for this service has
been expanding as the amount of
electricity from wind and solar
continues to grow. In the 2015 NSPS,
the EPA determined the BSER for the
non-base load subcategory to be the use
of lower-emitting fuels (e.g., natural gas
and Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils). In 2015, the
EPA explained that efficient generation
did not qualify as the BSER due in part
to the challenge of determining an
achievable output-based CO2 emissions
rate for all combustion turbines in this
subcategory.
In this action, the EPA proposed and
is finalizing the subcategories in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, that will be
applicable to sources that commence
construction or reconstruction after May
23, 2023. First, the Agency proposed
and is finalizing the definition of design
efficiency so that the heat input
calculation of an EGU is based on the
higher heating value (HHV) of the fuel
instead of the lower heating value
(LHV), as explained immediately below.
This has the effect of lowering the
calculated potential electric output and
the electric sales threshold. In addition,
the EPA proposed and is finalizing
division of the non-base load
subcategory into separate intermediate
and low load subcategories.
i. Higher Heating Value as the Basis for
Calculation of the Design Efficiency
The heat rate is the amount of energy
used by an EGU to generate 1 kWh of
electricity and is often provided in units
of Btu/kWh. As the thermal efficiency of
a combustion turbine EGU is increased,
less fuel is burned per kWh generated
and there is a corresponding decrease in
emissions of CO2 and other air
pollutants. The electric energy output as
a fraction of the fuel energy input
expressed as a percentage is a common
practice for reporting the unit’s
efficiency. The greater the output of
electric energy for a given amount of
fuel energy input, the higher the
efficiency of the electric generation
process. Lower heat rates are associated
with more efficient power generating
plants.
Efficiency can be calculated using the
HHV or the LHV of the fuel. The HHV
is the heating value directly determined
by calorimetric measurement of the fuel
in the laboratory. The LHV is calculated
using a formula to account for the
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moisture in the combustion gas (i.e.,
subtracting the energy required to
vaporize the water in the flue gas) and
is a lower value than the HHV.
Consequently, the HHV efficiency for a
given EGU is always lower than the
corresponding LHV efficiency because
the reported heat input for the HHV is
larger. For U.S. pipeline natural gas, the
HHV heating value is approximately 10
percent higher than the corresponding
LHV heating value and varies slightly
based on the actual constituent
composition of the natural gas.718 The
EPA default is to reference all
technologies on a HHV basis,719 and the
Agency is basing the heat input
calculation of an EGU on HHV for
purposes of the definition of design
efficiency. However, it should be
recognized that manufacturers of
combustion turbines typically use the
LHV to express the efficiency of
combustion turbines.720
Similarly, the electric energy output
for an EGU can be expressed as either
of two measured values. One value
relates to the amount of total electric
power generated by the EGU, or gross
output. However, a portion of this
electricity must be used by the EGU
facility to operate the unit, including
compressors, pumps, fans, electric
motors, and pollution control
equipment. This within-facility
electrical demand, often referred to as
the parasitic load or auxiliary load,
reduces the amount of power that can be
delivered to the transmission grid for
distribution and sale to customers.
Consequently, electric energy output
may also be expressed in terms of net
output, which reflects the EGU gross
output minus its parasitic load.721
718 The HHV of natural gas is 1.108 times the LHV
of natural gas. Therefore, the HHV efficiency is
equal to the LHV efficiency divided by 1.108. For
example, an EGU with a LHV efficiency of 59.4
percent is equal to a HHV efficiency of 53.6 percent.
The HHV/LHV ratio is dependent on the
composition of the natural gas (i.e., the percentage
of each chemical species (e.g., methane, ethane,
propane)) within the pipeline and will slightly
move the ratio.
719 Natural gas is also sold on a HHV basis.
720 European plants tend to report thermal
efficiency based on the LHV of the fuel rather than
the HHV for both combustion turbines and steam
generating EGUs. In the U.S., boiler efficiency is
typically reported on a HHV basis.
721 It is important to note that net output values
reflect the net output delivered to the electric grid
and not the net output delivered to the end user.
Electricity is lost as it is transmitted from the point
of generation to the end user and these ‘‘line losses’’
increase the farther the power is transmitted. 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, provides a way to
account for the environmental benefit of reduced
line losses by crediting CHP EGUs, which are
typically located close to large electric load centers.
See 40 CFR 60.5540(a)(5)(i) and the definitions of
gross energy output and net energy output in 40
CFR 60.5580.
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ii. Lowering the Threshold Between the
Base Load and Non-Base Load
Subcategories
The subpart TTTT distinction
between a base load and non-base load
combustion turbine is determined by
the unit’s actual electric sales relative to
its potential electric sales, assuming the
EGU is operated continuously (i.e.,
percent electric sales). Specifically,
stationary combustion turbines are
categorized as non-base load and are
subsequently subject to a less stringent
standard of performance if they have net
electric sales equal to or less than their
design efficiency (not to exceed 50
percent) multiplied by their potential
electric output (80 FR 64601; October
23, 2015). Because the electric sales
threshold is based in part on the design
efficiency of the EGU, more efficient
combustion turbine EGUs can sell a
higher percentage of their potential
electric output while remaining in the
non-base load subcategory. This
approach recognizes both the
environmental benefit of combustion
turbines with higher design efficiencies
and provides flexibility to the regulated
community. In the 2015 NSPS, it was
unclear how often high-efficiency
simple cycle EGUs would be called
upon to support increased generation
from variable renewable generating
resources. Therefore, the Agency
determined it was appropriate to
provide maximum flexibility to the
regulated community. To do this, the
Agency based the numeric value of the
design efficiency, which is used to
calculate the electric sales threshold, on
the LHV efficiency. This had the impact
of allowing combustion turbines to sell
a greater share of their potential electric
output while remaining in the non-base
load subcategory.
The EPA proposed and is finalizing
that the design efficiency in 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa be based on the HHV
efficiency instead of LHV efficiency and
to not include the 50 percent maximum
and 33 percent minimum restrictions.
When determining the potential electric
output used in calculating the electric
sales threshold in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, design efficiencies of
greater than 50 percent are reduced to
50 percent and design efficiencies of
less than 33 percent are increased to 33
percent for determining electric sales
threshold subcategorization criteria. The
50 percent criterion was established to
limit non-base load EGUs from selling
greater than 55 percent of their potential
electric sales.723 The 33 percent
criterion was included to be consistent
with applicability thresholds in the
electric utility criteria pollutant NSPS
(40 CFR part 60, subpart Da).
Neither of those criteria are
appropriate for 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTTa, and the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a decision that they are not
incorporated when determining the
electric sales threshold. Instead, as
discussed later in the section, the EPA
is finalizing a fixed percent electric
sales thresholds and the design
efficiency does not impact the
subcategorization thresholds. However,
the design efficiency is still used when
determining the potential electric sales
and any restriction on using the actual
design efficiency of the combustion
turbine would have the impact of
changing the threshold. If this
restriction were maintained, it would
reduce the regulatory incentive for
manufacturers to invest in programs to
develop higher efficiency combustion
turbines.
The EPA also proposed and is
finalizing a decision to eliminate the 33
percent minimum design efficiency in
the calculation of the potential electric
output. The EPA is unaware of any new
combustion turbines with design
efficiencies meeting the general
722 The 7 percent auxiliary load for combined
cycle turbines with 90 percent CCS is specific to
electric output. Additional auxiliary load includes
thermal energy that is diverted to the CCS system
instead of being used to generate additional
electricity. This additional auxiliary thermal energy
is accounted for when converting the phase 1
emissions standard to the phase 2 standard.
723 While the design efficiency is capped at 50
percent on a LHV basis, the base load rating
(maximum heat input of the combustion turbine) is
on a HHV basis. This mixture of LHV and HHV
results in the electric sales threshold being 11
percent higher than the design efficiency. The
design efficiency of all new combined cycle EGUs
exceed 50 percent on a LHV basis.
When using efficiency to compare the
effectiveness of different combustion
turbine EGU configurations and the
applicable GHG emissions control
technologies, it is important to ensure
that all efficiencies are calculated using
the same type of heating value (i.e.,
HHV or LHV) and the same basis of
electric energy output (i.e., MWh-gross
or MWh-net). Most emissions data are
available on a gross output basis and the
EPA is finalizing output-based
standards based on gross output.
However, to recognize the superior
environmental benefit of minimizing
auxiliary/parasitic loads, the Agency is
including optional equivalent standards
on a net output basis. To convert from
gross to net output-based standards, the
EPA used a 2 percent auxiliary load for
simple and combined cycle turbines and
a 7 percent auxiliary load for combined
cycle EGUs using 90 percent CCS.722
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applicability criteria of less than 33
percent; and this will likely have no
cost or emissions impact.
The EPA solicited comment on
whether the intermediate/base load
electric sales threshold should be
reduced further to a range that would
lower the base load electric sales
threshold for simple cycle turbines to
between 29 to 35 percent (depending on
the design efficiency) and to between 40
to 49 percent for combined cycle
turbines (depending on the design
efficiency). The specific approach the
EPA solicited comment on was reducing
the design efficiency by 6 percent (e.g.,
multiplying by 0.94) when determining
the electric sales threshold. Some
commenters supported lowering the
proposed electric sales threshold while
others supported maintaining the
proposed standards.
After considering comments, in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, the EPA
has determined it is appropriate to
eliminate the sliding scale electric sales
threshold based on the design efficiency
and instead base the subcategorization
thresholds on fixed electric sales (also
referred to sometimes here as capacity
factor). In 40 CFR part 60 subpart
TTTTa, the EPA is finalizing that the
fixed electric sales threshold between
intermediate load combustion turbines
and base load combustion turbines is 40
percent. The 40 percent electric sales
(capacity factor) threshold reflects the
maximum capacity factor for
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
and the minimum prorated efficiency
approach for base load combined cycle
turbines that the EPA solicited comment
on in proposal.724
The base load electric sales threshold
is appropriate for new combustion
turbines because, as will be discussed
later, the first component of BSER for
base load turbines is based on highly
efficient combined cycle generation.
Combined cycle units are significantly
more efficient than simple cycle
turbines; and therefore, in general, the
EPA should be focusing its
determination of the BSER for base load
units on that more efficient technology.
The electric sales thresholds and the
emission standards are related because,
at lower capacity factors, combustion
turbines tend to have more variable
operation (e.g., more starts and stops
and operation at part load conditions)
that reduces the efficiency of the
combustion turbine. This is particularly
the case for combined cycle turbines
because while the turbine engine can
724 The EPA solicited comment on basing the
electric sales threshold on a value calculated using
0.94 times the design efficiency.
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come to full load relatively quickly, the
HRSG and steam turbine cannot, and
combined cycle turbines responding to
highly variable load will have
efficiencies similar to simple cycle
turbines.725 This has implications for
the appropriate control technologies and
corresponding emission reduction
potential. The EPA determined the final
standard of performance based on
review of emissions data for recently
installed combined cycle combustion
turbines with 12-operating month
capacity factors of 40 percent or greater.
The EPA considered a capacity factor
threshold lower than 40 percent.
However, expanding the subcategory to
include combustion turbines with a 12operating month electric sales of less
than 40 percent would require the EPA
to consider the emissions performance
of combined cycle turbines operating at
lower capacity factors and, while it
would expand the number of sources in
the base load subcategory, it would also
result in a higher (i.e., less stringent)
numerical emission standard for the
sources in the category.
Direct comparison of the costs of
combined cycle turbines relative to
simple cycle turbines can be challenging
because model plant costs are often for
combustion turbines of different sizes
and do not account for variable
operation. For example, combined cycle
turbine model plants are generally for
an EGU that is several hundred
megawatts while simple cycle turbine
model plants are generally less than a
hundred megawatts. Direct comparison
of the LCOE from these model plants is
not relevant because the facilities are
not comparable. Consider a facility with
a block of 10 simple cycle turbines that
are each 50 MW (so the overall facility
capacity is 500 MW). Each simple cycle
turbine operates as an individual unit
and provides a different value to the
electric grid as compared to a single 500
MW combined cycle turbine. While the
minimum load of the combined cycle
facility might be 200 MW, the block of
10 simple cycle turbines can provide
from approximately 20 MW to 500 MW
to the electric grid.
A more accurate cost comparison
accounts for economies of scale and
estimates the cost of a combined cycle
turbine with the same net output as a
simple cycle turbine. Comparing the
modeled LCOE of these combustion
turbines provides a meaningful
comparison, at least for base load
725 This discussion assumes that the combined
cycle turbine incorporates a bypass stack that
allows the combustion turbine engine to operate
independent of the HRSG/steam turbine. Without a
bypass stack the combustion turbine engine could
not come to full load as quickly.
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combustion turbines. Without
accounting for economies of scale and
variable operation, combined cycle
turbines can appear to be more cost
effective than simple cycle turbines
under almost all conditions. In addition,
without accounting for economies of
scale, large frame simple cycle turbines
can appear to be more cost effective
than higher efficiency aeroderivative
simple cycle turbines, even if operated
at a 100 percent capacity factor. These
cost models are not intended to make
direct comparisons, and the EPA
appropriately accounted for economies
of scale when estimating the cost of the
BSER. Since base load combustion
turbines tend to operate under steady
state conditions with few starts and
stops, startup and shutdown costs and
the efficiency impact of operating at
variable loads are not important for
determining the compliance costs of
base load combustion turbines.
Based on an adjusted model plant
comparison, combined cycle EGUs have
a lower LCOE at capacity factors above
approximately 40 percent compared to
simple cycle EGUs operating at the same
capacity factors. This supports the final
base load fixed electric sales threshold
of 40 percent for simple cycle turbines
because it would be cost-effective for
owners/operators of simple cycle
turbines to add heat recovery if they
elected to operate at higher capacity
factors as a base load unit. Furthermore,
based on an analysis of monthly
emission rates, recently constructed
combined cycle EGUs maintain
consistent emission rates at capacity
factors of less than 55 percent (which is
the base load electric sales threshold in
subpart TTTT) relative to operation at
higher capacity factors. Therefore, the
base load subcategory operating range
can be expanded in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, without impacting the
stringency of the numeric standard.
However, at capacity factors of less than
approximately 40 percent, emission
rates of combined cycle EGUs increase
relative to their operation at higher
capacity factors. It takes much longer for
a HRSG to begin producing steam that
can be used to generate additional
electricity than it takes a combustion
engine to reach full power. Under
operating conditions with a significant
number of starts and stops, typical of
some intermediate and especially low
load combustion turbines, there may not
be enough time for the HRSG to generate
steam that can be used for additional
electrical generation. To maximize
overall efficiency, combined cycle EGUs
often use combustion turbine engines
that are less efficient than the most
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efficient simple cycle turbine engines.
Under operating conditions with
frequent starts and stops where the
HRSG does not have sufficient time to
begin generating additional electricity, a
combined cycle EGU may be no more
efficient than a highly efficient simple
cycle EGU. These distinctions in
operation are thus meaningful for
determining which emissions control
technologies are most appropriate for
types of units. Once a combustion
turbine unit exceeds approximately 40
percent annual capacity factor, it is
economical to add a HRSG which
results in the unit becoming both more
efficient and less likely to cycle its
operation. Such units are, therefore,
better suited for more stringent emission
control technologies including CCS.
After the 2015 NSPS was finalized,
some stakeholders expressed concerns
about the approach for distinguishing
between base load and non-base load
turbines. They posited a scenario in
which increased utilization of wind and
solar resources, combined with low
natural gas prices, would create the
need for certain types of simple cycle
turbines to operate for longer time
periods than had been contemplated
when the 2015 NSPS was being
developed. Specifically, stakeholders
have claimed that in some regional
electricity markets with large amounts
of variable renewable generation, some
of the most efficient new simple cycle
turbines—aeroderivative turbines—
could be called upon to operate at
capacity factors greater than their design
efficiency. However, if those new
simple cycle turbines were to operate at
those higher capacity factors, they
would become subject to the more
stringent standard of performance for
base load turbines. As a result,
according to these stakeholders, the new
aeroderivative turbines would have to
curtail their generation and instead,
less-efficient existing turbines would be
called upon to run by the regional grid
operators, which would result in overall
higher emissions. The EPA evaluated
the operation of simple cycle turbines in
areas of the country with relatively large
amounts of variable renewable
generation and did not find a strong
correlation between the percentage of
generation from the renewable sources
and the 12-operating month capacity
factors of simple cycle turbines. In
addition, most of the simple cycle
turbines that commenced operation
between 2010 and 2016 (the most recent
simple cycle turbines not subject to 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT) have
operated well below the base load
electric sales threshold in 40 CFR part
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60, subpart TTTT. Therefore, the
Agency does not believe that the
concerns expressed by stakeholders
necessitates any revisions to the
regulatory scheme. In fact, as noted
above, the EPA is finalizing that the
electric sales threshold can be lowered
without impairing the availability of
simple cycle turbines where needed,
including to support the integration of
variable generation. The EPA believes
that the final threshold is not overly
restrictive since a simple cycle turbine
could operate on average for more than
9 hours a day in the intermediate load
subcategory.
iii. Low and Intermediate Load
Subcategories
This section discusses the EPA’s
rationale for subcategorizing non-base
load combustion turbines into two
subcategories—low load and
intermediate load.
(A) Low Load Subcategory
The EPA proposed and is finalizing in
40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, a low
load subcategory to includes
combustion turbines that operate only
during periods of peak electric demand
(i.e., peaking units), which will be
separate from the intermediate load
subcategory. Low load combustion
turbines also provide ramping capability
and other ancillary services to support
grid reliability. The EPA evaluated the
operation of recently constructed simple
cycle turbines to understand how they
operate and to determine at what
electric sales level or capacity factor
their emissions rate is relatively steady.
(Note that for purposes of this
discussion, the terms ‘‘electric sales’’
and ‘‘capacity factor’’ are used
interchangeably.) Low load combustion
turbines generally only operate for short
periods of time and potentially at
relatively low duty cycles.726 This type
of operation reduces the efficiency and
increases the emissions rate, regardless
of the design efficiency of the
combustion turbine or how it is
maintained. For this reason, it is
difficult to establish a reasonable
output-based standard of performance
for low load combustion turbines.
To determine the electric sales
threshold—that is, to distinguish
between the intermediate load and low
load subcategories—the EPA evaluated
726 The duty cycle is the average operating
capacity factor. For example, if an EGU operates at
75 percent of the fully rated capacity, the duty cycle
would be 75 percent regardless of how often the
EGU actually operates. The capacity factor is a
measure of how much an EGU is operated relative
to how much it could potentially have been
operated.
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capacity factor electric sales thresholds
of 10 percent, 15 percent, 20 percent,
and 25 percent. The EPA proposed to
find and is finalizing a conclusion that
the 10 percent threshold is problematic
for two reasons. First, simple cycle
turbines operating at that level or lower
have highly variable emission rates, and
therefore it is difficult for the EPA to
establish a meaningful output-based
standard of performance. In addition,
only one-third of simple cycle turbines
that have commenced operation since
2015 have maintained 12-operating
month capacity factors of less than 10
percent. Therefore, setting the threshold
at this level would bring most new
simple cycle turbines into the
intermediate load subcategory, which
would subject them to a more stringent
emission rate that is only achievable for
simple cycle turbines operating at
higher capacity factors. This could
create a situation where simple cycle
turbines might not be able to comply
with the intermediate load standard of
performance while operating at the low
end of the intermediate load capacity
factor subcategorization criteria.
Based on the EPA’s review of hourly
emissions data, at a capacity factor
above 15 percent, GHG emission rates
for many simple cycle turbines begin to
stabilize. At higher capacity factors,
more time is typically spent at steady
state operation rather than ramping up
and down; and emission rates tend to be
lower while in steady-state operation.
Of recently constructed simple cycle
turbines, half have maintained 12operating month capacity factors of 15
percent or less, two-thirds have
maintained capacity factors of 20
percent or less; and approximately 80
percent have maintained maximum
capacity factors of 25 percent or less.
The emission rates clearly stabilize for
most simple cycle turbines operating at
capacity factors of greater than 20
percent. Based on this information, the
EPA proposed the low load electric
sales threshold—again, the dividing line
to distinguish between the intermediate
and low load subcategories—to be 20
percent and solicited comment on a
range of 15 to 25 percent. The EPA also
solicited comment on whether the low
load electric sales threshold should be
determined by a site-specific threshold
based on three-fourths of the design
efficiency of the combustion
turbine.727Under this approach, simple
727 The calculation used to determine the electric
sales threshold includes both the design efficiency
and the base load rating. Since the base load rating
stays the same when adjusting the numeric value
of the design efficiency for applicability purposes,
adjustments to the design efficiency has twice the
impact. Specifically, using three-fourths of the
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cycle turbines selling less than 18 to 22
percent of their potential electric output
(depending on the design efficiency)
would still have been considered low
load combustion turbines. This ‘‘sliding
scale’’ electric sales threshold approach
is like the approach the EPA used in the
2015 NSPS to recognize the
environmental benefit of installing the
most efficient combustion turbines for
low load applications. Using this
approach, combined cycle EGUs would
have been able to sell between 26 to 31
percent of their potential electric output
while still being considered low load
combustion turbines. Some commenters
supported a lower electric sales
threshold while others supported a
higher threshold. Based on these
comments, the EPA is finalizing the
proposed low load electric sales
threshold of 20 percent of the potential
electric sales. The fixed 20 percent
capacity factor threshold represents a
level of utilization at which most simple
cycle combustion turbines perform at a
consistent level of efficiency and GHG
emission performance, enabling the EPA
to establish a standard of performance
that reflects a BSER of efficient
operation. The 20 percent capacity
factor threshold is also more
environmentally protective than the
higher thresholds the EPA considered,
since owners and operators of
combustion turbines operating above a
20 percent capacity factor would be
subject to an output-based emissions
standard instead of a heat input-based
emissions standard based on the use of
lower-emitting fuels. This ensures that
owners/operators of intermediate load
combined cycle turbines properly
maintain and operate their combustion
turbines.
(B) Intermediate Load Subcategory
The proposed sliding scale
subcategorization approach essentially
included two subcategories within the
proposed intermediate load subcategory.
As proposed, simple cycle turbines
would be classified as intermediate load
combustion turbines when operated
between capacity factors of 20 percent
and approximately 40 percent while
combined cycle turbines would be
classified as intermediate load
combustion turbines when operated
between capacity factors of 20 percent
to approximately 55 percent. Owners/
operators of combined cycle turbines
operating at the high end of the
intermediate load subcategory would
only be subject to an emissions standard
based on a BSER of high-efficiency
design efficiency reduces the electric sales
threshold by half.
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simple cycle turbine technology. The
proposed approach provided a
regulatory incentive for owners/
operators to purchase the most efficient
technologies in exchange for additional
compliance flexibility. The use of a
prorated efficiency the EPA solicited
comment on would have lowered the
simple cycle and combined cycle
turbine thresholds to approximately 35
percent and 50 percent, respectively.
In this final rule, the BSER for the
intermediate load subcategory is
consistent with the proposal—highefficiency simple cycle turbine
technology. While not specifically
identified in the proposal, the BSER for
the base load subcategory is also
consistent with the proposal—the use of
combined cycle technology.728
The 12-operating month electric sales
(i.e., capacity factor) thresholds for the
stationary combustion turbine
subcategories in this final rule are
summarized below in Table 2.
TABLE 2—SALES THRESHOLDS FOR
SUBCATEGORIES OF COMBUSTION
TURBINE EGUS
Subcategory
12-Operating month
electric sales
threshold
(percent of potential
electric sales)
Low Load ......................
Intermediate Load .........
Base Load ....................
≤20
>20 and ≤40
>40
iv. Integrated Onsite Generation and
Energy Storage
Integrated equipment is currently
included as part of the affected facility,
and the EPA proposed and is finalizing
amended regulatory text to clarify that
the output from integrated renewables is
included as output when determining
the NSPS emissions rate. The EPA also
proposed that the output from the
integrated renewable generation is not
included when determining the net
electric sales for applicability purposes
(i.e., generation from integrated
renewables would not be considered
when determining if a combustion
turbine is subcategorized as a low,
intermediate, or base load combustion
turbine). In the alternative, the EPA
solicited comment on whether instead
of exempting the generation from the
integrated renewables from counting
toward electric sales, the potential
728 Under the proposed subcategorization
approach, for a combustion turbine to be
subcategorized as an intermediate load combustion
turbine while operating at capacity factors of greater
than 40 percent required the use of a HRSG (e.g.,
combined cycle turbine technology).
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output from the integrated renewables
would be included when determining
the design efficiency of the facility.
Since the design efficiency is used when
determining the electric sales threshold
this would increase the allowable
electric sales for subcategorization
purposes. Including the integrated
renewables when determining the
design efficiency of the affected facility
has the impact of increasing the
operational flexibility of owners/
operators of combustion turbines.
Commenters generally supported
maintaining that integrated renewables
are part of the affected facility and
including the output of the renewables
when determining the emissions rate of
the affected facility.729 Therefore, the
Agency is finalizing a decision that the
rated output of integrated renewables be
included when determining the design
efficiency of the affected facility, which
is used to determine the potential
electric output of the affected facility,
and that the output of the integrated
renewables be included in determining
the emissions rate of the affected
facility. However, since the design
efficiency is not a factor in determining
the subcategory thresholds in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, the output of
the integrated renewables will not be
included for determining the applicable
subcategory. If the output from the
integrated renewable generation were
included for subcategorization
purposes, this could discourage the use
of integrated renewables (or
curtailments) because affected facilities
could move to a subcategory with a
more stringent emissions standard that
could cause the owner/operator to be
out of compliance. The impact of this
approach is that the electric sales
threshold of the combustion turbine
island itself, not including the
integrated renewables, for an owner/
operator of a combustion turbine that
includes integrated renewables that
increase the potential electric output by
1 percent would be 1 or 2 percent higher
for the stationary combustion turbine
island not considering the integrated
renewables, depending on the design
efficiency of the combustion turbine
itself, than an identical combustion
turbine without integrated renewables.
In addition, when the output from the
integrated renewables is considered, the
output from the integrated renewables
729 The EPA did not propose to include, and is
not finalizing including, integrated renewables as
part of the BSER. Commenters opposed a BSER that
would include integrated renewables as part of the
BSER. Commenters noted that this could result in
renewables being installed in suboptimal locations
which could result in lower overall GHG
reductions.
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lowers the emissions rate of the affected
facility by approximately 1 percent.
For integrated energy storage
technologies, the EPA solicited
comment on and is finalizing a decision
to include the rated output of the energy
storage when determining the design
efficiency of the affected facility.
Similar to integrated renewables, this
increases the flexibility of owner/
operators to sell larger amounts of
electricity while remaining in the low,
variable, and intermediate load
subcategories. While energy storage
technologies have high capital costs,
operating costs are low and would
dispatch prior to the combustion turbine
the technology is integrated with.
Therefore, simple cycle turbines with
integrated energy storage would likely
operate at lower capacity factors than an
identical simple cycle turbine at the
same location. However, while the
energy storage might be charged with
renewables that would otherwise be
curtailed, there is no guarantee that low
emitting generation would be used to
charge the energy storage. Therefore, the
output from the energy storage is not
considered in either determining the
NSPS emissions rate or as net electric
sales for subcategorization applicability
purposes. In future rulemaking the
Agency could further evaluate the
impact of integrated energy storage on
the operation of simple cycle turbines to
determine if the number of starts and
stops are reduced and increases the
efficiency of simple cycle turbines
relative to simple cycle turbines without
integrated energy storage. If this is the
case, it could be appropriate to lower
the threshold for combustion turbines
subject to a lower emitting fuels BSER
because emission rates would be stable
at lower capacity factors.
v. Definition of System Emergency
In 2015, the EPA included a provision
that electricity sold during hours of
operation when a unit is called upon
due to a system emergency is not
counted toward the percentage electric
sales subcategorization threshold in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT.730 The
Agency concluded that this exclusion is
necessary to provide flexibility,
maintain system reliability, and
minimize overall costs to the sector.731
The intent is that the local grid operator
will determine the EGUs essential to
maintaining grid reliability. Subsequent
to the 2015 NSPS, members of the
730 In 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, electricity
sold by units that are not called upon to operate due
to a system emergency (e.g., units already operating
when the system emergency is declared) is counted
toward the percentage electric sales threshold.
731 See 80 FR 64612; October 23, 2015.
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regulated community informed the EPA
that additional clarification of a system
emergency is needed to determine and
document generation during system
emergencies. The EPA proposed to
include the system emergency approach
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, and
solicited comment on amending the
definition of system emergency to
clarify in implementation in 40 CFR
part 60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa.
Commenters generally agreed with the
proposal to allow owners/operators of
EGUs called upon during a system
emergency to operate without impacting
the EGUs’ subcategorization (i.e.,
electric sales during system emergencies
would not be considered when
determining net electric sales), and that
the Agency should clarify how system
emergencies are determined and
documented.
In terms of the definition of the
system emergency provision,
commenters stated that ‘‘abnormal’’ be
deleted from the definition, and instead
of referencing ‘‘the Regional
Transmission Organizations (RTO),
Independent System Operators (ISO) or
control area Administrator,’’ the
definition should reference ‘‘the
balancing authority or reliability
coordinator.’’ This change would align
the regulation’s definition with the
terms used by NERC. Some commenters
also stated that the EPA should specify
that electric sales during periods the
grid operator declares energy emergency
alerts (EEA) levels 1 through 3 be
included in the definition of system
emergency.732 In addition, some
commenters stated that the definition
should be expanded to include the
concept of energy emergencies.
Specifically, the definition should also
exempt generation during periods when
a load-serving entity or balancing
authority has exhausted all other
resource options and can no longer meet
its expected load obligations. Finally,
commenters stated that the definition
should apply to all EGUs, regardless of
if they are already operating when the
system emergency is declared. This
would avoid regulatory incentive to
come offline prior to a potential system
emergency to be eligible for the electric
sales exemption and would treat all
EGUs similarly during system
emergencies (i.e., not penalize EGUs
that are already operating to maintain
732 Commenters noted that grid operators have
slightly different terms for grid emergencies, but
example descriptions include: EEA 1, all available
generation online and non-firm wholesale sales
curtailed; EEA 2, load management procedures in
effect, all available generation units online,
demand-response programs in effect; and EEA 3,
firm load interruption is imminent or in progress.
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grid reliability and avoiding the need to
declare grid emergencies).
The Agency is including the system
emergency concept in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, along with a definition
that clarifies how to determine
generation during periods of system
emergencies. The EPA agrees with
commenters that the definition of
system emergency should be clarified
and that it should not be limited to
EGUs not operating when the system
emergency is declared. Based on
information provided by entities with
reliability expertise, the EPA has
determined that a system emergency
should be defined to include EEA levels
2 and 3. These EEA levels generally
correspond to time-limited, welldefined, and relatively infrequent
situations in which the system is
experiencing an energy deficiency.
During EEA level 2 and 3 events, all
available generation is online and
demand-response or other load
management procedures are in effect, or
firm load interruption is imminent or in
progress. The EPA believes it is
appropriate to exclude hours of
operation during such events in order to
ensure that EGUs are not impeded from
maintaining or increasing their output
as needed to respond to a declared
energy emergency. Because these events
tend to be short, infrequent, and welldefined, the EPA also believes any
incremental GHG emissions associated
with operations during these periods
would be relatively limited.
The EPA has determined not to
include EEA level 1 in the definition of
a ‘‘system emergency.’’ The EPA’s
understanding is that EEA level 1 events
often include situations in which an
energy deficiency does not yet exist, and
in which balancing authorities are
preparing to pursue various options for
either bringing additional resources
online or managing load. The EPA also
understands that EEA level 1 events
tend to be more frequently declared, and
longer in duration, than level 2 or 3
events. Based on this information, the
EPA believes that including EEA level 1
events in the definition of a ‘‘system
emergency’’ would carry a greater risk of
increasing overall GHG emissions
without making a meaningful
contribution to supporting reliability.
This approach balances the need to have
operational flexibility when the grid
may be strained to help ensure that all
available generating sources are
available for grid reliability, while
balancing with important considerations
about potential GHG emission tradeoffs.
The EPA is also amending the definition
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, to be
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consistent with the definition in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa.
Commenters also added that
operation during system emergencies
should be subject to alternate standards
of performance (e.g., owners/operators
are not required to use the CCS system
during system emergencies to increase
power output). The EPA agrees with
commenters that since system
emergencies are defined and historically
rare events, an alternate standard of
performance should apply during these
periods. Carbon capture systems require
significant amounts of energy to operate.
Allowing owners/operators of EGUs
equipped with CCS systems to
temporarily reduce the capture rate or
cease capture will increase the
electricity available to end users during
system emergencies. In place of the
applicable output-based emissions
standard, the owner/operator of an
intermediate or base load combustion
turbine would be subject to a BSER
based on the combustion of loweremitting fuels during system
emergencies.733 The emissions and
output would not be included when
calculating the 12-operating month
emissions rate. The EPA considered an
alternate emissions standard based on
efficient generation but rejected that for
multiple reasons. First, since system
emergencies are limited in nature the
emissions calculation would include a
limited number of hours and would not
necessarily be representative of an
achievable longer-term emissions rate.
In addition, EGUs that are designed to
operate with CCS will not necessarily
operate as efficiently without the CCS
system operating compared to a similar
EGU without a CCS system. Therefore,
the Agency is not able to determine a
reasonable efficiency-based alternate
emissions standard for periods of
system emergencies. Due to both the
costs and time associated with starting
and stopping the CCS system, the
Agency has determined it is unlikely
that an owner/operator of an affected
facility would use it where it is not
needed. System emergencies have
historically been relatively brief and any
hours of operation outside of the system
emergencies are included when
determining the output-based emissions
standard. During short-duration system
emergencies, the costs associated with
stopping and starting the CCS system
could outweigh the increased revenue
733 For
owners/operators of combustion turbines
the lower emitting fuels requirement is defined to
include fuels with an emissions rate of 160 lb CO2/
MMBtu or less. For owners/operators of steam
generating units or IGCC facilities the EPA is
requiring the use of the maximum amount of noncoal fuels available to the affected facility.
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from the additional electric sales. In
addition, the time associated with
starting and stopping a CCS system
would likely result in an EGU operating
without the CCS system in operation
during periods of non-system
emergencies. This would require the
owner/operator to overcontrol during
other periods of operation to maintain
emissions below the applicable standard
of performance. Therefore, it is likely an
owner/operator would unnecessarily
adjust the operation of the CCS system
during EEA levels 2 and 3.
In addition to these measures, DOE
has authority pursuant to section 202(c)
of the Federal Power Act to, on its own
motion or by request, order, among
other things, the temporary generation
of electricity from particular sources in
certain emergency conditions, including
during events that would result in a
shortage of electric energy, when the
Secretary of Energy determines that
doing so will meet the emergency and
serve the public interest. An affected
source operating pursuant to such an
order is deemed not to be operating in
violation of its environmental
requirements. Such orders may be
issued for 90 days and may be extended
in 90-day increments after consultation
with the EPA. DOE has historically
issued section 202(c) orders at the
request of electric generators and grid
operators such as RTOs in order to
enable the supply of additional
generation in times of expected
emergency-related generation shortfalls.
c. Multi-Fuel-Fired Combustion
Turbines
In 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
multi-fuel-fired combustion turbines are
subcategorized as EGUs that combust 10
percent or more of fuels not meeting the
definition of natural gas on a 12operating month rolling average basis.
The BSER for this subcategory is the use
of lower-emitting fuels with a
corresponding heat input-based
standard of performance of 120 to 160
lb CO2/MMBtu, depending on the fuel,
for newly constructed and reconstructed
multi-fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines.734 Lower-emitting fuels for
these units include natural gas,
ethylene, propane, naphtha, jet fuel
kerosene, Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils,
biodiesel, and landfill gas. The
definition of natural gas in 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, includes fuel that
maintains a gaseous state at ISO
conditions, is composed of 70 percent
734 Combustion turbines co-firing natural gas with
other fuels must determine fuel-based site-specific
standards at the end of each operating month. The
site-specific standards depend on the amount of cofired natural gas. 80 FR 64616 (October 23, 2015).
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39915
by volume or more methane, and has a
heating value of between 35 and 41
megajoules (MJ) per dry standard cubic
meter (dscm) (950 and 1,100 Btu per dry
standard cubic foot). Natural gas
typically contains 95 percent methane
and has a heating value of 1,050 Btu/
lb.735 A potential issue with the multifuel subcategory is that owners/
operators of simple cycle turbines can
elect to burn 10 percent non-natural gas
fuels, such as Nos. 1 or 2 fuel oil, and
thereby remain in that subcategory,
regardless of their electric sales. As a
result, they would remain subject to the
less stringent standard that applies to
multi-fuel-fired sources, the loweremitting fuels standard. This could
allow less efficient combustion turbine
designs to operate as base load units
without having to improve efficiency
and could allow EGUs to avoid the need
for efficient design or best operating and
maintenance practices. These potential
circumventions would result in higher
GHG emissions.
To avoid these outcomes, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing a decision
not to include the multi-fuel
subcategory for low, intermediate, and
base load combustion turbines in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa. This
means that new multi-fuel-fired turbines
that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023, will
fall within a particular subcategory
depending on their level of electric
sales. The EPA also proposed and is
finalizing a decision that the
performance standards for each
subcategory be adjusted appropriately
for multi-fuel-fired turbines to reflect
the application of the BSER for the
subcategories to turbines burning fuels
with higher GHG emission rates than
natural gas. To be consistent with the
definition of lower-emitting fuels in the
2015 NSPS, the maximum allowable
heat input-based emissions rate is 160 lb
CO2/MMBtu. For example, a standard of
performance based on efficient
generation would be 33 percent higher
for a fuel oil-fired combustion turbine
compared to a natural gas-fired
combustion turbine. This assures that
the BSER, in this case efficient
generation, is applied, while at the same
time accounting for the use of multiple
fuels.
735 Note that according to 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, combustion turbines co-firing 25 percent
hydrogen by volume could be subcategorized as
multi-fuel-fired EGUs because the percent methane
by volume could fall below 70 percent, the heating
value could fall below 35 MJ/Sm3, and 10 percent
of the heat input could be coming from a fuel not
meeting the definition of natural gas.
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d. Rural Areas and Small Utility
Distribution Systems
As part of the original proposal and
during the Small Business Advocacy
Review (SBAR) outreach the EPA
solicited comment on creating a
subcategory for rural electric
cooperatives and small utility
distribution systems (serving 50,000
customers or less). Commenters
expressed concerns that a BSER based
on either co-firing hydrogen or CCS may
present an additional hardship on
economically disadvantaged
communities and on small entities, and
that the EPA should evaluate potential
increased energy costs, transmission
upgrade costs, and infrastructure
encroachment which may directly affect
the disproportionately impacted
communities. As described in section
VIII.F, the BSER for new stationary
combustion turbines does not include
hydrogen co-firing and CCS qualifies as
the BSER for base load combustion
turbines on a nationwide basis.
Therefore, the EPA has determined that
a subcategory for rural cooperatives
and/or small utility distribution systems
is not appropriate.
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F. Determination of the Best System of
Emission Reduction (BSER) for New and
Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbines
In this section, the EPA describes the
technologies it proposed as the BSER for
each of the subcategories of new and
reconstructed combustion turbines that
commence construction after May 23,
2023, as well as topics for which the
Agency solicited comment. In the
following section, the EPA describes the
technologies it is determining are the
final BSER for each of the three
subcategories of affected combustion
turbines and explains its basis for
selecting those controls, and not others,
as the final BSER. The controls that the
EPA evaluated included combusting
non-hydrogen lower-emitting fuels (e.g.,
natural gas and distillate oil), using
highly efficient generation, using CCS,
and co-firing with low-GHG hydrogen.
For the low load subcategory, the EPA
proposed the use of lower-emitting fuels
as the BSER. This was consistent with
the BSER and performance standards
established in the 2015 NSPS for the
non-base load subcategory as discussed
earlier in section VIII.C.
For the intermediate load subcategory,
the EPA proposed an approach under
which the BSER was made up of two
components: (1) highly efficient
generation; and (2) co-firing 30 percent
(by volume) low-GHG hydrogen. Each
component of the BSER represented a
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different set of controls, and those
controls formed the basis of
corresponding standards of performance
that applied in two phases. Specifically,
the EPA proposed that affected facilities
(i.e., facilities that commence
construction or reconstruction after May
23, 2023) could apply the first
component of the BSER (i.e., highly
efficient generation) upon initial startup
to meet the first phase of the standard
of performance. Then, by 2032, the EPA
proposed that affected facilities could
apply the second component of the
BSER (i.e., co-firing 30 percent (by
volume) low-GHG hydrogen) to meet a
second and more stringent standard of
performance. The EPA also solicited
comment on whether the intermediate
load subcategory should apply a third
component of the BSER: co-firing 96
percent (by volume) low-GHG hydrogen
by 2038. In addition, the EPA solicited
comment on whether the low load
subcategory should also apply the
second component of BSER, co-firing 30
percent (by volume) low-GHG hydrogen,
by 2032. The Agency proposed that
these latter components of the BSER
would continue to include the
application of highly efficient
generation.
For the base load subcategory, the
EPA also proposed a multi-component
BSER and multi-phase standard of
performance. The EPA proposed that
each new base load combustion turbine
would be required to meet a phase-1
standard of performance based on the
application of the first component of the
BSER—highly efficient generation—
upon initial startup of the affected
source. For the second component of the
BSER, the EPA proposed two potential
technology pathways for base load
combustion turbines with
corresponding standards of
performance. One proposed technology
pathway was 90 percent CCS, which
base load combustion turbines would
install and begin to operate by 2035 to
meet the phase-2 standard of
performance. A second proposed
technology pathway was co-firing lowGHG hydrogen, which base load
combustion turbines would implement
in two steps: (1) By co-firing 30 percent
(by volume) low-GHG hydrogen to meet
the phase-2 standard of performance by
2032, and (2) by co-firing 96 percent (by
volume) low-GHG hydrogen to meet a
phase 3 standard of performance by
2038. Throughout, the Agency proposed
base load turbines, like intermediate
load turbines, would remain subject to
the first component of the BSER based
on highly efficient generation.
The proposed approach reflected the
EPA’s view that the BSER components
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for the intermediate load and base load
subcategories could achieve deeper
reductions in GHG emissions by
implementing CCS and co-firing lowGHG hydrogen. This proposed approach
also recognized that building the
infrastructure required to support
widespread use of CCS and low-GHG
hydrogen technologies in the power
sector will take place on a multi-year
time scale. Accordingly, new and
reconstructed facilities would be aware
of their need to ramp toward more
stringent phases of the standards, which
would reflect application of the more
stringent controls in the BSER. This
would occur either by co-firing a lower
percentage (by volume) of low-GHG
hydrogen by 2032 and a higher
percentage (by volume) of low-GHG
hydrogen by 2038, or with installation
and use of CCS by 2035. The EPA also
solicited comment on the potential for
an earlier compliance date for the
second phase.
For the base load subcategory, the
EPA proposed two potential BSER
pathways because the Agency believed
there was more than one viable
technology for these combustion
turbines to significantly reduce their
CO2 emissions. The Agency also found
value in receiving comments on, and
potentially finalizing, both BSER
pathways to enable project developers
to elect how they would reduce their
CO2 emissions on timeframes that make
sense for each BSER pathway.736 The
EPA solicited comment on whether the
co-firing of low-GHG hydrogen should
be considered a compliance pathway for
sources to meet a single standard of
performance based on the application of
CCS rather than a separate BSER
pathway. The EPA proposed that there
would be earlier opportunities for units
to begin co-firing lower amounts of lowGHG hydrogen than to install and begin
operating 90 percent CCS systems.
However, the Agency proposed that it
would likely take longer for those units
to increase their co-firing to significant
quantities of low-GHG hydrogen.
Therefore, in the proposal, the EPA
presented the BSER pathways as
separate subcategories and solicited
comment on the option of finalizing a
single standard of performance based on
the application of CCS.
For the low load subcategory, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing that the BSER
is the use of lower-emitting fuels. For
the intermediate load subcategory, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing that the
736 The EPA recognizes that standards of
performance are technology neutral and that a
standard based on application of CCS could be
achieved by co-firing hydrogen.
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BSER is highly efficient generating
technology—simple cycle technology as
well as operating and maintaining it
efficiently.737 The EPA is not finalizing
a second component of the BSER or a
phase-2 standard of performance for
intermediate load combustion turbines
at this time. For the base load
subcategory, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing that the first component of the
BSER is highly efficient generating
technology—combined cycle technology
as well as operating and maintaining it
efficiently. The EPA proposed and is
finalizing a second component of the
BSER or a phase-2 standard of
performance for base load combustion
turbines—efficient generation in
combination with 90 percent CCS.
The EPA is not finalizing low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing as the second
component of the BSER for the
intermediate load or base load
combustion turbines at this time. (See
section VIII.F.5.b for the EPA’s
explanation of this decision.) With
respect to the CCS pathway for base
load combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a second phase of the
standards of performance that includes
a single CCS BSER pathway, which
includes the use of highly efficient
generation and 90 percent CCS. Owners/
39917
operators of new and reconstructed base
load combustion turbines will be
required to meet the second phase
standards of performance for 12operating month rolling averages that
begin on or after January 2032, that
reflect application of both the phase-1
and phase-2 components of the BSER.
Table 3 of this document summarizes
the final BSER for combustion turbine
EGUs that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023. The
EPA is finalizing standards of
performance based on those BSER for
each subcategory, as discussed in
section VIII.G.
TABLE 3—FINAL BSER FOR COMBUSTION TURBINE EGUS
Subcategory 1
Fuel
1st Component BSER
Low Load .......................................
Intermediate Load .........................
All Fuels ...........
All Fuels ............
Base Load .....................................
All Fuels ...........
lower-emitting fuels .......................
Highly Efficient Simple Cycle Generation.
Highly Efficient Combined Cycle
Generation.
2nd Component BSER
N/A.
N/A.
Highly Efficient Combined Cycle Generation Plus
90 Percent CCS Beginning in 2032.
1 The low load subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling 20 percent or less of their potential electric output, the intermediate
load subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling greater than 20 percent and less than or equal to 40 percent of their potential electric output, and the base load subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling greater than 40 percent of their potential electric output.
The 2015 NSPS defined non-base load
natural gas-fired EGUs as stationary
combustion turbines that (1) burn more
than 90 percent natural gas and (2) have
net electric sales equal to or less than
their design efficiency (not to exceed 50
percent) multiplied by their potential
electric output (80 FR 64601; October
23, 2015). These are calculated on 12operating month and 3-calendar year
rolling average bases. The EPA also
determined in the 2015 NSPS that the
BSER for newly constructed and
reconstructed non-base load natural gasfired stationary combustion turbines is
the use of lower-emitting fuels. Id. at
64515. These lower-emitting fuels are
primarily natural gas with a small
allowance for distillate oil (i.e., Nos. 1
and 2 fuel oils), which have been widely
used in stationary combustion turbine
EGUs for decades.
The EPA also determined in the 2015
NSPS that the standard of performance
for sources in this subcategory is a heat
input-based standard of 120 lb CO2/
MMBtu. The EPA established this cleanfuels BSER for this subcategory because
of the variability in the operation in
non-base load combustion turbines and
the challenges involved in determining
a uniform output-based standard that all
new and reconstructed non-base load
units could achieve.
Specifically, in the 2015 NSPS, the
EPA recognized that a BSER for the nonbase load subcategory based on the use
of lower-emitting fuels results in limited
GHG reductions, but further recognized
that an output-based standard of
performance could not reasonably be
applied to the subcategory. The EPA
explained that a combustion turbine
operating at a low capacity factor could
operate with multiple starts and stops,
and that its emission rate would be
highly dependent on how it was
operated and not its design efficiency.
Moreover, combustion turbines with
low annual capacity factors typically
operated differently from each other,
and therefore had different emission
rates. The EPA recognized that, as a
result, at the time it would not be
possible to determine a standard of
performance that could reasonably
apply to all combustion turbines in the
subcategory. For that reason, the EPA
further recognized, efficient design 738
and operation would not qualify as the
BSER; rather, the BSER should be loweremitting fuels and the associated
standard of performance should be
based on heat input. Since the 2015
NSPS, all newly constructed simple
cycle turbines have been non-base load
units and thus have become subject to
this standard of performance.
737 The EPA sometimes refers to highly efficient
generating technology in combination with the best
operating and maintenance practices as highly
efficient generation. The affected sources must meet
standards based on this efficient generating
technology upon the effective date of the final rule.
738 Important characteristics for minimizing
emissions from low load combustion turbines
include the ability to operate efficiently while
operating at part load conditions and the ability to
rapidly achieve maximum efficiency to minimize
periods of operation at lower efficiencies. These
characteristics do not necessarily always align with
higher design efficiencies that are determined under
steady-state full-load conditions.
1. BSER for Low Load Subcategory
This section describes the BSER for
the low load (i.e., peaking) subcategory
at this time, which is the use of loweremitting fuels. The Agency proposed
and is finalizing a determination that
the use of lower-emitting fuels, which
the EPA determined to be the BSER for
the non-base load subcategory in the
2015 NSPS, is the BSER for this low
load subcategory. As explained in
section VIII.E.2.b, the EPA is narrowing
the definition of the low load
subcategory by lowering the electric
sales threshold (as compared to the
electric sales threshold for non-base
load combustion turbines in the 2015
NSPS), so that combustion turbines with
higher electric sales would be placed in
the intermediate load subcategory and
therefore be subject to a more stringent
standard based on the more stringent
BSER.
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a. Background: The Non-Base Load
Subcategory in the 2015 NSPS
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b. BSER
Consistent with the rationale of the
2015 NSPS, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing that the use of fuels with an
emissions rate of less than 160 lb CO2/
MMBtu (i.e., lower-emitting fuels) meets
the BSER requirements for the low load
subcategory at this time. Use of these
fuels is technically feasible for
combustion turbines. Natural gas
comprises the majority of the heat input
for simple cycle turbines and is the
lowest cost fossil fuel. In the 2015
NSPS, the EPA determined that natural
gas comprised 96 percent of the heat
input for simple cycle turbines. See 80
FR 64616 (October 23, 2015). Therefore,
a BSER based on the use of natural gas
and/or distillate oil would have
minimal, if any, costs to regulated
entities. The use of lower-emitting fuels
would not have any significant adverse
energy requirements or non-air quality
or environmental impacts, as the EPA
determined in the 2015 NSPS. Id. at
64616. In addition, the use of fuels
meeting this criterion would result in
some emission reductions by limiting
the use of fuels with higher carbon
content, such as residual oil, as the EPA
also explained in the 2015 NSPS. Id.
Although the use of fuels meeting this
criterion would not advance technology,
in light of the other reasons described
here, the EPA proposed and is finalizing
that the use of natural gas, Nos. 1 and
2 fuel oils, and other fuels 739 currently
specified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, qualify as the BSER for new and
reconstructed combustion turbine EGUs
in the low load subcategory at this time.
The EPA also proposed including lowGHG hydrogen on the list of fuels
meeting the uniform fuels criteria in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa. The EPA
is finalizing the inclusion of hydrogen,
regardless of the production pathway,
on the list of fuels meeting the uniform
fuels criteria in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTTa.740 The addition of hydrogen
(and fuels derived from hydrogen) to 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, simplifies
the recordkeeping and reporting
requirements for low load combustion
turbines that elect to burn hydrogen.
For the reasons discussed in the 2015
NSPS and noted above, the EPA did not
propose that efficient design and
operation qualify as the BSER for the
low load subcategory. The emissions
rate of a low load combustion turbine is
739 The BSER for multi-fuel-fired combustion
turbines subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
is also the use of fuels with an emissions rate of
160 lb CO2/MMBtu or less. The use of these fuels
will demonstrate compliance with the low load
subcategory.
740 The EPA is not finalizing a definition of lowGHG hydrogen.
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highly dependent upon the way the
specific combustion turbine is operated.
For example, a combustion turbine with
multiple startups and shutdowns and
operation at part loads will have high
emissions relative to if it were operated
at steady-state high-load conditions.
Important characteristics for reducing
GHG emissions from low load
combustion turbines are the ability to
minimize emissions during periods of
startup and shutdown and efficient
operation at part loads and while
changing loads. If the combustion
turbine is frequently operated at partload conditions with frequent starts and
stops, a combustion turbine with a high
design efficiency, which is determined
at full-load steady-state conditions,
would not necessarily emit at a lower
GHG rate than a combustion turbine
with a lower design efficiency. In
addition, combustion turbines with
higher design efficiencies have higher
initial costs compared to combustion
turbines with lower design efficiencies.
Since the EPA does not have sufficient
information at this time to determine
emission reduction for the subcategory
it is not possible to determine the cost
effectiveness of a BSER based on high
efficiency simple cycle turbines.741
The EPA solicited comment on
whether, and the extent to which, highefficiency designs also operate more
efficiently at part loads and can start
more quickly and reach the desired load
more rapidly than combustion turbines
with less efficient design efficiencies. In
addition, the EPA solicited comment on
the cost premium of high-efficiency
simple cycle turbines. To the extent the
Agency received additional relevant
information, the EPA was considering
promulgating design standard
requirements pursuant to CAA section
111(h). However, the EPA did not
receive comments that changed the
proposal conclusions.
The EPA did not propose the use of
CCS or hydrogen co-firing as the BSER
(or as a component of the BSER) for low
load combustion turbines. The EPA did
not propose that CCS is the BSER for
simple cycle turbines based on the
Agency’s assessment that currently
available post-combustion amine-based
carbon capture systems require that the
exhaust from a combustion turbine be
cooled prior to entering the carbon
capture equipment. The most energy
efficient way to cool the exhaust gas is
to use a HRSG, which is an integral
component of a combined cycle turbine
741 The cost effectiveness calculation is highly
dependent upon assumptions concerning the
increase in capital costs, the decrease in heat rate,
and the price of natural gas.
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system but is not incorporated in a
simple cycle unit. For this reason and
due to the high costs of CCS for low
load combustion turbines, the Agency
did not propose and is not finalizing a
determination that CCS qualifies as the
BSER for this subcategory of sources.
The EPA did not propose low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing as the BSER for low
load combustion turbines because not
all new combustion turbines can
necessarily co-fire higher percentages of
hydrogen, there are potential
infrastructure issues specific to low load
combustion turbines, and at the
relatively infrequent levels of utilization
that characterize the low load
subcategory, a low-GHG hydrogen cofiring BSER would not necessarily result
in cost-effective GHG reductions for all
low load combustion turbines. As
discussed later in this section, the
Agency is not determining that lowGHG hydrogen co-firing qualifies as the
BSER for combustion turbines. In future
rulemaking the Agency could further
evaluate the costs and emissions
performance of other technologies to
reduce emissions from low-load units to
determine if other technologies qualify
as the BSER.
2. BSER for Intermediate Load
Subcategory
This section describes the BSER for
new and reconstructed combustion
turbines in the intermediate load
subcategory. For combustion turbines in
the intermediate load subcategory, the
BSER is the use of high-efficiency
simple cycle turbine technology in
combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices.
a. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing lower-emitting fuels as the
BSER for intermediate load combustion
turbines because, as described earlier in
this section, it would achieve few GHG
emission reductions compared to highly
efficient generation.
b. Highly Efficient Generation
This section includes a discussion of
the various highly efficient generation
technologies used by owners/operators
of combustion turbines. The appropriate
technology depends on how the
combustion turbine is operated, and the
EPA has determined it does not have
sufficient information to determine an
appropriate output-based emissions
standard for low load combustion
turbines. At higher capacity factors,
emission rates for simple cycle
combustion turbines are more
consistent, and the EPA has sufficient
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information to determine a BSER other
than lower-emitting fuels.
The use of highly efficient generating
technology in combination with the best
operating and maintenance practices
has been demonstrated by multiple
facilities for decades. Notably, over
time, as technologies have improved,
what is considered highly efficient has
changed as well. Highly efficient
generating technology is available and
offered by multiple vendors for both
simple cycle and combined cycle
turbines. Both types of combustion
turbines can also employ best operating
and maintenance practices, which
include routine operating and
maintenance practices that minimize
fuel use.
For simple cycle turbines,
manufacturers continue to improve the
efficiency by increasing firing
temperature, increasing pressure ratios,
using intercooling on the air
compressor, and adopting other
measures. These improved designs
allow for improved operating
efficiencies and reduced emission rates.
Design efficiencies of simple cycle
turbines range from 33 to 40 percent.
Best operating practices for simple cycle
turbines include proper maintenance of
the combustion turbine flow path
components and the use of inlet air
cooling to reduce efficiency losses
during periods of high ambient
temperatures.
For combined cycle turbines, highefficiency technology uses a highly
efficient combustion turbine engine
matched with a high-efficiency HRSG.
The most efficient combined cycle EGUs
use HRSG with three different steam
pressures and incorporate a steam
reheat cycle to maximize the efficiency
of the Rankine cycle. It is not
necessarily practical for owners/
operators of combined cycle facilities
using a turbine engine with an exhaust
temperature below 593 °C or a steam
turbine engine smaller than 60 MW to
incorporate a steam reheat cycle.
Smaller combustion turbine engines,
less than those rated at approximately
2,000 MMBtu/h, tend to have lower
exhaust temperatures and are paired
with steam turbines of 60 MW or less.
These smaller combined cycle units are
limited to using a HRSG with three
different steam pressures, but without a
reheat cycle. This increases the heat rate
of the combined cycle unit by
approximately 2 percent. High
efficiency also includes, but is not
limited to, the use of the most efficient
steam turbine and minimizing energy
losses using insulation and blowdown
heat recovery. Best operating and
maintenance practices include, but are
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not limited to, minimizing steam leaks,
minimizing air infiltration, and cleaning
and maintaining heat transfer surfaces.
A potential drawback of combined
cycle turbines with the highest design
efficiencies is that the facility is
relatively complicated and startup times
can be relatively long. Combustion
turbine manufacturers have invested in
fast-start technologies that reduce
startup times and improve overall
efficiencies. According to the NETL
Baseline Flexible Operation Report,
while the design efficiencies are the
same, the capital costs of fast-start
combined cycle turbines are 1.6 percent
higher than a comparable conventional
start combined cycle facility.742 The
additional costs include design
parameters that significantly reduce
start times. However, fast-start
combined cycle turbines are still
significantly less flexible than simple
cycle turbines and generally do not
serve the same role. The startup time to
full load from a hot start takes a simple
cycle turbine 5 to 8 minutes, while a
combined cycle turbines ranges from 30
minutes for a fast-start combined cycle
turbine to 90 minutes for a conventional
start combined cycle turbine. The
startup time to full load from a cold start
takes a simple cycle turbine 10 minutes,
while a combined cycle turbines ranges
from 120 minutes for a fast-start
combined cycle turbine to 250 minutes
for a conventional start combined cycle
turbine. In addition, fast-start combined
cycle turbines require the use of an
auxiliary boiler during warm and cold
starts.743 In addition, minimum run
times for simple cycle aeroderivative
engines and combined cycle EGUs equal
one minute and 120 minutes,
respectively. Minimum downtime for
the same group is five minutes and 60
minutes, respectively. Finally, simple
cycle aeroderivative turbines have no
limit to the number of starts per year.
Combined cycle EGUs are limited in the
number of starts, and additional
maintenance costs will occur if the
hours/start ratio drops below 25. The
model combined cycle turbines in the
NETL Baseline Flexible Operation
Report use a HRSG with three different
steam pressures and a reheat cycle.
While the use of this type of HRSG
increases design efficiencies at steady
state conditions, it increases the capital
costs and decreases the flexibility (e.g.,
742 ‘‘Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil
Energy Plants, Volume 5: Natural Gas Electricity
Generating Units for Flexible Operation.’’ DOE/
NETL–2023/3855. May 5, 2023.
743 Fast start combined cycle turbine do not use
an auxiliary boiler during hot starts and
conventional start combined cycle turbine do not
have auxiliary boilers.
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39919
longer start times) of the combined cycle
turbine. While less common, combined
cycle turbines can be designed with a
relatively simple HRSG that produces
either a single or two pressures of steam
without a reheat cycle. While design
efficiencies are lower, the combined
cycle turbines are more flexible and
have the potential to operate similar to
at least a portion of the simple cycle
turbines in the intermediate load
subcategory and provide the same value
to the grid.
The EPA solicited comment on
whether additional technologies for new
simple and combined cycle EGUs that
could reduce emissions beyond what is
currently being achieved by the best
performing EGUs should be included in
the BSER. Specifically, the EPA sought
comment on whether pressure gain
combustion should be incorporated into
a standard of performance based on an
efficient generation BSER for both
simple and combined cycle turbines. In
addition, the EPA sought comment on
whether the HRSG for combined cycle
turbines should be designed to utilize
supercritical steam conditions or to
utilize supercritical CO2 as the working
fluid instead of water; whether useful
thermal output could be recovered from
a compressor intercooler and boiler
blowdown; and whether fuel preheating
should be implemented. Commenters
generally noted that these technologies
are promising, but that because the EPA
did not sufficiently evaluate the BSER
criteria in the proposal and none of
these technologies should be
incorporated as part of the BSER. The
EPA continues to believe these
technologies are promising, but the
Agency is not including them as part of
the BSER at this time.
The EPA also solicited comment on
whether the use of steam injection is
applicable to intermediate load
combustion turbines. Steam injection is
the use of a relatively simple and lowcost HRSG to produce steam, but
instead of recovering the energy by
expanding the steam through a steam
turbine, the steam is injected into the
compressor and/or through the fuel
nozzles directly into the combustion
chamber and the energy is extracted by
the combustion turbine engine.744
Advantages of steam injection include
improved efficiency and increased
output of the combustion turbine as
well as reduced NOX emissions.
Combustion turbines using steam
744 A steam injected combustion turbine would be
considered a combined cycle combustion turbine
(for NSPS purposes) because energy from the
turbine engine exhaust is recovered in a HRSG and
that energy is used to generate additional
electricity.
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injection have characteristics inbetween simple cycle and combined
cycle combustion turbines. They are
more efficient, but more complex and
have higher capital costs than simple
cycle combustion turbines without
steam injection. Conversely, compared
to combined cycle EGUs, simple cycle
combustion turbines using steam
injection are simpler, have shorter
construction times, and have lower
capital costs, but have lower
efficiencies.745 746 Combustion turbines
using steam injection can start quickly,
have good part-load performance, and
can respond to rapid changes in
demand, making the technology a
potential solution for reducing GHG
emissions from intermediate load
combustion turbines. A potential
drawback of steam injection is that the
additional pressure drop across the
HRSG can reduce the efficiency of the
combustion turbine when the facility is
running without the steam injection
operating.
The EPA is aware of a limited number
of combustion turbines that are using
steam injection that have maintained
12-operating month emission rates of
less than 1,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Commenters stated that steam injection
does not qualify as the BSER because it
has not been adequately demonstrated
and the EPA did not include sufficient
analysis of the technology in the
proposal to determine it as the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
The EPA continues to believe the
technology is promising and it may be
used to comply with the standard of
performance, but the Agency is not
determining that it is the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines
at this time. In a potential future
rulemaking, the Agency could further
evaluate the costs and emissions
performance of steam injection to
determine if the technology qualifies as
the BSER.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA proposed and is finalizing
that highly efficient simple cycle
designs are adequately demonstrated
because highly efficient simple cycle
turbines have been demonstrated by
multiple facilities for decades, the
efficiency improvements of the most
efficient designs are incremental in
nature and do not change in any
745 Bahrami, S., et al. (2015). Performance
Comparison between Steam Injected Gas Turbine
and Combined Cycle during Frequency Drops.
Energies 2015, Volume 8. https://doi.org/10.3390/
en8087582.
746 Mitsubishi Power. Smart-AHAT (Advanced
Humid Air Turbine). https://power.mhi.com/
products/gasturbines/technology/smart-ahat.
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significant way how the combustion
turbine is operated or maintained, and
the levels of efficiency that the EPA is
proposing have been achieved by many
recently constructed combustion
turbines. Therefore, efficient generation
technology described in this BSER is
commercially available and the
standards of performance are
achievable.
ii. Costs
In general, advanced generation
technologies enhance operational
efficiency compared to lower efficiency
designs. Such technologies present little
incremental capital cost compared to
other types of technologies that may be
considered for new and reconstructed
sources. In addition, more efficient
designs have lower fuel costs, which
offsets at least a portion of the increase
in capital costs.
For the intermediate load subcategory,
the EPA considers that the costs of highefficiency simple cycle combustion
turbines are reasonable. As described in
the subcategory section, the cost of
combustion turbine engines is
dependent upon many factors, but the
EPA estimates that that the capital cost
of a high-efficiency simple cycle turbine
is 10 percent more than a comparable
lower efficiency simple cycle turbine.
Assuming all other costs are the same
and that the high-efficiency simple
cycle turbine uses 8 percent less fuel,
high-efficiency simple cycle combustion
turbines have a lower LCOE compared
to standard efficiency simple cycle
combustion turbines at a 12-operating
month capacity factor of approximately
31 percent. At a 20 percent and 15
percent capacity factors, the compliance
costs are $1.5/MWh and $35/metric ton
and $3.0/MWh and $69/metric ton,
respectively. The EPA has determined
that the incremental costs the use of
high efficiency simple cycle turbines as
the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines is reasonable. The
EPA notes that the approach the Agency
used to estimate these costs have a
relatively high degree of uncertainty and
are likely high given the common use of
high efficiency simple cycle turbines
without a regulatory driver.
The EPA considered but is not
finalizing combined cycle unit design
for combustion turbines as the BSER for
the intermediate load subcategory
because it is unclear if combined cycle
turbines could serve the same role as
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
as a whole. Specifically, the EPA does
not have sufficient information to
determine that an intermediate load
combined cycle turbine can start and
stop with enough flexibility to provide
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the same level of grid support as
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
as a whole. In addition, the amount of
GHG reductions that could be achieved
by operating combined cycle EGUs as
intermediate load EGUs is unclear.
Intermediate load combustion turbines
start and stop so frequently that there
would often not be sufficient periods of
continuous operation where the HRSG
would have sufficient time to generate
steam to operate the steam turbine
enough to significantly lower the
emissions rate of the EGU.
Some commenters agreed with the
proposed rationale of the EPA, and
other commenters disagreed and said
that combined cycle turbine technology
is cost effective and lower-emitting than
simple cycle turbine technology and
therefore qualifies as the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
Commenters supporting combined cycle
technology as the BSER submitted cost
information that indicated that
combined cycle EGUs have lower
capital costs and LCOE than simple
cycle turbines. However, the
commenters compared capital costs of
larger combined cycle turbines to
smaller simple cycle turbines and did
not account for economies of scale. The
EPA has concluded that the appropriate
cost comparison is for combustion
turbines with the same rated net
output.747 Comparing the costs of
different size EGUs is not appropriate
because these EGUs provide different
grid services. In addition, the
commenters did not account for startup
costs and the time required for a steam
turbine to begin operating when
determining the LCOE.
The EPA considered the operation of
simple cycle turbine to determine the
potential for simple cycle turbine to add
a HRSG while continuing to operate in
the same manner, providing the same
grid services, as current simple cycle
turbines. As noted previously,
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines
have shorter run times per start than
frame type simple cycle turbines at the
same capacity factor. At an annual
capacity factor of 20 percent, the
median run time per start for
aeroderivative and frame simple cycle
turbines is 12 and 16 hours respectively.
At an annual capacity factor of 30
percent, the average run times per start
increase to 17 and 26 hours for
aeroderivative and frame turbines
respectively. The higher operating times
of frame type simple cycle turbines,
747 The costing approach used by the EPA
compares a combined cycle turbine using a smaller
turbine engine plus a steam turbine to match the
output from a simple cycle turbine.
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along with the larger size of frame type
turbines, indicate that combined cycle
technology could be applicable to at
least a portion of intermediate load
combustion turbines. In future
rulemakings addressing GHGs from new
as well as existing combustion turbines,
the EPA intends to further evaluate the
costs and potential emission reductions
of the use of faster starting and lower
cost HRSG technology for intermediate
load combustion turbines to determine
if the technology does in fact qualify as
the BSER.
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iii. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Use of highly efficient generation
reduces all non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy
requirements assuming it displaces less
efficient or higher-emitting generation.
Even when operating at the same inputbased emissions rate, the more efficient
a unit is, the less fuel is required to
produce the same level of output; and,
as a result, emissions are reduced for all
pollutants. The use of highly efficient
combustion turbines, compared to the
use of less efficient combustion
turbines, reduces all pollutants.748 By
the same token, because improved
efficiency allows for more electricity
generation from the same amount of
fuel, it will not have any adverse effects
on energy requirements.
Designating highly efficient
generation as part of the BSER for new
and reconstructed intermediate load
combustion turbines will not have
significant impacts on the nationwide
supply of electricity, electricity prices,
or the structure of the electric power
sector. On a nationwide basis, the
additional costs of the use of highly
efficient generation will be small
because the technology does not add
significant costs and at least some of
those costs are offset by reduced fuel
costs. In addition, at least some of these
new combustion turbines would be
expected to incorporate highly efficient
generation technology in any event.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2
Emissions
The EPA estimated the potential
emission reductions associated with a
standard that reflects the application of
highly efficient generation as BSER for
the intermediate load subcategory. As
discussed in section VIII.G.1, the EPA
determined that the standards of
748 The emission reduction comparison is done
assuming the same level of operation. Overall
emission impacts would be different if the more
efficient combustion turbine operates more then the
baseline.
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performance reflecting this BSER are
1,170 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
Between 2015 and 2022, 113 simple
cycle turbines, an average of 16 per year,
commenced operation. Of these, 112
reported 12-operating month capacity
factors. The EPA estimates that 23
simple cycle turbines operated at 12operating month capacity factors greater
than 20 percent and potentially would
be considered intermediate combustion
turbines. To estimate reductions, the
EPA assumed that the number of simple
cycle turbines constructed between
2015 and 2022 and the operation of
those combustion turbines would
continue on an annual basis.749 For each
simple cycle turbine that operated at a
capacity greater than 20 percent, the
EPA determined the percent reduction
in emissions, based on the maximum
12-operating months intermediate load
emission rate, that would be required to
comply with the final NSPS for
intermediate load turbines. The EPA
then applied that same percent
reduction in emissions to the average
operating capacity factor to determine
the emission reductions from the NSPS.
Using this approach, the EPA estimates
that the intermediate load standard will
impact approximately a quarter of new
simple cycle turbines. The EPA divided
the total amount of calculated
reductions for intermediate load simple
cycle turbines built between 2015 and
2022 and divided that value by 7 (the
number of years evaluated) to get
estimated annual reductions. This
approach results in annual reductions of
31,000 tons of CO2 as well as 8 tons of
NOX. The emission reductions are
projected to result primarily from
building additional higher efficiency
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines
instead of less efficient frame simple
cycle turbines. The reduced emissions
come from relatively small reductions in
the emission rates of the intermediate
load aeroderivative simple cycle
turbines. This is a snapshot of projected
emission reductions from applying the
NSPS retroactively to 2022. If more
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
are built in the future, the emission
reductions would be higher than this
estimate. Conversely, if fewer
intermediate load simple cycles are
built, the emission reductions would be
lower than the EPA’s estimate.
Importantly, the ‘‘highly efficient
generation’’ which the EPA has
determined to be the BSER for new and
749 This is a simplified assumption that does not
take into account changing market conditions that
could change the makeup and operation of new
combustion turbines.
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39921
reconstructed intermediate load
combustion turbines and to be the first
component BSER for base load
stationary combustions, is not the same
as the ‘‘heat rate improvements’’ (HRI,
or ‘‘efficiency improvements’’) that the
EPA determined to be the BSER for
existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs in the ACE Rule. As noted earlier
in this document, the EPA has
concluded that the suite of HRI in the
ACE Rule is not an appropriate BSER for
existing coal-fired EGUs. In the EPA’s
technical judgment, the suite of HRI set
forth in the ACE Rule would provide
negligible CO2 reductions at best and, in
many cases, may increase CO2
emissions because of the ‘‘rebound
effect,’’ which is explained and
discussed in section VII.D.4.a.iii of this
preamble. Increased CO2 emissions from
the ‘‘rebound effect’’ can occur when a
coal-fired EGU improves its efficiency
(heat rate), which can move the unit up
on the dispatch order—resulting in an
EGU operating for more hours during
the year than it would have without
having done the efficiency
improvements. There is also the
possibility that a more efficient coalfired EGU could displace a lower
emitting generating source, further
exacerbating the problem.
Conversely, including ‘‘highly
efficient generation’’ as a component of
the BSER for new and reconstructed
does not create this risk of displacing a
lower-emitting generating source. A new
highly efficient stationary combustion
turbine may be dispatched more than it
would have been if it were not built as
a highly efficient turbine, but it is more
likely to displace an existing coal-fired
EGU or a less efficient existing
stationary combustion turbine. It would
be unlikely to displace a renewable
generating source.
For base load stationary combustion
turbines, ‘‘highly efficient generation’’ is
the first component of the BSER—with
90 percent capture CCS being the
second component of the BSER. This is
very similar to the Agency’s BSER
determination for the NSPS for new
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units.
In that final rule, the EPA established
standards of performance for newly
constructed fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units based on the
performance of a new highly efficient
supercritical pulverized coal (SCPC)
EGU implementing post-combustion
partial CCS technology, which the EPA
determined to be the BSER for these
sources.750
750 See
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v. Promotion of the Development and
Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered the potential
impact of selecting highly efficient
simple cycle generation technology as
the BSER for the intermediate load
subcategory in promoting the
development and implementation of
improved control technology. New
highly efficient simple cycle turbines
are more efficient than the average new
simple cycle turbine and a standard
based on the performance of the most
efficient, best performing simple cycle
turbine will promote penetration of the
most efficient units throughout the
industry. Accordingly, consideration of
this factor supports the EPA’s proposal
to determine this technology to be the
BSER.
c. Low-GHG Hydrogen and CCS
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing either CCS or co-firing lowGHG hydrogen as the first component of
the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines, for the reasons
given in sections VIII.F.4.c.iii (CCS) and
VIII.F.5 (low-GHG hydrogen).
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d. Summary of BSER Determinations
The EPA is finalizing that highly
efficient generating technology in
combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices is the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
Specifically, the use of highly efficient
simple cycle technology in combination
with the best operating and
maintenance practices is the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
Highly efficient generation qualifies
the BSER because it is adequately
demonstrated, it can be implemented at
reasonable cost, it achieves emission
reductions, and it does not have
significant adverse non-air quality
health or environmental impacts or
significant adverse energy requirements.
The fact that it promotes greater use of
advanced technology provides
additional support; however, the EPA
considers highly efficient generation to
the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines even without
taking this factor into account.
3. BSER for Base Load Subcategory—
First Component
This section describes the first
component of the BSER for newly
constructed and reconstructed
combustion turbines in the base load
subcategory. For combustion turbines in
the base load subcategory, the first
component of the BSER is the use of
high-efficiency combined cycle
technology in combination with the best
operating and maintenance practices.
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a. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing lower-emitting fuels as the
BSER for base load combustion turbines
because, as described earlier in this
section, it would achieve few GHG
emission reductions compared to highly
efficient generation.
b. Highly Efficient Generation
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA proposed and is finalizing
that highly efficient combined cycle
designs are adequately demonstrated
because highly efficient combined cycle
EGUs have been demonstrated by
multiple facilities for decades, and the
efficiency improvements of the most
efficient designs are incremental in
nature and do not change in any
significant way how the combustion
turbine is operated or maintained. Due
to the differences in HRSG efficiencies
for smaller combined cycle turbines, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing less
stringent standards of performance for
smaller base load turbines with base
load ratings of less than 2,000 MMBtu/
h relative to those for larger base load
turbines. The levels of efficiency that
the EPA is proposing have been
achieved by many recently constructed
combustion turbines. Therefore,
efficient generation technology
described in this BSER is commercially
available and the standards of
performance are achievable.
For the base load subcategory, the
EPA considers the cost of highefficiency combined cycle EGUs to be
reasonable. While the capital costs of a
higher efficiency combined cycle EGUs
are 1.9 percent higher than standard
efficiency combined cycle EGUs, fuel
use is 2.6 percent lower.751 The
reduction in fuel costs fully offset the
capital costs at capacity factors of 40
percent or greater over the expected 30year life of the facility. Therefore, a
BSER based on the use of highefficiency combined cycle combustion
turbines for base load combustion
turbines would have minimal, if any,
overall compliance costs since the
capital costs would be recovered
through reduced fuel costs over the
expected 30-year life of the facility.
751 Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil
Energy Plants Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and
Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 4A (October 2022),
https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1893822.
Frm 00126
Use of highly efficient generation
reduces all non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy
requirements as compared to use of less
efficient generation. Even when
operating at the same input-based
emissions rate, the more efficient a unit
is, the less fuel is required to produce
the same level of output; and, as a
result, emissions are reduced for all
pollutants. The use of highly efficient
combustion turbines, compared to the
use of less efficient combustion
turbines, reduces all pollutants. By the
same token, because improved
efficiency allows for more electricity
generation from the same amount of
fuel, it will not have any adverse effects
on energy requirements.
Designating highly efficient
generation as part of the BSER for new
and reconstructed base load combustion
turbines will not have significant
impacts on the nationwide supply of
electricity, electricity prices, or the
structure of the electric power sector.
On a nationwide basis, the additional
costs of the use of highly efficient
generation will be small because the
technology does not add significant
costs and at least some of those costs are
offset by reduced fuel costs. In addition,
at least some of these new combustion
turbines would be expected to
incorporate highly efficient generation
technology in any event.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2
Emissions
ii. Costs
PO 00000
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
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The EPA used a similar approach to
estimating emission reductions for base
load combustion turbines as
intermediate load combustion turbines,
except the Agency reviewed recently
constructed combined cycle EGUs. As
discussed in section VIII.G.1, the EPA
determined that the standard of
performance reflecting this BSER is 800
lb CO2/MWh-gross for base load
combustion turbines. The Agency
assumed all new combined cycle
turbines would be impacted by the base
load emissions standard. Between the
beginning of 2015 and the beginning of
2022, 129 combined cycle turbines, an
average of 18 per year, commenced
operation. Of those combined cycle
turbines, 107 had 12-operating month
emissions data. For each of these 107
combined cycle turbines that had a
maximum 12-operating month
emissions rate greater than 800 lb CO2/
MWh-gross, the EPA determined the
reductions that would occur assuming
the combined cycle turbine reduced its
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emissions rate to 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross
and continued to operate at its average
capacity factor. The EPA summed the
results and divided by 8 (the number of
years evaluated) to estimate the annual
GHG reductions that will result from
this final rule. The EPA estimates that
the base load standard will result in
annual reductions of 313,000 tons of
CO2 as well as 23 tons of NOX. The
reductions increase each year and in
year 3 the annual reductions would be
939,000 tons of CO2 and 69 tons of NOX.
v. Promotion of the Development and
Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered the potential
impact of selecting highly efficient
generation technology as the BSER in
promoting the development and
implementation of improved control
technology. The highly efficient
combustion turbines are more efficient
and lower emitting than the average
new combustion turbine generation
technology. Determining that highly
efficient turbines are a component of the
BSER will advance penetration of the
best performing combustion turbines
throughout the industry—and will
incentivize manufacturers to offer
improved turbines that meet the final
standard of performance associated with
application of the BSER. Accordingly,
consideration of this factor supports the
EPA’s proposal to determine this
technology to be the BSER.
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c. Low-GHG Hydrogen and CCS
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing either CCS or co-firing lowGHG hydrogen as the first component of
the BSER for base load combustion
turbines, for the reasons given in
sections VIII.F.4.c.iii (CCS) and VIII.F.5
(low-GHG hydrogen).
d. Summary of BSER Determinations
The EPA is finalizing that highly
efficient generating technology in
combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices is the BSER for
first component of the BSER for base
load combustion turbines. The phase-1
standards of performance are based on
the application of that technology.
Specifically, the use of highly efficient
combined cycle technology in
combination with best operating and
maintenance practices is the first
component of the BSER for base load
combustion turbines.
Highly efficient generation qualifies
as the BSER because it is adequately
demonstrated, it can be implemented at
reasonable cost, it achieves emission
reductions, and it does not have
significant adverse non-air quality
health or environmental impacts or
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significant adverse energy requirements.
The fact that it promotes greater use of
advanced technology provides
additional support; however, the EPA
considers highly efficient generation to
be a component of the BSER for base
load combustion turbines even without
taking this factor into account.
4. BSER for Base Load Subcategory—
Second Component
a. Authority To Promulgate a Multi-Part
BSER and Standard of Performance
The EPA’s approach of promulgating
standards of performance that apply in
multiple phases, based on determining
the BSER to be a set of controls with
multiple components, is consistent with
CAA section 111(b). That provision
authorizes the EPA to promulgate
‘‘standards of performance,’’ CAA
section 111(b)(1)(B), defined, in the
singular, as ‘‘a standard for emissions of
air pollutants which reflects the degree
of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the [BSER].’’
CAA section 111(a)(1). CAA section
111(b)(1)(B) further provides,
‘‘[s]tandards of performance . . . shall
become effective upon promulgation.’’
In this rulemaking, the EPA is
determining that the BSER is a set of
controls that, depending on the
subcategory, include highly efficient
generation plus use of CCS. The EPA is
determining that affected sources can
apply the first component of the BSER—
highly efficient generation—by the
effective date of the final rule and can
apply both the first and second
components of the BSER—highly
efficient generation in combination with
90 percent CCS—in 2032.
Accordingly, the EPA is finalizing
standards of performance that reflect the
application of this multi-component
BSER and that take the form of
standards of performance that affected
sources must comply with in two
phases. This multi-phase standard of
performance ‘‘become[s] effective upon
promulgation.’’ CAA section
111(b)(1)(B). That is, upon
promulgation, affected sources become
legally subject to the multi-phase
standard of performance and must
comply with it by its terms. Specifically,
affected sources must comply with the
first phase standards, which are based
on the application of the first
component of the BSER, upon initial
startup of the facility. They must
comply with the second phase
standards, which are based on the
application of both the first and second
components of the BSER, beginning
January 2032.
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D.C. Circuit caselaw supports the
proposition that CAA section 111
authorizes the EPA to determine that
controls qualify as the BSER—including
meeting the ‘‘adequately demonstrated’’
criterion—even if the controls require
some amount of ‘‘lead time,’’ which the
court has defined as ‘‘the time in which
the technology will have to be
available.’’ 752 The caselaw’s
interpretation of ‘‘adequately
demonstrated’’ to accommodate lead
time accords with common sense and
the practical experience of certain types
of controls, discussed below. Consistent
with this caselaw, the phased
implementation of the standards of
performance in this rule ensures that
facilities have sufficient lead time for
planning and implementation of the use
of CCS-based controls necessary to
comply with the second phase of the
standards, and thereby ensures that the
standards are achievable. For further
discussion of this point, see section
V.C.2.b.iii.
The EPA has promulgated several
prior rulemakings under CAA section
111(b) that have similarly provided the
regulated sector with lead time to
accommodate the availability of
technology, which also serve as
precedent for the two-phase
implementation approach proposed in
this rule. See 81 FR 59332 (August 29,
2016) (establishing standards for
municipal solid waste landfills with 30month compliance timeframe for
installation of control device, with
interim milestones); 80 FR 13672, 13676
(March 16, 2015) (establishing stepped
compliance approach to wood heaters
standards to permit manufacturers lead
time to develop, test, field evaluate and
certify current technologies to meet Step
2 emission limits); 78 FR 58416, 58420
(September 23, 2013) (establishing
multi-phased compliance deadlines for
revised storage vessel standards to
permit sufficient time for production of
necessary supply of control devices and
for trained personnel to perform
installation); 77 FR 56422, 56450
(September 12, 2012) (establishing
standards for petroleum refineries, with
3-year compliance timeframe for
installation of control devices); 71 FR
39154, 39158 (July 11, 2006)
(establishing standards for stationary
compression ignition internal
combustion engines, with 2- to 3-year
compliance timeframe and up to 6 years
for certain emergency fire pump
engines); 70 FR 28606, 28617 (March 18,
2005) (establishing two-phase caps for
752 See Portland Cement Ass’n v. Ruckelshaus,
486 F.2d 375, 391 (D.C. Cir. 1973) (citations
omitted).
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mercury standards of performance from
new and existing coal-fired electric
utility steam generating units based on
timeframe when additional control
technologies were projected to be
adequately demonstrated).753 Cf. 80 FR
64662, 64743 (October 23, 2015)
(establishing interim compliance period
to phase in final power sector GHG
standards to allow time for planning
and investment necessary for
implementation activities).754 In each
action, the standards and compliance
timelines were effective upon the final
rule, with affected facilities required to
comply consistent with the phased
compliance deadline specified in each
action.
It should be noted that the multiphased implementation of the standards
of performance that the EPA is
finalizing in this rule, like the delayed
or multi-phased standards in prior rules
just described, is distinct from the
promulgation of revised standards of
performance under the 8-year review
provision of CAA section 111(b)(1)(B).
As discussed in section VIII.F, the EPA
has determined that the proposed
BSER—highly efficient generation and
use of CCS—meet all of the statutory
criteria and are adequately
demonstrated for the compliance
timeframes being finalized. Thus, the
second phase of the standard of
performance applies to affected facilities
that commence construction after May
23, 2023 (the date of the proposal). In
contrast, when the EPA later reviews
and (if appropriate) revises a standard of
performance under the 8-year review
provision, then affected sources that
commence construction after the date of
that proposal of the revised standard of
performance will be subject to that
standard, but not sources that
commenced construction earlier.
Similarly, the multi-phased
implementation of the standard of
performance that the EPA is including
in this rule is also distinct from the
promulgation of emission guidelines for
existing sources under CAA section
111(d). Emission guidelines only apply
to existing sources, which are defined in
CAA section 111(a)(6) as ‘‘any stationary
source other than a new source.’’
Because new sources are defined
relative to the proposal of standards
pursuant to CAA section 111(b)(1)(B),
standards of performance adopted
pursuant to emission guidelines will
only apply to sources constructed before
May 23, 2023, the date of the proposed
753 Cf. New Jersey v. EPA, 517 F.3d 574, 583–584
(D.C. Cir. 2008) (vacating rule on other grounds).
754 Cf. West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022)
(vacating rule on other grounds).
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standards of performance for new
sources.
b. BSER for the Intermediate Load
Subcategory—Second Component
The EPA proposed that the second
component of the BSER for intermediate
load combustion turbines was co-firing
30 percent low-GHG hydrogen in 2032.
As discussed in section VIII.F.5.b, the
EPA is not determining that low-GHG
hydrogen qualifies as the BSER at this
time. Therefore, the Agency is not
finalizing a second component of the
BSER for intermediate load combustion
turbines.
c. BSER for Base Load Subcategory—
Second Component
i. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing lower-emitting fuels as the
second component of the BSER for
intermediate or base load combustion
turbines because it would achieve few
emission reductions, compared to
highly efficient generation without or in
combination with the use of CCS.
ii. Highly Efficient Generation
For the reasons described above, the
EPA is determining that highly efficient
generation in combination with best
operating and maintenance practices
continues to be a component of the
BSER that is reflected in the second
phase of the standards of performance
for base load combustion turbine EGUs.
Highly efficient generation reduces fuel
use and, therefore, the amount of CO2
that must be captured by a CCS system.
Since a highly efficient turbine system
would produce less flue gas that would
need to be treated (compared to a less
efficient turbine system), physically
smaller carbon capture equipment may
be used—potentially reducing capital,
fixed, and operating costs.
iii. Hydrogen Co-Firing
The EPA proposed a pathway for the
second component of the BSER for base
load combustion turbines of co-firing 30
percent low-GHG hydrogen in 2032
increasing to 96 percent low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing in 2038. As
discussed in section VIII.F.5.b of this
preamble, the EPA is not finalizing a
determination that low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing qualifies as the BSER.
Therefore, the Agency is not finalizing
a second component low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing pathway of the BSER for base
load combustion turbines. As the EPA’s
standard of performance is technology
neutral, however, affected sources may
comply with it by co-firing hydrogen.
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iv. CCS
(A) Overview
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA explains its rationale for finalizing
that CCS with 90 percent capture is a
component of the BSER for new base
load combustion turbines. CCS is a
control technology that can be applied
at the stack of a combustion turbine
EGU, achieves substantial reductions in
emissions and can capture and
permanently sequester at least 90
percent of the CO2 emitted by
combustion turbines. The technology is
adequately demonstrated, given that it
has been operated on a large scale and
is widely applicable to these sources,
and there are vast sequestration
opportunities across the continental
U.S. Additionally, the costs for CCS are
reasonable in light of recent technology
cost declines and policies including the
tax credit under IRC section 45Q.
Moreover, the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts of CCS can be
mitigated, and the energy requirements
of CCS are not unreasonably adverse.
The EPA’s weighing of these factors
together provides the basis for finalizing
90 percent capture CCS as a component
of BSER for these sources. In addition,
this BSER determination aligns with the
caselaw, discussed in section V.C.2.h of
the preamble, stating that CAA section
111 encourages continued advancement
in pollution control technology.
This section incorporates by reference
the parts of section VII.C.1.a. of this
preamble that discuss the many aspects
of CCS that are common to both steam
generating units and to new combustion
turbines. This includes the discussion of
simultaneous demonstration of CO2
capture, transport, and sequestration
discussed at VII.C.1.a.i(A); the
discussion of CO2 capture technology
used at coal-fired steam generating units
at VII.C.1.a.i(B) (the Agency explains
below why that record is also relevant
to our BSER analysis for new
combustion turbines); the discussion of
CO2 transport at VII.C.1.a.i(C); and the
discussion of geologic storage of CO2 at
VII.C.1.a.i(D). And the record
supporting that transport and
sequestration of CO2 from coal-fired
units is adequately demonstrated and
meets the other requirements for BSER
applies as well to transport and
sequestration of CO2 from combustion
turbines.
The primary differences between
using post-combustion capture from a
coal combustion flue gas and a natural
gas combustion flue gas are associated
with the level of CO2 in the flue gas
stream and the levels of other pollutants
that must be removed. In coal
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combustion flue gas, the concentration
of CO2 is typically approximately 13 to
15 volume percent, while the
concentration of CO2 from natural gasfired combined cycle combustion flue
gas is approximately 3 to 4 volume
percent.755 Capture of CO2 at dilute
concentrations is more challenging but
there are commercially available aminebased solvents that can be used with
dilute CO2 streams to achieve 90 percent
capture. In addition, flue gas from a
coal-fired steam EGU contains a variety
of non-carbonaceous components that
must be removed to meet environmental
limits (e.g., mercury and other metals,
particulate matter (fly ash), and acid
gases (including sulfur dioxide (SO2)
and hydrogen chloride and hydrogen
fluoride). When amine-based postcombustion carbon capture is used with
a coal-fired EGU, the flue gas stream
must be further cleaned, sometimes
beyond required environmental
standards, to avoid the fouling of
downstream process equipment and to
prevent degradation of the amine
solvent. Absent pretreatment of the coal
combustion flue gas, the amines can
absorb SO2 and other acid gases to form
heat stable salts, thereby degrading the
performance of the solvent. Amine
solvents can also experience catalytic
oxidative degradation in the presence of
some metal contaminants. Thermal
oxidation of the solvent can also occur
but can be mitigated by interstage
cooling of the absorber column. Natural
gas combustion flue gas typically
contains very low (if any) levels of SO2,
acid gases, fly ash, and metals.
Therefore, fouling and solvent
degradation are less of a concern for
carbon capture from natural gas-fired
EGUs.
New natural gas-fired combustion
turbine EGUs also have the option of
using oxy-combustion technology—such
as that currently being demonstrated
and developed by NET Power. As
discussed earlier, the NET Power system
uses oxy-combustion (combustion in
pure oxygen) of natural gas and a highpressure supercritical CO2 working fluid
(instead of steam) to produce electricity
in a combined cycle turbine
configuration. The combustion products
are water and high-purity, pipelineready CO2 which is available for
sequestration or sale to another
industry. The NET Power technology
does not involve solvent-based CO2
separation and capture since pure CO2
is a product of the process. The NET
755 NETL Carbon Dioxide Capture Approaches.
https://netl.doe.gov/research/carbon-management/
energy-systems/gasification/gasifipedia/captureapproaches.
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Power technology is not currently
applicable to coal-fired steam generating
utility boilers—though it could be
utilized with combustion of gasified
coal or other solid fossil fuels (e.g.,
petroleum coke).
For new base load combustion
turbines, the EPA proposed that CCS
with a 90 percent capture rate,
beginning in 2035, meets the BSER
criteria. Some commenters agreed with
the EPA that CCS for base load
combustion turbines satisfies the BSER
criteria. Other commenters claimed that
CCS is not a suitable BSER for new base
load combustion turbines. The EPA
disagrees with these commenters.
As with existing coal-fired steam
generating units, CCS applied to new
combined cycle combustion turbines
has three major components: CO2
capture, transportation, and
sequestration/storage. CCS with 90
percent capture has been adequately
demonstrated for combined cycle
combustion turbines for many of the
same reasons described in section
VII.C.1.a.i. The Bellingham Energy
Center, a natural gas-fired combined
cycle combustion turbine in south
central Massachusetts, successfully
applied post-combustion carbon capture
using the Fluor Econamine FG PlusSM
amine-based solvent from 1991–2005
with 85–95 percent CO2 capture.756 The
plant captured approximately 365 tons
of CO2 per day from a 40 MW slip
stream 757 and was ultimately shut
down and decommissioned primarily
due to rising gas prices.
As discussed in further detail below,
additional natural gas-fired combined
cycle combustion turbine CCS projects
are in the planning stage, which
confirms that CCS is becoming accepted
across the industry. As discussed above,
CCS with 90 percent capture has been
demonstrated for coal-fired steam
generating units, and that information
forms part of the basis for the EPA’s
determination that CCS with 90 percent
capture has been have adequately
demonstrated for these combustion
turbines. Statements from vendors and
the experience of industrial applications
of CCS provide further support that
post-combustion CCS with 90 percent
capture is adequately demonstrated for
these combustion turbines.
The EPA’s analysis of the
transportation and sequestration
components of CCS for new base load
756 Fluor Econamine FG PlusSM brochure. https://
a.fluor.com/f/1014770/x/a744f915e1/econamine-fgplus-brochure.pdf.
757 ‘‘Commercially Available CO Capture
2
Technology’’ Power, (Aug 2009). https://
www.powermag.com/commercially-available-co2capture-technology/.
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39925
combustion turbines is similar to its
analysis of those components for
existing coal-fired steam generating
units and, therefore, for much the same
reasons, the EPA is determining that
each of those components is adequately
demonstrated, and that CCS as a
whole—including those components
when combined with the 90 percent
CO2 capture component—is adequately
demonstrated. In addition, new sources
may consider access to CO2 transport
and storage sites in determining where
to build, and the EPA expects that since
this rule was proposed, companies
siting new base load combustion
turbines have taken into consideration
the likelihood of a regulatory regime
requiring significant emissions
reductions.
The use of CCS at 90 percent capture
can be implemented at reasonable cost
because it allows affected sources to
maximize the benefits of the IRC section
45Q tax credit. Finally, any adverse
health and environmental impacts and
energy requirements are limited and, in
many cases, can be mitigated or
avoided. It should also be noted that a
determination that CCS is the BSER for
these units will promote further use and
development of this advanced
technology. After balancing these
factors, the EPA is determining that
utilization of CCS with 90 percent
capture for new base load combustion
turbine EGUs satisfies the criteria for
BSER.
(B) Adequately Demonstrated
The legal test for an adequately
demonstrated system, and an achievable
standard, has been discussed at length
above. (See sections V.C.2.b and
VII.C.a.i of this preamble). As
previously noted, concepts of adequate
demonstration and achievability are
closely related: ‘‘[i]t is the system which
must be adequately demonstrated and
the standard which must be
achievable,’’ 758 based on application of
the system. An achievable standard
means a standard based on the EPA’s
finding that sufficient evidence exists to
reasonably determine that the affected
sources in the source category can adopt
a specific system of emission reduction
to achieve the specified degree of
emission limitation. The foregoing
sections have shown that CCS,
specifically using amine postcombustion CO2 capture, is adequately
demonstrated for existing coal units,
758 Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d
427, 433 (1973).
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and that a 90 percent capture standard
is achievable.759
Pursuant to Lignite Energy Council v.
EPA, the EPA may extrapolate based on
data from a particular kind of source to
conclude that the technology at issue
will also be effective at a similar
source.760 This standard is satisfied in
our case, because of the essential ways
in which CO2 capture at coal-fired steam
generating units is identical to CO2
capture at natural gas-fired combined
cycle turbines. As detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(B), amine-based CO2 capture
removes CO2 from post-combustion flue
gas by reaction of the CO2 with amine
solvent. The same technology (i.e., the
same solvents and processes) that is
employed on coal-fired steam generating
units—and that is employed to capture
CO2 from fossil fuel combustion in other
industrial processes—can be applied to
remove CO2 from the post-combustion
flue gas of natural gas-fired combined
cycle EGUs. In fact, the only differences
in application of amine-based CO2
capture on a natural gas-fired combined
cycle unit relative to a coal-fired steam
generating unit are related to the
differences in composition of the
respective post-combustion flue gases,
and as explained below, these
differences do not preclude achieving
90 percent capture from a gas-fired
turbine.
First, while coal flue gas contains
impurities including SO2, PM, and trace
minerals that can affect the downstream
CO2 process, and thus coal flue gas
requires substantial pre-treatment, the
post-combustion flue gas of natural gasfired combustion turbines has few, if
any, impurities that would impact the
downstream CO2 capture plant. Where
impurities are present, SO2 in particular
can cause solvent degradation, and coalfired sources without an FGD would
likely need to install one. Filterable PM
(fly ash) from coal, if not properly
managed, can cause fouling and scale to
accumulate on downstream blower fans,
heat exchangers, and absorber packing
material. Further, additional care in the
solvent reclamation is necessary to
mitigate solvent degradation that could
otherwise occur due to the trace
elements that can be present in coal.
Because the flue gas from natural gasfired combustion turbines contains few,
if any, impurities that would impact
downstream CO2 capture, the flue gas
from natural gas-fired combined cycle
EGUs is easier to work with for CO2
759 The EPA uses the two phrases (i) BSER is CCS
with 90 percent capture and (ii) CCS with 90
percent capture is achievable, or similar phrases,
interchangeably.
760 Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930
(D.C. Cir. 1999).
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capture, and many of the challenges that
were faced by earlier commercial scale
demonstrations on coal-fired units can
be avoided in the application of CCS at
natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
Second, the CO2 concentration of
natural gas-fired combined cycle flue
gas is lower than that of coal flue gas
(approximately 3-to-4 volume percent
for natural gas combined cycle EGUs;
13-to-15 volume percent for coal). For
solvent-based CO2 capture, CO2
concentration is the driving force for
mass transfer and the reaction of CO2
with the solvent. However, flue gases
with lower CO2 concentrations can be
readily addressed by the correct sizing
and design of the capture equipment—
and such considerations have been
made in evaluating the BSER here and
are reflected in the cost analysis in
VII.C.1.a.ii(A) of this preamble.
Moreover, as is detailed in the following
sections of the preamble, amine-based
CO2 capture has been shown to be
effective at removal of CO2 from the flue
gas of natural gas-fired combined cycle
EGUs. In fact, there is not a technical
limit to removal of CO2 from flue gases
with low CO2 concentrations—the EPA
notes that amine solvents have been
shown to be able to remove CO2 to
concentrations that are less than the
concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere.
Considering these factors, the
evidence that underlies the EPA’s
determination that amine postcombustion CO2 capture is adequately
demonstrated, and that a 90 percent
capture standard is achievable, at coalfired steam generating units, also
applies to natural gas-fired combined
cycle EGUs. Where differences exist,
due to differences in flue gas
composition, CCS at natural gas-fired
combined cycle combustion turbines
will in general face fewer challenges
than CCS at coal-fired steam
generators.761 Moreover, in addition to
the evidence outlined above, the
following sections provide additional
information specific to, including
examples of, anime-based capture at
natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs.
For these reasons, the EPA has
determined that CCS at 90 percent
capture is adequately demonstrated for
natural gas fired combined cycle EGUs.
761 Many of the challenges faced by Boundary
Dam Unit 3—which proved to be solvable—were
caused by the impurities, including fly ash, SO2,
and trace contaminants in coal-fired postcombustion flue gas—which do not occur in the
natural gas post-combustion flue gas. As a result, for
CO2 capture for natural gas combustion, flue gas
handling is simpler, solvent degradation is easier to
prevent, and fewer redundancies may be necessary
for various components (e.g., heat exchangers).
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(1) CO2 Capture for Combined Cycle
Combustion Turbines
As discussed in the preceding, new
stationary combustion turbines can use
amine-based post-combustion capture.
Additionally, new stationary
combustion turbines may also utilize
oxy-combustion, which uses a purified
oxygen stream from an air separation
unit (often diluted with recycled CO2 to
control the flame temperature) to
combust the fuel and produce a nearly
pure stream of CO2 in the flue gas, as
opposed to combustion with oxygen in
air which contains 80 percent nitrogen.
Currently available post-combustion
amine-based CO2 capture systems
require that the flue gas be cooled prior
to entering the capture equipment. This
holds true for the exhaust from either a
coal-fired utility boiler or from a
combustion turbine. The most energy
efficient way to cool the flue gas stream
is to use a HRSG—which, as explained
above, is an integral component of a
combined cycle turbine system—to
generate additional useful output.762
CO2 capture has been successfully
applied to an existing combined cycle
turbine and several other projects are in
development, as discussed immediately
below.
(a) CCS on Combined Cycle EGUs
The most prominent example of the
use of carbon capture technology on a
natural gas-fired combined cycle turbine
EGU was at the 386 MW Bellingham
Cogeneration Facility in Bellingham,
Massachusetts. The plant used Fluor’s
Econamine FG PlusSM amine-based CO2
capture system with a capture capacity
of 360 tons of CO2 per day. The system
was used to produce food-grade CO2
and was in continuous commercial
operation from 1991 to 2005 (14 years).
The capture system was able to
continuously capture 85–95 percent of
the CO2 that would have otherwise been
emitted from the flue gas of a 40 MW
slip stream.763 The natural gas
combustion flue gas at the facility
contained 3.5 volume percent CO2 and
13–14 volume percent oxygen. As
mentioned earlier, the flue gas from a
coal combustion flue gas stream has a
typical CO2 concentration of
approximately 15 volume percent and
more dilute CO2 stream are more
challenging to separate and capture. Just
before the CO2 capture system was shut
762 The EPA proposed that because the BSER for
non-base load combustion turbines was simple
cycle technology, CCS was not applicable.
763 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Carbon
Capture Opportunities for Natural Gas Fired Power
Systems. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/articles/
carbon-capture-opportunities-natural-gas-firedpower-systems.
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down in 2005 (due to high natural gas
price), the system had logged more than
120,000 hours of CO2 capture 764 and
had a 98.5 percent on-stream
(availability) factor.765
The Fluor Econamine FG PlusSM is a
propriety carbon capture solution with
more than 30 licensed plants and more
than 30 years of operation. This
technology uses a proprietary solvent to
capture CO2 from post-combustion
sources. The process is well suited to
capture CO2 from large, single-point
emission sources such as power plants
or refineries, including large facilities
with CO2 capture capacities greater than
10,000 tons per day.766 On February 6,
2024, Fluor Corporation announced that
Chevron New Energies plans to use the
Econamine FG PlusSM carbon capture
technology to reduce CO2 emissions at
Chevron’s Eastridge Cogeneration
combustion turbine facility in Kern
County, California. When installed,
Fluor’s carbon capture solution is
expected to reduce the Eastridge
Cogeneration facility’s carbon emissions
by approximately 95 percent.767
Moreover, recently, CO2 capture
technology has been operated on NGCC
post-combustion flue gas at the
Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM) in
Norway.768 TCM can treat a 12 MWe
flue gas stream from a natural gas
combined cycle cogeneration plant at
Mongstad power station. Many different
solvents have been operated at TCM
including MHI’s KS–21TM solvent,769
achieving capture rates of over 98
percent.
Additionally, in Scotland, the
proposed 900 MW Peterhead Power
Station combined cycle EGU with CCS
is in the planning stages of
development. MHI is developing a FEED
for the power plant and capture
facility.770 It is anticipated that the
power plant will be operational by the
end of the 2020s and will have the
potential to capture 90 percent of the
CO2 emitting from the combined cycle
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764 https://boereport.com/2022/08/16/fluor/.
765 ‘‘Technologies for CCS on Natural Gas Power
Systems’’ Dr. Satish Reddy presentation to USEA,
April 2014, https://usea.org/sites/default/files/
event-/Reddy%20USEA%20
Presentation%202014.pptx.
766 https://www.fluor.com/market-reach/
industries/energy-transition/carbon-capture.
767 https://newsroom.fluor.com/news-releases/
news-details/2024/Fluors-Econamine-FG-PlusSMCarbon-Capture-Technology-Selected-to-ReduceCO2-Emissions-at-Chevron-Facility/default.aspx.
768 https://netl.doe.gov/carbon-capture/powergeneration.
769 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, ‘‘Mitsubishi
Heavy Industries Engineering Successfully
Completes Testing of New KS–21TM Solvent for CO2
Capture,’’ https://www.mhi.com/news/211019.html.
770 MHI and MHIENG Awarded FEED Contract.
https://www.mhi.com/news/22083001.html.
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facility and sequester up to 1.5 million
metric tons of CO2 annually. A storage
site being developed 62 miles off the
Scottish North Sea coast will serve as a
destination for the captured CO2.771 772
Furthermore, the Global CCS Centre is
tracking other international CCS on
combustion turbine projects that are in
on-going stages of development.773
(b) NET Power Cycle
In addition, there are several planned
projects using NET Power’s AllamFetvedt Cycle.774 The Allam-Fetvedt
Cycle is a proprietary process for
producing electricity that combusts a
fuel with purified oxygen (diluted with
recycled CO2 to control flame
temperature) and uses supercritical CO2
as the working fluid instead of water/
steam. This cycle is designed to achieve
thermal efficiencies of up to 59
percent.775 Potential advantages of this
cycle are that it emits no NOX and
produces a stream of high-purity CO2 776
that can be delivered by pipeline to a
storage or sequestration site without
extensive processing. A 50 MW
(thermal) test facility in La Porte, Texas
was completed in 2018 and has since
accumulated over 1,500 hours of
runtime. There are several announced
NET Power commercial projects
proposing to use the Allam-Fetvedt
Cycle. These include the 280 MW
Broadwing Clean Energy Complex in
Illinois, and several international
projects.
In Scotland, the proposed 900 MW
Peterhead Power Station combined
cycle EGU with CCS is in the planning
stages of development. MHI is
developing a FEED for the power plant
and capture facility.777 It is anticipated
that the power plant will be operational
by the end of the 2020s and will have
the potential to capture 90 percent of
the CO2 emitting from the combined
cycle facility and sequester up to 1.5
million metric tons of CO2 annually. A
771 Buli, N. (2021, May 10). SSE, Equinor plan
new gas power plant with carbon capture in
Scotland. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/
business/sustainable-business/sse-equinor-plannew-gas-power-plant-with-carbon-capture-scotland2021-05-11/.
772 Acorn CCS granted North Sea storage licenses.
September 18, 2023. https://www.ogj.com/energytransition/article/14299094/acorn-granted-licensesfor-co2-storage.
773 https://status23.globalccsinstitute.com/.
774 The NET Power Cycle was formerly referred
to as the Allam-Fetvedt cycle. https://
netpower.com/technology/.
775 Yellen, D. (2020, May 25). Allam Cycle carbon
capture gas plants: 11 percent more efficient, all
CO2 captured. Energy Post. https://energypost.eu/
allam-cycle-carbon-capture-gas-plants-11-moreefficient-all-co2-captured/.
776 This allows for capture of over 97 percent of
the CO2 emissions. www.netpower.com.
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storage site being developed 62 miles off
the Scottish North Sea coast will serve
as a destination for the captured
CO2.778 779
(c) Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a, CCS
has been demonstrated on coal-fired
power plants, which provides further
support that CCS on base load combined
cycle units is adequately demonstrated.
Further, 90 percent capture is expected
to be, in some ways, more
straightforward to achieve for natural
gas-fired combined cycle combustion
turbines than for coal-fired steam
generators. Many of the challenges faced
by Boundary Dam Unit 3—which
proved to be solvable—were caused by
the impurities, including fly ash, SO2,
and trace contaminants in coal-fired
post-combustion flue gas. Such
impurities naturally occur in coal
(sulfur and trace contaminants) or are a
natural result of combusting coal (fly
ash), but not in natural gas, and thus
they do not appear in the natural gas
post-combustion flue gas. As a result,
for CO2 capture for natural gas
combustion, flue gas handling is
simpler, solvent degradation is easier to
prevent, and fewer redundancies may be
necessary for various components (e.g.,
heat exchangers).
(d) Other Industry
As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1) of this preamble, CCS
installations in other industries support
that capture equipment can achieve 90
percent capture of CO2 from natural gasfired base load combined cycle
combustion turbines.
(e) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Capture
Projects at Stationary Combustion
Turbines
As for steam generating units,
EPAct05-assisted CO2 capture projects
on stationary combustion turbines
corroborate that CO2 capture on gas
combustion turbines is adequately
demonstrated. Several CCS projects
with at least 90 percent capture at
commercial-scale combined cycle
turbines are in the planning stages.
These projects support that CCS with at
least 90 percent capture for these units
is the industry standard and support the
EPA’s determination that CCS is
adequately demonstrated.
CCS is planned for the existing 550
MW natural gas-fired combined cycle
(two combustion turbines) at the Sutter
Energy Center in Yuba City,
California.780 The Sutter
780 Calpine Sutter Decarbonization Project, May
17, 2023. https://www.smud.org/en/Corporate/
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Decarbonization project will use ION
Clean Energy’s amine-based solvent
technology at a capture rate of 95
percent or more. The project expects to
complete a FEED study in 2024 and,
prior to being selected by DOE for
funding award negotiation, planned
commercial operation in 2027. Sutter
Decarbonization is one of the projects
selected by DOE for funding as part of
OCED’s Carbon Capture Demonstration
Projects program.781
The CO2 capture project at the Deer
Park Energy Center in Deer Park, Texas
will be designed to capture 95 percent
or more of the flue gas from the five
combustion turbines at the 1,200 MW
natural gas-fired combined cycle power
plant, using technology from Shell
CANSOLV.782 The CO2 capture project
already has an air permit issued for the
project, which includes a reduction in
the allowable emission limits for NOX
from four of the combustion turbines.783
The CO2 capture facility will include
two quencher columns, two absorber
columns, and one stripping column.
The Baytown Energy Center in
Baytown, Texas is an existing natural
gas-fired combined cycle cogeneration
facility providing heat and power to a
nearby industrial facility, while
distributing additional electricity to the
grid. CCS using Shell’s CANSOLV
solvent is planned for the equivalent of
two of the three combustion turbines at
the 896 MW natural gas-fired combined
cycle power plant, with a capture rate
of 95 percent. The CO2 capture facility
at Baytown Energy Center also has an
air permit in place, and the permit
application provides some details on the
process design.784 The CO2 capture
facility will include two quencher
columns, two absorber columns, and
one stripping column. To mitigate NOX
emissions, the operation of the SCR
systems for the combustion turbines
will be adjusted to meet lower NOX
allowable limits—adjustments may
include increasing ammonia flow, more
frequent SCR repacking and head
cleaning, and, possibly, optimization of
the ammonia distribution system. The
Baytown CO2 capture project is one of
the projects selected by DOE for funding
Environmental-Leadership/2030-Clean-EnergyVision/CEV-Landing-Pages/Calpine-presentation.
781 Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects
Selections for Award Negotiations. https://
www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capturedemonstration-projects-selections-awardnegotiations.
782 Calpine Carbon Capture. https://
calpinecarboncapture.com/wp-content/uploads/
2023/05/Calpine-Deer-Park-English.pdf.
783 Deer Park Energy Center TCEQ Records Online
Primary ID 171713.
784 Baytown Energy Center Air Permit TCEQ
Records Online Primary ID 172517.
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as part of OCED’s Carbon Capture
Demonstration Projects program.785
Captured CO2 will be transported and
stored at sites along the U.S. Gulf Coast.
An 1,800 MW natural gas-fired
combustion turbine that will be
constructed in West Virginia and will
utilize CCS has been announced. The
project is planned to begin operation
later this decade.786
There are numerous other EPAct05assisted projects related to natural gasfired combined cycle turbines including
the following.787 788 789 790 791 These
projects provide corroborating evidence
that capture of at least 90 percent is
accepted within the industry.
• General Electric (GE) (Bucks,
Alabama) was awarded $5,771,670 to
retrofit a combined cycle turbine with
CCS technology to capture 95 percent of
CO2 and is targeting commercial
deployment by 2030.
• Wood Environmental &
Infrastructure Solutions (Blue Bell,
Pennsylvania) was awarded $4,000,000
to complete an engineering design study
for CO2 capture at the Shell Chemicals
Complex. The aim is to reduce CO2
emissions by 95 percent using postcombustion technology to capture CO2
785 Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects
Selections for Award Negotiations. https://
www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capturedemonstration-projects-selections-awardnegotiations.
786 Competitive Power Ventures (2022). MultiBillion Dollar Combined Cycle Natural Gas Power
Station with Carbon Capture Announced in West
Virginia. Press Release. September 16, 2022. https://
www.cpv.com/2022/09/16/multi-billion-dollarcombined-cycle-natural-gas-power-station-withcarbon-capture-announced-in-west-virginia/.
787 General Electric (GE) (2022). U.S. Department
of Energy Awards $5.7 Million for GE-Led Carbon
Capture Technology Integration Project Targeting to
Achieve 95% Reduction of Carbon Emissions. Press
Release. February 15, 2022. https://www.ge.com/
news/press-releases/us-department-of-energyawards-57-million-for-ge-led-carbon-capturetechnology.
788 Larson, A. (2022). GE-Led Carbon Capture
Project at Southern Company Site Gets DOE
Funding. Power. https://www.powermag.com/geled-carbon-capture-project-at-southern-companysite-gets-doe-funding/.
789 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (2021). DOE
Invests $45 Million to Decarbonize the Natural Gas
Power and Industrial Sectors Using Carbon Capture
and Storage. October 6, 2021. https://
www.energy.gov/articles/doe-invests-45-milliondecarbonize-natural-gas-power-and-industrialsectors-using-carbon.
790 DOE (2022). Additional Selections for Funding
Opportunity Announcement 2515. Office of Fossil
Energy and Carbon Management. https://
www.energy.gov/fecm/additional-selectionsfunding-opportunity-announcement-2515.
791 DOE (2019). FOA 2058: Front-End Engineering
Design (FEED) Studies for Carbon Capture Systems
on Coal and Natural Gas Power Plants. Office of
Fossil Energy and Carbon Management. https://
www.energy.gov/fecm/foa-2058-front-endengineering-design-feed-studies-carbon-capturesystems-coal-and-natural-gas.
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from several plants, including an onsite
natural gas CHP plant.
• General Electric Company, GE
Research (Niskayuna, New York) was
awarded $1,499,992 to develop a design
to capture 95 percent of CO2 from
combined cycle turbine flue gas with
the potential to reduce electricity costs
by at least 15 percent.
• SRI International (Menlo Park,
California) was awarded $1,499,759 to
design, build, and test a technology that
can capture at least 95 percent of CO2
while demonstrating a 20 percent cost
reduction compared to existing
combined cycle turbine carbon capture.
• CORMETECH, Inc. (Charlotte,
North Carolina) was awarded
$2,500,000 to further develop, optimize,
and test a new, lower-cost technology to
capture CO2 from combined cycle
turbine flue gas and improve scalability
to large, combined cycle turbines.
• TDA Research, Inc. (Wheat Ridge,
Colorado) was awarded $2,500,000 to
build and test a post-combustion
capture process to improve the
performance of combined cycle turbine
flue gas CO2 capture.
• GE Gas Power (Schenectady, New
York) was awarded $5,771,670 to
perform an engineering design study to
incorporate a 95 percent CO2 capture
solution for an existing combined cycle
turbine site while providing lower costs
and scalability to other sites.
• Electric Power Research Institute
(EPRI) (Palo Alto, California) was
awarded $5,842,517 to complete a study
to retrofit a 700 MWe combined cycle
turbine with a carbon capture system to
capture 95 percent of CO2.
• Gas Technology Institute (Des
Plaines, Illinois) was awarded
$1,000,000 to develop membrane
technology capable of capturing more
than 97 percent of combined cycle
turbine CO2 flue gas and demonstrate
upwards of 40 percent reduction in
costs.
• RTI International (Research
Triangle Park, North Carolina) was
awarded $1,000,000 to test a novel nonaqueous solvent technology aimed at
demonstrating 97 percent capture
efficiency from simulated combined
cycle turbine flue gas.
• Tampa Electric Company (Tampa,
Florida) was awarded $5,588,173 to
conduct a study retrofitting Polk Power
Station with post-combustion CO2
capture technology aiming to achieve a
95 percent capture rate.
There are also several announced NET
Power Allam-Fetvedt Cycle based CO2
capture projects that are EPAct05assisted. These include the 280 MW
Coyote Clean Power Project on the
Southern Ute Indian Reservation in
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Colorado and a 300 MW project located
near Occidental’s Permian Basin
operations close to Odessa, Texas.
Commercial operation of the facility
near Odessa, Texas is expected in 2028.
(f) Range of Conditions
The composition of natural gas
combined cycle post-combustion flue
gas is relatively uniform as the level of
impurities is, in general, low. There may
be some difference in NOX emissions,
but considering the sources are new, it
is likely that they will be installed with
SCR, resulting in uniform NOX
concentrations in the flue gas. The EPA
notes that some natural gas combined
cycle units applying CO2 capture may
use exhaust gas recirculation to increase
the concentration of CO2 in the flue
gas—this produces a higher
concentration of CO2 in the flue gas. For
those sources that apply that approach,
the CO2 capture system can be scaled
smaller, reducing overall costs.
Considering these factors, the EPA
concludes that there are not substantial
differences in flue gas conditions for
natural gas combined cycle units, and
the small differences that could exist
would not adversely impact the
operation of the CO2 capture equipment.
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7),
single trains of CO2 capture facilities
have turndown capabilities of 50
percent. Effective turndown to 25
percent of throughputs can be achieved
by using 2 trains of capture equipment.
CO2 capture rates have also been shown
to be higher at lower throughputs.
Moreover, during off-peak hours when
electricity prices are lower, additional
lean solvent can be produced and held
in reserve, so that during high-demand
hours, the auxiliary demands to the
capture plant stripping column reboiler
be reduced. Considering these factors,
the capture rate would not be affected
by load following operation, and the
operation of the combustion turbine
would not be limited by turndown
capabilities of the capture equipment.
As detailed in preceding sections,
simple cycle combustion turbines cycle
frequently, and have a number of
startups and shutdowns per year.
However, combined cycle units cycle
less frequently and have fewer startups
and shutdowns per year. Startups of
combined cycle units are faster than
coal-fired steam generating units
described in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7) of
the preamble. Cold startups of combined
cycle units typically take not more than
3 hours (hot startups are faster), and
shutdown takes less than 1 hour. During
startup, heat input to the unit is lower
to slowly raise the temperature of the
HRSG.
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Importantly, natural gas postcombustion flue gas does not require the
same pretreatment as coal postcombustion flue gas. Therefore, amine
solvents are able to capture CO2 as soon
as the flue gas contacts the lean solvent,
and startup does not have to wait for
operation of other emission controls.
Furthermore, there are several different
process strategies that can be employed
to enable capture during cold
startup.792 793 These include using an
additional reserve of lean solvent
(solvent without absorbed CO2),
dedicated heat storage for reboiler
preheating, and fast starting steam cycle
technologies or high-pressure bypass
extraction. Each of these three options
has been modeled to show that 95
percent capture rates can be achieved
during startup. The first option simply
uses a reserve of lean solvent during
startup so that capture can occur
without needing to wait for the
stripping column reboiler to heat up.
For hot starts, the startup time of the
NGCC is faster, and since the reboiler is
already warm, the capture plant can
begin operating faster. Shutdowns are
short, and high capture efficiencies can
be maintained.
Considering that startup and
shutdown for natural gas combined
cycle units is fast, startups are relatively
few, and simple process strategies can
be employed so that high capture
efficiencies can be achieved during
startup, the EPA has concluded that
startup and shutdown do not adversely
impact the achievable CO2 capture rate.
Considering the preceding
information, the EPA has determined
that 90 percent capture is achievable
over long periods (i.e., 12-month rolling
averages) for base load combustion
turbines for all relevant flue gas
conditions, variable load, and startup
and shutdown.
(g) Summary of Evidence Supporting
BSER Determination Without EPAct05Aassisted Projects
As noted above, under the EPA’s
interpretation of the EPAct05
provisions, the EPA may not rely on
capture projects that received assistance
under EPAct05 as the sole basis for a
determination of adequate
demonstration, but the EPA may rely on
those projects to support or corroborate
other information that supports such a
determination. The information
described above that supports the EPA’s
792 https://ieaghg.org/ccs-resources/blog/newieaghg-report-2022-08-start-up-and-shutdownprotocol-for-power-stations-with-co2-capture.
793 https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/
media/5f95432ad3bf7f35f26127d2/start-up-shutdown-times-power-ccus-main-report.pdf.
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determination that 90 percent CO2
capture from natural gas-fired
combustion turbines is adequately
demonstrated, without consideration of
the EPAct05-assisted projects, includes
(i) the information concerning coal-fired
steam generating units listed in
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(9) 794 (other than the
information concerning EPAct05assisted coal-fired unit projects and the
information concerning natural gas-fired
combustion turbines); (ii) the
information that a 90 percent capture
standard is achievable at coal-fired
steam generating units, also applies to
natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs
(i.e., all the information in
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B) (before (1)) and (1)
(before (a)); (iii) the information
concerning CCS on combined cycle
EGUs (i.e., all the information in
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(a)); and (iv) the
information concerning Net Power (i.e.,
all the information in
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(b)). All this
information by itself is sufficient to
support the EPA’s determination that 90
percent CO2 capture from coal-fired
steam generating units is adequately
demonstrated. Substantial additional
information from EPAct05-assisted
projects, as described in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(e), provides
additional support and confirms that 90
percent CO2 capture from natural gasfired combustion turbines is adequately
demonstrated.
(2) Transport of CO2
In section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this
document, the EPA described its
rationale for finalizing a determination
that CO2 transport by pipelines as a
component of CCS is adequately
demonstrated for use of CCS with
existing steam generating EGUs. The
Agency’s rationale for finalizing the
same determination—that CO2 transport
by pipelines as a component of CCS is
adequately demonstrated for CCS use
with new combustion turbine EGUs—is
much the same as that described in
section VII.C.1.a.i.(C). As discussed in
794 Specifically, this includes the information
concerning Boundary Dam, coupled with
engineering analysis concerning key improvements
that can be implemented in future CCS
deployments during initial design and construction
(i.e., all the information in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a) and the information concerning
Boundary Dam in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(b)); (ii)
the information concerning other coal-fired
demonstrations, including the Argus Cogeneration
Plant and AES’s Warrior Run (i.e., all the
information concerning those sources in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a)); (iii) the information concerning
industrial applications of CCS (i.e., all the
information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1); and (iv) the
information concerning CO2 capture technology
vendor statements (i.e., all the information in
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3)).
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section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble,
CO2 pipelines are available and their
network is expanding in the U.S., and
the safety of existing and new
supercritical CO2 pipelines is
comprehensively regulated by
PHMSA.795 A new combustion turbine
may also be co-located with a storage
site, so that minimal transport of the
CO2 is required.
Pipeline transport of CO2 captured
from newly constructed or
reconstructed natural gas-fired
combustion turbine EGUs meets the
BSER requirements based on the same
evidence, and for the same reasons, as
does pipeline transport of CO2 captured
from existing coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble. This is
because the CO2 that is captured from a
natural gas-fired turbine, compressed,
and delivered into a pipeline is
indistinguishable from the CO2 that is
captured from an existing coal-fired
steam generating unit. Accordingly, all
the evidence and explanation in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble that it is
adequately demonstrated, cost-effective,
and consistent with the other BSER
factors for an existing coal-fired steam
generating unit to construct a lateral
pipeline from its facility to a
sequestration site applies to new natural
gas-fired turbines. This includes the
history of CO2 pipeline build-out
(VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)), the recent examples
of new pipelines (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(b)),
EPAct05-assisted CO2 pipelines for CCS
(VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(c)), the network of
existing and planned CO2 trunklines
(VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(d)), permitting and
rights of way considerations
(VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(2)), and considerations of
the security of CO2 transport, including
PHMSA requirements (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(3)).
The only difference between pipeline
transport for the coal-fired steam
generation and the gas-fired turbines is
that the coal-fired units are already in
existence and, as a result, the location
and length of their pipelines, as needed
to transport their CO2 to nearby
sequestration, is already known,
whereas new gas-fired turbines are not
yet sited. We discuss the implications
for new gas-fired turbines in the next
section.
795 PHMSA additionally initiated a rulemaking in
2022 to develop and implement new measures to
strengthen its safety oversight of CO2 pipelines
following investigation into a CO2 pipeline failure
in Satartia, Mississippi in 2020. For more
information, see: https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/
phmsa-announces-new-safety-measures-protectamericans-carbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
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(3) Geologic Sequestration of CO2
In section VII.C.1.a.i.(D) of this
document, the EPA described its
rationale for finalizing a determination
that geologic sequestration (i.e., the
long-term containment of a CO2 stream
in subsurface geologic formations) is
adequately demonstrated as a
component of the use of CCS with
existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs. Similar to the previous
discussion regarding CO2 transport, the
Agency’s rationale for finalizing a
determination that geologic
sequestration is adequately
demonstrated as a component of the use
of CCS with new combustion turbine
EGUs is the same as described in
VII.C.1.a.i.(D) for existing coal-fired
steam generating EGUs. The storage/
sequestration sites used to store
captured CO2 from existing coal-fired
EGUs could also be used to store
captured CO2 from newly constructed or
reconstructed combustion turbine EGUs.
All of the considerations and challenges
associated with developing geologic
storage sites for existing sources are also
considerations and challenges
associated with developing such sites
for newly constructed or reconstructed
sources.
(a) In General
Geologic sequestration (i.e., the longterm containment of a CO2 stream in
subsurface geologic formations) is well
proven. Deep saline formations, which
may be evaluated and developed for
CO2 sequestration are broadly available
throughout the U.S. Geologic
sequestration requires a demonstrated
understanding of the processes that
affect the fate of CO2 in the subsurface.
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(D) of
this preamble, there have been
numerous instances of geologic
sequestration in the U.S. and overseas,
and the U.S. has developed a detailed
set of regulatory requirements to ensure
the security of sequestered CO2. This
regulatory framework includes the UIC
well regulations, which are under the
authority of the SDWA, and the GHGRP,
under the authority of the CAA.
Geologic settings which may be
suitable for geologic sequestration of
CO2 are widespread and available
throughout the U.S. Through an
availability analysis of sequestration
potential in the U.S. based on resources
from the DOE, the USGS, and the EPA,
the EPA found that there are 43 states
with access to, or are within 100 km
from, onshore or offshore storage in
deep saline formations, unmineable coal
seams, and depleted oil and gas
reservoirs.
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All of the evidence and explanation
that geological sequestration of CO2 is
adequately demonstrated and meets the
other BSER factors that the EPA
described with respect to sequestration
of CO2 from existing coal-fired steam
generating units in section VII.C.1.a.i.(D)
of this preamble apply with respect to
CO2 from new natural gas-fired
combustion turbines. Sequestration is
broadly available (VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(1)(a)). It
is adequately demonstrated, with many
examples of projects successfully
injecting and containing CO2 in the
subsurface (VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(2)). It
provides secure storage, with a detailed
set of regulatory requirements to ensure
the security of sequestered CO2,
including the UIC well regulations
pursuant to SDWA authority, and the
GHGRP pursuant to CAA authority
(VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(4)). The EPA has the
experience to properly regulate and
review permits for UIC Class VI
injection wells, has made considerable
improvements to its permitting process
to expedite permitting decisions, and
has granted several states primacy to
issue permits, and is supporting that
state permitting (VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(5)).
(b) New Natural Gas-Fired Combustion
Turbines
As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(1), deep saline formations
that may be considered for use in
geologic sequestration (or storage) are
common in the continental United
States. In addition, there are numerous
unmineable coal seams and depleted oil
and gas reserves throughout the country
that could potentially be utilized as
sequestration sites. The DOE estimates
that areas of the U.S. with appropriate
geology have a sequestration potential of
at least 2,400 billion to over 21,000
billion metric tons of CO2 in deep saline
formations, unmineable coal seams, and
oil and gas reservoirs. The EPA’s
scoping assessment found that at least
37 states have geologic characteristics
that are amenable to deep saline
sequestration and identified an
additional 6 states are within 100
kilometers of potentially amenable deep
saline formations in either onshore or
offshore locations. In terms of land area,
80 percent of the continental U.S. is
within 100 km of deep saline
formations.796 While the EPA’s
geographic availability analyses focus
on deep saline formations, other
geologic formations such as unmineable
coal seams or depleted oil and gas
796 For additional information on CO
2
transportation and geologic sequestration
availability, please see EPA’s final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
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reservoirs represent potential additional
CO2 storage options. Therefore, we
expect that the vast majority of new base
load combustion turbine EGUs could be
sited within 100 km of a sequestration
site.
While the potential for some type of
sequestration exists in large swaths of
the continental U.S., we recognize that
there are a few states that do not have
geologic conditions suitable for geologic
sequestration within or near their
borders. If an area does not have a
suitable geologic sequestration site, then
a utility or project developer seeking to
build a new combustion turbine EGU for
base load generation has two options—
either (1) the new EGU may be located
near the electricity demand and the CO2
transported via a CO2 pipeline to a
geologic sequestration site, or (2) the
new EGU may be located closer to a
geologic sequestration site and the
electricity delivered to customers
through transmission lines. Regarding
option 1, as discussed in VII.C.1.a.i(C),
the EPA believes that both new and
existing EGUs are capable of
constructing CO2 pipelines as needed.
With regard to option 2, we expect that
this option may be preferred for projects
where a CO2 pipeline of substantial
length would be required to reach the
sequestration site. However, we note
that for new base load combustion
turbine EGUs, project developers have
flexibility with regard to siting such that
they can balance whether to site a new
unit closer to a potential geologic
sequestration site or closer to a load area
depending on their specific needs.
Electricity demand in areas that may
not have geologic sequestration sites
may be served by gas-fired EGUs that
are built in areas with geologic
sequestration, and the generated
electricity can be delivered through
transmission lines to the load areas
through ‘‘gas-by-wire.’’ An analogous
approach, known as ‘‘coal-by-wire’’ has
long been used in the electricity sector
for coal-fired EGUs because siting a
coal-fired EGU near a coal mine and
transmitting the generated electricity
long distances to the load area is
sometimes less expensive than siting the
coal EGU near the load area and
shipping the coal long distances. The
same principle may apply to new base
load combustion turbine EGUs such that
it may be more practicable for an project
developer to site a new base load
combustion turbine EGU in a location in
close proximity to a geologic
sequestration site and to deliver the
electricity generated through
transmission lines to the load area
rather than siting the new gas-fired
combustion turbine EGU near the load
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area and building a lengthy pipeline to
the geologic sequestration site.
Gas-by-wire and coal-by-wire are
possible due to the electricity grid’s
extensive high voltage transmission
networks that enable electricity to be
transmitted over long distances. See the
memorandum, Geographic Availability
of CCS for New Base Load NGCC Units,
which is available in the rulemaking
docket for this action. In many of the
areas without reasonable access to
geologic sequestration, utilities, electric
cooperatives, and municipalities have a
history of joint ownership of electricity
generation outside the region or
contracting with electricity generation
in outside areas to meet demand. Some
of the areas are in Regional
Transmission Organizations (RTOs),797
which engage in planning as well as
balancing supply and demand in real
time throughout the RTO’s territory.
Accordingly, generating resources in
one part of the RTO can serve load in
other parts of the RTO, as well as load
outside of the RTO.
In the coal context, there are many
examples of where coal-fired power
generation in one state has been used to
supply electricity in other states. For
example, the Prairie State Generating
Plant, a 2-unit 1,600 MW coal-fired
power plant in Illinois that is currently
considering retrofitting with CCS, serves
load in eight different states from the
Midwest to the mid-Atlantic.798 The
Intermountain Power Project, a coalfired plant located in Delta, Utah, that
is converting to co-fire hydrogen and
natural gas, serves customers in both
Utah and California.799 Additionally,
historically nearly 40 percent of the
power for the City of Los Angeles was
provided from two coal-fired power
plants located in Arizona and Utah.
Further, Idaho Power, which serves
customers in Idaho and eastern Oregon
has met demand in part from power
generating at coal-fired power plants
located in Wyoming and Nevada. This
same concept of siting generation in one
location to serve demand in another
area and using existing transmission
infrastructure to do so could similarly
be applied to gas-fired combustion
turbine power plants, and, in fact, there
are examples of gas-fired combustion
turbine EGUs serving demand more
than 100 km away from where they are
sited. For example, Portland General
Electric’s Carty Generating Station, a
436–MW NGCC unit located in
797 In this discussion, the term RTO indicates
both ISOs and RTOs.
798 https://prairiestateenergycampus.com/about/
ownership/.
799 https://www.ipautah.com/participantsservices-area/.
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Boardman, Oregon 800 serves demand in
Portland, Oregon,801 which is
approximately 270 km away from the
source.
In the memorandum, Geographic
Availability of CCS for New Base Load
NGCC Units, we explore in detail the
potential for gas-by-wire and the ability
of demand in areas without geologic
sequestration potential to be served by
gas generation located in areas that have
access to geologic sequestration. As
discussed in the memorandum, the vast
majority of the United States is within
100 km of an area with geologic
sequestration potential. A review of our
scoping assessment indicates that there
are limited areas of the country that are
not within 100 km of a potential deep
saline sequestration formation (although
some of these areas may be within 100
km of an unmineable coal seam or
depleted oil and gas reservoir that could
potentially serve as a sequestration site).
In many instances, these areas include
areas with low population density, areas
that are already served by transmission
lines that could deliver gas-by-wire,
and/or include areas that have made
policy or other decisions not to pursue
a resource mix that includes new NGCC
due to state renewable portfolio
standards or for other reasons.
In many of these areas, utilities,
electric cooperatives, and municipalities
have a history of obtaining electricity
from generation in outside areas to meet
demand. Some of the relevant areas are
in an RTO or ISO, which operate the
transmission system and dispatch
generation to balance supply and
demand regionwide, as well as engage
in regionwide planning and cost
allocation to facilitate needed
transmission development. Accordingly,
generating resources in one part of an
RTO/ISO, such as through an NGCC
plant, can serve loads in other parts of
the RTO/ISO, as well as serving load
areas outside of the RTO/ISO. As we
consider each of these geographic areas
in the memorandum, Geographic
Availability of CCS for New Base Load
NGCC Units, we make key points as to
why this final rule does not negatively
impact the ability of these regions to
access new NGCC generation to the
extent that NGCC generation is needed
to supply demand and/or those regions
800 Portland General Electric, ‘‘Our Power Plants,’’
https://portlandgeneral.com/about/who-we-are/
how-we-generate-energy/our-power-plants.
801 See George Plaven, ‘‘PGE power plant rising in
E. Oregon,’’ The Columbian (October 10, 2015, 5:55
a.m.), https://www.columbian.com/news/2015/oct/
10/pge-power-plant-rising-in-e-oregon/. See also
Portland General Electric, ‘‘PGE Service Area,’’
https://portlandgeneral.com/about/info/servicearea.
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want to include new NGCC generation
in their resource mixes.
(C) Costs
The EPA has evaluated the costs of
CCS for new combined cycle units,
including the cost of installing and
operating CO2 capture equipment as
well as the costs of transport and
storage. The EPA has also compared the
costs of CCS for new combined cycle
units to other control costs, in part
derived from other rulemakings that the
EPA has determined to be costreasonable, and the costs are
comparable. Based on these analyses,
the EPA considers the costs of CCS for
new combined cycle units to be
reasonable. Certain elements of the
transport and storage costs are similar
for new combustion turbines and
existing steam generating units. In this
section, the EPA outlines these costs
and identifies the considerations
specific to new combustion turbines.
These costs are significantly reduced by
the IRC section 45Q tax credit.
(1) Capture Costs
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According to the NETL Fossil Energy
Baseline Report (October 2022 revision),
before accounting for the IRC section
45Q tax credit for sequestered CO2,
using a 90 percent capture amine-based
post-combustion CO2 capture system
increases the capital costs of a new
combined cycle EGU by 115 percent on
a $/kW basis, increases the heat rate by
13 percent, increases incremental
operating costs by 35 percent, and
derates the unit (i.e., decreases the
capacity available to generate useful
output) by 11 percent.802 For a base load
combustion turbine, carbon capture
increases the LCOE by 62 percent (an
increase of 27 $/MWh) and has an
estimated cost of $81/ton ($89/metric
ton) of onsite CO2 reduction.803 The
NETL costs are based on the use of a
second-generation amine-based capture
system without exhaust gas
recirculation (EGR) and, as discussed
below, do not take into account further
cost reductions that can be expected to
occur from efficiency improvements as
post-combustion capture systems are
more widely deployed, as well as
802 CCS reduced the net output of the NETL F
class combined cycle EGU from 726 MW to
645 MW.
803 Although not our primary approach to
assessing costs in this final rule, for consistency
with the proposal’s assumption capacity factor,
these calculations use a service life of 30 years, an
interest rate of 7.0 percent, a natural gas price of
$3.61/MMBtu, and a capacity factor of 65 percent.
These costs do not include CO2 transport, storage,
or monitoring costs.
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potential technological
developments.804
The flue gas from natural gas-fired
combined cycle turbine differs from that
of coal-fired EGUs in several ways that
impact the cost of CO2 capture. These
include that the CO2 concentration in
the flue gas is approximately one-third
of that observed at coal-fired EGUs, the
volumetric flow rate on a per MW basis
is larger, and the oxygen concentration
is approximately 3 times that of a coalfired EGU. While the higher amount of
excess oxygen has the potential to
reduce the efficiency of amine-based
solvents that are susceptible to
oxidation, natural gas post-combustion
flue gas does not have other impurities
(SO2, PM, trace metals) that are present
and must be managed in coal flue gas.
Other important factors include that the
lower concentrations of CO2 reduce the
efficiency of the capture process and
that the larger volumetric flow rates
require a larger CO2 absorber, which
increases the capital cost of the capture
process. Exhaust gas recirculation
(EGR), also referred to as flue gas
recirculation (FGR), is a process that
addresses all these issues. EGR diverts
some of the combustion turbine exhaust
gas back into the inlet stream for the
combustion turbine. Doing so increases
the CO2 concentration and decreases the
O2 concentration in the exhaust stream
and decreases the flow rate, producing
more favorable conditions for CCS. One
study found that EGR can decrease the
capital costs of a combined cycle EGU
with CCS by 6.4 percent, decrease the
heat rate by 2.5 percent, decrease the
LCOE by 3.4 percent, and decrease the
overall CO2 capture costs by 11 percent
relative to a combined cycle EGU
without EGR.805 The EPA notes that the
NETL costs on which the EPA bases its
cost calculations for combined cycle
CCS do not assume the use of EGR, but
as discussed below, EGR use is
plausible and would reduce those costs.
While the costs considered in the
preceding are based on the current costs
of CCS, the EPA notes that the costs of
capture systems can be expected to
decrease over the rest of this decade and
804 Recent DOE analysis has compared the NETL
costs with more recent FEED study costs and expert
interviews and determined they are consistent after
accounting for differences in inflation, economic
assumptions, and other technology details. Portfolio
Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power Sector, DOE.
https://www.energy.gov/oced/portfolio-strategy.
805 Energy Procedia. (2014). Impact of exhaust gas
recirculation on combustion turbines. Energy and
economic analysis of the CO2 capture from flue gas
of combined cycle power plants. https://
www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S1876610214001234.
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continue to decrease afterwards.806 As
part of the plan to reduce the costs of
CO2 capture, the DOE is funding
multiple projects to further advance
CCS technology from various point
sources, including combined cycle
turbines, cement manufacturing plants,
and iron and steel plants.807 It should be
noted that some of these projects may be
EPAct05-assisted. The general aim is to
lower the costs of the technologies, and
to increase investor confidence in the
commercial scale applications,
particularly for newer technologies or
proven technologies applied under
unique circumstances. In particular,
OCED’s Carbon Capture Demonstration
Projects are targeted to accelerate
continued power sector carbon capture
commercialization through reducing
costs and reducing uncertainties to
project development. These cost and
uncertainty reductions arise from
reductions in cost of capital, increases
in system scale, standardization and
reduction in non-recurring engineering
costs, maturation of supply chain
ecosystem, and improvements in
engineering design and materials over
time.808
Although current post-combustion
CO2 capture projects have primarily
been based on amine capture systems,
there are multiple alternate capture
technologies in development—many of
which are funded through industry
research programs—that could yield
reductions in capital, operating, and
auxiliary power requirements and could
reduce the cost of capture significantly
or improve performance. More
specifically, post combustion carbon
capture systems generally fall into one
of several categories: solvents, sorbents,
membranes, cryogenic, and molten
carbonate fuel cells 809 systems. It is
806 For example, see the article CCUS Market
Outlook 2023: Announced Capacity Soars by 50%,
which states, ‘‘New gas power plants with carbon
capture, for example, could be cheaper than
unabated power in Germany as early as next year
when coupled with the carbon price.’’ https://
about.bnef.com/blog/ccus-market-outlook-2023announced-capacity-soars-by-50/.
807 The DOE has also previously funded FEED
studies for natural gas-fired combined cycle turbine
facilities. These include FEED studies at existing
combined cycle turbine facilities at Panda Energy
Fund in Texas, Elk Hills Power Plant in Kern
County, California, Deer Park Energy Center in
Texas, Delta Energy Center in Pittsburg, California,
and utilization of a Piperazine Advanced Stripper
(PZAS) process for CO2 capture conducted by The
University of Texas at Austin.
808 Portfolio Insights: Carbon Capture in the
Power Sector report. DOE. https://www.energy.gov/
oced/portfolio-strategy.
809 Molten carbonate fuel cells are configured for
emissions capture through a process where the flue
gas from an EGU is routed through the molten
carbonate fuel cell that concentrates the CO2 as a
side reaction during the electric generation process
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expected that as CCS infrastructure
increases, technologies from each of
these categories will become more
economically competitive. For example,
advancements in solvents that are
potentially direct substitutes for current
amine-solvents will reduce auxiliary
energy requirements and reduce both
operating and capital costs, and thereby,
increase the economic competitiveness
of CCS.810 Planned large-scale projects,
pilot plants, and research initiatives will
also decrease the capital and operating
costs of future CCS technologies.
In general, CCS costs have been
declining as carbon capture technology
advances.811 While the cost of capture
has been largely dependent on the
concentration of CO2 in the gas stream,
advancements in varying individual
CCS technologies tend to drive down
the cost of capture for other CCS
technologies. The increase in CCS
investment is already driving down the
costs of near-future CCS technologies.
The Global CCS Institute has tracked
publicly available information on
previously studied, executed, and
proposed CO2 capture projects.812 The
cost of CO2 capture from low-to-medium
partial pressure sources such as coalfired power generation has been
trending downward over the past
decade, and is projected to fall by 50
percent by 2025 compared to 2010. This
is driven by the familiar learningprocesses that accompany the
deployment of any industrial
technology. A review of learning rates
(the reduction in cost for a doubling of
production or capacity) for various
energy related technologies similar to
carbon capture (flue gas desulfurization,
selective catalytic reduction, combined
cycle turbines, pulverized coal boilers,
LNG production, oxygen production,
and hydrogen production via steam
methane reforming) demonstrated
learning rates of 5 percent to 27 percent
for both capital expenditures and
in the fuel cell. FuelCell Energy, Inc. (2018).
SureSource Capture. https://
www.fuelcellenergy.com/recovery-2/suresourcecapture/.
810 DOE. Carbon Capture, Transport, & Storage.
Supply Chain Deep Dive Assessment. February 24,
2022. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/
2022-02/Carbon%20Capture%20
Supply%20Chain%20Report%20-%20Final.pdf.
811 International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020).
CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions—A new era for
CCUS. https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-in-cleanenergy-transitions/a-new-era-for-ccus. The same is
true for CCS on coal-fired EGUs.
812 Technology Readiness and Costs of CCS
(2021). Global CCS Institute. https://
www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/
2021/03/Technology-Readiness-and-Costs-for-CCS2021-1.pdf.
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operations and maintenance costs.813 814
Studies of the cost of capture and
compression of CO2 from power stations
completed 10 years ago averaged around
$95/metric ton ($2020). Comparable
studies completed in 2018/2019
estimated capture and compression
costs could fall to approximately $50/
metric ton CO2 by 2025. Current target
pricing for announced projects at coalfired steam generating units is
approximately $40/metric ton on
average, compared to Boundary Dam
whose actual costs were reported to be
$105/metric ton, noting that these
estimates do not include the impact of
the 45Q tax credit as enhanced by the
IRA. Additionally, IEA suggests this
trend will continue in the future as
technology advancements ‘‘spill over’’
into other projects to reduce costs.815
Similarly, EIA incorporates a minimum
20 percent reduction in carbon capture
and sequestration costs by 2035 in their
Annual Energy Outlook 2023 modeling
in part to account for the impact of
spillover and international learning.816
The Annual Technology Baseline
published by NREL with input from
NETL projects a 10 percent reduction in
capital expenditures from 2021 through
2032 in the ‘‘Conservative Technology
Innovation Scenario’’ for natural gas
carbon capture retrofit projects, under
the assumption that only learning
processes lead to future cost reductions
and that there are no additional
improvements from investments in
targeted technology research and
development.817 In a recent case study
of the cost and performance of carbon
capture retrofits on existing natural gas
combined cycle units, based on
discussions with external technology
providers, engineering consultants, asset
developers, and applicants for DOE
awards, DOE used a 25 percent capital
cost reduction estimate to illustrate the
potential future capital costs of an Nth813 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/
article/pii/S1750583607000163.
814 As an additional example for cost reductions
from learning processes via deployment achieved in
other complex power generation projects, the most
recent sustained deployment of 19 nuclear reactors
in South Korea from 1989 through 2008 resulted in
a 13 percent reduction in capital costs. https://
www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S0301421516300106.
815 International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020).
CCUS in Clean Energy Transitions—CCUS
technology innovation. https://www.iea.org/reports/
ccus-in-clean-energy-transitions/a-new-era-for-ccus.
816 Energy Information Administration (EIA)
(2023). Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook
2023: Electricity Market Module. https://
www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/assumptions/pdf/EMM_
Assumptions.pdf.
817 National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
(2023). Annual Technology Baseline 2023. https://
atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2023/fossil_energy_
technologies.
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of-a-Kind facility, as well as
‘‘conservatively model[ing]’’ operating
expense reductions at 1 percent, for a
combined overall decrease in the
levelized cost of energy of about 10
percent for the Nth-of-a-Kind facility
compared to a First-of-a-Kind facility.818
DOE further found this illustrative cost
reduction estimate from learning
through doing to be consistent with
other studies that use hybrid
engineering-economic and experiencecurve approaches to estimate potential
decreases in the levelized cost of energy
of 10–11 percent for Nth-of-a-Kind
plants compared with First-of-a-Kind
plants.819 820 Policies in the IIJA and IRA
are further increasing investment in CCS
technology that can accelerate the pace
of innovation and deployment.
(2) CO2 Transport and Sequestration
Costs
NETL’s ‘‘Quality Guidelines for
Energy System Studies; Carbon Dioxide
Transport and Sequestration Costs in
NETL Studies’’ provides an estimation
of transport costs based on the CO2
Transport Cost Model.821 The CO2
Transport Cost Model estimates costs for
a single point-to-point pipeline.
Estimated costs reflect pipeline capital
costs, related capital expenditures, and
operations and maintenance costs.
NETL’s Quality Guidelines also
provide an estimate of sequestration
costs. These costs reflect the cost of site
screening and evaluation, permitting
and construction costs, the cost of
injection wells, the cost of injection
equipment, operation and maintenance
costs, pore volume acquisition expense,
and long-term liability protection.
Permitting and construction costs also
reflect the regulatory requirements of
the UIC Class VI program and GHGRP
subpart RR for geologic sequestration of
CO2 in deep saline formations. NETL
calculates these sequestration costs on
the basis of generic plant locations in
the Midwest, Texas, North Dakota, and
Montana, as described in the NETL
energy system studies.822
818 Portfolio Insights: Carbon Capture in the
Power Sector. DOE. 2024. https://www.energy.gov/
oced/portfolio-strategy.
819 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/
fenrg.2022.987166/full.
820 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/
article/pii/S1750583607000163.
821 Grant, T., et al. ‘‘Quality Guidelines for Energy
System Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport and
Storage Costs in NETL Studies.’’ National Energy
Technology Laboratory. 2019. https://
www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
822 National Energy Technology Laboratory
(NETL), ‘‘FE/NETL CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model
(2017),’’ U.S. Department of Energy, DOE/NETL–
2018–1871, 30 September 2017. https://
netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=2403.
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There are two primary cost drivers for
a CO2 sequestration project: the rate of
injection of the CO2 into the reservoir
and the areal extent of the CO2 plume
in the reservoir. The rate of injection
depends, in part, on the thickness of the
reservoir and its permeability. Thick,
permeable reservoirs provide for better
injection and fewer injection wells. The
areal extent of the CO2 plume depends
on the sequestration capacity of the
reservoir. Thick, porous reservoirs with
a good sequestration coefficient will
present a small areal extent for the CO2
plume and have lower testing and
monitoring costs. NETL’s Quality
Guidelines model costs for a given
cumulative storage potential.823
In addition, provisions in the IIJA and
IRA are expected to significantly
increase the CO2 pipeline infrastructure
and development of sequestration sites,
which, in turn, are expected to result in
further cost reductions for the
application of CCS at a new combined
cycle EGUs. The IIJA establishes a new
Carbon Dioxide Transportation
Infrastructure Finance and Innovation
program to provide direct loans, loan
guarantees, and grants to CO2
infrastructure projects, such as
pipelines, rail transport, ships and
barges.824 The IIJA also establishes a
new Regional Direct Air Capture Hubs
program which includes funds to
support four large-scale, regional direct
air capture hubs and more broadly
support projects that could be
developed into a regional or interregional network to facilitate
sequestration or utilization.825 DOE is
additionally implementing IIJA section
40305 (Carbon Storage Validation and
Testing) through its CarbonSAFE
initiative, which aims to further
development of geographically
widespread, commercial-scale, safe
storage.826 The IRA increases and
extends the IRC section 45Q tax credit,
discussed next.
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(3) IRC Section 45Q Tax Credit
For the reasons explained in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble, in
determining the cost of CCS, the EPA is
taking into account the tax credit
provided under IRC section 45Q, as
revised by the IRA. The tax credit is
823 Department of Energy. Regional Direct Air
Capture Hubs. (2022). https://www.energy.gov/
oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
824 DOE. Carbon Dioxide Transportation
Infrastructure. https://www.energy.gov/lpo/carbondioxide-transportation-infrastructure.
825 Department of Energy. ‘‘Regional Direct Air
Capture Hubs.’’ (2022). https://www.energy.gov/
oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
826 For more information, see the NETL
announcement. https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/
12405.
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available at $85/metric ton ($77/ton)
and offsets a significant portion of the
capture, transport, and sequestration
costs noted above.
(4) Total Costs of CCS
In a typical NSPS analysis, the EPA
amortizes costs over the expected
operating life of the affected facility and
assumes constant revenue and expenses
over that period of time. For a new
combustion turbine, the expected
operating life is 30 years. The EPA has
adjusted that analysis in this rule to
account for the fact that the IRC section
45Q tax credit is available for only the
12 years after operation is commenced.
Since the duration of the tax credit is
less than the expected life of a new base
load combustion turbine, the EPA
conducted the costing analysis by
recognizing that the substantial revenue
available for sequestering CO2 during
the first 12 years of operation is
expected to result in higher capacity
factors for that period, and the potential
higher operating costs during the
subsequent 18 years when the 45Q tax
credit is not available is likely to result
in lower capacity factors (see final TSD,
Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Measures,
Carbon Capture and Storage for
Combustion Turbines for more
discussion).827 828
Specifically, the EPA’s cost analysis
assumes that the combined cycle
turbine operates at a capacity of 80
percent over the initial 12-year period.
This capacity level is generally
consistent with the IPM model
projections of 87 percent (and, in fact,
somewhat more conservative). The 80
percent capacity factor assumption is
also less than the 85 percent capacity
factor assumption in the NETL
analysis.829 But notably, the higher
capacity factors in the IPM analysis and
827 In the proposal, the EPA used a constant 65
percent capacity factor, representative of the initial
capacity factor of recently constructed combined
cycle turbines, and effective 30-year 45Q tax credit
of $41/ton. For this final rule, the EPA considers the
approach of using a higher capacity factor for the
first 12 years and a lower one for the last 18 years
to reflect more accurately actual operating
conditions, and therefore to be a more realistic basis
for calculating CCS costs.
828 The EPA’s cost approach for CCS for existing
coal-fired units also assumed that those units would
increase their capacity during the 12-year period
when the 45Q tax credit was available. See
preamble section VII.C.1.a.ii, and Greenhouse Gas
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units
TSD section 4.7.5. Because coal-fired power plants
are existing plants, the EPA calculated CCS costs by
assuming a 12-year amortization period for the CCS
equipment, and the EPA did not need to make any
assumptions about the operation of the coal-fired
unit after the 12-year period.
829 Compliance costs would be lower if higher
capacity factors were used during the first 12 years
of operation.
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in the NETL analysis suggest that higher
capacity factors may be reasonable and
as figure 8 in the final TSD, Greenhouse
Gas Mitigation Measures, Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion
Turbines demonstrates, would result in
even lower costs. The analysis further
assumes that the turbine operates at a
capacity of 31 percent during the
remaining 18-year period. As explained
in the final TSD, Greenhouse Gas
Mitigation Measures Carbon Capture
and Storage for Combustion Turbines, to
avoid impacting the compliance costs
due to changes in the overall capacity
factors with the base case, the EPA kept
the overall 30-year capacity factor at the
historical average of 51 percent. The
EPA evaluated several operational
scenarios (as described in the TSD). The
scenario with an initial 12-year capacity
factor of 80 percent and a subsequent
18-year capacity factor of 31 percent (for
a 30-year capacity factor of 51 percent)
represents the primary policy case. It
should be noted that at a 31 percent
capacity factor, the combustion turbine
would be subcategorized as an
intermediate load combustion turbine,
and therefore would be subject to a less
stringent standard of performance that is
based on efficient operation, not on the
use of CCS.
This costing approach results in lower
compliance costs than assuming a
constant capacity factor for the 30-year
useful life of the turbine because of
increased revenue from generation
during the initial 12-year period,
increased revenue from the IRC section
45Q tax credits during that period, and
lower costs during the last 18 years
when the tax credit is not available. As
noted, this is a reasonable approach
because the economic incentive
provided by the tax credit is so
significant on a $/ton basis that the EPA
expects sources to dispatch at higher
levels while the tax credit is in effect.
The EPA calculated two sets of CCS
costs: the first assumes that the turbine
continues to operate the capture system
during the last 18 years, and the second
assumes that the turbine does not
operate the capture system during the
last 18 years.830 Assuming continued
operation of the capture equipment, the
compliance costs are $15/MWh and
$46/ton ($51/metric ton) for a 6,100
MMBtu/h H-Class turbine, which has a
net output of approximately 990 MW;
and $19/MWh and $57/ton ($63/metric
ton) for a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class
turbine, which has a net output of
830 The CCS and CO TS&M costs are amortized
2
over the period the equipment is operated—30
years or 12 years.
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approximately 700 MW.831 832 If the
capture system is not operated while the
combustion turbine is subcategorized as
an intermediate load combustion
turbine, the compliance costs are
reduced to $8/MWh and $43/ton ($47/
metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h HClass combustion turbine, and $12/
MWh and $60/ton ($66/metric ton) for
a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion
turbine. All of these costs are
comparable to the cost metrics that,
based on prior rules, the EPA finds to
be reasonable in this rulemaking.833 For
a more detailed discussion of costs, see
the TSD—GHG Mitigation Measures—
Carbon Capture and Storage for
Combustion Turbines, section 2.3,
Figure 12a.
The EPA considers these CCS cost
estimates to be conservatively high
because they do not take into account
cost improvements from the potential
use of exhaust gas recirculation, which,
according to one study, could lower
LCOE by 3.4 percent, as described in
preamble section VIII.F.4.c.iv.(C)(1). Nor
do they consider the potential for
additional efficiency improvements for
combined cycle units 834 or CCS
technological advances, as discussed in
preamble section VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(b),
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(C)(1), and RTC section 3.1.
The EPA considers that at least some of
these cost improvements are likely.
Accordingly, the EPA also calculated
the CCS costs based on an assumed 5
percent reduction in costs, in order to
831 The output of the H-Class model combined
cycle EGU without CCS is 992 MW. The auxiliary
load of CCS reduces the net out to 883 MW. The
output of the F-Class model combined cycle EGU
without CCS is 726 MW. The auxiliary load of CCS
reduces the net out to 645 MW.
832 As we explain in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures—Carbon Capture and Storage
for Combustion Turbines, sections 2.3–2.5, the
6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class combustion turbine is the
median size of recently constructed combined cycle
facilities and the 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class
combustion turbine approximates the size of a
number of recently constructed combined cycle
facilities as well. CCS costs for smaller sources are
higher but are not prohibitive. GHG Mitigation
Measures—Carbon Capture and Storage for
Combustion Turbines TSD, section 2.3, Figures 12a
and 13. As noted in RTC section 3.1, we expect
costs to decrease due to learning by doing and
technological development. In addition, since the
incremental generating costs of larger more efficient
combined cycle turbines are lower relative to
smaller combined cycle turbines, it is more likely
that larger more efficient combined cycle turbine
will operate as base load combustion turbines.
833 A DOE analysis of a representative NGCC
plant using CCS in the ERCOT market indicates that
operating at high operating capacity could be
profitable today with the IRC 45Q tax credits.
Portfolio Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power
Sector. DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/
portfolio-strategy.
834 These additional efficiency improvements are
noted in the final TSD, Efficient Generation:
Combustion Turbine Electric Generating Units.
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approximate these likely improvements,
as follows: Assuming continued
operation of the capture equipment, the
compliance costs are $13/MWh and
$40/ton ($44/metric ton) for a
6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class combustion
turbine, and $18/MWh and $54/ton
($59/metric ton) for a 4,600 MMBtu/h FClass combustion turbine. If the capture
system is not operated while the
combustion turbine is subcategorized as
in intermediate load combustion
turbine, the compliance costs are
reduced to $8/MWh and $39/ton ($43/
metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class
combustion turbine, and $11/MWh and
$56/ton ($61/metric ton) for a
4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion
turbine.
In addition, the EPA considers all
those costs to be conservative (in favor
of higher costs) because they assume
that the combustion turbine operator
will not receive any revenues from
captured CO2 after the 12-year period
for the tax credit. In fact, it is plausible
that there will be sources of revenue,
potentially including from the sale of
the CO2 for utilization and credits to
meet state or corporate clean energy
goals, as discussed in RTC section
2.2.4.3.
It should be noted that natural gasfired combustion turbines with CCS
may well generate at higher capacity
factors after the expiration of the 45Q
tax credit than the EPA’s abovedescribed BSER cost analysis assumes.
In fact, the EPA’s IPM model projects
that the natural gas combined cycle
generation that is projected to install
CCS in the illustrative final rule
scenario operates at an average 73
percent capacity factor, due to existing
state regulatory requirements, during
the 2045 model year, which is after the
expiration of the 45Q tax credit. In
addition, as discussed in RTC section
2.2.4.3, it is plausible that following the
12-year period of the tax credit, by the
2040s, cost improvements in CCS
operations, more widespread adoption
of CO2 emission limitation requirements
in the electricity sector, and greater
demand for CO2 for beneficial uses will
support continued operation of fossil
fuel-fired generation with CCS.
Accordingly, the EPA also calculated
CCS costs assuming that new F-Class
and H-Class combustion turbines with
CCS generate at a constant capacity
factor of at least 60 percent, and up to
80 percent, during their 30-year useful
life. In this calculation, the EPA
amortized the costs of CCS over the 30year useful life of the turbine. The EPA
includes these costs in the final TSD,
GHG Mitigation Measures—Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion
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39935
Turbines, section 2.3, Figure 8.835 At the
lower levels of capacity, costs are higher
than described above (which assumed
80 percent capacity during the first 12
years), but even at those lower levels,
the costs are broadly consistent with the
cost-reasonable metrics based on prior
rules, particularly when those costs are
reduced by an additional 5 percent to
account for improved efficiency and
other factors, as noted above.
Nonetheless, consistent with the EPA’s
commitment to review, and if
appropriate, revise the emission
guidelines for coal-fired steam
generating units as discussed in section
VII.F, the EPA also intends to evaluate,
by 2041, the continued costreasonableness of CCS for natural gasfired combustion turbines in light of
these potential significant
developments, and will consider at that
time whether a future regulatory action
may be appropriate.
(5) Comparison to Other Costs of
Controls
The costs for CCS applied to a
representative new base load stationary
combustion turbine EGU are generally
lower than the costs of other controls in
EPA rules for fossil fuel-fired electric
generating units, as well as the costs of
other controls for greenhouse gases, as
described in section VII.C.1.a.ii(D),
which supports the EPA’s view that the
CCS costs are reasonable.
(D) Non-Air Quality Health and
Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
In this section of the preamble, the
EPA considers the non-air quality health
and environmental impacts of CCS for
new combined cycle turbines and
concludes there are limited
consequences related to non-air quality
health and environmental impact and
energy requirements. The EPA first
discusses energy requirements, and then
considers non-GHG emissions impacts
and water use impacts, resulting from
the capture, transport, and sequestration
of CO2.
With respect to energy requirements,
including a 90 percent or greater carbon
capture system in the design of a new
combined cycle turbine will increase
the unit’s parasitic/auxiliary energy
demand and reduce its net power
output. A utility that wants to construct
a combined cycle turbine to provide
500 MWe-net of power could build a
835 The compliance costs assume the same
capacity factors in the base and policy case, that is,
without CCS and with CCS. If combined cycle
turbine with CCS were to operate at higher capacity
factors in the policy case, compliance costs would
be reduced.
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500 MWe-net plant knowing that it will
be de-rated by 11 percent (to a 444
MWe-net plant) with the installation
and operation of CCS. In the alternative,
the project developer could build a
larger 563 MWe-net combined cycle
turbine knowing that, with the
installation of the carbon capture
system, the unit will still be able to
provide 500 MWe-net of power to the
grid. Although the use of CCS imposes
additional energy demands on the
affected units, those units are able to
accommodate those demands by scaling
larger, as needed.
Regardless of whether a unit is scaled
larger, the installation and operation of
CCS itself does not impact the unit’s
potential-to-emit any criteria air
pollutants. In other words, a new base
load stationary combustion turbine EGU
constructed using highly efficient
generation (the first component of the
BSER) would not see an increase in
emissions of criteria air pollutants as a
direct result of installing and using 90
percent or greater CO2 capture CCS to
meet the second phase standard of
performance.836
Scaling a unit larger to provide heat
and power to the CO2 capture
equipment would have the potential to
increase non-GHG air emissions.
However, most pollutants would be
mitigated or controlled by equipment
needed to meet other CAA
requirements. In general, the emission
rates and flue gas concentrations of most
non-GHG pollutants from the
combustion of natural gas in stationary
combustion turbines are relatively low
compared to the combustion of oil or
coal in boilers. As such, it is not
necessary to use an FGD to pretreat the
flue gas prior to CO2 removal in the CO2
scrubber column. The sulfur content of
natural gas is low relative to oil or coal
and resulting SO2 emissions are
therefore also relatively low. Similarly,
PM emissions from combustion of
natural gas in a combustion turbine are
relatively low. Furthermore, the high
combustion efficiency of combustion
turbines results in relatively low HAP
emissions. Additionally, combustion
turbines at major sources of HAP are
subject to the stationary combustion
turbine NESHAP, which includes limits
for formaldehyde emissions for new
sources that may require installation of
an oxidation catalyst (87 FR 13183;
March 9, 2022). Regarding NOX
emissions, in most cases, the
combustion turbines in new combined
836 While the absolute onsite mass emissions
would not increase from the second component of
the BSER, the emissions rate on a lb/MWh-net basis
would increase by 13 percent.
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cycle units will be equipped with lowNOX burners to control flame
temperature and reduce NOX formation.
Additionally, new combined cycle units
are typically subject to major NSR
requirements for NOX emissions, which
may require the installation of SCR to
comply with a control technology
determination by the permitting
authority. See section XI.A of this
preamble for additional details
regarding the NSR program. Although
NOX concentrations may be controlled
by SCR, for some amine solvents NOX
in the post-combustion flue gas can
react in the CO2 absorber to form
nitrosamines. A conventional multistage
water wash or acid wash and a mist
eliminator at the exit of the CO2
scrubber is effective at removal of
gaseous amine and amine degradation
products (e.g., nitrosamine)
emissions.837 838 Acetaldehyde and
formaldehyde can form through
oxidation of the solvent, however, this
can be mitigated by selecting compatible
materials to limit catalytic oxidation
and interstage cooling in the absorber to
limit thermal oxidation.
The use of water for cooling presents
an additional issue. Due to their
relatively high efficiency, combined
cycle EGUs have relatively small
cooling requirements compared to other
base load EGUs. According to NETL, a
combined cycle EGU without CCS
requires 190 gallons of cooling water per
MWh of electricity. CCS increases the
cooling water requirements due both to
the decreased efficiency and the cooling
requirements for the CCS process to 290
gallons per MWh, an increase of about
50 percent. However, because combined
cycle turbines require limited amounts
of cooling water, the absolute amount of
increase in cooling water required due
to use of CCS is relatively small
compared to the amount of water used
by a coal-fired EGU. A coal-fired EGU
without CCS requires 450 gallons or
more per MWh and the industry has
demonstrated an ability to secure these
quantities of water and the EPA has
determined that the increased water
requirements for CCS can be addressed.
In addition, many combined cycle EGUs
currently use dry cooling technologies
and the use of dry or hybrid cooling
technologies for the CO2 capture process
would reduce the need for additional
cooling water. Therefore, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that the
challenges of additional cooling
requirements from CCS are limited and
do not disqualify CCS from being the
BSER.
Stakeholders have shared with the
EPA concerns about the safety of CCS
projects and that historically
disadvantaged and overburdened
communities may bear a
disproportionate environmental burden
associated with CCS projects.839 The
EPA takes these concerns seriously,
agrees that any impacts to historically
disadvantaged and overburdened
communities are important to consider,
and has done so as part of its analysis
discussed at section XII.E. For the
reasons noted above, the EPA does not
expect CCS projects to result in
uncontrolled or substantial increases in
emissions of non-GHG air pollutants
from new combustion turbines.
Additionally, a robust regulatory
framework exists to reduce the risks of
localized emissions increases in a
manner that is protective of public
health, safety, and the environment.
These projects will likely be subject to
major NSR requirements for their
emissions of criteria pollutants, and
therefore the sources would be required
to (1) control their emissions of
attainment pollutants by applying BACT
and demonstrate the emissions will not
cause or contribute to a NAAQS
violation, and (2) control their
emissions of nonattainment pollutants
by applying LAER and fully offset the
emissions by securing emission
reductions from other sources in the
area. Also, as mentioned in section
VII.C.1, carbon capture systems that are
themselves a major source of HAP
should evaluate the applicability of
CAA section 112(g) and conduct a caseby-case MACT analysis if required, to
establish MACT for any listed HAP,
including listed nitrosamines,
formaldehyde, and acetaldehyde. But, as
also discussed in section VII.C.1, a
conventional multistage water or acid
wash and mist eliminator (demister) at
the exit of the CO2 scrubber is effective
at removal of gaseous amine and amine
degradation products (e.g., nitrosamine)
emissions. Additionally, as noted in
837 Sharma, S., Azzi, M., ‘‘A critical review of
existing strategies for emission control in the
monoethanolamine-based carbon capture process
and some recommendations for improved
strategies,’’ Fuel, 121, 178 (2014).
838 Mertens, J., et al., ‘‘Understanding
ethanolamine (MEA) and ammonia emissions from
amine-based post combustion carbon capture:
Lessons learned from field tests,’’ Int’l J. of GHG
Control, 13, 72 (2013).
839 In outreach with potentially vulnerable
communities, residents have voiced two primary
concerns. First, there is the concern that their
communities have experienced historically
disproportionate burdens from the environmental
impacts of energy production, and second, that as
the sector evolves to use new technologies such as
CCS, they may continue to face disproportionate
burden. This is discussed further in section XII.E of
this preamble.
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section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble,
PHMSA oversight of supercritical CO2
pipeline safety protects against
environmental release during transport
and UIC Class VI regulations under the
SDWA, in tandem with GHGRP
requirements, ensure the protection of
USDWs and the security of geologic
sequestration.
The EPA is committed to working
with its fellow agencies to foster
meaningful engagement with
communities and protect communities
from pollution. This can be facilitated
through the existing detailed regulatory
framework for CCS projects and further
supported through robust and
meaningful public engagement early in
the technological deployment process.
The EPA also expects that the
meaningful engagement requirements
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this
preamble will ensure that all interested
stakeholders, including community
members who might be adversely
impacted by non-GHG pollutants, will
have an opportunity to raise this
concern with states and permitting
authorities. Additionally, state
permitting authorities, and project
developers are, in general, required to
provide public notice and comment on
permits for such projects. This provides
additional opportunities for affected
stakeholders to engage in that process,
and it is the EPA’s expectation that the
responsible entities consider these
concerns and take full advantage of
existing protections. Moreover, the EPA
through its regional offices is committed
to thoroughly review permits associated
with CO2 capture.
(E) Impacts on the Energy Sector
The EPA does not believe that
determining CCS to be BSER for base
load combustion turbines will cause
reliability concerns, for several
independent reasons. First, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that the costs
of CCS are reasonable and comparable
to other control requirements the EPA
has required the electric power industry
to adopt without significant effects on
reliability. Second, base load combined
cycle turbines are only one of many
options that companies have to build
new generation. The EPA expects there
to be considerable interest in building
intermediate load and low load
combustion turbines to meet demand for
dispatchable generation. Indeed, the
portion of the combustion turbine fleet
that is operating at base load is
declining as shown in the EPA’s
reference case modeling (Power Sector
Platform 2023 using IPM reference case,
see section IV.F of the preamble). In
2023, combined cycle turbines are only
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expected to represent 14 percent of all
new generating capacity built in the
U.S. and only a portion of that is natural
gas combined cycle capacity.840 Several
companies have recently announced
plans to move away from new combined
cycle turbine projects in favor of more
non-base load combustion turbines,
renewables, and battery storage. For
example, Xcel recently announced plans
to build new renewable power
generation instead of the combined
cycle turbine it had initially proposed to
replace the retiring Sherco coal-fired
plant.841 Finally, while CCS is
adequately demonstrated and costreasonable, this final rulemaking allows
companies that want to build a base
load combined cycle turbine another
compliance option to meet its
requirements: building a unit that cofires low-GHG hydrogen in the
appropriate amount to meet the
standard of performance. In fact,
companies are currently pursuing both
of these options—units with CCS as
well as units that will co-fire low-GHG
hydrogen are both in various stages of
development. For these reasons,
determining CCS to be the BSER for
base load units will not cause reliability
concerns.
(F) Extent of Reductions in CO2
Emissions
Designating CCS as a component of
the BSER for certain base load
combustion turbine EGUs prevents large
amounts of CO2 emissions. For example,
a new base load combined cycle EGU
without CCS could be expected to emit
45 million tons of CO2 over its 30-year
operating life, or 1.5 million tons of CO2
per year. Use of CCS would avoid the
release of nearly 41 million tons of CO2
over the operating life of the combined
cycle EGU, or 1.37 million tons per year.
However, due to the auxiliary/parasitic
energy requirements of the carbon
capture system, capturing 90 percent of
the CO2 does not result in a
corresponding 90 percent reduction in
CO2 emissions. According to the NETL
baseline report, adding a 90 percent CO2
capture system increases the EGU’s
gross heat rate by 7 percent and the
unit’s net heat rate by 13 percent. Since
more fuel would be consumed in the
CCS case, the gross and net emissions
rates are reduced by 89.3 percent and
88.7 percent respectively. These
amounts of CO2 emissions and
reductions are larger than for any other
840 https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/
detail.php?id=55419.
841 https://cubminnesota.org/xcel-is-no-longerpursuing-gas-power-plant-proposes-morerenewable-power/.
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industrial source, except for coal-fired
steam generating units.
(G) Promotion of the Development and
Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered whether
determining CCS to be a component of
the BSER for new base load combustion
turbines will advance the technological
development of CCS and concluded that
this factor further corroborates our BSER
determination. A standard of
performance based on highly efficient
generation in combination with the use
of CCS—combined with the availability
of IRC section 45Q tax credits and
investments in supporting CCS
infrastructure from the IIJA—should
result in more widespread adoption of
CCS. In addition, while solvent-based
CO2 capture has been adequately
demonstrated at the commercial scale, a
CCS-based standard of performance may
incentivize the development and use of
better-performing solvents or other
components of the capture equipment.
Furthermore, the experience gained
by utilizing CCS with stationary
combustion turbine EGUs, with their
lower CO2 flue gas concentration
relative to other industrial sources such
as coal-fired EGUs, will advance capture
technology with other lower CO2
concentration sources. The EIA 2023
Annual Energy Outlook projects that
almost 862 billion kWh of electricity
will be generated from natural gas-fired
sources in 2040.842 Much of that
generation is projected to come from
existing combined cycle EGUs and
further development of carbon capture
technologies could facilitate increased
retrofitting of those EGUs.
(H) Summary of BSER Determination
As discussed, the EPA is finalizing a
determination that the second
component of the BSER for base load
stationary combustion turbines is the
utilization of CCS at 90 percent capture.
The EPA has determined that 90 percent
CCS meets the criteria for BSER for new
base load combustion turbines. It is an
adequately demonstrated technology
that can be implemented a reasonable
cost. Importantly, use of CCS at 90
percent capture results in significant
reductions of CO2 as compared to a base
load combustion turbine without CCS.
In addition, the EPA has considered
non-air quality and energy impacts.
Considering all these factors together,
with particular emphasis on the
importance of significantly reducing
carbon pollution from these heavily
utilized sources, the EPA concludes that
842 Does not include 114 billion kilowatt hours
from natural gas-fired CHP projected in AEO 2023.
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CCS at 90 percent capture is BSER for
new base load combustion turbines. In
addition, selecting CCS at 90 percent
capture further promotes the
development and implementation of
this critical carbon pollution reduction
technology, which confirms the
appropriateness of determining it to be
the BSER.
The BSER for base load combustion
turbines contains two components and
the EPA is promulgating standards of
performance to be implemented in two
phases with each phase reflecting the
degree of emission reduction achievable
through the application of each
component of the BSER. The first
component of the BSER is most efficient
generation—an affected new base load
combustion turbine must be constructed
(or reconstructed) to meet a phase 1
emission standard that reflects the
emission rate of the best performing
combustion turbine systems. The phase
1 standard of performance for base load
combustion turbines is in effect
immediately once the source begins
operation. The second component of the
BSER, as just discussed, is use of CCS
at a 90 percent capture rate. The phase
2 standard of performance for base load
combustion turbines reflects the
implementation of 90 capture CCS on a
highly efficient combined cycle
combustion turbine system. The
compliance date begins January 1, 2032.
(I) January 2032 Compliance Date
The EPA proposed a compliance date
beginning January 1, 2035, for new and
reconstructed base load stationary
combustion turbines subject to the
phase 2 standard of performance based
on CCS as the BSER. Some commenters
were supportive of the proposed
compliance date and some urged the
EPA to set an earlier compliance date;
the EPA also received comments on the
proposed rule that stated that the
proposed compliance date was not
achievable and referenced longer project
timelines for CO2 capture. The EPA has
considered the comments and
information available and is finalizing a
compliance date of January 1, 2032, for
the phase 2 standard of performance for
base-load stationary combustion
turbines. The EPA is also finalizing a
mechanism for a compliance date
extension of up to 1 year in cases where
a source faces a delay in the installation
and startup of controls that are beyond
the control of the EGU owner or
operator, as detailed in section VIII.N of
this preamble.
In total, the January 1, 2032,
compliance date allows for more than 7
years for installation of CCS after
issuance of this rule for sources that
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have recently commenced construction.
This is consistent with the extended
project schedule in the Sargent & Lundy
report. This is also greater than the
approximately 6 years from start to
finish for Boundary Dam Unit 3 and
Petra Nova.
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E),
the timing for installation of CCS on
existing coal-fired steam generating
units is based on the baseline project
schedule for the capture plant
developed by Sargent and Lundy
(S&L) 843 and a review of the available
information for installation of CO2
pipelines and sequestration sites.844 The
representative timeline for CCS for coalfired steam generating units is detailed
in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units,
available in the docket, and the
anticipated timeline for development of
a CCS project for application at a new
or reconstructed base load stationary
combustion turbine would be similar.
The explanations the EPA provided in
section VII.C.1.a.i(E) regarding the
timeline for long-term coal-fired steam
generating units generally apply to new
combustion turbines as well. The EPA
expects that the owners or operators of
affected combustion turbines will be
able to complete the design, planning,
permitting, engineering, and
construction steps for the carbon
capture and transport and storage
systems in a similar amount of time as
projects for coal-fired EGUs.
While those considerations apply in
general, the EPA notes that the timeline
for the installation of CCS on coal-fired
steam generating units accounted for the
state plan development process.
Because there are not state plans
required for new combustion turbines,
new sources can commit to beginning
substantial work earlier (e.g., FEED
studies, right-of-way acquisition),
immediately after the completion of
feasibility work. However, the EPA also
recognizes that other elements of a state
plan (e.g., RULOF), by which a source
under specific circumstances could
have a later compliance date, are not
available to new sources. Therefore,
while the timeline for CCS on coal-fired
steam generating units is based on the
baseline S&L capture plant schedule
(about 6.25 years), the EPA bases the
timeline for CCS on new combustion
turbines on the extended S&L capture
plant schedule (7 years).
As discussed, base load stationary
combustion turbines that commence
843 CO Capture Project Schedule and Operations
2
Memo, Sargent & Lundy (2024).
844 Transport and Storage Timeline Summary, ICF
(2024).
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construction or reconstruction on or
after May 23, 2023, are subject to
standards of performance that are
implemented initially in two phases.
New stationary combustion turbines
that are designed and constructed for
the purpose of operating in the base
load subcategory (i.e., at a 12-operating
month capacity factor of greater than 40
percent) that hypothetically commenced
construction on May 23, 2023, could,
according to the schedule allowing,
conservatively, up to 7 years to develop
a CCS project, have a system
constructed and on-line by May 23,
2030. However, the EPA is finalizing a
compliance date of January 1, 2032,
because some base load combined cycle
stationary combustion projects that
commenced construction between May
23, 2023, and the date of this final rule,
may not have included CCS in the
original design and planning for the
new EGU and, therefore, would be
unlikely to be able to have an
operational CCS system available by
May 23, 2030.
Further, the EPA notes that a delayed
compliance date (of January 1, 2035)
was proposed for the phase 2 standards
of performance due to overlapping
demands on the capacity to design,
construct, and operate carbon capture
systems as well as pipeline systems that
would potentially be needed to support
CCS projects for existing steam
generating units and other industrial
sources. As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(E), in this action the EPA is
finalizing a compliance date of January
1, 2032 for long term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs to meet a standard of
performance based on 90 percent
capture CCS. This compliance date for
long-term coal-fired steam generating
EGUs places fewer demands on the
capacity to design, construct, and
operate carbon capture systems and the
associated infrastructure for those
sources. Therefore, the EPA does not
believe that there is a need to extend the
compliance date for phase 2 standards
for base load combustion turbine EGUs
by 5 years beyond that for existing coalfired steam generating EGUs, as
proposed.
Considering these factors, the EPA is
therefore finalizing the compliance date
of January 1, 2032 for base load
combustion turbine EGUs to meet the
phase 2 standard of performance. This
is the same compliance date applicable
to existing long term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs that are subject to a
standard of performance based on 90
percent capture CCS. The EPA assumes
the timelines for development of the
various components of CCS for an
existing coal-fired steam generating
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EGU, as discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(E), are very similar for those
components for a CCS system serving a
new or reconstructed base load
combustion turbine EGU.
Some commenters argued that
because the power sector will require
some amount of time before CCS and
associated infrastructure may be
installed on a widespread basis, CCS
cannot be considered adequately
demonstrated. This argument is similar
to the argument, discussed in section
V.C.2.b, that in order to be adequately
demonstrated, a technology must be in
widespread commercial use. Both
arguments are incorrect. Under CAA
section 111, for a control technology to
qualify as the BSER, the EPA must
demonstrate that it is adequately
demonstrated for affected sources. The
EPA must also show that the industry
can deploy the technology at scale in
the compliance timeframe. That the EPA
has provided lead time in order to
ensure adequate time for industry to
deploy the technology at scale shows
that the EPA is meeting its statutory
obligation, not the inverse. Indeed, it is
not at all unusual for the EPA to provide
lead time for industry to deploy new
technology. The EPA’s approach is in
line with the statutory text and caselaw
encouraging technology-forcing
standard-setting cabined by the EPA’s
obligation to ensure that its standards
are reasonable and achievable.
CCS is clearly adequately
demonstrated, and ripe for wider
implementation. Nevertheless, the EPA
acknowledged in the proposed rule, and
reaffirms now, that the power sector
will require some amount of lead time
before individual plants can install CCS
as necessary. Deploying CCS requires
the building of capture facilities,
pipelines to transport captured CO2 to
sequestration sites, and the
development of sequestration sites. This
is true for both existing coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, some of which would
be required to retrofit with CCS under
the emission guidelines included in this
final rulemaking, and new gas-fired
combustion turbine EGUs, which must
incorporate CCS into their construction
planning.
In this final rulemaking, the EPA is
setting a compliance deadline of January
1, 2032 for the CCS-based standard for
new base load combustion turbines. The
EPA determined, examining the
evidence and exercising its appropriate
discretion to do so, that this is a
reasonable amount of time to allow for
CCS buildout at the plant level. As the
EPA explained at proposal, D.C. Circuit
caselaw supports this approach. There,
the EPA cited Portland Cement v.
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Ruckelshaus, for the proposition that
‘‘D.C. Circuit caselaw supports the
proposition that CAA section 111
authorizes the EPA to determine that
controls qualify as the BSER—including
meeting the ‘adequately demonstrated’
criterion—even if the controls require
some amount of ‘lead time,’ which the
court has defined as ‘the time in which
the technology will have to be
available.’ ’’ (footnote omitted). Nothing
in the comments alters the EPA’s view
of the relevant legal requirements
related to adequate demonstration or
lead time.
d. BSER for Base Load Subcategory—
Third Component
The EPA proposed a third component
of the BSER of 96 percent (by volume)
hydrogen co-firing in 2038 for owners/
operators of base load combustion
turbines that elected to comply with the
low-GHG hydrogen co-firing pathway.
As discussed in the next section, the
EPA is not finalizing the proposed BSER
pathway of low-GHG hydrogen co-firing
at this time. Therefore, the Agency is
not finalizing a third component of the
BSER for base load combustion turbines.
5. Technologies Proposed by the EPA
But Ultimately Not Determined To Be
the BSER
The EPA is not finalizing its proposed
BSER pathway of low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing for new and reconstructed base
load and intermediate load combustion
turbines as part of this action. In light
of public comments and additional
analysis, uncertainties regarding
projected costs prevent the EPA from
determining that low-GHG hydrogen is
a component of the BSER at this time.
The next section provides a summary
of the proposed requirements for lowGHG hydrogen followed by, in section
VIII.F.5.b, an explanation for why the
Agency is not finalizing its proposed
determination that low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing is BSER. In section VIII.F.6, the
EPA discusses considerations for the
potential use of hydrogen. In section
VIII.F.6.a, the Agency explains why it is
not limiting the hydrogen that may be
co-fired in a new or reconstructed
combustion turbine to only low-GHG
hydrogen. In section VIII.F.6.b, the
Agency discusses its decision to not
include a definition of low-GHG
hydrogen.
a. Proposed Low-GHG Hydrogen CoFiring BSER
The EPA proposed that new and
reconstructed intermediate load
combustion turbines were subject to a
second component of the BSER that
consisted of co-firing 30 percent (by
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39939
volume) low-GHG hydrogen by 2032.
The EPA also proposed that new and
reconstructed base load combustion
turbines could elect either (i) a second
component of BSER that consisted of
installing CCS by 2035, or (ii) a second
and third component of BSER that
consisted of co-firing 30 percent (by
volume) low-GHG hydrogen by 2032
and co-firing 96 percent (by volume)
low-GHG hydrogen by 2038.
The EPA solicited comment on
whether the Agency should finalize
both the CCS and low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing pathways as separate
subcategories with separate standards of
performance and on whether the EPA
should finalize one pathway with the
option of meeting the standard of
performance using either system of
emission reduction (88 FR 33277, May
23, 2023). The EPA also solicited
comment on the option of finalizing a
single standard of performance based on
the application of CCS for the base load
subcategory (88 FR 33283, May 23,
2023).
b. Explanation for Not Finalizing LowGHG Hydrogen Co-Firing as a BSER
The EPA is not finalizing a low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing component of the
BSER at this time. The EPA proposed
that co-firing low-GHG hydrogen
qualified as a BSER pathway because
the components of the system met
specific criteria, namely that the
capability of combustion turbines to cofire hydrogen was adequately
demonstrated and there was a
reasonable expectation that the
necessary quantities of low-GHG
hydrogen would be nationally available
by 2032 and 2038 at reasonable cost.
Due to concerns raised by commenters,
the EPA conducted additional analysis
of key components of the low-GHG
hydrogen best system and the Agency’s
proposed determination that low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing qualified as the
BSER. This additional analysis,
discussed further below, indicated that
the currently estimated cost of low-GHG
hydrogen in 2030 is higher than
anticipated at proposal. These higher
cost estimates were key factors in the
EPA’s decision to revise its 2030 cost
estimate for delivered low-GHG
hydrogen.
While the EPA is not finalizing a
BSER determination with regard to cofiring with low-GHG hydrogen as part of
this rulemaking and is therefore not
making any determination about
whether such a practice is adequately
demonstrated, the Agency notes that
there are multiple models of combustion
turbines available from major
manufacturers that have successfully
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demonstrated the ability to combust
hydrogen. Manufacturers have stated
that they expect to have additional
models of combustion turbines available
that will be capable of firing 100 percent
hydrogen while limiting emissions of
other pollutants (e.g., NOX). The EPA
further discusses considerations around
the technical feasibility of hydrogen cofiring in new and reconstructed
combustion turbines, and what they
mean for the potential use of hydrogen
co-firing as a compliance strategy, in
section VIII.F.6 of this preamble.
While the EPA believes that hydrogen
co-firing is technically feasible based on
combustion turbine technology,
information about how the low-GHG
hydrogen production industry will
develop in the future is not sufficiently
certain for the EPA to be able to
determine that adequate quantities will
be available. That is, there remain, at the
time of this final rulemaking,
uncertainties pertaining to how the
future nationwide availability of lowGHG hydrogen will develop. Relatedly,
estimates of its future costs are more
uncertain than anticipated at proposal.
For low-GHG hydrogen to meet the
BSER criteria as proposed, the EPA
would have to be able to determine that
significant quantities of low-GHG
hydrogen will be available at reasonable
costs such that affected sources in the
power sector nationwide could rely on
it for use by 2032 and 2038. While some
analyses 845 show that this will likely be
the case, the full set of information
necessary to support such a
determination is not available at this
time. However, the EPA believes this
may change as the low-GHG hydrogen
industry continues to develop. The
Agency plans to monitor the
development of the industry; if
appropriate, the EPA will reevaluate its
findings and establish standards of
performance that achieve additional
emission reductions. Furthermore, as
noted above, the EPA considers the cofiring of hydrogen to be technically
feasible in multiple models of available
combustion turbines.
As noted above, the EPA has revised
its cost analysis of low-GHG hydrogen
and determined that, due to the present
uncertainty, estimated future hydrogen
costs are higher than at proposal. The
higher estimated cost of low-GHG
hydrogen relative to proposal is the key
factor in the EPA’s decision to not
finalize low-GHG hydrogen co-firing as
a BSER pathway for new and
845 Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI).
(November 3, 2023). Impact of IRA’s 45V Clean
Hydrogen Production Tax Credit. White paper.
https://www.epri.com/research/products/
000000003002028407.
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reconstructed base load and
intermediate load combustion turbines
at this time.
In the proposal, the EPA modeled
low-GHG hydrogen as a fuel available at
a fixed delivered 846 price of $1/kg (or
$7.40/MMBtu) in the baseline. This cost
decreased to $0.50/kg (or $3.70/MMBtu)
in the Integrated Proposal case when the
second phase of the new combustion
turbine standard began in 2032. This
fuel was assumed to be ‘‘clean’’ and
eligible for the highest subsidy under
the IRC section 45V hydrogen
production tax credit and would comply
with the proposed requirement to use
low-GHG hydrogen (88 FR 33314, May
23, 2023). The EPA’s revised modeling
of the power sector for the final rule
used a price of $1.15/kg for delivered
low-GHG hydrogen in both the final
baseline and policy cases. For
additional discussion of the EPA’s
revised modeling of the power sector
and increased cost estimate for lowGHG hydrogen, see the final RIA
included in the docket for this
rulemaking.
The U.S. Department of Energy’s 2022
report, Pathways to Commercial Liftoff:
Clean Hydrogen, informed the EPA’s
revised low-GHG hydrogen cost
analysis. According to the DOE report,
the cost to produce, transport, store, and
deliver low-GHG or ‘‘clean’’ hydrogen is
expected to be between $0.70/kg and
$1.15/kg by 2030 with the IRA’s $3/kg
maximum IRC section 45V production
tax credit included.847 The report also
points out that the power sector is
competing with other industrial
sectors—such as transportation,
ammonia and chemical production, oil
refining, and steel manufacturing—in
terms of potential downstream
applications of clean hydrogen for the
purpose of reducing GHG emissions.
The DOE report also estimates that
$0.40/kg to $0.50/kg is the price the
power sector would be willing to pay for
clean hydrogen.
Some analyses of future hydrogen
costs provide estimates that are higher
than those of the DOE. For example,
public commenters estimated the cost of
delivered ‘‘clean’’ hydrogen to be less
than $3/kg by 2030 before declining to
$2/kg by 2035. These estimates of
delivered hydrogen costs include the
IRC section 45V hydrogen production
tax credits contained in the IRA, but
they do not reflect regulations proposed
846 The delivered price includes the cost to
produce, transport, and store hydrogen.
847 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (March
2023). Pathways to Commercial Liftoff: Clean
Hydrogen. https://liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/
uploads/2023/05/20230523-Pathways-toCommercial-Liftoff-Clean-Hydrogen.pdf.
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by the U.S. Department of the Treasury
pertaining to clean hydrogen production
tax and energy credits, which proposed
certain eligibility parameters (88 FR
89220, December 26, 2023). Until
Treasury’s regulations on the IRC
section 45V hydrogen production tax
credit are final, some analysts only
estimate future production costs of
hydrogen, not delivered costs, and do
not include any projected potential
impacts of the IRA incentives. For
example, both McKinsey and
BloombergNEF project the unsubsidized
production cost of clean hydrogen to be
approximately $2/kg by 2030, which
could lead to negative to zero prices for
some subsidized hydrogen after
considering transportation and
storage.848 849 One of the highest
estimates for the unsubsidized
production cost of clean hydrogen is
from the Rhodium Group, which
estimates the price to be from $3.39/kg
to $4.92/kg in 2030.850 Again, it should
be noted these estimates do not include
additional costs for transportation and
storage. The increased cost projections
for low-GHG hydrogen production are
partly due to higher costs for capital
equipment, such as electrolyzers. The
DOE published a Program Record 851
detailing higher costs than previously
estimated by levering data from the
regional clean hydrogen hubs and other
literature. Costs increases are
predominantly driven by inflation,
supply chain cost increases, and higher
estimated installation costs. However,
there is a significant range in
electrolyzer costs; some companies cite
costs that are significantly lower ($750$900/kW installed cost) 852 than that
published in the Program Record.
848 Heid, B.; Sator, A.; Waardenburg, M.; and
Wilthaner, M. (25 Oct 2022). Five charts on
hydrogen’s role in a net-zero future. McKinsey &
Company. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/
sustainability/our-insights/five-charts-onhydrogens-role-in-a-net-zero-future.
849 Schelling, K. (9 Aug 2023). Green Hydrogen to
Undercut Gray Sibling by End of Decade.
BloombergNEF. https://about.bnef.com/blog/greenhydrogen-to-undercut-gray-sibling-by-end-ofdecade/.
850 Larsen, J.; King, B.; Kolus, H.; Dasari, N.;
Bower, G.; and Jones, W. (12 Aug 2022). A Turning
Point for US Climate Progress: Assessing the
Climate and Clean Energy Provisions in the
Inflation Reduction Act. Rhodium Group. https://
rhg.com/research/climate-clean-energy-inflationreduction-act/.
851 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (February
22, 2024). Summary of Electrolyzer Cost Data
Synthesized from Applications to the DOE Clean
Hydrogen Hubs Program. DOE Hydrogen Program,
Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations Program
Record. https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/docs/
hydrogenprogramlibraries/pdfs/24002-summaryelectrolyzer-cost-data.pdf.
852 Martin, P. (December 18, 2023). What gives
Bill Gates-backed start-up Electric Hydrogen the
edge over other electrolyzer makers? Hydrogen
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6. Considerations for the Potential Use
of Hydrogen
The ability of combustion turbines to
co-fire hydrogen can effectively reduce
stack GHG emissions. Hydrogen also
offers unique solutions for
decarbonization because of its potential
to provide dispatchable, clean energy
with long-term storage and seasonal
capabilities. For example, hydrogen is
an energy carrier that can provide longterm storage of low-GHG energy that can
be co-fired in combustion turbines and
used to balance load with the increasing
volumes of variable generation. These
services support the reliability of the
power system while facilitating the
integration of variable zero-emitting
energy resources and supporting
decarbonization of the electric grid. One
technology with the potential to reduce
curtailment is energy storage, and some
power producers envision a role for
hydrogen to supplement natural gas as
a fuel to support the balancing and
reliability of an increasingly
decarbonized electric grid.
Hydrogen is a zero-GHG emitting fuel
when combusted, so that co-firing it in
a combustion turbine in place of natural
gas reduces GHG emissions at the stack.
For this reason, certain owners/
operators of combustion turbines in the
power sector may elect to co-fire
hydrogen in the coming years to reduce
onsite GHG emissions.853 Co-firing lowemitting fuels—sometimes referred to as
clean fuels—is a traditional type of
emissions control. However, the EPA
recognizes that even though the
combustion of hydrogen is zero-GHG
emitting, its production can entail a
range of GHG emissions, from low to
high, depending on the method. These
differences in GHG emissions from the
different methods of hydrogen
production are well-recognized in the
energy sector (88 FR 33306, May 23,
2023), and, in fact, hydrogen is
generally characterized by its
production method and the attendant
level of GHG emissions.
While the focus of this rule is the
reduction of stack GHG emissions from
combustion turbines, the EPA also
Insight. https://www.hydrogeninsight.com/
electrolysers/what-gives-bill-gates-backed-start-upelectric-hydrogen-the-edge-over-other-electrolysermakers-/2-1-1572694.
853 In June 2022, the U.S. Department of Energy
(DOE) Loans Program Office issued a $504.4 million
loan guarantee to finance the Advanced Clean
Energy Storage (ACES) project in Delta, Utah. ACES
expects to utilize a 220 MW bank of electrolyzers
and curtailed renewable energy to produce clean
hydrogen that will be stored in salt caverns. The
hydrogen will fuel an 840 MW combined cycle
combustion turbine at the Intermountain Power
Project facility. https://www.energy.gov/lpo/
advanced-clean-energy-storage.
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recognizes that, to ensure overall GHG
benefits, it is important any hydrogen
used in the power sector be low-GHG
hydrogen. Thus, even though the EPA is
not finalizing the use of low-GHG
hydrogen as a component of the BSER
for base load or intermediate load
combustion turbines, it maintains that
the type of hydrogen used (i.e., the
method by which the hydrogen was
produced) should be a primary
consideration for any source that
decides to co-fire hydrogen. Again, the
Agency reiterates its concern that
sources in the power sector that choose
to co-fire hydrogen to reduce their GHG
emission rate should co-fire only lowGHG hydrogen to achieve overall GHG
reductions and important climate
benefits.
In the proposal, the EPA solicited
comment on whether it is necessary to
require low-GHG hydrogen. Similarly,
the EPA also solicited comment as to
whether the low-GHG hydrogen
requirement could be treated as
severable from the remainder of the
standard such that the standard could
function without this requirement. The
EPA also solicited comment on a host of
recordkeeping and reporting topics.
These pertained to the complexities of
tracking the sources of quantities of
produced low-GHG hydrogen and the
public interest in such data.
a. Explanation for Not Requiring
Hydrogen Used for Compliance To Be
Low-GHG Hydrogen
The EPA proposed that the type of
hydrogen co-fired must be limited to
low-GHG hydrogen, and not include
other types of hydrogen.854 This
requirement was proposed to prevent
the anomalous outcome of a GHG
control strategy contributing to an
increase in overall GHG emissions; the
provision that only low-GHG hydrogen
could be used for compliance mirrored
the EPA’s proposal that low-GHG
hydrogen, in particular, could qualify as
a component of the BSER. For the
reasons explained below, the EPA is not
finalizing a requirement that any
hydrogen that sources choose to co-fire
must be low-GHG hydrogen. However,
the Agency continues to stress,
notwithstanding the lack of requirement
under this rule, the importance of
ensuring that any hydrogen used in
combustion turbines is low-GHG
hydrogen. The EPA’s choice to not
finalize a low-GHG requirement at this
time is based in large part on knowledge
of current and future efforts that will
reinforce the availability and role of
low-GHG hydrogen in the national
854 88
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39941
economy and, more specifically, in the
power sector. As discussed further
below, this decision is against the
backdrop of ongoing developments in
the public and private sectors,
Treasury’s regulations implementing a
tax credit for the production of clean
hydrogen, multiple Federal government
grant and assistance programs, and the
EPA’s investigation into methods to
control emissions of air pollutants from
hydrogen production.
The EPA’s decision to not require that
any hydrogen used for compliance be
low-GHG hydrogen was based primarily
on the current market and policy
developments regarding hydrogen
production at this particular point in
time, including the clean hydrogen
production tax credits. There are
currently multiple private and public
efforts to develop, inter alia, greenhouse
gas accounting practices, verification
protocols, reporting conventions, and
other elements that will help determine
how low-GHG hydrogen is measured,
tracked, and verified over the next
several years. For example, Treasury is
expected to finalize parameters for
evaluating overall emissions associated
with hydrogen production pathways as
it prepares to implement IRC section
45V.855 The overall objective of
Treasury’s parameters is to recognize
that different methods of hydrogen
production generate different amounts
of GHG emissions while encouraging
lower-emitting production methods
through the multi-tier hydrogen
production tax credit (IRC section 45V)
(see 88 FR 89220, December 26, 2023).
In light of these nascent but fast-moving
efforts, the EPA does not believe it is
reasonable or helpful to prescribe its
own definitions, protocols, and
requirements for low-GHG hydrogen at
this point in time.
Furthermore, the Agency anticipates
that combustion turbines will, despite
not being required to do so, use lowGHG hydrogen (to the extent they are
co-firing hydrogen as a compliance
strategy). Depending on market
development in the coming decade, it is
reasonable to expect that any hydrogen
used in the power sector would
generally be low-GHG hydrogen, even
without a specific BSER pathway or
low-GHG-only requirement included in
this final NSPS. For example, several
utilities with dedicated access to
affordable low-GHG hydrogen are
actively developing co-firing projects
with the goal of reducing their GHG
855 U.S. Department of the Treasury. (October 5,
2022). Treasury Seeks Public Input on
Implementing the Inflation Reduction Act’s Clean
Energy Tax Incentives. Press release. https://
home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0993.
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emissions. The infrastructure funding
and tax incentives included in the IIJA
and the IRA are also driving the
development of the low-GHG hydrogen
supply chain. These rapid changes in
the hydrogen marketplace not only
counsel against the EPA’s locking in its
own requirements at this time; they also
provide confidence that greater
quantities of low-GHG hydrogen will be
available moving forward, even if the
precise timing and quantity cannot
currently be accurately forecast. The
EPA also provides information further
below about its intentions to open a
non-regulatory docket to engage
stakeholders on potential future
rulemakings for thermochemical-based
hydrogen production facilities to
address issues pertaining to GHG,
criteria, and HAP emissions.
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i. Hydrogen Production and Associated
GHGs
Hydrogen is used in industrial
processes; in recent years, applications
of hydrogen co-firing have also
expanded to include stationary
combustion turbines used to generate
electricity. Several commenters
responded to the proposal by stating
that to fully evaluate the potential GHG
emission reductions from co-firing lowGHG hydrogen in a combustion turbine
EGU, it is important to consider the
different processes for producing
hydrogen and the GHG emissions
associated with each process. The EPA
agrees that the method of hydrogen
production is critical to consider when
assessing whether hydrogen co-firing
actually reduces overall GHG emissions.
As stated previously, the varying levels
of CO2 emissions associated with
different hydrogen production processes
are well-recognized, and stakeholders
routinely refer to hydrogen on the basis
of the different production processes
and their different GHG profiles.
ii. Technological and Market
Transformation of Low-GHG Hydrogen
Resources
In the proposal, the EPA highlighted
ongoing efforts—independent of any
BSER pathway, requirement, or
performance standard—of combustion
turbine manufacturers and industry
stakeholders to research, develop, and
deploy hydrogen co-firing technologies
(88 FR 33307, May 23, 2023). Their cofiring demonstrations are producing
results, such as increasing the
percentages (by volume) of hydrogen
that a turbine can combust while
answering questions regarding safety,
performance, reliability, durability, and
the emission of other pollutants (e.g.,
NOX). Such efforts by industry to invest
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in the development of hydrogen cofiring, and specifically in projects
designed to co-fire low-GHG hydrogen,
in particular, give the EPA confidence
that any hydrogen that sources do
choose to co-fire for compliance under
this rule will be low-GHG hydrogen. As
these efforts progress, a sharper
understanding of costs will come into
focus while significant Federal
funding—through grants, financial
assistance programs, and tax incentives
included in the IIJA and the IRA
discussed below—is intended to
support the continued development of a
nationwide clean hydrogen supply
chain.
For the most part, companies that
have announced that they are exploring
the use of hydrogen co-firing have stated
that they intend to use low-GHG
hydrogen in the future as greater
quantities of the fuel become available
at lower, stabilized prices. Many
utilities and merchant generators own
and are developing low-GHG electricity
generating sources as well as
combustion turbines, with the intent to
produce low-GHG hydrogen for sale and
to use a portion of it to fuel their
stationary combustion turbines.856 857
This emerging trend lends support to
the view that, while acknowledging the
uncertainty of the ultimate timing of
implementation, there is growing
interest in hydrogen co-firing in the
power sector and stakeholders are
developing these resources with the
intent to increase access to low-GHG
hydrogen as they increase hydrogen
utilization in their co-firing
applications. Additional information
provided by commenters and analysis
by the EPA identified several new
combustion turbine projects planning to
co-fire low-GHG hydrogen, even though
these low-GHG methods of hydrogen
production are not currently readily
available on a nationwide basis.858 859 860
856 Mitsubishi Power. (2020). Intermountain
Power Agency Orders MHPS JAC Gas Turbine
Technology for Renewable-Hydrogen Energy Hub.
https://power.mhi.com/regions/amer/news/
200310.html.
857 Intermountain Power Agency (2022). https://
www.ipautah.com/ipp-renewed/.
858 Los Angeles Department of Water & Power
(2023). Initial Study: Scattergood Generating
Station Units 1 and 2 Green Hydrogen-Ready
Modernization Project. https://ceqanet.opr.ca.gov/
2023050366.
859 https://clkrep.lacity.org/onlinedocs/2023/230039_rpt_DWP_02-03-2023.pdf.
860 Hering, G. (2021). First major US hydrogenburning power plant nears completion in Ohio. S&P
Global Market Intelligence. https://
www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latestnews/electric-power/081221-first-major-ushydrogen-burning-power-plant-nears-completionin-ohio.
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iii. Infrastructure Funding and Tax
Incentives Included in the IIJA and IRA
In both the IIJA and the IRA, Congress
provided extensive support for the
development of hydrogen produced
through low-GHG methods. This
support includes investment in
infrastructure through the IIJA, and the
provision of tax credits in the IRA to
incentivize the manufacture of hydrogen
through low GHG-emitting methods
over the coming decades. For example,
the IIJA included the H2Hubs program,
the Clean Hydrogen Manufacturing and
Recycling Program, the Clean Hydrogen
Electrolysis Program, and a nonregulatory Clean Hydrogen Production
Standard (CHPS).861 In the IRA,
Congress enacted or expanded tax
credits to encourage the production and
use of low-GHG hydrogen.862 In
addition, as discussed in the proposal,
IRA section 60107 added new CAA
section 135, or the Low Emission
Electricity Program (LEEP). This
provision provides $1 million for the
EPA to assess the GHG emissions
reductions from changes in domestic
electricity generation and use
anticipated to occur annually through
fiscal year 2031; and further provides
$18 million for the EPA to promulgate
additional CAA rules to ensure GHG
emissions reductions that go beyond the
reductions expected in that assessment.
CAA section 135(a)(5)–(6).
Given the incentives provided in both
the IRA and IIJA for low-GHG hydrogen
production and the current trajectory of
hydrogen use in the power sector, by
2032, the start date for compliance with
the proposed second phase of the NSPS,
low-GHG hydrogen may be more widely
available and possibly the most
common source of hydrogen available
for electricity production. It is also
possible that the cost of delivered lowGHG hydrogen will continue to decline
toward the DOE’s Hydrogen Shot target.
These expectations are based on a
combination of economies of scale as
low-GHG production methods expand,
the increasing availability of low-cost
input electricity—largely powered by
zero- or low-emitting energy sources—
861 U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (September
22, 2022). Clean Hydrogen Production Standard.
Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office.
https://www.energy.gov/eere/fuelcells/articles/
clean-hydrogen-production-standard.
862 These tax credits include IRC section 45V (tax
credit for production of hydrogen through low- or
zero-emitting processes), IRC section 48 (tax credit
for investment in energy storage property, including
hydrogen production), IRC section 45Q (tax credit
for CO2 sequestration from industrial processes,
including hydrogen production); and the use of
hydrogen in transportation applications, IRC
section 45Z (clean fuel production tax credit), IRC
section 40B (sustainable aviation fuel credit).
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and learning by doing as more
combustion turbine projects are
developed. The EPA recognizes that the
pace and scale of government programs
and private research suggest that the
Agency will gain significant experience
and knowledge on this topic in the
future.
iv. EPA Non-Regulatory Docket and
Stakeholder Engagement on Potential
Regulatory Approaches for Emissions
From Thermochemical Hydrogen
Production
b. Definition of Low-GHG Hydrogen
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In addition to the ongoing industry
development of and Congressional
support for low-GHG hydrogen, the EPA
is also taking steps consistent with the
importance of mitigating GHG emissions
associated with hydrogen production.
On September 15, 2023, the EPA
received a petition from the
Environmental Defense Fund (EDF)
along with 13 other health,
environmental, and community groups,
to regulate fossil and other
thermochemical methods of hydrogen
production given the current emissions
from these facilities and the anticipated
growth in the sector spurred by IRA
incentives. The petition notes that
facilities producing hydrogen for sale
produced about 10 MMT of hydrogen
and emitted more than 40 MMT of CO2e
in 2020.863 Regulatory safeguards are
advocated by petitioners to help ensure
that the anticipated growth in this sector
does not result in an unbounded
increase in emissions of GHGs, criteria,
and hazardous air pollutants (HAP). The
petition requests that the EPA list
hydrogen production facilities as
significant sources of pollution under
CAA sections 111 and 112, and that the
EPA develop both standards of
performance for new and modified
hydrogen production facilities as well as
emission guidelines for existing
facilities. The development of emission
standards for HAP, including but not
limited to methanol, was also requested
by petitioners. Petitioners assert that
emissions of CO2, NOX, and PM should
be addressed under the EPA’s section
111 authorities, and HAP should be
addressed by EPA regulations under
section 112.864 The EPA is reviewing
the petition. As a predicate to potential
future rulemakings, the Agency is
863 Petition for Rulemaking to List and Establish
National Emission Standards for Hydrogen
Production Facilities under the Clean Air Act
Sections 111 and 112. The petition can be accessed
at https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/2023-09/
Petition%20for%20Rulemaking%20%20Hydrogen%20Production%20Facilities%20%20CAA%20111%20and%20112%20%20EDF%20et%20al.pdf.
864 Id.
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developing a set of framing questions
and opening a non-regulatory docket to
solicit public comment on potential
approaches for regulation of GHGs and
criteria pollutants under CAA section
111 and an exploration of the
appropriateness of regulating HAP
emissions under CAA section 112 and
on potential section 114 reporting
requirements to address this growing
industry.
The EPA proposed to define low-GHG
hydrogen as hydrogen produced with
emissions of less than 0.45 kg CO2e/kg
H2, from well-to-gate, which aligned
with the highest of the four tiers of tax
credits available for hydrogen
production, IRC section 45V(b)(2)(D). At
that GHG emission rate or less,
hydrogen producers are eligible for a tax
credit of $3/kg. With these provisions,
Congress indicated its judgement as to
what GHG levels could be attained by
the lowest-GHG hydrogen production,
and its intention to incentivize
production of that type of hydrogen.
Congress’s views informed the EPA’s
proposal to define low-GHG hydrogen
for purposes of making the BSER for this
CAA section 111 rulemaking consistent
with IRC section 45V(b)(2)(D).
The EPA solicited comment broadly
on its proposed definition for low-GHG
hydrogen, and on alternative
approaches, to help develop reporting
and recordkeeping requirements that
would have ensured that co-firing lowGHG hydrogen minimized GHG
emissions, and that combustion turbines
subject to this standard utilized only
low-GHG hydrogen. The EPA also
solicited comment on whether it was
necessary to provide a definition of lowGHG hydrogen in this final rule.
The EPA is not finalizing a definition
of low-GHG hydrogen in this action.
Because the Agency is not finalizing cofiring with low-GHG hydrogen as a
component of the BSER for certain
combustion turbines and is not
finalizing a requirement that any
hydrogen co-fired for compliance by
low-GHG hydrogen, there is no reason
to finalize a definition of low-GHG
hydrogen at this time.
7. Other Options for BSER
The EPA considered several other
systems of emission reduction as
candidates for the BSER for combustion
turbines but is not determining them to
be the BSER. They include partial
capture CCS, CHP and the hybrid power
plant, as discussed below.
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a. Partial Capture CCS
Partial capture for CCS was not
determined to be BSER because the
emission reductions are lower and the
costs would, in general, be higher. As
discussed in section IV, individual
natural gas-fired combined cycle
combustion turbines are the second
highest-emitting individual plants in the
nation, and the natural gas-fired power
plant sector is higher-emitting than all
other sectors. CCS at 90 percent capture
removes very high absolute amounts of
emissions. Partial capture CCS would
fail to capture large quantities of
emissions. With respect to costs, designs
for 90 percent capture in general take
greater advantage of economy of scale.
Eligibility for the IRC section 45Q tax
credit for existing EGUs requires design
capture rates equivalent to 75 percent of
a baseline emission rate by mass.
Sources with partial capture rates that
do not meet that requirement would not
be eligible for the tax credit and as a
result, for them, the CCS requirement
would be too expensive to qualify for as
the BSER. Even assuming partial
capture rates meet that definition, lower
capture rates would receive fewer
returns from the IRC section 45Q tax
credit (since these are tied to the
amount of carbon sequestered, and all
else equal lower capture rates would
result in lower amounts of sequestered
carbon) and costs would thereby be
higher.
b. Combined Heat and Power (CHP)
CHP, also known as cogeneration, is
the simultaneous production of
electricity and/or mechanical energy
and useful thermal output from a single
fuel. CHP requires less fuel to produce
a given energy output, and because less
fuel is burned to produce each unit of
energy output, CHP has lower-emission
rates and can be more economic than
separate electric and thermal generation.
However, a critical requirement for a
CHP facility is that it primarily
generates thermal output and generates
electricity as a byproduct and must
therefore be physically close to a
thermal host that can consistently
accept the useful thermal output. It can
be particularly difficult to locate a
thermal host with sufficiently large
thermal demands such that the useful
thermal output would impact the
emissions rate. The refining, chemical
manufacturing, pulp and paper, food
processing, and district energy systems
tend to have large thermal demands.
However, the thermal demand at these
facilities is generally only sufficient to
support a smaller EGU, approximately a
maximum of several hundred MW. This
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would limit the geographically available
locations where new generation could
be constructed in addition to limiting its
size. Furthermore, even if a sufficiently
large thermal host were in close
proximity, the owner/operator of the
EGU would be required to rely on the
continued operation of the thermal host
for the life of the EGU. If the thermal
host were to shut down, the EGU could
be unable to comply with the standard
of performance. This reality would
likely result in difficulty in securing
funding for the construction of the EGU
and could also lead the thermal host to
demand discount pricing for the
delivered useful thermal output. For
these reasons, the EPA did not propose
CHP as the BSER.
c. Hybrid Power Plant
Hybrid power plants combine two or
more forms of energy input into a single
facility with an integrated mix of
complementary generation methods.
While there are multiple types of hybrid
power plants, the most relevant type for
this proposal is the integration of solar
energy (e.g., concentrating solar
thermal) with a fossil fuel-fired EGU.
Both coal-fired and combined cycle
turbine EGUs have operated using the
integration of concentrating solar
thermal energy for use in boiler feed
water heating, preheating makeup
water, and/or producing steam for use
in the steam turbine or to power the
boiler feed pumps.
One of the benefits of integrating solar
thermal with a fossil fuel-fired EGU is
the lower capital and operation and
maintenance (O&M) costs of the solar
thermal technology. This is due to the
ability to use equipment (e.g., HRSG,
steam turbine, condenser, etc.) already
included at the fossil fuel-fired EGU.
Another advantage is the improved
electrical generation efficiency of the
non-emitting generation. For example,
solar thermal often produces steam at
relatively low temperatures and
pressures, and the conversion of the
thermal energy in the steam to
electricity is relatively low efficiency. In
a hybrid power plant, the lower quality
steam is heated to higher temperatures
and pressures in the boiler (or HRSG)
prior to expansion in the steam turbine,
where it produces electricity. Upgrading
the relatively low-grade steam produced
by the solar thermal facility in the boiler
improves the relative conversion
efficiencies of the solar thermal to
electricity process. The primary
incremental costs of the non-emitting
generation in a hybrid power plant are
the costs of the mirrors, additional
piping, and a steam turbine that is 10 to
20 percent larger than that in a
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comparable fossil-only EGU to
accommodate the additional steam load
during sunny hours. A drawback of
integrating solar thermal is that the
larger steam turbine will operate at part
loads and reduced efficiency when no
steam is provided from the solar thermal
panels (i.e., the night and cloudy
weather). This limits the amount of
solar thermal that can be integrated into
the steam cycle at a fossil fuel-fired
EGU.
In the 2018 Annual Energy
Outlook,865 the levelized cost of
concentrated solar power (CSP) without
transmission costs or tax credits is $161/
MWh. Integrating solar thermal into a
fossil fuel-fired EGU reduces the capital
cost and O&M expenses of the CSP
portion by 25 and 67 percent compared
to a stand-alone CSP EGU
respectively.866 This results in an
effective LCOE for the integrated CSP of
$104/MWh. Assuming the integrated
CSP is sized to provide 10 percent of the
maximum steam turbine output and the
relative capacity factors of a combined
cycle turbine and the CSP (those
capacity factors are 65 and 25 percent,
respectively) the overall annual
generation due to the concentrating
solar thermal would be 3 percent of the
hybrid EGU output. This would result
in a 3 percent reduction in the overall
CO2 emissions and a 1 percent increase
in the LCOE, without accounting for any
reduction in the steam turbine
efficiency. However, these costs do not
account for potential reductions in the
steam turbine efficiency due to being
oversized relative to a non-hybrid EGU.
A 2011 technical report by the National
Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
cited analyses indicating that solar
augmentation of fossil power stations is
not cost-effective, although likely less
expensive and containing less project
risk than a stand-alone solar thermal
plant. Similarly, while commenters
stated that solar augmentation has been
successfully integrated at coal-fired
plants to improve overall unit
efficiency, commenters did not provide
any new information on costs or
indicate that such augmentation is costeffective.
In addition, solar thermal facilities
require locations with abundant
sunshine and significant land area in
order to collect the thermal energy.
Existing concentrated solar power
projects in the U.S. are primarily located
865 EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2018, February 6,
2018. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/.
866 B. Alqahtani and D. Patin
˜ o-Echeverri, Duke
University, Nicholas School of the Environment,
‘‘Integrated Solar Combined Cycle Power Plants:
Paving the Way for Thermal Solar,’’ Applied Energy
169:927–936 (2016).
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in California, Arizona, and Nevada with
smaller projects in Florida, Hawaii,
Utah, and Colorado. NREL’s 2011
technical report on the solar-augment
potential of fossil-fired power plants
examined regions of the U.S. with ‘‘good
solar resource as defined by their direct
normal insolation (DNI)’’ and identified
sixteen states as meeting that criterion:
Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado,
Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi,
Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina,
Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee,
Texas, and Utah. The technical report
explained that annual average DNI has
a significant effect on the performance
of a solar-augmented fossil plant, with
higher average DNI translating into the
ability of a hybrid power plant to
produce more steam for augmenting the
plant. The technical report used a
points-based system and assigned the
most points for high solar resource
values. An examination of a NRELgenerated DNI map of the U.S. reveals
that states with the highest DNI values
are located in the southwestern U.S.,
with only portions of Arizona,
California, Nevada, New Mexico, and
Texas (plus Hawaii) having solar
resources that would have been
assigned the highest points by the NREL
technical report (7 kWh/m2/day or
greater).
Commenters supported not
incorporating hybrid power plants as
part of the BSER, and the EPA is not
including hybrid power plants as part of
the BSER because of gaps in the EPA’s
knowledge about costs, and concerns
about the cost-effectiveness of the
technology, as noted above.
G. Standards of Performance
Once the EPA has determined that a
particular system or technology
represents BSER, the CAA authorizes
the Administrator to establish standards
of performance for new units that reflect
the degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application of
that BSER. As noted above, the EPA is
finalizing a two-phase set of standards
of performance, which reflect a twocomponent BSER, for base load
combustion turbines. Under this
approach, for the first phase of the
standards, which applies as of the
effective date the final rule, the BSER is
highly efficient generation and best
operating and maintenance practices.
During this phase, owners/operators of
EGUs will be subject to a numeric
standard of performance that is
representative of the performance of the
best performing EGUs in the
subcategory. For the second phase of the
standards, beginning in 2035, the BSER
for base load turbines includes 90
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percent capture CCS. The affected EGUs
will be subject to an emissions rate that
reflects continued use of highly efficient
generation and best operating and
maintenance practices, coupled with
CCS. In addition, the EPA is finalizing
a single component BSER, applicable
from May 23, 2023, for low and
intermediate load combustion turbines.
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1. Phase-1 Standards
The first component of the BSER is
the use of highly efficient combined
cycle technology for base load EGUs in
combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices, the use of highly
efficient simple cycle technology in
combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices for intermediate
load EGUs, and the use of loweremitting fuels for low load EGUs.
The EPA proposed that for base load
combustion turbines, the firstcomponent BSER supports a standard of
770 lb CO2/MWh-gross for large natural
gas-fired EGUs, i.e., those with a base
load rating heat input greater than 2,000
MMBtu/h; 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
small natural gas-fired EGUs, i.e., those
with a base load rating of 250 MMBtu/
h; and between 900 and 770 lb CO2/
MWh-gross, based on the base load
rating of the EGU, for natural gas-fired
EGUs with base load ratings between
250 MMBtu/h and 2,000 MMBtu/h.867
The EPA proposed that the most
efficient available simple cycle
technology—which qualifies as the
BSER for intermediate load combustion
turbines—supports a standard of 1,150
lb CO2/MWh-gross for natural gas-fired
EGUs. For new and reconstructed low
load combustion turbines, the EPA
proposed to find that the use of loweremitting fuels—which qualifies as the
BSER—supports a standard that ranges
from 120 lb CO2/MMBtu to 160 lb CO2/
MMBtu depending on the fuel burned.
The EPA proposed these standards to
apply at all times and compliance to be
determined on a 12-operating month
rolling average basis.
The EPA proposed that these
standards of performance are achievable
specifically for natural gas-fired base
load and intermediate load combustion
turbine EGUs. However, combustion
turbine EGUs burn a variety of fuels,
867 As proposed, a new small natural gas-fired
base load EGU would determine the facility
emissions rate by taking the difference in the base
load rating and 250 MMBtu/h, multiplying that
number by 0.0743 lb CO2/(MW * MMBtu), and
subtracting that number from 900 lb CO2/MWhgross. The emissions rate for a natural gas-fired base
load combustion turbine with a base load rating of
1,000 MMBtu/h is 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross minus
750 MMBtu/h (1,000 MMBtu/h–250 MMBtu/h)
times 0.0743 lb CO2/(MW * MMBtu), which results
in an emissions rate of 844 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
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including fuel oil during natural gas
curtailments. Owners/operators of
combustion turbines burning fuels other
than natural gas would not necessarily
be able to comply with the proposed
standards for base load and intermediate
load natural gas-fired combustion
turbines using highly efficient
generation. Therefore, the Agency
proposed that owners/operators of
combustion turbines burning fuels other
than natural gas may elect to use the
ratio of the heat input-based emissions
rate of the specific fuel(s) burned to the
heat input-based emissions rate of
natural gas to determine a sourcespecific standard of performance for the
operating period. For example, the
NSPS emissions rate for a large base
load combustion turbine burning 100
percent distillate oil during the 12operating month period would be 1,070
lb CO2/MWh-gross.868
Some commenters stated that the
proposed base load emissions standard
based on highly efficient generation is
not adequately demonstrated, and that
site conditions and certain operating
parameters are outside of the control of
the owner/operator. These commenters
explained that the emissions rate of a
combustion turbine is dependent on
external and site-specific factors, rather
than the design efficiency. Factors such
as warmer climates, elevation, water
conservation measures (e.g., the use of
dry cooling), and automatic generation
control negatively impacted efficiency.
They emphasized that operating units at
partial loads would be necessary for
maintaining grid reliability, especially
as more renewables are incorporated,
and the proposed limit is only
achievable under ideal operating
conditions. Commenters noted that the
emission standards should account for
start and stop cycles, back-up fuel use,
degradation, and compliance tolerance.
Commenters stated that the lack of
flexibility would force units to operate
at nameplate capacity, even when it was
unnecessary and could result in
increased emissions. In addition, some
commenters stated that duct burners
could be an alternative to simple cycle
turbines for peaking generation, even
though they were less efficient than
combined cycle turbines without duct
burners. They recommended the Agency
consider excluding emissions and heat
input from duct burners from the
emissions standard. Furthermore,
868 The heat input-based emission rates of natural
gas and distillate oil are 117 and 163 lb CO2/
MMBtu, respectively. The ratio of the heat inputbased emission rates (1.39) is multiplied by the
natural gas-fired standard of performance (770 lb
CO2/MWh) to get the applicable emissions rate
(1,070 lb CO2/MWh).
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commenters noted multiple units that
the EPA used in the analysis to support
the proposed base load standards were
permitted near or above 800 lb CO2/
MWh. Commenters stated that the
original equipment manufacturer would
not be able to provide a warranty that
the proposed 12-month rolling
emissions rate is achievable due to the
varying operating conditions.
Commenters recommended the EPA
raise the emissions standard to 850 or
900 lb CO2/MWh-gross for large base
load combustion turbines. In addition,
commenters suggested that the EPA
incorporate scaling for smaller units to
1,100 lb CO2/MWh-gross, and the
beginning of the sliding scale should be
at least 2,500 MMBtu/h.
a. Base Load Phase-1 Emission
Standards
Considering the public comments, the
EPA re-evaluated the phase-1 standard
of performance for base load
combustion turbines. To determine the
impact of duty cycle and temperature,
the EPA binned hourly data by load and
season. This allowed the Agency to
isolate the impact of ambient
temperature and duty cycle separately.
The EPA evaluated the impact of
ambient temperature by comparing the
average emissions for all hours between
70 to 80 percent load during different
seasons. For the combined cycle
turbines evaluated, the difference
between the summer and winter average
emission rates was minimal, typically in
the single digits and less than a 1
percent difference in emission rates.
Since the seasonal temperature
differences are much larger than
regional variations, the EPA determined
that regional ambient temperature has
minimal impact on the emissions rate of
combined cycle EGUs. Owners/
operators of combined cycle EGUs are
either using inlet cooling effectively to
manage the efficiency losses of the
combustion turbine engine or increased
generation from the Rankine cycle
portion (i.e., HRSG and steam turbine)
of the combined cycle turbine is
offsetting efficiency losses in the
combustion turbine engine.869 In
addition, the variation in emissions rate
by load (described below) is much larger
than temperature and therefore the
operating load is a more important
factor than ambient temperature
impacting CO2 emission rates.
Based on the emissions data
submitted to the EPA, combined cycle
869 As the efficiency of the combustion turbine
engine is reduced at higher ambient temperatures
relatively more heat is in the exhaust entering the
HRSG. This can increase the output from the steam
turbine.
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CO2 emission are lowest at between
approximately 80 to 90 percent load.
Emission rates are relatively stable at
higher loads and down to approximately
70 percent load—typically 1 or 2
percent higher than the lowest
emissions rate. Emissions can increase
dramatically at lower loads and could
impact the ability of an owner/operator
to comply with the base load standard.
The EPA considered two approaches to
address potential compliance issues for
owners/operators of base load
combustion turbines operating at lower
duty cycles. The first approach was to
calculate emission rates using only
hourly data when the combined cycle
turbine was operating at an hourly load
of 70 percent or higher. However, this
has minimal impact on the calculated
base load emissions rate. This is because
of 2 reasons. First, the majority of
operating hours for base load
combustion turbines are at 70 percent
load or higher. In addition, the 12operating month averages are
determined by the overall sum of the
CO2 emissions divided by the overall
output during the 12-operating month
period and not the average of the
individual hourly rates. The impact of
this approach is that low load hours
have smaller impacts on the 12operating month average relative to high
load hours. Therefore, the EPA
determined that using only higher load
hours to determine the base load
emission rates would not address
potential issues for owners/operators of
base load combustion turbines operating
at relative low duty cycles (i.e., low
hourly capacity factors).
The second approach the EPA
considered, and is finalizing, is
estimating the emissions rate of
combined cycle turbines at the lower
end of the base load threshold—where
more hours of low load operation could
potentially be included in the 12operating month average—and
establishing a standard of performance
that is achievable at lower percent of
potential electric sales for the base load
subcategory. To determine what
emission rates are currently achieved by
existing high-efficiency combined cycle
EGUs, the EPA reviewed 12-operating
month generation and CO2 emissions
data from 2015 through 2023 for all
combined cycle turbines that submitted
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) data to the EPA’s
emissions collection and monitoring
plan system (ECMPS). The data were
sorted by the lowest maximum 12operating month emissions rate for each
unit to identify long-term emission rates
on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis that have
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been demonstrated by the existing
combined cycle EGU fleets. Since an
NSPS is a never-to-exceed standard, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing a
conclusion that use of long-term data
are more appropriate than shorter term
data in determining an achievable
standard. These long-term averages
account for degradation and variable
operating conditions, and the EGUs
should be able to maintain their current
emission rates, as long as the units are
properly maintained. While annual
emission rates indicate a particular
standard is achievable for certain EGUs
in the short term, they are not
necessarily representative of emission
rates that can be maintained over an
extended period using highly efficient
generating technology in combination
with best operating and maintenance
practices.
To determine the 12-operating month
average emissions rate that is achievable
by application of the BSER, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing an approach
to calculating 12-month CO2 emission
rates by dividing the sum of the CO2
emissions by the sum of the gross
electrical energy output over the same
period. The EPA did this separately for
combined cycle EGUs and simple cycle
EGUs to determine the emissions rate
for the base load and intermediate load
subcategories, respectively. Commenters
generally supported the 12-month
rolling average for emission standard
compliance.
The average maximum 12-operating
month base load emissions rate for large
combined cycle turbines that began
operation since 2015 is 810 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. The range of the maximum
12-operating month emissions rate for
individual units is 720 to 920 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. The lowest emissions rate
was achieved by an individual unit at
the Okeechobee Clean Energy Center.
This facility is a large 3-on-1 combined
cycle EGU that commenced operation in
2019 and uses a recirculating cooling
tower for the steam cycle. Each turbine
is rated at 380 MW and the three HRSGs
feed a single steam turbine of 550 MW.
The EPA did not propose to use the
emissions rate of this EGU to determine
the standard of performance for
multiple reasons. The Okeechobee
Clean Energy Center uses a 3-on-1
multi-shaft configuration but, many
combined cycle EGUs use a 1-on-1
configuration. Combined cycle EGUs
using a 1-on-1 configuration can be
designed such that both the combustion
turbine and steam turbine are arranged
on one shaft and drive the same
generator. This configuration has
potential capital cost and maintenance
costs savings and a smaller plant
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footprint that can be particularly
important for combustion turbines
enclosed in a building. In addition, a
single shaft configuration has higher net
efficiencies when operated at part load
than a multi-shaft configuration. Basing
the standard of performance strictly on
the performance of multi-shaft
combined cycle EGUs could limit the
ability of owners/operators to construct
new combined cycle EGUs in spaceconstrained areas (typically urban
areas 870) and combined cycle EGUs
with the best performance when
operated as intermediate load EGUs.871
Either of these outcomes could result in
greater overall emissions from the
power sector. An advantage of multishaft configurations is that the turbine
engine can be installed initially and run
as a simple cycle EGU, with the HRSG
and steam turbines added at a later date,
all of which allows for more flexibility
for the regulated community. In
addition, a single large steam turbine in
a 2–1 or 3–1 configuration can generate
electricity more efficiently than
multiple smaller steam turbines,
increasing the overall efficiency of
comparably sized combined cycle EGUs.
According to Gas Turbine World 2021,
multi-shaft combined cycle EGUs have
design efficiencies that are 0.7 percent
higher than single shaft combined cycle
EGUs using the same turbine engine.872
The efficiency of the Rankine cycle
(i.e., HRSG plus the steam turbine) is
determined in part by the ability to cool
the working fluid (e.g., steam) after it
has been expanded through the turbine.
All else equal, the lower the
temperature that can be achieved, the
more efficient the Rankine cycle. The
Okeechobee Clean Energy Center used a
recirculating cooling system, which can
achieve lower temperatures than EGUs
using dry cooling systems and therefore
would be more efficient and have a
lower emissions rate. However dry
cooling systems have lower water
requirements and therefore could be the
preferred technology in arid regions or
870 Generating electricity closer to electricity
demand can reduce stress on the electric grid,
reducing line losses and freeing up transmission
capacity to support additional generation from
variable renewable sources. Further, combined
cycle EGUs located in urban areas could be
designed as CHP EGUs, which have potential
environmental and economic benefits.
871 Power sector modeling projects that combined
cycle EGUs will operate at lower capacity factors in
the future. Combined cycle EGUs with lower base
load efficiencies but higher part load efficiencies
could have lower overall emission rates.
872 According to the data in Gas Turbine World
2021, while there is a design efficiency advantage
of going from a 1-on-1 configuration to a 2-on-1
configuration (assuming the same turbine engine),
there is no efficiency advantage of 3-on-1
configurations compared to 2-on-1 configurations.
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in areas where water requirements
could have significant ecological
impacts. Therefore, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing that the efficient
generation standard for base load EGUs
should account for the use of cooling
technologies with reduced water
requirements.
Finally, the Okeechobee Clean Energy
Center operates primarily at high duty
cycles where efficiency is the highest
and since it is a relatively new facility
efficiency degradation might not be
accounted for in the emissions analysis.
Therefore, the EPA is not determining
that the performance of the Okeechobee
Clean Energy Facility is appropriate for
a nationwide standard.
The proposed emissions rate of 770 lb
CO2/MWh-gross has been demonstrated
by approximately 15 percent of recently
constructed large combined cycle EGUs.
As noted in the proposal, these
combustion turbines include combined
cycle EGUs using 1-on-1 configurations,
dry cooling, and combustion turbines on
the lower end of the large base load
subcategory. In addition, this emissions
rate has been demonstrated by using
combustion turbines from multiple
manufacturers and from one facility that
commenced operation in 2011—
demonstrating the long-term
achievability of the proposed emissions
standard. However, as noted by
commenters the majority of recently
constructed combined cycle turbines are
not achieving an emissions rate of 770
lb CO2/MWh-gross and combustion
turbine manufacturers might not be
willing to guarantee this emissions level
in operating making it challenging to
build a new combined cycle EGU.
To account for differences in the
performance of the best performing
combustion turbines and design options
that result in less efficient operation, the
EPA normalized the reported emission
rates for combined cycle EGUs.873
Specifically, for the reported emissions
rates of combined cycle turbines with
cooling towers was increased by 1.0
percent to account for potential new
units using dry cooling. Similarly, the
emissions rate of 2–1 and 3–1 combined
cycle turbines were increased by 1.4
percent to account for potential new
units using a 1–1 configuration. In
addition, for the best performing
combined cycle turbines, the EPA
plotted the 12-operating month
emissions rate against the 12-operating
month heat input-based capacity factor.
Based on this data, the EPA used the
873 A similar normalization approach was used by
the EPA in previous EGU GHG NSPS rulemakings
to benchmark the performance of coal-fired EGUs
when determining an achievable efficiency-based
standard of performance.
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trend in increasing emission rates at
lower 12-operating month capacity
factors to estimate the emissions rate at
capacity factors at which an individual
facility has never operated. This
approach allowed the EPA to estimate
the emissions rate at a 40 percent 12operating month capacity factor for the
best performing combined cycle
turbines. This allows the estimation of
the emissions rate at the lower end of
the base load subcategory using higher
capacity factor data.874 The EPA did not
correct the achievable emissions rate for
combined cycle turbines where the
relationship indicated emission rates
declined at lower 12-operating month
capacity factors.
As noted in the proposal, one of the
best performing large combined cycle
EGUs that has maintained a 12operating-month base load emissions
rate of 770 lb CO2/MWh-gross is the
Dresden plant, located in Ohio.875 This
2-on-1 combined cycle facility uses a
recirculating cooling tower. The turbine
engines are rated at 2,250 MMBtu/h,
which demonstrates that the standard of
performance for large base load
combustion turbines is achievable at a
heat input rating of 2,000 MMBtu/h. As
noted, a 2-on-1 configuration and a
cooling tower are more efficient than a
1-on-1 configuration and dry cooling.
Normalizing for these factors and
accounting for operation at a 12operating month capacity factor of 40
percent increases the achievable
demonstrated emissions rate to 800 lb
CO2/MWh-gross. However, the Dresden
Energy Facility does not use the most
efficient combined cycle design
currently available. Multiple more
efficient designs have been developed
since the Dresden Energy Facility
commenced operation a decade ago that
more than offset these efficiency losses.
Therefore, the EPA has determined that
the Dresden combined cycle EGU
demonstrates that an emissions rate of
800 lb CO2/MWh-gross is achievable for
all new large combined cycle EGUs with
an acceptable compliance margin.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a phase
1 standard of performance of 800 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for large base load
combustion turbines (i.e., those with a
base load rating heat input greater than
2,000 MMBtu/h) based on the BSER of
874 The most efficient combined cycle turbines
tend to operate strictly as base load combustion
turbines, well above the base load subcategorization
threshold.
875 The Dresden Energy Facility is listed as being
located in Muskingum County, Ohio, as being
owned by the Appalachian Power Company, as
having commenced commercial operation in late
2011. The facility ID (ORISPL) is 55350 1A and 1B.
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highly efficient combined cycle
technology.
With respect to small combined cycle
combustion turbines, the best
performing unit identified by the EPA is
the Holland Energy Park facility in
Holland, Michigan, which commenced
operation in 2017 and uses a 2-on-1
configuration and a cooling tower.876
The 50 MW turbine engines have
individual heat input ratings of 590
MMBtu/h and serve a single 45 MW
steam turbine. The facility has
maintained a 12-operating month, 99
percent confidence emissions rate of
870 lb CO2/MWh-gross. The emissions
standard for a base load combustion
turbine of this size is 880 lb CO2/MWhgross. The normalized emissions rate
accounting for the use of recirculating
cooling towers, a 2–1 configuration, and
operation at a 40 percent capacity factor
is 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross. While this is
higher than the final emissions standard
in this rule, there are efficient
generation technologies that are not
being used at the Holland Energy Park.
For example, a commercially available
HRSG that uses supercritical CO2
instead of steam as the working fluid is
available. This HRSG would be
significantly more efficient than the
HRSG that uses dual pressure steam,
which is common for small combined
cycle EGUs.877 When these efficiency
improvements are accounted for, a
similar combined cycle EGU would be
able to maintain an emissions rate of
880 lb CO2/MWh-gross. In addition, the
normalization approach assumes a
worst-case scenario. Hybrid cooling
technologies are available and offer
performance similar to that of wet
cooling towers. This long-term data
accounts for degradation and variable
operating conditions and demonstrates
that a base load combustion turbine
EGU with a turbine rated at 590
MMBtu/h should be able to maintain an
emissions rate of 880 lb CO2/MWhgross.878 Therefore, estimating that
876 The Holland Park Energy Center is a CHP
system that uses hot water in the cooling system for
a snow melt system that uses a warm water piping
system to heat the downtown sidewalks to clear the
snow during the winter. Since this useful thermal
output is low temperature, it likely only results in
a small reduction of the electrical efficiency of the
EGU. If the useful thermal output were accounted
for, the emissions rate of the Holland Energy Park
would be lower. The facility ID (ORISPL) is 59093
10 and 11.
877 If the combustion turbine engine exhaust
temperature is 500 °C or greater, a HRSG using 3
pressure steam without a reheat cycle could
potentially provide an even greater increase in
efficiency (relative to a HRSG using 2 pressure
steam without a reheat cycle).
878 To estimate an achievable emissions rate for
an efficient combined cycle EGU at 250 MMBtu/h
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emission rates will be slightly higher for
smaller combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a phase 1 standard of
performance of 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for small base load combustion turbines
(i.e., those with a base load rating of 250
MMBtu/h) based on the BSER of highly
efficient combined cycle technology.
b. Intermediate Load Emission
Standards
For the intermediate load standards of
performance, some commenters stated
that an emissions standard of 1,150 lb
CO2/MWh-gross is only achievable for
simple cycle except under ideal
operating conditions. Since the
emissions standard is not achievable in
practice, these commenters stated that
the majority of new simple cycle
turbines would be prevented from
operating as variable or intermediate
load units. Similar to comments on the
base load emissions standard,
commenters stated the standard of
performance should account for ambient
conditions, operation at part load,
automatic generation control, and
variable loads. If the intermediate load
standard is not achievable in practice, it
could result in the operation of less
efficient generation in other operating
modes and an increase in overall GHG
emissions. They also explained this
could force simple cycle turbines to
always operate at nameplate capacity,
even when it was not necessary, which
would also lead to increased emissions.
These commenters requested that the
EPA raise the variable and intermediate
load emissions standard to 1,250 to
1,300 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Considering the public comments, the
EPA re-evaluated the standard of
performance for intermediate load
combustion turbines using the same
approach as for combined cycle
turbines, except using the performance
of simple cycle EGUs. The average
maximum 12-operating operating month
intermediate load emissions rate for
simple cycle turbines that began
operation since 2015 is 1,210 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. The range of the maximum
12-operating month emissions rate for
individual units is 1,080 to 1,470 lb
CO2/MWh-gross. The lowest emissions
rate was achieved by an individual unit
at the Scattergood Generating Station.
This facility includes 2 large
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines
(General Electric LMS 100) that
commenced operation in 2015. Each
turbine is rated at approximately 100
MW and use water injection to reduce
the EPA assumed a linear relationship for combined
cycle efficiency with turbine engines with base load
ratings of less than 2,000 MMBtu/h.
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NOX emissions. The EPA did not
propose and is not finalizing to use the
emissions rate of this EGU to determine
the standard of performance for
multiple reasons. Simple cycle turbine
efficiency tends to increase with size
and the simple cycle turbines at the
Scattergood Facility are the largest
aeroderivative turbines available.
Establishing a standard of performance
based on emission rates that only large
aeroderivative turbines could achieve
would limit the ability to develop new
firm combustion turbine based
generating capacity in smaller than 100
MW increments. This could result in the
local electric grid operating in a less
overall efficient manner, increasing
overall GHG emissions. In addition, the
largest available aeroderivative simple
cycle turbines can use either water
injection or dry low NOX combustion to
reduce emissions of NOX. For this
particular design, the use of water
injection has higher design efficiencies
than the dry low NOX option. Water
injection has similar ecological impacts
as water used for cooling towers, the
EPA has determined in this case it is
important to preserve the option for new
intermediate load combustion turbines
to use dry low NOX combustion.
The proposed emissions rate of 1,150
lb CO2/MWh-gross was achieved by 20
percent of recently constructed
intermediate load simple cycle turbines.
However, only two-thirds of LMS 100
simple cycle turbines installed to date
have maintained an intermediate load
emissions rate of 1,150 lb CO2/MWhgross. In addition, only one-third of the
Siemens STG–A65 simple cycle
turbines and only 10 percent of General
Electric LM6000 simple cycle
combustion turbine have maintained
this emissions rate. Both of these are
common aeroderivative turbines and
since they do require an intercooler
have potential space consideration
advantages compared to the LMS100.
Finalizing the proposed emissions
standard could restrict new
intermediate load simple cycle turbine
to the use of intercooling, limiting
application to locations that can support
a cooling tower. An intermediate load
emissions rate of 1,170 lb CO2/MWhgross has been achieved by threequarters of both the LMS100 and STG–
A65 installations and 20 percent of
LM6000 installations. In addition, this
emissions rate has been demonstrated
by a frame simple turbine. The EPA
notes that the more efficient versions of
the combustion turbines—water
injection in the case of the LMS 100 and
DLN in the case of the STG–A65—have
higher design efficiencies and higher
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compliance levels than the version with
the alternate NOX control technology.
This standard of performance has been
demonstrated by 40 percent of recently
installed intermediate load simple cycle
turbines and the Agency has determined
that with proper maintenance is
achievable with combustion turbines
from multiple manufacturers, with and
without intercooling, and is finalizing a
standard of 1,170 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
The EPA considered, but rejected,
finalizing an emissions standard of
1,190 lb CO2/MWh-gross. This standard
of performance has been achieved by
essentially all LMS 100 and SGT–A65
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
and 70 percent of recently installed
intermediate load simple cycle turbines
but would not require the most efficient
available versions of new intermediate
load simple cycle turbines and does not
represent the BSER.
2. Phase-2 Standards
The EPA proposed that 90 percent
CCS (as part of the CCS pathway)
qualifies as the second component of
the BSER for base load combustion
turbines. For the base load combustion
turbines, the EPA reduced the emissions
rate by 89 percent to determine the CCS
based phase-2 standards.879 The CCS
percent reduction is based on a CCS
system capturing 90 percent of the
emitting CO2 being operational anytime
the combustion turbine is operating.
Similar to the phase-1 emission
standards, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a decision that standard of
performance for base load combustion
turbines be adjusted based on the
uncontrolled emission rates of the fuels
relative to natural gas. For 100 percent
distillate oil-fired combustion turbines,
the emission rates would be 120 lb CO2/
MWh-gross.
The EPA solicited comment on the
range of reduction in emission rate of 75
to 90 percent. In addition, the EPA
solicited comment on whether carbon
capture equipment has lower
availability/reliability than the
combustion turbine or the CCS
equipment takes longer to startup than
the combustion turbine itself there
would be periods of operation where the
CO2 emissions would not be controlled
by the carbon capture equipment. For
the same reasons as for coal-fired EGUs,
the EPA has determined 90 percent CCS
879 The 89 percent reduction from CCS accounts
for the increased auxiliary load of a 90 percent post
combustion amine-based capture system. Due to
rounding, the proposed numeric standards of
performance do not necessarily match the standards
that would be determined by applying the percent
reduction to the phase-1 standards.
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has been demonstrated and appropriate
for base load combustion turbines, see
section VII.C.
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H. Reconstructed Stationary
Combustion Turbines
All the major manufacturers of
combustion turbines sell upgrade
packages that increase both the output
and efficiency of existing combustion
turbines. An owner/operator of a
reconstructed combustion turbine
would be able to use one of these
upgrade packages to comply with the
intermediate load emission standards in
this final rule. Some examples of these
upgrades include GE’s Advanced Gas
Path, Siemens’ Hot Start on the Fly, and
Solar Turbines’ Gas Compressor
Restaging. The Advanced Gas Path
option includes retrofitting existing
turbine components with improved
materials to increase durability, air
sealing, and overall efficiency.880 Hot
Start on the Fly upgrades include
implementing new software to allow for
the gas and steam turbine to start-up
simultaneously, which greatly improves
start times, and in some cases could do
so by up to 20 minutes.881 Compressor
restaging involves analyzing the current
operation of an existing combustion
turbine and adjusting its gas compressor
characteristics including transmission,
injection, and gathering, to operate in
the most efficient manner given the
other operating conditions of the
turbine.882 In addition, steam injection
is a retrofittable technology that is
estimated to be available for a total cost
of all the equipment needed for steam
injection of $250/kW.883 Due to the
differences in materials used and
necessary additional infrastructure, a
steam injection system can be up to 60
percent smaller than a similar HRSG,
which is valuable for retrofit
purposes.884
For owners/operators of base load
combustion turbines, however, HRSG
have been added to multiple existing
simple cycle turbines to convert to
combined cycle technology. There have
been multiple examples of this kind of
conversion from simple cycle to
combined cycle. One such example is
Unit 12 at Riverton Power Plant in
Riverton, Kansas, which was originally
built in 2007 as a 143 MW simple cycle
880 https://www.gevernova.com/content/dam/
gepower-new/global/en_US/downloads/gas-newsite/resources/advanced-gas-path-brochure.pdf.
881 https://www.siemens-energy.com/global/en/
home/stories/trianel-power-plant-upgrades.html.
882 https://s7d2.scene7.com/is/content/
Caterpillar/CM20191213-93d46-8e41d.
883 ‘‘GTI’’ (2019). Innovative Steam Technologies.
https://otsg.com/industries/powergen/gti/.
884 Ibid.
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combustion turbine. In 2013, an HRSG
and additional equipment was added to
convert Unit 12 to a combined cycle
combustion turbine.885 Another is
Energy Center Dover, located in Dover,
Delaware, which in addition to a coalfired steam turbine, originally had two
44 MW simple cycle combustion
turbines. Also in 2013, the unit added
an HRSG to one of the existing simple
cycle combustion turbines, connected
the existing steam generator to it, and
retired the remaining coal-related
equipment to convert that combustion
turbine to a combined cycle one.886
Some other examples include the Los
Esteros Critical Energy Facility in San
Jose, California, which converted from a
four-turbine simple cycle peaking
facility to a combined-cycle one in 2013,
and the Tracy Combined Cycle Power
Plant.887 The Tracy facility, located in
Tracy, California, was built in 2003 with
two simple cycle combustion turbines
and in 2012 was converted to combined
cycle with the addition of a steam
turbine.888
In the previous sections, the EPA
explained the background of and
requirements for new and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbines and
evaluated various control technology
configurations to determine the BSER.
Because the BSER is the same for new
and reconstructed stationary
combustion turbines, the Agency used
the same emissions analysis for both
new and reconstructed stationary
combustion turbines. For each of the
subcategories, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a conclusion that the BSER
results in the same standard of
performance for new stationary
combustion turbines and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbines. For
CCS, consistent with the NETL
Combined Cycle CCS Retrofit Report,
the EPA approximated the cost to add
CCS to a reconstructed combustion
turbine by increasing the capital costs of
the carbon capture equipment by 9
percent relative to the costs of adding
CCS to a newly constructed combustion
turbine and decreasing the net
efficiency by 0.3 percent.889 Using the
same costing assumptions for newly
885 https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/news/
newsempire-district-starts-riverton-plantscombined-cycle-expansion-231013/.
886 https://news.delaware.gov/2013/07/26/
repowered-nrg-energy-center-dover-unveiled-govmarkell-congressional-delegation-dnrec-sec-omaraother-officials-join-with-nrg-to-announce-cleanernatural-gas-facility/.
887 https://www.calpine.com/los-esteros-criticalenergy-facility.
888 https://www.middleriverpower.com/#portfolio.
889 ‘‘Cost and Performance of Retrofitting NGCC
Units for Caron Capture—Revision 3.’’ DOE/NETL–
2023/3845. March 17, 2023.
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constructed combined cycle turbines,
the compliance costs for reconstructed
combined cycle turbines are
approximately 10 percent higher than
for comparable newly constructed
combined cycle turbine. Assuming
continued operation of the capture
equipment, the compliance costs are
$17/MWh and $51/ton ($56/metric ton)
for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class
combustion turbine, and $21/MWh and
$63/ton ($69/metric ton) for a 4,600
MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine. If
the capture system is not operated while
the combustion turbine is
subcategorized as in intermediate load
combustion turbine, the compliance
costs are reduced to $10/MWh and $50/
ton ($55/metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/
h H-Class combustion turbine, and $13/
MWh and $67/ton ($73/metric ton) for
a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion
turbine.
A reconstructed stationary
combustion turbine is not required to
meet the standards if doing so is
deemed to be ‘‘technologically and
economically’’ infeasible.890 This
provision requires a case-by-case
reconstruction determination in the
light of considerations of economic and
technological feasibility. However, this
case-by-case determination considers
the identified BSER, as well as
technologies the EPA considered, but
rejected, as BSER for a nationwide rule.
One or more of these technologies could
be technically feasible and of reasonable
cost, depending on site-specific
considerations and if so, would likely
result in sufficient GHG reductions to
comply with the applicable
reconstructed standards. Finally, in
some cases, equipment upgrades, and
best operating practices would result in
sufficient reductions to achieve the
reconstructed standards.
I. Modified Stationary Combustion
Turbines
CAA section 111(a)(4) defines a
‘‘modification’’ as ‘‘any physical change
in, or change in the method of operation
of, a stationary source’’ that either
‘‘increases the amount of any air
pollutant emitted by such source or . . .
results in the emission of any air
pollutant not previously emitted.’’
Certain types of physical or operational
changes are exempt from consideration
as a modification. Those are described
in 40 CFR 60.2, 60.14(e).
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA did not
finalize standards of performance for
stationary combustion turbines that
conduct modifications; instead, the EPA
concluded that it was prudent to delay
890 40
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issuing standards until the Agency
could gather more information (80 FR
64515; October 23, 2015). There were
several reasons for this determination:
few sources had undertaken NSPS
modifications in the past, the EPA had
little information concerning them, and
available information indicated that few
owners/operators of existing
combustion turbines would undertake
NSPS modifications in the future; and
since the Agency eliminated proposed
subcategories for small EGUs in the
2015 NSPS, questions were raised as to
whether smaller existing combustion
turbines that undertake a modification
could meet the final performance
standard of 1,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
It continues to be the case that the
EPA is aware of no evidence indicating
that owners/operators of combustion
turbines intend to undertake actions
that could qualify as NSPS
modifications in the future. The EPA
did not propose or solicit comment on
standards of performance for
modifications of combustion turbines
and is not establishing any in this final
rule.
J. Startup, Shutdown, and Malfunction
In its 2008 decision in Sierra Club v.
EPA, 551 F.3d 1019 (D.C. Cir. 2008), the
D.C. Circuit vacated portions of two
provisions in the EPA’s CAA section
112 regulations governing the emissions
of HAP during periods of SSM.
Specifically, the court vacated the SSM
exemption contained in 40 CFR
63.6(f)(1) and 40 CFR 63.6(h)(1), holding
that the SSM exemption violates the
requirement under section 302(k) of the
CAA that some CAA section 112
standard apply continuously. The EPA
has determined the reasoning in the
court’s decision in Sierra Club v. EPA
applies equally to CAA section 111
because the definition of emission or
standard in CAA section 302(k), and the
embedded requirement for continuous
standards, also applies to the NSPS.
Consistent with Sierra Club v. EPA, the
EPA is finalizing standards in this rule
that apply at all times. The NSPS
general provisions in 40 CFR 60.11(c)
currently exclude opacity requirements
during periods of startup, shutdown,
and malfunction and the provision in 40
CFR 60.8(c) contains an exemption from
non-opacity standards. These general
provision requirements would
automatically apply to the standards set
in an NSPS, unless the regulation
specifically overrides these general
provisions. The NSPS subpart TTTT (40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTT) does not
contain an opacity standard, thus, the
requirements at 40 CFR 60.11(c) are not
applicable. The NSPS subpart TTTT
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also overrides 40 CFR 60.8(c) in table 3
and requires that sources comply with
the standard(s) at all times. In reviewing
NSPS subpart TTTT and proposing the
new NSPS subpart TTTTa, the EPA
proposed to retain in subpart TTTTa the
requirements that sources comply with
the standard(s) at all times in table 3 of
the new subpart TTTTa to override the
general provisions for SSM exemption
related provisions. The EPA proposed
and is finalizing that all standards in
subpart TTTTa apply at all times.
In developing the standards in this
rule, the EPA has taken into account
startup and shutdown periods and, for
the reasons explained in this section of
the preamble, is not establishing
alternate standards for those periods.
The EPA analysis of achievable
standards of performance used CEMS
data that includes all period of
operation. Since periods of startup,
shutdown, and malfunction were not
excluded from the analysis, the EPA is
not establishing alternate standard for
those periods of operation.
Periods of startup, normal operations,
and shutdown are all predictable and
routine aspects of a source’s operations.
Malfunctions, in contrast, are neither
predictable nor routine. Instead, they
are, by definition, sudden, infrequent,
and not reasonably preventable failures
of emissions control, process, or
monitoring equipment. (40 CFR 60.2).
The EPA interprets CAA section 111 as
not requiring emissions that occur
during periods of malfunction to be
factored into development of CAA
section 111 standards. Nothing in CAA
section 111 or in caselaw requires that
the EPA consider malfunctions when
determining what standards of
performance reflect the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
‘‘the application of the best system of
emission reduction’’ that the EPA
determines is adequately demonstrated.
While the EPA accounts for variability
in setting standards of performance,
nothing in CAA section 111 requires the
Agency to consider malfunctions as part
of that analysis. The EPA is not required
to treat a malfunction in the same
manner as the type of variation in
performance that occurs during routine
operations of a source. A malfunction is
a failure of the source to perform in a
‘‘normal or usual manner’’ and no
statutory language compels the EPA to
consider such events in setting CAA
section 111 standards of performance.
The EPA’s approach to malfunctions in
the analogous circumstances (setting
‘‘achievable’’ standards under CAA
section 112) has been upheld as
reasonable by the D.C. Circuit in U.S.
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Sugar Corp. v. EPA, 830 F.3d 579, 606–
610 (2016).
K. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
Because the NSPS reflects the
application of the best system of
emission reduction under conditions of
proper operation and maintenance, in
doing the NSPS review, the EPA also
evaluates and determines the proper
testing, monitoring, recordkeeping and
reporting requirements needed to ensure
compliance with the NSPS. This section
includes a discussion on the current
testing and monitoring requirements of
the NSPS and any additions the EPA is
including in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTTa.
1. General Requirements
The EPA proposed to allow three
approaches for determining CO2
emissions: a CO2 CEMS and stack gas
flow monitor; hourly heat input, fuel
characteristics, and F factors 891 for
EGUs firing oil or gas; or Tier 3
calculations using fuel use and carbon
content. The first two approaches are in
use for measuring CO2 by units affected
by the Acid Rain program (40 CFR part
75), to which most, if not all, of the
EGUs affected by NSPS subpart TTTT
are already subject, while the last
approach is in use for stationary fuel
combustion sources reporting to the
GHGRP (40 CFR part 98, subpart C).
The EPA believes continuing the use
of approaches already in use by other
programs represents a cost-effective
means of obtaining quality assured data
requisite for determining carbon dioxide
mass emissions. MPS reporting software
required by this subpart for reporting
emissions to the EPA expects hourly or
daily CO2 emission values and has
thousands of electronic checks to
validate data using the Acid Rain
program requirements (40 CFR part 75).
ECMPS does not currently
accommodate or validate data under
GHGRP’s Tier 3 approach. Because
most, if not all, of the EGUs that will be
affected by this final rule are already
affected by Acid Rain program
monitoring requirements, the cost and
burden for EGU owners or operators are
already accounted for by other
rulemakings. Therefore, this aspect of
the final rule is designed to have
minimal, if any, cost or burden
associated with CO2 testing and
monitoring. In addition, there are no
changes to measurement and testing
requirements for determining electrical
output, both gross and net, as well as
891 An F factor is the ratio of the gas volume of
the products of combustion to the heat content of
the fuel.
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thermal output, to existing
requirements.
However, the EPA requested comment
on whether continuous CO2 CEMS and
stack gas flow measurements should be
the sole means of compliance for this
rule. Such a switch would increase costs
for those EGU owners or operators who
are currently relying on the oil- or gasfired calculation-based approaches. By
way of reference, the annualized cost
associated with adoption and use of
continuous CO2 and flow measurements
where none now exist is estimated to be
about $52,000. To the extent that the
rule were to mandate continuous CO2
and stack gas flow measurements in
accordance with what is currently
allowed as one option and that an EGU
lacked this instrumentation, its owner
or operator would need to incur this
annual cost to obtain such information
and to keep the instrumentation
calibrated. Commenters encouraged the
EPA to maintain the flexibility for EGUs
to use hourly heat input measurements,
fuel characteristics, and F factors as is
allowed under the Acid Rain program.
Commenters argued that in addition to
the incremental costs, some facilities
have space constraints that could make
the addition of stack gas flow monitors
difficult or impractical. In this final
rule, the EPA allows the use of hourly
heat input, fuel characteristics, and F
factors as an alternative to CO2 CEMS
and stack gas flow monitors for EGUs
that burn oil or gas.
One commenter argued that the part
75 data requirements, which are
required for several emission trading
programs including the Acid Rain
program, are punitive and that the data
are biased high. Other commenters
argued that the part 75 CO2 data are
biased low. EPA disagrees that the data
requirements are punitive. Most, if not
all, of the EGUs subject to this subpart
are already reporting the data under the
Acid Rain program. Oil- and gas-fired
EGUs that are not subject to the Acid
Rain program but are subject to a CrossState Air Pollution Rule program are
already reporting most of the necessary
data elements (e.g., hourly heat input
and F factors) for SO2 and/or NOX
emissions. The additional data and
effort necessary to calculate CO2
emissions is minor. The EPA also
disagrees that the data are biased
significantly high or low. Each CO2
CEMS and stack gas flow monitor must
undergo regular quality assurance and
quality control activities including
periodic relative accuracy test audits
where the EGU’s monitoring system is
compared to an independent monitoring
system. In a May 2022 study conducted
by the EPA, the average difference
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between the EGU’s monitoring system
and the independent monitoring system
was approximately 2 percent for CO2
concentration and slightly greater than 2
percent for stack gas flow.
2. Requirements for Sources
Implementing CCS
The CCS process is also subject to
monitoring and reporting requirements
under the EPA’s GHGRP (40 CFR part
98). The GHGRP requires reporting of
facility-level GHG data and other
relevant information from large sources
and suppliers in the U.S. The ‘‘suppliers
of carbon dioxide’’ source category of
the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart PP)
requires those affected facilities with
production process units that capture a
CO2 stream for purposes of supplying
CO2 for commercial applications or that
capture and maintain custody of a CO2
stream in order to sequester or
otherwise inject it underground to
report the mass of CO2 captured and
supplied. Facilities that inject a CO2
stream underground for long-term
containment in subsurface geologic
formations report quantities of CO2
sequestered under the ‘‘geologic
sequestration of carbon dioxide’’ source
category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart
RR). In April 2024, to complement
GHGRP subpart RR, the EPA finalized
the ‘‘geologic sequestration of carbon
dioxide with enhanced oil recovery
(EOR) using ISO 27916’’ source category
of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart VV) to
provide an alternative method of
reporting geologic sequestration in
association with EOR.892 893 894
CCS as the BSER, as detailed in
section VIII.F.4.c.iv of this preamble, is
determined to be adequately
demonstrated based solely on geologic
sequestration that is not associated with
EOR. However, EGUs also have the
compliance option to send CO2 to EOR
facilities that report under GHGRP
subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. The
EPA is requiring that any affected unit
892 EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG
Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/
rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
893 International Standards Organization (ISO)
standard designated as CSA Group (CSA)/American
National Standards Institute (ANSI) ISO
27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture,
Transportation and Geological Storage—Carbon
Dioxide Storage Using Enhanced Oil Recovery (CO2EOR) (referred to as ‘‘CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019’’).
894 As described in 87 FR 36920 (June 21, 2022),
both subpart RR and subpart VV (CSA/ANSI ISO
27916:2019) require an assessment and monitoring
of potential leakage pathways; quantification of
inputs, losses, and storage through a mass balance
approach; and documentation of steps and
approaches used to establish these quantities.
Primary differences relate to the terms in their
respective mass balance equations, how each
defines leakage, and when facilities may
discontinue reporting.
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39951
that employs CCS technology that
captures enough CO2 to meet the
proposed standard and injects the
captured CO2 underground must report
under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP
subpart VV. If the emitting EGU sends
the captured CO2 offsite, it must transfer
the CO2 to a facility that reports in
accordance with GHGRP subpart RR or
GHGRP subpart VV. This does not
change any of the requirements to
obtain or comply with a UIC permit for
facilities that are subject to the EPA’s
UIC program under the Safe Drinking
Water Act.
The EPA also notes that compliance
with the standard is determined
exclusively by the tons of CO2 captured
by the emitting EGU. The tons of CO2
sequestered by the geologic
sequestration site are not part of that
calculation, though the EPA anticipates
that the quantity of CO2 sequestered will
be substantially similar to the quantity
captured. However, to verify that the
CO2 captured at the emitting EGU is
sent to a geologic sequestration site, the
Agency is leveraging regulatory
reporting requirements under the
GHGRP. The EPA also emphasizes that
this final rule does not involve
regulation of downstream recipients of
captured CO2. That is, the regulatory
standard applies exclusively to the
emitting EGU, not to any downstream
user or recipient of the captured CO2.
The requirement that the emitting EGU
transfer the captured CO2 to an entity
subject to the GHGRP requirements is
thus exclusively an element of
enforcement of the EGU standard. This
avoids duplicative monitoring,
reporting, and verification requirements
between this rule and the GHGRP, while
also ensuring that the facility injecting
and sequestering the CO2 (which may
not necessarily be the EGU) maintains
responsibility for these requirements.
Similarly, the existing regulatory
requirements applicable to geologic
sequestration are not part of this final
rule.
L. Recordkeeping and Reporting
Requirements
The current rule (subpart TTTT of 40
CFR part 60) requires EGU owners or
operators to prepare reports in
accordance with the Acid Rain
Program’s ECMPS. Such reports are to
be submitted quarterly. The EPA
believes all EGU owners and operators
have extensive experience in using the
ECMPS and use of a familiar system
ensures quick and effective rollout of
the program in this final rule. Because
all EGUs are expected to be covered by
and included in the ECMPS, minimal, if
any, costs for reporting are expected for
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this final rule. In the unlikely event that
a specific EGU is not already covered by
and included in the ECMPS, the
estimated annual per unit cost would be
about $8,500.
The current rule’s recordkeeping
requirements at 40 CFR part 60.5560
rely on a combination of general
provision requirements (see 40 CFR
60.7(b) and (f)), requirements at subpart
F of 40 CFR part 75, and an explicit list
of items, including data and
calculations; the EPA is retaining those
existing subpart TTTT of 40 CFR part 60
requirements in the new NSPS subpart
TTTTa of 40 CFR part 60. The annual
cost of those recordkeeping
requirements will be the same amount
as is required for subpart TTTT of 40
CFR part 60 recordkeeping. As the
recordkeeping in subpart TTTT of 40
CFR part 60 will be replaced by similar
recordkeeping in subpart TTTTa of 40
CFR part 60, this annual cost for
recordkeeping will be maintained.
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M. Compliance Dates
Owners/operators of affected sources
that commenced construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023, must
meet the requirements of 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa, upon startup of the
new or reconstructed affected facility or
the effective date of the final rule,
whichever is later. This compliance
schedule is consistent with the
requirements in section 111 of the CAA.
N. Compliance Date Extension
Several industry commenters noted
the potential for delay in installation
and utilization of emission controls—
especially CCS—due to supply chain
constraints, permitting challenges,
environmental assessments, or delays in
development of necessary
infrastructure, among other reasons.
Commenters requested that the EPA
include a mechanism to extend the
compliance date for affected EGUs that
are installing emission controls. These
commenters explained that an extension
mechanism could provide greater
regulatory certainty for owners and
operators.
After considering these comments, the
EPA believes that it is reasonable to
provide a consistent and transparent
means of allowing a limited extension of
the Phase 2 compliance deadline where
an affected new or reconstructed base
load stationary combustion EGU has
demonstrated such an extension is
needed for installation and utilization of
controls. This mechanism is intended to
address unavoidable delays in
implementation—not to provide more
time to assess the NSPS compliance
strategy for the affected EGU.
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As indicated, the EPA is finalizing a
provision that will allow the owner/
operators of new or reconstructed base
load stationary combustion turbine
EGUs to request a limited Phase 2
compliance extension based on a caseby-case demonstration of necessity.
Under these provisions, the owner or
operator of an affected source may apply
for a Phase 2 compliance date extension
of up to 1 year to comply with the
applicable emissions control
requirements, which if approved by the
EPA, would require compliance with
Phase 2 standards of performance no
later than January 1, 2033. This
mechanism is only available for
situations in which an affected source
encounters a delay in installation or
startup of a control technology that
makes it impossible to commence
compliance with Phase 2 standards of
performance by January 1, 2032 (i.e., the
Phase 2 compliance date specified in
section VIII.F.4 of this preamble).
The EPA will grant a request for a
Phase 2 compliance extension of up to
1 year only where a source demonstrates
that it has taken all steps possible to
install and start up the necessary
controls and still cannot comply with
the Phase 2 standards of performance by
the January 1, 2032 compliance date due
to circumstances entirely beyond its
control. Any request for a Phase 2
compliance extension must be received
by the EPA at least 180 days before the
January 1, 2032 Phase 2 compliance
date. The owner/operator of the
requesting source must provide
documentation of the circumstances
that precipitated the delay (or an
anticipated delay) and demonstrate that
those circumstances are entirely beyond
the control of the owner/operator and
that the owner/operator has no ability to
remedy the delay. These circumstances
may include, but are not limited to,
delays related to permitting, delays in
delivery or construction of parts
necessary for installation or
implementation of the control
technology, or development of
necessary infrastructure (e.g., CO2
pipelines).
The request must include
documentation that demonstrates that
the necessary controls cannot be
installed or started up by the January 1,
2032 Phase 2 compliance date. This may
include information and documentation
obtained from a control technology
vendor or engineering firm
demonstrating that the necessary
controls cannot be installed or started
up by the applicable Phase 2
compliance date, documentation of any
permit delays, or documentation of
delays in construction or permitting of
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infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that
is necessary for implementation of the
control technology. The owner/operator
of an affected new stationary
combustion turbine EGU remains
subject to the January 1, 2032 Phase 2
compliance date unless and until the
Administrator grants a compliance
extension.
As discussed in sections VII.C.1.a.i.(E)
and VII.C.2.b.i(C), the EPA has
determined compliance timelines for
these new sources that are consistent
with achieving emission reductions as
expeditiously as practicable given the
time it takes to install and startup the
BSER technologies for compliance with
the Phase 2 standards of performance.
The Phase 2 compliance dates are
designed to accommodate the process
steps and timeframes that the EPA
reasonably anticipates will apply to
affected EGUs. This extension
mechanism acknowledges that
circumstances entirely outside the
control of the owners or operators of
affected EGUs may extend the
timeframe for installation or startup of
control technologies beyond the
timeframe that the EPA has determined
is reasonable as a general matter. Thus,
so long as this extension mechanism is
limited to circumstances that cannot be
reasonably controlled or remedied by
the owners or operators of the affected
EGUs and that make it impossible to
achieve compliance with Phase 2
standards of performance by the January
1, 2032 compliance date, its use is
consistent with achieving compliance as
expeditiously as practicable.
The EPA believes that a 1-year
extension on top of the lead time
already provided by the 2032
compliance date should be sufficient to
address any compliance delays and to
allow all base load units to timely
install CSS. New or reconstructed base
load stationary combustion turbines that
are granted a 1-year Phase 2 compliance
date extension and still are not able to
install or startup the control
technologies necessary to meet the
Phase 2 standard of performance by the
extended Phase 2 compliance date of
January 1, 2033 may adjust their
operation to the intermediate load
subcategory (i.e., 12-operating-month
capacity factor between 20–40 percent).
Such sources must then comply with
applicable standards of performance for
the intermediate load stationary
combustion turbine subcategory until
the necessary controls are installed and
operational such that the source can
comply with the Phase 2 standard of
performance.
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IX. Requirements for New, Modified,
and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired
Steam Generating Units
A. 2018 NSPS Proposal Withdrawal
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1. Background
As discussed in section V.B, the EPA
promulgated NSPS for GHG emissions
from fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units in 2015 (‘‘2015 NSPS’’).895 The
2015 NSPS finalized partial CCS as the
BSER and finalized standards of
performance to limit emissions of GHG
manifested as CO2 from newly
constructed, modified, and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired EGUs (i.e.,
utility boilers and integrated gasification
combined cycle (IGCC) units). In the
same document, the Agency also
finalized CO2 emission standards for
newly constructed and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbine EGUs. 80
FR 64510 (October 23, 2015). These
final standards were codified in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT.
On December 20, 2018, the EPA
published a proposal to revise certain
parts of the 2015 Rule, titled ‘‘Review of
Standards of Performance for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary
Sources: Electric Utility Generating
Units.’’ 83 FR 65424 (December 20,
2018) (‘‘2018 Proposal’’). In Fall 2020,
after reviewing comments on the 2018
Proposal, the EPA developed a draft
final rule and sent that package to the
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) for interagency review under
Executive Order 12866 (‘‘2020 OMB
Review Package’’). The 2020 OMB
Review Package, if finalized, would
have amended the BSER for new coalfired EGUs and required a pollutantspecific significant contribution finding
(SCF) prior to regulating a source
category. The review of the BSER
portion of the package was delayed 896
and the pollutant-specific SCF portion
of the 2020 OMB Review Package was
finalized on January 13, 2021 in a final
rule, titled ‘‘Pollutant-Specific
Contribution Finding for Greenhouse
Gas Emissions from New, Modified, and
Reconstructed Stationary Sources:
Electric Utility Generating Units, and
Process for Determining Significance of
Other New Source Performance
Standards Source Categories.’’ 86 FR
895 80
FR 64510 (October 23, 2015).
part of the interagency review process, an
error in the partial CCS costing report that the EPA
used to update the costs of partial CCS between the
2018 Proposal and 2020 OMB Review Package was
identified. The error included in the original 2020
OMB Review Package had the impact of increasing
the cost of partial CCS. The corrected report
resulted in partial CCS costs that were similar to
those included in the 2018 Proposal.
896 As
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2542 (January 13, 2021) (‘‘SCF Rule’’).
However, the D.C. Circuit vacated the
SCF Rule on April 5, 2021.897 The BSER
analysis and that portion of the 2018
Proposal have not been finalized and are
being withdrawn in this final action.
The 2018 Proposal stated that the
Agency was proposing to find that
partial CCS is not the BSER on grounds
that it is too costly and that the 2015
Rule did not show that the technology
had sufficient geographic scope to
qualify as the BSER for newly
constructed coal-fired EGUs. The EPA
instead proposed that the BSER for
newly constructed coal-fired EGUs
would be the most efficient available
steam cycle (i.e., supercritical steam
conditions for large units and subcritical
steam conditions for small units) in
combination with the best operating
practices instead of partial CCS. In
addition, for newly constructed coalfired EGUs firing moisture-rich fuels
(i.e., lignite), the BSER would also
include pre-combustion fuel drying
using waste heat from the process. The
2018 Proposal also would have revised
the standards of performance for
reconstructed EGUs, the maximally
stringent standards for coal-fired EGUs
undergoing large modifications (i.e.,
modifications resulting in an increase in
hourly CO2 emissions of more than 10
percent), and for base load and non-base
load operating conditions that reflected
the Agency’s revised BSER
determination. The 2018 Proposal did
not revise the BSER for any other
sources as determined in the 2015 Rule.
It also included minor amendments to
the applicability criteria for combined
heat and power (CHP) and non-fossil
EGUs and other miscellaneous technical
changes in the regulatory requirements.
2. Withdrawal of the 2018 Proposal
In this action, under CAA section
111(b), the Agency is withdrawing the
2018 Proposal and the proposed
determination that the BSER for coalfired steam generating units should be
highly efficient generation technology
combined with best operating practices.
The EPA no longer believes there is a
basis for finding that highly efficient
generation technology combined with
best operating practices are the BSER for
coal-fired steam generating units. As
described at length in this preamble,
CCS technology is adequately
demonstrated for coal-fired steam
generating units and so it is not
appropriate to impose the less effective
emission control of highly efficient
generation combined with best
897 State of California v. EPA (D.C. Cir. 21–1035),
Document No. 1893155 (April 5, 2021).
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operating practices for new sources in
this source category. Moreover, the EPA
is presently considering whether to
revise the 2015 Rule to take into account
improvements in CCS technology and
the existing tax credits under the IRA.
For a more in-depth, technical
discussion of the rationale underlying
this action, please refer to the technical
memorandum in the docket titled, 2018
Proposal Withdrawal.
B. Additional Amendments
The EPA proposed and is finalizing
multiple less significant amendments.
These amendments are either strictly
editorial and will not change any of the
requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, or will add additional
compliance flexibility. The amendments
are also incorporated into the final
subpart TTTTa. For additional
information on these amendments, see
the redline strikeout version of the rule
showing the amendments in the docket
for this action.
First, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing editorial amendments to
define acronyms the first time they are
used in the regulatory text. Second, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing adding
International System of Units (SI)
equivalent for owners/operators of
stationary combustion turbines
complying with a heat input-based
standard. Third, the EPA proposed and
is finalizing correcting errors in the
current 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
regulatory text referring to part 63
instead of part 60. Fourth, as a practical
matter owners/operators of stationary
combustion turbines subject to the heat
input-based standard of performance
need to maintain records of electric
sales to demonstrate that they are not
subject to the output-based standard of
performance. Therefore, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing adding a
specific requirement that owner/
operators maintain records of electric
sales to demonstrate they did not sell
electricity above the threshold that
would trigger the output-based
standard. Next, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing updating the ANSI, ASME,
and ASTM International (ASTM) test
methods to include more recent
versions of the test methods. Finally, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing adding
additional compliance flexibilities for
EGUs either serving a common electric
generator or using a common stack.
C. Eight-year Review of NSPS for Fossil
Fuel-Fired Steam Generating Units
1. Modifications
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA issued
final standards for a steam generating
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unit that implements a ‘‘large
modification,’’ defined as a physical
change, or change in the method of
operation, that results in an increase in
hourly CO2 emissions of more than 10
percent when compared to the source’s
highest hourly emissions in the
previous 5 years. Such a modified steam
generating unit is required to meet a
unit-specific CO2 emission limit
determined by that unit’s best
demonstrated historical performance (in
the years from 2002 to the time of the
modification). The 2015 NSPS did not
include standards for a steam generating
unit that implements a ‘‘small
modification,’’ defined as a change that
results in an increase in hourly CO2
emissions of less than or equal to 10
percent when compared to the source’s
highest hourly emissions in the
previous 5 years.898
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA explained
its basis for promulgating this rule as
follows. The EPA has historically been
notified of only a limited number of
NSPS modifications involving fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units and
therefore predicted that very few of
these units would trigger the
modification provisions and be subject
to the proposed standards. Given the
limited information that we have about
past modifications, the Agency has
concluded that it lacks sufficient
information to establish standards of
performance for all types of
modifications at steam generating units
at this time. Instead, the EPA has
determined that it is appropriate to
establish standards of performance at
this time for larger modifications, such
as major facility upgrades involving, for
example, the refurbishing or
replacement of steam turbines and other
equipment upgrades that result in
substantial increases in a unit’s hourly
CO2 emissions rate. The Agency has
determined, based on its review of
public comments and other publicly
available information, that it has
adequate information regarding the
types of modifications that could result
in large increases in hourly CO2
emissions, as well as on the types of
measures available to control emissions
from sources that undergo such
modifications, and on the costs and
effectiveness of such control measures,
upon which to establish standards of
performance for modifications with
large emissions increases at this time.899
The EPA did not reopen any aspect of
these determinations concerning
modifications in the 2015 NSPS, except,
as noted below, for the BSER and
898 80
899 Id.
FR 64514 (October 23, 2015).
at 64597–98.
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associated requirements for large
modifications.
Because the EPA has not promulgated
a NSPS for small modifications, any
existing steam generating unit that
undertakes a change that increases its
hourly CO2 emissions rate by 10 percent
or less will continue to be treated as an
existing source that is subject to the
CAA section 111(d) requirements being
finalized today.
With respect to large modifications,
the EPA explained in the 2015 NSPS
that they are rare, but there is record
evidence indicating that they may
occur.900 Because the EPA is finalizing
requirements for existing coal-fired
steam generating units that are, on their
face, more stringent than the
requirements for large modifications,
the EPA believes it is appropriate to
review and revise the latter
requirements to minimize the
anomalous incentive that an existing
source could have to undertake a large
modification for the purpose of avoiding
the more stringent requirements that it
would be subject to if it remained an
existing source. Accordingly, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing amending the
BSER for large modifications for coalfired steam generating units to mirror
the BSER for the subcategory of longterm coal-fired steam generating units
that is, the use of CCS with 90 percent
capture of CO2. The EPA believes that
it is reasonable to assume that any
existing source that invests in a physical
change or change in the method of
operation that would qualify as a large
modification expects to continue to
operate past 2039. Accordingly, the EPA
has determined that CCS with 90
percent capture qualifies as the BSER
for such a source for the same reasons
that it qualifies as the BSER for existing
sources that plan to operate past
December 31, 2039. The EPA discusses
these reasons in section VII.C.1.a of this
preamble. The EPA has determined that
CCS with 90 percent capture qualifies as
the BSER for large modifications, and
not the controls determined to be the
BSER in the 2015 NSPS, due to the
recent reductions in the cost of CCS.
By the same token, the EPA is
finalizing that the degree of emission
limitation associated with CCS with 90
percent capture is an 88.4 percent
reduction in emission rate (lb CO2/
MWh-gross basis), the same as finalized
for existing sources with CCS with 90
percent capture. See section VII.C.3.a of
this preamble. Based on this degree of
emission limitation, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing that the standard of
performance for steam generating units
900 Id.
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Frm 00158
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that undertake large modifications after
May 23, 2023, is a unit-specific
emission limit determined by an 88.4
percent reduction in the unit’s best
historical annual CO2 emission rate
(from 2002 to the date of the
modification). The EPA proposed and is
finalizing that an owner/operator of a
modified steam generating unit comply
with the emissions rate upon startup of
the modified affected facility or the
effective date of the final rule,
whichever is later. The EPA proposed
and is finalizing the same testing,
monitoring, and reporting requirements
as are currently in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT.
The EPA did not propose, and is not
finalizing, any review or revision of the
2015 standard for large modifications of
oil- or gas-fired steam generating units
because the we are not aware of any
existing oil- or gas-fired steam
generating EGUs that have undertaken
such modifications or have plans to do
so, and, unlike an existing coal-fired
steam generating EGUs, existing oil- or
gas-fired steam units have no incentive
to undertake such a modification to
avoid the requirements we are including
in this final rule for existing oil- or gasfired steam generating units.
2. New Construction and Reconstruction
The EPA promulgated NSPS for GHG
emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units in 2015. In the
proposal, the EPA proposed that it did
not need to review the 2015 NSPS
because at that time, the EPA did not
have information indicating that any
such units will be constructed or
reconstructed. However, the EPA has
recently become aware that a new coalfired power plant is under consideration
in Alaska. In November 2023, DOE
announced a $9 million cooperative
agreement for the Alaska Railbelt
Carbon Capture and Storage (ARCCS)
project, to be led by researchers at the
University of Alaska Fairbanks. The
ARCCS project would study the
viability of a carbon storage complex in
Southcentral Alaska, likely at the
mostly-depleted Beluga River gas field
west of Anchorage’’ in the Cook Inlet
Basin, which could store captured CO2.
According to reports, the privately
owned Flatlands Energy Corp. is
considering constructing a 400 MW
coal- and biomass-fired power plant in
the Susitna River valley region, which,
if built, would be one of the sources of
captured CO2.901
901 DOE Funding Opportunity Announcement,
‘‘DOE Invests More Than $444 Million for
CarbonSAFE Project,’’ (November 15, 2023), https://
netl.doe.gov/node/13090; University of Alaska
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In light of this development, the EPA
is not finalizing its proposal not to
review the 2015 NSPS. Instead, the EPA
will continue to consider whether to
review the 2015 NSPS and will monitor
the development of this potential new
construction project in Alaska as well as
any other potential projects to newly
construct or reconstruct a coal-fired
power plant. If the EPA does decide to
review the 2015 NSPS, it would propose
to revise them for coal-fired steam
generating units.
D. Projects Under Development
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During the 2015 NSPS rulemaking,
the EPA identified the Plant Washington
project in Georgia and the Holcomb 2
project in Kansas as EGU ‘‘projects
under development’’ based on
representations by developers that the
projects had commenced construction
prior to the proposal of the 2015 NSPS
and, thus, would not be new sources
subject to the final NSPS (80 FR 64542–
43; October 23, 2015). The EPA did not
set a performance standard at the time
but committed to doing so if new
information about the projects became
available. These projects were never
constructed and are no longer expected
to be constructed.
The Plant Washington project was to
be an 850 MW supercritical coal-fired
EGU. The Environmental Protection
Division (EPD) of the Georgia
Department of Natural Resources issued
air and water permits for the project in
2010 and issued amended permits in
2014.902 903 904 In 2016, developers filed
a request with the EPD to extend the
construction commencement deadline
specified in the amended permit, but
the director of the EPD denied the
request, effectively canceling the
approval of the construction permit and
revoking the plant’s amended air quality
permit.905
Fairbanks, Institute of Northern Engineering, ‘‘Cook
Inlet Region Low Carbon Power Generation With
Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage Feasibility
Study,’’ https://ine.uaf.edu/media/391133/cookinlet-low-carbon-power-feasibility-study-uafpcorfinal.pdf; Herz, Nathaniel, ‘‘Could a new
Alaska coal power plant be climate friendly? An
$11 million study aims to find out,’’ Northern
Journal (December 29, 2923), republished in
Anchorage Daily News, https://www.adn.com/
business-economy/energy/2023/12/29/could-a-newalaska-coal-power-plant-be-climate-friendly-an-11million-study-aims-to-find-out/.
902 https://www.gpb.org/news/2010/07/26/judgerejects-coal-plant-permits.
903 https://www.southernenvironment.org/pressrelease/court-rules-ga-failed-to-set-safe-limits-onpollutants-from-coal-plant/.
904 https://permitsearch.gaepd.org/
permit.aspx?id=PDF-OP-22139.
905 https://www.southernenvironment.org/wpcontent/uploads/legacy/words_docs/EPD_Plant_
Washington_Denial_Letter.pdf.
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The Holcomb 2 project was intended
to be a single 895 MW coal-fired EGU
and received permits in 2009 (after
earlier proposals sought approval for
development of more than one unit). In
2020, after developers announced they
would no longer pursue the Holcomb 2
expansion project, the air permits were
allowed to expire, effectively canceling
the project.
For these reasons, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing a decision to remove
these projects under the applicability
exclusions in subpart TTTT.
X. State Plans for Emission Guidelines
for Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
A. Overview
This section provides information
related to state plan development,
including methodologies for
establishing presumptively approvable
standards of performance for affected
EGUs, flexibilities for complying with
standards of performance, and
components that must be included in
state plans as well as the process for
submission. This section also addresses
significant comments on and any
changes to the proposed emission
guidelines regarding state plans that the
EPA is finalizing in this action.
State plan submissions under these
emission guidelines are governed by the
requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
Ba (subpart Ba).906 The EPA finalized
revisions to certain aspects of 40 CFR
part 60, subpart Ba, in November 2023,
Adoption and Submittal of State Plans
for Designated Facilities: Implementing
Regulations Under Clean Air Act
Section 111(d) (final subpart Ba).907
Unless expressly amended or
superseded in these emission
guidelines, the provisions of subpart Ba
apply. This section explicitly addresses
any instances where the EPA is adding
to, superseding, or otherwise varying
the requirements of subpart Ba for the
purposes of these particular emission
guidelines.
As noted in the preamble of the
proposed action, under the Tribal
906 40
CFR 60.20a–60.29a.
FR 80480 (November 17, 2023). At the time
of promulgation of these emission guidelines, the
November 2023 updates to the CAA section 111(d)
implementing regulations are subject to litigation in
the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. West Virginia v.
EPA, D.C. Circuit No. 24–1009. The outcome of that
litigation will not affect any of the distinct
requirements being finalized in these emission
guidelines, which are not directly dependent on
those procedural requirements. Moreover,
regardless of the outcome of that litigation, the
necessary regulatory framework will exist for states
to develop and submit state plans that include
standards of performance for affected EGUs
pursuant to these emission guidelines and prior
implementing regulations.
907 88
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39955
Authority Rule (TAR) adopted by the
EPA, Tribes may seek authority to
implement a plan under CAA section
111(d) in a manner similar to that of a
state. See 40 CFR part 49, subpart A.
Tribes may, but are not required to, seek
approval for treatment in a manner
similar to that of a state for purposes of
developing a Tribal Implementation
Plan (TIP) implementing the emission
guidelines. If a Tribe obtains approval
and submits a TIP, the EPA will
generally use similar criteria and follow
similar procedures as those described
for state plans when evaluating the TIP
submission and will approve the TIP if
appropriate. The EPA is committed to
working with eligible Tribes to help
them seek authorization and develop
plans if they choose. Tribes that choose
to develop plans will generally have the
same flexibilities available to states in
this process.
In section X.B of this document, the
EPA describes the foundational
requirement that state plans achieve an
equivalent level of emission reduction
to the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the
BSER as determined by the EPA.
Section X.C describes the presumptive
methodology for calculating the
standards of performance for affected
EGUs based on subcategory assignment,
as well as requirements related to
invoking RULOF to apply a less
stringent standard of performance than
results from the EPA’s presumptive
methodology. Section X.C also describes
requirements for increments of progress
for affected EGUs in certain
subcategories and for establishing
milestones and reporting obligations for
affected EGUs that plan to permanently
cease operations, as well as testing and
monitoring requirements. In section
X.D, the EPA describes how states are
permitted to include flexibilities such as
emission trading and averaging as
compliance measures for affected EGUs
in their state plans. Finally, section X.E
describes what must be included in
state plans, including plan components
specific to these emission guidelines
and requirements for conducting
meaningful engagement, as well as the
timing of state plan submission and EPA
review of state plans and plan revisions.
In this section of the preamble, the
term ‘‘affected EGU’’ means any existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating unit
that meets the applicability criteria
described in section VII.B of this
preamble. Affected EGUs are covered by
the emission guidelines being finalized
in this action under 40 CFR part 60
subpart UUUUb.
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B. Requirement for State Plans To
Maintain Stringency of the EPA’s BSER
Determination
As explained in section V.C of this
preamble, CAA section 111(d)(1)
requires the EPA to establish
requirements for state plans that, in
turn, must include standards of
performance for existing sources. Under
CAA section 111(a)(1), a standard of
performance is ‘‘a standard for
emissions of air pollutants which
reflects the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the best system of
emission reduction which . . . the
Administrator determines has been
adequately demonstrated.’’ That is, the
EPA has the responsibility to determine
the BSER for a given category or
subcategory of sources and to determine
the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the
BSER to affected sources.908 The level of
emission reductions required of existing
sources under CAA section 111 is
reflected in the EPA’s presumptive
standards of performance,909 which
achieve emission reductions under
these emission guidelines through
requiring cleaner performance by
affected sources.
States use the EPA’s presumptive
standards of performance to establish
requirements for affected sources in
their state plans. In general, the
standards of performance that states
establish for affected sources must be no
less stringent than the presumptive
standards of performance in the
applicable emission guidelines.910 Thus,
in order for the EPA to find a state plan
‘‘satisfactory,’’ that plan must address
each affected EGU within the state and
must achieve at least the level of
emission reduction that would result if
each affected EGU was achieving its
presumptive standard of performance,
after accounting for any application of
RULOF.911 That is, while states have the
908 See, e.g., West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697,
720 (2022) (‘‘In devising emissions limits for power
plants, EPA first ‘determines’ the ‘best system of
emission reduction’ that—taking into account cost,
health, and other factors—it finds ‘has been
adequately demonstrated.’ The Agency then
quantifies ‘the degree of emission limitation
achievable’ if that best system were applied to the
covered source.’’) (internal citations omitted).
909 See 40 CFR 60.22a(b)(5).
910 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
911 As explained in section X.C.2 of this
preamble, states may invoke RULOF to apply a less
stringent standard of performance to a particular
affected EGU when the state demonstrates that the
EGU cannot reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation determined by the EPA. In this
case, the state plan may not necessarily achieve the
same stringency as each source achieving the EPA’s
presumptive standards of performance because
affected EGUs for which RULOF has been invoked
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discretion to establish the applicable
standards of performance for affected
EGUs in their state plans, the structure
and purpose of CAA section 111 and the
EPA’s regulations require that those
plans achieve an equivalent level of
emission reductions as applying the
EPA’s presumptive standards of
performance to each of those sources
(again, after accounting for any
application of RULOF). Section X.C of
this preamble addresses how states
maintain the level of emission reduction
when establishing standards of
performance, and section X.D of this
preamble addresses how states maintain
the level of emission reduction when
incorporating compliance flexibilities.
Additionally, consistent with the
understanding that the purpose of CAA
section 111 is for affected sources to
reduce their emissions through cleaner
operation, the Agency is also clarifying
that emissions reductions from sources
not affected by the final emission
guidelines may not be counted towards
compliance with either a source-specific
or aggregate standard of performance. In
other words, state plans may not
account for emission reductions at nonaffected fossil fuel-fired EGUs, emission
reductions due to the operation or
installation of other electricitygenerating resources not subject to these
emission guidelines for the purposes of
demonstrating compliance with affected
EGUs’ standards of performance.
C. Establishing Standards of
Performance
This section addresses several topics
related to standards of performance in
state plans. First, this section describes
affected EGUs’ eligibility for the
subcategories in the final emission
guidelines and how to calculate
presumptive standards of performance,
including calculating unit-specific
baseline emission performance. Second,
it summarizes compliance date
information as well as how states can
provide for a compliance date extension
mechanism in their state plans. Third,
this section describes how states may
consider RULOF to apply a less
stringent standard of performance or a
longer compliance schedule to a
particular affected EGU. Fourth, it
explains how states must establish
certain increments of progress for
affected EGUs installing control
technology to comply with standards of
performance, as well as milestones and
reporting obligations for affected EGUs
demonstrating that they plan to
permanently cease operations. And,
would have standards of performance less stringent
than the EPA’s presumptive standards.
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finally, this section describes emission
testing and monitoring requirements.
Affected EGUs that meet the
applicability requirements discussed in
section VII.B must be addressed in the
state plan. For each affected EGU within
the state, the state plan must include a
standard of performance and
compliance schedule. That is, each
individual unit must have its own,
source-specific standard of performance
and compliance schedule. Coal-fired
affected EGUs must have increments of
progress in the state plan and, if they
plan to permanently cease operation
and to rely on such cessation of
operation for purposes of these emission
guidelines, an enforceable commitment
and reporting obligations and
milestones. State plans must also
specify the test methods and procedure
for determining compliance with the
standards of performance.
While a presumptive methodology for
standards of performance and other
requirements were proposed for existing
combustion turbine EGUs, the EPA is
not finalizing emission guidelines for
such EGUs at this time; therefore, the
following discussion will not address
the proposed combustion turbine EGU
requirements or comments pertaining to
these proposed requirements. In
addition, the EPA is not finalizing the
imminent- and near-term coal-fired
subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating units; therefore, the
following discussion will not address
these proposed subcategories or
comments pertaining to these proposed
subcategories. Similarly, the EPA is not
finalizing emission guidelines for states
and territories in non-contiguous areas,
and is therefore not finalizing the
proposed subcategories for noncontinental oil-fired steam generating
units or associated requirements nor
addressing comments pertaining to
these subcategories in this section.
1. Application of Presumptive
Standards
This section of the preamble describes
the EPA’s approach to providing
presumptive standards of performance
for each of the subcategories of affected
EGUs under these emission guidelines,
including establishing baseline emission
performance. As explained in section
X.B of this preamble, CAA section
111(a)(1) requires that standards of
performance reflect the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER, as determined
by the EPA. For each subcategory of
affected EGUs, the EPA has determined
a BSER and degree of emission
limitation and is providing, in these
emission guidelines, a methodology for
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establishing presumptively approvable
standards of performance (also referred
to as ‘‘presumptive standards of
performance’’ or ‘‘presumptive
standards’’). Appropriate use of these
methodologies will result in standards
of performance that achieve the
requisite degree of emission limitation
and therefore meet the statutory
requirements of section 111(a)(1) and
the corresponding regulatory
requirement that standards of
performance must generally be no less
stringent that the corresponding
emission guidelines.912 40 CFR
60.24a(c).
Thus, a state, when establishing
standards of performance for affected
EGUs in its plan, must identify each
affected EGU in the state and specify
into which subcategory each affected
EGU falls. The state would then use the
corresponding methodology for the
given subcategory to establish the
presumptively approvable standard of
performance for each affected EGU.
As discussed in section X.C.2 of this
preamble, states may apply less
stringent standards of performance to
particular affected EGUs in certain
circumstances based on consideration of
RULOF. States also have the authority to
deviate from the methodology provided
in these emission guidelines for
presumptively approvable standards in
order to apply a more stringent standard
of performance (e.g., a state decides that
an affected EGU in the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory should comply
with a standard of performance
corresponding to co-firing 50 percent
natural gas instead of 40 percent).
Application of a standard of
performance that is more stringent than
provided by the EPA’s presumptive
methodology does not require
application of the RULOF provisions.913
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a. Establishing Baseline Emission
Performance for Presumptive Standards
For each subcategory, the
methodology to calculate a standard of
performance entails establishing a
baseline of CO2 emissions and
corresponding electricity generation or
heat input for an affected EGU and then
applying the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of the BSER (as established
in section VII.C of this preamble). The
912 Should a state decide to establish a standard
of performance for an affected EGU using a
methodology other than that provided by the EPA
in these emission guidelines, the state would have
to demonstrate that the resulting standard of
performance achieves equivalent emission
reductions as application of the EPA’s presumptive
standard of performance.
913 88 FR 80529–31 (November 17, 2023).
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methodology for establishing baseline
emission performance for an affected
EGU will result in a value that is unique
to each affected EGU. To establish
baseline emission performance for an
affected EGU in all the subcategories
except the low load natural gas- and oilfired subcategories, the EPA is finalizing
a determination that a state will use the
CO2 mass emissions and corresponding
electricity generation data for a given
affected EGU from any continuous 8quarter period from 40 CFR part 75
reporting within the 5-year period
immediately prior to the date the final
rule is published in the Federal
Register. For affected EGUs in either the
low load natural gas-fired subcategory
or the low load oil-fired subcategory, the
EPA is finalizing a determination that a
state will use the CO2 mass emissions
and corresponding heat input for a
given affected EGU from any continuous
8-quarter period from 40 CFR part 75
reporting within the 5-year period
immediately prior to the date the final
rule is published in the Federal
Register. This period is based on the
NSR program’s definition of ‘‘baseline
actual emissions’’ for existing electric
steam generating units. See 40 CFR
52.21(b)(48)(i). Eight quarters of 40 CFR
part 75 data corresponds to a 2-year
period, but the EPA is finalizing this
continuous 8-quarter period as it
corresponds to quarterly reporting
according to 40 CFR part 75.
Functionally, the EPA expects states to
utilize the most representative
continuous 8-quarter period of data
from the 5-year period immediately
preceding the date the final rule is
published in the Federal Register. For
the 8 quarters of data, a state would
divide the total CO2 emissions (in the
form of pounds) over that continuous
time period by either the total gross
electricity generation (in the form of
MWh) or, for affected EGUs in either the
low load natural gas-fired subcategory
or the low load oil-fired subcategory, the
total heat input (in the form of MMBtu)
over that same time period to calculate
baseline CO2 emission performance in
either lb of CO2 per MWh or lb of CO2
per MMBtu. As an example, a state
establishing baseline emission
performance for an affected EGU in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory in
the year 2023 would start by evaluating
the CO2 emissions and electricity
generation data for the affected EGU for
2018 through 2022 and choose a
continuous 8-quarter period that it
deems to be the most appropriate
representation of the operation of that
affected EGU. While the EPA will
evaluate the choice of baseline periods
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39957
chosen by states when reviewing state
plan submissions, the EPA intends to
defer to a state’s reasonable exercise of
discretion as to which 8-quarter period
is representative.
The EPA is finalizing the use of 8
quarters during the 5-year period prior
to the date the final rule is published in
the Federal Register as the relevant
period for the baseline methodology for
several reasons. First, each affected EGU
has unique operational characteristics
that affect the emission performance of
the EGU (load, geographic location,
hours of operation, coal rank, unit size,
etc.), and the EPA believes each affected
EGU’s emission performance baseline
should be representative of the sourcespecific conditions of the affected EGU
and how it has typically operated.
Additionally, allowing a state to choose
(likely in consultation with the owners
or operators of affected EGUs) the 8quarter period for assessing baseline
performance can avoid situations in
which a prolonged period of atypical
operating conditions would otherwise
skew the emissions baseline. Relatedly,
the EPA believes that, by using total
mass CO2 emissions and total electric
generation or heat input for an affected
EGU over an 8-quarter period, any
relatively short-term variability of data
due to seasonal operations or periods of
startup and shutdown, or other
anomalous conditions, will be averaged
into the calculated level of baseline
emission performance. The baselinesetting approach also aligns with the
reporting and compliance requirements
in the final emission guidelines. Using
total mass CO2 emissions and total
electric generation or heat input
provides a simple and streamlined
approach for calculating baseline
emission performance without the need
to sort and filter non-representative
data; any minor amount of nonrepresentative data will be subsumed
and accounted for through implicit
averaging over the course of the 8quarter period. Moreover, by not sorting
or filtering the data, this approach
reduces the need for discretion in
assessing whether the data is
appropriate to use. Commenters
generally supported the proposed
methodology for setting a baseline,
particularly saying that they prefer not
to have to sort or filter any data.
The EPA believes that using this
baseline-setting approach as the basis
for establishing presumptively
approvable standards of performance
will provide certainty for states, as well
as transparency and a streamlined
process for state plan development.
While this approach is specifically
designed to be flexible enough to
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accommodate unit-specific
circumstances, states retain the ability
to deviate from this methodology. The
EPA believes that the instances in
which a state may need to use an
alternate baseline-setting methodology
will be limited to anticipated changes in
operation, (i.e., circumstances in which
historical emission performance is not
representative of future emission
performance). States that wish to vary
the baseline calculation for an affected
EGU based on anticipated changes in
operation of that EGU, when those
changes result in a less stringent
standard of performance, must use the
RULOF mechanism, which is designed
to address such contingencies.
Comment: Commenters sought
clarification as to whether the
methodology referred to the previous 5
calendar years or the 5-year period
ending on the most recent quarter
reported under 40 CFR part 75 prior to
publication of the final emission
guidelines.
Response: The EPA clarifies that the
methodology refers to the 5-year period
ending on the most recent quarter
reported under 40 CFR part 75 prior to
publication of the final emission
guidelines in the Federal Register.
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b. Presumptive Standards for Fossil
Fuel-Fired Steam Generating Units
As described in section VII of this
preamble, the EPA is finalizing separate
subcategories of existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units based on fuel
type (i.e., coal-fired, natural gas-fired, or
oil-fired). Fuel type is based on the
status of the source on January 1, 2030,
and annual fuel use reporting is
required after that date as a part of
compliance. The EPA is further creating
a subcategory for coal-fired steam
generating units operating in the
medium term, and further
subcategorizing natural gas- and oilfired steam generating units by load
level.
Consistent with CAA section
111(d)(1)’s requirement that state plans
provide for the implementation and
enforcement of standards of
performance, for affected EGUs in the
medium-term subcategory, states must
include sources’ enforceable
commitments to cease operating before
January 1, 2039, in their plans. The state
plan must specify the calendar date by
which the affected EGU plans to cease
operation; to be included in a state plan,
a commitment to cease operations by
such a date must be enforceable by the
state, whether through state rule, agreed
order, permit, or other legal
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instrument.914 Upon EPA approval of
the state plan, that commitment will
become federally- and citizenenforceable.
For affected oil- and natural gas-fired
steam generating units, subcategories
are defined by load level and the type
of fuel fired. There are three
subcategories for natural gas- and oilfired steam generating units (base load,
intermediate load, and low load).
Because subcategory applicability is
determined retrospectively, as opposed
to prospectively, and because the
standards of performance for oil- and
natural gas-fired affected EGUs are
based on BSERs that do not require addon controls, it is not necessary to require
these sources to take enforceable
utilization commitments limiting them
to just one subcategory in order to
implement and enforce their standards.
For steam generating units that meet the
definition of natural gas- or oil-fired,
and that either retain the capability to
fire coal after the date this final rule is
published in the Federal Register, that
fired any coal during the 5-year period
prior to that date, or that will fire any
coal after that date and before January
1, 2030, the plan must include a
requirement to remove the capability to
fire coal before January 1, 2030.
The EPA is finalizing a requirement
that compliance be demonstrated
annually. For affected EGUs in all
subcategories except the low load
natural gas- and oil-fired subcategory,
an affected EGU must demonstrate
compliance based on the lb CO2/MWh
emission rate derived by dividing the
total reported CO2 mass emissions by
the total reported electric generation
during the compliance period
(corresponding to 1 calendar year),
which is consistent with the expression
of the degree of emission limitation for
each subcategory in sections VII.C.3 and
VII.D.3. For affected EGUs in the low
load natural gas- and oil-fired
subcategory, an affected EGU must
demonstrate compliance based on the lb
CO2/MMBtu emission rate derived by
dividing the total reported CO2 mass
emissions by the total reported heat
input during the compliance period
(again, corresponding to 1 calendar
year), consistent with the expression of
the degree of emission limitation for the
subcategory in section VII.D.3.915 In
other words, for units with a
compliance date of January 1, 2030, the
914 40
CFR 60.26a.
the state plan incorporates compliance
flexibilities like emission averaging and trading, an
affected EGU must demonstrate compliance
consistent with the expression of the respective
flexibility. See section X.D of this preamble for
more information.
915 If
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first compliance period will be January
1, 2030, through December 31, 2030. For
units with a compliance date of January
1, 2032, the first compliance period will
be January 1, 2032, through December
31, 2032. The compliance
demonstration must occur by March 1 of
the following year (i.e., for the 2030
compliance period, by March 1, 2031).
In addition, the EPA is finalizing a
requirement that standards of
performance must be established as
either a rate or, for affected EGUs in
certain subcategories, a mass of
emissions. If a state chooses to allow
mass-based compliance for certain
affected EGUs it must first calculate the
rate-based emission limitation that
corresponds to the presumptive
standard of performance, and then
explain how it translated that rate-based
emission limitation into the mass that
constitutes an affected EGU’s standard
of performance. See section X.D of this
preamble for more information on
demonstrating compliance where states
are incorporating compliance
flexibilities.
i. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
This section describes the EPA’s
methodology for establishing
presumptively approvable standards of
performance for long-term coal-fired
steam generating units. Affected coalfired steam generating units that do not
meet the specifications of the mediumterm coal-fired EGU subcategory are
necessarily long-term units, and have a
BSER of CCS with 90 percent capture
and a degree of emission limitation of
90 percent capture of the mass of CO2
in the flue gas (i.e., the mass of CO2 after
the boiler but before the capture
equipment) over an extended period of
time and an 88.4 percent reduction in
emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis over an extended period of time
(i.e., an annual calendar-year basis). The
EPA is finalizing a determination that
where states use the methodology
described here to establish standards of
performance for affected EGUs in this
subcategory, those established standards
will be presumptively approvable when
included in a state plan submission.
Establishing a standard of
performance for an affected coal-fired
EGU in this subcategory consists of two
steps: establishing a source-specific
level of baseline emission performance
(as described in section X.C.1.a of this
preamble); and applying the degree of
emission limitation, based on the
application of the BSER, to that level of
baseline emission performance.
Implementation of CCS with a capture
rate of 90 precent translates to a degree
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of emission limitation comprising of an
88.4 percent reduction in CO2 emission
rate compared to the baseline level of
emission performance. Using the
complement of 88.4 percent (i.e., 11.6
percent) and multiplying it by the
baseline level of emission performance
results in the presumptively approvable
standard of performance. For example,
if a long-term coal-fired EGU’s level of
baseline emission performance is 2,000
lbs CO2 per MWh, it will have a
presumptively approvable standard of
performance of 232 lbs CO2 per MWh
(2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh multiplied by
0.116).
The EPA is also finalizing a
requirement that affected coal-fired
EGUs in the long-term subcategory
comply with federally enforceable
increments of progress, which are
described in section X.C.3 of this
preamble.
ii. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
This section describes the EPA’s
methodology for establishing
presumptively approvable standards of
performance for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units. Affected coalfired steam generating units that plan to
commit to permanently cease operations
before January 1, 2039, have a BSER of
40 percent natural gas co-firing on a
heat input basis. The EPA is finalizing
a determination that where states use
the methodology described here to
establish standards of performance for
an affected EGU in this subcategory,
those established standards of
performance would be presumptively
approvable when included in a state
plan submission.
Establishing a standard of
performance for an affected EGU in this
subcategory consists of two steps:
establishing a source-specific level of
baseline emission performance (as
described in section X.C.1.a); and
applying the degree of emission
limitation, based on the application of
the BSER, to that level of baseline
emission performance. Implementation
of natural gas co-firing at a level of 40
percent of total annual heat input
translates to a level of stringency of a 16
percent reduction in emission rate on a
lb CO2/MWh-gross basis over an
extended period of time (i.e., an annual
calendar-year basis) compared to the
baseline level of emission performance.
Using the complement of 16 percent
(i.e., 84 percent) and multiplying it by
the baseline level of emission
performance results in the
presumptively approvable standard of
performance for the affected EGU. For
example, if a medium-term coal-fired
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EGU’s level of baseline emission
performance is 2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh,
it will have a presumptively approvable
standard of performance of 1,680 CO2
lbs per MWh (2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh
multiplied by 0.84).
For medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units that have an amount of
co-firing that is reflected in the baseline
operation, the EPA is finalizing a
requirement that states account for such
preexisting co-firing in adjusting the
degree of emission limitation. If, for
example, an EGU co-fires natural gas at
a level of 10 percent of the total annual
heat input during the applicable 8quarter baseline period, the
corresponding degree of emission
limitation would be adjusted to a 12
percent reduction in CO2 emission rate
on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis compared
to the baseline level of emission
performance (i.e., an additional 30
percent of natural gas by heat input) to
reflect the preexisting level of natural
gas co-firing. This results in a standard
of performance based on the degree of
emission limitation achieving an
additional 30 percent co-firing beyond
the 10 percent that is accounted for in
the baseline. The EPA believes this
approach is a more straightforward
mathematical adjustment than adjusting
the baseline to appropriately reflect a
preexisting level of co-firing.
The standard of performance for the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory is
based on the degree of emission
limitation that is achievable through
application of the BSER to the affected
EGUs in the subcategory and consists
exclusively of the rate-based emission
limitation. However, the BSER
determination for this subcategory is
predicated on the assumption that
affected EGUs within it will
permanently cease operations prior to
January 1, 2039. If a state decides to
place an affected EGU in the mediumterm coal-fired subcategory, the state
plan must include that EGU’s
commitment to permanently cease
operating as an enforceable requirement.
The state plan must also include
provisions that provide for the
implementation and enforcement of this
commitment, including requirements
for monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping.
Affected coal-fired EGUs that are
relying on commitments to cease
operating must comply with the
milestones and reporting requirements
as specified under these emission
guidelines. The EPA intends these
milestones to assist affected EGUs in
ensuring they are completing the
necessary steps to comply with their
state plan requirements and to help
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39959
ensure that any issues with
implementation are identified in a
timely and efficient manner. These
milestones are described in detail in
section X.C.4 of this preamble. Affected
EGUs in this subcategory would also be
required to comply with the federally
enforceable increments of progress
described in section X.C.3 of this
preamble.
iii. Natural Gas-Fired Steam Generating
Units and Oil-Fired Steam Generating
Units
This section describes the EPA’s final
methodology for presumptively
approvable standards of performance for
the following subcategories of affected
natural gas-fired and oil-fired steam
generating units: low load natural gasfired steam generating units,
intermediate load natural gas-fired
steam generating units, base load
natural gas-fired steam generating units,
low load oil-fired steam generating
units, intermediate load oil-fired steam
generating units, and base load oil-fired
steam generating units. The final
definitions of these subcategories are
discussed in section VII.D.1 of this
preamble. The final presumptive
standards of performance are based on
degrees of emission limitation that units
are currently achieving, consistent with
the proposed BSER of routine methods
of operation and maintenance, which
amounts to a proposed degree of
emission limitation of no increase in
emission rate.
For natural gas-fired steam generating
units, the EPA proposed fixed
presumptive standards of 1,500 lb CO2/
MWh-gross for intermediate load units
(solicited comment on values between
1,400 and 1,600 lb/MWh-gross) and
1,300 lb CO2/MWh-gross for base load
units (solicited comment on values
between 1,250 and 1,400 lb CO2/MWhgross). For oil-fired steam generating
units, the EPA proposed fixed
presumptive standards of 1,500 lb CO2/
MWh-gross for intermediate load units
(solicited comment on values between
1,400 and 2,000 lb/MWh-gross) and
1,300 lb CO2/MWh-gross for base load
units (solicited comment on values
between 1,250 and 1,800 lb CO2/MWhgross).
The EPA is finalizing presumptive
standards of performance for affected
natural gas-fired and oil-fired steam
generating units in lieu of
methodologies that states would use to
establish presumptive standards of
performance. This is largely because of
the low variability in emissions data at
intermediate and base load for these
units and relatively consistent
performance between these units at
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those load levels, as discussed in
section VII.D of this preamble and
detailed in the final TSD, Natural Gasand Oil-fired Steam Generating Units,
which supports the establishment of a
generally applicable standard of
performance.
For intermediate load natural gasfired units (annual capacity factors
greater than or equal to 8 percent and
less than 45 percent), annual emission
rates are less than 1,600 lb CO2/MWhgross for more than 95 percent of units.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the
presumptive standard of performance of
an annual calendar-year emission rate of
1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross for these units.
For base load natural gas-fired units
(annual capacity factors greater than or
equal to 45 percent), annual emission
rates are less than 1,400 lb CO2/MWhgross for more than 95 percent of units.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the
presumptive standard of performance of
an annual calendar-year emission rate of
1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross for these units.
In the continental U.S., there are few
if any oil-fired steam generating units
that operate with intermediate or high
utilization. Liquid-oil-fired steam
generating units with 24-month capacity
factors less than 8 percent do qualify for
a work practice standard in lieu of
emission requirements under the MATS
(40 CFR part 63, subpart UUUUU). If
oil-fired units operated at higher annual
capacity factors, it is likely they would
do so with substantial amounts of
natural gas-firing and have emission
rates that are similar to steam generating
units that fire only natural gas at those
levels of utilization. There are a few
natural gas-fired steam generating units
that are near the threshold for qualifying
as oil-fired units (i.e., firing more than
15 percent oil in a given year) but that
on average fire more than 90 percent of
their heat input from natural gas.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the
same presumptive standards of
performance for oil-fired steam
generating units as for natural gas-fired
units (1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross for base
load units and 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for intermediate load units).
Lastly, the EPA is finalizing uniform
fuels as the BSER for low load natural
gas and oil-fired steam generating units.
The EPA is finalizing degrees of
emission limitation defined by 130 lb
CO2/MMBtu for low load natural gasfired steam generating units and 170 lb
CO2/MMBtu for low load oil-fired steam
generating units, and presumptively
approvable standards consistent with
those values.
Comment: One commenter stated that
the EPA should instead allow states to
define standards using a source’s
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baseline emission rate, with some
additional flexibilities to account for
changes in load.916 The commenter also
requested that, if the EPA were to
finalize presumptive standards, then the
higher values that the EPA solicited
comment on for natural gas-fired units
should be finalized. The commenter
similarly requested that, if the EPA were
to finalize presumptive standards, then
the higher values that the EPA solicited
comment on for oil-fired units should be
finalized—however, the commenter also
noted that its two sources that are
currently oil-firing operate below an 8
percent annual capacity factor and
would therefore not be subject to the
intermediate load or base load
presumptive standard.
Response: The EPA is finalizing
presumptive standards for natural gasfired steam generating units of 1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for base load units and
1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load units. The EPA is
finalizing the same standards for oilfired steam generating units for the
reasons discussed in the preceding text.
Few, if any, oil-fired units operate as
intermediate load or base load units, as
acknowledged by the commenter. Those
oil-fired units that have operated near
the threshold for intermediate load have
typically fired a large proportion of
natural gas and operated at emission
rates consistent with the final
presumptive standards.
c. Compliance Dates
This section summarizes information
on the compliance dates, or the first
date on which the standard of
performance applies, that the EPA is
finalizing for each subcategory. As
discussed in section X.C.1.b,
compliance is required to be
demonstrated on an annual (i.e.,
calendar year) basis.
The EPA proposed a compliance date
of January 1, 2030, for all affected steam
generating units. As discussed in
section VII.C.1.a.i(E) of this preamble,
the EPA received comments that this
compliance date was not achievable for
sources in the long-term coal-fired EGU
subcategory that would be installing
CCS. In response to those comments, the
EPA reevaluated the information and
timeline for CCS installation and is
finalizing a compliance date of January
1, 2032, for the long-term coal-fired
subcategory. The Agency is finalizing a
compliance date of January 1, 2030, for
units in the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory as well as for natural gasand oil-fired steaming generating units.
916 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0806.
PO 00000
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The EPA refers to January 1, 2030,
and January 1, 2032, as ‘‘compliance
dates,’’ ‘‘final compliance dates,’’ and
‘‘initial compliance dates’’ in various
parts of this preamble. In each case, the
EPA means that this is the date on
which affected EGUs must start
monitoring and reporting their
emissions and other relevant data for
purposes of demonstrating compliance
with their standards of performance
under these emission guidelines.
Affected EGUs demonstrate compliance
on a calendar year basis, i.e., the
compliance period for affected EGUs is
1 calendar year. Therefore, affected
EGUs will not have to demonstrate that
they are achieving their standards of
performance on January 1, 2030, or
January 1, 2032, as that demonstration
is made only at the end of the
compliance period, i.e., at the end of the
calendar year. But, again, these are the
dates on which affected EGUs in the
relevant subcategories must start
monitoring and reporting for purposes
of their future compliance
demonstrations with their standards of
performance.
d. Compliance Date Extension
Mechanism
The EPA is finalizing provisions that
allow states to include a mechanism to
extend the compliance date for certain
affected EGUs in their state plans. This
mechanism is only available for
situations in which an affected EGU
encounters a delay in installation of a
control technology that makes it
impossible to commence compliance by
the date specified in section X.C.1.c of
this preamble. The owner or operator
must provide documentation of the
circumstances that precipitated the
delay (or the anticipated delay) and
demonstrate that those circumstances
were or are entirely beyond the owner
or operator’s control and that the owner
or operator has no ability to remedy the
delay. These circumstances may
include, but are not limited to,
permitting-related delays or delays in
delivery or construction of parts
necessary for installation or
implementation of the control
technology.
The EPA received extensive comment
requesting a mechanism to extend the
compliance date for affected EGUs
installing a control technology to
address situations in which the owner
or operator of the affected EGU
encounters a delay outside of their
control. Several industry commenters
noted the potential for such delays due
to, among other reasons, supply chain
constraints, permitting processes, and/
or environmental assessments as well as
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delays in deployment of supporting
infrastructure like pipelines. These
commenters explained that an extension
mechanism could provide greater
regulatory certainty for owners and
operators. In light of this feedback and
acknowledgment that there may be
circumstances outside of owners/
operators’ control that impact their
ability to meet the compliance dates in
these emission guidelines, the EPA
believes that it is reasonable to provide
a consistent and transparent means of
allowing a limited extension of the
compliance deadline where an affected
EGU has demonstrated such an
extension is needed for installation of
controls. This mechanism is intended to
address delays in implementation—not
to provide more time to assess the
compliance strategy (i.e., the type of
technology or subcategory assignment)
for the affected EGU, as some
commenters suggested; those decisions
are to be made at the time of state plan
approval.
The compliance date extension
mechanism is consistent with both CAA
section 111 and these emission
guidelines. Consistent with the statutory
purpose of remedying dangerous air
pollution, state plans must generally
provide for compliance with standards
of performance as expeditiously as
practicable but no later than specified in
the emission guidelines. 40 CFR
60.24a(c). As discussed in sections
VII.C.1.a.i.(E) and VII.C.2.b.i(C), the EPA
has determined compliance timelines in
these emission guidelines consistent
with achieving emission reductions as
expeditiously as practicable given the
time it takes to install the BSER
technologies for the respective
subcategories. The compliance dates are
designed to accommodate the process
steps and timeframes that the EPA
reasonably anticipates will apply to
affected EGUs. This extension
mechanism acknowledges that
circumstances entirely outside the
control of the owners or operators of
affected EGUs may extend the
timeframe for installation of control
technologies beyond what the EPA
reasonably expects for the subcategories
as a general matter. Thus, so long as this
extension mechanism is limited to
circumstances that cannot be reasonably
controlled or remedied by states or
affected EGUs and that make it
impossible to achieve compliance by the
dates specified in these emission
guidelines, its use is consistent with
achieving compliance as expeditiously
as practicable.
The EPA is establishing parameters,
described in this subsection, for the
features of this mechanism (e.g.,
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documentation, time limitation). Within
these parameters, states should consider
state-specific circumstances related to
the implementation and enforcement of
this mechanism in their state plans.
Importantly, in order to provide
compliance date extensions that do not
require a state plan revision available to
affected EGUs, states must include the
mechanism in their proposed state plans
that are provided for public comment
and meaningful engagement (as well as
in the final state plan submitted to the
EPA), and the circumstances for and
consequences of using this mechanism
must be clearly spelled out and
bounded. States are not required to
include this mechanism in their state
plans; absent its inclusion, states must
submit a state plan revision in order to
extend a compliance schedule that has
been approved into a plan.
First, state plans must provide that a
compliance date extension through this
mechanism is available only for affected
EGUs that are installing add-on controls.
Affected EGUs that intend to comply
without installing additional control
technologies—including, but not limited
to, oil and gas-fired steam generating
EGUs—should not experience the types
of installation or implementation delays
that this mechanism is intended to
address. Second, state plan mechanisms
must provide that to receive a
compliance date extension, the owner or
operator of an affected EGU is required
to demonstrate to the state air pollution
control agency, and provide supporting
documentation to establish, the basis for
and plans to address the delay. For each
affected EGU, this demonstration must
include (1) confirmation that the
affected EGU has met the relevant
increments of progress up to the point
of the delay, including any permits
obtained and/or contracts entered into
for the installation of control
technology, (2) documentation, such as
invoices or correspondence with
permitting authorities, vendors, etc., of
the circumstances of the delay and that
the delay is due to the action, or lack
thereof, of a third party (e.g., supplier or
permitting authority), and that the
owner or operator of the affected EGU
has itself acted consistent with
achieving timely compliance (e.g., in
applying for permits with all necessary
information or contracting in sufficient
time to perform in accordance with
required schedules), and (3) plans for
addressing the circumstances and
remedying the delay as expeditiously as
practicable, including updated dates for
the final increment of progress
corresponding to the compliance date as
well as any other increments that are
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39961
outstanding at the time of the
demonstration. These requirements for
documentation are intended to ensure,
inter alia, that the owner or operator has
made all reasonable efforts to achieve
timely compliance and that the
circumstances for granting an extension
are not speculative but are rather based
on delays the affected EGU is currently
experiencing or is reasonably certain to
experience.
The extended compliance date must
be as expeditiously as practicable and
the maximum time allowed for this
extension is 1 year beyond the
compliance date specified for the
affected EGU by the state plan. Several
commenters suggested that a 1-year
extension was appropriate. If the delay
is anticipated to be longer than 1 year,
states can provide for the use of this
mechanism for up to 1 year but should
also initiate a state plan revision if
necessary to provide an updated
compliance date through consideration
of RULOF, subject to EPA approval of
the plan revision.
The state air pollution control agency
is charged with approving or
disapproving a compliance date
extension request based on its written
determination that the affected EGU has
or has not made each of the necessary
demonstrations and provided all of the
necessary documentation. All
documentation for the extension request
must be submitted by the owner or
operator of the affected EGU to the state
air pollution control agency no later
than 6 months prior to the compliance
date provided in these emission
guidelines. The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must also notify the
relevant EPA Regional Administrator of
their compliance date extension request
at the time of the submission of the
request. The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must also post their
application for the compliance date
extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website,
as discussed in section X.E.1.b.ii of this
preamble, when they submit the request
to the state air pollution control agency.
The state air pollution control agency
must notify the relevant EPA Regional
Administrator of any determination on
an extension request and the new
compliance date for any affected EGU(s)
with an approved extension at the time
of the determination on the extension
request. The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must also post the state’s
determination on the compliance
extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website,
as discussed in section X.E.1.b.ii of this
preamble, upon receipt of the
determination, and, if the request is
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approved, update information on the
website related to the compliance date
and increments of progress dates within
30 days of the receipt of the state’s
approval.
2. Remaining Useful Life and Other
Factors
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Under CAA section 111(d), the EPA is
required to promulgate regulations
under which states submit plans that
‘‘establish[] standards of performance
for any existing source’’ and ‘‘provide
for the implementation and enforcement
of such standards of performance.’’
While states establish the standards of
performance, there is a fundamental
obligation under CAA section 111(d)
that such standards reflect the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
the application of the BSER, as
determined by the EPA.917 The EPA
identifies this degree of emission
limitation as part of its emission
guideline. 40 CFR 60.22a(b)(5). Thus, as
described in section X.C.2 of this
preamble, the EPA is providing
methodologies for states to follow in
determining and applying
presumptively approvable standards of
performance to affected EGUs in each of
the subcategories covered by these
emission guidelines. In general, the
standards of performance that states
establish for designated facilities must
be no less stringent than the
presumptively approvable standards of
performance specified in these emission
guidelines. 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
However, CAA section 111(d)(1) also
requires that the EPA’s regulations
permit the states, in applying a standard
of performance to any particular
designated facility, to ‘‘take into
consideration, among other factors, the
remaining useful life of the existing
source to which the standard applies.’’
The EPA’s implementing regulations
under 40 CFR 60.24a allow a state to
consider a particular designated
facility’s remaining useful life and other
factors (‘‘RULOF’’) in applying to that
facility a standard of performance that is
less stringent than the presumptive level
of stringency in the applicable emission
guideline, or a compliance schedule that
is longer than prescribed by that
emission guideline.
In the proposal, the EPA indicated
that it had recently proposed, in a
917 West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 720 (2022)
(‘‘In devising emissions limits for power plants,
EPA first ‘determines’ the ‘best system of emission
reduction’ that—taking into account cost, health,
and other factors—it finds ‘has been adequately
demonstrated.’ The Agency then quantifies ‘the
degree of emission limitation achievable’ if that best
system were applied to the covered source.’’)
(internal citations omitted).
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separate rulemaking, to clarify the
general implementing regulations
governing the application of RULOF.
The Agency further explained that the
revised RULOF regulations, as finalized
in that separate rulemaking, would
apply to these emission guidelines. The
revisions to the implementing
regulations’ RULOF provisions were
finalized in November 2023, with some
changes in response to public comments
relative to proposal. As provided by 40
CFR 60.20a(a) and (a)(1) and indicated
in the proposal, the RULOF provisions
in 40 CFR 60.24a, as revised in the
November 2023 final rule, will govern
the use of RULOF to provide less
stringent standards of performance or
longer compliance schedules under
these emission guidelines. The EPA is
not superseding any provision of the
RULOF regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a in
these emission guidelines.
As explained in the preamble to the
final rule, Adoption and Submittal of
State Plans for Designated Facilities:
Implementing Regulations Under Clear
Air Act Section 111(d), the EPA has
interpreted the RULOF provision of
CAA section 111(d)(1) as allowing states
to apply a standard of performance that
is less stringent than the degree of
emission limitation in the applicable
emission guideline, or a longer
compliance schedule, to a particular
facility based on that facility’s
remaining useful life and other factors.
The use of RULOF to deviate from an
emission guideline is available only
when there are fundamental differences
between the circumstances of a
particular facility and the information
the EPA considered in determining the
degree of emission limitation or the
compliance schedule, and those
fundamental differences make it
unreasonable for the facility to achieve
the degree of emission limitation or
meet the compliance schedule in the
emission guideline. This
‘‘fundamentally different’’ standard is
consistent with the statutory purpose of
reducing dangerous air pollution under
CAA section 111; the statutory
framework under which, to achieve that
purpose, the EPA is directed to
determine the degree of emission under
CAA section 111(a)(1); and the
understanding that RULOF is intended
as a limited variance from the EPA’s
determination to address unusual
circumstances at particular facilities.918
The relevant consideration for states
contemplating the use of RULOF to
apply a less stringent standard of
performance is whether a designated
facility can reasonably achieve the
918 See,
PO 00000
e.g., 88 FR 80512 (November 17, 2023).
Frm 00166
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degree of emission limitation in the
applicable emission guideline, not
whether it can implement the system of
emission reduction the EPA determined
is the BSER. That is, if a designated
facility cannot implement the BSER but
can reasonably achieve the specified
degree of emission limitation using a
different system of emission reduction,
the state cannot use RULOF to apply a
less stringent standard of performance
to that facility.
If a state has demonstrated, pursuant
to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), that a particular
facility cannot reasonably achieve the
degree of emission limitation or
compliance schedule determined by the
EPA in these emission guidelines, the
state may then apply a less stringent
standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule. The process for
doing so is laid out in 40 CFR 60.24a(f).
Critically, standards of performance and
compliance schedules pursuant to
RULOF must be no less stringent, or no
longer, than is necessary to address the
fundamental difference between the
information the EPA considered and the
particular facility that was the basis for
invoking RULOF under 40 CFR
60.24a(e). In determining a less stringent
standard of performance, the state must,
to the extent necessary, evaluate the
systems of emission reduction identified
in the emission guidelines using the
factors and evaluation metrics the EPA
considered in assessing those systems,
including technical feasibility, the
amount of emission reductions, the cost
of achieving such reductions, any nonair quality health and environmental
impacts, and energy requirements.
States may also consider, as justified,
other factors specific to the facility that
were the basis for invoking RULOF
under 40 CFR 60.24a(e), as well as
additional systems of emission
reduction.
The RULOF provision at 40 CFR
60.24a(g) states that, where the basis of
a less stringent standard of performance
is an operating condition within the
control of a designated facility, the state
plan must include such operating
condition as an enforceable
requirement. The state plan must also
include requirements, such as for
monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping, for the implementation
and enforcement of the condition. This
is relevant in the case of, for example,
less stringent standards of performance
that are based on a particular designated
facility’s remaining useful life or
utilization.
Finally, the general implementing
regulations provide that states may
always adopt and enforce, as part of
their state plans, standards of
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performance that are more stringent
than the degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA and compliance
schedules that require final compliance
more quickly than specified in the
applicable emission guidelines. 40 CFR
60.24a(i). States do not have to use the
RULOF provisions in 40 CFR 60.24a(e)–
(h) to apply a more stringent standard of
performance or faster compliance
schedule.
The EPA notes that there were a
number of RULOF provisions proposed
as additions to the general
implementation regulations in subpart
Ba and discussed in the proposed
emission guidances that the EPA did not
finalize as part of that separate
rulemaking. Any proposed RULOF
requirements that were not finalized in
40 CFR 60.24a are likewise not being
finalized in this action and do not apply
as requirements under these emission
guidelines. However, two
considerations in particular remain
relevant to states’ development of plans
despite not being finalized as
requirements: consideration of
communities most impacted by and
vulnerable to the health and
environmental impacts of an affected
EGU that is invoking RULOF, and the
need to engage in reasoned decision
making that is supported by information
and a rationale that is included in the
state plan.919
As explained in the preamble to the
November 2023 final rule revising
subpart Ba, consideration of health and
environmental impacts is inherent in
consideration of two factors, the non-air
quality health and environmental
impacts and amount of emission
reduction, that the EPA considers under
CAA section 111(a)(1). Therefore, a state
considering whether a variance from the
EPA’s degree of emission limitation is
appropriate will necessarily consider
the potential impacts and benefits of
control to communities impacted by an
affected EGU that is potentially
receiving a less stringent standard of
performance.920 Additionally, as
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this
preamble, the general implementing
regulations for CAA section 111(d) in
subpart Ba require states to submit, with
their state plans or plan revisions,
documentation that they have
conducted meaningful engagement with
pertinent stakeholders and/or their
919 The other RULOF provisions that the EPA
proposed as additions to 40 CFR 60.24a but did not
finalize are related to setting imminent and
outermost dates for the consideration of remaining
useful life and consideration of RULOF to apply
more stringent standards of performance. See 88 FR
80480, 80525, 80529 (November 17, 2023).
920 88 FR 80528 (November 17, 2023).
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representative in the plan (or plan
revision) development process. 40 CFR
60.23a(i). The application of a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance schedule pursuant to
RULOF can impact the effects a state
plan has on pertinent stakeholders,
which include, but are not limited to,
industry, small businesses, and
communities most affected by and/or
vulnerable to the impacts of a state plan
or plan revision. See 40 CFR 60.21a(l).
Therefore, the potential application of
less stringent standards of performance
or longer compliance schedule should
be part of a state’s meaningful
engagement on a state plan or plan
revision.
Similarly, the EPA emphasized in the
preamble to the November 2023 final
rule revising subpart Ba that states carry
the burden of making any
demonstrations in support of lessstringent standards of performance
pursuant to RULOF in developing their
plans. As a general matter, states always
bear the responsibility of reasonably
documenting and justifying the
standards of performance in their plans.
In order to find a standard of
performance satisfactory, the EPA must
be able to ascertain, based on the
information and analysis included in
the state plan submission, that the
standard meets the statutory and
regulatory requirements.921
Comment: Multiple commenters
expressed support for the EPA’s
proposed approach to RULOF,
including its framework for ensuring
that less stringent standards of
performance and longer compliance
schedules are limited to unique
circumstances that reflect fundamental
differences from the circumstances that
the EPA considered, and that such
standards do not undermine the overall
effectiveness of the emission guidelines.
These commenters also noted that the
proposed RULOF approach is consistent
with CAA section 111(d). However,
other commenters argued that the EPA
lacks authority to put restrictions on
how states consider RULOF to apply
less stringent standards of performance
or longer compliance schedules. Some
commenters stated that the EPA’s
framework for the consideration of
RULOF runs counter to section 111’s
framework of cooperative federalism
and that the EPA has a limited role of
determining BSER for the source
category while the statute reserves
significant authority for the states to
establish and implement standards of
performance. One commenter
elaborated that the broad discretion
921 See
PO 00000
id. at 80527.
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39963
given to states to establish standards of
performance gives the EPA only a
limited role in reviewing states’ RULOF
demonstrations.
Response: The provisions that will
govern states’ use of RULOF under these
emission guidelines are contained in the
part 40, subpart Ba CAA section 111(d)
implementing regulations. Following
proposal of these emission guidelines,
the EPA finalized revisions to the
subpart Ba RULOF provisions in a
separate rulemaking. Any comments on
these generally applicable provisions,
including the EPA’s authority to
promulgate and implement them and
consistency with the cooperative
federalism framework of CAA section
111(d), are outside the scope of this
action. The EPA has, however,
considered and responded to comments
that concern the application of these
generally applicable RULOF provisions
under these particular emission
guidelines.
Comment: Several commenters spoke
to the role of RULOF given the structure
of the proposed subcategories for coalfired steam generating affected EGUs.
Some commenters supported the EPA’s
statement that, given the four proposed
subcategories based on affected EGUs’
intended operating horizons, the
Agency did not anticipate that states
would be likely to need to invoke
RULOF based on a particular affected
EGU’s remaining useful life. In contrast,
other commenters stated that the EPA
was attempting to unlawfully preempt
state consideration of RULOF. Some
noted that, regardless of the approach to
subcategorization, a particular source
may still present source-specific
considerations that a state may consider
relevant when applying a standard of
performance. One commenter referred
to RULOF as a way for states to
‘‘modify’’ subcategories to address the
circumstances of particular affected
EGUs.
Response: As explained in section
VII.C of this preamble, the structure of
the subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating affected EGUs under these
final emission guidelines differs from
the four subcategories that the EPA
proposed. The EPA is finalizing just two
subcategories for coal-fired EGUs: the
long-term subcategory and the mediumterm subcategory. Under these
circumstances, the justification for the
EPA’s statement at proposal that it is
unlikely that states would need to
invoke RULOF based on a coal-fired
steam generating affected EGU’s
remaining useful life no longer applies.
Consistent with 40 CFR 60.24a(e) and
the Agency’s explanation in the
proposal, states have the ability to
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consider, inter alia, a particular source’s
remaining useful life when applying a
standard of performance to that
source.922
Moreover, the EPA is clarifying that
RULOF may be used to particularize the
compliance obligations for an affected
EGU when a state demonstrates that it
is unreasonable for that EGU to achieve
the applicable degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule
determined by the EPA. Invocation of
RULOF does not have the effect of
modifying the subcategory structure or
creating a new subcategory for a
particular affected EGU. That EGU
remains in the applicable subcategory.
As explained elsewhere in this section
of the preamble, the particularized
compliance obligations must differ as
little as possible from the presumptive
standard of performance and
compliance schedule for the
subcategory into which the affected
EGU falls under these emission
guidelines.
Comment: One commenter requested
that the EPA identify situations in
which it is reasonable to deviate from
the presumptive standards of
performance in the emission guidelines
and include presumptively approvable
approaches for states to use when
invoking RULOF. The commenter noted
that this would reduce the regulatory
burden on states developing and
submitting plans. Another commenter,
however, stated that the EPA should not
provide any presumptively approvable
standard, criteria, or analytic approach
for states seeking to use RULOF. This
commenter explained that the premise
of source-specific variances under
RULOF is that they reflect
circumstances that are unique to a
particular unit and fundamental
differences from the general case, and
that it would be inappropriate to offer
a generic rubric for approving variances
separate from the particularized facts of
each case.
Response: The EPA is not identifying
circumstances in which it would be
reasonable to deviate from its
determinations or providing
presumptively approvable approaches
to invoking RULOF in these emission
guidelines. For this source category—
fossil-fuel fired steam generating
EGUs—in particular, the circumstances
and characteristics of affected EGUs and
the control strategies the EPA has
identified as BSER are extremely
context- and source-specific. In order to
922 See 88 FR 33383 (invoking RULOF based on
a particular coal-fired EGU’s remaining useful life
‘‘is not prohibited under these emission
guidelines’’).
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invoke RULOF for a particular affected
EGU, a state must demonstrate that it is
unreasonable for that EGU to reasonably
achieve the applicable degree of
emission limitation or compliance
schedule. Given the diversity of sizes,
ages, locations, process designs,
operating conditions, etc., of affected
EGUs, it is highly unlikely that the
circumstances that result in one affected
EGU being unable to reasonably achieve
the applicable presumptive standard or
compliance schedule would apply to
any other affected EGU. Further, the
RULOF provisions of subpart Ba
provide clarity for and guidance to
states as to what constitutes a
satisfactory less-stringent standard of
performance under these emission
guidelines.
While the EPA is not providing
presumptively approvable
circumstances or analyses for RULOF in
these emission guidelines, it is
providing information and analysis that
states can leverage in making any
determinations pursuant to the RULOF
provisions. As explained elsewhere in
this section of the preamble, the EPA
expects that states will be able to
particularize the information it is
providing in section VII of this preamble
and the final Technical Support
Documents for the circumstances of any
affected EGUs for which they are
considering RULOF, thereby decreasing
the analytical burdens.
Comment: Several commenters stated
that the proposed emission guidelines
did not provide adequate time for
RULOF analyses.
Response: As noted above, the EPA
expects states to leverage the
information it is providing in section VII
of this preamble and the final Technical
Support Documents in conducting any
RULOF analyses under these emission
guidelines. In particular, the Agency
believes states will be able to use the
information it is providing on available
control technologies for affected EGUs,
technical considerations, and costs
given different amortization periods and
particularize it for the purpose of
conducting any analyses pursuant to 40
CFR 60.24a(e) and (f). Additionally, as
discussed in section X.C.2.b of this
preamble, the regulatory provisions for
RULOF under subpart Ba provide a
framework for determining less
stringent standards of performance that
have the practical effect of minimizing
states’ analytical burdens. Given the
EPA’s consideration of affected EGU’s
circumstances and operational
characteristics in designing these
emission guidelines, the Agency does
not anticipate that states will be in the
position of conducting numerous
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RULOF analyses as part of their state
planning processes. The EPA therefore
believes that states will have sufficient
time to consider RULOF and conduct
any RULOF analyses under these
emission guidelines.
a. Threshold Requirements for
Considering RULOF
The general implementing regulations
of 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba, provide
that a state may apply a less stringent
standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule than otherwise
required under the applicable emission
guidelines based on consideration of a
particular source’s remaining useful life
and other factors. To do so, the state
must demonstrate for each designated
facility (or class of such facilities) that
the facility cannot reasonably achieve
the degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA (i.e., the
presumptively approvable standard of
performance) based on: (1)
Unreasonable cost resulting from plant
age, location, or basic process design, (2)
physical impossibility or technical
infeasibility of installing the necessary
control equipment, or (3) other factors
specific to the facility. In order to
determine that one or more of these
circumstances has been met, the state
must demonstrate that there are
fundamental differences between the
information specific to a facility (or
class of such facilities) and the
information the EPA considered in the
applicable emission guidelines that
make achieving the degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule in
those guidelines unreasonable for the
facility.
For each subcategory of affected EGUs
in these emission guidelines, the EPA
determined the degree of emission
limitation achievable through
application of the BSER by considering
information relevant to each of the
factors in CAA section 111(a)(1):
whether a system of emission reduction
is adequately demonstrated for the
subcategory, the costs of a system of
emission reduction, the non-air quality
health and environmental impacts and
energy requirements associated with a
system of emission reduction, and the
extent of emission reductions from a
system.923 As noted above, the relevant
consideration for invoking RULOF is
whether an affected EGU can reasonably
achieve the presumptive standard of
923 The EPA also considered expanded use and
development of technology in determining the
BSER for each subcategory. However, as this
consideration is not necessarily relevant at the scale
of a particular source for which a less stringent
standard of performance is being considered, it is
not addressed here.
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performance for the applicable
subcategory, as opposed to whether it
can implement the BSER. In
determining the BSER the EPA found
that certain costs, impacts, and energy
requirements were, on balance,
reasonable for affected EGUs; it is
therefore reasonable to assume that the
same costs, impacts, and energy
requirements would be equally
reasonable in the context of other
systems of reduction, as well. Therefore,
the information the EPA considered in
relation to each of these factors is the
baseline for consideration of RULOF
regardless of the system of emission
reduction being considered.
The EPA is providing presumptive
standards of performance in these
emission guidelines in the form of ratebased emission limitations. Thus, the
focus for states considering whether a
particular affected EGU has met the
threshold for a less stringent standard of
performance pursuant to RULOF is
whether that affected EGU can
reasonably achieve the applicable ratebased presumptive standard of
performance in these emission
guidelines.
Within each of the statutory factors it
considered in determining the BSER,
the Agency considered information
using one or more evaluation metrics.
For example, for both the long-term and
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs the EPA considered
cost in terms of dollars/ton CO2 reduced
and increases in levelized costs
expressed as dollars per MWh
electricity generation. Under the non-air
quality health and environmental
impacts and energy requirements factor,
the EPA considered non-greenhouse gas
emissions and energy requirements in
terms of parasitic load and boiler
efficiency, in addition to evaluation
metrics specific to the systems being
evaluated for each subcategory. For the
full range of factors, evaluation metrics,
and information the EPA considered
with regard to the long-term and
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating EGU subcategories, see
section VII.D.1 and VII.D.2 of this
preamble.
Although the considerations for
invoking RULOF described in 40 CFR
60.24a(e) are broader than just
unreasonable cost of control, much of
the information the EPA considered in
determining the BSER, and therefore
many of the circumstances states might
consider in determining whether to
invoke RULOF, are reflected in the cost
consideration. Where possible, states
should reflect source-specific
considerations in terms of cost, as it is
an objective and replicable metric for
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comparison to both the EPA’s
information and across affected EGUs
and states.924 For example,
consideration of pipeline length needed
for a particular affected EGU is best
reflected through consideration of the
cost of that pipeline. In particular,
consideration of the remaining useful
life of a particular affected EGU should
be considered with regard to its impact
on costs. In determining the BSER, the
EPA considers costs and specifically
annualized costs associated with
payment of the total capital investment
associated with the BSER. An affected
EGU’s remaining useful life and
associated length of the capital recovery
period can have a significant impact on
annualized costs. States invoking
RULOF based on an affected EGU’s
remaining useful life should
demonstrate that the annualized costs of
applying the degree of emission
limitation achievable through
application of the BSER for a source
with a short remaining useful life are
fundamentally different from the costs
that the EPA found were reasonable. For
purposes of determining the annualized
costs for an affected EGU with a shorter
remaining useful life, the EPA considers
the amortization period to begin at the
compliance date for the applicable
subcategory.
States considering the use of RULOF
to provide a less stringent standard of
performance for a particular EGU must
demonstrate that the information
relevant to that EGU is fundamentally
different from the information the EPA
considered. For example, in
determining the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the
application of co-firing for medium-term
coal-fired steam generating EGUs, the
EPA found that costs of $71/ton CO2
reduced and $13/MWh are reasonable.
A state seeking to invoke RULOF for an
affected coal-fired steam generating EGU
based on unreasonable cost of control
resulting from plant age, location, or
basic process design would therefore,
pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e),
demonstrate that the costs of achieving
the applicable degree of emission
limitation for that particular affected
EGU are fundamentally different from
$71/ton CO2 reduced and/or $13/MWh.
Any costs that the EPA has
determined are reasonable for any BSER
for affected EGUs under these emission
guidelines would not be an appropriate
basis for invoking RULOF. Additionally,
costs that are not fundamentally
different from costs that the EPA has
924 The EPA reiterates that states are not
precluded from considering information and factors
other than costs under 40 CFR 60.24a(e)(ii) and (iii).
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determined are or could be reasonable
for sources would also not be an
appropriate basis for invoking RULOF.
Thus, costs that are not fundamentally
different from, e.g., $18.50/MWh (the
cost for installation of wet-FGD on a 300
MW coal-fired steam generating unit,
used for cost comparison in section
VIII.D.1.a.ii of this preamble) would not
be an appropriate basis for invoking
RULOF under these emission
guidelines. On the other hand, costs that
constitute outliers, e.g., that are greater
than the 95th percentile of costs on a
fleetwide basis (assuming a normal
distribution) would likely represent a
valid demonstration of a fundamental
difference and could be the basis of
invoking RULOF.
Importantly, the costs evaluated in
BSER determinations are, in general,
based on average values across the fleet
of steam generating units. Those BSER
cost analysis values represent the
average of a distribution of costs
including costs that are above or below
the average representative value. On
that basis, implicit in the determination
that those average representative values
are reasonable is the determination that
a significant portion of the unit-specific
costs around those average
representative values are also
reasonable, including some portion of
those unit-specific costs that are above
but not significantly different than the
average representative values. That is,
the cost values the EPA considered in
determining the BSER should not be
considered bright-line upper thresholds
between reasonable and unreasonable
costs. Moreover, the examples in this
discussion are provided merely for
illustrative purposes; because each
RULOF demonstration must be
evaluated based on the facts and
circumstances relevant to a particular
affected EGU, the EPA is not setting any
generally applicable thresholds or
providing presumptively approvable
approaches for determining what
constitutes a fundamental difference in
cost or any other consideration under
these emission guidelines. The Agency
will assess each use of RULOF in a state
plan against the applicable regulatory
requirements; however, the EPA is
providing examples in this preamble in
response to comments requesting that it
provide further clarity and guidance on
what constitutes a satisfactory use of
RULOF.
Under 40 CFR 60.24a(e)(1)(iii), states
may also consider ‘‘other factors specific
to the facility.’’ Such ‘‘other factors’’
may include both factors (categories of
information) that the EPA did not
consider in determining the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
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application of the BSER and additional
evaluation metrics (ways of considering
a category of information) that the EPA
did not consider in its analysis. To
invoke RULOF based on consideration
of ‘‘other factors,’’ a state must
demonstrate that a factor makes it
unreasonable for the affected EGU to
achieve the applicable degree of
emission limitation in these emission
guidelines.
The general implementing regulations
of subpart Ba provide that states may
invoke RULOF for a class of facilities. In
the preamble to the subpart Ba final
rule, the EPA explained that ‘‘invoking
RULOF and providing a less-stringent
standard [of] performance or longer
compliance schedule for a class of
facilities is only appropriate where all
the facilities in that class are similarly
situated in all meaningful ways. That is,
they must not only share the
circumstance that is the basis for
invoking RULOF, they must also share
all other characteristics that are relevant
to determining whether they can
reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation determined by the
EPA in the applicable EG. For example,
it would not be reasonable to create a
class of facilities for the purpose of
RULOF on the basis that the facilities do
not have space to install the EPA’s BSER
control technology if some of them are
able to install a different control
technology to achieve the degree of
emission limitation in the EG.’’ 925
Given that individual fossil fuel-fired
steam generating EGUs are very unlikely
to be similarly situated with regard to
all of the characteristics relevant to
determining the reasonableness of
meeting a degree of emission limitation,
the EPA believes it would not likely be
reasonable for a state to invoke RULOF
for a class of facilities under these
emission guidelines. That is, because
there are relatively few affected EGUs in
each subcategory and because each EGU
is likely to have a distinct combination
of size, operating process, footprint,
geographic location, etc., it is highly
unlikely that the same threshold
analysis would apply to two or more
units.
i. Invoking RULOF for Long-Term CoalFired Steam Generating EGUs
In determining the BSER for the longterm coal-fired steam generating EGUs,
the EPA considered several evaluation
metrics specific to CCS. However,
affected EGUs are not required to
implement CCS to comply with their
standards of performance. To the extent
a state is considering whether it is
925 88
FR 80517 (November 17, 2023).
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reasonable for a particular affected EGU
in this subcategory to achieve the degree
of emission limitation using CCS as the
control strategy, the state would
consider whether that affected EGU’s
circumstances are fundamentally
different from the evaluation metrics
and information the EPA considered in
these emission guidelines. If a state is
considering whether it is reasonable for
an affected EGU to achieve the degree of
emission limitation for long-term coalfired steam generating EGUs through
some other control strategy, certain of
the evaluation metrics and information
the EPA considered, such as overall
costs and energy requirements, would
be relevant while other metrics or
information may or may not be.
As discussed above, the EPA
considered costs in terms of $/ton CO2
reduced and $/MWh. The Agency broke
down its cost consideration for CCS into
capture costs and CO2 transport and
sequestration costs, as discussed in
sections VIII.D.1.a.ii.(A) and (B) of this
preamble. The EPA also considered the
availability of the IRC section 45Q tax
credit in evaluating the cost of CCS for
affected EGUs, and finally, evaluated
the impacts of two different capacity
factor assumptions on costs. Similarly,
the Agency considered a number of
evaluation metrics specific to CCS
under the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy
requirements factors, in addition to
considering non-greenhouse gas
emissions and parasitic/auxiliary energy
demand increases and the net power
output decreases. In particular, the EPA
considered water use, CO2 capture plant
siting, transport and geologic
sequestration, and impacts on the
energy sector in terms of long-term
structure and reliability of the power
sector. A state may also consider other
factors and circumstances that the EPA
did not consider in its evaluation of
CCS, to the extent such factors or
circumstances are relevant to the
reasonableness of achieving the
associated degree of emission limitation.
As detailed in section VII.D.1.a.i of
this preamble, the EPA has determined
that CCS is adequately demonstrated for
long-term coal-fired steam generating
EGUs. The Agency evaluated the
components of CCS both individually
and in concurrent, simultaneous
operation. If a state believes a particular
affected EGU cannot reasonably
implement CCS based on physical
impossibility or technical infeasibility,
the state must demonstrate that the
circumstances of that individual EGU
are fundamentally different from the
information on CCS that the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines.
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ii. Invoking RULOF for Medium-Term
Coal-Fired Steam Generating EGUs
As for the long-term coal-fired steam
generating EGU subcategory, the EPA
also considered evaluation metrics and
information specific to the BSER,
natural gas co-firing, for the mediumterm subcategory. Again, similar to the
long-term subcategory, certain generally
applicable metrics and information that
the EPA considered, e.g., overall costs
and energy requirements, will be
relevant regardless of the control
strategy a state is considering for an
affected EGU in the medium-term
subcategory. To the extent a state is
considering whether it is reasonable for
a particular affected EGU to reasonably
achieve the presumptive standard of
performance using natural gas co-firing
as a control, the state should evaluate
whether there is a fundamental
difference between the circumstances of
that EGU and the information the EPA
considered. In considering costs for
natural gas co-firing, the Agency took
into account costs associated with
adding new gas burners and other boiler
modifications, fuel cost, and new
natural gas pipelines. In considering
non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy
requirements, the EPA addressed losses
in boiler efficiency due to co-firing, as
well as non-greenhouse gas emissions
and impact on the structure of the
energy sector. States may also consider
other factors and circumstances that are
relevant to determining the
reasonableness of achieving the
applicable degree of emission
limitation.
iii. Invoking RULOF To Apply a Longer
Compliance Schedule
Under 40 CFR 60.24a(c), ‘‘final
compliance,’’ i.e., compliance with the
applicable standard of performance,
‘‘shall be required as expeditiously as
practicable but no later than the
compliance times specified’’ in the
applicable emission guidelines, unless a
state has demonstrated that a particular
designated facility cannot reasonably
comply with the specific compliance
time per the RULOF provision at 40 CFR
60.24a(e). The EPA, in these emission
guidelines, has detailed the amount of
time needed for states and affected
EGUs in the long-term and mediumterm coal-fired steam generating EGU
subcategories to comply with standards
of performance using CCS and natural
gas co-firing, respectively, in sections
VII.C.1 and VII.C.2 of this preamble.
These compliance times are based on
information available for and applicable
to the subcategories as a whole. The
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Agency anticipates that some affected
EGUs will be able to comply more
expeditiously than on these generally
applicable timelines. Similarly, there
may be circumstances in which a
particular EGU cannot reasonably
comply with its standard of
performance by the compliance date
specified in these emission guidelines.
In order to provide a longer compliance
schedule, the state must demonstrate
that there is a fundamental difference
between the information the EPA
considered for the subcategory as a
whole and the circumstances of a
particular EGU. These circumstances
should not be speculative; the state
must substantiate the need for a longer
compliance schedule with
documentation supporting that need
and justifying why a certain component
or components of implementation will
take longer than the EPA considered in
these emission guidelines. If a state
anticipates that a process or activity will
take longer than is typical for similarly
situated EGUs within and outside the
state or longer than it has historically,
the state should provide an explanation
of why it expects this to be the case as
well as evidence corroborating the
reasons and need for additional time.
Consistent with 40 CFR 60.24a(c) and
(e), states should not use the RULOF
provision to provide a longer
compliance schedule unless there is a
demonstrated, documented reason at the
time of state plan submission that a
particular source will not be able to
achieve compliance by the date
specified in these emission guidelines.
The EPA notes that it is providing a
number of flexibilities in these final
emission guidelines for states and
sources if they find, subsequent to state
plan submission, that additional time is
necessary for compliance; states should
consider these flexibilities in
conjunction with the potential use of
RULOF to provide a longer compliance
schedule. A source-specific compliance
date pursuant to RULOF must be no
later than necessary to address the
fundamental difference; that is, it must
be as close to the compliance schedule
provided in these emission guidelines
as reasonably possible. Considerations
specific to providing a longer
compliance schedule to address
reliability are addressed in section
X.C.2.e.i of this preamble.
Comment: Several commenters stated
that the EPA must respect the broad
authority granted to states under the
CAA and that while the EPA’s
information on various factors is helpful
to states, states may readily deviate from
the emission guidelines in order to
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account for source- and state-specific
characteristics. The commenters argued
that the EPA’s general implementing
regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(c)
recognize that states may consider
factors that make application of a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance time significantly
more reasonable, and commenters stated
that those factors should include, inter
alia, cost, feasibility, infrastructure
development, NSR implications,
fluctuations in performance depending
on load, state energy policy, and
potential reliability issues. The
commenters stated that states have the
authority to account for consideration of
other factors in various ways and that
the EPA must defer to state choices,
provided those choices are reasonable
and consistent with the statute.
Response: Comments on states’ use of
RULOF vis-a`-vis the EPA’s
determinations pursuant to CAA section
111(a)(1) in the applicable emission
guidelines are outside the scope of this
rulemaking.926 Similarly, comments on
the EPA’s authority to review states’ use
of RULOF in state plans and the scope
of that review are outside the scope of
this rulemaking.927 The EPA is also
clarifying that, while the commenters
are correct that the general
implementing regulations at 40 CFR
60.24a(c) recognize that states may
invoke RULOF to provide a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance schedule, they also
provide that, unless the threshold for
the use of RULOF in 40 CFR 60.24a(e)
has been met, ‘‘standards of
performance shall be no less stringent
than the corresponding emission
guideline(s) . . . and final compliance
shall be required as expeditiously as
practicable but no later than the
compliance times specified’’ in the
emission guidelines. The threshold for
invoking RULOF is when a state
demonstrates that a particular affected
EGU cannot reasonably achieve the
degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA, based on one or
more of the circumstances at 40 CFR
60.24a(e)(i)–(iii), because there are
fundamental differences between the
information the EPA considered in the
emission guidelines and the information
specific to the affected EGU. The
‘‘significantly more reasonable’’
standard does not apply to RULOF
determinations under these emission
guidelines.928
The EPA agrees that states have
authority to consider ‘‘other
926 See
88 FR 80509–17 (November 17, 2023).
id. at 80526–27.
928 40 CFR 60.20a(a).
927 See
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39967
circumstances specific to the facility.’’
States are uniquely situated to have
knowledge about unit-specific
considerations. If a unit-specific factor
or circumstance is fundamentally
different from the information the EPA
considered and that difference makes it
unreasonable for the affected EGU to
achieve that degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule,929 it
is grounds for applying a less stringent
standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule. The EPA will
review states’ RULOF analyses and
determinations for consistency with the
applicable regulatory requirements at 40
CFR 60.24a(e)–(h).
Comment: Multiple commenters
weighed in on the subject of cost
metrics. Two commenters stated that the
EPA should not require states to
consider costs using the same metrics
that it considered in the emission
guidelines. These commenters
explained that the unique circumstances
of each unit mean that different metrics
may be appropriate and should be
allowed as long as the state plan
provides a justification. Other
commenters, however, supported the
proposed requirement for states to
consider costs using the same metrics as
the EPA. Similarly, commenters differed
on the example in the proposed rule
preamble that costs that are greater than
the 95th percentile of costs on a
fleetwide basis would likely be
fundamentally different from the
fleetwide costs that the EPA considered
in these emission guidelines. While one
commenter believed that the 95th
percentile may not be an appropriate
threshold in all circumstances and
should not be treated as an absolute,
another commenter argued that the EPA
should formalize the 95th percentile
threshold as a requirement for states
seeking to invoke RULOF based on
unreasonable cost.
Response: The EPA believes that, in
order to evaluate whether there is a
fundamental difference between the cost
information the EPA considered in these
emission guidelines and the cost
information for a particular affected
EGU, it is necessary for states to
evaluate costs using the same metrics
that the EPA considered. However,
states are not precluded from
considering additional cost metrics
alongside the two metrics used in these
emission guidelines: $/ton of CO2
reduced and $/MWh of electricity
929 ‘‘Other factors’’ may include facility-specific
circumstances and factors that the EPA did not
anticipate and consider in the applicable emission
guideline that make achieving the EPA’s degree of
emission limitation unreasonable for that facility.
88 FR 80480, 80521 (November 17, 2023).
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generated. States should justify why any
additional cost metrics are relevant to
determining whether a particular
affected EGU can reasonably achieve the
applicable degree of emission
limitation.
The EPA did not state that a cost that
is greater than the 95th percentile of
fleetwide costs would necessarily justify
invocation of RULOF. Nor did the EPA
intend to suggest that such costs are the
only way states can demonstrate that the
costs for a particular affected EGU are
fundamentally different. While it may
be an appropriate benchmark in some
cases, there are other ways for states to
demonstrate that the cost for a particular
affected EGU is an outlier. That is, the
EPA is not requiring that the unitspecific costs be above the 95th
percentile in order to demonstrate that
they are fundamentally different from
the costs the Agency considered in these
emission guidelines. As discussed
elsewhere in this section of the
preamble, the diversity in circumstances
of individual affected EGUs under these
emission guidelines makes it infeasible
for the EPA to a priori define a bright
line for what constitutes reasonable
versus unreasonable costs for individual
units in these emission guidelines.
Comment: One commenter noted that
the EPA should only approve the use of
RULOF to provide a longer compliance
schedule where there is clearly
documented evidence (e.g., receipts,
invoices, actual site work) that a source
is making best endeavors to achieve
compliance as expeditiously as possible.
Response: The EPA believes this kind
of evidence is strong support for
providing a longer compliance
schedule. The Agency further believes
that states should show that the need to
provide a longer compliance schedule is
notwithstanding best efforts on the parts
of all relevant parties to achieve timely
compliance. The EPA is not, however,
precluding the possibility that states
could reasonably justify a longer
compliance schedule based on other
types of information or evidence.
b. Calculation of a Standard of
Performance That Accounts for RULOF
If a state has demonstrated that a
particular affected EGU is unable to
reasonably achieve the applicable
degree of emission limitation or
compliance schedule under these
emission guidelines per 40 CFR
60.24a(e), it may then apply a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance schedule according
to the process laid out in 40 CFR
60.24a(f). Pursuant to that process, the
state must determine the standard of
performance or compliance schedule
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that, respectively, is no less stringent or
no longer than necessary to address the
fundamental difference that was the
basis for invoking RULOF. That is, the
standard of performance or compliance
schedule must be as close to the EPA’s
degree of emission limitation or
compliance schedule as reasonably
possible for that particular EGU.
The EPA notes that the proposed
emission guidelines would have
included requirements for how states
determine less stringent standards of
performance, including what systems of
emission reduction states must evaluate
and the order in which they must be
evaluated. These proposed requirements
were intended to ensure that states
reasonably consider the controls that
may qualify as a source-specific
BSER.930 However, the final RULOF
provisions in subpart Ba for determining
less stringent standards of performance
differ from the proposed subpart Ba
provisions in a way that obviates the
need for the separate requirements
proposed in these emission guidelines.
First, as opposed to determining a
source-specific BSER for sources that
have met the threshold requirements for
RULOF, states determine the standard of
performance that is no less stringent
than the EPA’s degree of emission
limitation than necessary to address the
fundamental difference. Second, the
process for determining such a standard
of performance that the EPA finalized at
40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1) involves evaluating,
to the extent necessary, the systems of
emission reduction that the EPA
identified in the applicable emission
guidelines using the factors and
evaluation metrics that the Agency
considered in assessing those systems.
Because the final RULOF provisions of
subpart Ba create essentially the same
process as the provisions the EPA
proposed for determining a less
stringent standard of performance under
these emission guidelines, the EPA has
determined it is not necessary to finalize
those provisions here.
The EPA anticipates that states
invoking RULOF for affected EGUs will
do so because an EGU is in one of two
circumstances: it is implementing the
control strategy the EPA determined is
the BSER but cannot achieve the degree
of emission limitation in the emission
guideline using that control (or any
other system of emission reduction); or
it is not implementing the BSER and
cannot reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation using any system of
emission reduction.
If an affected EGU will be
implementing the BSER but cannot meet
930 See
PO 00000
88 FR 33384 (May 23, 2023).
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the degree of emission limitation due to
fundamental differences between the
circumstances of that particular EGU
and the circumstances the EPA
considered in the emission guidelines, it
may not be necessary for the state to
evaluate other systems of emission
reduction to determine the less stringent
standard of performance. In this
instance, the state and affected EGU
would determine the degree of emission
limitation the EGU can reasonably
achieve, consistent with the
requirement that it be no less stringent
than necessary. That degree of emission
limitation would be the basis for the less
stringent standard of performance. For
example, assume an affected EGU in the
long-term coal-fired steam generating
EGU subcategory is intending to install
CCS and the state has demonstrated that
it is not reasonably possible for the
capture equipment at that particular
EGU to achieve 90 percent capture of
the mass of CO2 in the flue gas
(corresponding to an 88.4 percent
reduction in emission rate), but it can
reasonably achieve 85 percent capture.
If the source cannot reasonably achieve
an 88.4 percent reduction in emission
rate using any other system of emission
reduction, the state may apply a less
stringent standard of performance that
corresponds to 85 percent capture
without needing to evaluate further
systems of emission reduction.
In other cases, however, an affected
EGU may not be implementing the
BSER and may not be able to reasonably
achieve the applicable degree of
emission limitation (i.e., the
presumptive standard of performance)
using any control strategy. In such
situations, the state must determine the
standard of performance that is no less
stringent than necessary by evaluating
the systems of emission reduction the
EPA considered in these emission
guidelines, using the factors and
evaluation metrics the EPA considered
in assessing those systems. States may
also consider additional systems of
emission reduction that the EPA did not
identify but that the state believes are
available and may be reasonable for a
particular affected EGU.
The requirement at 40 CFR
60.24a(f)(1) provides that a state must
evaluate these systems of emission
reduction to the extent necessary to
determine the standard of performance
that is as close as reasonably possible to
the presumptive standard of
performance under these emission
guidelines. It will most likely not be
necessary for a state to consider all of
the systems that the EPA identified for
a given affected EGU. For example, if
the state has already determined it is not
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reasonably possible for an affected EGU
to implement one of these control
strategies, at any stringency, as part of
its demonstration under 40 CFR
60.24a(e) that a less stringent standard
of performance is warranted, the state
does not need to evaluate that system
again. Similarly, if a state starts by
evaluating the system that achieves the
greatest emission reductions and
determines the affected EGU can
implement that system, it is most likely
not necessary for the state to consider
the other systems on the list in order to
determine that the resulting standard of
performance is no less stringent than
necessary. The Agency anticipates that
states will leverage the information the
EPA has provided regarding systems of
emission reduction in these emission
guidelines, as well as the wealth of
other technical, cost, and related
information on various control systems
in the record for this final action, in
conducting their evaluations under 40
CFR 60.24a(f). In many cases, it will be
possible for states to use information the
EPA has provided as a starting point
and particularize it for the
circumstances of an individual affected
EGU.931
For systems of emission reduction
that have a range of potential
stringencies, states should start by
evaluating the most stringent iteration
that is potentially feasible for the
particular affected EGU. If that level of
stringency is not reasonable, the state
should also evaluate other stringencies
as may be needed to determine the
standard of performance that is no less
stringent than the applicable degree of
emission limitation in these emission
guidelines than necessary.
In evaluating the systems of emission
reduction identified in these emissions
guidelines, states must also consider the
factors and evaluation metrics that the
EPA considered in assessing those
systems, including technical feasibility,
the amount of emission reductions, any
non-air quality health and
environmental impacts, and energy
requirements. 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1). They
may also consider, in evaluating
systems of emission reduction, other
factors specific to the facility that
constitute a fundamental difference
between the information the EPA
considered and the circumstances of the
particular affected EGU and that were
the basis of invoking RULOF for that
931 See, e.g., sections VII.C.1–4 of this preamble,
the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generation Units, the CO2 Capture Project Schedule
and Operations Memo, Documentation for the
Lateral Cost Estimation, Transport and Storage
Timeline Summary, and the Heat Rate Improvement
Method Costs and Limitations Memo.
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particular EGU. For example, if a state
determined that it is physically
impossible or technically infeasible
and/or unreasonably costly for a longterm coal-fired affected EGU to
construct a CO2 pipeline because the
EGU is located on a remote island, the
state could consider that information in
evaluating additional systems of
emission reduction, as well.
The general implementing regulations
at 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(2) provide that any
less stringent standards of performance
that a state applies pursuant to RULOF
must be in the form required by the
applicable emission guideline. The
presumptive standards of performance
the EPA is providing in these emission
guidelines are rate-based emission
limitations. In order to ensure that a
source-specific standard of performance
is no less stringent than the EPA’s
presumptive standard than necessary,
the source-specific standard pursuant to
RULOF must be determined and
expressed in the form of a rate-based
emission limitation. That is, the systems
of emission reduction that states
evaluate pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1)
must be systems for reducing a source’s
emission rate and the state must apply
a standard of performance expressed as
an emission rate, in lb CO2/MWh,932
that is no less stringent than necessary.
As discussed in section X.D.1.b of this
preamble, the EPA is not providing that
affected EGUs with standards of
performance pursuant to consideration
of RULOF can use mass-based or ratebased compliance flexibilities under
these emission guidelines.
The general implementing regulations
also provide that any compliance
schedule extending more than twenty
months past the state plan submission
deadline must include legally
enforceable increments of progress. 40
CFR 60.24a(d). Due to the timelines the
EPA is finalizing under these emission
guidelines, any affected EGU with
compliance obligations pursuant to
consideration of RULOF will have a
compliance schedule that triggers the
need for increments of progress in state
plans. Because compliance obligations
932 The presumptive standards of performance for
coal-fired steam-generating affected EGUs and base
load and intermediate load natural gas- and oil-fired
steam generating affected EGUs are in units of lb
CO2/MWh; thus, any standards of performance
pursuant to consideration of RULOF must be
determined in these units, as well. The presumptive
standard of performance for low-load natural gasfired and oil-fired affected EGUs are in units of lb
CO2/MMBtu. While the EPA does not expect that
states will use the RULOF provisions to provide
less stringent standards of performance for these
sources because their BSER is based on uniform
fuels, should a state do so, the standard of
performance would be determined in units of lb
CO2/MMBtu.
PO 00000
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39969
pursuant to RULOF are, by their nature,
source-specific, the EPA is not
providing particular increments of
progress for sources for which RULOF
has been invoked in these emission
guidelines. Therefore, states must
provide increments of progress for
RULOF sources in their state plans that
comply with the generally applicable
requirements in 40 CFR 60.24a(d) and
40 CFR 60.21a(h).
Additionally, 40 CFR 60.24a(h)
requires that a less stringent standard of
performance must meet all other
applicable requirements of both the
general implementing regulations and
these emission guidelines.
i. Determining a Less-Stringent Standard
of Performance for Long-Term Coal
Fired Steam Generating EGUs
The EPA identified four potential
systems of emission reduction for longterm coal-fired steam generating EGUs:
CCS with 90 percent CO2 capture, CCS
with partial CO2 capture/lower capture
rates, natural gas co-firing, and HRI. If
a state has demonstrated, pursuant to 40
CFR 60.24a(e), that a particular affected
coal-fired EGU in the long-term
subcategory can install and operate CCS
but cannot reasonably achieve an 88.4
percent degree of emission limitation
using CCS or any other systems of
emission reduction, under the process
laid out in 60.24a(f)(1) the state would
proceed to evaluate CCS with lower
rates of CO2 capture. The state would
identify the most stringent degree of
emission limitation the affected EGU
can reasonably achieve using CCS and
that degree of emission limitation would
become the basis for the source’s less
stringent standard of performance.933
If a state has demonstrated, pursuant
to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), that a particular
affected coal-fired EGU cannot
reasonably install and operate CCS as a
control strategy and cannot otherwise
achieve the presumptive standard of
performance, the state would proceed to
evaluate natural gas co-firing and HRI as
potential control strategies. Because 40
CFR 60.24a(f)(1) requires that a standard
of performance be no less stringent than
necessary to address the fundamental
differences that were the basis for
invoking RULOF, states would start by
evaluating natural gas co-firing at 40
percent. If the affected EGU cannot
933 40 CFR 60.24a(f) requires that a standard of
performance pursuant to consideration of RULOF
be no less stringent than necessary to address the
fundamental difference identified under 40 CFR
60.24a(e). If a particular affected EGU can install
and operate CCS but only at such a low CO2 capture
rate that it could reasonably achieve greater
stringency based on natural gas co-firing, the state
would apply a standard of performance based on
natural gas co-firing.
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reasonably co-fire at 40 percent, the
state would proceed to evaluate lower
levels of natural gas co-firing unless it
has demonstrated that the EGU cannot
reasonably co-fire any amount of natural
gas. If that is the case, the state would
then evaluate HRI as a control strategy.
The EPA notes that states may also
consider additional systems of emission
reduction that may be available and
reasonable for particular EGUs.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
ii. Determining a Less-Stringent
Standard of Performance for MediumTerm Coal Fired Steam Generating
EGUs
The EPA identified three potential
systems of emission reduction for
affected coal-fired steam generating
EGUs in the medium-term subcategory:
CCS, natural gas co-firing, and HRI. The
EPA explained in section VII.D.2.b.i of
this preamble that the cost effectiveness
of CCS is less favorable for mediumterm steam generating EGUs based on
the short periods they have to amortize
capital costs and utilize the IRC section
45Q tax credit. The EPA therefore
believes that it would be reasonable for
states determining a less stringent
standard of performance for an affected
EGU in the medium-term subcategory to
forgo evaluating CCS as a potential
control strategy. States would therefore
start by evaluating lower levels of
natural gas co-firing, unless a state has
demonstrated pursuant to 40 CFR
60.24a(e) that the particular EGU cannot
reasonably install and implement
natural gas co-firing as a system of
emission reduction. If that is the case,
the state would evaluate HRI as the
basis for a standard of performance that
is no less stringent than necessary.
The EPA expects that any coal-fired
steam generating EGU to which a less
stringent standard of performance is
being applied will be able to reasonably
implement some system of emission
reduction; at a minimum, the Agency
believes that all sources could institute
approaches to maintain their historical
heat rates.
iii. Determining a Longer Compliance
Schedule
Pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1), a
longer compliance schedule pursuant to
consideration of RULOF must be no
longer than necessary to address the
fundamental difference identified
pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e). For states
that are providing extensions to the
schedules in the EPA’s emission
guidelines, implementation of this
requirement is straightforward. States
should provide any information and
analyses discussed in other sections of
this preamble as relevant to justifying
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the need for, and length of, any
compliance schedule extensions under
the RULOF provisions. For states that
are applying less stringent standards of
performance that are based on a system
of emission reduction other than the
BSER for that subcategory, states should
apply a compliance schedule consistent
with installation and implementation of
that system that is as expeditious as
practicable.934
Comment: One commenter asserted
that the 2023 proposed rule indicated
that states invoking RULOF would be
required to evaluate certain controls, in
a certain order, as appropriate for
subcategories of affected EGUs. The
commenter stated that the EPA must
defer to states’ consideration of other
systems of emission reduction that the
EPA has determined are not the BSER,
including the manner in which the
states choose to consider those systems.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing
the proposed requirements in these
emission guidelines that would have
specified the systems of emission
reduction that states must consider
when invoking RULOF and the order in
which they consider them. The EPA is
instead providing that states’ analyses
and determinations of less stringent
standards of performance pursuant to
RULOF must be conducted in
accordance with the generally
applicable requirements of the part 60,
subpart Ba implementing regulations;
specifically, 40 CFR 60.24a(f). While the
requirements under this regulation for
determining less stringent standards of
performance pursuant to RULOF are
similar to the requirements proposed
under these emission guidelines, they
are also, as described above, more
flexible because they provide (1) that
states must consider other systems of
emission reduction to the extent
necessary to determine the standard of
performance that is no less stringent
than the EPA’s degree of emission
limitation than necessary, and (2) that
states may consider other systems of
emission reduction, in addition to those
the EPA identified in the applicable
emission guidelines.
c. Contingency Requirements
Per the general implementing
regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(g), if a state
invokes RULOF based on an operating
condition within the control of an
affected EGU, such as remaining useful
life or a specific level of utilization, the
state plan must include such operating
condition or conditions as an
enforceable requirement. The state plan
must also include provisions that
934 See
PO 00000
40 CFR 60.24a(c).
Frm 00174
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provide for the implementation and
enforcement of the operating conditions,
including requirements for monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping. The EPA
notes that there may be circumstances
in which an affected EGU’s
circumstances change after a state has
submitted its state plan; states may
always submit plan revisions if needed
to alter an enforceable requirement
therein.
Comment: One commenter stated that
if a state does not accept the
presumptive standards of performance
for a facility, it must establish federally
enforceable retirement dates and
operating conditions for that facility.
The commenter asserted that the CAA
does not authorize the EPA to constrain
states’ discretion by requiring them to
impose such restrictions as the price for
exercising the RULOF authority granted
by Congress. The commenter suggested
that the EPA eliminate the requirement
to include enforceable retirement dates
and restrictions on operations in
conjunction with a RULOF
determination and stated that states
should retain discretion to decide
whether and when, based on RULOF, it
is necessary to impose such restrictions
on sources.
Response: The EPA clarifies that
states are in no way required to impose
enforceable retirement dates or
operating restrictions on affected EGUs
under these emission guidelines. It is
entirely within a state’s control to
decide whether such a requirement is
appropriate for a source. If a state
determines that it is, in fact, appropriate
to codify an affected EGU’s intention to
cease operating or limit its operations as
an enforceable requirement, the state
may use such considerations as the
basis for applying, as warranted, a less
stringent standard of performance to
that source. This allowance is provided
under the subpart Ba general
implementing regulations, 40 CFR
60.24a(g).
d. More Stringent Standards of
Performance in State Plans
States always have the authority and
ability to include more stringent
standards of performance and faster
compliance schedules as federally
enforceable requirements in their state
plans. They do not need to use the
RULOF provisions to do so. See 40 CFR
60.24a(i).
e. Interaction of RULOF and Other State
Plan Flexibilities and Mechanisms
The EPA discusses the ability of
affected EGUs with standards of
performance determined pursuant to 40
CFR 60.24a(f) to use compliance
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flexibilities under these emission
guidelines in section X.D of this
preamble.
i. Use of RULOF To Address Reliability
The EPA, in determining the degree of
emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER for coal-fired
steam generating EGUs, analyzed
potential impacts of the BSERs on
resource adequacy in addition to
considering multiple studies on how
reliability could be impacted by these
emission guidelines. In doing so, the
Agency considered potential large-scale
(regional and national) and long-term
impacts on the reliability of the
electricity system under CAA section
111(a)(1)’s ‘‘energy requirements’’
factor. In evaluating CCS as a control
strategy for long-term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, the Agency
determined that CCS as the BSER would
have limited and non-adverse impacts
on the long-term structure of the power
sector or on reliability of the power
sector. See section VII.C.1.a.iii.(F) and
final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis.
Additionally, the EPA has made several
adjustments to the final emission
guidelines relative to proposal that
should have the effect of alleviating any
reliability concerns, including changing
the scope of units covered by these
actions and removing certain
subcategories, including one that would
have included an annual capacity factor
limitation. See section XII.F of this
preamble for further discussion.
While the EPA has determined that
the structure and requirements of these
emission guidelines will not negatively
impact large-scale and long-term
reliability, it also acknowledges the
more locationally specific, source-bysource decisions that go into
maintaining grid reliability. For
example, there may be circumstances in
which a balancing authority may need
to have a particular unit available at a
certain time in order to ensure
reliability of the larger system. As noted
above, the structure and various
mechanisms of these emission
guidelines allow states and reliability
authorities to plan for compliance in a
manner that preserves grid operators’
abilities to maintain electric reliability.
Specifically, coal-fired EGUs that are
planning to cease operation do not have
control requirements under these
emission guidelines, the removal of the
imminent-term and near-term
subcategories means that states and
reliability authorities have greater
flexibility in the earlier years of
implementation, and the EPA is
providing two dedicated reliability
mechanisms. Given these adjustments,
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the Agency believes there will remain
very few, if any, circumstances in which
states will need to provide
particularized compliance obligations
for an affected EGU based on a need to
address reliability. However, there may
be isolated instances in which a
particular affected EGU cannot
reasonably comply with the applicable
requirements due to a source-specific
reliability issue. Such unit-specific
reliability considerations may constitute
an ‘‘[o]ther circumstance[] specific to
the facility’’ that makes it unreasonable
for a particular EGU to achieve the
degree of emission limitation or
compliance schedule the EPA has
provided in these emission guidelines.
40 CFR 60.24a(e)(1)(iii). The EPA is
therefore confirming that states may use
the RULOF provisions in 40 CFR 60.24a
to apply a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance
schedule to a particular affected EGU
based on reliability considerations. The
EPA emphasizes that the RULOF
provisions should not be used to
provide a less stringent standard of
performance if the applicable degree of
emission limitation for an affected EGU
is reasonably achievable. To do so
would be inconsistent with CAA
sections 111(d) and 111(a)(1). Thus, to
the extent states and affected EGUs find
it necessary to use RULOF to
particularize these emission guidelines’
requirements for a specific unit based
on reliability concerns, such
adjustments should take the form of
longer compliance schedules.
In order to meet the threshold for
applying a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance
schedule based on unit-specific
reliability considerations under 40 CFR
60.24a(e), a state must demonstrate a
fundamental difference between the
information the EPA considered on
reliability and the circumstances of the
specific unit. This demonstration would
be made by showing that requiring a
particular affected EGU to comply with
its presumptive standard of performance
under the specified compliance
timeframe would compromise
reliability, e.g., by necessitating that the
affected EGU be taken offline for a
specific period of time during which a
resource adequacy shortfall with
adverse impacts would result. In order
to make this demonstration, states must
provide an analysis of the reliability risk
if the particular affected EGU were
required to comply with its applicable
presumptive standard of performance by
the compliance date, clearly
demonstrating that the EGU is reliability
critical such that requiring it to comply
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39971
would trigger non-compliance with at
least one of the mandatory reliability
standards approved by FERC or cause
the loss of load expectation to increase
beyond the level targeted by regional
system planners as part of their
established procedures for that
particular region. Specifically, this
requires a clear demonstration that each
unit for which use of RULOF is being
considered would be needed to
maintain the targeted level of resource
adequacy.935 The analysis must also
include a projection of the period of
time for which the particular affected
EGU is expected to be reliability critical.
States must also provide an analysis by
the relevant reliability Planning
Authority 936 that corroborates the
asserted reliability risk and confirms
that one or both of the circumstances
would result from requiring the
particular affected EGU to comply with
its applicable requirements, and also
confirms the period of time for which
the EGU is projected to be reliability
critical. The state plan must also
include a certification from the Planning
Authority that the claims are accurate
and that the identified reliability
problem both exists and requires the
specific relief requested.
To substantiate a reliability risk that
stems from resource adequacy in
particular, the analyses must also
demonstrate that the specific affected
EGU has been designated by the
relevant Planning Authority as needed
for resource adequacy and thus
reliability, and that requiring that
affected EGU to comply with the
requirements in these emission
guidelines would interfere with its
ability to serve this function as intended
by the Planning Authority. However, the
EPA reiterates that the structure of the
subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating affected EGUs in these final
emission guidelines differs from the
proposal in ways that should provide
states and affected EGUs wider latitude
to make the operational decisions
needed to ensure resource adequacy.
Thus, again, the Agency expects that the
circumstances in which states need to
rely on consideration of RULOF to
935 See, e.g., the North American Electric
Reliability Corporation’s ‘‘Probabilistic Assessment:
Technical Guideline Document,’’ August 2016.
https://www.nerc.com/comm/RSTC/PAWG/proba_
technical_guideline_document_08082014.pdf.
936 The North American Electric Reliability
Corporation (NERC)’s currently enforceable
definition of ‘‘Planning Authority’’ is, ‘‘[t]he
responsible entity that coordinates and integrates
transmission Facilities and service plans, resource
plans, and Protection Systems.’’ Glossary of Terms
Used in NERC Reliability Standards, Updated April
1, 2024. https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/
Glossary%20of%20Terms/Glossary_of_Terms.pdf.
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particularize an affected EGU’s
compliance obligation will be rare.
The EPA will review these analyses
and documentation as part of its
evaluation of standards of performance
and compliance schedules that states
apply based on consideration of
reliability under the RULOF provisions.
As described in sections X.C.1.d and
XII.F.3.b of this preamble, the EPA is
providing two flexible mechanisms that
states may incorporate in their plans
that, if utilized, would provide a
temporary delay of affected EGU’s
compliance obligations if there is a
demonstrated reliability need.937 The
EPA anticipates that states discovering,
after a state plan has been submitted
and approved, that a particular affected
EGU needs additional time to meet its
compliance obligation as a result of a
reliability or resource adequacy issue
will avail themselves of these
flexibilities. If a state anticipates that the
reliability or resource adequacy issue
will persist beyond the 1-year extension
provided by these flexible mechanisms,
the EPA expects that states will also
initiate a state plan revision. In such a
state plan revision, the state must make
the demonstration and provides the
analysis described above in order to use
to adjust an affected EGU’s compliance
obligations to address the reliability or
resource adequacy issue at that time.
The EPA intends to continue
engagement on the topic of electric
system reliability, resource adequacy,
and linkages to various EPA regulatory
efforts to ensure proper communication
with key stakeholders and Federal
counterparts including DOE and FERC.
Additionally, the Agency intends to
coordinate with its Federal partners
with expertise in reliability when
evaluating RULOF demonstrations that
invoke this consideration. There are also
opportunities to potentially provide
information and technical support on
implementation of these emission
guidelines and critical reliability
considerations that will benefit states,
affected sources, system planners, and
reliability authorities. Specifically, the
DOE–EPA MOU on Electric System
Reliability provides a framework for
ongoing engagement, and the EPA
intends to work with DOE to ensure that
reliability stakeholders have additional
937 The mechanism described in section X.C.1.d
of this preamble is not restricted to circumstances
in which a state needs to provide an affected EGU
with additional time to comply with its standard of
performance specifically for reliability or resource
adequacy, but it can be used for this purpose. The
reliability mechanism described in section XII.F.3.b
is specific to reliability and can be used to extend
the date by which a source plans to cease operating
by up to 1 year.
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and ongoing opportunities to engage
EPA on this important topic.
Comment: The EPA received multiple
comments on the use of the RULOF
provisions to address reliability. Several
commenters emphasized that states
need the ability to adjust affected EGUs’
compliance obligations for reasons
linked to reliability. They elaborated
that an independent system operator/
regional transmission organization
determination that an affected EGU is
needed for reliability would be
anchored in a RULOF analysis that
considers forces that may drive the
unit’s premature retirement. Some
commenters indicated that use of
RULOF to address such units would
allow those units to continue to operate
for the required period of time, applying
routine methods of operation, to address
grid reliability. They similarly noted
that sources that have foreseeable
retirement glidepaths but are key
resources could be offered a BSER that
promotes the EPA’s carbon reduction
goals but falls outside of the Agency’s
one-size-fits-all BSER approach.
Another commenter suggested that
states should be able to modify a
subcategory in their plans to address a
reliability issue, and provided the
example of allowing a unit that is
planning to retire at the end of 2032 but
that is needed for reliability purposes at
greater than 20 percent capacity factor
to subcategorize as an imminent-term
unit despite operating past the end date
for the imminent-term subcategory. The
commenter suggested that such a
modification could be justified under
both the remaining useful life
consideration and the energy
requirements consideration of RULOF.
Other commenters similarly requested
that the EPA clarify that the RULOF
provisions can be used to accommodate
the changes in the power sector, e.g., the
build-out of transmission and
distribution infrastructure, that are
ongoing and that may impact the
anticipated operating horizons of some
affected EGUs.
Response: As explained above, the
EPA has analyzed the potential impacts
of these emission guidelines and
determined that they would have
limited and non-adverse impacts on
large-scale and long-term reliability and
resource adequacy. However, the EPA
acknowledges that there may be
reliability-related considerations that
apply at the level of a particular EGU
that the Agency could not have known
or foreseen and did not consider in its
broader assessment. As described above,
states may use the RULOF provision to
address reliability or resource adequacy
if they demonstrate, based on the
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analysis and consultation with planning
authorities described in this section of
this preamble, that there is a
fundamental difference between the
information the EPA considered in these
emission guidelines and the
circumstances and information relevant
to a particular affected EGU that makes
it unreasonable for that EGU to comply
with its presumptive standard of
performance by the applicable
compliance date.
The EPA stresses that a generic or
unsubstantiated reliability or resource
adequacy concern is not sufficient to
substantiate a fundamental difference or
unreasonableness of complying with
applicable requirements. Simply
asserting that grid reliability or resource
adequacy is a concern for a state and
thus an affected EGU needs a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance schedule would not
be sufficient. Rather, a state would have
to demonstrate, via the certification and
analysis described above, that the
relevant planning authority has
designated a particular affected EGU as
reliability or resource adequacy critical
and that requiring that EGU to comply
with its standard of performance by the
applicable compliance date would
interfere with the maintenance of
reliability or resource adequacy as
intended by that planning authority.
A standard of performance or
compliance schedule that has been
particularized for an affected EGU based
on consideration of reliability or
resource adequacy must, pursuant to 40
CFR 60.24a(f), be no less stringent than
necessary to address the fundamental
difference identified pursuant to 40 CFR
60.24a(e), which in this case would be
unit-specific grid reliability or resource
adequacy needs. A less stringent
standard of performance does not
necessarily correspond to a standard of
performance based on routine methods
of operation and maintenance.
The EPA notes that states do not need
to use the RULOF provisions to justify
the date on which a particular affected
EGU plans to cease operation. RULOF
only comes into play if there is a
fundamental difference between the
information the EPA considered and the
information specific to an affected EGU
with a shorter remaining useful life that
makes achieving the EPA’s presumptive
standard of performance unreasonable,,
e.g., the amortized cost of control. If a
state elects to rely on an affected EGU’s
operating conditions, such as a plan to
permanently cease operation, as the
basis for applying a less stringent
standard of performance, those
conditions must be included as an
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enforceable commitment in the state
plan.
As explained elsewhere in this
section of the preamble, the effect of
RULOF is not to modify subcategories
under these emission guidelines but
rather to particularize the compliance
obligations of an affected EGU within a
given subcategory. The EPA also notes
that it is not finalizing the proposed
imminent-term or near-term
subcategories for affected coal-fired
steam generating EGUs.
ii. Use of RULOF With Compliance Date
Extension Mechanism
As discussed in section X.C.1.d of the
preamble to this final rule, the EPA is
allowing states to include in their plans
a mechanism to provide a compliance
deadline extension of up to 1 year for
certain affected EGUs. This mechanism
would be available for affected EGUs
with standards of performance that
require add-on control technologies and
that demonstrate the extension is
needed for installation of controls due
to circumstances outside the control of
the affected EGU. In the event the state
and affected EGU believe that 1 year
will not be sufficient to remedy those
circumstances, i.e., that the affected
EGU will not be able to comply with its
standard of performance even with a 1year extension, the state may also start
the process of revising its plan to apply
a longer compliance schedule based on
consideration of RULOF. In order to
demonstrate that there is a fundamental
difference between the circumstances of
the affected EGU and the information
the EPA considered in determining the
compliance schedule in the emission
guidelines, the state should provide
documentation to justify why it is
unreasonable for the affected EGU to
meet that compliance schedule, even
with an additional year (providing that
the state has allowed for a 1-year
extension), based on one or more of the
considerations in 40 CFR 60.24a(e)(1).
This documentation should demonstrate
that the need to provide a longer
compliance schedule was due to
circumstances outside the affected
EGU’s control and that the affected EGU
has met all relevant increments of
progress and other obligations in a
timely manner up to the point at which
the delay occurred. That is, the state
must demonstrate that the need to
invoke RULOF and to provide a longer
compliance schedule was not caused by
self-created circumstances. As discussed
in sections X.C.1.d and X.C.2.a of this
preamble, documentation such as
permits obtained and/or contracts
entered into for the installation of
control technology, receipts, invoices,
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and correspondence with vendors and
regulators is helpful evidence for
demonstrating that states and affected
EGUs have been making progress
towards compliance and that the need
for a longer compliance schedule is due
to circumstances outside the affected
EGU’s control.
In establishing a longer compliance
schedule pursuant to 40 CFR
60.24a(f)(1), a state must demonstrate
that the revised schedule is no longer
than necessary to accommodate
circumstances that have resulted in the
delay.
3. Increments of Progress for MediumTerm and Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating EGUs
The EPA’s longstanding CAA section
111 implementing regulations provide
that state plans must include legally
enforceable Increments of Progress
(IoPs) toward achieving compliance for
each designated facility when the
compliance schedule extends more than
a specified length of time from the state
plan submission date. Under the subpart
Ba revisions finalized in November
2023, IoPs are required when the final
compliance deadline (i.e., the date on
which affected EGUs must start
monitoring and reporting emissions data
and other information for purposes of
demonstrating compliance with
standards of performance) is more than
20 months after the plan submittal
deadline. These emission guidelines for
steam EGUs finalize a 24-month state
plan submission deadline and
compliance dates of January 1, 2032 (for
long-term coal-fired EGUs), and January
1, 2030 (for all other steam generating
EGUs), exceeding subpart Ba’s 20-month
threshold. Under these emission
guidelines, in particular, the lengthy
planning and construction processes
associated with the CCS and natural gas
co-firing BSERs make IoPs an
appropriate mechanism to assure steady
progress toward compliance and to
provide transparency on that progress.
The EPA received support for the
proposed approach to IoPs from many
commenters; others, however, offered
adverse perspectives. Supportive
commenters generally emphasized the
need for clear, transparent, and
enforceable implementation
checkpoints between state plan
submittal and the compliance dates
given the lengthy timelines affected
EGUs are being afforded to achieve their
standards of performance. These
comments were broadly consistent with
the proposed rationale for the IoPs.
Adverse comments are addressed at the
end of this subsection of the preamble.
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39973
The EPA is finalizing IoPs for affected
EGUs based on BSERs that involve
installation of emissions controls: longterm coal-fired EGUs and medium-term
coal-fired EGUs. Units complying
through the BSER specified for each
subcategory, either CCS for the longterm subcategory or natural gas co-firing
for the medium-term subcategory, must
use IoPs tailored to those BSERs. Units
complying through a different control
technology must adopt increments that
correspond to each of the steps in 40
CFR 60.21a(h). As specified in the
proposal, each increment must be
assigned a calendar date deadline, but
states have discretion to set those dates
based on the unique circumstances of
each unit. The EPA is also finalizing its
proposal to exempt the natural gas- and
oil-fired EGU subcategories from IoP
requirements. These subcategories have
BSERs of routine operation and
maintenance, which does not require
the installation of significant new
emission controls or operational
changes.
The EPA is finalizing the proposed
approach allowing states to choose the
calendar dates for all IoPs for long- and
medium-term coal-fired EGUs, subject
to two constraints. The IoP
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(1),
submittal of a final control plan to the
air pollution control agency, must be
assigned the earliest calendar date
deadline among the increments, and the
IoP corresponding to 40 CFR
60.21a(h)(5), final compliance, must be
assigned a date aligned with the
compliance date for each subcategory,
either January 1, 2032, for the long-term
subcategory or January 1, 2030, for the
medium-term subcategory. The EPA
believes that this approach will provide
states and EGUs with flexibility to
account for idiosyncrasies in planning
processes, tailor compliance timelines
to individual facilities, allow
simultaneous work toward separate
increments, and ensure full performance
by the compliance date.
For coal-fired EGUs assigned to the
long-term and medium-term
subcategories and that adopt the
corresponding BSER (CCS or natural gas
co-firing, respectively) as their
compliance strategy, the EPA is
finalizing BSER-specific IoPs that
correspond to the steps in 40 CFR
60.21a(h). Some increments have been
adjusted to more closely align with
planning, engineering, and construction
steps anticipated for affected EGUs that
will be complying with standards of
performance with natural gas co-firing
or CCS, in particular; however, these
technology-specific increments retain
the basic structure and substance of the
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increments in the general implementing
regulations under subpart Ba. In
addition, consistent with 40 CFR
60.24a(d), the EPA is finalizing similar
additional increments of progress for the
long-term and medium-term coal-fired
subcategories that are specific to
pipeline construction in order to ensure
timely progress on the planning,
permitting, and construction activities
related to pipelines that may be required
to enable full compliance with the
applicable standard of performance. The
EPA is also finalizing an additional
increment of progress related to the
identification of an appropriate
sequestration site for the long-term coalfired subcategory. Finally, the EPA is
finalizing a requirement that state plans
must require affected EGUs with
increments of progress to post the
activities or actions that constitute the
increments, the schedule required in the
state plan for achieving them, and,
within 30 business days, any
documentation necessary to
demonstrate that they have been
achieved to the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website, as
discussed in section X.E.1.b.ii of this
preamble, in a timely manner.
For coal-fired steam generating units
in the long-term subcategory adopting
CCS as their compliance approach, the
EPA is finalizing the following seven
IoPs as enforceable elements required to
be included in a state plan: (1)
Submission of a final control plan for
the affected EGU to the appropriate air
pollution control agency. The final
control plan must be consistent with the
subcategory declaration in the state plan
and must include supporting analysis
for the affected EGU’s control strategy,
including a feasibility and/or FEED
study, the anticipated timeline to
achieve full compliance, and the
benchmarks anticipated along the way.
(2) Awarding of contracts for emission
control systems or for process
modifications, or issuance of orders for
the purchase of component parts to
accomplish emission control or process
modification. Affected EGUs can
demonstrate compliance with this
increment by submitting sufficient
evidence that the appropriate contracts
have been awarded. (3) Initiation of
onsite construction or installation of
emission control equipment or process
change required to achieve 90 percent
CO2 capture on an annual basis. (4)
Completion of onsite construction or
installation of emission control
equipment or process change required
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to achieve 90 percent CO2 capture on an
annual basis. (5) Demonstration that all
permitting actions related to pipeline
construction have commenced by a date
specified in the state plan. Evidence in
support of the demonstration must
include pipeline planning and design
documentation that informed the
permitting process(es), a complete list of
pipeline-related permitting applications,
including the nature of the permit
sought and the authority to which each
permit application was submitted, an
attestation that the list of pipelinerelated permits is complete with respect
to the authorizations required to operate
the facility at full compliance with the
standard of performance, and a timeline
to complete all pipeline permitting
activities. (6) Submittal of a report
identifying the geographic location
where CO2 will be injected
underground, how the CO2 will be
transported from the capture location to
the storage location, and the regulatory
requirements associated with the
sequestration activities, as well as an
anticipated timeline for completing
related permitting activities. (7) Final
compliance with the standard of
performance. States must assign
calendar deadlines for each increment
consistent with the following
requirements: the first increment,
submission of a final control plan, must
be assigned the earliest calendar date
among the increments; the seventh
increment, final compliance must be set
for January 1, 2032.
For coal-fired steam generating units
in the long-term subcategory adopting a
compliance approach that differs from
CCS, the EPA is finalizing the
requirement that states adopt IoPs for
each affected EGU that are consistent
with the IoPs at 40 CFR 60.21a(h). As
with long-term units adopting CCS as
their compliance strategy, states must
assign calendar deadlines for each
increment consistent with the following
requirements: the first increment,
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(1),
must be assigned the earliest calendar
date among the increments; the final
increment, corresponding to 40 CFR
60.21a(h)(5), must be set for January 1,
2032.
For coal-fired steam generating units
in the medium-term subcategory
adopting natural gas co-firing as their
compliance approach, the EPA is
finalizing the following six IoPs as
enforceable elements required to be
included in a state plan: (1) Submission
of a final control plan for the affected
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EGU to the appropriate air pollution
control agency. The final control plan
must be consistent with the subcategory
declaration in the state plan and must
include supporting analysis for the
affected EGU’s control strategy,
including the design basis for
modifications at the facility, the
anticipated timeline to achieve full
compliance, and the benchmarks
anticipated along the way. (2) Awarding
of contracts for boiler modifications, or
issuance of orders for the purchase of
component parts to accomplish such
modifications. Affected EGUs can
demonstrate compliance with this
increment by submitting sufficient
evidence that the appropriate contracts
have been awarded. (3) Initiation of
onsite construction or installation of any
boiler modifications necessary to enable
natural gas co-firing at a level of 40
percent on an annual average basis. (4)
Completion of onsite construction of
any boiler modifications necessary to
enable natural gas co-firing at a level of
40 percent on an annual average basis.
(5) Demonstration that all permitting
actions related to pipeline construction
have commenced by a date specified in
the state plan. Evidence in support of
the demonstration must include
pipeline planning and design
documentation that informed the
permitting application process, a
complete list of pipeline-related
permitting applications, including the
nature of the permit sought and the
authority to which each permit
application was submitted, an
attestation that the list of pipelinerelated permit applications is complete
with respect to the authorizations
required to operate the facility at full
compliance with the standard of
performance, and a timeline to complete
all pipeline permitting activities. (6)
Final compliance with the standard of
performance. States must also assign
calendar deadlines for each increment
consistent with the following
requirements: the first increment,
submission of a final control plan, must
be assigned the earliest calendar date
among the increments; the sixth
increment, final compliance, must be set
for January 1, 2030.
For coal-fired steam generating units
in the medium-term subcategory
adopting a compliance approach that
differs from natural gas co-firing, the
EPA is finalizing the requirement that
states adopt IoPs for each affected EGU
that are consistent with the increments
in 40 CFR 60.21a(h).
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As with medium-term units adopting
natural gas co-firing as their compliance
strategy, states must assign calendar
deadlines for each increment consistent
with the following requirements: the
first increment, corresponding to 40
CFR 60.21a(h)(1), must be assigned the
earliest calendar date among the
increments; the final increment,
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5),
must be set for January 1, 2030.
The EPA notes that if an affected EGU
receives approval for a compliance date
extension, the date for at least one, if not
several, IoPs must be adjusted to align
with the revised compliance date. The
new dates for the relevant IoPs must be
specified in the application for the
extension. The EPA notes that the last
increment—final compliance—should
be no later than 1 year after the original
compliance date, pursuant to the
requirements described in section
X.C.1.d.
Comment: The EPA received
comments that the proposed IoPs are too
restrictive and may limit certain
implementation flexibilities, namely
that the burden to adjust IoPs after state
plan submittal will limit sources’ ability
to switch subcategories or adjust
implementation timelines due to
unforeseen circumstances.
Response: The EPA has considered
these comments and notes that the final
rule includes planning flexibilities to
address these situations. The first of
these flexibilities is embedded in the
subpart Ba regulations governing
optional state plan revisions. Plan
revisions, including revisions to
subcategory assignments and any
corresponding IoPs, may be used at a
state’s discretion to account for changes
in planned compliance approaches. 40
CFR 60.28a. Such revisions can also
include RULOF-based adjustments to
approved standards of performance as
well as the timelines to meet those
standards, including the IoPs. Further,
as mentioned above, the compliance
date extension mechanism described in
section X.C.1.d allows for modification
of the IoPs to align with an approved
compliance date extension. In addition,
the subcategory structure of these final
emission guidelines differs from that at
proposal such that it is less likely that
affected coal-fired EGUs will switch
subcategories. In the event that an
affected EGU does switch between the
long-term and medium-term
subcategories, the state plan revision
process is the most appropriate
mechanism because a different control
strategy may be appropriate. Based on
this consideration and the availability of
planning flexibilities to account for
changes in compliance plans and
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changed circumstances, the EPA is
finalizing the approach to IoPs as
proposed.
Comment: Some commenters raised
concerns related to length of time
between the state plan submittal
deadline and the final compliance dates,
namely that some IoPs will take place
too far into the future to be reliably
assigned calendar date deadlines.
Response: As noted above, the EPA
has concluded that length of time
between the state plan submittal
deadline and the compliance deadlines
for units in the medium-term and longterm subcategories as well as the
anticipated complexity for units to
comply with the final standards of
performance necessitate the use of
discrete interim checkpoints prior to
final compliance, formally established
as increments of progress, to ensure
timely and transparent progress toward
each unit’s compliance obligation. It
would be inconsistent to determine that
the same factors necessitating the
increments—the length of time between
the state plan submittal deadline and
the compliance obligation as well as the
complex nature of the implementation
process—also eliminate the IoPs’ core
accountability function by prohibiting
the assignment of calendar date
deadlines. Finally, as described above,
the final emission guidelines also allow
states and affected EGUs significant
flexibility to determine when each
increment applies.
Comment: Some commenters raised
concerns that the IoPs could limit
affected EGUs from selecting
compliance approaches that differ from
the BSER technology associated with
each subcategory, namely averaging and
trading.
Response: Under the approach
finalized in this rule, units assigned to
the long-term and medium-term
subcategories that do not adopt the
associated BSER as part of their
compliance strategy must establish datespecified IoPs consistent with the
subpart Ba IoPs codified at 40 CFR
60.21a(h). That is, states will
particularize the generic IoPs in subpart
Ba as appropriate for affected EGUs that
comply with their standards of
performance using control technologies
other than CCS (for long-term units) or
natural gas co-firing (for medium-term
units). The EPA discusses
considerations relevant to averaging and
trading in section X.D of this preamble.
4. Reporting Obligations and Milestones
for Affected EGUs That Plan to
Permanently Cease Operations
The EPA proposed legally enforceable
reporting obligations and milestones for
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39975
affected EGUs demonstrating that they
plan to cease operations and use that
voluntary commitment for eligibility for
the imminent-term, near-term, or
medium-term subcategory. No reporting
obligations and milestones were
proposed for affected EGUs within the
long-term subcategory since a voluntary
commitment to cease operations was not
part of the subcategory’s applicability
criteria. The proposed rationale for the
milestone requirements recognized that
the proposed subcategories were based
on the operating horizons of units
within each subcategory, and that there
were numerous steps that EGUs in these
subcategories need to take in order to
effectuate their commitments to cease
operations. The proposed reporting
obligations and milestones were
intended to provide transparency and
assurance that affected EGUs could
complete the steps necessary to qualify
for a subcategory with a less stringent
standard of performance.938
Of the proposed subcategories for
which the reporting obligations and
milestones were proposed to apply, the
EPA’s final emission guidelines retain
only the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory. Though the EPA is
finalizing only one subcategory with an
associated operational time horizon, the
Agency has determined that the original
rationale for the milestones is still valid.
That is, the BSER determination for
EGUs assigned to the medium-term
subcategory is contingent on sources
within this subcategory having limited
operating horizons relative to affected
EGUs in the long-term subcategory, and
the integrity of the subcategory
approach and the environmental
integrity of these emission guidelines
depend on sources behaving consistent
with the operating horizon they have
represented in the state plan. The steps
required for EGUs to cease operations
are numerous and vary across
jurisdictions; giving states, the EPA, and
other stakeholders insight into these
steps and affected EGUs’ progress along
these steps provides assurance that they
are on track to meeting their state plan
requirements. The reporting obligations
and milestones the EPA is finalizing
under these emission guidelines are a
reasonable approach to assuring
transparency and timely compliance;
they can also serve as an early
indication that a state plan revision may
be necessary if it becomes apparent that
an affected EGU is not meeting its
designated milestones. Further, the
agency has determined that a similar
rationale for requiring reporting
obligations and milestones applies to
938 88
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affected EGUs that invoke RULOF based
on a unit’s remaining useful life. States
may apply a less stringent standard of
performance to a particular affected
EGU if its shorter remaining useful life
results in a fundamental difference
between the circumstances of that EGU
and the information the EPA
considered, and that difference makes it
unreasonable for the EGU to achieve the
presumptive standard of performance.
However, if such a unit continues to
operate past the date by which it
previously committed to cease
operating, the basis for the less stringent
standard of performance is abrogated
and the environmental integrity of the
emission guidelines compromised.
Therefore, as for affected EGUs in the
medium-term subcategory, the reporting
obligations and milestones are an
essential component of assuring that
affected EGUs that invoke RULOF based
on a unit’s remaining useful life are
actually able to satisfy the condition of
receiving the less stringent standard in
the first instance.
The EPA is finalizing the following
milestones and reporting requirements,
explained in more detail below, for both
affected EGUs assigned to the mediumterm subcategory and affected EGUs that
invoke RULOF based on a unit’s
remaining useful life. These sources
must submit an Initial Milestone Report
five years before the date by which it
will permanently cease operations,
annual Milestone Status Reports for
each intervening year between the
initial report and the date operations
will cease, and a Final Milestone Status
Report no later than six months from the
date by which the affected EGU has
committed to cease operating.
Commenters expressed a range of
views regarding the proposed reporting
obligations and milestones. Some were
broadly supportive of the reporting
milestones and the EPA’s stated
rationale to provide a mechanism to
help ensure that affected EGUs progress
steadily toward a commitment to cease
operations when that commitment
affects the stringency of their standard
of performance. Summaries of and
responses to additional comments on
the reporting obligations and milestones
are addressed at the end of this
subsection.
The discussion below refers to
reporting ‘‘milestones.’’ Owners/
operators of sources take a number of
process steps in preparing a unit to
cease operating (i.e., preparing it to
deactivate). The EPA is requiring that
states select certain of these steps to
serve as milestones for the purpose of
reporting where a source is in the
process; the EPA is designating two
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milestones in particular and states will
select additional steps for reporting
milestones. The requirements being
established under these emission
guidelines do not require milestone
steps to be taken at any particular
time—they merely require reporting on
when a source intends to reach each of
its designated milestones and whether
and when it has actually done so. The
reporting obligations and milestone
requirements count backward from the
calendar date by which an affected EGU
has committed to permanently cease
operations, which must be included in
the state plan, to monitor timely
progress toward that date. Five years
before any planned date to permanently
cease operations or 60 days after state
plan submission, whichever is later, the
owner or operator of affected EGUs must
submit an Initial Milestone Report to the
applicable air pollution control agency
that includes the following: (1) A
summary of the process steps required
for the affected EGU to permanently
cease operation by the date included in
the state plan, including the
approximate timing and duration of
each step and any notification
requirements associated with
deactivation of the unit. (2) A list of key
milestones that will be used to assess
whether each process step has been met,
and calendar day deadlines for each
milestone. These milestones must
include at least the initial notice to the
relevant reliability authority of an EGU’s
deactivation date and submittal of an
official retirement filing with the EGU’s
reliability authority. (3) An analysis of
how the process steps, milestones, and
associated timelines included in the
Initial Milestone Report compare to the
timelines of similar EGUs within the
state that have permanently ceased
operations within the 10 years prior to
the date of promulgation of these
emission guidelines. (4) Supporting
regulatory documents, including
correspondence and official filings with
the relevant regional transmission
organization (RTO), independent system
operator (ISO), balancing authority,
public utility commission (PUC), or
other applicable authority; any
deactivation-related reliability
assessments conducted by the RTO or
ISO; and any filings pertaining to the
EGU with the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) or
notices to investors, including but not
limited to references in forms 10–K and
10–Q, in which the plans for the EGU
are mentioned; any integrated resource
plans and PUC orders approving the
EGU’s deactivation; any reliability
analyses developed by the RTO, ISO, or
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relevant reliability authority in response
to the EGU’s deactivation notification;
any notification from a relevant
reliability authority that the EGU may
be needed for reliability purposes
notwithstanding the EGU’s intent to
deactivate; and any notification to or
from an RTO, ISO, or balancing
authority altering the timing of
deactivation for the EGU.
For each of the remaining years prior
to the date by which an affected EGU
has committed to permanently cease
operations that is included in the state
plan, it must submit an annual
Milestone Status Report that addresses
the following: (1) Progress toward
meeting all milestones identified in the
Initial Milestone Report; and (2)
supporting regulatory documents and
relevant SEC filings, including
correspondence and official filings with
the relevant regional transmission
organization, balancing authority,
public utility commission, or other
applicable authority to demonstrate
compliance with or progress toward all
milestones.
The EPA is also finalizing a provision
that affected EGUs with reporting
milestones associated with
commitments to permanently cease
operations would be required to submit
a Final Milestone Status Report no later
than 6 months following its committed
closure date. This report would
document any actions that the unit has
taken subsequent to ceasing operation to
ensure that such cessation is permanent,
including any regulatory filings with
applicable authorities or
decommissioning plans.
The EPA is finalizing a requirement
that affected EGUs with reporting
milestones for commitments to
permanently cease operations must post
their Initial Milestone Report, annual
Milestone Status Reports, and Final
Milestone Status Report, including the
schedule for achieving milestones and
any documentation necessary to
demonstrate that milestones have been
achieved, on the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website, as
described in section X.E.1.b, within 30
business days of being filed. The EPA
recognizes that applicable regulatory
authorities, retirement processes, and
retirement approval criteria will vary
across states and affected EGUs. The
proposed milestone reporting
requirements are intended to establish a
general framework flexible enough to
account for significant differences
across jurisdictions while assuring
timely planning toward the dates by
which affected EGUs permanently cease
operations.
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Comment: Some commentors
questioned the need for the milestone
reports by pointing to existing closure
enforcement mechanisms within their
jurisdictions.
Response: The existence of
enforceable mechanisms in some
jurisdictions does not obviate the need
for the reporting milestones under these
emission guidelines. First, the closure
requirements, the nature of the
enforcement mechanisms, and process
requirements to cease operations will
vary across different jurisdictions, and
some jurisdictions may lack
mechanisms entirely. The reporting
milestones framework sets a uniform
floor for reporting progress toward a
commitment to cease operations,
reducing differences in the quality and
scope of information available to the
EPA and public regarding closures.
Second, the reporting milestones under
these emission guidelines serve the
additional purpose of transparency and
allowing all stakeholders to have access
to information related to affected EGUs’
ongoing compliance.
Comment: Some commentors noted
the unique EGU closure processes
within their own jurisdictions and
expressed concern as to whether the
milestones requirements were too rigid
to accommodate them.
Response: The reporting milestones
are designed to create a flexible
reporting framework that can
accommodate differences in state
closure processes. States can satisfy the
required elements of the milestone
reports by explaining how the process
steps for plant closures within their
jurisdiction work and establishing
milestones corresponding to the process
steps required within individual
jurisdictions.
5. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
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a. Emissions Monitoring and Reporting
The EPA proposed to require that
state plans must include a requirement
that affected EGUs monitor and report
hourly CO2 mass emissions emitted to
the atmosphere, total heat input, and
total gross electricity output, including
electricity generation and, where
applicable, useful thermal output
converted to gross MWh, in accordance
with the 40 CFR part 75 monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping
requirements. The EPA is finalizing a
requirement that affected EGUs must
use a 40 CFR part 75 certified
monitoring methodology and report the
hourly data on a quarterly basis, with
each quarterly report due to the
Administrator 30 days after the last day
in the calendar quarter. The 40 CFR part
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75 monitoring provisions require most
coal-fired boilers to use a CO2
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS), including both a CO2
concentration monitor and a stack gas
flow monitor. Some oil- and gas-fired
boilers may have options to use
alternative measurement methodologies
(e.g., fuel flow meters combined with
fuel quality data).
The EPA received comments
supporting and opposing the
requirement to use 40 CFR part 75
monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping requirements.
Comment: Commenters generally
supported these requirements, noting
that the majority of EGUs affected by
this rule already monitor and submit
emissions reports under 40 CFR part 75
under existing programs, including the
Acid Rain Program and/or Regional
Greenhouse Gas Initiative—a
cooperative of several states formed to
reduce CO2 emissions from EGUs. In
addition, EGUs that are not required to
monitor and report under one of those
programs may have 40 CFR part 75
certified monitoring systems in place for
the MATS or CSAPR.
Response: The EPA agrees with these
comments. Relying on the same
monitors that are certified and quality
assured in accordance with 40 CFR part
75 reduces implementation costs and
ensures consistent emissions data across
regulatory programs.
Comment: Some commenters focused
on potential measurement bias of 40
CFR part 75 certified monitoring
systems, with commenters split on
whether the data are biased high or low.
Response: The EPA disagrees that the
data reported under 40 CFR part 75 are
biased significantly high or low. Each
CO2 CEMS must undergo regular quality
assurance and quality control activities
including periodic relative accuracy test
audits (RATAs) where a monitoring
system is compared to an independent
monitoring system using EPA reference
methods and NIST-traceable calibration
gases. In a May 2022 study conducted
by the EPA, the absolute value of the
median difference between EGUs’
monitoring systems and independent
monitoring systems using EPA reference
methods was found to be approximately
2 percent for CO2 concentration
monitors and stack gas flow monitors in
the years 2017 through 2021.939
939 Zintgraff, Stacey. 2022. Monitoring Insights:
Relative Accuracy in EPA CAMD’s Power Sector
Emissions Data. www.epa.gov/system/files/
documents/2022-05/Monitoring%20Insights%20Relative%20Accuracy.pdf.
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39977
b. CCS-Specific Technology Monitoring
and Reporting
Affected EGUs employing CCS must
comply with relevant monitoring and
reporting requirements specific to CCS.
As described in the proposal, the CCS
process is subject to monitoring and
reporting requirements under the EPA’s
GHGRP (40 CFR part 98). The GHGRP
requires reporting of facility-level GHG
data and other relevant information
from large sources and suppliers in the
U.S. The ‘‘suppliers of carbon dioxide’’
source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP
subpart PP) requires those affected
facilities with production process units
that capture a CO2 stream for purposes
of supplying CO2 for commercial
applications or that capture and
maintain custody of a CO2 stream in
order to sequester or otherwise inject it
underground to report the mass of CO2
captured and supplied. Facilities that
inject a CO2 stream underground for
long-term containment in subsurface
geologic formations report quantities of
CO2 sequestered under the ‘‘geologic
sequestration of carbon dioxide’’ source
category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart
RR). In April 2024, to complement
GHGRP subpart RR, the EPA finalized
the ‘‘geologic sequestration of carbon
dioxide with enhanced oil recovery
(EOR) using ISO 27916’’ source category
of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart VV) to
provide an alternative method of
reporting geologic sequestration in
association with EOR.940 941 942
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.vii,
the EPA is finalizing a requirement that
any affected unit that employs CCS
technology that captures enough CO2 to
meet the standard and injects the
captured CO2 underground must report
under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP
subpart VV. If the emitting EGU sends
the captured CO2 offsite, it must transfer
the CO2 to a facility subject to the
GHGRP requirements, and the facility
injecting the CO2 underground must
940 EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG
Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/
rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
941 International Standards Organization (ISO)
standard designated as CSA Group (CSA)/American
National Standards Institute (ANSI) ISO
27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture,
Transportation and Geological Storage—Carbon
Dioxide Storage Using Enhanced Oil Recovery (CO2EOR) (referred to as ‘‘CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019’’).
942 As described in 87 FR 36920 (June 21, 2022),
both subpart RR and subpart VV (CSA/ANSI ISO
27916:2019) require an assessment and monitoring
of potential leakage pathways; quantification of
inputs, losses, and storage through a mass balance
approach; and documentation of steps and
approaches used to establish these quantities.
Primary differences relate to the terms in their
respective mass balance equations, how each
defines leakage, and when facilities may
discontinue reporting.
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report under GHGRP subpart RR or
GHGRP subpart VV. These emission
guidelines do not change any of the
requirements to obtain or comply with
a UIC permit for facilities that are
subject to the EPA’s UIC program under
the Safe Drinking Water Act.
The EPA also notes that compliance
with the standard is determined
exclusively by the tons of CO2 captured
by the emitting EGU. The tons of CO2
sequestered by the geologic
sequestration site are not part of that
calculation, though the EPA anticipates
that the quantity of CO2 sequestered will
be substantially similar to the quantity
captured. To verify that the CO2
captured at the emitting EGU is sent to
a geologic sequestration site, we are
leveraging regulatory requirements
under the GHGRP. The BSER is
determined to be adequately
demonstrated based solely on geologic
sequestration that is not associated with
EOR. However, EGUs also have the
compliance option to send CO2 to EOR
facilities that report under GHGRP
subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. We
also emphasize that these emission
guidelines do not involve regulation of
downstream recipients of captured CO2.
That is, the regulatory standard applies
exclusively to the emitting EGU, not to
any downstream user or recipient of the
captured CO2. The requirement that the
emitting EGU transfer the captured CO2
to an entity subject to the GHGRP
requirements is thus exclusively an
element of enforcement of the EGU
standard. This will avoid duplicative
monitoring, reporting, and verification
requirements between this proposal and
the GHGRP, while also ensuring that the
facility injecting and sequestering the
CO2 (which may not necessarily be the
EGU) maintains responsibility for these
requirements. Similarly, the existing
regulatory requirements applicable to
geologic sequestration are not part of the
final emission guidelines.
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D. Compliance Flexibilities
In the finalized subpart Ba revisions,
Adoption and Submittal of State Plans
for Designated Facilities: Implementing
Regulations Under Clean Air Act
Section 111(d), the EPA explained that,
under its interpretation of CAA section
111, each state is permitted to include
compliance flexibilities, including
flexibilities that allow affected EGUs to
meet their emission limits in the
aggregate, in their state plans. The EPA
also explained that, in particular
emission guidelines, the Agency may
limit compliance flexibilities if
necessary to protect the environmental
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outcomes of the guidelines.943 Thus, in
the subpart Ba final rule the EPA
returned to its longstanding position
that CAA section 111(d) authorizes the
EPA to approve state plans that achieve
the requisite emission limitation
through aggregate reductions from their
sources, including through trading or
averaging, where appropriate for a
particular emission guideline and
consistent with the intended
environmental outcomes under CAA
section 111.944
In developing both the proposed and
final emission guidelines, the EPA
heard from stakeholders that flexibilities
are important in complying with
standards of performance under these
emission guidelines. The EPA proposed
to allow states to incorporate emission
trading and averaging into their plans
under these emission guidelines,
provided that states ensure that the use
of such flexibilities will result in an
aggregate level of emission reduction
that is equivalent to each source
individually achieving its standard of
performance.
Specifically, a variety of commenters
from states, industry, RTO/ISOs, and
NGOs emphasized the importance of
allowing states to incorporate not only
flexibilities that allow sources to
demonstrate compliance in the
aggregate, such as emission trading and
averaging, but also unit-specific massbased compliance into their plans. In
particular, commenters expressed a
strong preference for mass-based
compliance mechanisms, whether unitspecific or emission trading, and cited
reliability as a key driver of their
support for such mechanisms. However,
for the most part commenters did not
provide detail on how flexibilities could
be designed under the unique
circumstances of these emission
guidelines. In addition, many
commenters did not specify as to the
usefulness of certain compliance
flexibilities for steam generating EGUs
versus combustion turbine EGUs.
Because these final emission guidelines
only apply to steam generating EGUs,
there are fewer affected EGUs that could
943 88
FR 80533 (November 17, 2023).
EPA has authorized trading or averaging
as compliance methods in several emission
guidelines. See, e.g., 70 FR 28606, 28617 (May 18,
2005) (Clean Air Mercury Rule authorized trading)
(vacated on other grounds); 40 CFR 60.24(b)(1)
(subpart B CAA section 111 implementing
regulations promulgated in 2005 allow states’
standards of performance to be based on an
‘‘allowance system’’); 80 FR 64662, 64840 (October
23, 2015) (CPP authorizing trading or averaging as
a compliance strategy). In the recent final emission
guidelines for the oil and natural gas industry, the
EPA also finalized a determination that states are
permitted sources to demonstrate compliance in the
aggregate. 89 FR 16820 (March 8, 2024).
944 The
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partake in these flexibilities, which may
limit their usefulness. A description of
and responses to general comments on
these compliance flexibilities can be
found at the end of this subsection.
The EPA notes that many other
features of the final emission guidelines
provide the type of flexibility that the
commenters stated they wanted through
the use of emission trading, averaging,
and/or unit-specific mass-based
compliance. First, as noted in section
X.C.1.b of this preamble, compliance
with presumptively approvable ratebased standards of performance is
demonstrated on an annual basis, which
already provides flexibility around mass
emissions over an annual period (i.e., it
affords the affected EGU the ability over
the course of the year to vary its
emission output, which may be useful
if, for example, it needs to temporarily
turn off its control equipment or
otherwise increase its emission rate).
Second, the EPA is finalizing two
mechanisms, described in section XII.F
of this preamble, to address reliability
concerns raised by commenters: a shortterm reliability mechanism that allows
affected EGUs to operate above their
standard of performance for a limited
time in periods of emergency and a
reliability assurance mechanism to
ensure sufficient capacity is available.
Finally, as described in section X.C.2 of
this preamble, states may invoke
RULOF to provide for less stringent
standards of performance for affected
EGUs under certain circumstances
(states may invoke RULOF both at the
time of initial state plan development as
well as through state plan revision
should the circumstances of an affected
EGU change following state plan
submission).
The EPA believes that the use of
compliance flexibilities, within the
parameters specified in these emission
guidelines, may provide some
additional operational flexibility to
states and affected EGUs in achieving
the required emission reductions which,
under these emission guidelines, are
achieved specifically through cleaner
performance. In particular, for aggregate
compliance flexibilities like emission
averaging and trading, affected EGUs
may be able to capitalize on
heterogeneity in economic emission
reduction opportunities based on minor
differences in marginal emission
abatement costs and/or operating
parameters among EGUs. This
heterogeneity may provide some
incentive among participating EGUs to
overperform (i.e., operate even more
cleanly than required by the applicable
standard of performance, because of the
opportunity to sell compliance
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instruments to other units), while also
providing some limited opportunity for
other sources to vary their emission
output.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a
determination that the use of
compliance flexibilities, including
emission trading, averaging, and unitspecific mass-based compliance, is
permissible for affected EGUs in certain
subcategories and in certain
circumstances under these emission
guidelines. Specifically, the EPA is
allowing affected EGUs in the mediumand long-term coal-fired subcategories
to utilize these compliance flexibilities.
The scope of this allowance is tailored
to ensure consistency with the
fundamental principle under CAA
section 111 that state plans maintain the
stringency of the EPA’s BSER
determination and associated degree of
emission limitation as applied through
the EPA’s presumptive standards of
performance in the context of these
emission guidelines. In addition, the
EPA believes that the scope of this
allowance is consistent and appropriate
for providing an incentive for
overperformance. Relatedly, the EPA is
also providing further elaboration on
what it means for states to demonstrate
that implementation of a standard of
performance using a rate- or mass-based
flexibility is at least as stringent as unitspecific implementation of affected
EGUs’ standards of performance. States
are not required to allow their affected
EGUs to use compliance flexibilities but
can provide for such flexibilities at their
discretion. In order for the EPA to find
that a state plan that includes such
flexibilities is ‘‘satisfactory,’’ the state
plan must demonstrate how it will
achieve and maintain the requisite level
of emission reduction.
The EPA stresses that any flexibilities
involving aggregate compliance would
be used to demonstrate compliance with
an already-established standard of
performance, rather than be used to
establish a standard of performance in
the first instance. The presumptive
standards of performance that the EPA
is providing in these emission
guidelines are based on control
strategies that are applied at the level of
individual units. A compliance
flexibility may change the way an
affected EGU demonstrates compliance
with a standard of performance (e.g., by
allowing that EGU to surrender
allowances from another unit in lieu of
reducing a portion of its own
emissions), but does not alter the
benchmark of emission performance
against which compliance is evaluated.
This is in contrast to the RULOF
mechanism, which, as described in
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section X.C.2 of this preamble, states
may use to apply a different standard of
performance with a different degree of
emission limitation than the EPA’s
presumptive standard. States
incorporating trading or averaging
would not need to undergo a RULOF
demonstration for sources participating
in trading or averaging programs
because they are not altering those
sources’ underlying standards of
performance—just providing an
additional way for sources to
demonstrate compliance.
While the EPA acknowledges
widespread interest in the use of massbased compliance, in the context of
these particular emission guidelines, the
Agency has significant concerns about
the ability to demonstrate that massbased compliance approaches achieve at
least equivalent emission reduction as
the application of rate-based, sourcespecific standards of performance. As
explained in further detail in sections
X.D.4 and X.D.5, the EPA is requiring
the use of a backstop emission
limitation, or backstop rate, in
conjunction with mass-based
compliance approaches (i.e., for both
unit-specific mass-based compliance
and mass-based emission trading) for
both the long-term and medium-term
coal-fired subcategories. However, the
EPA is finalizing a presumptively
approvable unit-specific mass-based
compliance approach only for affected
EGUs in the long-term subcategory. The
use of mass-based compliance
approaches—both unit-specific and
trading—for affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory in
particular poses a high risk of
undermining the stringency of these
emission guidelines due to inherent
uncertainty about the future utilization
of these sources. While the EPA is not
precluding states from attempting to
design mass-based approaches for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coalfired subcategory that satisfy the
requirement of achieving at least
equivalent stringency as rate-based
implementation, the Agency was unable
to devise an appropriate, implementable
presumptively approvable approach for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coalfired subcategory and is therefore not
providing one here. The EPA is also not
providing a presumptively approvable
approach to emission trading or
averaging. Instead, the EPA intends to
review emission trading or averaging
programs in state plans on a case-bycase basis against the foundational
principles for consistency with CAA
section 111, as discussed in this section
of the preamble.
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39979
Section X.D.1 of this preamble
discusses the fundamental requirement
that compliance flexibilities maintain
the level of emission reduction of unitspecific implementation, in order to
inform states’ consideration of such
flexibilities for any use in their state
plans. It also addresses why limitations
on the use of compliance flexibilities for
certain subcategories are necessary to
maintain the intended environmental
outcomes of these emission guidelines.
Sections X.D.2, X.D.3, X.D.4, and X.D.5
discuss each available type of
compliance flexibility and provide
information on how they can be used in
state plans under these emission
guidelines. Section X.D.6 provides
information on general implementation
features of emission trading and
averaging programs that states must
consider if they develop such a
program. Section X.D.7 discusses
interstate emission trading. Finally,
section X.D.8 discusses considerations
related to existing state programs and
the inclusion of compliance flexibilities
in a state plan under these emission
guidelines.
Comment: Commenters cited a variety
of reasons supporting the use of
compliance flexibilities, such as
emission trading, averaging, and unitspecific mass-based compliance, in
these emission guidelines, including the
need for flexibility in meeting the
degree of emission limitation defined by
the BSER, the potential for more costeffective compliance, and reliability
purposes.
Response: The EPA believes that, in
certain circumstances, these flexibilities
can provide some operational and cost
flexibility to states and affected EGUs in
complying with these emission
guidelines and their standards of
performance in state plans. However, as
described above, the EPA is addressing
reliability-related concerns primarily
through other structural changes and
mechanisms under these emission
guidelines (see section XII.F of this
preamble) that may obviate the need to
use compliance flexibilities specifically
to address reliability concerns. As a
general matter, the EPA believes that
compliance flexibilities such as
emission trading and averaging provide
some incentive for overperformance that
could be beneficial to states and affected
EGUs.
The EPA is finalizing a determination
that emission trading, averaging, and
unit-specific mass-based compliance are
permissible for certain subcategories
under these emission guidelines, subject
to the limitations described in section
X.D.1 of this preamble. The EPA
believes these limitations are necessary
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in the context of these emission
guidelines in order to maintain the level
of emission reduction of the EPA’s
BSER determination and corresponding
degree of emission limitation.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed opposition to the use of
emission trading and averaging, citing
the potential for emission trading and
averaging programs to maintain or
exacerbate existing disparities in
communities with environmental justice
concerns.
Response: The EPA is cognizant of
these concerns and believes that
emission trading and averaging are not
necessarily incompatible with
environmental justice. The EPA is
including limitations on the use of
compliance flexibilities in state plans
that should help address these EJ
concerns. As discussed in more detail in
section X.D.1, the EPA is restricting
certain subcategories from using trading
or averaging as well as, for mass-based
compliance mechanisms, requiring the
use of a backstop rate, to ensure that the
use of compliance flexibilities maintains
the level of emission reduction of the
EPA’s BSER determination and
corresponding degree of emission
limitation as well as achieves the
statutory objective of these emission
guidelines to mitigate air pollution by
requiring sources to operate more
cleanly. The EPA notes that trading
programs can be designed to include
measures like unit-specific emission
rates that assure that reductions and
corresponding benefits accrue
proportionally to communities with
environmental justice concerns. The
EPA also notes that states have the
ability to add further features and
requirements to emission trading and
averaging programs than identified in
these emission guidelines, or to forgo
their use entirely.
Pursuant to the requirements of
subpart Ba, states are required to
conduct meaningful engagement on all
aspects of their state plans with
pertinent stakeholders. This would
necessarily include any potential use of
flexibilities for sources to demonstrate
compliance with the proposed
standards of performance through
emissions trading or averaging. As
discussed in greater detail in section
X.E.1.b.i of this preamble, meaningful
engagement provides an opportunity for
communities most affected by and
vulnerable to the impacts of a plan to
provide input, including input on any
impacts resulting from the use of
compliance flexibilities.
Comment: Some commenters stated
that allowing trading or averaging is not
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consistent with the legal opinion in
West Virginia v. EPA.
Response: This comment is outside
the scope of this action. The EPA
finalized its interpretation that CAA
section 111 does not preclude states
from including compliance flexibilities
such as trading or averaging in their
state plans (although the EPA may limit
those flexibilities in particular emission
guidelines if necessary to protect the
environmental outcomes of those
guidelines) when it revised the CAA
section 111(d) implementing regulations
in subpart Ba.945 As described in the
final subpart Ba revisions, ‘‘in West
Virginia v. EPA, the Supreme Court did
not directly address the state’s authority
to determine their sources’ control
measures. Although the Court did hold
that constraints apply to the EPA’s
authority in determining the BSER, the
Court’s discussion of CAA section 111
is consistent with the EPA’s
interpretation that the provision does
not preclude states from granting
sources compliance flexibility.’’ 946 The
EPA further explained in the preamble
to the subpart Ba final rule that the West
Virginia Court was clear that the focus
of the case was exclusively on whether
the EPA acted within the scope of its
authority in establishing the BSER: ‘‘The
Court did not identify any constraints
on the states in establishing standards of
performance to their sources, and its
holding and reasoning cannot be
extended to apply such constraints.’’ 947
The EPA reiterates that, under these
emission guidelines, the BSER
determinations are emission reduction
technologies or strategies that apply to
and reduce the emission rates of
individual affected EGUs. Furthermore,
states have the option of including
emission trading or averaging in their
states plans but are by no means
required to do so. States that choose to
include trading or averaging programs
in their state plans are required to
demonstrate that those programs are in
the aggregate as stringent as each
affected EGU individually achieving its
rate-based standard of performance.
Additionally, as explained elsewhere in
sections X.D.4 and X.D.5 of this
preamble, the EPA is requiring the use
of a backstop emission rate in
conjunction with mass-based
compliance flexibilities, one result of
which is that units cannot comply with
their standards of performance merely
by shifting their generation to other
electricity generators. Therefore, the
EPA’s BSERs in these emission
945 88
FR 80480 80533–35 (November 17, 2023).
FR 80534 (November 17, 2023).
947 88 FR 80535 (November 17, 2023).
946 88
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guidelines are not based on generation
shifting and, even if the EPA believed
that West Virginia v. EPA implicated the
use of compliance flexibilities, the
permissible use of trading and averaging
in this particular case does not
implicate the Court’s concerns about
generation shifting therein.
1. Demonstrating Equivalent Stringency
As stated in the section above, states
are permitted to use emission trading,
averaging, and unit-specific mass-based
compliance in their plans for certain
subcategories under these emission
guidelines, provided that the plan
demonstrates that any such use will
achieve a level of emission reduction
that is in the aggregate as
environmentally protective as each
affected EGU achieving its rate-based
standard of performance. This
requirement is rooted in the structure
and purpose of CAA section 111. Most
commenters supported the use of
compliance flexibilities in these
emission guidelines, and many
explicitly expressed support for the
EPA’s stringency criterion in this
context. Commenters also requested
greater clarity on how to demonstrate
equivalent stringency in a state plan. In
this section, the EPA describes
foundational parameters for a
demonstration of equivalence in the
state plan as well as limitations on the
availability of compliance flexibilities
for certain affected EGUs, which stem
from the EPA’s stringency criterion.
Additionally, the EPA offers further
explanation of how it will review state
plan submissions to determine whether
plans that include compliance
flexibilities achieve an equivalent (or
greater) level of emission reduction as
each affected EGU individually
complying with its unit-specific ratebased standard of performance.
a. Requirements for Demonstrating
Equivalent Stringency
In their plans, states incorporating
compliance flexibilities must first
clearly demonstrate how they calculated
the aggregate rate-based emission
limitation (for rate-based averaging),
mass limit (for unit-specific mass-based
compliance), or mass budget (for massbased emission trading) from unitspecific, rate-based presumptive
standards of performance. (For ratebased trading, the standard of
performance coupled with, if necessary,
an adjustment based on the acquisition
of compliance instruments, is used to
demonstrate compliance.) In doing so,
states must identify the specific affected
EGUs that will be using compliance
flexibilities; which flexibility each unit
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will able to use; the unit-specific, ratebased presumptive standard of
performance; and the standard of
performance established in the plan for
each unit (rate-based limit or mass limit)
or set of units (aggregate rate-based
emission limitation or mass budget).
The state must document and justify the
assumptions made in calculating an
aggregate rate-based emission limitation,
mass limit, or mass budget, such as how
the calculation is weighted or, for massbased mechanisms, the level of
utilization of participating affected
EGUs used to calculate the mass limit or
budget. This requirement is discussed in
more detail in the context of each type
of compliance flexibility in the
following subsections.
Next, states must demonstrate how
the compliance flexibility will maintain
the requisite stringency, i.e., how the
plan will maintain the aggregate level of
emission reduction that would be
achieved if each unit was individually
complying with its rate-based standard
of performance. As discussed in section
X.C.1 of this preamble, an affected
EGU’s standard of performance must
generally be no less stringent than the
corresponding presumptive standard of
performance under these emission
guidelines. This is true regardless of
whether a standard of performance is
expressed in terms of rate or mass.
However, under an aggregate
compliance approach, a unit may
demonstrate compliance with that
standard of performance by averaging its
emission performance or trading
compliance instruments (e.g.,
allowances) with other affected EGUs.
Here, to ensure consistency with the
level of emission reductions Congress
expected under CAA section 111(a)(1),
the state must also demonstrate that the
plan overall achieves equivalent
stringency, i.e., the same or better
environmental outcome, as applying the
EPA’s presumptive standards of
performance to each affected EGU (after
accounting for any application of
RULOF). That is, in order for the EPA
to find a state plan ‘‘satisfactory,’’ that
plan must achieve at least the level of
emission reduction that would result if
each affected EGU was achieving its
presumptive standard of performance
(again, after accounting for any
application of RULOF).
The requirement that state plans
achieve equivalent stringency to the
EPA’s degree of emission limitation
flows from the structure and purpose of
CAA section 111, which is to mitigate
air pollution that is reasonably
anticipated to endanger public health or
welfare. It achieves this outcome by
requiring source categories that cause or
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contribute to dangerous air pollution to
operate more cleanly. Unlike the CAA’s
NAAQS-based programs, section 111 is
not designed to reach a level of
emissions that has been deemed ‘‘safe’’
or ‘‘acceptable’’; there is no air-quality
target that tells states and sources when
emissions have been reduced ‘‘enough.’’
Rather, CAA section 111 requires
affected sources to reduce their
emissions to the level that the EPA has
determined is achievable through
application of the best system of
emission reduction, i.e., to achieve
emission reductions consistent with the
applicable presumptive standard of
performance. Consistent with the
statutory purpose of requiring affected
sources to operate more cleanly, the
EPA typically expresses presumptive
standards of performance as rate-based
emission limitations (i.e., limitations on
the amount of a regulated pollutant that
can be emitted per unit of output, per
unit of energy or material input, or per
unit of time).
In the course of complying with a
rate-based standard of performance
under a state plan, an affected source
takes actions that may or may not affect
its ongoing emission reduction
obligations. For example, a source may
take certain actions that remove it from
the source category, e.g., by switching
fuel type or permanently ceasing
operations. Upon doing so, the source is
no longer subject to the emission
guidelines. Or an affected source may
choose to change its operating
characteristics in a way that impacts its
overall mass of emissions, e.g., by
changing its utilization, in which case
the source is still required to reduce its
emission rate consistent with cleaner
performance. In either instance, the
changes in operation to one affected
source do not implicate the obligations
of other affected sources. Although
changes to certain sources’ operation
may reduce emissions from the source
category, they do not absolve the
remaining affected EGUs from the
statutory obligation to reduce their
emission rates consistent with the level
that the EPA has determined is
achievable through application of the
BSER. While state plans may, when
permitted by the applicable emission
guidelines, allow affected sources to
translate their rate-based presumptive
standards of performance into mass
limits and/or comply with their
standards of performance in the
aggregate through averaging or trading,
the fundamental statutory requirement
remains: the state plan must
demonstrate that, even if individual
affected sources are not necessarily
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39981
achieving their presumptive rate-based
standards of performance, the plan as a
whole must provide for the same level
of emission reduction for the affected
EGUs as though they were. While states
may choose to allow individual sources
to emit more or less than the degree of
emission limitation determined by the
EPA, any compliance flexibilities must
be designed to ensure that their use does
not erode the emission reduction
benefits that would result if each source
was individually achieving its
presumptive standard of performance
(after accounting for any use of RULOF).
For rate-based averaging and trading,
discussed in more detail in sections
X.D.2 and X.D.3 of this preamble,
demonstrating an equivalent level of
emission reduction is relatively
straightforward, as a rate-based program
inherently provides relatively stronger
assurance of equivalence with
individual rate-based standards of
performance. This is due to the fact that
the aggregate rate-based emission
limitation (for rate-based averaging) or
rate-based standard of performance with
adjustment for compliance instruments
(for rate-based trading) is calculated
based on both the emission output and
gross generation output (utilization) of
the participating affected EGUs. In other
words., a rate-based compliance
flexibility, such as a rate-based unitspecific standard of performance,
inherently adjusts for changes in
utilization and preserves the imperative
to operate more cleanly. For unitspecific mass-based compliance and
mass-based trading, demonstrating
equivalent stringency is more
complicated, as the use of a mass limit
or mass budget on its own may not
guarantee that sources are achieving
emission reductions commensurate with
operating more cleanly. Thus the EPA is
requiring that, in order to ensure that
the emission outcome that would be
achieved through unit-specific ratebased standards of performance are
preserved, states must also include a
backstop emission rate limitation, or
backstop rate, for affected EGUs using a
mass-based compliance flexibility, as
discussed in more detail in sections
X.D.4 and X.D.5 of this preamble. In
addition, states employing a mass-based
mechanism in their plans must show
why assumptions underlying the
calculation of utilization for the
purposes of establishing a mass limit or
mass budget are appropriately
conservative to ensure an equivalent
level of emission reduction, as
discussed more in sections X.D.4 and
X.D.5 of this preamble.
In sum, states wishing to employ
compliance flexibilities in their state
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plans must demonstrate that the plan
achieves at least equivalent stringency
with each source individually achieving
its standard of performance, bearing in
mind the discussion and requirements
in this section, as well as the discussion
and requirements in the following
sections specific to each type of
mechanism. The EPA will review state
plan submissions that include
compliance flexibilities to ensure that
they are consistent with CAA section
111’s purpose of reducing dangerous air
pollution by requiring sources to
operate more cleanly. In order for the
EPA to find a state plan ‘‘satisfactory,’’
that plan must address each affected
EGU within the state and demonstrate
that the plan overall achieves at least
the level of emission reduction that
would result if each affected EGU was
achieving its presumptive standard of
performance, after accounting for any
application of RULOF.
b. Exclusion of Certain Affected EGUs
From Compliance Flexibilities
While the use of compliance
flexibilities such as emission trading,
averaging, and unit-specific mass-based
compliance is generally permissible
under these emission guidelines, the
EPA indicated in the proposal that it
may be appropriate for certain groups of
sources to be excluded from using these
flexibilities in order to ensure an
equivalent level of emission reduction
with each source individually achieving
its standard of performance. In the
proposed emission guidelines, the EPA
expressed concerns about the use of
compliance flexibilities for several
subcategories that have BSER
determinations of routine methods of
operation and maintenance as well as
those sources for which states have
invoked RULOF to apply a less stringent
standard of performance, as their
inclusion may undermine the intended
level of emission reduction of the BSER
for other facilities. The EPA also
questioned whether trading and
averaging across subcategories should
be limited in order to maintain the
stringency of unit-specific compliance.
Finally, the EPA questioned whether
affected EGUs that receive the IRC
section 45Q tax credit for permanent
sequestration of CO2 may have an
overriding incentive to maximize both
the application of the CCS technology
and total electric generation, leading to
source behavior that may be nonresponsive to the economic incentives
of a trading program.
In response to the request for
comment on these concerns related to
the appropriateness of emission trading
and averaging for certain subcategories
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and for sources with a standard based
on RULOF, the EPA received mixed
feedback. Some commenters agreed
with the EPA’s concerns about these
subcategories participating in trading
and averaging and that affected EGUs in
these subcategories should be prevented
from participating in an emission
trading or averaging program. However,
several commenters said that it was
indeed appropriate to allow all
subcategories as well as sources with a
standard of performance based on
RULOF to participate in trading and
averaging and that the program would
still achieve an equivalent level of
emission reduction, even if those
subcategories are of limited stringency.
In response to the request for
comment on whether emission trading
and averaging should be allowed across
subcategories in light of concerns over
differing levels of stringency for
different subcategories impacting
overall achievement of an equivalent
level of emission reduction, the EPA
also received mixed feedback. Some
commenters supported restricting
trading and averaging across
subcategories because of concerns that
EGUs in a subcategory with a relatively
higher stringency could acquire
allowances from EGUs in a subcategory
with a relatively lower stringency in
order to comply instead of operating a
control technology. Several commenters
stated that trading across subcategories
need not be limited because, as long as
state plans are of an equivalent level of
emission reduction, emission trading
and averaging would still require the
overall aggregate limit to be met.
Taking into consideration the
comments on the proposed emission
guidelines as well as changes made to
the subcategories in the final emission
guidelines, the Agency is finalizing the
following restrictions on the use of
compliance flexibilities by certain
subcategories.
First, emission trading or averaging
programs must not include affected
EGUs for which states have invoked
RULOF to apply less stringent standards
of performance. The Agency believes
that, because RULOF sources have a
standard of performance tailored to
individual source circumstances that is
required to be as stringent as reasonably
practicable, these sources should not
need further operational flexibility and
are also unlikely to be able to
overperform to any significant or regular
degree. This means that their
participation in an emission trading or
averaging program is, at best, unlikely to
add any value to the program (in terms
of opportunity for overperformance) or,
at worst, may provide an inappropriate
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opportunity for other sources subject to
a relatively more stringent presumptive
standard of performance to
underperform by obtaining compliance
instruments from or averaging their
emission performance with affected
EGUs that are subject to a relatively less
stringent standard of performance based
on RULOF. This outcome undermines
the ability of the state plan to
demonstrate an equivalent level of
emission reduction, as non-RULOF
sources would face a reduced incentive
to operate more cleanly. In addition,
affected EGUs with a standard of
performance based on RULOF are
prohibited from using unit-specific
mass-based compliance under these
emission guidelines. This is due to the
compounding uncertainty regarding
how states will use RULOF to
particularize the compliance obligations
for an affected EGU and the future
utilization of affected EGUs that may be
subject to RULOF. The RULOF
provisions are used where a particular
EGU is in unique circumstances and
may result in a less stringent standard
of performance based on the BSER
technology, a less stringent standard of
performance based on a different control
technology, a longer compliance
schedule, or some combination of the
three. The bespoke nature of compliance
obligations pursuant to RULOF makes it
difficult for the EPA to provide
principles for and for states to design
mass-based compliance strategies that
ensure an equivalent level of emission
reduction. Additionally, as previously
discussed, there is a significant amount
of uncertainty in the future utilization of
certain affected EGUs, including those
with standards of performance pursuant
to RULOF. While there is no risk of
implicating the compliance obligation of
other sources in unit-specific massbased compliance, the EPA believes that
allowing RULOF sources to use unitspecific mass compliance would pose a
significant risk in undermining the
stringency of the state plan such that
these sources may not be achieving the
level of emission reduction
commensurate with cleaner
performance.
Second, emission trading or averaging
programs may not include affected
EGUs in the natural gas- and oil-fired
steam subcategories. The BSER
determination and associated degree of
emission limitation for affected EGUs in
these subcategories do not require any
improvement in emission performance
and already offer flexibility to sources to
account for varying efficiency at
different operating levels. As a result,
these sources are unlikely to be
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responsive to an incentive towards
overperformance, which means that
their participation in an emission
trading or averaging program is unlikely
to add any value to the program (in
terms of opportunity for
overperformance). In addition, the EPA
is concerned that the participation of
these sources may undermine the
program’s equivalence with the
presumptive standards of performance,
because other steam sources, which
have a relatively more stringent degree
of emission limitation, may be
inappropriately incentivized to
underperform by obtaining compliance
instruments from or averaging their
emission performance with affected
EGUs in the natural gas- and oil-fired
steam subcategories. This outcome
undermines the ability of the state plan
to demonstrate equivalent stringency by
reducing the incentive for sources to
operate more cleanly. In addition,
affected EGUs in the natural gas- and
oil-fired steam subcategories are
prohibited from using unit-specific
mass-based compliance. While there is
no risk of implicating the compliance
obligation of other sources in unitspecific mass-based compliance, the
EPA believes, as previously stated, there
is already sufficient flexibility offered to
sources in the natural gas- and oil-fired
steam subcategories, as the basis for
subcategorizing these sources takes into
account their varying efficiency at
different operating levels.
The EPA is allowing both coal-fired
subcategories (both the medium- and
long-term) to participate in all types of
compliance flexibilities, within the
parameters set by the EPA described in
the following sections. The Agency
believes, and many commenters agreed,
that affected EGUs taking advantage of
the IRC section 45Q tax credit may still
benefit from the operational flexibility
provided by emission trading and
averaging, as well as unit-specific massbased compliance. The Agency also
believes that overperformance among
these sources is possible and worth
incentivizing through the use of
compliance flexibilities. Incentivizing
overperformance can lead to innovation
in control technologies that, in turn, can
lead to lower costs for, and greater
emissions reductions from, control
technologies.
The EPA is not finalizing a restriction
on trading or averaging across
subcategories for the two subcategories
that are permitted to participate in these
flexibilities. This means that affected
EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory may trade or average their
compliance with affected EGUs in the
long-term coal-fired subcategory. With
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the aforementioned restrictions on
participation in trading and averaging,
the EPA does not see a need to further
restrict the ability of eligible sources to
trade or average with other sources.
2. Rate-Based Emission Averaging
The EPA proposed to permit states to
incorporate rate-based averaging into
their state plans under these emission
guidelines. In general, rate-based
averaging allows multiple affected EGUs
to jointly meet a rate-based standard of
performance. The scope of such
averaging could apply at the facility
level (i.e., units located within a single
facility) or at the owner or operator level
(i.e., units owned by the same utility).
A description of and responses to
comments received on rate-based
averaging can be found at the end of this
subsection.
As discussed in the proposed
emission guidelines, averaging can
provide potential benefits to affected
sources by allowing for more cost
effective and, in some cases, more
straightforward compliance. First,
averaging offers some flexibility for
owners or operators to target cost
effective reductions at certain affected
EGUs. For example, owners or operators
of affected EGUs might target
installation of emission control
approaches at units that operate more.
Second, averaging at the facility level
provides greater ease of compliance
accounting for affected EGUs with a
complex stack configuration (such as a
common- or multi-stack configuration).
In such instances, unit-level compliance
involves apportioning reported
emissions to individual affected EGUs
that share a stack based on electricity
generation or other parameters; this
apportionment can be avoided by using
facility-level averaging.
The EPA is finalizing a determination
that rate-based averaging is permissible
for affected EGUs in the medium- and
long-term coal-fired subcategories. The
scope of rate-based averaging may be at
the facility level or at the owner/
operator level within the state, as these
are the circumstances under which ratebased averaging can provide significant
benefits, as identified above, with
minimal implementation complexity.
Above this level (i.e., across owner/
operators or at the state or interstate
level), the EPA has determined that a
rate-based compliance flexibility must
be implemented through rate-based
trading, as described in section X.D.3 of
this preamble. The EPA is establishing
this limitation on the scope of averaging
because it believes that the level of
complexity associated with utilities,
independent power producers, and
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39983
states attempting to coordinate the realtime compliance information needed to
assure that either all affected EGUs are
meeting their individual standard of
performance, or that a sufficient number
of affected EGUs are overperforming to
allow operational flexibility for other
affected EGUs such that the aggregate
standard of performance is being
achieved, would curtail transparency
and limit states’, the EPA’s, and
stakeholders’ abilities to track timely
compliance. For example, dozens of
units trying to average their emission
rates would require owners or operators
from different utilities and independent
power producers to share operating and
emissions data in real time. Thus, due
to likely limitations on the timely
availability of compliance-related
information across owners and
operators and across states, which is
necessary to ensure aggregate
compliance, the EPA believes that it is
appropriate to limit the scope of ratebased averaging to the facility level or
the owner/operator level within one
state in order to provide greater
compliance certainty and thus better
demonstrate an equivalent level of
emission reduction.
Demonstrating equivalence with unitspecific implementation of rate-based
standards of performance in a rate-based
averaging program is straightforward. A
state would need to specify in its plan
the group of affected EGUs participating
in the averaging program that will
demonstrate compliance on an aggregate
basis, the unit-specific rate-based
presumptive standard of performance
that would apply to each participating
affected EGU, and the aggregate
compliance rate that must be achieved
for the group of participating affected
EGUs and how that aggregate rate is
calculated, as described below. For
states incorporating owner/operatorlevel averaging, the state plan would
also need to include provisions that
specify how the program will address
any changes in the owner/operator for
one or more participating affected EGUs
during the course of program
implementation to ensure effective
implementation and enforcement of the
program. Such provisions should be
specified upfront in the plan and be
self-executing, such that a state plan
revision is not required to address such
changes.
To ensure an equivalent level of
emission reduction with application of
individual rate-based standards of
performance, the EPA is requiring that
the weighting of the aggregate
compliance rate is done on an output
basis; in other words, participating
affected EGUs must demonstrate
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compliance through achievement of an
aggregate CO2 emission rate that is a
gross generation-based weighted average
of the required standards of
performance of each of the affected
EGUs that participate in averaging. Such
an approach is necessary to ensure that
the aggregate compliance rate is
representative of the unit-specific
standards of performance that apply to
each of the participating affected EGUs.
Commenters were generally supportive
of this method of calculating an
aggregate rate for a group of sources
participating in averaging. The Agency
emphasizes that only affected EGUs are
permitted to be included in the
calculation of an aggregate rate-based
standard of performance as well as in an
aggregate compliance demonstration of
a rate-based standard of performance.
Comment: Commenters supported the
use of rate-based averaging on the
grounds that it can provide operational
flexibility to affected EGUs as well as
the opportunity for owners and
operators to optimize control technology
investments. Many commenters
supported averaging at the facility- and
owner/operator-level as well as on a
statewide or interstate basis.
Response: The EPA believes that ratebased trading can provide some
additional operational flexibility and is
finalizing that rate-based averaging is
permissible at the facility- and owner/
operator-level for affected EGUs in the
medium- and long-term coal-fired
subcategories. However, for reasons
discussed above, the EPA believes that
rate-based trading, rather than ratebased averaging, should be
implemented where a state would like
to implement a rate-based compliance
flexibility at a state or interstate basis.
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3. Rate-Based Emission Trading
The EPA proposed to permit states to
incorporate rate-based trading into their
state plans under these emission
guidelines. In general, a rate-based
trading program allows affected EGUs to
trade compliance instruments that are
generated based on their emission
performance. A description of and
responses to comments on rate-based
trading can be found at the end of this
subsection.
The EPA notes that, like rate-based
averaging, rate-based trading can
provide some flexibility for owners or
operators to target cost effective
reductions at specific affected EGUs, but
can heighten the flexibility relative to
averaging by further increasing the
number of participating affected EGUs.
In addition, emission trading can
provide incentive for overperformance.
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The proposed emission guidelines
described how rate-based trading could
work in this context. First, the EPA
discussed how it expects states to
denote the tradable compliance
instrument in a rate-based trading
programs as one ton of CO2. A tradable
compliance instrument denominated in
another unit of measure, such as a
MWh, is not fungible in the context of
a rate-based emission trading program.
A compliance instrument denominated
in MWh that is awarded to one affected
EGU most likely does not represent an
equivalent amount of emissions credit
when used by another affected EGU to
demonstrate compliance, as the CO2
emission rates (lb CO2/MWh) of the two
affected EGUs are likely to differ.
Each affected EGU is required under
these emission guidelines to have a
particular standard of performance,
based on the degree of emission
limitation achievable through
application of the BSER, with which it
would have to demonstrate compliance.
Under a rate-based trading program,
affected EGUs performing at a CO2
emission rate below their standard of
performance would be awarded
compliance instruments at the end of
each calendar year denominated in tons
of CO2. The number of compliance
instruments awarded would be equal to
the difference between their standard of
performance CO2 emission rate and
their actual reported CO2 emission rate
multiplied by their gross generation in
MWh. Affected EGUs demonstrating
compliance through a rate-based
averaging program that are performing
worse than their standard of
performance would be required to
obtain and surrender an appropriate
number of compliance instruments
when demonstrating compliance, such
that their demonstrated CO2 emission
rate is equivalent to their rate-based
standard of performance. Transfer and
use of these compliance instruments
would be accounted for in the
numerator (sum of total annual CO2
emissions) of the CO2 emission rate as
each affected EGU performs its
compliance demonstration. Compliance
would be demonstrated for an affected
EGU based on its reported CO2 emission
performance (in lb CO2/MWh) and, if
necessary, the surrender of an
appropriate number of tradable
compliance instruments, such that the
demonstrated lb CO2/MWh emission
performance is equivalent to (or lower
than) the rate-based standard of
performance for the affected EGU.
The EPA is finalizing a determination
that rate-based trading is permissible for
affected EGUs in the medium- and longterm coal-fired subcategories. The
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Agency notes, as previously discussed,
that rate-based trading (rather than
averaging) must be utilized if the state
wishes to establish a statewide or
interstate rate-based compliance
flexibility, in order to ensure
compliance and equivalent stringency.
For similar reasons, rate-based trading
should also be utilized in lieu of owner/
operator-level averaging when an
owner/operator wishes to use a ratebased compliance flexibility for a group
of its units that are located in more than
one state.
Demonstrating equivalence with unitspecific implementation of rate-based
standards of performance in a rate-based
trading program is relatively
straightforward. States would need to
specify in their plans the affected EGUs
participating in the trading program and
their individual standards of
performance. Under the method of ratebased trading described in this section,
a compliance demonstration would be
done for each participating affected EGU
based on a combination of the reported
emission performance and, if relevant,
the surrender of compliance
instruments. In addition, the EPA is
requiring that the compliance
instrument be denominated as one ton
of CO2 (rather than another unit such as
MWh). The Agency believes this
requirement is necessary to ensure an
equivalent level of emission reduction
as application of individual rate-based
standards of performance.
An additional aspect of demonstrating
equivalence is ensuring that the
program achieves and maintains an
equivalent level of emission reduction
with standards of performance over
time, which is much more certain in a
rate-based trading program than in a
mass-based program. Unlike mass-based
trading programs, under which states
must make assumptions about units’
future utilization that may become
inaccurate as those units’ operations
shift over time, rate-based trading
programs do not rely on utilization
assumptions. Utilization is already
accounted for by default in a rate-based
trading program. Thus, while massbased compliance flexibilities require
additional design features to ensure the
continued accuracy of assumptions
about utilization and thus emission
limits or budgets over time, such
features are not necessary in a ratebased trading program.
Comment: While commenters broadly
supported the use of rate-based
emission trading under these emission
guidelines, as it provides operational
flexibility to affected EGUs, some
commenters expressed concern that
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rate-based trading could lead to an
absolute increase in emissions.
Response: The EPA notes that, as a
general matter, CAA section 111 reduces
emissions of dangerous air pollutants by
requiring affected sources to operate
more cleanly. Under the construct of
these emission guidelines, so long as a
rate-based trading program is
appropriately designed to maintain the
level of emission reduction that would
be achieved through unit-specific, ratebased standards of performance, it
would be consistent with CAA section
111.
4. Unit-Specific Mass-Based Compliance
Although the EPA discussed massbased trading in the proposed emission
guidelines, it did not specifically
address whether states may include a
related flexibility, unit-specific massbased compliance, in their plans.
Several commenters supported massbased mechanisms, including both unitspecific mass-based compliance and
mass-based trading. A description of
and responses to comments on unitspecific mass-based compliance can be
found at the end of this subsection.
The EPA’s CAA section 111
implementing regulations generally
permit states to include mass-based
limits in their plans, see 40 CFR
60.21a(f), subject to the requirement that
standards of performance must be no
less stringent than the presumptive
standards of performance in the
corresponding emission guidelines. 40
CFR 60.24a(c). However, the EPA has
significant concerns about the use of
unit-specific mass-based compliance in
the context of these emission guidelines
and the ability of states using this
mechanism to ensure that such use will
result in the same level of emission
reduction that would be achieved by
applying the rate-based standard of
performance. These concerns arise both
from the particular focus of these
emission guidelines on emission
reduction strategies that result in
cleaner performance of affected EGUs,
and the inherent uncertainty in
predicting the utilization of affected
EGUs during the compliance period,
especially given the long lead times
provided.
Therefore, while the EPA is allowing
states to include unit-specific massbased compliance in their plans for
affected coal-fired EGUs in the mediumand long-term subcategories, it is also
requiring states to use a backstop
emission rate in conjunction with the
mass-based compliance demonstration.
As discussed in section X.D.1 of this
preamble, the EPA believes the use of a
backstop rate is consistent with the
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focus on achieving cleaner performance.
CAA section 111 requires the mitigation
of dangerous air pollution, which is
generally achieved under this provision
by requiring affected sources to operate
more cleanly. Thus, standards of
performance are typically expressed as
a rate. In these emission guidelines, in
particular, the BSERs for affected EGUs
are control technologies and other
systems of emission reduction that
reduce the amount of CO2 emitted per
unit of electricity generation. The EPA
is not precluding states from translating
those unit-specific rate-based standards
of performance into a mass-based limit
(for unit-specific mass-based
compliance) or budget (for emission
trading). However, in order to ensure
that the emission reductions required
under CAA section 111 are achieved,
mass-based limits or budgets must be
accompanied by a backstop rate for
purposes of demonstrating compliance.
In addition, for coal-fired EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory in
particular, it is critical that states’
assumptions about future utilization do
not result in inaccurate mass-based
limits or budgets that allow units to
emit more than they would be permitted
to under unit-specific, rate-based
compliance.
The EPA is finalizing a presumptively
approvable unit-specific mass-based
compliance approach for affected EGUs
in the long-term coal-fired subcategory,
including a methodology for the
applicable backstop rate, but is not
finalizing a presumptively approvable
approach for affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory. As
explained below, the EPA has not been
able to determine a unit-specific massbased compliance mechanism for
medium-term coal-fired EGUs that
would ensure that the mass limit is no
less stringent than the presumptive
standard of performance under these
emission guidelines.
In general, unit-specific mass-based
compliance establishes a budget of
allowable mass emissions (a mass limit)
for an individual affected EGU based on
the degree of emission limitation
defined by its subcategory and a
specified level of anticipated utilization.
Standards of performance would be
provided in the form of mass limits in
tons of CO2 for each individual affected
EGU, and compliance would be
demonstrated through surrender of
allowances, with each allowance
representing a permit to emit one ton of
CO2. Unlike mass-based emission
trading, under a unit-specific mass
compliance mechanism, these
allowances would not be tradable with
other affected EGUs. To demonstrate
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compliance, the affected EGU would be
required to surrender allowances in a
number equal to its reported CO2
emissions during each compliance
period.
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7),
for affected coal-fired EGUs in the longterm subcategory that are installing CCS,
considering the potential impacts of
variable load, startups, and shutdowns,
90 percent CO2 capture is, in general,
achievable over the course of a year.
However, the EPA believes unit-specific
mass-based compliance could provide
some benefit by affording long-term
affected coal-fired EGUs that adopt this
mechanism even greater operational
flexibility.948 For example, if an affected
EGU encounters challenges related to
the start-up of the CCS technology or
needs to conduct maintenance of the
capture equipment, unit-specific massbased compliance would provide a path
for the affected EGU to continue
operating. At the same time, unitspecific mass-based compliance coupled
with a backstop rate would generally
ensure that units operate more cleanly
and that the required level of emission
reduction is achieved. As explained in
more detail below, the EPA’s confidence
regarding the equivalent stringency of
this mass-based compliance approach
for units in the long-term subcategory
depends on the Agency’s confidence in
the likely utilization of a unit that has
adopted emissions controls—in this
case, CCS.
For affected EGUs in the long-term
coal-fired subcategory, the EPA is
providing a presumptively approvable
approach to unit-specific mass-based
compliance. To establish the
presumptively approvable mass limit,
the presumptively approvable rate (as
described in section X.C.1.b.i of this
preamble) would be multiplied by a
level of gross generation (i.e., utilization
level) corresponding to an annual
capacity factor of 80 percent, which is
the capacity factor used for the BSER
analysis (see section VII.C.1.a.ii of this
preamble) and represents expected
utilization based on the incentive
provided by the IRC section 45Q tax
credit. In addition, under this approach,
affected EGUs would need to meet a
backstop emission rate, expressed in lb
CO2 per MWh on a gross basis,
equivalent to a reduction relative to
baseline emission performance of 80
percent, on an annual calendar-year
basis. The EPA believes this backstop
rate represents a reasonable level of
operational flexibility for affected EGUs
948 States may also elect to include the short-term
reliability mechanism described in section XII.F.3.a
in their plans to address grid emergency situations.
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in the long-term subcategory, and it
could provide flexibility for sources to
employ other technologies (e.g.,
membrane and chilled ammonia capture
technologies) that can achieve a
similarly high degree of emission
limitation to CCS with amine-based
capture. States may deviate from this
approach (however, as previously
discussed, the approach must include a
backstop rate) and deviations will be
reviewed to ensure consistency with the
statute and this rule when the EPA
reviews the state plan. For example,
states may wish to use an assumed
utilization level of greater than 80
percent to establish a mass limit. In
reviewing such an approach for
reasonableness, the EPA would
consider, among other things, whether
an affected EGU’s capacity factor has
historically been greater than 80 percent
for any continuous 8 quarters of data.
The EPA would review the supporting
data and resulting mass limit for
consistency with the statute. The EPA
has confidence that the presumptively
approvable approach achieves an
equivalent level of emission reduction
as the implementation of the individual
presumptive standard of performance
because of the high degree of stringency
associated with this subcategory as well
as the 45Q tax credit, which
incentivizes units to maximize capture
of CO2 as well as the utilization of the
affected EGU.
On the other hand, the EPA does not
have the same confidence in a massbased approach to unit-specific
compliance for the medium-term coalfired subcategory for two reasons: the
uncertainty in the utilization of these
affected EGUs and the relatively lower
stringency of the subcategory (i.e., 16
percent reduction relative to baseline
emission performance), particularly as
compared to the long-term subcategory.
The EPA has not been able to develop
a workable approach to mass-based
compliance for these units that both
preserves the stringency of the
presumptive standard of performance
and results in an implementable
program for affected EGUs.
First, there are significant challenges
in selecting an appropriate utilization
assumption for the purposes of
generating a mass limit for affected
EGUs in the medium-term subcategory.
When setting the mass limit for a future
time period, as would occur in a state
plan under these emission guidelines,
assumptions about the source’s
anticipated level of utilization must be
made. Estimating future utilization of
affected EGUs in the medium-term
subcategory is subject to a significant
degree of uncertainty, driven by sector-
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wide factors including changes in
relative fuel prices, new incentives for
technology deployment provided by the
IIJA and the IRA, and increasing
electrification, as well as EGU-specific
factors related to its age and/or
operating characteristics. As described
in the Power Sector Trends TSD, coalfired EGUs tend to become less efficient
as they age, which may impact utilities’
investment decisions and the utilization
of these EGUs. In addition, affected
EGUs in this subcategory are unlikely to
be earning the IRC section 45Q tax
credit, meaning they lack an incentive
to maximize both utilization and control
of emissions beyond what is required by
the subcategory.
The accuracy of this estimate of
utilization is critical to maintaining the
environmental integrity established by
unit-specific, rate-based compliance
under these emission guidelines. If a
state assumes a level of utilization that
is higher than an affected EGU actually
operates during the compliance period,
the resulting mass limit will be nonbinding, i.e., may not reflect any
emission reductions relative to what the
unit would have emitted in the absence
of these emission guidelines. In this
case a backstop emission rate helps, but
the unit would become subject to a de
facto less-stringent standard of
performance. This result does not
preserve environmental integrity
consistent with CAA section 111(a)(1).
Conversely, assuming a level of
utilization for the purpose of setting a
mass limit that is lower than an affected
EGU actually operates during the
compliance period maintains the level
of emission reduction of unit-specific,
rate-based implementation but may
have unintended effects on operational
flexibility. Thus, the EPA believes that
in many, if not most circumstances it
will not be possible for states to
accurately predict the future utilization
of medium-term affected EGUs.
Second, the EPA notes that the
relatively lower stringency of the
subcategory further complicates the
calculation of an appropriate mass limit.
Under mass-based compliance, the
quantity of emission reductions that
corresponds to a 16 percent reduction in
CO2 emission rate is a relatively small
reduction in terms of tons of CO2. This
relatively small reduction is likely to be
subsumed by the uncertainty inherent
in predicting the utilization of an
affected EGU for purposes of
determining its mass limit. That is, an
EGU in the medium-term subcategory
that assumes future utilization
consistent with its historical baseline
but reduces its emission rate by 16
percent would achieve, on paper at
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least, an emission reduction of 16
percent. However, if its utilization
during the compliance period is more
than 16 percent lower than it was in the
past, the EGU using a mass-based
compliance approach would face a
reduced or completely eliminated
obligation to improve its emission
performance. In this case, mass-based
compliance results in a lower level of
emission reduction than unit-specific
rate-based compliance. While this
phenomenon is not likely to occur for
long-term coal-fired affected EGUs given
the much higher degree of stringency of
the rate-based emission limitation and
the greater certainty in future
utilization, the EPA believes it would be
widespread amongst medium-term
affected EGUs.
Thus, the EPA is not providing a
presumptively approvable approach for
unit-specific mass-based compliance for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coalfired subcategory. However, it is also
not prohibiting states from, in their
discretion, allowing the use of unitspecific mass-based compliance. For
such use to be approvable in state plans
it must meet two requirements. First, as
previously noted in section X.D.1 of this
preamble, the state must apply a
backstop rate in conjunction with a
mass limit for the purposes of
demonstrating compliance. As a starting
point, states could consider basing their
backstop rate for medium-term affected
EGUs on the percentage reduction from
the degree of emission limitation used
for the presumptively approvable
backstop rate for the long-term coalfired subcategory, i.e., the 80 percent
reduction relative to baseline emission
performance is approximately 90.5
percent of the 88.4 percent degree of
emission limitation. Applying that to
the degree of emission limitation for the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory is
14.5 percent, so the backstop rate,
expressed in lb CO2 per MWh on a gross
basis, could be set as a 14.5 percent
reduction relative to baseline emission
performance on an annual calendar-year
basis. Second, as described in section
X.D.1 of this preamble, states must
demonstrate that their plan would
achieve an equivalent level of emission
reduction as the application of unitspecific, rate-based standards of
performance, including showing how
the mass limit has been calculated and
the basis for any assumptions made
(e.g., about utilization). As explained in
this section, the EPA believes it will be
very difficult for states to accurately
predict the future utilization of these
units, which substantially increases the
risk of establishing a mass limit that
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does not ensure at least an equivalent
level of emission reduction. The EPA
will therefore apply a high degree of
scrutiny to assumptions made about the
utilization of affected EGUs employing
this flexibility in state plans. Only state
plans that demonstrate that use of
compliance flexibilities will not erode
the emission reductions required under
these emission guidelines are
approvable.
Comment: Commenters were
generally supportive of the use of massbased compliance mechanisms (both
unit-specific and aggregate mechanisms
such as emission trading) for these
emission guidelines. Commenters said
that mass-based compliance can help
ensure environmental outcomes while
also allowing sources to cycle,
incorporate variable resources, and
respond to grid conditions.
Response: The EPA is finalizing that
mass-based compliance mechanisms are
permissible when they assure an
equivalent level of emission reduction
with each source individually achieving
its standard of performance, subject to
the parameters described by the EPA in
this preamble. For unit-specific massbased compliance, affected EGUs in the
medium- and long-term coal-fired
subcategories may demonstrate
compliance with their standards of
performance through a mass limit. The
EPA believes unit-specific mass-based
compliance may offer some additional
operational flexibility to states and
affected EGUs, which could include
allowing for cycling and incorporating
variable resources. The EPA notes that
sources must still be in compliance with
the requisite backstop rate.
Comment: Many commenters
expressed support for mass-based
compliance mechanisms on the grounds
that it facilitates calibration with
existing state programs affecting the
same sources that are affected under
these emission guidelines.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that states may find it more
straightforward to compare emission
reduction obligations under these
emission guidelines and existing state
programs by using mass-based
compliance mechanisms for state plans
under these emission guidelines.
However, the EPA notes that mass-based
compliance mechanisms, including
unit-specific mass-based compliance,
are only available to certain sources
affected by these emission guidelines, as
described in this section of the
preamble, which may be a smaller
universe of sources than are affected by
existing state programs. State plans
must ensure an equivalent level of
emission reduction from the sources
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that are affected sources under these
emission guidelines. That is, states
cannot rely on or account for emission
reductions occurring at non-affected
sources.
Section X.D.8 of this preamble
discusses more considerations related to
the relationship between the inclusion
of compliance flexibilities in state plans
under these emission guidelines and
existing state programs.
Comment: Many commenters
requested presumptively approvable
mass-based standards of performance.
Response: As discussed above, the
EPA is finalizing a presumptively
approvable unit-specific mass-based
compliance approach for units in the
long-term coal-fired subcategory that
includes a backstop rate to ensure an
equivalent level of emission reduction.
The EPA emphasizes that states should
take into account the discussions of
stringency in section X.B and of
demonstrating equivalence in section
X.D.1 of this document, as well as
guidance in each subsection on
particular compliance flexibilities in
considering mass-based compliance
approaches that deviate from the
presumptively approvable method or for
sources for which the EPA is not
providing a presumptively approvable
approach.
5. Mass-Based Emission Trading
The EPA proposed that states would
be permitted to incorporate mass-based
trading into their state plans under these
emission guidelines. While several
commenters supported the use of massbased emission trading, as with unitspecific mass-based compliance, the
EPA has significant concerns about
states’ ability using this mechanism to
maintain an equivalent level of emission
reduction to unit-specific, rate-based
standards of performance. A description
of and responses to comments on massbased trading can be found at the end
of this subsection.
Under these final emission guidelines,
the EPA is allowing states to include
mass-based emission trading for affected
coal-fired EGUs in the medium- and
long-term subcategories in their plans.
The same requirements and caveats
discussed in section X.D.4 of this
preamble above apply to the respective
subcategories as for unit-specific massbased compliance. Specifically, the EPA
is requiring the use of a unit-specific
backstop rate in conjunction with the
mass-based compliance demonstration,
which is necessary for consistency with
the purpose of these emission
guidelines to achieve the emission
reductions required under CAA section
111(a)(1) through cleaner emission
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performance. The Agency similarly
believes it will be very difficult for
states to design mass-based trading
programs that include affected EGUs in
the medium-term coal-fired subcategory
and that maintain the level of emission
reduction that would be achieved under
unit-specific compliance with the
presumptive standards of performance.
In general, a mass-based trading
program establishes a budget of
allowable mass emissions for a group of
affected EGUs, with tradable
instruments (typically referred to as
‘‘allowances’’) issued to affected EGUs
in the amount equivalent to the mass
emission budget. To establish a mass
budget under these emission guidelines,
states would use the rate-based standard
of performance and an assumed level of
utilization for each participating
affected EGU, and sum the resulting
individual mass limits to an aggregate
mass budget. Additionally, states would
need to specify in the plan how
allowances would be distributed to
participating affected EGUs. Each
allowance would represent a tradable
permit to emit one ton of CO2, with
affected EGUs required to surrender
allowances at the end of the compliance
period in a number determined by their
reported CO2 emissions. Total emissions
from all participating affected EGUs
should be no greater than the total mass
budget. In addition, each participating
affected EGU would need to
demonstrate compliance with the unitspecific backstop rate.
The EPA sees similar potential
benefits related to operational flexibility
of mass-based emission trading as with
unit-specific mass-based compliance,
discussed in section X.D.4 of this
preamble. These benefits could be
heightened by having a larger pool of
allowances available to affected EGUs.
In addition, the EPA notes that emission
trading can provide incentive for
overperformance.
While there is indeed the potential for
heightened benefits from mass-based
emission trading due to a larger pool of
allowances resulting from the inclusion
of multiple sources, the EPA believes
that there is also a heightened risk that
the mass budget will not be
appropriately calculated due to the
compounding uncertainty resulting
from multiple participating sources. As
noted in section X.D.4 of this preamble,
projecting the utilization of affected
EGUs has become increasingly
challenging, driven by changes in
technology, fuel prices, and electricity
demand. In generating a mass budget,
assumptions about utilization must be
made for each participating source,
which magnifies the risk, particularly
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for affected EGUs in the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory, that an improper
assumption about utilization for one
affected EGU implicates the compliance
obligation of other affected EGUs. Based
on the understanding that a trading
program that ensures the level of
emission reduction of unit-specific, ratebased compliance under these emission
guidelines would necessarily have to be
designed with highly conservative
utilization assumptions, the EPA is not
providing a presumptively approvable
approach for mass-based trading. The
EPA additionally does not believe a
presumptively approvable mass-based
trading approach is warranted because,
as noted in the introduction to this
section, there are fewer sources covered
by the final emission guidelines than
the proposed emission guidelines,
which may limit interest in and the
utility of the use of mass-based trading
for these emission guidelines.
The EPA is not prohibiting states from
developing their own approaches to
mass-based trading under these
emission guidelines; however, they
must apply a unit-specific backstop rate
for all participating affected EGUs (see
section X.D.4 of this preamble for a
discussion of the backstop rate under
unit-specific mass-based compliance),
and they must demonstrate, as
described in section X.D.1 of this
preamble, that their plan would achieve
an equivalent level of emission
reduction as the application of
individual rate-based standards of
performance, including showing how
the mass limit has been calculated and
the basis for any assumptions made
(e.g., about utilization). As with unitspecific mass-based compliance, the
EPA will apply a high degree of scrutiny
to assumptions made about the
utilization of affected EGUs
participating in a mass-based trading
program in state plans. States must also
specify the structure and purpose of any
other trading program design feature(s)
(e.g., mass budget adjustment
mechanism) and how they impact the
demonstration of an equivalent level of
emission reduction.
Comment: Many commenters
supported the use of mass-based trading
under these emission guidelines.
Commenters stated that because many
states are familiar with the mechanism,
having used it for other pollutants in
this sector or, in the case of some
existing state programs, for CO2, it
would be easy to employ in the context
of these emission guidelines and
provide needed flexibility. In addition,
commenters cited ensuring reliability as
a motivation for using mass-based
trading.
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Response: While the EPA is finalizing
that mass-based trading is permissible
under these emission guidelines for
affected EGUs in the medium- and longterm coal-fired subcategories, the EPA
believes that some of the flexibility
desired by commenters is addressed by
other features of and changes made to
the final emission guidelines, as
described in the beginning of section
X.D of this preamble. Despite familiarity
on the part of states and sources with
mass-based trading programs, the EPA is
concerned that the unique
circumstances of the EGUs affected by
these final emission guidelines,
including uncertainty over their future
utilization as well as the relatively
lower stringency of the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory, pose a challenge
for states in demonstrating an
equivalent level of emission reduction
of mass-based trading programs to the
application of individual rate-based
standards.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concern with whether and
how mass-based trading would achieve
and sustain the emission performance
identified in the determination of BSER.
Response: The EPA shares these
concerns, and for that reason is
requiring the use of a unit-specific
backstop rate in conjunction with massbased compliance flexibilities,
including mass-based trading. The EPA
has also described its concerns over
states’ ability to estimate future
utilization and will thus apply a high
degree of scrutiny to assumptions made
about the utilization of affected EGUs
participating in mass-based trading in
state plans.
6. General Emission Trading and
Averaging Program Implementation
Features
As noted in the proposed emission
guidelines, states would need to
establish the procedures and systems
necessary to implement and enforce an
emission averaging or trading program,
whether it is rate-based or mass-based,
if they elect to incorporate such
flexibilities into their state plans. This
would include, but is not limited to,
establishing the mechanics for
demonstrating compliance under the
program (e.g., surrender of compliance
instruments as necessary based on
monitoring and reporting of CO2
emissions and generation); establishing
requirements for continuous monitoring
and reporting of CO2 emissions and
generation; and developing a tracking
system for tradable compliance
instruments. The EPA requested
comment on whether there was interest
in capitalizing on the existing trading
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program infrastructure developed by the
EPA for other trading programs, and
some states and one utility expressed
support for states’ ability to use EPA’s
allowance management system for such
programs. In addition to providing such
resources for regional and national
emission trading and averaging
programs, the EPA has also provided
technical support and resources to
various non-EPA state and regional
emission trading programs. In the event
states choose to create emission
averaging or trading programs under
these emission guidelines, the EPA can
provide technical support for such
programs, including through the use of
the Agency’s existing trading program
infrastructure, and is available to
consult with states during the plan
development process about the
appropriateness of using such resources,
such as the EPA’s allowance
management system, based on the
design of state programs.
States may also need to consider how
to handle differing compliance dates for
affected EGUs in an emission averaging
or trading program, given that under
these emission guidelines the date when
standards of performance apply varies
depending on the subcategory for the
affected EGU. The most straightforward
way to address this, and which
commenters supported, is to initially
only include those sources with a
compliance date of January 1, 2030, and
then subsequently add sources into the
program (and thus factor them into the
aggregate standard of performance that
must be achieved in the case of ratebased averaging or mass-based budget in
the case of mass-based compliance
approaches) at the start of the first year
in which their standard of performance
applies.
Another topic that states
incorporating emission averaging or
trading would need to consider is
whether to provide for banking of
tradable compliance instruments
(hereafter referred to as ‘‘allowance
banking,’’ although it is relevant for
both mass-based and rate-based trading
programs). Allowance banking has
potential implications for a trading
program’s ability to maintain the
requisite level of emission reduction of
the standards of performance. The EPA
recognizes that allowance banking—that
is, permitting allowances that remain
unused in one control period to be
carried over for use in future control
periods—may provide incentives for
earlier emission reductions, promote
operational flexibility and planning, and
facilitate market liquidity. Many
commenters supported allowing
banking for these reasons. However, the
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EPA has observed that unrestricted
allowance banking from one control
period to the next (absent provisions
that adjust future control period budgets
to account for banked allowances) may
result in a long-term allowance surplus
that has the potential to undermine a
trading program’s ability to ensure that,
at any point in time, the affected sources
are achieving the required level of
emission performance. In the Good
Neighbor Plan’s trading program
provisions, for example, the EPA
implemented an annual allowance bank
recalibration to prevent allowance
surpluses from accumulating and
adversely impacting program
stringency.949 While the requirement to
include a backstop rate for mass-based
compliance flexibilities can mitigate
some concerns that unrestricted
allowance banking will undermine the
program’s calibration towards achieving
emission reductions through cleaner
performance, the EPA urges that states
considering allowing trading also
consider restricting allowance banking
(whether all or only a portion) in order
to ensure that a program continues to be
calibrated towards equivalent stringency
with individual rate-based standards of
performance, which several commenters
did support.
Comment: Many commenters
expressed the need for expanding the
state plan submission timeline beyond
24 months to allow more time to design
emission trading and averaging
programs.
Response: As discussed in section
X.E.2 of this preamble, the EPA is
finalizing a 24-month state plan
development timeframe. Because there
are significantly fewer sources covered
under the final emission guidelines and
because the EPA is restricting certain
subcategories from using compliance
flexibilities such as emission averaging
and trading and unit-specific massbased compliance, the EPA believes 24
months is a reasonable amount of time
to develop state plans, including time
necessary to develop compliance
flexibility approaches. Moreover, the
EPA is offering a presumptively
approvable approach to unit-specific
mass-based compliance for affected
949 Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards, 88
FR 36654 (June 5, 2023). Under the allowance bank
recalibration provisions, EPA will recalibrate the
‘‘Group 3’’ allowance bank for the 2024–2029
control periods to meet the target bank level of 21
percent of the sum of the state emission budgets for
that control period. For control periods 2030 and
later, the target bank level is 10.5 percent of the sum
of the state emission budgets. If the overall bank is
less than the target bank level for a given control
period, then no bank recalibration will occur for
that control period.
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EGUs in the long-term coal-fired
subcategory, which can further simplify
the process for developing compliance
approaches in state plans.
7. Interstate Emission Trading
In the proposed emission guidelines,
the EPA requested comment on
whether, and under what circumstances
or conditions, to allow interstate
emission trading under these emission
guidelines. Given the
interconnectedness of the power sector
and given that many utilities and power
generators operate in multiple states,
interstate emission trading may increase
compliance flexibility. The EPA also
took comment on whether the scope of
rate-based averaging should be limited
to a certain level of geographic
aggregation (i.e., intrastate but not
interstate).
Many commenters expressed support
for interstate trading and averaging,
arguing that it further augments the
flexibility offered by these mechanisms.
Because electricity markets are often
operated on an interstate basis,
commenters stated that interstate
trading and averaging would facilitate
better electricity market planning. In
particular, some commenters noted that
interstate programs would also allow for
better grid reliability planning across
areas with regional planning entities.
While the EPA is finalizing a
determination that states can
incorporate both rate- and mass-based
interstate emission trading programs
into their state plans, the EPA has
significant stringency-related and
logistical concerns about the use of
interstate emission trading for these
particular emission guidelines. For
mass-based trading in particular, the
EPA has concerns that further
increasing the number of sources
participating in the program heightens
the risk that the mass budget will not be
appropriately calculated due to the
uncertainty in estimating future
utilization of affected EGUs, thus
inhibiting the ability of states to
demonstrate that their program achieves
an equivalent level of emission
reduction. This concern is somewhat
alleviated for rate-based compliance
flexibilities, but the EPA notes that
states that wish to implement such
flexibilities on an interstate basis should
do so through rate-based trading, as
discussed in section X.D.2. Interstate
trading programs must adhere to the
same requirements described in section
X.D.1 and must demonstrate
equivalence of the program for all
participating affected EGUs.
For interstate emission trading
programs to function successfully, all
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39989
participating states would need to, at a
minimum, use the same form of trading
and have consistent design elements
and identical trading program
requirements. Each state participating in
an interstate trading program would
need to submit their own individual
state plan, subject to the state plan
component and submission
requirements described in section X.E,
but the states would coordinate their
individual plan provisions addressing
the interstate trading program.
Additionally, each state plan would
need provisions to ensure that affected
EGUs within their state are in
compliance taking into account the
actions of affected EGUs participating in
the interstate trading program in other
states. The EPA would need all state
plan submissions that incorporate
interstate emission trading before
evaluating any of the individual state
plans in order to ensure consistency
among all participating states. The EPA
is willing to provide technical
assistance to states during the state plan
development process about the use of
interstate emission trading, but notes
that states may need to coordinate their
individual state plan submissions
among different EPA regions.
8. Relationship to Existing State
Programs
As described in the proposed
emission guidelines, the EPA recognizes
that many states have adopted policies
and programs (with both a supply-side
and demand-side focus) under their
own authorities that have significantly
reduced CO2 emissions from EGUs, that
these policies will continue to achieve
future emission reductions, and that
states may continue to adopt new power
sector policies addressing CO2
emissions. States have exercised their
power sector authorities for a variety of
purposes, including economic
development, energy supply and
resilience goals, conventional and GHG
pollution reduction, and generating
allowance proceeds for investments in
communities disproportionately
impacted by environmental harms. The
scope and approach of the EPA’s final
emission guidelines differ significantly
from the range of policies and programs
employed by states to reduce power
sector CO2 emissions, and these
emission guidelines operate more
narrowly to improve the CO2 emission
performance of a subset of EGUs within
the broader electric power sector.
Several commenters requested
guidance on how states can count
existing state programs, many of which
include requirements to reduce CO2
emissions at sources not affected by this
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rule, in their state plans under these
emission guidelines. The EPA is not
providing such guidance in this action
but would be open to consulting with
states during the state plan development
process about the requirements of these
emission guidelines in relation to
existing state programs. States may
make determinations about whether and
how to design their plans, accounting
for state-specific programs or
requirements that apply to the same
affected EGUs included in a state plan.
However, as noted in section X.B,
emission reductions from sources not
affected by this rule cannot be used to
demonstrate compliance with a
standard of performance established to
meet the emission guidelines. Only
emission reductions at affected EGUs
may count towards compliance with the
state plan, including towards
demonstrating compliance with the
equivalent stringency criterion applied
to compliance flexibilities. States may
employ compliance flexibilities (such as
mass-based mechanisms) described in
this section in order to facilitate
comparison between the requirements
under existing state programs and under
these emission guidelines; however, the
EPA emphasizes that individual affected
EGUs or groups of affected EGUs must
comply with the requirements
established for such units in the state
plan, and that such compliance cannot
incorporate measures taken by EGUs not
affected by these emission guidelines.
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E. State Plan Components and
Submission
This section describes the
requirements for the contents of state
plans and the timing of state plan
submissions as well as the EPA’s review
of and action on state plan submissions.
This section also discusses issues
related to the applicability of a Federal
plan and timing for the promulgation of
any Federal Plan, if necessary.
As explained earlier in this preamble,
the requirements of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba, govern state plan
submissions under these emission
guidelines. Where the EPA is finalizing
requirements that add to, supersede, or
otherwise vary from the requirements of
subpart Ba for the purposes of state plan
submissions under these particular
emission guidelines,950 those
requirements are addressed explicitly in
section X.E.1.b on specific state plan
requirements and in other parts of
section X of this preamble. Unless
expressly amended or superseded in
950 40
CFR 60.20a(a)(1).
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these final emission guidelines, the
provisions of subpart Ba apply.
1. Components of a State Plan
Submission
A state plan must include a number
of discrete components, including but
not limited to those that apply for all
state plans pursuant to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba. In this action, the EPA is
also finalizing additional plan
components that are specific to state
plans submitted pursuant to these
emission guidelines. For example, the
EPA is finalizing plan components that
are necessary to implement and enforce
the specific types of standards of
performance for affected EGUs that
would be adopted by a state and
incorporated into its state plan.
a. General Components
The CAA section 111 implementing
regulations at 40 CFR part 60, subpart
Ba, provide separate lists of
administrative and technical criteria
that must be met in order for a state plan
submission to be deemed complete.951
The complete list of applicable
administrative completeness criteria for
state plan submissions is: (1) A formal
letter of submittal from the Governor or
the Governor’s designee requesting EPA
approval of the plan or revision thereof;
(2) Evidence that the state has adopted
the plan in the state code or body of
regulations; or issued the permit, order,
or consent agreement (hereafter
‘‘document’’) in final form. That
evidence must include the date of
adoption or final issuance as well as the
effective date of the plan, if different
from the adoption/issuance date; (3)
Evidence that the state has the necessary
legal authority under state law to adopt
and implement the plan; (4) A copy of
the actual regulation, or document
submitted for approval and
incorporation by reference into the plan,
including indication of the changes
made (such as redline/strikethrough) to
the existing approved plan, where
applicable. The submittal must be a
copy of the official state regulation or
document signed, stamped, and dated
by the appropriate state official
indicating that it is fully enforceable by
the state. The effective date of the
regulation or document must, whenever
possible, be indicated in the document
itself. The state’s electronic copy must
be an exact duplicate of the hard copy.
If the regulation/document provided by
the state for approval and incorporation
by reference into the plan is a copy of
an existing publication, the state
submission should, whenever possible,
951 40
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include a copy of the publication cover
page and table of contents; (5) Evidence
that the state followed all applicable
procedural requirements of the state’s
regulations, laws, and constitution in
conducting and completing the
adoption/issuance of the plan; (6)
Evidence that public notice was given of
the plan or plan revisions with
procedures consistent with the
requirements of 40 CFR 60.23a,
including the date of publication of
such notice; (7) Certification that public
hearing(s) were held in accordance with
the information provided in the public
notice and the state’s laws and
constitution, if applicable and
consistent with the public hearing
requirements in 40 CFR 60.23a; (8)
Compilation of public comments and
the state’s response thereto; and (9)
Documentation of meaningful
engagement, including a list of pertinent
stakeholders, a summary of the
engagement conducted, a summary of
stakeholder input received, and a
description of how stakeholder input
was considered in the development of
the plan or plan revisions.
Pursuant to subpart Ba, the technical
criteria that all plans must meet include
the following: (1) Description of the
plan approach and geographic scope; (2)
Identification of each designated facility
(i.e., affected EGU); identification of
standards of performance for each
affected EGU; and monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements that will determine
compliance by each designated facility;
(3) Identification of compliance
schedules and/or increments of
progress; (4) Demonstration that the
state plan submission is projected to
achieve emission performance under the
applicable emission guidelines; (5)
Documentation of state recordkeeping
and reporting requirements to determine
the performance of the plan as a whole;
and (6) Demonstration that each
standard is quantifiable, permanent,
verifiable, enforceable, and
nonduplicative.
b. Specific State Plan Requirements for
These Emission Guidelines
To ensure that state plans submitted
pursuant to these emission guidelines
are consistent with the statutory
requirements and the requirements of
subpart Ba, the EPA is finalizing
additional regulatory requirements that
state plans must meet for all affected
EGUs subject to a standard of
performance, as well as certain
subcategory-specific requirements. The
EPA reiterates that standards of
performance for affected EGUs included
in a state plan must be quantifiable,
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verifiable, permanent, enforceable, and
non-duplicative. Additionally, per CAA
section 302(l), standards of performance
must be continuous in nature.
Additional state plan requirements
finalized as part of this action include:
• Identification of each affected EGU
and the subcategory to which each
affected EGU is assigned;
• A requirement that state plans
include, in the regulatory portion of the
plan, a list of coal-fired steamgenerating EGUs that are existing
sources at the time of state plan
submission and that plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032, and the calendar dates
by which they have committed to do so.
The state plan must provide that an
EGU operating past the date listed in the
plan is no longer exempt from these
emission guidelines and is in violation
of that plan, except to the extent the
existing coal-fired steam generating EGU
has received a time-limited extension of
its date for ceasing operation pursuant
to the reliability assurance mechanism
described in section XII.F.3.b of this
preamble;
• Standards of performance for each
affected EGU, including provisions for
implementation and enforcement of
such standards as well as identification
of the control technology or other
system of emission reduction affected
EGUs intend to implement to achieve
the standards of performance. Standards
of performance must be expressed in lb
CO2/MWh gross basis or, for affected
EGUs in the low load natural gas- and
oil-fired subcategory, lb CO2/MMBtu, or,
if a state is allowing the use of massbased compliance, tons CO2 per year;
• For each affected EGU,
identification of baseline emission
performance, including CO2 mass and
electricity generation data or, for
affected EGUs in either the low load
natural gas-fired subcategory or the low
load oil-fired subcategory, heat input
data from 40 CFR part 75 reporting for
the 5-year period immediately prior to
the date this final rule is published in
the Federal Register and what
continuous 8-quarter period from the 5year period was used to calculate
baseline emission performance;
• Where a state plan provides for the
use of a compliance flexibility, such as
an alternative form of the standard (e.g.,
mass limit; aggregate emission rate
limitation) and/or the use of emission
averaging or trading, identification of
the presumptive unit-specific rate-based
standard of performance in lb CO2/
MWh-gross that would apply for each
affected EGU in the absence of the
compliance flexibility mechanism; the
standard of performance (aggregate
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emission rate limitation, mass limit, or
mass budget) that is actually applied for
affected EGUs under the compliance
flexibility mechanism and how it is
calculated; provisions for the
implementation and enforcement of the
compliance flexibility mechanism,
which includes provisions that address
assurance of achievement of equivalent
emission reduction, including, for massbased compliance flexibilities,
identification of the unit-specific
backstop emission limitation; and a
demonstration that the state plan will
achieve an equivalent level of emission
reduction with individual rate-based
standards of performance through
incorporation of the compliance
flexibility mechanism;
• Increments of progress and
reporting obligations and milestones as
required for affected EGUs within the
applicable subcategories or pursuant to
consideration of RULOF, included as
enforceable elements of a state plan;
• For affected EGUs in the mediumterm coal-fired steam generating EGU
subcategory and affected EGUs relying
on a plan to permanently cease
operation for application of a less
stringent standard of performance
pursuant to RULOF, the state plan must
include an enforceable commitment to
permanently cease operation by a date
certain. The state plan must clearly
identify the calendar dates by which
such affected EGUs have committed to
permanently cease operation; 952
• A requirement that state plans
provide that any existing coal-fired
steam generating EGU shall operate only
subject to a standard of performance
pursuant to these emission guidelines or
under an exemption from applicability
952 Consistent with CAA section 111(d)(1), state
plans must include commitments to cease operation
as necessary for the implementation and
enforcement of standards of performance. When
such commitments are the predicate for receiving
a particular standard of performance, adherence to
those commitments is necessary to maintain the
level of emission reduction Congress required
under CAA section 111(a)(1). See 40 CFR 60.24a(g)
(operating conditions within the control of a
designated facility that are relied on for purposes
of RULOF must be included as enforceable
requirements in state plans); see also, e.g.,
‘‘Affordable Clean Energy Rule,’’ 84 FR 32520,
32558 (July 8, 2019) (repealed on other grounds)
(requiring that retirement dates associated with
standards of performance be included in state plans
and become federally enforceable upon approval by
the EPA); 76 FR 12651, 12660–63 (March 8, 2011)
(best available retrofit technology requirements
based on enforceable retirements that were made
federally enforceable in state implementation plan);
Guidance for Regional Haze State Implementation
Plans for the Second Implementation Period at 34,
EPA–457/B–19–003, August 2019 (to the extent a
state replies on an enforceable shutdown date for
a reasonable progress determination, that measure
would need to be included in the SIP and/or be
federally enforceable).
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39991
provided under 40 CFR 60.5850b
(including any time-limited extension of
the date by which an EGU has
committed to permanently cease
operations pursuant to the reliability
assurance mechanism); and
• Monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping requirements for affected
EGUs.
These final emission guidelines
include requirements pertaining to the
methodologies for establishing a
presumptively approvable standard of
performance for an affected EGU within
a given subcategory. These presumptive
methodologies are specified for each of
the subcategories of affected EGUs in
section X.C.1 of this preamble.
As discussed in sections X.C and X.D
of this preamble, in order for the EPA
to find a state plan ‘‘satisfactory,’’ that
plan must demonstrate that it achieves
the level of emission reduction that
would result if each affected source was
individually achieving its presumptive
standard of performance, after
accounting for any application of
RULOF. That is, while states have the
discretion to establish the applicable
standards of performance for affected
sources in their state plans (including
whether to allow compliance to be
demonstrated through the use of
compliance flexibilities), the structure
and purpose of CAA section 111 require
that those plans achieve an equivalent
level of emission reduction as applying
the EPA’s presumptive standards of
performance to those sources (again,
after accounting for any application of
RULOF).
Thus, state plans must adequately
document and support the process and
underlying data used to establish
standards of performance pursuant to
these emission guidelines. Providing
such documentation is critical to the
EPA’s review of state plans to determine
whether they are satisfactory. In
particular, states must include in their
plan submissions information and data
related to affected EGUs’ emissions and
operations, including CO2 mass
emissions and corresponding electricity
generation data or, for affected EGUs in
either the low load natural gas-fired
subcategory or the oil-fired subcategory,
heat input data, from 40 CFR part 75
reporting for the 5-year period
immediately prior to the date the final
rule is published in the Federal Register
and identify the period from which
states and affected EGUs select 8
continuous quarters of data to determine
unit-specific baselines. States must
include data and documentation
sufficient for the EPA to understand and
replicate their calculations in applying
the applicable degree of emission
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limitation to individual affected EGUs
to establish their standards of
performance. They must also provide
any methods, assumptions, and
calculations necessary for the EPA to
review plans containing compliance
flexibilities and to determine whether
they achieve an equivalent (or better)
level of emission reduction as unitspecific implementation of rate-based
standards of performance. Plans must
also adequately document and
demonstrate the methods employed to
implement and enforce the standards of
performance such that the EPA can
review and identify measures that
assure transparent and verifiable
implementation.
i. Requirements Related to Meaningful
Engagement
Public engagement is a cornerstone of
CAA section 111(d) state plan
development. In November 2023, the
EPA finalized requirements in the CAA
section 111(d) implementing regulations
at 40 CFR part 60 subpart Ba to ensure
that that all affected members of the
public, not just a particular subset, have
an opportunity to participate in the state
plan development process. These
requirements are intended to ensure that
the perspectives, priorities, and
concerns of affected communities,
including communities that are most
affected by and vulnerable to emissions
from affected EGUs as well as energy
communities and energy workers that
are affected by EGU operation and
construction of pollution controls, are
included in the process of establishing
and implementing standards of
performance for existing EGUs,
including decisions about compliance
strategies and compliance flexibilities
that may be included in a state plan.
The final requirements for meaningful
engagement in subpart Ba are in
addition to the preexisting public notice
requirements under subpart Ba that
apply to state plan development. This
section describes the meaningful
engagement requirements finalized
separately in subpart Ba and provides
guidance to states in the application of
these requirements to the development
of state plans under these emission
guidelines.
The fundamental purpose of CAA
section 111 is to reduce emissions from
categories of stationary sources that
cause, or significantly contribute to, air
pollution which may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger public health or
welfare. Therefore, a key consideration
in the state’s development of a state
plan is the potential impact of the
proposed plan requirements on public
health and welfare. Meaningful
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engagement is a corollary to the
longstanding requirement for public
participation, including through public
hearings, in the course of state plan
development under CAA section
111(d).953 A robust and meaningful
engagement process is critical to
ensuring that the entire public has an
opportunity to participate in the state
plan development process and that
states understand and consider the full
range of impacts of a proposed plan on
public health and welfare.
The EPA finalized the following
definition of meaningful engagement in
the final subpart Ba revisions in
November 2023: ‘‘timely engagement
with pertinent stakeholders and/or their
representatives in the plan development
or plan revision process.’’ 954
Furthermore, the definition provides
that ‘‘[s]uch engagement should not be
disproportionate in favor of certain
stakeholders and should be informed by
available best practices.’’ 955 The
regulations also define pertinent
stakeholders, which ‘‘include, but are
not limited to, industry, small
businesses, and communities most
affected by and/or vulnerable to the
impacts of the plan or plan revision.’’ 956
The preamble for the final revisions to
subpart Ba notes that ‘‘[i]ncreased
vulnerability of communities may be
attributable to, among other reasons, an
accumulation of negative
environmental, health, economic, or
social conditions within these
populations or communities, and a lack
of positive conditions.’’ 957 Consistent
with the requirements of subpart Ba, it
is important for states to recognize and
engage the communities most affected
by and/or vulnerable to the impacts of
a state plan, particularly as these
communities may not have had a voice
when the affected EGUs were originally
constructed.
Most commenters were generally
supportive of the requirement to
conduct meaningful engagement.
Commenters acknowledged that some
states and utilities have already started
to conduct meaningful engagement with
stakeholders like that which is required
by the final subpart Ba revisions in
other policy contexts. Some commenters
requested more time in the state plan
development process specifically to
facilitate conducting meaningful
engagement (comments related to the
953 40
CFR 60.23(c)–(g); 40 CFR 60.23a(c)–(h).
CFR 60.21a(k); 88 FR 80480, 80500
(November 17, 2023).
955 Id.
956 40 CFR 60.21a(l); 88 FR 80480, 80500
(November 17, 2023).
957 88 FR 80480, 80500 (November 17, 2023).
954 40
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state plan development timeline are
addressed section X.E.2).
In the proposed emission guidelines,
the EPA provided some information to
assist states in identifying potential
pertinent stakeholders. Some
commenters sought more guidance from
the EPA on how to identify pertinent
stakeholders. The Agency is providing
the following discussion of the potential
impacts of the emission guidelines to
assist states in identifying their
pertinent stakeholders. The EPA
believes that this discussion provides a
starting point and expects that states
will use their more targeted knowledge
of state- and source-specific
circumstances to hone the identification
of pertinent stakeholders and conduct
the necessary meaningful engagement.
As acknowledged by the EPA in the
final revisions to subpart Ba, ‘‘states are
highly diverse in, among other things,
their local conditions, resources, and
established practices of
engagement,’’ 958 so the EPA is not
finalizing any additional requirements
regarding the states’ identification of a
pertinent stakeholders for the purposes
of these emission guidelines. States
should consider the unique
circumstances of their state and the
sources within their state, with the
following discussion in mind, to tailor
their meaningful engagement. In
addition, the EPA notes that the
preamble to the final subpart Ba
revisions provides discussion of best
practices related to meaningful
engagement.959
The air pollutant of concern in these
emission guidelines is defined as
greenhouse gases, and the air pollution
addressed is elevated concentrations of
these gases in the atmosphere. These
elevated concentrations result in
warming temperatures and other
changes to the climate system that are
leading to serious and life-threatening
environmental and human health
impacts, including increased incidence
of drought and flooding, damage to
crops and disruption of associated food,
fiber, and fuel production systems,
increased incidence of pests, increased
incidence of heat-induced illness, and
impacts on water availability and water
quality. The Agency therefore expects
that states’ pertinent stakeholders will
include communities within the state
that are most affected by and/or
vulnerable to the impacts of climate
change, including those exposed to
more extreme drought, flooding, and
other severe weather impacts, including
extreme heat and cold (states should
958 Id.
959 See
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refer to section III of this preamble, on
climate impacts, to further assist them
in identifying their pertinent
stakeholders that are impacted by the
pollution at issue in these emission
guidelines). Commenters were
supportive of the notion that those
impacted by climate change are
pertinent stakeholders.
Additionally, the EPA expects that
another set of pertinent stakeholders
will be communities located near
affected EGUs and those near pipelines.
These communities may experience
impacts associated with implementation
of the state plan, including the
construction and operation of
infrastructure required under a state
plan. Activities related to the
construction and operation of new
natural gas and CO2 pipelines may
impact individuals and communities
both locally and at larger distances from
affected EGUs but near any associated
pipelines. Commenters were supportive
of the notion that communities
impacted by infrastructure development
required by the state plan are pertinent
stakeholders.
Because these emission guidelines
address air pollution that becomes well
mixed and is long-lived in the
atmosphere, the collective impact of a
state plan is not limited to the
immediate vicinity of EGUs and any
associated infrastructure. The EPA
therefore expects that states will
consider communities and populations
within the state that are both most
impacted by particular affected EGUs
and associated pipelines as well as
those that will be most affected by the
overall stringency of state plans.
The EPA also expects that states will
include the energy communities
impacted by each affected EGU,
including the energy workers employed
at affected EGUs (including employment
in operation and maintenance), workers
who may construct and install pollution
control technology, and workers
employed in associated industries such
as fuel extraction and delivery and CO2
transport and storage, as pertinent
stakeholders. These communities are
impacted by power sector trends on an
ongoing basis. The EPA acknowledges
that a variety of Federal programs are
available to support these communities
and encourages states to consider these
programs when conducting meaningful
engagement and analyzing the impacts
of compliance choices.960 Commenters
960 An April 2023 report of the Federal
Interagency Working Group on Coal and Power
Plant Communities and Economic Revitalization
(Energy Communities IWG) summarizes how the
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, CHIPS and Science
Act, and Inflation Reduction Act have greatly
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supported encouraging states to both
consider these communities as part of
meaningful engagement under these
emission guidelines as well as to take
advantage of Federal resources available
for employment and training assistance,
and highlighted a Colorado state law 961
requiring utilities to share workforce
data and develop a workforce transition
plan. The EPA supports such
approaches to workforce data
transparency and encourages states to
provide such data in the course of
meaningful engagement and the
development of state plans.
The EPA also expects that states will
include relevant balancing authorities,
systems operators and reliability
coordinators that have authority to
maintain electric reliability in their
jurisdiction as part of their constructive
engagement under these requirements.
These stakeholders are impacted by a
state plan as they are the entities
authorized to plan for electric
reliability. Visibility into unit-specific
compliance plans will help ensure those
entities have adequate lead time to plan
and address any potential reliabilityrelated issues. Early notification and
periodic follow up on unit-specific
decisions, including control technology
installation and voluntary cease
operation choices and timeframes will
greatly assist reliability planning
authorities.
Several commenters noted the need
for consideration of communities
overburdened by existing air pollution
issues, including both greenhouse gases
and co-pollutants, as pertinent
stakeholders in these emission
guidelines. The Agency urges states to
consider the cumulative burden of
pollution when identifying their
pertinent stakeholders for these
emission guidelines, as these
stakeholders may be especially
vulnerable to the impacts of a state plan
or plan revision due to ‘‘an
accumulation of negative environmental
. . . conditions,’’ as defined in the final
increased the amount of Federal funding relevant to
meeting the needs of energy communities, as well
as how the Energy Communities IWG has launched
an online Clearinghouse of broadly available
Federal funding opportunities relevant for meeting
the needs and interests of energy communities, with
information on how energy communities can access
Federal dollars and obtain technical assistance to
make sure these new funds can connect to local
projects in their communities. Interagency Working
Group on Coal and Power Plant Communities and
Economic Revitalization. ‘‘Revitalizing Energy
Communities: Two-Year Report to the President’’
(April 2023). https://energycommunities.gov/wpcontent/uploads/2023/04/IWG-Two-Year-Report-tothe-President.pdf.
961 Colorado Legislature, Senate Law 19–236.
https://leg.colorado.gov/sites/default/files/2019a_
236_signed.pdf.
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subpart Ba revisions. Many states are
already implementing policies to
consider cumulative impacts in
overburdened communities, including
California and New Jersey. It is also
important to note that the EPA is
‘‘prioritizing cumulative impacts
research to address the multiple
stressors to which people and
communities are exposed, and studying
how combinations of stressors affect
health, well-being, and quality of life at
each developmental stage throughout
the course of one’s life.’’ 962
Additionally, the EPA is in the process
of developing a workplan that lays out
actions the agency will take to integrate
and implement cumulative impacts
within the EPA’s work through FY25.
The EPA’s commitments, as stated in
the EPA’s response to the OIG Report,
include continuing to refine analytic
techniques based on best available
science, increasing the body of relevant
data and knowledge, and using
outcome-based metrics to measure
progress, including quantifiable
pollution reduction benefits in
communities.963
The EPA recognizes that facility- and
community-specific circumstances,
including the exposure of overburdened
communities to additional chemical and
non-chemical stressors, may also exist.
The meaningful engagement process is
designed to allow states to identify and
to enable consideration of these and
other facility- and community-specific
circumstances. This includes
consideration of facility- and
community-specific concerns with
emissions control systems, including
CCS. States should design meaningful
engagement to elicit input from
pertinent stakeholders on facility- and
community-specific issues related to
implementation of emissions control
systems generally, as well as on any
considerations for particular systems.
The EPA encourages states to consider
regional implications, explore
opportunities for collaboration, and to
share best practices. In some cases, an
affected EGU may be located near state
962 Nicolle S. Tulve, Andrew M. Geller, Scot
Hagerthey, Susan H. Julius, Emma T. Lavoie, Sarah
L. Mazur, Sean J. Paul, H. Christopher Frey,
Challenges and opportunities for research
supporting cumulative impact assessments at the
United States environmental protection agency’s
office of research and development, The Lancet
Regional Health—Americas, Volume 30, 2024,
100666, ISSN 2667–193X, https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.lana.2023.100666.
963 EPA Response to Draft Office of Inspector
General Report, The EPA Lacks Agencywide
Policies and Guidance to Address Cumulative
Impacts and Disproportionate Health Effects on
Communities with Environmental Justice Concerns.
https://www.epaoig.gov/sites/default/files/reports/
2023-08/_epaoig_20230822-23-p-0029.pdf.
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or Tribal borders and impact
communities in neighboring states or
Tribal lands. Some commenters
suggested that those near state or Tribal
borders may be pertinent stakeholders.
The EPA agrees that it could be
reasonable, in cases where EGUs are
located near borders, for the state to
consider identifying pertinent
stakeholders in the neighboring state or
Tribal land and to work with the
relevant air pollution control authority
of that state or Tribe to conduct
meaningful engagement that addresses
cross-border impacts. Some commenters
supported the notion that those near
state or Tribal borders may be pertinent
stakeholders.
The revisions to subpart Ba in
November of 2023 established
requirements for demonstrating how
states provided meaningful engagement
with pertinent stakeholders, and these
requirements apply here. According to
the requirements under subpart Ba, the
state will be required to describe, in its
plan submittal: (1) A list of the pertinent
stakeholders identified by the state; (2)
a summary of engagement conducted;
(3) a summary of the stakeholder input
received; and (4) a description of how
stakeholder input was considered in the
development of the plan or plan
revisions. The EPA will review the state
plan to ensure that it includes these
required descriptions regarding
meaningful public engagement as part of
its completeness evaluation of a state
plan submittal. If a state plan
submission does not include the
required elements for notice and
opportunity for public participation,
including the procedural requirements
at 40 CFR 60.23a(i) and 60.27a(g)(2)(ix)
for meaningful engagement, this may be
grounds for the EPA to find the
submission incomplete or (where a plan
has become complete by operation of
law) to disapprove the plan.
In approaching meaningful
engagement, states should first identify
their pertinent stakeholders. As
previously noted, the state should allow
for balanced participation, including
communities most vulnerable to the
impacts of the plan. Next, states should
develop a strategy for engagement with
the identified pertinent stakeholders.
This includes ensuring that information
is made available in a timely and
transparent manner, with adequate and
accessible notice. As part of this strategy
for engagement, states should also
ensure that they share information and
solicit input on plan development and
on any accompanying assessments or
analyses. In providing transparent and
adequate notice of plan development,
states should consider that internet
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notice alone may not be appropriate for
all stakeholders, given lack of access to
broadband infrastructure in many
communities. Thus, in addition to
internet notice, examples of prominent
advertisement for engagement and
public hearing may include notice
through newspapers, libraries, schools,
hospitals, travel centers, community
centers, places of worship, gas stations,
convenience stores, casinos, smoke
shops, Tribal Assistance for Needy
Families offices, Indian Health Services,
clinics, and/or other community health
and social services as appropriate for
the emission guideline addressed. The
state should also consider any
geographic, linguistic, or other barriers
to participation in meaningful
engagement for members of the public.
The EPA notes that several EPA
resources are available to assist states
and stakeholders in considering options
for state plans. For example, included in
the docket for this rulemaking is a unitlevel proximity analysis that includes
information about the population within
5 kilometers and 10 kilometers of each
EGU covered by this rule. This analysis
includes information about air
emissions from each facility, and the
potential emission implications of
installing CCS. Additionally, the EPA’s
Power Plant Environmental Justice
Screening Methodology (PPSM) 964
incorporates several peer-reviewed
approaches that combine air quality
modeling with environmental burden
and population characteristics data to
identify and connect power plants to
geographic areas potentially exposed to
air pollution by those power plants and
to quantify the relative potential for
environmental justice concern in those
areas. This information provides states
and stakeholders with the ability to
identify the census block groups that are
potentially exposed to air pollution by
each EGU, including air pollutants in
the vicinity of each EGU as well as
pollutants that can travel significant
distances. Another resource available to
assist states and stakeholders is the
EPA’s Environmental Justice Screening
and Mapping Tool (EJScreen),965 which
includes information at the census block
group level about existing
environmental burdens as well as
socioeconomic information. Other
federal resources include the Energy
Communities Interagency Working
Group’s online Clearinghouse, which
lists federal funding opportunities
relevant for meeting the needs and
964 https://www.epa.gov/power-sector/powerplant-environmental-justice-screeningmethodology.
965 https://www.epa.gov/ejscreen.
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interests of energy communities, some
of which may be relevant for state plan
development.
In their plan submittal, states must
demonstrate evidence that they
conducted meaningful engagement. In
addition to a list of pertinent
stakeholders and a summary of the
engagement conducted, states must
provide a summary of the input
received and a description of how the
input they received was considered in
plan development. The type of
information states may receive from
their pertinent stakeholders could
include data on the population and
demographics of communities located
near affected EGUs and associated
pipelines; identification of and data on
any overburdened communities
vulnerable to the impacts of the state
plan; data on the energy workers
affected by anticipated compliance
strategies on the part of owners and
operators; data on workforce needs (e.g.,
expected number and type of jobs
created, and skills required in
anticipation of compliance with the
state plan); and, if relevant, data on the
population and demographics of
communities near state and Tribal
borders that may be vulnerable to the
impacts of the state plan. The EPA
encourages states to include such data
in their demonstration of meaningful
engagement in their state plan
submittal.
The EPA emphasizes to states that the
meaningful engagement process is
intended to include community
perspectives, particularly those
communities that, historically, may not
have had a role in the state plan
development process, in the
development of standards of
performance, compliance strategies, and
compliance flexibilities for affected
EGUs by which they are impacted.
ii. Requirements for Transparency and
Compliance Assurance
The EPA proposed and requested
comment on several requirements
designed to help states ensure timely
compliance by affected EGUs with
standards of performance, as well as to
assist the public in tracking affected
EGUs’ progress towards their
compliance dates.
First, the EPA requested comment on
whether to require that an affected
EGU’s enforceable commitment for
subcategory applicability (e.g., a state
elects to rely on an affected coal-fired
steam-generating unit’s commitment to
permanently cease operations before
January 1, 2039, to meet the
applicability requirements for the
medium-term subcategory), must be in
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the form of an emission limit of 0 lb
CO2/MWh that applies on the relevant
date. Such an emission limit would be
included in a state regulation, permit,
order, or other acceptable legal
instrument and submitted to the EPA as
part of a state plan. If approved, the
affected EGU would have a federally
enforceable emission limit of 0 lb CO2/
MWh that would become effective as of
the date that the EGU permanently
ceases operations. The EPA requested
comment on whether such an emission
limit would have any advantages or
disadvantages for compliance and
enforceability relative to the alternative,
which is an enforceable commitment in
a state plan to cease operation by a
certain date.
The EPA received few comments on
this topic. One commenter,966 in
particular, did not support a specific
requirement that the permit or other
enforceable commitment must be in the
form of an emission limit of 0 lb CO2/
MWh, claiming it seems needlessly
prescriptive. This commenter also
encouraged the EPA to recognize
delegated or SIP-approved states’
enforceable permit conditions,
certifications, and voiding of
authorizations, as practically
enforceable.
The EPA is not finalizing a
requirement that states must include
commitments to permanently cease
operating in state plans in the form of
0 lb CO2/MWh emission limits. The
Agency is concluding that it is within
the discretion of the state to create an
enforceable commitment to permanently
cease operation, where applicable, in
the form it deems appropriate. Such
commitments may be codified in a state
regulation, permit, order, or other
acceptable legal instrument and
submitted to the EPA as part of a state
plan. It is important to note that if an
emission limit or some other
requirement that creates an enforceable
commitment to cease operation is
initially included in a title V permit
before the submission of a state plan,
that condition must be labeled as ‘‘stateonly’’ or ‘‘state-only enforceable’’ until
the EPA approves the state plan, at
which point the permit should be
revised to make that requirement
federally enforceable. Including state
instruments (such as state permits,
certifications, and other authorizations)
reflecting affected EGUs’ intent to
permanently cease operation in the state
plan, when such intent is the basis of
receiving a less stringent standard of
performance, is necessary because state
966 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0781.
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instruments can be revised without a
corresponding revision to the state plan
or standard of performance. This
outcome—a source continuing to
operate into the future with a lessstringent standard of performance that is
not necessarily warranted—would
undermine the integrity of these
emission guidelines.
Second, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a requirement that state plans
that include affected EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operation must
require that each such affected EGU
comply with applicable state and
Federal requirements for permanently
ceasing operation, including removal
from its respective state’s air emissions
inventory and amending or revoking all
applicable permits to reflect the
permanent shutdown status of the EGU.
This requirement covers affected coalfired steam generating EGUs in the
medium-term subcategory as well as
affected EGUs that are relying on a
commitment to permanently cease
operating to obtain a less stringent
standard of performance pursuant to
consideration of RULOF. This
requirement merely reinforces the
application of requirements under state
and Federal laws that are necessary in
this context for transparency and the
orderly administration of these emission
guidelines.
Third, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a requirement that each state
plan must require owners and operators
of affected EGUs to establish publicly
accessible websites, referred to here as
a ‘‘Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs
website,’’ to which all reporting and
recordkeeping information for each
affected EGU subject to the state plan
would be posted, including the
aforementioned information required to
be submitted as part of the state plan.
This information includes, but is not
limited to, emissions data and other
information relevant to determining
compliance with applicable standards of
performance, information relevant to the
designation and determination of
compliance with increments of progress
and reporting obligations including
milestones for affected EGUs that plan
to permanently cease operations, and
any extension requests made and
granted pursuant to the compliance date
extension mechanism or the reliability
assurance mechanism. Although this
information will also be required to be
submitted directly to the EPA and the
relevant state regulatory authority, both
the EPA and stakeholders have an
interest in ensuring that the information
is made accessible in a timely manner.
Some commenters agreed with these
requirements. The EPA anticipates that
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39995
the owners or operators of some affected
EGUs may already be posting
comparable reporting and recordkeeping
information to publicly available
websites under the EPA’s April 2015
Coal Combustion Residuals Rule,967
such that the burden of this website
requirement for these units could be
minimal.
Comment: Several commenters argued
that this was a duplicative requirement,
noting that utilities already report GHG
emissions data under the Acid Rain
Program and Mandatory GHG Reporting
Program. Commenters also stated that
this requirement would pose a burden
for companies who would have to
dedicate staff to maintaining the
website. One commenter 968 suggested
that EPA include more specific
requirements related to the format of
data, notification of uploads and
removal of documentation, and
summarization of content.
Response: The EPA disagrees that this
requirement is duplicative of reporting
requirements under other programs. In
addition to affected EGUs having unique
standards of performance and
compliance schedules under these
emission guidelines, these emission
guidelines also include unique reporting
requirements that are not covered by the
programs identified by the commenters,
including increments of progress and
reporting on milestones. In addition, the
EPA believes that this information
should be made broadly available to all
stakeholders in a timely manner, which
is not necessarily accomplished via the
programs and reporting mechanisms
identified by the commenters.
Accordingly, the EPA is finalizing a
requirement that each state plan must
require owners and operators of affected
EGUs to establish publicly accessible
websites and to post the relevant
information described in this section.
Additionally, data should be available
in a readily downloadable format.
Fourth, to promote transparency and
to assist the EPA and the public in
assessing progress towards compliance
with state plan requirements, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing a requirement
that state plans include a requirement
that the owner or operator of each
affected EGU shall report any deviation
from any federally enforceable state
plan increment of progress or reporting
milestone within 30 business days after
967 See https://www.epa.gov/coalash/list-publiclyaccessible-internet-sites-hosting-compliance-dataand-information-required for a list of websites for
facilities posting Coal Combustion Residuals Rule
compliance information, see also 80 FR 21301
(April 17, 2015).
968 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0813.
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the owner or operator of the affected
EGU knew or should have known of the
event. That is, the owner or operator
must report within 30 business days if
it is behind schedule such that it has
missed an increment of progress or
reporting milestone. In the report, the
owner or operator of the affected EGU
will be required to explain the cause or
causes of the deviation and describe all
measures taken or to be taken by the
owner or operator of the EGU to cure the
reported deviation and to prevent such
deviations in the future, including the
timeframes in which the owner or
operator intends to cure the deviation.
The owner or operator of the EGU must
submit the report to the state regulatory
agency and concurrently post the report
to the affected EGU’s Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website.
Fifth, in the proposed action, the EPA
explained its general approach to
exercising its enforcement authorities
through administrative compliance
orders (‘‘ACOs’’) to ensure compliance
while addressing genuine risks to
electric system reliability. The EPA
solicited comment on whether to
promulgate requirements in the final
emission guidelines pertaining to the
demonstrations, analysis, and
information the owner or operator of an
affected EGU would have to submit to
the EPA in order to be considered for an
ACO. The EPA is not finalizing the
proposed approach to use ACOs to
address risks to grid reliability.
Comment: One commenter argued
that the conditions to qualify for an
ACO would make it challenging for an
EGU to obtain an ACO in instances of
urgent reliability.969 Commenters
argued that there are not any guarantees
that the EPA would act on such requests
for an ACO in a timely manner,
particularly because the EPA has not set
any deadline for review and presumably
would argue that any decision falls
within the EPA’s enforcement discretion
and is not subject to judicial review.
Additionally, one commenter argued
that the proposal is unworkable for the
purposes of addressing more immediate
reliability needs, specifying that EGUs
may not be able to readily obtain the
information or analysis necessary for
preparing documentation for the EPA
from their regional entity or state.970
Another commenter argued that the
proposed mechanism provides no relief
during an energy crisis because they
would be offered only after the fact to
resolve any alleged violations.
Therefore, the possibility of future
969 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0770.
970 Id.
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enforcement discretion and ACOs will
not help a power generator decide in the
moment whether to keep running and
risk a violation or shut down, risking
grid reliability and affecting our
customers. the commenter also stated
that ACOs are enforcement actions that
carry negative implications and the
potential for significant civil penalties,
and citizen groups are unlikely to
exercise discretion similar to that of the
EPA, even if the EPA decides that a low
(or no) penalty is appropriate. Lastly,
this commenter noted that ACOs are
typically intended to resolve relatively
short-term noncompliance events that
can be remedied and that do not reflect
a fundamental inability to comply.
Response: As discussed in section
XII.F and elsewhere in this preamble,
the EPA has made several adjustments
and provided several mechanisms in
this final rule that have the effect of or
are expressly intended to provide grid
operators and reliability authorities
methods to address grid reliability. For
example, the EPA is providing that
states may include in their state plans
a short-term reliability mechanism that
allows affected EGUs to comply with an
emission limitation corresponding to
their baseline emission rate during
periods of grid emergency. For further
detail, see section XII.F.3.a of this
preamble. This mechanism is intended
to allow states to respond quickly to
emergency situations, and to avoid
affected EGUs being out of compliance
or needing to work towards compliance
through an ACO. Considering the
structural changes the EPA has made in
these final emission guidelines and the
mechanisms it is providing states to
address grid reliability, the EPA does
not believe that states and affected EGUs
will need to rely on ACOs to address
compliance during periods of grid
emergency.
Finally, as explained in section VII.B
of this preamble, coal-fired steam
generating EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operating before
January 1, 2032, are not covered by
these emission guidelines, i.e., they are
not affected EGUs. However, to
maintain the environmental integrity of
these emission guidelines, it is critical
that any existing sources that are
operating as of January 1, 2032, are
doing so subject to a requirement to
operate more cleanly, and therefore
essential that sources report on their
actions to qualify for the exemption. As
explained in the preamble to the
proposed rule and section X.C.4 of this
preamble, there are many steps the
owners or operators of EGUs must take
as they get ready to permanently cease
operations and those steps vary between
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units and jurisdictions. Procession in a
timely manner through these steps is the
best indicator the EPA has of whether or
not an existing source remains qualified
for an exemption from these emission
guidelines. Should a source’s plans to
cease operating change, e.g., because the
relevant planning authority has called
on it to remain in operation for
reliability or resource adequacy, the
state, the public, and the EPA need to
be aware of that change as soon as
possible in order to appropriately
address the source under these emission
guidelines. The EPA therefore believes
that having sources that plan to cease
operation before January 1, 2032, report
to the Agency on the steps they have
taken towards doing so is critical to
ensuring that those sources remain
qualified for the exemption and thus to
maintaining the environmental integrity
of these emission guidelines.
The EPA is requiring existing coalfired steam generating EGUs that are in
existence as of the date of a state plan
submission but plan to cease operating
before January 1, 2032, to comply with
certain reporting requirements pursuant
to CAA section 114(a). Among other
things, this provision gives the EPA
authority to require recordkeeping and
reporting of sources for the purpose of
‘‘developing or assisting in the
development of any implementation
plan under . . . section 7411(d) of this
title[ or] any standard of performance
under section 7411 of this title,’’
‘‘determining whether any person is in
violation of any such standard of any
requirement of such a plan,’’ or
‘‘carrying out any provision of this
chapter.’’ Owners or operators of coalfired steam generating EGUs that would
be covered by these emission guidelines
but for their plans to permanently cease
operating are required to make reports
necessary to ascertain whether they will
in fact qualify for the exemption. This
reporting obligation is necessary for
preserving the integrity of the rule, and
is consistent with ensuring that states
develop plans that include standards of
performance for all existing sources and
for anticipating whether a state plan
may need to be revised to include a
standard of performance for an existing
source that will not be eligible for an
exemption from these emission
guidelines.971
971 The milestone reporting requirements for
affected coal-fired steam generating EGUs in the
medium-term subcategory and those relying on a
shorter remaining useful life for a less-stringent
standard of performance pursuant to RULOF are
authorized under both CAA sections 114(a) and
111(d)(1), the latter of which provides that state
plans shall provide for the implementation and
enforcement of standards of performance. In that
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The reporting requirements the EPA is
promulgating for sources that plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032, are similar to the
reporting requirements the Agency is
requiring for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating affected EGUs and
affected EGUs relying on a shorter
remaining useful life for a less-stringent
standard of performance through
RULOF. Those requirements are
described in section X.C.4 of this
preamble and require the definition of
milestones tailored to individual units
which are then embedded in periodic
reporting requirements to assess
progress toward the cessation of
operations. However, consistent with
CAA section 114, the requirements for
sources that are exempt from these
emission guidelines are limited to
reporting and do not include the
establishment of milestones. Thus, the
requirements are as follows: Five years
before any planned date to permanently
cease operations or by the date upon
which state plan is submitted,
whichever is later, the owner or
operator of the EGU must submit an
initial report to the EPA that includes
the following: (1) A summary of the
process steps required for the EGU to
permanently cease operation by the date
included in the state plan, including the
approximate timing and duration of
each step and any notification
requirements associated with
deactivation of the unit. These process
steps may include, e.g., initial notice to
the relevant reliability authority of the
deactivation date and submittal of an
official retirement filing (or equivalent
filing) made to the EGU’s reliability
authority. (2) Supporting regulatory
documents, including correspondence
and official filings with the relevant
regional RTO, ISO, balancing authority,
PUC, or other applicable authority; any
deactivation-related reliability
assessments conducted by the RTO or
ISO; and any filings pertaining to the
EGU with the SEC or notices to
investors, including but not limited to
references in forms 10–K and 10–Q, in
which the plans for the EGU are
mentioned; any integrated resource
plans and PUC orders referring to or
approving the EGU’s deactivation; any
reliability analyses developed by the
RTO, ISO, or relevant reliability
authority in response to the EGU’s
deactivation notification; any
notification from a reliability authority
that the EGU may be needed for
reliability purposes notwithstanding the
case, reporting requirements are necessary to ensure
that the predicate conditions for the sources’
standards of performance are satisfied.
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EGU’s intent to deactivate; and any
notification to or from an RTO, ISO, or
relevant reliability authority altering the
timing of deactivation for the EGU.
For each of the remaining years prior
to the date by which an EGU has
committed to permanently cease
operations, the operator or operator of
an EGU must submit an annual status
report to the EPA that includes: (1)
Progress on each of the process steps
identified in the initial report; and (2)
supporting regulatory documents,
including correspondence and official
filings with the relevant RTO, balancing
authority, PUC, or other applicable
authority to demonstrate progress
toward all steps; and (3) regulatory
documents, and relevant SEC filings
(listed in the preceding paragraph) that
have been issued, filed or received since
the prior report.
The EPA is also requiring that EGUs
that plan to permanently cease
operation by January 1, 2032, submit a
final report to the EPA no later than 6
months following its committed closure
date. This report would document any
actions that the unit has taken
subsequent to ceasing operation to
ensure that such cessation is permanent,
including any regulatory filings with
applicable authorities or
decommissioning plans.
2. Timing of State Plan Submissions
The EPA proposed a state plan
submission deadline that is 24 months
from the date of publication of the final
emission guidelines, which, at that time
was 9 months longer than the default
state plan submission timeline in the
proposed 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba
implementing regulations. The EPA
finalized subpart Ba with a default
timeline of 18 months for state plan
submissions, 40 CFR 60.23a(a)(1);
regardless, the EPA is superseding
subpart Ba’s timeline under these
emission guidelines and is requiring
that state plans be submitted 24 months
after publication of this final rule in the
Federal Register.
As discussed in the preamble to the
proposed rule,972 these emission
guidelines apply to a relatively complex
source category and state plan
development will require significant
analysis, consultation, and coordination
between states, utilities, reliability
authorities, and the owners or operators
of individual affected EGUs. The power
sector is subject to layers of regulatory
and other requirements under different
authorities (e.g., environmental, electric
reliability, SEC) and the decisions states
make under these emission guidelines
972 88
PO 00000
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will necessarily have to accommodate
overlapping considerations and
processes. States’ plan development
may have to integrate decision making
by not only the relevant air agency or
agencies, but also ISOs, RTOs, or other
balancing authorities. While 18 months
is a reasonable timeframe to
accommodate state plan development
for source categories that do not require
this level of coordination, the EPA does
not believe it is reasonable to expect
states and affected EGUs to undertake
the coordination and planning
necessary to ensure that plans for
implementing these emission guidelines
are consistent with the broader needs
and trajectory of the power sector
within the default period provided
under subpart Ba.
However, there are also notable
differences between the circumstances
of the proposed versus these final
emission guidelines that are relevant to
the state plan submission timeline.
First, the EPA is not finalizing emission
guidelines applicable to combustion
turbine EGUs, which will significantly
decrease the number of affected EGUs
that states must address in their plans.
Relative to proposal, there are
approximately 184 fewer individual
units to which these emission
guidelines will apply (based on
information at the time of the final rule),
and the final emission guidelines do not
include co-firing with low-GHG
hydrogen as a BSER. The analytical and
other burdens associated with state
planning will thus be significantly
lighter than anticipated at proposal, as
states will have to address not only
fewer sources but also a smaller
universe of potential control strategies.
Additionally, as explained in section
VII.B.1 of this preamble, these final
emission guidelines do not apply to
existing coal-fired EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2032. While under the
proposed emission guidelines states
would have had to establish standards
of performance for every existing source
operating as of January 1, 2030, states
will be able to forgo addressing a subset
of these existing sources under this final
rule.
In addition to states needing to
address far fewer existing sources in
their state plans than anticipated under
the proposed emission guidelines, it is
also not expected that the owners or
operators of sources will begin
implementation of control strategies
before state plan submission. At
proposal the EPA believed that some
owners or operators of affected EGUs
would do feasibility and FEED studies
for CCS during state plan development,
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i.e., before state plan submission. For
other affected coal-fired EGUs, the EPA
anticipated that owners or operators
would undertake certain planning,
design, and permitting steps prior to
state plan submission.973 In developing
these final emission guidelines, the EPA
changed its earlier assumption that
states and affected EGUs would take
significant steps towards planning and
implementing control strategies prior to
state plan submission. There are certain
preliminary steps, such as an initial
feasibility study, that the EPA expects
that states and/or affected EGUs will
undertake as a typical part of the state
planning process. Under any rule or
circumstances, it would not be
reasonable for a state to commit an
affected EGU to installation and
operation of a certain control technology
without undertaking at least an initial
assessment of that technology—this is
what is accomplished by feasibility
studies. However, while the Agency
believes that some sources are currently
or will be undertaking FEED studies or
other significant steps towards
implementing pollution controls
independent of these emission
guidelines at earlier times, the EPA is
not assuming when setting the
compliance deadline that EGUs will be
taking such steps prior to the existence
of a state law requirement to do so (i.e.,
prior to state plan adoption and
submission).
The EPA received a number of
comments on the proposed 24-month
timeline for state plan submissions,
which are discussed in detail below. As
a general matter, many of these
comments requested a longer timeframe
for developing and submitting state
plans. However, given that the number
of affected EGUs state plans will have to
cover under these final emission
guidelines is very likely to be
significantly lower than anticipated
based on the proposal and that the EPA
is not expecting states or owners or
operators of affected EGUs to conduct
FEED studies or otherwise start work on
implementation prior to state plan
submission, the EPA continues to
believe that 24 months is an appropriate
timeframe. Additionally, as discussed in
the preamble to the recent revisions to
the 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba
implementing regulations, the EPA’s
approach to timelines for state plan
submission and review under CAA
section 111(d) is informed by the need
to minimize the impacts of emissions of
dangerous air pollutants on public
health and welfare by proceeding as
expeditiously and as reasonably
possible while accommodating the time
needed for states to develop an effective
plan.974 To this end, the EPA is
promulgating a timeframe for state plan
submissions that is based on the
minimum administrative time that is
reasonably necessary given the need for
states and owners or operators of
affected EGUs to coordinate with
reliability authorities in the
development of state plans. In this case,
the EPA believes that providing an
additional 6 months beyond subpart
Ba’s 18 months for state plan
submissions is sufficient to
accommodate this additional
coordination, particularly given that the
number of affected EGUs that states will
be addressing in their plans is far fewer
than expected under the proposed
emission guidelines.
Comment: Several commenters
supported the EPA’s proposed 24-month
timeframe for state plan submissions
and stressed the importance of
achieving emission reductions as
quickly as possible. Commenters also
noted that, based on anecdotal evidence,
24 months is generally sufficient to
incorporate legislative, regulatory, and
other administrative procedures
associates with submitting state plans.
Many commenters, however, requested
that the EPA provide additional time for
states to develop and submit their state
plans; many requested 36 months with
some commenters asserting that even
more time would be required.
Commenters asking for a longer
timeframe cited reasons including the
size of states’ EGU fleets and the
specific BSERs proposed for certain
subcategories (i.e., CCS and hydrogen
co-firing), the need for owners or
operators of affected EGUs to conduct
systems analyses and update their
integrated resource plans (IRPs) prior to
making final decisions for state plans,
and the need for states to get their
choices approved by the appropriate
reliability and other regulatory
commissions.
Response: As explained above, the
EPA has made a number of changes in
these final emission guidelines that
have the effect of decreasing the
planning burden on states, including
not finalizing requirements for
combustion turbine EGUs, exempting
coal-fired EGUs that plan to cease
operating by January 1, 2032, finalizing
fewer subcategories for coal-fired EGUs,
and not finalizing the subcategory for
coal-fired EGUs that was based on
utilization level. In general, these
changes will decrease the number of
974 See,
973 88
FR 33240, 33402 (May 23, 2023).
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units that state plans must address and
also decrease the number and
complexity of decisions states must
make with regard to those units.
Furthermore, 24 months is sufficient
time for states to complete the steps
necessary to develop and submit a state
plan. Owners and operators are already
or should already be considering how
they will operate in a future
environment where sources operating
more cleanly are valued more. The EPA
expects that states are already working
or will work closely with the operators
and operators of affected EGUs as those
owners and operators update their IRPs
and proceed through any necessary
processes with, e.g., PUCs and
reliability authorities. Thus, the Agency
expects that consultation with and
between owners and operators, PUCs,
and reliability authorities is currently
ongoing and will remain so throughout
state plan development and
implementation. Against this backdrop
of ongoing planning and consultation,
the EPA’s obligation in these emission
guidelines is to ensure that state plan
development and submission occurs
within a timeframe consistent with the
‘‘adherence to [the EPA’s] 2015 finding
of an urgent need to counteract the
threats posed by unregulated carbon
dioxide emissions from coal-fired power
plants.’’ 975 The timeframe the EPA is
providing for state plan development
upfront coupled with the long lead
times it is providing for compliance
with standards of performance provides
states and owners or operators ample
time to ensure the orderly
implementation of the control
requirements under these emission
guidelines.
Comment: Several commenters
asserted that the EPA should provide
longer than 24 months for state plan
submissions to provide time for states to
work through their necessary
rulemaking, legislative, and/or
administrative processes. Some
commenters similarly stated that more
than 24 months is needed in order to
accommodate meaningful engagement
on draft state plans.
Response: The default timeline
provided for state plan development
and submission under 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba is 18 months. As the EPA
acknowledged when it promulgated this
timeframe, state regulatory and
legislative processes and resources can
vary significantly and influence the time
needed to develop and submit state
plans.976 However, the CAA contains
975 Am. Lung Ass’n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 914, 994
(D.C. Cir. 2021).
976 88 FR 80480, 80488 (November 17, 2023).
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numerous, long-standing requirements
under other programs for states to
develop and submit plans in 18 or fewer
months. The EPA therefore believes that
states should be well positioned to
accommodate an 18-month state plan
submission timeframe, let alone at 24month timeframe, from the perspective
of the timing of state processes. The
Agency does not believe it would be
reasonable or consistent with CAA
section 111’s purpose of reducing air
pollution that endangers public health
and the environment to extend state
plan submission deadlines to defer to
lengthy state administrative processes.
Similarly, the EPA believes that 24
months provides sufficient time for
states to conduct meaningful
engagement with pertinent stakeholders
under these emission guidelines. As
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this
preamble, the EPA is providing
additional information in these final
emission guidelines that states may use
to inform their meaningful engagement
strategies and that can help them to
fulfill their obligations in a timely and
diligent fashion. For example, the EPA
has noted a number of types of
stakeholder communities to assist states
in identifying their pertinent
stakeholders. It has also provided
information and tools that states may
use in considering options for state
plans, including facility-specific
information on air emissions and the
potential emissions implications of
installing CCS. Commenters also
pointed out that several states have
recently adopted regulations, programs,
and tools relevant to identifying
pertinent stakeholders and conducting
meaningful engagement; such programs
and tools, in addition to states’ growing
body of knowledge and experience
pursuant to state initiatives and
priorities, will aid states and
stakeholders alike in conducting robust
meaningful engagement in the
timeframe for state plan development.
3. State Plan Revisions
As discussed in the preamble of the
proposed action, the EPA expects that
the 24-month state plan submission
deadline for these emission guidelines
would give states, utilities and
independent power producers, and
stakeholders sufficient time to
determine into which subcategory each
of the affected EGUs should fall and to
formulate and submit a state plan
accordingly. However, the EPA also
acknowledges that, despite states’ best
efforts to accurately reflect the plans of
owners or operators with regard to
affected EGUs at the time of state plan
submission, such plans may
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subsequently change. In general, states
have the authority and discretion to
submit revised state plans to the EPA for
approval.977 State plan revisions are
generally subject to the same
requirements as initial state plan
submissions under these emission
guidelines and the subpart Ba
implementing regulations, including
meaningful engagement, and the EPA
reviews state plan revisions against the
applicable requirements of these
emission guidelines and the subpart Ba
implementing regulations in the same
manner in which it reviews initial state
plan submissions pursuant to 40 CFR
60.27a. Requirements of the initial state
plan approved by the EPA remain
federally enforceable unless and until
the EPA approves a plan revision that
supersedes such requirements. States
and affected EGUs should plan
accordingly to avoid noncompliance.
The EPA is finalizing a state plan
submission date that is 24 months after
the publication of the final emission
guidelines and is finalizing the first
compliance date for affected coal-fired
EGUs in the medium-term subcategory
and affected natural gas- and oil-fired
EGUs of January 1, 2030. A state may
choose to submit a plan revision prior
to the compliance dates in its existing
state plan; however, the EPA reiterates
that any already approved federally
enforceable requirements, including
milestones, increments of progress, and
standards of performance, will remain
in place unless and until the EPA
approves the plan revision.
The EPA requested comment on
whether it would be helpful to states to
impose a cutoff date for the submission
of plan revisions before the first
compliance date. This would, in effect,
establish a temporary moratorium on
plan submissions in order to allow the
EPA to act on the plans. State plan
revisions would again be permitted after
the final compliance date. The EPA is
not finalizing such cutoff date to
provide more flexibility to states in
submitting revisions closer to the first
compliance date, in the case that EPA
may be able to review those revisions
before the first compliance date.
Comment: Several commenters
generally disagreed with establishing a
cutoff date for state plan revisions
before the first compliance date, arguing
these timelines would be unworkable
because state plan revisions may require
public notice and stakeholder
engagement.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing
an explicit cutoff date that would in
effect establish a temporary moratorium
977 40
PO 00000
CFR 60.23a(a)(2), 60.28a.
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39999
on plan submissions; however, the EPA
notes that, because the first compliance
date under the final emission guidelines
is January 1, 2030, a plan revision
submitted after November 1, 2028
(taking into consideration 1 year for
EPA action on a state plan revision plus
up to 60 days, approximately, for a
completeness determination) may not
provide sufficient time for the EPA to
review and approve the plan sufficiently
in advance of that compliance date to
allow sources to appropriately plan for
compliance. The EPA reiterates that
EGUs will be expected to comply with
any requirements already approved in
the state plan until such time as the plan
revision is approved.
4. Dual-Path Standards of Performance
for Affected EGUs
As discussed in the proposed action,
under the structure of these emission
guidelines, states would assign affected
coal-fired EGUs to subcategories in their
state plans, and an affected EGU would
not be able to change its applicable
subcategory without a state plan
revision. This is because, due to the
nature of the BSERs for coal-fired steam
generating units, an affected EGU that
switches into either the medium-term or
long-term subcategory may not be able
to meet the compliance obligations for
a new and different subcategory without
considerable lead time; in order to
ensure timely emission reductions, it is
important that states identify which
subcategories affected EGUs fall into in
their state plan submissions so that
affected EGUs have certainty about their
expected regulatory obligations.
Therefore, as a general matter, states
must assign each affected EGU to a
subcategory and have in place all the
legal instruments necessary to
implement the requirements for that
subcategory by the time of state plan
submission.
However, the EPA also solicited
comment on a dual-path approach that
would allow coal-fired steam generating
units to have two different standards of
performance submitted to the EPA in a
state plan based on potential inclusion
in two different subcategories. This
proposal was based in large part on the
proposed structure of the subcategories
for coal-fired affected EGUs, under
which it would have been realistic to
expect that sources could prepare to
comply with either the presumptive
standard of performance for, e.g., the
imminent-term subcategory and the
near-term subcategory or the imminentterm subcategory and the medium-term
subcategory.
Because the final emission guidelines
include only two subcategories for coal-
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fired affected EGUs and do not include
the two subcategories for which the
dual-path approach would have been
appropriate, the EPA is not finalizing an
approach that allows coal-fired steam
generating units to have two different
standards of performance submitted to
the EPA in a state plan based on
potential inclusion in two different
subcategories.
Comment: In general, commenters
supported a dual-path approach;
however, several commenters requested
that the EPA accommodate a multipathway approach (three or more
pathways) due to the complexity of state
plans and potential for numerous
compliance pathways because of factors
beyond the EGU owner or operator’s
control, such as infrastructure for CCS
projects and increase in electric power
demand due to electrification of the
transportation sector.
Response: As stated above, the EPA is
not finalizing the dual-path approach,
nor a multi-pathway approach. If an
affected EGU wishes to switch
subcategories after the initial state plan
approval, the state should submit a state
plan revision sufficiently in advance of
the compliance date for the subcategory
into which it was assigned to permit the
EPA’s review and action on that plan
revision.
5. EPA Action on State Plans
Pursuant to the final revisions to 40
CFR part 60, subpart Ba, in this action,
the EPA is subject to a 60-day timeline
for the Administrator’s determination of
completeness of a state plan submission
and a 12-month timeline for action on
state plans.978 The timeframes and
requirements for state plan submissions
described in this section also apply to
state plan revisions.979
As discussed in the proposed action,
the EPA would first review the
components of the state plan to
determine whether the plan meets the
completeness criteria of 40 CFR
60.27a(g). The EPA must determine
whether a state plan submission has met
the completeness criteria within 60 days
of its receipt of that submission. If the
EPA has failed to make a completeness
determination for a state plan
submission within 60 days of receipt,
the submission shall be deemed, by
operation of law, complete as of that
date. Subpart Ba requires the EPA to
take final action on a state plan
submission within 12 months of that
submission’s being deemed complete.
The EPA will review the components of
state plan submissions against the
978 40
CFR 60.27a(b), (g)(1).
979 See generally 40 CFR 60.27a.
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applicable requirements of subpart Ba
and these emission guidelines,
consistent with the underlying
requirement that state plans must be
‘‘satisfactory’’ ’ per CAA section 111(d).
The Administrator would have the
option to fully approve; fully
disapprove; partially approve and
partially disapprove; or conditionally
approve a state plan submission.980 Any
components of a state plan submission
that the EPA approves become federally
enforceable.
The EPA solicited comment on the
use of the timeframes regarding EPA
action on state plans in subpart Ba and
commenters encouraged reconsidering
the schedule, suggesting either
increasing or decreasing the amount of
time for action on state plans. In the
final emission guidelines, the EPA is not
superseding the timeframes in subpart
Ba regarding EPA action on state plans
and plan revisions.
Comment: One commenter suggested
that the EPA should provide for
automatic extension of compliance
dates for affected EGUs if the Agency
does not meet its 12-month deadline for
plan approval.981 Other commenters
expressed concerns that the EPA will be
unable to review all plans in the 12month timeframe. One commenter
suggested that the EPA should strive to
review plans in less than the proposed
12-month timeframe.982
Response: The EPA does not believe
it is appropriate to provide automatic
extensions of compliance dates based on
the timeframe for EPA action on state
plan submissions. While there may be
some degree of regulatory uncertainty
that stems from waiting for the Agency
to act on a state plan submission, it
would not be a reasonable solution to
add to that uncertainty by also making
compliance dates contingent on the date
of EPA’s action. This additional
uncertainty could have the effect of
unnecessarily extending the compliance
schedule and delaying emission
reductions. Given that the dates on
which the EPA takes final action on
individual state plans are likely to be
many and varied (based on, inter alia,
when each state plan was submitted to
the Agency), such extensions would
create unnecessary confusion and
potentially uneven application of the
requirements for state plans. In this
action, the EPA does not find a reason
to supersede the timelines finalized in
subpart Ba; therefore, review of and
980 40
CFR 60.27a(b).
Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0660.
982 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0764.
action on state plan submissions will be
governed by the requirements of revised
subpart Ba.
6. Federal Plan Applicability and
Promulgation Timing
The provisions of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba, apply to the EPA’s
promulgation of any Federal plans
under these emission guidelines. The
EPA’s obligation to promulgate a
Federal plan is triggered in three
situations: where a state does not submit
a plan by the plan submission deadline;
where the EPA determines that a state
plan submission does not meet the
completeness criteria and the time
period for state plan submission has
elapsed; and where the EPA fully or
partially disapproves a state’s plan.983
Where a state has failed to submit a plan
by the submission deadline, subpart Ba
gives the EPA 12 months from the state
plan submission due date to promulgate
a Federal plan; otherwise, the 12-month
period starts, as applicable, from the
date the state plan submission is
deemed incomplete or from the date of
the EPA’s disapproval. If the state
submits and the EPA approves a state
plan submission that corrects the
relevant deficiency within the 12-month
period, before the EPA promulgates a
Federal plan, the EPA’s obligation to
promulgate a Federal plan is relieved.984
As provided by 40 CFR 60.27a(e), a
Federal plan will prescribe standards of
performance for affected EGUs of the
same stringency as required by these
emission guidelines and will require
compliance with such standards as
expeditiously as practicable but no later
than the final compliance date under
these guidelines. However, 40 CFR
60.27a(e)(2) provides that, upon
application by the owner or operator of
an affected EGU, the EPA may provide
for the application of a less stringent
standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule than provided by
these emission guidelines, in which
case the EPA would follow the same
process and criteria in the regulations
that apply to states’ provision of RULOF
standards. Under subpart Ba, the EPA is
also required to conduct meaningful
engagement with pertinent stakeholders
prior to promulgating a Federal plan.985
As discussed in section X.E.2 of this
preamble, the EPA is finalizing a
deadline for state plan submissions of
24 months after publication of these
final emission guidelines in the Federal
Register. Therefore, if a state fails to
timely submit a state plan, the EPA
981 See
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983 40
CFR 60.27a(c).
CFR 60.27a(d).
985 40 CFR 60.27a(f).
984 40
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would be obligated to promulgate a
Federal plan within 36 months of
publication of these final emission
guidelines. Note that this will be the
earliest possible obligation for the EPA
to promulgate a Federal plan and that
different triggers (e.g., a disapproved
state plan) will result in later obligations
to promulgate Federal plans for other
states, contingent on when the
obligation is triggered.
Finally, the EPA acknowledges that, if
a Tribe does not seek and obtain the
authority from the EPA to establish a
TIP, the EPA has the authority to
establish a Federal CAA section 111(d)
plan for areas of Indian country where
designated facilities are located. A
Federal plan would apply to all
designated facilities located in the areas
of Indian country covered by the
Federal plan unless and until the EPA
approves an applicable TIP applicable
to those facilities.
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XI. Implications for Other CAA
Programs
A. New Source Review Program
The CAA’s New Source Review (NSR)
preconstruction permitting program
applies to stationary sources that emit
pollutants resulting from new
construction and modifications of
existing sources. The NSR program is
authorized by CAA section 110(a)(2)(C),
which requires that each state
implementation plan (SIP) ‘‘include a
program to provide for the . . .
regulation of the modification and
construction of any stationary source
within the areas covered by the plan as
necessary to assure that [NAAQS] are
achieved, including a permit program as
required in parts C and D [of title I of
the CAA].’’ The ‘‘permit program as
required in parts C and D’’ refers to the
‘‘major NSR’’ program, which applies to
new ‘‘major stationary sources’’ 986 and
‘‘major modifications’’ 987 of existing
stationary sources. The ‘‘minor NSR’’
program applies to new construction
and modifications of stationary sources
that do not meet the emission
thresholds for major NSR. NSR
applicability is pollutant-specific, so a
source seeking to newly construct or
modify may need to obtain both major
NSR and minor NSR permits before it
can begin construction.
Under the CAA, states have primary
responsibility for issuing NSR permits,
and they can customize their programs
within the limits of EPA regulations.
The Federal NSR rules applying to state
986 40
CFR 52.21(b)(1)(i).
CFR 52.21(b)(2)(i) and the term ‘‘net
emissions increase’’ as defined at 40 CFR
52.21(b)(3).
987 40
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permitting authorities are found at 40
CFR 51.160 to 51.166. The EPA’s
primary role is to approve state program
regulations and to review, comment on,
and take any other necessary actions on
draft and final permits to assure
consistency with the EPA’s rules, the
SIP, and the CAA. When a state does not
have EPA-approved authority to issue
NSR permits, the EPA issues the NSR
permits within the state, or delegates
authority to the state to issue the NSR
permits on behalf of the EPA, pursuant
to rules at 40 CFR 49.151–173, 40 CFR
52.21, and 40 CFR 124.
For the major NSR program, the
requirements that apply to a source
depend on the air quality designation at
the location of the source for each of its
emitted pollutants at the time the permit
is issued. Major NSR permits for sources
located in an area that is designated as
attainment or unclassifiable for the
NAAQS for its pollutants are referred to
as Prevention of Significant
Deterioration (PSD) permits. PSD
permits can include requirements for
specific pollutants for which there are
no NAAQS.988 Sources subject to PSD
must, among other requirements,
comply with emission limitations that
reflect the Best Available Control
Technology (BACT) for ‘‘each pollutant
subject to regulation’’ as specified by
CAA sections 165(a)(4) and 169(3).
Major NSR permits for sources located
in nonattainment areas and that emit at
or above the specified major NSR
threshold for the pollutant for which the
area is designated as nonattainment are
referred to as Nonattainment NSR
(NNSR) permits. Sources subject to
NNSR must, among other requirements,
meet the Lowest Achievable Emission
Rate (LAER) pursuant to CAA sections
171(3) and 173(a)(2) for any pollutant
subject to NNSR. For the minor NSR
program, neither the CAA nor the EPA’s
rules set forth a minimum control
technology requirement.
In keeping with the goal of progress
toward attaining the NAAQS, sources
seeking NNSR permits must provide or
purchase ‘‘offsets’’—i.e., decreases in
emissions that compensate for the
increases from the new source or
modification. For sources seeking PSD
permits, offsets are not required, but
they must demonstrate that the
emissions from the project will not
cause or contribute to a violation of the
988 For the PSD program, ‘‘regulated NSR
pollutant’’ includes any pollutant for which a
NAAQS has been promulgated (‘‘criteria
pollutants’’) and any other air pollutant that meets
the requirements of 40 CFR 52.21(b)(50). Some of
these non-criteria pollutants include greenhouse
gases, fluorides, sulfuric acid mist, hydrogen
sulfide, and total reduced sulfur.
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40001
NAAQS or the ‘‘PSD increments’’ (i.e.,
margins of ‘‘significant’’ air quality
deterioration above a baseline
concentration that establish an air
quality ceiling, typically below the
NAAQS, for each PSD area). Sources
can often make this air quality
demonstration based on the BACT level
of control or by accepting more stringent
air quality-based limitations. However,
if these methods are insufficient to show
that increased emissions from the
source will not cause or contribute to a
violation of air quality standards,
applicants may undertake mitigation
measures that are analogous to offsets in
order to satisfy this PSD permitting
criterion.
When the EPA is making NSR
permitting decisions, it has legal
authority to consider potential
disproportionate environmental burdens
on a case-by-case basis. Based on
Executive Order (E.O.) 12898, the EPA’s
Environmental Appeals Board (EAB)
has held that environmental justice
considerations must be considered in
connection with the issuance of Federal
PSD permits issued by EPA Regional
Offices or states acting under
delegations of Federal authority. The
EAB ‘‘has . . . encouraged permit
issuers to examine any ‘superficially
plausible’ claim that a minority or lowincome population may be
disproportionately affected by a
particular facility.’’ 989 EPA guidance
and EAB decisions do not advise EPA
Regional Offices or delegated NSR
permitting authorities to integrate
environmental justice considerations
into any particular component of the
PSD permitting review, such as the
determination of BACT. The practice of
EPA Regional Offices and delegated
states has been to conduct a largely
freestanding environmental justice
analysis for PSD permits that can take
into account case-specific factors
germane to any individual permit
decision.
The minimum requirements for an
approvable state NSR permitting
program do not require state permitting
authorities to reflect environmental
justice considerations in their
permitting decisions. However, states
that implement NSR programs under an
EPA-approved SIP have discretion to
consider environmental justice in their
NSR permitting actions and adopt
additional requirements in the
permitting decision to address potential
disproportionate environmental
burdens. Additionally, in some cases, a
989 In re Shell Gulf of Mexico, Inc., 15 E.A.D. 103,
149 and n.71 (EAB 2010) (internal citations
omitted).
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state law requires consideration of
environmental justice in the state’s
permitting decisions.
Through the NSR permit review
process, permitting authorities have
requirements for public participation in
decision-making, which provide
discretion for permitting authorities to
provide enhanced engagement for
communities with environmental justice
concerns. This includes opportunities to
enhance environmental justice by
facilitating increased public
participation in the formal permit
consideration process (e.g., by granting
requests to extend public comment
periods, holding multiple public
meetings, or providing translation
services at hearings in areas with
limited English proficiency). The
permitting authority can also take
informal steps to enhance participation
earlier in the process, such as inviting
community groups to meet with the
permitting authority and express their
concerns before a draft permit is issued.
Additionally, in accordance with
CAA 165(a)(2), the PSD regulations
require the permitting authority to
‘‘[p]rovide opportunity for a public
hearing for interested persons to appear
and submit written or oral comments on
the air quality impact of the source,
alternatives to it, the control technology
required, and other appropriate
considerations.’’ 40 CFR 51.166(q)(2)(v).
The ‘‘alternatives’’ and ‘‘other
appropriate considerations’’ language in
CAA 165(a)(2) can be interpreted to
provide the permitting authority with
discretion to incorporate siting and
environmental justice considerations
when issuing PSD permits—specifically,
to impose permit conditions on the
basis of environmental justice
considerations raised in public
comments regarding the air quality
impacts of a proposed source. The EAB
has recognized that consideration of the
need for a facility is within the scope of
CAA 165(a)(2) when a commenter raises
the issue. The EPA has recognized that
this language provides a potential
statutory foundation in the CAA for this
discretion.990 The Federal regulations
for NNSR permits also have an analysis
of alternatives required by CAA
173(a)(5). 40 CFR 51.165(i).
1. Control Technology Reviews for
Major NSR Permits
The statutory and regulatory basis for
a control technology review for a source
undergoing major NSR permitting
990 See Memorandum from Gary S. Guzy, EPA
General Counsel, titled EPA Statutory and
Regulatory Authorities Under Which Environmental
Justice Issues May Be Addressed in Permitting
(December 1, 2000).
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differs from the criteria required in
establishing an NSPS or emission
guidelines. As such, sources that are
permitted under major NSR may have
differing control requirements for a
pollutant than what is required by an
applicable standard under CAA section
111. As noted above, sources permitted
under the minor NSR program do not
have a minimum control technology
standard specified by statute or EPA
rule, so a permitting authority has more
flexibility in its determination of control
technology for aminor NSR permit.
For PSD permits, the permitting
authority must establish emission
limitations based on BACT for each
pollutant that is subject to PSD at the
new major stationary source or at each
emissions unit involved in the major
modification. BACT is assessed on a
case-by-case basis, and the permitting
authority, in its analysis of BACT for
each pollutant, evaluates the emission
reductions that each available
emissions-reducing technology or
technique would achieve, as well as the
energy, environmental, economic, and
other costs associated with each
technology or technique. The CAA also
specifies that BACT cannot be less
stringent than any applicable standard
of performance under the NSPS.991
In conducting a BACT analysis, many
permitting authorities apply the EPA’s
five-step ‘‘top-down’’ approach, which
the EPA recommends to ensure that all
the criteria in the CAA’s definition of
BACT are considered. This approach
begins with the permitting authority
identifying all available control options
that have the potential for practical
application for the regulated NSR
pollutant and emissions unit under
evaluation. The analysis then evaluates
each option and eliminates options that
are technically infeasible, ranks the
remaining options from most to least
effective, evaluates the energy,
environmental, economic impacts, and
other costs of the options, eliminates
options that are not achievable based on
these considerations from the top of the
list down, and ultimately selects the
most effective remaining option as
BACT.992
991 42 U.S.C. 7479(3) (‘‘In no event shall
application of ‘best available control technology’
result in emissions of any pollutants which will
exceed the emissions allowed by any applicable
standard established pursuant to [CAA Section 111
or 112].’’).
992 For more information on EPA’s recommended
BACT approach, see U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, New Source Review Workshop Manual
(October 1990; Draft) at https://www.epa.gov/sites/
default/files/2015-07/documents/1990wman.pdf
and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, PSD
and Title V Permitting Guidance for Greenhouse
Gases (March 2011; EPA–457/B–11–001) at https://
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While the BACT review process is
intended to capture a broad array of
potential options for pollution control,
the EPA has recognized that the list of
available control options need not
necessarily include inherently lower
polluting processes that would
fundamentally redefine the nature of the
source proposed by the permit
applicant. Thus, BACT should generally
not be applied to regulate the permit
applicant’s purpose or objective for the
proposed facility. However, this
approach does not preclude a permitting
authority from considering options that
would change aspects (either minor or
significant) of an applicants’ proposed
facility design in order to achieve
pollutant reductions that may or may
not be deemed achievable after further
evaluation at later steps of the process.
The EPA does not interpret the CAA to
prohibit fundamentally redefining the
source and has recognized that
permitting authorities have the
discretion to conduct a broader BACT
analysis if they desire. The ‘‘redefining
the source’’ issue is ultimately a
question of degree that is within the
discretion of the permitting authority,
and any decision to exclude an option
on ‘‘redefining the source’’ grounds
should be explained and documented in
the permit record.
In conducting the analysis of energy,
environmental and economic impacts
arising from each control option
remaining under consideration,
permitting authorities have considerable
discretion in deciding the specific form
of the BACT analysis and the weight to
be given to the particular impacts under
consideration. The EPA and other
permitting authorities have most often
used this analysis to eliminate more
stringent control technologies with
significant or unusual effects that are
unacceptable in favor of the less
stringent technologies with more
acceptable collateral environmental
effects. Permitting authorities may
consider a wide variety of
environmental impacts in this analysis,
such as solid or hazardous waste
generation, discharges of polluted water
from a control device, visibility impacts,
demand on local water resources, and
emissions of other pollutants subject to
NSR or pollutants not regulated under
NSR such as air toxics. A permitting
authority could place more weight on
the collateral environmental effect of a
control alternative on local
communities—e.g., if emission increases
of co-pollutants from operating the
control device may disproportionately
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/
documents/ghgguid.pdf.
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affect a minority or low-income
population—which may result in the
permitting authority eliminating that
control option and ultimately selecting
a less stringent control technology for
the target pollutant as BACT because it
has more acceptable collateral impacts.
In addition, this analysis may extend
to considering reduced, or excessive,
energy or environmental impacts of the
control alternative at an offsite location
that is in support the operation of the
facility obtaining the permit. For
example, in the case of a facility that
proposes to co-fire its new stationary
combustion turbines with hydrogen
procured from an offsite production
facility, a permitting authority may
determine it is appropriate to weigh
favorably a control option that involves
co-firing with hydrogen produced from
low-GHG emitting processes, such as
electrolysis powered by renewable
energy, to recognize the reduced
environmental impact of producing the
fuel for the control option.
For NNSR permits, the statutory
requirement for establishing LAER is
more prescriptive and, consequently,
tends to provide less discretion to
permitting authorities than the
discretion allowed under BACT. For
new major stationary sources and major
modifications in nonattainment areas,
LAER is defined as the most stringent
emission limitation required under a
SIP or achieved in practice for a class or
category of sources. Thus, unlike BACT,
the LAER requirement does not consider
economic, energy, or other
environmental factors, except that LAER
is not considered achievable if the cost
of control is so great that a major new
stationary source could not be built or
operated.993 As with BACT
determinations, a determination of
LAER cannot be less stringent than any
applicable NSPS.994
2. NSR Implications of the NSPS
Any source that is planning to install
a new or reconstructed EGU that meets
the applicability of this final NSPS will
likely require an NSR permit prior to its
construction. In addition to including
conditions for GHG emissions, the NSR
permit would contain emission
limitations for the non-GHG pollutants
emitted by the new or reconstructed
EGU. Depending on the level of
emissions for each pollutant, the source
may require a major NSR permit, minor
NSR permit, or a combination of both
types of permits.
993 New Source Review Workshop Manual
(October 1990; Draft), page G.4.
994 42 U.S.C. 7501(3); 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(xiii); 40
CFR part 51, appendix S, section II.A.18.
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As GHGs are regulated pollutants
under the PSD program, this NSPS
serves as the minimum level of control
in determining BACT for any new major
stationary source or major modification
that meets the applicability of this NSPS
and commences construction on its
affected EGU(s) after the date of
publication of the proposed NSPS in the
Federal Register. However, as explained
above, the fact that a minimum control
requirement for BACT is established by
an applicable NSPS does not mean that
a permitting authority cannot select a
more stringent control level for the PSD
permit or consider control technologies
for BACT beyond those that were
considered in developing the NSPS. The
authority for BACT is separate from that
of BSER, and it requires a case-by-case
review of a specific stationary source at
the time its owner or operator applies
for a PSD permit. Accordingly, the
BACT analysis for a source with an
applicable NSPS should reflect sourcespecific factors and any advances in
control technology, reductions in the
costs or other impacts of using
particular control strategies, or other
relevant information that may have
become available after the EPA issued
the NSPS.
3. NSR Implications of the Emission
Guidelines
With respect to the final emission
guidelines, each state will develop a
plan that establishes standards of
performance for each affected EGU in
the state that meets the applicability
criteria of this emission guidelines. In
doing so, a state agency may develop a
plan that requires an existing stationary
source to undertake a physical or
operational change. Under the NSR
program, when a stationary source
undertakes a physical or operational
change, even if it is doing so to comply
with a national or state level
requirement, the source may need to
obtain a preconstruction NSR permit,
with the type of permit (i.e., NNSR,
PSD, or minor NSR) depending on the
amount of the emissions increase
resulting from the change and the air
quality designation at the location of the
source for its emitted pollutants.
However, since emission guidelines are
intended to reduce emissions at an
existing stationary source, a NSR permit
may not be needed to perform the
physical or operational change required
by the state plan if the change will not
increase emissions at the source.
As noted elsewhere in this preamble,
sources that will be complying with
their state plan’s standards of
performance by installing and operating
CCS could experience criteria pollutant
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40003
emission increases that may result in
the source triggering major NSR
requirements. If a source with an
affected EGU does trigger major NSR
requirements for one or more pollutants
as a result of complying with its
standards of performance, the
permitting authority would conduct a
control technology review (i.e., BACT or
LAER, as appropriate) for each of the
pollutants and require that the source
comply with the other applicable major
NSR requirements. As noted in section
VII of this preamble, in light of concerns
expressed by stakeholders over possible
co-pollutant increases from CCS retrofit
projects, the EPA plans to review its
NSR guidance and determine how it can
be updated to better assist permit
applicants and permitting authorities in
conducting BACT reviews for sources
that intend to install CCS.
States may also establish the
standards of performance in their plans
in such a way so that their affected
sources, in complying with those
standards, in fact would not have
emission increases that trigger major
NSR requirements. To achieve this, the
state would need to conduct an analysis
consistent with the NSR regulatory
requirements that supports its
determination that as long as affected
sources comply with the standards of
performance, their emissions would not
increase in a way that trigger major NSR
requirements. For example, a state
could, as part of its state plan, develop
enforceable conditions for a source
expected to trigger major NSR that
would effectively limit the unit’s ability
to increase its emissions in amounts that
would trigger major NSR (effectively
establishing a synthetic minor
limitation).995 Some commenters
asserted that base load units may not be
able to readily rely on this option to
limit their emission increases given the
need for those units to respond to
demand and maintain grid reliability. In
these cases, states may adopt other
strategies in their state plans to ensure
that base load units have the needed
flexibility to operate and do so without
triggering major NSR requirements.
995 Certain stationary sources that emit or have
the potential to emit a pollutant at a level that is
equal to or greater than specified thresholds are
subject to major source requirements. See, e.g., CAA
sections 165(a)(1), 169(1), 501(2), 502(a). A
synthetic minor limitation is a legally and
practicably enforceable restriction that has the
effect of limiting emissions below the relevant level
and that a source voluntarily obtains to avoid major
stationary source requirements, such as the PSD or
title V permitting programs. See, e.g., 40 CFR
52.21(b)(4), 51.166(b)(4), 70.2 (definition of
‘‘potential to emit’’).
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B. Title V Program
Title V regulations require each
permit to include emission limitations
and standards, including operational
requirements and limitations that assure
compliance with all applicable
requirements. Requirements resulting
from these rules that are imposed on
EGUs or other potentially affected
entities that have title V operating
permits are applicable requirements
under the title V regulations and would
need to be incorporated into the
source’s title V permit in accordance
with the schedule established in the
title V regulations. For example, if the
permit has a remaining life of 3 years or
more, a permit reopening to incorporate
the newly applicable requirement shall
be completed no later than 18 months
after promulgation of the applicable
requirement. If the permit has a
remaining life of less than 3 years, the
newly applicable requirement must be
incorporated at permit renewal.996
Additionally, proceedings to reopen and
issue a permit shall follow the same
procedures that apply to initial permit
issuance and only affect the parts of the
permit for which cause to reopen exists.
The reopening of permits is expected to
be made as expeditiously as possible.997
In the proposal, the EPA also
indicated that if a state needs to include
provisions related to the state plan in a
source’s title V permit before submitting
the plan to the EPA, these limits should
be labeled as ‘‘state-only’’ or ‘‘not
federally enforceable’’ until the EPA has
approved the state plan. The EPA
solicited comments on whether, and
under what circumstances, states might
use this mechanism. While no specific
comments were received on this point,
the EPA would like to further clarify
that in finalizing this direction, the
intention is to ensure that meaningful
public participation is available during
the development of a state plan, rather
than limiting engagement to the
permitting process. While the public
would have the opportunity to comment
on the individual permit provisions,
this would not allow for the opportunity
to comment on the plan as a whole
before it is finalized.
XII. Summary of Cost, Environmental,
and Economic Impacts
In accordance with E.O. 12866 and
13563, the guidelines of the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB)
Circular A–4 and the EPA’s Guidelines
for Preparing Economic Analyses, the
EPA prepared an RIA for these final
actions. The RIA is separate from the
EPA’s statutory BSER determinations
and did not influence the EPA’s choice
of BSER for any of the regulated source
categories or subcategories. This RIA
presents the expected economic
consequences of the EPA’s final rules,
including analysis of the benefits and
costs associated with the projected
emission reductions for three
illustrative scenarios. The first scenario
represents the final NSPS and emission
guidelines in combination. The second
and third scenarios represent different
stringencies of the combined policies.
All three illustrative scenarios are
compared against a single baseline. For
detailed descriptions of the three
illustrative scenarios and the baseline,
see section 1 of the RIA, which is titled
‘‘Regulatory Impact Analysis for the
New Source Performance Standards for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from new,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse
Gas Emissions from Existing Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
and Repeal of the Affordable Clean
Energy Rule’’ and is available in the
rulemaking docket.998
The three scenarios detailed in the
RIA, including the final rules scenario,
are illustrative in nature and do not
represent the plans that states may
ultimately pursue. As there are
considerable flexibilities afforded to
states in developing their state plans,
the EPA does not have sufficient
information to assess specific
compliance measures on a unit-by-unit
basis. Nonetheless, the EPA believes
that such illustrative analysis can
provide important insights.
In the RIA, the EPA evaluates the
potential impacts of the three
illustrative scenarios using the present
value (PV) of costs, benefits, and net
benefits, calculated for the years 2024 to
2047 from the perspective of 2019. In
addition, the EPA presents the
assessment of costs, benefits, and net
benefits for specific snapshot years,
consistent with the Agency’s historic
practice. These specific snapshot years
are 2028, 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045. In
addition to the core benefit-cost
analysis, the RIA also includes analyses
of anticipated economic and energy
impacts, environmental justice impacts,
and employment impacts.
The analysis presented in this
preamble section summarizes key
results of the illustrative final rules
scenario. For detailed benefit-cost
results for the three illustrative
scenarios and results of the variety of
impact analysis just mentioned, please
see the RIA, which is available in the
docket for this action.
It should be noted that for the RIA for
this rulemaking, the EPA undertook the
same approach to determine benefits
and costs as it has generally taken in
prior rulemakings concerning the
electric power sector. It does not rely on
the benefit-cost results included in the
RIA as part of its BSER analysis. Rather,
the BSER analysis considers the BSER
criteria as set out in CAA section
111(a)(1) and the caselaw—including
the costs of the controls to the source,
the amount of emission reductions, and
other criteria—as described in section
V.C.2.
A. Air Quality Impacts
For the analysis of the final rules,
total cumulative power sector CO2
emissions between 2028 and 2047 are
projected to be 1,382 million metric tons
lower under the illustrative final rules
scenario than under the baseline. Table
4 shows projected aggregate annual
electricity sector emission changes for
the illustrative final rules scenario,
relative to the baseline.
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TABLE 4—PROJECTED ELECTRICITY SECTOR EMISSION IMPACTS FOR THE ILLUSTRATIVE FINAL RULES SCENARIO,
RELATIVE TO THE BASELINE
CO2
(million metric
tons)
¥38
2028 .............................................................
996 See
40 CFR 70.7(f)(1)(i).
40 CFR 70.7(f)(2).
998 The EPA also examined the final rules under
a variety of different assumptions regarding
997 See
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Annual NOX
(thousand
short tons)
Ozone season
NOX
(thousand
short tons)
¥20
¥6
demand, gas price, and contemporaneous
rulemakings and determined that those alternative
projections, inclusive of CCS buildout and cost
profiles, would not alter any BSER design
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Annual SO2
(thousand
short tons)
¥34
Direct PM2.5
(thousand
short tons)
¥2
Mercury
(tons)
¥0.1
parameters selected in this action. For further
discussion, see the technical memorandum, IPM
Sensitivity Runs, available in the rulemaking
docket.
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TABLE 4—PROJECTED ELECTRICITY SECTOR EMISSION IMPACTS FOR THE ILLUSTRATIVE FINAL RULES SCENARIO,
RELATIVE TO THE BASELINE—Continued
CO2
(million metric
tons)
2030
2035
2040
2045
Annual NOX
(thousand
short tons)
¥50
¥123
¥54
¥42
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
Ozone season
NOX
(thousand
short tons)
¥20
¥49
¥6
¥24
Annual SO2
(thousand
short tons)
¥7
¥19
¥6
¥14
¥20
¥90
¥4
¥41
Direct PM2.5
(thousand
short tons)
Mercury
(tons)
¥2
¥1
2
¥2
¥0.1
¥0.1
0.2
¥0.2
Note: Ozone season is the May through September period in this analysis.
B. Compliance Cost Impacts
The power industry’s compliance
costs are represented in this analysis as
the change in electric power generation
costs between the baseline and
illustrative scenarios, including the cost
of monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping. In simple terms, these
costs are an estimate of the increased
power industry expenditures required to
comply with the final actions.
The compliance assumptions—and,
therefore, the projected compliance
costs—set forth in this analysis are
illustrative in nature and do not
represent the plans that states may
ultimately pursue. The illustrative final
rules scenario is designed to reflect, to
the extent possible, the scope and
nature of the final rules. However, there
is uncertainty with regards to the
precise measures that states will adopt
to meet the requirements because there
are flexibilities afforded to the states in
developing their state plans.
The IRA is projected to accelerate the
ongoing shift towards lower-emitting
technology. In particular, under the
baseline tax credits for low-emitting
technology results in growing
generation share for renewable
resources and the deployment of 11 GW
of CCS retrofits on existing coal-fired
steam generating units by 2035. New
combined cycle builds are 20 GW by
2030, and existing coal capacity
continues to decline, falling to 84 GW
by 2030 and 31 GW by 2040. Under the
illustrative final rules scenario, the EPA
projects an incremental 8 GW of CCS
retrofits on existing coal-fired steam
generating units by 2035 relative to the
baseline. By 2035, relative to the
baseline, new combined cycle builds are
2 GW lower, new combustion turbine
builds are 10 GW higher, and wind and
solar additions are 15 GW higher. Total
coal capacity is projected to be 73 GW
in 2030 and 19 GW by 2040. As a result,
the compliance cost of the final rules is
lower than it would be absent the IRA.
We estimate the PV of the projected
compliance costs for the analysis of the
final standards for new combustion
turbines and for existing steam
generating EGUs over the 2024 to 2047
period, as well as estimate the
equivalent annual value (EAV) of the
flow of the compliance costs over this
period. The EAV represents a flow of
constant annual values that, had they
occurred annually, would yield a sum
equivalent to the PV. All dollars are in
2019 dollars. We estimate the PV and
EAV using discount rates of 2 percent,
3 percent, and 7 percent.999 The PV of
compliance costs discounted at the 2
percent rate is estimated to be about 19
billion, with an EAV of about 0.98
billion. At the 3 percent rate, the PV of
compliance costs is estimated to be
about 15 billion, with an EAV of about
0.91 billion. At the 7 percent discount
rate, the PV of compliance costs is
estimated to be about 7.5 billion, with
an EAV of about 0.65 billion. To put this
in perspective, this levelized
compliance cost is roughly one percent
of the total projected levelized cost to
produce electricity over the same
timeframe under the baseline.
Section 3 of the RIA presents detailed
discussions of the compliance cost
projections for the final rule
requirements, as well as projections of
compliance costs for less and more
stringent regulatory options.
C. Economic and Energy Impacts
These final actions have economic
and energy market implications. The
energy impact estimates presented here
reflect the EPA’s illustrative analysis of
the final rules. States are afforded
flexibility to implement the final rules,
and thus the estimated impacts could be
different to the extent states make
different choices than those assumed in
the illustrative analysis. In addition, as
discussed in section VII.E.1 of this
preamble, the factors driving these
impacts, including potential revenue
streams for captured carbon, may
change over the next 25 years, leading
the estimated impacts to be different
than reality. Table 5 presents a variety
of energy market impact estimates for
2028, 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045 for the
illustrative final rules scenario, relative
to the baseline.
TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF CERTAIN ENERGY MARKET IMPACTS FOR THE ILLUSTRATIVE FINAL RULES SCENARIO, RELATIVE
TO THE BASELINE
[Percent change]
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
2028 (%)
Retail electricity prices .............................................................................
Average price of coal delivered to power sector .....................................
Coal production for power sector use .....................................................
Price of natural gas delivered to power sector ........................................
Price of average Henry Hub (spot) ..........................................................
999 Results using the 2 percent discount rate were
not included in the proposals for these actions. The
2003 version of OMB’s Circular A–4 had generally
recommended 3 percent and 7 percent as default
rates to discount social costs and benefits. The
analysis of the proposed rules used these two
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recommended rates. In November 2023, OMB
finalized an update to Circular A–4, in which it
recommended the general application of a 2 percent
rate to discount social costs and benefits (subject to
regular updates). The Circular A–4 update also
recommended consideration of the shadow price of
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capital when costs or benefits are likely to accrue
to capital. As a result of the update to Circular A–
4, we include cost and benefits results calculated
using a 2 percent discount rate.
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TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF CERTAIN ENERGY MARKET IMPACTS FOR THE ILLUSTRATIVE FINAL RULES SCENARIO, RELATIVE
TO THE BASELINE—Continued
[Percent change]
2028 (%)
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Natural gas use for electricity generation ................................................
These and other energy market
impacts are discussed more extensively
in section 3 of the RIA.
More broadly, changes in production
in a directly regulated sector may have
effects on other markets when output
from that sector—for these rules,
electricity—is used as an input in the
production of other goods. It may also
affect upstream industries that supply
goods and services to the sector, along
with labor and capital markets, as these
suppliers alter production processes in
response to changes in factor prices. In
addition, households may change their
demand for particular goods and
services due to changes in the price of
electricity and other final goods prices.
Economy-wide models—and, more
specifically, computable general
equilibrium (CGE) models—are
analytical tools that can be used to
evaluate the broad impacts of a
regulatory action. A CGE-based
approach to cost estimation
concurrently considers the effect of a
regulation across all sectors in the
economy.
In 2015, the EPA established a
Science Advisory Board (SAB) panel to
consider the technical merits and
challenges of using economy-wide
models to evaluate costs, benefits, and
economic impacts in regulatory
analysis. In its final report, the SAB
recommended that the EPA begin to
integrate CGE modeling into applicable
regulatory analysis to offer a more
comprehensive assessment of the effects
of air regulations.1000 In response to the
SAB’s recommendations, the EPA
developed a new CGE model called
SAGE designed for use in regulatory
analysis. A second SAB panel
performed a peer review of SAGE, and
the review concluded in 2020.1001
The EPA used SAGE to evaluate
potential economy-wide impacts of
these final rules, and the results are
contained in section 5.2 of the RIA. Note
that SAGE does not currently estimate
changes in emissions nor account for
1000 U.S. EPA. 2017. SAB Advice on the Use of
Economy-Wide Models in Evaluating the Social
Costs, Benefits, and Economic Impacts of Air
Regulations. EPA–SAB–17–012.
1001 U.S. EPA. 2020. Technical Review of EPA’s
Computable General Equilibrium Model, SAGE.
EPA–SAB–20–010.
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environmental benefits. The annualized
social cost estimated in SAGE for the
finalized rules is approximately $1.32
billion (2019 dollars) between 2024 and
2047 using a 4.5 percent discount rate
that is consistent with the internal
discount rate in the model. Under the
assumption that compliance costs from
IPM in 2056 continue until 2081, the
equivalent annualized value for social
costs in the SAGE model is $1.51 billion
(2019 dollars) over the period from 2024
to 2081, again using a 4.5 percent
discount rate that is consistent with the
internal discount rate of the model. The
social cost estimate reflects the
combined effect of the final rules’
requirements and interactions with IRA
subsidies for specific technologies that
are expected to see increased use in
response to the final rules. We are not
able to identify their relative roles
currently.
At proposal, the EPA solicited
comment on the SAGE analysis
presented in the RIA appendix. The
SAGE analysis of the final rules is
responsive to those comments. The
comments received were supportive of
the use of SAGE for estimating
economy-wide social costs and other
economy-wide impacts alongside the
IPM-based cost and benefit estimates.
The comments also suggested a variety
of sensitivity analyses and several
longer-term research goals for improving
the capabilities of SAGE, such as adding
a representation of emissions changes.
For more detailed comment summaries
and responses, see the response to
comments in the docket for these
actions.
Environmental regulation may affect
groups of workers differently, as
changes in abatement and other
compliance activities cause labor and
other resources to shift. An employment
impact analysis describes the
characteristics of groups of workers
potentially affected by a regulation, as
well as labor market conditions in
affected occupations, industries, and
geographic areas. Employment impacts
of these final actions are discussed more
extensively in section 5 of the RIA.
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2
D. Benefits
This section includes the estimated
total benefits and the estimated net
benefits of the final rules.
1. Total Benefits
Pursuant to E.O. 12866, the RIA for
these actions analyzes the benefits
associated with the projected emission
changes under the final rules to inform
the EPA and the public about these
projected impacts. These final rules are
projected to reduce national emissions
of CO2, SO2, NOX, and PM2.5, which we
estimate will provide climate benefits
and public health benefits. The
potential climate, health, welfare, and
water quality impacts of these emission
changes are discussed in detail in the
RIA. In the RIA, the EPA presents the
projected monetized climate benefits
due to reductions in CO2 emissions and
the monetized health benefits
attributable to changes in SO2, NOX, and
PM2.5 emissions, based on the emissions
estimates in illustrative scenarios
described previously. We monetize
benefits of the final rules and evaluate
other costs in part to enable a
comparison of costs and benefits
pursuant to E.O. 12866, but we
recognize that there are substantial
uncertainties and limitations in
monetizing benefits, including benefits
that have not been quantified or
monetized.
We emphasize that the monetized
benefits analysis is entirely distinct
from the statutory BSER determinations
finalized herein and is presented solely
for the purposes of complying with E.O.
12866. As discussed in more detail in
the proposal and earlier in this action,
the EPA weighed the relevant statutory
factors to determine the appropriate
standards and did not rely on the
monetized benefits analysis for
purposes of determining the standards.
E.O. 12866 separately requires the EPA
to perform a benefit-cost analysis,
including monetizing costs and benefits
where practicable, and the EPA has
conducted such an analysis.
The EPA estimates the climate
benefits of GHG emissions reductions
expected from the final rules using
estimates of the social cost of
greenhouse gases (SC–GHG) that reflect
recent advances in the scientific
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literature on climate change and its
economic impacts and that incorporate
recommendations made by the National
Academies of Science, Engineering, and
Medicine.1002 The EPA published and
used these estimates in the RIA for the
Final Oil and Gas Rulemaking,
Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources
and Emissions Guidelines for Existing
Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector
Climate Review, which was signed by
the EPA Administrator on December 2,
2023.1003 The EPA solicited public
comment on the methodology and use
of these estimates in the RIA for the
Agency’s December 2022 Oil and Gas
Supplemental Proposal and has
conducted an external peer review of
these estimates, as described further
below. Section 4 of the RIA lays out the
details of the updated SC–GHG used
within this final rule.
The SC–GHG is the monetary value of
the net harm to society associated with
a marginal increase in GHG emissions in
a given year, or the benefit of avoiding
that increase. In principle, SC–GHG
includes the value of all climate change
impacts (both negative and positive),
including (but not limited to) changes in
net agricultural productivity, human
health effects, property damage from
increased flood risk and natural
disasters, disruption of energy systems,
risk of conflict, environmental
migration, and the value of ecosystem
services. The SC–GHG, therefore,
reflects the societal value of reducing
emissions of the gas in question by 1
metric ton and is the theoretically
appropriate value to use in conducting
benefit-cost analyses of policies that
affect GHG emissions. In practice, data
and modeling limitations restrain the
ability of SC–GHG estimates to include
all physical, ecological, and economic
impacts of climate change, implicitly
assigning a value of zero to the omitted
climate damages. The estimates are,
therefore, a partial accounting of climate
change impacts and likely
underestimate the marginal benefits of
abatement.
Since 2008, the EPA has used
estimates of the social cost of various
greenhouse gases (i.e., SC–CO2, SC–CH4,
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
1002 National
Academies of Sciences, Engineering,
and Medicine (National Academies). 2017. Valuing
Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social
Cost of Carbon Dioxide. National Academies Press.
1003 U.S. EPA. (2023). Supplementary Material for
the Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final
Rulemaking, Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and
Natural Gas Sector Climate Review, ‘‘Report on the
Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates
Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.’’
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
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and SC–N2O), collectively referred to as
the ‘‘social cost of greenhouse gases’’
(SC–GHG), in analyses of actions that
affect GHG emissions. The values used
by the EPA from 2009 to 2016, and since
2021—including in the proposal—have
been consistent with those developed
and recommended by the IWG on the
SC–GHG; and the values used from 2017
to 2020 were consistent with those
required by E.O. 13783, which
disbanded the IWG. During 2015–2017,
the National Academies conducted a
comprehensive review of the SC–CO2
and issued a final report in 2017
recommending specific criteria for
future updates to the SC–CO2 estimates,
a modeling framework to satisfy the
specified criteria, and both near-term
updates and longer-term research needs
pertaining to various components of the
estimation process.1004 The IWG was
reconstituted in 2021 and E.O. 13990
directed it to develop a comprehensive
update of its SC–GHG estimates,
recommendations regarding areas of
decision-making to which SC–GHG
should be applied, and a standardized
review and updating process to ensure
that the recommended estimates
continue to be based on the best
available economics and science going
forward.
The EPA is a member of the IWG and
is participating in the IWG’s work under
E.O. 13990. As noted in previous EPA
RIAs (including in the proposal RIA for
this rulemaking), while that process
continues, the EPA is continuously
reviewing developments in the
scientific literature on the SC–GHG,
including more robust methodologies
for estimating damages from emissions,
and is looking for opportunities to
further improve SC–GHG
estimation.1005 In the December 2022
Oil and Gas Supplemental Proposal
RIA,1006 the Agency included a
sensitivity analysis of the climate
benefits of that rule using a new set of
SC–GHG estimates that incorporates
recent research addressing
recommendations of the National
Academies 1007 in addition to using the
interim SC–GHG estimates presented in
40007
the Technical Support Document:
Social Cost of Carbon, Methane, and
Nitrous Oxide Interim Estimates under
Executive Order 13990 1008 that the IWG
recommended for use until updated
estimates that address the National
Academies’ recommendations are
available.
The EPA solicited public comment on
the sensitivity analysis and the
accompanying draft technical report,
External Review Draft of Report on the
Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases:
Estimates Incorporating Recent
Scientific Advances, which explains the
methodology underlying the new set of
estimates and was included as
supplemental material to the RIA for the
December 2022 Oil and Gas
Supplemental Proposal.1009 The
response to comments document can be
found in the docket for that action.
To ensure that the methodological
updates adopted in the technical report
are consistent with economic theory and
reflect the latest science, the EPA also
initiated an external peer review panel
to conduct a high-quality review of the
technical report, completed in May
2023. The peer reviewers commended
the Agency on its development of the
draft update, calling it a much-needed
improvement in estimating the SC–GHG
and a significant step toward addressing
the National Academies’
recommendations with defensible
modeling choices based on current
science. The peer reviewers provided
numerous recommendations for refining
the presentation and for future modeling
improvements, especially with respect
to climate change impacts and
associated damages that are not
currently included in the analysis.
Additional discussion of omitted
impacts and other updates were
incorporated in the technical report to
address peer reviewer
recommendations. Complete
information about the external peer
review, including the peer reviewer
selection process, the final report with
individual recommendations from peer
reviewers, and the EPA’s response to
each recommendation is available on
1004 Ibid.
1005 The EPA strives to base its analyses on the
best available science and economics, consistent
with its responsibilities, for example, under the
Information Quality Act.
1006 U.S. EPA. (2023). Supplementary Material for
the Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final
Rulemaking, Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and
Natural Gas Sector Climate Review, ‘‘Report on the
Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates
Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.’’
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
1007 Ibid.
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1008 Interagency Working Group on Social Cost of
Carbon (IWG). 2021 (February). Technical Support
Document: Social Cost of Carbon, Methane, and
Nitrous Oxide: Interim Estimates under Executive
Order 13990. United States Government.
1009 Supplementary Material for the Regulatory
Impact Analysis for the Final Rulemaking,
Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed,
and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for
Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector
Climate Review, ‘‘Report on the Social Cost of
Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent
Scientific Advances,’’ Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–
OAR–2021–0317, November 2023.
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
the EPA’s website.1010 An overview of
the methodological updates
incorporated into the new SC–GHG
estimates is provided in the RIA section
4.2. A more detailed explanation of each
input and the modeling process is
provided in the technical report, EPA
Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse
Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent
Scientific Advances.1011
In addition to CO2, these final rules
are expected to reduce annual, national
total emissions of NOX and SO2 and
direct PM2.5. Because NOX and SO2 are
also precursors to secondary formation
of ambient PM2.5, reducing these
emissions would reduce human
exposure to annual average ambient
PM2.5 and would reduce the incidence
of PM2.5-attributable health effects.
These final rules are also expected to
reduce national ozone season NOX
emissions. In the presence of sunlight,
NOX and VOCs can undergo a chemical
reaction in the atmosphere to form
ozone. Reducing NOX emissions in most
locations reduces human exposure to
ozone and the incidence of ozonerelated health effects, though the degree
to which ozone is reduced will depend
in part on local concentration levels of
VOCs. The RIA estimates the health
benefits of changes in PM2.5 and ozone
concentrations. The health effect
endpoints, effect estimates, benefit unitvalues, and how they were selected are
described in the Estimating PM2.5- and
Ozone-Attributable Health Benefits
TSD.1012 Our approach for updating the
endpoints and to identify suitable
epidemiologic studies, baseline
incidence rates, population
demographics, and valuation estimates
is summarized in section 4 of the RIA.
The following PV and EAV estimates
reflect projected benefits over the 2024
to 2047 period, discounted to 2024 in
2019 dollars, for the analysis of the final
rules. We monetize benefits of the final
rules and evaluate other costs in part to
enable a comparison of costs and
benefits pursuant to E.O. 12866, but we
recognize that there are substantial
uncertainties and limitations in
1010 https://www.epa.gov/environmentaleconomics/scghg-tsd-peer-review.
1011 U.S. EPA (2023). Supplementary Material for
the Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final
Rulemaking, Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and
Natural Gas Sector Climate Review, ‘‘Report on the
Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates
Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.’’
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
1012 U.S. EPA. (2023). Estimating PM - and
2.5
Ozone-Attributable Health Benefits. Research
Triangle Park, NC: U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Health and Environmental Impact
Division.
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monetizing benefits, including benefits
that have not been quantified. The
projected PV of monetized climate
benefits is about $270 billion, with an
EAV of about $14 billion using the SC–
CO2 discounted at 2 percent.1013 The
projected PV of monetized health
benefits is about $120 billion, with an
EAV of about $6.3 billion discounted at
2 percent. Combining the projected
monetized climate and health benefits
yields a total PV estimate of about $390
billion and EAV estimate of $21 billion.
At a 3 percent discount rate, these
final rules are expected to generate
projected PV of monetized health
benefits of about $100 billion, with an
EAV of about $6.1 billion. Climate
benefits remain discounted at 2 percent
in this benefits analysis and are
estimated to be about $270 billion, with
an EAV of about $14 billion using the
SC–CO2. Thus, these final rules would
generate a PV of monetized benefits of
about $370 billion, with an EAV of
about $20 billion discounted at a 3
percent rate.
At a 7 percent discount rate, these
final rules are expected to generate
projected PV of monetized health
benefits of about $59 billion, with an
EAV of about $5.2 billion. Climate
benefits remain discounted at 2 percent
in this benefits analysis and are
estimated to be about $270 billion, with
an EAV of about $14 billion using the
SC–CO2. Thus, these final rules would
generate a PV of monetized benefits of
about $330 billion, with an EAV of
about $19 billion discounted at a 7
percent rate.
The results presented in this section
provide an incomplete overview of the
effects of the final rules. The monetized
climate benefits estimates do not
include important benefits that we are
1013 Monetized climate benefits are discounted
using a 2 percent discount rate, consistent with the
EPA’s updated estimates of the SC–CO2. The 2003
version of OMB’s Circular A–4 had generally
recommended 3 percent and 7 percent as default
discount rates for costs and benefits, though as part
of the Interagency Working Group on the Social
Cost of Greenhouse Gases, OMB had also long
recognized that climate effects should be
discounted only at appropriate consumption-based
discount rates. In November 2023, OMB finalized
an update to Circular A–4, in which it
recommended the general application of a 2 percent
discount rate to costs and benefits (subject to
regular updates), as well as the consideration of the
shadow price of capital when costs or benefits are
likely to accrue to capital (OMB 2023). Because the
SC–CO2 estimates reflect net climate change
damages in terms of reduced consumption (or
monetary consumption equivalents), the use of the
social rate of return on capital (7 percent under
OMB Circular A–4 (2003)) to discount damages
estimated in terms of reduced consumption would
inappropriately underestimate the impacts of
climate change for the purposes of estimating the
SC–CO2. See section 4.2 of the RIA for more
discussion.
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unable to fully monetize due to data and
modeling limitations. In addition,
important health, welfare, and water
quality benefits anticipated under these
final rules are not quantified. We
anticipate that taking non-monetized
effects into account would show the
total benefits of the final rules to be
greater than this section reflects.
Discussion of the non-monetized health,
climate, welfare, and water quality
benefits is found in section 4 of the RIA.
2. Net Benefits
The final rules are projected to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions in the form of
CO2, producing a projected PV of
monetized climate benefits of about
$270 billion, with an EAV of about $14
billion using the SC–CO2 discounted at
2 percent. The final rules are also
projected to reduce emissions of NOX,
SO2 and direct PM2.5 leading to national
health benefits from PM2.5 and ozone in
most years, producing a projected PV of
monetized health benefits of about $120
billion, with an EAV of about $6.3
billion discounted at 2 percent. Thus,
these final rules are expected to generate
a PV of monetized benefits of $390
billion, with an EAV of $21 billion
discounted at a 2 percent rate. The PV
of the projected compliance costs are
$19 billion, with an EAV of about $0.98
billion discounted at 2 percent.
Combining the projected benefits with
the projected compliance costs yields a
net benefit PV estimate of about $370
billion and EAV of about $20 billion.
At a 3 percent discount rate, the final
rules are expected to generate projected
PV of monetized health benefits of about
$100 billion, with an EAV of about $6.1
billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net
benefits analysis. Thus, the final rules
would generate a PV of monetized
benefits of about $370 billion, with an
EAV of about $20 billion discounted at
3 percent. The PV of the projected
compliance costs are about $15 billion,
with an EAV of $0.91 billion discounted
at 3 percent. Combining the projected
benefits with the projected compliance
costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $360 billion and an EAV of about
$19 billion.
At a 7 percent discount rate, the final
rules are expected to generate projected
PV of monetized health benefits of about
$59 billion, with an EAV of about $5.2
billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net
benefits analysis. Thus, the final rules
would generate a PV of monetized
benefits of about $330 billion, with an
EAV of about $19 billion discounted at
7 percent. The PV of the projected
compliance costs are about $7.5 billion,
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with an EAV of $0.65 billion discounted
at 7 percent. Combining the projected
benefits with the projected compliance
costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $320 billion and an EAV of about
$19 billion.
See section 7 of the RIA for additional
information on the estimated net
benefits of these rules.
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E. Environmental Justice Analytical
Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
For this action, the analysis described
in this section and in the RIA is
presented for the purpose of providing
the public with an analysis of potential
EJ concerns associated with these
rulemakings, consistent with E.O.
14096. This analysis did not inform the
determinations made to support the
final rules.
The EPA defines EJ as ‘‘the just
treatment and meaningful involvement
of all people regardless of income, race,
color, national origin, Tribal affiliation,
or disability, in agency decision-making
and other Federal activities that affect
human health and the environment so
that people: (i) Are fully protected from
disproportionate and adverse human
health and environmental effects
(including risks) and hazards, including
those related to climate change, the
cumulative impacts of environmental
and other burdens, and the legacy of
racism or other structural or systemic
barriers; and (ii) have equitable access to
a healthy, sustainable, and resilient
environment in which to live, play,
work, learn, grow, worship, and engage
in cultural and subsistence
practices.’’ 1014 In recognizing that
particular communities of EJ concern
often bear an unequal burden of
environmental harms and risks, the EPA
continues to consider ways of protecting
them from adverse public health and
environmental effects of air pollution.
1. Analytical Considerations
For purposes of analyzing regulatory
impacts, the EPA relies upon its June
2016 ‘‘Technical Guidance for Assessing
Environmental Justice in Regulatory
Analysis,’’ 1015 which provides
recommendations that encourage
analysts to conduct the highest quality
analysis feasible, recognizing that data
limitations, time, resource constraints,
and analytical challenges will vary by
media and circumstance. The Technical
Guidance states that a regulatory action
1014 https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/
2023/04/26/2023-08955/revitalizing-our-nationscommitment-to-environmental-justice-for-all.
1015 See https://www.epa.gov/
environmentaljustice/technical-guidance-assessingenvironmental-justice-regulatory-analysis.
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may involve potential EJ concerns if it
could: (1) Create new disproportionate
impacts on communities with EJ
concerns; (2) exacerbate existing
disproportionate impacts on
communities with EJ concerns; or (3)
present opportunities to address
existing disproportionate impacts on
communities with EJ concerns through
this action under development.
The EPA’s EJ technical guidance
states that ‘‘[t]he analysis of potential EJ
concerns for regulatory actions should
address three questions: (1) Are there
potential EJ concerns associated with
environmental stressors affected by the
regulatory action for population groups
of concern in the baseline? (2) Are there
potential EJ concerns associated with
environmental stressors affected by the
regulatory action for population groups
of concern for the regulatory option(s)
under consideration? (3) For the
regulatory option(s) under
consideration, are potential EJ concerns
created or mitigated compared to the
baseline?’’ 1016
To address these questions in the
context of these final rules, the EPA
developed a unique analytical approach
that considers the purpose and specifics
of these rulemakings, as well as the
nature of known and potential
disproportionate and adverse exposures
and impacts. However, due to data
limitations, it is possible that our
analysis failed to identify disparities
that may exist, such as potential EJ
characteristics (e.g., residence of
historically redlined areas),
environmental impacts (e.g., other
ozone metrics), and more granular
spatial resolutions (e.g., neighborhood
scale) that were not evaluated. Also due
to data and resource limitations, we
discuss climate EJ impacts of this action
qualitatively (section 6.3 of the RIA).
For these rules, we employ two types
of analysis to respond to the previous
three questions: proximity analyses and
exposure analyses. Both types of
analysis can inform whether there are
potential EJ concerns for population
groups of concern in the baseline
(question 1).1017 In contrast, only the
exposure analyses, which are based on
future air quality modeling, can inform
whether there will be potential EJ
concerns due to the implementation of
the regulatory options under
consideration (question 2) and whether
1016 See https://www.epa.gov/
environmentaljustice/technical-guidance-assessingenvironmental-justice-regulatory-analysis.
1017 The baseline for proximity analyses is current
population information, whereas the baseline for
ozone exposure analyses are the future years in
which the regulatory options will be implemented
(e.g., 2023 and 2026).
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potential EJ concerns will be created or
mitigated compared to the baseline
(question 3).
In section 6 of the RIA, we utilize the
two types of analysis to address the
three EJ questions by quantitatively
evaluating: (1) the proximity of affected
facilities to populations of potential EJ
concern (section 6.4); and (2) the
potential for disproportionate ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations in the baseline and
concentration changes after rule
implementation across different
demographic groups on the basis of
race, ethnicity, poverty status,
employment status, health insurance
status, life expectancy, redlining, Tribal
land, age, sex, educational attainment,
and degree of linguistic isolation
(section 6.5). It is important to note that
due to the corresponding small
magnitude of the ozone and PM2.5
concentration changes relative to the
baseline concentrations in each
modeled future year, these rules are
expected to have a small impact on the
distribution of exposures across each
demographic group. Each of these
analyses should be considered
independently of each other as each was
performed to answer separate questions
and is associated with unique
limitations and uncertainties.
a. Proximity Analyses
Baseline demographic proximity
analyses can be relevant for identifying
populations that may be exposed to
local environmental stressors, such as
local NO2 and SO2 emitted from affected
sources in these final rules, traffic, or
noise. The Agency has conducted a
demographic analysis of the populations
living near facilities impacted by these
rules including 114 facilities for which
the EPA is unaware of existing
retirement plans by 2032, 23 facilities (a
subset of the 114 facilities) with known
retirement plans between 2033–2040,
and 94 facilities (also a subset of the 114
facilities) without known retirement
plans before 2040. The baseline analysis
indicates that on average the
populations living within 5 km and 10
km of 114 facilities impacted by the
final rules without announced
retirement by 2032 have a higher
percentage of the population that is
American Indian, below the Federal
poverty level, and below two times the
Federal poverty level than the national
average. In addition, the population
living within 50 kilometers of the same
114 facilities has a higher percentage of
the population that is Black. Relating
these results to EJ question 1, we
conclude that there may be potential EJ
concerns associated with directly
emitted pollutants that are affected by
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the regulatory actions for certain
population groups of concern in the
baseline (question 1). However, as
proximity to affected facilities does not
capture variation in baseline exposures
across communities, nor does it indicate
that any exposures or impacts will
occur, these results should not be
interpreted as a direct measure of
exposure impact. The full results of the
demographic analysis can be found in
RIA section 6.4. The methodology and
the results of the demographic analysis
for the final rules are presented in a
technical report, Analysis of
Demographic Factors for Populations
Living Near Coal-Fired Electric
Generating Units (EGUs) for the Section
111 NSPS and Emissions Guidelines—
Final, available in the docket for these
actions.
b. Exposure Analyses
While the exposure analyses can
respond to all three EJ questions,
correctly interpreting the results
requires an understanding of several
important caveats. First, recognizing the
flexibility afforded to each state in
implementing the final guidelines, the
results below are based on analysis of
several illustrative compliance scenarios
which represent potential compliance
outcomes in each state. This analysis
does not consider any potential impact
of the meaningful engagement
provisions or all of the other protections
that are in place that can reduce the
risks of localized emissions increases in
a manner that is protective of public
health, safety, and the environment. It is
also important to note that the potential
emissions changes discussed below are
relative to a projected baseline, and any
localized decreases or increases are
subject to the uncertainty of the baseline
projections discussed in section 3.7 of
the RIA. This uncertainty becomes
increasingly relevant in later years in
which baseline modeling projects
substantial reductions in emissions
relative to today. Furthermore, several
additional caveats should be noted that
are specific to the exposure analysis. For
example, the air pollutant exposure
metrics are limited to those used in the
benefits assessment. For ozone, that is
the maximum daily 8-hour average,
averaged across the April through
September warm season (AS–MO3) and
for PM2.5 that is the annual average. This
ozone metric likely smooths potential
daily ozone gradients and is not directly
relatable to the NAAQS whereas the
PM2.5 metric is more similar to the longterm PM2.5 standard. The air quality
modeling estimates are also based on
state and fuel level emission data paired
with facility-level baseline emissions
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and provided at a resolution of 12
square kilometers. Additionally, here
we focus on air quality changes due to
these rulemakings and infer post-policy
ozone and PM2.5 exposure burden
impacts. Note, we discuss climate EJ
impacts of these actions qualitatively
(section 6.3 of the RIA).
Exposure analysis results are
provided in two formats: aggregated and
distributional. The aggregated results
provide an overview of potential ozone
exposure differences across populations
at the national- and state-levels, while
the distributional results show detailed
information about ozone concentration
changes experienced by everyone
within each population.
These rules are also expected to
reduce emissions of direct PM2.5, NOX,
and SO2 nationally. Because NOX and
SO2 are also precursors to secondary
formation of ambient PM2.5 and because
NOX is a precursor to ozone formation,
reducing these emissions would impact
human exposure. Quantitative ozone
and PM2.5 exposure analyses can
provide insight into all three EJ
questions, so they are performed to
evaluate potential disproportionate
impacts of these rulemakings. Even
though both the proximity and exposure
analyses can potentially improve
understanding of baseline EJ concerns
(question 1), the two should not be
directly compared. This is because the
demographic proximity analysis does
not include air quality information and
is based on current, not future,
population information.
The baseline analysis of ozone and
PM2.5 concentration burden responds to
question 1 from the EPA’s EJ technical
guidance more directly than the
proximity analyses, as it evaluates a
form of the environmental stressor
targeted by the regulatory action. As
discussed in the RIA, our analysis
indicates that baseline ozone and PM2.5
concentration will decline substantially
relative to today’s levels for all
demographic groups in all future
modeled years, and these baseline levels
of ozone and PM2.5 can be considered to
be relatively low. However, there are
differences in exposure among
demographic groups within these
relatively low levels of baseline
exposure. Baseline PM2.5 and ozone
exposure analyses show that certain
populations, such as residents of
redlined census tracts, those
linguistically isolated, Hispanic
populations, Asian populations, and
those without a high school diploma
may experience higher ozone and PM2.5
exposures as compared to the national
average. American Indian populations,
residents of Tribal Lands, populations
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with higher life expectancy or with life
expectancy data unavailable, children,
and unemployed populations may also
experience disproportionately higher
ozone concentrations than the reference
group. Black populations may also
experience disproportionately higher
PM2.5 concentrations than the reference
group. Therefore, also in response to
question 1, there likely are potential EJ
concerns associated with ozone and
PM2.5 exposures affected by the
regulatory actions for population groups
of concern in the baseline. However,
these baseline exposure results have not
been fully explored and additional
analyses are likely needed to
understand potential implications.
Relative to the low baseline levels of
exposure modeled in future years for
PM2.5 and ozone, exposure analyses
show that the final rules will result in
modest but widespread reductions in
PM2.5 and ozone concentrations in
virtually all areas of the country,
although some limited areas may
experience small increases in ozone
concentrations relative to forecasted
conditions without the rule. The extent
of areas experiencing ozone increases
varies among snapshot years. Due to the
small magnitude of the exposure
changes across population
demographics associated with these
rulemakings relative to the magnitude of
the baseline disparities, we infer that
post-policy EJ ozone and PM2.5
concentration burdens are likely to
remain after implementation of the
regulatory action (question 2).
Question 3 asks whether potential EJ
concerns will be created or mitigated
compared to the baseline. Due to the
very small magnitude of differences
across demographic population postpolicy impacts, we do not find evidence
that disparities among communities
with EJ concerns will be exacerbated or
mitigated by the regulatory alternatives
under consideration regarding PM2.5
exposures in all future years evaluated
and ozone exposures for most
demographic groups in the future years
evaluated. In 2035, under the
illustrative compliance scenarios
analyzed, it is possible that Asian
populations, Hispanic populations, and
those linguistically isolated, and those
living on Tribal land may experience a
slight exacerbation of ozone exposure
disparities at the national level
(question 3), compared to baseline
ozone levels. Additionally at the
national level, those living on Tribal
land may experience a slight
exacerbation of ozone exposure
disparities in 2040 and a slight
mitigation of ozone exposure disparities
in 2028 and 2030. At the state level,
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ozone exposure disparities may be
either mitigated or exacerbated for
certain demographic groups, also to a
small degree. As discussed above, it is
important to note that this analysis does
not consider any potential impact of the
meaningful engagement provisions or
all of the other protections that are in
place that can reduce the risks of
localized emissions increases in a
manner that is protective of public
health, safety, and the environment.
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2. Outreach and Engagement
As part of the regulatory development
process for these rulemakings, and
consistent with directives set forth in
multiple Executive Orders, the EPA
conducted extensive outreach with
interested parties including Tribal
nations and communities with
environmental justice concerns. This
outreach allowed the EPA to gather
information from a variety of viewpoints
while also providing parties with an
overview of the EPA’s work to reduce
GHG emissions from the power sector.
Prior to the May 2023 proposal, the
EPA opened a public docket for preproposal input.1018 The EPA continued
to engage with interested parties by
speaking on the EPA National
Community Engagement call and the
National Tribal Air Association Policy
Update call in September 2022.
Following publication of the proposal,
the EPA hosted two informational
webinars on June 6 and 7, 2023,
specially targeted towards tribal
environmental professionals, tribal
nations, and communities with
environmental justice concerns. The
purpose of these webinars was to
provide an overview of the proposal,
information on how to effectively
engage in the regulatory process and
provide the EPA an opportunity to
answer questions. The EPA held virtual
public hearings on June 13, 14, and 15,
2023, that allowed the public an
opportunity to present comments and
information regarding the proposed
rules.
The EPA recently finalized revisions
to the subpart Ba implementing
regulations requiring states to conduct
meaningful engagement with pertinent
stakeholders as part of the state plan
development process. The EPA
underscores the importance of this part
of the state plan development process.
For more detailed information on
meaningful engagement, see section
X.E.1.b.i of this preamble.
1018 EPA–HQ–OAR–2022–0723.
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F. Grid Reliability Considerations and
Reliability-Related Mechanisms
1. Overview
The Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (FERC) is the federal
agency with vested authority to ensure
reliability of the bulk power system (16
U.S.C. 824o). FERC oversees and
approves reliability standards that are
developed by NERC and then become
mandatory for all owners and operators
of the bulk power system. Regional
wholesale energy markets, like RTOs,
ISOs, public service commissions,
balancing authorities, and reliability
coordinators all have reliability related
responsibilities. The EPA’s role under
the CAA section 111 is to reduce
emissions of dangerous air pollutants,
including those emitted from the
electric power sector. In doing so, it has
a long, and exemplary history of
ensuring its public-health-based
emissions standards and guidelines that
impact the power sector are sensitive to
reliability-related issues and
constructed in a manner that does not
interfere with grid operators’
responsibility to deliver reliable power.
The EPA met with many entities with
responsibility over the reliability of the
bulk power system in crafting these
final rules to make certain the rules will
not impede their ability to ensure
reliability of the bulk power system.
This section outlines the array of
modifications made in these final
actions, outlined in section I.G of this
preamble, that collectively help ensure
that these final actions will not interfere
with systems operators’ ability to
continue providing reliable power.
Additional to this suite of adjustments,
the EPA is introducing both a short-term
reliability mechanism for emergency
situations and a reliability assurance
mechanism available for states to
include in their state plans for
additional flexibility. In response to the
May 2023 proposed rule, the EPA
received extensive comments regarding
grid reliability and resource adequacy
from balancing authorities, independent
system operators and regional
transmission organizations, state
regulators, power companies, and other
stakeholders. The EPA engaged with
each of these group of commenters to
garner a granular understanding of their
reliability-related concerns.
Additionally, the EPA met repeatedly
with technical staff and Commissioners
of FERC, DOE, NERC, and other
reliability experts during the course of
this rulemaking. At FERC’s invitation,
the EPA participated in FERC’s Annual
Reliability Technical Conference on
November 9, 2023. Further, the EPA
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solicited additional comment on
reliability-related mechanisms as part of
the November 2023 supplemental
proposed rule.
Comment: Several comments from
grid operators raised the concern that
the proposed rules have the potential to
trigger material negative impacts to grid
reliability. Concerns coalesced around
the loss of firm dispatchable assets
which they view as outpacing the
development and interconnection of
new assets that do not possess
commensurate reliability attributes.
Other commenters maintained that the
proposals included adequate lead times
for reliability planning, and that
reliability attributes are currently
sourced by a collection of assets, and as
such a collection of future assets will be
able to provide the requisite reliability
attributes. Some commenters also
asserted that the proposals would
actually improve transparency around
unit-specific decisions, which are often
not communicated transparently with
adequate notice, leading to a better
reliability planning process.
Response: These final rules include a
number of flexibilities and rule
adjustments that will accommodate
appropriate planning decisions by
affected sources, system planners, and
reliability authorities in a way that
allows for the continued reliable
operation of the electric grid. These
final actions also include adjustments
and improvements, with specific
provisions related to compliance timing
and system emergencies, that address
reliability concerns. The rules do not
interfere with ongoing efforts by key
stakeholders to appropriately plan for
an evolving electric system. The EPA
agrees that transparency around unitspecific planning is of paramount
importance to enabling systems
operators advanced notice to plan for
continued reliable bulk power
operations.
The EPA initiated follow-up
conversations with all balancing
authorities and systems operators that
submitted public comments to ensure a
granular and thorough understanding of
all reliability-related concerns raised in
response to the proposed rules. In
addition, the EPA solicited additional
comment on reliability related
mechanisms in the supplemental
proposal issued in November 2023. The
EPA examined the record carefully and
responded with a suite of changes to the
proposal that, though not always
explicitly directed at addressing
concerns raised with respect to
reliability, nonetheless collectively help
ensure EPA’s rules will not interfere
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with grid operators’ responsibilities to
provide reliable power.
As discussed earlier in this preamble,
the EPA is finalizing several
adjustments to provisions in the
proposed rules that address reliability
concerns and ensure that these rules
provide adequate flexibilities and
assurance mechanisms that allow grid
operators to continue to fulfill their
responsibilities to maintain the
reliability of the bulk-power system.
These adjustments include restructuring
the subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating EGUs: the EPA is not
finalizing the proposed imminent or
near term subcategory structure which
should provide states with a wider
planning latitude, and units with cease
operations dates prior to January 1, 2032
are not regulated by this final rule.
Importantly, the compliance timeline
for installing CCS in the long-term
subcategory has been extended by an
additional 2 years. The EPA is not
finalizing the 30 percent hydrogen cofiring BSER for the intermediate
subcategory for new combustion
turbines. These changes facilitate
reliability planning and operations by
providing more lead time for CCS
installation-related compliance. The
adjusted scope of these actions also
provides additional time for the EPA to
consult with a broad range of
stakeholders, including grid operators,
to deliberate and determine the best way
to address emissions from existing gas
turbines while respecting their
contribution to electric reliability in the
foreseeable future. In addition to these
adjustments, as detailed in section X.D
of this preamble, the EPA is offering
states a suite of voluntary compliance
flexibilities that could be used to
address reliability concerns. These
compliance flexibilities include
clarifying the circumstances under
which it may be appropriate for states
to employ RULOF to establish source
specific standards of performance and
compliance schedules for affected EGUs
to address reliability, allowing emission
averaging, trading, and unit-specific
mass-based compliance mechanisms for
certain subcategories—provided that
they achieve an equivalent level of
emission reduction consistent with the
application of individual rate-based
standards of performance, and, for
certain mechanisms, that they include a
backstop emission rate, and offering a
compliance date extension for affected
new and existing EGUs that encounter
unanticipated delays with control
technology implementation.
The EPA believes the adjustments
made to the final rules outlined above
are sufficient to ensure the rules can be
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implemented without impairing the
ability of grid operators to deliver
reliable power. The EPA is nonetheless
finalizing additional reliability-related
instruments to provide further certainty
that implementation of these final rules
will not intrude on grid operators’
ability to ensure reliability. The shortterm reliability mechanism is available
for both new and existing units and is
designed to provide additional
flexibility through an alternative
compliance strategy during acute system
emergencies that threaten reliability.
The reliability assurance mechanism
will be available for existing units that
intend to cease operating, but, for
unforeseen reasons, need to temporarily
remain online to support reliability
beyond the planned cease operation
date. This reliability assurance
mechanism, which requires a specific
and adequate showing of reliability
need that is satisfactory to the EPA, is
intended for circumstances where there
is insufficient time to complete a state
plan revision, and it is limited to the
amount of time substantiated, which
may not exceed 1 year. The EPA intends
to consult with FERC for advice on
applications of reliability need that
exceed 6 months. These instruments
will be presumptively approvable,
provided they meet the requirements
defined in these emission guidelines, if
states choose to incorporate them into
their plans.
Comment: Commenters from industry
and grid operators expressed support for
the inclusion of a requirement that
states include in their state plans a
demonstration of consultation with all
relevant reliability authorities to
facilitate planning. Other commenters
asserted that the proposals included
sufficient coordination with reliability
authorities, through the Initial Reporting
Milestone Status Report requirements.
Response: The EPA agrees that
planning for reliability is critically
important. Indeed, all stakeholders
generally agree that effective planning is
essential to ensuring electric reliability
is maintained.1019 State planning,
including coordination and
transparency across jurisdictions, is
particularly important given that state
plans in one jurisdiction can impact the
reliability and resource adequacy of
other system operators. The EPA is
finalizing, as part of the state plan
development process, that states are
required to conduct meaningful
engagement with stakeholders. As part
1019 ‘‘Electric System Reliability and EPA
Regulation of GHG Emissions from Power Plants:
2023,’’ Susan Tierney, Analysis Group, November
7, 2023.
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of this required meaningful engagement,
states are strongly encouraged to consult
with the relevant balancing authorities
and reliability coordinators for their
affected sources and to share available
unit-specific requirements and
compliance information in a timely
fashion. Sharing regulatory
requirements and unit-specific
compliance information with balancing
authorities and reliability coordinators
in a timely manner will promote early
and informed reliability planning.
Strong system-planning processes of
utility transmission companies and
RTOs are among the most important
tools to assure that reliability will not be
adversely affected by regulations.1020 1021
A robust planning process that
recognizes the different roles of states
and their relevant balancing authorities,
transmission planners, and reliability
coordinators should help to identify
potential resource adequacy or
reliability issues early in the state
planning process. States will also be
able to address reliability-related issues
through a revision in their state plan,
including to address issues that were
not foreseen during the state planning
process.
In addition to these measures, DOE
has authority pursuant to section 202(c)
of the Federal Power Act to, on its own
motion or by request, order, among
other things, the temporary generation
of electricity from particular sources in
certain emergency conditions, including
during events that would result in a
shortage of electric energy, when the
Secretary of Energy determines that
doing so will meet the emergency and
serve the public interest. An affected
source operating pursuant to such an
order is deemed not to be operating in
violation of its environmental
requirements. Such orders may be
issued for 90 days and may be extended
in 90-day increments after consultation
with EPA. DOE has historically issued
section 202(c) orders at the request of
electric generators and grid operators
such as RTOs in order to enable the
supply of additional generation in times
of expected emergency-related
generation shortfalls.
Congress provided section 202(c) as
the primary mechanism to ensure that
when generation is needed to meet an
emergency, environmental protections
will not prevent a source from meeting
that need. To date, section 202(c) has
worked well, allowing, for example,
1020 ‘‘Electric System Reliability and EPA
Regulation of GHG Emissions from Power Plants:
2023,’’ Susan Tierney, November 7, 2023.
1021 ‘‘Modernizing Governance: Key to Electric
Grid Reliability’’, Kleinman Center for Energy
Policy, University of Pennsylvania, March 2024.
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additional generation to come online to
meet demand in the California
Independent System Operator and PJM
territories in 2022.1022 Section 202(c)
has also been used to allow generators
to remain online pending completion of
infrastructure needed to facilitate
reliable replacement of those generators.
The EPA continues to believe that
section 202(c) is an effective mechanism
for meeting the purpose of ensuring that
all physically available generation will
be available as needed to meet an
emergency situation, regardless of
environmental regulatory constraints.
Given the heightened concerns about
reliability expressed by commenters in
the context of this rule and ongoing
changes in the electricity sector,
however, this final action includes an
additional supplemental short-term
reliability mechanism that states may
elect to include in their state plans.
States that adopt this mechanism could
make it available for sources to use
without needing action by DOE under
section 202(c). Of course, section 202(c)
would continue to be available for
sources subject to this rule for
emergency situations where EPA’s
short-term reliability mechanism would
not apply.
Many electric reliability and bulkpower system authorities, including
FERC and the regulated wholesale
markets, are actively engaged in
activities to ensure the reliability of the
transmission grid, while paying careful
attention to the changing resource mix
and the ongoing trends in the power
sector.1023 1024 There are multiple
agencies and entities that have some
authority and responsibility to ensure
electric reliability. These include state
utility commissions, balancing
authorities, reliability coordinators,
DOE, FERC, and NERC. The EPA’s
central mission is to protect human
health and the environment and the
EPA does not have direct authority or
responsibility to ensure electric
reliability. Still, the EPA believes
reliability of the bulk power system is
of paramount importance, and has
included additional measures in these
final actions that are delineated
throughout this section, evaluated the
resource adequacy implications in the
final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis,
and conducted capacity expansion
modeling of the final rules in a manner
that takes into account resource
1022 DOE. DOE’s Use of Federal Power Act
Emergency Authority. https://www.energy.gov/
ceser/does-use-federal-power-act-emergencyauthority.
1023 See Resource Adequacy Analysis document
for further analysis and exploration of these
important elements.
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adequacy needs. Additionally, the EPA
performed a variety of other sensitivity
analyses including an examination of
higher electricity demand (many areas
are reporting accelerated load growth
forecasts due to data centers, increased
manufacturing, crypto currency,
electrification and other factors) and the
impact of the EPA’s additional
regulatory actions affecting the power
sector. These sensitivity analyses
indicate that, in the context of higher
demand and other pending power sector
rules, the industry has available
pathways to comply with this rule that
respect NERC reliability considerations
and constraints. These results are
detailed in the technical memoranda in
the docket titled, IPM Sensitivity Runs
and Resource Adequacy Analysis:
Vehicle Rules, Final 111 EGU Rules,
ELG, and MATS.
The EPA has carefully examined all
comments related to reliability that were
submitted during the public comment
period for the proposal and for the
supplemental notice. The Agency has
engaged in dialogue with each of the
balancing authorities regarding the
content of their submitted comments.
Based on this extensive engagement and
consultation, the Agency’s analysis of
the impacts of these rules, and the
various features of this rule that will
work in tandem to ensure the standards
and emission guidelines finalized here
are achievable and can respond to future
reliability and resource adequacy needs,
the EPA has concluded these final rules
will not interfere with grid operators’
ability to continue delivering reliable
power.
The EPA received a range of opinions
during the comment process, and also
during FERC’s Annual Reliability
Conference, some of which expressed
that the proposed rule could provide a
net benefit to reliability planning given
the enhanced visibility into unitspecific compliance plans.1025 This
section discusses the additional
compliance flexibilities and reliability
instruments that have been included in
these final rules.
The EPA has carefully considered the
importance of reliability of the bulkpower system in developing these final
rules. Stakeholders have recognized the
EPA’s long and successful history of
ensuring its power sector rules are
1025 ‘‘In the current environment, grid operators
are unsure about when resources may retire,
increasing uncertainty and making planning harder.
The proposed rules have long timelines for
enactment, giving states, utilities, and grid
operators plenty of time to plan for the transition.’’
From ‘‘Prepared Statement of Ric O’Connell
Executive Director, GridLab,’’ Testimony before
FERC Annual Reliability Technical Conference on
November 9, 2023.
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crafted to deliver significant public
health benefits while not impairing the
ability of grid operators to ensure
reliable power.1026 The entities
responsible for ensuring reliability,
which encompass electric utilities,
RTOs and ISOs, reliability coordinators,
other grid operators, utility and nonutility energy companies, and Federal
and state regulators, have also
historically met challenges in navigating
power sector environmental obligations
while maintaining reliability.1027
2. Compliance Flexibilities for New and
Existing Affected EGUs
These final rules include three key
compliance flexibilities for new and
existing sources and reliability
coordinators so that they can continue
to plan for the reliable operation of the
electric system; RULOF, emissions
averaging and trading, and compliance
extensions of up to 1 year for units
installing control technology. As
discussed in section X.C.2 of this
preamble, states may use the RULOF
provisions to address circumstances in
which reliability or resource adequacy
is a concern. Use of RULOF may be
appropriate where reliability or resource
adequacy considerations for a particular
EGU are fundamentally different from
those considered when developing these
emission guidelines, which may make it
unreasonable for an affected EGU to
comply with a standard of performance
by the prescribed date. Under these
circumstances, the state may choose to
particularize the compliance obligations
for the affected EGU in order to address
the reliability or resource adequacy
concern. As explained in section X.C.2,
the EPA believes any adjustments that
are needed will take the form of
different compliance timelines. RULOF
is relevant at the stage of establishing
standards of performance and
compliance schedules to affected EGUs
as a state plan is being developed or
revised.
States have the ability to use emission
averaging or trading, as well as unitspecific mass-based compliance, as
described in section X.D of this
preamble, which may also provide
reliability-related benefits. The use of
these alternative compliance flexibilities
is not required, but states may employ
these flexibilities, provided they
demonstrate that their programs achieve
an equivalent level of emission
reduction with unit-specific application
1026 ‘‘Electric System Reliability and EPA
Regulation of GHG Emissions from Power Plants,’’
Susan Tierney, November 7, 2023.
1027 ‘‘Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions From
Existing Power Plants: Options to Ensure Electric
System Reliability,’’ Susan Tierney, May 2014.
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of rate-based standards of performance
and apply requirements relevant to the
particular flexibility, as specified in
section X.D. These compliance
flexibilities are voluntary, and states
may choose whether to allow their use
in state plans, subject to certain
conditions. However, states may find
that the reliability-specific adjustments
discussed below provide sufficient
flexibility in lieu of the mechanisms
described in section X.D.
States may incorporate into their state
plans a mechanism that allows
compliance date extensions up to 1 year
for an existing affected EGU that is in
the process of installing a control
technology to meet its standard of
performance in the state plan, under
specific circumstances, a detailed
discussion can be found in section
X.C.1.d of this document. As discussed
in section VIII.N of this document, the
Administrator may provide a similar
extension for new combustion turbines.
The state or Administrator may allow
the extension of the compliance date if
the source demonstrates a delay in the
construction or implementation of the
control technology resulting from causes
that are entirely outside the owner or
operator’s control. These may include
delays in obtaining a final construction
permit, after a timely and complete
application, or delays due to
documented supply chain issues; for
example, a backlog for step-up
transformer equipment. This
compliance date extension is not
expressly offered for reliability
purposes, but rather as a flexibility to
account for unforeseen and
uncontrollable lags in construction or
implementation of control technology to
meet the unit’s standard of performance,
in instances where a source can
demonstrate efforts to comply by the
required timeframes as part of these
final actions, including evidence that it
took the necessary steps to comply with
sufficient lead time to meet the
compliance schedule absent unusual
problems, and that those problems are
entirely outside the source’s control and
the source’s actions or inactions did not
contribute to the delay. This potential
extension can help ensure that sufficient
capacity is available by providing
additional time for an affected EGU to
operate for a specific amount of time
while it resolves delays related to
installation of pollution controls.
If the owner/operator of an affected
EGU encounters a delay outside of the
owner or operator’s control, and which
prevents the source from meeting its
compliance obligations, the affected
EGU must follow the procedures
outlined in the state plan for
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documenting the basis for the
extension.1028 Any delay in
implementation that will necessitate a
compliance date extension of more than
1 year must be done through a state plan
revision to adjust the compliance
schedule using RULOF as a basis. See
section X.C.2 of this preamble for
information on RULOF.
A similar 1-year compliance date
extension flexibility for units
implementing control technologies that
encounter a delay outside of the owner
or operator’s control which prevents the
source from meeting compliance
obligations is also available to certain
new sources, which are directly
regulated by the EPA. This is described
in section VIII.N of this preamble.
3. Reliability Mechanisms
While the EPA believes the significant
structural adjustments and compliance
flexibilities that are discussed above are
adequate to ensure that the
implementation of these final rules does
not interfere with systems operators’
ability to ensure electric reliability, the
EPA is also finalizing two reliabilityrelated mechanisms as additional
safeguards. These mechanisms include a
short-term reliability mechanism for
unexpected and short-duration
emergency events, and a reliability
assurance mechanism for units with
retirement dates that are enforceable in
the state plan, provided there is a
documented and verified reliability
concern. The EPA notes that these
mechanisms must be included in the
state plan to be utilized by the owners/
operators of existing affected EGUs
subject to requirements in the state plan.
Sections XII.3.a, and XII.3.b of this
preamble describe presumptively
approvable methodologies for
incorporating these mechanisms into a
state plan.
a. Short-Term Reliability Mechanism
Comment: Multiple commenters
requested an explicit short-term
mechanism which could accommodate
emergency situations and provide
additional flexibility to affected sources.
Commenters requested that the
mechanism include additional rule
flexibilities that could potentially be
used during emergency conditions that
would help reliability authorities avert
a load shed event. A mechanism would
function as an additional automated
flexibility measure with a clearly
articulated emergency provision for
affected sources to respond to short1028 Assuming the affected EGU is in a state that
has included the extension mechanism in its
approved plan.
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duration emergency grid situations.
Some commenters requested a
mechanism that is distinct from the
process established by DOE’s emergency
authority under the Federal Power Act
(section 202(c)), whereby DOE is
required by the terms of section 202(c)
to issue orders tailored to best meet
particularized emergency
circumstances.1029 Other commenters
highlighted the numerous rule
flexibilities that were designed to
accommodate reliability concerns and
emergency conditions and indicated
that the EPA’s rule need not overly
accommodate reliability and resource
adequacy concerns since the primary
burden for developing solutions falls to
industry, grid operators, reliability
coordinators, state planners, and other
stakeholders. These commenters
indicated that it is important to consider
any trade-offs with additional flexibility
measures, in particular any trade-offs
with emissions implications.
Response: The EPA agrees with the
latter commenters and expects that the
broader adjustments in the final rules,
in addition to the compliance
flexibilities offered to states in section
X.D of this document, along with DOE’s
pre-existing section 202(c) authority, are
sufficient to enable an affected unit to
respond to emergencies as needed and
still comply with the annual
requirements of these actions. As an
additional safeguard measure, the EPA
is finalizing a short-term reliability
mechanism to assure that these final
actions will not interfere with grid
operators’ ability to ensure electric
reliability. More specifically, the EPA
has determined that some
accommodation during grid
emergencies, which are rare, is
warranted in order to provide some
additional flexibility to help system
planners, affected sources, state
regulators, and reliability authorities
meet demand and avert load shed when
such emergencies occur. The EPA
believes this additional flexibility is
warranted, given the projected increase
in extreme weather events exacerbated
by climate change.
A short-term reliability mechanism
for new sources is included in the final
NSPS. Similarly, a short-term
mechanism is offered to states to
include in state plans for use with
existing sources during specific and
defined periods of time where the grid
is under extreme strain. The short-term
reliability mechanism is linked to
specific conditions under which the
system operators may not have
1029 https://www.energy.gov/ceser/does-usefederal-power-act-emergency-authority.
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sufficient available generation to call
upon to meet electric demand, and
various reliability authorities have
issued emergency alerts to rectify the
situation. These emergency alerts are
most often associated with extreme
weather events where electric demand
increases and there are often
unexpected transmission and generation
outages. Recent examples of short-term
emergency alert conditions include
Winter Storm Uri in 2021 and Winter
Storm Elliot in 2022, both of which
included unanticipated generator
outages and triggered emergency grid
operations. The EPA expects that the
broader adjustments to the final rules, in
combination with the compliance
flexibilities described in section XII.F.2
of this document, are sufficient to
enable an affected unit to respond to
grid emergencies as needed and still
comply with the annual requirements of
these actions. Nonetheless, the EPA is
finalizing this short-term reliability
mechanism, available to states to
include at their discretion, to provide an
additional layer of assurance that these
final actions will not interfere with the
grid operator’s ability to ensure electric
reliability.
A short-term reliability mechanism is
included for new sources in the final
NSPS, and additionally offered to states
to include in state plans for existing
sources. The mechanism provides
affected sources additional flexibility
during rare and extreme emergency
events, when all available generators are
called upon to meet electric demand.
For new sources, the mechanism allows
sources to calculate applicability and
compliance without using the emissions
and operational data produced during
these discrete events, with appropriate
documentation.1030 For existing sources,
the mechanism allows sources to use
the baseline emission rate during these
discrete events, also with appropriate
documentation.1031
The mechanism is only applicable
during an Energy Emergency Alert level
2 or 3 as defined by NERC Reliability
Standard EOP–011–2 or its successor,
which requires plans and sets
procedures for reliability entities to help
avert disruptions in electric service
during emergency conditions.1032 The
1030 The performance standard shall be the Phase
I standard for the affected new source under the
NSPS.
1031 The baseline emission rate for existing
sources is the CO2 mass emissions and
corresponding electricity generation data for a given
affected EGU from any continuous 8-quarter period
from 40 CFR part 75 reporting within the 5-year
period immediately prior to the date the final rule
is published in the Federal Register.
1032 NERC Reliability Standards, https://
www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Pages/
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NERC reliability standard articulates
roles and responsibilities, defines
notification processes for reliability
coordinators and operators, requires a
plan for grid management practices, and
specifies a compliance monitoring
process. Notably, the standard defines
three levels of Energy Emergency Alerts
(EEA) that guide reliability coordinators
during energy emergencies and assist
with communicating information across
the system and with the public to avert
potential disruptions:
• EEA–1: All available generation
resources in use—The Balancing
Authority is experiencing conditions
where all available generation resources
are committed to meet firm load, firm
transactions, and reserve commitments,
and is concerned about sustaining its
required Contingency Reserves.
• EEA–2: Load management
procedures in effect—The Balancing
Authority is no longer able to provide
its expected energy requirements and is
an energy deficient Balancing Authority.
An energy deficient Balancing Authority
has implemented its Operating Plan(s)
to mitigate Emergencies. An energy
deficient Balancing Authority is still
able to maintain its minimum
Contingency Reserve requirement.
• EEA–3: Firm Load interruption is
imminent or in progress—The energy
deficient Balancing Authority is unable
to meet minimum Contingency Reserve
requirements.
The alerts are typically issued in
reaction to emergencies as they develop,
are generally rare, and most often have
been issued during extreme weather
events, such as hurricanes, cold weather
events, and heatwaves. The most
concerning alert is EEA–3, where
interruption of electric service through
controlled load shed is imminent for
some areas, although load shed does not
necessarily occur under every EEA–3
declaration. According to NERC, 25
EEA–3s were declared in 2022, an
increase of 15 EEA–3 declarations over
2021. Nine of the EEA–3 declarations in
2022 included shedding of firm load.
While the number of declarations
increased from 2021, the amount of load
that was shed during the 2022 events
was less than 10 percent of the previous
year.1033 All of the EEA–3 declarations
in 2022 were related to extreme weather
impacts, according to NERC.1034
ReliabilityStandards.aspx, and NERC Emergency
Preparedness and Operations (Reliability Standard
EOP–011–2). https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/
Reliability%20Standards/EOP-011-2.pdf.
1033 2023 State of Reliability Technical
Assessment, NERC. https://www.nerc.com/pa/
RAPA/PA/Performance%20Analysis%20DL/NERC_
SOR_2023_Technical_Assessment.pdf.
1034 Ibid.
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Other emergency events (EEA–1 and
EEA–2) are more frequent, although also
relatively rare, based upon recent data.
Data for the largest ISOs and RTOs
indicate that EEA–1 and EEA–2 can
occur several times over a year, for
relatively brief periods in most
instances, in response to developing
reliability emergencies.1035 Across the
country, reliability coordinators (RCs)
are charged by NERC to implement
reliability standards and issue EEAs.1036
The RCs monitor, track, and issue alerts
according to the NERC alert protocol.
This data is also generally supposed to
be publicly available on each reliability
coordinator’s website, which documents
the frequency and duration of
emergency alerts. However, while there
are requirements to report events where
EEA–3 was declared to NERC 1037 and
NERC publicly tracks use of EEA–3,1038
EEA–1 events are the least likely to be
documented consistently, for example,
there is no similar publicly available
tracking and reporting for use of EEA–
1 alerts in a centralized and consistent
manner.
Energy Emergency Alerts also have an
important geographic and/or regional
component, since most emergencies
affect a particular geographic zone, and
hence a smaller number of generators
are subject to the alert in most instances.
1035 Since 2021, ERCOT issued two EEA–1 events,
two EEA–2 events, and one EEA–3 event (all for
events occurring over an 8-hour period one day in
2021, and for 1 hour in 2023). In SPP, since 2021,
there were eight EEA–1 events, five EEA–2 events,
and two EEA–3 events (occurring over 5 days). The
EEA–1 and EEA–2 events lasted between 1 and 19
hours. In MISO, there was a 2-day event in 2021
that resulted in an EEA magnitude 1, 2, or 3 alert
through the day and into the next day. One EEA–
1 event in 2022 lasted for a half hour and an EEA–
2 event for 3 hours. In 2023, there was an EEA–2
event for 9.5 hours. In PJM, no alerts were issued
in 2021. In 2022, roughly a dozen alerts were
issued. Some lasted minutes, while others lasted
half a day. One event stretched for 3 days. There
were two alerts issued in 2023, lasting roughly 3
and 1 hours each. While this data is not
comprehensive, it is indicative of the frequency and
duration of emergency events that fall under the
NERC reliability standard alert process. See: ERCOT
Market Notices, SPP Historical Advisories and
Alerts, https://www.oasis.oati.com/SWPP/; MISO
Maximum Generation Emergency Declarations
(2023), https://www.oasis.oati.com/woa/docs/
MISO/MISOdocs/Capacity_Emergency_Historical_
Information.pdf; and MISO Maximum Generation
Emergency Declarations (2023), https://
www.oasis.oati.com/woa/docs/MISO/MISOdocs/
Capacity_Emergency_Historical_Information.pdf.
See also PJM Emergency Procedures and Postings,
https://emergencyprocedures.pjm.com/ep/pages/
dashboard.jsf.
1036 NERC Organization Certification (January
2024). https://www.nerc.com/pa/comp/Pages/
Registration.aspx.
1037 https://www.nerc.com/comm/PC/
Performance%20Analysis%20
Subcommittee%20PAS%202013/M-11_Energy_
Emergency_Alerts.pdf.
1038 https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/ri/Pages/
EEA2andEEA3.aspx.
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During extreme and large-scale weather
events, the alerts often cover a much
broader geographic area, such as when
Winter Storm Elliott impacted twothirds of the lower 48 states and rapidly
intensified into a bomb cyclone in
December 2022. Many areas declared
EEAs, and four states experienced
operator-controlled load shed and 2.1
million customers experienced power
outages.1039 When these events occur, a
much larger group of affected sources
would be potentially covered.1040 It
should be noted that issuance of EEA’s
is not just dependent on a generator’s
availability, but also, generation
deliverability, as transmission
constraints due to operational
conditions or planned maintenance
activities can lead to issuance of EEA’s
that help ensure system stability and
reliability.
The EPA’s assessment is that these
alerts generally occur infrequently, only
rarely persist for as long as several days,
and are indicative of a grid under strain.
When the alerts are more prolonged,
lasting for several days, they are
generally dictated by persistent extreme
weather with widespread impacts and a
higher probability of load shed. The
short-term reliability mechanism offers
sources that come under a documented
level 2 and or 3 EEA, combined with a
documented request from the balancing
authority to deviate from its scheduled
operations, for example, by increasing
output in response to the alert. In other
words, only the specific units called
upon, or otherwise instructed to
increase output beyond the planned
day-ahead or other near-term expected
output during an EEA level 2 or 3 event
are eligible for this flexibility, with
proper documentation.
For new sources, the emissions and/
or generation data will not be counted
when determining applicability and the
use of the sources’ Phase 1 standard of
performance may be used for
compliance determinations through the
duration of these events, as long as
appropriate documentation is provided.
For existing sources, states may choose
to temporarily apply an alternative
1039 2023 State of Reliability Technical
Assessment, NERC. https://www.nerc.com/pa/
RAPA/PA/Performance%20Analysis%20DL/NERC_
SOR_2023_Technical_Assessment.pdf.
1040 For example, the entire footprint of SPP
currently includes roughly 50 individual coal-steam
units, reflecting roughly 19 GW of capacity.
1040 For PJM, there are currently roughly 65
individual coal-steam units with total capacity of
roughly 30 GW, which could potentially be covered
by a regionwide alert. These estimates are
considerably lower when known and committed
coal-steam retirements are excluded. Within the
PJM footprint, there are 27 control areas or
transmission zones where emergency procedures
are applied.
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standard of performance, or a unit’s
baseline emission performance rate,
when demonstrating compliance with
the final standards, with appropriate
documentation. It should be
emphasized that these final emission
guidelines require compliance with the
standards of performance on an annual
basis (or rolling annual average for new
sources), as opposed to a shorter period
such as hourly, daily, or monthly. This
relatively long compliance period
provides significant flexibility for
sources that face circumstances whereby
their emission performance may change
temporarily due to various factors,
including in response to grid emergency
conditions. Nonetheless, this
mechanism is included in these final
rules to ensure that affected sources
have the additional flexibility needed to
meet demand during emergency
conditions.1041
The short-term reliability mechanism
references EEA–2 and EEA–3 for several
reasons. First, balancing authorities and
grid operators do not necessarily have to
take action under EEA–1 conditions,
such as calling on interruptible loads.
As such, there is much less cost or
inconvenience to declaring EEA–1, as a
general matter, and EEA–2 and EEA–3
events are more aligned with events that
are rare or truly represent emergency
conditions. Second, EEA–1 events are a
preparatory step in anticipation of
potentially worsening conditions, as
opposed to an indicator of imminent
load-shed. Thus, under EEA–1,
balancing authorities and grid operators
do not generally take actions such as
calling for voluntary demand reduction
or calling on interruptible loads, and
reliability coordinators are afforded
more discretion for declaring an EEA–1.
As such, there is much less cost or
inconvenience to declaring EEA–1, as a
general matter, and providing
operational or cost relief under EEA–1
could create an incentive to deploy it
more routinely. In addition, waiving
significant regulatory requirements
before taking actions such as calling for
voluntary demand reductions or calling
upon contractually arranged
interruptible loads would not be
commensurate to the significance of the
various response actions. Third,
reliability coordinators are afforded
more discretion for declaring an EEA–1,
and thus may have a potential incentive
1041 For example, units with installed CCS
technology may be called upon to run at full
capacity (i.e., without the parasitic load of the
carbon capture equipment). The EPA does not
expect this to be a typical response as units are
economically disincentivized to shut off or bypass
control equipment given the tax credit incentives in
IRC section 45Q.
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to deploy it more routinely if there is
some operational or cost relief
associated with it. And lastly, the
reporting of EEA–1 is not consistent
throughout the country, and there is
some degree of opaqueness associated
with the frequency and duration of
EEA–1 events, thus making it a less
robust mechanism threshold for
purposes of aligning it with the
requirements of this final action. For
these reasons, the EPA believes that
EEA–2 and EEA–3 are the appropriate
threshold for inclusion in the short-term
reliability mechanism and better
represent rare or truly emergency
conditions in which providing a limited
exemption from a significant
environmental requirement is
justifiable.
Thus, the EPA believes that the
selection of EEA–2 and EEA–3 are
aligned with the conditions envisioned
where an affected source might need
temporarily relief, in order to offer
reliability coordinators and balancing
authorities the flexibility needed during
emergency events to maintain
reliability. In addition, as explained
earlier, DOE’s 202(c) authority is an
additional mechanism that can be
deployed under certain emergency
conditions, which may occur outside
any EEA–2 or EEA–3 event. These tools,
either individually or in combination,
help provide additional assurance that
sources and reliability coordinators can
continue to maintain a reliable system.
The mechanism is available to states
to include in their state plans in an
explicit manner, which will allow
additional flexibility to sources in those
states during short-term reliability
emergencies. Inclusion of the reliability
mechanism in a state plan must be part
of the public comment process that each
state must undertake. The comment
process will afford full notice and the
opportunity for the public comment,
and the state plan will need to specify
alternative performance standards for
each specific affected source during
these events (as defined in this section).
The state plan must clearly indicate the
specific parameters of emergency alerts
cited as part of this mechanism, the
relevant reliability coordinators that are
authorized to issue the alerts in the
state, and the compliance entities who
are affected by this action (i.e., affected
sources). These sources must provide
documentation of emergencies, as
indicated in this section. The
documentation must include evidence
of the alert from the issuing entity,
duration of the alert, and requests by
reliability entities to sources to increase
output in response to the emergency.
The source must supply this
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information to the state regulatory
entities and to the EPA when
demonstrating compliance with the
annual performance standards. This
demonstration will indicate the discrete
periods where the alternative standards
or emission rates were in place,
coinciding with the emergency alerts.
The calculation of the emission rate
for an affected source in a state that
adopts the short-term reliability
mechanism must adhere to the
following during potential emergency
alerts:
• When demonstrating annual
compliance with the standard of
performance, the existing affected
source may apply its baseline emission
rate in lieu of its standard of
performance for the hours of operation
that correspond to the duration of the
alert; and
• The existing affected EGU would
demonstrate compliance based on
application of its baseline emission
performance rate standard of
performance for the documented hours
it operated under a revised schedule
due to an EEA 2 or 3.
• For new sources, the EGU would
demonstrate compliance based on
application of its phase 1 performance
standard for the documented hours it
operated under a revised schedule due
to an EEA 2 or 3. with the same
documentation listed above.
Supplemental reporting,
recordkeeping and documentation
required:
• Documentation that the EEA was in
effect from the entity issuing the alert,
along with documentation of the exact
duration of the event; 1042
• Documentation from the entity
issuing the alert that the EEA included
the affected source/region where the
unit was located; and
• Documentation that the source was
instructed to increase output beyond the
planned day-ahead or other near-term
expected output and/or was asked to
remain in operation outside of its
scheduled dispatch during emergency
conditions from a reliability
coordinator, balancing authority, or
ISO/RTO.
b. Reliability Assurance Mechanism
The EPA gave considerable attention
and thought to comments from all
stakeholders concerning potential
reliability-related considerations. As
noted earlier, the EPA engaged in
extensive stakeholder outreach and
provided additional opportunity for
public comment as part of the
1042 https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/
Reliability%20Standards/EOP-011-2.pdf.
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supplemental notice for small
businesses, since similar reliabilityrelated concerns were raised. This
section provides additional background,
as well as approvable language, for a
reliability assurance mechanism that
states have the option to incorporate
into their state plans.
Comment: Some commenters
cautioned that EPA rules could
exacerbate an ongoing concern that firm,
dispatchable assets are exiting the grid
at a faster pace than new capacity can
be deployed and that most new electric
generating capacity does not provide the
equivalent reliability attributes as the
capacity being retired. Several
commenters provided examples where
units with publicly announced
retirement dates were delayed by
reliability entities and coordinators due,
in part, to the potential for energy
shortfalls that might increase reliability
risks in the ISO. Many commenters
cited findings from NERC that
highlighted the potential for capacity
shortfalls, some of which are already in
effect in some areas. Other commenters
asserted that there is no need for a
reliability assurance mechanism given
the sufficient lead times in the proposal
and the various flexibilities already
provided. Some commenters included
analysis that showed resource adequacy
shortfalls over the forecasted time
horizon were limited and manageable
under the proposal.
Response: The EPA believes that the
provisions in these final actions are
sufficient to accommodate installation
of pollution controls and reliability
planning. The EPA has further
articulated the use of RULOF, which
can be deployed under the state
planning and revision processes, for
specific circumstances related to
reliability. The EPA is also finalizing
compliance flexibilities that can address
delays to the installation or permitting
of control technologies or associated
infrastructure that are beyond the
control of the EGU owner/operator. The
EPA acknowledges that isolated issues
could unfold over the course of the
implementation timeline that could not
have been foreseen during the planning
process and that may require units to
remain online beyond their planned
cease operation dates to maintain
reliability.
The EPA does not agree that the final
rule will result in long-term adverse
reliability impacts.1043 1044 Nevertheless,
as an added safeguard, the EPA is
1043 ‘‘Bulk System Reliability for Tomorrow’s
Grid’’ The Brattle Group, December 20, 2023.
1044 ‘‘The Future of Resource Adequacy’’ The
Department of Energy, April 2024.
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40017
finalizing a reliability assurance
mechanism for existing affected sources
that have committed to cease operation
but, for unforeseen reasons, need to
temporarily remain online to support
reliability for a discrete amount of time
beyond their planned date to cease
operations. The primary mechanism to
address reliability-related issues for
units with cease operations dates is
through the state plan revision process.
This reliability assurance mechanism is
designed to enable extensions for cease
operation dates when there is
insufficient time to complete a state
plan revision. Under this reliability
assurance mechanism, which can only
be accessed if included in a state plan,
units could obtain up to a 1-year
extension of a cease operation date. If a
state decides to include the mechanism
in its state plan, then the mechanism
must be disclosed during the public
comment process that states must
undertake. Under this reliability
assurance mechanism, units may obtain
extensions only for the amount of time
substantiated through their applications
and approved by the appropriate EPA
Regional Administrator. For extension
requests greater than 6 months, EPA
will seek the advice of FERC in these
cases and therefore applications must be
submitted to FERC, as well as to the
appropriate EPA Regional
Administrator. The date from which an
extension can be given is the
enforceable date in the state plan,
including any cease operation dates in
state plans that are prior to January 1,
2032.
These provisions are similar in part to
a reliability-related flexibility provided
by the EPA for the MATS rule finalized
in December 2011. On December 16,
2011, the EPA issued a
memorandum 1045 outlining an
Enforcement Response Policy whereby
affected sources enter into a CAA
section 113(a) administrative order for
up to 1 year for narrow circumstances
including when the deactivation of a
unit or delay in installation of controls
due to factors beyond the owner’s/
operator’s control could have an
adverse, localized impact on electric
reliability. Under MATS, affected
sources were required to come into
compliance with standards within 3
years of the effective date. The EPA
believed flexibility was warranted given
potential constraints around the
availability of control equipment and
associated skilled workforce for all
affected sources within the compliance
window. While a 1-year extension as
1045 https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/
documents/mats-erp.pdf.
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part of CAA section 112(i)(3)(B) was
broadly available to affected sources,
additional time through an
administrative order was limited to
units that were demonstrated to be
critical for reliability purposes under
the Enforcement Response Policy.1046
FERC’s role in this process, which was
developed with extensive stakeholder
input,1047 was to assess the submitted
request to ensure any application was
adequately substantiated with respect to
its reliability-related claims. While
several affected EGUs requested and
were granted a 1-year CAA section
112(i)(3)(B) compliance extension by
their permitting authority, OECA only
issued five administrative orders in
connection to the Enforcement
Response Policy.1048 These orders relied
upon a FERC review of the reliability
risks associated with the loss of specific
units, following the accompanying
FERC policy memorandum
guidance.1049 The 2012 MATS Final
Rule was ultimately implemented over
the 2015–2016 timeframe without
challenges to grid reliability.
Given the array of adjustments made
to the rule explained above, and the
ability of states to address unanticipated
changes in circumstances through the
state plan revision process, the EPA
does not anticipate that this mechanism,
if included by states in the planning
process, will be heavily utilized. This
mechanism provides an assurance to
system planners and affected sources,
which can provide additional time for
the state to execute a state plan revision,
if needed. For states choosing to include
this option in their state plans, the
reliability assurance mechanism can
provide units up to a 1-year extension
of the scheduled cease operation date
without a state plan revision, provided
the reliability need is adequately
justified and the extension is limited to
the time for which the reliability need
is demonstrated. This mechanism can
accommodate situations when, with
little notice, the relevant reliability
authority determines that an EGU
scheduled to cease operations is needed
beyond that date, in order to maintain
reliability during the 12 months leading
1046 December 16, 2011, memorandum, ‘‘The
Environmental Protection Agency’s Enforcement
Response Policy For Use Of Clean Air Act Section
113(a) Administrative Orders In Relation To
Electric Reliability And The Mercery and Air
Toxics Standard’’ from Cynthia Giles, Assistant
Administrator of the Office of Enforcement and
Compliance Assurance.
1047 See FERC Docket No. PL12–1–000.
1048 https://www.epa.gov/enforcement/
enforcement-response-policy-mercury-and-airtoxics-standard-mats.
1049 https://www.ferc.gov/sites/default/files/202004/E-5_9.pdf.
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up to or after the EGU is scheduled to
retire. For potential situations in which
system planners, affected sources, and
reliability authorities identify a
reliability concern, including a potential
resource adequacy shortfall and an
associated demonstration of increased
loss of load expectation, more than one
year in advance, this approach allows
for the time needed for states to
undertake a state plan revision process.
The EPA recognizes that successful
reliability planning involves many
stakeholders and is a complex long-term
process. For this reason, the EPA is
encouraging states to consult electric
reliability authorities during the state
plan process, as part of the requirements
under Meaningful Engagement (see
section X.E.1.b.i of this document). The
EPA acknowledges that there may be
isolated instances in which the
deactivation or retirement of a unit
could have impacts on the electric grid
in the future that cannot be predicted or
planned for with specificity during the
state planning process, wherein all
anticipated reliability-related issues
would be analyzed and addressed. This
mechanism is not intended for use with
units encountering unforeseen delays in
installation of control technologies, as
such issues are addressed through
compliance flexibilities discussed in
section XII.F.2, or for units subject to an
obligation to operate that is not based on
the reliability criteria included here.
To ensure that reliability claims,
following the specific requirements
delineated below, submitted through
this mechanism are sufficiently well
documented, the EPA is requiring that
the unit’s relevant reliability Planning
Authority(ies) certify that the claims are
accurate and that the identified
reliability problem both exists and
requires the specific relief requested.
Additionally, the EPA intends to seek
the advice of FERC, the Federal agency
with authority to oversee the reliability
of the bulk-power system, to incorporate
a review of applications for this
mechanism that request more than 6
months of additional operating time
beyond the existing date by which the
unit is scheduled to cease operations to
resolve a reliability issue. Additional
operating time is available for up to 12
months from the unit’s cease operation
date through this mechanism. Any relief
request exceeding 12 months would
need to be addressed through the state
plan revision process outlined in
section X.E.3. In determining whether to
grant a request under this mechanism,
the EPA will assess whether the
associated Planning Authority’s
reliability analysis identifies and
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supports, in a detailed and reasoned
fashion, anticipated noncompliance
with a Reliability Standard,
substantiated by specific metrics
described below, should a unit go
offline per its established commitment.
To assist in its determination, the EPA
will seek FERC’s advice regarding
whether analysis of the reliability risk
and the potential for violation of a
mandatory Reliability Standard or
increased loss of load expectation is
adequately supported in the filed
documentation.
This mechanism is for existing
sources that have relied on a
commitment to cease operating for
purposes of these emission guidelines.
Such reliance might occur in three
circumstances: (1) units that plan to
cease operation before January 1, 2032,
and that are therefore exempt because
they have elected to have enforceable
cease operations dates in the state plan;
(2) affected EGUs that choose to employ
40 percent natural gas co-firing by 2030
with a retirement date of no later than
January 1, 2039; or (3) affected EGUs
that have source-specific standards of
performance based on remaining useful
life, pursuant to the RULOF provisions
outlined in section X.C.2 of this
document. In each of these cases, units
would have a commitment to cease
operating by a date certain. This
mechanism would allow for extensions
of those dates to address unforeseen
reliability or reserve margin concerns
that arise due to changes in
circumstances after the state plan has
been finalized. Therefore, the date from
which an extension can be given under
this mechanism is the enforceable cease
operations date in the state plan,
including those prior to January 1, 2032.
Only operators/owners of units that
have satisfied all applicable milestones,
metrics, and reporting obligations
outlined in section X.C.3, and section
X.C.4 for units with cease operation
dates prior to January 1, 2032, would be
eligible to use this mechanism.
This mechanism creates additional
flexibility for specified narrow
circumstances for existing sources and
provides additional time and flexibility
to allow a state, if necessary, to submit
a plan revision should circumstances
persist. In other words, this mechanism
would be for use only when there is
insufficient time to complete a state
plan revision.
States can decide whether to include
this extension mechanism in their state
plans. If included in a state plan, the
mechanism would be triggered when a
unit submits an application to the EPA
Regional Administrator where it faces
an unforeseen situation that creates a
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reliability issue should that unit go
offline consistent with its commitment
to cease operations—for example, if the
reliability coordinator identifies an
unexpected capacity shortfall and
determines that a specific unit(s) in a
state(s) is needed to remain operational
to satisfy a specific and documented
reliability concern related to a unit’s
planned retirement. This mechanism
would allow extensions, if approved by
the Regional EPA Administrator, for
units to operate after committed
retirement dates without a full state
plan revision. Any existing standard of
performance finalized in the state plan
under RULOF or the natural gas cofiring subcategory would remain in
place. States have the discretion to place
additional requirements on units
requesting extensions. The relevant EPA
Regional Administrator would approve
the reliability assurance application or
reject it if it were found that that the
reliability assertion was not adequately
supported. Units would need to
substantiate the claim that they must
remain online for reliability purposes
with documentation demonstrating a
forecasted reliability failure should the
unit be taken offline, and this
justification would need to be submitted
to the appropriate EPA Regional
Administrator and, for extensions
exceeding 6 months, also to FERC, as
described below. Extensions would be
granted only for the duration of time
demonstrated through the
documentation, not to exceed 12
months, inclusive of the 6-month
extension that is available and the
relevant Planning Authority(ies) must
certify that the claims are accurate and
that the identified reliability problem
both exists and requires the specific
relief requested. Any further extension
would require a state plan revision.
The process and documentation
required to demonstrate that a unit is
required to stay online because it is
reliability-critical is described in this
section.
In order to use this mechanism for an
extension, certain conditions must be
met by the unit and substantiated in
written electronic notification to the
appropriate EPA Regional
Administrator, with an identical copy
submitted to FERC for extension
requests exceeding 6 months. More
specifically, those conditions are that,
where appropriate, the EGU owner
complied with all applicable reporting
obligations and milestones as described
in sections X.C.4 (for units in the
medium-term subcategory and units
relying on a cease operation date for a
less stringent standard of performance
pursuant to RULOF), and section
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X.E.1.b.ii (for units with cease operation
dates before January 1, 2032). No less
than 30 days prior to the compliance
date for applications for extensions of
less than 6 months, and no less than 45
days prior to the compliance date for
applications for extensions exceeding 6
months, but no earlier than 12 months
prior to the compliance date (any
requests over 12 months prior to a
compliance date should be addressed
through state plan revisions), a written
complete application to activate the
reliability assurance mechanism must
be submitted to the appropriate EPA
Regional Administrator, with a copy
submitted to the state, including
information responding to each of the
seven elements listed as follows.
A copy of an extension request
exceeding 6 months must also be
submitted to FERC through a process
and at an office of FERC’s designation,
including any additional specific
information identified by FERC and
responding to each of the following
elements:
(1) Analysis of the reliability risk if
the unit were not in operation
demonstrating that the continued
operation of the unit after the applicable
compliance date is critical to
maintaining electric reliability, such
that retirement of that unit would trigger
one or more of the following: (A) would
result in noncompliance with at least
one of the mandatory reliability
standards approved by FERC, or (B)
would cause the loss of load expectation
to increase beyond the level targeted by
regional system planners as part of their
established procedures for that
particular region; specifically, this
requires a clear demonstration that each
unit would be needed to maintain the
targeted level of resource adequacy.1050
In addition, a projection substantiating
the duration of the requested extension
must be included for the length of time
that the unit is expected to extend its
cease-operations date because it is
reliability-critical with accompanying
analysis supporting the timeframe, not
to exceed 12 months. The
demonstration must satisfactorily
substantiate at least one of the two
conditions outlined above. Any unit
that has received a Reliability Must Run
Designation or equivalent from a
reliability coordinator or balancing
authority would fit this description. The
types of information that will be
helpful, based on the prior reliability
extension process developed for MATS
between the EPA and FERC include, but
are not limited to, system planning and
1050 Probabilistic Assessment: Technical
Guideline Document, NERC, August 2016.
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40019
operations studies, system restoration
studies or plans, operating procedures,
and mitigation plans required by
applicable Reliability Standards as
defined by FERC in its May 17, 2012,
Policy Statement issued to clarify
requirements for the reliability
extensions available through MATS.1051
(2) Analysis submitted by the relevant
Planning Authority that verifies the
reliability related claims, or presents a
separate and equivalent analysis,
confirming the asserted reliability risk if
the unit were not in operation, or an
explanation of why such a concurrence
or separate analysis cannot be provided,
and where necessary, any related system
wide or regional analysis. This analysis
or concurrence must include a
substantiation for the duration of the
extension request.
(3) Copies of any written comments
from third parties regarding the
extension.
(4) Demonstration from the unit
owner/operator, grid operator and other
relevant entities that they have a plan
that includes appropriate actions,
including bringing on new capacity or
transmission, to resolve the underlying
reliability issue, including the steps and
timeframes for implementing measures
to rectify the underlying reliability
issue.
(5) Retirement date extensions
allowed through this mechanism will be
granted for only the increment of time
that is substantiated by the reliability
need and supporting documentation
and may not exceed 12 months,
inclusive of the 6-month extensions
available with RTO, ISO, and reliability
coordinator certification.
(6) For units affected by these
emissions guidelines, states may choose
to require the application to identify the
level of operation that is required to
avoid the documented reliability risk,
and consistent with that level propose
alternative compliance requirements,
such as alternative standards or
consistent utilization constraints for the
duration of the extension. The EPA
Regional Office may, within 30 days of
the submission, reject the application if
the submission is incomplete with
respect to the above requirements or if
the reliability assertion is not
adequately supported.
(7) Only owners/operators of units
that have satisfied all applicable
milestone and reporting requirements
and obligations under section X.C.3.,
and section X.C.4 for units with cease
1051 ‘‘Policy Statement on the Commission’s Role
Regarding the Environmental Protection Agency’s
Mercury and Air Toxics Standards’’ FERC, Issued
May 17, 2012, at PL12–1–000.
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operation dates prior to January 1, 2032,
may use this mechanism for an
extension as those sources will have
provided information enabling the state
and the public to assess that the units
have diligently taken all actions
necessary to meet their enforceable
cease operations dates and demonstrate
the use of all available tools to meet
reliability challenges. Units that have
failed to meet these obligations may
make extension requests through the
state plan revision process.
The EPA intends to consult with
FERC in a timely manner on reliabilitycritical claims given FERC’s expertise
on reliability issues. The EPA may also
seek advice from other reliability
experts, to inform the EPA’s decision.
The EPA intends to decide whether it
will grant a compliance extension for a
retiring unit based on a documented
reliability need within 30 days of
receiving the application for
applications less than 6 months, and
within 45 days for applications
exceeding 6 months to account for time
needed to consult with FERC. Whether
to grant an extension to an owner/
operator is solely the decision of the
EPA Regional Administrator.
For units already subject to standards
of performance through state plans
including those co-firing until 2039, and
for units with specific, tailored and
differentiated compliance dates
developed through RULOF that employ
this mechanism, those standards would
apply during the extension.
4. Considerations for Evaluating 111
Final Actions With Other EPA Rules
Consistent with the EPA’s statutory
obligations under a range of CAA
programs, the Agency has recently
initiated and/or finalized multiple
rulemakings to reduce emissions of air
pollutants, air toxics, and greenhouse
gases from the power sector. The EPA
has conducted an assessment of the
potential impacts of these regulatory
efforts on grid resource adequacy, which
is examined and discussed in the final
TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis. This
analysis is informed by regional reserve
margin targets, regional transmission
capability, and generator availability.
Moreover, as described in this action,
the EPA designs its programs,
implementation compliance
flexibilities, and backstop mechanisms
to be robust to future uncertainties and
various compliance pathways for the
collective of market and regulatory
drivers. Finally, the backstop reliability
mechanisms discussed in this section
are, by design, similar to mechanisms
utilized in the EPA’s proposed Effluent
Limitations Guidelines (ELG)
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rulemaking. There, to ensure that units
choosing to permanently cease the
combustion of coal by a particular date
in their permits are not restricted from
operation in the event of an emergency
related to load balancing, the permit
conditions allow for grid emergency
exemptions (88 FR 18900). Harmonizing
the use of similar criteria for emergency
related reliability concerns across the
two rules further buttresses unit
confidence that grid reliability and
environmental responsibilities will not
come into conflict. It also streamlines
the demonstrations and evidence that a
unit must provide in such events. This
cross-regulatory harmonization ensures
that the Agency can successfully meet
its CWA and CAA responsibilities
regarding public health in a manner
consistent with grid stability as it has
consistently done throughout its 54-year
history.
The EPA has taken into consideration,
to the extent possible, the alignment of
compliance timeframes and other
aspects of these policies for affected
units. For each regulatory effort, there
has been coordination and alignment of
requirements and timelines, to the
extent possible. The potential impact of
these various regulatory efforts is further
examined in the final TSD, Resource
Adequacy Analysis. Additionally, the
EPA considered the impact of this suite
of power sector rules by performing a
variety of sensitivity analyses described
in XII.F.3. These considerations are
discussed in the technical memoranda,
IPM Sensitivity Runs and Resource
Adequacy Analysis: Vehicle Rules, Final
111 EGU Rules, ELG, and MATS,
available in the rulemaking docket.
XIII. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Additional information about these
statutes and Executive orders can be
found at https://www.epa.gov/lawsregulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory
Review
This action is a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ as defined under section 3(f)(1)
of Executive Order 12866, as amended
by Executive Order 14094. Accordingly,
EPA, submitted this action to the Office
of Management and Budget (OMB) for
Executive Order 12866 review. Any
changes made in response to
recommendations received as part of
Executive Order 12866 review have
been documented in the docket.
The EPA prepared an analysis of the
potential costs and benefits associated
with these actions. This analysis,
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‘‘Regulatory Impact Analysis for the
New Source Performance Standards for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse
Gas Emissions from Existing Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
and Repeal of the Affordable Clean
Energy Rule,’’ is available in the docket
and describes in detail the EPA’s
assumptions and characterizes the
various sources of uncertainties
affecting the estimates.
Table 6 presents the estimated present
values (PV) and equivalent annualized
values (EAV) of the projected climate
benefits, health benefits, compliance
costs, and net benefits of the final rules
in 2019 dollars discounted to 2024. This
analysis covers the impacts of the final
standards for new combustion turbines
and for existing steam generating EGUs.
The estimated monetized net benefits
are the projected monetized benefits
minus the projected monetized costs of
the final rules.
Under E.O. 12866, the EPA is directed
to consider the costs and benefits of its
actions. Accordingly, in addition to the
projected climate benefits of the final
rules from anticipated reductions in CO2
emissions, the projected monetized
health benefits include those related to
public health associated with projected
reductions in PM2.5 and ozone
concentrations. The projected health
benefits are associated with several
point estimates and are presented at real
discount rates of 2, 3 and 7 percent. As
shown in section 4.3.9 of the RIA, there
are health benefits in the years 2028,
2030, 2035, and 2045 and health
disbenefits in 2040. The projected
climate benefits in this table are based
on estimates of the social cost of carbon
(SC–CO2) at a 2 percent near-term
Ramsey discount rate and are
discounted using a 2 percent discount
rate to obtain the PV and EAV estimates
in the table. The power industry’s
compliance costs are represented in this
analysis as the change in electric power
generation costs between the baseline
and illustrative policy scenarios. In
simple terms, these costs are an estimate
of the increased power industry
expenditures required to implement the
final requirements.
These results present an incomplete
overview of the potential effects of the
final rules because important categories
of benefits—including benefits from
reducing HAP emissions—were not
monetized and are therefore not
reflected in the benefit-cost tables. The
EPA anticipates that taking nonmonetized effects into account would
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40021
show the final rules to have a greater net
benefit than this table reflects.
TABLE 6—PROJECTED BENEFITS, COMPLIANCE COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE FINAL RULES, 2024 THROUGH 2047
[Billions 2019$, discounted to 2024] a
Present value (PV)
2% Discount rate
Climate Benefits c .......................................................................................................
Health Benefits d ........................................................................................................
Compliance Costs ......................................................................................................
Net Benefits e .............................................................................................................
3% Discount rate
7% Discount rate
270
120
19
370
270
100
15
360
270
59
7.5
320
14
6.3
0.98
20
14
6.1
0.91
19
14
5.2
0.65
19
Equivalent Annualized Value (EAV) b
Climate Benefits c .......................................................................................................
Health Benefits d ........................................................................................................
Compliance Costs ......................................................................................................
Net Benefits e .............................................................................................................
Non-Monetized Benefits e ..........................................................................................
Benefits from reductions in HAP emissions
Ecosystem benefits associated with reductions in emissions
of CO2, NOX, SO2, PM, and HAP
Reductions in exposure to ambient NO2 and SO2
Improved visibility (reduced haze) from PM2.5 reductions
a Values
have been rounded to two significant figures. Rows may not appear to sum correctly due to rounding.
annualized present value of costs and benefits are calculated over the 24-year period from 2024 to 2047.
c Monetized climate benefits are based on reductions in CO emissions and are calculated using three different estimates of the SC–CO
2
2
(under 1.5 percent, 2.0 percent, and 2.5 percent near-term Ramsey discount rates). For the presentational purposes of this table, we show the
climate benefits associated with the SC–CO2 at the 2 percent near-term Ramsey discount rate. Please see section 4 of the RIA for the full range
of monetized climate benefit estimates.
d The projected monetized air quality related benefits include those related to public health associated with reductions in PM
2.5 and ozone concentrations. The projected health benefits are associated with several point estimates and are presented at real discount rates of 2, 3, and 7 percent. This table presents the net health benefit impact over the analytic timeframe of 2024 to 2047. As shown in section 4.3.9 of the RIA, there
are health benefits in the years 2028, 2030, 2035, and 2045 and health disbenefits in 2040.
e Several categories of climate, human health, and welfare benefits from CO , NO , SO , PM and HAP emissions reductions remain
2
X
2
unmonetized and are thus not directly reflected in the quantified benefit estimates in this table. See section 4.2 of the RIA for a discussion of climate effects that are not yet reflected in the SC–CO2 and thus remain unmonetized and section 4.4 of the RIA for a discussion of other nonmonetized benefits.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
b The
As shown in table 6, the final rules
are projected to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions in the form of CO2, producing
a projected PV of monetized climate
benefits of about $270 billion, with an
EAV of about $14 billion using the SC–
CO2 discounted at 2 percent. The final
rules are also projected to reduce
emissions of NOX, SO2 and direct PM2.5
leading to national health benefits from
PM2.5 and ozone in most years,
producing a projected PV of monetized
health benefits of about $120 billion,
with an EAV of about $6.3 billion
discounted at 2 percent. Thus, these
final rules are expected to generate a PV
of monetized benefits of $390 billion,
with an EAV of $21 billion discounted
at a 2 percent rate. The PV of the
projected compliance costs are $19
billion, with an EAV of about $0.98
billion discounted at 2 percent.
Combining the projected benefits with
the projected compliance costs yields a
net benefit PV estimate of about $370
billion and EAV of about $20 billion.
At a 3 percent discount rate, the final
rules are expected to generate projected
PV of monetized health benefits of about
$100 billion, with an EAV of about $6.1
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billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net
benefits analysis. Thus, the final rules
would generate a PV of monetized
benefits of about $370 billion, with an
EAV of about $20 billion discounted at
3 percent. The PV of the projected
compliance costs are about $15 billion,
with an EAV of $0.91 billion discounted
at 3 percent. Combining the projected
benefits with the projected compliance
costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $360 billion and an EAV of about
$19 billion.
At a 7 percent discount rate, the final
rules are expected to generate projected
PV of monetized health benefits of about
$59 billion, with an EAV of about $5.2
billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net
benefits analysis. Thus, the final rules
would generate a PV of monetized
benefits of about $330 billion, with an
EAV of about $19 billion discounted at
7 percent. The PV of the projected
compliance costs are about $7.5 billion,
with an EAV of $0.65 billion discounted
at 7 percent. Combining the projected
benefits with the projected compliance
costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
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about $320 billion and an EAV of about
$19 billion.
We also note that the RIA follows the
EPA’s historic practice of using a
detailed technology-rich partial
equilibrium model of the electricity and
related fuel sectors to estimate the
incremental costs of producing
electricity under the requirements of
proposed and final major EPA power
sector rules. In section 5.2 of the RIA for
these actions, the EPA has also included
an economy-wide analysis that
considers additional facets of the
economic response to the final rules,
including the full resource requirements
of the expected compliance pathways,
some of which are paid for through
subsidies. The social cost estimates in
the economy-wide analysis and
discussed in section 5.2 of the RIA are
still far below the projected benefits of
the final rules.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTT
This action does not impose any new
information collection burden under the
PRA. OMB has previously approved the
information collection activities
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contained in the existing regulations
and has assigned OMB control number
2060–0685.
2. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTTa
The information collection activities
in this rule have been submitted for
approval to the OMB under the PRA.
The Information Collection Request
(ICR) document that the EPA prepared
has been assigned EPA ICR number
2771.01. You can find a copy of the ICR
in the docket for this rule, and it is
briefly summarized here. The
information collection requirements are
not enforceable until OMB approves
them.
Respondents/affected entities:
Owners and operators of fossil-fuel fired
EGUs.
Respondent’s obligation to respond:
Mandatory.
Estimated number of respondents: 2.
Frequency of response: Annual.
Total estimated burden: 110 hours
(per year). Burden is defined at 5 CFR
1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $12,000 (per
year), includes $0 annualized capital or
operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for the EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When
OMB approves this ICR, the Agency will
announce that approval in the Federal
Register and publish a technical
amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to display
the OMB control number for the
approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
3. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart UUUUa
This action does not impose an
information collection burden under the
PRA.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
4. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart UUUUb
The information collection activities
in this rule have been submitted for
approval to the OMB under the PRA.
The ICR document that the EPA
prepared has been assigned EPA ICR
number 2770.01. You can find a copy of
the ICR in the docket for this rule, and
it is briefly summarized here. The
information collection requirements are
not enforceable until OMB approves
them.
This rule imposes specific
requirements on state governments with
existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units. The information
collection requirements are based on the
recordkeeping and reporting burden
associated with developing,
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implementing, and enforcing a plan to
limit GHG emissions from these existing
EGUs. These recordkeeping and
reporting requirements are specifically
authorized by CAA section 114 (42
U.S.C. 7414). All information submitted
to the EPA pursuant to the
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements for which a claim of
confidentiality is made is safeguarded
according to Agency policies set forth in
40 CFR part 2, subpart B.
The annual burden for this collection
of information for the states (averaged
over the first 3 years following
promulgation) is estimated to be 89,000
hours at a total annual labor cost of
$11.7 million. The annual burden for
the Federal government associated with
the state collection of information
(averaged over the first 3 years following
promulgation) is estimated to be 24,000
hours at a total annual labor cost of $1.7
million. Burden is defined at 5 CFR
1320.3(b).
Respondents/affected entities: States
with one or more designated facilities
covered under subpart UUUUb.
Respondent’s obligation to respond:
Mandatory.
Estimated number of respondents: 43.
Frequency of response: Once.
Total estimated burden: 89,000 hours
(per year). Burden is defined at 5 CFR
1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $11.7 million,
includes $35,000 annualized capital or
operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for the EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When
OMB approves this ICR, the Agency will
announce that approval in the Federal
Register and publish a technical
amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to display
the OMB control number for the
approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
Pursuant to sections 603 and 609(b) of
the RFA, the EPA prepared an initial
regulatory flexibility analysis (IRFA) for
the proposed rule and convened a Small
Business Advocacy Review (SBAR)
Panel to obtain advice and
recommendations from small entity
representatives that potentially would
be subject to the rule’s requirements.
Summaries of the IRFA and Panel
recommendations are presented in the
supplemental proposed rule at 88 FR
80582 (November 20, 2023). The
complete IRFA and Panel Report are
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available in the docket for this
action.1052
As required by section 604 of the
RFA, the EPA prepared a final
regulatory flexibility analysis (FRFA) for
this action. The FRFA provides a
statement of the need for, and objectives
of, the rule; addresses the issues raised
by public comments on the IRFA for the
proposed rule, including public
comments filed by the Chief Counsel for
Advocacy of the Small Business
Administration; describes the small
entities to which the rule will apply;
describes the projected reporting,
recordkeeping and other compliance
requirements of the rule and their
impacts; and describes the steps the
agency has taken to minimize impacts
on small entities consistent with the
stated objectives of the Clean Air Act.
The complete FRFA is available for
review in the docket and is summarized
here. The scope of the FRFA is limited
to the NSPS. The impacts of the
emission guidelines are not evaluated
here because the emission guidelines do
not place explicit requirements on the
regulated industry. Those impacts will
be evaluated pursuant to the
development of a Federal plan.
In 2009, the EPA concluded that GHG
emissions endanger our nation’s public
health and welfare. Since that time, the
evidence of the harms posed by GHG
emissions has only grown and
Americans experience the destructive
and worsening effects of climate change
every day. Fossil fuel-fired EGUs are the
nation’s largest stationary source of
GHG emissions, representing 25 percent
of the United States’ total GHG
emissions in 2021. At the same time, a
range of cost-effective technologies and
approaches to reduce GHG emissions
from these sources are available to the
power sector, and multiple projects are
in various stages of operation and
development. Congress has also acted to
provide funding and other incentives to
encourage the deployment of these
technologies to achieve reductions in
GHG emissions from the power sector.
In this notice, the EPA is finalizing
several actions under CAA section 111
to reduce the significant quantity of
GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired
EGUs by establishing emission
guidelines and NSPS that are based on
available and cost-effective technologies
that directly reduce GHG emissions
from these sources. Consistent with the
statutory command of CAA section 111,
the final NSPS and emission guidelines
reflect the application of the BSER that,
1052 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–8109 and Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–
2023–0072–8108.
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taking into account costs, energy
requirements, and other statutory
factors, is adequately demonstrated.
These final actions ensure that EGUs
reduce their GHG emissions in a manner
that is cost-effective and improve the
emissions performance of the sources,
consistent with the applicable CAA
requirements and caselaw. These
standards and emission guidelines will
significantly decrease GHG emissions
from fossil fuel-fired EGUs and the
associated harms to human health and
welfare. Further, the EPA has designed
these standards and emission guidelines
in a way that is compatible with the
nation’s overall need for a reliable
supply of affordable electricity.
The significant issues raised in public
comments specifically in response to
the initial regulatory flexibility analysis
came from the Office of Advocacy
within the Small Business
Administration (Advocacy). The EPA
agreed that convening a SBAR Panel
was warranted because the EPA
solicited comment on a number of
policy options that, if finalized, could
affect the estimate of total compliance
costs and therefore the impacts on small
entities. The EPA issued an IRFA and
solicited comment on regulatory
flexibilities for small business in a
supplemental proposed rule, published
in November 2023.
Advocacy provided further
substantive comments on the IRFA that
accompanied the November 2023
supplemental proposed rule. The
comments reiterated the concerns raised
in its original comment letter on the
proposed rule and further made the
following claims: (1) the IRFA does not
provide small entities an accurate
description of the impacts of the
proposed rule, (2) small entities remain
concerned that the EPA has not taken
reliability concerns seriously.
In response to these comments and
feedback during the SBAR Panel, the
EPA revised its small business
assessment to incorporate the final SBA
guidelines (effective March 17th 2023)
when performing the screening analysis
to identify small businesses that have
built or have planned/committed builds
of combustion turbines since 2017. The
EPA also treated additional entities
within this subset as small based on
feedback received during the panel
process. The net effect of these changes
is to increase the total compliance cost
attributed to small entities, and the
number of small entities potentially
affected. The EPA additionally
increased the assumed delivered
hydrogen price to $1.15/kg.
Further, the EPA is finalizing multiple
adjustments to the proposed rule that
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ensure the requirements in the final
actions can be implemented without
compromising the ability of power
companies, grid operators, and state and
Federal energy regulators to maintain
resource adequacy and grid reliability.
To estimate the number of small
businesses potentially impacted by the
NSPS, the EPA performed a small entity
screening analysis for impacts on all
affected EGUs by comparing compliance
costs to historic revenues at the ultimate
parent company level. The EPA
reviewed historical data and planned
builds since 2017 to determine the
universe of NGCC and natural gas
combustion turbine additions. Next, the
EPA followed SBA size standards to
determine which ultimate parent
entities should be considered small
entities in this analysis.
Once the costs of the rule were
calculated, the costs attributed to small
entities were calculated by multiplying
the total costs to the share of the
historical build attributed to small
entities. These costs were then shared to
individual entities using the ratio of
their build to total small entity
additions in the historical dataset.
The EPA assessed the economic and
financial impacts of the rule using the
ratio of compliance costs to the value of
revenues from electricity generation,
focusing in particular on entities for
which this measure is greater than 1
percent. Of the 14 entities that own
NGCC units considered in this analysis,
three are projected to experience
compliance costs greater than or equal
to 1 percent of generation revenues in
2035 and none are projected to
experience compliance costs greater
than or equal to 3 percent of generation
revenues in 2035.
Prior to the November 2023
supplemental proposed rule, the EPA
convened a SBAR Panel to obtain
recommendations from small entity
representatives (SERs) on elements of
the regulation. The Panel identified
significant alternatives for consideration
by the Administrator of the EPA, which
were summarized in a final report.
Based on the Panel recommendations,
as well as comments received in
response to both the May 2023 proposed
rule and the November 2023
supplemental proposed rule, the EPA is
finalizing several regulatory alternatives
that could accomplish the stated
objectives of the Clean Air Act while
minimizing any significant economic
impact of the final rule on small
entities. Discussion of those alternatives
is provided below.
Mechanisms for reliability relief: As
described in section XII.F of this
preamble, the EPA is finalizing several
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40023
adjustments to provisions in the
proposed rules that address reliability
concerns and ensure that the final rules
provide adequate flexibilities and
assurance mechanisms that allow grid
operators to continue to fulfill their
responsibilities to maintain the
reliability of the bulk-power system.
The EPA is additionally finalizing
additional reliability-related
instruments to provide further certainty
that implementation of these final rules
will not intrude on grid operator’s
ability to ensure reliability. The shortterm reliability emergency mechanism,
which is available for both new and
existing units, is designed to provide an
alternative compliance strategy during
acute system emergencies when
reliability might be threatened. The
reliability assurance mechanism will be
available for existing units that intend to
cease operating, but, for unforeseen
reasons, need to temporarily remain
online to support reliability beyond the
planned cease operation date. This
reliability assurance mechanism, which
requires an adequate showing of
reliability need, is intended to apply to
circumstances where there is
insufficient time to complete a state
plan revision. Whether to grant an
extension to an owner/operator is solely
the decision of the EPA. Concurrence or
approval of FERC is not a condition but
may inform EPA’s decision. These
instruments will be presumptively
approvable, provided they meet the
requirements defined in these emission
guidelines, if states choose to
incorporate them into their plans.
Throughout the SBAR Panel outreach,
SERs expressed concerns that the
proposed rule will have significant
reliability impacts, including that areas
with transmission system limitations
and energy market constraints risk
power interruption if replacement
generation cannot be put in place before
retirements. SERs recommended that
Regional Transmission Organizations
(RTOs) be involved to evaluate safety
and reliability concerns.
SERs additionally stated that the
proposed rule relies on the continued
development of technologies not
currently in wide use and large-scale
investments in new infrastructure and
that the proposed rule pushes these
technologies significantly faster than the
infrastructure will be ready and sooner
than the SERs can justify investment to
their stakeholders and ratepayers. SERs
stated that this is of particular concern
for small entities that are retiring
generation in response to other
regulatory mandates and need to replace
that generation to continue serving their
customers.
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The suite of comprehensive
adjustments in the final rules, along
with the two explicit reliability
mechanisms are directly responsive to
SER’s statements and concerns about
grid reliability and the impact of retiring
generating on small businesses.
Subcategories: Throughout the SBAR
Panel, SERs expressed concerns that
control requirements on rural electric
cooperatives may be an additional
hardship on economically
disadvantaged communities and small
entities. SERs stated that the EPA
should further evaluate increased
energy costs, transmission upgrade
costs, and infrastructure encroachment
which are concrete effects on the
disproportionately impacted
communities. Additionally, SERs stated
hydrogen and CCS cannot be BSER
because they are not commercially
available and viable in very rural areas.
The EPA solicited comment on
potential exclusions or subcategories for
small entities that would be based on
the class, type, or size of the source and
be consistent with the Clean Air Act.
The EPA also solicited comment on
whether rural electric cooperatives and
small utility distribution systems
(serving 50,000 customers or less) can
expect to have access to hydrogen and
CCS infrastructure, and if a subcategory
for these units is appropriate.
The EPA evaluated public comments
received and determined that
establishing a separate subcategory for
rural electric cooperatives was not
warranted. However, the EPA is not
finalizing the low-GHG hydrogen BSER
pathway. In response to concerns raised
by small business and other
commenters, the EPA conducted
additional analysis of the BSER criteria
and its proposed determination that
low-GHG hydrogen co-firing qualified as
the BSER. This additional analysis led
the EPA to assess that the cost of lowGHG hydrogen in 2030 will likely be
higher than proposed, and these higher
cost estimates and associated
uncertainties related to its nationwide
availability were key factors in the
EPA’s decision to revise its 2030 cost
estimate for delivered low-GHG
hydrogen and are reflected in the
increased price. For CCS, as discussed
in sections VIII.F.4.c.iv and VII.C.1.a of
this preamble, the EPA considered
geographic availability of sequestration,
as well as the timelines, materials, and
workforce necessary for installing CCS,
and determined they are sufficient.
Moreover, while the BSER is premised
on source-to-sink CO2 pipelines and
sequestration, the EPA notes that many
EGUs in rural areas are primed to take
advantage of synergy with the broader
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deployment of CCS in other industries.
Capture, pipelines, and sequestration
are already in place or in advanced
stages of deployment for ethanol
production from corn, an industry
rooted in rural areas. The high purity
CO2 from ethanol production provides
advantageous economics for CCS.
The EPA believes the decision to not
finalize a low-GHG hydrogen BSER
pathway is responsive to SER’s
statements and concerns regarding the
availability of low-GHG hydrogen in
very rural areas.
In addition, the EPA is preparing a
Small Entity Compliance Guide to help
small entities comply with this rule.
The guide will be available 60 days after
publication of the final rule at https://
www.epa.gov/stationary-sources-airpollution/greenhouse-gas-standardsand-guidelines-fossil-fuel-fired-power.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of
1995 (UMRA)
The NSPS contain a Federal mandate
under UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531–1538, that
may result in expenditures of $100
million or more for the private sector in
any one year. The NSPS do not contain
an unfunded mandate of $100 million or
more as described in UMRA, 2 U.S.C.
1531–1538 for state, local, and tribal
governments, in the aggregate.
Accordingly, the EPA prepared, under
section 202 of UMRA, a written
statement of the benefit-cost analysis,
which is in section XIII.A of this
preamble and in the RIA.
The repeal of the ACE Rule and
emission guidelines do not contain an
unfunded mandate of $100 million or
more as described in UMRA, 2 U.S.C.
1531–1538, and do not significantly or
uniquely affect small governments. The
emission guidelines do not impose any
direct compliance requirements on
regulated entities, apart from the
requirement for states to develop plans
to implement the guidelines under CAA
section 111(d) for designated EGUs. The
burden for states to develop CAA
section 111(d) plans in the 24-month
period following promulgation of the
emission guidelines was estimated and
is listed in section XIII.B, but this
burden is estimated to be below $100
million in any one year. As explained in
section X.E.6, the emission guidelines
do not impose specific requirements on
tribal governments that have designated
EGUs located in their area of Indian
country.
These actions are not subject to the
requirements of section 203 of UMRA
because they contain no regulatory
requirements that might significantly or
uniquely affect small governments. In
light of the interest in these actions
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among governmental entities, the EPA
initiated consultation with
governmental entities. The EPA invited
the following 10 national organizations
representing state and local elected
officials to a virtual meeting on
September 22, 2022: (1) National
Governors Association, (2) National
Conference of State Legislatures, (3)
Council of State Governments, (4)
National League of Cities, (5) U.S.
Conference of Mayors, (6) National
Association of Counties, (7)
International City/County Management
Association, (8) National Association of
Towns and Townships, (9) County
Executives of America, and (10)
Environmental Council of States. These
10 organizations representing elected
state and local officials have been
identified by the EPA as the ‘‘Big 10’’
organizations appropriate to contact for
purpose of consultation with elected
officials. Also, the EPA invited air and
utility professional groups who may
have state and local government
members, including the Association of
Air Pollution Control Agencies,
National Association of Clean Air
Agencies, and American Public Power
Association, Large Public Power
Council, National Rural Electric
Cooperative Association, and National
Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners to participate in the
meeting. The purpose of the
consultation was to provide general
background on these rulemakings,
answer questions, and solicit input from
state and local governments. For a
summary of the UMRA consultation see
the memorandum in the docket titled
Federalism Pre-Proposal Consultation
Summary.1053
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
These actions do not have federalism
implications as that term is defined in
E.O. 13132. Consistent with the
cooperative federalism approach
directed by the Clean Air Act, states will
establish standards of performance for
existing sources under the emission
guidelines set out in this final rule.
These actions will not have substantial
direct effects on the states, on the
relationship between the national
government and the states, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government.
Although the direct compliance costs
may not be substantial, the EPA
nonetheless elected to consult with
representatives of state and local
governments in the process of
1053 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0033.
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developing these actions to permit them
to have meaningful and timely input
into their development. The EPA’s
consultation regarded planned actions
for the NSPS and emission guidelines.
The EPA invited the following 10
national organizations representing state
and local elected officials to a virtual
meeting on September 22, 2022: (1)
National Governors Association, (2)
National Conference of State
Legislatures, (3) Council of State
Governments, (4) National League of
Cities, (5) U.S. Conference of Mayors, (6)
National Association of Counties, (7)
International City/County Management
Association, (8) National Association of
Towns and Townships, (9) County
Executives of America, and (10)
Environmental Council of States. These
10 organizations representing elected
state and local officials have been
identified by the EPA as the ‘‘Big 10’’
organizations appropriate to contact for
purpose of consultation with elected
officials. Also, the EPA invited air and
utility professional groups who may
have state and local government
members, including the Association of
Air Pollution Control Agencies,
National Association of Clean Air
Agencies, and American Public Power
Association, Large Public Power
Council, National Rural Electric
Cooperative Association, and National
Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners to participate in the
meeting. The purpose of the
consultation was to provide general
background on these rulemakings,
answer questions, and solicit input from
state and local governments. For a
summary of the Federalism consultation
see the memorandum in the docket
titled Federalism Pre-Proposal
Consultation Summary.1054
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
These actions do not have tribal
implications, as specified in Executive
Order 13175. The NSPS imposes
requirements on owners and operators
of new or reconstructed stationary
combustion turbines and the emission
guidelines do not impose direct
requirements on tribal governments.
Tribes are not required to develop plans
to implement the emission guidelines
developed under CAA section 111(d) for
designated EGUs. The EPA is aware of
two fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units located in Indian country, and one
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
owned or operated by tribal entities.
1054 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0033.
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The EPA notes that the emission
guidelines do not directly impose
specific requirements on EGU sources,
including those located in Indian
country, but before developing any
standards for sources on tribal land, the
EPA would consult with leaders from
affected tribes. Thus, Executive Order
13175 does not apply to these actions.
Because the EPA is aware of tribal
interest in these rules and consistent
with the EPA Policy on Consultation
and Coordination with Indian Tribes,
the EPA offered government-togovernment consultation with tribes and
conducted outreach and engagement.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks Populations and
Low-Income Populations
This action is subject to Executive
Order 13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23,
1997) because it is a significant
regulatory action as defined by E.O.
12866(3)(f)(1), and the EPA believes that
the environmental health or safety risk
addressed by this action has a
disproportionate effect on children.
Accordingly, the Agency has evaluated
the environmental health and welfare
effects of climate change on children.
GHGs contribute to climate change and
are emitted in significant quantities by
the power sector. The EPA believes that
the GHG emission reductions resulting
from implementation of these standards
and guidelines will further improve
children’s health. The assessment
literature cited in the EPA’s 2009
Endangerment Findings concluded that
certain populations and life stages,
including children, the elderly, and the
poor, are most vulnerable to climaterelated health effects (74 FR 66524,
December 15, 2009). The assessment
literature since 2016 strengthens these
conclusions by providing more detailed
findings regarding these groups’
vulnerabilities and the projected
impacts they may experience. These
assessments describe how children’s
unique physiological and
developmental factors contribute to
making them particularly vulnerable to
climate change. Impacts to children are
expected from heat waves, air pollution,
infectious and waterborne illnesses, and
mental health effects resulting from
extreme weather events. In addition,
children are among those especially
susceptible to most allergic diseases, as
well as health effects associated with
heat waves, storms, and floods.
Additional health concerns may arise in
low-income households, especially
those with children, if climate change
reduces food availability and increases
prices, leading to food insecurity within
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households. More detailed information
on the impacts of climate change to
human health and welfare is provided
in section III of this preamble. Under
these final actions, the EPA expects that
CO2 emissions reductions will improve
air quality and mitigate climate impacts
which will benefit the health and
welfare of children.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
These actions, which are significant
regulatory actions under Executive
Order 12866, are likely to have to have
a significant adverse effect on the
supply, distribution or use of energy.
The EPA has prepared a Statement of
Energy Effects for these actions as
follows. The EPA estimates a 1.4
percent increase in retail electricity
prices on average, across the contiguous
U.S. in 2035, and a 42 percent reduction
in coal-fired electricity generation in
2035 as a result of these actions. The
EPA projects that utility power sector
delivered natural gas prices will
increase 3 percent in 2035. As outlined
in the Final TSD, Resource Adequacy
Analysis, available in the docket for this
rulemaking, the EPA demonstrates that
compliance with the final rules can be
achieved while maintaining resource
adequacy, and that the rules include
additional flexibility measures designed
to address reliability-related concerns.
For more information on the estimated
energy effects, please refer section 3 of
the RIA, which is in the public docket.
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
This rulemaking involves technical
standards. Therefore, the EPA
conducted searches for the New Source
Performance Standards for Greenhouse
Gas Emissions from New, Modified, and
Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; Emission Guidelines
for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; and Repeal of the
Affordable Clean Energy Rule through
the Enhanced National Standards
Systems Network (NSSN) Database
managed by the American National
Standards Institute (ANSI). Searches
were conducted for EPA Method 19 of
40 CFR part 60, appendix A. No
applicable voluntary consensus
standards (VCS) were identified for EPA
Method 19. For additional information,
please see the March 23, 2023,
memorandum titled Voluntary
Consensus Standard Results for New
Source Performance Standards for
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions from Existing Fossil FuelFired Electric Generating Units; and
Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy
Rule.1055
In accordance with the requirements
of 1 CFR part 51, the EPA is
incorporating the following 10
voluntary consensus standards by
reference in the final rule.
• ANSI C12.20–2010, American
National Standard for Electricity
Meters—0.2 and 0.5 Accuracy Classes
(Approved August 31, 2010) is cited in
the final rule to assure consistent
monitoring of electric output. This
standard establishes the physical
aspects and acceptable performance
criteria for 0.2 and 0.5 accuracy class
electricity meters. These meters would
be used to measure hourly electric
output that would be used, in part, to
calculate compliance with an emissions
standard.
• ASME PTC 22–2014, Gas Turbines:
Performance Test Codes, (Issued
December 31, 2014), is cited in the final
rule to provide directions and rules for
conduct and reporting of results of
thermal performance tests for open
cycle simple cycle combustion turbines.
The object is to determine the thermal
performance of the combustion turbine
when operating at test conditions and
correcting these test results to specified
reference conditions. PTC 22 provides
explicit procedures for the
determination of the following
performance results: corrected power,
corrected heat rate (efficiency),
corrected exhaust flow, corrected
exhaust energy, and corrected exhaust
temperature. Tests may be designed to
satisfy different goals, including
absolute performance and comparative
performance.
• ASME PTC 46–1996, Performance
Test Code on Overall Plant Performance,
(Issued October 15, 1997), is cited in the
final rule to provide uniform test
methods and procedures for the
determination of the thermal
performance and electrical output of
heat-cycle electric power plants and
combined heat and power units (PTC 46
is not applicable to simple cycle
combustion turbines). Test results
provide a measure of the performance of
a power plant or thermal island at a
specified cycle configuration, operating
disposition and/or fixed power level,
and at a unique set of base reference
conditions. PTC 46 provides explicit
1055 See Document ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2023–
0072–0032.
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procedures for the determination of the
following performance results: corrected
net power, corrected heat rate, and
corrected heat input.
• ASTM D388–99 (Reapproved 2004),
Standard Classification of Coals by
Rank, covers the classification of coals
by rank, that is, according to their
degree of metamorphism, or progressive
alteration, in the natural series from
lignite to anthracite. It is used to define
coal as a fuel type which is then
referenced when defining coal-fired
electric generating units, one of the
subjects of this rule.
• ASTM D396–98, Standard
Specification for Fuel Oils, covers
grades of fuel oil intended for use in
various types of fuel-oil-burning
equipment under various climatic and
operating conditions. These include
Grades 1 and 2 (for use in domestic and
small industrial burners), Grade 4
(heavy distillate fuels or distillate/
residual fuel blends used in
commercial/industrial burners equipped
for this viscosity range), and Grades 5
and 6 (residual fuels of increasing
viscosity and boiling range, used in
industrial burners).
• ASTM D975–08a, Standard
Specification for Diesel Fuel Oils,
covers seven grades of diesel fuel oils
based on grade, sulfur content, and
volatility. These grades range from
Grade No. 1–D S15 (a special-purpose,
light middle distillate fuel for use in
diesel engine applications requiring a
fuel with 15 ppm sulfur (maximum) and
higher volatility than that provided by
Grade No. 2–D S15 fuel) to Grade No.
4–D (a heavy distillate fuel, or a blend
of distillate and residual oil, for use in
low- and medium-speed diesel engines
in applications involving predominantly
constant speed and load).
• ASTM D3699–08, Standard
Specification for Kerosine, including
Appendix X1, (Approved September 1,
2008) covers two grades of kerosene
suitable for use in critical kerosene
burner applications: No. 1–K (a special
low sulfur grade kerosene suitable for
use in non-flue-connected kerosene
burner appliances and for use in wickfed illuminating lamps) and No. 2–K (a
regular grade kerosene suitable for use
in flue-connected burner appliances and
for use in wick-fed illuminating lamps).
It is used to define kerosene, which is
a type of uniform fuel listed in this rule.
• ASTM D6751–11b, Standard
Specification for Biodiesel Fuel Blend
Stock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels,
including Appendices X1 through X3,
(Approved July 15, 2011) covers
biodiesel (B100) Grades S15 and S500
for use as a blend component with
middle distillate fuels. It is used to
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define biodiesel, which is a type of
uniform fuel listed in this rule.
• ASTM D7467–10, Standard
Specification for Diesel Fuel Oil,
Biodiesel Blend (B6 to B20), including
Appendices X1 through X3, (Approved
August 1, 2010) covers fuel blend grades
of 6 to 20 volume percent biodiesel with
the remainder being a light middle or
middle distillate diesel fuel, collectively
designated as B6 to B20. It is used to
define biodiesel blends, which is a type
of uniform fuel listed in this rule.
• ISO 2314:2009(E), Gas turbines–
Acceptance tests, Third edition
(December 15, 2009) is cited in the final
rule for its guidance on determining
performance characteristics of stationary
combustion turbines. ISO 2314 specifies
guidelines and procedures for
preparing, conducting and reporting
thermal acceptance tests in order to
determine and/or verify electrical power
output, mechanical power, thermal
efficiency (heat rate), turbine exhaust
gas energy and/or other performance
characteristics of open-cycle simple
cycle combustion turbines using
combustion systems supplied with
gaseous and/or liquid fuels as well as
closed-cycle and semi closed-cycle
simple cycle combustion turbines. It can
also be applied to simple cycle
combustion turbines in combined cycle
power plants or in connection with
other heat recovery systems. ISO 2314
includes procedures for the
determination of the following
performance parameters, corrected to
the reference operating parameters:
electrical or mechanical power output
(gas power, if only gas is supplied),
thermal efficiency or heat rate; and
combustion turbine engine exhaust
energy (optionally exhaust temperature
and flow).
The EPA determined that the ANSI,
ASME, ASTM, and ISO standards,
notwithstanding the age of the
standards, are reasonably available
because they are available for purchase
from the following addresses: American
National Standards Institute (ANSI), 25
West 43rd Street, 4th Floor, New York,
NY 10036–7422, +1.212.642.4900, info@
ansi.org, www.ansi.org; American
Society of Mechanical Engineers
(ASME), Two Park Avenue, New York,
NY 10016–5990, +1.800.843.2763,
customercare@asme.org, www.asme.org;
ASTM International, 100 Barr Harbor
Drive, Post Office Box C700, West
Conshohocken, PA 19428–2959,
+1.610.832.9500, www.astm.org;
International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), Chemin de
Blandonnet 8, CP 401, 1214 Vernier,
Geneva, Switzerland, +41.22.749.01.11,
customerservice@iso.org, www.iso.org.
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J. Executive Order 12898: Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations and Executive
Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation’s
Commitment to Environmental Justice
for All
The EPA believes that the human
health or environmental conditions that
exist prior to these actions result in or
have the potential to result in
disproportionate and adverse human
health or environmental effects on
communities with environmental justice
concerns. Baseline PM2.5 and ozone and
exposure analyses show that certain
populations, such as residents of
redlined census tracts, those
linguistically isolated, Hispanic, Asian,
and those without a high school
diploma may experience higher ozone
and PM2.5 exposures as compared to the
national average. American Indian
populations, residents of Tribal Lands,
populations with life expectancy data
unavailable, children, and unemployed
populations may also experience
disproportionately higher ozone
concentrations than the national
average. Black populations may also
experience disproportionately higher
PM2.5 concentrations than the national
average.
For existing sources, the EPA believes
that this action is not likely to change
existing disproportionate and adverse
disparities among communities with EJ
concerns regarding PM2.5 exposures in
all future years evaluated and ozone
exposures for most demographic groups
in the future years evaluated. However,
in 2035, under the illustrative
compliance scenarios analyzed, it is
possible that Asian populations,
Hispanic populations, and those
linguistically isolated, and those living
on Tribal land may experience a slight
exacerbation of ozone exposure
disparities at the national level (EJ
question 3). Additionally at the national
level, those living on Tribal land may
experience a slight exacerbation of
ozone exposure disparities in 2040 and
a slight mitigation of ozone exposure
disparities in 2028 and 2030. At the
state level, ozone exposure disparities
may be either mitigated or exacerbated
for certain demographic groups
analyzed, also to a small degree. As
discussed above, it is important to note
that this analysis does not consider any
potential impact of the meaningful
engagement provisions or all of the
other protections that are in place that
can reduce the risks of localized
emissions increases in a manner that is
protective of public health, safety, and
the environment.
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For new sources, the EPA believes
that it is not practicable to assess
whether this action is likely to result in
new disproportionate and adverse
effects on communities with
environmental justice concerns, because
the location and number of new sources
is unknown. However, the EPA believes
that the projected total cumulative
power sector reduction of 1,365 million
metric tons of CO2 emissions between
2028 and 2047 will have a beneficial
effect on populations at risk of climate
change effects/impacts. Research
indicates that racial, ethnic, and low
socioeconomic status, vulnerable
lifestages, and geographic locations may
leave individuals uniquely vulnerable to
climate change health impacts in the
U.S.
The information supporting this
Executive Order review is contained in
section XII.E of this preamble and in
section 6, Environmental Justice
Impacts of the RIA, which is in the
public docket.
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
This action is subject to the CRA, and
the EPA will submit the rule report to
each House of the Congress and to the
Comptroller General of the United
States. This action meets the criteria set
forth in 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
XIV. Statutory Authority
The statutory authority for the actions
in this rulemaking is provided by
sections 111, 302, and 307(d)(1) of the
CAA as amended (42 U.S.C. 7411, 7602,
7607(d)(1)). These actions are subject to
section 307(d) of the CAA (42 U.S.C.
7607(d)).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 60
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedures,
Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
Michael S. Regan,
Administrator.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, the EPA amends 40 CFR part
60 as follows:
PART 60—STANDARDS OF
PERFORMANCE FOR NEW
STATIONARY SOURCES
1. The authority citation for part 60
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart A—General Provisions
2. Section 60.17 is amended by:
a. Revising paragraphs (d)(1), (g)(15)
and (16), (h)(38), (43), (47), (145), (206),
■
■
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40027
and (212), the introductory text of
paragraph (i);
■ b. Removing note 1 to paragraph (k)
and paragraph (l);
■ c. Redesignating paragraphs (j)
through (u) as shown in the following
table:
Old paragraph
(j) ...............................
(k) ..............................
(m) through (o) ..........
(p) through (r) ............
(s) ..............................
(t) ...............................
(u) ..............................
New paragraph
(k).
(m).
(n) through (p).
(r) through (t).
(q).
(j).
(l).
d. Revising newly-redesignated
paragraphs (j) and (l), the introductory
text to newly-redesignated paragraph
(m), newly-redesignated paragraph (n),
and the introductory text to newlyredesignated paragraphs (o), (q), and (r).
The revisions read as follows:
■
§ 60.17
Incorporations by reference.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(1) ANSI No. C12.20–2010 American
National Standard for Electricity
Meters—0.2 and 0.5 Accuracy Classes
(Approved August 31, 2010); IBR
approved for §§ 60.5535(d); 60.5535a(d);
60.5860b(a).
*
*
*
*
*
(g) * * *
(15) ASME PTC 22–2014, Gas
Turbines: Performance Test Codes,
(Issued December 31, 2014); IBR
approved for §§ 60.5580; 60.5580a.
(16) ASME PTC 46–1996,
Performance Test Code on Overall Plant
Performance, (Issued October 15,1997);
IBR approved for §§ 60.5580; 60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(h) * * *
(38) ASTM D388–99 (Reapproved
2004) e1(ASTM D388–99R04), Standard
Classification of Coals by Rank,
(Approved June 1, 2004); IBR approved
for §§ 60.41; 60.45(f); 60.41Da; 60.41b;
60.41c; 60.251; 60.5580; 60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(43) ASTM D396–98, Standard
Specification for Fuel Oils, (Approved
April 10, 1998); IBR approved for
§§ 60.41b; 60.41c; 60.111(b); 60.111a(b);
60.5580; 60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(47) ASTM D975–08a, Standard
Specification for Diesel Fuel Oils,
(Approved October 1, 2008); IBR
approved for §§ 60.41b; 60.41c; 60.5580;
60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(145) ASTM D3699–08, Standard
Specification for Kerosine, including
Appendix X1, (Approved September 1,
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2008); IBR approved for §§ 60.41b;
60.41c; 60.5580; 60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(206) ASTM D6751–11b, Standard
Specification for Biodiesel Fuel Blend
Stock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels,
including Appendices X1 through X3,
(Approved July 15, 2011), IBR approved
for §§ 60.41b, 60.41c, 60.5580, and
60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(212) ASTM D7467–10, Standard
Specification for Diesel Fuel Oil,
Biodiesel Blend (B6 to B20), including
Appendices X1 through X3, (Approved
August 1, 2010), IBR approved for
§§ 60.41b, 60.41c, 60.5580, and
60.5580a.
*
*
*
*
*
(i) Association of Official Analytical
Chemists, 1111 North 19th Street, Suite
210, Arlington, VA 22209; phone: (301)
927–7077; website: https://
www.aoac.org/.
*
*
*
*
*
(j) CSA Group (CSA) (formerly
Canadian Standards Association), 178
Rexdale Boulevard, Toronto, Ontario,
Canada; phone: (800) 463–6727;
website: https://shop.csa.ca.
(1) CSA B415.1–10, Performance
Testing of Solid-fuel-burning Heating
Appliances, (March 2010), IBR
approved for §§ 60.534; 60.5476.
(2) [Reserved]
*
*
*
*
*
(l) European Standards (EN),
European Committee for
Standardization, Management Centre,
Avenue Marnix 17, B–1000 Brussels,
Belgium; phone: + 32 2 550 08 11;
website: https://www.en-standard.eu.
(1) DIN EN 303–5:2012E (EN 303–5),
Heating boilers—Part 5: Heating boilers
for solid fuels, manually and
automatically stoked, nominal heat
output of up to 500 kW—Terminology,
requirements, testing and marking,
(October 2012), IBR approved for
§ 60.5476.
(2) [Reserved]
*
*
*
*
*
(m) GPA Midstream Association, 6060
American Plaza, Suite 700, Tulsa, OK
74135; phone: (918) 493–3872; website:
www.gpamidstream.org.
*
*
*
*
*
(n) International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), 1, ch. de la VoieCreuse, Case postale 56, CH–1211
Geneva 20, Switzerland; phone: + 41 22
749 01 11; website: www.iso.org.
(1) ISO 8178–4: 1996(E),
Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines—Exhaust Emission
Measurement—part 4: Test Cycles for
Different Engine Applications, IBR
approved for § 60.4241(b).
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(2) ISO 2314:2009(E), Gas turbines–
Acceptance tests, Third edition
(December 15, 2009), IBR approved for
§§ 60.5580; 60.5580a.
(3) ISO 8316: Measurement of Liquid
Flow in Closed Conduits—Method by
Collection of the Liquid in a Volumetric
Tank (1987–10–01)—First Edition, IBR
approved for § 60.107a(d).
(4) ISO 10715:1997(E), Natural gas—
Sampling guidelines, (First Edition,
June 1, 1997), IBR approved for
§ 60.4415(a).
(o) National Technical Information
Services (NTIS), 5285 Port Royal Road,
Springfield, Virginia 22161.
*
*
*
*
*
(q) Pacific Lumber Inspection Bureau
(formerly West Coast Lumber Inspection
Bureau), 1010 South 336th Street #210,
Federal Way, WA 98003; phone: (253)
835.3344; website: www.plib.org.
*
*
*
*
*
(r) Technical Association of the Pulp
and Paper Industry (TAPPI), 15
Technology Parkway South, Suite 115,
Peachtree Corners, GA 30092; phone
(800) 332–8686; website: www.tappi.org.
*
*
*
*
*
Subpart TTTT—Standards of
Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions for Electric Generating
Units
3. Section 60.5508 is revised to read
as follows:
■
§ 60.5508
subpart?
What is the purpose of this
This subpart establishes emission
standards and compliance schedules for
the control of greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions from a steam generating unit
or an integrated gasification combined
cycle (IGCC) facility that commences
construction after January 8, 2014,
commences reconstruction after June 18,
2014, or commences modification after
January 8, 2014, but on or before May
23, 2023. This subpart also establishes
emission standards and compliance
schedules for the control of GHG
emissions from a stationary combustion
turbine that commences construction
after January 8, 2014, but on or before
May 23, 2023, or commences
reconstruction after June 18, 2014, but
on or before May 23, 2023. An affected
steam generating unit, IGCC, or
stationary combustion turbine shall, for
the purposes of this subpart, be referred
to as an affected electric generating unit
(EGU).
4. Section 60.5509 is revised to read
as follows:
■
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§ 60.5509 What are my general
requirements for complying with this
subpart?
(a) Except as provided for in
paragraph (b) of this section, the GHG
standards included in this subpart apply
to any steam generating unit or IGCC
that commenced construction after
January 8, 2014, or commenced
modification or reconstruction after
June 18, 2014, that meets the relevant
applicability conditions in paragraphs
(a)(1) and (2) of this section. The GHG
standards included in this subpart also
apply to any stationary combustion
turbine that commenced construction
after January 8, 2014, but on or before
May 23, 2023, or commenced
reconstruction after June 18, 2014, but
on or before May 23, 2023, that meets
the relevant applicability conditions in
paragraphs (a)(1) and (2) of this section.
(1) Has a base load rating greater than
260 gigajoules per hour (GJ/h) (250
million British thermal units per hour
(MMBtu/h)) of fossil fuel (either alone
or in combination with any other fuel);
and
(2) Serves a generator or generators
capable of selling greater than 25
megawatts (MW) of electricity to a
utility power distribution system.
(b) You are not subject to the
requirements of this subpart if your
affected EGU meets any of the
conditions specified in paragraphs (b)(1)
through (10) of this section.
(1) Your EGU is a steam generating
unit or IGCC whose annual net-electric
sales have never exceeded one-third of
its potential electric output or 219,000
megawatt-hour (MWh), whichever is
greater, and is currently subject to a
federally enforceable permit condition
limiting annual net-electric sales to no
more than one-third of its potential
electric output or 219,000 MWh,
whichever is greater.
(2) Your EGU is capable of deriving 50
percent or more of the heat input from
non-fossil fuel at the base load rating
and is also subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting
the annual capacity factor for all fossil
fuels combined of 10 percent (0.10) or
less.
(3) Your EGU is a combined heat and
power unit that is subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than
either 219,000 MWh or the product of
the design efficiency and the potential
electric output, whichever is greater.
(4) Your EGU serves a generator along
with other steam generating unit(s),
IGCC, or stationary combustion
turbine(s) where the effective generation
capacity (determined based on a
prorated output of the base load rating
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of each steam generating unit, IGCC, or
stationary combustion turbine) is 25
MW or less.
(5) Your EGU is a municipal waste
combustor that is subject to subpart Eb
of this part.
(6) Your EGU is a commercial or
industrial solid waste incineration unit
that is subject to subpart CCCC of this
part.
(7) Your EGU is a steam generating
unit or IGCC that undergoes a
modification resulting in an hourly
increase in CO2 emissions (mass per
hour) of 10 percent or less (2 significant
figures). Modified units that are not
subject to the requirements of this
subpart pursuant to this paragraph (b)(7)
continue to be existing units under
section 111 with respect to CO2
emissions standards.
(8) Your EGU is a stationary
combustion turbine that is not capable
of combusting natural gas (e.g., not
connected to a natural gas pipeline).
(9) Your EGU derives greater than 50
percent of the heat input from an
industrial process that does not produce
any electrical or mechanical output or
useful thermal output that is used
outside the affected EGU.
(10) Your EGU is subject to subpart
TTTTa of this part.
■ 5. Section 60.5520 is revised to read
as follows:
(a) For each affected EGU subject to
this subpart, you must not discharge
from the affected EGU any gases that
contain CO2 in excess of the applicable
CO2 emission standard specified in table
1 or 2 to this subpart, consistent with
paragraphs (b), (c), and (d) of this
section, as applicable.
(b) Except as specified in paragraphs
(c) and (d) of this section, you must
comply with the applicable gross or net
energy output standard, and your
operating permit must include
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting methodologies based on the
applicable gross or net energy output
standard. For the remainder of this
subpart (for sources that do not qualify
under paragraphs (c) and (d) of this
section), where the term ‘‘gross or net
energy output’’ is used, the term that
applies to you is ‘‘gross energy output.’’
(c) As an alternate to meeting the
requirements in paragraph (b) of this
CO2 emissions standard =
(2) Owners or operators of stationary
combustion turbines permitted to burn
fuels that do not have a consistent
chemical composition or that do not
have an emission rate of 69 kg/GJ (160
lb CO2/MMBtu) or less (e.g., nonuniform fuels such as residual oil and
non-jet fuel kerosene) must follow the
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements necessary to
complete the heat input-based
calculations under this subpart.
6. Section 60.5525 is revised to read
as follows:
■
§ 60.5525 What are my general
requirements for complying with this
subpart?
Combustion turbines qualifying under
§ 60.5520(d)(1) are not subject to any
requirements in this section other than
the requirement to maintain fuel
purchase records for permitted fuel(s).
For all other affected sources,
compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard of this subpart shall
be determined on a 12-operating-month
rolling average basis. See table 1 or 2 to
this subpart for the applicable CO2
emission standards.
(a) You must be in compliance with
the emission standards in this subpart
that apply to your affected EGU at all
times. However, you must determine
compliance with the emission standards
only at the end of the applicable
operating month, as provided in
paragraph (a)(1) of this section.
(1) For each affected EGU subject to
a CO2 emissions standard based on a 12operating-month rolling average, you
must determine compliance monthly by
calculating the average CO2 emissions
rate for the affected EGU at the end of
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month period.
(2) Consistent with § 60.5520(d)(2), if
your affected stationary combustion
turbine is subject to an input-based CO2
emissions standard, you must determine
the total heat input in GJ or MMBtu
from natural gas (HTIPng) and the total
heat input from all other fuels combined
(HTIPo) using one of the methods under
§ 60.5535(d)(2). You must then use the
following equation to determine the
applicable emissions standard during
the compliance period:
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(2)
(so x HTIPn9) + (69 x HTJP0 )
HTIPng + HTJP0
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§ 60.5520 What CO2 emissions standard
must I meet?
section, an owner or operator of a
stationary combustion turbine may
petition the Administrator in writing to
comply with the alternate applicable net
energy output standard. If the
Administrator grants the petition,
beginning on the date the Administrator
grants the petition, the affected EGU
must comply with the applicable net
energy output-based standard included
in this subpart. Your operating permit
must include monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
methodologies based on the applicable
net energy output standard. For the
remainder of this subpart, where the
term ‘‘gross or net energy output’’ is
used, the term that applies to you is
‘‘net energy output.’’ Owners or
operators complying with the net
output-based standard must petition the
Administrator to switch back to
complying with the gross energy outputbased standard.
(d) Owners or operators of a stationary
combustion turbine that maintain
records of electric sales to demonstrate
that the stationary combustion turbine is
subject to a heat input-based standard in
table 2 to this subpart that are only
permitted to burn one or more uniform
fuels, as described in paragraph (d)(1) of
this section, are only subject to the
monitoring requirements in paragraph
(d)(1). Owners or operators of all other
stationary combustion turbines that
maintain records of electric sales to
demonstrate that the stationary
combustion turbines are subject to a
heat input-based standard in table 2 are
only subject to the requirements in
paragraph (d)(2) of this section.
(1) Owners or operators of stationary
combustion turbines that are only
permitted to burn fuels with a
consistent chemical composition (i.e.,
uniform fuels) that result in a consistent
emission rate of 69 kilograms per
gigajoule (kg/GJ) (160 lb CO2/MMBtu) or
less are not subject to any monitoring or
reporting requirements under this
subpart. These fuels include, but are not
limited to hydrogen, natural gas,
methane, butane, butylene, ethane,
ethylene, propane, naphtha, propylene,
jet fuel kerosene, No. 1 fuel oil, No. 2
fuel oil, and biodiesel. Stationary
combustion turbines qualifying under
this paragraph are only required to
maintain purchase records for permitted
fuels.
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Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission
standard during the compliance period
in units of kg/GJ (or lb/MMBtu).
HTIPng = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu)
from natural gas.
HTIPo = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu)
from all fuels other than natural gas.
50 = allowable emission rate in kg/GJ for heat
input derived from natural gas (use 120
if electing to demonstrate compliance
using lb CO2/MMBtu).
69 = allowable emission rate in kg/GJ for heat
input derived from all fuels other than
natural gas (use 160 if electing to
demonstrate compliance using lb CO2/
MMBtu).
(b) At all times you must operate and
maintain each affected EGU, including
associated equipment and monitors, in
a manner consistent with safety and
good air pollution control practice. The
Administrator will determine if you are
using consistent operation and
maintenance procedures based on
information available to the
Administrator that may include, but is
not limited to, fuel use records,
monitoring results, review of operation
and maintenance procedures and
records, review of reports required by
this subpart, and inspection of the EGU.
(c) Within 30 days after the end of the
initial compliance period (i.e., no more
than 30 days after the first 12-operatingmonth compliance period), you must
make an initial compliance
determination for your affected EGU(s)
with respect to the applicable emissions
standard in table 1 or 2 to this subpart,
in accordance with the requirements in
this subpart. The first operating month
included in the initial 12-operatingmonth compliance period shall be
determined as follows:
(1) For an affected EGU that
commences commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2) on or after
October 23, 2015, the first month of the
initial compliance period shall be the
first operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580) after the calendar month in
which emissions reporting is required to
begin under:
(i) Section 60.5555(c)(3)(i), for units
subject to the Acid Rain Program; or
(ii) Section 60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(A), for
units that are not in the Acid Rain
Program.
(2) For an affected EGU that has
commenced commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2) prior to October
23, 2015:
(i) If the date on which emissions
reporting is required to begin under 40
CFR 75.64(a) has passed prior to
October 23, 2015, emissions reporting
shall begin according to
§ 60.5555(c)(3)(i) (for Acid Rain program
units), or according to
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§ 60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(B) (for units that are
not subject to the Acid Rain Program).
The first month of the initial
compliance period shall be the first
operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580) after the calendar month in
which the rule becomes effective; or
(ii) If the date on which emissions
reporting is required to begin under 40
CFR 75.64(a) occurs on or after October
23, 2015, then the first month of the
initial compliance period shall be the
first operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580) after the calendar month in
which emissions reporting is required to
begin under § 60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(A).
(3) For a modified or reconstructed
EGU that becomes subject to this
subpart, the first month of the initial
compliance period shall be the first
operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580) after the calendar month in
which emissions reporting is required to
begin under § 60.5555(c)(3)(iii).
(4) Electric sales by your affected
facility generated when it operated
during a system emergency as defined
in § 60.5580 are excluded for
applicability with the base load
standard if you can sufficiently provide
the documentation listed in § 60.5560(i).
■ 7. Section 60.5535 is amended by
revising paragraphs (a), (b), (c)(3), (d)(1),
(e), and (f) to read as follows:
§ 60.5535 How do I monitor and collect
data to demonstrate compliance?
(a) Combustion turbines qualifying
under § 60.5520(d)(1) are not subject to
any requirements in this section other
than the requirement to maintain fuel
purchase records for permitted fuel(s). If
your combustion turbine uses nonuniform fuels as specified under
§ 60.5520(d)(2), you must monitor heat
input in accordance with paragraph
(c)(1) of this section, and you must
monitor CO2 emissions in accordance
with either paragraph (b), (c)(2), or (c)(5)
of this section. For all other affected
sources, you must prepare a monitoring
plan to quantify the hourly CO2 mass
emission rate (tons/h), in accordance
with the applicable provisions in 40
CFR 75.53(g) and (h). The electronic
portion of the monitoring plan must be
submitted using the ECMPS Client Tool
and must be in place prior to reporting
emissions data and/or the results of
monitoring system certification tests
under this subpart. The monitoring plan
must be updated as necessary.
Monitoring plan submittals must be
made by the Designated Representative
(DR), the Alternate DR, or a delegated
agent of the DR (see § 60.5555(d) and
(e)).
(b) You must determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions in kg from your
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affected EGU(s) according to paragraphs
(b)(1) through (5) of this section, or, if
applicable, as provided in paragraph (c)
of this section.
(1) For an affected EGU that combusts
coal you must, and for all other affected
EGUs you may, install, certify, operate,
maintain, and calibrate a CO2
continuous emission monitoring system
(CEMS) to directly measure and record
hourly average CO2 concentrations in
the affected EGU exhaust gases emitted
to the atmosphere, and a flow
monitoring system to measure hourly
average stack gas flow rates, according
to 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an
alternative to direct measurement of
CO2 concentration, provided that your
EGU does not use carbon separation
(e.g., carbon capture and storage), you
may use data from a certified oxygen
(O2) monitor to calculate hourly average
CO2 concentrations, in accordance with
40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(iii). If you measure
CO2 concentration on a dry basis, you
must also install, certify, operate,
maintain, and calibrate a continuous
moisture monitoring system, according
to 40 CFR 75.11(b). Alternatively, you
may either use an appropriate fuelspecific default moisture value from 40
CFR 75.11(b) or submit a petition to the
Administrator under 40 CFR 75.66 for a
site-specific default moisture value.
(2) For each continuous monitoring
system that you use to determine the
CO2 mass emissions, you must meet the
applicable certification and quality
assurance procedures in 40 CFR 75.20
and appendices A and B to 40 CFR part
75.
(3) You must use only unadjusted
exhaust gas volumetric flow rates to
determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions rate from the affected EGU;
you must not apply the bias adjustment
factors described in Section 7.6.5 of
appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 to the
exhaust gas flow rate data.
(4) You must select an appropriate
reference method to setup (characterize)
the flow monitor and to perform the ongoing RATAs, in accordance with 40
CFR part 75. If you use a Type-S pitot
tube or a pitot tube assembly for the
flow RATAs, you must calibrate the
pitot tube or pitot tube assembly; you
may not use the 0.84 default Type-S
pitot tube coefficient specified in
Method 2.
(5) Calculate the hourly CO2 mass
emissions (kg) as described in
paragraphs (b)(5)(i) through (iv) of this
section. Perform this calculation only
for ‘‘valid operating hours’’, as defined
in § 60.5540(a)(1).
(i) Begin with the hourly CO2 mass
emission rate (tons/h), obtained either
from equation F–11 in appendix F to 40
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CFR part 75 (if CO2 concentration is
measured on a wet basis), or by
following the procedure in section 4.2 of
appendix F to part 75 (if CO2
concentration is measured on a dry
basis).
(ii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2
mass emission rate by the EGU or stack
operating time in hours (as defined in
40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to tons of
CO2.
(iii) Finally, multiply the result from
paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of this section by
907.2 to convert it from tons of CO2 to
kg. Round off to the nearest kg.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and
EGU (or stack) operating times used to
calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR
75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6).
You must use these data to calculate the
hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(c) * * *
(3) For each ‘‘valid operating hour’’
(as defined in § 60.5540(a)(1), multiply
the hourly tons/h CO2 mass emission
rate from paragraph (c)(2) of this section
by the EGU or stack operating time in
hours (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to
convert it to tons of CO2. Then, multiply
the result by 907.2 to convert from tons
of CO2 to kg. Round off to the nearest
two significant figures.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(1) If you operate a source subject to
an emissions standard established on an
output basis (e.g., lb of CO2 per gross or
net MWh of energy output), you must
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
a sufficient number of watt meters to
continuously measure and record the
hourly gross electric output or net
electric output, as applicable, from the
affected EGU(s). These measurements
must be performed using 0.2 class
electricity metering instrumentation and
calibration procedures as specified
under ANSI No. C12.20–2010
(incorporated by reference, see § 60.17).
For a combined heat and power (CHP)
EGU, as defined in § 60.5580, you must
also install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate meters to continuously (i.e.,
hour-by-hour) determine and record the
total useful thermal output. For process
steam applications, you will need to
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
meters to continuously determine and
record the hourly steam flow rate,
temperature, and pressure. Your plan
shall ensure that you install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate meters to record
each component of the determination,
hour-by-hour.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) Consistent with § 60.5520, if two
or more affected EGUs serve a common
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electric generator, you must apportion
the combined hourly gross or net energy
output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total
steam load and/or direct mechanical
energy contributed by each EGU to the
electric generator. Alternatively, if the
EGUs are identical, you may apportion
the combined hourly gross or net
electrical load to the individual EGUs
according to the fraction of the total heat
input contributed by each EGU. You
may also elect to develop, demonstrate,
and provide information satisfactory to
the Administrator on alternate methods
to apportion the gross energy output.
The Administrator may approve such
alternate methods for apportioning the
gross energy output whenever the
demonstration ensures accurate
estimation of emissions regulated under
this part.
(f) In accordance with §§ 60.13(g) and
60.5520, if two or more affected EGUs
that implement the continuous emission
monitoring provisions in paragraph (b)
of this section share a common exhaust
gas stack you must monitor hourly CO2
mass emissions in accordance with one
of the following procedures:
(1) If the EGUs are subject to the same
emissions standard in table 1 or 2 to this
subpart, you may monitor the hourly
CO2 mass emissions at the common
stack in lieu of monitoring each EGU
separately. If you choose this option, the
hourly gross or net energy output
(electric, thermal, and/or mechanical, as
applicable) must be the sum of the
hourly loads for the individual affected
EGUs and you must express the
operating time as ‘‘stack operating
hours’’ (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2). If
you attain compliance with the
applicable emissions standard in
§ 60.5520 at the common stack, each
affected EGU sharing the stack is in
compliance.
(2) As an alternative, or if the EGUs
are subject to different emission
standards in table 1 or 2 to this subpart,
you must either:
(i) Monitor each EGU separately by
measuring the hourly CO2 mass
emissions prior to mixing in the
common stack or
(ii) Apportion the CO2 mass emissions
based on the unit’s load contribution to
the total load associated with the
common stack and the appropriate Ffactors. You may also elect to develop,
demonstrate, and provide information
satisfactory to the Administrator on
alternate methods to apportion the CO2
emissions. The Administrator may
approve such alternate methods for
apportioning the CO2 emissions
whenever the demonstration ensures
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accurate estimation of emissions
regulated under this part.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 8. Section 60.5540 is revised to read
as follows:
§ 60.5540 How do I demonstrate
compliance with my CO2 emissions
standard and determine excess emissions?
(a) In accordance with § 60.5520, if
you are subject to an output-based
emission standard or you burn nonuniform fuels as specified in
§ 60.5520(d)(2), you must demonstrate
compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard in table 1 or 2 to this
subpart as required in this section. For
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month rolling average
compliance period, you must follow the
procedures in paragraphs (a)(1) through
(8) of this section to calculate the CO2
mass emissions rate for your affected
EGU(s) in units of the applicable
emissions standard (e.g., either kg/MWh
or kg/GJ). You must use the hourly CO2
mass emissions calculated under
§ 60.5535(b) or (c), as applicable, and
either the generating load data from
§ 60.5535(d)(1) for output-based
calculations or the heat input data from
§ 60.5535(d)(2) for heat-input-based
calculations. Combustion turbines firing
non-uniform fuels that contain CO2
prior to combustion (e.g., blast furnace
gas or landfill gas) may sample the fuel
stream to determine the quantity of CO2
present in the fuel prior to combustion
and exclude this portion of the CO2
mass emissions from compliance
determinations.
(1) Each compliance period shall
include only ‘‘valid operating hours’’ in
the compliance period, i.e., operating
hours for which:
(i) ‘‘Valid data’’ (as defined in
§ 60.5580) are obtained for all of the
parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions (kg) and, if a heat
input-based standard applies, all the
parameters used to determine total heat
input for the hour are also obtained; and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross or
net energy output value is also valid
data (Note: For hours with no useful
output, zero is considered to be a valid
value).
(2) You must exclude operating hours
in which:
(i) The substitute data provisions of
40 CFR 75 are applied for any of the
parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions or, if a heat inputbased standard applies, for any
parameters used to determine the hourly
heat input;
(ii) An exceedance of the full-scale
range of a continuous emission
monitoring system occurs for any of the
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parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions or, if applicable, to
determine the hourly heat input; or
(iii) The total gross or net energy
output (Pgross/net) or, if applicable, the
total heat input is unavailable.
(3) For each compliance period, at
least 95 percent of the operating hours
in the compliance period must be valid
operating hours, as defined in paragraph
(a)(1) of this section.
(4) You must calculate the total CO2
mass emissions by summing the valid
hourly CO2 mass emissions values from
§ 60.5535 for all of the valid operating
hours in the compliance period.
(5) For each valid operating hour of
the compliance period that was used in
paragraph (a)(4) of this section to
calculate the total CO2 mass emissions,
you must determine Pgross/net (the
corresponding hourly gross or net
energy output in MWh) according to the
procedures in paragraphs (a)(5)(i) and
(ii) of this section, as appropriate for the
type of affected EGU(s). For an operating
hour in which a valid CO2 mass
emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this
section, if there is no gross or net
electrical output, but there is
mechanical or useful thermal output,
you must still determine the gross or net
energy output for that hour. In addition,
for an operating hour in which a valid
CO2 mass emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this
section, but there is no (i.e., zero) gross
electrical, mechanical, or useful thermal
output, you must use that hour in the
compliance determination. For hours or
partial hours where the gross electric
output is equal to or less than the
auxiliary loads, net electric output shall
be counted as zero for this calculation.
(i) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected
EGU using the following equation. All
terms in the equation must be expressed
in units of MWh. To convert each
hourly gross or net energy output
(consistent with § 60.5520) value
reported under 40 CFR part 75 to MWh,
multiply by the corresponding EGU or
stack operating time.
Where:
Pgross/net = In accordance with § 60.5520, gross
or net energy output of your affected
EGU for each valid operating hour (as
defined in § 60.5540(a)(1)) in MWh.
(Pe)ST = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
steam turbines in MWh.
(Pe)CT = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
stationary combustion turbine(s) in
MWh.
(Pe)IE = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
your affected EGU’s integrated
equipment that provides electricity or
mechanical energy to the affected EGU or
auxiliary equipment in MWh.
(Pe)FW = Electric energy used to power boiler
feedwater pumps at steam generating
units in MWh. Not applicable to
stationary combustion turbines, IGCC
EGUs, or EGUs complying with a net
energy output based standard.
(Pe)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary
loads in MWh. Not applicable for
determining Pgross.
(Pt)PS = Useful thermal output of steam
(measured relative to standard ambient
temperature and pressure (SATP)
conditions, as applicable) that is used for
applications that do not generate
additional electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU.
This is calculated using the equation
specified in paragraph (a)(5)(ii) of this
section in MWh.
(Pt)HR = Non steam useful thermal output
(measured relative to SATP conditions,
as applicable) from heat recovery that is
used for applications other than steam
generation or performance enhancement
of the affected EGU in MWh.
(Pt)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to
SATP conditions, as applicable) from
any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate
additional steam, electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU in
MWh.
TDF = Electric Transmission and Distribution
Factor of 0.95 for a combined heat and
power affected EGU where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross or net energy
output consists of electric or direct
mechanical output and 20.0 percent of
the total gross or net energy output
consists of useful thermal output on a
12-operating-month rolling average basis,
or 1.0 for all other affected EGUs.
energy output for the affected EGU’s
compliance period by summing the
hourly gross or net energy output values
for the affected EGU that you
determined under paragraph (a)(5) of
this section for all of the valid operating
hours in the applicable compliance
period.
(ii) If you are subject to a heat inputbased standard, you must calculate the
total heat input for each fuel fired
during the compliance period. The
calculation of total heat input for each
individual fuel must include all valid
operating hours and must also be
consistent with any fuel-specific
procedures specified within your
selected monitoring option under
§ 60.5535(d)(2).
(7) If you are subject to an outputbased standard, you must calculate the
CO2 mass emissions rate for the affected
EGU(s) (kg/MWh) by dividing the total
CO2 mass emissions value calculated
according to the procedures in
paragraph (a)(4) of this section by the
total gross or net energy output value
calculated according to the procedures
in paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section.
Round off the result to two significant
figures if the calculated value is less
than 1,000; round the result to three
significant figures if the calculated value
is greater than 1,000. If you are subject
to a heat input-based standard, you
must calculate the CO2 mass emissions
rate for the affected EGU(s) (kg/GJ or lb/
MMBtu) by dividing the total CO2 mass
emissions value calculated according to
the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of
this section by the total heat input
calculated according to the procedures
in paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of this section.
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Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(ii)
Where:
Qm = Measured useful thermal output flow in
kg (lb) for the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the useful thermal output at
measured temperature and pressure
(relative to SATP conditions or the
energy in the condensate return line, as
applicable) in Joules per kilogram (J/kg)
(or Btu/lb).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 × 109 J/MWh
or 3.413 × 106 Btu/MWh.
(6) Sources complying with energy
output-based standards must calculate
the basis (i.e., denominator) of their
actual 12-operating month emission rate
in accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(i) of
this section. Sources complying with
heat input based standards must
calculate the basis of their actual 12operating month emission rate in
accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of
this section.
(i) In accordance with § 60.5520 if you
are subject to an output-based standard,
you must calculate the total gross or net
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(ii) If applicable to your affected EGU
(for example, for combined heat and
power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using
the following equation:
Equation 1 to paragraph (a)(5)(i)
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Round off the result to two significant
figures.
(b) In accordance with § 60.5520, to
demonstrate compliance with the
applicable CO2 emission standard, for
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month compliance period, the
CO2 mass emissions rate for your
affected EGU must be determined
according to the procedures specified in
paragraph (a)(1) through (8) of this
section and must be less than or equal
to the applicable CO2 emissions
standard in table 1 or 2 to this subpart,
or the emissions standard calculated in
accordance with § 60.5525(a)(2).
■ 9. Section 60.5555 is amended by
revising paragraphs (a)(2)(iv) and (v), (f),
and (g) to read as follows.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
§ 60.5555
when?
What reports must I submit and
(a) * * *
(2) * * *
(iv) The percentage of valid operating
hours in each 12-operating-month
compliance period described in
paragraph (a)(1) of this section (i.e., the
total number of valid operating hours
(as defined in § 60.5540(a)(1)) in that
period divided by the total number of
operating hours in that period,
multiplied by 100 percent);
(v) Consistent with § 60.5520, the CO2
emissions standard (as identified in
table 1 or 2 to this subpart) with which
your affected EGU must comply; and
*
*
*
*
*
(f) If your affected EGU captures CO2
to meet the applicable emissions
standard, you must report in accordance
with the requirements of 40 CFR part
98, subpart PP, and either:
(1) Report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs
on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to an
EGU or facility that reports in
accordance with the requirements of 40
CFR part 98, subpart RR, or subpart VV,
if injection occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that has received an innovative
technology waiver from EPA pursuant
to paragraph (g) of this section.
(g) Any person may request the
Administrator to issue a waiver of the
requirement that captured CO2 from an
affected EGU be transferred to a facility
reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV. To receive a waiver,
the applicant must demonstrate to the
Administrator that its technology will
store captured CO2 as effectively as
geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or
contribute to an unreasonable risk to
public health, welfare, or safety. In
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making this determination, the
Administrator shall consider (among
other factors) operating history of the
technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of
any pollutant other than CO2, and
permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system or
require the applicant to perform any
tests considered by the Administrator to
be necessary to show the technology’s
effectiveness, safety, and ability to store
captured CO2 without release. The
Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the
approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The
Administrator may also withdraw
approval of the waiver on evidence of
releases of CO2 or other pollutants. The
Administrator will provide notice to the
public of any application under this
provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before
the Administrator takes final action.
■ 10. Section 60.5560 is amended by
adding paragraphs (h) and (i) to read as
follows:
§ 60.5560
What records must I maintain?
*
*
*
*
*
(h) For stationary combustion
turbines, you must keep records of
electric sales to determine the
applicable subcategory.
(i) You must keep the records listed
in paragraphs (i)(1) through (3) of this
section to demonstrate that your
affected facility operated during a
system emergency.
(1) Documentation that the system
emergency to which the affected EGU
was responding was in effect from the
entity issuing the alert, and
documentation of the exact duration of
the event;
(2) Documentation from the entity
issuing the alert that the system
emergency included the affected source/
region where the affected facility was
located, and
(3) Documentation that the affected
facility was instructed to increase
output beyond the planned day-ahead
or other near-term expected output and/
or was asked to remain in operation
outside its scheduled dispatch during
emergency conditions from a Reliability
Coordinator, Balancing Authority, or
Independent System Operator/Regional
Transmission Organization.
■ 11. Section 60.5580 is amended by:
■ a. Revising the definitions for
‘‘Annual capacity factor’’, and ‘‘Base
load rating’’;
■ b. Revising and republishing the
definition for ‘‘Coal’’; and
■ c. Revising the definitions for
‘‘Combined cycle unit’’, ‘‘Combined
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Sfmt 4700
40033
head and power unit or CHP unit’’,
‘‘Design efficiency’’, ‘‘Distillate oil’’,
‘‘ISO conditions’’, ‘‘Net electric sales’’,
and ‘‘System emergency’’.
The revisions and republications read
as follows:
§ 60.5580
subpart?
What definitions apply to this
*
*
*
*
*
Annual capacity factor means the
ratio between the actual heat input to an
EGU during a calendar year and the
potential heat input to the EGU had it
been operated for 8,760 hours during a
calendar year at the base load rating.
Actual and potential heat input derived
from non-combustion sources (e.g., solar
thermal) are not included when
calculating the annual capacity factor.
Base load rating means the maximum
amount of heat input (fuel) that an EGU
can combust on a steady state basis plus
the maximum amount of heat input
derived from non-combustion source
(e.g., solar thermal), as determined by
the physical design and characteristics
of the EGU at International Organization
for Standardization (ISO) conditions.
For a stationary combustion turbine,
base load rating includes the heat input
from duct burners.
Coal means all solid fuels classified as
anthracite, bituminous, subbituminous,
or lignite by ASTM International in
ASTM D388–99R04 (incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17), coal refuse, and
petroleum coke. Synthetic fuels derived
from coal for the purpose of creating
useful heat, including, but not limited
to, solvent-refined coal, gasified coal
(not meeting the definition of natural
gas), coal-oil mixtures, and coal-water
mixtures are included in this definition
for the purposes of this subpart.
Combined cycle unit means a
stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust
gases is recovered by a heat recovery
steam generating unit (HRSG) to
generate additional electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or
CHP unit, (also known as
‘‘cogeneration’’) means an electric
generating unit that simultaneously
produces both electric (or mechanical)
and useful thermal output from the
same primary energy source.
Design efficiency means the rated
overall net efficiency (e.g., electric plus
useful thermal output) on a lower
heating value basis at the base load
rating, at ISO conditions, and at the
maximum useful thermal output (e.g.,
CHP unit with condensing steam
turbines would determine the design
efficiency at the maximum level of
extraction and/or bypass). Design
efficiency shall be determined using one
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
of the following methods: ASME PTC
22–2014, ASME PTC 46–1996, ISO
2314:2009(E) (all incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17), or an alternative
approved by the Administrator.
Distillate oil means fuel oils that
comply with the specifications for fuel
oil numbers 1 and 2, as defined in
ASTM D396–98 (incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17); diesel fuel oil
numbers 1 and 2, as defined in ASTM
D975–08a (incorporated by reference,
see § 60.17); kerosene, as defined in
ASTM D3699–08 (incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17); biodiesel as
defined in ASTM D6751–11b
(incorporated by reference, see § 60.17);
or biodiesel blends as defined in ASTM
D7467–10 (incorporated by reference,
see § 60.17).
*
*
*
*
*
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15
°C, 59 °F), 60 percent relative humidity
and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm)
pressure.
*
*
*
*
*
Net-electric sales means:
(1) The gross electric sales to the
utility power distribution system minus
purchased power; or
(2) For combined heat and power
facilities, where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross energy output consists of
electric or direct mechanical output and
at least 20.0 percent of the total gross
energy output consists of useful thermal
output on a 12-operating month basis,
the gross electric sales to the utility
power distribution system minus
purchased power of the thermal host
facility or facilities.
(3) Electricity supplied to other
facilities that produce electricity to
offset auxiliary loads are included when
calculating net-electric sales.
(4) Electric sales during a system
emergency are not included when
calculating net-electric sales.
*
*
*
*
*
Affected EGU
12. Table 1 to subpart TTTT is revised
to read as follows:
■
Table 1 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60—
CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Steam Generating Units and Integrated
Gasification Combined Cycle Facilities
That Commenced Construction After
January 8, 2014, and Reconstruction or
Modification After June 18, 2014
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or
greater have a minimum of 3 significant
figures and numerical values of less
than 1,000 have a minimum of 2
significant figures]
CO2 Emission standard
Newly constructed steam generating unit or integrated gasification
combined cycle (IGCC).
Reconstructed steam generating unit or IGCC that has base load rating
of 2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h) or less.
Reconstructed steam generating unit or IGCC that has a base load rating greater than 2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h).
Modified steam generating unit or IGCC .................................................
13. Table 2 to subpart TTTT is revised
to read as follows:
■
System emergency means periods
when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert
level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP–011–2 or its
successor.
*
*
*
*
*
640 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy output (1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross).
910 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy output (2,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross).
820 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy output (1,800 lb CO2/MWh-gross).
A unit-specific emission limit determined by the unit’s best historical annual CO2 emission rate (from 2002 to the date of the modification);
the emission limit will be no lower than:
(1) 820 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy output (1,800 lb CO2/MWhgross) for units with a base load rating greater than 2,100 GJ/h
(2,000 MMBtu/h); or
(2) 910 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy output (2,000 lb CO2/MWhgross) for units with a base load rating of 2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/
h) or less.
Table 2 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60—
CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Stationary Combustion Turbines That
Commenced Construction After January
8, 2014, and Reconstruction After June
18, 2014 (Net Energy Output-Based
Standards Applicable as Approved by
the Administrator)
figures and numerical values of less
than 1,000 have a minimum of 2
significant figures]
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or
greater have a minimum of 3 significant
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
Affected EGU
CO2 Emission standard
Newly constructed or reconstructed stationary combustion turbine that
supplies more than its design efficiency or 50 percent, whichever is
less, times its potential electric output as net-electric sales on both a
12-operating month and a 3-year rolling average basis and combusts
more than 90% natural gas on a heat input basis on a 12-operatingmonth rolling average basis.
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Frm 00238
Fmt 4701
450 kg CO2/MWh (1,000 lb CO2/MWh) of gross energy output; or
470 kg CO2/MWh (1,030 lb CO2/MWh) of net energy output.
Sfmt 4700
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09MYR3
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
Affected EGU
CO2 Emission standard
Newly constructed or reconstructed stationary combustion turbine that
supplies its design efficiency or 50 percent, whichever is less, times
its potential electric output or less as net-electric sales on either a
12-operating month or a 3-year rolling average basis and combusts
more than 90% natural gas on a heat input basis on a 12-operatingmonth rolling average basis].
Newly constructed and reconstructed stationary combustion turbine that
combusts 90% or less natural gas on a heat input basis on a 12-operating-month rolling average basis.
14. Table 3 to subpart TTTT is revised
to read as follows:
■
General provisions citation
50 kg CO2/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu) of heat input.
Between 50 to 69 kg CO2/GJ (120 to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu) of heat input
as determined by the procedures in § 60.5525.
Table 3 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60—
Applicability of Subpart A of Part 60
(General Provisions) to Subpart TTTT
Subject of citation
Applies to subpart TTTT
...................................
...................................
...................................
...................................
Applicability ..............................................
Definitions ................................................
Units and Abbreviations ..........................
Address ...................................................
Yes.
Yes ....................................
Yes.
Yes ....................................
§ 60.5 ...................................
Yes.
§ 60.6 ...................................
§ 60.7 ...................................
Determination of construction or modification.
Review of plans .......................................
Notification and Recordkeeping ..............
§ 60.8(a) ...............................
§ 60.8(b) ...............................
Performance tests ...................................
Performance test method alternatives ....
No.
Yes ....................................
§ 60.8(c)–(f) ..........................
§ 60.9 ...................................
§ 60.10 .................................
§ 60.11 .................................
No.
Yes.
Yes.
No.
§ 60.12 .................................
§ 60.13 (a)–(h), (j) ................
Conducting performance tests ................
Availability of Information ........................
State authority .........................................
Compliance with standards and maintenance requirements.
Circumvention ..........................................
Monitoring requirements ..........................
§ 60.13 (i) .............................
Monitoring requirements ..........................
Yes ....................................
§ 60.14 .................................
Modification .............................................
§ 60.15
§ 60.16
§ 60.17
§ 60.18
§ 60.19
Reconstruction .........................................
Priority list ................................................
Incorporations by reference ....................
General control device requirements ......
General notification and reporting requirements.
Yes (steam generating
units and IGCC facilities).
No (stationary combustion
turbines).
Yes.
No.
Yes.
No.
Yes .................................... Does not apply to notifications under
§ 75.61 or to information reported
through ECMPS.
§ 60.1
§ 60.2
§ 60.3
§ 60.4
.................................
.................................
.................................
.................................
.................................
Subpart TTTTa—Standards of Performance
for Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Modified
Coal-Fired Steam Electric Generating Units
and New Construction and Reconstruction
Stationary Combustion Turbine Electric
Generating Units
Applicability
Sec.
60.5508a What is the purpose of this
subpart?
60.5509a Am I subject to this subpart?
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:13 May 08, 2024
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Yes.
Yes ....................................
Yes.
No ......................................
Emissions Standards
15. Add subpart TTTTa to read as
follows:
■
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
40035
60.5515a Which pollutants are regulated by
this subpart?
60.5520a What CO2 emissions standard
must I meet?
60.5525a What are my general requirements
for complying with this subpart?
Monitoring and Compliance Determination
Procedures
60.5535a How do I monitor and collect data
to demonstrate compliance?
60.5540a How do I demonstrate compliance
with my CO2 emissions standard and
determine excess emissions?
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Fmt 4701
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Explanation
Additional terms defined in § 60.5580.
Does not apply to information reported
electronically through ECMPS. Duplicate submittals are not required.
Only the requirements to submit the notifications in § 60.7(a)(1) and (3) and to
keep records of malfunctions in
§ 60.7(b), if applicable.
Administrator can approve alternate
methods
All monitoring is done according to part
75.
Administrator can approve alternative
monitoring procedures or requirements
Notification, Reports, and Records
60.5550a What notifications must I submit
and when?
60.5555a What reports must I submit and
when?
60.5560a What records must I maintain?
60.5565a In what form and how long must
I keep my records?
Other Requirements and Information
60.5570a What parts of the general
provisions apply to my affected EGU?
60.5575a Who implements and enforces
this subpart?
60.5580a What definitions apply to this
subpart?
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
Table 1 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60—CO2
Emission Standards for Affected
Stationary Combustion Turbines That
Commenced Construction or
Reconstruction After May 23, 2023
(Gross or Net Energy Output-Based
Standards Applicable as Approved by
the Administrator)
Table 2 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60—CO2
Emission Standards for Affected Steam
Generating Units or IGCC That
Commenced Modification After May 23,
2023
Table 3 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60—
Applicability of Subpart A of Part 60
(General Provisions) to Subpart TTTTa
Subpart TTTTa—Standards of
Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions for Modified Coal-Fired
Steam Electric Generating Units and
New Construction and Reconstruction
Stationary Combustion Turbine
Electric Generating Units
Applicability
§ 60.5508a
subpart?
What is the purpose of this
This subpart establishes emission
standards and compliance schedules for
the control of greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions from a coal-fired steam
generating unit or integrated gasification
combined cycle facility (IGCC) that
commences modification after May 23,
2023. This subpart also establishes
emission standards and compliance
schedules for the control of GHG
emissions from a stationary combustion
turbine that commences construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023. An
affected coal-fired steam generating
unit, IGCC, or stationary combustion
turbine shall, for the purposes of this
subpart, be referred to as an affected
electric generating unit (EGU).
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
§ 60.5509a
Am I subject to this subpart?
(a) Except as provided for in
paragraph (b) of this section, the GHG
standards included in this subpart apply
to any steam generating unit or IGCC
that combusts coal and that commences
modification after May 23, 2023, that
meets the relevant applicability
conditions in paragraphs (a)(1) and (2)
of this section. The GHG standards
included in this subpart also apply to
any stationary combustion turbine that
commences construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023, that
meets the relevant applicability
conditions in paragraphs (a)(1) and (2)
of this section.
(1) Has a base load rating greater than
260 gigajoules per hour (GJ/h) (250
million British thermal units per hour
(MMBtu/h)) of fossil fuel (either alone
or in combination with any other fuel);
and
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(2) Serves a generator or generators
capable of selling greater than 25
megawatts (MW) of electricity to a
utility power distribution system.
(b) You are not subject to the
requirements of this subpart if your
affected EGU meets any of the
conditions specified in paragraphs (b)(1)
through (8) of this section.
(1) Your EGU is a steam generating
unit or IGCC whose annual net-electric
sales have never exceeded one-third of
its potential electric output or 219,000
megawatt-hour (MWh), whichever is
greater, and is currently subject to a
federally enforceable permit condition
limiting annual net-electric sales to no
more than one-third of its potential
electric output or 219,000 MWh,
whichever is greater.
(2) Your EGU is capable of deriving 50
percent or more of the heat input from
non-fossil fuel at the base load rating
and is also subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting
the annual capacity factor for all fossil
fuels combined of 10 percent (0.10) or
less.
(3) Your EGU is a combined heat and
power unit that is subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than
either 219,000 MWh or the product of
the design efficiency and the potential
electric output, whichever is greater.
(4) Your EGU serves a generator along
with other steam generating unit(s),
IGCC, or stationary combustion
turbine(s) where the effective generation
capacity (determined based on a
prorated output of the base load rating
of each steam generating unit, IGCC, or
stationary combustion turbine) is 25
MW or less.
(5) Your EGU is a municipal waste
combustor that is subject to subpart Eb
of this part.
(6) Your EGU is a commercial or
industrial solid waste incineration unit
that is subject to subpart CCCC of this
part.
(7) Your EGU is a steam generating
unit or IGCC that undergoes a
modification resulting in an hourly
increase in CO2 emissions (mass per
hour) of 10 percent or less (2 significant
figures). Modified units that are not
subject to the requirements of this
subpart pursuant to this subsection
continue to be existing units under
section 111 with respect to CO2
emissions standards.
(8) Your EGU derives greater than 50
percent of the heat input from an
industrial process that does not produce
any electrical or mechanical output or
useful thermal output that is used
outside the affected EGU.
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Emission Standards
§ 60.5515a Which pollutants are regulated
by this subpart?
(a) The pollutants regulated by this
subpart are greenhouse gases. The
greenhouse gas standard in this subpart
is in the form of a limitation on
emission of carbon dioxide.
(b) PSD and Title V thresholds for
greenhouse gases.
(1) For the purposes of 40 CFR
51.166(b)(49)(ii), with respect to GHG
emissions from affected facilities, the
‘‘pollutant that is subject to the standard
promulgated under section 111 of the
Act’’ shall be considered to be the
pollutant that otherwise is subject to
regulation under the Act as defined in
40 CFR 51.166(b)(48) and in any SIP
approved by the EPA that is interpreted
to incorporate, or specifically
incorporates, 40 CFR 51.166(b)(48).
(2) For the purposes of 40 CFR
52.21(b)(50)(ii), with respect to GHG
emissions from affected facilities, the
‘‘pollutant that is subject to the standard
promulgated under section 111 of the
Act’’ shall be considered to be the
pollutant that otherwise is subject to
regulation under the Act as defined in
40 CFR 52.21(b)(49).
(3) For the purposes of 40 CFR 70.2,
with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from affected facilities, the
‘‘pollutant that is subject to any
standard promulgated under section 111
of the Act’’ shall be considered to be the
pollutant that otherwise is ‘‘subject to
regulation’’ as defined in 40 CFR 70.2.
(4) For the purposes of 40 CFR 71.2,
with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from affected facilities, the
‘‘pollutant that is subject to any
standard promulgated under section 111
of the Act’’ shall be considered to be the
pollutant that otherwise is ‘‘subject to
regulation’’ as defined in 40 CFR 71.2.
§ 60.5520a What CO2 emissions standard
must I meet?
(a) For each affected EGU subject to
this subpart, you must not discharge
from the affected EGU any gases that
contain CO2 in excess of the applicable
CO2 emission standard specified in table
1 to this subpart, consistent with
paragraphs (b), (c), and (d) of this
section, as applicable.
(b) Except as specified in paragraphs
(c) and (d) of this section, you must
comply with the applicable gross or net
energy output standard, and your
operating permit must include
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting methodologies based on the
applicable gross or net energy output
standard. For the remainder of this
subpart (for sources that do not qualify
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under paragraphs (c) and (d) of this
section), where the term ‘‘gross or net
energy output’’ is used, the term that
applies to you is ‘‘gross energy output.’’
(c) As an alternative to meeting the
requirements in paragraph (b) of this
section, an owner or operator of a
stationary combustion turbine may
petition the Administrator in writing to
comply with the alternate applicable net
energy output standard. If the
Administrator grants the petition,
beginning on the date the Administrator
grants the petition, the affected EGU
must comply with the applicable net
energy output-based standard included
in this subpart. Your operating permit
must include monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
methodologies based on the applicable
net energy output standard. For the
remainder of this subpart, where the
term ‘‘gross or net energy output’’ is
used, the term that applies to you is
‘‘net energy output.’’ Owners or
operators complying with the net
output-based standard must petition the
Administrator to switch back to
complying with the gross energy outputbased standard.
(d) Owners or operators of a stationary
combustion turbine that maintain
records of electric sales to demonstrate
that the stationary combustion turbine is
subject to a heat input-based standard in
table 1 to this subpart that are only
permitted to burn one or more uniform
fuels, as described in paragraph (d)(1) of
this section, are only subject to the
monitoring requirements in paragraph
(d)(1). Owners or operators of all other
stationary combustion turbines that
maintain records of electric sales to
demonstrate that the stationary
combustion turbines are subject to a
heat input-based standard in table 1 are
only subject to the requirements in
paragraph (d)(2) of this section.
(1) Owners or operators of stationary
combustion turbines that are only
permitted to burn fuels with a
consistent chemical composition (i.e.,
uniform fuels) that result in a consistent
emission rate of 69 kilograms per
gigajoule (kg/GJ) (160 lb CO2/MMBtu) or
less are not subject to any monitoring or
reporting requirements under this
subpart. These fuels include, but are not
limited to hydrogen, natural gas,
methane, butane, butylene, ethane,
ethylene, propane, naphtha, propylene,
jet fuel, kerosene, No. 1 fuel oil, No. 2
fuel oil, and biodiesel. Stationary
combustion turbines qualifying under
this paragraph are only required to
maintain purchase records for permitted
fuels.
(2) Owners or operators of stationary
combustion turbines permitted to burn
fuels that do not have a consistent
chemical composition or that do not
have an emission rate of 69 kg/GJ (160
lb CO2/MMBtu) or less (e.g., nonuniform fuels such as residual oil and
non-jet fuel kerosene) must follow the
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements necessary to
complete the heat input-based
calculations under this subpart.
§ 60.5525a What are my general
requirements for complying with this
subpart?
Combustion turbines qualifying under
§ 60.5520a(d)(1) are not subject to any
CO 2 emissions standard
requirements in this section other than
the requirement to maintain fuel
purchase records for permitted fuel(s).
For all other affected sources,
compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard of this subpart shall
be determined on a 12-operating-month
rolling average basis. See table 1 to this
subpart for the applicable CO2 emission
standards.
(a) You must be in compliance with
the emission standards in this subpart
that apply to your affected EGU at all
times. However, you must determine
compliance with the emission standards
only at the end of the applicable
operating month, as provided in
paragraph (a)(1) of this section.
(1) For each affected EGU subject to
a CO2 emissions standard based on a 12operating-month rolling average, you
must determine compliance monthly by
calculating the average CO2 emissions
rate for the affected EGU at the end of
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month period.
(2) Consistent with § 60.5520a(d)(2), if
your affected stationary combustion
turbine is subject to an input-based CO2
emissions standard, you must determine
the total heat input in GJ or MMBtu
from natural gas (HTIPng) and the total
heat input from all other fuels combined
(HTIPo) using one of the methods under
§ 60.5535a(d)(2). You must then use the
following equation to determine the
applicable emissions standard during
the compliance period:
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(2)
(50 x HTIPng) + (69 x HT/Po)
HTIPng + HTIP0
120 if electing to demonstrate
compliance using lb CO2/MMBtu).
69 = allowable emission rate in lb kg/GJ for
heat input derived from all fuels other
than natural gas (use 160 if electing to
demonstrate compliance using lb CO2/
MMBtu).
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(3)(i)
ER09MY24.058
(3) Owners/operators of a base load
combustion turbine with a base load
rating of less than 2,110 GJ/h (2,000
MMBtu/h) and/or an intermediate or
base load combustion turbine burning
fuels other than natural gas may elect to
determine a site-specific emissions rate
using one of the following equations.
Combustion turbines co-firing hydrogen
are not required to use the fuel
adjustment parameter.
(i) For base load combustion turbines:
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Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission
standard during the compliance period
in units of kg/GJ (or lb/MMBtu).
HTIPng = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu)
from natural gas.
HTIPo = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu)
from all fuels other than natural gas.
50 = allowable emission rate in lb kg/GJ for
heat input derived from natural gas (use
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission
standard during the compliance period
in units of kg/MWh (or lb/MWh)
BLERL = Base load emissions standard for
natural gas-fired combustion turbines
with base load ratings greater than 2,110
GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h). 360 kg CO2/
MWh-gross (800 lb CO2/MWh-gross) or
370 kg CO2/MWh-net (820 lb CO2/MWhnet); 43 kg CO2/MWh-gross (100 lb CO2/
MWh-gross) or 42 kg CO2/MWh-net (97
lb CO2/MWh-net); as applicable
BLERS = Base load emissions standard for
natural gas-fired combustion turbines
with a base load rating of 260 GJ/h (250
MMBtu/h). 410 kg CO2/MWh-gross (900
lb CO2/MWh-gross) or 420 kg CO2/MWhnet (920 lb CO2/MWh-net); 49 kg CO2/
MWh-gross (108 lb CO2/MWh-gross) or
50 kg CO2/MWh-net (110 lb CO2/MWhnet); as applicable
BLRL = Minimum base load rating of large
combustion turbines 2,110 GJ/h (2,000
MMBtu/h)
BLRS = Base load rating of smallest
combustion turbine 260 GJ/h (250
MMBtu/h)
CO2 emissions standard
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission
standard during the compliance period
in units of kg/MWh (or lb/MWh)
ILER = Intermediate load emissions rate for
natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
520 kg/MWh-gross (1,150 lb CO2/MWhgross) or 530 kg CO2/MWh-net (1,160 lb
CO2/MWh-net) or 450 kg/MWh-gross
(1,100 lb CO2/MWh-gross) or 460 kg
CO2/MWh-net (1,110 lb CO2/MWh-net)
as applicable
HIERA = Heat input-based emissions rate of
the actual fuel burned in the combustion
turbine (lb CO2/MMBtu). Not to exceed
69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/MMBtu)
HIERNG = Heat input-based emissions rate of
natural gas 50 kg/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu)
(b) At all times you must operate and
maintain each affected EGU, including
associated equipment and monitors, in
a manner consistent with safety and
good air pollution control practice. The
Administrator will determine if you are
using consistent operation and
maintenance procedures based on
information available to the
Administrator that may include, but is
not limited to, fuel use records,
monitoring results, review of operation
and maintenance procedures and
records, review of reports required by
this subpart, and inspection of the EGU.
(c) Within 30 days after the end of the
initial compliance period (i.e., no more
than 30 days after the first 12-operatingmonth compliance period), you must
make an initial compliance
determination for your affected EGU(s)
with respect to the applicable emissions
standard in table 1 to this subpart, in
accordance with the requirements in
this subpart. The first operating month
included in the initial 12-operatingmonth compliance period shall be
determined as follows:
(1) For an affected EGU that
commences commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2), the first month
of the initial compliance period shall be
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§ 60.5535a How do I monitor and collect
data to demonstrate compliance?
(a) Combustion turbines qualifying
under § 60.5520a(d)(1) are not subject to
any requirements in this section other
than the requirement to maintain fuel
Fmt 4701
Equation 3 to Paragraph (a)(3)(ii)
HIERA
Monitoring and Compliance
Determination Procedures
Frm 00242
(ii) For intermediate load combustion
turbines:
= ILER* [HIERN)
the first operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580a) after the calendar month in
which emissions reporting is required to
begin under:
(i) Section 60.5555a(c)(3)(i), for units
subject to the Acid Rain Program; or
(ii) Section 60.5555a(c)(3)(ii), for units
that are not in the Acid Rain Program.
(2) For a modified or reconstructed
EGU that becomes subject to this
subpart, the first month of the initial
compliance period shall be the first
operating month (as defined in
§ 60.5580a) after the calendar month in
which emissions reporting is required to
begin under § 60.5555a(c)(3)(iii).
(3) Emissions of CO2 emitted by your
affected facility and the output of the
affected facility generated when it
operated during a system emergency as
defined in § 60.5580a are excluded for
both applicability and compliance with
the relevant standards of performance if
you can sufficiently provide the
documentation listed in § 60.5560a(i).
The relevant standard of performance
for affected EGUs that operate during a
system emergency depends on the
subcategory, as described in paragraphs
(c)(3)(i) and (ii) of this section.
(i) For intermediate and base load
combustion turbines that operate during
a system emergency, you comply with
the standard for low load combustion
turbines specified in table 1 to this
subpart.
(ii) For modified steam generating
units, you must not discharge from the
affected EGU any gases that contain CO2
in excess of 230 lb CO2/MMBtu.
PO 00000
BLRA = Base load rating of the actual
combustion turbine in GJ/h (or MMBtu/
h)
HIERA = Heat input-based emissions rate of
the actual fuel burned in the combustion
turbine (lb CO2/MMBtu). Not to exceed
69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/MMBtu)
HIERNG = Heat input-based emissions rate of
natural gas 50 kg/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu)
Sfmt 4700
purchase records for permitted fuel(s). If
your combustion turbine uses nonuniform fuels as specified under
§ 60.5520a(d)(2), you must monitor heat
input in accordance with paragraph
(c)(1) of this section, and you must
monitor CO2 emissions in accordance
with either paragraph (b), (c)(2), or (c)(5)
of this section. For all other affected
sources, you must prepare a monitoring
plan to quantify the hourly CO2 mass
emission rate (tons/h), in accordance
with the applicable provisions in 40
CFR 75.53(g) and (h). The electronic
portion of the monitoring plan must be
submitted using the ECMPS Client Tool
and must be in place prior to reporting
emissions data and/or the results of
monitoring system certification tests
under this subpart. The monitoring plan
must be updated as necessary.
Monitoring plan submittals must be
made by the Designated Representative
(DR), the Alternate DR, or a delegated
agent of the DR (see § 60.5555a(d) and
(e)).
(b) You must determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions in kg from your
affected EGU(s) according to paragraphs
(b)(1) through (5) of this section, or, if
applicable, as provided in paragraph (c)
of this section.
(1) For an affected EGU that combusts
coal you must, and for all other affected
EGUs you may, install, certify, operate,
maintain, and calibrate a CO2
continuous emission monitoring system
(CEMS) to directly measure and record
hourly average CO2 concentrations in
the affected EGU exhaust gases emitted
to the atmosphere, and a flow
monitoring system to measure hourly
average stack gas flow rates, according
to 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an
alternative to direct measurement of
CO2 concentration, provided that your
EGU does not use carbon separation
(e.g., carbon capture and storage), you
may use data from a certified oxygen
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(O2) monitor to calculate hourly average
CO2 concentrations, in accordance with
40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(iii). If you measure
CO2 concentration on a dry basis, you
must also install, certify, operate,
maintain, and calibrate a continuous
moisture monitoring system, according
to 40 CFR 75.11(b). Alternatively, you
may either use an appropriate fuelspecific default moisture value from 40
CFR 75.11(b) or submit a petition to the
Administrator under 40 CFR 75.66 for a
site-specific default moisture value.
(2) For each continuous monitoring
system that you use to determine the
CO2 mass emissions, you must meet the
applicable certification and quality
assurance procedures in 40 CFR 75.20
and appendices A and B to 40 CFR part
75.
(3) You must use only unadjusted
exhaust gas volumetric flow rates to
determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions rate from the affected EGU;
you must not apply the bias adjustment
factors described in Section 7.6.5 of
appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 to the
exhaust gas flow rate data.
(4) You must select an appropriate
reference method to setup (characterize)
the flow monitor and to perform the ongoing RATAs, in accordance with 40
CFR part 75. If you use a Type-S pitot
tube or a pitot tube assembly for the
flow RATAs, you must calibrate the
pitot tube or pitot tube assembly; you
may not use the 0.84 default Type-S
pitot tube coefficient specified in
Method 2.
(5) Calculate the hourly CO2 mass
emissions (kg) as described in
paragraphs (b)(5)(i) through (iv) of this
section. Perform this calculation only
for ‘‘valid operating hours’’, as defined
in § 60.5540(a)(1).
(i) Begin with the hourly CO2 mass
emission rate (tons/h), obtained either
from Equation F–11 in appendix F to 40
CFR part 75 (if CO2 concentration is
measured on a wet basis), or by
following the procedure in section 4.2 of
appendix F to 40 CFR part 75 (if CO2
concentration is measured on a dry
basis).
(ii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2
mass emission rate by the EGU or stack
operating time in hours (as defined in
40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to tons of
CO2.
(iii) Finally, multiply the result from
paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of this section by
907.2 to convert it from tons of CO2 to
kg. Round off to the nearest kg.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and
EGU (or stack) operating times used to
calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR
75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6).
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You must use these data to calculate the
hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(c) If your affected EGU exclusively
combusts liquid fuel and/or gaseous
fuel, as an alternative to complying with
paragraph (b) of this section, you may
determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions according to paragraphs (c)(1)
through (4) of this section. If you use
non-uniform fuels as specified in
§ 60.5520a(d)(2), you may determine
CO2 mass emissions during the
compliance period according to
paragraph (c)(5) of this section.
(1) If you are subject to an outputbased standard and you do not install
CEMS in accordance with paragraph (b)
of this section, you must implement the
applicable procedures in appendix D to
40 CFR part 75 to determine hourly EGU
heat input rates (MMBtu/h), based on
hourly measurements of fuel flow rate
and periodic determinations of the gross
calorific value (GCV) of each fuel
combusted.
(2) For each measured hourly heat
input rate, use Equation G–4 in
appendix G to 40 CFR part 75 to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emission
rate (tons/h). You may determine sitespecific carbon-based F-factors (Fc)
using Equation F–7b in section 3.3.6 of
appendix F to 40 CFR part 75, and you
may use these Fc values in the
emissions calculations instead of using
the default Fc values in the Equation G–
4 nomenclature.
(3) For each ‘‘valid operating hour’’
(as defined in § 60.5540(a)(1), multiply
the hourly tons/h CO2 mass emission
rate from paragraph (c)(2) of this section
by the EGU or stack operating time in
hours (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to
convert it to tons of CO2. Then, multiply
the result by 907.2 to convert from tons
of CO2 to kg. Round off to the nearest
two significant figures.
(4) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and
EGU (or stack) operating times used to
calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR
75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6).
You must use these data to calculate the
hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(5) If you operate a combustion
turbine firing non-uniform fuels, as an
alternative to following paragraphs
(c)(1) through (4) of this section, you
may determine CO2 emissions during
the compliance period using one of the
following methods:
(i) Units firing fuel gas may determine
the heat input during the compliance
period following the procedure under
§ 60.107a(d) and convert this heat input
to CO2 emissions using Equation G–4 in
appendix G to 40 CFR part 75.
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40039
(ii) You may use the procedure for
determining CO2 emissions during the
compliance period based on the use of
the Tier 3 methodology under 40 CFR
98.33(a)(3).
(d) Consistent with § 60.5520a, you
must determine the basis of the
emissions standard that applies to your
affected source in accordance with
either paragraph (d)(1) or (2) of this
section, as applicable:
(1) If you operate a source subject to
an emissions standard established on an
output basis (e.g., lb CO2 per gross or net
MWh of energy output), you must
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
a sufficient number of watt meters to
continuously measure and record the
hourly gross electric output or net
electric output, as applicable, from the
affected EGU(s). These measurements
must be performed using 0.2 class
electricity metering instrumentation and
calibration procedures as specified
under ANSI No. C12.20–2010
(incorporated by reference, see § 60.17).
For a combined heat and power (CHP)
EGU, as defined in § 60.5580a, you must
also install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate meters to continuously (i.e.,
hour-by-hour) determine and record the
total useful thermal output. For process
steam applications, you will need to
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
meters to continuously determine and
record the hourly steam flow rate,
temperature, and pressure. Your plan
shall ensure that you install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate meters to record
each component of the determination,
hour-by-hour.
(2) If you operate a source subject to
an emissions standard established on a
heat-input basis (e.g., lb CO2/MMBtu)
and your affected source uses nonuniform heating value fuels as
delineated under § 60.5520a(d), you
must determine the total heat input for
each fuel fired during the compliance
period in accordance with one of the
following procedures:
(i) Appendix D to 40 CFR part 75;
(ii) The procedures for monitoring
heat input under § 60.107a(d);
(iii) If you monitor CO2 emissions in
accordance with the Tier 3 methodology
under 40 CFR 98.33(a)(3), you may
convert your CO2 emissions to heat
input using the appropriate emission
factor in table C–1 of 40 CFR part 98. If
your fuel is not listed in table C–1, you
must determine a fuel-specific carbonbased F-factor (Fc) in accordance with
section 12.3.2 of EPA Method 19 of
appendix A–7 to this part, and you must
convert your CO2 emissions to heat
input using Equation G–4 in appendix
G to 40 CFR part 75.
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(e) Consistent with § 60.5520a, if two
or more affected EGUs serve a common
electric generator, you must apportion
the combined hourly gross or net energy
output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total
steam load and/or direct mechanical
energy contributed by each EGU to the
electric generator. Alternatively, if the
EGUs are identical, you may apportion
the combined hourly gross or net
electrical load to the individual EGUs
according to the fraction of the total heat
input contributed by each EGU. You
may also elect to develop, demonstrate,
and provide information satisfactory to
the Administrator on alternate methods
to apportion the gross or net energy
output. The Administrator may approve
such alternate methods for apportioning
the gross or net energy output whenever
the demonstration ensures accurate
estimation of emissions regulated under
this part.
(f) In accordance with §§ 60.13(g) and
60.5520a, if two or more affected EGUs
that implement the continuous emission
monitoring provisions in paragraph (b)
of this section share a common exhaust
gas stack you must monitor hourly CO2
mass emissions in accordance with one
of the following procedures:
(1) If the EGUs are subject to the same
emissions standard in table 1 to this
subpart, you may monitor the hourly
CO2 mass emissions at the common
stack in lieu of monitoring each EGU
separately. If you choose this option, the
hourly gross or net energy output
(electric, thermal, and/or mechanical, as
applicable) must be the sum of the
hourly loads for the individual affected
EGUs and you must express the
operating time as ‘‘stack operating
hours’’ (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2). If
you attain compliance with the
applicable emissions standard in
§ 60.5520a at the common stack, each
affected EGU sharing the stack is in
compliance; or
(2) As an alternative to the
requirements in paragraph (f)(1) of this
section, or if the EGUs are subject to
different emission standards in table 1
to this subpart, you must either:
(i) Monitor each EGU separately by
measuring the hourly CO2 mass
emissions prior to mixing in the
common stack or
(ii) Apportion the CO2 mass emissions
based on the unit’s load contribution to
the total load associated with the
common stack and the appropriate Ffactors. You may also elect to develop,
demonstrate, and provide information
satisfactory to the Administrator on
alternate methods to apportion the CO2
emissions. The Administrator may
approve such alternate methods for
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apportioning the CO2 emissions
whenever the demonstration ensures
accurate estimation of emissions
regulated under this part.
(g) In accordance with §§ 60.13(g) and
60.5520a if the exhaust gases from an
affected EGU that implements the
continuous emission monitoring
provisions in paragraph (b) of this
section are emitted to the atmosphere
through multiple stacks (or if the
exhaust gases are routed to a common
stack through multiple ducts and you
elect to monitor in the ducts), you must
monitor the hourly CO2 mass emissions
and the ‘‘stack operating time’’ (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2) at each stack or
duct separately. In this case, you must
determine compliance with the
applicable emissions standard in table 1
or 2 to this subpart by summing the CO2
mass emissions measured at the
individual stacks or ducts and dividing
by the total gross or net energy output
for the affected EGU.
§ 60.5540a How do I demonstrate
compliance with my CO2 emissions
standard and determine excess emissions?
(a) In accordance with § 60.5520a, if
you are subject to an output-based
emission standard or you burn nonuniform fuels as specified in
§ 60.5520a(d)(2), you must demonstrate
compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard in table 1 to this
subpart as required in this section. For
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month rolling average
compliance period, you must follow the
procedures in paragraphs (a)(1) through
(8) of this section to calculate the CO2
mass emissions rate for your affected
EGU(s) in units of the applicable
emissions standard (e.g., either kg/MWh
or kg/GJ). You must use the hourly CO2
mass emissions calculated under
§ 60.5535a(b) or (c), as applicable, and
either the generating load data from
§ 60.5535a(d)(1) for output-based
calculations or the heat input data from
§ 60.5535a(d)(2) for heat-input-based
calculations. Combustion turbines firing
non-uniform fuels that contain CO2
prior to combustion (e.g., blast furnace
gas or landfill gas) may sample the fuel
stream to determine the quantity of CO2
present in the fuel prior to combustion
and exclude this portion of the CO2
mass emissions from compliance
determinations.
(1) Each compliance period shall
include only ‘‘valid operating hours’’ in
the compliance period, i.e., operating
hours for which:
(i) ‘‘Valid data’’ (as defined in
§ 60.5580a) are obtained for all of the
parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions (kg) and, if a heat
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Sfmt 4700
input-based standard applies, all the
parameters used to determine total heat
input for the hour are also obtained; and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross or
net energy output value is also valid
data (Note: For hours with no useful
output, zero is considered to be a valid
value).
(2) You must exclude operating hours
in which:
(i) The substitute data provisions of
part 75 of this chapter are applied for
any of the parameters used to determine
the hourly CO2 mass emissions or, if a
heat input-based standard applies, for
any parameters used to determine the
hourly heat input;
(ii) An exceedance of the full-scale
range of a continuous emission
monitoring system occurs for any of the
parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions or, if applicable, to
determine the hourly heat input; or
(iii) The total gross or net energy
output (Pgross/net) or, if applicable, the
total heat input is unavailable.
(3) For each compliance period, at
least 95 percent of the operating hours
in the compliance period must be valid
operating hours, as defined in paragraph
(a)(1) of this section.
(4) You must calculate the total CO2
mass emissions by summing the valid
hourly CO2 mass emissions values from
§ 60.5535a for all of the valid operating
hours in the compliance period.
(5) For each valid operating hour of
the compliance period that was used in
paragraph (a)(4) of this section to
calculate the total CO2 mass emissions,
you must determine Pgross/net (the
corresponding hourly gross or net
energy output in MWh) according to the
procedures in paragraphs (a)(5)(i) and
(ii) of this section, as appropriate for the
type of affected EGU(s). For an operating
hour in which a valid CO2 mass
emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this
section, if there is no gross or net
electrical output, but there is
mechanical or useful thermal output,
you must still determine the gross or net
energy output for that hour. In addition,
for an operating hour in which a valid
CO2 mass emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this
section, but there is no (i.e., zero) gross
electrical, mechanical, or useful thermal
output, you must use that hour in the
compliance determination. For hours or
partial hours where the gross electric
output is equal to or less than the
auxiliary loads, net electric output shall
be counted as zero for this calculation.
(i) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected
EGU using the following equation. All
terms in the equation must be expressed
in units of MWh. To convert each
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hourly gross or net energy output
(consistent with § 60.5520a) value
reported under part 75 of this chapter to
Pgross/net
=
MWh, multiply by the corresponding
EGU or stack operating time.
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(5)(i)
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(5)(i)
(Pe)sT+(Pe)cT+(Pe)rn-(Pe)Fw-(Pe)A
TDF
Where:
Pgross/net = In accordance with § 60.5520a,
gross or net energy output of your
affected EGU for each valid operating
hour (as defined in § 60.5540a(a)(1)) in
MWh.
(Pe)ST = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
steam turbines in MWh.
(Pe)CT = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
stationary combustion turbine(s) in
MWh.
(Pe)IE = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
your affected EGU’s integrated
equipment that provides electricity or
mechanical energy to the affected EGU or
auxiliary equipment in MWh.
(Pe)FW = Electric energy used to power boiler
feedwater pumps at steam generating
units in MWh. Not applicable to
40041
+ [ (Pt)ps + (Pt)HR + (Pt)rn]
stationary combustion turbines, IGCC
EGUs, or EGUs complying with a net
energy output based standard.
(Pe)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary
loads in MWh. Not applicable for
determining Pgross.
(Pt)PS = Useful thermal output of steam
(measured relative to standard ambient
temperature and pressure (SATP)
conditions, as applicable) that is used for
applications that do not generate
additional electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU.
This is calculated using the equation
specified in paragraph (a)(5)(ii) of this
section in MWh.
(Pt)HR = Non steam useful thermal output
(measured relative to SATP conditions,
as applicable) from heat recovery that is
used for applications other than steam
generation or performance enhancement
of the affected EGU in MWh.
(Eq. 2)
(Pt)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to
SATP conditions, as applicable) from
any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate
additional steam, electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU in
MWh.
TDF = Electric Transmission and Distribution
Factor of 0.95 for a combined heat and
power affected EGU where at least on an
annual basis 20.0 percent of the total
gross or net energy output consists of
useful thermal output on a 12-operatingmonth rolling average basis, or 1.0 for all
other affected EGUs.
(ii) If applicable to your affected EGU
(for example, for combined heat and
power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using
the following equation:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(ii)
(6) Sources complying with energy
output-based standards must calculate
the basis (i.e., denominator) of their
actual annual emission rate in
accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(i) of
this section. Sources complying with
heat input based standards must
calculate the basis of their actual annual
emission rate in accordance with
paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of this section.
(i) In accordance with § 60.5520a if
you are subject to an output-based
standard, you must calculate the total
gross or net energy output for the
affected EGU’s compliance period by
summing the hourly gross or net energy
output values for the affected EGU that
you determined under paragraph (a)(5)
of this section for all of the valid
operating hours in the applicable
compliance period.
(ii) If you are subject to a heat inputbased standard, you must calculate the
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total heat input for each fuel fired
during the compliance period. The
calculation of total heat input for each
individual fuel must include all valid
operating hours and must also be
consistent with any fuel-specific
procedures specified within your
selected monitoring option under
§ 60.5535(d)(2).
(7) If you are subject to an outputbased standard, you must calculate the
CO2 mass emissions rate for the affected
EGU(s) (kg/MWh) by dividing the total
CO2 mass emissions value calculated
according to the procedures in
paragraph (a)(4) of this section by the
total gross or net energy output value
calculated according to the procedures
in paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section.
Round off the result to two significant
figures if the calculated value is less
than 1,000; round the result to three
significant figures if the calculated value
is greater than 1,000. If you are subject
to a heat input-based standard, you
must calculate the CO2 mass emissions
rate for the affected EGU(s) (kg/GJ or lb/
MMBtu) by dividing the total CO2 mass
emissions value calculated according to
the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of
this section by the total heat input
calculated according to the procedures
in paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of this section.
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Round off the result to two significant
figures.
(8) You may exclude CO2 mass
emissions and output generated from
your affected EGU from your
calculations for hours during which the
affected EGU operated during a system
emergency, as defined in § 60.5580a, if
you can provide the information listed
in § 60.5560a(i). While operating during
a system emergency, your compliance
determination depends on your
subcategory or unit type, as listed in
paragraphs (a)(8)(i) through (ii) of this
section.
(i) For affected EGUs in the
intermediate or base load subcategory,
your CO2 emission standard while
operating during a system emergency is
the applicable emission standard for
low load combustion turbines.
(ii) For affected modified steam
generating units, your CO2 emission
standard while operating during a
system emergency is 230 lb CO2/
MMBtu.
(b) In accordance with § 60.5520a, to
demonstrate compliance with the
applicable CO2 emission standard, for
the initial and each subsequent 12operating-month compliance period, the
CO2 mass emissions rate for your
affected EGU must be determined
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ER09MY24.060
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Where:
Qm = Measured useful thermal output flow in
kg (lb) for the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the useful thermal output at
measured temperature and pressure
(relative to SATP conditions or the
energy in the condensate return line, as
applicable) in Joules per kilogram (J/kg)
(or Btu/lb).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 × 109 J/MWh
or 3.413 × 106 Btu/MWh.
ER09MY24.061
(Pt)ps = Q:;H (Eq. 3)
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according to the procedures specified in
paragraph (a)(1) through (8) of this
section and must be less than or equal
to the applicable CO2 emissions
standard in table 1 to this subpart, or the
emissions standard calculated in
accordance with § 60.5525a(a)(2).
(c) If you are the owner or operator of
a new or reconstructed stationary
combustion turbine operating in the
base load subcategory, are installing
add-on controls, and are unable to
comply with the applicable Phase 2 CO2
emission standard specified in table 1 to
this subpart due to circumstances
beyond your control, you may request a
compliance date extension of no longer
than one year beyond the effective date
of January 1, 2032, and may only receive
an extension once. The extension
request must contain a demonstration of
necessity that includes the following:
(1) A demonstration that your affected
EGU cannot meet its compliance date
due to circumstances beyond your
control and you have taken all steps
reasonably possible to install the
controls necessary for compliance by
the effective date up to the point of the
delay. The demonstration shall:
(i) Identify each affected unit for
which you are seeking the compliance
extension;
(ii) Identify and describe the controls
to be installed at each affected unit to
comply with the applicable CO2
emission standard in table 1 to this
subpart;
(iii) Describe and demonstrate all
progress towards installing the controls
and that you have acted consistently
with achieving timely compliance,
including;
(A) Any and all contract(s) entered
into for the installation of the identified
controls or an explanation as to why no
contract is necessary or obtainable;
(B) Any permit(s) obtained for the
installation of the identified controls or,
where a required permit has not yet
been issued, a copy of the permit
application submitted to the permitting
authority and a statement from the
permit authority identifying its
anticipated timeframe for issuance of
such permit(s).
(iv) Identify the circumstances that
are entirely beyond your control and
that necessitate additional time to
install the identified controls. This may
include:
(A) Information gathered from control
technology vendors or engineering firms
demonstrating that the necessary
controls cannot be installed or started
up by the applicable compliance date
listed in table 1 to this subpart;
(B) Documentation of any permit
delays; or
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(C) Documentation of delays in
construction or permitting of
infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that
is necessary for implementation of the
control technology;
(v) Identify a proposed compliance
date no later than one year after the
applicable compliance date listed in
table 1 to this subpart.
(2) The Administrator is charged with
approving or disapproving a compliance
date extension request based on his or
her written determination that your
affected EGU has or has not made each
of the necessary demonstrations and
provided all of the necessary
documentation according to paragraph
(c)(1) of this section. The following must
be included:
(i) All documentation required as part
of this extension must be submitted by
you to the Administrator no later than
6 months prior to the applicable
effective date for your affected EGU.
(ii) You must notify the Administrator
of the compliance date extension
request at the time of the submission of
the request.
Notification, Reports, and Records
§ 60.5550a What notifications must I
submit and when?
(a) You must prepare and submit the
notifications specified in §§ 60.7(a)(1)
and (3) and 60.19, as applicable to your
affected EGU(s) (see table 3 to this
subpart).
(b) You must prepare and submit
notifications specified in 40 CFR 75.61,
as applicable, to your affected EGUs.
§ 60.5555a
when?
What reports must I submit and
(a) You must prepare and submit
reports according to paragraphs (a)
through (d) of this section, as
applicable.
(1) For affected EGUs that are required
by § 60.5525a to conduct initial and ongoing compliance determinations on a
12-operating-month rolling average
basis, you must submit electronic
quarterly reports as follows. After you
have accumulated the first 12-operating
months for the affected EGU, you must
submit a report for the calendar quarter
that includes the twelfth operating
month no later than 30 days after the
end of that quarter. Thereafter, you must
submit a report for each subsequent
calendar quarter, no later than 30 days
after the end of the quarter.
(2) In each quarterly report you must
include the following information, as
applicable:
(i) Each rolling average CO2 mass
emissions rate for which the last
(twelfth) operating month in a 12operating-month compliance period
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falls within the calendar quarter. You
must calculate each average CO2 mass
emissions rate for the compliance
period according to the procedures in
§ 60.5540a. You must report the dates
(month and year) of the first and twelfth
operating months in each compliance
period for which you performed a CO2
mass emissions rate calculation. If there
are no compliance periods that end in
the quarter, you must include a
statement to that effect;
(ii) If one or more compliance periods
end in the quarter, you must identify
each operating month in the calendar
quarter where your EGU violated the
applicable CO2 emission standard;
(iii) If one or more compliance
periods end in the quarter and there are
no violations for the affected EGU, you
must include a statement indicating this
in the report;
(iv) The percentage of valid operating
hours in each 12-operating-month
compliance period described in
paragraph (a)(1) of this section (i.e., the
total number of valid operating hours
(as defined in § 60.5540a(a)(1)) in that
period divided by the total number of
operating hours in that period,
multiplied by 100 percent);
(v) Consistent with § 60.5520a, the
CO2 emissions standard (as identified in
table 1 or 2 to this subpart) with which
your affected EGU must comply; and
(vi) Consistent with § 60.5520a, an
indication whether or not the hourly
gross or net energy output (Pgross/net)
values used in the compliance
determinations are based solely upon
gross electrical load.
(3) In the final quarterly report of each
calendar year, you must include the
following:
(i) Consistent with § 60.5520a, gross
energy output or net energy output sold
to an electric grid, as applicable to the
units of your emission standard, over
the four quarters of the calendar year;
and
(ii) The potential electric output of the
EGU.
(b) You must submit all electronic
reports required under paragraph (a) of
this section using the Emissions
Collection and Monitoring Plan System
(ECMPS) Client Tool provided by the
Clean Air Markets Division in the Office
of Atmospheric Programs of EPA.
(c)(1) For affected EGUs under this
subpart that are also subject to the Acid
Rain Program, you must meet all
applicable reporting requirements and
submit reports as required under
subpart G of part 75 of this chapter.
(2) For affected EGUs under this
subpart that are not in the Acid Rain
Program, you must also meet the
reporting requirements and submit
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reports as required under subpart G of
part 75 of this chapter, to the extent that
those requirements and reports provide
applicable data for the compliance
demonstrations required under this
subpart.
(3)(i) For all newly-constructed
affected EGUs under this subpart that
are also subject to the Acid Rain
Program, you must begin submitting the
quarterly electronic emissions reports
described in paragraph (c)(1) of this
section in accordance with 40 CFR
75.64(a), i.e., beginning with data
recorded on and after the earlier of:
(A) The date of provisional
certification, as defined in 40 CFR
75.20(a)(3); or
(B) 180 days after the date on which
the EGU commences commercial
operation (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2).
(ii) For newly-constructed affected
EGUs under this subpart that are not
subject to the Acid Rain Program, you
must begin submitting the quarterly
electronic reports described in
paragraph (c)(2) of this section,
beginning with data recorded on and
after the date on which reporting is
required to begin under 40 CFR 75.64(a),
if that date occurs on or after May 23,
2023.
(iii) For reconstructed or modified
units, reporting of emissions data shall
begin at the date on which the EGU
becomes an affected unit under this
subpart, provided that the ECMPS
Client Tool is able to receive and
process net energy output data on that
date. Otherwise, emissions data
reporting shall be on a gross energy
output basis until the date that the
Client Tool is first able to receive and
process net energy output data.
(4) If any required monitoring system
has not been provisionally certified by
the applicable date on which emissions
data reporting is required to begin under
paragraph (c)(3) of this section, the
maximum (or in some cases, minimum)
potential value for the parameter
measured by the monitoring system
shall be reported until the required
certification testing is successfully
completed, in accordance with 40 CFR
75.4(j), 40 CFR 75.37(b), or section 2.4
of appendix D to part 75 of this chapter
(as applicable). Operating hours in
which CO2 mass emission rates are
calculated using maximum potential
values are not ‘‘valid operating hours’’
(as defined in § 60.5540(a)(1)), and shall
not be used in the compliance
determinations under § 60.5540.
(d) For affected EGUs subject to the
Acid Rain Program, the reports required
under paragraphs (a) and (c)(1) of this
section shall be submitted by:
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(1) The person appointed as the
Designated Representative (DR) under
40 CFR 72.20; or
(2) The person appointed as the
Alternate Designated Representative
(ADR) under 40 CFR 72.22; or
(3) A person (or persons) authorized
by the DR or ADR under 40 CFR 72.26
to make the required submissions.
(e) For affected EGUs that are not
subject to the Acid Rain Program, the
owner or operator shall appoint a DR
and (optionally) an ADR to submit the
reports required under paragraphs (a)
and (c)(2) of this section. The DR and
ADR must register with the Clean Air
Markets Division (CAMD) Business
System. The DR may delegate the
authority to make the required
submissions to one or more persons.
(f) If your affected EGU captures CO2
to meet the applicable emission
standard, you must report in accordance
with the requirements of 40 CFR part
98, subpart PP, and either:
(1) Report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs
on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that reports in accordance with
the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR, or subpart VV, if injection
occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that has received an innovative
technology waiver from EPA pursuant
to paragraph (g) of this section.
(g) Any person may request the
Administrator to issue a waiver of the
requirement that captured CO2 from an
affected EGU be transferred to a facility
reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV. To receive a waiver,
the applicant must demonstrate to the
Administrator that its technology will
store captured CO2 as effectively as
geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or
contribute to an unreasonable risk to
public health, welfare, or safety. In
making this determination, the
Administrator shall consider (among
other factors) operating history of the
technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of
any pollutant other than CO2, and
permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system, or
require the applicant to perform any
tests considered by the Administrator to
be necessary to show the technology’s
effectiveness, safety, and ability to store
captured CO2 without release. The
Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the
approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The
Administrator may also withdraw
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approval of the waiver on evidence of
releases of CO2 or other pollutants. The
Administrator will provide notice to the
public of any application under this
provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before
the Administrator takes final action.
§ 60.5560a
What records must I maintain?
(a) You must maintain records of the
information you used to demonstrate
compliance with this subpart as
specified in § 60.7(b) and (f).
(b)(1) For affected EGUs subject to the
Acid Rain Program, you must follow the
applicable recordkeeping requirements
and maintain records as required under
subpart F of part 75 of this chapter.
(2) For affected EGUs that are not
subject to the Acid Rain Program, you
must also follow the recordkeeping
requirements and maintain records as
required under subpart F of part 75 of
this chapter, to the extent that those
records provide applicable data for the
compliance determinations required
under this subpart. Regardless of the
prior sentence, at a minimum, the
following records must be kept, as
applicable to the types of continuous
monitoring systems used to demonstrate
compliance under this subpart:
(i) Monitoring plan records under 40
CFR 75.53(g) and (h);
(ii) Operating parameter records
under 40 CFR 75.57(b)(1) through (4);
(iii) The records under 40 CFR
75.57(c)(2), for stack gas volumetric flow
rate;
(iv) The records under 40 CFR
75.57(c)(3) for continuous moisture
monitoring systems;
(v) The records under 40 CFR
75.57(e)(1), except for paragraph
(e)(1)(x), for CO2 concentration
monitoring systems or O2 monitors used
to calculate CO2 concentration;
(vi) The records under 40 CFR
75.58(c)(1), specifically paragraphs
(c)(1)(i), (ii), and (viii) through (xiv), for
oil flow meters;
(vii) The records under 40 CFR
75.58(c)(4), specifically paragraphs
(c)(4)(i), (ii), (iv), (v), and (vii) through
(xi), for gas flow meters;
(viii) The quality-assurance records
under 40 CFR 75.59(a), specifically
paragraphs (a)(1) through (12) and (15),
for CEMS;
(ix) The quality-assurance records
under 40 CFR 75.59(a), specifically
paragraphs (b)(1) through (4), for fuel
flow meters; and
(x) Records of data acquisition and
handling system (DAHS) verification
under 40 CFR 75.59(e).
(c) You must keep records of the
calculations you performed to
determine the hourly and total CO2
mass emissions (tons) for:
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(1) Each operating month (for all
affected EGUs); and
(2) Each compliance period,
including, each 12-operating-month
compliance period.
(d) Consistent with § 60.5520a, you
must keep records of the applicable data
recorded and calculations performed
that you used to determine your affected
EGU’s gross or net energy output for
each operating month.
(e) You must keep records of the
calculations you performed to
determine the percentage of valid CO2
mass emission rates in each compliance
period.
(f) You must keep records of the
calculations you performed to assess
compliance with each applicable CO2
mass emissions standard in table 1 or 2
to this subpart.
(g) You must keep records of the
calculations you performed to
determine any site-specific carbonbased F-factors you used in the
emissions calculations (if applicable).
(h) For stationary combustion
turbines, you must keep records of
electric sales to determine the
applicable subcategory.
(i) You must keep the records listed
in paragraphs (i)(1) through (3) of this
section to demonstrate that your
affected facility operated during a
system emergency.
(1) Documentation that the system
emergency to which the affected EGU
was responding was in effect from the
entity issuing the alert and
documentation of the exact duration of
the system emergency;
(2) Documentation from the entity
issuing the alert that the system
emergency included the affected source/
region where the affected facility was
located; and
(3) Documentation that the affected
facility was instructed to increase
output beyond the planned day-ahead
or other near-term expected output and/
or was asked to remain in operation
outside its scheduled dispatch during
emergency conditions from a Reliability
Coordinator, Balancing Authority, or
Independent System Operator/Regional
Transmission Organization.
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§ 60.5565a In what form and how long
must I keep my records?
(a) Your records must be in a form
suitable and readily available for
expeditious review.
(b) You must maintain each record for
5 years after the date of conclusion of
each compliance period.
(c) You must maintain each record on
site for at least 2 years after the date of
each occurrence, measurement,
maintenance, corrective action, report,
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or record, according to § 60.7. Records
that are accessible from a central
location by a computer or other means
that instantly provide access at the site
meet this requirement. You may
maintain the records off site for the
remaining year(s) as required by this
subpart.
Other Requirements and Information
§ 60.5570a What parts of the general
provisions apply to my affected EGU?
Notwithstanding any other provision
of this chapter, certain parts of the
general provisions in §§ 60.1 through
60.19, listed in table 3 to this subpart,
do not apply to your affected EGU.
§ 60.5575a Who implements and enforces
this subpart?
(a) This subpart can be implemented
and enforced by the EPA, or a delegated
authority such as your state, local, or
Tribal agency. If the Administrator has
delegated authority to your state, local,
or Tribal agency, then that agency (as
well as the EPA) has the authority to
implement and enforce this subpart.
You should contact your EPA Regional
Office to find out if this subpart is
delegated to your state, local, or Tribal
agency.
(b) In delegating implementation and
enforcement authority of this subpart to
a state, local, or Tribal agency, the
Administrator retains the authorities
listed in paragraphs (b)(1) through (5) of
this section and does not transfer them
to the state, local, or Tribal agency. In
addition, the EPA retains oversight of
this subpart and can take enforcement
actions, as appropriate.
(1) Approval of alternatives to the
emission standards.
(2) Approval of major alternatives to
test methods.
(3) Approval of major alternatives to
monitoring.
(4) Approval of major alternatives to
recordkeeping and reporting.
(5) Performance test and data
reduction waivers under § 60.8(b).
§ 60.5580a
subpart?
What definitions apply to this
As used in this subpart, all terms not
defined herein will have the meaning
given them in the Clean Air Act and in
subpart A (general provisions) of this
part.
Annual capacity factor means the
ratio between the actual heat input to an
EGU during a calendar year and the
potential heat input to the EGU had it
been operated for 8,760 hours during a
calendar year at the base load rating.
Actual and potential heat input derived
from non-combustion sources (e.g., solar
thermal) are not included when
calculating the annual capacity factor.
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Base load combustion turbine means
a stationary combustion turbine that
supplies more than 40 percent of its
potential electric output as net-electric
sales on both a 12-operating month and
a 3-year rolling average basis.
Base load rating means the maximum
amount of heat input (fuel) that an EGU
can combust on a steady state basis plus
the maximum amount of heat input
derived from non-combustion source
(e.g., solar thermal), as determined by
the physical design and characteristics
of the EGU at International Organization
for Standardization (ISO) conditions.
For a stationary combustion turbine,
base load rating includes the heat input
from duct burners.
Coal means all solid fuels classified as
anthracite, bituminous, subbituminous,
or lignite in ASTM D388–99R04
(incorporated by reference, see § 60.17),
coal refuse, and petroleum coke.
Synthetic fuels derived from coal for the
purpose of creating useful heat,
including, but not limited to, solventrefined coal, gasified coal (not meeting
the definition of natural gas), coal-oil
mixtures, and coal-water mixtures are
included in this definition for the
purposes of this subpart.
Coal-fired Electric Generating Unit
means a steam generating unit or
integrated gasification combined cycle
unit that combusts coal on or after the
date of modification or at any point after
December 31, 2029.
Combined cycle unit means a
stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust
gases is recovered by a heat recovery
steam generating unit (HRSG) to
generate additional electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or
CHP unit, (also known as
‘‘cogeneration’’) means an electric
generating unit that simultaneously
produces both electric (or mechanical)
and useful thermal output from the
same primary energy source.
Design efficiency means the rated
overall net efficiency (e.g., electric plus
useful thermal output) on a higher
heating value basis at the base load
rating, at ISO conditions, and at the
maximum useful thermal output (e.g.,
CHP unit with condensing steam
turbines would determine the design
efficiency at the maximum level of
extraction and/or bypass). Design
efficiency shall be determined using one
of the following methods: ASME PTC
22–2014, ASME PTC 46–1996, ISO
2314:2009 (E) (all incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17), or an alternative
approved by the Administrator. When
determining the design efficiency, the
output of integrated equipment and
energy storage are included.
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Distillate oil means fuel oils that
comply with the specifications for fuel
oil numbers 1 and 2, as defined in
ASTM D396–98 (incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17); diesel fuel oil
numbers 1 and 2, as defined in ASTM
D975–08a (incorporated by reference,
see § 60.17); kerosene, as defined in
ASTM D3699–08 (incorporated by
reference, see § 60.17); biodiesel as
defined in ASTM D6751–11b
(incorporated by reference, see § 60.17);
or biodiesel blends as defined in ASTM
D7467–10 (incorporated by reference,
see § 60.17).
Electric Generating units or EGU
means any steam generating unit, IGCC
unit, or stationary combustion turbine
that is subject to this rule (i.e., meets the
applicability criteria).
Fossil fuel means natural gas,
petroleum, coal, and any form of solid,
liquid, or gaseous fuel derived from
such material for the purpose of creating
useful heat.
Gaseous fuel means any fuel that is
present as a gas at ISO conditions and
includes, but is not limited to, natural
gas, refinery fuel gas, process gas, cokeoven gas, synthetic gas, and gasified
coal.
Gross energy output means:
(1) For stationary combustion turbines
and IGCC, the gross electric or direct
mechanical output from both the EGU
(including, but not limited to, output
from steam turbine(s), combustion
turbine(s), and gas expander(s)) plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output.
(2) For steam generating units, the
gross electric or mechanical output from
the affected EGU(s) (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s),
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)) minus any electricity used
to power the feedwater pumps plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output;
(3) For combined heat and power
facilities, where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross energy output consists of
useful thermal output on a 12-operatingmonth rolling average basis, the gross
electric or mechanical output from the
affected EGU (including, but not limited
to, output from steam turbine(s),
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)) minus any electricity used
to power the feedwater pumps (the
electric auxiliary load of boiler
feedwater pumps is not applicable to
IGCC facilities), that difference divided
by 0.95, plus 100 percent of the useful
thermal output.
Heat recovery steam generating unit
(HRSG) means an EGU in which hot
exhaust gases from the combustion
turbine engine are routed in order to
extract heat from the gases and generate
useful output. Heat recovery steam
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generating units can be used with or
without duct burners.
Integrated gasification combined
cycle facility or IGCC means a combined
cycle facility that is designed to burn
fuels containing 50 percent (by heat
input) or more solid-derived fuel not
meeting the definition of natural gas,
plus any integrated equipment that
provides electricity or useful thermal
output to the affected EGU or auxiliary
equipment. The Administrator may
waive the 50 percent solid-derived fuel
requirement during periods of the
gasification system construction, startup
and commissioning, shutdown, or
repair. No solid fuel is directly burned
in the EGU during operation.
Intermediate load combustion turbine
means a stationary combustion turbine
that supplies more than 20 percent but
less than or equal to 40 percent of its
potential electric output as net-electric
sales on both a 12-operating month and
a 3-year rolling average basis.
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15
°C, 59 °F), 60 percent relative humidity
and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm)
pressure.
Liquid fuel means any fuel that is
present as a liquid at ISO conditions
and includes, but is not limited to,
distillate oil and residual oil.
Low load combustion turbine means a
stationary combustion turbine that
supplies 20 percent or less of its
potential electric output as net-electric
sales on both a 12-operating month and
a 3-year rolling average basis.
Mechanical output means the useful
mechanical energy that is not used to
operate the affected EGU(s), generate
electricity and/or thermal energy, or to
enhance the performance of the affected
EGU. Mechanical energy measured in
horsepower hour should be converted
into MWh by multiplying it by 745.7
then dividing by 1,000,000.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of
hydrocarbons (e.g., methane, ethane, or
propane), composed of at least 70
percent methane by volume or that has
a gross calorific value between 35 and
41 megajoules (MJ) per dry standard
cubic meter (950 and 1,100 Btu per dry
standard cubic foot), that maintains a
gaseous state under ISO conditions.
Finally, natural gas does not include the
following gaseous fuels: Landfill gas,
digester gas, refinery gas, sour gas, blast
furnace gas, coal-derived gas, producer
gas, coke oven gas, or any gaseous fuel
produced in a process which might
result in highly variable CO2 content or
heating value.
Net-electric output means the amount
of gross generation the generator(s)
produces (including, but not limited to,
output from steam turbine(s),
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40045
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)), as measured at the
generator terminals, less the electricity
used to operate the plant (i.e., auxiliary
loads); such uses include fuel handling
equipment, pumps, fans, pollution
control equipment, other electricity
needs, and transformer losses as
measured at the transmission side of the
step up transformer (e.g., the point of
sale).
Net-electric sales means:
(1) The gross electric sales to the
utility power distribution system minus
purchased power; or
(2) For combined heat and power
facilities, where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross energy output consists of
useful thermal output on a 12-operating
month basis, the gross electric sales to
the utility power distribution system
minus the applicable percentage of
purchased power of the thermal host
facility or facilities. The applicable
percentage of purchase power for CHP
facilities is determined based on the
percentage of the total thermal load of
the host facility supplied to the host
facility by the CHP facility. For
example, if a CHP facility serves 50
percent of a thermal host’s thermal
demand, the owner/operator of the CHP
facility would subtract 50 percent of the
thermal host’s electric purchased power
when calculating net-electric sales.
(3) Electricity supplied to other
facilities that produce electricity to
offset auxiliary loads are included when
calculating net-electric sales.
(4) Electric sales during a system
emergency are not included when
calculating net-electric sales.
Net energy output means:
(1) The net electric or mechanical
output from the affected EGU plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output; or
(2) For combined heat and power
facilities, where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross or net energy output
consists of useful thermal output on a
12-operating-month rolling average
basis, the net electric or mechanical
output from the affected EGU divided
by 0.95, plus 100 percent of the useful
thermal output.
Operating month means a calendar
month during which any fuel is
combusted in the affected EGU at any
time.
Petroleum means crude oil or a fuel
derived from crude oil, including, but
not limited to, distillate and residual oil.
Potential electric output means the
base load rating design efficiency at the
maximum electric production rate (e.g.,
CHP units with condensing steam
turbines will operate at maximum
electric production) multiplied by the
base load rating (expressed in MMBtu/
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h) of the EGU, multiplied by 106 Btu/
MMBtu, divided by 3,413 Btu/KWh,
divided by 1,000 kWh/MWh, and
multiplied by 8,760 h/yr (e.g., a 35
percent efficient affected EGU with a
100 MW (341 MMBtu/h) fossil fuel heat
input capacity would have a 306,000
MWh 12-month potential electric output
capacity).
Solid fuel means any fuel that has a
definite shape and volume, has no
tendency to flow or disperse under
moderate stress, and is not liquid or
gaseous at ISO conditions. This
includes, but is not limited to, coal,
biomass, and pulverized solid fuels.
Standard ambient temperature and
pressure (SATP) conditions means
298.15 Kelvin (25 °C, 77 °F) and 100.0
kilopascals (14.504 psi, 0.987 atm)
pressure. The enthalpy of water at SATP
conditions is 50 Btu/lb.
Stationary combustion turbine means
all equipment including, but not limited
to, the turbine engine, the fuel, air,
lubrication and exhaust gas systems,
control systems (except emissions
control equipment), heat recovery
system, fuel compressor, heater, and/or
pump, post-combustion emission
control technology, and any ancillary
components and sub-components
comprising any simple cycle stationary
combustion turbine, any combined
cycle combustion turbine, and any
combined heat and power combustion
turbine based system plus any
integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to
the combustion turbine engine, (e.g.,
onsite photovoltaics), integrated energy
storage (e.g., onsite batteries), heat
recovery system, or auxiliary
equipment. Stationary means that the
combustion turbine is not self-propelled
or intended to be propelled while
performing its function. It may,
however, be mounted on a vehicle for
portability. A stationary combustion
turbine that burns any solid fuel directly
is considered a steam generating unit.
Steam generating unit means any
furnace, boiler, or other device used for
combusting fuel and producing steam
(nuclear steam generators are not
included) plus any integrated
equipment that provides electricity or
useful thermal output to the affected
EGU(s) or auxiliary equipment.
System emergency means periods
when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert
level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP–011–2 or its
successor.
Useful thermal output means the
thermal energy made available for use in
any heating application (e.g., steam
delivered to an industrial process for a
heating application, including thermal
cooling applications) that is not used for
electric generation, mechanical output
at the affected EGU, to directly enhance
the performance of the affected EGU
(e.g., economizer output is not useful
thermal output, but thermal energy used
to reduce fuel moisture is considered
useful thermal output), or to supply
energy to a pollution control device at
the affected EGU. Useful thermal output
for affected EGU(s) with no condensate
return (or other thermal energy input to
the affected EGU(s)) or where measuring
the energy in the condensate (or other
thermal energy input to the affected
EGU(s)) would not meaningfully impact
the emission rate calculation is
measured against the energy in the
thermal output at SATP conditions.
Affected EGU(s) with meaningful energy
in the condensate return (or other
thermal energy input to the affected
EGU) must measure the energy in the
condensate and subtract that energy
relative to SATP conditions from the
measured thermal output.
Valid data means quality-assured data
generated by continuous monitoring
systems that are installed, operated, and
maintained according to part 75 of this
chapter. For CEMS, the initial
certification requirements in 40 CFR
75.20 and appendix A to 40 CFR part 75
must be met before quality-assured data
are reported under this subpart; for ongoing quality assurance, the daily,
quarterly, and semiannual/annual test
requirements in sections 2.1, 2.2, and
2.3 of appendix B to 40 CFR part 75
must be met and the data validation
criteria in sections 2.1.5, 2.2.3, and 2.3.2
of appendix B to 40 CFR part 75. For
fuel flow meters, the initial certification
requirements in section 2.1.5 of
appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 must be
met before quality-assured data are
reported under this subpart (except for
qualifying commercial billing meters
under section 2.1.4.2 of appendix D to
40 CFR part 75), and for on-going
quality assurance, the provisions in
section 2.1.6 of appendix D to 40 CFR
part 75 apply (except for qualifying
commercial billing meters).
Violation means a specified averaging
period over which the CO2 emissions
rate is higher than the applicable
emissions standard located in table 1 to
this subpart.
TABLE 1 TO SUBPART TTTTA OF PART 60—CO2 EMISSION STANDARDS FOR AFFECTED STATIONARY COMBUSTION TURBINES THAT COMMENCED CONSTRUCTION OR RECONSTRUCTION AFTER MAY 23, 2023 (GROSS OR NET ENERGY
OUTPUT-BASED STANDARDS APPLICABLE AS APPROVED BY THE ADMINISTRATOR)
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or greater have a minimum of 3 significant figures and numerical values of less than 1,000 have a minimum of
2 significant figures]
Affected EGU category
CO2 emission standard
Base load combustion turbines ...........................
For 12-operating month averages beginning before January 2032, 360 to 560 kg CO2/MWh
(800 to 1,250 lb CO2/MWh) of gross energy output; or 370 to 570 kg CO2/MWh (820 to
1,280 lb CO2/MWh) of net energy output as determined by the procedures in § 60.5525a.
For 12-operating month averages beginning after December 2031, 43 to 67 kg CO2/MWh (100
to 150 lb CO2/MWh) of gross energy output; or 42 to 64 kg CO2/MWh (97 to 139 lb CO2/
MWh) of net energy output as determined by the procedures in § 60.5525a.
530 to 710 kg CO2/MWh (1,170 to 1,560 lb CO2/MWh) of gross energy output; or 540 to 700
kg CO2/MWh (1,190 to 1,590 lb CO2/MWh) of net energy output as determined by the procedures in § 60.5525a.
Between 50 to 69 kg CO2/GJ (120 to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu) of heat input as determined by the
procedures in § 60.5525a.
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Intermediate load combustion turbines ...............
Low load combustion turbines ............................
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40047
TABLE 2 TO SUBPART TTTTA OF PART 60—CO2 EMISSION STANDARDS FOR AFFECTED STEAM GENERATING UNITS OR
IGCC THAT COMMENCED MODIFICATION AFTER MAY 23, 2023
Affected EGU
CO2 Emission standard
Modified coal-fired steam generating unit.
A unit-specific emissions standard determined by an 88.4 percent reduction in the unit’s best historical annual CO2 emission rate (from 2002 to the date of the modification).
TABLE 3 TO SUBPART TTTTA OF PART 60—APPLICABILITY OF SUBPART A OF PART 60 (GENERAL PROVISIONS) TO
SUBPART TTTTA
General provisions citation
Subject of citation
Applies to subpart TTTTa
...................................
...................................
...................................
...................................
Applicability ........................
Definitions ..........................
Units and Abbreviations ....
Address .............................
Yes.
Yes ....................................
Yes.
Yes ....................................
§ 60.5 ...................................
Determination of construction or modification.
Review of plans .................
Notification and Recordkeeping.
Yes.
No..
Yes ....................................
§ 60.12 .................................
§ 60.13 (a)–(h), (j) ................
§ 60.13 (i) .............................
Performance tests .............
Performance test method
alternatives.
Conducting performance
tests.
Availability of Information ..
State authority ...................
Compliance with standards
and maintenance requirements.
Circumvention ....................
Monitoring requirements ....
Monitoring requirements ....
§ 60.14 .................................
Modification .......................
§ 60.15
§ 60.16
§ 60.17
§ 60.18
Reconstruction ...................
Priority list ..........................
Incorporations by reference
General control device requirements.
General notification and reporting requirements.
Yes (steam generating
units and IGCC facilities)
No (stationary combustion turbines)..
Yes.
No..
Yes.
No..
§ 60.1
§ 60.2
§ 60.3
§ 60.4
§ 60.6 ...................................
§ 60.7 ...................................
§ 60.8(a) ...............................
§ 60.8(b) ...............................
§ 60.8(c)–(f) ..........................
§ 60.9 ...................................
§ 60.10 .................................
§ 60.11 .................................
.................................
.................................
.................................
.................................
§ 60.19 .................................
16. Remove and reserve subpart
UUUUa.
■
17. Add subpart UUUUb to read as
follows:
■
Sec.
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Subpart UUUUb—Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Electric
Utility Generating Units
Introduction
60.5700b What is the purpose of this
subpart?
60.5705b Which pollutants are regulated by
this subpart?
60.5710b Am I affected by this subpart?
60.5715b What is the review and approval
process for my State plan?
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Additional terms defined in § 60.5580a.
Does not apply to information reported electronically
through ECMPS. Duplicate submittals are not required.
Only the requirements to submit the notifications in
§ 60.7(a)(1) and (3) and to keep records of malfunctions in § 60.7(b), if applicable.
Administrator can approve alternate methods.
No..
Yes.
Yes.
No..
Yes.
No ......................................
Yes ....................................
Yes ....................................
All monitoring is done according to part 75.
Administrator can approve alternative monitoring procedures or requirements.
Does not apply to notifications under § 75.61 or to information reported through ECMPS.
60.5720b What if I do not submit a State
plan or my State plan is not approvable?
60.5725b In lieu of a State plan submittal,
are there other acceptable option(s) for a
State to meet its CAA section 111(d)
obligations?
60.5730b Is there an approval process for a
negative declaration letter?
Subpart UUUUa—[Reserved]
VerDate Sep<11>2014
Yes.
Yes ....................................
Explanation
State Plan Requirements
60.5740b What must I include in my
federally enforceable State plan?
60.5775b What standards of performance
must I include in my State plan?
60.5780b What compliance dates and
compliance periods must I include in my
State plan?
60.5785b What are the timing requirements
for submitting my State plan?
60.5790b What is the procedure for revising
my State plan?
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60.5795b Commitment to review emission
guidelines for coal-fired affected EGUs
Applicability of State Plans to Affected EGUs
60.5840b Does this subpart directly affect
EGU owners or operators in my State?
60.5845b What affected EGUs must I
address in my State plan?
60.5850b What EGUs are excluded from
being affected EGUs?
Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
60.5860b What applicable monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements do I need to include in my
State plan for affected EGUs?
60.5865b What are my recordkeeping
requirements?
60.5870b What are my reporting and
notification requirements?
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60.5875b How do I submit information
required by these emission guidelines to
the EPA?
60.5876b What are the recordkeeping and
reporting requirements for EGUs that
have committed to permanently cease
operations by January 1, 2032?
Definitions
60.5880b What definitions apply to this
subpart?
Subpart UUUUb—Emission Guidelines
for Greenhouse Gas Emissions for
Electric Utility Generating Units
Introduction
§ 60.5700b
subpart?
What is the purpose of this
This subpart establishes emission
guidelines and approval criteria for
State plans that establish standards of
performance limiting greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions from an affected steam
generating unit. An affected steam
generating unit shall, for the purposes of
this subpart, be referred to as an affected
EGU. These emission guidelines are
developed in accordance with section
111(d) of the Clean Air Act and subpart
Ba of this part. State plans under the
emission guidelines in this subpart are
also subject to the requirements of
subpart Ba. To the extent any
requirement of this subpart is
inconsistent with the requirements of
subparts A or Ba of this part, the
requirements of this subpart shall apply.
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§ 60.5705b Which pollutants are regulated
by this subpart?
(a) The pollutants regulated by this
subpart are greenhouse gases (GHG).
The emission guidelines for greenhouse
gases established in this subpart are
expressed as carbon dioxide (CO2)
emission performance rates.
(b) PSD and Title V Thresholds for
Greenhouse Gases.
(1) For the purposes of 40
CFR 51.166(b)(49)(ii), with respect to
GHG emissions from facilities regulated
in the State plan, the ‘‘pollutant that is
subject to the standard promulgated
under section 111 of the Act’’ shall be
considered to be the pollutant that
otherwise is subject to regulation under
the Act as defined in 40
CFR 51.166(b)(48) and in any State
Implementation Plan (SIP) approved by
the EPA that is interpreted to
incorporate, or specifically incorporates,
40 CFR 51.166(b)(48).
(2) For the purposes of 40
CFR 52.21(b)(50)(ii), with respect to
GHG emissions from facilities regulated
in the State plan, the ‘‘pollutant that is
subject to the standard promulgated
under section 111 of the Act’’ shall be
considered to be the pollutant that
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otherwise is subject to regulation under
the Act as defined in 40
CFR 52.21(b)(49).
(3) For the purposes of 40 CFR 70.2,
with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from facilities regulated in
the State plan, the ‘‘pollutant that is
subject to any standard promulgated
under section 111 of the Act’’ shall be
considered to be the pollutant that
otherwise is ‘‘subject to regulation’’ as
defined in 40 CFR 70.2.
(4) For the purposes of 40 CFR 71.2,
with respect to GHG emissions from
facilities regulated in the State plan, the
‘‘pollutant that is subject to any
standard promulgated under section 111
of the Act’’ shall be considered to be the
pollutant that otherwise is ‘‘subject to
regulation’’ as defined in 40 CFR 71.2.
§ 60.5710b
Am I affected by this subpart?
(a) If you are the Governor of a State
in the contiguous United States with
one or more affected EGUs that must be
addressed in your State plan as
indicated in § 60.5845b, you must
submit a State plan to the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
that implements the emission guidelines
contained in this subpart. If you are the
Governor of a State in the contiguous
United States with no affected EGUs, or
if all EGUs in your State are excluded
from being affected EGUs per
§ 60.5850b, you must submit a negative
declaration letter in place of the State
plan.
(b) If you are a coal-fired steam
generating unit that has demonstrated
that it plans to permanently cease
operation prior to January 1, 2032,
consistent with § 60.5740b(a)(9)(ii), and
that would be an affected EGU under
these emissions guidelines but for
§ 60.5850b(k), you must comply with
§ 60.5876b.
§ 60.5715b What is the review and
approval process for my State plan?
(a) The EPA will determine the
completeness of your State plan
submission according to § 60.27a(g). The
timeline for completeness
determinations is provided in
§ 60.27a(g)(1).
(b) The EPA will act on your State
plan submission according to § 60.27a.
The Administrator will have 12 months
after the date the final State plan or
State plan revision (as allowed under
§ 60.5790b) is found to be complete to
fully approve, partially approve,
conditionally approve, partially
disapprove, and/or fully disapprove
such State plan or revision or each
portion thereof.
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§ 60.5720b What if I do not submit a State
plan or my State plan is not approvable?
(a) If you do not submit an approvable
State plan the EPA will develop a
Federal plan for your State according to
§ 60.27a. The Federal plan will
implement the emission guidelines
contained in this subpart. Owners and
operators of affected EGUs not covered
by an approved State plan must comply
with a Federal plan implemented by the
EPA for the State.
(b) After a Federal plan has been
implemented in your State, it will be
withdrawn when your State submits,
and the EPA approves, a State plan
replacing the relevant portion(s) of the
Federal plan.
§ 60.5725b In lieu of a State plan
submittal, are there other acceptable
option(s) for a State to meet its CAA section
111(d) obligations?
A State may meet its CAA section
111(d) obligations only by submitting a
State plan or a negative declaration
letter (if applicable).
§ 60.5730b Is there an approval process
for a negative declaration letter?
No. The EPA has no formal review
process for negative declaration letters.
Once your negative declaration letter
has been received, consistent with the
electronic submission requirements in
§ 60.5875b, the EPA will place a copy
in the public docket and publish a
notice in the Federal Register. If, at a
later date, an affected EGU for which
construction commenced on or before
January 8, 2014, reconstruction on or
before June 18, 2014, or modification on
or before May 23, 2023, is found in your
State, you will be found to have failed
to submit a State plan as required, and
a Federal plan implementing the
emission guidelines contained in this
subpart, when promulgated by the EPA,
will apply to that affected EGU until
you submit, and the EPA approves, a
State plan.
State Plan Requirements
§ 60.5740b What must I include in my
federally enforceable State plan?
(a) You must include the components
described in paragraphs (a)(1) through
(13) of this section in your State plan
submittal. The final State plan must
meet the requirements and include the
information required under § 60.5775b
and must also meet any administrative
and technical completeness criteria
listed in § 60.27a(g)(2) and (3) that are
not otherwise specifically enumerated
here.
(1) Identification of affected EGUs.
Consistent with § 60.25a(a), you must
identify the affected EGUs covered by
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your State plan and all affected EGUs in
your State that meet the applicability
criteria in § 60.5845b. You must also
identify the subcategory into which you
have classified each affected EGU.
States must subcategorize affected EGUs
into one of the following subcategories:
(i) Long-term coal-fired steam
generating units, consisting of coal-fired
steam generating units that are not
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units and do not plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2039.
(ii) Medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units, consisting of coal-fired
steam generating units that have elected
to commit to permanently cease
operations by a date after December 31,
2031, and before January 1, 2039.
(iii) Base load oil-fired steam
generating units, consisting of oil-fired
steam generating units with an annual
capacity factor greater than or equal to
45 percent.
(iv) Intermediate load oil-fired steam
generating units, consisting of oil-fired
steam generating units with an annual
capacity factor greater than or equal to
8 percent and less than 45 percent.
(v) Low load oil-fired steam
generating units, consisting of oil-fired
steam generating units with an annual
capacity factor less than 8 percent.
(vi) Base load natural gas-fired steam
generating units, consisting of natural
gas-fired steam generating units with an
annual capacity factor greater than or
equal to 45 percent.
(vii) Intermediate load natural gasfired steam generating units, consisting
of natural gas-fired steam generating
units with an annual capacity factor
greater than or equal to 8 percent and
less than 45 percent.
(viii) Low load natural gas-fired steam
generating units, consisting of natural
gas-fired steam generating units with an
annual capacity factor less than 8
percent.
(2) Inventory of Data from Affected
EGUs. You must include an inventory of
the following data from the affected
EGUs:
(i) The nameplate capacity of the
affected EGU, as defined in § 60.5880b.
(ii) The base load rating of the affected
EGU, as defined in § 60.5880b.
(iii) The data within the continuous 5year period immediately prior to May 9,
2024 including:
(A) The sum of the CO2 emissions
during each quarter in the 5-year period.
(B) For affected EGUs in all
subcategories except the low load
natural gas- and oil-fired subcategories,
the sum of the gross energy output
during each quarter in the 5-year period;
for affected EGUs in the low load
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natural gas- and oil-fired subcategories,
the sum of the heat input during each
quarter in the 5-year period.
(C) The heat input for each fuel type
combusted during each quarter in the 5year period.
(D) The start date and end date of the
most representative continuous 8quarter period used to determine the
baseline of emission performance under
§ 60.5775b(d), the sum of the CO2 mass
emissions during that period, the sum of
the gross energy output or, for affected
EGUs in the low load natural gas-fired
subcategory or low load oil-fired
subcategory, the sum of the heat input
during that period, and sum of the heat
input for each fuel type combusted
during that period.
(3) Standards of Performance. You
must include all standards of
performance for each affected EGU
according to § 60.5775b. Standards of
performance must be established at a
level of performance that does not
exceed the level calculated through the
use of the methods described in
§ 60.5775b(b), unless a State establishes
a standard of performance pursuant to
§ 60.5775b(e).
(4) Requirements related to
Subcategory Applicability. (i) You must
include the following enforceable
requirements to establish an affected
EGU’s applicability for each of the
following subcategories:
(A) For medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units, you must include a
requirement to permanently cease
operations by a date after December 31,
2031, and before January 1, 2039.
(B) For steam generating units that
meet the definition of natural gas- or oilfired, and that either retain the
capability to fire coal after May 9, 2024,
that fired any coal during the 5-year
period prior to that date, or that will fire
any coal after that date and before
January 1, 2030, you must include a
requirement to remove the capability to
fire coal before January 1, 2030.
(C) For each affected EGU, you must
also estimate coal, oil, and natural gas
usage by heat input for the first 3
calendar years after January 1, 2030.
(D) For affected EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operation, you must
include a requirement that each such
affected EGU comply with applicable
State and Federal requirements for
permanently ceasing operation,
including removal from its respective
State’s air emissions inventory and
amending or revoking all applicable
permits to reflect the permanent
shutdown status of the EGU.
(5) Increments of Progress. You must
include in your State plan legally
enforceable increments of progress as
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required elements for affected EGUs in
the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit and medium-term coalfired steam generating unit
subcategories.
(i) For affected EGUs in the long-term
coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory using carbon capture to
meet their applicable standard of
performance and affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory using
natural gas co-firing to meet their
applicable standard of performance,
State plans must assign calendar-date
deadlines to each of the increments of
progress described in subsection (a)(5)(i)
and meet the website reporting
obligations of subsection (a)(5)(iii):
(A) Submittal of a final control plan
for the affected EGU to the appropriate
air pollution control agency. The final
control plan must be consistent with the
subcategory declaration for each
affected EGU in the State plan.
(1) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, the final control plan must
include supporting analysis for the
affected EGU’s control strategy,
including a feasibility and/or front-end
engineering and design (FEED) study.
(2) For each affected unit in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, the final
control plan must include supporting
analysis for the affected EGU’s control
strategy, including the design basis for
modifications at the facility, the
anticipated timeline to achieve full
compliance, and the benchmarks the
facility anticipates along the way.
(B) Completion of awarding of
contracts. The owner or operator of an
affected EGU can demonstrate
compliance with this increment of
progress by submitting sufficient
evidence that the appropriate contracts
have been awarded.
(1) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, awarding of contracts for
emission control systems or for process
modifications, or issuance of orders for
the purchase of component parts to
accomplish emission control or process
modification.
(2) For each affected unit in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, awarding of
contracts for boiler modifications, or
issuance of orders for the purchase of
component parts to accomplish boiler
modifications.
(C) Initiation of on-site construction
or installation of emission control
equipment or process change.
(1) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
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subcategory, initiation of on-site
construction or installation of emission
control equipment or process change
required to achieve 90 percent carbon
capture on an annual basis.
(2) For each affected unit in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, initiation of
on-site construction or installation of
any boiler modifications necessary to
enable natural gas co-firing at a level of
40 percent on an annual average basis.
(D) Completion of on-site construction
or installation of emission control
equipment or process change.
(1) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, completion of on-site
construction or installation of emission
control equipment or process change
required to achieve 90 percent carbon
capture on an annual basis.
(2) For each affected unit in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, completion
of on-site construction of any boiler
modifications necessary to enable
natural gas co-firing at a level of 40
percent on an annual average basis.
(E) Commencement of permitting
actions related to pipeline construction.
The owner or operator of an affected
EGU must demonstrate that they have
commenced permitting actions by a date
specified in the State plan. Evidence in
support of the demonstration must
include pipeline planning and design
documentation that informed the
permitting process, a complete list of
pipeline-related permitting applications,
including the nature of the permit
sought and the authority to which each
permit application was submitted, an
attestation that the list of pipelinerelated permits is complete with respect
to the authorizations required to operate
each affected unit at full compliance
with the standard of performance, and
a timeline to complete all pipeline
permitting activities.
(1) For affected units in the long-term
coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, this increment of progress
applies to each affected EGU that adopts
CCS to meet the standard of
performance and ensure timely
completion of CCS-related pipeline
infrastructure.
(2) For affected units in the mediumterm coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, this increment of progress
applies to each affected EGU that adopts
natural gas co-firing to meet the
standard of performance and ensures
timely completion of any pipeline
infrastructure needed to transport
natural gas to designated facilities.
(F) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
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subcategory, a report identifying the
geographic location where CO2 will be
injected underground, how the CO2 will
be transported from the capture location
to the storage location, and the
regulatory requirements associated with
the sequestration activities, as well as an
anticipated timeline for completing
related permitting activities.
(G) Compliance with the standard of
performance as follows:
(1) For each affected unit in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory, by
January 1, 2030.
(2) For each affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating
subcategory, by January 1, 2032.
(ii) For any affected unit in the longterm coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory that will meet its applicable
standard of performance using a control
other than CCS or in the medium-term
coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory that will meet its applicable
standard of performance using a control
other than natural gas co-firing:
(A) The State plan must include
appropriate increments of progress
consistent with 40 CFR 60.21a(h)
specific to the affected unit’s control
strategy.
(1) The increment of progress
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(1)
must be assigned the earliest calendar
date among the increments.
(2) The increment of progress
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5)
must be assigned calendar dates as
follows: for affected EGUs in the longterm coal-fired steam generating
subcategory, no later than January 1,
2032; and for affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired steam
generating subcategory, no later than
January 1, 2030.
(iii) The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must post within 30
business days of the State plan
submittal a description of the activities
or actions that constitute the increments
of progress and the schedule for
achieving the increments of progress on
the Carbon Pollution Standards for
EGUs website required by
§ 60.5740b(a)(10). As the calendar dates
for each increment of progress occurs,
the owner or operator of the affected
EGU must post within 30 business days
any documentation necessary to
demonstrate that each increment of
progress has been met on the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website
required by § 60.5740b(a)(10).
(iv) You must include in your State
plan a requirement that the owner or
operator of each affected EGU shall
report to the State regulatory agency any
deviation from any federally enforceable
State plan increment of progress within
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30 business days after the owner or
operator of the affected EGU knew or
should have known of the event. This
report must explain the cause or causes
of the deviation and describe all
measures taken or to be taken by the
owner or operator of the EGU to cure the
reported deviation and to prevent such
deviations in the future, including the
timeframes in which the owner or
operator intends to cure the deviation.
You must also include in your State
plan a requirement that the owner or
operator of the affected EGU to post a
report of any deviation from any
federally enforceable increment of
progress on the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website required by
§ 60.5740b(a)(10) within 30 business
days.
(6) Reporting Obligations and
Milestones for Affected EGUs that Have
Demonstrated They Plan to Permanently
Cease Operations. You must include in
your State plan legally enforceable
reporting obligations and milestones for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coalfired steam generating unit
(§ 60.5740b(a)(1)(ii)) subcategory, and
for affected EGUs that invoke RULOF
based on a unit’s remaining useful life
according to paragraphs (a)(6)(i) through
(v) of this section:
(i) Five years before the date the
affected EGU permanently ceases
operations (either the date used to
determine the applicable subcategory
under these emission guidelines or the
date used to invoke RULOF based on
remaining useful life) or 60 days after
State plan submission, whichever is
later, the owner or operator of the
affected EGU must submit an Initial
Milestone Report to the applicable air
pollution control agency that includes
the information in paragraphs
(a)(6)(i)(A) through (D) of this section:
(A) A summary of the process steps
required for the affected EGU to
permanently cease operations by the
date included in the State plan,
including the approximate timing and
duration of each step and any
notification requirements associated
with deactivation of the unit.
(B) A list of key milestones that will
be used to assess whether each process
step has been met, and calendar day
deadlines for each milestone. These
milestones must include at least the
initial notice to the relevant reliability
authority or authorities of an EGU’s
deactivation date and submittal of an
official retirement filing with the EGU’s
relevant reliability authority or
authorities.
(C) An analysis of how the process
steps, milestones, and associated
timelines included in the Milestone
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Report compare to the timelines of
similar EGUs within the State that have
permanently ceased operations within
the 10 years prior to the date of
promulgation of these emission
guidelines.
(D) Supporting regulatory documents,
which include those listed in
paragraphs (a)(6)(i)(D)(1) through (3) of
this section:
(1) Any correspondence and official
filings with the relevant Regional
Transmission Organization (RTO),
Independent System Operator,
Balancing Authority, Public Utilities
Commission (PUC), or other applicable
authority;
(2) Any deactivation-related reliability
assessments conducted by the RTO or
Independent System Operator;
(3) Any filings with the United States
Securities and Exchange Commission or
notices to investors, including but not
limited to, those listed in paragraphs
(a)(6)(i)(D)(3)(i) through (v) of this
section.
(i) References in forms 10–K and 10–
Q, in which the plans for the EGU are
mentioned;
(ii) Any integrated resource plans and
PUC orders approving the EGU’s
deactivation;
(iii) Any reliability analyses
developed by the RTO, Independent
System Operator, or relevant reliability
authority in response to the EGU’s
deactivation notification;
(iv) Any notification from a relevant
reliability authority that the EGU may
be needed for reliability purposes
notwithstanding the EGU’s intent to
deactivate; and
(v) Any notification to or from an
RTO, Independent System Operator, or
Balancing Authority altering the timing
of deactivation for the EGU.
(ii) For each of the remaining years
prior to the date by which an affected
EGU has committed to permanently
cease operations that is included in the
State plan, the owner or operator of the
affected EGU must submit an annual
Milestone Status Report that includes
the information in paragraphs
(a)(6)(ii)(A) and (B) of this section:
(A) Progress toward meeting all
milestones identified in the Initial
Milestone Report, described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(6)(i); and
(B) Supporting regulatory documents
and relevant SEC filings, including
correspondence and official filings with
the relevant RTO, Independent System
Operator, Balancing Authority, PUC, or
other applicable authority to
demonstrate compliance with or
progress toward all milestones.
(iii) No later than six months from the
date the affected EGU permanently
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ceases operations (either the date used
to determine the applicable subcategory
under these emission guidelines or the
date used to invoke RULOF based on
remaining useful life), the owner or
operator of the affected EGU must
submit a Final Milestone Status Report.
This report must document any actions
that the EGU has taken subsequent to
ceasing operation to ensure that such
cessation is permanent, including any
regulatory filings with applicable
authorities or decommissioning plans.
(iv) The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must post their Initial
Milestone Report, as described in
paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section;
annual Milestone Status Reports, as
described in paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of this
section; and Final Milestone Status
Report, as described in paragraph
(a)(6)(iii) of this section; including the
schedule for achieving milestones and
any documentation necessary to
demonstrate that milestones have been
achieved, on the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website required by
paragraph (a)(10) of this section within
30 business days of being filed.
(v) You must include in your State
plan a requirement that the owner or
operator of each affected EGU shall
report to the State regulatory agency any
deviation from any federally enforceable
State plan reporting milestone within 30
business days after the owner or
operator of the affected EGU knew or
should have known of the event. This
report must explain the cause or causes
of the deviation and describe all
measures taken or to be taken by the
owner or operator of the EGU to cure the
reported deviation and to prevent such
deviations in the future, including the
timeframes in which the owner or
operator intends to cure the deviation.
You must also include in your State
plan a requirement that the owner or
operator of the affected EGU to post a
report of any deviation from any
federally enforceable reporting
milestone on the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website required by
§ 60.5740b(a)(10) within 30 business
days.
(7) Identification of applicable
monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping requirements for each
affected EGU. You must include in your
State plan all applicable monitoring,
reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, including initial and
ongoing quality assurance and quality
control procedures, for each affected
EGU and the requirements must be
consistent with or no less stringent than
the requirements specified in
§ 60.5860b.
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(8) State reporting. You must include
in your State plan a description of the
process, contents, and schedule for State
reporting to the EPA about State plan
implementation and progress.
(9) Specific requirements for existing
coal-fired steam generating EGUs. Your
State plan must include the
requirements in paragraphs (a)(9)(i)
through (iii) of this section specifically
for existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs:
(i) Your State plan must require that
any existing coal-fired steam-generating
EGU shall operate only subject to a
standard of performance pursuant to
§ 60.5775b or under an exemption of
applicability provided under § 60.5850b
(including any extension of the date by
which an EGU has committed to cease
operating pursuant to the reliability
assurance mechanism, described in
paragraph (a)(13) of this section).
(ii) You must include a list of the
coal-fired steam generating EGUs that
are existing sources at the time of State
plan submission and that plan to
permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032, and the calendar dates
by which they have committed to cease
operating.
(iii) The State plan must provide that
an existing coal-fired steam generating
EGU operating past the date listed in the
State plan pursuant to paragraph
(a)(9)(ii) of this section is in violation of
that State plan, except to the extent the
existing coal-fired steam generating EGU
has received an extension of its date for
ceasing operation pursuant to the
reliability assurance mechanism,
described in paragraph (a)(13) of this
section.
(10) Carbon Pollution Standards for
EGUs Websites. You must require in
your State plan that owners or operators
of affected EGUs establish a publicly
accessible ‘‘Carbon Pollution Standards
for EGUs Website’’ and that they post
relevant documents to this website. You
must require in your State plan that
owners or operators of affected EGUs
post their subcategory designations and
compliance schedules as well as any
emissions data and other information
needed to demonstrate compliance with
a standard of performance to this
website in a timely manner. This
information includes, but is not limited
to, emissions data and other information
relevant to determining compliance
with applicable standards of
performance, information relevant to the
designation and determination of
compliance with increments of progress
and reporting obligations including
milestones for affected EGUs that plan
to permanently cease operations, and
any extension requests made and
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granted pursuant to the compliance date
extension mechanism or the reliability
assurance mechanism. Data should be
available in a readily downloadable
format. In addition, you must establish
a website that displays the links to these
websites for all affected EGUs in your
State plan.
(11) Compliance Date Extension. You
may include in your State plan
provisions allowing for a compliance
date extension for owners or operators
of affected EGU(s) that are installing
add-on controls and that are unable to
meet the applicable standard of
performance by the compliance date
specified in § 60.5740b(a)(4)(i) due to
circumstances beyond the owner or
operator’s control. Such provisions may
allow an owner or operator of an
affected EGU to request an extension of
no longer than one year from the
specified compliance date and may only
allow the owner or operator to receive
an extension once. The optional State
plan mechanism must provide that an
extension request contains a
demonstration of necessity that includes
the following:
(i) A demonstration that the owner or
operator of the affected EGU cannot
meet its compliance date due to
circumstances beyond the owner or
operator’s control and that the owner or
operator has met all relevant increments
of progress and otherwise taken all steps
reasonably possible to install the
controls necessary for compliance by
the specified compliance date up to the
point of the delay. The demonstration
shall:
(A) Identify each affected unit for
which the owner or operator is seeking
the compliance extension;
(B) Identify and describe the controls
to be installed at each affected unit to
comply with the applicable standard of
performance pursuant to § 60.5775b;
(C) Describe and demonstrate all
progress towards installing the controls
and that the owner or operator has itself
acted consistent with achieving timely
compliance, including:
(1) Any and all contract(s) entered
into for the installation of the identified
controls or an explanation as to why no
contract is necessary or obtainable; and
(2) Any permit(s) obtained for the
installation of the identified controls or,
where a required permit has not yet
been issued, a copy of the permit
application submitted to the permitting
authority and a statement from the
permit authority identifying its
anticipated timeframe for issuance of
such permit(s).
(D) Identify the circumstances that are
entirely beyond the owner or operator’s
control and that necessitate additional
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time to install the identified controls.
This may include:
(1) Information gathered from control
technology vendors or engineering firms
demonstrating that the necessary
controls cannot be installed or started
up by the applicable compliance date
listed in § 60.5740b(a)(4)(i);
(2) Documentation of any permit
delays; or
(3) Documentation of delays in
construction or permitting of
infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that
is necessary for implementation of the
control technology;
(E) Identify a proposed compliance
date no later than one year after the
applicable compliance date listed in
§ 60.5740b(a)(4)(i) and, if necessary,
updated calendar dates for the
increments of progress that have not yet
been met.
(ii) The State air pollution control
agency is charged with approving or
disapproving a compliance date
extension request based on its written
determination that the affected EGU has
or has not made each of the necessary
demonstrations and provided all of the
necessary documentation according to
paragraphs (a)(11)(i)(A) through (E) of
this section. The following provisions
for approval must be included in the
mechanism:
(A) All documentation required as
part of this extension must be submitted
by the owner or operator of the affected
EGU to the State air pollution control
agency no later than 6 months prior to
the applicable compliance date for that
affected EGU.
(B) The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must notify the relevant
EPA Regional Administrator of their
compliance date extension request at
the time of the submission of the
request.
(C) The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must post their
application for the compliance date
extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website,
described in § 60.5740b(a)(10), when
they submit the request to the State air
pollution control agency.
(D) The owner or operator of the
affected EGU must post the State’s
determination on the compliance date
extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website,
described in § 60.5740b(a)(10), upon
receipt of the determination and, if the
request is approved, update the
information on the website related to
the compliance date and increments of
progress dates within 30 days of the
receipt of the State’s approval.
(12) Short-Term Reliability
Mechanism. You may include in your
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State plan provisions for a short-term
reliability mechanism for affected EGUs
in your State that operate during a
system emergency, as defined in
§ 60.5880b. Such a mechanism must
include the components listed in
paragraphs (a)(12)(i) through (vi) of this
section.
(i) A requirement that the short-term
reliability mechanism is available only
during system emergencies as defined in
§ 60.5880b. The State plan must identify
the entity or entities that are authorized
to issue system emergencies for the
State.
(ii) A provision that, for the duration
of a documented system emergency, an
impacted affected EGU may comply
with an emission limitation
corresponding to its baseline emission
performance rate, as calculated under
§ 60.5775b(d), in lieu of its otherwise
applicable standard of performance. The
State plan must clearly identify the
alternative emission limitation that
corresponds to the affected EGU’s
baseline emission rate and include it as
an enforceable emission limitation that
may be applied only during periods of
system emergency.
(iii) A requirement that an affected
EGU impacted by the system emergency
and complying with an alternative
emission limitation must provide
documentation, as part of its
compliance demonstration, of the
system emergency according to
(a)(12)(iii)(A) through (D) of this section
and that it was impacted by that system
emergency.
(A) Documentation that the system
emergency was in effect from the entity
issuing the system emergency and
documentation of the exact duration of
the event;
(B) Documentation from the entity
issuing the system emergency that the
system emergency included the affected
source/region where the unit was
located;
(C) Documentation that the source
was instructed to increase output
beyond the planned day-ahead or other
near-term expected output and/or was
asked to remain in operation outside of
its scheduled dispatch during
emergency conditions from a Reliability
Coordinator, Balancing Authority, or
Independent System Operator/RTO; and
(D) Data collected during the event
including the sum of the CO2 emissions,
the sum of the gross energy output, and
the resulting CO2 emissions
performance rate.
(iv) A requirement to document the
hours an affected EGU operated under a
system emergency and the enforceable
emission limitation, whether the
applicable standard of performance or
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the alternative emission limitation,
under which that affected EGU operated
during those hours.
(v) A provision that, for the purpose
of demonstrating compliance with the
applicable standard of performance, the
affected EGU would comply with its
baseline emissions rate as calculated
under § 60.5775b(d) in lieu of its
otherwise applicable standard of
performance for the hours of operation
that correspond to the duration of the
event.
(vi) The inclusion of provisions
defining the short-term reliability
mechanism must be part of the public
comment process as part of the State
plan’s development.
(13) Reliability Assurance
Mechanism. You may include
provisions for a reliability assurance
mechanism in your State plan. If
included, such provisions would allow
for one extension, not to exceed 12months of the date by which an affected
EGU has committed to permanently
cease operations based on a
demonstration consistent with this
paragraph (a)(13) that operation of the
affected EGU is necessary for electric
grid reliability.
(i) The State plan must require that
the reliability assurance mechanism
would only be appliable to the
following EGUs which, for the purpose
of this paragraph (a)(13), are collectively
referred to as ‘‘eligible EGUs’’:
(A) Coal-fired steam generating units
that are exempt from these emission
guidelines pursuant to § 60.5850b(k),
(B) Affected EGUs in the mediumterm coal-fired steam-generating
subcategory that have enforceable
commitments to permanently cease
operation before January 1, 2039, in the
State plan, and
(C) Affected EGUs that have
enforceable dates to permanently cease
operation included in the State plan
pursuant to § 60.24a(g).
(ii)The date from which an extension
would run is the date included in the
State plan by which an eligible EGU has
committed to permanently cease
operation.
(iii) The State plan must provide that
an extension is only available to owners
or operators of affected EGUs that have
satisfied all applicable increments of
progress and reporting obligations and
milestones in paragraphs (a)(5) and (6)
of this section. This includes requiring
that the owner or operator of an affected
EGU has posted all information relevant
to such increments of progress and
reporting obligations and milestones on
the Carbon Pollution Standards for
EGUs website, described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(10).
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(iv) The State plan must provide that
any applicable standard of performance
for an affected EGU must remain in
place during the duration of an
extension provided under this
mechanism.
(v) The State plan may provide for
requests for an extension of up to 12
months without a State plan revision.
(A) For an extension of 6 months or
less, the owner or operator of the
eligible EGU requesting the extension
must submit the information in
paragraph (a)(13)(vi) to the applicable
EPA Regional Administrator to review
and approve or disapprove the
extension request.
(B) For an extension of more than 6
months and up to 12 months, the owner
or operator of the eligible EGU
requesting the extension must submit
the information in paragraph (a)(13)(vii)
to the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission (through a process and at
an office of the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission’s designation)
and to the applicable EPA Regional
Administrator to review and approve or
disapprove the extension request.
(vi) The State plan must require that
to apply for an extension for 6 months
or less, described in paragraph
(a)(13)(v)(A) of this section, the owner
or operator of an eligible EGU must
submit a complete written application
that includes the information listed in
paragraphs (a)(13)(vi)(A) through (D) of
this section no less than 30 days prior
to the cease operation date, but no
earlier than 12 months prior to the cease
operation date.
(A) An analysis of the reliability risk
that clearly demonstrates that the
eligible EGU is critical to maintaining
electric reliability. The analysis must
include a projection of the length of
time that the EGU is expected to be
reliability-critical and the length of the
requested extension must be no longer
than this period or 6 months, whichever
is shorter. In order to show an
approvable reliability need, the analysis
must clearly demonstrate that an
eligible EGU ceasing operation by the
date listed in the State plan would cause
one or more of the conditions listed in
paragraphs (a)(13)(vi)(A)(1) or (2) of this
section. An eligible EGU that has
received a Reliability Must Run
designation, or equivalent from a
Reliability Coordinator or Balancing
Authority, would fulfill those
conditions.
(1) Result in noncompliance with at
least one of the mandatory reliability
standards approved by FERC; or
(2) Would cause the loss of load
expectation to increase beyond the level
targeted by regional system planners as
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part of their established procedures for
that particular region; specifically, this
requires a clear demonstration that the
eligible EGU would be needed to
maintain the targeted level of resource
adequacy.
(B) Certification from the relevant
reliability planning authority that the
claims of reliability risk are accurate
and that the identified reliability
problem both exists and requires the
specific relief requested. This
certification must be accompanied by a
written analysis by the relevant
planning authority consistent with
paragraph (a)(13)(vi)(A) of this section,
confirming the asserted reliability risk if
the eligible EGU was not in operation.
The information from the relevant
reliability planning authority must also
include any related system-wide or
regional analysis and a substantiation of
the length of time that the eligible EGU
is expected to be reliability critical.
(C) Copies of any written comments
from third parties regarding the
extension.
(D) Demonstration from the owner or
operator of the eligible EGU, grid
operator, and other relevant entities of
a plan, including appropriate actions to
bring on new capacity or transmission,
to resolve the underlying reliability
issue is leading to the need to employ
this reliability assurance mechanism,
including the steps and timeframes for
implementing measures to rectify the
underlying reliability issue.
(E) Any other information requested
by the applicable EPA Regional
Administrator or the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission.
(vii) The State plan must require that
to apply for an extension longer than 6
months but up to 12 months, described
in paragraph (a)(13)(v)(B) of this section,
the owner or operator of an eligible EGU
must submit a complete written
application that includes the
information listed in (a)(13)(vi)(A)
through (E) of this section, except that
the period of time under (a)(13)(vi)(A)
would be 12 months. For requests for
extensions longer than 6 months, this
application must be submitted to the
EPA Regional Administrator no less
than 45 days prior to the date for
ceasing operation listed in the State
plan, but no earlier than 12 months
prior to that date.
(viii) The State plan must provide that
extensions will only be granted for the
period of time that is substantiated by
the reliability need and the submitted
analysis and documentation, and shall
not exceed 12 months in total.
(ix) The State plan must provide that
the reliability assurance mechanism
shall not be used more than once to
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extend an eligible EGU’s planned cease
operation date.
(x) The EPA Regional Administrator
may reject the application if the
submission is incomplete with respect
to the requirements listed in paragraphs
(a)(13)(vi)(A) through (E) of this section
or if the submission does not adequately
support the asserted reliability risk or
the period of time for which the eligible
EGU is anticipated to be reliability
critical.
(b) [Reserved]
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§ 60.5775b What standards of performance
must I include in my State plan?
(a) For each affected EGU, your State
plan must include the standard of
performance that applies for the affected
EGU. A standard of performance for an
affected EGU may take the following
forms:
(1) A rate-based standard of
performance for an individual affected
EGU that does not exceed the level
calculated through the use of the
methods described in § 60.5775b(c) and
(d).
(2) A standard of performance in an
alternate form, which may apply for
affected EGUs in the long-term coalfired steam generating unit subcategory
or the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, as provided
for in § 60.5775b(e).
(b) Standard(s) of performance for
affected EGUs included under your
State plan must be demonstrated to be
quantifiable, verifiable, non-duplicative,
permanent, and enforceable with
respect to each affected EGU. The State
plan submittal must include the
methods by which each standard of
performance meets each of the following
requirements:
(1) An affected EGU’s standard of
performance is quantifiable if it can be
reliably measured in a manner that can
be replicated.
(2) An affected EGU’s standard of
performance is verifiable if adequate
monitoring, recordkeeping and
reporting requirements are in place to
enable the State and the Administrator
to independently evaluate, measure, and
verify compliance with the standard of
performance.
(3) An affected EGU’s standard of
performance is non-duplicative with
respect to a State plan if it is not already
incorporated as an standard of
performance in the State plan.
(4) An affected EGU’s standard of
performance is permanent if the
standard of performance must be met
continuously unless it is replaced by
another standard of performance in an
approved State plan revision.
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(5) An affected EGU’s standard of
performance is enforceable if:
(i) A technically accurate limitation or
requirement, and the time period for the
limitation or requirement, are specified;
(ii) Compliance requirements are
clearly defined;
(iii) The affected EGUs are responsible
for compliance and liable for violations
identified;
(iv) Each compliance activity or
measure is enforceable as a practical
matter, as defined by 40 CFR 49.167;
and
(v) The Administrator, the State, and
third parties maintain the ability to
enforce against violations (including if
an affected EGU does not meet its
standard of performance based on its
emissions) and secure appropriate
corrective actions: in the case of the
Administrator, pursuant to CAA
sections 113(a)–(h); in the case of a
State, pursuant to its State plan, State
law or CAA section 304, as applicable;
and in the case of third parties, pursuant
to CAA section 304.
(c) Methodology for establishing
presumptively approvable standards of
performance, for affected EGUs in each
subcategory.
(1) Long-term coal-fired steam
generating units
(i) BSER is CCS with 90 percent
capture of CO2.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is
88.4 percent reduction in emission rate
(lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an emission
rate limit defined by an 88.4 percent
reduction in annual emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) from the unit-specific
baseline.
(2) Medium-term coal-fired steam
generating units
(i) BSER is natural gas co-firing at 40
percent of the heat input to the unit.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a
16 percent reduction in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an emission
rate limit defined by a 16 percent
reduction in annual emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) from the unit-specific
baseline.
(iv) For units in this subcategory that
have an amount of co-firing that is
reflected in the baseline operation,
States must account for such preexisting
co-firing in adjusting the degree of
emission limitation (e.g., for an EGU cofires natural gas at a level of 10 percent
of the total annual heat input during the
applicable 8-quarter baseline period, the
corresponding degree of emission
limitation would be adjusted to 12
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percent to reflect the preexisting level of
natural gas co-firing).
(3) Base load oil-fired steam
generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of
operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a
0 percent increase in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,400 lb CO2/
MWh-gross.
(4) Intermediate load oil-fired steam
generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of
operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a
0 percent increase in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,600 lb CO2/
MWh-gross.
(5) Low load oil-fired steam
generating units.
(i) BSER is uniform fuels.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is
170 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu.
(6) Base load natural gas-fired steam
generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of
operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a
0 percent increase in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,400 lb CO2/
MWh-gross.
(7) Intermediate load natural gas-fired
steam generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of
operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a
0 percent increase in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,600 lb CO2/
MWh-gross.
(8) Low load natural gas-fired steam
generating.
(i) BSER is uniform fuels.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is
130 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(iii) Presumptively approvable
standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 130 lb CO2/
MMBtu.
(d) Methodology for establishing the
unit-specific baseline of emission
performance.
(1) A State shall use the CO2 mass
emissions and corresponding electricity
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generation or, for affected EGUs in the
low load oil- or natural gas-fired
subcategory, heat input data for a given
affected EGU from the most
representative continuous 8-quarter
period from 40 CFR part 75 reporting
within the 5-year period immediately
prior to May 9, 2024.
(2) For the continuous 8 quarters of
data, a State shall divide the total CO2
emissions (in the form of pounds) over
that continuous time period by either
the total gross electricity generation (in
the form of MWh) or, for affected EGUs
in the low load oil- or natural gas-fired
subcategory, total heat input (in the
form of MMBtu) over that same time
period to calculate baseline CO2
emission performance in lb CO2 per
MWh or lb CO2 per MMBtu.
(e) Your State plan may include a
standard of performance in an alternate
form that differs from the presumptively
approvable standard of performance
specified in § 60.5775b(a)(1), as follows:
(1) An aggregate rate-based standard
of performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
applies for a group of affected EGUs that
share the same owner or operator, as
calculated on a gross generation
weighted average basis, provided the
standard of performance meets the
requirements of paragraph (f) of this
section.
(2) A mass-based standard of
performance in the form of an annual
limit on allowable mass CO2 emissions
for an individual affected EGU,
provided the standard of performance
meets the requirements of paragraph (g)
of this section.
(3) A rate-based standard of
performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross)
implemented through a rate-based
emission trading program, such that an
affected EGU must meet the specified lb
CO2/MWh-gross rate that applies for the
affected EGU, and where an affected
EGU may surrender compliance
instruments denoted in 1 short ton of
CO2 to adjust its reported lb CO2/MWhgross rate for the purpose of
demonstrating compliance, provided the
standard of performance meets the
requirements of paragraph (h) of this
section.
(4) A mass-based standard of
performance in the form of an annual
CO2 budget implemented through a
mass-based CO2 emission trading
program, where an affected EGU must
surrender CO2 allowances in an amount
equal to its reported mass CO2
emissions, provided the standard of
performance meets the requirements of
paragraph (i) of this section.
(f) Where your State plan includes a
standard of performance in the form of
an aggregate rate-based standard of
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performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
applies for a group of affected EGUs that
share the same owner or operator, as
calculated on a gross generation
weighted average basis, your State plan
must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply
under paragraph (a)(1) of this section,
and as determined in accordance with
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section, to
each of the affected EGUs that form the
group.
(2) Documentation of any
assumptions underlying the calculation
of the aggregate rate-based standard of
performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(3) The process for calculating the
aggregate gross generation weighted
average emission rate (lb CO2/MWhgross) at the end of each compliance
period, based on the reported emissions
(lb CO2) and utilization (MWh-gross) of
each of the affected EGUs that form the
group.
(4) Measures to implement and
enforce the annual aggregate rate-based
standard of performance, including the
basis for determining owner or operator
compliance with the aggregate standard
of performance and provisions to
address any changes to owners or
operators in the course of
implementation.
(5) A demonstration of how the
application of the aggregate rate-based
standard of performance will achieve
equivalent or better emission reduction
as would be achieved through the
application of a rate-based standard of
performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
would apply pursuant to paragraph
(a)(1) of this section, and as determined
in accordance with paragraphs (c) and
(d) of this section.
(g) Where your State plan includes a
standard of performance in the form of
an annual limit on allowable mass CO2
emissions for an individual affected
EGU, your State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to
the affected EGU under paragraph (a)(1)
of this section, and as determined in
accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d)
of this section.
(2) The utilization level used to
calculate the mass CO2 limit, by
multiplying the assumed utilization
level (MWh-gross) by the presumptively
approvable rate-based standard of
performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross),
including the underlying data used for
the calculation and documentation of
any assumptions underlying this
calculation.
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40055
(3) Measures to implement and
enforce the annual limit on mass CO2
emissions, including provisions that
address assurance of achievement of
equivalent emission performance.
(4) A demonstration of how the
application of the mass CO2 limit for the
affected EGU will achieve equivalent or
better emission reduction as would be
achieved through the application of a
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply
pursuant to paragraph (a)(1) of this
section, and as determined in
accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d)
of this section.
(5) The backstop rate-based emission
rate requirement (lb CO2/MWh-gross)
that will also be applied to the affected
EGU on an annual basis.
(6) For affected EGUs in the long-term
coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, in lieu of paragraphs (g)(2),
(4), and (5) of this section, you may
include a presumptively approvable
mass CO2 limit based on the product of
the rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) under paragraph
(a)(1) of this section multiplied by a
level of utilization (MWh-gross)
corresponding to an annual capacity
factor of 80 percent for the individual
affected EGU with a backstop rate-based
emission rate requirement equivalent to
a reduction in baseline emission
performance of 80 percent on an annual
calendar-year basis.
(h) Where your State plan includes a
standard of performance in the form of
a rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) implemented through
a rate-based emission trading program,
your State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that applies to each of
the affected EGUs participating in the
rate-based emission trading program
under paragraph (a)(1) of this section,
and as determined in accordance with
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(2) Measures to implement and
enforce the rate-based emission trading
program, including the basis for
awarding compliance instruments
(denoted in 1 ton of CO2) to an affected
EGU that performs better on an annual
basis than its rate-based standard of
performance, and the process for
demonstration of compliance that
includes the surrender of such
compliance instruments by an affected
EGU that exceeds its rate-based standard
of performance.
(3) A demonstration of how the use of
the rate-based emission trading program
will achieve equivalent or better
emission reduction as would be
achieved through the application of a
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rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply
pursuant to paragraph (a)(1) of this
section, and as determined in
accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d)
of this section.
(i) Where your State plan includes a
mass-based standard of performance
implemented through a mass-based CO2
emission trading program, where an
affected EGU must surrender CO2
allowances in an amount equal to its
reported mass CO2 emissions, your State
plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to
each affected EGU participating in the
trading program under paragraph (a)(1)
of this section, and as determined in
accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d)
of this section.
(2) The calculation of the mass CO2
budget contribution for each
participating affected EGU, determined
by multiplying the assumed utilization
level (MWh-gross) of the affected EGU
by its presumptively approvable ratebased standard of performance (lb CO2/
MWh-gross), including the underlying
data used for the calculation and
documentation of any assumptions
underlying this calculation.
(3) Measures to implement and
enforce the annual budget of the massbased CO2 emission trading program,
including provisions that address
assurance of achievement of equivalent
emission performance.
(4) A demonstration of how the
application of the CO2 emission budget
for the group of participating affected
EGUs will achieve equivalent or better
emission performance as would be
achieved through the application of a
rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to
each participating affected EGU under
paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as
determined in accordance with
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(5) The backstop rate-based emission
rate requirement (lb CO2/MWh-gross)
that will also be applied to each
participating affected EGU on an annual
basis.
(j) In order to use the provisions of
§ 60.24a(e) through (h) to apply a less
stringent standard of performance or
longer compliance schedule to an
affected EGU based on consideration of
electric grid reliability, including
resource adequacy, under these
emission guidelines, a State must
provide the following with its State plan
submission:
(1) An analysis of the reliability risk
clearly demonstrating that the particular
affected EGU is critical to maintaining
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electric reliability such that requiring it
to comply with the applicable
requirements under paragraph (c) of this
section or § 60.5780b would trigger noncompliance with at least one of the
mandatory reliability standards
approved by the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission or would cause
the loss of load expectation to increase
beyond the level targeted by regional
system planners as part of their
established procedures for that
particular region; specifically, a clear
demonstration is required that the
particular affected EGU would be
needed to maintain the targeted level of
resource adequacy. The analysis must
also include a projection of the period
of time for which the particular affected
EGU is expected to be reliability critical
and substantiate the basis for applying
a less stringent standard of performance
or longer compliance schedule
consistent with 40 CFR 60.24a(e).
(2) An analysis by the relevant
reliability planning authority that
corroborates the asserted reliability risk
identified in the analysis under
paragraph (j)(1) of this section and
confirms that requiring the particular
affected EGU to comply with its
applicable requirements under
paragraph (c) of this section or
§ 60.5780b would trigger noncompliance with at least one of the
mandatory reliability standards
approved by the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission or would cause
the loss of load expectation to increase
beyond the level targeted by regional
system planners as part of their
established procedures for that
particular region, and also confirms the
period of time for which the EGU is
projected to be reliability critical.
(3) A certification from the relevant
reliability planning authority that the
claims of reliability risk are accurate
and that the identified reliability
problem both exists and requires the
specific relief requested.
§ 60.5780b What compliance dates and
compliance periods must I include in my
State plan?
(a) The State plan must include the
following compliance dates:
(1) For affected EGUs in the long-term
coal-fired subcategory, the State plan
must require compliance with the
applicable standards of performance
starting no later than January 1, 2032,
unless the State has applied a later
compliance date pursuant to § 60.24a(e)
through (h).
(2) For affected EGUs in the mediumterm coal-fired subcategory, the base
load oil-fired subcategory, the
intermediate load oil-fired steam
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generating subcategory, the low load oilfired subcategory, the base load natural
gas-fired subcategory, the intermediate
load natural gas-fired subcategory, and
the low load natural gas-fired
subcategory, the State plan must require
compliance with the applicable
standards of performance starting no
later than January 1, 2030, unless State
has applied a later compliance date
pursuant to § 60.24a(e) through (h).
(b) The State plan must require
affected EGUs to achieve compliance
with their applicable standards of
performance for each compliance period
as defined in § 60.5880b.
§ 60.5785b What are the timing
requirements for submitting my State plan?
(a) You must submit a State plan or
a negative declaration letter with the
information required under § 60.5740b
by May 11, 2026.
(b) You must submit all information
required under paragraph (a) of this
section according to the electronic
reporting requirements in § 60.5875b.
§ 60.5790b What is the procedure for
revising my State plan?
EPA-approved State plans can be
revised only with approval by the
Administrator. The Administrator will
approve a State plan revision if it is
satisfactory with respect to the
applicable requirements of this subpart
and all applicable requirements of
subpart Ba of this part. If one (or more)
of State plan elements in § 60.5740b
require revision, the State must submit
a State plan revision pursuant to
§ 60.28a.
§ 60.5795b Commitment to review
emission guidelines for coal-fired affected
EGUs
EPA will review and, if appropriate,
revise these emission guidelines as they
apply to coal-fired steam generating
affected EGUs by January 1, 2041.
Notwithstanding this commitment, EPA
need not review these emission
guidelines if the Administrator
determines that such review is not
appropriate in light of readily available
information on their continued
appropriateness.
Applicability of State Plans to Affected
EGUs
§ 60.5840b Does this subpart directly
affect EGU owners or operators in my
State?
(a) This subpart does not directly
affect EGU owners or operators in your
State, except as provided in
§ 60.5710b(b). However, affected EGU
owners or operators must comply with
the State plan that a State develops to
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implement the emission guidelines
contained in this subpart.
(b) If a State does not submit a State
plan to implement and enforce the
standards of performance contained in
this subpart by May 11, 2026, or the
EPA disapproves State plan, the EPA
will implement and enforce a Federal
plan, as provided in § 60.5720b,
applicable to each affected EGU within
the State.
§ 60.5845b What affected EGUs must I
address in my State plan?
(a) The EGUs that must be addressed
by your State plan are:
(1) Any affected EGUs that were in
operation or had commenced
construction on or before January 8,
2014;
(2) Coal-fired steam generating units
that commenced a modification on or
before May 23, 2023.
(b) An affected EGU is a steam
generating unit that meets the relevant
applicability conditions specified in
paragraphs (b)(1) through (2) of this
section, as applicable, except as
provided in § 60.5850b.
(1) Serves a generator capable of
selling greater than 25 MW to a utility
power distribution system; and
(2) Has a base load rating (i.e., design
heat input capacity) greater than 260 GJ/
hr (250 MMBtu/hr) heat input of fossil
fuel (either alone or in combination
with any other fuel).
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§ 60.5850b What EGUs are excluded from
being affected EGUs?
EGUs that are excluded from being
affected EGUs are:
(a) New or reconstructed steam
generating units that are subject to
subpart TTTT of this part as a result of
commencing construction after the
subpart TTTT applicability date;
(b) Modified natural gas- or oil-fired
steam generating units that are subject
to subpart TTTT of this part as a result
of commencing modification after the
subpart TTTT applicability date;
(c) Modified coal-fired steam
generating units that are subject to
subpart TTTTa of this part as a result of
commencing modification after the
subpart TTTTa applicability date;
(d) EGUs subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting net-electric
sales to one-third or less of their
potential electric output or 219,000
MWh or less on an annual basis and
annual net-electric sales have never
exceeded one-third or less of their
potential electric output or 219,000
MWh;
(e) Non-fossil fuel units (i.e., units
that are capable of deriving at least 50
percent of heat input from non-fossil
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fuel at the base load rating) that are
subject to a federally enforceable permit
limiting fossil fuel use to 10 percent or
less of the annual capacity factor;
(f) CHP units that are subject to a
federally enforceable permit limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than
either 219,000 MWh or the product of
the design efficiency and the potential
electric output, whichever is greater;
(g) Units that serve a generator along
with other EGUs, where the effective
generation capacity (determined based
on a prorated output of the base load
rating of each EGU) is 25 MW or less;
(h) Municipal waste combustor units
subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb;
(i) Commercial or industrial solid
waste incineration units that are subject
to 40 CFR part 60, subpart CCCC; or
(j) EGUs that derive greater than 50
percent of the heat input from an
industrial process that does not produce
any electrical or mechanical output or
useful thermal output that is used
outside the affected EGU.
(k) Existing coal-fired steam
generating units that have demonstrated
that they plan to permanently cease
operations before January 1, 2032,
pursuant to § 60.5740b(a)(9)(ii).
40057
that have not met the required
frequency for relative accuracy audit
testing are not considered to be valid
data and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross
energy output value is also valid data
(Note: For operating hours with no
useful output, zero is considered to be
a valid value).
(3) For rate-based standards of
performance, the owner or operator of
an affected EGU must measure and
report the hourly CO2 mass emissions
(lbs) from each affected unit using the
procedures in paragraphs (a)(3)(i)
through (vi) of this section, except as
otherwise provided in paragraph (a)(4)
of this section.
(i) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU must install, certify,
operate, maintain, and calibrate a CO2
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) to directly measure and
record CO2 concentrations in the
affected EGU exhaust gases emitted to
the atmosphere and an exhaust gas flow
rate monitoring system according to 40
CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an alternative to
direct measurement of CO2
concentration, provided that the
affected EGU does not use carbon
Recordkeeping and Reporting
separation (e.g., carbon capture and
Requirements
storage (CCS)), the owner or operator of
an affected EGU may use data from a
§ 60.5860b What applicable monitoring,
certified oxygen (O2) monitor to
recordkeeping, and reporting requirements
calculate hourly average CO2
do I need to include in my State plan for
concentrations, in accordance with 40
affected EGUs?
CFR 75.10(a)(3)(iii). However, when an
(a) Your State plan must include
O2 monitor is used this way, it only
monitoring for affected EGUs that is no
quantifies the combustion CO2;
less stringent than what is described in
therefore, if the EGU is equipped with
(a)(1) through (9) of this section.
emission controls that produce non(1) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU (or group of affected EGUs combustion CO2 (e.g., from sorbent
injection), this additional CO2 must be
that share a monitored common stack)
accounted for, in accordance with
that is required to meet standards of
performance must prepare a monitoring section 3 of appendix G to part 75 of
this chapter. If CO2 concentration is
plan in accordance with the applicable
measured on a dry basis, the owner or
provisions in 40 CFR 75.53(g) and (h),
operator of the affected EGU must also
unless such a plan is already in place
install, certify, operate, maintain, and
under another program that requires
calibrate a continuous moisture
CO2 mass emissions to be monitored
monitoring system, according to 40 CFR
and reported according to 40 CFR part
75.11(b). Alternatively, the owner or
75.
operator of an affected EGU may either
(2) For rate-based standards of
use an appropriate fuel-specific default
performance, only ‘‘valid operating
hours,’’, i.e., full or partial unit (or stack) moisture value from 40 CFR 75.11(b) or
submit a petition to the Administrator
operating hours for which:
under 40 CFR 75.66 for a site-specific
(i) ‘‘Valid data’’ (as defined in
default moisture value.
§ 60.5880b) are obtained for all of the
parameters used to determine the hourly
(ii) For each ‘‘valid operating hour’’
CO2 mass emissions (lbs). For the
(as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of this
purposes of this subpart, substitute data section), calculate the hourly CO2 mass
recorded under part 75 of this chapter
emission rate (tons/hr), either from
are not considered to be valid data; data Equation F–11 in appendix F to 40 CFR
obtained from flow monitoring bias
part 75 (if CO2 concentration is
adjustments are not considered to be
measured on a wet basis), or by
valid data; and data provided or not
following the procedure in section 4.2 of
provided from monitoring instruments
appendix F to 40 CFR part 75 (if CO2
PO 00000
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09MYR3
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
Pgross/net
+ (Pe)1s = (Pe)sT + (Pe)cTTDF
Where:
PGROSS/NET = Gross or net energy output of
your affected EGU for each valid
operating hour (as defined in
60.5860b(a)(2)) in MWh.
(PE)ST = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
steam turbines in MWh.
(PE)CT = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
VerDate Sep<11>2014
(ii) For each measured hourly heat
input rate, use Equation G–4 in
appendix G to 40 CFR part 75 to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emission
rate (tons/hr).
(iii) For each ‘‘valid operating hour’’
(as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of this
section), multiply the hourly tons/hr
CO2 mass emission rate from paragraph
(a)(4)(ii) of this section by the EGU or
stack operating time in hours (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to
tons of CO2. Then, multiply the result
by 2,000 lbs/ton to convert it to lbs.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/hr values
and EGU (or stack) operating times used
to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR
75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6),
if required by a State plan. You must
use these data, or equivalent data, to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass
emissions.
(v) Sum all of the hourly CO2 mass
emissions values (lb) from paragraph
(a)(4)(iii) of this section.
(vi) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU may determine sitespecific carbon-based F-factors (Fc)
using Equation F–7b in section 3.3.6 of
appendix F to 40 CFR part 75 and may
use these Fc values in the emissions
calculations instead of using the default
Fc values in the Equation G–4
nomenclature.
(5) For rate-based standards, the
owner or operator of an affected EGU (or
group of affected units that share a
monitored common stack) must install,
calibrate, maintain, and operate a
sufficient number of watt meters to
continuously measure and record on an
hourly basis gross electric output.
Measurements must be performed using
0.2 accuracy class electricity metering
instrumentation and calibration
procedures as specified under ANSI No.
C12.20–2010 (incorporated by reference,
see § 60.17). Further, the owner or
operator of an affected EGU that is a
combined heat and power facility must
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
20:13 May 08, 2024
Jkt 262001
(Pe)A
Frm 00262
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(5)(iv)
+ [(Pt)ps + (Pt)HR + (Pt)IE]
stationary combustion turbine(s) in
MWh.
(PE)IE = Electric energy output plus
mechanical energy output (if any) of
your affected egu’s integrated equipment
that provides electricity or mechanical
energy to the affected EGU or auxiliary
equipment in MWh.
(PE)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary
loads in MWh.
PO 00000
equipment to continuously measure and
record on an hourly basis useful thermal
output and, if applicable, mechanical
output, which are used with gross
electric output to determine gross
energy output. The owner or operator
must use the following procedures to
calculate gross energy output, as
appropriate for the type of affected
EGU(s).
(i) Determine Pgross/net the hourly gross
or net energy output in MWh. For ratebased standards, perform this
calculation only for valid operating
hours (as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of
this section). For mass-based standards,
perform this calculation for all unit (or
stack) operating hours, i.e., full or
partial hours in which any fuel is
combusted.
(ii) If there is no net electrical output,
but there is mechanical or useful
thermal output, either for a particular
valid operating hour (for rate-based
applications), or for a particular
operating hour (for mass-based
applications), the owner or operator of
the affected EGU must still determine
the net energy output for that hour.
(iii) For rate-based applications, if
there is no (i.e., zero) gross electrical,
mechanical, or useful thermal output for
a particular valid operating hour, that
hour must be used in the compliance
determination. For hours or partial
hours where the gross electric output is
equal to or less than the auxiliary loads,
net electric output shall be counted as
zero for this calculation.
(iv) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected
EGU (or group of affected EGUs that
share a monitored common stack) using
the following equation. All terms in the
equation must be expressed in units of
MWh. To convert each hourly gross or
net energy output value reported under
40 CFR part 75 to MWh, multiply by the
corresponding EGU or stack operating
time.
(PT)PS = Useful thermal output of steam
(measured relative to SATP conditions,
as applicable) that is used for
applications that do not generate
additional electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU.
This is calculated using the equation
specified in paragraph (a)(5)(V) of this
section in MWh.
E:\FR\FM\09MYR3.SGM
09MYR3
ER09MY24.062
concentration is measured on a dry
basis).
(iii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2
mass emission rate by the EGU or stack
operating time in hours (as defined in
40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to tons of
CO2. Multiply the result by 2,000 lbs/ton
to convert it to lbs.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/hr values
and EGU (or stack) operating times used
to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR
75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6),
if required by a State plan. The owner
or operator must use these data, or
equivalent data, to calculate the hourly
CO2 mass emissions.
(v) Sum all of the hourly CO2 mass
emissions values from paragraph
(a)(3)(ii) of this section.
(vi) For each continuous monitoring
system used to determine the CO2 mass
emissions from an affected EGU, the
monitoring system must meet the
applicable certification and quality
assurance procedures in 40 CFR 75.20
and appendices A and B to 40 CFR part.
(4) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU that exclusively combusts
liquid fuel and/or gaseous fuel may, as
an alternative to complying with
paragraph (a)(3) of this section,
determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions according to paragraphs
(a)(4)(i) through (a)(4)(vi) of this section.
(i) Implement the applicable
procedures in appendix D to part 75 of
this chapter to determine hourly EGU
heat input rates (MMBtu/hr), based on
hourly measurements of fuel flow rate
and periodic determinations of the gross
calorific value (GCV) of each fuel
combusted. The fuel flow meter(s) used
to measure the hourly fuel flow rates
must meet the applicable certification
and quality-assurance requirements in
sections 2.1.5 and 2.1.6 of appendix D
to 40 CFR part 75 (except for qualifying
commercial billing meters). The fuel
GCV must be determined in accordance
with section 2.2 or 2.3 of appendix D to
40 CFR part 75, as applicable.
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
mechanical energy output, or enhance
the performance of the affected EGU in
MWh.
TDF = Electric transmission and distribution
factor of 0.95 for a combined heat and
power affected egu where at least on an
annual basis 20.0 percent of the total
gross or net energy output consists of
electric or direct mechanical output and
20.0 percent of the total gross or net
energy output consist of useful thermal
(Pt)ps
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
Where:
QM = Measured steam flow in kilograms (KG)
(or pounds (LBS)) for the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the steam at measured
temperature and pressure (relative to
SATP conditions or the energy in the
condensate return line, as applicable) in
joules per kilogram (J/KG) (or BTU/LB).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 × 109 J/MWH
or 3.413 × 106 BTU/MWh.
(vi) For rate-based standards, sum all
of the values of Pgross/net for the valid
operating hours (as defined in paragraph
(a)(2) of this section). Then, divide the
total CO2 mass emissions for the valid
operating hours from paragraph (a)(3)(v)
or (a)(4)(v) of this section, as applicable,
by the sum of the Pgross/net values for the
valid operating hours to determine the
CO2 emissions rate (lb/gross or net
MWh).
(6) In accordance with § 60.13(g), if
two or more affected EGUs
implementing the continuous emissions
monitoring provisions in paragraph
(a)(3) of this section share a common
exhaust gas stack and are subject to the
same emissions standard, the owner or
operator may monitor the hourly CO2
mass emissions at the common stack in
lieu of monitoring each EGU separately.
If an owner or operator of an affected
EGU chooses this option, the hourly
gross or net electric output for the
common stack must be the sum of the
hourly gross or net electric output of the
individual affected EGUs and the
operating time must be expressed as
‘‘stack operating hours’’ (as defined in
40 CFR 72.2).
(7) In accordance with § 60.13(g), if
the exhaust gases from an affected EGU
implementing the continuous emissions
monitoring provisions in paragraph
(a)(3) of this section are emitted to the
atmosphere through multiple stacks (or
if the exhaust gases are routed to a
common stack through multiple ducts
and you elect to monitor in the ducts),
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:13 May 08, 2024
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= Qm
X
CF
the hourly CO2 mass emissions and the
‘‘stack operating time’’ (as defined in 40
CFR 72.2) at each stack or duct must be
monitored separately. In this case, the
owner or operator of an affected EGU
must determine compliance with an
applicable emissions standard by
summing the CO2 mass emissions
measured at the individual stacks or
ducts and dividing by the gross or net
energy output for the affected EGU.
(8) Consistent with § 60.5775b, if two
or more affected EGUs serve a common
electric generator, you must apportion
the combined hourly gross or net energy
output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total
steam load contributed by each EGU.
Alternatively, if the EGUs are identical,
you may apportion the combined hourly
gross or net electrical load to the
individual EGUs according to the
fraction of the total heat input
contributed by each EGU.
(9) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU must measure and report
monthly fuel usage for each affected
source subject to standards of
performance with the information in
paragraphs (a)(9)(i) through (iii) of this
section:
(i) The calendar month during which
the fuel was used;
(ii) Each type of fuel used during the
calendar month of the compliance
period; and
(iii) Quantity of each type of fuel
combusted in each calendar month in
the compliance period with units of
measure.
(b) Your State plan must require the
owner or operator of each affected EGU
covered by your State plan to maintain
the records, for at least 5 years following
the date of each occurrence,
measurement, maintenance, corrective
action, report, or record.
(1) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU must maintain each record
PO 00000
Frm 00263
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
output on a 12-operating month rolling
average basis, or 1.0 for all other affected
EGUs.
(v) If applicable to your affected EGU
(for example, for combined heat and
power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using
the following equation:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(v)
H
on site for at least 2 years after the date
of each occurrence, measurement,
maintenance, corrective action, report,
or record, whichever is latest, according
to § 60.7. The owner or operator of an
affected EGU may maintain the records
off site and electronically for the
remaining year(s).
(2) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU must keep all of the
following records, in a form suitable and
readily available for expeditious review:
(i) All documents, data files, and
calculations and methods used to
demonstrate compliance with an
affected EGU’s standard of performance
under § 60.5775b.
(ii) Copies of all reports submitted to
the State under paragraph (b) of this
section.
(iii) Data that are required to be
recorded by 40 CFR part 75 subpart F.
(c) Your State plan must require the
owner or operator of an affected EGU
covered by your State plan to include in
a report submitted to you the
information in paragraphs (c)(1) through
(3) of this section.
(1) Owners or operators of an affected
EGU must include in the report all
hourly CO2 emissions, for each affected
EGU (or group of affected EGUs that
share a monitored common stack).
(2) For rate-based standards, each
report must include:
(i) The hourly CO2 mass emission rate
values (tons/hr) and unit (or stack)
operating times, (as monitored and
reported according to part 75 of this
chapter), for each valid operating hour;
(ii) The gross or net electric output
and the gross or net energy output
(Pgross/net) values for each valid operating
hour;
(iii) The calculated CO2 mass
emissions (lb) for each valid operating
hour;
(iv) The sum of the hourly gross or net
energy output values and the sum of the
E:\FR\FM\09MYR3.SGM
09MYR3
ER09MY24.063
(PT)HR = Non-steam useful thermal output
(measured relative to SATP conditions,
as applicable) from heat recovery that is
used for applications other than steam
generation or performance enhancement
of the affected EGU in MWh.
(PT)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to
SATP conditions, as applicable) from
any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate
additional steam, electricity, produce
40059
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40060
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules and Regulations
hourly CO2 mass emissions values, for
all of the valid operating hours; and
(v) The calculated CO2 mass emission
rate (lbs/gross or net MWh).
(3) For each affected EGU the report
must also include the applicable
standard of performance and
demonstration that it met the standard
of performance. An owner or operator
must also include in the report the
affected EGU’s calculated emission
performance as a CO2 emission rate in
units of the standard of performance.
(d) The owner or operator of an
affected EGU must follow any
additional requirements for monitoring,
recordkeeping and reporting in a State
plan that are required under § 60.5740b
if applicable.
(e) If an affected EGU captures CO2 to
meet the applicable standard of
performance, the owner or operator
must report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98 subpart
PP and either:
(1) Report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs
on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that reports in accordance with
the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR, or subpart VV, if injection
occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a
facility that has received an innovative
technology waiver from the EPA
pursuant to paragraph (f) of this section.
(f) Any person may request the
Administrator to issue a waiver of the
requirement that captured CO2 from an
affected EGU be transferred to a facility
reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV. To receive a waiver,
the applicant must demonstrate to the
Administrator that its technology will
store captured CO2 as effectively as
geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or
contribute to an unreasonable risk to
public health, welfare, or safety. In
making this determination, the
Administrator shall consider (among
other factors) operating history of the
technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of
any pollutant other than CO2, and
permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system or
require the applicant to perform any
tests considered by the Administrator to
be necessary to show the technology’s
effectiveness, safety, and ability to store
captured CO2 without release. The
Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the
approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The
Administrator may also withdraw
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:13 May 08, 2024
Jkt 262001
approval of the waiver on evidence of
releases of CO2 or other pollutants. The
Administrator will provide notice to the
public of any application under this
provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before
the Administrator takes final action.
§ 60.5865b What are my recordkeeping
requirements?
(a) You must keep records of all
information relied upon in support of
any demonstration of State plan
components, State plan requirements,
supporting documentation, and the
status of meeting the State plan
requirements defined in the State plan.
(b) You must keep records of all data
submitted by the owner or operator of
each affected EGU that are used to
determine compliance with each
affected EGU emissions standard or
requirements in an approved State plan,
consistent with the affected EGU
requirements listed in § 60.5860b.
(c) If your State has a requirement for
all hourly CO2 emissions and gross
generation or heat input information to
be used to calculate compliance with an
annual emissions standard for affected
EGUs, any information that is submitted
by the owners or operators of affected
EGUs to the EPA electronically pursuant
to requirements in 40 CFR part 75 meets
the recordkeeping requirement of this
section and you are not required to keep
records of information that would be in
duplicate of paragraph (b) of this
section.
(d) You must keep records for a
minimum of 10 years from the date the
record is used to determine compliance
with an emissions standard or State
plan requirement. Each record must be
in a form suitable and readily available
for expeditious review.
(e) If your State plan includes
provisions for the compliance date
extension, described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(11), you must keep
records of the information required in
§ 60.5740b(a)(11)(i) from affected EGUs
that use the compliance date extension.
(f) If your State plan includes
provisions for the short-term reliability
mechanism, as described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(12), you must keep
records of the information required in
§ 60.5740b(a)(12)(iii) from affected EGUs
that use the short-term reliability
mechanism.
(g) If your State plan includes
provisions for the reliability assurance
mechanism, described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(13), you must keep
records of the information required in
§ 60.5740b(a)(13)(vi) from affected EGUs
that use the reliability assurance
mechanism.
PO 00000
Frm 00264
Fmt 4701
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§ 60.5870b What are my reporting and
notification requirements?
(a) In lieu of the annual report
required under § 60.25(e) and (f), you
must report the information in
paragraph (b) of this section.
(b) You must submit an annual report
to the EPA that must include the
information in paragraphs (b)(1) through
(10) of this section. For each calendar
year reporting period the report must be
submitted by March 1 of the following
year.
(1) The report must include the
emissions performance achieved by
each affected EGU during the reporting
period and identification of whether
each affected EGU is in compliance with
its standard of performance during the
compliance period, as specified in the
State plan.
(2) The report must include, for each
affected EGU, a comparison of the CO2
standard of performance in the State
plan versus the actual CO2 emission
performance achieved.
(3) The report must include, for each
affected EGU, the sum of the CO2
emissions, the sum of the gross energy
output, and the sum of the heat input
for each fuel type.
(4) Enforcement actions initiated
against affected EGUs during the
reporting period, under any standard of
performance or compliance schedule of
the State plan.
(5) Identification of the achievement
of any increment of progress required by
the applicable State plan during the
reporting period.
(6) Identification of designated
facilities that have ceased operation
during the reporting period.
(7) Submission of emission inventory
data as described in paragraph (a) of this
section for designated facilities that
were not in operation at the time of
State plan development but began
operation during the reporting period.
(8) Submission of additional data as
necessary to update the information
submitted under paragraph (a) of this
section or in previous progress reports.
(9) Submission of copies of technical
reports on all performance testing on
designated facilities conducted under
paragraph (b)(2) of this section,
complete with concurrently recorded
process data.
(10) The report must include all other
required information, as specified in
your State plan according to § 60.5740b.
(c) If you include provisions for the
compliance date extension, described in
§ 60.5740b(a)(11), in your State plan,
you must report to the EPA the
information listed in
§ 60.5740b(a)(11)(i).
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09MYR3
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(d) If you include provisions for the
short-term reliability mechanism,
described in § 60.5740b(a)(12), in your
State plan, you must report to the EPA
the following information for each
event, listed in § 60.5740b(a)(12)(iii).
(e) If you include provisions for the
reliability assurance mechanism,
described in § 60.5740b(a)(13) in your
State plan, you must report to the EPA
the information listed in
§ 60.5740b(a)(13)(vi).
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
§ 60.5875b How do I submit information
required by these emission guidelines to
the EPA?
(a) You must submit to the EPA the
information required by these emission
guidelines following the procedures in
paragraphs (b) through (e) of this
section.
(b) All State plan submittals,
supporting materials that are part of a
State plan submittal, any State plan
revisions, and all State reports required
to be submitted to the EPA by the State
plan must be reported through the
EPA’s State Plan Electronic Collection
System (SPeCS). SPeCS is a web
accessible electronic system accessed at
the EPA’s Central Data Exchange (CDX)
(https://www.epa.gov/cdx/). States that
claim that a State plan submittal or
supporting documentation includes
confidential business information (CBI)
must submit that information on a
compact disc, flash drive, or other
commonly used electronic storage
media to the EPA. The electronic media
must be clearly marked as CBI and
mailed to U.S. EPA/OAQPS/CORE CBI
Office, Attention: State and Local
Programs Group, MD C539–01, 4930
Old Page Rd., Durham, NC 27703.
(c) Only a submittal by the Governor
or the Governor’s designee by an
electronic submission through SPeCS
shall be considered an official submittal
to the EPA under this subpart. If the
Governor wishes to designate another
responsible official the authority to
submit a State plan, the EPA must be
notified via letter from the Governor
prior to the May 11, 2026, deadline for
State plan submittal so that the official
will have the ability to submit the initial
or final State plan submittal in the
SPeCS. If the Governor has previously
delegated authority to make CAA
submittals on the Governor’s behalf, a
State may submit documentation of the
delegation in lieu of a letter from the
Governor. The letter or documentation
must identify the designee to whom
authority is being designated and must
include the name and contact
information for the designee and also
identify the State plan preparers who
will need access to SPeCS. A State may
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20:13 May 08, 2024
Jkt 262001
also submit the names of the State plan
preparers via a separate letter prior to
the designation letter from the Governor
in order to expedite the State plan
administrative process. Required
contact information for the designee and
preparers includes the person’s title,
organization, and email address.
(d) The submission of the information
by the authorized official must be in a
non-editable format. In addition to the
non-editable version all State plan
components designated as federally
enforceable must also be submitted in
an editable version. Following initial
State plan approval, States must provide
the EPA with an editable copy of any
submitted revision to existing approved
federally enforceable State plan
components, including State plan
backstop measures. The editable copy of
any such submitted State plan revision
must indicate the changes made at the
State level, if any, to the existing
approved federally enforceable State
plan components, using a mechanism
such as redline/strikethrough. These
changes are not part of the State plan
until formal approval by the EPA.
(e) You must provide the EPA with
non-editable and editable copies of any
submitted revision to existing approved
federally enforceable State plan
components. The editable copy of any
such submitted State plan revision must
indicate the changes made at the State
level, if any, to the existing approved
federally enforceable State plan
components, using a mechanism such as
redline/strikethrough. These changes
are not part of the State plan until
formal approval by the EPA.
§ 60.5876b What are the recordkeeping
and reporting requirements for EGUs that
have committed to permanently cease
operations by January 1, 2032?
(a) If you are the owner or operator of
an EGU that has committed to
permanently cease operations by
January 1, 2032, you must maintain
records for and submit the reports listed
in paragraphs (a)(1) through (3) of this
section according to the electronic
reporting requirements in paragraph (b)
of this section.
(1) Five years before any planned date
to permanently cease operations or by
the date upon which the State plan is
submitted, whichever is later, the owner
or operator of the EGU must submit an
initial report to the EPA that includes
the information in paragraphs (a)(1)(i)
and (ii) of this section.
(i) A summary of the process steps
required for the EGU to permanently
cease operation by the date included in
the State plan, including the
approximate timing and duration of
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each step and any notification
requirements associated with
deactivation of the unit. These process
steps may include, e.g., initial notice to
the relevant reliability authority of the
deactivation date and submittal of an
official retirement filing (or equivalent
filing) made to the EGU’s relevant
reliability authority.
(ii) Supporting regulatory documents,
which include those listed in
paragraphs (a)(1)(ii)(A) through (G) of
this section:
(A) Correspondence and official
filings with the relevant regional RTO,
Independent System Operator,
Balancing Authority, PUC, or other
applicable authority;
(B) Any deactivation-related
reliability assessments conducted by the
RTO or Independent System Operator;
(C) Any filings pertaining to the
affected EGU with the SEC or notices to
investors, including but not limited to
references in forms 10–K and 10–Q, in
which plans for the EGU are mentioned;
(D) Any integrated resource plans and
PUC orders approving the EGU’s
deactivation;
(E) Any reliability analyses developed
by the RTO, Independent System
Operator, or relevant reliability
authority in response to the EGU’s
deactivation notification;
(F) Any notification from a relevant
reliability authority that the EGU may
be needed for reliability purposes
notwithstanding the EGU’s intent to
deactivate; and
(G) Any notification to or from an
RTO, Independent System Operator, or
relevant reliability authority altering the
timing of deactivation of the EGU.
(2) For each of the remaining years
prior to the date by which an EGU has
committed to permanently cease
operations, the owner or operator of the
EGU must submit an annual status
report to the EPA that includes the
information listed in paragraphs (a)(2)(i)
and (ii) of this section:
(i) Progress on each of the identified
process steps identified in the initial
report as described in paragraph (a)(1)(i)
of this section; and
(ii) Supporting regulatory documents,
including correspondence and official
filings with the relevant RTO,
Independent System Operator,
Balancing Authority, PUC, or other
applicable authority to demonstrate
progress toward all steps described in
paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section.
(3) The owner or operator must
submit a final report to the EPA no later
than 6 months following its committed
closure date. This report must document
any actions that the EGU has taken
subsequent to ceasing operation to
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ensure that such cessation is permanent,
including any regulatory filings with
applicable authorities or
decommissioning plans.
(b) Beginning November 12, 2024, if
you are the owner or operator of an EGU
that has committed to permanently
cease operations by January 1, 2032, you
must submit all the information
required in paragraph (a) of this section
in a Permanent Cessation of Operation
report in PDF format following the
procedures specified in paragraph (c) of
this section.
(c) If you are required to submit
notifications or reports following the
procedure specified in this paragraph
(c), you must submit notifications or
reports to the EPA via the Compliance
and Emissions Data Reporting Interface
(CEDRI), which can be accessed through
the EPA’s Central Data Exchange (CDX)
(https://cdx.epa.gov/). The EPA will
make all the information submitted
through CEDRI available to the public
without further notice to you. Do not
use CEDRI to submit information you
claim as CBI. Although we do not
expect persons to assert a claim of CBI,
if you wish to assert a CBI claim for
some of the information in the report or
notification, you must submit a
complete file in the format specified in
this subpart, including information
claimed to be CBI, to the EPA following
the procedures in paragraphs (c)(1) and
(2) of this section. Clearly mark the part
or all of the information that you claim
to be CBI. Information not marked as
CBI may be authorized for public release
without prior notice. Information
marked as CBI will not be disclosed
except in accordance with procedures
set forth in 40 CFR part 2. All CBI
claims must be asserted at the time of
submission. Anything submitted using
CEDRI cannot later be claimed CBI.
Furthermore, under CAA section 114(c),
emissions data is not entitled to
confidential treatment, and the EPA is
required to make emissions data
available to the public. Thus, emissions
data will not be protected as CBI and
will be made publicly available. You
must submit the same file submitted to
the CBI office with the CBI omitted to
the EPA via the EPA’s CDX as described
earlier in this paragraph (c).
(1) The preferred method to receive
CBI is for it to be transmitted
electronically using email attachments,
File Transfer Protocol, or other online
file sharing services. Electronic
submissions must be transmitted
directly to the OAQPS CBI Office at the
email address oaqpscbi@epa.gov, and as
described above, should include clear
CBI markings and be flagged to the
attention of the Emission Guidelines for
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Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Electric
Utility Generating Units Sector Lead. If
assistance is needed with submitting
large electronic files that exceed the file
size limit for email attachments, and if
you do not have your own file sharing
service, please email oaqpscbi@epa.gov
to request a file transfer link.
(2) If you cannot transmit the file
electronically, you may send CBI
information through the postal service
to the following address: U.S. EPA Attn:
OAQPS Document Control Officer, Mail
Drop: C404–02, 109 T.W. Alexander
Drive P.O. Box 12055, RTP, NC 27711.
All other files should also be sent to the
attention of the Greenhouse Gas
Emissions for Electric Utility Generating
Units Sector Lead. The mailed CBI
material should be double wrapped and
clearly marked. Any CBI markings
should not show through the outer
envelope.
(d) Any records required to be
maintained by this subpart that are
submitted electronically via the EPA’s
CEDRI may be maintained in electronic
format. This ability to maintain
electronic copies does not affect the
requirement for facilities to make
records, data, and reports available
upon request to a delegated air agency
or the EPA as part of an on-site
compliance evaluation.
(e) If you are required to electronically
submit a report through CEDRI in the
EPA’s CDX, you may assert a claim of
EPA system outage for failure to timely
comply with that reporting requirement.
To assert a claim of EPA system outage,
you must meet the requirements
outlined in paragraphs (e)(1) through (7)
of this section.
(1) You must have been or will be
precluded from accessing CEDRI and
submitting a required report within the
time prescribed due to an outage of
either the EPA’s CEDRI or CDX systems.
(2) The outage must have occurred
within the period of time beginning five
business days prior to the date that the
submission is due.
(3) The outage may be planned or
unplanned.
(4) You must submit notification to
the Administrator in writing as soon as
possible following the date you first
knew, or through due diligence should
have known, that the event may cause
or has caused a delay in reporting.
(5) You must provide to the
Administrator a written description
identifying:
(i) The date(s) and time(s) when CDX
or CEDRI was accessed and the system
was unavailable;
(ii) A rationale for attributing the
delay in reporting beyond the regulatory
deadline to EPA system outage;
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(iii) A description of measures taken
or to be taken to minimize the delay in
reporting; and
(iv) The date by which you propose to
report, or if you have already met the
reporting requirement at the time of the
notification, the date you reported.
(6) The decision to accept the claim
of EPA system outage and allow an
extension to the reporting deadline is
solely within the discretion of the
Administrator.
(7) In any circumstance, the report
must be submitted electronically as
soon as possible after the outage is
resolved.
(f) If you are required to electronically
submit a report through CEDRI in the
EPA’s CDX, you may assert a claim of
force majeure for failure to timely
comply with that reporting requirement.
To assert a claim of force majeure, you
must meet the requirements outlined in
paragraphs(f)(1) through (5) of this
section.
(1) You may submit a claim if a force
majeure event is about to occur, occurs,
or has occurred or there are lingering
effects from such an event within the
period of time beginning five business
days prior to the date the submission is
due. For the purposes of this section, a
force majeure event is defined as an
event that will be or has been caused by
circumstances beyond the control of the
affected facility, its contractors, or any
entity controlled by the affected facility
that prevents you from complying with
the requirement to submit a report
electronically within the time period
prescribed. Examples of such events are
acts of nature (e.g., hurricanes,
earthquakes, or floods), acts of war or
terrorism, or equipment failure or safety
hazard beyond the control of the
affected facility (e.g., large scale power
outage).
(2) You must submit notification to
the Administrator in writing as soon as
possible following the date you first
knew, or through due diligence should
have known, that the event may cause
or has caused a delay in reporting.
(3) You must provide to the
Administrator:
(i) A written description of the force
majeure event;
(ii) A rationale for attributing the
delay in reporting beyond the regulatory
deadline to the force majeure event;
(iii) A description of measures taken
or to be taken to minimize the delay in
reporting; and
(iv) The date by which you propose to
report, or if you have already met the
reporting requirement at the time of the
notification, the date you reported.
(4) The decision to accept the claim
of force majeure and allow an extension
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to the reporting deadline is solely
within the discretion of the
Administrator.
(5) In any circumstance, the reporting
must occur as soon as possible after the
force majeure event occurs.
(g) Alternatives to any electronic
reporting required by this subpart must
be approved by the Administrator.
Definitions
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
§ 60.5880b
subpart?
What definitions apply to this
As used in this subpart, all terms not
defined herein will have the meaning
given them in the Clean Air Act and in
subparts A, Ba, TTTT, and TTTTa, of
this part.
Affected electric generating unit or
Affected EGU means a steam generating
unit that meets the relevant
applicability conditions in section
§ 60.5845b.
Annual capacity factor means the
ratio between the actual heat input to an
EGU during a calendar year and the
potential heat input to the EGU had it
been operated for 8,760 hours during a
calendar year at the base load rating.
Base load rating means the maximum
amount of heat input (fuel) that an EGU
can combust on a steady-state basis, as
determined by the physical design and
characteristics of the EGU at ISO
conditions, as defined below. For a
stationary combustion turbine or IGCC,
base load rating includes the heat input
from duct burners.
Coal-fired steam generating unit
means an electric utility steam
generating unit or IGCC unit that meets
the definition of ‘‘fossil fuel-fired’’ and
that burns coal for more than 10.0
percent of the average annual heat input
during any continuous 3-calendar-year
period after December 31, 2029, or for
more than 15.0 percent of the annual
heat input during any one calendar year
after December 31, 2029, or that retains
the capability to fire coal after December
31, 2029.
Combined cycle unit means a
stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust
gases is recovered by a heat recovery
steam generating unit to generate
additional electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or
CHP unit, (also known as
‘‘cogeneration’’) means an electric
generating unit that uses a steamgenerating unit or stationary combustion
turbine to simultaneously produce both
electric (or mechanical) and useful
thermal output from the same primary
energy source.
Compliance period means an annual
(calendar year) period for an affected
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20:13 May 08, 2024
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EGU to comply with a standard of
performance.
Derate means a decrease in the
available capacity of an electric
generating unit, due to a system or
equipment modification or to
discounting a portion of a generating
unit’s capacity for planning purposes.
Fossil fuel means natural gas,
petroleum, coal, and any form of solid
fuel, liquid fuel, or gaseous fuel derived
from such material for the purpose of
creating useful heat.
Gross energy output means:
(1) For stationary combustion turbines
and IGCC, the gross electric or direct
mechanical output from both the EGU
(including, but not limited to, output
from steam turbine(s), combustion
turbine(s), and gas expander(s)) plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output.
(2) For steam generating units, the
gross electric or mechanical output from
the affected EGU(s) (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s),
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)) minus any electricity used
to power the feedwater pumps plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output;
(3) For combined heat and power
facilities where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross energy output consists of
useful thermal output on a 12-operatingmonth rolling average basis, the gross
electric or mechanical output from the
affected EGU (including, but not limited
to, output from steam turbine(s),
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)) minus any electricity used
to power the feedwater pumps (the
electric auxiliary load of boiler
feedwater pumps is not applicable to
IGCC facilities), that difference divided
by 0.95, plus 100 percent of the useful
thermal output.
Heat recovery steam generating unit
(HRSG) means a unit in which hot
exhaust gases from the combustion
turbine engine are routed in order to
extract heat from the gases and generate
useful output. Heat recovery steam
generating units can be used with or
without duct burners.
Integrated gasification combined
cycle facility or IGCC means a combined
cycle facility that is designed to burn
fuels containing 50 percent (by heat
input) or more solid-derived fuel not
meeting the definition of natural gas
plus any integrated equipment that
provides electricity or useful thermal
output to either the affected facility or
auxiliary equipment. The Administrator
may waive the 50 percent solid-derived
fuel requirement during periods of the
gasification system construction, startup
and commissioning, shutdown, or
repair. No solid fuel is directly burned
in the unit during operation.
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ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15
°C, 59 °F), 60 percent relative humidity
and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm)
pressure.
Mechanical output means the useful
mechanical energy that is not used to
operate the affected facility, generate
electricity and/or thermal output, or to
enhance the performance of the affected
facility. Mechanical energy measured in
horsepower hour must be converted into
MWh by multiplying it by 745.7 then
dividing by 1,000,000.
Nameplate capacity means, starting
from the initial installation, the
maximum electrical generating output
that a generator, prime mover, or other
electric power production equipment
under specific conditions designated by
the manufacturer is capable of
producing (in MWe, rounded to the
nearest tenth) on a steady-state basis
and during continuous operation (when
not restricted by seasonal or other
deratings) as of such installation as
specified by the manufacturer of the
equipment, or starting from the
completion of any subsequent physical
change resulting in an increase in the
maximum electrical generating output
that the equipment is capable of
producing on a steady-state basis and
during continuous operation (when not
restricted by seasonal or other
deratings), such increased maximum
amount (in MWe, rounded to the nearest
tenth) as of such completion as
specified by the person conducting the
physical change.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of
hydrocarbons (e.g., methane, ethane, or
propane), composed of at least 70
percent methane by volume or that has
a gross calorific value between 35 and
41 megajoules (MJ) per dry standard
cubic meter (950 and 1,100 Btu per dry
standard cubic foot), that maintains a
gaseous state under ISO conditions.
Finally, natural gas does not include the
following gaseous fuels: Landfill gas,
digester gas, refinery gas, sour gas, blast
furnace gas, coal-derived gas, producer
gas, coke oven gas, or any gaseous fuel
produced in a process which might
result in highly variable CO2 content or
heating value.
Natural gas-fired steam generating
unit means an electric utility steam
generating unit meeting the definition of
‘‘fossil fuel-fired,’’ that is not a coalfired or oil-fired steam generating unit,
that no longer retains the capability to
fire coal after December 31, 2029, and
that burns natural gas for more than 10.0
percent of the average annual heat input
during any continuous 3-calendar-year
period after December 31, 2029, or for
more than 15.0 percent of the annual
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES3
heat input during any calendar year
after December 31, 2029.
Net electric output means the amount
of gross generation the generator(s)
produce (including, but not limited to,
output from steam turbine(s),
combustion turbine(s), and gas
expander(s)), as measured at the
generator terminals, less the electricity
used to operate the plant (i.e., auxiliary
loads); such uses include fuel handling
equipment, pumps, fans, pollution
control equipment, other electricity
needs, and transformer losses as
measured at the transmission side of the
step up transformer (e.g., the point of
sale).
Net energy output means:
(1) The net electric or mechanical
output from the affected facility, plus
100 percent of the useful thermal output
measured relative to standard ambient
temperature and pressure conditions
that is not used to generate additional
electric or mechanical output or to
enhance the performance of the unit
(e.g., steam delivered to an industrial
process for a heating application).
(2) For combined heat and power
facilities where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross or net energy output
consists of electric or direct mechanical
output and at least 20.0 percent of the
total gross or net energy output consists
of useful thermal output on a 12operating month rolling average basis,
the net electric or mechanical output
from the affected EGU divided by 0.95,
plus 100 percent of the useful thermal
output; (e.g., steam delivered to an
industrial process for a heating
application).
Oil-fired steam generating unit means
an electric utility steam generating unit
meeting the definition of ‘‘fossil fuelfired’’ that is not a coal-fired steam
generating unit, that no longer retains
the capability to fire coal after December
31, 2029, and that burns oil for more
than 10.0 percent of the average annual
heat input during any continuous 3calendar-year period after December 31,
2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of
the annual heat input during any one
calendar year after December 31, 2029.
Standard ambient temperature and
pressure (SATP) conditions means
298.15 Kelvin (25 °C, 77 °F) and 100.0
kilopascals (14.504 psi, 0.987 atm)
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pressure. The enthalpy of water at SATP
conditions is 50 Btu/lb.
State agent means an entity acting on
behalf of the State, with the legal
authority of the State.
Stationary combustion turbine means
all equipment including, but not limited
to, the turbine engine, the fuel, air,
lubrication and exhaust gas systems,
control systems (except emissions
control equipment), heat recovery
system, fuel compressor, heater, and/or
pump, post-combustion emission
control technology, and any ancillary
components and sub-components
comprising any simple cycle stationary
combustion turbine, any combined
cycle combustion turbine, and any
combined heat and power combustion
turbine based system plus any
integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to
the combustion turbine engine, heat
recovery system, or auxiliary
equipment. Stationary means that the
combustion turbine is not self-propelled
or intended to be propelled while
performing its function. It may,
however, be mounted on a vehicle for
portability. A stationary combustion
turbine that burns any solid fuel directly
is considered a steam generating unit.
Steam generating unit means any
furnace, boiler, or other device used for
combusting fuel and producing steam
(nuclear steam generators are not
included) plus any integrated
equipment that provides electricity or
useful thermal output to the affected
facility or auxiliary equipment.
System Emergency means periods
when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert
level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP–011–2, or its
successor.
Uprate means an increase in available
electric generating unit power capacity
due to a system or equipment
modification.
Useful thermal output means the
thermal energy made available for use in
any heating application (e.g., steam
delivered to an industrial process for a
heating application, including thermal
cooling applications) that is not used for
electric generation, mechanical output
at the affected EGU, to directly enhance
the performance of the affected EGU
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(e.g., economizer output is not useful
thermal output, but thermal energy used
to reduce fuel moisture is considered
useful thermal output), or to supply
energy to a pollution control device at
the affected EGU. Useful thermal output
for affected EGU(s) with no condensate
return (or other thermal energy input to
the affected EGU(s)) or where measuring
the energy in the condensate (or other
thermal energy input to the affected
EGU(s)) would not meaningfully impact
the emission rate calculation is
measured against the energy in the
thermal output at SATP conditions.
Affected EGU(s) with meaningful energy
in the condensate return (or other
thermal energy input to the affected
EGU) must measure the energy in the
condensate and subtract that energy
relative to SATP conditions from the
measured thermal output.
Valid data means quality-assured data
generated by continuous monitoring
systems that are installed, operated, and
maintained according to 40 CFR part 75.
For CEMS, the initial certification
requirements in 40 CFR 75.20 and
appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 must be
met before quality-assured data are
reported under this subpart; for ongoing quality assurance, the daily,
quarterly, and semiannual/annual test
requirements in sections 2.1, 2.2, and
2.3 of appendix B to 40 CFR part 75
must be met and the data validation
criteria in sections 2.1.4, 2.2.3, and 2.3.2
of appendix B to 40 CFR part 75 apply.
For fuel flow meters, the initial
certification requirements in section
2.1.5 of appendix D to 40 CFR part 75
must be met before quality-assured data
are reported under this subpart (except
for qualifying commercial billing meters
under section 2.1.4.2 of appendix D),
and for on-going quality assurance, the
provisions in section 2.1.6 of appendix
D to 40 CFR part 75 apply (except for
qualifying commercial billing meters).
Waste-to-Energy means a process or
unit (e.g., solid waste incineration unit)
that recovers energy from the
conversion or combustion of waste
stream materials, such as municipal
solid waste, to generate electricity and/
or heat.
[FR Doc. 2024–09233 Filed 5–8–24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 91 (Thursday, May 9, 2024)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 39798-40064]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-09233]
[[Page 39797]]
Vol. 89
Thursday,
No. 91
May 9, 2024
Part III
Environmental Protection Agency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
40 CFR Part 60
New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating
Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing
Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the
Affordable Clean Energy Rule; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 91 / Thursday, May 9, 2024 / Rules
and Regulations
[[Page 39798]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 60
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072; FRL-8536-01-OAR]
RIN 2060-AV09
New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the
Affordable Clean Energy Rule
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is finalizing
multiple actions under section 111 of the Clean Air Act (CAA)
addressing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from fossil fuel-fired
electric generating units (EGUs). First, the EPA is finalizing the
repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) Rule. Second, the EPA is
finalizing emission guidelines for GHG emissions from existing fossil
fuel-fired steam generating EGUs, which include both coal-fired and
oil/gas-fired steam generating EGUs. Third, the EPA is finalizing
revisions to the New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) for GHG
emissions from new and reconstructed fossil fuel-fired stationary
combustion turbine EGUs. Fourth, the EPA is finalizing revisions to the
NSPS for GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
that undertake a large modification, based upon the 8-year review
required by the CAA. The EPA is not finalizing emission guidelines for
GHG emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines at this time; instead, the EPA intends to take further action
on the proposed emission guidelines at a later date.
DATES: This final rule is effective on July 8, 2024. The incorporation
by reference of certain publications listed in the rules is approved by
the Director of the Federal Register as of July 8, 2024. The
incorporation by reference of certain other materials listed in the
rule was approved by the Director of the Federal Register as of October
23, 2015.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a docket for these actions under
Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072. All documents in the docket are
listed on the https://www.regulations.gov website. Although listed,
some information is not publicly available, e.g., Confidential Business
Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted
by statute. Certain other material, such as copyrighted material, is
not placed on the internet and will be publicly available only in hard
copy form. Publicly available docket materials are available
electronically through https://www.regulations.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lisa Thompson (she/her), Sector
Policies and Programs Division (D243-02), Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 109 T.W.
Alexander Drive, P.O. Box 12055, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
27711; telephone number: (919) 541-5158; and email address:
[email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Preamble acronyms and abbreviations. Throughout this document the
use of ``we,'' ``us,'' or ``our'' is intended to refer to the EPA. The
EPA uses multiple acronyms and terms in this preamble. While this list
may not be exhaustive, to ease the reading of this preamble and for
reference purposes, the EPA defines the following terms and acronyms
here:
ACE Affordable Clean Energy rule
BSER best system of emissions reduction
Btu British thermal unit
CAA Clean Air Act
CBI Confidential Business Information
CCS carbon capture and sequestration/storage
CCUS carbon capture, utilization, and sequestration/storage
CO2 carbon dioxide
DER distributed energy resources
DOE Department of Energy
EEA energy emergency alert
EGU electric generating unit
EIA Energy Information Administration
EJ environmental justice
E.O. Executive Order
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
FEED front-end engineering and design
FGD flue gas desulfurization
FR Federal Register
GHG greenhouse gas
GW gigawatt
GWh gigawatt-hour
HAP hazardous air pollutant
HRSG heat recovery steam generator
IIJA Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
IRC Internal Revenue Code
kg kilogram
kWh kilowatt-hour
LCOE levelized cost of electricity
LNG liquefied natural gas
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
MMBtu/h million British thermal units per hour
MMT CO2e million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent
MW megawatt
MWh megawatt-hour
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NESHAP National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants
NGCC natural gas combined cycle
NOX nitrogen oxides
NSPS new source performance standards
NSR New Source Review
PM particulate matter
PM2.5 fine particulate matter
RIA regulatory impact analysis
TSD technical support document
U.S. United States
Organization of this document. The information in this preamble is
organized as follows:
I. Executive Summary
A. Climate Change and Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
B. Recent Developments in Emissions Controls and the Electric
Power Sector
C. Summary of the Principal Provisions of These Regulatory
Actions
D. Grid Reliability Considerations
E. Environmental Justice Considerations
F. Energy Workers and Communities
G. Key Changes From Proposal
II. General Information
A. Action Applicability
B. Where To Get a Copy of This Document and Other Related
Information
III. Climate Change Impacts
IV. Recent Developments in Emissions Controls and the Electric Power
Sector
A. Background
B. GHG Emissions From Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
C. Recent Developments in Emissions Control
D. The Electric Power Sector: Trends and Current Structure
E. The Legislative, Market, and State Law Context
F. Future Projections of Power Sector Trends
V. Statutory Background and Regulatory History for CAA Section 111
A. Statutory Authority To Regulate GHGs From EGUs Under CAA
Section 111
B. History of EPA Regulation of Greenhouse Gases From
Electricity Generating Units Under CAA Section 111 and Caselaw
C. Detailed Discussion of CAA Section 111 Requirements
[[Page 39799]]
VI. ACE Rule Repeal
A. Summary of Selected Features of the ACE Rule
B. Developments Undermining ACE Rule's Projected Emission
Reductions
C. Developments Showing That Other Technologies Are the BSER for
This Source Category
D. Insufficiently Precise Degree of Emission Limitation
Achievable From Application of the BSER
E. Withdrawal of Proposed NSR Revisions
VII. Regulatory Approach for Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam
Generating Units
A. Overview
B. Applicability Requirements and Fossil Fuel-Type Definitions
for Subcategories of Steam Generating Units
C. Rationale for the BSER for Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
D. Rationale for the BSER for Natural Gas-Fired and Oil-Fired
Steam Generating Units
E. Additional Comments Received on the Emission Guidelines for
Existing Steam Generating Units and Responses
F. Regulatory Requirement To Review Emission Guidelines for
Coal-Fired Units
VIII. Requirements for New and Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbine EGUs and Rationale for Requirements
A. Overview
B. Combustion Turbine Technology
C. Overview of Regulation of Stationary Combustion Turbines for
GHGs
D. Eight-Year Review of NSPS
E. Applicability Requirements and Subcategorization
F. Determination of the Best System of Emission Reduction (BSER)
for New and Reconstructed Stationary Combustion Turbines
G. Standards of Performance
H. Reconstructed Stationary Combustion Turbines
I. Modified Stationary Combustion Turbines
J. Startup, Shutdown, and Malfunction
K. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
L. Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
M. Compliance Dates
N. Compliance Date Extension
IX. Requirements for New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-
Fired Steam Generating Units
A. 2018 NSPS Proposal Withdrawal
B. Additional Amendments
C. Eight-Year Review of NSPS for Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam
Generating Units
D. Projects Under Development
X. State Plans for Emission Guidelines for Existing Fossil Fuel-
Fired EGUs
A. Overview
B. Requirement for State Plans To Maintain Stringency of the
EPA's BSER Determination
C. Establishing Standards of Performance
D. Compliance Flexibilities
E. State Plan Components and Submission
XI. Implications for Other CAA Programs
A. New Source Review Program
B. Title V Program
XII. Summary of Cost, Environmental, and Economic Impacts
A. Air Quality Impacts
B. Compliance Cost Impacts
C. Economic and Energy Impacts
D. Benefits
E. Net Benefits
F. Environmental Justice Analytical Considerations and
Stakeholder Outreach and Engagement
G. Grid Reliability Considerations and Reliability-Related
Mechanisms
XIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and
Executive Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribal Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From
Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks Populations and Low-
Income Populations
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA) and
1 CFR Part 51
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address
Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations and Executive Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation's
Commitment to Environmental Justice for All
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
XIV. Statutory Authority
I. Executive Summary
In 2009, the EPA concluded that GHG emissions endanger our nation's
public health and welfare.\1\ Since that time, the evidence of the
harms posed by GHG emissions has only grown, and Americans experience
the destructive and worsening effects of climate change every day.\2\
Fossil fuel-fired EGUs are the nation's largest stationary source of
GHG emissions, representing 25 percent of the United States' total GHG
emissions in 2021.\3\ At the same time, a range of cost-effective
technologies and approaches to reduce GHG emissions from these sources
is available to the power sector--including carbon capture and
sequestration/storage (CCS), co-firing with less GHG-intensive fuels,
and more efficient generation. Congress has also acted to provide
funding and other incentives to encourage the deployment of various
technologies, including CCS, to achieve reductions in GHG emissions
from the power sector.
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\1\ 74 FR 66496 (December 15, 2009).
\2\ The 5th National Climate Assessment (NCA5) states that the
effects of human-caused climate change are already far-reaching and
worsening across every region of the United States and that climate
change affects all aspects of the energy system-supply, delivery,
and demand-through the increased frequency, intensity, and duration
of extreme events and through changing climate trends.
\3\ https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhouse-gas-emissions.
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In this notice, the EPA is finalizing several actions under section
111 of the Clean Air Act (CAA) to reduce the significant quantity of
GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired EGUs by establishing emission
guidelines and new source performance standards (NSPS) that are based
on available and cost-effective technologies that directly reduce GHG
emissions from these sources. Consistent with the statutory command of
CAA section 111, the final NSPS and emission guidelines reflect the
application of the best system of emission reduction (BSER) that,
taking into account costs, energy requirements, and other statutory
factors, is adequately demonstrated.
Specifically, the EPA is first finalizing the repeal of the
Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) Rule. Second, the EPA is finalizing
emission guidelines for GHG emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating EGUs, which include both coal-fired and oil/gas-fired
steam generating EGUs. Third, the EPA is finalizing revisions to the
NSPS for GHG emissions from new and reconstructed fossil fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbine EGUs. Fourth, the EPA is finalizing
revisions to the NSPS for GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units that undertake a large modification, based upon the 8-
year review required by the CAA. The EPA is not finalizing emission
guidelines for GHG emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired combustion
turbines at this time and plans to expeditiously issue an additional
proposal that more comprehensively addresses GHG emissions from this
portion of the fleet. The EPA acknowledges that the share of GHG
emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines has been
growing and is projected to continue to do so, particularly as
emissions from other portions of the fleet decline, and that it is
vital to regulate the GHG emissions from these sources consistent with
CAA section 111.
These final actions ensure that the new and existing fossil fuel-
fired EGUs that are subject to these rules reduce their GHG emissions
in a manner that is cost-effective and improves the emissions
performance of the sources, consistent with the applicable CAA
requirements and caselaw. These standards and emission guidelines will
significantly decrease GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired EGUs and
the associated harms to human health and
[[Page 39800]]
welfare. Further, the EPA has designed these standards and emission
guidelines in a way that is compatible with the nation's overall need
for a reliable supply of affordable electricity.
A. Climate Change and Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
These final actions reduce the emissions of GHGs from new and
existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The increasing concentrations of GHGs
in the atmosphere are, and have been, warming the planet, resulting in
serious and life-threatening environmental and human health impacts.
The increased concentrations of GHGs in the atmosphere and the
resulting warming have led to more frequent and more intense heat waves
and extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and retreating snow and
ice, all of which are occurring at a pace and scale that threaten human
health and welfare.
Fossil fuel-fired EGUs that are uncontrolled for GHGs are one of
the biggest domestic sources of GHG emissions. At the same time, there
are technologies available (including technologies that can be applied
to fossil fuel-fired power plants) to significantly reduce emissions of
GHGs from the power sector. Low- and zero-GHG electricity are also key
enabling technologies to significantly reduce GHG emissions in almost
every other sector of the economy.
In 2021, the power sector was the largest stationary source of GHGs
in the United States, emitting 25 percent of overall domestic
emissions.\4\ In 2021, existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units accounted for 65 percent of the GHG emissions from the sector,
but only accounted for 23 percent of the total electricity generation.
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\4\ https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/sources-greenhouse-gas-emissions.
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Because of its outsized contributions to overall emissions,
reducing emissions from the power sector is essential to addressing the
challenge of climate change--and sources in the power sector also have
many available options for reducing their climate-destabilizing
emissions. Particularly relevant to these actions are several key
technologies (CCS and co-firing of lower-GHG fuels) that allow fossil
fuel-fired steam generating EGUs and stationary combustion turbines to
provide power while emitting significantly lower GHG emissions.
Moreover, with the increased electrification of other GHG-emitting
sectors of the economy, such as personal vehicles, heavy-duty trucks,
and the heating and cooling of buildings, reducing GHG emissions from
these affected sources can also help reduce power sector pollution that
might otherwise result from the electrification of other sectors of the
economy.
B. Recent Developments in Emissions Controls and the Electric Power
Sector
Several recent developments concerning emissions controls are
relevant for the EPA's determination of the BSER for existing coal-
fired steam generating EGUs and new natural gas-fired stationary
combustion turbines. These include lower costs and continued
improvements in CCS technology, alongside Federal tax incentives that
allow companies to largely offset the cost of CCS. Well-established
trends in the sector further inform where using such technologies is
cost effective and feasible, and form part of the basis for the EPA's
determination of the BSER.
In recent years, the cost of CCS has declined in part because of
process improvements learned from earlier deployments and other
advances in the technology. In addition, the Inflation Reduction Act
(IRA), enacted in 2022, extended and significantly increased the tax
credit for carbon dioxide (CO2) sequestration under Internal
Revenue Code (IRC) section 45Q. The provision of tax credits in the
IRA, combined with the funding included in the Infrastructure
Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), enacted in 2021, incentivize and
facilitate the deployment of CCS and other GHG emission control
technologies. As explained later in this preamble, these developments
support the EPA's conclusion that CCS is the BSER for certain
subcategories of new and existing EGUs because it is an adequately
demonstrated and available control technology that significantly
reduces emissions of dangerous pollution and because the costs of its
installation and operation are reasonable. Some companies have already
made plans to install CCS on their units independent of the EPA's
regulations.
Well documented trends in the power sector also influence the EPA's
determination of the BSER. In particular, CCS entails significant
capital expenditures and is only cost-reasonable for units that will
operate enough to defray those capital costs. At the same time, many
utilities and power generating companies have recently announced plans
to accelerate changing the mix of their generating assets. The IIJA and
IRA, state legislation, technology advancements, market forces,
consumer demand, and the advanced age of much of the existing fossil
fuel-fired generating fleet are collectively leading to, in most cases,
decreased use of the fossil fuel-fired units that are the subjects of
these final actions. From 2010 through 2022, fossil fuel-fired
generation declined from approximately 72 percent of total net
generation to approximately 60 percent, with generation from coal-fired
sources dropping from 49 percent to 20 percent of net generation during
this period.\5\ These trends are expected to continue and are relevant
to determining where capital-intensive technologies, like CCS, may be
feasibly and cost-reasonably deployed to reduce emissions.
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\5\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric Power
Annual. 2010 and 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/html/epa_03_01_a.html.
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Congress has taken other recent actions to drive the reduction of
GHG emissions from the power sector. As noted earlier, Congress enacted
IRC section 45Q in section 115 of the Energy Improvement and Extension
Act of 2008 to provide a tax credit for the sequestration of
CO2. Congress significantly amended IRC section 45Q in the
Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018, and more recently in the IRA, to make
this tax incentive more generous and effective in spurring long-term
deployment of CCS. In addition, the IIJA provided more than $65 billion
for infrastructure investments and upgrades for transmission capacity,
pipelines, and low-carbon fuels.\6\ Further, the Creating Helpful
Incentives to Produce Semiconductors and Science Act (CHIPS Act)
authorized billions more in funding for development of low- and non-GHG
emitting energy technologies that could provide additional low-cost
options for power companies to reduce overall GHG emissions.\7\ As
discussed in greater detail in section IV.E.1 of this preamble, the
IRA, the IIJA, and CHIPS contain numerous other provisions encouraging
companies to reduce their GHGs.
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\6\ https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684.
\7\ https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/4346.
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C. Summary of the Principal Provisions of These Regulatory Actions
These final actions include the repeal of the ACE Rule, BSER
determinations and emission guidelines for existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units, and BSER determinations and accompanying
standards of performance for GHG emissions from new and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion turbines and modified fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units.
[[Page 39801]]
The EPA is taking these actions consistent with its authority under
CAA section 111. Under CAA section 111, once the EPA has identified a
source category that contributes significantly to dangerous air
pollution, it proceeds to regulate new sources and, for GHGs and
certain other air pollutants, existing sources. The central requirement
is that the EPA must determine the ``best system of emission reduction
. . . adequately demonstrated,'' taking into account the cost of the
reductions, non-air quality health and environmental impacts, and
energy requirements.\8\ The EPA may determine that different sets of
sources have different characteristics relevant for determining the
BSER and may subcategorize sources accordingly.
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\8\ CAA section 111(a)(1).
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Once it identifies the BSER, the EPA must determine the ``degree of
emission limitation'' achievable by application of the BSER. For new
sources, the EPA establishes the standard of performance with which the
sources must comply, which is a standard for emissions that reflects
the degree of emission limitation. For existing sources, the EPA
includes the information it has developed concerning the BSER and
associated degree of emission limitation in emission guidelines and
directs the states to adopt state plans that contain standards of
performance that are consistent with the emission guidelines.
Since the early 1970s, the EPA has promulgated regulations under
CAA section 111 for more than 60 source categories, which has
established a robust set of regulatory precedents that has informed the
development of these final actions. During this period, the courts,
primarily the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit and the
Supreme Court, have developed a body of caselaw interpreting CAA
section 111. As the Supreme Court has recognized, the EPA has typically
(and does so in these actions) determined the BSER to be ``measures
that improve the pollution performance of individual sources,'' such as
add-on controls and clean fuels. West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697,
734 (2022). For present purposes, several of a BSER's key features
include that it must reduce emissions, be based on ``adequately
demonstrated'' technology, and have a reasonable cost of control. The
case law interpreting section 111 has also recognized that the BSER can
be forward-looking in nature and take into account anticipated
improvements in control technologies. For example, the EPA may
determine a control to be ``adequately demonstrated'' even if it is new
and not yet in widespread commercial use, and, further, that the EPA
may reasonably project the development of a control system at a future
time and establish requirements that take effect at that time. Further,
the most relevant costs under CAA section 111 are the costs to the
regulated facility. The actions that the EPA is finalizing are
consistent with the requirements of CAA section 111 and its regulatory
history and caselaw, which is discussed in further detail in section V
of this preamble.
1. Repeal of ACE Rule
The EPA is finalizing its proposed repeal of the existing ACE Rule
emission guidelines. First, as a policy matter, the EPA concludes that
the suite of heat rate improvements (HRI) that was identified in the
ACE Rule as the BSER is not an appropriate BSER for existing coal-fired
EGUs. Second, the ACE Rule rejected CCS and natural gas co-firing as
the BSER for reasons that no longer apply. Third, the EPA concludes
that the ACE Rule conflicted with CAA section 111 and the EPA's
implementing regulations because it did not provide sufficient
specificity as to the BSER the EPA had identified or the ``degree of
emission limitation achievable though application of the [BSER].''
Also, the EPA is withdrawing the proposed revisions to the New
Source Review (NSR) regulations that were included the ACE Rule
proposal (83 FR 44773-83; August 31, 2018).
2. Emission Guidelines for Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90 percent capture as BSER for
existing coal-fired steam generating units. These units have a
presumptive standard \9\ of an 88.4 percent reduction in annual
emission rate, with a compliance deadline of January 1, 2032. As
explained in detail below, CCS is an adequately demonstrated technology
that achieves significant emissions reduction and is cost-reasonable,
taking into account the declining costs of the technology and a
substantial tax credit available to sources. In recognition of the
significant capital expenditures involved in deploying CCS technology
and the fact that 45 percent of regulated units already have announced
retirement dates, the EPA is finalizing a separate subcategory for
existing coal-fired steam generating units that demonstrate that they
plan to permanently cease operation before January 1, 2039. The BSER
for this subcategory is co-firing with natural gas, at a level of 40
percent of the unit's annual heat input. These units have a presumptive
standard of 16 percent reduction in annual emission rate corresponding
to this BSER, with a compliance deadline of January 1, 2030.
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\9\ Presumptive standards of performance are discussed in detail
in section X of the preamble. While states establish standards of
performance for sources, the EPA provides presumptively approvable
standards of performance based on the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the BSER for each subcategory.
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The EPA is finalizing an applicability exemption for existing coal-
fired steam EGUs demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease
operation prior to January 1, 2032, based on the Agency's determination
that units retiring before this date generally do not have cost-
reasonable options for improving their GHG emissions performance.
Sources that demonstrate they will permanently cease operation before
this applicability deadline will not be subject to these emission
guidelines. Further, the EPA is not finalizing the proposed imminent-
term or near-term subcategories.
The EPA is finalizing the proposed structure of the subcategory
definitions for natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units. The
EPA is also finalizing routine methods of operation and maintenance as
the BSER for intermediate load and base load natural gas- and oil-fired
steam generating units. Furthermore, the EPA is finalizing presumptive
standards for natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units that
are slightly higher than at proposal: base load sources (those with
annual capacity factors greater than 45 percent) have a presumptive
standard of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross, and intermediate load
sources (those with annual capacity factors greater than 8 percent and
less than or equal to 45 percent) have a presumptive standard of 1,600
lb CO2/MWh-gross. For low load (those with annual capacity
factors less than 8 percent), the EPA is finalizing a uniform fuels
BSER and a presumptive input-based standard of 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu for oil-fired sources and a presumptive standard of 130 lb
CO2/MMBtu for natural gas-fired sources.
3. Standards of Performance for New and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired
Combustion Turbines
The EPA is finalizing emission standards for three subcategories of
combustion turbines--base load, intermediate load, and low load. The
BSER for base load combustion turbines includes two components to be
implemented initially in two phases. The first component of the BSER
for base load combustion turbines is highly efficient generation (based
on the emission rates that the best performing
[[Page 39802]]
units are achieving) and the second component for base load combustion
turbines is utilization of CCS with 90 percent capture. Recognizing the
lead time that is necessary for new base load combustion turbines to
plan for and install the second component of the BSER (i.e., 90 percent
CCS), including the time that is needed to deploy the associated
infrastructure (CO2 pipelines, storage sites, etc.), the EPA
is finalizing a second phase compliance deadline of January 1, 2032,
for this second component of the standard.
The EPA has identified highly efficient simple cycle generation as
the BSER for intermediate load combustion turbines. For low load
combustion turbines, the EPA is finalizing its proposed determination
that the BSER is the use of lower-emitting fuels.
4. New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing revisions of the standards of performance for
coal-fired steam generating units that undertake a large modification
(i.e., a modification that increases its hourly emission rate by more
than 10 percent) to mirror the emission guidelines for existing coal-
fired steam generators. This reflects the EPA's determination that such
modified sources are capable of meeting the same presumptive standards
that the EPA is finalizing for existing steam EGUs. Further, this
revised standard for modified coal-fired steam EGUs will avoid creating
an unjustified disparity between emission control obligations for
modified and existing coal-fired steam EGUs.
The EPA did not propose, and we are not finalizing, any review or
revision of the 2015 standard for large modifications of oil- or gas-
fired steam generating units because we are not aware of any existing
oil- or gas-fired steam generating EGUs that have undertaken such
modifications or have plans to do so, and, unlike an existing coal-
fired steam generating EGUs, existing oil- or gas-fired steam units
have no incentive to undertake such a modification to avoid the
requirements we are including in this final rule for existing oil- or
gas-fired steam generating units.
As discussed in the proposal preamble, the EPA is not revising the
NSPS for newly constructed or reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam
electric generating units (EGU) at this time because the EPA
anticipates that few, if any, such units will be constructed or
reconstructed in the foreseeable future. However, the EPA has recently
become aware that a new coal-fired power plant is under consideration
in Alaska. Accordingly, the EPA is not, at this time, finalizing its
proposal not to review the 2015 NSPS, and, instead, will continue to
consider whether to review the 2015 NSPS. As developments warrant, the
EPA will determine either to conduct a review, and propose revised
standards of performance, or not conduct a review.
Also, in this final action, the EPA is withdrawing the 2018
proposed amendments \10\ to the NSPS for GHG emissions from coal-fired
EGUs.
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\10\ See 83 FR 65424, December 20, 2018.
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5. Severability
This final action is composed of four independent rules: the repeal
of the ACE rule; GHG emission guidelines for existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units; NSPS for GHG emissions from new and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines; and revisions to
the standards of performance for new, modified, and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units. The EPA could have finalized
each of these rules in separate Federal Register notices as separate
final actions. The Agency decided to include these four independent
rules in a single Federal Register notice for administrative ease
because they all relate to climate pollution from the fossil fuel-fired
electric generating units source category. Accordingly, despite
grouping these rules into one single Federal Register notice, the EPA
intends that each of these rules described in sections I.C.1 through
I.C.4 is severable from the other.
In addition, each rule is severable as a practical matter. For
example, the EPA would repeal the ACE Rule separate and apart from
finalizing new standards for these sources as explained herein.
Moreover, the BSER and associated emission guidelines for existing
fossil fuel-fired steam generating units are independent of and would
have been the same regardless of whether the EPA finalized the other
parts of this rule. In determining the BSER for existing fossil fuel-
fired steam generating units, the EPA considered only the technologies
available to reduce GHG emissions at those sources and did not take
into consideration the technologies or standards of performance for new
fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines. The same is true for the
Agency's evaluation and determination of the BSER and associated
standards of performance for new fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines.
The EPA identified the BSER and established the standards of
performance by examining the controls that were available for these
units. That analysis can stand alone and apart from the EPA's separate
analysis for existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating units. Though
the record evidence (including, for example, modeling results) often
addresses the availability, performance, and expected implementation of
the technologies at both existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units and new fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines in the same record
documents, the evidence for each evaluation stands on its own, and is
independently sufficient to support each of the final BSERs.
In addition, within section I.C.1, the final action to repeal the
ACE Rule is severable from the withdrawal of the NSR revisions that
were proposed in parallel with the ACE Rule proposal. Within the group
of actions for existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating units in
section I.C.2, the requirements for each subcategory of existing
sources are severable from the requirements for each other subcategory
of existing sources. For example, if a court were to invalidate the
BSER and associated emission standard for units in the medium-term
subcategory, the BSER and associated emission standard for units in the
long-term subcategory could function sensibly because the effectiveness
of the BSER for each subcategory is not dependent on the effectiveness
of the BSER for other subcategories. Within the group of actions for
new and reconstructed fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines in section
I.C.3, the following actions are severable: the requirements for each
subcategory of new and reconstructed turbines are severable from the
requirements for each other subcategory; and within the subcategory for
base load turbines, the requirements for each of the two components are
severable from the requirements for the other component. Each of these
standards can function sensibly without the others. For example, the
BSER for low load, intermediate load, and base load subcategories is
based on the technologies the EPA determined met the statutory
standards for those subcategories and are independent from each other.
And in the base load subcategory units may practically be constructed
using the most efficient technology without then installing CCS and
likewise may install CCS on a turbine system that was not constructed
with the most efficient technology. Within the group of actions for
new, modified, and reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units in section I.C.4, the revisions of the standards of performance
for coal-fired steam
[[Page 39803]]
generators that undertake a large modification are severable from the
withdrawal of the 2018 proposal to revise the NSPS for emissions of GHG
from EGUs. Each of the actions in these final rules that the EPA has
identified as severable is functionally independent--i.e., may operate
in practice independently of the other actions.
In addition, while the EPA is finalizing this rule at the same time
as other final rules regulating different types of pollution from
EGUs--specifically the Supplemental Effluent Limitations Guidelines and
Standards for the Steam Electric Power Generating Point Source Category
(FR 2024-09815, EPA-HQ-OW-2009-0819; FRL-8794-02-OW); National Emission
Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Coal and Oil-Fired Electric
Utility Steam Generating Units Review of the Residual Risk and
Technology Review (FR 2024-09148, EPA-HQ-OAR-2018-0794; FRL-6716.3-02-
OAR); Hazardous and Solid Waste Management System: Disposal of Coal
Combustion Residuals From Electric Utilities; Legacy CCR Surface
Impoundments (FR 2024-09157, EPA-HQ-OLEM-2020-0107; FRL-7814-04-OLEM)--
and has considered the interactions between and cumulative effects of
these rules, each rule is based on different statutory authority, a
different record, and is completely independent of the other rules.
D. Grid Reliability Considerations
The EPA is finalizing multiple adjustments to the proposed rules
that ensure the requirements in these final actions can be implemented
without compromising the ability of power companies, grid operators,
and state and Federal energy regulators to maintain resource adequacy
and grid reliability. In response to the May 2023 proposed rule, the
EPA received extensive comments from balancing authorities, independent
system operators and regional transmission organizations, state
regulators, power companies, and other stakeholders on the need for the
final rule to accommodate resource adequacy and grid reliability needs.
The EPA also engaged with the balancing authorities that submitted
comments to the docket, the staff and Commissioners of the Federal
Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), the Department of Energy (DOE),
the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), and other
expert entities during the course of this rulemaking. Finally, at the
invitation of FERC, the EPA participated in FERC's Annual Reliability
Technical Conference on November 9, 2023.
These final actions respond to this input and feedback in multiple
ways, including through changes to the universe of affected sources,
longer compliance timeframes for CCS implementation, and other
compliance flexibilities, as well as articulation of the appropriate
use of RULOF to address reliability issues during state plan
development and in subsequent state plan revisions. In addition to
these adjustments, the EPA is finalizing several programmatic
mechanisms specifically designed to address reliability concerns raised
by commenters. For existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs, a short-term
reliability emergency mechanism is available for states to provide more
flexibility by using an alternative emission limitation during acute
operational emergencies when the grid might be temporarily under heavy
strain. A similar short-term reliability emergency mechanism is also
available to new sources. In addition, the EPA is creating an option
for states to provide for a compliance date extension for existing
sources of up to 1 year under certain circumstances for sources that
are installing control technologies to comply with their standards of
performance. Lastly, states may also provide, by inclusion in their
state plans, a reliability assurance mechanism of up to 1 year that
under limited circumstances would allow existing units that had planned
to cease operating by a certain date to temporarily remain available to
support reliability. Any extensions exceeding 1 year must be addressed
through a state plan revision. In order to utilize this reliability
pathway, there must be an adequate demonstration of need and
certification by a reliability authority, and approval by the
appropriate EPA Regional Administrator. The EPA plans to seek the
advice of FERC for extension requests exceeding 6 months. Similarly,
for new fossil fuel-fired combustion turbines, the EPA is creating a
mechanism whereby baseload units may request a 1-year extension of
their CCS compliance deadline under certain circumstances.
The EPA has evaluated the resource adequacy implications of these
actions in the final technical support document (TSD), Resource
Adequacy Analysis, and conducted capacity expansion modeling of the
final rules in a manner that takes into account resource adequacy
needs. The EPA finds that resource adequacy can be maintained with the
final rules. The EPA modeled a scenario that complies with the final
rules and that meets resource adequacy needs. The EPA also performed a
variety of other sensitivity analyses looking at higher electricity
demand (load growth) and impact of the EPA's additional regulatory
actions affecting the power sector. These sensitivity analyses indicate
that, in the context of higher demand and other pending power sector
rules, the industry has available pathways to comply with this rule
that respect NERC reliability considerations and constraints.
In addition, the EPA notes that significant planning and regulatory
mechanisms exist to ensure that sufficient generation resources are
available to maintain reliability. The EPA's consideration of
reliability in this rulemaking has also been informed by consultation
with the DOE under the auspices of the March 9, 2023, memorandum of
understanding (MOU) \11\ signed by the EPA Administrator and the
Secretary of Energy, as well as by consultation with FERC expert staff.
In these final actions, the EPA has included various flexibilities that
allow power companies and grid operators to plan for achieving feasible
and necessary reductions of GHGs from affected sources consistent with
the EPA's statutory charge while ensuring that the rule will not
interfere with systems operators' ability to ensure grid reliability.
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\11\ Joint Memorandum of Understanding on Interagency
Communication and Consultation on Electric Reliability (March 9,
2023). https://www.epa.gov/power-sector/electric-reliability-mou.
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A thorough description of how adjustments in the final rules
address reliability issues, the EPA's outreach to balancing
authorities, EPA's supplemental notice, as well as the introduction of
mechanisms to address short- and long-term reliability needs is
presented in section XII.F of this preamble.
E. Environmental Justice Considerations
Consistent with Executive Order (E.O.) 14096, and the EPA's
commitment to upholding environmental justice (EJ) across its policies
and programs, the EPA carefully considered the impacts of these actions
on communities with environmental justice concerns. As part of the
regulatory development process for these rulemakings, and consistent
with directives set forth in multiple Executive Orders, the EPA
conducted extensive outreach with interested parties including Tribal
nations and communities with environmental justice concerns. These
opportunities gave the EPA a chance to hear directly from the public,
including from communities potentially impacted by these final
[[Page 39804]]
actions. The EPA took this feedback into account in its development of
these final actions.\12\ The EPA's analysis of environmental justice in
these final actions is briefly summarized here and discussed in further
detail in sections XII.E and XIII.J of the preamble and section 6 of
the regulatory impact analysis (RIA).
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\12\ Specifically, the EPA has relied on, and is incorporating
as a basis for this rulemaking, analyses regarding possible adverse
environmental effects from CCS, including those highlighted by
commenters. Consideration of these effects is permissible under CAA
section 111(a)(1). Although the EPA also conducted analyses of
disproportionate impacts pursuant to E.O. 14096, see section XII.E,
the EPA did not consider or rely on these analyses as a basis for
these rules.
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Several environmental justice organizations and community
representatives raised significant concerns about the potential health,
environmental, and safety impacts of CCS. The EPA takes these concerns
seriously, agrees that any impacts to historically disadvantaged and
overburdened communities are important to consider, and has carefully
considered these concerns as it finalized its determinations of the
BSERs for these rules. The Agency acknowledges that while these final
actions will result in large reductions of both GHGs and other
emissions that will have significant positive benefits, there is the
potential for localized increases in emissions, particularly if units
installing CCS operate for more hours during the year and/or for more
years than they would have otherwise. However, as discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.iii(B), a robust regulatory framework exists to reduce the
risks of localized emissions increases in a manner that is protective
of public health, safety, and the environment. The Council on
Environmental Quality's (CEQ) February 2022 Carbon Capture,
Utilization, and Sequestration Guidance and the EPA's evaluation of
BSER recognize that multiple Federal agencies have responsibility for
regulating and permitting CCS projects, along with state and tribal
governments. As the CEQ has noted, Federal agencies have ``taken
actions in the past decade to develop a robust carbon capture,
utilization, and sequestration/storage (CCUS) regulatory framework to
protect the environment and public health across multiple statutes.''
\13\ \14\ Furthermore, the EPA plans to review and update as needed its
guidance on NSR permitting, specifically with respect to BACT
determinations for GHG emissions and consideration of co-pollutant
increases from sources installing CCS. For the reasons explained in
section VII.C, the EPA is finalizing the determination that CCS is the
BSER for certain subcategories of new and existing EGUs based on its
consideration of all of the statutory criteria for BSER, including
emission reductions, cost, energy requirements, and non-air health and
environmental considerations. At the same time, the EPA recognizes the
critical importance of ensuring that the regulatory framework performs
as intended to protect communities.
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\13\ 87 FR 8808, 8809 (February 16, 2022).
\14\ This framework includes, among other things, the EPA
regulation of geologic sequestration wells under the Underground
Injection Control (UIC) program of the Safe Drinking Water Act;
required reporting and public disclosure of geologic sequestration
activity, as well as implementation of rigorous monitoring,
reporting, and verification of geologic sequestration under the
EPA's Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP); and safety
regulations for CO2 pipelines administered by the
Pipeline and Hazardous Materials and Safety Administration (PHMSA).
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These actions are focused on establishing NSPS and emission
guidelines for GHGs that states will implement to significantly reduce
GHGs and move us a step closer to avoiding the worst impacts of climate
change, which is already having a disproportionate impact on
communities with environmental justice concerns. The EPA analyzed
several illustrative scenarios representing potential compliance
outcomes and evaluated the potential impacts that these actions may
have on emissions of GHG and other health-harming air pollutants from
fossil fuel-fired EGUs, as well as how these changes in emissions might
affect air quality and public health, particularly for communities with
EJ concerns.
The EPA's national-level analysis of emission reduction and public
health impacts, which is documented in section 6 of the RIA and
summarized in greater detail in section XII.A and XII.D of this
preamble, finds that these actions achieve nationwide reductions in EGU
emissions of multiple health-harming air pollutants including nitrogen
oxides (NOX), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and fine
particulate matter (PM2.5), resulting in public health
benefits. The EPA also evaluated how the air quality impacts associated
with these final actions are distributed, with particular focus on
communities with EJ concerns. As discussed in the RIA, our analysis
indicates that baseline ozone and PM2.5 concentration will
decline substantially relative to today's levels. Relative to these low
baseline levels, ozone and PM2.5 concentrations will
decrease further in virtually all areas of the country, although some
areas of the country may experience slower or faster rates of decline
in ozone and PM2.5 pollution over time due to the changes in
generation and utilization resulting from these rules. Additionally,
our comparison of future air quality conditions with and without these
rules suggests that while these actions are anticipated to lead to
modest but widespread reductions in ambient levels of PM2.5
and ozone for a large majority of the nation's population, there is
potential for some geographic areas and demographic groups to
experience small increases in ozone concentrations relative to the
baseline levels which are projected to be substantially lower than
today's levels.
It is important to recognize that while these projections of
emissions changes and resulting air quality changes under various
illustrative compliance scenarios are based upon the best information
available to the EPA at this time, with regard to existing sources,
each state will ultimately be responsible for determining the future
operation of fossil fuel-fired steam generating units located within
its jurisdiction. The EPA expects that, in making these determinations,
states will consider a number of factors and weigh input from the wide
range of potentially affected stakeholders. The meaningful engagement
requirements discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this preamble will
ensure that all interested stakeholders--including community members
adversely impacted by pollution, energy workers affected by
construction and/or other changes in operation at fossil-fuel-fired
power plants, consumers and other interested parties--will have an
opportunity to have their concerns heard as states make decisions
balancing a multitude of factors including appropriate standards of
performance, compliance strategies, and compliance flexibilities for
existing EGUs, as well as public health and environmental
considerations. The EPA believes that these provisions, together with
the protections referenced above, can reduce the risks of localized
emissions increases in a manner that is protective of public health,
safety, and the environment.
F. Energy Workers and Communities
These final actions include requirements for meaningful engagement
in development of state plans, including with energy workers and
communities. These communities, including energy workers employed at
affected EGUs, workers who may construct and install pollution control
technology, workers employed by fuel extraction and delivery,
organizations
[[Page 39805]]
representing these workers, and communities living near affected EGUs,
are impacted by power sector trends on an ongoing basis and by these
final actions, and the EPA expects that states will include these
stakeholders as part of their constructive engagement under the
requirements in this rule.
The EPA consulted with the Federal Interagency Working Group on
Coal and Power Plant Communities and Economic Revitalization (Energy
Communities IWG) in development of these rules and the meaningful
engagement requirements. The EPA notes that the Energy Communities IWG
has provided resources to help energy communities access the expanded
federal resources made available by the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law,
CHIPS and Science Act, and Inflation Reduction Act, many of which are
relevant to the development of state plans.
G. Key Changes From Proposal
The key changes from proposal in these final actions are: (1) the
reduction in number of subcategories for existing coal-fired steam
generating units, (2) the extension of the compliance date for existing
coal-fired steam generating units to meet a standard of performance
based on implementation of CCS, (3) the removal of low-GHG hydrogen co-
firing as a BSER pathway, and (4) the addition of two reliability-
related instruments. In addition, (5), the EPA is not finalizing
proposed requirements for existing fossil fuel-fired stationary
combustion turbines at this time.
The reduction in number of subcategories for existing coal-fired
steam generating units: The EPA proposed four subcategories for
existing coal-fired steam generating units, which would have
distinguished these units by operating horizon and by load level. These
included subcategories for existing coal-fired EGUs planning to cease
operations in the imminent-term (i.e., prior to January 1, 2032) and
those planning to cease operations in the near-term (i.e., prior to
January 1, 2035). While commenters were generally supportive of the
proposed subcategorization approach, some requested that the cease-
operation-by date for the imminent-term subcategory be extended and the
utilization limit for the near-term subcategory be relaxed. The EPA is
not finalizing the imminent-term and near-term subcategories of coal-
fired steam generating units. Rather, the EPA is finalizing an
applicability exemption for coal-fired steam generating units
demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operation before
January 1, 2032. See section VII.B of this preamble for further
discussion.
The extension of the compliance date for existing coal-fired steam
generating units to meet a standard of performance based on
implementation of CCS. The EPA proposed a compliance date for
implementation of CCS for long-term coal-fired steam generating units
of January 1, 2030. The EPA received comments asserting that this
deadline did not provide adequate lead time. In consideration of those
comments, and the record as a whole, the EPA is finalizing a CCS
compliance date of January 1, 2032 for these sources.
The removal of low-GHG hydrogen co-firing as a BSER pathway and
only use of low-GHG hydrogen as a compliance option: The EPA is not
finalizing its proposed BSER pathway of low-GHG hydrogen co-firing for
new and reconstructed base load and intermediate load combustion
turbines in accordance with CAA section 111(a)(1). The EPA is also not
finalizing its proposed requirement that only low-GHG hydrogen may be
co-fired in a combustion turbine for the purpose of compliance with the
standards of performance. These decisions are based on uncertainties
identified for specific criteria used to evaluate low-GHG hydrogen co-
firing as a potential BSER, and after further analysis in response to
public comments, the EPA has determined that these uncertainties
prevent the EPA from concluding that low-GHG hydrogen co-firing is a
component of the ``best'' system of emission reduction at this time.
Under CAA section 111, the EPA establishes standards of performance but
does not mandate use of any particular technology to meet those
standards. Therefore, certain sources may elect to co-fire hydrogen for
compliance with the final standards of performance, even absent the
technology being a BSER pathway.\15\ See section VIII.F.5 of this
preamble for further discussion.
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\15\ The EPA is not placing qualifications on the type of
hydrogen a source may elect to co-fire at this time (see section
VIII.F.6.a of this preamble for further discussion). The Agency
continues to recognize that even though the combustion of hydrogen
is zero-GHG emitting, its production can entail a range of GHG
emissions, from low to high, depending on the production method.
Thus, even though the EPA is not finalizing the low-GHG hydrogen co-
firing as a BSER, as proposed, it maintains that the overall GHG
profile of a particular method of hydrogen production should be a
primary consideration for any source that decides to co-fire
hydrogen to ensure that overall GHG reductions and important climate
benefits are achieved. The EPA also notes the anticipated final rule
from the U.S. Department of the Treasury pertaining to clean
hydrogen production tax and energy credits, which in its proposed
form contains certain eligibility parameters, as well as programs
administered by the U.S. Department of Energy, such as the recent
H2Hubs selections.
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The addition of two reliability-related instruments: Commenters
expressed concerns that these rules, in combination with other factors,
may affect the reliability of the bulk power system. In response to
these comments the EPA engaged extensively with balancing authorities,
power companies, reliability experts, and regulatory authorities
responsible for reliability to inform its decisions in these final
rules. As described later in this preamble, the EPA has made
adjustments in these final rules that will support power companies,
grid operators, and states in maintaining the reliability of the
electric grid during the implementation of these final rules. In
addition, the EPA has undertaken an analysis of the reliability and
resource adequacy implications of these final rules that supports the
Agency's conclusion that these final rules can be implemented without
adverse consequences for grid reliability. Further, the EPA is
finalizing two reliability-related instruments as an additional layer
of safeguards for reliability. These instruments include a reliability
mechanism for short-term emergency issues, and a reliability assurance
mechanism, or compliance flexibility, for units that have chosen
compliance pathways with enforceable retirement dates, provided there
is a documented and verified reliability concern. In addition, the EPA
is finalizing compliance extensions for unanticipated delays with
control technology implementation. Specifically, as described in
greater detail in section XII.F of this preamble, the EPA is finalizing
the following features and changes from the proposal that will provide
even greater certainty that these final rules are sensitive to
reliability-related issues and constructed in a manner that does not
interfere with grid operators' responsibility to deliver reliable
power:
(1) longer compliance timelines for existing coal-fired steam
generating units;
(2) a mechanism to extend compliance timelines by up to 1 year in
the case of unforeseen circumstances, outside of an owner/operator's
control, that delay the ability to apply controls (e.g., supply chain
challenges or permitting delays);
(3) transparent unit-specific compliance information for EGUs that
will allow grid operators to plan for system changes with greater
certainty and precision;
(4) a short-term reliability mechanism to allow affected EGUs to
operate at
[[Page 39806]]
baseline emission rates during documented reliability emergencies; and
(5) a reliability assurance mechanism to allow states to delay
cease operation dates by up to 1 year in cases where the planned cease
operation date is forecast to disrupt system reliability.
Not finalizing proposed requirements for existing fossil fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines at this time: The EPA proposed emission
guidelines for large (i.e., greater than 300 MW), frequently operated
(i.e., with an annual capacity factor of greater than 50 percent),
existing fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion turbines. The EPA
received a wide range of comments on the proposed guidelines. Multiple
commenters suggested that the proposed provisions would largely result
in shifting of generation away from the most efficient natural gas-
fired turbines to less efficient natural gas-fired turbines. Commenters
stated that, as emissions from coal-fired steam generating units
decreased, existing natural gas-fired EGUs were poised to become the
largest source of GHG emissions in the power sector. Commenters noted
that these units play an important role in grid reliability,
particularly as aging coal-fired EGUs retire. Commenters further noted
that the existing fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion turbines that
were not covered by the proposal (i.e., the smaller and less frequently
operating units) are often less efficient, less well controlled for
other pollutants such as NOX, and are more likely to be
located near population centers and communities with environmental
justice concerns.
The EPA agrees with commenters who observed that GHG emissions from
existing natural gas-fired stationary combustion turbines are a growing
portion of the emissions from the power sector. This is consistent with
EPA modeling that shows that by 2030 these units will represent the
largest portion of GHG emissions from the power sector. The EPA agrees
that it is vital to promulgate emission guidelines to address GHG
emissions from these sources, and that the EPA has a responsibility to
do so under section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act. The EPA also agrees
with commenters who noted that focusing only on the largest and most
frequently operating units, without also addressing emissions from
other units, as the May 2023 proposed rule provided, may not be the
most effective way to address emissions from this sector. The EPA's
modeling shows that over time as the power sector comes closer to
reaching the phase-out threshold of the clean electricity incentives in
the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) (i.e., a 75 percent reduction in
emissions from the power sector from 2022 levels), the average capacity
factor for existing natural gas-fired stationary combustion turbines
decreases. Therefore, the EPA's proposal to focus only on the largest
units with the highest capacity factors may not be the most effective
policy design for reducing GHG emissions from these sources.
Recognizing the importance of reducing emissions from all fossil
fuel-fired EGUs, the EPA is not finalizing the proposed emission
guidelines for certain existing fossil fuel-fired stationary combustion
turbines at this time. Instead, the EPA intends to issue a new, more
comprehensive proposal to regulate GHGs from existing sources. The new
proposal will focus on achieving greater emission reductions from
existing stationary combustion turbines--which will soon be the largest
stationary sources of GHG emissions--while taking into account other
factors including the local non-GHG impacts of gas turbine generation
and the need for reliable, affordable electricity.
II. General Information
A. Action Applicability
The source category that is the subject of these actions is
composed of fossil fuel-fired electric utility generating units. The
North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes for the
source category are 221112 and 921150. The list of categories and NAICS
codes is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather provides a guide for
readers regarding the entities that these final actions are likely to
affect.
Final amendments to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, are directly
applicable to affected facilities that began construction after January
8, 2014, but before May 23, 2023, and affected facilities that began
reconstruction or modification after June 18, 2014, but before May 23,
2023. The NSPS codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, is directly
applicable to affected facilities that begin construction,
reconstruction, or modification on or after May 23, 2023. Federal,
state, local, and tribal government entities that own and/or operate
EGUs subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT or TTTTa, are affected by
these amendments and standards.
The emission guidelines codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart UUUUb,
are for states to follow in developing, submitting, and implementing
state plans to establish performance standards to reduce emissions of
GHGs from designated facilities that are existing sources. Section
111(a)(6) of the CAA defines an ``existing source'' as ``any stationary
source other than a new source.'' Therefore, the emission guidelines
would not apply to any EGUs that are new after January 8, 2014, or
reconstructed after June 18, 2014, the applicability dates of 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT. Under the Tribal Authority Rule (TAR), eligible
tribes may seek approval to implement a plan under CAA section 111(d)
in a manner similar to a state. See 40 CFR part 49, subpart A. Tribes
may, but are not required to, seek approval for treatment in a manner
similar to a state for purposes of developing a tribal implementation
plan (TIP) implementing the emission guidelines codified in 40 CFR part
60, subpart UUUUb. The TAR authorizes tribes to develop and implement
their own air quality programs, or portions thereof, under the CAA.
However, it does not require tribes to develop a CAA program. Tribes
may implement programs that are most relevant to their air quality
needs. If a tribe does not seek and obtain the authority from the EPA
to establish a TIP, the EPA has the authority to establish a Federal
CAA section 111(d) plan for designated facilities that are located in
areas of Indian country.\16\ A Federal plan would apply to all
designated facilities located in the areas of Indian country covered by
the Federal plan unless and until the EPA approves a TIP applicable to
those facilities.
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\16\ See the EPA's website, https://www.epa.gov/tribal/tribes-approved-treatment-state-tas, for information on those tribes that
have treatment as a state for specific environmental regulatory
programs, administrative functions, and grant programs.
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B. Where To Get a Copy of This Document and Other Related Information
In addition to being available in the docket, an electronic copy of
these final rulemakings is available on the internet at https://www.epa.gov/stationary-sources-air-pollution/greenhouse-gas-standards-and-guidelines-fossil-fuel-fired-power. Following signature by the EPA
Administrator, the EPA will post a copy of these final rulemakings at
this same website. Following publication in the Federal Register, the
EPA will post the Federal Register version of the final rules and key
technical documents at this same website.
C. Judicial Review and Administrative Review
Under CAA section 307(b)(1), judicial review of these final actions
is available only by filing a petition for review in
[[Page 39807]]
the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit
by July 8, 2024. These final actions are ``standard[s] of performance
or requirement[s] under section 111,'' and, in addition, are
``nationally applicable regulations promulgated, or final action taken,
by the Administrator under [the CAA],'' CAA section 307(b)(1). Under
CAA section 307(b)(2), the requirements established by this final rule
may not be challenged separately in any civil or criminal proceedings
brought by the EPA to enforce the requirements.
Section 307(d)(7)(B) of the CAA further provides that ``[o]nly an
objection to a rule or procedure which was raised with reasonable
specificity during the period for public comment (including any public
hearing) may be raised during judicial review.'' This section also
provides a mechanism for the EPA to convene a proceeding for
reconsideration, ``[i]f the person raising an objection can demonstrate
to the EPA that it was impracticable to raise such objection within
[the period for public comment] or if the grounds for such objection
arose after the period for public comment, (but within the time
specified for judicial review) and if such objection is of central
relevance to the outcome of the rule.'' Any person seeking to make such
a demonstration to us should submit a Petition for Reconsideration to
the Office of the Administrator, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Room 3000, WJC West Building, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave. NW, Washington, DC
20460, with a copy to both the person(s) listed in the preceding FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section, and the Associate General Counsel
for the Air and Radiation Law Office, Office of General Counsel (Mail
Code 2344A), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1200 Pennsylvania
Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20460.
III. Climate Change Impacts
Elevated concentrations of GHGs have been warming the planet,
leading to changes in the Earth's climate that are occurring at a pace
and in a way that threatens human health, society, and the natural
environment. While the EPA is not making any new scientific or factual
findings with regard to the well-documented impact of GHG emissions on
public health and welfare in support of these rules, the EPA is
providing in this section a brief scientific background on climate
change to offer additional context for these rulemakings and to help
the public understand the environmental impacts of GHGs.
Extensive information on climate change is available in the
scientific assessments and the EPA documents that are briefly described
in this section, as well as in the technical and scientific information
supporting them. One of those documents is the EPA's 2009
``Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases
Under Section 202(a) of the CAA'' (74 FR 66496, December 15, 2009)
(``2009 Endangerment Finding''). In the 2009 Endangerment Finding, the
Administrator found under section 202(a) of the CAA that elevated
atmospheric concentrations of six key well-mixed GHGs--CO2,
methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), HFCs,
perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6)--
``may reasonably be anticipated to endanger the public health and
welfare of current and future generations'' (74 FR 66523, December 15,
2009). The 2009 Endangerment Finding, together with the extensive
scientific and technical evidence in the supporting record, documented
that climate change caused by human emissions of GHGs threatens the
public health of the U.S. population. It explained that by raising
average temperatures, climate change increases the likelihood of heat
waves, which are associated with increased deaths and illnesses (74 FR
66497, December 15, 2009). While climate change also increases the
likelihood of reductions in cold-related mortality, evidence indicates
that the increases in heat mortality will be larger than the decreases
in cold mortality in the U.S. (74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). The
2009 Endangerment Finding further explained that compared with a future
without climate change, climate change is expected to increase
tropospheric ozone pollution over broad areas of the U.S., including in
the largest metropolitan areas with the worst tropospheric ozone
problems, and thereby increase the risk of adverse effects on public
health (74 FR 66525, December 15, 2009). Climate change is also
expected to cause more intense hurricanes and more frequent and intense
storms of other types and heavy precipitation, with impacts on other
areas of public health, such as the potential for increased deaths,
injuries, infectious and waterborne diseases, and stress-related
disorders (74 FR 66525 December 15, 2009). Children, the elderly, and
the poor are among the most vulnerable to these climate-related health
effects (74 FR 66498, December 15, 2009).
The 2009 Endangerment Finding also documented, together with the
extensive scientific and technical evidence in the supporting record,
that climate change touches nearly every aspect of public welfare \17\
in the U.S., including the following: changes in water supply and
quality due to changes in drought and extreme rainfall events;
increased risk of storm surge and flooding in coastal areas and land
loss due to inundation; increases in peak electricity demand and risks
to electricity infrastructure; and the potential for significant
agricultural disruptions and crop failures (though offset to some
extent by carbon fertilization). These impacts are also global and may
exacerbate problems outside the U.S. that raise humanitarian, trade,
and national security issues for the U.S. (74 FR 66530, December 15,
2009).
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\17\ The CAA states in section 302(h) that ``[a]ll language
referring to effects on welfare includes, but is not limited to,
effects on soils, water, crops, vegetation, manmade materials,
animals, wildlife, weather, visibility, and climate, damage to and
deterioration of property, and hazards to transportation, as well as
effects on economic values and on personal comfort and well-being,
whether caused by transformation, conversion, or combination with
other air pollutants.'' 42 U.S.C. 7602(h).
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In 2016, the Administrator issued a similar finding for GHG
emissions from aircraft under section 231(a)(2)(A) of the CAA.\18\ In
the 2016 Endangerment Finding, the Administrator found that the body of
scientific evidence amassed in the record for the 2009 Endangerment
Finding compellingly supported a similar endangerment finding under CAA
section 231(a)(2)(A) and also found that the science assessments
released between the 2009 and 2016 Findings ``strengthen and further
support the judgment that GHGs in the atmosphere may reasonably be
anticipated to endanger the public health and welfare of current and
future generations'' (81 FR 54424, August 15, 2016).
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\18\ Finding That Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Aircraft Cause
or Contribute to Air Pollution That May Reasonably Be Anticipated To
Endanger Public Health and Welfare. 81 FR 54422, August 15, 2016
(``2016 Endangerment Finding'').
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Since the 2016 Endangerment Finding, the climate has continued to
change, with new observational records being set for several climate
indicators such as global average surface temperatures, GHG
concentrations, and sea level rise. Additionally, major scientific
assessments continue to be released that further advance our
understanding of the climate system and the impacts that GHGs have on
public health and welfare for both current and future generations.
These updated observations and projections document the rapid rate of
current and future
[[Page 39808]]
climate change both globally and in the
U.S.19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
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\19\ USGCRP, 2017: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth
National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey,
K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)].
U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470 pp,
doi: 10.7930/J0J964J6.
\20\ USGCRP, 2016: The Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health
in the United States: A Scientific Assessment. Crimmins, A., J.
Balbus, J.L. Gamble, C.B. Beard, J.E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R.J. Eisen,
N. Fann, M.D. Hawkins, S.C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, D.M. Mills, S.
Saha, M.C.
\21\ USGCRP, 2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United
States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller,
D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K.
Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, 1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.
\22\ IPCC, 2018: Global Warming of 1.5 [deg]C. An IPCC Special
Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 [deg]C above pre-
industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission
pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the
threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to
eradicate poverty [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, H.-O. P[ouml]rtner,
D. Roberts, J. Skea, P.R. Shukla, A. Pirani, W. Moufouma-Okia, C.
P[eacute]an, R. Pidcock, S. Connors, J.B.R. Matthews, Y. Chen, X.
Zhou, M.I. Gomis, E. Lonnoy, T. Maycock, M. Tignor, and T.
Waterfield (eds.)].
\23\ IPCC, 2019: Climate Change and Land: an IPCC special report
on climate change, desertification, land degradation, sustainable
land management, food security, and greenhouse gas fluxes in
terrestrial ecosystems [P.R. Shukla, J. Skea, E. Calvo Buendia, V.
Masson-Delmotte, H.-O. P[ouml]rtner, D.C. Roberts, P. Zhai, R.
Slade, S. Connors, R. van Diemen, M. Ferrat, E. Haughey, S. Luz, S.
Neogi, M. Pathak, J. Petzold, J. Portugal Pereira, P. Vyas, E.
Huntley, K. Kissick, M. Belkacemi, J. Malley, (eds.)].
\24\ IPCC, 2019: IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere
in a Changing Climate [H.-O. P[ouml]rtner, D.C. Roberts, V. Masson-
Delmotte, P. Zhai, M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A.
Alegri[iacute]a, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama, N.M.
Weyer (eds.)].
\25\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
2016. Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of
Climate Change. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
https://dio.org/10.17226/21852.
\26\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
2017. Valuing Climate Damages: Updating Estimation of the Social
Cost of Carbon Dioxide. Washington, DC: The National Academies
Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/24651.
\27\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
2019. Climate Change and Ecosystems. Washington, DC: The National
Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25504.
\28\ Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds., 2022: ``State of the
Climate in 2021.'' Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103 (8), Si-S465,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.
\29\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. 2021. Climate Change
and Social Vulnerability in the United States: A Focus on Six
Impacts. EPA 430-R-21-003.
\30\ Jay, A.K., A.R. Crimmins, C.W. Avery, T.A. Dahl, R.S.
Dodder, B.D. Hamlington, A. Lustig, K. Marvel, P.A. M[eacute]ndez-
Lazaro, M.S. Osler, A. Terando, E.S. Weeks, and A. Zycherman, 2023:
Ch. 1. Overview: Understanding risks, impacts, and responses. In:
Fifth National Climate Assessment. Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R.
Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S.
Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA. https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH1.
\31\ IPCC, 2023: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III
to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)].
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The most recent information demonstrates that the climate is
continuing to change in response to the human-induced buildup of GHGs
in the atmosphere. These recent assessments show that atmospheric
concentrations of GHGs have risen to a level that has no precedent in
human history and that they continue to climb, primarily because of
both historical and current anthropogenic emissions, and that these
elevated concentrations endanger our health by affecting our food and
water sources, the air we breathe, the weather we experience, and our
interactions with the natural and built environments. For example,
atmospheric concentrations of one of these GHGs, CO2,
measured at Mauna Loa in Hawaii and at other sites around the world
reached 419 parts per million (ppm) in 2022 (nearly 50 percent higher
than preindustrial levels) \32\ and have continued to rise at a rapid
rate. Global average temperature has increased by about 1.1 [deg]C (2.0
[deg]F) in the 2011-2020 decade relative to 1850-1900.\33\ The years
2015-2021 were the warmest 7 years in the 1880-2021 record,
contributing to the warmest decade on record with a decadal temperature
of 0.82 [deg]C (1.48 [deg]F) above the 20th century.\34\ \35\ The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) determined (with
medium confidence) that this past decade was warmer than any multi-
century period in at least the past 100,000 years.\36\ Global average
sea level has risen by about 8 inches (about 21 centimeters (cm)) from
1901 to 2018, with the rate from 2006 to 2018 (0.15 inches/year or 3.7
millimeters (mm)/year) almost twice the rate over the 1971 to 2006
period, and three times the rate of the 1901 to 2018 period.\37\ The
rate of sea level rise over the 20th century was higher than in any
other century in at least the last 2,800 years.\38\ Higher
CO2 concentrations have led to acidification of the surface
ocean in recent decades to an extent unusual in the past 65 million
years, with negative impacts on marine organisms that use calcium
carbonate to build shells or skeletons.\39\ Arctic sea ice extent
continues to decline in all months of the year; the most rapid
reductions occur in September (very likely almost a 13 percent decrease
per decade between 1979 and 2018) and are unprecedented in at least
1,000 years.\40\ Human-induced climate change has led to heatwaves and
heavy precipitation becoming more frequent and more intense, along with
increases in agricultural and ecological droughts \41\ in many
regions.\42\
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\32\ https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt.
\33\ IPCC, 2021: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to
the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L.
Connors, C. P[eacute]an, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb,
M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K.
Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelek[ccedil]i, R. Yu, and B. Zhou
(eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and
New York, NY, USA, pp. 3-32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
\34\ NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, State
of the Climate 2021 retrieved on August 3, 2023, from https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/bams-state-of-climate.
\35\ Blunden, J. and T. Boyer, Eds., 2022: ``State of the
Climate in 2021.'' Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103 (8), Si-S465,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate1.
\36\ IPCC, 2021.
\37\ IPCC, 2021.
\38\ USGCRP, 2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United
States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller,
D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K.
Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, 1515 pp. doi:10.7930/NCA4.2018.
\39\ IPCC, 2018.
\40\ IPCC, 2021.
\41\ These are drought measures based on soil moisture.
\42\ IPCC, 2021.
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The assessment literature demonstrates that modest additional
amounts of warming may lead to a climate different from anything humans
have ever experienced. The 2022 CO2 concentration of 419 ppm
is already higher than at any time in the last 2 million years.\43\ If
concentrations exceed 450 ppm, they would likely be higher than any
time in the past 23 million years: \44\ at the current rate of increase
of more than 2 ppm per year, this would occur in about 15 years. While
GHGs are not the only factor that controls climate, it is illustrative
that 3 million years ago (the last time CO2 concentrations
were above 400 ppm) Greenland was not yet completely covered by ice and
still supported forests, while 23 million years ago (the last time
concentrations were above 450 ppm) the West Antarctic ice sheet was not
yet developed, indicating the possibility that high GHG concentrations
could lead to a world that looks very different from today and from the
conditions in which human civilization has developed. If the Greenland
and Antarctic ice sheets were
[[Page 39809]]
to melt substantially, sea levels would rise dramatically.
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\43\ Annual Mauna Loa CO2 concentration data from
https://gml.noaa.gov/webdata/ccgg/trends/co2/co2_annmean_mlo.txt,
accessed September 9, 2023.
\44\ IPCC, 2013.
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The NCA4 found that it is very likely (greater than 90 percent
likelihood) that by mid-century, the Arctic Ocean will be almost
entirely free of sea ice by late summer for the first time in about 2
million years.\45\ Coral reefs will be at risk for almost complete (99
percent) losses with 1 [deg]C (1.8 [deg]F) of additional warming from
today (2 [deg]C or 3.6 [deg]F since preindustrial). At this
temperature, between 8 and 18 percent of animal, plant, and insect
species could lose over half of the geographic area with suitable
climate for their survival, and 7 to 10 percent of rangeland livestock
would be projected to be lost.\46\ The IPCC similarly found that
climate change has caused substantial damages and increasingly
irreversible losses in terrestrial, freshwater, and coastal and open
ocean marine ecosystems.
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\45\ USGCRP, 2018.
\46\ IPCC, 2018.
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Every additional increment of temperature comes with consequences.
For example, the half degree of warming from 1.5 to 2 [deg]C (0.9
[deg]F of warming from 2.7 [deg]F to 3.6 [deg]F) above preindustrial
temperatures is projected on a global scale to expose 420 million more
people to frequent extreme heatwaves at least every five years, and 62
million more people to frequent exceptional heatwaves at least every
five years (where heatwaves are defined based on a heat wave magnitude
index which takes into account duration and intensity--using this
index, the 2003 French heat wave that led to almost 15,000 deaths would
be classified as an ``extreme heatwave'' and the 2010 Russian heatwave
which led to thousands of deaths and extensive wildfires would be
classified as ``exceptional''). It would increase the frequency of sea-
ice-free Arctic summers from once in 100 years to once in a decade. It
could lead to 4 inches of additional sea level rise by the end of the
century, exposing an additional 10 million people to risks of
inundation as well as increasing the probability of triggering
instabilities in either the Greenland or Antarctic ice sheets. Between
half a million and a million additional square miles of permafrost
would thaw over several centuries. Risks to food security would
increase from medium to high for several lower-income regions in the
Sahel, southern Africa, the Mediterranean, central Europe, and the
Amazon. In addition to food security issues, this temperature increase
would have implications for human health in terms of increasing ozone
concentrations, heatwaves, and vector-borne diseases (for example,
expanding the range of the mosquitoes which carry dengue fever,
chikungunya, yellow fever, and the Zika virus or the ticks which carry
Lyme, babesiosis, or Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever).\47\ Moreover, every
additional increment in warming leads to larger changes in extremes,
including the potential for events unprecedented in the observational
record. Every additional degree will intensify extreme precipitation
events by about 7 percent. The peak winds of the most intense tropical
cyclones (hurricanes) are projected to increase with warming. In
addition to a higher intensity, the IPCC found that precipitation and
frequency of rapid intensification of these storms has already
increased, the movement speed has decreased, and elevated sea levels
have increased coastal flooding, all of which make these tropical
cyclones more damaging.\48\
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\47\ IPCC, 2018.
\48\ IPCC, 2021.
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The NCA4 also evaluated a number of impacts specific to the U.S.
Severe drought and outbreaks of insects like the mountain pine beetle
have killed hundreds of millions of trees in the western U.S. Wildfires
have burned more than 3.7 million acres in 14 of the 17 years between
2000 and 2016, and Federal wildfire suppression costs were about a
billion dollars annually.\49\ The National Interagency Fire Center has
documented U.S. wildfires since 1983, and the 10 years with the largest
acreage burned have all occurred since 2004.\50\ Wildfire smoke
degrades air quality, increasing health risks, and more frequent and
severe wildfires due to climate change would further diminish air
quality, increase incidences of respiratory illness, impair visibility,
and disrupt outdoor activities, sometimes thousands of miles from the
location of the fire. Meanwhile, sea level rise has amplified coastal
flooding and erosion impacts, requiring the installation of costly pump
stations, flooding streets, and increasing storm surge damages. Tens of
billions of dollars of U.S. real estate could be below sea level by
2050 under some scenarios. Increased frequency and duration of drought
will reduce agricultural productivity in some regions, accelerate
depletion of water supplies for irrigation, and expand the distribution
and incidence of pests and diseases for crops and livestock. The NCA4
also recognized that climate change can increase risks to national
security, both through direct impacts on military infrastructure and by
affecting factors such as food and water availability that can
exacerbate conflict outside U.S. borders. Droughts, floods, storm
surges, wildfires, and other extreme events stress nations and people
through loss of life, displacement of populations, and impacts on
livelihoods.\51\ The NCA5 further reinforces the science showing that
climate change will have many impacts on the U.S., as described above
in the preamble. Particularly relevant for these rules, the NCA5 states
that climate change affects all aspects of the energy system-supply,
delivery, and demand-through the increased frequency, intensity, and
duration of extreme events and through changing climate trends.'' \52\
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\49\ USGCRP, 2018.
\50\ NIFC (National Interagency Fire Center). 2021. Total
wildland fires and acres (1983-2020). Accessed August 2021. https://www.nifc.gov/fireInfo/fireInfo_stats_totalFires.html.
\51\ USGCRP, 2018.
\52\ Jay, A.K., A.R. Crimmins, C.W. Avery, T.A. Dahl, R.S.
Dodder, B.D. Hamlington, A. Lustig, K. Marvel, P.A. M[eacute]ndez-
Lazaro, M.S. Osler, A. Terando, E.S. Weeks, and A. Zycherman, 2023:
Ch. 1. Overview: Understanding risks, impacts, and responses. In:
Fifth National Climate Assessment. Crimmins, A.R., C.W. Avery, D.R.
Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock, Eds. U.S.
Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA. https://doi.org/10.7930/NCA5.2023.CH1.
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EPA modeling efforts can further illustrate how these impacts from
climate change may be experienced across the U.S. EPA's Framework for
Evaluating Damages and Impacts (FrEDI) \53\ uses information from over
30 peer-reviewed climate change impact studies to project the physical
and economic impacts of climate change to the U.S. resulting from
future temperature changes. These impacts are projected for specific
regions within the U.S. and for more than 20 impact categories, which
span a large number of sectors of the U.S. economy.\54\ Using
[[Page 39810]]
this framework, the EPA estimates that global emission projections,
with no additional mitigation, will result in significant climate-
related damages to the U.S.\55\ These damages to the U.S. would mainly
be from increases in lives lost due to increases in temperatures, as
well as impacts to human health from increases in climate-driven
changes in air quality, dust and wildfire smoke exposure, and incidence
of suicide. Additional major climate-related damages would occur to
U.S. infrastructure such as roads and rail, as well as transportation
impacts and coastal flooding from sea level rise, increases in property
damage from tropical cyclones, and reductions in labor hours worked in
outdoor settings and buildings without air conditioning. These impacts
are also projected to vary from region to region with the Southeast,
for example, projected to see some of the largest damages from sea
level rise, the West Coast projected to experience damages from
wildfire smoke more than other parts of the country, and the Northern
Plains states projected to see a higher proportion of damages to rail
and road infrastructure. While information on the distribution of
climate impacts helps to better understand the ways in which climate
change may impact the U.S., recent analyses are still only a partial
assessment of climate impacts relevant to U.S. interests and in
addition do not reflect increased damages that occur due to
interactions between different sectors impacted by climate change or
all the ways in which physical impacts of climate change occurring
abroad have spillover effects in different regions of the U.S.
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\53\ (1) Hartin, C., et al. (2023). Advancing the estimation of
future climate impacts within the United States. Earth Syst. Dynam.,
14, 1015-1037, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-1015-2023. (2)
Supplementary Material for the Regulatory Impact Analysis for the
Final Rulemaking, Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed,
and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources:
Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review, ``Report on the Social
Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific
Advances,'' Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0317, November 2023, (3)
The Long-Term Strategy of the United States: Pathways to Net-Zero
Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050. Published by the U.S. Department
of State and the U.S. Executive Office of the President, Washington
DC. November 2021, (4) Climate Risk Exposure: An Assessment of the
Federal Government's Financial Risks to Climate Change, White Paper,
Office of Management and Budget, April 2022.
\54\ EPA (2021). Technical Documentation on the Framework for
Evaluating Damages and Impacts (FrEDI). U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, EPA 430-R-21-004, https://www.epa.gov/cira/fredi.
Documentation has been subject to both a public review comment
period and an independent expert peer review, following EPA peer-
review guidelines.
\55\ Compared to a world with no additional warming after the
model baseline (1986-2005).
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Some GHGs also have impacts beyond those mediated through climate
change. For example, elevated concentrations of CO2
stimulate plant growth (which can be positive in the case of beneficial
species, but negative in terms of weeds and invasive species, and can
also lead to a reduction in plant micronutrients \56\) and cause ocean
acidification. Nitrous oxide depletes the levels of protective
stratospheric ozone.\57\ Methane reacts to form tropospheric ozone.
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\56\ Ziska, L., A. Crimmins, A. Auclair, S. DeGrasse, J.F.
Garofalo, A.S. Khan, I. Loladze, A.A. P[eacute]rez de Le[oacute]n,
A. Showler, J. Thurston, and I. Walls, 2016: Ch. 7: Food Safety,
Nutrition, and Distribution. The Impacts of Climate Change on Human
Health in the United States: A Scientific Assessment. U.S. Global
Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 189-216. https://health2016.globalchange.gov/low/ClimateHealth2016_07_Food_small.pdf.
\57\ WMO (World Meteorological Organization), Scientific
Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2018, Global Ozone Research and
Monitoring Project--Report No. 58, 588 pp., Geneva, Switzerland,
2018.
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Section XII.E of this preamble discusses the impacts of GHG
emissions on individuals living in socially and economically vulnerable
communities. While the EPA did not conduct modeling to specifically
quantify changes in climate impacts resulting from these rules in terms
of avoided temperature change or sea-level rise, the Agency did
quantify climate benefits by monetizing the emission reductions through
the application of the social cost of greenhouse gases (SC-GHGs), as
described in section XII.D of this preamble.
These scientific assessments, the EPA analyses, and documented
observed changes in the climate of the planet and of the U.S. present
clear support regarding the current and future dangers of climate
change and the importance of GHG emissions mitigation.
IV. Recent Developments in Emissions Controls and the Electric Power
Sector
In this section, we discuss background information about the
electric power sector and controls available to limit GHG pollution
from the fossil fuel-fired power plants regulated by these final rules,
and then discuss several recent developments that are relevant for
determining the BSER for these sources. After giving some general
background, we first discuss CCS and explain that its costs have fallen
significantly. Lower costs are central for the EPA's determination that
CCS is the BSER for certain existing coal-fired steam generating units
and certain new natural gas-fired combustion turbines. Second, we
discuss natural gas co-firing for coal-fired steam generating units and
explain recent reductions in cost for this approach as well as its
widespread availability and current and potential deployment within
this subcategory. Third, we discuss highly efficient generation as a
BSER technology for new and reconstructed simple cycle and combined
cycle combustion turbine EGUs. The emission reductions achieved by
highly efficient turbines are well demonstrated in the power sector,
and along with operational and maintenance best practices, represent a
cost-effective technology that reduces fuel consumption. Finally, we
discuss key developments in the electric power sector that influence
which units can feasibly and cost-effectively deploy these
technologies.
A. Background
1. Electric Power Sector
Electricity in the U.S. is generated by a range of technologies,
and different EGUs play different roles in providing reliable and
affordable electricity. For example, certain EGUs generate base load
power, which is the portion of electricity loads that are continually
present and typically operate throughout all hours of the year.
Intermediate EGUs often provide complementary generation to balance
variable supply and demand resources. Low load ``peaking units''
provide capacity during hours of the highest daily, weekly, or seasonal
net demand, and while these resources have low levels of utilization on
an annual basis, they play important roles in providing generation to
meet short-term demand and often must be available to quickly increase
or decrease their output. Furthermore, many of these EGUs also play
important roles ensuring the reliability of the electric grid,
including facilitating the regulation of frequency and voltage,
providing ``black start'' capability in the event the grid must be
repowered after a widespread outage, and providing reserve generating
capacity \58\ in the event of unexpected changes in the availability of
other generators.
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\58\ Generation and capacity are commonly reported statistics
with key distinctions. Generation is the production of electricity
and is a measure of an EGU's actual output while capacity is a
measure of the maximum potential production of an EGU under certain
conditions. There are several methods to calculate an EGU's
capacity, which are suited for different applications of the
statistic. Capacity is typically measured in megawatts (MW) for
individual units or gigawatts (1 GW = 1,000 MW) for multiple EGUs.
Generation is often measured in kilowatt-hours (1 kWh = 1,000 watt-
hours), megawatt-hours (1 MWh = 1,000 kWh), gigawatt-hours (1 GWh =
1 million kWh), or terawatt-hours (1 TWh = 1 billion kWh).
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In general, the EGUs with the lowest operating costs are dispatched
first, and, as a result, an inefficient EGU with high fuel costs will
typically only operate if other lower-cost plants are unavailable or
are insufficient to meet demand. Units are also unavailable during both
routine and unanticipated outages, which typically become more frequent
as power plants age. These factors result in the mix of available
generating capacity types (e.g., the share of capacity of each type of
generating source) being substantially different than the mix of the
share of total electricity produced by each type of generating source
in a given season or year.
[[Page 39811]]
Generated electricity must be transmitted over networks \59\ of
high voltage lines to substations where power is stepped down to a
lower voltage for local distribution. Within each of these transmission
networks, there are multiple areas where the operation of power plants
is monitored and controlled by regional organizations to ensure that
electricity generation and load are kept in balance. In some areas, the
operation of the transmission system is under the control of a single
regional operator; \60\ in others, individual utilities \61\ coordinate
the operations of their generation and transmission to balance the
system across their respective service territories.
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\59\ The three network interconnections are the Western
Interconnection, comprising the western parts of the U.S. and
Canada, the Eastern Interconnection, comprising the eastern parts of
the U.S. and Canada except parts of Eastern Canada in the Quebec
Interconnection, and the Texas Interconnection, encompassing the
portion of the Texas electricity system commonly known as the
Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). See map of all NERC
interconnections at https://www.nerc.com/AboutNERC/keyplayers/PublishingImages/NERC%20Interconnections.pdf.
\60\ For example, PJM Interconnection, LLC, New York Independent
System Operator (NYISO), Midwest Independent System Operator (MISO),
California Independent System Operator (CAISO), etc.
\61\ For example, Los Angeles Department of Power and Water,
Florida Power and Light, etc.
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2. Types of EGUs
There are many types of EGUs including fossil fuel-fired power
plants (i.e., those using coal, oil, and natural gas), nuclear power
plants, renewable generating sources (such as wind and solar) and
others. This rule focuses on the fossil fuel-fired portion of the
generating fleet that is responsible for the vast majority of GHG
emissions from the power sector. The definition of fossil fuel-fired
electric utility steam generating units includes utility boilers as
well as those that use gasification technology (i.e., integrated
gasification combined cycle (IGCC) units). While coal is the most
common fuel for fossil fuel-fired utility boilers, natural gas can also
be used as a fuel in these EGUs and many existing coal- and oil-fired
utility boilers have refueled as natural gas-fired utility boilers. An
IGCC unit gasifies fuel--typically coal or petroleum coke--to form a
synthetic gas (or syngas) composed of carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen
(H2), which can be combusted in a combined cycle system to
generate power. The heat created by these technologies produces high-
pressure steam that is released to rotate turbines, which, in turn,
spin an electric generator.
Stationary combustion turbine EGUs (most commonly natural gas-
fired) use one of two configurations: combined cycle or simple cycle
turbines. Combined cycle units have two generating components (i.e.,
two cycles) operating from a single source of heat. Combined cycle
units first generate power from a combustion turbine (i.e., the
combustion cycle) directly from the heat of burning natural gas or
other fuel. The second cycle reuses the waste heat from the combustion
turbine engine, which is routed to a heat recovery steam generator
(HRSG) that generates steam, which is then used to produce additional
power using a steam turbine (i.e., the steam cycle). Combining these
generation cycles increases the overall efficiency of the system.
Combined cycle units that fire mostly natural gas are commonly referred
to as natural gas combined cycle (NGCC) units, and, with greater
efficiency, are utilized at higher capacity factors to provide base
load or intermediate load power. An EGU's capacity factor indicates a
power plant's electricity output as a percentage of its total
generation capacity. Simple cycle turbines only use a combustion
turbine to produce electricity (i.e., there is no heat recovery or
steam cycle). These less-efficient combustion turbines are generally
utilized at non-base load capacity factors and contribute to reliable
operations of the grid during periods of peak demand or provide
flexibility to support increased generation from variable energy
sources.\62\
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\62\ Non-dispatchable renewable energy (electrical output cannot
be used at any given time to meet fluctuating demand) is both
variable and intermittent and is often referred to as intermittent
renewable energy. The variability aspect results from predictable
changes in electric generation (e.g., solar not generating
electricity at night) that often occur on longer time periods. The
intermittent aspect of renewable energy results from inconsistent
generation due to unpredictable external factors outside the control
of the owner/operator (e.g., imperfect local weather forecasts) that
often occur on shorter time periods. Since renewable energy
fluctuates over multiple time periods, grid operators are required
to adjust forecast and real time operating procedures. As more
renewable energy is added to the electric grid and generation
forecasts improve, the intermittency of renewable energy is reduced.
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Other generating sources produce electricity by harnessing kinetic
energy from flowing water, wind, or tides, thermal energy from
geothermal wells, or solar energy primarily through photovoltaic solar
arrays. Spurred by a combination of declining costs, consumer
preferences, and government policies, the capacity of these renewable
technologies is growing, and when considered with existing nuclear
energy, accounted for 40 percent of the overall net electricity supply
in 2022. Many projections show this share growing over time. For
example, the EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM (i.e., the
EPA's baseline projections of the power sector) projects zero-emitting
sources reaching 76 percent of electricity generation by 2040. This
shift is driven by multiple factors. These factors include changes in
the relative economics of generating technologies, the efforts by
states to reduce GHG emissions, utility and other corporate
commitments, and customer preference. The shift is further promoted by
provisions of Federal legislation, most notably the Clean Electricity
Investment and Production tax credits included in IRC sections 48E and
45Y of the IRA, which do not begin to phase out until the later of 2032
or when power sector GHG emissions are 75 percent less than 2022
levels. (See section IV.F of this preamble and the accompanying RIA for
additional discussion of projections for the power sector.) These
projections are consistent with power company announcements. For
example, as the Edison Electric Institute (EEI) stated in pre-proposal
public comments submitted to the regulatory docket: ``Fifty EEI members
have announced forward-looking carbon reduction goals, two-thirds of
which include a net-zero by 2050 or earlier equivalent goal, and
members are routinely increasing the ambition or speed of their goals
or altogether transforming them into net-zero goals . . . . EEI's
member companies see a clear path to continued emissions reductions
over the next decade using current technologies, including nuclear
power, natural gas-based generation, energy demand efficiency, energy
storage, and deployment of new renewable energy--especially wind and
solar--as older coal-based and less-efficient natural gas-based
generating units retire.'' \63\ The Energy Strategy Coalition similarly
said in public comments that ``[a]s major electrical utilities and
power producers, our top priority is providing clean, affordable, and
reliable energy to our customers'' and are ``seeking to advance''
technologies ``such as a carbon capture and storage, which can
significantly reduce carbon dioxide
[[Page 39812]]
emissions from fossil fuel-fired EGUs.'' \64\
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\63\ Edison Electric Institute (EEI). (November 18, 2022). Clean
Air Act Section 111 Standards and the Power Sector: Considerations
and Options for Setting Standards and Providing Compliance
Flexibility to Units and States. Public comments submitted to the
EPA's pre-proposal rulemaking, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0723-
0024.
\64\ Energy Strategy Coalition Comments on EPA's proposed New
Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating
Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of
the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-
0072-0672, August 14, 2023.
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B. GHG Emissions From Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
The principal GHGs that accumulate in the Earth's atmosphere above
pre-industrial levels because of human activity are CO2,
CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs, and SF6. Of
these, CO2 is the most abundant, accounting for 80 percent
of all GHGs present in the atmosphere. This abundance of CO2
is largely due to the combustion of fossil fuels by the transportation,
electricity, and industrial sectors.\65\
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\65\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Overview of
greenhouse gas emissions. July 2021. https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases#carbon-dioxide.
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The amount of CO2 produced when a fossil fuel is burned
in an EGU is a function of the carbon content of the fuel relative to
the size and efficiency of the EGU. Different fuels emit different
amounts of CO2 in relation to the energy they produce when
combusted. The heat content, or the amount of energy produced when a
fuel is burned, is mainly determined by the carbon and hydrogen content
of the fuel. For example, in terms of pounds of CO2 emitted
per million British thermal units of energy produced when combusted,
natural gas is the lowest compared to other fossil fuels at 117 lb
CO2/MMBtu.66 67 The average for coal is 216 lb
CO2/MMBtu, but varies between 206 to 229 lb CO2/
MMBtu by type (e.g., anthracite, lignite, subbituminous, and
bituminous).\68\ The value for petroleum products such as diesel fuel
and heating oil is 161 lb CO2/MMBtu.
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\66\ Natural gas is primarily CH4, which has a higher
hydrogen to carbon atomic ratio, relative to other fuels, and thus,
produces the least CO2 per unit of heat released. In
addition to a lower CO2 emission rate on a lb/MMBtu
basis, natural gas is generally converted to electricity more
efficiently than coal. According to EIA, the 2020 emissions rate for
coal and natural gas were 2.23 lb CO2/kWh and 0.91 lb
CO2/kWh, respectively. www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=74&t=11.
\67\ Values reflect the carbon content on a per unit of energy
produced on a higher heating value (HHV) combustion basis and are
not reflective of recovered useful energy from any particular
technology.
\68\ Energy Information Administration (EIA). Carbon Dioxide
Emissions Coefficients. https://www.eia.gov/environment/emissions/co2_vol_mass.php.
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The EPA prepares the official U.S. Inventory of Greenhouse Gas
Emissions and Sinks \69\ (the U.S. GHG Inventory) to comply with
commitments under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC). This inventory, which includes recent trends, is
organized by industrial sectors. It presents total U.S. anthropogenic
emissions and sinks \70\ of GHGs, including CO2 emissions
since 1990. According to the latest inventory of all sectors, in 2021,
total U.S. GHG emissions were 6,340 million metric tons of
CO2 equivalent (MMT CO2e).\71\ The transportation
sector (28.5 percent), which includes approximately 300 million
vehicles, was the largest contributor to total U.S. GHG emissions with
1,804 MMT CO2e followed by the power sector (25.0 percent)
with 1,584 MMT CO2e. In fact, GHG emissions from the power
sector were higher than the GHG emissions from all other industrial
sectors combined (1,487 MMT CO2e). Specifically, the power
sector's emissions were far more than petroleum and natural gas systems
\72\ at 301 MMT CO2e; chemicals (71 MMT CO2e);
minerals (64 MMT CO2e); coal mining (53 MMT
CO2e); and metals (48 MMT CO2e). The agriculture
(636 MMT CO2e), commercial (439 MMT CO2e), and
residential (366 MMT CO2e) sectors combined to emit 1,441
MMT CO2e.
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\69\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Inventory of
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2021. https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-sinks-1990-2021.
\70\ Sinks are a physical unit or process that stores GHGs, such
as forests or underground or deep-sea reservoirs of carbon dioxide.
\71\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Inventory of
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2021. https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/inventory-us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-and-sinks.
\72\ Petroleum and natural gas systems include: offshore and
onshore petroleum and natural gas production; onshore petroleum and
natural gas gathering and boosting; natural gas processing; natural
gas transmission/compression; onshore natural gas transmission
pipelines; natural gas local distribution companies; underground
natural gas storage; liquified natural gas storage; liquified
natural gas import/export equipment; and other petroleum and natural
gas systems.
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Fossil fuel-fired EGUs are by far the largest stationary source
emitters of GHGs in the nation. For example, according to the EPA's
Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP), of the top 100 large
facilities that reported facility-level GHGs in 2022, 85 were fossil
fuel-fired power plants while 10 were refineries and/or chemical
plants, four were metals facilities, and one was a petroleum and
natural gas systems facility.\73\ Of the 85 fossil fuel-fired power
plants, 81 were primarily coal-fired, including the top 41 emitters of
CO2. In addition, of the 81 coal-fired plants, 43 have no
retirement planned prior to 2039. The top 10 of these plants combined
to emit more than 135 MMT of CO2e, with the top emitter
(James H. Miller power plant in Alabama) reporting approximately 22 MMT
of CO2e with each of its four EGUs emitting between 5 MMT
and 6 MMT CO2e that year. The combined capacity of these 10
plants is more than 23 gigawatts (GW), and all except for the Monroe
(Michigan) plant operated at annual capacity factors of 50 percent or
higher.\74\ For comparison, the largest GHG emitter in the U.S. that is
not a fossil fuel-fired power plant is the ExxonMobil refinery and
chemical plant in Baytown, Texas, which reported 12.6 MMT
CO2e (No. 6 overall in the nation) to the GHGRP in 2022. The
largest metals facility in terms of GHG emissions was the U.S. Steel
facility in Gary, Indiana, with 10.4 MMT CO2e (No. 16
overall in the nation).
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\73\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Greenhouse Gas
Reporting Program. Facility Level Information on Greenhouse Gases
Tool (FLIGHT). https://ghgdata.epa.gov/ghgp/main.do#.
\74\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Preliminary
Monthly Electric Generator Inventory, Form EIA-860M, November 2023.
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
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Overall, CO2 emissions from the power sector have
declined by 36 percent since 2005 (when the power sector reached annual
emissions of 2,400 MMT CO2, its historical peak to
date).\75\ The reduction in CO2 emissions can be attributed
to the power sector's ongoing trend away from carbon-intensive coal-
fired generation and toward more natural gas-fired and renewable
sources. In 2005, CO2 emissions from coal-fired EGUs alone
measured 1,983 MMT.\76\ This total dropped to 1,351 MMT in 2015 and
reached 974 MMT in 2019, the first time since 1978 that CO2
emissions from coal-fired EGUs were below 1,000 MMT. In 2020, emissions
of CO2 from coal-fired EGUs measured 788 MMT as the result
of pandemic-related closures and reduced utilization before rebounding
in 2021 to 909 MMT. By contrast, CO2 emissions from natural
gas-fired generation have almost doubled since 2005, increasing from
319 MMT to 613 MMT in 2021, and CO2 emissions from petroleum
products (i.e., distillate fuel oil, petroleum coke, and residual fuel
oil) declined from 98 MMT in 2005 to 18 MMT in 2021.
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\75\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Inventory of
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2020. https://cfpub.epa.gov/ghgdata/inventoryexplorer/#electricitygeneration/entiresector/allgas/category/all.
\76\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Monthly
Energy Review, table 11.6. September 2022. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/pdf/sec11.pdf.
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[[Page 39813]]
When the EPA finalized the Clean Power Plan (CPP) in October 2015,
the Agency projected that, as a result of the CPP, the power sector
would reduce its annual CO2 emissions to 1,632 MMT by 2030,
or 32 percent below 2005 levels (2,400 MMT).\77\ Instead, even in the
absence of Federal regulations for existing EGUs, annual CO2
emissions from sources covered by the CPP had fallen to 1,540 MMT by
the end of 2021, a nearly 36 percent reduction below 2005 levels. The
power sector achieved a deeper level of reductions than forecast under
the CPP and approximately a decade ahead of time. By the end of 2015,
several months after the CPP was finalized, those sources already had
achieved CO2 emission levels of 1,900 MMT, or approximately
21 percent below 2005 levels. However, progress in emission reductions
is not uniform across all states and is not guaranteed to continue,
therefore Federal policies play an essential role. As discussed earlier
in this section, the power sector remains a leading emitter of
CO2 in the U.S., and, despite the emission reductions since
2005, current CO2 levels continue to endanger human health
and welfare. Further, as sources in other sectors of the economy turn
to electrification to decarbonize, future CO2 reductions
from fossil fuel-fired EGUs have the potential to take on added
significance and increased benefits.
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\77\ 80 FR 63662 (October 23, 2015).
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C. Recent Developments in Emissions Control
This section of the preamble describes recent developments in GHG
emissions control in general. Details of those controls in the context
of BSER determination are provided in section VII.C.1.a for CCS on
coal-fired steam generating units, section VII.C.2.a for natural gas
co-firing on coal-fired steam generating units, section VIII.F.2.b for
efficient generation on natural gas-fired combustion turbines, and
section VIII.F.4.c.iv for CCS on natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
Further details of the control technologies are available in the final
TSDs, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units and GHG
Mitigation Measures--CCS for Combustion Turbines, available in the
docket for these actions.
1. CCS
One of the key GHG reduction technologies upon which the BSER
determinations are founded in these final rules is CCS--a technology
that can capture and permanently store CO2 from fossil fuel-
fired EGUs. CCS has three major components: CO2 capture,
transportation, and sequestration/storage. Solvent-based CO2
capture was patented nearly 100 years ago in the 1930s \78\ and has
been used in a variety of industrial applications for decades.
Thousands of miles of CO2 pipelines have been constructed
and securely operated in the U.S. for decades.\79\ And tens of millions
of tons of CO2 have been permanently stored deep underground
either for geologic sequestration or in association with enhanced oil
recovery (EOR).\80\ The American Petroleum Institute (API) explains
that ``CCS is a proven technology'' and that ``[t]he methods that apply
to [the] carbon sequestration process are not novel. The U.S. has more
than 40 years of CO2 gas injection and storage experience.
During the last 40 years the U.S. gas and oil industry's (EOR) enhanced
oil recovery operations) have injected more than 1 billion tonnes of
CO2.'' 81 82
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\78\ Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic Gases (1930)
United States patent application. United States Patent US1783901A;
Allen, A.S. and Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide from
a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent Application. United States
Patent US1934472A.
\79\ U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous
Material Safety Administration, ``Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.''
2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmission-hazardous-liquids.
\80\ GHGRP US EPA. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-and-geologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
\81\ American Petroleum Institute (API). (2024). Carbon Capture
and Storage: A Low-Carbon Solution to Economy-Wide Greenhouse Gas
Emissions Reductions. https://www.api.org/news-policy-and-issues/carbon-capture-storage.
\82\ Major energy company presidents have made similar
statements. For example, in 2021, Shell Oil Company president
Gretchen H. Watkins testified to Congress that ``Carbon capture and
storage is a proven technology,'' and in 2022, Joe Blommaert, the
president of ExxonMobil Low Carbon Solutions, stated that ``Carbon
capture and storage is a readily available technology that can play
a critical role in helping society reduce greenhouse gas
emissions.'' See https://www.congress.gov/117/meeting/house/114185/witnesses/HHRG-117-GO00-Wstate-WatkinsG-20211028.pdf and https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/news/news-releases/2022/0225_exxonmobil-to-expand-carbon-capture-and-storage-at-labarge-wyoming-facility.
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In 2009, Mike Morris, then-CEO of American Electric Power (AEP),
was interviewed by Reuters and the article noted that Morris's
``companies' work in West Virginia on [CCS] gave [Morris] more insight
than skeptics who doubt the technology.'' In that interview, Morris
explained, ``I'm convinced it will be primetime ready by 2015 and
deployable.'' \83\ In 2011, Alstom Power, the company that developed
the 30 MW pilot project upon which Morris had based his conclusions,
reiterated the claim that CCS would be commercially available in 2015.
A press release from Alstom Power stated that, based on the results of
Alstom's ``13 pilot and demonstration projects and validated by
independent experts . . . we can now be confident that CCS works and is
cost effective . . . and will be available at a commercial scale in
2015 and will allow [plants] to capture 90% of the emitted
CO2.'' The press release went on to note that ``the same
conclusion applies for a gas plant using CCS.'' \84\
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\83\ Woodall, B. (June 25, 2009). AEP sees carbon capture from
coal ready by 2015. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE55O6TS/.
\84\ Alstom Power. (June 14, 2011). Alstom Power study
demonstrates carbon capture and storage (CCS) is efficient and cost
competitive. https://www.alstom.com/press-releases-news/2011/6/press-releases-3-26.
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In 2011, however, AEP determined that the economic and regulatory
environment at the time did not support further development of the
technology. After canceling a large-scale commercial project, Morris
explained, ``as a regulated utility, it is impossible to gain
regulatory approval to cover our share of the costs for validating and
deploying the technology without federal requirements to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions already in place.'' \85\
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\85\ Indiana Michigan Power. (July 14, 2011). AEP Places Carbon
Capture Commercialization on Hold, Citing Uncertain Status of
Climate Policy, Weak Economy. Press release. https://www.indianamichiganpower.com/company/news/view?releaseID=1206.
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Thirteen years later, the situation is fundamentally different.
Since 2011, the technological advances from full-scale deployments
(e.g., the Petra Nova and Boundary Dam projects discussed later in this
preamble) combined with supportive policies in multiple states and the
financial incentives included in the IRA, mean that CCS can be deployed
at scale today. In addition to applications at fossil fuel-fired EGUs,
installation of CCS is poised to dramatically increase across a range
of industries in the coming years, including ethanol production,
natural gas processing, and steam methane reformers.\86\ Many of the
CCS projects across these industries, including capture systems,
pipelines, and sequestration, are already in operation or are in
advanced stages of deployment. There are currently at least 15
operating CCS projects in the U.S., and another 121 that are under
[[Page 39814]]
construction or in advanced stages of development.\87\
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\86\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (2023). Pathways to
Commercial Liftoff: Carbon Management. https://liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/20230424-Liftoff-Carbon-Management-vPUB_update4.pdf.
\87\ Congressional Budget Office (CBO). (December 13, 2023).
Carbon Capture and Storage in the United States. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
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Process improvements learned from earlier deployments of CCS, the
availability of better solvents, and other advances have decreased the
costs of CCS in recent years. As a result, the cost of CO2
capture, excluding any tax credits, from coal-fired power generation is
projected to fall by 50 percent by 2025 compared to 2010.\88\ The IRA
makes additional and significant reductions in the cost of implementing
CCS by extending and increasing the tax credit for CO2
sequestration under IRC section 45Q.
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\88\ Global CCS Institute. (March 2021). Technology Readiness
and Costs of CCS. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Technology-Readiness-and-Costs-for-CCS-2021-1.pdf.
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With this combination of polices, and the advances related to
CO2 capture, multiple projects consistent with the emission
reduction requirements of a 90 percent capture amine based BSER are in
advanced stages of development. These projects use a wider range of
technologies, and some of them are being developed as first-of-a-kind
projects and offer significant advantages over the amine-based CCS
technology that the EPA is finalizing as BSER.
For instance, in North Dakota, Governor Doug Burgum announced a
goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2030 while retaining the core
position of its fossil fuel industries, and to do so by significant CCS
implementation. Gov. Burgum explained, ``This may seem like a moonshot
goal, but it's actually not. It's actually completely doable, even with
the technologies that we have today.'' \89\ Companies in the state are
backing up this claim with projects in multiple industries in various
stages of operation and development. In the power sector, two of the
biggest projects under development are Project Tundra and Coal Creek.
Project Tundra is a carbon capture project on Minnkota Power's 705 MW
Milton R Young Power Plant in Oliver County, North Dakota. Mitsubishi
Heavy Industries will be providing an advanced version of its carbon
capture equipment that builds upon the lessons learned from the Petra
Nova project.\90\ Rainbow Energy is developing the project at the Coal
Creek Station, located in McLean, North Dakota. Notably, Rainbow Energy
purchased the 1,150 MW Coal Creek Station with a business model of
installing CCS based on the IRC section 45Q tax credit of $50/ton that
existed at the time (the IRA has since increased the amount to $85/
ton).\91\ Rainbow Energy explains, ``CCUS technology has been proven
and is an economical option for a facility like Coal Creek Station. We
see CCUS as the best way to manage emissions at our facility.'' \92\
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\89\ Willis, A. (May 12, 2021). Gov. Doug Burgum calls for North
Dakota to be carbon neutral by 2030. The Dickinson Press. https://www.thedickinsonpress.com/business/gov-doug-burgum-calls-for-north-dakota-to-be-carbon-neutral-by-2030.
\90\ Tanaka, H. et al. Advanced KM CDR Process using New
Solvent. 14th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control
Technologies, GHGT-14. https://www.cfaenm.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/GHGT14_manuscript_20180913Clean-version.pdf.
\91\ Minot Daily News. (April 8, 2024). Hoeven: ND to lead
country with carbon capture project at Coal Creek Station. https://minotdailynews.com/news/local-news/2021/07/hoeven-nd-to-lead-country-with-carbon-capture-project-at-coal-creek-station/.
\92\ Rainbow Energy Center. (ND). Carbon Capture. https://rainbowenergycenter.com/what-we-do/carbon-capture/.
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While North Dakota has encouraged CCS on coal-fired power plants
without specific mandates, Wyoming is taking a different approach.
Senate Bill 42, enacted in 2024, requires utilities to generate a
specified percentage of their electricity using coal-fired power plants
with CCS. SB 42 updates HB 200, enacted in 2020, which required the CCS
to be installed by 2030, which SB 42 extends to 2033. To comply with
those requirements, PacificCorp has stated in its 2023 IRP that it
intends to install CCS on two coal-fired units by 2028.\93\ Rocky
Mountain Power has also announced that it will explore a new carbon
capture technology at either its David Johnston plant or its Wyodak
plant.\94\ Another CCS project is also under development at the Dry
Fork Power Plant in Wyoming. Currently, a pilot project that will
capture 150 tons of CO2 per day is under construction and is
scheduled to be completed in late 2024. Work has also begun on a full-
scale front end engineering design (FEED) study.
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\93\ PacifiCorp. (April 1, 2024). 2023 Integrated Resource Plan
Update. https://www.pacificorp.com/content/dam/pcorp/documents/en/pacificorp/energy/integrated-resource-plan/2023_IRP_Update.pdf.
\94\ Rocky Mountain Power. (April 1, 2024). Rocky Mountain Power
and 8 Rivers to collaborate on proposed Wyoming carbon capture
project. Press release. https://www.rockymountainpower.net/about/newsroom/news-releases/rmp-proposed-wyoming-carbon-capture-project.html.
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Like North Dakota, West Virginia does not have a carbon capture
mandate, but there are several carbon capture projects under
development in the state. One is a new, 2,000 MW natural gas combined
cycle plant being developed by Competitive Power Ventures that will
capture 90-95 percent of the CO2 using GE turbine and carbon
capture technology.\95\ A second is an Omnis Fuel Technologies project
to convert the coal-fired Pleasants Power Station to run on
hydrogen.\96\ Omnis intends to use a pyrolysis-based process to convert
coal into hydrogen and graphite. Because the graphite is a usable,
solid form of carbon, no CO2 sequestration will be required.
Therefore, unlike more traditional amine-based approaches, instead of
the captured CO2 being a cost, the graphite product will
provide a revenue stream.\97\ Omnis states that the Pleasants Power
Project broke ground in August 2023 and will be online by 2025.
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\95\ Competitive Power Ventures (CPV). Shay Clean Energy Center.
https://www.cpv.com/our-projects/cpv-shay-energy-center/.
\96\ The Associated Press (AP). (August 30, 2023). New owner
restarts West Virginia coal-fired power plant and intends to convert
it to hydrogen use. https://apnews.com/article/west-virginia-power-plant-coal-hydrogen-7b46798c8e3b093a8591f25f66340e8f.
\97\ omnigenglobal.com.
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It should be noted that Wyoming, West Virginia, and North Dakota
represented the first-, second-, and seventh-largest coal producers,
respectively, in the U.S. in 2022.\98\
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\98\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (October
2023). Annual Coal Report 2022. https://www.eia.gov/coal/annual/pdf/acr.pdf.
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In addition to the coal-based CCS projects mentioned above,
multiple other projects are in advanced stages of development and/or
have completed FEED studies. For instance, Linde/BASF is installing a
10 MW pilot project on the Dallman Power Plant in Illinois. Based on
results from small scale pilot studies, techno economic analysis
indicates that the Linde/BASF process can provide a significant
reduction in capital costs compared to the NETL base case for a
supercritical pulverized coal plant with carbon capture.'' \99\
Multiple other FEED studies are either completed or under development,
putting those projects on a path to being able to be built and to
commence operation well before January 1, 2032.
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\99\ National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). Large Pilot
Carbon Capture Project Supported by NETL Breaks Ground in Illinois.
https://netl.doe.gov/node/12284.
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In addition to the Competitive Power Partners project, there are
multiple post-combustion CCS retrofit projects in various stages of
development. In particular, NET Power is in advanced stages of
development on a 300 MW project in west Texas using the Allam-Fetvedt
cycle, which is being designed to achieve greater than 97 percent
CO2 capture. In addition to working on this first project,
NET Power has indicated that it has an additional project under
development and is working with
[[Page 39815]]
suppliers to support additional future projects.\100\
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\100\ Net Power. (March 11, 2024). Q4 2023 Business Update and
Results. https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_cde4aad258e20f5aec49abd8654499f8/netpower/db/3583/33195/pdf/Q4_2023+Earnings+Presentation_3.11.24.pdf.
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In developing these final rules, the EPA reviewed the current state
and cost of CCS technology for use with both steam generating units and
stationary combustion turbines. This review is reflected in the
respective BSER discussions later in this preamble and is further
detailed in the accompanying RIA and final TSDs, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units and GHG Mitigation Measures--Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines. These documents are
included in the rulemaking docket.
2. Natural Gas Co-Firing
For a coal-fired steam generating unit, the substitution of natural
gas for some of the coal so that the unit fires a combination of coal
and natural gas is known as ``natural gas co-firing.'' Existing coal-
fired steam generating units can be modified to co-fire natural gas in
any desired proportion with coal. Generally, the modification of
existing boilers to enable or increase natural gas firing involves the
installation of new gas burners and related boiler modifications and
may involve the construction of a natural gas supply pipeline if one
does not already exist. In recent years, the cost of natural gas co-
firing has declined because the expected difference between coal and
gas prices has decreased and analysis supports lower capital costs for
modifying existing boilers to co-fire with natural gas, as discussed in
section VII.C.2.a of this preamble.
It is common practice for steam generating units to have the
capability to burn multiple fuels onsite, and of the 565 coal-fired
steam generating units operating at the end of 2021, 249 of them
reported use of natural gas as a primary fuel or for startup.\101\
Based on hourly reported CO2 emission rates from the start
of 2015 through the end of 2020, 29 coal-fired steam generating units
co-fired with natural gas at rates at or above 60 percent of capacity
on an hourly basis.\102\ The capability of those units on an hourly
basis is indicative of the extent of boiler burner modifications and
sizing and capacity of natural gas pipelines to those units, and it
implies that those units are technically capable of co-firing at least
60 percent natural gas on a heat input basis on average over the course
of an extended period (e.g., a year). Additionally, many coal-fired
steam generating EGUs have also opted to switch entirely to providing
generation from the firing of natural gas. Since 2011, more than 80
coal-fired utility boilers have been converted to natural gas-fired
utility boilers.\103\
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\101\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Form 923.
https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia923/.
\102\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ``Power Sector
Emissions Data.'' Washington, DC: Office of Atmospheric Protection,
Clean Air Markets Division. https://campd.epa.gov.
\103\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (5 August
2020). Today in Energy. More than 100 coal-fired plants have been
replaced or converted to natural gas since 2011. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=44636.
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In developing these final actions, the EPA reviewed in detail the
current state of natural gas co-firing technology and costs. This
review is reflected in the BSER discussions later in this preamble and
is further detailed in the accompanying RIA and final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units. Both documents are
included in the rulemaking docket.
3. Efficient Generation
Highly efficient generation is the BSER technology upon which the
first phase standards of performance are based for certain new and
reconstructed stationary combustion turbine EGUs. This technology is
available for both simple cycle and combined cycle combustion turbines
and has been demonstrated--along with best operating and maintenance
practices--to reduce emissions. Generally, as the thermal efficiency of
a combustion turbine increases, less fuel is burned per gross MWh of
electricity produced and there is a corresponding decrease in
CO2 and other air emissions.
For simple cycle turbines, manufacturers continue to improve the
efficiency by increasing firing temperature, increasing pressure
ratios, using intercooling on the air compressor, and adopting other
measures. Best operating practices for simple cycle turbines include
proper maintenance of the combustion turbine flow path components and
the use of inlet air cooling to reduce efficiency losses during periods
of high ambient temperatures. For combined cycle turbines, a highly
efficient combustion turbine engine is matched with a high-efficiency
HRSG. High efficiency also includes, but is not limited to, the use of
the most efficient steam turbine and minimizing energy losses using
insulation and blowdown heat recovery. Best operating and maintenance
practices include, but are not limited to, minimizing steam leaks,
minimizing air infiltration, and cleaning and maintaining heat transfer
surfaces.
As discussed in section VIII.F.2.b of this preamble, efficient
generation technologies have been in use at facilities in the power
sector for decades and the levels of efficiency that the EPA is
finalizing in this rule have been achieved by many recently constructed
turbines. The efficiency improvements are incremental in nature and do
not change how the combustion turbine is operated or maintained and
present little incremental capital or compliance costs compared to
other types of technologies that may be considered for new and
reconstructed sources. In addition, more efficient designs have lower
fuel costs, which offset at least a portion of the increase in capital
costs. For additional discussion of this BSER technology, see the final
TSD, Efficient Generation in Combustion Turbines in the docket for this
rulemaking.
Efficiency improvements are also available for fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units, and as discussed further in section VII.D.4.a,
the more efficiently an EGU operates the less fuel it consumes, thereby
emitting lower amounts of CO2 and other air pollutants per
MWh generated. Efficiency improvements for steam generating EGUs
include a variety of technology upgrades and operating practices that
may achieve CO2 emission rate reductions of 0.1 to 5 percent
for individual EGUs. These reductions are small relative to the
reductions that are achievable from natural gas co-firing and from CCS.
Also, as efficiency increases, some facilities could increase their
utilization and therefore increase their CO2 emissions (as
well as emissions of other air pollutants). This phenomenon is known as
the ``rebound effect.'' Because of this potential for perverse GHG
emission outcomes resulting from deployment of efficiency measures at
certain steam generating units, coupled with the relatively minor
overall GHG emission reductions that would be expected, the EPA is not
finalizing efficiency improvements as the BSER for any subcategory of
existing coal-fired steam generating units. Specific details of
efficiency measures are described in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units, and an updated 2023 Sargent and
Lundy HRI report (Heat Rate Improvement Method Costs and Limitations
Memo), available in the docket.
[[Page 39816]]
D. The Electric Power Sector: Trends and Current Structure
1. Overview
The electric power sector is experiencing a prolonged period of
transition and structural change. Since the generation of electricity
from coal-fired power plants peaked nearly two decades ago, the power
sector has changed at a rapid pace. Today, natural gas-fired power
plants provide the largest share of net generation, coal-fired power
plants provide a significantly smaller share than in the recent past,
renewable energy provides a steadily increasing share, and as new
technologies enter the marketplace, power producers continue to replace
aging assets--especially coal-fired power plants--with more efficient
and lower-cost alternatives.
These developments have significant implications for the types of
controls that the EPA determined to qualify as the BSER for different
types of fossil fuel-fired EGUs. For example, power plant owners and
operators retired an average annual coal-fired EGU capacity of 10 GW
from 2015 to 2023, and coal-fired EGUs comprised 58 percent of all
retired capacity in 2023.\104\ While use of CCS promises significant
emissions reduction from fossil fuel-fired sources, it requires
substantial up-front capital expenditure. Therefore, it is not a
feasible or cost-reasonable emission reduction technology for units
that intend to cease operation before they would be able to amortize
its costs. Industry stakeholders requested that the EPA structure these
rules to avoid imposing costly control obligations on coal-fired power
plants that have announced plans to voluntarily cease operations, and
the EPA has determined the BSER in accordance with its understanding of
which coal-fired units will be able to feasibly and cost-effectively
deploy the BSER technologies. In addition, the EPA recognizes that
utilities and power plant operators are building new natural gas-fired
combustion turbines with plans to operate them at varying levels of
utilization, in coordination with other existing and expected new
energy sources. These patterns of operation are important for the type
of controls that the EPA is finalizing as the BSER for these turbines.
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\104\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (7 February
2023). Today in Energy. Coal and natural gas plants will account for
98 percent of U.S. capacity retirements in 2023. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55439.
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2. Broad Trends Within the Power Sector
For more than a decade, the power sector has been experiencing
substantial transition and structural change, both in terms of the mix
of generating capacity and in the share of electricity generation
supplied by different types of EGUs. These changes are the result of
multiple factors, including normal replacements of older EGUs;
technological improvements in electricity generation from both existing
and new EGUs; changes in the prices and availability of different
fuels; state and Federal policy; the preferences and purchasing
behaviors of end-use electricity consumers; and substantial growth in
electricity generation from renewable sources.
One of the most important developments of this transition has been
the evolving economics of the power sector. Specifically, as discussed
in section IV.D.3.b of this preamble and in the final TSD, Power Sector
Trends, the existing fleet of coal-fired EGUs continues to age and
become more costly to maintain and operate. At the same time, natural
gas prices have held relatively low due to increased supply, and
renewable costs have fallen rapidly with technological improvement and
growing scale. Natural gas surpassed coal in monthly net electricity
generation for the first time in April 2015, and since that time
natural gas has maintained its position as the primary fuel for base
load electricity generation, for peaking applications, and for
balancing renewable generation.\105\ In 2023, generation from natural
gas was more than 2.5 times as much as generation from coal.\106\
Additionally, there has been increased generation from investments in
zero- and low-GHG emission energy technologies spurred by technological
advancements, declining costs, state and Federal policies, and most
recently, the IIJA and the IRA. For example, the IIJA provides
investments and other policies to help commercialize, demonstrate, and
deploy technologies such as small modular nuclear reactors, long-
duration energy storage, regional clean hydrogen hubs, CCS and
associated infrastructure, advanced geothermal systems, and advanced
distributed energy resources (DER) as well as more traditional wind,
solar, and battery energy storage resources. The IRA provides numerous
tax and other incentives to directly spur deployment of clean energy
technologies. Particularly relevant to these final actions, the
incentives in the IRA,107 108 which are discussed in detail
later in this section of the preamble, support the expansion of
technologies, such as CCS, that reduce GHG emissions from fossil-fired
EGUs.
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\105\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Monthly
Energy Review and Short-Term Energy Outlook, March 2016. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=25392.
\106\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Power Monthly, March 2024. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/current_month/march2024.pdf.
\107\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). August 2022. The
Inflation Reduction Act Drives Significant Emissions Reductions and
Positions America to Reach Our Climate Goals. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-08/8.18%20InflationReductionAct_Factsheet_Final.pdf.
\108\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). August 2023. Investing in
American Energy. Significant Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act
and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law on the U.S. Energy Economy and
Emissions Reductions. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/DOE%20OP%20Economy%20Wide%20Report_0.pdf.
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The ongoing transition of the power sector is illustrated by a
comparison of data between 2007 and 2022. In 2007, the year of peak
coal generation, approximately 72 percent of the electricity provided
to the U.S. grid was produced through the combustion of fossil fuels,
primarily coal and natural gas, with coal accounting for the largest
single share. By 2022, fossil fuel net generation was approximately 60
percent, less than the share in 2007 despite electricity demand
remaining relatively flat over this same period. Moreover, the share of
generation supplied by coal-fired EGUs fell from 49 percent in 2007 to
19 percent in 2022 while the share supplied by natural gas-fired EGUs
rose from 22 to 39 percent during the same period. In absolute terms,
coal-fired generation declined by 59 percent while natural gas-fired
generation increased by 88 percent. This reflects both the increase in
natural gas capacity as well as an increase in the utilization of new
and existing natural gas-fired EGUs. The combination of wind and solar
generation also grew from 1 percent of the electric power sector mix in
2007 to 15 percent in 2022.\109\
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\109\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Annual
Energy Review, table 8.2b Electricity net generation: electric power
sector. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/.
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Additional analysis of the utility power sector, including
projections of future power sector behavior and the impacts of these
final rules, is discussed in more detail in section XII of this
preamble, in the accompanying RIA, and in the final TSD, Power Sector
Trends. The latter two documents are available in the rulemaking
docket. Consistent with analyses done by other energy modelers, the
information
[[Page 39817]]
provided in the RIA and TSD demonstrates that the sector trend of
moving away from coal-fired generation is likely to continue, the share
from natural gas-fired generation is projected to decline eventually,
and the share of generation from non-emitting technologies is likely to
continue increasing. For instance, according to the Energy Information
Administration (EIA), the net change in solar capacity has been larger
than the net change in capacity for any other source of electricity for
every year since 2020. In 2024, EIA projects that the actual increase
in generation from solar will exceed every other source of generating
capacity. This is in part because of the large amounts of new solar
coming online in 2024 but is also due to the large amount of energy
storage coming online, which will help reduce renewable
curtailments.\110\ EIA also projects that in 2024, the U.S. will see
its largest year for installation of both solar and battery storage.
Specifically, EIA projects that 36.4 GW of solar will be added, nearly
doubling last year's record of 18.4 GW. Similarly, EIA projects 14.3 GW
of new energy storage. This would more than double last year's record
installation of 6.4 GW and nearly double the existing total capacity of
15.5 GW. This compares to only 2.5 GW of new natural gas turbine
capacity.\111\ The only year since 2013 when renewable generation did
not make up the majority of new generation capacity in the U.S. was
2018.\112\
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\110\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Short Term
Energy Outlook, December 2023.
\111\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (February
15, 2024). Today in Energy. Solar and Battery Storage to make up 81%
of new U.S. Electric-generating capacity in 2024. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=61424.
\112\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Today in
Energy. Natural gas and renewables make up most of 2018 electric
capacity additions. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=36092.
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3. Coal-Fired Generation: Historical Trends and Current Structure
a. Historical Trends in Coal-Fired Generation
Coal-fired steam generating units have historically been the
nation's foremost source of electricity, but coal-fired generation has
declined steadily since its peak approximately 20 years ago.\113\
Construction of new coal-fired steam generating units was at its
highest between 1967 and 1986, with approximately 188 GW (or 9.4 GW per
year) of capacity added to the grid during that 20-year period.\114\
The peak annual capacity addition was 14 GW, which was added in 1980.
These coal-fired steam generating units operated as base load units for
decades. However, beginning in 2005, the U.S. power sector--and
especially the coal-fired fleet--began experiencing a period of
transition that continues today. Many of the older coal-fired steam
generating units built in the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s have retired or
have experienced significant reductions in net generation due to cost
pressures and other factors. Some of these coal-fired steam generating
units repowered with combustion turbines and natural gas.\115\ With no
new coal-fired steam generating units larger than 25 MW commencing
construction in the past decade--and with the EPA unaware of any plans
being approved to construct a new coal-fired EGU--much of the fleet
that remains is aging, expensive to operate and maintain, and
increasingly uncompetitive relative to other sources of generation in
many parts of the country.
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\113\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Today in
Energy. Natural gas expected to surpass coal in mix of fuel used for
U.S. power generation in 2016. March 2016. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=25392.
\114\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Generators Inventory, Form EIA-860M, Inventory of Operating
Generators and Inventory of Retired Generators, March 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
\115\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Today in
Energy. More than 100 coal-fired plants have been replaced or
converted to natural gas since 2011. August 2020. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=44636.
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Since 2007, the power sector's total installed net summer capacity
\116\ has increased by 167 GW (17 percent) while coal-fired steam
generating unit capacity has declined by 123 GW.\117\ This reduction in
coal-fired steam generating unit capacity was offset by a net increase
in total installed wind capacity of 125 GW, net natural gas capacity of
110 GW, and a net increase in utility-scale solar capacity of 71 GW
during the same period. Additionally, significant amounts (40 GW) of
DER solar were also added. At least half of these changes were in the
most recent 7 years of this period. From 2015 to 2022, coal capacity
was reduced by 90 GW and this reduction in capacity was offset by a net
increase of 69 GW of wind capacity, 63 GW of natural gas capacity, and
59 GW of utility-scale solar capacity. Additionally, a net summer
capacity of 30 GW of DER solar were added from 2015 to 2022.
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\116\ This includes generating capacity at EGUs primarily
operated to supply electricity to the grid and combined heat and
power (CHP) facilities classified as Independent Power Producers and
excludes generating capacity at commercial and industrial facilities
that does not operate primarily as an EGU. Natural gas information
reflects data for all generating units using natural gas as the
primary fossil heat source unless otherwise stated. This includes
combined cycle, simple cycle, steam, and miscellaneous (<1 percent).
\117\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Power Annuals 2010 (Tables 1.1.A and 1.1.B) and 2022 (Tables 4.2.A
and 4.2.B).
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b. Current Structure of Coal-Fired Generation
Although much of the fleet of coal-fired steam generating units has
historically operated as base load, there can be notable differences in
design and operation across various facilities. For example, coal-fired
steam generating units smaller than 100 MW comprise 18 percent of the
total number of coal-fired units, but only 2 percent of total coal-
fired capacity.\118\ Moreover, average annual capacity factors for
coal-fired steam generating units have declined from 74 to 50 percent
since 2007.\119\ These declining capacity factors indicate that a
larger share of units are operating in non-base load fashion largely
because they are no longer cost-competitive in many hours of the year.
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\118\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. National Electric
Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7. December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs.
\119\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Power Annual 2021, table 1.2.
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Older power plants also tend to become uneconomic over time as they
become more costly to maintain and operate,\120\ especially when
competing for dispatch against newer and more efficient generating
technologies that have lower operating costs. The average coal-fired
power plant that retired between 2015 and 2022 was more than 50 years
old, and 65 percent of the remaining fleet of coal-fired steam
generating units will be 50 years old or more within a decade.\121\ To
further illustrate this trend, the existing coal-fired steam generating
units older than 40 years represent 71 percent (129 GW) \122\ of the
total remaining capacity. In fact, more than half (100 GW) of the coal-
fired steam generating units still operating have already announced
retirement dates prior to 2039 or conversion to gas-fired units by the
[[Page 39818]]
same year.\123\ As discussed later in this section, projections
anticipate that this trend will continue.
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\120\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). U.S. coal
plant retirements linked to plants with higher operating costs.
December 2019. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=42155.
\121\ eGRID 2020 (January 2022 release from EPA eGRID website).
Represents data from generators that came online between 1950 and
2020 (inclusive); a 71-year period. Full eGRID data includes
generators that came online as far back as 1915.
\122\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Generators Inventory, Form-860M, Inventory of Operating Generators
and Inventory of Retired Generators. August 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
\123\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. National Electric
Energy Data System (NEEDS) v6. October 2022. https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs.
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The reduction in coal-fired generation by electric utilities is
also evident in data for annual U.S. coal production, which reflects
reductions in international demand as well. In 2008, annual coal
production peaked at nearly 1,172 million short tons (MMst) followed by
sharp declines in 2015 and 2020.\124\ In 2015, less than 900 MMst were
produced, and in 2020, the total dropped to 535 MMst, the lowest output
since 1965. Following the pandemic, in 2022, annual coal production had
increased to 594 MMst. For additional analysis of the coal-fired steam
generation fleet, see the final TSD, Power Sector Trends included in
the docket for this rulemaking.
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\124\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (October
2023). Annual Coal Report 2022. https://www.eia.gov/coal/annual/pdf/acr.pdf.
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Notwithstanding these trends, in 2022, coal-fired energy sources
were still responsible for 50 percent of CO2 emissions from
the electric power sector.\125\
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\125\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). U.S.
CO2 emissions from energy consumption by source and
sector, 2022. https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/pdf/flow/CO2_emissions_2022.pdf.
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4. Natural Gas-Fired Generation: Historical Trends and Current
Structure
a. Historical Trends in Natural Gas-Fired Generation
There has been significant expansion of the natural gas-fired EGU
fleet since 2000, coinciding with efficiency improvements of combustion
turbine technologies, increased availability of natural gas, increased
demand for flexible generation to support the expanding capacity of
variable energy resources, and declining costs for all three elements.
According to data from EIA, annual capacity additions for natural gas-
fired EGUs peaked between 2000 and 2006, with more than 212 GW added to
the grid during this period (about 35 GW per year). Of this total,
approximately 147 GW (70 percent) were combined cycle capacity and 65
GW were simple cycle capacity.\126\ From 2007 to 2022, more than 132 GW
of capacity were constructed and approximately 77 percent of that total
were combined cycle EGUs. This figure represents an average of almost
8.8 GW of new combustion turbine generation capacity per year. In 2022,
the net summer capacity of combustion turbine EGUs totaled 419 GW, with
289 GW being combined cycle generation and 130 GW being simple cycle
generation.
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\126\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Electric
Generators Inventory, Form EIA-860M, Inventory of Operating
Generators and Inventory of Retired Generators, July 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
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This trend away from electricity generation using coal-fired EGUs
to natural gas-fired turbine EGUs is also reflected in comparisons of
annual capacity factors, sizes, and ages of affected EGUs. For example,
the average annual capacity factors for natural gas-fired units
increased from 28 to 38 percent between 2010 and 2022. And compared
with the fleet of coal-fired steam generating units, the natural gas
fleet is generally smaller and newer. While 67 percent of the coal-
fired steam generating unit fleet capacity is over 500 MW per unit, 75
percent of the gas fleet is between 50 and 500 MW per unit. In terms of
the age of the generating units, nearly 50 percent of the natural gas
capacity has been in service less than 15 years.\127\
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\127\ National Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) v.6.
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b. Current Structure of Natural Gas-Fired Generation
In the lower 48 states, most combustion turbine EGUs burn natural
gas, and some have the capability to fire distillate oil as backup for
periods when natural gas is not available, such as when residential
demand for natural gas is high during the winter. Areas of the country
without access to natural gas often use distillate oil or some other
locally available fuel. Combustion turbines have the capability to burn
either gaseous or liquid fossil fuels, including but not limited to
kerosene, naphtha, synthetic gas, biogases, liquified natural gas
(LNG), and hydrogen.
Over the past 20 years, advances in hydraulic fracturing (i.e.,
fracking) and horizontal drilling techniques have opened new regions of
the U.S. to gas exploration. As the production of natural gas has
increased, the annual average price has declined during the same
period, leading to more natural gas-fired combustion turbines.\128\
Natural gas net generation increased 181 percent in the past two
decades, from 601 thousand gigawatt-hours (GWh) in 2000 to 1,687
thousand GWh in 2022. For additional analysis of natural gas-fired
generation, see the final TSD, Power Sector Trends included in the
docket for this rulemaking.
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\128\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Natural Gas
Annual, September 2021. https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/natural-gas/prices.php.
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E. The Legislative, Market, and State Law Context
1. Recent Legislation Impacting the Power Sector
On November 15, 2021, President Biden signed the IIJA \129\ (also
known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law), which allocated more than
$65 billion in funding via grant programs, contracts, cooperative
agreements, credit allocations, and other mechanisms to develop and
upgrade infrastructure and expand access to clean energy technologies.
Specific objectives of the legislation are to improve the nation's
electricity transmission capacity, pipeline infrastructure, and
increase the availability of low-GHG fuels. Some of the IIJA programs
\130\ that will impact the utility power sector include more than $20
billion to build and upgrade the nation's electric grid, up to $6
billion in financial support for existing nuclear reactors that are at
risk of closing, and more than $700 million for upgrades to the
existing hydroelectric fleet. The IIJA established the Carbon Dioxide
Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Program to provide
flexible Federal loans and grants for building CO2 pipelines
designed with excess capacity, enabling integrated carbon capture and
geologic storage. The IIJA also allocated $21.5 billion to fund new
programs to support the development, demonstration, and deployment of
clean energy technologies, such as $8 billion for the development of
regional clean hydrogen hubs and $7 billion for the development of
carbon management technologies, including regional direct air capture
hubs, carbon capture large-scale pilot projects for development of
transformational technologies, and carbon capture commercial-scale
demonstration projects to improve efficiency and effectiveness. Other
clean energy technologies with IIJA and IRA funding include industrial
demonstrations, geologic sequestration, grid-scale energy storage, and
advanced nuclear reactors.
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\129\ https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/3684/text.
\130\ https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/BUILDING-A-BETTER-AMERICA-V2.pdf.
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The IRA, which President Biden signed on August 16, 2022,\131\ has
the potential for even greater impacts on the electric power sector.
Energy Security and Climate Change programs in the
[[Page 39819]]
IRA covering grant funding and tax incentives provide significant
investments in low and non GHG-emitting generation. For example, one of
the conditions set by Congress for the expiration of the Clean
Electricity Production Tax Credits of the IRA, found in section 13701,
is a 75 percent reduction in GHG emissions from the power sector below
2022 levels. The IRA also contains the Low Emission Electricity Program
(LEEP) with funding provided to the EPA with the objective to reduce
GHG emissions from domestic electricity generation and use through
promotion of incentives, tools to facilitate action, and use of CAA
regulatory authority. In particular, CAA section 135, added by IRA
section 60107, requires the EPA to conduct an assessment of the GHG
emission reductions expected to occur from changes in domestic
electricity generation and use through fiscal year 2031 and, further,
provides the EPA $18 million ``to ensure that reductions in [GHG]
emissions are achieved through use of the existing authorities of [the
Clean Air Act], incorporating the assessment. . . .'' CAA section
135(a)(6).
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\131\ https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/5376/text.
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The IRA's provisions also demonstrate an intent to support
development and deployment of low-GHG emitting technologies in the
power sector through a broad array of additional tax credits, loan
guarantees, and public investment programs. Particularly relevant for
these final actions, these provisions are aimed at reducing emissions
of GHGs from new and existing generating assets, with tax credits for
CCUS and clean hydrogen production, providing a pathway for the use of
coal and natural gas as part of a low-GHG electricity grid.
To assist states and utilities in their decarbonizing efforts, and
most germane to these final actions, the IRA increased the tax credit
incentives for capturing and storing CO2, including from
industrial sources, coal-fired steam generating units, and natural gas-
fired stationary combustion turbines. The increase in credit values,
found in section 13104 (which revises IRC section 45Q), is 70 percent,
equaling $85/metric ton for CO2 captured and securely stored
in geologic formations and $60/metric ton for CO2 captured
and utilized or securely stored incidentally in conjunction with
EOR.\132\ The CCUS incentives include 12 years of credits that can be
claimed at the higher credit value beginning in 2023 for qualifying
projects. These incentives will significantly cut costs and are
expected to accelerate the adoption of CCS in the utility power and
other industrial sectors. Specifically for the power sector, the IRA
requires that a qualifying carbon capture facility have a
CO2 capture design capacity of not less than 75 percent of
the baseline CO2 production of the unit and that
construction must begin before January 1, 2033. Tax credits under IRC
section 45Q can be combined with some other tax credits, in some
circumstances, and with state-level incentives, including California's
low carbon fuel standard, which is a market-based program with fuel-
specific carbon intensity benchmarks.\133\ The magnitude of this
incentive is driving investment and announcements, evidenced by the
increased number of permit applications for geologic
sequestration.\134\
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\132\ 26 U.S.C. 45Q. Note, qualified facilities must meet
prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements to be eligible for
the full value of the tax credit.
\133\ Global CCS Institute. (2019). The LCFS and CCS Protocol:
An Overview for Policymakers and Project Developers. Policy report.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/LCFS-and-CCS-Protocol_digital_version-2.pdf.
\134\ EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under Review at
EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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The new provisions in section 13204 (IRC section 45V) codify
production tax credits for `clean hydrogen' as defined in the
provision. The value of the credits earned by a project is tiered (four
different tiers) and depends on the estimated GHG emissions of the
hydrogen production process as defined in the statute. The credits
range from $3/kg H2 for less than 0.45 kilograms of
CO2-equivalent emitted per kilogram of low-GHG hydrogen
produced (kg CO2e/kg H2) down to $0.6/kg
H2 for 2.5 to 4.0 kg CO2e/kg H2
(assuming wage and apprenticeship requirements are met). Projects with
production related GHG emissions greater than 4.0 kg CO2e/kg
H2 are not eligible. Future costs for clean hydrogen
produced using renewable energy are anticipated to through 2030 due to
these tax incentives and concurrent scaling up of manufacturing and
deployment of clean hydrogen production facilities.
Both IRC section 45Q and IRC section 45V are eligible for
additional provisions that increase the value and usability of the
credits. Certain tax-exempt entities, such as electric co-operatives,
may elect direct payment for the full 12- or 10-year lifetime of the
credits to monetize the credits directly as cash refunds rather than
through tax equity transactions. Tax-paying entities may elect to have
direct payment of IRC section 45Q or 45V credits for 5 consecutive
years. Tax-paying entities may also elect to transfer credits to
unrelated taxpayers, enabling direct monetization of the credits again
without relying on tax equity transactions.
In addition to provisions such as 45Q that allow for the use of
fossil-generating assets in a low-GHG future, the IRA also includes
significant incentives to deploy clean energy generation. For instance,
the IRA provides an additional 10 percent in production tax credit
(PTC) and investment tax credit (ITC) bonuses for clean energy projects
located in energy communities with historic employment and tax bases
related to fossil fuels.\135\ The IRA's Energy Infrastructure
Reinvestment Program also provides $250 billion for the DOE to finance
loan guarantees that can be used to reduce both the cost of retiring
existing fossil assets and of replacement generation for those assets,
including updating operating energy infrastructure with emissions
control technologies.\136\ As a further example, the Empowering Rural
America (New ERA) Program provides rural electric cooperatives with
funds that can be used for a variety of purposes, including ``funding
for renewable and zero emissions energy systems that eliminate aging,
obsolete or expensive infrastructure'' or that allow rural cooperatives
to ``change [their] purchased-power mixes to support cleaner
portfolios, manage stranded assets and boost [the] transition to clean
energy.'' \137\ The $9.7 billion New ERA program represents the single
largest investment in rural energy systems since the Rural
Electrification Act of 1936.\138\
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\135\ U.S. Department of the Treasury. (April 4, 2023). Treasury
Releases Guidance to Drive Investment to Coal Communities. Press
release. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy1383.
\136\ Fong, C., Posner, D., Varadarajan, U. (February 16, 2024).
The Energy Infrastructure Reinvestment Program: Federal financing
for an equitable, clean economy. Case studies from Missouri and
Iowa. Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI). https://rmi.org/the-energy-infrastructure-reinvestment-program-federal-financing-for-an-equitable-clean-economy/.
\137\ U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Empowering Rural
America New ERA Program. https://www.rd.usda.gov/programs-services/electric-programs/empowering-rural-america-new-era-program.
\138\ Rocky Mountain Institute (RMI). (October 4, 2023). USDA
$9.7B Rural Community Clean Energy Program Receives 150+ Letters of
Interest. Press release. https://rmi.org/press-release/usda-9-7b-rural-community-clean-energy-program-receives-150-letters-of-interest/.
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On September 12, 2023, the EPA released a report assessing the
impact of the IRA on the power sector. Modeling results showed that
economy-wide CO2 emissions are lower under the IRA. The
[[Page 39820]]
results from the EPA's analysis of an array of multi-sector and
electric sector modeling efforts show that a wide range of emissions
reductions are possible. The IRA spurs CO2 emissions
reductions from the electric power sector of 49 to 83 percent below
2005 levels in 2030. This finding reflects diversity in how the models
represent the IRA, the assumptions the models use, and fundamental
differences in model structures.\139\
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\139\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). (September
2023). Electricity Sector Emissions Impacts of the Inflation
Reduction Act. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-09/Electricity_Emissions_Impacts_Inflation_Reduction_Act_Report_EPA-FINAL.pdf.
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In determining the CAA section 111 emission limitations that are
included in these final actions, the EPA did not consider many of the
technologies that receive investment under recent Federal legislation.
The EPA's determination of the BSER focused on ``measures that improve
the pollution performance of individual sources,'' \140\ not generation
technologies that entities could employ as alternatives to fossil fuel-
fired EGUs. However, these overarching incentives and policies are
important context for this rulemaking and influence where control
technologies can be feasibly and cost-reasonably deployed, as well as
how owners and operators of EGUs may respond to the requirements of
these final actions.
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\140\ West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 734.
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2. Commitments by Utilities To Reduce GHG Emissions
Integrated resource plans (IRPs) are filed by public utilities and
demonstrate how utilities plan to meet future forecasted energy demand
while ensuring reliable and cost-effective service. In developing these
rules, the EPA reviewed filed IRPs of companies that have publicly
committed to reducing their GHGs. These IRPs demonstrate a range of
strategies that public utilities are planning to adopt to reduce their
GHGs, independent of these final actions. These strategies include
retiring aging coal-fired steam generating EGUs and replacing them with
a combination of renewable resources, energy storage, other non-
emitting technologies, and natural gas-fired combustion turbines, and
reducing GHGs from their natural gas-fired assets through a combination
of CCS and reduced utilization. To affirm these findings, according to
EIA, as of 2022 there are no new coal-fired EGUs in development. This
section highlights recent actions and announced plans of many utilities
across the industry to reduce GHGs from their fleets. Indeed, 50 power
producers that are members of the Edison Electric Institute (EEI) have
announced CO2 reduction goals, two-thirds of which include
net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.\141\ The members of the Energy
Strategies Coalition, a group of companies that operate and manage
electricity generation facilities, as well as electricity and natural
gas transmission and distribution systems, likewise are focused on
investments to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the electricity
sector.\142\ This trend is not unique. Smaller utilities, rural
electric cooperatives, and municipal entities are also contributing to
these changes.
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\141\ See Comments of Edison Electric Institute to EPA's Pre-
Proposal Docket on Greenhouse Gas Regulations for Fossil Fuel-fired
Power Plants, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0723-0024, November
18, 2022 (``Fifty EEI members have announced forward-looking carbon
reduction goals, two-third of which include a net-zero by 2050 or
earlier equivalent goal, and members are routinely increasing the
ambition or speed of their goals or altogether transforming them
into net-zero goals.'').
\142\ Energy Strategy Coalition Comments on EPA's proposed New
Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating
Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of
the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-
0072-0672, August 14, 2023.
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Many electric utilities have publicly announced near- and long-term
emission reduction commitments independent of these final actions. The
Smart Electric Power Alliance demonstrates that the geographic
footprint of commitments for 100 percent renewable, net-zero, or other
carbon emission reductions by 2050 made by utilities, their parent
companies, or in response to a state clean energy requirement, covers
portions of 47 states and includes 80 percent of U.S. customer
accounts.\143\ According to this same source, 341 utilities in 26
states have similar commitments by 2040. Additional detail about
emission reduction commitments from major utilities is provided in
section 2.2 of the RIA and in the final TSD, Power Sector Trends.
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\143\ Smart Electric Power Alliance Utility Carbon Tracker.
https://sepapower.org/utility-transformation-challenge/utility-carbon-reduction-tracker/.
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3. State Actions To Reduce Power Sector GHG Emissions
States across the country have taken the lead in efforts to reduce
GHG emissions from the power sector. As of mid-2023, 25 states had made
commitments to reduce economy-wide GHG emissions consistent with the
goals of the Paris Agreement, including reducing GHG emissions by 50 to
52 percent by 2030.144 145 146 These actions include
legislation to decarbonize state power systems as well as commitments
that require utilities to expand renewable and clean energy production
through the adoption of renewable portfolio standards (RPS) and clean
energy standards (CES).
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\144\ Cao, L., Brindle., T., Schneer, K., and DeGolia, A.
(December 2023). Turning Climate Commitments into Results:
Evaluating Updated 2023 Projections vs. State Climate Targets.
Environmental Defense Fund (EDF). https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/2023-11/EDF-State-Emissions-Gap-December-2023.pdf.
\145\ United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
What is the Paris Agreement? https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement.
\146\ U.S. Department of State and U.S. Executive Office of the
President. November 2021. The Long-Term Strategy of the United
States: Pathways to Net-Zero Greenhouse Gas Emissions by 2050.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/us-long-term-strategy.pdf.
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Several states have enacted binding economy-wide emission reduction
targets that will require significant decarbonization from state power
sectors, including California, Colorado, Maine, Maryland,
Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont, and
Washington.\147\ These commitments are statutory emission reduction
targets accompanied by mandatory agency directives to develop
comprehensive implementing regulations to achieve the necessary
reductions. Some of these states, along with other neighboring states,
also participate in the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI), a
carbon market limiting pollution from power plants throughout New
England.\148\ The pollution limit combined with carbon price and
allowance market has led member states to reduce power sector
CO2 emissions by nearly 50 percent since the start of the
program in 2009. This is 10 percent more than all non-RGGI states.\149\
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\147\ Cao, L., Brindle., T., Schneer, K., and DeGolia, A.,
December 2023. Turning Climate Commitments into Results: Evaluating
Updated 2023 Projections vs. State Climate Targets. Environmental
Defense Fund (EDF). https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/2023-11/EDF-State-Emissions-Gap-December-2023.pdf.
\148\ A full list of states currently participating in RGGI
include Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New
Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and
Vermont.
\149\ Note that these figures do not include Virginia and
Pennsylvania, which were not members of RGGI for the full duration
of 2009-2023. Acadia Center: Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative;
Findings and Recommendations for the Third Program Review. https://acadiacenter.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/AC_RGGI_2023_Layout_R6.pdf.
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Other states dependent on coal-fired power generation or coal
production also have significant, albeit non-
[[Page 39821]]
binding, commitments that signal broad public support for policy with
emissions-based metrics and public affirmation that climate change is
fundamentally linked to fossil-intensive energy sources. These states
include Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina,
Pennsylvania, and Virginia. States like Wyoming, the top coal producing
state in the U.S., have promulgated sector-specific regulations
requiring their public service commissions to implement low-carbon
energy standards for public utilities.150 151 Specific
standards are further detailed in the sections that follow and in the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends.
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\150\ State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 24, 2020). House Bill 200
Reliable and dispatchable low-carbon energy standards. https://www.wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2020/HB0200.
\151\ State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 15, 2024). Senate Bill 42
Low-carbon reliable energy standards-amendments. https://www.wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2024/SF0042.
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Technologies like CCS provide a means to achieve significant
emission reduction targets. For example, to achieve GHG emission
reduction goals legislatively enacted in 2016, California Senate Bill
100, passed in 2018, requires the state to procure 60 percent of all
electricity from renewable sources by 2030 and plan for 100 percent
from carbon-free sources by 2045.\152\ Achieving California's
established goal of carbon-free electricity by 2045 requires emissions
to be balanced by carbon sequestration, capture, or other technologies.
Therefore, California Senate Bill 905, passed in 2022, requires the
California Air Resources Board (CARB) to establish programs for
permitting CCS projects while preventing the use of captured
CO2 for EOR within the state.\153\ As mentioned previously,
as the top coal producing state, Wyoming has been exceptionally
persistent on the implementation of CCS by incentivizing the national
testing of CCS at Basin Electric's coal-fired Dry Fork Station \154\
and by requiring the consideration of CCS as an alternative to coal
plant retirement.\155\ At least five other states, including Montana
and North Dakota, also have tax incentives and regulations for
CCS.\156\ In the case of Montana, the acquisition of an equity interest
or lease of coal-fired EGUs is prohibited unless it captures and stores
at least 50 percent of its CO2 emissions.\157\ These state
policies have coincided with the planning and development of large CCS
projects.
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\152\ Berkeley Law. California Climate Policy Dashboard. https://www.law.berkeley.edu/research/clee/research/climate/climate-policy-dashboard.
\153\ Berkeley Law. California Climate Policy Dashboard. https://www.law.berkeley.edu/research/clee/research/climate/climate-policy-dashboard.
\154\ Basin Electric Power Cooperative. (May 2023). Press
Release: Carbon Capture Technology Developers Break Ground at
Wyoming Integrated Test Center Located at Basin Electric's Dry Fork
Station. https://www.basinelectric.com/News-Center/news-briefs/Carbon-capture-technology-developers-break-ground-at-Wyoming-Integrated-Test-Center-located-at-Basin-Electrics-Dry-Fork-Station.
\155\ State of Wyoming. (Adopted March 15, 2024). Senate Bill 42
Low-carbon reliable energy standards-amendments. https://www.wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2024/SF0042.
\156\ Sabin Center for Climate Change Law. 2019. Legal Pathways
to Deep Decarbonization. Interactive Tracker for State Action on
Carbon Capture. https://cdrlaw.org/ccus-tracker/.
\157\ Sabin Center for Climate Change Law. 2019. Legal Pathways
to Deep Decarbonization. Model Laws. Montana prohibition on
acquiring coal plants without CCS. https://lpdd.org/resources/montana-prohibition-on-acquiring-coal-plants-without-ccs/.
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Other states have broad decarbonization laws that will drive
significant decrease in power sector GHG emissions. In New York, The
Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act, passed in 2019, sets
several climate targets. The most important goals include an 85 percent
reduction in GHG emissions by 2050, 100 percent zero-emission
electricity by 2040, and 70 percent renewable energy by 2030. Other
targets include 9,000 MW of offshore wind by 2035, 3,000 MW of energy
storage by 2030, and 6,000 MW of solar by 2025.\158\ Washington State's
Climate Commitment Act sets a target of reducing GHG emissions by 95
percent by 2050. The state is required to reduce emissions to 1990
levels by 2020, 45 percent below 1990 levels by 2030, 70 percent below
1990 levels by 2040, and 95 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. This
also includes achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.\159\ Illinois'
Climate and Equitable Jobs Act, enacted in September 2021, requires all
private coal-fired or oil-fired power plants to reach zero carbon
emissions by 2030, municipal coal-fired plants to reach zero carbon
emissions by 2045, and natural gas-fired plants to reach zero carbon
emissions by 2045.\160\ In October 2021, North Carolina passed House
Bill 951 that required the North Carolina Utilities Commission to
``take all reasonable steps to achieve a seventy percent (70 percent)
reduction in emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted in
the state from electric generating facilities owned or operated by
electric public utilities from 2005 levels by the year 2030 and carbon
neutrality by the year 2050.'' \161\
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\158\ New York State. Climate Act: Progress to our Goals.
https://climate.ny.gov/Our-Impact/Our-Progress.
\159\ Department of Ecology Washington State. Greenhouse Gases.
https://ecology.wa.gov/Air-Climate/Climate-change/Tracking-greenhouse-gases.
\160\ State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act 102-0662:
Climate and Equitable Jobs Act. 2021. https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/102/PDF/102-0662.pdf.
\161\ General Assembly of North Carolina, House Bill 951 (2021).
https://www.ncleg.gov/Sessions/2021/Bills/House/PDF/H951v5.pdf.
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The ambition and scope of these state power sector polices will
impact the electric generation fleet for decades. Seven states with
100-percent power sector decarbonization polices include a total of 20
coal-fired EGUs with slightly less than 10 GW total capacity and
without announced retirement dates before 2039.\162\ Virginia, which
has three coal-steam units with no announced retirement dates and one
with a 2045 retirement date, enacted the Clean Economy Act in 2020 to
impose a 100 percent RPS requirement by 2050. The combined capacity of
all four of these units in Virginia totals nearly 1.5 GW. North
Carolina, which has one coal-fired unit without an announced retirement
date and one with a planned 2048 retirement, as previously mentioned,
enacted a state law in 2021 requiring the state's utilities commission
to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. The combined capacity of both
units totals approximately 1.4 GW of capacity. Nebraska, where three
public utility boards serving a large portion of the state have adopted
net-zero electricity emission goals by 2040 or 2050, includes six coal-
fired units with a combined capacity of 2.9 GW. The remaining eight
units are in states with long-term decarbonization goals (Illinois,
Louisiana, Maryland, and Wisconsin). All four of these states have set
100 percent clean energy goals by 2050.
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\162\ These estimates are based on an analysis of the EPA's
NEEDS database, which contains information about EGUs across the
country. The analysis includes a basic screen for units within the
NEEDS database that are likely subject to the final 111(d) EGU rule,
namely coal-steam units with capacity greater than 25 MW, and then
removes units with an announced retirement dates prior to 2039,
units with announced plans to convert from coal- to gas-fired units,
and units likely to fall outside of the rule's applicability via the
cogeneration exemption.
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Twenty-nine states and the District of Columbia have enforceable
RPS \163\ that require a percentage of electricity that utilities sell
to come from eligible renewable sources like wind and solar rather than
from fossil fuel-based sources like coal and natural gas. Furthermore,
20 states have adopted a CES that includes some form of clean
[[Page 39822]]
energy requirement or goal with a 100 percent or net-zero target.\164\
A CES shifts generating fleets away from fossil fuel resources by
requiring a percentage of retail electricity to come from sources that
are defined as clean. Unlike an RPS, which defines eligible generation
in terms of the renewable attributes of its energy source, CES
eligibility is based on the GHG emission attributes of the generation
itself, typically with a zero or net-zero carbon emissions requirement.
Additional discussion of state actions and legislation to reduce GHG
emissions from the power sector is provided in the final TSD, Power
Sector Trends.
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\163\ DSIRE, Renewable Portfolio Standards and Clean Energy
Standards (2023). https://ncsolarcen-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/RPS-CES-Dec2023-1.pdf; LBNL, U.S. State
Renewables Portfolio & Clean Electricity Standards: 2023 Status
Update. https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/us-state-renewables-portfolio-clean.
\164\ This count is adapted from Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory's (LBNL) U.S. State Renewables Portfolio & Clean
Electricity Standards: 2023 Status Update, which identifies 15
states with 100 percent CES. The LBNL count includes Virginia, which
the EPA omits because it considers Virginia a 100 percent RPS.
Further, the LBNL count excludes Louisiana, Michigan, New Jersey,
and Wisconsin because their clean energy goals are set by executive
order. The EPA instead includes Louisiana, New Jersey, and Wisconsin
but characterizes them as goals rather than requirements. Michigan,
which enacted a CES by statute after the LBNL report's publication,
is also included in the EPA count. Finally, the EPA count includes
Maryland, whose December 2023 Climate Pollution Reduction Plan sets
a goal of 100 percent clean energy by 2035, and Delaware, which
enacted a statutory goal to reach net-zero GHG emissions by 2050.
See LBNL, U.S. State Renewables Portfolio & Clean Electricity
Standards: 2023 Status Update, https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/us-state-renewables-portfolio-clean; Maryland's Climate Pollution
Reduction Plan, https://mde.maryland.gov/programs/air/ClimateChange/Maryland%20Climate%20Reduction%20Plan/Maryland%27s%20Climate%20Pollution%20Reduction%20Plan%20-%20Final%20-%20Dec%2028%202023.pdf; and HB 99, An Act to Amend
Titles 7 and 29 of the Delaware Code Relating to Climate Change,
https://legis.delaware.gov/json/BillDetail/GenerateHtmlDocumentEngrossment?engrossmentId=25785&docTypeId=6.
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F. Future Projections of Power Sector Trends
Projections for the U.S. power sector--based on the landscape of
market forces in addition to the known actions of Congress, utilities,
and states--have indicated that the ongoing transition will continue
for specific fuel types and EGUs. The EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023
using IPM reference case (i.e., the EPA's projections of the power
sector, which includes representation of the IRA absent further
regulation), provides projections out to 2050 on future outcomes of the
electric power sector. For more information on the details of this
modeling, see the model documentation.\165\
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\165\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.Power Sector Platform
2023 using IPM. April 2024. https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling.
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Since the passage of the IRA in August 2022, the EPA has engaged
with many external partners, including other governmental entities,
academia, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and industry, to
understand the impacts that the IRA will have on power sector GHG
emissions. In addition to engaging in several workgroups, the EPA has
contributed to two separate journal articles that include multi-model
comparisons of IRA impacts across several state-of-the-art models of
the U.S. energy system and electricity sector 166 167 and
participated in public events exploring modeling assumptions for the
IRA.\168\ The EPA plans to continue collaborating with stakeholders,
conducting external engagements, and using information gathered to
refine modeling of the IRA.
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\166\ Bistline, et al. (2023). ``Emissions and Energy System
Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.'' https://www.science.org/stoken/author-tokens/ST-1277/full.
\167\ Bistline, et al. (2023). ``Power Sector Impacts of the
Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.''https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0d3b.
\168\ Resource for the Future (2023). ``Future Generation:
Exploring the New Baseline for Electricity in the Presence of the
Inflation Reduction Act.'' https://www.rff.org/events/rff-live/future-generation-exploring-the-new-baseline-for-electricity-in-the-presence-of-the-inflation-reduction-act/.
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While much of the discussion below focuses on the EPA's Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM reference case, many other analyses show
similar trends,\169\ and these trends are consistent with utility IRPs
and public GHG reduction commitments, as well as state actions, both of
which were described in the previous sections.
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\169\ A wide variety of modeling teams have assessed baselines
with IRA. The baseline estimated here is generally in line with
these other estimates. Bistline, et al. (2023). ``Power Sector
Impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.'' https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0d3b.
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1. Future Projections for Coal-Fired Generation
As described in the EPA's baseline modeling, coal-fired steam
generating unit capacity is projected to fall from 181 GW in 2023 \170\
to 52 GW in 2035, of which 11 GW includes retrofit CCS. Generation from
coal-fired steam generating units is projected to also fall from 898
thousand GWh in 2021 \171\ to 236 thousand GWh by 2035. This change in
generation reflects the anticipated continued decline in projected
coal-fired steam generating unit capacity as well as a steady decline
in annual operation of those EGUs that remain online, with capacity
factors falling from approximately 48 percent in 2022 to 45 percent in
2035 at facilities that do not install CCS. By 2050, coal-fired steam
generating unit capacity is projected to diminish further, with only 28
GW, or less than 16 percent of 2023 capacity (and approximately 9
percent of the 2010 capacity), still in operation across the
continental U.S.
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\170\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Preliminary
Monthly Electric Generator Inventory, December 2023. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/
\171\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Electric
Power Annual, table 3.1.A. November 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/.
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These projections are driven by the eroding economic opportunities
for coal-fired steam generating units to operate, the continued aging
of the fleet of coal-fired steam generating units, and the continued
availability and expansion of low-cost alternatives, like natural gas,
renewable technologies, and energy storage. The projected retirements
continue the trend of coal plant retirements in recent decades that is
described in section IV.D.3. of this preamble (and further in the Power
Sector Trends technical support document). The decline in coal
generation capacity has generally resulted from a more competitive
economic environment and increasing coal plant age. Most notably,
declines in natural gas prices associated with the rise of hydraulic
fracturing and horizontal drilling lowered the cost of natural gas-
fired generation.\172\ Lower gas generation costs reduced coal plant
capacity factors and revenues. Rapid declines in the costs of
renewables and battery storage have put further price pressure on coal
plants, given the zero marginal cost operation of solar and
wind.173 174 175 In addition, most operational coal plants
today were built before 2000, and many are reaching or have surpassed
their expected useful lives.\176\ Retiring coal plants tend to be
[[Page 39823]]
old.\177\ As plants age, their efficiency tends to decline and
operations and maintenance costs increase. Older coal plant operational
parameters are less aligned with current electric grid needs. Coal
plants historically were used as base load power sources and can be
slow (or expensive) to increase or decrease generation output
throughout a typical day. That has put greater economic pressure on
older coal plants, which are forced to either incur the costs of
adjusting their generation or operate during less profitable hours when
loads are lower or renewable generation is more plentiful.\178\ All of
these factors have contributed to retirements over the past 15 years,
and similar underlying factors are projected to continue the trend of
coal retirements in the coming years.
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\172\ International Energy Agency (IEA). Energy Policies of IEA
Countries: United States 2019 Review. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/7c65c270-ba15-466a-b50d-1c5cd19e359c/United_States_2019_Review.pdf.
\173\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (April 13,
2023). U.S. Electric Capacity Mix shifts from Fossil Fuels to
Renewables in AEO2023. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=56160.
\174\ Solomon, M., et al. (January 2023). Coal Cost Crossover
3.0: Local Renewables Plus Storage Create New Opportunities for
Customer Savings and Community Reinvestment. Energy Innovation.
https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/01/Coal-Cost-Crossover-3.0.pdf.
\175\ Barbose, G., et al. (September 2023). Tracking the Sun:
Pricing and Design Trends for Distributed Photovoltaic Systems in
the United States, 2023 Edition. Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory. https://emp.lbl.gov/sites/default/files/5_tracking_the_sun_2023_report.pdf.
\176\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). (August
2022). Electric Generators Inventory, Form-860M, Inventory of
Operating Generators and Inventory of Retired Generators. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
\177\ Mills, A., et al. (November 2017). Power Plant
Retirements: Trends and Possible Drivers. Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory. https://live-etabiblio.pantheonsite.io/sites/default/files/lbnl_retirements_data_synthesis_final.pdf.
\178\ National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners.
(January 2020). Recent Changes to U.S. Coal Plant Operations and
Current Compensation Practices. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/7B762FE1-A71B-E947-04FB-D2154DE77D45.
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In 2020, there was a total of 1,439 million metric tons of
CO2 emissions from the power sector with coal-fired sources
contributing to more than half of those emissions. In the EPA's Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM reference case, power sector related
CO2 emission are projected to fall to 724 million metric
tons by 2035, of which 23 percent is projected to come from coal-fired
sources in 2035.
2. Future Projections for Natural Gas-Fired Generation
As described in the EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM
reference case, natural gas-fired capacity is expected to continue to
build out during the next decade with 34 GW of new capacity projected
to come online by 2035 and 261 GW of new capacity by 2050. By 2035, the
new natural gas capacity is comprised of 14 GW of simple cycle turbines
and 20 GW of combined cycle turbines. By 2050, most of the incremental
new capacity is projected to come just from simple cycle turbines. This
also represents a higher rate of new simple cycle turbine builds
compared to the reference periods (i.e., 2000-2006 and 2007-2021)
discussed previously in this section.
It should be noted that despite this increase in capacity, both
overall generation and emissions from the natural gas-fired capacity
are projected to decline. Generation from natural gas units is
projected to fall from 1,579 thousand GWh in 2021 \179\ to 1,344
thousand GWh by 2035. Power sector related CO2 emissions
from natural gas-fired EGUs were 615 million metric tons in 2021.\180\
By 2035, emission levels are projected to reach 521 million metric
tons, 96 percent of which comes from NGCC sources.
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\179\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Electric
Power Annual, table 3.1.A. November 2022. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/annual/.
\180\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Inventory of U.S.
Greenhouse Gas Emission Sources and Sinks. February 2023. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-02/US-GHG-Inventory-2023-Main-Text.pdf.
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The decline in generation and emissions is driven by a projected
decline in NGCC capacity factors. In model projections, NGCC units have
a capacity factor early in the projection period of 59 percent, but by
2035, capacity factor projections fall to 48 percent as many of these
units switch from base load operation to more intermediate load
operation to support the integration of variable renewable energy
resources. Natural gas-fired simple cycle turbine capacity factors also
fall, although since they are used primarily as a peaking resource and
their capacity factors are already below 10 percent annually, their
impact on generation and emissions changes are less notable.
Some of the reasons for this anticipated continued growth in
natural gas-fired capacity, coupled with a decline in generation and
emissions, include the anticipated growth in peak load, retirement of
older fossil generators, and growth in renewable energy coupled with
the greater flexibility offered by combustion turbines. Simple cycle
turbines operate at lower efficiencies than NGCC units but offer fast
startup times to meet peaking load demands. In addition, combustion
turbines, along with energy storage technologies and demand response
strategies, support the expansion of renewable electricity by meeting
demand during peak periods and providing flexibility around the
variability of renewable generation and electricity demand. In the
longer term, as renewables and battery storage grow, they are
anticipated to outcompete the need for some natural gas-fired
generation and the overall utilization of natural gas-fired capacity is
expected to decline. For additional discussion and analysis of
projections of future coal- and natural gas-fired generation, see the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends in the docket for this rulemaking.
As explained in greater detail later in this preamble and in the
accompanying RIA, future generation projections for natural gas-fired
combustion turbines differ from those highlighted in recent historical
trends. The largest source of new generation is from renewable energy,
and projections show that total natural gas-fired combined cycle
capacity is likely to decline after 2030 in response to increased
generation from renewables, deployment of energy storage, and other
technologies. Approximately 95 percent of capacity additions in 2024
are expected to be from non-emitting generation resources including
solar, battery storage, wind, and nuclear.\181\ The IRA is likely to
influence this trend, which is also expected to impact the operation of
certain combustion turbines. For example, as the electric output from
additional variable renewable generating sources fluctuates daily and
seasonally, flexible low and intermediate load combustion turbines will
be needed to support these variable sources and provide reliability to
the grid. This requires the ability to start and stop quickly and
change load more frequently. Today's system includes 212 GW of
intermediate and low load combustion turbines. These operational
changes, alongside other tools like demand response, energy storage,
and expanded transmission, will maintain reliability of the grid.
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\181\ U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Today in
Energy. Solar and battery storage to make up 81 percent of new U.S.
electric-generating capacity in 2024. February 2024. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=61424.
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V. Statutory Background and Regulatory History for CAA Section 111
A. Statutory Authority To Regulate GHGs From EGUs Under CAA Section 111
The EPA's authority for and obligation to issue these final rules
is CAA section 111, which establishes mechanisms for controlling
emissions of air pollutants from new and existing stationary sources.
CAA section 111(b)(1)(A) requires the EPA Administrator to promulgate a
list of categories of stationary sources that the Administrator, in his
or her judgment, finds ``causes, or contributes significantly to, air
pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health
or welfare.'' The EPA has the authority to define the scope of the
source categories, determine the pollutants for which standards should
be developed, and distinguish among classes, types, and sizes within
categories in establishing the standards.
[[Page 39824]]
1. Regulation of Emissions From New Sources
Once the EPA lists a source category, the EPA must, under CAA
section 111(b)(1)(B), establish ``standards of performance'' for ``new
sources'' in the source category. These standards are referred to as
new source performance standards, or NSPS. The NSPS are national
requirements that apply directly to the sources subject to them.
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), a ``standard of performance'' is
defined, in the singular, as ``a standard for emissions of air
pollutants'' that is determined in a specified manner, as noted in this
section, below.
Under CAA section 111(a)(2), a ``new source'' is defined, in the
singular, as ``any stationary source, the construction or modification
of which is commenced after the publication of regulations (or, if
earlier, proposed regulations) prescribing a standard of performance
under this section, which will be applicable to such source.'' Under
CAA section 111(a)(3), a ``stationary source'' is defined as ``any
building, structure, facility, or installation which emits or may emit
any air pollutant.'' Under CAA section 111(a)(4), ``modification''
means any physical change in, or change in the method of operation of,
a stationary source which increases the amount of any air pollutant
emitted by such source or which results in the emission of any air
pollutant not previously emitted. While this provision treats modified
sources as new sources, EPA regulations also treat a source that
undergoes ``reconstruction'' as a new source. Under the provisions in
40 CFR 60.15, ``reconstruction'' means the replacement of components of
an existing facility such that: (1) The fixed capital cost of the new
components exceeds 50 percent of the fixed capital cost that would be
required to construct a comparable entirely new facility; and (2) it is
technologically and economically feasible to meet the applicable
standards. Pursuant to CAA section 111(b)(1)(B), the standards of
performance or revisions thereof shall become effective upon
promulgation.
In setting or revising a performance standard, CAA section
111(a)(1) provides that performance standards are to reflect ``the
degree of emission limitation achievable through the application of the
best system of emission reduction which (taking into account the cost
of achieving such reduction and any non-air quality health and
environmental impact and energy requirements) the Administrator
determines has been adequately demonstrated.'' The term ``standard of
performance'' in CAA 111(a)(1) makes clear that the EPA is to determine
both the ``best system of emission reduction . . . adequately
demonstrated'' (BSER) for the regulated sources in the source category
and the ``degree of emission limitation achievable through the
application of the [BSER].'' West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 709
(2022). To determine the BSER, the EPA first identifies the ``system[s]
of emission reduction'' that are ``adequately demonstrated,'' and then
determines the ``best'' of those systems, ``taking into account''
factors including ``cost,'' ``nonair quality health and environmental
impact,'' and ``energy requirements.'' The EPA then derives from that
system an ``achievable'' ``degree of emission limitation.'' The EPA
must then, under CAA section 111(b)(1)(B), promulgate ``standard[s] for
emissions''--the NSPS--that reflect that level of stringency.
2. Regulation of Emissions From Existing Sources
When the EPA establishes a standard for emissions of an air
pollutant from new sources within a category, it must also, under CAA
section 111(d), regulate emissions of that pollutant from existing
sources within the same category, unless the pollutant is regulated
under the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) program, under
CAA sections 108-110, or the National Emission Standards for Hazardous
Air Pollutants (NESHAP) program, under CAA section 112. See CAA section
111(d)(1)(A)(i) and (ii); West Virginia, 597 U.S. at 710.
CAA section 111(d) establishes a framework of ``cooperative
federalism for the regulation of existing sources.'' American Lung
Ass'n, 985 F.3d at 931. CAA sections 111(d)(1)(A)-(B) require ``[t]he
Administrator . . . to prescribe regulations'' that require ``[e]ach
state . . . to submit to [EPA] a plan . . . which establishes standards
of performance for any existing stationary source for'' the air
pollutant at issue, and which ``provides for the implementation and
enforcement of such standards of performance.'' CAA section 111(a)(6)
defines an ``existing source'' as ``any stationary source other than a
new source.''
To meet these requirements, the EPA promulgates ``emission
guidelines'' that identify the BSER and the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the application of the BSER. Each state
must then establish standards of performance for its sources that
reflect that level of stringency. However, the states need not compel
regulated sources to adopt the particular components of the BSER
itself. The EPA's emission guidelines must also permit a state, ``in
applying a standard of performance to any particular source,'' to
``take into consideration, among other factors, the remaining useful
life of the existing source to which such standard applies.'' 42 U.S.C.
7411(d)(1). Once a state receives the EPA's approval of its plan, the
provisions in the plan become federally enforceable against the source,
in the same manner as the provisions of an approved State
Implementation Plan (SIP) under the Act. CAA section 111(d)(2)(B). If a
state elects not to submit a plan or submits a plan that the EPA does
not find ``satisfactory,'' the EPA must promulgate a plan that
establishes Federal standards of performance for the state's existing
sources. CAA section 111(d)(2)(A).
3. EPA Review of Requirements
CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) requires the EPA to ``at least every 8
years, review and, if appropriate, revise'' new source performance
standards. However, the Administrator need not review any such standard
if the ``Administrator determines that such review is not appropriate
in light of readily available information on the efficacy'' of the
standard. Id. When conducting a review of an NSPS, the EPA has the
discretion and authority to add emission limits for pollutants or
emission sources not currently regulated for that source category. CAA
section 111 does not by its terms require the EPA to review emission
guidelines for existing sources, but the EPA retains the authority to
do so. See 81 FR 59277 (August 29, 2016) (explaining legal authority to
review emission guidelines for municipal solid waste landfills).
B. History of EPA Regulation of Greenhouse Gases From Electricity
Generating Units Under CAA Section 111 and Caselaw
The EPA has listed more than 60 stationary source categories under
CAA section 111(b)(1)(A). See 40 CFR part 60, subparts Cb-OOOO. In
1971, the EPA listed fossil fuel-fired EGUs (which includes natural
gas, petroleum, and coal) that use steam-generating boilers in a
category under CAA section 111(b)(1)(A). See 36 FR 5931 (March 31,
1971) (listing ``fossil fuel-fired steam generators of more than 250
million Btu per hour heat input''). In 1977, the EPA listed fossil
fuel-fired combustion turbines, which can be used in EGUs, in a
category under CAA section 111(b)(1)(A). See 42 FR 53657 (October 3,
1977) (listing ``stationary gas turbines'').
[[Page 39825]]
Beginning in 2007, several decisions by the U.S. Supreme Court and
the D.C. Circuit have made clear that under CAA section 111, the EPA
has authority to regulate GHG emissions from listed source categories.
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled in Massachusetts v. EPA that GHGs \182\
meet the definition of ``air pollutant'' in the CAA,\183\ and
subsequently premised its decision in AEP v. Connecticut \184\--that
the CAA displaced any Federal common law right to compel reductions in
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-fired power plants--on its
view that CAA section 111 applies to GHG emissions. The D.C. Circuit
confirmed in American Lung Ass'n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 914, 977 (D.C. Cir.
2021), discussed in section V.B.5, that the EPA is authorized to
promulgate requirements under CAA section 111 for GHG from the fossil
fuel-fired EGU source category notwithstanding that the source category
is regulated under CAA section 112. As discussed in section V.B.6, the
U.S. Supreme Court did not accept certiorari on the question whether
the EPA could regulate GHGs from fossil-fuel fired EGUs under CAA
section 111(d) when other pollutants from fossil-fuel fired EGUs are
regulated under CAA section 112 in West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697
(2022), and so the D.C. Circuit's holding on this issue remains good
law.
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\182\ The EPA's 2009 endangerment finding defines the air
pollution which may endanger public health and welfare as the well-
mixed aggregate group of the following gases: CO2,
methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), sulfur
hexafluoride (SF6), hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), and
perfluorocarbons (PFCs).
\183\ 549 U.S. 497, 520 (2007).
\184\ 131 S. Ct. 2527, 2537-38 (2011).
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In 2015, the EPA promulgated two rules that addressed
CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The first
promulgated standards of performance for new fossil fuel-fired EGUs.
``Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New,
Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary Sources: Electric Utility
Generating Units; Final Rule,'' (80 FR 64510; October 23, 2015) (2015
NSPS). The second promulgated emission guidelines for existing sources.
``Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources:
Electric Utility Generating Units; Final Rule,'' (80 FR 64662; October
23, 2015) (Clean Power Plan, or CPP).
1. 2015 NSPS
In 2015, the EPA promulgated an NSPS to limit emissions of GHGs,
manifested as CO2, from newly constructed, modified, and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired electric utility steam generating
units, i.e., utility boilers and IGCC EGUs, and newly constructed and
reconstructed stationary combustion turbine EGUs. These final standards
are codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. In promulgating the NSPS
for newly constructed fossil fuel-fired steam generating units, the EPA
determined the BSER to be a new, highly efficient, supercritical
pulverized coal (SCPC) EGU that implements post-combustion partial CCS
technology. The EPA concluded that CCS was adequately demonstrated
(including being technically feasible) and widely available and could
be implemented at reasonable cost. The EPA identified natural gas co-
firing and IGCC technology (either with natural gas co-firing or
implementing partial CCS) as alternative methods of compliance.
The 2015 NSPS included standards of performance for steam
generating units that undergo a ``reconstruction'' as well as units
that implement ``large modifications,'' (i.e., modifications resulting
in an increase in hourly CO2 emissions of more than 10
percent). The 2015 NSPS did not establish standards of performance for
steam generating units that undertake ``small modifications'' (i.e.,
modifications resulting in an increase in hourly CO2
emissions of less than or equal to 10 percent), due to the limited
information available to inform the analysis of a BSER and
corresponding standard of performance.
The 2015 NSPS also finalized standards of performance for newly
constructed and reconstructed stationary combustion turbine EGUs. For
newly constructed and reconstructed base load natural gas-fired
stationary combustion turbines, the EPA finalized a standard based on
efficient NGCC technology as the BSER. For newly constructed and
reconstructed non-base load natural gas-fired stationary combustion
turbines and for both base load and non-base load multi-fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines, the EPA finalized a heat input-based
standard based on the use of lower-emitting fuels (referred to as clean
fuels in the 2015 NSPS). The EPA did not promulgate final standards of
performance for modified stationary combustion turbines due to lack of
information. The 2015 NSPS remains in effect today.
The EPA received six petitions for reconsideration of the 2015
NSPS. On May 6, 2016 (81 FR 27442), the EPA denied five of the
petitions on the basis that they did not satisfy the statutory
conditions for reconsideration under CAA section 307(d)(7)(B) and
deferred action on one petition that raised the issue of the treatment
of biomass. Apart from these petitions, the EPA proposed to revise the
2015 NSPS in 2018, as discussed in section V.B.2.
Multiple parties also filed petitions for judicial review of the
2015 NSPS in the D.C. Circuit. These cases have been briefed and, on
the EPA's motion, are being held in abeyance pending EPA action
concerning the 2018 proposal to revise the 2015 NSPS.
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA noted that it was authorized to regulate
GHGs from the fossil fuel-fired EGU source categories because it had
listed those source categories under CAA section 111(b)(1)(A). The EPA
added that CAA section 111 did not require it to make a determination
that GHGs from EGUs contribute significantly to dangerous air pollution
(a pollutant-specific significant contribution finding), but in the
alternative, the EPA did make that finding. It explained that
``[greenhouse gas] air pollution may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health or welfare,'' 80 FR 64530 (October 23, 2015) and
emphasized that power plants are ``by far the largest emitters'' of
greenhouse gases among stationary sources in the U.S. Id. at 64522. In
American Lung Ass'n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 977 (D.C. Cir. 2021), the court
held that even if the EPA were required to determine that
CO2 from fossil fuel-fired EGUs contributes significantly to
dangerous air pollution--and the court emphasized that it was not
deciding that the EPA was required to make such a pollutant-specific
determination--the determination in the alternative that the EPA made
in the 2015 NSPS was not arbitrary and capricious and, accordingly, the
EPA had a sufficient basis to regulate greenhouse gases from EGUs under
CAA section 111(d) in the ACE Rule. This aspect of the decision remains
good law. The EPA is not reopening and did not solicit comment on any
of those determinations in the 2015 NSPS concerning its rational basis
to regulate GHG emissions from EGUs or its alternative finding that GHG
emissions from EGUs contribute significantly to dangerous air
pollution.
2. 2018 NSPS Proposal To Revise the 2015 NSPS
In 2018, the EPA proposed to revise the NSPS for new, modified, and
reconstructed fossil fuel-fired steam generating units and IGCC units,
in the Review of Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary Sources: Electric
Utility Generating Units; Proposed Rule (83 FR 65424;
[[Page 39826]]
December 20, 2018) (2018 NSPS Proposal). The EPA proposed to revise the
NSPS for newly constructed units, based on a revised BSER of a highly
efficient SCPC, without partial CCS. The EPA also proposed to revise
the NSPS for modified and reconstructed units. As discussed in IX.A, in
the present action, the EPA is withdrawing this proposed rule.\185\
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\185\ In the 2018 NSPS Proposal, the EPA solicited comment on
whether it is required to make a determination that GHGs from a
source category contribute significantly to dangerous air pollution
as a predicate to promulgating a NSPS for GHG emissions from that
source category for the first time. 83 FR 65432 (December 20, 2018).
The EPA subsequently issued a final rule that provided that it would
not regulate GHGs under CAA section 111 from a source category
unless the GHGs from the category exceed 3 percent of total U.S. GHG
emissions, on grounds that GHGs emitted in a lesser amount do not
contribute significantly to dangerous air pollution. 86 FR 2652
(January 13, 2021). Shortly afterwards, the D.C. Circuit granted an
unopposed motion by the EPA for voluntary vacatur and remand of the
final rule. California v. EPA, No. 21-1035, doc. 1893155 (D.C. Cir.
April 5, 2021).
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3. Clean Power Plan
With the promulgation of the 2015 NSPS, the EPA also incurred a
statutory obligation under CAA section 111(d) to issue emission
guidelines for GHG emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired steam
generating EGUs and stationary combustion turbine EGUs, which the EPA
initially fulfilled with the promulgation of the CPP. See 80 FR 64662
(October 23, 2015). The EPA first determined that the BSER included
three types of measures: (1) improving heat rate (i.e., the amount of
fuel that must be burned to generate a unit of electricity) at coal-
fired steam plants; (2) substituting increased generation from lower-
emitting NGCC plants for generation from higher-emitting steam plants
(which are primarily coal-fired); and (3) substituting increased
generation from new renewable energy sources for generation from fossil
fuel-fired steam plants and combustion turbines. See 80 FR 64667
(October 23, 2015). The latter two measures are known as ``generation
shifting'' because they involve shifting electricity generation from
higher-emitting sources to lower-emitting ones. See 80 FR 64728-29
(October 23, 2015).
The EPA based this BSER determination on a technical record that
evaluated generation shifting, including its cost-effectiveness,
against the relevant statutory criteria for BSER and on a legal
interpretation that the term ``system'' in CAA section 111(a)(1) is
sufficiently broad to encompass shifting of generation from higher-
emitting to lower-emitting sources. See 80 FR 64720 (October 23, 2015).
The EPA then determined the ``degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the [BSER],'' CAA section 111(a)(1),
expressed as emission performance rates. See 80 FR 64667 (October 23,
2015). The EPA explained that a state would ``have to ensure, through
its plan, that the emission standards it establishes for its sources
individually, in the aggregate, or in combination with other measures
undertaken by the state, represent the equivalent of'' those
performance rates (80 FR 64667; October 23, 2015). Neither states nor
sources were required to apply the specific measures identified in the
BSER (80 FR 64667; October 23, 2015), and states could include trading
or averaging programs in their state plans for compliance. See 80 FR
64840 (October 23, 2015).
Numerous states and private parties petitioned for review of the
CPP before the D.C. Circuit. On February 9, 2016, the U.S. Supreme
Court stayed the rule pending review, West Virginia v. EPA, 577 U.S.
1126 (2016). The D.C. Circuit held the litigation in abeyance, and
ultimately dismissed it at the petitioners' request. American Lung
Ass'n, 985 F.3d at 937.
4. The CPP Repeal and ACE Rule
In 2019, the EPA repealed the CPP and replaced it with the ACE
Rule. In contrast to its interpretation of CAA section 111 in the CPP,
in the ACE Rule the EPA determined that the statutory ``text and
reasonable inferences from it'' make ``clear'' that a ``system'' of
emission reduction under CAA section 111(a)(1) ``is limited to measures
that can be applied to and at the level of the individual source,'' (84
FR 32529; July 8, 2019); that is, the system must be limited to control
measures that could be applied at and to each source to reduce
emissions at each source. See 84 FR 32523-24 (July 8, 2019).
Specifically, the ACE Rule argued that the requirements in CAA sections
111(d)(1), (a)(3), and (a)(6), that each state establish a standard of
performance ``for'' ``any existing source,'' defined, in general, as
any ``building . . . [or] facility,'' and the requirement in CAA
section 111(a)(1) that the degree of emission limitation must be
``achievable'' through the ``application'' of the BSER, by their terms,
impose this limitation. The EPA concluded that generation shifting is
not such a control measure. See 84 FR 32546 (July 8, 2019). Based on
its view that the CPP was a ``major rule,'' the EPA further determined
that, absent ``a clear statement from Congress,'' the term `` `system
of emission reduction' '' should not be read to encompass ``generation-
shifting measures.'' See 84 FR 32529 (July 8, 2019). The EPA
acknowledged, however, that ``[m]arket-based forces ha[d] already led
to significant generation shifting in the power sector,'' (84 FR 32532;
July 8, 2019), and that there was ``likely to be no difference between
a world where the CPP is implemented and one where it is not.'' See 84
FR 32561 (July 8, 2019); the Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Repeal
of the Clean Power Plan, and the Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions from Existing Electric Utility Generating Units, 2-1 to 2-
5.\186\
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\186\ https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2019-06/documents/utilities_ria_final_cpp_repeal_and_ace_2019-06.pdf.
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In addition, the EPA promulgated in the ACE Rule a new set of
emission guidelines for existing coal-fired steam-generating EGUs. See
84 FR 32532 (July 8, 2019). In light of ``the legal interpretation
adopted in the repeal of the CPP,'' (84 FR 32532; July 8, 2019)--which
``limit[ed] `standards of performance' to systems that can be applied
at and to a stationary source,'' (84 FR 32534; July 8, 2019)--the EPA
found the BSER to be heat rate improvements alone. See 84 FR 32535
(July 8, 2019). The EPA listed various technologies that could improve
heat rate (84 FR 32536; July 8, 2019), and identified the ``degree of
emission limitation achievable'' by ``providing ranges of expected
[emission] reductions associated with each of the technologies.'' See
84 FR 32537-38 (July 8, 2019).
5. D.C. Circuit Decision in American Lung Association v. EPA Concerning
the CPP Repeal and ACE Rule
Numerous states and private parties petitioned for review of the
CPP Repeal and ACE Rule. In 2021, the D.C. Circuit vacated the ACE
Rule, including the CPP Repeal. American Lung Ass'n v. EPA, 985 F.3d
914 (D.C. Cir. 2021). The court held, among other things, that CAA
section 111(d) does not limit the EPA, in determining the BSER, to
measures applied at and to an individual source. The court noted that
``the sole ground on which the EPA defends its abandonment of the [CPP]
in favor of the ACE Rule is that the text of [CAA section 111] is clear
and unambiguous in constraining the EPA to use only improvements at and
to existing sources in its [BSER].'' 985 F.3d at 944. The court found
``nothing in the text, structure, history, or purpose of [CAA section
111] that compels the reading the EPA adopted.'' 985 F.3d at 957. The
court likewise rejected the
[[Page 39827]]
view that the CPP's use of generation-shifting implicated a ``major
question'' requiring unambiguous authorization by Congress. 985 F.3d at
958-68.
The D.C. Circuit concluded that, because the EPA had relied on an
``erroneous legal premise,'' both the CPP Repeal Rule and the ACE Rule
should be vacated. 985 F.3d at 995. The court did not decide, however,
``whether the approach of the ACE Rule is a permissible reading of the
statute as a matter of agency discretion,'' 985 F.3d at 944, and
instead ``remanded to the EPA so that the Agency may `consider the
question afresh,' '' 985 F.3d at 995 (citations omitted).
The court also rejected the arguments that the EPA cannot regulate
CO2 emissions from coal-fired power plants under CAA section
111(d) at all because it had already regulated mercury emissions from
coal-fired power plants under CAA section 112. 985 F.3d at 988. In
addition, the court held that that the 2015 NSPS included a valid
determination that greenhouse gases from the EGU source category
contributed significantly to dangerous air pollution, which provided a
sufficient basis for a CAA section 111(d) rule regulating greenhouse
gases from existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. Id. at 977.
Because the D.C. Circuit vacated the ACE Rule on the grounds noted
above, it did not address the other challenges to the ACE Rule,
including the arguments by Petitioners that the heat rate improvement
BSER was inadequate because of the limited number of reductions it
achieved and because the ACE Rule failed to include an appropriately
specific degree of emission limitation.
Upon a motion from the EPA, the D.C. Circuit agreed to stay its
mandate with respect to vacatur of the CPP Repeal, American Lung Assn
v. EPA, No. 19-1140, Order (February 22, 2021), so that the CPP
remained repealed. Therefore, following the D.C. Circuit's decision, no
EPA rule under CAA section 111 to reduce GHGs from existing fossil
fuel-fired EGUs remained in place.
6. U.S. Supreme Court Decision in West Virginia v. EPA Concerning the
CPP
The Supreme Court granted petitions for certiorari from the D.C.
Circuit's American Lung Association decision, limited to the question
of whether CAA section 111 authorized the EPA to determine that
``generation shifting'' was the best system of emission reduction for
fossil-fuel fired EGUs. The Supreme Court did not grant certiorari on
the question of whether the EPA was authorized to regulate GHG
emissions from fossil-fuel fired power plants under CAA section 111,
when fossil-fuel fired power plants are regulated for other pollutants
under CAA section 112. In 2022, the U.S. Supreme Court reversed the
D.C. Circuit's vacatur of the ACE Rule's embedded repeal of the CPP.
West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022). The Supreme Court stated
that CAA section 111 authorizes the EPA to determine the BSER and the
degree of emission limitation that state plans must achieve. Id. at
2601-02. The Supreme Court concluded, however, that the CPP's BSER of
``generation-shifting'' raised a ``major question,'' and was not
clearly authorized by section 111. The Court characterized the
generation-shifting BSER as ``restructuring the Nation's overall mix of
electricity generation,'' and stated that the EPA's claim that CAA
section 111 authorized it to promulgate generation shifting as the BSER
was ``not only unprecedented; it also effected a fundamental revision
of the statute, changing it from one sort of scheme of regulation into
an entirely different kind.'' Id. at 2612 (internal quotation marks,
brackets, and citation omitted). The Court explained that the EPA, in
prior rules under CAA section 111, had set emissions limits based on
``measures that would reduce pollution by causing the regulated source
to operate more cleanly.'' Id. at 2610. The Court noted with approval
those ``more traditional air pollution control measures,'' and gave as
examples ``fuel-switching'' and ``add-on controls,'' which, the Court
observed, the EPA had considered in the CPP. Id. at 2611 (internal
quotations marks and citation omitted). In contrast, the Court
continued, generation shifting was ``unprecedented'' because ``[r]ather
than focus on improving the performance of individual sources, it would
improve the overall power system by lowering the carbon intensity of
power generation. And it would do that by forcing a shift throughout
the power grid from one type of energy source to another.'' Id. at
2611-12 (internal quotation marks, emphasis, and citation omitted).
The Court recognized that a rule based on traditional measures
``may end up causing an incidental loss of coal's market share,'' but
emphasized that the CPP was ``obvious[ly] differen[t]'' because, with
its generation-shifting BSER, it ``simply announc[ed] what the market
share of coal, natural gas, wind, and solar must be, and then
require[ed] plants to reduce operations or subsidize their competitors
to get there.'' Id. at 2613 n.4. The Court also emphasized ``the
magnitude and consequence'' of the CPP. Id. at 2616. It noted ``the
magnitude of this unprecedented power over American industry,'' id. at
2612 (internal quotation marks and citation omitted), and added that
the EPA's adoption of generation shifting ``represent[ed] a
transformative expansion in its regulatory authority.'' Id. at 2610
(internal quotation marks and citation omitted). The Court also viewed
the CPP as promulgating ``a program that . . . Congress had considered
and rejected multiple times.'' Id. at 2614 (internal quotation marks
and citation omitted). For these and related reasons, the Court viewed
the CPP as raising a major question, and therefore, requiring ``clear
congressional authorization'' as a basis. Id. (internal quotation marks
and citation omitted).
The Court declined to address the D.C. Circuit's conclusion that
the text of CAA section 111 did not limit the type of ``system'' the
EPA could consider as the BSER to measures applied at and to an
individual source. See id. at 2615. Nor did the Court address the scope
of the states' compliance flexibilities.
7. D.C. Circuit Order Reinstating the ACE Rule
On October 27, 2022, the D.C. Circuit responded to the U.S. Supreme
Court's reversal by recalling its mandate for the vacatur of the ACE
Rule. American Lung Ass'n v. EPA, No. 19-1140, Order (October 27,
2022). Accordingly, at that time, the ACE Rule came back into effect.
The court also revised its judgment to deny petitions for review
challenging the CPP Repeal Rule, consistent with the judgment in West
Virginia, so that the CPP remains repealed. The court took further
action denying several of the petitions for review unaffected by the
Supreme Court's decision in West Virginia, which means that certain
parts of its 2021 decision in American Lung Association remain in
effect. These parts include the holding that the EPA's prior regulation
of mercury emissions from coal-fired electric power plants under CAA
section 112 does not preclude the Agency from regulating CO2
from coal-fired electric power plants under CAA section 111, and the
holding, discussed above, that the 2015 NSPS included a valid
significant contribution determination and therefore provided a
sufficient basis for a CAA section 111(d) rule regulating greenhouse
gases from existing fossil fuel-fired EGUs. The court's holding to
invalidate amendments to the implementing regulations applicable to
emission guidelines under CAA section 111(d) that extended the
preexisting schedules
[[Page 39828]]
for state and Federal actions and sources' compliance, also remains in
force. Based on the EPA's stated intention to replace the ACE Rule, the
court stayed further proceedings with respect to the ACE Rule,
including the various challenges that its BSER was flawed because it
did not achieve sufficient emission reductions and failed to specify an
appropriately specific degree of emission limitation.
C. Detailed Discussion of CAA Section 111 Requirements
This section discusses in more detail the key requirements of CAA
section 111 for both new and existing sources that are relevant for
these rulemakings.
1. Approach to the Source Category and Subcategorizing
CAA section 111 requires the EPA first to list stationary source
categories that cause or contribute to air pollution which may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare and then
to regulate new sources within each such source category. CAA section
111(b)(2) grants the EPA discretion whether to ``distinguish among
classes, types, and sizes within categories of new sources for the
purpose of establishing [new source] standards,'' which we refer to as
``subcategorizing.'' Whether and how to subcategorize is a decision for
which the EPA is entitled to a ``high degree of deference'' because it
entails ``scientific judgment.'' Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198
F.3d 930, 933 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
Although CAA section 111(d)(1) does not explicitly address
subcategorization, since its first regulations implementing the CAA,
the EPA has interpreted it to authorize the Agency to exercise
discretion as to whether and, if so, how to subcategorize, for the
following reasons. CAA section 111(d)(1) grants the EPA authority to
``prescribe regulations which shall establish a procedure . . . under
which each State shall submit to the Administrator a plan [with
standards of performance for existing sources.]'' The EPA promulgates
emission guidelines under this provision directing the states to
regulate existing sources. The Supreme Court has recognized that, under
CAA section 111(d), the ``Agency, not the States, decides the amount of
pollution reduction that must ultimately be achieved. It does so by
again determining, as when setting the new source rules, `the best
system of emission reduction . . . that has been adequately
demonstrated for [existing covered] facilities.' West Virginia, 597
U.S. at 710 (citations omitted).
The EPA's authority to determine the BSER includes the authority to
create subcategories that tailor the BSER for differently situated sets
of sources. Again, for new sources, CAA section 111(b)(2) confers
authority for the EPA to ``distinguish among classes, types, and sizes
within categories.'' Though CAA section 111(d) does not speak
specifically to the creation of subcategories for a category of
existing sources, the authority to identify the ``best'' system of
emission reduction for existing sources includes the discretion to
differentiate between differently situated sources in the category, and
group those sources into subcategories in appropriate circumstances.
The size, type, class, and other characteristics can make different
emission controls more appropriate for different sources. A system of
emission reduction that is ``best'' for some sources may not be
``best'' for others with different characteristics. For more than four
decades, the EPA has interpreted CAA section 111(d) to confer authority
on the Agency to create subcategories. The EPA's implementing
regulations under CAA section 111(d), promulgated in 1975, 40 FR 53340
(November 17, 1975), provide that the Administrator will specify
different emission guidelines or compliance times or both ``for
different sizes, types, and classes of designated facilities when
[based on] costs of control, physical limitations, geographical
location, or [based on] similar factors.'' \187\ This regulation
governs the EPA's general authority to subcategorize under CAA section
111(d), and the EPA is not reopening that issue here. At the time of
promulgation, the EPA explained that subcategorization allows the EPA
to take into account ``differences in sizes and types of facilities and
similar considerations, including differences in control costs that may
be involved for sources located in different parts of the country'' so
that the ``EPA's emission guidelines will in effect be tailored to what
is reasonably achievable by particular classes of existing sources. . .
.'' Id. at 53343. The EPA's authority to ``distinguish among classes,
types, and sizes within categories,'' as provided under CAA section
111(b)(2), generally allows the Agency to place types of sources into
subcategories. This is consistent with the commonly understood meaning
of the term ``type'' in CAA section 111(b)(2): ``a particular kind,
class, or group,'' or ``qualities common to a number of individuals
that distinguish them as an identifiable class.'' See https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/type.
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\187\ 40 CFR 60.22(b)(5), 60.22a(b)(5). Because the definition
of subcategories depends on characteristics relevant to the BSER,
and because those characteristics can differ as between new and
existing sources, the EPA may establish different subcategories as
between new and existing sources.
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The EPA has developed subcategories in many rulemakings under CAA
section 111 since the 1970s. These rulemakings have included
subcategories on the basis of the size of the sources, see 40 CFR
60.40b(b)(1)-(2) (subcategorizing certain coal-fired steam generating
units on the basis of heat input capacity); the types of fuel
combusted, see Sierra Club, v. EPA, 657 F.2d 298, 318-19 (D.C. Cir.
1981) (upholding a rulemaking that established different NSPS ``for
utility plants that burn coal of varying sulfur content''), 2015 NSPS,
80 FR 64510, 64602 (table 15) (October 23, 2015) (subdividing new
combustion turbines on the basis of type of fuel combusted); the types
of equipment used to produce products, see 81 FR 35824 (June 3, 2016)
(promulgating separate NSPS for many types of oil and gas sources, such
as centrifugal compressors, pneumatic controllers, and well sites);
types of manufacturing processes used to produce product, see 42 FR
12022 (March 1, 1977) (announcing availability of final guideline
document for control of atmospheric fluoride emissions from existing
phosphate fertilizer plants) and ``Final Guideline Document: Control of
Fluoride Emissions From Existing Phosphate Fertilizer Plants,'' EPA-
450/2-77-005 1-7 to 1-9, including table 1-2 (applying different
control requirements for different manufacturing operations for
phosphate fertilizer); levels of utilization of the sources, see 2015
NSPS, 80 FR 64510, 64602 (table 15) (October 23, 2015) (dividing new
natural gas-fired combustion turbines into the subcategories of base
load and non-base load); the activity level of the sources, see 81 FR
59276, 59278-79 (August 29, 2016) (dividing municipal solid waste
landfills into the subcategories of active and closed landfills); and
geographic location of the sources, see 71 FR 38482 (July 6, 2006)
(SO2 NSPS for stationary combustion turbines subcategorizing
turbines on the basis of whether they are located in, for example, a
continental area, a non-continental area, the part of Alaska north of
the Arctic Circle, and the rest of Alaska). Thus, the EPA has
subcategorized many times in rulemaking under CAA sections 111(b) and
111(d) and based on a wide variety of physical, locational, and
operational characteristics.
Regardless of whether the EPA subcategorizes within a source
category
[[Page 39829]]
for purposes of determining the BSER and the degree of emission
limitation achievable, a state retains certain flexibility in assigning
standards of performance to its affected EGUs. The statutory framework
for CAA section 111(d) emission guidelines, and the flexibilities
available to states within that framework, are discussed below.
2. Key Elements of Determining a Standard of Performance
Congress first included the definition of ``standard of
performance'' when enacting CAA section 111 in the 1970 Clean Air Act
Amendments (CAAA), amended it in the 1977 CAAA, and then amended it
again in the 1990 CAAA to largely restore the definition as it read in
the 1970 CAAA. The current text of CAA section 111(a)(1) reads: ``The
term `standard of performance' means a standard for emission of air
pollutants which reflects the degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the best system of emission reduction which
(taking into account the cost of achieving such reduction and any non-
air quality health and environmental impact and energy requirements)
the Administrator determines has been adequately demonstrated.'' The
D.C. Circuit has reviewed CAA section 111 rulemakings on numerous
occasions since 1973,\188\ and has developed a body of caselaw that
interprets the term ``standard of performance,'' as discussed
throughout this preamble.
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\188\ Portland Cement Ass'n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375 (D.C.
Cir. 1973); Essex Chemical Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427 (D.C.
Cir. 1973); Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981);
Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999);
Portland Cement Ass'n v. EPA, 665 F.3d 177 (D.C. Cir. 2011);
American Lung Ass'n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 914 (D.C. Cir. 2021), rev'd in
part, West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022). See also Delaware
v. EPA, No. 13-1093 (D.C. Cir. May 1, 2015).
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The basis for standards of performance, whether promulgated by the
EPA under CAA section 111(b) or established by the states under CAA
section 111(d), is that the EPA determines the ``degree of emission
limitation'' that is ``achievable'' by the sources by application of a
``system of emission reduction'' that the EPA determines is
``adequately demonstrated,'' ``taking into account'' the factors of
``cost . . . and any nonair quality health and environmental impact and
energy requirements,'' and that the EPA determines to be the ``best.''
The D.C. Circuit has stated that in determining the ``best'' system,
the EPA must also take into account ``the amount of air pollution''
\189\ reduced and the role of ``technological innovation.'' \190\ The
D.C. Circuit has also stated that to determine the ``best'' system, the
EPA may weigh the various factors identified in the statute and caselaw
against each other, and has emphasized that the EPA has discretion in
weighing the factors.191 192
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\189\ See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 326 (D.C. Cir.
1981).
\190\ See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 347.
\191\ See Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933.
\192\ CAA section 111(a)(1), by its terms states that the
factors enumerated in the parenthetical are part of the ``adequately
demonstrated'' determination. In addition, the D.C. Circuit's
caselaw makes clear that the EPA may consider these same factors
when it determines which adequately demonstrated system of emission
reduction is the ``best.'' See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at
330 (recognizing that CAA section 111 gives the EPA authority ``when
determining the best technological system to weigh cost, energy, and
environmental impacts'').
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The EPA's overall approach to determining the BSER and degree of
emission limitation achievable, which incorporates the various
elements, is as follows: The EPA identifies ``system[s] of emission
reduction'' that have been ``adequately demonstrated'' for a particular
source category and determines the ``best'' of these systems after
evaluating the amount of emission reductions, costs, any non-air health
and environmental impacts, and energy requirements. As discussed below,
for each of numerous subcategories, the EPA followed this approach to
determine the BSER on the basis that the identified costs are
reasonable and that the BSER is rational in light of the statutory
factors, including the amount of emission reductions, that the EPA
examined in its BSER analysis, consistent with governing precedent.
After determining the BSER, the EPA determines an achievable
emission limit based on application of the BSER.\193\ For a CAA section
111(b) rule, the EPA determines the standard of performance that
reflects the achievable emission limit. For a CAA section 111(d) rule,
the states have the obligation of establishing standards of performance
for the affected sources that reflect the degree of emission limitation
that the EPA has determined. As discussed below, the EPA is finalizing
these determinations in association with each of the BSER
determinations.
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\193\ See, e.g., Oil and Natural Gas Sector: New Source
Performance Standards and National Emission Standards for Hazardous
Air pollutants Reviews (77 FR 49494; August 16, 2012) (describing
the three-step analysis in setting a standard of performance).
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The remainder of this subsection discusses each element in our
general analytical approach.
a. System of Emission Reduction
The CAA does not define the phrase ``system of emission
reduction.'' In West Virginia v. EPA, the Supreme Court recognized that
historically, the EPA had looked to ``measures that improve the
pollution performance of individual sources and followed a
``technology-based approach'' in identifying systems of emission
reduction. In particular, the Court identified ``the sort of `systems
of emission reduction' [the EPA] had always before selected,'' which
included `` `efficiency improvements, fuel-switching,' and `add-on
controls'.'' 597 U.S. at 727 (quoting the Clean Power Plan).\194\
Section 111 itself recognizes that such systems may include off-site
activities that may reduce a source's pollution contribution,
identifying ``precombustion cleaning or treatment of fuels'' as a
``system'' of ``emission reduction.'' 42 U.S.C. 7411(a)(7)(B). A
``system of emission reduction'' thus, at a minimum, includes measures
that an individual source applies that improve the emissions
performance of that source. Measures are fairly characterized as
improving the pollution performance of a source where they reduce the
individual source's overall contribution to pollution.
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\194\ As noted in section V.B.4 of this preamble, the ACE Rule
adopted the interpretation that CAA section 111(a)(1), by its plain
language, limits ``system of emission reduction'' to those control
measures that could be applied at and to each source to reduce
emissions at each source. 84 FR 32523-24 (July 8, 2019). The EPA has
subsequently rejected that interpretation as too narrow. See
Adoption and Submittal of State Plans for Designated Facilities:
Implementing Regulations Under Clean Air Act Section 111(d), 88 FR
80535 (November 17, 2023).
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In West Virginia, the Supreme Court did not define the term
``system of emissions reduction,'' and so did not rule on whether
``system of emission reduction'' is limited to those measures that the
EPA has historically relied upon. It did go on to apply the major
questions doctrine to hold that the term ``system'' does not provide
the requisite clear authorization to support the Clean Power Plan's
BSER, which the Court described as ``carbon emissions caps based on a
generation shifting approach.'' Id. at 2614. While the Court did not
define the outer bounds of the meaning of ``system,'' systems of
emissions reduction like fuel switching, add-on controls, and
efficiency improvements fall comfortably within the scope of prior
practice as recognized by the Supreme Court.
b. ``Adequately Demonstrated''
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), an essential, although not sufficient,
condition for a ``system of emission
[[Page 39830]]
reduction'' to serve as the basis for an ``achievable'' emission
standard is that the Administrator must determine that the system is
``adequately demonstrated.'' The concepts of adequate demonstration and
achievability are closely related: as the D.C. Circuit has stated,
``[i]t is the system which must be adequately demonstrated and the
standard which must be achievable,'' \195\ through application of the
system. An achievable standard means a standard based on the EPA's
record-based finding that sufficient evidence exists to reasonably
determine that the affected sources in the source category can adopt a
specific system of emission reduction to achieve the specified degree
of emission limitation. As discussed below, consistent with Congress's
use of the word ``demonstrated,'' the caselaw has approved the EPA's
``adequately demonstrated'' determinations concerning systems utilized
at test sources or other individual sources operating at commercial
scale. The case law also authorizes the EPA to set an emissions
standard at levels more stringent than has regularly been achieved,
based on the understanding that sources will be able to adopt specific
technological improvements to the system in question that will enable
them to achieve the lower standard. Importantly, and contrary to some
comments received on the proposed rule, CAA section 111(a)(1) does not
require that a system of emission reduction exist in widespread
commercial use in order to satisfy the ``adequately demonstrated''
requirement.\196\ Instead, CAA section 111(a)(1) authorizes the EPA to
establish standards which encourage the deployment of more effective
systems of emission reduction that have been adequately demonstrated
but that are not yet in widespread use. This aligns with Congress's
purpose in enacting the CAA, in particular its recognition that
polluting sources were not widely adopting emission control technology
on a voluntary basis and that Federal regulation was necessary to spur
the development and deployment of those technologies.\197\
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\195\ Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 433 (1973)
(emphasis omitted).
\196\ See, e.g., Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427
(D.C. Cir. 1973) (in which the D.C. Circuit upheld a CAA section 111
standard based on a system which had been extensively used in Europe
but at the time of promulgation was only in use in the United States
at one plant).
\197\ In introducing the respective bills which ultimately
became the 1970 Clean Air Act upon Conference Committee review, both
the House and Senate emphasized the urgency of the matter at hand,
the intended power of the new legislation, and in particular its
technology-forcing nature. The first page of the House report
declared that ``[t]he purpose of the legislation reported
unanimously by [Committee was] to speed up, expand, and intensify
the war against air pollution in the United States . . .'' H.R. Rep.
No. 17255 at 1 (1970). It was clear, stated the House report, that
until that point ``the strategies which [the United States had]
pursued in the war against air pollution [had] been inadequate in
several important respects, and the methods employed in implementing
those strategies often [had] been slow and less effective than they
might have been.'' Id. The Senate report agreed, stating that their
bill would ``provide a much more intensive and comprehensive attack
on air pollution,'' 1 S. 4358 at 4 (1970), including, crucially, by
increased federal involvement. See id.
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i. Plain Text, Statutory Context, and Legislative History of the
``Adequately Demonstrated'' Provision in CAA Section 111(a)(1)
Analysis of the plain text, statutory context, and legislative
history of CAA section 111(a)(1) establishes two primary themes. First,
Congress assigned the task of determining the appropriate BSER to the
Administrator, based on a reasonable review of available evidence.
Second, Congress authorized the EPA to set a standard, based on the
evidence, that encourages broader adoption of an emissions-reducing
technological approach that may not yet be in widespread use.
The plain text of CAA section 111(a)(1), and in particular the
phrase ``the Administrator determines'' and the term ``adequately,''
confer discretion to the EPA in identifying the appropriate system.
Rather than providing specific criteria for determining what
constitutes appropriate evidence, Congress directed the Administrator
to ``determine[ ]'' that the demonstration is ``adequate[ ].'' Courts
have typically deferred to the EPA's scientific and technological
judgments in making such determinations.\198\ Further, use of the term
``adequate'' in provisions throughout the CAA highlights EPA
flexibility and discretion in setting standards and in analyzing data
that forms the basis for standard setting.
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\198\ The D.C. Circuit stated in Nat'l Asphalt Pavement Ass'n v.
Train, 539 F.2d 775, 786 (D.C. Cir. 1976) ``The standard of review
of actions of the Administrator in setting standards of performance
is an appropriately deferential one, and we are to affirm the action
of the Administrator unless it is ``arbitrary, capricious, an abuse
of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law,'' 5 U.S.C.
706(2)(A) (1970). Since this is one of those ``highly technical
areas, where our understanding of the import of the evidence is
attenuated, our readiness to review evidentiary support for
decisions must be correspondingly restrained.'' Ethyl Corporation v.
EPA, 96 S. Ct. 2663 (1976). ``Our `expertise' is not in setting
standards for emission control, but in determining if the standards
as set are the result of reasoned decision-making.'' Essex Chem.
Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 434 (D.C. Cir. 1973)) (cleaned
up).''
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In setting NAAQS under CAA section 109, for example, the EPA is
directed to determine, according to ``the judgment of the
Administrator,'' an ``adequate margin of safety.'' \199\ The D.C.
Circuit has held that the use of the term ``adequate'' confers
significant deference to the Administrator's scientific and
technological judgment. In Mississippi v. EPA,\200\ for example, the
D.C. Circuit in 2013 upheld the EPA's choice to set the NAAQS for ozone
below 0.08 ppm, and noted that any disagreements with the EPA's
interpretations of the scientific evidence that underlay this decision
``must come from those who are qualified to evaluate the science, not
[the court].'' \201\ This Mississippi v. EPA precedent aligns with the
general standard for judicial review of the EPA's understanding of the
evidence under CAA section 307(d)(9)(A) (``arbitrary, capricious, an
abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law'').
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\199\ 42 U.S.C. 7409(b)(1).
\200\ 744 F.3d 1334 (D.C. Cir. 2013).
\201\ Id.
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The plain language of the phrase ``has been adequately
demonstrated,'' in context, and in light of the legislative history,
further strongly indicates that the system in question need not be in
widespread use at the time the EPA's rule is published. To the
contrary, CAA section 111(a)(1) authorizes technology forcing, in the
sense that the EPA is authorized to promote a system which is not yet
in widespread use; provided the technology is in existence and the EPA
has adequate evidence to extrapolate.\202\
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\202\ While not relevant here, because CCS is already in
existence, the text, case law, and legislative history make a
compelling case that EPA is authorized to go farther than this, and
may make a projection regarding the way in which a particular system
will develop to allow for greater emissions reductions in the
future. See 80 FR 64556-58 (discussion of ``adequately
demonstrated'' in 2015 NSPS).
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Some commenters argued that use of the phrase ``has been'' in ``has
been adequately demonstrated'' means that the system must be in
widespread commercial use at the time of rule promulgation. We
disagree. Considering the plain text, the use of the past tense, ``has
been adequately demonstrated'' indicates a requirement that the
technology currently be demonstrated. However, ``demonstrated'' in
common usage at the time of enactment meant to ``explain or make clear
by using examples, experiments, etc.'' \203\ As a general matter, and
as this definition indicates, the term ``to demonstrate'' suggests the
need for a test or study--as in, for example, a ``demonstration
[[Page 39831]]
project'' or ``demonstration plant''--that is, examples of
technological feasibility.
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\203\ Webster's New World Dictionary: Second College Edition
(David B. Guralnik, ed., 1972).
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The statutory context is also useful in establishing that where
Congress wanted to specify the availability of the control system, it
did so. The only other use of the exact term ``adequately
demonstrated'' occurs in CAA section 119, which establishes that, in
order for the EPA to require a particular ``means of emission
limitation'' for smelters, the Agency must establish that such means
``has been adequately demonstrated to be reasonably available. . . .''
\204\ The lack of the phrase ``reasonably available'' in CAA section
111(a)(1) is notable, and suggests that a system may be ``adequately
demonstrated'' under CAA section 111 even if it is not ``reasonably
available'' for every single source.\205\
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\204\ The statutory text at CAA section 119 continues, ``as
determined by the Administrator, taking into account the cost of
compliance, nonair quality health and environmental impact, and
energy consideration.'' 42 U.S.C. 7419(b)(3).
\205\ It should also be noted that the section 119 language was
added as part of the 1977 Clean Air Act amendments, while the
section 111 language was established in 1970. Thus, Congress was
aware of section 111's more permissive language when it added the
``reasonably available'' language to section 119.
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The term ``demonstration'' also appears in CAA section 103 in an
instructive context. CAA section 103, which establishes a ``national
research and development program for the prevention and control of air
pollution'' directs that as part of this program, the EPA shall
``conduct, and promote the coordination and acceleration of, research,
investigations, experiments, demonstrations, surveys, and studies
relating to'' the issue of air pollution.\206\ According to the canon
of noscitur a sociis, associated words in a list bear on one another's
meaning.\207\ In CAA section 103, the word ``demonstrations'' appears
alongside ``research,'' ``investigations,'' ``experiments,'' and
``studies''--all words suggesting the development of new and emerging
technology. This supports interpreting CAA section 111(a)(1) to
authorize the EPA to determine a system of emission reduction to be
``adequately demonstrated'' based on demonstration projects, testing,
examples, or comparable evidence.
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\206\ 42 U.S.C. 7403(a)(1).
\207\ As the Supreme Court recently explained in Dubin v. United
States, even words that might be indeterminate alone may be more
easily interpreted in ``company,'' because per noscitur a sociis ``a
word is known by the company it keeps.'' 599 U.S. 110, 244 (2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, the legislative history of the CAA in general, and section
111 in particular, strongly supports the point that BSER technology
need not be in widespread use at the time of rule enactment. The final
language of CAA section 111(a)(1), requiring that systems of emission
reduction be ``adequately demonstrated,'' was the result of compromise
in the Conference Committee between the House and Senate bill language.
The House bill would have required that the EPA give ``appropriate
consideration to technological and economic feasibility'' when
establishing standards.\208\ The Senate bill would have required that
standards ``reflect the greatest degree of emission control which the
Secretary determines to be achievable through application of the latest
available control technology, processes, operating methods, or other
alternatives.'' \209\ Although the exact language of neither the House
nor Senate bill was adopted in the final bill, both reports made clear
their intent that CAA section 111 would be significantly technology-
forcing. In particular, the Senate Report referred to ``available
control technology''--a phrase that, as just noted, the Senate bill
included--but clarified that the technology need not ``be in actual,
routine use somewhere.'' \210\ The House Report explained that EPA
regulations would ``prevent and control such emissions to the fullest
extent compatible with the available technology and economic
feasibility as determined by [the EPA],'' and ``[i]n order to be
considered `available' the technology may not be one which constitutes
a purely theoretical or experimental means of preventing or controlling
air pollution.'' \211\ This last statement implies that the House
Report anticipated that the EPA's determination may be technology
forcing. Nothing in the legislative history suggests that Congress
intended that the technology already be in widespread commercial use.
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\208\ H.R. Rep. No. 17255 at 921 (1970) (quoting CAA Sec.
112(a), as proposed).
\209\ S. Rept. 4358 at 91 (quoting CAA Sec. 113(b)(2), as
proposed).
\210\ S. Rep. 4358 at 15-16 (1970). The Senate Report went on to
say that the EPA should ``examine the degree of emission control
that has been or can be achieved through the application of
technology which is available or normally can be made available . .
. at a cost and at a time which [the Agency] determines to be
reasonable.'' Id. Again, this language rebuts any suggestion that a
BSER technology must be in widespread use at the time of rule
enactment--Congress assumed only that the technology would be
``available'' or even that it ``[could] be made available,'' not
that it would be already broadly used.
\211\ H.R. Rep. No. 17255 at 900.
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ii. Caselaw
In a series of cases reviewing standards for new sources, the D.C.
Circuit has held that an adequately demonstrated standard of
performance may reflect the EPA's reasonable projection of what that
particular system may be expected to achieve going forward,
extrapolating from available data from pilot projects or individual
commercial-scale sources. A standard may be considered achievable even
if the system upon which the standard is based has not regularly
achieved the standard in testing. See, e.g., Essex Chem. Corp. v.
Ruckelshaus \212\ (upholding a standard of 4.0 lbs per ton based on a
system whose average control rate was 4.6 lbs per ton, and which had
achieved 4.0 lbs per ton on only three occasions and ```nearly equaled'
[the standard] on the average of nineteen different readings.'') \213\
The Ruckelshaus court concluded that the EPA's extrapolation from
available data was ``the result of the exercise of reasoned discretion
by the Administrator'' and therefore ``[could not] be upset by [the]
court.'' \214\ The court also emphasized that in order to be considered
achievable, the standard set by the EPA need not be regularly or even
specifically achieved at the time of rule promulgation. Instead,
according to the court, ``[a]n achievable standard is one which is
within the realm of the adequately demonstrated system's efficiency and
which, while not at a level that is purely theoretical or experimental,
need not necessarily be routinely achieved within the industry prior to
its adoption.'' \215\
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\212\ 486 F.2d 427 (D.C. Cir. 1973).
\213\ Id. at 437.
\214\ Id. at 437.
\215\ Id. at 433-34 (D.C. Cir. 1973). See also Sierra Club v.
Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981), which supports the point that
EPA may extrapolate from testing results, rather than relying on
consistent performance, to identify an appropriate system and
standard based on that system. In that case, EPA analyzed scrubber
performance by considering performance during short-term testing
periods. See id. at 377.
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Case law also establishes that the EPA may set a standard more
stringent than has regularly been achieved based on its identification
of specific available technological improvements to the system. See
Sierra Club v. Costle \216\ (upholding a 90 percent standard for
SO2 emissions from coal-fired steam generators despite the
fact that not all plants had previously achieved this standard, based
on the EPA's expectations for improved performance with specific
technological fixes and the use of ``coal washing'' going
forward).\217\ Further, the EPA may extrapolate based on testing at a
particular kind of source to conclude that the technology at issue will
also be effective at a different,
[[Page 39832]]
related, source. See Lignite Energy Council v. EPA \218\ (holding it
permissible to base a standard for industrial boilers on application of
SCR based on extrapolated information about the application of SCR on
utility boilers).\219\ The Lignite court clarified that ``where data
are unavailable, EPA may not base its determination that a technology
is adequately demonstrated or that a standard is achievable on mere
speculation or conjecture,'' but the ``EPA may compensate for a
shortage of data through the use of other qualitative methods,
including the reasonable extrapolation of a technology's performance in
other industries.'' \220\
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\216\ 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981).
\217\ Id. at 365, 370-73; 365.
\218\ 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
\219\ See id. at 933-34.
\220\ Id. at 934 (emphasis added).
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As a general matter, the case law is clear that at the time of Rule
promulgation, the system which the EPA establishes as BSER need not be
in widespread use. See, e.g., Ruckelshaus \221\ (upholding a standard
based on a relatively new system which was in use at only one United
States plant at the time of rule promulgation. Although the system was
in use more extensively in Europe at the time of rule promulgation, the
EPA based its analysis on test results from the lone U.S. plant only.)
\222\ This makes good sense, because, as discussed above, CAA section
111(a)(1) authorizes a technology-forcing standard that encourages
broader adoption of an emissions-reducing technological approach that
is not yet broadly used. It follows that at the time of promulgation,
not every source will be prepared to adopt the BSER at once. Instead,
as discussed next, the EPA's responsibility is to determine that the
technology can be adopted in a reasonable period of time, and to base
its requirements on this understanding.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\221\ 486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973). See also Sierra Club v.
Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981), which supports the point that
EPA may extrapolate from testing results, rather than relying on
consistent performance, to identify an appropriate system and
standard based on that system. In that case, EPA analyzed scrubber
performance by considering performance during short-term testing
periods. See id. at 377.
\222\ 486 F.2d at 435-36.
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iii. Compliance Timeframe
The preceding subsections have shown various circumstances under
which the EPA may determine that a system of emission reduction is
``adequately demonstrated.'' In order to establish that a system is
appropriate for the source category as a whole, the EPA must also
demonstrate that the industry can deploy the technology at scale in the
compliance timeframe. The D.C. Circuit has stated that the EPA may
determine a ``system of emission reduction'' to be ``adequately
demonstrated'' if the EPA reasonably projects that it may be more
broadly deployed with adequate lead time. This view is well-grounded in
the purposes of CAA section 111(a)(1), discussed above, which aim to
control dangerous air pollution by allowing for standards which
encourage more widespread adoption of a technology demonstrated at
individual plants.
As a practical matter, CAA section 111's allowance for lead time
recognizes that existing pollution control systems may be complex and
may require a predictable amount of time for sources across the source
category to be able to design, acquire, install, test, and begin to
operate them.\223\ Time may also be required to allow for the
development of skilled labor, and materials like steel, concrete, and
speciality parts. Accordingly, in setting 111 standards for both new
and existing sources, the EPA has typically allowed for some amount of
time before sources must demonstrate compliance with the standards. For
instance, in the 2015 NSPS for residential wood heaters, the EPA
established a ``stepped compliance approach'' which phased in
requirements over 5 years to ``allow manufacturers lead time to
develop, test, field evaluate and certify current technologies'' across
their model lines.\224\ The EPA also allowed for a series of phase-ins
of various requirements in the 2023 oil and gas NSPS.\225\ For example:
the EPA finalized a compliance deadline for process controllers
allowing for 1 year from the effective date of the final rule, to allow
for delays in equipment availability; \226\ the EPA established a 1-
year lead time period for pumps, also in response to possible equipment
and labor shortages; \227\ and the EPA built in 24 months between
publication in the Federal Register and the commencement of a
requirement to end routine flaring and route associated gas to a sales
line.\228\
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\223\ As discussed above, although the EPA is not relying on
this point for purposes of these rules, it should be noted that the
EPA may determine a system of emission reduction to be adequately
demonstrated based on some amount of projection, even if some
aspects of the system are still in development. Thus, the
authorization for lead time accommodates the development of
projected technology.
\224\ See Standards of Performance for New Residential Wood
Heaters, New Residential Hydronic Heaters and Forced-Air Furnaces,
80 FR 13672, 13676 (March 16, 2015).
\225\ See Standards of Performance for New, Reconstructed, and
Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil
and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review. 89 FR 16943 (March 8, 2024).
\226\ See id. at 16929.
\227\ See id. at 16937.
\228\ See id. at 16886.
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Finally, the EPA's longstanding regulations for new source
performance standards under CAA section 111 specifically authorize a
minimum period for lead time. Pursuant to 40 CFR 60.11, compliance with
CAA section 111 standards is generally determined in accordance with
performance tests conducted under 40 CFR 60.8. Both of these regulatory
provisions were adopted in 1971. Under 40 CFR 60.8, source performance
is generally measured via performance tests, which must typically be
carried out ``within 60 days after achieving the maximum production
rate at which the affected facility will be operated, but not later
than 180 days after initial startup of such facility, or at such other
times specified by this part, and at such other times as may be
required by the Administrator under section 114 of the Act. . . .''
\229\ The fact that this provision has been in place for over 50 years
indicates that the EPA has long recognized the need for lead time for
at least one component of control development.\230\
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\229\ 40 CFR 60.8.
\230\ For further discussion of lead time in the context of this
rulemaking, see section VIII.F.
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c. Costs
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), in determining whether a particular
emission control is the ``best system of emission reduction . . .
adequately demonstrated,'' the EPA is required to take into account
``the cost of achieving [the emission] reduction.'' Although the CAA
does not describe how the EPA is to account for costs to affected
sources, the D.C. Circuit has formulated the cost standard in various
ways, including stating that the EPA may not adopt a standard the cost
of which would be ``excessive'' or ``unreasonable.'' 231 232
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\231\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 343 (D.C. Cir. 1981).
See 79 FR 1430, 1464 (January 8, 2014); Lignite Energy Council, 198
F.3d at 933 (costs may not be ``exorbitant''); Portland Cement Ass'n
v. EPA, 513 F.2d 506, 508 (D.C. Cir. 1975) (costs may not be
``greater than the industry could bear and survive'').
\232\ These cost formulations are consistent with the
legislative history of CAA section 111. The 1977 House Committee
Report noted:
In the [1970] Congress [sic: Congress's] view, it was only right
that the costs of applying best practicable control technology be
considered by the owner of a large new source of pollution as a
normal and proper expense of doing business.
1977 House Committee Report at 184. Similarly, the 1970 Senate
Committee Report stated:
The implicit consideration of economic factors in determining
whether technology is ``available'' should not affect the usefulness
of this section. The overriding purpose of this section would be to
prevent new air pollution problems, and toward that end, maximum
feasible control of new sources at the time of their construction is
seen by the committee as the most effective and, in the long run,
the least expensive approach.
S. Comm. Rep. No. 91-1196 at 16.
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[[Page 39833]]
The EPA has discretion in its consideration of cost under section
111(a), both in determining the appropriate level of costs and in
balancing costs with other BSER factors.\233\ To determine the BSER,
the EPA must weigh the relevant factors, including the cost of controls
and the amount of emission reductions, as well as other factors.\234\
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\233\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 343 (D.C. Cir. 1981).
\234\ Id. (EPA's conclusion that the high cost of control was
acceptable was ``a judgment call with which we are not inclined to
quarrel'').
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The D.C. Circuit has repeatedly upheld the EPA's consideration of
cost in reviewing standards of performance. In several cases, the court
upheld standards that entailed significant costs, consistent with
Congress's view that ``the costs of applying best practicable control
technology be considered by the owner of a large new source of
pollution as a normal and proper expense of doing business.'' \235\ See
Essex Chemical Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 440 (D.C. Cir.
1973); \236\ Portland Cement Ass'n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375, 387-88
(D.C. Cir. 1973); Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 313 (D.C. Cir.
1981) (upholding NSPS imposing controls on SO2 emissions
from coal-fired power plants when the ``cost of the new controls . . .
is substantial. The EPA estimates that utilities will have to spend
tens of billions of dollars by 1995 on pollution control under the new
NSPS.'').
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\235\ 1977 House Committee Report at 184.
\236\ The costs for these standards were described in the
rulemakings. See 36 FR 24876 (December 23, 1971), 37 FR 5769 (March
21, 1972).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In its CAA section 111 rulemakings, the EPA has frequently used a
cost-effectiveness metric, which determines the cost in dollars for
each ton or other quantity of the regulated air pollutant removed
through the system of emission reduction. See, e.g., 81 FR 35824 (June
3, 2016) (NSPS for GHG and VOC emissions for the oil and natural gas
source category); 71 FR 9866, 9870 (February 27, 2006) (NSPS for
NOX, SO2, and PM emissions from fossil fuel-fired
electric utility steam generating units); 61 FR 9905, 9910 (March 12,
1996) (NSPS and emission guidelines for nonmethane organic compounds
and landfill gas from new and existing municipal solid waste
landfills); 50 FR 40158 (October 1, 1985) (NSPS for SO2
emissions from sweetening and sulfur recovery units in natural gas
processing plants). This metric allows the EPA to compare the amount a
regulation would require sources to pay to reduce a particular
pollutant across regulations and industries. In rules for the electric
power sector, the EPA has also looked at a metric that determines the
dollar increase in the cost of a MWh of electricity generated by the
affected sources due to the emission controls, which shows the cost of
controls relative to the output of electricity. See section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble, which discusses $/MWh costs of the Good
Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS (88 FR 36654; June 5, 2023) and
the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) (76 FR 48208; August 8,
2011). This metric facilitates comparing costs across regulations and
pollutants. In these final actions, as explained herein, the EPA looks
at both of these metrics, in addition to other cost evaluations, to
assess the cost reasonableness of the final requirements. The EPA's
consideration of cost reasonableness in this way meets the statutory
requirement that the EPA take into account ``the cost of achieving [the
emission] reduction'' under section 111(a)(1).
d. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Under CAA section 111(a)(1), the EPA is required to take into
account ``any nonair quality health and environmental impact and energy
requirements'' in determining the BSER. Non-air quality health and
environmental impacts may include the impacts of the disposal of
byproducts of the air pollution controls, or requirements of the air
pollution control equipment for water. Portland Cement Ass'n v.
Ruckelshaus, 465 F.2d 375, 387-88 (D.C. Cir. 1973), cert. denied, 417
U.S. 921 (1974). Energy requirements may include the impact, if any, of
the air pollution controls on the source's own energy needs.
e. Sector or Nationwide Component of Factors in Determining the BSER
Another component of the D.C. Circuit's interpretations of CAA
section 111 is that the EPA may consider the various factors it is
required to consider on a national or regional level and over time, and
not only on a plant-specific level at the time of the rulemaking.\237\
The D.C. Circuit based this interpretation--which it made in the 1981
Sierra Club v. Costle case regarding the NSPS for new power plants--on
a review of the legislative history, stating,
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\237\ See 79 FR 1430, 1465 (January 8, 2014) (citing Sierra Club
v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 351).
[T]he Reports from both Houses on the Senate and House bills
illustrate very clearly that Congress itself was using a long-term
lens with a broad focus on future costs, environmental and energy
effects of different technological systems when it discussed section
111.\238\
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\238\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 331 (citations omitted)
(citing legislative history).
The court has upheld EPA rules that the EPA ``justified . . . in
terms of the policies of the Act,'' including balancing long-term
national and regional impacts. For example, the court upheld a standard
of performance for SO2 emissions from new coal-fired power
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
plants on grounds that it--
reflects a balance in environmental, economic, and energy
consideration by being sufficiently stringent to bring about
substantial reductions in SO2 emissions (3 million tons
in 1995) yet does so at reasonable costs without significant energy
penalties. . . .\239\
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\239\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 327-28 (quoting 44 FR
33583-84; June 11, 1979).
The EPA interprets this caselaw to authorize it to assess the
impacts of the controls it is considering as the BSER, including their
costs and implications for the energy system, on a sector-wide,
regional, or national basis, as appropriate. For example, the EPA may
assess whether controls it is considering would create risks to the
reliability of the electricity system in a particular area or
nationwide and, if they would, to reject those controls as the BSER.
f. ``Best''
In determining which adequately demonstrated system of emission
reduction is the ``best,'' the EPA has broad discretion. In AEP v.
Connecticut, 564 U.S. 410, 427 (2011), the Supreme Court explained that
under CAA section 111, ``[t]he appropriate amount of regulation in any
particular greenhouse gas-producing sector cannot be prescribed in a
vacuum: . . . informed assessment of competing interests is required.
Along with the environmental benefit potentially achievable, our
Nation's energy needs and the possibility of economic disruption must
weigh in the balance. The Clean Air Act entrusts such complex balancing
to the EPA in the first instance, in combination with state regulators.
Each ``standard of performance'' the EPA sets must ``tak[e] into
account the cost of achieving [emissions] reduction and any nonair
quality health and environmental impact and energy requirements.''
(paragraphing revised; citations omitted)).
[[Page 39834]]
Likewise, in Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981),
the court explained that ``section 111(a) explicitly instructs the EPA
to balance multiple concerns when promulgating a NSPS,'' \240\ and
emphasized that ``[t]he text gives the EPA broad discretion to weigh
different factors in setting the standard,'' including the amount of
emission reductions, the cost of the controls, and the non-air quality
environmental impacts and energy requirements.\241\ And in Lignite
Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999), the court
reiterated:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\240\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 319.
\241\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 321; see also New York
v. Reilly, 969 F.2d at 1150 (because Congress did not assign the
specific weight the Administrator should assign to the statutory
elements, ``the Administrator is free to exercise [her] discretion''
in promulgating an NSPS).
Because section 111 does not set forth the weight that should be
assigned to each of these factors, we have granted the agency a
great degree of discretion in balancing them . . . . EPA's choice
[of the `best system'] will be sustained unless the environmental or
economic costs of using the technology are exorbitant . . . . EPA
[has] considerable discretion under section 111.\242\
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\242\ Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933 (paragraphing
revised for convenience). See New York v. Reilly, 969 F.2d 1147,
1150 (D.C. Cir. 1992) (``Because Congress did not assign the
specific weight the Administrator should accord each of these
factors, the Administrator is free to exercise his discretion in
this area.''); see also NRDC v. EPA, 25 F.3d 1063, 1071 (D.C. Cir.
1994) (The EPA did not err in its final balancing because ``neither
RCRA nor EPA's regulations purports to assign any particular weight
to the factors listed in subsection (a)(3). That being the case, the
Administrator was free to emphasize or deemphasize particular
factors, constrained only by the requirements of reasoned agency
decisionmaking.'').
Importantly, the courts recognize that the EPA must consider
several factors and that determining what is ``best'' depends on how
much weight to give the factors. In promulgating certain standards of
performance, the EPA may give greater weight to particular factors than
it does in promulgating other standards of performance. Thus, the
determination of what is ``best'' is complex and necessarily requires
an exercise of judgment. By analogy, the question of who is the
``best'' sprinter in the 100-meter dash primarily depends on only one
criterion--speed--and therefore is relatively straightforward, whereas
the question of who is the ``best'' baseball player depends on a more
complex weighing of multiple criteria and therefore requires a greater
exercise of judgment.
The term ``best'' also authorizes the EPA to consider factors in
addition to the ones enumerated in CAA section 111(a)(1), that further
the purpose of the statute. In Portland Cement Ass'n v. Ruckelshaus,
486 F.2d 375 (D.C. Cir. 1973), the D.C. Circuit held that under CAA
section 111(a)(1) as it read prior to the enactment of the 1977 CAA
Amendments that added a requirement that the EPA take account of non-
air quality environmental impacts, the EPA must consider ``counter-
productive environmental effects'' in Determining the BSER. Id. at 385.
The court elaborated: ``The standard of the `best system' is
comprehensive, and we cannot imagine that Congress intended that `best'
could apply to a system which did more damage to water than it
prevented to air.'' Id., n.42. In Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at
326, 346-47, the court added that the EPA must consider the amount of
emission reductions and technology advancement in determining BSER, as
discussed in section V.C.2.g of this preamble.
The court's view that ``best'' includes additional factors that
further the purpose of CAA section 111 is a reasonable interpretation
of that term in its statutory context. The purpose of CAA section 111
is to reduce emissions of air pollutants that endanger public health or
welfare. CAA section 111(b)(1)(A). The court reasonably surmised that
the EPA's determination of whether a system of emission reduction that
reduced certain air pollutants is ``best'' should be informed by
impacts that the system may have on other pollutants that affect public
or welfare. Portland Cement Ass'n, 486 F.2d at 385. The Supreme Court
confirmed the D.C. Circuit's approach in Michigan v. EPA, 576 U.S. 743
(2015), explaining that administrative agencies must engage in
``reasoned decisionmaking'' that, in the case of pollution control,
cannot be based on technologies that ``do even more damage to human
health'' than the emissions they eliminate. Id. at 751-52. After
Portland Cement Ass'n, Congress revised CAA section 111(a)(1) to make
explicit that in determining whether a system of emission reduction is
the ``best,'' the EPA should account for non-air quality health and
environmental impacts. By the same token, the EPA takes the position
that in determining whether a system of emission reduction is the
``best,'' the EPA may account for the impacts of the system on air
pollutants other than the ones that are the subject of the CAA section
111 regulation.\243\ We discuss immediately below other factors that
the D.C. Circuit has held the EPA should account for in determining
what system is the ``best.''
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\243\ See generally Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for
Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review--
Supplemental Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, 87 FR 74765 (December 6,
2022) (proposing the BSER for reducing methane and VOC emissions
from natural gas-driven controllers in the oil and natural gas
sector on the basis of, among other things, impacts on emissions of
criteria pollutants). In this preamble, for convenience, the EPA
generally discusses the effects of controls on non-GHG air
pollutants along with the effects of controls on non-air quality
health and environmental impacts.
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g. Amount of Emissions Reductions
Consideration of the amount of emissions from the category of
sources or the amount of emission reductions achieved as factors the
EPA must consider in determining the ``best system of emission
reduction'' is implicit in the plain language of CAA section
111(a)(1)--the EPA must choose the best system of emission reduction.
Indeed, consistent with this plain language and the purpose of CAA
section 111, the EPA must consider the quantity of emissions at issue.
See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 326 (D.C. Cir. 1981) (``we can
think of no sensible interpretation of the statutory words ``best . . .
system'' which would not incorporate the amount of air pollution as a
relevant factor to be weighed when determining the optimal standard for
controlling . . . emissions'').\244\ The fact that the purpose of a
``system of emission reduction'' is to reduce emissions, and that the
term itself explicitly incorporates the concept of reducing emissions,
supports the court's view that in determining whether a ``system of
emission reduction'' is the ``best,'' the EPA must consider the amount
of emission reductions that the system would yield. Even if the EPA
were not required to consider the amount of emission reductions, the
EPA has the discretion to do so, on grounds that either the term
``system of emission reduction'' or the term ``best'' may reasonably be
read to allow that discretion.
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\244\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (D.C. Cir. 1981) was
governed by the 1977 CAAA version of the definition of ``standard of
performance,'' which revised the phrase ``best system of emission
reduction'' to read, ``best technological system of continuous
emission reduction.'' As noted above, the 1990 CAAA deleted
``technological'' and ``continuous'' and thereby returned the phrase
to how it read under the 1970 CAAA. The court's interpretation of
the 1977 CAAA phrase in Sierra Club v. Costle to require
consideration of the amount of air emissions focused on the term
``best,'' and the terms ``technological'' and ``continuous'' were
irrelevant to its analysis. It thus remains valid for the 1990 CAAA
phrase ``best system of emission reduction.''
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h. Expanded Use and Development of Technology
The D.C. Circuit has long held that Congress intended for CAA
section 111
[[Page 39835]]
to create incentives for new technology and therefore that the EPA is
required to consider technological innovation as one of the factors in
determining the ``best system of emission reduction.'' See Sierra Club
v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 346-47. The court has grounded its reading in
the statutory text of CAA 111(a)(1), defining the term ``standard of
performance.'' \245\ In addition, the court's interpretation finds
support in the legislative history.\246\ The legislative history
identifies three different ways that Congress designed CAA section 111
to authorize standards of performance that promote technological
improvement: (1) The development of technology that may be treated as
the ``best system of emission reduction . . . adequately
demonstrated;'' under CAA section 111(a)(1); \247\ (2) the expanded use
of the best demonstrated technology; \248\ and (3) the development of
emerging technology.\249\ Even if the EPA were not required to consider
technological innovation as part of its determination of the BSER, it
would be reasonable for the EPA to consider it because technological
innovation may be considered an element of the term ``best,''
particularly in light of Congress's emphasis on technological
innovation.
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\245\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 346 (``Our
interpretation of section 111(a) is that the mandated balancing of
cost, energy, and non-air quality health and environmental factors
embraces consideration of technological innovation as part of that
balance. The statutory factors which EPA must weigh are broadly
defined and include within their ambit subfactors such as
technological innovation.'').
\246\ See S. Rep. No. 91-1196 at 16 (1970) (``Standards of
performance should provide an incentive for industries to work
toward constant improvement in techniques for preventing and
controlling emissions from stationary sources''); S. Rep. No. 95-127
at 17 (1977) (cited in Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 346 n.174)
(``The section 111 Standards of Performance . . . sought to assure
the use of available technology and to stimulate the development of
new technology'').
\247\ Portland Cement Ass'n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375, 391
(D.C. Cir. 1973) (the best system of emission reduction must ``look[
] toward what may fairly be projected for the regulated future,
rather than the state of the art at present'').
\248\ 1970 Senate Committee Report No. 91-1196 at 15 (``The
maximum use of available means of preventing and controlling air
pollution is essential to the elimination of new pollution
problems'').
\249\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d at 351 (upholding a
standard of performance designed to promote the use of an emerging
technology).
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i. Achievability of the Degree of Emission Limitation
For new sources, CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) and (a)(1) provides that
the EPA must establish ``standards of performance,'' which are
standards for emissions that reflect the degree of emission limitation
that is ``achievable'' through the application of the BSER. A standard
of performance is ``achievable'' if a technology can reasonably be
projected to be available to an individual source at the time it is
constructed that will allow it to meet the standard.\250\ Moreover,
according to the court, ``[a]n achievable standard is one which is
within the realm of the adequately demonstrated system's efficiency and
which, while not at a level that is purely theoretical or experimental,
need not necessarily be routinely achieved within the industry prior to
its adoption.'' \251\ To be achievable, a standard ``must be capable of
being met under most adverse conditions which can reasonably be
expected to recur and which are not or cannot be taken into account in
determining the `costs' of compliance.'' \252\ To show a standard is
achievable, the EPA must ``(1) identify variable conditions that might
contribute to the amount of expected emissions, and (2) establish that
the test data relied on by the agency are representative of potential
industry-wide performance, given the range of variables that affect the
achievability of the standard.'' \253\
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\250\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 364, n.276 (D.C. Cir.
1981).
\251\ Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 433-34
(D.C. Cir. 1973), cert. denied, 416 U.S. 969 (1974).
\252\ Nat'l Lime Ass'n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416, 433, n.46 (D.C.
Cir. 1980).
\253\ Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 377 (D.C. Cir. 1981)
(citing Nat'l Lime Ass'n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416 (D.C. Cir. 1980). In
considering the representativeness of the source tested, the EPA may
consider such variables as the `` `feedstock, operation, size and
age' of the source.'' Nat'l Lime Ass'n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416, 433
(D.C. Cir. 1980). Moreover, it may be sufficient to ``generalize
from a sample of one when one is the only available sample, or when
that one is shown to be representative of the regulated industry
along relevant parameters.'' Nat'l Lime Ass'n v. EPA, 627 F.2d 416,
434, n.52 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Although the courts have established these standards for
achievability in cases concerning CAA section 111(b) new source
standards of performance, generally comparable standards for
achievability should apply under CAA section 111(d), although the BSER
may differ in some cases as between new and existing sources due to,
for example, higher costs of retrofit. 40 FR 53340 (November 17, 1975).
For existing sources, CAA section 111(d)(1) requires the EPA to
establish requirements for state plans that, in turn, must include
``standards of performance.'' As the Supreme Court has recognized, this
provision requires the EPA to promulgate emission guidelines that
determine the BSER for a source category and then identify the degree
of emission limitation achievable by application of the BSER. See West
Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 710.\254\
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\254\ 40 CFR 60.21(e), 60.21a(e).
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The EPA has promulgated emission guidelines on the basis that the
existing sources can achieve the degree of emission limitation
described therein, even though under the RULOF provision of CAA section
111(d)(1), the state retains discretion to apply standards of
performance to individual sources that are less stringent, which
indicates that Congress recognized that the EPA may promulgate emission
guidelines that are consistent with CAA section 111(d) even though
certain individual sources may not be able to achieve the degree of
emission limitation identified therein by applying the controls that
the EPA determined to be the BSER. Note further that this requirement
that the emission limitation be ``achievable'' based on the ``best
system of emission reduction . . . adequately demonstrated'' indicates
that the technology or other measures that the EPA identifies as the
BSER must be technically feasible.
3. EPA Promulgation of Emission Guidelines for States To Establish
Standards of Performance
CAA section 111(d)(1) directs the EPA to promulgate regulations
establishing a procedure similar to that provided by CAA section 110
under which states submit state plans that establish ``standards of
performance'' for emissions of certain air pollutants from sources
which, if they were new sources, would be regulated under CAA section
111(b), and that provide for the implementation and enforcement of such
standards of performance. The term ``standard of performance'' is
defined under CAA section 111(a)(1), quoted above. Thus, CAA sections
111(a)(1) and (d)(1) collectively require the EPA to determine the
degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the
BSER to existing sources and to establish regulations under which
states establish standards of performance reflecting that degree of
emission limitation. The EPA addresses both responsibilities through
its emission guidelines, as well as through its general implementing
regulations for CAA section 111(d). Consistent with the statutory
requirements, the general implementing regulations require that the
EPA's emission guidelines reflect--
the degree of emission limitation achievable through the application
of the best system of emission reduction which (taking into account
the cost of such reduction and any non-air quality health and
environmental
[[Page 39836]]
impact and energy requirements) the Administrator has determined has
been adequately demonstrated from designated facilities.\255\
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\255\ 40 CFR 60.21a(e).
Following the EPA's promulgation of emission guidelines, each state
must establish standards of performance for its existing sources, which
the EPA's regulations call ``designated facilities.'' \256\ Such
standards of performance must reflect the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the best system of emission reduction
as determined by the EPA, which the Agency may express as a presumptive
standard of performance in the applicable emission guidelines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\256\ 40 CFR 60.21a(b), 60.24a(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While the standards of performance that states establish in their
plans must generally be no less stringent than the degree of emission
limitation determined by the EPA,\257\ CAA section 111(d)(1) also
requires that the EPA's regulations ``permit the State in applying a
standard of performance to any particular source . . . to take into
consideration, among other factors, the remaining useful life of the
existing source to which such standard applies.'' Consistent with this
statutory direction, the EPA's general implementing regulations for CAA
section 111(d) provide a framework for states' consideration of
remaining useful life and other factors (referred to as ``RULOF'') when
applying a standard of performance to a particular source. In November
2023, the EPA finalized clarifications to its regulations governing
states' consideration of RULOF to apply less stringent standards of
performance to particular existing sources. As amended, these
regulations provide that states may apply a standard of performance to
a particular designated facility that is less stringent than, or has a
longer compliance schedule than, otherwise required by the applicable
emission guideline taking into consideration that facility's remaining
useful life and other factors. To apply a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance schedule, the state must demonstrate
with respect to each facility (or class of such facilities), that the
facility cannot reasonably achieve the degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA based on unreasonable cost of control resulting
from plant age, location, or basic process design; physical
impossibility or technical infeasibility of installing necessary
control equipment; or other circumstances specific to the facility. In
doing so, the state must demonstrate that there are fundamental
differences between the information specific to a facility (or class of
such facilities) and the information the EPA considered in determining
the degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the
BSER or the compliance schedule that make achieving such degree of
emission reduction or meeting such compliance schedule unreasonable for
that facility.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\257\ As the Supreme Court explained in West Virginia v. EPA,
``Although the States set the actual rules governing existing power
plants, EPA itself still retains the primary regulatory role in
Section 111(d).'' 597 U.S. at 710. The Court elaborated that ``[t]he
Agency, not the States, decides the amount of pollution reduction
that must ultimately be achieved. It does so by again determining,
as when setting the new source rules, `the best system of emission
reduction . . . that has been adequately demonstrated for [existing
covered] facilities.' 40 CFR 60.22(b)(5) (2021); see also 80 FR
64664, and n.1. The States then submit plans containing the
emissions restrictions that they intend to adopt and enforce in
order not to exceed the permissible level of pollution established
by EPA. See Sec. Sec. 60.23, 60.24; 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)(1).'' Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition, under CAA section 116, states may establish standard
of performances that are more stringent than the presumptive standards
of performance contained in the EPA's emission guidelines.\258\ The
state must include the standards of performance in their state plans
and submit the plans to the EPA for review according to the procedures
established in the Agency's general implementing regulations for CAA
section 111(d).\259\ Under CAA section 111(d)(2)(A), the EPA approves
state plans that are determined to be ``satisfactory.'' CAA section
111(d)(2)(A) also gives the Agency ``the same authority'' as under CAA
section 110(c) to promulgate a Federal plan in cases where a state
fails to submit a satisfactory state plan.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\258\ 40 CFR 60.24a(i).
\259\ See generally 40 CFR 60.23a-60.28a.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
VI. ACE Rule Repeal
The EPA is finalizing repeal of the ACE Rule. The EPA proposed to
repeal the ACE Rule and did not receive significant comments objecting
to the proposal. The EPA is finalizing the proposal largely as
proposed. A general summary of the ACE Rule, including its regulatory
and judicial history, is included in section V.B.4 of this preamble.
The EPA repeals the ACE Rule on three grounds that each independently
justify the rule's repeal.
First, as a policy matter, the EPA concludes that the suite of heat
rate improvements (HRI) the ACE Rule selected as the BSER is not an
appropriate BSER for existing coal-fired EGUs. In the EPA's technical
judgment, the suite of HRI set forth in the ACE Rule provide negligible
CO2 reductions at best and, in many cases, may increase
CO2 emissions because of the ``rebound effect,'' as
explained in section VII.D.4.a.iii of this preamble. These concerns,
along with the EPA's experience in implementing the ACE Rule, cast
doubt that the ACE Rule would achieve emission reductions and increase
the likelihood that the ACE Rule could make CO2 pollution
worse. As a result, the EPA has determined it is appropriate to repeal
the rule, and to reevaluate whether other technologies constitute the
BSER.
Second, even assuming the ACE Rule's rejection of CCS and natural
gas co-firing was supported at the time, the ACE Rule's rationale for
rejecting CCS and natural gas co-firing as the BSER no longer applies
because of new factual developments. Since the ACE Rule was
promulgated, changes in the power industry, developments in the costs
of controls, and new federal subsidies have made other controls more
broadly available and less expensive. Considering these developments,
the EPA has determined that co-firing with natural gas and CCS are the
BSER for certain subcategories of sources as described in section VII.C
of this preamble, and that the HRI technologies adopted by the ACE Rule
are not the BSER. Thus, repeal of the ACE Rule is proper on this ground
as well.
Third, the EPA concludes that the ACE Rule conflicted with CAA
section 111 and the EPA's implementing regulations because it did not
specifically identify the BSER or the ``degree of emission limitation
achievable though application of the [BSER].'' Instead, the ACE Rule
described only a broad range of values as the ``degree of emission
limitation achievable.'' In doing so, the rule did not provide the
states with adequate guidance on the degree of emission limitation that
must be reflected in the standards of performance so that a state plan
would be approvable by the EPA. The ACE Rule is repealed for this
reason also.
A. Summary of Selected Features of the ACE Rule
The ACE Rule determined that the BSER for coal-fired EGUs was a
``list of `candidate technologies,' '' consisting of seven types of the
``most impactful HRI technologies, equipment upgrades, and best
operating and maintenance practices,'' (84 FR 32536; July 8, 2019),
including, among others, ``Boiler Feed Pumps'' and ``Redesign/Replace
Economizer.'' Id. at 32537 (table 1). The rule provided a range of
improvements
[[Page 39837]]
in heat rate that each of the seven ``candidate technologies'' could
achieve if applied to coal-fired EGUs of different capacities. For six
of the technologies, the expected level of improvement in heat rate
ranged from 0.1-0.4 percent to 1.0-2.9 percent, and for the seventh
technology, ``Improved Operating and Maintenance (O&M) Practices,'' the
range was ``0 to >2%.'' Id. The ACE Rule explained that states must
review each of their designated facilities, on either a source-by-
source or group-of-sources basis, and ``evaluate the applicability of
each of the candidate technologies.'' Id. at 32550. States were to use
the list of HRI technologies ``as guidance but will be expected to
conduct unit-specific evaluations of HRI potential, technical
feasibility, and applicability for each of the BSER candidate
technologies.'' Id. at 32538.
The ACE Rule emphasized that states had ``inherent flexibility'' in
evaluating candidate technologies with ``a wide range of potential
outcomes.'' Id. at 32542. The ACE Rule provided that states could
conclude that it was not appropriate to apply some technologies. Id. at
32550. Moreover, if a state decided to apply a particular technology to
a particular source, the state could determine the level of heat rate
improvement from the technology could be anywhere within the range that
the EPA had identified for that technology, or even outside that range.
Id. at 32551. The ACE Rule stated that after the state evaluated the
technologies and calculated the amount of HRI in this way, it should
determine the standard of performance 0that the source could achieve,
Id. at 32550, and then adjust that standard further based on the
application of source-specific factors such as remaining useful life.
Id. at 32551.
The ACE Rule then identified the process by which states had to
take these actions. States must ``evaluat[e] each'' of the seven
candidate technologies and provide a summary, which ``include[s] an
evaluation of the . . . degree of emission limitation achievable
through application of the technologies.'' Id. at 32580. Then, the
state must provide a variety of information about each power plant,
including, the plant's ``annual generation,'' ``CO2
emissions,'' ``[f]uel use, fuel price, and carbon content,''
``operation and maintenance costs,'' ``[h]eat rates,'' ``[e]lectric
generating capacity,'' and the ``timeline for implementation,'' among
other information. Id. at 32581. The EPA explained that the purpose of
this data was to allow the Agency to ``adequately and appropriately
review the plan to determine whether it is satisfactory.'' Id. at
32558.
The ACE Rule projected a very low level of overall emission
reduction if states generally applied the set of candidate technologies
to their sources. The rule was projected to achieve a less-than-1-
percent reduction in power-sector CO2 emissions by
2030.\260\ Further, the EPA also projected that it would increase
CO2 emissions from power plants in 15 states and the
District of Columbia because of the ``rebound effect'' as coal-fired
sources implemented HRI measures and became more efficient. This
phenomenon is explained in more detail in section VII.D.4.a.iii of this
document.\261\
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\260\ ACE Rule RIA 3-11, table 3-3.
\261\ The rebound effect becomes evident by comparing the
results of the ACE Rule IPM runs for the 2018 reference case, EPA,
IPM State-Level Emissions: EPAv6 November 2018 Reference Case,
Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-0355-26720, and for the
``Illustrative ACE Scenario. IPM State-Level Emissions: Illustrative
ACE Scenario, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-0355-26724.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The ACE Rule considered several other control measures as the BSER,
including co-firing with natural gas and CCS, but rejected them. The
ACE Rule rejected co-firing with natural gas primarily on grounds that
it was too costly in general. 84 FR 32545 (July 8, 2019). The rule also
concluded that generating electricity by co-firing natural gas in a
utility boiler would be an inefficient use of the gas when compared to
combusting it in a combustion turbine. Id. The ACE Rule rejected CCS on
grounds that it was too costly. Id. at 32548. The rule identified the
high capital and operating costs of CCS and noted the fact that the IRC
section 45Q tax credit, as it then applied, would provide only limited
benefit to sources. Id. at 32548-49.
B. Developments Undermining ACE Rule's Projected Emission Reductions
The EPA's first basis for repealing the ACE Rule is that it is
unlikely that--if implemented--the rule would reduce emissions, and
implementation could increase CO2 emissions instead. Thus,
the EPA concludes that as a matter of policy it is appropriate to
repeal the rule and evaluate anew whether other technologies qualify as
the BSER.
Two factors, taken together, undermine the ACE Rule's projected
emission reductions and create the risk that implementation of the ACE
Rule could increase--rather than reduce--CO2 emissions from
coal-fired EGUs. First, HRI technologies achieve only limited GHG
emission reductions. The ACE Rule projected that if states generally
applied the set of candidate technologies to their sources, the rule
would achieve a less-than-1-percent reduction in power-sector
CO2 emissions by 2030.\262\ The EPA now doubts that even
these minimal reductions would be achieved. The ACE Rule's projected
benefits were premised in part on a 2009 technical report by Sargent &
Lundy that evaluated the effects of HRI technologies. In 2023, Sargent
& Lundy issued an updated report which details that the HRI selected as
the BSER in the ACE Rule would bring fewer emissions reductions than
estimated in 2009. The 2023 report concludes that, with few exceptions,
HRI technologies are less effective at reducing CO2
emissions than assumed in 2009. Further reinforcing the conclusion that
HRIs would bring few reductions, the 2023 report also concluded that
most sources had already optimized application of HRIs, and so there
are fewer opportunities to reduce emissions than previously
anticipated.\263\
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\262\ ACE Rule RIA 3-11, table 3-3.
\263\ Sargent and Lundy. Heat Rate Improvement Method Costs and
Limitations Memo. Available in Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Second, for a subset of sources, HRI are likely to cause a
``rebound effect'' leading to an increase in GHG emissions for those
sources. The rebound effect is explained in detail in section
VII.D.4.a.iii of this preamble. The ACE Rule's analysis projected that
the rule would increase CO2 emissions from power plants in
15 states and the District of Columbia. The EPA's modeling projections
assumed that, consistent with the rule, some sources would impose a
small degree of efficiency improvements. The modeling showed that, as a
consequence of these improvements, the rule would increase absolute
emissions at some coal-fired sources as these sources became more
efficient and displaced lower emitting sources like natural gas-fired
EGUs.\264\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\264\ See EPA, IPM State-Level Emissions: EPAv6 November 2018
Reference Case, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-0355-26720
(providing ACE reference case); IPM State-Level Emissions:
Illustrative ACE Scenario, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-0355-
26724 (providing illustrative scenario).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Even though the ACE Rule was projected to increase emissions in
many states, these states were nevertheless obligated under the rule to
assemble detailed state plans that evaluated available technologies and
the performance of each existing coal-fired power plant, as described
in section IX.A of this preamble. For example, the state was required
to analyze the plant's ``annual generation,'' ``CO2
emissions,'' ``[f]uel use, fuel price, and carbon content,''
``operation and maintenance
[[Page 39838]]
costs,'' ``[h]eat rates,'' ``[e]lectric generating capacity,'' and the
``timeline for implementation,'' among other information. 84 FR 32581
(July 8, 2019). The risk of an increase in emissions raises doubts that
the HRI for coal-fired sources satisfies the statutory criteria to
constitute the BSER for this category of sources. The core element of
the BSER analysis is whether the emission reduction technology selected
reduces emissions. See Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427,
441 (D.C. Cir. 1973) (noting ``counter productive environmental
effects'' raises questions as to whether the BSER selected was in fact
the ``best''). Moreover, this evaluation and the imposition of
standards of performance was mandated even though the state plan would
lead to an increase rather than decrease CO2 emissions.
Imposing such an obligation on states under these circumstances was
arbitrary.
The EPA's experience in implementing the ACE Rule reinforces these
concerns. After the ACE Rule was promulgated, one state drafted a state
plan that set forth a standard of performance that allowed the affected
source to increase its emission rate. The draft partial plan would have
applied to one source, the Longview Power, LLC facility, and would have
established a standard of performance, based on the state's
consideration of the ``candidate technologies,'' that was higher (i.e.,
less stringent) than the source's historical emission rate. Thus, the
draft plan would not have achieved any emission reductions from the
source, and instead would have allowed the source to increase its
emissions, if it had been finalized.\265\
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\265\ West Virginia CAA Sec. 111(d) Partial Plan for Greenhouse
Gas Emissions from Existing Electric Utility Generating Units
(EGUs), https://dep.wv.gov/daq/publicnoticeandcomment/Documents/Proposed%20WV%20ACE%20State%20Partial%20Plan.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Because there is doubt that the minimal reductions projected by the
ACE Rule would be achieved, and because the rebound effect could lead
to an increase in emissions for many sources in many states, the EPA
concludes that it is appropriate to repeal the ACE Rule and reevaluate
the BSER for this category of sources.
C. Developments Showing That Other Technologies Are the BSER for This
Source Category
Since the promulgation of the ACE Rule in 2019, the factual
underpinnings of the rule have changed in several ways and lead the EPA
to determine that HRI are not the BSER for coal-fired power plants.
This reevaluation is consistent with FCC v. Fox Television Stations,
Inc., 556 U.S. 502 (2009). There, the Supreme Court explained that an
agency issuing a new policy ``need not demonstrate to a court's
satisfaction that the reasons for the new policy are better than the
reasons for the old one.'' Instead, ``it suffices that the new policy
is permissible under the statute, that there are good reasons for it,
and that the agency believes it to be better, which the conscious
change of course adequately indicates.'' Id. at 514-16 (emphasis in
original; citation omitted).
Along with changes in the anticipated reductions from HRI, it makes
sense for the EPA to reexamine the BSER because the costs of two
control measures, co-firing with natural gas and CCS, have fallen for
sources with longer-term operating horizons. As noted, the ACE Rule
rejected natural gas co-firing as the BSER on grounds that it was too
costly and would lead to inefficient use of natural gas. But as
discussed in section VII.C.2.b of this preamble, the costs of natural
gas co-firing are presently reasonable, and the EPA concludes that the
costs of co-firing 40 percent by volume natural gas are cost-effective
for existing coal-fired EGUs that intend to operate after January 1,
2032, and cease operation before January 1, 2039. In addition, changed
circumstances--including that natural gas is available in greater
amounts, that many coal-fired EGUs have begun co-firing with natural
gas or converted wholly to natural-gas, and that there are fewer coal-
fired EGUs in operation--mitigate the concerns the ACE Rule identified
about inefficient use of natural gas.
Similarly, the ACE Rule rejected CCS as the BSER on grounds that it
was too costly. But the costs of CCS have substantially declined, as
discussed in section VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble, partly because of
developments in the technology that have lowered capital costs, and
partly because the IRA extended and increased the IRS section 45Q tax
credit so that it defrays a higher portion of the costs of CCS.
Accordingly, for coal-fired EGUs that will continue to operate past
2039, the EPA concludes that the costs of CCS are reasonable, as
described in section VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble.
The emission reductions from these two technologies are
substantial. For long-term coal-fired steam generating units, the BSER
of 90 percent capture CCS results in substantial CO2
emissions reductions amounting to emission rates that are 88.4 percent
lower on a lb/MWh-gross basis and 87.1 percent lower on a lb/MWh-net
basis compared to units without capture, as described in section
VII.C.2.b.iv of this preamble. For medium term units, the BSER of 40
percent natural gas co-firing achieves CO2 stack emissions
reductions of 16 percent, as described in section VII.C.2.b.iv of this
preamble. Given the availability of more effective, cost-reasonable
technology, the EPA concludes that HRIs are not the BSER for all coal-
fired EGUs.
The EPA is thus finalizing a new policy for coal-fired power
plants. This rule applies to those sources that intend to operate past
January 1, 2032. For sources that intend to cease operations after
January 1, 2032, but before January 1, 2039, the EPA concludes that the
BSER is co-firing 40 percent by volume natural gas. The EPA concludes
this control measure is appropriate because it achieves substantial
reductions at reasonable cost. In addition, the EPA believes that
because a large supply of natural gas is available, devoting part of
this supply for fuel for a coal-fired steam generating unit in place of
a percentage of the coal burned at the unit is an appropriate use of
natural gas and will not adversely impact the energy system, as
described in section VII.C.2.b.iii(B) of this preamble. For sources
that intend to operate past January 1, 2039, the EPA concludes that the
BSER is CCS with 90 percent capture of CO2. The EPA believes
that this control measure is appropriate because it achieves
substantial reductions at reasonable cost, as described in section
VII.C.1 of this preamble.
The EPA is not concluding that HRI is the BSER for any coal-fired
EGUs. As discussed in section VII.D.4.a, the EPA does not consider HRIs
an appropriate BSER for coal-fired EGUs because these technologies
would achieve few, if any, emissions reductions and may increase
emissions due to the rebound effect. Most importantly, changed
circumstances show that co-firing natural gas and CCS are available at
reasonable cost, and will achieve more GHG emissions reductions.
Accordingly, the EPA believes that HRI do not qualify as the BSER for
any coal-fired EGUs, and that other approaches meet the statutory
standard. On this basis, the EPA repeals the ACE Rule.
D. Insufficiently Precise Degree of Emission Limitation Achievable From
Application of the BSER
The third independent reason why the EPA is repealing the ACE Rule
is that the rule did not identify with sufficient specificity the BSER
or the degree of emission limitation achievable through the application
of the BSER. Thus, states lacked adequate guidance on the BSER they
should consider and
[[Page 39839]]
level of emission reduction that the standards of performance must
achieve. The ACE Rule determined the BSER to be a suite of HRI
``candidate technologies,'' but did not identify with specificity the
degree of emission limitation states should apply in developing
standards of performance for their sources. As a result, the ACE Rule
conflicted with CAA section 111 and the implementing regulations, and
thus failed to provide states adequate guidance so that they could
ensure that their state plans were satisfactory and approvable by the
EPA.
CAA section 111 and the EPA's longstanding implementing regulations
establish a clear process for the EPA and states to regulate emissions
of certain air pollutants from existing sources. ``The statute directs
the EPA to (1) `determine[ ],' taking into account various factors, the
`best system of emission reduction which . . . has been adequately
demonstrated,' (2) ascertain the `degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application' of that system, and (3) impose an
emissions limit on new stationary sources that `reflects' that
amount.'' West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. at 709 (quoting 42 U.S.C.
7411(d)). Further, ``[a]lthough the States set the actual rules
governing existing power plants, EPA itself still retains the primary
regulatory role in Section 111(d) . . . [and] decides the amount of
pollution reduction that must ultimately be achieved.'' Id. at 2602.
Once the EPA makes these determinations, the state must establish
``standards of performance'' for its sources that are based on the
degree of emission limitation that the EPA determines in the emission
guidelines. CAA section 111(a)(1) makes this clear through its
definition of ``standard of performance'' as ``a standard for emissions
of air pollutants which reflects the degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application of the [BSER].'' After the EPA
determines the BSER, 40 CFR 60.22(b)(5), and the degree of emission
limitation achievable from application of the BSER, ``the States then
submit plans containing the emissions restrictions that they intend to
adopt and enforce in order not to exceed the permissible level of
pollution established by EPA.'' 597 U.S. at 710 (citing 40 CFR 60.23,
60.24; 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)(1)).
The EPA then reviews the plan and approves it if the standards of
performance are ``satisfactory,'' under CAA section 111(d)(2)(A). The
EPA's longstanding implementing regulations make clear that the EPA's
basis for determining whether the plan is ``satisfactory'' includes
that the plan must contain ``emission standards . . . no less stringent
than the corresponding emission guideline(s).'' 40 CFR 60.24(c), 40 CFR
60.24a(c). In addition, under CAA section 111(d)(1), in ``applying a
standard of performance to any particular source'' a state may
consider, ``among other factors, the remaining useful life of the
existing source to which such standard applies.'' This is also known as
the RULOF provision and is discussed in section X.C.2 of this preamble.
In the ACE Rule, the EPA recognized that the CAA required it to
determine the BSER and identify the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the BSER. 84 FR 32537 (July 8, 2019).
But the rule did not make those determinations. Rather, the ACE Rule
described the BSER as a list of ``candidate technologies.'' And the
rule described the degree of emission limitation achievable by
application of the BSER as ranges of reductions from the HRI
technologies. The rule thus shifted the responsibility for determining
the BSER and degree of emission limitation achievable from the EPA to
the states. Accordingly, the ACE Rule did not meet the CAA section 111
requirement that the EPA determine the BSER or the degree of emission
limitation from application of the BSER.
As described above, the ACE Rule identified the HRI in the form of
a list of seven ``candidate technologies,'' accompanied by a wide range
of percentage improvements to heat rate that these technologies could
provide. Indeed, for one of them, improved ``O&M'' practices (that is,
operation and management practices), the range was ``0 to >2%,'' which
is effectively unbounded. 84 FR 32537 (table 1) (July 8, 2019). The ACE
Rule was clear that this list was simply the starting point for a state
to calculate the standards of performance for its sources. That is, the
seven sets of technologies were ``candidate[s]'' that the state could
apply to determine the standard of performance for a source, and if the
state did choose to apply one or more of them, the state could do so in
a manner that yielded any percentage of heat rate improvement within
the range that the EPA identified, or even outside that range. Thus, as
a practical matter, the ACE Rule did not determine the BSER or any
degree of emission limitation from application of the BSER, and so
states had no guidance on how to craft approvable state plans. In this
way, the ACE Rule did not adhere to the applicable statutory
obligations. See 84 FR 32537-38 (July 8, 2019).
The only constraints that the ACE Rule imposed on the states were
procedural ones, and those did not give the EPA any benchmark to
determine whether a plan could be approved or give the states any
certainty on whether their plan would be approved. As noted above, when
a state submitted its plan, it needed to show that it evaluated each
candidate technology for each source or group of sources, explain how
it determined the degree of emission limitation achievable, and include
data about the sources. But because the ACE Rule did not identify a
BSER or include a degree of emission limitation that the standards must
reflect, the states lacked specific guidance on how to craft adequate
standards of performance, and the EPA had no benchmark against which to
evaluate whether a state's submission was ``satisfactory'' under CAA
section 111(d)(2)(A). Thus, the EPA's review of state plans would be
essentially a standardless exercise, notwithstanding the Agency's
longstanding view that it was ``essential'' that ``EPA review . . .
[state] plans for their substantive adequacy.'' 40 FR 53342-43
(November 17, 1975). In 1975, the EPA explained that it was not
appropriate to limit its review based ``solely on procedural criteria''
because otherwise ``states could set extremely lenient standards . . .
so long as EPA's procedural requirements were met.'' Id. at 53343.
Finally, the ACE Rule's approach to determining the BSER and degree
of emission limitation departed from prior emission guidelines under
CAA section 111(d), in which the EPA included a numeric degree of
emission limitation. See, e.g., 42 FR 55796, 55797 (October 18, 1977)
(limiting emission rate of acid mist from sulfuric acid plants to 0.25
grams per kilogram of acid); 44 FR 29829 (May 22, 1979) (limiting
concentrations of total reduced sulfur from most of the subcategories
of kraft pulp mills, such as digester systems and lime kilns, to 5, 20,
or 25 ppm over 12-hour averages); 61 FR 9919 (March 12, 1996) (limiting
concentration of non-methane organic compounds from solid waste
landfills to 20 parts per million by volume or a 98 percent reduction).
The ACE Rule did not grapple with this change in position as required
by FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 556 U.S. 502 (2009), or
explain why it was appropriate to provide a boundless degree of
emission limitation achievable in this context.
The EPA is finalizing the repeal the ACE Rule on this ground as
well. The ACE Rule's failure to determine the BSER and the associated
degree of emission limitation achievable from
[[Page 39840]]
application of the BSER deviated from CAA section 111 and the
implementing regulations. Without these determinations, the ACE Rule
lacked any benchmark that would guide the states in developing their
state plans, and by which the EPA could determine whether those state
plans were satisfactory.
For each of these three, independent reasons, repeal of the ACE
Rule is proper.
E. Withdrawal of Proposed NSR Revisions
In addition to repealing the ACE Rule, the Agency is withdrawing
the proposed revisions to the NSR applicability provisions that were
included the ACE Rule proposal (83 FR 44756, 44773-83; August 31,
2018). These proposed revisions would have included an hourly emissions
rate test to determine NSR applicability for a modified EGU, with the
expressed purpose of alleviating permitting burdens for sources
undertaking HRI projects pursuant to the ACE Rule emission guidelines.
The ACE Rule final action did not include the NSR revisions, and the
EPA indicated in that preamble that it intended to take final action on
the NSR proposal in a separate action at a later date. However, the EPA
did not take a final action on the NSR revisions, and the EPA has
decided to no longer pursue them and to withdraw the proposed
revisions.
Withdrawal of the proposal to establish an hourly emissions test
for NSR applicability for EGUs is appropriate because of the repeal of
the ACE rule and the EPA's conclusion that HRI is not the BSER for
coal-fired EGUs. The EPA's basis for proposing the NSR revisions was to
ease permitting burdens for state agencies and sources that may result
from implementing the ACE Rule. There was concern that, for sources
that modified their EGU to improve the heat rate, if a source were to
be dispatched more frequently because of improved efficiency (the
``rebound effect''), the source could experience an increase in
absolute emissions for one or more pollutants and potentially trigger
major NSR requirements. The hourly emissions rate test was proposed to
relieve such sources that were undertaking HRI projects to comply with
their state plans from the burdens of NSR permitting, particularly in
cases in which a source has an increase in annual emissions of a
pollutant. However, given that this final rule BSER is not based on
HRIs for coal-fired EGUs, the NSR revisions proposed as part of the ACE
Rule would no longer serve the purpose that the EPA expressed in that
proposal preamble.
Furthermore, in the event that any sources are increasing their
absolute emissions after modifying an EGU, applicability of the NSR
program is beneficial as a backstop that provides review of those
situations to determine if additional controls or other emission
limitations are necessary on a case-by-case basis to protect air
quality. In addition, given that considerable time has passed since
these EGU-specific NSR applicability revisions were proposed in 2018,
should the EPA decide to pursue them at a later time, it is prudent for
the Agency to propose them again at that time, accompanied with the
EPA's updated context and justification to support re-proposing the NSR
revisions, rather than relying on the proposal from 2018. Therefore,
the EPA is withdrawing these proposed NSR revisions.
VII. Regulatory Approach for Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam
Generating Units
Existing fossil fuel-fired steam generation units are the largest
stationary source of CO2 emissions, emitting 909 MMT
CO2e in 2021. Recent developments in control technologies
offer opportunities to reduce CO2 emissions from these
sources. The EPA's regulatory approach for these units is to require
emissions reduction consistent with these technologies, where their use
is cost-reasonable.
A. Overview
In this section of the preamble, the EPA identifies the BSER and
degree of emission limitation achievable for the regulation of GHG
emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating units. As
detailed in section V of this preamble, to meet the requirements of CAA
section 111(d), the EPA promulgates ``emission guidelines'' that
identify the BSER and the degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the BSER, and states then establish
standards of performance for affected sources that reflect that level
of stringency. To determine the BSER for a source category, the EPA
identifies systems of emission reduction (e.g., control technologies)
that have been adequately demonstrated and evaluates the potential
emissions reduction, costs, any non-air health and environmental
impacts, and energy requirements. As described in section V.C.1 of this
preamble, the EPA has broad authority to create subcategories under CAA
section 111(d). Therefore, where the sources in a category differ from
each other by some characteristic that is relevant for the suitability
of the emission controls, the EPA may create separate subcategories and
make separate BSER determinations for those subcategories.
The EPA considered the characteristics of fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units that may impact the suitability of different control
measures. First, the EPA observed that the type and amounts of fossil
fuels--coal, oil, and natural gas--fired in the steam generating unit
affect the performance and emissions reductions achievable by different
control technologies, in part due to the differences in the carbon
content of those fuels. The EPA recognized that many sources fire
multiple types of fossil fuel. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing
subcategories of coal-fired, oil-fired, and natural gas-fired steam
generating units. The EPA is basing these subcategories, in part, on
the amount of fuel combusted by the steam generating unit.
The EPA then considered the BSER that may be suitable for each of
those subcategories of fuel type. For coal-fired steam generating
units, of the available control technologies, the EPA is determining
that CCS with 90 percent capture of CO2 meets the
requirements for BSER, including being adequately demonstrated and
achieving significant emission reductions at reasonable cost for units
operating in the long-term, as detailed in section VII.C.1.a of this
preamble. Application of this BSER results in a degree of emission
limitation equivalent to an 88.4 percent reduction in emission rate (lb
CO2/MWh-gross). The compliance date for these sources is
January 1, 2032.
Typically, the EPA assumes that sources subject to controls operate
in the long-term.\266\ See, for example, the 2015 NSPS (80 FR 64509;
October 23, 2015) or the 2011 CSAPR (76 FR 48208; August 8, 2011).
Under that assumption, fleet average costs for CCS are comparable to
the cost metrics the EPA has previously considered to be reasonable.
However, the EPA observes that about half of the capacity (87 GW out of
181 GW) of existing coal-fired steam generating units have announced
plans to permanently cease operation prior to 2039, as detailed in
section IV.D.3.b of this preamble, affecting the period available for
those sources to amortize the capital costs of CCS.
[[Page 39841]]
Accordingly, the EPA evaluated the costs of CCS for different
amortization periods. For an amortization period of more than 7 years--
such that sources operate after January 1, 2039--annualized fleet
average costs are comparable to or less than the metrics of costs for
controls that the EPA has previously found to be reasonable. However,
the group of sources ceasing operation prior to January 1, 2039, have
less time available to amortize the capital costs of CCS, resulting in
higher annualized costs.
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\266\ Typically, the EPA assumes that the capital costs can be
amortized over a period of 15 years. As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble, in the case of CCS, the IRC section
45Q tax credit, which defrays a significant portion of the costs of
CCS, is available for the first 12 years of operation. Accordingly,
EPA generally assumed a 12-year amortization period in determining
CCS costs.
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Because the costs of CCS depend on the available amortization
period, the EPA is creating a subcategory for sources demonstrating
that they plan to permanently cease operation prior to January 1, 2039.
Instead, for this subcategory of sources, the EPA is determining that
natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of annual heat input meets the
requirements of BSER. Application of the natural gas co-firing BSER
results in a degree of emission limitation equivalent to a 16 percent
reduction in emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross). Co-firing at
40 percent entails significantly less control equipment and
infrastructure than CCS, and as a result, the EPA has determined that
affected sources are able to implement it more quickly than CCS, by
January 1, 2030. Importantly, co-firing at 40 percent also entails
significantly less capital cost than CCS, and as a result, the costs of
co-firing are comparable to or less than the metrics for cost
reasonableness with an amortization period that is significantly
shorter than the period for CCS. The EPA has determined that the costs
of co-firing meet the metrics for cost reasonableness for the majority
of the capacity that permanently cease operation more than 2 years
after the January 1, 2030, implementation date, or after January 1,
2032 (and up to December 31, 2038), and that therefore have an
amortization period of more than 2 years (and up to 9 years).
The EPA is also determining that sources demonstrating that they
plan to permanently cease operation before January 1, 2032, are not
subject to the 40 percent co-firing requirement. This is because their
amortization period would be so short--2 years or less--that the costs
of co-firing would, in general, be less comparable to the cost metrics
for reasonableness for that group of sources. Accordingly, the EPA is
defining the medium-term subcategory to include those sources
demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operating after
December 31, 2031, and before January 1, 2039.
Considering the limited emission reductions available in light of
the cost reasonableness of controls with short amortization periods,
the EPA is finalizing an applicability exemption for coal-fired steam
generating units demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease
operation before January 1, 2032.
For natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units, the EPA is
finalizing subcategories based on capacity factor. Because natural gas-
and oil-fired steam generating units with similar annual capacity
factors perform similarly to one another, the EPA is finalizing a BSER
of routine methods of operation and maintenance and a degree of
emission limitation of no increase in emission rate for intermediate
and base load subcategories. For low load natural gas- and oil-fired
steam generating units, the EPA is finalizing a BSER of uniform fuels
and respective degrees of emission limitation defined on a heat input
basis (130 lb CO2/MMBtu and 170 lb CO2/MMBtu).
Furthermore, the EPA is finalizing presumptive standards for natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units as follows: base load sources
(those with annual capacity factors greater than 45 percent) have a
presumptive standard of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross, intermediate
load sources (those with annual capacity factors greater than 8 percent
and or less than or equal to 45 percent) have a presumptive standard of
1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross. For low load oil-fired sources, the
EPA is finalizing a presumptive standard of 170 lb CO2/
MMBtu, while for low load natural gas-fired sources the EPA is
finalizing a presumptive standard of 130 lb CO2/MMBtu. A
compliance date of January 1, 2030, applies for all natural gas- and
oil-fired steam generating units.
The final subcategories and BSER are summarized in table 1 of this
document.
Table 1--Summary of Final BSER, Subcategories, and Degrees of Emission Limitation for Affected EGUs
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Presumptively
Subcategory Degree of emission approvable
Affected EGUs definition BSER limitation standard of
performance *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long-term existing coal-fired Coal-fired steam CCS with 90 88.4 percent 88.4 percent
steam generating units. generating units percent capture reduction in reduction in
that are not of CO2. emission rate (lb annual emission
medium-term units. CO2/MWh-gross). rate (lb CO2/MWh-
gross) from the
unit-specific
baseline.
Medium-term existing coal-fired Coal-fired steam Natural gas co- A 16 percent A 16 percent
steam generating units. generating units firing at 40 reduction in reduction in
that have percent of the emission rate (lb annual emission
demonstrated that heat input to the CO2/MWh-gross). rate (lb CO2/MWh-
they plan to unit. gross) from the
permanently cease unit-specific
operations after baseline.
December 31,
2031, and before
January 1, 2039.
Base load existing oil-fired Oil-fired steam Routine methods of No increase in An annual emission
steam generating units. generating units operation and emission rate (lb rate limit of
with an annual maintenance. CO2/MWh-gross). 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-
capacity factor gross.
greater than or
equal to 45
percent.
Intermediate load existing oil- Oil-fired steam Routine methods of No increase in An annual emission
fired steam generating units. generating units operation and emission rate (lb rate limit of
with an annual maintenance. CO2/MWh-gross). 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-
capacity factor gross.
greater than or
equal to 8
percent and less
than 45 percent.
Low load existing oil-fired Oil-fired steam lower-emitting 170 lb CO2/MMBtu.. 170 lb CO2/MMBtu.
steam generating units. generating units fuels.
with an annual
capacity factor
less than 8
percent.
Base load existing natural gas- Natural gas-fired Routine methods of No increase in An annual emission
fired steam generating units. steam generating operation and emission rate (lb rate limit of
units with an maintenance. CO2/MWh-gross). 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-
annual capacity gross.
factor greater
than or equal to
45 percent.
Intermediate load existing Natural gas-fired Routine methods of No increase in An annual emission
natural gas-fired steam steam generating operation and emission rate (lb rate limit of
generating units. units with an maintenance. CO2/MWh-gross). 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-
annual capacity gross.
factor greater
than or equal to
8 percent and
less than 45
percent.
[[Page 39842]]
Low load existing natural gas- Oil-fired steam lower-emitting 130 lb CO2/MMBtu.. 130 lb CO2/MMBtu.
fired steam generating units. generating units fuels.
with an annual
capacity factor
less than 8
percent.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Presumptive standards of performance are discussed in detail in section X of the preamble. While states
establish standards of performance for sources, the EPA provides presumptively approvable standards of
performance based on the degree of emission limitation achievable through application of the BSER for each
subcategory. Inclusion in this table is for completeness.
B. Applicability Requirements and Fossil Fuel-Type Definitions for
Subcategories of Steam Generating Units
In this section of the preamble, the EPA describes the rationale
for the final applicability requirements for existing fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units. The EPA also describes the rationale for the
fuel type definitions and associated subcategories.
1. Applicability Requirements
For the emission guidelines, the EPA is finalizing that a
designated facility \267\ is any fossil fuel-fired electric utility
steam generating unit (i.e., utility boiler or IGCC unit) that: (1) was
in operation or had commenced construction on or before January 8,
2014; \268\ (2) serves a generator capable of selling greater than 25
MW to a utility power distribution system; and (3) has a base load
rating greater than 260 GJ/h (250 million British thermal units per
hour (MMBtu/h)) heat input of fossil fuel (either alone or in
combination with any other fuel). Consistent with the implementing
regulations, the term ``designated facility'' is used throughout this
preamble to refer to the sources affected by these emission
guidelines.\269\ For the emission guidelines, consistent with prior CAA
section 111 rulemakings concerning EGUs, the term ``designated
facility'' refers to a single EGU that is affected by these emission
guidelines. The rationale for the final applicability requirements is
the same as that for 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT (80 FR 64543-44;
October 23, 2015). The EPA includes that discussion by reference here.
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\267\ The term ``designated facility'' means ``any existing
facility . . . which emits a designated pollutant and which would be
subject to a standard of performance for that pollutant if the
existing facility were an affected facility.'' See 40 CFR 60.21a(b).
\268\ Under CAA section 111, the determination of whether a
source is a new source or an existing source (and thus potentially a
designated facility) is based on the date that the EPA proposes to
establish standards of performance for new sources.
\269\ The EPA recognizes, however, that the word ``facility'' is
often understood colloquially to refer to a single power plant,
which may have one or more EGUs co-located within the plant's
boundaries.
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Section 111(a)(6) of the CAA defines an ``existing source'' as
``any stationary source other than a new source.'' Therefore, the
emission guidelines do not apply to any steam generating units that are
new after January 8, 2014, or reconstructed after June 18, 2014, the
applicability dates of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. Moreover, because
the EPA is now finalizing revised standards of performance for coal-
fired steam generating units that undertake a modification, a modified
coal-fired steam generating unit would be considered ``new,'' and
therefore not subject to these emission guidelines, if the modification
occurs after the date the proposal was published in the Federal
Register (May 23, 2023). Any coal-fired steam generating unit that has
modified prior to that date would be considered an existing source that
is subject to these emission guidelines.
In addition, the EPA is finalizing in the applicability
requirements of the emission guidelines many of the same exemptions as
discussed for 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, in section VIII.E.1 of this
preamble. EGUs that may be excluded from the requirement to establish
standards under a state plan are: (1) units that are subject to 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, as a result of commencing a qualifying
modification or reconstruction; (2) steam generating units subject to a
federally enforceable permit limiting net-electric sales to one-third
or less of their potential electric output or 219,000 MWh or less on an
annual basis and annual net-electric sales have never exceeded one-
third or less of their potential electric output or 219,000 MWh; (3)
non-fossil fuel units (i.e., units that are capable of deriving at
least 50 percent of heat input from non-fossil fuel at the base load
rating) that are subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting
fossil fuel use to 10 percent or less of the annual capacity factor;
(4) combined heat and power (CHP) units that are subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting annual net-electric sales to no more than
either 219,000 MWh or the product of the design efficiency and the
potential electric output, whichever is greater; (5) units that serve a
generator along with other affected EGU(s), where the effective
generation capacity (determined based on a prorated output of the base
load rating of EGU) is 25 MW or less; (6) municipal waste combustor
units subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb; (7) commercial or
industrial solid waste incineration units that are subject to 40 CFR
part 60, subpart CCCC; (8) EGUs that derive greater than 50 percent of
the heat input from an industrial process that does not produce any
electrical or mechanical output or useful thermal output that is used
outside the affected EGU; or (9) coal-fired steam generating units that
have elected to permanently cease operation prior to January 1, 2032.
The exemptions listed above at (4), (5), (6), and (7) are among the
current exemptions at 40 CFR 60.5509(b), as discussed in section
VIII.E.1 of this preamble. The exemptions listed above at (2), (3), and
(8) are exemptions the EPA is finalizing revisions for 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, and the rationale for the exemptions is in section
VIII.E.1 of this preamble. For consistency with the applicability
requirements in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, and 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, the Agency is finalizing these same exemptions for the
applicability of the emission guidelines.
2. Coal-Fired Units Permanently Ceasing Operation Before January 1,
2032
The EPA is not addressing existing coal-fired steam generating
units demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operating
before January 1, 2032, in these emission guidelines. Sources ceasing
operation before that date have far less emission reduction potential
than sources that will be operating longer, because there are unlikely
to be appreciable, cost-reasonable emission reductions available on
average for the group of sources operating in that timeframe. This is
because controls that entail capital expenditures are unlikely to be
[[Page 39843]]
of reasonable cost for these sources due to the relatively short period
over which they could amortize the capital costs of controls.
In particular, in developing the emission guidelines, the EPA
evaluated two systems of emission reduction that achieve substantial
emission reductions for coal-fired steam generating units: CCS with 90
percent capture; and natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of heat input.
For CCS, the EPA has determined that controls can be installed and
fully operational by the compliance date of January 1, 2032, as
detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E) of this preamble. CCS would
therefore, in most cases, be unavailable to coal-fired steam generating
units planning to cease operation prior to that date. Furthermore, the
EPA evaluated the costs of CCS for different amortization periods. For
an amortization period of more than 7 years--such that sources operate
after January 1, 2039--annualized fleet average costs are comparable to
or less than the costs of controls the EPA has previously determined to
be reasonable ($18.50/MWh of generation and $98/ton of CO2
reduced), as detailed in section VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble.
However, the costs for shorter amortization periods are higher. For
sources ceasing operation by January 1, 2032, it would be unlikely that
the annualized costs of CCS would be reasonable even were CCS installed
at an earlier date (e.g., by January 1, 2030) due to the shorter
amortization period available.
Because the costs of CCS would be higher for shorter amortization
periods, the EPA is finalizing a separate subcategory for sources
demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operating by January
1, 2039, with a BSER of 40 percent natural gas co-firing, as detailed
in section VII.C.2.b.ii of this preamble. For natural gas co-firing,
the EPA is finalizing a compliance date of January 1, 2030, as detailed
in section VII.C.2.b.i(C) of this preamble. Therefore, the EPA assumes
sources subject to a natural gas co-firing BSER can amortize costs for
a period of up to 9 years. The EPA has determined that the costs of
natural gas co-firing at 40 percent meet the metrics for cost
reasonableness for the majority of the capacity that operate more than
2 years after the January 1, 2030, implementation date, i.e., that
operate after January 1, 2032 (and up to December 31, 2038), and that
therefore have an amortization period of more than 2 years (and up to 9
years).
However, for sources ceasing operation prior to January 1, 2032,
the EPA believes that establishing a best system of emission reduction
corresponding to a substantial level of natural gas co-firing would
broadly entail costs of control that are above those that the EPA is
generally considering reasonable. Sources permanently ceasing operation
before January 1, 2032 would have less than 2 years to amortize the
capital costs, as detailed in section VII.C.2.a of this preamble.
Compared to the metrics for cost reasonableness that EPA has previously
deemed reasonable ($18.50/MWh of generation and $98/ton of
CO2 reduced), very few sources can co-fire 40 percent
natural gas at costs comparable to these metrics with an amortization
period of only one year; only 1 percent of units have costs that are
below both $18.50/MWh of generation and $98/ton of CO2
reduced. The number of sources that can co-fire lower amounts of
natural gas at costs comparable to these metrics is likewise limited--
only approximately 34 percent of units can co-fire with 20 percent
natural gas at costs lower than both cost metrics. Furthermore, the
period that these sources would operate with co-firing for would be
short, so that the emission reductions from that group of sources would
be limited.
By contrast, assuming a two-year amortization period, many more
units can co-fire with meaningful amounts of natural gas at a cost that
is consistent with the metrics EPA has previously used: 18 percent of
units can co-fire with 40 percent natural gas at costs less than $98/
ton and $18.50/MWh, and 50 percent of units can co-fire with 20 percent
natural gas at costs lower than both metrics. Because a substantial
number of sources can implement 40-percent co-firing with natural gas
with an amortization period of two years or longer with reasonable
costs, and even more can co-fire with lesser amounts with reasonable
costs with amortization periods longer than two years,\270\ the EPA
determined that a technology-based BSER was available for coal-fired
units operating past January 1, 2032.
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\270\ As described in detail in section X.C.2 of this preamble,
the EPA recognizes that particular affected EGUs may have
characteristics that make it unreasonable to achieve the degree of
emission limitation corresponding to 40 percent co-firing with
natural gas. For example, a state may be able to demonstrate a
fundamental difference between the costs the EPA considered in these
emission guidelines and the costs to an affected EGU that plans to
cease operation in late 2032. If such costs make it unreasonable for
a particular unit to meet the degree of emission limitation
corresponding to 40 percent co-firing with natural gas, the state
may apply a less stringent standard of performance to that unit.
Consistent with the requirements for calculating a less stringent
standard of performance at 40 CFR 60.24a(f), under these emission
guidelines states would consider whether it is reasonable for units
that cannot cost-reasonably co-fire natural gas at 40 percent to co-
fire at levels lower than 40 percent. It is thus appropriate that
coal-fired EGUs that can reasonably co-fire any amount of natural
gas be subject to these emission guidelines.
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Sources that retire before that date, however, are differently
situated as described above. In light of the small number of sources
that are planning to retire before January 1, 2032 that could cost-
effectively co-fire with natural gas, coupled with the small amount of
emissions reductions that can be achieved from co-firing in such a
short time span, the EPA is choosing not to establish a BSER for these
sources.\271\
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\271\ For the reasons described at length in section VI.B, the
EPA does not believe that heat rate improvement measures or HRI are
appropriate for sources retiring before January 1, 2032 because HRI
applied to coal-fired sources achieve few emission reductions, and
can lead to the ``rebound effect'' where CO2 emissions
from the source increase rather than decrease as a consequence of
imposing the technologies.
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Because, at this time, the EPA has determined that CCS and natural
gas co-firing are not available at reasonable cost for sources ceasing
operation before January 1, 2032, the EPA is not finalizing a BSER for
such sources. Not finalizing a BSER for these sources is consistent
with the Agency's discretion to take incremental steps to address
CO2 from sources in the category, and to direct the EPA's
limited resources at regulation of those sources that can achieve the
most emission reductions. The EPA is therefore providing that existing
coal-fired steam generating EGUs that have elected to cease operating
before January 1, 2032, are not regulated by these emission guidelines.
This exemption applies to a source until the earlier of December 31,
2031, or the date it demonstrates in the state plan that it plans to
cease operation. If a source continues to operate past this date, it is
no longer exempt from these emission guidelines. See section X.E.1 of
this preamble for discussion of how state plans should address sources
subject to exemption (9).\272\
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\272\ The EPA notes that this applicability exemption does not
conflict with states' ability to consider the remaining useful lives
of ``particular'' sources that are subject to these emission
guidelines. 42 U.S.C. 7411(d)(1). As the EPA's implementing
regulations specify, the provision for states' consideration of
RULOF is intended address the specific conditions of particular
sources, whereas the EPA is responsible for determining generally
how to regulate a source category under an emission guideline.
Moreover, RULOF applies only to when a state is applying a standard
of performance to an affected source--and the state would not apply
a standard of performance to exempted sources.
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3. Sources Outside of the Contiguous U.S.
The EPA proposed the same emission guidelines for fossil fuel-fired
steam
[[Page 39844]]
generating units in non-continental areas (i.e., Hawaii, the U.S.
Virgin Islands, Guam, American Samoa, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico,
and the Northern Mariana Islands) and non-contiguous areas (non-
continental areas and Alaska) as the EPA proposed for comparable units
in the contiguous 48 states. The EPA notes that the modeling that
supports the final emission guidelines focus on sources in the
contiguous U.S. Further, the EPA notes that few, if any, coal-fired
steam generating units operate outside of the contiguous 48 states and
meet the applicability criteria. Finally, the EPA notes that the
proposed BSER and degree of emissions limitation for non-continental
oil-fired steam generating units would have achieved few emission
reductions. Therefore, the EPA is not finalizing emission guidelines
for existing steam generating units in states and territories
(including Alaska, Hawaii, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands) that are outside of the contiguous U.S. at this time.
4. IGCC Units
The EPA notes that existing IGCC units were included in the
proposed applicability requirements and that, in section VII.B of this
preamble, the EPA is finalizing inclusion of those units in the
subcategory of coal-fired steam generating units. IGCC units gasify
coal or solid fossil fuel (e.g., pet coke) to produce syngas (a mixture
of carbon monoxide and hydrogen), and either burn the syngas directly
in a combined cycle unit or use a catalyst for water-gas shift (WGS) to
produce a pre-combustion gas stream with a higher concentration of
CO2 and hydrogen, which can be burned in a hydrogen turbine
combined cycle unit. As described in section VII.C of this preamble,
the final BSER for coal-fired steam generating units includes co-firing
natural gas and CCS. The few IGCC units that now operate in the U.S.
either burn natural gas exclusively--and as such operate as natural gas
combined cycle units--or in amounts near to the 40 percent level of the
natural gas co-firing BSER. Additionally, IGCC units may be suitable
for pre-combustion CO2 capture. Because the CO2
concentration in the pre-combustion gas, after WGS, is high relative to
coal-combustion flue gas, pre-combustion CO2 capture for
IGCC units can be performed using either an amine-based (or other
solvent-based) capture process or a physical absorption capture
process. Alternatively, post-combustion CO2 capture can be
applied to the source. The one existing IGCC unit that still uses coal
was recently awarded funding from DOE for a front-end engineering
design (FEED) study for CCS targeting a capture efficiency of more than
95 percent.\273\ For these reasons, the EPA is not distinguishing IGCC
units from other coal-fired steam generating EGUs, so that the BSER of
co-firing for medium-term coal-fired units and CCS for long-term coal-
fired units apply to IGCC units.\274\
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\273\ Duke Edwardsport DOE FEED Study Fact Sheet. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2024-01/OCED_CCFEEDs_AwardeeFactSheet_Duke_1.5.2024.pdf.
\274\ For additional details on pre-combustion CO2
capture, please see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units.
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5. Fossil Fuel-Type Definitions for Subcategories of Steam Generating
Units
In this action, the EPA is finalizing definitions for subcategories
of existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating units based on the type
and amount of fossil fuel used in the unit. The EPA is finalizing
separate subcategories based on fuel type because the carbon content of
the fuel combusted affects the output emission rate (i.e., lb
CO2/MWh). Fuels with a higher carbon content produce a
greater amount of CO2 emissions per unit of fuel combusted
(on a heat input basis, MMBtu) and per unit of electricity generated
(i.e., MWh).
The EPA proposed fossil fuel type subcategory definitions based on
the definitions in 40 CFR part 63, subpart UUUUU, and the fossil fuel
definitions in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. Those proposed definitions
were determined by the relative heat input contribution of the
different fuels combusted in a unit during the 3 years prior to the
proposed compliance date of January 1, 2030. Further, to be considered
an oil-fired or natural gas-fired unit for purposes of this emission
guideline, a source would no longer retain the capability to fire coal
after December 31, 2029.
The EPA proposed a 3-year lookback period, so that the proposed
fuel-type subcategorization would have been based, in part, on the fuel
type fired between January 1, 2027, and January 1, 2030. However, the
intent of the proposed fuel type subcategorization was to base the fuel
type definition on the state of the source on January 1, 2030.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the following fuel type subcategory
definitions:
A coal-fired steam generating unit is an electric utility
steam generating unit or IGCC unit that meets the definition of
``fossil fuel-fired'' and that burns coal for more than 10.0 percent of
the average annual heat input during any continuous 3-calendar-year
period after December 31, 2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of the
annual heat input during any one calendar year after December 31, 2029,
or that retains the capability to fire coal after December 31, 2029.
An oil-fired steam generating unit is an electric utility
steam generating unit meeting the definition of ``fossil fuel-fired''
that is not a coal-fired steam generating unit, that no longer retains
the capability to fire coal after December 31, 2029, and that burns oil
for more than 10.0 percent of the average annual heat input during any
continuous 3-calendar-year period after December 31, 2029, or for more
than 15.0 percent of the annual heat input during any one calendar year
after December 31, 2029.
A natural gas-fired steam generating unit is an electric
utility steam generating unit meeting the definition of ``fossil fuel-
fired,'' that is not a coal-fired or oil-fired steam generating unit,
that no longer retains the capability to fire coal after December 31,
2029, and that burns natural gas for more than 10.0 percent of the
average annual heat input during any continuous 3-calendar-year period
after December 31, 2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of the annual
heat input during any one calendar year after December 31, 2029.
The EPA received some comments on the fuel type definitions. Those
comments and responses are as follows.
Comment: Some industry stakeholders suggested changes to the
proposed definitions for fossil fuel type. Specifically, some
commenters requested that the reference to the initial compliance date
be removed and that the fuel type determination should instead be
rolling and continually update after the initial compliance date. Those
commenters suggested this would, for example, allow sources in the
coal-fired subcategory that begin natural gas co-firing in 2030 to
convert to the natural-gas fired subcategory prior to the proposed date
of January 1, 2040, instead of ceasing operation.
Other industry commenters suggested that to be a natural gas-fired
steam generating unit, a source could either meet the heat input
requirements during the 3 years prior to the compliance date or
(emphasis added) no longer retain the capability to fire coal after
December 31, 2029. Those commenters noted that, as proposed, a source
that had planned to convert to 100 percent natural gas-firing would
essentially have to do so prior to January 1, 2027, to meet the
proposed heat input-based definition, in addition to removing the
capability to fire coal by the compliance date.
[[Page 39845]]
Response: Although full natural gas conversions are not a measure
that the EPA considered as a potential BSER, the emission guidelines do
not prohibit such conversions should a state elect to require or
accommodate them. As noted above, the EPA recognizes that many steam
EGUs that formerly utilized coal as a primary fuel have fully or
partially converted to natural gas, and that additional steam EGUs may
elect to do so during the implementation period for these emission
guidelines. However, these emission guidelines place reasonable
constraints on the timing of such a conversion in situations where a
source seeks to be regulated as a natural gas-fired steam EGU rather
than as a coal-fired steam EGU. The EPA believes that such constraints
are necessary in order to avoid creating a perverse incentive for EGUs
to defer conversions in a way that could undermine the emission
reduction purpose of the rule. Therefore, the EPA disagrees with those
commenters that suggest the EPA should, in general, allow EGUs to be
regulated as natural gas-fired steam EGUs when they undertake such
conversions past January 1, 2030.
However, the EPA acknowledges that the proposed subcategorization
would have essentially required a unit to convert to natural gas by
January 1, 2027 in order to be regulated as a natural gas-fired steam
EGU. The EPA is finalizing fuel type subcategorization based on the
state of the source on the compliance date of January 1, 2030, and
during any period thereafter, as detailed in section VII.B of this
preamble. Should a source not be able to fully convert to natural gas
by this date, it would be treated as a coal-fired steam generating EGU;
however, the state may be able to use the RULOF provisions, as
discussed in section X.C.2 of this preamble, to particularize a
standard of performance for the unit. Note that if a state relies on
operating conditions within the control of the source as the basis of
providing a less stringent standard of performance or longer compliance
schedule, it must include those operating conditions as an enforceable
requirement in the state plan. 40 CFR 60.24a(g).
C. Rationale for the BSER for Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
This section of the preamble describes the rationale for the final
BSERs for existing coal-fired steam generating units based on the
criteria described in section V.C of this preamble.
At proposal, the EPA evaluated two primary control technologies as
potentially representing the BSER for existing coal-fired steam
generating units: CCS and natural gas co-firing. For sources operating
in the long-term, the EPA proposed CCS with 90 percent capture as BSER.
For sources operating in the medium-term (i.e., those demonstrating
that they plan to permanently cease operation by January 1, 2040), the
EPA proposed 40 percent natural gas co-firing as BSER. For imminent-
term and near-term sources ceasing operation earlier, the EPA proposed
BSERs of routine methods of operation and maintenance.
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90 percent capture as BSER for coal-
fired steam generating units because CCS can achieve a substantial
amount of emission reductions and satisfies the other BSER criteria.
CCS has been adequately demonstrated and results in by far the largest
emissions reductions of the available control technologies. As noted
below, the EPA has also determined that the compliance date for CCS is
January 1, 2032. CCS, however, entails significant up-front capital
expenditures that are amortized over a period of years. The EPA
evaluated the cost for different amortization periods, and the EPA has
concluded that CCS is cost-reasonable for units that operate past
January 1, 2039. As noted in section IV.D.3.b of this preamble, about
half (87 GW out of 181 GW) of all coal-fired capacity currently in
existence has announced plans to permanently cease operations by
January 1, 2039, and additional sources are likely to do so because
they will be older than the age at which sources generally have
permanently ceased operations since 2000. The EPA has determined that
the remaining sources that may operate after January 1, 2039, can, on
average, install CCS at a cost that is consistent with the EPA's
metrics for cost reasonableness, accounting for an amortization period
for the capital costs of more than 7 years, as detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble. If a particular source has costs of CCS
that are fundamentally different from those amounts, the state may
consider it to be a candidate for a different control requirement under
the RULOF provision, as detailed in section X.C.2 of this preamble. For
the group of sources that permanently cease operation before January 1,
2039, the EPA has concluded that CCS would in general be of higher
cost, and therefore is finalizing a subcategory for these units, termed
medium-term units, and finalizing 40 percent natural gas co-firing on a
heat input basis as the BSER.
These final subcategories and BSERs are largely consistent with the
proposal, which included a long-term subcategory for sources that did
not plan to permanently cease operations by January 1, 2040, with 90
percent capture CCS as the BSER; and a medium-term subcategory for
sources that permanently cease operations by that date and were not in
any of the other proposed subcategories, discussed next, with 40
percent co-firing as the BSER. For both subcategories, the compliance
date was January 1, 2030. The EPA also proposed an imminent-term
subcategory, for sources that planned to permanently cease operations
by January 1, 2032; and a near-term subcategory, for sources that
planned to permanently case operations by January 1, 2035, and that
limited their annual capacity utilization to 20 percent. The EPA
proposed a BSER of routine methods of operation and maintenance for
these two subcategories.
The EPA is not finalizing these imminent-term and near-term
subcategories. In addition, after considering the comments, the EPA
acknowledges that some additional time from what was proposed may be
beneficial for the planning and installation of CCS. Therefore, the EPA
is finalizing a January 1, 2032, compliance date for long-term existing
coal-fired steam generating units. As noted above, the EPA's analysis
of the costs of CCS also indicates that CCS is cost-reasonable with a
minimum amortization period of seven years; as a result, the final
emission guidelines would apply a CCS-based standard only to those
units that plan to operate for at least seven years after the
compliance deadline (i.e., units that plan to remain in operation after
January 1, 2039). For medium-term sources subject to a natural gas co-
firing BSER, the EPA is finalizing a January 1, 2030, compliance date
because the EPA has concluded that this provides a reasonable amount of
time to begin co-firing, a technology that entails substantially less
up-front infrastructure and, relatedly, capital expenditure than CCS.
1. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing CCS with 90 percent capture of CO2
at the stack as BSER for long-term coal-fired steam generating units.
Coal-fired steam generating units are the largest stationary source of
CO2 in the United States. Coal-fired steam generating units
have higher emission rates than other generating technologies, about
twice the emission rate of a natural gas combined cycle unit.
Typically, even newer, more efficient coal-fired steam generating units
emit over 1,800 lb CO2/MWh-gross, while many existing coal-
fired steam generating units have emission rates of 2,200 lb
CO2/MWh-gross or higher. As noted in section IV.B of this
[[Page 39846]]
preamble, coal-fired sources emitted 909 MMT CO2e in 2021,
59 percent of the GHG emissions from the power sector and 14 percent of
the total U.S. GHG emissions--contributing more to U.S. GHG emissions
than any other sector, aside from transportation road sources.\275\
Furthermore, considering the sources in the long-term subcategory will
operate longer than sources with shorter operating horizons, long-term
coal-fired units have the potential to emit more total CO2.
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\275\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). Inventory of
U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2021. U.S. Greenhouse
Gas Emissions by Inventory Sector, 2021. https://cfpub.epa.gov/ghgdata/inventoryexplorer/#iallsectors/allsectors/allgas/inventsect/current.
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CCS is a control technology that can be applied at the stack of a
steam generating unit, achieves substantial reductions in emissions and
can capture and permanently sequester more than 90 percent of
CO2 emitted by coal-fired steam generating units. The
technology is adequately demonstrated, given that it has been operated
at scale and is widely applicable to these sources, and there are vast
sequestration opportunities across the continental U.S. Additionally,
the costs for CCS are reasonable, in light of recent technology cost
declines and policies including the tax credit under IRC section 45Q.
Moreover, the non-air quality health and environmental impacts of CCS
can be mitigated and the energy requirements of CCS are not
unreasonably adverse. The EPA's weighing of these factors together
provides the basis for finalizing CCS as BSER for these sources. In
addition, this BSER determination aligns with the caselaw, discussed in
section V.C.2.h of the preamble, stating that CAA section 111
encourages continued advancement in pollution control technology.
At proposal, the EPA also evaluated natural gas co-firing at 40
percent of heat input as a potential BSER for long-term coal-fired
steam generating units. While the unit level emission rate reductions
of 16 percent achieved by 40 percent natural gas co-firing are
appreciable, those reductions are substantially less than CCS with 90
percent capture of CO2. Therefore, because CCS achieves more
reductions at the unit level and is cost-reasonable, the EPA is not
finalizing natural gas co-firing as the BSER for these units. Further,
the EPA is not finalizing partial-CCS at lower capture rates (e.g., 30
percent) because it achieves substantially fewer unit-level reductions
at greater cost, and because CCS at 90 percent is achievable. Notably,
the IRC section 45Q tax credit may not be available to defray the costs
of partial CCS and the emission reductions would be limited. And the
EPA is not finalizing HRI as the BSER for these units because of the
limited reductions and potential rebound effect.
a. Rationale for CCS as the BSER for Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
In this section of the preamble, the EPA explains the rationale for
CCS as the BSER for existing long-term coal-fired steam generating
units. This section discusses the aspects of CCS that are relevant for
existing coal-fired steam generating units and, in particular, long-
term units. As noted in section VIII.F.4.c.iv of this preamble, much of
this discussion is also relevant for the EPA's determination that CCS
is the BSER for new base load combustion turbines.
In general, CCS has three major components: CO2 capture,
transportation, and sequestration/storage. Detailed descriptions of
these components are provided in section VII.C.1.a.i of this preamble.
As an overview, post-combustion capture processes remove CO2
from the exhaust gas of a combustion system, such as a utility boiler
or combustion turbine. This technology is referred to as ``post-
combustion capture'' because CO2 is a product of the
combustion of the primary fuel and the capture takes place after the
combustion of that fuel. The exhaust gases from most combustion
processes are at atmospheric pressure, contain somewhat dilute
concentrations of CO2, and are moved through the flue gas
duct system by fans. To separate the CO2 contained in the
flue gas, most current post-combustion capture systems utilize liquid
solvents--commonly amine-based solvents--in CO2 scrubber
systems using chemical absorption (or chemisorption).\276\ In a
chemisorption-based separation process, the flue gas is processed
through the CO2 scrubber and the CO2 is absorbed
by the liquid solvent. The CO2-rich solvent is then
regenerated by heating the solvent to release the captured
CO2.
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\276\ Other technologies may be used to capture CO2,
as described in the final TSDs, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units and the GHG Mitigation Measures--Carbon Capture and
Storage for Combustion Turbines, available in the rulemaking docket.
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The high purity CO2 is then compressed and transported,
generally through pipelines, to a site for geologic sequestration
(i.e., the long-term containment of CO2 in subsurface
geologic formations). Pipelines are subject to Federal safety
regulations administered by PHMSA. Furthermore, sequestration sites are
widely available across the nation, and the EPA has developed a
comprehensive regulatory structure to oversee geologic sequestration
projects and assure their safety and effectiveness.\277\
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\277\ 80 FR 64549 (October 23, 2015).
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i. Adequately Demonstrated
In this section of the preamble, the EPA explains the rationale for
finalizing its determination that 90 percent capture applied to long-
term coal-fired steam generating units is adequately demonstrated. In
this section, the EPA first describes how simultaneous operation of all
components of CCS functioning in concert with one another has been
demonstrated, including a commercial scale application on a coal-fired
steam generating unit. The demonstration of the individual components
of CO2 capture, transport, and sequestration further support
that CCS is adequately demonstrated. The EPA describes how
demonstrations of CO2 capture support that 90 percent
capture rates are adequately demonstrated. The EPA further describes
how transport and geologic sequestration are adequately demonstrated,
including the feasibility of transport infrastructure and the broad
availability of geologic sequestration reservoirs in the U.S.
(A) Simultaneous Demonstration of CO2 Capture, Transport,
and Sequestration
The EPA proposed that CCS was adequately demonstrated for
applications on combustion turbines and existing coal-fired steam
generating units.
On reviewing the available information, all components of CCS--
CO2 capture, CO2 transport, and CO2
sequestration--have been demonstrated concurrently, with each component
operating simultaneously and in concert with the other components.
(1) Industrial Applications of CCS
Solvent-based CO2 capture was patented nearly 100 years
ago in the 1930s \278\ and has been used in a variety of industrial
applications for decades. For example, since 1978, an amine-based
system has been used to capture approximately 270,000 metric tons of
CO2 per year from the flue gas of the bituminous coal-fired
steam generating units at the 63 MW Argus Cogeneration Plant at Searles
Valley Minerals (Trona,
[[Page 39847]]
California).\279\ Furthermore, thousands of miles of CO2
pipelines have been constructed and securely operated in the U.S. for
decades.\280\ And tens of millions of tons of CO2 have been
permanently stored deep underground either for geologic sequestration
or in association with EOR.\281\ There are currently at least 15
operating CCS projects in the U.S., and another 121 that are under
construction or in advanced stages of development.\282\ This broad
application of CCS demonstrates that the components of CCS have been
successfully operated simultaneously. The Shute Creek Facility has a
capture capacity of 7 million metric tons per year and has been in
operation since 1986.\283\ The facility uses a solvent-based process to
remove CO2 from natural gas, and the captured CO2
is stored in association with EOR. Another example of CCS in industrial
applications is the Great Plains Synfuels Plant has a capture capacity
of 3 million metric tons per year and has been in operation since
2000.284 285 The Great Plains Synfuels Plant (Beulah, North
Dakota) uses a solvent-based process to remove CO2 from
lignite-derived syngas, the CO2 is transported by the Souris
Valley pipeline, and stored underground in association with EOR in the
Weyburn and Midale Oil Units in Saskatchewan, Canada. Over 39 million
metric tons of CO2 has been captured since 2000.
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\278\ Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic Gases (1930)
United States patent application. United States Patent US1783901A;
Allen, A.S. and Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide from
a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent Application. United States
Patent US1934472A.
\279\ Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ``An Assessment of the
Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage
Technologies as of June 2009.'' U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830.
\280\ U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous
Material Safety Administration, ``Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.''
2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmission-hazardous-liquids.
\281\ GHGRP US EPA. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-and-geologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
\282\ Carbon Capture and Storage in the United States. CBO.
December 13, 2023. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
\283\ Id.
\284\ https://netl.doe.gov/research/Coal/energy-systems/gasification/gasifipedia/great-plains.
\285\ https://co2re.co/FacilityData.
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(2) Various CO2 capture methods are used in industrial
applications and are tailored to the flue gas conditions of a
particular industry (see the TSD GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units for details). Of those capture technologies, amine
solvent-based capture has been demonstrated for removal of
CO2 from the post-combustion flue gas of fossil fuel-fired
EGUs. The Quest CO2 capture facility in Alberta, Canada,
uses amine-based CO2 capture retrofitted to three existing
steam methane reformers at the Scotford Upgrader facility (operated by
Shell Canada Energy) to capture and sequester approximately 80 percent
of the CO2 in the produced syngas.\286\ Amine-solvents are
also applied for post-combustion capture from fossil fuel fired EGUs.
The Quest facility has been operating since 2015 and captures
approximately 1 million metric tons of CO2 per year.
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\286\ Quest Carbon Capture and Storage Project Annual Summary
Report, Alberta Department of Energy: 2021. https://open.alberta.ca/publications/quest-carbon-capture-and-storage-project-annual-report-2021.
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Applications of CCS at Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
For electricity generation applications, this includes operation of
CCS at Boundary Dam Unit 3 in Saskatchewan, Canada. CCS at Boundary Dam
Unit 3 includes capture of the CO2 from the flue-gas of the
fossil fuel-fired EGU, compression of the CO2 onsite and
transport via pipeline offsite, and storage of the captured
CO2 underground. Storage of the CO2 captured at
Boundary Dam primarily occurs via EOR. Moreover, CO2
captured from Boundary Dam Unit 3 is also stored in a deep saline
aquifer at the Aquistore Deep Saline CO2 Storage Project,
which has permanently stored over 550,000 tons of CO2 to
date.\287\ Other demonstrations of CCS include the 240 MWe Petra Nova
CCS project at the subbituminous coal-fired W.A. Parish plant in Texas,
which, because it was EPAct05-assisted, we cite as useful in section
VII.C.1.a.i(B)(2) of this preamble, but not essential, corroboration.
See section VII.C.1.a.i(H)(1) for a detailed description of how the EPA
considers information from EPAct05-assisted projects.
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\287\ Aquistore Project. https://ptrc.ca/media/whats-new/aquistore-co2-storage-project-reached-+500000-tonnes-stored.
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Commenters stated that that all constituent components of CCS--
carbon capture, transportation, and sequestration--have not been
adequately demonstrated in integrated, simultaneous operation. We
disagree with this comment. The record described in the preceding shows
that all components have been demonstrated simultaneously. Even if the
record only included demonstration of the individual components of CCS,
the EPA would still determine that CCS is adequately demonstrated as it
would be reasonable on a technical basis that the individual components
are capable of functioning together--they have been engineered and
designed to do so, and the record for the demonstration of the
individual components is based on decades of direct data and
experience.
(B) CO2 Capture Technology at Coal-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing the determination that the CO2
capture component of CCS has been adequately demonstrated at a capture
efficiency of 90 percent, is technically feasible, and is achievable
over long periods (e.g., a year) for the reasons summarized here and
detailed in the following subsections of this preamble. This
determination is based, in part, on the demonstration of the technology
at existing coal-fired steam generating units, including the
commercial-scale installation at Boundary Dam Unit 3. The application
of CCS at Boundary Dam follows decades of development of CO2
capture for coal-fired steam generating units, as well as numerous
smaller-scale demonstrations that have successfully implemented this
technology. Review of the available information has also identified
specific, currently available, minor technological improvements that
can be applied today to better the performance of new capture plant
retrofits, and which can assure that the capture plants achieve 90
percent capture. The EPA's determination that 90 percent capture of
CO2 is adequately demonstrated is further corroborated by
EPAct05-assisted projects, including the Petra Nova project.
Moreover, several CCS retrofit projects on coal-fired steam
generating units are in progress that apply the lessons from the prior
projects and use solvents that achieve higher capture rates. Technology
providers that supply those solvents and the associated process
technologies have made statements concluding that the technology is
commercially proven and available today and have further stated that
those solvents achieve capture rates of 95 percent or greater.
Technology providers have decades of experience and have done the work
to responsibly scale up the technology over that time across a range of
flue gas compositions. Taking all of those factors into consideration,
and accounting for the operation and flue gas conditions of the
affected sources, solvent-based capture will consistently achieve
capture rates of 90 percent or greater for the fleet of long-term coal-
fired steam generating units.
Various technologies may be used to capture CO2, the
details of which are described generally in section IV.C.1 of this
preamble and in more detail in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures
for Steam Generating Units, which is
[[Page 39848]]
available in the rulemaking docket.\288\ For post-combustion capture,
these technologies include solvent-based methods (e.g., amines, chilled
ammonia), solid sorbent-based methods, membrane filtration, pressure-
swing adsorption, and cryogenic methods.\289\ Lastly, oxy-combustion
uses a purified oxygen stream from an air separation unit (often
diluted with recycled CO2 to control the flame temperature)
to combust the fuel and produce a higher concentration of
CO2 in the flue gas, as opposed to combustion with oxygen in
air which contains 80 percent nitrogen. The CO2 can then be
separated by the aforementioned CO2 capture methods. Of the
available capture technologies, solvent-based processes have been the
most widely demonstrated at commercial scale for post-combustion
capture and are applicable to use with either combustion turbines or
steam generating units.
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\288\ Technologies to capture CO2 are also discussed
in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures--Carbon Capture and
Storage for Combustion Turbines.
\289\ For pre-combustion capture (as is applicable to an IGCC
unit), syngas produced by gasification passes through a water-gas
shift catalyst to produce a gas stream with a higher concentration
of hydrogen and CO2. The higher CO2
concentration relative to conventional combustion flue gas reduces
the demands (power, heating, and cooling) of the subsequent
CO2 capture process (e.g., solid sorbent-based or
solvent-based capture); the treated hydrogen can then be combusted
in the unit.
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The EPA's identification of CCS with 90 percent capture as the BSER
is premised, in part, on an amine solvent-based CO2 system.
Amine solvents used for carbon capture are typically proprietary,
although non-proprietary solvents (e.g., monoethanolamine, MEA) may be
used. Carbon capture occurs by reactive absorption of the
CO2 from the flue gas into the amine solution in an
absorption column. The amine reacts with the CO2 but will
also react with impurities in the flue gas, including SO2.
PM will also affect the capture system. Adequate removal of
SO2 and PM prior to the CO2 capture system is
therefore necessary. After pretreatment of the flue gas with
conventional SO2 and PM controls, the flue gas goes through
a quencher to cool the flue gas and remove further impurities before
the CO2 absorption column. After absorption, the
CO2-rich amine solution passes to the solvent regeneration
column, while the treated gas passes through a water and/or acid wash
column to limit emission of amines or other byproducts. In the solvent
regeneration column, the solution is heated (using steam) to release
the absorbed CO2. The released CO2 is then
compressed and transported offsite, usually by pipeline. The amine
solution from the regenerating column is then cooled, a portion of the
lean solvent is treated in a solvent reclaiming process to mitigate
degradation of the solvent, and the lean solvent streams are recombined
and sent back to the absorption column.
(1) Capture Demonstrations at Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
(a) SaskPower's Boundary Dam Unit 3
SaskPower's Boundary Dam Unit 3, a 110 MW lignite-fired unit in
Saskatchewan, Canada, was designed to achieve CO2 capture
rates of 90 percent using an amine-based post-combustion capture system
retrofitted to the existing steam generating unit. The capture plant,
which began operation in 2014, is the first full-scale CO2
capture system retrofit on an existing coal-fired power plant. It uses
the amine-based Shell CANSOLV[supreg] process, which includes an amine-
based SO2 scrubbing process and a separate amine-based
CO2 capture process, with integrated heat and power from the
steam generating unit.\290\
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\290\ Giannaris, S., et al. Proceedings of the 15th
International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies
(March 15-18, 2021). SaskPower's Boundary Dam Unit 3 Carbon Capture
Facility--The Journey to Achieving Reliability. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3820191.
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After undergoing maintenance and design improvements in September
and October of 2015 to address technical and mechanical challenges
faced in its first year of operation, Boundary Dam Unit 3 completed a
72-hour test of its design capture rate (3,240 metric tons/day), and
captured 9,695 metric tons of CO2 or 99.7 percent of the
design capacity (approximately 89.7 percent capture) with a peak rate
of 3,341 metric tons/day.\291\ However, the capture plant has not
consistently operated at this total capture efficiency. In general, the
capture plant ran less than 100 percent of the flue gas through the
capture equipment and the coal-fired steam generating unit also
operates when the capture plant is offline for maintenance. As a
result, although the capture plant has consistently achieved 90 percent
capture rates of the CO2 in the processed slipstream, the
amount of CO2 captured was less than 90 percent of the total
amount of CO2 in the flue gas of the steam generating unit.
Some of the reasons for this operation were due to the economic
incentives and regulatory requirements of the project, while other
reasons were due to technical challenges. The EPA has reviewed the
record of CO2 capture at Boundary Dam Unit 3. While Boundary
Dam is in Canada and therefore not subject to this action, these
technical challenges have been sufficiently overcome or are actively
mitigated so that Boundary Dam has more recently been capable of
achieving capture rates of 83 percent when the capture plant is
online.\292\ Furthermore, the improvements already employed and
identified at Boundary Dam can be readily applied during the initial
construction of a new CO2 capture plant today.
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\291\ SaskPower Annual Report (2015-16). https://
www.saskpower.com/about-us/Our-Company/~/
link.aspx?_id=29E795C8C20D48398EAB5E3273C256AD&_z=z.
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The CO2 captured at Boundary Dam is mostly used for EOR
and CO2 is also stored geologically in a deep saline
reservoir at the Aquistore site.\293\ The amount of flue gas captured
is based in part on economic reasons (i.e., to meet related contract
requirements). The incentives for CO2 capture at Boundary
Dam beyond revenue from EOR have been limited to date, and there have
been limited regulatory requirements for CO2 capture at the
facility. As a result, a portion (about 25 percent on average) of the
flue gas bypasses the capture plant and is emitted untreated. However,
because of increasing requirements to capture CO2 in Canada,
Boundary Dam Unit 3 has more recently pursued further process
optimization.
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\293\ Aquistore. https://ptrc.ca/aquistore.
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Total capture efficiencies at the plant have also been affected by
technical issues, particularly with the SO2 removal system
that is upstream of the CO2 capture system. Operation of the
SO2 removal system affects downstream CO2 capture
and the amount of flue gas that can be processed. Specifically, fly ash
(PM) in the flue gas at Boundary Dam Unit 3 contributed to fouling of
SO2 system components, particularly in the SO2
reboiler and the demisters of the SO2 absorber column.
Buildup of scale in the SO2 reboiler limited heat transfer
and regeneration of the SO2 scrubbing amine, and high
pressure drop affected the flowrate of the SO2 lean-solvent
back to the SO2 absorber. Likewise, fouling of the demisters
in the SO2 absorber column caused high pressure drop and
restricted the flow of flue gas through the system, limiting the amount
of flue gas that could be processed by the downstream CO2
capture system. To address these technical issues, additional wash
systems were added, including ``demister wash systems, a pre-scrubber
flue gas inlet curtain spray wash system, flue gas cooler throat
sprays, and a booster fan wash system.'' \294\
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\294\ Id.
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[[Page 39849]]
Such issues will definitively not occur in a different type of
SO2 removal system (e.g., wet lime scrubber flue gas
desulfurization, wet-FGD). SO2 scrubbers have been
successfully operated for decades across a large number of U.S. coal-
fired sources. Of the coal-fired sources with planned operation after
2039, 60 percent have wet FGD and 23 percent have a dry FGD. In section
VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble, the EPA accounts for the cost of adding
a wet-FGD for those sources that do not have an FGD.
To further mitigate fouling due to fly ash, the PM controls
(electrostatic precipitators) at Boundary Dam Unit 3 were upgraded in
2015/2016 by adding switch integrated rectifiers. Of the coal-fired
sources with planned operation after 2039, 31 percent have baghouses
and 67 percent have electrostatic precipitators. Sources with baghouses
have greater or more consistent degrees of emission control, and wet
FGD also provides additional PM control.
Fouling at Boundary Dam Unit 3 also affected the heat exchangers in
both the SO2 removal system and the CO2 capture
system. Additional redundancies and isolations to those key components
were added in 2017 to allow for online maintenance. Damage to the
capture plant's CO2 compressor resulted in an unplanned
outage in 2021, and the issue was corrected.\295\ The facility reported
98.3 percent capture system availability in the third quarter of
2023.\296\
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\295\ S&P Global Market Intelligence (January 6, 2022). Only
still-operating carbon capture project battled technical issues in
2021. https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/only-still-operating-carbon-capture-project-battled-technical-issues-in-2021-68302671.
\296\ SaskPower (October 18, 2022). BD3 Status Update: Q3 2023.
https://www.saskpower.com/about-us/Our-Company/Blog/2023/BD3-Status-Update-Q3-2023.
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Regular maintenance further mitigates fouling in the SO2
and CO2 absorbers, and other challenges (e.g., foaming,
biological fouling) typical of gas-liquid absorbers can be mitigated by
standard procedures. According to the 2022 paper co-authored by the
International CCS Knowledge Centre and SaskPower, ``[a] number of
initiatives are ongoing or planned with the goal of eliminating flue
gas bypass as follows: Since 2016, online cleaning of demisters has
been effective at controlling demister pressure; Chemical cleans and
replacement of fouled packing in the absorber towers to reduce pressure
losses; Optimization of antifoam injection and other aspects of amine
health, to minimize foaming potential; [and] Optimization of Liquid-to-
Gas (L/G) ratio in the absorber and other process parameters,'' as well
as other optimization procedures.\297\ While foaming is mitigated by an
antifoam injection regimen, the EPA further notes that the extent of
foaming that could occur may be specific to the chemistry of the
solvent and the source's flue gas conditions--foaming was not reported
for MHI's KS-1 solvent when treating bituminous coal post-combustion
flue gas at Petra Nova. Lastly, while biological fouling in the
CO2 absorber wash water and the SO2 absorber
caustic polisher has been observed, ``the current mitigation plan is to
perform chemical shocking to remove this particular buildup.'' \298\
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\297\ Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th International
Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (October 2022).
Reducing the CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary Dam Unit 3 Through
Optimization of Operating Parameters of the Power Plant and Carbon
Capture Facilities. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286430.
\298\ Pradoo, P., et al. Proceedings of the 16th International
Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (October 2022).
Improving the Operating Availability of the Boundary Dam Unit 3
Carbon Capture Facility. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286503.
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Based on the experiences of Boundary Dam Unit 3, key improvements
can be implemented in future CCS deployments during initial design and
construction. Improvements to PM and SO2 controls can be
made prior to operation of the CO2 capture system. Where fly
ash is present in the flue gas, wash systems can be installed to limit
associated fouling. Additional redundancies and isolations of key heat-
exchangers can be made to allow for in-line cleaning during operation.
Redundancy of key equipment (e.g., utilizing two CO2
compressor trains instead of one) will further improve operational
availability. A feasibility study for the Shand power plant, which is
also operated by SaskPower, includes many such design improvements, at
an overall cost that was less than the cost for Boundary Dam.\299\
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\299\ International CCS Knowledge Centre. The Shand CCS
Feasibility Study Public Report. https://ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(2021-05-12).pdf.
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(b) Other Coal-Fired Demonstrations
Several other projects have successfully demonstrated the capture
component of CCS at electricity generating plants and other industrial
facilities, some of which were previously noted in the discussion in
the 2015 NSPS.\300\ Since 1978, an amine-based system has been used to
capture approximately 270,000 metric tons of CO2 per year
from the flue gas of the bituminous coal-fired steam generating units
at the 63 MW Argus Cogeneration Plant (Trona, California).\301\ Amine-
based carbon capture has further been demonstrated at AES's Warrior Run
(Cumberland, Maryland) and Shady Point (Panama, Oklahoma) coal-fired
power plants, with the captured CO2 being sold for use in
the food processing industry.\302\ At the 180 MW bituminous coal-fired
Warrior Run plant, approximately 10 percent of the plant's
CO2 emissions (about 110,000 metric tons of CO2
per year) has been captured since 2000 and sold to the food and
beverage industry. AES's 320 MW Shady Point plant fires subbituminous
and bituminous coal, and captured CO2 from an approximate 5
percent slipstream (about 66,000 metric tons of CO2 per
year) from 2001 through around 2019.\303\ These facilities, which have
operated for multiple years, clearly show the technical feasibility of
post-combustion carbon capture.
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\300\ 80 FR 64548-54 (October 23, 2015).
\301\ Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ``An Assessment of the
Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage
Technologies as of June 2009.'' U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830.
\302\ Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ``An Assessment of the
Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage
Technologies as of June 2009.'' U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830.
\303\ Shady Point Plant (River Valley) was sold to Oklahoma Gas
and Electric in 2019. https://www.oklahoman.com/story/business/columns/2019/05/23/oklahoma-gas-and-electric-acquires-aes-shady-point-after-federal-approval/60454346007/.
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(2) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Capture Projects at Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units \304\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\304\ In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA provided a legal interpretation
of the constraints on how the EPA could rely on EPAct05-assisted
projects in determining whether technology is adequately
demonstrated for the purposes of CAA section 111. Under that legal
interpretation, ``these provisions [in the EPAct05] . . . preclude
the EPA from relying solely on the experience of facilities that
received [EPAct05] assistance, but [do] not . . . preclude the EPA
from relying on the experience of such facilities in conjunction
with other information.'' As part of the rulemaking action here, the
EPA incorporates the legal interpretation and discussion of these
EPAct05 provisions with respect the appropriateness of considering
facilities that received EPAct05 assistance in determining whether
CCS is adequately demonstrated, as found in the 2015 NSPS, 80 FR
64509, 64541-43 (October 23, 2015), and the supporting response to
comments, EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0495-11861 at pgs.113-134.
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(a) Petra Nova
Petra Nova is a 240 MW-equivalent capture facility that is the
first at-scale application of carbon capture at a coal-fired power
plant in the U.S. The system is located at the subbituminous coal-
[[Page 39850]]
fired W.A. Parish Generating Station in Thompsons, Texas, and began
operation in 2017, successfully capturing and sequestering
CO2 for several years. The system was put into reserve
shutdown (i.e., idled) in May 2020, citing the poor economics of
utilizing captured CO2 for EOR at that time. On September
13, 2023, JX Nippon announced that the carbon capture facility at Petra
Nova had been restarted.\305\ A final report from the National Energy
Technology Laboratory (NETL) details the success of the project and
what was learned from this first-of-a-kind demonstration at scale.\306\
The project used Mitsubishi Heavy Industry's proprietary KM-CDR
Process[supreg], a process that is similar to an amine-based solvent
process but that uses a proprietary solvent. During its operation, the
project successfully captured 92.4 percent of the CO2 from
the slip stream of flue gas processed with 99.08 percent of the
captured CO2 sequestered by EOR.
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\305\ JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration Corporation. Restart of
the large-scale Petra Nova Carbon Capture Facility in the U.S.
(September 2023). https://www.nex.jx-group.co.jp/english/newsrelease/upload_files/20230913EN.pdf.
\306\ W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and
Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final Scientific/Technical
Report (March 2020). https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
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The amount of flue gas treated at Petra Nova was consistent with a
240 MW size coal-fired steam EGU. The properties of the flue gas--
composition, temperature, pressure, density, flowrate, etc.--are the
same as would occur for a similarly sized coal-firing unit. Therefore,
Petra Nova corroborates that the capture equipment--including the
CO2 absorption column, solvent regeneration column, balance
of plant equipment, and the solvent itself--work at commercial scale
and can achieve capture rates of 90 percent.
The Petra Nova project did experience periodic outages that were
unrelated to the CO2 capture facility and do not implicate
the basis for the EPA's BSER determination.\307\ These include outages
at either the coal-fired steam generating unit (W.A. Parish Unit 8) or
the auxiliary combined cycle facility, extreme weather events
(Hurricane Harvey), and the operation of the EOR site and downstream
oil recovery and processing. Outages at the coal-fired steam generating
unit itself do not compromise the reliability of the CO2
capture plant or the plant's ability to achieve a standard of
performance based on CCS, as there would be no CO2 to
capture. Outages at the auxiliary combined cycle facility are also not
relevant to the EPA's BSER determination, because the final BSER is not
premised on the CO2 capture plant using an auxiliary
combined cycle plant for steam and power. Rather, the final BSER
assumes the steam and power come directly from the associated steam
generating unit. Extreme weather events can affect the operation of any
facility. Furthermore, the BSER is not premised on EOR, and it is not
dependent on downstream oil recovery or processing. Outages
attributable to the CO2 capture facility were 41 days in
2017, 34 days in 2018, and 29 days in 2019--outages decreased year-on-
year and were on average less than 10 percent of the year. Planned and
unplanned outages are normal for industrial processes, including steam
generating units.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\307\ Id.
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Petra Nova experienced some technical challenges that were
addressed during its first 3 years of operation.\308\ One of these
issues was leaks from heat exchangers due to the properties of the
gasket materials--replacement of the gaskets addressed the issue.
Another issue was vibration of the flue gas blower due to build-up of
slurry and solids carryover. W.A. Parish Unit 8 uses a wet limestone
FGD scrubber to remove SO2, and the flue gas connection to
the capture plant is located at the bottom of the duct running from the
wet-FGD to the original stack. A diversion wall and collection drains
were installed to mitigate solids and slurry carryover. Regular
maintenance is required to clean affected components and reduce the
amount of slurry carryover to the quencher. Solids and slurry carryover
also resulted in calcium scale buildup on the flue gas blower. Although
calcium concentrations were observed to increase in the solvent,
impacts of calcium on the quencher and capture plant chemistry were not
observed. Some scaling may have been occurring in the cooling section
of the quencher and would have been addressed during a planned outage
in 2020. Another issue encountered was scaling related to the
CO2 compressor intercoolers, compressor dehydration system,
and an associated heat exchanger. The issue was determined to be due to
a material incompatibility of the CO2 compressor
intercooler, and the components were replaced during a 2018 planned
outage. To mitigate the scaling prior to the replacement of those
components, the compressor drain was also rerouted to the reclaimer and
a backup filtering system was also installed and used, both of which
proved to be effective. Some decrease in performance was also observed
in heat exchangers. The presence of cooling tower fill (a solid medium
used to increase surface area in cooling towers) in the cooling water
system exchangers may have impacted performance. It is also possible
that there could have been some fouling in heat exchangers. Fill was
planned to be removed and fouling checked for during regular
maintenance. Petra Nova did not observe fouling of the CO2
absorber packing or high pressure drops across the CO2
absorber bed, and Petra Nova also did not report any foaming of the
solvent. Even with the challenges that were faced, Petra Nova was never
restricted in reaching its maximum capture rate of 5,200 tons of
CO2 per day, a scale that was substantially greater than
Boundary Dam Unit 3 (approximately 3,600 tons of CO2 per
day).
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\308\ Id.
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(b) Plant Barry
Plant Barry, a bituminous coal-fired steam generating unit in
Mobile, Alabama, began using the KM-CDR Process[supreg] in 2011 for a
fully integrated 25 MWe CCS project with a capture rate of 90
percent.\309\ The CCS project at Plant Barry captured approximately
165,000 tons of CO2 annually, which was then transported via
pipeline and sequestered underground in geologic formations.\310\
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\309\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). National Energy
Technology Laboratory (NETL). https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/1741.
\310\ 80 FR 64552 (October 23, 2015).
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(c) Project Tundra
Project Tundra is a carbon capture project in North Dakota at the
Milton R. Young Station lignite coal-fired power plant. Project Tundra
will capture up to 4 million metric tons of CO2 per year for
permanent geologic storage. One planned storage site is collocated with
the power plant and is already fully permitted, while permitting for a
second nearby storage site is in progress.\311\ An air permit for the
capture facility has also been issued by North Dakota Department of
Environmental Quality. The project is designed to capture
CO2 at a rate of about 95 percent of the treated flue
gas.\312\ The capture plant will treat the flue gas from the 455 MW
Unit 2 and additional flue gas from the 250 MW Unit 1, and will treat
an equivalent capacity of 530 MW.\313\ The project began a final FEED
study in February 2023 with planned completion
[[Page 39851]]
in April 2024,\314\ and, prior to selection by DOE for funding award
negotiation, the project was scheduled to begin construction in
2024.\315\ The project will use MHI's KS-21 solvent and the Advanced
KM-CDR process. The MHI solvent KS-1 and an advanced MHI solvent
(likely KS-21) were previously tested on the lignite post-combustion
flue gas from the Milton R. Young Station.\316\ To provide additional
conditioning of the flue gas, the project is utilizing a wet
electrostatic precipitator (WESP). A draft Environmental Assessment
summarizing the project and potential environmental impacts was
released by DOE.\317\ Finally, Project Tundra was selected for award
negotiation for funding from DOE.\318\
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\311\ Project Tundra--Progress, Minnkota Power Cooperative,
2023. https://www.projecttundrand.com.
\312\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0632.
\313\ Id.
\314\ ``An Overview of Minnkota's Carbon Capture Initiative--
Project Tundra,'' 2023 LEC Annual Meeting, October 5, 2023.
\315\ Project Tundra--Progress, Minnkota Power Cooperative,
2023. https://www.projecttundrand.com.
\316\ Laum, Jason. Subtask 2.4--Overcoming Barriers to the
Implementation of Postcombustion Carbon Capture. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1580659.
\317\ DOE-EA-2197 Draft Environmental Assessment, August 17,
2023. https://www.energy.gov/nepa/listings/doeea-2197-documents-available-download.
\318\ Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects Selections for Award
Negotiations. https://www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capture-demonstration-projects-selections-award-negotiations.
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That this project has funding through the Bipartisan Infrastructure
Law, and that this funding is facilitated through DOE's Office of Clean
Energy Demonstration's (OCED) Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects
Program, does not detract from the adequate demonstration of CCS.
Rather, the goal of that program is, ``to accelerate the implementation
of integrated carbon capture and storage technologies and catalyze
significant follow-on investments from the private sector to mitigate
carbon emissions sources in industries across America.'' \319\ For the
commercial scale projects, the stated requirement of the funding
opportunity announcement (FOA) is not that projects demonstrate CCS in
general, but that they ``demonstrate significant improvements in the
efficiency, effectiveness, cost, operational and environmental
performance of existing carbon capture technologies.'' \320\ This
implies that the basic technology already exists and is already
demonstrated. The FOA further notes that the technologies used by the
projects receiving funding should be proven such that, ``the
technologies funded can be readily replicated and deployed into
commercial practice.'' \321\ The EPA also notes that this and other on-
going projects were announced well in advance of the FOA. Considering
these factors, Project Tundra and other similarly funded projects are
supportive of the determination that CCS is adequately demonstrated.
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\319\ DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capture-demonstration-projects-program-front-end-engineering-design-feed-studies.
\320\ DE-FOA-0002962. https://oced-exchange.energy.gov/FileContent.aspx?FileID=86c47d5d-835c-4343-86e8-2ba27d9dc119.
\321\ Id.
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(d) Project Diamond Vault
Project Diamond Vault will capture up to 95 percent of
CO2 emissions from the 600 MW Madison Unit 3 at Brame Energy
Center in Lena, Louisiana. Madison Unit 3 fires approximately 70
percent petroleum coke and 30 percent bituminous (Illinois Basin) coal
in a circulating fluidized bed. The FEED study for the project is
targeted for completion on September 9, 2024.322 323
Construction is planned to begin by the end of 2025 with commercial
operation starting in 2028.\324\ From the utility: ``Government
Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) funding through 45Q tax credits makes the
project financially viable. With these government tax credits, the
company does not expect a rate increase as a result of this project.''
\325\
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\322\ Diamond Vault Carbon Capture FEED Study. https://netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/netl-file/23CM_PSCC31_Bordelon.pdf.
\323\ Note that while the FEED study is EPAct05-assisted, the
capture plant is not.
\324\ Project Diamond Vault Overview. https://www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamond-vault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
\325\ Id.
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(e) Other Projects
Other projects have completed or are in the process of completing
feasibility work or FEED studies, or are taking other steps towards
installing CCS on coal-fired steam generating units. These projects are
summarized in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, available in the docket. In general, these projects
target capture rates of 90 percent or above and provide evidence that
sources are actively pursuing the installation of CCS.
(3) CO2 Capture Technology Vendor Statements
CO2 capture technology providers have issued statements
supportive of the application of systems and solvents for
CO2 capture at fossil fuel-fired EGUs. These statements
speak to the decades of experience that technology providers have and
as noted below, vendors attest, and offer guarantees that 90 percent
capture rates are achievable. Generally, while there are many
CO2 capture methods available, solvent-based CO2
capture from post-combustion flue gas is particularly applicable to
fossil fuel-fired EGUs. Solvent-based CO2 capture systems
are commercially available from technology providers including Shell,
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI), Linde/BASF, Fluor and ION Clean
Energy.
Technology providers have made statements asserting extensive
experience in CO2 capture and the commercial availability of
CO2 capture technologies. Solvent-based CO2
capture was first patented in the 1930s.\326\ Since then, commercial
solvent-based capture systems have been developed that are focused on
applications to post-combustion flue gas. Several technology providers
have over 30 years of experience applying solvent-based CO2
capture to the post-combustion flue gas of fossil fuel-fired EGUs. In
general, technology providers describe the technologies for
CO2 capture from post-combustion flue gas as ``proven'' or
``commercially available'' or ``commercially proven'' or ``available
now'' and describe their experience with CO2 capture from
post-combustion flue gas as ``extensive.'' CO2 capture rates
of 90 percent or higher from post-combustion flue gas have been proven
by CO2 capture technology providers using several
commercially available solvents. Many of the available solvent
technologies have over 50,000 hours of operation, equivalent to over 5
years of operation.
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\326\ Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic Gases (1930)
United States patent application. United States Patent US1783901A;
Allen, A.S. and Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide from
a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent Application. United States
Patent US1934472A.
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Shell has decades of experience in CO2 capture systems.
Shell notes that ``[c]apturing and safely storing carbon is an option
that's available now.'' \327\ Shell has developed the CANSOLV[supreg]
CO2 capture system for CO2 capture from post-
combustion flue gas, a regenerable amine that the company claims has
multiple advantages including ``low parasitic energy consumption, fast
kinetics and extremely low volatility.'' \328\ Shell further notes,
``Moreover, the technology has been designed for
[[Page 39852]]
reliability through its highly flexible turn-up and turndown
capacity.'' \329\ The company has stated that ``Over 90% of the
CO2 in exhaust gases can be effectively and economically
removed through the implementation of Shell's carbon capture
technology.'' \330\ Shell also notes, ``Systems can be guaranteed for
bulk CO2 removal of over 90%.'' \331\
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\327\ Shell Global--Carbon Capture and Storage. https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/carbon-capture-and-storage.html.
\328\ Shell Global--CANSOLV[supreg] CO2 Capture
System. https://www.shell.com/business-customers/catalysts-technologies/licensed-technologies/emissions-standards/tail-gas-treatment-unit/cansolv-co2.html.
\329\ Shell Catalysts & Technologies--Shell CANSOLV[supreg]
CO2 Capture System. https://catalysts.shell.com/en/Cansolv-co2-fact-sheet.
\330\ Id.
\331\ Id.
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MHI in collaboration with Kansai Electric Power Co., Inc. began
developing a solvent-based capture process (the KM CDR
ProcessTM) using the KS-1TM solvent in 1990.\332\
MHI describes the extensive experience of commercial application of the
solvent, ``KS-1TM--a solvent whose high reliability has been
confirmed by a track record of deliveries to 15 commercial plants
worldwide.'' \333\ Notable applications of KS-1TM and the
KM-CDR ProcessTM include applications at Plant Barry and
Petra Nova. Previously, MHI has achieved capture rates of greater than
90 percent over long periods and at full scale at the Petra Nova
project where the KS-1TM solvent was used.\334\ MHI has
further improved on the original process and solvent by making
available the Advanced KM CDR ProcessTM using the KS-
21TM solvent. From MHI, ``Commercialization of KS-
21TM solvent was completed following demonstration testing
in 2021 at the Technology Centre Mongstad in Norway, one of the world's
largest carbon capture demonstration facilities.'' \335\ MHI has
achieved CO2 capture rates of 95 to 98 percent using both
the KS-1TM and KS-21TM solvent at the Technology
Centre Mongstad (TCM).\336\ Higher capture rates under modified
conditions were also measured, ``In addition, in testing conducted
under modified operating conditions, the KS-21TM solvent
delivered an industry-leading carbon capture rate was 99.8% and
demonstrated the successful recovery of CO2 from flue gas of
lower concentration than the CO2 contained in the
atmosphere.'' \337\
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\332\ Mitsubishi Heavy Industries--CO2 Capture
Technology--CO2 Capture Process. https://www.mhi.com/products/engineering/co2plants_process.html.
\333\ Id.
\334\ Note: Petra Nova is an EPAct05-assisted project. W.A.
Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and Sequestration
Demonstration Project, Final Scientific/Technical Report (March
2020). https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
\335\ Id.
\336\ Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, ``Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Engineering Successfully Completes Testing of New KS-21TM
Solvent for CO2 Capture,'' https://www.mhi.com/news/211019.html.
\337\ Id.
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Linde engineering in partnership with BASF has made available
BASF's OASE[supreg] blue amine solvent technology for post-combustion
CO2 capture. Linde notes their experience: ``We have
longstanding experience in the design and construction of chemical wash
processes, providing the necessary amine-based solvent systems and the
CO2 compression, drying and purification system.'' \338\
Linde also notes that ``[t]he BASF OASE[supreg] process is used
successfully in more than 400 plants worldwide to scrub natural,
synthesis and other industrial gases.'' \339\ The OASE[supreg] blue
technology has been successfully piloted at RWE Power, Niederaussem,
Germany (from 2009 through 2017; 55,000 operating hours) and the
National Center for Carbon Capture in Wilsonville, Alabama (January
2015 through January 2016; 3,200 operating hours). Based on the
demonstrated performance, Linde concludes that ``PCC plants combining
Linde's engineering skills and BASF's OASE[supreg] blue solvent
technology are now commercially available for a wide range of
applications.'' \340\ Linde and BASF have demonstrated capture rates
over 90 percent and operating availability \341\ rates of more than 97
percent during 55,000 hours of operation.
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\338\ Linde Engineering--Post Combustion Capture. https://www.linde-engineering.com/en/process-plants/co2-plants/carbon-capture/post-combustion-capture/.
\339\ Linde and BASF--Carbon capture storage and utilisation.
https://www.linde-engineering.com/en/images/Carbon-capture-storage-utilisation-Linde-BASF_tcm19-462558.pdf.
\340\ Id.
\341\ Operating availability is the percent of time that the
CO2 capture equipment is available relative to its
planned operation.
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Fluor provides a solvent technology (Econamine FG Plus) and EPC
services for CO2 capture. Fluor describes their technology
as ``proven,'' noting that, ``Proven technology. Fluor Econamine FG
Plus technology is a propriety carbon capture solution with more than
30 licensed plants and more than 30 years of operation.'' \342\ Fluor
further notes, ``The technology builds on Fluor's more than 400
CO2 removal units in natural gas and synthesis gas
processing.'' \343\ Fluor further states, ``Fluor is a global leader in
CO2 capture [. . .] with long-term commercial operating
experience in CO2 recovery from flue gas.'' On the status of
Econamine FG Plus, Fluor notes that the ``[the] Technology [is]
commercially proven on natural gas, coal, and fuel oil flue gases,''
and further note that ``[o]perating experience includes using steam
reformers, gas turbines, gas engines, and coal/natural gas boilers.''
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\342\ Fluor--Comprehensive Solutions for Carbon Capture. https://www.fluor.com/client-markets/energy/production/carbon-capture.
\343\ Fluor--Econamine FG Plus\SM\. https://www.fluor.com/sitecollectiondocuments/qr/econamine-fg-plus-brochure.pdf.
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ION Clean Energy is a company focused on post-combustion carbon
capture founded in 2008. ION's ICE-21 solvent has been used at NCCC and
TCM Norway.\344\ ION has achieved capture rates of 98 percent using the
ICE-31 solvent.
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\344\ ION Clean Energy--Company. https://www.ioncleanenergy.com/company.
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(4) CCS User Statements on CCS
A number of the companies who have either completed large scale
pilot projects or who are currently developing full scale projects have
also indicated that CCS technology is currently a viable technology for
large coal-fired power plants. In 2011, announcing a decision not to
move forward with the first full scale commercial CCS installation of a
carbon capture system on a coal plant, AEP did not cite any technology
concerns, but rather indicated that ``it is impossible to gain
regulatory approval to recover our share of the costs for validating
and deploying the technology without federal requirements to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions already in place.'' \345\ Enchant Energy, a
company developing CCS for coal-fired power plants explained that its
FEED study for the San Juan Generating Station, ``shows that the
technical and business case for adding carbon capture to existing coal-
fired power plants is strong.'' \346\ Rainbow Energy, who is developing
a carbon capture project at the Coal Creek Power Station in North
Dakota explains, ``CCUS technology has been proven and is an economical
option for a facility like Coal Creek Station. We see CCUS as the best
option to manage CO2 emissions at our facility.'' \347\
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\345\ https://www.aep.com/news/releases/read/1206/AEP-Places-Carbon-Capture-Commercialization-On-Hold-Citing-Uncertain-Status-Of-Climate-Policy-Weak-Economy.
\346\ Enchant Energy. What is Carbon Capture and Sequestration
(CCS)? https://enchantenergy.com/carbon-capture-technology/.
\347\ Rainbow Energy Center. Carbon Capture. https://rainbowenergycenter.com/what-we-do/carbon-capture/.
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(5) State CCS Requirements
Several states encourage or even require sources to install CCS.
These state requirements further indicate that CCS is well-established
and effective. These state laws include the Illinois 2021 Climate and
Equitable Jobs Act, which requires privately owned coal-
[[Page 39853]]
fired units to reduce emissions to zero by 2030 and requires publicly
owned coal-fired units to reduce emissions to zero by 2045.\348\
Illinois has also imposed CCS-based CO2 emission standards
on new coal-fired power plants since 2009 when the state adopted its
Clean Coal Portfolio Standard law.\349\ The statute required an initial
capture rate of 50 percent when enacted but steadily increased the
capture rate requirement to 90 percent in 2017, where it remains.
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\348\ State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act 102-0662:
Climate and Equitable Jobs Act. 2021. https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/102/PDF/102-0662.pdf.
\349\ State of Illinois General Assembly. Public Act 095-1027:
Clean Coal Portfolio Standard Law. https://www.ilga.gov/legislation/publicacts/95/PDF/095-1027.pdf.
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Michigan in 2023 established a 100 percent clean energy requirement
by 2040 with a nearer term 80 percent clean energy by 2035
requirement.\350\ The statute encourages the application of CCS by
defining ``clean energy'' to include generation resources that achieve
90 percent carbon capture.
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\350\ State of Michigan Legislature. Public Act 235 of 2023.
Clean and Renewable Energy and Energy Waste Reduction Act. https://legislature.mi.gov/documents/2023-2024/publicact/pdf/2023-PA-0235.pdf.
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California identifies carbon capture and sequestration as a
necessary tool to reduce GHG emissions within its 2022 scoping plan
update \351\ and, that same year, enacted a statutory requirement
through Assembly Bill 1279 \352\ requiring the state to plan and
implement policies that enable carbon capture and storage technologies.
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\351\ California Air Resources Board, 2022 Scoping Plan for
Achieving Carbon Neutrality. https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/sites/default/files/2023-04/2022-sp.pdf.
\352\ State of California Legislature. Assembly Bill 1279
(2022). The California Climate Crisis Act. https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202120220AB1279.
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Several states in different parts of the country have adopted
strategic and planning frameworks that also encourage CCS. Louisiana,
which in 2020 set an economy-wide net-zero goal by 2050, has explored
policies that encourage CCS deployment in the power sector. The state's
2022 Climate Action Plan proposes a Renewable and Clean Portfolio
Standard requiring 100 percent renewable or clean energy by 2035.\353\
That proposal defines power plants achieving 90 percent carbon capture
as a qualifying clean energy resource that can be used to meet the
standard.
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\353\ Louisiana Climate Initiatives Task Force. Louisiana
Climate Action Plan (February 1, 2022). https://gov.louisiana.gov/assets/docs/CCI-Task-force/CAP/ClimateActionPlanFinal.pdf.
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Pennsylvania's 2021 Climate Action Plan notes that the state is
well positioned to install CCS to transition the state's electric fleet
to a zero-carbon economy.\354\ The state also established an
interagency workgroup in 2019 to identify ways to speed the deployment
of CCS.
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\354\ Pennsylvania Dept. of Environmental Protection.
Pennsylvania Climate Action Plan (2021). https://www.dep.pa.gov/Citizens/climate/Pages/PA-Climate-Action-Plan.aspx.
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The Governor of North Dakota announced in 2021 an economy-wide
carbon neutral goal by 2030.\355\ The announcement singled out the
Project Tundra Initiative, which is working to apply CCS technology to
the state's Milton R. Young Power Station.
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\355\ https://www.governor.nd.gov/news/updated-waudio-burgum-addresses-williston-basin-petroleum-conference-issues-carbon-neutral.
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The Governor of Wyoming has broadly promoted a Decarbonizing the
West initiative that includes the study of CCS technologies to reduce
carbon emissions from the region.\356\ A 2024 Wyoming law also requires
utilities in the state to install CCS technologies on a portion of
their existing coal-fired power plants by 2033.\357\
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\356\ https://westgov.org/initiatives/overview/decarbonizing-the-west.
\357\ State of Wyoming Legislature. SF0042. Low-carbon Reliable
Energy Standards-amendments. https://www.wyoleg.gov/Legislation/2024/SF0042.
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(6) Variable Load and Startups and Shutdowns
In this section of the preamble, the EPA considers the effects of
variable load and startups and shutdowns on the achievability of 90
percent capture. First, the coal-fired steam generating unit can itself
turndown \358\ to only about 40 percent of its maximum design capacity.
Due to this, coal-fired EGUs have relatively high duty cycles \359\--
that is, they do not cycle as frequently as other sources and typically
have high average loads when operating. In 2021, coal-fired steam
generating units had an average duty cycle of 70 percent, and more than
75 percent of units had duty cycles greater than 60 percent.\360\ Prior
demonstrations of CO2 capture plants on coal-fired steam
generating units have had turndown limits of approximately 60 percent
of throughput for Boundary Dam Unit 3 \361\ and about 70 percent
throughput for Petra Nova.\362\ Based on the technology currently
available, turndown to throughputs of 50 percent \363\ are achievable
for a single capture train.\364\ Considering that coal units can
typically only turndown to 40 percent, a 50 percent turndown ratio for
the CO2 capture plant is likely sufficient for most sources,
although utilizing two CO2 capture trains would allow for
turndown to as low as 25 percent of throughput. When operating at less
than maximum throughputs, the CO2 capture facility actually
achieves higher capture efficiencies, as evidenced by the data
collected at Boundary Dam Unit 3.\365\ Data from the Shand Feasibility
Report suggests that, for a solvent and design achieving 90 percent
capture at 100 percent of net load, 97.5 percent capture is achievable
at 62.5 percent of net load.\366\ Considering these factors,
CO2 capture is, in general, able to meet the variable load
of coal-fired steam generating units without any adverse impact on the
CO2 capture rate. In fact, operation at lower loads may lead
to
[[Page 39854]]
higher achievable capture rates over long periods of time.
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\358\ Here, ``turndown'' is the ability of a facility to turn
down some process value, such as flowrate, throughput or capacity.
Typically, this is expressed as a ratio relative to operation at its
maximum instantaneous capability. Because processes are designed to
operate within specific ranges, turndown is typically limited by
some lower threshold.
\359\ Here, ``duty cycle'' is the ratio of the gross amount of
electricity generated relative to the amount that could be
potentially generated if the unit operated at its nameplate capacity
during every hour of operation. Duty cycle is thereby an indication
of the amount of cycling or load following a unit experiences
(higher duty cycles indicate less cycling, i.e., more time at
nameplate capacity when operating). Duty cycle is different from
capacity factor, as the latter also quantifies the amount that the
unit spends offline.
\360\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ``Power Sector
Emissions Data.'' Washington, DC: Office of Atmospheric Protection,
Clean Air Markets Division. Available from EPA's Air Markets Program
Data website: https://campd.epa.gov.
\361\ Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th International
Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (March 15-18,
2021). Reducing the CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary Dam Unit 3
Through Optimization of Operating Parameters of the Power Plant and
Carbon Capture Facilities. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286430.
\362\ W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and
Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final Scientific/Technical
Report (March 2020). https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
\363\ International CCS Knowledge Centre. The Shand CCS
Feasibility Study Public Report. https://ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(2021-05-12).pdf.
\364\ Here, a ``train'' in this context is a series of connected
sequential process equipment. For carbon capture, a process train
can include the quencher, absorber, stripper, and compressor. Rather
than doubling the size of a single train of process equipment, a
source could use two equivalent sized trains.
\365\ Jacobs, B., et al. Proceedings of the 16th International
Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies (March 15-18,
2021). Reducing the CO2 Emission Intensity of Boundary Dam Unit 3
Through Optimization of Operating Parameters of the Power Plant and
Carbon Capture Facilities. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4286430.
\366\ International CCS Knowledge Centre. The Shand CCS
Feasibility Study Public Report. https://ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(2021-05-12).pdf.
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Coal-fired steam generating units also typically have few startups
and shutdowns per year, and CO2 emissions during those
periods are low. Although capacity factor has declined in recent years,
as noted in section IV.D.3 of the preamble, the number of startups per
year has been relatively stable. In 2011, coal-fired sources had about
10 startups on average. In 2021, coal-fired steam generating units had
only 12 startups on average, see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures
for Steam Generating Units, available in the docket. Prior to
generation of electricity, coal-fired steam generating units use
natural gas or distillate oil--which have a lower carbon content than
coal--because of their ignition stability and low ignition temperature.
Heat input rates during startup are relatively low, to slowly raise the
temperature of the boiler. Existing natural gas- or oil-fired ignitors
designed for startup purposes are generally sized for up to 15 percent
of the maximum heat-input. Considering the low heat input rate, use of
fuel with a lower carbon content, and the relatively few startups per
year, the contribution of startup to total GHG emissions is relatively
low. Shutdowns are relatively short events, so that the contribution to
total emissions are also low. The emissions during startup and shutdown
are therefore small relative to emissions during normal operation, so
that any impact is averaged out over the course of a year.
Furthermore, the IRC section 45Q tax credit provides incentive for
units to operate more. Sources operating at higher capacity factors are
likely to have fewer startups and shutdowns and spend less time at low
loads, so that their average load would be higher. This would further
minimize the insubstantial contribution of startups and shutdowns to
total emissions. Additionally, as noted in the preceding sections of
the preamble, new solvents achieve capture rates of 95 percent at full
load, and ongoing projects are targeting capture rates of 95 percent.
Considering all of these factors, startup and shutdown, in general, do
not affect the achievability of 90 percent capture over long periods
(i.e., a year).
(7) Coal Rank
CO2 capture at coal-fired steam generating units
achieves 90 percent capture, for the reasons detailed in sections
VII.C.1.a.i(B)(1) through (6) of this preamble. Moreover, 90 percent
capture is achievable for all coal types because amine solvents have
been used to remove CO2 from a variety of flue gas
compositions including a broad range of different coal ranks,
differences in CO2 concentration are slight and the capture
process can be designed to the appropriate scale, amine solvents have
been used to capture CO2 from flue gas with much lower
CO2 concentrations, and differences in flue gas impurities
due to different coal compositions can be managed or mitigated by
controls.
As detailed in the preceding sections, CO2 capture has
been operated on flue gas from the combustion of a broad range of coal
ranks including lignite, bituminous, subbituminous, and anthracite
coals. Post-combustion CO2 capture from the flue gas of an
EGU firing lignite has been demonstrated at the Boundary Dam Unit 3 EGU
(Saskatchewan, Canada). Most lignites have a higher ash and moisture
content than other coal types and, in that respect, the flue gas can be
more challenging to manage for CO2 capture. Amine
CO2 capture has also been used to treat lignite post-
combustion flue gas in pilot studies at the Milton R. Young station
(North Dakota).\367\ CO2 capture solvents have been used to
treat subbituminous post-combustion flue gas from W.A. Parish
Generating Station (Texas),\368\ and the bituminous post-combustion
flue gas from Plant Barry (Mobile, Alabama),\369\ Warrior Run
(Maryland),\370\ and Argus Cogeneration Plant (California).\371\ Amine
solvents have also been used to remove CO2 from the flue gas
of the bituminous- and subbituminous-fired Shady Point plant.\372\
CO2 capture solvents have been used to treat anthracite
post-combustion flue gas at the Wilhelmshaven power plant
(Germany).\373\ There are also ongoing projects that will apply CCS to
the flue gas of coal-fired steam generating units. The EPA considers
these ongoing projects to be indicative of the confidence that industry
stakeholders have in CCS. These include Project Tundra at the lignite-
fired Milton R. Young station (North Dakota),\374\ Project Diamond
Vault at the petroleum coke- and subbituminous-fired Brame Energy
Center Madison Unit 3 (Louisiana) \375\ and two units at the Jim
Bridger Plant (Wyoming).\376\
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\367\ Laum, Jason. Subtask 2.4--Overcoming Barriers to the
Implementation of Postcombustion Carbon Capture. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1580659.
\368\ W.A. Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and
Sequestration Demonstration Project, Final Scientific/Technical
Report (March 2020). https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1608572.
\369\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). National Energy
Technology Laboratory (NETL). https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/1741.
\370\ Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ``An Assessment of the
Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage
Technologies as of June 2009.'' U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830.
\371\ Id.
\372\ Id.
\373\ Reddy, et al. Energy Procedia, 37 (2013) 6216-6225.
\374\ Project Tundra--Progress, Minnkota Power Cooperative,
2023. https://www.projecttundrand.com.
\375\ Project Diamond Vault Overview. https://www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamond-vault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
\376\ 2023 Integrated Resource Plan Update, PacifiCorp, April 1,
2024, https://www.pacificorp.com/content/dam/pcorp/documents/en/pacificorp/energy/integrated-resource-plan/2023_IRP_Update.pdf.
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Different coal ranks have different carbon contents, affecting the
concentration of CO2 in flue gas. In general, however,
CO2 concentration of coal combustion flue gas varies only
between 13 and 15 percent. Differences in CO2 concentration
can be accounted for by appropriately designing the capture equipment,
including sizing the absorber columns. As detailed in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv of the preamble, CO2 has been captured from
the post-combustion flue gas of NGCCs, which typically have a
CO2 concentration of 4 percent.
Prior to emission controls and pre-conditioning, characteristics of
different coal ranks and boiler design result in other differences in
the flue gas composition, including in the concentration of
SO2, NOX, PM, and trace impurities. Such
impurities in the flue gas can react with the solvent or cause fouling
of downstream processes. However, in general, most existing coal-fired
steam generating units in the U.S. have controls that are necessary for
the pre-conditioning of flue gas prior to the CO2 capture
plant, including PM and SO2 controls. For those sources
without an FGD for SO2 control, the EPA included the costs
of adding an FGD in its cost analysis. Other marginal differences in
flue gas impurities can be managed by appropriately designing the
polishing column (direct contact cooler) for the individual source's
flue gas. Trace impurities can be mitigated using conventional controls
in the solvent reclaiming process (e.g., an activated carbon bed).
Considering the broad range of coal post-combustion flue gases
amine solvents have been operated with, that solvents capture
CO2 from flue gases with lower CO2
concentrations, that the capture process can be designed for different
CO2 concentrations, and that flue gas impurities that may
differ by coal rank can be managed by controls, the EPA therefore
concludes that 90 percent capture is achievable across all coal ranks,
including waste coal.
[[Page 39855]]
(8) Natural Gas-Fired Combustion Turbines
Additional information supporting the EPA's determination that 90
percent capture of CO2 from steam generating units is
adequately demonstrated is the experience from CO2 capture
from natural gas-fired combustion turbines. The EPA describes this
information in section VIII.F.4.c.iv(B)(1), including explaining how
information about CO2 capture from coal-fired steam
generating units also applies to natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
The reverse is true as well; information about CO2 capture
from natural gas-fired turbines can be applied to coal fired-units, for
much the same reasons.
(9) Summary of Evidence Supporting BSER Determination Without EPAct05-
Assisted Projects
As noted above, under the EPA's interpretation of the EPAct05
provisions, the EPA may not rely on capture projects that received
assistance under EPAct05 as the sole basis for a determination of
adequate demonstration, but the EPA may rely on those projects to
support or corroborate other information that supports such a
determination. The information described above that supports the EPA's
determination that 90 percent CO2 capture from coal-fired
steam generating units is adequately demonstrated, without
consideration of the EPAct05-assisted projects, includes (i) the
information concerning Boundary Dam, coupled with engineering analysis
concerning key improvements that can be implemented in future CCS
deployments during initial design and construction (i.e., all the
information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a) and the information
concerning Boundary Dam in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(b)); (ii) the
information concerning other coal-fired demonstrations, including the
Argus Cogeneration Plant and AES's Warrior Run (i.e., all the
information concerning those sources in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a));
(iii) the information concerning industrial applications of CCS (i.e.,
all the information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1); (iv) the information
concerning CO2 capture technology vendor statements (i.e.,
all the information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3)); (v) information
concerning carbon capture at natural gas-fired combustion turbines
other than EPAct05-assisted projects (i.e., all the information other
than information about EPAct05-assisted projects in section
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)). All this information by itself is sufficient to
support the EPA's determination that 90 percent CO2 capture
from coal-fired steam generating units is adequately demonstrated.
Substantial additional information from EPAct05-assisted projects, as
described in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B), provides additional support and
confirms that 90 percent CO2 capture from coal-fired steam
generating units is adequately demonstrated.
(C) CO2 Transport
The EPA is finalizing its determination that CO2
transport by pipelines as a component of CCS is adequately
demonstrated. The EPA anticipates that in the coming years, a large-
scale interstate pipeline network may develop to transport
CO2. Indeed, PHMSA is currently engaged in a rulemaking to
update and strengthen its safety regulations for CO2
pipelines, which assumes that such a pipeline network will
develop.\377\ For purposes of determining the CCS BSER in this final
action, however, the EPA did not base its analysis of the availability
of CCS on the projected existence of a large-scale interstate pipeline
network. Instead, the EPA adopted a more conservative approach. The
BSER is premised on the construction of relatively short lateral
pipelines that extend from the source to the nearest geologic storage
reservoir. While the EPA anticipates that sources would likely avail
themselves of an existing interstate pipeline network if one were
constructed and that using an existing network would reduce costs, the
EPA's analysis focuses on steps that an individual source could take to
access CO2 storage independently.
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\377\ PHMSA submitted the associated Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking to the White House Office of Management and Budget on
February 1, 2024 for pre-publication review. The notice stated that
the proposed rulemaking would enhance safety regulations to
``accommodate an anticipated increase in the number of carbon
dioxide pipelines and volume of carbon dioxide transported.'' Office
of Management and Budget. https://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaViewRule?pubId=202310&RIN=2137-AF60.
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EGUs that do not currently capture and transport CO2
will need to construct new CO2 pipelines to access
CO2 storage sites, or make arrangements with pipeline owners
and operators who can do so. Most coal-fired steam EGUs, however, are
located in relatively close proximity to deep saline formations that
have the potential to be used as long-term CO2 storage
sites.\378\ Of existing coal-fired steam generating capacity with
planned operation during or after 2039, more than 50 percent is located
less than 32 km (20 miles) from potential deep saline sequestration
sites, 73 percent is located within 50 km (31 miles), 80 percent is
located within 100 km (62 miles), and 91 percent is within 160 km (100
miles). While the EPA's analysis focuses on the geographic availability
of deep saline formations, unmineable coal seams and depleted oil and
gas reservoirs could also potentially serve as storage formations
depending on site-specific characteristics. Thus, for the majority of
sources, only relatively short pipelines would be needed for
transporting CO2 from the source to the sequestration site.
For the reasons described below, the EPA believes that both new and
existing EGUs are capable of constructing CO2 pipelines as
needed. New EGUs may also be planned to be co-located with a storage
site so that minimal transport of the CO2 is required. The
EPA has assurance that the necessary pipelines will be safe because the
safety of existing and new supercritical CO2 pipelines is
comprehensively regulated by PHMSA.\379\
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\378\ Individual saline formations would require site-specific
characterization to determine their suitability for geologic
sequestration and the potential capacity for storage.
\379\ PHMSA additionally initiated a rulemaking in 2022 to
develop and implement new measures to strengthen its safety
oversight of CO2 pipelines following investigation into a
CO2 pipeline failure in Satartia, Mississippi in 2020.
For more information, see: https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsa-announces-new-safety-measures-protect-americans-carbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
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(1) CO2 Transport Demonstrations
The majority of CO2 transported in the United States is
moved through pipelines. CO2 pipelines have been in use
across the country for nearly 60 years. Operation of this pipeline
infrastructure for this period of time establishes that the design,
construction, and operational requirements for CO2 pipelines
have been adequately demonstrated.\380\ PHMSA reported that 8,666 km
(5,385 miles) of CO2 pipelines were in operation in 2022, a
14 percent increase in CO2 pipeline miles since 2011.\381\
This pipeline infrastructure continues to expand with a number of
anticipated projects underway.
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\380\ For additional information on CO2
transportation infrastructure project timelines, costs and other
details, please see EPA's final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units.
\381\ U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous
Material Safety Administration, ``Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.''
2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmission-hazardous-liquids.
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The U.S. CO2 pipeline network includes major trunkline
(i.e., large capacity) pipelines as well as shorter, smaller capacity
lateral pipelines connecting a CO2 source to a larger
trunkline or connecting a CO2 source to a nearby
CO2 end use. While CO2
[[Page 39856]]
pipelines are generally more economical, other methods of
CO2 transport may also be used in certain circumstances and
are detailed in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units.
(a) Distance of CO2 Transport for Coal-Fired Power Plants
An important factor in the consideration of the feasibility of
CO2 transport from existing coal-fired steam generating
units to sequestration sites is the distance the CO2 must be
transported. As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(D), potential
sequestration formations include deep saline formations, unmineable
coal seams, and oil and gas reservoirs. Based on data from DOE/NETL
studies of storage resources, of existing coal-fired steam generating
capacity with planned operation during or after 2039, 80 percent is
within 100 km (62 miles) of potential deep saline sequestration sites,
and another 11 percent is within 160 km (100 miles).\382\ In other
words, 91 percent of this capacity is within 160 km (100 miles) of
potential deep saline sequestration sites. In gigawatts, of the 81 GW
of coal-fired steam generation capacity with planned operation during
or after 2039, only 16 GW is not within 100 km (62 miles) of a
potential saline sequestration site, and only 7 GW is not within 160 km
(100 mi). The vast majority of these units (on the order of 80 percent)
can reach these deep saline sequestration sites by building an
intrastate pipeline. This distance is consistent with the distances
referenced in studies that form the basis for transport cost estimates
for this final rule.\383\ While the EPA's analysis focuses on the
geographic availability of deep saline formations, unmineable coal
seams and depleted oil and gas reservoirs could also potentially serve
as storage formations depending on site-specific characteristics.
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\382\ Sequestration potential as it relates to distance from
existing resources is a key part of the EPA's regular power sector
modeling development, using data from DOE/NETL studies. For details,
please see chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
\383\ The pipeline diameter was sized for this to be achieved
without the need for recompression stages along the pipeline length.
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Of the 9 percent of existing coal-fired steam generating capacity
with planned operation during or after 2039 that is not within 160 km
(100 miles) of a potential deep saline sequestration site, 5 percent is
within 241 km (150 miles) of potential saline sequestration sites, an
additional 3 percent is within 322 km (200 miles) of potential saline
sequestration sites, and another 1 percent is within 402 km (250 miles)
of potential sequestration sites. In total, assuming all existing coal-
fired steam generating capacity with planned operation during or after
2039 adopts CCS, the EPA analysis shows that approximately 8,000 km
(5,000 miles) of CO2 pipelines would be constructed by 2032.
This includes units located at any distance from sequestration. Note
that this value is not optimized for the least total pipeline length,
but rather represents the approximate total pipeline length that would
be required if each power plant constructed a lateral pipeline
connecting their power plant to the nearest potential saline
sequestration site.\384\
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\384\ Note that multiple coal-fired EGUs may be located at each
power plant.
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Additionally, the EPA's compliance modeling projects 3,300 miles of
CO2 pipeline buildout in the baseline and 4,700 miles of
pipeline buildout in the policy scenario. This is comparable to the
4,700 to 6,000 miles of CO2 pipeline buildout estimated by
other simulations examining similar scenarios of coal CCS
deployment.\385\ Over 5 years, this total projected CO2
pipeline capacity would amount to about 660 to 940 miles per year on
average.\386\ This projected pipeline mileage is comparable to other
types of pipelines that are regularly constructed in the United States
each year. For example, based on data collected by EIA, the total
annual mileage of natural gas pipelines constructed over the 2017-2021
period ranged from approximately 1,000 to 2,500 miles per year. The
projected annual average CO2 pipeline mileage is less than
each year in this historical natural gas pipeline range, and
significantly less than the upper end of this range.
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\385\ CO2 Pipeline Analysis for Existing Coal-Fired
Powerplants. Chen et. al. Los Alamos National Lab. 2024. https://permalink.lanl.gov/object/tr?what=info:lanl-repo/lareport/LA-UR-24-23321.
\386\ In the EPA's representative timeline, the CO2
pipeline is constructed in an 18-month period. In practice, all
CO2 pipeline construction projects would be spread over a
larger time period. In the Transport and Storage Timeline Summary,
ICF (2024), available in Docket ID EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072, permitting
is 1.5 years. Some CO2 pipeline construction would
therefore likely begin by the start of 2028, or even earlier
considering on-going projects. With the one-year compliance
extension for delays outside of the owner/operators control that
would provide extra time if there were challenges in building
pipelines, the construction on CO2 pipelines could occur
during 2032.
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The EPA also notes that the pipeline construction estimates
presented in this section are not additive with the natural gas co-
firing pipeline construction estimates presented below because
individual sources will not elect to utilize both compliance methods.
In other words, more pipeline buildout for one compliance method
necessarily means less pipeline buildout for the other method.
Therefore, there is no compliance scenario in which the total pipeline
construction is equal to the sum of the CCS and natural gas co-firing
pipeline estimates presented in this preamble.
While natural gas line construction may be easier in some
circumstances given the uniform federal regulation that governs those
such construction, the historical trends support the EPA's conclusion
that constructing less CO2 pipeline length over a several
year period is feasible.
(b) CO2 Pipeline Examples
PHMSA reported that 8,666 km (5,385 miles) of CO2
pipelines were in operation in 2022.\387\ Due to the unique nature of
each project, CO2 pipelines vary widely in length and
capacity. Examples of projects that have utilized CO2
pipelines include the following: Beaver Creek (76 km), Monell (52.6
km), Bairoil (258 km), Salt Creek (201 km), Sheep Mountain (656 km),
Slaughter (56 km), Cortez (808 km), Central Basin (231 km), Canyon Reef
Carriers (354 km), and Choctaw (294 km). These pipelines range in
capacity from 1.6 million tons per year to 27 million tons per year,
and transported CO2 for uses such as EOR.\388\
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\387\ U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous
Material Safety Administration, ``Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.''
2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmission-hazardous-liquids.
\388\ Noothout, Paul. Et. Al. (2014). ``CO2 Pipeline
infrastructure--lessons learnt.'' https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187661021402864.
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Most sources deploying CCS are anticipated to construct pipelines
that run from the source to the sequestration site. Similar
CO2 pipelines have been successfully constructed and
operated in the past. For example, a 109 km (68 mile) CO2
pipeline was constructed from a fertilizer plant in Coffeyville,
Kansas, to the North Burbank Unit, an EOR operation in Oklahoma.\389\
Chaparral Energy entered a long-term CO2 purchase and sale
agreement with a subsidiary of CVR Energy for the capture of
CO2 from CVR's nitrogen fertilizer plant in 2011.\390\ The
pipeline
[[Page 39857]]
was then constructed, and operations started in 2013.\391\ Furthermore,
a 132 km (82 mile) pipeline was constructed from the Terrell Gas
facility (formerly Val Verde) in Texas to supply CO2 for EOR
projects in the Permian Basin.\392\ Additionally, the Kemper Country
CCS project in Mississippi, was designed to capture CO2 from
an integrated gasification combined cycle power plant, and transport
CO2 via a 96 km (60 mile) pipeline to be used in EOR.\393\
Construction for this facility commenced in 2010 and was completed in
2014.\394\ Furthermore, the Citronelle Project in Alabama, which was
the largest demonstration of a fully integrated, pulverized coal-fired
CCS project in the United States as of 2016, utilized a dedicated 19 km
(12 mile) pipeline constructed by Denbury Resources in 2011 to
transport CO2 to a saline storage site.\395\
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\389\ Rassenfoss, Stephen. (2014). ``Carbon Dioxide: From
Industry to Oil Fields.'' ttps://jpt.spe.org/carbon-dioxide-industry-oil-fields.
\390\ GlobeNewswire. ``Chaparral Energy Agrees to a CO2 Purchase
and Sale Agreement with CVR Energy for Capture of CO2 for
Enhanced Oil Recovery.'' March 29, 2011. https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2011/03/29/443163/10562/en/Chaparral-Energy-Agrees-to-a-CO2-Purchase-and-Sale-Agreement-With-CVR-Energy-for-Capture-of-CO2-for-Enhanced-Oil-Recovery.html.
\391\ Chaparral Energy. ``A `CO2 Midstream' Overview:
EOR Carbon Management Workshop.'' December 10, 2013. https://www.co2conference.net/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/13-Chaparral-CO2-Midstream-Overview-2013.12.09new.pdf.
\392\ ``Val Verde Fact Sheet: Commercial EOR using Anthropogenic
Carbon Dioxide.'' https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/val_verde.html.
\393\ Kemper County IGCC Fact Sheet: Carbon Dioxide Capture and
Storage Project. https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/kemper.html.
\394\ Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management. Southern
Company--Kemper County, Mississippi. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/southern-company-kemper-county-mississippi.
\395\ Citronelle Project. National Energy Technology Laboratory.
(2018). https://www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/2018-11/Citronelle-SECARB-Project.PDF.
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(c) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Pipelines for CCS
Consistent with the EPA's legal interpretation that the Agency can
rely on experience from EPAct05 funded facilities in conjunction with
other information, this section provides additional examples of
CO2 pipelines with EPAct05 funding. CCS projects with
EPAct05 funding have built pipelines to connect the captured
CO2 source with sequestration sites, including Illinois
Industrial Carbon Capture and Storage in Illinois, Petra Nova in Texas,
and Red Trail Energy in North Dakota. The Petra Nova project, which
restarted operations in September 2023,\396\ transports CO2
via a 131 km (81 mile) pipeline to the injection site, while the
Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture project and Red Trail Energy
transport CO2 using pipelines under 8 km (5 miles)
long.397 398 399 Additionally, Project Tundra, a saline
sequestration project planned at the lignite-fired Milton R. Young
Station in North Dakota will transport CO2 via a 0.4 km
(0.25 mile) pipeline.\400\
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\396\ Jacobs, Trent. (2023). ``A New Day Begins for Shuttered
Petra Nova CCUS.'' https://jpt.spe.org/a-new-day-begins-for-shuttered-petra-nova-ccus.
\397\ Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for Petra Nova
West Ranch Unit. (2021). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/wru_decision.pdf.
\398\ Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for Archer Daniels
Midland Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture and Storage Project.
(2017). https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2017-01/documents/adm_final_decision.pdf.
\399\ Red Trail Energy Subpart RR Monitoring, Reporting, and
Verification (MRV) Plan. (2022). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-04/rtemrvplan.pdf.
\400\ Technical Review of Subpart RR MRV Plan for Tundra SGS LLC
at the Milton R. Young Station. (2022). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-04/tsgsdecision.pdf.
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(d) Existing and Planned CO2 Trunklines
Although the BSER is premised on the construction of pipelines that
connect the CO2 source to the sequestration site, in
practice some sources may construct short laterals to existing
CO2 trunklines, which can reduce the number of miles of
pipeline that may need to be constructed. A map displaying both
existing and planned CO2 pipelines, overlayed on potential
geologic sequestration sites, is available in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units. Pipelines connect
natural CO2 sources in south central Colorado, northeast New
Mexico, and Mississippi to oil fields in Texas, Oklahoma, New Mexico,
Utah, and Louisiana. The Cortez pipeline is the longest CO2
pipeline, and it traverses over 800 km (500) miles from southwest
Colorado to Denver City, Texas CO2 Hub, where it connects
with several other CO2 pipelines. Many existing
CO2 pipelines in the U.S. are located in the Permian Basin
region of west Texas and eastern New Mexico. CO2 pipelines
in Wyoming, Texas, and Louisiana also carry CO2 captured
from natural gas processing plants and refineries to EOR projects.
Additional pipelines have been constructed to meet the demand for
CO2 transportation. A 170 km (105 mile) CO2
pipeline owned by Denbury connecting oil fields in the Cedar Creek
Anticline (located along the Montana-North Dakota border) to
CO2 produced in Wyoming was completed in 2021, and a 30 km
(18 mile) pipeline also owned by Denbury connects to the same oil field
and was completed in 2022.401 402 These pipelines form a
network with existing pipelines in the region--including the Denbury
Greencore pipeline, which was completed in 2012 and is 232 miles long,
running from the Lost Cabin gas plant in Wyoming to Bell Creek Field in
Montana.\403\
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\401\ Denbury. Detailed Pipeline and Ownership Information.
(2022) https://www.denbury.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/DEN-Pipeline-Schedule.pdf.
\402\ AP News. Officials mark start of CO2 pipeline
used for oil recovery. (2022) https://apnews.com/article/business-texas-north-dakota-plano-25f1dbf9a924613a56827c1c83e4ba68.
\403\ Denbury. Detailed Pipeline and Ownership Information.
(2022) https://www.denbury.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/DEN-Pipeline-Schedule.pdf.
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In addition to the existing pipeline network, there are a number of
large CO2 trunklines that are planned or in progress, which
could further reduce the number of miles of pipeline that a source may
need to construct. Several major projects have recently been announced
to expand the CO2 pipeline network across the United States.
For example, the Summit Carbon Solutions Midwest Carbon Express project
has proposed to add more than 3,200 km (2,000) miles of dedicated
CO2 pipeline in Iowa, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota,
and Minnesota. The Midwest Carbon Express is projected to begin
operations in 2026. Further, Wolf Carbon Solutions has recently
announced that it plans to refile permit applications for the Mt. Simon
Hub, which will expand the CO2 pipeline by 450 km (280
miles) in the Midwest. Tallgrass announced in 2022 a plan to convert an
existing 630 km (392 mile) natural gas pipeline to carry CO2
from an ADM ethanol production facility in Nebraska to a planned
commercial-scale CO2 sequestration hub in Wyoming aimed for
completion in 2024.\404\ Recently, as part of agreeing to a communities
benefits plan, a number of community groups have agreed that they will
support construction of the Tallgrass pipeline in Nebraska.\405\ While
the construction of larger networks of trunklines could facilitate CCS
for power plants, the BSER is not predicated on the buildout of a
trunkline network and the existence of future trunklines was not
assumed in the EPA's feasibility or costing analysis. The EPA's
analysis is conservative in that it does not presume the buildout of
trunkline networks. The development of more robust and interconnected
pipeline systems over the next several years would merely lower the
EPA's
[[Page 39858]]
cost projections and create additional CO2 transport options
for power plants that do CCS.
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\404\ Tallgrass. Tallgrass to Capture and Sequester
CO2 Emissions from ADM Corn Processing Complex in
Nebraska. (2022). https://tallgrass.com/newsroom/press-releases/tallgrass-to-capture-and-sequester-co2-emissions-from-adm-corn-processing-complex-in-nebraska.
\405\ https://boldnebraska.org/upcoming-meetings-understanding-the-new-tallgrass-carbon-pipeline-community-benefits-agreement/.
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Moreover, pipeline projects have received funding under the IIJA to
conduct front-end engineering and design (FEED) studies.\406\ Carbon
Solutions LLC received funding to conduct a FEED study for a
commercial-scale pipeline to transport CO2 in support of the
Wyoming Trails Carbon Hub as part of a statewide pipeline system that
would be capable of transporting up to 45 million metric tons of
CO2 per year from multiple sources. In addition, Howard
Midstream Energy Partners LLC received funding to conduct a FEED study
for a 965 km (600 mi) CO2 pipeline system on the Gulf Coast
that would be capable of moving at least 250 million metric tons of
CO2 annually and connecting carbon sources within 30 mi of
the trunkline.
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\406\ Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management. ``Project
Selections for FOA 2730: Carbon Dioxide Transport Engineering and
Design (Round 1).'' https://www.energy.gov/fecm/project-selections-foa-2730-carbon-dioxide-transport-engineering-and-design-round-1.
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Other programs were created by the IIJA to facilitate the buildout
of large pipelines to carry carbon dioxide from multiple sources. For
example, the Carbon Dioxide Transportation Infrastructure Finance and
Innovation Act (CIFIA) was incorporated into the IIJA and provided $2.1
billion to DOE to finance projects that build shared (i.e., common
carrier) transport infrastructure to move CO2 from points of
capture to conversion facilities and/or storage wells. The program
offers direct loans, loan guarantees, and ``future growth grants'' to
provide cash payments to specifically for eligible costs to build
additional capacity for potential future demand.\407\
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\407\ https://www.energy.gov/lpo/carbon-dioxide-transportation-infrastructure.
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(2) Permitting and Rights of Way
The permitting process for CO2 pipelines often involves
a number of private, local, state, tribal, and/or Federal agencies.
States and local governments are directly involved in siting and
permitting proposed CO2 pipeline projects. CO2
pipeline siting and permitting authorities, landowner rights, and
eminent domain laws are governed by the states and vary by state.
State laws determine pipeline siting and the process for developers
to acquire rights-of-way needed to build. Pipeline developers may
secure rights-of-way for proposed projects through voluntary agreements
with landowners; pipeline developers may also secure rights-of-way
through eminent domain authority, which typically accompanies siting
permits from state utility regulators with jurisdiction over
CO2 pipeline siting.\408\ The permitting process for
interstate pipelines may take longer than for intrastate pipelines.
Whereas multiple state regulatory agencies would be involved in the
permitting process for an interstate pipeline, only one primary state
regulatory agency would be involved in the permitting process for an
intrastate pipeline.
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\408\ Congressional Research Service.2022. Carbon Dioxide
Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June 3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IN/IN11944.
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Most regulation of CO2 pipeline siting and development
is conducted at the state level, and under state specific regulatory
regimes. As the interest in CO2 pipelines has grown, states
have taken steps to facilitate pipeline siting and construction. State
level regulation related to CO2 sequestration and transport
is an very active area of legislation across states in all parts of the
country, with many states seeking to facilitate pipeline siting and
construction.\409\ Many states, including Kentucky, Michigan, Montana,
Arkansas, and Rhode Island, treat CO2 pipeline operators as
common carriers or public utilities.\410\ This is an important
classification in some jurisdictions where it may be required for
pipelines seeking to exercise eminent domain.\411\ Currently, 17 states
explicitly allow CO2 pipeline operators to exercise eminent
domain authority for acquisition of CO2 pipeline rights-of-
way, should developers not secure them through negotiation with
landowners.\412\ Some states have recognized the need for a streamlined
CO2 pipeline permitting process when there are multiple
layers of regulation and developed joint permit applications. Illinois,
Louisiana, New York, and Pennsylvania have created a joint permitting
form that allows applicants to file a single application for pipeline
projects covering both state and federal permitting requirements.\413\
Even in states without this streamlined process, pipeline developers
can pursue required state permits concurrently with federal permits,
NEPA review (as applicable), and the acquisition of rights-of-way.
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\409\ Great Plains Institute State Legislative Tracker 2023.
Carbon Management State Legislative Program Tracker. https://www.quorum.us/spreadsheet/external/fVOjsTvwyeWkIqVlNmoq/?mc_cid=915706f2bc&.
\410\ National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners
(NARUC). (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment: Siting,
Safety. and Regulation. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
\411\ Martin Lockman. Permitting CO2 Pipelines. Sabin Center for
Climate Change Law (2023). https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1208&context=sabin_climate_change.
\412\ The 17 states are: Arizona, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, New
Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, South Dakota,
Texas, and Wyoming. National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline
Deployment: Siting, Safety. and Regulation. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
\413\ Martin Lockman. Permitting CO2 Pipelines. Sabin Center for
Climate Change Law (Sept. 2023). https://scholarship.law.columbia.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1208&context=sabin_climate_change.
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Pipeline developers have been able to successfully secure the
necessary rights-of way for CO2 pipeline projects. For
example, Summit Carbon Solutions, which has proposed to add more than
3,200 km (2,000 mi) of dedicated CO2 pipeline in Iowa,
Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota, has stated that as
of November 7, 2023, it had reached easement agreements with 2,100
landowners along the route.\414\ As of February 23, 2024, Summit Carbon
Solutions stated that it had acquired about 75 percent of the rights of
way needed in Iowa, about 80 percent in North Dakota, about 75 percent
in South Dakota, and about 89 percent in Minnesota. The company has
successfully navigated hurdles, such as rerouting the pipelines in
certain counties where necessary.415 416 The EPA notes that
this successful acquisition of right-of-way easements for thousands of
miles of pipeline across five states has taken place in just the three
years since the project launched in 2021.\417\ In addition, the
Citronelle Project, which was constructed in Alabama in 2011,
successfully acquired rights-of-way through 9 miles of forested and
commercial timber land and 3 miles of emergent shrub and forested
wetlands. The Citronelle Project was able to attain rights-of-way
through the habitat of an endangered species by mitigating potential
environmental
[[Page 39859]]
impacts.\418\ Even projects that require rights-of-way across multiple
ownership regimes including state, private, and federally owned land
have been successfully developed. The 170 km (105 mile) Cedar Creek
Anticline CO2 pipeline owned by Denbury required easements
for approximately 10 km (6.2 mi) to cross state school trust lands in
Montana, 27 km (17 mi) across Federal land and the remaining miles
across private lands.419 420 The pipeline was completed in
2021.\421\
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\414\ South Dakota Public Broadcasting. ``Summit reaches land
deals on more than half of CO2 pipeline route.'' (2022).
https://listen.sdpb.org/business-economics/2022-11-08/summit-reaches-land-deals-on-more-than-half-of-co2-pipeline-route.
\415\ Summit CEO: CO2 Pipeline's Time is Now. (2024). https://www.dtnpf.com/agriculture/web/ag/news/business-inputs/article/2024/02/23/summit-ceo-blank-says-company-toward.
\416\ Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon Solutions Signs 80
Percent of North Dakota Landowners. (2023). https://summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbon-solutions-signs-80-percent-of-north-dakota-landowners/.
\417\ Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon Solutions Announces
Progress on Carbon Capture and Storage Project. (2022). https://summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbon-solutions-announces-progress-on-carbon-capture-and-storage-project/.
\418\ SECARB. (2021). Final Project Report--SECARB Phase III,
September 2021. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1823250.
\419\ Great Falls Tribune. Texas company plans 110-mile
CO2 pipeline to enhance Montana oil recovery. (2018).
https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2018/10/09/texas-company-plans-co-2-pipeline-injection-free-montana-oil/1577657002/.
\420\ U.S. D.O.I B.L.M. Denbury-Green Pipeline-MT, LLC, Denbury
Onshore, LLC Cedar Creek Anticline CO2 Pipeline and EOR
Development Project Scoping Report. https://eplanning.blm.gov/public_projects/nepa/89883/137194/167548/BLM_Denbury_Projects_Scoping_Report_March2018.pdf.
\421\ AP News. Officials mark start of CO2 pipeline
used for oil recovery. (2022) https://apnews.com/article/business-texas-north-dakota-plano-25f1dbf9a924613a56827c1c83e4ba68.
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Federal actions (e.g., funding a CCS project) must generally comply
with NEPA, which often requires that an environmental assessment (EA)
or environmental impact statement (EIS) be conducted to consider
environmental impacts of the proposed action, including consideration
of reasonable alternatives.\422\ An EA determines whether or not a
Federal action has the potential to cause significant environmental
effects. Each Federal agency has adopted its own NEPA procedures for
the preparation of EAs.\423\ If the agency determines that the action
will not have significant environmental impacts, the agency will issue
a Finding of No Significant Impact (FONSI). Some projects may also be
``categorically excluded'' from a detailed environmental analysis when
the Federal action normally does not have a significant effect on the
human environment. Federal agencies prepare an EIS if a proposed
Federal action is determined to significantly affect the quality of the
human environment. The regulatory requirements for an EIS are more
detailed and rigorous than the requirements for an EA. The
determination of the level of NEPA review depends on the potential for
significant environmental impacts considering the whole project (e.g.,
crossings of sensitive habitats, cultural resources, wetlands, public
safety concerns). Consequently, whether a pipeline project is covered
by NEPA and the associated permitting timelines may vary depending on
site characteristics (e.g., pipeline length, whether a project crosses
a water of the U.S.) and funding source. Pipelines through Bureau of
Land Management (BLM) land, U.S. Forest Service (USFS) land, or other
Federal land would be subject to NEPA. To ensure that agencies conduct
NEPA reviews as efficiently and expeditiously as practicable, the
Fiscal Responsibility Act \424\ amendments to NEPA established
deadlines for the preparation of environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements. Environmental assessments must be
completed within 1 year and environmental impact statements must be
completed within 2 years \425\ A lead agency that determines it is not
able to meet the deadline may extend the deadline, in consultation with
the applicant, to establish a new deadline that provides only so much
additional time as is necessary to complete such environmental impact
statement or environmental assessment.\426\
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\422\ Council on Environmental Quality. (2024). CEQ NEPA
Regulations. https://ceq.doe.gov/laws-regulations/regulations.html.
\423\ Council of Environmental Quality. (2023). Agency NEPA
Implementing Procedures. https://ceq.doe.gov/laws-regulations/agency_implementing_procedures.html.
\424\ Public Law 118-5 (June 3, 2023).
\425\ NEPA Sec. 107(g)(1); 42 U.S.C. 4336a(g)(1).
\426\ NEPA sec. 107(g)(2); 42 U.S.C. 4336a(g)(2).
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As discussed above, it is anticipated that most EGUs would need
shorter, intrastate pipeline segments. For example, ADM's Decatur,
Illinois, pipeline, which spans 1.9 km (1.18 miles), was constructed
after Decatur was selected for the DOE Phase 1 research and development
grants in October 2009.\427\ Construction of the CO2
compression, dehydration, and pipeline facilities began in July 2011
and was completed in June 2013.\428\ The ADM project required only an
EA. Additionally, Air Products operates a large-scale system to capture
CO2 from two steam methane reformers located within the
Valero Refinery in Port Arthur, Texas. The recovered and purified
CO2 is delivered by pipeline for use in enhanced oil
recovery operations.\429\ This 12-mile pipeline required only an
EA.\430\ Conversely, the Petra Nova project in Texas required an EIS to
evaluate the potential environmental impacts associated with DOE's
proposed action of providing financial assistance for the project. This
EIS addressed potential impacts from both the associated 131 km (81
mile) pipeline and other aspects of the larger CCS system, including
the post-combustion CO2.\431\ For Petra Nova, a notice of
intent to issue an EIS was published on November 14, 2011, and the
record of decision was issued less than 2 years later, on May 23,
2013.\432\ Construction of the CO2 pipeline for Petra Nova
from the W.A. Parish Power Plant to the West Ranch Oilfield in Jackson
County, TX began in July 2014 and was completed in July 2016.\433\
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\427\ Massachusetts Institute of Technology. (2014). Decatur
Fact Sheet: Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage Project. https://sequestration.mit.edu/tools/projects/decatur.html.
\428\ NETL. ``CO2 Capture from Biofuels Production and
Sequestration into the Mt. Simon Sandstone.'' Award #DE-FE0001547.
https://www.usaspending.gov/award/ASST_NON_DEFE0001547_8900.
\429\ Air Products. Carbon Capture. https://www.airproducts.com/company/innovation/carbon-capture.
\430\ Department of Energy. (2011). Final Environmental
Assessment for Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. Recovery Act:
Demonstration of CO2 Capture and Sequestration of Steam
Methane Reforming Process Gas Used for Large Scale Hydrogen
Production. https://netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/environmental-assessments/20110622_APCI_PtA_CO2_FEA.pdf.
\431\ Department of Energy, Office of NEPA Policy and
Compliance. (2013). EIS-0473: Record of Decision. https://www.energy.gov/nepa/articles/eis-0473-record-decision.
\432\ Department of Energy. (2017). Petra Nova W.A. Parish
Project. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/petra-nova-wa-parish-project.
\433\ Kennedy, Greg. (2020). ``W.A. Parish Post Combustion
CO2 Capture and Sequestration Demonstration Project.''
Final Technical Report. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1608572/.
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Compliance with section 7 of the Endangered Species Act related to
Federal agency consultation and biological assessment is also required
for projects on Federal lands. Specifically, the Endangered Species Act
requires consultation with the Department of Interior's Fish and
Wildlife Service and Department of Commerce's NOAA Fisheries, in order
to avoid or mitigate impacts to any threatened or endangered species
and their habitats.\434\ This agency consultation process and
biological assessment are generally conducted during preparation of the
NEPA documentation (EIS or EA) for the Federal project and generally
within the regulatory timeframes for environmental assessment or
environmental impact statement preparation. Consequently, the EPA does
not anticipate that compliance with the Endangered Species Act will
change the anticipated timeline for most projects.
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\434\ CEQ. (2021). ``Council on Environmental Quality Report to
Congress on Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration.''
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
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The EPA notes that the Fixing America's Surface Transportation Act
(FAST Act) is also relevant to CCS projects and pipelines. Title 41 of
this Act (42 U.S.C. 4370m et seq.), referred to as ``FAST-41,'' created
a new
[[Page 39860]]
governance structure, set of procedures, and funding authorities to
improve the Federal environmental review and authorization process for
covered infrastructure projects.\435\ The Utilizing Significant
Emissions with Innovative Technologies (USE IT) Act, among other
actions, clarified that CCS projects and CO2 pipelines are
eligible for this more predictable and transparent review process.\436\
FAST-41 created the Federal Permitting Improvement Steering Council
(Permitting Council), composed of agency Deputy Secretary-level members
and chaired by an Executive Director appointed by the President. FAST-
41 establishes procedures that standardize interagency consultation and
coordination practices. FAST-41 codifies into law the use of the
Permitting Dashboard \437\ to track project timelines, including
qualifying actions that must be taken by the EPA and other Federal
agencies. Project sponsor participation in FAST-41 is voluntary.\438\
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\435\ Federal Permitting Improvement Steering Council. (2022).
FAST-41 Fact Sheet. https://www.permits.performance.gov/documentation/fast-41-fact-sheet.
\436\ Galford, Chris. USE IT carbon capture bill becomes law,
incentivizing development and deployment. (2020). https://dailyenergyinsider.com/news/28522-use-it-carbon-capture-bill-becomes-law-incentivizing-development-and-deployment/.
\437\ Permitting Dashboard Federal Infrastructure Projects.
https://permits.performance.gov/.
\438\ EPA. ``FAST-41 Coordination.'' (2023). https://www.epa.gov/sustainability/fast-41-coordination.
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Community engagement also plays a role in the safe operation and
construction of CO2 pipelines. These efforts can be
supported using the CCS Pipeline Route Planning Database that was
developed by NETL, a public resource designed to support pipeline
routing decisions and increase transportation safety.\439\ The database
includes state-specific regulations and restrictions, energy and social
justice factors, land use requirements, existing infrastructure, and
areas of potential risk. The database produces weighted values ranging
from zero to one, where zero represents acceptable areas for pipeline
placement and one represents areas that should be avoided.\440\ The
database will be a key input for the CCS Pipeline Route Planning Tool
under development by NETL.\441\ The purpose of the siting tool is to
aid pipeline routing decisions and facilitate avoidance of areas that
would pose permitting challenges.
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\439\ ``CCS Pipeline Route Planning Database V1--EDX.'' https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccs-pipeline-route-planning-database-v1.
\440\ ``CCS Pipeline Route Planning Database V1--EDX.'' https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccs-pipeline-route-planning-database-v1.
\441\ Department of Energy. ``CCS Pipeline Route Planning
Database V1--EDX.'' https://edx.netl.doe.gov/dataset/ccs-pipeline-route-planning-database-v1.
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In sum, the permitting process for CO2 pipelines often
involves private, local, state, tribal, and/or Federal agencies, and
permitting timelines may vary depending on site characteristics.
Projects that opt in to the FAST-41 process are eligible for a more
transparent and predictable review process. EGUs can generally proceed
to obtain permits and rights-of-way simultaneously, and the EPA
anticipates that, in total, the permitting process would only take
around 2.5 years for pipelines that only need an EA, with a possible
additional year if the project requires an EIS (see the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units for additional
information). This is consistent with the anticipated timelines for CCS
discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E). Furthermore, the EPA notes that
there is over 60 years of experience in the CO2 pipeline
industry designing, permitting, building and operating CO2
pipelines, and that this expertise can be applied to the CO2
pipelines that would be constructed to connect to sequestration sites
and units.
As discussed above in section VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(a), the core of
the EPA's analysis of pipeline feasibility focuses on units located
within 100 km (62 miles) of potential deep saline sequestration
formations. The EPA notes that the majority (80 percent) of the coal-
fired steam generating capacity with planned operation during or after
2039 is located within 100 km (62 miles) of the nearest potential deep
saline sequestration site. For these sources, as explained, units would
be required only to build relatively short pipelines, and such buildout
would be feasible within the required timeframe. For the capacity that
is more than 100 km (62 miles) away from sequestration, building a
pipeline may become more complex. Almost all (98 percent) of this
capacity's closest sequestration site is located outside state
boundaries, and access to the nearest sequestration site would require
building an interstate pipeline and coordinating with multiple state
authorities for permitting purposes. Conversely, for capacity where the
distance to the nearest potential sequestration site is less than 100
km (62 miles), only about 19 percent would require the associated
pipeline to cross state boundaries. Therefore, the EPA believes that
distance to the nearest sequestration site is a useful proxy for
considerations related to the complexity of pipeline construction and
how long it will take to build a pipeline.
A unit that is located more than 100 km away from sequestration may
face complexities in pipeline construction, including additional
permitting hurdles, difficulties in obtaining the necessary rights of
way over such a distance, or other considerations, that may make it
unreasonable for that unit to meet the compliance schedule that is
generally reasonable for sources in the subcategory as a whole.
Pursuant to the RULOF provisions of 40 CFR 60.2a(e)-(h), if a state can
demonstrate that there is a fundamental difference between the
information relevant to a particular affected EGU and the information
the EPA considered in determining the compliance deadline for sources
in the long-term subcategory, and that this difference makes it
unreasonable for the EGU to meet the compliance deadline, a longer
compliance schedule may be warranted. The EPA does not believe that the
fact that a pipeline crosses state boundaries standing alone is
sufficient to show that an extended timeframe would be appropriate--
many such pipelines could be reasonably accomplished in the required
timeframe. Rather, it is the confluence of factors, including that a
pipeline crosses state boundaries, along with others that may make
RULOF appropriate.
(3) Security of CO2 Transport
As part of its analysis, the EPA also considered the safety of
CO2 pipelines. The safety of existing and new CO2
pipelines that transport CO2 in a supercritical state is
regulated by PHMSA. These regulations include standards related to
pipeline design, pipeline construction and testing, pipeline operations
and maintenance, operator reporting requirements, operator
qualifications, corrosion control and pipeline integrity management,
incident reporting and response, and public awareness and
communications. PHMSA has regulatory authority to conduct inspections
of supercritical CO2 pipeline operations and issue notices
to operators in the event of operator noncompliance with regulatory
requirements.\442\
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\442\ See generally 49 CFR 190-199.
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CO2 pipelines have been operating safely for more than
60 years. In the past 20 years, 500 million metric tons of
CO2 moved through over 5,000 miles of CO2
pipelines with zero incidents involving fatalities.\443\ PHMSA reported
a total of
[[Page 39861]]
102 CO2 pipeline incidents between 2003 and 2022, with one
injury (requiring in-patient hospitalization) and zero fatalities.\444\
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\443\ Congressional Research Service. 2022. Carbon Dioxide
Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June 3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IN/IN11944.
\444\ NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment:
Siting, Safety. and Regulation. Prepared by Public Sector
Consultants for the National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
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As noted previously in this preamble, a significant CO2
pipeline rupture occurred in 2020 in Satartia, Mississippi, following
heavy rains that resulted in a landslide. Although no one required in-
patient hospitalization as a result of this incident, 45 people
received treatment at local emergency rooms after the incident and 200
hundred residents were evacuated. Typically, when CO2 is
released into the open air, it vaporizes into a heavier-than-air gas
and dissipates. During the Satartia incident, however, unique
atmospheric conditions and the topographical features of the area
delayed this dissipation. As a result, residents were exposed to high
concentrations of CO2 in the air after the rupture.
Furthermore, local emergency responders were not informed by the
operator of the rupture and the nature of the unique safety risks of
the CO2 pipeline.\445\
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\445\ Failure Investigation Report--Denbury Gulf Coast Pipeline,
May 2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/sites/phmsa.dot.gov/files/2022-05/Failure%20Investigation%20Report%20-%20Denbury%20Gulf%20Coast%20Pipeline.pdf.
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PHMSA initiated a rulemaking in 2022 to develop and implement new
measures to strengthen its safety oversight of supercritical
CO2 pipelines following the investigation into the
CO2 pipeline failure in Satartia.\446\ PHMSA submitted the
associated Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to the White House Office of
Management and Budget on February 1, 2024 for pre-publication
review.\447\ Following the Satartia incident, PHMSA also issued a
Notice of Probable Violation, Proposed Civil Penalty, and Proposed
Compliance Order (Notice) to the operator related to probable
violations of Federal pipeline safety regulations. The Notice was
ultimately resolved through a Consent Agreement between PHMSA and the
operator that includes the assessment of civil penalties and identifies
actions for the operator to take to address the alleged violations and
risk conditions.\448\ PHMSA has further issued an updated nationwide
advisory bulletin to all pipeline operators and solicited research
proposals to strengthen CO2 pipeline safety.\449\ Given the
Federal and state regulation of CO2 pipelines and the steps
that PHMSA is taking to further improve pipeline safety, the EPA
believes CO2 can be safely transported by pipeline.
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\446\ PHMSA. (2022). ``PHMSA Announces New Safety Measures to
Protect Americans From Carbon Dioxide Pipeline Failures After
Satartia, MS Leak.'' https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsa-announces-new-safety-measures-protect-americans-carbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
\447\ Columbia Law School. (2024). PHMSA Advances CO2 Pipeline
Safety Regulations. https://climate.law.columbia.edu/content/phmsa-advances-co2-pipeline-safety-regulations.
\448\ Department of Transportation. (2023). Consent Order,
Denbury Gulf Coast Pipelines, LLC, CPF No. 4-2022-017-NOPV https://primis.phmsa.dot.gov/comm/reports/enforce/CaseDetail_cpf_42022017NOPV.html?nocache=7208.
\449\ Ibid.
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Certain states have authority delegated from the U.S. Department of
Transportation to conduct safety inspections and enforce state and
Federal pipeline safety regulations for intrastate CO2
pipelines.450 451 452 PHMSA's state partners employ about 70
percent of all pipeline inspectors, which covers more than 80 percent
of regulated pipelines.\453\ Federal law requires certified state
authorities to adopt safety standards at least as stringent as the
Federal standards.\454\ Further, there are required steps that
CO2 pipeline operators must take to ensure pipelines are
operated safely under PHMSA standards and related state standards, such
as the use of pressure monitors to detect leaks or initiate shut-off
valves, and annual reporting on operations, structural integrity
assessments, and inspections.\455\ These CO2 pipeline
controls and PHMSA standards are designed to ensure that captured
CO2 will be securely conveyed to a sequestration site.
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\450\ New Mexico Public Regulation Commission. 2023.
Transportation Pipeline Safety. New Mexico Public Regulation
Commission, Bureau of Pipeline Safety. https://www.nm-prc.org/transportation/pipeline-safety.
\451\ Texas Railroad Commission. 2023. Oversight & Safety
Division. Texas Railroad Commission. https://www.rrc.texas.gov/about-us/organization-and-activities/rrc-divisions/oversight-safety-division.
\452\ NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment:
Siting, Safety. and Regulation. Prepared by Public Sector
Consultants for the National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
\453\ PHMSA. (2023). ``PHMSA Issues Letters to Wolf Carbon,
Summit, and Navigator Clarifying Federal, State, and Local
Government Pipeline Authorities.'' https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsa-issues-letters-wolf-carbon-summit-and-navigator-clarifying-federal-state-and-local.
\454\ PHMSA, ``PHMSA Issues Letters to Wolf Carbon, Summit, and
Navigator Clarifying Federal, State, and Local Government Pipeline
Authorities.'' 2023. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsa-issues-letters-wolf-carbon-summit-and-navigator-clarifying-federal-state-and-local.
\455\ Carbon Capture Coalition. ``PHMSA/Pipeline Safety Fact
Sheet,'' November 2023. https://carboncapturecoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Pipeline-Safety-Fact-Sheet.pdf.
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(4) Comments Received on CO2 Transport and Responses
The EPA received comments on CO2 transport, including
CO2 pipelines. Those comments, and the EPA's responses, are
as follows.
Comment: Some commenters identified challenges to the deployment of
a national, interstate CO2 pipeline network. In particular,
those commenters discussed the experience faced by long (e.g., over
1,000 miles) CO2 pipelines seeking permitting and right-of-
way access in Midwest states including Iowa and North Dakota.
Commenters claimed those challenges make CCS as BSER infeasible. Some
commenters argued that the existing CO2 pipeline capacity is
not adequate to meet potential demand caused by this rule and that the
ability of the network to grow and meet future potential demand is
hindered by significant public opposition.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the challenges that some large
multi-state pipeline projects have faced, but does not agree that those
experiences show that the BSER is not adequately demonstrated or that
the standards finalized in these actions are not achievable. As
detailed in the preceding subsections of the preamble, the BSER is not
premised on the buildout of a national, trunkline CO2
pipeline network. Most coal-fired steam generating units are in
relatively close proximity to geologic storage, and those shorter
pipelines would not likely be as challenging to permit and build as
demonstrated by the examples of smaller pipeline discussed above.
The EPA acknowledges that some larger trunkline CO2
pipeline projects, specifically the Heartland Greenway project, have
recently been delayed or canceled. However, many projects are still
moving forward and several major projects have recently been announced
to expand the CO2 pipeline network across the United States.
The EPA notes that there are often opportunities to reroute pipelines
to minimize permitting challenges and landowner concerns. For example,
Summit Carbon Solutions changed their planned pipeline route in North
Dakota after their initial permit was denied, leading to successful
acquisition of rights of way.\456\ Additionally, Tallgrass, which
[[Page 39862]]
is planning to convert a 630 km (392 mile) natural gas pipeline to
carry CO2, announced that they had reach a community
benefits agreement, in which certain organizations have agreed not to
oppose the pipeline project while Tallgrass has agreed to terms such as
contributing funds to first responders along the pipeline route and
providing royalty checks to landowners.\457\ See section
VII.C.1.a.i(C)(1)(d) for additional discussion of planned
CO2 pipelines. While access to larger trunkline projects
would not be required for most EGUs, at least some larger trunkline
projects are likely to be constructed, which would increase
opportunities for connecting to pipeline networks.
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\456\ Summit Carbon Solutions. Summit Carbon Solutions Signs 80
Percent of North Dakota Landowners. (2023). https://summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbon-solutions-signs-80-percent-of-north-dakota-landowners/.
\457\ Hammel, Paul. (2024). Pipeline company, Nebraska
environmental group strike unique `community benefits' agreement.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/tech/science/environment/2024/04/11/nebraska-environmentalist-forge-peace-pact-with-pipeline-company/73282852007/.
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Comment: Some commenters disagreed with the modeling assumption
that 100 km is a typical pipeline distance. The commenters asserted
that there is data showing the actual locations of the power plants
affected by the rule, and the required pipeline distance is not always
100 km.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that the physical locations of EGUs
and the physical locations of carbon sequestration capacity and
corresponding pipeline distance will not be 100 km in all cases. As
discussed previously in section VII.C.1.a.i(C)(1)(a), the EPA modeled
the unique approximate distance from each existing coal-fired steam
generating capacity with planned operation during or after 2039 to the
nearest potential saline sequestration site, and found that the
majority (80 percent) is within 100 km (62 miles) of potential saline
sequestration sites, and another 11 percent is within 160 km (100
miles).\458\ Furthermore, the EPA disagrees with the comments
suggesting that the use of 100 km is an inappropriate economic modeling
assumption. The 100 km assumption was not meant to encompass the
physical location of every potentially affected EGU. The 100 km
assumption is intended as an economic modeling assumption and is based
on similar assumptions applied in NETL studies used to estimate
CO2 transport costs. The EPA carefully reviewed the
assumptions on which the NETL transport cost estimates are based and
continues to find them reasonable. The NETL studies referenced in
section VII.C.1.a.ii based transport costs on a generic 100 km (62
mile) pipeline and a generic 80 km pipeline.\459\ For most EGUs, the
necessary pipeline distance is anticipated to be less than 100 km and
therefore the associated costs could also be lower than these
assumptions. Other published economic models applying different
assumptions have also reached the conclusion that CO2
transport and sequestration are adequately demonstrated.\460\
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\458\ Sequestration potential as it relates to distance from
existing resources is a key part of the EPA's regular power sector
modeling development, using data from DOE/NETL studies. For details,
please see chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
\459\ The pipeline diameter was sized for this to be achieved
without the need for recompression stages along the pipeline length.
\460\ Ogland-Hand, Jonathan D. et. al. 2022. Screening for
Geologic Sequestration of CO2: A Comparison Between SCO2TPRO and the
FE/NETL CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model. International Journal of
Greenhouse Gas Control, Volume 114, February 2022, 103557. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S175058362100308X.
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Comment: Commenters also stated that the permitting and
construction processes can be time-consuming.
Response: The EPA acknowledges building CO2 pipelines
requires capital expenditure and acknowledges that the timeline for
siting, engineering design, permitting, and construction of
CO2 pipelines depends on factors including the pipeline
capacity and pipeline length, whether the pipeline route is intrastate
or interstate, and the specifics of the state pipeline regulator's
regulatory requirements. In the BSER analysis, individual EGUs that are
subject to carbon capture requirements are assumed to take a point-to-
point approach to CO2 transport and sequestration. These
smaller-scale projects require less capital and may present less
complexity than larger projects. The EPA considers the timeline to
permit and install such pipelines in section VII.C.1.a.i(E) of the
preamble, and has determined that a compliance date of January 1, 2032
allows for a sufficient amount of time.
Comment: Some commenters expressed significant concerns about the
safety of CO2 pipelines following the CO2
pipeline failure in Satartia, Mississippi in 2020.
Response: For a discussion of the safety of CO2
pipelines and the Satartia pipeline failure, see section
VII.C.1.a.i(C)(3). The EPA believes that the framework of Federal and
state regulation of CO2 pipelines and the steps that PHMSA
is taking to further improve pipeline safety, is sufficient to ensure
CO2 can be safely transported by pipeline.
(D) Geologic Sequestration of CO2
The EPA is finalizing its determination that geologic sequestration
(i.e., the long-term containment of a CO2 stream in
subsurface geologic formations) is adequately demonstrated. In this
section, we provide an overview of the availability of sequestration
sites in the U.S., discuss how geologic sequestration of CO2
is well proven and broadly available throughout the U.S, explain the
effectiveness of sequestration, discuss the regulatory framework for
UIC wells, and discuss the timing of permitting for sequestration
sites. We then provide a summary of key comments received concerning
geologic sequestration and our responses to those comments.
(1) Sequestration Sites for Coal-Fired Power Plants Subject to CCS
Requirements
(a) Broad Availability of Sequestration
Sequestration is broadly available in the United States, which
makes clear that it is adequately demonstrated. By far the most widely
available and well understood type of sequestration is that in deep
saline formations. These formations are common in the U.S. These
formations are numerous and only a small subset of the existing saline
storage capacity would be required to store the CO2 from
EGUs. Many projects are in the process of completing thorough
subsurface studies of these deep saline formations to determine their
suitability for regional-scale storage. Furthermore, sequestration
formations could also include unmineable coal seams and oil and gas
reservoirs. CO2 may be stored in oil and gas reservoirs in
association with EOR and enhanced gas recovery (EGR) technologies,
collectively referred to as enhanced recovery (ER), which include the
injection of CO2 in oil and gas reservoirs to increase
production. ER is a technology that has been used for decades in states
across the U.S.\461\
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\461\ NETL. (2010). Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/netl-file/co2_eor_primer.pdf.
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Geologic sequestration is based on a demonstrated understanding of
the trapping and containment processes that retain CO2 in
the subsurface. The presence of a low permeability seal is an important
component of demonstrating secure geologic sequestration. Analyses of
the potential availability of geologic sequestration capacity in the
United States have been conducted by DOE,
[[Page 39863]]
and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has also undertaken a
comprehensive assessment of geologic sequestration resources in the
United States.462 463 Geologic sequestration potential for
CO2 is widespread and available throughout the United
States. Nearly every state in the United States has or is in close
proximity to formations with geologic sequestration potential,
including areas offshore. There have been numerous efforts
demonstrating successful geologic sequestration projects in the United
States and overseas, and the United States has developed a detailed set
of regulatory requirements to ensure the security of sequestered
CO2. Moreover, the amount of storage potential can readily
accommodate the amount of CO2 for which sequestration could
be expected under this final rule.
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\462\ U.S. DOE NETL. (2015). Carbon Storage Atlas, Fifth
Edition, September 2015. https://www.netl.doe.gov/research/coal/carbon-storage/atlasv.
\463\ U.S. Geological Survey Geologic Carbon Dioxide Storage
Resources Assessment Team. (2013). National assessment of geologic
carbon dioxide storage resources--Summary: U.S. Geological Survey
Factsheet 2013-3020. https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2013/3020/.
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The EPA has performed a geographic availability analysis in which
the Agency examined areas of the U.S. with sequestration potential in
deep saline formations, unmineable coal seams, and oil and gas
reservoirs; information on existing and probable, planned or under
study CO2 pipelines; and areas within a 100 km (62-mile)
area of potential sequestration sites. This availability analysis is
based on resources from the DOE, the USGS, and the EPA. The distance of
100 km is consistent with the assumptions underlying the NETL cost
estimates for transporting CO2 by pipeline. The scoping
assessment by the EPA found that at least 37 states have geologic
characteristics that are amenable to deep saline sequestration, and an
additional 6 states are within 100 kilometers of potentially amenable
deep saline formations in either onshore or offshore locations. Of the
7 states that are further than 100 km (62 mi) of onshore or offshore
storage potential in deep saline formations, only New Hampshire has
coal EGUs that were assumed to be in operation after 2039, with a total
capacity of 534 MW. However, the EPA notes that as of March 27, 2024,
the last coal-fired steam EGUs in New Hampshire announced that they
would cease operation by 2028.\464\ Therefore, the EPA anticipates that
there will no existing coal-fired steam EGUs located in states that are
further than 100 km (62 mi) of potential geologic sequestration sites.
Furthermore, as described in section VII.C.1.a.i(C), new EGUs would
have the ability to consider proximity and access to geologic
sequestration sites or CO2 pipelines in the siting process.
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\464\ Vickers, Clayton. (2024). ``Last coal plants in New
England to close; renewables take their place.'' https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/4560375-new-hampshire-coal-plants-closing/.
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The DOE and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) have
independently conducted preliminary analyses of the availability and
potential CO2 sequestration resources in the United States.
The DOE estimates are compiled in the DOE's National Carbon
Sequestration Database and Geographic Information System (NATCARB)
using volumetric models and are published in its Carbon Utilization and
Sequestration Atlas (NETL Atlas). The DOE estimates that areas of the
United States with appropriate geology have a sequestration potential
of at least 2,400 billion to over 21,000 billion metric tons of
CO2 in deep saline formations, unmineable coal seams, and
oil and gas reservoirs. The USGS assessment estimates a mean of 3,000
billion metric tons of subsurface CO2 sequestration
potential across the United States. With respect to deep saline
formations, the DOE estimates a sequestration potential of at least
2,200 billion metric tons of CO2 in these formations in the
United States. The EPA estimates that the CO2 emissions
reductions for this rule (which is similar to the amount of
CO2 may be sequestered under this rule) are estimated in the
range of 1.3 to 1.4 billion metric tons over the 2028 to 2047
timeframe.\465\ This volume of sequestered CO2 is less than
a tenth of a percent of the storage capacity in deep saline formations
estimated to be available by DOE.
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\465\ For detailed information on the estimated emissions
reductions from this rule, see section 3 of the RIA, available in
the rulemaking docket.
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Unmineable coal seams offer another potential option for geologic
sequestration of CO2. Enhanced coalbed methane recovery is
the process of injecting and storing CO2 in unmineable coal
seams to enhance methane recovery. These operations take advantage of
the preferential chemical affinity of coal for CO2 relative
to the methane that is naturally found on the surfaces of coal. When
CO2 is injected, it is adsorbed to the coal surface and
releases methane that can then be captured and produced. This process
effectively ``locks'' the CO2 to the coal, where it remains
stored. States with the potential for sequestration in unmineable coal
seams include Iowa and Missouri, which have little to no saline
sequestration potential and have existing coal-fired EGUs. Unmineable
coal seams have a sequestration potential of at least 54 billion metric
tons of CO2, or 2 percent of total potential in the United
States, and are located in 22 states.
The potential for CO2 sequestration in unmineable coal
seams has been demonstrated in small-scale demonstration projects,
including the Allison Unit pilot project in New Mexico, which injected
a total of 270,000 tons of CO2 over a 6-year period (1995-
2001). Further, DOE Regional Carbon Sequestration Partnership projects
have injected CO2 volumes in unmineable coal seams ranging
from 90 tons to 16,700 tons, and completed site characterization,
injection, and post-injection monitoring for sites. DOE has included
unmineable coal seams in the NETL Atlas. One study estimated that in
the United States, 86.16 billion tons of CO2 could be
permanently stored in unmineable coal seams.\466\ Although the large-
scale injection of CO2 in coal seams can lead to swelling of
coal, the literature also suggests that there are available
technologies and techniques to compensate for the resulting reduction
in injectivity. Further, the reduced injectivity can be anticipated and
accommodated in sizing and characterizing prospective sequestration
sites.
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\466\ Godec, Koperna, and Gale. (2014). ``CO2-ECBM: A
Review of its Status and Global Potential'', Energy Procedia, Volume
63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2014.11.619.
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Depleted oil and gas reservoirs present additional potential for
geologic sequestration. The reservoir characteristics of developed
fields are well known as a result of exploration and many years of
hydrocarbon production and, in many areas, infrastructure already
exists which could be evaluated for conversion to CO2
transportation and sequestration service. Other types of geologic
formations such as organic rich shale and basalt may also have the
ability to store CO2, and DOE is continuing to evaluate
their potential sequestration capacity and efficacy.
(b) Inventory of Coal-Fired Power Plants That Are Candidates for CCS
Sequestration potential as it relates to distance from existing
coal-fired steam generating units is a key part of the EPA's regular
power sector modeling, using data from DOE/NETL studies.\467\ As
discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(1)(a), the availability
[[Page 39864]]
analysis shows that of the coal-fired steam generating capacity with
planned operation during or after 2039, more than 50 percent is less
than 32 km (20 miles) from potential deep saline sequestration sites,
73 percent is located within 50 km (31 miles), 80 percent is located
within 100 km (62 miles), and 91 percent is within 160 km (100
miles).\468\
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\467\ For details, please see Chapter 6 of the IPM
documentation. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
\468\ Sequestration potential as it relates to distance from
existing resources is a key part of the EPA's regular power sector
modeling development, using data from DOE/NETL studies. For details,
please see chapter 6 of the IPM documentation. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
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(2) Geologic Sequestration of CO2 Is Adequately Demonstrated
Geologic sequestration is based on a demonstrated understanding of
the processes that affect the fate of CO2 in the subsurface.
Existing project and regulatory experience, along with other
information, indicate that geologic sequestration is a viable long-term
CO2 sequestration option. As discussed in this section,
there are many examples of projects successfully injecting and
containing CO2 in the subsurface.
Research conducted through the Department of Energy's Regional
Carbon Sequestration Partnerships has demonstrated geologic
sequestration through a series of field research projects that
increased in scale over time, injecting more than 12 million tons of
CO2 with no indications of negative impacts to either human
health or the environment.\469\ Building on this experience, DOE
launched the Carbon Storage Assurance Facility Enterprise (CarbonSAFE)
Initiative in 2016 to demonstrate how knowledge from the Regional
Carbon Sequestration Partnerships can be applied to commercial-scale
safe storage. This initiative is furthering the development and
refinement of technologies and techniques critical to the
characterization of sites with the potential to sequester greater than
50 million tons of CO2.\470\ In Phase I of CarbonSAFE,
thirteen projects conducted economic feasibility analyses, collected,
analyzed, and modeled extensive regional data, evaluated multiple
storage sites and infrastructure, and evaluated business plans. Six
projects were funded for Phase II which involves storage complex
feasibility studies. These projects evaluate initial reservoir
characteristics to determine if the reservoir is suitable for geologic
sequestration sites of more than 50 million tons of CO2,
address technical and non-technical challenges that may arise, develop
a risk assessment and CO2 management strategy for the
project; and assist with the validation of existing tools. Five
projects have been funded for CarbonSAFE Phase III and are currently
performing site characterization and permitting.
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\469\ Regional Sequestration Partnership Overview. https://netl.doe.gov/carbon-management/carbon-storage/RCSP.
\470\ National Energy Technology Laboratory. CarbonSAFE
Initiative. https://netl.doe.gov/carbon-management/carbon-storage/carbonsafe.
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The EPA notes that, while only sequestration facilities with
Federal funding are currently operational in the United States,
multiple commercial sequestration facilities, other than those funded
under EPAct05, are in construction or advanced development, with some
scheduled to open for operation as early as 2025.\471\ These facilities
have proposed sequestration capacities ranging from 0.03 to 6 million
tons of CO2 per year. The Great Plains Synfuel Plant
currently captures 2 million metric tons of CO2 per year,
which is exported to Canada for use in EOR; a planned addition of
sequestration in a saline formation for this facility is expected to
increase the amount of CO2 captured and sequestered (through
both geologic sequestration and EOR) to 3.5 million metric tons of
CO2 per year.\472\ The EPA and states with approved UIC
Class VI programs (including Wyoming, North Dakota, and Louisiana) are
currently reviewing UIC Class VI geologic sequestration well permit
applications for proposed sequestration sites in fourteen
states.473 474 475 As of March 15, 2024, 44 projects with
130 injection wells are under review by the EPA.\476\
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\471\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\472\ Basin Electric Power Cooperative. (2021). ``Great Plains
Synfuels Plant Potential to Be Largest Coal-Based Carbon Capture and
Storage Project to Use Geologic Storage''. https://www.basinelectric.com/News-Center/news-releases/Great-Plains-Synfuels-Plant-potential-to-be-largest-coal-based-carbon-capture-and-storage-project-to-use-geologic-storage.
\473\ UIC regulations for Class VI wells authorize the injection
of CO2 for geologic sequestration while protecting human
health by ensuring the protection of underground sources of drinking
water. The major components to be included in UIC Class VI permits
are detailed further in section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4).
\474\ U.S. EPA Class VI Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Class VI Wells Permitted by EPA as of January 25, 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/table-epas-draft-and-final-class-vi-well-permits
Last updated January 19, 2024.
\475\ U.S. EPA Current Class VI Projects under Review at EPA.
2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
\476\ U.S. EPA. Current Class VI Projects under Review at EPA.
2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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Currently, there are planned geologic sequestration facilities
across the United States in various phases of development,
construction, and operation. The Wyoming Department of Environmental
Quality issued three UIC Class VI permits in December 2023 to Frontier
Carbon Solutions. The Frontier Carbon Solutions project will sequester
5 million metric tons of CO2/year.\477\ Additionally, UIC
Class VI permit applications have been submitted to the Wyoming
Department of Environmental Quality for a proposed Eastern Wyoming
Sequestration Hub project that would sequester up to 3 million metric
tons of CO2/year.\478\ The North Dakota Oil and Gas Division
has issued UIC Class VI permits to 6 sequestration projects that
collectively will sequester 18 million metric tons of CO2/
year.\479\ Since 2014, the EPA has issued two UIC Class VI permits to
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) in Decatur, Illinois, which authorize the
injection of up to 7 million metric tons of CO2. One of the
AMD wells is in the injection phase while the other is in the post-
injection phase. In January 2024, the EPA issued two UIC Class VI
permits to Wabash Carbon Services LLC for a project that will sequester
up to 1.67 million metric tons of CO2/year over an injection
period of 12 years.\480\ In December 2023, the EPA released for public
comment four UIC Class VI draft permits for the Carbon TerraVault
projects, to be located in California.\481\ These projects propose to
sequester CO2 captured from multiple different sources in
California including a hydrogen plant, direct air capture, and pre-
combustion gas treatment. TerraVault plans to inject 1.46 million
metric tons of CO2 annually into the four proposed wells
over a 26-year injection period with a total potential capacity of 191
million metric tons.482 483 One of the proposed wells is
[[Page 39865]]
an existing UIC Class II well that would be converted to a UIC Class VI
well for the TerraVault project.\484\
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\477\ Wyoming DEQ, Water Quality. Wyoming grants its first three
Class VI permits. By Kimberly Mazza, December 14, 2023 https://deq.wyoming.gov/2023/12/wyoming-grants-its-first-three-class-vi-permits/.
\478\ Wyoming DEQ Class VI Permit Applications. Trailblazer
permit application. https://deq.wyoming.gov/water-quality/groundwater/uic/class-vi.
\479\ North Dakota Oil and Gas Division, Class VI--Geologic
Sequestration Wells. https://www.dmr.nd.gov/dmr/oilgas/ClassVI.
\480\ EPA Approves Permits to Begin Construction of Wabash
Carbon Services Underground Injection Wells in Indiana's Vermillion
and Vigo Counties. (2024) https://www.epa.gov/uic/epa-approves-permits-wabash-carbon-services-underground-injection-wells-indianas-vigo-and
\481\ U.S. EPA Current Class VI Projects under Review at EPA.
2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
\482\ U.S. EPA Class VI Permit Application. ``Intent to Issue
Four (4) Class VI Geologic Carbon Sequestration Underground
Injection Control (UIC) Permits for Carbon TerraVault JV Storage
Company Sub 1, LLC. EPA-R09-OW-2023-0623.'' https://www.epa.gov/publicnotices/intent-issue-class-vi-underground-injection-control-permits-carbon-terravault-jv.
\483\ California Resources Corporation. ``Carbon TerraVault
Potential Storage Capacity.''https://www.crc.com/carbon-terravault/Vaults/default.aspx.
\484\ U.S. EPA Class VI Permit Application. ``Intent to Issue
Four (4) Class VI Geologic Carbon Sequestration Underground
Injection Control (UIC) Permits for Carbon TerraVault JV Storage
Company Sub 1, LLC. EPA-R09-OW-2023-0623.
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Geologic sequestration has been proven to be successful and safe in
projects internationally. In Norway, facilities conduct offshore
sequestration under the Norwegian continental shelf.\485\ In addition,
the Sleipner CO2 Storage facility in the North Sea, which
began operations in 1996, injects around 1 million metric tons of
CO2 per year from natural gas processing.\486\ The Snohvit
CO2 Storage facility in the Barents Sea, which began
operations in 2008, injects around 0.7 million metric tons of
CO2 per year from natural gas processing. The SaskPower
carbon capture and sequestration facility at Boundary Dam Power Station
in Saskatchewan, Canada had, as of the end of 2023, captured 5.6
million metric tons of CO2 since it began operating in
2014.\487\ Other international sequestration facilities in operation
include Glacier Gas Plant MCCS (Canada),\488\ Quest (Canada), and Qatar
LNG CCS (Qatar). The CarbFix project in Iceland injects CO2
into a geologic formation in which the CO2 reacts with
basalt rock formations to form stone. The CarbFix project has injected
approximately 100,000 metric tons of CO2 into geologic
formations since 2014.\489\
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\485\ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2005). Special
Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/carbon-dioxide-capture-and-storage/.
\486\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\487\ BD3 Status Update: Q3 2023. https://www.saskpower.com/
about-us/our-company/blog/2023/bd3-status-update-q3-2023.
\488\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\489\ CarbFix Operations. (2024). https://www.carbfix.com/.
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EOR, the process of injecting CO2 into oil and gas
formations to extract additional oil and gas, has been successfully
used for decades at numerous production fields throughout the United
States to increase oil and gas recovery. The oil and gas industry in
the United States has nearly 60 years of experience with EOR.\490\ This
experience provides a strong foundation for demonstrating successful
CO2 injection and monitoring technologies, which are needed
for safe and secure geologic sequestration that can be used for
deployment of CCS across geographically diverse areas. The amount of
CO2 that can be injected for an EOR project and the duration
of operations are of similar magnitude to the duration and volume of
CO2 that is expected to be captured from fossil fuel-fired
EGUs. The Farnsworth Unit, the Camrick Unit, the Shute Creek Facility,
and the Core Energy CO2-EOR facility are all examples of
operations that store anthropogenic CO2 as a part of EOR
operations.491 492 Currently, 13 states have active EOR
operations, and these states also have areas that are amenable to deep
saline sequestration in either onshore or offshore locations.\493\
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\490\ NETL. (2010). Carbon Dioxide Enhanced Oil Recovery.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/sites/default/files/netl-file/co2_eor_primer.pdf.
\491\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\492\ Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program monitoring reports for
these facilities are available at https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/subpart-rr-geologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide#decisions.
\493\ U.S. DOE NETL, Carbon Storage Atlas, Fifth Edition,
September 2015. https://www.netl.doe.gov/research/coal/carbon-storage/atlasv.
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(3) EPAct05-Assisted Geologic Sequestration Projects
Consistent with the EPA's legal interpretation that the Agency can
rely on experience from EPAct05 funded facilities in conjunction with
other information, this section provides examples of EPAct05-assisted
geologic sequestration projects. While the EPA has determined that the
sequestration component of CCS is adequately demonstrated based on the
non-EPAct05 examples discussed above, adequate demonstration of
geologic sequestration is further corroborated by planned and
operational geologic sequestration projects assisted by grants, loan
guarantees, and the IRC section 48A federal tax credit for ``clean coal
technology'' authorized by the EPAct05.\494\
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\494\ 80 FR 64541-42 (October 23, 2015).
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At present, there are 13 operational and one post-injection phase
commercial carbon sequestration facilities in the United
States.495 496 Red Trail Energy CCS Project in North Dakota
and Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture and Storage in Illinois are
dedicated saline sequestration facilities, while the other facilities,
including Petra Nova in Texas, are sequestration via
EOR.497 498 Several other facilities are under
development.\499\ The Red Trail Energy CCS facility in North Dakota
began injecting CO2 captured from ethanol production plants
in 2022.\500\ This project is expected to inject 180,000 tons of
CO2 per year.\501\ The Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture
and Storage Project began injecting CO2 from ethanol
production into the Mount Simon Sandstone in April 2017. According to
the facility's report to the EPA's Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program
(GHGRP), as of 2022, 2.9 million metric tons of CO2 had been
injected into the saline reservoir.\502\ CO2 injection for
one of the two permitted Class VI wells ceased in 2021 and this well is
now in the post-operation data collection phase.\503\
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\495\ Clean Air Task Force. (August 3, 2023). U.S. Carbon
Capture Activity and Project Map. https://www.catf.us/ccsmapus/.
\496\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\497\ Reuters. (September 14, 2023) ``Carbon capture project
back at Texas coal plant after 3-year shutdown''. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/carbon-capture-project-back-texas-coal-plant-after-3-year-shutdown-2023-09-14/.
\498\ Clean Air Task Force. (August 3, 2023). U.S. Carbon
Capture Activity and Project Map. https://www.catf.us/ccsmapus/.
\499\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\500\ Ibid.
\501\ Ibid.
\502\ EPA Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program. Data reported as of
August 12, 2022.
\503\ University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Prairie Research
Institute. (2022). Data from landmark Illinois Basin carbon storage
project are now available. https://blogs.illinois.edu/view/7447/54118905.
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There are additional planned geologic sequestration projects under
review by the EPA and across the United States.504 505
Project Tundra, a saline sequestration project planned at the lignite-
fired Milton R. Young Station in North Dakota is projected to capture 4
million metric tons of CO2 annually.\506\ In Wyoming, Class
VI permit
[[Page 39866]]
applications have been issued by the Wyoming Department of
Environmental Quality for the proposed Eastern Wyoming Sequestration
Hub project, a saline sequestration facility proposed to be located in
Southwestern Wyoming.\507\ At full capacity, the facility would
permanently store up to 5 million metric tons of CO2
captured from industrial facilities annually in the Nugget saline
sandstone reservoir.\508\ In Texas, three NGCCs plan to add carbon
capture equipment. Deer Park NGCC plans to capture 5 million tons per
year, Quail Run NGCC plans to capture 1.5 million tons of
CO2 per year, and Baytown NGCC plans to capture up to 2
million tons of CO2 per year.509 510
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\504\ In addition, Denbury Resources injected CO2
into a depleted oil and gas reservoir at a rate greater than 1.2
million tons/year as part of a DOE Southeast Regional Carbon
Sequestration Partnership study. The Texas Bureau of Economic
Geology tested a wide range of surface and subsurface monitoring
tools and approaches to document sequestration efficiency and
sequestration permanence at the Cranfield oilfield in Mississippi.
Texas Bureau of Economic Geology, ``Cranfield Log.'' https://www.beg.utexas.edu/gccc/research/cranfield.
\505\ EPA Class VI Permit Tracker. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2024-02/class-vi-permit-tracker_2-5-24.pdf. Accessed
February 5, 2024.
\506\ Project Tundra. ``Project Tundra.'' https://www.projecttundrand.com/.
\507\ Wyoming DEQ Class VI Permit Applications. https://deq.wyoming.gov/water-quality/groundwater/uic/class-vi/.
\508\ Id.
\509\ Calpine. (2023). Calpine Carbon Capture, Bayton, Texas.
https://calpinecarboncapture.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/Calpine-Baytown-One-Pager-English-1.pdf.
\510\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
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(4) Security of Geologic Sequestration and Related Regulatory
Requirements
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(2) of this preamble, there
have been numerous instances of geologic sequestration in the U.S. and
overseas, and the U.S. has developed a detailed set of regulatory
requirements to ensure the security of sequestered CO2. This
regulatory framework includes the UIC well regulations pursuant to SDWA
authority, and the GHGRP pursuant to CAA authority.
Regulatory oversight of geologic sequestration is built upon an
understanding of the proven mechanisms by which CO2 is
retained in geologic formations. These mechanisms include (1)
Structural and stratigraphic trapping (generally trapping below a low
permeability confining layer); (2) residual CO2 trapping
(retention as an immobile phase trapped in the pore spaces of the
geologic formation); (3) solubility trapping (dissolution in the in
situ formation fluids); (4) mineral trapping (reaction with the
minerals in the geologic formation and confining layer to produce
carbonate minerals); and (5) preferential adsorption trapping
(adsorption onto organic matter in coal and shale).
(a) Overview of Legal and Regulatory Framework
For the reasons detailed below, the UIC Program, the GHGRP, and
other regulatory requirements comprise a detailed regulatory framework
for geologic sequestration in the United States. This framework is
analyzed in a 2021 report from the Council on Environmental Quality
(CEQ),\511\ and statutory and regulatory frameworks that may be
applicable for CCS are summarized in the EPA CCS Regulations
Table.512 513 This regulatory framework includes the UIC
regulations, promulgated by the EPA under the authority of the Safe
Drinking Water Act (SDWA); and the GHGRP, promulgated by the EPA under
the authority of the CAA. The requirements of the UIC and GHGRP
programs work together to ensure that sequestered CO2 will
remain securely stored underground. Furthermore, geologic sequestration
efforts on Federal lands as well as those efforts that are directly
supported with Federal funds would need to comply with the NEPA and
other Federal laws and regulations, depending on the nature of the
project.\514\ In cases where sequestration is conducted offshore, the
SDWA, the Marine Protection, Research, and Sanctuaries Act (MPRSA) or
the Outer Continental Shelf Lands Act (OCSLA) may apply. The Department
of Interior Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement and Bureau
of Ocean Energy Management are developing new regulations and creating
a program for oversight of carbon sequestration activities on the outer
continental shelf.\515\ Furthermore, Title V of the Federal Land Policy
and Management Act of 1976 (FLPMA) and its implementing regulations, 43
CFR part 2800, authorize the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) to issue
rights-of-way (ROWs) to geologically sequester CO2 in
Federal pore space, including BLM ROWs for the necessary physical
infrastructure and for the use and occupancy of the pore space itself.
The BLM has published a policy defining access to pore space on BLM
lands, including clarification of Federal policy for situations where
the surface and pore space are under the control of different Federal
agencies.\516\
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\511\ CEQ. (2021). ``Council on Environmental Quality Report to
Congress on Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration.''
https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
\512\ EPA. 2023. Regulatory and Statutory Authorities Relevant
to Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) Projects. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-10/regulatory-and-statutory-authorities-relevant-to-carbon-capture-and-sequestration-ccs-projects.pdf.
\513\ This table serves as a reference of many possible
authorities that may affect a CCS project (including site selection,
capture, transportation, and sequestration). Many of the authorities
listed in this table would apply only in specific circumstances.
\514\ CEQ. ``Council on Environmental Quality Report to Congress
on Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration.'' 2021. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
\515\ Department of the Interior. (2023). BSEE Budget. https://www.doi.gov/ocl/bsee-budget.
\516\ National Policy for the Right-of-Way Authorizations
Necessary for Site Characterization, Capture, Transportation,
Injection, and Permanent Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide in
Connection with Carbon Sequestration Projects. BLM IM 2022-041
Instruction Memorandum, June 8, 2022. https://www.blm.gov/policy/im-2022-041.
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(b) Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program
The UIC regulations, including the Class VI program, authorize the
injection of CO2 for geologic sequestration while protecting
human health by ensuring the protection of underground sources of
drinking water (USDW). These regulations are built upon nearly a half-
century of Federal experience regulating underground injection wells,
and many additional years of state UIC program expertise. The IIJA
established a $50 million grant program to assist states and tribal
regulatory authorities in developing and implementing UIC Class VI
programs.\517\ Major components included in UIC Class VI permits are
site characterization, area of review,\518\ corrective action,\519\
well construction and operation, testing and monitoring, financial
responsibility, post-injection site care, well plugging, emergency and
remedial response, and site closure. The EPA's UIC regulations are
included in 40 CFR parts 144-147. The UIC regulations ensure that
injected CO2 does not migrate out of the authorized
injection zone, which in turn ensures that CO2 is securely
stored underground.
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\517\ EPA. Underground Injection Control Class VI Wells
Memorandum. (December 9, 2022). https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-12/AD.Regan_.GOVS_.Sig_.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
\518\ Per 40 CFR 146.84(a), the area of review is the region
surrounding the geologic sequestration project where USDWs may be
endangered by the injection activity. The area of review is
delineated using computational modeling that accounts for the
physical and chemical properties of all phases of the injected
carbon dioxide stream and is based on available site
characterization, monitoring, and operational data.
\519\ UIC permitting authorities may require corrective action
for existing wells within the area of review to ensure protection of
underground sources of drinking water.
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Review of a UIC permit application by the permitting authority,
including for Class VI geologic sequestration, entails a
multidisciplinary evaluation to determine whether the application
includes the required information, is technically accurate, and
supports a determination that USDWs will not be endangered by the
proposed injection
[[Page 39867]]
activity.\520\ The EPA promulgated UIC regulations to ensure
underground injection wells are constructed, operated, and closed in a
manner that is protective of USDWs and to address potential risks to
USDWs associated with injection activities.\521\ The UIC regulations
address the major pathways by which injected fluids can migrate into
USDWs, including along the injection well bore, via improperly
completed or plugged wells in the area near the injection well, direct
injection into a USDW, faults or fractures in the confining strata, or
lateral displacement into hydraulically connected USDWs. States may
apply to the EPA to be the UIC permitting authority in the state and
receive primary enforcement authority (primacy). Where a state has not
obtained primacy, the EPA is the UIC permitting authority.
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\520\ EPA. EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting. 2022.
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-11/EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
\521\ See 40 CFR parts 124, 144-147.
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Recognizing that CO2 injection, for the purpose of
geologic sequestration, poses unique risks relative to other injection
activities, the EPA promulgated Federal Requirements Under the UIC
Program for Carbon Dioxide GS Wells, known as the Class VI Rule, in
December 2010.\522\ The Class VI Rule created and set requirements for
a new class of injection wells, Class VI. The Class VI Rule builds upon
the long-standing protective framework of the UIC Program, with
requirements that are tailored to address issues unique to large-scale
geologic sequestration, including large injection volumes, higher
reservoir pressures relative to other injection formations, the
relative buoyancy of CO2, the potential presence of
impurities in captured CO2, the corrosivity of
CO2 in the presence of water, and the mobility of
CO2 within subsurface geologic formations. These additional
protective requirements include more extensive geologic testing,
detailed computational modeling of the project area and periodic re-
evaluations, detailed requirements for monitoring and tracking the
CO2 plume and pressure in the injection zone, unique
financial responsibility requirements, and extended post-injection
monitoring and site care.
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\522\ EPA. (2010). Federal Requirements Under the Underground
Injection Control (UIC) Program for Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Geologic
Sequestration (GS) Wells; Final Rule, 75 FR 77230, December 10, 2010
(codified at 40 CFR part 146, subpart H).
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UIC Class VI permits are designed to ensure that geologic
sequestration does not cause the movement of injected CO2 or
formation fluids outside the authorized injection zone; if monitoring
indicates leakage of injected CO2 from the injection zone,
the leakage may trigger a response per the permittee's Class VI
Emergency and Remedial Response Plan including halting injection, and
the permitting authority may prescribe additional permit requirements
necessary to prevent such movement to ensure USDWs are protected or
take appropriate enforcement action if the permit has been
violated.\523\ Class II EOR permits are also designed to ensure the
protection of USDWs with requirements appropriate for the risks of the
enhanced recovery operation. In general, the EPA believes that the
protection of USDWs by preventing leakage of injected CO2
out of the injection zone will also ensure that CO2 is
sufficiently sequestered in the subsurface, and therefore will not leak
from the subsurface to the atmosphere.
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\523\ See 40 CFR 144.12(b) (prohibition of movement of fluid
into USDWs); 40 CFR 146.86(a)(1) (Class VI injection well
construction requirements); 40 CFR 146(a) (Class VI injection well
operation requirements); 40 CFR 146.94 (emergency and remedial
response).
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The UIC program works with injection well operators throughout the
life of the well to confirm practices do not pose a risk to USDWs. The
program conducts inspections to verify compliance with the UIC permit,
including checking for leaks.\524\ Inspections are only one way that
programs deter noncompliance. Programs also evaluate periodic
monitoring reports submitted by operators and discuss potential issues
with operators. If a well is found to be out of compliance with
applicable requirements in its permit or UIC regulations, the program
will identify specific actions that an operator must take to address
the issues. The UIC program may assist the operator in returning the
well to compliance or use administrative or judicial enforcement to
return a well to compliance.
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\524\ EPA. (2020). Underground Injection Control Program.
https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2020-04/documents/uic_fact_sheet.pdf.
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UIC program requirements address potential safety concerns with
induced seismicity. More specifically, through the UIC Class VI
program, the EPA has put in place mechanisms to identify, monitor, and
reduce risks associated with induced seismicity in any areas within or
surrounding a sequestration site through permit and program
requirements such as site characterization and monitoring, and the
requirement for applicants to demonstrate that induced seismic activity
will not endanger USDWs.\525\ The National Academy of Sciences released
a report in 2012 on induced seismicity from CCS and determined that
with appropriate site selection, a monitoring program, a regulatory
system, and the appropriate use of remediation methods, the induced
seismicity risks of geologic sequestration could be mitigated.\526\
Furthermore, the Ground Water Protection Council and Interstate Oil and
Gas Compact Commission have published a ``Potential Induced Seismicity
Guide.'' This report found that the strategies for avoiding,
mitigating, and responding to potential risks of induced seismicity
should be determined based on site-specific characteristics (i.e.,
local geology). These strategies could include supplemental seismic
monitoring, altering operational parameters (such as rates and
pressures) to reduce the ground motion hazard and risk, permit
modification, partial plug back of the well, controlled restart (if
feasible), suspending or revoking injection authorization, or stopping
injection and shutting in a well.\527\ The EPA's UIC National Technical
Workgroup released technical recommendations in 2015 to address induced
seismicity concerns in Class II wells and elements of these
recommendations have been utilized in developing Class VI emergency and
remedial response plans for Class VI permits.528 529 For
example, as identified
[[Page 39868]]
by the EPA's UIC National Technical Workgroup, sufficient pressure
buildup from disposal activities, the presence of Faults of Concern
(i.e., a fault optimally oriented for movement and located in a
critically stressed region), and the existence of a pathway for
allowing the increased pressure to communicate with the fault
contribute to the risk of injection-induced seismicity. The UIC
requirements, including site characterization (e.g., ensuring the
confining zone \530\ is free of faults of concern) and operating
requirements (e.g., ensuring injection pressure in the injection zone
is below the fracture pressure), work together to address these
components and reduce the risk of injection-induced seismicity,
particularly any injection-induced seismicity that could be felt by
people at the surface.\531\ Additionally, the EPA recommends that Class
VI permits include an approach for monitoring for seismicity near the
site, including seismicity that cannot be felt at the surface, and that
injection activities be stopped or reduced in certain situations if
seismic activity is detected to ensure that no seismic activity will
endanger USDWs.\532\ This also reduces the likelihood of any future
injection-induced seismic activity that will be felt at the surface.
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\525\ See 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v) (requiring the permit applicant
to submit and the permitting authority to consider information on
the seismic history including the presence and depth of seismic
sources and a determination that the seismicity would not interfere
with containment); EPA. (2018). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon
Dioxide Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program Class VI
Implementation Manual for UIC Program Directors. U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency Office of Water (4606M) EPA 816-R-18-001. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/documents/implementation_manual_508_010318.pdf.
\526\ National Research Council. (2013). Induced Seismicity
Potential in Energy Technologies. Washington, DC: The National
Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/13355.
\527\ Ground Water Protection Council and Interstate Oil and Gas
Compact Commission. (2021). Potential Induced Seismicity Guide: A
Resource of Technical and Regulatory Considerations Associated with
Fluid Injection. https://www.gwpc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/FINAL_Induced_Seismicity_2021_Guide_33021.pdf.
\528\ EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing Potential Impacts of
Injection-Induced Seismicity from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical
Approaches. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
\529\ EPA. (2018). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide:
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program Class VI Implementation
Manual for UIC Program Directors. EPA 816-R-18-001. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/documents/implementation_manual_508_010318.pdf.
\530\ ``Confining zone'' means a geological formation, group of
formations, or part of a formation that is capable of limiting fluid
movement above an injection zone. 40 CFR 146.3.
\531\ EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing Potential Impacts of
Injection-Induced Seismicity from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical
Approaches. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
\532\ See EPA. Emergency and Remedial Response Plan: 40 CFR
146.94(a) template. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-03/err_plan_template.docx. See also EPA. (2018). Geologic
Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide: Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Program Class VI Implementation Manual for UIC Program Directors.
EPA 816-R-18-001. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/documents/implementation_manual_508_010318.pdf.
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Furthermore, during site characterization, if any of the geologic
or seismic data obtained indicate a substantial likelihood of seismic
activity, the EPA may require further analyses, potential planned
operational changes, and additional monitoring.\533\ The EPA has the
authority to require seismic monitoring as a condition of the UIC
permit if appropriate, or to deny the permit if the injection-induced
seismicity risk could endanger USDWs.
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\533\ 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v).
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The EPA believes that meaningful engagement with local communities
is an important step in the development of geologic sequestration
projects and has programs and public participation requirements in
place to support this process. The EPA is committed to advancing EJ for
overburdened communities in all its programs, including the UIC Class
VI program.\534\ The EPA is also committed to supporting states' and
tribes' efforts to obtain UIC Class VI primacy and strongly encourages
such states and tribes to incorporate environmental justice principles
and equity into proposed UIC Class VI programs.\535\ The EPA is taking
steps to address EJ in accordance with Presidential Executive Order
14096, Revitalizing Our Nation's Commitment to Environmental Justice
for All (88 FR 25251, April 26, 2023). In 2023, the EPA released
Environmental Justice Guidance for UIC Class VI Permitting and Primacy
that builds on the 2011 UIC Quick Reference Guide: Additional Tools for
UIC Program Directors Incorporating Environmental Justice
Considerations into the Class VI Injection Well Permitting
Process.536 537 The 2023 guidance serves as an operating
framework for identifying, analyzing, and addressing EJ concerns in the
context of implementing and overseeing UIC permitting and primacy
programs, including primacy approvals. The EPA notes that while this
guidance is focused on the UIC Class VI program, EPA Regions should
apply them to the other five injection well classes wherever possible,
including class II. The guidance includes recommended actions across
five themes to address various aspects of EJ in UIC Class VI permitting
including: (1) identify communities with potential EJ concerns, (2)
enhance public involvement, (3) conduct appropriately scoped EJ
assessments, (4) enhance transparency throughout the permitting
process, and (5) minimize adverse effects to USDWs and the communities
they may serve.\538\
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\534\ EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance for UIC Class
VI Permitting and Primacy. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf
; see also EPA. Letter from the EPA Administrator Michael S. Regan
to U.S. State Governors. December 9, 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-12/AD.Regan_.GOVS_.Sig_.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
\535\ EPA. (2023). Targeted UIC program grants for Class VI
Wells. https://www.epa.gov/uic/underground-injection-control-grants#ClassVI_Grants.
\536\ EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance for UIC Class
VI Permitting and Primacy. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf
.
\537\ EPA. (2011). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide--UIC
Quick Reference Guide. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/epa816r11002.pdf.
\538\ EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance for UIC Class
VI Permitting and Primacy. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf
.
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As a part of the UIC Class VI permit application process,
applicants and the EPA Regions should complete an EJ review using the
EPA's EJScreen Tool, an online mapping tool that integrates numerous
demographic, socioeconomic, and environmental data sets that are
overlain on an applicant's UIC Area of Review to identify whether any
disadvantaged communities are encompassed.\539\ If the results indicate
a potential EJ impact, applicants and the EPA Regions should consider
potential measures to mitigate the impacts of the UIC Class VI project
on identified vulnerable communities and enhance the public
participation process to be inclusive of all potentially affected
communities (e.g., conduct early targeted outreach to communities and
identify and mitigate any communication obstacles such as language
barriers or lack of technology resources).\540\
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\539\ EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting. 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-11/EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
\540\ EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting. 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-11/EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
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ER technologies are used in oil and gas reservoirs to increase
production. Injection wells used for ER are regulated through the UIC
Class II program. Injection of CO2 is one of several
techniques used in ER. Sometimes ER uses CO2 from
anthropogenic sources such as natural gas processing, ammonia and
fertilizer production, and coal gasification facilities. Through the ER
process, much of the injected CO2 is recovered from
production wells and can be separated and reinjected into the
subsurface formation, resulting in the storage of CO2
underground. The EPA's Class II regulations were designed to regulate
ER injection wells, among other injection wells associated with oil and
natural gas production. See e.g., 40 CFR 144.6(b)(2). The EPA's Class
II program is designed to prevent Class II injection activities from
endangering USDWs. The Class II programs of states and tribes must be
approved by the EPA and must meet the EPA regulatory requirements for
Class II programs, 42 U.S.C. 300h-1, or otherwise represent an
effective program to prevent endangerment of USDWs. 42 U.S.C 300h-4.
[[Page 39869]]
In promulgating the Class VI regulations, the EPA recognized that
if the business model for ER shifts to focus on maximizing
CO2 injection volumes and permanent storage, then the risk
of endangerment to USDWs is likely to increase. As an ER project shifts
away from oil and/or gas production, injection zone pressure and carbon
dioxide volumes will likely increase if carbon dioxide injection rates
increase, and the dissipation of reservoir pressure will decrease if
fluid production from the reservoir decreases. Therefore, the EPA's
regulations require the operator of a Class II well to obtain a Class
VI permit when there is an increased risk to USDWs. 40 CFR 144.19.\541\
While the EPA's regulations require the Class II well operator to
assess whether there is an increased risk to USDWs (considering factors
identified in the EPA's regulations), the permitting authority can also
make this assessment and, in the event that an operator makes changes
to Class II operations such that the increased risk to USDWs warrants
transition to Class VI and the operator does not notify the permitting
authority, the operator may be subject to SDWA enforcement and
compliance actions to protect USDWs, including cessation of injection.
The determination of whether there is an increased risk to USDWs would
be based on factors specified in 40 CFR 144.19(b), including increase
in reservoir pressure within the injection zone; increase in
CO2 injection rates; and suitability of the Class II Area of
Review (AoR) delineation.
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\541\ EPA. (2015). Key Principles in EPA's Underground Injection
Control Program Class VI Rule Related to Transition of Class II
Enhanced Oil or Gas Recovery Wells to Class VI. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/class2eorclass6memo_1.pdf.
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(c) Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP)
The GHGRP requires reporting of greenhouse gas (GHG) data and other
relevant information from large GHG emission sources, fuel and
industrial gas suppliers, and CO2 injection sites in the
United States. Approximately 8,000 facilities are required to report
their emissions, injection, and/or supply activity annually, and the
non-confidential reported data are made available to the public around
October of each year. To complement the UIC regulations, the EPA
included in the GHGRP air-side monitoring and reporting requirements
for CO2 capture, underground injection, and geologic
sequestration. These requirements are included in 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR and subpart VV, also referred to as ``GHGRP subpart RR'' and
``GHGRP subpart VV.''
GHGRP subpart RR applies to ``any well or group of wells that
inject a CO2 stream for long-term containment in subsurface
geologic formations'' \542\ and provides the monitoring and reporting
mechanisms to quantify CO2 storage and to identify,
quantify, and address potential leakage. The EPA designed GHGRP subpart
RR to complement the UIC monitoring and testing requirements. See e.g.,
40 CFR 146.90-91. Reporting under GHGRP subpart RR is required for, but
not limited to, all facilities that have received a UIC Class VI permit
for injection of CO2.\543\ Under existing GHGRP regulations,
facilities that conduct ER in Class II wells are not subject to
reporting data under GHGRP subpart RR unless they have chosen to submit
a proposed monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) plan to the
EPA and received an approved plan from the EPA. Facilities conducting
ER and who do not choose to submit a subpart RR MRV plan to the EPA
would otherwise be required to report CO2 data under subpart
UU.\544\ GHGRP subpart RR requires facilities meeting the source
category definition (40 CFR 98.440) for any well or group of wells to
report basic information on the mass of CO2 received for
injection; develop and implement an EPA-approved monitoring, reporting,
and verification (MRV) plan; report the mass of CO2
sequestered using a mass balance approach; and report annual monitoring
activities.545 546 547 548 Extensive subsurface monitoring
is required for UIC Class VI wells at 40 CFR 146.90 and is the primary
means of determining if the injected CO2 remains in the
authorized injection zone and otherwise does not endanger any USDW, and
monitoring under a GHGRP subpart RR MRV Plan complements these
requirements. The MRV plan includes five major components: a
delineation of monitoring areas based on the CO2 plume
location; an identification and evaluation of the potential surface
leakage pathways and an assessment of the likelihood, magnitude, and
timing, of surface leakage of CO2 through these pathways; a
strategy for detecting and quantifying any surface leakage of
CO2 in the event leakage occurs; an approach for
establishing the expected baselines for monitoring CO2
surface leakage; and, a summary of considerations made to calculate
site-specific variables for the mass balance equation.\549\
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\542\ See 40 CFR 98.440.
\543\ 40 CFR 98.440.
\544\ As discussed in section X.C.5.b, entities conducting CCS
to comply with this rule would be required to send the captured
CO2 to a facility that reports data under subpart RR or
subpart VV.
\545\ 40 CFR 98.446.
\546\ 40 CFR 98.448.
\547\ 40 CFR 98.446(f)(9) and (10).
\548\ 40 CFR 98.446(f)(12).
\549\ 40 CFR 98.448(a).
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In April 2024, the EPA finalized a new GHGRP subpart, ``Geologic
Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide with Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) Using
ISO 27916'' (or GHGRP subpart VV).\550\ GHGRP subpart VV applies to
facilities that quantify the geologic sequestration of CO2
in association with EOR operations in conformance with the ISO standard
designated as CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture,
Transportation and Geological Storage--Carbon Dioxide Storage Using
Enhanced Oil Recovery. Facilities that have chosen to submit an MRV
plan and report under GHGRP subpart RR must not report data under GHGRP
subpart VV. GHGRP subpart VV is largely modeled after the requirements
in this ISO standard and focuses on quantifying storage of
CO2. Facilities subject to GHGRP subpart VV must include in
their GHGRP annual report a copy of their EOR Operations Management
Plan (EOR OMP). The EOR OMP includes a description of the EOR complex
and engineered system, establishes that the EOR complex is adequate to
provide safe, long-term containment of CO2, and includes
site-specific and other information including a geologic
characterization of the EOR complex, a description of the facilities
within the EOR project, a description of all wells and other engineered
features in the EOR project, and the operations history of the project
reservoir.\551\
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\550\ EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
\551\ EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
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Based on the understanding developed from existing projects, the
security of sequestered CO2 is expected to increase over
time after injection ceases.\552\ This is due to trapping mechanisms
that reduce CO2 mobility over time (e.g., physical
CO2 trapping by a low-permeability geologic seal or chemical
trapping by conversion or adsorption).\553\ The EPA acknowledges the
potential for some leakage of CO2 to the atmosphere at
sequestration sites, primarily while injection operations are active.
For example, small quantities of the CO2 that were sent to
the
[[Page 39870]]
sequestration site may be emitted from leaks in pipes and valves that
are traversed before the CO2 actually reaches the
sequestration formation. However, the EPA's robust UIC regulatory
protections protect against leakage out of the injection zone. Relative
to the 46.75 million metric tons of CO2 reported as
sequestered under subpart RR of the GHGRP between 2016 to 2022, only
196,060 metric tons were reported as leakage/emissions to the
atmosphere in the same time period (representing less than 0.5% of the
sequestration amount). Of these emissions, most were from equipment
leaks and vented emissions of CO2 from equipment located on
the surface rather than leakage from the subsurface.\554\ Furthermore,
any leakage of CO2 at a sequestration facility would be
required to be quantified and reported under the GHGRP subpart RR or
subpart VV, and such data are made publicly available on the EPA's
website.
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\552\ ``Report of the Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture
and Storage.'' 2010. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/985209.
\553\ See, e.g., Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
(2005). Special Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage.
\554\ Based on subpart RR data retrieved from the EPA Facility
Level Information on Greenhouse Gases Tool (FLIGHT), at https://ghgdata.epa.gov/ghgp/main.do. Retrieved March 2024.
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(5) Timing of Permitting for Sequestration Sites
As previously discussed, the EPA is the Class VI permitting
authority for states, tribes, and territories that have not obtained
primacy over their Class VI programs.\555\ The EPA is committed to
reviewing UIC Class VI permits as expeditiously as possible when the
agency is the permitting authority. The EPA has the experience to
properly regulate and review permits for UIC Class VI injection wells,
and technical experts of multiple disciplines to review permit
applications submitted to the EPA.
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\555\ See 40 CFR part 145 (State UIC Program Requirements), 40
CFR part 147 (State, Tribal, and EPA-Administered Underground
Injection Control Programs).
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The EPA has seen a considerable uptick in Class VI permit
applications over the past few years. The 2018 passage of revisions and
enhancements to the IRC section 45Q tax credit that provides tax
credits for carbon oxide (including CO2) sequestration has
led to an increase in Class VI permit applications submitted to the
EPA. The 2022 IRA further expanded the IRC section 45Q tax credit and
the 2021 IIJA established a $50 million program for grants to help
states and tribes in developing and implementing a UIC Class VI primacy
program, leading to even more interest in this area.\556\ Between 2011,
when the Class VI rule went into effect, and 2020, the EPA received a
total of 8 permit applications for Class VI wells. The EPA then
received 12 Class VI permit applications in 2021, 44 in 2022, and 123
in 2023. As of March 2024, the EPA has 130 Class VI permit applications
under review (56 permit applications were transferred to Louisiana in
February 2024 when the EPA rule granting Class VI primacy to the state
became effective). The majority of those 130 permit applications (63%)
were submitted to the EPA within the past 12 months. Also, as of March
2024, the EPA has issued eight Class VI permits, including six for
projects in Illinois and two for projects in Indiana, and has released
for public comment four additional draft permits for proposed projects
in California. Two of the permits are in the pre-operation phase, one
is in the injection phase, and one is in the post-injection monitoring
phase.
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\556\ EPA. (2023). Targeted UIC program grants for Class VI
Wells https://www.epa.gov/uic/underground-injection-control-grants#ClassVI_Grants.
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In light of the recent flurry of interest in this area, the EPA is
devoting increased resources to the Class VI program, including through
increased staffing levels in order to meet the increased demand for
action on Class VI permit applications.\557\ Reviewing a Class VI
permit application entails a multidisciplinary evaluation to determine
whether the application includes the required information, is
technically accurate, and supports a risk-based determination that
underground sources of drinking water will not be endangered by the
proposed injection activity. A wide variety of technical experts--from
geologists to engineers to physical scientists--review permit
applications submitted to the EPA. The EPA has been working to develop
staff expertise and increase capacity in the UIC program, and the
agency has effectively deployed appropriated resources over the last
five years to scale UIC program staff from a few employees to the
equivalent of more than 25 full-time employees across the agency's
headquarters and regional offices. We expect that the additional
resources and staff capacity for the Class VI program will lead to
increased efficiencies in the Class VI permitting process.
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\557\ EPA. (2023). Testimony Of Mr. Bruno Pigott, Principal
Deputy Assistant Administrator for Water, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Hearing On Carbon Capture And Storage. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-11/testimony-pigott-senr-hearing-nov-2-2023_-cleared.pdf.
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In addition to increased staffing resources, the EPA has made
considerable improvements to the Class VI permitting process to reduce
the time needed to make final permitting decisions for Class VI wells
while maintaining a robust and thorough review process that ensures
USDWs are protected. The EPA has created additional resources for
applicants including upgrading the Geologic Sequestration Data Tool
(GSDT) to guide applicants through the application process.\558\ The
EPA has also created resources for permit writers including training
series and guidance documents to build capacity for Class VI
permitting.\559\ Additionally, the EPA issued internal guidelines to
streamline and create uniformity and consistency in the Class VI
permitting process, which should help to reduce permitting timeframes.
These internal guidelines include the expectation that EPA Regions will
classify all Class VI well applications received on or after December
12, 2023, as applications for major new UIC injection wells, which
requires the Regions to develop project decision schedules for
reviewing Class VI permit applications. The guidelines also set target
timeframes for components of the permitting process, such as the number
of days EPA Regions should set for public comment periods and for
developing responses to comments and final permit decisions. The EPA
will continue to evaluate its internal UIC permitting processes to
identify potential opportunities for streamlining and other
improvements over time. Although the available data for Class VI wells
is limited, the timeframe for processing Class I wells, which follows a
similar regulatory structure, is typically less than 2 years.\560\
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\558\ EPA. (2023). Geologic Sequestration Data Tool (GSDT).
https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-10/geologic-sequestration-data-tool_factsheet_oct2023.pdf.
\559\ EPA. (2023). Final Class VI Guidance Documents. https://www.epa.gov/uic/final-class-vi-guidance-documents.
\560\ EPA Report to Congress: Class VI Permitting. 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-11/EPAClassVIPermittingReporttoCongress.pdf.
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The EPA notes that a Class VI permit tracker is available on its
website.\561\ This tracker shows information for the 44 projects
(representing 130 wells) that have submitted Class VI applications to
the EPA, including details such as the current permit review stage,
whether a project has been sent a Notice of Deficiency (NOD) or Request
for Additional Information (RAI), and the applicant's response time to
any NODs or RAIs. As mentioned above, most of the permits submitted to
the EPA have been submitted within the past 12
[[Page 39871]]
months. The EPA aims to review complete Class VI applications and issue
permits when appropriate within approximately 24 months. This timeframe
is dependent on several factors, including the complexity of the
project and the quality and completeness of the submitted application.
It is important for the applicant to submit a complete application and
provide any information requested by the permitting agency in a timely
manner so as not to extend the overall time for the review.
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\561\ EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under Review at
EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
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States may apply to the EPA for primacy to administer the Class VI
programs within their states. The primacy application process has four
phases: (1) pre-application activities, (2) completeness review and
determination, (3) application evaluation, and (4) rulemaking and
codification. To date, three states have been granted primacy for Class
VI wells, including North Dakota, Wyoming, and most recently
Louisiana.\562\ As discussed above, North Dakota has issued 6 Class VI
permits since receiving Class VI primacy in 2018, and Wyoming issued
its first three Class VI permits in December
2023.563 564 565 The EPA finalized a rule granting Louisiana
Class VI primacy in January 2024 and the state's program became
effective in February 2024. At that time, EPA Region 6 transferred 56
Class VI permit applications for projects in Louisiana to the state for
continued review and permit issuance if appropriate. Prior to receiving
primacy, the state worked with the EPA in understanding where each
application was in the evaluation process. Currently, the EPA is
working with the states of Texas, Arizona, and West Virginia as they
are developing their UIC primacy applications.\566\ Arizona submitted a
primacy application to the EPA on February 13, 2024.\567\ Texas and
West Virginia are engaging with the EPA to complete pre-application
activities.\568\ If more states apply for and receive Class VI primacy,
the number of permits in EPA review is expected to be reduced. The EPA
has also created resources for regulators including training series and
guidance documents to build capacity for Class VI permitting within UIC
programs across the U.S. Through state primacy for Class VI programs,
state expertise and capacity can be leveraged to support effective and
efficient permit application reviews. The IIJA established a $50
million grant program to support states, Tribes, and territories in
developing and implementing UIC Class VI programs. The EPA has
allocated $1,930,000 to each state, tribe, and territory that submitted
letters of intent.\569\
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\562\ On December 28, 2023, the EPA Administrator signed a final
rule granting Louisiana's request for primacy for UIC Class VI
junction wells located within the state. See EPA. (2023).
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Primary Enforcement Authority
for the Underground Injection Control Program. U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency. https://www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcement-authority-underground-injection-control-program-0.
\563\ Wyoming Department of Environmental Quality. (2023).
Wyoming grants its first three Class VI permits. https://deq.wyoming.gov/2023/12/wyoming-grants-its-first-three-class-vi-permits/.
\564\ Ibid.
\565\ Arnold & Porter. (2023). EPA Provides Increased
Transparency in Class VI Permitting Process; Now Incorporated in
Update to Interactive CCUS State Tracker. https://www.arnoldporter.com/en/perspectives/blogs/environmental-edge/2023/11/ccus-state-legislative-tracker.
\566\ EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control (UIC) Primary
Enforcement Authority for the Underground Injection Control Program.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. https://www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcement-authority-underground-injection-control-program-0.
\567\ Arizona Department of Environmental Quality. (2024).
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program. https://azdeq.gov/UIC.
\568\ EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control (UIC) Primary
Enforcement Authority for the Underground Injection Control Program.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. https://www.epa.gov/uic/primary-enforcement-authority-underground-injection-control-program-0.
\569\ EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control (UIC) Class VI
Grant Program. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-11/uic-class-vi-grant-fact-sheet.pdf.
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(6) Comments Received on Geologic Sequestration and Responses
The EPA received comments on geologic sequestration. Those
comments, and the EPA's responses, are as follows.
Comment: Some commenters expressed concerns that the EPA has not
demonstrated the adequacy of carbon sequestration at a commercial
scale.
Response: The EPA disagrees that commercial carbon sequestration
capacity will be inadequate to support this rule. As detailed in
section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(1), commercial geologic sequestration capacity
is growing in the United States. Multiple commercial sequestration
facilities, other than those funded under EPAct05, are in construction
or advanced development, with some scheduled to open for operation as
early as 2025.\570\ These facilities have proposed sequestration
capacities ranging from 0.03 to 6 million tons of CO2 per
year. The EPA and states with approved UIC Class VI programs (including
Wyoming, North Dakota, and Louisiana) are currently reviewing UIC Class
VI geologic sequestration well permit applications for proposed
sequestration sites in fourteen states.571 572 573 As of
March 2024, there are 44 projects with 130 injection wells are under
review by the EPA.\574\ Furthermore, the EPA anticipates that as the
demand for commercial sequestration grows, more commercial sites will
be developed in response to financial incentives.
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\570\ Global CCS Institute. (2024). Global Status of CCS 2023.
https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Global-Status-of-CCS-Report-1.pdf.
\571\ UIC regulations for Class VI wells authorize the injection
of CO2 for geologic sequestration while protecting human
health by ensuring the protection of underground sources of drinking
water. The major components to be included in UIC Class VI permits
are detailed further in section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4).
\572\ U.S. EPA Class VI Underground Injection Control (UIC)
Class VI Wells Permitted by EPA as of January 25, 2024. https://www.epa.gov/uic/table-epas-draft-and-final-class-vi-well-permits
Last updated January 19, 2024.
\573\ EPA. (2024). Current Class VI Projects under Review at
EPA. https://www.epa.gov/uic/current-class-vi-projects-under-review-epa.
\574\ Ibid.
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Comment: Some commenters expressed concern about leakage of
CO2 from sequestration sites.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the potential for some leakage of
CO2 to the atmosphere at sequestration sites (such as leaks
through valves before the CO2 reaches the injection
formation). However, as detailed in the preceding sections of preamble,
the EPA's robust UIC permitting process is adequate to protect against
CO2 escaping the authorized injection zone (and then
entering the atmosphere). As discussed in the preceding section,
leakage out of the injection zone could trigger emergency and remedial
response action including ceasing injection, possible permit
modification, and possible enforcement action. Furthermore, the GHGRP
subpart RR and subpart VV regulations prescribe accounting
methodologies for facilities to quantify and report any potential
leakage at the surface, and the EPA makes sequestration data and
related monitoring plans publicly available on its website. The
reported emissions/leakage from sequestration sites under subpart RR is
a comparatively small fraction (less than 0.5 percent) of the
associated sequestration volumes, with most of these reported emissions
attributable to leaks or vents from surface equipment.
Comment: Some commenters expressed concern over safety due to
induced seismicity.
Response: The EPA believes that the UIC program requirements
adequately address potential safety concerns with induced seismicity at
site-adjacent communities. More specifically, through the UIC Class VI
program the EPA has put in place mechanisms to identify,
[[Page 39872]]
monitor, and mitigate risks associated with induced seismicity in any
areas within or surrounding a sequestration site through permit and
program requirements, such as site characterization and monitoring, and
the requirement for applicants to demonstrate that induced seismic
activity will not endanger USDWs.\575\ See section VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4)(b)
for further discussion of mitigating induced seismicity risk. Although
the UIC Class II program does not have specific requirements regarding
seismicity, it includes discretionary authority to add additional
conditions to a UIC permit on a case-by-case basis. The EPA created a
document outlining practical approaches for UIC Directors to use to
minimize and manage injection-induced seismicity in Class II
wells.\576\ Furthermore, during site characterization, if any of the
geologic or seismic data obtained indicate a substantial likelihood of
seismic activity, further analyses, potential planned operational
changes, and additional monitoring may be required.\577\ The EPA has
the authority to require seismic monitoring as a condition of the UIC
permit if appropriate, or to deny the permit if the injection-induced
seismicity risk could endanger USDWs.
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\575\ EPA. (2018). Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide:
Underground Injection Control (UIC) Program Class VI Implementation
Manual for UIC Program Directors. EPA 816-R-18-001. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2018-01/documents/implementation_manual_508_010318.pdf.
\576\ EPA. (2015). Minimizing and Managing Potential Impacts of
Injection-Induced Seismicity from Class II Disposal Wells: Practical
Approaches. https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/documents/induced-seismicity-201502.pdf.
\577\ 40 CFR 146.82(a)(3)(v).
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Comment: Some commenters have expressed concern that the EPA has
not meaningfully engaged with historically disadvantaged and
overburdened communities who may be impacted by environmental changes
due to geologic sequestration.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that meaningful engagement with
local communities is an important step in the development of geologic
sequestration projects and has programs and public participation
requirements in place to support this process. The EPA is committed to
advancing environmental justice for overburdened communities in all its
programs, including the UIC Class VI program.\578\ The EPA's
environmental justice guidance for Class VI permitting and primacy
states that many of the expectations are broadly applicable, and EPA
Regions should apply them to the other five injection well classes,
including Class II, wherever possible.\579\ See section
VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4) for a detailed discussion of environmental justice
requirements and guidance.
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\578\ EPA. (2023). Environmental justice Guidance for UIC Class
VI Permitting and Primacy. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf
; see also EPA. Letter from the EPA Administrator Michael S. Regan
to U.S. State Governors. December 9, 2022. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-12/AD.Regan_.GOVS_.Sig_.Class%20VI.12-9-22.pdf.
\579\ EPA. (2023). Environmental Justice Guidance for UIC Class
VI Permitting and Primacy. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-08/Memo%20and%20EJ%20Guidance%20for%20UIC%20Class%20VI_August%202023.pdf
.
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Comment: Commenters expressed concern that companies are not always
in compliance with reporting requirements for subpart RR when required
for other Federal programs.
Response: The EPA recognizes the need for geologic sequestration
facilities to comply with the reporting requirements of the GHGRP, and
acknowledges that there have been instances of entities claiming
geologic sequestration under non-EPA programs (e.g., to qualify for IRC
section 45Q tax credits) while not having an EPA-approved MRV plan or
reporting data under subpart RR.\580\ The EPA does not implement the
IRC section 45Q tax credit program, and it is not privy to taxpayer
information. Thus, the EPA has no role in implementing or enforcing
these tax credit claims, and it is unclear, for example, whether these
companies would have been required by GHGRP regulations to report data
under subpart RR, or if they would have been required only by the IRC
section 45Q rules to opt-in to reporting under subpart RR. The EPA
disagrees that compliance with the GHGRP would be a problem for this
rule because the rule requires any affected unit that employs CCS
technology that captures enough CO2 to meet the proposed
standard and injects the captured CO2 underground to report
under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. Unlike the IRC section 45Q
tax credit program, which is implemented by the Internal Revenue
Service (IRS), the EPA will have the information necessary to discern
whether a facility is in compliance with any applicable GHGRP
requirements. If the emitting EGU sends the captured CO2
offsite, it must transfer the CO2 to a facility that reports
in accordance with GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. For more
information on the relationship to GHGRP requirements, see section
X.C.5 of this preamble.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\580\ Letter from U.S. Treasury Inspector General for Tax
Administration (TIGTA). (2020). https://www.menendez.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/TIGTA%20IRC%2045Q%20Response%20Letter%20FINAL%2004-15-2020.pdf.
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Comment: Commenters expressed concerns that UIC regulations allow
Class II wells to be used for long-term CO2 storage if the
operator assesses that a Class VI permit is not required and asserted
that Class II regulations are less protective than Class VI
regulations.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that Class II wells for EOR may be
used to inject CO2 including CO2 captured from an
EGU. However, the EPA disagrees that the use of Class II wells for ER
will be less protective of human health than the use of Class VI wells
for geologic sequestration. Class II wells are used only to inject
fluids associated with oil and natural gas production, and Class II ER
wells are used specifically for the injection of fluids, including
CO2, for the purpose of enhanced recovery of oil or natural
gas. The EPA's UIC Class II program is designed to prevent Class II
injection activities from endangering USDWs. Any leakage out of the
designated injection zone could pose a risk to USDWs and therefore
could be subject to enforcement action or permit modification.
Therefore, the EPA believes that UIC protections for USDWs would also
ensure that the injected CO2 is contained in the subsurface
formations. The Class II programs of states and tribes must be approved
by the EPA and must meet EPA regulatory requirements for Class II
programs, 42 U.S.C. 300h-1, or otherwise represent an effective program
to prevent endangerment of USDWs. 42 U.S.C 300h-4. The EPA's
regulations require the operator of a Class II well to obtain a Class
VI permit when operations shift to geologic sequestration and there is
consequently an increased risk to USDWs. 40 CFR 144.19. UIC Class VI
regulations require that owners or operators must show that the
injection zone has sufficient volume to contain the injected carbon
dioxide stream and report any fluid migration out of the injection zone
and into or between USDWs. 40 CFR 146.83 and 40 CFR 146.91. The EPA
emphasizes that while CO2 captured from an EGU can be
injected into a Class II ER injection well, it cannot be injected into
the other two types of Class II wells, which are Class II disposal
wells and Class II wells for the storage of hydrocarbons. 40 CFR
144.6(b).
Comment: Some commenters expressed concern that because few Class
VI permits have been issued, the EPA's current level of experience in
properly regulating and reviewing permits for these wells is limited.
[[Page 39873]]
Response: The EPA disagrees that the Agency lacks experience to
properly regulate, and review permits for Class VI injection wells. We
expect that the additional resources that have been allocated for the
Class VI program will lead to increased efficiencies in the Class VI
permitting process and timeframes. For a more detailed discussion of
Class VI permitting and timeframes, see sections VII.C.1.a.i(D)(4)(b)
and VII.C.1.a.i(D)(5) of this preamble. The EPA emphasizes that
incomplete or insufficient application materials can result in
substantially delayed permitting decisions. When the EPA receives
incomplete or insufficient permit applications, the EPA communicates
the deficiencies, waits to receive additional materials from the
applicant, and then reviews any new data. This back and forth can
result in longer permitting timeframes. The EPA therefore encourages
applicants to contact their permitting authority early on so applicants
can gain a thorough understanding of the Class VI permitting process
and the permitting authority's expectations. To assist potential permit
applicants, the EPA maintains a list of UIC contacts within each EPA
Regional Office on the Agency's website.\581\ The EPA has met with more
than 100 companies and other interested parties.
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\581\ EPA. (2023). Underground Injection Control Class VI
(Geologic Sequestration) Contact Information. https://www.epa.gov/uic/underground-injection-control-class-vi-geologic-sequestration-contact-information.
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Comment: Some commenters claimed that various legal uncertainties
preclude a finding that geologic sequestration of CO2 has
been adequately demonstrated. This concern has been raised in
particular with issues of pore space ownership and the lack of long-
term liability insurance and noted uncertainties regarding long-term
liability generally.
Response: The EPA disagrees that these uncertainties are sufficient
to prohibit the development of geologic sequestration projects. An
interagency CCS task force examined sequestration-related legal issues
thoroughly and concluded that early CCS projects could proceed under
the existing legal framework with respect to issues such as property
rights and liability.\582\ The development of CCS projects may be more
complex in certain regions, due to distinct pore space ownership
regulatory regimes at the state level, except on Federal lands.\583\
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\582\ Report of the Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture and
Storage. 2010. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/articles/ccstf-final-report.
\583\ Council on Environmental Quality Report to Congress on
Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Sequestration. 2021. https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/CEQ-CCUS-Permitting-Report.pdf.
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As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(4) of this preamble, Title
V of the FLPMA and its implementing regulations, 43 CFR part 2800,
authorize the BLM to issue ROWs to geologically sequester
CO2 in Federal pore space, including BLM ROWs for the
necessary physical infrastructure and for the use and occupancy of the
pore space itself. The BLM has published a policy defining access to
pore space on BLM lands, including clarification of Federal policy for
situations where the surface and pore space are under the control of
different Federal agencies.\584\
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\584\ National Policy for the Right-of-Way Authorizations
Necessary for Site Characterization, Capture, Transportation,
Injection, and Permanent Geologic Sequestration of Carbon Dioxide in
Connection with Carbon Sequestration Projects. BLM IM 2022-041
Instruction Memorandum, June 8, 2022. https://www.blm.gov/policy/im-2022-041.
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States have established legislation and regulations defining pore
space ownership and providing clarification to prospective users of
surface pore space. For example, in North Dakota, the surface owner
also owns the pore space underlying their surface estate.\585\ North
Dakota state courts have determined that in situations where the
surface ownership and mineral ownership have been legally severed the
mineral estate is the dominant estate and has the right to use as much
of the surface estate as reasonably necessary. The North Dakota
legislature codified this interpretation in 2019.\586\ Summit Carbon
Solutions, which is developing a carbon storage hub in North Dakota to
store an estimated one billion tons of CO2, indicated that
they had secured the majority of the pore space needed through long
term leases with landowners.\587\ Wyoming defines ownership of pore
space underlying surfaces within the state.\588\ Other states have also
established laws, implementing regulations and guidance defining
ownership and access to pore space. The EPA notes that many states are
actively enacting legislation addressing pore space ownership. See
e.g., Wyoming H.B. No. 89 (2008) (Wyo. Stat. Sec. 34-1-152); Montana
S.B. No. 498 (2009) (Mont. Code Ann. 82-11-180); North Dakota S.B. No.
2139 (2009) (N.D. Cent. Code Sec. 47-31-03); Kentucky H.B. 259 (2011)
(Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. Sec. 353.800); West Virginia H.B. 4491 (2022) (W.
Va. Code Sec. 22-11B-18); California S.B. No. 905 (2022) (Cal. Pub.
Res. Code Sec. 71462); Indiana Public Law 163 (2022) (Ind. Code Sec.
14-39-2-3); Utah H.B. 244 (2022) (Utah Code Sec. 40-6-20.5).
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\585\ ND DMR 2023. Pore Space in North Dakota. North Dakota
Department of Mineral Resources https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas/ND_DMR_Pore_Space_Information.pdf.
\586\ Ibid.
\587\ Summit Carbon Solutions. (2021). Summit Carbon Solutions
Announces Significant Carbon Storage Project Milestones. (2021).
https://summitcarbonsolutions.com/summit-carbon-solutions-announces-significant-carbon-storage-project-milestones/.
\588\ Wyo. Stat Sec. 34-1-152 (2022).
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Liability during operation is usually assumed by the project
operator, so liability concerns primarily arise after the period of
operations. Research has previously shown that the environmental risk
is greatest before injection stops.\589\ In terms of long-term
liability and permittee obligations under the SDWA, the EPA's Class VI
regulations impose various requirements on permittees even after
injection ceases, including regarding injection well plugging (40 CFR
146.92), post-injection site care (PISC), and site closure (40 CFR
146.93). The default time period for post-injection site care is 50
years, during which the permittee must monitor the position of the
CO2 plume and pressure front and demonstrate that USDWs are
not being endangered. 40 CFR 146.93. The permittee must also generally
maintain financial responsibility sufficient to cover injection well
plugging, corrective action, emergency and remedial response, PISC, and
site closure until the permitting authority approves site closure. 40
CFR 146.85(a)&(b). Even after the former permittee has fulfilled all
its UIC regulatory obligations, it may still be held liable for
previous regulatory noncompliance, such as where the permittee provided
erroneous data to support approval of site closure. A former permittee
may always be subject to an order that the EPA Administrator deems
necessary to protect public health if there is fluid migration that
causes or threatens imminent and substantial endangerment to a USDW. 42
U.S.C. 300i; 40 CFR 144.12(e).
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\589\ Benson, S.M. (2007). Carbon dioxide capture and storage:
research pathways, progress and potential. Presentation given at the
Global Climate & Energy Project Annual Symposium, October 1, 2007.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZvfRW92OqvBBAFs69SPHIWoYFGySMgtD/view.
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The EPA notes that many states are enacting legislation addressing
long term liability. See e.g., Montana S.B. No. 498 (2009) (Mont. Code
Ann. 82-11-183); Texas H.B. 1796 (2009) (Tex. Health & Safety Code Ann.
Sec. 382.508); North Dakota S.B. No. 2095 (2009) (N.D. Cent. Code
Sec. 38-22-17); Kansas H.B.
[[Page 39874]]
2418 (2010) (Kan. Stat. Ann. Sec. 55-1637(h)); Wyoming S.F. No. 47
(2022) (Wyo. Stat. Sec. Sec. 35-11-319); Louisiana H.B. 661 (2009) &
H.B. 571 (2023) (La. Stat. Ann. Sec. 30:1109). Because states are
actively working to address pore space and liability uncertainties, the
EPA does not believe these to be issues that would delay project
implementation beyond the timelines discussed in this preamble.
(E) Compliance Date for Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA proposed a January 1, 2030 compliance date for long-term
coal fired steam generating units subject to a CCS BSER. That
compliance date assumed installation of CCS was concurrent with
development of state plans. While several commenters were supportive of
the proposed compliance date, the EPA also received comments on the
proposed rule that stated that the proposed compliance date was not
achievable. Commenters referenced longer project timelines for
CO2 capture. Commenters also requested that the EPA should
account for the state plan process in determining the appropriate
compliance date.
The EPA has considered the comments and information available and
is finalizing a compliance date of January 1, 2032, for long-term coal-
fired steam generating units. The EPA is also finalizing a mechanism
for a 1-year compliance date extension in cases where a source faces
delays outside its control, as detailed in section X.C.1.d of this
preamble. The justification for the January 1, 2032 compliance date
does not require substantial work to be done during the state planning
process. Rather, the justification for the compliance date reflects the
assumption that only the initial feasibility work which is necessary to
inform the state planning process would occur during state plan
development, with the start of more substantial work beginning after
the due date for state plan submission, and a longer timeline for
installation of CCS than at proposal. In total, this allows for 6 years
and 7 months for both initial feasibility and more substantial work to
occur after issuance of this rule. This is consistent with the
approximately 6 years from start to finish for Boundary Dam Unit 3 and
Petra Nova.
The timing for installation of CCS on existing coal-fired steam
generating units is based on the baseline project schedule for the
CO2 capture plant developed by Sargent and Lundy (S&L \590\
and a review of the available information for installation of
CO2 pipelines and sequestration sites.\591\ Additional
details on the timeline are in the TSD GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units, available in the docket. The dates for
intermediate steps are for reference. The specific sequencing of steps
may differ slightly, and, for some sources, the duration of one step
may be shorter while another may be longer, however the total duration
is expected to be the same. The resulting timeline is therefore an
accurate representation of the time necessary to install CCS in
general.
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\590\ CO2 Capture Project Schedule and Operations
Memo, Sargent & Lundy (2024). Available in Docket ID EPA-HQ-OAR-
2023-0072.
\591\ Transport and Storage Timeline Summary, ICF (2024).
Available in Docket ID EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072.
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The EPA assumes that feasibility work, amounting to less than 1
year (June 2024 through June 2025) for each component of CCS (capture,
transport, and storage) occurs during the state plan development period
(June 2024 through June 2026). This feasibility work is limited to
initial conceptual design and other preliminary tasks, and the costs of
the feasibility work in general are substantially less than other
components of the project schedule. The EPA determined that it was
appropriate to assume that this work would take place during the state
plan development period because it is necessary for evaluating the
controls that the state may determine to be appropriate for a source
and is necessary for determining the resulting standard of performance
that the state may apply to the source on the basis of those controls.
In other words, without such feasibility and design work, it would be
very difficult for a state to determine whether CCS is appropriate for
a given source or the resulting standard of performance. While the EPA
accounts for up to 1 year for feasibility for the capture plant, the
S&L baseline schedule estimates this initial design activity can be
completed in 6 months. For the capture plant, feasibility includes a
preliminary technical evaluation to review the available utilities and
siting footprint for the capture plant, as well as screening of the
available capture technologies and vendors for the project, with an
associated initial economic estimate. For sequestration, in many cases,
general geologic characterization of regional areas has already been
conducted by U.S. DOE and regional initiatives; however, the EPA
assumes an up to 1 year period for a storage complex feasibility study.
For the pipeline, the feasibility includes the initial pipeline routing
analysis, taking less than 1 year. This exercise involves using
software to review existing right-of-way and other considerations to
develop an optimized pipeline route. Inputs to that analysis have been
made publicly available by DOE in NETL's Pipeline Route Planning
Database.\592\
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\592\ NETL Develops Pipeline Route Planning Database To Guide
CO2 Transport Decisions. May 31, 2023. https://netl.doe.gov/node/12580.
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When state plans are submitted 24 months after publication of the
final rule, requirements included within those state plans should be
effective at the state level. On that basis, the EPA assumes that
sources installing CCS are fully committed, and more substantial work
(e.g., FEED study for the capture plant, permitting, land use and
right-of-way acquisition) resumes in June 2026. The EPA notes, however,
that it would be possible that a source installing CCS would choose to
continue these activities as soon as the initial feasibility work is
completed even if not yet required to do so, rather than wait for state
plan submission to occur for the reasons explained in full below.
Of the components of CCS, the CO2 capture plant is the
more technically involved and time consuming, and therefore is the
primary driver for determining the compliance date. The EPA assumes
substantial work commences only after submission due date for state
plans. The S&L baseline timeline accounts for 5.78 years (301 weeks)
for final design, permitting, and installation of the CO2
capture plant. First, the EPA describes the timeline that is consistent
with the S&L baseline for substantial work. Subsequently, the EPA
describes the rationale for slight adjustments that can be made to that
timeline based upon an examination of actual project timelines.
In the S&L baseline, substantial work on the CO2 capture
plant begins with a 1-year FEED study (June 2026 to June 2027). The
information developed in the FEED study is necessary for finalizing
commercial arrangements. In the S&L baseline, the commercial
arrangements can take up to 9 months (June 2027 to March 2028).
Commercial arrangements include finalizing funding as well as
finalizing contracts with a CO2 capture technology provider
and engineering, procurement, and construction companies. The S&L
baseline accounts for 1 year for permitting, beginning when commercial
arrangements are nearly complete (December 2027 to December 2028).
After commercial arrangements are complete, a 2-year period for
engineering and procurement begins (March 2028 to March 2030).
[[Page 39875]]
Detailed engineering starts after commercial arrangements are complete
because engineers must consider details regarding the selected
CO2 capture technology, equipment providers, and
coordination with construction. Shortly after permitting is complete, 6
months of sitework (March 2029 to September 2029) occur. Sitework is
followed by 2 years of construction (July 2029 to July 2031).
Approximately 8 months prior to the completion of construction, a
roughly 14 month (60 weeks) period for startup and commissioning begins
(January 2031 to March 2032).
In many cases, the EPA believes that sources are positioned to
install CO2 capture on a slightly faster timeline than the
baseline S&L timeline detailed in the prior paragraph, because CCS
projects have been developed in a shorter timeframe. Including these
minor adjustments, the total time for detailed engineering,
procurement, construction, startup and commissioning is 4 years, which
is consistent with completed projects (Boundary Dam Unit 3 and Petra
Nova) and project schedules developed in completed FEED studies, see
the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units for
additional details. In addition, the IRC tax credits incentivize
sources to begin complying earlier to reap economic benefits earlier.
Sources that have already completed feasibility or FEED studies, or
that have FEED studies ongoing are likely to be able to have CCS fully
operational well in advance of January 1, 2032. Ongoing projects have
planned dates for commercial operation that are much earlier. For
example, Project Diamond Vault has plans to be fully operational in
2028.\593\ While the EPA assumes FEED studies start after the date for
state plan submission, in practice sources are likely to install
CO2 capture as expeditiously as practicable. Moreover, the
preceding timeline is derived from project schedules developed in the
absence of any regulatory impetus. Considering these factors, sources
have opportunities to slightly condense the duration, overlap, or
sequencing of steps so that the total duration for completing
substantial work on the capture plant is reduced by 2 months. For
example, by expediting the duration for commercial arrangements from 9
months to 7 months, reasonably assuming sources immediately begin
sitework as soon as permitting is complete, and accounting for 13
months (rather than 14) for startup and testing, the CO2
capture plant will be fully operational by January 2032. Therefore, the
EPA concludes that CO2 capture can be fully operational by
January 1, 2032. To the extent additional time is needed to take into
account the particular circumstances of a particular source, the state
may take those circumstances into account to provide a different
compliance schedule, as detailed in section X.C.2 of this preamble.
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\593\ Project Diamond Vault Overview. https://www.cleco.com/docs/default-source/diamond-vault/project_diamond_vault_overview.pdf.
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The EPA also notes that there is additional time for permitting
than described in the S&L baseline. The key permitting that affects the
timeline are air permits because of the permits' impact on the ability
to construct and operate the CCS capture equipment, in which the EPA is
the expert in. The S&L baseline assumes permitting starts after the
FEED study is complete while commercial arrangements are ongoing,
however permitting can begin earlier allowing a more extended period
for permitting. Examples of CCS permitting being completed while FEED
studies are on-going include the air permits for Project Tundra,
Baytown Energy Center, and Deer Park Energy Center. Therefore, while
the FEED study is on-going, the EPA assumes that a 2-year process for
permitting can begin.
The EPA's compliance deadline assumes that storage and pipelines
for the captured CO2 can be installed concurrently with
deployment of the capture system. Substantial work on the storage site
starts with 3 years (June 2026 to June 2029) for final site
characterization, pore-space acquisition, and permitting, including at
least 2 years for permitting of Class VI wells during that period.
Lastly, construction for sequestration takes 1 year (June 2029 to June
2030). While the EPA assumes that storage can be permitted and
constructed in 4 years, the EPA notes that there is at least an
additional 12 months of time available to complete construction of the
sequestration site without impacting progress of the other components.
The EPA assumes the substantial work on the pipeline lags the start
of substantial work on the storage site by 6 months. After the 1 year
of feasibility work prior to state plan submission, the general
timeline for the CO2 pipeline assumes up to 3 years for
final routing, permitting activities, and right-of-way acquisition
(December 2026 to December 2029). Lastly, there are 1.5 years for
pipeline construction (December 2029 to June 2031).\594\
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\594\ The summary timeline for CO2 pipelines assumes
feasibility for pipelines is 1 year, followed by 1.5 years for
permitting, with the pipeline feasibility beginning 1 year after
permitting for sequestration starts. The EPA assumes initial
pipeline feasibility occurs up-front, with a longer period for final
routing, permitting, and right-of-way acquisition.
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The EPA does not assume that CCS projects are, in general, subject
to NEPA. NEPA review is required for reasons including sources
receiving federal funding (e.g., through USDA or DOE) or projects on
federal lands. NEPA may also be triggered for a CCS project if NEPA
compliance is necessary for construction of the pipeline, such as where
necessary because of a Clean Water Act section 404 permit, or for
sequestration. Generally, if one aspect of a project is subject to
NEPA, then the other project components could be as well. In cases
where a project is subject to NEPA, an environmental assessment (EA)
that takes 1 year, can be finalized concurrently during the permitting
periods of each component of CCS (capture, pipeline, and
sequestration). However, the EPA notes that the final timeline can also
accommodate a concurrent 2-year period if an EIS were required under
NEPA across all components of the project. The EPA also notes that, in
some circumstances, NEPA review may begin prior to completion of a FEED
study. For Petra Nova, a notice of intent to issue an EIS was published
on November 14, 2011, and the record of decision was issued less than 2
years later, on May 23, 2013,\595\ while the FEED study was completed
in 2014.
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\595\ Petra Nova W.A. Parish Project. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/petra-nova-wa-parish-project.
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Based on this detailed analysis, the EPA has concluded that January
1, 2032, is an achievable compliance date for CCS on existing coal-
fired steam generating units that takes into account the state plan
development period, as well as the technical and bureaucratic steps
necessary to install and implement CCS and is consistent with other
expert estimates and real-world experience.
(F) Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units Potentially Subject to
This Rule
In this section of the preamble, the EPA estimates the size of the
inventory of coal-fired power plants in the long-term subcategory
likely subject to CCS as the BSER. Considering that capacity, the EPA
also describes the distance to storage for those sources.
(1) Capacity of Units Potentially Subject to This Rule
First, the EPA estimates the total capacity of units that are
currently operating and that have not announced plans to retire by
2039, or to cease firing
[[Page 39876]]
coal by 2030. Starting from that first estimate, the EPA then estimates
the capacity of units that would likely be subject to the CCS
requirement, based on unit age, industry trends, and economic factors.
Currently, there are 181 GW of coal-fired steam generating
units.\596\ About half of that capacity, totaling 87 GW, have announced
plans to retire before 2039, and an additional 13 GW have announced
plans to cease firing coal by that time. The remaining amount, 81 GW,
are likely to be the most that could potentially be subject to
requirements based on CCS.
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\596\ EIA December 2023 Preliminary Monthly Electric Generator
Inventory. https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860m/.
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However, the capacity of affected coal-fired steam generating units
that would ultimately be subject to a CCS BSER is likely approximately
40 GW. This determination is supported by several lines of analysis of
the historical data on the size of the fleet over the past several
years. Historical trends in the coal-fired generation fleet are
detailed in section IV.D.3 of this preamble. As coal-fired units age,
they become less efficient and therefore the costs of their electricity
go up, rendering them even more competitively disadvantaged. Further,
older sources require additional investment to replace worn parts.
Those circumstances are likely to continue through the 2030s and beyond
and become more pronounced. These factors contribute to the historical
changes in the size of the fleet.
One way to analyze historical changes in the size of the fleet is
based on unit age. As the average age of the coal-fired fleet has
increased, many sources have ceased operation. From 2000 to 2022, the
average age of a unit that retired was 53 years. At present, the
average age of the operating fleet is 45 years. Of the 81 GW that are
presently operating and that have not announced plans to retire or
convert to gas prior to 2039, 56 GW will be 53 years or older by
2039.\597\
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\597\ 81 GW is derived capacity, plant type, and retirement
dates as represented in EPA NEEDS database. Total amount of covered
capacity in this category may ultimately be slightly less
(approximately) due to CHP-related exemptions.
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Another line of analysis is based on the rate of change of the size
of the fleet. The final TSD, Power Sector Trends, available in the
rulemaking docket, includes analysis showing sharp and steady decline
in the total capacity of the coal-fired steam generating fleet. Over
the last 15 years (2009-2023), average annual coal retirements have
been 8 GW/year. Projecting that retirements will continue at
approximately the same pace from now until 2039 is reasonable because
the same circumstances will likely continue or accelerate further given
the incentives under the IRA. Applying this level of annual retirement
would result in 45 GW of coal capacity continuing to operate by 2039.
Alternatively, the TSD also includes a graph that shows what the fleet
would look like assuming that coal units without an announced
retirement date retire at age 53 (the average retirement age of units
over the 2000-2022 period). It shows that the amount of coal-fired
capacity that remains in operation by 2039 is 38 GW.
The EPA also notes that it is often the case that coal-fired units
announce that they plan to retire only a few years in advance of the
retirement date. For instance, of the 15 GW of coal-fired EGUs that
reported a 2022 retirement year in DOE's EIA Form 860, only 0.5 GW of
that capacity had announced its retirements plans when reporting in to
the same EIA-860 survey 5 years earlier, in 2017.\598\ Thus, although
many coal-fired units have already announced plans to retire before
2039, it is likely that many others may anticipate retiring by that
date but have not yet announced it.
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\598\ The survey Form EIA-860 collects generator-level specific
information about existing and planned generators and associated
environmental equipment at electric power plants with 1 megawatt or
greater of combined nameplate capacity. Data available at https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860/.
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Finally, the EPA observes that modeling the baseline circumstances,
absent this final rule, shows additional retirements of coal-fired
steam generating units. At the end of 2022, there were 189 GW of coal
active in the U.S. By 2039, the IPM baseline projects that there will
be 42 GW of operating coal-fired capacity (not including coal-to-gas
conversions). Between 2023-2039, 95 GW of coal capacity have announced
retirement and an additional 13 have announced they will cease firing
coal. Thus, of the 81 GW that have not announced retirement or
conversion to gas by 2039, the IPM baseline projects 39 GW will retire
by 2039 due to economic reasons.
For all these reasons, the EPA considers that it is realistic to
expect that 42 GW of coal-fired generating will be operating by 2039--
based on announced retirements, historical trends, and model
projections--and therefore constitutes the affected sources in the
long-term subcategory that would be subject to requirements based on
CCS. It should be noted that the EPA does not consider the above
analysis to predict with precision which units will remain in operation
by 2039. Rather, the two sets of sources should be considered to be
reasonably representative of the inventory of sources that are likely
to remain in operation by 2039, which is sufficient for purposes of the
BSER analysis that follows.
(2) Distance to Storage for Units Potentially Subject to This Rule
The EPA believes that it is conservative to assume that all 81 GW
of capacity with planned operation during or after 2039 would need to
construct pipelines to connect to sequestration sites. As detailed in
section VII.B.2 of this preamble, the EPA is finalizing an exemption
for coal-fired sources permanently ceasing operation by January 1,
2032. About 42 percent (34 GW) of the existing coal-fired steam
generation capacity that is currently in operation and has not
announced plans to retire prior to 2039 will be 53 years or older by
2032. As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(F), from 2000 to 2022, the
average age of a coal unit that retired was 53 years old. Therefore,
the EPA anticipates that approximately 34 GW of the total capacity may
permanently cease operation by 2032 despite not having yet announced
plans to do so. Furthermore, of the coal-fired steam generation
capacity that has not announced plans to cease operation before 2039
and is further than 100 km (62 miles) of a potential saline
sequestration site, 45 percent (7 GW) will be over 53 years old in
2032. Therefore, it is possible that much of the capacity that is
further than 100 km (62 miles) of a saline sequestration site and has
not announced plans to retire will permanently cease operation due to
age before 2032 and thus the rule would not apply to them. Similarly,
of the coal-fired steam generation capacity that has not announced
plans to cease operation before 2039 and is further than 160 km (100
miles) of a potential saline sequestration site, 56 percent (4 GW) will
be over 53 years old in 2032. Therefore, the EPA notes that it is
possible that the majority of capacity that is further than 160 km (100
miles) of a saline sequestration and has not announced plans to retire
site will permanently cease operation due to age before 2032 and thus
be exempt from the requirements of this rule.
The EPA also notes that a majority (56 GW) of the existing coal-
fired steam generation capacity that is currently in operation and has
not announced plans to permanently cease operation prior to 2039 will
be 53 years or older by 2039. Of the coal-fired steam generation
capacity with planned operation during
[[Page 39877]]
or after 2039 that is not located within 100 km (62 miles) of a
potential saline sequestration site, the majority (58 percent or 9 GW)
of the units will be 53 years or older in 2039.\599\ Consequently, the
EPA believes that many of these units may permanently cease operation
due to age prior to 2039 despite not at this point having announced
specific plans to do so, and thereby would likely not be subject to a
CCS BSER.
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\599\ Sequestration potential as it relates to distance from
existing resources is a key part of the EPA's regular power sector
modeling development, using data from DOE/NETL studies. For details,
please see chapter 6 of the IPM documentation available at:. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/chapter-6-co2-capture-storage-and-transport.pdf.
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(G) Resources and Workforce To Install CCS
Sufficient resources and an available workforce are required for
installation and operation of CCS. Raw materials necessary for CCS are
generally available and include common commodities such as steel and
concrete for construction of the capture plant, pipelines, and storage
wells.
Drawing on data from recently published studies, the DOE completed
an order-of-magnitude assessment of the potential requirements for
specialized equipment and commodity materials for retrofitting existing
U.S. coal-fueled EGUs with CCS.\600\ Specialized equipment analyzed
included absorbers, strippers, heat exchangers, and compressors.
Commodity materials analyzed included monoethanolamine (MEA) solvent
for carbon capture, triethylene glycol (TEG) for carbon dioxide drying,
and steel and cement for construction of certain aspects of the CCS
value chain.\601\ The DOE analyzed one scenario in which 42 GW of coal-
fueled EGUs are retrofitted with CCS and a second scenario in which 73
GW of coal-fueled EGUs are retrofitted with CCS.\602\ The analysis
determined that in both scenarios, the maximum annual commodity
requirements to construct and operate the CCS systems are likely to be
much less than their respective global production rates. The maximum
requirements are expected to be at least one order of magnitude lower
than global annual production for all of the commodities considered
except MEA, which was estimated to be approximately 14 percent of
global annual production in the 42 GW scenario and approximately 24
percent of global annual production in the 73 GW scenario.\603\ For
steel and cement, the maximum annual requirements are also expected to
be at least one order of magnitude lower than U.S. annual production
rates. Finally, the DOE analysis determined that it is unlikely that
the deployment scenarios would encounter any bottlenecks in the
supplies of specialized equipment (absorbers, strippers, heat
exchangers, and compressors) because of the large pool of potential
suppliers.
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\600\ DOE. Material Requirements for Carbon Capture and Storage
Retrofits on Existing Coal-Fueled Electric Generating Units. https://www.energy.gov/policy/articles/material-requirements-carbon-capture-and-storage-retrofits-existing-coal-fueled.
\601\ Steel requirements were assessed for carbon capture,
transport and storage, but cement requirements were only assessed
for capture and storage.
\602\ DOE analyzed the resources--including specialized
equipment, commodity materials, and, as discussed below, workforce,
necessary for 73 GW of coal capacity to install CCS because that is
the amount that has not announced plans to retire by January 1,
2040. As indicated in the final TSD, Power Sector Trends, a somewhat
larger amount--81 GW--has not announced plans to retire or cease
firing coal by January 1, 2039, and it is this latter amount that is
the maximum that, at least in theory, could be subject to the CCS
requirement. DOE's conclusions that sufficient resources are
available also hold true for the larger amount.
\603\ Although the assessment assumed that all of the CCS
deployments would utilize MEA-based carbon capture technologies,
future CCS deployments could potentially use different solvents, or
capture technologies that do not use solvents, e.g., membranes,
sorbents. A number of technology providers have solvents that are
commercially available, as detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3) of
this preamble. In addition, a 2022 DOE carbon capture supply chain
assessment concluded that common amines used in carbon capture have
robust and resilient supply chains that could be rapidly scaled,
with low supply chain risk associated with the main inputs for
scale-up. See U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Supply Chain Deep
Dive Assessment: Carbon Capture, Transport & Storage. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-02/Carbon%20Capture%20Supply%20Chain%20Report%20-%20Final.pdf.
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The workforce necessary for installing and operating CCS is readily
available. The required workforce includes construction, engineering,
manufacturing, and other skilled labor (e.g., electrical, plumbing, and
mechanical trades). The existing workforce is well positioned to meet
the demand for installation and operation of CCS. Many of the skills
needed to build and operate carbon capture plants are similar to those
used by workers in existing industries, and this experience can be
leveraged to support the workforce needed to deploy CCS. In addition,
government programs, industry workforce investments, and IRC section
45Q prevailing wage and apprenticeship provisions provide additional
significant support to workforce development and demonstrate that the
CCS industry likely has the capacity to train and expand the available
workforce to meet future needs.\604\
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\604\ DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal Carbon Capture
Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coal-carbon-capture-retrofits.
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Overall, quantitative estimates of workforce needs indicates that
the total number of jobs needed for deploying CCS on coal power plants
is significantly less than the size of the existing workforce in
adjacent occupations with transferrable skills in the electricity
generation and fuels industries. The majority of direct jobs,
approximately 90 percent, are expected to be in the construction of
facilities, which tend to be project-based. The remaining 10 percent of
jobs are expected to be tied to ongoing facility operations and
maintenance.\605\ Recent project-level estimates bear this out. The
Boundary Dam CCS facility in Canada employed 1,700 people at peak
construction.\606\ A recent workforce projection estimates average
annual jobs related to investment in carbon capture retrofits at coal
power plants could range from 1,070 to 1,600 jobs per plant. A DOE
memorandum estimates that 71,400 to 107,100 average annual jobs
resulting from CCS project investments--across construction, project
management, machinery installers, sales representatives, freight, and
engineering occupations--would likely be needed over a five-year
construction period \607\ to deploy CCS at
[[Page 39878]]
a subset of coal power plants. The memorandum further estimates that
116,200 to 174,300 average annual jobs would likely be needed if CCS
were deployed at all coal-fired EGUs that currently have no firm
commitment to retire or convert to natural gas by 2040.\608\ For
comparison, the DOE memorandum further categorizes potential workforce
needs by occupation, and estimates 11,420 to 27,890 annual jobs for
construction trade workers, while the U.S. Energy and Employment Report
estimates that electric power generation and fuels accounted for more
than 292,000 construction jobs in 2022, which is an order of magnitude
greater than the potential workforce needs for CCS deployment under
this rule. Overall energy-related construction activities across the
entire energy industry accounted for nearly 2 million jobs, or 25
percent of all construction jobs in 2022, indicating that there is a
very large pool of workers potentially available.\609\
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\605\ Ibid.
\606\ SaskPower, ``SaskPower CCS.'' https://unfccc.int/files/bodies/awg/application/pdf/01_saskatchewan_environment_micheal_monea.pdf. For corroboration, we
note similar employment numbers for two EPAct-05 assisted projects:
Petra Nova estimated it would need approximately 1,100 construction-
related jobs and up to 20 jobs for ongoing operations. National
Energy Technology Laboratory and U.S. Department of Energy. W.A.
Parish Post-Combustion CO2 Capture and Sequestration Project, Final
Environmental Impact Statement. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/EIS-0473-FEIS-Summary-2013_1.pdf. Project Tundra
projects a peak labor force of 600 to 700. National Energy
Technology Laboratory and U.S. Department of Energy. Draft
Environmental Assessment for North Dakota CarbonSAFE: Project
Tundra. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2023-08/draft-ea-2197-nd-carbonsafe-chapters-2023-08.pdf.
\607\ For the purposes of evaluating the actual workforce and
resources necessary for installation of CCS, the five-year
assumption in the DOE memo is reasonable. The representative
timeline for CCS includes an about 3-year period for construction
activities (including site work, construction, and startup and
testing) across the components of CCS (capture, pipeline, and
sequestration), beginning at the end of 2028. Many sources are well
positioned to install CCS, having already completed feasibility
work, FEED studies, and/or permitting, and could thereby reasonably
start construction activities (still 3-years in duration) by the
beginning of 2028 or earlier and, as a practical matter, would
likely do so notwithstanding the requirements of this rule given the
strong economic incentives provided by the tax credit. The
representative timeline also makes conservative assumptions about
the pre-construction activities for pipelines and sequestration, and
for many sources construction of those components could occur
earlier. Finally, to provide greater regulatory certainty and
incentivize the installation of controls, the EPA is finalizing a
limited one-year compliance date extension mechanism for certain
circumstances as detailed in section X.C.1.d of the preamble, and it
would also be reasonable to assume that, in practice, some sources
use that mechanism. Considering these factors, evaluating workforce
and resource requirements over a five-year period is reasonable.
\608\ DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal Carbon Capture
Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coal-carbon-capture-retrofits.
\609\ U.S. Department of Energy. United States Energy &
Employment Report 2023. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2023-06/2023%20USEER%20REPORT-v2.pdf.
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As noted in section VII.C.1.a.i(F), the EPA determined that the
population of sources without announced plans to cease operation or
discontinue coal-firing by 2039, and that is therefore potentially
subject to a CCS BSER, is not more than 81 GW, as indicated in the
final TSD, Power Sector Trends. The DOE CCS Commodity Materials and
Workforce Memos evaluated material resource and workforce needs for a
similar capacity (about 73 GW), and determined that the resources and
workforce available are more than sufficient, in most cases by an order
of magnitude. Considering these factors, and the similar scale of the
population of sources considered, the EPA therefore concludes that the
workforce and resources available are more than sufficient to meet the
demands of coal-fired steam generating units potentially subject to a
CCS BSER.
(H) Determination That CCS Is ``Adequately Demonstrated''
As discussed in detail in section V.C.2.b, pursuant to the text,
context, legislative history, and judicial precedent interpreting CAA
section 111(a)(1), a technology is ``adequately demonstrated'' if there
is sufficient evidence that the EPA may reasonably conclude that a
source that applies the technology will be able to achieve the
associated standard of performance under the reasonably expected
operating circumstances. Specifically, an adequately demonstrated
standard of performance may reflect the EPA's reasonable expectation of
what that particular system will achieve, based on analysis of
available data from individual commercial scale sources, and, if
necessary, identifying specific available technological improvements
that are expected to improve performance.\610\ The law is clear in
establishing that at the time a section 111 rule is promulgated, the
system that the EPA establishes as BSER need not be in widespread use.
Instead, the EPA's responsibility is to determine that the demonstrated
technology can be implemented at the necessary scale in a reasonable
period of time, and to base its requirements on this understanding.
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\610\ A line of cases establishes that the EPA may extrapolate
based on its findings and project technological improvements in a
variety of ways. First, the EPA may reasonably extrapolate from
testing results to predict a lower emissions rate than has been
regularly achieved in testing. See Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus,
486 F.2d 427, 433 (D.C. Cir. 1973). Second, the EPA may forecast
technological improvements allowing a lower emissions rate or
effective control at larger plants than those previously subject to
testing, provided the agency has adequate knowledge about the needed
changes to make a reasonable prediction. See Sierra Club v. Costle
657 F.2d 298 (1981). Third, the EPA may extrapolate based on testing
at a particular kind of source to conclude that the technology at
issue will also be effective at a different, related, source. See
Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
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In this case, the EPA acknowledged in the proposed rule, and
reaffirms now, that sources will require some amount of time to install
CCS. Installing CCS requires the building of capture facilities and
pipelines to transport captured CO2 to sequestration sites,
and the development of sequestration sites. This is true for both
existing coal plants, which will need to retrofit CCS, and new gas
plants, which must incorporate CCS into their construction planning. As
the EPA explained at proposal, D.C. Circuit caselaw supports this
approach.\611\ Moreover, the EPA has determined that there will be
sufficient resources for all coal-fired power plants that are
reasonably expected to be operating as of January 1, 2039, to install
CCS. Nothing in the comments alters the EPA's view of the relevant
legal requirements related to the EPA's determination of time necessary
to allow for adoption of the system.
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\611\ There, EPA cited Portland Cement v. Ruckelshaus, for the
proposition that ``D.C. Circuit caselaw supports the proposition
that CAA section 111 authorizes the EPA to determine that controls
qualify as the BSER--including meeting the `adequately demonstrated'
criterion--even if the controls require some amount of `lead time,'
which the court has defined as `the time in which the technology
will have to be available.' '' See New Source Performance Standards
for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed
Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions From Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy Rule, 88
FR 33240, 33289 (May 23, 2023) (quoting Portland Cement Ass'n v.
Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375, 391 (D.C. Cir. 1973)).
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With all of the above in mind, the preceding sections show that CCS
technology with 90 percent capture is clearly adequately demonstrated
for coal-fired steam generating units, that the 90 percent standard is
achievable,\612\ and that it is reasonable for the EPA to determine
that CCS can be deployed at the necessary scale in the compliance
timeframe.
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\612\ The concepts of ``adequately demonstrated'' and
``achievable'' are closely related. As the D.C. Circuit explained in
Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, ``[i]t is the system which must be
adequately demonstrated and the standard which must be achievable.''
486 F.2d 427, 433 (1973).
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(1) EPAct05
In the proposal, the EPA noted that in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA had
considered coal-fired industrial projects that had installed at least
some components of CCS technology. In doing so, the EPA recognized that
some of those projects had received assistance in the form of grants,
loan guarantees, and Federal tax credits for investment in ``clean coal
technology,'' under provisions of the Energy Policy Act of 2005
(``EPAct05''). See 80 FR 64541-42 (October 23, 2015). (The EPA refers
to projects that received assistance under that legislation as
``EPAct05-assisted projects.'') The EPA further recognized that the
EPAct05 included provisions that constrained how the EPA could rely on
EPAct05-assisted projects in determining whether technology is
adequately demonstrated for the purposes of CAA section 111.\613\
[[Page 39879]]
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA went on to provide a legal interpretation of
those constraints. Under that legal interpretation, ``these provisions
[in the EPAct05] . . . preclude the EPA from relying solely on the
experience of facilities that received [EPAct05] assistance, but [do]
not . . . preclude the EPA from relying on the experience of such
facilities in conjunction with other information.'' \614\ Id. at 64541-
42. In this action, the EPA is adhering to the interpretation of these
provisions that it announced in the 2015 NSPS.
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\613\ The relevant EPAct05 provisions include the following:
Section 402(i) of the EPAct05, codified at 42 U.S.C. 15962(a),
provides as follows: ``No technology, or level of emission
reduction, solely by reason of the use of the technology, or the
achievement of the emission reduction, by 1 or more facilities
receiving assistance under this Act, shall be considered to be
adequately demonstrated [ ] for purposes of section 111 of the Clean
Air Act. . . .'' IRC section 48A(g), as added by EPAct05 1307(b),
provides as follows: ``No use of technology (or level of emission
reduction solely by reason of the use of the technology), and no
achievement of any emission reduction by the demonstration of any
technology or performance level, by or at one or more facilities
with respect to which a credit is allowed under this section, shall
be considered to indicate that the technology or performance level
is adequately demonstrated [ ] for purposes of section 111 of the
Clean Air Act. . . .'' Section 421(a) states: ``No technology, or
level of emission reduction, shall be treated as adequately
demonstrated for purpose [sic] of section 7411 of this title, . . .
solely by reason of the use of such technology, or the achievement
of such emission reduction, by one or more facilities receiving
assistance under section 13572(a)(1) of this title.''
\614\ In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA adopted several other legal
interpretations of these EPAct05 provisions as well. See 80 FR 64541
(October 23, 2015).
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Some commenters criticized the legal interpretation that the EPA
advanced in the 2015 NSPS, and others supported the interpretation. The
EPA has responded to these comments in the Response to Comments
Document, available in the docket for this rulemaking.
ii. Costs
The EPA has analyzed the costs of CCS for existing coal-fired long-
term steam generating units, including costs for CO2
capture, transport, and sequestration. The EPA has determined costs of
CCS for these sources are reasonable. The EPA also evaluated costs
assuming shorter amortization periods. As elsewhere in this section of
the preamble, costs are presented in 2019 dollars. In sum, the costs of
CCS are reasonable under a variety of metrics. The costs of CCS are
reasonable as compared to the costs of other controls that the EPA has
required for these sources. And the costs of CCS are reasonable when
looking to the dollars per ton of CO2 reduced. The
reasonableness of CCS as an emission control is further reinforced by
the fact that some sources are projected to install CCS even in the
absence of any EPA rule addressing CO2 emissions--11 GW of
coal-fired EGUs install CCS in the modeling base case.
Specifically, the EPA assessed the average cost of CCS for the
fleet of coal-fired steam generating units with no announced retirement
or gas conversion prior to 2039. In evaluating costs, the EPA accounts
for the IRC section 45Q tax credit of $85/metric ton (assumes
prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements are met), a detailed
discussion of which is provided in section VII.C.1.a.ii(C) of this
preamble. The EPA also accounts for increases in utilization that will
occur for units that apply CCS due to the incentives provided by the
IRC section 45Q tax credit. In other words, because the IRC section 45Q
tax credit provides a significant economic benefit, sources that apply
CCS will have a strong economic incentive to increase utilization and
run at higher capacity factors than occurred historically. This
assumption is confirmed by the modeling, which projects that sources
that install CCS run at a high capacity factor--generally, about 80
percent or even higher. The EPA notes that the NETL Baseline study
assumes 85 percent as the default capacity factor assumption for coal
CCS retrofits, noting that coal plants in market conditions supporting
baseload operation have demonstrated the ability to operate at annual
capacity factors of 85 percent or higher.\615\ This assumption is also
supported by observations of wind generators who receive the IRC
section 45 production tax credit who continue to operate even during
periods of negative power prices.\616\ Therefore, the EPA assessed the
costs for CCS retrofitted to existing coal-fired steam generating units
assuming an 80 percent annual capacity factor. Assuming an 80 percent
capacity factor and 12-year amortization period,\617\ the average costs
of CCS for the fleet are -$5/ton of CO2 reduced or -$4/MWh
of generation. Assuming at least a 12-year amortization period is
reasonable because any unit that installs CCS and seeks to maximize its
profitability will be incentivized to recoup the full value of the 12-
year tax credit.
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\615\ See Exhibit 2-18. https://netl.doe.gov/projects/files/CostAndPerformanceBaselineForFossilEnergyPlantsVolume1BituminousCoalAndNaturalGasToElectricity_101422.pdf.
\616\ If those generators were not receiving the tax credit,
they otherwise would cease producing power during those periods and
result in a lower overall capacity factor. As noted by EIA, ``Wind
plants can offer negative prices because of the revenue stream that
results from the federal production tax credit, which generates tax
benefits whenever the wind plant is producing electricity, and
payments from state renewable portfolio or financial incentive
programs. These alternative revenue streams make it possible for
wind generators to offer their wind power into the wholesale
electricity market at prices lower than other generators, and even
at negative prices.'' https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=16831.
\617\ A 12-year amortization period is consistent with the
period of time during which the IRC section 45Q tax credit can be
claimed.
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Therefore for long-term coal-fired steam generating units--ones
that operate after January 1, 2039--the costs of CCS are similar or
better than the representative costs of controls detailed in section
VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this preamble (i.e., costs for SCRs and FGDs on EGUs
of $10.60 to $18.50/MWh and the costs in the 2016 NSPS regulating GHGs
for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category of $98/ton of
CO2e reduced (80 FR 56627; September 18, 2015)).
The EPA also evaluated the costs for shorter amortization periods,
considering the $/MWh and $/ton metrics, as well as other cost
indicators, as described in section VII.C.1.a.ii.(D). Specifically,
with an initial compliance date of January 1, 2032, sources operating
through the end of 2039 have at least 8 years to amortize costs. For an
80 percent capacity factor and an 8-year amortization period, the
average costs of CCS for the fleet are $19/ton of CO2
reduced or $18/MWh of generation; these costs are comparable to those
costs that the EPA has previously determined to be reasonable. Sources
operating through the end of 2040, 2041, and beyond (i.e., sources with
9, 10, or more years to amortize the costs of CCS) have even more
favorable average costs per MWh and per ton of CO2 reduced.
Sources ceasing operation by January 1, 2039, have 7 years to amortize
costs. For an 80 percent capacity factor and a 7-year amortization
period, the fleet average costs are $29/ton of CO2 reduced
or $28/MWh of generation; these average costs are less comparable on a
$/MWh of generation basis to those costs the EPA has previously
determined to be reasonable, but substantially lower than costs the EPA
has previously determined to be reasonable on a $/ton of CO2
reduced basis. The EPA further notes that the costs presented are
average costs for the fleet. For a substantial amount of capacity,
costs assuming a 7-year amortization period are comparable to those
costs the EPA has previously determined to be reasonable on both a $/
MWh basis (i.e., less than $18.50/MWh) and a $/ton basis (i.e. less
than $98/ton CO2e),\618\ and the EPA concludes that a substantial
amount of capacity can install CCS at reasonable cost with a 7-year
amortization
[[Page 39880]]
period.\619\ Considering that a significant number of sources can cost
reasonably install CCS even assuming a 7-year amortization period, the
EPA concludes that sources operating in 2039 should be subject to a CCS
BSER,\620\ and for this reason, is finalizing the date of January 1,
2039 as the dividing line between the medium-term and long-term
subcategories. Moreover, the EPA underscores that given the strong
economic incentives of the IRC section 45Q tax credit, sources that
install CCS will have strong economic incentives to operate at high
capacity for the full 12 years that the tax credit is available.
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\618\ See the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units for additional details.
\619\ As indicated in section 4.7.5 of the final TSD, Greenhouse
Gas Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units, 24 percent of
all coal-fired steam generating units in the long-term subcategory
would have CCS costs below both $18.50/MWh and $98/ton of
CO2 with a 7-year amortization period (Table 11), and
that amount increases to 40 percent for those coal-fired units that,
in light of their age and efficiency, are most likely to operate in
the long term (and thus be subject to the CCS-based standards of
performance) (Table 12). In addition, of the 9 units in the NEEDS
data base that have announced plans to retire in 2039, and that
therefore would have a 7-year amortization period if they installed
CCS by January 1, 2032, 6 would have costs below both $18.50/MWh and
$98/ton of CO2.
\620\ The EPA determines the BSER based on considering
information on the statutory factors, including cost, on a source
category or subcategory basis. However, there may be particular
sources for which, based on source-specific considerations, the cost
of CCS is fundamentally different from the costs the EPA considered
in making its BSER determination. If such a fundamental difference
makes it unreasonable for a particular source to achieve the degree
of emission limitation associated with implementing CCS with 90
percent capture, a state may provide a less stringent standard of
performance (and/or longer compliance schedule, if applicable) for
that source pursuant to the RULOF provisions. See section X.C.2 of
this preamble for further discussion.
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As discussed in the RTC section 2.16, the EPA has also examined the
reasonableness of the costs of this rule in additional ways:
considering the total annual costs of the rule as compared to past CAA
rules for the electricity sector and as compared to the industry's
annual revenues and annual capital expenditures, and considering the
effects of this rule on electricity prices. Taking all of these into
consideration, in addition to the cost metrics just discussed, the EPA
concludes that, in general, the costs of CCS are reasonable for sources
operating after January 1, 2039.
(A) Capture Costs
The EPA developed an independent engineering cost assessment for
CCS retrofits, with support from Sargent and Lundy.\621\ The EPA cost
analysis assumes installation of one CO2 capture plant for
each coal-fired EGU, and that sources without SO2 controls
(FGD) or NOX controls (specifically, selective catalytic
reduction--SCR; or selective non-catalytic reduction--SNCR) add a wet
FGD and/or SCR.\622\
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\621\ Detailed cost information, assessment of technology
options, and demonstration of cost reasonableness can be found in
the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
\622\ Whether an FGD and SCR or controls with lower costs are
necessary for flue gas pretreatment prior to the CO2
capture process will in practice depend on the flue gas conditions
of the source.
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(B) CO2 Transport and Sequestration Costs
To calculate the costs of CCS for coal-fired steam generating units
for purposes of determining BSER as well as for EPA modeling, the EPA
relied on transportation and storage costs consistent with the cost of
transporting and storing CO2 from each power plant to the
nearest saline reservoir.\623\ For a power plant composed of multiple
coal-fired EGUs, the EPA's cost analysis assumes installation and
operation of a single, common CO2 pipeline.
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\623\ For additional details on CO2 transport and
storage costs, see the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units.
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The EPA notes that NETL has also developed costs for transport and
storage. NETL's ``Quality Guidelines for Energy System Studies; Carbon
Dioxide Transport and Sequestration Costs in NETL Studies'' provides an
estimation of transport costs based on the CO2 Transport
Cost Model.\624\ The CO2 Transport Cost Model estimates
costs for a single point-to-point pipeline. Estimated costs reflect
pipeline capital costs, related capital expenditures, and operations
and maintenance costs.\625\
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\624\ Grant, T., et al. (2019). ``Quality Guidelines for Energy
System Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport and Storage Costs in NETL
Studies.'' National Energy Technology Laboratory. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
\625\ Grant, T., et al. ``Quality Guidelines for Energy System
Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport and Storage Costs in NETL
Studies.'' National Energy Technology Laboratory. 2019. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
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NETL's Quality Guidelines also provide an estimate of sequestration
costs. These costs reflect the cost of site screening and evaluation,
permitting and construction costs, the cost of injection wells, the
cost of injection equipment, operation and maintenance costs, pore
volume acquisition expense, and long-term liability protection.
Permitting and construction costs also reflect the regulatory
requirements of the UIC Class VI program and GHGRP subpart RR for
geologic sequestration of CO2 in deep saline formations.
NETL calculates these sequestration costs on the basis of generic plant
locations in the Midwest, Texas, North Dakota, and Montana, as
described in the NETL energy system studies that utilize the coal found
in Illinois, East Texas, Williston, and Powder River basins.\626\
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\626\ National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL). (2017).
``FE/NETL CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model (2017),'' U.S.
Department of Energy, DOE/NETL-2018-1871. https://netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=2403.
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There are two primary cost drivers for a CO2
sequestration project: the rate of injection of the CO2 into
the reservoir and the areal extent of the CO2 plume in the
reservoir. The rate of injection depends, in part, on the thickness of
the reservoir and its permeability. Thick, permeable reservoirs provide
for better injection and fewer injection wells. The areal extent of the
CO2 plume depends on the sequestration capacity of the
reservoir. Thick, porous reservoirs with a good sequestration
coefficient will present a small areal extent for the CO2
plume and have a smaller monitoring footprint, resulting in lower
monitoring costs. NETL's Quality Guidelines model costs for a given
cumulative sequestration potential.\627\
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\627\ Details on CO2 transportation and sequestration
costs can be found in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units.
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In addition, provisions in the IIJA and IRA are expected to
significantly increase the CO2 pipeline infrastructure and
development of sequestration sites, which, in turn, are expected to
result in further cost reductions for the application of CCS at new
combined cycle EGUs. The IIJA establishes a new Carbon Dioxide
Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation program to provide
direct loans, loan guarantees, and grants to CO2
infrastructure projects, such as pipelines, rail transport, ships and
barges.\628\ The IIJA also establishes a new Regional Direct Air
Capture Hubs program that includes funds to support four large-scale,
regional direct air capture hubs and more broadly support projects that
could be developed into a regional or inter-regional network to
facilitate sequestration or utilization.\629\ DOE is additionally
implementing IIJA section 40305 (Carbon Storage Validation and Testing)
through its CarbonSAFE initiative, which aims to further develop
geographically widespread, commercial-scale, safe sequestration.\630\
The IRA increases and
[[Page 39881]]
extends the IRC section 45Q tax credit, discussed next.
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\628\ Department of Energy. ``Biden-Harris Administration
Announces $2 Billion from Bipartisan Infrastructure Law to Finance
Carbon Dioxide Transportation Infrastructure.'' (2022). https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harris-administration-announces-2-billion-bipartisan-infrastructure-law-finance.
\629\ Department of Energy. ``Regional Direct Air Capture
Hubs.'' (2022). https://www.energy.gov/oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
\630\ For more information, see the NETL announcement. https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/12405.
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(C) IRC Section 45Q Tax Credit
In determining the cost of CCS, the EPA is taking into account the
tax credit provided under IRC section 45Q, as revised by the IRA. The
tax credit is available at $85/metric ton ($77/ton) and offsets a
significant portion of the capture, transport, and sequestration costs
noted above.
Several other aspects of the tax credit should be noted. A tax
credit offsets tax liability dollar for dollar up to the amount of the
taxpayer's tax liability. Any credits in excess of the taxpayer's
liability are eligible to be carried back (3 years in the case of IRC
section 45Q) and then carried forward up to 20 years.\631\As noted
above, the IRA also enabled additional methods to monetize tax credits
in the event the taxpayer does not have sufficient tax liability, such
as through credit transfer.
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\631\ IRC section 39.
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The EPA has determined that it is likely that EGUs installing CCS
will meet the 45Q prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements.
First, the requirements provide a significant economic incentive,
increasing the value of the 45Q credit by five times over the base
value of the credit available if the prevailing wage and apprenticeship
requirements are not met. This provides a significant incentive to meet
the requirements. Second, the increased cost of meeting the
requirements is likely significantly less than the increase in credit
value. A recent EPRI assessment found meeting the requirements for
other types of power generation projects resulted in significant
savings across projects,\632\ and other studies indicate prevailing
wage laws and requirements for construction projects in general do not
significantly affect overall construction costs.\633\ The EPA expects a
similar dynamic for 45Q projects. Third, the use of registered
apprenticeship programs for training new employees is generally well-
established in the electric power generation sector, and apprenticeship
programs are widely available to generate additional trained workers in
this field.\634\ The overall U.S. apprentice market has more than
doubled between 2014 and 2023, growing at an average annual rate of
more than 7 percent.\635\ Additional programs support the skilled
construction trade workforce required for CCS implementation and
maintenance.\636\
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\632\ https://www.epri.com/research/products/000000003002027328.
\633\ https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/0160449X18766398.
\634\ DOE. Workforce Analysis of Existing Coal Carbon Capture
Retrofits. https://www.energy.gov/policy/articles/workforce-analysis-existing-coal-carbon-capture-retrofits.
\635\ https://www.apprenticeship.gov/data-and-statistics.
\636\ https://www.apprenticeship.gov/partner-finder.
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As discussed in section V.C.2.c of this preamble, CAA section
111(a)(1) is clear that the cost that the Administrator must take into
account in determining the BSER is the cost of the controls to the
source. It is reasonable to take the tax credit into account because it
reduces the cost of the controls to the source, which has a significant
effect on the actual cost of installing and operating CCS. In addition,
all sources that install CCS to meet the requirements of these final
actions are eligible for the tax credit. The legislative history of the
IRA makes clear that Congress was well aware that the EPA may
promulgate rulemaking under CAA section 111 based on CCS and the
utility of the tax credit in reducing the costs of CCUS (i.e., CCS).
Rep. Frank Pallone, the chair of the House Energy & Commerce Committee,
included a statement in the Congressional Record when the House adopted
the IRA in which he explained: ``The tax credit[ ] for CCUS . . .
included in this Act may also figure into CAA Section 111 GHG
regulations for new and existing industrial sources[.] . . . Congress
anticipates that EPA may consider CCUS . . . as [a] candidate[ ] for
BSER for electric generating plants . . . . Further, Congress
anticipates that EPA may consider the impact of the CCUS . . . tax
credit[ ] in lowering the costs of [that] measure[ ].'' 168 Cong. Rec.
E879 (August 26, 2022) (statement of Rep. Frank Pallone).
In the 2015 NSPS, in which the EPA determined partial CCS to be the
BSER for GHGs from new coal-fired steam generating EGUs, the EPA
recognized that the IRC section 45Q tax credit or other tax incentives
could factor into the cost of the controls to the sources.
Specifically, the EPA calculated the cost of partial CCS on the basis
of cost calculations from NETL, which included ``a range of assumptions
including the projected capital costs, the cost of financing the
project, the fixed and variable O&M costs, the projected fuel costs,
and incorporation of any incentives such as tax credits or favorable
financing that may be available to the project developer.'' 80 FR 64570
(October 23, 2015).\637\
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\637\ In fact, because of limits on the availability of the IRC
section 45Q tax credit at the time of the 2015 NSPS, the EPA did not
factor it into the cost calculation for partial CCS. 80 FR 64558-64
(October 23, 2015).
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Similarly, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA also recognized that revenues
from utilizing captured CO2 for EOR would reduce the cost of
CCS to the sources, although the EPA did not account for potential EOR
revenues for purposes of determining the BSER. Id. At 64563-64. In
other rules, the EPA has considered revenues from sale of the by-
products of emission controls to affect the costs of the emission
controls. For example, in the 2016 Oil and Gas Methane Rule, the EPA
determined that certain control requirements would reduce natural gas
leaks and therefore result in the collection of recovered natural gas
that could be sold; and the EPA further determined that revenues from
the sale of the recovered natural gas reduces the cost of controls. See
81 FR 35824 (June 3, 2016). The EPA made the same determination in the
2024 Oil and Gas Methane Rule. See 89 FR 16820, 16865 (May 7, 2024). In
a 2011 action concerning a regional haze SIP, the EPA recognized that a
NOX control would alter the chemical composition of fly ash
that the source had previously sold, so that it could no longer be
sold; and as a result, the EPA further determined that the cost of the
NOX control should include the foregone revenues from the
fly ash sales. 76 FR 58570, 58603 (September 21, 2011). In the 2016
emission guidelines for landfill gas from municipal solid waste
landfills, the EPA reduced the costs of controls by accounting for
revenue from the sale of electricity produced from the landfill gas
collected through the controls. 81 FR 59276, 19679 (August 29, 2016).
The amount of the IRC section 45Q tax credit that the EPA is taking
into account is $85/metric ton for CO2 that is captured and
geologically stored. This amount is available to the affected source as
long as it meets the prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements of
IRC section 45Q(h)(3)-(4). The legislative history to the IRA
specifically stated that when the EPA considers CCS as the BSER for GHG
emissions from industrial sources in CAA section 111 rulemaking, the
EPA should determine the cost of CCS by assuming that the sources would
meet those prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements. 168 Cong.
Rec. E879 (August 26, 2022) (statement of Rep. Frank Pallone). If
prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements are not met, the value
of the IRC section 45Q tax credit falls to $17/metric ton. The
substantially higher credit available provides a considerable incentive
to meeting the prevailing wage and apprenticeship requirements.
[[Page 39882]]
Therefore, the EPA assumes that investors maximize the value of the IRC
section 45Q tax credit at $85/metric ton by meeting those requirements.
(D) Comparison to Other Costs of Controls and Other Measures of Cost
Reasonableness
In assessing cost reasonableness for the BSER determination for
this rule, the EPA looks at a range of cost information. As discussed
in Chapter 2 of the RTC, the EPA considered the total annual costs of
the rule as compared to past CAA rules for the electricity sector and
as compared to the industry's annual revenues and annual capital
expenditures, and considered the effects of this rule on electricity
prices.
For each of the BSER determinations, the EPA also considers cost
metrics that it has historically considered in assessing costs to
compare the costs of GHG control measures to control costs that the EPA
has previously determined to be reasonable. This includes comparison to
the costs of controls at EGUs for other air pollutants, such as
SO2 and NOX, and costs of controls for GHGs in
other industries. Based on these costs, the EPA has developed two
metrics for assessing the cost reasonableness of controls: the increase
in cost of electricity due to controls, measured in $/MWh, and the
control costs of removing a ton of pollutant, measured in $/ton
CO2e. The costs presented in this section of the preamble
are in 2019 dollars.\638\
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\638\ The EPA used the NETL Baseline Report costs directly for
the combustion turbine model plant BSER analysis. Even though these
costs are in 2018 dollars, the adjustment to 2019 dollars (1.018
using the U.S. GDP Implicit Price Deflator) is well within the
uncertainty range of the report and the minor adjustment would not
impact the EPA's BSER determination.
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In different rulemakings, the EPA has required many coal-fired
steam generating units to install and operate flue gas desulfurization
(FGD) equipment--that is, wet or dry scrubbers--to reduce their
SO2 emissions or SCR to reduce their NOX
emissions. The EPA compares these control costs across technologies--
steam generating units and combustion turbines--because these costs are
indicative of what is reasonable for the power sector in general. The
facts that the EPA required these controls in prior rules, and that
many EGUs subsequently installed and operated these controls, provide
evidence that these costs are reasonable, and as a result, the cost of
these controls provides a benchmark to assess the reasonableness of the
costs of the controls in this preamble. In the 2011 CSAPR (76 FR 48208;
August 8, 2011), the EPA estimated the annualized costs to install and
operate wet FGD retrofits on existing coal-fired steam generating
units. Using those same cost equations and assumptions (i.e., a 63
percent annual capacity factor--the average value in 2011) for
retrofitting wet FGD on a representative 700 to 300 MW coal-fired steam
generating unit results in annualized costs of $14.80 to $18.50/MWh of
generation, respectively.\639\ In the Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015
Ozone NAAQS (2023 GNP), 88 FR 36654 (June 5, 2023), the EPA estimated
the annualized costs to install and operate SCR retrofits on existing
coal-fired steam generating units. Using those same cost equations and
assumptions (including a 56 percent annual capacity factor--a
representative value in that rulemaking) to retrofit SCR on a
representative 700 to 300 MW coal-fired steam generating unit results
in annualized costs of $10.60 to $11.80/MWh of generation,
respectively.\640\
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\639\ For additional details, see https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/documentation-integrated-planning-model-ipm-base-case-v410.
\640\ For additional details, see https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2023-01/Updated%20Summer%202021%20Reference%20Case%20Incremental%20Documentation%20for%20the%202015%20Ozone%20NAAQS%20Actions_0.pdf.
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The EPA also compares costs to the costs for GHG controls in
rulemakings for other industries. In the 2016 NSPS regulating GHGs for
the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category, the EPA found the costs
of reducing methane emissions of $2,447/ton to be reasonable (80 FR
56627; September 18, 2015).\641\ Converted to a ton of CO2e
reduced basis, those costs are expressed as $98/ton of CO2e
reduced.\642\
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\641\ The EPA finalized the 2016 NSPS GHGs for the Crude Oil and
Natural Gas source category at 81 FR 35824 (June 3, 2016). The EPA
included cost information in the proposed rulemaking, at 80 FR 56627
(September 18, 2015).
\642\ Based on the 100-year global warming potential for methane
of 25 used in the GHGRP (40 CFR 98 Subpart A, table A-1).
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The EPA does not consider either of these metrics, $18.50/MWh and
$98/ton of CO2e, to be bright line standards that
distinguish between levels of control costs that are reasonable and
levels that are unreasonable. But they do usefully indicate that
control costs that are generally consistent with those levels of
control costs should be considered reasonable. The EPA has required
controls with comparable costs in prior rules for the electric power
industry and the industry has successfully complied with those rules by
installing and operating the applicable controls. In the case of the $/
ton metric, the EPA has required other industries--specifically, the
oil and gas industry--to reduce their climate pollution at this level
of cost-effectiveness. In this rulemaking, the costs of the controls
that the EPA identifies as the BSER generally match up well against
both of these $/MWh and $/ton metrics for the affected subcategories of
sources. And looking broadly at the range of cost information and these
cost metrics, the EPA concludes that the costs of these rules are
reasonable.
(E) Comparison to Costs for CCS in Prior Rulemakings
In the CPP and ACE Rule, the EPA determined that CCS did not
qualify as the BSER due to cost considerations. Two key developments
have led the EPA to reevaluate this conclusion: the costs of CCS
technology have fallen and the extension and increase in the IRC
section 45Q tax credit, as included in the IRA, in effect provide a
significant stream of revenue for sequestered CO2 emissions.
The CPP and ACE Rule relied on a 2015 NETL report estimating the cost
of CCS. NETL has issued updated reports to incorporate the latest
information available, most recently in 2022, which show significant
cost reductions. The 2015 report estimated incremental levelized cost
of CCS at a new pulverized coal facility relative to a new facility
without CCS at $74/MWh (2022$),\643\ while the 2022 report estimated
incremental levelized cost at $44/MWh (2022$).\644\ Additionally, the
IRA increased the IRC section 45Q tax credit from $50/metric ton to
$85/metric ton (and, in the case of EOR or certain industrial uses,
from $35/metric ton to $60/metric ton), assuming prevailing wage and
apprenticeship conditions are met. The IRA also enhanced the realized
value of the tax credit through the elective pay (informally known as
direct pay) and transferability monetization options described in
section IV.E.1. The combination of lower costs and higher tax credits
significantly improves the cost reasonableness of CCS for purposes
[[Page 39883]]
of determining whether it qualifies as the BSER.
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\643\ Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants
Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 3
(July 2015). Note: The EPA adjusted reported costs to reflect $2022.
https://www.netl.doe.gov/projects/files/CostandPerformanceBaselineforFossilEnergyPlantsVolume1aBitCoalPCandNaturalGastoElectRev3_070615.pdf.
\644\ Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants
Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 4A
(October 2022). Note: The EPA adjusted reported costs to reflect
$2022. https://netl.doe.gov/projects/files/CostAndPerformanceBaselineForFossilEnergyPlantsVolume1BituminousCoalAndNaturalGasToElectricity_101422.pdf.
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iii. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
The EPA considered non-GHG emissions impacts, the water use
impacts, the transport and sequestration of captured CO2,
and energy requirements resulting from CCS for steam generating units.
As discussed below, where the EPA has found potential for localized
adverse consequences related to non-air quality health and
environmental impacts or energy requirements, the EPA also finds that
protections are in place to mitigate those risks. Because the non-air
quality health and environmental impacts are closely related to the
energy requirements, we discuss the latter first.
(A) Energy Requirements
For a steam generating unit with 90 percent amine-based
CO2 capture, parasitic/auxiliary energy demand increases and
the net power output decreases. In particular, the solvent regeneration
process requires heat in the form of steam and CO2
compression requires a large amount of electricity. Heat and power for
the CO2 capture equipment can be provided either by using
the steam and electricity produced by the steam generating unit or by
an auxiliary cogeneration unit. However, any auxiliary source of heat
and power is part of the ``designated facility,'' along with the steam
generating unit. The standards of performance apply to the designated
facility. Thus, any CO2 emissions from the connected
auxiliary equipment need to be captured or they will increase the
facility's emission rate.
Using integrated heat and power can reduce the capacity (i.e., the
amount of electricity that a unit can distribute to the grid) of an
approximately 474 MW-net (501 MW-gross) coal-fired steam generating
unit without CCS to approximately 425 MW-net with CCS and contributes
to a reduction in net efficiency of 23 percent.\645\ For retrofits of
CCS on existing sources, the ductwork for flue gas and piping for heat
integration to overcome potential spatial constraints are a component
of efficiency reduction. The EPA notes that slightly greater efficiency
reductions than in the 2016 NETL retrofit report are assumed for the
BSER cost analyses, as detailed in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units, available in the docket. Despite
decreases in efficiency, IRC section 45Q tax credit provides an
incentive for increased generation with full operation of CCS because
the amount of revenue from the tax credit is based on the amount of
captured and sequestered CO2 emissions and not the amount of
electricity generated. In this final action, the Agency considers the
energy penalty to not be unreasonable and to be relatively minor
compared to the benefits in GHG reduction of CCS.
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\645\ DOE/NETL-2016/1796. ``Eliminating the Derate of Carbon
Capture Retrofits.'' May 31, 2016. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=d335ce79-84ee-4a0b-a27b-c1a64edbb866.
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(B) Non-GHG Emissions
As a part of considering the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts of CCS, the EPA considered the potential non-GHG
emission impacts of CO2 capture. The EPA recognizes that
amine-based CO2 capture can, under some circumstances,
result in the increase in emission of certain co-pollutants at a coal-
fired steam generating unit. However, there are protections in place
that can mitigate these impacts. For example, as discussed below, CCS
retrofit projects with co-pollutant increases may be subject to
preconstruction permitting under the New Source Review (NSR) program,
which could require the source to adopt emission limitations based on
applicable NSR requirements. Sources obtaining major NSR permits would
be required to either apply Lowest Achievable Emission Rate (LAER) and
fully offset any anticipated increases in criteria pollutant emissions
(for their nonattainment pollutants) or apply Best Available Control
Technology (BACT) and demonstrate that its emissions of criteria
pollutants will not cause or contribute to a violation of applicable
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (for their attainment
pollutants).\646\ The EPA expects facility owners, states, permitting
authorities, and other responsible parties will use these protections
to address co-pollutant impacts in situations where individual units
use CCS to comply with these emission guidelines.
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\646\ Section XI.A of this preamble provides additional
information on the NSR program and how it relates to the NSPS and
emission guidelines.
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The EPA also expects that the meaningful engagement requirements
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this preamble will ensure that all
interested stakeholders, including community members who might be
adversely impacted by non-GHG pollutants, will have an opportunity to
raise this concern with states and permitting authorities.
Additionally, state permitting authorities are, in general, required to
provide notice and an opportunity for public comment on construction
projects that require NSR permits. This provides additional
opportunities for affected stakeholders to engage in that process, and
it is the EPA's expectation that the responsible authorities will
consider these concerns and take full advantage of existing
protections. Moreover, the EPA through its regional offices is
committed to thoroughly review draft NSR permits associated with
CO2 capture projects and provide comments as necessary to
state permitting authorities to address any concerns or questions with
regard to the draft permit's consideration and treatment of non-GHG
pollutants.
In the following discussion, the EPA describes the potential
emissions of non-GHG pollutants resulting from installation and
operation of CO2 capture plants, the protections in place
such as the controls and processes for mitigating those emissions, as
well as regulations and permitting that may require review and
implementation of those controls. The EPA first discusses these issues
in relation to criteria air pollutants and precursor pollutants
(SO2, NOX, and PM), and subsequently provides
details regarding hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) and volatile organic
compounds (VOCs).
Operation of an amine-based CO2 capture plant on a coal-
fired steam generating unit can impact the emission of criteria
pollutants from the facility, including SO2 and PM, as well
as precursor pollutants, like NOX. Sources installing CCS
may operate more due to the incentives provided by the IRC section 45Q
tax credit, and increased utilization would--all else being equal--
result in increases in SO2, PM, and NOX. However,
certain impacts are mitigated by the flue gas conditioning required by
the CO2 capture process and by other control equipment that
the units already have or may need to install to meet other CAA
requirements. Substantial flue gas conditioning, particularly to remove
SO2 and PM, is critical to limiting solvent degradation and
maintaining reliable operation of the capture plant. To achieve the
necessary limits on SO2 levels in the flue gas for the
capture process, steam generating units will need to add an FGD
scrubber, if they do not already have one, and will usually need an
additional polishing column (i.e., quencher), thereby further reducing
the emission of SO2. A wet FGD column and a polishing column
will also reduce the emission rate of PM. Additional improvements in PM
removal may also be necessary to reduce the fouling of
[[Page 39884]]
other components (e.g., heat exchangers) of the capture process,
including upgrades to existing PM controls or, where appropriate, the
inclusion of various wash stages to limit fly ash carry-over to the
CO2 removal system. Although PM emissions from the steam
generating unit may be reduced, PM emissions may occur from cooling
towers for those sources using wet cooling for the capture process. For
some sources, a WESP may be necessary to limit the amount of aerosols
in the flue gas prior to the CO2 capture process. Reducing
the amount of aerosols to the CO2 absorber will also reduce
emissions of the solvent out of the top of the absorber. Controls to
limit emission of aerosols installed at the outlet of the absorber
could be considered, but could lead to higher pressure drops. Thus,
emission increases of SO2 and PM would be reduced through
flue gas conditioning and other system requirements of the
CO2 capture process, and NSR permitting would serve as an
added backstop to review remaining SO2 and PM increases for
mitigation.
NOX emissions can cause solvent degradation and
nitrosamine formation, depending on the chemical structure of the
solvent. Limits on NOX levels of the flue gas required to
avoid solvent degradation and nitrosamine formation in the
CO2 scrubber vary. For most units, the requisite limits on
NOX levels to assure that the CO2 capture process
functions properly may be met by the existing NOX combustion
controls. Other units may need to install SCR to achieve the required
NOx level. Most existing coal-fired steam generating units either
already have SCR or will be covered by final Federal Implementation
Plan (FIP) requirements regulating interstate transport of
NOX (as ozone precursors) from EGUs. See 88 FR 36654 (June
5, 2023).\647\ For units not otherwise required to have SCR, an
increase in utilization from a CO2 capture retrofit could
result in increased NOX emissions at the source that,
depending on the quantity of the emissions increase, may trigger major
NSR permitting requirements. Under this scenario, the permitting
authority may determine that the NSR permit requires the installation
of SCR for those units, based on applying the control technology
requirements of major NSR. Alternatively, a state could, as part of its
state plan, develop enforceable conditions for a source expected to
trigger major NSR that would effectively limit the unit's ability to
increase its emissions in amounts that would trigger major NSR. Under
this scenario, with no major NSR requirements applying due to the limit
on the emissions increase, the permitting authority may conclude for
the minor NSR permit that installation of SCR is not required for the
units and the source is to minimize its NOX emission
increases using other techniques. Finally, a source with some lesser
increase in NOX emissions may not trigger major NSR to begin
with and, as with the previous scenario, the permitting authority would
determine the NOX control requirements pursuant to its minor
NSR program requirements.
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\647\ As of September 21, 2023, the Good Neighbor Plan ``Group
3'' ozone-season NOX control program for power plants is
being implemented in the following states: Illinois, Indiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania,
Virginia, and Wisconsin. Pursuant to court orders staying the
Agency's FIP Disapproval action as to the following states, the EPA
is not currently implementing the Good Neighbor Plan ``Group 3''
ozone-season NOX control program for power plants in the
following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah, and West
Virginia.
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Recognizing that potential emission increases of SO2,
PM, and NOX from operating a CO2 capture process
are an area of concern for stakeholders, the EPA plans to review and
update as needed its guidance on NSR permitting, specifically with
respect to BACT determinations for GHG emissions and consideration of
co-pollutant increases from sources installing CCS. In its analysis to
support this final action, the EPA accounted for controlling these co-
pollutant increases by assuming that coal-fired units that install CCS
would be required to install SCR and/or FGD if they do not already have
those controls installed. The costs of these controls are included in
the total program compliance cost estimates through IPM modeling, as
well as in the BSER cost calculations.
An amine-based CO2 capture plant can also impact
emissions of HAP and VOC (as an ozone precursor) from the coal-fired
steam generating unit. Degradation of the solvent can produce HAP, and
organic HAP and amine solvent emissions from the absorber would
contribute to VOC emissions out of the top of the CO2
absorber. A conventional multistage water or acid wash and mist
eliminator (demister) at the exit of the CO2 scrubber is
effective at removal of gaseous amine and amine degradation products
(e.g., nitrosamine) emissions.648 649 The DOE's Carbon
Management Pathway report notes that monitoring and emission controls
for such degradation products are currently part of standard operating
procedures for amine-based CO2 capture systems.\650\
Depending on the solvent properties, different amounts of aldehydes
including acetaldehyde and formaldehyde may form through oxidative
processes, contributing to total HAP and VOC emissions. While a water
wash or acid wash can be effective at limiting emission of amines, a
separate system of controls would be required to reduce aldehyde
emissions; however, the low temperature and likely high water vapor
content of the gas emitted out of absorber may limit the applicability
of catalytic or thermal oxidation. Other controls (e.g.,
electrochemical, ultraviolet) common to water treatment could be
considered to reduce the loading of copollutants in the water wash
section, although their efficacy is still in development and it is
possible that partial treatment could result in the formation of
additional degradation products. Apart from these potential controls,
any increase in VOC emissions from a CCS retrofit project would be
mitigated through NSR permitting. As such VOC increases are not
expected to be large enough to trigger major NSR requirements, they
would likely be reviewed and addressed under a state's minor NSR
program.
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\648\ Sharma, S., Azzi, M., ``A critical review of existing
strategies for emission control in the monoethanolamine-based carbon
capture process and some recommendations for improved strategies,''
Fuel, 121, 178 (2014).
\649\ Mertens, J., et al., ``Understanding ethanolamine (MEA)
and ammonia emissions from amine-based post combustion carbon
capture: Lessons learned from field tests,'' Int'l J. of GHG
Control, 13, 72 (2013).
\650\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Pathways to Commercial
Liftoff: Carbon Management. https://liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/20230424-Liftoff-Carbon-Management-vPUB_update.pdf.
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There is one nitrosamine that is a listed HAP regulated under CAA
section 112. Carbon capture systems that are themselves a major source
of HAP should evaluate the applicability of CAA section 112(g) and
conduct a case-by-case MACT analysis if required, to establish MACT for
any listed HAP, including listed nitrosamines, formaldehyde, and
acetaldehyde. Because of the differences in the formation and
effectiveness of controls, such a case-by-case MACT analysis should
evaluate the performance of controls for nitrosamines and aldehydes
separately, as formaldehyde or acetaldehyde may not be a suitable
surrogate for amine and nitrosamine emissions. However, measurement of
nitrosamine emissions may be challenging when the concentration is low
(e.g., less than 1 part per billion, dry basis).
HAP emissions from the CO2 capture plant will depend on
the flue gas
[[Page 39885]]
conditions, solvent, size of the source, and process design. The air
permit application for Project Tundra \651\ includes potential-to-emit
(PTE) values for CAA section 112 listed HAP specific to the 530 MW-
equivalent CO2 capture plant, including emissions of 1.75
tons per year (TPY) of formaldehyde (CASRN 50-00-0), 32.9 TPY of
acetaldehyde (CASRN 75-07-0), 0.54 TPY of acetamide (CASRN 60-35-5),
0.018 TPY of ethylenimine (CASRN 151-56-4), 0.044 TPY of N-
nitrosodimethylamine (CASRN 62-75-9), and 0.018 TPY of N-
nitrosomorpholine (CASRN 59-89-2). Additional PTE other species that
are not CAA section 112 listed HAP were also included, including 0.022
TPY of N-nitrosodiethylamine (CASRN 55-18-5). PTE values for other
CO2 capture plants may differ. To comply with North Dakota
Department of Environmental Quality (ND-DEQ) Air Toxics Policy, an air
toxics assessment was included in the permit application. According to
that assessment, the total maximum individual carcinogenic risk was
1.02E-6 (approximately 1-in-1 million, below the ND-DEQ threshold of
1E-5) primarily driven by N-nitrosodiethylamine and N-
nitrosodimethylamine. The hazard index value was 0.022 (below the ND-
DEQ threshold of 1), with formaldehyde being the primary driver.
Results of air toxics risk assessments for other facilities would
depend on the emissions from the facility, controls in place, stack
height and flue gas conditions, local ambient conditions, and the
relative location of the exposed population.
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\651\ DCC East PTC Application. https://ceris.deq.nd.gov/ext/nsite/map/results/detail/-8992368000928857057/documents.
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Emissions of amines and nitrosamines at Project Tundra are
controlled by the water wash section of the absorber column. According
to the permit to construct issued by ND-DEQ, limits for formaldehyde
and acetaldehyde will be established based on testing after initial
operation of the CO2 capture plant. The permit does not
include a mechanism for establishing limits for nitrosamine emissions,
as they may be below the limit of detection (less than 1 part per
billion, dry basis).
The EPA received several comments related to the potential for non-
GHG emissions associated with CCS. Those comments and the EPA's
responses are as follows.
Comment: Some commenters noted that there is a potential for
increases in co-pollutants when operating amine-based CO2
capture systems. One commenter requested that the EPA proactively
regulate potential nitrosamine emissions.
Response: The EPA carefully considered these concerns as it
finalized its determination of the BSERs for these rules. The EPA takes
these concerns seriously, agrees that any impacts to local and downwind
communities are important to consider and has done so as part of its
analysis discussed at section XII.E. While the EPA acknowledges that,
in some circumstances, there is potential for some non-GHG emissions to
increase, there are several protections in place to help mitigate these
impacts. The EPA believes that these protections, along with the
meaningful engagement of potentially affected communities, can
facilitate a responsible deployment of this technology that mitigates
the risk of any adverse impacts.
There is one nitrosamine that is a listed HAP under CAA section 112
(N-Nitrosodimethylamine; CASRN 62-75-9). Other nitrosamines would have
to be listed before the EPA could establish regulations limiting their
emission. Furthermore, carbon capture systems are themselves not a
listed source category of HAP, and the listing of a source category
under CAA section 112 would first require some number of the sources to
exist for the EPA to develop MACT standards. However, if a new
CO2 capture facility were to be permitted as a separate
entity (rather than as part of the EGU) then it may be subject to case-
by-case MACT under section 112(g), as detailed in the preceding section
of this preamble.
Comment: Commenters noted that a source could attempt to permit
CO2 facilities as separate entities to avoid triggering NSR
for the EGU.
Response: For the CO2 capture plant to be permitted as a
separate entity, the source would have to demonstrate to the state
permitting authority that the EGU and CO2 capture plant are
not a single stationary source under the NSR program. In determining
what constitutes a stationary source, the EPA's NSR regulations set
forth criteria that are to be used when determining the scope of a
``stationary source.'' \652\ These criteria require the aggregation of
different pollutant-emitting activities if they (1) belong to the same
industrial grouping as defined by SIC codes, (2) are located on
contiguous or adjacent properties, and (3) are under common
control.\653\ In the case of an EGU and CO2 capture plant
that are collocated, to permit them as separate sources they should not
be under common control or not be defined by the same industrial
grouping.
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\652\ 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(i) and (ii); 40 CFR 51.166(b)(5) and
(6).
\653\ The EPA has issued guidance to clarify these regulatory
criteria of stationary source determination. See https://www.epa.gov/nsr/single-source-determination.
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The EPA would anticipate that, in most cases, the operation of the
EGU and the CO2 capture plant will intrinsically affect one
another--typically steam, electricity, and the flue gas of the EGU will
be provided to the CO2 capture plant. Conditions of the flue
gas will affect the operation of the CO2 capture plant,
including its emissions, and the steam and electrical load will affect
the operation of the EGU. Moreover, the emissions from the EGU will be
routed through the CO2 capture system and emitted out of the
top of the CO2 absorber. Even if the EGU and CO2
capture plant are owned by separate entities, the CO2
capture plant is likely to be on or directly adjacent to land owned by
the owners of the EGU and contractual obligations are likely to exist
between the two owners. While each of these individual factors may not
ultimately determine the outcome of whether two nominally-separate
facilities should be treated as a single stationary source for
permitting purposes, the EPA expects that in most cases an EGU and its
collocated CO2 capture plant would meet each of the
aforementioned NSR regulatory criteria necessary to make such a
determination. Thus, the EPA generally would not expect an EGU and its
CO2 capture plant to be permitted as separate stationary
sources.
(C) Water Use
Water consumption at the plant increases when applying carbon
capture, due to solvent water makeup and cooling demand. Water
consumption can increase by 36 percent on a gross basis.\654\ A
separate cooling water system dedicated to a CO2 capture
plant may be necessary. However, the amount of water consumption
depends on the design of the cooling system. For example, the cooling
system cited in the CCS feasibility study for SaskPower's Shand Power
station would rely entirely on water condensed from the flue gas and
thus would not require any increase in external water consumption--all
while achieving higher capture rates at lower cost than Boundary Dam
Unit 3.\655\ Regions with limited water supply
[[Page 39886]]
may therefore rely on dry or hybrid cooling systems. Therefore, the EPA
considers the water use requirements to be manageable and does not
expect this consideration to preclude coal-fired power plants generally
from being able to install and operate CCS.
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\654\ DOE/NETL-2016/1796. ``Eliminating the Derate of Carbon
Capture Retrofits.'' May 31, 2016. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=e818549c-a565-4cbc-94db-442a1c2a70a9.
\655\ International CCS Knowledge Centre. The Shand CCS
Feasibility Study Public Report. https://ccsknowledge.com/pub/Publications/Shand_CCS_Feasibility_Study_Public_Report_Nov2018_(2021-05-12).pdf.
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(D) CO2 Capture Plant Siting
With respect to siting considerations, CO2 capture
systems have a sizeable physical footprint and a consequent land-use
requirement. One commenter cited their analysis showing that, for a
subset of coal-fired sources greater than 300 MW, 98 percent (154 GW of
the existing fleet) have adjacent land available within 1 mile of the
facility, and 83 percent have adjacent land available within 100 meters
of the facility. Furthermore, the cited analysis did not include land
available onsite, and it is therefore possible there is even greater
land availability for siting capture equipment. Qualitatively, some
commenters claimed there is limited land available for siting
CO2 capture plants adjacent to coal-fired steam generating
units. However, those commenters provided no data or analysis to
support their assertion. The EPA has reviewed the analysis provided by
the first commenter, and the approach, methods, and assumptions are
logical. Further, the EPA has reviewed the available information,
including the location of coal-fired steam generating units and visual
inspection of the associated maps and plots. Although in some cases
longer duct runs may be required, this would not preclude coal-fired
power plants generally from being able to install and operate CCS.
Therefore, the EPA has concluded that siting and land-use requirements
for CO2 capture are not unreasonable.
(E) Transport and Geologic Sequestration
As noted in section VII.C.1.a.i(C) of this preamble, PHMSA
oversight of supercritical CO2 pipeline safety protects
against environmental release during transport. The vast majority of
CO2 pipelines have been operating safely for more than 60
years. PHMSA reported a total of 102 CO2 pipeline incidents
between 2003 and 2022, with one injury (requiring in-patient
hospitalization) and zero fatalities.\656\ In the past 20 years, 500
million metric tons of CO2 moved through over 5,000 miles of
CO2 pipelines with zero incidents involving fatalities.\657\
PHMSA initiated a rulemaking in 2022 to develop and implement new
measures to strengthen its safety oversight of supercritical
CO2 pipelines. Furthermore, UIC Class VI and Class II
regulations under the SDWA, in tandem with GHGRP subpart RR and subpart
VV requirements, ensure the protection of USDWs and the security of
geologic sequestration. The EPA believes these protections constitute
an effective framework for addressing potential health and
environmental concerns related to CO2 transportation and
sequestration, and the EPA has taken this regulatory framework into
consideration in determining that CCS represents the BSER for long-term
steam EGUs.
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\656\ NARUC. (2023). Onshore U.S. Carbon Pipeline Deployment:
Siting, Safety. and Regulation. Prepared by Public Sector
Consultants for the National Association of Regulatory Utility
Commissioners (NARUC). June 2023. https://pubs.naruc.org/pub/F1EECB6B-CD8A-6AD4-B05B-E7DA0F12672E.
\657\ Congressional Research Service. 2022. Carbon Dioxide
Pipelines: Safety Issues, CRS Reports, June 3, 2022. https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/IN/IN11944.
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(F) Impacts on the Energy Sector
Additionally, the EPA considered the impacts on the power sector,
on a nationwide and long-term basis, of determining CCS to be the BSER
for long-term coal-fired steam generating units. In this final action,
the EPA considers that designating CCS as the BSER for these units
would have limited and non-adverse impacts on the long-term structure
of the power sector or on the reliability of the power sector. Absent
the requirements defined in this action, the EPA projects that 11 GW of
coal-fired steam generating units would apply CCS by 2035 and an
additional 30 GW of coal-fired steam generating units, without
controls, would remain in operation in 2040. Designating CCS to be the
BSER for existing long-term coal-fired steam generating units may
result in more of the coal-fired steam generating unit capacity
applying CCS. The time available before the compliance deadline of
January 1, 2032, provides for adequate resource planning, including
accounting for the downtime necessary to install the CO2
capture equipment at long-term coal-fired steam generating units. For
the 12-year duration that eligible EGUs earn the IRC section 45Q tax
credit, long-term coal-fired steam generating units are anticipated to
run at or near base load conditions in order to maximize the amount of
tax credit earned through IRC section 45Q. Total generation from coal-
fired steam generating units in the medium-term subcategory would
gradually decrease over an extended period of time through 2039,
subject to the commitments those units have chosen to adopt.
Additionally, for the long-term units applying CCS, the EPA has
determined that the increase in the annualized cost of generation is
reasonable. Therefore, the EPA concludes that these elements of BSER
can be implemented while maintaining a reliable electric grid. A
broader discussion of reliability impacts of these final rules is
available in section XII.F of this preamble.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2 Emissions
CCS is an extremely effective technology for reducing
CO2 emissions. As of 2021, coal-fired power plants are the
largest stationary source of GHG emissions by sector. Furthermore,
emission rates (lb CO2/MWh-gross) from coal-fired sources
are almost twice those of natural gas-fired combined cycle units, and
sources operating in the long-term have the more substantial emissions
potential. CCS can be applied to coal-fired steam generating units at
the source to reduce the mass of CO2 emissions by 90 percent
or more. Increased steam and power demand have a small impact on the
reduction in emission rate (i.e., lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
occurs with 90 percent capture. According to the 2016 NETL Retrofit
report, 90 percent capture will result in emission rates that are 88.4
percent lower on a lb/MWh-gross basis and 87.1 percent lower on a lb/
MWh-net basis compared to units without capture.\658\ After capture,
CO2 can be transported and securely sequestered.\659\
Although steam generating units with CO2 capture will have
an incentive to operate at higher utilization because the cost to
install the CCS system is largely fixed and the IRC section 45Q tax
credit increases based on the amount of CO2 captured and
sequestered, any increase in utilization will be far outweighed by the
substantial reductions in emission rate.
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\658\ DOE/NETL-2016/1796. ``Eliminating the Derate of Carbon
Capture Retrofits.'' May 31, 2016. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=e818549c-a565-4cbc-94db-442a1c2a70a9.
\659\ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2005). Special
Report on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage.
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v. Promotion of the Development and Implementation of Technology
The EPA considered the potential impact on technology advancement
of designating CCS as the BSER for long-term coal-fired steam
generating units, and in this final rule, the EPA considers
[[Page 39887]]
that designating CCS as the BSER will provide for meaningful
advancement of CCS technology. As indicated above, the EPA's IPM
modeling indicates that 11 GW of coal-fired power plants install CCS
and generate 76 terawatt-hours (TWh) per year in the base case, and
that another 8 GW of plants install CCS and generate another 57 TWh per
year in the policy case. In this manner, this rule advances CCS
technology more widely throughout the coal-fired power sector. As
discussed in section VIII.F.4.c.iv(G) of this preamble, this rule
advances CCS technology for new combined cycle base load combustion
turbines, as well. It is also likely that this rule supports advances
in the technology in other industries.
vi. Comparison With 2015 NSPS For Newly Constructed Coal-Fired EGUs
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA determined that the BSER for newly
constructed coal-fired EGUs was based on CCS with 16 to 23 percent
capture, based on the type of coal combusted, and consequently, the EPA
promulgated standards of performance of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-g.
80 FR 64512 (table 1), 64513 (October 23, 2015). The EPA made those
determinations based on the costs of CCS at the time of that
rulemaking. In general, those costs were significantly higher than at
present, due to recent technology cost declines as well as related
policies, including the IRC section 45Q tax credit for CCS, which were
not available at that time for purposes of consideration during the
development of the NSPS. Id. at 64562 (table 8). Based on of these
higher costs, the EPA determined that 16-23 percent capture qualified
as the BSER, rather than a significantly higher percentage of capture.
Given the substantial differences in the cost of CCS during the time of
the 2015 NSPS and the present time, the capture percentage of the 2015
NSPS necessarily differed from the capture percentage in this final
action, and, by the same token, the associated degree of emission
limitation and resulting standards of performance necessarily differ as
well. If the EPA had strong evidence to indicate that new coal-fired
EGUs would be built, it would propose to revise the 2015 NSPS to align
the BSER and emissions standards to reflect the new information
regarding the costs of CCS. Because there is no evidence to suggest
that there are any firm plans to build new coal-fired EGUs in the
future, however, it is not at present a good use of the EPA's limited
resources to propose to update the new source standard to align with
the existing source standard finalized today. While the EPA is not
revising the new source standard for new coal-fired EGUs in this
action, the EPA is retaining the ability to propose review in the
future.
vii. Requirement That Source Must Transfer CO2 to an Entity
That Reports Under the Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program
The final rule requires that EGUs that capture CO2 in
order to meet the applicable emission standard report in accordance
with the GHGRP requirements of 40 CFR part 98, including subpart PP.
GHGRP subpart RR and subpart VV requirements provide the monitoring and
reporting mechanisms to quantify CO2 storage and to
identify, quantify, and address potential leakage. Under existing GHGRP
regulations, sequestration wells permitted as Class VI under the UIC
program are required to report under subpart RR. Facilities with UIC
Class II wells that inject CO2 to enhance the recovery of
oil or natural gas can opt-in to reporting under subpart RR by
submitting and receiving approval for a monitoring, reporting, and
verification (MRV) plan. Subpart VV applies to facilities that conduct
enhanced recovery using ISO 27916 to quantify geologic storage unless
they have opted to report under subpart RR. For this rule, if injection
occurs on site, the EGU must report data accordingly under 40 CFR part
98 subpart RR or subpart VV. If the CO2 is injected off
site, the EGU must transfer the captured CO2 to a facility
that reports in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR or subpart VV. They may also transfer the captured
CO2 to a facility that has received an innovative technology
waiver from the EPA.
b. Options Not Determined To Be the BSER for Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam
Generating Units
In this section, we explain why CCS at 90 percent capture best
balances the BSER factors and therefore why the EPA has determined it
to be the best of the possible options for the BSER.
i. Partial Capture CCS
Partial capture for CCS was not determined to be BSER because the
emission reductions are lower and the costs would, in general, be
higher. As discussed in section IV.B of this preamble, individual coal-
fired power plants are by far the highest-emitting plants in the
nation, and the coal-fired power plant sector is higher-emitting than
any other stationary source sector. CCS at 90 percent capture removes
very high absolute amounts of emissions. Partial capture CCS would fail
to capture large quantities of emissions. With respect to costs,
designs for 90 percent capture in general take greater advantage of
economies of scale. Eligibility for the IRC section 45Q tax credit for
existing EGUs requires design capture rates equivalent to 75 percent of
a baseline emission rate by mass. Even assuming partial capture rates
meet that definition, lower capture rates would receive fewer returns
from the IRC section 45Q tax credit (since these are tied to the amount
of carbon sequestered, and all else being equal lower capture rates
would result in lower amounts of sequestered carbon) and costs would
thereby be higher.
ii. Natural Gas Co-Firing
(A) Reasons Why Not Selected as BSER
As discussed in section VII.C.2, the EPA is determining 40 percent
natural gas co-firing to qualify as the BSER for the medium-term
subcategory of coal-fired steam generating units. This subcategory
consists of units that will permanently cease operation by January 1,
2039. In making this BSER determination, the EPA analyzed the ability
of all existing coal-fired units--not only medium-term units--to
install and operate 40 percent co-firing. As a result, all of the
determinations concerning the criteria for BSER that the EPA made for
40 percent co-firing apply to all existing coal-fired units, including
the units in the long-term subcategory. For example, 40 percent co-
firing is adequately demonstrated for the long-term subcategory, and
has reasonable energy requirements and reasonable non-air quality
environmental impacts. It would also be of reasonable cost for the
long-term subcategory. Although the capital expenditure for natural gas
co-firing is lower than CCS, the variable costs are higher. As a
result, the total costs of natural gas co-firing, in general, are
higher on a $/ton basis and not substantially lower on a $/MWh basis,
than for CCS. Were co-firing the BSER for long-term units, the cost
that industry would bear might then be considered similar to the cost
for CCS. In addition, the GHG Mitigation Measures TSD shows that all
coal-fired units would be able to achieve the requisite infrastructure
build-out and obtain sufficient quantities of natural gas to comply
with standards of performance based on 40 percent co-firing by January
1, 2030.
The EPA is not selecting 40 percent natural gas co-firing as the
BSER for the long-term subcategory, however, because it requires
substantially less emission reductions at the unit-level than 90
percent capture CCS. Natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of the heat
[[Page 39888]]
input to the steam generating unit achieves 16 percent reductions in
emission rate at the stack, while CCS achieves an 88.4 percent
reduction in emission rate. As discussed in section IV.B of this
preamble, individual coal-fired power plants are by far the highest-
emitting plants in the nation, and the coal-fired power plant sector is
higher-emitting than any other stationary source sector. Because the
unit-level emission reductions achievable by CCS are substantially
greater, and because CCS is of reasonable cost and matches up well
against the other BSER criteria, the EPA did not determine natural gas
co-firing to be BSER for the long-term subcategory although, under
other circumstances, it could be. Determining BSER requires the EPA to
select the ``best'' of the systems of emission reduction that are
adequately demonstrated, as described in section V.C.2; in this case,
there are two systems of emission reduction that match up well against
the BSER criteria, but based on weighing the criteria together, and in
light of the substantially greater unit-level emission reductions from
CCS, the EPA has determined that CCS is a better system of emission
reduction than co-firing for the long-term subcategory.
The EPA notes that if a state demonstrates that a long-term coal-
fired steam generating unit cannot install and operate CCS and cannot
otherwise reasonably achieve the degree of emission limitation that the
EPA has determined based on CCS, following the process the EPA has
specified in its applicable regulations for consideration of RULOF, the
state would evaluate natural gas co-firing as a potential basis for
establishing a less stringent standard of performance, as detailed in
section X.C.2 of this document.
iii. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate improvements were not considered to be BSER for long-term
steam generating units because the achievable reductions are very low
and may result in a rebound effect whereby total emissions from the
source increase, as detailed in section VII.D.4.a of this preamble.
Comment: One commenter requested that HRI be considered as BSER in
addition to CCS, so that long-term sources would be required to achieve
reductions in emission rate consistent with performing HRI and adding
CCS with 90 percent capture to the source.
Response: As described in section VII.D.4.a, the reductions from
HRI are very low and many sources have already made HRI, so that
additional reductions are not available. It is possible that a source
installing CO2 capture will make efficiency improvements as
a matter of best practices. For example, Boundary Dam Unit 3 made
upgrades to the existing steam generating unit when CCS was installed,
including installing a new steam turbine.\660\ However, the reductions
from efficiency improvements would not be additive to the reductions
from CCS because of the impact of the CO2 capture plant on
the efficiency of source due to the required steam and electricity load
of the capture plant.
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\660\ IEAGHG Report 2015-06. Integrated Carbon Capture and
Storage Project at SaskPower's Boundary Dam Power Station. August
2015. https://ieaghg.org/publications/technical-reports/reports-list/9-technical-reports/935-2015-06-integrated-ccs-project-at-saskpower-s-boundary-dam-power-station.
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c. Conclusion
Coal-fired EGUs remain the largest stationary source of dangerous
CO2 emissions. The EPA is finalizing CCS at a capture rate
of 90 percent as the BSER for long-term coal-fired steam generating
units because this system satisfies the criteria for BSER as summarized
here. CCS at a capture rate of 90 percent as the BSER for long-term
coal-fired steam generating units is adequately demonstrated, as
indicated by the facts that it has been operated at scale, is widely
applicable to these sources, and that there are vast sequestration
opportunities across the continental U.S. Additionally, accounting for
recent technology cost declines as well as policies including the tax
credit under IRC section 45Q, the costs for CCS are reasonable.
Moreover, any adverse non-air quality health and environmental impacts
and energy requirements of CCS, including impacts on the power sector
on a nationwide basis, are limited and can be effectively avoided or
mitigated. In contrast, co-firing 40 percent natural gas would achieve
far fewer emission reductions without improving the cost reasonableness
of the control strategy.
These considerations provide the basis for finalizing CCS as the
best of the systems of emission reduction for long-term coal-fired
power plants. In addition, determining CCS as the BSER promotes
advancements in control technology for CO2, which is a
relevant consideration when establishing BSER under section 111 of the
CAA.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
CCS with 90 percent capture is adequately demonstrated based on the
information in section VII.C.1.a.i of this preamble. Solvent-based
CO2 capture was patented nearly 100 years ago in the 1930s
\661\ and has been used in a variety of industrial applications for
decades. Thousands of miles of CO2 pipelines have been
constructed and securely operated in the U.S. for decades.\662\ And
tens of millions of tons of CO2 have been permanently stored
deep underground either for geologic sequestration or in association
with EOR.\663\ There are currently at least 15 operating CCS projects
in the U.S., and another 121 that are under construction or in advanced
stages of development.\664\ This broad application of CCS demonstrates
the successful operation of all three components of CCS, operating both
independently and simultaneously. Various CO2 capture
methods are used in industrial applications and are tailored to the
flue gas conditions of a particular industry (see the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units for details). Of those
capture technologies, amine solvent-based capture has been demonstrated
for removal of CO2 from the post-combustion flue gas of
fossil fuel-fired EGUs.
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\661\ Bottoms, R.R. Process for Separating Acidic Gases (1930)
United States patent application. United States Patent US1783901A;
Allen, A.S. and Arthur, M. Method of Separating Carbon Dioxide from
a Gas Mixture (1933) United States Patent Application. United States
Patent US1934472A.
\662\ U.S. Department of Transportation, Pipeline and Hazardous
Material Safety Administration, ``Hazardous Annual Liquid Data.''
2022. https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/data-and-statistics/pipeline/gas-distribution-gas-gathering-gas-transmission-hazardous-liquids.
\663\ US EPA. GHGRP. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/supply-underground-injection-and-geologic-sequestration-carbon-dioxide.
\664\ Carbon Capture and Storage in the United States. CBO.
December 13, 2023. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59345.
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Since 1978, an amine-based system has been used to capture
approximately 270,000 metric tons of CO2 per year from the
flue gas of the bituminous coal-fired steam generating units at the 63
MW Argus Cogeneration Plant (Trona, California).\665\ Amine solvent
capture has been further demonstrated at coal-fired power plants
including AES's Warrior Run and Shady Point. And since 2014, CCS has
been applied at the commercial scale at Boundary Dam Unit 3, a 110 MW
lignite coal-fired steam generating unit in Saskatchewan, Canada.
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\665\ Dooley, J.J., et al. (2009). ``An Assessment of the
Commercial Availability of Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage
Technologies as of June 2009.'' U.S. DOE, Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory, under Contract DE-AC05-76RL01830.
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Impending increases in Canadian regulatory CO2 emission
requirements have prompted optimization of Boundary Dam Unit 3 so that
the facility now captures 83 percent of its total CO2
emissions. Moreover, from the flue gas
[[Page 39889]]
treated, Boundary Dam Unit 3 consistently captured 90 percent or more
of the CO2 over a 3-year period. The adequate demonstration
of CCS is further corroborated by the EPAct05-assisted 240MW-equivalent
Petra Nova CCS project at the coal-fired W.A. Parish Unit 8, which
achieved over 90 percent capture from the treated flue gas during a 3-
year period. Additionally, the technical improvements put in practice
at Boundary Dam Unit 3 and Petra Nova can be put in place on new
capture facilities during initial construction. This includes
redundancies and isolations for key equipment, and spray systems to
limit fly ash carryover. Projects that have announced plans to install
CO2 capture directly include these improvements in their
design and employ new solvents achieving higher capture rates that are
commercially available from technology providers. As a result, these
projects target capture efficiencies of at least 95 percent, well above
the BSER finalized here.
Precedent, building upon the statutory text and context, has
established that the EPA may make a finding of adequate demonstration
by drawing upon existing data from individual commercial-scale sources,
including testing at these sources,\666\ and that the agency may make
projections based on existing data to establish a more stringent
standard than has been regularly shown,\667\ in particular in cases
when the agency can specifically identify technological improvements
that can be expected to achieve the standard in question.\668\ Further,
the EPA may extrapolate based on testing at a particular kind of source
to conclude that the technology at issue will also be effective at a
different, related, source.\669\ Following this legal standard, the
available data regarding performance and testing at Boundary Dam, a
commercial-scale plant, is enough, by itself, to support the EPA's
adequate demonstration finding for a 90 percent standard. In addition
to this, however, in the 9 years since Boundary Dam began operating,
operators and the EPA have developed a clear understanding of specific
technological improvements which, if implemented, the EPA can
reasonably expect to lead to a 90 percent capture rate on a regular and
ongoing basis. The D.C. Circuit has established that this information
is more than enough to establish that a 90 percent standard is
achievable.\670\ And per Lignite Energy Council, the findings from
Boundary Dam can be extrapolated to other, similarly operating power
plants, including natural gas plants.\671\
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\666\ See Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427 (D.C.
Cir. 1973); Nat'l Asphalt Pavement Ass'n v. Train, 539 F.2d 775
(D.C. Cir. 1976).
\667\ See id.
\668\ See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (1981).
\669\ Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir.
1999).
\670\ See, e.g., Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427
(D.C. Cir. 1973); Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298 (1981).
\671\ 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir. 1999).
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Transport of CO2 and geological storage of
CO2 have also been adequately demonstrated, as detailed in
VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7) and VII.C.1.a.i(D)(2). CO2 has been
transported through pipelines for over 60 years, and in the past 20
years, 500 million metric tons of CO2 moved through over
5,000 miles of CO2 pipelines. CO2 pipeline
controls and PHMSA standards ensure that captured CO2 will
be securely conveyed to a sequestration site. Due to the proximity of
sources to storage, it would be feasible for most sources to build
smaller and shorter source-to-sink laterals, rather than rely on a
trunkline network buildout. In addition to pipelines, CO2
can also be transported via vessel, highway, or rail. Geological
storage is proven and broadly available, and of the coal-fired steam
generating units with planned operation during or after 2030, 77
percent are within 40 miles of the boundary of a saline reservoir.
The EPA also considered the timelines, materials, and workforce
necessary for installing CCS, and determined they are sufficient.
ii. Cost
Process improvements have resulted in a decrease in the projected
costs to install CCS on existing coal-fired steam generating units.
Additionally, the IRC section 45Q tax credit provides $85 per metric
ton ($77 per ton) of CO2. It is reasonable to account for
the IRC section 45Q tax credit because the costs that should be
accounted for are the costs to the source. For the fleet of coal-fired
steam generating units with planned operation during or after 2033, and
assuming a 12-year amortization period and 80 percent annual capacity
factor and including source specific transport and storage costs, the
average total costs of CCS are -$5/ton of CO2 reduced and -
$4/MWh. And even for shorter amortization periods, the $/MWh costs are
comparable to or less than the costs for other controls ($10.60-$18.50/
MWh) for a substantial number of sources. Notably, the EPA's IPM model
projects that even without this final rule--that is, in the base case,
without any CAA section 111 requirements--some units would deploy CCS.
Similarly, the IPM model projects that even if this rule determined 40
percent co-firing to be the BSER for long-term coal, instead of CCS,
some additional units would deploy CCS. Therefore, the costs of CCS
with 90 percent capture are reasonable.
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impacts and Energy
Requirements
The CO2 capture plant requires substantial pre-treatment
of the flue gas to remove SO2 and fly ash (PM) while other
controls and process designs are necessary to minimize solvent
degradation and solvent loss. Although CCS has the potential to result
in some increases in non-GHG emissions, a robust regulatory framework,
generally implemented at the state level, is in place to mitigate other
non-GHG emissions from the CO2 capture plant. For transport,
pipeline safety is regulated by PHMSA, while UIC Class VI regulations
under the SDWA, in tandem with GHGRP subpart RR requirements, ensure
the protection of USDWs and the security of geologic sequestration.
Therefore, the potential non-air quality health and environmental
impacts do not militate against designating CCS as the BSER for long-
term steam EGUs. The EPA also considered energy requirements. While the
CO2 capture plant requires steam and electricity to operate,
the incentives provided by the IRC section 45Q tax credit will likely
result in increased total generation from the source. Therefore, the
energy requirements are not unreasonable, and there would be limited,
non-adverse impacts on the broader energy sector.
2. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing its conclusion that 40 percent natural gas
co-firing on a heat input basis is the BSER for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units. Co-firing 40 percent natural gas, on an annual
average heat input basis, results in a 16 percent reduction in
CO2 emission rate. The technology has been adequately
demonstrated, can be implemented at reasonable cost, does not have
significant adverse non-air quality health and environmental impacts or
energy requirements, including impacts on the energy sector, and
achieves meaningful reductions in CO2 emissions. Co-firing
also advances useful control technology, which provides additional,
although not essential, support for treating it as the BSER.
[[Page 39890]]
a. Rationale for the Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Unit
Subcategory
For the development of the emission guidelines, the EPA first
considered CCS as the BSER for existing coal-fired steam generating
units. CCS generally achieves significant emission reductions at
reasonable cost. Typically, in setting the BSER, the EPA assumes that
regulated units will continue to operate indefinitely. However, that
assumption is not appropriate for all coal-fired steam generating
units. 62 percent of existing coal-fired steam generating units greater
than 25 MW have already announced that they will retire or convert from
coal to gas by 2039.\672\ CCS is capital cost-intensive, entailing a
certain period to amortize the capital costs. Therefore, the EPA
evaluated the costs of CCS for different amortization periods, as
detailed in section VII.C.1.a.ii of the preamble, and determined that
CCS was cost reasonable, on average, for sources operating more than 7
years after the compliance date of January 1, 2032. Accordingly, units
that cease operating before January 1, 2039, will generally have less
time to amortize the capital costs, and the costs for those sources
would be higher and thereby less comparable to those the EPA has
previously determined to be reasonable. Considering this, and the other
factors evaluated in determining BSER, the EPA is not finalizing CCS as
BSER for units demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease
operation prior to January 1, 2039.
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\672\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. National Electric
Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7. December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs.
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Instead, the EPA is subcategorizing these units into the medium-
term subcategory and finalizing a BSER based on 40 percent natural gas
co-firing on a heat input basis for these units. Co-firing natural gas
at 40 percent has significantly lower capital costs than CCS and can be
implemented by January 1, 2030. For sources that expect to continue in
operation until January 1, 2039, and that therefore have a 9-year
amortization period, the costs of 40 percent co-firing are $73/ton of
CO2 reduced or $13/MWh of generation, which supports their
reasonableness because they are comparable to or less than the costs
detailed in section VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this preamble for other controls
on EGUs ($10.60 to $18.50/MWh) and for GHGs for the Crude Oil and
Natural Gas source category in the 2016 NSPS of $98/ton of
CO2e reduced (80 FR 56627; September 18, 2015). Co-firing is
also cost-reasonable for sources permanently ceasing operations sooner,
and that therefore have a shorter amortization period. As discussed in
section VII.B.2 of this preamble, with a two-year amortization period,
many units can co-fire with meaningful amounts of natural gas at
reasonable cost. Of course, even more can co-fire at reasonable costs
with amortization periods longer than two years. For example, the EPA
has determined that 33 percent of sources with an amortization period
of at least three years have costs for 40 percent co-firing below both
of the $/ton and $/MWh metrics, and 68 percent of those sources have
costs for 20 percent co-firing below both of those metrics. Therefore,
recognizing that operating horizon affects the cost reasonableness of
controls, the EPA is finalizing a separate subcategory for coal-fired
steam generating units operating in the medium-term--those
demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operation after
December 31, 2031, and before January 1, 2039--with 40 percent natural
gas co-firing as the BSER.
i. Legal Basis for Establishing the Medium-Term Subcategory
As noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble, the EPA has broad
authority under CAA section 111(d) to identify subcategories. As also
noted in section V.C.1, the EPA's authority to ``distinguish among
classes, types, and sizes within categories,'' as provided under CAA
section 111(b)(2) and as we interpret CAA section 111(d) to provide as
well, generally allows the Agency to place types of sources into
subcategories when they have characteristics that are relevant to the
controls that the EPA may determine to be the BSER for those sources.
One element of the BSER is cost reasonableness. See CAA section
111(d)(1) (requiring the EPA, in setting the BSER, to ``tak[e] into
account the cost of achieving such reduction''). As noted in section V,
the EPA's longstanding regulations under CAA section 111(d) explicitly
recognize that subcategorizing may be appropriate for sources based on
the ``costs of control.'' \673\ Subcategorizing on the basis of
operating horizon is consistent with a key characteristic of the coal-
fired power industry that is relevant for determining the cost
reasonableness of control requirements: A large percentage of the
sources in the industry have already announced, and more are expected
to announce, dates for ceasing operation, and the fact that many coal-
fired steam generating units intend to cease operation in the near term
affects what controls are ``best'' for different subcategories.\674\ At
the outset, installation of emission control technology takes time,
sometimes several years. Whether the costs of control are reasonable
depends in part on the period of time over which the affected sources
can amortize those costs. Sources that have shorter operating horizons
will have less time to amortize capital costs. Thus, the annualized
cost of controls may thereby be less comparable to the costs the EPA
has previously determined to be reasonable.\675\
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\673\ 40 CFR 60.22(b)(5), 60.22a(b)(5).
\674\ The EPA recognizes that section 111(d) provides that in
applying standards of performance, a state may take into account,
among other factors, the remaining useful life of a facility. The
EPA believes that provision is intended to address exceptional
circumstances at particular facilities, while the EPA has the
responsibility to determine how to address the source category as a
whole. See 88 FR 80480, 80511 (November 17, 2023) (``Under CAA 111,
EPA must provide BSER and degree of emission limitation
determinations that are, to the extent reasonably practicable,
applicable to all designated facilities in the source category. In
many cases, this requires the EPA to create subcategories of
designated facilities, each of which has a BSER and degree of
emission limitation tailored to its circumstances. . . . However, as
Congress recognized, this may not be possible in every instance
because, for example, it is not be feasible [sic] for the Agency to
know and consider the idiosyncrasies of every designated facility or
because the circumstances of individual facilities change after the
EPA determined the BSER.'') (internal citations omitted). That a
state may take into account the remaining useful life of an
individual source, however, does not bar the EPA from considering
operating horizon as a factor in determining whether
subcategorization is appropriate. As discussed, the authority to
subcategorize is encompassed within the EPA's authority to identify
the BSER. Here, where many units share similar characteristics and
have announced intended shorter operating horizons, it is
permissible for the EPA to take operating horizon into account in
determining the BSER for this subcategory of sources. States may
continue to take RULOF factors into account for particular units
where the information relevant to those units is fundamentally
different than the information the EPA took into account in
determining the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER. Should a court conclude that the EPA does
not have the authority to create a subcategory based on the date at
which units intend to cease operation, then the EPA believes it
would be reasonable for states to consider co-firing as an
alternative to CCS as an option for these units through the states'
authority to consider, among other factors, remaining useful life.
\675\ Steam Electric Reconsideration Rule, 85 FR 64650, 64679
(October 13, 2020) (distinguishes between EGUs retiring before 2028
and EGUs remaining in operation after that time).
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In addition, subcategorizing by length of period of continued
operation is similar to two other bases for subcategorization on which
the EPA has relied in prior rules, each of which implicates the cost
reasonableness of controls: The first is load level, noted in section
V.C.1. of this preamble. For
[[Page 39891]]
example, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA divided new natural gas-fired
combustion turbines into the subcategories of base load and non-base
load. 80 FR 64602 (table 15) (October 23, 2015). The EPA did so because
the control technologies that were ``best''--including consideration of
feasibility and cost reasonableness--depended on how much the unit
operated. The load level, which relates to the amount of product
produced on a yearly or other basis, bears similarity to a limit on a
period of continued operation, which concerns the amount of time
remaining to produce the product. In both cases, certain technologies
may not be cost-reasonable because of the capacity to produce product--
i.e., the costs are spread over less product produced.
Subcategorization on this basis is also supported by how utilities
manage their assets over the long term, and was widely supported by
industry commenters.
The second basis for subcategorization on which EPA has previously
relied is fuel type, as also noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble.
The 2015 NSPS provides an example of this type of subcategorization as
well. There, the EPA divided new combustion turbines into subcategories
on the basis of type of fuel combusted. Id. Subcategorizing on the
basis of the type of fuel combusted may be appropriate when different
controls have different costs, depending on the type of fuel, so that
the cost reasonableness of the control depends on the type of fuel. In
that way, it is similar to subcategorizing by operating horizon because
in both cases, the subcategory is based upon the cost reasonableness of
controls. Subcategorizing by operating horizon is also tantamount to
the length of time over which the source will continue to combust the
fuel. Subcategorizing on this basis may be appropriate when different
controls for a particular fuel have different costs, depending on the
length of time when the fuel will continue to be combusted, so that the
cost reasonableness of controls depends on that timeframe. Some prior
EPA rules for coal-fired sources have made explicit the link between
length of time for continued operation and type of fuel combusted by
codifying federally enforceable retirement dates as the dates by which
the source must ``cease burning coal.'' \676\
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\676\ See 79 FR 5031, 5192 (January 30, 2014) (explaining that
``[t]he construction permit issued by Wyoming requires Naughton Unit
3 to cease burning coal by December 31, 2017, and to be retrofitted
to natural gas as its fuel source by June 30, 2018'' (emphasis
added)).
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As noted above, creating a subcategory on the basis of operating
horizon does not preclude a state from considering RULOF in applying a
standard of performance to a particular source. The EPA's authority to
set BSER for a source category (including subcategories) and a state's
authority to invoke RULOF for individual sources within a category or
subcategory are distinct. The EPA's statutory obligation is to
determine a generally applicable BSER for a source category, and where
that source category encompasses different classes, types, or sizes of
sources, to set generally applicable BSERs for subcategories accounting
for those differences. By contrast, states' authority to invoke RULOF
is premised on the state's ability to take into account information
relevant to individual units that is fundamentally different than the
information the EPA took into account in determining BSER generally. As
noted, the EPA may subcategorize on the basis of cost of controls, and
operating horizon may factor into the cost of controls. Moreover,
through section 111(d)(1), Congress also required the EPA to develop
regulations that permit states to consider ``among other factors, the
remaining useful life'' of a particular existing source. The EPA has
interpreted these other factors to include costs or technical
feasibility specific to a particular source, even though these are
factors the EPA itself considers in setting the BSER. In other words,
the factors the EPA may consider in setting the BSER and the factors
the states may consider in applying standards of performance are not
distinct. As noted above, the EPA is finalizing these subcategories in
response to requests by power sector representatives that this rule
accommodate the fact that there is a class of sources that plan to
voluntarily cease operations in the near term. Although the EPA has
designed the subcategories to accommodate those requests, a particular
source may still present source-specific considerations--whether
related to its remaining useful life or other factors--that the state
may consider relevant for the application of that particular source's
standard of performance, and that the state should address as described
in section X.C.2 of this preamble.
ii. Comments Received on Existing Coal-Fired Subcategories
Comment: The EPA received several comments on the proposed
subcategories for coal-fired steam generating units. Many commenters,
including industry commenters, supported these subcategories. Some
commenters opposed these proposed subcategories. They argued that the
subcategories were designed to force coal-fired power plants to retire.
Response: We disagree with comments suggesting that the
subcategories for existing coal-fired steam EGUs that the EPA has
finalized in this rule were designed to force retirements. The
subcategories were not designed for that purpose, and the commenters do
not explain their allegations to the contrary. The subcategories were
designed, at industry's request,\677\ to ensure that subcategories of
units that can feasibly and cost-reasonably employ emissions reduction
technologies--and only those subcategories of units that can do so--are
required to reduce their emissions commensurate with those
technologies. As explained above, in determining the BSER, the EPA
generally assumes that a source will operate indefinitely, and
calculates expected control costs on that basis. Under that assumption,
the BSER for existing fossil-fuel fired EGUs is CCS. Nevertheless, the
EPA recognizes that many fossil-fuel fired EGUs have already announced
plans to cease operation. In recognition of this unique, distinguishing
factor, the EPA determined whether a different BSER would be
appropriate for fossil fuel-fired EGUs that do not intend to operate
over the long term, and concluded, for the reasons stated above, that
natural gas co-firing was appropriate for these sources that intended
to cease operation before 2039. This subcategory is not intended to
force retirements, and the EPA is not directing any state or any unit
as to the choice of when to cease operation. Rather, the EPA has
created this subcategory to accommodate these sources' intended
operation plans. In fact, a number of industry commenters specifically
requested and supported subcategories based on retirement dates in
recognition of the reality that many operators are choosing to retire
these units and that whether or not a control technology is feasible
and cost-reasonable depends upon how long a unit intends to operate.
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\677\ As described in the proposal, during the early engagement
process, industry stakeholders requested that the EPA ``[p]rovide
approaches that allow for the retirement of units as opposed to
investments in new control technologies, which could prolong the
lives of higher-emitting EGUs; this will achieve maximum and durable
environmental benefits.'' Industry stakeholders also suggested that
the EPA recognize that some units may remain operational for a
several-year period but will do so at limited capacity (in part to
assure reliability), and then voluntarily cease operations entirely.
88 FR 33245 (May 23, 2023).
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Specifically, as noted in section VII.B of this preamble, in this
final action, the
[[Page 39892]]
medium-term subcategory includes a date for permanently ceasing
operation, which applies to coal-fired plants demonstrating that they
plan to permanently cease operating after December 31, 2031, and before
January 1, 2039. The EPA is retaining this subcategory because 55
percent of existing coal-fired steam generating units greater than 25
MW have already announced that they will retire or convert from coal to
gas by January 1, 2039.\678\ Accordingly, the costs of CCS--the high
capital costs of which require a lengthy amortization period from its
January 1, 2032, implementation date--are higher than the traditional
metric for cost reasonableness for these sources. As discussed in
section VII.C.2 of this preamble, the BSER for these sources is co-
firing 40 percent natural gas. This is because co-firing, which has an
implementation date of January 1, 2030, has lower capital costs and is
therefore cost-reasonable for sources continuing to operate on or after
January 1, 2032. It is further noted that this subcategory is elective.
Furthermore, states also have the authority to establish a less
stringent standard through RULOF in the state plan process, as detailed
in section X.C.2 of this preamble.
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\678\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. National Electric
Energy Data System (NEEDS) v7. December 2023. https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs.
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In sum, these emission guidelines do not require any coal-fired
steam EGU to retire, nor are they intended to induce retirements.
Rather, these emission guidelines simply set forth presumptive
standards that are cost-reasonable and achievable for each subcategory
of existing coal-fired steam EGUs. See section VII.E.1 of this preamble
(responding to comments that this rule violates the major questions
doctrine).
Comment: The EPA broadly solicited comment on the dates and values
defining the proposed subcategories for coal-fired steam generating
units. Regarding the proposed dates for the subcategories, one industry
stakeholder commented that the ``EPA's proposed retirement dates for
applicability of the various subcategories are appropriate and broadly
consistent with system reliability needs.'' \679\ More specifically,
industry commenters requested that the cease-operation-by date for the
imminent-term subcategory be changed from January 1, 2032, to January
1, 2033. Industry commenters also stated that the 20 percent
utilization limit in the definition of the near-term subcategory was
overly restrictive and inconsistent with the emissions stringency of
either the proposed medium term or imminent term subcategory--
commenters requested greater flexibility for the near-term subcategory.
Other comments from NGOs and other groups suggested various other
changes to the subcategory definitions. One commenter requested moving
the cease-operation-by date for the medium-term subcategory up to
January 1, 2038, while eliminating the imminent-term subcategory and
extending the near-term subcategory to January 1, 2038.
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\679\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0772.
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Response: The EPA is not finalizing the proposed imminent-term or
near-term subcategories. The EPA is finalizing an applicability
exemption for sources demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease
operation prior to January 1, 2032, as detailed in section VII.B of
this preamble. The EPA is finalizing the cease operating by date of
January 1, 2039, for medium-term coal-fired steam generating units.
These dates are all based on costs of co-firing and CCS, driven by
their amortization periods, as discussed in the preceding sections of
this preamble.
b. Rationale for Natural Gas Co-Firing as the BSER for Medium-Term
Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
In this section of the preamble, the EPA describes its rationale
for natural gas co-firing as the final BSER for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units.
For a coal-fired steam generating unit, the substitution of natural
gas for some of the coal, so that the unit fires a combination of coal
and natural gas, is known as ``natural gas co-firing.'' The EPA is
finalizing natural gas co-firing at a level of 40 percent of annual
heat input as BSER for medium-term coal-fired steam generating units.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA is finalizing its determination that natural gas co-firing
at the level of 40 percent of annual heat input is adequately
demonstrated for coal-fired steam generating units. Many existing coal-
fired steam generating units already use some amount of natural gas,
and several have co-fired at relatively high levels at or above 40
percent of heat input in recent years.
(A) Boiler Modifications
Existing coal-fired steam generating units can be modified to co-
fire natural gas in any desired proportion with coal, up to 100 percent
natural gas. Generally, the modification of existing boilers to enable
or increase natural gas firing typically involves the installation of
new gas burners and related boiler modifications, including, for
example, new fuel supply lines and modifications to existing air ducts.
The introduction of natural gas as a fuel can reduce boiler efficiency
slightly, due in large part to the relatively high hydrogen content of
natural gas. However, since the reduction in coal can result in reduced
auxiliary power demand, the overall impact on net heat rate can range
from a 2 percent increase to a 2 percent decrease.
It is common practice for steam generating units to have the
capability to burn multiple fuels onsite, and of the 565 coal-fired
steam generating units operating at the end of 2021, 249 of them
reported consuming natural gas as a fuel or startup source. Coal-fired
steam generating units often use natural gas or oil as a startup fuel,
to warm the units up before running them at full capacity with coal.
While startup fuels are generally used at low levels (up to roughly 1
percent of capacity on an annual average basis), some coal-fired steam
generating units have co-fired natural gas at considerably higher
shares. Based on hourly reported CO2 emission rates from the
start of 2015 through the end of 2020, 29 coal-fired steam generating
units co-fired with natural gas at rates at or above 60 percent of
capacity on an hourly basis.\680\ The capability of those units on an
hourly basis is indicative of the extent of boiler burner modifications
and sizing and capacity of natural gas pipelines to those units, and
implies that those units are technically capable of co-firing at least
60 percent natural gas on a heat input basis on average over the course
of an extended period (e.g., a year). Additionally, during that same
2015 through 2020 period, 29 coal-fired steam generating units co-fired
natural gas at over 40 percent on an annual heat input basis. Because
of the number of units that have demonstrated co-firing above 40
percent of heat input, the EPA is finalizing that co-firing at 40
percent is adequately demonstrated. A more detailed discussion of the
record of natural gas co-firing, including current trends, at coal-
fired steam generating units is included in the final TSD, GHG
Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
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\680\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ``Power Sector
Emissions Data.'' Washington, DC: Office of Atmospheric Protection,
Clean Air Markets Division. Available from EPA's Air Markets Program
Data website: https://campd.epa.gov.
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(B) Natural Gas Pipeline Development
In addition to any potential boiler modifications, the supply of
natural gas is necessary to enable co-firing at existing coal-fired
steam boilers. As
[[Page 39893]]
discussed in the previous section, many plants already have at least
some access to natural gas. In order to increase natural gas access
beyond current levels, plants may find it necessary to construct
natural gas supply pipelines.
The U.S. natural gas pipeline network consists of approximately 3
million miles of pipelines that connect natural gas production with
consumers of natural gas. To increase natural gas consumption at a
coal-fired boiler without sufficient existing natural gas access, it is
necessary to connect the facility to the natural gas pipeline
transmission network via the construction of a lateral pipeline. The
cost of doing so is a function of the total necessary pipeline capacity
(which is characterized by the length, size, and number of laterals)
and the location of the plant relative to the existing pipeline
transmission network. The EPA estimated the costs associated with
developing new lateral pipeline capacity sufficient to meet 60 percent
of the net summer capacity at each coal-fired steam generating unit
that could be included in this subcategory. As discussed in the final
TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units, the EPA
estimates that this lateral capacity would be sufficient to enable each
unit to achieve 40 percent natural gas co-firing on an annual average
basis.
The EPA considered the availability of the upstream natural gas
pipeline capacity to satisfy the assumed co-firing demand implied by
these new laterals. This analysis included pipeline development at all
EGUs that could be included in this subcategory, including those
without announced plans to cease operating before January 1, 2039. The
EPA's assessment reviewed the reasonableness of each assumed new
lateral by determining whether the peak gas capacity of that lateral
could be satisfied without modification of the transmission pipeline
systems to which it is assumed to be connected. This analysis found
that most, if not all, existing pipeline systems are currently able to
meet the peak needs implied by these new laterals in aggregate,
assuming that each existing coal-fired unit in the analysis co-fired
with natural gas at a level implied by these new laterals, or 60
percent of net summer generating capacity. While this is a reasonable
assumption for the analysis to support this mitigation measure in the
BSER context, it is also a conservative assumption that overstates the
amount of natural gas co-firing expected under the final rule.\681\
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\681\ In practice, not all sources would necessarily be subject
to a natural gas co-firing BSER in compliance. E.g., some portion of
that population of sources could install CCS, so the resulting
amount of natural gas co-firing would be less.
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Most of these individual laterals are less than 15 miles in length.
The maximum aggregate amount of pipeline capacity, if all coal-fired
steam capacity that could be included in the medium-term subcategory
(i.e., all capacity that has not announced that it plans to retire by
2032) implemented the final BSER by co-firing 40 percent natural gas,
would be comparable to pipeline capacity constructed recently. The EPA
estimates that this maximum total capacity would be nearly 14.7 billion
cubic feet per day, which would require about 3,500 miles of pipeline
costing roughly $11.5 billion. Over 2 years,\682\ this maximum total
incremental pipeline capacity would amount to less than 1,800 miles per
year, with a total annual capacity of roughly 7.35 billion cubic feet
per day. This represents an estimated annual investment of
approximately $5.75 billion per year in capital expenditures, on
average. By comparison, based on data collected by EIA, the total
annual mileage of natural gas pipelines constructed over the 2017-2021
period ranged from approximately 1,000 to 2,500 miles per year, with a
total annual capacity of 10 to 25 billion cubic feet per day. This
represents an estimated annual investment of up to nearly $15 billion.
The upper end of these historical annual values is much higher than the
maximum annual values that could be expected under this final BSER
measure--which, as noted above, represent a conservative estimate that
significantly overstates the amount of co-firing that the EPA projects
would occur under this final rule.
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\682\ The average time for permitting for a natural gas pipeline
lateral is 1.5 years, and many sources could be permitted faster
(about 1 year) so that it is reasonable to assume that many sources
could begin construction by June 2027. The average time for
construction of an individual pipeline is about 1 year or less.
Considering this, the EPA assumes construction of all of the natural
gas pipeline laterals in the analysis occurs over a 2-year period
(June 2027 through June 2029), and notes that in practice some of
these projects could be constructed outside of this period.
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These conservatively high estimates of pipeline requirements also
compare favorably to industry projections of future pipeline capacity
additions. Based on a review of a 2018 industry report, titled ``North
America Midstream Infrastructure through 2035: Significant Development
Continues,'' investment in midstream infrastructure development is
expected to range between $10 to $20 billion per year through 2035.
Approximately $5 to $10 billion annually is expected to be invested in
natural gas pipelines through 2035. This report also projects that an
average of over 1,400 miles of new natural gas pipeline will be built
through 2035, which is similar to the approximately 1,670 miles that
were built on average from 2013 to 2017. These values are consistent
with the average annual expenditure of $5.75 billion on less than 1,800
miles per year of new pipeline construction that would be necessary for
the entire operational fleet of existing coal-fired steam generating
units to co-fire with natural gas. The actual pipeline investment for
this subcategory would be substantially lower.
(C) Compliance Date for Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
The EPA is finalizing a compliance date for medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units of January 1, 2030.
As in the timeline for CCS for the long term coal-fired steam
generating units described in section VII.C.1.a.i(E), the EPA assumes
here that feasibility work occurs during the state plan development
period, and that all subsequent work occurs after the state plan is
submitted and thereby effective at the state level. The EPA assumes 12
months of feasibility work for the natural gas pipeline lateral and 6
months of feasibility work for boiler modifications (both to occur over
June 2024 to June 2025). As with the feasibility analysis for CCS, the
feasibility analysis for co-firing will inform the state plan and
therefore it is reasonable to assume units will perform it during the
state planning window. Feasibility for the pipeline includes a right-
of-way and routing analysis. Feasibility for the boiler modifications
includes conceptual studies and design basis.
The timeline for the natural gas pipeline permitting and
construction is based on a review of recently completed permitting
approvals and construction.\683\ The average time to complete
permitting and approval is less than 1.5 years, and the average time to
complete actual construction is less than 1 year. Of the 31 reviewed
pipeline projects, the vast majority (27 projects) took less than a
total of 3 years for permitting and construction, and none took more
than 3.5 years. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that permitting
and construction would take no more than 3 years for most sources (June
2026 to June 2029), noting that permitting
[[Page 39894]]
and construction for many sources would be faster.
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\683\ Documentation for the Lateral Cost Estimation (2024), ICF
International. Available in Docket ID EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The timeline for boiler modifications based on the baseline
duration co-firing conversion project schedule developed by Sargent and
Lundy.\684\ The EPA assumes that, with the exception of the feasibility
studies discussed above, work on the boiler modifications begins after
the state plan submission due date. The EPA also assumes permitting for
the boiler modifications is required and takes 12 months (June 2026 to
June 2027). In the schedule developed by Sargent and Lundy, commercial
arrangements for the boiler modification take about 6 months (June 2026
to December 2026). Detailed engineering and procurement takes about 7
months (December 2026 to July 2027), and begins after commercial
arrangements are complete. Site work takes 3 months (July 2027 to
October 2027), followed by 4 months of construction (October 2027 to
February 2028). Lastly, startup and testing takes about 2 months (June
2029 to August 2029), noting that the EPA assumes this occurs after the
natural gas pipeline lateral is constructed. Considering the preceding
information, the EPA has determined January 1, 2030 is the compliance
date for medium-term coal-fired steam generating units.
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\684\ Natural Gas Co-Firing Memo, Sargent & Lundy (2023).
Available in Docket ID EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ii. Costs
The capital costs associated with the addition of new gas burners
and other necessary boiler modifications depend on the extent to which
the current boiler is already able to co-fire with some natural gas and
on the amount of gas co-firing desired. The EPA estimates that, on
average, the total capital cost associated with modifying existing
boilers to operate at up to 100 percent of heat input using natural gas
is approximately $52/kW. These costs could be higher or lower,
depending on the equipment that is already installed and the expected
impact on heat rate or steam temperature.
While fixed O&M (FOM) costs can potentially decrease as a result of
decreasing the amount of coal consumed, it is common for plants to
maintain operation of one coal pulverizer at all times, which is
necessary for maintaining several coal burners in continuous service.
In this case, coal handling equipment would be required to operate
continuously and therefore natural gas co-firing would have limited
effect on reducing the coal-related FOM costs. Although, as noted,
coal-related FOM costs have the potential to decrease, the EPA does not
anticipate a significant increase in impact on FOM costs related to co-
firing with natural gas.
In addition to capital and FOM cost impacts, any additional natural
gas co-firing would result in incremental costs related to the
differential in fuel cost, taking into consideration the difference in
delivered coal and gas prices, as well as any potential impact on the
overall net heat rate. The EPA's reference case projects that in 2030,
the average delivered price of coal will be $1.56/MMBtu and the average
delivered price of natural gas will be $2.95/MMBtu. Thus, assuming the
same level of generation and no impact on heat rate, the additional
fuel cost would be $1.39/MMBtu on average in 2030. The total additional
fuel cost could increase or decrease depending on the potential impact
on net heat rate. An increase in net heat rate, for example, would
result in more fuel required to produce a given amount of generation
and thus additional cost. In the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units, the EPA's cost estimates assume a 1 percent
average increase in net heat rate.
Finally, for plants without sufficient access to natural gas, it is
also necessary to construct new natural gas pipelines (``laterals'').
Pipeline costs are typically expressed in terms of dollars per inch of
pipeline diameter per mile of pipeline distance (i.e., dollars per
inch-mile), reflecting the fact that costs increase with larger
diameters and longer pipelines. On average, the cost for lateral
development within the contiguous U.S. is approximately $280,000 per
inch-mile (2019$), which can vary based on site-specific factors. The
total pipeline cost for each coal-fired steam generating unit is a
function of this cost, as well as a function of the necessary pipeline
capacity and the location of the plant relative to the existing
pipeline transmission network. The pipeline capacity required depends
on the amount of co-firing desired as well as on the desired level of
generation--a higher degree of co-firing while operating at full load
would require more pipeline capacity than a lower degree of co-firing
while operating at partial load. It is reasonable to assume that most
plant owners would develop sufficient pipeline capacity to deliver the
maximum amount of desired gas use in any moment, enabling higher levels
of co-firing during periods of lower fuel price differentials. Once the
necessary pipeline capacity is determined, the total lateral cost can
be estimated by considering the location of each plant relative to the
existing natural gas transmission pipelines as well as the available
excess capacity of each of those existing pipelines.
The EPA determined the costs of 40 percent co-firing based on the
fleet of coal-fired steam generating units that existed in 2021 and
that do not have known plans to cease operations or convert to gas by
2032, and assuming that each of those units continues to operate at the
same level as it operated over 2017-2021. The EPA assessed those costs
against the cost reasonableness metrics, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.ii(D) of this preamble (i.e., emission control costs on EGUs
of $10.60 to $18.50/MWh and the costs in the 2016 NSPS regulating GHGs
for the Crude Oil and Natural Gas source category of $98/ton of
CO2e reduced (80 FR 56627; September 18, 2015)). On average,
the EPA estimates that the weighted average cost of co-firing with 40
percent natural gas as the BSER on an annual average basis is
approximately $73/ton CO2 reduced, or $13/MWh. The costs
here reflect an amortization period of 9 years. These estimates support
a conclusion that co-firing is cost-reasonable for sources that
continue to operate up until the January 1, 2039, threshold date for
the subcategory. The EPA also evaluated the fleet average costs of
natural gas co-firing for shorter amortization periods and has
determined that the costs are consistent with the cost reasonableness
metrics for the majority of sources that will operate past January 1,
2032, and therefore have an amortization period of at least 2 years and
up to 9 years. These estimates and all underlying assumptions are
explained in detail in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units. Based on this cost analysis, alongside the EPA's
overall assessment of the costs of this rule, the EPA is finalizing
that the costs of natural gas co-firing are reasonable for the medium-
term coal-fired steam generating unit subcategory. If a particular
source has costs of 40 percent co-firing that are fundamentally
different from the cost reasonability metrics, the state may consider
this fact under the RULOF provisions, as detailed in section X.C.2 of
this preamble. The EPA previously estimated the cost of natural gas co-
firing in the Clean Power Plan (CPP). 80 FR 64662 (October 23, 2015).
The cost-estimates for co-firing presented in this section are lower
than in the CPP, for several reasons. Since then, the expected
difference between coal and gas prices has decreased significantly,
from over $3/MMBtu to less than $1.50/MMBtu in this final rule.
Additionally,
[[Page 39895]]
a recent analysis performed by Sargent and Lundy for the EPA supports a
considerably lower capital cost for modifying existing boilers to co-
fire with natural gas. The EPA also recently conducted a highly
detailed facility-level analysis of natural gas pipeline costs, the
median value of which is slightly lower than the value used by the EPA
previously to approximate the cost of co-firing at a representative
unit.
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Natural gas co-firing for steam generating units is not expected to
have any significant adverse consequences related to non-air quality
health and environmental impacts or energy requirements.
(A) Non-GHG Emissions
Non-GHG emissions are reduced when steam generating units co-fire
with natural gas because less coal is combusted. SO2,
PM2.5, acid gas, mercury and other hazardous air pollutant
emissions that result from coal combustion are reduced proportionally
to the amount of natural gas consumed, i.e., under this final rule, by
40 percent. Natural gas combustion does produce NOX
emissions, but in lesser amounts than from coal-firing. However, the
magnitude of this reduction is dependent on the combustion system
modifications that are implemented to facilitate natural gas co-firing.
Sufficient regulations also exist related to natural gas pipelines
and transport that assure natural gas can be safely transported with
minimal risk of environmental release. PHMSA develops and enforces
regulations for the safe, reliable, and environmentally sound operation
of the nation's 2.6 million mile pipeline transportation system.
Recently, PHMSA finalized a rule that will improve the safety and
strengthen the environmental protection of more than 300,000 miles of
onshore gas transmission pipelines.\685\ PHMSA also recently
promulgated a separate rule covering natural gas transmission,\686\ as
well as a rule that significantly expanded the scope of safety and
reporting requirements for more than 400,000 miles of previously
unregulated gas gathering lines.\687\ FERC is responsible for the
regulation of the siting, construction, and/or abandonment of
interstate natural gas pipelines, gas storage facilities, and Liquified
Natural Gas (LNG) terminals.
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\685\ Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Transmission Pipelines:
Repair Criteria, Integrity Management Improvements, Cathodic
Protection, Management of Change, and Other Related Amendments (87
FR 52224; August 24, 2022).
\686\ Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Transmission Pipelines:
MAOP Reconfirmation, Expansion of Assessment Requirements, and Other
Related Amendments (84 FR 52180; October 1, 2019).
\687\ Pipeline Safety: Safety of Gas Gathering Pipelines:
Extension of Reporting Requirements, Regulation of Large, High-
Pressure Lines, and Other Related Amendments (86 FR 63266; November
15, 2021).
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(B) Energy Requirements
The introduction of natural gas co-firing will cause steam boilers
to be slightly less efficient due to the high hydrogen content of
natural gas. Co-firing at levels between 20 percent and 100 percent can
be expected to decrease boiler efficiency between 1 percent and 5
percent. However, despite the decrease in boiler efficiency, the
overall net output efficiency of a steam generating unit that switches
from coal- to natural gas-firing may change only slightly, in either a
positive or negative direction. Since co-firing reduces coal
consumption, the auxiliary power demand related to coal handling and
emissions controls typically decreases as well. While a site-specific
analysis would be required to determine the overall net impact of these
countervailing factors, generally the effect of co-firing on net unit
heat rate can vary within approximately plus or minus 2 percent.
The EPA previously determined in the ACE Rule (84 FR 32545; July 8,
2019) that ``co-firing natural gas in coal-fired utility boilers is not
the best or most efficient use of natural gas and [. . .] can lead to
less efficient operation of utility boilers.'' That determination was
informed by the more limited supply of natural gas, and the larger
amount of coal-fired EGU capacity and generation, in 2019. Since that
determination, the expected supply of natural gas has expanded
considerably, and the capacity and generation of the existing coal-
fired fleet has decreased, reducing the total mass of natural gas that
might be required for sources to implement this measure.
Furthermore, regarding the efficient operation of boilers, the ACE
determination was based on the observation that ``co-firing can
negatively impact a unit's heat rate (efficiency) due to the high
hydrogen content of natural gas and the resulting production of water
as a combustion by-product.'' That finding does not consider the fact
that the effect of co-firing on net unit heat rate can vary within
approximately plus or minus 2 percent, and therefore the net impact on
overall utility boiler efficiency for each steam generating unit is
uncertain.
For all of these reasons, the EPA is finalizing that natural gas
co-firing at medium-term coal-fired steam generating units does not
result in any significant adverse consequences related to energy
requirements.
Additionally, the EPA considered longer term impacts on the energy
sector, and the EPA is finalizing these impacts are reasonable.
Designating natural gas co-firing as the BSER for medium-term coal-
fired steam generating units would not have significant adverse impacts
on the structure of the energy sector. Steam generating units that
currently are coal-fired would be able to remain primarily coal-fired.
The replacement of some coal with natural gas as fuel in these sources
would not have significant adverse effects on the price of natural gas
or the price of electricity.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2 Emissions
One of the primary benefits of natural gas co-firing is emission
reduction. CO2 emissions are reduced by approximately 4
percent for every additional 10 percent of co-firing. When moving from
100 percent coal to 60 percent coal and 40 percent natural gas,
CO2 stack emissions are reduced by approximately 16 percent.
Non-CO2 emissions are reduced as well, as noted earlier in
this preamble.
v. Technology Advancement
Natural gas co-firing is already well-established and widely used
by coal-fired steam boiler generating units. As a result, this final
rule is not likely to lead to technological advances or cost reductions
in the components of natural gas co-firing, including modifications to
boilers and pipeline construction. However, greater use of natural gas
co-firing may lead to improvements in the efficiency of conducting
natural gas co-firing and operating the associated equipment.
c. Options Not Determined To Be the BSER for Medium-Term Coal-Fired
Steam Generating Units
i. CCS
As discussed earlier in this preamble, the compliance date for CCS
is January 1, 2032. Accordingly, sources in the medium-term
subcategory--which have elected to commit to permanently cease
operations prior to 2039--would have less than 7 years to amortize the
capital costs of CCS. As a result, for these sources, the overall costs
of CCS would exceed the metrics for cost reasonableness that the EPA is
using in
[[Page 39896]]
this rulemaking, which are detailed in section VII.C.1.a.ii(D). For
this reason, the EPA is not finalizing CCS as the BSER for the medium-
term subcategory.
ii. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate improvements were not considered to be BSER for medium-
term steam generating units because the achievable reductions are low
and may result in rebound effect whereby total emissions from the
source increase, as detailed in section VII.D.4.a.
d. Conclusion
The EPA is finalizing that natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of
heat input is the BSER for medium-term coal-fired steam generating
units because natural gas co-firing is adequately demonstrated, as
indicated by the facts that it has been operated at scale and is widely
applicable to sources. Additionally, the costs for natural gas co-
firing are reasonable. Moreover, natural gas co-firing can be expected
to reduce emissions of several other air pollutants in addition to
GHGs. Any adverse non-air quality health and environmental impacts and
energy requirements of natural gas co-firing are limited. In contrast,
CCS, although achieving greater emission reductions, would be of higher
cost, in general, for the subcategory of medium-term units, and HRI
would achieve few reductions and, in fact, may increase emissions.
3. Degree of Emission Limitation for Final Standards
Under CAA section 111(d), once the EPA determines the BSER, it must
determine the ``degree of emission limitation'' achievable by the
application of the BSER. States then determine standards of performance
and include them in the state plans, based on the specified degree of
emission limitation. Final presumptive standards of performance are
detailed in section X.C.1.b of this preamble. There is substantial
variation in emission rates among coal-fired steam generating units--
the range is, approximately, from 1,700 lb CO2/MWh-gross to
2,500 lb CO2/MWh-gross--which makes it challenging to
determine a single, uniform emission limit. Accordingly, the EPA is
finalizing the degrees of emission limitation by a percentage change in
emission rate, as follows.
a. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
As discussed earlier in this preamble, the EPA is finalizing the
BSER for long-term coal-fired steam generating units as ``full-
capture'' CCS, defined as 90 percent capture of the CO2 in
the flue gas. The degree of emission limitation achievable by applying
this BSER can be determined on a rate basis. A capture rate of 90
percent results in reductions in the emission rate of 88.4 percent on a
lb CO2/MWh-gross basis, and this reduction in emission rate
can be observed over an extended period (e.g., an annual calendar-year
basis). Therefore, the EPA is finalizing that the degree of emission
limitation for long-term units is an 88.4 percent reduction in emission
rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis over an extended period
(e.g., an annual calendar-year basis).
b. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
As discussed earlier in this preamble, the BSER for medium-term
coal-fired steam generating units is 40 percent natural gas co-firing.
The application of 40 percent natural gas co-firing results in
reductions in the emission rate of 16 percent. Therefore, the degree of
emission limitation for these units is a 16 percent reduction in
emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis over an extended
period (e.g., an annual calendar-year basis).
D. Rationale for the BSER for Natural Gas-Fired And Oil-Fired Steam
Generating Units
This section of the preamble describes the rationale for the final
BSERs for existing natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units
based on the criteria described in section V.C of this preamble.
1. Subcategorization of Natural Gas- and Oil-Fired Steam Generating
Units
The EPA is finalizing subcategories based on load level (i.e.,
annual capacity factor), specifically, units that are base load,
intermediate load, and low load. The EPA is finalizing routine methods
of operation and maintenance as BSER for intermediate and base load
units. Applying that BSER would not achieve emission reductions but
would prevent increases in emission rates. The EPA is finalizing
presumptive standards of performance that differ between intermediate
and base load units due to their differences in operation, as detailed
in section X.C.1.b.iii of this preamble. The EPA proposed a separate
subcategory for non-continental oil-fired steam generating units, which
operate differently from continental units; however, the EPA is not
finalizing emission guidelines for sources outside of the contiguous
U.S., as described in section VII.B. At proposal, the EPA solicited
comment on a BSER of ``uniform fuels'' for low load natural gas- and
oil-fired steam generating units, and the EPA is finalizing this
approach for those sources.
Natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units combust natural
gas or distillate fuel oil or residual fuel oil in a boiler to produce
steam for a turbine that drives a generator to create electricity. In
non-continental areas, existing natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units may provide base load power, but in the continental
U.S., most existing units operate in a load-following manner. There are
approximately 200 natural gas-fired steam generating units and fewer
than 30 oil-fired steam generating units in operation in the
continental U.S. Fuel costs and inefficiency relative to other
technologies (e.g., combustion turbines) result in operation at lower
annual capacity factors for most units. Based on data reported to EIA
and the EPA \688\ for the contiguous U.S., for natural gas-fired steam
generating units in 2019, the average annual capacity factor was less
than 15 percent and 90 percent of units had annual capacity factors
less than 35 percent. For oil-fired steam generating units in 2019, no
units had annual capacity factors above 8 percent. Additionally, their
load-following method of operation results in frequent cycling and a
greater proportion of time spent at low hourly capacities, when
generation is less efficient. Furthermore, because startup times for
most boilers are usually long, natural gas steam generating units may
operate in standby mode between periods of peak demand. Operating in
standby mode requires combusting fuel to keep the boiler warm, and this
further reduces the efficiency of natural gas combustion.
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\688\ Clean Air Markets Program Data at https://campd.epa.gov.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unlike coal-fired steam generating units, the CO2
emission rates of oil- and natural gas-fired steam generating units
that have similar annual capacity factors do not vary considerably
between units. This is partly due to the more uniform qualities (e.g.,
carbon content) of the fuel used. However, the emission rates for units
that have different annual capacity factors do vary considerably, as
detailed in the final TSD, Natural Gas- and Oil-fired Steam Generating
Units. Low annual capacity factor units cycle frequently, have a
greater proportion of CO2 emissions that may be attributed
to startup, and have a greater proportion of generation at inefficient
hourly capacities. Intermediate annual capacity factor units operate
more often at higher hourly capacities, where CO2 emission
rates are lower. High annual capacity factor units operate still more
at base load conditions, where units are more
[[Page 39897]]
efficient and CO2 emission rates are lower.
Based on these performance differences between these load levels,
the EPA, in general, proposed subcategories based on dividing natural
gas- and oil-fired steam generating units into three groups each--low
load, intermediate load, and base load.
The EPA is finalizing subcategories for oil-fired and natural gas-
fired steam generating units, based on load levels. The EPA proposed
the following load levels: ``low'' load, defined by annual capacity
factors less than 8 percent; ``intermediate'' load, defined by annual
capacity factors greater than or equal to 8 percent and less than 45
percent; and ``base'' load, defined by annual capacity factors greater
than or equal to 45 percent.
The EPA is finalizing January 1, 2030, as the compliance date for
natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units and this date is
consistent with the dates in the fuel type definitions.
The EPA received comments that were generally supportive of the
proposed subcategory definitions,\689\ and the EPA is finalizing the
subcategory definitions as proposed.
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\689\ See, for example, Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-
0583.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Options Considered for BSER
The EPA has considered various methods for controlling
CO2 emissions from natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units to determine whether they meet the criteria for BSER.
Co-firing natural gas cannot be the BSER for these units because
natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units already fire large
proportions of natural gas. Most natural gas-fired steam generating
units fire more than 90 percent natural gas on a heat input basis, and
any oil-fired steam generating units that would potentially operate
above an annual capacity factor of around 15 percent typically combust
natural gas as a large proportion of their fuel as well. Nor is CCS a
candidate for BSER. The utilization of most gas-fired units, and likely
all oil-fired units, is relatively low, and as a result, the amount of
CO2 available to be captured is low. However, the capture
equipment would still need to be sized for the nameplate capacity of
the unit. Therefore, the capital and operating costs of CCS would be
high relative to the amount of CO2 available to be captured.
Additionally, again due to lower utilization, the amount of IRC section
45Q tax credits that owner/operators could claim would be low. Because
of the relatively high costs and the relatively low cumulative emission
reduction potential for these natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units, the EPA is not determining CCS as the BSER for them.
The EPA has reviewed other possible controls but is not finalizing
any of them as the BSER for natural gas- and oil-fired units either.
Co-firing hydrogen in a boiler is technically possible, but there is
limited availability of hydrogen now and in the near future and it
should be prioritized for more efficient units. Additionally, for
natural gas-fired steam generating units, setting a future standard
based on hydrogen would likely have limited GHG reduction benefits
given the low utilization of natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units. Lastly, HRI for these types of units would face many
of the same issues as for coal-fired steam generating units; in
particular, HRI could result in a rebound effect that would increase
emissions.
However, the EPA recognizes that natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units could possibly, over time, operate more, in response
to other changes in the power sector. Additionally, some coal-fired
steam generating units have converted to 100 percent natural gas-fired,
and it is possible that more may do so in the future. The EPA also
received several comments from industry stating plans to do so.
Moreover, in part because the fleet continues to age, the plants may
operate with degrading emission rates. In light of these possibilities,
identifying the BSER and degrees of emission limitation for these
sources would be useful to provide clarity and prevent backsliding in
GHG performance. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing BSER for intermediate
and base load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units to be
routine methods of operation and maintenance, such that the sources
could maintain the emission rates (on a lb/MWh-gross basis) currently
maintained by the majority of the fleet across discrete ranges of
annual capacity factor. The EPA is finalizing this BSER for
intermediate load and base load natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units, regardless of the operating horizon of the unit.
A BSER based on routine methods of operation and maintenance is
adequately demonstrated because units already operate with those
practices. There are no or negligible additional costs because there is
no additional technology that units are required to apply and there is
no change in operation or maintenance that units must perform.
Similarly, there are no adverse non-air quality health and
environmental impacts or adverse impacts on energy requirements. Nor do
they have adverse impacts on the energy sector from a nationwide or
long-term perspective. The EPA's modeling, which supports this final
rule, indicates that by 2040, a number of natural gas-fired steam
generating units will have remained in operation since 2030, although
at reduced annual capacity factors. There are no CO2
reductions that may be achieved at the unit level, but applying routine
methods of operation and maintenance as the BSER prevents increases in
emission rates. Routine methods of operation and maintenance do not
advance useful control technology, but this point is not significant
enough to offset their benefits.
At proposal, the EPA also took comment on a potential BSER of
uniform fuels for low load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating
units. As noted earlier in this preamble, non-coal fossil fuels
combusted in utility boilers typically include natural gas, distillate
fuel oil (i.e., fuel oil No. 1 and No. 2), and residual fuel oil (i.e.,
fuel oil No. 5 and No. 6). The EPA previously established heat-input
based fuel composition as BSER in the 2015 NSPS (termed ``clean fuels''
in that rulemaking) for new non-base load natural gas- and multi-fuel-
fired stationary combustion turbines (80 FR 64615-17; October 23,
2015), and the EPA is similarly finalizing lower-emitting fuels as BSER
for new low load combustion turbines as described in section VIII.F of
this preamble. For low load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating
units, the high variability in emission rates associated with the
variability of load at the lower-load levels limits the benefits of a
BSER based on routine maintenance and operation. That is because the
high variability in emission rates would make it challenging to
determine an emission rate (i.e., on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis) that could serve as the presumptive standard of performance that
would reflect application of a BSER of routine operation and
maintenance. On the other hand, for those units, a BSER of ``uniform
fuels'' and an associated presumptive standard of performance based on
a heat input basis, as described in section X.C.1.b.iii of this
preamble, is reasonable. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a BSER of
uniform fuels for low load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating
units, with presumptive standards depending on fuel type detailed in
section X.C.1.b.iii.
[[Page 39898]]
3. Degree of Emission Limitation
As discussed above, because the BSER for base load and intermediate
load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units is routine
operation and maintenance, which the units are, by definition, already
employing, the degree of emission limitation by application of this
BSER is no increase in emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis over an extended period of time (e.g., a year).
For low load natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units, the
EPA is finalizing a BSER of uniform fuels, with a degree of emission
limitation on a heat input basis consistent with a fixed 130 lb
CO2/MMBtu for natural gas-fired steam generating units and
170 lb CO2/MMBtu for oil-fired steam generating units. The
degree of emission limitation for natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units is higher than the corresponding values under 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, because steam generating units may fire fuels
with slightly higher carbon contents.
4. Other Emission Reduction Measures Not Considered BSER
a. Heat Rate Improvements
Heat rate is a measure of efficiency that is commonly used in the
power sector. The heat rate is the amount of energy input, measured in
Btu, required to generate 1 kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity. The
lower an EGU's heat rate, the more efficiently it operates. As a
result, an EGU with a lower heat rate will consume less fuel and emit
lower amounts of CO2 and other air pollutants per kWh
generated as compared to a less efficient unit. HRI measures include a
variety of technology upgrades and operating practices that may achieve
CO2 emission rate reductions of 0.1 to 5 percent for
individual EGUs. The EPA considered HRI to be part of the BSER in the
CPP and to be the BSER in the ACE Rule. However, the reductions that
may be achieved by HRI are small relative to the reductions from
natural gas co-firing and CCS. Also, some facilities that apply HRI
would, as a result of their increased efficiency, increase their
utilization and therefore increase their CO2 emissions (as
well as emissions of other air pollutants), a phenomenon that the EPA
has termed the ``rebound effect.'' Therefore, the EPA is not finalizing
HRI as a part of BSER.
i. CO2 Reductions From HRI in Prior Rulemakings
In the CPP, the EPA quantified emission reductions achievable
through heat rate improvements on a regional basis by an analysis of
historical emission rate data, taking into consideration operating load
and ambient temperature. The Agency concluded that EGUs can achieve on
average a 4.3 percent improvement in the Eastern Interconnection, a 2.1
percent improvement in the Western Interconnection, and a 2.3 percent
improvement in the Texas Interconnection. See 80 FR 64789 (October 23,
2015). The Agency then applied all three of the building blocks to 2012
baseline data and quantified, in the form of CO2 emission
rates, the reductions achievable in Each interconnection in 2030, and
then selected the least stringent as a national performance rate. Id.
at 64811-19. The EPA noted that building block 1 measures could not by
themselves constitute the BSER because the quantity of emission
reductions achieved would be too small and because of the potential for
an increase in emissions due to increased utilization (i.e., the
``rebound effect'').
ii. Updated CO2 Reductions From HRI
The HRI measures include improvements to the boiler island (e.g.,
neural network system, intelligent sootblower system), improvements to
the steam turbine (e.g., turbine overhaul and upgrade), and other
equipment upgrades (e.g., variable frequency drives). Some regular
practices that may recover degradation in heat rate to recent levels--
but that do not result in upgrades in heat rate over recent design
levels and are therefore not HRI measures--include practices such as
in-kind replacements and regular surface cleaning (e.g., descaling,
fouling removal). Specific details of the HRI measures are described in
the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units and
an updated 2023 Sargent and Lundy HRI report (Heat Rate Improvement
Method Costs and Limitations Memo), available in the docket. Most HRI
upgrade measures achieve reductions in heat rate of less than 1
percent. In general, the 2023 Sargent and Lundy HRI report, which
updates the 2009 Sargent and Lundy HRI report, shows that HRI achieve
less reductions than indicated in the 2009 report, and shows that
several HRI either have limited applicability or have already been
applied at many units. Steam path overhaul and upgrade may achieve
reductions up to 5.15 percent, with the average being around 1.5
percent. Different combinations of HRI measures do not necessarily
result in cumulative reductions in emission rate (e.g., intelligent
sootblowing systems combined with neural network systems). Some of the
HRI measures (e.g., variable frequency drives) only impact heat rate on
a net generation basis by reducing the parasitic load on the unit and
would thereby not be observable for emission rates measured on a gross
basis. Assuming many of the HRI measures could be applied to the same
unit, adding together the upper range of some of the HRI percentages
could yield an emission rate reduction of around 5 percent. However,
the reductions that the fleet could achieve on average are likely much
smaller. As noted, the 2023 Sargent and Lundy HRI report notes that, in
many cases, units have already applied HRI upgrades or that those
upgrades would not be applicable to all units. The unit level
reductions in emission rate from HRI are small relative to CCS or
natural gas co-firing. In the CPP and ACE Rule, the EPA viewed CCS and
natural gas co-firing as too costly to qualify as the BSER; those costs
have fallen since those rules and, as a result, CCS and natural gas co-
firing do qualify as the BSER for the long-term and medium-term
subcategories, respectively.
iii. Potential for Rebound in CO2 Emissions
Reductions achieved on a rate basis from HRI may not result in
overall emission reductions and could instead cause a ``rebound
effect'' from increased utilization. A rebound effect would occur
where, because of an improvement in its heat rate, a steam generating
unit experiences a reduction in variable operating costs that makes the
unit more competitive relative to other EGUs and consequently raises
the unit's output. The increase in the unit's CO2 emissions
associated with the increase in output would offset the reduction in
the unit's CO2 emissions caused by the decrease in its heat
rate and rate of CO2 emissions per unit of output. The
extent of the offset would depend on the extent to which the unit's
generation increased. The CPP did not consider HRI to be BSER on its
own, in part because of the potential for a rebound effect. Analysis
for the ACE Rule, where HRI was the entire BSER, observed a rebound
effect for certain sources in some cases.\690\ In this action, where
different subcategories of units are to be subject to different BSER
measures, steam generating units in a hypothetical subcategory with HRI
as BSER could experience a rebound effect. Because of this potential
for perverse GHG emission outcomes resulting from deployment of HRI at
certain steam generating units, coupled with the
[[Page 39899]]
relatively minor overall GHG emission reductions that would be expected
from this measure, the EPA is not finalizing HRI as the BSER for any
subcategory of existing coal-fired steam generating units.
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\690\ 84 FR 32520 (July 8, 2019).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
E. Additional Comments Received on the Emission Guidelines for Existing
Steam Generating Units and Responses
1. Consistency With West Virginia v. EPA and the Major Questions
Doctrine
Comment: Some commenters argued that the EPA's determination that
CCS is the BSER for existing coal-fired power plants is invalid under
West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022), and the major questions
doctrine (MQD). Commenters state that for various reasons, coal-fired
power plants will not install CCS and instead will be forced to retire
their units. They point to the EPA's IPM modeling which, they say,
shows that many coal-fired power plants retire rather than install CCS.
They add that, in this way, the rule effectively results in the EPA's
requiring generation-shifting from coal-fired generation to renewable
and other generation, and thus is like the Clean Power Plan (CPP). For
those reasons, they state that the rule raises a major question, and
further that CAA section 111(d) does not contain a clear authorization
for this type of rule.
Response: The EPA discussed West Virginia and its articulation of
the MQD in section V.B.6 of this preamble.
The EPA disagrees with these comments. This rule is fully
consistent with the Supreme Court's interpretation of the EPA's
authority in West Virginia. The EPA's determination that CCS--a
traditional, add-on emissions control--is the BSER is consistent with
the plain text of section 111. As explained in detail in section
VII.C.1.a, for long-term coal-fired steam generating units, CCS meets
all of the BSER factors: it is adequately demonstrated, of reasonable
cost, and achieves substantial emissions reductions. That some coal-
fired power plants will choose not to install emission controls and
will instead retire does not raise major questions concerns.
In West Virginia, the U.S. Supreme Court held that ``generation-
shifting'' as the BSER for coal- and gas-fired units ``effected a
fundamental revision of the statute, changing it from one sort of
scheme of regulation into an entirely different kind.'' 597 U.S. at 728
(internal quotation marks, brackets, and citation omitted). The Court
explained that prior CAA section 111 rules were premised on ``more
traditional air pollution control measures'' that ``focus on improving
the performance of individual sources.'' Id. at 727 (citing ``fuel-
switching'' and ``add-on controls''). The Court said that generation-
shifting as the BSER was ``unprecedented'' because it was designed to
``improve the overall power system by lowering the carbon intensity of
power generation . . . by forcing a shift throughout the power grid
from one type of energy source to another.'' Id. at 727-28 (internal
quotation marks, emphasis, and citation omitted). The Court cited
statements by the then-Administrator describing the CPP as ``not about
pollution control so much as it was an investment opportunity for
States, especially investments in renewables and clean energy.'' Id. at
728. The Court further concluded that the EPA's view of its authority
was virtually unbounded because the ``EPA decides, for instance, how
much of a switch from coal to natural gas is practically feasible by
2020, 2025, and 2030 before the grid collapses, and how high energy
prices can go as a result before they become unreasonably exorbitant.''
Id. at 729.
Here, the EPA's determination that CCS is the BSER does not affect
a fundamental revision of the statute, nor is it unbounded. CCS is not
directed at improvement of the overall power system. Rather, CCS is a
traditional ``add-on [pollution] control[ ]'' akin to measures that the
EPA identified as BSER in prior CAA section 111 rules. See id. at 727.
It ``focus[es] on improving the performance of individual sources''--it
reduces CO2 pollution from each individual source--because
each affected source is able to apply it to its own facility to reduce
its own emissions. Id. at 727. Further, the EPA determined that CCS
qualifies as the BSER by applying the criteria specified in CAA section
111(a)(1)--including adequate demonstration, costs of control, and
emissions reductions. See section VII.C.1.a of this preamble. Thus, CCS
as the BSER does not ``chang[e]'' the statute ``from one sort of scheme
of regulation into an entirely different kind.'' Id. at 728 (internal
quotation marks, brackets, and citation omitted).
Commenters contend that notwithstanding these distinctions, the
choice of CCS as the BSER has the effect of shifting generation because
modeling projections for the rule show that coal-fired generation will
become less competitive, and gas-fired and renewable-generated
electricity will be more competitive and dispatched more frequently.
That some coal-fired sources may retire rather than reduce their
CO2 pollution does not mean that the rule ``represents a
transformative expansion [of EPA's] regulatory authority''. Id. at 724.
To be sure, this rule's determination that CCS is the BSER imposes
compliance costs on coal-fired power plants. That sources will incur
costs to control their emissions of dangerous pollution is an
unremarkable consequence of regulation, which, as the Supreme Court
recognized, ``may end up causing an incidental loss of coal's market
share.'' Id. at 731 n.4.\691\ Indeed, ensuring that sources internalize
the full costs of mitigating their impacts on human health and the
environment is a central purpose of traditional environmental
regulation.
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\691\ As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.ii.(D), the costs of CCS
are reasonable based on the EPA's $/MWh and $/ton metrics. As
discussed in RTC section 2.16, the total annual costs of this rule
are a small fraction of the revenues and capital costs of the
electric power industry.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In particular, for the power sector, grid operators constantly
shift generation as they dispatch electricity from sources based upon
their costs. The EPA's IPM modeling, which is based on the costs of the
various types of electricity generation, projects these impacts. Viewed
as a whole, these projected impacts show that, collectively, coal-fired
power plants will likely produce less electricity, and other sources
(like gas-fired units and renewable sources) will likely produce more
electricity, but this pattern does not constitute a transformative
expansion of statutory authority (EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023
using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector Trends.)
These projected impacts are best understood by comparing the IPM
model's ``base case,'' i.e., the projected electricity generation
without any rule in place, to the model's ``policy case,'' i.e., the
projected electricity generation expected to result from this rule. The
base case projects that many coal-fired units will retire over the next
20 years (EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM; final TSD, Power
Sector Trends). Those projected retirements track trends over the past
two decades where coal-fired units have retired in high numbers because
gas-fired units and renewable sources have become increasingly able to
generate lower-cost electricity. As more gas-fired and renewable
generation sources deploy in the future, and as coal-fired units
continue to age--which results in decreased efficiency and increased
costs--the coal-fired units will become increasingly marginal and
continue to retire (EPA's Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM; final
TSD, Power Sector Trends.) That is true in the absence of this rule.
The EPA's modeling results also project that even if the EPA had
[[Page 39900]]
determined BSER for long-term sources to be 40 percent co-firing, which
requires significantly less capital investment, and not 90 percent
capture CCS, a comparable number of sources would retire instead of
installing controls. These results confirm that the primary cause for
the projected retirements is the marginal profitability of the sources.
Importantly, the base-case projections also show that some coal-
fired units install CCS and run at high capacity factors, in fact,
higher than they would have had they not installed CCS. This is because
the IRC section 45Q tax credit significantly reduces the variable cost
of operation for qualifying sources. This incentivizes sources to
increase generation to maximize the tons of CO2 the CCS
equipment captures, and thereby increase the amount of the tax credit
they receive. In the ``policy case,'' beginning when the CCS
requirement applies in the 2035 model year,\692\ some additional coal-
fired units will likely install CCS, and also run at high capacity
factors, again, significantly higher than they would have without CCS.
Other units may retire rather than install emission controls (EPA's
Power Sector Platform 2023 using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector Trends).
On balance, the coal-fired units that install CCS collectively generate
nearly the same amount of electricity in the 2040 model year as do the
group of coal-fired units in the base case.
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\692\ Under the rule, sources are required to meet their CCS-
based standard of performance by January 1, 2032. IPM groups
calendar years into 5-year periods, e.g., the 2035 model year and
the 2040 model year. January 1, 2032, falls into the 2035 model
year.
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The policy case also shows that in the 2045 model year, by which
time the 12-year period for sources to claim the IRC section 45Q tax
credit will have expired, most sources that install CCS retire due to
the costs of meeting the CCS-based standards without the benefit of the
tax credit. However, in fact, these projected outcomes are far from
certain as the modeling results generally do not account for numerous
potential changes that may occur over the next 20 or more years, any of
which may enable these units to continue to operate economically for a
longer period. Examples of potential changes include reductions in the
operational costs of CCS through technological improvements, or the
development of additional potential revenue streams for captured
CO2 as the market for beneficial uses of CO2
continues to develop, among other possible changed economic
circumstances (including the possible extension of the tax credits). In
light of these potential significant developments, the EPA is
committing to review and, if appropriate, revise the requirements of
this rule by January 1, 2041, as described in section VII.F.
In any event, the modeling projections showing that many sources
retire instead of installing controls are in line with the trends for
these units in the absence of the rule--as the coal-fired fleet ages
and lower-cost alternatives become increasingly available, more
operators will retire coal-fired units with or without this rule. In
2045, the average age of coal-fired units that have not yet announced
retirement dates or coal-to-gas conversion by 2039 will be 61 years
old. And, on average, between 2000 and 2022, even in the absence of
this rule, coal-fired units generally retired at 53 years old. Thus,
taken as a whole, this rule does not dramatically reduce the expected
operating horizon of most coal-fired units. Indeed, for units that
install CCS, the generous IRC section 45Q tax credit increases the
competitiveness of these units, and it allows them to generate more
electricity with greater profit than the sources would otherwise
generate if they did not install CCS.
The projected effects of the rule do not show the BSER--here, CCS--
is akin to generation shifting, or otherwise represents an expansion of
EPA authority with vast political or economic significance. As
described above at VII.C.1.a.ii, CCS is an affordable emissions control
technology. It is also very effective, reducing CO2
emissions from coal-fired units by 90 percent, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i. Indeed, as noted, the IRA tax credits make CCS so
affordable that coal-fired units that install CCS run at higher
capacity factors than they would otherwise.
Considered as a whole, and in context with historical retirement
trends, the projected impacts of this rule on coal-fired generating
units do not raise MQD concerns. The projected impacts are merely
incidental to the CCS control itself--the unremarkable consequence of
marginally increasing the cost of doing business in a competitive
market. Nor is the rule ``transformative.'' The rule does not
``announce what the market share of coal, natural gas, wind, and solar
must be, and then requiring plants to reduce operations or subsidize
their competitors to get there.'' 597 U.S. at 731 n.4. As noted above,
coal-fired units that install CCS are projected to generate substantial
amounts of electricity. The retirements that are projected to occur are
broadly consistent with market trends over the past two decades, which
show that coal-fired electricity production is generally less economic
and less competitive than other forms of electricity production. That
is, the retirements that the model predicts under this rule, and the
structure of the industry that results, diverge little from the prior
rate of retirements of coal-fired units over the past two decades. They
also diverge little from the rate of retirements from sources that have
already announced that they will retire, or from the additional
retirements that IPM projects will occur in the base case (EPA's Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM; final TSD, Power Sector Trends).
As discussed above, because much of the coal-fired fleet is
operating on the edge of viability, many sources would retire instead
of installing any meaningful CO2 emissions control--whether
CCS, natural gas co-firing, or otherwise. Under commenters' view that
such retirements create a major question, any form of meaningful
regulation of these sources would create a major question and effect a
fundamental revision of the statute. That cannot possibly be so.
Section 111(d)(1) plainly mandates regulation of these units, which are
the biggest stationary source of dangerous CO2 emissions.
The legislative history for the CAA further makes clear that
Congress intended the EPA to promulgate regulations even where
emissions controls had economic costs. At the time of the 1970 CAA
Amendments, Congress recognized that the threats of air pollution to
public health and welfare had grown urgent and severe. Sen. Edmund
Muskie (D-ME), manager of the bill and chair of the Public Works
Subcommittee on Air and Water Pollution, which drafted the bill,
regularly referred to the air pollution problem as a ``crisis.'' As
Sen. Muskie recognized, ``Air pollution control will be cheap only in
relation to the costs of lack of control.'' \693\ The Senate Committee
Report for the 1970 CAA Amendments specifically discussed the precursor
provision to section 111(d) and noted, ``there should be no gaps in
control activities pertaining to stationary source emissions that pose
any significant danger to public health or welfare.'' \694\
Accordingly, some of the
[[Page 39901]]
EPA's prior CAA section 111 rulemakings have imposed stringent
requirements, at significant cost, in order to achieve significant
emission reductions.\695\
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\693\ Sen. Muskie, Sept. 21, 1970, LH 226.
\694\ S. Rep. No. 91-1196, at 20 (Sept. 17, 1970), 1970 CAA
Legis. Hist. at 420 (discussing section 114 of the Senate Committee
bill, which was the basis for CAA section 111(d)). Note that in the
1977 CAA Amendments, the House Committee Report made a similar
statement. H.R. Rep. No. 95-294, at 42 (May 12, 1977), 1977 CAA
Legis. Hist. at 2509 (discussing a provision in the House Committee
bill that became CAA section 122, requiring EPA to study and then
take action to regulate radioactive air pollutants and three other
air pollutants).
\695\ See Sierra Club v. Costle, 657 F.2d 298, 313 (D.C. Cir.
1981) (upholding NSPS imposing controls on SO2 emissions
from coal-fired power plants when the ``cost of the new controls . .
. is substantial. EPA estimates that utilities will have to spend
tens of billions of dollars by 1995 on pollution control under the
new NSPS.'').
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Congress's enactment of the IRA and IIJA further shows its view
that reducing air pollution--specifically, in those laws, GHG emissions
to address climate change--is a high priority. As discussed in section
IV.E.1, that law provided funds for DOE grant and loan programs to
support CCS, and extended and increased the IRC section 45Q tax credit
for carbon capture. It also adopted the Low Emission Electricity
Program (LEEP), which allocates funds to the EPA for the express
purpose of using CAA regulatory authority to reduce GHG emissions from
domestic electricity generation through use of its existing CAA
authorities. CAA section 135, added by IRA section 60107. The EPA is
promulgating the present rulemaking with those funds. The congressional
sponsor of the LEEP made clear that it authorized the type of
rulemaking that the EPA is promulgating today: he stated that the EPA
may promulgate rulemaking under CAA section 111, based on CCS, to
address CO2 emissions from fossil fuel-fired power plants,
which may be ``impactful'' by having the ``incidental effect'' of
leading some ``companies . . . to choose to retire such plants. . . .''
\696\
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\696\ 168 Cong. Rec. E868 (August 23, 2022) (statement of Rep.
Frank Pallone, Jr.); id. E879 (August 26, 2022) (statement of Rep.
Frank Pallone, Jr.).
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For these reasons, the rule here is consistent with the Supreme
Court's decision in West Virginia. The selection of CCS as the BSER for
existing coal-fired units is a traditional, add-on control intended to
reduce the emissions performance of individual sources. That some
sources may retire instead of controlling their emissions does not
otherwise show that the rule runs afoul of the MQD. The modeling
projections for this rule show that the anticipated retirements are
largely consistent with historical trends, and due to many coal-fired
units' advanced age and lack of competitiveness with lower cost methods
of electricity generation.
2. Redefining the Source
Comment: Some commenters contended that the proposed 40 percent
natural gas co-firing performance standard violates legal precedent
that bars the EPA from setting technology-based performance standards
that would have the effect of ``redefining the source.'' They stated
that this prohibition against the redefinition of the source bars the
EPA from adopting the proposed performance standard for medium-term
coal-fired EGUs, which requires such units to operate in a manner for
which the unit was never designed to do, namely operate as a hybrid
coal/natural gas co-firing generating unit and combusting 40 percent of
its fuel input as natural gas (instead of coal) on an annual basis.
Commenters argued that co-firing would constitute forcing one type
of source to become an entirely different kind of source, and that the
Supreme Court precluded such a requirement in West Virginia v. EPA when
it stated in footnote 3 of that case that the EPA has ``never ordered
anything remotely like'' a rule that would ``simply require coal plants
to become natural gas plants'' and the Court ``doubt[ed that EPA]
could.'' \697\
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\697\ West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S, 697, 728 n.3 (2022).
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Response: The EPA disagrees with these comments.
Standards based on co-firing, as contemplated in this rule, are
based on a ``traditional pollution control measure,'' in particular,
``fuel switching,'' as the Supreme Court recognized in West
Virginia.\698\ Rules based on switching to a cleaner fuel are
authorized under the CAA, an authorization directly acknowledged by
Congress. Specifically, as part of the 1977 CAA Amendments, Congress
required that the EPA base its standards regulating certain new
sources, including power plants, on ``technological'' controls, rather
than simply the ``best system.'' \699\ Congress understood this to mean
that new sources would be required to implement add-on controls, rather
than merely relying on fuel switching, and noted that one of the
purposes of this amendment was to allow new sources to burn high sulfur
coal while still decreasing emissions, and thus to increase the
availability of low sulfur coal for existing sources, which were not
subject to the ``technological'' control requirement.\700\ In 1990,
however, Congress removed the ``technological'' language, allowing the
EPA to set fuel-switching based standards for both new and existing
power plants.\701\
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\698\ See 597 U.S. at 727.
\699\ In 1977, Congress clarified that for purposes of CAA
section 111(a)(1)(A), concerning standards of performance for new
and modified ``fossil fuel-fired stationary sources'' a standard or
performance ``shall reflect the degree of emission limitation and
the percentage reduction achievable through application of the best
technological system of continuous emission reduction which (taking
into consideration the cost of achieving such emission reduction,
any nonair quality health and environmental impact and energy
requirements) the Administrator determines has been adequately
demonstrated.'' Clean Air Act 1977 Revisions (emphasis added).
\700\ See H. Rep. No. 94-1175, 94th Cong., 2d Sess. (May 15,
1976) Part A, at 159 (listing the various purposes of the amendment
to Section 111 adding the term `technological': ``Fourth, by using
best control technology on large new fuel-burning stationary
sources, these sources could burn higher sulfur fuel than if no
technological means of reducing emissions were used. This means an
expansion of the energy resources that could be burned in compliance
with environmental requirements. Fifth, since large new fuel-burning
sources would not rely on naturally low sulfur coal or oil to
achieve compliance with new source performance standards, the low
sulfur coal or oil that would have been burned in these major new
sources could instead be used in older and smaller sources.'')
\701\ In 1990, Congress removed this reference to a
``technological system'', and the current text reads simply: ``The
term ``standard of performance'' means a standard for emissions of
air pollutants which reflects the degree of emission limitation
achievable through the application of the best system of emission
reduction which (taking into account the cost of achieving such
reduction and any nonair quality health and environmental impact and
energy requirements) the Administrator determines has been
adequately demonstrated.'' 42 U.S.C. 7411(a)(1).
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The EPA has a tradition of promulgating rules based on fuel
switching. For example, the 2006 NSPS for stationary compression
ignition internal combustion engines required the use of ultra-low
sulfur diesel.\702\ Similarly, in the 2015 NSPS for EGUs,\703\ the EPA
determined that the BSER for peaking plants was to burn primarily
natural gas, with distillate oil used only as a backup fuel.\704\ Nor
is this approach unique to CAA section 111; in the 2016 rule setting
section 112 standards for hazardous air pollutant emissions from area
sources, for example, the EPA finalized an alternative particulate
matter (PM) standard that specified that certain oil-fired boilers
would meet the applicable
[[Page 39902]]
standard if they combusted only ultra-low-sulfur liquid fuel.\705\
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\702\ Standards of Performance for Stationary Compression
Ignition Internal Combustion Engines, 71 FR 39154 (July 11, 2006).
In the preamble to the final rule, the EPA noted that for engines
which had not previously used this new ultra-low sulfur fuel,
additives would likely need to be added to the fuel to maintain
appropriate lubricity. See id. at 39158.
\703\ Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From
New, Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary Sources: Electric
Utility Generating Units, 80 FR 64510, (October 23, 2015).
\704\ See id. at 64621.
\705\ See National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air
Pollutants for Area Sources: Industrial, Commercial, and
Institutional Boilers, 81 FR 63112-01 (September 14, 2016).
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Moreover, the West Virginia Court's statements in footnote 3 are
irrelevant to the question of the validity of a 40 percent co-firing
standard. There, the Court was referring to a complete transformation
of the coal-fired unit to a 100 percent gas fired unit--a change that
would require entirely repowering the unit. By contrast, increasing co-
firing at existing coal-fired units to 40 percent would require only
minor changes to the units' boilers. In fact, many coal-fired units are
already capable of co-firing some amount of gas without any changes at
all, and several have fired at 40 percent and above in recent years. Of
the 565 coal-fired EGUs operating at the end of 2021, 249 of them
reported consuming natural gas as a fuel or startup source, 162
reported more than one month of consumption of natural gas at their
boiler, and 29 co-fired at over 40 percent on an annual heat input
basis in at least one year while also operating with annual capacity
factors greater than 10 percent. For more on this, see section IV.C.2
of this preamble; see also the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for
Steam Generating Units.
F. Commitment To Review and, If Appropriate, Revise Emission Guidelines
for Coal-Fired Units
The EPA recognizes that the IRC 45Q tax credit is a key component
to the cost of CCS, as discussed in section VII.C.1.a.ii(C) of this
preamble. The EPA further recognizes that for any affected source, the
tax credit is currently available for a 12-year period and not
subsequently. The tax credit is generally sufficient to defray the
capital costs of CCS and much, if not all, of the operating costs
during that 12-year period. Following the 12-year period, affected
sources that continue to operate the CCS equipment would have higher
costs of generation, due to the CCS operating costs, including
parasitic load. Under certain circumstances, these higher costs could
push the affected sources lower on the dispatch curve, and thereby lead
to reductions in the amount of their generation, i.e., if affected
sources are not able to replace the revenue from the tax credit with
revenue from other sources, or if the price of electricity does not
reflect any additional costs needed to minimize GHG emissions.
However, the costs of CCS and the overall economic viability of
operating CO2 capture at power plants are improving and can
be expected to continue to improve in years to come. CO2
that is captured from fossil-fuel fired sources is currently
beneficially used, including, for example, for enhanced oil recovery
and in the food and beverage industry. There is much research into
developing beneficial uses for many other industries, including
construction, chemical manufacturing, graphite manufacturing. The
demand for CO2 is expected to grow considerably over the
next several decades. As a result, in the decades to come, affected
sources may well be able to replace at least some of the revenues from
the tax credit with revenues from the sale of CO2. We
discuss these potential developments in chapter 2 of the Response to
Comments document, available in the rulemaking docket.
In addition, numerous states have imposed requirements to
decarbonize generation within their borders. Many utilities have also
announced plans to decarbonize their fleet, including building small
modular (advanced nuclear) reactors. Given the relatively high capital
and fixed costs of small modular reactors, plans for their construction
represent an expectation of higher future energy prices. This suggests
that, in the decades to come, at least in certain areas of the country,
affected sources may be able to maintain a place in the dispatch curve
that allows them to continue to generate while they continue to operate
CCS, even in the absence of additional revenues for CO2. We
discuss these potential developments in the final TSD, Power Sector
Trends, available in the rulemaking docket.
These developments, which may occur by the 2040s--the expiration of
the 12-year period for the IRC 45Q tax credit, the potential
development of the CO2 utilization market, and potential
market supports for low-GHG generation--may significantly affect the
costs to coal-fired steam EGUs of operating their CCS controls. As a
result, the EPA will closely monitor these developments. Our efforts
will include consulting with other agencies with expertise and
information, including DOE, which currently has a program, the Carbon
Conversion Program, in the Office of Carbon Management, that funds
research into CO2 utilization. We regularly consult with
stakeholders, including industry stakeholders, and will continue to do
so.
In light of these potential significant developments and their
impacts, potentially positive or negative, on the economics of
continued generation by affected sources that have installed CCS, the
EPA is committing to review and, if appropriate, revise this rule by
January 1, 2041. This commitment is included in the regulations that
the EPA is promulgating with this rule. The EPA will conduct this
review based on what we learn from monitoring these developments, as
noted above. Completing this review and any appropriate revisions by
that date will allow time for the states to revise, if necessary,
standards applicable to affected sources, and for the EPA to act on
those state revisions, by the early to mid-2040s. That is when the 12-
year period for the 45Q tax credit is expected to expire for affected
sources that comply with the CCS requirement by January 1, 2032, and
when other significant developments noted above may be well underway.
VIII. Requirements for New and Reconstructed Stationary Combustion
Turbine EGUs and Rationale for Requirements
A. Overview
This section discusses the requirements for stationary combustion
turbine EGUs that commence construction or reconstruction after May 23,
2023. The requirements are codified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa.
The EPA explains in section VIII.B of this document the two basic
turbine technologies that are used in the power sector and are covered
by 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa. Those are simple cycle combustion
turbines and combined cycle combustion turbines. The EPA also explains
how these technologies are used in the three subcategories: low load
turbines, intermediate load turbines, and base load turbines. Section
VIII.C provides an overview of how stationary combustion turbines have
been previously regulated. Section VIII.D discusses the EPA's decision
to revisit the standards for new and reconstructed turbines as part of
the statutorily required 8-year review of the NSPS. Section VIII.E
discusses changes that the EPA is finalizing in both applicability and
subcategories in the new 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, as compared to
those codified previously in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. Most
notably, for new and reconstructed natural gas-fired combustion
turbines, the EPA is finalizing BSER determinations and standards of
performance for the three subcategories mentioned above--low load,
intermediate load, and base load.
Sections VIII.F and VIII.G of this document discuss the EPA's
[[Page 39903]]
determination of the BSER for each of the three subcategories of
combustion turbines and the applicable standards of performance,
respectively. For low load combustion turbines, the EPA is finalizing a
determination that the use of lower-emitting fuels is the appropriate
BSER. For intermediate load combustion turbines, the EPA is finalizing
a determination that highly efficient simple cycle generation is the
appropriate BSER. For base load combustion turbines, the EPA is
finalizing a determination that the BSER includes two components that
correspond initially to a two-phase standard of performance. The first
component of the BSER, with an immediate compliance date (phase 1), is
highly efficient generation based on the performance of a highly
efficient combined cycle turbine and the second component of the BSER,
with a compliance date of January 1, 2032 (phase 2), is based on the
use of CCS with a 90 percent capture rate, along with continued use of
highly efficient generation. For base load turbines, the standards of
performance corresponding to both components of the BSER would apply to
all new and reconstructed sources that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023. The EPA occasionally refers to these
standards of performance as the phase 1 or phase 2 standards.
B. Combustion Turbine Technology
For purposes of 40 CFR part 60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa, stationary
combustion turbines include both simple cycle and combined cycle EGUs.
Simple cycle turbines operate in the Brayton thermodynamic cycle and
include three primary components: a multi-stage compressor, a
combustion chamber (i.e., combustor), and a turbine. The compressor is
used to supply large volumes of high-pressure air to the combustion
chamber. The combustion chamber converts fuel to heat and expands the
now heated, compressed air through the turbine to create shaft work.
The shaft work drives an electric generator to produce electricity.
Combustion turbines that recover the energy in the high-temperature
exhaust--instead of venting it directly to the atmosphere--are combined
cycle EGUs and can obtain additional useful electric output. A combined
cycle EGU includes an HRSG operating in the Rankine thermodynamic
cycle. The HRSG receives the high-temperature exhaust and converts the
heat to mechanical energy by producing steam that is then fed into a
steam turbine that, in turn, drives an electric generator. As the
thermal efficiency of a stationary combustion turbine EGU is increased,
less fuel is burned to produce the same amount of electricity, with a
corresponding decrease in fuel costs and lower emissions of
CO2 and, generally, of other air pollutants. The greater the
output of electric energy for a given amount of fuel energy input, the
higher the efficiency of the electric generation process.
Combustion turbines serve various roles in the power sector. Some
combustion turbines operate at low annual capacity factors and are
available to provide temporary power during periods of high load
demand. These turbines are often referred to as ``peaking units.'' Some
combustion turbines operate at intermediate annual capacity factors and
are often referred to as cycling or load-following units. Other
combustion turbines operate at high annual capacity factors to serve
base load demand and are often referred to as base load units. In this
rulemaking, the EPA refers to these types of combustion turbines as low
load, intermediate load, and base load, respectively.
Low load combustion turbines provide reserve capacity, support grid
reliability, and generally provide power during periods of peak
electric demand. As such, the units may operate at or near their full
capacity, but only for short periods, as needed. Because these units
only operate occasionally, capital expenses are a major factor in the
overall cost of electricity, and often, the lowest capital cost (and
generally less efficient) simple cycle EGUs are intended for use only
during periods of peak electric demand. Due to their low efficiency,
these units require more fuel per MWh of electricity produced and their
operating costs tend to be higher. Because of the higher operating
costs, they are generally some of the last units in the dispatch order.
Important characteristics for low load combustion turbines include
their low capital costs, their ability to start quickly and to rapidly
ramp up to full load, and their ability to operate at partial loads
while maintaining acceptable emission rates and efficiencies. The
ability to start quickly and rapidly attain full load is important to
maximize revenue during periods of peak electric prices and to meet
sudden shifts in demand. In contrast, under steady-state conditions,
more efficient combined cycle EGUs are dispatched ahead of low load
turbines and often operate at higher annual capacity factors.
Highly efficient simple cycle turbines and flexible fast-start
combined cycle turbines both offer different advantages and
disadvantages when operating at intermediate loads. One of the roles of
these intermediate or load following EGUs is to provide dispatchable
backup power to support variable renewable generating sources (e.g.,
solar and wind). A developer's decision as to whether to build a simple
cycle turbine or a combined cycle turbine to serve intermediate load
demand is based on several factors related to the intended operation of
the unit. These factors would include how frequently the unit is
expected to cycle between starts and stops, the predominant load level
at which the unit is expected to operate, and whether this level of
operation is expected to remain consistent or is expected to vary over
the lifetime of the unit. In areas of the U.S. with vertically
integrated electricity markets, utilities determine dispatch orders
based generally on economic merit of individual units. Meanwhile, in
areas of the U.S. inside organized wholesale electricity markets,
owner/operators of individual combustion turbines control whether and
how units will operate over time, but they do not necessarily control
the precise timing of dispatch for units in any given day or hour. Such
short-term dispatch decisions are often made by regional grid operators
that determine, on a moment-to-moment basis, which available individual
units should operate to balance supply and demand and other
requirements in an optimal manner, based on operating costs, price
bids, and/or operational characteristics. However, operating permits
for simple cycle turbines often contain restrictions on the annual
hours of operation that owners/operators incorporate into longer-term
operating plans and short-term dispatch decisions.
Intermediate load combustion turbines vary their generation,
especially during transition periods between low and high electric
demand. Both high-efficiency simple cycle turbines and flexible fast-
start combined cycle turbines can fill this cycling role. While the
ability to start quickly and quickly ramp up is important, efficiency
is also an important characteristic. These combustion turbines
generally have higher capital costs than low load combustion turbines
but are generally less expensive to operate.
Base load combustion turbines are designed to operate for extended
periods at high loads with infrequent starts and stops. Quick-start
capability and low capital costs are less important than low operating
costs. High-efficiency combined cycle turbines typically fill the role
of base load combustion turbines.
The increase in generation from variable renewable energy sources
during the past decade has impacted the
[[Page 39904]]
way in which dispatchable generating resources operate.\706\ For
example, the electric output from wind and solar generating sources
fluctuates daily and seasonally due to increases and decreases in the
wind speed or solar intensity. Due to this variable nature of wind and
solar, dispatchable EGUs, including combustion turbines as well as
other technologies like energy storage, are used to ensure the
reliability of the electric grid. This requires dispatchable power
plants to have the ability to quickly start and stop and to rapidly and
frequently change load--much more often than was previously needed.
These are important characteristics of the combustion turbines that
provide firm backup capacity. Combustion turbines are much more
flexible than coal-fired utility boilers in this regard and have played
an important role during the past decade in ensuring that electric
supply and demand are balanced.
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\706\ Dispatchable generating sources are those that can be
turned on and off and adjusted to provide power to the electric grid
based on the demand for electricity. Variable (sometimes referred to
as intermittent) generating sources are those that supply
electricity based on external factors that are not controlled by the
owner/operator of the source (e.g., wind and solar sources).
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As discussed in section IV.F.2 of this preamble, in the final TSD,
Power Sector Trends, and in the accompanying RIA, the EPA's Power
Sector Platform 2023 using IPM projects that natural gas-fired
combustion turbines will continue to play an important role in meeting
electricity demand. However, that role is projected to evolve as
additional renewable and non-renewable low-GHG generation and energy
storage technologies are added to the grid. Energy storage technologies
can store energy during periods when generation from renewable
resources is high relative to demand and can provide electricity to the
grid during other periods. Energy storage technologies are projected to
reduce the need for base load fossil fuel-fired firm dispatchable power
plants, and the capacity factors of combined cycle EGUs are forecast to
decline by 2040.
C. Overview of Regulation of Stationary Combustion Turbines for GHGs
As explained earlier in this preamble, the EPA originally regulated
new and reconstructed stationary combustion turbine EGUs for emissions
of GHGs in 2015 under 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. In 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, the EPA created three subcategories: two for natural gas-
fired combustion turbines and one for multi-fuel-fired combustion
turbines. For natural gas-fired turbines, the EPA created a subcategory
for base load turbines and a separate subcategory for non-base load
turbines. Base load turbines were defined as combustion turbines with
electric sales greater than a site-specific electric sales threshold
based on the design efficiency of the combustion turbine. Non-base load
turbines were defined as combustion turbines with a capacity factor
less than or equal to the site-specific electric sales threshold. For
base load turbines, the EPA set a standard of 1,000 lb CO2/
MWh-gross based on efficient combined cycle turbine technology. For
non-base load and multi-fuel-fired turbines, the EPA set a standard
based on the use of lower-emitting fuels that varied from 120 lb
CO2/MMBtu to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu, depending upon
whether the turbine burned primarily natural gas or other lower-
emitting fuels.
D. Eight-Year Review of NSPS
CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) requires the Administrator to ``at least
every 8 years, review and, if appropriate, revise [the NSPS] . . . .''
The provision further provides that ``the Administrator need not review
any such standard if the Administrator determines that such review is
not appropriate in light of readily available information on the
efficacy of such [NSPS].''
The EPA promulgated the NSPS for GHG emissions for stationary
combustion turbines in 2015. Announcements and modeling projections
show that project developers are building new fossil fuel-fired
combustion turbines and have plans to continue building additional
capacity. Because the emissions from this added capacity have the
potential to be large and these units are likely to have long operating
lives (25 years or more), it is important to limit emissions from these
new units. Accordingly, in this final rule, the EPA is updating the
NSPS for newly constructed and reconstructed fossil fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines.
E. Applicability Requirements and Subcategorization
This section describes the amendments to the specific applicability
criteria for non-fossil fuel-fired EGUs, industrial EGUs, CHP EGUs, and
combustion turbine EGUs not connected to a natural gas pipeline. The
EPA is also making certain changes to the applicability requirements
for stationary combustion turbines affected by this final rule as
compared to those for sources affected by the 2015 NSPS. The amendments
are described below and include the elimination of the multi-fuel-fired
subcategory, further binning non-base load combustion turbines into low
load and intermediate load subcategories and establishing a capacity
factor threshold for base load combustion turbines.
1. Applicability Requirements
In general, the EPA refers to fossil fuel-fired EGUs that would be
subject to a CAA section 111 NSPS as ``affected'' EGUs or units. An EGU
is any fossil fuel-fired electric utility steam generating unit (i.e.,
a utility boiler or IGCC unit) or stationary combustion turbine (in
either simple cycle or combined cycle configuration). To be considered
an affected EGU under the 2015 NSPS at 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
the unit must meet the following applicability criteria: The unit must:
(1) be capable of combusting more than 250 MMBtu/h (260 gigajoules per
hour (GJ/h)) of heat input of fossil fuel (either alone or in
combination with any other fuel); and (2) serve a generator capable of
supplying more than 25 MW net to a utility distribution system (i.e.,
for sale to the grid).\707\ However, 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
includes applicability exemptions for certain EGUs, including: (1) non-
fossil fuel-fired units subject to a federally enforceable permit that
limits the use of fossil fuels to 10 percent or less of their heat
input capacity on an annual basis; (2) CHP units that are subject to a
federally enforceable permit limiting annual net electric sales to no
more than either the unit's design efficiency multiplied by its
potential electric output, or 219,000 MWh, whichever is greater; (3)
stationary combustion turbines that are not physically capable of
combusting natural gas (e.g., those that are not connected to a natural
gas pipeline); (4) utility boilers and IGCC units that have always been
subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting annual net electric
sales to one-third or less of their potential electric output (e.g.,
limiting hours of operation to less than 2,920 hours annually) or
limiting annual electric sales to 219,000 MWh or less; (5) municipal
waste combustors that are subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb; (6)
commercial or industrial solid waste incineration units subject to 40
CFR part 60, subpart CCCC; and (7) certain projects under development,
as discussed in the preamble for the 2015 final NSPS.
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\707\ The EPA refers to the capability to combust 250 MMBtu/h of
fossil fuel as the ``base load rating criterion.'' Note that 250
MMBtu/h is equivalent to 73 MW or 260 GJ/h heat input.
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[[Page 39905]]
a. Revisions to 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTT
The EPA is amending 40 CFR 60.5508 and 60.5509 to reflect that
stationary combustion turbines that commenced construction after
January 8, 2014, or reconstruction after June 18, 2014, and before May
24, 2023, and that meet the relevant applicability criteria are subject
to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT. For steam generating EGUs and IGCC
units, 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, remains applicable for units
constructed after January 8, 2014, or reconstructed after June 18,
2014. The EPA is finalizing 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, to be
applicable to stationary combustion turbines that commence construction
or reconstruction after May 23, 2023, and that meet the relevant
applicability criteria.
b. Revisions to 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTT, That Are Also Included in
40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTTa
The EPA is finalizing that 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, and 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, use similar regulatory text except where
specifically stated. This section describes amendments included in both
subparts.
i. Applicability to Non-Fossil Fuel-Fired EGUs
The current non-fossil applicability exemption in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, is based strictly on the combustion of non-fossil fuels
(e.g., biomass). To be considered a non-fossil fuel-fired EGU, the EGU
must be both: (1) Capable of combusting more than 50 percent non-fossil
fuel and (2) subject to a federally enforceable permit condition
limiting the annual heat input capacity for all fossil fuels combined
of 10 percent or less. The current language does not take heat input
from non-combustion sources (e.g., solar thermal) into account. Certain
solar thermal installations have natural gas backup burners larger than
250 MMBtu/h. As currently treated in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
these solar thermal installations are not eligible to be considered
non-fossil units because they are not capable of deriving more than 50
percent of their heat input from the combustion of non-fossil fuels.
Therefore, solar thermal installations that include backup burners
could meet the applicability criteria of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
even if the burners are limited to an annual capacity factor of 10
percent or less. These EGUs would readily comply with the standard of
performance, but the reporting and recordkeeping would increase costs
for these EGUs.
The EPA proposed and is finalizing several amendments to align the
applicability criteria with the original intent to cover only fossil
fuel-fired EGUs. These amendments ensure that solar thermal EGUs with
natural gas backup burners, like other types of non-fossil fuel-fired
units that derive most of their energy from non-fossil fuel sources,
are not subject to the requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT or
TTTTa. Amending the applicability language to include heat input
derived from non-combustion sources allows these facilities to avoid
the requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT or TTTTa, by limiting
the use of the natural gas burners to less than 10 percent of the
capacity factor of the backup burners. Specifically, the EPA is
amending the definition of non-fossil fuel-fired EGUs from EGUs capable
of ``combusting 50 percent or more non-fossil fuel'' to EGUs capable of
``deriving 50 percent or more of the heat input from non-fossil fuel at
the base load rating'' (emphasis added). The definition of base load
rating is also being amended to include the heat input from non-
combustion sources (e.g., solar thermal).
Revising ``combusting'' to ``deriving'' in the amended non-fossil
fuel applicability language ensures that 40 CFR part 60, subparts TTTT
and TTTTa, cover the fossil fuel-fired EGUs that the original rule was
intended to cover, while minimizing unnecessary costs to EGUs fueled
primarily by steam generated without combustion (e.g., thermal energy
supplied through the use of solar thermal collectors). The
corresponding change in the base load rating to include the heat input
from non-combustion sources is necessary to determine the relative heat
input from fossil fuel and non-fossil fuel sources.
ii. Industrial EGUs
(A) Applicability to Industrial EGUs
In simple terms, the current applicability provisions in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT, require that an EGU be capable of combusting
more than 250 MMBtu/h of fossil fuel and be capable of selling 25 MW to
a utility distribution system to be subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT. These applicability provisions exclude industrial EGUs. However,
the definition of an EGU also includes ``integrated equipment that
provides electricity or useful thermal output.'' This language
facilitates the integration of non-emitting generation and avoids
energy inputs from non-affected facilities being used in the emission
calculation without also considering the emissions of those facilities
(e.g., an auxiliary boiler providing steam to a primary boiler). This
language could result in certain large processes being included as part
of the EGU and meeting the applicability criteria. For example, the
high-temperature exhaust from an industrial process (e.g., calcining
kilns, dryer, metals processing, or carbon black production facilities)
that consumes fossil fuel could be sent to a HRSG to produce
electricity. If the industrial process uses more than 250 MMBtu/h heat
input and the electric sales exceed the applicability criteria, then
the unit could be subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT or TTTTa.
This is potentially problematic for multiple reasons. First, it is
difficult to determine the useful output of the EGU (i.e., HRSG) since
part of the useful output is included in the industrial process. In
addition, the fossil fuel that is combusted could have a relatively
high CO2 emissions rate on a lb/MMBtu basis, making it
potentially problematic to meet the standard of performance using
efficient generation. This could result in the owner/operator reducing
the electric output of the industrial facility to avoid the
applicability criteria. Finally, the compliance costs associated with
40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT or TTTTa, could discourage the development
of environmentally beneficial projects.
To avoid these outcomes, the EPA is, as proposed, amending the
applicability provision that exempts EGUs where greater than 50 percent
of the heat input is derived from an industrial process that does not
produce any electrical or mechanical output or useful thermal output
that is used outside the affected EGU.\708\ Reducing the output or not
developing industrial electric generating projects where the majority
of the heat input is derived from the industrial process itself would
not necessarily result in reductions in GHG emissions from the
industrial facility. However, the electricity that would have been
produced from the industrial project could still be needed. Therefore,
projects of this type provide significant environmental benefit by
providing additional useful output with little if any additional
environmental impact. Including these types of projects would result in
regulatory burden without any associated environmental benefit and
could discourage project development,
[[Page 39906]]
leading to potential overall increases in GHG emissions.
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\708\ Auxiliary equipment such as boilers or combustion turbines
that provide heat or electricity to the primary EGU (including to
any control equipment) would still be considered integrated
equipment and included as part of the affected facility.
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(B) Industrial EGUs Electric Sales Threshold Permit Requirement
The current electric sales applicability exemption in 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, for non-CHP steam generating units includes the
provision that EGUs have ``always been subject to a federally
enforceable permit limiting annual net electric sales to one-third or
less of their potential electric output (e.g., limiting hours of
operation to less than 2,920 hours annually) or limiting annual
electric sales to 219,000 MWh or less'' (emphasis added). The
justification for this restriction includes that the 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Da, applicability language includes ``constructed for the
purpose of . . .'' and the Agency concluded that the intent was defined
by permit conditions (80 FR 64544; October 23, 2015). This
applicability criterion is important both for determining applicability
with the new source CAA section 111(b) requirements and for determining
whether existing steam generating units are subject to the existing
source CAA section 111(d) requirements. For steam generating units that
commenced construction after September 18, 1978, the applicability of
40 CFR part 60, subpart Da, would be relatively clear as to what
criteria pollutant NSPS is applicable to the facility. However, for
steam generating units that commenced construction prior to September
18, 1978, or where the owner/operator determined that criteria
pollutant NSPS applicability was not critical to the project (e.g.,
emission controls were sufficient to comply with either the EGU or
industrial boiler criteria pollutant NSPS), owners/operators might not
have requested that an electric sales permit restriction be included in
the operating permit. Under the current applicability language, some
onsite EGUs could be covered by the existing source CAA section 111(d)
requirements even if they have never sold electricity to the grid. To
avoid covering these industrial EGUs, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing amendments to the electric sales exemption in 40 CFR part
60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa, to read, ``annual net electric sales have
never exceeded one-third of its potential electric output or 219,000
MWh, whichever is greater, and is [the ``always been'' would be
deleted] subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting annual net
electric sales to one-third or less of their potential electric output
(e.g., limiting hours of operation to less than 2,920 hours annually)
or limiting annual electric sales to 219,000 MWh or less'' (emphasis
added). EGUs that reduce current generation will continue to be covered
as long as they sold more than one-third of their potential electric
output at some time in the past. The revisions make it possible for an
owner/operator of an existing industrial EGU to provide evidence to the
Administrator that the facility has never sold electricity in excess of
the electricity sales threshold and to modify their permit to limit
sales in the future. Without the amendment, owners/operators of any
non-CHP industrial EGU capable of selling 25 MW would be subject to the
existing source CAA section 111(d) requirements even if they have never
sold any electricity. Therefore, the EPA is eliminating the requirement
that existing industrial EGUs must have always been subject to a permit
restriction limiting net electric sales.
iii. Determination of the Design Efficiency
The design efficiency (i.e., the efficiency of converting thermal
energy to useful energy output) of a combustion turbine is used to
determine the electric sales applicability threshold. In 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, the sales criteria are based in part on the
individual EGU design efficiency. Three methods for determining the
design efficiency are currently provided in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT.\709\ Since the 2015 NSPS was finalized, the EPA has become aware
that owners/operators of certain existing EGUs do not have records of
the original design efficiency. These units would not be able to
readily determine whether they meet the applicability criteria (and
would therefore be subject to CAA section 111(d) requirements for
existing sources) in the same way that 111(b) sources would be able to
determine if the facility meets the applicability criteria. Many of
these EGUs are CHP units that are unlikely to meet the 111(b)
applicability criteria and would therefore not be subject to any future
111(d) requirements. However, the language in the 2015 NSPS would
require them to conduct additional testing to demonstrate this. The
requirement would result in burden to the regulated community without
any environmental benefit. The electricity generating market has
changed, in some cases dramatically, during the lifetime of existing
EGUs, especially concerning ownership. As a result of acquisitions and
mergers, original EGU design efficiency documentation, as well as
performance guarantee results that affirmed the design efficiency, may
no longer exist. Moreover, such documentation and results may not be
relevant for current EGU efficiencies, as changes to original EGU
configurations, upon which the original design efficiencies were based,
render those original design efficiencies moot, meaning that there
would be little reason to maintain former design efficiency
documentation since it would not comport with the efficiency associated
with current EGU configurations. As the three specified methods would
rely on documentation from the original EGU configuration performance
guarantee testing, and results from that documentation may no longer
exist or be relevant, it is appropriate to allow other means to
demonstrate EGU design efficiency. To reduce potential future
compliance burden, the EPA proposed and is finalizing in 40 CFR part
60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa, to allow alternative methods as approved
by the Administrator on a case-by-case basis. Owners/operators of EGUs
can petition the Administrator in writing to use an alternate method to
determine the design efficiency. The Administrator's discretion is
intentionally left broad and can extend to other American Society of
Mechanical Engineers (ASME) or International Organization for
Standardization (ISO) methods as well as to operating data to
demonstrate the design efficiency of the EGU. The EPA also proposed and
is finalizing a change to the applicability of paragraph 60.8(b) in
table 3 of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, from ``no'' to ``yes'' and
that the applicability of paragraph 60.8(b) in table 3 of 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa, is ``yes.'' This allows the Administrator to approve
alternatives to the test methods specified in 40 CFR part 60, subparts
TTTT and TTTTa.
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\709\ 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, currently lists ``ASME PTC
22 Gas Turbines,'' ``ASME PTC 46 Overall Plant Performance,'' and
``ISO 2314 Gas turbines--acceptance tests'' as approved methods to
determine the design efficiency.
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c. Applicability for 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTTa
This section describes applicability criteria that are only
incorporated into 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, and that differ from
the requirements in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT.
Section 111 of the CAA defines a new or modified source for
purposes of a given NSPS as any stationary source that commences
construction or modification after the publication of the proposed
regulation. Thus, the standards of performance apply to EGUs that
commence construction or reconstruction after the date of proposal of
this rule--May 23, 2023. EGUs that commenced construction after the
date
[[Page 39907]]
of the proposal for the 2015 NSPS and by May 23, 2023, will remain
subject to the standards of performance promulgated in the 2015 NSPS. A
modification is any physical change in, or change in the method of
operation of, an existing source that increases the amount of any air
pollutant emitted to which a standard applies.\710\ The NSPS general
provisions (40 CFR part 60, subpart A) provide that an existing source
is considered a new source if it undertakes a reconstruction.\711\
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\710\ 40 CFR 60.2.
\711\ 40 CFR 60.15(a).
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The EPA is finalizing the same applicability requirements in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, as the applicability requirements in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT. The stationary combustion turbine must meet the
following applicability criteria: The stationary combustion turbine
must: (1) be capable of combusting more than 250 MMBtu/h (260
gigajoules per hour (GJ/h)) of heat input of fossil fuel (either alone
or in combination with any other fuel); and (2) serve a generator
capable of supplying more than 25 MW net to a utility distribution
system (i.e., for sale to the grid).\712\ In addition, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, to include
applicability exemptions for stationary combustion turbines that are:
(1) capable of deriving 50 percent or more of the heat input from non-
fossil fuel at the base load rating and subject to a federally
enforceable permit condition limiting the annual capacity factor for
all fossil fuels combined of 10 percent (0.10) or less; (2) combined
heat and power units subject to a federally enforceable permit
condition limiting annual net electric sales to no more than 219,000
MWh or the product of the design efficiency and the potential electric
output, whichever is greater; (3) serving a generator along with other
steam generating unit(s), IGCC, or stationary combustion turbine(s)
where the effective generation capacity is 25 MW or less; (4) municipal
waste combustors that are subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb; (5)
commercial or industrial solid waste incineration units subject to 40
CFR part 60, subpart CCCC; and (6) deriving greater than 50 percent of
heat input from an industrial process that does not produce any
electrical or mechanical output that is used outside the affected
stationary combustion turbine.
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\712\ The EPA refers to the capability to combust 250 MMBtu/h of
fossil fuel as the ``base load rating criterion.'' Note that 250
MMBtu/h is equivalent to 73 MW or 260 GJ/h heat input.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA proposed the same requirements to combustion turbines in
non-continental areas (i.e., Hawaii, the Virgin Islands, Guam, American
Samoa, the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, and the Northern Mariana
Islands) and non-contiguous areas (non-continental areas and Alaska) as
the EPA did for comparable units in the contiguous 48 states.\713\
However, the Agency solicited comment on whether owners/operators of
new and reconstructed combustion turbines in non-continental and non-
contiguous areas should be subject to different requirements.
Commenters generally commented that due to the difference in non-
contiguous areas relative to the lower 48 states, the proposed
requirements should not apply to owners/operators of new or
reconstructed combustion turbines in non-contiguous areas. The Agency
has considered these comments and is finalizing that only the initial
BSER component will be applicable to owners/operators of combustion
turbines located in non-contiguous areas. Therefore, owners/operators
of base load combustions turbines would not be subject to the CCS-based
numerical standards in 2032 and would continue to comply with the
efficiency-based numeric standard. Based on information reported in the
2022 EIA Form EIA-860, there are no planned new combustion turbines in
either Alaska or Hawaii. In addition, since 2015 no new combustion
turbines have commenced operation in Hawaii. Two new combustion turbine
facilities totaling 190 MW have commenced operation in Alaska since
2015. One facility is a combined cycle CHP facility and the other is at
an industrial facility and neither facility would likely meet the
applicability of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa. Therefore, not
finalizing phase-2 BSER for non-continental and non-contiguous areas
will have limited, if any, impacts on emissions or costs. The EPA notes
that the Agency has the authority to amend this decision in future
rulemakings.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\713\ 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, also includes coverage for
owners/operators of combustion turbines in non-contiguous areas.
However, owners/operators of combustion turbines not capable of
combusting natural gas (e.g., not connected to a natural gas
pipeline) are not subject to the rule. This exemption covers many
combustion turbines in non-contiguous areas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
i. Applicability to CHP Units
For 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, owners/operators of CHP units
calculate net electric sales and net energy output using an approach
that includes ``at least 20.0 percent of the total gross or net energy
output consists of electric or direct mechanical output.'' It is
unlikely that a CHP unit with a relatively low electric output (i.e.,
less than 20.0 percent) would meet the applicability criteria. However,
if a CHP unit with less than 20.0 percent of the total output
consisting of electricity were to meet the applicability criteria, the
net electric sales and net energy output would be calculated the same
as for a traditional non-CHP EGU. Even so, it is not clear that these
CHP units would have less environmental benefit per unit of electricity
produced than would more traditional CHP units. For 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, the EPA proposed and is finalizing to eliminate the
restriction that CHP units produce at least 20.0 percent electrical or
mechanical output to qualify for the CHP-specific method for
calculating net electric sales and net energy output.
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA did not issue standards of performance
for certain types of sources--including industrial CHP units and CHPs
that are subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting annual net
electric sales to no more than the unit's design efficiency multiplied
by its potential electric output, or 219,000 MWh or less, whichever is
greater. For CHP units, the approach in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
for determining net electric sales for applicability purposes allows
the owner/operator to subtract the purchased power of the thermal host
facility. The intent of the approach is to determine applicability
similarly for third-party developers and CHP units owned by the thermal
host facility.\714\ However, as written in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, each third-party CHP unit would subtract the entire electricity
use of the thermal host facility when determining its net electric
sales. It is clearly not the intent of the provision to allow multiple
third-party developers that serve the same thermal host to all subtract
the purchased power of the thermal host facility when determining net
electric sales. This would result in counting the purchased power
multiple times. In addition, it is not the intent of the provision to
allow a CHP developer to provide a trivial amount of useful thermal
output to multiple thermal hosts and then subtract all the thermal
hosts' purchased power when determining net electric sales for
applicability purposes. The EPA
[[Page 39908]]
proposed and is finalizing in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, to limit
to the amount of thermal host purchased power that a third-party CHP
developer can subtract for electric sales when determining net electric
sales equivalent to the percentage of useful thermal output provided to
the host facility by the specific CHP unit. This approach eliminates
both circumvention of the intended applicability by sales of trivial
amounts of useful thermal output and double counting of thermal host-
purchased power.
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\714\ For contractual reasons, many developers of CHP units sell
the majority of the generated electricity to the electricity
distribution grid. Owners/operators of both the CHP unit and thermal
host can subtract the site purchased power when determining net
electric sales. Third-party developers that do not own the thermal
host can also subtract the purchased power of the thermal host when
determining net electric sales for applicability purposes.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, to avoid potential double counting of electric sales, the
EPA proposed and is finalizing that for CHP units determining net
electric sales, purchased power of the host facility be determined
based on the percentage of thermal power provided to the host facility
by the specific CHP facility.
ii. Non-Natural Gas Stationary Combustion Turbines
There is currently an exemption in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
for stationary combustion turbines that are not physically capable of
combusting natural gas (e.g., those that are not connected to a natural
gas pipeline). While combustion turbines not connected to a natural gas
pipeline meet the general applicability of 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTT, these units are not subject to any of the requirements. The EPA
is not including in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, the exemption for
stationary combustion turbines that are not physically capable of
combusting natural gas. As described in the standards of performance
section, owners/operators of combustion turbines burning fuels with a
higher heat input emission rate than natural gas would adjust the
natural gas-fired emissions rate by the ratio of the heat input-based
emission rates. The overall result is that new stationary combustion
turbines combusting fuels with higher GHG emissions rates than natural
gas on a lb CO2/MMBtu basis must maintain the same
efficiency compared to a natural gas-fired combustion turbine and
comply with a standard of performance based on the identified BSER.
2. Subcategorization
In this final rule, the EPA is continuing to include both simple
and combined cycle turbines in the definition of a stationary
combustion turbine, and like in prior rules for this source category,
the Agency is finalizing three subcategories--low load, intermediate
load, and base load combustion turbines. These subcategories are
determined based on electric sales (i.e., utilization) relative to the
combustion turbines' potential electric output to an electric
distribution network on both a 12-operating month and 3-year rolling
average basis. The applicable subcategory is determined each operating
month and a stationary combustion turbine can switch subcategories if
the owner/operator changes the way the facility is operated.
Subcategorization based on percent electric sales is a proxy for how a
combustion turbine operates and for determining the BSER and
corresponding emission standards. For example, low load combustion
turbines tend to spend a relatively high percentage of operating hours
starting and stopping. However, within each subcategory not all
combustion turbines operate the same. Some low load combustion turbines
operate with less starting and stopping, but in general, combustion
turbines tend to operate with fewer starts and stops (i.e., more
steady-state hours of operation) with increasing percentages of
electric sales. The BSER for each subcategory is based on
representative operation of the combustion turbines in that subcategory
and on what is achievable for the subcategory as a whole.
Subcategorization by electric sales is similar, but not identical,
to subcategorizing by heat input-based capacity factors or annual hours
of operation limits.\715\ The EPA has determined that, for NSPS
purposes, electric sales is appropriate because it reflects operational
limitations inherent in the design of certain units, and also that--
given these differences--certain emission reduction technologies are
more suitable for some units than for others.\716\ This
subcategorization approach is also consistent with industry practice.
For example, operating permits for simple cycle turbines often include
annual operating hour limitations of 1,500 to 4,000 hours annually.
When average hourly capacity factors (i.e., duty cycles) are accounted
for, these hourly restrictions are similar to annual capacity factor
restrictions of approximately 15 percent and 40 percent, respectively.
The owners or operators of these combustion turbines never intend for
them to provide base load power. In contrast, operating permits do not
typically restrict the number of hours of annual operation for combined
cycle turbines, reflecting that these types of combustion turbines are
intended to have the ability to provide base load power.
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\715\ Percent electric sales thresholds, capacity factor
thresholds, and annual hours of operation limitations all categorize
combustion turbines based on utilization.
\716\ While utilization and electric sales are often similar,
the EPA uses electric sales because the focus of the applicability
is facilities that sell electricity to the grid and not industrial
facilities where the electricity is generated primarily for use
onsite.
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The EPA evaluated the operation of the three general combustion
turbine technologies--combined cycle turbines, frame-type simple cycle
turbines, and aeroderivative simple cycle turbines--when determining
the subcategorization approach in this rulemaking.\717\ The EPA found
that, at the same capacity factor, aeroderivative simple cycle turbines
have more starts (including fewer operating hours per start) than
either frame simple cycle turbines or combined cycle turbines. The
maximum number of starts for aeroderivative simple cycle turbines
occurs at capacity factors of approximately 30 percent and the maximum
number of starts for frame simple cycle turbines and combined cycle
turbines both occur at capacity factors of approximately 25 percent. In
terms of the median hours of operation per start, the hours per starts
increases exponentially with capacity factor for each type of
combustion turbine. The rate of increase is greatest for combined cycle
turbines with the run times per start increasing significantly at
capacity factors of 40 and greater. This threshold roughly matches the
subcategorization threshold for intermediate load and base load
turbines in this final rule. As is discussed later in section VIII.F.3
and VIII.F.4, technology options including those related to efficiency
and to post combustion capture are impacted by the way units operate
and can be more effective for units with fewer stops and starts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\717\ The EPA used manufacturers' designations for frame and
aeroderivative combustion turbines.
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a. Legal Basis for Subcategorization
As noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble, CAA section 111(b)(2)
provides that the EPA ``may distinguish among classes, types, and sizes
within categories of new sources for the purpose of establishing . . .
standards [of performance].'' The D.C. Circuit has held that the EPA
has broad discretion in determining whether and how to subcategorize
under CAA section 111(b)(2). Lignite Energy Council, 198 F.3d at 933.
As also noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble, in prior CAA section
111 rules, the EPA has subcategorized on numerous bases, including,
among other things, fuel type and load, i.e., utilization. In
particular, as noted in section V.C.1 of this preamble, the EPA
subcategorized on the basis of utilization--for base load
[[Page 39909]]
and non-base load subcategories--in the 2015 NSPS for GHG emissions
from combustion turbines, Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions From New, Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary Sources:
Electric Utility Generating Units, 80 FR 64509 (October 23, 2015), and
also in the NESHAP for Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines; NSPS
for Stationary Internal Combustion Engines, 79 FR 48072-01 (August 15,
2014).
Subcategorizing combustion turbines based on utilization is
appropriate because it recognizes the way differently designed
combustion turbines actually operate. Project developers do not
construct combined cycle combustion turbine system to start and stop
often to serve peak demand. Similarly, project developers do not
construct and install simple cycle combustion turbines to operate at
higher capacity factors to provide base load demand. And intermediate
load demand may be served by higher efficiency simple cycle turbine
systems or by ``quick start'' combined cycle units. Thus, there are
distinguishing features (i.e., different classes, types, and sizes) of
turbines that are predominantly used in each of the utilization-based
subcategories. Further, the amount of utilization and the mode of
operation are relevant for the systems of emission reduction that the
EPA may evaluate to be the BSER and therefore for the resulting
standards of performance. See section VII.C.2.a.i for more discussion
of the legal basis to subcategorize based upon characteristics relevant
to the controls the EPA may determine to be the BSER.
As noted in sections VIII.E.2.b and VIII.F of this preamble,
combustion turbines that operate at low load have highly variable
operation and therefore highly variable emission rates. This
variability made it challenging for the EPA to specify a BSER based on
efficient design and operation and limits the BSER for purposes of this
rulemaking to lower-emitting fuels. The EPA notes that the
subcategorization threshold and the standard of performance are
related. For example, the Agency could have finalized a lower electric
sales threshold for the low load subcategory (e.g., 15 percent) and
evaluated the emission rates at the lower capacity factors. In future
rulemaking the Agency could further evaluate the costs and emissions
impacts of reducing the threshold for combustion turbines subject to a
BSER based on the use of lower emitting fuels.
Intermediate load combustion turbines (i.e., those that operate at
loads that are somewhat higher than the low load peaking units) are
most often designed to be simple cycle units rather than combined cycle
units. This is because combustion turbines operating in the
intermediate load range also start and stop and vary their load
frequently (though not as often as low load peaking units). Because of
the more frequent starts and stops, simple cycle combustion turbines
are more economical for project developers when compared to combined
cycle combustion turbines. Utilization of CCS technology is not
practicable for those simple cycle units due to the lack of a HRSG.
Therefore, the EPA has determined that efficient design and operation
is the BSER for intermediate load combustion turbines.
While use of CCS is practicable for combined cycle combustion
turbines, it is most appropriate for those units that operate at
relatively higher loads (i.e., as base load units) that do not
frequently start, stop, and change load. Moreover, with current
technology, CCS works better on units running at base load levels.
b. Electric Sales Subcategorization (Low, Intermediate, and Base Load
Combustion Turbines)
As noted earlier, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA established separate
standards of performance for new and reconstructed natural gas-fired
base load and non-base load stationary combustion turbines. The
electric sales threshold distinguishing the two subcategories is based
on the design efficiency of individual combustion turbines. A
combustion turbine qualifies as a non-base load turbine--and is thus
subject to a less stringent standard of performance--if it has net
electric sales equal to or less than the design efficiency of the
turbine (not to exceed 50 percent) multiplied by the potential electric
output (80 FR 64601; October 23, 2015). If the net electric sales
exceed that level on both a 12-operating month and 3-calendar year
basis, then the combustion turbine is in the base load subcategory and
is subject to a more stringent standard of performance. Subcategory
applicability can change on a month-to-month basis since applicability
is determined each operating month. For additional discussion on this
approach, see the 2015 NSPS (80 FR 64609-12; October 23, 2015). The
2015 NSPS non-base load subcategory is broad and includes combustion
turbines that assure grid reliability by providing electricity during
periods of peak electric demand. These peaking turbines tend to have
low annual capacity factors and sell a small amount of their potential
electric output. The non-base load subcategory in the 2015 NSPS also
includes combustion turbines that operate at intermediate annual
capacity factors and are not considered base load EGUs. These
intermediate load EGUs provide a variety of services, including
providing dispatchable power to support variable generation from
renewable sources of electricity. The need for this service has been
expanding as the amount of electricity from wind and solar continues to
grow. In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA determined the BSER for the non-base
load subcategory to be the use of lower-emitting fuels (e.g., natural
gas and Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils). In 2015, the EPA explained that
efficient generation did not qualify as the BSER due in part to the
challenge of determining an achievable output-based CO2
emissions rate for all combustion turbines in this subcategory.
In this action, the EPA proposed and is finalizing the
subcategories in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, that will be applicable
to sources that commence construction or reconstruction after May 23,
2023. First, the Agency proposed and is finalizing the definition of
design efficiency so that the heat input calculation of an EGU is based
on the higher heating value (HHV) of the fuel instead of the lower
heating value (LHV), as explained immediately below. This has the
effect of lowering the calculated potential electric output and the
electric sales threshold. In addition, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing division of the non-base load subcategory into separate
intermediate and low load subcategories.
i. Higher Heating Value as the Basis for Calculation of the Design
Efficiency
The heat rate is the amount of energy used by an EGU to generate 1
kWh of electricity and is often provided in units of Btu/kWh. As the
thermal efficiency of a combustion turbine EGU is increased, less fuel
is burned per kWh generated and there is a corresponding decrease in
emissions of CO2 and other air pollutants. The electric
energy output as a fraction of the fuel energy input expressed as a
percentage is a common practice for reporting the unit's efficiency.
The greater the output of electric energy for a given amount of fuel
energy input, the higher the efficiency of the electric generation
process. Lower heat rates are associated with more efficient power
generating plants.
Efficiency can be calculated using the HHV or the LHV of the fuel.
The HHV is the heating value directly determined by calorimetric
measurement of the fuel in the laboratory. The LHV is calculated using
a formula to account for the
[[Page 39910]]
moisture in the combustion gas (i.e., subtracting the energy required
to vaporize the water in the flue gas) and is a lower value than the
HHV. Consequently, the HHV efficiency for a given EGU is always lower
than the corresponding LHV efficiency because the reported heat input
for the HHV is larger. For U.S. pipeline natural gas, the HHV heating
value is approximately 10 percent higher than the corresponding LHV
heating value and varies slightly based on the actual constituent
composition of the natural gas.\718\ The EPA default is to reference
all technologies on a HHV basis,\719\ and the Agency is basing the heat
input calculation of an EGU on HHV for purposes of the definition of
design efficiency. However, it should be recognized that manufacturers
of combustion turbines typically use the LHV to express the efficiency
of combustion turbines.\720\
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\718\ The HHV of natural gas is 1.108 times the LHV of natural
gas. Therefore, the HHV efficiency is equal to the LHV efficiency
divided by 1.108. For example, an EGU with a LHV efficiency of 59.4
percent is equal to a HHV efficiency of 53.6 percent. The HHV/LHV
ratio is dependent on the composition of the natural gas (i.e., the
percentage of each chemical species (e.g., methane, ethane,
propane)) within the pipeline and will slightly move the ratio.
\719\ Natural gas is also sold on a HHV basis.
\720\ European plants tend to report thermal efficiency based on
the LHV of the fuel rather than the HHV for both combustion turbines
and steam generating EGUs. In the U.S., boiler efficiency is
typically reported on a HHV basis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Similarly, the electric energy output for an EGU can be expressed
as either of two measured values. One value relates to the amount of
total electric power generated by the EGU, or gross output. However, a
portion of this electricity must be used by the EGU facility to operate
the unit, including compressors, pumps, fans, electric motors, and
pollution control equipment. This within-facility electrical demand,
often referred to as the parasitic load or auxiliary load, reduces the
amount of power that can be delivered to the transmission grid for
distribution and sale to customers. Consequently, electric energy
output may also be expressed in terms of net output, which reflects the
EGU gross output minus its parasitic load.\721\
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\721\ It is important to note that net output values reflect the
net output delivered to the electric grid and not the net output
delivered to the end user. Electricity is lost as it is transmitted
from the point of generation to the end user and these ``line
losses'' increase the farther the power is transmitted. 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, provides a way to account for the environmental
benefit of reduced line losses by crediting CHP EGUs, which are
typically located close to large electric load centers. See 40 CFR
60.5540(a)(5)(i) and the definitions of gross energy output and net
energy output in 40 CFR 60.5580.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
When using efficiency to compare the effectiveness of different
combustion turbine EGU configurations and the applicable GHG emissions
control technologies, it is important to ensure that all efficiencies
are calculated using the same type of heating value (i.e., HHV or LHV)
and the same basis of electric energy output (i.e., MWh-gross or MWh-
net). Most emissions data are available on a gross output basis and the
EPA is finalizing output-based standards based on gross output.
However, to recognize the superior environmental benefit of minimizing
auxiliary/parasitic loads, the Agency is including optional equivalent
standards on a net output basis. To convert from gross to net output-
based standards, the EPA used a 2 percent auxiliary load for simple and
combined cycle turbines and a 7 percent auxiliary load for combined
cycle EGUs using 90 percent CCS.\722\
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\722\ The 7 percent auxiliary load for combined cycle turbines
with 90 percent CCS is specific to electric output. Additional
auxiliary load includes thermal energy that is diverted to the CCS
system instead of being used to generate additional electricity.
This additional auxiliary thermal energy is accounted for when
converting the phase 1 emissions standard to the phase 2 standard.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ii. Lowering the Threshold Between the Base Load and Non-Base Load
Subcategories
The subpart TTTT distinction between a base load and non-base load
combustion turbine is determined by the unit's actual electric sales
relative to its potential electric sales, assuming the EGU is operated
continuously (i.e., percent electric sales). Specifically, stationary
combustion turbines are categorized as non-base load and are
subsequently subject to a less stringent standard of performance if
they have net electric sales equal to or less than their design
efficiency (not to exceed 50 percent) multiplied by their potential
electric output (80 FR 64601; October 23, 2015). Because the electric
sales threshold is based in part on the design efficiency of the EGU,
more efficient combustion turbine EGUs can sell a higher percentage of
their potential electric output while remaining in the non-base load
subcategory. This approach recognizes both the environmental benefit of
combustion turbines with higher design efficiencies and provides
flexibility to the regulated community. In the 2015 NSPS, it was
unclear how often high-efficiency simple cycle EGUs would be called
upon to support increased generation from variable renewable generating
resources. Therefore, the Agency determined it was appropriate to
provide maximum flexibility to the regulated community. To do this, the
Agency based the numeric value of the design efficiency, which is used
to calculate the electric sales threshold, on the LHV efficiency. This
had the impact of allowing combustion turbines to sell a greater share
of their potential electric output while remaining in the non-base load
subcategory.
The EPA proposed and is finalizing that the design efficiency in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa be based on the HHV efficiency instead of
LHV efficiency and to not include the 50 percent maximum and 33 percent
minimum restrictions. When determining the potential electric output
used in calculating the electric sales threshold in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT, design efficiencies of greater than 50 percent are
reduced to 50 percent and design efficiencies of less than 33 percent
are increased to 33 percent for determining electric sales threshold
subcategorization criteria. The 50 percent criterion was established to
limit non-base load EGUs from selling greater than 55 percent of their
potential electric sales.\723\ The 33 percent criterion was included to
be consistent with applicability thresholds in the electric utility
criteria pollutant NSPS (40 CFR part 60, subpart Da).
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\723\ While the design efficiency is capped at 50 percent on a
LHV basis, the base load rating (maximum heat input of the
combustion turbine) is on a HHV basis. This mixture of LHV and HHV
results in the electric sales threshold being 11 percent higher than
the design efficiency. The design efficiency of all new combined
cycle EGUs exceed 50 percent on a LHV basis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Neither of those criteria are appropriate for 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa, and the EPA proposed and is finalizing a decision that
they are not incorporated when determining the electric sales
threshold. Instead, as discussed later in the section, the EPA is
finalizing a fixed percent electric sales thresholds and the design
efficiency does not impact the subcategorization thresholds. However,
the design efficiency is still used when determining the potential
electric sales and any restriction on using the actual design
efficiency of the combustion turbine would have the impact of changing
the threshold. If this restriction were maintained, it would reduce the
regulatory incentive for manufacturers to invest in programs to develop
higher efficiency combustion turbines.
The EPA also proposed and is finalizing a decision to eliminate the
33 percent minimum design efficiency in the calculation of the
potential electric output. The EPA is unaware of any new combustion
turbines with design efficiencies meeting the general
[[Page 39911]]
applicability criteria of less than 33 percent; and this will likely
have no cost or emissions impact.
The EPA solicited comment on whether the intermediate/base load
electric sales threshold should be reduced further to a range that
would lower the base load electric sales threshold for simple cycle
turbines to between 29 to 35 percent (depending on the design
efficiency) and to between 40 to 49 percent for combined cycle turbines
(depending on the design efficiency). The specific approach the EPA
solicited comment on was reducing the design efficiency by 6 percent
(e.g., multiplying by 0.94) when determining the electric sales
threshold. Some commenters supported lowering the proposed electric
sales threshold while others supported maintaining the proposed
standards.
After considering comments, in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, the
EPA has determined it is appropriate to eliminate the sliding scale
electric sales threshold based on the design efficiency and instead
base the subcategorization thresholds on fixed electric sales (also
referred to sometimes here as capacity factor). In 40 CFR part 60
subpart TTTTa, the EPA is finalizing that the fixed electric sales
threshold between intermediate load combustion turbines and base load
combustion turbines is 40 percent. The 40 percent electric sales
(capacity factor) threshold reflects the maximum capacity factor for
intermediate load simple cycle turbines and the minimum prorated
efficiency approach for base load combined cycle turbines that the EPA
solicited comment on in proposal.\724\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\724\ The EPA solicited comment on basing the electric sales
threshold on a value calculated using 0.94 times the design
efficiency.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The base load electric sales threshold is appropriate for new
combustion turbines because, as will be discussed later, the first
component of BSER for base load turbines is based on highly efficient
combined cycle generation. Combined cycle units are significantly more
efficient than simple cycle turbines; and therefore, in general, the
EPA should be focusing its determination of the BSER for base load
units on that more efficient technology. The electric sales thresholds
and the emission standards are related because, at lower capacity
factors, combustion turbines tend to have more variable operation
(e.g., more starts and stops and operation at part load conditions)
that reduces the efficiency of the combustion turbine. This is
particularly the case for combined cycle turbines because while the
turbine engine can come to full load relatively quickly, the HRSG and
steam turbine cannot, and combined cycle turbines responding to highly
variable load will have efficiencies similar to simple cycle
turbines.\725\ This has implications for the appropriate control
technologies and corresponding emission reduction potential. The EPA
determined the final standard of performance based on review of
emissions data for recently installed combined cycle combustion
turbines with 12-operating month capacity factors of 40 percent or
greater. The EPA considered a capacity factor threshold lower than 40
percent. However, expanding the subcategory to include combustion
turbines with a 12-operating month electric sales of less than 40
percent would require the EPA to consider the emissions performance of
combined cycle turbines operating at lower capacity factors and, while
it would expand the number of sources in the base load subcategory, it
would also result in a higher (i.e., less stringent) numerical emission
standard for the sources in the category.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\725\ This discussion assumes that the combined cycle turbine
incorporates a bypass stack that allows the combustion turbine
engine to operate independent of the HRSG/steam turbine. Without a
bypass stack the combustion turbine engine could not come to full
load as quickly.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Direct comparison of the costs of combined cycle turbines relative
to simple cycle turbines can be challenging because model plant costs
are often for combustion turbines of different sizes and do not account
for variable operation. For example, combined cycle turbine model
plants are generally for an EGU that is several hundred megawatts while
simple cycle turbine model plants are generally less than a hundred
megawatts. Direct comparison of the LCOE from these model plants is not
relevant because the facilities are not comparable. Consider a facility
with a block of 10 simple cycle turbines that are each 50 MW (so the
overall facility capacity is 500 MW). Each simple cycle turbine
operates as an individual unit and provides a different value to the
electric grid as compared to a single 500 MW combined cycle turbine.
While the minimum load of the combined cycle facility might be 200 MW,
the block of 10 simple cycle turbines can provide from approximately 20
MW to 500 MW to the electric grid.
A more accurate cost comparison accounts for economies of scale and
estimates the cost of a combined cycle turbine with the same net output
as a simple cycle turbine. Comparing the modeled LCOE of these
combustion turbines provides a meaningful comparison, at least for base
load combustion turbines. Without accounting for economies of scale and
variable operation, combined cycle turbines can appear to be more cost
effective than simple cycle turbines under almost all conditions. In
addition, without accounting for economies of scale, large frame simple
cycle turbines can appear to be more cost effective than higher
efficiency aeroderivative simple cycle turbines, even if operated at a
100 percent capacity factor. These cost models are not intended to make
direct comparisons, and the EPA appropriately accounted for economies
of scale when estimating the cost of the BSER. Since base load
combustion turbines tend to operate under steady state conditions with
few starts and stops, startup and shutdown costs and the efficiency
impact of operating at variable loads are not important for determining
the compliance costs of base load combustion turbines.
Based on an adjusted model plant comparison, combined cycle EGUs
have a lower LCOE at capacity factors above approximately 40 percent
compared to simple cycle EGUs operating at the same capacity factors.
This supports the final base load fixed electric sales threshold of 40
percent for simple cycle turbines because it would be cost-effective
for owners/operators of simple cycle turbines to add heat recovery if
they elected to operate at higher capacity factors as a base load unit.
Furthermore, based on an analysis of monthly emission rates, recently
constructed combined cycle EGUs maintain consistent emission rates at
capacity factors of less than 55 percent (which is the base load
electric sales threshold in subpart TTTT) relative to operation at
higher capacity factors. Therefore, the base load subcategory operating
range can be expanded in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, without
impacting the stringency of the numeric standard. However, at capacity
factors of less than approximately 40 percent, emission rates of
combined cycle EGUs increase relative to their operation at higher
capacity factors. It takes much longer for a HRSG to begin producing
steam that can be used to generate additional electricity than it takes
a combustion engine to reach full power. Under operating conditions
with a significant number of starts and stops, typical of some
intermediate and especially low load combustion turbines, there may not
be enough time for the HRSG to generate steam that can be used for
additional electrical generation. To maximize overall efficiency,
combined cycle EGUs often use combustion turbine engines that are less
efficient than the most
[[Page 39912]]
efficient simple cycle turbine engines. Under operating conditions with
frequent starts and stops where the HRSG does not have sufficient time
to begin generating additional electricity, a combined cycle EGU may be
no more efficient than a highly efficient simple cycle EGU. These
distinctions in operation are thus meaningful for determining which
emissions control technologies are most appropriate for types of units.
Once a combustion turbine unit exceeds approximately 40 percent annual
capacity factor, it is economical to add a HRSG which results in the
unit becoming both more efficient and less likely to cycle its
operation. Such units are, therefore, better suited for more stringent
emission control technologies including CCS.
After the 2015 NSPS was finalized, some stakeholders expressed
concerns about the approach for distinguishing between base load and
non-base load turbines. They posited a scenario in which increased
utilization of wind and solar resources, combined with low natural gas
prices, would create the need for certain types of simple cycle
turbines to operate for longer time periods than had been contemplated
when the 2015 NSPS was being developed. Specifically, stakeholders have
claimed that in some regional electricity markets with large amounts of
variable renewable generation, some of the most efficient new simple
cycle turbines--aeroderivative turbines--could be called upon to
operate at capacity factors greater than their design efficiency.
However, if those new simple cycle turbines were to operate at those
higher capacity factors, they would become subject to the more
stringent standard of performance for base load turbines. As a result,
according to these stakeholders, the new aeroderivative turbines would
have to curtail their generation and instead, less-efficient existing
turbines would be called upon to run by the regional grid operators,
which would result in overall higher emissions. The EPA evaluated the
operation of simple cycle turbines in areas of the country with
relatively large amounts of variable renewable generation and did not
find a strong correlation between the percentage of generation from the
renewable sources and the 12-operating month capacity factors of simple
cycle turbines. In addition, most of the simple cycle turbines that
commenced operation between 2010 and 2016 (the most recent simple cycle
turbines not subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT) have operated
well below the base load electric sales threshold in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTT. Therefore, the Agency does not believe that the concerns
expressed by stakeholders necessitates any revisions to the regulatory
scheme. In fact, as noted above, the EPA is finalizing that the
electric sales threshold can be lowered without impairing the
availability of simple cycle turbines where needed, including to
support the integration of variable generation. The EPA believes that
the final threshold is not overly restrictive since a simple cycle
turbine could operate on average for more than 9 hours a day in the
intermediate load subcategory.
iii. Low and Intermediate Load Subcategories
This section discusses the EPA's rationale for subcategorizing non-
base load combustion turbines into two subcategories--low load and
intermediate load.
(A) Low Load Subcategory
The EPA proposed and is finalizing in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
TTTTa, a low load subcategory to includes combustion turbines that
operate only during periods of peak electric demand (i.e., peaking
units), which will be separate from the intermediate load subcategory.
Low load combustion turbines also provide ramping capability and other
ancillary services to support grid reliability. The EPA evaluated the
operation of recently constructed simple cycle turbines to understand
how they operate and to determine at what electric sales level or
capacity factor their emissions rate is relatively steady. (Note that
for purposes of this discussion, the terms ``electric sales'' and
``capacity factor'' are used interchangeably.) Low load combustion
turbines generally only operate for short periods of time and
potentially at relatively low duty cycles.\726\ This type of operation
reduces the efficiency and increases the emissions rate, regardless of
the design efficiency of the combustion turbine or how it is
maintained. For this reason, it is difficult to establish a reasonable
output-based standard of performance for low load combustion turbines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\726\ The duty cycle is the average operating capacity factor.
For example, if an EGU operates at 75 percent of the fully rated
capacity, the duty cycle would be 75 percent regardless of how often
the EGU actually operates. The capacity factor is a measure of how
much an EGU is operated relative to how much it could potentially
have been operated.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To determine the electric sales threshold--that is, to distinguish
between the intermediate load and low load subcategories--the EPA
evaluated capacity factor electric sales thresholds of 10 percent, 15
percent, 20 percent, and 25 percent. The EPA proposed to find and is
finalizing a conclusion that the 10 percent threshold is problematic
for two reasons. First, simple cycle turbines operating at that level
or lower have highly variable emission rates, and therefore it is
difficult for the EPA to establish a meaningful output-based standard
of performance. In addition, only one-third of simple cycle turbines
that have commenced operation since 2015 have maintained 12-operating
month capacity factors of less than 10 percent. Therefore, setting the
threshold at this level would bring most new simple cycle turbines into
the intermediate load subcategory, which would subject them to a more
stringent emission rate that is only achievable for simple cycle
turbines operating at higher capacity factors. This could create a
situation where simple cycle turbines might not be able to comply with
the intermediate load standard of performance while operating at the
low end of the intermediate load capacity factor subcategorization
criteria.
Based on the EPA's review of hourly emissions data, at a capacity
factor above 15 percent, GHG emission rates for many simple cycle
turbines begin to stabilize. At higher capacity factors, more time is
typically spent at steady state operation rather than ramping up and
down; and emission rates tend to be lower while in steady-state
operation. Of recently constructed simple cycle turbines, half have
maintained 12-operating month capacity factors of 15 percent or less,
two-thirds have maintained capacity factors of 20 percent or less; and
approximately 80 percent have maintained maximum capacity factors of 25
percent or less. The emission rates clearly stabilize for most simple
cycle turbines operating at capacity factors of greater than 20
percent. Based on this information, the EPA proposed the low load
electric sales threshold--again, the dividing line to distinguish
between the intermediate and low load subcategories--to be 20 percent
and solicited comment on a range of 15 to 25 percent. The EPA also
solicited comment on whether the low load electric sales threshold
should be determined by a site-specific threshold based on three-
fourths of the design efficiency of the combustion turbine.\727\Under
this approach, simple
[[Page 39913]]
cycle turbines selling less than 18 to 22 percent of their potential
electric output (depending on the design efficiency) would still have
been considered low load combustion turbines. This ``sliding scale''
electric sales threshold approach is like the approach the EPA used in
the 2015 NSPS to recognize the environmental benefit of installing the
most efficient combustion turbines for low load applications. Using
this approach, combined cycle EGUs would have been able to sell between
26 to 31 percent of their potential electric output while still being
considered low load combustion turbines. Some commenters supported a
lower electric sales threshold while others supported a higher
threshold. Based on these comments, the EPA is finalizing the proposed
low load electric sales threshold of 20 percent of the potential
electric sales. The fixed 20 percent capacity factor threshold
represents a level of utilization at which most simple cycle combustion
turbines perform at a consistent level of efficiency and GHG emission
performance, enabling the EPA to establish a standard of performance
that reflects a BSER of efficient operation. The 20 percent capacity
factor threshold is also more environmentally protective than the
higher thresholds the EPA considered, since owners and operators of
combustion turbines operating above a 20 percent capacity factor would
be subject to an output-based emissions standard instead of a heat
input-based emissions standard based on the use of lower-emitting
fuels. This ensures that owners/operators of intermediate load combined
cycle turbines properly maintain and operate their combustion turbines.
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\727\ The calculation used to determine the electric sales
threshold includes both the design efficiency and the base load
rating. Since the base load rating stays the same when adjusting the
numeric value of the design efficiency for applicability purposes,
adjustments to the design efficiency has twice the impact.
Specifically, using three-fourths of the design efficiency reduces
the electric sales threshold by half.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(B) Intermediate Load Subcategory
The proposed sliding scale subcategorization approach essentially
included two subcategories within the proposed intermediate load
subcategory. As proposed, simple cycle turbines would be classified as
intermediate load combustion turbines when operated between capacity
factors of 20 percent and approximately 40 percent while combined cycle
turbines would be classified as intermediate load combustion turbines
when operated between capacity factors of 20 percent to approximately
55 percent. Owners/operators of combined cycle turbines operating at
the high end of the intermediate load subcategory would only be subject
to an emissions standard based on a BSER of high-efficiency simple
cycle turbine technology. The proposed approach provided a regulatory
incentive for owners/operators to purchase the most efficient
technologies in exchange for additional compliance flexibility. The use
of a prorated efficiency the EPA solicited comment on would have
lowered the simple cycle and combined cycle turbine thresholds to
approximately 35 percent and 50 percent, respectively.
In this final rule, the BSER for the intermediate load subcategory
is consistent with the proposal--high-efficiency simple cycle turbine
technology. While not specifically identified in the proposal, the BSER
for the base load subcategory is also consistent with the proposal--the
use of combined cycle technology.\728\
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\728\ Under the proposed subcategorization approach, for a
combustion turbine to be subcategorized as an intermediate load
combustion turbine while operating at capacity factors of greater
than 40 percent required the use of a HRSG (e.g., combined cycle
turbine technology).
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The 12-operating month electric sales (i.e., capacity factor)
thresholds for the stationary combustion turbine subcategories in this
final rule are summarized below in Table 2.
Table 2--Sales Thresholds for Subcategories of Combustion Turbine EGUs
------------------------------------------------------------------------
12-Operating month
electric sales
Subcategory threshold (percent
of potential
electric sales)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Load........................................... <=20
Intermediate Load.................................. >20 and <=40
Base Load.......................................... >40
------------------------------------------------------------------------
iv. Integrated Onsite Generation and Energy Storage
Integrated equipment is currently included as part of the affected
facility, and the EPA proposed and is finalizing amended regulatory
text to clarify that the output from integrated renewables is included
as output when determining the NSPS emissions rate. The EPA also
proposed that the output from the integrated renewable generation is
not included when determining the net electric sales for applicability
purposes (i.e., generation from integrated renewables would not be
considered when determining if a combustion turbine is subcategorized
as a low, intermediate, or base load combustion turbine). In the
alternative, the EPA solicited comment on whether instead of exempting
the generation from the integrated renewables from counting toward
electric sales, the potential output from the integrated renewables
would be included when determining the design efficiency of the
facility. Since the design efficiency is used when determining the
electric sales threshold this would increase the allowable electric
sales for subcategorization purposes. Including the integrated
renewables when determining the design efficiency of the affected
facility has the impact of increasing the operational flexibility of
owners/operators of combustion turbines. Commenters generally supported
maintaining that integrated renewables are part of the affected
facility and including the output of the renewables when determining
the emissions rate of the affected facility.\729\ Therefore, the Agency
is finalizing a decision that the rated output of integrated renewables
be included when determining the design efficiency of the affected
facility, which is used to determine the potential electric output of
the affected facility, and that the output of the integrated renewables
be included in determining the emissions rate of the affected facility.
However, since the design efficiency is not a factor in determining the
subcategory thresholds in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, the output of
the integrated renewables will not be included for determining the
applicable subcategory. If the output from the integrated renewable
generation were included for subcategorization purposes, this could
discourage the use of integrated renewables (or curtailments) because
affected facilities could move to a subcategory with a more stringent
emissions standard that could cause the owner/operator to be out of
compliance. The impact of this approach is that the electric sales
threshold of the combustion turbine island itself, not including the
integrated renewables, for an owner/operator of a combustion turbine
that includes integrated renewables that increase the potential
electric output by 1 percent would be 1 or 2 percent higher for the
stationary combustion turbine island not considering the integrated
renewables, depending on the design efficiency of the combustion
turbine itself, than an identical combustion turbine without integrated
renewables. In addition, when the output from the integrated renewables
is considered, the output from the integrated renewables
[[Page 39914]]
lowers the emissions rate of the affected facility by approximately 1
percent.
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\729\ The EPA did not propose to include, and is not finalizing
including, integrated renewables as part of the BSER. Commenters
opposed a BSER that would include integrated renewables as part of
the BSER. Commenters noted that this could result in renewables
being installed in suboptimal locations which could result in lower
overall GHG reductions.
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For integrated energy storage technologies, the EPA solicited
comment on and is finalizing a decision to include the rated output of
the energy storage when determining the design efficiency of the
affected facility. Similar to integrated renewables, this increases the
flexibility of owner/operators to sell larger amounts of electricity
while remaining in the low, variable, and intermediate load
subcategories. While energy storage technologies have high capital
costs, operating costs are low and would dispatch prior to the
combustion turbine the technology is integrated with. Therefore, simple
cycle turbines with integrated energy storage would likely operate at
lower capacity factors than an identical simple cycle turbine at the
same location. However, while the energy storage might be charged with
renewables that would otherwise be curtailed, there is no guarantee
that low emitting generation would be used to charge the energy
storage. Therefore, the output from the energy storage is not
considered in either determining the NSPS emissions rate or as net
electric sales for subcategorization applicability purposes. In future
rulemaking the Agency could further evaluate the impact of integrated
energy storage on the operation of simple cycle turbines to determine
if the number of starts and stops are reduced and increases the
efficiency of simple cycle turbines relative to simple cycle turbines
without integrated energy storage. If this is the case, it could be
appropriate to lower the threshold for combustion turbines subject to a
lower emitting fuels BSER because emission rates would be stable at
lower capacity factors.
v. Definition of System Emergency
In 2015, the EPA included a provision that electricity sold during
hours of operation when a unit is called upon due to a system emergency
is not counted toward the percentage electric sales subcategorization
threshold in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT.\730\ The Agency concluded
that this exclusion is necessary to provide flexibility, maintain
system reliability, and minimize overall costs to the sector.\731\ The
intent is that the local grid operator will determine the EGUs
essential to maintaining grid reliability. Subsequent to the 2015 NSPS,
members of the regulated community informed the EPA that additional
clarification of a system emergency is needed to determine and document
generation during system emergencies. The EPA proposed to include the
system emergency approach in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa, and
solicited comment on amending the definition of system emergency to
clarify in implementation in 40 CFR part 60, subparts TTTT and TTTTa.
Commenters generally agreed with the proposal to allow owners/operators
of EGUs called upon during a system emergency to operate without
impacting the EGUs' subcategorization (i.e., electric sales during
system emergencies would not be considered when determining net
electric sales), and that the Agency should clarify how system
emergencies are determined and documented.
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\730\ In 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, electricity sold by units
that are not called upon to operate due to a system emergency (e.g.,
units already operating when the system emergency is declared) is
counted toward the percentage electric sales threshold.
\731\ See 80 FR 64612; October 23, 2015.
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In terms of the definition of the system emergency provision,
commenters stated that ``abnormal'' be deleted from the definition, and
instead of referencing ``the Regional Transmission Organizations (RTO),
Independent System Operators (ISO) or control area Administrator,'' the
definition should reference ``the balancing authority or reliability
coordinator.'' This change would align the regulation's definition with
the terms used by NERC. Some commenters also stated that the EPA should
specify that electric sales during periods the grid operator declares
energy emergency alerts (EEA) levels 1 through 3 be included in the
definition of system emergency.\732\ In addition, some commenters
stated that the definition should be expanded to include the concept of
energy emergencies. Specifically, the definition should also exempt
generation during periods when a load-serving entity or balancing
authority has exhausted all other resource options and can no longer
meet its expected load obligations. Finally, commenters stated that the
definition should apply to all EGUs, regardless of if they are already
operating when the system emergency is declared. This would avoid
regulatory incentive to come offline prior to a potential system
emergency to be eligible for the electric sales exemption and would
treat all EGUs similarly during system emergencies (i.e., not penalize
EGUs that are already operating to maintain grid reliability and
avoiding the need to declare grid emergencies).
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\732\ Commenters noted that grid operators have slightly
different terms for grid emergencies, but example descriptions
include: EEA 1, all available generation online and non-firm
wholesale sales curtailed; EEA 2, load management procedures in
effect, all available generation units online, demand-response
programs in effect; and EEA 3, firm load interruption is imminent or
in progress.
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The Agency is including the system emergency concept in 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa, along with a definition that clarifies how to
determine generation during periods of system emergencies. The EPA
agrees with commenters that the definition of system emergency should
be clarified and that it should not be limited to EGUs not operating
when the system emergency is declared. Based on information provided by
entities with reliability expertise, the EPA has determined that a
system emergency should be defined to include EEA levels 2 and 3. These
EEA levels generally correspond to time-limited, well-defined, and
relatively infrequent situations in which the system is experiencing an
energy deficiency. During EEA level 2 and 3 events, all available
generation is online and demand-response or other load management
procedures are in effect, or firm load interruption is imminent or in
progress. The EPA believes it is appropriate to exclude hours of
operation during such events in order to ensure that EGUs are not
impeded from maintaining or increasing their output as needed to
respond to a declared energy emergency. Because these events tend to be
short, infrequent, and well-defined, the EPA also believes any
incremental GHG emissions associated with operations during these
periods would be relatively limited.
The EPA has determined not to include EEA level 1 in the definition
of a ``system emergency.'' The EPA's understanding is that EEA level 1
events often include situations in which an energy deficiency does not
yet exist, and in which balancing authorities are preparing to pursue
various options for either bringing additional resources online or
managing load. The EPA also understands that EEA level 1 events tend to
be more frequently declared, and longer in duration, than level 2 or 3
events. Based on this information, the EPA believes that including EEA
level 1 events in the definition of a ``system emergency'' would carry
a greater risk of increasing overall GHG emissions without making a
meaningful contribution to supporting reliability. This approach
balances the need to have operational flexibility when the grid may be
strained to help ensure that all available generating sources are
available for grid reliability, while balancing with important
considerations about potential GHG emission tradeoffs. The EPA is also
amending the definition in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, to be
[[Page 39915]]
consistent with the definition in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa.
Commenters also added that operation during system emergencies
should be subject to alternate standards of performance (e.g., owners/
operators are not required to use the CCS system during system
emergencies to increase power output). The EPA agrees with commenters
that since system emergencies are defined and historically rare events,
an alternate standard of performance should apply during these periods.
Carbon capture systems require significant amounts of energy to
operate. Allowing owners/operators of EGUs equipped with CCS systems to
temporarily reduce the capture rate or cease capture will increase the
electricity available to end users during system emergencies. In place
of the applicable output-based emissions standard, the owner/operator
of an intermediate or base load combustion turbine would be subject to
a BSER based on the combustion of lower-emitting fuels during system
emergencies.\733\ The emissions and output would not be included when
calculating the 12-operating month emissions rate. The EPA considered
an alternate emissions standard based on efficient generation but
rejected that for multiple reasons. First, since system emergencies are
limited in nature the emissions calculation would include a limited
number of hours and would not necessarily be representative of an
achievable longer-term emissions rate. In addition, EGUs that are
designed to operate with CCS will not necessarily operate as
efficiently without the CCS system operating compared to a similar EGU
without a CCS system. Therefore, the Agency is not able to determine a
reasonable efficiency-based alternate emissions standard for periods of
system emergencies. Due to both the costs and time associated with
starting and stopping the CCS system, the Agency has determined it is
unlikely that an owner/operator of an affected facility would use it
where it is not needed. System emergencies have historically been
relatively brief and any hours of operation outside of the system
emergencies are included when determining the output-based emissions
standard. During short-duration system emergencies, the costs
associated with stopping and starting the CCS system could outweigh the
increased revenue from the additional electric sales. In addition, the
time associated with starting and stopping a CCS system would likely
result in an EGU operating without the CCS system in operation during
periods of non-system emergencies. This would require the owner/
operator to overcontrol during other periods of operation to maintain
emissions below the applicable standard of performance. Therefore, it
is likely an owner/operator would unnecessarily adjust the operation of
the CCS system during EEA levels 2 and 3.
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\733\ For owners/operators of combustion turbines the lower
emitting fuels requirement is defined to include fuels with an
emissions rate of 160 lb CO2/MMBtu or less. For owners/
operators of steam generating units or IGCC facilities the EPA is
requiring the use of the maximum amount of non-coal fuels available
to the affected facility.
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In addition to these measures, DOE has authority pursuant to
section 202(c) of the Federal Power Act to, on its own motion or by
request, order, among other things, the temporary generation of
electricity from particular sources in certain emergency conditions,
including during events that would result in a shortage of electric
energy, when the Secretary of Energy determines that doing so will meet
the emergency and serve the public interest. An affected source
operating pursuant to such an order is deemed not to be operating in
violation of its environmental requirements. Such orders may be issued
for 90 days and may be extended in 90-day increments after consultation
with the EPA. DOE has historically issued section 202(c) orders at the
request of electric generators and grid operators such as RTOs in order
to enable the supply of additional generation in times of expected
emergency-related generation shortfalls.
c. Multi-Fuel-Fired Combustion Turbines
In 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, multi-fuel-fired combustion
turbines are subcategorized as EGUs that combust 10 percent or more of
fuels not meeting the definition of natural gas on a 12-operating month
rolling average basis. The BSER for this subcategory is the use of
lower-emitting fuels with a corresponding heat input-based standard of
performance of 120 to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu, depending on the
fuel, for newly constructed and reconstructed multi-fuel-fired
stationary combustion turbines.\734\ Lower-emitting fuels for these
units include natural gas, ethylene, propane, naphtha, jet fuel
kerosene, Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils, biodiesel, and landfill gas. The
definition of natural gas in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, includes
fuel that maintains a gaseous state at ISO conditions, is composed of
70 percent by volume or more methane, and has a heating value of
between 35 and 41 megajoules (MJ) per dry standard cubic meter (dscm)
(950 and 1,100 Btu per dry standard cubic foot). Natural gas typically
contains 95 percent methane and has a heating value of 1,050 Btu/
lb.\735\ A potential issue with the multi-fuel subcategory is that
owners/operators of simple cycle turbines can elect to burn 10 percent
non-natural gas fuels, such as Nos. 1 or 2 fuel oil, and thereby remain
in that subcategory, regardless of their electric sales. As a result,
they would remain subject to the less stringent standard that applies
to multi-fuel-fired sources, the lower-emitting fuels standard. This
could allow less efficient combustion turbine designs to operate as
base load units without having to improve efficiency and could allow
EGUs to avoid the need for efficient design or best operating and
maintenance practices. These potential circumventions would result in
higher GHG emissions.
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\734\ Combustion turbines co-firing natural gas with other fuels
must determine fuel-based site-specific standards at the end of each
operating month. The site-specific standards depend on the amount of
co-fired natural gas. 80 FR 64616 (October 23, 2015).
\735\ Note that according to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT,
combustion turbines co-firing 25 percent hydrogen by volume could be
subcategorized as multi-fuel-fired EGUs because the percent methane
by volume could fall below 70 percent, the heating value could fall
below 35 MJ/Sm\3\, and 10 percent of the heat input could be coming
from a fuel not meeting the definition of natural gas.
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To avoid these outcomes, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a
decision not to include the multi-fuel subcategory for low,
intermediate, and base load combustion turbines in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa. This means that new multi-fuel-fired turbines that
commence construction or reconstruction after May 23, 2023, will fall
within a particular subcategory depending on their level of electric
sales. The EPA also proposed and is finalizing a decision that the
performance standards for each subcategory be adjusted appropriately
for multi-fuel-fired turbines to reflect the application of the BSER
for the subcategories to turbines burning fuels with higher GHG
emission rates than natural gas. To be consistent with the definition
of lower-emitting fuels in the 2015 NSPS, the maximum allowable heat
input-based emissions rate is 160 lb CO2/MMBtu. For example,
a standard of performance based on efficient generation would be 33
percent higher for a fuel oil-fired combustion turbine compared to a
natural gas-fired combustion turbine. This assures that the BSER, in
this case efficient generation, is applied, while at the same time
accounting for the use of multiple fuels.
[[Page 39916]]
d. Rural Areas and Small Utility Distribution Systems
As part of the original proposal and during the Small Business
Advocacy Review (SBAR) outreach the EPA solicited comment on creating a
subcategory for rural electric cooperatives and small utility
distribution systems (serving 50,000 customers or less). Commenters
expressed concerns that a BSER based on either co-firing hydrogen or
CCS may present an additional hardship on economically disadvantaged
communities and on small entities, and that the EPA should evaluate
potential increased energy costs, transmission upgrade costs, and
infrastructure encroachment which may directly affect the
disproportionately impacted communities. As described in section
VIII.F, the BSER for new stationary combustion turbines does not
include hydrogen co-firing and CCS qualifies as the BSER for base load
combustion turbines on a nationwide basis. Therefore, the EPA has
determined that a subcategory for rural cooperatives and/or small
utility distribution systems is not appropriate.
F. Determination of the Best System of Emission Reduction (BSER) for
New and Reconstructed Stationary Combustion Turbines
In this section, the EPA describes the technologies it proposed as
the BSER for each of the subcategories of new and reconstructed
combustion turbines that commence construction after May 23, 2023, as
well as topics for which the Agency solicited comment. In the following
section, the EPA describes the technologies it is determining are the
final BSER for each of the three subcategories of affected combustion
turbines and explains its basis for selecting those controls, and not
others, as the final BSER. The controls that the EPA evaluated included
combusting non-hydrogen lower-emitting fuels (e.g., natural gas and
distillate oil), using highly efficient generation, using CCS, and co-
firing with low-GHG hydrogen.
For the low load subcategory, the EPA proposed the use of lower-
emitting fuels as the BSER. This was consistent with the BSER and
performance standards established in the 2015 NSPS for the non-base
load subcategory as discussed earlier in section VIII.C.
For the intermediate load subcategory, the EPA proposed an approach
under which the BSER was made up of two components: (1) highly
efficient generation; and (2) co-firing 30 percent (by volume) low-GHG
hydrogen. Each component of the BSER represented a different set of
controls, and those controls formed the basis of corresponding
standards of performance that applied in two phases. Specifically, the
EPA proposed that affected facilities (i.e., facilities that commence
construction or reconstruction after May 23, 2023) could apply the
first component of the BSER (i.e., highly efficient generation) upon
initial startup to meet the first phase of the standard of performance.
Then, by 2032, the EPA proposed that affected facilities could apply
the second component of the BSER (i.e., co-firing 30 percent (by
volume) low-GHG hydrogen) to meet a second and more stringent standard
of performance. The EPA also solicited comment on whether the
intermediate load subcategory should apply a third component of the
BSER: co-firing 96 percent (by volume) low-GHG hydrogen by 2038. In
addition, the EPA solicited comment on whether the low load subcategory
should also apply the second component of BSER, co-firing 30 percent
(by volume) low-GHG hydrogen, by 2032. The Agency proposed that these
latter components of the BSER would continue to include the application
of highly efficient generation.
For the base load subcategory, the EPA also proposed a multi-
component BSER and multi-phase standard of performance. The EPA
proposed that each new base load combustion turbine would be required
to meet a phase-1 standard of performance based on the application of
the first component of the BSER--highly efficient generation--upon
initial startup of the affected source. For the second component of the
BSER, the EPA proposed two potential technology pathways for base load
combustion turbines with corresponding standards of performance. One
proposed technology pathway was 90 percent CCS, which base load
combustion turbines would install and begin to operate by 2035 to meet
the phase-2 standard of performance. A second proposed technology
pathway was co-firing low-GHG hydrogen, which base load combustion
turbines would implement in two steps: (1) By co-firing 30 percent (by
volume) low-GHG hydrogen to meet the phase-2 standard of performance by
2032, and (2) by co-firing 96 percent (by volume) low-GHG hydrogen to
meet a phase 3 standard of performance by 2038. Throughout, the Agency
proposed base load turbines, like intermediate load turbines, would
remain subject to the first component of the BSER based on highly
efficient generation.
The proposed approach reflected the EPA's view that the BSER
components for the intermediate load and base load subcategories could
achieve deeper reductions in GHG emissions by implementing CCS and co-
firing low-GHG hydrogen. This proposed approach also recognized that
building the infrastructure required to support widespread use of CCS
and low-GHG hydrogen technologies in the power sector will take place
on a multi-year time scale. Accordingly, new and reconstructed
facilities would be aware of their need to ramp toward more stringent
phases of the standards, which would reflect application of the more
stringent controls in the BSER. This would occur either by co-firing a
lower percentage (by volume) of low-GHG hydrogen by 2032 and a higher
percentage (by volume) of low-GHG hydrogen by 2038, or with
installation and use of CCS by 2035. The EPA also solicited comment on
the potential for an earlier compliance date for the second phase.
For the base load subcategory, the EPA proposed two potential BSER
pathways because the Agency believed there was more than one viable
technology for these combustion turbines to significantly reduce their
CO2 emissions. The Agency also found value in receiving
comments on, and potentially finalizing, both BSER pathways to enable
project developers to elect how they would reduce their CO2
emissions on timeframes that make sense for each BSER pathway.\736\ The
EPA solicited comment on whether the co-firing of low-GHG hydrogen
should be considered a compliance pathway for sources to meet a single
standard of performance based on the application of CCS rather than a
separate BSER pathway. The EPA proposed that there would be earlier
opportunities for units to begin co-firing lower amounts of low-GHG
hydrogen than to install and begin operating 90 percent CCS systems.
However, the Agency proposed that it would likely take longer for those
units to increase their co-firing to significant quantities of low-GHG
hydrogen. Therefore, in the proposal, the EPA presented the BSER
pathways as separate subcategories and solicited comment on the option
of finalizing a single standard of performance based on the application
of CCS.
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\736\ The EPA recognizes that standards of performance are
technology neutral and that a standard based on application of CCS
could be achieved by co-firing hydrogen.
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For the low load subcategory, the EPA proposed and is finalizing
that the BSER is the use of lower-emitting fuels. For the intermediate
load subcategory, the EPA proposed and is finalizing that the
[[Page 39917]]
BSER is highly efficient generating technology--simple cycle technology
as well as operating and maintaining it efficiently.\737\ The EPA is
not finalizing a second component of the BSER or a phase-2 standard of
performance for intermediate load combustion turbines at this time. For
the base load subcategory, the EPA proposed and is finalizing that the
first component of the BSER is highly efficient generating technology--
combined cycle technology as well as operating and maintaining it
efficiently. The EPA proposed and is finalizing a second component of
the BSER or a phase-2 standard of performance for base load combustion
turbines--efficient generation in combination with 90 percent CCS.
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\737\ The EPA sometimes refers to highly efficient generating
technology in combination with the best operating and maintenance
practices as highly efficient generation. The affected sources must
meet standards based on this efficient generating technology upon
the effective date of the final rule.
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The EPA is not finalizing low-GHG hydrogen co-firing as the second
component of the BSER for the intermediate load or base load combustion
turbines at this time. (See section VIII.F.5.b for the EPA's
explanation of this decision.) With respect to the CCS pathway for base
load combustion turbines, the EPA is finalizing a second phase of the
standards of performance that includes a single CCS BSER pathway, which
includes the use of highly efficient generation and 90 percent CCS.
Owners/operators of new and reconstructed base load combustion turbines
will be required to meet the second phase standards of performance for
12-operating month rolling averages that begin on or after January
2032, that reflect application of both the phase-1 and phase-2
components of the BSER. Table 3 of this document summarizes the final
BSER for combustion turbine EGUs that commence construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023. The EPA is finalizing standards of
performance based on those BSER for each subcategory, as discussed in
section VIII.G.
Table 3--Final BSER for Combustion Turbine EGUs
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Subcategory \1\ Fuel 1st Component BSER 2nd Component BSER
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low Load........................... All Fuels.................. lower-emitting fuels.. N/A.
Intermediate Load.................. All Fuels.................. Highly Efficient N/A.
Simple Cycle
Generation.
Base Load.......................... All Fuels.................. Highly Efficient Highly Efficient
Combined Cycle Combined Cycle
Generation. Generation Plus 90
Percent CCS Beginning
in 2032.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ The low load subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling 20 percent or less of their potential
electric output, the intermediate load subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling greater than
20 percent and less than or equal to 40 percent of their potential electric output, and the base load
subcategory is applicable to combustion turbines selling greater than 40 percent of their potential electric
output.
1. BSER for Low Load Subcategory
This section describes the BSER for the low load (i.e., peaking)
subcategory at this time, which is the use of lower-emitting fuels. The
Agency proposed and is finalizing a determination that the use of
lower-emitting fuels, which the EPA determined to be the BSER for the
non-base load subcategory in the 2015 NSPS, is the BSER for this low
load subcategory. As explained in section VIII.E.2.b, the EPA is
narrowing the definition of the low load subcategory by lowering the
electric sales threshold (as compared to the electric sales threshold
for non-base load combustion turbines in the 2015 NSPS), so that
combustion turbines with higher electric sales would be placed in the
intermediate load subcategory and therefore be subject to a more
stringent standard based on the more stringent BSER.
a. Background: The Non-Base Load Subcategory in the 2015 NSPS
The 2015 NSPS defined non-base load natural gas-fired EGUs as
stationary combustion turbines that (1) burn more than 90 percent
natural gas and (2) have net electric sales equal to or less than their
design efficiency (not to exceed 50 percent) multiplied by their
potential electric output (80 FR 64601; October 23, 2015). These are
calculated on 12-operating month and 3-calendar year rolling average
bases. The EPA also determined in the 2015 NSPS that the BSER for newly
constructed and reconstructed non-base load natural gas-fired
stationary combustion turbines is the use of lower-emitting fuels. Id.
at 64515. These lower-emitting fuels are primarily natural gas with a
small allowance for distillate oil (i.e., Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils),
which have been widely used in stationary combustion turbine EGUs for
decades.
The EPA also determined in the 2015 NSPS that the standard of
performance for sources in this subcategory is a heat input-based
standard of 120 lb CO2/MMBtu. The EPA established this
clean-fuels BSER for this subcategory because of the variability in the
operation in non-base load combustion turbines and the challenges
involved in determining a uniform output-based standard that all new
and reconstructed non-base load units could achieve.
Specifically, in the 2015 NSPS, the EPA recognized that a BSER for
the non-base load subcategory based on the use of lower-emitting fuels
results in limited GHG reductions, but further recognized that an
output-based standard of performance could not reasonably be applied to
the subcategory. The EPA explained that a combustion turbine operating
at a low capacity factor could operate with multiple starts and stops,
and that its emission rate would be highly dependent on how it was
operated and not its design efficiency. Moreover, combustion turbines
with low annual capacity factors typically operated differently from
each other, and therefore had different emission rates. The EPA
recognized that, as a result, at the time it would not be possible to
determine a standard of performance that could reasonably apply to all
combustion turbines in the subcategory. For that reason, the EPA
further recognized, efficient design \738\ and operation would not
qualify as the BSER; rather, the BSER should be lower-emitting fuels
and the associated standard of performance should be based on heat
input. Since the 2015 NSPS, all newly constructed simple cycle turbines
have been non-base load units and thus have become subject to this
standard of performance.
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\738\ Important characteristics for minimizing emissions from
low load combustion turbines include the ability to operate
efficiently while operating at part load conditions and the ability
to rapidly achieve maximum efficiency to minimize periods of
operation at lower efficiencies. These characteristics do not
necessarily always align with higher design efficiencies that are
determined under steady-state full-load conditions.
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[[Page 39918]]
b. BSER
Consistent with the rationale of the 2015 NSPS, the EPA proposed
and is finalizing that the use of fuels with an emissions rate of less
than 160 lb CO2/MMBtu (i.e., lower-emitting fuels) meets the
BSER requirements for the low load subcategory at this time. Use of
these fuels is technically feasible for combustion turbines. Natural
gas comprises the majority of the heat input for simple cycle turbines
and is the lowest cost fossil fuel. In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA
determined that natural gas comprised 96 percent of the heat input for
simple cycle turbines. See 80 FR 64616 (October 23, 2015). Therefore, a
BSER based on the use of natural gas and/or distillate oil would have
minimal, if any, costs to regulated entities. The use of lower-emitting
fuels would not have any significant adverse energy requirements or
non-air quality or environmental impacts, as the EPA determined in the
2015 NSPS. Id. at 64616. In addition, the use of fuels meeting this
criterion would result in some emission reductions by limiting the use
of fuels with higher carbon content, such as residual oil, as the EPA
also explained in the 2015 NSPS. Id. Although the use of fuels meeting
this criterion would not advance technology, in light of the other
reasons described here, the EPA proposed and is finalizing that the use
of natural gas, Nos. 1 and 2 fuel oils, and other fuels \739\ currently
specified in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, qualify as the BSER for new
and reconstructed combustion turbine EGUs in the low load subcategory
at this time. The EPA also proposed including low-GHG hydrogen on the
list of fuels meeting the uniform fuels criteria in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart TTTTa. The EPA is finalizing the inclusion of hydrogen,
regardless of the production pathway, on the list of fuels meeting the
uniform fuels criteria in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa.\740\ The
addition of hydrogen (and fuels derived from hydrogen) to 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTTa, simplifies the recordkeeping and reporting
requirements for low load combustion turbines that elect to burn
hydrogen.
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\739\ The BSER for multi-fuel-fired combustion turbines subject
to 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, is also the use of fuels with an
emissions rate of 160 lb CO2/MMBtu or less. The use of
these fuels will demonstrate compliance with the low load
subcategory.
\740\ The EPA is not finalizing a definition of low-GHG
hydrogen.
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For the reasons discussed in the 2015 NSPS and noted above, the EPA
did not propose that efficient design and operation qualify as the BSER
for the low load subcategory. The emissions rate of a low load
combustion turbine is highly dependent upon the way the specific
combustion turbine is operated. For example, a combustion turbine with
multiple startups and shutdowns and operation at part loads will have
high emissions relative to if it were operated at steady-state high-
load conditions. Important characteristics for reducing GHG emissions
from low load combustion turbines are the ability to minimize emissions
during periods of startup and shutdown and efficient operation at part
loads and while changing loads. If the combustion turbine is frequently
operated at part-load conditions with frequent starts and stops, a
combustion turbine with a high design efficiency, which is determined
at full-load steady-state conditions, would not necessarily emit at a
lower GHG rate than a combustion turbine with a lower design
efficiency. In addition, combustion turbines with higher design
efficiencies have higher initial costs compared to combustion turbines
with lower design efficiencies. Since the EPA does not have sufficient
information at this time to determine emission reduction for the
subcategory it is not possible to determine the cost effectiveness of a
BSER based on high efficiency simple cycle turbines.\741\
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\741\ The cost effectiveness calculation is highly dependent
upon assumptions concerning the increase in capital costs, the
decrease in heat rate, and the price of natural gas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA solicited comment on whether, and the extent to which,
high-efficiency designs also operate more efficiently at part loads and
can start more quickly and reach the desired load more rapidly than
combustion turbines with less efficient design efficiencies. In
addition, the EPA solicited comment on the cost premium of high-
efficiency simple cycle turbines. To the extent the Agency received
additional relevant information, the EPA was considering promulgating
design standard requirements pursuant to CAA section 111(h). However,
the EPA did not receive comments that changed the proposal conclusions.
The EPA did not propose the use of CCS or hydrogen co-firing as the
BSER (or as a component of the BSER) for low load combustion turbines.
The EPA did not propose that CCS is the BSER for simple cycle turbines
based on the Agency's assessment that currently available post-
combustion amine-based carbon capture systems require that the exhaust
from a combustion turbine be cooled prior to entering the carbon
capture equipment. The most energy efficient way to cool the exhaust
gas is to use a HRSG, which is an integral component of a combined
cycle turbine system but is not incorporated in a simple cycle unit.
For this reason and due to the high costs of CCS for low load
combustion turbines, the Agency did not propose and is not finalizing a
determination that CCS qualifies as the BSER for this subcategory of
sources.
The EPA did not propose low-GHG hydrogen co-firing as the BSER for
low load combustion turbines because not all new combustion turbines
can necessarily co-fire higher percentages of hydrogen, there are
potential infrastructure issues specific to low load combustion
turbines, and at the relatively infrequent levels of utilization that
characterize the low load subcategory, a low-GHG hydrogen co-firing
BSER would not necessarily result in cost-effective GHG reductions for
all low load combustion turbines. As discussed later in this section,
the Agency is not determining that low-GHG hydrogen co-firing qualifies
as the BSER for combustion turbines. In future rulemaking the Agency
could further evaluate the costs and emissions performance of other
technologies to reduce emissions from low-load units to determine if
other technologies qualify as the BSER.
2. BSER for Intermediate Load Subcategory
This section describes the BSER for new and reconstructed
combustion turbines in the intermediate load subcategory. For
combustion turbines in the intermediate load subcategory, the BSER is
the use of high-efficiency simple cycle turbine technology in
combination with the best operating and maintenance practices.
a. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing lower-emitting fuels
as the BSER for intermediate load combustion turbines because, as
described earlier in this section, it would achieve few GHG emission
reductions compared to highly efficient generation.
b. Highly Efficient Generation
This section includes a discussion of the various highly efficient
generation technologies used by owners/operators of combustion
turbines. The appropriate technology depends on how the combustion
turbine is operated, and the EPA has determined it does not have
sufficient information to determine an appropriate output-based
emissions standard for low load combustion turbines. At higher capacity
factors, emission rates for simple cycle combustion turbines are more
consistent, and the EPA has sufficient
[[Page 39919]]
information to determine a BSER other than lower-emitting fuels.
The use of highly efficient generating technology in combination
with the best operating and maintenance practices has been demonstrated
by multiple facilities for decades. Notably, over time, as technologies
have improved, what is considered highly efficient has changed as well.
Highly efficient generating technology is available and offered by
multiple vendors for both simple cycle and combined cycle turbines.
Both types of combustion turbines can also employ best operating and
maintenance practices, which include routine operating and maintenance
practices that minimize fuel use.
For simple cycle turbines, manufacturers continue to improve the
efficiency by increasing firing temperature, increasing pressure
ratios, using intercooling on the air compressor, and adopting other
measures. These improved designs allow for improved operating
efficiencies and reduced emission rates. Design efficiencies of simple
cycle turbines range from 33 to 40 percent. Best operating practices
for simple cycle turbines include proper maintenance of the combustion
turbine flow path components and the use of inlet air cooling to reduce
efficiency losses during periods of high ambient temperatures.
For combined cycle turbines, high-efficiency technology uses a
highly efficient combustion turbine engine matched with a high-
efficiency HRSG. The most efficient combined cycle EGUs use HRSG with
three different steam pressures and incorporate a steam reheat cycle to
maximize the efficiency of the Rankine cycle. It is not necessarily
practical for owners/operators of combined cycle facilities using a
turbine engine with an exhaust temperature below 593 [deg]C or a steam
turbine engine smaller than 60 MW to incorporate a steam reheat cycle.
Smaller combustion turbine engines, less than those rated at
approximately 2,000 MMBtu/h, tend to have lower exhaust temperatures
and are paired with steam turbines of 60 MW or less. These smaller
combined cycle units are limited to using a HRSG with three different
steam pressures, but without a reheat cycle. This increases the heat
rate of the combined cycle unit by approximately 2 percent. High
efficiency also includes, but is not limited to, the use of the most
efficient steam turbine and minimizing energy losses using insulation
and blowdown heat recovery. Best operating and maintenance practices
include, but are not limited to, minimizing steam leaks, minimizing air
infiltration, and cleaning and maintaining heat transfer surfaces.
A potential drawback of combined cycle turbines with the highest
design efficiencies is that the facility is relatively complicated and
startup times can be relatively long. Combustion turbine manufacturers
have invested in fast-start technologies that reduce startup times and
improve overall efficiencies. According to the NETL Baseline Flexible
Operation Report, while the design efficiencies are the same, the
capital costs of fast-start combined cycle turbines are 1.6 percent
higher than a comparable conventional start combined cycle
facility.\742\ The additional costs include design parameters that
significantly reduce start times. However, fast-start combined cycle
turbines are still significantly less flexible than simple cycle
turbines and generally do not serve the same role. The startup time to
full load from a hot start takes a simple cycle turbine 5 to 8 minutes,
while a combined cycle turbines ranges from 30 minutes for a fast-start
combined cycle turbine to 90 minutes for a conventional start combined
cycle turbine. The startup time to full load from a cold start takes a
simple cycle turbine 10 minutes, while a combined cycle turbines ranges
from 120 minutes for a fast-start combined cycle turbine to 250 minutes
for a conventional start combined cycle turbine. In addition, fast-
start combined cycle turbines require the use of an auxiliary boiler
during warm and cold starts.\743\ In addition, minimum run times for
simple cycle aeroderivative engines and combined cycle EGUs equal one
minute and 120 minutes, respectively. Minimum downtime for the same
group is five minutes and 60 minutes, respectively. Finally, simple
cycle aeroderivative turbines have no limit to the number of starts per
year. Combined cycle EGUs are limited in the number of starts, and
additional maintenance costs will occur if the hours/start ratio drops
below 25. The model combined cycle turbines in the NETL Baseline
Flexible Operation Report use a HRSG with three different steam
pressures and a reheat cycle. While the use of this type of HRSG
increases design efficiencies at steady state conditions, it increases
the capital costs and decreases the flexibility (e.g., longer start
times) of the combined cycle turbine. While less common, combined cycle
turbines can be designed with a relatively simple HRSG that produces
either a single or two pressures of steam without a reheat cycle. While
design efficiencies are lower, the combined cycle turbines are more
flexible and have the potential to operate similar to at least a
portion of the simple cycle turbines in the intermediate load
subcategory and provide the same value to the grid.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\742\ ``Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants,
Volume 5: Natural Gas Electricity Generating Units for Flexible
Operation.'' DOE/NETL-2023/3855. May 5, 2023.
\743\ Fast start combined cycle turbine do not use an auxiliary
boiler during hot starts and conventional start combined cycle
turbine do not have auxiliary boilers.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA solicited comment on whether additional technologies for
new simple and combined cycle EGUs that could reduce emissions beyond
what is currently being achieved by the best performing EGUs should be
included in the BSER. Specifically, the EPA sought comment on whether
pressure gain combustion should be incorporated into a standard of
performance based on an efficient generation BSER for both simple and
combined cycle turbines. In addition, the EPA sought comment on whether
the HRSG for combined cycle turbines should be designed to utilize
supercritical steam conditions or to utilize supercritical
CO2 as the working fluid instead of water; whether useful
thermal output could be recovered from a compressor intercooler and
boiler blowdown; and whether fuel preheating should be implemented.
Commenters generally noted that these technologies are promising, but
that because the EPA did not sufficiently evaluate the BSER criteria in
the proposal and none of these technologies should be incorporated as
part of the BSER. The EPA continues to believe these technologies are
promising, but the Agency is not including them as part of the BSER at
this time.
The EPA also solicited comment on whether the use of steam
injection is applicable to intermediate load combustion turbines. Steam
injection is the use of a relatively simple and low-cost HRSG to
produce steam, but instead of recovering the energy by expanding the
steam through a steam turbine, the steam is injected into the
compressor and/or through the fuel nozzles directly into the combustion
chamber and the energy is extracted by the combustion turbine
engine.\744\ Advantages of steam injection include improved efficiency
and increased output of the combustion turbine as well as reduced
NOX emissions. Combustion turbines using steam
[[Page 39920]]
injection have characteristics in-between simple cycle and combined
cycle combustion turbines. They are more efficient, but more complex
and have higher capital costs than simple cycle combustion turbines
without steam injection. Conversely, compared to combined cycle EGUs,
simple cycle combustion turbines using steam injection are simpler,
have shorter construction times, and have lower capital costs, but have
lower efficiencies.745 746 Combustion turbines using steam
injection can start quickly, have good part-load performance, and can
respond to rapid changes in demand, making the technology a potential
solution for reducing GHG emissions from intermediate load combustion
turbines. A potential drawback of steam injection is that the
additional pressure drop across the HRSG can reduce the efficiency of
the combustion turbine when the facility is running without the steam
injection operating.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\744\ A steam injected combustion turbine would be considered a
combined cycle combustion turbine (for NSPS purposes) because energy
from the turbine engine exhaust is recovered in a HRSG and that
energy is used to generate additional electricity.
\745\ Bahrami, S., et al. (2015). Performance Comparison between
Steam Injected Gas Turbine and Combined Cycle during Frequency
Drops. Energies 2015, Volume 8. https://doi.org/10.3390/en8087582.
\746\ Mitsubishi Power. Smart-AHAT (Advanced Humid Air Turbine).
https://power.mhi.com/products/gasturbines/technology/smart-ahat.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is aware of a limited number of combustion turbines that
are using steam injection that have maintained 12-operating month
emission rates of less than 1,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Commenters stated that steam injection does not qualify as the BSER
because it has not been adequately demonstrated and the EPA did not
include sufficient analysis of the technology in the proposal to
determine it as the BSER for intermediate load combustion turbines. The
EPA continues to believe the technology is promising and it may be used
to comply with the standard of performance, but the Agency is not
determining that it is the BSER for intermediate load combustion
turbines at this time. In a potential future rulemaking, the Agency
could further evaluate the costs and emissions performance of steam
injection to determine if the technology qualifies as the BSER.
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA proposed and is finalizing that highly efficient simple
cycle designs are adequately demonstrated because highly efficient
simple cycle turbines have been demonstrated by multiple facilities for
decades, the efficiency improvements of the most efficient designs are
incremental in nature and do not change in any significant way how the
combustion turbine is operated or maintained, and the levels of
efficiency that the EPA is proposing have been achieved by many
recently constructed combustion turbines. Therefore, efficient
generation technology described in this BSER is commercially available
and the standards of performance are achievable.
ii. Costs
In general, advanced generation technologies enhance operational
efficiency compared to lower efficiency designs. Such technologies
present little incremental capital cost compared to other types of
technologies that may be considered for new and reconstructed sources.
In addition, more efficient designs have lower fuel costs, which
offsets at least a portion of the increase in capital costs.
For the intermediate load subcategory, the EPA considers that the
costs of high-efficiency simple cycle combustion turbines are
reasonable. As described in the subcategory section, the cost of
combustion turbine engines is dependent upon many factors, but the EPA
estimates that that the capital cost of a high-efficiency simple cycle
turbine is 10 percent more than a comparable lower efficiency simple
cycle turbine. Assuming all other costs are the same and that the high-
efficiency simple cycle turbine uses 8 percent less fuel, high-
efficiency simple cycle combustion turbines have a lower LCOE compared
to standard efficiency simple cycle combustion turbines at a 12-
operating month capacity factor of approximately 31 percent. At a 20
percent and 15 percent capacity factors, the compliance costs are $1.5/
MWh and $35/metric ton and $3.0/MWh and $69/metric ton, respectively.
The EPA has determined that the incremental costs the use of high
efficiency simple cycle turbines as the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines is reasonable. The EPA notes that the approach the
Agency used to estimate these costs have a relatively high degree of
uncertainty and are likely high given the common use of high efficiency
simple cycle turbines without a regulatory driver.
The EPA considered but is not finalizing combined cycle unit design
for combustion turbines as the BSER for the intermediate load
subcategory because it is unclear if combined cycle turbines could
serve the same role as intermediate load simple cycle turbines as a
whole. Specifically, the EPA does not have sufficient information to
determine that an intermediate load combined cycle turbine can start
and stop with enough flexibility to provide the same level of grid
support as intermediate load simple cycle turbines as a whole. In
addition, the amount of GHG reductions that could be achieved by
operating combined cycle EGUs as intermediate load EGUs is unclear.
Intermediate load combustion turbines start and stop so frequently that
there would often not be sufficient periods of continuous operation
where the HRSG would have sufficient time to generate steam to operate
the steam turbine enough to significantly lower the emissions rate of
the EGU.
Some commenters agreed with the proposed rationale of the EPA, and
other commenters disagreed and said that combined cycle turbine
technology is cost effective and lower-emitting than simple cycle
turbine technology and therefore qualifies as the BSER for intermediate
load combustion turbines. Commenters supporting combined cycle
technology as the BSER submitted cost information that indicated that
combined cycle EGUs have lower capital costs and LCOE than simple cycle
turbines. However, the commenters compared capital costs of larger
combined cycle turbines to smaller simple cycle turbines and did not
account for economies of scale. The EPA has concluded that the
appropriate cost comparison is for combustion turbines with the same
rated net output.\747\ Comparing the costs of different size EGUs is
not appropriate because these EGUs provide different grid services. In
addition, the commenters did not account for startup costs and the time
required for a steam turbine to begin operating when determining the
LCOE.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\747\ The costing approach used by the EPA compares a combined
cycle turbine using a smaller turbine engine plus a steam turbine to
match the output from a simple cycle turbine.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA considered the operation of simple cycle turbine to
determine the potential for simple cycle turbine to add a HRSG while
continuing to operate in the same manner, providing the same grid
services, as current simple cycle turbines. As noted previously,
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines have shorter run times per start
than frame type simple cycle turbines at the same capacity factor. At
an annual capacity factor of 20 percent, the median run time per start
for aeroderivative and frame simple cycle turbines is 12 and 16 hours
respectively. At an annual capacity factor of 30 percent, the average
run times per start increase to 17 and 26 hours for aeroderivative and
frame turbines respectively. The higher operating times of frame type
simple cycle turbines,
[[Page 39921]]
along with the larger size of frame type turbines, indicate that
combined cycle technology could be applicable to at least a portion of
intermediate load combustion turbines. In future rulemakings addressing
GHGs from new as well as existing combustion turbines, the EPA intends
to further evaluate the costs and potential emission reductions of the
use of faster starting and lower cost HRSG technology for intermediate
load combustion turbines to determine if the technology does in fact
qualify as the BSER.
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Use of highly efficient generation reduces all non-air quality
health and environmental impacts and energy requirements assuming it
displaces less efficient or higher-emitting generation. Even when
operating at the same input-based emissions rate, the more efficient a
unit is, the less fuel is required to produce the same level of output;
and, as a result, emissions are reduced for all pollutants. The use of
highly efficient combustion turbines, compared to the use of less
efficient combustion turbines, reduces all pollutants.\748\ By the same
token, because improved efficiency allows for more electricity
generation from the same amount of fuel, it will not have any adverse
effects on energy requirements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\748\ The emission reduction comparison is done assuming the
same level of operation. Overall emission impacts would be different
if the more efficient combustion turbine operates more then the
baseline.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Designating highly efficient generation as part of the BSER for new
and reconstructed intermediate load combustion turbines will not have
significant impacts on the nationwide supply of electricity,
electricity prices, or the structure of the electric power sector. On a
nationwide basis, the additional costs of the use of highly efficient
generation will be small because the technology does not add
significant costs and at least some of those costs are offset by
reduced fuel costs. In addition, at least some of these new combustion
turbines would be expected to incorporate highly efficient generation
technology in any event.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2 Emissions
The EPA estimated the potential emission reductions associated with
a standard that reflects the application of highly efficient generation
as BSER for the intermediate load subcategory. As discussed in section
VIII.G.1, the EPA determined that the standards of performance
reflecting this BSER are 1,170 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load combustion turbines.
Between 2015 and 2022, 113 simple cycle turbines, an average of 16
per year, commenced operation. Of these, 112 reported 12-operating
month capacity factors. The EPA estimates that 23 simple cycle turbines
operated at 12-operating month capacity factors greater than 20 percent
and potentially would be considered intermediate combustion turbines.
To estimate reductions, the EPA assumed that the number of simple cycle
turbines constructed between 2015 and 2022 and the operation of those
combustion turbines would continue on an annual basis.\749\ For each
simple cycle turbine that operated at a capacity greater than 20
percent, the EPA determined the percent reduction in emissions, based
on the maximum 12-operating months intermediate load emission rate,
that would be required to comply with the final NSPS for intermediate
load turbines. The EPA then applied that same percent reduction in
emissions to the average operating capacity factor to determine the
emission reductions from the NSPS. Using this approach, the EPA
estimates that the intermediate load standard will impact approximately
a quarter of new simple cycle turbines. The EPA divided the total
amount of calculated reductions for intermediate load simple cycle
turbines built between 2015 and 2022 and divided that value by 7 (the
number of years evaluated) to get estimated annual reductions. This
approach results in annual reductions of 31,000 tons of CO2
as well as 8 tons of NOX. The emission reductions are
projected to result primarily from building additional higher
efficiency aeroderivative simple cycle turbines instead of less
efficient frame simple cycle turbines. The reduced emissions come from
relatively small reductions in the emission rates of the intermediate
load aeroderivative simple cycle turbines. This is a snapshot of
projected emission reductions from applying the NSPS retroactively to
2022. If more intermediate load simple cycle turbines are built in the
future, the emission reductions would be higher than this estimate.
Conversely, if fewer intermediate load simple cycles are built, the
emission reductions would be lower than the EPA's estimate.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\749\ This is a simplified assumption that does not take into
account changing market conditions that could change the makeup and
operation of new combustion turbines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Importantly, the ``highly efficient generation'' which the EPA has
determined to be the BSER for new and reconstructed intermediate load
combustion turbines and to be the first component BSER for base load
stationary combustions, is not the same as the ``heat rate
improvements'' (HRI, or ``efficiency improvements'') that the EPA
determined to be the BSER for existing coal-fired steam generating EGUs
in the ACE Rule. As noted earlier in this document, the EPA has
concluded that the suite of HRI in the ACE Rule is not an appropriate
BSER for existing coal-fired EGUs. In the EPA's technical judgment, the
suite of HRI set forth in the ACE Rule would provide negligible
CO2 reductions at best and, in many cases, may increase
CO2 emissions because of the ``rebound effect,'' which is
explained and discussed in section VII.D.4.a.iii of this preamble.
Increased CO2 emissions from the ``rebound effect'' can
occur when a coal-fired EGU improves its efficiency (heat rate), which
can move the unit up on the dispatch order--resulting in an EGU
operating for more hours during the year than it would have without
having done the efficiency improvements. There is also the possibility
that a more efficient coal-fired EGU could displace a lower emitting
generating source, further exacerbating the problem.
Conversely, including ``highly efficient generation'' as a
component of the BSER for new and reconstructed does not create this
risk of displacing a lower-emitting generating source. A new highly
efficient stationary combustion turbine may be dispatched more than it
would have been if it were not built as a highly efficient turbine, but
it is more likely to displace an existing coal-fired EGU or a less
efficient existing stationary combustion turbine. It would be unlikely
to displace a renewable generating source.
For base load stationary combustion turbines, ``highly efficient
generation'' is the first component of the BSER--with 90 percent
capture CCS being the second component of the BSER. This is very
similar to the Agency's BSER determination for the NSPS for new fossil
fuel-fired steam generating units. In that final rule, the EPA
established standards of performance for newly constructed fossil fuel-
fired steam generating units based on the performance of a new highly
efficient supercritical pulverized coal (SCPC) EGU implementing post-
combustion partial CCS technology, which the EPA determined to be the
BSER for these sources.\750\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\750\ See 80 FR 64510 (October 23, 2015).
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[[Page 39922]]
v. Promotion of the Development and Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered the potential impact of selecting highly
efficient simple cycle generation technology as the BSER for the
intermediate load subcategory in promoting the development and
implementation of improved control technology. New highly efficient
simple cycle turbines are more efficient than the average new simple
cycle turbine and a standard based on the performance of the most
efficient, best performing simple cycle turbine will promote
penetration of the most efficient units throughout the industry.
Accordingly, consideration of this factor supports the EPA's proposal
to determine this technology to be the BSER.
c. Low-GHG Hydrogen and CCS
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing either CCS or co-
firing low-GHG hydrogen as the first component of the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines, for the reasons given in
sections VIII.F.4.c.iii (CCS) and VIII.F.5 (low-GHG hydrogen).
d. Summary of BSER Determinations
The EPA is finalizing that highly efficient generating technology
in combination with the best operating and maintenance practices is the
BSER for intermediate load combustion turbines. Specifically, the use
of highly efficient simple cycle technology in combination with the
best operating and maintenance practices is the BSER for intermediate
load combustion turbines.
Highly efficient generation qualifies the BSER because it is
adequately demonstrated, it can be implemented at reasonable cost, it
achieves emission reductions, and it does not have significant adverse
non-air quality health or environmental impacts or significant adverse
energy requirements. The fact that it promotes greater use of advanced
technology provides additional support; however, the EPA considers
highly efficient generation to the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines even without taking this factor into account.
3. BSER for Base Load Subcategory--First Component
This section describes the first component of the BSER for newly
constructed and reconstructed combustion turbines in the base load
subcategory. For combustion turbines in the base load subcategory, the
first component of the BSER is the use of high-efficiency combined
cycle technology in combination with the best operating and maintenance
practices.
a. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing lower-emitting fuels
as the BSER for base load combustion turbines because, as described
earlier in this section, it would achieve few GHG emission reductions
compared to highly efficient generation.
b. Highly Efficient Generation
i. Adequately Demonstrated
The EPA proposed and is finalizing that highly efficient combined
cycle designs are adequately demonstrated because highly efficient
combined cycle EGUs have been demonstrated by multiple facilities for
decades, and the efficiency improvements of the most efficient designs
are incremental in nature and do not change in any significant way how
the combustion turbine is operated or maintained. Due to the
differences in HRSG efficiencies for smaller combined cycle turbines,
the EPA proposed and is finalizing less stringent standards of
performance for smaller base load turbines with base load ratings of
less than 2,000 MMBtu/h relative to those for larger base load
turbines. The levels of efficiency that the EPA is proposing have been
achieved by many recently constructed combustion turbines. Therefore,
efficient generation technology described in this BSER is commercially
available and the standards of performance are achievable.
ii. Costs
For the base load subcategory, the EPA considers the cost of high-
efficiency combined cycle EGUs to be reasonable. While the capital
costs of a higher efficiency combined cycle EGUs are 1.9 percent higher
than standard efficiency combined cycle EGUs, fuel use is 2.6 percent
lower.\751\ The reduction in fuel costs fully offset the capital costs
at capacity factors of 40 percent or greater over the expected 30-year
life of the facility. Therefore, a BSER based on the use of high-
efficiency combined cycle combustion turbines for base load combustion
turbines would have minimal, if any, overall compliance costs since the
capital costs would be recovered through reduced fuel costs over the
expected 30-year life of the facility.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\751\ Cost And Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants
Volume 1: Bituminous Coal and Natural Gas to Electricity, Rev. 4A
(October 2022), https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1893822.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
iii. Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
Use of highly efficient generation reduces all non-air quality
health and environmental impacts and energy requirements as compared to
use of less efficient generation. Even when operating at the same
input-based emissions rate, the more efficient a unit is, the less fuel
is required to produce the same level of output; and, as a result,
emissions are reduced for all pollutants. The use of highly efficient
combustion turbines, compared to the use of less efficient combustion
turbines, reduces all pollutants. By the same token, because improved
efficiency allows for more electricity generation from the same amount
of fuel, it will not have any adverse effects on energy requirements.
Designating highly efficient generation as part of the BSER for new
and reconstructed base load combustion turbines will not have
significant impacts on the nationwide supply of electricity,
electricity prices, or the structure of the electric power sector. On a
nationwide basis, the additional costs of the use of highly efficient
generation will be small because the technology does not add
significant costs and at least some of those costs are offset by
reduced fuel costs. In addition, at least some of these new combustion
turbines would be expected to incorporate highly efficient generation
technology in any event.
iv. Extent of Reductions in CO2 Emissions
The EPA used a similar approach to estimating emission reductions
for base load combustion turbines as intermediate load combustion
turbines, except the Agency reviewed recently constructed combined
cycle EGUs. As discussed in section VIII.G.1, the EPA determined that
the standard of performance reflecting this BSER is 800 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for base load combustion turbines. The Agency
assumed all new combined cycle turbines would be impacted by the base
load emissions standard. Between the beginning of 2015 and the
beginning of 2022, 129 combined cycle turbines, an average of 18 per
year, commenced operation. Of those combined cycle turbines, 107 had
12-operating month emissions data. For each of these 107 combined cycle
turbines that had a maximum 12-operating month emissions rate greater
than 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross, the EPA determined the reductions
that would occur assuming the combined cycle turbine reduced its
[[Page 39923]]
emissions rate to 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross and continued to
operate at its average capacity factor. The EPA summed the results and
divided by 8 (the number of years evaluated) to estimate the annual GHG
reductions that will result from this final rule. The EPA estimates
that the base load standard will result in annual reductions of 313,000
tons of CO2 as well as 23 tons of NOX. The
reductions increase each year and in year 3 the annual reductions would
be 939,000 tons of CO2 and 69 tons of NOX.
v. Promotion of the Development and Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered the potential impact of selecting highly
efficient generation technology as the BSER in promoting the
development and implementation of improved control technology. The
highly efficient combustion turbines are more efficient and lower
emitting than the average new combustion turbine generation technology.
Determining that highly efficient turbines are a component of the BSER
will advance penetration of the best performing combustion turbines
throughout the industry--and will incentivize manufacturers to offer
improved turbines that meet the final standard of performance
associated with application of the BSER. Accordingly, consideration of
this factor supports the EPA's proposal to determine this technology to
be the BSER.
c. Low-GHG Hydrogen and CCS
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing either CCS or co-
firing low-GHG hydrogen as the first component of the BSER for base
load combustion turbines, for the reasons given in sections
VIII.F.4.c.iii (CCS) and VIII.F.5 (low-GHG hydrogen).
d. Summary of BSER Determinations
The EPA is finalizing that highly efficient generating technology
in combination with the best operating and maintenance practices is the
BSER for first component of the BSER for base load combustion turbines.
The phase-1 standards of performance are based on the application of
that technology. Specifically, the use of highly efficient combined
cycle technology in combination with best operating and maintenance
practices is the first component of the BSER for base load combustion
turbines.
Highly efficient generation qualifies as the BSER because it is
adequately demonstrated, it can be implemented at reasonable cost, it
achieves emission reductions, and it does not have significant adverse
non-air quality health or environmental impacts or significant adverse
energy requirements. The fact that it promotes greater use of advanced
technology provides additional support; however, the EPA considers
highly efficient generation to be a component of the BSER for base load
combustion turbines even without taking this factor into account.
4. BSER for Base Load Subcategory--Second Component
a. Authority To Promulgate a Multi-Part BSER and Standard of
Performance
The EPA's approach of promulgating standards of performance that
apply in multiple phases, based on determining the BSER to be a set of
controls with multiple components, is consistent with CAA section
111(b). That provision authorizes the EPA to promulgate ``standards of
performance,'' CAA section 111(b)(1)(B), defined, in the singular, as
``a standard for emissions of air pollutants which reflects the degree
of emission limitation achievable through the application of the
[BSER].'' CAA section 111(a)(1). CAA section 111(b)(1)(B) further
provides, ``[s]tandards of performance . . . shall become effective
upon promulgation.'' In this rulemaking, the EPA is determining that
the BSER is a set of controls that, depending on the subcategory,
include highly efficient generation plus use of CCS. The EPA is
determining that affected sources can apply the first component of the
BSER--highly efficient generation--by the effective date of the final
rule and can apply both the first and second components of the BSER--
highly efficient generation in combination with 90 percent CCS--in
2032.
Accordingly, the EPA is finalizing standards of performance that
reflect the application of this multi-component BSER and that take the
form of standards of performance that affected sources must comply with
in two phases. This multi-phase standard of performance ``become[s]
effective upon promulgation.'' CAA section 111(b)(1)(B). That is, upon
promulgation, affected sources become legally subject to the multi-
phase standard of performance and must comply with it by its terms.
Specifically, affected sources must comply with the first phase
standards, which are based on the application of the first component of
the BSER, upon initial startup of the facility. They must comply with
the second phase standards, which are based on the application of both
the first and second components of the BSER, beginning January 2032.
D.C. Circuit caselaw supports the proposition that CAA section 111
authorizes the EPA to determine that controls qualify as the BSER--
including meeting the ``adequately demonstrated'' criterion--even if
the controls require some amount of ``lead time,'' which the court has
defined as ``the time in which the technology will have to be
available.'' \752\ The caselaw's interpretation of ``adequately
demonstrated'' to accommodate lead time accords with common sense and
the practical experience of certain types of controls, discussed below.
Consistent with this caselaw, the phased implementation of the
standards of performance in this rule ensures that facilities have
sufficient lead time for planning and implementation of the use of CCS-
based controls necessary to comply with the second phase of the
standards, and thereby ensures that the standards are achievable. For
further discussion of this point, see section V.C.2.b.iii.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\752\ See Portland Cement Ass'n v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 375,
391 (D.C. Cir. 1973) (citations omitted).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA has promulgated several prior rulemakings under CAA section
111(b) that have similarly provided the regulated sector with lead time
to accommodate the availability of technology, which also serve as
precedent for the two-phase implementation approach proposed in this
rule. See 81 FR 59332 (August 29, 2016) (establishing standards for
municipal solid waste landfills with 30-month compliance timeframe for
installation of control device, with interim milestones); 80 FR 13672,
13676 (March 16, 2015) (establishing stepped compliance approach to
wood heaters standards to permit manufacturers lead time to develop,
test, field evaluate and certify current technologies to meet Step 2
emission limits); 78 FR 58416, 58420 (September 23, 2013) (establishing
multi-phased compliance deadlines for revised storage vessel standards
to permit sufficient time for production of necessary supply of control
devices and for trained personnel to perform installation); 77 FR
56422, 56450 (September 12, 2012) (establishing standards for petroleum
refineries, with 3-year compliance timeframe for installation of
control devices); 71 FR 39154, 39158 (July 11, 2006) (establishing
standards for stationary compression ignition internal combustion
engines, with 2- to 3-year compliance timeframe and up to 6 years for
certain emergency fire pump engines); 70 FR 28606, 28617 (March 18,
2005) (establishing two-phase caps for
[[Page 39924]]
mercury standards of performance from new and existing coal-fired
electric utility steam generating units based on timeframe when
additional control technologies were projected to be adequately
demonstrated).\753\ Cf. 80 FR 64662, 64743 (October 23, 2015)
(establishing interim compliance period to phase in final power sector
GHG standards to allow time for planning and investment necessary for
implementation activities).\754\ In each action, the standards and
compliance timelines were effective upon the final rule, with affected
facilities required to comply consistent with the phased compliance
deadline specified in each action.
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\753\ Cf. New Jersey v. EPA, 517 F.3d 574, 583-584 (D.C. Cir.
2008) (vacating rule on other grounds).
\754\ Cf. West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697 (2022) (vacating
rule on other grounds).
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It should be noted that the multi-phased implementation of the
standards of performance that the EPA is finalizing in this rule, like
the delayed or multi-phased standards in prior rules just described, is
distinct from the promulgation of revised standards of performance
under the 8-year review provision of CAA section 111(b)(1)(B). As
discussed in section VIII.F, the EPA has determined that the proposed
BSER--highly efficient generation and use of CCS--meet all of the
statutory criteria and are adequately demonstrated for the compliance
timeframes being finalized. Thus, the second phase of the standard of
performance applies to affected facilities that commence construction
after May 23, 2023 (the date of the proposal). In contrast, when the
EPA later reviews and (if appropriate) revises a standard of
performance under the 8-year review provision, then affected sources
that commence construction after the date of that proposal of the
revised standard of performance will be subject to that standard, but
not sources that commenced construction earlier.
Similarly, the multi-phased implementation of the standard of
performance that the EPA is including in this rule is also distinct
from the promulgation of emission guidelines for existing sources under
CAA section 111(d). Emission guidelines only apply to existing sources,
which are defined in CAA section 111(a)(6) as ``any stationary source
other than a new source.'' Because new sources are defined relative to
the proposal of standards pursuant to CAA section 111(b)(1)(B),
standards of performance adopted pursuant to emission guidelines will
only apply to sources constructed before May 23, 2023, the date of the
proposed standards of performance for new sources.
b. BSER for the Intermediate Load Subcategory--Second Component
The EPA proposed that the second component of the BSER for
intermediate load combustion turbines was co-firing 30 percent low-GHG
hydrogen in 2032. As discussed in section VIII.F.5.b, the EPA is not
determining that low-GHG hydrogen qualifies as the BSER at this time.
Therefore, the Agency is not finalizing a second component of the BSER
for intermediate load combustion turbines.
c. BSER for Base Load Subcategory--Second Component
i. Lower-Emitting Fuels
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing lower-emitting fuels
as the second component of the BSER for intermediate or base load
combustion turbines because it would achieve few emission reductions,
compared to highly efficient generation without or in combination with
the use of CCS.
ii. Highly Efficient Generation
For the reasons described above, the EPA is determining that highly
efficient generation in combination with best operating and maintenance
practices continues to be a component of the BSER that is reflected in
the second phase of the standards of performance for base load
combustion turbine EGUs. Highly efficient generation reduces fuel use
and, therefore, the amount of CO2 that must be captured by a
CCS system. Since a highly efficient turbine system would produce less
flue gas that would need to be treated (compared to a less efficient
turbine system), physically smaller carbon capture equipment may be
used--potentially reducing capital, fixed, and operating costs.
iii. Hydrogen Co-Firing
The EPA proposed a pathway for the second component of the BSER for
base load combustion turbines of co-firing 30 percent low-GHG hydrogen
in 2032 increasing to 96 percent low-GHG hydrogen co-firing in 2038. As
discussed in section VIII.F.5.b of this preamble, the EPA is not
finalizing a determination that low-GHG hydrogen co-firing qualifies as
the BSER. Therefore, the Agency is not finalizing a second component
low-GHG hydrogen co-firing pathway of the BSER for base load combustion
turbines. As the EPA's standard of performance is technology neutral,
however, affected sources may comply with it by co-firing hydrogen.
iv. CCS
(A) Overview
In this section of the preamble, the EPA explains its rationale for
finalizing that CCS with 90 percent capture is a component of the BSER
for new base load combustion turbines. CCS is a control technology that
can be applied at the stack of a combustion turbine EGU, achieves
substantial reductions in emissions and can capture and permanently
sequester at least 90 percent of the CO2 emitted by
combustion turbines. The technology is adequately demonstrated, given
that it has been operated on a large scale and is widely applicable to
these sources, and there are vast sequestration opportunities across
the continental U.S. Additionally, the costs for CCS are reasonable in
light of recent technology cost declines and policies including the tax
credit under IRC section 45Q. Moreover, the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts of CCS can be mitigated, and the energy
requirements of CCS are not unreasonably adverse. The EPA's weighing of
these factors together provides the basis for finalizing 90 percent
capture CCS as a component of BSER for these sources. In addition, this
BSER determination aligns with the caselaw, discussed in section
V.C.2.h of the preamble, stating that CAA section 111 encourages
continued advancement in pollution control technology.
This section incorporates by reference the parts of section
VII.C.1.a. of this preamble that discuss the many aspects of CCS that
are common to both steam generating units and to new combustion
turbines. This includes the discussion of simultaneous demonstration of
CO2 capture, transport, and sequestration discussed at
VII.C.1.a.i(A); the discussion of CO2 capture technology
used at coal-fired steam generating units at VII.C.1.a.i(B) (the Agency
explains below why that record is also relevant to our BSER analysis
for new combustion turbines); the discussion of CO2
transport at VII.C.1.a.i(C); and the discussion of geologic storage of
CO2 at VII.C.1.a.i(D). And the record supporting that
transport and sequestration of CO2 from coal-fired units is
adequately demonstrated and meets the other requirements for BSER
applies as well to transport and sequestration of CO2 from
combustion turbines.
The primary differences between using post-combustion capture from
a coal combustion flue gas and a natural gas combustion flue gas are
associated with the level of CO2 in the flue gas stream and
the levels of other pollutants that must be removed. In coal
[[Page 39925]]
combustion flue gas, the concentration of CO2 is typically
approximately 13 to 15 volume percent, while the concentration of
CO2 from natural gas-fired combined cycle combustion flue
gas is approximately 3 to 4 volume percent.\755\ Capture of
CO2 at dilute concentrations is more challenging but there
are commercially available amine-based solvents that can be used with
dilute CO2 streams to achieve 90 percent capture. In
addition, flue gas from a coal-fired steam EGU contains a variety of
non-carbonaceous components that must be removed to meet environmental
limits (e.g., mercury and other metals, particulate matter (fly ash),
and acid gases (including sulfur dioxide (SO2) and hydrogen
chloride and hydrogen fluoride). When amine-based post-combustion
carbon capture is used with a coal-fired EGU, the flue gas stream must
be further cleaned, sometimes beyond required environmental standards,
to avoid the fouling of downstream process equipment and to prevent
degradation of the amine solvent. Absent pretreatment of the coal
combustion flue gas, the amines can absorb SO2 and other
acid gases to form heat stable salts, thereby degrading the performance
of the solvent. Amine solvents can also experience catalytic oxidative
degradation in the presence of some metal contaminants. Thermal
oxidation of the solvent can also occur but can be mitigated by
interstage cooling of the absorber column. Natural gas combustion flue
gas typically contains very low (if any) levels of SO2, acid
gases, fly ash, and metals. Therefore, fouling and solvent degradation
are less of a concern for carbon capture from natural gas-fired EGUs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\755\ NETL Carbon Dioxide Capture Approaches. https://netl.doe.gov/research/carbon-management/energy-systems/gasification/gasifipedia/capture-approaches.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
New natural gas-fired combustion turbine EGUs also have the option
of using oxy-combustion technology--such as that currently being
demonstrated and developed by NET Power. As discussed earlier, the NET
Power system uses oxy-combustion (combustion in pure oxygen) of natural
gas and a high-pressure supercritical CO2 working fluid
(instead of steam) to produce electricity in a combined cycle turbine
configuration. The combustion products are water and high-purity,
pipeline-ready CO2 which is available for sequestration or
sale to another industry. The NET Power technology does not involve
solvent-based CO2 separation and capture since pure
CO2 is a product of the process. The NET Power technology is
not currently applicable to coal-fired steam generating utility
boilers--though it could be utilized with combustion of gasified coal
or other solid fossil fuels (e.g., petroleum coke).
For new base load combustion turbines, the EPA proposed that CCS
with a 90 percent capture rate, beginning in 2035, meets the BSER
criteria. Some commenters agreed with the EPA that CCS for base load
combustion turbines satisfies the BSER criteria. Other commenters
claimed that CCS is not a suitable BSER for new base load combustion
turbines. The EPA disagrees with these commenters.
As with existing coal-fired steam generating units, CCS applied to
new combined cycle combustion turbines has three major components:
CO2 capture, transportation, and sequestration/storage. CCS
with 90 percent capture has been adequately demonstrated for combined
cycle combustion turbines for many of the same reasons described in
section VII.C.1.a.i. The Bellingham Energy Center, a natural gas-fired
combined cycle combustion turbine in south central Massachusetts,
successfully applied post-combustion carbon capture using the Fluor
Econamine FG Plus\SM\ amine-based solvent from 1991-2005 with 85-95
percent CO2 capture.\756\ The plant captured approximately
365 tons of CO2 per day from a 40 MW slip stream \757\ and
was ultimately shut down and decommissioned primarily due to rising gas
prices.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\756\ Fluor Econamine FG Plus\SM\ brochure. https://a.fluor.com/f/1014770/x/a744f915e1/econamine-fg-plus-brochure.pdf.
\757\ ``Commercially Available CO2 Capture
Technology'' Power, (Aug 2009). https://www.powermag.com/commercially-available-co2-capture-technology/.
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As discussed in further detail below, additional natural gas-fired
combined cycle combustion turbine CCS projects are in the planning
stage, which confirms that CCS is becoming accepted across the
industry. As discussed above, CCS with 90 percent capture has been
demonstrated for coal-fired steam generating units, and that
information forms part of the basis for the EPA's determination that
CCS with 90 percent capture has been have adequately demonstrated for
these combustion turbines. Statements from vendors and the experience
of industrial applications of CCS provide further support that post-
combustion CCS with 90 percent capture is adequately demonstrated for
these combustion turbines.
The EPA's analysis of the transportation and sequestration
components of CCS for new base load combustion turbines is similar to
its analysis of those components for existing coal-fired steam
generating units and, therefore, for much the same reasons, the EPA is
determining that each of those components is adequately demonstrated,
and that CCS as a whole--including those components when combined with
the 90 percent CO2 capture component--is adequately
demonstrated. In addition, new sources may consider access to
CO2 transport and storage sites in determining where to
build, and the EPA expects that since this rule was proposed, companies
siting new base load combustion turbines have taken into consideration
the likelihood of a regulatory regime requiring significant emissions
reductions.
The use of CCS at 90 percent capture can be implemented at
reasonable cost because it allows affected sources to maximize the
benefits of the IRC section 45Q tax credit. Finally, any adverse health
and environmental impacts and energy requirements are limited and, in
many cases, can be mitigated or avoided. It should also be noted that a
determination that CCS is the BSER for these units will promote further
use and development of this advanced technology. After balancing these
factors, the EPA is determining that utilization of CCS with 90 percent
capture for new base load combustion turbine EGUs satisfies the
criteria for BSER.
(B) Adequately Demonstrated
The legal test for an adequately demonstrated system, and an
achievable standard, has been discussed at length above. (See sections
V.C.2.b and VII.C.a.i of this preamble). As previously noted, concepts
of adequate demonstration and achievability are closely related: ``[i]t
is the system which must be adequately demonstrated and the standard
which must be achievable,'' \758\ based on application of the system.
An achievable standard means a standard based on the EPA's finding that
sufficient evidence exists to reasonably determine that the affected
sources in the source category can adopt a specific system of emission
reduction to achieve the specified degree of emission limitation. The
foregoing sections have shown that CCS, specifically using amine post-
combustion CO2 capture, is adequately demonstrated for
existing coal units,
[[Page 39926]]
and that a 90 percent capture standard is achievable.\759\
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\758\ Essex Chem. Corp. v. Ruckelshaus, 486 F.2d 427, 433
(1973).
\759\ The EPA uses the two phrases (i) BSER is CCS with 90
percent capture and (ii) CCS with 90 percent capture is achievable,
or similar phrases, interchangeably.
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Pursuant to Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, the EPA may extrapolate
based on data from a particular kind of source to conclude that the
technology at issue will also be effective at a similar source.\760\
This standard is satisfied in our case, because of the essential ways
in which CO2 capture at coal-fired steam generating units is
identical to CO2 capture at natural gas-fired combined cycle
turbines. As detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(B), amine-based
CO2 capture removes CO2 from post-combustion flue
gas by reaction of the CO2 with amine solvent. The same
technology (i.e., the same solvents and processes) that is employed on
coal-fired steam generating units--and that is employed to capture
CO2 from fossil fuel combustion in other industrial
processes--can be applied to remove CO2 from the post-
combustion flue gas of natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs. In fact,
the only differences in application of amine-based CO2
capture on a natural gas-fired combined cycle unit relative to a coal-
fired steam generating unit are related to the differences in
composition of the respective post-combustion flue gases, and as
explained below, these differences do not preclude achieving 90 percent
capture from a gas-fired turbine.
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\760\ Lignite Energy Council v. EPA, 198 F.3d 930 (D.C. Cir.
1999).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
First, while coal flue gas contains impurities including
SO2, PM, and trace minerals that can affect the downstream
CO2 process, and thus coal flue gas requires substantial
pre-treatment, the post-combustion flue gas of natural gas-fired
combustion turbines has few, if any, impurities that would impact the
downstream CO2 capture plant. Where impurities are present,
SO2 in particular can cause solvent degradation, and coal-
fired sources without an FGD would likely need to install one.
Filterable PM (fly ash) from coal, if not properly managed, can cause
fouling and scale to accumulate on downstream blower fans, heat
exchangers, and absorber packing material. Further, additional care in
the solvent reclamation is necessary to mitigate solvent degradation
that could otherwise occur due to the trace elements that can be
present in coal. Because the flue gas from natural gas-fired combustion
turbines contains few, if any, impurities that would impact downstream
CO2 capture, the flue gas from natural gas-fired combined
cycle EGUs is easier to work with for CO2 capture, and many
of the challenges that were faced by earlier commercial scale
demonstrations on coal-fired units can be avoided in the application of
CCS at natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
Second, the CO2 concentration of natural gas-fired
combined cycle flue gas is lower than that of coal flue gas
(approximately 3-to-4 volume percent for natural gas combined cycle
EGUs; 13-to-15 volume percent for coal). For solvent-based
CO2 capture, CO2 concentration is the driving
force for mass transfer and the reaction of CO2 with the
solvent. However, flue gases with lower CO2 concentrations
can be readily addressed by the correct sizing and design of the
capture equipment--and such considerations have been made in evaluating
the BSER here and are reflected in the cost analysis in VII.C.1.a.ii(A)
of this preamble. Moreover, as is detailed in the following sections of
the preamble, amine-based CO2 capture has been shown to be
effective at removal of CO2 from the flue gas of natural
gas-fired combined cycle EGUs. In fact, there is not a technical limit
to removal of CO2 from flue gases with low CO2
concentrations--the EPA notes that amine solvents have been shown to be
able to remove CO2 to concentrations that are less than the
concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere.
Considering these factors, the evidence that underlies the EPA's
determination that amine post-combustion CO2 capture is
adequately demonstrated, and that a 90 percent capture standard is
achievable, at coal-fired steam generating units, also applies to
natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs. Where differences exist, due to
differences in flue gas composition, CCS at natural gas-fired combined
cycle combustion turbines will in general face fewer challenges than
CCS at coal-fired steam generators.\761\ Moreover, in addition to the
evidence outlined above, the following sections provide additional
information specific to, including examples of, anime-based capture at
natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs. For these reasons, the EPA has
determined that CCS at 90 percent capture is adequately demonstrated
for natural gas fired combined cycle EGUs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\761\ Many of the challenges faced by Boundary Dam Unit 3--which
proved to be solvable--were caused by the impurities, including fly
ash, SO2, and trace contaminants in coal-fired post-
combustion flue gas--which do not occur in the natural gas post-
combustion flue gas. As a result, for CO2 capture for
natural gas combustion, flue gas handling is simpler, solvent
degradation is easier to prevent, and fewer redundancies may be
necessary for various components (e.g., heat exchangers).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) CO2 Capture for Combined Cycle Combustion Turbines
As discussed in the preceding, new stationary combustion turbines
can use amine-based post-combustion capture. Additionally, new
stationary combustion turbines may also utilize oxy-combustion, which
uses a purified oxygen stream from an air separation unit (often
diluted with recycled CO2 to control the flame temperature)
to combust the fuel and produce a nearly pure stream of CO2
in the flue gas, as opposed to combustion with oxygen in air which
contains 80 percent nitrogen. Currently available post-combustion
amine-based CO2 capture systems require that the flue gas be
cooled prior to entering the capture equipment. This holds true for the
exhaust from either a coal-fired utility boiler or from a combustion
turbine. The most energy efficient way to cool the flue gas stream is
to use a HRSG--which, as explained above, is an integral component of a
combined cycle turbine system--to generate additional useful
output.\762\
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\762\ The EPA proposed that because the BSER for non-base load
combustion turbines was simple cycle technology, CCS was not
applicable.
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CO2 capture has been successfully applied to an existing
combined cycle turbine and several other projects are in development,
as discussed immediately below.
(a) CCS on Combined Cycle EGUs
The most prominent example of the use of carbon capture technology
on a natural gas-fired combined cycle turbine EGU was at the 386 MW
Bellingham Cogeneration Facility in Bellingham, Massachusetts. The
plant used Fluor's Econamine FG Plus\SM\ amine-based CO2
capture system with a capture capacity of 360 tons of CO2
per day. The system was used to produce food-grade CO2 and
was in continuous commercial operation from 1991 to 2005 (14 years).
The capture system was able to continuously capture 85-95 percent of
the CO2 that would have otherwise been emitted from the flue
gas of a 40 MW slip stream.\763\ The natural gas combustion flue gas at
the facility contained 3.5 volume percent CO2 and 13-14
volume percent oxygen. As mentioned earlier, the flue gas from a coal
combustion flue gas stream has a typical CO2 concentration
of approximately 15 volume percent and more dilute CO2
stream are more challenging to separate and capture. Just before the
CO2 capture system was shut
[[Page 39927]]
down in 2005 (due to high natural gas price), the system had logged
more than 120,000 hours of CO2 capture \764\ and had a 98.5
percent on-stream (availability) factor.\765\
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\763\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Carbon Capture
Opportunities for Natural Gas Fired Power Systems. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/articles/carbon-capture-opportunities-natural-gas-fired-power-systems.
\764\ https://boereport.com/2022/08/16/fluor/.
\765\ ``Technologies for CCS on Natural Gas Power Systems'' Dr.
Satish Reddy presentation to USEA, April 2014, https://usea.org/sites/default/files/event-/Reddy%20USEA%20Presentation%202014.pptx.
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The Fluor Econamine FG Plus\SM\ is a propriety carbon capture
solution with more than 30 licensed plants and more than 30 years of
operation. This technology uses a proprietary solvent to capture
CO2 from post-combustion sources. The process is well suited
to capture CO2 from large, single-point emission sources
such as power plants or refineries, including large facilities with
CO2 capture capacities greater than 10,000 tons per
day.\766\ On February 6, 2024, Fluor Corporation announced that Chevron
New Energies plans to use the Econamine FG Plus\SM\ carbon capture
technology to reduce CO2 emissions at Chevron's Eastridge
Cogeneration combustion turbine facility in Kern County, California.
When installed, Fluor's carbon capture solution is expected to reduce
the Eastridge Cogeneration facility's carbon emissions by approximately
95 percent.\767\
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\766\ https://www.fluor.com/market-reach/industries/energy-transition/carbon-capture.
\767\ https://newsroom.fluor.com/news-releases/news-details/2024/Fluors-Econamine-FG-PlusSM-Carbon-Capture-Technology-Selected-to-Reduce-CO2-Emissions-at-Chevron-Facility/default.aspx.
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Moreover, recently, CO2 capture technology has been
operated on NGCC post-combustion flue gas at the Technology Centre
Mongstad (TCM) in Norway.\768\ TCM can treat a 12 MWe flue gas stream
from a natural gas combined cycle cogeneration plant at Mongstad power
station. Many different solvents have been operated at TCM including
MHI's KS-21\TM\ solvent,\769\ achieving capture rates of over 98
percent.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\768\ https://netl.doe.gov/carbon-capture/power-generation.
\769\ Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, ``Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Engineering Successfully Completes Testing of New KS-21TM
Solvent for CO2 Capture,'' https://www.mhi.com/news/211019.html.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additionally, in Scotland, the proposed 900 MW Peterhead Power
Station combined cycle EGU with CCS is in the planning stages of
development. MHI is developing a FEED for the power plant and capture
facility.\770\ It is anticipated that the power plant will be
operational by the end of the 2020s and will have the potential to
capture 90 percent of the CO2 emitting from the combined
cycle facility and sequester up to 1.5 million metric tons of
CO2 annually. A storage site being developed 62 miles off
the Scottish North Sea coast will serve as a destination for the
captured CO2.771 772
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\770\ MHI and MHIENG Awarded FEED Contract. https://www.mhi.com/news/22083001.html.
\771\ Buli, N. (2021, May 10). SSE, Equinor plan new gas power
plant with carbon capture in Scotland. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/business/sustainable-business/sse-equinor-plan-new-gas-power-plant-with-carbon-capture-scotland-2021-05-11/.
\772\ Acorn CCS granted North Sea storage licenses. September
18, 2023. https://www.ogj.com/energy-transition/article/14299094/acorn-granted-licenses-for-co2-storage.
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Furthermore, the Global CCS Centre is tracking other international
CCS on combustion turbine projects that are in on-going stages of
development.\773\
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\773\ https://status23.globalccsinstitute.com/.
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(b) NET Power Cycle
In addition, there are several planned projects using NET Power's
Allam-Fetvedt Cycle.\774\ The Allam-Fetvedt Cycle is a proprietary
process for producing electricity that combusts a fuel with purified
oxygen (diluted with recycled CO2 to control flame
temperature) and uses supercritical CO2 as the working fluid
instead of water/steam. This cycle is designed to achieve thermal
efficiencies of up to 59 percent.\775\ Potential advantages of this
cycle are that it emits no NOX and produces a stream of
high-purity CO2 \776\ that can be delivered by pipeline to a
storage or sequestration site without extensive processing. A 50 MW
(thermal) test facility in La Porte, Texas was completed in 2018 and
has since accumulated over 1,500 hours of runtime. There are several
announced NET Power commercial projects proposing to use the Allam-
Fetvedt Cycle. These include the 280 MW Broadwing Clean Energy Complex
in Illinois, and several international projects.
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\774\ The NET Power Cycle was formerly referred to as the Allam-
Fetvedt cycle. https://netpower.com/technology/.
\775\ Yellen, D. (2020, May 25). Allam Cycle carbon capture gas
plants: 11 percent more efficient, all CO2 captured.
Energy Post. https://energypost.eu/allam-cycle-carbon-capture-gas-plants-11-more-efficient-all-co2-captured/.
\776\ This allows for capture of over 97 percent of the
CO2 emissions. www.netpower.com.
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In Scotland, the proposed 900 MW Peterhead Power Station combined
cycle EGU with CCS is in the planning stages of development. MHI is
developing a FEED for the power plant and capture facility.\777\ It is
anticipated that the power plant will be operational by the end of the
2020s and will have the potential to capture 90 percent of the
CO2 emitting from the combined cycle facility and sequester
up to 1.5 million metric tons of CO2 annually. A storage
site being developed 62 miles off the Scottish North Sea coast will
serve as a destination for the captured
CO2.778 779
(c) Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a, CCS has been demonstrated on
coal-fired power plants, which provides further support that CCS on
base load combined cycle units is adequately demonstrated. Further, 90
percent capture is expected to be, in some ways, more straightforward
to achieve for natural gas-fired combined cycle combustion turbines
than for coal-fired steam generators. Many of the challenges faced by
Boundary Dam Unit 3--which proved to be solvable--were caused by the
impurities, including fly ash, SO2, and trace contaminants
in coal-fired post-combustion flue gas. Such impurities naturally occur
in coal (sulfur and trace contaminants) or are a natural result of
combusting coal (fly ash), but not in natural gas, and thus they do not
appear in the natural gas post-combustion flue gas. As a result, for
CO2 capture for natural gas combustion, flue gas handling is
simpler, solvent degradation is easier to prevent, and fewer
redundancies may be necessary for various components (e.g., heat
exchangers).
(d) Other Industry
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1) of this preamble, CCS
installations in other industries support that capture equipment can
achieve 90 percent capture of CO2 from natural gas-fired
base load combined cycle combustion turbines.
(e) EPAct05-Assisted CO2 Capture Projects at Stationary
Combustion Turbines
As for steam generating units, EPAct05-assisted CO2
capture projects on stationary combustion turbines corroborate that
CO2 capture on gas combustion turbines is adequately
demonstrated. Several CCS projects with at least 90 percent capture at
commercial-scale combined cycle turbines are in the planning stages.
These projects support that CCS with at least 90 percent capture for
these units is the industry standard and support the EPA's
determination that CCS is adequately demonstrated.
CCS is planned for the existing 550 MW natural gas-fired combined
cycle (two combustion turbines) at the Sutter Energy Center in Yuba
City, California.\780\ The Sutter
[[Page 39928]]
Decarbonization project will use ION Clean Energy's amine-based solvent
technology at a capture rate of 95 percent or more. The project expects
to complete a FEED study in 2024 and, prior to being selected by DOE
for funding award negotiation, planned commercial operation in 2027.
Sutter Decarbonization is one of the projects selected by DOE for
funding as part of OCED's Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects
program.\781\
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\780\ Calpine Sutter Decarbonization Project, May 17, 2023.
https://www.smud.org/en/Corporate/Environmental-Leadership/2030-Clean-Energy-Vision/CEV-Landing-Pages/Calpine-presentation.
\781\ Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects Selections for Award
Negotiations. https://www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capture-demonstration-projects-selections-award-negotiations.
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The CO2 capture project at the Deer Park Energy Center
in Deer Park, Texas will be designed to capture 95 percent or more of
the flue gas from the five combustion turbines at the 1,200 MW natural
gas-fired combined cycle power plant, using technology from Shell
CANSOLV.\782\ The CO2 capture project already has an air
permit issued for the project, which includes a reduction in the
allowable emission limits for NOX from four of the
combustion turbines.\783\ The CO2 capture facility will
include two quencher columns, two absorber columns, and one stripping
column.
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\782\ Calpine Carbon Capture. https://calpinecarboncapture.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Calpine-Deer-Park-English.pdf.
\783\ Deer Park Energy Center TCEQ Records Online Primary ID
171713.
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The Baytown Energy Center in Baytown, Texas is an existing natural
gas-fired combined cycle cogeneration facility providing heat and power
to a nearby industrial facility, while distributing additional
electricity to the grid. CCS using Shell's CANSOLV solvent is planned
for the equivalent of two of the three combustion turbines at the 896
MW natural gas-fired combined cycle power plant, with a capture rate of
95 percent. The CO2 capture facility at Baytown Energy
Center also has an air permit in place, and the permit application
provides some details on the process design.\784\ The CO2
capture facility will include two quencher columns, two absorber
columns, and one stripping column. To mitigate NOX
emissions, the operation of the SCR systems for the combustion turbines
will be adjusted to meet lower NOX allowable limits--
adjustments may include increasing ammonia flow, more frequent SCR
repacking and head cleaning, and, possibly, optimization of the ammonia
distribution system. The Baytown CO2 capture project is one
of the projects selected by DOE for funding as part of OCED's Carbon
Capture Demonstration Projects program.\785\ Captured CO2
will be transported and stored at sites along the U.S. Gulf Coast.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\784\ Baytown Energy Center Air Permit TCEQ Records Online
Primary ID 172517.
\785\ Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects Selections for Award
Negotiations. https://www.energy.gov/oced/carbon-capture-demonstration-projects-selections-award-negotiations.
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An 1,800 MW natural gas-fired combustion turbine that will be
constructed in West Virginia and will utilize CCS has been announced.
The project is planned to begin operation later this decade.\786\
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\786\ Competitive Power Ventures (2022). Multi-Billion Dollar
Combined Cycle Natural Gas Power Station with Carbon Capture
Announced in West Virginia. Press Release. September 16, 2022.
https://www.cpv.com/2022/09/16/multi-billion-dollar-combined-cycle-natural-gas-power-station-with-carbon-capture-announced-in-west-virginia/.
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There are numerous other EPAct05-assisted projects related to
natural gas-fired combined cycle turbines including the
following.787 788 789 790 791 These projects provide
corroborating evidence that capture of at least 90 percent is accepted
within the industry.
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\787\ General Electric (GE) (2022). U.S. Department of Energy
Awards $5.7 Million for GE-Led Carbon Capture Technology Integration
Project Targeting to Achieve 95% Reduction of Carbon Emissions.
Press Release. February 15, 2022. https://www.ge.com/news/press-releases/us-department-of-energy-awards-57-million-for-ge-led-carbon-capture-technology.
\788\ Larson, A. (2022). GE-Led Carbon Capture Project at
Southern Company Site Gets DOE Funding. Power. https://www.powermag.com/ge-led-carbon-capture-project-at-southern-company-site-gets-doe-funding/.
\789\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (2021). DOE Invests $45
Million to Decarbonize the Natural Gas Power and Industrial Sectors
Using Carbon Capture and Storage. October 6, 2021. https://www.energy.gov/articles/doe-invests-45-million-decarbonize-natural-gas-power-and-industrial-sectors-using-carbon.
\790\ DOE (2022). Additional Selections for Funding Opportunity
Announcement 2515. Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management.
https://www.energy.gov/fecm/additional-selections-funding-opportunity-announcement-2515.
\791\ DOE (2019). FOA 2058: Front-End Engineering Design (FEED)
Studies for Carbon Capture Systems on Coal and Natural Gas Power
Plants. Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management. https://www.energy.gov/fecm/foa-2058-front-end-engineering-design-feed-studies-carbon-capture-systems-coal-and-natural-gas.
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General Electric (GE) (Bucks, Alabama) was awarded
$5,771,670 to retrofit a combined cycle turbine with CCS technology to
capture 95 percent of CO2 and is targeting commercial
deployment by 2030.
Wood Environmental & Infrastructure Solutions (Blue Bell,
Pennsylvania) was awarded $4,000,000 to complete an engineering design
study for CO2 capture at the Shell Chemicals Complex. The
aim is to reduce CO2 emissions by 95 percent using post-
combustion technology to capture CO2 from several plants,
including an onsite natural gas CHP plant.
General Electric Company, GE Research (Niskayuna, New
York) was awarded $1,499,992 to develop a design to capture 95 percent
of CO2 from combined cycle turbine flue gas with the
potential to reduce electricity costs by at least 15 percent.
SRI International (Menlo Park, California) was awarded
$1,499,759 to design, build, and test a technology that can capture at
least 95 percent of CO2 while demonstrating a 20 percent
cost reduction compared to existing combined cycle turbine carbon
capture.
CORMETECH, Inc. (Charlotte, North Carolina) was awarded
$2,500,000 to further develop, optimize, and test a new, lower-cost
technology to capture CO2 from combined cycle turbine flue
gas and improve scalability to large, combined cycle turbines.
TDA Research, Inc. (Wheat Ridge, Colorado) was awarded
$2,500,000 to build and test a post-combustion capture process to
improve the performance of combined cycle turbine flue gas
CO2 capture.
GE Gas Power (Schenectady, New York) was awarded
$5,771,670 to perform an engineering design study to incorporate a 95
percent CO2 capture solution for an existing combined cycle
turbine site while providing lower costs and scalability to other
sites.
Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) (Palo Alto,
California) was awarded $5,842,517 to complete a study to retrofit a
700 MWe combined cycle turbine with a carbon capture system to capture
95 percent of CO2.
Gas Technology Institute (Des Plaines, Illinois) was
awarded $1,000,000 to develop membrane technology capable of capturing
more than 97 percent of combined cycle turbine CO2 flue gas
and demonstrate upwards of 40 percent reduction in costs.
RTI International (Research Triangle Park, North Carolina)
was awarded $1,000,000 to test a novel non-aqueous solvent technology
aimed at demonstrating 97 percent capture efficiency from simulated
combined cycle turbine flue gas.
Tampa Electric Company (Tampa, Florida) was awarded
$5,588,173 to conduct a study retrofitting Polk Power Station with
post-combustion CO2 capture technology aiming to achieve a
95 percent capture rate.
There are also several announced NET Power Allam-Fetvedt Cycle
based CO2 capture projects that are EPAct05-assisted. These
include the 280 MW Coyote Clean Power Project on the Southern Ute
Indian Reservation in
[[Page 39929]]
Colorado and a 300 MW project located near Occidental's Permian Basin
operations close to Odessa, Texas. Commercial operation of the facility
near Odessa, Texas is expected in 2028.
(f) Range of Conditions
The composition of natural gas combined cycle post-combustion flue
gas is relatively uniform as the level of impurities is, in general,
low. There may be some difference in NOX emissions, but
considering the sources are new, it is likely that they will be
installed with SCR, resulting in uniform NOX concentrations
in the flue gas. The EPA notes that some natural gas combined cycle
units applying CO2 capture may use exhaust gas recirculation
to increase the concentration of CO2 in the flue gas--this
produces a higher concentration of CO2 in the flue gas. For
those sources that apply that approach, the CO2 capture
system can be scaled smaller, reducing overall costs. Considering these
factors, the EPA concludes that there are not substantial differences
in flue gas conditions for natural gas combined cycle units, and the
small differences that could exist would not adversely impact the
operation of the CO2 capture equipment.
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7), single trains of
CO2 capture facilities have turndown capabilities of 50
percent. Effective turndown to 25 percent of throughputs can be
achieved by using 2 trains of capture equipment. CO2 capture
rates have also been shown to be higher at lower throughputs. Moreover,
during off-peak hours when electricity prices are lower, additional
lean solvent can be produced and held in reserve, so that during high-
demand hours, the auxiliary demands to the capture plant stripping
column reboiler be reduced. Considering these factors, the capture rate
would not be affected by load following operation, and the operation of
the combustion turbine would not be limited by turndown capabilities of
the capture equipment. As detailed in preceding sections, simple cycle
combustion turbines cycle frequently, and have a number of startups and
shutdowns per year. However, combined cycle units cycle less frequently
and have fewer startups and shutdowns per year. Startups of combined
cycle units are faster than coal-fired steam generating units described
in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7) of the preamble. Cold startups of combined
cycle units typically take not more than 3 hours (hot startups are
faster), and shutdown takes less than 1 hour. During startup, heat
input to the unit is lower to slowly raise the temperature of the HRSG.
Importantly, natural gas post-combustion flue gas does not require
the same pretreatment as coal post-combustion flue gas. Therefore,
amine solvents are able to capture CO2 as soon as the flue
gas contacts the lean solvent, and startup does not have to wait for
operation of other emission controls. Furthermore, there are several
different process strategies that can be employed to enable capture
during cold startup.792 793 These include using an
additional reserve of lean solvent (solvent without absorbed
CO2), dedicated heat storage for reboiler preheating, and
fast starting steam cycle technologies or high-pressure bypass
extraction. Each of these three options has been modeled to show that
95 percent capture rates can be achieved during startup. The first
option simply uses a reserve of lean solvent during startup so that
capture can occur without needing to wait for the stripping column
reboiler to heat up. For hot starts, the startup time of the NGCC is
faster, and since the reboiler is already warm, the capture plant can
begin operating faster. Shutdowns are short, and high capture
efficiencies can be maintained.
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\792\ https://ieaghg.org/ccs-resources/blog/new-ieaghg-report-2022-08-start-up-and-shutdown-protocol-for-power-stations-with-co2-capture.
\793\ https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f95432ad3bf7f35f26127d2/start-up-shut-down-times-power-ccus-main-report.pdf.
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Considering that startup and shutdown for natural gas combined
cycle units is fast, startups are relatively few, and simple process
strategies can be employed so that high capture efficiencies can be
achieved during startup, the EPA has concluded that startup and
shutdown do not adversely impact the achievable CO2 capture
rate.
Considering the preceding information, the EPA has determined that
90 percent capture is achievable over long periods (i.e., 12-month
rolling averages) for base load combustion turbines for all relevant
flue gas conditions, variable load, and startup and shutdown.
(g) Summary of Evidence Supporting BSER Determination Without EPAct05-
Aassisted Projects
As noted above, under the EPA's interpretation of the EPAct05
provisions, the EPA may not rely on capture projects that received
assistance under EPAct05 as the sole basis for a determination of
adequate demonstration, but the EPA may rely on those projects to
support or corroborate other information that supports such a
determination. The information described above that supports the EPA's
determination that 90 percent CO2 capture from natural gas-
fired combustion turbines is adequately demonstrated, without
consideration of the EPAct05-assisted projects, includes (i) the
information concerning coal-fired steam generating units listed in
VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(9) \794\ (other than the information concerning
EPAct05-assisted coal-fired unit projects and the information
concerning natural gas-fired combustion turbines); (ii) the information
that a 90 percent capture standard is achievable at coal-fired steam
generating units, also applies to natural gas-fired combined cycle EGUs
(i.e., all the information in VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B) (before (1)) and (1)
(before (a)); (iii) the information concerning CCS on combined cycle
EGUs (i.e., all the information in VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(a)); and (iv)
the information concerning Net Power (i.e., all the information in
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(b)). All this information by itself is sufficient
to support the EPA's determination that 90 percent CO2
capture from coal-fired steam generating units is adequately
demonstrated. Substantial additional information from EPAct05-assisted
projects, as described in section VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(e), provides
additional support and confirms that 90 percent CO2 capture
from natural gas-fired combustion turbines is adequately demonstrated.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\794\ Specifically, this includes the information concerning
Boundary Dam, coupled with engineering analysis concerning key
improvements that can be implemented in future CCS deployments
during initial design and construction (i.e., all the information in
section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a) and the information concerning
Boundary Dam in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(b)); (ii) the information
concerning other coal-fired demonstrations, including the Argus
Cogeneration Plant and AES's Warrior Run (i.e., all the information
concerning those sources in section VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(1)(a)); (iii)
the information concerning industrial applications of CCS (i.e., all
the information in section VII.C.1.a.i.(A)(1); and (iv) the
information concerning CO2 capture technology vendor
statements (i.e., all the information in VII.C.1.a.i.(B)(3)).
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(2) Transport of CO2
In section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this document, the EPA described its
rationale for finalizing a determination that CO2 transport
by pipelines as a component of CCS is adequately demonstrated for use
of CCS with existing steam generating EGUs. The Agency's rationale for
finalizing the same determination--that CO2 transport by
pipelines as a component of CCS is adequately demonstrated for CCS use
with new combustion turbine EGUs--is much the same as that described in
section VII.C.1.a.i.(C). As discussed in
[[Page 39930]]
section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble, CO2 pipelines are
available and their network is expanding in the U.S., and the safety of
existing and new supercritical CO2 pipelines is
comprehensively regulated by PHMSA.\795\ A new combustion turbine may
also be co-located with a storage site, so that minimal transport of
the CO2 is required.
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\795\ PHMSA additionally initiated a rulemaking in 2022 to
develop and implement new measures to strengthen its safety
oversight of CO2 pipelines following investigation into a
CO2 pipeline failure in Satartia, Mississippi in 2020.
For more information, see: https://www.phmsa.dot.gov/news/phmsa-announces-new-safety-measures-protect-americans-carbon-dioxide-pipeline-failures.
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Pipeline transport of CO2 captured from newly
constructed or reconstructed natural gas-fired combustion turbine EGUs
meets the BSER requirements based on the same evidence, and for the
same reasons, as does pipeline transport of CO2 captured
from existing coal-fired steam generating EGUs, as described in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble. This is because the CO2
that is captured from a natural gas-fired turbine, compressed, and
delivered into a pipeline is indistinguishable from the CO2
that is captured from an existing coal-fired steam generating unit.
Accordingly, all the evidence and explanation in section
VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble that it is adequately demonstrated,
cost-effective, and consistent with the other BSER factors for an
existing coal-fired steam generating unit to construct a lateral
pipeline from its facility to a sequestration site applies to new
natural gas-fired turbines. This includes the history of CO2
pipeline build-out (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)), the recent examples of new
pipelines (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(b)), EPAct05-assisted CO2
pipelines for CCS (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(c)), the network of existing and
planned CO2 trunklines (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(1)(d)), permitting
and rights of way considerations (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(2)), and
considerations of the security of CO2 transport, including
PHMSA requirements (VII.C.1.a.i.(C)(3)).
The only difference between pipeline transport for the coal-fired
steam generation and the gas-fired turbines is that the coal-fired
units are already in existence and, as a result, the location and
length of their pipelines, as needed to transport their CO2
to nearby sequestration, is already known, whereas new gas-fired
turbines are not yet sited. We discuss the implications for new gas-
fired turbines in the next section.
(3) Geologic Sequestration of CO2
In section VII.C.1.a.i.(D) of this document, the EPA described its
rationale for finalizing a determination that geologic sequestration
(i.e., the long-term containment of a CO2 stream in
subsurface geologic formations) is adequately demonstrated as a
component of the use of CCS with existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs. Similar to the previous discussion regarding CO2
transport, the Agency's rationale for finalizing a determination that
geologic sequestration is adequately demonstrated as a component of the
use of CCS with new combustion turbine EGUs is the same as described in
VII.C.1.a.i.(D) for existing coal-fired steam generating EGUs. The
storage/sequestration sites used to store captured CO2 from
existing coal-fired EGUs could also be used to store captured
CO2 from newly constructed or reconstructed combustion
turbine EGUs. All of the considerations and challenges associated with
developing geologic storage sites for existing sources are also
considerations and challenges associated with developing such sites for
newly constructed or reconstructed sources.
(a) In General
Geologic sequestration (i.e., the long-term containment of a
CO2 stream in subsurface geologic formations) is well
proven. Deep saline formations, which may be evaluated and developed
for CO2 sequestration are broadly available throughout the
U.S. Geologic sequestration requires a demonstrated understanding of
the processes that affect the fate of CO2 in the subsurface.
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(D) of this preamble, there have
been numerous instances of geologic sequestration in the U.S. and
overseas, and the U.S. has developed a detailed set of regulatory
requirements to ensure the security of sequestered CO2. This
regulatory framework includes the UIC well regulations, which are under
the authority of the SDWA, and the GHGRP, under the authority of the
CAA.
Geologic settings which may be suitable for geologic sequestration
of CO2 are widespread and available throughout the U.S.
Through an availability analysis of sequestration potential in the U.S.
based on resources from the DOE, the USGS, and the EPA, the EPA found
that there are 43 states with access to, or are within 100 km from,
onshore or offshore storage in deep saline formations, unmineable coal
seams, and depleted oil and gas reservoirs.
All of the evidence and explanation that geological sequestration
of CO2 is adequately demonstrated and meets the other BSER
factors that the EPA described with respect to sequestration of
CO2 from existing coal-fired steam generating units in
section VII.C.1.a.i.(D) of this preamble apply with respect to
CO2 from new natural gas-fired combustion turbines.
Sequestration is broadly available (VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(1)(a)). It is
adequately demonstrated, with many examples of projects successfully
injecting and containing CO2 in the subsurface
(VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(2)). It provides secure storage, with a detailed set
of regulatory requirements to ensure the security of sequestered
CO2, including the UIC well regulations pursuant to SDWA
authority, and the GHGRP pursuant to CAA authority
(VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(4)). The EPA has the experience to properly regulate
and review permits for UIC Class VI injection wells, has made
considerable improvements to its permitting process to expedite
permitting decisions, and has granted several states primacy to issue
permits, and is supporting that state permitting (VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(5)).
(b) New Natural Gas-Fired Combustion Turbines
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i.(D)(1), deep saline formations
that may be considered for use in geologic sequestration (or storage)
are common in the continental United States. In addition, there are
numerous unmineable coal seams and depleted oil and gas reserves
throughout the country that could potentially be utilized as
sequestration sites. The DOE estimates that areas of the U.S. with
appropriate geology have a sequestration potential of at least 2,400
billion to over 21,000 billion metric tons of CO2 in deep
saline formations, unmineable coal seams, and oil and gas reservoirs.
The EPA's scoping assessment found that at least 37 states have
geologic characteristics that are amenable to deep saline sequestration
and identified an additional 6 states are within 100 kilometers of
potentially amenable deep saline formations in either onshore or
offshore locations. In terms of land area, 80 percent of the
continental U.S. is within 100 km of deep saline formations.\796\ While
the EPA's geographic availability analyses focus on deep saline
formations, other geologic formations such as unmineable coal seams or
depleted oil and gas
[[Page 39931]]
reservoirs represent potential additional CO2 storage
options. Therefore, we expect that the vast majority of new base load
combustion turbine EGUs could be sited within 100 km of a sequestration
site.
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\796\ For additional information on CO2
transportation and geologic sequestration availability, please see
EPA's final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generating Units.
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While the potential for some type of sequestration exists in large
swaths of the continental U.S., we recognize that there are a few
states that do not have geologic conditions suitable for geologic
sequestration within or near their borders. If an area does not have a
suitable geologic sequestration site, then a utility or project
developer seeking to build a new combustion turbine EGU for base load
generation has two options--either (1) the new EGU may be located near
the electricity demand and the CO2 transported via a
CO2 pipeline to a geologic sequestration site, or (2) the
new EGU may be located closer to a geologic sequestration site and the
electricity delivered to customers through transmission lines.
Regarding option 1, as discussed in VII.C.1.a.i(C), the EPA believes
that both new and existing EGUs are capable of constructing
CO2 pipelines as needed. With regard to option 2, we expect
that this option may be preferred for projects where a CO2
pipeline of substantial length would be required to reach the
sequestration site. However, we note that for new base load combustion
turbine EGUs, project developers have flexibility with regard to siting
such that they can balance whether to site a new unit closer to a
potential geologic sequestration site or closer to a load area
depending on their specific needs.
Electricity demand in areas that may not have geologic
sequestration sites may be served by gas-fired EGUs that are built in
areas with geologic sequestration, and the generated electricity can be
delivered through transmission lines to the load areas through ``gas-
by-wire.'' An analogous approach, known as ``coal-by-wire'' has long
been used in the electricity sector for coal-fired EGUs because siting
a coal-fired EGU near a coal mine and transmitting the generated
electricity long distances to the load area is sometimes less expensive
than siting the coal EGU near the load area and shipping the coal long
distances. The same principle may apply to new base load combustion
turbine EGUs such that it may be more practicable for an project
developer to site a new base load combustion turbine EGU in a location
in close proximity to a geologic sequestration site and to deliver the
electricity generated through transmission lines to the load area
rather than siting the new gas-fired combustion turbine EGU near the
load area and building a lengthy pipeline to the geologic sequestration
site.
Gas-by-wire and coal-by-wire are possible due to the electricity
grid's extensive high voltage transmission networks that enable
electricity to be transmitted over long distances. See the memorandum,
Geographic Availability of CCS for New Base Load NGCC Units, which is
available in the rulemaking docket for this action. In many of the
areas without reasonable access to geologic sequestration, utilities,
electric cooperatives, and municipalities have a history of joint
ownership of electricity generation outside the region or contracting
with electricity generation in outside areas to meet demand. Some of
the areas are in Regional Transmission Organizations (RTOs),\797\ which
engage in planning as well as balancing supply and demand in real time
throughout the RTO's territory. Accordingly, generating resources in
one part of the RTO can serve load in other parts of the RTO, as well
as load outside of the RTO.
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\797\ In this discussion, the term RTO indicates both ISOs and
RTOs.
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In the coal context, there are many examples of where coal-fired
power generation in one state has been used to supply electricity in
other states. For example, the Prairie State Generating Plant, a 2-unit
1,600 MW coal-fired power plant in Illinois that is currently
considering retrofitting with CCS, serves load in eight different
states from the Midwest to the mid-Atlantic.\798\ The Intermountain
Power Project, a coal-fired plant located in Delta, Utah, that is
converting to co-fire hydrogen and natural gas, serves customers in
both Utah and California.\799\ Additionally, historically nearly 40
percent of the power for the City of Los Angeles was provided from two
coal-fired power plants located in Arizona and Utah. Further, Idaho
Power, which serves customers in Idaho and eastern Oregon has met
demand in part from power generating at coal-fired power plants located
in Wyoming and Nevada. This same concept of siting generation in one
location to serve demand in another area and using existing
transmission infrastructure to do so could similarly be applied to gas-
fired combustion turbine power plants, and, in fact, there are examples
of gas-fired combustion turbine EGUs serving demand more than 100 km
away from where they are sited. For example, Portland General
Electric's Carty Generating Station, a 436-MW NGCC unit located in
Boardman, Oregon \800\ serves demand in Portland, Oregon,\801\ which is
approximately 270 km away from the source.
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\798\ https://prairiestateenergycampus.com/about/ownership/.
\799\ https://www.ipautah.com/participants-services-area/.
\800\ Portland General Electric, ``Our Power Plants,'' https://portlandgeneral.com/about/who-we-are/how-we-generate-energy/our-power-plants.
\801\ See George Plaven, ``PGE power plant rising in E.
Oregon,'' The Columbian (October 10, 2015, 5:55 a.m.), https://www.columbian.com/news/2015/oct/10/pge-power-plant-rising-in-e-oregon/. See also Portland General Electric, ``PGE Service Area,''
https://portlandgeneral.com/about/info/service-area.
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In the memorandum, Geographic Availability of CCS for New Base Load
NGCC Units, we explore in detail the potential for gas-by-wire and the
ability of demand in areas without geologic sequestration potential to
be served by gas generation located in areas that have access to
geologic sequestration. As discussed in the memorandum, the vast
majority of the United States is within 100 km of an area with geologic
sequestration potential. A review of our scoping assessment indicates
that there are limited areas of the country that are not within 100 km
of a potential deep saline sequestration formation (although some of
these areas may be within 100 km of an unmineable coal seam or depleted
oil and gas reservoir that could potentially serve as a sequestration
site). In many instances, these areas include areas with low population
density, areas that are already served by transmission lines that could
deliver gas-by-wire, and/or include areas that have made policy or
other decisions not to pursue a resource mix that includes new NGCC due
to state renewable portfolio standards or for other reasons.
In many of these areas, utilities, electric cooperatives, and
municipalities have a history of obtaining electricity from generation
in outside areas to meet demand. Some of the relevant areas are in an
RTO or ISO, which operate the transmission system and dispatch
generation to balance supply and demand regionwide, as well as engage
in regionwide planning and cost allocation to facilitate needed
transmission development. Accordingly, generating resources in one part
of an RTO/ISO, such as through an NGCC plant, can serve loads in other
parts of the RTO/ISO, as well as serving load areas outside of the RTO/
ISO. As we consider each of these geographic areas in the memorandum,
Geographic Availability of CCS for New Base Load NGCC Units, we make
key points as to why this final rule does not negatively impact the
ability of these regions to access new NGCC generation to the extent
that NGCC generation is needed to supply demand and/or those regions
[[Page 39932]]
want to include new NGCC generation in their resource mixes.
(C) Costs
The EPA has evaluated the costs of CCS for new combined cycle
units, including the cost of installing and operating CO2
capture equipment as well as the costs of transport and storage. The
EPA has also compared the costs of CCS for new combined cycle units to
other control costs, in part derived from other rulemakings that the
EPA has determined to be cost-reasonable, and the costs are comparable.
Based on these analyses, the EPA considers the costs of CCS for new
combined cycle units to be reasonable. Certain elements of the
transport and storage costs are similar for new combustion turbines and
existing steam generating units. In this section, the EPA outlines
these costs and identifies the considerations specific to new
combustion turbines. These costs are significantly reduced by the IRC
section 45Q tax credit.
(1) Capture Costs
According to the NETL Fossil Energy Baseline Report (October 2022
revision), before accounting for the IRC section 45Q tax credit for
sequestered CO2, using a 90 percent capture amine-based
post-combustion CO2 capture system increases the capital
costs of a new combined cycle EGU by 115 percent on a $/kW basis,
increases the heat rate by 13 percent, increases incremental operating
costs by 35 percent, and derates the unit (i.e., decreases the capacity
available to generate useful output) by 11 percent.\802\ For a base
load combustion turbine, carbon capture increases the LCOE by 62
percent (an increase of 27 $/MWh) and has an estimated cost of $81/ton
($89/metric ton) of onsite CO2 reduction.\803\ The NETL
costs are based on the use of a second-generation amine-based capture
system without exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) and, as discussed below,
do not take into account further cost reductions that can be expected
to occur from efficiency improvements as post-combustion capture
systems are more widely deployed, as well as potential technological
developments.\804\
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\802\ CCS reduced the net output of the NETL F class combined
cycle EGU from 726 MW to 645 MW.
\803\ Although not our primary approach to assessing costs in
this final rule, for consistency with the proposal's assumption
capacity factor, these calculations use a service life of 30 years,
an interest rate of 7.0 percent, a natural gas price of $3.61/MMBtu,
and a capacity factor of 65 percent. These costs do not include
CO2 transport, storage, or monitoring costs.
\804\ Recent DOE analysis has compared the NETL costs with more
recent FEED study costs and expert interviews and determined they
are consistent after accounting for differences in inflation,
economic assumptions, and other technology details. Portfolio
Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power Sector, DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/portfolio-strategy.
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The flue gas from natural gas-fired combined cycle turbine differs
from that of coal-fired EGUs in several ways that impact the cost of
CO2 capture. These include that the CO2
concentration in the flue gas is approximately one-third of that
observed at coal-fired EGUs, the volumetric flow rate on a per MW basis
is larger, and the oxygen concentration is approximately 3 times that
of a coal-fired EGU. While the higher amount of excess oxygen has the
potential to reduce the efficiency of amine-based solvents that are
susceptible to oxidation, natural gas post-combustion flue gas does not
have other impurities (SO2, PM, trace metals) that are
present and must be managed in coal flue gas. Other important factors
include that the lower concentrations of CO2 reduce the
efficiency of the capture process and that the larger volumetric flow
rates require a larger CO2 absorber, which increases the
capital cost of the capture process. Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR),
also referred to as flue gas recirculation (FGR), is a process that
addresses all these issues. EGR diverts some of the combustion turbine
exhaust gas back into the inlet stream for the combustion turbine.
Doing so increases the CO2 concentration and decreases the
O2 concentration in the exhaust stream and decreases the
flow rate, producing more favorable conditions for CCS. One study found
that EGR can decrease the capital costs of a combined cycle EGU with
CCS by 6.4 percent, decrease the heat rate by 2.5 percent, decrease the
LCOE by 3.4 percent, and decrease the overall CO2 capture
costs by 11 percent relative to a combined cycle EGU without EGR.\805\
The EPA notes that the NETL costs on which the EPA bases its cost
calculations for combined cycle CCS do not assume the use of EGR, but
as discussed below, EGR use is plausible and would reduce those costs.
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\805\ Energy Procedia. (2014). Impact of exhaust gas
recirculation on combustion turbines. Energy and economic analysis
of the CO2 capture from flue gas of combined cycle power plants.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876610214001234.
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While the costs considered in the preceding are based on the
current costs of CCS, the EPA notes that the costs of capture systems
can be expected to decrease over the rest of this decade and continue
to decrease afterwards.\806\ As part of the plan to reduce the costs of
CO2 capture, the DOE is funding multiple projects to further
advance CCS technology from various point sources, including combined
cycle turbines, cement manufacturing plants, and iron and steel
plants.\807\ It should be noted that some of these projects may be
EPAct05-assisted. The general aim is to lower the costs of the
technologies, and to increase investor confidence in the commercial
scale applications, particularly for newer technologies or proven
technologies applied under unique circumstances. In particular, OCED's
Carbon Capture Demonstration Projects are targeted to accelerate
continued power sector carbon capture commercialization through
reducing costs and reducing uncertainties to project development. These
cost and uncertainty reductions arise from reductions in cost of
capital, increases in system scale, standardization and reduction in
non-recurring engineering costs, maturation of supply chain ecosystem,
and improvements in engineering design and materials over time.\808\
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\806\ For example, see the article CCUS Market Outlook 2023:
Announced Capacity Soars by 50%, which states, ``New gas power
plants with carbon capture, for example, could be cheaper than
unabated power in Germany as early as next year when coupled with
the carbon price.'' https://about.bnef.com/blog/ccus-market-outlook-2023-announced-capacity-soars-by-50/.
\807\ The DOE has also previously funded FEED studies for
natural gas-fired combined cycle turbine facilities. These include
FEED studies at existing combined cycle turbine facilities at Panda
Energy Fund in Texas, Elk Hills Power Plant in Kern County,
California, Deer Park Energy Center in Texas, Delta Energy Center in
Pittsburg, California, and utilization of a Piperazine Advanced
Stripper (PZAS) process for CO2 capture conducted by The
University of Texas at Austin.
\808\ Portfolio Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power Sector
report. DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/portfolio-strategy.
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Although current post-combustion CO2 capture projects
have primarily been based on amine capture systems, there are multiple
alternate capture technologies in development--many of which are funded
through industry research programs--that could yield reductions in
capital, operating, and auxiliary power requirements and could reduce
the cost of capture significantly or improve performance. More
specifically, post combustion carbon capture systems generally fall
into one of several categories: solvents, sorbents, membranes,
cryogenic, and molten carbonate fuel cells \809\ systems. It is
[[Page 39933]]
expected that as CCS infrastructure increases, technologies from each
of these categories will become more economically competitive. For
example, advancements in solvents that are potentially direct
substitutes for current amine-solvents will reduce auxiliary energy
requirements and reduce both operating and capital costs, and thereby,
increase the economic competitiveness of CCS.\810\ Planned large-scale
projects, pilot plants, and research initiatives will also decrease the
capital and operating costs of future CCS technologies.
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\809\ Molten carbonate fuel cells are configured for emissions
capture through a process where the flue gas from an EGU is routed
through the molten carbonate fuel cell that concentrates the
CO2 as a side reaction during the electric generation
process in the fuel cell. FuelCell Energy, Inc. (2018). SureSource
Capture. https://www.fuelcellenergy.com/recovery-2/suresource-capture/.
\810\ DOE. Carbon Capture, Transport, & Storage. Supply Chain
Deep Dive Assessment. February 24, 2022. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2022-02/Carbon%20Capture%20Supply%20Chain%20Report%20-%20Final.pdf.
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In general, CCS costs have been declining as carbon capture
technology advances.\811\ While the cost of capture has been largely
dependent on the concentration of CO2 in the gas stream,
advancements in varying individual CCS technologies tend to drive down
the cost of capture for other CCS technologies. The increase in CCS
investment is already driving down the costs of near-future CCS
technologies. The Global CCS Institute has tracked publicly available
information on previously studied, executed, and proposed
CO2 capture projects.\812\ The cost of CO2
capture from low-to-medium partial pressure sources such as coal-fired
power generation has been trending downward over the past decade, and
is projected to fall by 50 percent by 2025 compared to 2010. This is
driven by the familiar learning-processes that accompany the deployment
of any industrial technology. A review of learning rates (the reduction
in cost for a doubling of production or capacity) for various energy
related technologies similar to carbon capture (flue gas
desulfurization, selective catalytic reduction, combined cycle
turbines, pulverized coal boilers, LNG production, oxygen production,
and hydrogen production via steam methane reforming) demonstrated
learning rates of 5 percent to 27 percent for both capital expenditures
and operations and maintenance costs.813 814 Studies of the
cost of capture and compression of CO2 from power stations
completed 10 years ago averaged around $95/metric ton ($2020).
Comparable studies completed in 2018/2019 estimated capture and
compression costs could fall to approximately $50/metric ton
CO2 by 2025. Current target pricing for announced projects
at coal-fired steam generating units is approximately $40/metric ton on
average, compared to Boundary Dam whose actual costs were reported to
be $105/metric ton, noting that these estimates do not include the
impact of the 45Q tax credit as enhanced by the IRA. Additionally, IEA
suggests this trend will continue in the future as technology
advancements ``spill over'' into other projects to reduce costs.\815\
Similarly, EIA incorporates a minimum 20 percent reduction in carbon
capture and sequestration costs by 2035 in their Annual Energy Outlook
2023 modeling in part to account for the impact of spillover and
international learning.\816\ The Annual Technology Baseline published
by NREL with input from NETL projects a 10 percent reduction in capital
expenditures from 2021 through 2032 in the ``Conservative Technology
Innovation Scenario'' for natural gas carbon capture retrofit projects,
under the assumption that only learning processes lead to future cost
reductions and that there are no additional improvements from
investments in targeted technology research and development.\817\ In a
recent case study of the cost and performance of carbon capture
retrofits on existing natural gas combined cycle units, based on
discussions with external technology providers, engineering
consultants, asset developers, and applicants for DOE awards, DOE used
a 25 percent capital cost reduction estimate to illustrate the
potential future capital costs of an Nth-of-a-Kind facility, as well as
``conservatively model[ing]'' operating expense reductions at 1
percent, for a combined overall decrease in the levelized cost of
energy of about 10 percent for the Nth-of-a-Kind facility compared to a
First-of-a-Kind facility.\818\ DOE further found this illustrative cost
reduction estimate from learning through doing to be consistent with
other studies that use hybrid engineering-economic and experience-curve
approaches to estimate potential decreases in the levelized cost of
energy of 10-11 percent for Nth-of-a-Kind plants compared with First-
of-a-Kind plants.819 820 Policies in the IIJA and IRA are
further increasing investment in CCS technology that can accelerate the
pace of innovation and deployment.
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\811\ International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020). CCUS in Clean
Energy Transitions--A new era for CCUS. https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-in-clean-energy-transitions/a-new-era-for-ccus. The same is
true for CCS on coal-fired EGUs.
\812\ Technology Readiness and Costs of CCS (2021). Global CCS
Institute. https://www.globalccsinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Technology-Readiness-and-Costs-for-CCS-2021-1.pdf.
\813\ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1750583607000163.
\814\ As an additional example for cost reductions from learning
processes via deployment achieved in other complex power generation
projects, the most recent sustained deployment of 19 nuclear
reactors in South Korea from 1989 through 2008 resulted in a 13
percent reduction in capital costs. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421516300106.
\815\ International Energy Agency (IEA) (2020). CCUS in Clean
Energy Transitions--CCUS technology innovation. https://www.iea.org/reports/ccus-in-clean-energy-transitions/a-new-era-for-ccus.
\816\ Energy Information Administration (EIA) (2023).
Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2023: Electricity Market
Module. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/assumptions/pdf/EMM_Assumptions.pdf.
\817\ National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) (2023). Annual
Technology Baseline 2023. https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2023/fossil_energy_technologies.
\818\ Portfolio Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power Sector.
DOE. 2024. https://www.energy.gov/oced/portfolio-strategy.
\819\ https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2022.987166/full.
\820\ https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1750583607000163.
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(2) CO2 Transport and Sequestration Costs
NETL's ``Quality Guidelines for Energy System Studies; Carbon
Dioxide Transport and Sequestration Costs in NETL Studies'' provides an
estimation of transport costs based on the CO2 Transport
Cost Model.\821\ The CO2 Transport Cost Model estimates
costs for a single point-to-point pipeline. Estimated costs reflect
pipeline capital costs, related capital expenditures, and operations
and maintenance costs.
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\821\ Grant, T., et al. ``Quality Guidelines for Energy System
Studies; Carbon Dioxide Transport and Storage Costs in NETL
Studies.'' National Energy Technology Laboratory. 2019. https://www.netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=3743.
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NETL's Quality Guidelines also provide an estimate of sequestration
costs. These costs reflect the cost of site screening and evaluation,
permitting and construction costs, the cost of injection wells, the
cost of injection equipment, operation and maintenance costs, pore
volume acquisition expense, and long-term liability protection.
Permitting and construction costs also reflect the regulatory
requirements of the UIC Class VI program and GHGRP subpart RR for
geologic sequestration of CO2 in deep saline formations.
NETL calculates these sequestration costs on the basis of generic plant
locations in the Midwest, Texas, North Dakota, and Montana, as
described in the NETL energy system studies.\822\
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\822\ National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), ``FE/NETL
CO2 Saline Storage Cost Model (2017),'' U.S. Department of Energy,
DOE/NETL-2018-1871, 30 September 2017. https://netl.doe.gov/energy-analysis/details?id=2403.
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[[Page 39934]]
There are two primary cost drivers for a CO2
sequestration project: the rate of injection of the CO2 into
the reservoir and the areal extent of the CO2 plume in the
reservoir. The rate of injection depends, in part, on the thickness of
the reservoir and its permeability. Thick, permeable reservoirs provide
for better injection and fewer injection wells. The areal extent of the
CO2 plume depends on the sequestration capacity of the
reservoir. Thick, porous reservoirs with a good sequestration
coefficient will present a small areal extent for the CO2
plume and have lower testing and monitoring costs. NETL's Quality
Guidelines model costs for a given cumulative storage potential.\823\
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\823\ Department of Energy. Regional Direct Air Capture Hubs.
(2022). https://www.energy.gov/oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
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In addition, provisions in the IIJA and IRA are expected to
significantly increase the CO2 pipeline infrastructure and
development of sequestration sites, which, in turn, are expected to
result in further cost reductions for the application of CCS at a new
combined cycle EGUs. The IIJA establishes a new Carbon Dioxide
Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation program to provide
direct loans, loan guarantees, and grants to CO2
infrastructure projects, such as pipelines, rail transport, ships and
barges.\824\ The IIJA also establishes a new Regional Direct Air
Capture Hubs program which includes funds to support four large-scale,
regional direct air capture hubs and more broadly support projects that
could be developed into a regional or inter-regional network to
facilitate sequestration or utilization.\825\ DOE is additionally
implementing IIJA section 40305 (Carbon Storage Validation and Testing)
through its CarbonSAFE initiative, which aims to further development of
geographically widespread, commercial-scale, safe storage.\826\ The IRA
increases and extends the IRC section 45Q tax credit, discussed next.
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\824\ DOE. Carbon Dioxide Transportation Infrastructure. https://www.energy.gov/lpo/carbon-dioxide-transportation-infrastructure.
\825\ Department of Energy. ``Regional Direct Air Capture
Hubs.'' (2022). https://www.energy.gov/oced/regional-direct-air-capture-hubs.
\826\ For more information, see the NETL announcement. https://www.netl.doe.gov/node/12405.
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(3) IRC Section 45Q Tax Credit
For the reasons explained in section VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble,
in determining the cost of CCS, the EPA is taking into account the tax
credit provided under IRC section 45Q, as revised by the IRA. The tax
credit is available at $85/metric ton ($77/ton) and offsets a
significant portion of the capture, transport, and sequestration costs
noted above.
(4) Total Costs of CCS
In a typical NSPS analysis, the EPA amortizes costs over the
expected operating life of the affected facility and assumes constant
revenue and expenses over that period of time. For a new combustion
turbine, the expected operating life is 30 years. The EPA has adjusted
that analysis in this rule to account for the fact that the IRC section
45Q tax credit is available for only the 12 years after operation is
commenced. Since the duration of the tax credit is less than the
expected life of a new base load combustion turbine, the EPA conducted
the costing analysis by recognizing that the substantial revenue
available for sequestering CO2 during the first 12 years of
operation is expected to result in higher capacity factors for that
period, and the potential higher operating costs during the subsequent
18 years when the 45Q tax credit is not available is likely to result
in lower capacity factors (see final TSD, Greenhouse Gas Mitigation
Measures, Carbon Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines for more
discussion).827 828
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\827\ In the proposal, the EPA used a constant 65 percent
capacity factor, representative of the initial capacity factor of
recently constructed combined cycle turbines, and effective 30-year
45Q tax credit of $41/ton. For this final rule, the EPA considers
the approach of using a higher capacity factor for the first 12
years and a lower one for the last 18 years to reflect more
accurately actual operating conditions, and therefore to be a more
realistic basis for calculating CCS costs.
\828\ The EPA's cost approach for CCS for existing coal-fired
units also assumed that those units would increase their capacity
during the 12-year period when the 45Q tax credit was available. See
preamble section VII.C.1.a.ii, and Greenhouse Gas Mitigation
Measures for Steam Generating Units TSD section 4.7.5. Because coal-
fired power plants are existing plants, the EPA calculated CCS costs
by assuming a 12-year amortization period for the CCS equipment, and
the EPA did not need to make any assumptions about the operation of
the coal-fired unit after the 12-year period.
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Specifically, the EPA's cost analysis assumes that the combined
cycle turbine operates at a capacity of 80 percent over the initial 12-
year period. This capacity level is generally consistent with the IPM
model projections of 87 percent (and, in fact, somewhat more
conservative). The 80 percent capacity factor assumption is also less
than the 85 percent capacity factor assumption in the NETL
analysis.\829\ But notably, the higher capacity factors in the IPM
analysis and in the NETL analysis suggest that higher capacity factors
may be reasonable and as figure 8 in the final TSD, Greenhouse Gas
Mitigation Measures, Carbon Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines
demonstrates, would result in even lower costs. The analysis further
assumes that the turbine operates at a capacity of 31 percent during
the remaining 18-year period. As explained in the final TSD, Greenhouse
Gas Mitigation Measures Carbon Capture and Storage for Combustion
Turbines, to avoid impacting the compliance costs due to changes in the
overall capacity factors with the base case, the EPA kept the overall
30-year capacity factor at the historical average of 51 percent. The
EPA evaluated several operational scenarios (as described in the TSD).
The scenario with an initial 12-year capacity factor of 80 percent and
a subsequent 18-year capacity factor of 31 percent (for a 30-year
capacity factor of 51 percent) represents the primary policy case. It
should be noted that at a 31 percent capacity factor, the combustion
turbine would be subcategorized as an intermediate load combustion
turbine, and therefore would be subject to a less stringent standard of
performance that is based on efficient operation, not on the use of
CCS.
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\829\ Compliance costs would be lower if higher capacity factors
were used during the first 12 years of operation.
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This costing approach results in lower compliance costs than
assuming a constant capacity factor for the 30-year useful life of the
turbine because of increased revenue from generation during the initial
12-year period, increased revenue from the IRC section 45Q tax credits
during that period, and lower costs during the last 18 years when the
tax credit is not available. As noted, this is a reasonable approach
because the economic incentive provided by the tax credit is so
significant on a $/ton basis that the EPA expects sources to dispatch
at higher levels while the tax credit is in effect.
The EPA calculated two sets of CCS costs: the first assumes that
the turbine continues to operate the capture system during the last 18
years, and the second assumes that the turbine does not operate the
capture system during the last 18 years.\830\ Assuming continued
operation of the capture equipment, the compliance costs are $15/MWh
and $46/ton ($51/metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class turbine, which
has a net output of approximately 990 MW; and $19/MWh and $57/ton ($63/
metric ton) for a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class turbine, which has a net output
of
[[Page 39935]]
approximately 700 MW.831 832 If the capture system is not
operated while the combustion turbine is subcategorized as an
intermediate load combustion turbine, the compliance costs are reduced
to $8/MWh and $43/ton ($47/metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class
combustion turbine, and $12/MWh and $60/ton ($66/metric ton) for a
4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine. All of these costs are
comparable to the cost metrics that, based on prior rules, the EPA
finds to be reasonable in this rulemaking.\833\ For a more detailed
discussion of costs, see the TSD--GHG Mitigation Measures--Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines, section 2.3, Figure 12a.
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\830\ The CCS and CO2 TS&M costs are amortized over
the period the equipment is operated--30 years or 12 years.
\831\ The output of the H-Class model combined cycle EGU without
CCS is 992 MW. The auxiliary load of CCS reduces the net out to 883
MW. The output of the F-Class model combined cycle EGU without CCS
is 726 MW. The auxiliary load of CCS reduces the net out to 645 MW.
\832\ As we explain in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures--
Carbon Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines, sections 2.3-
2.5, the 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class combustion turbine is the median size
of recently constructed combined cycle facilities and the 4,600
MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine approximates the size of a number
of recently constructed combined cycle facilities as well. CCS costs
for smaller sources are higher but are not prohibitive. GHG
Mitigation Measures--Carbon Capture and Storage for Combustion
Turbines TSD, section 2.3, Figures 12a and 13. As noted in RTC
section 3.1, we expect costs to decrease due to learning by doing
and technological development. In addition, since the incremental
generating costs of larger more efficient combined cycle turbines
are lower relative to smaller combined cycle turbines, it is more
likely that larger more efficient combined cycle turbine will
operate as base load combustion turbines.
\833\ A DOE analysis of a representative NGCC plant using CCS in
the ERCOT market indicates that operating at high operating capacity
could be profitable today with the IRC 45Q tax credits. Portfolio
Insights: Carbon Capture in the Power Sector. DOE. https://www.energy.gov/oced/portfolio-strategy.
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The EPA considers these CCS cost estimates to be conservatively
high because they do not take into account cost improvements from the
potential use of exhaust gas recirculation, which, according to one
study, could lower LCOE by 3.4 percent, as described in preamble
section VIII.F.4.c.iv.(C)(1). Nor do they consider the potential for
additional efficiency improvements for combined cycle units \834\ or
CCS technological advances, as discussed in preamble section
VIII.F.4.c.iv.(B)(1)(b), VIII.F.4.c.iv.(C)(1), and RTC section 3.1. The
EPA considers that at least some of these cost improvements are likely.
Accordingly, the EPA also calculated the CCS costs based on an assumed
5 percent reduction in costs, in order to approximate these likely
improvements, as follows: Assuming continued operation of the capture
equipment, the compliance costs are $13/MWh and $40/ton ($44/metric
ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class combustion turbine, and $18/MWh and
$54/ton ($59/metric ton) for a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion
turbine. If the capture system is not operated while the combustion
turbine is subcategorized as in intermediate load combustion turbine,
the compliance costs are reduced to $8/MWh and $39/ton ($43/metric ton)
for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class combustion turbine, and $11/MWh and $56/ton
($61/metric ton) for a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine.
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\834\ These additional efficiency improvements are noted in the
final TSD, Efficient Generation: Combustion Turbine Electric
Generating Units.
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In addition, the EPA considers all those costs to be conservative
(in favor of higher costs) because they assume that the combustion
turbine operator will not receive any revenues from captured
CO2 after the 12-year period for the tax credit. In fact, it
is plausible that there will be sources of revenue, potentially
including from the sale of the CO2 for utilization and
credits to meet state or corporate clean energy goals, as discussed in
RTC section 2.2.4.3.
It should be noted that natural gas-fired combustion turbines with
CCS may well generate at higher capacity factors after the expiration
of the 45Q tax credit than the EPA's above-described BSER cost analysis
assumes. In fact, the EPA's IPM model projects that the natural gas
combined cycle generation that is projected to install CCS in the
illustrative final rule scenario operates at an average 73 percent
capacity factor, due to existing state regulatory requirements, during
the 2045 model year, which is after the expiration of the 45Q tax
credit. In addition, as discussed in RTC section 2.2.4.3, it is
plausible that following the 12-year period of the tax credit, by the
2040s, cost improvements in CCS operations, more widespread adoption of
CO2 emission limitation requirements in the electricity
sector, and greater demand for CO2 for beneficial uses will
support continued operation of fossil fuel-fired generation with CCS.
Accordingly, the EPA also calculated CCS costs assuming that new F-
Class and H-Class combustion turbines with CCS generate at a constant
capacity factor of at least 60 percent, and up to 80 percent, during
their 30-year useful life. In this calculation, the EPA amortized the
costs of CCS over the 30-year useful life of the turbine. The EPA
includes these costs in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures--Carbon
Capture and Storage for Combustion Turbines, section 2.3, Figure
8.\835\ At the lower levels of capacity, costs are higher than
described above (which assumed 80 percent capacity during the first 12
years), but even at those lower levels, the costs are broadly
consistent with the cost-reasonable metrics based on prior rules,
particularly when those costs are reduced by an additional 5 percent to
account for improved efficiency and other factors, as noted above.
Nonetheless, consistent with the EPA's commitment to review, and if
appropriate, revise the emission guidelines for coal-fired steam
generating units as discussed in section VII.F, the EPA also intends to
evaluate, by 2041, the continued cost-reasonableness of CCS for natural
gas-fired combustion turbines in light of these potential significant
developments, and will consider at that time whether a future
regulatory action may be appropriate.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\835\ The compliance costs assume the same capacity factors in
the base and policy case, that is, without CCS and with CCS. If
combined cycle turbine with CCS were to operate at higher capacity
factors in the policy case, compliance costs would be reduced.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(5) Comparison to Other Costs of Controls
The costs for CCS applied to a representative new base load
stationary combustion turbine EGU are generally lower than the costs of
other controls in EPA rules for fossil fuel-fired electric generating
units, as well as the costs of other controls for greenhouse gases, as
described in section VII.C.1.a.ii(D), which supports the EPA's view
that the CCS costs are reasonable.
(D) Non-Air Quality Health and Environmental Impact and Energy
Requirements
In this section of the preamble, the EPA considers the non-air
quality health and environmental impacts of CCS for new combined cycle
turbines and concludes there are limited consequences related to non-
air quality health and environmental impact and energy requirements.
The EPA first discusses energy requirements, and then considers non-GHG
emissions impacts and water use impacts, resulting from the capture,
transport, and sequestration of CO2.
With respect to energy requirements, including a 90 percent or
greater carbon capture system in the design of a new combined cycle
turbine will increase the unit's parasitic/auxiliary energy demand and
reduce its net power output. A utility that wants to construct a
combined cycle turbine to provide 500 MWe-net of power could build a
[[Page 39936]]
500 MWe-net plant knowing that it will be de-rated by 11 percent (to a
444 MWe-net plant) with the installation and operation of CCS. In the
alternative, the project developer could build a larger 563 MWe-net
combined cycle turbine knowing that, with the installation of the
carbon capture system, the unit will still be able to provide 500 MWe-
net of power to the grid. Although the use of CCS imposes additional
energy demands on the affected units, those units are able to
accommodate those demands by scaling larger, as needed.
Regardless of whether a unit is scaled larger, the installation and
operation of CCS itself does not impact the unit's potential-to-emit
any criteria air pollutants. In other words, a new base load stationary
combustion turbine EGU constructed using highly efficient generation
(the first component of the BSER) would not see an increase in
emissions of criteria air pollutants as a direct result of installing
and using 90 percent or greater CO2 capture CCS to meet the
second phase standard of performance.\836\
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\836\ While the absolute onsite mass emissions would not
increase from the second component of the BSER, the emissions rate
on a lb/MWh-net basis would increase by 13 percent.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scaling a unit larger to provide heat and power to the
CO2 capture equipment would have the potential to increase
non-GHG air emissions. However, most pollutants would be mitigated or
controlled by equipment needed to meet other CAA requirements. In
general, the emission rates and flue gas concentrations of most non-GHG
pollutants from the combustion of natural gas in stationary combustion
turbines are relatively low compared to the combustion of oil or coal
in boilers. As such, it is not necessary to use an FGD to pretreat the
flue gas prior to CO2 removal in the CO2 scrubber
column. The sulfur content of natural gas is low relative to oil or
coal and resulting SO2 emissions are therefore also
relatively low. Similarly, PM emissions from combustion of natural gas
in a combustion turbine are relatively low. Furthermore, the high
combustion efficiency of combustion turbines results in relatively low
HAP emissions. Additionally, combustion turbines at major sources of
HAP are subject to the stationary combustion turbine NESHAP, which
includes limits for formaldehyde emissions for new sources that may
require installation of an oxidation catalyst (87 FR 13183; March 9,
2022). Regarding NOX emissions, in most cases, the
combustion turbines in new combined cycle units will be equipped with
low-NOX burners to control flame temperature and reduce
NOX formation. Additionally, new combined cycle units are
typically subject to major NSR requirements for NOX
emissions, which may require the installation of SCR to comply with a
control technology determination by the permitting authority. See
section XI.A of this preamble for additional details regarding the NSR
program. Although NOX concentrations may be controlled by
SCR, for some amine solvents NOX in the post-combustion flue
gas can react in the CO2 absorber to form nitrosamines. A
conventional multistage water wash or acid wash and a mist eliminator
at the exit of the CO2 scrubber is effective at removal of
gaseous amine and amine degradation products (e.g., nitrosamine)
emissions.837 838 Acetaldehyde and formaldehyde can form
through oxidation of the solvent, however, this can be mitigated by
selecting compatible materials to limit catalytic oxidation and
interstage cooling in the absorber to limit thermal oxidation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\837\ Sharma, S., Azzi, M., ``A critical review of existing
strategies for emission control in the monoethanolamine-based carbon
capture process and some recommendations for improved strategies,''
Fuel, 121, 178 (2014).
\838\ Mertens, J., et al., ``Understanding ethanolamine (MEA)
and ammonia emissions from amine-based post combustion carbon
capture: Lessons learned from field tests,'' Int'l J. of GHG
Control, 13, 72 (2013).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The use of water for cooling presents an additional issue. Due to
their relatively high efficiency, combined cycle EGUs have relatively
small cooling requirements compared to other base load EGUs. According
to NETL, a combined cycle EGU without CCS requires 190 gallons of
cooling water per MWh of electricity. CCS increases the cooling water
requirements due both to the decreased efficiency and the cooling
requirements for the CCS process to 290 gallons per MWh, an increase of
about 50 percent. However, because combined cycle turbines require
limited amounts of cooling water, the absolute amount of increase in
cooling water required due to use of CCS is relatively small compared
to the amount of water used by a coal-fired EGU. A coal-fired EGU
without CCS requires 450 gallons or more per MWh and the industry has
demonstrated an ability to secure these quantities of water and the EPA
has determined that the increased water requirements for CCS can be
addressed. In addition, many combined cycle EGUs currently use dry
cooling technologies and the use of dry or hybrid cooling technologies
for the CO2 capture process would reduce the need for
additional cooling water. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a
determination that the challenges of additional cooling requirements
from CCS are limited and do not disqualify CCS from being the BSER.
Stakeholders have shared with the EPA concerns about the safety of
CCS projects and that historically disadvantaged and overburdened
communities may bear a disproportionate environmental burden associated
with CCS projects.\839\ The EPA takes these concerns seriously, agrees
that any impacts to historically disadvantaged and overburdened
communities are important to consider, and has done so as part of its
analysis discussed at section XII.E. For the reasons noted above, the
EPA does not expect CCS projects to result in uncontrolled or
substantial increases in emissions of non-GHG air pollutants from new
combustion turbines. Additionally, a robust regulatory framework exists
to reduce the risks of localized emissions increases in a manner that
is protective of public health, safety, and the environment. These
projects will likely be subject to major NSR requirements for their
emissions of criteria pollutants, and therefore the sources would be
required to (1) control their emissions of attainment pollutants by
applying BACT and demonstrate the emissions will not cause or
contribute to a NAAQS violation, and (2) control their emissions of
nonattainment pollutants by applying LAER and fully offset the
emissions by securing emission reductions from other sources in the
area. Also, as mentioned in section VII.C.1, carbon capture systems
that are themselves a major source of HAP should evaluate the
applicability of CAA section 112(g) and conduct a case-by-case MACT
analysis if required, to establish MACT for any listed HAP, including
listed nitrosamines, formaldehyde, and acetaldehyde. But, as also
discussed in section VII.C.1, a conventional multistage water or acid
wash and mist eliminator (demister) at the exit of the CO2
scrubber is effective at removal of gaseous amine and amine degradation
products (e.g., nitrosamine) emissions. Additionally, as noted in
[[Page 39937]]
section VII.C.1.a.i.(C) of this preamble, PHMSA oversight of
supercritical CO2 pipeline safety protects against
environmental release during transport and UIC Class VI regulations
under the SDWA, in tandem with GHGRP requirements, ensure the
protection of USDWs and the security of geologic sequestration.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\839\ In outreach with potentially vulnerable communities,
residents have voiced two primary concerns. First, there is the
concern that their communities have experienced historically
disproportionate burdens from the environmental impacts of energy
production, and second, that as the sector evolves to use new
technologies such as CCS, they may continue to face disproportionate
burden. This is discussed further in section XII.E of this preamble.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is committed to working with its fellow agencies to foster
meaningful engagement with communities and protect communities from
pollution. This can be facilitated through the existing detailed
regulatory framework for CCS projects and further supported through
robust and meaningful public engagement early in the technological
deployment process.
The EPA also expects that the meaningful engagement requirements
discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of this preamble will ensure that all
interested stakeholders, including community members who might be
adversely impacted by non-GHG pollutants, will have an opportunity to
raise this concern with states and permitting authorities.
Additionally, state permitting authorities, and project developers are,
in general, required to provide public notice and comment on permits
for such projects. This provides additional opportunities for affected
stakeholders to engage in that process, and it is the EPA's expectation
that the responsible entities consider these concerns and take full
advantage of existing protections. Moreover, the EPA through its
regional offices is committed to thoroughly review permits associated
with CO2 capture.
(E) Impacts on the Energy Sector
The EPA does not believe that determining CCS to be BSER for base
load combustion turbines will cause reliability concerns, for several
independent reasons. First, the EPA is finalizing a determination that
the costs of CCS are reasonable and comparable to other control
requirements the EPA has required the electric power industry to adopt
without significant effects on reliability. Second, base load combined
cycle turbines are only one of many options that companies have to
build new generation. The EPA expects there to be considerable interest
in building intermediate load and low load combustion turbines to meet
demand for dispatchable generation. Indeed, the portion of the
combustion turbine fleet that is operating at base load is declining as
shown in the EPA's reference case modeling (Power Sector Platform 2023
using IPM reference case, see section IV.F of the preamble). In 2023,
combined cycle turbines are only expected to represent 14 percent of
all new generating capacity built in the U.S. and only a portion of
that is natural gas combined cycle capacity.\840\ Several companies
have recently announced plans to move away from new combined cycle
turbine projects in favor of more non-base load combustion turbines,
renewables, and battery storage. For example, Xcel recently announced
plans to build new renewable power generation instead of the combined
cycle turbine it had initially proposed to replace the retiring Sherco
coal-fired plant.\841\ Finally, while CCS is adequately demonstrated
and cost-reasonable, this final rulemaking allows companies that want
to build a base load combined cycle turbine another compliance option
to meet its requirements: building a unit that co-fires low-GHG
hydrogen in the appropriate amount to meet the standard of performance.
In fact, companies are currently pursuing both of these options--units
with CCS as well as units that will co-fire low-GHG hydrogen are both
in various stages of development. For these reasons, determining CCS to
be the BSER for base load units will not cause reliability concerns.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\840\ https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=55419.
\841\ https://cubminnesota.org/xcel-is-no-longer-pursuing-gas-power-plant-proposes-more-renewable-power/.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(F) Extent of Reductions in CO2 Emissions
Designating CCS as a component of the BSER for certain base load
combustion turbine EGUs prevents large amounts of CO2
emissions. For example, a new base load combined cycle EGU without CCS
could be expected to emit 45 million tons of CO2 over its
30-year operating life, or 1.5 million tons of CO2 per year.
Use of CCS would avoid the release of nearly 41 million tons of
CO2 over the operating life of the combined cycle EGU, or
1.37 million tons per year. However, due to the auxiliary/parasitic
energy requirements of the carbon capture system, capturing 90 percent
of the CO2 does not result in a corresponding 90 percent
reduction in CO2 emissions. According to the NETL baseline
report, adding a 90 percent CO2 capture system increases the
EGU's gross heat rate by 7 percent and the unit's net heat rate by 13
percent. Since more fuel would be consumed in the CCS case, the gross
and net emissions rates are reduced by 89.3 percent and 88.7 percent
respectively. These amounts of CO2 emissions and reductions
are larger than for any other industrial source, except for coal-fired
steam generating units.
(G) Promotion of the Development and Implementation of Technology
The EPA also considered whether determining CCS to be a component
of the BSER for new base load combustion turbines will advance the
technological development of CCS and concluded that this factor further
corroborates our BSER determination. A standard of performance based on
highly efficient generation in combination with the use of CCS--
combined with the availability of IRC section 45Q tax credits and
investments in supporting CCS infrastructure from the IIJA--should
result in more widespread adoption of CCS. In addition, while solvent-
based CO2 capture has been adequately demonstrated at the
commercial scale, a CCS-based standard of performance may incentivize
the development and use of better-performing solvents or other
components of the capture equipment.
Furthermore, the experience gained by utilizing CCS with stationary
combustion turbine EGUs, with their lower CO2 flue gas
concentration relative to other industrial sources such as coal-fired
EGUs, will advance capture technology with other lower CO2
concentration sources. The EIA 2023 Annual Energy Outlook projects that
almost 862 billion kWh of electricity will be generated from natural
gas-fired sources in 2040.\842\ Much of that generation is projected to
come from existing combined cycle EGUs and further development of
carbon capture technologies could facilitate increased retrofitting of
those EGUs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\842\ Does not include 114 billion kilowatt hours from natural
gas-fired CHP projected in AEO 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(H) Summary of BSER Determination
As discussed, the EPA is finalizing a determination that the second
component of the BSER for base load stationary combustion turbines is
the utilization of CCS at 90 percent capture. The EPA has determined
that 90 percent CCS meets the criteria for BSER for new base load
combustion turbines. It is an adequately demonstrated technology that
can be implemented a reasonable cost. Importantly, use of CCS at 90
percent capture results in significant reductions of CO2 as
compared to a base load combustion turbine without CCS. In addition,
the EPA has considered non-air quality and energy impacts. Considering
all these factors together, with particular emphasis on the importance
of significantly reducing carbon pollution from these heavily utilized
sources, the EPA concludes that
[[Page 39938]]
CCS at 90 percent capture is BSER for new base load combustion
turbines. In addition, selecting CCS at 90 percent capture further
promotes the development and implementation of this critical carbon
pollution reduction technology, which confirms the appropriateness of
determining it to be the BSER.
The BSER for base load combustion turbines contains two components
and the EPA is promulgating standards of performance to be implemented
in two phases with each phase reflecting the degree of emission
reduction achievable through the application of each component of the
BSER. The first component of the BSER is most efficient generation--an
affected new base load combustion turbine must be constructed (or
reconstructed) to meet a phase 1 emission standard that reflects the
emission rate of the best performing combustion turbine systems. The
phase 1 standard of performance for base load combustion turbines is in
effect immediately once the source begins operation. The second
component of the BSER, as just discussed, is use of CCS at a 90 percent
capture rate. The phase 2 standard of performance for base load
combustion turbines reflects the implementation of 90 capture CCS on a
highly efficient combined cycle combustion turbine system. The
compliance date begins January 1, 2032.
(I) January 2032 Compliance Date
The EPA proposed a compliance date beginning January 1, 2035, for
new and reconstructed base load stationary combustion turbines subject
to the phase 2 standard of performance based on CCS as the BSER. Some
commenters were supportive of the proposed compliance date and some
urged the EPA to set an earlier compliance date; the EPA also received
comments on the proposed rule that stated that the proposed compliance
date was not achievable and referenced longer project timelines for
CO2 capture. The EPA has considered the comments and
information available and is finalizing a compliance date of January 1,
2032, for the phase 2 standard of performance for base-load stationary
combustion turbines. The EPA is also finalizing a mechanism for a
compliance date extension of up to 1 year in cases where a source faces
a delay in the installation and startup of controls that are beyond the
control of the EGU owner or operator, as detailed in section VIII.N of
this preamble.
In total, the January 1, 2032, compliance date allows for more than
7 years for installation of CCS after issuance of this rule for sources
that have recently commenced construction. This is consistent with the
extended project schedule in the Sargent & Lundy report. This is also
greater than the approximately 6 years from start to finish for
Boundary Dam Unit 3 and Petra Nova.
As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E), the timing for installation
of CCS on existing coal-fired steam generating units is based on the
baseline project schedule for the capture plant developed by Sargent
and Lundy (S&L) \843\ and a review of the available information for
installation of CO2 pipelines and sequestration sites.\844\
The representative timeline for CCS for coal-fired steam generating
units is detailed in the final TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam
Generating Units, available in the docket, and the anticipated timeline
for development of a CCS project for application at a new or
reconstructed base load stationary combustion turbine would be similar.
The explanations the EPA provided in section VII.C.1.a.i(E) regarding
the timeline for long-term coal-fired steam generating units generally
apply to new combustion turbines as well. The EPA expects that the
owners or operators of affected combustion turbines will be able to
complete the design, planning, permitting, engineering, and
construction steps for the carbon capture and transport and storage
systems in a similar amount of time as projects for coal-fired EGUs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\843\ CO2 Capture Project Schedule and Operations
Memo, Sargent & Lundy (2024).
\844\ Transport and Storage Timeline Summary, ICF (2024).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While those considerations apply in general, the EPA notes that the
timeline for the installation of CCS on coal-fired steam generating
units accounted for the state plan development process. Because there
are not state plans required for new combustion turbines, new sources
can commit to beginning substantial work earlier (e.g., FEED studies,
right-of-way acquisition), immediately after the completion of
feasibility work. However, the EPA also recognizes that other elements
of a state plan (e.g., RULOF), by which a source under specific
circumstances could have a later compliance date, are not available to
new sources. Therefore, while the timeline for CCS on coal-fired steam
generating units is based on the baseline S&L capture plant schedule
(about 6.25 years), the EPA bases the timeline for CCS on new
combustion turbines on the extended S&L capture plant schedule (7
years).
As discussed, base load stationary combustion turbines that
commence construction or reconstruction on or after May 23, 2023, are
subject to standards of performance that are implemented initially in
two phases. New stationary combustion turbines that are designed and
constructed for the purpose of operating in the base load subcategory
(i.e., at a 12-operating month capacity factor of greater than 40
percent) that hypothetically commenced construction on May 23, 2023,
could, according to the schedule allowing, conservatively, up to 7
years to develop a CCS project, have a system constructed and on-line
by May 23, 2030. However, the EPA is finalizing a compliance date of
January 1, 2032, because some base load combined cycle stationary
combustion projects that commenced construction between May 23, 2023,
and the date of this final rule, may not have included CCS in the
original design and planning for the new EGU and, therefore, would be
unlikely to be able to have an operational CCS system available by May
23, 2030.
Further, the EPA notes that a delayed compliance date (of January
1, 2035) was proposed for the phase 2 standards of performance due to
overlapping demands on the capacity to design, construct, and operate
carbon capture systems as well as pipeline systems that would
potentially be needed to support CCS projects for existing steam
generating units and other industrial sources. As discussed in section
VII.C.1.a.i(E), in this action the EPA is finalizing a compliance date
of January 1, 2032 for long term coal-fired steam generating EGUs to
meet a standard of performance based on 90 percent capture CCS. This
compliance date for long-term coal-fired steam generating EGUs places
fewer demands on the capacity to design, construct, and operate carbon
capture systems and the associated infrastructure for those sources.
Therefore, the EPA does not believe that there is a need to extend the
compliance date for phase 2 standards for base load combustion turbine
EGUs by 5 years beyond that for existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs, as proposed.
Considering these factors, the EPA is therefore finalizing the
compliance date of January 1, 2032 for base load combustion turbine
EGUs to meet the phase 2 standard of performance. This is the same
compliance date applicable to existing long term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs that are subject to a standard of performance based on
90 percent capture CCS. The EPA assumes the timelines for development
of the various components of CCS for an existing coal-fired steam
generating
[[Page 39939]]
EGU, as discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E), are very similar for those
components for a CCS system serving a new or reconstructed base load
combustion turbine EGU.
Some commenters argued that because the power sector will require
some amount of time before CCS and associated infrastructure may be
installed on a widespread basis, CCS cannot be considered adequately
demonstrated. This argument is similar to the argument, discussed in
section V.C.2.b, that in order to be adequately demonstrated, a
technology must be in widespread commercial use. Both arguments are
incorrect. Under CAA section 111, for a control technology to qualify
as the BSER, the EPA must demonstrate that it is adequately
demonstrated for affected sources. The EPA must also show that the
industry can deploy the technology at scale in the compliance
timeframe. That the EPA has provided lead time in order to ensure
adequate time for industry to deploy the technology at scale shows that
the EPA is meeting its statutory obligation, not the inverse. Indeed,
it is not at all unusual for the EPA to provide lead time for industry
to deploy new technology. The EPA's approach is in line with the
statutory text and caselaw encouraging technology-forcing standard-
setting cabined by the EPA's obligation to ensure that its standards
are reasonable and achievable.
CCS is clearly adequately demonstrated, and ripe for wider
implementation. Nevertheless, the EPA acknowledged in the proposed
rule, and reaffirms now, that the power sector will require some amount
of lead time before individual plants can install CCS as necessary.
Deploying CCS requires the building of capture facilities, pipelines to
transport captured CO2 to sequestration sites, and the
development of sequestration sites. This is true for both existing
coal-fired steam generating EGUs, some of which would be required to
retrofit with CCS under the emission guidelines included in this final
rulemaking, and new gas-fired combustion turbine EGUs, which must
incorporate CCS into their construction planning.
In this final rulemaking, the EPA is setting a compliance deadline
of January 1, 2032 for the CCS-based standard for new base load
combustion turbines. The EPA determined, examining the evidence and
exercising its appropriate discretion to do so, that this is a
reasonable amount of time to allow for CCS buildout at the plant level.
As the EPA explained at proposal, D.C. Circuit caselaw supports this
approach. There, the EPA cited Portland Cement v. Ruckelshaus, for the
proposition that ``D.C. Circuit caselaw supports the proposition that
CAA section 111 authorizes the EPA to determine that controls qualify
as the BSER--including meeting the `adequately demonstrated'
criterion--even if the controls require some amount of `lead time,'
which the court has defined as `the time in which the technology will
have to be available.' '' (footnote omitted). Nothing in the comments
alters the EPA's view of the relevant legal requirements related to
adequate demonstration or lead time.
d. BSER for Base Load Subcategory--Third Component
The EPA proposed a third component of the BSER of 96 percent (by
volume) hydrogen co-firing in 2038 for owners/operators of base load
combustion turbines that elected to comply with the low-GHG hydrogen
co-firing pathway. As discussed in the next section, the EPA is not
finalizing the proposed BSER pathway of low-GHG hydrogen co-firing at
this time. Therefore, the Agency is not finalizing a third component of
the BSER for base load combustion turbines.
5. Technologies Proposed by the EPA But Ultimately Not Determined To Be
the BSER
The EPA is not finalizing its proposed BSER pathway of low-GHG
hydrogen co-firing for new and reconstructed base load and intermediate
load combustion turbines as part of this action. In light of public
comments and additional analysis, uncertainties regarding projected
costs prevent the EPA from determining that low-GHG hydrogen is a
component of the BSER at this time.
The next section provides a summary of the proposed requirements
for low-GHG hydrogen followed by, in section VIII.F.5.b, an explanation
for why the Agency is not finalizing its proposed determination that
low-GHG hydrogen co-firing is BSER. In section VIII.F.6, the EPA
discusses considerations for the potential use of hydrogen. In section
VIII.F.6.a, the Agency explains why it is not limiting the hydrogen
that may be co-fired in a new or reconstructed combustion turbine to
only low-GHG hydrogen. In section VIII.F.6.b, the Agency discusses its
decision to not include a definition of low-GHG hydrogen.
a. Proposed Low-GHG Hydrogen Co-Firing BSER
The EPA proposed that new and reconstructed intermediate load
combustion turbines were subject to a second component of the BSER that
consisted of co-firing 30 percent (by volume) low-GHG hydrogen by 2032.
The EPA also proposed that new and reconstructed base load combustion
turbines could elect either (i) a second component of BSER that
consisted of installing CCS by 2035, or (ii) a second and third
component of BSER that consisted of co-firing 30 percent (by volume)
low-GHG hydrogen by 2032 and co-firing 96 percent (by volume) low-GHG
hydrogen by 2038.
The EPA solicited comment on whether the Agency should finalize
both the CCS and low-GHG hydrogen co-firing pathways as separate
subcategories with separate standards of performance and on whether the
EPA should finalize one pathway with the option of meeting the standard
of performance using either system of emission reduction (88 FR 33277,
May 23, 2023). The EPA also solicited comment on the option of
finalizing a single standard of performance based on the application of
CCS for the base load subcategory (88 FR 33283, May 23, 2023).
b. Explanation for Not Finalizing Low-GHG Hydrogen Co-Firing as a BSER
The EPA is not finalizing a low-GHG hydrogen co-firing component of
the BSER at this time. The EPA proposed that co-firing low-GHG hydrogen
qualified as a BSER pathway because the components of the system met
specific criteria, namely that the capability of combustion turbines to
co-fire hydrogen was adequately demonstrated and there was a reasonable
expectation that the necessary quantities of low-GHG hydrogen would be
nationally available by 2032 and 2038 at reasonable cost. Due to
concerns raised by commenters, the EPA conducted additional analysis of
key components of the low-GHG hydrogen best system and the Agency's
proposed determination that low-GHG hydrogen co-firing qualified as the
BSER. This additional analysis, discussed further below, indicated that
the currently estimated cost of low-GHG hydrogen in 2030 is higher than
anticipated at proposal. These higher cost estimates were key factors
in the EPA's decision to revise its 2030 cost estimate for delivered
low-GHG hydrogen.
While the EPA is not finalizing a BSER determination with regard to
co-firing with low-GHG hydrogen as part of this rulemaking and is
therefore not making any determination about whether such a practice is
adequately demonstrated, the Agency notes that there are multiple
models of combustion turbines available from major manufacturers that
have successfully
[[Page 39940]]
demonstrated the ability to combust hydrogen. Manufacturers have stated
that they expect to have additional models of combustion turbines
available that will be capable of firing 100 percent hydrogen while
limiting emissions of other pollutants (e.g., NOX). The EPA
further discusses considerations around the technical feasibility of
hydrogen co-firing in new and reconstructed combustion turbines, and
what they mean for the potential use of hydrogen co-firing as a
compliance strategy, in section VIII.F.6 of this preamble.
While the EPA believes that hydrogen co-firing is technically
feasible based on combustion turbine technology, information about how
the low-GHG hydrogen production industry will develop in the future is
not sufficiently certain for the EPA to be able to determine that
adequate quantities will be available. That is, there remain, at the
time of this final rulemaking, uncertainties pertaining to how the
future nationwide availability of low-GHG hydrogen will develop.
Relatedly, estimates of its future costs are more uncertain than
anticipated at proposal. For low-GHG hydrogen to meet the BSER criteria
as proposed, the EPA would have to be able to determine that
significant quantities of low-GHG hydrogen will be available at
reasonable costs such that affected sources in the power sector
nationwide could rely on it for use by 2032 and 2038. While some
analyses \845\ show that this will likely be the case, the full set of
information necessary to support such a determination is not available
at this time. However, the EPA believes this may change as the low-GHG
hydrogen industry continues to develop. The Agency plans to monitor the
development of the industry; if appropriate, the EPA will reevaluate
its findings and establish standards of performance that achieve
additional emission reductions. Furthermore, as noted above, the EPA
considers the co-firing of hydrogen to be technically feasible in
multiple models of available combustion turbines.
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\845\ Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI). (November 3,
2023). Impact of IRA's 45V Clean Hydrogen Production Tax Credit.
White paper. https://www.epri.com/research/products/000000003002028407.
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As noted above, the EPA has revised its cost analysis of low-GHG
hydrogen and determined that, due to the present uncertainty, estimated
future hydrogen costs are higher than at proposal. The higher estimated
cost of low-GHG hydrogen relative to proposal is the key factor in the
EPA's decision to not finalize low-GHG hydrogen co-firing as a BSER
pathway for new and reconstructed base load and intermediate load
combustion turbines at this time.
In the proposal, the EPA modeled low-GHG hydrogen as a fuel
available at a fixed delivered \846\ price of $1/kg (or $7.40/MMBtu) in
the baseline. This cost decreased to $0.50/kg (or $3.70/MMBtu) in the
Integrated Proposal case when the second phase of the new combustion
turbine standard began in 2032. This fuel was assumed to be ``clean''
and eligible for the highest subsidy under the IRC section 45V hydrogen
production tax credit and would comply with the proposed requirement to
use low-GHG hydrogen (88 FR 33314, May 23, 2023). The EPA's revised
modeling of the power sector for the final rule used a price of $1.15/
kg for delivered low-GHG hydrogen in both the final baseline and policy
cases. For additional discussion of the EPA's revised modeling of the
power sector and increased cost estimate for low-GHG hydrogen, see the
final RIA included in the docket for this rulemaking.
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\846\ The delivered price includes the cost to produce,
transport, and store hydrogen.
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The U.S. Department of Energy's 2022 report, Pathways to Commercial
Liftoff: Clean Hydrogen, informed the EPA's revised low-GHG hydrogen
cost analysis. According to the DOE report, the cost to produce,
transport, store, and deliver low-GHG or ``clean'' hydrogen is expected
to be between $0.70/kg and $1.15/kg by 2030 with the IRA's $3/kg
maximum IRC section 45V production tax credit included.\847\ The report
also points out that the power sector is competing with other
industrial sectors--such as transportation, ammonia and chemical
production, oil refining, and steel manufacturing--in terms of
potential downstream applications of clean hydrogen for the purpose of
reducing GHG emissions. The DOE report also estimates that $0.40/kg to
$0.50/kg is the price the power sector would be willing to pay for
clean hydrogen.
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\847\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (March 2023). Pathways to
Commercial Liftoff: Clean Hydrogen. https://liftoff.energy.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/20230523-Pathways-to-Commercial-Liftoff-Clean-Hydrogen.pdf.
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Some analyses of future hydrogen costs provide estimates that are
higher than those of the DOE. For example, public commenters estimated
the cost of delivered ``clean'' hydrogen to be less than $3/kg by 2030
before declining to $2/kg by 2035. These estimates of delivered
hydrogen costs include the IRC section 45V hydrogen production tax
credits contained in the IRA, but they do not reflect regulations
proposed by the U.S. Department of the Treasury pertaining to clean
hydrogen production tax and energy credits, which proposed certain
eligibility parameters (88 FR 89220, December 26, 2023). Until
Treasury's regulations on the IRC section 45V hydrogen production tax
credit are final, some analysts only estimate future production costs
of hydrogen, not delivered costs, and do not include any projected
potential impacts of the IRA incentives. For example, both McKinsey and
BloombergNEF project the unsubsidized production cost of clean hydrogen
to be approximately $2/kg by 2030, which could lead to negative to zero
prices for some subsidized hydrogen after considering transportation
and storage.848 849 One of the highest estimates for the
unsubsidized production cost of clean hydrogen is from the Rhodium
Group, which estimates the price to be from $3.39/kg to $4.92/kg in
2030.\850\ Again, it should be noted these estimates do not include
additional costs for transportation and storage. The increased cost
projections for low-GHG hydrogen production are partly due to higher
costs for capital equipment, such as electrolyzers. The DOE published a
Program Record \851\ detailing higher costs than previously estimated
by levering data from the regional clean hydrogen hubs and other
literature. Costs increases are predominantly driven by inflation,
supply chain cost increases, and higher estimated installation costs.
However, there is a significant range in electrolyzer costs; some
companies cite costs that are significantly lower ($750-$900/kW
installed cost) \852\ than that published in the Program Record.
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\848\ Heid, B.; Sator, A.; Waardenburg, M.; and Wilthaner, M.
(25 Oct 2022). Five charts on hydrogen's role in a net-zero future.
McKinsey & Company. https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/sustainability/our-insights/five-charts-on-hydrogens-role-in-a-net-zero-future.
\849\ Schelling, K. (9 Aug 2023). Green Hydrogen to Undercut
Gray Sibling by End of Decade. BloombergNEF. https://about.bnef.com/blog/green-hydrogen-to-undercut-gray-sibling-by-end-of-decade/.
\850\ Larsen, J.; King, B.; Kolus, H.; Dasari, N.; Bower, G.;
and Jones, W. (12 Aug 2022). A Turning Point for US Climate
Progress: Assessing the Climate and Clean Energy Provisions in the
Inflation Reduction Act. Rhodium Group. https://rhg.com/research/climate-clean-energy-inflation-reduction-act/.
\851\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (February 22, 2024).
Summary of Electrolyzer Cost Data Synthesized from Applications to
the DOE Clean Hydrogen Hubs Program. DOE Hydrogen Program, Office of
Clean Energy Demonstrations Program Record. https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/docs/hydrogenprogramlibraries/pdfs/24002-summary-electrolyzer-cost-data.pdf.
\852\ Martin, P. (December 18, 2023). What gives Bill Gates-
backed start-up Electric Hydrogen the edge over other electrolyzer
makers? Hydrogen Insight. https://www.hydrogeninsight.com/electrolysers/what-gives-bill-gates-backed-start-up-electric-hydrogen-the-edge-over-other-electrolyser-makers-/2-1-1572694.
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[[Page 39941]]
6. Considerations for the Potential Use of Hydrogen
The ability of combustion turbines to co-fire hydrogen can
effectively reduce stack GHG emissions. Hydrogen also offers unique
solutions for decarbonization because of its potential to provide
dispatchable, clean energy with long-term storage and seasonal
capabilities. For example, hydrogen is an energy carrier that can
provide long-term storage of low-GHG energy that can be co-fired in
combustion turbines and used to balance load with the increasing
volumes of variable generation. These services support the reliability
of the power system while facilitating the integration of variable
zero-emitting energy resources and supporting decarbonization of the
electric grid. One technology with the potential to reduce curtailment
is energy storage, and some power producers envision a role for
hydrogen to supplement natural gas as a fuel to support the balancing
and reliability of an increasingly decarbonized electric grid.
Hydrogen is a zero-GHG emitting fuel when combusted, so that co-
firing it in a combustion turbine in place of natural gas reduces GHG
emissions at the stack. For this reason, certain owners/operators of
combustion turbines in the power sector may elect to co-fire hydrogen
in the coming years to reduce onsite GHG emissions.\853\ Co-firing low-
emitting fuels--sometimes referred to as clean fuels--is a traditional
type of emissions control. However, the EPA recognizes that even though
the combustion of hydrogen is zero-GHG emitting, its production can
entail a range of GHG emissions, from low to high, depending on the
method. These differences in GHG emissions from the different methods
of hydrogen production are well-recognized in the energy sector (88 FR
33306, May 23, 2023), and, in fact, hydrogen is generally characterized
by its production method and the attendant level of GHG emissions.
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\853\ In June 2022, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Loans
Program Office issued a $504.4 million loan guarantee to finance the
Advanced Clean Energy Storage (ACES) project in Delta, Utah. ACES
expects to utilize a 220 MW bank of electrolyzers and curtailed
renewable energy to produce clean hydrogen that will be stored in
salt caverns. The hydrogen will fuel an 840 MW combined cycle
combustion turbine at the Intermountain Power Project facility.
https://www.energy.gov/lpo/advanced-clean-energy-storage.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While the focus of this rule is the reduction of stack GHG
emissions from combustion turbines, the EPA also recognizes that, to
ensure overall GHG benefits, it is important any hydrogen used in the
power sector be low-GHG hydrogen. Thus, even though the EPA is not
finalizing the use of low-GHG hydrogen as a component of the BSER for
base load or intermediate load combustion turbines, it maintains that
the type of hydrogen used (i.e., the method by which the hydrogen was
produced) should be a primary consideration for any source that decides
to co-fire hydrogen. Again, the Agency reiterates its concern that
sources in the power sector that choose to co-fire hydrogen to reduce
their GHG emission rate should co-fire only low-GHG hydrogen to achieve
overall GHG reductions and important climate benefits.
In the proposal, the EPA solicited comment on whether it is
necessary to require low-GHG hydrogen. Similarly, the EPA also
solicited comment as to whether the low-GHG hydrogen requirement could
be treated as severable from the remainder of the standard such that
the standard could function without this requirement. The EPA also
solicited comment on a host of recordkeeping and reporting topics.
These pertained to the complexities of tracking the sources of
quantities of produced low-GHG hydrogen and the public interest in such
data.
a. Explanation for Not Requiring Hydrogen Used for Compliance To Be
Low-GHG Hydrogen
The EPA proposed that the type of hydrogen co-fired must be limited
to low-GHG hydrogen, and not include other types of hydrogen.\854\ This
requirement was proposed to prevent the anomalous outcome of a GHG
control strategy contributing to an increase in overall GHG emissions;
the provision that only low-GHG hydrogen could be used for compliance
mirrored the EPA's proposal that low-GHG hydrogen, in particular, could
qualify as a component of the BSER. For the reasons explained below,
the EPA is not finalizing a requirement that any hydrogen that sources
choose to co-fire must be low-GHG hydrogen. However, the Agency
continues to stress, notwithstanding the lack of requirement under this
rule, the importance of ensuring that any hydrogen used in combustion
turbines is low-GHG hydrogen. The EPA's choice to not finalize a low-
GHG requirement at this time is based in large part on knowledge of
current and future efforts that will reinforce the availability and
role of low-GHG hydrogen in the national economy and, more
specifically, in the power sector. As discussed further below, this
decision is against the backdrop of ongoing developments in the public
and private sectors, Treasury's regulations implementing a tax credit
for the production of clean hydrogen, multiple Federal government grant
and assistance programs, and the EPA's investigation into methods to
control emissions of air pollutants from hydrogen production.
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\854\ 88 FR 33240, 33315 (May 23, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA's decision to not require that any hydrogen used for
compliance be low-GHG hydrogen was based primarily on the current
market and policy developments regarding hydrogen production at this
particular point in time, including the clean hydrogen production tax
credits. There are currently multiple private and public efforts to
develop, inter alia, greenhouse gas accounting practices, verification
protocols, reporting conventions, and other elements that will help
determine how low-GHG hydrogen is measured, tracked, and verified over
the next several years. For example, Treasury is expected to finalize
parameters for evaluating overall emissions associated with hydrogen
production pathways as it prepares to implement IRC section 45V.\855\
The overall objective of Treasury's parameters is to recognize that
different methods of hydrogen production generate different amounts of
GHG emissions while encouraging lower-emitting production methods
through the multi-tier hydrogen production tax credit (IRC section 45V)
(see 88 FR 89220, December 26, 2023). In light of these nascent but
fast-moving efforts, the EPA does not believe it is reasonable or
helpful to prescribe its own definitions, protocols, and requirements
for low-GHG hydrogen at this point in time.
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\855\ U.S. Department of the Treasury. (October 5, 2022).
Treasury Seeks Public Input on Implementing the Inflation Reduction
Act's Clean Energy Tax Incentives. Press release. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy0993.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Furthermore, the Agency anticipates that combustion turbines will,
despite not being required to do so, use low-GHG hydrogen (to the
extent they are co-firing hydrogen as a compliance strategy). Depending
on market development in the coming decade, it is reasonable to expect
that any hydrogen used in the power sector would generally be low-GHG
hydrogen, even without a specific BSER pathway or low-GHG-only
requirement included in this final NSPS. For example, several utilities
with dedicated access to affordable low-GHG hydrogen are actively
developing co-firing projects with the goal of reducing their GHG
[[Page 39942]]
emissions. The infrastructure funding and tax incentives included in
the IIJA and the IRA are also driving the development of the low-GHG
hydrogen supply chain. These rapid changes in the hydrogen marketplace
not only counsel against the EPA's locking in its own requirements at
this time; they also provide confidence that greater quantities of low-
GHG hydrogen will be available moving forward, even if the precise
timing and quantity cannot currently be accurately forecast. The EPA
also provides information further below about its intentions to open a
non-regulatory docket to engage stakeholders on potential future
rulemakings for thermochemical-based hydrogen production facilities to
address issues pertaining to GHG, criteria, and HAP emissions.
i. Hydrogen Production and Associated GHGs
Hydrogen is used in industrial processes; in recent years,
applications of hydrogen co-firing have also expanded to include
stationary combustion turbines used to generate electricity. Several
commenters responded to the proposal by stating that to fully evaluate
the potential GHG emission reductions from co-firing low-GHG hydrogen
in a combustion turbine EGU, it is important to consider the different
processes for producing hydrogen and the GHG emissions associated with
each process. The EPA agrees that the method of hydrogen production is
critical to consider when assessing whether hydrogen co-firing actually
reduces overall GHG emissions. As stated previously, the varying levels
of CO2 emissions associated with different hydrogen
production processes are well-recognized, and stakeholders routinely
refer to hydrogen on the basis of the different production processes
and their different GHG profiles.
ii. Technological and Market Transformation of Low-GHG Hydrogen
Resources
In the proposal, the EPA highlighted ongoing efforts--independent
of any BSER pathway, requirement, or performance standard--of
combustion turbine manufacturers and industry stakeholders to research,
develop, and deploy hydrogen co-firing technologies (88 FR 33307, May
23, 2023). Their co-firing demonstrations are producing results, such
as increasing the percentages (by volume) of hydrogen that a turbine
can combust while answering questions regarding safety, performance,
reliability, durability, and the emission of other pollutants (e.g.,
NOX). Such efforts by industry to invest in the development
of hydrogen co-firing, and specifically in projects designed to co-fire
low-GHG hydrogen, in particular, give the EPA confidence that any
hydrogen that sources do choose to co-fire for compliance under this
rule will be low-GHG hydrogen. As these efforts progress, a sharper
understanding of costs will come into focus while significant Federal
funding--through grants, financial assistance programs, and tax
incentives included in the IIJA and the IRA discussed below--is
intended to support the continued development of a nationwide clean
hydrogen supply chain.
For the most part, companies that have announced that they are
exploring the use of hydrogen co-firing have stated that they intend to
use low-GHG hydrogen in the future as greater quantities of the fuel
become available at lower, stabilized prices. Many utilities and
merchant generators own and are developing low-GHG electricity
generating sources as well as combustion turbines, with the intent to
produce low-GHG hydrogen for sale and to use a portion of it to fuel
their stationary combustion turbines.856 857 This emerging
trend lends support to the view that, while acknowledging the
uncertainty of the ultimate timing of implementation, there is growing
interest in hydrogen co-firing in the power sector and stakeholders are
developing these resources with the intent to increase access to low-
GHG hydrogen as they increase hydrogen utilization in their co-firing
applications. Additional information provided by commenters and
analysis by the EPA identified several new combustion turbine projects
planning to co-fire low-GHG hydrogen, even though these low-GHG methods
of hydrogen production are not currently readily available on a
nationwide basis.858 859 860
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\856\ Mitsubishi Power. (2020). Intermountain Power Agency
Orders MHPS JAC Gas Turbine Technology for Renewable-Hydrogen Energy
Hub. https://power.mhi.com/regions/amer/news/200310.html.
\857\ Intermountain Power Agency (2022). https://www.ipautah.com/ipp-renewed/.
\858\ Los Angeles Department of Water & Power (2023). Initial
Study: Scattergood Generating Station Units 1 and 2 Green Hydrogen-
Ready Modernization Project. https://ceqanet.opr.ca.gov/2023050366.
\859\ https://clkrep.lacity.org/onlinedocs/2023/23-0039_rpt_DWP_02-03-2023.pdf.
\860\ Hering, G. (2021). First major US hydrogen-burning power
plant nears completion in Ohio. S&P Global Market Intelligence.
https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/electric-power/081221-first-major-us-hydrogen-burning-power-plant-nears-completion-in-ohio.
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iii. Infrastructure Funding and Tax Incentives Included in the IIJA and
IRA
In both the IIJA and the IRA, Congress provided extensive support
for the development of hydrogen produced through low-GHG methods. This
support includes investment in infrastructure through the IIJA, and the
provision of tax credits in the IRA to incentivize the manufacture of
hydrogen through low GHG-emitting methods over the coming decades. For
example, the IIJA included the H2Hubs program, the Clean Hydrogen
Manufacturing and Recycling Program, the Clean Hydrogen Electrolysis
Program, and a non-regulatory Clean Hydrogen Production Standard
(CHPS).\861\ In the IRA, Congress enacted or expanded tax credits to
encourage the production and use of low-GHG hydrogen.\862\ In addition,
as discussed in the proposal, IRA section 60107 added new CAA section
135, or the Low Emission Electricity Program (LEEP). This provision
provides $1 million for the EPA to assess the GHG emissions reductions
from changes in domestic electricity generation and use anticipated to
occur annually through fiscal year 2031; and further provides $18
million for the EPA to promulgate additional CAA rules to ensure GHG
emissions reductions that go beyond the reductions expected in that
assessment. CAA section 135(a)(5)-(6).
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\861\ U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). (September 22, 2022).
Clean Hydrogen Production Standard. Hydrogen and Fuel Cell
Technologies Office. https://www.energy.gov/eere/fuelcells/articles/clean-hydrogen-production-standard.
\862\ These tax credits include IRC section 45V (tax credit for
production of hydrogen through low- or zero-emitting processes), IRC
section 48 (tax credit for investment in energy storage property,
including hydrogen production), IRC section 45Q (tax credit for
CO2 sequestration from industrial processes, including
hydrogen production); and the use of hydrogen in transportation
applications, IRC section 45Z (clean fuel production tax credit),
IRC section 40B (sustainable aviation fuel credit).
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Given the incentives provided in both the IRA and IIJA for low-GHG
hydrogen production and the current trajectory of hydrogen use in the
power sector, by 2032, the start date for compliance with the proposed
second phase of the NSPS, low-GHG hydrogen may be more widely available
and possibly the most common source of hydrogen available for
electricity production. It is also possible that the cost of delivered
low-GHG hydrogen will continue to decline toward the DOE's Hydrogen
Shot target. These expectations are based on a combination of economies
of scale as low-GHG production methods expand, the increasing
availability of low-cost input electricity--largely powered by zero- or
low-emitting energy sources--
[[Page 39943]]
and learning by doing as more combustion turbine projects are
developed. The EPA recognizes that the pace and scale of government
programs and private research suggest that the Agency will gain
significant experience and knowledge on this topic in the future.
iv. EPA Non-Regulatory Docket and Stakeholder Engagement on Potential
Regulatory Approaches for Emissions From Thermochemical Hydrogen
Production
In addition to the ongoing industry development of and
Congressional support for low-GHG hydrogen, the EPA is also taking
steps consistent with the importance of mitigating GHG emissions
associated with hydrogen production. On September 15, 2023, the EPA
received a petition from the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF) along
with 13 other health, environmental, and community groups, to regulate
fossil and other thermochemical methods of hydrogen production given
the current emissions from these facilities and the anticipated growth
in the sector spurred by IRA incentives. The petition notes that
facilities producing hydrogen for sale produced about 10 MMT of
hydrogen and emitted more than 40 MMT of CO2e in 2020.\863\
Regulatory safeguards are advocated by petitioners to help ensure that
the anticipated growth in this sector does not result in an unbounded
increase in emissions of GHGs, criteria, and hazardous air pollutants
(HAP). The petition requests that the EPA list hydrogen production
facilities as significant sources of pollution under CAA sections 111
and 112, and that the EPA develop both standards of performance for new
and modified hydrogen production facilities as well as emission
guidelines for existing facilities. The development of emission
standards for HAP, including but not limited to methanol, was also
requested by petitioners. Petitioners assert that emissions of
CO2, NOX, and PM should be addressed under the
EPA's section 111 authorities, and HAP should be addressed by EPA
regulations under section 112.\864\ The EPA is reviewing the petition.
As a predicate to potential future rulemakings, the Agency is
developing a set of framing questions and opening a non-regulatory
docket to solicit public comment on potential approaches for regulation
of GHGs and criteria pollutants under CAA section 111 and an
exploration of the appropriateness of regulating HAP emissions under
CAA section 112 and on potential section 114 reporting requirements to
address this growing industry.
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\863\ Petition for Rulemaking to List and Establish National
Emission Standards for Hydrogen Production Facilities under the
Clean Air Act Sections 111 and 112. The petition can be accessed at
https://www.edf.org/sites/default/files/2023-09/Petition%20for%20Rulemaking%20-%20Hydrogen%20Production%20Facilities%20-%20CAA%20111%20and%20112%20-%20EDF%20et%20al.pdf.
\864\ Id.
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b. Definition of Low-GHG Hydrogen
The EPA proposed to define low-GHG hydrogen as hydrogen produced
with emissions of less than 0.45 kg CO2e/kg H2,
from well-to-gate, which aligned with the highest of the four tiers of
tax credits available for hydrogen production, IRC section
45V(b)(2)(D). At that GHG emission rate or less, hydrogen producers are
eligible for a tax credit of $3/kg. With these provisions, Congress
indicated its judgement as to what GHG levels could be attained by the
lowest-GHG hydrogen production, and its intention to incentivize
production of that type of hydrogen. Congress's views informed the
EPA's proposal to define low-GHG hydrogen for purposes of making the
BSER for this CAA section 111 rulemaking consistent with IRC section
45V(b)(2)(D).
The EPA solicited comment broadly on its proposed definition for
low-GHG hydrogen, and on alternative approaches, to help develop
reporting and recordkeeping requirements that would have ensured that
co-firing low-GHG hydrogen minimized GHG emissions, and that combustion
turbines subject to this standard utilized only low-GHG hydrogen. The
EPA also solicited comment on whether it was necessary to provide a
definition of low-GHG hydrogen in this final rule.
The EPA is not finalizing a definition of low-GHG hydrogen in this
action. Because the Agency is not finalizing co-firing with low-GHG
hydrogen as a component of the BSER for certain combustion turbines and
is not finalizing a requirement that any hydrogen co-fired for
compliance by low-GHG hydrogen, there is no reason to finalize a
definition of low-GHG hydrogen at this time.
7. Other Options for BSER
The EPA considered several other systems of emission reduction as
candidates for the BSER for combustion turbines but is not determining
them to be the BSER. They include partial capture CCS, CHP and the
hybrid power plant, as discussed below.
a. Partial Capture CCS
Partial capture for CCS was not determined to be BSER because the
emission reductions are lower and the costs would, in general, be
higher. As discussed in section IV, individual natural gas-fired
combined cycle combustion turbines are the second highest-emitting
individual plants in the nation, and the natural gas-fired power plant
sector is higher-emitting than all other sectors. CCS at 90 percent
capture removes very high absolute amounts of emissions. Partial
capture CCS would fail to capture large quantities of emissions. With
respect to costs, designs for 90 percent capture in general take
greater advantage of economy of scale. Eligibility for the IRC section
45Q tax credit for existing EGUs requires design capture rates
equivalent to 75 percent of a baseline emission rate by mass. Sources
with partial capture rates that do not meet that requirement would not
be eligible for the tax credit and as a result, for them, the CCS
requirement would be too expensive to qualify for as the BSER. Even
assuming partial capture rates meet that definition, lower capture
rates would receive fewer returns from the IRC section 45Q tax credit
(since these are tied to the amount of carbon sequestered, and all else
equal lower capture rates would result in lower amounts of sequestered
carbon) and costs would thereby be higher.
b. Combined Heat and Power (CHP)
CHP, also known as cogeneration, is the simultaneous production of
electricity and/or mechanical energy and useful thermal output from a
single fuel. CHP requires less fuel to produce a given energy output,
and because less fuel is burned to produce each unit of energy output,
CHP has lower-emission rates and can be more economic than separate
electric and thermal generation. However, a critical requirement for a
CHP facility is that it primarily generates thermal output and
generates electricity as a byproduct and must therefore be physically
close to a thermal host that can consistently accept the useful thermal
output. It can be particularly difficult to locate a thermal host with
sufficiently large thermal demands such that the useful thermal output
would impact the emissions rate. The refining, chemical manufacturing,
pulp and paper, food processing, and district energy systems tend to
have large thermal demands. However, the thermal demand at these
facilities is generally only sufficient to support a smaller EGU,
approximately a maximum of several hundred MW. This
[[Page 39944]]
would limit the geographically available locations where new generation
could be constructed in addition to limiting its size. Furthermore,
even if a sufficiently large thermal host were in close proximity, the
owner/operator of the EGU would be required to rely on the continued
operation of the thermal host for the life of the EGU. If the thermal
host were to shut down, the EGU could be unable to comply with the
standard of performance. This reality would likely result in difficulty
in securing funding for the construction of the EGU and could also lead
the thermal host to demand discount pricing for the delivered useful
thermal output. For these reasons, the EPA did not propose CHP as the
BSER.
c. Hybrid Power Plant
Hybrid power plants combine two or more forms of energy input into
a single facility with an integrated mix of complementary generation
methods. While there are multiple types of hybrid power plants, the
most relevant type for this proposal is the integration of solar energy
(e.g., concentrating solar thermal) with a fossil fuel-fired EGU. Both
coal-fired and combined cycle turbine EGUs have operated using the
integration of concentrating solar thermal energy for use in boiler
feed water heating, preheating makeup water, and/or producing steam for
use in the steam turbine or to power the boiler feed pumps.
One of the benefits of integrating solar thermal with a fossil
fuel-fired EGU is the lower capital and operation and maintenance (O&M)
costs of the solar thermal technology. This is due to the ability to
use equipment (e.g., HRSG, steam turbine, condenser, etc.) already
included at the fossil fuel-fired EGU. Another advantage is the
improved electrical generation efficiency of the non-emitting
generation. For example, solar thermal often produces steam at
relatively low temperatures and pressures, and the conversion of the
thermal energy in the steam to electricity is relatively low
efficiency. In a hybrid power plant, the lower quality steam is heated
to higher temperatures and pressures in the boiler (or HRSG) prior to
expansion in the steam turbine, where it produces electricity.
Upgrading the relatively low-grade steam produced by the solar thermal
facility in the boiler improves the relative conversion efficiencies of
the solar thermal to electricity process. The primary incremental costs
of the non-emitting generation in a hybrid power plant are the costs of
the mirrors, additional piping, and a steam turbine that is 10 to 20
percent larger than that in a comparable fossil-only EGU to accommodate
the additional steam load during sunny hours. A drawback of integrating
solar thermal is that the larger steam turbine will operate at part
loads and reduced efficiency when no steam is provided from the solar
thermal panels (i.e., the night and cloudy weather). This limits the
amount of solar thermal that can be integrated into the steam cycle at
a fossil fuel-fired EGU.
In the 2018 Annual Energy Outlook,\865\ the levelized cost of
concentrated solar power (CSP) without transmission costs or tax
credits is $161/MWh. Integrating solar thermal into a fossil fuel-fired
EGU reduces the capital cost and O&M expenses of the CSP portion by 25
and 67 percent compared to a stand-alone CSP EGU respectively.\866\
This results in an effective LCOE for the integrated CSP of $104/MWh.
Assuming the integrated CSP is sized to provide 10 percent of the
maximum steam turbine output and the relative capacity factors of a
combined cycle turbine and the CSP (those capacity factors are 65 and
25 percent, respectively) the overall annual generation due to the
concentrating solar thermal would be 3 percent of the hybrid EGU
output. This would result in a 3 percent reduction in the overall
CO2 emissions and a 1 percent increase in the LCOE, without
accounting for any reduction in the steam turbine efficiency. However,
these costs do not account for potential reductions in the steam
turbine efficiency due to being oversized relative to a non-hybrid EGU.
A 2011 technical report by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory
(NREL) cited analyses indicating that solar augmentation of fossil
power stations is not cost-effective, although likely less expensive
and containing less project risk than a stand-alone solar thermal
plant. Similarly, while commenters stated that solar augmentation has
been successfully integrated at coal-fired plants to improve overall
unit efficiency, commenters did not provide any new information on
costs or indicate that such augmentation is cost-effective.
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\865\ EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2018, February 6, 2018. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/.
\866\ B. Alqahtani and D. Pati[ntilde]o-Echeverri, Duke
University, Nicholas School of the Environment, ``Integrated Solar
Combined Cycle Power Plants: Paving the Way for Thermal Solar,''
Applied Energy 169:927-936 (2016).
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In addition, solar thermal facilities require locations with
abundant sunshine and significant land area in order to collect the
thermal energy. Existing concentrated solar power projects in the U.S.
are primarily located in California, Arizona, and Nevada with smaller
projects in Florida, Hawaii, Utah, and Colorado. NREL's 2011 technical
report on the solar-augment potential of fossil-fired power plants
examined regions of the U.S. with ``good solar resource as defined by
their direct normal insolation (DNI)'' and identified sixteen states as
meeting that criterion: Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado,
Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico, North
Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. The
technical report explained that annual average DNI has a significant
effect on the performance of a solar-augmented fossil plant, with
higher average DNI translating into the ability of a hybrid power plant
to produce more steam for augmenting the plant. The technical report
used a points-based system and assigned the most points for high solar
resource values. An examination of a NREL-generated DNI map of the U.S.
reveals that states with the highest DNI values are located in the
southwestern U.S., with only portions of Arizona, California, Nevada,
New Mexico, and Texas (plus Hawaii) having solar resources that would
have been assigned the highest points by the NREL technical report (7
kWh/m2/day or greater).
Commenters supported not incorporating hybrid power plants as part
of the BSER, and the EPA is not including hybrid power plants as part
of the BSER because of gaps in the EPA's knowledge about costs, and
concerns about the cost-effectiveness of the technology, as noted
above.
G. Standards of Performance
Once the EPA has determined that a particular system or technology
represents BSER, the CAA authorizes the Administrator to establish
standards of performance for new units that reflect the degree of
emission limitation achievable through the application of that BSER. As
noted above, the EPA is finalizing a two-phase set of standards of
performance, which reflect a two-component BSER, for base load
combustion turbines. Under this approach, for the first phase of the
standards, which applies as of the effective date the final rule, the
BSER is highly efficient generation and best operating and maintenance
practices. During this phase, owners/operators of EGUs will be subject
to a numeric standard of performance that is representative of the
performance of the best performing EGUs in the subcategory. For the
second phase of the standards, beginning in 2035, the BSER for base
load turbines includes 90
[[Page 39945]]
percent capture CCS. The affected EGUs will be subject to an emissions
rate that reflects continued use of highly efficient generation and
best operating and maintenance practices, coupled with CCS. In
addition, the EPA is finalizing a single component BSER, applicable
from May 23, 2023, for low and intermediate load combustion turbines.
1. Phase-1 Standards
The first component of the BSER is the use of highly efficient
combined cycle technology for base load EGUs in combination with the
best operating and maintenance practices, the use of highly efficient
simple cycle technology in combination with the best operating and
maintenance practices for intermediate load EGUs, and the use of lower-
emitting fuels for low load EGUs.
The EPA proposed that for base load combustion turbines, the first-
component BSER supports a standard of 770 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for large natural gas-fired EGUs, i.e., those with a base load rating
heat input greater than 2,000 MMBtu/h; 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for small natural gas-fired EGUs, i.e., those with a base load rating
of 250 MMBtu/h; and between 900 and 770 lb CO2/MWh-gross,
based on the base load rating of the EGU, for natural gas-fired EGUs
with base load ratings between 250 MMBtu/h and 2,000 MMBtu/h.\867\ The
EPA proposed that the most efficient available simple cycle
technology--which qualifies as the BSER for intermediate load
combustion turbines--supports a standard of 1,150 lb CO2/
MWh-gross for natural gas-fired EGUs. For new and reconstructed low
load combustion turbines, the EPA proposed to find that the use of
lower-emitting fuels--which qualifies as the BSER--supports a standard
that ranges from 120 lb CO2/MMBtu to 160 lb CO2/
MMBtu depending on the fuel burned. The EPA proposed these standards to
apply at all times and compliance to be determined on a 12-operating
month rolling average basis.
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\867\ As proposed, a new small natural gas-fired base load EGU
would determine the facility emissions rate by taking the difference
in the base load rating and 250 MMBtu/h, multiplying that number by
0.0743 lb CO2/(MW * MMBtu), and subtracting that number
from 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross. The emissions rate for a
natural gas-fired base load combustion turbine with a base load
rating of 1,000 MMBtu/h is 900 lb CO2/MWh-gross minus 750
MMBtu/h (1,000 MMBtu/h-250 MMBtu/h) times 0.0743 lb CO2/
(MW * MMBtu), which results in an emissions rate of 844 lb
CO2/MWh-gross.
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The EPA proposed that these standards of performance are achievable
specifically for natural gas-fired base load and intermediate load
combustion turbine EGUs. However, combustion turbine EGUs burn a
variety of fuels, including fuel oil during natural gas curtailments.
Owners/operators of combustion turbines burning fuels other than
natural gas would not necessarily be able to comply with the proposed
standards for base load and intermediate load natural gas-fired
combustion turbines using highly efficient generation. Therefore, the
Agency proposed that owners/operators of combustion turbines burning
fuels other than natural gas may elect to use the ratio of the heat
input-based emissions rate of the specific fuel(s) burned to the heat
input-based emissions rate of natural gas to determine a source-
specific standard of performance for the operating period. For example,
the NSPS emissions rate for a large base load combustion turbine
burning 100 percent distillate oil during the 12-operating month period
would be 1,070 lb CO2/MWh-gross.\868\
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\868\ The heat input-based emission rates of natural gas and
distillate oil are 117 and 163 lb CO2/MMBtu,
respectively. The ratio of the heat input-based emission rates
(1.39) is multiplied by the natural gas-fired standard of
performance (770 lb CO2/MWh) to get the applicable
emissions rate (1,070 lb CO2/MWh).
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Some commenters stated that the proposed base load emissions
standard based on highly efficient generation is not adequately
demonstrated, and that site conditions and certain operating parameters
are outside of the control of the owner/operator. These commenters
explained that the emissions rate of a combustion turbine is dependent
on external and site-specific factors, rather than the design
efficiency. Factors such as warmer climates, elevation, water
conservation measures (e.g., the use of dry cooling), and automatic
generation control negatively impacted efficiency. They emphasized that
operating units at partial loads would be necessary for maintaining
grid reliability, especially as more renewables are incorporated, and
the proposed limit is only achievable under ideal operating conditions.
Commenters noted that the emission standards should account for start
and stop cycles, back-up fuel use, degradation, and compliance
tolerance. Commenters stated that the lack of flexibility would force
units to operate at nameplate capacity, even when it was unnecessary
and could result in increased emissions. In addition, some commenters
stated that duct burners could be an alternative to simple cycle
turbines for peaking generation, even though they were less efficient
than combined cycle turbines without duct burners. They recommended the
Agency consider excluding emissions and heat input from duct burners
from the emissions standard. Furthermore, commenters noted multiple
units that the EPA used in the analysis to support the proposed base
load standards were permitted near or above 800 lb CO2/MWh.
Commenters stated that the original equipment manufacturer would not be
able to provide a warranty that the proposed 12-month rolling emissions
rate is achievable due to the varying operating conditions. Commenters
recommended the EPA raise the emissions standard to 850 or 900 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for large base load combustion turbines. In
addition, commenters suggested that the EPA incorporate scaling for
smaller units to 1,100 lb CO2/MWh-gross, and the beginning
of the sliding scale should be at least 2,500 MMBtu/h.
a. Base Load Phase-1 Emission Standards
Considering the public comments, the EPA re-evaluated the phase-1
standard of performance for base load combustion turbines. To determine
the impact of duty cycle and temperature, the EPA binned hourly data by
load and season. This allowed the Agency to isolate the impact of
ambient temperature and duty cycle separately. The EPA evaluated the
impact of ambient temperature by comparing the average emissions for
all hours between 70 to 80 percent load during different seasons. For
the combined cycle turbines evaluated, the difference between the
summer and winter average emission rates was minimal, typically in the
single digits and less than a 1 percent difference in emission rates.
Since the seasonal temperature differences are much larger than
regional variations, the EPA determined that regional ambient
temperature has minimal impact on the emissions rate of combined cycle
EGUs. Owners/operators of combined cycle EGUs are either using inlet
cooling effectively to manage the efficiency losses of the combustion
turbine engine or increased generation from the Rankine cycle portion
(i.e., HRSG and steam turbine) of the combined cycle turbine is
offsetting efficiency losses in the combustion turbine engine.\869\ In
addition, the variation in emissions rate by load (described below) is
much larger than temperature and therefore the operating load is a more
important factor than ambient temperature impacting CO2
emission rates.
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\869\ As the efficiency of the combustion turbine engine is
reduced at higher ambient temperatures relatively more heat is in
the exhaust entering the HRSG. This can increase the output from the
steam turbine.
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Based on the emissions data submitted to the EPA, combined cycle
[[Page 39946]]
CO2 emission are lowest at between approximately 80 to 90
percent load. Emission rates are relatively stable at higher loads and
down to approximately 70 percent load--typically 1 or 2 percent higher
than the lowest emissions rate. Emissions can increase dramatically at
lower loads and could impact the ability of an owner/operator to comply
with the base load standard. The EPA considered two approaches to
address potential compliance issues for owners/operators of base load
combustion turbines operating at lower duty cycles. The first approach
was to calculate emission rates using only hourly data when the
combined cycle turbine was operating at an hourly load of 70 percent or
higher. However, this has minimal impact on the calculated base load
emissions rate. This is because of 2 reasons. First, the majority of
operating hours for base load combustion turbines are at 70 percent
load or higher. In addition, the 12-operating month averages are
determined by the overall sum of the CO2 emissions divided
by the overall output during the 12-operating month period and not the
average of the individual hourly rates. The impact of this approach is
that low load hours have smaller impacts on the 12-operating month
average relative to high load hours. Therefore, the EPA determined that
using only higher load hours to determine the base load emission rates
would not address potential issues for owners/operators of base load
combustion turbines operating at relative low duty cycles (i.e., low
hourly capacity factors).
The second approach the EPA considered, and is finalizing, is
estimating the emissions rate of combined cycle turbines at the lower
end of the base load threshold--where more hours of low load operation
could potentially be included in the 12-operating month average--and
establishing a standard of performance that is achievable at lower
percent of potential electric sales for the base load subcategory. To
determine what emission rates are currently achieved by existing high-
efficiency combined cycle EGUs, the EPA reviewed 12-operating month
generation and CO2 emissions data from 2015 through 2023 for
all combined cycle turbines that submitted continuous emissions
monitoring system (CEMS) data to the EPA's emissions collection and
monitoring plan system (ECMPS). The data were sorted by the lowest
maximum 12-operating month emissions rate for each unit to identify
long-term emission rates on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis that
have been demonstrated by the existing combined cycle EGU fleets. Since
an NSPS is a never-to-exceed standard, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing a conclusion that use of long-term data are more appropriate
than shorter term data in determining an achievable standard. These
long-term averages account for degradation and variable operating
conditions, and the EGUs should be able to maintain their current
emission rates, as long as the units are properly maintained. While
annual emission rates indicate a particular standard is achievable for
certain EGUs in the short term, they are not necessarily representative
of emission rates that can be maintained over an extended period using
highly efficient generating technology in combination with best
operating and maintenance practices.
To determine the 12-operating month average emissions rate that is
achievable by application of the BSER, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing an approach to calculating 12-month CO2 emission
rates by dividing the sum of the CO2 emissions by the sum of
the gross electrical energy output over the same period. The EPA did
this separately for combined cycle EGUs and simple cycle EGUs to
determine the emissions rate for the base load and intermediate load
subcategories, respectively. Commenters generally supported the 12-
month rolling average for emission standard compliance.
The average maximum 12-operating month base load emissions rate for
large combined cycle turbines that began operation since 2015 is 810 lb
CO2/MWh-gross. The range of the maximum 12-operating month
emissions rate for individual units is 720 to 920 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. The lowest emissions rate was achieved by an individual unit
at the Okeechobee Clean Energy Center. This facility is a large 3-on-1
combined cycle EGU that commenced operation in 2019 and uses a
recirculating cooling tower for the steam cycle. Each turbine is rated
at 380 MW and the three HRSGs feed a single steam turbine of 550 MW.
The EPA did not propose to use the emissions rate of this EGU to
determine the standard of performance for multiple reasons. The
Okeechobee Clean Energy Center uses a 3-on-1 multi-shaft configuration
but, many combined cycle EGUs use a 1-on-1 configuration. Combined
cycle EGUs using a 1-on-1 configuration can be designed such that both
the combustion turbine and steam turbine are arranged on one shaft and
drive the same generator. This configuration has potential capital cost
and maintenance costs savings and a smaller plant footprint that can be
particularly important for combustion turbines enclosed in a building.
In addition, a single shaft configuration has higher net efficiencies
when operated at part load than a multi-shaft configuration. Basing the
standard of performance strictly on the performance of multi-shaft
combined cycle EGUs could limit the ability of owners/operators to
construct new combined cycle EGUs in space-constrained areas (typically
urban areas \870\) and combined cycle EGUs with the best performance
when operated as intermediate load EGUs.\871\ Either of these outcomes
could result in greater overall emissions from the power sector. An
advantage of multi-shaft configurations is that the turbine engine can
be installed initially and run as a simple cycle EGU, with the HRSG and
steam turbines added at a later date, all of which allows for more
flexibility for the regulated community. In addition, a single large
steam turbine in a 2-1 or 3-1 configuration can generate electricity
more efficiently than multiple smaller steam turbines, increasing the
overall efficiency of comparably sized combined cycle EGUs. According
to Gas Turbine World 2021, multi-shaft combined cycle EGUs have design
efficiencies that are 0.7 percent higher than single shaft combined
cycle EGUs using the same turbine engine.\872\
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\870\ Generating electricity closer to electricity demand can
reduce stress on the electric grid, reducing line losses and freeing
up transmission capacity to support additional generation from
variable renewable sources. Further, combined cycle EGUs located in
urban areas could be designed as CHP EGUs, which have potential
environmental and economic benefits.
\871\ Power sector modeling projects that combined cycle EGUs
will operate at lower capacity factors in the future. Combined cycle
EGUs with lower base load efficiencies but higher part load
efficiencies could have lower overall emission rates.
\872\ According to the data in Gas Turbine World 2021, while
there is a design efficiency advantage of going from a 1-on-1
configuration to a 2-on-1 configuration (assuming the same turbine
engine), there is no efficiency advantage of 3-on-1 configurations
compared to 2-on-1 configurations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The efficiency of the Rankine cycle (i.e., HRSG plus the steam
turbine) is determined in part by the ability to cool the working fluid
(e.g., steam) after it has been expanded through the turbine. All else
equal, the lower the temperature that can be achieved, the more
efficient the Rankine cycle. The Okeechobee Clean Energy Center used a
recirculating cooling system, which can achieve lower temperatures than
EGUs using dry cooling systems and therefore would be more efficient
and have a lower emissions rate. However dry cooling systems have lower
water requirements and therefore could be the preferred technology in
arid regions or
[[Page 39947]]
in areas where water requirements could have significant ecological
impacts. Therefore, the EPA proposed and is finalizing that the
efficient generation standard for base load EGUs should account for the
use of cooling technologies with reduced water requirements.
Finally, the Okeechobee Clean Energy Center operates primarily at
high duty cycles where efficiency is the highest and since it is a
relatively new facility efficiency degradation might not be accounted
for in the emissions analysis. Therefore, the EPA is not determining
that the performance of the Okeechobee Clean Energy Facility is
appropriate for a nationwide standard.
The proposed emissions rate of 770 lb CO2/MWh-gross has
been demonstrated by approximately 15 percent of recently constructed
large combined cycle EGUs. As noted in the proposal, these combustion
turbines include combined cycle EGUs using 1-on-1 configurations, dry
cooling, and combustion turbines on the lower end of the large base
load subcategory. In addition, this emissions rate has been
demonstrated by using combustion turbines from multiple manufacturers
and from one facility that commenced operation in 2011--demonstrating
the long-term achievability of the proposed emissions standard.
However, as noted by commenters the majority of recently constructed
combined cycle turbines are not achieving an emissions rate of 770 lb
CO2/MWh-gross and combustion turbine manufacturers might not
be willing to guarantee this emissions level in operating making it
challenging to build a new combined cycle EGU.
To account for differences in the performance of the best
performing combustion turbines and design options that result in less
efficient operation, the EPA normalized the reported emission rates for
combined cycle EGUs.\873\ Specifically, for the reported emissions
rates of combined cycle turbines with cooling towers was increased by
1.0 percent to account for potential new units using dry cooling.
Similarly, the emissions rate of 2-1 and 3-1 combined cycle turbines
were increased by 1.4 percent to account for potential new units using
a 1-1 configuration. In addition, for the best performing combined
cycle turbines, the EPA plotted the 12-operating month emissions rate
against the 12-operating month heat input-based capacity factor. Based
on this data, the EPA used the trend in increasing emission rates at
lower 12-operating month capacity factors to estimate the emissions
rate at capacity factors at which an individual facility has never
operated. This approach allowed the EPA to estimate the emissions rate
at a 40 percent 12-operating month capacity factor for the best
performing combined cycle turbines. This allows the estimation of the
emissions rate at the lower end of the base load subcategory using
higher capacity factor data.\874\ The EPA did not correct the
achievable emissions rate for combined cycle turbines where the
relationship indicated emission rates declined at lower 12-operating
month capacity factors.
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\873\ A similar normalization approach was used by the EPA in
previous EGU GHG NSPS rulemakings to benchmark the performance of
coal-fired EGUs when determining an achievable efficiency-based
standard of performance.
\874\ The most efficient combined cycle turbines tend to operate
strictly as base load combustion turbines, well above the base load
subcategorization threshold.
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As noted in the proposal, one of the best performing large combined
cycle EGUs that has maintained a 12-operating-month base load emissions
rate of 770 lb CO2/MWh-gross is the Dresden plant, located
in Ohio.\875\ This 2-on-1 combined cycle facility uses a recirculating
cooling tower. The turbine engines are rated at 2,250 MMBtu/h, which
demonstrates that the standard of performance for large base load
combustion turbines is achievable at a heat input rating of 2,000
MMBtu/h. As noted, a 2-on-1 configuration and a cooling tower are more
efficient than a 1-on-1 configuration and dry cooling. Normalizing for
these factors and accounting for operation at a 12-operating month
capacity factor of 40 percent increases the achievable demonstrated
emissions rate to 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross. However, the Dresden
Energy Facility does not use the most efficient combined cycle design
currently available. Multiple more efficient designs have been
developed since the Dresden Energy Facility commenced operation a
decade ago that more than offset these efficiency losses. Therefore,
the EPA has determined that the Dresden combined cycle EGU demonstrates
that an emissions rate of 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross is achievable
for all new large combined cycle EGUs with an acceptable compliance
margin. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a phase 1 standard of
performance of 800 lb CO2/MWh-gross for large base load
combustion turbines (i.e., those with a base load rating heat input
greater than 2,000 MMBtu/h) based on the BSER of highly efficient
combined cycle technology.
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\875\ The Dresden Energy Facility is listed as being located in
Muskingum County, Ohio, as being owned by the Appalachian Power
Company, as having commenced commercial operation in late 2011. The
facility ID (ORISPL) is 55350 1A and 1B.
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With respect to small combined cycle combustion turbines, the best
performing unit identified by the EPA is the Holland Energy Park
facility in Holland, Michigan, which commenced operation in 2017 and
uses a 2-on-1 configuration and a cooling tower.\876\ The 50 MW turbine
engines have individual heat input ratings of 590 MMBtu/h and serve a
single 45 MW steam turbine. The facility has maintained a 12-operating
month, 99 percent confidence emissions rate of 870 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. The emissions standard for a base load combustion turbine of
this size is 880 lb CO2/MWh-gross. The normalized emissions
rate accounting for the use of recirculating cooling towers, a 2-1
configuration, and operation at a 40 percent capacity factor is 900 lb
CO2/MWh-gross. While this is higher than the final emissions
standard in this rule, there are efficient generation technologies that
are not being used at the Holland Energy Park. For example, a
commercially available HRSG that uses supercritical CO2
instead of steam as the working fluid is available. This HRSG would be
significantly more efficient than the HRSG that uses dual pressure
steam, which is common for small combined cycle EGUs.\877\ When these
efficiency improvements are accounted for, a similar combined cycle EGU
would be able to maintain an emissions rate of 880 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. In addition, the normalization approach assumes a worst-case
scenario. Hybrid cooling technologies are available and offer
performance similar to that of wet cooling towers. This long-term data
accounts for degradation and variable operating conditions and
demonstrates that a base load combustion turbine EGU with a turbine
rated at 590 MMBtu/h should be able to maintain an emissions rate of
880 lb CO2/MWh-gross.\878\ Therefore, estimating that
[[Page 39948]]
emission rates will be slightly higher for smaller combustion turbines,
the EPA is finalizing a phase 1 standard of performance of 900 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for small base load combustion turbines (i.e.,
those with a base load rating of 250 MMBtu/h) based on the BSER of
highly efficient combined cycle technology.
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\876\ The Holland Park Energy Center is a CHP system that uses
hot water in the cooling system for a snow melt system that uses a
warm water piping system to heat the downtown sidewalks to clear the
snow during the winter. Since this useful thermal output is low
temperature, it likely only results in a small reduction of the
electrical efficiency of the EGU. If the useful thermal output were
accounted for, the emissions rate of the Holland Energy Park would
be lower. The facility ID (ORISPL) is 59093 10 and 11.
\877\ If the combustion turbine engine exhaust temperature is
500 [deg]C or greater, a HRSG using 3 pressure steam without a
reheat cycle could potentially provide an even greater increase in
efficiency (relative to a HRSG using 2 pressure steam without a
reheat cycle).
\878\ To estimate an achievable emissions rate for an efficient
combined cycle EGU at 250 MMBtu/h the EPA assumed a linear
relationship for combined cycle efficiency with turbine engines with
base load ratings of less than 2,000 MMBtu/h.
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b. Intermediate Load Emission Standards
For the intermediate load standards of performance, some commenters
stated that an emissions standard of 1,150 lb CO2/MWh-gross
is only achievable for simple cycle except under ideal operating
conditions. Since the emissions standard is not achievable in practice,
these commenters stated that the majority of new simple cycle turbines
would be prevented from operating as variable or intermediate load
units. Similar to comments on the base load emissions standard,
commenters stated the standard of performance should account for
ambient conditions, operation at part load, automatic generation
control, and variable loads. If the intermediate load standard is not
achievable in practice, it could result in the operation of less
efficient generation in other operating modes and an increase in
overall GHG emissions. They also explained this could force simple
cycle turbines to always operate at nameplate capacity, even when it
was not necessary, which would also lead to increased emissions. These
commenters requested that the EPA raise the variable and intermediate
load emissions standard to 1,250 to 1,300 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
Considering the public comments, the EPA re-evaluated the standard
of performance for intermediate load combustion turbines using the same
approach as for combined cycle turbines, except using the performance
of simple cycle EGUs. The average maximum 12-operating operating month
intermediate load emissions rate for simple cycle turbines that began
operation since 2015 is 1,210 lb CO2/MWh-gross. The range of
the maximum 12-operating month emissions rate for individual units is
1,080 to 1,470 lb CO2/MWh-gross. The lowest emissions rate
was achieved by an individual unit at the Scattergood Generating
Station. This facility includes 2 large aeroderivative simple cycle
turbines (General Electric LMS 100) that commenced operation in 2015.
Each turbine is rated at approximately 100 MW and use water injection
to reduce NOX emissions. The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing to use the emissions rate of this EGU to determine the
standard of performance for multiple reasons. Simple cycle turbine
efficiency tends to increase with size and the simple cycle turbines at
the Scattergood Facility are the largest aeroderivative turbines
available. Establishing a standard of performance based on emission
rates that only large aeroderivative turbines could achieve would limit
the ability to develop new firm combustion turbine based generating
capacity in smaller than 100 MW increments. This could result in the
local electric grid operating in a less overall efficient manner,
increasing overall GHG emissions. In addition, the largest available
aeroderivative simple cycle turbines can use either water injection or
dry low NOX combustion to reduce emissions of
NOX. For this particular design, the use of water injection
has higher design efficiencies than the dry low NOX option.
Water injection has similar ecological impacts as water used for
cooling towers, the EPA has determined in this case it is important to
preserve the option for new intermediate load combustion turbines to
use dry low NOX combustion.
The proposed emissions rate of 1,150 lb CO2/MWh-gross
was achieved by 20 percent of recently constructed intermediate load
simple cycle turbines. However, only two-thirds of LMS 100 simple cycle
turbines installed to date have maintained an intermediate load
emissions rate of 1,150 lb CO2/MWh-gross. In addition, only
one-third of the Siemens STG-A65 simple cycle turbines and only 10
percent of General Electric LM6000 simple cycle combustion turbine have
maintained this emissions rate. Both of these are common aeroderivative
turbines and since they do require an intercooler have potential space
consideration advantages compared to the LMS100. Finalizing the
proposed emissions standard could restrict new intermediate load simple
cycle turbine to the use of intercooling, limiting application to
locations that can support a cooling tower. An intermediate load
emissions rate of 1,170 lb CO2/MWh-gross has been achieved
by three-quarters of both the LMS100 and STG-A65 installations and 20
percent of LM6000 installations. In addition, this emissions rate has
been demonstrated by a frame simple turbine. The EPA notes that the
more efficient versions of the combustion turbines--water injection in
the case of the LMS 100 and DLN in the case of the STG-A65--have higher
design efficiencies and higher compliance levels than the version with
the alternate NOX control technology. This standard of
performance has been demonstrated by 40 percent of recently installed
intermediate load simple cycle turbines and the Agency has determined
that with proper maintenance is achievable with combustion turbines
from multiple manufacturers, with and without intercooling, and is
finalizing a standard of 1,170 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load combustion turbines. The EPA considered, but
rejected, finalizing an emissions standard of 1,190 lb CO2/
MWh-gross. This standard of performance has been achieved by
essentially all LMS 100 and SGT-A65 intermediate load simple cycle
turbines and 70 percent of recently installed intermediate load simple
cycle turbines but would not require the most efficient available
versions of new intermediate load simple cycle turbines and does not
represent the BSER.
2. Phase-2 Standards
The EPA proposed that 90 percent CCS (as part of the CCS pathway)
qualifies as the second component of the BSER for base load combustion
turbines. For the base load combustion turbines, the EPA reduced the
emissions rate by 89 percent to determine the CCS based phase-2
standards.\879\ The CCS percent reduction is based on a CCS system
capturing 90 percent of the emitting CO2 being operational
anytime the combustion turbine is operating. Similar to the phase-1
emission standards, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a decision that
standard of performance for base load combustion turbines be adjusted
based on the uncontrolled emission rates of the fuels relative to
natural gas. For 100 percent distillate oil-fired combustion turbines,
the emission rates would be 120 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\879\ The 89 percent reduction from CCS accounts for the
increased auxiliary load of a 90 percent post combustion amine-based
capture system. Due to rounding, the proposed numeric standards of
performance do not necessarily match the standards that would be
determined by applying the percent reduction to the phase-1
standards.
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The EPA solicited comment on the range of reduction in emission
rate of 75 to 90 percent. In addition, the EPA solicited comment on
whether carbon capture equipment has lower availability/reliability
than the combustion turbine or the CCS equipment takes longer to
startup than the combustion turbine itself there would be periods of
operation where the CO2 emissions would not be controlled by
the carbon capture equipment. For the same reasons as for coal-fired
EGUs, the EPA has determined 90 percent CCS
[[Page 39949]]
has been demonstrated and appropriate for base load combustion
turbines, see section VII.C.
H. Reconstructed Stationary Combustion Turbines
All the major manufacturers of combustion turbines sell upgrade
packages that increase both the output and efficiency of existing
combustion turbines. An owner/operator of a reconstructed combustion
turbine would be able to use one of these upgrade packages to comply
with the intermediate load emission standards in this final rule. Some
examples of these upgrades include GE's Advanced Gas Path, Siemens' Hot
Start on the Fly, and Solar Turbines' Gas Compressor Restaging. The
Advanced Gas Path option includes retrofitting existing turbine
components with improved materials to increase durability, air sealing,
and overall efficiency.\880\ Hot Start on the Fly upgrades include
implementing new software to allow for the gas and steam turbine to
start-up simultaneously, which greatly improves start times, and in
some cases could do so by up to 20 minutes.\881\ Compressor restaging
involves analyzing the current operation of an existing combustion
turbine and adjusting its gas compressor characteristics including
transmission, injection, and gathering, to operate in the most
efficient manner given the other operating conditions of the
turbine.\882\ In addition, steam injection is a retrofittable
technology that is estimated to be available for a total cost of all
the equipment needed for steam injection of $250/kW.\883\ Due to the
differences in materials used and necessary additional infrastructure,
a steam injection system can be up to 60 percent smaller than a similar
HRSG, which is valuable for retrofit purposes.\884\
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\880\ https://www.gevernova.com/content/dam/gepower-new/global/en_US/downloads/gas-new-site/resources/advanced-gas-path-brochure.pdf.
\881\ https://www.siemens-energy.com/global/en/home/stories/trianel-power-plant-upgrades.html.
\882\ https://s7d2.scene7.com/is/content/Caterpillar/CM20191213-93d46-8e41d.
\883\ ``GTI'' (2019). Innovative Steam Technologies. https://otsg.com/industries/powergen/gti/.
\884\ Ibid.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For owners/operators of base load combustion turbines, however,
HRSG have been added to multiple existing simple cycle turbines to
convert to combined cycle technology. There have been multiple examples
of this kind of conversion from simple cycle to combined cycle. One
such example is Unit 12 at Riverton Power Plant in Riverton, Kansas,
which was originally built in 2007 as a 143 MW simple cycle combustion
turbine. In 2013, an HRSG and additional equipment was added to convert
Unit 12 to a combined cycle combustion turbine.\885\ Another is Energy
Center Dover, located in Dover, Delaware, which in addition to a coal-
fired steam turbine, originally had two 44 MW simple cycle combustion
turbines. Also in 2013, the unit added an HRSG to one of the existing
simple cycle combustion turbines, connected the existing steam
generator to it, and retired the remaining coal-related equipment to
convert that combustion turbine to a combined cycle one.\886\ Some
other examples include the Los Esteros Critical Energy Facility in San
Jose, California, which converted from a four-turbine simple cycle
peaking facility to a combined-cycle one in 2013, and the Tracy
Combined Cycle Power Plant.\887\ The Tracy facility, located in Tracy,
California, was built in 2003 with two simple cycle combustion turbines
and in 2012 was converted to combined cycle with the addition of a
steam turbine.\888\
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\885\ https://www.nsenergybusiness.com/news/newsempire-district-starts-riverton-plants-combined-cycle-expansion-231013/.
\886\ https://news.delaware.gov/2013/07/26/repowered-nrg-energy-center-dover-unveiled-gov-markell-congressional-delegation-dnrec-sec-omara-other-officials-join-with-nrg-to-announce-cleaner-natural-gas-facility/.
\887\ https://www.calpine.com/los-esteros-critical-energy-facility.
\888\ https://www.middleriverpower.com/#portfolio.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the previous sections, the EPA explained the background of and
requirements for new and reconstructed stationary combustion turbines
and evaluated various control technology configurations to determine
the BSER. Because the BSER is the same for new and reconstructed
stationary combustion turbines, the Agency used the same emissions
analysis for both new and reconstructed stationary combustion turbines.
For each of the subcategories, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a
conclusion that the BSER results in the same standard of performance
for new stationary combustion turbines and reconstructed stationary
combustion turbines. For CCS, consistent with the NETL Combined Cycle
CCS Retrofit Report, the EPA approximated the cost to add CCS to a
reconstructed combustion turbine by increasing the capital costs of the
carbon capture equipment by 9 percent relative to the costs of adding
CCS to a newly constructed combustion turbine and decreasing the net
efficiency by 0.3 percent.\889\ Using the same costing assumptions for
newly constructed combined cycle turbines, the compliance costs for
reconstructed combined cycle turbines are approximately 10 percent
higher than for comparable newly constructed combined cycle turbine.
Assuming continued operation of the capture equipment, the compliance
costs are $17/MWh and $51/ton ($56/metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-
Class combustion turbine, and $21/MWh and $63/ton ($69/metric ton) for
a 4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine. If the capture system is
not operated while the combustion turbine is subcategorized as in
intermediate load combustion turbine, the compliance costs are reduced
to $10/MWh and $50/ton ($55/metric ton) for a 6,100 MMBtu/h H-Class
combustion turbine, and $13/MWh and $67/ton ($73/metric ton) for a
4,600 MMBtu/h F-Class combustion turbine.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\889\ ``Cost and Performance of Retrofitting NGCC Units for
Caron Capture--Revision 3.'' DOE/NETL-2023/3845. March 17, 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A reconstructed stationary combustion turbine is not required to
meet the standards if doing so is deemed to be ``technologically and
economically'' infeasible.\890\ This provision requires a case-by-case
reconstruction determination in the light of considerations of economic
and technological feasibility. However, this case-by-case determination
considers the identified BSER, as well as technologies the EPA
considered, but rejected, as BSER for a nationwide rule. One or more of
these technologies could be technically feasible and of reasonable
cost, depending on site-specific considerations and if so, would likely
result in sufficient GHG reductions to comply with the applicable
reconstructed standards. Finally, in some cases, equipment upgrades,
and best operating practices would result in sufficient reductions to
achieve the reconstructed standards.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\890\ 40 CFR 60.15(b)(2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
I. Modified Stationary Combustion Turbines
CAA section 111(a)(4) defines a ``modification'' as ``any physical
change in, or change in the method of operation of, a stationary
source'' that either ``increases the amount of any air pollutant
emitted by such source or . . . results in the emission of any air
pollutant not previously emitted.'' Certain types of physical or
operational changes are exempt from consideration as a modification.
Those are described in 40 CFR 60.2, 60.14(e).
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA did not finalize standards of performance
for stationary combustion turbines that conduct modifications; instead,
the EPA concluded that it was prudent to delay
[[Page 39950]]
issuing standards until the Agency could gather more information (80 FR
64515; October 23, 2015). There were several reasons for this
determination: few sources had undertaken NSPS modifications in the
past, the EPA had little information concerning them, and available
information indicated that few owners/operators of existing combustion
turbines would undertake NSPS modifications in the future; and since
the Agency eliminated proposed subcategories for small EGUs in the 2015
NSPS, questions were raised as to whether smaller existing combustion
turbines that undertake a modification could meet the final performance
standard of 1,000 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
It continues to be the case that the EPA is aware of no evidence
indicating that owners/operators of combustion turbines intend to
undertake actions that could qualify as NSPS modifications in the
future. The EPA did not propose or solicit comment on standards of
performance for modifications of combustion turbines and is not
establishing any in this final rule.
J. Startup, Shutdown, and Malfunction
In its 2008 decision in Sierra Club v. EPA, 551 F.3d 1019 (D.C.
Cir. 2008), the D.C. Circuit vacated portions of two provisions in the
EPA's CAA section 112 regulations governing the emissions of HAP during
periods of SSM. Specifically, the court vacated the SSM exemption
contained in 40 CFR 63.6(f)(1) and 40 CFR 63.6(h)(1), holding that the
SSM exemption violates the requirement under section 302(k) of the CAA
that some CAA section 112 standard apply continuously. The EPA has
determined the reasoning in the court's decision in Sierra Club v. EPA
applies equally to CAA section 111 because the definition of emission
or standard in CAA section 302(k), and the embedded requirement for
continuous standards, also applies to the NSPS. Consistent with Sierra
Club v. EPA, the EPA is finalizing standards in this rule that apply at
all times. The NSPS general provisions in 40 CFR 60.11(c) currently
exclude opacity requirements during periods of startup, shutdown, and
malfunction and the provision in 40 CFR 60.8(c) contains an exemption
from non-opacity standards. These general provision requirements would
automatically apply to the standards set in an NSPS, unless the
regulation specifically overrides these general provisions. The NSPS
subpart TTTT (40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT) does not contain an opacity
standard, thus, the requirements at 40 CFR 60.11(c) are not applicable.
The NSPS subpart TTTT also overrides 40 CFR 60.8(c) in table 3 and
requires that sources comply with the standard(s) at all times. In
reviewing NSPS subpart TTTT and proposing the new NSPS subpart TTTTa,
the EPA proposed to retain in subpart TTTTa the requirements that
sources comply with the standard(s) at all times in table 3 of the new
subpart TTTTa to override the general provisions for SSM exemption
related provisions. The EPA proposed and is finalizing that all
standards in subpart TTTTa apply at all times.
In developing the standards in this rule, the EPA has taken into
account startup and shutdown periods and, for the reasons explained in
this section of the preamble, is not establishing alternate standards
for those periods. The EPA analysis of achievable standards of
performance used CEMS data that includes all period of operation. Since
periods of startup, shutdown, and malfunction were not excluded from
the analysis, the EPA is not establishing alternate standard for those
periods of operation.
Periods of startup, normal operations, and shutdown are all
predictable and routine aspects of a source's operations. Malfunctions,
in contrast, are neither predictable nor routine. Instead, they are, by
definition, sudden, infrequent, and not reasonably preventable failures
of emissions control, process, or monitoring equipment. (40 CFR 60.2).
The EPA interprets CAA section 111 as not requiring emissions that
occur during periods of malfunction to be factored into development of
CAA section 111 standards. Nothing in CAA section 111 or in caselaw
requires that the EPA consider malfunctions when determining what
standards of performance reflect the degree of emission limitation
achievable through ``the application of the best system of emission
reduction'' that the EPA determines is adequately demonstrated. While
the EPA accounts for variability in setting standards of performance,
nothing in CAA section 111 requires the Agency to consider malfunctions
as part of that analysis. The EPA is not required to treat a
malfunction in the same manner as the type of variation in performance
that occurs during routine operations of a source. A malfunction is a
failure of the source to perform in a ``normal or usual manner'' and no
statutory language compels the EPA to consider such events in setting
CAA section 111 standards of performance. The EPA's approach to
malfunctions in the analogous circumstances (setting ``achievable''
standards under CAA section 112) has been upheld as reasonable by the
D.C. Circuit in U.S. Sugar Corp. v. EPA, 830 F.3d 579, 606-610 (2016).
K. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
Because the NSPS reflects the application of the best system of
emission reduction under conditions of proper operation and
maintenance, in doing the NSPS review, the EPA also evaluates and
determines the proper testing, monitoring, recordkeeping and reporting
requirements needed to ensure compliance with the NSPS. This section
includes a discussion on the current testing and monitoring
requirements of the NSPS and any additions the EPA is including in 40
CFR part 60, subpart TTTTa.
1. General Requirements
The EPA proposed to allow three approaches for determining
CO2 emissions: a CO2 CEMS and stack gas flow
monitor; hourly heat input, fuel characteristics, and F factors \891\
for EGUs firing oil or gas; or Tier 3 calculations using fuel use and
carbon content. The first two approaches are in use for measuring
CO2 by units affected by the Acid Rain program (40 CFR part
75), to which most, if not all, of the EGUs affected by NSPS subpart
TTTT are already subject, while the last approach is in use for
stationary fuel combustion sources reporting to the GHGRP (40 CFR part
98, subpart C).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\891\ An F factor is the ratio of the gas volume of the products
of combustion to the heat content of the fuel.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA believes continuing the use of approaches already in use by
other programs represents a cost-effective means of obtaining quality
assured data requisite for determining carbon dioxide mass emissions.
MPS reporting software required by this subpart for reporting emissions
to the EPA expects hourly or daily CO2 emission values and
has thousands of electronic checks to validate data using the Acid Rain
program requirements (40 CFR part 75). ECMPS does not currently
accommodate or validate data under GHGRP's Tier 3 approach. Because
most, if not all, of the EGUs that will be affected by this final rule
are already affected by Acid Rain program monitoring requirements, the
cost and burden for EGU owners or operators are already accounted for
by other rulemakings. Therefore, this aspect of the final rule is
designed to have minimal, if any, cost or burden associated with
CO2 testing and monitoring. In addition, there are no
changes to measurement and testing requirements for determining
electrical output, both gross and net, as well as
[[Page 39951]]
thermal output, to existing requirements.
However, the EPA requested comment on whether continuous
CO2 CEMS and stack gas flow measurements should be the sole
means of compliance for this rule. Such a switch would increase costs
for those EGU owners or operators who are currently relying on the oil-
or gas-fired calculation-based approaches. By way of reference, the
annualized cost associated with adoption and use of continuous
CO2 and flow measurements where none now exist is estimated
to be about $52,000. To the extent that the rule were to mandate
continuous CO2 and stack gas flow measurements in accordance
with what is currently allowed as one option and that an EGU lacked
this instrumentation, its owner or operator would need to incur this
annual cost to obtain such information and to keep the instrumentation
calibrated. Commenters encouraged the EPA to maintain the flexibility
for EGUs to use hourly heat input measurements, fuel characteristics,
and F factors as is allowed under the Acid Rain program. Commenters
argued that in addition to the incremental costs, some facilities have
space constraints that could make the addition of stack gas flow
monitors difficult or impractical. In this final rule, the EPA allows
the use of hourly heat input, fuel characteristics, and F factors as an
alternative to CO2 CEMS and stack gas flow monitors for EGUs
that burn oil or gas.
One commenter argued that the part 75 data requirements, which are
required for several emission trading programs including the Acid Rain
program, are punitive and that the data are biased high. Other
commenters argued that the part 75 CO2 data are biased low.
EPA disagrees that the data requirements are punitive. Most, if not
all, of the EGUs subject to this subpart are already reporting the data
under the Acid Rain program. Oil- and gas-fired EGUs that are not
subject to the Acid Rain program but are subject to a Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule program are already reporting most of the necessary data
elements (e.g., hourly heat input and F factors) for SO2
and/or NOX emissions. The additional data and effort
necessary to calculate CO2 emissions is minor. The EPA also
disagrees that the data are biased significantly high or low. Each
CO2 CEMS and stack gas flow monitor must undergo regular
quality assurance and quality control activities including periodic
relative accuracy test audits where the EGU's monitoring system is
compared to an independent monitoring system. In a May 2022 study
conducted by the EPA, the average difference between the EGU's
monitoring system and the independent monitoring system was
approximately 2 percent for CO2 concentration and slightly
greater than 2 percent for stack gas flow.
2. Requirements for Sources Implementing CCS
The CCS process is also subject to monitoring and reporting
requirements under the EPA's GHGRP (40 CFR part 98). The GHGRP requires
reporting of facility-level GHG data and other relevant information
from large sources and suppliers in the U.S. The ``suppliers of carbon
dioxide'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart PP) requires
those affected facilities with production process units that capture a
CO2 stream for purposes of supplying CO2 for
commercial applications or that capture and maintain custody of a
CO2 stream in order to sequester or otherwise inject it
underground to report the mass of CO2 captured and supplied.
Facilities that inject a CO2 stream underground for long-
term containment in subsurface geologic formations report quantities of
CO2 sequestered under the ``geologic sequestration of carbon
dioxide'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart RR). In April
2024, to complement GHGRP subpart RR, the EPA finalized the ``geologic
sequestration of carbon dioxide with enhanced oil recovery (EOR) using
ISO 27916'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart VV) to provide
an alternative method of reporting geologic sequestration in
association with EOR.892 893 894
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\892\ EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
\893\ International Standards Organization (ISO) standard
designated as CSA Group (CSA)/American National Standards Institute
(ANSI) ISO 27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture, Transportation and
Geological Storage--Carbon Dioxide Storage Using Enhanced Oil
Recovery (CO2-EOR) (referred to as ``CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019'').
\894\ As described in 87 FR 36920 (June 21, 2022), both subpart
RR and subpart VV (CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019) require an assessment
and monitoring of potential leakage pathways; quantification of
inputs, losses, and storage through a mass balance approach; and
documentation of steps and approaches used to establish these
quantities. Primary differences relate to the terms in their
respective mass balance equations, how each defines leakage, and
when facilities may discontinue reporting.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
CCS as the BSER, as detailed in section VIII.F.4.c.iv of this
preamble, is determined to be adequately demonstrated based solely on
geologic sequestration that is not associated with EOR. However, EGUs
also have the compliance option to send CO2 to EOR
facilities that report under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. The
EPA is requiring that any affected unit that employs CCS technology
that captures enough CO2 to meet the proposed standard and
injects the captured CO2 underground must report under GHGRP
subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. If the emitting EGU sends the captured
CO2 offsite, it must transfer the CO2 to a
facility that reports in accordance with GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP
subpart VV. This does not change any of the requirements to obtain or
comply with a UIC permit for facilities that are subject to the EPA's
UIC program under the Safe Drinking Water Act.
The EPA also notes that compliance with the standard is determined
exclusively by the tons of CO2 captured by the emitting EGU.
The tons of CO2 sequestered by the geologic sequestration
site are not part of that calculation, though the EPA anticipates that
the quantity of CO2 sequestered will be substantially
similar to the quantity captured. However, to verify that the
CO2 captured at the emitting EGU is sent to a geologic
sequestration site, the Agency is leveraging regulatory reporting
requirements under the GHGRP. The EPA also emphasizes that this final
rule does not involve regulation of downstream recipients of captured
CO2. That is, the regulatory standard applies exclusively to
the emitting EGU, not to any downstream user or recipient of the
captured CO2. The requirement that the emitting EGU transfer
the captured CO2 to an entity subject to the GHGRP
requirements is thus exclusively an element of enforcement of the EGU
standard. This avoids duplicative monitoring, reporting, and
verification requirements between this rule and the GHGRP, while also
ensuring that the facility injecting and sequestering the
CO2 (which may not necessarily be the EGU) maintains
responsibility for these requirements. Similarly, the existing
regulatory requirements applicable to geologic sequestration are not
part of this final rule.
L. Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
The current rule (subpart TTTT of 40 CFR part 60) requires EGU
owners or operators to prepare reports in accordance with the Acid Rain
Program's ECMPS. Such reports are to be submitted quarterly. The EPA
believes all EGU owners and operators have extensive experience in
using the ECMPS and use of a familiar system ensures quick and
effective rollout of the program in this final rule. Because all EGUs
are expected to be covered by and included in the ECMPS, minimal, if
any, costs for reporting are expected for
[[Page 39952]]
this final rule. In the unlikely event that a specific EGU is not
already covered by and included in the ECMPS, the estimated annual per
unit cost would be about $8,500.
The current rule's recordkeeping requirements at 40 CFR part
60.5560 rely on a combination of general provision requirements (see 40
CFR 60.7(b) and (f)), requirements at subpart F of 40 CFR part 75, and
an explicit list of items, including data and calculations; the EPA is
retaining those existing subpart TTTT of 40 CFR part 60 requirements in
the new NSPS subpart TTTTa of 40 CFR part 60. The annual cost of those
recordkeeping requirements will be the same amount as is required for
subpart TTTT of 40 CFR part 60 recordkeeping. As the recordkeeping in
subpart TTTT of 40 CFR part 60 will be replaced by similar
recordkeeping in subpart TTTTa of 40 CFR part 60, this annual cost for
recordkeeping will be maintained.
M. Compliance Dates
Owners/operators of affected sources that commenced construction or
reconstruction after May 23, 2023, must meet the requirements of 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTTa, upon startup of the new or reconstructed
affected facility or the effective date of the final rule, whichever is
later. This compliance schedule is consistent with the requirements in
section 111 of the CAA.
N. Compliance Date Extension
Several industry commenters noted the potential for delay in
installation and utilization of emission controls--especially CCS--due
to supply chain constraints, permitting challenges, environmental
assessments, or delays in development of necessary infrastructure,
among other reasons. Commenters requested that the EPA include a
mechanism to extend the compliance date for affected EGUs that are
installing emission controls. These commenters explained that an
extension mechanism could provide greater regulatory certainty for
owners and operators.
After considering these comments, the EPA believes that it is
reasonable to provide a consistent and transparent means of allowing a
limited extension of the Phase 2 compliance deadline where an affected
new or reconstructed base load stationary combustion EGU has
demonstrated such an extension is needed for installation and
utilization of controls. This mechanism is intended to address
unavoidable delays in implementation--not to provide more time to
assess the NSPS compliance strategy for the affected EGU.
As indicated, the EPA is finalizing a provision that will allow the
owner/operators of new or reconstructed base load stationary combustion
turbine EGUs to request a limited Phase 2 compliance extension based on
a case-by-case demonstration of necessity. Under these provisions, the
owner or operator of an affected source may apply for a Phase 2
compliance date extension of up to 1 year to comply with the applicable
emissions control requirements, which if approved by the EPA, would
require compliance with Phase 2 standards of performance no later than
January 1, 2033. This mechanism is only available for situations in
which an affected source encounters a delay in installation or startup
of a control technology that makes it impossible to commence compliance
with Phase 2 standards of performance by January 1, 2032 (i.e., the
Phase 2 compliance date specified in section VIII.F.4 of this
preamble).
The EPA will grant a request for a Phase 2 compliance extension of
up to 1 year only where a source demonstrates that it has taken all
steps possible to install and start up the necessary controls and still
cannot comply with the Phase 2 standards of performance by the January
1, 2032 compliance date due to circumstances entirely beyond its
control. Any request for a Phase 2 compliance extension must be
received by the EPA at least 180 days before the January 1, 2032 Phase
2 compliance date. The owner/operator of the requesting source must
provide documentation of the circumstances that precipitated the delay
(or an anticipated delay) and demonstrate that those circumstances are
entirely beyond the control of the owner/operator and that the owner/
operator has no ability to remedy the delay. These circumstances may
include, but are not limited to, delays related to permitting, delays
in delivery or construction of parts necessary for installation or
implementation of the control technology, or development of necessary
infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines).
The request must include documentation that demonstrates that the
necessary controls cannot be installed or started up by the January 1,
2032 Phase 2 compliance date. This may include information and
documentation obtained from a control technology vendor or engineering
firm demonstrating that the necessary controls cannot be installed or
started up by the applicable Phase 2 compliance date, documentation of
any permit delays, or documentation of delays in construction or
permitting of infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that is
necessary for implementation of the control technology. The owner/
operator of an affected new stationary combustion turbine EGU remains
subject to the January 1, 2032 Phase 2 compliance date unless and until
the Administrator grants a compliance extension.
As discussed in sections VII.C.1.a.i.(E) and VII.C.2.b.i(C), the
EPA has determined compliance timelines for these new sources that are
consistent with achieving emission reductions as expeditiously as
practicable given the time it takes to install and startup the BSER
technologies for compliance with the Phase 2 standards of performance.
The Phase 2 compliance dates are designed to accommodate the process
steps and timeframes that the EPA reasonably anticipates will apply to
affected EGUs. This extension mechanism acknowledges that circumstances
entirely outside the control of the owners or operators of affected
EGUs may extend the timeframe for installation or startup of control
technologies beyond the timeframe that the EPA has determined is
reasonable as a general matter. Thus, so long as this extension
mechanism is limited to circumstances that cannot be reasonably
controlled or remedied by the owners or operators of the affected EGUs
and that make it impossible to achieve compliance with Phase 2
standards of performance by the January 1, 2032 compliance date, its
use is consistent with achieving compliance as expeditiously as
practicable.
The EPA believes that a 1-year extension on top of the lead time
already provided by the 2032 compliance date should be sufficient to
address any compliance delays and to allow all base load units to
timely install CSS. New or reconstructed base load stationary
combustion turbines that are granted a 1-year Phase 2 compliance date
extension and still are not able to install or startup the control
technologies necessary to meet the Phase 2 standard of performance by
the extended Phase 2 compliance date of January 1, 2033 may adjust
their operation to the intermediate load subcategory (i.e., 12-
operating-month capacity factor between 20-40 percent). Such sources
must then comply with applicable standards of performance for the
intermediate load stationary combustion turbine subcategory until the
necessary controls are installed and operational such that the source
can comply with the Phase 2 standard of performance.
[[Page 39953]]
IX. Requirements for New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired
Steam Generating Units
A. 2018 NSPS Proposal Withdrawal
1. Background
As discussed in section V.B, the EPA promulgated NSPS for GHG
emissions from fossil fuel-fired steam generating units in 2015 (``2015
NSPS'').\895\ The 2015 NSPS finalized partial CCS as the BSER and
finalized standards of performance to limit emissions of GHG manifested
as CO2 from newly constructed, modified, and reconstructed
fossil fuel-fired EGUs (i.e., utility boilers and integrated
gasification combined cycle (IGCC) units). In the same document, the
Agency also finalized CO2 emission standards for newly
constructed and reconstructed stationary combustion turbine EGUs. 80 FR
64510 (October 23, 2015). These final standards were codified in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart TTTT.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\895\ 80 FR 64510 (October 23, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On December 20, 2018, the EPA published a proposal to revise
certain parts of the 2015 Rule, titled ``Review of Standards of
Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions From New, Modified, and
Reconstructed Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units.''
83 FR 65424 (December 20, 2018) (``2018 Proposal''). In Fall 2020,
after reviewing comments on the 2018 Proposal, the EPA developed a
draft final rule and sent that package to the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) for interagency review under Executive Order 12866 (``2020
OMB Review Package''). The 2020 OMB Review Package, if finalized, would
have amended the BSER for new coal-fired EGUs and required a pollutant-
specific significant contribution finding (SCF) prior to regulating a
source category. The review of the BSER portion of the package was
delayed \896\ and the pollutant-specific SCF portion of the 2020 OMB
Review Package was finalized on January 13, 2021 in a final rule,
titled ``Pollutant-Specific Contribution Finding for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions from New, Modified, and Reconstructed Stationary Sources:
Electric Utility Generating Units, and Process for Determining
Significance of Other New Source Performance Standards Source
Categories.'' 86 FR 2542 (January 13, 2021) (``SCF Rule''). However,
the D.C. Circuit vacated the SCF Rule on April 5, 2021.\897\ The BSER
analysis and that portion of the 2018 Proposal have not been finalized
and are being withdrawn in this final action. The 2018 Proposal stated
that the Agency was proposing to find that partial CCS is not the BSER
on grounds that it is too costly and that the 2015 Rule did not show
that the technology had sufficient geographic scope to qualify as the
BSER for newly constructed coal-fired EGUs. The EPA instead proposed
that the BSER for newly constructed coal-fired EGUs would be the most
efficient available steam cycle (i.e., supercritical steam conditions
for large units and subcritical steam conditions for small units) in
combination with the best operating practices instead of partial CCS.
In addition, for newly constructed coal-fired EGUs firing moisture-rich
fuels (i.e., lignite), the BSER would also include pre-combustion fuel
drying using waste heat from the process. The 2018 Proposal also would
have revised the standards of performance for reconstructed EGUs, the
maximally stringent standards for coal-fired EGUs undergoing large
modifications (i.e., modifications resulting in an increase in hourly
CO2 emissions of more than 10 percent), and for base load
and non-base load operating conditions that reflected the Agency's
revised BSER determination. The 2018 Proposal did not revise the BSER
for any other sources as determined in the 2015 Rule. It also included
minor amendments to the applicability criteria for combined heat and
power (CHP) and non-fossil EGUs and other miscellaneous technical
changes in the regulatory requirements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\896\ As part of the interagency review process, an error in the
partial CCS costing report that the EPA used to update the costs of
partial CCS between the 2018 Proposal and 2020 OMB Review Package
was identified. The error included in the original 2020 OMB Review
Package had the impact of increasing the cost of partial CCS. The
corrected report resulted in partial CCS costs that were similar to
those included in the 2018 Proposal.
\897\ State of California v. EPA (D.C. Cir. 21-1035), Document
No. 1893155 (April 5, 2021).
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2. Withdrawal of the 2018 Proposal
In this action, under CAA section 111(b), the Agency is withdrawing
the 2018 Proposal and the proposed determination that the BSER for
coal-fired steam generating units should be highly efficient generation
technology combined with best operating practices. The EPA no longer
believes there is a basis for finding that highly efficient generation
technology combined with best operating practices are the BSER for
coal-fired steam generating units. As described at length in this
preamble, CCS technology is adequately demonstrated for coal-fired
steam generating units and so it is not appropriate to impose the less
effective emission control of highly efficient generation combined with
best operating practices for new sources in this source category.
Moreover, the EPA is presently considering whether to revise the 2015
Rule to take into account improvements in CCS technology and the
existing tax credits under the IRA. For a more in-depth, technical
discussion of the rationale underlying this action, please refer to the
technical memorandum in the docket titled, 2018 Proposal Withdrawal.
B. Additional Amendments
The EPA proposed and is finalizing multiple less significant
amendments. These amendments are either strictly editorial and will not
change any of the requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT, or will
add additional compliance flexibility. The amendments are also
incorporated into the final subpart TTTTa. For additional information
on these amendments, see the redline strikeout version of the rule
showing the amendments in the docket for this action.
First, the EPA proposed and is finalizing editorial amendments to
define acronyms the first time they are used in the regulatory text.
Second, the EPA proposed and is finalizing adding International System
of Units (SI) equivalent for owners/operators of stationary combustion
turbines complying with a heat input-based standard. Third, the EPA
proposed and is finalizing correcting errors in the current 40 CFR part
60, subpart TTTT, regulatory text referring to part 63 instead of part
60. Fourth, as a practical matter owners/operators of stationary
combustion turbines subject to the heat input-based standard of
performance need to maintain records of electric sales to demonstrate
that they are not subject to the output-based standard of performance.
Therefore, the EPA proposed and is finalizing adding a specific
requirement that owner/operators maintain records of electric sales to
demonstrate they did not sell electricity above the threshold that
would trigger the output-based standard. Next, the EPA proposed and is
finalizing updating the ANSI, ASME, and ASTM International (ASTM) test
methods to include more recent versions of the test methods. Finally,
the EPA proposed and is finalizing adding additional compliance
flexibilities for EGUs either serving a common electric generator or
using a common stack.
C. Eight-year Review of NSPS for Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating
Units
1. Modifications
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA issued final standards for a steam
generating
[[Page 39954]]
unit that implements a ``large modification,'' defined as a physical
change, or change in the method of operation, that results in an
increase in hourly CO2 emissions of more than 10 percent
when compared to the source's highest hourly emissions in the previous
5 years. Such a modified steam generating unit is required to meet a
unit-specific CO2 emission limit determined by that unit's
best demonstrated historical performance (in the years from 2002 to the
time of the modification). The 2015 NSPS did not include standards for
a steam generating unit that implements a ``small modification,''
defined as a change that results in an increase in hourly
CO2 emissions of less than or equal to 10 percent when
compared to the source's highest hourly emissions in the previous 5
years.\898\
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\898\ 80 FR 64514 (October 23, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the 2015 NSPS, the EPA explained its basis for promulgating this
rule as follows. The EPA has historically been notified of only a
limited number of NSPS modifications involving fossil fuel-fired steam
generating units and therefore predicted that very few of these units
would trigger the modification provisions and be subject to the
proposed standards. Given the limited information that we have about
past modifications, the Agency has concluded that it lacks sufficient
information to establish standards of performance for all types of
modifications at steam generating units at this time. Instead, the EPA
has determined that it is appropriate to establish standards of
performance at this time for larger modifications, such as major
facility upgrades involving, for example, the refurbishing or
replacement of steam turbines and other equipment upgrades that result
in substantial increases in a unit's hourly CO2 emissions
rate. The Agency has determined, based on its review of public comments
and other publicly available information, that it has adequate
information regarding the types of modifications that could result in
large increases in hourly CO2 emissions, as well as on the
types of measures available to control emissions from sources that
undergo such modifications, and on the costs and effectiveness of such
control measures, upon which to establish standards of performance for
modifications with large emissions increases at this time.\899\ The EPA
did not reopen any aspect of these determinations concerning
modifications in the 2015 NSPS, except, as noted below, for the BSER
and associated requirements for large modifications.
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\899\ Id. at 64597-98.
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Because the EPA has not promulgated a NSPS for small modifications,
any existing steam generating unit that undertakes a change that
increases its hourly CO2 emissions rate by 10 percent or
less will continue to be treated as an existing source that is subject
to the CAA section 111(d) requirements being finalized today.
With respect to large modifications, the EPA explained in the 2015
NSPS that they are rare, but there is record evidence indicating that
they may occur.\900\ Because the EPA is finalizing requirements for
existing coal-fired steam generating units that are, on their face,
more stringent than the requirements for large modifications, the EPA
believes it is appropriate to review and revise the latter requirements
to minimize the anomalous incentive that an existing source could have
to undertake a large modification for the purpose of avoiding the more
stringent requirements that it would be subject to if it remained an
existing source. Accordingly, the EPA proposed and is finalizing
amending the BSER for large modifications for coal-fired steam
generating units to mirror the BSER for the subcategory of long-term
coal-fired steam generating units that is, the use of CCS with 90
percent capture of CO2. The EPA believes that it is
reasonable to assume that any existing source that invests in a
physical change or change in the method of operation that would qualify
as a large modification expects to continue to operate past 2039.
Accordingly, the EPA has determined that CCS with 90 percent capture
qualifies as the BSER for such a source for the same reasons that it
qualifies as the BSER for existing sources that plan to operate past
December 31, 2039. The EPA discusses these reasons in section VII.C.1.a
of this preamble. The EPA has determined that CCS with 90 percent
capture qualifies as the BSER for large modifications, and not the
controls determined to be the BSER in the 2015 NSPS, due to the recent
reductions in the cost of CCS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\900\ Id. at 64598.
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By the same token, the EPA is finalizing that the degree of
emission limitation associated with CCS with 90 percent capture is an
88.4 percent reduction in emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis), the same as finalized for existing sources with CCS with 90
percent capture. See section VII.C.3.a of this preamble. Based on this
degree of emission limitation, the EPA proposed and is finalizing that
the standard of performance for steam generating units that undertake
large modifications after May 23, 2023, is a unit-specific emission
limit determined by an 88.4 percent reduction in the unit's best
historical annual CO2 emission rate (from 2002 to the date
of the modification). The EPA proposed and is finalizing that an owner/
operator of a modified steam generating unit comply with the emissions
rate upon startup of the modified affected facility or the effective
date of the final rule, whichever is later. The EPA proposed and is
finalizing the same testing, monitoring, and reporting requirements as
are currently in 40 CFR part 60, subpart TTTT.
The EPA did not propose, and is not finalizing, any review or
revision of the 2015 standard for large modifications of oil- or gas-
fired steam generating units because the we are not aware of any
existing oil- or gas-fired steam generating EGUs that have undertaken
such modifications or have plans to do so, and, unlike an existing
coal-fired steam generating EGUs, existing oil- or gas-fired steam
units have no incentive to undertake such a modification to avoid the
requirements we are including in this final rule for existing oil- or
gas-fired steam generating units.
2. New Construction and Reconstruction
The EPA promulgated NSPS for GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired
steam generating units in 2015. In the proposal, the EPA proposed that
it did not need to review the 2015 NSPS because at that time, the EPA
did not have information indicating that any such units will be
constructed or reconstructed. However, the EPA has recently become
aware that a new coal-fired power plant is under consideration in
Alaska. In November 2023, DOE announced a $9 million cooperative
agreement for the Alaska Railbelt Carbon Capture and Storage (ARCCS)
project, to be led by researchers at the University of Alaska
Fairbanks. The ARCCS project would study the viability of a carbon
storage complex in Southcentral Alaska, likely at the mostly-depleted
Beluga River gas field west of Anchorage'' in the Cook Inlet Basin,
which could store captured CO2. According to reports, the
privately owned Flatlands Energy Corp. is considering constructing a
400 MW coal- and biomass-fired power plant in the Susitna River valley
region, which, if built, would be one of the sources of captured
CO2.\901\
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\901\ DOE Funding Opportunity Announcement, ``DOE Invests More
Than $444 Million for CarbonSAFE Project,'' (November 15, 2023),
https://netl.doe.gov/node/13090; University of Alaska Fairbanks,
Institute of Northern Engineering, ``Cook Inlet Region Low Carbon
Power Generation With Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage
Feasibility Study,'' https://ine.uaf.edu/media/391133/cook-inlet-low-carbon-power-feasibility-study-uaf-pcorfinal.pdf; Herz,
Nathaniel, ``Could a new Alaska coal power plant be climate
friendly? An $11 million study aims to find out,'' Northern Journal
(December 29, 2923), republished in Anchorage Daily News, https://www.adn.com/business-economy/energy/2023/12/29/could-a-new-alaska-coal-power-plant-be-climate-friendly-an-11-million-study-aims-to-find-out/.
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[[Page 39955]]
In light of this development, the EPA is not finalizing its
proposal not to review the 2015 NSPS. Instead, the EPA will continue to
consider whether to review the 2015 NSPS and will monitor the
development of this potential new construction project in Alaska as
well as any other potential projects to newly construct or reconstruct
a coal-fired power plant. If the EPA does decide to review the 2015
NSPS, it would propose to revise them for coal-fired steam generating
units.
D. Projects Under Development
During the 2015 NSPS rulemaking, the EPA identified the Plant
Washington project in Georgia and the Holcomb 2 project in Kansas as
EGU ``projects under development'' based on representations by
developers that the projects had commenced construction prior to the
proposal of the 2015 NSPS and, thus, would not be new sources subject
to the final NSPS (80 FR 64542-43; October 23, 2015). The EPA did not
set a performance standard at the time but committed to doing so if new
information about the projects became available. These projects were
never constructed and are no longer expected to be constructed.
The Plant Washington project was to be an 850 MW supercritical
coal-fired EGU. The Environmental Protection Division (EPD) of the
Georgia Department of Natural Resources issued air and water permits
for the project in 2010 and issued amended permits in
2014.902 903 904 In 2016, developers filed a request with
the EPD to extend the construction commencement deadline specified in
the amended permit, but the director of the EPD denied the request,
effectively canceling the approval of the construction permit and
revoking the plant's amended air quality permit.\905\
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\902\ https://www.gpb.org/news/2010/07/26/judge-rejects-coal-plant-permits.
\903\ https://www.southernenvironment.org/press-release/court-rules-ga-failed-to-set-safe-limits-on-pollutants-from-coal-plant/.
\904\ https://permitsearch.gaepd.org/permit.aspx?id=PDF-OP-22139.
\905\ https://www.southernenvironment.org/wp-content/uploads/legacy/words_docs/EPD_Plant_Washington_Denial_Letter.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Holcomb 2 project was intended to be a single 895 MW coal-fired
EGU and received permits in 2009 (after earlier proposals sought
approval for development of more than one unit). In 2020, after
developers announced they would no longer pursue the Holcomb 2
expansion project, the air permits were allowed to expire, effectively
canceling the project.
For these reasons, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a decision to
remove these projects under the applicability exclusions in subpart
TTTT.
X. State Plans for Emission Guidelines for Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired
EGUs
A. Overview
This section provides information related to state plan
development, including methodologies for establishing presumptively
approvable standards of performance for affected EGUs, flexibilities
for complying with standards of performance, and components that must
be included in state plans as well as the process for submission. This
section also addresses significant comments on and any changes to the
proposed emission guidelines regarding state plans that the EPA is
finalizing in this action.
State plan submissions under these emission guidelines are governed
by the requirements of 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba (subpart Ba).\906\
The EPA finalized revisions to certain aspects of 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba, in November 2023, Adoption and Submittal of State Plans for
Designated Facilities: Implementing Regulations Under Clean Air Act
Section 111(d) (final subpart Ba).\907\ Unless expressly amended or
superseded in these emission guidelines, the provisions of subpart Ba
apply. This section explicitly addresses any instances where the EPA is
adding to, superseding, or otherwise varying the requirements of
subpart Ba for the purposes of these particular emission guidelines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\906\ 40 CFR 60.20a-60.29a.
\907\ 88 FR 80480 (November 17, 2023). At the time of
promulgation of these emission guidelines, the November 2023 updates
to the CAA section 111(d) implementing regulations are subject to
litigation in the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals. West Virginia v.
EPA, D.C. Circuit No. 24-1009. The outcome of that litigation will
not affect any of the distinct requirements being finalized in these
emission guidelines, which are not directly dependent on those
procedural requirements. Moreover, regardless of the outcome of that
litigation, the necessary regulatory framework will exist for states
to develop and submit state plans that include standards of
performance for affected EGUs pursuant to these emission guidelines
and prior implementing regulations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As noted in the preamble of the proposed action, under the Tribal
Authority Rule (TAR) adopted by the EPA, Tribes may seek authority to
implement a plan under CAA section 111(d) in a manner similar to that
of a state. See 40 CFR part 49, subpart A. Tribes may, but are not
required to, seek approval for treatment in a manner similar to that of
a state for purposes of developing a Tribal Implementation Plan (TIP)
implementing the emission guidelines. If a Tribe obtains approval and
submits a TIP, the EPA will generally use similar criteria and follow
similar procedures as those described for state plans when evaluating
the TIP submission and will approve the TIP if appropriate. The EPA is
committed to working with eligible Tribes to help them seek
authorization and develop plans if they choose. Tribes that choose to
develop plans will generally have the same flexibilities available to
states in this process.
In section X.B of this document, the EPA describes the foundational
requirement that state plans achieve an equivalent level of emission
reduction to the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER as determined by the EPA. Section X.C describes
the presumptive methodology for calculating the standards of
performance for affected EGUs based on subcategory assignment, as well
as requirements related to invoking RULOF to apply a less stringent
standard of performance than results from the EPA's presumptive
methodology. Section X.C also describes requirements for increments of
progress for affected EGUs in certain subcategories and for
establishing milestones and reporting obligations for affected EGUs
that plan to permanently cease operations, as well as testing and
monitoring requirements. In section X.D, the EPA describes how states
are permitted to include flexibilities such as emission trading and
averaging as compliance measures for affected EGUs in their state
plans. Finally, section X.E describes what must be included in state
plans, including plan components specific to these emission guidelines
and requirements for conducting meaningful engagement, as well as the
timing of state plan submission and EPA review of state plans and plan
revisions.
In this section of the preamble, the term ``affected EGU'' means
any existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating unit that meets the
applicability criteria described in section VII.B of this preamble.
Affected EGUs are covered by the emission guidelines being finalized in
this action under 40 CFR part 60 subpart UUUUb.
[[Page 39956]]
B. Requirement for State Plans To Maintain Stringency of the EPA's BSER
Determination
As explained in section V.C of this preamble, CAA section 111(d)(1)
requires the EPA to establish requirements for state plans that, in
turn, must include standards of performance for existing sources. Under
CAA section 111(a)(1), a standard of performance is ``a standard for
emissions of air pollutants which reflects the degree of emission
limitation achievable through the application of the best system of
emission reduction which . . . the Administrator determines has been
adequately demonstrated.'' That is, the EPA has the responsibility to
determine the BSER for a given category or subcategory of sources and
to determine the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER to affected sources.\908\ The level of emission
reductions required of existing sources under CAA section 111 is
reflected in the EPA's presumptive standards of performance,\909\ which
achieve emission reductions under these emission guidelines through
requiring cleaner performance by affected sources.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\908\ See, e.g., West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 720 (2022)
(``In devising emissions limits for power plants, EPA first
`determines' the `best system of emission reduction' that--taking
into account cost, health, and other factors--it finds `has been
adequately demonstrated.' The Agency then quantifies `the degree of
emission limitation achievable' if that best system were applied to
the covered source.'') (internal citations omitted).
\909\ See 40 CFR 60.22a(b)(5).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
States use the EPA's presumptive standards of performance to
establish requirements for affected sources in their state plans. In
general, the standards of performance that states establish for
affected sources must be no less stringent than the presumptive
standards of performance in the applicable emission guidelines.\910\
Thus, in order for the EPA to find a state plan ``satisfactory,'' that
plan must address each affected EGU within the state and must achieve
at least the level of emission reduction that would result if each
affected EGU was achieving its presumptive standard of performance,
after accounting for any application of RULOF.\911\ That is, while
states have the discretion to establish the applicable standards of
performance for affected EGUs in their state plans, the structure and
purpose of CAA section 111 and the EPA's regulations require that those
plans achieve an equivalent level of emission reductions as applying
the EPA's presumptive standards of performance to each of those sources
(again, after accounting for any application of RULOF). Section X.C of
this preamble addresses how states maintain the level of emission
reduction when establishing standards of performance, and section X.D
of this preamble addresses how states maintain the level of emission
reduction when incorporating compliance flexibilities.
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\910\ 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
\911\ As explained in section X.C.2 of this preamble, states may
invoke RULOF to apply a less stringent standard of performance to a
particular affected EGU when the state demonstrates that the EGU
cannot reasonably achieve the degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA. In this case, the state plan may not
necessarily achieve the same stringency as each source achieving the
EPA's presumptive standards of performance because affected EGUs for
which RULOF has been invoked would have standards of performance
less stringent than the EPA's presumptive standards.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additionally, consistent with the understanding that the purpose of
CAA section 111 is for affected sources to reduce their emissions
through cleaner operation, the Agency is also clarifying that emissions
reductions from sources not affected by the final emission guidelines
may not be counted towards compliance with either a source-specific or
aggregate standard of performance. In other words, state plans may not
account for emission reductions at non-affected fossil fuel-fired EGUs,
emission reductions due to the operation or installation of other
electricity-generating resources not subject to these emission
guidelines for the purposes of demonstrating compliance with affected
EGUs' standards of performance.
C. Establishing Standards of Performance
This section addresses several topics related to standards of
performance in state plans. First, this section describes affected
EGUs' eligibility for the subcategories in the final emission
guidelines and how to calculate presumptive standards of performance,
including calculating unit-specific baseline emission performance.
Second, it summarizes compliance date information as well as how states
can provide for a compliance date extension mechanism in their state
plans. Third, this section describes how states may consider RULOF to
apply a less stringent standard of performance or a longer compliance
schedule to a particular affected EGU. Fourth, it explains how states
must establish certain increments of progress for affected EGUs
installing control technology to comply with standards of performance,
as well as milestones and reporting obligations for affected EGUs
demonstrating that they plan to permanently cease operations. And,
finally, this section describes emission testing and monitoring
requirements.
Affected EGUs that meet the applicability requirements discussed in
section VII.B must be addressed in the state plan. For each affected
EGU within the state, the state plan must include a standard of
performance and compliance schedule. That is, each individual unit must
have its own, source-specific standard of performance and compliance
schedule. Coal-fired affected EGUs must have increments of progress in
the state plan and, if they plan to permanently cease operation and to
rely on such cessation of operation for purposes of these emission
guidelines, an enforceable commitment and reporting obligations and
milestones. State plans must also specify the test methods and
procedure for determining compliance with the standards of performance.
While a presumptive methodology for standards of performance and
other requirements were proposed for existing combustion turbine EGUs,
the EPA is not finalizing emission guidelines for such EGUs at this
time; therefore, the following discussion will not address the proposed
combustion turbine EGU requirements or comments pertaining to these
proposed requirements. In addition, the EPA is not finalizing the
imminent- and near-term coal-fired subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating units; therefore, the following discussion will not address
these proposed subcategories or comments pertaining to these proposed
subcategories. Similarly, the EPA is not finalizing emission guidelines
for states and territories in non-contiguous areas, and is therefore
not finalizing the proposed subcategories for non-continental oil-fired
steam generating units or associated requirements nor addressing
comments pertaining to these subcategories in this section.
1. Application of Presumptive Standards
This section of the preamble describes the EPA's approach to
providing presumptive standards of performance for each of the
subcategories of affected EGUs under these emission guidelines,
including establishing baseline emission performance. As explained in
section X.B of this preamble, CAA section 111(a)(1) requires that
standards of performance reflect the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the BSER, as determined by the EPA.
For each subcategory of affected EGUs, the EPA has determined a BSER
and degree of emission limitation and is providing, in these emission
guidelines, a methodology for
[[Page 39957]]
establishing presumptively approvable standards of performance (also
referred to as ``presumptive standards of performance'' or
``presumptive standards''). Appropriate use of these methodologies will
result in standards of performance that achieve the requisite degree of
emission limitation and therefore meet the statutory requirements of
section 111(a)(1) and the corresponding regulatory requirement that
standards of performance must generally be no less stringent that the
corresponding emission guidelines.\912\ 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
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\912\ Should a state decide to establish a standard of
performance for an affected EGU using a methodology other than that
provided by the EPA in these emission guidelines, the state would
have to demonstrate that the resulting standard of performance
achieves equivalent emission reductions as application of the EPA's
presumptive standard of performance.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thus, a state, when establishing standards of performance for
affected EGUs in its plan, must identify each affected EGU in the state
and specify into which subcategory each affected EGU falls. The state
would then use the corresponding methodology for the given subcategory
to establish the presumptively approvable standard of performance for
each affected EGU.
As discussed in section X.C.2 of this preamble, states may apply
less stringent standards of performance to particular affected EGUs in
certain circumstances based on consideration of RULOF. States also have
the authority to deviate from the methodology provided in these
emission guidelines for presumptively approvable standards in order to
apply a more stringent standard of performance (e.g., a state decides
that an affected EGU in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory should
comply with a standard of performance corresponding to co-firing 50
percent natural gas instead of 40 percent). Application of a standard
of performance that is more stringent than provided by the EPA's
presumptive methodology does not require application of the RULOF
provisions.\913\
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\913\ 88 FR 80529-31 (November 17, 2023).
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a. Establishing Baseline Emission Performance for Presumptive Standards
For each subcategory, the methodology to calculate a standard of
performance entails establishing a baseline of CO2 emissions
and corresponding electricity generation or heat input for an affected
EGU and then applying the degree of emission limitation achievable
through the application of the BSER (as established in section VII.C of
this preamble). The methodology for establishing baseline emission
performance for an affected EGU will result in a value that is unique
to each affected EGU. To establish baseline emission performance for an
affected EGU in all the subcategories except the low load natural gas-
and oil-fired subcategories, the EPA is finalizing a determination that
a state will use the CO2 mass emissions and corresponding
electricity generation data for a given affected EGU from any
continuous 8-quarter period from 40 CFR part 75 reporting within the 5-
year period immediately prior to the date the final rule is published
in the Federal Register. For affected EGUs in either the low load
natural gas-fired subcategory or the low load oil-fired subcategory,
the EPA is finalizing a determination that a state will use the
CO2 mass emissions and corresponding heat input for a given
affected EGU from any continuous 8-quarter period from 40 CFR part 75
reporting within the 5-year period immediately prior to the date the
final rule is published in the Federal Register. This period is based
on the NSR program's definition of ``baseline actual emissions'' for
existing electric steam generating units. See 40 CFR 52.21(b)(48)(i).
Eight quarters of 40 CFR part 75 data corresponds to a 2-year period,
but the EPA is finalizing this continuous 8-quarter period as it
corresponds to quarterly reporting according to 40 CFR part 75.
Functionally, the EPA expects states to utilize the most representative
continuous 8-quarter period of data from the 5-year period immediately
preceding the date the final rule is published in the Federal Register.
For the 8 quarters of data, a state would divide the total
CO2 emissions (in the form of pounds) over that continuous
time period by either the total gross electricity generation (in the
form of MWh) or, for affected EGUs in either the low load natural gas-
fired subcategory or the low load oil-fired subcategory, the total heat
input (in the form of MMBtu) over that same time period to calculate
baseline CO2 emission performance in either lb of
CO2 per MWh or lb of CO2 per MMBtu. As an
example, a state establishing baseline emission performance for an
affected EGU in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory in the year 2023
would start by evaluating the CO2 emissions and electricity
generation data for the affected EGU for 2018 through 2022 and choose a
continuous 8-quarter period that it deems to be the most appropriate
representation of the operation of that affected EGU. While the EPA
will evaluate the choice of baseline periods chosen by states when
reviewing state plan submissions, the EPA intends to defer to a state's
reasonable exercise of discretion as to which 8-quarter period is
representative.
The EPA is finalizing the use of 8 quarters during the 5-year
period prior to the date the final rule is published in the Federal
Register as the relevant period for the baseline methodology for
several reasons. First, each affected EGU has unique operational
characteristics that affect the emission performance of the EGU (load,
geographic location, hours of operation, coal rank, unit size, etc.),
and the EPA believes each affected EGU's emission performance baseline
should be representative of the source-specific conditions of the
affected EGU and how it has typically operated. Additionally, allowing
a state to choose (likely in consultation with the owners or operators
of affected EGUs) the 8-quarter period for assessing baseline
performance can avoid situations in which a prolonged period of
atypical operating conditions would otherwise skew the emissions
baseline. Relatedly, the EPA believes that, by using total mass
CO2 emissions and total electric generation or heat input
for an affected EGU over an 8-quarter period, any relatively short-term
variability of data due to seasonal operations or periods of startup
and shutdown, or other anomalous conditions, will be averaged into the
calculated level of baseline emission performance. The baseline-setting
approach also aligns with the reporting and compliance requirements in
the final emission guidelines. Using total mass CO2
emissions and total electric generation or heat input provides a simple
and streamlined approach for calculating baseline emission performance
without the need to sort and filter non-representative data; any minor
amount of non-representative data will be subsumed and accounted for
through implicit averaging over the course of the 8-quarter period.
Moreover, by not sorting or filtering the data, this approach reduces
the need for discretion in assessing whether the data is appropriate to
use. Commenters generally supported the proposed methodology for
setting a baseline, particularly saying that they prefer not to have to
sort or filter any data.
The EPA believes that using this baseline-setting approach as the
basis for establishing presumptively approvable standards of
performance will provide certainty for states, as well as transparency
and a streamlined process for state plan development. While this
approach is specifically designed to be flexible enough to
[[Page 39958]]
accommodate unit-specific circumstances, states retain the ability to
deviate from this methodology. The EPA believes that the instances in
which a state may need to use an alternate baseline-setting methodology
will be limited to anticipated changes in operation, (i.e.,
circumstances in which historical emission performance is not
representative of future emission performance). States that wish to
vary the baseline calculation for an affected EGU based on anticipated
changes in operation of that EGU, when those changes result in a less
stringent standard of performance, must use the RULOF mechanism, which
is designed to address such contingencies.
Comment: Commenters sought clarification as to whether the
methodology referred to the previous 5 calendar years or the 5-year
period ending on the most recent quarter reported under 40 CFR part 75
prior to publication of the final emission guidelines.
Response: The EPA clarifies that the methodology refers to the 5-
year period ending on the most recent quarter reported under 40 CFR
part 75 prior to publication of the final emission guidelines in the
Federal Register.
b. Presumptive Standards for Fossil Fuel-Fired Steam Generating Units
As described in section VII of this preamble, the EPA is finalizing
separate subcategories of existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units based on fuel type (i.e., coal-fired, natural gas-fired, or oil-
fired). Fuel type is based on the status of the source on January 1,
2030, and annual fuel use reporting is required after that date as a
part of compliance. The EPA is further creating a subcategory for coal-
fired steam generating units operating in the medium term, and further
subcategorizing natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating units by
load level.
Consistent with CAA section 111(d)(1)'s requirement that state
plans provide for the implementation and enforcement of standards of
performance, for affected EGUs in the medium-term subcategory, states
must include sources' enforceable commitments to cease operating before
January 1, 2039, in their plans. The state plan must specify the
calendar date by which the affected EGU plans to cease operation; to be
included in a state plan, a commitment to cease operations by such a
date must be enforceable by the state, whether through state rule,
agreed order, permit, or other legal instrument.\914\ Upon EPA approval
of the state plan, that commitment will become federally- and citizen-
enforceable.
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\914\ 40 CFR 60.26a.
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For affected oil- and natural gas-fired steam generating units,
subcategories are defined by load level and the type of fuel fired.
There are three subcategories for natural gas- and oil-fired steam
generating units (base load, intermediate load, and low load). Because
subcategory applicability is determined retrospectively, as opposed to
prospectively, and because the standards of performance for oil- and
natural gas-fired affected EGUs are based on BSERs that do not require
add-on controls, it is not necessary to require these sources to take
enforceable utilization commitments limiting them to just one
subcategory in order to implement and enforce their standards. For
steam generating units that meet the definition of natural gas- or oil-
fired, and that either retain the capability to fire coal after the
date this final rule is published in the Federal Register, that fired
any coal during the 5-year period prior to that date, or that will fire
any coal after that date and before January 1, 2030, the plan must
include a requirement to remove the capability to fire coal before
January 1, 2030.
The EPA is finalizing a requirement that compliance be demonstrated
annually. For affected EGUs in all subcategories except the low load
natural gas- and oil-fired subcategory, an affected EGU must
demonstrate compliance based on the lb CO2/MWh emission rate
derived by dividing the total reported CO2 mass emissions by
the total reported electric generation during the compliance period
(corresponding to 1 calendar year), which is consistent with the
expression of the degree of emission limitation for each subcategory in
sections VII.C.3 and VII.D.3. For affected EGUs in the low load natural
gas- and oil-fired subcategory, an affected EGU must demonstrate
compliance based on the lb CO2/MMBtu emission rate derived
by dividing the total reported CO2 mass emissions by the
total reported heat input during the compliance period (again,
corresponding to 1 calendar year), consistent with the expression of
the degree of emission limitation for the subcategory in section
VII.D.3.\915\ In other words, for units with a compliance date of
January 1, 2030, the first compliance period will be January 1, 2030,
through December 31, 2030. For units with a compliance date of January
1, 2032, the first compliance period will be January 1, 2032, through
December 31, 2032. The compliance demonstration must occur by March 1
of the following year (i.e., for the 2030 compliance period, by March
1, 2031).
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\915\ If the state plan incorporates compliance flexibilities
like emission averaging and trading, an affected EGU must
demonstrate compliance consistent with the expression of the
respective flexibility. See section X.D of this preamble for more
information.
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In addition, the EPA is finalizing a requirement that standards of
performance must be established as either a rate or, for affected EGUs
in certain subcategories, a mass of emissions. If a state chooses to
allow mass-based compliance for certain affected EGUs it must first
calculate the rate-based emission limitation that corresponds to the
presumptive standard of performance, and then explain how it translated
that rate-based emission limitation into the mass that constitutes an
affected EGU's standard of performance. See section X.D of this
preamble for more information on demonstrating compliance where states
are incorporating compliance flexibilities.
i. Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
This section describes the EPA's methodology for establishing
presumptively approvable standards of performance for long-term coal-
fired steam generating units. Affected coal-fired steam generating
units that do not meet the specifications of the medium-term coal-fired
EGU subcategory are necessarily long-term units, and have a BSER of CCS
with 90 percent capture and a degree of emission limitation of 90
percent capture of the mass of CO2 in the flue gas (i.e.,
the mass of CO2 after the boiler but before the capture
equipment) over an extended period of time and an 88.4 percent
reduction in emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross basis over
an extended period of time (i.e., an annual calendar-year basis). The
EPA is finalizing a determination that where states use the methodology
described here to establish standards of performance for affected EGUs
in this subcategory, those established standards will be presumptively
approvable when included in a state plan submission.
Establishing a standard of performance for an affected coal-fired
EGU in this subcategory consists of two steps: establishing a source-
specific level of baseline emission performance (as described in
section X.C.1.a of this preamble); and applying the degree of emission
limitation, based on the application of the BSER, to that level of
baseline emission performance. Implementation of CCS with a capture
rate of 90 precent translates to a degree
[[Page 39959]]
of emission limitation comprising of an 88.4 percent reduction in
CO2 emission rate compared to the baseline level of emission
performance. Using the complement of 88.4 percent (i.e., 11.6 percent)
and multiplying it by the baseline level of emission performance
results in the presumptively approvable standard of performance. For
example, if a long-term coal-fired EGU's level of baseline emission
performance is 2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh, it will have a
presumptively approvable standard of performance of 232 lbs
CO2 per MWh (2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh multiplied by
0.116).
The EPA is also finalizing a requirement that affected coal-fired
EGUs in the long-term subcategory comply with federally enforceable
increments of progress, which are described in section X.C.3 of this
preamble.
ii. Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating Units
This section describes the EPA's methodology for establishing
presumptively approvable standards of performance for medium-term coal-
fired steam generating units. Affected coal-fired steam generating
units that plan to commit to permanently cease operations before
January 1, 2039, have a BSER of 40 percent natural gas co-firing on a
heat input basis. The EPA is finalizing a determination that where
states use the methodology described here to establish standards of
performance for an affected EGU in this subcategory, those established
standards of performance would be presumptively approvable when
included in a state plan submission.
Establishing a standard of performance for an affected EGU in this
subcategory consists of two steps: establishing a source-specific level
of baseline emission performance (as described in section X.C.1.a); and
applying the degree of emission limitation, based on the application of
the BSER, to that level of baseline emission performance.
Implementation of natural gas co-firing at a level of 40 percent of
total annual heat input translates to a level of stringency of a 16
percent reduction in emission rate on a lb CO2/MWh-gross
basis over an extended period of time (i.e., an annual calendar-year
basis) compared to the baseline level of emission performance. Using
the complement of 16 percent (i.e., 84 percent) and multiplying it by
the baseline level of emission performance results in the presumptively
approvable standard of performance for the affected EGU. For example,
if a medium-term coal-fired EGU's level of baseline emission
performance is 2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh, it will have a
presumptively approvable standard of performance of 1,680
CO2 lbs per MWh (2,000 lbs CO2 per MWh multiplied
by 0.84).
For medium-term coal-fired steam generating units that have an
amount of co-firing that is reflected in the baseline operation, the
EPA is finalizing a requirement that states account for such
preexisting co-firing in adjusting the degree of emission limitation.
If, for example, an EGU co-fires natural gas at a level of 10 percent
of the total annual heat input during the applicable 8-quarter baseline
period, the corresponding degree of emission limitation would be
adjusted to a 12 percent reduction in CO2 emission rate on a
lb CO2/MWh-gross basis compared to the baseline level of
emission performance (i.e., an additional 30 percent of natural gas by
heat input) to reflect the preexisting level of natural gas co-firing.
This results in a standard of performance based on the degree of
emission limitation achieving an additional 30 percent co-firing beyond
the 10 percent that is accounted for in the baseline. The EPA believes
this approach is a more straightforward mathematical adjustment than
adjusting the baseline to appropriately reflect a preexisting level of
co-firing.
The standard of performance for the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory is based on the degree of emission limitation that is
achievable through application of the BSER to the affected EGUs in the
subcategory and consists exclusively of the rate-based emission
limitation. However, the BSER determination for this subcategory is
predicated on the assumption that affected EGUs within it will
permanently cease operations prior to January 1, 2039. If a state
decides to place an affected EGU in the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory, the state plan must include that EGU's commitment to
permanently cease operating as an enforceable requirement. The state
plan must also include provisions that provide for the implementation
and enforcement of this commitment, including requirements for
monitoring, reporting, and recordkeeping.
Affected coal-fired EGUs that are relying on commitments to cease
operating must comply with the milestones and reporting requirements as
specified under these emission guidelines. The EPA intends these
milestones to assist affected EGUs in ensuring they are completing the
necessary steps to comply with their state plan requirements and to
help ensure that any issues with implementation are identified in a
timely and efficient manner. These milestones are described in detail
in section X.C.4 of this preamble. Affected EGUs in this subcategory
would also be required to comply with the federally enforceable
increments of progress described in section X.C.3 of this preamble.
iii. Natural Gas-Fired Steam Generating Units and Oil-Fired Steam
Generating Units
This section describes the EPA's final methodology for
presumptively approvable standards of performance for the following
subcategories of affected natural gas-fired and oil-fired steam
generating units: low load natural gas-fired steam generating units,
intermediate load natural gas-fired steam generating units, base load
natural gas-fired steam generating units, low load oil-fired steam
generating units, intermediate load oil-fired steam generating units,
and base load oil-fired steam generating units. The final definitions
of these subcategories are discussed in section VII.D.1 of this
preamble. The final presumptive standards of performance are based on
degrees of emission limitation that units are currently achieving,
consistent with the proposed BSER of routine methods of operation and
maintenance, which amounts to a proposed degree of emission limitation
of no increase in emission rate.
For natural gas-fired steam generating units, the EPA proposed
fixed presumptive standards of 1,500 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load units (solicited comment on values between 1,400 and
1,600 lb/MWh-gross) and 1,300 lb CO2/MWh-gross for base load
units (solicited comment on values between 1,250 and 1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-gross). For oil-fired steam generating units, the
EPA proposed fixed presumptive standards of 1,500 lb CO2/
MWh-gross for intermediate load units (solicited comment on values
between 1,400 and 2,000 lb/MWh-gross) and 1,300 lb CO2/MWh-
gross for base load units (solicited comment on values between 1,250
and 1,800 lb CO2/MWh-gross).
The EPA is finalizing presumptive standards of performance for
affected natural gas-fired and oil-fired steam generating units in lieu
of methodologies that states would use to establish presumptive
standards of performance. This is largely because of the low
variability in emissions data at intermediate and base load for these
units and relatively consistent performance between these units at
[[Page 39960]]
those load levels, as discussed in section VII.D of this preamble and
detailed in the final TSD, Natural Gas- and Oil-fired Steam Generating
Units, which supports the establishment of a generally applicable
standard of performance.
For intermediate load natural gas-fired units (annual capacity
factors greater than or equal to 8 percent and less than 45 percent),
annual emission rates are less than 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for more than 95 percent of units. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the
presumptive standard of performance of an annual calendar-year emission
rate of 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross for these units.
For base load natural gas-fired units (annual capacity factors
greater than or equal to 45 percent), annual emission rates are less
than 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross for more than 95 percent of
units. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the presumptive standard of
performance of an annual calendar-year emission rate of 1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for these units.
In the continental U.S., there are few if any oil-fired steam
generating units that operate with intermediate or high utilization.
Liquid-oil-fired steam generating units with 24-month capacity factors
less than 8 percent do qualify for a work practice standard in lieu of
emission requirements under the MATS (40 CFR part 63, subpart UUUUU).
If oil-fired units operated at higher annual capacity factors, it is
likely they would do so with substantial amounts of natural gas-firing
and have emission rates that are similar to steam generating units that
fire only natural gas at those levels of utilization. There are a few
natural gas-fired steam generating units that are near the threshold
for qualifying as oil-fired units (i.e., firing more than 15 percent
oil in a given year) but that on average fire more than 90 percent of
their heat input from natural gas. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing the
same presumptive standards of performance for oil-fired steam
generating units as for natural gas-fired units (1,400 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for base load units and 1,600 lb
CO2/MWh-gross for intermediate load units).
Lastly, the EPA is finalizing uniform fuels as the BSER for low
load natural gas and oil-fired steam generating units. The EPA is
finalizing degrees of emission limitation defined by 130 lb
CO2/MMBtu for low load natural gas-fired steam generating
units and 170 lb CO2/MMBtu for low load oil-fired steam
generating units, and presumptively approvable standards consistent
with those values.
Comment: One commenter stated that the EPA should instead allow
states to define standards using a source's baseline emission rate,
with some additional flexibilities to account for changes in load.\916\
The commenter also requested that, if the EPA were to finalize
presumptive standards, then the higher values that the EPA solicited
comment on for natural gas-fired units should be finalized. The
commenter similarly requested that, if the EPA were to finalize
presumptive standards, then the higher values that the EPA solicited
comment on for oil-fired units should be finalized--however, the
commenter also noted that its two sources that are currently oil-firing
operate below an 8 percent annual capacity factor and would therefore
not be subject to the intermediate load or base load presumptive
standard.
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\916\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0806.
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Response: The EPA is finalizing presumptive standards for natural
gas-fired steam generating units of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross
for base load units and 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross for
intermediate load units. The EPA is finalizing the same standards for
oil-fired steam generating units for the reasons discussed in the
preceding text. Few, if any, oil-fired units operate as intermediate
load or base load units, as acknowledged by the commenter. Those oil-
fired units that have operated near the threshold for intermediate load
have typically fired a large proportion of natural gas and operated at
emission rates consistent with the final presumptive standards.
c. Compliance Dates
This section summarizes information on the compliance dates, or the
first date on which the standard of performance applies, that the EPA
is finalizing for each subcategory. As discussed in section X.C.1.b,
compliance is required to be demonstrated on an annual (i.e., calendar
year) basis.
The EPA proposed a compliance date of January 1, 2030, for all
affected steam generating units. As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.i(E)
of this preamble, the EPA received comments that this compliance date
was not achievable for sources in the long-term coal-fired EGU
subcategory that would be installing CCS. In response to those
comments, the EPA reevaluated the information and timeline for CCS
installation and is finalizing a compliance date of January 1, 2032,
for the long-term coal-fired subcategory. The Agency is finalizing a
compliance date of January 1, 2030, for units in the medium-term coal-
fired subcategory as well as for natural gas- and oil-fired steaming
generating units.
The EPA refers to January 1, 2030, and January 1, 2032, as
``compliance dates,'' ``final compliance dates,'' and ``initial
compliance dates'' in various parts of this preamble. In each case, the
EPA means that this is the date on which affected EGUs must start
monitoring and reporting their emissions and other relevant data for
purposes of demonstrating compliance with their standards of
performance under these emission guidelines. Affected EGUs demonstrate
compliance on a calendar year basis, i.e., the compliance period for
affected EGUs is 1 calendar year. Therefore, affected EGUs will not
have to demonstrate that they are achieving their standards of
performance on January 1, 2030, or January 1, 2032, as that
demonstration is made only at the end of the compliance period, i.e.,
at the end of the calendar year. But, again, these are the dates on
which affected EGUs in the relevant subcategories must start monitoring
and reporting for purposes of their future compliance demonstrations
with their standards of performance.
d. Compliance Date Extension Mechanism
The EPA is finalizing provisions that allow states to include a
mechanism to extend the compliance date for certain affected EGUs in
their state plans. This mechanism is only available for situations in
which an affected EGU encounters a delay in installation of a control
technology that makes it impossible to commence compliance by the date
specified in section X.C.1.c of this preamble. The owner or operator
must provide documentation of the circumstances that precipitated the
delay (or the anticipated delay) and demonstrate that those
circumstances were or are entirely beyond the owner or operator's
control and that the owner or operator has no ability to remedy the
delay. These circumstances may include, but are not limited to,
permitting-related delays or delays in delivery or construction of
parts necessary for installation or implementation of the control
technology.
The EPA received extensive comment requesting a mechanism to extend
the compliance date for affected EGUs installing a control technology
to address situations in which the owner or operator of the affected
EGU encounters a delay outside of their control. Several industry
commenters noted the potential for such delays due to, among other
reasons, supply chain constraints, permitting processes, and/or
environmental assessments as well as
[[Page 39961]]
delays in deployment of supporting infrastructure like pipelines. These
commenters explained that an extension mechanism could provide greater
regulatory certainty for owners and operators. In light of this
feedback and acknowledgment that there may be circumstances outside of
owners/operators' control that impact their ability to meet the
compliance dates in these emission guidelines, the EPA believes that it
is reasonable to provide a consistent and transparent means of allowing
a limited extension of the compliance deadline where an affected EGU
has demonstrated such an extension is needed for installation of
controls. This mechanism is intended to address delays in
implementation--not to provide more time to assess the compliance
strategy (i.e., the type of technology or subcategory assignment) for
the affected EGU, as some commenters suggested; those decisions are to
be made at the time of state plan approval.
The compliance date extension mechanism is consistent with both CAA
section 111 and these emission guidelines. Consistent with the
statutory purpose of remedying dangerous air pollution, state plans
must generally provide for compliance with standards of performance as
expeditiously as practicable but no later than specified in the
emission guidelines. 40 CFR 60.24a(c). As discussed in sections
VII.C.1.a.i.(E) and VII.C.2.b.i(C), the EPA has determined compliance
timelines in these emission guidelines consistent with achieving
emission reductions as expeditiously as practicable given the time it
takes to install the BSER technologies for the respective
subcategories. The compliance dates are designed to accommodate the
process steps and timeframes that the EPA reasonably anticipates will
apply to affected EGUs. This extension mechanism acknowledges that
circumstances entirely outside the control of the owners or operators
of affected EGUs may extend the timeframe for installation of control
technologies beyond what the EPA reasonably expects for the
subcategories as a general matter. Thus, so long as this extension
mechanism is limited to circumstances that cannot be reasonably
controlled or remedied by states or affected EGUs and that make it
impossible to achieve compliance by the dates specified in these
emission guidelines, its use is consistent with achieving compliance as
expeditiously as practicable.
The EPA is establishing parameters, described in this subsection,
for the features of this mechanism (e.g., documentation, time
limitation). Within these parameters, states should consider state-
specific circumstances related to the implementation and enforcement of
this mechanism in their state plans. Importantly, in order to provide
compliance date extensions that do not require a state plan revision
available to affected EGUs, states must include the mechanism in their
proposed state plans that are provided for public comment and
meaningful engagement (as well as in the final state plan submitted to
the EPA), and the circumstances for and consequences of using this
mechanism must be clearly spelled out and bounded. States are not
required to include this mechanism in their state plans; absent its
inclusion, states must submit a state plan revision in order to extend
a compliance schedule that has been approved into a plan.
First, state plans must provide that a compliance date extension
through this mechanism is available only for affected EGUs that are
installing add-on controls. Affected EGUs that intend to comply without
installing additional control technologies--including, but not limited
to, oil and gas-fired steam generating EGUs--should not experience the
types of installation or implementation delays that this mechanism is
intended to address. Second, state plan mechanisms must provide that to
receive a compliance date extension, the owner or operator of an
affected EGU is required to demonstrate to the state air pollution
control agency, and provide supporting documentation to establish, the
basis for and plans to address the delay. For each affected EGU, this
demonstration must include (1) confirmation that the affected EGU has
met the relevant increments of progress up to the point of the delay,
including any permits obtained and/or contracts entered into for the
installation of control technology, (2) documentation, such as invoices
or correspondence with permitting authorities, vendors, etc., of the
circumstances of the delay and that the delay is due to the action, or
lack thereof, of a third party (e.g., supplier or permitting
authority), and that the owner or operator of the affected EGU has
itself acted consistent with achieving timely compliance (e.g., in
applying for permits with all necessary information or contracting in
sufficient time to perform in accordance with required schedules), and
(3) plans for addressing the circumstances and remedying the delay as
expeditiously as practicable, including updated dates for the final
increment of progress corresponding to the compliance date as well as
any other increments that are outstanding at the time of the
demonstration. These requirements for documentation are intended to
ensure, inter alia, that the owner or operator has made all reasonable
efforts to achieve timely compliance and that the circumstances for
granting an extension are not speculative but are rather based on
delays the affected EGU is currently experiencing or is reasonably
certain to experience.
The extended compliance date must be as expeditiously as
practicable and the maximum time allowed for this extension is 1 year
beyond the compliance date specified for the affected EGU by the state
plan. Several commenters suggested that a 1-year extension was
appropriate. If the delay is anticipated to be longer than 1 year,
states can provide for the use of this mechanism for up to 1 year but
should also initiate a state plan revision if necessary to provide an
updated compliance date through consideration of RULOF, subject to EPA
approval of the plan revision.
The state air pollution control agency is charged with approving or
disapproving a compliance date extension request based on its written
determination that the affected EGU has or has not made each of the
necessary demonstrations and provided all of the necessary
documentation. All documentation for the extension request must be
submitted by the owner or operator of the affected EGU to the state air
pollution control agency no later than 6 months prior to the compliance
date provided in these emission guidelines. The owner or operator of
the affected EGU must also notify the relevant EPA Regional
Administrator of their compliance date extension request at the time of
the submission of the request. The owner or operator of the affected
EGU must also post their application for the compliance date extension
request to the Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs website, as
discussed in section X.E.1.b.ii of this preamble, when they submit the
request to the state air pollution control agency. The state air
pollution control agency must notify the relevant EPA Regional
Administrator of any determination on an extension request and the new
compliance date for any affected EGU(s) with an approved extension at
the time of the determination on the extension request. The owner or
operator of the affected EGU must also post the state's determination
on the compliance extension request to the Carbon Pollution Standards
for EGUs website, as discussed in section X.E.1.b.ii of this preamble,
upon receipt of the determination, and, if the request is
[[Page 39962]]
approved, update information on the website related to the compliance
date and increments of progress dates within 30 days of the receipt of
the state's approval.
2. Remaining Useful Life and Other Factors
Under CAA section 111(d), the EPA is required to promulgate
regulations under which states submit plans that ``establish[]
standards of performance for any existing source'' and ``provide for
the implementation and enforcement of such standards of performance.''
While states establish the standards of performance, there is a
fundamental obligation under CAA section 111(d) that such standards
reflect the degree of emission limitation achievable through the
application of the BSER, as determined by the EPA.\917\ The EPA
identifies this degree of emission limitation as part of its emission
guideline. 40 CFR 60.22a(b)(5). Thus, as described in section X.C.2 of
this preamble, the EPA is providing methodologies for states to follow
in determining and applying presumptively approvable standards of
performance to affected EGUs in each of the subcategories covered by
these emission guidelines. In general, the standards of performance
that states establish for designated facilities must be no less
stringent than the presumptively approvable standards of performance
specified in these emission guidelines. 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
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\917\ West Virginia v. EPA, 597 U.S. 697, 720 (2022) (``In
devising emissions limits for power plants, EPA first `determines'
the `best system of emission reduction' that--taking into account
cost, health, and other factors--it finds `has been adequately
demonstrated.' The Agency then quantifies `the degree of emission
limitation achievable' if that best system were applied to the
covered source.'') (internal citations omitted).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
However, CAA section 111(d)(1) also requires that the EPA's
regulations permit the states, in applying a standard of performance to
any particular designated facility, to ``take into consideration, among
other factors, the remaining useful life of the existing source to
which the standard applies.'' The EPA's implementing regulations under
40 CFR 60.24a allow a state to consider a particular designated
facility's remaining useful life and other factors (``RULOF'') in
applying to that facility a standard of performance that is less
stringent than the presumptive level of stringency in the applicable
emission guideline, or a compliance schedule that is longer than
prescribed by that emission guideline.
In the proposal, the EPA indicated that it had recently proposed,
in a separate rulemaking, to clarify the general implementing
regulations governing the application of RULOF. The Agency further
explained that the revised RULOF regulations, as finalized in that
separate rulemaking, would apply to these emission guidelines. The
revisions to the implementing regulations' RULOF provisions were
finalized in November 2023, with some changes in response to public
comments relative to proposal. As provided by 40 CFR 60.20a(a) and
(a)(1) and indicated in the proposal, the RULOF provisions in 40 CFR
60.24a, as revised in the November 2023 final rule, will govern the use
of RULOF to provide less stringent standards of performance or longer
compliance schedules under these emission guidelines. The EPA is not
superseding any provision of the RULOF regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a in
these emission guidelines.
As explained in the preamble to the final rule, Adoption and
Submittal of State Plans for Designated Facilities: Implementing
Regulations Under Clear Air Act Section 111(d), the EPA has interpreted
the RULOF provision of CAA section 111(d)(1) as allowing states to
apply a standard of performance that is less stringent than the degree
of emission limitation in the applicable emission guideline, or a
longer compliance schedule, to a particular facility based on that
facility's remaining useful life and other factors. The use of RULOF to
deviate from an emission guideline is available only when there are
fundamental differences between the circumstances of a particular
facility and the information the EPA considered in determining the
degree of emission limitation or the compliance schedule, and those
fundamental differences make it unreasonable for the facility to
achieve the degree of emission limitation or meet the compliance
schedule in the emission guideline. This ``fundamentally different''
standard is consistent with the statutory purpose of reducing dangerous
air pollution under CAA section 111; the statutory framework under
which, to achieve that purpose, the EPA is directed to determine the
degree of emission under CAA section 111(a)(1); and the understanding
that RULOF is intended as a limited variance from the EPA's
determination to address unusual circumstances at particular
facilities.\918\
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\918\ See, e.g., 88 FR 80512 (November 17, 2023).
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The relevant consideration for states contemplating the use of
RULOF to apply a less stringent standard of performance is whether a
designated facility can reasonably achieve the degree of emission
limitation in the applicable emission guideline, not whether it can
implement the system of emission reduction the EPA determined is the
BSER. That is, if a designated facility cannot implement the BSER but
can reasonably achieve the specified degree of emission limitation
using a different system of emission reduction, the state cannot use
RULOF to apply a less stringent standard of performance to that
facility.
If a state has demonstrated, pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), that a
particular facility cannot reasonably achieve the degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule determined by the EPA in these
emission guidelines, the state may then apply a less stringent standard
of performance or longer compliance schedule. The process for doing so
is laid out in 40 CFR 60.24a(f). Critically, standards of performance
and compliance schedules pursuant to RULOF must be no less stringent,
or no longer, than is necessary to address the fundamental difference
between the information the EPA considered and the particular facility
that was the basis for invoking RULOF under 40 CFR 60.24a(e). In
determining a less stringent standard of performance, the state must,
to the extent necessary, evaluate the systems of emission reduction
identified in the emission guidelines using the factors and evaluation
metrics the EPA considered in assessing those systems, including
technical feasibility, the amount of emission reductions, the cost of
achieving such reductions, any non-air quality health and environmental
impacts, and energy requirements. States may also consider, as
justified, other factors specific to the facility that were the basis
for invoking RULOF under 40 CFR 60.24a(e), as well as additional
systems of emission reduction.
The RULOF provision at 40 CFR 60.24a(g) states that, where the
basis of a less stringent standard of performance is an operating
condition within the control of a designated facility, the state plan
must include such operating condition as an enforceable requirement.
The state plan must also include requirements, such as for monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping, for the implementation and enforcement of
the condition. This is relevant in the case of, for example, less
stringent standards of performance that are based on a particular
designated facility's remaining useful life or utilization.
Finally, the general implementing regulations provide that states
may always adopt and enforce, as part of their state plans, standards
of
[[Page 39963]]
performance that are more stringent than the degree of emission
limitation determined by the EPA and compliance schedules that require
final compliance more quickly than specified in the applicable emission
guidelines. 40 CFR 60.24a(i). States do not have to use the RULOF
provisions in 40 CFR 60.24a(e)-(h) to apply a more stringent standard
of performance or faster compliance schedule.
The EPA notes that there were a number of RULOF provisions proposed
as additions to the general implementation regulations in subpart Ba
and discussed in the proposed emission guidances that the EPA did not
finalize as part of that separate rulemaking. Any proposed RULOF
requirements that were not finalized in 40 CFR 60.24a are likewise not
being finalized in this action and do not apply as requirements under
these emission guidelines. However, two considerations in particular
remain relevant to states' development of plans despite not being
finalized as requirements: consideration of communities most impacted
by and vulnerable to the health and environmental impacts of an
affected EGU that is invoking RULOF, and the need to engage in reasoned
decision making that is supported by information and a rationale that
is included in the state plan.\919\
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\919\ The other RULOF provisions that the EPA proposed as
additions to 40 CFR 60.24a but did not finalize are related to
setting imminent and outermost dates for the consideration of
remaining useful life and consideration of RULOF to apply more
stringent standards of performance. See 88 FR 80480, 80525, 80529
(November 17, 2023).
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As explained in the preamble to the November 2023 final rule
revising subpart Ba, consideration of health and environmental impacts
is inherent in consideration of two factors, the non-air quality health
and environmental impacts and amount of emission reduction, that the
EPA considers under CAA section 111(a)(1). Therefore, a state
considering whether a variance from the EPA's degree of emission
limitation is appropriate will necessarily consider the potential
impacts and benefits of control to communities impacted by an affected
EGU that is potentially receiving a less stringent standard of
performance.\920\ Additionally, as discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of
this preamble, the general implementing regulations for CAA section
111(d) in subpart Ba require states to submit, with their state plans
or plan revisions, documentation that they have conducted meaningful
engagement with pertinent stakeholders and/or their representative in
the plan (or plan revision) development process. 40 CFR 60.23a(i). The
application of a less stringent standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule pursuant to RULOF can impact the effects a state
plan has on pertinent stakeholders, which include, but are not limited
to, industry, small businesses, and communities most affected by and/or
vulnerable to the impacts of a state plan or plan revision. See 40 CFR
60.21a(l). Therefore, the potential application of less stringent
standards of performance or longer compliance schedule should be part
of a state's meaningful engagement on a state plan or plan revision.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\920\ 88 FR 80528 (November 17, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Similarly, the EPA emphasized in the preamble to the November 2023
final rule revising subpart Ba that states carry the burden of making
any demonstrations in support of less-stringent standards of
performance pursuant to RULOF in developing their plans. As a general
matter, states always bear the responsibility of reasonably documenting
and justifying the standards of performance in their plans. In order to
find a standard of performance satisfactory, the EPA must be able to
ascertain, based on the information and analysis included in the state
plan submission, that the standard meets the statutory and regulatory
requirements.\921\
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\921\ See id. at 80527.
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Comment: Multiple commenters expressed support for the EPA's
proposed approach to RULOF, including its framework for ensuring that
less stringent standards of performance and longer compliance schedules
are limited to unique circumstances that reflect fundamental
differences from the circumstances that the EPA considered, and that
such standards do not undermine the overall effectiveness of the
emission guidelines. These commenters also noted that the proposed
RULOF approach is consistent with CAA section 111(d). However, other
commenters argued that the EPA lacks authority to put restrictions on
how states consider RULOF to apply less stringent standards of
performance or longer compliance schedules. Some commenters stated that
the EPA's framework for the consideration of RULOF runs counter to
section 111's framework of cooperative federalism and that the EPA has
a limited role of determining BSER for the source category while the
statute reserves significant authority for the states to establish and
implement standards of performance. One commenter elaborated that the
broad discretion given to states to establish standards of performance
gives the EPA only a limited role in reviewing states' RULOF
demonstrations.
Response: The provisions that will govern states' use of RULOF
under these emission guidelines are contained in the part 40, subpart
Ba CAA section 111(d) implementing regulations. Following proposal of
these emission guidelines, the EPA finalized revisions to the subpart
Ba RULOF provisions in a separate rulemaking. Any comments on these
generally applicable provisions, including the EPA's authority to
promulgate and implement them and consistency with the cooperative
federalism framework of CAA section 111(d), are outside the scope of
this action. The EPA has, however, considered and responded to comments
that concern the application of these generally applicable RULOF
provisions under these particular emission guidelines.
Comment: Several commenters spoke to the role of RULOF given the
structure of the proposed subcategories for coal-fired steam generating
affected EGUs. Some commenters supported the EPA's statement that,
given the four proposed subcategories based on affected EGUs' intended
operating horizons, the Agency did not anticipate that states would be
likely to need to invoke RULOF based on a particular affected EGU's
remaining useful life. In contrast, other commenters stated that the
EPA was attempting to unlawfully preempt state consideration of RULOF.
Some noted that, regardless of the approach to subcategorization, a
particular source may still present source-specific considerations that
a state may consider relevant when applying a standard of performance.
One commenter referred to RULOF as a way for states to ``modify''
subcategories to address the circumstances of particular affected EGUs.
Response: As explained in section VII.C of this preamble, the
structure of the subcategories for coal-fired steam generating affected
EGUs under these final emission guidelines differs from the four
subcategories that the EPA proposed. The EPA is finalizing just two
subcategories for coal-fired EGUs: the long-term subcategory and the
medium-term subcategory. Under these circumstances, the justification
for the EPA's statement at proposal that it is unlikely that states
would need to invoke RULOF based on a coal-fired steam generating
affected EGU's remaining useful life no longer applies. Consistent with
40 CFR 60.24a(e) and the Agency's explanation in the proposal, states
have the ability to
[[Page 39964]]
consider, inter alia, a particular source's remaining useful life when
applying a standard of performance to that source.\922\
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\922\ See 88 FR 33383 (invoking RULOF based on a particular
coal-fired EGU's remaining useful life ``is not prohibited under
these emission guidelines'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Moreover, the EPA is clarifying that RULOF may be used to
particularize the compliance obligations for an affected EGU when a
state demonstrates that it is unreasonable for that EGU to achieve the
applicable degree of emission limitation or compliance schedule
determined by the EPA. Invocation of RULOF does not have the effect of
modifying the subcategory structure or creating a new subcategory for a
particular affected EGU. That EGU remains in the applicable
subcategory. As explained elsewhere in this section of the preamble,
the particularized compliance obligations must differ as little as
possible from the presumptive standard of performance and compliance
schedule for the subcategory into which the affected EGU falls under
these emission guidelines.
Comment: One commenter requested that the EPA identify situations
in which it is reasonable to deviate from the presumptive standards of
performance in the emission guidelines and include presumptively
approvable approaches for states to use when invoking RULOF. The
commenter noted that this would reduce the regulatory burden on states
developing and submitting plans. Another commenter, however, stated
that the EPA should not provide any presumptively approvable standard,
criteria, or analytic approach for states seeking to use RULOF. This
commenter explained that the premise of source-specific variances under
RULOF is that they reflect circumstances that are unique to a
particular unit and fundamental differences from the general case, and
that it would be inappropriate to offer a generic rubric for approving
variances separate from the particularized facts of each case.
Response: The EPA is not identifying circumstances in which it
would be reasonable to deviate from its determinations or providing
presumptively approvable approaches to invoking RULOF in these emission
guidelines. For this source category--fossil-fuel fired steam
generating EGUs--in particular, the circumstances and characteristics
of affected EGUs and the control strategies the EPA has identified as
BSER are extremely context- and source-specific. In order to invoke
RULOF for a particular affected EGU, a state must demonstrate that it
is unreasonable for that EGU to reasonably achieve the applicable
degree of emission limitation or compliance schedule. Given the
diversity of sizes, ages, locations, process designs, operating
conditions, etc., of affected EGUs, it is highly unlikely that the
circumstances that result in one affected EGU being unable to
reasonably achieve the applicable presumptive standard or compliance
schedule would apply to any other affected EGU. Further, the RULOF
provisions of subpart Ba provide clarity for and guidance to states as
to what constitutes a satisfactory less-stringent standard of
performance under these emission guidelines.
While the EPA is not providing presumptively approvable
circumstances or analyses for RULOF in these emission guidelines, it is
providing information and analysis that states can leverage in making
any determinations pursuant to the RULOF provisions. As explained
elsewhere in this section of the preamble, the EPA expects that states
will be able to particularize the information it is providing in
section VII of this preamble and the final Technical Support Documents
for the circumstances of any affected EGUs for which they are
considering RULOF, thereby decreasing the analytical burdens.
Comment: Several commenters stated that the proposed emission
guidelines did not provide adequate time for RULOF analyses.
Response: As noted above, the EPA expects states to leverage the
information it is providing in section VII of this preamble and the
final Technical Support Documents in conducting any RULOF analyses
under these emission guidelines. In particular, the Agency believes
states will be able to use the information it is providing on available
control technologies for affected EGUs, technical considerations, and
costs given different amortization periods and particularize it for the
purpose of conducting any analyses pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e) and
(f). Additionally, as discussed in section X.C.2.b of this preamble,
the regulatory provisions for RULOF under subpart Ba provide a
framework for determining less stringent standards of performance that
have the practical effect of minimizing states' analytical burdens.
Given the EPA's consideration of affected EGU's circumstances and
operational characteristics in designing these emission guidelines, the
Agency does not anticipate that states will be in the position of
conducting numerous RULOF analyses as part of their state planning
processes. The EPA therefore believes that states will have sufficient
time to consider RULOF and conduct any RULOF analyses under these
emission guidelines.
a. Threshold Requirements for Considering RULOF
The general implementing regulations of 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba,
provide that a state may apply a less stringent standard of performance
or longer compliance schedule than otherwise required under the
applicable emission guidelines based on consideration of a particular
source's remaining useful life and other factors. To do so, the state
must demonstrate for each designated facility (or class of such
facilities) that the facility cannot reasonably achieve the degree of
emission limitation determined by the EPA (i.e., the presumptively
approvable standard of performance) based on: (1) Unreasonable cost
resulting from plant age, location, or basic process design, (2)
physical impossibility or technical infeasibility of installing the
necessary control equipment, or (3) other factors specific to the
facility. In order to determine that one or more of these circumstances
has been met, the state must demonstrate that there are fundamental
differences between the information specific to a facility (or class of
such facilities) and the information the EPA considered in the
applicable emission guidelines that make achieving the degree of
emission limitation or compliance schedule in those guidelines
unreasonable for the facility.
For each subcategory of affected EGUs in these emission guidelines,
the EPA determined the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER by considering information relevant to each of
the factors in CAA section 111(a)(1): whether a system of emission
reduction is adequately demonstrated for the subcategory, the costs of
a system of emission reduction, the non-air quality health and
environmental impacts and energy requirements associated with a system
of emission reduction, and the extent of emission reductions from a
system.\923\ As noted above, the relevant consideration for invoking
RULOF is whether an affected EGU can reasonably achieve the presumptive
standard of
[[Page 39965]]
performance for the applicable subcategory, as opposed to whether it
can implement the BSER. In determining the BSER the EPA found that
certain costs, impacts, and energy requirements were, on balance,
reasonable for affected EGUs; it is therefore reasonable to assume that
the same costs, impacts, and energy requirements would be equally
reasonable in the context of other systems of reduction, as well.
Therefore, the information the EPA considered in relation to each of
these factors is the baseline for consideration of RULOF regardless of
the system of emission reduction being considered.
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\923\ The EPA also considered expanded use and development of
technology in determining the BSER for each subcategory. However, as
this consideration is not necessarily relevant at the scale of a
particular source for which a less stringent standard of performance
is being considered, it is not addressed here.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is providing presumptive standards of performance in these
emission guidelines in the form of rate-based emission limitations.
Thus, the focus for states considering whether a particular affected
EGU has met the threshold for a less stringent standard of performance
pursuant to RULOF is whether that affected EGU can reasonably achieve
the applicable rate-based presumptive standard of performance in these
emission guidelines.
Within each of the statutory factors it considered in determining
the BSER, the Agency considered information using one or more
evaluation metrics. For example, for both the long-term and medium-term
coal-fired steam generating EGUs the EPA considered cost in terms of
dollars/ton CO2 reduced and increases in levelized costs
expressed as dollars per MWh electricity generation. Under the non-air
quality health and environmental impacts and energy requirements
factor, the EPA considered non-greenhouse gas emissions and energy
requirements in terms of parasitic load and boiler efficiency, in
addition to evaluation metrics specific to the systems being evaluated
for each subcategory. For the full range of factors, evaluation
metrics, and information the EPA considered with regard to the long-
term and medium-term coal-fired steam generating EGU subcategories, see
section VII.D.1 and VII.D.2 of this preamble.
Although the considerations for invoking RULOF described in 40 CFR
60.24a(e) are broader than just unreasonable cost of control, much of
the information the EPA considered in determining the BSER, and
therefore many of the circumstances states might consider in
determining whether to invoke RULOF, are reflected in the cost
consideration. Where possible, states should reflect source-specific
considerations in terms of cost, as it is an objective and replicable
metric for comparison to both the EPA's information and across affected
EGUs and states.\924\ For example, consideration of pipeline length
needed for a particular affected EGU is best reflected through
consideration of the cost of that pipeline. In particular,
consideration of the remaining useful life of a particular affected EGU
should be considered with regard to its impact on costs. In determining
the BSER, the EPA considers costs and specifically annualized costs
associated with payment of the total capital investment associated with
the BSER. An affected EGU's remaining useful life and associated length
of the capital recovery period can have a significant impact on
annualized costs. States invoking RULOF based on an affected EGU's
remaining useful life should demonstrate that the annualized costs of
applying the degree of emission limitation achievable through
application of the BSER for a source with a short remaining useful life
are fundamentally different from the costs that the EPA found were
reasonable. For purposes of determining the annualized costs for an
affected EGU with a shorter remaining useful life, the EPA considers
the amortization period to begin at the compliance date for the
applicable subcategory.
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\924\ The EPA reiterates that states are not precluded from
considering information and factors other than costs under 40 CFR
60.24a(e)(ii) and (iii).
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States considering the use of RULOF to provide a less stringent
standard of performance for a particular EGU must demonstrate that the
information relevant to that EGU is fundamentally different from the
information the EPA considered. For example, in determining the degree
of emission limitation achievable through the application of co-firing
for medium-term coal-fired steam generating EGUs, the EPA found that
costs of $71/ton CO2 reduced and $13/MWh are reasonable. A
state seeking to invoke RULOF for an affected coal-fired steam
generating EGU based on unreasonable cost of control resulting from
plant age, location, or basic process design would therefore, pursuant
to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), demonstrate that the costs of achieving the
applicable degree of emission limitation for that particular affected
EGU are fundamentally different from $71/ton CO2 reduced
and/or $13/MWh.
Any costs that the EPA has determined are reasonable for any BSER
for affected EGUs under these emission guidelines would not be an
appropriate basis for invoking RULOF. Additionally, costs that are not
fundamentally different from costs that the EPA has determined are or
could be reasonable for sources would also not be an appropriate basis
for invoking RULOF. Thus, costs that are not fundamentally different
from, e.g., $18.50/MWh (the cost for installation of wet-FGD on a 300
MW coal-fired steam generating unit, used for cost comparison in
section VIII.D.1.a.ii of this preamble) would not be an appropriate
basis for invoking RULOF under these emission guidelines. On the other
hand, costs that constitute outliers, e.g., that are greater than the
95th percentile of costs on a fleetwide basis (assuming a normal
distribution) would likely represent a valid demonstration of a
fundamental difference and could be the basis of invoking RULOF.
Importantly, the costs evaluated in BSER determinations are, in
general, based on average values across the fleet of steam generating
units. Those BSER cost analysis values represent the average of a
distribution of costs including costs that are above or below the
average representative value. On that basis, implicit in the
determination that those average representative values are reasonable
is the determination that a significant portion of the unit-specific
costs around those average representative values are also reasonable,
including some portion of those unit-specific costs that are above but
not significantly different than the average representative values.
That is, the cost values the EPA considered in determining the BSER
should not be considered bright-line upper thresholds between
reasonable and unreasonable costs. Moreover, the examples in this
discussion are provided merely for illustrative purposes; because each
RULOF demonstration must be evaluated based on the facts and
circumstances relevant to a particular affected EGU, the EPA is not
setting any generally applicable thresholds or providing presumptively
approvable approaches for determining what constitutes a fundamental
difference in cost or any other consideration under these emission
guidelines. The Agency will assess each use of RULOF in a state plan
against the applicable regulatory requirements; however, the EPA is
providing examples in this preamble in response to comments requesting
that it provide further clarity and guidance on what constitutes a
satisfactory use of RULOF.
Under 40 CFR 60.24a(e)(1)(iii), states may also consider ``other
factors specific to the facility.'' Such ``other factors'' may include
both factors (categories of information) that the EPA did not consider
in determining the degree of emission limitation achievable through
[[Page 39966]]
application of the BSER and additional evaluation metrics (ways of
considering a category of information) that the EPA did not consider in
its analysis. To invoke RULOF based on consideration of ``other
factors,'' a state must demonstrate that a factor makes it unreasonable
for the affected EGU to achieve the applicable degree of emission
limitation in these emission guidelines.
The general implementing regulations of subpart Ba provide that
states may invoke RULOF for a class of facilities. In the preamble to
the subpart Ba final rule, the EPA explained that ``invoking RULOF and
providing a less-stringent standard [of] performance or longer
compliance schedule for a class of facilities is only appropriate where
all the facilities in that class are similarly situated in all
meaningful ways. That is, they must not only share the circumstance
that is the basis for invoking RULOF, they must also share all other
characteristics that are relevant to determining whether they can
reasonably achieve the degree of emission limitation determined by the
EPA in the applicable EG. For example, it would not be reasonable to
create a class of facilities for the purpose of RULOF on the basis that
the facilities do not have space to install the EPA's BSER control
technology if some of them are able to install a different control
technology to achieve the degree of emission limitation in the EG.''
\925\ Given that individual fossil fuel-fired steam generating EGUs are
very unlikely to be similarly situated with regard to all of the
characteristics relevant to determining the reasonableness of meeting a
degree of emission limitation, the EPA believes it would not likely be
reasonable for a state to invoke RULOF for a class of facilities under
these emission guidelines. That is, because there are relatively few
affected EGUs in each subcategory and because each EGU is likely to
have a distinct combination of size, operating process, footprint,
geographic location, etc., it is highly unlikely that the same
threshold analysis would apply to two or more units.
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\925\ 88 FR 80517 (November 17, 2023).
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i. Invoking RULOF for Long-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating EGUs
In determining the BSER for the long-term coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, the EPA considered several evaluation metrics specific
to CCS. However, affected EGUs are not required to implement CCS to
comply with their standards of performance. To the extent a state is
considering whether it is reasonable for a particular affected EGU in
this subcategory to achieve the degree of emission limitation using CCS
as the control strategy, the state would consider whether that affected
EGU's circumstances are fundamentally different from the evaluation
metrics and information the EPA considered in these emission
guidelines. If a state is considering whether it is reasonable for an
affected EGU to achieve the degree of emission limitation for long-term
coal-fired steam generating EGUs through some other control strategy,
certain of the evaluation metrics and information the EPA considered,
such as overall costs and energy requirements, would be relevant while
other metrics or information may or may not be.
As discussed above, the EPA considered costs in terms of $/ton
CO2 reduced and $/MWh. The Agency broke down its cost
consideration for CCS into capture costs and CO2 transport
and sequestration costs, as discussed in sections VIII.D.1.a.ii.(A) and
(B) of this preamble. The EPA also considered the availability of the
IRC section 45Q tax credit in evaluating the cost of CCS for affected
EGUs, and finally, evaluated the impacts of two different capacity
factor assumptions on costs. Similarly, the Agency considered a number
of evaluation metrics specific to CCS under the non-air quality health
and environmental impacts and energy requirements factors, in addition
to considering non-greenhouse gas emissions and parasitic/auxiliary
energy demand increases and the net power output decreases. In
particular, the EPA considered water use, CO2 capture plant
siting, transport and geologic sequestration, and impacts on the energy
sector in terms of long-term structure and reliability of the power
sector. A state may also consider other factors and circumstances that
the EPA did not consider in its evaluation of CCS, to the extent such
factors or circumstances are relevant to the reasonableness of
achieving the associated degree of emission limitation.
As detailed in section VII.D.1.a.i of this preamble, the EPA has
determined that CCS is adequately demonstrated for long-term coal-fired
steam generating EGUs. The Agency evaluated the components of CCS both
individually and in concurrent, simultaneous operation. If a state
believes a particular affected EGU cannot reasonably implement CCS
based on physical impossibility or technical infeasibility, the state
must demonstrate that the circumstances of that individual EGU are
fundamentally different from the information on CCS that the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines.
ii. Invoking RULOF for Medium-Term Coal-Fired Steam Generating EGUs
As for the long-term coal-fired steam generating EGU subcategory,
the EPA also considered evaluation metrics and information specific to
the BSER, natural gas co-firing, for the medium-term subcategory.
Again, similar to the long-term subcategory, certain generally
applicable metrics and information that the EPA considered, e.g.,
overall costs and energy requirements, will be relevant regardless of
the control strategy a state is considering for an affected EGU in the
medium-term subcategory. To the extent a state is considering whether
it is reasonable for a particular affected EGU to reasonably achieve
the presumptive standard of performance using natural gas co-firing as
a control, the state should evaluate whether there is a fundamental
difference between the circumstances of that EGU and the information
the EPA considered. In considering costs for natural gas co-firing, the
Agency took into account costs associated with adding new gas burners
and other boiler modifications, fuel cost, and new natural gas
pipelines. In considering non-air quality health and environmental
impacts and energy requirements, the EPA addressed losses in boiler
efficiency due to co-firing, as well as non-greenhouse gas emissions
and impact on the structure of the energy sector. States may also
consider other factors and circumstances that are relevant to
determining the reasonableness of achieving the applicable degree of
emission limitation.
iii. Invoking RULOF To Apply a Longer Compliance Schedule
Under 40 CFR 60.24a(c), ``final compliance,'' i.e., compliance with
the applicable standard of performance, ``shall be required as
expeditiously as practicable but no later than the compliance times
specified'' in the applicable emission guidelines, unless a state has
demonstrated that a particular designated facility cannot reasonably
comply with the specific compliance time per the RULOF provision at 40
CFR 60.24a(e). The EPA, in these emission guidelines, has detailed the
amount of time needed for states and affected EGUs in the long-term and
medium-term coal-fired steam generating EGU subcategories to comply
with standards of performance using CCS and natural gas co-firing,
respectively, in sections VII.C.1 and VII.C.2 of this preamble. These
compliance times are based on information available for and applicable
to the subcategories as a whole. The
[[Page 39967]]
Agency anticipates that some affected EGUs will be able to comply more
expeditiously than on these generally applicable timelines. Similarly,
there may be circumstances in which a particular EGU cannot reasonably
comply with its standard of performance by the compliance date
specified in these emission guidelines. In order to provide a longer
compliance schedule, the state must demonstrate that there is a
fundamental difference between the information the EPA considered for
the subcategory as a whole and the circumstances of a particular EGU.
These circumstances should not be speculative; the state must
substantiate the need for a longer compliance schedule with
documentation supporting that need and justifying why a certain
component or components of implementation will take longer than the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines. If a state anticipates that a
process or activity will take longer than is typical for similarly
situated EGUs within and outside the state or longer than it has
historically, the state should provide an explanation of why it expects
this to be the case as well as evidence corroborating the reasons and
need for additional time. Consistent with 40 CFR 60.24a(c) and (e),
states should not use the RULOF provision to provide a longer
compliance schedule unless there is a demonstrated, documented reason
at the time of state plan submission that a particular source will not
be able to achieve compliance by the date specified in these emission
guidelines. The EPA notes that it is providing a number of
flexibilities in these final emission guidelines for states and sources
if they find, subsequent to state plan submission, that additional time
is necessary for compliance; states should consider these flexibilities
in conjunction with the potential use of RULOF to provide a longer
compliance schedule. A source-specific compliance date pursuant to
RULOF must be no later than necessary to address the fundamental
difference; that is, it must be as close to the compliance schedule
provided in these emission guidelines as reasonably possible.
Considerations specific to providing a longer compliance schedule to
address reliability are addressed in section X.C.2.e.i of this
preamble.
Comment: Several commenters stated that the EPA must respect the
broad authority granted to states under the CAA and that while the
EPA's information on various factors is helpful to states, states may
readily deviate from the emission guidelines in order to account for
source- and state-specific characteristics. The commenters argued that
the EPA's general implementing regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(c)
recognize that states may consider factors that make application of a
less stringent standard of performance or longer compliance time
significantly more reasonable, and commenters stated that those factors
should include, inter alia, cost, feasibility, infrastructure
development, NSR implications, fluctuations in performance depending on
load, state energy policy, and potential reliability issues. The
commenters stated that states have the authority to account for
consideration of other factors in various ways and that the EPA must
defer to state choices, provided those choices are reasonable and
consistent with the statute.
Response: Comments on states' use of RULOF vis-[agrave]-vis the
EPA's determinations pursuant to CAA section 111(a)(1) in the
applicable emission guidelines are outside the scope of this
rulemaking.\926\ Similarly, comments on the EPA's authority to review
states' use of RULOF in state plans and the scope of that review are
outside the scope of this rulemaking.\927\ The EPA is also clarifying
that, while the commenters are correct that the general implementing
regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(c) recognize that states may invoke RULOF
to provide a less stringent standard of performance or longer
compliance schedule, they also provide that, unless the threshold for
the use of RULOF in 40 CFR 60.24a(e) has been met, ``standards of
performance shall be no less stringent than the corresponding emission
guideline(s) . . . and final compliance shall be required as
expeditiously as practicable but no later than the compliance times
specified'' in the emission guidelines. The threshold for invoking
RULOF is when a state demonstrates that a particular affected EGU
cannot reasonably achieve the degree of emission limitation determined
by the EPA, based on one or more of the circumstances at 40 CFR
60.24a(e)(i)-(iii), because there are fundamental differences between
the information the EPA considered in the emission guidelines and the
information specific to the affected EGU. The ``significantly more
reasonable'' standard does not apply to RULOF determinations under
these emission guidelines.\928\
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\926\ See 88 FR 80509-17 (November 17, 2023).
\927\ See id. at 80526-27.
\928\ 40 CFR 60.20a(a).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA agrees that states have authority to consider ``other
circumstances specific to the facility.'' States are uniquely situated
to have knowledge about unit-specific considerations. If a unit-
specific factor or circumstance is fundamentally different from the
information the EPA considered and that difference makes it
unreasonable for the affected EGU to achieve that degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule,\929\ it is grounds for applying a
less stringent standard of performance or longer compliance schedule.
The EPA will review states' RULOF analyses and determinations for
consistency with the applicable regulatory requirements at 40 CFR
60.24a(e)-(h).
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\929\ ``Other factors'' may include facility-specific
circumstances and factors that the EPA did not anticipate and
consider in the applicable emission guideline that make achieving
the EPA's degree of emission limitation unreasonable for that
facility. 88 FR 80480, 80521 (November 17, 2023).
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Comment: Multiple commenters weighed in on the subject of cost
metrics. Two commenters stated that the EPA should not require states
to consider costs using the same metrics that it considered in the
emission guidelines. These commenters explained that the unique
circumstances of each unit mean that different metrics may be
appropriate and should be allowed as long as the state plan provides a
justification. Other commenters, however, supported the proposed
requirement for states to consider costs using the same metrics as the
EPA. Similarly, commenters differed on the example in the proposed rule
preamble that costs that are greater than the 95th percentile of costs
on a fleetwide basis would likely be fundamentally different from the
fleetwide costs that the EPA considered in these emission guidelines.
While one commenter believed that the 95th percentile may not be an
appropriate threshold in all circumstances and should not be treated as
an absolute, another commenter argued that the EPA should formalize the
95th percentile threshold as a requirement for states seeking to invoke
RULOF based on unreasonable cost.
Response: The EPA believes that, in order to evaluate whether there
is a fundamental difference between the cost information the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines and the cost information for a
particular affected EGU, it is necessary for states to evaluate costs
using the same metrics that the EPA considered. However, states are not
precluded from considering additional cost metrics alongside the two
metrics used in these emission guidelines: $/ton of CO2
reduced and $/MWh of electricity
[[Page 39968]]
generated. States should justify why any additional cost metrics are
relevant to determining whether a particular affected EGU can
reasonably achieve the applicable degree of emission limitation.
The EPA did not state that a cost that is greater than the 95th
percentile of fleetwide costs would necessarily justify invocation of
RULOF. Nor did the EPA intend to suggest that such costs are the only
way states can demonstrate that the costs for a particular affected EGU
are fundamentally different. While it may be an appropriate benchmark
in some cases, there are other ways for states to demonstrate that the
cost for a particular affected EGU is an outlier. That is, the EPA is
not requiring that the unit-specific costs be above the 95th percentile
in order to demonstrate that they are fundamentally different from the
costs the Agency considered in these emission guidelines. As discussed
elsewhere in this section of the preamble, the diversity in
circumstances of individual affected EGUs under these emission
guidelines makes it infeasible for the EPA to a priori define a bright
line for what constitutes reasonable versus unreasonable costs for
individual units in these emission guidelines.
Comment: One commenter noted that the EPA should only approve the
use of RULOF to provide a longer compliance schedule where there is
clearly documented evidence (e.g., receipts, invoices, actual site
work) that a source is making best endeavors to achieve compliance as
expeditiously as possible.
Response: The EPA believes this kind of evidence is strong support
for providing a longer compliance schedule. The Agency further believes
that states should show that the need to provide a longer compliance
schedule is notwithstanding best efforts on the parts of all relevant
parties to achieve timely compliance. The EPA is not, however,
precluding the possibility that states could reasonably justify a
longer compliance schedule based on other types of information or
evidence.
b. Calculation of a Standard of Performance That Accounts for RULOF
If a state has demonstrated that a particular affected EGU is
unable to reasonably achieve the applicable degree of emission
limitation or compliance schedule under these emission guidelines per
40 CFR 60.24a(e), it may then apply a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance schedule according to the process laid
out in 40 CFR 60.24a(f). Pursuant to that process, the state must
determine the standard of performance or compliance schedule that,
respectively, is no less stringent or no longer than necessary to
address the fundamental difference that was the basis for invoking
RULOF. That is, the standard of performance or compliance schedule must
be as close to the EPA's degree of emission limitation or compliance
schedule as reasonably possible for that particular EGU.
The EPA notes that the proposed emission guidelines would have
included requirements for how states determine less stringent standards
of performance, including what systems of emission reduction states
must evaluate and the order in which they must be evaluated. These
proposed requirements were intended to ensure that states reasonably
consider the controls that may qualify as a source-specific BSER.\930\
However, the final RULOF provisions in subpart Ba for determining less
stringent standards of performance differ from the proposed subpart Ba
provisions in a way that obviates the need for the separate
requirements proposed in these emission guidelines. First, as opposed
to determining a source-specific BSER for sources that have met the
threshold requirements for RULOF, states determine the standard of
performance that is no less stringent than the EPA's degree of emission
limitation than necessary to address the fundamental difference.
Second, the process for determining such a standard of performance that
the EPA finalized at 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1) involves evaluating, to the
extent necessary, the systems of emission reduction that the EPA
identified in the applicable emission guidelines using the factors and
evaluation metrics that the Agency considered in assessing those
systems. Because the final RULOF provisions of subpart Ba create
essentially the same process as the provisions the EPA proposed for
determining a less stringent standard of performance under these
emission guidelines, the EPA has determined it is not necessary to
finalize those provisions here.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\930\ See 88 FR 33384 (May 23, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA anticipates that states invoking RULOF for affected EGUs
will do so because an EGU is in one of two circumstances: it is
implementing the control strategy the EPA determined is the BSER but
cannot achieve the degree of emission limitation in the emission
guideline using that control (or any other system of emission
reduction); or it is not implementing the BSER and cannot reasonably
achieve the degree of emission limitation using any system of emission
reduction.
If an affected EGU will be implementing the BSER but cannot meet
the degree of emission limitation due to fundamental differences
between the circumstances of that particular EGU and the circumstances
the EPA considered in the emission guidelines, it may not be necessary
for the state to evaluate other systems of emission reduction to
determine the less stringent standard of performance. In this instance,
the state and affected EGU would determine the degree of emission
limitation the EGU can reasonably achieve, consistent with the
requirement that it be no less stringent than necessary. That degree of
emission limitation would be the basis for the less stringent standard
of performance. For example, assume an affected EGU in the long-term
coal-fired steam generating EGU subcategory is intending to install CCS
and the state has demonstrated that it is not reasonably possible for
the capture equipment at that particular EGU to achieve 90 percent
capture of the mass of CO2 in the flue gas (corresponding to
an 88.4 percent reduction in emission rate), but it can reasonably
achieve 85 percent capture. If the source cannot reasonably achieve an
88.4 percent reduction in emission rate using any other system of
emission reduction, the state may apply a less stringent standard of
performance that corresponds to 85 percent capture without needing to
evaluate further systems of emission reduction.
In other cases, however, an affected EGU may not be implementing
the BSER and may not be able to reasonably achieve the applicable
degree of emission limitation (i.e., the presumptive standard of
performance) using any control strategy. In such situations, the state
must determine the standard of performance that is no less stringent
than necessary by evaluating the systems of emission reduction the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines, using the factors and
evaluation metrics the EPA considered in assessing those systems.
States may also consider additional systems of emission reduction that
the EPA did not identify but that the state believes are available and
may be reasonable for a particular affected EGU.
The requirement at 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1) provides that a state must
evaluate these systems of emission reduction to the extent necessary to
determine the standard of performance that is as close as reasonably
possible to the presumptive standard of performance under these
emission guidelines. It will most likely not be necessary for a state
to consider all of the systems that the EPA identified for a given
affected EGU. For example, if the state has already determined it is
not
[[Page 39969]]
reasonably possible for an affected EGU to implement one of these
control strategies, at any stringency, as part of its demonstration
under 40 CFR 60.24a(e) that a less stringent standard of performance is
warranted, the state does not need to evaluate that system again.
Similarly, if a state starts by evaluating the system that achieves the
greatest emission reductions and determines the affected EGU can
implement that system, it is most likely not necessary for the state to
consider the other systems on the list in order to determine that the
resulting standard of performance is no less stringent than necessary.
The Agency anticipates that states will leverage the information the
EPA has provided regarding systems of emission reduction in these
emission guidelines, as well as the wealth of other technical, cost,
and related information on various control systems in the record for
this final action, in conducting their evaluations under 40 CFR
60.24a(f). In many cases, it will be possible for states to use
information the EPA has provided as a starting point and particularize
it for the circumstances of an individual affected EGU.\931\
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\931\ See, e.g., sections VII.C.1-4 of this preamble, the final
TSD, GHG Mitigation Measures for Steam Generation Units, the
CO2 Capture Project Schedule and Operations Memo,
Documentation for the Lateral Cost Estimation, Transport and Storage
Timeline Summary, and the Heat Rate Improvement Method Costs and
Limitations Memo.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For systems of emission reduction that have a range of potential
stringencies, states should start by evaluating the most stringent
iteration that is potentially feasible for the particular affected EGU.
If that level of stringency is not reasonable, the state should also
evaluate other stringencies as may be needed to determine the standard
of performance that is no less stringent than the applicable degree of
emission limitation in these emission guidelines than necessary.
In evaluating the systems of emission reduction identified in these
emissions guidelines, states must also consider the factors and
evaluation metrics that the EPA considered in assessing those systems,
including technical feasibility, the amount of emission reductions, any
non-air quality health and environmental impacts, and energy
requirements. 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1). They may also consider, in
evaluating systems of emission reduction, other factors specific to the
facility that constitute a fundamental difference between the
information the EPA considered and the circumstances of the particular
affected EGU and that were the basis of invoking RULOF for that
particular EGU. For example, if a state determined that it is
physically impossible or technically infeasible and/or unreasonably
costly for a long-term coal-fired affected EGU to construct a
CO2 pipeline because the EGU is located on a remote island,
the state could consider that information in evaluating additional
systems of emission reduction, as well.
The general implementing regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(2) provide
that any less stringent standards of performance that a state applies
pursuant to RULOF must be in the form required by the applicable
emission guideline. The presumptive standards of performance the EPA is
providing in these emission guidelines are rate-based emission
limitations. In order to ensure that a source-specific standard of
performance is no less stringent than the EPA's presumptive standard
than necessary, the source-specific standard pursuant to RULOF must be
determined and expressed in the form of a rate-based emission
limitation. That is, the systems of emission reduction that states
evaluate pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1) must be systems for reducing a
source's emission rate and the state must apply a standard of
performance expressed as an emission rate, in lb CO2/
MWh,\932\ that is no less stringent than necessary. As discussed in
section X.D.1.b of this preamble, the EPA is not providing that
affected EGUs with standards of performance pursuant to consideration
of RULOF can use mass-based or rate-based compliance flexibilities
under these emission guidelines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\932\ The presumptive standards of performance for coal-fired
steam-generating affected EGUs and base load and intermediate load
natural gas- and oil-fired steam generating affected EGUs are in
units of lb CO2/MWh; thus, any standards of performance
pursuant to consideration of RULOF must be determined in these
units, as well. The presumptive standard of performance for low-load
natural gas-fired and oil-fired affected EGUs are in units of lb
CO2/MMBtu. While the EPA does not expect that states will
use the RULOF provisions to provide less stringent standards of
performance for these sources because their BSER is based on uniform
fuels, should a state do so, the standard of performance would be
determined in units of lb CO2/MMBtu.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The general implementing regulations also provide that any
compliance schedule extending more than twenty months past the state
plan submission deadline must include legally enforceable increments of
progress. 40 CFR 60.24a(d). Due to the timelines the EPA is finalizing
under these emission guidelines, any affected EGU with compliance
obligations pursuant to consideration of RULOF will have a compliance
schedule that triggers the need for increments of progress in state
plans. Because compliance obligations pursuant to RULOF are, by their
nature, source-specific, the EPA is not providing particular increments
of progress for sources for which RULOF has been invoked in these
emission guidelines. Therefore, states must provide increments of
progress for RULOF sources in their state plans that comply with the
generally applicable requirements in 40 CFR 60.24a(d) and 40 CFR
60.21a(h).
Additionally, 40 CFR 60.24a(h) requires that a less stringent
standard of performance must meet all other applicable requirements of
both the general implementing regulations and these emission
guidelines.
i. Determining a Less-Stringent Standard of Performance for Long-Term
Coal Fired Steam Generating EGUs
The EPA identified four potential systems of emission reduction for
long-term coal-fired steam generating EGUs: CCS with 90 percent
CO2 capture, CCS with partial CO2 capture/lower
capture rates, natural gas co-firing, and HRI. If a state has
demonstrated, pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), that a particular affected
coal-fired EGU in the long-term subcategory can install and operate CCS
but cannot reasonably achieve an 88.4 percent degree of emission
limitation using CCS or any other systems of emission reduction, under
the process laid out in 60.24a(f)(1) the state would proceed to
evaluate CCS with lower rates of CO2 capture. The state
would identify the most stringent degree of emission limitation the
affected EGU can reasonably achieve using CCS and that degree of
emission limitation would become the basis for the source's less
stringent standard of performance.\933\
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\933\ 40 CFR 60.24a(f) requires that a standard of performance
pursuant to consideration of RULOF be no less stringent than
necessary to address the fundamental difference identified under 40
CFR 60.24a(e). If a particular affected EGU can install and operate
CCS but only at such a low CO2 capture rate that it could
reasonably achieve greater stringency based on natural gas co-
firing, the state would apply a standard of performance based on
natural gas co-firing.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
If a state has demonstrated, pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), that a
particular affected coal-fired EGU cannot reasonably install and
operate CCS as a control strategy and cannot otherwise achieve the
presumptive standard of performance, the state would proceed to
evaluate natural gas co-firing and HRI as potential control strategies.
Because 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1) requires that a standard of performance be
no less stringent than necessary to address the fundamental differences
that were the basis for invoking RULOF, states would start by
evaluating natural gas co-firing at 40 percent. If the affected EGU
cannot
[[Page 39970]]
reasonably co-fire at 40 percent, the state would proceed to evaluate
lower levels of natural gas co-firing unless it has demonstrated that
the EGU cannot reasonably co-fire any amount of natural gas. If that is
the case, the state would then evaluate HRI as a control strategy. The
EPA notes that states may also consider additional systems of emission
reduction that may be available and reasonable for particular EGUs.
ii. Determining a Less-Stringent Standard of Performance for Medium-
Term Coal Fired Steam Generating EGUs
The EPA identified three potential systems of emission reduction
for affected coal-fired steam generating EGUs in the medium-term
subcategory: CCS, natural gas co-firing, and HRI. The EPA explained in
section VII.D.2.b.i of this preamble that the cost effectiveness of CCS
is less favorable for medium-term steam generating EGUs based on the
short periods they have to amortize capital costs and utilize the IRC
section 45Q tax credit. The EPA therefore believes that it would be
reasonable for states determining a less stringent standard of
performance for an affected EGU in the medium-term subcategory to forgo
evaluating CCS as a potential control strategy. States would therefore
start by evaluating lower levels of natural gas co-firing, unless a
state has demonstrated pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e) that the particular
EGU cannot reasonably install and implement natural gas co-firing as a
system of emission reduction. If that is the case, the state would
evaluate HRI as the basis for a standard of performance that is no less
stringent than necessary.
The EPA expects that any coal-fired steam generating EGU to which a
less stringent standard of performance is being applied will be able to
reasonably implement some system of emission reduction; at a minimum,
the Agency believes that all sources could institute approaches to
maintain their historical heat rates.
iii. Determining a Longer Compliance Schedule
Pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f)(1), a longer compliance schedule
pursuant to consideration of RULOF must be no longer than necessary to
address the fundamental difference identified pursuant to 40 CFR
60.24a(e). For states that are providing extensions to the schedules in
the EPA's emission guidelines, implementation of this requirement is
straightforward. States should provide any information and analyses
discussed in other sections of this preamble as relevant to justifying
the need for, and length of, any compliance schedule extensions under
the RULOF provisions. For states that are applying less stringent
standards of performance that are based on a system of emission
reduction other than the BSER for that subcategory, states should apply
a compliance schedule consistent with installation and implementation
of that system that is as expeditious as practicable.\934\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\934\ See 40 CFR 60.24a(c).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: One commenter asserted that the 2023 proposed rule
indicated that states invoking RULOF would be required to evaluate
certain controls, in a certain order, as appropriate for subcategories
of affected EGUs. The commenter stated that the EPA must defer to
states' consideration of other systems of emission reduction that the
EPA has determined are not the BSER, including the manner in which the
states choose to consider those systems.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing the proposed requirements in
these emission guidelines that would have specified the systems of
emission reduction that states must consider when invoking RULOF and
the order in which they consider them. The EPA is instead providing
that states' analyses and determinations of less stringent standards of
performance pursuant to RULOF must be conducted in accordance with the
generally applicable requirements of the part 60, subpart Ba
implementing regulations; specifically, 40 CFR 60.24a(f). While the
requirements under this regulation for determining less stringent
standards of performance pursuant to RULOF are similar to the
requirements proposed under these emission guidelines, they are also,
as described above, more flexible because they provide (1) that states
must consider other systems of emission reduction to the extent
necessary to determine the standard of performance that is no less
stringent than the EPA's degree of emission limitation than necessary,
and (2) that states may consider other systems of emission reduction,
in addition to those the EPA identified in the applicable emission
guidelines.
c. Contingency Requirements
Per the general implementing regulations at 40 CFR 60.24a(g), if a
state invokes RULOF based on an operating condition within the control
of an affected EGU, such as remaining useful life or a specific level
of utilization, the state plan must include such operating condition or
conditions as an enforceable requirement. The state plan must also
include provisions that provide for the implementation and enforcement
of the operating conditions, including requirements for monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping. The EPA notes that there may be
circumstances in which an affected EGU's circumstances change after a
state has submitted its state plan; states may always submit plan
revisions if needed to alter an enforceable requirement therein.
Comment: One commenter stated that if a state does not accept the
presumptive standards of performance for a facility, it must establish
federally enforceable retirement dates and operating conditions for
that facility. The commenter asserted that the CAA does not authorize
the EPA to constrain states' discretion by requiring them to impose
such restrictions as the price for exercising the RULOF authority
granted by Congress. The commenter suggested that the EPA eliminate the
requirement to include enforceable retirement dates and restrictions on
operations in conjunction with a RULOF determination and stated that
states should retain discretion to decide whether and when, based on
RULOF, it is necessary to impose such restrictions on sources.
Response: The EPA clarifies that states are in no way required to
impose enforceable retirement dates or operating restrictions on
affected EGUs under these emission guidelines. It is entirely within a
state's control to decide whether such a requirement is appropriate for
a source. If a state determines that it is, in fact, appropriate to
codify an affected EGU's intention to cease operating or limit its
operations as an enforceable requirement, the state may use such
considerations as the basis for applying, as warranted, a less
stringent standard of performance to that source. This allowance is
provided under the subpart Ba general implementing regulations, 40 CFR
60.24a(g).
d. More Stringent Standards of Performance in State Plans
States always have the authority and ability to include more
stringent standards of performance and faster compliance schedules as
federally enforceable requirements in their state plans. They do not
need to use the RULOF provisions to do so. See 40 CFR 60.24a(i).
e. Interaction of RULOF and Other State Plan Flexibilities and
Mechanisms
The EPA discusses the ability of affected EGUs with standards of
performance determined pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f) to use compliance
[[Page 39971]]
flexibilities under these emission guidelines in section X.D of this
preamble.
i. Use of RULOF To Address Reliability
The EPA, in determining the degree of emission limitation
achievable through application of the BSER for coal-fired steam
generating EGUs, analyzed potential impacts of the BSERs on resource
adequacy in addition to considering multiple studies on how reliability
could be impacted by these emission guidelines. In doing so, the Agency
considered potential large-scale (regional and national) and long-term
impacts on the reliability of the electricity system under CAA section
111(a)(1)'s ``energy requirements'' factor. In evaluating CCS as a
control strategy for long-term coal-fired steam generating EGUs, the
Agency determined that CCS as the BSER would have limited and non-
adverse impacts on the long-term structure of the power sector or on
reliability of the power sector. See section VII.C.1.a.iii.(F) and
final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis. Additionally, the EPA has made
several adjustments to the final emission guidelines relative to
proposal that should have the effect of alleviating any reliability
concerns, including changing the scope of units covered by these
actions and removing certain subcategories, including one that would
have included an annual capacity factor limitation. See section XII.F
of this preamble for further discussion.
While the EPA has determined that the structure and requirements of
these emission guidelines will not negatively impact large-scale and
long-term reliability, it also acknowledges the more locationally
specific, source-by-source decisions that go into maintaining grid
reliability. For example, there may be circumstances in which a
balancing authority may need to have a particular unit available at a
certain time in order to ensure reliability of the larger system. As
noted above, the structure and various mechanisms of these emission
guidelines allow states and reliability authorities to plan for
compliance in a manner that preserves grid operators' abilities to
maintain electric reliability. Specifically, coal-fired EGUs that are
planning to cease operation do not have control requirements under
these emission guidelines, the removal of the imminent-term and near-
term subcategories means that states and reliability authorities have
greater flexibility in the earlier years of implementation, and the EPA
is providing two dedicated reliability mechanisms. Given these
adjustments, the Agency believes there will remain very few, if any,
circumstances in which states will need to provide particularized
compliance obligations for an affected EGU based on a need to address
reliability. However, there may be isolated instances in which a
particular affected EGU cannot reasonably comply with the applicable
requirements due to a source-specific reliability issue. Such unit-
specific reliability considerations may constitute an ``[o]ther
circumstance[] specific to the facility'' that makes it unreasonable
for a particular EGU to achieve the degree of emission limitation or
compliance schedule the EPA has provided in these emission guidelines.
40 CFR 60.24a(e)(1)(iii). The EPA is therefore confirming that states
may use the RULOF provisions in 40 CFR 60.24a to apply a less stringent
standard of performance or longer compliance schedule to a particular
affected EGU based on reliability considerations. The EPA emphasizes
that the RULOF provisions should not be used to provide a less
stringent standard of performance if the applicable degree of emission
limitation for an affected EGU is reasonably achievable. To do so would
be inconsistent with CAA sections 111(d) and 111(a)(1). Thus, to the
extent states and affected EGUs find it necessary to use RULOF to
particularize these emission guidelines' requirements for a specific
unit based on reliability concerns, such adjustments should take the
form of longer compliance schedules.
In order to meet the threshold for applying a less stringent
standard of performance or longer compliance schedule based on unit-
specific reliability considerations under 40 CFR 60.24a(e), a state
must demonstrate a fundamental difference between the information the
EPA considered on reliability and the circumstances of the specific
unit. This demonstration would be made by showing that requiring a
particular affected EGU to comply with its presumptive standard of
performance under the specified compliance timeframe would compromise
reliability, e.g., by necessitating that the affected EGU be taken
offline for a specific period of time during which a resource adequacy
shortfall with adverse impacts would result. In order to make this
demonstration, states must provide an analysis of the reliability risk
if the particular affected EGU were required to comply with its
applicable presumptive standard of performance by the compliance date,
clearly demonstrating that the EGU is reliability critical such that
requiring it to comply would trigger non-compliance with at least one
of the mandatory reliability standards approved by FERC or cause the
loss of load expectation to increase beyond the level targeted by
regional system planners as part of their established procedures for
that particular region. Specifically, this requires a clear
demonstration that each unit for which use of RULOF is being considered
would be needed to maintain the targeted level of resource
adequacy.\935\ The analysis must also include a projection of the
period of time for which the particular affected EGU is expected to be
reliability critical. States must also provide an analysis by the
relevant reliability Planning Authority \936\ that corroborates the
asserted reliability risk and confirms that one or both of the
circumstances would result from requiring the particular affected EGU
to comply with its applicable requirements, and also confirms the
period of time for which the EGU is projected to be reliability
critical. The state plan must also include a certification from the
Planning Authority that the claims are accurate and that the identified
reliability problem both exists and requires the specific relief
requested.
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\935\ See, e.g., the North American Electric Reliability
Corporation's ``Probabilistic Assessment: Technical Guideline
Document,'' August 2016. https://www.nerc.com/comm/RSTC/PAWG/proba_technical_guideline_document_08082014.pdf.
\936\ The North American Electric Reliability Corporation
(NERC)'s currently enforceable definition of ``Planning Authority''
is, ``[t]he responsible entity that coordinates and integrates
transmission Facilities and service plans, resource plans, and
Protection Systems.'' Glossary of Terms Used in NERC Reliability
Standards, Updated April 1, 2024. https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Glossary%20of%20Terms/Glossary_of_Terms.pdf.
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To substantiate a reliability risk that stems from resource
adequacy in particular, the analyses must also demonstrate that the
specific affected EGU has been designated by the relevant Planning
Authority as needed for resource adequacy and thus reliability, and
that requiring that affected EGU to comply with the requirements in
these emission guidelines would interfere with its ability to serve
this function as intended by the Planning Authority. However, the EPA
reiterates that the structure of the subcategories for coal-fired steam
generating affected EGUs in these final emission guidelines differs
from the proposal in ways that should provide states and affected EGUs
wider latitude to make the operational decisions needed to ensure
resource adequacy. Thus, again, the Agency expects that the
circumstances in which states need to rely on consideration of RULOF to
[[Page 39972]]
particularize an affected EGU's compliance obligation will be rare.
The EPA will review these analyses and documentation as part of its
evaluation of standards of performance and compliance schedules that
states apply based on consideration of reliability under the RULOF
provisions.
As described in sections X.C.1.d and XII.F.3.b of this preamble,
the EPA is providing two flexible mechanisms that states may
incorporate in their plans that, if utilized, would provide a temporary
delay of affected EGU's compliance obligations if there is a
demonstrated reliability need.\937\ The EPA anticipates that states
discovering, after a state plan has been submitted and approved, that a
particular affected EGU needs additional time to meet its compliance
obligation as a result of a reliability or resource adequacy issue will
avail themselves of these flexibilities. If a state anticipates that
the reliability or resource adequacy issue will persist beyond the 1-
year extension provided by these flexible mechanisms, the EPA expects
that states will also initiate a state plan revision. In such a state
plan revision, the state must make the demonstration and provides the
analysis described above in order to use to adjust an affected EGU's
compliance obligations to address the reliability or resource adequacy
issue at that time.
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\937\ The mechanism described in section X.C.1.d of this
preamble is not restricted to circumstances in which a state needs
to provide an affected EGU with additional time to comply with its
standard of performance specifically for reliability or resource
adequacy, but it can be used for this purpose. The reliability
mechanism described in section XII.F.3.b is specific to reliability
and can be used to extend the date by which a source plans to cease
operating by up to 1 year.
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The EPA intends to continue engagement on the topic of electric
system reliability, resource adequacy, and linkages to various EPA
regulatory efforts to ensure proper communication with key stakeholders
and Federal counterparts including DOE and FERC. Additionally, the
Agency intends to coordinate with its Federal partners with expertise
in reliability when evaluating RULOF demonstrations that invoke this
consideration. There are also opportunities to potentially provide
information and technical support on implementation of these emission
guidelines and critical reliability considerations that will benefit
states, affected sources, system planners, and reliability authorities.
Specifically, the DOE-EPA MOU on Electric System Reliability provides a
framework for ongoing engagement, and the EPA intends to work with DOE
to ensure that reliability stakeholders have additional and ongoing
opportunities to engage EPA on this important topic.
Comment: The EPA received multiple comments on the use of the RULOF
provisions to address reliability. Several commenters emphasized that
states need the ability to adjust affected EGUs' compliance obligations
for reasons linked to reliability. They elaborated that an independent
system operator/regional transmission organization determination that
an affected EGU is needed for reliability would be anchored in a RULOF
analysis that considers forces that may drive the unit's premature
retirement. Some commenters indicated that use of RULOF to address such
units would allow those units to continue to operate for the required
period of time, applying routine methods of operation, to address grid
reliability. They similarly noted that sources that have foreseeable
retirement glidepaths but are key resources could be offered a BSER
that promotes the EPA's carbon reduction goals but falls outside of the
Agency's one-size-fits-all BSER approach.
Another commenter suggested that states should be able to modify a
subcategory in their plans to address a reliability issue, and provided
the example of allowing a unit that is planning to retire at the end of
2032 but that is needed for reliability purposes at greater than 20
percent capacity factor to subcategorize as an imminent-term unit
despite operating past the end date for the imminent-term subcategory.
The commenter suggested that such a modification could be justified
under both the remaining useful life consideration and the energy
requirements consideration of RULOF. Other commenters similarly
requested that the EPA clarify that the RULOF provisions can be used to
accommodate the changes in the power sector, e.g., the build-out of
transmission and distribution infrastructure, that are ongoing and that
may impact the anticipated operating horizons of some affected EGUs.
Response: As explained above, the EPA has analyzed the potential
impacts of these emission guidelines and determined that they would
have limited and non-adverse impacts on large-scale and long-term
reliability and resource adequacy. However, the EPA acknowledges that
there may be reliability-related considerations that apply at the level
of a particular EGU that the Agency could not have known or foreseen
and did not consider in its broader assessment. As described above,
states may use the RULOF provision to address reliability or resource
adequacy if they demonstrate, based on the analysis and consultation
with planning authorities described in this section of this preamble,
that there is a fundamental difference between the information the EPA
considered in these emission guidelines and the circumstances and
information relevant to a particular affected EGU that makes it
unreasonable for that EGU to comply with its presumptive standard of
performance by the applicable compliance date.
The EPA stresses that a generic or unsubstantiated reliability or
resource adequacy concern is not sufficient to substantiate a
fundamental difference or unreasonableness of complying with applicable
requirements. Simply asserting that grid reliability or resource
adequacy is a concern for a state and thus an affected EGU needs a less
stringent standard of performance or longer compliance schedule would
not be sufficient. Rather, a state would have to demonstrate, via the
certification and analysis described above, that the relevant planning
authority has designated a particular affected EGU as reliability or
resource adequacy critical and that requiring that EGU to comply with
its standard of performance by the applicable compliance date would
interfere with the maintenance of reliability or resource adequacy as
intended by that planning authority.
A standard of performance or compliance schedule that has been
particularized for an affected EGU based on consideration of
reliability or resource adequacy must, pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(f), be
no less stringent than necessary to address the fundamental difference
identified pursuant to 40 CFR 60.24a(e), which in this case would be
unit-specific grid reliability or resource adequacy needs. A less
stringent standard of performance does not necessarily correspond to a
standard of performance based on routine methods of operation and
maintenance.
The EPA notes that states do not need to use the RULOF provisions
to justify the date on which a particular affected EGU plans to cease
operation. RULOF only comes into play if there is a fundamental
difference between the information the EPA considered and the
information specific to an affected EGU with a shorter remaining useful
life that makes achieving the EPA's presumptive standard of performance
unreasonable,, e.g., the amortized cost of control. If a state elects
to rely on an affected EGU's operating conditions, such as a plan to
permanently cease operation, as the basis for applying a less stringent
standard of performance, those conditions must be included as an
[[Page 39973]]
enforceable commitment in the state plan.
As explained elsewhere in this section of the preamble, the effect
of RULOF is not to modify subcategories under these emission guidelines
but rather to particularize the compliance obligations of an affected
EGU within a given subcategory. The EPA also notes that it is not
finalizing the proposed imminent-term or near-term subcategories for
affected coal-fired steam generating EGUs.
ii. Use of RULOF With Compliance Date Extension Mechanism
As discussed in section X.C.1.d of the preamble to this final rule,
the EPA is allowing states to include in their plans a mechanism to
provide a compliance deadline extension of up to 1 year for certain
affected EGUs. This mechanism would be available for affected EGUs with
standards of performance that require add-on control technologies and
that demonstrate the extension is needed for installation of controls
due to circumstances outside the control of the affected EGU. In the
event the state and affected EGU believe that 1 year will not be
sufficient to remedy those circumstances, i.e., that the affected EGU
will not be able to comply with its standard of performance even with a
1-year extension, the state may also start the process of revising its
plan to apply a longer compliance schedule based on consideration of
RULOF. In order to demonstrate that there is a fundamental difference
between the circumstances of the affected EGU and the information the
EPA considered in determining the compliance schedule in the emission
guidelines, the state should provide documentation to justify why it is
unreasonable for the affected EGU to meet that compliance schedule,
even with an additional year (providing that the state has allowed for
a 1-year extension), based on one or more of the considerations in 40
CFR 60.24a(e)(1). This documentation should demonstrate that the need
to provide a longer compliance schedule was due to circumstances
outside the affected EGU's control and that the affected EGU has met
all relevant increments of progress and other obligations in a timely
manner up to the point at which the delay occurred. That is, the state
must demonstrate that the need to invoke RULOF and to provide a longer
compliance schedule was not caused by self-created circumstances. As
discussed in sections X.C.1.d and X.C.2.a of this preamble,
documentation such as permits obtained and/or contracts entered into
for the installation of control technology, receipts, invoices, and
correspondence with vendors and regulators is helpful evidence for
demonstrating that states and affected EGUs have been making progress
towards compliance and that the need for a longer compliance schedule
is due to circumstances outside the affected EGU's control.
In establishing a longer compliance schedule pursuant to 40 CFR
60.24a(f)(1), a state must demonstrate that the revised schedule is no
longer than necessary to accommodate circumstances that have resulted
in the delay.
3. Increments of Progress for Medium-Term and Long-Term Coal-Fired
Steam Generating EGUs
The EPA's longstanding CAA section 111 implementing regulations
provide that state plans must include legally enforceable Increments of
Progress (IoPs) toward achieving compliance for each designated
facility when the compliance schedule extends more than a specified
length of time from the state plan submission date. Under the subpart
Ba revisions finalized in November 2023, IoPs are required when the
final compliance deadline (i.e., the date on which affected EGUs must
start monitoring and reporting emissions data and other information for
purposes of demonstrating compliance with standards of performance) is
more than 20 months after the plan submittal deadline. These emission
guidelines for steam EGUs finalize a 24-month state plan submission
deadline and compliance dates of January 1, 2032 (for long-term coal-
fired EGUs), and January 1, 2030 (for all other steam generating EGUs),
exceeding subpart Ba's 20-month threshold. Under these emission
guidelines, in particular, the lengthy planning and construction
processes associated with the CCS and natural gas co-firing BSERs make
IoPs an appropriate mechanism to assure steady progress toward
compliance and to provide transparency on that progress.
The EPA received support for the proposed approach to IoPs from
many commenters; others, however, offered adverse perspectives.
Supportive commenters generally emphasized the need for clear,
transparent, and enforceable implementation checkpoints between state
plan submittal and the compliance dates given the lengthy timelines
affected EGUs are being afforded to achieve their standards of
performance. These comments were broadly consistent with the proposed
rationale for the IoPs. Adverse comments are addressed at the end of
this subsection of the preamble.
The EPA is finalizing IoPs for affected EGUs based on BSERs that
involve installation of emissions controls: long-term coal-fired EGUs
and medium-term coal-fired EGUs. Units complying through the BSER
specified for each subcategory, either CCS for the long-term
subcategory or natural gas co-firing for the medium-term subcategory,
must use IoPs tailored to those BSERs. Units complying through a
different control technology must adopt increments that correspond to
each of the steps in 40 CFR 60.21a(h). As specified in the proposal,
each increment must be assigned a calendar date deadline, but states
have discretion to set those dates based on the unique circumstances of
each unit. The EPA is also finalizing its proposal to exempt the
natural gas- and oil-fired EGU subcategories from IoP requirements.
These subcategories have BSERs of routine operation and maintenance,
which does not require the installation of significant new emission
controls or operational changes.
The EPA is finalizing the proposed approach allowing states to
choose the calendar dates for all IoPs for long- and medium-term coal-
fired EGUs, subject to two constraints. The IoP corresponding to 40 CFR
60.21a(h)(1), submittal of a final control plan to the air pollution
control agency, must be assigned the earliest calendar date deadline
among the increments, and the IoP corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5),
final compliance, must be assigned a date aligned with the compliance
date for each subcategory, either January 1, 2032, for the long-term
subcategory or January 1, 2030, for the medium-term subcategory. The
EPA believes that this approach will provide states and EGUs with
flexibility to account for idiosyncrasies in planning processes, tailor
compliance timelines to individual facilities, allow simultaneous work
toward separate increments, and ensure full performance by the
compliance date.
For coal-fired EGUs assigned to the long-term and medium-term
subcategories and that adopt the corresponding BSER (CCS or natural gas
co-firing, respectively) as their compliance strategy, the EPA is
finalizing BSER-specific IoPs that correspond to the steps in 40 CFR
60.21a(h). Some increments have been adjusted to more closely align
with planning, engineering, and construction steps anticipated for
affected EGUs that will be complying with standards of performance with
natural gas co-firing or CCS, in particular; however, these technology-
specific increments retain the basic structure and substance of the
[[Page 39974]]
increments in the general implementing regulations under subpart Ba. In
addition, consistent with 40 CFR 60.24a(d), the EPA is finalizing
similar additional increments of progress for the long-term and medium-
term coal-fired subcategories that are specific to pipeline
construction in order to ensure timely progress on the planning,
permitting, and construction activities related to pipelines that may
be required to enable full compliance with the applicable standard of
performance. The EPA is also finalizing an additional increment of
progress related to the identification of an appropriate sequestration
site for the long-term coal-fired subcategory. Finally, the EPA is
finalizing a requirement that state plans must require affected EGUs
with increments of progress to post the activities or actions that
constitute the increments, the schedule required in the state plan for
achieving them, and, within 30 business days, any documentation
necessary to demonstrate that they have been achieved to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website, as discussed in section
X.E.1.b.ii of this preamble, in a timely manner.
For coal-fired steam generating units in the long-term subcategory
adopting CCS as their compliance approach, the EPA is finalizing the
following seven IoPs as enforceable elements required to be included in
a state plan: (1) Submission of a final control plan for the affected
EGU to the appropriate air pollution control agency. The final control
plan must be consistent with the subcategory declaration in the state
plan and must include supporting analysis for the affected EGU's
control strategy, including a feasibility and/or FEED study, the
anticipated timeline to achieve full compliance, and the benchmarks
anticipated along the way. (2) Awarding of contracts for emission
control systems or for process modifications, or issuance of orders for
the purchase of component parts to accomplish emission control or
process modification. Affected EGUs can demonstrate compliance with
this increment by submitting sufficient evidence that the appropriate
contracts have been awarded. (3) Initiation of onsite construction or
installation of emission control equipment or process change required
to achieve 90 percent CO2 capture on an annual basis. (4)
Completion of onsite construction or installation of emission control
equipment or process change required to achieve 90 percent
CO2 capture on an annual basis. (5) Demonstration that all
permitting actions related to pipeline construction have commenced by a
date specified in the state plan. Evidence in support of the
demonstration must include pipeline planning and design documentation
that informed the permitting process(es), a complete list of pipeline-
related permitting applications, including the nature of the permit
sought and the authority to which each permit application was
submitted, an attestation that the list of pipeline-related permits is
complete with respect to the authorizations required to operate the
facility at full compliance with the standard of performance, and a
timeline to complete all pipeline permitting activities. (6) Submittal
of a report identifying the geographic location where CO2
will be injected underground, how the CO2 will be
transported from the capture location to the storage location, and the
regulatory requirements associated with the sequestration activities,
as well as an anticipated timeline for completing related permitting
activities. (7) Final compliance with the standard of performance.
States must assign calendar deadlines for each increment consistent
with the following requirements: the first increment, submission of a
final control plan, must be assigned the earliest calendar date among
the increments; the seventh increment, final compliance must be set for
January 1, 2032.
For coal-fired steam generating units in the long-term subcategory
adopting a compliance approach that differs from CCS, the EPA is
finalizing the requirement that states adopt IoPs for each affected EGU
that are consistent with the IoPs at 40 CFR 60.21a(h). As with long-
term units adopting CCS as their compliance strategy, states must
assign calendar deadlines for each increment consistent with the
following requirements: the first increment, corresponding to 40 CFR
60.21a(h)(1), must be assigned the earliest calendar date among the
increments; the final increment, corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5),
must be set for January 1, 2032.
For coal-fired steam generating units in the medium-term
subcategory adopting natural gas co-firing as their compliance
approach, the EPA is finalizing the following six IoPs as enforceable
elements required to be included in a state plan: (1) Submission of a
final control plan for the affected EGU to the appropriate air
pollution control agency. The final control plan must be consistent
with the subcategory declaration in the state plan and must include
supporting analysis for the affected EGU's control strategy, including
the design basis for modifications at the facility, the anticipated
timeline to achieve full compliance, and the benchmarks anticipated
along the way. (2) Awarding of contracts for boiler modifications, or
issuance of orders for the purchase of component parts to accomplish
such modifications. Affected EGUs can demonstrate compliance with this
increment by submitting sufficient evidence that the appropriate
contracts have been awarded. (3) Initiation of onsite construction or
installation of any boiler modifications necessary to enable natural
gas co-firing at a level of 40 percent on an annual average basis. (4)
Completion of onsite construction of any boiler modifications necessary
to enable natural gas co-firing at a level of 40 percent on an annual
average basis. (5) Demonstration that all permitting actions related to
pipeline construction have commenced by a date specified in the state
plan. Evidence in support of the demonstration must include pipeline
planning and design documentation that informed the permitting
application process, a complete list of pipeline-related permitting
applications, including the nature of the permit sought and the
authority to which each permit application was submitted, an
attestation that the list of pipeline-related permit applications is
complete with respect to the authorizations required to operate the
facility at full compliance with the standard of performance, and a
timeline to complete all pipeline permitting activities. (6) Final
compliance with the standard of performance. States must also assign
calendar deadlines for each increment consistent with the following
requirements: the first increment, submission of a final control plan,
must be assigned the earliest calendar date among the increments; the
sixth increment, final compliance, must be set for January 1, 2030.
For coal-fired steam generating units in the medium-term
subcategory adopting a compliance approach that differs from natural
gas co-firing, the EPA is finalizing the requirement that states adopt
IoPs for each affected EGU that are consistent with the increments in
40 CFR 60.21a(h).
[[Page 39975]]
As with medium-term units adopting natural gas co-firing as their
compliance strategy, states must assign calendar deadlines for each
increment consistent with the following requirements: the first
increment, corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(1), must be assigned the
earliest calendar date among the increments; the final increment,
corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5), must be set for January 1, 2030.
The EPA notes that if an affected EGU receives approval for a
compliance date extension, the date for at least one, if not several,
IoPs must be adjusted to align with the revised compliance date. The
new dates for the relevant IoPs must be specified in the application
for the extension. The EPA notes that the last increment--final
compliance--should be no later than 1 year after the original
compliance date, pursuant to the requirements described in section
X.C.1.d.
Comment: The EPA received comments that the proposed IoPs are too
restrictive and may limit certain implementation flexibilities, namely
that the burden to adjust IoPs after state plan submittal will limit
sources' ability to switch subcategories or adjust implementation
timelines due to unforeseen circumstances.
Response: The EPA has considered these comments and notes that the
final rule includes planning flexibilities to address these situations.
The first of these flexibilities is embedded in the subpart Ba
regulations governing optional state plan revisions. Plan revisions,
including revisions to subcategory assignments and any corresponding
IoPs, may be used at a state's discretion to account for changes in
planned compliance approaches. 40 CFR 60.28a. Such revisions can also
include RULOF-based adjustments to approved standards of performance as
well as the timelines to meet those standards, including the IoPs.
Further, as mentioned above, the compliance date extension mechanism
described in section X.C.1.d allows for modification of the IoPs to
align with an approved compliance date extension. In addition, the
subcategory structure of these final emission guidelines differs from
that at proposal such that it is less likely that affected coal-fired
EGUs will switch subcategories. In the event that an affected EGU does
switch between the long-term and medium-term subcategories, the state
plan revision process is the most appropriate mechanism because a
different control strategy may be appropriate. Based on this
consideration and the availability of planning flexibilities to account
for changes in compliance plans and changed circumstances, the EPA is
finalizing the approach to IoPs as proposed.
Comment: Some commenters raised concerns related to length of time
between the state plan submittal deadline and the final compliance
dates, namely that some IoPs will take place too far into the future to
be reliably assigned calendar date deadlines.
Response: As noted above, the EPA has concluded that length of time
between the state plan submittal deadline and the compliance deadlines
for units in the medium-term and long-term subcategories as well as the
anticipated complexity for units to comply with the final standards of
performance necessitate the use of discrete interim checkpoints prior
to final compliance, formally established as increments of progress, to
ensure timely and transparent progress toward each unit's compliance
obligation. It would be inconsistent to determine that the same factors
necessitating the increments--the length of time between the state plan
submittal deadline and the compliance obligation as well as the complex
nature of the implementation process--also eliminate the IoPs' core
accountability function by prohibiting the assignment of calendar date
deadlines. Finally, as described above, the final emission guidelines
also allow states and affected EGUs significant flexibility to
determine when each increment applies.
Comment: Some commenters raised concerns that the IoPs could limit
affected EGUs from selecting compliance approaches that differ from the
BSER technology associated with each subcategory, namely averaging and
trading.
Response: Under the approach finalized in this rule, units assigned
to the long-term and medium-term subcategories that do not adopt the
associated BSER as part of their compliance strategy must establish
date-specified IoPs consistent with the subpart Ba IoPs codified at 40
CFR 60.21a(h). That is, states will particularize the generic IoPs in
subpart Ba as appropriate for affected EGUs that comply with their
standards of performance using control technologies other than CCS (for
long-term units) or natural gas co-firing (for medium-term units). The
EPA discusses considerations relevant to averaging and trading in
section X.D of this preamble.
4. Reporting Obligations and Milestones for Affected EGUs That Plan to
Permanently Cease Operations
The EPA proposed legally enforceable reporting obligations and
milestones for affected EGUs demonstrating that they plan to cease
operations and use that voluntary commitment for eligibility for the
imminent-term, near-term, or medium-term subcategory. No reporting
obligations and milestones were proposed for affected EGUs within the
long-term subcategory since a voluntary commitment to cease operations
was not part of the subcategory's applicability criteria. The proposed
rationale for the milestone requirements recognized that the proposed
subcategories were based on the operating horizons of units within each
subcategory, and that there were numerous steps that EGUs in these
subcategories need to take in order to effectuate their commitments to
cease operations. The proposed reporting obligations and milestones
were intended to provide transparency and assurance that affected EGUs
could complete the steps necessary to qualify for a subcategory with a
less stringent standard of performance.\938\
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\938\ 88 FR 33390 (May 23, 2023).
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Of the proposed subcategories for which the reporting obligations
and milestones were proposed to apply, the EPA's final emission
guidelines retain only the medium-term coal-fired subcategory. Though
the EPA is finalizing only one subcategory with an associated
operational time horizon, the Agency has determined that the original
rationale for the milestones is still valid. That is, the BSER
determination for EGUs assigned to the medium-term subcategory is
contingent on sources within this subcategory having limited operating
horizons relative to affected EGUs in the long-term subcategory, and
the integrity of the subcategory approach and the environmental
integrity of these emission guidelines depend on sources behaving
consistent with the operating horizon they have represented in the
state plan. The steps required for EGUs to cease operations are
numerous and vary across jurisdictions; giving states, the EPA, and
other stakeholders insight into these steps and affected EGUs' progress
along these steps provides assurance that they are on track to meeting
their state plan requirements. The reporting obligations and milestones
the EPA is finalizing under these emission guidelines are a reasonable
approach to assuring transparency and timely compliance; they can also
serve as an early indication that a state plan revision may be
necessary if it becomes apparent that an affected EGU is not meeting
its designated milestones. Further, the agency has determined that a
similar rationale for requiring reporting obligations and milestones
applies to
[[Page 39976]]
affected EGUs that invoke RULOF based on a unit's remaining useful
life. States may apply a less stringent standard of performance to a
particular affected EGU if its shorter remaining useful life results in
a fundamental difference between the circumstances of that EGU and the
information the EPA considered, and that difference makes it
unreasonable for the EGU to achieve the presumptive standard of
performance. However, if such a unit continues to operate past the date
by which it previously committed to cease operating, the basis for the
less stringent standard of performance is abrogated and the
environmental integrity of the emission guidelines compromised.
Therefore, as for affected EGUs in the medium-term subcategory, the
reporting obligations and milestones are an essential component of
assuring that affected EGUs that invoke RULOF based on a unit's
remaining useful life are actually able to satisfy the condition of
receiving the less stringent standard in the first instance.
The EPA is finalizing the following milestones and reporting
requirements, explained in more detail below, for both affected EGUs
assigned to the medium-term subcategory and affected EGUs that invoke
RULOF based on a unit's remaining useful life. These sources must
submit an Initial Milestone Report five years before the date by which
it will permanently cease operations, annual Milestone Status Reports
for each intervening year between the initial report and the date
operations will cease, and a Final Milestone Status Report no later
than six months from the date by which the affected EGU has committed
to cease operating.
Commenters expressed a range of views regarding the proposed
reporting obligations and milestones. Some were broadly supportive of
the reporting milestones and the EPA's stated rationale to provide a
mechanism to help ensure that affected EGUs progress steadily toward a
commitment to cease operations when that commitment affects the
stringency of their standard of performance. Summaries of and responses
to additional comments on the reporting obligations and milestones are
addressed at the end of this subsection.
The discussion below refers to reporting ``milestones.'' Owners/
operators of sources take a number of process steps in preparing a unit
to cease operating (i.e., preparing it to deactivate). The EPA is
requiring that states select certain of these steps to serve as
milestones for the purpose of reporting where a source is in the
process; the EPA is designating two milestones in particular and states
will select additional steps for reporting milestones. The requirements
being established under these emission guidelines do not require
milestone steps to be taken at any particular time--they merely require
reporting on when a source intends to reach each of its designated
milestones and whether and when it has actually done so. The reporting
obligations and milestone requirements count backward from the calendar
date by which an affected EGU has committed to permanently cease
operations, which must be included in the state plan, to monitor timely
progress toward that date. Five years before any planned date to
permanently cease operations or 60 days after state plan submission,
whichever is later, the owner or operator of affected EGUs must submit
an Initial Milestone Report to the applicable air pollution control
agency that includes the following: (1) A summary of the process steps
required for the affected EGU to permanently cease operation by the
date included in the state plan, including the approximate timing and
duration of each step and any notification requirements associated with
deactivation of the unit. (2) A list of key milestones that will be
used to assess whether each process step has been met, and calendar day
deadlines for each milestone. These milestones must include at least
the initial notice to the relevant reliability authority of an EGU's
deactivation date and submittal of an official retirement filing with
the EGU's reliability authority. (3) An analysis of how the process
steps, milestones, and associated timelines included in the Initial
Milestone Report compare to the timelines of similar EGUs within the
state that have permanently ceased operations within the 10 years prior
to the date of promulgation of these emission guidelines. (4)
Supporting regulatory documents, including correspondence and official
filings with the relevant regional transmission organization (RTO),
independent system operator (ISO), balancing authority, public utility
commission (PUC), or other applicable authority; any deactivation-
related reliability assessments conducted by the RTO or ISO; and any
filings pertaining to the EGU with the United States Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) or notices to investors, including but not
limited to references in forms 10-K and 10-Q, in which the plans for
the EGU are mentioned; any integrated resource plans and PUC orders
approving the EGU's deactivation; any reliability analyses developed by
the RTO, ISO, or relevant reliability authority in response to the
EGU's deactivation notification; any notification from a relevant
reliability authority that the EGU may be needed for reliability
purposes notwithstanding the EGU's intent to deactivate; and any
notification to or from an RTO, ISO, or balancing authority altering
the timing of deactivation for the EGU.
For each of the remaining years prior to the date by which an
affected EGU has committed to permanently cease operations that is
included in the state plan, it must submit an annual Milestone Status
Report that addresses the following: (1) Progress toward meeting all
milestones identified in the Initial Milestone Report; and (2)
supporting regulatory documents and relevant SEC filings, including
correspondence and official filings with the relevant regional
transmission organization, balancing authority, public utility
commission, or other applicable authority to demonstrate compliance
with or progress toward all milestones.
The EPA is also finalizing a provision that affected EGUs with
reporting milestones associated with commitments to permanently cease
operations would be required to submit a Final Milestone Status Report
no later than 6 months following its committed closure date. This
report would document any actions that the unit has taken subsequent to
ceasing operation to ensure that such cessation is permanent, including
any regulatory filings with applicable authorities or decommissioning
plans.
The EPA is finalizing a requirement that affected EGUs with
reporting milestones for commitments to permanently cease operations
must post their Initial Milestone Report, annual Milestone Status
Reports, and Final Milestone Status Report, including the schedule for
achieving milestones and any documentation necessary to demonstrate
that milestones have been achieved, on the Carbon Pollution Standards
for EGUs website, as described in section X.E.1.b, within 30 business
days of being filed. The EPA recognizes that applicable regulatory
authorities, retirement processes, and retirement approval criteria
will vary across states and affected EGUs. The proposed milestone
reporting requirements are intended to establish a general framework
flexible enough to account for significant differences across
jurisdictions while assuring timely planning toward the dates by which
affected EGUs permanently cease operations.
[[Page 39977]]
Comment: Some commentors questioned the need for the milestone
reports by pointing to existing closure enforcement mechanisms within
their jurisdictions.
Response: The existence of enforceable mechanisms in some
jurisdictions does not obviate the need for the reporting milestones
under these emission guidelines. First, the closure requirements, the
nature of the enforcement mechanisms, and process requirements to cease
operations will vary across different jurisdictions, and some
jurisdictions may lack mechanisms entirely. The reporting milestones
framework sets a uniform floor for reporting progress toward a
commitment to cease operations, reducing differences in the quality and
scope of information available to the EPA and public regarding
closures. Second, the reporting milestones under these emission
guidelines serve the additional purpose of transparency and allowing
all stakeholders to have access to information related to affected
EGUs' ongoing compliance.
Comment: Some commentors noted the unique EGU closure processes
within their own jurisdictions and expressed concern as to whether the
milestones requirements were too rigid to accommodate them.
Response: The reporting milestones are designed to create a
flexible reporting framework that can accommodate differences in state
closure processes. States can satisfy the required elements of the
milestone reports by explaining how the process steps for plant
closures within their jurisdiction work and establishing milestones
corresponding to the process steps required within individual
jurisdictions.
5. Testing and Monitoring Requirements
a. Emissions Monitoring and Reporting
The EPA proposed to require that state plans must include a
requirement that affected EGUs monitor and report hourly CO2
mass emissions emitted to the atmosphere, total heat input, and total
gross electricity output, including electricity generation and, where
applicable, useful thermal output converted to gross MWh, in accordance
with the 40 CFR part 75 monitoring, reporting, and recordkeeping
requirements. The EPA is finalizing a requirement that affected EGUs
must use a 40 CFR part 75 certified monitoring methodology and report
the hourly data on a quarterly basis, with each quarterly report due to
the Administrator 30 days after the last day in the calendar quarter.
The 40 CFR part 75 monitoring provisions require most coal-fired
boilers to use a CO2 continuous emissions monitoring system
(CEMS), including both a CO2 concentration monitor and a
stack gas flow monitor. Some oil- and gas-fired boilers may have
options to use alternative measurement methodologies (e.g., fuel flow
meters combined with fuel quality data).
The EPA received comments supporting and opposing the requirement
to use 40 CFR part 75 monitoring, reporting, and recordkeeping
requirements.
Comment: Commenters generally supported these requirements, noting
that the majority of EGUs affected by this rule already monitor and
submit emissions reports under 40 CFR part 75 under existing programs,
including the Acid Rain Program and/or Regional Greenhouse Gas
Initiative--a cooperative of several states formed to reduce
CO2 emissions from EGUs. In addition, EGUs that are not
required to monitor and report under one of those programs may have 40
CFR part 75 certified monitoring systems in place for the MATS or
CSAPR.
Response: The EPA agrees with these comments. Relying on the same
monitors that are certified and quality assured in accordance with 40
CFR part 75 reduces implementation costs and ensures consistent
emissions data across regulatory programs.
Comment: Some commenters focused on potential measurement bias of
40 CFR part 75 certified monitoring systems, with commenters split on
whether the data are biased high or low.
Response: The EPA disagrees that the data reported under 40 CFR
part 75 are biased significantly high or low. Each CO2 CEMS
must undergo regular quality assurance and quality control activities
including periodic relative accuracy test audits (RATAs) where a
monitoring system is compared to an independent monitoring system using
EPA reference methods and NIST-traceable calibration gases. In a May
2022 study conducted by the EPA, the absolute value of the median
difference between EGUs' monitoring systems and independent monitoring
systems using EPA reference methods was found to be approximately 2
percent for CO2 concentration monitors and stack gas flow
monitors in the years 2017 through 2021.\939\
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\939\ Zintgraff, Stacey. 2022. Monitoring Insights: Relative
Accuracy in EPA CAMD's Power Sector Emissions Data. www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-05/Monitoring%20Insights-%20Relative%20Accuracy.pdf.
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b. CCS-Specific Technology Monitoring and Reporting
Affected EGUs employing CCS must comply with relevant monitoring
and reporting requirements specific to CCS. As described in the
proposal, the CCS process is subject to monitoring and reporting
requirements under the EPA's GHGRP (40 CFR part 98). The GHGRP requires
reporting of facility-level GHG data and other relevant information
from large sources and suppliers in the U.S. The ``suppliers of carbon
dioxide'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart PP) requires
those affected facilities with production process units that capture a
CO2 stream for purposes of supplying CO2 for
commercial applications or that capture and maintain custody of a
CO2 stream in order to sequester or otherwise inject it
underground to report the mass of CO2 captured and supplied.
Facilities that inject a CO2 stream underground for long-
term containment in subsurface geologic formations report quantities of
CO2 sequestered under the ``geologic sequestration of carbon
dioxide'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart RR). In April
2024, to complement GHGRP subpart RR, the EPA finalized the ``geologic
sequestration of carbon dioxide with enhanced oil recovery (EOR) using
ISO 27916'' source category of the GHGRP (GHGRP subpart VV) to provide
an alternative method of reporting geologic sequestration in
association with EOR.940 941 942
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\940\ EPA. (2024). Rulemaking Notices for GHG Reporting. https://www.epa.gov/ghgreporting/rulemaking-notices-ghg-reporting.
\941\ International Standards Organization (ISO) standard
designated as CSA Group (CSA)/American National Standards Institute
(ANSI) ISO 27916:2019, Carbon Dioxide Capture, Transportation and
Geological Storage--Carbon Dioxide Storage Using Enhanced Oil
Recovery (CO2-EOR) (referred to as ``CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019'').
\942\ As described in 87 FR 36920 (June 21, 2022), both subpart
RR and subpart VV (CSA/ANSI ISO 27916:2019) require an assessment
and monitoring of potential leakage pathways; quantification of
inputs, losses, and storage through a mass balance approach; and
documentation of steps and approaches used to establish these
quantities. Primary differences relate to the terms in their
respective mass balance equations, how each defines leakage, and
when facilities may discontinue reporting.
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As discussed in section VII.C.1.a.vii, the EPA is finalizing a
requirement that any affected unit that employs CCS technology that
captures enough CO2 to meet the standard and injects the
captured CO2 underground must report under GHGRP subpart RR
or GHGRP subpart VV. If the emitting EGU sends the captured
CO2 offsite, it must transfer the CO2 to a
facility subject to the GHGRP requirements, and the facility injecting
the CO2 underground must
[[Page 39978]]
report under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. These emission
guidelines do not change any of the requirements to obtain or comply
with a UIC permit for facilities that are subject to the EPA's UIC
program under the Safe Drinking Water Act.
The EPA also notes that compliance with the standard is determined
exclusively by the tons of CO2 captured by the emitting EGU.
The tons of CO2 sequestered by the geologic sequestration
site are not part of that calculation, though the EPA anticipates that
the quantity of CO2 sequestered will be substantially
similar to the quantity captured. To verify that the CO2
captured at the emitting EGU is sent to a geologic sequestration site,
we are leveraging regulatory requirements under the GHGRP. The BSER is
determined to be adequately demonstrated based solely on geologic
sequestration that is not associated with EOR. However, EGUs also have
the compliance option to send CO2 to EOR facilities that
report under GHGRP subpart RR or GHGRP subpart VV. We also emphasize
that these emission guidelines do not involve regulation of downstream
recipients of captured CO2. That is, the regulatory standard
applies exclusively to the emitting EGU, not to any downstream user or
recipient of the captured CO2. The requirement that the
emitting EGU transfer the captured CO2 to an entity subject
to the GHGRP requirements is thus exclusively an element of enforcement
of the EGU standard. This will avoid duplicative monitoring, reporting,
and verification requirements between this proposal and the GHGRP,
while also ensuring that the facility injecting and sequestering the
CO2 (which may not necessarily be the EGU) maintains
responsibility for these requirements. Similarly, the existing
regulatory requirements applicable to geologic sequestration are not
part of the final emission guidelines.
D. Compliance Flexibilities
In the finalized subpart Ba revisions, Adoption and Submittal of
State Plans for Designated Facilities: Implementing Regulations Under
Clean Air Act Section 111(d), the EPA explained that, under its
interpretation of CAA section 111, each state is permitted to include
compliance flexibilities, including flexibilities that allow affected
EGUs to meet their emission limits in the aggregate, in their state
plans. The EPA also explained that, in particular emission guidelines,
the Agency may limit compliance flexibilities if necessary to protect
the environmental outcomes of the guidelines.\943\ Thus, in the subpart
Ba final rule the EPA returned to its longstanding position that CAA
section 111(d) authorizes the EPA to approve state plans that achieve
the requisite emission limitation through aggregate reductions from
their sources, including through trading or averaging, where
appropriate for a particular emission guideline and consistent with the
intended environmental outcomes under CAA section 111.\944\
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\943\ 88 FR 80533 (November 17, 2023).
\944\ The EPA has authorized trading or averaging as compliance
methods in several emission guidelines. See, e.g., 70 FR 28606,
28617 (May 18, 2005) (Clean Air Mercury Rule authorized trading)
(vacated on other grounds); 40 CFR 60.24(b)(1) (subpart B CAA
section 111 implementing regulations promulgated in 2005 allow
states' standards of performance to be based on an ``allowance
system''); 80 FR 64662, 64840 (October 23, 2015) (CPP authorizing
trading or averaging as a compliance strategy). In the recent final
emission guidelines for the oil and natural gas industry, the EPA
also finalized a determination that states are permitted sources to
demonstrate compliance in the aggregate. 89 FR 16820 (March 8,
2024).
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In developing both the proposed and final emission guidelines, the
EPA heard from stakeholders that flexibilities are important in
complying with standards of performance under these emission
guidelines. The EPA proposed to allow states to incorporate emission
trading and averaging into their plans under these emission guidelines,
provided that states ensure that the use of such flexibilities will
result in an aggregate level of emission reduction that is equivalent
to each source individually achieving its standard of performance.
Specifically, a variety of commenters from states, industry, RTO/
ISOs, and NGOs emphasized the importance of allowing states to
incorporate not only flexibilities that allow sources to demonstrate
compliance in the aggregate, such as emission trading and averaging,
but also unit-specific mass-based compliance into their plans. In
particular, commenters expressed a strong preference for mass-based
compliance mechanisms, whether unit-specific or emission trading, and
cited reliability as a key driver of their support for such mechanisms.
However, for the most part commenters did not provide detail on how
flexibilities could be designed under the unique circumstances of these
emission guidelines. In addition, many commenters did not specify as to
the usefulness of certain compliance flexibilities for steam generating
EGUs versus combustion turbine EGUs. Because these final emission
guidelines only apply to steam generating EGUs, there are fewer
affected EGUs that could partake in these flexibilities, which may
limit their usefulness. A description of and responses to general
comments on these compliance flexibilities can be found at the end of
this subsection.
The EPA notes that many other features of the final emission
guidelines provide the type of flexibility that the commenters stated
they wanted through the use of emission trading, averaging, and/or
unit-specific mass-based compliance. First, as noted in section X.C.1.b
of this preamble, compliance with presumptively approvable rate-based
standards of performance is demonstrated on an annual basis, which
already provides flexibility around mass emissions over an annual
period (i.e., it affords the affected EGU the ability over the course
of the year to vary its emission output, which may be useful if, for
example, it needs to temporarily turn off its control equipment or
otherwise increase its emission rate). Second, the EPA is finalizing
two mechanisms, described in section XII.F of this preamble, to address
reliability concerns raised by commenters: a short-term reliability
mechanism that allows affected EGUs to operate above their standard of
performance for a limited time in periods of emergency and a
reliability assurance mechanism to ensure sufficient capacity is
available. Finally, as described in section X.C.2 of this preamble,
states may invoke RULOF to provide for less stringent standards of
performance for affected EGUs under certain circumstances (states may
invoke RULOF both at the time of initial state plan development as well
as through state plan revision should the circumstances of an affected
EGU change following state plan submission).
The EPA believes that the use of compliance flexibilities, within
the parameters specified in these emission guidelines, may provide some
additional operational flexibility to states and affected EGUs in
achieving the required emission reductions which, under these emission
guidelines, are achieved specifically through cleaner performance. In
particular, for aggregate compliance flexibilities like emission
averaging and trading, affected EGUs may be able to capitalize on
heterogeneity in economic emission reduction opportunities based on
minor differences in marginal emission abatement costs and/or operating
parameters among EGUs. This heterogeneity may provide some incentive
among participating EGUs to overperform (i.e., operate even more
cleanly than required by the applicable standard of performance,
because of the opportunity to sell compliance
[[Page 39979]]
instruments to other units), while also providing some limited
opportunity for other sources to vary their emission output.
Therefore, the EPA is finalizing a determination that the use of
compliance flexibilities, including emission trading, averaging, and
unit-specific mass-based compliance, is permissible for affected EGUs
in certain subcategories and in certain circumstances under these
emission guidelines. Specifically, the EPA is allowing affected EGUs in
the medium- and long-term coal-fired subcategories to utilize these
compliance flexibilities. The scope of this allowance is tailored to
ensure consistency with the fundamental principle under CAA section 111
that state plans maintain the stringency of the EPA's BSER
determination and associated degree of emission limitation as applied
through the EPA's presumptive standards of performance in the context
of these emission guidelines. In addition, the EPA believes that the
scope of this allowance is consistent and appropriate for providing an
incentive for overperformance. Relatedly, the EPA is also providing
further elaboration on what it means for states to demonstrate that
implementation of a standard of performance using a rate- or mass-based
flexibility is at least as stringent as unit-specific implementation of
affected EGUs' standards of performance. States are not required to
allow their affected EGUs to use compliance flexibilities but can
provide for such flexibilities at their discretion. In order for the
EPA to find that a state plan that includes such flexibilities is
``satisfactory,'' the state plan must demonstrate how it will achieve
and maintain the requisite level of emission reduction.
The EPA stresses that any flexibilities involving aggregate
compliance would be used to demonstrate compliance with an already-
established standard of performance, rather than be used to establish a
standard of performance in the first instance. The presumptive
standards of performance that the EPA is providing in these emission
guidelines are based on control strategies that are applied at the
level of individual units. A compliance flexibility may change the way
an affected EGU demonstrates compliance with a standard of performance
(e.g., by allowing that EGU to surrender allowances from another unit
in lieu of reducing a portion of its own emissions), but does not alter
the benchmark of emission performance against which compliance is
evaluated. This is in contrast to the RULOF mechanism, which, as
described in section X.C.2 of this preamble, states may use to apply a
different standard of performance with a different degree of emission
limitation than the EPA's presumptive standard. States incorporating
trading or averaging would not need to undergo a RULOF demonstration
for sources participating in trading or averaging programs because they
are not altering those sources' underlying standards of performance--
just providing an additional way for sources to demonstrate compliance.
While the EPA acknowledges widespread interest in the use of mass-
based compliance, in the context of these particular emission
guidelines, the Agency has significant concerns about the ability to
demonstrate that mass-based compliance approaches achieve at least
equivalent emission reduction as the application of rate-based, source-
specific standards of performance. As explained in further detail in
sections X.D.4 and X.D.5, the EPA is requiring the use of a backstop
emission limitation, or backstop rate, in conjunction with mass-based
compliance approaches (i.e., for both unit-specific mass-based
compliance and mass-based emission trading) for both the long-term and
medium-term coal-fired subcategories. However, the EPA is finalizing a
presumptively approvable unit-specific mass-based compliance approach
only for affected EGUs in the long-term subcategory. The use of mass-
based compliance approaches--both unit-specific and trading--for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory in particular
poses a high risk of undermining the stringency of these emission
guidelines due to inherent uncertainty about the future utilization of
these sources. While the EPA is not precluding states from attempting
to design mass-based approaches for affected EGUs in the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory that satisfy the requirement of achieving at
least equivalent stringency as rate-based implementation, the Agency
was unable to devise an appropriate, implementable presumptively
approvable approach for affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory and is therefore not providing one here. The EPA is also
not providing a presumptively approvable approach to emission trading
or averaging. Instead, the EPA intends to review emission trading or
averaging programs in state plans on a case-by-case basis against the
foundational principles for consistency with CAA section 111, as
discussed in this section of the preamble.
Section X.D.1 of this preamble discusses the fundamental
requirement that compliance flexibilities maintain the level of
emission reduction of unit-specific implementation, in order to inform
states' consideration of such flexibilities for any use in their state
plans. It also addresses why limitations on the use of compliance
flexibilities for certain subcategories are necessary to maintain the
intended environmental outcomes of these emission guidelines. Sections
X.D.2, X.D.3, X.D.4, and X.D.5 discuss each available type of
compliance flexibility and provide information on how they can be used
in state plans under these emission guidelines. Section X.D.6 provides
information on general implementation features of emission trading and
averaging programs that states must consider if they develop such a
program. Section X.D.7 discusses interstate emission trading. Finally,
section X.D.8 discusses considerations related to existing state
programs and the inclusion of compliance flexibilities in a state plan
under these emission guidelines.
Comment: Commenters cited a variety of reasons supporting the use
of compliance flexibilities, such as emission trading, averaging, and
unit-specific mass-based compliance, in these emission guidelines,
including the need for flexibility in meeting the degree of emission
limitation defined by the BSER, the potential for more cost-effective
compliance, and reliability purposes.
Response: The EPA believes that, in certain circumstances, these
flexibilities can provide some operational and cost flexibility to
states and affected EGUs in complying with these emission guidelines
and their standards of performance in state plans. However, as
described above, the EPA is addressing reliability-related concerns
primarily through other structural changes and mechanisms under these
emission guidelines (see section XII.F of this preamble) that may
obviate the need to use compliance flexibilities specifically to
address reliability concerns. As a general matter, the EPA believes
that compliance flexibilities such as emission trading and averaging
provide some incentive for overperformance that could be beneficial to
states and affected EGUs.
The EPA is finalizing a determination that emission trading,
averaging, and unit-specific mass-based compliance are permissible for
certain subcategories under these emission guidelines, subject to the
limitations described in section X.D.1 of this preamble. The EPA
believes these limitations are necessary
[[Page 39980]]
in the context of these emission guidelines in order to maintain the
level of emission reduction of the EPA's BSER determination and
corresponding degree of emission limitation.
Comment: Some commenters expressed opposition to the use of
emission trading and averaging, citing the potential for emission
trading and averaging programs to maintain or exacerbate existing
disparities in communities with environmental justice concerns.
Response: The EPA is cognizant of these concerns and believes that
emission trading and averaging are not necessarily incompatible with
environmental justice. The EPA is including limitations on the use of
compliance flexibilities in state plans that should help address these
EJ concerns. As discussed in more detail in section X.D.1, the EPA is
restricting certain subcategories from using trading or averaging as
well as, for mass-based compliance mechanisms, requiring the use of a
backstop rate, to ensure that the use of compliance flexibilities
maintains the level of emission reduction of the EPA's BSER
determination and corresponding degree of emission limitation as well
as achieves the statutory objective of these emission guidelines to
mitigate air pollution by requiring sources to operate more cleanly.
The EPA notes that trading programs can be designed to include measures
like unit-specific emission rates that assure that reductions and
corresponding benefits accrue proportionally to communities with
environmental justice concerns. The EPA also notes that states have the
ability to add further features and requirements to emission trading
and averaging programs than identified in these emission guidelines, or
to forgo their use entirely.
Pursuant to the requirements of subpart Ba, states are required to
conduct meaningful engagement on all aspects of their state plans with
pertinent stakeholders. This would necessarily include any potential
use of flexibilities for sources to demonstrate compliance with the
proposed standards of performance through emissions trading or
averaging. As discussed in greater detail in section X.E.1.b.i of this
preamble, meaningful engagement provides an opportunity for communities
most affected by and vulnerable to the impacts of a plan to provide
input, including input on any impacts resulting from the use of
compliance flexibilities.
Comment: Some commenters stated that allowing trading or averaging
is not consistent with the legal opinion in West Virginia v. EPA.
Response: This comment is outside the scope of this action. The EPA
finalized its interpretation that CAA section 111 does not preclude
states from including compliance flexibilities such as trading or
averaging in their state plans (although the EPA may limit those
flexibilities in particular emission guidelines if necessary to protect
the environmental outcomes of those guidelines) when it revised the CAA
section 111(d) implementing regulations in subpart Ba.\945\ As
described in the final subpart Ba revisions, ``in West Virginia v. EPA,
the Supreme Court did not directly address the state's authority to
determine their sources' control measures. Although the Court did hold
that constraints apply to the EPA's authority in determining the BSER,
the Court's discussion of CAA section 111 is consistent with the EPA's
interpretation that the provision does not preclude states from
granting sources compliance flexibility.'' \946\ The EPA further
explained in the preamble to the subpart Ba final rule that the West
Virginia Court was clear that the focus of the case was exclusively on
whether the EPA acted within the scope of its authority in establishing
the BSER: ``The Court did not identify any constraints on the states in
establishing standards of performance to their sources, and its holding
and reasoning cannot be extended to apply such constraints.'' \947\
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\945\ 88 FR 80480 80533-35 (November 17, 2023).
\946\ 88 FR 80534 (November 17, 2023).
\947\ 88 FR 80535 (November 17, 2023).
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The EPA reiterates that, under these emission guidelines, the BSER
determinations are emission reduction technologies or strategies that
apply to and reduce the emission rates of individual affected EGUs.
Furthermore, states have the option of including emission trading or
averaging in their states plans but are by no means required to do so.
States that choose to include trading or averaging programs in their
state plans are required to demonstrate that those programs are in the
aggregate as stringent as each affected EGU individually achieving its
rate-based standard of performance. Additionally, as explained
elsewhere in sections X.D.4 and X.D.5 of this preamble, the EPA is
requiring the use of a backstop emission rate in conjunction with mass-
based compliance flexibilities, one result of which is that units
cannot comply with their standards of performance merely by shifting
their generation to other electricity generators. Therefore, the EPA's
BSERs in these emission guidelines are not based on generation shifting
and, even if the EPA believed that West Virginia v. EPA implicated the
use of compliance flexibilities, the permissible use of trading and
averaging in this particular case does not implicate the Court's
concerns about generation shifting therein.
1. Demonstrating Equivalent Stringency
As stated in the section above, states are permitted to use
emission trading, averaging, and unit-specific mass-based compliance in
their plans for certain subcategories under these emission guidelines,
provided that the plan demonstrates that any such use will achieve a
level of emission reduction that is in the aggregate as environmentally
protective as each affected EGU achieving its rate-based standard of
performance. This requirement is rooted in the structure and purpose of
CAA section 111. Most commenters supported the use of compliance
flexibilities in these emission guidelines, and many explicitly
expressed support for the EPA's stringency criterion in this context.
Commenters also requested greater clarity on how to demonstrate
equivalent stringency in a state plan. In this section, the EPA
describes foundational parameters for a demonstration of equivalence in
the state plan as well as limitations on the availability of compliance
flexibilities for certain affected EGUs, which stem from the EPA's
stringency criterion. Additionally, the EPA offers further explanation
of how it will review state plan submissions to determine whether plans
that include compliance flexibilities achieve an equivalent (or
greater) level of emission reduction as each affected EGU individually
complying with its unit-specific rate-based standard of performance.
a. Requirements for Demonstrating Equivalent Stringency
In their plans, states incorporating compliance flexibilities must
first clearly demonstrate how they calculated the aggregate rate-based
emission limitation (for rate-based averaging), mass limit (for unit-
specific mass-based compliance), or mass budget (for mass-based
emission trading) from unit-specific, rate-based presumptive standards
of performance. (For rate-based trading, the standard of performance
coupled with, if necessary, an adjustment based on the acquisition of
compliance instruments, is used to demonstrate compliance.) In doing
so, states must identify the specific affected EGUs that will be using
compliance flexibilities; which flexibility each unit
[[Page 39981]]
will able to use; the unit-specific, rate-based presumptive standard of
performance; and the standard of performance established in the plan
for each unit (rate-based limit or mass limit) or set of units
(aggregate rate-based emission limitation or mass budget). The state
must document and justify the assumptions made in calculating an
aggregate rate-based emission limitation, mass limit, or mass budget,
such as how the calculation is weighted or, for mass-based mechanisms,
the level of utilization of participating affected EGUs used to
calculate the mass limit or budget. This requirement is discussed in
more detail in the context of each type of compliance flexibility in
the following subsections.
Next, states must demonstrate how the compliance flexibility will
maintain the requisite stringency, i.e., how the plan will maintain the
aggregate level of emission reduction that would be achieved if each
unit was individually complying with its rate-based standard of
performance. As discussed in section X.C.1 of this preamble, an
affected EGU's standard of performance must generally be no less
stringent than the corresponding presumptive standard of performance
under these emission guidelines. This is true regardless of whether a
standard of performance is expressed in terms of rate or mass. However,
under an aggregate compliance approach, a unit may demonstrate
compliance with that standard of performance by averaging its emission
performance or trading compliance instruments (e.g., allowances) with
other affected EGUs. Here, to ensure consistency with the level of
emission reductions Congress expected under CAA section 111(a)(1), the
state must also demonstrate that the plan overall achieves equivalent
stringency, i.e., the same or better environmental outcome, as applying
the EPA's presumptive standards of performance to each affected EGU
(after accounting for any application of RULOF). That is, in order for
the EPA to find a state plan ``satisfactory,'' that plan must achieve
at least the level of emission reduction that would result if each
affected EGU was achieving its presumptive standard of performance
(again, after accounting for any application of RULOF).
The requirement that state plans achieve equivalent stringency to
the EPA's degree of emission limitation flows from the structure and
purpose of CAA section 111, which is to mitigate air pollution that is
reasonably anticipated to endanger public health or welfare. It
achieves this outcome by requiring source categories that cause or
contribute to dangerous air pollution to operate more cleanly. Unlike
the CAA's NAAQS-based programs, section 111 is not designed to reach a
level of emissions that has been deemed ``safe'' or ``acceptable'';
there is no air-quality target that tells states and sources when
emissions have been reduced ``enough.'' Rather, CAA section 111
requires affected sources to reduce their emissions to the level that
the EPA has determined is achievable through application of the best
system of emission reduction, i.e., to achieve emission reductions
consistent with the applicable presumptive standard of performance.
Consistent with the statutory purpose of requiring affected sources to
operate more cleanly, the EPA typically expresses presumptive standards
of performance as rate-based emission limitations (i.e., limitations on
the amount of a regulated pollutant that can be emitted per unit of
output, per unit of energy or material input, or per unit of time).
In the course of complying with a rate-based standard of
performance under a state plan, an affected source takes actions that
may or may not affect its ongoing emission reduction obligations. For
example, a source may take certain actions that remove it from the
source category, e.g., by switching fuel type or permanently ceasing
operations. Upon doing so, the source is no longer subject to the
emission guidelines. Or an affected source may choose to change its
operating characteristics in a way that impacts its overall mass of
emissions, e.g., by changing its utilization, in which case the source
is still required to reduce its emission rate consistent with cleaner
performance. In either instance, the changes in operation to one
affected source do not implicate the obligations of other affected
sources. Although changes to certain sources' operation may reduce
emissions from the source category, they do not absolve the remaining
affected EGUs from the statutory obligation to reduce their emission
rates consistent with the level that the EPA has determined is
achievable through application of the BSER. While state plans may, when
permitted by the applicable emission guidelines, allow affected sources
to translate their rate-based presumptive standards of performance into
mass limits and/or comply with their standards of performance in the
aggregate through averaging or trading, the fundamental statutory
requirement remains: the state plan must demonstrate that, even if
individual affected sources are not necessarily achieving their
presumptive rate-based standards of performance, the plan as a whole
must provide for the same level of emission reduction for the affected
EGUs as though they were. While states may choose to allow individual
sources to emit more or less than the degree of emission limitation
determined by the EPA, any compliance flexibilities must be designed to
ensure that their use does not erode the emission reduction benefits
that would result if each source was individually achieving its
presumptive standard of performance (after accounting for any use of
RULOF).
For rate-based averaging and trading, discussed in more detail in
sections X.D.2 and X.D.3 of this preamble, demonstrating an equivalent
level of emission reduction is relatively straightforward, as a rate-
based program inherently provides relatively stronger assurance of
equivalence with individual rate-based standards of performance. This
is due to the fact that the aggregate rate-based emission limitation
(for rate-based averaging) or rate-based standard of performance with
adjustment for compliance instruments (for rate-based trading) is
calculated based on both the emission output and gross generation
output (utilization) of the participating affected EGUs. In other
words., a rate-based compliance flexibility, such as a rate-based unit-
specific standard of performance, inherently adjusts for changes in
utilization and preserves the imperative to operate more cleanly. For
unit-specific mass-based compliance and mass-based trading,
demonstrating equivalent stringency is more complicated, as the use of
a mass limit or mass budget on its own may not guarantee that sources
are achieving emission reductions commensurate with operating more
cleanly. Thus the EPA is requiring that, in order to ensure that the
emission outcome that would be achieved through unit-specific rate-
based standards of performance are preserved, states must also include
a backstop emission rate limitation, or backstop rate, for affected
EGUs using a mass-based compliance flexibility, as discussed in more
detail in sections X.D.4 and X.D.5 of this preamble. In addition,
states employing a mass-based mechanism in their plans must show why
assumptions underlying the calculation of utilization for the purposes
of establishing a mass limit or mass budget are appropriately
conservative to ensure an equivalent level of emission reduction, as
discussed more in sections X.D.4 and X.D.5 of this preamble.
In sum, states wishing to employ compliance flexibilities in their
state
[[Page 39982]]
plans must demonstrate that the plan achieves at least equivalent
stringency with each source individually achieving its standard of
performance, bearing in mind the discussion and requirements in this
section, as well as the discussion and requirements in the following
sections specific to each type of mechanism. The EPA will review state
plan submissions that include compliance flexibilities to ensure that
they are consistent with CAA section 111's purpose of reducing
dangerous air pollution by requiring sources to operate more cleanly.
In order for the EPA to find a state plan ``satisfactory,'' that plan
must address each affected EGU within the state and demonstrate that
the plan overall achieves at least the level of emission reduction that
would result if each affected EGU was achieving its presumptive
standard of performance, after accounting for any application of RULOF.
b. Exclusion of Certain Affected EGUs From Compliance Flexibilities
While the use of compliance flexibilities such as emission trading,
averaging, and unit-specific mass-based compliance is generally
permissible under these emission guidelines, the EPA indicated in the
proposal that it may be appropriate for certain groups of sources to be
excluded from using these flexibilities in order to ensure an
equivalent level of emission reduction with each source individually
achieving its standard of performance. In the proposed emission
guidelines, the EPA expressed concerns about the use of compliance
flexibilities for several subcategories that have BSER determinations
of routine methods of operation and maintenance as well as those
sources for which states have invoked RULOF to apply a less stringent
standard of performance, as their inclusion may undermine the intended
level of emission reduction of the BSER for other facilities. The EPA
also questioned whether trading and averaging across subcategories
should be limited in order to maintain the stringency of unit-specific
compliance. Finally, the EPA questioned whether affected EGUs that
receive the IRC section 45Q tax credit for permanent sequestration of
CO2 may have an overriding incentive to maximize both the
application of the CCS technology and total electric generation,
leading to source behavior that may be non-responsive to the economic
incentives of a trading program.
In response to the request for comment on these concerns related to
the appropriateness of emission trading and averaging for certain
subcategories and for sources with a standard based on RULOF, the EPA
received mixed feedback. Some commenters agreed with the EPA's concerns
about these subcategories participating in trading and averaging and
that affected EGUs in these subcategories should be prevented from
participating in an emission trading or averaging program. However,
several commenters said that it was indeed appropriate to allow all
subcategories as well as sources with a standard of performance based
on RULOF to participate in trading and averaging and that the program
would still achieve an equivalent level of emission reduction, even if
those subcategories are of limited stringency.
In response to the request for comment on whether emission trading
and averaging should be allowed across subcategories in light of
concerns over differing levels of stringency for different
subcategories impacting overall achievement of an equivalent level of
emission reduction, the EPA also received mixed feedback. Some
commenters supported restricting trading and averaging across
subcategories because of concerns that EGUs in a subcategory with a
relatively higher stringency could acquire allowances from EGUs in a
subcategory with a relatively lower stringency in order to comply
instead of operating a control technology. Several commenters stated
that trading across subcategories need not be limited because, as long
as state plans are of an equivalent level of emission reduction,
emission trading and averaging would still require the overall
aggregate limit to be met.
Taking into consideration the comments on the proposed emission
guidelines as well as changes made to the subcategories in the final
emission guidelines, the Agency is finalizing the following
restrictions on the use of compliance flexibilities by certain
subcategories.
First, emission trading or averaging programs must not include
affected EGUs for which states have invoked RULOF to apply less
stringent standards of performance. The Agency believes that, because
RULOF sources have a standard of performance tailored to individual
source circumstances that is required to be as stringent as reasonably
practicable, these sources should not need further operational
flexibility and are also unlikely to be able to overperform to any
significant or regular degree. This means that their participation in
an emission trading or averaging program is, at best, unlikely to add
any value to the program (in terms of opportunity for overperformance)
or, at worst, may provide an inappropriate opportunity for other
sources subject to a relatively more stringent presumptive standard of
performance to underperform by obtaining compliance instruments from or
averaging their emission performance with affected EGUs that are
subject to a relatively less stringent standard of performance based on
RULOF. This outcome undermines the ability of the state plan to
demonstrate an equivalent level of emission reduction, as non-RULOF
sources would face a reduced incentive to operate more cleanly. In
addition, affected EGUs with a standard of performance based on RULOF
are prohibited from using unit-specific mass-based compliance under
these emission guidelines. This is due to the compounding uncertainty
regarding how states will use RULOF to particularize the compliance
obligations for an affected EGU and the future utilization of affected
EGUs that may be subject to RULOF. The RULOF provisions are used where
a particular EGU is in unique circumstances and may result in a less
stringent standard of performance based on the BSER technology, a less
stringent standard of performance based on a different control
technology, a longer compliance schedule, or some combination of the
three. The bespoke nature of compliance obligations pursuant to RULOF
makes it difficult for the EPA to provide principles for and for states
to design mass-based compliance strategies that ensure an equivalent
level of emission reduction. Additionally, as previously discussed,
there is a significant amount of uncertainty in the future utilization
of certain affected EGUs, including those with standards of performance
pursuant to RULOF. While there is no risk of implicating the compliance
obligation of other sources in unit-specific mass-based compliance, the
EPA believes that allowing RULOF sources to use unit-specific mass
compliance would pose a significant risk in undermining the stringency
of the state plan such that these sources may not be achieving the
level of emission reduction commensurate with cleaner performance.
Second, emission trading or averaging programs may not include
affected EGUs in the natural gas- and oil-fired steam subcategories.
The BSER determination and associated degree of emission limitation for
affected EGUs in these subcategories do not require any improvement in
emission performance and already offer flexibility to sources to
account for varying efficiency at different operating levels. As a
result, these sources are unlikely to be
[[Page 39983]]
responsive to an incentive towards overperformance, which means that
their participation in an emission trading or averaging program is
unlikely to add any value to the program (in terms of opportunity for
overperformance). In addition, the EPA is concerned that the
participation of these sources may undermine the program's equivalence
with the presumptive standards of performance, because other steam
sources, which have a relatively more stringent degree of emission
limitation, may be inappropriately incentivized to underperform by
obtaining compliance instruments from or averaging their emission
performance with affected EGUs in the natural gas- and oil-fired steam
subcategories. This outcome undermines the ability of the state plan to
demonstrate equivalent stringency by reducing the incentive for sources
to operate more cleanly. In addition, affected EGUs in the natural gas-
and oil-fired steam subcategories are prohibited from using unit-
specific mass-based compliance. While there is no risk of implicating
the compliance obligation of other sources in unit-specific mass-based
compliance, the EPA believes, as previously stated, there is already
sufficient flexibility offered to sources in the natural gas- and oil-
fired steam subcategories, as the basis for subcategorizing these
sources takes into account their varying efficiency at different
operating levels.
The EPA is allowing both coal-fired subcategories (both the medium-
and long-term) to participate in all types of compliance flexibilities,
within the parameters set by the EPA described in the following
sections. The Agency believes, and many commenters agreed, that
affected EGUs taking advantage of the IRC section 45Q tax credit may
still benefit from the operational flexibility provided by emission
trading and averaging, as well as unit-specific mass-based compliance.
The Agency also believes that overperformance among these sources is
possible and worth incentivizing through the use of compliance
flexibilities. Incentivizing overperformance can lead to innovation in
control technologies that, in turn, can lead to lower costs for, and
greater emissions reductions from, control technologies.
The EPA is not finalizing a restriction on trading or averaging
across subcategories for the two subcategories that are permitted to
participate in these flexibilities. This means that affected EGUs in
the medium-term coal-fired subcategory may trade or average their
compliance with affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired subcategory.
With the aforementioned restrictions on participation in trading and
averaging, the EPA does not see a need to further restrict the ability
of eligible sources to trade or average with other sources.
2. Rate-Based Emission Averaging
The EPA proposed to permit states to incorporate rate-based
averaging into their state plans under these emission guidelines. In
general, rate-based averaging allows multiple affected EGUs to jointly
meet a rate-based standard of performance. The scope of such averaging
could apply at the facility level (i.e., units located within a single
facility) or at the owner or operator level (i.e., units owned by the
same utility). A description of and responses to comments received on
rate-based averaging can be found at the end of this subsection.
As discussed in the proposed emission guidelines, averaging can
provide potential benefits to affected sources by allowing for more
cost effective and, in some cases, more straightforward compliance.
First, averaging offers some flexibility for owners or operators to
target cost effective reductions at certain affected EGUs. For example,
owners or operators of affected EGUs might target installation of
emission control approaches at units that operate more. Second,
averaging at the facility level provides greater ease of compliance
accounting for affected EGUs with a complex stack configuration (such
as a common- or multi-stack configuration). In such instances, unit-
level compliance involves apportioning reported emissions to individual
affected EGUs that share a stack based on electricity generation or
other parameters; this apportionment can be avoided by using facility-
level averaging.
The EPA is finalizing a determination that rate-based averaging is
permissible for affected EGUs in the medium- and long-term coal-fired
subcategories. The scope of rate-based averaging may be at the facility
level or at the owner/operator level within the state, as these are the
circumstances under which rate-based averaging can provide significant
benefits, as identified above, with minimal implementation complexity.
Above this level (i.e., across owner/operators or at the state or
interstate level), the EPA has determined that a rate-based compliance
flexibility must be implemented through rate-based trading, as
described in section X.D.3 of this preamble. The EPA is establishing
this limitation on the scope of averaging because it believes that the
level of complexity associated with utilities, independent power
producers, and states attempting to coordinate the real-time compliance
information needed to assure that either all affected EGUs are meeting
their individual standard of performance, or that a sufficient number
of affected EGUs are overperforming to allow operational flexibility
for other affected EGUs such that the aggregate standard of performance
is being achieved, would curtail transparency and limit states', the
EPA's, and stakeholders' abilities to track timely compliance. For
example, dozens of units trying to average their emission rates would
require owners or operators from different utilities and independent
power producers to share operating and emissions data in real time.
Thus, due to likely limitations on the timely availability of
compliance-related information across owners and operators and across
states, which is necessary to ensure aggregate compliance, the EPA
believes that it is appropriate to limit the scope of rate-based
averaging to the facility level or the owner/operator level within one
state in order to provide greater compliance certainty and thus better
demonstrate an equivalent level of emission reduction.
Demonstrating equivalence with unit-specific implementation of
rate-based standards of performance in a rate-based averaging program
is straightforward. A state would need to specify in its plan the group
of affected EGUs participating in the averaging program that will
demonstrate compliance on an aggregate basis, the unit-specific rate-
based presumptive standard of performance that would apply to each
participating affected EGU, and the aggregate compliance rate that must
be achieved for the group of participating affected EGUs and how that
aggregate rate is calculated, as described below. For states
incorporating owner/operator-level averaging, the state plan would also
need to include provisions that specify how the program will address
any changes in the owner/operator for one or more participating
affected EGUs during the course of program implementation to ensure
effective implementation and enforcement of the program. Such
provisions should be specified upfront in the plan and be self-
executing, such that a state plan revision is not required to address
such changes.
To ensure an equivalent level of emission reduction with
application of individual rate-based standards of performance, the EPA
is requiring that the weighting of the aggregate compliance rate is
done on an output basis; in other words, participating affected EGUs
must demonstrate
[[Page 39984]]
compliance through achievement of an aggregate CO2 emission
rate that is a gross generation-based weighted average of the required
standards of performance of each of the affected EGUs that participate
in averaging. Such an approach is necessary to ensure that the
aggregate compliance rate is representative of the unit-specific
standards of performance that apply to each of the participating
affected EGUs. Commenters were generally supportive of this method of
calculating an aggregate rate for a group of sources participating in
averaging. The Agency emphasizes that only affected EGUs are permitted
to be included in the calculation of an aggregate rate-based standard
of performance as well as in an aggregate compliance demonstration of a
rate-based standard of performance.
Comment: Commenters supported the use of rate-based averaging on
the grounds that it can provide operational flexibility to affected
EGUs as well as the opportunity for owners and operators to optimize
control technology investments. Many commenters supported averaging at
the facility- and owner/operator-level as well as on a statewide or
interstate basis.
Response: The EPA believes that rate-based trading can provide some
additional operational flexibility and is finalizing that rate-based
averaging is permissible at the facility- and owner/operator-level for
affected EGUs in the medium- and long-term coal-fired subcategories.
However, for reasons discussed above, the EPA believes that rate-based
trading, rather than rate-based averaging, should be implemented where
a state would like to implement a rate-based compliance flexibility at
a state or interstate basis.
3. Rate-Based Emission Trading
The EPA proposed to permit states to incorporate rate-based trading
into their state plans under these emission guidelines. In general, a
rate-based trading program allows affected EGUs to trade compliance
instruments that are generated based on their emission performance. A
description of and responses to comments on rate-based trading can be
found at the end of this subsection.
The EPA notes that, like rate-based averaging, rate-based trading
can provide some flexibility for owners or operators to target cost
effective reductions at specific affected EGUs, but can heighten the
flexibility relative to averaging by further increasing the number of
participating affected EGUs. In addition, emission trading can provide
incentive for overperformance.
The proposed emission guidelines described how rate-based trading
could work in this context. First, the EPA discussed how it expects
states to denote the tradable compliance instrument in a rate-based
trading programs as one ton of CO2. A tradable compliance
instrument denominated in another unit of measure, such as a MWh, is
not fungible in the context of a rate-based emission trading program. A
compliance instrument denominated in MWh that is awarded to one
affected EGU most likely does not represent an equivalent amount of
emissions credit when used by another affected EGU to demonstrate
compliance, as the CO2 emission rates (lb CO2/
MWh) of the two affected EGUs are likely to differ.
Each affected EGU is required under these emission guidelines to
have a particular standard of performance, based on the degree of
emission limitation achievable through application of the BSER, with
which it would have to demonstrate compliance. Under a rate-based
trading program, affected EGUs performing at a CO2 emission
rate below their standard of performance would be awarded compliance
instruments at the end of each calendar year denominated in tons of
CO2. The number of compliance instruments awarded would be
equal to the difference between their standard of performance
CO2 emission rate and their actual reported CO2
emission rate multiplied by their gross generation in MWh. Affected
EGUs demonstrating compliance through a rate-based averaging program
that are performing worse than their standard of performance would be
required to obtain and surrender an appropriate number of compliance
instruments when demonstrating compliance, such that their demonstrated
CO2 emission rate is equivalent to their rate-based standard
of performance. Transfer and use of these compliance instruments would
be accounted for in the numerator (sum of total annual CO2
emissions) of the CO2 emission rate as each affected EGU
performs its compliance demonstration. Compliance would be demonstrated
for an affected EGU based on its reported CO2 emission
performance (in lb CO2/MWh) and, if necessary, the surrender
of an appropriate number of tradable compliance instruments, such that
the demonstrated lb CO2/MWh emission performance is
equivalent to (or lower than) the rate-based standard of performance
for the affected EGU.
The EPA is finalizing a determination that rate-based trading is
permissible for affected EGUs in the medium- and long-term coal-fired
subcategories. The Agency notes, as previously discussed, that rate-
based trading (rather than averaging) must be utilized if the state
wishes to establish a statewide or interstate rate-based compliance
flexibility, in order to ensure compliance and equivalent stringency.
For similar reasons, rate-based trading should also be utilized in lieu
of owner/operator-level averaging when an owner/operator wishes to use
a rate-based compliance flexibility for a group of its units that are
located in more than one state.
Demonstrating equivalence with unit-specific implementation of
rate-based standards of performance in a rate-based trading program is
relatively straightforward. States would need to specify in their plans
the affected EGUs participating in the trading program and their
individual standards of performance. Under the method of rate-based
trading described in this section, a compliance demonstration would be
done for each participating affected EGU based on a combination of the
reported emission performance and, if relevant, the surrender of
compliance instruments. In addition, the EPA is requiring that the
compliance instrument be denominated as one ton of CO2
(rather than another unit such as MWh). The Agency believes this
requirement is necessary to ensure an equivalent level of emission
reduction as application of individual rate-based standards of
performance.
An additional aspect of demonstrating equivalence is ensuring that
the program achieves and maintains an equivalent level of emission
reduction with standards of performance over time, which is much more
certain in a rate-based trading program than in a mass-based program.
Unlike mass-based trading programs, under which states must make
assumptions about units' future utilization that may become inaccurate
as those units' operations shift over time, rate-based trading programs
do not rely on utilization assumptions. Utilization is already
accounted for by default in a rate-based trading program. Thus, while
mass-based compliance flexibilities require additional design features
to ensure the continued accuracy of assumptions about utilization and
thus emission limits or budgets over time, such features are not
necessary in a rate-based trading program.
Comment: While commenters broadly supported the use of rate-based
emission trading under these emission guidelines, as it provides
operational flexibility to affected EGUs, some commenters expressed
concern that
[[Page 39985]]
rate-based trading could lead to an absolute increase in emissions.
Response: The EPA notes that, as a general matter, CAA section 111
reduces emissions of dangerous air pollutants by requiring affected
sources to operate more cleanly. Under the construct of these emission
guidelines, so long as a rate-based trading program is appropriately
designed to maintain the level of emission reduction that would be
achieved through unit-specific, rate-based standards of performance, it
would be consistent with CAA section 111.
4. Unit-Specific Mass-Based Compliance
Although the EPA discussed mass-based trading in the proposed
emission guidelines, it did not specifically address whether states may
include a related flexibility, unit-specific mass-based compliance, in
their plans. Several commenters supported mass-based mechanisms,
including both unit-specific mass-based compliance and mass-based
trading. A description of and responses to comments on unit-specific
mass-based compliance can be found at the end of this subsection.
The EPA's CAA section 111 implementing regulations generally permit
states to include mass-based limits in their plans, see 40 CFR
60.21a(f), subject to the requirement that standards of performance
must be no less stringent than the presumptive standards of performance
in the corresponding emission guidelines. 40 CFR 60.24a(c). However,
the EPA has significant concerns about the use of unit-specific mass-
based compliance in the context of these emission guidelines and the
ability of states using this mechanism to ensure that such use will
result in the same level of emission reduction that would be achieved
by applying the rate-based standard of performance. These concerns
arise both from the particular focus of these emission guidelines on
emission reduction strategies that result in cleaner performance of
affected EGUs, and the inherent uncertainty in predicting the
utilization of affected EGUs during the compliance period, especially
given the long lead times provided.
Therefore, while the EPA is allowing states to include unit-
specific mass-based compliance in their plans for affected coal-fired
EGUs in the medium- and long-term subcategories, it is also requiring
states to use a backstop emission rate in conjunction with the mass-
based compliance demonstration. As discussed in section X.D.1 of this
preamble, the EPA believes the use of a backstop rate is consistent
with the focus on achieving cleaner performance. CAA section 111
requires the mitigation of dangerous air pollution, which is generally
achieved under this provision by requiring affected sources to operate
more cleanly. Thus, standards of performance are typically expressed as
a rate. In these emission guidelines, in particular, the BSERs for
affected EGUs are control technologies and other systems of emission
reduction that reduce the amount of CO2 emitted per unit of
electricity generation. The EPA is not precluding states from
translating those unit-specific rate-based standards of performance
into a mass-based limit (for unit-specific mass-based compliance) or
budget (for emission trading). However, in order to ensure that the
emission reductions required under CAA section 111 are achieved, mass-
based limits or budgets must be accompanied by a backstop rate for
purposes of demonstrating compliance. In addition, for coal-fired EGUs
in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory in particular, it is critical
that states' assumptions about future utilization do not result in
inaccurate mass-based limits or budgets that allow units to emit more
than they would be permitted to under unit-specific, rate-based
compliance.
The EPA is finalizing a presumptively approvable unit-specific
mass-based compliance approach for affected EGUs in the long-term coal-
fired subcategory, including a methodology for the applicable backstop
rate, but is not finalizing a presumptively approvable approach for
affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory. As explained
below, the EPA has not been able to determine a unit-specific mass-
based compliance mechanism for medium-term coal-fired EGUs that would
ensure that the mass limit is no less stringent than the presumptive
standard of performance under these emission guidelines.
In general, unit-specific mass-based compliance establishes a
budget of allowable mass emissions (a mass limit) for an individual
affected EGU based on the degree of emission limitation defined by its
subcategory and a specified level of anticipated utilization. Standards
of performance would be provided in the form of mass limits in tons of
CO2 for each individual affected EGU, and compliance would
be demonstrated through surrender of allowances, with each allowance
representing a permit to emit one ton of CO2. Unlike mass-
based emission trading, under a unit-specific mass compliance
mechanism, these allowances would not be tradable with other affected
EGUs. To demonstrate compliance, the affected EGU would be required to
surrender allowances in a number equal to its reported CO2
emissions during each compliance period.
As detailed in section VII.C.1.a.i(B)(7), for affected coal-fired
EGUs in the long-term subcategory that are installing CCS, considering
the potential impacts of variable load, startups, and shutdowns, 90
percent CO2 capture is, in general, achievable over the
course of a year. However, the EPA believes unit-specific mass-based
compliance could provide some benefit by affording long-term affected
coal-fired EGUs that adopt this mechanism even greater operational
flexibility.\948\ For example, if an affected EGU encounters challenges
related to the start-up of the CCS technology or needs to conduct
maintenance of the capture equipment, unit-specific mass-based
compliance would provide a path for the affected EGU to continue
operating. At the same time, unit-specific mass-based compliance
coupled with a backstop rate would generally ensure that units operate
more cleanly and that the required level of emission reduction is
achieved. As explained in more detail below, the EPA's confidence
regarding the equivalent stringency of this mass-based compliance
approach for units in the long-term subcategory depends on the Agency's
confidence in the likely utilization of a unit that has adopted
emissions controls--in this case, CCS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\948\ States may also elect to include the short-term
reliability mechanism described in section XII.F.3.a in their plans
to address grid emergency situations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired subcategory, the EPA
is providing a presumptively approvable approach to unit-specific mass-
based compliance. To establish the presumptively approvable mass limit,
the presumptively approvable rate (as described in section X.C.1.b.i of
this preamble) would be multiplied by a level of gross generation
(i.e., utilization level) corresponding to an annual capacity factor of
80 percent, which is the capacity factor used for the BSER analysis
(see section VII.C.1.a.ii of this preamble) and represents expected
utilization based on the incentive provided by the IRC section 45Q tax
credit. In addition, under this approach, affected EGUs would need to
meet a backstop emission rate, expressed in lb CO2 per MWh
on a gross basis, equivalent to a reduction relative to baseline
emission performance of 80 percent, on an annual calendar-year basis.
The EPA believes this backstop rate represents a reasonable level of
operational flexibility for affected EGUs
[[Page 39986]]
in the long-term subcategory, and it could provide flexibility for
sources to employ other technologies (e.g., membrane and chilled
ammonia capture technologies) that can achieve a similarly high degree
of emission limitation to CCS with amine-based capture. States may
deviate from this approach (however, as previously discussed, the
approach must include a backstop rate) and deviations will be reviewed
to ensure consistency with the statute and this rule when the EPA
reviews the state plan. For example, states may wish to use an assumed
utilization level of greater than 80 percent to establish a mass limit.
In reviewing such an approach for reasonableness, the EPA would
consider, among other things, whether an affected EGU's capacity factor
has historically been greater than 80 percent for any continuous 8
quarters of data. The EPA would review the supporting data and
resulting mass limit for consistency with the statute. The EPA has
confidence that the presumptively approvable approach achieves an
equivalent level of emission reduction as the implementation of the
individual presumptive standard of performance because of the high
degree of stringency associated with this subcategory as well as the
45Q tax credit, which incentivizes units to maximize capture of
CO2 as well as the utilization of the affected EGU.
On the other hand, the EPA does not have the same confidence in a
mass-based approach to unit-specific compliance for the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory for two reasons: the uncertainty in the
utilization of these affected EGUs and the relatively lower stringency
of the subcategory (i.e., 16 percent reduction relative to baseline
emission performance), particularly as compared to the long-term
subcategory. The EPA has not been able to develop a workable approach
to mass-based compliance for these units that both preserves the
stringency of the presumptive standard of performance and results in an
implementable program for affected EGUs.
First, there are significant challenges in selecting an appropriate
utilization assumption for the purposes of generating a mass limit for
affected EGUs in the medium-term subcategory. When setting the mass
limit for a future time period, as would occur in a state plan under
these emission guidelines, assumptions about the source's anticipated
level of utilization must be made. Estimating future utilization of
affected EGUs in the medium-term subcategory is subject to a
significant degree of uncertainty, driven by sector-wide factors
including changes in relative fuel prices, new incentives for
technology deployment provided by the IIJA and the IRA, and increasing
electrification, as well as EGU-specific factors related to its age
and/or operating characteristics. As described in the Power Sector
Trends TSD, coal-fired EGUs tend to become less efficient as they age,
which may impact utilities' investment decisions and the utilization of
these EGUs. In addition, affected EGUs in this subcategory are unlikely
to be earning the IRC section 45Q tax credit, meaning they lack an
incentive to maximize both utilization and control of emissions beyond
what is required by the subcategory.
The accuracy of this estimate of utilization is critical to
maintaining the environmental integrity established by unit-specific,
rate-based compliance under these emission guidelines. If a state
assumes a level of utilization that is higher than an affected EGU
actually operates during the compliance period, the resulting mass
limit will be non-binding, i.e., may not reflect any emission
reductions relative to what the unit would have emitted in the absence
of these emission guidelines. In this case a backstop emission rate
helps, but the unit would become subject to a de facto less-stringent
standard of performance. This result does not preserve environmental
integrity consistent with CAA section 111(a)(1). Conversely, assuming a
level of utilization for the purpose of setting a mass limit that is
lower than an affected EGU actually operates during the compliance
period maintains the level of emission reduction of unit-specific,
rate-based implementation but may have unintended effects on
operational flexibility. Thus, the EPA believes that in many, if not
most circumstances it will not be possible for states to accurately
predict the future utilization of medium-term affected EGUs.
Second, the EPA notes that the relatively lower stringency of the
subcategory further complicates the calculation of an appropriate mass
limit. Under mass-based compliance, the quantity of emission reductions
that corresponds to a 16 percent reduction in CO2 emission
rate is a relatively small reduction in terms of tons of
CO2. This relatively small reduction is likely to be
subsumed by the uncertainty inherent in predicting the utilization of
an affected EGU for purposes of determining its mass limit. That is, an
EGU in the medium-term subcategory that assumes future utilization
consistent with its historical baseline but reduces its emission rate
by 16 percent would achieve, on paper at least, an emission reduction
of 16 percent. However, if its utilization during the compliance period
is more than 16 percent lower than it was in the past, the EGU using a
mass-based compliance approach would face a reduced or completely
eliminated obligation to improve its emission performance. In this
case, mass-based compliance results in a lower level of emission
reduction than unit-specific rate-based compliance. While this
phenomenon is not likely to occur for long-term coal-fired affected
EGUs given the much higher degree of stringency of the rate-based
emission limitation and the greater certainty in future utilization,
the EPA believes it would be widespread amongst medium-term affected
EGUs.
Thus, the EPA is not providing a presumptively approvable approach
for unit-specific mass-based compliance for affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory. However, it is also not prohibiting
states from, in their discretion, allowing the use of unit-specific
mass-based compliance. For such use to be approvable in state plans it
must meet two requirements. First, as previously noted in section X.D.1
of this preamble, the state must apply a backstop rate in conjunction
with a mass limit for the purposes of demonstrating compliance. As a
starting point, states could consider basing their backstop rate for
medium-term affected EGUs on the percentage reduction from the degree
of emission limitation used for the presumptively approvable backstop
rate for the long-term coal-fired subcategory, i.e., the 80 percent
reduction relative to baseline emission performance is approximately
90.5 percent of the 88.4 percent degree of emission limitation.
Applying that to the degree of emission limitation for the medium-term
coal-fired subcategory is 14.5 percent, so the backstop rate, expressed
in lb CO2 per MWh on a gross basis, could be set as a 14.5
percent reduction relative to baseline emission performance on an
annual calendar-year basis. Second, as described in section X.D.1 of
this preamble, states must demonstrate that their plan would achieve an
equivalent level of emission reduction as the application of unit-
specific, rate-based standards of performance, including showing how
the mass limit has been calculated and the basis for any assumptions
made (e.g., about utilization). As explained in this section, the EPA
believes it will be very difficult for states to accurately predict the
future utilization of these units, which substantially increases the
risk of establishing a mass limit that
[[Page 39987]]
does not ensure at least an equivalent level of emission reduction. The
EPA will therefore apply a high degree of scrutiny to assumptions made
about the utilization of affected EGUs employing this flexibility in
state plans. Only state plans that demonstrate that use of compliance
flexibilities will not erode the emission reductions required under
these emission guidelines are approvable.
Comment: Commenters were generally supportive of the use of mass-
based compliance mechanisms (both unit-specific and aggregate
mechanisms such as emission trading) for these emission guidelines.
Commenters said that mass-based compliance can help ensure
environmental outcomes while also allowing sources to cycle,
incorporate variable resources, and respond to grid conditions.
Response: The EPA is finalizing that mass-based compliance
mechanisms are permissible when they assure an equivalent level of
emission reduction with each source individually achieving its standard
of performance, subject to the parameters described by the EPA in this
preamble. For unit-specific mass-based compliance, affected EGUs in the
medium- and long-term coal-fired subcategories may demonstrate
compliance with their standards of performance through a mass limit.
The EPA believes unit-specific mass-based compliance may offer some
additional operational flexibility to states and affected EGUs, which
could include allowing for cycling and incorporating variable
resources. The EPA notes that sources must still be in compliance with
the requisite backstop rate.
Comment: Many commenters expressed support for mass-based
compliance mechanisms on the grounds that it facilitates calibration
with existing state programs affecting the same sources that are
affected under these emission guidelines.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that states may find it more
straightforward to compare emission reduction obligations under these
emission guidelines and existing state programs by using mass-based
compliance mechanisms for state plans under these emission guidelines.
However, the EPA notes that mass-based compliance mechanisms, including
unit-specific mass-based compliance, are only available to certain
sources affected by these emission guidelines, as described in this
section of the preamble, which may be a smaller universe of sources
than are affected by existing state programs. State plans must ensure
an equivalent level of emission reduction from the sources that are
affected sources under these emission guidelines. That is, states
cannot rely on or account for emission reductions occurring at non-
affected sources.
Section X.D.8 of this preamble discusses more considerations
related to the relationship between the inclusion of compliance
flexibilities in state plans under these emission guidelines and
existing state programs.
Comment: Many commenters requested presumptively approvable mass-
based standards of performance.
Response: As discussed above, the EPA is finalizing a presumptively
approvable unit-specific mass-based compliance approach for units in
the long-term coal-fired subcategory that includes a backstop rate to
ensure an equivalent level of emission reduction. The EPA emphasizes
that states should take into account the discussions of stringency in
section X.B and of demonstrating equivalence in section X.D.1 of this
document, as well as guidance in each subsection on particular
compliance flexibilities in considering mass-based compliance
approaches that deviate from the presumptively approvable method or for
sources for which the EPA is not providing a presumptively approvable
approach.
5. Mass-Based Emission Trading
The EPA proposed that states would be permitted to incorporate
mass-based trading into their state plans under these emission
guidelines. While several commenters supported the use of mass-based
emission trading, as with unit-specific mass-based compliance, the EPA
has significant concerns about states' ability using this mechanism to
maintain an equivalent level of emission reduction to unit-specific,
rate-based standards of performance. A description of and responses to
comments on mass-based trading can be found at the end of this
subsection.
Under these final emission guidelines, the EPA is allowing states
to include mass-based emission trading for affected coal-fired EGUs in
the medium- and long-term subcategories in their plans. The same
requirements and caveats discussed in section X.D.4 of this preamble
above apply to the respective subcategories as for unit-specific mass-
based compliance. Specifically, the EPA is requiring the use of a unit-
specific backstop rate in conjunction with the mass-based compliance
demonstration, which is necessary for consistency with the purpose of
these emission guidelines to achieve the emission reductions required
under CAA section 111(a)(1) through cleaner emission performance. The
Agency similarly believes it will be very difficult for states to
design mass-based trading programs that include affected EGUs in the
medium-term coal-fired subcategory and that maintain the level of
emission reduction that would be achieved under unit-specific
compliance with the presumptive standards of performance.
In general, a mass-based trading program establishes a budget of
allowable mass emissions for a group of affected EGUs, with tradable
instruments (typically referred to as ``allowances'') issued to
affected EGUs in the amount equivalent to the mass emission budget. To
establish a mass budget under these emission guidelines, states would
use the rate-based standard of performance and an assumed level of
utilization for each participating affected EGU, and sum the resulting
individual mass limits to an aggregate mass budget. Additionally,
states would need to specify in the plan how allowances would be
distributed to participating affected EGUs. Each allowance would
represent a tradable permit to emit one ton of CO2, with
affected EGUs required to surrender allowances at the end of the
compliance period in a number determined by their reported
CO2 emissions. Total emissions from all participating
affected EGUs should be no greater than the total mass budget. In
addition, each participating affected EGU would need to demonstrate
compliance with the unit-specific backstop rate.
The EPA sees similar potential benefits related to operational
flexibility of mass-based emission trading as with unit-specific mass-
based compliance, discussed in section X.D.4 of this preamble. These
benefits could be heightened by having a larger pool of allowances
available to affected EGUs. In addition, the EPA notes that emission
trading can provide incentive for overperformance.
While there is indeed the potential for heightened benefits from
mass-based emission trading due to a larger pool of allowances
resulting from the inclusion of multiple sources, the EPA believes that
there is also a heightened risk that the mass budget will not be
appropriately calculated due to the compounding uncertainty resulting
from multiple participating sources. As noted in section X.D.4 of this
preamble, projecting the utilization of affected EGUs has become
increasingly challenging, driven by changes in technology, fuel prices,
and electricity demand. In generating a mass budget, assumptions about
utilization must be made for each participating source, which magnifies
the risk, particularly
[[Page 39988]]
for affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory, that an
improper assumption about utilization for one affected EGU implicates
the compliance obligation of other affected EGUs. Based on the
understanding that a trading program that ensures the level of emission
reduction of unit-specific, rate-based compliance under these emission
guidelines would necessarily have to be designed with highly
conservative utilization assumptions, the EPA is not providing a
presumptively approvable approach for mass-based trading. The EPA
additionally does not believe a presumptively approvable mass-based
trading approach is warranted because, as noted in the introduction to
this section, there are fewer sources covered by the final emission
guidelines than the proposed emission guidelines, which may limit
interest in and the utility of the use of mass-based trading for these
emission guidelines.
The EPA is not prohibiting states from developing their own
approaches to mass-based trading under these emission guidelines;
however, they must apply a unit-specific backstop rate for all
participating affected EGUs (see section X.D.4 of this preamble for a
discussion of the backstop rate under unit-specific mass-based
compliance), and they must demonstrate, as described in section X.D.1
of this preamble, that their plan would achieve an equivalent level of
emission reduction as the application of individual rate-based
standards of performance, including showing how the mass limit has been
calculated and the basis for any assumptions made (e.g., about
utilization). As with unit-specific mass-based compliance, the EPA will
apply a high degree of scrutiny to assumptions made about the
utilization of affected EGUs participating in a mass-based trading
program in state plans. States must also specify the structure and
purpose of any other trading program design feature(s) (e.g., mass
budget adjustment mechanism) and how they impact the demonstration of
an equivalent level of emission reduction.
Comment: Many commenters supported the use of mass-based trading
under these emission guidelines. Commenters stated that because many
states are familiar with the mechanism, having used it for other
pollutants in this sector or, in the case of some existing state
programs, for CO2, it would be easy to employ in the context
of these emission guidelines and provide needed flexibility. In
addition, commenters cited ensuring reliability as a motivation for
using mass-based trading.
Response: While the EPA is finalizing that mass-based trading is
permissible under these emission guidelines for affected EGUs in the
medium- and long-term coal-fired subcategories, the EPA believes that
some of the flexibility desired by commenters is addressed by other
features of and changes made to the final emission guidelines, as
described in the beginning of section X.D of this preamble. Despite
familiarity on the part of states and sources with mass-based trading
programs, the EPA is concerned that the unique circumstances of the
EGUs affected by these final emission guidelines, including uncertainty
over their future utilization as well as the relatively lower
stringency of the medium-term coal-fired subcategory, pose a challenge
for states in demonstrating an equivalent level of emission reduction
of mass-based trading programs to the application of individual rate-
based standards.
Comment: Some commenters expressed concern with whether and how
mass-based trading would achieve and sustain the emission performance
identified in the determination of BSER.
Response: The EPA shares these concerns, and for that reason is
requiring the use of a unit-specific backstop rate in conjunction with
mass-based compliance flexibilities, including mass-based trading. The
EPA has also described its concerns over states' ability to estimate
future utilization and will thus apply a high degree of scrutiny to
assumptions made about the utilization of affected EGUs participating
in mass-based trading in state plans.
6. General Emission Trading and Averaging Program Implementation
Features
As noted in the proposed emission guidelines, states would need to
establish the procedures and systems necessary to implement and enforce
an emission averaging or trading program, whether it is rate-based or
mass-based, if they elect to incorporate such flexibilities into their
state plans. This would include, but is not limited to, establishing
the mechanics for demonstrating compliance under the program (e.g.,
surrender of compliance instruments as necessary based on monitoring
and reporting of CO2 emissions and generation); establishing
requirements for continuous monitoring and reporting of CO2
emissions and generation; and developing a tracking system for tradable
compliance instruments. The EPA requested comment on whether there was
interest in capitalizing on the existing trading program infrastructure
developed by the EPA for other trading programs, and some states and
one utility expressed support for states' ability to use EPA's
allowance management system for such programs. In addition to providing
such resources for regional and national emission trading and averaging
programs, the EPA has also provided technical support and resources to
various non-EPA state and regional emission trading programs. In the
event states choose to create emission averaging or trading programs
under these emission guidelines, the EPA can provide technical support
for such programs, including through the use of the Agency's existing
trading program infrastructure, and is available to consult with states
during the plan development process about the appropriateness of using
such resources, such as the EPA's allowance management system, based on
the design of state programs.
States may also need to consider how to handle differing compliance
dates for affected EGUs in an emission averaging or trading program,
given that under these emission guidelines the date when standards of
performance apply varies depending on the subcategory for the affected
EGU. The most straightforward way to address this, and which commenters
supported, is to initially only include those sources with a compliance
date of January 1, 2030, and then subsequently add sources into the
program (and thus factor them into the aggregate standard of
performance that must be achieved in the case of rate-based averaging
or mass-based budget in the case of mass-based compliance approaches)
at the start of the first year in which their standard of performance
applies.
Another topic that states incorporating emission averaging or
trading would need to consider is whether to provide for banking of
tradable compliance instruments (hereafter referred to as ``allowance
banking,'' although it is relevant for both mass-based and rate-based
trading programs). Allowance banking has potential implications for a
trading program's ability to maintain the requisite level of emission
reduction of the standards of performance. The EPA recognizes that
allowance banking--that is, permitting allowances that remain unused in
one control period to be carried over for use in future control
periods--may provide incentives for earlier emission reductions,
promote operational flexibility and planning, and facilitate market
liquidity. Many commenters supported allowing banking for these
reasons. However, the
[[Page 39989]]
EPA has observed that unrestricted allowance banking from one control
period to the next (absent provisions that adjust future control period
budgets to account for banked allowances) may result in a long-term
allowance surplus that has the potential to undermine a trading
program's ability to ensure that, at any point in time, the affected
sources are achieving the required level of emission performance. In
the Good Neighbor Plan's trading program provisions, for example, the
EPA implemented an annual allowance bank recalibration to prevent
allowance surpluses from accumulating and adversely impacting program
stringency.\949\ While the requirement to include a backstop rate for
mass-based compliance flexibilities can mitigate some concerns that
unrestricted allowance banking will undermine the program's calibration
towards achieving emission reductions through cleaner performance, the
EPA urges that states considering allowing trading also consider
restricting allowance banking (whether all or only a portion) in order
to ensure that a program continues to be calibrated towards equivalent
stringency with individual rate-based standards of performance, which
several commenters did support.
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\949\ Federal ``Good Neighbor Plan'' for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards, 88 FR 36654 (June 5, 2023). Under the
allowance bank recalibration provisions, EPA will recalibrate the
``Group 3'' allowance bank for the 2024-2029 control periods to meet
the target bank level of 21 percent of the sum of the state emission
budgets for that control period. For control periods 2030 and later,
the target bank level is 10.5 percent of the sum of the state
emission budgets. If the overall bank is less than the target bank
level for a given control period, then no bank recalibration will
occur for that control period.
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Comment: Many commenters expressed the need for expanding the state
plan submission timeline beyond 24 months to allow more time to design
emission trading and averaging programs.
Response: As discussed in section X.E.2 of this preamble, the EPA
is finalizing a 24-month state plan development timeframe. Because
there are significantly fewer sources covered under the final emission
guidelines and because the EPA is restricting certain subcategories
from using compliance flexibilities such as emission averaging and
trading and unit-specific mass-based compliance, the EPA believes 24
months is a reasonable amount of time to develop state plans, including
time necessary to develop compliance flexibility approaches. Moreover,
the EPA is offering a presumptively approvable approach to unit-
specific mass-based compliance for affected EGUs in the long-term coal-
fired subcategory, which can further simplify the process for
developing compliance approaches in state plans.
7. Interstate Emission Trading
In the proposed emission guidelines, the EPA requested comment on
whether, and under what circumstances or conditions, to allow
interstate emission trading under these emission guidelines. Given the
interconnectedness of the power sector and given that many utilities
and power generators operate in multiple states, interstate emission
trading may increase compliance flexibility. The EPA also took comment
on whether the scope of rate-based averaging should be limited to a
certain level of geographic aggregation (i.e., intrastate but not
interstate).
Many commenters expressed support for interstate trading and
averaging, arguing that it further augments the flexibility offered by
these mechanisms. Because electricity markets are often operated on an
interstate basis, commenters stated that interstate trading and
averaging would facilitate better electricity market planning. In
particular, some commenters noted that interstate programs would also
allow for better grid reliability planning across areas with regional
planning entities.
While the EPA is finalizing a determination that states can
incorporate both rate- and mass-based interstate emission trading
programs into their state plans, the EPA has significant stringency-
related and logistical concerns about the use of interstate emission
trading for these particular emission guidelines. For mass-based
trading in particular, the EPA has concerns that further increasing the
number of sources participating in the program heightens the risk that
the mass budget will not be appropriately calculated due to the
uncertainty in estimating future utilization of affected EGUs, thus
inhibiting the ability of states to demonstrate that their program
achieves an equivalent level of emission reduction. This concern is
somewhat alleviated for rate-based compliance flexibilities, but the
EPA notes that states that wish to implement such flexibilities on an
interstate basis should do so through rate-based trading, as discussed
in section X.D.2. Interstate trading programs must adhere to the same
requirements described in section X.D.1 and must demonstrate
equivalence of the program for all participating affected EGUs.
For interstate emission trading programs to function successfully,
all participating states would need to, at a minimum, use the same form
of trading and have consistent design elements and identical trading
program requirements. Each state participating in an interstate trading
program would need to submit their own individual state plan, subject
to the state plan component and submission requirements described in
section X.E, but the states would coordinate their individual plan
provisions addressing the interstate trading program. Additionally,
each state plan would need provisions to ensure that affected EGUs
within their state are in compliance taking into account the actions of
affected EGUs participating in the interstate trading program in other
states. The EPA would need all state plan submissions that incorporate
interstate emission trading before evaluating any of the individual
state plans in order to ensure consistency among all participating
states. The EPA is willing to provide technical assistance to states
during the state plan development process about the use of interstate
emission trading, but notes that states may need to coordinate their
individual state plan submissions among different EPA regions.
8. Relationship to Existing State Programs
As described in the proposed emission guidelines, the EPA
recognizes that many states have adopted policies and programs (with
both a supply-side and demand-side focus) under their own authorities
that have significantly reduced CO2 emissions from EGUs,
that these policies will continue to achieve future emission
reductions, and that states may continue to adopt new power sector
policies addressing CO2 emissions. States have exercised
their power sector authorities for a variety of purposes, including
economic development, energy supply and resilience goals, conventional
and GHG pollution reduction, and generating allowance proceeds for
investments in communities disproportionately impacted by environmental
harms. The scope and approach of the EPA's final emission guidelines
differ significantly from the range of policies and programs employed
by states to reduce power sector CO2 emissions, and these
emission guidelines operate more narrowly to improve the CO2
emission performance of a subset of EGUs within the broader electric
power sector.
Several commenters requested guidance on how states can count
existing state programs, many of which include requirements to reduce
CO2 emissions at sources not affected by this
[[Page 39990]]
rule, in their state plans under these emission guidelines. The EPA is
not providing such guidance in this action but would be open to
consulting with states during the state plan development process about
the requirements of these emission guidelines in relation to existing
state programs. States may make determinations about whether and how to
design their plans, accounting for state-specific programs or
requirements that apply to the same affected EGUs included in a state
plan. However, as noted in section X.B, emission reductions from
sources not affected by this rule cannot be used to demonstrate
compliance with a standard of performance established to meet the
emission guidelines. Only emission reductions at affected EGUs may
count towards compliance with the state plan, including towards
demonstrating compliance with the equivalent stringency criterion
applied to compliance flexibilities. States may employ compliance
flexibilities (such as mass-based mechanisms) described in this section
in order to facilitate comparison between the requirements under
existing state programs and under these emission guidelines; however,
the EPA emphasizes that individual affected EGUs or groups of affected
EGUs must comply with the requirements established for such units in
the state plan, and that such compliance cannot incorporate measures
taken by EGUs not affected by these emission guidelines.
E. State Plan Components and Submission
This section describes the requirements for the contents of state
plans and the timing of state plan submissions as well as the EPA's
review of and action on state plan submissions. This section also
discusses issues related to the applicability of a Federal plan and
timing for the promulgation of any Federal Plan, if necessary.
As explained earlier in this preamble, the requirements of 40 CFR
part 60, subpart Ba, govern state plan submissions under these emission
guidelines. Where the EPA is finalizing requirements that add to,
supersede, or otherwise vary from the requirements of subpart Ba for
the purposes of state plan submissions under these particular emission
guidelines,\950\ those requirements are addressed explicitly in section
X.E.1.b on specific state plan requirements and in other parts of
section X of this preamble. Unless expressly amended or superseded in
these final emission guidelines, the provisions of subpart Ba apply.
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\950\ 40 CFR 60.20a(a)(1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Components of a State Plan Submission
A state plan must include a number of discrete components,
including but not limited to those that apply for all state plans
pursuant to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba. In this action, the EPA is also
finalizing additional plan components that are specific to state plans
submitted pursuant to these emission guidelines. For example, the EPA
is finalizing plan components that are necessary to implement and
enforce the specific types of standards of performance for affected
EGUs that would be adopted by a state and incorporated into its state
plan.
a. General Components
The CAA section 111 implementing regulations at 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Ba, provide separate lists of administrative and technical
criteria that must be met in order for a state plan submission to be
deemed complete.\951\ The complete list of applicable administrative
completeness criteria for state plan submissions is: (1) A formal
letter of submittal from the Governor or the Governor's designee
requesting EPA approval of the plan or revision thereof; (2) Evidence
that the state has adopted the plan in the state code or body of
regulations; or issued the permit, order, or consent agreement
(hereafter ``document'') in final form. That evidence must include the
date of adoption or final issuance as well as the effective date of the
plan, if different from the adoption/issuance date; (3) Evidence that
the state has the necessary legal authority under state law to adopt
and implement the plan; (4) A copy of the actual regulation, or
document submitted for approval and incorporation by reference into the
plan, including indication of the changes made (such as redline/
strikethrough) to the existing approved plan, where applicable. The
submittal must be a copy of the official state regulation or document
signed, stamped, and dated by the appropriate state official indicating
that it is fully enforceable by the state. The effective date of the
regulation or document must, whenever possible, be indicated in the
document itself. The state's electronic copy must be an exact duplicate
of the hard copy. If the regulation/document provided by the state for
approval and incorporation by reference into the plan is a copy of an
existing publication, the state submission should, whenever possible,
include a copy of the publication cover page and table of contents; (5)
Evidence that the state followed all applicable procedural requirements
of the state's regulations, laws, and constitution in conducting and
completing the adoption/issuance of the plan; (6) Evidence that public
notice was given of the plan or plan revisions with procedures
consistent with the requirements of 40 CFR 60.23a, including the date
of publication of such notice; (7) Certification that public hearing(s)
were held in accordance with the information provided in the public
notice and the state's laws and constitution, if applicable and
consistent with the public hearing requirements in 40 CFR 60.23a; (8)
Compilation of public comments and the state's response thereto; and
(9) Documentation of meaningful engagement, including a list of
pertinent stakeholders, a summary of the engagement conducted, a
summary of stakeholder input received, and a description of how
stakeholder input was considered in the development of the plan or plan
revisions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\951\ 40 CFR 60.27a(g)(2) and (3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pursuant to subpart Ba, the technical criteria that all plans must
meet include the following: (1) Description of the plan approach and
geographic scope; (2) Identification of each designated facility (i.e.,
affected EGU); identification of standards of performance for each
affected EGU; and monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements
that will determine compliance by each designated facility; (3)
Identification of compliance schedules and/or increments of progress;
(4) Demonstration that the state plan submission is projected to
achieve emission performance under the applicable emission guidelines;
(5) Documentation of state recordkeeping and reporting requirements to
determine the performance of the plan as a whole; and (6) Demonstration
that each standard is quantifiable, permanent, verifiable, enforceable,
and nonduplicative.
b. Specific State Plan Requirements for These Emission Guidelines
To ensure that state plans submitted pursuant to these emission
guidelines are consistent with the statutory requirements and the
requirements of subpart Ba, the EPA is finalizing additional regulatory
requirements that state plans must meet for all affected EGUs subject
to a standard of performance, as well as certain subcategory-specific
requirements. The EPA reiterates that standards of performance for
affected EGUs included in a state plan must be quantifiable,
[[Page 39991]]
verifiable, permanent, enforceable, and non-duplicative. Additionally,
per CAA section 302(l), standards of performance must be continuous in
nature. Additional state plan requirements finalized as part of this
action include:
Identification of each affected EGU and the subcategory to
which each affected EGU is assigned;
A requirement that state plans include, in the regulatory
portion of the plan, a list of coal-fired steam-generating EGUs that
are existing sources at the time of state plan submission and that plan
to permanently cease operation before January 1, 2032, and the calendar
dates by which they have committed to do so. The state plan must
provide that an EGU operating past the date listed in the plan is no
longer exempt from these emission guidelines and is in violation of
that plan, except to the extent the existing coal-fired steam
generating EGU has received a time-limited extension of its date for
ceasing operation pursuant to the reliability assurance mechanism
described in section XII.F.3.b of this preamble;
Standards of performance for each affected EGU, including
provisions for implementation and enforcement of such standards as well
as identification of the control technology or other system of emission
reduction affected EGUs intend to implement to achieve the standards of
performance. Standards of performance must be expressed in lb
CO2/MWh gross basis or, for affected EGUs in the low load
natural gas- and oil-fired subcategory, lb CO2/MMBtu, or, if
a state is allowing the use of mass-based compliance, tons
CO2 per year;
For each affected EGU, identification of baseline emission
performance, including CO2 mass and electricity generation
data or, for affected EGUs in either the low load natural gas-fired
subcategory or the low load oil-fired subcategory, heat input data from
40 CFR part 75 reporting for the 5-year period immediately prior to the
date this final rule is published in the Federal Register and what
continuous 8-quarter period from the 5-year period was used to
calculate baseline emission performance;
Where a state plan provides for the use of a compliance
flexibility, such as an alternative form of the standard (e.g., mass
limit; aggregate emission rate limitation) and/or the use of emission
averaging or trading, identification of the presumptive unit-specific
rate-based standard of performance in lb CO2/MWh-gross that
would apply for each affected EGU in the absence of the compliance
flexibility mechanism; the standard of performance (aggregate emission
rate limitation, mass limit, or mass budget) that is actually applied
for affected EGUs under the compliance flexibility mechanism and how it
is calculated; provisions for the implementation and enforcement of the
compliance flexibility mechanism, which includes provisions that
address assurance of achievement of equivalent emission reduction,
including, for mass-based compliance flexibilities, identification of
the unit-specific backstop emission limitation; and a demonstration
that the state plan will achieve an equivalent level of emission
reduction with individual rate-based standards of performance through
incorporation of the compliance flexibility mechanism;
Increments of progress and reporting obligations and
milestones as required for affected EGUs within the applicable
subcategories or pursuant to consideration of RULOF, included as
enforceable elements of a state plan;
For affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating EGU subcategory and affected EGUs relying on a plan to
permanently cease operation for application of a less stringent
standard of performance pursuant to RULOF, the state plan must include
an enforceable commitment to permanently cease operation by a date
certain. The state plan must clearly identify the calendar dates by
which such affected EGUs have committed to permanently cease operation;
\952\
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\952\ Consistent with CAA section 111(d)(1), state plans must
include commitments to cease operation as necessary for the
implementation and enforcement of standards of performance. When
such commitments are the predicate for receiving a particular
standard of performance, adherence to those commitments is necessary
to maintain the level of emission reduction Congress required under
CAA section 111(a)(1). See 40 CFR 60.24a(g) (operating conditions
within the control of a designated facility that are relied on for
purposes of RULOF must be included as enforceable requirements in
state plans); see also, e.g., ``Affordable Clean Energy Rule,'' 84
FR 32520, 32558 (July 8, 2019) (repealed on other grounds)
(requiring that retirement dates associated with standards of
performance be included in state plans and become federally
enforceable upon approval by the EPA); 76 FR 12651, 12660-63 (March
8, 2011) (best available retrofit technology requirements based on
enforceable retirements that were made federally enforceable in
state implementation plan); Guidance for Regional Haze State
Implementation Plans for the Second Implementation Period at 34,
EPA-457/B-19-003, August 2019 (to the extent a state replies on an
enforceable shutdown date for a reasonable progress determination,
that measure would need to be included in the SIP and/or be
federally enforceable).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A requirement that state plans provide that any existing
coal-fired steam generating EGU shall operate only subject to a
standard of performance pursuant to these emission guidelines or under
an exemption from applicability provided under 40 CFR 60.5850b
(including any time-limited extension of the date by which an EGU has
committed to permanently cease operations pursuant to the reliability
assurance mechanism); and
Monitoring, reporting, and recordkeeping requirements for
affected EGUs.
These final emission guidelines include requirements pertaining to
the methodologies for establishing a presumptively approvable standard
of performance for an affected EGU within a given subcategory. These
presumptive methodologies are specified for each of the subcategories
of affected EGUs in section X.C.1 of this preamble.
As discussed in sections X.C and X.D of this preamble, in order for
the EPA to find a state plan ``satisfactory,'' that plan must
demonstrate that it achieves the level of emission reduction that would
result if each affected source was individually achieving its
presumptive standard of performance, after accounting for any
application of RULOF. That is, while states have the discretion to
establish the applicable standards of performance for affected sources
in their state plans (including whether to allow compliance to be
demonstrated through the use of compliance flexibilities), the
structure and purpose of CAA section 111 require that those plans
achieve an equivalent level of emission reduction as applying the EPA's
presumptive standards of performance to those sources (again, after
accounting for any application of RULOF).
Thus, state plans must adequately document and support the process
and underlying data used to establish standards of performance pursuant
to these emission guidelines. Providing such documentation is critical
to the EPA's review of state plans to determine whether they are
satisfactory. In particular, states must include in their plan
submissions information and data related to affected EGUs' emissions
and operations, including CO2 mass emissions and
corresponding electricity generation data or, for affected EGUs in
either the low load natural gas-fired subcategory or the oil-fired
subcategory, heat input data, from 40 CFR part 75 reporting for the 5-
year period immediately prior to the date the final rule is published
in the Federal Register and identify the period from which states and
affected EGUs select 8 continuous quarters of data to determine unit-
specific baselines. States must include data and documentation
sufficient for the EPA to understand and replicate their calculations
in applying the applicable degree of emission
[[Page 39992]]
limitation to individual affected EGUs to establish their standards of
performance. They must also provide any methods, assumptions, and
calculations necessary for the EPA to review plans containing
compliance flexibilities and to determine whether they achieve an
equivalent (or better) level of emission reduction as unit-specific
implementation of rate-based standards of performance. Plans must also
adequately document and demonstrate the methods employed to implement
and enforce the standards of performance such that the EPA can review
and identify measures that assure transparent and verifiable
implementation.
i. Requirements Related to Meaningful Engagement
Public engagement is a cornerstone of CAA section 111(d) state plan
development. In November 2023, the EPA finalized requirements in the
CAA section 111(d) implementing regulations at 40 CFR part 60 subpart
Ba to ensure that that all affected members of the public, not just a
particular subset, have an opportunity to participate in the state plan
development process. These requirements are intended to ensure that the
perspectives, priorities, and concerns of affected communities,
including communities that are most affected by and vulnerable to
emissions from affected EGUs as well as energy communities and energy
workers that are affected by EGU operation and construction of
pollution controls, are included in the process of establishing and
implementing standards of performance for existing EGUs, including
decisions about compliance strategies and compliance flexibilities that
may be included in a state plan. The final requirements for meaningful
engagement in subpart Ba are in addition to the preexisting public
notice requirements under subpart Ba that apply to state plan
development. This section describes the meaningful engagement
requirements finalized separately in subpart Ba and provides guidance
to states in the application of these requirements to the development
of state plans under these emission guidelines.
The fundamental purpose of CAA section 111 is to reduce emissions
from categories of stationary sources that cause, or significantly
contribute to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to
endanger public health or welfare. Therefore, a key consideration in
the state's development of a state plan is the potential impact of the
proposed plan requirements on public health and welfare. Meaningful
engagement is a corollary to the longstanding requirement for public
participation, including through public hearings, in the course of
state plan development under CAA section 111(d).\953\ A robust and
meaningful engagement process is critical to ensuring that the entire
public has an opportunity to participate in the state plan development
process and that states understand and consider the full range of
impacts of a proposed plan on public health and welfare.
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\953\ 40 CFR 60.23(c)-(g); 40 CFR 60.23a(c)-(h).
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The EPA finalized the following definition of meaningful engagement
in the final subpart Ba revisions in November 2023: ``timely engagement
with pertinent stakeholders and/or their representatives in the plan
development or plan revision process.'' \954\ Furthermore, the
definition provides that ``[s]uch engagement should not be
disproportionate in favor of certain stakeholders and should be
informed by available best practices.'' \955\ The regulations also
define pertinent stakeholders, which ``include, but are not limited to,
industry, small businesses, and communities most affected by and/or
vulnerable to the impacts of the plan or plan revision.'' \956\ The
preamble for the final revisions to subpart Ba notes that ``[i]ncreased
vulnerability of communities may be attributable to, among other
reasons, an accumulation of negative environmental, health, economic,
or social conditions within these populations or communities, and a
lack of positive conditions.'' \957\ Consistent with the requirements
of subpart Ba, it is important for states to recognize and engage the
communities most affected by and/or vulnerable to the impacts of a
state plan, particularly as these communities may not have had a voice
when the affected EGUs were originally constructed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\954\ 40 CFR 60.21a(k); 88 FR 80480, 80500 (November 17, 2023).
\955\ Id.
\956\ 40 CFR 60.21a(l); 88 FR 80480, 80500 (November 17, 2023).
\957\ 88 FR 80480, 80500 (November 17, 2023).
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Most commenters were generally supportive of the requirement to
conduct meaningful engagement. Commenters acknowledged that some states
and utilities have already started to conduct meaningful engagement
with stakeholders like that which is required by the final subpart Ba
revisions in other policy contexts. Some commenters requested more time
in the state plan development process specifically to facilitate
conducting meaningful engagement (comments related to the state plan
development timeline are addressed section X.E.2).
In the proposed emission guidelines, the EPA provided some
information to assist states in identifying potential pertinent
stakeholders. Some commenters sought more guidance from the EPA on how
to identify pertinent stakeholders. The Agency is providing the
following discussion of the potential impacts of the emission
guidelines to assist states in identifying their pertinent
stakeholders. The EPA believes that this discussion provides a starting
point and expects that states will use their more targeted knowledge of
state- and source-specific circumstances to hone the identification of
pertinent stakeholders and conduct the necessary meaningful engagement.
As acknowledged by the EPA in the final revisions to subpart Ba,
``states are highly diverse in, among other things, their local
conditions, resources, and established practices of engagement,'' \958\
so the EPA is not finalizing any additional requirements regarding the
states' identification of a pertinent stakeholders for the purposes of
these emission guidelines. States should consider the unique
circumstances of their state and the sources within their state, with
the following discussion in mind, to tailor their meaningful
engagement. In addition, the EPA notes that the preamble to the final
subpart Ba revisions provides discussion of best practices related to
meaningful engagement.\959\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\958\ Id.
\959\ See id. at 80502.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The air pollutant of concern in these emission guidelines is
defined as greenhouse gases, and the air pollution addressed is
elevated concentrations of these gases in the atmosphere. These
elevated concentrations result in warming temperatures and other
changes to the climate system that are leading to serious and life-
threatening environmental and human health impacts, including increased
incidence of drought and flooding, damage to crops and disruption of
associated food, fiber, and fuel production systems, increased
incidence of pests, increased incidence of heat-induced illness, and
impacts on water availability and water quality. The Agency therefore
expects that states' pertinent stakeholders will include communities
within the state that are most affected by and/or vulnerable to the
impacts of climate change, including those exposed to more extreme
drought, flooding, and other severe weather impacts, including extreme
heat and cold (states should
[[Page 39993]]
refer to section III of this preamble, on climate impacts, to further
assist them in identifying their pertinent stakeholders that are
impacted by the pollution at issue in these emission guidelines).
Commenters were supportive of the notion that those impacted by climate
change are pertinent stakeholders.
Additionally, the EPA expects that another set of pertinent
stakeholders will be communities located near affected EGUs and those
near pipelines. These communities may experience impacts associated
with implementation of the state plan, including the construction and
operation of infrastructure required under a state plan. Activities
related to the construction and operation of new natural gas and
CO2 pipelines may impact individuals and communities both
locally and at larger distances from affected EGUs but near any
associated pipelines. Commenters were supportive of the notion that
communities impacted by infrastructure development required by the
state plan are pertinent stakeholders.
Because these emission guidelines address air pollution that
becomes well mixed and is long-lived in the atmosphere, the collective
impact of a state plan is not limited to the immediate vicinity of EGUs
and any associated infrastructure. The EPA therefore expects that
states will consider communities and populations within the state that
are both most impacted by particular affected EGUs and associated
pipelines as well as those that will be most affected by the overall
stringency of state plans.
The EPA also expects that states will include the energy
communities impacted by each affected EGU, including the energy workers
employed at affected EGUs (including employment in operation and
maintenance), workers who may construct and install pollution control
technology, and workers employed in associated industries such as fuel
extraction and delivery and CO2 transport and storage, as
pertinent stakeholders. These communities are impacted by power sector
trends on an ongoing basis. The EPA acknowledges that a variety of
Federal programs are available to support these communities and
encourages states to consider these programs when conducting meaningful
engagement and analyzing the impacts of compliance choices.\960\
Commenters supported encouraging states to both consider these
communities as part of meaningful engagement under these emission
guidelines as well as to take advantage of Federal resources available
for employment and training assistance, and highlighted a Colorado
state law \961\ requiring utilities to share workforce data and develop
a workforce transition plan. The EPA supports such approaches to
workforce data transparency and encourages states to provide such data
in the course of meaningful engagement and the development of state
plans.
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\960\ An April 2023 report of the Federal Interagency Working
Group on Coal and Power Plant Communities and Economic
Revitalization (Energy Communities IWG) summarizes how the
Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, CHIPS and Science Act, and Inflation
Reduction Act have greatly increased the amount of Federal funding
relevant to meeting the needs of energy communities, as well as how
the Energy Communities IWG has launched an online Clearinghouse of
broadly available Federal funding opportunities relevant for meeting
the needs and interests of energy communities, with information on
how energy communities can access Federal dollars and obtain
technical assistance to make sure these new funds can connect to
local projects in their communities. Interagency Working Group on
Coal and Power Plant Communities and Economic Revitalization.
``Revitalizing Energy Communities: Two-Year Report to the
President'' (April 2023). https://energycommunities.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/IWG-Two-Year-Report-to-the-President.pdf.
\961\ Colorado Legislature, Senate Law 19-236. https://leg.colorado.gov/sites/default/files/2019a_236_signed.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA also expects that states will include relevant balancing
authorities, systems operators and reliability coordinators that have
authority to maintain electric reliability in their jurisdiction as
part of their constructive engagement under these requirements. These
stakeholders are impacted by a state plan as they are the entities
authorized to plan for electric reliability. Visibility into unit-
specific compliance plans will help ensure those entities have adequate
lead time to plan and address any potential reliability-related issues.
Early notification and periodic follow up on unit-specific decisions,
including control technology installation and voluntary cease operation
choices and timeframes will greatly assist reliability planning
authorities.
Several commenters noted the need for consideration of communities
overburdened by existing air pollution issues, including both
greenhouse gases and co-pollutants, as pertinent stakeholders in these
emission guidelines. The Agency urges states to consider the cumulative
burden of pollution when identifying their pertinent stakeholders for
these emission guidelines, as these stakeholders may be especially
vulnerable to the impacts of a state plan or plan revision due to ``an
accumulation of negative environmental . . . conditions,'' as defined
in the final subpart Ba revisions. Many states are already implementing
policies to consider cumulative impacts in overburdened communities,
including California and New Jersey. It is also important to note that
the EPA is ``prioritizing cumulative impacts research to address the
multiple stressors to which people and communities are exposed, and
studying how combinations of stressors affect health, well-being, and
quality of life at each developmental stage throughout the course of
one's life.'' \962\ Additionally, the EPA is in the process of
developing a workplan that lays out actions the agency will take to
integrate and implement cumulative impacts within the EPA's work
through FY25. The EPA's commitments, as stated in the EPA's response to
the OIG Report, include continuing to refine analytic techniques based
on best available science, increasing the body of relevant data and
knowledge, and using outcome-based metrics to measure progress,
including quantifiable pollution reduction benefits in
communities.\963\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\962\ Nicolle S. Tulve, Andrew M. Geller, Scot Hagerthey, Susan
H. Julius, Emma T. Lavoie, Sarah L. Mazur, Sean J. Paul, H.
Christopher Frey, Challenges and opportunities for research
supporting cumulative impact assessments at the United States
environmental protection agency's office of research and
development, The Lancet Regional Health--Americas, Volume 30, 2024,
100666, ISSN 2667-193X, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2023.100666.
\963\ EPA Response to Draft Office of Inspector General Report,
The EPA Lacks Agencywide Policies and Guidance to Address Cumulative
Impacts and Disproportionate Health Effects on Communities with
Environmental Justice Concerns. https://www.epaoig.gov/sites/default/files/reports/2023-08/_epaoig_20230822-23-p-0029.pdf.
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The EPA recognizes that facility- and community-specific
circumstances, including the exposure of overburdened communities to
additional chemical and non-chemical stressors, may also exist. The
meaningful engagement process is designed to allow states to identify
and to enable consideration of these and other facility- and community-
specific circumstances. This includes consideration of facility- and
community-specific concerns with emissions control systems, including
CCS. States should design meaningful engagement to elicit input from
pertinent stakeholders on facility- and community-specific issues
related to implementation of emissions control systems generally, as
well as on any considerations for particular systems.
The EPA encourages states to consider regional implications,
explore opportunities for collaboration, and to share best practices.
In some cases, an affected EGU may be located near state
[[Page 39994]]
or Tribal borders and impact communities in neighboring states or
Tribal lands. Some commenters suggested that those near state or Tribal
borders may be pertinent stakeholders. The EPA agrees that it could be
reasonable, in cases where EGUs are located near borders, for the state
to consider identifying pertinent stakeholders in the neighboring state
or Tribal land and to work with the relevant air pollution control
authority of that state or Tribe to conduct meaningful engagement that
addresses cross-border impacts. Some commenters supported the notion
that those near state or Tribal borders may be pertinent stakeholders.
The revisions to subpart Ba in November of 2023 established
requirements for demonstrating how states provided meaningful
engagement with pertinent stakeholders, and these requirements apply
here. According to the requirements under subpart Ba, the state will be
required to describe, in its plan submittal: (1) A list of the
pertinent stakeholders identified by the state; (2) a summary of
engagement conducted; (3) a summary of the stakeholder input received;
and (4) a description of how stakeholder input was considered in the
development of the plan or plan revisions. The EPA will review the
state plan to ensure that it includes these required descriptions
regarding meaningful public engagement as part of its completeness
evaluation of a state plan submittal. If a state plan submission does
not include the required elements for notice and opportunity for public
participation, including the procedural requirements at 40 CFR
60.23a(i) and 60.27a(g)(2)(ix) for meaningful engagement, this may be
grounds for the EPA to find the submission incomplete or (where a plan
has become complete by operation of law) to disapprove the plan.
In approaching meaningful engagement, states should first identify
their pertinent stakeholders. As previously noted, the state should
allow for balanced participation, including communities most vulnerable
to the impacts of the plan. Next, states should develop a strategy for
engagement with the identified pertinent stakeholders. This includes
ensuring that information is made available in a timely and transparent
manner, with adequate and accessible notice. As part of this strategy
for engagement, states should also ensure that they share information
and solicit input on plan development and on any accompanying
assessments or analyses. In providing transparent and adequate notice
of plan development, states should consider that internet notice alone
may not be appropriate for all stakeholders, given lack of access to
broadband infrastructure in many communities. Thus, in addition to
internet notice, examples of prominent advertisement for engagement and
public hearing may include notice through newspapers, libraries,
schools, hospitals, travel centers, community centers, places of
worship, gas stations, convenience stores, casinos, smoke shops, Tribal
Assistance for Needy Families offices, Indian Health Services, clinics,
and/or other community health and social services as appropriate for
the emission guideline addressed. The state should also consider any
geographic, linguistic, or other barriers to participation in
meaningful engagement for members of the public.
The EPA notes that several EPA resources are available to assist
states and stakeholders in considering options for state plans. For
example, included in the docket for this rulemaking is a unit-level
proximity analysis that includes information about the population
within 5 kilometers and 10 kilometers of each EGU covered by this rule.
This analysis includes information about air emissions from each
facility, and the potential emission implications of installing CCS.
Additionally, the EPA's Power Plant Environmental Justice Screening
Methodology (PPSM) \964\ incorporates several peer-reviewed approaches
that combine air quality modeling with environmental burden and
population characteristics data to identify and connect power plants to
geographic areas potentially exposed to air pollution by those power
plants and to quantify the relative potential for environmental justice
concern in those areas. This information provides states and
stakeholders with the ability to identify the census block groups that
are potentially exposed to air pollution by each EGU, including air
pollutants in the vicinity of each EGU as well as pollutants that can
travel significant distances. Another resource available to assist
states and stakeholders is the EPA's Environmental Justice Screening
and Mapping Tool (EJScreen),\965\ which includes information at the
census block group level about existing environmental burdens as well
as socioeconomic information. Other federal resources include the
Energy Communities Interagency Working Group's online Clearinghouse,
which lists federal funding opportunities relevant for meeting the
needs and interests of energy communities, some of which may be
relevant for state plan development.
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\964\ https://www.epa.gov/power-sector/power-plant-environmental-justice-screening-methodology.
\965\ https://www.epa.gov/ejscreen.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In their plan submittal, states must demonstrate evidence that they
conducted meaningful engagement. In addition to a list of pertinent
stakeholders and a summary of the engagement conducted, states must
provide a summary of the input received and a description of how the
input they received was considered in plan development. The type of
information states may receive from their pertinent stakeholders could
include data on the population and demographics of communities located
near affected EGUs and associated pipelines; identification of and data
on any overburdened communities vulnerable to the impacts of the state
plan; data on the energy workers affected by anticipated compliance
strategies on the part of owners and operators; data on workforce needs
(e.g., expected number and type of jobs created, and skills required in
anticipation of compliance with the state plan); and, if relevant, data
on the population and demographics of communities near state and Tribal
borders that may be vulnerable to the impacts of the state plan. The
EPA encourages states to include such data in their demonstration of
meaningful engagement in their state plan submittal.
The EPA emphasizes to states that the meaningful engagement process
is intended to include community perspectives, particularly those
communities that, historically, may not have had a role in the state
plan development process, in the development of standards of
performance, compliance strategies, and compliance flexibilities for
affected EGUs by which they are impacted.
ii. Requirements for Transparency and Compliance Assurance
The EPA proposed and requested comment on several requirements
designed to help states ensure timely compliance by affected EGUs with
standards of performance, as well as to assist the public in tracking
affected EGUs' progress towards their compliance dates.
First, the EPA requested comment on whether to require that an
affected EGU's enforceable commitment for subcategory applicability
(e.g., a state elects to rely on an affected coal-fired steam-
generating unit's commitment to permanently cease operations before
January 1, 2039, to meet the applicability requirements for the medium-
term subcategory), must be in
[[Page 39995]]
the form of an emission limit of 0 lb CO2/MWh that applies
on the relevant date. Such an emission limit would be included in a
state regulation, permit, order, or other acceptable legal instrument
and submitted to the EPA as part of a state plan. If approved, the
affected EGU would have a federally enforceable emission limit of 0 lb
CO2/MWh that would become effective as of the date that the
EGU permanently ceases operations. The EPA requested comment on whether
such an emission limit would have any advantages or disadvantages for
compliance and enforceability relative to the alternative, which is an
enforceable commitment in a state plan to cease operation by a certain
date.
The EPA received few comments on this topic. One commenter,\966\ in
particular, did not support a specific requirement that the permit or
other enforceable commitment must be in the form of an emission limit
of 0 lb CO2/MWh, claiming it seems needlessly prescriptive.
This commenter also encouraged the EPA to recognize delegated or SIP-
approved states' enforceable permit conditions, certifications, and
voiding of authorizations, as practically enforceable.
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\966\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0781.
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The EPA is not finalizing a requirement that states must include
commitments to permanently cease operating in state plans in the form
of 0 lb CO2/MWh emission limits. The Agency is concluding
that it is within the discretion of the state to create an enforceable
commitment to permanently cease operation, where applicable, in the
form it deems appropriate. Such commitments may be codified in a state
regulation, permit, order, or other acceptable legal instrument and
submitted to the EPA as part of a state plan. It is important to note
that if an emission limit or some other requirement that creates an
enforceable commitment to cease operation is initially included in a
title V permit before the submission of a state plan, that condition
must be labeled as ``state-only'' or ``state-only enforceable'' until
the EPA approves the state plan, at which point the permit should be
revised to make that requirement federally enforceable. Including state
instruments (such as state permits, certifications, and other
authorizations) reflecting affected EGUs' intent to permanently cease
operation in the state plan, when such intent is the basis of receiving
a less stringent standard of performance, is necessary because state
instruments can be revised without a corresponding revision to the
state plan or standard of performance. This outcome--a source
continuing to operate into the future with a less-stringent standard of
performance that is not necessarily warranted--would undermine the
integrity of these emission guidelines.
Second, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a requirement that state
plans that include affected EGUs that plan to permanently cease
operation must require that each such affected EGU comply with
applicable state and Federal requirements for permanently ceasing
operation, including removal from its respective state's air emissions
inventory and amending or revoking all applicable permits to reflect
the permanent shutdown status of the EGU. This requirement covers
affected coal-fired steam generating EGUs in the medium-term
subcategory as well as affected EGUs that are relying on a commitment
to permanently cease operating to obtain a less stringent standard of
performance pursuant to consideration of RULOF. This requirement merely
reinforces the application of requirements under state and Federal laws
that are necessary in this context for transparency and the orderly
administration of these emission guidelines.
Third, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a requirement that each
state plan must require owners and operators of affected EGUs to
establish publicly accessible websites, referred to here as a ``Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website,'' to which all reporting and
recordkeeping information for each affected EGU subject to the state
plan would be posted, including the aforementioned information required
to be submitted as part of the state plan. This information includes,
but is not limited to, emissions data and other information relevant to
determining compliance with applicable standards of performance,
information relevant to the designation and determination of compliance
with increments of progress and reporting obligations including
milestones for affected EGUs that plan to permanently cease operations,
and any extension requests made and granted pursuant to the compliance
date extension mechanism or the reliability assurance mechanism.
Although this information will also be required to be submitted
directly to the EPA and the relevant state regulatory authority, both
the EPA and stakeholders have an interest in ensuring that the
information is made accessible in a timely manner. Some commenters
agreed with these requirements. The EPA anticipates that the owners or
operators of some affected EGUs may already be posting comparable
reporting and recordkeeping information to publicly available websites
under the EPA's April 2015 Coal Combustion Residuals Rule,\967\ such
that the burden of this website requirement for these units could be
minimal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\967\ See https://www.epa.gov/coalash/list-publicly-accessible-internet-sites-hosting-compliance-data-and-information-required for
a list of websites for facilities posting Coal Combustion Residuals
Rule compliance information, see also 80 FR 21301 (April 17, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several commenters argued that this was a duplicative
requirement, noting that utilities already report GHG emissions data
under the Acid Rain Program and Mandatory GHG Reporting Program.
Commenters also stated that this requirement would pose a burden for
companies who would have to dedicate staff to maintaining the website.
One commenter \968\ suggested that EPA include more specific
requirements related to the format of data, notification of uploads and
removal of documentation, and summarization of content.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\968\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0813.
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Response: The EPA disagrees that this requirement is duplicative of
reporting requirements under other programs. In addition to affected
EGUs having unique standards of performance and compliance schedules
under these emission guidelines, these emission guidelines also include
unique reporting requirements that are not covered by the programs
identified by the commenters, including increments of progress and
reporting on milestones. In addition, the EPA believes that this
information should be made broadly available to all stakeholders in a
timely manner, which is not necessarily accomplished via the programs
and reporting mechanisms identified by the commenters. Accordingly, the
EPA is finalizing a requirement that each state plan must require
owners and operators of affected EGUs to establish publicly accessible
websites and to post the relevant information described in this
section. Additionally, data should be available in a readily
downloadable format.
Fourth, to promote transparency and to assist the EPA and the
public in assessing progress towards compliance with state plan
requirements, the EPA proposed and is finalizing a requirement that
state plans include a requirement that the owner or operator of each
affected EGU shall report any deviation from any federally enforceable
state plan increment of progress or reporting milestone within 30
business days after
[[Page 39996]]
the owner or operator of the affected EGU knew or should have known of
the event. That is, the owner or operator must report within 30
business days if it is behind schedule such that it has missed an
increment of progress or reporting milestone. In the report, the owner
or operator of the affected EGU will be required to explain the cause
or causes of the deviation and describe all measures taken or to be
taken by the owner or operator of the EGU to cure the reported
deviation and to prevent such deviations in the future, including the
timeframes in which the owner or operator intends to cure the
deviation. The owner or operator of the EGU must submit the report to
the state regulatory agency and concurrently post the report to the
affected EGU's Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs website.
Fifth, in the proposed action, the EPA explained its general
approach to exercising its enforcement authorities through
administrative compliance orders (``ACOs'') to ensure compliance while
addressing genuine risks to electric system reliability. The EPA
solicited comment on whether to promulgate requirements in the final
emission guidelines pertaining to the demonstrations, analysis, and
information the owner or operator of an affected EGU would have to
submit to the EPA in order to be considered for an ACO. The EPA is not
finalizing the proposed approach to use ACOs to address risks to grid
reliability.
Comment: One commenter argued that the conditions to qualify for an
ACO would make it challenging for an EGU to obtain an ACO in instances
of urgent reliability.\969\ Commenters argued that there are not any
guarantees that the EPA would act on such requests for an ACO in a
timely manner, particularly because the EPA has not set any deadline
for review and presumably would argue that any decision falls within
the EPA's enforcement discretion and is not subject to judicial review.
Additionally, one commenter argued that the proposal is unworkable for
the purposes of addressing more immediate reliability needs, specifying
that EGUs may not be able to readily obtain the information or analysis
necessary for preparing documentation for the EPA from their regional
entity or state.\970\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\969\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0770.
\970\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Another commenter argued that the proposed mechanism provides no
relief during an energy crisis because they would be offered only after
the fact to resolve any alleged violations. Therefore, the possibility
of future enforcement discretion and ACOs will not help a power
generator decide in the moment whether to keep running and risk a
violation or shut down, risking grid reliability and affecting our
customers. the commenter also stated that ACOs are enforcement actions
that carry negative implications and the potential for significant
civil penalties, and citizen groups are unlikely to exercise discretion
similar to that of the EPA, even if the EPA decides that a low (or no)
penalty is appropriate. Lastly, this commenter noted that ACOs are
typically intended to resolve relatively short-term noncompliance
events that can be remedied and that do not reflect a fundamental
inability to comply.
Response: As discussed in section XII.F and elsewhere in this
preamble, the EPA has made several adjustments and provided several
mechanisms in this final rule that have the effect of or are expressly
intended to provide grid operators and reliability authorities methods
to address grid reliability. For example, the EPA is providing that
states may include in their state plans a short-term reliability
mechanism that allows affected EGUs to comply with an emission
limitation corresponding to their baseline emission rate during periods
of grid emergency. For further detail, see section XII.F.3.a of this
preamble. This mechanism is intended to allow states to respond quickly
to emergency situations, and to avoid affected EGUs being out of
compliance or needing to work towards compliance through an ACO.
Considering the structural changes the EPA has made in these final
emission guidelines and the mechanisms it is providing states to
address grid reliability, the EPA does not believe that states and
affected EGUs will need to rely on ACOs to address compliance during
periods of grid emergency.
Finally, as explained in section VII.B of this preamble, coal-fired
steam generating EGUs that plan to permanently cease operating before
January 1, 2032, are not covered by these emission guidelines, i.e.,
they are not affected EGUs. However, to maintain the environmental
integrity of these emission guidelines, it is critical that any
existing sources that are operating as of January 1, 2032, are doing so
subject to a requirement to operate more cleanly, and therefore
essential that sources report on their actions to qualify for the
exemption. As explained in the preamble to the proposed rule and
section X.C.4 of this preamble, there are many steps the owners or
operators of EGUs must take as they get ready to permanently cease
operations and those steps vary between units and jurisdictions.
Procession in a timely manner through these steps is the best indicator
the EPA has of whether or not an existing source remains qualified for
an exemption from these emission guidelines. Should a source's plans to
cease operating change, e.g., because the relevant planning authority
has called on it to remain in operation for reliability or resource
adequacy, the state, the public, and the EPA need to be aware of that
change as soon as possible in order to appropriately address the source
under these emission guidelines. The EPA therefore believes that having
sources that plan to cease operation before January 1, 2032, report to
the Agency on the steps they have taken towards doing so is critical to
ensuring that those sources remain qualified for the exemption and thus
to maintaining the environmental integrity of these emission
guidelines.
The EPA is requiring existing coal-fired steam generating EGUs that
are in existence as of the date of a state plan submission but plan to
cease operating before January 1, 2032, to comply with certain
reporting requirements pursuant to CAA section 114(a). Among other
things, this provision gives the EPA authority to require recordkeeping
and reporting of sources for the purpose of ``developing or assisting
in the development of any implementation plan under . . . section
7411(d) of this title[ or] any standard of performance under section
7411 of this title,'' ``determining whether any person is in violation
of any such standard of any requirement of such a plan,'' or ``carrying
out any provision of this chapter.'' Owners or operators of coal-fired
steam generating EGUs that would be covered by these emission
guidelines but for their plans to permanently cease operating are
required to make reports necessary to ascertain whether they will in
fact qualify for the exemption. This reporting obligation is necessary
for preserving the integrity of the rule, and is consistent with
ensuring that states develop plans that include standards of
performance for all existing sources and for anticipating whether a
state plan may need to be revised to include a standard of performance
for an existing source that will not be eligible for an exemption from
these emission guidelines.\971\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\971\ The milestone reporting requirements for affected coal-
fired steam generating EGUs in the medium-term subcategory and those
relying on a shorter remaining useful life for a less-stringent
standard of performance pursuant to RULOF are authorized under both
CAA sections 114(a) and 111(d)(1), the latter of which provides that
state plans shall provide for the implementation and enforcement of
standards of performance. In that case, reporting requirements are
necessary to ensure that the predicate conditions for the sources'
standards of performance are satisfied.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 39997]]
The reporting requirements the EPA is promulgating for sources that
plan to permanently cease operation before January 1, 2032, are similar
to the reporting requirements the Agency is requiring for medium-term
coal-fired steam generating affected EGUs and affected EGUs relying on
a shorter remaining useful life for a less-stringent standard of
performance through RULOF. Those requirements are described in section
X.C.4 of this preamble and require the definition of milestones
tailored to individual units which are then embedded in periodic
reporting requirements to assess progress toward the cessation of
operations. However, consistent with CAA section 114, the requirements
for sources that are exempt from these emission guidelines are limited
to reporting and do not include the establishment of milestones. Thus,
the requirements are as follows: Five years before any planned date to
permanently cease operations or by the date upon which state plan is
submitted, whichever is later, the owner or operator of the EGU must
submit an initial report to the EPA that includes the following: (1) A
summary of the process steps required for the EGU to permanently cease
operation by the date included in the state plan, including the
approximate timing and duration of each step and any notification
requirements associated with deactivation of the unit. These process
steps may include, e.g., initial notice to the relevant reliability
authority of the deactivation date and submittal of an official
retirement filing (or equivalent filing) made to the EGU's reliability
authority. (2) Supporting regulatory documents, including
correspondence and official filings with the relevant regional RTO,
ISO, balancing authority, PUC, or other applicable authority; any
deactivation-related reliability assessments conducted by the RTO or
ISO; and any filings pertaining to the EGU with the SEC or notices to
investors, including but not limited to references in forms 10-K and
10-Q, in which the plans for the EGU are mentioned; any integrated
resource plans and PUC orders referring to or approving the EGU's
deactivation; any reliability analyses developed by the RTO, ISO, or
relevant reliability authority in response to the EGU's deactivation
notification; any notification from a reliability authority that the
EGU may be needed for reliability purposes notwithstanding the EGU's
intent to deactivate; and any notification to or from an RTO, ISO, or
relevant reliability authority altering the timing of deactivation for
the EGU.
For each of the remaining years prior to the date by which an EGU
has committed to permanently cease operations, the operator or operator
of an EGU must submit an annual status report to the EPA that includes:
(1) Progress on each of the process steps identified in the initial
report; and (2) supporting regulatory documents, including
correspondence and official filings with the relevant RTO, balancing
authority, PUC, or other applicable authority to demonstrate progress
toward all steps; and (3) regulatory documents, and relevant SEC
filings (listed in the preceding paragraph) that have been issued,
filed or received since the prior report.
The EPA is also requiring that EGUs that plan to permanently cease
operation by January 1, 2032, submit a final report to the EPA no later
than 6 months following its committed closure date. This report would
document any actions that the unit has taken subsequent to ceasing
operation to ensure that such cessation is permanent, including any
regulatory filings with applicable authorities or decommissioning
plans.
2. Timing of State Plan Submissions
The EPA proposed a state plan submission deadline that is 24 months
from the date of publication of the final emission guidelines, which,
at that time was 9 months longer than the default state plan submission
timeline in the proposed 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba implementing
regulations. The EPA finalized subpart Ba with a default timeline of 18
months for state plan submissions, 40 CFR 60.23a(a)(1); regardless, the
EPA is superseding subpart Ba's timeline under these emission
guidelines and is requiring that state plans be submitted 24 months
after publication of this final rule in the Federal Register.
As discussed in the preamble to the proposed rule,\972\ these
emission guidelines apply to a relatively complex source category and
state plan development will require significant analysis, consultation,
and coordination between states, utilities, reliability authorities,
and the owners or operators of individual affected EGUs. The power
sector is subject to layers of regulatory and other requirements under
different authorities (e.g., environmental, electric reliability, SEC)
and the decisions states make under these emission guidelines will
necessarily have to accommodate overlapping considerations and
processes. States' plan development may have to integrate decision
making by not only the relevant air agency or agencies, but also ISOs,
RTOs, or other balancing authorities. While 18 months is a reasonable
timeframe to accommodate state plan development for source categories
that do not require this level of coordination, the EPA does not
believe it is reasonable to expect states and affected EGUs to
undertake the coordination and planning necessary to ensure that plans
for implementing these emission guidelines are consistent with the
broader needs and trajectory of the power sector within the default
period provided under subpart Ba.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\972\ 88 FR 33240, 33402-03 (May 23, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
However, there are also notable differences between the
circumstances of the proposed versus these final emission guidelines
that are relevant to the state plan submission timeline. First, the EPA
is not finalizing emission guidelines applicable to combustion turbine
EGUs, which will significantly decrease the number of affected EGUs
that states must address in their plans. Relative to proposal, there
are approximately 184 fewer individual units to which these emission
guidelines will apply (based on information at the time of the final
rule), and the final emission guidelines do not include co-firing with
low-GHG hydrogen as a BSER. The analytical and other burdens associated
with state planning will thus be significantly lighter than anticipated
at proposal, as states will have to address not only fewer sources but
also a smaller universe of potential control strategies. Additionally,
as explained in section VII.B.1 of this preamble, these final emission
guidelines do not apply to existing coal-fired EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operation prior to January 1, 2032. While under the
proposed emission guidelines states would have had to establish
standards of performance for every existing source operating as of
January 1, 2030, states will be able to forgo addressing a subset of
these existing sources under this final rule.
In addition to states needing to address far fewer existing sources
in their state plans than anticipated under the proposed emission
guidelines, it is also not expected that the owners or operators of
sources will begin implementation of control strategies before state
plan submission. At proposal the EPA believed that some owners or
operators of affected EGUs would do feasibility and FEED studies for
CCS during state plan development,
[[Page 39998]]
i.e., before state plan submission. For other affected coal-fired EGUs,
the EPA anticipated that owners or operators would undertake certain
planning, design, and permitting steps prior to state plan
submission.\973\ In developing these final emission guidelines, the EPA
changed its earlier assumption that states and affected EGUs would take
significant steps towards planning and implementing control strategies
prior to state plan submission. There are certain preliminary steps,
such as an initial feasibility study, that the EPA expects that states
and/or affected EGUs will undertake as a typical part of the state
planning process. Under any rule or circumstances, it would not be
reasonable for a state to commit an affected EGU to installation and
operation of a certain control technology without undertaking at least
an initial assessment of that technology--this is what is accomplished
by feasibility studies. However, while the Agency believes that some
sources are currently or will be undertaking FEED studies or other
significant steps towards implementing pollution controls independent
of these emission guidelines at earlier times, the EPA is not assuming
when setting the compliance deadline that EGUs will be taking such
steps prior to the existence of a state law requirement to do so (i.e.,
prior to state plan adoption and submission).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\973\ 88 FR 33240, 33402 (May 23, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA received a number of comments on the proposed 24-month
timeline for state plan submissions, which are discussed in detail
below. As a general matter, many of these comments requested a longer
timeframe for developing and submitting state plans. However, given
that the number of affected EGUs state plans will have to cover under
these final emission guidelines is very likely to be significantly
lower than anticipated based on the proposal and that the EPA is not
expecting states or owners or operators of affected EGUs to conduct
FEED studies or otherwise start work on implementation prior to state
plan submission, the EPA continues to believe that 24 months is an
appropriate timeframe. Additionally, as discussed in the preamble to
the recent revisions to the 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba implementing
regulations, the EPA's approach to timelines for state plan submission
and review under CAA section 111(d) is informed by the need to minimize
the impacts of emissions of dangerous air pollutants on public health
and welfare by proceeding as expeditiously and as reasonably possible
while accommodating the time needed for states to develop an effective
plan.\974\ To this end, the EPA is promulgating a timeframe for state
plan submissions that is based on the minimum administrative time that
is reasonably necessary given the need for states and owners or
operators of affected EGUs to coordinate with reliability authorities
in the development of state plans. In this case, the EPA believes that
providing an additional 6 months beyond subpart Ba's 18 months for
state plan submissions is sufficient to accommodate this additional
coordination, particularly given that the number of affected EGUs that
states will be addressing in their plans is far fewer than expected
under the proposed emission guidelines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\974\ See, e.g., 88 FR 80480, 80486 (November 17, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several commenters supported the EPA's proposed 24-month
timeframe for state plan submissions and stressed the importance of
achieving emission reductions as quickly as possible. Commenters also
noted that, based on anecdotal evidence, 24 months is generally
sufficient to incorporate legislative, regulatory, and other
administrative procedures associates with submitting state plans. Many
commenters, however, requested that the EPA provide additional time for
states to develop and submit their state plans; many requested 36
months with some commenters asserting that even more time would be
required. Commenters asking for a longer timeframe cited reasons
including the size of states' EGU fleets and the specific BSERs
proposed for certain subcategories (i.e., CCS and hydrogen co-firing),
the need for owners or operators of affected EGUs to conduct systems
analyses and update their integrated resource plans (IRPs) prior to
making final decisions for state plans, and the need for states to get
their choices approved by the appropriate reliability and other
regulatory commissions.
Response: As explained above, the EPA has made a number of changes
in these final emission guidelines that have the effect of decreasing
the planning burden on states, including not finalizing requirements
for combustion turbine EGUs, exempting coal-fired EGUs that plan to
cease operating by January 1, 2032, finalizing fewer subcategories for
coal-fired EGUs, and not finalizing the subcategory for coal-fired EGUs
that was based on utilization level. In general, these changes will
decrease the number of units that state plans must address and also
decrease the number and complexity of decisions states must make with
regard to those units. Furthermore, 24 months is sufficient time for
states to complete the steps necessary to develop and submit a state
plan. Owners and operators are already or should already be considering
how they will operate in a future environment where sources operating
more cleanly are valued more. The EPA expects that states are already
working or will work closely with the operators and operators of
affected EGUs as those owners and operators update their IRPs and
proceed through any necessary processes with, e.g., PUCs and
reliability authorities. Thus, the Agency expects that consultation
with and between owners and operators, PUCs, and reliability
authorities is currently ongoing and will remain so throughout state
plan development and implementation. Against this backdrop of ongoing
planning and consultation, the EPA's obligation in these emission
guidelines is to ensure that state plan development and submission
occurs within a timeframe consistent with the ``adherence to [the
EPA's] 2015 finding of an urgent need to counteract the threats posed
by unregulated carbon dioxide emissions from coal-fired power plants.''
\975\ The timeframe the EPA is providing for state plan development
upfront coupled with the long lead times it is providing for compliance
with standards of performance provides states and owners or operators
ample time to ensure the orderly implementation of the control
requirements under these emission guidelines.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\975\ Am. Lung Ass'n v. EPA, 985 F.3d 914, 994 (D.C. Cir. 2021).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several commenters asserted that the EPA should provide
longer than 24 months for state plan submissions to provide time for
states to work through their necessary rulemaking, legislative, and/or
administrative processes. Some commenters similarly stated that more
than 24 months is needed in order to accommodate meaningful engagement
on draft state plans.
Response: The default timeline provided for state plan development
and submission under 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba is 18 months. As the
EPA acknowledged when it promulgated this timeframe, state regulatory
and legislative processes and resources can vary significantly and
influence the time needed to develop and submit state plans.\976\
However, the CAA contains
[[Page 39999]]
numerous, long-standing requirements under other programs for states to
develop and submit plans in 18 or fewer months. The EPA therefore
believes that states should be well positioned to accommodate an 18-
month state plan submission timeframe, let alone at 24-month timeframe,
from the perspective of the timing of state processes. The Agency does
not believe it would be reasonable or consistent with CAA section 111's
purpose of reducing air pollution that endangers public health and the
environment to extend state plan submission deadlines to defer to
lengthy state administrative processes.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\976\ 88 FR 80480, 80488 (November 17, 2023).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Similarly, the EPA believes that 24 months provides sufficient time
for states to conduct meaningful engagement with pertinent stakeholders
under these emission guidelines. As discussed in section X.E.1.b.i of
this preamble, the EPA is providing additional information in these
final emission guidelines that states may use to inform their
meaningful engagement strategies and that can help them to fulfill
their obligations in a timely and diligent fashion. For example, the
EPA has noted a number of types of stakeholder communities to assist
states in identifying their pertinent stakeholders. It has also
provided information and tools that states may use in considering
options for state plans, including facility-specific information on air
emissions and the potential emissions implications of installing CCS.
Commenters also pointed out that several states have recently adopted
regulations, programs, and tools relevant to identifying pertinent
stakeholders and conducting meaningful engagement; such programs and
tools, in addition to states' growing body of knowledge and experience
pursuant to state initiatives and priorities, will aid states and
stakeholders alike in conducting robust meaningful engagement in the
timeframe for state plan development.
3. State Plan Revisions
As discussed in the preamble of the proposed action, the EPA
expects that the 24-month state plan submission deadline for these
emission guidelines would give states, utilities and independent power
producers, and stakeholders sufficient time to determine into which
subcategory each of the affected EGUs should fall and to formulate and
submit a state plan accordingly. However, the EPA also acknowledges
that, despite states' best efforts to accurately reflect the plans of
owners or operators with regard to affected EGUs at the time of state
plan submission, such plans may subsequently change. In general, states
have the authority and discretion to submit revised state plans to the
EPA for approval.\977\ State plan revisions are generally subject to
the same requirements as initial state plan submissions under these
emission guidelines and the subpart Ba implementing regulations,
including meaningful engagement, and the EPA reviews state plan
revisions against the applicable requirements of these emission
guidelines and the subpart Ba implementing regulations in the same
manner in which it reviews initial state plan submissions pursuant to
40 CFR 60.27a. Requirements of the initial state plan approved by the
EPA remain federally enforceable unless and until the EPA approves a
plan revision that supersedes such requirements. States and affected
EGUs should plan accordingly to avoid noncompliance.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\977\ 40 CFR 60.23a(a)(2), 60.28a.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is finalizing a state plan submission date that is 24
months after the publication of the final emission guidelines and is
finalizing the first compliance date for affected coal-fired EGUs in
the medium-term subcategory and affected natural gas- and oil-fired
EGUs of January 1, 2030. A state may choose to submit a plan revision
prior to the compliance dates in its existing state plan; however, the
EPA reiterates that any already approved federally enforceable
requirements, including milestones, increments of progress, and
standards of performance, will remain in place unless and until the EPA
approves the plan revision.
The EPA requested comment on whether it would be helpful to states
to impose a cutoff date for the submission of plan revisions before the
first compliance date. This would, in effect, establish a temporary
moratorium on plan submissions in order to allow the EPA to act on the
plans. State plan revisions would again be permitted after the final
compliance date. The EPA is not finalizing such cutoff date to provide
more flexibility to states in submitting revisions closer to the first
compliance date, in the case that EPA may be able to review those
revisions before the first compliance date.
Comment: Several commenters generally disagreed with establishing a
cutoff date for state plan revisions before the first compliance date,
arguing these timelines would be unworkable because state plan
revisions may require public notice and stakeholder engagement.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing an explicit cutoff date that
would in effect establish a temporary moratorium on plan submissions;
however, the EPA notes that, because the first compliance date under
the final emission guidelines is January 1, 2030, a plan revision
submitted after November 1, 2028 (taking into consideration 1 year for
EPA action on a state plan revision plus up to 60 days, approximately,
for a completeness determination) may not provide sufficient time for
the EPA to review and approve the plan sufficiently in advance of that
compliance date to allow sources to appropriately plan for compliance.
The EPA reiterates that EGUs will be expected to comply with any
requirements already approved in the state plan until such time as the
plan revision is approved.
4. Dual-Path Standards of Performance for Affected EGUs
As discussed in the proposed action, under the structure of these
emission guidelines, states would assign affected coal-fired EGUs to
subcategories in their state plans, and an affected EGU would not be
able to change its applicable subcategory without a state plan
revision. This is because, due to the nature of the BSERs for coal-
fired steam generating units, an affected EGU that switches into either
the medium-term or long-term subcategory may not be able to meet the
compliance obligations for a new and different subcategory without
considerable lead time; in order to ensure timely emission reductions,
it is important that states identify which subcategories affected EGUs
fall into in their state plan submissions so that affected EGUs have
certainty about their expected regulatory obligations. Therefore, as a
general matter, states must assign each affected EGU to a subcategory
and have in place all the legal instruments necessary to implement the
requirements for that subcategory by the time of state plan submission.
However, the EPA also solicited comment on a dual-path approach
that would allow coal-fired steam generating units to have two
different standards of performance submitted to the EPA in a state plan
based on potential inclusion in two different subcategories. This
proposal was based in large part on the proposed structure of the
subcategories for coal-fired affected EGUs, under which it would have
been realistic to expect that sources could prepare to comply with
either the presumptive standard of performance for, e.g., the imminent-
term subcategory and the near-term subcategory or the imminent-term
subcategory and the medium-term subcategory.
Because the final emission guidelines include only two
subcategories for coal-
[[Page 40000]]
fired affected EGUs and do not include the two subcategories for which
the dual-path approach would have been appropriate, the EPA is not
finalizing an approach that allows coal-fired steam generating units to
have two different standards of performance submitted to the EPA in a
state plan based on potential inclusion in two different subcategories.
Comment: In general, commenters supported a dual-path approach;
however, several commenters requested that the EPA accommodate a multi-
pathway approach (three or more pathways) due to the complexity of
state plans and potential for numerous compliance pathways because of
factors beyond the EGU owner or operator's control, such as
infrastructure for CCS projects and increase in electric power demand
due to electrification of the transportation sector.
Response: As stated above, the EPA is not finalizing the dual-path
approach, nor a multi-pathway approach. If an affected EGU wishes to
switch subcategories after the initial state plan approval, the state
should submit a state plan revision sufficiently in advance of the
compliance date for the subcategory into which it was assigned to
permit the EPA's review and action on that plan revision.
5. EPA Action on State Plans
Pursuant to the final revisions to 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba, in
this action, the EPA is subject to a 60-day timeline for the
Administrator's determination of completeness of a state plan
submission and a 12-month timeline for action on state plans.\978\ The
timeframes and requirements for state plan submissions described in
this section also apply to state plan revisions.\979\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\978\ 40 CFR 60.27a(b), (g)(1).
\979\ See generally 40 CFR 60.27a.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed in the proposed action, the EPA would first review the
components of the state plan to determine whether the plan meets the
completeness criteria of 40 CFR 60.27a(g). The EPA must determine
whether a state plan submission has met the completeness criteria
within 60 days of its receipt of that submission. If the EPA has failed
to make a completeness determination for a state plan submission within
60 days of receipt, the submission shall be deemed, by operation of
law, complete as of that date. Subpart Ba requires the EPA to take
final action on a state plan submission within 12 months of that
submission's being deemed complete. The EPA will review the components
of state plan submissions against the applicable requirements of
subpart Ba and these emission guidelines, consistent with the
underlying requirement that state plans must be ``satisfactory'' ' per
CAA section 111(d). The Administrator would have the option to fully
approve; fully disapprove; partially approve and partially disapprove;
or conditionally approve a state plan submission.\980\ Any components
of a state plan submission that the EPA approves become federally
enforceable.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\980\ 40 CFR 60.27a(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA solicited comment on the use of the timeframes regarding
EPA action on state plans in subpart Ba and commenters encouraged
reconsidering the schedule, suggesting either increasing or decreasing
the amount of time for action on state plans. In the final emission
guidelines, the EPA is not superseding the timeframes in subpart Ba
regarding EPA action on state plans and plan revisions.
Comment: One commenter suggested that the EPA should provide for
automatic extension of compliance dates for affected EGUs if the Agency
does not meet its 12-month deadline for plan approval.\981\ Other
commenters expressed concerns that the EPA will be unable to review all
plans in the 12-month timeframe. One commenter suggested that the EPA
should strive to review plans in less than the proposed 12-month
timeframe.\982\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\981\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0660.
\982\ See Document ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2023-0072-0764.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Response: The EPA does not believe it is appropriate to provide
automatic extensions of compliance dates based on the timeframe for EPA
action on state plan submissions. While there may be some degree of
regulatory uncertainty that stems from waiting for the Agency to act on
a state plan submission, it would not be a reasonable solution to add
to that uncertainty by also making compliance dates contingent on the
date of EPA's action. This additional uncertainty could have the effect
of unnecessarily extending the compliance schedule and delaying
emission reductions. Given that the dates on which the EPA takes final
action on individual state plans are likely to be many and varied
(based on, inter alia, when each state plan was submitted to the
Agency), such extensions would create unnecessary confusion and
potentially uneven application of the requirements for state plans. In
this action, the EPA does not find a reason to supersede the timelines
finalized in subpart Ba; therefore, review of and action on state plan
submissions will be governed by the requirements of revised subpart Ba.
6. Federal Plan Applicability and Promulgation Timing
The provisions of 40 CFR part 60, subpart Ba, apply to the EPA's
promulgation of any Federal plans under these emission guidelines. The
EPA's obligation to promulgate a Federal plan is triggered in three
situations: where a state does not submit a plan by the plan submission
deadline; where the EPA determines that a state plan submission does
not meet the completeness criteria and the time period for state plan
submission has elapsed; and where the EPA fully or partially
disapproves a state's plan.\983\ Where a state has failed to submit a
plan by the submission deadline, subpart Ba gives the EPA 12 months
from the state plan submission due date to promulgate a Federal plan;
otherwise, the 12-month period starts, as applicable, from the date the
state plan submission is deemed incomplete or from the date of the
EPA's disapproval. If the state submits and the EPA approves a state
plan submission that corrects the relevant deficiency within the 12-
month period, before the EPA promulgates a Federal plan, the EPA's
obligation to promulgate a Federal plan is relieved.\984\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\983\ 40 CFR 60.27a(c).
\984\ 40 CFR 60.27a(d).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As provided by 40 CFR 60.27a(e), a Federal plan will prescribe
standards of performance for affected EGUs of the same stringency as
required by these emission guidelines and will require compliance with
such standards as expeditiously as practicable but no later than the
final compliance date under these guidelines. However, 40 CFR
60.27a(e)(2) provides that, upon application by the owner or operator
of an affected EGU, the EPA may provide for the application of a less
stringent standard of performance or longer compliance schedule than
provided by these emission guidelines, in which case the EPA would
follow the same process and criteria in the regulations that apply to
states' provision of RULOF standards. Under subpart Ba, the EPA is also
required to conduct meaningful engagement with pertinent stakeholders
prior to promulgating a Federal plan.\985\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\985\ 40 CFR 60.27a(f).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed in section X.E.2 of this preamble, the EPA is
finalizing a deadline for state plan submissions of 24 months after
publication of these final emission guidelines in the Federal Register.
Therefore, if a state fails to timely submit a state plan, the EPA
[[Page 40001]]
would be obligated to promulgate a Federal plan within 36 months of
publication of these final emission guidelines. Note that this will be
the earliest possible obligation for the EPA to promulgate a Federal
plan and that different triggers (e.g., a disapproved state plan) will
result in later obligations to promulgate Federal plans for other
states, contingent on when the obligation is triggered.
Finally, the EPA acknowledges that, if a Tribe does not seek and
obtain the authority from the EPA to establish a TIP, the EPA has the
authority to establish a Federal CAA section 111(d) plan for areas of
Indian country where designated facilities are located. A Federal plan
would apply to all designated facilities located in the areas of Indian
country covered by the Federal plan unless and until the EPA approves
an applicable TIP applicable to those facilities.
XI. Implications for Other CAA Programs
A. New Source Review Program
The CAA's New Source Review (NSR) preconstruction permitting
program applies to stationary sources that emit pollutants resulting
from new construction and modifications of existing sources. The NSR
program is authorized by CAA section 110(a)(2)(C), which requires that
each state implementation plan (SIP) ``include a program to provide for
the . . . regulation of the modification and construction of any
stationary source within the areas covered by the plan as necessary to
assure that [NAAQS] are achieved, including a permit program as
required in parts C and D [of title I of the CAA].'' The ``permit
program as required in parts C and D'' refers to the ``major NSR''
program, which applies to new ``major stationary sources'' \986\ and
``major modifications'' \987\ of existing stationary sources. The
``minor NSR'' program applies to new construction and modifications of
stationary sources that do not meet the emission thresholds for major
NSR. NSR applicability is pollutant-specific, so a source seeking to
newly construct or modify may need to obtain both major NSR and minor
NSR permits before it can begin construction.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\986\ 40 CFR 52.21(b)(1)(i).
\987\ 40 CFR 52.21(b)(2)(i) and the term ``net emissions
increase'' as defined at 40 CFR 52.21(b)(3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Under the CAA, states have primary responsibility for issuing NSR
permits, and they can customize their programs within the limits of EPA
regulations. The Federal NSR rules applying to state permitting
authorities are found at 40 CFR 51.160 to 51.166. The EPA's primary
role is to approve state program regulations and to review, comment on,
and take any other necessary actions on draft and final permits to
assure consistency with the EPA's rules, the SIP, and the CAA. When a
state does not have EPA-approved authority to issue NSR permits, the
EPA issues the NSR permits within the state, or delegates authority to
the state to issue the NSR permits on behalf of the EPA, pursuant to
rules at 40 CFR 49.151-173, 40 CFR 52.21, and 40 CFR 124.
For the major NSR program, the requirements that apply to a source
depend on the air quality designation at the location of the source for
each of its emitted pollutants at the time the permit is issued. Major
NSR permits for sources located in an area that is designated as
attainment or unclassifiable for the NAAQS for its pollutants are
referred to as Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) permits.
PSD permits can include requirements for specific pollutants for which
there are no NAAQS.\988\ Sources subject to PSD must, among other
requirements, comply with emission limitations that reflect the Best
Available Control Technology (BACT) for ``each pollutant subject to
regulation'' as specified by CAA sections 165(a)(4) and 169(3). Major
NSR permits for sources located in nonattainment areas and that emit at
or above the specified major NSR threshold for the pollutant for which
the area is designated as nonattainment are referred to as
Nonattainment NSR (NNSR) permits. Sources subject to NNSR must, among
other requirements, meet the Lowest Achievable Emission Rate (LAER)
pursuant to CAA sections 171(3) and 173(a)(2) for any pollutant subject
to NNSR. For the minor NSR program, neither the CAA nor the EPA's rules
set forth a minimum control technology requirement.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\988\ [thinsp]For the PSD program, ``regulated NSR pollutant''
includes any pollutant for which a NAAQS has been promulgated
(``criteria pollutants'') and any other air pollutant that meets the
requirements of 40 CFR 52.21(b)(50). Some of these non-criteria
pollutants include greenhouse gases, fluorides, sulfuric acid mist,
hydrogen sulfide, and total reduced sulfur.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In keeping with the goal of progress toward attaining the NAAQS,
sources seeking NNSR permits must provide or purchase ``offsets''--
i.e., decreases in emissions that compensate for the increases from the
new source or modification. For sources seeking PSD permits, offsets
are not required, but they must demonstrate that the emissions from the
project will not cause or contribute to a violation of the NAAQS or the
``PSD increments'' (i.e., margins of ``significant'' air quality
deterioration above a baseline concentration that establish an air
quality ceiling, typically below the NAAQS, for each PSD area). Sources
can often make this air quality demonstration based on the BACT level
of control or by accepting more stringent air quality-based
limitations. However, if these methods are insufficient to show that
increased emissions from the source will not cause or contribute to a
violation of air quality standards, applicants may undertake mitigation
measures that are analogous to offsets in order to satisfy this PSD
permitting criterion.
When the EPA is making NSR permitting decisions, it has legal
authority to consider potential disproportionate environmental burdens
on a case-by-case basis. Based on Executive Order (E.O.) 12898, the
EPA's Environmental Appeals Board (EAB) has held that environmental
justice considerations must be considered in connection with the
issuance of Federal PSD permits issued by EPA Regional Offices or
states acting under delegations of Federal authority. The EAB ``has . .
. encouraged permit issuers to examine any `superficially plausible'
claim that a minority or low-income population may be
disproportionately affected by a particular facility.'' \989\ EPA
guidance and EAB decisions do not advise EPA Regional Offices or
delegated NSR permitting authorities to integrate environmental justice
considerations into any particular component of the PSD permitting
review, such as the determination of BACT. The practice of EPA Regional
Offices and delegated states has been to conduct a largely freestanding
environmental justice analysis for PSD permits that can take into
account case-specific factors germane to any individual permit
decision.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\989\ In re Shell Gulf of Mexico, Inc., 15 E.A.D. 103, 149 and
n.71 (EAB 2010) (internal citations omitted).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The minimum requirements for an approvable state NSR permitting
program do not require state permitting authorities to reflect
environmental justice considerations in their permitting decisions.
However, states that implement NSR programs under an EPA-approved SIP
have discretion to consider environmental justice in their NSR
permitting actions and adopt additional requirements in the permitting
decision to address potential disproportionate environmental burdens.
Additionally, in some cases, a
[[Page 40002]]
state law requires consideration of environmental justice in the
state's permitting decisions.
Through the NSR permit review process, permitting authorities have
requirements for public participation in decision-making, which provide
discretion for permitting authorities to provide enhanced engagement
for communities with environmental justice concerns. This includes
opportunities to enhance environmental justice by facilitating
increased public participation in the formal permit consideration
process (e.g., by granting requests to extend public comment periods,
holding multiple public meetings, or providing translation services at
hearings in areas with limited English proficiency). The permitting
authority can also take informal steps to enhance participation earlier
in the process, such as inviting community groups to meet with the
permitting authority and express their concerns before a draft permit
is issued.
Additionally, in accordance with CAA 165(a)(2), the PSD regulations
require the permitting authority to ``[p]rovide opportunity for a
public hearing for interested persons to appear and submit written or
oral comments on the air quality impact of the source, alternatives to
it, the control technology required, and other appropriate
considerations.'' 40 CFR 51.166(q)(2)(v). The ``alternatives'' and
``other appropriate considerations'' language in CAA 165(a)(2) can be
interpreted to provide the permitting authority with discretion to
incorporate siting and environmental justice considerations when
issuing PSD permits--specifically, to impose permit conditions on the
basis of environmental justice considerations raised in public comments
regarding the air quality impacts of a proposed source. The EAB has
recognized that consideration of the need for a facility is within the
scope of CAA 165(a)(2) when a commenter raises the issue. The EPA has
recognized that this language provides a potential statutory foundation
in the CAA for this discretion.\990\ The Federal regulations for NNSR
permits also have an analysis of alternatives required by CAA
173(a)(5). 40 CFR 51.165(i).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\990\ See Memorandum from Gary S. Guzy, EPA General Counsel,
titled EPA Statutory and Regulatory Authorities Under Which
Environmental Justice Issues May Be Addressed in Permitting
(December 1, 2000).
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1. Control Technology Reviews for Major NSR Permits
The statutory and regulatory basis for a control technology review
for a source undergoing major NSR permitting differs from the criteria
required in establishing an NSPS or emission guidelines. As such,
sources that are permitted under major NSR may have differing control
requirements for a pollutant than what is required by an applicable
standard under CAA section 111. As noted above, sources permitted under
the minor NSR program do not have a minimum control technology standard
specified by statute or EPA rule, so a permitting authority has more
flexibility in its determination of control technology for aminor NSR
permit.
For PSD permits, the permitting authority must establish emission
limitations based on BACT for each pollutant that is subject to PSD at
the new major stationary source or at each emissions unit involved in
the major modification. BACT is assessed on a case-by-case basis, and
the permitting authority, in its analysis of BACT for each pollutant,
evaluates the emission reductions that each available emissions-
reducing technology or technique would achieve, as well as the energy,
environmental, economic, and other costs associated with each
technology or technique. The CAA also specifies that BACT cannot be
less stringent than any applicable standard of performance under the
NSPS.\991\
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\991\ 42 U.S.C. 7479(3) (``In no event shall application of
`best available control technology' result in emissions of any
pollutants which will exceed the emissions allowed by any applicable
standard established pursuant to [CAA Section 111 or 112].'').
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In conducting a BACT analysis, many permitting authorities apply
the EPA's five-step ``top-down'' approach, which the EPA recommends to
ensure that all the criteria in the CAA's definition of BACT are
considered. This approach begins with the permitting authority
identifying all available control options that have the potential for
practical application for the regulated NSR pollutant and emissions
unit under evaluation. The analysis then evaluates each option and
eliminates options that are technically infeasible, ranks the remaining
options from most to least effective, evaluates the energy,
environmental, economic impacts, and other costs of the options,
eliminates options that are not achievable based on these
considerations from the top of the list down, and ultimately selects
the most effective remaining option as BACT.\992\
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\992\ For more information on EPA's recommended BACT approach,
see U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, New Source Review Workshop
Manual (October 1990; Draft) at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/1990wman.pdf and U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, PSD and Title V Permitting Guidance for
Greenhouse Gases (March 2011; EPA-457/B-11-001) at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/ghgguid.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While the BACT review process is intended to capture a broad array
of potential options for pollution control, the EPA has recognized that
the list of available control options need not necessarily include
inherently lower polluting processes that would fundamentally redefine
the nature of the source proposed by the permit applicant. Thus, BACT
should generally not be applied to regulate the permit applicant's
purpose or objective for the proposed facility. However, this approach
does not preclude a permitting authority from considering options that
would change aspects (either minor or significant) of an applicants'
proposed facility design in order to achieve pollutant reductions that
may or may not be deemed achievable after further evaluation at later
steps of the process. The EPA does not interpret the CAA to prohibit
fundamentally redefining the source and has recognized that permitting
authorities have the discretion to conduct a broader BACT analysis if
they desire. The ``redefining the source'' issue is ultimately a
question of degree that is within the discretion of the permitting
authority, and any decision to exclude an option on ``redefining the
source'' grounds should be explained and documented in the permit
record.
In conducting the analysis of energy, environmental and economic
impacts arising from each control option remaining under consideration,
permitting authorities have considerable discretion in deciding the
specific form of the BACT analysis and the weight to be given to the
particular impacts under consideration. The EPA and other permitting
authorities have most often used this analysis to eliminate more
stringent control technologies with significant or unusual effects that
are unacceptable in favor of the less stringent technologies with more
acceptable collateral environmental effects. Permitting authorities may
consider a wide variety of environmental impacts in this analysis, such
as solid or hazardous waste generation, discharges of polluted water
from a control device, visibility impacts, demand on local water
resources, and emissions of other pollutants subject to NSR or
pollutants not regulated under NSR such as air toxics. A permitting
authority could place more weight on the collateral environmental
effect of a control alternative on local communities--e.g., if emission
increases of co-pollutants from operating the control device may
disproportionately
[[Page 40003]]
affect a minority or low-income population--which may result in the
permitting authority eliminating that control option and ultimately
selecting a less stringent control technology for the target pollutant
as BACT because it has more acceptable collateral impacts.
In addition, this analysis may extend to considering reduced, or
excessive, energy or environmental impacts of the control alternative
at an offsite location that is in support the operation of the facility
obtaining the permit. For example, in the case of a facility that
proposes to co-fire its new stationary combustion turbines with
hydrogen procured from an offsite production facility, a permitting
authority may determine it is appropriate to weigh favorably a control
option that involves co-firing with hydrogen produced from low-GHG
emitting processes, such as electrolysis powered by renewable energy,
to recognize the reduced environmental impact of producing the fuel for
the control option.
For NNSR permits, the statutory requirement for establishing LAER
is more prescriptive and, consequently, tends to provide less
discretion to permitting authorities than the discretion allowed under
BACT. For new major stationary sources and major modifications in
nonattainment areas, LAER is defined as the most stringent emission
limitation required under a SIP or achieved in practice for a class or
category of sources. Thus, unlike BACT, the LAER requirement does not
consider economic, energy, or other environmental factors, except that
LAER is not considered achievable if the cost of control is so great
that a major new stationary source could not be built or operated.\993\
As with BACT determinations, a determination of LAER cannot be less
stringent than any applicable NSPS.\994\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\993\ New Source Review Workshop Manual (October 1990; Draft),
page G.4.
\994\ 42 U.S.C. 7501(3); 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(xiii); 40 CFR part
51, appendix S, section II.A.18.
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2. NSR Implications of the NSPS
Any source that is planning to install a new or reconstructed EGU
that meets the applicability of this final NSPS will likely require an
NSR permit prior to its construction. In addition to including
conditions for GHG emissions, the NSR permit would contain emission
limitations for the non-GHG pollutants emitted by the new or
reconstructed EGU. Depending on the level of emissions for each
pollutant, the source may require a major NSR permit, minor NSR permit,
or a combination of both types of permits.
As GHGs are regulated pollutants under the PSD program, this NSPS
serves as the minimum level of control in determining BACT for any new
major stationary source or major modification that meets the
applicability of this NSPS and commences construction on its affected
EGU(s) after the date of publication of the proposed NSPS in the
Federal Register. However, as explained above, the fact that a minimum
control requirement for BACT is established by an applicable NSPS does
not mean that a permitting authority cannot select a more stringent
control level for the PSD permit or consider control technologies for
BACT beyond those that were considered in developing the NSPS. The
authority for BACT is separate from that of BSER, and it requires a
case-by-case review of a specific stationary source at the time its
owner or operator applies for a PSD permit. Accordingly, the BACT
analysis for a source with an applicable NSPS should reflect source-
specific factors and any advances in control technology, reductions in
the costs or other impacts of using particular control strategies, or
other relevant information that may have become available after the EPA
issued the NSPS.
3. NSR Implications of the Emission Guidelines
With respect to the final emission guidelines, each state will
develop a plan that establishes standards of performance for each
affected EGU in the state that meets the applicability criteria of this
emission guidelines. In doing so, a state agency may develop a plan
that requires an existing stationary source to undertake a physical or
operational change. Under the NSR program, when a stationary source
undertakes a physical or operational change, even if it is doing so to
comply with a national or state level requirement, the source may need
to obtain a preconstruction NSR permit, with the type of permit (i.e.,
NNSR, PSD, or minor NSR) depending on the amount of the emissions
increase resulting from the change and the air quality designation at
the location of the source for its emitted pollutants. However, since
emission guidelines are intended to reduce emissions at an existing
stationary source, a NSR permit may not be needed to perform the
physical or operational change required by the state plan if the change
will not increase emissions at the source.
As noted elsewhere in this preamble, sources that will be complying
with their state plan's standards of performance by installing and
operating CCS could experience criteria pollutant emission increases
that may result in the source triggering major NSR requirements. If a
source with an affected EGU does trigger major NSR requirements for one
or more pollutants as a result of complying with its standards of
performance, the permitting authority would conduct a control
technology review (i.e., BACT or LAER, as appropriate) for each of the
pollutants and require that the source comply with the other applicable
major NSR requirements. As noted in section VII of this preamble, in
light of concerns expressed by stakeholders over possible co-pollutant
increases from CCS retrofit projects, the EPA plans to review its NSR
guidance and determine how it can be updated to better assist permit
applicants and permitting authorities in conducting BACT reviews for
sources that intend to install CCS.
States may also establish the standards of performance in their
plans in such a way so that their affected sources, in complying with
those standards, in fact would not have emission increases that trigger
major NSR requirements. To achieve this, the state would need to
conduct an analysis consistent with the NSR regulatory requirements
that supports its determination that as long as affected sources comply
with the standards of performance, their emissions would not increase
in a way that trigger major NSR requirements. For example, a state
could, as part of its state plan, develop enforceable conditions for a
source expected to trigger major NSR that would effectively limit the
unit's ability to increase its emissions in amounts that would trigger
major NSR (effectively establishing a synthetic minor limitation).\995\
Some commenters asserted that base load units may not be able to
readily rely on this option to limit their emission increases given the
need for those units to respond to demand and maintain grid
reliability. In these cases, states may adopt other strategies in their
state plans to ensure that base load units have the needed flexibility
to operate and do so without triggering major NSR requirements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\995\ Certain stationary sources that emit or have the potential
to emit a pollutant at a level that is equal to or greater than
specified thresholds are subject to major source requirements. See,
e.g., CAA sections 165(a)(1), 169(1), 501(2), 502(a). A synthetic
minor limitation is a legally and practicably enforceable
restriction that has the effect of limiting emissions below the
relevant level and that a source voluntarily obtains to avoid major
stationary source requirements, such as the PSD or title V
permitting programs. See, e.g., 40 CFR 52.21(b)(4), 51.166(b)(4),
70.2 (definition of ``potential to emit'').
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[[Page 40004]]
B. Title V Program
Title V regulations require each permit to include emission
limitations and standards, including operational requirements and
limitations that assure compliance with all applicable requirements.
Requirements resulting from these rules that are imposed on EGUs or
other potentially affected entities that have title V operating permits
are applicable requirements under the title V regulations and would
need to be incorporated into the source's title V permit in accordance
with the schedule established in the title V regulations. For example,
if the permit has a remaining life of 3 years or more, a permit
reopening to incorporate the newly applicable requirement shall be
completed no later than 18 months after promulgation of the applicable
requirement. If the permit has a remaining life of less than 3 years,
the newly applicable requirement must be incorporated at permit
renewal.\996\ Additionally, proceedings to reopen and issue a permit
shall follow the same procedures that apply to initial permit issuance
and only affect the parts of the permit for which cause to reopen
exists. The reopening of permits is expected to be made as
expeditiously as possible.\997\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\996\ See 40 CFR 70.7(f)(1)(i).
\997\ See 40 CFR 70.7(f)(2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the proposal, the EPA also indicated that if a state needs to
include provisions related to the state plan in a source's title V
permit before submitting the plan to the EPA, these limits should be
labeled as ``state-only'' or ``not federally enforceable'' until the
EPA has approved the state plan. The EPA solicited comments on whether,
and under what circumstances, states might use this mechanism. While no
specific comments were received on this point, the EPA would like to
further clarify that in finalizing this direction, the intention is to
ensure that meaningful public participation is available during the
development of a state plan, rather than limiting engagement to the
permitting process. While the public would have the opportunity to
comment on the individual permit provisions, this would not allow for
the opportunity to comment on the plan as a whole before it is
finalized.
XII. Summary of Cost, Environmental, and Economic Impacts
In accordance with E.O. 12866 and 13563, the guidelines of the
Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Circular A-4 and the EPA's
Guidelines for Preparing Economic Analyses, the EPA prepared an RIA for
these final actions. The RIA is separate from the EPA's statutory BSER
determinations and did not influence the EPA's choice of BSER for any
of the regulated source categories or subcategories. This RIA presents
the expected economic consequences of the EPA's final rules, including
analysis of the benefits and costs associated with the projected
emission reductions for three illustrative scenarios. The first
scenario represents the final NSPS and emission guidelines in
combination. The second and third scenarios represent different
stringencies of the combined policies. All three illustrative scenarios
are compared against a single baseline. For detailed descriptions of
the three illustrative scenarios and the baseline, see section 1 of the
RIA, which is titled ``Regulatory Impact Analysis for the New Source
Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from new, Modified,
and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission
Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired
Electric Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy
Rule'' and is available in the rulemaking docket.\998\
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\998\ The EPA also examined the final rules under a variety of
different assumptions regarding demand, gas price, and
contemporaneous rulemakings and determined that those alternative
projections, inclusive of CCS buildout and cost profiles, would not
alter any BSER design parameters selected in this action. For
further discussion, see the technical memorandum, IPM Sensitivity
Runs, available in the rulemaking docket.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The three scenarios detailed in the RIA, including the final rules
scenario, are illustrative in nature and do not represent the plans
that states may ultimately pursue. As there are considerable
flexibilities afforded to states in developing their state plans, the
EPA does not have sufficient information to assess specific compliance
measures on a unit-by-unit basis. Nonetheless, the EPA believes that
such illustrative analysis can provide important insights.
In the RIA, the EPA evaluates the potential impacts of the three
illustrative scenarios using the present value (PV) of costs, benefits,
and net benefits, calculated for the years 2024 to 2047 from the
perspective of 2019. In addition, the EPA presents the assessment of
costs, benefits, and net benefits for specific snapshot years,
consistent with the Agency's historic practice. These specific snapshot
years are 2028, 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045. In addition to the core
benefit-cost analysis, the RIA also includes analyses of anticipated
economic and energy impacts, environmental justice impacts, and
employment impacts.
The analysis presented in this preamble section summarizes key
results of the illustrative final rules scenario. For detailed benefit-
cost results for the three illustrative scenarios and results of the
variety of impact analysis just mentioned, please see the RIA, which is
available in the docket for this action.
It should be noted that for the RIA for this rulemaking, the EPA
undertook the same approach to determine benefits and costs as it has
generally taken in prior rulemakings concerning the electric power
sector. It does not rely on the benefit-cost results included in the
RIA as part of its BSER analysis. Rather, the BSER analysis considers
the BSER criteria as set out in CAA section 111(a)(1) and the caselaw--
including the costs of the controls to the source, the amount of
emission reductions, and other criteria--as described in section V.C.2.
A. Air Quality Impacts
For the analysis of the final rules, total cumulative power sector
CO2 emissions between 2028 and 2047 are projected to be
1,382 million metric tons lower under the illustrative final rules
scenario than under the baseline. Table 4 shows projected aggregate
annual electricity sector emission changes for the illustrative final
rules scenario, relative to the baseline.
Table 4--Projected Electricity Sector Emission Impacts for the Illustrative Final Rules Scenario, Relative to the Baseline
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Direct PM2.5
CO2 (million Annual NOX Ozone season Annual SO2 (thousand Mercury
metric tons) (thousand NOX (thousand (thousand short tons) (tons)
short tons) short tons) short tons)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2028....................................................... -38 -20 -6 -34 -2 -0.1
[[Page 40005]]
2030....................................................... -50 -20 -7 -20 -2 -0.1
2035....................................................... -123 -49 -19 -90 -1 -0.1
2040....................................................... -54 -6 -6 -4 2 0.2
2045....................................................... -42 -24 -14 -41 -2 -0.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: Ozone season is the May through September period in this analysis.
B. Compliance Cost Impacts
The power industry's compliance costs are represented in this
analysis as the change in electric power generation costs between the
baseline and illustrative scenarios, including the cost of monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping. In simple terms, these costs are an
estimate of the increased power industry expenditures required to
comply with the final actions.
The compliance assumptions--and, therefore, the projected
compliance costs--set forth in this analysis are illustrative in nature
and do not represent the plans that states may ultimately pursue. The
illustrative final rules scenario is designed to reflect, to the extent
possible, the scope and nature of the final rules. However, there is
uncertainty with regards to the precise measures that states will adopt
to meet the requirements because there are flexibilities afforded to
the states in developing their state plans.
The IRA is projected to accelerate the ongoing shift towards lower-
emitting technology. In particular, under the baseline tax credits for
low-emitting technology results in growing generation share for
renewable resources and the deployment of 11 GW of CCS retrofits on
existing coal-fired steam generating units by 2035. New combined cycle
builds are 20 GW by 2030, and existing coal capacity continues to
decline, falling to 84 GW by 2030 and 31 GW by 2040. Under the
illustrative final rules scenario, the EPA projects an incremental 8 GW
of CCS retrofits on existing coal-fired steam generating units by 2035
relative to the baseline. By 2035, relative to the baseline, new
combined cycle builds are 2 GW lower, new combustion turbine builds are
10 GW higher, and wind and solar additions are 15 GW higher. Total coal
capacity is projected to be 73 GW in 2030 and 19 GW by 2040. As a
result, the compliance cost of the final rules is lower than it would
be absent the IRA.
We estimate the PV of the projected compliance costs for the
analysis of the final standards for new combustion turbines and for
existing steam generating EGUs over the 2024 to 2047 period, as well as
estimate the equivalent annual value (EAV) of the flow of the
compliance costs over this period. The EAV represents a flow of
constant annual values that, had they occurred annually, would yield a
sum equivalent to the PV. All dollars are in 2019 dollars. We estimate
the PV and EAV using discount rates of 2 percent, 3 percent, and 7
percent.\999\ The PV of compliance costs discounted at the 2 percent
rate is estimated to be about 19 billion, with an EAV of about 0.98
billion. At the 3 percent rate, the PV of compliance costs is estimated
to be about 15 billion, with an EAV of about 0.91 billion. At the 7
percent discount rate, the PV of compliance costs is estimated to be
about 7.5 billion, with an EAV of about 0.65 billion. To put this in
perspective, this levelized compliance cost is roughly one percent of
the total projected levelized cost to produce electricity over the same
timeframe under the baseline.
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\999\ Results using the 2 percent discount rate were not
included in the proposals for these actions. The 2003 version of
OMB's Circular A-4 had generally recommended 3 percent and 7 percent
as default rates to discount social costs and benefits. The analysis
of the proposed rules used these two recommended rates. In November
2023, OMB finalized an update to Circular A-4, in which it
recommended the general application of a 2 percent rate to discount
social costs and benefits (subject to regular updates). The Circular
A-4 update also recommended consideration of the shadow price of
capital when costs or benefits are likely to accrue to capital. As a
result of the update to Circular A-4, we include cost and benefits
results calculated using a 2 percent discount rate.
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Section 3 of the RIA presents detailed discussions of the
compliance cost projections for the final rule requirements, as well as
projections of compliance costs for less and more stringent regulatory
options.
C. Economic and Energy Impacts
These final actions have economic and energy market implications.
The energy impact estimates presented here reflect the EPA's
illustrative analysis of the final rules. States are afforded
flexibility to implement the final rules, and thus the estimated
impacts could be different to the extent states make different choices
than those assumed in the illustrative analysis. In addition, as
discussed in section VII.E.1 of this preamble, the factors driving
these impacts, including potential revenue streams for captured carbon,
may change over the next 25 years, leading the estimated impacts to be
different than reality. Table 5 presents a variety of energy market
impact estimates for 2028, 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045 for the
illustrative final rules scenario, relative to the baseline.
Table 5--Summary of Certain Energy Market Impacts for the Illustrative Final Rules Scenario, Relative to the
Baseline
[Percent change]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2028 (%) 2030 (%) 2035 (%) 2040 (%) 2045 (%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Retail electricity prices...................... -1 0 1 0 1
Average price of coal delivered to power sector -1 -1 0 0 -32
Coal production for power sector use........... -6 -4 -21 15 -84
Price of natural gas delivered to power sector. -2 0 3 0 0
Price of average Henry Hub (spot).............. -2 -1 3 0 0
[[Page 40006]]
Natural gas use for electricity generation..... -1 -2 4 0 2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
These and other energy market impacts are discussed more
extensively in section 3 of the RIA.
More broadly, changes in production in a directly regulated sector
may have effects on other markets when output from that sector--for
these rules, electricity--is used as an input in the production of
other goods. It may also affect upstream industries that supply goods
and services to the sector, along with labor and capital markets, as
these suppliers alter production processes in response to changes in
factor prices. In addition, households may change their demand for
particular goods and services due to changes in the price of
electricity and other final goods prices. Economy-wide models--and,
more specifically, computable general equilibrium (CGE) models--are
analytical tools that can be used to evaluate the broad impacts of a
regulatory action. A CGE-based approach to cost estimation concurrently
considers the effect of a regulation across all sectors in the economy.
In 2015, the EPA established a Science Advisory Board (SAB) panel
to consider the technical merits and challenges of using economy-wide
models to evaluate costs, benefits, and economic impacts in regulatory
analysis. In its final report, the SAB recommended that the EPA begin
to integrate CGE modeling into applicable regulatory analysis to offer
a more comprehensive assessment of the effects of air
regulations.\1000\ In response to the SAB's recommendations, the EPA
developed a new CGE model called SAGE designed for use in regulatory
analysis. A second SAB panel performed a peer review of SAGE, and the
review concluded in 2020.\1001\
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\1000\ U.S. EPA. 2017. SAB Advice on the Use of Economy-Wide
Models in Evaluating the Social Costs, Benefits, and Economic
Impacts of Air Regulations. EPA-SAB-17-012.
\1001\ U.S. EPA. 2020. Technical Review of EPA's Computable
General Equilibrium Model, SAGE. EPA-SAB-20-010.
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The EPA used SAGE to evaluate potential economy-wide impacts of
these final rules, and the results are contained in section 5.2 of the
RIA. Note that SAGE does not currently estimate changes in emissions
nor account for environmental benefits. The annualized social cost
estimated in SAGE for the finalized rules is approximately $1.32
billion (2019 dollars) between 2024 and 2047 using a 4.5 percent
discount rate that is consistent with the internal discount rate in the
model. Under the assumption that compliance costs from IPM in 2056
continue until 2081, the equivalent annualized value for social costs
in the SAGE model is $1.51 billion (2019 dollars) over the period from
2024 to 2081, again using a 4.5 percent discount rate that is
consistent with the internal discount rate of the model. The social
cost estimate reflects the combined effect of the final rules'
requirements and interactions with IRA subsidies for specific
technologies that are expected to see increased use in response to the
final rules. We are not able to identify their relative roles
currently.
At proposal, the EPA solicited comment on the SAGE analysis
presented in the RIA appendix. The SAGE analysis of the final rules is
responsive to those comments. The comments received were supportive of
the use of SAGE for estimating economy-wide social costs and other
economy-wide impacts alongside the IPM-based cost and benefit
estimates. The comments also suggested a variety of sensitivity
analyses and several longer-term research goals for improving the
capabilities of SAGE, such as adding a representation of emissions
changes. For more detailed comment summaries and responses, see the
response to comments in the docket for these actions.
Environmental regulation may affect groups of workers differently,
as changes in abatement and other compliance activities cause labor and
other resources to shift. An employment impact analysis describes the
characteristics of groups of workers potentially affected by a
regulation, as well as labor market conditions in affected occupations,
industries, and geographic areas. Employment impacts of these final
actions are discussed more extensively in section 5 of the RIA.
D. Benefits
This section includes the estimated total benefits and the
estimated net benefits of the final rules.
1. Total Benefits
Pursuant to E.O. 12866, the RIA for these actions analyzes the
benefits associated with the projected emission changes under the final
rules to inform the EPA and the public about these projected impacts.
These final rules are projected to reduce national emissions of
CO2, SO2, NOX, and PM2.5,
which we estimate will provide climate benefits and public health
benefits. The potential climate, health, welfare, and water quality
impacts of these emission changes are discussed in detail in the RIA.
In the RIA, the EPA presents the projected monetized climate benefits
due to reductions in CO2 emissions and the monetized health
benefits attributable to changes in SO2, NOX, and
PM2.5 emissions, based on the emissions estimates in
illustrative scenarios described previously. We monetize benefits of
the final rules and evaluate other costs in part to enable a comparison
of costs and benefits pursuant to E.O. 12866, but we recognize that
there are substantial uncertainties and limitations in monetizing
benefits, including benefits that have not been quantified or
monetized.
We emphasize that the monetized benefits analysis is entirely
distinct from the statutory BSER determinations finalized herein and is
presented solely for the purposes of complying with E.O. 12866. As
discussed in more detail in the proposal and earlier in this action,
the EPA weighed the relevant statutory factors to determine the
appropriate standards and did not rely on the monetized benefits
analysis for purposes of determining the standards. E.O. 12866
separately requires the EPA to perform a benefit-cost analysis,
including monetizing costs and benefits where practicable, and the EPA
has conducted such an analysis.
The EPA estimates the climate benefits of GHG emissions reductions
expected from the final rules using estimates of the social cost of
greenhouse gases (SC-GHG) that reflect recent advances in the
scientific
[[Page 40007]]
literature on climate change and its economic impacts and that
incorporate recommendations made by the National Academies of Science,
Engineering, and Medicine.\1002\ The EPA published and used these
estimates in the RIA for the Final Oil and Gas Rulemaking, Standards of
Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions
Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate
Review, which was signed by the EPA Administrator on December 2,
2023.\1003\ The EPA solicited public comment on the methodology and use
of these estimates in the RIA for the Agency's December 2022 Oil and
Gas Supplemental Proposal and has conducted an external peer review of
these estimates, as described further below. Section 4 of the RIA lays
out the details of the updated SC-GHG used within this final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1002\ National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
(National Academies). 2017. Valuing Climate Damages: Updating
Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide. National Academies
Press.
\1003\ U.S. EPA. (2023). Supplementary Material for the
Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final Rulemaking, Standards of
Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas
Sector Climate Review, ``Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse
Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.''
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The SC-GHG is the monetary value of the net harm to society
associated with a marginal increase in GHG emissions in a given year,
or the benefit of avoiding that increase. In principle, SC-GHG includes
the value of all climate change impacts (both negative and positive),
including (but not limited to) changes in net agricultural
productivity, human health effects, property damage from increased
flood risk and natural disasters, disruption of energy systems, risk of
conflict, environmental migration, and the value of ecosystem services.
The SC-GHG, therefore, reflects the societal value of reducing
emissions of the gas in question by 1 metric ton and is the
theoretically appropriate value to use in conducting benefit-cost
analyses of policies that affect GHG emissions. In practice, data and
modeling limitations restrain the ability of SC-GHG estimates to
include all physical, ecological, and economic impacts of climate
change, implicitly assigning a value of zero to the omitted climate
damages. The estimates are, therefore, a partial accounting of climate
change impacts and likely underestimate the marginal benefits of
abatement.
Since 2008, the EPA has used estimates of the social cost of
various greenhouse gases (i.e., SC-CO2, SC-CH4,
and SC-N2O), collectively referred to as the ``social cost
of greenhouse gases'' (SC-GHG), in analyses of actions that affect GHG
emissions. The values used by the EPA from 2009 to 2016, and since
2021--including in the proposal--have been consistent with those
developed and recommended by the IWG on the SC-GHG; and the values used
from 2017 to 2020 were consistent with those required by E.O. 13783,
which disbanded the IWG. During 2015-2017, the National Academies
conducted a comprehensive review of the SC-CO2 and issued a
final report in 2017 recommending specific criteria for future updates
to the SC-CO2 estimates, a modeling framework to satisfy the
specified criteria, and both near-term updates and longer-term research
needs pertaining to various components of the estimation process.\1004\
The IWG was reconstituted in 2021 and E.O. 13990 directed it to develop
a comprehensive update of its SC-GHG estimates, recommendations
regarding areas of decision-making to which SC-GHG should be applied,
and a standardized review and updating process to ensure that the
recommended estimates continue to be based on the best available
economics and science going forward.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1004\ Ibid.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is a member of the IWG and is participating in the IWG's
work under E.O. 13990. As noted in previous EPA RIAs (including in the
proposal RIA for this rulemaking), while that process continues, the
EPA is continuously reviewing developments in the scientific literature
on the SC-GHG, including more robust methodologies for estimating
damages from emissions, and is looking for opportunities to further
improve SC-GHG estimation.\1005\ In the December 2022 Oil and Gas
Supplemental Proposal RIA,\1006\ the Agency included a sensitivity
analysis of the climate benefits of that rule using a new set of SC-GHG
estimates that incorporates recent research addressing recommendations
of the National Academies \1007\ in addition to using the interim SC-
GHG estimates presented in the Technical Support Document: Social Cost
of Carbon, Methane, and Nitrous Oxide Interim Estimates under Executive
Order 13990 \1008\ that the IWG recommended for use until updated
estimates that address the National Academies' recommendations are
available.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1005\ The EPA strives to base its analyses on the best
available science and economics, consistent with its
responsibilities, for example, under the Information Quality Act.
\1006\ U.S. EPA. (2023). Supplementary Material for the
Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final Rulemaking, Standards of
Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas
Sector Climate Review, ``Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse
Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.''
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
\1007\ Ibid.
\1008\ Interagency Working Group on Social Cost of Carbon (IWG).
2021 (February). Technical Support Document: Social Cost of Carbon,
Methane, and Nitrous Oxide: Interim Estimates under Executive Order
13990. United States Government.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA solicited public comment on the sensitivity analysis and
the accompanying draft technical report, External Review Draft of
Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating
Recent Scientific Advances, which explains the methodology underlying
the new set of estimates and was included as supplemental material to
the RIA for the December 2022 Oil and Gas Supplemental Proposal.\1009\
The response to comments document can be found in the docket for that
action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1009\ Supplementary Material for the Regulatory Impact Analysis
for the Final Rulemaking, Standards of Performance for New,
Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and Emissions Guidelines for
Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas Sector Climate Review,
``Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates
Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances,'' Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-
OAR-2021-0317, November 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To ensure that the methodological updates adopted in the technical
report are consistent with economic theory and reflect the latest
science, the EPA also initiated an external peer review panel to
conduct a high-quality review of the technical report, completed in May
2023. The peer reviewers commended the Agency on its development of the
draft update, calling it a much-needed improvement in estimating the
SC-GHG and a significant step toward addressing the National Academies'
recommendations with defensible modeling choices based on current
science. The peer reviewers provided numerous recommendations for
refining the presentation and for future modeling improvements,
especially with respect to climate change impacts and associated
damages that are not currently included in the analysis. Additional
discussion of omitted impacts and other updates were incorporated in
the technical report to address peer reviewer recommendations. Complete
information about the external peer review, including the peer reviewer
selection process, the final report with individual recommendations
from peer reviewers, and the EPA's response to each recommendation is
available on
[[Page 40008]]
the EPA's website.\1010\ An overview of the methodological updates
incorporated into the new SC-GHG estimates is provided in the RIA
section 4.2. A more detailed explanation of each input and the modeling
process is provided in the technical report, EPA Report on the Social
Cost of Greenhouse Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific
Advances.\1011\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1010\ https://www.epa.gov/environmental-economics/scghg-tsd-peer-review.
\1011\ U.S. EPA (2023). Supplementary Material for the
Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final Rulemaking, Standards of
Performance for New, Reconstructed, and Modified Sources and
Emissions Guidelines for Existing Sources: Oil and Natural Gas
Sector Climate Review, ``Report on the Social Cost of Greenhouse
Gases: Estimates Incorporating Recent Scientific Advances.''
Washington, DC: U.S. EPA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to CO2, these final rules are expected to
reduce annual, national total emissions of NOX and
SO2 and direct PM2.5. Because NOX and
SO2 are also precursors to secondary formation of ambient
PM2.5, reducing these emissions would reduce human exposure
to annual average ambient PM2.5 and would reduce the
incidence of PM2.5-attributable health effects. These final
rules are also expected to reduce national ozone season NOX
emissions. In the presence of sunlight, NOX and VOCs can
undergo a chemical reaction in the atmosphere to form ozone. Reducing
NOX emissions in most locations reduces human exposure to
ozone and the incidence of ozone-related health effects, though the
degree to which ozone is reduced will depend in part on local
concentration levels of VOCs. The RIA estimates the health benefits of
changes in PM2.5 and ozone concentrations. The health effect
endpoints, effect estimates, benefit unit-values, and how they were
selected are described in the Estimating PM2.5- and Ozone-Attributable
Health Benefits TSD.\1012\ Our approach for updating the endpoints and
to identify suitable epidemiologic studies, baseline incidence rates,
population demographics, and valuation estimates is summarized in
section 4 of the RIA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1012\ U.S. EPA. (2023). Estimating PM2.5- and Ozone-
Attributable Health Benefits. Research Triangle Park, NC: U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, Health and Environmental Impact Division.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following PV and EAV estimates reflect projected benefits over
the 2024 to 2047 period, discounted to 2024 in 2019 dollars, for the
analysis of the final rules. We monetize benefits of the final rules
and evaluate other costs in part to enable a comparison of costs and
benefits pursuant to E.O. 12866, but we recognize that there are
substantial uncertainties and limitations in monetizing benefits,
including benefits that have not been quantified. The projected PV of
monetized climate benefits is about $270 billion, with an EAV of about
$14 billion using the SC-CO2 discounted at 2 percent.\1013\
The projected PV of monetized health benefits is about $120 billion,
with an EAV of about $6.3 billion discounted at 2 percent. Combining
the projected monetized climate and health benefits yields a total PV
estimate of about $390 billion and EAV estimate of $21 billion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1013\ Monetized climate benefits are discounted using a 2
percent discount rate, consistent with the EPA's updated estimates
of the SC-CO2. The 2003 version of OMB's Circular A-4 had
generally recommended 3 percent and 7 percent as default discount
rates for costs and benefits, though as part of the Interagency
Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases, OMB had also
long recognized that climate effects should be discounted only at
appropriate consumption-based discount rates. In November 2023, OMB
finalized an update to Circular A-4, in which it recommended the
general application of a 2 percent discount rate to costs and
benefits (subject to regular updates), as well as the consideration
of the shadow price of capital when costs or benefits are likely to
accrue to capital (OMB 2023). Because the SC-CO2
estimates reflect net climate change damages in terms of reduced
consumption (or monetary consumption equivalents), the use of the
social rate of return on capital (7 percent under OMB Circular A-4
(2003)) to discount damages estimated in terms of reduced
consumption would inappropriately underestimate the impacts of
climate change for the purposes of estimating the SC-CO2.
See section 4.2 of the RIA for more discussion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
At a 3 percent discount rate, these final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $100
billion, with an EAV of about $6.1 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this benefits analysis and are estimated to
be about $270 billion, with an EAV of about $14 billion using the SC-
CO2. Thus, these final rules would generate a PV of
monetized benefits of about $370 billion, with an EAV of about $20
billion discounted at a 3 percent rate.
At a 7 percent discount rate, these final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $59
billion, with an EAV of about $5.2 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this benefits analysis and are estimated to
be about $270 billion, with an EAV of about $14 billion using the SC-
CO2. Thus, these final rules would generate a PV of
monetized benefits of about $330 billion, with an EAV of about $19
billion discounted at a 7 percent rate.
The results presented in this section provide an incomplete
overview of the effects of the final rules. The monetized climate
benefits estimates do not include important benefits that we are unable
to fully monetize due to data and modeling limitations. In addition,
important health, welfare, and water quality benefits anticipated under
these final rules are not quantified. We anticipate that taking non-
monetized effects into account would show the total benefits of the
final rules to be greater than this section reflects. Discussion of the
non-monetized health, climate, welfare, and water quality benefits is
found in section 4 of the RIA.
2. Net Benefits
The final rules are projected to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in
the form of CO2, producing a projected PV of monetized
climate benefits of about $270 billion, with an EAV of about $14
billion using the SC-CO2 discounted at 2 percent. The final
rules are also projected to reduce emissions of NOX,
SO2 and direct PM2.5 leading to national health
benefits from PM2.5 and ozone in most years, producing a
projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $120 billion, with
an EAV of about $6.3 billion discounted at 2 percent. Thus, these final
rules are expected to generate a PV of monetized benefits of $390
billion, with an EAV of $21 billion discounted at a 2 percent rate. The
PV of the projected compliance costs are $19 billion, with an EAV of
about $0.98 billion discounted at 2 percent. Combining the projected
benefits with the projected compliance costs yields a net benefit PV
estimate of about $370 billion and EAV of about $20 billion.
At a 3 percent discount rate, the final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $100
billion, with an EAV of about $6.1 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net benefits analysis. Thus, the final
rules would generate a PV of monetized benefits of about $370 billion,
with an EAV of about $20 billion discounted at 3 percent. The PV of the
projected compliance costs are about $15 billion, with an EAV of $0.91
billion discounted at 3 percent. Combining the projected benefits with
the projected compliance costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $360 billion and an EAV of about $19 billion.
At a 7 percent discount rate, the final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $59
billion, with an EAV of about $5.2 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net benefits analysis. Thus, the final
rules would generate a PV of monetized benefits of about $330 billion,
with an EAV of about $19 billion discounted at 7 percent. The PV of the
projected compliance costs are about $7.5 billion,
[[Page 40009]]
with an EAV of $0.65 billion discounted at 7 percent. Combining the
projected benefits with the projected compliance costs yields a net
benefit PV estimate of about $320 billion and an EAV of about $19
billion.
See section 7 of the RIA for additional information on the
estimated net benefits of these rules.
E. Environmental Justice Analytical Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
For this action, the analysis described in this section and in the
RIA is presented for the purpose of providing the public with an
analysis of potential EJ concerns associated with these rulemakings,
consistent with E.O. 14096. This analysis did not inform the
determinations made to support the final rules.
The EPA defines EJ as ``the just treatment and meaningful
involvement of all people regardless of income, race, color, national
origin, Tribal affiliation, or disability, in agency decision-making
and other Federal activities that affect human health and the
environment so that people: (i) Are fully protected from
disproportionate and adverse human health and environmental effects
(including risks) and hazards, including those related to climate
change, the cumulative impacts of environmental and other burdens, and
the legacy of racism or other structural or systemic barriers; and (ii)
have equitable access to a healthy, sustainable, and resilient
environment in which to live, play, work, learn, grow, worship, and
engage in cultural and subsistence practices.'' \1014\ In recognizing
that particular communities of EJ concern often bear an unequal burden
of environmental harms and risks, the EPA continues to consider ways of
protecting them from adverse public health and environmental effects of
air pollution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1014\ https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/04/26/2023-08955/revitalizing-our-nations-commitment-to-environmental-justice-for-all.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Analytical Considerations
For purposes of analyzing regulatory impacts, the EPA relies upon
its June 2016 ``Technical Guidance for Assessing Environmental Justice
in Regulatory Analysis,'' \1015\ which provides recommendations that
encourage analysts to conduct the highest quality analysis feasible,
recognizing that data limitations, time, resource constraints, and
analytical challenges will vary by media and circumstance. The
Technical Guidance states that a regulatory action may involve
potential EJ concerns if it could: (1) Create new disproportionate
impacts on communities with EJ concerns; (2) exacerbate existing
disproportionate impacts on communities with EJ concerns; or (3)
present opportunities to address existing disproportionate impacts on
communities with EJ concerns through this action under development.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1015\ See https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice/technical-guidance-assessing-environmental-justice-regulatory-analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA's EJ technical guidance states that ``[t]he analysis of
potential EJ concerns for regulatory actions should address three
questions: (1) Are there potential EJ concerns associated with
environmental stressors affected by the regulatory action for
population groups of concern in the baseline? (2) Are there potential
EJ concerns associated with environmental stressors affected by the
regulatory action for population groups of concern for the regulatory
option(s) under consideration? (3) For the regulatory option(s) under
consideration, are potential EJ concerns created or mitigated compared
to the baseline?'' \1016\
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\1016\ See https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice/technical-guidance-assessing-environmental-justice-regulatory-analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To address these questions in the context of these final rules, the
EPA developed a unique analytical approach that considers the purpose
and specifics of these rulemakings, as well as the nature of known and
potential disproportionate and adverse exposures and impacts. However,
due to data limitations, it is possible that our analysis failed to
identify disparities that may exist, such as potential EJ
characteristics (e.g., residence of historically redlined areas),
environmental impacts (e.g., other ozone metrics), and more granular
spatial resolutions (e.g., neighborhood scale) that were not evaluated.
Also due to data and resource limitations, we discuss climate EJ
impacts of this action qualitatively (section 6.3 of the RIA).
For these rules, we employ two types of analysis to respond to the
previous three questions: proximity analyses and exposure analyses.
Both types of analysis can inform whether there are potential EJ
concerns for population groups of concern in the baseline (question
1).\1017\ In contrast, only the exposure analyses, which are based on
future air quality modeling, can inform whether there will be potential
EJ concerns due to the implementation of the regulatory options under
consideration (question 2) and whether potential EJ concerns will be
created or mitigated compared to the baseline (question 3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1017\ The baseline for proximity analyses is current population
information, whereas the baseline for ozone exposure analyses are
the future years in which the regulatory options will be implemented
(e.g., 2023 and 2026).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In section 6 of the RIA, we utilize the two types of analysis to
address the three EJ questions by quantitatively evaluating: (1) the
proximity of affected facilities to populations of potential EJ concern
(section 6.4); and (2) the potential for disproportionate ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations in the baseline and concentration
changes after rule implementation across different demographic groups
on the basis of race, ethnicity, poverty status, employment status,
health insurance status, life expectancy, redlining, Tribal land, age,
sex, educational attainment, and degree of linguistic isolation
(section 6.5). It is important to note that due to the corresponding
small magnitude of the ozone and PM2.5 concentration changes
relative to the baseline concentrations in each modeled future year,
these rules are expected to have a small impact on the distribution of
exposures across each demographic group. Each of these analyses should
be considered independently of each other as each was performed to
answer separate questions and is associated with unique limitations and
uncertainties.
a. Proximity Analyses
Baseline demographic proximity analyses can be relevant for
identifying populations that may be exposed to local environmental
stressors, such as local NO2 and SO2 emitted from
affected sources in these final rules, traffic, or noise. The Agency
has conducted a demographic analysis of the populations living near
facilities impacted by these rules including 114 facilities for which
the EPA is unaware of existing retirement plans by 2032, 23 facilities
(a subset of the 114 facilities) with known retirement plans between
2033-2040, and 94 facilities (also a subset of the 114 facilities)
without known retirement plans before 2040. The baseline analysis
indicates that on average the populations living within 5 km and 10 km
of 114 facilities impacted by the final rules without announced
retirement by 2032 have a higher percentage of the population that is
American Indian, below the Federal poverty level, and below two times
the Federal poverty level than the national average. In addition, the
population living within 50 kilometers of the same 114 facilities has a
higher percentage of the population that is Black. Relating these
results to EJ question 1, we conclude that there may be potential EJ
concerns associated with directly emitted pollutants that are affected
by
[[Page 40010]]
the regulatory actions for certain population groups of concern in the
baseline (question 1). However, as proximity to affected facilities
does not capture variation in baseline exposures across communities,
nor does it indicate that any exposures or impacts will occur, these
results should not be interpreted as a direct measure of exposure
impact. The full results of the demographic analysis can be found in
RIA section 6.4. The methodology and the results of the demographic
analysis for the final rules are presented in a technical report,
Analysis of Demographic Factors for Populations Living Near Coal-Fired
Electric Generating Units (EGUs) for the Section 111 NSPS and Emissions
Guidelines--Final, available in the docket for these actions.
b. Exposure Analyses
While the exposure analyses can respond to all three EJ questions,
correctly interpreting the results requires an understanding of several
important caveats. First, recognizing the flexibility afforded to each
state in implementing the final guidelines, the results below are based
on analysis of several illustrative compliance scenarios which
represent potential compliance outcomes in each state. This analysis
does not consider any potential impact of the meaningful engagement
provisions or all of the other protections that are in place that can
reduce the risks of localized emissions increases in a manner that is
protective of public health, safety, and the environment. It is also
important to note that the potential emissions changes discussed below
are relative to a projected baseline, and any localized decreases or
increases are subject to the uncertainty of the baseline projections
discussed in section 3.7 of the RIA. This uncertainty becomes
increasingly relevant in later years in which baseline modeling
projects substantial reductions in emissions relative to today.
Furthermore, several additional caveats should be noted that are
specific to the exposure analysis. For example, the air pollutant
exposure metrics are limited to those used in the benefits assessment.
For ozone, that is the maximum daily 8-hour average, averaged across
the April through September warm season (AS-MO3) and for
PM2.5 that is the annual average. This ozone metric likely
smooths potential daily ozone gradients and is not directly relatable
to the NAAQS whereas the PM2.5 metric is more similar to the
long-term PM2.5 standard. The air quality modeling estimates
are also based on state and fuel level emission data paired with
facility-level baseline emissions and provided at a resolution of 12
square kilometers. Additionally, here we focus on air quality changes
due to these rulemakings and infer post-policy ozone and
PM2.5 exposure burden impacts. Note, we discuss climate EJ
impacts of these actions qualitatively (section 6.3 of the RIA).
Exposure analysis results are provided in two formats: aggregated
and distributional. The aggregated results provide an overview of
potential ozone exposure differences across populations at the
national- and state-levels, while the distributional results show
detailed information about ozone concentration changes experienced by
everyone within each population.
These rules are also expected to reduce emissions of direct
PM2.5, NOX, and SO2 nationally.
Because NOX and SO2 are also precursors to
secondary formation of ambient PM2.5 and because
NOX is a precursor to ozone formation, reducing these
emissions would impact human exposure. Quantitative ozone and
PM2.5 exposure analyses can provide insight into all three
EJ questions, so they are performed to evaluate potential
disproportionate impacts of these rulemakings. Even though both the
proximity and exposure analyses can potentially improve understanding
of baseline EJ concerns (question 1), the two should not be directly
compared. This is because the demographic proximity analysis does not
include air quality information and is based on current, not future,
population information.
The baseline analysis of ozone and PM2.5 concentration
burden responds to question 1 from the EPA's EJ technical guidance more
directly than the proximity analyses, as it evaluates a form of the
environmental stressor targeted by the regulatory action. As discussed
in the RIA, our analysis indicates that baseline ozone and
PM2.5 concentration will decline substantially relative to
today's levels for all demographic groups in all future modeled years,
and these baseline levels of ozone and PM2.5 can be
considered to be relatively low. However, there are differences in
exposure among demographic groups within these relatively low levels of
baseline exposure. Baseline PM2.5 and ozone exposure
analyses show that certain populations, such as residents of redlined
census tracts, those linguistically isolated, Hispanic populations,
Asian populations, and those without a high school diploma may
experience higher ozone and PM2.5 exposures as compared to
the national average. American Indian populations, residents of Tribal
Lands, populations with higher life expectancy or with life expectancy
data unavailable, children, and unemployed populations may also
experience disproportionately higher ozone concentrations than the
reference group. Black populations may also experience
disproportionately higher PM2.5 concentrations than the
reference group. Therefore, also in response to question 1, there
likely are potential EJ concerns associated with ozone and
PM2.5 exposures affected by the regulatory actions for
population groups of concern in the baseline. However, these baseline
exposure results have not been fully explored and additional analyses
are likely needed to understand potential implications.
Relative to the low baseline levels of exposure modeled in future
years for PM2.5 and ozone, exposure analyses show that the
final rules will result in modest but widespread reductions in
PM2.5 and ozone concentrations in virtually all areas of the
country, although some limited areas may experience small increases in
ozone concentrations relative to forecasted conditions without the
rule. The extent of areas experiencing ozone increases varies among
snapshot years. Due to the small magnitude of the exposure changes
across population demographics associated with these rulemakings
relative to the magnitude of the baseline disparities, we infer that
post-policy EJ ozone and PM2.5 concentration burdens are
likely to remain after implementation of the regulatory action
(question 2).
Question 3 asks whether potential EJ concerns will be created or
mitigated compared to the baseline. Due to the very small magnitude of
differences across demographic population post-policy impacts, we do
not find evidence that disparities among communities with EJ concerns
will be exacerbated or mitigated by the regulatory alternatives under
consideration regarding PM2.5 exposures in all future years
evaluated and ozone exposures for most demographic groups in the future
years evaluated. In 2035, under the illustrative compliance scenarios
analyzed, it is possible that Asian populations, Hispanic populations,
and those linguistically isolated, and those living on Tribal land may
experience a slight exacerbation of ozone exposure disparities at the
national level (question 3), compared to baseline ozone levels.
Additionally at the national level, those living on Tribal land may
experience a slight exacerbation of ozone exposure disparities in 2040
and a slight mitigation of ozone exposure disparities in 2028 and 2030.
At the state level,
[[Page 40011]]
ozone exposure disparities may be either mitigated or exacerbated for
certain demographic groups, also to a small degree. As discussed above,
it is important to note that this analysis does not consider any
potential impact of the meaningful engagement provisions or all of the
other protections that are in place that can reduce the risks of
localized emissions increases in a manner that is protective of public
health, safety, and the environment.
2. Outreach and Engagement
As part of the regulatory development process for these
rulemakings, and consistent with directives set forth in multiple
Executive Orders, the EPA conducted extensive outreach with interested
parties including Tribal nations and communities with environmental
justice concerns. This outreach allowed the EPA to gather information
from a variety of viewpoints while also providing parties with an
overview of the EPA's work to reduce GHG emissions from the power
sector.
Prior to the May 2023 proposal, the EPA opened a public docket for
pre-proposal input.\1018\ The EPA continued to engage with interested
parties by speaking on the EPA National Community Engagement call and
the National Tribal Air Association Policy Update call in September
2022. Following publication of the proposal, the EPA hosted two
informational webinars on June 6 and 7, 2023, specially targeted
towards tribal environmental professionals, tribal nations, and
communities with environmental justice concerns. The purpose of these
webinars was to provide an overview of the proposal, information on how
to effectively engage in the regulatory process and provide the EPA an
opportunity to answer questions. The EPA held virtual public hearings
on June 13, 14, and 15, 2023, that allowed the public an opportunity to
present comments and information regarding the proposed rules.
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\1018\ EPA-HQ-OAR-2022-0723.
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The EPA recently finalized revisions to the subpart Ba implementing
regulations requiring states to conduct meaningful engagement with
pertinent stakeholders as part of the state plan development process.
The EPA underscores the importance of this part of the state plan
development process. For more detailed information on meaningful
engagement, see section X.E.1.b.i of this preamble.
F. Grid Reliability Considerations and Reliability-Related Mechanisms
1. Overview
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) is the federal
agency with vested authority to ensure reliability of the bulk power
system (16 U.S.C. 824o). FERC oversees and approves reliability
standards that are developed by NERC and then become mandatory for all
owners and operators of the bulk power system. Regional wholesale
energy markets, like RTOs, ISOs, public service commissions, balancing
authorities, and reliability coordinators all have reliability related
responsibilities. The EPA's role under the CAA section 111 is to reduce
emissions of dangerous air pollutants, including those emitted from the
electric power sector. In doing so, it has a long, and exemplary
history of ensuring its public-health-based emissions standards and
guidelines that impact the power sector are sensitive to reliability-
related issues and constructed in a manner that does not interfere with
grid operators' responsibility to deliver reliable power. The EPA met
with many entities with responsibility over the reliability of the bulk
power system in crafting these final rules to make certain the rules
will not impede their ability to ensure reliability of the bulk power
system. This section outlines the array of modifications made in these
final actions, outlined in section I.G of this preamble, that
collectively help ensure that these final actions will not interfere
with systems operators' ability to continue providing reliable power.
Additional to this suite of adjustments, the EPA is introducing both a
short-term reliability mechanism for emergency situations and a
reliability assurance mechanism available for states to include in
their state plans for additional flexibility. In response to the May
2023 proposed rule, the EPA received extensive comments regarding grid
reliability and resource adequacy from balancing authorities,
independent system operators and regional transmission organizations,
state regulators, power companies, and other stakeholders. The EPA
engaged with each of these group of commenters to garner a granular
understanding of their reliability-related concerns. Additionally, the
EPA met repeatedly with technical staff and Commissioners of FERC, DOE,
NERC, and other reliability experts during the course of this
rulemaking. At FERC's invitation, the EPA participated in FERC's Annual
Reliability Technical Conference on November 9, 2023. Further, the EPA
solicited additional comment on reliability-related mechanisms as part
of the November 2023 supplemental proposed rule.
Comment: Several comments from grid operators raised the concern
that the proposed rules have the potential to trigger material negative
impacts to grid reliability. Concerns coalesced around the loss of firm
dispatchable assets which they view as outpacing the development and
interconnection of new assets that do not possess commensurate
reliability attributes. Other commenters maintained that the proposals
included adequate lead times for reliability planning, and that
reliability attributes are currently sourced by a collection of assets,
and as such a collection of future assets will be able to provide the
requisite reliability attributes. Some commenters also asserted that
the proposals would actually improve transparency around unit-specific
decisions, which are often not communicated transparently with adequate
notice, leading to a better reliability planning process.
Response: These final rules include a number of flexibilities and
rule adjustments that will accommodate appropriate planning decisions
by affected sources, system planners, and reliability authorities in a
way that allows for the continued reliable operation of the electric
grid. These final actions also include adjustments and improvements,
with specific provisions related to compliance timing and system
emergencies, that address reliability concerns. The rules do not
interfere with ongoing efforts by key stakeholders to appropriately
plan for an evolving electric system. The EPA agrees that transparency
around unit-specific planning is of paramount importance to enabling
systems operators advanced notice to plan for continued reliable bulk
power operations.
The EPA initiated follow-up conversations with all balancing
authorities and systems operators that submitted public comments to
ensure a granular and thorough understanding of all reliability-related
concerns raised in response to the proposed rules. In addition, the EPA
solicited additional comment on reliability related mechanisms in the
supplemental proposal issued in November 2023. The EPA examined the
record carefully and responded with a suite of changes to the proposal
that, though not always explicitly directed at addressing concerns
raised with respect to reliability, nonetheless collectively help
ensure EPA's rules will not interfere
[[Page 40012]]
with grid operators' responsibilities to provide reliable power.
As discussed earlier in this preamble, the EPA is finalizing
several adjustments to provisions in the proposed rules that address
reliability concerns and ensure that these rules provide adequate
flexibilities and assurance mechanisms that allow grid operators to
continue to fulfill their responsibilities to maintain the reliability
of the bulk-power system. These adjustments include restructuring the
subcategories for coal-fired steam generating EGUs: the EPA is not
finalizing the proposed imminent or near term subcategory structure
which should provide states with a wider planning latitude, and units
with cease operations dates prior to January 1, 2032 are not regulated
by this final rule. Importantly, the compliance timeline for installing
CCS in the long-term subcategory has been extended by an additional 2
years. The EPA is not finalizing the 30 percent hydrogen co-firing BSER
for the intermediate subcategory for new combustion turbines. These
changes facilitate reliability planning and operations by providing
more lead time for CCS installation-related compliance. The adjusted
scope of these actions also provides additional time for the EPA to
consult with a broad range of stakeholders, including grid operators,
to deliberate and determine the best way to address emissions from
existing gas turbines while respecting their contribution to electric
reliability in the foreseeable future. In addition to these
adjustments, as detailed in section X.D of this preamble, the EPA is
offering states a suite of voluntary compliance flexibilities that
could be used to address reliability concerns. These compliance
flexibilities include clarifying the circumstances under which it may
be appropriate for states to employ RULOF to establish source specific
standards of performance and compliance schedules for affected EGUs to
address reliability, allowing emission averaging, trading, and unit-
specific mass-based compliance mechanisms for certain subcategories--
provided that they achieve an equivalent level of emission reduction
consistent with the application of individual rate-based standards of
performance, and, for certain mechanisms, that they include a backstop
emission rate, and offering a compliance date extension for affected
new and existing EGUs that encounter unanticipated delays with control
technology implementation.
The EPA believes the adjustments made to the final rules outlined
above are sufficient to ensure the rules can be implemented without
impairing the ability of grid operators to deliver reliable power. The
EPA is nonetheless finalizing additional reliability-related
instruments to provide further certainty that implementation of these
final rules will not intrude on grid operators' ability to ensure
reliability. The short-term reliability mechanism is available for both
new and existing units and is designed to provide additional
flexibility through an alternative compliance strategy during acute
system emergencies that threaten reliability. The reliability assurance
mechanism will be available for existing units that intend to cease
operating, but, for unforeseen reasons, need to temporarily remain
online to support reliability beyond the planned cease operation date.
This reliability assurance mechanism, which requires a specific and
adequate showing of reliability need that is satisfactory to the EPA,
is intended for circumstances where there is insufficient time to
complete a state plan revision, and it is limited to the amount of time
substantiated, which may not exceed 1 year. The EPA intends to consult
with FERC for advice on applications of reliability need that exceed 6
months. These instruments will be presumptively approvable, provided
they meet the requirements defined in these emission guidelines, if
states choose to incorporate them into their plans.
Comment: Commenters from industry and grid operators expressed
support for the inclusion of a requirement that states include in their
state plans a demonstration of consultation with all relevant
reliability authorities to facilitate planning. Other commenters
asserted that the proposals included sufficient coordination with
reliability authorities, through the Initial Reporting Milestone Status
Report requirements.
Response: The EPA agrees that planning for reliability is
critically important. Indeed, all stakeholders generally agree that
effective planning is essential to ensuring electric reliability is
maintained.\1019\ State planning, including coordination and
transparency across jurisdictions, is particularly important given that
state plans in one jurisdiction can impact the reliability and resource
adequacy of other system operators. The EPA is finalizing, as part of
the state plan development process, that states are required to conduct
meaningful engagement with stakeholders. As part of this required
meaningful engagement, states are strongly encouraged to consult with
the relevant balancing authorities and reliability coordinators for
their affected sources and to share available unit-specific
requirements and compliance information in a timely fashion. Sharing
regulatory requirements and unit-specific compliance information with
balancing authorities and reliability coordinators in a timely manner
will promote early and informed reliability planning. Strong system-
planning processes of utility transmission companies and RTOs are among
the most important tools to assure that reliability will not be
adversely affected by regulations.1020 1021 A robust
planning process that recognizes the different roles of states and
their relevant balancing authorities, transmission planners, and
reliability coordinators should help to identify potential resource
adequacy or reliability issues early in the state planning process.
States will also be able to address reliability-related issues through
a revision in their state plan, including to address issues that were
not foreseen during the state planning process.
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\1019\ ``Electric System Reliability and EPA Regulation of GHG
Emissions from Power Plants: 2023,'' Susan Tierney, Analysis Group,
November 7, 2023.
\1020\ ``Electric System Reliability and EPA Regulation of GHG
Emissions from Power Plants: 2023,'' Susan Tierney, November 7,
2023.
\1021\ ``Modernizing Governance: Key to Electric Grid
Reliability'', Kleinman Center for Energy Policy, University of
Pennsylvania, March 2024.
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In addition to these measures, DOE has authority pursuant to
section 202(c) of the Federal Power Act to, on its own motion or by
request, order, among other things, the temporary generation of
electricity from particular sources in certain emergency conditions,
including during events that would result in a shortage of electric
energy, when the Secretary of Energy determines that doing so will meet
the emergency and serve the public interest. An affected source
operating pursuant to such an order is deemed not to be operating in
violation of its environmental requirements. Such orders may be issued
for 90 days and may be extended in 90-day increments after consultation
with EPA. DOE has historically issued section 202(c) orders at the
request of electric generators and grid operators such as RTOs in order
to enable the supply of additional generation in times of expected
emergency-related generation shortfalls.
Congress provided section 202(c) as the primary mechanism to ensure
that when generation is needed to meet an emergency, environmental
protections will not prevent a source from meeting that need. To date,
section 202(c) has worked well, allowing, for example,
[[Page 40013]]
additional generation to come online to meet demand in the California
Independent System Operator and PJM territories in 2022.\1022\ Section
202(c) has also been used to allow generators to remain online pending
completion of infrastructure needed to facilitate reliable replacement
of those generators. The EPA continues to believe that section 202(c)
is an effective mechanism for meeting the purpose of ensuring that all
physically available generation will be available as needed to meet an
emergency situation, regardless of environmental regulatory
constraints. Given the heightened concerns about reliability expressed
by commenters in the context of this rule and ongoing changes in the
electricity sector, however, this final action includes an additional
supplemental short-term reliability mechanism that states may elect to
include in their state plans. States that adopt this mechanism could
make it available for sources to use without needing action by DOE
under section 202(c). Of course, section 202(c) would continue to be
available for sources subject to this rule for emergency situations
where EPA's short-term reliability mechanism would not apply.
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\1022\ DOE. DOE's Use of Federal Power Act Emergency Authority.
https://www.energy.gov/ceser/does-use-federal-power-act-emergency-authority.
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Many electric reliability and bulk-power system authorities,
including FERC and the regulated wholesale markets, are actively
engaged in activities to ensure the reliability of the transmission
grid, while paying careful attention to the changing resource mix and
the ongoing trends in the power sector.1023 1024 There are
multiple agencies and entities that have some authority and
responsibility to ensure electric reliability. These include state
utility commissions, balancing authorities, reliability coordinators,
DOE, FERC, and NERC. The EPA's central mission is to protect human
health and the environment and the EPA does not have direct authority
or responsibility to ensure electric reliability. Still, the EPA
believes reliability of the bulk power system is of paramount
importance, and has included additional measures in these final actions
that are delineated throughout this section, evaluated the resource
adequacy implications in the final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis, and
conducted capacity expansion modeling of the final rules in a manner
that takes into account resource adequacy needs. Additionally, the EPA
performed a variety of other sensitivity analyses including an
examination of higher electricity demand (many areas are reporting
accelerated load growth forecasts due to data centers, increased
manufacturing, crypto currency, electrification and other factors) and
the impact of the EPA's additional regulatory actions affecting the
power sector. These sensitivity analyses indicate that, in the context
of higher demand and other pending power sector rules, the industry has
available pathways to comply with this rule that respect NERC
reliability considerations and constraints. These results are detailed
in the technical memoranda in the docket titled, IPM Sensitivity Runs
and Resource Adequacy Analysis: Vehicle Rules, Final 111 EGU Rules,
ELG, and MATS.
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\1023\ See Resource Adequacy Analysis document for further
analysis and exploration of these important elements.
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The EPA has carefully examined all comments related to reliability
that were submitted during the public comment period for the proposal
and for the supplemental notice. The Agency has engaged in dialogue
with each of the balancing authorities regarding the content of their
submitted comments. Based on this extensive engagement and
consultation, the Agency's analysis of the impacts of these rules, and
the various features of this rule that will work in tandem to ensure
the standards and emission guidelines finalized here are achievable and
can respond to future reliability and resource adequacy needs, the EPA
has concluded these final rules will not interfere with grid operators'
ability to continue delivering reliable power.
The EPA received a range of opinions during the comment process,
and also during FERC's Annual Reliability Conference, some of which
expressed that the proposed rule could provide a net benefit to
reliability planning given the enhanced visibility into unit-specific
compliance plans.\1025\ This section discusses the additional
compliance flexibilities and reliability instruments that have been
included in these final rules.
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\1025\ ``In the current environment, grid operators are unsure
about when resources may retire, increasing uncertainty and making
planning harder. The proposed rules have long timelines for
enactment, giving states, utilities, and grid operators plenty of
time to plan for the transition.'' From ``Prepared Statement of Ric
O'Connell Executive Director, GridLab,'' Testimony before FERC
Annual Reliability Technical Conference on November 9, 2023.
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The EPA has carefully considered the importance of reliability of
the bulk-power system in developing these final rules. Stakeholders
have recognized the EPA's long and successful history of ensuring its
power sector rules are crafted to deliver significant public health
benefits while not impairing the ability of grid operators to ensure
reliable power.\1026\ The entities responsible for ensuring
reliability, which encompass electric utilities, RTOs and ISOs,
reliability coordinators, other grid operators, utility and non-utility
energy companies, and Federal and state regulators, have also
historically met challenges in navigating power sector environmental
obligations while maintaining reliability.\1027\
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\1026\ ``Electric System Reliability and EPA Regulation of GHG
Emissions from Power Plants,'' Susan Tierney, November 7, 2023.
\1027\ ``Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions From Existing Power
Plants: Options to Ensure Electric System Reliability,'' Susan
Tierney, May 2014.
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2. Compliance Flexibilities for New and Existing Affected EGUs
These final rules include three key compliance flexibilities for
new and existing sources and reliability coordinators so that they can
continue to plan for the reliable operation of the electric system;
RULOF, emissions averaging and trading, and compliance extensions of up
to 1 year for units installing control technology. As discussed in
section X.C.2 of this preamble, states may use the RULOF provisions to
address circumstances in which reliability or resource adequacy is a
concern. Use of RULOF may be appropriate where reliability or resource
adequacy considerations for a particular EGU are fundamentally
different from those considered when developing these emission
guidelines, which may make it unreasonable for an affected EGU to
comply with a standard of performance by the prescribed date. Under
these circumstances, the state may choose to particularize the
compliance obligations for the affected EGU in order to address the
reliability or resource adequacy concern. As explained in section
X.C.2, the EPA believes any adjustments that are needed will take the
form of different compliance timelines. RULOF is relevant at the stage
of establishing standards of performance and compliance schedules to
affected EGUs as a state plan is being developed or revised.
States have the ability to use emission averaging or trading, as
well as unit-specific mass-based compliance, as described in section
X.D of this preamble, which may also provide reliability-related
benefits. The use of these alternative compliance flexibilities is not
required, but states may employ these flexibilities, provided they
demonstrate that their programs achieve an equivalent level of emission
reduction with unit-specific application
[[Page 40014]]
of rate-based standards of performance and apply requirements relevant
to the particular flexibility, as specified in section X.D. These
compliance flexibilities are voluntary, and states may choose whether
to allow their use in state plans, subject to certain conditions.
However, states may find that the reliability-specific adjustments
discussed below provide sufficient flexibility in lieu of the
mechanisms described in section X.D.
States may incorporate into their state plans a mechanism that
allows compliance date extensions up to 1 year for an existing affected
EGU that is in the process of installing a control technology to meet
its standard of performance in the state plan, under specific
circumstances, a detailed discussion can be found in section X.C.1.d of
this document. As discussed in section VIII.N of this document, the
Administrator may provide a similar extension for new combustion
turbines. The state or Administrator may allow the extension of the
compliance date if the source demonstrates a delay in the construction
or implementation of the control technology resulting from causes that
are entirely outside the owner or operator's control. These may include
delays in obtaining a final construction permit, after a timely and
complete application, or delays due to documented supply chain issues;
for example, a backlog for step-up transformer equipment. This
compliance date extension is not expressly offered for reliability
purposes, but rather as a flexibility to account for unforeseen and
uncontrollable lags in construction or implementation of control
technology to meet the unit's standard of performance, in instances
where a source can demonstrate efforts to comply by the required
timeframes as part of these final actions, including evidence that it
took the necessary steps to comply with sufficient lead time to meet
the compliance schedule absent unusual problems, and that those
problems are entirely outside the source's control and the source's
actions or inactions did not contribute to the delay. This potential
extension can help ensure that sufficient capacity is available by
providing additional time for an affected EGU to operate for a specific
amount of time while it resolves delays related to installation of
pollution controls.
If the owner/operator of an affected EGU encounters a delay outside
of the owner or operator's control, and which prevents the source from
meeting its compliance obligations, the affected EGU must follow the
procedures outlined in the state plan for documenting the basis for the
extension.\1028\ Any delay in implementation that will necessitate a
compliance date extension of more than 1 year must be done through a
state plan revision to adjust the compliance schedule using RULOF as a
basis. See section X.C.2 of this preamble for information on RULOF.
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\1028\ Assuming the affected EGU is in a state that has included
the extension mechanism in its approved plan.
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A similar 1-year compliance date extension flexibility for units
implementing control technologies that encounter a delay outside of the
owner or operator's control which prevents the source from meeting
compliance obligations is also available to certain new sources, which
are directly regulated by the EPA. This is described in section VIII.N
of this preamble.
3. Reliability Mechanisms
While the EPA believes the significant structural adjustments and
compliance flexibilities that are discussed above are adequate to
ensure that the implementation of these final rules does not interfere
with systems operators' ability to ensure electric reliability, the EPA
is also finalizing two reliability-related mechanisms as additional
safeguards. These mechanisms include a short-term reliability mechanism
for unexpected and short-duration emergency events, and a reliability
assurance mechanism for units with retirement dates that are
enforceable in the state plan, provided there is a documented and
verified reliability concern. The EPA notes that these mechanisms must
be included in the state plan to be utilized by the owners/operators of
existing affected EGUs subject to requirements in the state plan.
Sections XII.3.a, and XII.3.b of this preamble describe presumptively
approvable methodologies for incorporating these mechanisms into a
state plan.
a. Short-Term Reliability Mechanism
Comment: Multiple commenters requested an explicit short-term
mechanism which could accommodate emergency situations and provide
additional flexibility to affected sources. Commenters requested that
the mechanism include additional rule flexibilities that could
potentially be used during emergency conditions that would help
reliability authorities avert a load shed event. A mechanism would
function as an additional automated flexibility measure with a clearly
articulated emergency provision for affected sources to respond to
short-duration emergency grid situations. Some commenters requested a
mechanism that is distinct from the process established by DOE's
emergency authority under the Federal Power Act (section 202(c)),
whereby DOE is required by the terms of section 202(c) to issue orders
tailored to best meet particularized emergency circumstances.\1029\
Other commenters highlighted the numerous rule flexibilities that were
designed to accommodate reliability concerns and emergency conditions
and indicated that the EPA's rule need not overly accommodate
reliability and resource adequacy concerns since the primary burden for
developing solutions falls to industry, grid operators, reliability
coordinators, state planners, and other stakeholders. These commenters
indicated that it is important to consider any trade-offs with
additional flexibility measures, in particular any trade-offs with
emissions implications.
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\1029\ https://www.energy.gov/ceser/does-use-federal-power-act-emergency-authority.
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Response: The EPA agrees with the latter commenters and expects
that the broader adjustments in the final rules, in addition to the
compliance flexibilities offered to states in section X.D of this
document, along with DOE's pre-existing section 202(c) authority, are
sufficient to enable an affected unit to respond to emergencies as
needed and still comply with the annual requirements of these actions.
As an additional safeguard measure, the EPA is finalizing a short-term
reliability mechanism to assure that these final actions will not
interfere with grid operators' ability to ensure electric reliability.
More specifically, the EPA has determined that some accommodation
during grid emergencies, which are rare, is warranted in order to
provide some additional flexibility to help system planners, affected
sources, state regulators, and reliability authorities meet demand and
avert load shed when such emergencies occur. The EPA believes this
additional flexibility is warranted, given the projected increase in
extreme weather events exacerbated by climate change.
A short-term reliability mechanism for new sources is included in
the final NSPS. Similarly, a short-term mechanism is offered to states
to include in state plans for use with existing sources during specific
and defined periods of time where the grid is under extreme strain. The
short-term reliability mechanism is linked to specific conditions under
which the system operators may not have
[[Page 40015]]
sufficient available generation to call upon to meet electric demand,
and various reliability authorities have issued emergency alerts to
rectify the situation. These emergency alerts are most often associated
with extreme weather events where electric demand increases and there
are often unexpected transmission and generation outages. Recent
examples of short-term emergency alert conditions include Winter Storm
Uri in 2021 and Winter Storm Elliot in 2022, both of which included
unanticipated generator outages and triggered emergency grid
operations. The EPA expects that the broader adjustments to the final
rules, in combination with the compliance flexibilities described in
section XII.F.2 of this document, are sufficient to enable an affected
unit to respond to grid emergencies as needed and still comply with the
annual requirements of these actions. Nonetheless, the EPA is
finalizing this short-term reliability mechanism, available to states
to include at their discretion, to provide an additional layer of
assurance that these final actions will not interfere with the grid
operator's ability to ensure electric reliability.
A short-term reliability mechanism is included for new sources in
the final NSPS, and additionally offered to states to include in state
plans for existing sources. The mechanism provides affected sources
additional flexibility during rare and extreme emergency events, when
all available generators are called upon to meet electric demand. For
new sources, the mechanism allows sources to calculate applicability
and compliance without using the emissions and operational data
produced during these discrete events, with appropriate
documentation.\1030\ For existing sources, the mechanism allows sources
to use the baseline emission rate during these discrete events, also
with appropriate documentation.\1031\
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\1030\ The performance standard shall be the Phase I standard
for the affected new source under the NSPS.
\1031\ The baseline emission rate for existing sources is the
CO2 mass emissions and corresponding electricity
generation data for a given affected EGU from any continuous 8-
quarter period from 40 CFR part 75 reporting within the 5-year
period immediately prior to the date the final rule is published in
the Federal Register.
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The mechanism is only applicable during an Energy Emergency Alert
level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC Reliability Standard EOP-011-2 or its
successor, which requires plans and sets procedures for reliability
entities to help avert disruptions in electric service during emergency
conditions.\1032\ The NERC reliability standard articulates roles and
responsibilities, defines notification processes for reliability
coordinators and operators, requires a plan for grid management
practices, and specifies a compliance monitoring process. Notably, the
standard defines three levels of Energy Emergency Alerts (EEA) that
guide reliability coordinators during energy emergencies and assist
with communicating information across the system and with the public to
avert potential disruptions:
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\1032\ NERC Reliability Standards, https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Pages/ReliabilityStandards.aspx, and NERC Emergency
Preparedness and Operations (Reliability Standard EOP-011-2).
https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Reliability%20Standards/EOP-011-2.pdf.
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EEA-1: All available generation resources in use--The
Balancing Authority is experiencing conditions where all available
generation resources are committed to meet firm load, firm
transactions, and reserve commitments, and is concerned about
sustaining its required Contingency Reserves.
EEA-2: Load management procedures in effect--The Balancing
Authority is no longer able to provide its expected energy requirements
and is an energy deficient Balancing Authority. An energy deficient
Balancing Authority has implemented its Operating Plan(s) to mitigate
Emergencies. An energy deficient Balancing Authority is still able to
maintain its minimum Contingency Reserve requirement.
EEA-3: Firm Load interruption is imminent or in progress--
The energy deficient Balancing Authority is unable to meet minimum
Contingency Reserve requirements.
The alerts are typically issued in reaction to emergencies as they
develop, are generally rare, and most often have been issued during
extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, cold weather events, and
heatwaves. The most concerning alert is EEA-3, where interruption of
electric service through controlled load shed is imminent for some
areas, although load shed does not necessarily occur under every EEA-3
declaration. According to NERC, 25 EEA-3s were declared in 2022, an
increase of 15 EEA-3 declarations over 2021. Nine of the EEA-3
declarations in 2022 included shedding of firm load. While the number
of declarations increased from 2021, the amount of load that was shed
during the 2022 events was less than 10 percent of the previous
year.\1033\ All of the EEA-3 declarations in 2022 were related to
extreme weather impacts, according to NERC.\1034\
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\1033\ 2023 State of Reliability Technical Assessment, NERC.
https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/PA/Performance%20Analysis%20DL/NERC_SOR_2023_Technical_Assessment.pdf.
\1034\ Ibid.
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Other emergency events (EEA-1 and EEA-2) are more frequent,
although also relatively rare, based upon recent data. Data for the
largest ISOs and RTOs indicate that EEA-1 and EEA-2 can occur several
times over a year, for relatively brief periods in most instances, in
response to developing reliability emergencies.\1035\ Across the
country, reliability coordinators (RCs) are charged by NERC to
implement reliability standards and issue EEAs.\1036\ The RCs monitor,
track, and issue alerts according to the NERC alert protocol. This data
is also generally supposed to be publicly available on each reliability
coordinator's website, which documents the frequency and duration of
emergency alerts. However, while there are requirements to report
events where EEA-3 was declared to NERC \1037\ and NERC publicly tracks
use of EEA-3,\1038\ EEA-1 events are the least likely to be documented
consistently, for example, there is no similar publicly available
tracking and reporting for use of EEA-1 alerts in a centralized and
consistent manner.
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\1035\ Since 2021, ERCOT issued two EEA-1 events, two EEA-2
events, and one EEA-3 event (all for events occurring over an 8-hour
period one day in 2021, and for 1 hour in 2023). In SPP, since 2021,
there were eight EEA-1 events, five EEA-2 events, and two EEA-3
events (occurring over 5 days). The EEA-1 and EEA-2 events lasted
between 1 and 19 hours. In MISO, there was a 2-day event in 2021
that resulted in an EEA magnitude 1, 2, or 3 alert through the day
and into the next day. One EEA-1 event in 2022 lasted for a half
hour and an EEA-2 event for 3 hours. In 2023, there was an EEA-2
event for 9.5 hours. In PJM, no alerts were issued in 2021. In 2022,
roughly a dozen alerts were issued. Some lasted minutes, while
others lasted half a day. One event stretched for 3 days. There were
two alerts issued in 2023, lasting roughly 3 and 1 hours each. While
this data is not comprehensive, it is indicative of the frequency
and duration of emergency events that fall under the NERC
reliability standard alert process. See: ERCOT Market Notices, SPP
Historical Advisories and Alerts, https://www.oasis.oati.com/SWPP/;
MISO Maximum Generation Emergency Declarations (2023), https://www.oasis.oati.com/woa/docs/MISO/MISOdocs/Capacity_Emergency_Historical_Information.pdf; and MISO Maximum
Generation Emergency Declarations (2023), https://www.oasis.oati.com/woa/docs/MISO/MISOdocs/Capacity_Emergency_Historical_Information.pdf. See also PJM
Emergency Procedures and Postings, https://emergencyprocedures.pjm.com/ep/pages/dashboard.jsf.
\1036\ NERC Organization Certification (January 2024). https://www.nerc.com/pa/comp/Pages/Registration.aspx.
\1037\ https://www.nerc.com/comm/PC/Performance%20Analysis%20Subcommittee%20PAS%202013/M-11_Energy_Emergency_Alerts.pdf.
\1038\ https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/ri/Pages/EEA2andEEA3.aspx.
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Energy Emergency Alerts also have an important geographic and/or
regional component, since most emergencies affect a particular
geographic zone, and hence a smaller number of generators are subject
to the alert in most instances.
[[Page 40016]]
During extreme and large-scale weather events, the alerts often cover a
much broader geographic area, such as when Winter Storm Elliott
impacted two-thirds of the lower 48 states and rapidly intensified into
a bomb cyclone in December 2022. Many areas declared EEAs, and four
states experienced operator-controlled load shed and 2.1 million
customers experienced power outages.\1039\ When these events occur, a
much larger group of affected sources would be potentially
covered.\1040\ It should be noted that issuance of EEA's is not just
dependent on a generator's availability, but also, generation
deliverability, as transmission constraints due to operational
conditions or planned maintenance activities can lead to issuance of
EEA's that help ensure system stability and reliability.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1039\ 2023 State of Reliability Technical Assessment, NERC.
https://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/PA/Performance%20Analysis%20DL/NERC_SOR_2023_Technical_Assessment.pdf.
\1040\ For example, the entire footprint of SPP currently
includes roughly 50 individual coal-steam units, reflecting roughly
19 GW of capacity.
\1040\ For PJM, there are currently roughly 65 individual coal-
steam units with total capacity of roughly 30 GW, which could
potentially be covered by a regionwide alert. These estimates are
considerably lower when known and committed coal-steam retirements
are excluded. Within the PJM footprint, there are 27 control areas
or transmission zones where emergency procedures are applied.
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The EPA's assessment is that these alerts generally occur
infrequently, only rarely persist for as long as several days, and are
indicative of a grid under strain. When the alerts are more prolonged,
lasting for several days, they are generally dictated by persistent
extreme weather with widespread impacts and a higher probability of
load shed. The short-term reliability mechanism offers sources that
come under a documented level 2 and or 3 EEA, combined with a
documented request from the balancing authority to deviate from its
scheduled operations, for example, by increasing output in response to
the alert. In other words, only the specific units called upon, or
otherwise instructed to increase output beyond the planned day-ahead or
other near-term expected output during an EEA level 2 or 3 event are
eligible for this flexibility, with proper documentation.
For new sources, the emissions and/or generation data will not be
counted when determining applicability and the use of the sources'
Phase 1 standard of performance may be used for compliance
determinations through the duration of these events, as long as
appropriate documentation is provided. For existing sources, states may
choose to temporarily apply an alternative standard of performance, or
a unit's baseline emission performance rate, when demonstrating
compliance with the final standards, with appropriate documentation. It
should be emphasized that these final emission guidelines require
compliance with the standards of performance on an annual basis (or
rolling annual average for new sources), as opposed to a shorter period
such as hourly, daily, or monthly. This relatively long compliance
period provides significant flexibility for sources that face
circumstances whereby their emission performance may change temporarily
due to various factors, including in response to grid emergency
conditions. Nonetheless, this mechanism is included in these final
rules to ensure that affected sources have the additional flexibility
needed to meet demand during emergency conditions.\1041\
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\1041\ For example, units with installed CCS technology may be
called upon to run at full capacity (i.e., without the parasitic
load of the carbon capture equipment). The EPA does not expect this
to be a typical response as units are economically disincentivized
to shut off or bypass control equipment given the tax credit
incentives in IRC section 45Q.
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The short-term reliability mechanism references EEA-2 and EEA-3 for
several reasons. First, balancing authorities and grid operators do not
necessarily have to take action under EEA-1 conditions, such as calling
on interruptible loads. As such, there is much less cost or
inconvenience to declaring EEA-1, as a general matter, and EEA-2 and
EEA-3 events are more aligned with events that are rare or truly
represent emergency conditions. Second, EEA-1 events are a preparatory
step in anticipation of potentially worsening conditions, as opposed to
an indicator of imminent load-shed. Thus, under EEA-1, balancing
authorities and grid operators do not generally take actions such as
calling for voluntary demand reduction or calling on interruptible
loads, and reliability coordinators are afforded more discretion for
declaring an EEA-1. As such, there is much less cost or inconvenience
to declaring EEA-1, as a general matter, and providing operational or
cost relief under EEA-1 could create an incentive to deploy it more
routinely. In addition, waiving significant regulatory requirements
before taking actions such as calling for voluntary demand reductions
or calling upon contractually arranged interruptible loads would not be
commensurate to the significance of the various response actions.
Third, reliability coordinators are afforded more discretion for
declaring an EEA-1, and thus may have a potential incentive to deploy
it more routinely if there is some operational or cost relief
associated with it. And lastly, the reporting of EEA-1 is not
consistent throughout the country, and there is some degree of
opaqueness associated with the frequency and duration of EEA-1 events,
thus making it a less robust mechanism threshold for purposes of
aligning it with the requirements of this final action. For these
reasons, the EPA believes that EEA-2 and EEA-3 are the appropriate
threshold for inclusion in the short-term reliability mechanism and
better represent rare or truly emergency conditions in which providing
a limited exemption from a significant environmental requirement is
justifiable.
Thus, the EPA believes that the selection of EEA-2 and EEA-3 are
aligned with the conditions envisioned where an affected source might
need temporarily relief, in order to offer reliability coordinators and
balancing authorities the flexibility needed during emergency events to
maintain reliability. In addition, as explained earlier, DOE's 202(c)
authority is an additional mechanism that can be deployed under certain
emergency conditions, which may occur outside any EEA-2 or EEA-3 event.
These tools, either individually or in combination, help provide
additional assurance that sources and reliability coordinators can
continue to maintain a reliable system.
The mechanism is available to states to include in their state
plans in an explicit manner, which will allow additional flexibility to
sources in those states during short-term reliability emergencies.
Inclusion of the reliability mechanism in a state plan must be part of
the public comment process that each state must undertake. The comment
process will afford full notice and the opportunity for the public
comment, and the state plan will need to specify alternative
performance standards for each specific affected source during these
events (as defined in this section). The state plan must clearly
indicate the specific parameters of emergency alerts cited as part of
this mechanism, the relevant reliability coordinators that are
authorized to issue the alerts in the state, and the compliance
entities who are affected by this action (i.e., affected sources).
These sources must provide documentation of emergencies, as indicated
in this section. The documentation must include evidence of the alert
from the issuing entity, duration of the alert, and requests by
reliability entities to sources to increase output in response to the
emergency. The source must supply this
[[Page 40017]]
information to the state regulatory entities and to the EPA when
demonstrating compliance with the annual performance standards. This
demonstration will indicate the discrete periods where the alternative
standards or emission rates were in place, coinciding with the
emergency alerts.
The calculation of the emission rate for an affected source in a
state that adopts the short-term reliability mechanism must adhere to
the following during potential emergency alerts:
When demonstrating annual compliance with the standard of
performance, the existing affected source may apply its baseline
emission rate in lieu of its standard of performance for the hours of
operation that correspond to the duration of the alert; and
The existing affected EGU would demonstrate compliance
based on application of its baseline emission performance rate standard
of performance for the documented hours it operated under a revised
schedule due to an EEA 2 or 3.
For new sources, the EGU would demonstrate compliance
based on application of its phase 1 performance standard for the
documented hours it operated under a revised schedule due to an EEA 2
or 3. with the same documentation listed above.
Supplemental reporting, recordkeeping and documentation required:
Documentation that the EEA was in effect from the entity
issuing the alert, along with documentation of the exact duration of
the event; \1042\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1042\ https://www.nerc.com/pa/Stand/Reliability%20Standards/EOP-011-2.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Documentation from the entity issuing the alert that the
EEA included the affected source/region where the unit was located; and
Documentation that the source was instructed to increase
output beyond the planned day-ahead or other near-term expected output
and/or was asked to remain in operation outside of its scheduled
dispatch during emergency conditions from a reliability coordinator,
balancing authority, or ISO/RTO.
b. Reliability Assurance Mechanism
The EPA gave considerable attention and thought to comments from
all stakeholders concerning potential reliability-related
considerations. As noted earlier, the EPA engaged in extensive
stakeholder outreach and provided additional opportunity for public
comment as part of the supplemental notice for small businesses, since
similar reliability-related concerns were raised. This section provides
additional background, as well as approvable language, for a
reliability assurance mechanism that states have the option to
incorporate into their state plans.
Comment: Some commenters cautioned that EPA rules could exacerbate
an ongoing concern that firm, dispatchable assets are exiting the grid
at a faster pace than new capacity can be deployed and that most new
electric generating capacity does not provide the equivalent
reliability attributes as the capacity being retired. Several
commenters provided examples where units with publicly announced
retirement dates were delayed by reliability entities and coordinators
due, in part, to the potential for energy shortfalls that might
increase reliability risks in the ISO. Many commenters cited findings
from NERC that highlighted the potential for capacity shortfalls, some
of which are already in effect in some areas. Other commenters asserted
that there is no need for a reliability assurance mechanism given the
sufficient lead times in the proposal and the various flexibilities
already provided. Some commenters included analysis that showed
resource adequacy shortfalls over the forecasted time horizon were
limited and manageable under the proposal.
Response: The EPA believes that the provisions in these final
actions are sufficient to accommodate installation of pollution
controls and reliability planning. The EPA has further articulated the
use of RULOF, which can be deployed under the state planning and
revision processes, for specific circumstances related to reliability.
The EPA is also finalizing compliance flexibilities that can address
delays to the installation or permitting of control technologies or
associated infrastructure that are beyond the control of the EGU owner/
operator. The EPA acknowledges that isolated issues could unfold over
the course of the implementation timeline that could not have been
foreseen during the planning process and that may require units to
remain online beyond their planned cease operation dates to maintain
reliability.
The EPA does not agree that the final rule will result in long-term
adverse reliability impacts.1043 1044 Nevertheless, as an
added safeguard, the EPA is finalizing a reliability assurance
mechanism for existing affected sources that have committed to cease
operation but, for unforeseen reasons, need to temporarily remain
online to support reliability for a discrete amount of time beyond
their planned date to cease operations. The primary mechanism to
address reliability-related issues for units with cease operations
dates is through the state plan revision process. This reliability
assurance mechanism is designed to enable extensions for cease
operation dates when there is insufficient time to complete a state
plan revision. Under this reliability assurance mechanism, which can
only be accessed if included in a state plan, units could obtain up to
a 1-year extension of a cease operation date. If a state decides to
include the mechanism in its state plan, then the mechanism must be
disclosed during the public comment process that states must undertake.
Under this reliability assurance mechanism, units may obtain extensions
only for the amount of time substantiated through their applications
and approved by the appropriate EPA Regional Administrator. For
extension requests greater than 6 months, EPA will seek the advice of
FERC in these cases and therefore applications must be submitted to
FERC, as well as to the appropriate EPA Regional Administrator. The
date from which an extension can be given is the enforceable date in
the state plan, including any cease operation dates in state plans that
are prior to January 1, 2032.
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\1043\ ``Bulk System Reliability for Tomorrow's Grid'' The
Brattle Group, December 20, 2023.
\1044\ ``The Future of Resource Adequacy'' The Department of
Energy, April 2024.
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These provisions are similar in part to a reliability-related
flexibility provided by the EPA for the MATS rule finalized in December
2011. On December 16, 2011, the EPA issued a memorandum \1045\
outlining an Enforcement Response Policy whereby affected sources enter
into a CAA section 113(a) administrative order for up to 1 year for
narrow circumstances including when the deactivation of a unit or delay
in installation of controls due to factors beyond the owner's/
operator's control could have an adverse, localized impact on electric
reliability. Under MATS, affected sources were required to come into
compliance with standards within 3 years of the effective date. The EPA
believed flexibility was warranted given potential constraints around
the availability of control equipment and associated skilled workforce
for all affected sources within the compliance window. While a 1-year
extension as
[[Page 40018]]
part of CAA section 112(i)(3)(B) was broadly available to affected
sources, additional time through an administrative order was limited to
units that were demonstrated to be critical for reliability purposes
under the Enforcement Response Policy.\1046\ FERC's role in this
process, which was developed with extensive stakeholder input,\1047\
was to assess the submitted request to ensure any application was
adequately substantiated with respect to its reliability-related
claims. While several affected EGUs requested and were granted a 1-year
CAA section 112(i)(3)(B) compliance extension by their permitting
authority, OECA only issued five administrative orders in connection to
the Enforcement Response Policy.\1048\ These orders relied upon a FERC
review of the reliability risks associated with the loss of specific
units, following the accompanying FERC policy memorandum
guidance.\1049\ The 2012 MATS Final Rule was ultimately implemented
over the 2015-2016 timeframe without challenges to grid reliability.
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\1045\ https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/documents/mats-erp.pdf.
\1046\ December 16, 2011, memorandum, ``The Environmental
Protection Agency's Enforcement Response Policy For Use Of Clean Air
Act Section 113(a) Administrative Orders In Relation To Electric
Reliability And The Mercery and Air Toxics Standard'' from Cynthia
Giles, Assistant Administrator of the Office of Enforcement and
Compliance Assurance.
\1047\ See FERC Docket No. PL12-1-000.
\1048\ https://www.epa.gov/enforcement/enforcement-response-policy-mercury-and-air-toxics-standard-mats.
\1049\ https://www.ferc.gov/sites/default/files/2020-04/E-5_9.pdf.
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Given the array of adjustments made to the rule explained above,
and the ability of states to address unanticipated changes in
circumstances through the state plan revision process, the EPA does not
anticipate that this mechanism, if included by states in the planning
process, will be heavily utilized. This mechanism provides an assurance
to system planners and affected sources, which can provide additional
time for the state to execute a state plan revision, if needed. For
states choosing to include this option in their state plans, the
reliability assurance mechanism can provide units up to a 1-year
extension of the scheduled cease operation date without a state plan
revision, provided the reliability need is adequately justified and the
extension is limited to the time for which the reliability need is
demonstrated. This mechanism can accommodate situations when, with
little notice, the relevant reliability authority determines that an
EGU scheduled to cease operations is needed beyond that date, in order
to maintain reliability during the 12 months leading up to or after the
EGU is scheduled to retire. For potential situations in which system
planners, affected sources, and reliability authorities identify a
reliability concern, including a potential resource adequacy shortfall
and an associated demonstration of increased loss of load expectation,
more than one year in advance, this approach allows for the time needed
for states to undertake a state plan revision process. The EPA
recognizes that successful reliability planning involves many
stakeholders and is a complex long-term process. For this reason, the
EPA is encouraging states to consult electric reliability authorities
during the state plan process, as part of the requirements under
Meaningful Engagement (see section X.E.1.b.i of this document). The EPA
acknowledges that there may be isolated instances in which the
deactivation or retirement of a unit could have impacts on the electric
grid in the future that cannot be predicted or planned for with
specificity during the state planning process, wherein all anticipated
reliability-related issues would be analyzed and addressed. This
mechanism is not intended for use with units encountering unforeseen
delays in installation of control technologies, as such issues are
addressed through compliance flexibilities discussed in section
XII.F.2, or for units subject to an obligation to operate that is not
based on the reliability criteria included here.
To ensure that reliability claims, following the specific
requirements delineated below, submitted through this mechanism are
sufficiently well documented, the EPA is requiring that the unit's
relevant reliability Planning Authority(ies) certify that the claims
are accurate and that the identified reliability problem both exists
and requires the specific relief requested. Additionally, the EPA
intends to seek the advice of FERC, the Federal agency with authority
to oversee the reliability of the bulk-power system, to incorporate a
review of applications for this mechanism that request more than 6
months of additional operating time beyond the existing date by which
the unit is scheduled to cease operations to resolve a reliability
issue. Additional operating time is available for up to 12 months from
the unit's cease operation date through this mechanism. Any relief
request exceeding 12 months would need to be addressed through the
state plan revision process outlined in section X.E.3. In determining
whether to grant a request under this mechanism, the EPA will assess
whether the associated Planning Authority's reliability analysis
identifies and supports, in a detailed and reasoned fashion,
anticipated noncompliance with a Reliability Standard, substantiated by
specific metrics described below, should a unit go offline per its
established commitment. To assist in its determination, the EPA will
seek FERC's advice regarding whether analysis of the reliability risk
and the potential for violation of a mandatory Reliability Standard or
increased loss of load expectation is adequately supported in the filed
documentation.
This mechanism is for existing sources that have relied on a
commitment to cease operating for purposes of these emission
guidelines. Such reliance might occur in three circumstances: (1) units
that plan to cease operation before January 1, 2032, and that are
therefore exempt because they have elected to have enforceable cease
operations dates in the state plan; (2) affected EGUs that choose to
employ 40 percent natural gas co-firing by 2030 with a retirement date
of no later than January 1, 2039; or (3) affected EGUs that have
source-specific standards of performance based on remaining useful
life, pursuant to the RULOF provisions outlined in section X.C.2 of
this document. In each of these cases, units would have a commitment to
cease operating by a date certain. This mechanism would allow for
extensions of those dates to address unforeseen reliability or reserve
margin concerns that arise due to changes in circumstances after the
state plan has been finalized. Therefore, the date from which an
extension can be given under this mechanism is the enforceable cease
operations date in the state plan, including those prior to January 1,
2032. Only operators/owners of units that have satisfied all applicable
milestones, metrics, and reporting obligations outlined in section
X.C.3, and section X.C.4 for units with cease operation dates prior to
January 1, 2032, would be eligible to use this mechanism.
This mechanism creates additional flexibility for specified narrow
circumstances for existing sources and provides additional time and
flexibility to allow a state, if necessary, to submit a plan revision
should circumstances persist. In other words, this mechanism would be
for use only when there is insufficient time to complete a state plan
revision.
States can decide whether to include this extension mechanism in
their state plans. If included in a state plan, the mechanism would be
triggered when a unit submits an application to the EPA Regional
Administrator where it faces an unforeseen situation that creates a
[[Page 40019]]
reliability issue should that unit go offline consistent with its
commitment to cease operations--for example, if the reliability
coordinator identifies an unexpected capacity shortfall and determines
that a specific unit(s) in a state(s) is needed to remain operational
to satisfy a specific and documented reliability concern related to a
unit's planned retirement. This mechanism would allow extensions, if
approved by the Regional EPA Administrator, for units to operate after
committed retirement dates without a full state plan revision. Any
existing standard of performance finalized in the state plan under
RULOF or the natural gas co-firing subcategory would remain in place.
States have the discretion to place additional requirements on units
requesting extensions. The relevant EPA Regional Administrator would
approve the reliability assurance application or reject it if it were
found that that the reliability assertion was not adequately supported.
Units would need to substantiate the claim that they must remain online
for reliability purposes with documentation demonstrating a forecasted
reliability failure should the unit be taken offline, and this
justification would need to be submitted to the appropriate EPA
Regional Administrator and, for extensions exceeding 6 months, also to
FERC, as described below. Extensions would be granted only for the
duration of time demonstrated through the documentation, not to exceed
12 months, inclusive of the 6-month extension that is available and the
relevant Planning Authority(ies) must certify that the claims are
accurate and that the identified reliability problem both exists and
requires the specific relief requested. Any further extension would
require a state plan revision.
The process and documentation required to demonstrate that a unit
is required to stay online because it is reliability-critical is
described in this section.
In order to use this mechanism for an extension, certain conditions
must be met by the unit and substantiated in written electronic
notification to the appropriate EPA Regional Administrator, with an
identical copy submitted to FERC for extension requests exceeding 6
months. More specifically, those conditions are that, where
appropriate, the EGU owner complied with all applicable reporting
obligations and milestones as described in sections X.C.4 (for units in
the medium-term subcategory and units relying on a cease operation date
for a less stringent standard of performance pursuant to RULOF), and
section X.E.1.b.ii (for units with cease operation dates before January
1, 2032). No less than 30 days prior to the compliance date for
applications for extensions of less than 6 months, and no less than 45
days prior to the compliance date for applications for extensions
exceeding 6 months, but no earlier than 12 months prior to the
compliance date (any requests over 12 months prior to a compliance date
should be addressed through state plan revisions), a written complete
application to activate the reliability assurance mechanism must be
submitted to the appropriate EPA Regional Administrator, with a copy
submitted to the state, including information responding to each of the
seven elements listed as follows.
A copy of an extension request exceeding 6 months must also be
submitted to FERC through a process and at an office of FERC's
designation, including any additional specific information identified
by FERC and responding to each of the following elements:
(1) Analysis of the reliability risk if the unit were not in
operation demonstrating that the continued operation of the unit after
the applicable compliance date is critical to maintaining electric
reliability, such that retirement of that unit would trigger one or
more of the following: (A) would result in noncompliance with at least
one of the mandatory reliability standards approved by FERC, or (B)
would cause the loss of load expectation to increase beyond the level
targeted by regional system planners as part of their established
procedures for that particular region; specifically, this requires a
clear demonstration that each unit would be needed to maintain the
targeted level of resource adequacy.\1050\ In addition, a projection
substantiating the duration of the requested extension must be included
for the length of time that the unit is expected to extend its cease-
operations date because it is reliability-critical with accompanying
analysis supporting the timeframe, not to exceed 12 months. The
demonstration must satisfactorily substantiate at least one of the two
conditions outlined above. Any unit that has received a Reliability
Must Run Designation or equivalent from a reliability coordinator or
balancing authority would fit this description. The types of
information that will be helpful, based on the prior reliability
extension process developed for MATS between the EPA and FERC include,
but are not limited to, system planning and operations studies, system
restoration studies or plans, operating procedures, and mitigation
plans required by applicable Reliability Standards as defined by FERC
in its May 17, 2012, Policy Statement issued to clarify requirements
for the reliability extensions available through MATS.\1051\
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\1050\ Probabilistic Assessment: Technical Guideline Document,
NERC, August 2016.
\1051\ ``Policy Statement on the Commission's Role Regarding the
Environmental Protection Agency's Mercury and Air Toxics Standards''
FERC, Issued May 17, 2012, at PL12-1-000.
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(2) Analysis submitted by the relevant Planning Authority that
verifies the reliability related claims, or presents a separate and
equivalent analysis, confirming the asserted reliability risk if the
unit were not in operation, or an explanation of why such a concurrence
or separate analysis cannot be provided, and where necessary, any
related system wide or regional analysis. This analysis or concurrence
must include a substantiation for the duration of the extension
request.
(3) Copies of any written comments from third parties regarding the
extension.
(4) Demonstration from the unit owner/operator, grid operator and
other relevant entities that they have a plan that includes appropriate
actions, including bringing on new capacity or transmission, to resolve
the underlying reliability issue, including the steps and timeframes
for implementing measures to rectify the underlying reliability issue.
(5) Retirement date extensions allowed through this mechanism will
be granted for only the increment of time that is substantiated by the
reliability need and supporting documentation and may not exceed 12
months, inclusive of the 6-month extensions available with RTO, ISO,
and reliability coordinator certification.
(6) For units affected by these emissions guidelines, states may
choose to require the application to identify the level of operation
that is required to avoid the documented reliability risk, and
consistent with that level propose alternative compliance requirements,
such as alternative standards or consistent utilization constraints for
the duration of the extension. The EPA Regional Office may, within 30
days of the submission, reject the application if the submission is
incomplete with respect to the above requirements or if the reliability
assertion is not adequately supported.
(7) Only owners/operators of units that have satisfied all
applicable milestone and reporting requirements and obligations under
section X.C.3., and section X.C.4 for units with cease
[[Page 40020]]
operation dates prior to January 1, 2032, may use this mechanism for an
extension as those sources will have provided information enabling the
state and the public to assess that the units have diligently taken all
actions necessary to meet their enforceable cease operations dates and
demonstrate the use of all available tools to meet reliability
challenges. Units that have failed to meet these obligations may make
extension requests through the state plan revision process.
The EPA intends to consult with FERC in a timely manner on
reliability-critical claims given FERC's expertise on reliability
issues. The EPA may also seek advice from other reliability experts, to
inform the EPA's decision. The EPA intends to decide whether it will
grant a compliance extension for a retiring unit based on a documented
reliability need within 30 days of receiving the application for
applications less than 6 months, and within 45 days for applications
exceeding 6 months to account for time needed to consult with FERC.
Whether to grant an extension to an owner/operator is solely the
decision of the EPA Regional Administrator.
For units already subject to standards of performance through state
plans including those co-firing until 2039, and for units with
specific, tailored and differentiated compliance dates developed
through RULOF that employ this mechanism, those standards would apply
during the extension.
4. Considerations for Evaluating 111 Final Actions With Other EPA Rules
Consistent with the EPA's statutory obligations under a range of
CAA programs, the Agency has recently initiated and/or finalized
multiple rulemakings to reduce emissions of air pollutants, air toxics,
and greenhouse gases from the power sector. The EPA has conducted an
assessment of the potential impacts of these regulatory efforts on grid
resource adequacy, which is examined and discussed in the final TSD,
Resource Adequacy Analysis. This analysis is informed by regional
reserve margin targets, regional transmission capability, and generator
availability. Moreover, as described in this action, the EPA designs
its programs, implementation compliance flexibilities, and backstop
mechanisms to be robust to future uncertainties and various compliance
pathways for the collective of market and regulatory drivers. Finally,
the backstop reliability mechanisms discussed in this section are, by
design, similar to mechanisms utilized in the EPA's proposed Effluent
Limitations Guidelines (ELG) rulemaking. There, to ensure that units
choosing to permanently cease the combustion of coal by a particular
date in their permits are not restricted from operation in the event of
an emergency related to load balancing, the permit conditions allow for
grid emergency exemptions (88 FR 18900). Harmonizing the use of similar
criteria for emergency related reliability concerns across the two
rules further buttresses unit confidence that grid reliability and
environmental responsibilities will not come into conflict. It also
streamlines the demonstrations and evidence that a unit must provide in
such events. This cross-regulatory harmonization ensures that the
Agency can successfully meet its CWA and CAA responsibilities regarding
public health in a manner consistent with grid stability as it has
consistently done throughout its 54-year history.
The EPA has taken into consideration, to the extent possible, the
alignment of compliance timeframes and other aspects of these policies
for affected units. For each regulatory effort, there has been
coordination and alignment of requirements and timelines, to the extent
possible. The potential impact of these various regulatory efforts is
further examined in the final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis.
Additionally, the EPA considered the impact of this suite of power
sector rules by performing a variety of sensitivity analyses described
in XII.F.3. These considerations are discussed in the technical
memoranda, IPM Sensitivity Runs and Resource Adequacy Analysis: Vehicle
Rules, Final 111 EGU Rules, ELG, and MATS, available in the rulemaking
docket.
XIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Additional information about these statutes and Executive orders
can be found at https://www.epa.gov/laws-regulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and Executive
Order 14094: Modernizing Regulatory Review
This action is a ``significant regulatory action'' as defined under
section 3(f)(1) of Executive Order 12866, as amended by Executive Order
14094. Accordingly, EPA, submitted this action to the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) for Executive Order 12866 review. Any
changes made in response to recommendations received as part of
Executive Order 12866 review have been documented in the docket.
The EPA prepared an analysis of the potential costs and benefits
associated with these actions. This analysis, ``Regulatory Impact
Analysis for the New Source Performance Standards for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions from New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil Fuel-Fired
Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions from Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units;
and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy Rule,'' is available in the
docket and describes in detail the EPA's assumptions and characterizes
the various sources of uncertainties affecting the estimates.
Table 6 presents the estimated present values (PV) and equivalent
annualized values (EAV) of the projected climate benefits, health
benefits, compliance costs, and net benefits of the final rules in 2019
dollars discounted to 2024. This analysis covers the impacts of the
final standards for new combustion turbines and for existing steam
generating EGUs. The estimated monetized net benefits are the projected
monetized benefits minus the projected monetized costs of the final
rules.
Under E.O. 12866, the EPA is directed to consider the costs and
benefits of its actions. Accordingly, in addition to the projected
climate benefits of the final rules from anticipated reductions in
CO2 emissions, the projected monetized health benefits
include those related to public health associated with projected
reductions in PM2.5 and ozone concentrations. The projected
health benefits are associated with several point estimates and are
presented at real discount rates of 2, 3 and 7 percent. As shown in
section 4.3.9 of the RIA, there are health benefits in the years 2028,
2030, 2035, and 2045 and health disbenefits in 2040. The projected
climate benefits in this table are based on estimates of the social
cost of carbon (SC-CO2) at a 2 percent near-term Ramsey
discount rate and are discounted using a 2 percent discount rate to
obtain the PV and EAV estimates in the table. The power industry's
compliance costs are represented in this analysis as the change in
electric power generation costs between the baseline and illustrative
policy scenarios. In simple terms, these costs are an estimate of the
increased power industry expenditures required to implement the final
requirements.
These results present an incomplete overview of the potential
effects of the final rules because important categories of benefits--
including benefits from reducing HAP emissions--were not monetized and
are therefore not reflected in the benefit-cost tables. The EPA
anticipates that taking non-monetized effects into account would
[[Page 40021]]
show the final rules to have a greater net benefit than this table
reflects.
Table 6--Projected Benefits, Compliance Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final Rules, 2024 Through 2047
[Billions 2019$, discounted to 2024] \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Present value (PV)
--------------------------------------------------------
2% Discount rate 3% Discount rate 7% Discount rate
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Climate Benefits \c\................................... 270 270 270
Health Benefits \d\.................................... 120 100 59
Compliance Costs....................................... 19 15 7.5
Net Benefits \e\....................................... 370 360 320
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Equivalent Annualized Value (EAV) \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Climate Benefits \c\................................... 14 14 14
Health Benefits \d\.................................... 6.3 6.1 5.2
Compliance Costs....................................... 0.98 0.91 0.65
Net Benefits \e\....................................... 20 19 19
--------------------------------------------------------
Non-Monetized Benefits \e\............................. Benefits from reductions in HAP emissions
Ecosystem benefits associated with reductions in
emissions of CO2, NOX, SO2, PM, and HAP
Reductions in exposure to ambient NO2 and SO2
Improved visibility (reduced haze) from PM2.5
reductions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Values have been rounded to two significant figures. Rows may not appear to sum correctly due to rounding.
\b\ The annualized present value of costs and benefits are calculated over the 24-year period from 2024 to 2047.
\c\ Monetized climate benefits are based on reductions in CO2 emissions and are calculated using three different
estimates of the SC-CO2 (under 1.5 percent, 2.0 percent, and 2.5 percent near-term Ramsey discount rates). For
the presentational purposes of this table, we show the climate benefits associated with the SC-CO2 at the 2
percent near-term Ramsey discount rate. Please see section 4 of the RIA for the full range of monetized
climate benefit estimates.
\d\ The projected monetized air quality related benefits include those related to public health associated with
reductions in PM2.5 and ozone concentrations. The projected health benefits are associated with several point
estimates and are presented at real discount rates of 2, 3, and 7 percent. This table presents the net health
benefit impact over the analytic timeframe of 2024 to 2047. As shown in section 4.3.9 of the RIA, there are
health benefits in the years 2028, 2030, 2035, and 2045 and health disbenefits in 2040.
\e\ Several categories of climate, human health, and welfare benefits from CO2, NOX, SO2, PM and HAP emissions
reductions remain unmonetized and are thus not directly reflected in the quantified benefit estimates in this
table. See section 4.2 of the RIA for a discussion of climate effects that are not yet reflected in the SC-CO2
and thus remain unmonetized and section 4.4 of the RIA for a discussion of other non-monetized benefits.
As shown in table 6, the final rules are projected to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions in the form of CO2, producing a
projected PV of monetized climate benefits of about $270 billion, with
an EAV of about $14 billion using the SC-CO2 discounted at 2
percent. The final rules are also projected to reduce emissions of
NOX, SO2 and direct PM2.5 leading to
national health benefits from PM2.5 and ozone in most years,
producing a projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $120
billion, with an EAV of about $6.3 billion discounted at 2 percent.
Thus, these final rules are expected to generate a PV of monetized
benefits of $390 billion, with an EAV of $21 billion discounted at a 2
percent rate. The PV of the projected compliance costs are $19 billion,
with an EAV of about $0.98 billion discounted at 2 percent. Combining
the projected benefits with the projected compliance costs yields a net
benefit PV estimate of about $370 billion and EAV of about $20 billion.
At a 3 percent discount rate, the final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $100
billion, with an EAV of about $6.1 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net benefits analysis. Thus, the final
rules would generate a PV of monetized benefits of about $370 billion,
with an EAV of about $20 billion discounted at 3 percent. The PV of the
projected compliance costs are about $15 billion, with an EAV of $0.91
billion discounted at 3 percent. Combining the projected benefits with
the projected compliance costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $360 billion and an EAV of about $19 billion.
At a 7 percent discount rate, the final rules are expected to
generate projected PV of monetized health benefits of about $59
billion, with an EAV of about $5.2 billion. Climate benefits remain
discounted at 2 percent in this net benefits analysis. Thus, the final
rules would generate a PV of monetized benefits of about $330 billion,
with an EAV of about $19 billion discounted at 7 percent. The PV of the
projected compliance costs are about $7.5 billion, with an EAV of $0.65
billion discounted at 7 percent. Combining the projected benefits with
the projected compliance costs yields a net benefit PV estimate of
about $320 billion and an EAV of about $19 billion.
We also note that the RIA follows the EPA's historic practice of
using a detailed technology-rich partial equilibrium model of the
electricity and related fuel sectors to estimate the incremental costs
of producing electricity under the requirements of proposed and final
major EPA power sector rules. In section 5.2 of the RIA for these
actions, the EPA has also included an economy-wide analysis that
considers additional facets of the economic response to the final
rules, including the full resource requirements of the expected
compliance pathways, some of which are paid for through subsidies. The
social cost estimates in the economy-wide analysis and discussed in
section 5.2 of the RIA are still far below the projected benefits of
the final rules.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTT
This action does not impose any new information collection burden
under the PRA. OMB has previously approved the information collection
activities
[[Page 40022]]
contained in the existing regulations and has assigned OMB control
number 2060-0685.
2. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart TTTTa
The information collection activities in this rule have been
submitted for approval to the OMB under the PRA. The Information
Collection Request (ICR) document that the EPA prepared has been
assigned EPA ICR number 2771.01. You can find a copy of the ICR in the
docket for this rule, and it is briefly summarized here. The
information collection requirements are not enforceable until OMB
approves them.
Respondents/affected entities: Owners and operators of fossil-fuel
fired EGUs.
Respondent's obligation to respond: Mandatory.
Estimated number of respondents: 2.
Frequency of response: Annual.
Total estimated burden: 110 hours (per year). Burden is defined at
5 CFR 1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $12,000 (per year), includes $0 annualized
capital or operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required
to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number. The OMB control numbers for the
EPA's regulations in 40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When OMB
approves this ICR, the Agency will announce that approval in the
Federal Register and publish a technical amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to
display the OMB control number for the approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
3. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart UUUUa
This action does not impose an information collection burden under
the PRA.
4. 40 CFR Part 60, Subpart UUUUb
The information collection activities in this rule have been
submitted for approval to the OMB under the PRA. The ICR document that
the EPA prepared has been assigned EPA ICR number 2770.01. You can find
a copy of the ICR in the docket for this rule, and it is briefly
summarized here. The information collection requirements are not
enforceable until OMB approves them.
This rule imposes specific requirements on state governments with
existing fossil fuel-fired steam generating units. The information
collection requirements are based on the recordkeeping and reporting
burden associated with developing, implementing, and enforcing a plan
to limit GHG emissions from these existing EGUs. These recordkeeping
and reporting requirements are specifically authorized by CAA section
114 (42 U.S.C. 7414). All information submitted to the EPA pursuant to
the recordkeeping and reporting requirements for which a claim of
confidentiality is made is safeguarded according to Agency policies set
forth in 40 CFR part 2, subpart B.
The annual burden for this collection of information for the states
(averaged over the first 3 years following promulgation) is estimated
to be 89,000 hours at a total annual labor cost of $11.7 million. The
annual burden for the Federal government associated with the state
collection of information (averaged over the first 3 years following
promulgation) is estimated to be 24,000 hours at a total annual labor
cost of $1.7 million. Burden is defined at 5 CFR 1320.3(b).
Respondents/affected entities: States with one or more designated
facilities covered under subpart UUUUb.
Respondent's obligation to respond: Mandatory.
Estimated number of respondents: 43.
Frequency of response: Once.
Total estimated burden: 89,000 hours (per year). Burden is defined
at 5 CFR 1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $11.7 million, includes $35,000 annualized
capital or operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required
to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number. The OMB control numbers for the
EPA's regulations in 40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When OMB
approves this ICR, the Agency will announce that approval in the
Federal Register and publish a technical amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to
display the OMB control number for the approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
Pursuant to sections 603 and 609(b) of the RFA, the EPA prepared an
initial regulatory flexibility analysis (IRFA) for the proposed rule
and convened a Small Business Advocacy Review (SBAR) Panel to obtain
advice and recommendations from small entity representatives that
potentially would be subject to the rule's requirements. Summaries of
the IRFA and Panel recommendations are presented in the supplemental
proposed rule at 88 FR 80582 (November 20, 2023). The complete IRFA and
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As required by section 604 of the RFA, the EPA prepared a final
regulatory flexibility analysis (FRFA) for this action. The FRFA
provides a statement of the need for, and objectives of, the rule;
addresses the issues raised by public comments on the IRFA for the
proposed rule, including public comments filed by the Chief Counsel for
Advocacy of the Small Business Administration; describes the small
entities to which the rule will apply; describes the projected
reporting, recordkeeping and other compliance requirements of the rule
and their impacts; and describes the steps the agency has taken to
minimize impacts on small entities consistent with the stated
objectives of the Clean Air Act. The complete FRFA is available for
review in the docket and is summarized here. The scope of the FRFA is
limited to the NSPS. The impacts of the emission guidelines are not
evaluated here because the emission guidelines do not place explicit
requirements on the regulated industry. Those impacts will be evaluated
pursuant to the development of a Federal plan.
In 2009, the EPA concluded that GHG emissions endanger our nation's
public health and welfare. Since that time, the evidence of the harms
posed by GHG emissions has only grown and Americans experience the
destructive and worsening effects of climate change every day. Fossil
fuel-fired EGUs are the nation's largest stationary source of GHG
emissions, representing 25 percent of the United States' total GHG
emissions in 2021. At the same time, a range of cost-effective
technologies and approaches to reduce GHG emissions from these sources
are available to the power sector, and multiple projects are in various
stages of operation and development. Congress has also acted to provide
funding and other incentives to encourage the deployment of these
technologies to achieve reductions in GHG emissions from the power
sector.
In this notice, the EPA is finalizing several actions under CAA
section 111 to reduce the significant quantity of GHG emissions from
fossil fuel-fired EGUs by establishing emission guidelines and NSPS
that are based on available and cost-effective technologies that
directly reduce GHG emissions from these sources. Consistent with the
statutory command of CAA section 111, the final NSPS and emission
guidelines reflect the application of the BSER that,
[[Page 40023]]
taking into account costs, energy requirements, and other statutory
factors, is adequately demonstrated.
These final actions ensure that EGUs reduce their GHG emissions in
a manner that is cost-effective and improve the emissions performance
of the sources, consistent with the applicable CAA requirements and
caselaw. These standards and emission guidelines will significantly
decrease GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired EGUs and the associated
harms to human health and welfare. Further, the EPA has designed these
standards and emission guidelines in a way that is compatible with the
nation's overall need for a reliable supply of affordable electricity.
The significant issues raised in public comments specifically in
response to the initial regulatory flexibility analysis came from the
Office of Advocacy within the Small Business Administration (Advocacy).
The EPA agreed that convening a SBAR Panel was warranted because the
EPA solicited comment on a number of policy options that, if finalized,
could affect the estimate of total compliance costs and therefore the
impacts on small entities. The EPA issued an IRFA and solicited comment
on regulatory flexibilities for small business in a supplemental
proposed rule, published in November 2023.
Advocacy provided further substantive comments on the IRFA that
accompanied the November 2023 supplemental proposed rule. The comments
reiterated the concerns raised in its original comment letter on the
proposed rule and further made the following claims: (1) the IRFA does
not provide small entities an accurate description of the impacts of
the proposed rule, (2) small entities remain concerned that the EPA has
not taken reliability concerns seriously.
In response to these comments and feedback during the SBAR Panel,
the EPA revised its small business assessment to incorporate the final
SBA guidelines (effective March 17th 2023) when performing the
screening analysis to identify small businesses that have built or have
planned/committed builds of combustion turbines since 2017. The EPA
also treated additional entities within this subset as small based on
feedback received during the panel process. The net effect of these
changes is to increase the total compliance cost attributed to small
entities, and the number of small entities potentially affected. The
EPA additionally increased the assumed delivered hydrogen price to
$1.15/kg.
Further, the EPA is finalizing multiple adjustments to the proposed
rule that ensure the requirements in the final actions can be
implemented without compromising the ability of power companies, grid
operators, and state and Federal energy regulators to maintain resource
adequacy and grid reliability.
To estimate the number of small businesses potentially impacted by
the NSPS, the EPA performed a small entity screening analysis for
impacts on all affected EGUs by comparing compliance costs to historic
revenues at the ultimate parent company level. The EPA reviewed
historical data and planned builds since 2017 to determine the universe
of NGCC and natural gas combustion turbine additions. Next, the EPA
followed SBA size standards to determine which ultimate parent entities
should be considered small entities in this analysis.
Once the costs of the rule were calculated, the costs attributed to
small entities were calculated by multiplying the total costs to the
share of the historical build attributed to small entities. These costs
were then shared to individual entities using the ratio of their build
to total small entity additions in the historical dataset.
The EPA assessed the economic and financial impacts of the rule
using the ratio of compliance costs to the value of revenues from
electricity generation, focusing in particular on entities for which
this measure is greater than 1 percent. Of the 14 entities that own
NGCC units considered in this analysis, three are projected to
experience compliance costs greater than or equal to 1 percent of
generation revenues in 2035 and none are projected to experience
compliance costs greater than or equal to 3 percent of generation
revenues in 2035.
Prior to the November 2023 supplemental proposed rule, the EPA
convened a SBAR Panel to obtain recommendations from small entity
representatives (SERs) on elements of the regulation. The Panel
identified significant alternatives for consideration by the
Administrator of the EPA, which were summarized in a final report.
Based on the Panel recommendations, as well as comments received in
response to both the May 2023 proposed rule and the November 2023
supplemental proposed rule, the EPA is finalizing several regulatory
alternatives that could accomplish the stated objectives of the Clean
Air Act while minimizing any significant economic impact of the final
rule on small entities. Discussion of those alternatives is provided
below.
Mechanisms for reliability relief: As described in section XII.F of
this preamble, the EPA is finalizing several adjustments to provisions
in the proposed rules that address reliability concerns and ensure that
the final rules provide adequate flexibilities and assurance mechanisms
that allow grid operators to continue to fulfill their responsibilities
to maintain the reliability of the bulk-power system. The EPA is
additionally finalizing additional reliability-related instruments to
provide further certainty that implementation of these final rules will
not intrude on grid operator's ability to ensure reliability. The
short-term reliability emergency mechanism, which is available for both
new and existing units, is designed to provide an alternative
compliance strategy during acute system emergencies when reliability
might be threatened. The reliability assurance mechanism will be
available for existing units that intend to cease operating, but, for
unforeseen reasons, need to temporarily remain online to support
reliability beyond the planned cease operation date. This reliability
assurance mechanism, which requires an adequate showing of reliability
need, is intended to apply to circumstances where there is insufficient
time to complete a state plan revision. Whether to grant an extension
to an owner/operator is solely the decision of the EPA. Concurrence or
approval of FERC is not a condition but may inform EPA's decision.
These instruments will be presumptively approvable, provided they meet
the requirements defined in these emission guidelines, if states choose
to incorporate them into their plans.
Throughout the SBAR Panel outreach, SERs expressed concerns that
the proposed rule will have significant reliability impacts, including
that areas with transmission system limitations and energy market
constraints risk power interruption if replacement generation cannot be
put in place before retirements. SERs recommended that Regional
Transmission Organizations (RTOs) be involved to evaluate safety and
reliability concerns.
SERs additionally stated that the proposed rule relies on the
continued development of technologies not currently in wide use and
large-scale investments in new infrastructure and that the proposed
rule pushes these technologies significantly faster than the
infrastructure will be ready and sooner than the SERs can justify
investment to their stakeholders and ratepayers. SERs stated that this
is of particular concern for small entities that are retiring
generation in response to other regulatory mandates and need to replace
that generation to continue serving their customers.
[[Page 40024]]
The suite of comprehensive adjustments in the final rules, along
with the two explicit reliability mechanisms are directly responsive to
SER's statements and concerns about grid reliability and the impact of
retiring generating on small businesses.
Subcategories: Throughout the SBAR Panel, SERs expressed concerns
that control requirements on rural electric cooperatives may be an
additional hardship on economically disadvantaged communities and small
entities. SERs stated that the EPA should further evaluate increased
energy costs, transmission upgrade costs, and infrastructure
encroachment which are concrete effects on the disproportionately
impacted communities. Additionally, SERs stated hydrogen and CCS cannot
be BSER because they are not commercially available and viable in very
rural areas.
The EPA solicited comment on potential exclusions or subcategories
for small entities that would be based on the class, type, or size of
the source and be consistent with the Clean Air Act. The EPA also
solicited comment on whether rural electric cooperatives and small
utility distribution systems (serving 50,000 customers or less) can
expect to have access to hydrogen and CCS infrastructure, and if a
subcategory for these units is appropriate.
The EPA evaluated public comments received and determined that
establishing a separate subcategory for rural electric cooperatives was
not warranted. However, the EPA is not finalizing the low-GHG hydrogen
BSER pathway. In response to concerns raised by small business and
other commenters, the EPA conducted additional analysis of the BSER
criteria and its proposed determination that low-GHG hydrogen co-firing
qualified as the BSER. This additional analysis led the EPA to assess
that the cost of low-GHG hydrogen in 2030 will likely be higher than
proposed, and these higher cost estimates and associated uncertainties
related to its nationwide availability were key factors in the EPA's
decision to revise its 2030 cost estimate for delivered low-GHG
hydrogen and are reflected in the increased price. For CCS, as
discussed in sections VIII.F.4.c.iv and VII.C.1.a of this preamble, the
EPA considered geographic availability of sequestration, as well as the
timelines, materials, and workforce necessary for installing CCS, and
determined they are sufficient. Moreover, while the BSER is premised on
source-to-sink CO2 pipelines and sequestration, the EPA
notes that many EGUs in rural areas are primed to take advantage of
synergy with the broader deployment of CCS in other industries.
Capture, pipelines, and sequestration are already in place or in
advanced stages of deployment for ethanol production from corn, an
industry rooted in rural areas. The high purity CO2 from
ethanol production provides advantageous economics for CCS.
The EPA believes the decision to not finalize a low-GHG hydrogen
BSER pathway is responsive to SER's statements and concerns regarding
the availability of low-GHG hydrogen in very rural areas.
In addition, the EPA is preparing a Small Entity Compliance Guide
to help small entities comply with this rule. The guide will be
available 60 days after publication of the final rule at https://www.epa.gov/stationary-sources-air-pollution/greenhouse-gas-standards-and-guidelines-fossil-fuel-fired-power.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA)
The NSPS contain a Federal mandate under UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538,
that may result in expenditures of $100 million or more for the private
sector in any one year. The NSPS do not contain an unfunded mandate of
$100 million or more as described in UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538 for
state, local, and tribal governments, in the aggregate. Accordingly,
the EPA prepared, under section 202 of UMRA, a written statement of the
benefit-cost analysis, which is in section XIII.A of this preamble and
in the RIA.
The repeal of the ACE Rule and emission guidelines do not contain
an unfunded mandate of $100 million or more as described in UMRA, 2
U.S.C. 1531-1538, and do not significantly or uniquely affect small
governments. The emission guidelines do not impose any direct
compliance requirements on regulated entities, apart from the
requirement for states to develop plans to implement the guidelines
under CAA section 111(d) for designated EGUs. The burden for states to
develop CAA section 111(d) plans in the 24-month period following
promulgation of the emission guidelines was estimated and is listed in
section XIII.B, but this burden is estimated to be below $100 million
in any one year. As explained in section X.E.6, the emission guidelines
do not impose specific requirements on tribal governments that have
designated EGUs located in their area of Indian country.
These actions are not subject to the requirements of section 203 of
UMRA because they contain no regulatory requirements that might
significantly or uniquely affect small governments. In light of the
interest in these actions among governmental entities, the EPA
initiated consultation with governmental entities. The EPA invited the
following 10 national organizations representing state and local
elected officials to a virtual meeting on September 22, 2022: (1)
National Governors Association, (2) National Conference of State
Legislatures, (3) Council of State Governments, (4) National League of
Cities, (5) U.S. Conference of Mayors, (6) National Association of
Counties, (7) International City/County Management Association, (8)
National Association of Towns and Townships, (9) County Executives of
America, and (10) Environmental Council of States. These 10
organizations representing elected state and local officials have been
identified by the EPA as the ``Big 10'' organizations appropriate to
contact for purpose of consultation with elected officials. Also, the
EPA invited air and utility professional groups who may have state and
local government members, including the Association of Air Pollution
Control Agencies, National Association of Clean Air Agencies, and
American Public Power Association, Large Public Power Council, National
Rural Electric Cooperative Association, and National Association of
Regulatory Utility Commissioners to participate in the meeting. The
purpose of the consultation was to provide general background on these
rulemakings, answer questions, and solicit input from state and local
governments. For a summary of the UMRA consultation see the memorandum
in the docket titled Federalism Pre-Proposal Consultation
Summary.\1053\
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E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
These actions do not have federalism implications as that term is
defined in E.O. 13132. Consistent with the cooperative federalism
approach directed by the Clean Air Act, states will establish standards
of performance for existing sources under the emission guidelines set
out in this final rule. These actions will not have substantial direct
effects on the states, on the relationship between the national
government and the states, or on the distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various levels of government.
Although the direct compliance costs may not be substantial, the
EPA nonetheless elected to consult with representatives of state and
local governments in the process of
[[Page 40025]]
developing these actions to permit them to have meaningful and timely
input into their development. The EPA's consultation regarded planned
actions for the NSPS and emission guidelines. The EPA invited the
following 10 national organizations representing state and local
elected officials to a virtual meeting on September 22, 2022: (1)
National Governors Association, (2) National Conference of State
Legislatures, (3) Council of State Governments, (4) National League of
Cities, (5) U.S. Conference of Mayors, (6) National Association of
Counties, (7) International City/County Management Association, (8)
National Association of Towns and Townships, (9) County Executives of
America, and (10) Environmental Council of States. These 10
organizations representing elected state and local officials have been
identified by the EPA as the ``Big 10'' organizations appropriate to
contact for purpose of consultation with elected officials. Also, the
EPA invited air and utility professional groups who may have state and
local government members, including the Association of Air Pollution
Control Agencies, National Association of Clean Air Agencies, and
American Public Power Association, Large Public Power Council, National
Rural Electric Cooperative Association, and National Association of
Regulatory Utility Commissioners to participate in the meeting. The
purpose of the consultation was to provide general background on these
rulemakings, answer questions, and solicit input from state and local
governments. For a summary of the Federalism consultation see the
memorandum in the docket titled Federalism Pre-Proposal Consultation
Summary.\1054\
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F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With Indian
Tribal Governments
These actions do not have tribal implications, as specified in
Executive Order 13175. The NSPS imposes requirements on owners and
operators of new or reconstructed stationary combustion turbines and
the emission guidelines do not impose direct requirements on tribal
governments. Tribes are not required to develop plans to implement the
emission guidelines developed under CAA section 111(d) for designated
EGUs. The EPA is aware of two fossil fuel-fired steam generating units
located in Indian country, and one fossil fuel-fired steam generating
units owned or operated by tribal entities. The EPA notes that the
emission guidelines do not directly impose specific requirements on EGU
sources, including those located in Indian country, but before
developing any standards for sources on tribal land, the EPA would
consult with leaders from affected tribes. Thus, Executive Order 13175
does not apply to these actions.
Because the EPA is aware of tribal interest in these rules and
consistent with the EPA Policy on Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribes, the EPA offered government-to-government consultation
with tribes and conducted outreach and engagement.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental
Health Risks and Safety Risks Populations and Low-Income Populations
This action is subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885, April
23, 1997) because it is a significant regulatory action as defined by
E.O. 12866(3)(f)(1), and the EPA believes that the environmental health
or safety risk addressed by this action has a disproportionate effect
on children. Accordingly, the Agency has evaluated the environmental
health and welfare effects of climate change on children. GHGs
contribute to climate change and are emitted in significant quantities
by the power sector. The EPA believes that the GHG emission reductions
resulting from implementation of these standards and guidelines will
further improve children's health. The assessment literature cited in
the EPA's 2009 Endangerment Findings concluded that certain populations
and life stages, including children, the elderly, and the poor, are
most vulnerable to climate-related health effects (74 FR 66524,
December 15, 2009). The assessment literature since 2016 strengthens
these conclusions by providing more detailed findings regarding these
groups' vulnerabilities and the projected impacts they may experience.
These assessments describe how children's unique physiological and
developmental factors contribute to making them particularly vulnerable
to climate change. Impacts to children are expected from heat waves,
air pollution, infectious and waterborne illnesses, and mental health
effects resulting from extreme weather events. In addition, children
are among those especially susceptible to most allergic diseases, as
well as health effects associated with heat waves, storms, and floods.
Additional health concerns may arise in low-income households,
especially those with children, if climate change reduces food
availability and increases prices, leading to food insecurity within
households. More detailed information on the impacts of climate change
to human health and welfare is provided in section III of this
preamble. Under these final actions, the EPA expects that
CO2 emissions reductions will improve air quality and
mitigate climate impacts which will benefit the health and welfare of
children.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
These actions, which are significant regulatory actions under
Executive Order 12866, are likely to have to have a significant adverse
effect on the supply, distribution or use of energy. The EPA has
prepared a Statement of Energy Effects for these actions as follows.
The EPA estimates a 1.4 percent increase in retail electricity prices
on average, across the contiguous U.S. in 2035, and a 42 percent
reduction in coal-fired electricity generation in 2035 as a result of
these actions. The EPA projects that utility power sector delivered
natural gas prices will increase 3 percent in 2035. As outlined in the
Final TSD, Resource Adequacy Analysis, available in the docket for this
rulemaking, the EPA demonstrates that compliance with the final rules
can be achieved while maintaining resource adequacy, and that the rules
include additional flexibility measures designed to address
reliability-related concerns. For more information on the estimated
energy effects, please refer section 3 of the RIA, which is in the
public docket.
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA) and 1 CFR
Part 51
This rulemaking involves technical standards. Therefore, the EPA
conducted searches for the New Source Performance Standards for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy Rule
through the Enhanced National Standards Systems Network (NSSN) Database
managed by the American National Standards Institute (ANSI). Searches
were conducted for EPA Method 19 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A. No
applicable voluntary consensus standards (VCS) were identified for EPA
Method 19. For additional information, please see the March 23, 2023,
memorandum titled Voluntary Consensus Standard Results for New Source
Performance Standards for
[[Page 40026]]
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from New, Modified, and Reconstructed Fossil
Fuel-Fired Electric Generating Units; Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Existing Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Generating Units; and Repeal of the Affordable Clean Energy Rule.\1055\
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In accordance with the requirements of 1 CFR part 51, the EPA is
incorporating the following 10 voluntary consensus standards by
reference in the final rule.
ANSI C12.20-2010, American National Standard for
Electricity Meters--0.2 and 0.5 Accuracy Classes (Approved August 31,
2010) is cited in the final rule to assure consistent monitoring of
electric output. This standard establishes the physical aspects and
acceptable performance criteria for 0.2 and 0.5 accuracy class
electricity meters. These meters would be used to measure hourly
electric output that would be used, in part, to calculate compliance
with an emissions standard.
ASME PTC 22-2014, Gas Turbines: Performance Test Codes,
(Issued December 31, 2014), is cited in the final rule to provide
directions and rules for conduct and reporting of results of thermal
performance tests for open cycle simple cycle combustion turbines. The
object is to determine the thermal performance of the combustion
turbine when operating at test conditions and correcting these test
results to specified reference conditions. PTC 22 provides explicit
procedures for the determination of the following performance results:
corrected power, corrected heat rate (efficiency), corrected exhaust
flow, corrected exhaust energy, and corrected exhaust temperature.
Tests may be designed to satisfy different goals, including absolute
performance and comparative performance.
ASME PTC 46-1996, Performance Test Code on Overall Plant
Performance, (Issued October 15, 1997), is cited in the final rule to
provide uniform test methods and procedures for the determination of
the thermal performance and electrical output of heat-cycle electric
power plants and combined heat and power units (PTC 46 is not
applicable to simple cycle combustion turbines). Test results provide a
measure of the performance of a power plant or thermal island at a
specified cycle configuration, operating disposition and/or fixed power
level, and at a unique set of base reference conditions. PTC 46
provides explicit procedures for the determination of the following
performance results: corrected net power, corrected heat rate, and
corrected heat input.
ASTM D388-99 (Reapproved 2004), Standard Classification of
Coals by Rank, covers the classification of coals by rank, that is,
according to their degree of metamorphism, or progressive alteration,
in the natural series from lignite to anthracite. It is used to define
coal as a fuel type which is then referenced when defining coal-fired
electric generating units, one of the subjects of this rule.
ASTM D396-98, Standard Specification for Fuel Oils, covers
grades of fuel oil intended for use in various types of fuel-oil-
burning equipment under various climatic and operating conditions.
These include Grades 1 and 2 (for use in domestic and small industrial
burners), Grade 4 (heavy distillate fuels or distillate/residual fuel
blends used in commercial/industrial burners equipped for this
viscosity range), and Grades 5 and 6 (residual fuels of increasing
viscosity and boiling range, used in industrial burners).
ASTM D975-08a, Standard Specification for Diesel Fuel
Oils, covers seven grades of diesel fuel oils based on grade, sulfur
content, and volatility. These grades range from Grade No. 1-D S15 (a
special-purpose, light middle distillate fuel for use in diesel engine
applications requiring a fuel with 15 ppm sulfur (maximum) and higher
volatility than that provided by Grade No. 2-D S15 fuel) to Grade No.
4-D (a heavy distillate fuel, or a blend of distillate and residual
oil, for use in low- and medium-speed diesel engines in applications
involving predominantly constant speed and load).
ASTM D3699-08, Standard Specification for Kerosine,
including Appendix X1, (Approved September 1, 2008) covers two grades
of kerosene suitable for use in critical kerosene burner applications:
No. 1-K (a special low sulfur grade kerosene suitable for use in non-
flue-connected kerosene burner appliances and for use in wick-fed
illuminating lamps) and No. 2-K (a regular grade kerosene suitable for
use in flue-connected burner appliances and for use in wick-fed
illuminating lamps). It is used to define kerosene, which is a type of
uniform fuel listed in this rule.
ASTM D6751-11b, Standard Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blend Stock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels, including Appendices X1
through X3, (Approved July 15, 2011) covers biodiesel (B100) Grades S15
and S500 for use as a blend component with middle distillate fuels. It
is used to define biodiesel, which is a type of uniform fuel listed in
this rule.
ASTM D7467-10, Standard Specification for Diesel Fuel Oil,
Biodiesel Blend (B6 to B20), including Appendices X1 through X3,
(Approved August 1, 2010) covers fuel blend grades of 6 to 20 volume
percent biodiesel with the remainder being a light middle or middle
distillate diesel fuel, collectively designated as B6 to B20. It is
used to define biodiesel blends, which is a type of uniform fuel listed
in this rule.
ISO 2314:2009(E), Gas turbines-Acceptance tests, Third
edition (December 15, 2009) is cited in the final rule for its guidance
on determining performance characteristics of stationary combustion
turbines. ISO 2314 specifies guidelines and procedures for preparing,
conducting and reporting thermal acceptance tests in order to determine
and/or verify electrical power output, mechanical power, thermal
efficiency (heat rate), turbine exhaust gas energy and/or other
performance characteristics of open-cycle simple cycle combustion
turbines using combustion systems supplied with gaseous and/or liquid
fuels as well as closed-cycle and semi closed-cycle simple cycle
combustion turbines. It can also be applied to simple cycle combustion
turbines in combined cycle power plants or in connection with other
heat recovery systems. ISO 2314 includes procedures for the
determination of the following performance parameters, corrected to the
reference operating parameters: electrical or mechanical power output
(gas power, if only gas is supplied), thermal efficiency or heat rate;
and combustion turbine engine exhaust energy (optionally exhaust
temperature and flow).
The EPA determined that the ANSI, ASME, ASTM, and ISO standards,
notwithstanding the age of the standards, are reasonably available
because they are available for purchase from the following addresses:
American National Standards Institute (ANSI), 25 West 43rd Street, 4th
Floor, New York, NY 10036-7422, +1.212.642.4900, [email protected],
www.ansi.org; American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME), Two Park
Avenue, New York, NY 10016-5990, +1.800.843.2763,
[email protected], www.asme.org; ASTM International, 100 Barr
Harbor Drive, Post Office Box C700, West Conshohocken, PA 19428-2959,
+1.610.832.9500, www.astm.org; International Organization for
Standardization (ISO), Chemin de Blandonnet 8, CP 401, 1214 Vernier,
Geneva, Switzerland, +41.22.749.01.11, [email protected],
www.iso.org.
[[Page 40027]]
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations and
Executive Order 14096: Revitalizing Our Nation's Commitment to
Environmental Justice for All
The EPA believes that the human health or environmental conditions
that exist prior to these actions result in or have the potential to
result in disproportionate and adverse human health or environmental
effects on communities with environmental justice concerns. Baseline
PM2.5 and ozone and exposure analyses show that certain
populations, such as residents of redlined census tracts, those
linguistically isolated, Hispanic, Asian, and those without a high
school diploma may experience higher ozone and PM2.5
exposures as compared to the national average. American Indian
populations, residents of Tribal Lands, populations with life
expectancy data unavailable, children, and unemployed populations may
also experience disproportionately higher ozone concentrations than the
national average. Black populations may also experience
disproportionately higher PM2.5 concentrations than the
national average.
For existing sources, the EPA believes that this action is not
likely to change existing disproportionate and adverse disparities
among communities with EJ concerns regarding PM2.5 exposures
in all future years evaluated and ozone exposures for most demographic
groups in the future years evaluated. However, in 2035, under the
illustrative compliance scenarios analyzed, it is possible that Asian
populations, Hispanic populations, and those linguistically isolated,
and those living on Tribal land may experience a slight exacerbation of
ozone exposure disparities at the national level (EJ question 3).
Additionally at the national level, those living on Tribal land may
experience a slight exacerbation of ozone exposure disparities in 2040
and a slight mitigation of ozone exposure disparities in 2028 and 2030.
At the state level, ozone exposure disparities may be either mitigated
or exacerbated for certain demographic groups analyzed, also to a small
degree. As discussed above, it is important to note that this analysis
does not consider any potential impact of the meaningful engagement
provisions or all of the other protections that are in place that can
reduce the risks of localized emissions increases in a manner that is
protective of public health, safety, and the environment.
For new sources, the EPA believes that it is not practicable to
assess whether this action is likely to result in new disproportionate
and adverse effects on communities with environmental justice concerns,
because the location and number of new sources is unknown. However, the
EPA believes that the projected total cumulative power sector reduction
of 1,365 million metric tons of CO2 emissions between 2028
and 2047 will have a beneficial effect on populations at risk of
climate change effects/impacts. Research indicates that racial, ethnic,
and low socioeconomic status, vulnerable lifestages, and geographic
locations may leave individuals uniquely vulnerable to climate change
health impacts in the U.S.
The information supporting this Executive Order review is contained
in section XII.E of this preamble and in section 6, Environmental
Justice Impacts of the RIA, which is in the public docket.
K. Congressional Review Act (CRA)
This action is subject to the CRA, and the EPA will submit the rule
report to each House of the Congress and to the Comptroller General of
the United States. This action meets the criteria set forth in 5 U.S.C.
804(2).
XIV. Statutory Authority
The statutory authority for the actions in this rulemaking is
provided by sections 111, 302, and 307(d)(1) of the CAA as amended (42
U.S.C. 7411, 7602, 7607(d)(1)). These actions are subject to section
307(d) of the CAA (42 U.S.C. 7607(d)).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 60
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedures,
Air pollution control, Incorporation by reference, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements.
Michael S. Regan,
Administrator.
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, the EPA amends 40 CFR
part 60 as follows:
PART 60--STANDARDS OF PERFORMANCE FOR NEW STATIONARY SOURCES
0
1. The authority citation for part 60 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart A--General Provisions
0
2. Section 60.17 is amended by:
0
a. Revising paragraphs (d)(1), (g)(15) and (16), (h)(38), (43), (47),
(145), (206), and (212), the introductory text of paragraph (i);
0
b. Removing note 1 to paragraph (k) and paragraph (l);
0
c. Redesignating paragraphs (j) through (u) as shown in the following
table:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Old paragraph New paragraph
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(j)....................................... (k).
(k)....................................... (m).
(m) through (o)........................... (n) through (p).
(p) through (r)........................... (r) through (t).
(s)....................................... (q).
(t)....................................... (j).
(u)....................................... (l).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
d. Revising newly-redesignated paragraphs (j) and (l), the introductory
text to newly-redesignated paragraph (m), newly-redesignated paragraph
(n), and the introductory text to newly-redesignated paragraphs (o),
(q), and (r).
The revisions read as follows:
Sec. 60.17 Incorporations by reference.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(1) ANSI No. C12.20-2010 American National Standard for Electricity
Meters--0.2 and 0.5 Accuracy Classes (Approved August 31, 2010); IBR
approved for Sec. Sec. 60.5535(d); 60.5535a(d); 60.5860b(a).
* * * * *
(g) * * *
(15) ASME PTC 22-2014, Gas Turbines: Performance Test Codes,
(Issued December 31, 2014); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.5580;
60.5580a.
(16) ASME PTC 46-1996, Performance Test Code on Overall Plant
Performance, (Issued October 15,1997); IBR approved for Sec. Sec.
60.5580; 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(h) * * *
(38) ASTM D388-99 (Reapproved 2004) [egr]1(ASTM D388-
99R04), Standard Classification of Coals by Rank, (Approved June 1,
2004); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.41; 60.45(f); 60.41Da; 60.41b;
60.41c; 60.251; 60.5580; 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(43) ASTM D396-98, Standard Specification for Fuel Oils, (Approved
April 10, 1998); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.41b; 60.41c; 60.111(b);
60.111a(b); 60.5580; 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(47) ASTM D975-08a, Standard Specification for Diesel Fuel Oils,
(Approved October 1, 2008); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.41b; 60.41c;
60.5580; 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(145) ASTM D3699-08, Standard Specification for Kerosine, including
Appendix X1, (Approved September 1,
[[Page 40028]]
2008); IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.41b; 60.41c; 60.5580; 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(206) ASTM D6751-11b, Standard Specification for Biodiesel Fuel
Blend Stock (B100) for Middle Distillate Fuels, including Appendices X1
through X3, (Approved July 15, 2011), IBR approved for Sec. Sec.
60.41b, 60.41c, 60.5580, and 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(212) ASTM D7467-10, Standard Specification for Diesel Fuel Oil,
Biodiesel Blend (B6 to B20), including Appendices X1 through X3,
(Approved August 1, 2010), IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.41b, 60.41c,
60.5580, and 60.5580a.
* * * * *
(i) Association of Official Analytical Chemists, 1111 North 19th
Street, Suite 210, Arlington, VA 22209; phone: (301) 927-7077; website:
https://www.aoac.org/.
* * * * *
(j) CSA Group (CSA) (formerly Canadian Standards Association), 178
Rexdale Boulevard, Toronto, Ontario, Canada; phone: (800) 463-6727;
website: https://shop.csa.ca.
(1) CSA B415.1-10, Performance Testing of Solid-fuel-burning
Heating Appliances, (March 2010), IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.534;
60.5476.
(2) [Reserved]
* * * * *
(l) European Standards (EN), European Committee for
Standardization, Management Centre, Avenue Marnix 17, B-1000 Brussels,
Belgium; phone: + 32 2 550 08 11; website: https://www.en-standard.eu.
(1) DIN EN 303-5:2012E (EN 303-5), Heating boilers--Part 5: Heating
boilers for solid fuels, manually and automatically stoked, nominal
heat output of up to 500 kW--Terminology, requirements, testing and
marking, (October 2012), IBR approved for Sec. 60.5476.
(2) [Reserved]
* * * * *
(m) GPA Midstream Association, 6060 American Plaza, Suite 700,
Tulsa, OK 74135; phone: (918) 493-3872; website: www.gpamidstream.org.
* * * * *
(n) International Organization for Standardization (ISO), 1, ch. de
la Voie-Creuse, Case postale 56, CH-1211 Geneva 20, Switzerland; phone:
+ 41 22 749 01 11; website: www.iso.org.
(1) ISO 8178-4: 1996(E), Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines--Exhaust Emission Measurement--part 4: Test Cycles for
Different Engine Applications, IBR approved for Sec. 60.4241(b).
(2) ISO 2314:2009(E), Gas turbines-Acceptance tests, Third edition
(December 15, 2009), IBR approved for Sec. Sec. 60.5580; 60.5580a.
(3) ISO 8316: Measurement of Liquid Flow in Closed Conduits--Method
by Collection of the Liquid in a Volumetric Tank (1987-10-01)--First
Edition, IBR approved for Sec. 60.107a(d).
(4) ISO 10715:1997(E), Natural gas--Sampling guidelines, (First
Edition, June 1, 1997), IBR approved for Sec. 60.4415(a).
(o) National Technical Information Services (NTIS), 5285 Port Royal
Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161.
* * * * *
(q) Pacific Lumber Inspection Bureau (formerly West Coast Lumber
Inspection Bureau), 1010 South 336th Street #210, Federal Way, WA
98003; phone: (253) 835.3344; website: www.plib.org.
* * * * *
(r) Technical Association of the Pulp and Paper Industry (TAPPI),
15 Technology Parkway South, Suite 115, Peachtree Corners, GA 30092;
phone (800) 332-8686; website: www.tappi.org.
* * * * *
Subpart TTTT--Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
for Electric Generating Units
0
3. Section 60.5508 is revised to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5508 What is the purpose of this subpart?
This subpart establishes emission standards and compliance
schedules for the control of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a
steam generating unit or an integrated gasification combined cycle
(IGCC) facility that commences construction after January 8, 2014,
commences reconstruction after June 18, 2014, or commences modification
after January 8, 2014, but on or before May 23, 2023. This subpart also
establishes emission standards and compliance schedules for the control
of GHG emissions from a stationary combustion turbine that commences
construction after January 8, 2014, but on or before May 23, 2023, or
commences reconstruction after June 18, 2014, but on or before May 23,
2023. An affected steam generating unit, IGCC, or stationary combustion
turbine shall, for the purposes of this subpart, be referred to as an
affected electric generating unit (EGU).
0
4. Section 60.5509 is revised to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5509 What are my general requirements for complying with this
subpart?
(a) Except as provided for in paragraph (b) of this section, the
GHG standards included in this subpart apply to any steam generating
unit or IGCC that commenced construction after January 8, 2014, or
commenced modification or reconstruction after June 18, 2014, that
meets the relevant applicability conditions in paragraphs (a)(1) and
(2) of this section. The GHG standards included in this subpart also
apply to any stationary combustion turbine that commenced construction
after January 8, 2014, but on or before May 23, 2023, or commenced
reconstruction after June 18, 2014, but on or before May 23, 2023, that
meets the relevant applicability conditions in paragraphs (a)(1) and
(2) of this section.
(1) Has a base load rating greater than 260 gigajoules per hour
(GJ/h) (250 million British thermal units per hour (MMBtu/h)) of fossil
fuel (either alone or in combination with any other fuel); and
(2) Serves a generator or generators capable of selling greater
than 25 megawatts (MW) of electricity to a utility power distribution
system.
(b) You are not subject to the requirements of this subpart if your
affected EGU meets any of the conditions specified in paragraphs (b)(1)
through (10) of this section.
(1) Your EGU is a steam generating unit or IGCC whose annual net-
electric sales have never exceeded one-third of its potential electric
output or 219,000 megawatt-hour (MWh), whichever is greater, and is
currently subject to a federally enforceable permit condition limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than one-third of its potential
electric output or 219,000 MWh, whichever is greater.
(2) Your EGU is capable of deriving 50 percent or more of the heat
input from non-fossil fuel at the base load rating and is also subject
to a federally enforceable permit condition limiting the annual
capacity factor for all fossil fuels combined of 10 percent (0.10) or
less.
(3) Your EGU is a combined heat and power unit that is subject to a
federally enforceable permit condition limiting annual net-electric
sales to no more than either 219,000 MWh or the product of the design
efficiency and the potential electric output, whichever is greater.
(4) Your EGU serves a generator along with other steam generating
unit(s), IGCC, or stationary combustion turbine(s) where the effective
generation capacity (determined based on a prorated output of the base
load rating
[[Page 40029]]
of each steam generating unit, IGCC, or stationary combustion turbine)
is 25 MW or less.
(5) Your EGU is a municipal waste combustor that is subject to
subpart Eb of this part.
(6) Your EGU is a commercial or industrial solid waste incineration
unit that is subject to subpart CCCC of this part.
(7) Your EGU is a steam generating unit or IGCC that undergoes a
modification resulting in an hourly increase in CO2
emissions (mass per hour) of 10 percent or less (2 significant
figures). Modified units that are not subject to the requirements of
this subpart pursuant to this paragraph (b)(7) continue to be existing
units under section 111 with respect to CO2 emissions
standards.
(8) Your EGU is a stationary combustion turbine that is not capable
of combusting natural gas (e.g., not connected to a natural gas
pipeline).
(9) Your EGU derives greater than 50 percent of the heat input from
an industrial process that does not produce any electrical or
mechanical output or useful thermal output that is used outside the
affected EGU.
(10) Your EGU is subject to subpart TTTTa of this part.
0
5. Section 60.5520 is revised to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5520 What CO2 emissions standard must I meet?
(a) For each affected EGU subject to this subpart, you must not
discharge from the affected EGU any gases that contain CO2
in excess of the applicable CO2 emission standard specified
in table 1 or 2 to this subpart, consistent with paragraphs (b), (c),
and (d) of this section, as applicable.
(b) Except as specified in paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section,
you must comply with the applicable gross or net energy output
standard, and your operating permit must include monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting methodologies based on the applicable
gross or net energy output standard. For the remainder of this subpart
(for sources that do not qualify under paragraphs (c) and (d) of this
section), where the term ``gross or net energy output'' is used, the
term that applies to you is ``gross energy output.''
(c) As an alternate to meeting the requirements in paragraph (b) of
this section, an owner or operator of a stationary combustion turbine
may petition the Administrator in writing to comply with the alternate
applicable net energy output standard. If the Administrator grants the
petition, beginning on the date the Administrator grants the petition,
the affected EGU must comply with the applicable net energy output-
based standard included in this subpart. Your operating permit must
include monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting methodologies based on
the applicable net energy output standard. For the remainder of this
subpart, where the term ``gross or net energy output'' is used, the
term that applies to you is ``net energy output.'' Owners or operators
complying with the net output-based standard must petition the
Administrator to switch back to complying with the gross energy output-
based standard.
(d) Owners or operators of a stationary combustion turbine that
maintain records of electric sales to demonstrate that the stationary
combustion turbine is subject to a heat input-based standard in table 2
to this subpart that are only permitted to burn one or more uniform
fuels, as described in paragraph (d)(1) of this section, are only
subject to the monitoring requirements in paragraph (d)(1). Owners or
operators of all other stationary combustion turbines that maintain
records of electric sales to demonstrate that the stationary combustion
turbines are subject to a heat input-based standard in table 2 are only
subject to the requirements in paragraph (d)(2) of this section.
(1) Owners or operators of stationary combustion turbines that are
only permitted to burn fuels with a consistent chemical composition
(i.e., uniform fuels) that result in a consistent emission rate of 69
kilograms per gigajoule (kg/GJ) (160 lb CO2/MMBtu) or less
are not subject to any monitoring or reporting requirements under this
subpart. These fuels include, but are not limited to hydrogen, natural
gas, methane, butane, butylene, ethane, ethylene, propane, naphtha,
propylene, jet fuel kerosene, No. 1 fuel oil, No. 2 fuel oil, and
biodiesel. Stationary combustion turbines qualifying under this
paragraph are only required to maintain purchase records for permitted
fuels.
(2) Owners or operators of stationary combustion turbines permitted
to burn fuels that do not have a consistent chemical composition or
that do not have an emission rate of 69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/
MMBtu) or less (e.g., non-uniform fuels such as residual oil and non-
jet fuel kerosene) must follow the monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements necessary to complete the heat input-based
calculations under this subpart.
0
6. Section 60.5525 is revised to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5525 What are my general requirements for complying with this
subpart?
Combustion turbines qualifying under Sec. 60.5520(d)(1) are not
subject to any requirements in this section other than the requirement
to maintain fuel purchase records for permitted fuel(s). For all other
affected sources, compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard of this subpart shall be determined on a 12-
operating-month rolling average basis. See table 1 or 2 to this subpart
for the applicable CO2 emission standards.
(a) You must be in compliance with the emission standards in this
subpart that apply to your affected EGU at all times. However, you must
determine compliance with the emission standards only at the end of the
applicable operating month, as provided in paragraph (a)(1) of this
section.
(1) For each affected EGU subject to a CO2 emissions
standard based on a 12-operating-month rolling average, you must
determine compliance monthly by calculating the average CO2
emissions rate for the affected EGU at the end of the initial and each
subsequent 12-operating-month period.
(2) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520(d)(2), if your affected
stationary combustion turbine is subject to an input-based
CO2 emissions standard, you must determine the total heat
input in GJ or MMBtu from natural gas (HTIPng) and the total
heat input from all other fuels combined (HTIPo) using one
of the methods under Sec. 60.5535(d)(2). You must then use the
following equation to determine the applicable emissions standard
during the compliance period:
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(2)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.055
[[Page 40030]]
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission standard during the
compliance period in units of kg/GJ (or lb/MMBtu).
HTIPng = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu) from natural
gas.
HTIPo = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu) from all fuels
other than natural gas.
50 = allowable emission rate in kg/GJ for heat input derived from
natural gas (use 120 if electing to demonstrate compliance using lb
CO2/MMBtu).
69 = allowable emission rate in kg/GJ for heat input derived from
all fuels other than natural gas (use 160 if electing to demonstrate
compliance using lb CO2/MMBtu).
(b) At all times you must operate and maintain each affected EGU,
including associated equipment and monitors, in a manner consistent
with safety and good air pollution control practice. The Administrator
will determine if you are using consistent operation and maintenance
procedures based on information available to the Administrator that may
include, but is not limited to, fuel use records, monitoring results,
review of operation and maintenance procedures and records, review of
reports required by this subpart, and inspection of the EGU.
(c) Within 30 days after the end of the initial compliance period
(i.e., no more than 30 days after the first 12-operating-month
compliance period), you must make an initial compliance determination
for your affected EGU(s) with respect to the applicable emissions
standard in table 1 or 2 to this subpart, in accordance with the
requirements in this subpart. The first operating month included in the
initial 12-operating-month compliance period shall be determined as
follows:
(1) For an affected EGU that commences commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2) on or after October 23, 2015, the first month
of the initial compliance period shall be the first operating month (as
defined in Sec. 60.5580) after the calendar month in which emissions
reporting is required to begin under:
(i) Section 60.5555(c)(3)(i), for units subject to the Acid Rain
Program; or
(ii) Section 60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(A), for units that are not in the
Acid Rain Program.
(2) For an affected EGU that has commenced commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2) prior to October 23, 2015:
(i) If the date on which emissions reporting is required to begin
under 40 CFR 75.64(a) has passed prior to October 23, 2015, emissions
reporting shall begin according to Sec. 60.5555(c)(3)(i) (for Acid
Rain program units), or according to Sec. 60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(B) (for
units that are not subject to the Acid Rain Program). The first month
of the initial compliance period shall be the first operating month (as
defined in Sec. 60.5580) after the calendar month in which the rule
becomes effective; or
(ii) If the date on which emissions reporting is required to begin
under 40 CFR 75.64(a) occurs on or after October 23, 2015, then the
first month of the initial compliance period shall be the first
operating month (as defined in Sec. 60.5580) after the calendar month
in which emissions reporting is required to begin under Sec.
60.5555(c)(3)(ii)(A).
(3) For a modified or reconstructed EGU that becomes subject to
this subpart, the first month of the initial compliance period shall be
the first operating month (as defined in Sec. 60.5580) after the
calendar month in which emissions reporting is required to begin under
Sec. 60.5555(c)(3)(iii).
(4) Electric sales by your affected facility generated when it
operated during a system emergency as defined in Sec. 60.5580 are
excluded for applicability with the base load standard if you can
sufficiently provide the documentation listed in Sec. 60.5560(i).
0
7. Section 60.5535 is amended by revising paragraphs (a), (b), (c)(3),
(d)(1), (e), and (f) to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5535 How do I monitor and collect data to demonstrate
compliance?
(a) Combustion turbines qualifying under Sec. 60.5520(d)(1) are
not subject to any requirements in this section other than the
requirement to maintain fuel purchase records for permitted fuel(s). If
your combustion turbine uses non-uniform fuels as specified under Sec.
60.5520(d)(2), you must monitor heat input in accordance with paragraph
(c)(1) of this section, and you must monitor CO2 emissions
in accordance with either paragraph (b), (c)(2), or (c)(5) of this
section. For all other affected sources, you must prepare a monitoring
plan to quantify the hourly CO2 mass emission rate (tons/h),
in accordance with the applicable provisions in 40 CFR 75.53(g) and
(h). The electronic portion of the monitoring plan must be submitted
using the ECMPS Client Tool and must be in place prior to reporting
emissions data and/or the results of monitoring system certification
tests under this subpart. The monitoring plan must be updated as
necessary. Monitoring plan submittals must be made by the Designated
Representative (DR), the Alternate DR, or a delegated agent of the DR
(see Sec. 60.5555(d) and (e)).
(b) You must determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions in
kg from your affected EGU(s) according to paragraphs (b)(1) through (5)
of this section, or, if applicable, as provided in paragraph (c) of
this section.
(1) For an affected EGU that combusts coal you must, and for all
other affected EGUs you may, install, certify, operate, maintain, and
calibrate a CO2 continuous emission monitoring system (CEMS)
to directly measure and record hourly average CO2
concentrations in the affected EGU exhaust gases emitted to the
atmosphere, and a flow monitoring system to measure hourly average
stack gas flow rates, according to 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an
alternative to direct measurement of CO2 concentration,
provided that your EGU does not use carbon separation (e.g., carbon
capture and storage), you may use data from a certified oxygen
(O2) monitor to calculate hourly average CO2
concentrations, in accordance with 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(iii). If you
measure CO2 concentration on a dry basis, you must also
install, certify, operate, maintain, and calibrate a continuous
moisture monitoring system, according to 40 CFR 75.11(b).
Alternatively, you may either use an appropriate fuel-specific default
moisture value from 40 CFR 75.11(b) or submit a petition to the
Administrator under 40 CFR 75.66 for a site-specific default moisture
value.
(2) For each continuous monitoring system that you use to determine
the CO2 mass emissions, you must meet the applicable
certification and quality assurance procedures in 40 CFR 75.20 and
appendices A and B to 40 CFR part 75.
(3) You must use only unadjusted exhaust gas volumetric flow rates
to determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions rate from the
affected EGU; you must not apply the bias adjustment factors described
in Section 7.6.5 of appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 to the exhaust gas
flow rate data.
(4) You must select an appropriate reference method to setup
(characterize) the flow monitor and to perform the on-going RATAs, in
accordance with 40 CFR part 75. If you use a Type-S pitot tube or a
pitot tube assembly for the flow RATAs, you must calibrate the pitot
tube or pitot tube assembly; you may not use the 0.84 default Type-S
pitot tube coefficient specified in Method 2.
(5) Calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions (kg) as
described in paragraphs (b)(5)(i) through (iv) of this section. Perform
this calculation only for ``valid operating hours'', as defined in
Sec. 60.5540(a)(1).
(i) Begin with the hourly CO2 mass emission rate (tons/
h), obtained either from equation F-11 in appendix F to 40
[[Page 40031]]
CFR part 75 (if CO2 concentration is measured on a wet
basis), or by following the procedure in section 4.2 of appendix F to
part 75 (if CO2 concentration is measured on a dry basis).
(ii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2 mass emission rate
by the EGU or stack operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR
72.2), to convert it to tons of CO2.
(iii) Finally, multiply the result from paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of
this section by 907.2 to convert it from tons of CO2 to kg.
Round off to the nearest kg.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and EGU (or stack)
operating times used to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR 75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6). You must use these data to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(c) * * *
(3) For each ``valid operating hour'' (as defined in Sec.
60.5540(a)(1), multiply the hourly tons/h CO2 mass emission
rate from paragraph (c)(2) of this section by the EGU or stack
operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to
tons of CO2. Then, multiply the result by 907.2 to convert
from tons of CO2 to kg. Round off to the nearest two
significant figures.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(1) If you operate a source subject to an emissions standard
established on an output basis (e.g., lb of CO2 per gross or
net MWh of energy output), you must install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate a sufficient number of watt meters to continuously measure and
record the hourly gross electric output or net electric output, as
applicable, from the affected EGU(s). These measurements must be
performed using 0.2 class electricity metering instrumentation and
calibration procedures as specified under ANSI No. C12.20-2010
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17). For a combined heat and
power (CHP) EGU, as defined in Sec. 60.5580, you must also install,
calibrate, maintain, and operate meters to continuously (i.e., hour-by-
hour) determine and record the total useful thermal output. For process
steam applications, you will need to install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate meters to continuously determine and record the hourly steam
flow rate, temperature, and pressure. Your plan shall ensure that you
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate meters to record each
component of the determination, hour-by-hour.
* * * * *
(e) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520, if two or more affected EGUs
serve a common electric generator, you must apportion the combined
hourly gross or net energy output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total steam load and/or direct
mechanical energy contributed by each EGU to the electric generator.
Alternatively, if the EGUs are identical, you may apportion the
combined hourly gross or net electrical load to the individual EGUs
according to the fraction of the total heat input contributed by each
EGU. You may also elect to develop, demonstrate, and provide
information satisfactory to the Administrator on alternate methods to
apportion the gross energy output. The Administrator may approve such
alternate methods for apportioning the gross energy output whenever the
demonstration ensures accurate estimation of emissions regulated under
this part.
(f) In accordance with Sec. Sec. 60.13(g) and 60.5520, if two or
more affected EGUs that implement the continuous emission monitoring
provisions in paragraph (b) of this section share a common exhaust gas
stack you must monitor hourly CO2 mass emissions in
accordance with one of the following procedures:
(1) If the EGUs are subject to the same emissions standard in table
1 or 2 to this subpart, you may monitor the hourly CO2 mass
emissions at the common stack in lieu of monitoring each EGU
separately. If you choose this option, the hourly gross or net energy
output (electric, thermal, and/or mechanical, as applicable) must be
the sum of the hourly loads for the individual affected EGUs and you
must express the operating time as ``stack operating hours'' (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2). If you attain compliance with the applicable
emissions standard in Sec. 60.5520 at the common stack, each affected
EGU sharing the stack is in compliance.
(2) As an alternative, or if the EGUs are subject to different
emission standards in table 1 or 2 to this subpart, you must either:
(i) Monitor each EGU separately by measuring the hourly
CO2 mass emissions prior to mixing in the common stack or
(ii) Apportion the CO2 mass emissions based on the
unit's load contribution to the total load associated with the common
stack and the appropriate F-factors. You may also elect to develop,
demonstrate, and provide information satisfactory to the Administrator
on alternate methods to apportion the CO2 emissions. The
Administrator may approve such alternate methods for apportioning the
CO2 emissions whenever the demonstration ensures accurate
estimation of emissions regulated under this part.
* * * * *
0
8. Section 60.5540 is revised to read as follows:
Sec. 60.5540 How do I demonstrate compliance with my CO2 emissions
standard and determine excess emissions?
(a) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520, if you are subject to an
output-based emission standard or you burn non-uniform fuels as
specified in Sec. 60.5520(d)(2), you must demonstrate compliance with
the applicable CO2 emission standard in table 1 or 2 to this
subpart as required in this section. For the initial and each
subsequent 12-operating-month rolling average compliance period, you
must follow the procedures in paragraphs (a)(1) through (8) of this
section to calculate the CO2 mass emissions rate for your
affected EGU(s) in units of the applicable emissions standard (e.g.,
either kg/MWh or kg/GJ). You must use the hourly CO2 mass
emissions calculated under Sec. 60.5535(b) or (c), as applicable, and
either the generating load data from Sec. 60.5535(d)(1) for output-
based calculations or the heat input data from Sec. 60.5535(d)(2) for
heat-input-based calculations. Combustion turbines firing non-uniform
fuels that contain CO2 prior to combustion (e.g., blast
furnace gas or landfill gas) may sample the fuel stream to determine
the quantity of CO2 present in the fuel prior to combustion
and exclude this portion of the CO2 mass emissions from
compliance determinations.
(1) Each compliance period shall include only ``valid operating
hours'' in the compliance period, i.e., operating hours for which:
(i) ``Valid data'' (as defined in Sec. 60.5580) are obtained for
all of the parameters used to determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions (kg) and, if a heat input-based standard applies, all the
parameters used to determine total heat input for the hour are also
obtained; and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross or net energy output value is
also valid data (Note: For hours with no useful output, zero is
considered to be a valid value).
(2) You must exclude operating hours in which:
(i) The substitute data provisions of 40 CFR 75 are applied for any
of the parameters used to determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions or, if a heat input-based standard applies, for any
parameters used to determine the hourly heat input;
(ii) An exceedance of the full-scale range of a continuous emission
monitoring system occurs for any of the
[[Page 40032]]
parameters used to determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions
or, if applicable, to determine the hourly heat input; or
(iii) The total gross or net energy output (Pgross/net)
or, if applicable, the total heat input is unavailable.
(3) For each compliance period, at least 95 percent of the
operating hours in the compliance period must be valid operating hours,
as defined in paragraph (a)(1) of this section.
(4) You must calculate the total CO2 mass emissions by
summing the valid hourly CO2 mass emissions values from
Sec. 60.5535 for all of the valid operating hours in the compliance
period.
(5) For each valid operating hour of the compliance period that was
used in paragraph (a)(4) of this section to calculate the total
CO2 mass emissions, you must determine Pgross/net
(the corresponding hourly gross or net energy output in MWh) according
to the procedures in paragraphs (a)(5)(i) and (ii) of this section, as
appropriate for the type of affected EGU(s). For an operating hour in
which a valid CO2 mass emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section, if there is no gross
or net electrical output, but there is mechanical or useful thermal
output, you must still determine the gross or net energy output for
that hour. In addition, for an operating hour in which a valid
CO2 mass emissions value is determined according to
paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section, but there is no (i.e., zero) gross
electrical, mechanical, or useful thermal output, you must use that
hour in the compliance determination. For hours or partial hours where
the gross electric output is equal to or less than the auxiliary loads,
net electric output shall be counted as zero for this calculation.
(i) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected EGU using the
following equation. All terms in the equation must be expressed in
units of MWh. To convert each hourly gross or net energy output
(consistent with Sec. 60.5520) value reported under 40 CFR part 75 to
MWh, multiply by the corresponding EGU or stack operating time.
Equation 1 to paragraph (a)(5)(i)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.064
Where:
Pgross/net = In accordance with Sec. 60.5520, gross or
net energy output of your affected EGU for each valid operating hour
(as defined in Sec. 60.5540(a)(1)) in MWh.
(Pe)ST = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of steam turbines in MWh.
(Pe)CT = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of stationary combustion turbine(s) in MWh.
(Pe)IE = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of your affected EGU's integrated equipment that
provides electricity or mechanical energy to the affected EGU or
auxiliary equipment in MWh.
(Pe)FW = Electric energy used to power boiler feedwater
pumps at steam generating units in MWh. Not applicable to stationary
combustion turbines, IGCC EGUs, or EGUs complying with a net energy
output based standard.
(Pe)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary loads in
MWh. Not applicable for determining Pgross.
(Pt)PS = Useful thermal output of steam (measured
relative to standard ambient temperature and pressure (SATP)
conditions, as applicable) that is used for applications that do not
generate additional electricity, produce mechanical energy output,
or enhance the performance of the affected EGU. This is calculated
using the equation specified in paragraph (a)(5)(ii) of this section
in MWh.
(Pt)HR = Non steam useful thermal output (measured
relative to SATP conditions, as applicable) from heat recovery that
is used for applications other than steam generation or performance
enhancement of the affected EGU in MWh.
(Pt)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to SATP
conditions, as applicable) from any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate additional steam, electricity,
produce mechanical energy output, or enhance the performance of the
affected EGU in MWh.
TDF = Electric Transmission and Distribution Factor of 0.95 for a
combined heat and power affected EGU where at least 20.0 percent of
the total gross or net energy output consists of electric or direct
mechanical output and 20.0 percent of the total gross or net energy
output consists of useful thermal output on a 12-operating-month
rolling average basis, or 1.0 for all other affected EGUs.
(ii) If applicable to your affected EGU (for example, for combined
heat and power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using the
following equation:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(ii)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.056
Where:
Qm = Measured useful thermal output flow in kg (lb) for
the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the useful thermal output at measured temperature
and pressure (relative to SATP conditions or the energy in the
condensate return line, as applicable) in Joules per kilogram (J/kg)
(or Btu/lb).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 x 10\9\ J/MWh or 3.413 x 10\6\ Btu/
MWh.
(6) Sources complying with energy output-based standards must
calculate the basis (i.e., denominator) of their actual 12-operating
month emission rate in accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this
section. Sources complying with heat input based standards must
calculate the basis of their actual 12-operating month emission rate in
accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of this section.
(i) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520 if you are subject to an
output-based standard, you must calculate the total gross or net energy
output for the affected EGU's compliance period by summing the hourly
gross or net energy output values for the affected EGU that you
determined under paragraph (a)(5) of this section for all of the valid
operating hours in the applicable compliance period.
(ii) If you are subject to a heat input-based standard, you must
calculate the total heat input for each fuel fired during the
compliance period. The calculation of total heat input for each
individual fuel must include all valid operating hours and must also be
consistent with any fuel-specific procedures specified within your
selected monitoring option under Sec. 60.5535(d)(2).
(7) If you are subject to an output-based standard, you must
calculate the CO2 mass emissions rate for the affected
EGU(s) (kg/MWh) by dividing the total CO2 mass emissions
value calculated according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of
this section by the total gross or net energy output value calculated
according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section.
Round off the result to two significant figures if the calculated value
is less than 1,000; round the result to three significant figures if
the calculated value is greater than 1,000. If you are subject to a
heat input-based standard, you must calculate the CO2 mass
emissions rate for the affected EGU(s) (kg/GJ or lb/MMBtu) by dividing
the total CO2 mass emissions value calculated according to
the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of this section by the total heat
input calculated according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of
this section.
[[Page 40033]]
Round off the result to two significant figures.
(b) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520, to demonstrate compliance
with the applicable CO2 emission standard, for the initial
and each subsequent 12-operating-month compliance period, the
CO2 mass emissions rate for your affected EGU must be
determined according to the procedures specified in paragraph (a)(1)
through (8) of this section and must be less than or equal to the
applicable CO2 emissions standard in table 1 or 2 to this
subpart, or the emissions standard calculated in accordance with Sec.
60.5525(a)(2).
0
9. Section 60.5555 is amended by revising paragraphs (a)(2)(iv) and
(v), (f), and (g) to read as follows.
Sec. 60.5555 What reports must I submit and when?
(a) * * *
(2) * * *
(iv) The percentage of valid operating hours in each 12-operating-
month compliance period described in paragraph (a)(1) of this section
(i.e., the total number of valid operating hours (as defined in Sec.
60.5540(a)(1)) in that period divided by the total number of operating
hours in that period, multiplied by 100 percent);
(v) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520, the CO2 emissions
standard (as identified in table 1 or 2 to this subpart) with which
your affected EGU must comply; and
* * * * *
(f) If your affected EGU captures CO2 to meet the
applicable emissions standard, you must report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart PP, and either:
(1) Report in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to an EGU or facility that
reports in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart
RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a facility that has
received an innovative technology waiver from EPA pursuant to paragraph
(g) of this section.
(g) Any person may request the Administrator to issue a waiver of
the requirement that captured CO2 from an affected EGU be
transferred to a facility reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR,
or subpart VV. To receive a waiver, the applicant must demonstrate to
the Administrator that its technology will store captured
CO2 as effectively as geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or contribute to an unreasonable
risk to public health, welfare, or safety. In making this
determination, the Administrator shall consider (among other factors)
operating history of the technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of any pollutant other than
CO2, and permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system or require the applicant to perform
any tests considered by the Administrator to be necessary to show the
technology's effectiveness, safety, and ability to store captured
CO2 without release. The Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The Administrator may also withdraw
approval of the waiver on evidence of releases of CO2 or
other pollutants. The Administrator will provide notice to the public
of any application under this provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before the Administrator takes final
action.
0
10. Section 60.5560 is amended by adding paragraphs (h) and (i) to read
as follows:
Sec. 60.5560 What records must I maintain?
* * * * *
(h) For stationary combustion turbines, you must keep records of
electric sales to determine the applicable subcategory.
(i) You must keep the records listed in paragraphs (i)(1) through
(3) of this section to demonstrate that your affected facility operated
during a system emergency.
(1) Documentation that the system emergency to which the affected
EGU was responding was in effect from the entity issuing the alert, and
documentation of the exact duration of the event;
(2) Documentation from the entity issuing the alert that the system
emergency included the affected source/region where the affected
facility was located, and
(3) Documentation that the affected facility was instructed to
increase output beyond the planned day-ahead or other near-term
expected output and/or was asked to remain in operation outside its
scheduled dispatch during emergency conditions from a Reliability
Coordinator, Balancing Authority, or Independent System Operator/
Regional Transmission Organization.
0
11. Section 60.5580 is amended by:
0
a. Revising the definitions for ``Annual capacity factor'', and ``Base
load rating'';
0
b. Revising and republishing the definition for ``Coal''; and
0
c. Revising the definitions for ``Combined cycle unit'', ``Combined
head and power unit or CHP unit'', ``Design efficiency'', ``Distillate
oil'', ``ISO conditions'', ``Net electric sales'', and ``System
emergency''.
The revisions and republications read as follows:
Sec. 60.5580 What definitions apply to this subpart?
* * * * *
Annual capacity factor means the ratio between the actual heat
input to an EGU during a calendar year and the potential heat input to
the EGU had it been operated for 8,760 hours during a calendar year at
the base load rating. Actual and potential heat input derived from non-
combustion sources (e.g., solar thermal) are not included when
calculating the annual capacity factor.
Base load rating means the maximum amount of heat input (fuel) that
an EGU can combust on a steady state basis plus the maximum amount of
heat input derived from non-combustion source (e.g., solar thermal), as
determined by the physical design and characteristics of the EGU at
International Organization for Standardization (ISO) conditions. For a
stationary combustion turbine, base load rating includes the heat input
from duct burners.
Coal means all solid fuels classified as anthracite, bituminous,
subbituminous, or lignite by ASTM International in ASTM D388-99R04
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17), coal refuse, and
petroleum coke. Synthetic fuels derived from coal for the purpose of
creating useful heat, including, but not limited to, solvent-refined
coal, gasified coal (not meeting the definition of natural gas), coal-
oil mixtures, and coal-water mixtures are included in this definition
for the purposes of this subpart.
Combined cycle unit means a stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust gases is recovered by a heat
recovery steam generating unit (HRSG) to generate additional
electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or CHP unit, (also known as
``cogeneration'') means an electric generating unit that simultaneously
produces both electric (or mechanical) and useful thermal output from
the same primary energy source.
Design efficiency means the rated overall net efficiency (e.g.,
electric plus useful thermal output) on a lower heating value basis at
the base load rating, at ISO conditions, and at the maximum useful
thermal output (e.g., CHP unit with condensing steam turbines would
determine the design efficiency at the maximum level of extraction and/
or bypass). Design efficiency shall be determined using one
[[Page 40034]]
of the following methods: ASME PTC 22-2014, ASME PTC 46-1996, ISO
2314:2009(E) (all incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17), or an
alternative approved by the Administrator.
Distillate oil means fuel oils that comply with the specifications
for fuel oil numbers 1 and 2, as defined in ASTM D396-98 (incorporated
by reference, see Sec. 60.17); diesel fuel oil numbers 1 and 2, as
defined in ASTM D975-08a (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17);
kerosene, as defined in ASTM D3699-08 (incorporated by reference, see
Sec. 60.17); biodiesel as defined in ASTM D6751-11b (incorporated by
reference, see Sec. 60.17); or biodiesel blends as defined in ASTM
D7467-10 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17).
* * * * *
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15 [deg]C, 59 [deg]F), 60 percent
relative humidity and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm) pressure.
* * * * *
Net-electric sales means:
(1) The gross electric sales to the utility power distribution
system minus purchased power; or
(2) For combined heat and power facilities, where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross energy output consists of electric or direct
mechanical output and at least 20.0 percent of the total gross energy
output consists of useful thermal output on a 12-operating month basis,
the gross electric sales to the utility power distribution system minus
purchased power of the thermal host facility or facilities.
(3) Electricity supplied to other facilities that produce
electricity to offset auxiliary loads are included when calculating
net-electric sales.
(4) Electric sales during a system emergency are not included when
calculating net-electric sales.
* * * * *
System emergency means periods when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP-011-2 or its successor.
* * * * *
0
12. Table 1 to subpart TTTT is revised to read as follows:
Table 1 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60--CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Steam Generating Units and Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle
Facilities That Commenced Construction After January 8, 2014, and
Reconstruction or Modification After June 18, 2014
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or greater have a minimum of 3
significant figures and numerical values of less than 1,000 have a
minimum of 2 significant figures]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Affected EGU CO2 Emission standard
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Newly constructed steam generating unit 640 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy
or integrated gasification combined output (1,400 lb CO2/MWh-
cycle (IGCC). gross).
Reconstructed steam generating unit or 910 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy
IGCC that has base load rating of output (2,000 lb CO2/MWh-
2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h) or less. gross).
Reconstructed steam generating unit or 820 kg CO2/MWh of gross energy
IGCC that has a base load rating output (1,800 lb CO2/MWh-
greater than 2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/ gross).
h).
Modified steam generating unit or IGCC. A unit-specific emission limit
determined by the unit's best
historical annual CO2 emission
rate (from 2002 to the date of
the modification); the
emission limit will be no
lower than:
(1) 820 kg CO2/MWh of gross
energy output (1,800 lb CO2/
MWh-gross) for units with a
base load rating greater than
2,100 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h); or
(2) 910 kg CO2/MWh of gross
energy output (2,000 lb CO2/
MWh-gross) for units with a
base load rating of 2,100 GJ/h
(2,000 MMBtu/h) or less.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
13. Table 2 to subpart TTTT is revised to read as follows:
Table 2 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60--CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Stationary Combustion Turbines That Commenced Construction After
January 8, 2014, and Reconstruction After June 18, 2014 (Net Energy
Output-Based Standards Applicable as Approved by the Administrator)
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or greater have a minimum of 3
significant figures and numerical values of less than 1,000 have a
minimum of 2 significant figures]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Affected EGU CO2 Emission standard
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Newly constructed or reconstructed 450 kg CO2/MWh (1,000 lb CO2/
stationary combustion turbine that MWh) of gross energy output;
supplies more than its design or
efficiency or 50 percent, whichever is 470 kg CO2/MWh (1,030 lb CO2/
less, times its potential electric MWh) of net energy output.
output as net-electric sales on both a
12-operating month and a 3-year
rolling average basis and combusts
more than 90% natural gas on a heat
input basis on a 12-operating-month
rolling average basis.
[[Page 40035]]
Newly constructed or reconstructed 50 kg CO2/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu)
stationary combustion turbine that of heat input.
supplies its design efficiency or 50
percent, whichever is less, times its
potential electric output or less as
net-electric sales on either a 12-
operating month or a 3-year rolling
average basis and combusts more than
90% natural gas on a heat input basis
on a 12-operating-month rolling
average basis].
Newly constructed and reconstructed Between 50 to 69 kg CO2/GJ (120
stationary combustion turbine that to 160 lb CO2/MMBtu) of heat
combusts 90% or less natural gas on a input as determined by the
heat input basis on a 12-operating- procedures in Sec. 60.5525.
month rolling average basis.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
14. Table 3 to subpart TTTT is revised to read as follows:
Table 3 to Subpart TTTT of Part 60--Applicability of Subpart A of Part
60 (General Provisions) to Subpart TTTT
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
General provisions citation Subject of citation Applies to subpart TTTT Explanation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sec. 60.1.......................... Applicability.......... Yes....................
Sec. 60.2.......................... Definitions............ Yes.................... Additional terms
defined in Sec.
60.5580.
Sec. 60.3.......................... Units and Abbreviations Yes....................
Sec. 60.4.......................... Address................ Yes.................... Does not apply to
information reported
electronically through
ECMPS. Duplicate
submittals are not
required.
Sec. 60.5.......................... Determination of Yes....................
construction or
modification.
Sec. 60.6.......................... Review of plans........ Yes....................
Sec. 60.7.......................... Notification and Yes.................... Only the requirements
Recordkeeping. to submit the
notifications in Sec.
60.7(a)(1) and (3)
and to keep records of
malfunctions in Sec.
60.7(b), if
applicable.
Sec. 60.8(a)....................... Performance tests...... No.....................
Sec. 60.8(b)....................... Performance test method Yes.................... Administrator can
alternatives. approve alternate
methods
Sec. 60.8(c)-(f)................... Conducting performance No.....................
tests.
Sec. 60.9.......................... Availability of Yes....................
Information.
Sec. 60.10......................... State authority........ Yes....................
Sec. 60.11......................... Compliance with No.
standards and
maintenance
requirements.
Sec. 60.12......................... Circumvention.......... Yes....................
Sec. 60.13 (a)-(h), (j)............ Monitoring requirements No..................... All monitoring is done
according to part 75.
Sec. 60.13 (i)..................... Monitoring requirements Yes.................... Administrator can
approve alternative
monitoring procedures
or requirements
Sec. 60.14......................... Modification........... Yes (steam generating
units and IGCC
facilities).
No (stationary
combustion turbines).
Sec. 60.15......................... Reconstruction......... Yes....................
Sec. 60.16......................... Priority list.......... No.....................
Sec. 60.17......................... Incorporations by Yes....................
reference.
Sec. 60.18......................... General control device No.....................
requirements.
Sec. 60.19......................... General notification Yes.................... Does not apply to
and reporting notifications under
requirements. Sec. 75.61 or to
information reported
through ECMPS.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
15. Add subpart TTTTa to read as follows:
Subpart TTTTa--Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
for Modified Coal-Fired Steam Electric Generating Units and New
Construction and Reconstruction Stationary Combustion Turbine Electric
Generating Units
Applicability
Sec.
60.5508a What is the purpose of this subpart?
60.5509a Am I subject to this subpart?
Emissions Standards
60.5515a Which pollutants are regulated by this subpart?
60.5520a What CO2 emissions standard must I meet?
60.5525a What are my general requirements for complying with this
subpart?
Monitoring and Compliance Determination Procedures
60.5535a How do I monitor and collect data to demonstrate
compliance?
60.5540a How do I demonstrate compliance with my CO2
emissions standard and determine excess emissions?
Notification, Reports, and Records
60.5550a What notifications must I submit and when?
60.5555a What reports must I submit and when?
60.5560a What records must I maintain?
60.5565a In what form and how long must I keep my records?
Other Requirements and Information
60.5570a What parts of the general provisions apply to my affected
EGU?
60.5575a Who implements and enforces this subpart?
60.5580a What definitions apply to this subpart?
[[Page 40036]]
Table 1 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--CO2 Emission
Standards for Affected Stationary Combustion Turbines That Commenced
Construction or Reconstruction After May 23, 2023 (Gross or Net
Energy Output-Based Standards Applicable as Approved by the
Administrator)
Table 2 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--CO2 Emission
Standards for Affected Steam Generating Units or IGCC That Commenced
Modification After May 23, 2023
Table 3 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--Applicability of Subpart A of
Part 60 (General Provisions) to Subpart TTTTa
Subpart TTTTa--Standards of Performance for Greenhouse Gas
Emissions for Modified Coal-Fired Steam Electric Generating Units
and New Construction and Reconstruction Stationary Combustion
Turbine Electric Generating Units
Applicability
Sec. 60.5508a What is the purpose of this subpart?
This subpart establishes emission standards and compliance
schedules for the control of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a
coal-fired steam generating unit or integrated gasification combined
cycle facility (IGCC) that commences modification after May 23, 2023.
This subpart also establishes emission standards and compliance
schedules for the control of GHG emissions from a stationary combustion
turbine that commences construction or reconstruction after May 23,
2023. An affected coal-fired steam generating unit, IGCC, or stationary
combustion turbine shall, for the purposes of this subpart, be referred
to as an affected electric generating unit (EGU).
Sec. 60.5509a Am I subject to this subpart?
(a) Except as provided for in paragraph (b) of this section, the
GHG standards included in this subpart apply to any steam generating
unit or IGCC that combusts coal and that commences modification after
May 23, 2023, that meets the relevant applicability conditions in
paragraphs (a)(1) and (2) of this section. The GHG standards included
in this subpart also apply to any stationary combustion turbine that
commences construction or reconstruction after May 23, 2023, that meets
the relevant applicability conditions in paragraphs (a)(1) and (2) of
this section.
(1) Has a base load rating greater than 260 gigajoules per hour
(GJ/h) (250 million British thermal units per hour (MMBtu/h)) of fossil
fuel (either alone or in combination with any other fuel); and
(2) Serves a generator or generators capable of selling greater
than 25 megawatts (MW) of electricity to a utility power distribution
system.
(b) You are not subject to the requirements of this subpart if your
affected EGU meets any of the conditions specified in paragraphs (b)(1)
through (8) of this section.
(1) Your EGU is a steam generating unit or IGCC whose annual net-
electric sales have never exceeded one-third of its potential electric
output or 219,000 megawatt-hour (MWh), whichever is greater, and is
currently subject to a federally enforceable permit condition limiting
annual net-electric sales to no more than one-third of its potential
electric output or 219,000 MWh, whichever is greater.
(2) Your EGU is capable of deriving 50 percent or more of the heat
input from non-fossil fuel at the base load rating and is also subject
to a federally enforceable permit condition limiting the annual
capacity factor for all fossil fuels combined of 10 percent (0.10) or
less.
(3) Your EGU is a combined heat and power unit that is subject to a
federally enforceable permit condition limiting annual net-electric
sales to no more than either 219,000 MWh or the product of the design
efficiency and the potential electric output, whichever is greater.
(4) Your EGU serves a generator along with other steam generating
unit(s), IGCC, or stationary combustion turbine(s) where the effective
generation capacity (determined based on a prorated output of the base
load rating of each steam generating unit, IGCC, or stationary
combustion turbine) is 25 MW or less.
(5) Your EGU is a municipal waste combustor that is subject to
subpart Eb of this part.
(6) Your EGU is a commercial or industrial solid waste incineration
unit that is subject to subpart CCCC of this part.
(7) Your EGU is a steam generating unit or IGCC that undergoes a
modification resulting in an hourly increase in CO2
emissions (mass per hour) of 10 percent or less (2 significant
figures). Modified units that are not subject to the requirements of
this subpart pursuant to this subsection continue to be existing units
under section 111 with respect to CO2 emissions standards.
(8) Your EGU derives greater than 50 percent of the heat input from
an industrial process that does not produce any electrical or
mechanical output or useful thermal output that is used outside the
affected EGU.
Emission Standards
Sec. 60.5515a Which pollutants are regulated by this subpart?
(a) The pollutants regulated by this subpart are greenhouse gases.
The greenhouse gas standard in this subpart is in the form of a
limitation on emission of carbon dioxide.
(b) PSD and Title V thresholds for greenhouse gases.
(1) For the purposes of 40 CFR 51.166(b)(49)(ii), with respect to
GHG emissions from affected facilities, the ``pollutant that is subject
to the standard promulgated under section 111 of the Act'' shall be
considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is subject to regulation
under the Act as defined in 40 CFR 51.166(b)(48) and in any SIP
approved by the EPA that is interpreted to incorporate, or specifically
incorporates, 40 CFR 51.166(b)(48).
(2) For the purposes of 40 CFR 52.21(b)(50)(ii), with respect to
GHG emissions from affected facilities, the ``pollutant that is subject
to the standard promulgated under section 111 of the Act'' shall be
considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is subject to regulation
under the Act as defined in 40 CFR 52.21(b)(49).
(3) For the purposes of 40 CFR 70.2, with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from affected facilities, the ``pollutant that is subject to
any standard promulgated under section 111 of the Act'' shall be
considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is ``subject to
regulation'' as defined in 40 CFR 70.2.
(4) For the purposes of 40 CFR 71.2, with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from affected facilities, the ``pollutant that is subject to
any standard promulgated under section 111 of the Act'' shall be
considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is ``subject to
regulation'' as defined in 40 CFR 71.2.
Sec. 60.5520a What CO2 emissions standard must I meet?
(a) For each affected EGU subject to this subpart, you must not
discharge from the affected EGU any gases that contain CO2
in excess of the applicable CO2 emission standard specified
in table 1 to this subpart, consistent with paragraphs (b), (c), and
(d) of this section, as applicable.
(b) Except as specified in paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section,
you must comply with the applicable gross or net energy output
standard, and your operating permit must include monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting methodologies based on the applicable
gross or net energy output standard. For the remainder of this subpart
(for sources that do not qualify
[[Page 40037]]
under paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section), where the term ``gross
or net energy output'' is used, the term that applies to you is ``gross
energy output.''
(c) As an alternative to meeting the requirements in paragraph (b)
of this section, an owner or operator of a stationary combustion
turbine may petition the Administrator in writing to comply with the
alternate applicable net energy output standard. If the Administrator
grants the petition, beginning on the date the Administrator grants the
petition, the affected EGU must comply with the applicable net energy
output-based standard included in this subpart. Your operating permit
must include monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting methodologies
based on the applicable net energy output standard. For the remainder
of this subpart, where the term ``gross or net energy output'' is used,
the term that applies to you is ``net energy output.'' Owners or
operators complying with the net output-based standard must petition
the Administrator to switch back to complying with the gross energy
output-based standard.
(d) Owners or operators of a stationary combustion turbine that
maintain records of electric sales to demonstrate that the stationary
combustion turbine is subject to a heat input-based standard in table 1
to this subpart that are only permitted to burn one or more uniform
fuels, as described in paragraph (d)(1) of this section, are only
subject to the monitoring requirements in paragraph (d)(1). Owners or
operators of all other stationary combustion turbines that maintain
records of electric sales to demonstrate that the stationary combustion
turbines are subject to a heat input-based standard in table 1 are only
subject to the requirements in paragraph (d)(2) of this section.
(1) Owners or operators of stationary combustion turbines that are
only permitted to burn fuels with a consistent chemical composition
(i.e., uniform fuels) that result in a consistent emission rate of 69
kilograms per gigajoule (kg/GJ) (160 lb CO2/MMBtu) or less
are not subject to any monitoring or reporting requirements under this
subpart. These fuels include, but are not limited to hydrogen, natural
gas, methane, butane, butylene, ethane, ethylene, propane, naphtha,
propylene, jet fuel, kerosene, No. 1 fuel oil, No. 2 fuel oil, and
biodiesel. Stationary combustion turbines qualifying under this
paragraph are only required to maintain purchase records for permitted
fuels.
(2) Owners or operators of stationary combustion turbines permitted
to burn fuels that do not have a consistent chemical composition or
that do not have an emission rate of 69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/
MMBtu) or less (e.g., non-uniform fuels such as residual oil and non-
jet fuel kerosene) must follow the monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements necessary to complete the heat input-based
calculations under this subpart.
Sec. 60.5525a What are my general requirements for complying with
this subpart?
Combustion turbines qualifying under Sec. 60.5520a(d)(1) are not
subject to any requirements in this section other than the requirement
to maintain fuel purchase records for permitted fuel(s). For all other
affected sources, compliance with the applicable CO2
emission standard of this subpart shall be determined on a 12-
operating-month rolling average basis. See table 1 to this subpart for
the applicable CO2 emission standards.
(a) You must be in compliance with the emission standards in this
subpart that apply to your affected EGU at all times. However, you must
determine compliance with the emission standards only at the end of the
applicable operating month, as provided in paragraph (a)(1) of this
section.
(1) For each affected EGU subject to a CO2 emissions
standard based on a 12-operating-month rolling average, you must
determine compliance monthly by calculating the average CO2
emissions rate for the affected EGU at the end of the initial and each
subsequent 12-operating-month period.
(2) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a(d)(2), if your affected
stationary combustion turbine is subject to an input-based
CO2 emissions standard, you must determine the total heat
input in GJ or MMBtu from natural gas (HTIPng) and the total heat input
from all other fuels combined (HTIPo) using one of the methods under
Sec. 60.5535a(d)(2). You must then use the following equation to
determine the applicable emissions standard during the compliance
period:
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(2)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.057
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission standard during the
compliance period in units of kg/GJ (or lb/MMBtu).
HTIPng = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu) from natural
gas.
HTIPo = the heat input in GJ (or MMBtu) from all fuels
other than natural gas.
50 = allowable emission rate in lb kg/GJ for heat input derived from
natural gas (use 120 if electing to demonstrate compliance using lb
CO2/MMBtu).
69 = allowable emission rate in lb kg/GJ for heat input derived from
all fuels other than natural gas (use 160 if electing to demonstrate
compliance using lb CO2/MMBtu).
(3) Owners/operators of a base load combustion turbine with a base
load rating of less than 2,110 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h) and/or an
intermediate or base load combustion turbine burning fuels other than
natural gas may elect to determine a site-specific emissions rate using
one of the following equations. Combustion turbines co-firing hydrogen
are not required to use the fuel adjustment parameter.
(i) For base load combustion turbines:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(3)(i)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.058
[[Page 40038]]
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission standard during the
compliance period in units of kg/MWh (or lb/MWh)
BLERL = Base load emissions standard for natural gas-
fired combustion turbines with base load ratings greater than 2,110
GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h). 360 kg CO2/MWh-gross (800 lb
CO2/MWh-gross) or 370 kg CO2/MWh-net (820 lb
CO2/MWh-net); 43 kg CO2/MWh-gross (100 lb
CO2/MWh-gross) or 42 kg CO2/MWh-net (97 lb
CO2/MWh-net); as applicable
BLERS = Base load emissions standard for natural gas-
fired combustion turbines with a base load rating of 260 GJ/h (250
MMBtu/h). 410 kg CO2/MWh-gross (900 lb CO2/
MWh-gross) or 420 kg CO2/MWh-net (920 lb CO2/
MWh-net); 49 kg CO2/MWh-gross (108 lb CO2/MWh-
gross) or 50 kg CO2/MWh-net (110 lb CO2/MWh-
net); as applicable
BLRL = Minimum base load rating of large combustion
turbines 2,110 GJ/h (2,000 MMBtu/h)
BLRS = Base load rating of smallest combustion turbine
260 GJ/h (250 MMBtu/h)
BLRA = Base load rating of the actual combustion turbine
in GJ/h (or MMBtu/h)
HIERA = Heat input-based emissions rate of the actual
fuel burned in the combustion turbine (lb CO2/MMBtu). Not
to exceed 69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/MMBtu)
HIERNG = Heat input-based emissions rate of natural gas
50 kg/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu)
(ii) For intermediate load combustion turbines:
Equation 3 to Paragraph (a)(3)(ii)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.059
Where:
CO2 emission standard = the emission standard during the
compliance period in units of kg/MWh (or lb/MWh)
ILER = Intermediate load emissions rate for natural gas-fired
combustion turbines. 520 kg/MWh-gross (1,150 lb CO2/MWh-
gross) or 530 kg CO2/MWh-net (1,160 lb CO2/
MWh-net) or 450 kg/MWh-gross (1,100 lb CO2/MWh-gross) or
460 kg CO2/MWh-net (1,110 lb CO2/MWh-net) as
applicable
HIERA = Heat input-based emissions rate of the actual
fuel burned in the combustion turbine (lb CO2/MMBtu). Not
to exceed 69 kg/GJ (160 lb CO2/MMBtu)
HIERNG = Heat input-based emissions rate of natural gas
50 kg/GJ (120 lb CO2/MMBtu)
(b) At all times you must operate and maintain each affected EGU,
including associated equipment and monitors, in a manner consistent
with safety and good air pollution control practice. The Administrator
will determine if you are using consistent operation and maintenance
procedures based on information available to the Administrator that may
include, but is not limited to, fuel use records, monitoring results,
review of operation and maintenance procedures and records, review of
reports required by this subpart, and inspection of the EGU.
(c) Within 30 days after the end of the initial compliance period
(i.e., no more than 30 days after the first 12-operating-month
compliance period), you must make an initial compliance determination
for your affected EGU(s) with respect to the applicable emissions
standard in table 1 to this subpart, in accordance with the
requirements in this subpart. The first operating month included in the
initial 12-operating-month compliance period shall be determined as
follows:
(1) For an affected EGU that commences commercial operation (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2), the first month of the initial compliance
period shall be the first operating month (as defined in Sec.
60.5580a) after the calendar month in which emissions reporting is
required to begin under:
(i) Section 60.5555a(c)(3)(i), for units subject to the Acid Rain
Program; or
(ii) Section 60.5555a(c)(3)(ii), for units that are not in the Acid
Rain Program.
(2) For a modified or reconstructed EGU that becomes subject to
this subpart, the first month of the initial compliance period shall be
the first operating month (as defined in Sec. 60.5580a) after the
calendar month in which emissions reporting is required to begin under
Sec. 60.5555a(c)(3)(iii).
(3) Emissions of CO2 emitted by your affected facility
and the output of the affected facility generated when it operated
during a system emergency as defined in Sec. 60.5580a are excluded for
both applicability and compliance with the relevant standards of
performance if you can sufficiently provide the documentation listed in
Sec. 60.5560a(i). The relevant standard of performance for affected
EGUs that operate during a system emergency depends on the subcategory,
as described in paragraphs (c)(3)(i) and (ii) of this section.
(i) For intermediate and base load combustion turbines that operate
during a system emergency, you comply with the standard for low load
combustion turbines specified in table 1 to this subpart.
(ii) For modified steam generating units, you must not discharge
from the affected EGU any gases that contain CO2 in excess
of 230 lb CO2/MMBtu.
Monitoring and Compliance Determination Procedures
Sec. 60.5535a How do I monitor and collect data to demonstrate
compliance?
(a) Combustion turbines qualifying under Sec. 60.5520a(d)(1) are
not subject to any requirements in this section other than the
requirement to maintain fuel purchase records for permitted fuel(s). If
your combustion turbine uses non-uniform fuels as specified under Sec.
60.5520a(d)(2), you must monitor heat input in accordance with
paragraph (c)(1) of this section, and you must monitor CO2
emissions in accordance with either paragraph (b), (c)(2), or (c)(5) of
this section. For all other affected sources, you must prepare a
monitoring plan to quantify the hourly CO2 mass emission
rate (tons/h), in accordance with the applicable provisions in 40 CFR
75.53(g) and (h). The electronic portion of the monitoring plan must be
submitted using the ECMPS Client Tool and must be in place prior to
reporting emissions data and/or the results of monitoring system
certification tests under this subpart. The monitoring plan must be
updated as necessary. Monitoring plan submittals must be made by the
Designated Representative (DR), the Alternate DR, or a delegated agent
of the DR (see Sec. 60.5555a(d) and (e)).
(b) You must determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions in
kg from your affected EGU(s) according to paragraphs (b)(1) through (5)
of this section, or, if applicable, as provided in paragraph (c) of
this section.
(1) For an affected EGU that combusts coal you must, and for all
other affected EGUs you may, install, certify, operate, maintain, and
calibrate a CO2 continuous emission monitoring system (CEMS)
to directly measure and record hourly average CO2
concentrations in the affected EGU exhaust gases emitted to the
atmosphere, and a flow monitoring system to measure hourly average
stack gas flow rates, according to 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an
alternative to direct measurement of CO2 concentration,
provided that your EGU does not use carbon separation (e.g., carbon
capture and storage), you may use data from a certified oxygen
[[Page 40039]]
(O2) monitor to calculate hourly average CO2 concentrations,
in accordance with 40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(iii). If you measure
CO2 concentration on a dry basis, you must also install,
certify, operate, maintain, and calibrate a continuous moisture
monitoring system, according to 40 CFR 75.11(b). Alternatively, you may
either use an appropriate fuel-specific default moisture value from 40
CFR 75.11(b) or submit a petition to the Administrator under 40 CFR
75.66 for a site-specific default moisture value.
(2) For each continuous monitoring system that you use to determine
the CO2 mass emissions, you must meet the applicable
certification and quality assurance procedures in 40 CFR 75.20 and
appendices A and B to 40 CFR part 75.
(3) You must use only unadjusted exhaust gas volumetric flow rates
to determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions rate from the
affected EGU; you must not apply the bias adjustment factors described
in Section 7.6.5 of appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 to the exhaust gas
flow rate data.
(4) You must select an appropriate reference method to setup
(characterize) the flow monitor and to perform the on-going RATAs, in
accordance with 40 CFR part 75. If you use a Type-S pitot tube or a
pitot tube assembly for the flow RATAs, you must calibrate the pitot
tube or pitot tube assembly; you may not use the 0.84 default Type-S
pitot tube coefficient specified in Method 2.
(5) Calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions (kg) as
described in paragraphs (b)(5)(i) through (iv) of this section. Perform
this calculation only for ``valid operating hours'', as defined in
Sec. 60.5540(a)(1).
(i) Begin with the hourly CO2 mass emission rate (tons/
h), obtained either from Equation F-11 in appendix F to 40 CFR part 75
(if CO2 concentration is measured on a wet basis), or by
following the procedure in section 4.2 of appendix F to 40 CFR part 75
(if CO2 concentration is measured on a dry basis).
(ii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2 mass emission rate
by the EGU or stack operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR
72.2), to convert it to tons of CO2.
(iii) Finally, multiply the result from paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of
this section by 907.2 to convert it from tons of CO2 to kg.
Round off to the nearest kg.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and EGU (or stack)
operating times used to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR 75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6). You must use these data to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(c) If your affected EGU exclusively combusts liquid fuel and/or
gaseous fuel, as an alternative to complying with paragraph (b) of this
section, you may determine the hourly CO2 mass emissions
according to paragraphs (c)(1) through (4) of this section. If you use
non-uniform fuels as specified in Sec. 60.5520a(d)(2), you may
determine CO2 mass emissions during the compliance period
according to paragraph (c)(5) of this section.
(1) If you are subject to an output-based standard and you do not
install CEMS in accordance with paragraph (b) of this section, you must
implement the applicable procedures in appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 to
determine hourly EGU heat input rates (MMBtu/h), based on hourly
measurements of fuel flow rate and periodic determinations of the gross
calorific value (GCV) of each fuel combusted.
(2) For each measured hourly heat input rate, use Equation G-4 in
appendix G to 40 CFR part 75 to calculate the hourly CO2
mass emission rate (tons/h). You may determine site-specific carbon-
based F-factors (Fc) using Equation F-7b in section 3.3.6 of appendix F
to 40 CFR part 75, and you may use these Fc values in the emissions
calculations instead of using the default Fc values in the Equation G-4
nomenclature.
(3) For each ``valid operating hour'' (as defined in Sec.
60.5540(a)(1), multiply the hourly tons/h CO2 mass emission
rate from paragraph (c)(2) of this section by the EGU or stack
operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to convert it to
tons of CO2. Then, multiply the result by 907.2 to convert
from tons of CO2 to kg. Round off to the nearest two
significant figures.
(4) The hourly CO2 tons/h values and EGU (or stack)
operating times used to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR 75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6). You must use these data to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(5) If you operate a combustion turbine firing non-uniform fuels,
as an alternative to following paragraphs (c)(1) through (4) of this
section, you may determine CO2 emissions during the
compliance period using one of the following methods:
(i) Units firing fuel gas may determine the heat input during the
compliance period following the procedure under Sec. 60.107a(d) and
convert this heat input to CO2 emissions using Equation G-4
in appendix G to 40 CFR part 75.
(ii) You may use the procedure for determining CO2
emissions during the compliance period based on the use of the Tier 3
methodology under 40 CFR 98.33(a)(3).
(d) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, you must determine the basis of
the emissions standard that applies to your affected source in
accordance with either paragraph (d)(1) or (2) of this section, as
applicable:
(1) If you operate a source subject to an emissions standard
established on an output basis (e.g., lb CO2 per gross or
net MWh of energy output), you must install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate a sufficient number of watt meters to continuously measure and
record the hourly gross electric output or net electric output, as
applicable, from the affected EGU(s). These measurements must be
performed using 0.2 class electricity metering instrumentation and
calibration procedures as specified under ANSI No. C12.20-2010
(incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17). For a combined heat and
power (CHP) EGU, as defined in Sec. 60.5580a, you must also install,
calibrate, maintain, and operate meters to continuously (i.e., hour-by-
hour) determine and record the total useful thermal output. For process
steam applications, you will need to install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate meters to continuously determine and record the hourly steam
flow rate, temperature, and pressure. Your plan shall ensure that you
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate meters to record each
component of the determination, hour-by-hour.
(2) If you operate a source subject to an emissions standard
established on a heat-input basis (e.g., lb CO2/MMBtu) and
your affected source uses non-uniform heating value fuels as delineated
under Sec. 60.5520a(d), you must determine the total heat input for
each fuel fired during the compliance period in accordance with one of
the following procedures:
(i) Appendix D to 40 CFR part 75;
(ii) The procedures for monitoring heat input under Sec.
60.107a(d);
(iii) If you monitor CO2 emissions in accordance with
the Tier 3 methodology under 40 CFR 98.33(a)(3), you may convert your
CO2 emissions to heat input using the appropriate emission
factor in table C-1 of 40 CFR part 98. If your fuel is not listed in
table C-1, you must determine a fuel-specific carbon-based F-factor
(Fc) in accordance with section 12.3.2 of EPA Method 19 of appendix A-7
to this part, and you must convert your CO2 emissions to
heat input using Equation G-4 in appendix G to 40 CFR part 75.
[[Page 40040]]
(e) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, if two or more affected EGUs
serve a common electric generator, you must apportion the combined
hourly gross or net energy output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total steam load and/or direct
mechanical energy contributed by each EGU to the electric generator.
Alternatively, if the EGUs are identical, you may apportion the
combined hourly gross or net electrical load to the individual EGUs
according to the fraction of the total heat input contributed by each
EGU. You may also elect to develop, demonstrate, and provide
information satisfactory to the Administrator on alternate methods to
apportion the gross or net energy output. The Administrator may approve
such alternate methods for apportioning the gross or net energy output
whenever the demonstration ensures accurate estimation of emissions
regulated under this part.
(f) In accordance with Sec. Sec. 60.13(g) and 60.5520a, if two or
more affected EGUs that implement the continuous emission monitoring
provisions in paragraph (b) of this section share a common exhaust gas
stack you must monitor hourly CO2 mass emissions in
accordance with one of the following procedures:
(1) If the EGUs are subject to the same emissions standard in table
1 to this subpart, you may monitor the hourly CO2 mass
emissions at the common stack in lieu of monitoring each EGU
separately. If you choose this option, the hourly gross or net energy
output (electric, thermal, and/or mechanical, as applicable) must be
the sum of the hourly loads for the individual affected EGUs and you
must express the operating time as ``stack operating hours'' (as
defined in 40 CFR 72.2). If you attain compliance with the applicable
emissions standard in Sec. 60.5520a at the common stack, each affected
EGU sharing the stack is in compliance; or
(2) As an alternative to the requirements in paragraph (f)(1) of
this section, or if the EGUs are subject to different emission
standards in table 1 to this subpart, you must either:
(i) Monitor each EGU separately by measuring the hourly
CO2 mass emissions prior to mixing in the common stack or
(ii) Apportion the CO2 mass emissions based on the
unit's load contribution to the total load associated with the common
stack and the appropriate F-factors. You may also elect to develop,
demonstrate, and provide information satisfactory to the Administrator
on alternate methods to apportion the CO2 emissions. The
Administrator may approve such alternate methods for apportioning the
CO2 emissions whenever the demonstration ensures accurate
estimation of emissions regulated under this part.
(g) In accordance with Sec. Sec. 60.13(g) and 60.5520a if the
exhaust gases from an affected EGU that implements the continuous
emission monitoring provisions in paragraph (b) of this section are
emitted to the atmosphere through multiple stacks (or if the exhaust
gases are routed to a common stack through multiple ducts and you elect
to monitor in the ducts), you must monitor the hourly CO2
mass emissions and the ``stack operating time'' (as defined in 40 CFR
72.2) at each stack or duct separately. In this case, you must
determine compliance with the applicable emissions standard in table 1
or 2 to this subpart by summing the CO2 mass emissions
measured at the individual stacks or ducts and dividing by the total
gross or net energy output for the affected EGU.
Sec. 60.5540a How do I demonstrate compliance with my CO2 emissions
standard and determine excess emissions?
(a) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520a, if you are subject to an
output-based emission standard or you burn non-uniform fuels as
specified in Sec. 60.5520a(d)(2), you must demonstrate compliance with
the applicable CO2 emission standard in table 1 to this
subpart as required in this section. For the initial and each
subsequent 12-operating-month rolling average compliance period, you
must follow the procedures in paragraphs (a)(1) through (8) of this
section to calculate the CO2 mass emissions rate for your
affected EGU(s) in units of the applicable emissions standard (e.g.,
either kg/MWh or kg/GJ). You must use the hourly CO2 mass
emissions calculated under Sec. 60.5535a(b) or (c), as applicable, and
either the generating load data from Sec. 60.5535a(d)(1) for output-
based calculations or the heat input data from Sec. 60.5535a(d)(2) for
heat-input-based calculations. Combustion turbines firing non-uniform
fuels that contain CO2 prior to combustion (e.g., blast
furnace gas or landfill gas) may sample the fuel stream to determine
the quantity of CO2 present in the fuel prior to combustion
and exclude this portion of the CO2 mass emissions from
compliance determinations.
(1) Each compliance period shall include only ``valid operating
hours'' in the compliance period, i.e., operating hours for which:
(i) ``Valid data'' (as defined in Sec. 60.5580a) are obtained for
all of the parameters used to determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions (kg) and, if a heat input-based standard applies, all the
parameters used to determine total heat input for the hour are also
obtained; and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross or net energy output value is
also valid data (Note: For hours with no useful output, zero is
considered to be a valid value).
(2) You must exclude operating hours in which:
(i) The substitute data provisions of part 75 of this chapter are
applied for any of the parameters used to determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions or, if a heat input-based standard
applies, for any parameters used to determine the hourly heat input;
(ii) An exceedance of the full-scale range of a continuous emission
monitoring system occurs for any of the parameters used to determine
the hourly CO2 mass emissions or, if applicable, to
determine the hourly heat input; or
(iii) The total gross or net energy output (Pgross/net)
or, if applicable, the total heat input is unavailable.
(3) For each compliance period, at least 95 percent of the
operating hours in the compliance period must be valid operating hours,
as defined in paragraph (a)(1) of this section.
(4) You must calculate the total CO2 mass emissions by
summing the valid hourly CO2 mass emissions values from
Sec. 60.5535a for all of the valid operating hours in the compliance
period.
(5) For each valid operating hour of the compliance period that was
used in paragraph (a)(4) of this section to calculate the total
CO2 mass emissions, you must determine Pgross/net
(the corresponding hourly gross or net energy output in MWh) according
to the procedures in paragraphs (a)(5)(i) and (ii) of this section, as
appropriate for the type of affected EGU(s). For an operating hour in
which a valid CO2 mass emissions value is determined
according to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section, if there is no gross
or net electrical output, but there is mechanical or useful thermal
output, you must still determine the gross or net energy output for
that hour. In addition, for an operating hour in which a valid
CO2 mass emissions value is determined according to
paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section, but there is no (i.e., zero) gross
electrical, mechanical, or useful thermal output, you must use that
hour in the compliance determination. For hours or partial hours where
the gross electric output is equal to or less than the auxiliary loads,
net electric output shall be counted as zero for this calculation.
(i) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected EGU using the
following equation. All terms in the equation must be expressed in
units of MWh. To convert each
[[Page 40041]]
hourly gross or net energy output (consistent with Sec. 60.5520a)
value reported under part 75 of this chapter to MWh, multiply by the
corresponding EGU or stack operating time.
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(5)(i)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.060
Where:
Pgross/net = In accordance with Sec. 60.5520a, gross or
net energy output of your affected EGU for each valid operating hour
(as defined in Sec. 60.5540a(a)(1)) in MWh.
(Pe)ST = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of steam turbines in MWh.
(Pe)CT = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of stationary combustion turbine(s) in MWh.
(Pe)IE = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of your affected EGU's integrated equipment that
provides electricity or mechanical energy to the affected EGU or
auxiliary equipment in MWh.
(Pe)FW = Electric energy used to power boiler feedwater
pumps at steam generating units in MWh. Not applicable to stationary
combustion turbines, IGCC EGUs, or EGUs complying with a net energy
output based standard.
(Pe)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary loads in
MWh. Not applicable for determining Pgross.
(Pt)PS = Useful thermal output of steam (measured
relative to standard ambient temperature and pressure (SATP)
conditions, as applicable) that is used for applications that do not
generate additional electricity, produce mechanical energy output,
or enhance the performance of the affected EGU. This is calculated
using the equation specified in paragraph (a)(5)(ii) of this section
in MWh.
(Pt)HR = Non steam useful thermal output (measured
relative to SATP conditions, as applicable) from heat recovery that
is used for applications other than steam generation or performance
enhancement of the affected EGU in MWh.
(Pt)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to SATP
conditions, as applicable) from any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate additional steam, electricity,
produce mechanical energy output, or enhance the performance of the
affected EGU in MWh.
TDF = Electric Transmission and Distribution Factor of 0.95 for a
combined heat and power affected EGU where at least on an annual
basis 20.0 percent of the total gross or net energy output consists
of useful thermal output on a 12-operating-month rolling average
basis, or 1.0 for all other affected EGUs.
(ii) If applicable to your affected EGU (for example, for combined
heat and power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using the following
equation:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(ii)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.061
Where:
Qm = Measured useful thermal output flow in kg (lb) for
the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the useful thermal output at measured temperature
and pressure (relative to SATP conditions or the energy in the
condensate return line, as applicable) in Joules per kilogram (J/kg)
(or Btu/lb).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 x 10\9\ J/MWh or 3.413 x 10\6\ Btu/
MWh.
(6) Sources complying with energy output-based standards must
calculate the basis (i.e., denominator) of their actual annual emission
rate in accordance with paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section. Sources
complying with heat input based standards must calculate the basis of
their actual annual emission rate in accordance with paragraph
(a)(6)(ii) of this section.
(i) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520a if you are subject to an
output-based standard, you must calculate the total gross or net energy
output for the affected EGU's compliance period by summing the hourly
gross or net energy output values for the affected EGU that you
determined under paragraph (a)(5) of this section for all of the valid
operating hours in the applicable compliance period.
(ii) If you are subject to a heat input-based standard, you must
calculate the total heat input for each fuel fired during the
compliance period. The calculation of total heat input for each
individual fuel must include all valid operating hours and must also be
consistent with any fuel-specific procedures specified within your
selected monitoring option under Sec. 60.5535(d)(2).
(7) If you are subject to an output-based standard, you must
calculate the CO2 mass emissions rate for the affected
EGU(s) (kg/MWh) by dividing the total CO2 mass emissions
value calculated according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of
this section by the total gross or net energy output value calculated
according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this section.
Round off the result to two significant figures if the calculated value
is less than 1,000; round the result to three significant figures if
the calculated value is greater than 1,000. If you are subject to a
heat input-based standard, you must calculate the CO2 mass
emissions rate for the affected EGU(s) (kg/GJ or lb/MMBtu) by dividing
the total CO2 mass emissions value calculated according to
the procedures in paragraph (a)(4) of this section by the total heat
input calculated according to the procedures in paragraph (a)(6)(ii) of
this section. Round off the result to two significant figures.
(8) You may exclude CO2 mass emissions and output
generated from your affected EGU from your calculations for hours
during which the affected EGU operated during a system emergency, as
defined in Sec. 60.5580a, if you can provide the information listed in
Sec. 60.5560a(i). While operating during a system emergency, your
compliance determination depends on your subcategory or unit type, as
listed in paragraphs (a)(8)(i) through (ii) of this section.
(i) For affected EGUs in the intermediate or base load subcategory,
your CO2 emission standard while operating during a system
emergency is the applicable emission standard for low load combustion
turbines.
(ii) For affected modified steam generating units, your
CO2 emission standard while operating during a system
emergency is 230 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(b) In accordance with Sec. 60.5520a, to demonstrate compliance
with the applicable CO2 emission standard, for the initial
and each subsequent 12-operating-month compliance period, the
CO2 mass emissions rate for your affected EGU must be
determined
[[Page 40042]]
according to the procedures specified in paragraph (a)(1) through (8)
of this section and must be less than or equal to the applicable
CO2 emissions standard in table 1 to this subpart, or the
emissions standard calculated in accordance with Sec. 60.5525a(a)(2).
(c) If you are the owner or operator of a new or reconstructed
stationary combustion turbine operating in the base load subcategory,
are installing add-on controls, and are unable to comply with the
applicable Phase 2 CO2 emission standard specified in table
1 to this subpart due to circumstances beyond your control, you may
request a compliance date extension of no longer than one year beyond
the effective date of January 1, 2032, and may only receive an
extension once. The extension request must contain a demonstration of
necessity that includes the following:
(1) A demonstration that your affected EGU cannot meet its
compliance date due to circumstances beyond your control and you have
taken all steps reasonably possible to install the controls necessary
for compliance by the effective date up to the point of the delay. The
demonstration shall:
(i) Identify each affected unit for which you are seeking the
compliance extension;
(ii) Identify and describe the controls to be installed at each
affected unit to comply with the applicable CO2 emission
standard in table 1 to this subpart;
(iii) Describe and demonstrate all progress towards installing the
controls and that you have acted consistently with achieving timely
compliance, including;
(A) Any and all contract(s) entered into for the installation of
the identified controls or an explanation as to why no contract is
necessary or obtainable;
(B) Any permit(s) obtained for the installation of the identified
controls or, where a required permit has not yet been issued, a copy of
the permit application submitted to the permitting authority and a
statement from the permit authority identifying its anticipated
timeframe for issuance of such permit(s).
(iv) Identify the circumstances that are entirely beyond your
control and that necessitate additional time to install the identified
controls. This may include:
(A) Information gathered from control technology vendors or
engineering firms demonstrating that the necessary controls cannot be
installed or started up by the applicable compliance date listed in
table 1 to this subpart;
(B) Documentation of any permit delays; or
(C) Documentation of delays in construction or permitting of
infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that is necessary for
implementation of the control technology;
(v) Identify a proposed compliance date no later than one year
after the applicable compliance date listed in table 1 to this subpart.
(2) The Administrator is charged with approving or disapproving a
compliance date extension request based on his or her written
determination that your affected EGU has or has not made each of the
necessary demonstrations and provided all of the necessary
documentation according to paragraph (c)(1) of this section. The
following must be included:
(i) All documentation required as part of this extension must be
submitted by you to the Administrator no later than 6 months prior to
the applicable effective date for your affected EGU.
(ii) You must notify the Administrator of the compliance date
extension request at the time of the submission of the request.
Notification, Reports, and Records
Sec. 60.5550a What notifications must I submit and when?
(a) You must prepare and submit the notifications specified in
Sec. Sec. 60.7(a)(1) and (3) and 60.19, as applicable to your affected
EGU(s) (see table 3 to this subpart).
(b) You must prepare and submit notifications specified in 40 CFR
75.61, as applicable, to your affected EGUs.
Sec. 60.5555a What reports must I submit and when?
(a) You must prepare and submit reports according to paragraphs (a)
through (d) of this section, as applicable.
(1) For affected EGUs that are required by Sec. 60.5525a to
conduct initial and on-going compliance determinations on a 12-
operating-month rolling average basis, you must submit electronic
quarterly reports as follows. After you have accumulated the first 12-
operating months for the affected EGU, you must submit a report for the
calendar quarter that includes the twelfth operating month no later
than 30 days after the end of that quarter. Thereafter, you must submit
a report for each subsequent calendar quarter, no later than 30 days
after the end of the quarter.
(2) In each quarterly report you must include the following
information, as applicable:
(i) Each rolling average CO2 mass emissions rate for
which the last (twelfth) operating month in a 12-operating-month
compliance period falls within the calendar quarter. You must calculate
each average CO2 mass emissions rate for the compliance
period according to the procedures in Sec. 60.5540a. You must report
the dates (month and year) of the first and twelfth operating months in
each compliance period for which you performed a CO2 mass
emissions rate calculation. If there are no compliance periods that end
in the quarter, you must include a statement to that effect;
(ii) If one or more compliance periods end in the quarter, you must
identify each operating month in the calendar quarter where your EGU
violated the applicable CO2 emission standard;
(iii) If one or more compliance periods end in the quarter and
there are no violations for the affected EGU, you must include a
statement indicating this in the report;
(iv) The percentage of valid operating hours in each 12-operating-
month compliance period described in paragraph (a)(1) of this section
(i.e., the total number of valid operating hours (as defined in Sec.
60.5540a(a)(1)) in that period divided by the total number of operating
hours in that period, multiplied by 100 percent);
(v) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, the CO2 emissions
standard (as identified in table 1 or 2 to this subpart) with which
your affected EGU must comply; and
(vi) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, an indication whether or not
the hourly gross or net energy output (Pgross/net) values
used in the compliance determinations are based solely upon gross
electrical load.
(3) In the final quarterly report of each calendar year, you must
include the following:
(i) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, gross energy output or net
energy output sold to an electric grid, as applicable to the units of
your emission standard, over the four quarters of the calendar year;
and
(ii) The potential electric output of the EGU.
(b) You must submit all electronic reports required under paragraph
(a) of this section using the Emissions Collection and Monitoring Plan
System (ECMPS) Client Tool provided by the Clean Air Markets Division
in the Office of Atmospheric Programs of EPA.
(c)(1) For affected EGUs under this subpart that are also subject
to the Acid Rain Program, you must meet all applicable reporting
requirements and submit reports as required under subpart G of part 75
of this chapter.
(2) For affected EGUs under this subpart that are not in the Acid
Rain Program, you must also meet the reporting requirements and submit
[[Page 40043]]
reports as required under subpart G of part 75 of this chapter, to the
extent that those requirements and reports provide applicable data for
the compliance demonstrations required under this subpart.
(3)(i) For all newly-constructed affected EGUs under this subpart
that are also subject to the Acid Rain Program, you must begin
submitting the quarterly electronic emissions reports described in
paragraph (c)(1) of this section in accordance with 40 CFR 75.64(a),
i.e., beginning with data recorded on and after the earlier of:
(A) The date of provisional certification, as defined in 40 CFR
75.20(a)(3); or
(B) 180 days after the date on which the EGU commences commercial
operation (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2).
(ii) For newly-constructed affected EGUs under this subpart that
are not subject to the Acid Rain Program, you must begin submitting the
quarterly electronic reports described in paragraph (c)(2) of this
section, beginning with data recorded on and after the date on which
reporting is required to begin under 40 CFR 75.64(a), if that date
occurs on or after May 23, 2023.
(iii) For reconstructed or modified units, reporting of emissions
data shall begin at the date on which the EGU becomes an affected unit
under this subpart, provided that the ECMPS Client Tool is able to
receive and process net energy output data on that date. Otherwise,
emissions data reporting shall be on a gross energy output basis until
the date that the Client Tool is first able to receive and process net
energy output data.
(4) If any required monitoring system has not been provisionally
certified by the applicable date on which emissions data reporting is
required to begin under paragraph (c)(3) of this section, the maximum
(or in some cases, minimum) potential value for the parameter measured
by the monitoring system shall be reported until the required
certification testing is successfully completed, in accordance with 40
CFR 75.4(j), 40 CFR 75.37(b), or section 2.4 of appendix D to part 75
of this chapter (as applicable). Operating hours in which
CO2 mass emission rates are calculated using maximum
potential values are not ``valid operating hours'' (as defined in Sec.
60.5540(a)(1)), and shall not be used in the compliance determinations
under Sec. 60.5540.
(d) For affected EGUs subject to the Acid Rain Program, the reports
required under paragraphs (a) and (c)(1) of this section shall be
submitted by:
(1) The person appointed as the Designated Representative (DR)
under 40 CFR 72.20; or
(2) The person appointed as the Alternate Designated Representative
(ADR) under 40 CFR 72.22; or
(3) A person (or persons) authorized by the DR or ADR under 40 CFR
72.26 to make the required submissions.
(e) For affected EGUs that are not subject to the Acid Rain
Program, the owner or operator shall appoint a DR and (optionally) an
ADR to submit the reports required under paragraphs (a) and (c)(2) of
this section. The DR and ADR must register with the Clean Air Markets
Division (CAMD) Business System. The DR may delegate the authority to
make the required submissions to one or more persons.
(f) If your affected EGU captures CO2 to meet the
applicable emission standard, you must report in accordance with the
requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart PP, and either:
(1) Report in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to a facility that reports
in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR, or
subpart VV, if injection occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a facility that has
received an innovative technology waiver from EPA pursuant to paragraph
(g) of this section.
(g) Any person may request the Administrator to issue a waiver of
the requirement that captured CO2 from an affected EGU be
transferred to a facility reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR,
or subpart VV. To receive a waiver, the applicant must demonstrate to
the Administrator that its technology will store captured
CO2 as effectively as geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or contribute to an unreasonable
risk to public health, welfare, or safety. In making this
determination, the Administrator shall consider (among other factors)
operating history of the technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of any pollutant other than
CO2, and permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system, or require the applicant to perform
any tests considered by the Administrator to be necessary to show the
technology's effectiveness, safety, and ability to store captured
CO2 without release. The Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The Administrator may also withdraw
approval of the waiver on evidence of releases of CO2 or
other pollutants. The Administrator will provide notice to the public
of any application under this provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before the Administrator takes final
action.
Sec. 60.5560a What records must I maintain?
(a) You must maintain records of the information you used to
demonstrate compliance with this subpart as specified in Sec. 60.7(b)
and (f).
(b)(1) For affected EGUs subject to the Acid Rain Program, you must
follow the applicable recordkeeping requirements and maintain records
as required under subpart F of part 75 of this chapter.
(2) For affected EGUs that are not subject to the Acid Rain
Program, you must also follow the recordkeeping requirements and
maintain records as required under subpart F of part 75 of this
chapter, to the extent that those records provide applicable data for
the compliance determinations required under this subpart. Regardless
of the prior sentence, at a minimum, the following records must be
kept, as applicable to the types of continuous monitoring systems used
to demonstrate compliance under this subpart:
(i) Monitoring plan records under 40 CFR 75.53(g) and (h);
(ii) Operating parameter records under 40 CFR 75.57(b)(1) through
(4);
(iii) The records under 40 CFR 75.57(c)(2), for stack gas
volumetric flow rate;
(iv) The records under 40 CFR 75.57(c)(3) for continuous moisture
monitoring systems;
(v) The records under 40 CFR 75.57(e)(1), except for paragraph
(e)(1)(x), for CO2 concentration monitoring systems or O2
monitors used to calculate CO2 concentration;
(vi) The records under 40 CFR 75.58(c)(1), specifically paragraphs
(c)(1)(i), (ii), and (viii) through (xiv), for oil flow meters;
(vii) The records under 40 CFR 75.58(c)(4), specifically paragraphs
(c)(4)(i), (ii), (iv), (v), and (vii) through (xi), for gas flow
meters;
(viii) The quality-assurance records under 40 CFR 75.59(a),
specifically paragraphs (a)(1) through (12) and (15), for CEMS;
(ix) The quality-assurance records under 40 CFR 75.59(a),
specifically paragraphs (b)(1) through (4), for fuel flow meters; and
(x) Records of data acquisition and handling system (DAHS)
verification under 40 CFR 75.59(e).
(c) You must keep records of the calculations you performed to
determine the hourly and total CO2 mass emissions (tons)
for:
[[Page 40044]]
(1) Each operating month (for all affected EGUs); and
(2) Each compliance period, including, each 12-operating-month
compliance period.
(d) Consistent with Sec. 60.5520a, you must keep records of the
applicable data recorded and calculations performed that you used to
determine your affected EGU's gross or net energy output for each
operating month.
(e) You must keep records of the calculations you performed to
determine the percentage of valid CO2 mass emission rates in
each compliance period.
(f) You must keep records of the calculations you performed to
assess compliance with each applicable CO2 mass emissions
standard in table 1 or 2 to this subpart.
(g) You must keep records of the calculations you performed to
determine any site-specific carbon-based F-factors you used in the
emissions calculations (if applicable).
(h) For stationary combustion turbines, you must keep records of
electric sales to determine the applicable subcategory.
(i) You must keep the records listed in paragraphs (i)(1) through
(3) of this section to demonstrate that your affected facility operated
during a system emergency.
(1) Documentation that the system emergency to which the affected
EGU was responding was in effect from the entity issuing the alert and
documentation of the exact duration of the system emergency;
(2) Documentation from the entity issuing the alert that the system
emergency included the affected source/region where the affected
facility was located; and
(3) Documentation that the affected facility was instructed to
increase output beyond the planned day-ahead or other near-term
expected output and/or was asked to remain in operation outside its
scheduled dispatch during emergency conditions from a Reliability
Coordinator, Balancing Authority, or Independent System Operator/
Regional Transmission Organization.
Sec. 60.5565a In what form and how long must I keep my records?
(a) Your records must be in a form suitable and readily available
for expeditious review.
(b) You must maintain each record for 5 years after the date of
conclusion of each compliance period.
(c) You must maintain each record on site for at least 2 years
after the date of each occurrence, measurement, maintenance, corrective
action, report, or record, according to Sec. 60.7. Records that are
accessible from a central location by a computer or other means that
instantly provide access at the site meet this requirement. You may
maintain the records off site for the remaining year(s) as required by
this subpart.
Other Requirements and Information
Sec. 60.5570a What parts of the general provisions apply to my
affected EGU?
Notwithstanding any other provision of this chapter, certain parts
of the general provisions in Sec. Sec. 60.1 through 60.19, listed in
table 3 to this subpart, do not apply to your affected EGU.
Sec. 60.5575a Who implements and enforces this subpart?
(a) This subpart can be implemented and enforced by the EPA, or a
delegated authority such as your state, local, or Tribal agency. If the
Administrator has delegated authority to your state, local, or Tribal
agency, then that agency (as well as the EPA) has the authority to
implement and enforce this subpart. You should contact your EPA
Regional Office to find out if this subpart is delegated to your state,
local, or Tribal agency.
(b) In delegating implementation and enforcement authority of this
subpart to a state, local, or Tribal agency, the Administrator retains
the authorities listed in paragraphs (b)(1) through (5) of this section
and does not transfer them to the state, local, or Tribal agency. In
addition, the EPA retains oversight of this subpart and can take
enforcement actions, as appropriate.
(1) Approval of alternatives to the emission standards.
(2) Approval of major alternatives to test methods.
(3) Approval of major alternatives to monitoring.
(4) Approval of major alternatives to recordkeeping and reporting.
(5) Performance test and data reduction waivers under Sec.
60.8(b).
Sec. 60.5580a What definitions apply to this subpart?
As used in this subpart, all terms not defined herein will have the
meaning given them in the Clean Air Act and in subpart A (general
provisions) of this part.
Annual capacity factor means the ratio between the actual heat
input to an EGU during a calendar year and the potential heat input to
the EGU had it been operated for 8,760 hours during a calendar year at
the base load rating. Actual and potential heat input derived from non-
combustion sources (e.g., solar thermal) are not included when
calculating the annual capacity factor.
Base load combustion turbine means a stationary combustion turbine
that supplies more than 40 percent of its potential electric output as
net-electric sales on both a 12-operating month and a 3-year rolling
average basis.
Base load rating means the maximum amount of heat input (fuel) that
an EGU can combust on a steady state basis plus the maximum amount of
heat input derived from non-combustion source (e.g., solar thermal), as
determined by the physical design and characteristics of the EGU at
International Organization for Standardization (ISO) conditions. For a
stationary combustion turbine, base load rating includes the heat input
from duct burners.
Coal means all solid fuels classified as anthracite, bituminous,
subbituminous, or lignite in ASTM D388-99R04 (incorporated by
reference, see Sec. 60.17), coal refuse, and petroleum coke. Synthetic
fuels derived from coal for the purpose of creating useful heat,
including, but not limited to, solvent-refined coal, gasified coal (not
meeting the definition of natural gas), coal-oil mixtures, and coal-
water mixtures are included in this definition for the purposes of this
subpart.
Coal-fired Electric Generating Unit means a steam generating unit
or integrated gasification combined cycle unit that combusts coal on or
after the date of modification or at any point after December 31, 2029.
Combined cycle unit means a stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust gases is recovered by a heat
recovery steam generating unit (HRSG) to generate additional
electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or CHP unit, (also known as
``cogeneration'') means an electric generating unit that simultaneously
produces both electric (or mechanical) and useful thermal output from
the same primary energy source.
Design efficiency means the rated overall net efficiency (e.g.,
electric plus useful thermal output) on a higher heating value basis at
the base load rating, at ISO conditions, and at the maximum useful
thermal output (e.g., CHP unit with condensing steam turbines would
determine the design efficiency at the maximum level of extraction and/
or bypass). Design efficiency shall be determined using one of the
following methods: ASME PTC 22-2014, ASME PTC 46-1996, ISO 2314:2009
(E) (all incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17), or an alternative
approved by the Administrator. When determining the design efficiency,
the output of integrated equipment and energy storage are included.
[[Page 40045]]
Distillate oil means fuel oils that comply with the specifications
for fuel oil numbers 1 and 2, as defined in ASTM D396-98 (incorporated
by reference, see Sec. 60.17); diesel fuel oil numbers 1 and 2, as
defined in ASTM D975-08a (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17);
kerosene, as defined in ASTM D3699-08 (incorporated by reference, see
Sec. 60.17); biodiesel as defined in ASTM D6751-11b (incorporated by
reference, see Sec. 60.17); or biodiesel blends as defined in ASTM
D7467-10 (incorporated by reference, see Sec. 60.17).
Electric Generating units or EGU means any steam generating unit,
IGCC unit, or stationary combustion turbine that is subject to this
rule (i.e., meets the applicability criteria).
Fossil fuel means natural gas, petroleum, coal, and any form of
solid, liquid, or gaseous fuel derived from such material for the
purpose of creating useful heat.
Gaseous fuel means any fuel that is present as a gas at ISO
conditions and includes, but is not limited to, natural gas, refinery
fuel gas, process gas, coke-oven gas, synthetic gas, and gasified coal.
Gross energy output means:
(1) For stationary combustion turbines and IGCC, the gross electric
or direct mechanical output from both the EGU (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and
gas expander(s)) plus 100 percent of the useful thermal output.
(2) For steam generating units, the gross electric or mechanical
output from the affected EGU(s) (including, but not limited to, output
from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and gas expander(s))
minus any electricity used to power the feedwater pumps plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output;
(3) For combined heat and power facilities, where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross energy output consists of useful thermal
output on a 12-operating-month rolling average basis, the gross
electric or mechanical output from the affected EGU (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and
gas expander(s)) minus any electricity used to power the feedwater
pumps (the electric auxiliary load of boiler feedwater pumps is not
applicable to IGCC facilities), that difference divided by 0.95, plus
100 percent of the useful thermal output.
Heat recovery steam generating unit (HRSG) means an EGU in which
hot exhaust gases from the combustion turbine engine are routed in
order to extract heat from the gases and generate useful output. Heat
recovery steam generating units can be used with or without duct
burners.
Integrated gasification combined cycle facility or IGCC means a
combined cycle facility that is designed to burn fuels containing 50
percent (by heat input) or more solid-derived fuel not meeting the
definition of natural gas, plus any integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to the affected EGU or auxiliary
equipment. The Administrator may waive the 50 percent solid-derived
fuel requirement during periods of the gasification system
construction, startup and commissioning, shutdown, or repair. No solid
fuel is directly burned in the EGU during operation.
Intermediate load combustion turbine means a stationary combustion
turbine that supplies more than 20 percent but less than or equal to 40
percent of its potential electric output as net-electric sales on both
a 12-operating month and a 3-year rolling average basis.
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15 [deg]C, 59 [deg]F), 60 percent
relative humidity and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm) pressure.
Liquid fuel means any fuel that is present as a liquid at ISO
conditions and includes, but is not limited to, distillate oil and
residual oil.
Low load combustion turbine means a stationary combustion turbine
that supplies 20 percent or less of its potential electric output as
net-electric sales on both a 12-operating month and a 3-year rolling
average basis.
Mechanical output means the useful mechanical energy that is not
used to operate the affected EGU(s), generate electricity and/or
thermal energy, or to enhance the performance of the affected EGU.
Mechanical energy measured in horsepower hour should be converted into
MWh by multiplying it by 745.7 then dividing by 1,000,000.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of hydrocarbons (e.g., methane,
ethane, or propane), composed of at least 70 percent methane by volume
or that has a gross calorific value between 35 and 41 megajoules (MJ)
per dry standard cubic meter (950 and 1,100 Btu per dry standard cubic
foot), that maintains a gaseous state under ISO conditions. Finally,
natural gas does not include the following gaseous fuels: Landfill gas,
digester gas, refinery gas, sour gas, blast furnace gas, coal-derived
gas, producer gas, coke oven gas, or any gaseous fuel produced in a
process which might result in highly variable CO2 content or
heating value.
Net-electric output means the amount of gross generation the
generator(s) produces (including, but not limited to, output from steam
turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and gas expander(s)), as measured at
the generator terminals, less the electricity used to operate the plant
(i.e., auxiliary loads); such uses include fuel handling equipment,
pumps, fans, pollution control equipment, other electricity needs, and
transformer losses as measured at the transmission side of the step up
transformer (e.g., the point of sale).
Net-electric sales means:
(1) The gross electric sales to the utility power distribution
system minus purchased power; or
(2) For combined heat and power facilities, where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross energy output consists of useful thermal
output on a 12-operating month basis, the gross electric sales to the
utility power distribution system minus the applicable percentage of
purchased power of the thermal host facility or facilities. The
applicable percentage of purchase power for CHP facilities is
determined based on the percentage of the total thermal load of the
host facility supplied to the host facility by the CHP facility. For
example, if a CHP facility serves 50 percent of a thermal host's
thermal demand, the owner/operator of the CHP facility would subtract
50 percent of the thermal host's electric purchased power when
calculating net-electric sales.
(3) Electricity supplied to other facilities that produce
electricity to offset auxiliary loads are included when calculating
net-electric sales.
(4) Electric sales during a system emergency are not included when
calculating net-electric sales.
Net energy output means:
(1) The net electric or mechanical output from the affected EGU
plus 100 percent of the useful thermal output; or
(2) For combined heat and power facilities, where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross or net energy output consists of useful
thermal output on a 12-operating-month rolling average basis, the net
electric or mechanical output from the affected EGU divided by 0.95,
plus 100 percent of the useful thermal output.
Operating month means a calendar month during which any fuel is
combusted in the affected EGU at any time.
Petroleum means crude oil or a fuel derived from crude oil,
including, but not limited to, distillate and residual oil.
Potential electric output means the base load rating design
efficiency at the maximum electric production rate (e.g., CHP units
with condensing steam turbines will operate at maximum electric
production) multiplied by the base load rating (expressed in MMBtu/
[[Page 40046]]
h) of the EGU, multiplied by 10\6\ Btu/MMBtu, divided by 3,413 Btu/KWh,
divided by 1,000 kWh/MWh, and multiplied by 8,760 h/yr (e.g., a 35
percent efficient affected EGU with a 100 MW (341 MMBtu/h) fossil fuel
heat input capacity would have a 306,000 MWh 12-month potential
electric output capacity).
Solid fuel means any fuel that has a definite shape and volume, has
no tendency to flow or disperse under moderate stress, and is not
liquid or gaseous at ISO conditions. This includes, but is not limited
to, coal, biomass, and pulverized solid fuels.
Standard ambient temperature and pressure (SATP) conditions means
298.15 Kelvin (25 [deg]C, 77 [deg]F) and 100.0 kilopascals (14.504 psi,
0.987 atm) pressure. The enthalpy of water at SATP conditions is 50
Btu/lb.
Stationary combustion turbine means all equipment including, but
not limited to, the turbine engine, the fuel, air, lubrication and
exhaust gas systems, control systems (except emissions control
equipment), heat recovery system, fuel compressor, heater, and/or pump,
post-combustion emission control technology, and any ancillary
components and sub-components comprising any simple cycle stationary
combustion turbine, any combined cycle combustion turbine, and any
combined heat and power combustion turbine based system plus any
integrated equipment that provides electricity or useful thermal output
to the combustion turbine engine, (e.g., onsite photovoltaics),
integrated energy storage (e.g., onsite batteries), heat recovery
system, or auxiliary equipment. Stationary means that the combustion
turbine is not self-propelled or intended to be propelled while
performing its function. It may, however, be mounted on a vehicle for
portability. A stationary combustion turbine that burns any solid fuel
directly is considered a steam generating unit.
Steam generating unit means any furnace, boiler, or other device
used for combusting fuel and producing steam (nuclear steam generators
are not included) plus any integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to the affected EGU(s) or
auxiliary equipment.
System emergency means periods when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP-011-2 or its successor.
Useful thermal output means the thermal energy made available for
use in any heating application (e.g., steam delivered to an industrial
process for a heating application, including thermal cooling
applications) that is not used for electric generation, mechanical
output at the affected EGU, to directly enhance the performance of the
affected EGU (e.g., economizer output is not useful thermal output, but
thermal energy used to reduce fuel moisture is considered useful
thermal output), or to supply energy to a pollution control device at
the affected EGU. Useful thermal output for affected EGU(s) with no
condensate return (or other thermal energy input to the affected
EGU(s)) or where measuring the energy in the condensate (or other
thermal energy input to the affected EGU(s)) would not meaningfully
impact the emission rate calculation is measured against the energy in
the thermal output at SATP conditions. Affected EGU(s) with meaningful
energy in the condensate return (or other thermal energy input to the
affected EGU) must measure the energy in the condensate and subtract
that energy relative to SATP conditions from the measured thermal
output.
Valid data means quality-assured data generated by continuous
monitoring systems that are installed, operated, and maintained
according to part 75 of this chapter. For CEMS, the initial
certification requirements in 40 CFR 75.20 and appendix A to 40 CFR
part 75 must be met before quality-assured data are reported under this
subpart; for on-going quality assurance, the daily, quarterly, and
semiannual/annual test requirements in sections 2.1, 2.2, and 2.3 of
appendix B to 40 CFR part 75 must be met and the data validation
criteria in sections 2.1.5, 2.2.3, and 2.3.2 of appendix B to 40 CFR
part 75. For fuel flow meters, the initial certification requirements
in section 2.1.5 of appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 must be met before
quality-assured data are reported under this subpart (except for
qualifying commercial billing meters under section 2.1.4.2 of appendix
D to 40 CFR part 75), and for on-going quality assurance, the
provisions in section 2.1.6 of appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 apply
(except for qualifying commercial billing meters).
Violation means a specified averaging period over which the
CO2 emissions rate is higher than the applicable emissions
standard located in table 1 to this subpart.
Table 1 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Stationary Combustion Turbines That Commenced Construction or
Reconstruction After May 23, 2023 (Gross or Net Energy Output-Based
Standards Applicable as Approved by the Administrator)
[Note: Numerical values of 1,000 or greater have a minimum of 3
significant figures and numerical values of less than 1,000 have a
minimum of 2 significant figures]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Affected EGU category CO2 emission standard
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Base load combustion turbines..... For 12-operating month averages
beginning before January 2032, 360
to 560 kg CO2/MWh (800 to 1,250 lb
CO2/MWh) of gross energy output; or
370 to 570 kg CO2/MWh (820 to 1,280
lb CO2/MWh) of net energy output as
determined by the procedures in
Sec. 60.5525a.
For 12-operating month averages
beginning after December 2031, 43
to 67 kg CO2/MWh (100 to 150 lb CO2/
MWh) of gross energy output; or 42
to 64 kg CO2/MWh (97 to 139 lb CO2/
MWh) of net energy output as
determined by the procedures in
Sec. 60.5525a.
Intermediate load combustion 530 to 710 kg CO2/MWh (1,170 to
turbines. 1,560 lb CO2/MWh) of gross energy
output; or 540 to 700 kg CO2/MWh
(1,190 to 1,590 lb CO2/MWh) of net
energy output as determined by the
procedures in Sec. 60.5525a.
Low load combustion turbines...... Between 50 to 69 kg CO2/GJ (120 to
160 lb CO2/MMBtu) of heat input as
determined by the procedures in
Sec. 60.5525a.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 40047]]
Table 2 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--CO2 Emission Standards for Affected
Steam Generating Units or IGCC That Commenced Modification After May 23,
2023
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Affected EGU CO2 Emission standard
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Modified coal-fired steam A unit-specific emissions standard
generating unit. determined by an 88.4 percent
reduction in the unit's best
historical annual CO2 emission rate
(from 2002 to the date of the
modification).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table 3 to Subpart TTTTa of Part 60--Applicability of Subpart A of Part 60 (General Provisions) to Subpart TTTTa
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Applies to subpart
General provisions citation Subject of citation TTTTa Explanation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sec. 60.1........................ Applicability......... Yes.
Sec. 60.2........................ Definitions........... Yes................... Additional terms defined in
Sec. 60.5580a.
Sec. 60.3........................ Units and Yes.
Abbreviations.
Sec. 60.4........................ Address............... Yes................... Does not apply to
information reported
electronically through
ECMPS. Duplicate
submittals are not
required.
Sec. 60.5........................ Determination of Yes.
construction or
modification.
Sec. 60.6........................ Review of plans....... Yes.
Sec. 60.7........................ Notification and Yes................... Only the requirements to
Recordkeeping. submit the notifications
in Sec. 60.7(a)(1) and
(3) and to keep records of
malfunctions in Sec.
60.7(b), if applicable.
Sec. 60.8(a)..................... Performance tests..... No....................
Sec. 60.8(b)..................... Performance test Yes................... Administrator can approve
method alternatives. alternate methods.
Sec. 60.8(c)-(f)................. Conducting performance No....................
tests.
Sec. 60.9........................ Availability of Yes.
Information.
Sec. 60.10....................... State authority....... Yes.
Sec. 60.11....................... Compliance with No....................
standards and
maintenance
requirements.
Sec. 60.12....................... Circumvention......... Yes.
Sec. 60.13 (a)-(h), (j).......... Monitoring No.................... All monitoring is done
requirements. according to part 75.
Sec. 60.13 (i)................... Monitoring Yes................... Administrator can approve
requirements. alternative monitoring
procedures or
requirements.
Sec. 60.14....................... Modification.......... Yes (steam generating
units and IGCC
facilities) No
(stationary
combustion turbines)..
Sec. 60.15....................... Reconstruction........ Yes.
Sec. 60.16....................... Priority list......... No....................
Sec. 60.17....................... Incorporations by Yes.
reference.
Sec. 60.18....................... General control device No....................
requirements.
Sec. 60.19....................... General notification Yes................... Does not apply to
and reporting notifications under Sec.
requirements. 75.61 or to information
reported through ECMPS.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Subpart UUUUa--[Reserved]
0
16. Remove and reserve subpart UUUUa.
0
17. Add subpart UUUUb to read as follows:
Sec.
Subpart UUUUb--Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions for
Electric Utility Generating Units
Introduction
60.5700b What is the purpose of this subpart?
60.5705b Which pollutants are regulated by this subpart?
60.5710b Am I affected by this subpart?
60.5715b What is the review and approval process for my State plan?
60.5720b What if I do not submit a State plan or my State plan is
not approvable?
60.5725b In lieu of a State plan submittal, are there other
acceptable option(s) for a State to meet its CAA section 111(d)
obligations?
60.5730b Is there an approval process for a negative declaration
letter?
State Plan Requirements
60.5740b What must I include in my federally enforceable State plan?
60.5775b What standards of performance must I include in my State
plan?
60.5780b What compliance dates and compliance periods must I include
in my State plan?
60.5785b What are the timing requirements for submitting my State
plan?
60.5790b What is the procedure for revising my State plan?
60.5795b Commitment to review emission guidelines for coal-fired
affected EGUs
Applicability of State Plans to Affected EGUs
60.5840b Does this subpart directly affect EGU owners or operators
in my State?
60.5845b What affected EGUs must I address in my State plan?
60.5850b What EGUs are excluded from being affected EGUs?
Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
60.5860b What applicable monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements do I need to include in my State plan for affected
EGUs?
60.5865b What are my recordkeeping requirements?
60.5870b What are my reporting and notification requirements?
[[Page 40048]]
60.5875b How do I submit information required by these emission
guidelines to the EPA?
60.5876b What are the recordkeeping and reporting requirements for
EGUs that have committed to permanently cease operations by January
1, 2032?
Definitions
60.5880b What definitions apply to this subpart?
Subpart UUUUb--Emission Guidelines for Greenhouse Gas Emissions for
Electric Utility Generating Units
Introduction
Sec. [thinsp]60.5700b What is the purpose of this subpart?
This subpart establishes emission guidelines and approval criteria
for State plans that establish standards of performance limiting
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from an affected steam generating unit.
An affected steam generating unit shall, for the purposes of this
subpart, be referred to as an affected EGU. These emission guidelines
are developed in accordance with section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act
and subpart Ba of this part. State plans under the emission guidelines
in this subpart are also subject to the requirements of subpart Ba. To
the extent any requirement of this subpart is inconsistent with the
requirements of subparts A or Ba of this part, the requirements of this
subpart shall apply.
Sec. [thinsp]60.5705b Which pollutants are regulated by this subpart?
(a) The pollutants regulated by this subpart are greenhouse gases
(GHG). The emission guidelines for greenhouse gases established in this
subpart are expressed as carbon dioxide (CO2) emission
performance rates.
(b) PSD and Title V Thresholds for Greenhouse Gases.
(1) For the purposes of 40 CFR[thinsp]51.166(b)(49)(ii), with
respect to GHG emissions from facilities regulated in the State plan,
the ``pollutant that is subject to the standard promulgated under
section 111 of the Act'' shall be considered to be the pollutant that
otherwise is subject to regulation under the Act as defined in 40
CFR[thinsp]51.166(b)(48) and in any State Implementation Plan (SIP)
approved by the EPA that is interpreted to incorporate, or specifically
incorporates, 40 CFR[thinsp]51.166(b)(48).
(2) For the purposes of 40 CFR[thinsp]52.21(b)(50)(ii), with
respect to GHG emissions from facilities regulated in the State plan,
the ``pollutant that is subject to the standard promulgated under
section 111 of the Act'' shall be considered to be the pollutant that
otherwise is subject to regulation under the Act as defined in 40
CFR[thinsp]52.21(b)(49).
(3) For the purposes of 40 CFR 70.2, with respect to greenhouse gas
emissions from facilities regulated in the State plan, the ``pollutant
that is subject to any standard promulgated under section 111 of the
Act'' shall be considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is
``subject to regulation'' as defined in 40 CFR[thinsp]70.2.
(4) For the purposes of 40 CFR[thinsp]71.2, with respect to GHG
emissions from facilities regulated in the State plan, the ``pollutant
that is subject to any standard promulgated under section 111 of the
Act'' shall be considered to be the pollutant that otherwise is
``subject to regulation'' as defined in 40 CFR[thinsp]71.2.
Sec. [thinsp]60.5710b Am I affected by this subpart?
(a) If you are the Governor of a State in the contiguous United
States with one or more affected EGUs that must be addressed in your
State plan as indicated in Sec. [thinsp]60.5845b, you must submit a
State plan to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) that
implements the emission guidelines contained in this subpart. If you
are the Governor of a State in the contiguous United States with no
affected EGUs, or if all EGUs in your State are excluded from being
affected EGUs per Sec. [thinsp]60.5850b, you must submit a negative
declaration letter in place of the State plan.
(b) If you are a coal-fired steam generating unit that has
demonstrated that it plans to permanently cease operation prior to
January 1, 2032, consistent with Sec. 60.5740b(a)(9)(ii), and that
would be an affected EGU under these emissions guidelines but for Sec.
60.5850b(k), you must comply with Sec. 60.5876b.
Sec. [thinsp]60.5715b What is the review and approval process for my
State plan?
(a) The EPA will determine the completeness of your State plan
submission according to Sec. 60.27a(g). The timeline for completeness
determinations is provided in Sec. 60.27a(g)(1).
(b) The EPA will act on your State plan submission according to
Sec. 60.27a. The Administrator will have 12 months after the date the
final State plan or State plan revision (as allowed under Sec.
[thinsp]60.5790b) is found to be complete to fully approve, partially
approve, conditionally approve, partially disapprove, and/or fully
disapprove such State plan or revision or each portion thereof.
Sec. [thinsp]60.5720b What if I do not submit a State plan or my
State plan is not approvable?
(a) If you do not submit an approvable State plan the EPA will
develop a Federal plan for your State according to Sec.
[thinsp]60.27a. The Federal plan will implement the emission guidelines
contained in this subpart. Owners and operators of affected EGUs not
covered by an approved State plan must comply with a Federal plan
implemented by the EPA for the State.
(b) After a Federal plan has been implemented in your State, it
will be withdrawn when your State submits, and the EPA approves, a
State plan replacing the relevant portion(s) of the Federal plan.
Sec. [thinsp]60.5725b In lieu of a State plan submittal, are there
other acceptable option(s) for a State to meet its CAA section 111(d)
obligations?
A State may meet its CAA section 111(d) obligations only by
submitting a State plan or a negative declaration letter (if
applicable).
Sec. [thinsp]60.5730b Is there an approval process for a negative
declaration letter?
No. The EPA has no formal review process for negative declaration
letters. Once your negative declaration letter has been received,
consistent with the electronic submission requirements in Sec.
[thinsp]60.5875b, the EPA will place a copy in the public docket and
publish a notice in the Federal Register. If, at a later date, an
affected EGU for which construction commenced on or before January 8,
2014, reconstruction on or before June 18, 2014, or modification on or
before May 23, 2023, is found in your State, you will be found to have
failed to submit a State plan as required, and a Federal plan
implementing the emission guidelines contained in this subpart, when
promulgated by the EPA, will apply to that affected EGU until you
submit, and the EPA approves, a State plan.
State Plan Requirements
Sec. [thinsp]60.5740b What must I include in my federally enforceable
State plan?
(a) You must include the components described in paragraphs (a)(1)
through (13) of this section in your State plan submittal. The final
State plan must meet the requirements and include the information
required under Sec. [thinsp]60.5775b and must also meet any
administrative and technical completeness criteria listed in Sec.
[thinsp]60.27a(g)(2) and (3) that are not otherwise specifically
enumerated here.
(1) Identification of affected EGUs. Consistent with Sec.
[thinsp]60.25a(a), you must identify the affected EGUs covered by
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your State plan and all affected EGUs in your State that meet the
applicability criteria in Sec. [thinsp]60.5845b. You must also
identify the subcategory into which you have classified each affected
EGU. States must subcategorize affected EGUs into one of the following
subcategories:
(i) Long-term coal-fired steam generating units, consisting of
coal-fired steam generating units that are not medium-term coal-fired
steam generating units and do not plan to permanently cease operation
before January 1, 2039.
(ii) Medium-term coal-fired steam generating units, consisting of
coal-fired steam generating units that have elected to commit to
permanently cease operations by a date after December 31, 2031, and
before January 1, 2039.
(iii) Base load oil-fired steam generating units, consisting of
oil-fired steam generating units with an annual capacity factor greater
than or equal to 45 percent.
(iv) Intermediate load oil-fired steam generating units, consisting
of oil-fired steam generating units with an annual capacity factor
greater than or equal to 8 percent and less than 45 percent.
(v) Low load oil-fired steam generating units, consisting of oil-
fired steam generating units with an annual capacity factor less than 8
percent.
(vi) Base load natural gas-fired steam generating units, consisting
of natural gas-fired steam generating units with an annual capacity
factor greater than or equal to 45 percent.
(vii) Intermediate load natural gas-fired steam generating units,
consisting of natural gas-fired steam generating units with an annual
capacity factor greater than or equal to 8 percent and less than 45
percent.
(viii) Low load natural gas-fired steam generating units,
consisting of natural gas-fired steam generating units with an annual
capacity factor less than 8 percent.
(2) Inventory of Data from Affected EGUs. You must include an
inventory of the following data from the affected EGUs:
(i) The nameplate capacity of the affected EGU, as defined in Sec.
60.5880b.
(ii) The base load rating of the affected EGU, as defined in Sec.
60.5880b.
(iii) The data within the continuous 5-year period immediately
prior to May 9, 2024 including:
(A) The sum of the CO2 emissions during each quarter in
the 5-year period.
(B) For affected EGUs in all subcategories except the low load
natural gas- and oil-fired subcategories, the sum of the gross energy
output during each quarter in the 5-year period; for affected EGUs in
the low load natural gas- and oil-fired subcategories, the sum of the
heat input during each quarter in the 5-year period.
(C) The heat input for each fuel type combusted during each quarter
in the 5-year period.
(D) The start date and end date of the most representative
continuous 8-quarter period used to determine the baseline of emission
performance under Sec. 60.5775b(d), the sum of the CO2 mass
emissions during that period, the sum of the gross energy output or,
for affected EGUs in the low load natural gas-fired subcategory or low
load oil-fired subcategory, the sum of the heat input during that
period, and sum of the heat input for each fuel type combusted during
that period.
(3) Standards of Performance. You must include all standards of
performance for each affected EGU according to Sec. 60.5775b.
Standards of performance must be established at a level of performance
that does not exceed the level calculated through the use of the
methods described in Sec. 60.5775b(b), unless a State establishes a
standard of performance pursuant to Sec. 60.5775b(e).
(4) Requirements related to Subcategory Applicability. (i) You must
include the following enforceable requirements to establish an affected
EGU's applicability for each of the following subcategories:
(A) For medium-term coal-fired steam generating units, you must
include a requirement to permanently cease operations by a date after
December 31, 2031, and before January 1, 2039.
(B) For steam generating units that meet the definition of natural
gas- or oil-fired, and that either retain the capability to fire coal
after May 9, 2024, that fired any coal during the 5-year period prior
to that date, or that will fire any coal after that date and before
January 1, 2030, you must include a requirement to remove the
capability to fire coal before January 1, 2030.
(C) For each affected EGU, you must also estimate coal, oil, and
natural gas usage by heat input for the first 3 calendar years after
January 1, 2030.
(D) For affected EGUs that plan to permanently cease operation, you
must include a requirement that each such affected EGU comply with
applicable State and Federal requirements for permanently ceasing
operation, including removal from its respective State's air emissions
inventory and amending or revoking all applicable permits to reflect
the permanent shutdown status of the EGU.
(5) Increments of Progress. You must include in your State plan
legally enforceable increments of progress as required elements for
affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired steam generating unit and
medium-term coal-fired steam generating unit subcategories.
(i) For affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired steam generating
unit subcategory using carbon capture to meet their applicable standard
of performance and affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory using natural gas co-firing to meet their
applicable standard of performance, State plans must assign calendar-
date deadlines to each of the increments of progress described in
subsection (a)(5)(i) and meet the website reporting obligations of
subsection (a)(5)(iii):
(A) Submittal of a final control plan for the affected EGU to the
appropriate air pollution control agency. The final control plan must
be consistent with the subcategory declaration for each affected EGU in
the State plan.
(1) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, the final control plan must include
supporting analysis for the affected EGU's control strategy, including
a feasibility and/or front-end engineering and design (FEED) study.
(2) For each affected unit in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, the final control plan must include
supporting analysis for the affected EGU's control strategy, including
the design basis for modifications at the facility, the anticipated
timeline to achieve full compliance, and the benchmarks the facility
anticipates along the way.
(B) Completion of awarding of contracts. The owner or operator of
an affected EGU can demonstrate compliance with this increment of
progress by submitting sufficient evidence that the appropriate
contracts have been awarded.
(1) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, awarding of contracts for emission control
systems or for process modifications, or issuance of orders for the
purchase of component parts to accomplish emission control or process
modification.
(2) For each affected unit in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, awarding of contracts for boiler
modifications, or issuance of orders for the purchase of component
parts to accomplish boiler modifications.
(C) Initiation of on-site construction or installation of emission
control equipment or process change.
(1) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit
[[Page 40050]]
subcategory, initiation of on-site construction or installation of
emission control equipment or process change required to achieve 90
percent carbon capture on an annual basis.
(2) For each affected unit in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, initiation of on-site construction or
installation of any boiler modifications necessary to enable natural
gas co-firing at a level of 40 percent on an annual average basis.
(D) Completion of on-site construction or installation of emission
control equipment or process change.
(1) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, completion of on-site construction or
installation of emission control equipment or process change required
to achieve 90 percent carbon capture on an annual basis.
(2) For each affected unit in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, completion of on-site construction of any
boiler modifications necessary to enable natural gas co-firing at a
level of 40 percent on an annual average basis.
(E) Commencement of permitting actions related to pipeline
construction. The owner or operator of an affected EGU must demonstrate
that they have commenced permitting actions by a date specified in the
State plan. Evidence in support of the demonstration must include
pipeline planning and design documentation that informed the permitting
process, a complete list of pipeline-related permitting applications,
including the nature of the permit sought and the authority to which
each permit application was submitted, an attestation that the list of
pipeline-related permits is complete with respect to the authorizations
required to operate each affected unit at full compliance with the
standard of performance, and a timeline to complete all pipeline
permitting activities.
(1) For affected units in the long-term coal-fired steam generating
unit subcategory, this increment of progress applies to each affected
EGU that adopts CCS to meet the standard of performance and ensure
timely completion of CCS-related pipeline infrastructure.
(2) For affected units in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, this increment of progress applies to each
affected EGU that adopts natural gas co-firing to meet the standard of
performance and ensures timely completion of any pipeline
infrastructure needed to transport natural gas to designated
facilities.
(F) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory, a report identifying the geographic
location where CO2 will be injected underground, how the
CO2 will be transported from the capture location to the
storage location, and the regulatory requirements associated with the
sequestration activities, as well as an anticipated timeline for
completing related permitting activities.
(G) Compliance with the standard of performance as follows:
(1) For each affected unit in the medium-term coal-fired
subcategory, by January 1, 2030.
(2) For each affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating subcategory, by January 1, 2032.
(ii) For any affected unit in the long-term coal-fired steam
generating unit subcategory that will meet its applicable standard of
performance using a control other than CCS or in the medium-term coal-
fired steam generating unit subcategory that will meet its applicable
standard of performance using a control other than natural gas co-
firing:
(A) The State plan must include appropriate increments of progress
consistent with 40 CFR 60.21a(h) specific to the affected unit's
control strategy.
(1) The increment of progress corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(1)
must be assigned the earliest calendar date among the increments.
(2) The increment of progress corresponding to 40 CFR 60.21a(h)(5)
must be assigned calendar dates as follows: for affected EGUs in the
long-term coal-fired steam generating subcategory, no later than
January 1, 2032; and for affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired
steam generating subcategory, no later than January 1, 2030.
(iii) The owner or operator of the affected EGU must post within 30
business days of the State plan submittal a description of the
activities or actions that constitute the increments of progress and
the schedule for achieving the increments of progress on the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website required by Sec. 60.5740b(a)(10).
As the calendar dates for each increment of progress occurs, the owner
or operator of the affected EGU must post within 30 business days any
documentation necessary to demonstrate that each increment of progress
has been met on the Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs website
required by Sec. 60.5740b(a)(10).
(iv) You must include in your State plan a requirement that the
owner or operator of each affected EGU shall report to the State
regulatory agency any deviation from any federally enforceable State
plan increment of progress within 30 business days after the owner or
operator of the affected EGU knew or should have known of the event.
This report must explain the cause or causes of the deviation and
describe all measures taken or to be taken by the owner or operator of
the EGU to cure the reported deviation and to prevent such deviations
in the future, including the timeframes in which the owner or operator
intends to cure the deviation. You must also include in your State plan
a requirement that the owner or operator of the affected EGU to post a
report of any deviation from any federally enforceable increment of
progress on the Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs website required by
Sec. 60.5740b(a)(10) within 30 business days.
(6) Reporting Obligations and Milestones for Affected EGUs that
Have Demonstrated They Plan to Permanently Cease Operations. You must
include in your State plan legally enforceable reporting obligations
and milestones for affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired steam
generating unit (Sec. 60.5740b(a)(1)(ii)) subcategory, and for
affected EGUs that invoke RULOF based on a unit's remaining useful life
according to paragraphs (a)(6)(i) through (v) of this section:
(i) Five years before the date the affected EGU permanently ceases
operations (either the date used to determine the applicable
subcategory under these emission guidelines or the date used to invoke
RULOF based on remaining useful life) or 60 days after State plan
submission, whichever is later, the owner or operator of the affected
EGU must submit an Initial Milestone Report to the applicable air
pollution control agency that includes the information in paragraphs
(a)(6)(i)(A) through (D) of this section:
(A) A summary of the process steps required for the affected EGU to
permanently cease operations by the date included in the State plan,
including the approximate timing and duration of each step and any
notification requirements associated with deactivation of the unit.
(B) A list of key milestones that will be used to assess whether
each process step has been met, and calendar day deadlines for each
milestone. These milestones must include at least the initial notice to
the relevant reliability authority or authorities of an EGU's
deactivation date and submittal of an official retirement filing with
the EGU's relevant reliability authority or authorities.
(C) An analysis of how the process steps, milestones, and
associated timelines included in the Milestone
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Report compare to the timelines of similar EGUs within the State that
have permanently ceased operations within the 10 years prior to the
date of promulgation of these emission guidelines.
(D) Supporting regulatory documents, which include those listed in
paragraphs (a)(6)(i)(D)(1) through (3) of this section:
(1) Any correspondence and official filings with the relevant
Regional Transmission Organization (RTO), Independent System Operator,
Balancing Authority, Public Utilities Commission (PUC), or other
applicable authority;
(2) Any deactivation-related reliability assessments conducted by
the RTO or Independent System Operator;
(3) Any filings with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission or notices to investors, including but not limited to, those
listed in paragraphs (a)(6)(i)(D)(3)(i) through (v) of this section.
(i) References in forms 10-K and 10-Q, in which the plans for the
EGU are mentioned;
(ii) Any integrated resource plans and PUC orders approving the
EGU's deactivation;
(iii) Any reliability analyses developed by the RTO, Independent
System Operator, or relevant reliability authority in response to the
EGU's deactivation notification;
(iv) Any notification from a relevant reliability authority that
the EGU may be needed for reliability purposes notwithstanding the
EGU's intent to deactivate; and
(v) Any notification to or from an RTO, Independent System
Operator, or Balancing Authority altering the timing of deactivation
for the EGU.
(ii) For each of the remaining years prior to the date by which an
affected EGU has committed to permanently cease operations that is
included in the State plan, the owner or operator of the affected EGU
must submit an annual Milestone Status Report that includes the
information in paragraphs (a)(6)(ii)(A) and (B) of this section:
(A) Progress toward meeting all milestones identified in the
Initial Milestone Report, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(6)(i); and
(B) Supporting regulatory documents and relevant SEC filings,
including correspondence and official filings with the relevant RTO,
Independent System Operator, Balancing Authority, PUC, or other
applicable authority to demonstrate compliance with or progress toward
all milestones.
(iii) No later than six months from the date the affected EGU
permanently ceases operations (either the date used to determine the
applicable subcategory under these emission guidelines or the date used
to invoke RULOF based on remaining useful life), the owner or operator
of the affected EGU must submit a Final Milestone Status Report. This
report must document any actions that the EGU has taken subsequent to
ceasing operation to ensure that such cessation is permanent, including
any regulatory filings with applicable authorities or decommissioning
plans.
(iv) The owner or operator of the affected EGU must post their
Initial Milestone Report, as described in paragraph (a)(6)(i) of this
section; annual Milestone Status Reports, as described in paragraph
(a)(6)(ii) of this section; and Final Milestone Status Report, as
described in paragraph (a)(6)(iii) of this section; including the
schedule for achieving milestones and any documentation necessary to
demonstrate that milestones have been achieved, on the Carbon Pollution
Standards for EGUs website required by paragraph (a)(10) of this
section within 30 business days of being filed.
(v) You must include in your State plan a requirement that the
owner or operator of each affected EGU shall report to the State
regulatory agency any deviation from any federally enforceable State
plan reporting milestone within 30 business days after the owner or
operator of the affected EGU knew or should have known of the event.
This report must explain the cause or causes of the deviation and
describe all measures taken or to be taken by the owner or operator of
the EGU to cure the reported deviation and to prevent such deviations
in the future, including the timeframes in which the owner or operator
intends to cure the deviation. You must also include in your State plan
a requirement that the owner or operator of the affected EGU to post a
report of any deviation from any federally enforceable reporting
milestone on the Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs website required
by Sec. 60.5740b(a)(10) within 30 business days.
(7) Identification of applicable monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping requirements for each affected EGU. You must include in
your State plan all applicable monitoring, reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, including initial and ongoing quality assurance and
quality control procedures, for each affected EGU and the requirements
must be consistent with or no less stringent than the requirements
specified in Sec. 60.5860b.
(8) State reporting. You must include in your State plan a
description of the process, contents, and schedule for State reporting
to the EPA about State plan implementation and progress.
(9) Specific requirements for existing coal-fired steam generating
EGUs. Your State plan must include the requirements in paragraphs
(a)(9)(i) through (iii) of this section specifically for existing coal-
fired steam generating EGUs:
(i) Your State plan must require that any existing coal-fired
steam-generating EGU shall operate only subject to a standard of
performance pursuant to Sec. 60.5775b or under an exemption of
applicability provided under Sec. 60.5850b (including any extension of
the date by which an EGU has committed to cease operating pursuant to
the reliability assurance mechanism, described in paragraph (a)(13) of
this section).
(ii) You must include a list of the coal-fired steam generating
EGUs that are existing sources at the time of State plan submission and
that plan to permanently cease operation before January 1, 2032, and
the calendar dates by which they have committed to cease operating.
(iii) The State plan must provide that an existing coal-fired steam
generating EGU operating past the date listed in the State plan
pursuant to paragraph (a)(9)(ii) of this section is in violation of
that State plan, except to the extent the existing coal-fired steam
generating EGU has received an extension of its date for ceasing
operation pursuant to the reliability assurance mechanism, described in
paragraph (a)(13) of this section.
(10) Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs Websites. You must require
in your State plan that owners or operators of affected EGUs establish
a publicly accessible ``Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs Website''
and that they post relevant documents to this website. You must require
in your State plan that owners or operators of affected EGUs post their
subcategory designations and compliance schedules as well as any
emissions data and other information needed to demonstrate compliance
with a standard of performance to this website in a timely manner. This
information includes, but is not limited to, emissions data and other
information relevant to determining compliance with applicable
standards of performance, information relevant to the designation and
determination of compliance with increments of progress and reporting
obligations including milestones for affected EGUs that plan to
permanently cease operations, and any extension requests made and
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granted pursuant to the compliance date extension mechanism or the
reliability assurance mechanism. Data should be available in a readily
downloadable format. In addition, you must establish a website that
displays the links to these websites for all affected EGUs in your
State plan.
(11) Compliance Date Extension. You may include in your State plan
provisions allowing for a compliance date extension for owners or
operators of affected EGU(s) that are installing add-on controls and
that are unable to meet the applicable standard of performance by the
compliance date specified in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(4)(i) due to
circumstances beyond the owner or operator's control. Such provisions
may allow an owner or operator of an affected EGU to request an
extension of no longer than one year from the specified compliance date
and may only allow the owner or operator to receive an extension once.
The optional State plan mechanism must provide that an extension
request contains a demonstration of necessity that includes the
following:
(i) A demonstration that the owner or operator of the affected EGU
cannot meet its compliance date due to circumstances beyond the owner
or operator's control and that the owner or operator has met all
relevant increments of progress and otherwise taken all steps
reasonably possible to install the controls necessary for compliance by
the specified compliance date up to the point of the delay. The
demonstration shall:
(A) Identify each affected unit for which the owner or operator is
seeking the compliance extension;
(B) Identify and describe the controls to be installed at each
affected unit to comply with the applicable standard of performance
pursuant to Sec. 60.5775b;
(C) Describe and demonstrate all progress towards installing the
controls and that the owner or operator has itself acted consistent
with achieving timely compliance, including:
(1) Any and all contract(s) entered into for the installation of
the identified controls or an explanation as to why no contract is
necessary or obtainable; and
(2) Any permit(s) obtained for the installation of the identified
controls or, where a required permit has not yet been issued, a copy of
the permit application submitted to the permitting authority and a
statement from the permit authority identifying its anticipated
timeframe for issuance of such permit(s).
(D) Identify the circumstances that are entirely beyond the owner
or operator's control and that necessitate additional time to install
the identified controls. This may include:
(1) Information gathered from control technology vendors or
engineering firms demonstrating that the necessary controls cannot be
installed or started up by the applicable compliance date listed in
Sec. 60.5740b(a)(4)(i);
(2) Documentation of any permit delays; or
(3) Documentation of delays in construction or permitting of
infrastructure (e.g., CO2 pipelines) that is necessary for
implementation of the control technology;
(E) Identify a proposed compliance date no later than one year
after the applicable compliance date listed in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(4)(i)
and, if necessary, updated calendar dates for the increments of
progress that have not yet been met.
(ii) The State air pollution control agency is charged with
approving or disapproving a compliance date extension request based on
its written determination that the affected EGU has or has not made
each of the necessary demonstrations and provided all of the necessary
documentation according to paragraphs (a)(11)(i)(A) through (E) of this
section. The following provisions for approval must be included in the
mechanism:
(A) All documentation required as part of this extension must be
submitted by the owner or operator of the affected EGU to the State air
pollution control agency no later than 6 months prior to the applicable
compliance date for that affected EGU.
(B) The owner or operator of the affected EGU must notify the
relevant EPA Regional Administrator of their compliance date extension
request at the time of the submission of the request.
(C) The owner or operator of the affected EGU must post their
application for the compliance date extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website, described in Sec.
60.5740b(a)(10), when they submit the request to the State air
pollution control agency.
(D) The owner or operator of the affected EGU must post the State's
determination on the compliance date extension request to the Carbon
Pollution Standards for EGUs website, described in Sec.
60.5740b(a)(10), upon receipt of the determination and, if the request
is approved, update the information on the website related to the
compliance date and increments of progress dates within 30 days of the
receipt of the State's approval.
(12) Short-Term Reliability Mechanism. You may include in your
State plan provisions for a short-term reliability mechanism for
affected EGUs in your State that operate during a system emergency, as
defined in Sec. 60.5880b. Such a mechanism must include the components
listed in paragraphs (a)(12)(i) through (vi) of this section.
(i) A requirement that the short-term reliability mechanism is
available only during system emergencies as defined in Sec. 60.5880b.
The State plan must identify the entity or entities that are authorized
to issue system emergencies for the State.
(ii) A provision that, for the duration of a documented system
emergency, an impacted affected EGU may comply with an emission
limitation corresponding to its baseline emission performance rate, as
calculated under Sec. 60.5775b(d), in lieu of its otherwise applicable
standard of performance. The State plan must clearly identify the
alternative emission limitation that corresponds to the affected EGU's
baseline emission rate and include it as an enforceable emission
limitation that may be applied only during periods of system emergency.
(iii) A requirement that an affected EGU impacted by the system
emergency and complying with an alternative emission limitation must
provide documentation, as part of its compliance demonstration, of the
system emergency according to (a)(12)(iii)(A) through (D) of this
section and that it was impacted by that system emergency.
(A) Documentation that the system emergency was in effect from the
entity issuing the system emergency and documentation of the exact
duration of the event;
(B) Documentation from the entity issuing the system emergency that
the system emergency included the affected source/region where the unit
was located;
(C) Documentation that the source was instructed to increase output
beyond the planned day-ahead or other near-term expected output and/or
was asked to remain in operation outside of its scheduled dispatch
during emergency conditions from a Reliability Coordinator, Balancing
Authority, or Independent System Operator/RTO; and
(D) Data collected during the event including the sum of the
CO2 emissions, the sum of the gross energy output, and the
resulting CO2 emissions performance rate.
(iv) A requirement to document the hours an affected EGU operated
under a system emergency and the enforceable emission limitation,
whether the applicable standard of performance or
[[Page 40053]]
the alternative emission limitation, under which that affected EGU
operated during those hours.
(v) A provision that, for the purpose of demonstrating compliance
with the applicable standard of performance, the affected EGU would
comply with its baseline emissions rate as calculated under Sec.
60.5775b(d) in lieu of its otherwise applicable standard of performance
for the hours of operation that correspond to the duration of the
event.
(vi) The inclusion of provisions defining the short-term
reliability mechanism must be part of the public comment process as
part of the State plan's development.
(13) Reliability Assurance Mechanism. You may include provisions
for a reliability assurance mechanism in your State plan. If included,
such provisions would allow for one extension, not to exceed 12-months
of the date by which an affected EGU has committed to permanently cease
operations based on a demonstration consistent with this paragraph
(a)(13) that operation of the affected EGU is necessary for electric
grid reliability.
(i) The State plan must require that the reliability assurance
mechanism would only be appliable to the following EGUs which, for the
purpose of this paragraph (a)(13), are collectively referred to as
``eligible EGUs'':
(A) Coal-fired steam generating units that are exempt from these
emission guidelines pursuant to Sec. 60.5850b(k),
(B) Affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired steam-generating
subcategory that have enforceable commitments to permanently cease
operation before January 1, 2039, in the State plan, and
(C) Affected EGUs that have enforceable dates to permanently cease
operation included in the State plan pursuant to Sec. 60.24a(g).
(ii)The date from which an extension would run is the date included
in the State plan by which an eligible EGU has committed to permanently
cease operation.
(iii) The State plan must provide that an extension is only
available to owners or operators of affected EGUs that have satisfied
all applicable increments of progress and reporting obligations and
milestones in paragraphs (a)(5) and (6) of this section. This includes
requiring that the owner or operator of an affected EGU has posted all
information relevant to such increments of progress and reporting
obligations and milestones on the Carbon Pollution Standards for EGUs
website, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(10).
(iv) The State plan must provide that any applicable standard of
performance for an affected EGU must remain in place during the
duration of an extension provided under this mechanism.
(v) The State plan may provide for requests for an extension of up
to 12 months without a State plan revision.
(A) For an extension of 6 months or less, the owner or operator of
the eligible EGU requesting the extension must submit the information
in paragraph (a)(13)(vi) to the applicable EPA Regional Administrator
to review and approve or disapprove the extension request.
(B) For an extension of more than 6 months and up to 12 months, the
owner or operator of the eligible EGU requesting the extension must
submit the information in paragraph (a)(13)(vii) to the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission (through a process and at an office of the
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's designation) and to the
applicable EPA Regional Administrator to review and approve or
disapprove the extension request.
(vi) The State plan must require that to apply for an extension for
6 months or less, described in paragraph (a)(13)(v)(A) of this section,
the owner or operator of an eligible EGU must submit a complete written
application that includes the information listed in paragraphs
(a)(13)(vi)(A) through (D) of this section no less than 30 days prior
to the cease operation date, but no earlier than 12 months prior to the
cease operation date.
(A) An analysis of the reliability risk that clearly demonstrates
that the eligible EGU is critical to maintaining electric reliability.
The analysis must include a projection of the length of time that the
EGU is expected to be reliability-critical and the length of the
requested extension must be no longer than this period or 6 months,
whichever is shorter. In order to show an approvable reliability need,
the analysis must clearly demonstrate that an eligible EGU ceasing
operation by the date listed in the State plan would cause one or more
of the conditions listed in paragraphs (a)(13)(vi)(A)(1) or (2) of this
section. An eligible EGU that has received a Reliability Must Run
designation, or equivalent from a Reliability Coordinator or Balancing
Authority, would fulfill those conditions.
(1) Result in noncompliance with at least one of the mandatory
reliability standards approved by FERC; or
(2) Would cause the loss of load expectation to increase beyond the
level targeted by regional system planners as part of their established
procedures for that particular region; specifically, this requires a
clear demonstration that the eligible EGU would be needed to maintain
the targeted level of resource adequacy.
(B) Certification from the relevant reliability planning authority
that the claims of reliability risk are accurate and that the
identified reliability problem both exists and requires the specific
relief requested. This certification must be accompanied by a written
analysis by the relevant planning authority consistent with paragraph
(a)(13)(vi)(A) of this section, confirming the asserted reliability
risk if the eligible EGU was not in operation. The information from the
relevant reliability planning authority must also include any related
system-wide or regional analysis and a substantiation of the length of
time that the eligible EGU is expected to be reliability critical.
(C) Copies of any written comments from third parties regarding the
extension.
(D) Demonstration from the owner or operator of the eligible EGU,
grid operator, and other relevant entities of a plan, including
appropriate actions to bring on new capacity or transmission, to
resolve the underlying reliability issue is leading to the need to
employ this reliability assurance mechanism, including the steps and
timeframes for implementing measures to rectify the underlying
reliability issue.
(E) Any other information requested by the applicable EPA Regional
Administrator or the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.
(vii) The State plan must require that to apply for an extension
longer than 6 months but up to 12 months, described in paragraph
(a)(13)(v)(B) of this section, the owner or operator of an eligible EGU
must submit a complete written application that includes the
information listed in (a)(13)(vi)(A) through (E) of this section,
except that the period of time under (a)(13)(vi)(A) would be 12 months.
For requests for extensions longer than 6 months, this application must
be submitted to the EPA Regional Administrator no less than 45 days
prior to the date for ceasing operation listed in the State plan, but
no earlier than 12 months prior to that date.
(viii) The State plan must provide that extensions will only be
granted for the period of time that is substantiated by the reliability
need and the submitted analysis and documentation, and shall not exceed
12 months in total.
(ix) The State plan must provide that the reliability assurance
mechanism shall not be used more than once to
[[Page 40054]]
extend an eligible EGU's planned cease operation date.
(x) The EPA Regional Administrator may reject the application if
the submission is incomplete with respect to the requirements listed in
paragraphs (a)(13)(vi)(A) through (E) of this section or if the
submission does not adequately support the asserted reliability risk or
the period of time for which the eligible EGU is anticipated to be
reliability critical.
(b) [Reserved]
Sec. 60.5775b What standards of performance must I include in my
State plan?
(a) For each affected EGU, your State plan must include the
standard of performance that applies for the affected EGU. A standard
of performance for an affected EGU may take the following forms:
(1) A rate-based standard of performance for an individual affected
EGU that does not exceed the level calculated through the use of the
methods described in Sec. 60.5775b(c) and (d).
(2) A standard of performance in an alternate form, which may apply
for affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory or the medium-term coal-fired steam generating unit
subcategory, as provided for in Sec. 60.5775b(e).
(b) Standard(s) of performance for affected EGUs included under
your State plan must be demonstrated to be quantifiable, verifiable,
non-duplicative, permanent, and enforceable with respect to each
affected EGU. The State plan submittal must include the methods by
which each standard of performance meets each of the following
requirements:
(1) An affected EGU's standard of performance is quantifiable if it
can be reliably measured in a manner that can be replicated.
(2) An affected EGU's standard of performance is verifiable if
adequate monitoring, recordkeeping and reporting requirements are in
place to enable the State and the Administrator to independently
evaluate, measure, and verify compliance with the standard of
performance.
(3) An affected EGU's standard of performance is non-duplicative
with respect to a State plan if it is not already incorporated as an
standard of performance in the State plan.
(4) An affected EGU's standard of performance is permanent if the
standard of performance must be met continuously unless it is replaced
by another standard of performance in an approved State plan revision.
(5) An affected EGU's standard of performance is enforceable if:
(i) A technically accurate limitation or requirement, and the time
period for the limitation or requirement, are specified;
(ii) Compliance requirements are clearly defined;
(iii) The affected EGUs are responsible for compliance and liable
for violations identified;
(iv) Each compliance activity or measure is enforceable as a
practical matter, as defined by 40 CFR 49.167; and
(v) The Administrator, the State, and third parties maintain the
ability to enforce against violations (including if an affected EGU
does not meet its standard of performance based on its emissions) and
secure appropriate corrective actions: in the case of the
Administrator, pursuant to CAA sections 113(a)-(h); in the case of a
State, pursuant to its State plan, State law or CAA section 304, as
applicable; and in the case of third parties, pursuant to CAA section
304.
(c) Methodology for establishing presumptively approvable standards
of performance, for affected EGUs in each subcategory.
(1) Long-term coal-fired steam generating units
(i) BSER is CCS with 90 percent capture of CO2.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is 88.4 percent reduction in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an
emission rate limit defined by an 88.4 percent reduction in annual
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross) from the unit-specific
baseline.
(2) Medium-term coal-fired steam generating units
(i) BSER is natural gas co-firing at 40 percent of the heat input
to the unit.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a 16 percent reduction in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an
emission rate limit defined by a 16 percent reduction in annual
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross) from the unit-specific
baseline.
(iv) For units in this subcategory that have an amount of co-firing
that is reflected in the baseline operation, States must account for
such preexisting co-firing in adjusting the degree of emission
limitation (e.g., for an EGU co-fires natural gas at a level of 10
percent of the total annual heat input during the applicable 8-quarter
baseline period, the corresponding degree of emission limitation would
be adjusted to 12 percent to reflect the preexisting level of natural
gas co-firing).
(3) Base load oil-fired steam generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a 0 percent increase in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
(4) Intermediate load oil-fired steam generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a 0 percent increase in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
(5) Low load oil-fired steam generating units.
(i) BSER is uniform fuels.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is 170 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 170 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(6) Base load natural gas-fired steam generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a 0 percent increase in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,400 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
(7) Intermediate load natural gas-fired steam generating units.
(i) BSER is routine methods of operation and maintenance.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is a 0 percent increase in
emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross).
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 1,600 lb CO2/MWh-gross.
(8) Low load natural gas-fired steam generating.
(i) BSER is uniform fuels.
(ii) Degree of emission limitation is 130 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(iii) Presumptively approvable standard of performance is an annual
emission rate limit of 130 lb CO2/MMBtu.
(d) Methodology for establishing the unit-specific baseline of
emission performance.
(1) A State shall use the CO2 mass emissions and
corresponding electricity
[[Page 40055]]
generation or, for affected EGUs in the low load oil- or natural gas-
fired subcategory, heat input data for a given affected EGU from the
most representative continuous 8-quarter period from 40 CFR part 75
reporting within the 5-year period immediately prior to May 9, 2024.
(2) For the continuous 8 quarters of data, a State shall divide the
total CO2 emissions (in the form of pounds) over that
continuous time period by either the total gross electricity generation
(in the form of MWh) or, for affected EGUs in the low load oil- or
natural gas-fired subcategory, total heat input (in the form of MMBtu)
over that same time period to calculate baseline CO2
emission performance in lb CO2 per MWh or lb CO2
per MMBtu.
(e) Your State plan may include a standard of performance in an
alternate form that differs from the presumptively approvable standard
of performance specified in Sec. 60.5775b(a)(1), as follows:
(1) An aggregate rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that applies for a group of affected EGUs
that share the same owner or operator, as calculated on a gross
generation weighted average basis, provided the standard of performance
meets the requirements of paragraph (f) of this section.
(2) A mass-based standard of performance in the form of an annual
limit on allowable mass CO2 emissions for an individual
affected EGU, provided the standard of performance meets the
requirements of paragraph (g) of this section.
(3) A rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/MWh-
gross) implemented through a rate-based emission trading program, such
that an affected EGU must meet the specified lb CO2/MWh-
gross rate that applies for the affected EGU, and where an affected EGU
may surrender compliance instruments denoted in 1 short ton of
CO2 to adjust its reported lb CO2/MWh-gross rate
for the purpose of demonstrating compliance, provided the standard of
performance meets the requirements of paragraph (h) of this section.
(4) A mass-based standard of performance in the form of an annual
CO2 budget implemented through a mass-based CO2
emission trading program, where an affected EGU must surrender
CO2 allowances in an amount equal to its reported mass
CO2 emissions, provided the standard of performance meets
the requirements of paragraph (i) of this section.
(f) Where your State plan includes a standard of performance in the
form of an aggregate rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that applies for a group of affected EGUs
that share the same owner or operator, as calculated on a gross
generation weighted average basis, your State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply under paragraph (a)(1)
of this section, and as determined in accordance with paragraphs (c)
and (d) of this section, to each of the affected EGUs that form the
group.
(2) Documentation of any assumptions underlying the calculation of
the aggregate rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/
MWh-gross).
(3) The process for calculating the aggregate gross generation
weighted average emission rate (lb CO2/MWh-gross) at the end
of each compliance period, based on the reported emissions (lb
CO2) and utilization (MWh-gross) of each of the affected
EGUs that form the group.
(4) Measures to implement and enforce the annual aggregate rate-
based standard of performance, including the basis for determining
owner or operator compliance with the aggregate standard of performance
and provisions to address any changes to owners or operators in the
course of implementation.
(5) A demonstration of how the application of the aggregate rate-
based standard of performance will achieve equivalent or better
emission reduction as would be achieved through the application of a
rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
would apply pursuant to paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as
determined in accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(g) Where your State plan includes a standard of performance in the
form of an annual limit on allowable mass CO2 emissions for
an individual affected EGU, your State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to the affected EGU
under paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as determined in accordance
with paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(2) The utilization level used to calculate the mass CO2
limit, by multiplying the assumed utilization level (MWh-gross) by the
presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross), including the underlying data used for the
calculation and documentation of any assumptions underlying this
calculation.
(3) Measures to implement and enforce the annual limit on mass
CO2 emissions, including provisions that address assurance
of achievement of equivalent emission performance.
(4) A demonstration of how the application of the mass
CO2 limit for the affected EGU will achieve equivalent or
better emission reduction as would be achieved through the application
of a rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross)
that would apply pursuant to paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as
determined in accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(5) The backstop rate-based emission rate requirement (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that will also be applied to the affected EGU
on an annual basis.
(6) For affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired steam generating
unit subcategory, in lieu of paragraphs (g)(2), (4), and (5) of this
section, you may include a presumptively approvable mass CO2
limit based on the product of the rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) under paragraph (a)(1) of this section
multiplied by a level of utilization (MWh-gross) corresponding to an
annual capacity factor of 80 percent for the individual affected EGU
with a backstop rate-based emission rate requirement equivalent to a
reduction in baseline emission performance of 80 percent on an annual
calendar-year basis.
(h) Where your State plan includes a standard of performance in the
form of a rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/MWh-
gross) implemented through a rate-based emission trading program, your
State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) that applies to each of the affected EGUs
participating in the rate-based emission trading program under
paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as determined in accordance with
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(2) Measures to implement and enforce the rate-based emission
trading program, including the basis for awarding compliance
instruments (denoted in 1 ton of CO2) to an affected EGU
that performs better on an annual basis than its rate-based standard of
performance, and the process for demonstration of compliance that
includes the surrender of such compliance instruments by an affected
EGU that exceeds its rate-based standard of performance.
(3) A demonstration of how the use of the rate-based emission
trading program will achieve equivalent or better emission reduction as
would be achieved through the application of a
[[Page 40056]]
rate-based standard of performance (lb CO2/MWh-gross) that
would apply pursuant to paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as
determined in accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(i) Where your State plan includes a mass-based standard of
performance implemented through a mass-based CO2 emission
trading program, where an affected EGU must surrender CO2
allowances in an amount equal to its reported mass CO2
emissions, your State plan must include:
(1) The presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance
(lb CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to each affected EGU
participating in the trading program under paragraph (a)(1) of this
section, and as determined in accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d) of
this section.
(2) The calculation of the mass CO2 budget contribution
for each participating affected EGU, determined by multiplying the
assumed utilization level (MWh-gross) of the affected EGU by its
presumptively approvable rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross), including the underlying data used for the
calculation and documentation of any assumptions underlying this
calculation.
(3) Measures to implement and enforce the annual budget of the
mass-based CO2 emission trading program, including
provisions that address assurance of achievement of equivalent emission
performance.
(4) A demonstration of how the application of the CO2
emission budget for the group of participating affected EGUs will
achieve equivalent or better emission performance as would be achieved
through the application of a rate-based standard of performance (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that would apply to each participating
affected EGU under paragraph (a)(1) of this section, and as determined
in accordance with paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(5) The backstop rate-based emission rate requirement (lb
CO2/MWh-gross) that will also be applied to each
participating affected EGU on an annual basis.
(j) In order to use the provisions of Sec. 60.24a(e) through (h)
to apply a less stringent standard of performance or longer compliance
schedule to an affected EGU based on consideration of electric grid
reliability, including resource adequacy, under these emission
guidelines, a State must provide the following with its State plan
submission:
(1) An analysis of the reliability risk clearly demonstrating that
the particular affected EGU is critical to maintaining electric
reliability such that requiring it to comply with the applicable
requirements under paragraph (c) of this section or Sec. 60.5780b
would trigger non-compliance with at least one of the mandatory
reliability standards approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission or would cause the loss of load expectation to increase
beyond the level targeted by regional system planners as part of their
established procedures for that particular region; specifically, a
clear demonstration is required that the particular affected EGU would
be needed to maintain the targeted level of resource adequacy. The
analysis must also include a projection of the period of time for which
the particular affected EGU is expected to be reliability critical and
substantiate the basis for applying a less stringent standard of
performance or longer compliance schedule consistent with 40 CFR
60.24a(e).
(2) An analysis by the relevant reliability planning authority that
corroborates the asserted reliability risk identified in the analysis
under paragraph (j)(1) of this section and confirms that requiring the
particular affected EGU to comply with its applicable requirements
under paragraph (c) of this section or Sec. 60.5780b would trigger
non-compliance with at least one of the mandatory reliability standards
approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission or would cause the
loss of load expectation to increase beyond the level targeted by
regional system planners as part of their established procedures for
that particular region, and also confirms the period of time for which
the EGU is projected to be reliability critical.
(3) A certification from the relevant reliability planning
authority that the claims of reliability risk are accurate and that the
identified reliability problem both exists and requires the specific
relief requested.
Sec. 60.5780b What compliance dates and compliance periods must I
include in my State plan?
(a) The State plan must include the following compliance dates:
(1) For affected EGUs in the long-term coal-fired subcategory, the
State plan must require compliance with the applicable standards of
performance starting no later than January 1, 2032, unless the State
has applied a later compliance date pursuant to Sec. 60.24a(e) through
(h).
(2) For affected EGUs in the medium-term coal-fired subcategory,
the base load oil-fired subcategory, the intermediate load oil-fired
steam generating subcategory, the low load oil-fired subcategory, the
base load natural gas-fired subcategory, the intermediate load natural
gas-fired subcategory, and the low load natural gas-fired subcategory,
the State plan must require compliance with the applicable standards of
performance starting no later than January 1, 2030, unless State has
applied a later compliance date pursuant to Sec. 60.24a(e) through
(h).
(b) The State plan must require affected EGUs to achieve compliance
with their applicable standards of performance for each compliance
period as defined in Sec. 60.5880b.
Sec. 60.5785b What are the timing requirements for submitting my
State plan?
(a) You must submit a State plan or a negative declaration letter
with the information required under Sec. 60.5740b by May 11, 2026.
(b) You must submit all information required under paragraph (a) of
this section according to the electronic reporting requirements in
Sec. 60.5875b.
Sec. 60.5790b What is the procedure for revising my State plan?
EPA-approved State plans can be revised only with approval by the
Administrator. The Administrator will approve a State plan revision if
it is satisfactory with respect to the applicable requirements of this
subpart and all applicable requirements of subpart Ba of this part. If
one (or more) of State plan elements in Sec. 60.5740b require
revision, the State must submit a State plan revision pursuant to Sec.
60.28a.
Sec. 60.5795b Commitment to review emission guidelines for coal-fired
affected EGUs
EPA will review and, if appropriate, revise these emission
guidelines as they apply to coal-fired steam generating affected EGUs
by January 1, 2041. Notwithstanding this commitment, EPA need not
review these emission guidelines if the Administrator determines that
such review is not appropriate in light of readily available
information on their continued appropriateness.
Applicability of State Plans to Affected EGUs
Sec. 60.5840b Does this subpart directly affect EGU owners or
operators in my State?
(a) This subpart does not directly affect EGU owners or operators
in your State, except as provided in Sec. 60.5710b(b). However,
affected EGU owners or operators must comply with the State plan that a
State develops to
[[Page 40057]]
implement the emission guidelines contained in this subpart.
(b) If a State does not submit a State plan to implement and
enforce the standards of performance contained in this subpart by May
11, 2026, or the EPA disapproves State plan, the EPA will implement and
enforce a Federal plan, as provided in Sec. 60.5720b, applicable to
each affected EGU within the State.
Sec. 60.5845b What affected EGUs must I address in my State plan?
(a) The EGUs that must be addressed by your State plan are:
(1) Any affected EGUs that were in operation or had commenced
construction on or before January 8, 2014;
(2) Coal-fired steam generating units that commenced a modification
on or before May 23, 2023.
(b) An affected EGU is a steam generating unit that meets the
relevant applicability conditions specified in paragraphs (b)(1)
through (2) of this section, as applicable, except as provided in Sec.
60.5850b.
(1) Serves a generator capable of selling greater than 25 MW to a
utility power distribution system; and
(2) Has a base load rating (i.e., design heat input capacity)
greater than 260 GJ/hr (250 MMBtu/hr) heat input of fossil fuel (either
alone or in combination with any other fuel).
Sec. 60.5850b What EGUs are excluded from being affected EGUs?
EGUs that are excluded from being affected EGUs are:
(a) New or reconstructed steam generating units that are subject to
subpart TTTT of this part as a result of commencing construction after
the subpart TTTT applicability date;
(b) Modified natural gas- or oil-fired steam generating units that
are subject to subpart TTTT of this part as a result of commencing
modification after the subpart TTTT applicability date;
(c) Modified coal-fired steam generating units that are subject to
subpart TTTTa of this part as a result of commencing modification after
the subpart TTTTa applicability date;
(d) EGUs subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting net-
electric sales to one-third or less of their potential electric output
or 219,000 MWh or less on an annual basis and annual net-electric sales
have never exceeded one-third or less of their potential electric
output or 219,000 MWh;
(e) Non-fossil fuel units (i.e., units that are capable of deriving
at least 50 percent of heat input from non-fossil fuel at the base load
rating) that are subject to a federally enforceable permit limiting
fossil fuel use to 10 percent or less of the annual capacity factor;
(f) CHP units that are subject to a federally enforceable permit
limiting annual net-electric sales to no more than either 219,000 MWh
or the product of the design efficiency and the potential electric
output, whichever is greater;
(g) Units that serve a generator along with other EGUs, where the
effective generation capacity (determined based on a prorated output of
the base load rating of each EGU) is 25 MW or less;
(h) Municipal waste combustor units subject to 40 CFR part 60,
subpart Eb;
(i) Commercial or industrial solid waste incineration units that
are subject to 40 CFR part 60, subpart CCCC; or
(j) EGUs that derive greater than 50 percent of the heat input from
an industrial process that does not produce any electrical or
mechanical output or useful thermal output that is used outside the
affected EGU.
(k) Existing coal-fired steam generating units that have
demonstrated that they plan to permanently cease operations before
January 1, 2032, pursuant to Sec. 60.5740b(a)(9)(ii).
Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
Sec. 60.5860b What applicable monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements do I need to include in my State plan for
affected EGUs?
(a) Your State plan must include monitoring for affected EGUs that
is no less stringent than what is described in (a)(1) through (9) of
this section.
(1) The owner or operator of an affected EGU (or group of affected
EGUs that share a monitored common stack) that is required to meet
standards of performance must prepare a monitoring plan in accordance
with the applicable provisions in 40 CFR 75.53(g) and (h), unless such
a plan is already in place under another program that requires
CO2 mass emissions to be monitored and reported according to
40 CFR part 75.
(2) For rate-based standards of performance, only ``valid operating
hours,'', i.e., full or partial unit (or stack) operating hours for
which:
(i) ``Valid data'' (as defined in Sec. 60.5880b) are obtained for
all of the parameters used to determine the hourly CO2 mass
emissions (lbs). For the purposes of this subpart, substitute data
recorded under part 75 of this chapter are not considered to be valid
data; data obtained from flow monitoring bias adjustments are not
considered to be valid data; and data provided or not provided from
monitoring instruments that have not met the required frequency for
relative accuracy audit testing are not considered to be valid data and
(ii) The corresponding hourly gross energy output value is also
valid data (Note: For operating hours with no useful output, zero is
considered to be a valid value).
(3) For rate-based standards of performance, the owner or operator
of an affected EGU must measure and report the hourly CO2
mass emissions (lbs) from each affected unit using the procedures in
paragraphs (a)(3)(i) through (vi) of this section, except as otherwise
provided in paragraph (a)(4) of this section.
(i) The owner or operator of an affected EGU must install, certify,
operate, maintain, and calibrate a CO2 continuous emissions
monitoring system (CEMS) to directly measure and record CO2
concentrations in the affected EGU exhaust gases emitted to the
atmosphere and an exhaust gas flow rate monitoring system according to
40 CFR 75.10(a)(3)(i). As an alternative to direct measurement of
CO2 concentration, provided that the affected EGU does not
use carbon separation (e.g., carbon capture and storage (CCS)), the
owner or operator of an affected EGU may use data from a certified
oxygen (O2) monitor to calculate hourly average
CO2 concentrations, in accordance with 40 CFR
75.10(a)(3)(iii). However, when an O2 monitor is used this
way, it only quantifies the combustion CO2; therefore, if
the EGU is equipped with emission controls that produce non-combustion
CO2 (e.g., from sorbent injection), this additional
CO2 must be accounted for, in accordance with section 3 of
appendix G to part 75 of this chapter. If CO2 concentration
is measured on a dry basis, the owner or operator of the affected EGU
must also install, certify, operate, maintain, and calibrate a
continuous moisture monitoring system, according to 40 CFR 75.11(b).
Alternatively, the owner or operator of an affected EGU may either use
an appropriate fuel-specific default moisture value from 40 CFR
75.11(b) or submit a petition to the Administrator under 40 CFR 75.66
for a site-specific default moisture value.
(ii) For each ``valid operating hour'' (as defined in paragraph
(a)(2) of this section), calculate the hourly CO2 mass
emission rate (tons/hr), either from Equation F-11 in appendix F to 40
CFR part 75 (if CO2 concentration is measured on a wet
basis), or by following the procedure in section 4.2 of appendix F to
40 CFR part 75 (if CO2
[[Page 40058]]
concentration is measured on a dry basis).
(iii) Next, multiply each hourly CO2 mass emission rate
by the EGU or stack operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR
72.2), to convert it to tons of CO2. Multiply the result by
2,000 lbs/ton to convert it to lbs.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/hr values and EGU (or stack)
operating times used to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR 75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6), if required by a State plan.
The owner or operator must use these data, or equivalent data, to
calculate the hourly CO2 mass emissions.
(v) Sum all of the hourly CO2 mass emissions values from
paragraph (a)(3)(ii) of this section.
(vi) For each continuous monitoring system used to determine the
CO2 mass emissions from an affected EGU, the monitoring
system must meet the applicable certification and quality assurance
procedures in 40 CFR 75.20 and appendices A and B to 40 CFR part.
(4) The owner or operator of an affected EGU that exclusively
combusts liquid fuel and/or gaseous fuel may, as an alternative to
complying with paragraph (a)(3) of this section, determine the hourly
CO2 mass emissions according to paragraphs (a)(4)(i) through
(a)(4)(vi) of this section.
(i) Implement the applicable procedures in appendix D to part 75 of
this chapter to determine hourly EGU heat input rates (MMBtu/hr), based
on hourly measurements of fuel flow rate and periodic determinations of
the gross calorific value (GCV) of each fuel combusted. The fuel flow
meter(s) used to measure the hourly fuel flow rates must meet the
applicable certification and quality-assurance requirements in sections
2.1.5 and 2.1.6 of appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 (except for qualifying
commercial billing meters). The fuel GCV must be determined in
accordance with section 2.2 or 2.3 of appendix D to 40 CFR part 75, as
applicable.
(ii) For each measured hourly heat input rate, use Equation G-4 in
appendix G to 40 CFR part 75 to calculate the hourly CO2
mass emission rate (tons/hr).
(iii) For each ``valid operating hour'' (as defined in paragraph
(a)(2) of this section), multiply the hourly tons/hr CO2
mass emission rate from paragraph (a)(4)(ii) of this section by the EGU
or stack operating time in hours (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2), to
convert it to tons of CO2. Then, multiply the result by
2,000 lbs/ton to convert it to lbs.
(iv) The hourly CO2 tons/hr values and EGU (or stack)
operating times used to calculate CO2 mass emissions are
required to be recorded under 40 CFR 75.57(e) and must be reported
electronically under 40 CFR 75.64(a)(6), if required by a State plan.
You must use these data, or equivalent data, to calculate the hourly
CO2 mass emissions.
(v) Sum all of the hourly CO2 mass emissions values (lb)
from paragraph (a)(4)(iii) of this section.
(vi) The owner or operator of an affected EGU may determine site-
specific carbon-based F-factors (Fc) using Equation F-7b in
section 3.3.6 of appendix F to 40 CFR part 75 and may use these
Fc values in the emissions calculations instead of using the
default Fc values in the Equation G-4 nomenclature.
(5) For rate-based standards, the owner or operator of an affected
EGU (or group of affected units that share a monitored common stack)
must install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a sufficient number of
watt meters to continuously measure and record on an hourly basis gross
electric output. Measurements must be performed using 0.2 accuracy
class electricity metering instrumentation and calibration procedures
as specified under ANSI No. C12.20-2010 (incorporated by reference, see
Sec. 60.17). Further, the owner or operator of an affected EGU that is
a combined heat and power facility must install, calibrate, maintain,
and operate equipment to continuously measure and record on an hourly
basis useful thermal output and, if applicable, mechanical output,
which are used with gross electric output to determine gross energy
output. The owner or operator must use the following procedures to
calculate gross energy output, as appropriate for the type of affected
EGU(s).
(i) Determine Pgross/net the hourly gross or net energy
output in MWh. For rate-based standards, perform this calculation only
for valid operating hours (as defined in paragraph (a)(2) of this
section). For mass-based standards, perform this calculation for all
unit (or stack) operating hours, i.e., full or partial hours in which
any fuel is combusted.
(ii) If there is no net electrical output, but there is mechanical
or useful thermal output, either for a particular valid operating hour
(for rate-based applications), or for a particular operating hour (for
mass-based applications), the owner or operator of the affected EGU
must still determine the net energy output for that hour.
(iii) For rate-based applications, if there is no (i.e., zero)
gross electrical, mechanical, or useful thermal output for a particular
valid operating hour, that hour must be used in the compliance
determination. For hours or partial hours where the gross electric
output is equal to or less than the auxiliary loads, net electric
output shall be counted as zero for this calculation.
(iv) Calculate Pgross/net for your affected EGU (or
group of affected EGUs that share a monitored common stack) using the
following equation. All terms in the equation must be expressed in
units of MWh. To convert each hourly gross or net energy output value
reported under 40 CFR part 75 to MWh, multiply by the corresponding EGU
or stack operating time.
Equation 1 to Paragraph (a)(5)(iv)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.062
Where:
PGROSS/NET = Gross or net energy output of your affected
EGU for each valid operating hour (as defined in 60.5860b(a)(2)) in
MWh.
(PE)ST = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of steam turbines in MWh.
(PE)CT = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of stationary combustion turbine(s) in MWh.
(PE)IE = Electric energy output plus mechanical energy
output (if any) of your affected egu's integrated equipment that
provides electricity or mechanical energy to the affected EGU or
auxiliary equipment in MWh.
(PE)A = Electric energy used for any auxiliary loads in
MWh.
(PT)PS = Useful thermal output of steam (measured
relative to SATP conditions, as applicable) that is used for
applications that do not generate additional electricity, produce
mechanical energy output, or enhance the performance of the affected
EGU. This is calculated using the equation specified in paragraph
(a)(5)(V) of this section in MWh.
[[Page 40059]]
(PT)HR = Non-steam useful thermal output (measured
relative to SATP conditions, as applicable) from heat recovery that
is used for applications other than steam generation or performance
enhancement of the affected EGU in MWh.
(PT)IE = Useful thermal output (relative to SATP
conditions, as applicable) from any integrated equipment is used for
applications that do not generate additional steam, electricity,
produce mechanical energy output, or enhance the performance of the
affected EGU in MWh.
TDF = Electric transmission and distribution factor of 0.95 for a
combined heat and power affected egu where at least on an annual
basis 20.0 percent of the total gross or net energy output consists
of electric or direct mechanical output and 20.0 percent of the
total gross or net energy output consist of useful thermal output on
a 12-operating month rolling average basis, or 1.0 for all other
affected EGUs.
(v) If applicable to your affected EGU (for example, for combined
heat and power), you must calculate (Pt)PS using the
following equation:
Equation 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(v)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR09MY24.063
Where:
QM = Measured steam flow in kilograms (KG) (or pounds
(LBS)) for the operating hour.
H = Enthalpy of the steam at measured temperature and pressure
(relative to SATP conditions or the energy in the condensate return
line, as applicable) in joules per kilogram (J/KG) (or BTU/LB).
CF = Conversion factor of 3.6 x 10\9\ J/MWH or 3.413 x 10\6\ BTU/
MWh.
(vi) For rate-based standards, sum all of the values of
Pgross/net for the valid operating hours (as defined in
paragraph (a)(2) of this section). Then, divide the total
CO2 mass emissions for the valid operating hours from
paragraph (a)(3)(v) or (a)(4)(v) of this section, as applicable, by the
sum of the Pgross/net values for the valid operating hours
to determine the CO2 emissions rate (lb/gross or net MWh).
(6) In accordance with Sec. 60.13(g), if two or more affected EGUs
implementing the continuous emissions monitoring provisions in
paragraph (a)(3) of this section share a common exhaust gas stack and
are subject to the same emissions standard, the owner or operator may
monitor the hourly CO2 mass emissions at the common stack in
lieu of monitoring each EGU separately. If an owner or operator of an
affected EGU chooses this option, the hourly gross or net electric
output for the common stack must be the sum of the hourly gross or net
electric output of the individual affected EGUs and the operating time
must be expressed as ``stack operating hours'' (as defined in 40 CFR
72.2).
(7) In accordance with Sec. 60.13(g), if the exhaust gases from an
affected EGU implementing the continuous emissions monitoring
provisions in paragraph (a)(3) of this section are emitted to the
atmosphere through multiple stacks (or if the exhaust gases are routed
to a common stack through multiple ducts and you elect to monitor in
the ducts), the hourly CO2 mass emissions and the ``stack
operating time'' (as defined in 40 CFR 72.2) at each stack or duct must
be monitored separately. In this case, the owner or operator of an
affected EGU must determine compliance with an applicable emissions
standard by summing the CO2 mass emissions measured at the
individual stacks or ducts and dividing by the gross or net energy
output for the affected EGU.
(8) Consistent with Sec. 60.5775b, if two or more affected EGUs
serve a common electric generator, you must apportion the combined
hourly gross or net energy output to the individual affected EGUs
according to the fraction of the total steam load contributed by each
EGU. Alternatively, if the EGUs are identical, you may apportion the
combined hourly gross or net electrical load to the individual EGUs
according to the fraction of the total heat input contributed by each
EGU.
(9) The owner or operator of an affected EGU must measure and
report monthly fuel usage for each affected source subject to standards
of performance with the information in paragraphs (a)(9)(i) through
(iii) of this section:
(i) The calendar month during which the fuel was used;
(ii) Each type of fuel used during the calendar month of the
compliance period; and
(iii) Quantity of each type of fuel combusted in each calendar
month in the compliance period with units of measure.
(b) Your State plan must require the owner or operator of each
affected EGU covered by your State plan to maintain the records, for at
least 5 years following the date of each occurrence, measurement,
maintenance, corrective action, report, or record.
(1) The owner or operator of an affected EGU must maintain each
record on site for at least 2 years after the date of each occurrence,
measurement, maintenance, corrective action, report, or record,
whichever is latest, according to Sec. 60.7. The owner or operator of
an affected EGU may maintain the records off site and electronically
for the remaining year(s).
(2) The owner or operator of an affected EGU must keep all of the
following records, in a form suitable and readily available for
expeditious review:
(i) All documents, data files, and calculations and methods used to
demonstrate compliance with an affected EGU's standard of performance
under Sec. 60.5775b.
(ii) Copies of all reports submitted to the State under paragraph
(b) of this section.
(iii) Data that are required to be recorded by 40 CFR part 75
subpart F.
(c) Your State plan must require the owner or operator of an
affected EGU covered by your State plan to include in a report
submitted to you the information in paragraphs (c)(1) through (3) of
this section.
(1) Owners or operators of an affected EGU must include in the
report all hourly CO2 emissions, for each affected EGU (or
group of affected EGUs that share a monitored common stack).
(2) For rate-based standards, each report must include:
(i) The hourly CO2 mass emission rate values (tons/hr)
and unit (or stack) operating times, (as monitored and reported
according to part 75 of this chapter), for each valid operating hour;
(ii) The gross or net electric output and the gross or net energy
output (Pgross/net) values for each valid operating hour;
(iii) The calculated CO2 mass emissions (lb) for each
valid operating hour;
(iv) The sum of the hourly gross or net energy output values and
the sum of the
[[Page 40060]]
hourly CO2 mass emissions values, for all of the valid
operating hours; and
(v) The calculated CO2 mass emission rate (lbs/gross or
net MWh).
(3) For each affected EGU the report must also include the
applicable standard of performance and demonstration that it met the
standard of performance. An owner or operator must also include in the
report the affected EGU's calculated emission performance as a
CO2 emission rate in units of the standard of performance.
(d) The owner or operator of an affected EGU must follow any
additional requirements for monitoring, recordkeeping and reporting in
a State plan that are required under Sec. 60.5740b if applicable.
(e) If an affected EGU captures CO2 to meet the
applicable standard of performance, the owner or operator must report
in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98 subpart PP and
either:
(1) Report in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98,
subpart RR, or subpart VV, if injection occurs on-site;
(2) Transfer the captured CO2 to a facility that reports
in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR, or
subpart VV, if injection occurs off-site; or
(3) Transfer the captured CO2 to a facility that has
received an innovative technology waiver from the EPA pursuant to
paragraph (f) of this section.
(f) Any person may request the Administrator to issue a waiver of
the requirement that captured CO2 from an affected EGU be
transferred to a facility reporting under 40 CFR part 98, subpart RR,
or subpart VV. To receive a waiver, the applicant must demonstrate to
the Administrator that its technology will store captured
CO2 as effectively as geologic sequestration, and that the
proposed technology will not cause or contribute to an unreasonable
risk to public health, welfare, or safety. In making this
determination, the Administrator shall consider (among other factors)
operating history of the technology, whether the technology will
increase emissions or other releases of any pollutant other than
CO2, and permanence of the CO2 storage. The
Administrator may test the system or require the applicant to perform
any tests considered by the Administrator to be necessary to show the
technology's effectiveness, safety, and ability to store captured
CO2 without release. The Administrator may grant conditional
approval of a technology, with the approval conditioned on monitoring
and reporting of operations. The Administrator may also withdraw
approval of the waiver on evidence of releases of CO2 or
other pollutants. The Administrator will provide notice to the public
of any application under this provision and provide public notice of
any proposed action on a petition before the Administrator takes final
action.
Sec. 60.5865b What are my recordkeeping requirements?
(a) You must keep records of all information relied upon in support
of any demonstration of State plan components, State plan requirements,
supporting documentation, and the status of meeting the State plan
requirements defined in the State plan.
(b) You must keep records of all data submitted by the owner or
operator of each affected EGU that are used to determine compliance
with each affected EGU emissions standard or requirements in an
approved State plan, consistent with the affected EGU requirements
listed in Sec. 60.5860b.
(c) If your State has a requirement for all hourly CO2
emissions and gross generation or heat input information to be used to
calculate compliance with an annual emissions standard for affected
EGUs, any information that is submitted by the owners or operators of
affected EGUs to the EPA electronically pursuant to requirements in 40
CFR part 75 meets the recordkeeping requirement of this section and you
are not required to keep records of information that would be in
duplicate of paragraph (b) of this section.
(d) You must keep records for a minimum of 10 years from the date
the record is used to determine compliance with an emissions standard
or State plan requirement. Each record must be in a form suitable and
readily available for expeditious review.
(e) If your State plan includes provisions for the compliance date
extension, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(11), you must keep records of
the information required in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(11)(i) from affected EGUs
that use the compliance date extension.
(f) If your State plan includes provisions for the short-term
reliability mechanism, as described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(12), you must
keep records of the information required in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(12)(iii)
from affected EGUs that use the short-term reliability mechanism.
(g) If your State plan includes provisions for the reliability
assurance mechanism, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(13), you must keep
records of the information required in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(13)(vi) from
affected EGUs that use the reliability assurance mechanism.
Sec. 60.5870b What are my reporting and notification requirements?
(a) In lieu of the annual report required under Sec. 60.25(e) and
(f), you must report the information in paragraph (b) of this section.
(b) You must submit an annual report to the EPA that must include
the information in paragraphs (b)(1) through (10) of this section. For
each calendar year reporting period the report must be submitted by
March 1 of the following year.
(1) The report must include the emissions performance achieved by
each affected EGU during the reporting period and identification of
whether each affected EGU is in compliance with its standard of
performance during the compliance period, as specified in the State
plan.
(2) The report must include, for each affected EGU, a comparison of
the CO2 standard of performance in the State plan versus the
actual CO2 emission performance achieved.
(3) The report must include, for each affected EGU, the sum of the
CO2 emissions, the sum of the gross energy output, and the
sum of the heat input for each fuel type.
(4) Enforcement actions initiated against affected EGUs during the
reporting period, under any standard of performance or compliance
schedule of the State plan.
(5) Identification of the achievement of any increment of progress
required by the applicable State plan during the reporting period.
(6) Identification of designated facilities that have ceased
operation during the reporting period.
(7) Submission of emission inventory data as described in paragraph
(a) of this section for designated facilities that were not in
operation at the time of State plan development but began operation
during the reporting period.
(8) Submission of additional data as necessary to update the
information submitted under paragraph (a) of this section or in
previous progress reports.
(9) Submission of copies of technical reports on all performance
testing on designated facilities conducted under paragraph (b)(2) of
this section, complete with concurrently recorded process data.
(10) The report must include all other required information, as
specified in your State plan according to Sec. 60.5740b.
(c) If you include provisions for the compliance date extension,
described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(11), in your State plan, you must report
to the EPA the information listed in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(11)(i).
[[Page 40061]]
(d) If you include provisions for the short-term reliability
mechanism, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(12), in your State plan, you
must report to the EPA the following information for each event, listed
in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(12)(iii).
(e) If you include provisions for the reliability assurance
mechanism, described in Sec. 60.5740b(a)(13) in your State plan, you
must report to the EPA the information listed in Sec.
60.5740b(a)(13)(vi).
Sec. 60.5875b How do I submit information required by these emission
guidelines to the EPA?
(a) You must submit to the EPA the information required by these
emission guidelines following the procedures in paragraphs (b) through
(e) of this section.
(b) All State plan submittals, supporting materials that are part
of a State plan submittal, any State plan revisions, and all State
reports required to be submitted to the EPA by the State plan must be
reported through the EPA's State Plan Electronic Collection System
(SPeCS). SPeCS is a web accessible electronic system accessed at the
EPA's Central Data Exchange (CDX) (https://www.epa.gov/cdx/). States
that claim that a State plan submittal or supporting documentation
includes confidential business information (CBI) must submit that
information on a compact disc, flash drive, or other commonly used
electronic storage media to the EPA. The electronic media must be
clearly marked as CBI and mailed to U.S. EPA/OAQPS/CORE CBI Office,
Attention: State and Local Programs Group, MD C539-01, 4930 Old Page
Rd., Durham, NC 27703.
(c) Only a submittal by the Governor or the Governor's designee by
an electronic submission through SPeCS shall be considered an official
submittal to the EPA under this subpart. If the Governor wishes to
designate another responsible official the authority to submit a State
plan, the EPA must be notified via letter from the Governor prior to
the May 11, 2026, deadline for State plan submittal so that the
official will have the ability to submit the initial or final State
plan submittal in the SPeCS. If the Governor has previously delegated
authority to make CAA submittals on the Governor's behalf, a State may
submit documentation of the delegation in lieu of a letter from the
Governor. The letter or documentation must identify the designee to
whom authority is being designated and must include the name and
contact information for the designee and also identify the State plan
preparers who will need access to SPeCS. A State may also submit the
names of the State plan preparers via a separate letter prior to the
designation letter from the Governor in order to expedite the State
plan administrative process. Required contact information for the
designee and preparers includes the person's title, organization, and
email address.
(d) The submission of the information by the authorized official
must be in a non-editable format. In addition to the non-editable
version all State plan components designated as federally enforceable
must also be submitted in an editable version. Following initial State
plan approval, States must provide the EPA with an editable copy of any
submitted revision to existing approved federally enforceable State
plan components, including State plan backstop measures. The editable
copy of any such submitted State plan revision must indicate the
changes made at the State level, if any, to the existing approved
federally enforceable State plan components, using a mechanism such as
redline/strikethrough. These changes are not part of the State plan
until formal approval by the EPA.
(e) You must provide the EPA with non-editable and editable copies
of any submitted revision to existing approved federally enforceable
State plan components. The editable copy of any such submitted State
plan revision must indicate the changes made at the State level, if
any, to the existing approved federally enforceable State plan
components, using a mechanism such as redline/strikethrough. These
changes are not part of the State plan until formal approval by the
EPA.
Sec. 60.5876b What are the recordkeeping and reporting requirements
for EGUs that have committed to permanently cease operations by January
1, 2032?
(a) If you are the owner or operator of an EGU that has committed
to permanently cease operations by January 1, 2032, you must maintain
records for and submit the reports listed in paragraphs (a)(1) through
(3) of this section according to the electronic reporting requirements
in paragraph (b) of this section.
(1) Five years before any planned date to permanently cease
operations or by the date upon which the State plan is submitted,
whichever is later, the owner or operator of the EGU must submit an
initial report to the EPA that includes the information in paragraphs
(a)(1)(i) and (ii) of this section.
(i) A summary of the process steps required for the EGU to
permanently cease operation by the date included in the State plan,
including the approximate timing and duration of each step and any
notification requirements associated with deactivation of the unit.
These process steps may include, e.g., initial notice to the relevant
reliability authority of the deactivation date and submittal of an
official retirement filing (or equivalent filing) made to the EGU's
relevant reliability authority.
(ii) Supporting regulatory documents, which include those listed in
paragraphs (a)(1)(ii)(A) through (G) of this section:
(A) Correspondence and official filings with the relevant regional
RTO, Independent System Operator, Balancing Authority, PUC, or other
applicable authority;
(B) Any deactivation-related reliability assessments conducted by
the RTO or Independent System Operator;
(C) Any filings pertaining to the affected EGU with the SEC or
notices to investors, including but not limited to references in forms
10-K and 10-Q, in which plans for the EGU are mentioned;
(D) Any integrated resource plans and PUC orders approving the
EGU's deactivation;
(E) Any reliability analyses developed by the RTO, Independent
System Operator, or relevant reliability authority in response to the
EGU's deactivation notification;
(F) Any notification from a relevant reliability authority that the
EGU may be needed for reliability purposes notwithstanding the EGU's
intent to deactivate; and
(G) Any notification to or from an RTO, Independent System
Operator, or relevant reliability authority altering the timing of
deactivation of the EGU.
(2) For each of the remaining years prior to the date by which an
EGU has committed to permanently cease operations, the owner or
operator of the EGU must submit an annual status report to the EPA that
includes the information listed in paragraphs (a)(2)(i) and (ii) of
this section:
(i) Progress on each of the identified process steps identified in
the initial report as described in paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section;
and
(ii) Supporting regulatory documents, including correspondence and
official filings with the relevant RTO, Independent System Operator,
Balancing Authority, PUC, or other applicable authority to demonstrate
progress toward all steps described in paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this
section.
(3) The owner or operator must submit a final report to the EPA no
later than 6 months following its committed closure date. This report
must document any actions that the EGU has taken subsequent to ceasing
operation to
[[Page 40062]]
ensure that such cessation is permanent, including any regulatory
filings with applicable authorities or decommissioning plans.
(b) Beginning November 12, 2024, if you are the owner or operator
of an EGU that has committed to permanently cease operations by January
1, 2032, you must submit all the information required in paragraph (a)
of this section in a Permanent Cessation of Operation report in PDF
format following the procedures specified in paragraph (c) of this
section.
(c) If you are required to submit notifications or reports
following the procedure specified in this paragraph (c), you must
submit notifications or reports to the EPA via the Compliance and
Emissions Data Reporting Interface (CEDRI), which can be accessed
through the EPA's Central Data Exchange (CDX) (https://cdx.epa.gov/).
The EPA will make all the information submitted through CEDRI available
to the public without further notice to you. Do not use CEDRI to submit
information you claim as CBI. Although we do not expect persons to
assert a claim of CBI, if you wish to assert a CBI claim for some of
the information in the report or notification, you must submit a
complete file in the format specified in this subpart, including
information claimed to be CBI, to the EPA following the procedures in
paragraphs (c)(1) and (2) of this section. Clearly mark the part or all
of the information that you claim to be CBI. Information not marked as
CBI may be authorized for public release without prior notice.
Information marked as CBI will not be disclosed except in accordance
with procedures set forth in 40 CFR part 2. All CBI claims must be
asserted at the time of submission. Anything submitted using CEDRI
cannot later be claimed CBI. Furthermore, under CAA section 114(c),
emissions data is not entitled to confidential treatment, and the EPA
is required to make emissions data available to the public. Thus,
emissions data will not be protected as CBI and will be made publicly
available. You must submit the same file submitted to the CBI office
with the CBI omitted to the EPA via the EPA's CDX as described earlier
in this paragraph (c).
(1) The preferred method to receive CBI is for it to be transmitted
electronically using email attachments, File Transfer Protocol, or
other online file sharing services. Electronic submissions must be
transmitted directly to the OAQPS CBI Office at the email address
[email protected], and as described above, should include clear CBI
markings and be flagged to the attention of the Emission Guidelines for
Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Electric Utility Generating Units Sector
Lead. If assistance is needed with submitting large electronic files
that exceed the file size limit for email attachments, and if you do
not have your own file sharing service, please email [email protected]
to request a file transfer link.
(2) If you cannot transmit the file electronically, you may send
CBI information through the postal service to the following address:
U.S. EPA Attn: OAQPS Document Control Officer, Mail Drop: C404-02, 109
T.W. Alexander Drive P.O. Box 12055, RTP, NC 27711. All other files
should also be sent to the attention of the Greenhouse Gas Emissions
for Electric Utility Generating Units Sector Lead. The mailed CBI
material should be double wrapped and clearly marked. Any CBI markings
should not show through the outer envelope.
(d) Any records required to be maintained by this subpart that are
submitted electronically via the EPA's CEDRI may be maintained in
electronic format. This ability to maintain electronic copies does not
affect the requirement for facilities to make records, data, and
reports available upon request to a delegated air agency or the EPA as
part of an on-site compliance evaluation.
(e) If you are required to electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA's CDX, you may assert a claim of EPA system outage for
failure to timely comply with that reporting requirement. To assert a
claim of EPA system outage, you must meet the requirements outlined in
paragraphs (e)(1) through (7) of this section.
(1) You must have been or will be precluded from accessing CEDRI
and submitting a required report within the time prescribed due to an
outage of either the EPA's CEDRI or CDX systems.
(2) The outage must have occurred within the period of time
beginning five business days prior to the date that the submission is
due.
(3) The outage may be planned or unplanned.
(4) You must submit notification to the Administrator in writing as
soon as possible following the date you first knew, or through due
diligence should have known, that the event may cause or has caused a
delay in reporting.
(5) You must provide to the Administrator a written description
identifying:
(i) The date(s) and time(s) when CDX or CEDRI was accessed and the
system was unavailable;
(ii) A rationale for attributing the delay in reporting beyond the
regulatory deadline to EPA system outage;
(iii) A description of measures taken or to be taken to minimize
the delay in reporting; and
(iv) The date by which you propose to report, or if you have
already met the reporting requirement at the time of the notification,
the date you reported.
(6) The decision to accept the claim of EPA system outage and allow
an extension to the reporting deadline is solely within the discretion
of the Administrator.
(7) In any circumstance, the report must be submitted
electronically as soon as possible after the outage is resolved.
(f) If you are required to electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA's CDX, you may assert a claim of force majeure for
failure to timely comply with that reporting requirement. To assert a
claim of force majeure, you must meet the requirements outlined in
paragraphs(f)(1) through (5) of this section.
(1) You may submit a claim if a force majeure event is about to
occur, occurs, or has occurred or there are lingering effects from such
an event within the period of time beginning five business days prior
to the date the submission is due. For the purposes of this section, a
force majeure event is defined as an event that will be or has been
caused by circumstances beyond the control of the affected facility,
its contractors, or any entity controlled by the affected facility that
prevents you from complying with the requirement to submit a report
electronically within the time period prescribed. Examples of such
events are acts of nature (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes, or floods),
acts of war or terrorism, or equipment failure or safety hazard beyond
the control of the affected facility (e.g., large scale power outage).
(2) You must submit notification to the Administrator in writing as
soon as possible following the date you first knew, or through due
diligence should have known, that the event may cause or has caused a
delay in reporting.
(3) You must provide to the Administrator:
(i) A written description of the force majeure event;
(ii) A rationale for attributing the delay in reporting beyond the
regulatory deadline to the force majeure event;
(iii) A description of measures taken or to be taken to minimize
the delay in reporting; and
(iv) The date by which you propose to report, or if you have
already met the reporting requirement at the time of the notification,
the date you reported.
(4) The decision to accept the claim of force majeure and allow an
extension
[[Page 40063]]
to the reporting deadline is solely within the discretion of the
Administrator.
(5) In any circumstance, the reporting must occur as soon as
possible after the force majeure event occurs.
(g) Alternatives to any electronic reporting required by this
subpart must be approved by the Administrator.
Definitions
Sec. [thinsp]60.5880b What definitions apply to this subpart?
As used in this subpart, all terms not defined herein will have the
meaning given them in the Clean Air Act and in subparts A, Ba, TTTT,
and TTTTa, of this part.
Affected electric generating unit or Affected EGU means a steam
generating unit that meets the relevant applicability conditions in
section Sec. 60.5845b.
Annual capacity factor means the ratio between the actual heat
input to an EGU during a calendar year and the potential heat input to
the EGU had it been operated for 8,760 hours during a calendar year at
the base load rating.
Base load rating means the maximum amount of heat input (fuel) that
an EGU can combust on a steady-state basis, as determined by the
physical design and characteristics of the EGU at ISO conditions, as
defined below. For a stationary combustion turbine or IGCC, base load
rating includes the heat input from duct burners.
Coal-fired steam generating unit means an electric utility steam
generating unit or IGCC unit that meets the definition of ``fossil
fuel-fired'' and that burns coal for more than 10.0 percent of the
average annual heat input during any continuous 3-calendar-year period
after December 31, 2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of the annual
heat input during any one calendar year after December 31, 2029, or
that retains the capability to fire coal after December 31, 2029.
Combined cycle unit means a stationary combustion turbine from
which the heat from the turbine exhaust gases is recovered by a heat
recovery steam generating unit to generate additional electricity.
Combined heat and power unit or CHP unit, (also known as
``cogeneration'') means an electric generating unit that uses a steam-
generating unit or stationary combustion turbine to simultaneously
produce both electric (or mechanical) and useful thermal output from
the same primary energy source.
Compliance period means an annual (calendar year) period for an
affected EGU to comply with a standard of performance.
Derate means a decrease in the available capacity of an electric
generating unit, due to a system or equipment modification or to
discounting a portion of a generating unit's capacity for planning
purposes.
Fossil fuel means natural gas, petroleum, coal, and any form of
solid fuel, liquid fuel, or gaseous fuel derived from such material for
the purpose of creating useful heat.
Gross energy output means:
(1) For stationary combustion turbines and IGCC, the gross electric
or direct mechanical output from both the EGU (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and
gas expander(s)) plus 100 percent of the useful thermal output.
(2) For steam generating units, the gross electric or mechanical
output from the affected EGU(s) (including, but not limited to, output
from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and gas expander(s))
minus any electricity used to power the feedwater pumps plus 100
percent of the useful thermal output;
(3) For combined heat and power facilities where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross energy output consists of useful thermal
output on a 12-operating-month rolling average basis, the gross
electric or mechanical output from the affected EGU (including, but not
limited to, output from steam turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and
gas expander(s)) minus any electricity used to power the feedwater
pumps (the electric auxiliary load of boiler feedwater pumps is not
applicable to IGCC facilities), that difference divided by 0.95, plus
100 percent of the useful thermal output.
Heat recovery steam generating unit (HRSG) means a unit in which
hot exhaust gases from the combustion turbine engine are routed in
order to extract heat from the gases and generate useful output. Heat
recovery steam generating units can be used with or without duct
burners.
Integrated gasification combined cycle facility or IGCC means a
combined cycle facility that is designed to burn fuels containing 50
percent (by heat input) or more solid-derived fuel not meeting the
definition of natural gas plus any integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to either the affected facility or
auxiliary equipment. The Administrator may waive the 50 percent solid-
derived fuel requirement during periods of the gasification system
construction, startup and commissioning, shutdown, or repair. No solid
fuel is directly burned in the unit during operation.
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15 [deg]C, 59 [deg]F), 60 percent
relative humidity and 101.3 kilopascals (14.69 psi, 1 atm) pressure.
Mechanical output means the useful mechanical energy that is not
used to operate the affected facility, generate electricity and/or
thermal output, or to enhance the performance of the affected facility.
Mechanical energy measured in horsepower hour must be converted into
MWh by multiplying it by 745.7 then dividing by 1,000,000.
Nameplate capacity means, starting from the initial installation,
the maximum electrical generating output that a generator, prime mover,
or other electric power production equipment under specific conditions
designated by the manufacturer is capable of producing (in MWe, rounded
to the nearest tenth) on a steady-state basis and during continuous
operation (when not restricted by seasonal or other deratings) as of
such installation as specified by the manufacturer of the equipment, or
starting from the completion of any subsequent physical change
resulting in an increase in the maximum electrical generating output
that the equipment is capable of producing on a steady-state basis and
during continuous operation (when not restricted by seasonal or other
deratings), such increased maximum amount (in MWe, rounded to the
nearest tenth) as of such completion as specified by the person
conducting the physical change.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of hydrocarbons (e.g., methane,
ethane, or propane), composed of at least 70 percent methane by volume
or that has a gross calorific value between 35 and 41 megajoules (MJ)
per dry standard cubic meter (950 and 1,100 Btu per dry standard cubic
foot), that maintains a gaseous state under ISO conditions. Finally,
natural gas does not include the following gaseous fuels: Landfill gas,
digester gas, refinery gas, sour gas, blast furnace gas, coal-derived
gas, producer gas, coke oven gas, or any gaseous fuel produced in a
process which might result in highly variable CO2 content or
heating value.
Natural gas-fired steam generating unit means an electric utility
steam generating unit meeting the definition of ``fossil fuel-fired,''
that is not a coal-fired or oil-fired steam generating unit, that no
longer retains the capability to fire coal after December 31, 2029, and
that burns natural gas for more than 10.0 percent of the average annual
heat input during any continuous 3-calendar-year period after December
31, 2029, or for more than 15.0 percent of the annual
[[Page 40064]]
heat input during any calendar year after December 31, 2029.
Net electric output means the amount of gross generation the
generator(s) produce (including, but not limited to, output from steam
turbine(s), combustion turbine(s), and gas expander(s)), as measured at
the generator terminals, less the electricity used to operate the plant
(i.e., auxiliary loads); such uses include fuel handling equipment,
pumps, fans, pollution control equipment, other electricity needs, and
transformer losses as measured at the transmission side of the step up
transformer (e.g., the point of sale).
Net energy output means:
(1) The net electric or mechanical output from the affected
facility, plus 100 percent of the useful thermal output measured
relative to standard ambient temperature and pressure conditions that
is not used to generate additional electric or mechanical output or to
enhance the performance of the unit (e.g., steam delivered to an
industrial process for a heating application).
(2) For combined heat and power facilities where at least 20.0
percent of the total gross or net energy output consists of electric or
direct mechanical output and at least 20.0 percent of the total gross
or net energy output consists of useful thermal output on a 12-
operating month rolling average basis, the net electric or mechanical
output from the affected EGU divided by 0.95, plus 100 percent of the
useful thermal output; (e.g., steam delivered to an industrial process
for a heating application).
Oil-fired steam generating unit means an electric utility steam
generating unit meeting the definition of ``fossil fuel-fired'' that is
not a coal-fired steam generating unit, that no longer retains the
capability to fire coal after December 31, 2029, and that burns oil for
more than 10.0 percent of the average annual heat input during any
continuous 3-calendar-year period after December 31, 2029, or for more
than 15.0 percent of the annual heat input during any one calendar year
after December 31, 2029.
Standard ambient temperature and pressure (SATP) conditions means
298.15 Kelvin (25 [deg]C, 77 [deg]F) and 100.0 kilopascals (14.504 psi,
0.987 atm) pressure. The enthalpy of water at SATP conditions is 50
Btu/lb.
State agent means an entity acting on behalf of the State, with the
legal authority of the State.
Stationary combustion turbine means all equipment including, but
not limited to, the turbine engine, the fuel, air, lubrication and
exhaust gas systems, control systems (except emissions control
equipment), heat recovery system, fuel compressor, heater, and/or pump,
post-combustion emission control technology, and any ancillary
components and sub-components comprising any simple cycle stationary
combustion turbine, any combined cycle combustion turbine, and any
combined heat and power combustion turbine based system plus any
integrated equipment that provides electricity or useful thermal output
to the combustion turbine engine, heat recovery system, or auxiliary
equipment. Stationary means that the combustion turbine is not self-
propelled or intended to be propelled while performing its function. It
may, however, be mounted on a vehicle for portability. A stationary
combustion turbine that burns any solid fuel directly is considered a
steam generating unit.
Steam generating unit means any furnace, boiler, or other device
used for combusting fuel and producing steam (nuclear steam generators
are not included) plus any integrated equipment that provides
electricity or useful thermal output to the affected facility or
auxiliary equipment.
System Emergency means periods when the Reliability Coordinator has
declared an Energy Emergency Alert level 2 or 3 as defined by NERC
Reliability Standard EOP-011-2, or its successor.
Uprate means an increase in available electric generating unit
power capacity due to a system or equipment modification.
Useful thermal output means the thermal energy made available for
use in any heating application (e.g., steam delivered to an industrial
process for a heating application, including thermal cooling
applications) that is not used for electric generation, mechanical
output at the affected EGU, to directly enhance the performance of the
affected EGU (e.g., economizer output is not useful thermal output, but
thermal energy used to reduce fuel moisture is considered useful
thermal output), or to supply energy to a pollution control device at
the affected EGU. Useful thermal output for affected EGU(s) with no
condensate return (or other thermal energy input to the affected
EGU(s)) or where measuring the energy in the condensate (or other
thermal energy input to the affected EGU(s)) would not meaningfully
impact the emission rate calculation is measured against the energy in
the thermal output at SATP conditions. Affected EGU(s) with meaningful
energy in the condensate return (or other thermal energy input to the
affected EGU) must measure the energy in the condensate and subtract
that energy relative to SATP conditions from the measured thermal
output.
Valid data means quality-assured data generated by continuous
monitoring systems that are installed, operated, and maintained
according to 40 CFR part 75. For CEMS, the initial certification
requirements in 40 CFR 75.20 and appendix A to 40 CFR part 75 must be
met before quality-assured data are reported under this subpart; for
on-going quality assurance, the daily, quarterly, and semiannual/annual
test requirements in sections 2.1, 2.2, and 2.3 of appendix B to 40 CFR
part 75 must be met and the data validation criteria in sections 2.1.4,
2.2.3, and 2.3.2 of appendix B to 40 CFR part 75 apply. For fuel flow
meters, the initial certification requirements in section 2.1.5 of
appendix D to 40 CFR part 75 must be met before quality-assured data
are reported under this subpart (except for qualifying commercial
billing meters under section 2.1.4.2 of appendix D), and for on-going
quality assurance, the provisions in section 2.1.6 of appendix D to 40
CFR part 75 apply (except for qualifying commercial billing meters).
Waste-to-Energy means a process or unit (e.g., solid waste
incineration unit) that recovers energy from the conversion or
combustion of waste stream materials, such as municipal solid waste, to
generate electricity and/or heat.
[FR Doc. 2024-09233 Filed 5-8-24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P