Final Determination: Adoption of Energy Efficiency Standards for New Construction of HUD- and USDA-Financed Housing, 33112-33182 [2024-08793]
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DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
[Docket No. FR–6271–N–03]
RIN 2506–AC55
Final Determination: Adoption of
Energy Efficiency Standards for New
Construction of HUD- and USDAFinanced Housing
Department of Housing and
Urban Development and Department of
Agriculture.
ACTION: Notice of final determination.
AGENCY:
The Energy Independence
and Security Act of 2007 (EISA)
establishes procedures for the U.S.
Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) and the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (USDA) to
consider adopting periodic revisions to
the International Energy Conservation
Code (IECC) and to ANSI/ASHRAE/IES
Standard 90.1: Energy Standard for
Buildings, Except Low-Rise Residential
Buildings (ASHRAE 90.1), subject to a
determination by the agencies that the
revised codes do not negatively affect
the availability or affordability of new
construction of single and multifamily
housing covered by EISA, and a
determination by the Secretary of
Energy that the revised codes ‘‘would
improve energy efficiency.’’ At the time
of developing the preliminary
determination, the most recent editions
of the codes for which DOE had issued
efficiency determinations were
ASHRAE 90.1–2019, and the 2021 IECC.
This notice follows the notice of
preliminary determination published on
May 18, 2023, and announces the final
determination of HUD and USDA as
required under section 481(d)(1) of
EISA. After consideration of public
comments, HUD and USDA determine
that the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–
2019 will not negatively affect the
affordability and availability of housing
covered by EISA.
DATES:
Effective Date of this Determination:
May 28, 2024.
Compliance Date: Compliance is
required according to the
implementation schedule described in
Section VI of this notice; compliance
dates vary according to program type.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
HUD: Michael Freedberg, Office of
Environment and Energy, Department of
Housing and Urban Development, 451
7th Street SW, Room 10180,
Washington, DC 20410; telephone
number 202–402–4366 (this is not a toll-
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free number). HUD welcomes and is
prepared to receive calls from
individuals who are deaf or hard of
hearing, as well as individuals with
speech or communication disabilities.
To learn more about how to make an
accessible telephone call, please visit:
https://www.fcc.gov/consumers/guides/
telecommunications-relay-service-trs.
USDA: Meghan Walsh, Rural Housing
Service, Department of Agriculture,
1400 Independence Avenue SW, Room
6900–S, Washington, DC 20250;
telephone number 202–205–9590 (this
is not a toll-free number).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Background
A. Statutory Requirements
B. Energy Codes Overview
C. Covered HUD and USDA Programs
D. Current Above-Code Standards or
Incentives
E. Current Housing Market Affordability
Trends
F. Changes From the Preliminary
Determination to the Final
Determination
1. Adjusted Economic Factors
2. Adjusted Cash Flow and Financing
Factors
3. Updated State Code Adoption
4. Alternative Compliance Pathways
5. Implementation and Compliance
Timelines
6. Inflation Reduction Act Tax Credits and
Rebates
II. Public Comments
A. Higher First Costs
1. General Support
2. Cumulative Costs
3. Proposals for Financing and Tax Credits
4. Proposals for Technical Assistance
5. Concerns Regarding an ‘‘Appraisal Gap’’
6. Delegation of Legislative Power
7. Lower Availability of Affordable Homes
for Home Buyers
8. Affordability and Availability Impacts in
Rural Communities
9. Limited Cost Effectiveness of Individual
Code Measures
10. Understated Impact on Low-Rise
Multifamily
B. State and Local Adoption of Energy
Codes
1. Alignment With State and Local Codes
2. Adoption of Earlier Code Versions
3. State and Local Code Amendments
C. Cost Benefit Analysis
1. Construction Cost Estimates
2. Builder vs. Consumer Costs
3. Reliance on Simple Payback vs. Life
Cycle Cost Savings
4. Current Financing and Economic Factors
5. Timeframe of Analysis
D. Ventilation, Manually Operated Fans
E. Air-Sealing Requirements and Fire
Codes
F. Builder Familiarization With New Codes
1. Implementation Timeline
2. Need for Training and Technical
Assistance
3. Enforcement and Compliance
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G. COVID-Related Supply Chain
Challenges
H. Green Building Standards and
Alternative Compliance Paths
1. Alternative Compliance Pathways
2. Promoting Unvented Attic Spaces
3. Alignment With Existing State or Local
Codes
4. Alternative Prescriptive and
Performance Compliance Pathways
I. Additional Comments
1. VA Enhanced Loan Underwriting
Methods
2. Incorrect Montana Data
3. Inclusion of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
4. Covered Housing vs. Existing Housing
Stock
5. Impact on Increased Sprawl
III. Final Determination—2021 IECC
A. Overview
1. Current HUD–USDA Standard and
Subsequent Revisions
2. 2021 IECC Overview
3. Current State Adoption of the 2021 IECC
4. Estimated Impacts
B. 2021 IECC Affordability Analysis
1. Cost Benefit Analysis and Results
2. Limitations of Cost Saving Models
3. Estimated Costs and Savings
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes
for Residential Buildings
5. Incremental or Added Costs
6. Annual Cost Savings
7. Simple Payback
8. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
9. Consumer Cash Flows
10. Low-rise Multifamily Buildings
11. Additional Analysis—6.5% mortgage
interest
12. Cash Flows for Single Family and LowRise Multifamily
13. Appraisals of Energy Efficiency
Improvements
14. State-Level Results
15. Total Costs and Benefits
C. Final Affordability Determination—2021
IECC
IV. Final Determination—ASHRAE 90.1–
2019
A. Overview
1. Current HUD–USDA Standard and
Subsequent Revisions
2. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Overview
3. Current State Adoption of ASHRAE
90.1–2019
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes
for Commercial Buildings
5. Impacted Multifamily Housing
B. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Affordability
Analysis
1. Cost Benefit Analysis
2. Building Prototypes
3. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Incremental Costs
4. State-Level Results
5. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
C. Final Affordability Determination—
ASHRAE 90.1–2019
V. Impact on Availability of Housing
A. 2021 IECC—Single Family
1. Builder Impacts
2. Single Family Market Impacts
3. Evidence From Prior Code Adoption
4. Variability in Building Practices in
Relation to Energy Codes
B. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Rental Housing
VI. Implementation
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VII. Environmental Impact
List of Tables
Table 1. Distribution of State Adoption of
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 Equivalent
Standards
Table 2. Covered HUD and USDA Programs
(New Construction)
Table 3. Current Energy Standards and
Incentives for HUD and USDA Programs
(New Construction)
Table 4. Incremental First Cost of Energy
Star Version 3.2 (Above 2021 IECC) in
Select Cities
Table 5. Maximum Energy Rating Index—
2021 IECC
Table 6. Appraised Values Relative to Sales
Price—FHA Insured New Homes 2020–
23
Table 7. ICC Economic Factors for 2024
IECC Analysis
Table 8. Revised Economic Parameters for
Final Determination
Table 9. National Costs and Benefits—2021
IECC vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family)
Table 10. Incremental Energy Savings
Associated with Each IECC Version—
2006 to 2021
Table 11. Current State Adoption of the
IECC
Table 12. Estimated Number of Units
Impacted Annually by 2021 IECC
Table 13. National Costs and Benefits—
2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family)
Table 14. National Costs and Benefits—
2021 vs. 2009 IECC (Low-Rise
Multifamily)
Table 15. National Costs and Benefits—
2021 vs. 2018 IECC
Table 16. National Costs and Benefits—
2021 vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family) 6.5%
interest, 3.5% downpayment
Table 17. Cash Flow for Single Family—
2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
Table 18. Cash Flow for Low-Rise
Multifamily—2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
Table 19. State by State Costs and Benefits
2021 IECC vs. 2009 or 2018 IECC (Single
Family)
Table 20. Aggregate Estimated Costs and
Savings for 2021 IECC (Single Family
and Low-Rise Multifamily)
Table 21. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1–2019
Construction Costs ($/sf and %/sf)
Table 22. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1
Construction Costs ($/Prototype 32-Unit
Building)
Table 23. Current Adoption of ASHRAE
90.1 Multifamily Mid- and High-Rise
Buildings
Table 24. High-Rise Multifamily Units
Potentially Impacted by ASHRAE 90.1–
2019
Table 25. Mid-Rise Apartment Building
Prototype Characteristics
Table 26. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Added Costs
and Savings—National
Table 27. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Added Costs
and Savings—States
Table 28. Total Life Cycle Savings—States
Table 29. Incremental Costs and Energy
Savings Resulting from Adoption of
ASHRAE 90.1–2019
Table 30. Type of Financing of New Single
Family Homes
Table 31. FHA-Insured Single Family
Forward Loans, 2021
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Table 32. Compliance Dates for the New
Construction Standards in this Notice
List of Figures:
Figure 1. IECC Adoption Map (Residential)
Figure 2. Economic Parameters for
Consumer Cash Flows
Figure 3. ASHRAE 90.1 Adoption Map
Mid-Rise and High-Rise Multifamily
I. Background
A. Statutory Requirements
Section 481 of the Energy
Independence and Security Act of 2007
(‘‘EISA,’’ Pub. L. 110–140) amended
section 109 of the Cranston-Gonzalez
National Affordable Housing Act of
1990 (Cranston-Gonzalez) (42 U.S.C.
12709), which establishes procedures
for setting minimum energy standards
for the following three categories of
housing financed or assisted by HUD
and USDA:
• New construction of public and
assisted housing and single family and
multifamily residential housing (other
than manufactured homes) subject to
mortgages insured under the National
Housing Act; 1
• New construction of single family
housing (other than manufactured
homes) subject to mortgages insured,
guaranteed, or made by the Secretary of
Agriculture under title V of the Housing
Act of 1949; 2 and,
• Rehabilitation and new
construction of public and assisted
housing funded by HOPE VI
revitalization grants under section 24 of
the United States Housing Act of 1937
(42 U.S.C. 1437v).
In addition to these EISA-specified
categories, two HUD programs apply
EISA to new construction projects
through their program statutes and
regulations: the HOME Investment
Partnerships Program (HOME) and the
Housing Trust Fund. Sections
215(a)(1)(F) and (b)(4) of CranstonGonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12745(a)(1)(F) and
(b)(4)) make new construction of rental
housing and homeownership housing
assisted under the HOME program
subject to section 109 of CranstonGonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709) and,
therefore, to section 481 of EISA.
Although the energy standards at 24
CFR 92.251(a)(2)(ii) are reserved in the
July 2013 HOME final program rule, the
statutory requirements of section 109 of
Cranston-Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709)
continue to apply to all newly
constructed housing funded by the
HOME program.
1 This subsection of EISA refers to HUD programs.
See Table 2 for specific HUD programs covered by
the Act.
2 See Table 2 for specific USDA programs covered
by the Act.
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For the Housing Trust Fund, program
regulations at 24 CFR 93.301(a)(2)(ii),
Property Standards, require compliance
with the minimum standards required
under Cranston Gonzalez section 109
(42 U.S.C. 12709).
EISA references two standards: the
International Energy Conservation Code
(IECC) and ANSI/ASHRAE/IES
Standard 90.1.3 The IECC standard
applies to single family homes and
multifamily low-rise buildings (up to 3
stories), while the ASHRAE 90.1
standard applies to multifamily
residential buildings with 4 or more
stories.4 For both agencies, applicability
is limited to newly constructed housing
and does not include the purchase or
repair of existing housing.5
Sections 109(c) and (d) of CranstonGonzalez, as amended by EISA,
establish procedures for updating HUD
and USDA energy standards following
periodic revisions to the IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1 codes, typically every
three years. Specifically, section 109(d)
of Cranston-Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709)
provides that revisions to the IECC or
ASHRAE 90.1 codes will apply to the
three categories of housing financed or
assisted by HUD or USDA described
above if: (1) the agencies ‘‘make a
determination that the revised codes do
not negatively affect the availability or
affordability’’ of such housing, and (2)
the Secretary of Energy has made a
determination under section 304 of the
Energy Conservation and Production
Act (42 U.S.C. 6833) that the revised
codes would improve energy efficiency
(42 U.S.C. 12709(d)). On July 28, 2021,
the Department of Energy (DOE)
published final determinations that the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
standards would improve energy
efficiency (86 FR 40529 and 86 FR
40543).
Through this notice, HUD and USDA
issue their final determination that the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
energy codes will not negatively impact
the affordability or availability of
housing covered by EISA.
Note that manufactured housing is not
covered in this notice: the relevant
3 ANSI—American National Standards Institute;
ASHRAE—American Society of Heating,
Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning Engineers;
IES—Illuminating Electrical Society.
4 Note the IECC addresses both residential and
commercial buildings. ASHRAE 90.1 covers
commercial buildings only, including multifamily
buildings four or more stories above grade. IECC
Section C 401.2 adopts, by reference, ASHRAE 90.1;
i.e. compliance with ASHRAE 90.1 qualifies as
compliance with the IECC for commercial
buildings.
5 The statute covers rehabilitation as well as new
construction of housing assisted by HOPE VI
revitalization grants; however, as noted below, the
HOPE VI program is no longer funded.
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section of the EISA statute specifically
excludes manufactured housing; DOE
has issued a separate final rule under
EISA section 413 that establishes energy
conservation standards for
manufactured housing (42 U.S.C.
17071).6 Those standards are also based
on the 2021 edition of the IECC adapted
for the unique features of manufactured
housing, as well as feedback received
during interagency consultation with
HUD and extensive public comments
from stakeholders.
B. Energy Codes Overview
There are two primary benefits of
adopting energy-saving building codes:
a private benefit for residents—either
homeowners or renters—in the form of
lower energy costs, and the external
social value of reducing the emission of
greenhouse gases (GHGs). Additional
benefits include improved health and
resilience against extreme hot or cold
weather events. The affordability
analysis contained in this notice focuses
exclusively on the first of these benefits:
the direct costs and savings to the
consumer, both in the short and long
term, for both renters and homebuyers.
The affordability analysis recognizes the
unique nature of the energy efficiency
investment: while there is a one-time
incremental cost, the benefits in terms
of energy and utility cost savings to the
consumer persist over time, for as long
as the property exists. This is especially
important for low- and moderate-
income renters and homeowners, who
share a disproportionate energy cost
burden, spending a significantly higher
share of their incomes on energy than
other households. The accompanying
Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) also
addresses a second benefit, the external
cost savings in the ‘‘social cost of
carbon,’’ but these are larger societal
benefits that may result from lowering
energy use in the HUD- and USDAfinanced housing and are not directly
reflected in the cost of buying, owning,
or renting a home, and therefore are not
included in the affordability analysis.
As discussed in more detail below,
states or localities typically adopt the
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards on a
voluntary basis one or more years after
their publication. As of December 2023,
only a small number of states (five) have
adopted the 2021 IECC or its equivalent
(California, Washington, Connecticut,
New Jersey, and Vermont), another five
states have adopted the 2021 IECC with
weakening amendments (Florida,
Louisiana, Montana, Maryland, and
Oregon), while another twenty or more
states are actively considering and are
likely to adopt some version of this code
in the near future.
Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1–2019 for
multifamily buildings has been more
advanced, with ten states and the
District of Columbia (DC) having
adopted this standard as of December
2023. Another two states (Florida and
Louisiana) have adopted the 2019
standards with weakening amendments.
DOE has determined that the 2021
IECC represents an approximately 40
percent improvement in energy
efficiency for residential and
commercial buildings compared to the
2006 edition and 34.3 percent compared
to the 2009 edition.7 The 2021 IECC also
for the first time includes a Zero Energy
Appendix. The Appendix is an optional
add-on to the 2021 IECC that—if
adopted by a state or local jurisdiction—
will result in residential buildings
having net zero energy consumption
over the course of a year.
DOE has also determined that the
2019 edition of ASHRAE 90.1 represents
a 2.65 percent efficiency improvement
over the 2016 edition, and
approximately 33 percent over the 2007
edition. As explained in DOE’s State
Portal, DOE assesses state energy code
adoption based on a quantitative
analysis of energy savings impacts
within the state.8 This approach
analyzes the energy use of a state base
code along with accompanying state
amendments through DOE’s energy
modeling framework to determine an
overall ‘‘state energy index.’’ The state
index is then compared to the index of
the last six national model energy codes
to characterize each state at a specific
code equivalency. The current state
adoption of the IECC- and ASHRAE
90.1-equivalent standards is as follows:
Table 1. Distribution of State Adoption of IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 Equivalent Standards
IECC Equivalent Code*
Sinele Family and Low-Rise Multifamily
Number of
Code Equivalent Year
States
IECC2024
0
IECC2021
5
IECC2018
ll+DC
IECC2015
2
IECC2012
0
IECC2009
23
Less stringent than IECC 2009, No
Statewide Code or Home Rule
9
ASHRAE 90.1 Equivalent Code*
Mid-Rise and Hfo:h-Rise Multifamily
Number of
Code Equivalent Year
States
ASHRAE 90.1- 2022
0
ASHRAE 90.1-2019
lO+DC
ASHRAE 90.1-2016
3
ASHRAE 90.1-2013
17
ASHRAE 90.1-2010
3
ASHRAE 90.1 - 2007
7
Less stringent than ASHRAE 90.12007, No Statewide Code or Home
10
Rule
6 87
FR 32728 (May 31, 2022); 10 CFR part 460.
R.G., Z.T. Taylor, V.V. Mendon, and S.
Goel. 2012. National Energy and Cost Savings for
7 Lucas
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New Single- and Multifamily Homes: A Comparison
of the 2006, 2009, and 2012 Editions of the IECC.
Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory.
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8 DOE State Portal, https://www.energycodes.gov/
state-portal.
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*As of December 2023.
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C. Covered HUD and USDA Programs
Table 2 lists the specific HUD and
USDA programs covered by EISA, with
certain exclusions noted, as discussed
below. Apart from the HOPE VI
program, where rehabilitation is
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referenced, only new construction of
housing financed or assisted under
these programs is covered by EISA.
HUD Programs
Legal Authority
Regulations or Notices
Public Housing Capital Fund
Section 9(d) and Section 30 of the U.S. Housing
Act of 1937 (42 U.S.C. 1437g(d) and 1437z-2)
24 CFR part 905
Capital Fund Financing
Program
Section 9(d) and Section 30 of the U.S. Housing
Act of 1937 (42 U.S.C. 1437g(d) and 1437z-2).
24 CFR part 905 subpart E
*HOPE VI Revitalization of
Severely Distressed Public
Housing
Section 24 of the U.S. Housing Act of 1937 (42
U.S.C. 1437v)
FR-5415-N-07
Choice Neighborhoods
hnplementation Grants
Section 24 of the U.S. Housing Act of 1937 (42
U.S.C. 1437v)
hnplementation Grants notice
of Funding Opportunity
(NOFO)
Project-Based Voucher
Program
Section 8 of the U.S. Housing Act of 1937 (42
U.S.C. 1437f)
24 CFR part 983
Section 202 Supportive
Housing for the Elderly
Section 202 of the Housing Act of 1959 (12
U.S.C. 1701g), as amended.
24 CFR part 891
Section 811 Supportive
Housing for Persons with
Disabilities
Section 811 of the Cranston-Gonzalez National
Affordable Housing Act (42 U.S.C. 8013) as
amended.
24 CFR part 891
Rental Assistance
Demonstration (RAD)
Consolidated and Further Continuing
Appropriations Act of 2012 (Public Law 112-55),
as amended by Consolidated Appropriations Act,
2014 (Public Law 113-76) and subseauentHUD
RAD notice Revision 4
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Table 2. Covered HUD and USDA Programs (New Construction)
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HUD Programs
Legal Authority
Regulations or Notices
Appropriations Acts.
FHA Single Family Mortgage
Insurance Programs
National Housing Act, Sections 203(b) (12 U.S.C.
1709(b)), Section251 (12 U.S.C. 1715z-16),
Section247 (12 U.S.C. 1715z-12), Section203(h)
(12 U.S.C. 1709(h)), Housing and Economic
Recovery Act of 2008 (Public Law 110-289),
Section 248 of the National Housing Act (12
U.S.C. 1715z-13)
24 CFR part 203, subpart A;
203.18(i); 203.43i; 203.49;
203.43h.
FHA Multifamily Mortgage
Insurance Programs
Sections 213,220,221,231, and 232 of the
National Housing Act (12 U.S.C.1715e, 12
U.S.C.1715v, 12 U.S.C.1715k, 12 U.S.C.17151,
12 U.S.C.1715w).
24 CFR parts 200, subpart A,
213; 220; 221, subparts C and
D; 231; and 232
HOME Investment
Partnerships (HOME) [By
regulation]
Cranston-Gonzalez sections 215(b)(4) and
215(a)(l)(F) (42 U.S.C. 12745(b)(4) and 42
U.S.C. 12745(a)(l)(F)) require HOME units to
meet minimum energy efficiency standards
promulgated by the Secretary in accordance with
Cranston-Gonzalez section 109 (42 U.S.C.
12745).
Final HOME Rule at
www.onecpd.info/home/homefinal-rule/ reserves the energy
standard for a separate
rulemaking at 24 CFR 92.251.
Housing Trust Fund [By
regulation]
Title I of the Housing and Economic Recovery
Act of 2008, Section 1131 (Public Law 110-289,
12 U.S.C. 4568.)
24 CFR 93.30l(a)(2)(ii),
Property Standards, requires
compliance with Cranston
Gonzalez section 109 (42
U.S.C. 12709).
USDA Programs
Legal Authority
Regulations
Section 502 Guaranteed
Housing Loans
Section 502 of Housing Act of 1949 (42 U.S.C.
1472)
7 CFR part 3555
Section 502 Rural Housing
Direct Loans
Section 502 of Housing Act of 1949 (42 U.S.C.
1472)
7 CFR part 3550
Section 523 Mutual Self Help
Technical Assistance Grants,
homeowner participants
Section 523 of Housing Act of 1949 (42 U.S.C.
1472)
7 CFR part 1944 subpart I
Several exclusions are worth noting,
i.e., programs which, while classified as
public or assisted housing, or may be
specified in the statute, are no longer
funded or do not fund new
construction:
• HOPE VI. While EISA references
the ‘‘rehabilitation and new
construction of public and assisted
housing funded by HOPE VI
revitalization grants,’’ funding for HOPE
VI revitalization grants was
discontinued in fiscal year (FY) 2011;
the program is therefore not covered by
this notice.
• Project Based Rental Assistance
(PBRA). HUD is no longer authorized to
provide funding for new construction of
units assisted under the Section 8 PBRA
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program, except under the Rental
Assistance Demonstration (RAD). Apart
from RAD, current authorization and
funding that Congress provides for the
PBRA program is for the limited
purpose of renewing expiring Section 8
rental-assistance contracts. Accordingly,
this notice does not apply to the current
Section 8 PBRA program except through
RAD, as referenced in Table 2. If in the
future Congress were to appropriate
funds for new PBRA assisted units, such
developments would be covered by this
determination.
In addition, other HUD programs that
provide financing for new construction
are not covered because they do not
constitute ‘‘assisted housing’’ as
specified in EISA and/or are not
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authorized under statutes specifically
referenced in EISA, as follows:
(1) Indian Housing. With the
exception of Section 248 FHA-insured
mortgages, Indian housing programs are
excluded because they do not constitute
assisted housing and are not authorized
under the National Housing Act (12
U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) as specified in EISA.
For example, the Section 184
guaranteed loan program is authorized
under Section 184 of the Housing and
Community Development Act of 1992
(42 U.S.C. 1715z–13a).
(2) Community Development Block
Grants. Housing financed with
Community Development Block Grant
(CDBG) funds is excluded since CDBG,
which is authorized by the Housing and
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Community Development Act of 1974
(42 U.S.C. 5301 et seq.), is neither an
assisted housing program nor a National
Housing Act mortgage insurance
program.
(3) USDA Multifamily Housing and
assisted housing financed by USDA
Community Facilities loans and grants.
These programs are excluded because
they are not authorized under the
National Housing Act (12 U.S.C. 1701 et
seq.) as specified by EISA.
D. Current Above-Code Standards or
Incentives
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Some HUD and USDA competitive
grant programs covered by EISA (as well
as other programs) already require
grantees to comply with energy
efficiency standards or green building
requirements with energy performance
requirements that exceed state or locally
adopted IECC and ASHRAE 90.1
standards, while other programs provide
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incentives to do so. A list of current
programs that require or incentivize a
green building standard is shown in
Table 3. This standard is typically
Energy Star Certified New Homes for
single family properties, Energy Star for
Multifamily New Construction, or a
green building standard recognized by
HUD that includes a minimum energy
efficiency requirement. Nothing in EISA
or this notice precludes HUD or USDA
competitive programs from requiring
these higher standards or raising them
further, nor from providing incentives
for above-code energy requirements.
Table 3 includes a listing of current
HUD and USDA programs with either
requirements or incentives for funding
recipients to build to standards above
the current 2009 IECC and/or ASHRAE
90.1–2007 standards (see ‘‘Exceeds
Current Energy Standard’’ column).
Contingent on the energy standard
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selected, and the minimum energy
efficiency requirements established for
each standard, projects built to the
energy or green building standards
listed in Table 3 may also meet or
exceed the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019 standards discussed in this
notice (see ‘‘Meets or Exceeds Proposed
Standards’’ column). These green
building or energy performance
standards typically have multiple
certification levels with varying energy
baseline requirements (gold, green,
platinum etc.); these baseline
requirements are updated over time at
some point after publication of newer
editions of the energy codes. HUD and
USDA intend to seek certifications from
the standard-setting bodies as to which
of these programs, or which certification
levels, meet the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE
90.1–2019 standards referenced in this
notice.
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Table 3. Current Energy Standards and Incentives for HUD and USDA Programs
(New Construction) 9
Program
Type of Assistance
Current Energy Efficiency
Requirements or Incentives
Exceeds
Current
Energy
Standards
Meets or
Exceeds
Proposed
Standards
Programs Covered by EISA
Choice
Neighborhoods
Implementation
Competitive Grant
Required: Requirements of ENERGY
STAR Single Family New Homes or
Multifamily New Construction. Plus
certification by recognized green
rating such as EPA Indoor airPLUS,
Enterprise Green Communities,
National Green Building Standard,
LEED-H, LEED-NC, or regional
standards such as Earthcraft or Built
Green. Use ENERGY STAR
products.
Exceeds 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
May meet or
exceed 2021
IECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard10
Choice
Neighborhoods Planning
Competitive Grant
Required: Eligible for Stage 1
Conditional Approval LEED for
Neighborhood Development (LEEDND) or equivalent. Plus certification
by recognized green rating program.
Exceeds 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
May meet or
exceed 2021
IECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard
Section202
Supportive
Housing for the
Elderly
Competitive Grant
Required: 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1-2019.
Exceeds 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
Meets 2021
IECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard
Section 811 for
Persons with
Disabilities
Competitive Grant
Required: 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1-2019. ENERGY STAR
Residential New Construction
certification.
Rental Assistance
Demonstration
(RAD)
Conversion of
Existing Units
2009 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2007
or any successor code adopted by
HUD; applicants encouraged to build
to ENERGY STAR Residential New
Construction certification. Minimum
WaterSense and ENERGY STAR
appliances required and the most
cost-effective measures identified in
the Physical Condition Assessment.
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Incentive: Additional competitive
rating points for developments that
meet a green building or energy
performance standard that includes a
Zero Energy Ready or Net Zero
Energy requirement.
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Exceeds 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
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HUD
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Current Energy Efficiency
Requirements or Incentives
Program
Type of Assistance
FHA Multifamily
Mortgage
Insurance
Mortgage
Insurance
Incentive: Discounted Mortgage
Insurance Premium (Green MIP) for
a recognized Green Building
Standard. ENERGY STAR Score of
at least 75 in EPA Portfolio Manager.
FHA Single
Family Mortgage
Insurance
Mortgage
Insurance
2009IECC
HOME
Investment
Partnerships
Program
Formula Grant
2009 lECC/ASHRAE 90.1-2007
Housing Trust
Fund
Formula Grant
2009 IECC/ASHRAE 90.1-2007
Public Housing
Capital Fund
Formula Gnmt
2009 IECC/ASHRAE 90.1-2010 or
successor standards.
Exceeds
Current
Energy
Standards
Meets or
Exceeds
Proposed
Standards
Incentives
exceed 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
May meet or
exceed 2021
IECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard
ENERGY STAR appliances also
required unless not cost effective.
Project-Based
Vouchers
Rental Assistance
2009 TECC/ASHRAE 90.1-2007
Section502
Guaranteed
Housing Loans
Loan Guarantee
Section 502 Rural
Housing Direct
Loans
Direct Loan
2009 IECC at minimum. Stretch ratio
of 2 percent on mortgage
qualifications for complying with
above-code standards.
2009 IECC at minimum. Stretch ratio
of 2 percent on mortgage
qualifications for complying with
above-code standards.
Section523
Mutual Self Help
Grant Program
USDA
2009 IECC at minimum. State
adopted versions of more recent
codesvacy.
HUD
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CDBG-DR,
CDBG-Mitigation
(MTT)
USDA
Multifamily: Sec
515New
Construction, Sec
514/516
Farmworker
Housing, Sec 538
Guaranteed
Loans; USDA
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Grants to states or
localities
For new construction of substantially
damaged buildings, meet a minimum
energy standard and green building
standard recogni7.ed by HUD.
Exceeds 2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
requirements
May meet or
exceed 2021
lECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard
Direct Loans,
Guarnnteed Loans
and Grants
Meet minimum state or local energy
codes;
Incentives
exceed2009
IECC/ASHRAE
90.1-2007
May meet or
exceed2021
IECC/
ASHRAE
90.1-2019
standard
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Incentive for Sections 514/515/516:
ENERGY STAR Residential New
Construction certificatio~ Enterprise
Green Commuuities, NGBS, DOE
Zero Energy Ready, LEED, Passive
House, Living Building Challenge.
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Program
Exceeds
Current
Energy
Standards
Current Energy Efficiency
Requirements or Incentives
Type of Assistance
Meets or
Exceeds
Proposed
Standards
Community
Facilities
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HUD and USDA recognize the current
affordable housing shortage across the
United States, caused by high mortgage
interest rates, increased construction
costs driven in part by COVID-related
supply chain shortages, and an
inadequate supply of new housing
sufficient to meet demand due to a
range of regulatory barriers such as local
land use laws and zoning regulations
that may limit the production of
affordable housing.11 (Land use
regulations that mandate home sizes
and volumetric massing are particularly
relevant to energy-efficiency because
some local zoning policies restrict
homes of smaller sizes, which
inherently have the potential to be more
affordable and better performing
homes.) The publication of this notice
occurs at a time when housing prices for
both new and existing homes have risen
significantly over the past three years,
increases in mortgage interest rates have
reached their highest levels in more
than two decades, and it has become
increasingly difficult for low-moderate
income households to afford a home
purchase. The National Association of
Realtors’ annual survey of homebuyers
and home sellers reports that median
homebuyer income increased to
$107,000 in 2023, an increase of 22
percent from $88,000 in 2022.12 Median
home sales prices increased to $417,700
9 Table 3 includes HUD and USDA programs
supporting new construction with energy code
requirements. Does not include other HUD or USDA
programs that may have appliance or product
standards or requirements only, e.g., Energy Star
appliances or WaterSense products.
10 Pursuant to discussion of alternative
compliance paths, Section VI, Implementation,
some green building standards will meet or exceed
the 2021 IECC/ASHRAE 90.1–2019, others may not,
HUD and USDA will publish a list of those green
building certifications that meet or exceed these
codes.
11 White House Housing Supply Action Plan,
President Biden Announces New Actions to Ease
the Burden of Housing Costs, May 16, 2022.
www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statementsreleases/2022/05/16/president-biden-announcesnew-actions-to-ease-the-burden-of-housing-costs/.
12 National Assn of Realtors, 2023 Profile of Home
Buyers and Sellers, November 2023.
www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-finds-typical-homebuyers-annual-household-income-climbed-torecord-high-of-107000.
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in the fourth quarter of 2023, a decrease
of 14 percent over the prior year but a
significant increase since the fourth
quarter of 2020, when the median home
sales price was $358,700.13 These trends
are mirrored in the FHA-insured market.
In 2023, the median price for all FHAinsured purchases, including existing
homes, was $290,000, and new
construction was approximately
$330,000—a nearly $100,000 cost
increase in the three-year period since
2020,14 although still well below the
median home sales price for all new
homes of $414,600.15
The shortage of affordable housing is
driven by larger trends in the housing
and mortgage markets. In light of these
larger trends, it is important to note that
a key finding of this notice is that given
the relatively modest incremental costs
of building to the new standards, the
adoption of the proposed codes in this
final determination will have a limited
impact on overall affordability for lowor moderate-income buyers. Also,
energy efficiency is one of the few
features of a home that contributes to
affordability, in that significant cost
savings are projected to be realized from
this investment. These savings persist
over time. Investments in energy
efficiency will also ensure that the next
generation of Federally-financed new
housing is built to a high-performance
standard that realizes lower energy bills,
improved comfort, and healthier living
conditions for residents. These benefits
are long-lasting and will be passed on to
future owners.
F. Changes From the Preliminary
Determination to the Final
Determination
In response to the public comments
received, HUD and USDA are adopting
several changes in this final
determination to incorporate public
feedback on the preliminary
13 St.
Louis Fed, FRED Economic Data, St. Louis
Fed, Median Sales Prices of Houses Sold for the
United States, Q4 2023. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/
series/MSPUS
14 Internal FHA data on median home price for all
FHA-insured purchases.
15 St. Louis Fed, FRED Economic Data, Median
Sales Price for New Houses Sold in the United
States, October 2023, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/
series/MSPNHSUS.
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determination, and address questions
and concerns expressed by commenters.
1. Adjusted Economic Factors
In response to several comments
about the economic factors used in the
affordability analysis, HUD and USDA
have updated several economic and
cash flow factors to account for changes
in the economy as well as the building
industry since the original analysis was
conducted by Pacific Northwest
National Laboratory (PNNL) for DOE
using 2020—2021 cost data and
economic factors. These revisions
address the distortions in the current
housing market caused by COVID–19
and global supply chain issues, which
significantly increased the cost of
construction materials and energy, as
well as significant increases in mortgage
interest rates during this period.
Construction cost increase. A supply
chain cost increase factor has been
applied to the incremental cost of
adopting the new code to account for
the increase in residential construction
costs for 2020–23. The 37 percent
increase utilizes Bureau of Labor
Statistics’ Producer Price Index for
inputs to residential construction less
energy, as reported by the National
Association of Home Builders
(NAHB).16
Energy price increase (2020–22). An
energy price increase factor was
developed by averaging prices for
electricity, natural gas, and heating oil
for 2020 through 2022. The three-year
averages were used to find the rate of
increase of energy prices for each source
over this period. These rates were
averaged based on the residential energy
mix for 2022. Data for calculating the
energy price increase factor was sourced
from the U.S. Energy Information
Administration.17 18 19
16 David Logen, Building Materials Prices Fall for
Second Month Straight, June 15, 2023. https://
eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/wbuilding-materialsprices-fall-wfor-second-month-straight/.
17 U.S. Energy Information Administration,
Natural Gas Prices. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/
ng_pri_sum_a_EPG0_PRS_DMcf_a.htm.
18 U.S. Energy Information Administration,
Petroleum & Other Liquids. https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_
EPD2F_PRS_NUS_DPG&f=M.
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E. Current Housing Market Affordability
Trends
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
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Energy price escalator. A new fuel
price escalator of 1.9 percent is based on
the estimated 30-year trends in the
Energy Information Administration’s
(EIA) 2023 Annual Energy Outlook. This
escalator applies to estimates of future
energy price increases, over the baseline
established under the Energy Price
Increase described above. This escalator
was developed from the growth rate for
nominal fuel prices (natural gas, heating
oil, and electricity) based on the share
of energy mix for 2022, which was the
most recently available annual data at
the time.
Mortgage interest rate. An updated
nominal mortgage interest rate of 5.3
percent has been adopted, reflecting
approximate two-year Freddie Mac
average rates (February 2022–2024).20
While Freddie Mac interest rates
reached a twenty-year high of 7.79
percent for a 30-year fixed rate
mortgage, as of November 2023, a
moderating trend has begun that is
projected to continue, and HUD has
accordingly adopted an interest rate that
is aligned with the rate currently
established by DOE of 5 percent, that
reflects the average of the recent 2022–
24 two year period rather than rely on
a specific rate from a specific point in
time that may or may not continue at
the same level in the future. In addition,
a 6.5 percent example has also been
provided (Table 16) to reflect mortgage
rates of between 6 and 7 percent forecast
for the next year, as well as a 3.5 percent
downpayment rate that reflects the
minimum FHA downpayment
requirement.21
Discount rate. A 5.3 percent discount
rate (equivalent to a 3 percent discount
rate with a 2.24 percent inflation rate)
has been adopted to match the mortgage
interest rate. The discount rate reflects
the time value of money. Following
established DOE methodology, the
discount rate has been set equal to the
mortgage interest rate in nominal terms.
The mortgage payment is an investment
available to consumers who purchase
homes using financing, which makes
the mortgage interest rate a reasonable
estimate for a consumer’s alternative
investment rate.
19 U.S. Energy Information Administration,
Electricity Data Browser. Average retail price of
Electricity, Annual
20 The nominal interest rate used here aligns with
a 3 percent real interest rate with a 2.24 percent
inflation factor.
21 Economic, Housing and Mortgage Market
Outlook—December 2023—Freddie Mac, https://
ww.freddiemac.com/research/wforecast/20231220us-economy-wexpanded-in-2023.
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2. Adjusted Cash Flow and Financing
Factors
In addition to an updated mortgage
interest rate, several adjustments have
been made to reflect typical financing
factors utilized by FHA and USDA
borrowers, as well as likely differences
between the house type assumed by
PNNL in their original calculations.
Down payment. The down payment
contribution for home purchases has
been revised to better reflect the typical
HUD and USDA borrower. The down
payment requirement for FHA
borrowers is a minimum of 3.5 percent,
distinct from a typical 20 percent down
payment requirement for conventional
financing without private mortgage
insurance (PMI), or the 12 percent down
payment rate used by DOE–PNNL and
utilized by HUD and USDA in the
preliminary determination. The
downpayment rate has been updated to
5 percent in the Final Determination.
Mortgage Insurance. The preliminary
determination was silent on mortgage
insurance requirements, which have
now been included in the Final
Determination’s affordability analysis:
FHA’s 1.75 percent upfront mortgage
insurance premium (MIP) and 0.55
percent annual MIP that took effect in
March, 2023.
Adjustment for Home Size. Cost and
savings factors have been applied to the
affordability analysis to better reflect the
typical home FHA or USDA-sized home.
These factors revise the analysis to
better reflect the smaller home size of a
typical FHA or USDA property (2,000
square feet (sf)) compared to a
conventionally financed house modeled
by PNNL (2,376 sf). While this is a 14
percent ‘‘smaller house’’, lower cost and
savings factors have been used to
approximate the reduced cost and
associated savings that are anticipated
from the smaller-house size (5 percent
and 3 percent respectively).
Note that the revised analysis largely
indicates that the proposed standards,
while better reflecting the status of the
post-COVID housing market conditions,
do not change the affordability
determination. The relevant tables
(Tables 13–20) have been updated with
the revised affordability analysis.
3. Updated State Code Adoption:
Since publishing the preliminary
determination, multiple states have
adopted new building code
requirements, including the codes
referenced in this notice, i.e. 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019. HUD and
USDA have accordingly updated the
relevant tables in the Final
Determination (Tables 11 and 23) to
reflect the new landscape of energy code
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33121
adoption at the state level, following the
latest DOE determinations as of
December 2023.
4. Alternative Compliance Pathways:
HUD and USDA encourage the use of
codes and standards that exceed the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019.
HUD and USDA are adding that future
versions of the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1
codes, including the 2024 IECC, will be
deemed to meet the code requirements
of this notice subject to a positive
efficiency determination by DOE.
Additional information has been added
to reflect the compliance paths for
certain energy efficiency and green
building standards, including EPA’s
Energy Star for New Construction and
DOE’s Zero Energy Ready Homes
(ZERH) standards.
5. Implementation and Compliance
Timelines. HUD and USDA have
adjusted compliance timetables to better
enable the industry to adapt to these
code requirements, including an
extended compliance period for
persistent poverty rural areas where
capacity to adopt above-code standards
may be challenging.
6. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Tax
Credits and Rebates. This notice
addresses the availability of tax credits
that are now available for builders to
support the cost of building to Energy
Star for New Construction and ZERH
homes. Both Energy Star (Versions 3.2
single family and 1.2 multifamily) and
ZERH specify the 2021 IECC as the
minimum standard to qualify for these
certifications. In addition, the notice
references Home Energy and Appliance
Rebates that when implemented by the
states will provide an additional source
of financing for increasing the energy
efficiency of new homes. Note, however,
that these tax credits and rebates are not
factored into the cost benefit analysis in
this determination.
II. Public Comments
HUD and USDA published a notice on
May 18, 2023, announcing the
preliminary determination that the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 do not
negatively affect the availability or
affordability of houses covered by EISA
and seeking public comment (88 FR
31773). The public comment period was
extended to, and closed on, August 7,
2023. HUD received and reviewed 120
public comments from a wide range of
stakeholders, including one state
(Montana); the two code bodies
represented in this notice (the
International Code Council and
ASHRAE); multiple national
associations representing mortgage
lenders, home builders, environmental
and energy efficiency advocates;
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consumers; state energy offices;
insulation and other building product
trade associations; as well as
individuals and other interested parties.
The majority of the comments expressed
support for HUD and USDA’s
preliminary determination. Of these
supportive comments, most expressed
support for HUD and USDA’s
methodology and conclusions and urged
HUD and USDA to rapidly adopt the
more recent IECC or ASHRAE 90.1
codes that have been promulgated since
the publication of the 2009 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2007. In addition, several
commenters suggested that HUD and
USDA allow alternative compliance
pathways for these standards through
equivalent or higher state standards or
one or more green building standards.
Other commenters highlighted the
importance of energy standards in
reducing greenhouse gas emissions and
increasing the climate resilience of HUD
and USDA-supported housing. This will
help the country meet national climate
goals. Many commenters noted that
more efficient homes will reduce stress
on the power grid during peak times.
Several commenters suggested that
the preliminary determination will help
to improve the health and comfort of
those living in HUD and USDA-assisted
housing in addition to saving on
healthcare costs. Many commenters
stated that the byproducts of burned
methane gas contribute to premature
mortality and increase the risk of health
complications and respiratory diseases,
and that updated energy codes will
address health inequities.
In addition to the many supportive
comments, several commenters
expressed concerns or opposition to one
or more features of the preliminary
determination. The concerns raised
were in four primary areas: the need to
update the economic factors used in the
preliminary determination to reflect
current market conditions, including
interest rates, inflation, and energy
prices; the first cost estimates used by
HUD and PNNL and larger concerns
regarding the availability test; an
‘‘appraisal gap’’ in valuing the
additional cost likely to be incurred
when adopting these standards; and the
proposed timetable for implementing
the standards after a final determination
is published.
In the preliminary determination,
HUD and USDA sought public comment
on all aspects of the determination but
were especially interested in responses
to eight questions posed in the
preliminary determination. This section
addresses responses to those questions
first, then addresses public comments
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on additional aspects of the
determination.
A. Impact of Higher First Costs
Associated With Adopting the 2021
IECC on Availability of Covered Housing
to Otherwise-Qualified Buyers or
Renters
HUD and USDA requested comments
on whether the higher first costs
associated with adopting the 2021 IECC
over the current 2009 IECC standard for
USDA- or HUD-assisted housing, or
relative to the most recent 2018 IECC,
may lower homebuyer options, despite
the significant life-cycle cost savings
over the life of the mortgage described
in this notice. In other words, whether
adoption of the 2021 IECC may limit the
availability of such housing to
otherwise-qualified buyers or renters.
1. General Support for Preliminary
Determination
The large majority of comments
supported the findings of the
preliminary determination. These
comments generally agreed with HUD
and USDA’s methodology in arriving at
the determination that the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 would, on
balance, not negatively impact the
affordability and availability of the
housing covered by the determination.
For the purpose of this notice,
‘‘affordability’’ is assumed to be a
measure of consumer demand (whether
a home built to the updated energy code
is affordable to potential homebuyers or
renters), while ‘‘availability’’ of housing
is a measure of builder supply whether
builders will make such housing
available to consumers at the higher
code level, i.e., whether the higher cost
per unit will impact whether that unit
is likely to be built or not.
Several commenters agreed with the
preliminary determination’s finding
indicating that the higher first costs
associated with adopting the 2021 IECC
over the current 2009 IECC would not
lower homebuyer options or generally
limit the availability of housing to
otherwise-qualified buyers or renters.
Many commenters agreed with the
preliminary determination’s analysis
that the housing stock in question will
remain available. One commenter noted
that ‘‘[n]othing in the model codes
would prevent builders from building
homes that receive federal support. The
codes are based on widely available,
commercial technologies and provide
multiple pathways for complying.’’ One
commenter cited that these energy codes
have already been adopted by many
states and therefore will not affect
availability. Several commenters
emphasized that building housing to the
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2021 IECC standard is essential and can
be done while maintaining or improving
affordability for consumers. Two
commenters suggested that reduced
energy bills would offset any additional
first costs incurred from the new code
requirements.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA appreciate the support expressed
by these commenters for the analysis
included in the preliminary
determination. These comments
indicate confidence in HUD’s and
USDA’s use of DOE and PNNL costbenefit analysis of the subject codes.
HUD and USDA conducted thorough
affordability and availability analyses to
assess the impact of adopting the 2021
IECC, ultimately finding that these
codes will not negatively impact the
affordability or availability of the
covered housing.
2. Cumulative Costs Over 2009 IECC
One commenter noted that the
significance of the costs is due to the
baseline code being the 2009 IECC
instead of the multiple, intermediary
energy code updates. One commenter
stated that HUD and USDA may
overestimate the number of homes that
will be impacted by the proposed
standards as additional states and cities
are likely to adopt either of the codes
addressed in this notice in the near
future (at which point they will come
into compliance with the code
requirements).
HUD–USDA Response: The
commenter’s observation that these
costs are higher because they are based
on the 2009 edition of the IECC rather
than a more recent edition is accurate in
that these costs represent the
cumulative cost of amendments to
several editions of the code since the
2009 edition; the 2012, 2015, and 2018
editions, as well as the current 2021
edition.
Adoption by states of the 2021 IECC
is an iterative process: while five states
have already adopted a code that meets
or exceeds the 2021 IECC, others have
adopted an energy code more recent
than the 2009 IECC, and a significant
number of states are actively
considering adoption of the 2021
standard or have already done so with
amendments.
Where states have adopted more
recent editions (e.g., the 2018 edition),
the incremental cost to meet the
requirements of the 2021 standard is
significantly lower, as shown in Table
19 in the final determination. Note,
however, that the cumulative costs
represented by the 2009–2021 figures
also yield significant cumulative
savings: 34 percent in improved energy
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efficiency over this period, compared to
just 8.3 percent over the most recent
2018 edition.
3. Proposals for Financing and Tax
Credits
While generally supportive of the
preliminary determination’s findings,
several commenters recommended
measures that HUD and USDA could
take to mitigate first cost impacts.
Commenters suggested HUD and USDA
provide programs and advance policy
that allow for reduced downpayments,
changes in amortization schedules,
changes in underwriting standards,
downpayment assistance, tax credits,
and other forms of financing assistance.
One commenter stated that tax credits
and incentives further enable
compliance and serve to reduce upfront
costs to builders. Commenters also
recommended that HUD and USDA
identify programs and resources, at the
state or federal levels, that will address
first cost barriers and make information
on accessing these resources available
for low-income consumers. One
commenter recommended HUD and
USDA identify alternative solutions to
advance energy efficiency measures that
avoid the first cost impacts.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA appreciate these financing
proposals, both with possible HUD–
USDA financing incentives, as well as
action that HUD–USDA could take to
maximize the use of new IRA or BIL tax
credits, rebates, or other financing that
will become available.
Proposals from commenters for
‘‘reduced downpayments or other forms
of flexible financing’’ including for
example, ‘‘changes in amortization
schedules,’’ while potentially longerterm options for HUD and USDA
consideration, are beyond the scope of
this notice. However, regarding
comments recommending ‘‘tax credits
and other funding mechanisms that
could reduce the impact of added first
costs,’’ there are now significant new
resources available through the Inflation
Reduction Act (IRA) which provide
unprecedented financial support for
building energy efficient housing. HUD
has already taken, and will continue to
take, steps to train and educate builders
and developers on how these may be
used in conjunction with HUD
financing.
The IRA makes available significant
tax credits for builders that can
potentially offset some of the
incremental costs associated with
building to the 2021 IECC. Though not
considered in the preliminary
determination’s affordability analysis,
energy efficient new homes the section
45L tax credit (45L) encourage builders
to consider building and certifying to
the Energy Star New Homes (up to
$2,500 credit) or DOE’s Zero Energy
Ready Home (up to $5,000 credit)
standards. Energy Star Version 3.2 is
estimated to yield additional savings of
at least 10 percent over the 2021 IECC,
while the ZERH standard is designed to
exceed the 2021 IECC by at least 15–20
percent depending on whether
multifamily or single family. Note that
the 2021 IECC is a minimum baseline
requirement for both Energy Star
Version 3.2, and DOE’s ZERH Version 2
33123
standard, currently in effect. Energy Star
Version 3.1 currently qualifies (through
December 31, 2024) for the IRA tax
credit in those states that have not yet
adopted the 2021 IECC.22
HUD and USDA recognize that
qualifying for these tax credits will
require builders to build to a higher
overall energy efficiency standard than
the 2021 IECC, and that while this will
entail additional costs, these costs will
be offset—in some cases entirely—when
taking advantage of available tax credits.
While DOE does not have estimates of
the added cost of building to the ZERH
standard, EPA provides cost estimates of
the incremental costs that would
typically be required over the 2021 IECC
to build to the new Energy Star Version
3.2 standard. Table 4 provides estimates
of these additional costs; the additional
cost for building to Energy Star for New
Homes ranges from $1,010 in Climate
Zone 3 (Memphis) to $1,668 in Climate
Zones 6, 7, and 8 (Fairbanks) for allelectric homes; and $1,176 to $2,815 for
mixed fuel homes (natural gas +
electric). Note that for Energy Star
Version 3.2, estimated costs of $1,211—
$1,463 in Climate Zones 1–3—where a
significant share of housing likely to be
impacted by this notice are located—are
significantly lower than the $2,500 tax
credit, thereby providing builders a
significant incentive to build to this
standard. These estimates demonstrate
that building to Energy Star Version 3.2
in these Climate Zones will in fact lower
builder outlays by between $1,000$1,300 while achieving a higher energy
efficiency standard than the 2021
IECC.23
Table 4. Incremental Cost of Energy Star Version 3.2 (Above 2021 IECC) in Select Cities
City
All-Electric
Mixed Fuel
1
Miami
$1,211
$1,377
2
Houston
$1,463
$1,629
3
Memphis
$1,010
$1,176
4
Baltimore
$1,635
$1,935
5
Chicago
$1,920
$2,563
6
Burlington
$1,668
$2,815
7
Duluth
$1,668
$2,815
8
Faitbanks
$1,668
$2,815
22 Energy Star Version 3.1 is modeled to perform
at 10 percent above the 2018 IECC but it does not
include a thermal backstop provision required
under the 2021 IECC standard.
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23 Cost estimates for Energy Star from U.S. EPA,
National Version 3.2 Costs and Savings, https://
www.energystar.gov/sites/default/files/asset/
document/ENERGY%20STAR%20Version
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Both the Energy Star for New Homes
and ZERH tax credits are also available
for multifamily new construction. A
$500 per unit tax credit is available for
homes certified to eligible ENERGY
STAR Multifamily New Construction
(MFNC) program requirements, with a
larger tax credit ($2,500 per unit)
available when prevailing wage
requirements are met.24 For ZERH
homes, the tax credit is $1,000 per
dwelling unit, unless the project meets
prevailing wage requirements, in which
case the 45L tax credit is $5,000 per
dwelling unit.25
In addition to these tax credits for
new construction, the IRA expanded the
Section 179(d) commercial building tax
credits for multifamily buildings. The
new law increased the maximum
deduction from $1.88 to $5 per square
foot and cannot exceed the cost of the
improvement. However, the taxpayer
must meet a prevailing wage and
apprenticeship requirement.26
In addition to the tax credits and
deductions available through the IRA,
there is another potential source of IRA
funds that states may make available for
new construction: Home Energy and
Appliance Rebates that provide $4.5
billion in rebates for certain energy
efficiency and electrification measures
such as heat pumps, upgraded electrical
service, or solar panels that may be
leveraged to lower the first cost of
construction for these measures. These
funds will be administered by the states
and are expected to become available in
most states in 2024 or 2025.27 Home
Electrification and Appliance Rebates
will also be available to (1) low- or
moderate-income households; (2)
individuals or entities that own a
multifamily building with low- or
moderate-income households
comprising at least 50 percent of the
residents; and (3) governmental,
commercial, or nonprofit entities that
are carrying out projects for low- or
moderate-income households or
multifamily building owners.28 Rebates
can be used to offset the cost of the
following items: ENERGY STARcertified electric heat pump water
heater; ENERGY STAR-certified electric
heat pump for space heating and
cooling; ENERGY STAR-certified
electric heat pump clothes dryer;
ENERGY STAR-certified electric stove,
cooktop, range, or oven (note: Energy
Star-certified ovens are pending);
electric load service center (i.e.,
electrical panel); electric wiring;
insulation, air sealing, and mechanical
ventilation. For low-moderate income
households, the rebates may be used for
as much as 100 percent of the cost of
installation.
In addition to these multiple new
sources of funding for energy efficiency
measures, there are also tax credits and
financing sources for the addition of
renewables through the IRA. Builders
may be able to take advantage of certain
EPA Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund
programs, especially the Solar for All
initiative. Builders may also be able to
utilize the Investment Tax Credit under
Section 48 of the Internal Revenue Code
focusing on investment in on-site
renewable energy production through
wind and solar, which has increased
incentives for low-income communities,
Tribal entities, and specifically for
residential buildings.29
When using solar energy for housing,
creating an energy efficient home is a
critical first step towards optimizing
energy performance. Energy efficiency
in homes has a point at which better
energy performance requires the
addition of a source of renewable
energy. As shown in 2021 IECC Zero
Energy Appendix, (Table 5 below), the
maximum ERI score of 43–47 for the
2021 IECC, provides a reasonable
backstop for energy efficiency and
adding renewable energy. Since
minimum ERI scores or equivalent
HERS ratings are required for Energy
Star for Homes, ZERH, and Passive
House, to the 2021 IECC provides a
sound baseline for home energy
efficiency performance before the
addition of renewable energy sources to
get to net zero energy.
Table 5. Maximum Energy Rating Index - 2021 IECC Appendix RC
Energy Rating Index
43
45
47
47
47
46
46
46
3
4
5
6
7
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Energy Rating Index
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
HUD and USDA will work with DOE
and states to maximize participation by
HUD and USDA stakeholders in these
programs. Steps that HUD has already
taken to increase use of both the tax
credits and rebates now available to
support builders wishing to build more
energy efficient housing include the
new Climate Funding Navigator, which
provides a user-friendly portal to all
funding opportunities in the IRA and
the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL),
24 EPA. https://www.energystar.gov/about/
federal-tax-credits/ss-45l-tax-credits-home-builders.
26 DOE, 179D Commercial Buildings EnergyEfficiency Tax Deduction Buildings, https://
www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/179d-commercialbuildings-energy-efficiency-tax-deduction.
27 A separate $4 billion for HOMES rebates is for
existing homes only, and does not cover new
construction.
28 DOE, Home Energy Rebates: Frequently Asked
Questions. https://www.energy.gov/scep/homeenergy-rebates-frequently-asked-questions.
29 The section 48 investment tax credit offers an
up to 30 percentage point credit (if prevailing wage
and apprenticeship requirements are met) with an
additional 10 percentage point credit for facilities
in low-income and Tribal communities and
additional 20 percentage point tax credit available
for facilities that serve federally-subsidized housing
or provide economic benefits to low-income
households (information available at https://
www.whitehouse.gov/cleanenergy/clean-energyupdates/2023/08/10/treasury-issues-final-rules-andprocedural-guidance-to-drive-clean-energyinvestments-in-low-income-communities-acrossthe-country/).
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as well as other programs administered
by HUD and other Federal agencies.30
4. Proposals for Technical Assistance
One commenter recommended
protecting homebuyers who may lose
eligibility due to the proposed standards
by providing technical assistance for
state officials, builders, construction
workers, and others; addressing
differential rural impacts; making
adjustments as needed to account for
ASHRAE 90.1 standards; and expanding
strong energy efficiency requirements to
additional assisted housing programs.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA appreciate the range of comments
received that recommended training,
technical assistance (TA), and
information for builders and developers
impacted by this determination. HUD
and USDA intend to provide TA to
support the implementation of the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019. The
agencies recognize that there may be an
‘‘information gap’’ regarding the latest
codes in places where prior codes have
been adopted by states or local
jurisdictions, and that in some locations
there may be a learning curve for
builders to become familiar with the
requirements of the latest editions of the
codes. HUD has allocated FY 2022
Community Compass TA funds for this
purpose and expects to implement an
extensive TA and training effort to
ensure that stakeholders are both aware
of the new requirements and
knowledgeable about the specific
updates that are included in the new
codes.31 This may include both
webcasts as well as printed and/or
online resources that builders,
developers, and appraisers can use to
familiarize themselves with the new
code requirements. Additional on-call
TA that responds to builder, consumer,
lender, or developer questions may also
be available. The specific topics that
will be covered have not been identified
at this point; however, the agencies will
widely circulate any resources or
webinars developed in support of the
implementation of these new standards.
HUD will also work with trade
associations to promote these resources
to their members, through targeted
trainings or at regular association
meetings, conferences, or training
events. In addition, HUD and USDA
will work with DOE and its state and
local grantees to leverage $1.2 billion in
IRA and BIL energy code TA funds:
$330 million to adopt the latest building
30 https://www.hudexchange.info/programs/
build-for-the-future/funding-navigator/.
31 https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/comm_
planning/cpdta.
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energy codes, $670 million to adopt
building energy codes that meet or
exceed the zero energy provisions in the
2021 IECC or other codes and standards
with equivalent or greater energy
savings, and $225 million to support
code adoption and training.
5. Appraisal Gap in Valuing Energy
Efficiency Improvements in Home
Appraisals
Four commenters raised concerns
over challenges with the appraisal
process that could impact the ability of
FHA and USDA home buyers to afford
the added cost of the IECC code. The
commenters noted that the analysis
included in the preliminary
determination assumed construction
and production costs would be passed
on to homebuyers. Multiple commenters
identified the issue of an appraisal gap
for energy-efficient homes. The gap
arises from the limited ability of the
traditional appraisal process to properly
account for energy efficiency measures,
such as those required by the 2021
IECC, into the valuation of the property.
They pointed out that a home may
appraise for a value that is less than the
cost of materials and labor and that
energy efficiency enhancements are
often not accounted for in the appraisal.
Several commenters stated that this
results in development costs exceeding
home values, making appraisal practices
a major obstacle. One commenter
suggested that HUD and USDA establish
effective energy-efficient mortgage
programs in response.
HUD–USDA Response: The appraisal
gap issue discussed by the commenters
is larger than just an energy codes issue,
as it not only addresses broader issues
of how the market values energy
efficiency but also how the market
values homes generally in underserved
markets. HUD and USDA agree that the
valuation of energy efficiency in
appraisals could act (depending on
location) as a market barrier to the
adoption of energy-efficient codes. HUD
and USDA reviewed these arguments in
a section on ‘‘market barriers’’ in the
Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) and
provided empirical evidence in a
section on capitalization of energy
efficiency. From a broader regulatory
perspective, there are at least three
separate issues that could impact
appraisals: (1) cost pass-through rates,
which depend on the flexibility of
buyers and sellers; (2) imperfect
valuation by buyers and sellers due to
limited information and thin markets;
and (3) the role of experts, including
appraisers, in valuing energy-efficient
improvements.
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• Pass-through rate: HUD assumed in
much of the analysis that the passthrough rate of costs from builders to
buyers was equal to one, i.e., builders
pass on the full cost of construction to
the buyer. However, another acceptable
scenario would have been to assume a
pass-through rate less than one, where
the buyer will only bear a portion of the
costs. HUD mentioned in the RIA that
the pass-through rate would vary with
the price elasticity of demand and
supply.
• Imperfect information: HUD
explored the possibility that energy
efficiency may not be perfectly
capitalized in the value of a home. If the
value of energy efficiency is not
transparent to a prospective buyer, then
insufficient capitalization reduces the
incentive to build energy-efficient
housing. In addition to imperfect
information, thin markets (few buyers
and sellers) could lead to an
undervaluation of less common goods
(such as above-average energy
efficiency).
• Role of the appraiser: A wellinformed appraiser is expected to
perform valuation services competently
and assess the market value of an
energy-efficient building relative to
other buildings. Increasing education
and awareness of energy-efficient
improvements for appraisals will
contribute to stronger valuations as
market and cost data become more
available.
HUD and USDA therefore understand
that lenders, buyers, and builders of
energy efficient housing may be
impacted in the short-term, particularly
in markets where comparable sales are
not yet available, and that intervention
can be helpful in certain areas to raise
awareness of the value of these
improvements. One study finds that
approximately 1-in-10 homes are
undervalued, while thirty percent are
appraised at their sales price.32
A study of home appraisals conducted
for DOE by the Building Industry
Research Alliance identified several
barriers to valuing energy efficiency
improvements in residential
appraisals.33 These included: (1) lack of
comparable sales, surveys of property
performance and return expectations in
most markets (where limited data is
available, appraisers may resort to
‘‘assessing arbitrary values’’ for energy
efficiency improvements); (2) variations
32 Calem, Paul, et al, ‘‘Appraising home purchase
appraisals.’’ Real Estate Economics 49.S1 (2021):
134–168,
33 Victoria Doyle, Abhay Barghava, The Role of
Appraisals in Energy Efficiency Financing, Building
Industry Research Alliance for the Department of
Energy, May 2012.
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in occupancy behavior, plug loads and/
or weather conditions that could impact
the actual energy consumption of a
household relative to modeled or
estimated energy use; (3) knowledge
gaps in the lending and housing
industries, both on the part of appraisers
and underwriters; (4) lack of energy
efficiency appraisal training and
education (all states require education,
experience and licensing for appraisers
but energy efficiency requires a different
kind of knowledge, and appraiser
licensing does not recognize this
specialty as distinct); and (5) ‘‘resistance
to change’’ by the appraisal industry
with the current appraisal methods
developed in the 1940s that provide
market valuations for aesthetic and
structural improvements (the proverbial
‘‘granite countertop’’) but do not
necessarily recognize energy efficiency
as a factor in homeownership cost or
property value.
These are inherent limitations in the
appraisal industry’s current approach to
valuing energy efficiency, but there are
also important developments that are
addressing these barriers. These include
the introduction of sustainable building
science education and certifications
such as the Appraisal Institute’s
Sustainable Buildings Professional
Development Programs that include
Introduction to Green Buildings, Case
Studies in Appraising Residential Green
Buildings, and Case Studies in
Appraising Commercial Green
Buildings. The National Association of
Realtors has expanded its curriculum
for the General Accredited Appraiser
program to include an introduction to
energy-efficient homes, and there is also
now a ‘‘Green Designation’’ for real
estate practitioners including Realtors.
At the same time, to the extent that an
appraisal overlooks or does not
appropriately value one or more features
or improvements of a home, buyers can
dispute an appraisal that they feel did
not consider all relevant information, so
an incentive exists for lenders to engage
appraisers who have sufficient
competency to appraise energy efficient
properties. Sellers in turn have an
incentive to provide information that
would generate buyer interest in the
added improvements.
Information prepared jointly by the
Appraisal Institute, the Building Codes
Assistance Project, and National
Association of Home Builders provides
practical solutions, such as how to
communicate energy efficiency and
where to find qualified appraisers.34 An
appraiser who lacks experience in
valuing an energy-efficient building may
find that they are passed over for more
qualified appraisers with more training.
An analysis of energy-efficient buildings
in the American Economic Review
indicated that the diffusion of energy-
efficient technology is enhanced by
educating building professionals.35
In response to the comments received,
HUD reviewed the FHA-insured
portfolio from fiscal year 2020 through
2023 to ascertain the extent to which the
appraised value of new homes is below,
equal to, or above the sales price of the
home. One key data point is that, for
many FHA borrowers, home appraisal
valuations exceed sales prices: 87
percent of 450,000 FHA-insured new
home purchases over the past four years
had appraisals that exceeded the sales
price, and, for 32 percent of new home
purchases, appraised values exceeded
the sales price by $5,000 or more. The
above sales price appraisals indicate
that for a significant share of FHA
borrowers, even first-time home buyers,
there may be a sufficient cushion in the
appraisal valuation to allow for some or
all of the added cost of an energyefficient new home, ranging from $2,945
to $7,115 depending on climate zone.
While the sales price-home valuation
differential shown in Table 6 does not
specifically address energy efficiency
valuations, the $5,000 or more abovesales price appraised value is important
because this buffer is sufficient to cover
all or most of the additional cost of the
energy improvements, despite any
superadequacy or other market failure to
recognize the value of the energy
improvements.
Table 6. Appraised Values Relative to Sales Price- FHA Insured New Homes 2020-23
FY2020
2,692
13 711
102,619
119,022
Annraised Value < Sales Price
Aooraised Value = Sales Price
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Aooraised Value > Sales Price
Total
FY2021
5,614
12 341
112,669
130,624
FY2022
4.415
8,304
FY2023
2,235
9,776
All Yrs
14,956
44,132
88,921
101,640
87,383
99,394
391,592
450,680
% Annraised Value Sales Price
86%
86%
87%
88%
87%
% Aooraised Value > $5k above sales Price
21%
27%
42%
41%
32%
Another important development that
can support the recognition of energy
efficiency in home appraisals has been
the growth of regional Multiple Listing
Service (MLS) databases that include
energy efficiency and other sustainable
measures in their listings. The National
Association of Realtors (NAR) published
its Green MLS Toolkit as an educational
resource for homebuyers, homeowners,
realtors, and appraisers to use to
develop a better understanding of
energy-efficient homes.36
The importance of this initiative
cannot be understated. A key concern
from the housing, financing and
appraisal industries has been the lack of
34 Appraisal Institute, New Appraisal Guidance
Addresses Green Housing, 2015, https://
nationalmortgageprofessional.com/news/56670/
new-appraisal-guidance-addresses-green-housing
See also https://www.appraisalinstitute.org/
education/education-resources/green-resources.
35 Kok, Nils, Marquise McGraw, and John M.
Quigley. ‘‘The diffusion of energy efficiency in
building.’’ American Economic Review 101.3
(2011): 77–82.
36 National Association of Realtors, Green MLS
Implementation Guide, https://green.realtor/sites/
files/2019-02/2014%20NAR%20Green
%20MLS%20Implementation%20Guide.pdf.
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data or access to supporting
documentation for valuing energy
efficiency improvements. A Green MLS
mediates this concern, documenting
both measures that are visible and
apparent, as well as high-impact energy
efficiency measures that are less visible,
such as wall insulation and/or low-e
windows. The development of the
Green MLS Toolkit is ‘‘pivotal for the
proper valuation of efficiency. . .For
appraisers, a Green MLS supports an
apples-to-apples comparison for energy
efficient features; without a Green MLS,
the appraiser may not have sufficient
information and data to support an
assessment of energy efficiency
improvements.’’ 37
Another significant development has
been the development of the Residential
Energy Efficiency and Green Addendum
for use with the Uniform Residential
Appraisal Report, one of the most
commonly used forms for completing a
home appraisal. It provides
standardized reporting and analysis for
single family home valuations. The 3page form provides appraisers the
opportunity to recognize energy
improvements as part of a home
evaluation assessment, including
appliance efficiency or insulation levels,
whether the home achieves an energy
efficiency certification such as Energy
Star or other green building standards,
and other salient characteristics of the
home. By enabling appraisers to collect
and document the additional
information needed to form an Opinion
of Value on a high-performance home,
appraisers will be better equipped to
identify recent comparable sales. If the
home has a HERS rating, RESNET or
other third-party energy raters can verify
and pre-populate the Addendum for the
appraiser. This removes the
responsibility of the appraiser to
attempt to provide an energy assessment
of home performance as it relates to
other homes when they lack the training
and certifications to do energy
assessments.
There is also growing evidence that
new energy-efficient homes are in
demand and valued at higher prices
than other homes. A new study
conducted by Freddie Mac reported on
70,000 homes rated under RESNET’s
HERS between 2013 and 2017.38 The
report’s goal was to ‘‘understand the
value and the loan performance
37 Doyle, Victoria and Bhargava, Abhay, The Role
of Appraisals in Energy Efficiency Financing,
Building Industry Research Alliance, National
Renewable Energy Laboratory.
38 Argento, Robert et al, Energy Efficiency: Value
Added to Properties and Loan Properties, https://
sf.freddiemac.com/docs/pdf/fact-sheet/energy_
efficiency_white_paper.pdf.
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associated with energy-efficient homes
to support the consideration of energy
efficiency in mortgage underwriting
practices.’’ The findings include
analysis of property value, loan
performance, default risk, borrower
characteristics, and demographics. The
report found that HERS rated homes
sold, on average, 2.7 percent more than
comparable unrated homes. In addition,
homes that received lower (i.e., more
energy efficient) HERS Index Scores
sold for 3–5 percent more than homes
with higher HERS Index Scores. The
study also looked at loan performance,
with several important findings: the
default risk of energy-rated homes is not
on average different from un-rated
homes—and loans in a high debt-to
income (DTI) range (45 percent and
above) that have energy ratings ‘‘appear
to have a lower delinquency rate than
unrated homes.’’ In rural areas, there are
reports of energy efficient and resilient
homes commanding higher sales prices:
two homes of two bedrooms and one
bath each, built by Habitat for Humanity
to high performance standards of Phius
and ZERH as well as to the hurricane
standard of FORTIFIED in Opelika,
Alabama appraised at the equivalent
amount of the standard Habitat for
Humanity home of three bedrooms and
two bathrooms.39
The cost and income approaches to
valuation may help assign a
contributory value to energy efficiency
features of a home. The FHA Single
Family Housing Policy Handbook
4000.1 provides for three types of home
appraisal approaches applied to one-tofour-residential unit properties: the
sales comparison approach, the cost
approach, and the income approach.40
However, the Handbook states that
‘‘(t)he Appraiser must obtain credible
and verifiable data to support the
application of the three approaches to
value. The Appraiser must perform a
thorough analysis of the characteristics
of the market, including the supply of
properties that would compete with the
subject and the corresponding demand.
The Appraiser must perform a highest
and best use of the Property, using all
four tests and report the results of that
analysis.’’
HUD and USDA are considering
taking several steps to address the
appraisal gap issue:
First, FHA will provide outreach and
training to market participants,
including lenders and appraisers
detailing the impact of this Final
39 Rural Studio, https://ruralstudio.org/auburnopelika-habitat-homes/.
40 https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/
administration/hudclips/handbooks/hsgh.
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Determination and promoting awareness
and education about energy efficient
improvements. This will include
training for both underwriters and
appraisers on how the cost or income
approaches can be used as part of
appraisals in certain markets.
Second, HUD will work with USDA to
provide a package of training through
HUD’s Community Compass Technical
Assistance program aimed at educating
appraisers and lenders about acceptable
methods and techniques for accurately
appraising energy efficient homes
financed with an FHA-insured
mortgage, including the proper use of
the cost and income approaches. HUD
has allocated FY22 funding to support
this technical assistance.
Third, FHA’s four Homeownership
Centers (HOCs), which already provide
training for appraisers and lenders, will
include targeted training for the roster of
FHA-approved appraisers, with an
emphasis on places with a high volume
of FHA-insured new home sales in the
south and southwest.
Ultimately, the extent and impact of
the appraisal gap for energy efficiency
measures is a concern but does not
change HUD and USDA’s overall
determination. While the appraisal gap
indicates a failure in the market to keep
pace with innovative energy efficiency
measures, the gap does not exist in all
markets, and its impacts can be
alleviated by interventions such as
increased market awareness, appraiser
education, and resources such as the
Green MLS for greater transparency and
the Green Addendum to appraisal
reports, as well as by the higher
valuation of new construction that can
cover some or all of the costs of the
energy efficient improvements. The
resources outlined in this notice, along
with HUD and USDA efforts outlined
above, will aid in closing the gap for
FHA borrowers and should serve as
further motivation to overcome market
barriers that impede efficiency.
6. Delegation of Legislative Power
Two commenters stated that the
Cranston Gonzalez Act is either an
improper delegation of legislative power
to a private entity, the International
Code Council and ASHRAE which
promulgate the IECC and ASHRAE–90.1
respectively, or an improper divestment
of the executive power to a private
entity, and that HUD and USDA should
rescind the preliminary determination
until Congress passes legislation that
affirms what standards should apply.
HUD–USDA Response: In issuing this
determination, HUD and USDA are
following the statutory directive of 42
U.S.C. 12709(d). The Cranston Gonzalez
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National Affordable Housing Act of
1990 (Cranston-Gonzalez), as amended
by the Energy Independence and
Security Act of 2007 (EISA) (Pub. L.
110–140), requires HUD and USDA to
establish energy efficiency standards for
housing specified in 42 U.S.C.
12709(a)(1).
The original efficiency standards were
required to meet or exceed the
requirements of the 2006 International
Energy Conservation Code (2006 IECC)
and the American Society of Heating,
Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning
Engineers Standard 90.1–2004
(ASHRAE 90.1–2004). (42 U.S.C.
12709(a)(2)). If the requirements of the
2006 IECC or the ASHRAE 90.1–2004
are revised, HUD and USDA must,
within a year, amend their standards to
meet or exceed the revised requirements
of the 2006 IECC or the ASHRAE 90.1–
2004, or issue a determination that
compliance with the revised standards
would ‘‘not result in a significant
increase in energy efficiency or would
not be technologically feasible or
economically justified’’ (42 U.S.C.
12709(c)).
If HUD and USDA have not adopted
the revised standards or made the
determination under 42 U.S.C. 12709(c),
then all new construction and
rehabilitation of specified housing must
meet the requirements of the revised
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards if
HUD and USDA determine that the
revised codes do not negatively affect
the availability or affordability of certain
housing stock specified in 42 U.S.C.
12709(d)(1) and DOE determines that
the revised codes would improve energy
efficiency. 42 U.S.C. 12709(d)). The
present HUD/USDA determination
fulfills HUD and USDA’s statutory
directive to determine whether the
updated standards negatively affect
availability and affordability. The
commenter’s stated interpretation of the
Act does not dismiss HUD and USDA’s
statutory requirement to make this
determination.
7. Lower Availability of Affordable
Homes for Home Buyers
Several commenters shared concerns
that the higher first or incremental costs
associated with adopting the 2021 IECC
over the current 2009 IECC would lower
homebuyer options and/or limit the
availability of housing to otherwisequalified buyers or renters. Two
commenters suggested that these high
standards will result in fewer FHA and
USDA constructed properties and limit
the supply of housing in a way that
contradicts HUD’s mission.
HUD–USDA Response. The agencies
appreciate the concerns raised by the
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commenters but do not agree that the
higher standards will result in fewer
FHA- and USDA-financed properties.
HUD and USDA conducted thorough
and extensive analyses on the impact of
the 2021 IECC on affordability and
availability, using established cost and
savings methodologies that have been
developed by DOE for multiple code
cycles. The agencies determined that the
codes will not negatively impact the
affordability or availability of the
covered housing. HUD and USDA
recognize that, as of December 2023,
only five states have adopted a code that
meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC.
Nevertheless, in those states,
affordability and availability will, by
default, not be impacted by HUD and
USDA’s adoption of the 2021 IECC
because no additional requirements
would be put in place above those
already adopted by the state. In
addition, while the number of states that
have already adopted the codes is
currently limited, the number is
growing rapidly, with more than 20
states actively considering adoption of
the 2021 IECC. State adoption of
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 is more advanced
than the IECC: ten states and the District
of Columbia have adopted a code that
meets or exceeds this standard, and a
similar number of states (twenty or
more) are currently considering its
adoption. Additionally, many local
jurisdictions have gone beyond the
statewide residential or commercial
code by adopting the 2021 IECC or
ASHRAE 90.1–2019.41
Nevertheless, the agencies recognize
that it will be necessary for builders
who are accustomed to the requirements
of the 2009 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–
2007—the current HUD and USDA
standards—to familiarize themselves
with the verification methods
incorporated into the subsequent
versions of the code (including blower
door and duct testing). HUD and USDA
will provide technical assistance and
training resources to aid in the
implementation of these new standards,
as described in more detail in section
A.2. above. These resources will address
elements of the verification
requirements for the 2021 IECC that
could be unfamiliar to some builders.
As these builders become familiar with
these requirements and construction
practices, the energy improvements
required by the more current codes will
strengthen the quality of the built
product and will benefit consumers in
41 Department of Energy, Municipal Building
Codes and Ordinances. Updated December 2023.
https://www.energycodes.gov/
infographics#Municipal.
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the long term as a result of high-quality
construction.
8. Affordability and Availability Impacts
in Rural Communities
Three commenters expressed concern
regarding the specific impact that the
proposed code requirements would
have on rural areas. One commenter
suggested that challenges related to
adoption or implementation of the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards
would be more significant for rural areas
‘‘because materials or workers may need
to be transported from elsewhere, [and]
[r]ural residents may not have easy
access to specialized materials or
specific worker skills when energyefficient construction requires them.
That is particularly likely in remote
rural areas.’’ One commenter, from the
Umatilla Indian Reservation, stated that
the reservation’s rural location makes it
particularly difficult to find contractors
and access green products.
Another commenter, a trade
association of rural housing
organizations, also stated that rural
areas would have a higher cost
differential for a mortgage between the
2009 IECC and 2021 IECC than the
$5,500 increase indicated in the
preliminary determination due to
construction costs that might be higher
in rural areas. Factors that contribute to
this higher cost include difficulty
sourcing materials and limited access to
an appropriately trained workforce for
energy efficient construction projects. In
addition, the commenter noted that the
cost to the homeowner may be higher
under USDA’s Section 502 direct loan
program, since the PNNL cash flow
projections assumed a downpayment of
10–12 percent whereas Section 502
typically requires no downpayment and
will therefore yield a higher mortgage
amount.
Two commenters suggested that few
contractors have the knowledge and
resources to meet the proposed
standards, and that it will be difficult to
find a contractor to build to the
proposed standards in states that have
not or will not adopt the 2021 IECC.
One commenter pointed to specific
challenges likely to be encountered by
non-profit affordable housing
developers: they suggested that
affordable nonprofit housing developers
will have trouble producing new rental
and homeownership housing units in
Appalachian communities with the
proposed standards due to the
‘‘increased costs to construct homes, the
unique nature of [these] housing
markets, and the difficulty in
implementing the standard.’’ As a
result, the commenter argued that there
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HUD and USDA agree that there are
increased first costs associated with
building to the higher energy standards
outlined in the preliminary
determination but conclude that the
initial investment will benefit both
Appalachian and all rural communities
across the U.S. through energy cost
savings to residents and as well as
health, comfort, and durability of
higher-performance housing. Rural
communities will especially benefit
from more energy efficient homes in
that rural households are typically
overburdened with higher energy costs
as a percentage of household income.
Nationally, the median rural household
energy burden is 4.4 percent, almost
one-third higher than the national rate
of 3.3 percent and about 42 percent
above the median metropolitan energy
burden of 3.1 percent.42 One commenter
cited a Virginia Tech report on
Appalachian housing costs that
concluded that ‘‘utility costs contribute
to housing costs substantially’’ in
Eastern Kentucky, Southern West
Virginia and the western section of
Appalachian Alabama, where both
owners and renters saw the highest
costs relative to metropolitan areas.43
For some low- or very-low income
households, the energy bill may be
greater than the cost of the mortgage.
Energy bills fluctuate and are only
billed post-usage, often leading to
unexpected increases in these bills,
which can create serious financial
stresses on lower income households.
At the same time there are good
examples in rural America of how better
performing homes can alleviate the
impact of higher energy costs
experienced by lower income
households. One such example is a
USDA Rural Community Development
Initiative (RCDI) grantee, Mountain
T.O.P., a faith-based organization in
Grundy County, Tennessee. Based in
one of Appalachia’s persistent poverty
counties where a significant share of the
housing stock is dilapidated, the
organization worked closely with the
Rural Studio Front Porch Initiative to
build Mountain T.O.P.’s capacity to
replace homes with new, highperformance homes to address the high
energy burden in their community.
Despite the long-term affordability
benefits of building high performance,
energy efficient homes, rural areas may
face first cost (and other) constraints in
adopting construction standards or
codes above prevailing local codes.
HUD and USDA do not, however, agree
that there is a broad and consistent
impact for all rural areas across the
nation. Geographic distance may play a
role in creating challenges for
construction projects in rural areas
when there are not locally available
skilled workers, but this is true of all
building construction, regardless of the
specific codes that are in place.
While both HUD and USDA programs
serve rural areas, USDA is especially
focused on rural housing through its
Rural Housing Service programs.
USDA’s Single Family Direct Loan
program is the only direct mortgage
product offered by the federal
government; USDA can and does work
intensively through its underwriting
process to assist rural, low-income
borrowers to become and to remain
homeowners. This program offers 100
percent financing, zero downpayment
42 Lauren Ross et al, the High Cost of Energy in
Rural America, ACEEE, 2018. https://
www.aceee.org/press/2018/07/rural-householdsspend-much-more.
43 Virginia Center for Housing Research at
Virginia Tech, Housing Needs and Trends in
Central Appalachia and Appalachian Alabama,
2018.
will be very few (if any) affordable new
homes on the market that can be
acquired by low to moderate income
homebuyers or developers. The
commenter urged HUD and USDA to
consider the ability of their nonprofit
partners to ‘‘produce the same quantity
of housing after increased costs in
without any increase in funding
support.’’
HUD–USDA Response: The concerns
noted by the commenters fall into three
broad areas: the increased costs to build
homes to the proposed standard in rural
areas; the ‘‘nature of rural economies
and housing markets;’’ and operational,
technical, and other difficulties in
implementing the standard.
In response to the comment about the
potential impact of HUD and USDA
energy code adoption on housing on
Indian reservations, with the exception
of the Section 248 program, which has
a small loan volume (only eight
outstanding loans, no new
endorsements since 2008), HUD and
USDA note that Indian housing
programs are excluded from this notice
because they are not covered under the
requirements of the governing statute:
they neither constitute ‘‘assisted
housing’’ nor are authorized under the
National Housing Act (12 U.S.C. 1701 et
seq.) as specified in EISA. For example,
the Section 184 guaranteed loan
program is authorized under Section
184 of the Housing and Community
Development Act of 1992 (42 U.S.C.
1715z–13a).
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and the ability to amortize beyond 30
years in addition to having an interest
rate that is below market. It is also able
to offer additional subsidies based on
need. Borrowers of this program, of all
the single family borrowers impacted by
this notice, are likely to benefit the most
from the proposed adoption of the 2021
IECC, and the addition of homes built to
higher performance quality will
generate long-term benefits to rural
locations where housing quality has
lagged behind.
One commenter raised a concern that
Direct Loan borrowers would see higher
costs since downpayment requirements
can be as low as zero, and to the extent
that the additional costs would need to
be financed, this would make these
loans less affordable. USDA believes
that this concern is misplaced since, by
eliminating the downpayment
requirement, the Section 502 loan in
fact removes a significant potential
barrier to financing the added first costs
of the IECC, and, given the very low
interest rates associated with this
product, this seems like an optimal
financing vehicle available to rural
borrowers for energy efficient housing.
The commenter also raised concerns
regarding appraisals, and the ‘‘appraisal
gap’’ in rural areas. These concerns are
addressed in the larger appraisal
discussion in section A.3 of this notice.
The limitations of the current appraisal
process are broadly applicable, but the
gap may be higher in rural areas due to
fewer available sales comparisons in
these areas, as well as fewer appraisers
qualified to assess energy efficient or
other green features of a home, e.g.,
solar. The agencies acknowledge that
the current appraisal system in the U.S.
for single family homes is not generally
set up to fully account for energy
efficiency or renewable energy but have
proposed potential actions that can help
close the gap for FHA and USDA
borrowers, as discussed in-depth in
section A.3 above.
Technical Capacity Issues in Rural
Areas
Other difficulties besides the added
cost noted by commenters included
limited technical capacity and the need
for workforce training in rural areas.
HUD and USDA believe that contractors
have or are capable of obtaining the
knowledge and resources to meet the
proposed standards before
commencement of the applicable
compliance period. The commenter
does not provide evidence as to the
basis of this proposition. As discussed
elsewhere in response to similar
comments, the agencies recognize that
there will be places where builders may
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not be familiar with energy code
requirements, but these are likely to be
more the exception than the rule,
especially with regard to larger home
builders who build a significant portion
of homes, and unequivocally with
regard to multifamily housing.
HUD and USDA agree that remote
rural areas may not always have the
proper skilled professionals to execute
certain types of construction and that
training may be needed. Training and
support are planned by the two agencies
to assist rural America in achieving
homeowner financial sustainability
through building to the most current
energy codes. Trainings on standards
that exceed energy codes (Energy Star
New Homes, Zero Energy Ready Homes)
are also available from EPA and DOE,
while additional tax credits for
affordable multifamily housing as well
as electrification rebates are also
becoming available to build energy
efficient housing, discussed in more
detail in section A.3 above.
HUD and USDA also agree that
building codes that require on-site
inspection are more challenging in rural
areas than where building sites are
located in close proximity to HERS
rater, building inspector or verifier, but
given that HUD and USDA already
require the 2009 IECC these issues will
not materially change with the adoption
of an updated code. The increase in
energy codes from the 2009 IECC to the
2021 edition will indeed require
learning and implementation of new
skills and project delivery methods, but
these are relatively modest and likely
limited to energy modeling, blower door
testing, and duct leak testing. Note that
these testing methods have been in
place at least since the 2012 edition of
the IECC.
As discussed in response to other
comments in this notice, HUD will
partner with USDA in implementing a
training and technical assistance
program to facilitate implementation of
the energy codes requirements,
including trainings on these blower
door and duct testing skills.
Additionally, USDA is exploring the
feasibility of and potential for remotehybrid inspections with RESNET and
others, in which third-party verification
may be completed remotely with the onsite assistance of individuals who have
received minimum training to perform
testing tasks such as blower door
testing, duct leakage testing and infrared
camera techniques but who may not yet
be fully certified home raters.44
44 Third-party verification is an increasingly
common mechanism for enforcing building codes in
localities with a limited number of code officials
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Finally, in recognition of the specific
capacity constraints identified in
Appalachia and other high needs rural
areas to adopting these standards, HUD
and USDA will provide a longer lead
time for adoption of the IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1 standards in these areas,
as outlined in the Implementation
section of the Final Determination,
section VI. An additional year of
compliance will be provided in
persistent poverty rural areas, as defined
by USDA’s Economic Research Service,
including persistent poverty census
tracts located in rural (non-metro)
counties.45
9. Limited Cost Effectiveness of
Individual Code Measures
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA should evaluate the cost
effectiveness of individual measures in
the 2021 IECC and amend those
measures that do not provide value to
the consumer. Relying on the overall
cost-effectiveness ‘‘masks the extremely
low-cost effectiveness of some of the
individual measures by averaging the
results with the measures that are more
cost effective.’’ The commenter
identified two specific measures as not
meeting any reasonable cost
effectiveness test: ceiling insulation
requirements of R–60 in Climate Zones
3–8 and R–49 in Climate Zones 1–2; and
wall insulation requirements of R–20+5
or R–13+10 in Climate Zones 4–5. The
commenter indicated that on their own
these measures do not meet ‘‘any
reasonable cost-effectiveness test’’ and
provided data showing paybacks of 63–
150 years on these items.
The commenter noted that these two
problematic measures were considered
by the 2024 IECC consensus committee.
These were realigned to their 2018
levels in the draft 2024 IECC or were
provided an opt-out provision in
exchange for an additional three credits
in Section R408 (Additional Efficiency
Requirements). The commenter
recommended that in lieu of evaluating
all individual measures in the 2021
IECC, the agencies should allow similar
amendments to the 2021 IECC as has
capable of doing so. A third-party code verification
program utilizes private sector organizations to
verify energy code compliance by providing plan
review and analysis, performance testing, and field
inspections. More information on third-party
verification is available at https://
www.eepartnership.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/
07/Third-Party-Verification_Best-Practices_10-1514-final.pdf.
45 USDA, Economic Research Service, Poverty
Area Measures, Descriptions and Maps, https://
www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/charts/105111/
persistentcountytracts.png?v=7741.2. See also
USDA ERS definition of rural (non-metro) counties
at https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/rural-economypopulation/rural-classifications/.
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been approved for the 2024 IECC.
Another commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA review the determinations
made on both codes and identify
provisions that do not increase energy
efficiency and exclude them as
requirements.
HUD–USDA Response. The statutory
requirement (Section 109(d) of the
Cranston Gonzalez Act of 1990) for this
notice requires HUD and USDA to make
a determination on the latest ASHRAE
90.1 or IECC code editions as published.
It does not allow for selecting only the
most cost-effective measures in the
code. The overall efficiency of the code
relies on a package of measures
considered and adopted by consensus
during the code development process,
with the more cost-effective measures
essentially supporting less cost-effective
measures. Therefore, HUD and USDA
do not have the ability to pick and
choose between specific amendments to
the code. In addition, the conventional
practice by DOE has been to consider
the combined costs and savings for the
entire code, rather than for each
amendment separately. HUD and USDA
believe that it is sound policy to align
with DOE practice and cost-benefit
methodologies for the purpose of this
notice.
Even if allowed under the statutory
constraints of this notice, unpacking the
code to consider each amendment
individually contradicts standard
practice when implementing energy
efficiency measures. Energy codes
typically consider a bundle of measures
that enable longer-payback measures to
balance out shorter-term measures and
enable the savings of the shorter
payback items to pay for those that on
their own may be less cost-effective. For
example, codes combine shorter
payback lower-cost lighting measures
with more efficient windows that
typically have longer paybacks when
installed in isolation from other
measures. In addition, the agencies
believe that the combination of
mandatory and optional measures as
well as two performance paths provide
builders with a great deal of flexibility
in complying with the 2021 IECC.
HUD and USDA are aware that the
two insulation amendments to the 2021
IECC cited by the commenter have been
incorporated in the draft 2024 IECC,
which is currently scheduled for
publication in early 2024. As noted
above, these amendments would roll
back ceiling and wall insulation
requirements for certain climate zones
to the 2018 level, or provide for an optout, in exchange for an additional three
energy efficiency credits. While HUD
and USDA are not able to accept
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individual amendments such as this one
to the 2021 IECC, if, after publication of
the 2024 IECC, DOE determines that the
revised code is more energy efficient
than the 2021 IECC, housing built to
comply with the 2024 IECC in its
entirety will meet the requirements of
the 2021 IECC.
HUD and USDA note that PNNL has
conducted a preliminary analysis of the
savings associated with the proposed
2024 IECC, and that DOE’s preliminary
cost-benefit analysis indicates that the
2024 IECC will exceed the energy
efficiency of the 2021 IECC by
approximately 6.7 percent. Energy cost
savings are estimated to increase by
approximately 6.4 percent.46
The savings result from the following
measures: Additional energy efficiency
credits (10 energy credits); Fenestration
Table—Improved Window and Skylight
U-factors in Climate Zones 4C—8;
Ceiling Insulation changes in Climate
Zones 4–8 from R–60 to R–49; Climate
Zones 6–8 to 2.5 ACH50; Pipe
Insulation Requirements update (1 inch
thickness = R7); Heat Recovery
Ventilator required in Climate Zone 6.
10. Understated Impact on Low-Rise
Multifamily
One commenter suggested that the
Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) is
‘‘seriously flawed’’ because it
inadequately considers the impact of the
2021 IECC on low-rise multifamily
construction and fails to give
appropriate regard to the potential
impact on the availability of affordable
housing for low-to-moderate income
renters. Another commenter questioned
the use of a 30-year period of analysis,
which the commenter says ignores
investment and construction cost
considerations for rental apartment
investors that work on shorter
investment horizons of a 10-year
maximum.
HUD–USDA Response: As stated in
the preliminary determination, the 2021
IECC may impact an estimated 170,000
housing units of HUD- and USDAfinanced or -insured housing, which
includes single family and low-rise
multifamily housing. The majority of
impacted units will be single family (86
percent); additionally, single family
housing faces a greater estimated
incremental cost when compared to
low-rise or high-rise multifamily. As
such, it is reasonable for the bulk of the
analysis to center on the most
significantly impacted housing type;
however, HUD and USDA recognize the
need to provide additional detail on
46 PNNL for DOE, Energy Savings Analysis 2024
Residential IECC Interim Progress Indicator.
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availability impacts to low-rise
multifamily housing. HUD estimates
approximately 27,000 low-rise
multifamily units may be impacted by
this notice; all are HUD-financed since
USDA multifamily programs are not
covered by this notice.
When considering impacts on the
availability of affordable housing, the
economic rationale remains consistent
when considering impacts for each
housing type; the percentage change in
the quantity of housing depends on the
price elasticity of demand, price
elasticity of supply, and incremental
cost. The 1.5 percent reduction cited in
the Regulatory Impact Analysis (p.80)
applies broadly to housing, meaning
that this rate holds for both single
family and low-rise multifamily. As
such, the maximum number of
negatively impacted units is 405 units
out of the 27,000 units of low-rise
multifamily housing that are estimated
to be impacted by this notice.
Existing energy efficiency programs
make building to a higher standard more
accessible for subsidized housing
compared to market-rate housing. A
report from DOE’s Office of Scientific
and Technical Information found that
low-rise multifamily buildings were
often designed to higher standards in
order to qualify for additional energy
efficiency certification programs.47 The
Low Income Housing Tax Credit
program often requires above-code
energy efficiency measures through state
Qualified Allocation Plans, resulting in
many affordable low-rise multifamily
projects that are already being built to
higher above-code standards, e.g.,
Energy Star for New Construction or
Passive House.
As far as impacts on renters, the
energy efficiency improvements
required by the most recent energy
codes will provide health benefits in
addition to reductions in energy
expenditures for families living in rental
housing, circumventing the splitincentive issue of landlords being
unwilling or uninterested in improving
the quality of rental housing for their
tenants.
A 30-year period is used in HUD and
USDA’s affordability analysis following
the well-established methodology
developed by DOE for assessing the cost
effectiveness of the IECC.48 HUD’s
47 DOE, Office of Scientific and Technical
Information, Residential Building Energy Efficiency
Field Studies: Low-Rise Multifamily (Technical
Report), https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1656655/.
48 PNNL, Methodology for Evaluating CostEffectiveness of Residential Energy Code Changes,
prepared for DOE, https://www.energycodes.gov/
sites/default/files/2021-07/residential_
methodology_2015.pdf.
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Regulatory Impact Analysis provides
additional detail (p. 25). In response to
the comments that investors in rental
apartments typically rely on a 10-year
timeline, HUD and USDA added Tables
17 and 18 to the final determination.
These show the cash flow for single
family and low-rise multifamily
housing, respectively. For each building
type, the cash flow is positive by the
end of the second year, and the simple
payback for the national average occurs
after 7.7 years in both cases.
Additionally, it should be noted that
this is only applicable to low-rise
multifamily; mid-rise and high-rise
multifamily buildings are required to
meet the ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standard,
which shows national average cost
increases of only $208 per dwelling unit
and negative cost increases for certain
states and climate zones (meaning
adopting the new standard saves
money). Nationally, the simple payback
is immediate with 40 states receiving
immediate payback and South Dakota
having the longest payback period of 1.6
years.
B. Current Status and Anticipated
Timetable for State and Local Adoption
of the Next Revision of the IECC and/or
ASHRAE Codes
HUD and USDA requested comments
from code officials on the current status
of code adoption in their states, and the
anticipated timetable for adopting the
next revision of the IECC and/or
ASHRAE 90.1 codes. No comments
were submitted on the specific question
of proposed timetables for state and
local adoption of subject codes.
However, multiple comments were
received that expressed concerns
regarding the interaction or alignment
between the HUD and USDA proposal
and state and local adoption of prior
codes. These are discussed below.
1. Alignment of HUD and USDA
Standards With State and Local Codes
Several commenters shared concerns
regarding the transition that would be
required to implement the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019. Commenters
cited the lack of alignment with state or
local home rule adoption of these codes.
One commenter suggested that the
proposed standards would conflict with
local building codes, causing delays in
construction and significant cost
impacts. One commenter suggested that
HUD and USDA align implementation
of the 2021 IECC with state and local
government efforts for updating their
energy codes to avoid placing major
challenges on builders and local code
enforcement officers. One commenter
suggested that HUD and USDA accept
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the two most recent versions of the IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1 standards to help
alleviate compliance issues for states
and localities with code requirements
below the proposed standards.
HUD–USDA Response: The statutory
framework for this notice requires HUD
and USDA to align their codes with the
latest editions of the specified codes,
i.e., the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–
2019. The statutory requirement at
Cranston Gonzalez Section 109(d) does
not provide for substituting stateadopted codes (or previous editions as
suggested by one commenter) for this
cohort of HUD- and USDA-financed
new buildings. The intent of the statute
is for HUD and USDA to adopt the latest
edition of the codes independent of the
codes that states have adopted, provided
that these do not negatively impact the
affordability and availability of the
subject homes.
HUD and USDA recognize that this
above-code requirement (in states or
localities that have not yet adopted the
latest editions of the codes) will require
builders, developers, and designers to
familiarize themselves with the
requirements of the new codes.
However, the agencies note that it is not
expected that local code officials will be
required to ensure compliance with or
enforce the proposed standard. The
agencies will not rely on local code
officials to certify compliance with the
HUD and USDA requirements, and
therefore local building inspectors will
not be expected to familiarize
themselves with the HUD and USDA
requirements should they differ from
the prevailing state or local code.
Rather, HUD and USDA will rely on
existing builder self-certification
requirements and will also put in place
a technical assistance and training
program to educate and inform builders,
architects, engineers, and developers
about the requirements of the standard.
Additionally, there are some
jurisdictions that do not adopt building
codes at all, and federal agencies must
provide prudent guidance and
protection of consumers, taxpayers, and
housing assets by requiring an industryaccepted code as a standard for all types
of project development.
As noted, HUD and USDA’s statutory
requirement to consider adoption of the
latest editions of the code does not
allow acceptance of the previous 2018
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2016 editions
as a compliance pathway, as suggested
by one commenter, since these editions
have been determined by DOE to be less
efficient than the current standards.
However, as has been standard practice,
all subsequent versions of the IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1 that have been
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determined by DOE to meet or exceed
the energy efficiency of the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019, are sufficient
to meet the requirements that will go
into effect as a result of this notice.
Additionally, there are now significant
federal incentives and encouragement
from federal agencies for builders to
achieve even higher energy performance
through, for example, the Department of
the Treasury’s section 45L tax credit of
up to $2,500 for homes that are certified
as meeting the requirements of the
EPA’s Energy Star Single Family Homes
or the Energy Star Multifamily Homes
National Program (but do not meet the
ZERH standards) and up to $5,000 for
homes that are certified as meeting the
requirements of DOE’s ZERH program.
Both the EPA’s Energy Star Programs
and DOE’s ZERH’s programs require
minimum compliance with the most
current energy code (2021 IECC) and
energy performance of at least 10
percent better. It is anticipated that
many builders will take advantage of
these tax incentives—as well as rebates
that will become available in 2025 or
earlier for electric heat pumps and other
building electrification measures—and
in the process achieve energy
efficiencies that are well above the 2021
IECC. Additionally, 45L tax credits of
up to $2,500 per unit for Energy Star
Multifamily New Construction and up
to $5,000 per unit for DOE Zero Energy
Ready Homes for multifamily homes are
available for multifamily builders that
meet prevailing wage requirements.
2. Adoption of Earlier Versions of the
Energy Codes
One commenter stated that requiring
the IECC 2021 breaks with the precedent
established by HUD and USDA in 2015
of selecting an attainable code standard
for states rather than the most recently
published version. The commenter
pointed out that in 2015, HUD
established the baseline requirement of
2009 IECC despite newer versions
having been published by that time; the
commenter recommended that HUD and
USDA delay this update until more
states adopt the most recent versions of
the codes or opt for the 2018 IECC as the
requirement.
HUD–USDA Response. The
authorizing statute for this notice
requires HUD and USDA to adopt the
most recent edition of the IECC and
does not provide for consideration of
prior editions; the delayed adoption of
the 2009 IECC by HUD and USDA in
2015 was a function of the length of
time the regulatory process took to
publish a final determination on the
2009 IECC, not to establish a precedent
for future adoption.
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Further, the statute does not allow
HUD and USDA to tie adoption by HUD
and USDA of the most recent edition of
the code to the number of states that
have adopted that code. Specifically,
section 109(d) of Cranston-Gonzalez (42
U.S.C. 12709) provides that revisions to
the IECC or ASHRAE 90.1 codes will
apply to the housing specified in the
statute if: (1) either agency ‘‘make(s) a
determination that the revised codes do
not negatively affect the availability or
affordability’’ of such housing. HUD and
USDA therefore do not have the
statutory authority to delay adoption of
the most recent code until ‘‘more states’’
have adopted the code. The agencies
note, however, that the number of states
considering or adopting the revised
standards is growing and is expected to
grow further as a result of newly
available IRA or BIL funding from DOE
to support state adoption of the 2021
IECC or higher energy standards. As of
December 2023, while only five states
have already adopted the 2021 IECC,
more than 20 additional states are
actively considering its adoption.
HUD and USDA recognize that this
presents challenges for developers and
builders with regard to adopting a
standard that may be above the
prevailing locally adopted state or local
code, but the governing statute for this
notice limits the factors to be considered
by HUD and USDA to ‘‘affordability’’
and ‘‘availability;’’ it does not provide
for accepting alternative state or local
codes as a compliance path. If HUD and
USDA were to wait until more states
had adopted the 2021 IECC, this would
undermine the purpose of the governing
legislation, which is to strengthen the
standards for HUD- and USDA-financed
new construction separately from state
adoption provided that these were
found to meet the affordability and
availability standards.
3. IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 Alignment
With State and Local Code Amendments
One commenter noted that the
adoption of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019 creates ‘‘hurdles in states that
have not yet adopted these versions of
the codes or have amended the codes so
they are not deemed equivalent.’’ The
commenter suggested that HUD and
USDA should ‘‘conduct further due
diligence on these issues’’ to better
understand the practical impact of
updating the code requirements.
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA postpone issuing the final
determination until a critical mass of
states adopt the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards. The
commenter stated that prematurely
enforcing these new standards will lead
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to jurisdictions being unprepared to
review or verify compliance;
construction trades being untrained in
implementing the new energy efficiency
measures; builders, developers, and
designers not being ready to transition
to the new standards; third-party
verification organizations being
unprepared to certify compliance;
appraisers not being able to recognize
the added costs in valuations; and
coordination with other code
requirements at the jurisdictional level
having limited time, leading to noncompliance and performance issues.
HUD–USDA Response. As noted in
the above response, HUD and USDA
recognize the potential challenges
regarding compliance with the statutory
requirement to adopt the most recent
edition of the codes that may exceed the
standards adopted by a state or locality.
The preliminary determination
provided an extensive discussion and
analysis of the impact that adoption of
the 2021 IECC would have on the
availability of agency-financed housing.
In places which have a significant share
of FHA-insured or HUD-financed
housing, including California (7,977
total units), Florida (22,607 total units),
Georgia (9,736 total units), North
Carolina (8,432 total units) and Texas
(41,230 total units), HUD and USDA
have determined that builders are more
likely to build to the standards covered
under this notice.
HUD and USDA also note that state
adoption is an ongoing process: as of
December 2023, only five states have
adopted a code that meets or exceeds
the 2021 IECC; however, five additional
states have adopted the 2021 IECC,
although with weakening amendments.
Additionally, a significant number of
states are currently actively considering
the adoption of this standard (with or
without amendments). Some 20 states
are currently considering adoption of
the 2021 IECC; when combined with the
10 states that have already adopted the
2021 IECC, or codes that meet or exceed
the 2021 IECC, these states represent
approximately 50 percent (an estimated
80,000 units) of HUD and USDA
financed units projected to be impacted
by this determination.
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In summary, while the statute
specifically limits HUD and USDA’s
ability to tie code requirements to the
level or extent of state adoption of these
requirements, from a practical point of
view the pipeline of states currently
considering or projected to adopt the
2021 IECC discussed above indicates
that by the time the HUD and USDA
2021 IECC requirement takes effect,
many more states will in fact have
adopted the 2021 IECC or its equivalent,
thereby aligning the HUD and USDA
standard more directly with state or
local code adoption. Additionally, HUD
and USDA will put in place a technical
assistance and training program to better
enable builders, architects, and
engineers to meet the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards.
C. Cost-Benefit Methodology Utilized by
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
(PNNL) as Described in the Preliminary
Determination
HUD and USDA requested comments
on the methodology developed by PNNL
and used by the agencies for their
affordability analysis. Most comments
received in response to this question
were in support of the PNNL costbenefit analysis. One commenter
presented their own analysis, conducted
by ICF, which aligns with the PNNL
analysis and found that the 2021 IECC
is cost effective when compared to the
2018 IECC across all climate zones.
However, some commenters shared
concerns regarding the methodology
used in the cost-benefit analysis. Among
these concerns, two commenters
expressed that the PNNL study
overestimated the value of future
savings, particularly for low-income
buyers. Others raised concerns with the
incremental costs, as well as the
economic factors used to estimate cash
flow and life cycle savings. One
commenter presented an analysis
prepared by Home Innovation Research
Labs (Home Innovation) disputing
PNNL’s analysis, showing significantly
higher cost estimates than the PNNL
costs used by HUD and USDA for their
analysis.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA acknowledge the many
supportive comments on the cost-
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benefit analysis included in the
preliminary determination. This
analysis accurately reflected the
economic landscape at the time of
development in 2020. In addition, HUD
and USDA reviewed the independent
cost-benefit studies referenced in the
public comments, one of which, by ICF,
affirms PNNL’s analysis and one of
which (Home Innovation) disputes
PNNL’s analysis.
In general, HUD and USDA affirm the
original analysis and methodology
conducted by PNNL used by the
agencies in the preliminary
determination; however the agencies
recognize that significant time has
elapsed since the analysis was
conducted in 2020 and have accordingly
revised their analysis to include
updated economic factors that better
reflect current market conditions,
including a significant increase in
construction costs to reflect the supplychain and other factors that have
impacted construction costs from 2020–
23. The appropriate tables have been
revised in the final determination.49
1. Construction Cost Estimates
One commenter stated that the
construction costs used in the PNNL
analysis are substantially lower than the
current market costs. The commenter
included a summary of alternative cost
estimates based on Home Innovation’s
analysis which demonstrates a much
more significant (negative) impact on
affordability.50 The commenter also
stated that the cost effectiveness
analysis should consider the amount
paid by the consumer as well as the
builder, i.e., should include builder
gross profit margins as a cost factor.
49 The final determination uses the same cost
effectiveness methodology as the RIA, which HUD
developed based on PNNL’s incremental cost and
energy cost savings figures. A key difference
between the methodologies is that PNNL includes
residual value and replacement costs in their
calculation. Page 25 of the RIA explains why these
factors are not included in this alternative
methodology.
50 Home Innovation Research Labs, 2021 IECC
Residential Cost Effectiveness Analysis, June 2021,
https://www.homeinnovation.com/-/media/Files/
Reports/2021-IECC-Residential-Cost-EffectivenessAnalysis.pdf.
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HUD–USDA Response: The analysis
produced by PNNL was developed with
a methodology that underwent a
rigorous public comment and peer
review process, has been used for costbenefit analysis of the revised editions
of the IECC and ASHRAE since the 2006
IECC. The Home Innovation report and
a response report developed by ICF are
independent, third-party studies that
include additional data and analysis but
are not peer reviewed nor do they
follow a federally approved
methodology. HUD carefully reviewed
the cost estimates provided in the Home
Innovation report. The agency
recognizes that the incremental cost
estimates in the Home Innovation report
are two to three times higher than those
estimated by PNNL, but ultimately
determined that the current analysis’
approach and findings most accurately
represent accepted means of assessing
building energy code impacts, including
anticipated cost impacts. Additionally,
there are other entities (ICF) that
estimate lower cost increases than those
calculated by DOE/PNNL.
It is important to note that both
independent studies show consensus
with the PNNL energy savings estimates
used by HUD and USDA in their
determination. Home Innovation
concluded that energy savings from
adopting the code would range from 6.4
percent to 11.6 percent depending upon
the additional option chosen. For the
basic package plus the water heater
option, Home Innovation found a
reduction of 9.7 percent of energy
expenditures. This range is similar to
the estimate reported by PNNL of 8
percent for single family homes (see RIA
Figure 11).51 However, the costeffectiveness analysis conducted by
Home Innovation estimates significantly
higher incremental costs for the 2021
IECC over the 2018 IECC, ranging from
$6,548 to $9,301 per house on average,
compared to the government estimate of
$2,372 per home; while the Home
Innovation savings estimates are the
same as those estimated by DOE, the
higher estimated cost in the Home
Innovation report result in significant
differences in estimated simple payback
periods for the initial investment.52
With regard to construction cost
estimates, the agencies would expect
there to be slight differences in the cost
estimates given the variety of building
types, methods of compliance, costs of
materials, and quantity of materials.
51 https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/
files/2021-07/2021_IECC_Final_Determination_
AnalysisTSD.pdf.
52 https://www.nahb.org/-/media/NAHB/
advocacy/docs/top-priorities/codes/code-adoption/
2021-iecc-cost-effectiveness-analysis-hirl.pdf.
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However, the differences between these
the PNNL and Home Innovation
estimates are unusually large: HUD and
USDA attribute such a large difference
to two factors: Home Innovation’s
assumption of a high profit margin and
differences between the configuration of
the model homes used by PNNL and
Home Innovation respectively.
The representativeness of the Home
Innovation and PNNL data are not
equivalent. The set of prototypes PNNL
uses in its analysis are designed to
represent the majority of the new
residential building construction stock
in the United States using a
combination of U.S. Census, RECS, and
Home Innovation data. DOE’s
established methodology uses a suite of
representative residential prototype
buildings, including a single family and
a low-rise multifamily residential
building, each with four different
foundation types (i.e., slab-on-grade,
vented crawlspace, heated basement,
unheated basement) and four heating
system types (i.e., gas furnace, electric
resistance, heat pump, fuel oil furnace).
The Standard Reference House by Home
Innovation is primarily based on the
results of the 2008–2009 Annual Builder
Practices Survey (ABPS). The ABPS is
an annual national survey of builders
that gauges national and regional
building practices and material use.
This survey represents a comprehensive
source of general housing characteristics
in the United States and contains
information on building square footage,
wall square footage, climate-based
foundation type, climate-based wall
construction type, and other residential
construction characteristics. The
parameters represent the average (mean)
values from the survey for building
areas and features not dictated by the
2006 IECC.
The Home Innovation study
calculates the unit cost of any change
and adds to that an overhead and profit
premium of approximately 27 percent.
For example, the incremental cost to the
builder of installing a square foot of
ceiling insulation is 59 cents per square
foot, which is derived by inflating the
46-cent incremental cost by the
overhead premium. The total
incremental cost to the producer is
given by the inflated unit cost of 59
cents and the quantity (1,875 square feet
of ceiling insulation) to settle on an
estimate of $1,106. The cost paid by the
consumer is assumed to be the cost to
the producer plus a return of 23.5
percent on the change in costs. The cost
to the consumer of requiring thicker
ceiling insulation would then be $1,366
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(1.235 × $1,106).53 Adding these
markups on incremental costs would
inflate the cost estimate by 57 percent
(1.27 × 1.235).
The design of the home plays a role
by determining the quantity of
insulation. The model single family
homes of PNNL are similar in terms of
living space (floor area). The Home
Innovation model is less dense,
however, and has more of its floor area
in the first floor than the second floor.
A low-density design leads to larger
areas exposed to the exterior and in
need of insulation. For example,
although the floor area of the Home
Innovation home is only 5 percent
greater, the ceiling area requiring
insulation is 56 percent greater.
The profit assumption combined with
the design of the home would lead to
cost estimates approximately 2.2 times
larger than the PNNL analysis. (The
PNNL cost estimates include a 15
percent overhead and profit.)
While HUD and USDA continue to
rely on PNNL construction cost
estimates, the agencies recognize that
construction costs have increased since
the original analysis was conducted of
the 2021 IECC. Accordingly, a supply
chain cost increase factor of 37 percent
has been applied to the incremental cost
of adopting the new code to account for
the increase in inputs for residential
construction over the 2020–23 period.
The 37 percent increase is derived by
from the Bureau for Labor Statistics’
Producer Price Index for inputs to
residential construction less energy and
cited by the NAHB in their monthly Eye
on Housing blog.54 Tables 13–15 in the
Final Determination have been updated
to reflect this cost increase.
2. Builder vs. Consumer Costs
One commenter asserted that the
PNNL analysis relied on by HUD and
USDA is based on costs experienced by
the builder and does not account for the
full costs experienced by the
homeowner, including mark-ups such
as builder profit margin.
HUD–USDA Response: Profit margin
is already included in the DOE/PNNL
Methodology. The PNNL methodology
for evaluating the impacts of building
energy codes defines first cost as the
marginal retail cost of implementing a
53 HUD expects that builder profits would
diminish rather than increase from this regulation.
The NAHB implies the reverse: that the increase in
revenue is greater will be greater than the cost. It
is more likely that profit rates will fall.
54 Producer Price Index Report, https://
www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm. See NAHB,
Eye on Housing, Building Materials Prices Fall for
Second Month Straight, https://eyeonhousing.org/
2023/06/building-materials-prices-fall-for-secondmonth-straight/.
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code change. This includes the price
experienced by the home buyer,
including materials, labor, equipment,
overhead, and profit. A factor of 15
percent is included for overhead and
profit.
3. Reliance on Simple Payback vs. Life
Cycle Cost Savings
Another commenter cited an
independent cost analysis by ICF of the
Home Innovation report. The ICF
analysis concluded that the Home
Innovation analysis only evaluates cost
effectiveness with a simple payback
metric, which ignores many longer-term
factors in the economic performance of
an energy efficiency investment.
HUD–USDA Response: Beyond the
specific figures cited by the commenter,
the Home Innovation cost analysis is
based solely on a simple payback metric
which divides an incremental cost by
the associated consumer cost savings to
identify the time, typically in number of
years, required to ‘‘pay back’’ the initial
investment. While being a
straightforward metric and relatively
simple to calculate, it is not deemed
sufficient to capture the full range of
costs and benefits experienced by the
home buyer. A life-cycle cost analysis is
preferred as the widely accepted means
of evaluating incremental costs of
construction, including updated
building energy efficiency standards,
against expected consumer cost savings.
The life-cycle approach accounts for the
incremental costs of construction and
consumer cost savings, as well as other
costs and impacts experienced by the
homeowner, including maintenance and
replacement costs associated with a
given measure. The Congressionallyrecognized energy code development
and consensus bodies, the International
Code Council (ICC) and ASHRAE 90.1,
both rely upon a life-cycle based
approach for evaluating the cost impacts
of their updated codes. As the Home
Innovation analysis relies solely on
simple payback, it is not directly
comparable to the life-cycle cost
analysis developed by PNNL and used
in this notice by HUD and USDA. That
said, USDA and HUD do include simple
paybacks in their analysis, but provide
it as a supplemental rather than primary
measure of affordability.
4. Financing and Economic Factors Do
Not Reflect Current Market Conditions
Several commenters raised concerns
about certain economic factors used for
the cash flow and Life Cycle Cost
savings analysis in the preliminary
determination and the RIA. The main
concerns were with savings estimates,
interest rates, down payments, discount
rates, payback period, and applicability
for typical FHA and USDA borrowers.
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA should conduct additional
analysis on the costs of compliance for
their federal programs. Commenters
stated that the PNNL analysis assumed
an inflation rate of 1.4 percent and a
mortgage rate of 3 percent while, as of
July 2023, the inflation rate is 3.0
percent and mortgage rates are 6.97
percent. They also stated that the PNNL
use of a 12 percent downpayment does
not reflect the average downpayment for
an FHA or USDA borrower, which are
stated as 4.5 percent and zero percent
respectively.
33135
One commenter also suggested the
cost effectiveness analysis used in the
preliminary determination does not
reflect the typical FHA and USDA
borrowers for single family homes. The
commenter suggested that ‘‘HUD and
USDA should conduct an independent
analysis of the cost impact on the
typical lending profiles for the
borrowers that use their programs and
customize the analysis to represent their
clients more accurately.’’
HUD–USDA Response: Regarding
comments received on the economic
factors used in the analysis, HUD and
USDA address the effect of the
relationship between the mortgage
interest rate and the consumer’s
discount rate on mortgage affordability
on page 31 of the RIA. Additionally,
HUD and USDA did consider the
differences in monthly mortgage
payments and insurance premiums
between HUD and USDA borrowers and
the average borrower in PNNL’s
analysis. See pages 33–43 of the RIA for
cash flow impacts to FHA and USDA
borrowers.
At the same time, the agencies
understand the significance of COVID–
19 and global supply chain issues on
factors such as inflation, interest rates,
and energy prices. This issue is not
unique to this final determination, as
the ICC and DOE have also updated the
economic factors proposed for
determining the cost effectiveness of the
2024 IECC, as outlined below in Table
7.55 These factors were agreed to by all
stakeholders in the consensus process,
including the home building industry.
Table 7. ICC Economic Factors for 2024 IECC Analysis
Value
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Period of Analysis
Inflation Rate
Fuel price escalators
55 2024 IECC Residential Cost Effectiveness
Analysis Proposal, https://www.iccsafe.org/wp-
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Source
3.84% nominal
30 years
12%
1%
3.84% nominal
7%real
3%real
30 years
2.3%
Electricity: -0.1 %
Gas: 0.5%
Prooane: 1.4%
Jkt 262001
Freddie Mac 5-vear average
DOE 2021 Cost Effectiveness Analysis
DOE 2021 Cost Effectiveness Analysis
DOE 2021 Cost Effectiveness Analysis
30-year mortgage rate
2003 0MB Circular A-4
2003 0MB Circular A-4
EIAAEO2021
EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2021
reference case, residential by fuel,
national
content/uploads/IECC_res_cost_effectiveness_
proposal_final.pdf.
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HUD and USDA have used similar or
equivalent sources, updated to reflect
2023 costs and fuel price escalators and
mortgage interest rates to revise the
economic factors used in the
preliminary determination’s
affordability analysis to reflect current
market conditions (Tables 13–16). This
acknowledges the unusual
circumstances of the recent four-year
2020–23 period, both with regard to
increased mortgage interest rates as well
as COVID-related supply chain
shortages and associated cost increases.
With these revisions, HUD and USDA
have adopted a modified DOE
methodology for the analysis. The
analysis is based on the original cost
effectiveness results from PNNL;
however, it has been updated as
described in response to several public
comments. The economic parameters
that have been revised are listed below
in Table 8.
Table 8. Revised Economic Parameters for Final Determination
Value
Suooly Chain Cost Increase Factor
Energy Price Increase Factor
Real: 3%
Nominal: 5.3%
Real: 3%
Nominal: 5.3%
37%
32%
Fuel price escalator
1.9%
FHA Savings Reduction Factor
FHA Cost Reduction Factor
Down payment
3%
5%
5%
Inflation
2.24%
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Discount Rate
These revisions better reflect impacts
on HUD and USDA borrowers and also
account for the higher cost of
construction materials and labor, as well
as increased energy prices over the past
three years, as follows:
Economic Factors:
• Construction cost increase (2020–
23). A supply chain cost increase factor
of 37 percent has been applied to the
incremental cost of adopting the new
code to account for the increase in
residential construction costs 2020–23.
The 37 percent increase utilizes Bureau
of Labor Statistics’ Producer Price Index
for inputs to residential construction
less energy as reported by the National
Association of Home Builders.56
• Energy price increase (2020–22). An
energy price increase factor was
developed by averaging price for
electricity, natural gas, and heating oil
for 2020 through 2022. The three-year
averages were used to establish the rate
of increase based on PNNL’s original
energy prices for each source. Finally,
these rates were averaged based on the
residential energy mix for 2022. Data for
56 ‘‘Building
Materials Prices Fall for Second
Month Straight,’’| Eye On Housing, https://
eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/building-materialsprices-fall-for-second-month-straight.
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Source
Equal to Mortgage Interest Rate
BLS Producer Price Increase
EIA Natural Gas Prices,
Electricity Prices, Heating Oil
Prices
EIA Annual Energy Outlook
2023, Table 3. Energy Prices by
Sector and Source. Prices in
Nominal Dollars
HUD Estimate
HUD Estimate
Downpayment Factor (FHA
and USDA borrowers)
First Quarter 2024, Survey of
Professional Forecasters
calculating the energy price increase
factor was sourced from the U.S. Energy
Information Administration.57
• Energy price escalator. A new fuel
price escalator is used, based on the
estimated 30-year trends in the Energy
Information Administration’s (EIA) 2023
Annual Energy Outlook.58 While the
energy price increase reflects historical
increase in energy prices from 2020–23
and is used to estimate first year energy
savings, the energy price escalator
estimates future changes to energy
57 EIA, Natural Gas Prices: Average Residential
Price, https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_a_
EPG0_PRS_DMcf_a.htm; Heating Oil Prices: https://
www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/
LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPD2F_PRS_NUS_
DPG&f=M; Electricity Prices: Electricity data
browser—Average retail price of electricity, https://
www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/topic/
7?agg=0,1&geo=vvvvvvvvvvvvo&endsec=vg&
linechart=∼ELEC.PRICE.US-RES.
A&columnchart=ELEC.PRICE.USALL.A&map=ELEC.PRICE.US-ALL.
A&freq=A&start=2001&
end=2022&ctype=linechart&
ltype=pin&rtype=s&pin=&rse=0&maptype=0.
58 EIA, U.S. Energy Information Administration—
EIA—Independent Statistics and Analysis, https://
www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/data/browser/#/?id=3AEO2023®ion=1-0&cases=ref2023&
start=2021&end=2050&f=A&linechart=ref2023d020623a.3-3-AEO2023.1-0∼ref2023-d020623a.5-3AEO2023.1-0&map=ref2023-d020623a.3-3AEO2023.1-0&ctype=linechart&sourcekey=0.
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prices over the full period of the
analysis, changing the price for future
years to align with the expected
movement in energy prices over the 30year mortgage. The escalator is set based
on the projections with prices in
nominal dollars.
Cash Flow and Financing Factors:
• Mortgage interest rate. A 5.3
percent nominal mortgage interest rate
has been adopted, using DOE’s
established cost effectiveness
methodology. HUD and USDA have
based their analysis and the economic
parameters on DOE’s methodology
wherever possible, despite
incorporating some modifications to
reflect the current economic landscape.
• Discount rate.59 A 5.3 percent
nominal discount rate (3 percent real
discount rate) has been adopted for the
purpose of this Notice. The discount
rate reflects the time value of money.
Following established DOE
methodology, the discount rate has been
set equal to the mortgage interest rate in
nominal terms. Mortgage payment is an
59 Methodology for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness
of Residential Energy Code Changes, U.S.
Department of Energy, https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
residential_methodology_2015.pdf.
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investment available to consumers who
purchase homes using financing, which
makes the mortgage interest rate a
reasonable estimate for a consumer’s
alternative investment rate.
• Down payment. Down payment has
been revised from 12 percent used by
PNNL to 5 percent to better reflect the
HUD and USDA borrower. Note that this
is somewhat higher than the minimum
down payment required for FHAinsured mortgages of 3.5 percent, but
the average down payment for new
construction loans is somewhat higher
than the minimum.
• Other closing costs. A 1.75 percent
upfront mortgage insurance premium
(MIP) to reflect current FHA
requirements, a 0.55 percent annual
MIP, and one percent variable closing
costs are also included in the analysis.
• FHA Typical Home Adjustment
Factor. An FHA cost adjustment factor
and an FHA savings adjustment factor of
5 percent and 3 percent respectively
were added to adjust the PNNL analysis
to better reflect the smaller home size of
a typical FHA or USDA property (2,000
sf) compared to a conventionally
financed house modeled by PNNL
(2,774 sf).
The relevant tables in the final
determination have been updated to
reflect these revised economic factors.
Nationally, the updated economic
factors have a minor adverse impact on
the affordability of adopting the 2021
IECC. By way of illustration, Table 9
presents the new analysis included in
the Final Determination using the
revised economic factors (Table 13).
Table 9. National Costs and Benefits- 2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family)
Incremental
cost($)
Annual
energy
savings
($)
Annual
Mortgage
Increase
($)
Down
payment
and other
up-front
costs($)
Net
annual
cashflow
for year
one($)
Years to
positive
cashflow
Simple
payback
(years)
25,124
7,229
963
439
550
377
1.5
7.7
10,774
15,866
3,662
608
222
279
311
0.9
6.2
CZ2
8,313
15,871
5,436
608
330
414
168
2.5
9.2
CZ3
13,917
25,093
8,037
961
488
612
311
2.0
8.6
CZ4
19,989
31,965
8,613
1,225
523
656
527
1.2
7.2
CZ5
17,691
28,467
7,750
1,091
471
590
463
1.3
7.3
CZ6
29,834
39,409
6,886
1,510
418
524
952
0.6
4.7
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National
Average
CZ 1
30Year
PV
Benefits
($)
15,071
CZ7
39,308
51,604
8,843
1,977
537
673
1,261
0.5
4.6
CZ8
52,078
64,377
8,845
2,467
537
673
1,750
0.4
3.7
The revised economic factors provide
a revised estimate of average costs and
benefits as outlined in the preliminary
determination, both nationally and for
individual climate zones. The average
per-unit incremental cost increases to
$7,229 (compared to $5,555 in the
preliminary determination) due to the
supply chain cost increase factor of 37
percent; however, the increase is
moderated by the inclusion of the 5
percent FHA cost reduction factor to
reflect the smaller FHA-sized house
relative to the larger market as described
above. Estimated annual energy savings
increases to $963 (compared to $751 in
the preliminary determination) due to
the energy price increase factor of 32
percent. Net life cycle cost savings
become $15,071. With these revisions,
simple payback period increases slightly
from 7.6 years shown in the preliminary
determination to 7.7 years in the final
determination. Due to the revised down
payment rate of 5 percent reflecting the
average FHA borrower’s downpayment,
years to positive cashflow is reduced to
1.5 years (compared to 2 years in the
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preliminary determination).
Accordingly, HUD and USDA’s analysis
still demonstrates the affordability of
the 2021 IECC.
5. Timeframe of Analysis
One commenter recommended
calculating energy cost savings over the
economic lifespan of a building, which
is 75 years, instead of over a typical 30year mortgage period, which would
show greater energy cost savings.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA based the lifetime of the
investment for the preliminary
determination on the typical length of a
mortgage, which is 30 years. This is the
well-established cost estimate
methodology established by DOE in
consultation with the ICC and
associated stakeholder input. The
commenter is correct, and HUD and
USDA agree, that these improvements
will yield improved home quality and
energy efficiency well beyond the 30
years, potentially for the life of the
building, but there are no established
estimates for accurately or reliably
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estimating these longer-term benefits. It
is also likely that homeowners will
upgrade their homes with more efficient
equipment or improved building
measures such as higher performance
windows. While DOE’s analysis
includes replacement costs over the
period of a typical mortgage, estimates
of efficiency gains beyond that period
are not included in the modeling here.
D. Impact of Manually Operated
Bathroom Fans Allowed Under the IECC
on Indoor Air Quality and the Health of
Occupants
HUD and USDA requested comments
on anecdotal reports that because
manually operated bathroom fans
allowed under the IECC to meet
ventilation requirements rely on
occupant action to operate them, these
may impact indoor air quality and the
health of occupants.
There were no comments, supportive
or otherwise, that directly addressed the
possible health concern caused by the
use of manually operated bathroom fans
to meet IECC ventilation requirements.
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However, several comments were
received on moisture management, and
ventilation issues. One commenter
reiterated the importance of moisture
management in energy efficient
buildings and recommended the use of
energy recovery ventilation (ERV) or
heat recovery ventilation (HRV)
equipment. Another commenter
indicated that ‘‘HUD must ensure that
that the benefits of the proposed
standards do not come at the expense of
resident health,’’ noting that updated
energy codes require more tightly sealed
envelopes that, if not accompanied by
appropriate and well-maintained
ventilation, may create the risk of
moisture retention and mold,
accumulation of indoor air pollutants,
and other causes of building related
illness. The commenter proposed that
HUD should ‘‘fully fund and vigorously
implement’’ time-of-construction
inspections to enforce ventilation
requirements such as ASHRAE 62.1 and
62.2, as well as on-going NSPIRE
inspections.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA share the commenter’s
commitment to resident health in
energy efficient buildings. The 2021
IECC sets maximum air leakage of 5.0
ACH50 (5 air changes per hour) or 0.28
CFM/sf as measured by a blower door
test, or 3.0ACH50 when following
prescriptive requirements (allows for
0.30 CFM/sf enclosure area for attached
dwelling units and buildings that are
1,500 sf or smaller). The IECC requires
compliance with Section M1505 of the
International Residential Code (IRC),
which sets minimum ventilation rates
for whole house ventilation systems as
well as local exhaust rates. ASHRAE
90.1 for multifamily buildings
references ASHRAE 62.2, Ventilation
and Acceptable Indoor Air Quality in
residential buildings.
Regarding energy or heat recovery
systems, the 2021 IECC requires such
systems for Climate Zones 7 and 8
(colder climate zones), but these are
optional in other climate zones. Heat
Recovery Systems (HRVs) supply
continuous fresh air from outside the
home and recover between 60–95
percent of heat in exhaust air, thereby
contributing significantly to the energy
efficiency of a building. Energy
Recovery Systems (ERVs) can exchange
both heat and moisture, thereby keeping
humidity levels relatively stable.
E. Potential Fire Code Issues Associated
With Air-Sealing Requirements for
Attached Single Family Homes or LowRise Multifamily Properties
HUD and USDA asked for comments
on potential challenges to meeting both
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the more stringent air sealing
requirements introduced in the 2012
IECC (3 ACH 50 in certain climate
zones) as well as fire code specifications
in attached row-house, town home or
multifamily settings. This had been
identified as a possible barrier when
3ACH 50 was originally proposed in the
2012 IECC.
Several commenters indicated that the
2021 IECC air leakage requirements of 3
air changes per hour or 5 air changes per
hour at 50 pascals depending on the
climate zone should not present fire
code issues for single family attached
homes or low-rise multifamily
properties. Commenters experienced on
the issue indicated that they have no
knowledge of any challenges meeting
the 2021 IECC air leakage requirements
and fully complying with the fire code.
One commenter included that 28 states
and more localities have implemented
the code without any fire code issues.
Another commenter stated that
technologies exist to comply with air
leakage and fire code requirements
without challenges.
HUD–USDA Response: Air sealing of
area separation wall assemblies in
multifamily buildings had been
identified by DOE and others as a
barrier that limits the ability of builders
to cost effectively achieve higher energy
efficiency and quality levels in
multifamily housing.60
Air leakage through these assemblies
could also be a barrier to achieving air
leakage limits mandated by the IRC and
IECC. More specifically, fire blocking
sealants approved for use to seal
framing penetrations within a dwelling
are not allowed to be used to seal the
perimeter of 3⁄4 inch air space required
in UL 263 (also ASTM E119) area
separation walls. This unsealed
perimeter condition makes these walls
porous to airflow coming from the
exterior or from attached garages.
Training materials from the Energy
Efficient Building Association (EEBA)
also indicate that the 3 ACH 50 air
sealing requirement may be a
challenging target for townhomes or
where there are common walls between
units, and that there is a lack of clarity
in how to air seal the wall between
these units without violating the firerated assembly.61 EEBA indicated that
there have been some breakthroughs
60 Department of Energy, Building America Expert
Meeting: Code Challenges with Multifamily Area
Separation Walls, 2015.
61 Energy Efficient Building Association (EEBA),
Air Sealing Requirements for IECC 2021 with
Building Code Expert Joe Nebbia; Excerpts from
Module 6 of an 8-Part IECC 2021 Code Series,
https://www.eeba.org/air-sealing-requirements-foriecc-2021-with-building-code-expert-joe-nebbia.
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recently with retesting fire-rated wall
assemblies with specific foams and
sealants to show that they will perform,
and several options are now listed in the
UL database. Based on the comments
received, this issue seems to have been
resolved.
F. Time Required for Builders and
Building Designers To Familiarize
Themselves With the New Codes and
Training or Technical Support That
May Be Required
HUD and USDA requested comments
on the time required for builders and
building designers to familiarize
themselves with the new codes, the
training or technical support that may
be required by building professionals
and local code officials on the new
requirements of the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards,
workforce training needs, and any other
issues related to implementation of
these standards. Comments on
particular challenges or issues facing
rural areas in adoption and/or
implementation of these codes were also
requested.
1. Implementation Timeline
Several commenters indicated that
HUD and USDA should implement the
new 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
standards in a way that accommodates
time requirements, training and
technical support requirements, and
other issues necessary for builders and
building designers to meet the new
codes.
One commenter noted that
implementation of these standards has
already begun in certain states and
localities. One commenter suggested
that the implementation timeline should
align with state activities and federal
incentives to best ensure the intended
benefits are achieved. Another
commenter suggested that an
implementation timeline of at least two
years be adopted to enable builders and
code enforcement officials to become
familiar with the new standards.
Some of the commenters suggested
approaches to most easily support the
implementation of the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards. Several
commenters advised HUD and USDA to
recognize and consider key market
dynamics, including supply chain
issues and contractor education and
training in the development of an
implementation timeline. One
commenter suggested that HUD and
USDA should clarify compliance
requirements for builders and conduct
training for builders, developers,
designers, and construction workers on
the new codes.
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One commenter suggested that
extending the implementation timeline,
particularly for FHA-insured and
USDA-guaranteed loans, would improve
the implementation process of the new
requirements. The commenter stated
that such an extension may be necessary
to align the proposed HUD and USDA
requirements with the Inflation
Reduction Act section 50131 funding,
which serves to assist jurisdictions in
the adoption and effective
implementation of energy codes that
meet or exceed the 2021 IECC.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA agree that the implementation
time period for new editions of the
codes needs to have some flexibility to
allow for proper training and education
of builders on the requirements of the
most recent editions of the IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1. Note, however, such
training is already offered by, for
example, the Regional Energy Efficiency
Organizations (REEOs), such as SPEER
in Texas and Oklahoma, and there are
already builders that are using these
codes. Some states have also already
required them or exceeded them. In
addition, DOE is offering new funding
for energy codes training for the
building industry, states, and local
municipalities.
HUD and USDA also agree that
alignment with existing or new sources
of funding that can assist in the effective
implementation of the energy codes will
be useful. This transition will have
some learning curves. The agencies
anticipate gradual adoption beginning
for some programs at the publication of
this notice and full implementation
within all programs covered by this
final notice by the date of January 1,
2025, or later for certain programs.
HUD and USDA also agree that there
is a need to align federal incentives that
can assist builders to become trained in
these codes. HUD and USDA are
working with DOE and the states to
leverage the unprecedented levels of
funding through the Bipartisan
Infrastructure Law (BIL) and Inflation
Reduction Act (IRA) to support builders
and developers in complying with the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
standards proposed in this notice. This
funding includes $225 million in BIL
funding for state agencies to partner
with key stakeholders, such as local
building code agencies, codes and
standards developers, and associations
of builders and design and construction
professionals to update their building
codes. In addition, another $1 billion in
IRA funds is available to support states,
territories, and jurisdictions with the
authority to adopt energy codes in
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adopting and implementing the latest
energy codes and zero energy codes.
DOE has already released funding in
advance of this notice to support the
training of builders in these codes. As
part of the $225 million in BIL funding,
DOE announced $90 million as Resilient
and Efficient Codes Implementation
(RECI) competitive grant awards in July
2023 to help states and partnering
organizations implement updated
building energy codes. This funding is
the first installment of a 5-year program
established to support building energy
code adoption, training, and technical
assistance at the state and local levels.
Twenty-seven awards were made in 26
states.62 In addition, in September 2023
DOE announced another $400 million in
IRA formula funds to the states to
implement energy codes; $240 million
will be available to adopt and
implement the latest building energy
code, the 2021 IECC for residential
buildings and ANSI/ASHRAE/IES
Standard 90.1–2019 for commercial
buildings, or other codes that achieve
equivalent or greater energy savings.63
HUD and USDA will work with DOE
and its grant recipients to leverage
technical assistance and training for
builders, developers, and others
involved in building HUD- and USDAfinanced housing.
In addition to the BIL and IRA funds
awarded to states to advance adoption
of more current energy codes, including
the 2021 IECC and zero energy codes,
HUD and USDA anticipate a significant
increase in the number of new homes
certifying to Energy Star New Home or
ZERH standards as builders take
advantage of the Section 45L tax credits
of up to $2,500 and $5,000 that are now
available to build to these standards.
Building to these standards will
automatically comply with 2021 IECC
requirements. For multifamily, tax
credits of up to $2,500 per unit for
Energy Star Multifamily New
Construction and up to $5,000 per unit
for DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes for
multifamily homes are now available as
well, when builders comply with
prevailing wage requirements.
Some affordable housing builders of
rental housing are already building to
higher energy standards as required by
state, federal, or local affordable housing
funding streams. A significant driver of
62 https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harrisadministration-announces-90-million-supportresilient-and-efficient-building.
63 $160 million will be available to adopt and
implement the zero energy provisions in the 2021
IECC, or other codes with equivalent or greater
energy savings. https://www.energy.gov/articles/
biden-harris-administration-announces-400million-states-improve-building-energy.
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33139
affordable housing is the Low-Income
Housing Tax Credit, administered by the
states. Some states set their energy
requirements to exceed prevailing state
codes in their Qualified Allocation
Plans (QAPs); housing developers who
take advantage of such funding are
already well versed in meeting higher
level energy codes than the baseline.
Regarding comments that HUD and
USDA should align its implementation
timeline requirements with state code
adoption timetables, states follow a
wide range of schedules and procedures
when considering adoption of the new
editions of the codes. States adopt
building codes on their own timelines,
with some achieving or exceeding the
code levels of energy efficiency and
others not adopting any code at all. The
statutory requirement governing this
notice does not provide for HUD and
USDA adoption of prevailing state
standards but sets the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 as published by the
relevant code bodies as the required
standard for the covered programs.
2. Need for Training and Technical
Assistance
Several commenters stated the need
for training on the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards to limit
the potential gap between the efficiency
levels required in the standards and the
efficiency levels achieved in the field.
One commenter stated that a lack of
training can result in poor
implementation of the code and cause
unintended building performance and
compliance issues.
One commenter referenced a DOE
study that found proper training for
code officials and the construction
community can reduce energy costs by
an average of 45 percent due to varying
levels of compliance with the codes.
Another commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA provide free code books and
workbooks as part of the training and
technical assistance for builders and
building designers to alleviate the cost
concerns related to training materials
and resources. One commenter
suggested that HUD and USDA should
offer a comprehensive, no-cost training
program to ensure equal access to the
material necessary to comply with the
new standards. The commenter also
suggested that the Federal government
should cover the cost of any technical
training or equipment necessary for
nonprofit housing developers to meet
the new standards.
HUD–USDA Response: As with any
code update, training is indeed an
important issue, particularly for changes
that include fundamental changes in
technology, materials, or practices. In
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updating to the 2021 standard, the
primary focal points will be wall
insulation, mechanical systems, and
envelope air tightness. Due to the
outdated nature of the 2009 IECC, many
of these transitions and practices are
already happening across the country.
Recent energy code field studies,
including those conducted by DOE in
the 2014 through 2023 timeframe,
indicate that higher insulation values,
better windows, more advanced
mechanicals, and tighter envelopes are
already commonplace due to natural
market forces and advancements in
building products.
Even with this being the case, HUD
and USDA will develop training
materials and offer training to builders,
developers, and lenders through
guidance materials and webinars to
support the implementation of these
new standards, as described in detail in
section A.2. above.
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3. Enforcement and Compliance
Several commenters emphasized the
need to prioritize enforcement of the
standards upon enacting the new
requirement to ensure the new
requirements are being met. One
commenter suggested allowing builders
to demonstrate compliance through
DOE’s REScheck code compliance tool.
One commenter suggested that HUD and
USDA should ensure ventilation
maintenance meets the higher standard
required in tightly sealed buildings. One
commenter suggested that HUD and
USDA provide technical assistance to
state and local officials to support
enforcement. One commenter suggested
that HUD and USDA should conduct a
post-implementation study to assess
compliance and enforcement over the
first one to two years of the new
requirements.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA agree that enforcement of the
standards will be important in ensuring
compliance with the standard. The
agencies are anticipated to rely on selfcertification that builders and
developers will comply with the code
requirements specified in this notice.
For single family FHA-insured
properties, FHA employs selfcertification requirements for many of
their policies and program requirements
and may pursue enforcement for any
false claims or false statements made.
Enforcement can include criminal
penalties, civil penalties, or both.
For FHA single family new
construction, in HUD–92541, HUD
already requires the builder to certify
that the new construction meets or
exceeds the 2009 IECC; this certification
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will be updated for the 2021 IECC.64
HUD will update the Minimum Property
Standards referenced in HUD–92544
with a conforming amendment to align
with the requirements of this notice;
HUD is the final adjudicator of whether
a defect exists and whether the remedy
is required.65
Certainly, REScheck is a tool that can
be used to demonstrate compliance; it is
a DOE-supported tool for builders,
designers, and contractors to quickly
and easily determine whether new
homes, additions, and alterations meet
the requirements of the IECC or a
number of state energy codes. REScheck
also simplifies compliance
determinations for building officials,
plan checkers, and inspectors by
allowing them to quickly determine if a
low-rise residence meets the code.
Note that REScheck is set up for
building envelope-related insulation
and window trade-off calculations in
residential single family and low-rise
multifamily buildings only; it is not
used for the IECC performance path,
which relies on other energy modeling
tools, e.g., HERS or IC3. REScheck
works by performing a simple U-factor
x Area (UA) calculation for each
building assembly to determine the
overall UA of a building. The UA that
would result from a building
conforming to the code requirements is
compared to the UA for the building
constructed. If the total heat loss
(represented as a UA) through the
envelope of a building does not exceed
the total heat loss from the same
building conforming to the code, the
software generates a report that declares
the building is compliant with the code.
G. Impact and Duration of COVIDRelated Supply Chain Challenges for
Certain Products and Materials,
Particularly But Not Exclusively for
Lumber Products
HUD and USDA’s preliminary
determination acknowledged the
construction industry’s experience with
COVID-related supply chain challenges
for certain products and materials,
particularly but not exclusively for
lumber products, leading to significant
price increases in such products as
framing lumber, plywood, and oriented
strand board (OSB). The agencies
solicited comments on the duration,
persistence and intensity of these price
increases, the extent to which they may
impact the cost of energy related
products or materials covered by the
64 HUD Builder Certification, https://
www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/OCHCO/documents/
92541.pdf.
65 https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/OCHCO/
documents/92544.pdf.
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IECC or ASHRAE 90.1 energy codes
addressed in this notice, and to what
extent these supply chain issues may
impact implementation of the codes
addressed by this notice.
One commenter affirmed the
insulation industry’s ability to meet any
increase in demand as a result of
requiring the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019 standards.
Two commenters expressed concern
for the construction industry’s ability to
meet the additional demand caused by
HUD and USDA’s requirement of the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
standards. A commenter stated that
additional code requirements will
exacerbate the existing stresses for
homebuyers and developers, which
include market scarcity, rising prices,
high interest rates, increased
construction costs, labor shortages, and
limited subsidies.
One commenter stated their concern
with construction costs continuing to
rise which impacts affordability on top
of supply shortages for required
materials such as windows, insulation,
and other components. The commenter
highlighted the fact that HUD’s National
Housing Market Summary for the first
quarter of 2023 indicated that rising
construction costs are expected to have
an ongoing impact on the affordability
of rental housing. Another commenter
suggested that the agencies create a right
of review on a case-by-case basis for
builders unable to source required
building materials.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA recognize that there were
significant cost increases in certain
construction materials resulting from
specific COVID-related supply chain
shortages, as well as inflation. The
agencies have included a construction
cost increase using the Bureau of Labor
Statistics Producer Price Index (PPI) of
37 percent, as cited by the NAHB.66 67
This reflects cost increases for
residential construction during the
2020–23 period. While this additional
cost increase adds to the initial first cost
of complying with the 2021 IECC, this
does not impact the overall affordability
of the investment, as shown in Tables
13–16 of this final determination.
With regard to material shortages
including windows and insulation and
66 BLS, Producer Price Index Commodity Data,
One-Screen Data Search, https://data.bls.gov/
PDQWeb/wp. [Under Select a Group, select ‘‘IP
Inputs to industries’’; under Select one or more
Items, select ‘‘IP23110013 Inputs to residential
construction, goods less foods and energy.’’
67 Building Materials Prices Fall for Second
Month Straight, Eye On Housing, https://
eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/building-materialsprices-fall-for-second-month-straight/.
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their potential impact on builders’
ability to comply with the latest editions
of the codes, HUD and USDA recognize
that some materials may be in short
supply and may cause construction
delays, but have been unable to
determine the scale and scope of such
shortages nationwide. In addition, the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 do
not require specialized materials that
are not already required for previous
editions. According to one recent report,
the hardest insulation material to
procure has been polyiso insulation, a
closed-cell, rigid foam board typically
used for roofing—as a result of 2021’s
winter storm Uri that disrupted the
supply chain of MDI, one of the raw
materials that goes into polyiso
insulation material.68 That resulted in a
shortage of insulation materials starting
in February 2021. In other parts of the
country, COVID–19 and transportation
issues strained supply. However, the
report cites industry sources report that
lead times for items like fiberglass
insulation and spray foam insulation
have improved in recent months.
HUD and USDA recognize that
shortages may arise as a result of
COVID–19 supply chain issues. If
shortages arise that prevent builders
from meeting the IECC 2021 and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 requirements,
builders should contact HUD or USDA
with information on the product
shortage. HUD and USDA will consider
alternate materials based on the
agencies’ review of available materials.
In addition, HUD and USDA will
publish a list of possible material
shortages and provide options for
builders to comply with the codes.
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H. Alignment With Green Building
Standards and Alternate Compliance
Paths
The preliminary determination noted
that HUD and USDA currently provide
incentives or require green building
standards for some programs and their
interest in maximizing alignment
between the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019 and these green building
standards. Recognizing that there might
be a lag time between the publication of
the current editions of the IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1 and their incorporation in
these green building standards, the
agencies requested comments on the
current minimum IECC and ASHRAE
90.1 requirements in these standards,
and/or the timetable for adopting the
68 Construction Dive, Construction’s supply chain
outlook: more shortages, price hikes ahead,
November 2022 https://www.constructiondive.com/
news/supply-chain-construction-building-materialsprice-2023/636442/.
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2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 as
baseline requirements.
One comment was received on the
specific question of the baseline energy
code established in third-party green
building standards but several
comments were submitted as to how
these or other standards could be used
as alternative compliance paths for the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
requirements of this notice. Several
commenters who expressed their
support for the preliminary
determination provided suggestions for
certification alternatives to meet the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019
standards. One commenter emphasized
that any alternative compliance
pathways must enforce equivalent
building envelope standards to those
required by the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019. One commenter stated that
third-party certifications are an essential
part of expanding access to HUD and
USDA financing in markets where there
may be a lack of certified inspectors or
inspectors who are trained on an
amended energy code that does not
meet the program requirements.
1. Alternative Compliance Pathways
One commenter stated that third-party
certifications are an essential part of
expanding access to HUD and USDA
financing in markets where there may
be a lack of certified inspectors or
inspectors who are trained on an
amended energy code that does not
meet the program requirements. Several
commenters proposed that HUD and
USDA accept specific green building or
energy code standards. One commenter
proposed an alternative compliance
pathway of ENERGY STAR v3.1.
One commenter suggested HUD and
USDA accept the following as
alternative compliance pathways:
ENERGY STAR Certified Homes, DOE
Zero Energy Ready Homes, ANSI/
RESNET/ICC standard 301, Enterprise
Green Communities, ENERGY STAR
Indoor Air Plus, LEED, Living Building
Challenge, and Passive House. Multiple
commenters proposed an alternative
compliance pathway of the National
Green Building Standards.
One commenter suggested HUD and
USDA recognize the Home Energy
Rating System (HERS) Index as an
alternative compliance pathway. The
commenter suggested adopting a
threshold of a HERS Index Score of
either 60, as used by Freddie Mac for
their Single Family Green MortgageBacked Securities program, or 57 as the
equivalent index to IECC 2021. Another
commenter proposed an alternative
compliance pathway of a HERS Index
Score of 57 or lower.
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One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA accept third-party energy
and green building certifications as
alternative energy compliance methods.
Two commenters suggested that HUD
and USDA move towards the adoption
of an all-electric new construction
standard to achieve zero carbon new
homes for low- and moderate-income
communities. The commenter suggested
the adoption of the optional zeroemissions and zero-energy appendices
of the 2024 IECC and adapt the
appendixes for ASHRAE 90.1–2022.
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA offer the ASHRAE 90.2–2018
standard as an alternative compliance
pathway to the 2021 IECC standard as
it provides more flexibility to satisfy
local conditions and costs while
delivering residential building energy
performance that is approximately 50
percent less consumptive than the 2006
IECC standard and approximately 20
percent more energy efficient than the
2021 IECC standard.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA appreciate the range of
recommendations for alternative
compliance pathways suggested by the
commenters. Most of these pathways
conform to the requirements of meeting
and exceeding the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019. These are
discussed below:
• HERS Ratings. With regard to the
proposal to accept the HERS rating as an
acceptable alternative, HUD and USDA
recognize the important role that the
HERS Index plays in rating new homes
in the U.S. A recent RESNET report
shows that 330,000 homes received a
HERS rating in 2022. The commenter
recommending adoption of the HERS
Index pointed to two states,
Massachusetts and Texas, that have
adopted the HERS Index as an alternate
compliance path. Texas has adopted a
sliding scale for the HERS Index with
graduated increases in efficiency from
2022 to 2028, with a HERS Index of 55–
59 required after 2028 for Climate Zones
2,3,4. These scores are above (i.e., less
efficient than) the 2021 IECC ERI scores
of 51–54 for these zones. Massachusetts,
on the other hand, set the required
HERS rating at 52, the same as the 2021
IECC.
These alternative HERS ratings do not
include the mandatory requirements of
the 2021 IECC; accordingly, HUD and
USDA are not in a position to accept a
HERS rating as an alternative to the
2021 IECC but do recognize the growing
importance of this rating as a means to
communicate energy performance better
to homebuyers and encourage its use by
builders. The HERS rating is also an
integral part of the two federal above-
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code standards of EPA’s Energy Star for
Homes and DOE’s Zero Energy Ready
Homes, which can earn the 45L tax
credit of $2,500 and $5,000 respectively.
• Zero Energy or Zero Energy Ready
standards: HUD and USDA are aware of
the voluntary IECC zero emission
appendix and the new zero energy
appendix to ASHRAE 90.1–2022. While
the statute that governs this notice does
not allow the agencies to require an
above-code zero energy standard or zero
energy ready standard without an
affordability or availability
determination, the agencies encourage
builders to consider building to the
standards outlined in these appendices
as published by the ICC and ASHRAE
respectively. Adoption of the
appendices is at the builder or
developer’s discretion.
Additionally, there are IRA funds that
support solar and renewable energy
installations including the Greenhouse
Gas Reduction Fund and solar and
renewable energy tax credits, which are
refundable and offer greater incentives
for low-income communities. HUD and
USDA encourage builders to explore
ways to utilize this financing to build
zero energy homes that will, by
lowering energy expenditures, assist
homebuyers in achieving long-term
homeowner financial sustainability.
• Energy Star for New Construction.
Energy Star Version 3.1, the prevailing
version of the standard that is nationally
required by EPA as of January 2023, has
been modeled to exceed the 2015–2018
IECC by approximately 10 percent,
which on an overall performance basis
is likely to be equivalent or equal to the
2021 IECC. However, the absence of
specific thermal backstop requirements
specified in the 2021 IECC excludes
Version 3.1 from serving as a
compliance pathway for the 2021 ICC.
Version 3.2, however, takes effect
January 2025, and will be accepted by
HUD and USDA as an alternate
compliance path. Similarly, Energy Star
for Multifamily New Construction
Version 1.2 will be accepted as an
alternate compliance path.
• DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes
Program. The DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes Program sets rigorous efficiency
and performance criteria, with certified
homes capable of offsetting most or all
of the home’s annual energy use through
a renewable energy system. Single
family homes must achieve Single
Family Version 2 certification to be
accepted as an alternate compliance
path. Multifamily homes must achieve
Multifamily Version 2 certification,
which will be released on January 1,
2025, to be accepted as an alternate
compliance path.
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• Green Building Standards. As noted
in the preliminary determination, HUD
specifies a range of green building
certifications through a range of
programs, either as an incentive (the
Green Mortgage Insurance Premium) or
as a requirement (CDBG–DR). HUD and
USDA will accept a Green Building
Certification as a compliance pathway
upon submission and approval by the
agencies of evidence that the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019; Energy Star
Single Family New Construction
Version 3.2 certification or Version 1.2
for Multifamily New Construction
certification; or DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes Single Family Version 2 or, once
released, Multifamily Version 2 have
been established as minimum
requirements.
2. Promoting Unvented Attic Spaces
Several commenters suggested HUD
and USDA allow for the use of unvented
attics, which provide builders with
additional flexibility by enabling
insulation with lower R-values and
eliminating thermal losses from
ductwork in unconditioned attic spaces.
Two of these commenters suggested that
HUD and USDA adopt the International
Residential Building Code (IRC), which
would replace existing references to the
1994 CABO Code and enable the use of
unvented attics.
One commenter suggested that to
promote the use of unvented attics,
HUD and USDA adopt an alternative
compliance pathway for insulating
attics. The commenter suggested an
alternative standard for unvented attics
and enclosed rafter assemblies. This
included lowering R values for ceiling
insulation in Climate Zones 1–3 to R–
22 and in Climate Zones 4–8 to R–26,
requiring blower door tests results of
less than 3.0 ACH50 for all climate
zones, and other measures.
HUD–USDA Response: While
significant efficiency gains can be
achieved by locating all heating and
cooling equipment in a property’s
conditioned space and providing for
unvented attic space, the specific
proposal recommended by the
commenter would lower ceiling/roof
insulation levels below those specified
in the 2021 IECC and therefore cannot
be accepted as part of the HUD and
USDA determination. The agencies are
not able to adopt amendments to the
2021 IECC and must establish the
standard in full as is required by the
statute.
Note that the reference by the
commenter to the 1994 CABO is
assumed to reference outdated code
citations that have not been updated in
HUD regulations; HUD anticipates
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removing any references to outdated
codes in its regulations as part of its
implementation of this standard.
3. Alignment With Existing State or
Local Codes
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA take local and state
requirements into consideration when
finalizing code requirements at the
national level. Two comments were
received on how the HUD and USDA
requirements would align with adoption
by states of the 2021 IECC with
amendments. One commenter suggested
that HUD and USDA accept the IECC
code version adopted by the state where
a project is located instead of requiring
the 2021 IECC. Another commenter
stated their concern that
implementation of this proposed rule
would leave many jurisdictions out of
HUD and USDA programs, including
three states that have adopted the 2021
IECC with amendments and would not
be in compliance with this requirement.
HUD–USDA Response: HUD and
USDA recognize that states considering
IECC adoption may do so with either
weakening or strengthening
amendments. DOE’s State Portal
analyzes the impact of any amendments
to the site energy index for the energy
code adopted by each state. For
example, Idaho adopted the 2018 IECC
with amendments and DOE found these
amendments to reduce the efficiency of
the 2018 IECC to more closely resemble
the 2009 IECC.
As of December 2023, 42 states and
the District of Columbia have adopted
some version of the IECC. Of these
states, 33 have adopted the IECC with
amendments. According to DOE’s
analysis, 24 of these amendments
weaken the efficiency of the code, five
do not substantially alter the efficiency
of the code, and four improve the
efficiency of the code.69
Of the 22 states that are shown by
DOE to have adopted the 2009 IECC or
its equivalent due to weakening
amendments, two states have adopted
the 2012 IECC with weakening
amendments, six states have adopted
the 2015 IECC with weakening
amendments, nine states have adopted
the 2018 IECC with weakening
amendments, and one state have
adopted the 2021 IECC with
amendments that have been determined
by DOE to be equivalent to a weaker
code. The governing EISA-amended
Cranston Gonzalez statute does not
provide for the flexibility of amending
69 State Portal, Building Energy Codes Program,
https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. Based on
update from 09/29/2023.
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either code; the statute requires that all
housing specified in the statute ‘‘meet
the requirements of the revised code or
standard’’. (42 U.S.C. 12709(d)). HUD
and USDA recognize that many states
adopted the codes with amendments;
however, these amendments often
impact the energy efficiency of the code.
To comply with the final determination,
all impacted HUD and USDA housing
must meet or exceed the energy
efficiency of the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE
90.1–2019 regardless of any
amendments adopted to the code at the
state level.
HUD and USDA acknowledge that the
code adoption landscape has changed
and will continue to change ahead of
the final determination going into effect.
Since the drafting of the preliminary
determination, two states, Connecticut
and New Jersey, have adopted the 2021
IECC as the state requirement. With this
in mind, the estimated 150,000 single
family homes and low-rise multifamily
units and 16,550 high-rise multifamily
units affected by this notice represents
the approximate number of impacted
homes based on average annual
production from 2019 to 2021.
4. Proposed Alternative Prescriptive and
Performance Compliance Pathways
One commenter proposed an
alternative prescriptive compliance path
framework. This alternative compliance
path involves integrating the expected
2024 IECC ceiling insulation and wall
insulation requirements into the 2021
IECC, as well as a credit system for
prescriptive measures similar to that
proposed for the 2024 IECC. The same
commenter also proposed an alternative
performance compliance framework for
energy modeling software developers.
HUD–USDA Response: The
commenter is proposing an approach
that is not applicable for including in a
federal determination. These
amendments are more relevant to the
code development process, which has
been discussed in the 2021 and 2024
energy code update cycle, rather than
the code adoption process.
The EISA statute requires HUD and
USDA to adopt the code in full,
meaning that the preliminary
determination is not an opportunity to
reevaluate the code package itself. HUD
and USDA cannot specify an alternative
code that deviates from the published
and consensus-based model energy
code, which has gone through a rigorous
affordability and availability analysis in
preparation for its proposed adoption.
Both the proposed prescriptive and
performance compliance path
frameworks envision modifications to
the 2021 IECC that have been proposed
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or adopted for the 2024 IECC, e.g.,
realignment of ceiling and wall
insulation requirements (Prescriptive
Framework proposal 2), establishing
requirements for energy modeling
software for envelope backstops
(Performance Framework proposal 3).
Once the 2024 IECC is published, it
can serve as a viable alternative to the
2021 IECC for states who choose to
adopt the new code as has been the case
for states that have adopted versions
beyond the 2009 IECC over the past
decade. The proposed changes would
require modifying the 2021 IECC in a
manner that is inappropriate for this
technical review of the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards. In
addition, changes resulting from these
proposed modifications to the modeling
software would likely result in
modifications to the requirements of the
2021 IECC; modifications to the 2021
IECC are beyond the scope of the
statutory requirements that govern this
notice. HUD has provided DOE with the
performance modeling framework
proposals for consideration in future
code modeling.
I. Additional Comments
1. Veterans Administration Enhanced
Loan Underwriting Methods
One commenter suggested that HUD
and USDA add a provision for the
recently enacted Department of Veterans
Affairs (VA) enhanced loan
underwriting methods to FHA and
USDA mortgages.
HUD–USDA Response: This comment
references recently enacted legislation
requiring the VA to incorporate energy
expenditures when underwriting VA
loans (Consolidated Appropriations Act
of 2023, Section 203. Enhanced
Underwriting Methods (Pub. L. 117–
238). While the legislation does not
specify methodology for addressing
energy efficiency, it will incorporate
household energy expenditures into the
Principal Interest Taxes Insurance (PITI)
calculation. This is beyond the scope of
this notice, which does not address
underwriting methods. The agencies
will track the VA initiative for lessons
learned and applicability to HUD and
USDA programs.
2. Incorrect Montana Data
One commenter suggested that the
data utilized in the preliminary
determination to produce the energy
cost savings and financial impacts
incorrectly utilized the 2009 IECC for
the State of Montana instead of the 2021
IECC, which Montana adopted with
exceptions for cost-prohibitive
requirements based on state-specific
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variables and climate requirements in
June 2022.
HUD–USDA Response: As noted in
the preliminary determination, HUD
and USDA use DOE–PNNL assessments
of the effective or equivalent code
adopted by a state after weakening
amendments. In Montana’s case, the
state adopted the 2021 IECC with
amendments that reduce the overall
energy efficiency of the code by 10.4
percent. As such, DOE has determined
that Montana’s code functionally
resembles the 2009 IECC.70
3. Inclusion of Greenhouse Gas
Emissions
One commenter suggested that the
RIA and the final determination should
not consider the external social value of
reducing emissions of greenhouse gases
because the statute does not require its
consideration. In contrast, another
commenter suggested that the
preliminary determination may
understate the benefits associated with
updating minimum efficiency
requirements by not quantifying the
non-energy benefits from improved
efficiency as well as the total emissions
reductions.
HUD–USDA Response. Pursuant to
OMB requirements, the RIA includes
estimated reduction of carbon emissions
and associated savings in the social cost
of carbon. However, HUD and USDA
agree that the social impact of reducing
carbon emissions is not relevant to the
consumer affordability analysis required
by the statute. The inclusion of these
costs in the RIA is used to determine the
larger benefits of this regulatory action,
but they are not taken into account
when considering the affordability and
availability of the impacted housing.
4. Covered Housing vs. Existing Housing
Stock
One commenter stated that the statute
specifically requires HUD and USDA to
make a determination that the revised
codes do not negatively affect the
availability or affordability of new
construction, indicating that the
availability of new construction
specifically needs to be the point of
analysis instead of the overall
availability of the existing housing
stock. This commenter stated that this is
particularly important due to the
outsized role new homes play in the
current market, making up 31 percent of
the housing stock.
HUD–USDA Response: With regard to
considering the ‘‘overall availability’’ of
the existing housing stock, it is not clear
70 State Portal, Building Energy Codes Program,
https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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what item in the RIA or preliminary
determination the commenter is
referring to; both the RIA and the
preliminary determination focused on
the impact that this notice would have
on the supply/production of new
USDA–HUD financed housing, not on
the availability of housing outside this
stock.
The RIA does acknowledge purchase
of an existing home as an alternative
option; however, the availability
analysis focuses on impacts to new
construction as per the statute. As part
of the analysis, it takes into account the
broader economic impacts of the
proposed standards. This perspective is
included to demonstrate the substitutes
available to buyers in the real world;
however, existing homes are not
considered as a central part of the
availability analysis. HUD and USDA
have modified the RIA.
5. Impact on Increased Sprawl
One commenter suggested that the
preliminary determination does not
accurately account for the potential
increase in urban sprawl, which would
increase travel-associated greenhouse
gas emissions.
HUD–USDA Response: The
commenter raises an important point
regarding carbon emissions and the
built environment: siting and location of
housing will impact transportation
carbon emissions, as discussed in the
National Transportation
Decarbonization Blueprint. Siting
housing near transportation options or
adjacent to schools, employment,
services, and amenities will
significantly lower Vehicle Miles
Traveled (VMTs) and associated carbon
emissions. However, this is outside the
scope of this notice.
III. Final Determination—2021 IECC
A. Overview
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The IECC is a model energy code
developed by the International Code
Council (ICC) through a public hearing
process involving national experts for
single family and low-rise residential
buildings as well as commercial
buildings.71 The code contains
71 The IECC covers both residential and
commercial buildings. States that adopt the IECC
(or portions thereof) may choose to adopt the IECC
for residential buildings only or may extend the
code to commercial buildings (which include
multifamily residential buildings of four or more
stories). Chapter 4 of the IECC Commercial Code
allows compliance with ASHRAE 90.1 as an
optional compliance path.
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minimum energy efficiency provisions
for residential buildings, defined as
single family homes and low-rise
multifamily buildings (up to three
stories). The code offers both
prescriptive and performance-based
approaches. The efficiency standards
associated with the IECC set
benchmarks for a structure’s walls,
floors, ceilings, lighting, windows,
doors, duct leakage, and air leakage.
Revised editions of the IECC are
typically published every three years.
Full editions of its predecessor, the
Model Energy Code, were first
published in 1989, and new editions of
the IECC were published every three
years beginning in 1998. The residential
portion of the IECC was heavily revised
in 2004: the Climate Zones were
completely revised (reduced from 17
Zones to the current eight primary
Zones) and the building envelope
requirements were restructured into a
different format.72 The post-2004 code
became much more concise and simpler
to use, but these changes complicate
comparisons of State codes based on
pre-2004 versions of the IECC to the
more recent editions.
For single family housing, the IECC is
one component of the larger
International Residential Code (IRC).
Each version of the IRC, beginning with
the 2015 edition, has the corresponding
version of the IECC embedded directly
into that code (Chapter 11). A majority
of states have adopted some version of
the IRC. For other building types,
including multifamily housing, the
equivalent building code is the
International Building Code (IBC),
which also refers to other codes such as
the International Plumbing Code, the
International Electrical Code or, in this
case, the IECC. Those codes also then
embody or refer to other codes in the
industry, such as ASHRAE 90.1. In this
hub and spoke model, there is even
more differentiation between states
regarding which versions of which
codes are adopted as a suite of codes at
any given point in time. Even with the
72 In the early 2000s, researchers at the U.S.
Department of Energy’s Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory prepared a simplified map of U.S.
climate zones. The map was based on analysis of
the 4,775 U.S. weather sites identified by the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
as well as widely accepted classifications of world
climates that have been applied in a variety of
different disciplines. This PNNL-developed map
divided the United States into eight temperatureoriented climate zones. See https://
www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/publications/pdfs/
building_america/4_3a_ba_innov_
buildingscienceclimatemaps_011713.pdf.
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adoption of the IRC, the all-in-one code
that is focused on single family housing,
states and local areas sometimes make
adjustments to the code, removing and
in some cases adding requirements for
some building elements.
1. Current HUD–USDA Standard and
Subsequent Revisions
In May 2015, HUD and USDA
published a Final Determination that
established the 2009 IECC as the
minimum standard for both new single
family housing built with HUD and
USDA assistance and new HUD-assisted
or FHA-insured low-rise multifamily
housing.73 HUD and USDA estimated
that 3,200 multifamily units and 15,000
single family units per year could
potentially be impacted in the 16 states
that had not yet adopted either of these
codes. The average incremental cost of
the higher standard was estimated to be
$1,019 per unit, with average annual
savings of $215, for a 5-year payback
and a 1.3-year net positive cash flow.
HUD and USDA determined that
adoption of the 2009 IECC would not
negatively impact the affordability and
availability of the covered housing. The
2009 IECC represented a significant
increase in energy efficiency of 7.9
percent and a 10.8 percent cost savings
over the previous (2006) code.
Since HUD and USDA’s adoption of
the 2009 IECC, there have been four
revisions to the IECC.74 No action was
taken by the prior Administration to
comply with the statutory requirements
to consider or adopt these updated
codes.
The figure below shows the average
national energy cost savings estimated
with each version of the IECC. The
greatest incremental savings come from
the 2012 IECC (23.9 percent), followed
by the 2009 IECC (10.8 percent over the
2006 IECC), followed by the 2021 IECC
(8.7 percent). PNNL provided HUD with
cost and benefit estimates for adopting
the 2021 IECC from a baseline of the
2009 IECC and has made publicly
available estimates for adopting the
2021 IECC from a 2018 IECC baseline.
For states that have adopted standards
equivalent to the 2012 or 2015 IECC,
HUD and USDA use the estimates for
the adoption from the 2018 to the 2021
IECC, as the 2012 and 2015 IECC both
are closer to the 2018 IECC than the
2009 IECC.
73 80
FR 25901 (May 6, 2015).
2012, 2015, 2018, and 2021.
74 IECC
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Table 10. Incremental Energy Savings Associated with Each IECC Version -2006 to 2021 75
Comparison year
2009
2012
2015
2018
2021
2006
2009
2012
2015
2018
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Each successor edition since the 2009
IECC has increased energy efficiency
and offered cost savings to consumers in
varying degrees:
(1) The 2012 IECC was published in
May 2011, representing a significant
increase of 23.9 percent in energy cost
savings over the 2009 IECC.76 77 Key
changes in the 2012 edition included:
increased stringency for opaque thermal
envelope components; clarification that
sun rooms enclosing conditioned spaces
must meet the thermal envelope
provisions; requirements for a blower
door test to determine the air leakage
rate and limits for the number of
prescribed air changes per hour (ACH)
per climate zone; insulation to at least
R–3 for hot water piping; and an
increase in the minimum number of
high-efficacy electrical lighting sources
from 50 percent to 75 percent of
permanent fixtures or lamps in
permanent fixtures.78 79 This translated
into an estimated $500 or 32.1 percent
annual cost savings per unit over the
2006 IECC.80
75 Sources: DOE, 2012: https://www.pnnl.gov/
main/publications/external/technical_reports/
PNNL-22068.pdf; 2015: https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
2015_IECC_FinalDeterminationAnalysis.pdf; 2018:
https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/
2021-07/EERE-2018-BT-DET-0014-0008.pdf, 2021:
https://www.regulations.gov/document/EERE-2021BT-DET-0010-0006.
76 U.S. Department of Energy, ‘‘Updating State
Residential Building Energy Efficiency Codes: notice
of Final Determination.’’ 77 FR 29322 (May 17,
2012). https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2012-0517/pdf/2012-12000.pdf.
77 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, CostEffectiveness Analysis of the 2009 and 2012 IECC
Residential Provisions—Technical Support
Document, U.S. Department of Energy, PNNL–
22068, April 2013. https://www.pnnl.gov/main/
publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL22068.pdf.
78 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Guide
to the Changes between the 2009 and 2012
International Energy Conservation Code, U.S.
Department of Energy, PNNL–21435, May 2012.
https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/
technical_reports/PNNL-21435.pdf.
79 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Energy
savings for a Typical New Residential Dwelling Unit
Based on the 2009 and 2012 IECC as Compared to
the 2006 IECC, Letter Report, PNNL–88603, April
2013, Table 1.
80 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, CostEffectiveness Analysis of the 2009 and 2012 IECC
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National weighted
ener!!V cost savine:s (%)
10.8
23.9
0.7
2.0
8.7
(2) The 2015 IECC was substantially
the same as the 2012 edition, with a
modest increase in energy efficiency of
just 0.87 percent over the 2012 IECC.81
Revisions in this edition included:
revised provisions for existing
buildings; removal of exemption for
historic buildings; revised requirements
for building envelope and duct leakage
testing and hot water distribution
efficiency. The most notable innovation
was the introduction of a new Energy
Rating Index (ERI) performance path
that utilizes the Home Energy Rating
System (HERS) Index.
(3) The 2018 IECC also saw limited
changes to the prior edition. In its
efficiency determination for the 2018
IECC, DOE found site energy savings
over the prior code of just 1.68 percent;
1.91 percent source energy savings; and
1.97 percent annual energy cost
savings.82 Of the 47 changes in this
edition, most were expected to have a
neutral impact on energy efficiency,
with two changes making up most of the
energy savings associated with the
updated code: (1) lower fenestration Ufactors in Climate Zones 3 through 8,
and (2) an increase in high-efficacy
lighting from 75 percent to 90 percent
of permanently installed fixtures in all
climate zones.
2. 2021 IECC—Overview
As required by statute, this notice
addresses the most recent edition of the
Residential Provisions—Technical Support
Document, U.S. Department of Energy, PNNL–
22068, Tables 8.1 and 8.4, April 2013.
81 U.S. Department of Energy, Determination
Regarding Energy Efficiency Improvements in the
2015 International Energy Conservation Code, 80
FR 33250 (June 11, 2015), https://
www.federalregister.gov/documents/2015/06/11/
2015-14297/determination-regarding-energyefficiency-improvements-in-the-2015-internationalenergy-conservation.
82 DOE, ‘‘Final Determination Regarding energy
efficiency Improvements in the 2018 International
Energy Conservation Code,’’ 84 FR 67435 (Dec. 10,
2019), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/
2019/12/10/2019-26550/final-determinationregarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-the2018-international-energy; also PNNL for DOE,
Energy Savings Analysis: 2018 IECC for Residential
Buildings, November 2019, https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
EERE-2018-BT-DET-0014-0008.pdf.
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IECC, the 2021 IECC.83 In its efficiency
determination for this standard, DOE
determined that this edition would
result in significant savings relative to
the 2018 IECC: 9.4 percent savings in
annual site energy use intensity (EUI);
8.8 percent in annual source EUI; 8.7
percent in annual energy cost savings;
and 8.7 percent reduction in carbon
emissions.84 The 2021 standard will
yield a national weighted energy cost
savings of 34.4 percent over the current
USDA–HUD baseline 2009 standard.
In their qualitative assessment of the
code, PNNL identified a total of 114
approved code changes or addenda in
this edition of the code over the prior
edition, of which 35 will have a direct
impact on energy use in residential
buildings. Of these, 29 are expected to
reduce energy use, while six are
expected to increase energy use.85
The following are the primary
technical changes in the 2021 IECC over
the previous edition:
• Building Envelope. Building
envelope revisions include increased
insulation requirements; more efficient
U factors and Solar Heat Gain
Coefficients (SHGCs) for windows and
fenestration; maximum air leakage rate
of 5 Air Changes per Hour (ACH) at 50
pascals for all compliance paths, with 3
ACH for Climate Zones 3–8 following
the prescriptive path. Testing
alternatives are provided for smaller
homes and attached single family and
multifamily buildings.86
83 International Code Council, 2021 International
Energy Conservation Code, January 29, 2021.
https://codes.iccsafe.org/content/IECC2021P1.
84 86 FR 40529 (July 28, 2021), Analysis
Regarding Energy Efficiency Improvements in the
2021 International Energy Conservation Code
(IECC) https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/
2021/07/28/2021-15969/analysis-regarding-energyefficiency-improvements-in-the-2021-internationalenergy-conservation-code; also PNNL, Preliminary
Energy Savings Analysis: 2021 IECC for Residential
Buildings, April 2021, https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
2021_IECC_PreliminaryDetermination_TSD.pdf.
85 79 additional changes were determined to be
administrative or impact non-energy portions of the
code.
86 AMCA International, International Energy
Conservation Code: 2021 Changes, Getting Involved
in the 2024 Process, May 5, 2021, https://
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• Heating, Ventilation and Air
Condition (HVAC). Mechanical
ventilation in Climate Zones 7 and 8
provided by a Heat Recovery Ventilator
(HRV) or Energy Recovery Ventilator
(ERV) is required for the prescriptive
compliance path.87
• Additional Efficiency Options.
Additional efficiency options in the
2021 IECC include an enhanced
envelope performance option—a 5
percent improvement in proposed home
UA value (R408.2.1); a more efficient
HVAC equipment option (highlighted
above); a reduced energy use in service
water heating option 0.82 EF for fossil
fuel, 2.0 EF for electric fuels or 0.4 solar
fraction water heater (R405.2.3); a more
efficient duct thermal distribution
system option—100 percent of ducts in
conditioned space or ductless systems
(R405.2.4); and an improved air sealing
and efficient ventilation option—air
leakage at 3.0 ACH50 with ERV or HRV
with 75 percent Sensible Recovery
Efficiency (SRE) (R405.2.5).
• Lighting Changes. The efficacy
value of high-efficacy lamps increases to
70 lumens/watt (100 percent of
lighting), a 10 percent increase over the
2018 standard.
• Renewables. The 2021 IECC revises
the definition for ‘‘on-site renewables’’
for consistency with other national
standards; adds a definition for biogas
and biomass; and requires that
Renewable Energy Certificates (RECS)
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www.amca.org/assets/resources/public/assets/
uploads/FINAL-_ICC_Webinar-_presentation_May_
5__2021.pdf.
87 Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships, Key
Changes in the 2021 IECC for the Northeast and
Mid-Atlantic, https://neep.org/sites/default/files/
media-files/2021_iecc_one-pager_.pdf.
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be retired with the homeowner when
using the ERI compliance approach.88
• Zero Energy Appendix. In addition
to these technical changes, the 2021
IECC includes, for the first time, a Zero
Energy Appendix that requires
compliance with an ERI score without
renewables and then achieving an ERI
score of ‘‘0’’ with renewables. This
provides jurisdictions with an
opportunity to adopt a base or stretch
code that achieves zero energy in homes
and low-rise multifamily buildings.89
• Building Electrification. While the
2021 IECC did not include building
electrification provisions in the final
version of the code, provisions are
available for adoption by states as
amendments to the 2021 IECC: RE147–
19, Electrification-Ready; RE126–19,
Energy Efficient Water Heating; RE107–
19, Eliminate Continuous Burning Pilot
Light.
• Compliance Pathways. There are
three compliance pathways in the 2021
IECC: Prescriptive, Performance, and
Energy Rating Index or ERI, which
reverted to IECC 2015 levels. The
prescriptive paths can follow the Rvalue minimum table, the U-Factor
equivalent table, or the UA equivalent
alternative. All compliance pathways
now have required Additional
Efficiency Options (AEOs) to achieve
five percent greater energy efficiency
than base levels. The 2021 IECC lowers
the performance path ERI scores
compared to the 2018 IECC.
88 New Buildings Institute, 2021 IECC National
Model Energy Code (Base Codes). https://
newbuildings.org/code_policy/2021-iecc-basecodes/.
89 Ibid.
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3. Current State Adoption of the 2021
IECC
There is typically a lag time between
the publication of a new edition of the
IECC and state adoption of the code:
Table 11 and Figure 1 show that, as of
December 2023, while all but eight
states have adopted a version of the
IECC, only five states (California,
Washington, Vermont, New Jersey, and
Connecticut) have adopted the 2021
IECC or its equivalent.90
Overall, 41 states plus the District of
Columbia have adopted a version of the
code that is equivalent to or higher than
the current HUD and USDA standard of
the 2009 IECC. Of these, only 18 states
plus the District of Columbia have
adopted a code above the 2009 IECC
(the 2018 IECC, the 2015 IECC, or
equivalent to the 2021 IECC),91 while 23
states have set their codes at the 2009
IECC or its equivalent. The remaining 9
states have either adopted standards
that pre-date the 2009 IECC (1 state) or
have no state-wide codes (8 states).
Based on historical experience and
the continued consideration or adoption
of the 2021 IECC by states, it is
anticipated that over time additional
states are likely to adopt the 2021 IECC,
either as published by the ICC or with
amendments.
90 California’s Title 24 2019 Building Energy
Efficiency standard, Washington’s 2018 State
Energy Code, and Vermont’s amendments to the
2018 IECC were determined to meet or exceed the
2021 IECC.
91 PNNL, State Level Residential Codes Energy
Use Index, FY 2023Q2, Excel File at https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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33147
Table 11. Current State Adoption of the IECC
(As of December 2023)
Above Current HUD and USDA Standard 08 states + DC)
2021 IECC or Equivalent (5)
California
Vermont
Connecticut
Washington
New Jersey
2018 IECC or Equivalent (11 states + DC)
Delaware
Massachusetts
Nebraska
District of Columbia
Florida
New Hampshire
Hawaii*
New York
Oregon
Louisiana
Pennsylvania
Marvland
2015 IECC or Equivalent (2)
Maine
Texas
Current HUD and USDA Standard (23 States)
2009 IECC or Equivalent
Alabama
North Carolina
Georgia
North Dakota
Idaho
Ohio
Illinois
Oklahoma
Indiana
Rhode Island
South Carolina
Iowa
Kentucky
Tennessee
Michigan
Utah
Virginia
Minnesota
Montana
West Virginia
Wisconsin
Nevada
New Mexico
Older than 2009 IECC Or No Statewide Codes (9 States)
Equivalent to Less Than 2009 IECC (1)
Arkansas
Home Rule/No statewide code (8)
Mississippi
Missouri
South Dakota
Wyoming
U.S. Territories
American Samoa - No Code
N. Mariana Islands (2003 IECC
equivalent)
Guam - 2009 IECC
Puerto Rico (2011 PR Building
Standard)
U.S. Virgin Islands - 2009 IECC
*A review of the codes in place across the state indicates that 86 percent (Hawaii) and 82 percent (Arizona) of the
population is covered by codes at this level.
This tabulation is drawn from DOE’s
tracking of state adoptions of the IECC,
available at DOE’s state portal at https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. For
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the purpose of this notice, HUD and
USDA rely on the December 2023
update of the status map maintained by
DOE at this site. Figure 1 displays the
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state IECC adoption status shown in
Table 11.
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Alaska
Arizona*
Colorado
Kansas
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Figure 1. IECC Adoption Map (Residential)
Status as of December 2023
••
. ,..
Code Efficiency
Category
■ 2021 !ECC
HI.
■ 20l8!ECC
II
20lSIECC
il!2009!ECC
F
<2009!1:CC
Note that states often adopt
amendments to the code as published
by the ICC. In some cases, these
amendments will sufficiently alter the
IECC code as published, such that the
energy performance of buildings
meeting the amended code provisions
may be equivalent to that of a prior
code.
The DOE code adoption map and the
adopted codes listed in Table 11 reflect
DOE/PNNL’s analysis of state adopted
codes (including amendments) and
associated assessment of their IECC
code equivalent. Accordingly, 18 states
have adopted the 2012, 2015, 2018, or
2021 IECC with amendments and were
determined by PNNL to be equivalent to
the 2009 IECC. These are therefore
shown in Table 11 and Figure 1 as at the
2009 IECC level.92 Additionally, DOE
provides an analysis of the energy use
index of each state-adopted code on
their state portal.93
Ohio, for example, adopted the 2018
IECC with amendments to basement and
92 The 23 states deemed equivalent to the 2009
IECC are: AL, GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MT,
NV, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, RI, SC, TN, UT, VA, WV,
WI. See Table for a listing of these code equivalents
at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal and
‘‘Reidential State Level Results’’ Excel file at
‘‘Available Data’’ for detailed DOE/PNNL analysis.
93 DOE, State Portal, https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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crawl space wall R-values, air leakage
rates and the allowance to utilize
framing cavities as return ducts.94 DOE/
PNNL determined that the Ohio code as
adopted with amendments is equivalent
to the 2009 IECC.95 New Mexico
adopted the New Mexico Energy
Conservation Code, based on the 2018
IECC, with state-specific amendments
which were determined by DOE/PNNL
to yield a performance standard
equivalent to the 2009 IECC. On the
other hand, if the new code is less than
one percent more efficient than the prior
code then DOE counts the newer code
as equivalent to the previous code.
California has adopted its own standard,
Title 24, which DOE has determined
meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC.
In certain cases, home rule cities or
counties within a State may adopt a
different code from the rest of the State.
For example, Austin, Texas has adopted
the 2021 IECC energy code, thereby
exceeding the minimum Texas
statewide code of the 2015 IECC.96 In
instances where a local entity has a
94 ACEEE, State Scorecard Ranking, https://
database.aceee.org/state/ohio.
95 See ‘‘Residential State Level Results’’ at https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
96 City of Austin, Building Technical Codes.
https://www.austintexas.gov/department/buildingtechnical-codes.
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more stringent standard, the
affordability impacts within a State will
differ.97
4. Estimated Impacts
Table 12 provides an estimate of the
average number of units that may be
impacted annually by adoption of the
2021 IECC. HUD and USDA used prioryear production for these programs in
order to estimate future annual
production for these programs.98 Based
on average annual production for the
three year 2019–21 period, the agencies
estimate that a total of approximately
161,700 units of HUD- and USDAfinanced or insured housing may be
impacted by the 2021 IECC, of which
150,227 are in the 45 states plus DC and
U.S. territories that have not yet adopted
this standard.
97 HUD and USDA do not maintain a list of local
communities that may have adopted a different
code than their state code. See ACEEE, State and
Local Policy Database for codes adopted by
individual cities. https://database.aceee.org/city/
energy-code-stringency.
98 Three-year averages were used (2019–21) for all
programs, except for public housing which used
four-year 2016–2020 averages since limited data
were available for the three-year period. Prior-year
production data provided by program offices using
internal tracking or reporting systems.
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Table 12. Estimated Number of Units Impacted Annually by 2021 IECC 99
USDA
Guaranteed
Loan
Program
FHA
Single
Family
USDA
Direct
Loan
Program
-
Public
Housing
HOME
Housing
Trust
Fund
RAD
LowRise
Multifamily
35
19
25
0
170
Condos
AK
42
27
19
AL
1,975
611
AR
1,024
453
AZ
4,595
CA(202I)
co
Total
3
0
27
0
52
60
0
0
321
3,046
52
0
0
145
12
16
164
1,866
391
90
54
0
97
0
38
432
5,697
5,629
136
339
803
12
880
0
12
166
7,977
2,701
151
42
65
13
199
I
IO
682
3,864
CT(202I)
70
9
0
7
23
42
0
0
125
276
DC
17
0
0
8
12
0
0
0
137
174
DE
584
179
25
20
0
5
0
48
0
860.5
FL
19,178
1,119
189
24
146
366
87
21
1,477
22,607
GA
7,977
731
45
17
32
139
0
0
795
9,736
HI
77
61
39
40
3
33
0
0
0
253
IA
224
44
5
0
0
16
5
0
0
294
ID
812
134
13
0
0
56
29
73
II
1,128
IL
750
IO
2
4
35
96
0
0
404
1,301
IN
1,890
205
137
I
0
121
0
0
49
2,403
KS
161
29
I
0
0
39
30
0
55
315
KY
798
277
66
13
0
71
0
2
188
1,415
LA
2,181
1,036
42
0
12
189
2
3
124
3,589
MA
174
7
7
II
0
20
0
35
491
745
MD
2,073
171
5
150
0
143
0
0
849
3,391
ME
116
48
16
0
0
40
30
24
15
288.5
MI
227
73
32
234
16
93
0
0
I02
777
MN
542
99
16
I
3
120
0
5
607
1,393
MO
896
306
6
2
0
236
2
0
444
1,892
MS
1,048
304
43
2
I
0
0
0
0
1,398
MT
120
50
22
0
0
35
3
21
68
318.5
NC
4,977
1,211
165
2
7
724
25
0
1,321
8,432
ND
112
14
I
0
0
27
13
0
0
167
NE
177
9
I
0
0
17
0
0
297
501
NH
69
5
I
2
0
50
6
46
I06
285
NJ (2021)
477
8
3
43
42
151
0
0
50
774
NM
751
21
26
0
0
II
15
12
115
950.5
NV
1,642
52
6
IOl
4
408
3
1
92
2,309
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State or
Territory
FHA
Single
Family
33150
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State or
Territory
FHA
Single
Family
USDA
Guaranteed
Loan
Program
FHA
Single
Family
USDA
Direct
Loan
Program
-
Public
Housing
HOME
Housing
Trust
Fund
RAD
LowRise
Multifamily
Condos
Total
NY
233
5
6
3
15
262
0
27
1,445
1,996
OH
1,339
51
17
25
IO
229
0
0
I05
1,776
OK
1,464
288
41
0
0
34
13
IO
81
1,931
OR
703
127
31
22
0
142
12
30
38
l,I05
PA
697
78
13
4
43
90
0
0
85
l,0IO
RI
64
0
3
I
0
3
23
2
35
130.5
SC
4,169
992
87
3
0
44
0
0
236
5,531
SD
148
49
16
I
0
124
75
37
12
461.5
TN
3,355
644
55
9
2
39
30
I03
751
4,988
TX
32,070
1,670
98
325
83
243
57
0
6,684
41,230
UT
1,679
417
127
I03
0
7
0
17
476
2,826
VA
2,119
416
71
178
12
85
45
0
924
3,850
IO
4
2
0
0
59
24
0
9
I08
1,529
128
81
45
15
I07
6
31
413
2,355
VT (2021)
WA(202I)
WI
168
24
7
0
5
85
0
0
173
462
WV
298
221
3
0
0
12
IO
5
71
620
WY
55
32
3
0
0
16
I
0
18
125
Territories
Guam
8
18
26
Mariana
Isl.
9
3
12
53
5
581
186
284
53
Total
114,372
13,411
2,214
2,326
651
6,271
578
645
21,243
161,711
45 states
I06,657
13,126
1,789
1,478
559
5,032
548
611
20,480
150 227
Table 12 includes both single family
and low-rise multifamily housing. Of
the total, in the 45 states and the U.S.
territories that have not yet adopted the
2021 IECC, approximately 106,650 units
are estimated to be FHA-insured new
single family homes; approximately
13,100 units are USDA Section 502
direct loans, and 1,800 units are Section
502 guaranteed loans. The remaining
single family units are financed through
the HOME program (5,000 units), HUD’s
Public and Indian Housing (PIH)
programs (approximately 600 units
through the Choice Neighborhoods and
Capital Fund Financing Programs), and
500 units through the Housing Trust
Fund program. Also included in Table
12 are some 20,200 FHA-insured
99 Estimated count of impacted units does not
include the Project-Based Voucher program. There
is insufficient data on the annual use of this
program for new construction. Additionally, it is
likely that, in most cases, Project-Based Vouchers
are used for new construction projects that also rely
on one or more of the other programs included in
this table.
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multifamily housing units financed with
FHA multifamily insurance that are
estimated to be low-rise multifamily and
therefore covered under the 2021
IECC.100 When adjusted to exclude units
in states that have already adopted
codes equivalent to the 2021 IECC
(California, Connecticut, New Jersey,
Vermont, Washington), the total
potential number of estimated units
potentially impacted decreases to
around 150,000 units.
Note that the volume of estimated
production is not evenly distributed
across the states but reflects historic
demand for FHA and USDA financing
for one or more of the agencies’
100 In order to derive the number of low-rise
multifamily units, the following assumptions were
made: for FHA units, 50 percent of all multifamily
units are assumed to be low-rise; for public housing
units, all units coded as ‘‘multifamily/walkup
apartments’’ are assumed to be low-rise; and for
HOME units, all units in multifamily developments
with less than 100 units are assumed to be low-rise,
as well as 50 percent of all units in developments
with more than 100 units.
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programs: two states, Texas (24 percent)
and Florida (14 percent), account for
almost 40 percent of potentially
impacted units based on prior-year
production. As noted above, Austin,
Texas, has already adopted the 2021
IECC, as have 86 other Texas home-rule
jurisdictions albeit often with
amendments. Given Texas and Florida
have passed more current iterations of
the IECC since 2009, and one or more
areas of Texas is IECC 2021 compliant,
it is possible builders will be more
adaptable to constructing in accordance
with the 2021 IECC. Along with Georgia
(6 percent), North Carolina (6 percent)
and California (5 percent), five states
account for more than half of all
potentially impacted units (56 percent).
Note that historical production is used
as a guide to future production; actual
state by state unit counts in the future
may vary from these estimates, based on
actual supply and demand.
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B. 2021 IECC Affordability Analysis
In this notice, HUD and USDA
address two aspects of housing
affordability in assessing the impact that
the revised code will have on housing
affordability. As described further
below, the primary affordability test is
a life-cycle cost savings (LCC) test, i.e.,
the extent to which the additional, or
incremental, investments required to
comply with the revised code are cost
effective inasmuch as the additional
measures pay for themselves with
energy cost savings over a typical 30year mortgage period. A second test is
whether the incremental cost of
complying with the code as a share of
total construction costs—regardless of
the energy savings associated with the
investment—is affordable to the
borrower or renter of the home.
Note that there may be other benefits
associated with energy efficient building
codes in addition to energy cost savings.
These include increased resilience
against extreme temperature events, the
potential for lowering mortgage defaults,
and lowering the disproportionate
energy burden for low-moderate income
households. In addition, studies show
that added energy efficiency may also
yield improved health outcomes.101
A 2023 study from PNNL found that
energy efficiency measures improve the
habitability of single family buildings
during extreme cold and extreme heat
events by up to 120 percent and 140
percent, respectively.102 With the
frequency and intensity of extreme
weather events, particularly heatwaves,
expected to increase, the improved
resilience of energy efficient buildings
will save lives. In 2020, 34 million U.S.
households, or 27 percent of all
households, reported difficulty paying
their energy bills or kept their homes at
an unsafe temperature because of energy
cost concerns, according to the Energy
Information Administration.103 In some
cases, homes perform so poorly that the
energy bills impact spending choices
about allocating financial resources for
other necessities, like food, clothing,
transportation, and medical care.104
Excessive energy bills can create a
101 See, for example, DOE, Jonathan Wilson et al,
Home Rx: The Health Benefits of Home
Performance, December 2016; HUD, BRIGHT Study
Finds Improved Health at Boston Housing
Authority’s Old Colony Homes, https://
www.huduser.gov/portal/casestudies/study05042017.html.
102 Franconi, E, E Hotchkiss, T Hong, M Reiner et
al. 2023. Enhancing Resilience in Buildings through
Energy Efficiency. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest
National Laboratory. PNNL–32737, Rev 1.
103 Energy Information Administration, https://
www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=51979.
104 https://fahe.org/wp-content/uploads/
Summary-of-Issues-Facing-Rural-Housing-V1.2.pdf.
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snowball effect, leading to mortgage
defaults, missed opportunities to
participate in job training and
educational opportunities, and family
separations, ultimately increasing
wealth inequality. Poor-performing
homes can even cause physical harm
and death in extreme heat and cold
events during power outages.105
Another benefit may be the potential
for lower mortgage defaults associated
with improved energy efficiency. A
study by the University of North
Carolina (UNC) Center for Community
Capital and the Institute for Market
Transformation (IMT) shows a
correlation between greater energy
efficiency and lower mortgage default
risk for new homes. The UNC study
surveyed 71,000 Energy Star-rated
homes and found that mortgage default
risks are 32 percent lower for these more
energy efficient homes than homes
without Energy Star ratings.106
1. Cost Benefit Analysis and Results
The baseline analysis used for this
Determination is the PNNL study
prepared for DOE, National Cost
Effectiveness of the Residential
Provisions of the 2021 IECC, published
in June 2021. This analysis estimates
annual energy and cost savings as well
as life-cycle cost (LCC) savings that
assume initial costs are mortgaged over
30 years.107 The study provides an
assessment of both the initial costs as
well as the long-term estimated savings
and cost-benefits associated with
complying with the 2021 IECC.
HUD and USDA have adopted a
modified version of the DOE
methodology. These modifications
include adding a supply chain cost
increase factor and energy price increase
factor to adjusted for inflation from 2020
to 2023 as well as cost and savings
adjustment factors that reflect the
smaller FHA home relative to the
prototypes used in the PNNL model.
Additionally, one difference in this
approach is that it does not take into
account replacement costs or residual
value, which are factored in for the
PNNL model. The RIA explains the
reasoning for this difference on page 25.
105 National Institutes of Health, https://
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/
PMC10249403/.
106 UNC Center for Community Capital, Institute
for Market Transformation, ‘‘Home Energy
Efficiency and Mortgage Risks,’’ March 2013,
Available at: https://www.imt.org/uploads/
resources/files/IMT_UNC_
HomeEEMortgageRisksfinal.pdf.
107 PNNL, Salcido et al, National Cost
Effectiveness of the Residential Provisions of the
2021 IECC, June 2021. https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
2021IECC_CostEffectiveness_Final_Residential.pdf.
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The modifications to the DOE
methodology have been included to
respond to public comments that the
HUD-USDA analysis take into account
current market and economic conditions
as well as the specific features of HUDUSDA financing and characteristics of
the FHA-USDA borrower.
The LCC method used by DOE And
adapted by HUD and USDA for this
final determination is a ‘‘robust costbenefit metric that sums the costs and
benefits of a code change over a
specified time frame. LCC is a wellknown approach to assessing costeffectiveness’’ 108 and reflects extensive
prior public comment and input. In
September 2011, DOE solicited input on
their proposed cost-benefit
methodology 109 and this input was
incorporated into the final methodology
posted on DOE’s website in April 2012
and further updated in August
2015.110 111
For this analysis, DOE calculates
energy use for new homes using
EnergyPlusT energy modeling software,
Version 9.4.112 Two buildings are
simulated: (1) a two-story single family
home, with 2,376 square feet of
conditioned floor area, excluding the
conditioned basement (if any), and a
window area equal to 15 percent of the
conditioned floor area; and (2) a lowrise apartment building (a three-story
multifamily prototype with six 1,200
square-foot dwelling units per floor)
with a window area of approximately 23
percent of the exterior wall area. DOE
combines the results into a composite
average dwelling unit based on Census
building permit data for each state and
for eight Climate Zones. Single family
home construction is more common
than low-rise multifamily construction;
108 Department of Energy, National Energy and
Cost Savings for new Single- and Multifamily
Homes: A Comparison of the 2006, 2009 and 2012
Editions of the IECC. April 2012, p. A–1, https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2020-06/
NationalResidentialCostEffectiveness_
2009_2012.pdf.
109 76 FR 56413 (Sep. 13, 2011).
110 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the
Department of Energy (Z. Taylor, R. Lucas, N.
Fernandez) Methodology for Evaluating CostEffectiveness of Residential Energy Code Changes.
April 2012. Available at: https://www.energy.sc.gov/
files/view/Taylor%202012.pdf.
111 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the
Department of Energy (V. Mendon, R. Lucas, S.
Goel), Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the 2009 and
2012 IECC Residential Provisions—Technical
Support Document. April 2013, Available at https://
www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/
technical_reports/PNNL-22068.pdf.
112 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the
Department of Energy (Z. Taylor, V. Mendon, N.
Fernandez), Methodology for Evaluating CostEffectiveness of Residential Energy Code Changes,
August 2015, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/
default/files/2021-07/residential_
methodology_2015.pdf.
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the results are weighted accordingly to
reflect this for each Climate Zone as
well as each state.
Four heating systems are considered
for modeling the energy savings in these
building prototypes: natural gas
furnaces, oil furnaces, electric heat
pumps, and electric resistance furnaces.
The market share of heating system
types is obtained from the U.S.
Department of Energy Residential
Energy Consumption Survey (2015).
Domestic water heating systems are
assumed to use the same fuel as the
space heating system.
2. Limitations of Cost Savings Models
HUD and USDA are aware of studies
that discuss limitations associated with
cost-savings models such as those
developed by PNNL for DOE. For
example, Allcott and Greenstone suggest
that ‘‘it is difficult to take at face value
the quantitative conclusions of the
engineering analyses’’ associated with
these models, as they suffer from several
empirical problems. The authors cite
two problems in particular. First,
engineering costs typically incorporate
upfront capital costs only and omit
opportunity costs or other unobserved
factors. For example, one study found
that nearly half of the investments that
engineering assessments showed in
energy audits for medium-size
businesses that would have short
payback periods were not adopted due
to unaccounted physical costs, risks, or
opportunity costs. Second, engineering
estimates of energy savings can
overstate true field returns, sometimes
by a large amount, and some
engineering simulation models have
still not been fully calibrated to
approximate actual returns.113 HUD and
USDA nevertheless believe that the
PNNL-DOE model used to estimate the
savings shown in this notice represents
the current state-of-the art for such
modeling, is the product of significant
public comment and input, is now the
standard for all of DOE’s energy code
simulations and models, and presents a
reliable and validated methodology for
estimating energy code costs and
benefits.
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy
Codes for Residential Buildings
3. Estimated Costs and Savings
The Department of Energy assesses
the energy code adopted by each state,
considering the impact of any included
amendments to the original IECC code.
This analysis can be found in the
‘‘residential state-level results’’ available
for download at https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. The
analysis shows the energy index, which
is the modeled energy use based on the
adopted energy code, for the adopted
code of each state as well as multiple
versions of the IECC. A comparison of
the energy index for the IECC code and
any state-adopted version with
amendments demonstrates the impact of
amendments to the code on energy
efficiency.
For all 50 states and the District of
Columbia, DOE estimates that for a
weighted average of both single family
and low-rise multifamily housing, the
2021 IECC saves 9.38 percent of energy
costs for heating, cooling, water heating,
and lighting over the 2018 IECC.114 For
the purposes of this notice, DOE
provided HUD and USDA with a special
tabulation that disaggregates this
analysis into each building type (single
family and low-rise multifamily). The
disaggregated data are shown in Tables
13 (single family) and 14 (low-rise
multifamily) for the following data
points: LCC savings, incremental cost,
annual mortgage increase, downpayment and other up-front costs, net
first year annual cash flow, years to
positive cash flow, and simple payback
for the 2021 IECC in relation to the
current HUD and USDA baseline of the
2009 IECC. Tables 13 and 14 provide
both national average costs and benefits,
as well as for each climate zone.
The United States has eight Climate
Zones, further subdivided to represent
moist, dry, or marine climates, that are
listed here: 1A Very hot humid; 2A Hot
Humid; 2B Hot Dry; 3A Warm Humid;
3B Warm Dry; 3C Warm Marine; 4A
Mixed Humid; 4B Mixed Dry; 4C Mixed
Marine; 5A Cool Humid; 5B Cool Dry;
6A Cold Humid; 6B Cold Dry; 7 Very
Cold; and 8 Subarctic/Arctic. Zone 1
includes Hawaii, Guam, Puerto Rico,
and the Virgin Islands. Almost all of
Alaska is in Zone 7.115
Tables 13 and 14 show the economics
of adopting the 2021 IECC nationally
and in each Climate Zone, relative to the
2009 IECC baseline. Table 15 shows
costs and savings against the 2018 IECC
baseline. Data points provided include,
incremental or first costs, annual energy
savings, increased debt service on a
thirty-year mortgage, estimated down
payment and closing costs, net annual
cash flow in the first year, and simple
payback on the initial investment.116
114 PNNL,
Allcott and Michael Greenstone, ‘‘Is
there an energy efficiency gap?’’ Journal of
Economic Perspectives, Volume 26, Number
1,Winter 2012, pp. 3–28.
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Salcido et al., 2021.
IECC climate zone map, https://
basc.pnnl.gov/images/iecc-climate-zone-map.
116 The 2009 standard is used as the primary
baseline for this analysis since, as shown in Table
115 DOE,
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5. Incremental or Added Costs
Tables 13 shows the average per-unit
incremental cost of adopting the 2021
IECC over the current HUD and USDA
2009 IECC baseline for single family
homes, both nationally and for each
Climate Zone: a national average of an
estimated $7,229 per unit for single
family housing,117 ranging from a low of
$3,662 in Climate Zone 1, to a high of
$8,845 in Climate Zone 8. Cost data
sources used to derive these costs
include: Building Component Cost
Community (BC3) data repository;
construction cost data collected by
Faithful+Gould under contract with
PNNL; RS Means Residential Cost Data;
National Residential Efficiency
Measures Database; and price data from
nationally recognized home supply
stores.118
11, 23 states still require a standard equivalent to
the 2009 baseline, which is also the most recent
baseline established by HUD and USDA, while
eleven states and the District of Columbia have
adopted the 2018 standard. However, Tables 19 and
20 below shows baseline data for individual states
per data provided by DOE/PNNL based on the state
adoption status in 2021, which has seven states and
the District of Columbia at the 2018 IECC.
117 Source: Data provided by DOE to HUD and
USDA showing disaggregated LCC Savings,
Incremental Cost, and Annual Energy Savings for
single family and low-rise multifamily homes.
118 See for example, PNNL, Alaska Cost
Effectiveness Analysis, https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-06/
AlaskaResidentialCostEffectiveness_2018.pdf.
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Table 13. National Costs and Benefits - 2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family)
(2023 dollars)
Annual
Mortgage
Increase
($)
Down
payment
and other
up-front
costs($)
Net
annual
cashflow
for year
one($)
7,229
963
439
550
377
1.5
7.7
3,662
608
222
279
3ll
0.9
6.2
5,436
608
330
414
168
2.5
9.2
8,037
961
488
612
3ll
2.0
8.6
1,225
523
656
527
1.2
7.2
471
590
463
1.3
7.3
418
524
952
0.6
4.7
15,071
25,124
I0,774
15,866
CZ2
8,313
15,871
CZ3
13,917
25,093
CZ4
19,989
31,965
8,613
CZ5
17,691
28,467
7,750
1,091
CZ6
29,834
39,409
6,886
1,510
National
Average
CZ I
Years to
positive
cashflow
Simple
Payback
(Yrs)
CZ7
39,308
51,604
8,843
1,977
537
673
1,261
0.5
4.6
CZ8
52,078
64,377
8,845
2,467
537
673
1,750
0.4
3.7
6. Annual Cost Savings
7. Simple Payback
Table 13 summarizes the first-year
annual energy cost savings per single
family dwelling unit for the 2021 IECC
compared to the 2009 IECC, aggregated
over 16 single family residential
prototype buildings modeled by DOE/
PNNL.119 Modeled energy savings are
converted to cost savings using the most
recent residential fuel prices from DOE’s
Energy Information Administration
(EIA).120 Cost savings stated are time
zero dollars not adjusted for inflation or
fuel price escalation. The per-unit
annual energy cost savings for single
family homes is estimated to be $963
per unit, ranging from $608/unit in
Climate Zones 1 and 2, to a high of
$2,467 in Climate Zone 8.
Simple payback is a commonly used
measure of cost effectiveness, defined as
the number of years required for the
sum of the annual returns on an
investment to equal the original
investment. The simple payback for
adoption of the 2021 IECC code is an
estimated 7.7 years for single family
homes, ranging from 3.7 years in
Climate Zone 8 to 9.2 years in Climate
Zone 2.
119 For residential buildings, PNNL uses two base
prototypes to simulate (1) a single family detached
house and (2) a multifamily low-rise apartment
building. These prototypes are modified to
accommodate four different heating system types
and four foundation types typically found in
residential new construction. The result is an
expended set of 32 models (16 for each building
type) which is then simulated across 18 climate
locations for each edition of the IECC. This results
in a set of 3,552 energy models in EnergyPlus
Version 9.5).
120 U.S. Energy Information Administration,
Washington, D.C. Natural Gas Prices, https://
www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/
ng_pri_sum_a_EPG0_PRS_DMcf_m.htm. Electric
Power Monthly, https://www.eia.gov/electricity/
monthly/epm_table_grapher.php?t=epmt_5_06_b.
Petroleum and Other Liquids. https://www.eia.gov/
dnav/pet/
PET_PRI_WFR_A_EPD2F_PRS_DPGAL_W.htm..
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8. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
LCC analysis computes overall cost
savings per dwelling unit resulting from
implementing efficiency improvements.
LCC savings are based on the net change
in overall cash flows (energy savings
minus additional costs) resulting from
implementing the new code. LCC
savings are a sum over an analysis
period of 30 years: future cash flows
vary from year to year and are
discounted to present values using a
discount rate that accounts for the
changing value of money over time. LCC
is the primary metric used by DOE to
determine the cost effectiveness of the
code or specific code changes. The
economic analysis assumes that initial
costs are mortgaged, and that
homeowners do not take advantage of
the mortgage interest deduction since
most FHA/USDA borrowers are likely to
take the standard, non-itemized tax
deduction.121
121 PNNL,
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Net life cycle cost savings shown in
Table 13 average $15,071 per housing
unit for adoption of the latest 2021
IECC. LCC savings vary considerably by
Climate Zone, from as low as $8,313 in
Climate Zone 2 to a high of $52,078 in
Climate Zone 8.
9. Consumer Cash Flows
Converting first costs and annual
savings to Consumer Cash Flows is an
important component of the
affordability analysis. Consumer Cash
Flow results are derived from the yearby-year calculations that underlie LCC
savings and provide an assessment of
how annual cost outlays are
compensated by annual energy savings
and the time required for cumulative
energy savings to exceed cumulative
costs, including both increased
mortgage payments and down payment
and other up-front costs.
The financial and economic
parameters used by HUD in calculating
LCC savings and annual cash flow are
based on DOE’s cost-effectiveness
methodology. Based on public
comments, HUD has revised the original
DOE analysis to incorporate new
economic parameters that better reflect
current market and economic
conditions. Figure 2 shows the original
and revised parameters. These revised
parameters account for significant
changes in construction, labor, and
energy costs as well as several
adjustments to financing terms to better
reflect HUD and USDA borrowers.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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30Year
PV
Benefits
($)
Climate
Zone
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
Incremental
cost($)
Annual
energy
savings
($)
LCC
Savings
($)
33154
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Figure 2. Economic Parameters for Consumer Cash Flows
Loan fees
Loan term
Down payment
Discount rate (equal to mortgage rate)
Inflation rate
Marginal Federal income tax
Marginal State income tax
Property tax
Supply Chain Cost Increase Factor
Energy Price Increase Factor
Fuel Price Escalator (Nominal)
FHA Savings Reduction Factor
FHA Cost Reduction Factor
Annual cash flow is defined as the net
difference between annual energy
savings and annual cash outlays
(mortgage payments, etc.), including all
tax effects but excluding up-front costs
(mortgage down payment, loan fees,
etc.). Only first year net cash flow is
reported: subsequent years’ cash flow
will differ due to the effects of inflation
and fuel price escalation, changing
income tax effects as the mortgage
interest payments decline, etc.
Assuming a 5 percent, 30-year fixed
mortgage, and a 5 percent down
payment, increased annual debt service
is shown in Table 13 to be an average
of $439/unit, or $36.58/month, with
annual energy savings more than twice
that amount: $963, or $80.25/month.
This translates into a net annual
positive cash flow in Year One of $377
or $31.42/month. Years to Positive Cash
Flow, i.e., the number of years needed
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
122 PNNL,
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
Final Determination
Real: 3.0%
Nominal: 5.3%
1% of mortgage amount
30 years
12.0%
3.0%
1% of mortgage amount
30 years
5.0%
Real: 3.0%
Nominal: 5.3%
1.4%
12%
% Varies by State
1.24%
2.24%
to recoup the cost of the initial down
payment and first-year debt service with
annual savings, is just eighteen months
on average.
10. Low-Rise Multifamily Buildings
Table 14 shows costs and savings for
low-rise multifamily housing similar to
those shown in Table 13 for single
family homes. The costs and savings
shown are aggregated over 16 low-rise
multifamily residential prototype
buildings modeled by DOE/PNNL.123
The incremental costs for this housing
type, as well as associated savings, are
generally lower than for single family
homes, as a result of both differences in
unit size and building type. Incremental
costs average $3,002/unit nationally,
more than half of the $7,229 per unit
cost for single family housing only. Net
LCC savings of $6,345 for low-rise
123 See Footnote 47 for methodology for prototype
buildings.
Salcido et al., 2021.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
Preliminary Determination 122
3.0%
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1.5%
37.0%
32.0%
1.9%
3.0%
5.0%
multifamily housing are also projected
to be lower than for single family
housing only ($15,071/unit).
First year increased debt service for
low-rise multifamily housing is
estimated to be $182/unit, while savings
are nearly three times that amount:
$403/year, for a net annual cash flow of
$160/year. While costs and savings
differ, Years to Positive Cash Flow are
similar to that of single family homes
(1.4 years), and the national Simple
Payback average of 7.6 years is also
comparable. Simple paybacks range
from a low of 5.1 years in Climate Zone
8 to a high of 8.2 years in Climate Zones
2 and 3. Net LCC savings vary
considerably from $5,218 in Climate
Zone 2 to a high of $18,185 in Climate
Zone 8. Higher incremental or added
costs typically translate into higher
annual savings, with net annual positive
cash flows for year one ranging from
$123 to $565.
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Parameter
Mortgage interest rate
33155
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 14. National Costs and Benefits- 2021 vs. 2009 IECC (Low-Rise Multifamily)
(2023 dollars)
LCC
Savings
($)
30Year
PV
Benefits
($)
6,345
10,519
6,308
9,359
CZ2
5,218
9,089
CZ3
5,978
10,453
CZ4
7,047
11,340
CZ5
6,087
10,267
CZ6
9,735
13,621
CZ7
13,188
19,788
CZ8
18,185
24,784
Climate
Zone
National
Average
CZ 1
Table 15 shows the energy savings
and incremental costs of construction
for the average housing unit (average of
single family and multifamily). First
costs average $2,620 per unit, well
Incremental
cost($)
Annual
energy
savmgs
($)
Annual
Mortgage
Increase
($)
Down
payment
and other
up-front
costs($)
Net
annual
cashflow
for year
one($)
Years to
positive
cashflow
Simple
payback
(years)
3,002
403
182
229
160
1.4
7.6
2,194
359
133
167
181
0.9
6.3
2,784
348
169
212
123
1.7
8.2
3,218
401
196
245
140
1.8
8.2
3,088
434
188
235
184
1.3
7.3
3,006
393
183
229
150
1.5
7.8
2,795
522
170
213
296
0.7
5.5
4,747
758
288
361
374
1.0
6.4
4,746
950
288
361
565
0.6
5.1
below the average first cost of $7,229
against the 2009 baseline. As would be
expected, annual savings are similarly
lower, and the resulting national
average payback is higher than the 2009
IECC—at 10.7 years vs. 7.7 years against
the 2009 IECC. Simple paybacks vary
considerably across Climate Zones, from
4.8 years in Climate Zone 1 to 16.8 years
in Climate Zone 5.
Table 15. National Costs and Benefits - 2021 vs. 2018 IECC 124
(2023 dollars)
Upfront Cost
for Single
Family($)
Area
Upfront Cost
for Condo ($)
Upfront Cost
for Average
Unit($)
First Year Energy
Savings for
Average Unit($)
Simple
Payback for
Average Unit
(years)
10.7
4.8
7.4
8.3
14.7
16.8
11.2
9.5
Table 16 provides cash flow analysis
for single family housing using a 3.5
124 HUD does not have PNNL estimates of energy
savings disaggregated by single family and
multifamily for the 2021 IECC relative to the 2018
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percent downpayment consistent with
minimum FHA requirements, and a 6.5
percent nominal mortgage interest rate
predicted to be in place at the end of
standard. HUD computed a weighted average of the
incremental cost of construction. The weights used
by PNNL in their analysis are 66 percent for single
family units and 34 percent for low-rise multifamily
units.
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2024 (compared to 5% average
downpayment and 5.3 percent mortgage
interest rates used in Tables 13–15,
above). The cash flows are similar to the
prior analysis, with positive cash flows
ranging from less than a year to 2.8
years and simple paybacks below 10
years.
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
11. Additional analysis—6 Percent
Mortgage Interest Rate and 3.5 Percent
Down Payment
EN26AP24.111
National Average
3,087
1,713
2,620
245
Climate Zone 1: Verv Hot
1,218
1,214
1,217
256
Climate Zone 2: Hot
1,991
1,492
1,822
246
2,419
1,551
2,124
256
Climate Zone 3: Warm
Climate Zone 4: Mixed
4,799
1,995
3,847
262
4,645
1,935
3,725
222
Climate Zone 5: Cool
Climate Zone 6: Cold
1,922
1,434
1,757
157
Climate Zone 7: Verv Cold
3,878
3,388
3,712
392
Climate Zone 8:
Subarctic/Arctic
3,881
3,388
3,713
526
7.1
Notes: Smgle family cost and condo cost and average energy savmgs from PNNL. Upfront cost denved by HUD and
simple payback calculated by HUD. HUD does not have disaggregated estimates for single family and multifamily units for
the update from 2018, only the average across single family and low-rise multifamily
33156
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 16. National Costs and Benefits- 2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC (Single Family)
6.5% mortgage rate; 3.5% down payment. (2023 dollars)
Incremental
cost($)
Annual
energy
savmgs
($)
Annual
Mortgage
Increase
($)
Down
payment
and other
up-front
costs($)
Net
annual
cashflow
for year
one($)
Years to
positive
cashflow
Simple
Payback
(Yrs)
25,124
7,229
963
502
445
314
1.4
7.7
15,866
3,662
608
254
225
279
0.8
6.2
Climate
Zone
LCC
Savings
($)
30Year
PV
Benefits
($)
National
Average
CZ 1
14,182
10,323
CZ2
7,644
15,871
5,436
608
377
335
121
2.8
9.2
CZ3
12,928
25,093
8,037
961
558
495
241
2.1
8.6
CZ4
8,613
1,225
598
530
452
1.2
7.2
18,929
31,965
CZ5
16,737
28,467
7,750
1,091
538
477
396
1.2
7.3
CZ6
28,986
39,409
6,886
1,510
478
424
892
0.5
4.7
CZ7
38,219
51,604
8,843
1,977
614
544
1,184
0.5
4.6
CZ8
50,989
64,377
8,845
2,467
614
544
1,673
0.3
3.7
12. Cash Flows for Single Family and
Low-Rise Multifamily
multifamily) for the 2021 IECC over the
2009 IECC. In both cases, positive
cashflows occur by the end of the
second year. Table 17 and 18 present
the cumulative, present value cash flow
for each building type at the one-, two, five-, 10-, 20-, and 30-year marks as
well as with no loan. The tables show
HUD and USDA rely on a 30-year
term for the loan based on guidance
from DOE. Tables 13 and 14 show net
life-cycle costs of $15,071 (single
family) and $6,345 (low-rise
cash flows for the national average as
well as each climate zone.
LCC savings for periods of less than
30 years also show positive cash flows.
At the 10-year mark, the national
savings are estimated to be $2,515 over
the 2009 IECC and $1,076 over the 2018
IECC.
Table 17. Cash Flow for Single Family-2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
(2023 dollars)
Period
First Year
(incl.
upfront cost)
First Year
(excl.
upfront cost)
Second Year
CZl
CZ2
CZJ
CZ4
CZ5
CZ6
CZ7
CZ8
(173)
33
(246)
(301)
(128)
(127)
428
588
1,077
377
311
168
311
527
463
952
1,261
1,750
407
329
188
5Year
1,506
1,353
565
342
1,141
565
2,176
497
1,903
993
4,342
1,314
5,763
1,813
8,161
10 Year
3,908
3,131
1,831
3,304
5,401
4,752
9,397
12,433
17,115
20Year
9,321
15,071
17,380
6,916
10,774
ll,943
4,898
8,313
10,048
8,378
13,917
16,483
12,525
19,989
22,739
ll,064
17,691
20,166
19,696
29,834
32,033
25,989
39,308
42,131
34,914
52,078
54,902
30Year
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 18. Cash Flow for Low-Rise Multifamily-2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
(2023 dollars)
National
CZl
CZ2
CZJ
CZ4
CZ5
CZ6
CZ7
CZ8
(69)
14
(89)
(105)
(51)
(79)
83
12
204
160
181
123
140
184
150
296
374
565
173
642
1,654
3,931
6,345
7,304
191
783
1,822
4,041
6,308
7,009
134
470
1,290
3,180
5,218
6,107
153
533
1,471
3,638
5,978
7,006
198
758
1,893
4,407
7,047
8,033
162
592
1,559
3,750
6,087
7,047
310
1,316
2,944
6,335
9,735
10,627
396
1,607
3,773
8,421
13,188
14,703
591
2,546
5,605
11,914
18,185
19,701
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
12. Appraisals of Energy Efficiency
Improvements
In this section of the determination,
we address the question of home
appraisals, and the extent to which they
fully value energy efficiency
improvements. As noted in the response
to public comments received on this
topic, the residential appraisal system in
the U.S. is not generally set up to fully
assign a contributory value to increased
energy efficiency of a home, particularly
in the absence of sales comparisons, in
part because of imperfect information—
the level of energy efficiency is not
typically disclosed at the time of home
purchase, unless the home has a HERS
rating, or it has an energy efficient
certification such as Energy Star or Zero
Energy Ready Homes. In addition to
information availability necessary to
identify and develop the contributory
value of energy efficient measures in a
residential appraisal, the valuation
requires a market recognizable response,
appraiser technical expertise and
training, and underwriter recognition of
the approaches, methods and
techniques applied in support of the
conclusions.
As discussed in the comments section
of this notice, however, there are several
mitigating factors, as well as emerging
trends that indicate that tools are
available to the appraiser that when
properly applied allow for adjustments
to as-is valuations. In addition, studies
of sales prices in Washington, DC and
other markets show that energy efficient
homes command higher sales prices.125
125 Adomatis, Sandra, ‘‘What is Green Worth?
Unveiling High Performance Home Premiums in
Washington DC,’’ September 2015, https://
doee.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/ddoe/
service_content/attachments/2015_High
Performance%20Home%20Valuation%20Report_
FINAL.pdf.
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A review of sales prices of FHA homes
for the past four years relative to
appraised values show that a significant
share—32 percent—are valued at more
than $5,000 or more above the sales
price, thereby allowing a significant
margin for borrowers to accommodate
the estimated increase in value
associated with the 2021 IECC. There is
also increasing use of the MLS that have
‘‘green’’ fields including energy
certifications, HERS ratings, and in
some cases utility costs associated with
a home (existing homes), which provide
both lenders and appraisers with the
necessary information needed to
incorporate in the home valuation. In
addition, while still underutilized, tools
such as the Green Addendum that is
available to appraisers and can be filled
out by HERS raters (or even the
homeowner) are available to identify the
energy features of a home. See Section
A.5 in the Comments section of this
notice for a discussion of these issues.
HUD and USDA plan to implement a
robust training and technical assistance
program for both appraisers and lenders
to maximize the use of accurate and
reliable valuation methods and will
work with the rosters of FHA- and
USDA-approved appraisers to provide
such training.
14. State-Level Results 126 127
for single family homes only. This table
provides a more granular breakout of
estimated costs and savings than the
national and Climate Zone averages
shown in Table 13 above, using the
HUD and USDA 2009 IECC baseline for
those states that have not yet adopted
this standard or its equivalent as well as
a 2018 IECC baseline for the 7 states
plus the District of Columbia that have
adopted the 2018 IECC or its
equivalent.128 129 All states have positive
LCC savings and meet the necessary
affordability requirements.
DOE did not provide HUD and USDA
with a cost effectiveness analysis for the
U.S. territories—American Samoa,
Guam, North Mariana Islands, Puerto
Rico, and U.S. Virgin Islands. In
situations without a state-or territoryspecific cost effectiveness analysis, the
cost effectiveness analysis for the
climate zone is used to determine
affordability. As shown in Table 13,
climate zone 1, the climate zone for
each of the U.S. territories, has LCC
savings of $10,774, which meets the
affordability requirements. The climate
zone also has an incremental cost of
$3,662, annual energy savings of $608,
and a simple payback period of 6.2
years.
Table 19 provides a state-by-state
breakout of estimated costs and savings,
126 State-level results are based on PNNL analyses
on the cost-effectiveness of the 2021 IECC for
residential buildings in each state. As such, Tables
19 and 20 present the cost-effectiveness of the 2021
IECC for each state based on their adopted energy
code in July 2021. States that have revised their
energy code requirements since July 2021 should
look to other states in the same climate zone with
the same energy code requirements for estimated
costs and savings.
127 State results use state-specific property tax
rates provided in the PNNL analyses on the cost-
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effectiveness of the 2021 IECC for residential
buildings in each state instead of the national
property tax rate of 1.5 percent.
128 Cost benefit data are not available for three
states (California, Washington, and Oregon).
According to DOE, these codes ≥deviate
significantly from the model codes≥ and as a result
DOE has historically not analyzed those states.
129 The 2018 data shown in Tables 19 and 20 are
aggregated single family and low-rise multifamily
data adjusted for the weighted averages used by
PNNL for the 2009 IECC.
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Period
First Year (incl.
upfront cost)
First Year (excl.
upfront cost)
Second Year
5Year
10 Year
20Year
30Year
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 19. State by State Costs and Benefits - 2021 IECC vs. 2009 or 2018 IECC
(Single Family) 130 (2023 dollars)
AK
AL
AR
AZ
CA
co
CT
DC
DE
FL
GA
HI
IA
ID
IL
IN
KS
KY
LA
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
MA
MD
ME
VerDate Sep<11>2014
2009
2009
2009
2009
2021
2009
2021
2018
2018
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2018
2018
2009
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
Incremental
Cost($)
11,523
6,332
6 974
5 418
Increase
Downpayment
Annual
Mortgage
($)
($)
576
317
349
271
700
385
424
329
Annual
Energy
Savings
($)
2,849
931
993
639
LCC
Savings
($)
59,402
17,001
17 597
IO 003
30Year
PV
Benefits
($)
74,355
24,3IO
25,914
16,683
Simple
Payback
(Years)
4.2
7.0
7.2
8.7
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
7,534
377
458
704
9,257
18,363
11.0
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3 231
4409
4,385
6,804
3,046
74IO
6 887
8,443
8,079
7,604
8295
5147
1,274
3,232
6,420
162
220
219
340
152
371
344
422
404
380
415
257
64
162
321
196
268
266
413
185
450
418
513
491
462
504
313
77
196
390
508
381
564
969
1,354
1278
631
870
891
1,184
1227
574
145
414
1,478
9,453
4.766
9,092
16,740
31,865
23 370
8,013
I0,570
13,083
20,656
21808
9.202
2,132
6,730
30,190
13.268
9 944
14,720
25,281
35,338
33,359
16,463
22,702
23,256
30,906
32.036
14 987
3,786
I0,813
38,586
6.5
11.9
8.0
7.2
2.3
6.0
11.2
l0.0
9.3
6.6
7.0
9.2
9.0
8.0
4.5
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State
Current
Code
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
MS
Mf
NC
ND
NE
NH
NJ
NM
NV
NY
OH
OK
OR
PA
PR
R1
SC
SD
1N
TX
UT
VA
VT
WA
W1
WV
WY
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2018
2009
2021
2009
2009
2018
2009
2009
2018
2009
2011 PR
Building
Code
2009
2009
2009
2009
2018
2009
2009
2021
2021
2009
2009
2009
7,558
7 583
8 721
6,332
6,423
6,753
6667
4,376
7,213
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
1,198
1 461
1 058
856
720
959
1249
270
1,274
20,576
28277
16 538
14,790
10,729
16,630
23449
732
22,686
31,269
38J32
27626
22,342
18,791
25,038
32,611
7,046
33,239
6.5
5.3
8.5
7.6
9.2
7.2
5.5
16.7
5.8
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
383
435
192
389
349
466
529
233
472
424
703
778
495
895
1,058
9,157
9.368
7.782
12,760
18,960
18,343
20.306
12 907
23,350
27,603
11.2
11.5
8.0
8.9
6.8
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
8445
422
513
1 101
17249
28,736
7.9
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
8,293
6,357
5 847
7,238
2,016
6,817
7675
415
318
292
362
101
341
384
504
386
355
440
122
414
466
1,396
937
1244
957
276
664
1 158
25,160
16,911
24 587
16,120
4,286
9,092
20726
36,440
24,467
32457
24,986
7,215
17,332
30,220
6.1
7.0
4.8
7.8
7.5
10.6
6.8
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
7,578
8,360
6 394
379
418
320
460
508
388
1,104
1,208
912
17,875
21,597
16 095
28,810
31,517
23.798
7.1
7.1
7.2
130 Current code is set at the 2009 IECC, the
current HUD requirement, for states at or below the
2009 IECC based on the standard adopted by each
state as of July 2021, which was when PNNL
conducted their state analysis for the 2021 IECC.
States that have since adopted the 2021 IECC show
no impact as they current require the proposed
standard. As shown in Table 11, some states have
adopted a state code that is below the current HUD/
USDA standard (2009 IECC) or have not yet adopted
any state code.
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
459
461
530
385
390
410
405
266
425
7,663
8 700
3 837
7,774
6,987
Incremental costs for adoption of the
2021 IECC in those states currently at
the 2009 IECC or its equivalent range
from a low of $3,046 (Hawaii) to a high
of $11,523 (Alaska), with most states
typically in the $6,000 range. Annual
energy savings exceed added debt
service in all states with energy savings
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378
379
436
317
321
338
333
219
380
Jkt 262001
ranging from a low of $564 (Florida) to
a high of $2,849 (Alaska).
Both incremental costs and savings
for the 2021 IECC in the 11 states plus
the District of Columbia that have
adopted the 2018 IECC are typically
lower than for those at the 2009 IECC
baseline. New York, for example, shows
an added cost of $3,837/unit for
adoption of the 2021 IECC relative to its
current 2018 baseline, $495 in annual
estimated savings, yielding LCC savings
of $7,782.
15. Total Costs and Benefits
Table 20 provide estimated up-front
costs, annual energy cost savings, and
life cycle cost savings for the 2021 IECC
for all 50 states and the District of
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Sfmt 4703
Columbia, weighted by the estimated
share of single family and low-rise
multifamily units potentially impacted
by the adoption of the 2021 IECC. As
previously shown in Table 12, an
estimated 140,000 single family and
low-rise multifamily units would be
impacted annually by this code if
adopted today. By multiplying the
incremental cost/unit per state by the
number of units estimated likely to be
impacted, the total cost of implementing
the 2021 IECC is estimated at $605.4
million, total savings are estimated at
$2.1 billion, and net life-cycle cost
savings of $1.3 billion.131
131 Net LCC savings of $1.3 billion are based on
life-cycle costs of $770 million and life-cycle
savings of $2.1 billion over the 30-year period.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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MI
MN
MO
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 20. Aggregate Estimated Costs and Savings for 2021 IECC
(Single Family and Low-Rise Multifamily) (2023 dollars)
Current Code
AK
AL
AR
AZ
2009
2009
2009
2009
2021
2009
2021
2018
2018
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2018
2018
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
2009
CA
co
CT
DC
DE
FL
GA
HI
IA
ID
IL
IN
KS
KY
LA
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
MO
MS
MT
NC
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
ND
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PO 00000
1.467.302
15 751 159
10 787 851
25 877 923
22 048 256
-
2,059,004
-
27,089 312
-
10.7
789,874
7.557.323
78 027 936
54 200 100
641,349
2.865.479
6,458,270
10 184 197
15 080 067
3.917.376
14 501 366
12 046 255
359,843
8.987.272
1,380,494
5.157.941
7,105,575
11.327 527
8,145,813
1.556.448
40 733 576
1.369.480
123 257
652 990
10 085 227
7.732.423
278 936
491595
591494
1.049.049
1,663,982
610.412
2,149,551
1.350.091
113,426
1.137.731
316,587
809.020
1,304,653
1.381.200
1,101,578
174.178
5,819,749
256 657
2,284,586
8.167.536
163,080,925
133.786.239
6,549,083
8.967.910
7,514,250
12 746 796
24 440 942
10 651.023
38 223 760
21698 030
2,493,512
18 341.653
6,457,741
13 818.750
24 817,262
21648.400
19 036 644
2.592.446
101,179 307
4.816.719
6.4
11.6
7.7
7.0
2.3
5.8
10.9
9.7
9.1
6.4
6.7
8.9
3.2
7.9
4.4
6.4
5.4
8.2
7.4
8.9
7.0
5.3
Frm 00050
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4725
Life-Cycle Cost
(LCC) Savings
($)
Simple
Payback
(Years)
7.563.877
42 441 810
27 308 371
47 851 967
4.0
6.8
7.0
8.5
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
26APN2
-
EN26AP24.117
State
Total Annual
Energy Cost
Savings Per
State($)
362 749
2,322,686
1.539.224
3,055,881
Total Incremental
Cost Per State ($)
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Current Code
NE
NH
NJ
NM
NV
NY
2018
2009
2021
2009
2009
2018
2009
2009
2018
2009
2011 PR Building Code
2009
2009
2009
2009
2018
2009
2009
2021
2021
2006
2009
2009
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OK
OR
PA
PR
RI
SC
SD
TN
TX
UT
VA
VT
WA
WI
WV
WY
This LCC figure covers a single year’s
cohort of HUD and USDA financed
housing. Annual effects will increase as
more cohorts are added to the stock of
new HUD- and USDA-assisted, insured,
or guaranteed energy-efficient housing.
In the second year, with two cohorts in
place, there could be a stream of almost
$150 million (future value) of energy
savings. The number of units affected
every year will decline as states update
their standards to the 2021 IECC, or
industry adopts the prescribed abovecode standards. Thus, we expect the
aggregate annual incremental effects to
taper off. The maximum annual effect of
all cohorts is not likely to exceed
somewhere between three or four times
the annual effect of a single-year cohort.
While a new code edition is typically
published every three years, since HUD
and USDA must consider the
affordability and availability impacts of
each edition when it is published, in
this notice, LCC savings cover one year’s
cohort. See ‘‘Aggregate Incremental
Impacts of IECC Update’’ in the
Regulatory Impact Analysis (p.44) for
further discussion.
The Regulatory Impact Analysis at
www.regulations.gov provides an
estimated first cost of $553 million,
annual energy savings of $73 million,
and net LCC savings that range from
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7,489,828
18,406,827
1,764,960
11,549,503
11,554,693
689,004
1,646,889
207,634
1,328,498
1,747,839
10.9
11.2
8.5
8.7
6.6
8,043,921
-
9,005,317
19,842,774
3,061,397
18,941,414
31,325,528
1,049,813
16,459,200
7.7
674,452
30,174,298
1,571,406
29,623,159
66,546,268
16,672,620
23,199,372
112,658
4,459,928
331,691
3,934,188
8,937,478
1,627,949
3,534,206
2,023,038
80,540,750
6,542,036
66,397,370
136,575,571
22,336,566
63,545,340
6.0
6.8
4.7
7.5
7.4
10.2
6.6
1,807,146
4,583,037
730,032
261,252
661,985
103,282
4,211,113
11,839,942
1,816,195
6.9
6.9
7.1
-
-
-
-
-
$972 million (7 percent real discount
factor) to $1.48 billion (3 percent real
discount factor). (See RIA Figures 20
and 21).
C. Final Affordability Determination—
2021 IECC
Based on the analysis provided above,
HUD and USDA have determined that
adoption of the 2021 IECC will not
negatively impact the affordability of
homes covered by the statute. This
conclusion recognizes the profile of
FHA borrowers, who according to
FHA’s 2021 Annual Report are typically
first-time home buyers (84 percent) who
are more likely than repeat buyers to be
especially price sensitive.
While the national average
incremental cost shown in Table 13 of
adopting this standard is $7,229, this
represents a modest 2.2 percent increase
in the median cost of $330,000 for a new
FHA-insured home in 2023. In all cases
this translates into an increase in the
downpayment and other first costs, on
average, of $445, which represents
approximately 0.13 percent of the
median FHA-insured new energy
efficient home mortgage.132
132 Average
USDA Section 502 Direct Loan 2018–
20 of $191,100, and of Section 502 Guaranteed Loan
of $210,700. Incremental cost of $7,229 equals 3.0
percent and 2.8 percent respectively of these loans;
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Life-Cycle Cost
(LCC) Savings
($)
Simple
Payback
(Years)
167,721
4,157,578
16.6
5.7
-
-
-
-
-
-
Unlike other added costs associated
with the home purchase transaction,
these incremental costs yield significant
cost savings to the borrower. As shown
in Tables 13–15, cash flows are
extremely favorable for all types of
housing covered by the IECC (single
family and low-rise multifamily), for the
2021 IECC against both the 2009 IECC
and the 2018 IECC baselines, in all
Climate Zones, and for both life cycle
cost savings as well as first year savings
to the consumer. In all cases, annual
energy savings in Year One exceed
increases in debt service. Using the
national average for the 2021 IECC over
the 2009 IECC as a base case, as shown
in Table 13, debt service increases
average just $36/month ($439/year) for
net positive cash flows of $31/month
($377/year) after debt service.
Consumers are expected to see energy
savings of $963 annually, and a net
positive cash flow of $377 in the first
year. On a life cycle basis, consumers
are projected to save $25,100 in energy
bills over the life of a typical 30-year
mortgage, and a net life cycle savings
(after costs) of $15,071. Years to positive
down payment and other upfront costs are 0.28
percent and 0.26 percent. For average FHA new
home mortgage of $363,000 (2023), added first cost
equals 2.0 percent, average down payment and
other upfront costs equals 0.15 percent.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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EN26AP24.118
State
OH
1,330,406
1,347,422
Total Annual
Energy Cost
Savings Per
State($)
79,978
234,827
Total Incremental
Cost Per State ($)
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cash flow range average 1.5 years and
range from less than six months to 2.5
years depending on Climate Zone. The
simple payback—the years required to
recoup the full cost of the code update—
averages 7.7 years and is less than 10
years in all Climate Zones, ranging from
a low of 3.7 years to a high of 9.2 years.
While there is likely to be variability
in actual cash flows depending on
energy use associated with family size
and behavior, the data shows that on
average the adoption of these measures
are likely to improve overall
affordability in light of these positive
cash flows.
While the cash flows and lifetime cost
savings are positive, an additional
affordability consideration is whether
increased down payment costs due to
the added or incremental cost will
negatively impact home buyers with
regard to qualifying for a mortgage, or to
meet mortgage down payment
requirements. This is especially
important for first-time home buyers
who typically have lower cash
availability for down payments. As
shown in Table 13, HUD estimates
increased average down payment and
other up-front costs of $550, ranging
from $279 to $673 for FHA-insured
mortgages (varying by Climate Zone).133
This is based on an assumed average 5
percent down payment.
HUD and USDA do not view these
additional downpayment requirements
as a barrier to qualifying for financing:
a borrower purchasing a median FHA
new energy code-compliant home of
$337,200 will need an additional
downpayment of $360 (5 percent down)
plus an additional $190 for variable
closing costs, including $126 (1.75
percent) for the Upfront Mortgage
Insurance Premium (MIP) for a total of
$550. A cash-constrained borrower may
be able to finance the Upfront MIP in
the mortgage and in doing so would still
be well above the minimum FHA down
payment requirement of 3.5 percent.
Amortizing this amount will add a
nominal additional monthly mortgage
payment, yet result in an average of $80
per month or $963 a year in energy
savings from this investment. The
borrower who is already contributing
the minimum 3.5 percent downpayment
required by FHA will need an average
of an additional $252 down payment
(3.5 percent of $7,229 added average
cost) over the $11,550 downpayment
133 Average price in 2023 for all FHA-insured
purchases, including existing homes, was $363,000.
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required for a non-energy code
compliant home. In the event that the
borrower is not able to contribute this
additional cash above the minimum 3.5
percent downpayment, we note the
large number of down payment
assistance programs that may be
available to borrowers to close this
gap.134 For one program, the USDA
Section 502 Direct Loan Program which
serves low-income borrowers with 50–
80 percent incomes, there is a zero
down payment requirement; for these
borrowers the incremental down
payment will by default present no
affordability challenges. Longer
amortization schedules (up to 38 years
for up to 60 percent AMI borrowers) can
also be used to lower monthly payments
for Direct Loan borrowers if needed.
Note that energy costs and savings are
generally not factored into current
underwriting practices for single family
mortgages, i.e., while positive cash
flows related to improved energy
efficiency will be realized, they are not
specifically included in the Principal
Interest, Taxes, and Insurance (PITI)
debt-to-income ratios typically used by
lenders to qualify borrowers.
Multifamily underwriting, on the other
hand, does take into account energy
savings: FHA offers the Green Mortgage
Insurance Premium to multifamily
borrowers who build to a green building
standard, which may include the most
recent energy code as a mandatory
element, or may offer additional points
if the building meets or exceeds the
latest IECC or ASHRAE 90.1 standard.
Equity Impacts
The Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA)
that accompanies this notice includes
an extensive equity analysis, which
discusses the disproportionate energy
burden experience by low-income
borrowers—and conversely the
increased benefits likely to be realized
by low-income borrowers from
increased efficiency. See the Equity
Impacts section of the RIA (p.98) at
www.regulations.gov.
Lower-income households face
disproportionately higher energy
burdens; they spend a higher share of
their gross household income on energy
costs.135 Two-thirds of low-income
134 See, for example, https://nwhomepartners.org/
get-ready-help-for-homebuyers/down-paymenthelp/, or https://www.energy.gov/scep/slsc/lowincome-community-energy-solutions.
135 https://www.energy.gov/scep/slsc/low-incomecommunity-energy-solutions.
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households earning up to 200 percent of
the federal poverty level face high
energy burdens, spending more than 6
percent of their income on energy bills.
Black, Hispanic, Native American, and
older adult households, as well as
families residing in manufactured
housing and low-income households
with a person with a disability,
experience disproportionately high
energy burdens.136
Since increasing energy efficient
codes will lower the energy burden for
buyers of energy efficient homes, more
efficient codes will at the same time be
most beneficial to lower-income
households. These codes typically
require added first costs, but HUD and
USDA single family insured or
guaranteed programs include mitigating
factors which may make this investment
more affordable to eligible borrowers,
e.g., lower down payment requirements
(3.5 percent for FHA-backed mortgages
compared to 20 percent required for
conventional financing without
mortgage insurance), as well as more
flexible underwriting requirements such
as lower allowable credit scores.
USDA’s Direct Loan program serves an
underserved market, very low or
extremely low-income borrowers in
rural areas, through no-or low-down
payment requirements, as well as
significant interest rate subsidies. FHA’s
low-rise multifamily housing serves a
renter population that is not directly
responsible for any additional first
costs.
The overall conclusion provided in
the RIA concerning the equity impacts
of a minimum energy standard is that
lower-income households will benefit
more from the existence of energyefficient housing but may be challenged
in their ability to address first costs.
Empirical work has shown that
residential energy is a necessary good,
but that reducing its cost through energy
efficiency requires an additional
investment that lower-income
households may not have the disposable
income to accommodate. If, however,
the notice encourages the supply of
energy efficiency in the affordable
housing stock, then low-income
households will gain. Precise impacts
are likely to vary by housing market and
climate zone.
136 Drehobl, A.L. Ross, and R. Ayala. 2020. How
High Are Household Energy Burdens? Washington,
DC: American Council for an Energy-Efficient
Economy.
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IV. Final Determination—ASHRAE
90.1–2019
Overview
EISA requires HUD to consider the
adoption of revisions to ASHRAE 90.1
for HUD-assisted multifamily
programs.137 Published and revised
every three years in coordination with
the publication schedule of the IECC,
the standard provides minimum
requirements for the energy-efficient
design of commercial buildings,
including residential buildings with
more than three stories.138
ASHRAE 90.1 includes several
compliance pathways. The first is the
prescriptive path, which establishes
energy-related criteria for individual
building components, including
minimum insulation levels, maximum
lighting power, and controls for lighting
and heating, ventilation, air
conditioning, and refrigeration systems.
Some requirements are considered
mandatory, even when one of the
optional paths is utilized. ASHRAE 90.1
also includes two optional wholebuilding performance paths. The first is
the Energy Cost Budget method, which
allows the designer to trade off
compliance among various code
requirements, using established energy
modeling protocols. A building is
deemed in compliance when the annual
energy cost of the proposed design is no
greater than the annual energy cost of
the reference building design (baseline).
ASHRAE 90.1 also includes a second
performance approach, the Performance
Rating Method in Appendix G.
Appendix G has been used to rate the
performance of buildings that exceed
the requirements of Standard 90.1 for
above-code programs, such as LEED,
Green Globes, ASHRAE Standard 189.1,
the International Green Construction
Code, the National Green Building
Standard, and other above-code
programs.
1. Current HUD and USDA Standard
and Subsequent Revisions
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In their May 2015 Final
Determination, HUD and USDA
137 USDA multifamily programs are not covered
by the Act.
138 Standard 90.1 is published in October of the
year two years before the year listed for the IECC,
to allow the latest version of standard 90.1 to be
submitted to the IECC for inclusion in the
commercial chapter of the IECC.
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established the 2007 edition of ASHRAE
90.1 (ASHRAE 90.1–2007) as the
minimum standard for HUD-assisted
multifamily properties. ASHRAE has
revised the code four times since the
publication of the 2007 edition.
ASHRAE 90.1–2010 was published in
October 2010. There were 56 changes to
the 2007 edition code with a positive
impact on energy efficiency, including
revised requirements for the building
envelope, HVAC systems,
commissioning, lighting, and power.139
DOE determined that the ASHRAE
90.1–2010 code would yield national
energy cost savings of 7.72 percent in
mid-rise apartment buildings and 6.99
percent in high-rise apartment buildings
over the previous 2007 code.140
The next edition, ASHRAE 90.1–2013,
published in October 2013, included 52
changes over the 2010 edition, most of
which were determined by DOE to be
relatively minor. Only six were
applicable to residential buildings,
including improved lighting controls
and decreased lighting power densities,
increased building envelope
requirements for ‘‘opaque assemblies
and fenestration,’’ and increased
efficiency requirements for smaller air
conditioners and heat pumps.141 These
amendments resulted in an average
energy savings of 5.4 percent in mid-rise
apartment buildings and 6.9 percent in
high-rise multifamily buildings (site
energy) over ASHRAE 90.1–2010.142
139 A ‘‘positive change’’ is defined as a change to
the code that results in increased energy efficiency.
Other changes might include items that are either
savings-neutral, or, in rare cases, may lower energy
efficiency.
140 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the
Department of Energy, Cost-effectiveness of
ASHRAE Standard 90.1–2010 Compared to
ASHRAE Standard 90.1–2007, May 2013, Tables
C.2, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/
external/technical_reports/PNNL-22043.pdf.
141 PNNL, National Cost-effectiveness of ANSI/
ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2013, January 2015,
https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/
technical_reports/PNNL-23824.pdf.
142 U.S. Department of Energy, Determination
Regarding Energy Efficiency Improvements in
ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1–2013: Energy
Standard for Buildings, Except Low-Rise Residential
Building, Table IV.5, 79 FR 57900 (Sep. 26, 2014),
https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2014/
09/26/2014-22882/determination-regarding-energyefficiency-improvements-in-ansiashraeies-standard901-2013-energy. For more detailed analysis, see
PNNL, ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1–2013
Determination of Energy Savings: Quantitative
Analysis, August 2014. Available at https://
www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/
technical_reports/PNNL-23479.pdf.
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33163
Cost savings were estimated by DOE to
be 5.0 percent for mid-rise apartments
and 8.7 percent for high-rise apartments.
The following edition, ASHRAE 90.1–
2016, yielded an additional 3.6 percent
site energy savings for mid-rise
apartment buildings, and 4.0 percent for
high-rise apartment buildings.143 Energy
cost savings were estimated by DOE to
be 3.9 percent and 5.1 percent
respectively over the 2013 edition for
these two building types.
DOE’s quantitative analysis
concluded that ASHRAE 90.1–2019 for
mid-rise and high-rise multifamily
buildings (representing 11.65 percent of
all commercial buildings) would yield
an additional site energy savings of 2.65
percent over the 2016 edition, and
energy cost savings (Energy Cost Index
(ECI)) of 2.5 percent.144 145 146
Tables 21 and 22 show the changes in
incremental costs for each code cycle
since the 2007 edition. Table 21 shows
that per square foot costs increased for
the first two cycles (2010 and 2013) in
a prototype mid-rise apartment building
modeled by PNNL in five representative
climate zones. In 2013, for example, the
incremental cost of complying with
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 ranged from just
$0.17/sf to $0.69/sf, or 0.14 to 0.59
percent of total building costs. In
contrast, the last two code cycles (both
2016 and 2019) have seen incremental
cost savings rather than cost increases as
a result of complying with these codes.
In all cases, the incremental cost,
whether a cost increase or a cost
savings, is a small fraction of the total
per building first cost ($111/sf in 2010
to $218/sf in 2019).
143 PNNL/DOE Preliminary Energy Savings
Analysis, ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1–2016,
June 2017, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/
files/2017/07/f35/Preliminary_90.1-2016_Energy_
Savings_Analysis.pdf.
144 Op cit., PNNL, Energy Savings Analysis, July
2021.
145 PNNL, Impacts of Model Building Energy
Codes—Interim Update, July 21, 2021, https://
www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/
technical_reports/PNNL-31437.pdf. For all
commercial buildings, DOE estimates national site
energy savings of 4.7 percent and energy cost
savings of approximately 4.3 percent.
146 86 FR 40543 (July 28, 2021), Final
Determination Regarding Energy Efficiency
Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard
90.1-2019, https://www.federalregister.gov/
documents/2021/07/28/2021-15971/finaldetermination-regarding-energy-efficiencyimprovements-in-ansiashraeies-standard-901-2019.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 21. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1.-2019 Construction Costs ($/sf and %/st)
Year
Building
2A
3A
3B
4A
SA
First Cost
Tampa
Atlanta
El Paso
New York
Buffalo
($/ft2)
$/ft2)
($/ft2)
($/ft2)
($/ft2)
($/ft2)
$218
($0.36)
($0.37)
($0.40)
($0.30)
($0.29)
-0.16%
-0.17%
-0.19%
-0.14%
-0.13%
($0.54)
($0.51)
($0.53)
($0.37)
($0.73)
-0.28%
-0.27%
-0.27%
-0.19%
-0.38%
2019
2016
$194
2013
$117
2010
$111
Table 22 shows building-level
incremental cost or cost savings for each
code cycle since 2007. In Climate Zone
2A (Tampa) for example, the
$0.17
$0.69
$0.69
$0.38
$0.58
0.14%
0.59%
0.59%
0.33%
0.50%
$0.62
$0.62
$0.62
$0.62
$0.62
0.56%
0.56%
0.56%
0.56%
0.56%
incremental cost for the prototype midrise building was estimated to be
$20,858 and $5,711 for the 2010 and
2013 editions respectively, followed by
a combined savings of $30,167 in the
following 2016 and 2019 codes.
Table 22. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1 Construction Costs
($/Prototype 32-Unit Building)
3A
Tampa
Atlanta
El Paso
$/bldg
$/Bldg
$/Bldg
$/Bldg
2019
$7.36 million
($11,992)
($12,389)
($13,661)
($9,966)
($9,674)
2016
$6.55 million
($18,175)
($17,353)
($17,944)
($12,430)
($24,614)
2013
$3.95 million
$5,711
$23,214
$23,358
$12,891
$19,577
2010
$3.75 million
$20,858
$20,858
$20,858
$20,858
$20,858
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
This notice addresses ASHRAE 90.1–
2019, which was the most recently
published edition of ASHRAE 90.1 at
the time of drafting the preliminary
determination. In its qualitative analysis
of the code, DOE identified a total of 88
147 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the
U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Savings
Analysis: ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1–2019,
July 21, 2021, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/
default/files/2021-07/Standard_90.1-2019_Final_
Determination_TSD.pdf.
148 148DOE determined that 59 of the 88 addenda
will have a neutral impact on overall building
efficiency; these included editorial changes,
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changes, or addenda, to ASHRAE 90.1–
2016.147 148 Twenty-nine changes were
determined to have a positive impact on
energy efficiency (i.e., yield energy
savings). These include: increased
requirement for building vestibules,
changes to reference standards, changes to
alternative compliance paths, and other changes to
the text of the standard that may improve the
usability of the standard, but do not generally
improve or degrade the energy efficiency of the
building. Changes with impacts which do not
become effective within three years from the
publication of Standard 90.1–2019 (i.e., until a
cutoff date of December 31, 2022), are also
considered as having no impact within the context
of this analysis.
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4A
New York
$/Bldg
SA
Buffalo
$/Bldg
removal of data processing centers from
exceptions to HVAC requirements,
removal of hotel room exceptions to
HVAC requirements, modification of
demand-controlled ventilation
requirements, modification of fan power
limitations, modification of retail
lighting requirements, modification of
cooling tower testing requirements,
modification of commercial boiler
requirements, modification of part load
fan requirements, modification of
opaque envelope requirements, and
modification of fenestration envelope
requirements.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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2. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Overview
3B
EN26AP24.119
Prototype
Bldg First
Cost
2A
Code
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
On March 6, 2024, DOE published an
affirmative efficiency determination for
ASHRAE 90.1–2022, which has
additional energy savings.149 The 2022
edition includes 89 addenda in total, of
which 39 are expected to decrease
energy use. With the publication of
DOE’s affirmative efficiency
determination as required under the
Energy Conservation and Policy Act,
each state is now required to review the
provisions of their commercial building
code regarding energy efficiency, and, as
necessary, update their codes to meet or
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
149 Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
Office, 2024–03–06 Determination Regarding
Energy Efficiency Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/
IES Standard 90.1–2022; Notification of
determination. https://www.regulations.gov/
document/EERE-2023-BT-DET-0017-0001.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
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exceed Standard 90.1–2022. This
determination considered only ASHRAE
90.1–2019 because that was the most
recent determination available to HUD
and USDA at the time of developing the
preliminary determination.150
3. Current State Adoption of ASHRAE
90.1–2019
Table 23 shows the current adoption
status of ASHRAE 90.1 for mid-rise or
high-rise multifamily buildings. As of
December 2023, ten states and the
District of Columbia have adopted
ASHRAE 90.1–2019. A total of 33 states
and the District of Columbia have
150 See ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1–2022
Changes for list of amendments. www.ashrae.org/
technical-resources/bookstore/ansi-ashrae-iesstandard-90-1-2022-changes.
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33165
adopted an ASHRAE 90.1 standard that
is above the current HUD and USDA
standard (one of the 2010, 2013, 2016,
or 2019 editions), while 17 states have
adopted codes that are currently
equivalent to or below the current HUD
and USDA standard or have no
statewide codes.151 Additionally, DOE
provides an analysis of the energy use
index of each state-adopted code on
their state portal.152
151 DOE, Status of State Energy Code Adoption—
Commercial, https://www.energycodes.gov/status/
commercial. Note that the codes shown in Table 23
and Figure 3 represent DOE/PNNL’s Determination
of the standard that the state-adopted code is
equivalent to, reflecting amendments that may have
been adopted by each state.
152 DOE, State Portal, https://
www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 23. Current Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1 Multifamily Mid- and High-Rise Buildings
(December 2023)
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26APN2
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
Above Current HUD and USDA Standard (33 states + DC)
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 or Equivalent (10 states+ DC)
California
New Jersev
Oregon
Connecticut
District of Columbia
Utah
Mruvland
Vermont
Washington
Massachusetts
Montana
ASHRAE 90.1-2016 or Equivalent (3 states)
Florida
New York
Louisiana
ASHRAE 90.1-2013 or Equivalent (17)
Alabama
Nevada
Delaware
New Hampshire
Georgia
New Mexico
Hawaii
Pennsylvania
Idaho
Rhode Island
Illinois
Texas
Virninia
Maine
Michigan
West Vireinia
Nebraska
ASHRAE 90.1-2010 or Equivalent (3)
North Carolina
Minnesota
Wisconsin
At or Below Current HUD and USDA Standard (17)
ASHRAE 90.1-2007 or Equivalent (7)
Arkansas
Ohio
South Carolina
Iowa
Indiana
Tennessee
Kentucky
No Statewide Code (8)
Alaska
Missouri (Home Rule)
North Dakota (Home Rule)
Colorado ffiome Rule)
Kansas 2014
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
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comparison of the energy index for the
amended codes to that of their code
efficiency category demonstrates the
impact of each amendment on energy
efficiency.
5. Impacted Multifamily Housing
Table 24 provides the estimated
number of new mid-rise or high-rise
multifamily units that are estimated to
be impacted annually by the proposed
Determination on ASHRAE 90.1–2019.
Using a three-year average (2019 to
2021) annual production for each
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program, HUD preliminarily estimates
that a total of approximately 15,000 new
mid-or high-rise multifamily units (four
or more stories) will be impacted
annually in the 40 states that had not
yet adopted ASHRAE 90.1–2019. This
includes approximately 11,900 FHAinsured multifamily units, 300 public
housing units, and 2,000 HOME- and
300 HTF-financed units. No USDAguaranteed multifamily units are
impacted since these are not covered
under this notice.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy
Codes for Commercial Buildings
90.1-2001
<90.1-2007
NO Stotewide Code
33168
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 24. High-Rise Multifamily Units Potentially Impacted by ASHRAE 90.1-2019
AK
AL
AR
AZ
CA (2019)
co
CT (2019)
DC (2019)
DE
FL
GA
HI
IA
ID
IL
IN
KS
KY
LA
MA(2019)
MD (2019)
ME
MI
MN
MO
MS
MT (2019)
NC
ND
NE
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
NH
VerDate Sep<11>2014
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Pm
0
34
0
0
8
8
15
7
0
94
21
2
0
0
22
0
0
0
8
0
0
0
11
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
PO 00000
HOME
Housing
Trust
Fund
18
29
67
58
378
13
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
0
0
3
17
0
0
19
0
1
0
0
19
0
0
1
0
2
0
8
0
4
72
22
0
2
124
80
0
3
25
56
60
4
34
105
9
77
21
54
73
138
0
19
79
17
0
33
Frm 00058
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4725
RAD
FHA
Multifamily
25
0
16
38
12
10
0
0
48
21
0
0
0
73
0
0
0
2
3
35
0
24
0
5
0
0
21
0
0
0
46
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
0
207
105
278
107
440
81
89
0
953
513
0
0
7
260
32
36
122
80
316
547
10
65
391
286
0
44
852
0
191
69
26APN2
Total
56
270
196
374
505
530
118
96
50
1248
614
2
6
122
338
92
59
158
197
360
624
74
130
471
425
0
86
935
25
191
152
EN26AP24.123
State
33169
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
State
Pm
NJ (2019)
NM
NV
NY
OH
OK
OR(2019)
PA
RI
SC
SD
TN
TX
UT (2019)
VA
VT (2019)
WA(2019)
WI
WV
WY
HOME
27
0
3
10
7
0
0
27
0
0
0
1
54
0
8
0
10
4
0
0
75
5
216
156
83
0
92
45
2
10
63
9
114
1
38
38
47
41
5
10
Housing
Trust
Fund
0
9
2
0
0
7
8
0
15
0
47
16
36
0
9
16
4
0
6
1
RAD
FHA
Multifamily
0
12
1
27
0
10
30
0
2
0
37
103
0
17
0
0
31
0
5
0
32
74
59
932
68
52
24
54
23
152
8
484
4,310
307
596
5
266
111
46
12
Total
134
100
281
1125
158
69
154
126
42
162
155
613
4514
325
651
59
358
156
62
23
Territories
Puerto
Rico
Total
41
86
428
2,793
327
645
13,696
17,889
40states
320
1,949
297
499
11,878
14,943
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
1. Cost Benefit Analysis
In its Final Determination of
improved energy efficiency for
commercial buildings, including
multifamily buildings, DOE completes
both a ‘‘qualitative’’ analysis and a
‘‘quantitative’’ analysis to assess
increased efficiency of ASHRAE
Standard 90.1.153 In addition to a
quantitative and qualitative analysis of
the new code, PNNL publishes a cost
benefit analysis of each of the codes,
which considers the added, or
incremental cost for the new standard.
In addition, PNNL has published its
methodology for evaluating the costeffectiveness of commercial energy code
153 86
FR 40543 (July 28, 2021), Final
Determination Regarding Energy Efficiency
Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard
90.1-2019, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/
FR-2021-07-28/pdf/2021-15971.pdf.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
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changes, including multifamily
buildings, and that methodology is used
by HUD and USDA for this
determination.154 For more detail on the
methodology developed by DOE for
their cost-benefit analysis, see PNNL’s
2015 cost-effectiveness report.155
Evaluating cost-effectiveness requires
three primary steps: (1) evaluating the
energy and energy cost savings of code
changes, (2) evaluating the incremental
and replacement costs related to the
changes, and (3) determining the costeffectiveness of energy code changes
based on those costs and savings over
time. The DOE methodology estimates
the energy impact by simulating the
effects of the code change(s) on typical
new buildings, assuming both old and
154 PNNL, Methodology for Evaluating CostEffectiveness of Commercial Energy Code Changes,
January 2015, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/
publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL23923.pdf.
155 Ibid.
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new code provisions are implemented
fully and correctly. The methodology
does not estimate rates of code adoption
or compliance. Cost-effectiveness is
defined primarily in terms of LCC
evaluation, although the DOE
methodology includes several metrics
intended to assist states considering
adoption of new codes.
2. Building Prototypes
The basis for DOE’s ASHRAE 90.1
cost-benefit analysis are16 prototype
building models representing different
commercial sector building types. Of the
16 prototypes modeled by DOE, two are
multifamily buildings-a 4-floor mid-rise
apartment building and a 10-floor highrise apartment building. Table 25
provides detailed characteristics of the
mid-rise prototype.
E:\FR\FM\26APN2.SGM
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B. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Affordability
Analysis
127
33170
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 25. Mid-Rise Apartment Building Prototype Characteristics 156
GENERAL
Buildin T e
Gross Floor Area
Multifamil residential buildin
33,700 sf
As ectRatio
Number of Floors
4
Each floor has 8 (25 'x38 ') apartments, except
ground floor which has 7 apartments and one
lobb /office
15% 4ft hi h view windows
10 ft
10 ft for the office area onl
Steel-framed wall
Insulation entirel above deck metal deck roof
8" Slab-on-grade
Activi Area
Window-to-Wall Ratio
Exterior Wall
Roof
Floor
INTERNAL LOADS
Occu anc
78 persons total (average 2.5 persons per
a artment unit
•
Apartment units: 0.36 w/sf
•
Corridors: 0.5 w/sf
•
Office area: 1. 1 w/sf
0.62 w/sf
HVAC
Gas furnace
S lit s stem DX one
Constant volume
Distribution/Terminal Units
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
3. ASHRAE 90.1–2019 Incremental
Costs
Table 26 provides annual cost
savings, added construction costs, and
net LCC savings for the mid-rise
156 PNNL, Impacts of Standard 90.1–2007 for
Commercial Buildings at State Level, https://
www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/exter00nal/
technical_reports/PNNL-18544.pdf.
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Individual residential electric storage water heater
20 (per apartment unit)
120
multifamily prototype building.157 Cost
estimates typically use current national
average prices. Labor costs are based on
estimated hours and current crew labor
rates from RS Means. In some cases, cost
estimates completed for a prior code
cycle are still applicable and are
adjusted for inflation rather than
creating a new cost estimate or
obtaining current unit prices throughout
the cost estimate. Where cost estimates
are updated, inflation factors specific to
the equipment are used. These inflation
factors are developed for each specific
equipment or insulation type by
comparing RS Means from the time of
the estimate with the current RS Means.
157 Special tabulation provided by DOE/PNNL to
HUD of costs and savings for mid-rise multifamily
buildings only, 9/2/21.
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WATER HEATER
Water Heater Type
Tank Capacity, gallons
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Added construction costs average
$574/building, or just $18/unit. This
low average per-unit increase in cost is
because in two of the climate zones
analyzed, construction costs are
expected to be lower for ASHRAE 90.1–
2019 relative to the USDA-HUD 2007
baseline: construction costs for
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 are projected to
decrease by $257/unit in Climate Zone
2A, and by $142/unit in Climate Zone
4A. Conversely, the highest increase is
projected to be $285/unit in Climate
Zone 3B, followed by $274 per unit in
Climate Zone 3A. Added or incremental
construction cost can be negative for
some building types for some of the
following reasons:
• Fewer light fixtures are required
when the allowed lighting power is
reduced. Also, changes from fluorescent
to LED technology result in reduced
lighting costs in many cases and longer
lamp lives, requiring fewer lamp
replacements.
• Smaller heating, ventilating, and
air-conditioning (HVAC) equipment
sizes can result from the lowering of
heating and cooling loads due to other
efficiency measures, such as better
33171
building envelopes. For example,
Standard 90.1–2019 has more stringent
fenestration U-factors for some climate
zones. This results in smaller equipment
and distribution systems, resulting in a
negative first cost.158
Annual energy cost savings average
$7,153 per building, or $224 per unit,
yielding LCC savings of an estimated
$188,337 per building or $5,886 per
unit. Simple paybacks are immediate in
two of the five climate zones analyzed,
and 0.4 to 1.5 years in the remaining
climate zones, resulting in an extremely
fast average payback of just 0.1 years.
Table 26. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Added Costs and Savings - National (2021 dollars)
(2019 Edition vs. 2007 Baseline)
Per Square Foot
Added Construction Cost,
$/ft2
NetLCC
Savings, $/ft2
Simple Payback
Years
2A
Annual
Cost
Savings,
$/f1:2
0.253
-0.244
6.37
Immediate
3A
0.213
0.260
5.42
1.2
3B
0.186
0.270
4.89
1.5
4A
0.206
-0.135
5.68
Immediate
SA
0.207
0.075
5.44
0.4
National
Weighted
Average
0.212
0.017
5.58
0.1
Per Building
Annual
Savings
$/bld!!.
8,536
Added
Construction
Cost, $/bldg.
(8,233)
3A
7,187
3B
6;276
4A
NetLCC
Savings
$/bldg.
214,924
Annual
Savings
$/unit
267
8,772
182,871
225
274
5,715
9,110
164,989
196
285
5,156
6,950
(4,555)
191,643
217
-142
5,989
SA
6,984
2,531
183,546
218
79
5,736
National
Weighted
Average
7,153
574
188,337
224
18
5,886
Climate Zone
2A
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
4. State-Level Results
Table 27 provides multifamily added
costs and savings for ASHRAE 90.1–19
over the 2007 edition for individual
states.159 Most states (38 states plus the
District of Columbia) show lower perunit added costs for adoption of
158 See, for example, PNNL: https://
www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/
Cost-effectiveness_of_ASHRAE_Standard_90-12019-NorthCarolina.pdf.
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Added
Construction
Cost, $/unit
-257
NetLCC
Savings
$/unit
6,716
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 compared to the
2007 standard. Incremental cost savings
per unit range from a low of $44 in
Illinois to a high of $347 in Delaware.
Only 13 states show increased
incremental costs: Alabama, Georgia,
Mississippi, North Carolina, Nevada,
Oklahoma, South Carolina, South
Dakota, Tennessee, and Wisconsin. For
these 10 states, increased costs average
$169/unit, ranging from $22/unit in
Nevada to $297/unit in South Dakota.
The average incremental cost for all
states is just ¥3/unit.
159 Ibid., DOE/PNNL Special Tabulation provided
to HUD 9/2/21. Note that many states have already
adopted more recent versions of the code than
ASHRAE 90.1–2007. As a result, actual costs and
savings can both be expected to be lower for those
states.
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Climate Zone
33172
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
Table 27. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Added Costs and Savings- States (2021 dollars)
AK
AL
AR
AZ
CA
co
No Code
2013
2007
Home
Rule
2019
No Code
2019
2019
2013
2013
2013
Home
Rule
2007
2013
2013
2007
No Code
2007
2007
2019
2019
No Code
2013
2010
No Code
No Code
2019
2010
No Code
2013
2010
2019
2013
2013
2016
2007
No Code
2019
2013
2010
2007
2007
No Code
2007
2013
2019
2013
2019
2019
2010
2010
No Code
(319)
210
(23)
(234)
Energy
Cost
Savings,
$/unit/yr
7,828
10,493
5,736
5,702
(72)
-
6,208
-
5,630
Immediate
0.9
Immediate
Inm1ediate
-
5,201
Inunediate
5 778
6,039
5 213
10,357
Immediate
Inm1ediate
1.1
Immediate
(117)
5,601
IA
175
(60)
ID
7 592
237
(44)
IL
8,536
267
(182)
5,770
IN
180
(308)
5,972
KS
187
(328)
KY
9211
288
(172)
LA
6 782
212
MA
MD
(56)
ME
4,994
156
(88)
MI
6 782
212
(54)
7,659
MN
239
(333)
MO
7 457
233
MS
161
8,199
256
MT
NC
157
4 859
152
(57)
ND
6276
196
(124)
NE
7,085
221
(6)
NH
7,018
219
NJ
(305)
NM
7794
244
NV
22
6,613
207
(305)
6,917
NY
216
(192)
6,984
OH
218
OK
ISO
7 389
231
OR
(256)
5,061
PA
158
8,098
PR
0
253
(200)
RI
5,668
177
SC
186
6276
196
SD
297
6 343
198
TN
118
5,061
158
(155)
TX
6,276
196
UT
(275)
6,006
VA
188
VT
WA
WT
59
5,027
157
(96)
6,343
WV
198
(180)
WY
5,736
179
(93)
Average
6,670
208
Key No Code=No statewide code; Home Rule= Home Rule state.
5,975
5 135
6,450
6,527
6,655
5 947
6237
5,458
4 698
6,028
5,970
6,113
5 377
5 627
Immediate
Immediate
Immediate
Inunediate
Immediate
Immediate
Immediate
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(347)
(127)
229
(297)
-
-
Simple
Payback
(Years)
6 537
6,657
5 693
11,457
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
-
194
NetLCC
Savings,
Scenario 2
(PrivatelyOwned), $/unit
8,604
5,705
4,835
5,938
194
183
297
186
All states show energy cost savings,
both those with incremental cost
-
245
328
179
178
NetLCC
Savings,
Scenario 1
(PubliclyOwned), S/unit
9,652
6;275
5,321
6,466
-
m
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-
Energy
Cost
Savings
$/bldg/yr
-
CT
DC
DE
FL
GA
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Incremental
Cost $/Unit
6208
5,871
9 515
5,938
-
Frm 00062
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-
7,160
6475
6,915
6434
5,985
-
6,461
5 978
6,271
5 902
5,527
-
-
5 125
6220
5,546
7,022
-
5 807
5,150
8,454
6,151
5 330
-
6,524
-
-
8,171
5 684
5 359
6,086
5,581
7,518
5 221
4 945
5,525
5,182
-
4,754
5;297
Immediate
0.1
Innnediate
Immediate
0.8
-
5,811
-
0.9
Immediate
Immediate
Immediate
-
S 300
4,758
7,754
5,640
4 836
-
Immediate
Immediate
Inm1ediate
Immediate
0.7
-
4 699
5 584
5,072
6,394
-
-
-
6,400
6,093
5,952
6,388
5,909
5,479
5,426
5,822
increases and those that show lower
incremental costs. Annual energy cost
PO 00000
-
-
Inunediate
0.0
Immediate
0.9
1.6
0.5
Immediate
Inm1ediate
0.3
Immediate
Immediate
Immediate
savings average $208/unit, ranging from
$152/unit (North Carolina) to $328/unit
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
(Alabama). For the prototype 32-unit
mid-rise building, this translates into an
average annual cost savings of $6,670/
building, ranging from $4,859 annual
cost savings in North Carolina to
$10,493 in Alabama.
The annual energy cost savings
relative to lower incremental costs in
many states yield ‘‘negative’’ simple
paybacks in these states; where that is
the case, Table 27 shows these paybacks
as ‘‘immediate.’’ Average simple
payback for all states is immediate. The
states showing lower incremental costs
show immediate paybacks: For example,
Ohio shows a decrease in first costs of
$192 per unit, but annual energy cost
savings of $218, in which case the
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21:31 Apr 25, 2024
Jkt 262001
payback on this investment is
immediate.
Table 27 also shows life cycle cost
savings for this investment. Average Life
Cycle Cost savings for privately owned
buildings are $5,822/unit, with LCC
savings estimated to be highest in
Hawaii ($10,357 per building) and
lowest in Idaho ($4,698 per building).
5. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
Table 28 shows total estimated LCC
Savings for ASHRAE 90.1–2019 relative
to ASHRAE 90.1–2007. For the total
estimated units that could be impacted
by the adoption of this code,
incremental costs will be an estimated
$1.49 million lower than the cost of
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33173
construction to the 2007 baseline.
Annual energy cost savings are
estimated to be $3.1 million, and
national LCC savings $83.4 million for
privately owned buildings. Costs and
savings for states that have already
adopted the 2019 standard are excluded
from these totals, on the assumption
that housing will already be built to this
standard, and no additional costs will
be incurred or savings realized.
Additionally, states that have adopted a
more recent version than ASHRAE
90.1–2007 are expected to see reduced
costs as well as reduced savings
compared to the analysis that relies on
ASHRAE 90.1–2007 as a baseline.
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Table 28. Total Life Cycle Savings - States (2021 dollars)
(ASHRAE 90.1-2019 against 90.1-2007 Baseline)
NetLCC
Savings, Scenario
1 (PubliclyOwned), $/state
Net LCC Savings,
Scenario 2
(PrivatelyOwned), S/state
Sim.pie
Payback
(Years)
56
18,363
(17,891)
540,498
481,807
Immediate
AL
270
66046
1.694.138
1540,410
0.9
1,043,000
947,731
Immediate
2.418.464
2 220.902
Immediate
AR
196
35,132
56 652
(4,546)
AZ
374
87148
(87 543)
CA
505
-
-
-
-
-
co
530
118
94440
(38 000)
2.984.092
2 756.653
Immediate
96
-
-
-
-
-
DE
FL
50
9,700
(17 344)
326 856
288 899
Immediate
1.248
319 754
(157.903)
8.308.340
7 537.246
Immediate
GA
614
129,477
3,495,238
3,200,678
1.1
HI
2
6
922
1,164
140,483
(595)
22.914
35,851
20.714
32,751
Immediate
Immediate
TA
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
Added
Construction
Cost, $/state
AK
CT
DC
VerDate Sep<11>2014
Annual
Energy Cost
Savings,
$/state
(702)
ID
122
18 523
(7,332)
626 446
338
66286
(14 968)
2.179.969
573 192
2 037,417
Immediate
IL
600445
549 228
IImnediate
392,658
360,683
Immediate
IN
92
20371
(16 781)
KS
59
12,939
(18,165)
Immediate
KY
158
28 987
(51810)
939 575
849 615
Immediate
LA
197
44,658
(33,857)
1,228,616
1,108,558
Immediate
MA
360
MD
624
-
-
-
-
-
ME
74
18023
(4.135)
529 859
478130
IImnediate
MI
130
28,099
(11,377)
841,739
777,180
Immediate
MN
471
102 798
(25 327)
3 256.772
2 953.840
Immediate
MO
425
83,348
(141,603)
2,734,363
2,508,516
Immediate
MS
0
MT
86
-
-
-
-
-
NC
935
168.579
4 393.892
0.9
25
4,903
146.890
(1,423)
4.792.171
ND
155,494
139,599
Immediate
NE
191
33 430
(23 764)
1059.288
968 665
Immediate
NH
152
38,464
(962)
1,067,365
971,847
Immediate
NJ
134
-
-
-
-
-
NM
100
17,714
(30,471)
580,750
530,034
Immediate
NV
NY
281
44,442
1,337,109
0.1
300,101
6,222
(342,804)
1,447,028
1,125
9,510,726
8,723,108
IImnediate
OH
158
31,319
(30,320)
971,893
891,097
Immediate
OK
69
12,877
10,331
367,761
333,713
0.8
OR
154
-
-
-
-
-
PA
PR
126
24,710
(32,283)
822,084
732,143
Immediate
127
-
-
-
-
0.0
RI
42
12,089
(8,414)
343,199
315,743
IImnediate
21:31 Apr 25, 2024
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EN26AP24.131
State
Total
Units
33175
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
State
SC
SD
Total
Units
Annual
Energy Cost
Savings,
$/state
Added
Construction
Cost, $/state
NetLCC
Savings, Scenario
1 (PubliclyOwned), $/state
Net LCC Savings,
Scenario 2
(PrivatelyOwned), $/state
Simple
Payback
(Years)
162
34 333
30062
920,830
845 845
0.9
155
29,090
46,087
830,705
766,478
1.6
TN
613
137,669
3 386 779
0.5
4,514
875,739
72 389
(699,639)
3 730,628
TX
25,191,762
23,392,691
Immediate
UT
VA
325
-
-
-
-
-
651
101,587
(179,150)
3,448,464
3,094,969
Immediate
VT
59
WA
358
-
-
-
-
-
WI
156
33 061
998,409
921 760
0.3
WV
62
12,290
9,211
(5,949)
377,780
339,669
136,895
124 794
90,953,068
83,434,084
Immediate
Immediate
Immediate
WY
23
4,123
(4,147)
National
17,889
3,102,699
(1,490,877)
The Regulatory Impact Analysis at
www.regulations.gov provides a more
granular analysis of the estimated cost
benefits associated with building to the
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standard, taking
into account each state’s current
baseline code. Using current state
baselines, Table 29 (also RIA Figure 30)
estimates a total incremental cost
savings of $9.2 million, and a LCC
savings of $44.1 million (at a 3 percent
discount rate).
Table 29. Incremental Costs and Energy Savings Resulting from Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019
(2021 dollars)
Net Present Value of Energy Savings
3% Discount Rate
7% Discount Rate
$21,397,225
$14,072,666
-392,015
5,460,546
3,591,328
-594,671
4,027,640
2,648,924
10
1,596
-$662,487
2007
7
1,264
2010
3
1,557
No Statewide Code
2013
17
7,508
-6,613,942
11,338,502
7,457,180
2016
3
2,519
-983,227
1,894,844
1,246,214
2019
11
2,673
0
0
0
Total
Sl
17,117
-$9,246,342
$44,118,7S7
$29,016,311
C. Final Affordability Determination—
ASHRAE 90.1–2019
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with NOTICES2
Annual Number of Total Incremental
Units Affected*
Costs
In light of the significant estimated
savings, both annual and LCC savings,
and the nominal cost increase shown in
Tables 27 and 28, HUD and USDA have
determined that the adoption of
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 will not negatively
impact the affordability of the
multifamily housing covered by this
notice. As shown in Table 27, the
national average incremental cost for
adoption of this edition is ¥3/unit,
while the annual energy cost savings per
unit averages $208/unit. In all but 10
states, the incremental costs of building
to this standard have in fact decreased,
not increased, relative to the current
HUD and USDA ASHRAE 90.1–2007
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standard: in none of these states is the
added construction cost more than
$297/unit, and in that state (South
Dakota), annual energy cost savings are
estimated to be $198/year, yielding a
rapid Simple Payback of just 1.6 years.
Average (unweighted) payback for all
states is immediate, with 10 states
having payback period of up to 1.6
years. Estimated first costs are also a
nominal fraction of total construction
costs: the weighted national average of
0.017 $/sf (less than two cents) in added
costs represents just 0.16 percent of the
estimated total building cost of $218/sf.
Finally in every state analyzed, the net
LCC savings are positive, with a
weighted national average of $5,822 for
privately owned buildings.
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V. Impact on Availability of Housing
EISA requires that HUD and USDA
assess both the affordability and
availability of housing covered by the
Act. This section of this notice
addresses the impact that the EISA
requirements would have on the
‘‘availability’’ of housing covered by the
Act. ‘‘Affordability’’ is assumed to be a
measure of whether a home built to the
updated energy code is affordable to
potential homebuyers or renters, while
‘‘availability’’ of housing is a measure
associated with whether builders will
make such housing available to
consumers at the higher code level; i.e.,
whether the higher cost per unit as a
result of complying with the revised
code will impact whether that unit is
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States
EN26AP24.132
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Standard
33176
Federal Register / Vol. 89, No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 / Notices
likely to be built or not. A key aspect of
determining the impact on availability
is the proportion of affected units in
relation to total units funded by HUD
and USDA or total for sale units. These
issues are discussed below.
A. 2009 IECC—Single Family
In its 2015 Final Determination
adopting the 2009 IECC, HUD
concluded ‘‘[t]hough both higher
construction costs and hedonic
increases in demand for more energyefficient housing are expected to
contribute to an increase in housing
prices or contract rents, HUD and USDA
do not project such higher prices to
decrease the quantity of affordable
housing exchanged in the market.’’ 160
The current proposed update of IECC
requirements constitutes a more
expansive impact. The per unit cost is
greater than for the previous rule.
Revised estimate of the upfront cost of
building to 2021 IECC is approximately
$7,229, ranging from a low upfront
incremental cost of $3,662 in Climate
Zone 1 to a high of $8,845 in Climate
Zone 8. Likewise, the geographic scope
of the impact of the proposed rule is
also more extensive than in 2015. In
2015, construction only in those 16
states that had not yet adopted the 2009
IECC or its equivalent was directly
affected. Conversely, only five
jurisdictions have adopted a standard
that meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC
requirements. Under this notice, more
than 100,000 newly built units would
have to comply with the 2021 IECC
standard, compared to an estimate of
11,500 annually for the 2015 notice that
required IECC 2009 as a minimum
standard. This merits a more detailed
discussion of the potential impacts on
the availability of housing to program
participants as well as the housing
market overall. As set forth in this
section of this notice, HUD and USDA
find that there would be no noticeable
impact on the supply of housing
covered by this notice; there are many
ways for both homebuyers and builders
to address the costs of the notice if
buying or building to the 2021 IECC is
not advantageous; but, under very
specific conditions, availability could be
constrained.
The focus of this availability analysis
is on the purchase of newly built homes
by FHA-insured borrowers. While other
covered programs are important, FHAinsured single family purchases
represent the overwhelming majority of
units that would be affected by final
adoption of the proposed standards.
Homebuyers and builders of single
family homes will be more sensitive to
the IECC requirement than renters and
builders affected by the ASHRAE 90.1
update because the estimated
incremental cost for single family homes
is greater than the incremental cost of
updating ASHRAE 90.1.
1. Builder Impacts
Builders are required to build to the
2021 IECC standard only if they wish to
sell the new home to a borrower who
has a mortgage insured by FHA or
guaranteed by USDA. If builders predict
that the construction costs outweigh the
expected private benefits of building to
the 2021 IECC standard, then the supply
of newly built homes for FHA-financed
borrowers could contract. However, one
of several incentives for builders to
build to the 2021 IECC standard is to
preserve FHA-insured borrowers as
potential customers.
FHA-insured borrowers can be a large
portion of potential buyers of new
construction in some markets. As shown
below, in 2020, FHA-insured loans
financed just one percent of the
purchases of newly built homes in the
Northeast, 8.3 percent in the Midwest,
11.0 percent in the West, and a
significantly higher market share of 24.5
percent of purchases in the South.
The regions where construction
activity is high (e.g., South and West)
are also areas where a higher share of
buyers of new construction are FHAinsured. In such markets, builders
would be more inclined to build to the
energy code required by this notice.
Having more potential customers
increases competition for a home and
would reduce the opportunity costs of
time on market.
Table 30. Type of Financing of New Single Family Homes
(Homes Sold in the United States, 2020)
p ercentF·manced
ThousandsofHomes
Conventional
FHA
VA
Cash
25
60
244
128
457
(Z)
1
2
31
18
52
2
4
21
8
35
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
U.S.
6
96
19
122
Total
Conventional
FHA
VA
Cash
28
89.3
83.3
62.2
74.0
68.6
1.0
8.3
24.5
11.0
18.3
3.6
2.8
7.9
7.1
5.6
5.4
4.6
5.3
72
392
173
665
10.4
7.8
The cost to a developer of adopting
the standard includes the added
building costs, loss of potential
customers unwilling to pay the
additional price, and any other
distortions in design introduced by the
regulation. The builder can reasonably
be expected to build an affordable home
160 80
to the 2021 IECC standard if: FHAinsured borrowers are a significant part
of the market for newly built homes;
there is a sufficient market return from
energy efficiency; and the builder is able
to pass on some of the cost to the buyer.
Under these conditions, which will vary
by climate zone and the state of the
housing market, availability is not likely
expected to be adversely affected.
Conversely, builders may be
discouraged from building to the higher
standard if FHA-insured borrowers are a
limited share of the market for new
homes, e.g., in the Northeast, where
only 1 percent of all new homes are
FR 25901 at 25918 (May 6, 2015).
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Source: Annual Characteristics of New Housing, U.S. Census
Z = Less than 500 units or less than 0.5 percent.
33177
FHA-financed. However, the impact
would be limited because the number of
homes likely impacted would be close
to zero and, more importantly, there are
already states in the Northeast
considering adoption of the 2021 or
2024 IECC standards.
A second possibility is that the
builder continues to build affordable
homes but not to the 2021 IECC. This
would be the case when and where
there are significant profits from
building new homes for low-income
homebuyers, even if not FHA-insured,
FHA-insured borrowers are not a major
part of the market, perhaps because
conventional loans are relatively more
affordable, the unlikely case that lowerincome homebuyers do not place a
significant premium on energy
efficiency, or the builder is unable to
pass on costs to the buyer. Under this
scenario, the total supply of affordable
housing would not necessarily be
adversely affected, but new construction
for FHA borrowers could decline. A
third possibility is that the profit margin
from building affordable housing is so
slim that any change to the market
could lead to different development
decisions. One alternative may be for
builders to build housing for higherincome buyers. This strategy could
place the home out of reach of some
FHA-insured borrowers and thus reduce
the availability of some affordable
housing. However, in both of these
cases, the impact is expected to be
limited: estimates of the impact on
availability in the price elasticity model
shown below indicate the impacts are
likely to be limited to an extremely
small share of housing supply (0.2
percent of all homes available to FHA-
insured home buyers). For further and
more detailed discussion of different
availability scenarios, see the Regulatory
Impact Analysis, Section 10.2 New
Construction, Housing Supply, and
Availability of Housing.
The percentage change in the quantity
of housing, DQ/Q, depends on the price
elasticity of demand ED (the percentage
change in quantity demanded from a
percentage change in price), the price
elasticity of supply ES, and the
incremental cost DC, as a fraction of the
pre-regulation sales price P. The
percentage reduction of quantity is
greater as demand and supply are more
responsive to price changes (more price
elastic), and the incremental cost
constitutes a larger portion of the sales
price before the introduction of the
cost.161
Estimates from studies of the price
elasticities of demand and supply vary
due to differences in methods, data, and
geographies and time periods examined.
Generally, the estimate of the price
elasticity of demand for housing is
below ¥1, as low as ¥0.2 for lowincome households, but has been
estimated to be above ¥1. Generally,
lower income households have a lower
measured price elasticity of demand for
housing. The positive association
between income and the absolute value
of price elasticity stems from shelter
being a necessary good.162
The price elasticity of supply and
demand has been estimated at a wide
variety of levels for different housing
markets, primarily due to differences in
the ease of building additional units,
depending on the metropolitan area,
neighborhood and even type of
housing.163 The incremental cost of
adopting the 2021 IECC is expected to
be approximately 2 percent of the preregulation sales price (a $7,229
incremental cost and $363,000 sales
price). Our most cautious estimate is
that the approximately 2 percent
increase in construction cost would
reduce the production of homes for
FHA-insured borrowers by 1.5 percent,
which represents a 0.2 percent
reduction of all homes available to FHAinsured homebuyers.
This estimate is considered a ‘‘worstcase’’ scenario because it does not
account for any of the positive effects of
energy-efficiency. Any adverse impacts
on availability would be diminished
when there is a perceptible demand for
energy-efficient homes.
It is important to note that there
would be no adverse effects on the
broader availability of housing options
for FHA-insured homebuyers if they are
able to find close substitutes in other
submarkets. Close substitutes may
include, for example, relatively new
existing housing or code-complaint new
homes in adjacent or nearby
communities with similar features or
amenities. Finding a close substitute
may be more difficult in rural areas
where there is less available housing
stock. USDA guaranteed and direct
loans are limited to eligible areas as
defined by USDA and exclude central
cities. Thus, there could be a greater
relative burden on Section 502
guaranteed loans: about half of USDA’s
guaranteed and direct home loans are to
borrowers in rural areas as defined by
the 2010 Census as compared to about
one-fifth of FHA-insured mortgages
(AHS, 2019).
However, adoption of the new code is
not expected to have spillover impacts
on other housing submarkets given the
relatively small size of the directly
affected FHA and USDA submarkets.
The purchase of new homes by FHAinsured borrowers represents only 2.3
percent of all residential sales in 2020.
As a portion of all home purchases (all
homebuyers, new and existing homes),
FHA-financed purchases of new
construction range from slightly more
than 0 percent in the Northeast to
slightly less than 3.6 percent in the
South.
Energy efficiency has also been shown
to impart an economic value to
buildings. The willingness to pay for
this benefit will vary among
homebuyers. If there is a sufficient
proportion who expect to realize those
gains, then there will be a demand for
housing built to the 2021 IECC that
could partially counteract any adverse
impacts on availability. See the
discussions in the Regulatory Impact
Analysis at www.regulations.gov in the
‘‘Capitalization of Energy Efficiency
Standard’’ section (p.86).
161 The pass-through rate is the proportion of the
cost paid by buyers, which is higher as demand is
less price elastic and supply is more price elastic.
162 Mayo (1981) shows this to be the case when
a household must consume a minimum amount of
housing (a Stone-Geary utility function).
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163 Gyourko and Saiz (2006) attribute the local
variation in construction activity to more than the
cost of materials but also to local wages, local
topography, and the local regulatory environment.
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2. Single Family Market Impacts
The change in market quantity
depends not only on the decisions of
builders and the real estate industry
more broadly but also on the
willingness of buyers to absorb a price
change. The percentage reduction of
quantity is greater as demand and
supply are more responsive to price
changes and as the incremental cost
constitutes a larger portion of the sales
price.
The impact on availability, as
measured by the quantity of housing,
would be given by:
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Empirical studies cited in the RIA
suggest there is a statistically significant
and positive influence of energy
efficiency on real estate values of energy
efficient housing.164 One study
examining the residential market in
California found that a green label adds
about 2.1 percent to the value of a home.
This premium is slightly above the costs
of bringing a home in compliance with
the green labels (Energy Star, LEED, and
EnergyPoint).
Another study examined the premium
placed on the Energy Star certification
on homes in Gainesville, Florida and
found that there is a premium for these
homes but that the premium diminishes
when the home is resold; this finding
could suggest that energy efficiency is a
motivator for buying newly built
homes.165 Another two studies
examined the effects of a label, which
would be a voluntary option for the
builder, rather than a code, which is
obligatory.166 In another study,
researchers found that energy
performance certificates do not play a
role in determining market value but
that energy efficiency itself is
capitalized into housing sales prices
(about 2 percent for every 10 percent
reduction of energy consumption).167
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164 Laquatra, J., Housing Market Capitalization of
Energy Efficiency Revisited, 2002.
165 Bruegge, C., Deryugina, T. and Myers, E., 2019.
The distributional effects of building energy codes.
Journal of the Association of Environmental and
Resource Economists, 6(S1), pp. S95–S127.
166 Bruegge et al., 2016; Kahn, Matthew E., and
Nils Kok. ‘‘The capitalization of green labels in the
California housing market.’’ Regional Science and
Urban Economics 47 (2014): 25–34.
167 Aydin, Erdal, Dirk Brounen, and Nils Kok.
‘‘The capitalization of energy efficiency: Evidence
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A survey by the National Association
of Home Builders found that the median
borrower was willing to pay an extra
$5,000 upfront to save $1,000/year in
utility bills.168 This tradeoff would be
equivalent to the resident receiving 10
years of benefits at a 20 percent
discount rate or 30 years of benefits at
25 percent discount rate. A recent
survey of the National Association of
Realtors found that sixty five percent of
realtors believed that energy efficiency
was valuable in promoting residential
units. (However, the majority of realtors
(57 percent) were ‘‘not sure’’ as to the
impact of energy efficiency on sales
price.) 169
A study of commercial buildings
showed that a studio with an Energy
Star certification will rent for about 3
percent more per square foot and sell for
as much as 16 percent more. The
authors were able to disentangle the
value of the label itself from the value
of energy savings stemming from
increased energy efficiency. Energy
savings were important: a 10 percent
decrease in energy consumption led to
an increase in value of about one
percent over and above the rent and
value premium for a labeled building.170
from the housing market.’’ Journal of Urban
Economics 117 (2020): 103243.
168 Ford, Carmel. ‘‘How Much Are Buyers Willing
to Pay for Energy Efficiency?’’ Eye on Housing:
National Association of Home Builders Discusses
Economics and Housing Policy. April 12, 2019.
https://eyeonhousing.org/2019/04/how-much-arebuyers-willing-to-pay-for-energy-efficiency/.
169 National Association of Realtors, REALTORS
and Sustainability Report—Residential, 2021,
https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/
documents/2021-realtors-and-sustainability-report04-20-2021.pdf.
170 Eichholz, P., N. Kok and J. Quigley, ‘‘Doing
Well by Doing Good? Green Office Buildings,’’
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All of this empirical research shows
that there are profit incentives to
providing energy efficiency. Such a
price gain would diminish any adverse
effects on the supply of housing,
although it is also evidence that bidding
for energy efficiency could reduce
affordability.
3. Evidence From Prior (2009 IECC)
Code Adoption
Examining FHA new construction
loans by the level of a state’s energyefficiency standards can provide a rough
indicator of the potential impact of the
IECC on availability. Having required a
minimum standard equal to the 2009
IECC (in 2015), the purchase of a new
FHA-insured or USDA-guaranteed home
could depend on the strictness of the
state-wide code relative to the 2009
IECC. However, as shown in Table 19,
in states where the state-wide standard
is lower than that required by HUD and
USDA, the proportion of FHA loans for
new construction appears similar to
states that have adopted stricter codes.
For the group where the state-wide code
is at least as stringent as the 2009 IECC,
the proportion of FHA-insured new
construction loans is 16.9 percent,
which is slightly higher than the 15.1
percent for the states where energy
codes are below IECC 2009. Despite the
cyclical nature of new construction,
there is no compelling evidence that the
availability of newly built owneroccupied housing will be adversely
affected.
American Economic Review 100:5 (2010): 2492–
2509.
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Table 31. FHA-Insured Single Family Forward Loans, 2021
Grouped by Region and Strictness of State-wide Standard
All Regions
Less than IECC 2009
Same as IECC 2009
Higher than IECC 2009
New
Construction
14,800
Less than IECC 2009
Same as IECC 2009
Higher than IECC 2009
New
Construction
5,400
All Purchase Loans
Less than IECC 2009
Same as IECC 2009
Higher than IECC 2009
New
Construction
8,090
All Purchase Loans
Less than IECC 2009
Same as IECC 2009
Higher than IECC 2009
New
Construction
1,310
All Purchase Loans
New
Construction
Less than IECC 2009
Same as IECC 2009
Higher than IECC 2009
All Purchase Loans
0
1,410
500
building codes in general. Some states
do not adopt statewide building codes,
others adopt for only certain building
types that may exclude single family
housing, some states adopt codes with
amendments, while others that have
adopted building codes may not enforce
them, either in their entirety or only for
certain building types.171
Conversely, a growing number of
builders are incorporating above-code
energy efficiency or green building
standards that meet or exceed the 2021
IECC as standard building practice.
4. Variability in Building Practices in
Relation to Energy Codes
171 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, The
Cost of Enforcing Building Codes, Phase I, April
2013. Table 1 shows varying compliance rates:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/
282136731_The_Cost_of_Enforcing_
Building_Energy_Codes_Phase_1.
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Percent New
19.1
16.9
12.3
Percent New
Sfmt 4703
5.6
4.6
5.1
Percent New
---
0
66,000
33,660
There is some regional variation. In
the South, the proportion of new
construction is much higher in states
above the IECC 2009 (32.7 percent) than
in states below (16.6 percent). In the
West, the proportion of FHA new
construction is lower in states with
energy codes above the IECC 2009 (12.3
percent) than in states below (19.1
percent). A clear pattern is not
identifiable in either the Northeast or
Midwest. Diverse climate zones and
housing markets could explain why
different regions appear to respond
differently to the energy standard.
Note that there is wide variability in
enforcement of, or compliance with,
16.6
21.9
32.7
23,400
122,000
3,270
5,650
165
Northeast
State-wide Energy Standard
Percent New
42,275
32,500
73,900
5,490
9,050
Midwest
State-wide Energy Standard
15.1
13.9
21.0
32,600
225,000
116,000
49,390
37,900
West
State-wide Energy Standard
Percent New (%)
98,300
445,800
226,700
61,900
47,000
South
State-wide Energy Standard
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All Purchase Loans
2.1
1.5
Nearly 2.5 million Energy Star certified
single family, multifamily, and
manufactured new homes and
apartments have been built to date,
including more than 140,000 in 2022,
representing nearly 10 percent of all
U.S. homes built. Homes and
apartments that earn Energy Star
certification are at least 10 percent more
efficient than those built to code. Since
2023, in most states, Version 3.1 of the
Energy Star program is the minimum
Energy Star standard for single family
homes, which is designed to deliver at
least 10 percent savings relative to all
code versions up to the 2018 IECC.
Energy Star Version 3.2 will be
implemented in states that adopt the
2021 IECC; Version 3.2 is designed to
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deliver at least 10 percent energy
savings relative to the 2021 IECC.
There are also a smaller number built
to the DOE’s Zero Energy Ready Home
(ZERH) standards. In addition, certain
green building standards set Energy Star
as a minimum requirement. With the
energy efficient new homes tax credit
(45L) of up to $2,500 now available for
Energy Star Certified Homes and up to
$5,000 for DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes for single family homes and,
with prevailing wage requirements, up
to $2,500 per unit for Energy Star
Multifamily New Construction and up
to $5,000 per unit for DOE Zero Energy
Ready Homes for multifamily homes,
the market share for these above-code
standards is likely to increase.172
There is widespread regional
variation in adoption of these standards
because they are not typically mandated
by municipalities for single family home
construction. There are regional
variations in above-code standards
among builders as well. For example,
for Energy Star New Homes, adoption
rates in most states are below five
percent, with very little in the northeast,
while in the southwest the share of
Energy Star new homes is much higher,
e.g., adoption in Arizona is around 40
percent.173
In the multifamily sector, builders
frequently build to above code
standards such as LEED, Enterprise
Green Communities, ICC 700 National
Green Building Standard, PHIUS, the
Living Building Challenge, or regional
programs like Earthcraft. Most of these
programs embed Energy Star New
Construction within their standards
while also addressing other areas of
health and disaster resilience
requirements. Some municipalities may
require one of these above-code
standards for new construction of
multifamily housing. In the affordable
housing sector, each state may also
drive the choice of compliance with
above-code standards through their
Low-Income Housing Tax Credit
Qualified Allocation Plans (QAPs). State
QAPs may call out these above-code
standards specifically or may allocate
points to other matching funding
streams that incentivize or require
specific above-code standards.
B. ASHRAE 90.1–2019—Rental Housing
USDA and HUD have determined that
in light of the extremely small
172 For multifamily homes, the amounts of the
45L tax credit change to up to $500 per unit for
Energy Star Multifamily New Construction and up
to $1,000 per unit for DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes if prevailing wage requirements are not met.
173 https://www.energystar.gov/newhomes/
energy_star_certified_new_homes_market_share.
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incremental first costs, or, in many
cases, negative first costs, adoption of
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 will not negatively
impact the availability of multifamily
units financed or insured through these
programs. Simple paybacks times are
extremely low for the small number of
states that will see an increase in first
costs, in most cases less than one year.
The estimate of the direct cost of
construction of moving to this code is
not greater than zero. Even if there were
a slight increase in construction costs,
the estimates of energy savings are
sizeable enough such that the benefits
would offset the costs for property
managers. There could be some builders
of multi-family properties who are
doubtful of the return and so view the
ASHRAE 90.1–2019 requirement as a
net burden. For the hesitant developer,
there remain other incentives to comply:
FHA multifamily loans allow a higher
LTV than is common and Low-Income
Housing Tax Credits that are frequently
used by developers in conjunction with
HUD financing often carry a
requirement or incentive for energy
efficiency. In addition, FHA’s lower
multifamily Green Mortgage Insurance
Premium provides a strong incentive for
developers to adopt an above-code
standard.
VI. Implementation
Under Section 109(d) of CranstonGonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709), the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 standards
automatically apply to all covered
programs upon the effective date of the
specified affordability and availability
determinations by HUD and USDA.
Accordingly, once a Final
Determination has been made by HUD
and USDA under section 109(d) (42
U.S.C. 12709(d)) and published,
additional notice and comment
rulemaking will not be required for the
covered programs.
Based on DOE findings on
improvements in energy efficiency and
energy savings and a subsequent HUD
and USDA Final Determination with
respect to both housing affordability and
availability, HUD and USDA programs
specified under EISA will implement
procedures to ensure that recipients of
HUD and USDA funding, assistance, or
insurance comply with the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1–2019 code
requirements, commencing no later than
30 days after the date of publication of
a notice of Final Determination. HUD
and USDA will take such administrative
actions as are necessary to ensure timely
implementation of and compliance with
the energy codes, to include Mortgagee
Letters, notices, notices of Funding
Opportunity (NOFOs), Builder’s
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Certification Form HUD–92541, and
amendments to relevant handbooks.
In addition, conforming rulemaking
will be required to update FHA’s single
family minimum property standards at
24 CFR 200.926d, Public Housing
Capital Fund energy standards at 24
CFR part 905, and HOME property
standards at 24 CFR 92.251, although as
noted above, this would not entail
further notice and comment rulemaking.
Similarly, USDA will update minimum
energy requirements at 7 CFR part 1924
to conform with the requirements of this
notice.
To enable these administrative and
conforming rulemaking procedures to be
implemented and to provide the
industry with adequate time to prepare
for these requirements and incorporate
them in project plans and specifications,
proposals, or applications, adoption of
the new construction standards
described in this notice will be required
as described in Table 32.
In response to public comment and to
better enable builders to adapt to these
code requirements, the compliance
deadlines are extended beyond the dates
in the preliminary determination, as
shown in Table 32. As discussed in this
notice, rural persistent poverty areas,
where capacity to adopt above-code
standards may be challenging, have a
longer compliance timeline. Due to
differing administrative procedures
associated with each program,
compliance dates vary. The compliance
dates differ for example, for competitive
grant programs that have notices of
funds availability or programs, such as
FHA-insured multifamily, that provide
for pre-applications before firm
commitments, compared to application
for building permits for single family
construction. The compliance dates are
as follows:
(1) For FHA-insured multifamily
programs, the standards set forth by this
notice are applicable to those properties
for which mortgage insurance preapplications are received by HUD 12
months after the effective date of this
determination;
(2) For FHA-insured and USDAguaranteed single family loan programs,
the standards set forth by this notice are
applicable to new construction where
building permits applications will be or
have been submitted on or after18
months after the effective date of this
determination;
(3) For the HOME and Housing Trust
Fund (HTF) programs, the standards set
forth by this notice are applicable to
residential new construction projects for
which HOME or HTF funds are
committed by HOME Participating
Jurisdictions or HTF grantees on or after
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180 days after the effective date of this
notice;
(4) For Public Housing Capital Fund,
the standards set forth by this notice are
applicable to HUD approvals of
development proposals for new Capital
Fund or mixed financed projects on or
after12 months after the effective date of
this determination;
(5) For new construction occurring in
higher needs rural areas across all
covered programs, the standards set
forth by this notice are applicable on or
after 24 months after the effective date
of this determination. For the purposes
of this notice, these are defined as
persistent poverty rural areas, as defined
by USDA Economic Research Service.
33181
This will include persistent poverty
counties coterminous with or persistent
poverty census tracts located in rural
counties as defined by USDA. USDA
will publish a map of rural areas
covered by this extension no later than
30 days after the effective date of this
notice.
Table 32. Compliance Dates for the New Construction Standards in this Notice
Program
Event
Preliminary
Determination
Compliance Date
Final Determination
Compliance Date
HOME and Housing Trust
Fund (HTF)
Participating Jurisdiction
or HTF Grantee Funding
Commitment
180 days after
effective date
180 days after effective
date
FHA-Insured Multifamily
Pre-application Submitted
to HUD
90 days after effective
date
12 months after effective
date
Building Permit
Application
180 days after
effective date
18 months after effective
date
Public Housing (Capital
Fund, Project Based
Vouchers)
HUD approvals of
development proposals for
new Capital Fund or mixed
financed projects
180 days after
effective date
12 months after effective
date
Competitive Grants (Choice
Neighborhoods, Section
202, Section 811)
NOFO Publication
NIA
Next published NOFO
after effective date.
Already effective by
Federal Register
Notice July 27, 2023
Already effective by
Federal Register Notice
July 27, 2023
Building Permit
Application
180 days after
effective date
18 months after effective
date
USDA Section 502 Direct
Loans
USDA Section 523 Mutual
Self Help Loans
Application Selected for
Processing
Application Selected for
Processing
180 days after
effective date
180 days after
effective date
All programs, persistent
poverty rural areas*
Program-Specific Event,
above
NIA
18 months after effective
date
18 months after effective
date
24 months after effective
date
FHA-Insured Single Family
Rental Assistance
Demonstration
USDA Section 502
Guaranteed Housing Loans
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Compliance Paths
HUD and USDA interpret EISA/
Cranston-Gonzalez to mean that any
energy code that is determined by a
DOE or EPA analysis to have an energy
efficiency standard that is equal to or
more efficient than what is required
under the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1–
2019, is deemed to meet the
requirements of the 2021 IECC or
ASHRAE 90.1–2019, respectively:
(1) EPA’s Energy Star Version 3.2
certification for single family and low-
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rise multifamily buildings, Energy Star
Version 1.2 for multifamily new
construction, and DOE’s Zero Energy
Ready Homes Single Family Version 2
certification or Multifamily Version 2,
once it is released on January 1, 2025,
certification for multifamily buildings
will be accepted as evidence of
compliance with the standards
addressed in this notice:
(2) Certain energy and green building
certifications, provided that they require
and provide evidence of energy
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Sfmt 4703
efficiency levels that meet or exceed the
2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1–2019 or
include certification through EPA’s
Energy Star Version 3.2 certification for
single family and low-rise multifamily
buildings, Energy Star Version 1.2 for
multifamily new construction, and
DOE’s Zero Energy Ready Homes Single
Family Version 2 certification or
Multifamily Version 2 once released,
certification for multifamily buildings.
These may include standards referenced
in one or more HUD or USDA programs,
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*Persistent poverty rural areas across all programs should follow the area-specific implementation guidance rather
than that outlined for each HUD and USDA program.
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such as the ICC–700 National Green
Building Standard, Enterprise Green
Communities, Energy Star Certified New
Homes, Energy Star Indoor Air Plus,
Leadership in Energy and
Environmental Design (LEED), Living
Building Challenge, or Passive House, as
well as one or more regional or local
standards such as Earthcraft, Earth
Advantage, or Greenpoint Rated New
Home.174 HUD and USDA will publish
a list, to be updated annually, of those
standards that comply with the
minimum energy efficiency
requirements of this notice. HUD and
USDA will also accept certifications of
compliance of state or local codes or
standards for which credible third-party
documentation exists that these meet or
exceed the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1–2019.
(3) 2024 IECC (pending publication).
The 2024 IECC has preliminarily been
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174 Energy Star Certified New Homes Version 3.2
and DOE’s Zero Energy Ready Homes set the 2021
IECC as the baseline standard.
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estimated by DOE to be at least 6.66
percent more efficient than the 2021
IECC. Adoption of the prescriptive or
performance paths of the 2024 IECC will
be an allowable compliance pathway,
upon publication of a final efficiency
determination by DOE that this edition
is more energy efficient than the prior
code.
VII. Environmental Impact
A Finding of No Significant Impact
with respect to the environment was
made in connection with the
preliminary determination, in
accordance with HUD regulations at 24
CFR part 50 and USDA Rural
Development regulations at 7 CFR part
1970, which implement section
102(2)(C) of the National Environmental
Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C.
4332(2)(C)), and remains applicable to
this final determination. That finding is
posted at www.regulations.gov and is
also available for public inspection
between the hours of 8 a.m. and 5 p.m.
weekdays in the Regulations Division,
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Frm 00072
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
Office of General Counsel, Department
of Housing and Urban Development,
451 7th Street SW, Room 10276,
Washington, DC 20410–0500. Due to
security measures at the HUD
Headquarters building, please schedule
an appointment to review the finding by
calling the Regulations Division at 202–
402–3055 (this is not a toll-free
number). HUD welcomes and is
prepared to receive calls from
individuals who are deaf or hard of
hearing, as well as individuals with
speech or communication disabilities.
To learn more about how to make an
accessible telephone call, please visit
https://www.fcc.gov/consumers/guides/
telecommunications-relay-service-trs.
Damon Smith,
General Counsel, U.S. Department of Housing
and Urban Development.
Xochitl Torres Small,
Deputy Secretary, U.S. Department of
Agriculture.
[FR Doc. 2024–08793 Filed 4–25–24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 89, Number 82 (Friday, April 26, 2024)]
[Notices]
[Pages 33112-33182]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2024-08793]
[[Page 33111]]
Vol. 89
Friday,
No. 82
April 26, 2024
Part VII
Department of Housing and Urban Development
Department of Agriculture
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Final Determination: Adoption of Energy Efficiency Standards for New
Construction of HUD- and USDA-Financed Housing; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 89 , No. 82 / Friday, April 26, 2024 /
Notices
[[Page 33112]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
[Docket No. FR-6271-N-03]
RIN 2506-AC55
Final Determination: Adoption of Energy Efficiency Standards for
New Construction of HUD- and USDA-Financed Housing
AGENCY: Department of Housing and Urban Development and Department of
Agriculture.
ACTION: Notice of final determination.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA)
establishes procedures for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
Development (HUD) and the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to
consider adopting periodic revisions to the International Energy
Conservation Code (IECC) and to ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1: Energy
Standard for Buildings, Except Low-Rise Residential Buildings (ASHRAE
90.1), subject to a determination by the agencies that the revised
codes do not negatively affect the availability or affordability of new
construction of single and multifamily housing covered by EISA, and a
determination by the Secretary of Energy that the revised codes ``would
improve energy efficiency.'' At the time of developing the preliminary
determination, the most recent editions of the codes for which DOE had
issued efficiency determinations were ASHRAE 90.1-2019, and the 2021
IECC. This notice follows the notice of preliminary determination
published on May 18, 2023, and announces the final determination of HUD
and USDA as required under section 481(d)(1) of EISA. After
consideration of public comments, HUD and USDA determine that the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 will not negatively affect the affordability
and availability of housing covered by EISA.
DATES:
Effective Date of this Determination: May 28, 2024.
Compliance Date: Compliance is required according to the
implementation schedule described in Section VI of this notice;
compliance dates vary according to program type.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
HUD: Michael Freedberg, Office of Environment and Energy,
Department of Housing and Urban Development, 451 7th Street SW, Room
10180, Washington, DC 20410; telephone number 202-402-4366 (this is not
a toll-free number). HUD welcomes and is prepared to receive calls from
individuals who are deaf or hard of hearing, as well as individuals
with speech or communication disabilities. To learn more about how to
make an accessible telephone call, please visit: https://www.fcc.gov/consumers/guides/telecommunications-relay-service-trs.
USDA: Meghan Walsh, Rural Housing Service, Department of
Agriculture, 1400 Independence Avenue SW, Room 6900-S, Washington, DC
20250; telephone number 202-205-9590 (this is not a toll-free number).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Background
A. Statutory Requirements
B. Energy Codes Overview
C. Covered HUD and USDA Programs
D. Current Above-Code Standards or Incentives
E. Current Housing Market Affordability Trends
F. Changes From the Preliminary Determination to the Final
Determination
1. Adjusted Economic Factors
2. Adjusted Cash Flow and Financing Factors
3. Updated State Code Adoption
4. Alternative Compliance Pathways
5. Implementation and Compliance Timelines
6. Inflation Reduction Act Tax Credits and Rebates
II. Public Comments
A. Higher First Costs
1. General Support
2. Cumulative Costs
3. Proposals for Financing and Tax Credits
4. Proposals for Technical Assistance
5. Concerns Regarding an ``Appraisal Gap''
6. Delegation of Legislative Power
7. Lower Availability of Affordable Homes for Home Buyers
8. Affordability and Availability Impacts in Rural Communities
9. Limited Cost Effectiveness of Individual Code Measures
10. Understated Impact on Low-Rise Multifamily
B. State and Local Adoption of Energy Codes
1. Alignment With State and Local Codes
2. Adoption of Earlier Code Versions
3. State and Local Code Amendments
C. Cost Benefit Analysis
1. Construction Cost Estimates
2. Builder vs. Consumer Costs
3. Reliance on Simple Payback vs. Life Cycle Cost Savings
4. Current Financing and Economic Factors
5. Timeframe of Analysis
D. Ventilation, Manually Operated Fans
E. Air-Sealing Requirements and Fire Codes
F. Builder Familiarization With New Codes
1. Implementation Timeline
2. Need for Training and Technical Assistance
3. Enforcement and Compliance
G. COVID-Related Supply Chain Challenges
H. Green Building Standards and Alternative Compliance Paths
1. Alternative Compliance Pathways
2. Promoting Unvented Attic Spaces
3. Alignment With Existing State or Local Codes
4. Alternative Prescriptive and Performance Compliance Pathways
I. Additional Comments
1. VA Enhanced Loan Underwriting Methods
2. Incorrect Montana Data
3. Inclusion of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
4. Covered Housing vs. Existing Housing Stock
5. Impact on Increased Sprawl
III. Final Determination--2021 IECC
A. Overview
1. Current HUD-USDA Standard and Subsequent Revisions
2. 2021 IECC Overview
3. Current State Adoption of the 2021 IECC
4. Estimated Impacts
B. 2021 IECC Affordability Analysis
1. Cost Benefit Analysis and Results
2. Limitations of Cost Saving Models
3. Estimated Costs and Savings
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes for Residential
Buildings
5. Incremental or Added Costs
6. Annual Cost Savings
7. Simple Payback
8. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
9. Consumer Cash Flows
10. Low-rise Multifamily Buildings
11. Additional Analysis--6.5% mortgage interest
12. Cash Flows for Single Family and Low-Rise Multifamily
13. Appraisals of Energy Efficiency Improvements
14. State-Level Results
15. Total Costs and Benefits
C. Final Affordability Determination--2021 IECC
IV. Final Determination--ASHRAE 90.1-2019
A. Overview
1. Current HUD-USDA Standard and Subsequent Revisions
2. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Overview
3. Current State Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes for Commercial
Buildings
5. Impacted Multifamily Housing
B. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Affordability Analysis
1. Cost Benefit Analysis
2. Building Prototypes
3. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Incremental Costs
4. State-Level Results
5. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
C. Final Affordability Determination--ASHRAE 90.1-2019
V. Impact on Availability of Housing
A. 2021 IECC--Single Family
1. Builder Impacts
2. Single Family Market Impacts
3. Evidence From Prior Code Adoption
4. Variability in Building Practices in Relation to Energy Codes
B. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Rental Housing
VI. Implementation
[[Page 33113]]
VII. Environmental Impact
List of Tables
Table 1. Distribution of State Adoption of IECC and ASHRAE 90.1
Equivalent Standards
Table 2. Covered HUD and USDA Programs (New Construction)
Table 3. Current Energy Standards and Incentives for HUD and
USDA Programs (New Construction)
Table 4. Incremental First Cost of Energy Star Version 3.2
(Above 2021 IECC) in Select Cities
Table 5. Maximum Energy Rating Index--2021 IECC
Table 6. Appraised Values Relative to Sales Price--FHA Insured
New Homes 2020-23
Table 7. ICC Economic Factors for 2024 IECC Analysis
Table 8. Revised Economic Parameters for Final Determination
Table 9. National Costs and Benefits--2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
(Single Family)
Table 10. Incremental Energy Savings Associated with Each IECC
Version--2006 to 2021
Table 11. Current State Adoption of the IECC
Table 12. Estimated Number of Units Impacted Annually by 2021
IECC
Table 13. National Costs and Benefits--2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
(Single Family)
Table 14. National Costs and Benefits--2021 vs. 2009 IECC (Low-
Rise Multifamily)
Table 15. National Costs and Benefits--2021 vs. 2018 IECC
Table 16. National Costs and Benefits--2021 vs. 2009 IECC
(Single Family) 6.5% interest, 3.5% downpayment
Table 17. Cash Flow for Single Family--2021 IECC vs. 2009 IECC
Table 18. Cash Flow for Low-Rise Multifamily--2021 IECC vs. 2009
IECC
Table 19. State by State Costs and Benefits 2021 IECC vs. 2009
or 2018 IECC (Single Family)
Table 20. Aggregate Estimated Costs and Savings for 2021 IECC
(Single Family and Low-Rise Multifamily)
Table 21. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Construction Costs ($/sf
and %/sf)
Table 22. Incremental ASHRAE 90.1 Construction Costs ($/
Prototype 32-Unit Building)
Table 23. Current Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1 Multifamily Mid- and
High-Rise Buildings
Table 24. High-Rise Multifamily Units Potentially Impacted by
ASHRAE 90.1-2019
Table 25. Mid-Rise Apartment Building Prototype Characteristics
Table 26. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Added Costs and Savings--National
Table 27. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Added Costs and Savings--States
Table 28. Total Life Cycle Savings--States
Table 29. Incremental Costs and Energy Savings Resulting from
Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019
Table 30. Type of Financing of New Single Family Homes
Table 31. FHA-Insured Single Family Forward Loans, 2021
Table 32. Compliance Dates for the New Construction Standards in
this Notice
List of Figures:
Figure 1. IECC Adoption Map (Residential)
Figure 2. Economic Parameters for Consumer Cash Flows
Figure 3. ASHRAE 90.1 Adoption Map Mid-Rise and High-Rise
Multifamily
I. Background
A. Statutory Requirements
Section 481 of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
(``EISA,'' Pub. L. 110-140) amended section 109 of the Cranston-
Gonzalez National Affordable Housing Act of 1990 (Cranston-Gonzalez)
(42 U.S.C. 12709), which establishes procedures for setting minimum
energy standards for the following three categories of housing financed
or assisted by HUD and USDA:
New construction of public and assisted housing and single
family and multifamily residential housing (other than manufactured
homes) subject to mortgages insured under the National Housing Act; \1\
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\1\ This subsection of EISA refers to HUD programs. See Table 2
for specific HUD programs covered by the Act.
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New construction of single family housing (other than
manufactured homes) subject to mortgages insured, guaranteed, or made
by the Secretary of Agriculture under title V of the Housing Act of
1949; \2\ and,
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ See Table 2 for specific USDA programs covered by the Act.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Rehabilitation and new construction of public and assisted
housing funded by HOPE VI revitalization grants under section 24 of the
United States Housing Act of 1937 (42 U.S.C. 1437v).
In addition to these EISA-specified categories, two HUD programs
apply EISA to new construction projects through their program statutes
and regulations: the HOME Investment Partnerships Program (HOME) and
the Housing Trust Fund. Sections 215(a)(1)(F) and (b)(4) of Cranston-
Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12745(a)(1)(F) and (b)(4)) make new construction of
rental housing and homeownership housing assisted under the HOME
program subject to section 109 of Cranston-Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709)
and, therefore, to section 481 of EISA. Although the energy standards
at 24 CFR 92.251(a)(2)(ii) are reserved in the July 2013 HOME final
program rule, the statutory requirements of section 109 of Cranston-
Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709) continue to apply to all newly constructed
housing funded by the HOME program.
For the Housing Trust Fund, program regulations at 24 CFR
93.301(a)(2)(ii), Property Standards, require compliance with the
minimum standards required under Cranston Gonzalez section 109 (42
U.S.C. 12709).
EISA references two standards: the International Energy
Conservation Code (IECC) and ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1.\3\ The IECC
standard applies to single family homes and multifamily low-rise
buildings (up to 3 stories), while the ASHRAE 90.1 standard applies to
multifamily residential buildings with 4 or more stories.\4\ For both
agencies, applicability is limited to newly constructed housing and
does not include the purchase or repair of existing housing.\5\
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\3\ ANSI--American National Standards Institute; ASHRAE--
American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning
Engineers; IES--Illuminating Electrical Society.
\4\ Note the IECC addresses both residential and commercial
buildings. ASHRAE 90.1 covers commercial buildings only, including
multifamily buildings four or more stories above grade. IECC Section
C 401.2 adopts, by reference, ASHRAE 90.1; i.e. compliance with
ASHRAE 90.1 qualifies as compliance with the IECC for commercial
buildings.
\5\ The statute covers rehabilitation as well as new
construction of housing assisted by HOPE VI revitalization grants;
however, as noted below, the HOPE VI program is no longer funded.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sections 109(c) and (d) of Cranston-Gonzalez, as amended by EISA,
establish procedures for updating HUD and USDA energy standards
following periodic revisions to the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 codes,
typically every three years. Specifically, section 109(d) of Cranston-
Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709) provides that revisions to the IECC or
ASHRAE 90.1 codes will apply to the three categories of housing
financed or assisted by HUD or USDA described above if: (1) the
agencies ``make a determination that the revised codes do not
negatively affect the availability or affordability'' of such housing,
and (2) the Secretary of Energy has made a determination under section
304 of the Energy Conservation and Production Act (42 U.S.C. 6833) that
the revised codes would improve energy efficiency (42 U.S.C. 12709(d)).
On July 28, 2021, the Department of Energy (DOE) published final
determinations that the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards would
improve energy efficiency (86 FR 40529 and 86 FR 40543).
Through this notice, HUD and USDA issue their final determination
that the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 energy codes will not
negatively impact the affordability or availability of housing covered
by EISA.
Note that manufactured housing is not covered in this notice: the
relevant
[[Page 33114]]
section of the EISA statute specifically excludes manufactured housing;
DOE has issued a separate final rule under EISA section 413 that
establishes energy conservation standards for manufactured housing (42
U.S.C. 17071).\6\ Those standards are also based on the 2021 edition of
the IECC adapted for the unique features of manufactured housing, as
well as feedback received during interagency consultation with HUD and
extensive public comments from stakeholders.
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\6\ 87 FR 32728 (May 31, 2022); 10 CFR part 460.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
B. Energy Codes Overview
There are two primary benefits of adopting energy-saving building
codes: a private benefit for residents--either homeowners or renters--
in the form of lower energy costs, and the external social value of
reducing the emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Additional benefits
include improved health and resilience against extreme hot or cold
weather events. The affordability analysis contained in this notice
focuses exclusively on the first of these benefits: the direct costs
and savings to the consumer, both in the short and long term, for both
renters and homebuyers. The affordability analysis recognizes the
unique nature of the energy efficiency investment: while there is a
one-time incremental cost, the benefits in terms of energy and utility
cost savings to the consumer persist over time, for as long as the
property exists. This is especially important for low- and moderate-
income renters and homeowners, who share a disproportionate energy cost
burden, spending a significantly higher share of their incomes on
energy than other households. The accompanying Regulatory Impact
Analysis (RIA) also addresses a second benefit, the external cost
savings in the ``social cost of carbon,'' but these are larger societal
benefits that may result from lowering energy use in the HUD- and USDA-
financed housing and are not directly reflected in the cost of buying,
owning, or renting a home, and therefore are not included in the
affordability analysis.
As discussed in more detail below, states or localities typically
adopt the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards on a voluntary basis one or
more years after their publication. As of December 2023, only a small
number of states (five) have adopted the 2021 IECC or its equivalent
(California, Washington, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Vermont), another
five states have adopted the 2021 IECC with weakening amendments
(Florida, Louisiana, Montana, Maryland, and Oregon), while another
twenty or more states are actively considering and are likely to adopt
some version of this code in the near future.
Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019 for multifamily buildings has been
more advanced, with ten states and the District of Columbia (DC) having
adopted this standard as of December 2023. Another two states (Florida
and Louisiana) have adopted the 2019 standards with weakening
amendments.
DOE has determined that the 2021 IECC represents an approximately
40 percent improvement in energy efficiency for residential and
commercial buildings compared to the 2006 edition and 34.3 percent
compared to the 2009 edition.\7\ The 2021 IECC also for the first time
includes a Zero Energy Appendix. The Appendix is an optional add-on to
the 2021 IECC that--if adopted by a state or local jurisdiction--will
result in residential buildings having net zero energy consumption over
the course of a year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ Lucas R.G., Z.T. Taylor, V.V. Mendon, and S. Goel. 2012.
National Energy and Cost Savings for New Single- and Multifamily
Homes: A Comparison of the 2006, 2009, and 2012 Editions of the
IECC. Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DOE has also determined that the 2019 edition of ASHRAE 90.1
represents a 2.65 percent efficiency improvement over the 2016 edition,
and approximately 33 percent over the 2007 edition. As explained in
DOE's State Portal, DOE assesses state energy code adoption based on a
quantitative analysis of energy savings impacts within the state.\8\
This approach analyzes the energy use of a state base code along with
accompanying state amendments through DOE's energy modeling framework
to determine an overall ``state energy index.'' The state index is then
compared to the index of the last six national model energy codes to
characterize each state at a specific code equivalency. The current
state adoption of the IECC- and ASHRAE 90.1-equivalent standards is as
follows:
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\8\ DOE State Portal, https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.091
[[Page 33115]]
C. Covered HUD and USDA Programs
Table 2 lists the specific HUD and USDA programs covered by EISA,
with certain exclusions noted, as discussed below. Apart from the HOPE
VI program, where rehabilitation is referenced, only new construction
of housing financed or assisted under these programs is covered by
EISA.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.092
[[Page 33116]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.093
Several exclusions are worth noting, i.e., programs which, while
classified as public or assisted housing, or may be specified in the
statute, are no longer funded or do not fund new construction:
HOPE VI. While EISA references the ``rehabilitation and
new construction of public and assisted housing funded by HOPE VI
revitalization grants,'' funding for HOPE VI revitalization grants was
discontinued in fiscal year (FY) 2011; the program is therefore not
covered by this notice.
Project Based Rental Assistance (PBRA). HUD is no longer
authorized to provide funding for new construction of units assisted
under the Section 8 PBRA program, except under the Rental Assistance
Demonstration (RAD). Apart from RAD, current authorization and funding
that Congress provides for the PBRA program is for the limited purpose
of renewing expiring Section 8 rental-assistance contracts.
Accordingly, this notice does not apply to the current Section 8 PBRA
program except through RAD, as referenced in Table 2. If in the future
Congress were to appropriate funds for new PBRA assisted units, such
developments would be covered by this determination.
In addition, other HUD programs that provide financing for new
construction are not covered because they do not constitute ``assisted
housing'' as specified in EISA and/or are not authorized under statutes
specifically referenced in EISA, as follows:
(1) Indian Housing. With the exception of Section 248 FHA-insured
mortgages, Indian housing programs are excluded because they do not
constitute assisted housing and are not authorized under the National
Housing Act (12 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) as specified in EISA. For example,
the Section 184 guaranteed loan program is authorized under Section 184
of the Housing and Community Development Act of 1992 (42 U.S.C. 1715z-
13a).
(2) Community Development Block Grants. Housing financed with
Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) funds is excluded since CDBG,
which is authorized by the Housing and
[[Page 33117]]
Community Development Act of 1974 (42 U.S.C. 5301 et seq.), is neither
an assisted housing program nor a National Housing Act mortgage
insurance program.
(3) USDA Multifamily Housing and assisted housing financed by USDA
Community Facilities loans and grants. These programs are excluded
because they are not authorized under the National Housing Act (12
U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) as specified by EISA.
D. Current Above-Code Standards or Incentives
Some HUD and USDA competitive grant programs covered by EISA (as
well as other programs) already require grantees to comply with energy
efficiency standards or green building requirements with energy
performance requirements that exceed state or locally adopted IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1 standards, while other programs provide incentives to do
so. A list of current programs that require or incentivize a green
building standard is shown in Table 3. This standard is typically
Energy Star Certified New Homes for single family properties, Energy
Star for Multifamily New Construction, or a green building standard
recognized by HUD that includes a minimum energy efficiency
requirement. Nothing in EISA or this notice precludes HUD or USDA
competitive programs from requiring these higher standards or raising
them further, nor from providing incentives for above-code energy
requirements.
Table 3 includes a listing of current HUD and USDA programs with
either requirements or incentives for funding recipients to build to
standards above the current 2009 IECC and/or ASHRAE 90.1-2007 standards
(see ``Exceeds Current Energy Standard'' column). Contingent on the
energy standard selected, and the minimum energy efficiency
requirements established for each standard, projects built to the
energy or green building standards listed in Table 3 may also meet or
exceed the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards discussed in this
notice (see ``Meets or Exceeds Proposed Standards'' column). These
green building or energy performance standards typically have multiple
certification levels with varying energy baseline requirements (gold,
green, platinum etc.); these baseline requirements are updated over
time at some point after publication of newer editions of the energy
codes. HUD and USDA intend to seek certifications from the standard-
setting bodies as to which of these programs, or which certification
levels, meet the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards referenced in
this notice.
[[Page 33118]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.094
[[Page 33119]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.095
[[Page 33120]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.096
E. Current Housing Market Affordability Trends
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ Table 3 includes HUD and USDA programs supporting new
construction with energy code requirements. Does not include other
HUD or USDA programs that may have appliance or product standards or
requirements only, e.g., Energy Star appliances or WaterSense
products.
\10\ Pursuant to discussion of alternative compliance paths,
Section VI, Implementation, some green building standards will meet
or exceed the 2021 IECC/ASHRAE 90.1-2019, others may not, HUD and
USDA will publish a list of those green building certifications that
meet or exceed these codes.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
HUD and USDA recognize the current affordable housing shortage
across the United States, caused by high mortgage interest rates,
increased construction costs driven in part by COVID-related supply
chain shortages, and an inadequate supply of new housing sufficient to
meet demand due to a range of regulatory barriers such as local land
use laws and zoning regulations that may limit the production of
affordable housing.\11\ (Land use regulations that mandate home sizes
and volumetric massing are particularly relevant to energy-efficiency
because some local zoning policies restrict homes of smaller sizes,
which inherently have the potential to be more affordable and better
performing homes.) The publication of this notice occurs at a time when
housing prices for both new and existing homes have risen significantly
over the past three years, increases in mortgage interest rates have
reached their highest levels in more than two decades, and it has
become increasingly difficult for low-moderate income households to
afford a home purchase. The National Association of Realtors' annual
survey of homebuyers and home sellers reports that median homebuyer
income increased to $107,000 in 2023, an increase of 22 percent from
$88,000 in 2022.\12\ Median home sales prices increased to $417,700 in
the fourth quarter of 2023, a decrease of 14 percent over the prior
year but a significant increase since the fourth quarter of 2020, when
the median home sales price was $358,700.\13\ These trends are mirrored
in the FHA-insured market. In 2023, the median price for all FHA-
insured purchases, including existing homes, was $290,000, and new
construction was approximately $330,000--a nearly $100,000 cost
increase in the three-year period since 2020,\14\ although still well
below the median home sales price for all new homes of $414,600.\15\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\11\ White House Housing Supply Action Plan, President Biden
Announces New Actions to Ease the Burden of Housing Costs, May 16,
2022. www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/05/16/president-biden-announces-new-actions-to-ease-the-burden-of-housing-costs/.
\12\ National Assn of Realtors, 2023 Profile of Home Buyers and
Sellers, November 2023. www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-finds-typical-
home-buyers-annual-household-income-climbed-to-record-high-of-
107000.
\13\ St. Louis Fed, FRED Economic Data, St. Louis Fed, Median
Sales Prices of Houses Sold for the United States, Q4 2023. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPUS
\14\ Internal FHA data on median home price for all FHA-insured
purchases.
\15\ St. Louis Fed, FRED Economic Data, Median Sales Price for
New Houses Sold in the United States, October 2023, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MSPNHSUS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The shortage of affordable housing is driven by larger trends in
the housing and mortgage markets. In light of these larger trends, it
is important to note that a key finding of this notice is that given
the relatively modest incremental costs of building to the new
standards, the adoption of the proposed codes in this final
determination will have a limited impact on overall affordability for
low- or moderate-income buyers. Also, energy efficiency is one of the
few features of a home that contributes to affordability, in that
significant cost savings are projected to be realized from this
investment. These savings persist over time. Investments in energy
efficiency will also ensure that the next generation of Federally-
financed new housing is built to a high-performance standard that
realizes lower energy bills, improved comfort, and healthier living
conditions for residents. These benefits are long-lasting and will be
passed on to future owners.
F. Changes From the Preliminary Determination to the Final
Determination
In response to the public comments received, HUD and USDA are
adopting several changes in this final determination to incorporate
public feedback on the preliminary determination, and address questions
and concerns expressed by commenters.
1. Adjusted Economic Factors
In response to several comments about the economic factors used in
the affordability analysis, HUD and USDA have updated several economic
and cash flow factors to account for changes in the economy as well as
the building industry since the original analysis was conducted by
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) for DOE using 2020--2021
cost data and economic factors. These revisions address the distortions
in the current housing market caused by COVID-19 and global supply
chain issues, which significantly increased the cost of construction
materials and energy, as well as significant increases in mortgage
interest rates during this period.
Construction cost increase. A supply chain cost increase factor has
been applied to the incremental cost of adopting the new code to
account for the increase in residential construction costs for 2020-23.
The 37 percent increase utilizes Bureau of Labor Statistics' Producer
Price Index for inputs to residential construction less energy, as
reported by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).\16\
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\16\ David Logen, Building Materials Prices Fall for Second
Month Straight, June 15, 2023. https://eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/wbuilding-materials-prices-fall-wfor-second-month-straight/.
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Energy price increase (2020-22). An energy price increase factor
was developed by averaging prices for electricity, natural gas, and
heating oil for 2020 through 2022. The three-year averages were used to
find the rate of increase of energy prices for each source over this
period. These rates were averaged based on the residential energy mix
for 2022. Data for calculating the energy price increase factor was
sourced from the U.S. Energy Information
Administration.17 18 19
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\17\ U.S. Energy Information Administration, Natural Gas Prices.
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_a_EPG0_PRS_DMcf_a.htm.
\18\ U.S. Energy Information Administration, Petroleum & Other
Liquids. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPD2F_PRS_NUS_DPG&f=M.
\19\ U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electricity Data
Browser. Average retail price of Electricity, Annual
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 33121]]
Energy price escalator. A new fuel price escalator of 1.9 percent
is based on the estimated 30-year trends in the Energy Information
Administration's (EIA) 2023 Annual Energy Outlook. This escalator
applies to estimates of future energy price increases, over the
baseline established under the Energy Price Increase described above.
This escalator was developed from the growth rate for nominal fuel
prices (natural gas, heating oil, and electricity) based on the share
of energy mix for 2022, which was the most recently available annual
data at the time.
Mortgage interest rate. An updated nominal mortgage interest rate
of 5.3 percent has been adopted, reflecting approximate two-year
Freddie Mac average rates (February 2022-2024).\20\ While Freddie Mac
interest rates reached a twenty-year high of 7.79 percent for a 30-year
fixed rate mortgage, as of November 2023, a moderating trend has begun
that is projected to continue, and HUD has accordingly adopted an
interest rate that is aligned with the rate currently established by
DOE of 5 percent, that reflects the average of the recent 2022-24 two
year period rather than rely on a specific rate from a specific point
in time that may or may not continue at the same level in the future.
In addition, a 6.5 percent example has also been provided (Table 16) to
reflect mortgage rates of between 6 and 7 percent forecast for the next
year, as well as a 3.5 percent downpayment rate that reflects the
minimum FHA downpayment requirement.\21\
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\20\ The nominal interest rate used here aligns with a 3 percent
real interest rate with a 2.24 percent inflation factor.
\21\ Economic, Housing and Mortgage Market Outlook--December
2023--Freddie Mac, https://ww.freddiemac.com/research/wforecast/20231220-us-economy-wexpanded-in-2023.
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Discount rate. A 5.3 percent discount rate (equivalent to a 3
percent discount rate with a 2.24 percent inflation rate) has been
adopted to match the mortgage interest rate. The discount rate reflects
the time value of money. Following established DOE methodology, the
discount rate has been set equal to the mortgage interest rate in
nominal terms. The mortgage payment is an investment available to
consumers who purchase homes using financing, which makes the mortgage
interest rate a reasonable estimate for a consumer's alternative
investment rate.
2. Adjusted Cash Flow and Financing Factors
In addition to an updated mortgage interest rate, several
adjustments have been made to reflect typical financing factors
utilized by FHA and USDA borrowers, as well as likely differences
between the house type assumed by PNNL in their original calculations.
Down payment. The down payment contribution for home purchases has
been revised to better reflect the typical HUD and USDA borrower. The
down payment requirement for FHA borrowers is a minimum of 3.5 percent,
distinct from a typical 20 percent down payment requirement for
conventional financing without private mortgage insurance (PMI), or the
12 percent down payment rate used by DOE-PNNL and utilized by HUD and
USDA in the preliminary determination. The downpayment rate has been
updated to 5 percent in the Final Determination.
Mortgage Insurance. The preliminary determination was silent on
mortgage insurance requirements, which have now been included in the
Final Determination's affordability analysis: FHA's 1.75 percent
upfront mortgage insurance premium (MIP) and 0.55 percent annual MIP
that took effect in March, 2023.
Adjustment for Home Size. Cost and savings factors have been
applied to the affordability analysis to better reflect the typical
home FHA or USDA-sized home. These factors revise the analysis to
better reflect the smaller home size of a typical FHA or USDA property
(2,000 square feet (sf)) compared to a conventionally financed house
modeled by PNNL (2,376 sf). While this is a 14 percent ``smaller
house'', lower cost and savings factors have been used to approximate
the reduced cost and associated savings that are anticipated from the
smaller-house size (5 percent and 3 percent respectively).
Note that the revised analysis largely indicates that the proposed
standards, while better reflecting the status of the post-COVID housing
market conditions, do not change the affordability determination. The
relevant tables (Tables 13-20) have been updated with the revised
affordability analysis.
3. Updated State Code Adoption: Since publishing the preliminary
determination, multiple states have adopted new building code
requirements, including the codes referenced in this notice, i.e. 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019. HUD and USDA have accordingly updated the
relevant tables in the Final Determination (Tables 11 and 23) to
reflect the new landscape of energy code adoption at the state level,
following the latest DOE determinations as of December 2023.
4. Alternative Compliance Pathways: HUD and USDA encourage the use
of codes and standards that exceed the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019.
HUD and USDA are adding that future versions of the IECC and ASHRAE
90.1 codes, including the 2024 IECC, will be deemed to meet the code
requirements of this notice subject to a positive efficiency
determination by DOE. Additional information has been added to reflect
the compliance paths for certain energy efficiency and green building
standards, including EPA's Energy Star for New Construction and DOE's
Zero Energy Ready Homes (ZERH) standards.
5. Implementation and Compliance Timelines. HUD and USDA have
adjusted compliance timetables to better enable the industry to adapt
to these code requirements, including an extended compliance period for
persistent poverty rural areas where capacity to adopt above-code
standards may be challenging.
6. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Tax Credits and Rebates. This
notice addresses the availability of tax credits that are now available
for builders to support the cost of building to Energy Star for New
Construction and ZERH homes. Both Energy Star (Versions 3.2 single
family and 1.2 multifamily) and ZERH specify the 2021 IECC as the
minimum standard to qualify for these certifications. In addition, the
notice references Home Energy and Appliance Rebates that when
implemented by the states will provide an additional source of
financing for increasing the energy efficiency of new homes. Note,
however, that these tax credits and rebates are not factored into the
cost benefit analysis in this determination.
II. Public Comments
HUD and USDA published a notice on May 18, 2023, announcing the
preliminary determination that the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 do
not negatively affect the availability or affordability of houses
covered by EISA and seeking public comment (88 FR 31773). The public
comment period was extended to, and closed on, August 7, 2023. HUD
received and reviewed 120 public comments from a wide range of
stakeholders, including one state (Montana); the two code bodies
represented in this notice (the International Code Council and ASHRAE);
multiple national associations representing mortgage lenders, home
builders, environmental and energy efficiency advocates;
[[Page 33122]]
consumers; state energy offices; insulation and other building product
trade associations; as well as individuals and other interested
parties. The majority of the comments expressed support for HUD and
USDA's preliminary determination. Of these supportive comments, most
expressed support for HUD and USDA's methodology and conclusions and
urged HUD and USDA to rapidly adopt the more recent IECC or ASHRAE 90.1
codes that have been promulgated since the publication of the 2009 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1-2007. In addition, several commenters suggested that
HUD and USDA allow alternative compliance pathways for these standards
through equivalent or higher state standards or one or more green
building standards.
Other commenters highlighted the importance of energy standards in
reducing greenhouse gas emissions and increasing the climate resilience
of HUD and USDA-supported housing. This will help the country meet
national climate goals. Many commenters noted that more efficient homes
will reduce stress on the power grid during peak times.
Several commenters suggested that the preliminary determination
will help to improve the health and comfort of those living in HUD and
USDA-assisted housing in addition to saving on healthcare costs. Many
commenters stated that the byproducts of burned methane gas contribute
to premature mortality and increase the risk of health complications
and respiratory diseases, and that updated energy codes will address
health inequities.
In addition to the many supportive comments, several commenters
expressed concerns or opposition to one or more features of the
preliminary determination. The concerns raised were in four primary
areas: the need to update the economic factors used in the preliminary
determination to reflect current market conditions, including interest
rates, inflation, and energy prices; the first cost estimates used by
HUD and PNNL and larger concerns regarding the availability test; an
``appraisal gap'' in valuing the additional cost likely to be incurred
when adopting these standards; and the proposed timetable for
implementing the standards after a final determination is published.
In the preliminary determination, HUD and USDA sought public
comment on all aspects of the determination but were especially
interested in responses to eight questions posed in the preliminary
determination. This section addresses responses to those questions
first, then addresses public comments on additional aspects of the
determination.
A. Impact of Higher First Costs Associated With Adopting the 2021 IECC
on Availability of Covered Housing to Otherwise-Qualified Buyers or
Renters
HUD and USDA requested comments on whether the higher first costs
associated with adopting the 2021 IECC over the current 2009 IECC
standard for USDA- or HUD-assisted housing, or relative to the most
recent 2018 IECC, may lower homebuyer options, despite the significant
life-cycle cost savings over the life of the mortgage described in this
notice. In other words, whether adoption of the 2021 IECC may limit the
availability of such housing to otherwise-qualified buyers or renters.
1. General Support for Preliminary Determination
The large majority of comments supported the findings of the
preliminary determination. These comments generally agreed with HUD and
USDA's methodology in arriving at the determination that the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 would, on balance, not negatively impact the
affordability and availability of the housing covered by the
determination. For the purpose of this notice, ``affordability'' is
assumed to be a measure of consumer demand (whether a home built to the
updated energy code is affordable to potential homebuyers or renters),
while ``availability'' of housing is a measure of builder supply
whether builders will make such housing available to consumers at the
higher code level, i.e., whether the higher cost per unit will impact
whether that unit is likely to be built or not.
Several commenters agreed with the preliminary determination's
finding indicating that the higher first costs associated with adopting
the 2021 IECC over the current 2009 IECC would not lower homebuyer
options or generally limit the availability of housing to otherwise-
qualified buyers or renters. Many commenters agreed with the
preliminary determination's analysis that the housing stock in question
will remain available. One commenter noted that ``[n]othing in the
model codes would prevent builders from building homes that receive
federal support. The codes are based on widely available, commercial
technologies and provide multiple pathways for complying.'' One
commenter cited that these energy codes have already been adopted by
many states and therefore will not affect availability. Several
commenters emphasized that building housing to the 2021 IECC standard
is essential and can be done while maintaining or improving
affordability for consumers. Two commenters suggested that reduced
energy bills would offset any additional first costs incurred from the
new code requirements.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA appreciate the support expressed by
these commenters for the analysis included in the preliminary
determination. These comments indicate confidence in HUD's and USDA's
use of DOE and PNNL cost-benefit analysis of the subject codes. HUD and
USDA conducted thorough affordability and availability analyses to
assess the impact of adopting the 2021 IECC, ultimately finding that
these codes will not negatively impact the affordability or
availability of the covered housing.
2. Cumulative Costs Over 2009 IECC
One commenter noted that the significance of the costs is due to
the baseline code being the 2009 IECC instead of the multiple,
intermediary energy code updates. One commenter stated that HUD and
USDA may overestimate the number of homes that will be impacted by the
proposed standards as additional states and cities are likely to adopt
either of the codes addressed in this notice in the near future (at
which point they will come into compliance with the code requirements).
HUD-USDA Response: The commenter's observation that these costs are
higher because they are based on the 2009 edition of the IECC rather
than a more recent edition is accurate in that these costs represent
the cumulative cost of amendments to several editions of the code since
the 2009 edition; the 2012, 2015, and 2018 editions, as well as the
current 2021 edition.
Adoption by states of the 2021 IECC is an iterative process: while
five states have already adopted a code that meets or exceeds the 2021
IECC, others have adopted an energy code more recent than the 2009
IECC, and a significant number of states are actively considering
adoption of the 2021 standard or have already done so with amendments.
Where states have adopted more recent editions (e.g., the 2018
edition), the incremental cost to meet the requirements of the 2021
standard is significantly lower, as shown in Table 19 in the final
determination. Note, however, that the cumulative costs represented by
the 2009-2021 figures also yield significant cumulative savings: 34
percent in improved energy
[[Page 33123]]
efficiency over this period, compared to just 8.3 percent over the most
recent 2018 edition.
3. Proposals for Financing and Tax Credits
While generally supportive of the preliminary determination's
findings, several commenters recommended measures that HUD and USDA
could take to mitigate first cost impacts. Commenters suggested HUD and
USDA provide programs and advance policy that allow for reduced
downpayments, changes in amortization schedules, changes in
underwriting standards, downpayment assistance, tax credits, and other
forms of financing assistance. One commenter stated that tax credits
and incentives further enable compliance and serve to reduce upfront
costs to builders. Commenters also recommended that HUD and USDA
identify programs and resources, at the state or federal levels, that
will address first cost barriers and make information on accessing
these resources available for low-income consumers. One commenter
recommended HUD and USDA identify alternative solutions to advance
energy efficiency measures that avoid the first cost impacts.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA appreciate these financing
proposals, both with possible HUD-USDA financing incentives, as well as
action that HUD-USDA could take to maximize the use of new IRA or BIL
tax credits, rebates, or other financing that will become available.
Proposals from commenters for ``reduced downpayments or other forms
of flexible financing'' including for example, ``changes in
amortization schedules,'' while potentially longer-term options for HUD
and USDA consideration, are beyond the scope of this notice. However,
regarding comments recommending ``tax credits and other funding
mechanisms that could reduce the impact of added first costs,'' there
are now significant new resources available through the Inflation
Reduction Act (IRA) which provide unprecedented financial support for
building energy efficient housing. HUD has already taken, and will
continue to take, steps to train and educate builders and developers on
how these may be used in conjunction with HUD financing.
The IRA makes available significant tax credits for builders that
can potentially offset some of the incremental costs associated with
building to the 2021 IECC. Though not considered in the preliminary
determination's affordability analysis, energy efficient new homes the
section 45L tax credit (45L) encourage builders to consider building
and certifying to the Energy Star New Homes (up to $2,500 credit) or
DOE's Zero Energy Ready Home (up to $5,000 credit) standards. Energy
Star Version 3.2 is estimated to yield additional savings of at least
10 percent over the 2021 IECC, while the ZERH standard is designed to
exceed the 2021 IECC by at least 15-20 percent depending on whether
multifamily or single family. Note that the 2021 IECC is a minimum
baseline requirement for both Energy Star Version 3.2, and DOE's ZERH
Version 2 standard, currently in effect. Energy Star Version 3.1
currently qualifies (through December 31, 2024) for the IRA tax credit
in those states that have not yet adopted the 2021 IECC.\22\
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\22\ Energy Star Version 3.1 is modeled to perform at 10 percent
above the 2018 IECC but it does not include a thermal backstop
provision required under the 2021 IECC standard.
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HUD and USDA recognize that qualifying for these tax credits will
require builders to build to a higher overall energy efficiency
standard than the 2021 IECC, and that while this will entail additional
costs, these costs will be offset--in some cases entirely--when taking
advantage of available tax credits. While DOE does not have estimates
of the added cost of building to the ZERH standard, EPA provides cost
estimates of the incremental costs that would typically be required
over the 2021 IECC to build to the new Energy Star Version 3.2
standard. Table 4 provides estimates of these additional costs; the
additional cost for building to Energy Star for New Homes ranges from
$1,010 in Climate Zone 3 (Memphis) to $1,668 in Climate Zones 6, 7, and
8 (Fairbanks) for all-electric homes; and $1,176 to $2,815 for mixed
fuel homes (natural gas + electric). Note that for Energy Star Version
3.2, estimated costs of $1,211--$1,463 in Climate Zones 1-3--where a
significant share of housing likely to be impacted by this notice are
located--are significantly lower than the $2,500 tax credit, thereby
providing builders a significant incentive to build to this standard.
These estimates demonstrate that building to Energy Star Version 3.2 in
these Climate Zones will in fact lower builder outlays by between
$1,000-$1,300 while achieving a higher energy efficiency standard than
the 2021 IECC.\23\
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\23\ Cost estimates for Energy Star from U.S. EPA, National
Version 3.2 Costs and Savings, https://www.energystar.gov/sites/default/files/asset/document/ENERGY%20STAR%20Version%203.2%20Cost%20%20Savings%20Summary.pdf.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.097
[[Page 33124]]
Both the Energy Star for New Homes and ZERH tax credits are also
available for multifamily new construction. A $500 per unit tax credit
is available for homes certified to eligible ENERGY STAR Multifamily
New Construction (MFNC) program requirements, with a larger tax credit
($2,500 per unit) available when prevailing wage requirements are
met.\24\ For ZERH homes, the tax credit is $1,000 per dwelling unit,
unless the project meets prevailing wage requirements, in which case
the 45L tax credit is $5,000 per dwelling unit.\25\
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\24\ EPA. https://www.energystar.gov/about/federal-tax-credits/ss-45l-tax-credits-home-builders.
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In addition to these tax credits for new construction, the IRA
expanded the Section 179(d) commercial building tax credits for
multifamily buildings. The new law increased the maximum deduction from
$1.88 to $5 per square foot and cannot exceed the cost of the
improvement. However, the taxpayer must meet a prevailing wage and
apprenticeship requirement.\26\
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\26\ DOE, 179D Commercial Buildings Energy-Efficiency Tax
Deduction Buildings, https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/179d-commercial-buildings-energy-efficiency-tax-deduction.
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In addition to the tax credits and deductions available through the
IRA, there is another potential source of IRA funds that states may
make available for new construction: Home Energy and Appliance Rebates
that provide $4.5 billion in rebates for certain energy efficiency and
electrification measures such as heat pumps, upgraded electrical
service, or solar panels that may be leveraged to lower the first cost
of construction for these measures. These funds will be administered by
the states and are expected to become available in most states in 2024
or 2025.\27\ Home Electrification and Appliance Rebates will also be
available to (1) low- or moderate-income households; (2) individuals or
entities that own a multifamily building with low- or moderate-income
households comprising at least 50 percent of the residents; and (3)
governmental, commercial, or nonprofit entities that are carrying out
projects for low- or moderate-income households or multifamily building
owners.\28\ Rebates can be used to offset the cost of the following
items: ENERGY STAR-certified electric heat pump water heater; ENERGY
STAR-certified electric heat pump for space heating and cooling; ENERGY
STAR-certified electric heat pump clothes dryer; ENERGY STAR-certified
electric stove, cooktop, range, or oven (note: Energy Star-certified
ovens are pending); electric load service center (i.e., electrical
panel); electric wiring; insulation, air sealing, and mechanical
ventilation. For low-moderate income households, the rebates may be
used for as much as 100 percent of the cost of installation.
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\27\ A separate $4 billion for HOMES rebates is for existing
homes only, and does not cover new construction.
\28\ DOE, Home Energy Rebates: Frequently Asked Questions.
https://www.energy.gov/scep/home-energy-rebates-frequently-asked-questions.
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In addition to these multiple new sources of funding for energy
efficiency measures, there are also tax credits and financing sources
for the addition of renewables through the IRA. Builders may be able to
take advantage of certain EPA Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund programs,
especially the Solar for All initiative. Builders may also be able to
utilize the Investment Tax Credit under Section 48 of the Internal
Revenue Code focusing on investment in on-site renewable energy
production through wind and solar, which has increased incentives for
low-income communities, Tribal entities, and specifically for
residential buildings.\29\
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\29\ The section 48 investment tax credit offers an up to 30
percentage point credit (if prevailing wage and apprenticeship
requirements are met) with an additional 10 percentage point credit
for facilities in low-income and Tribal communities and additional
20 percentage point tax credit available for facilities that serve
federally-subsidized housing or provide economic benefits to low-
income households (information available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/cleanenergy/clean-energy-updates/2023/08/10/treasury-issues-final-rules-and-procedural-guidance-to-drive-clean-energy-investments-in-low-income-communities-across-the-country/).
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When using solar energy for housing, creating an energy efficient
home is a critical first step towards optimizing energy performance.
Energy efficiency in homes has a point at which better energy
performance requires the addition of a source of renewable energy. As
shown in 2021 IECC Zero Energy Appendix, (Table 5 below), the maximum
ERI score of 43-47 for the 2021 IECC, provides a reasonable backstop
for energy efficiency and adding renewable energy. Since minimum ERI
scores or equivalent HERS ratings are required for Energy Star for
Homes, ZERH, and Passive House, to the 2021 IECC provides a sound
baseline for home energy efficiency performance before the addition of
renewable energy sources to get to net zero energy.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.098
HUD and USDA will work with DOE and states to maximize
participation by HUD and USDA stakeholders in these programs. Steps
that HUD has already taken to increase use of both the tax credits and
rebates now available to support builders wishing to build more energy
efficient housing include the new Climate Funding Navigator, which
provides a user-friendly portal to all funding opportunities in the IRA
and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL),
[[Page 33125]]
as well as other programs administered by HUD and other Federal
agencies.\30\
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\30\ https://www.hudexchange.info/programs/build-for-the-future/funding-navigator/.
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4. Proposals for Technical Assistance
One commenter recommended protecting homebuyers who may lose
eligibility due to the proposed standards by providing technical
assistance for state officials, builders, construction workers, and
others; addressing differential rural impacts; making adjustments as
needed to account for ASHRAE 90.1 standards; and expanding strong
energy efficiency requirements to additional assisted housing programs.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA appreciate the range of comments
received that recommended training, technical assistance (TA), and
information for builders and developers impacted by this determination.
HUD and USDA intend to provide TA to support the implementation of the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019. The agencies recognize that there may
be an ``information gap'' regarding the latest codes in places where
prior codes have been adopted by states or local jurisdictions, and
that in some locations there may be a learning curve for builders to
become familiar with the requirements of the latest editions of the
codes. HUD has allocated FY 2022 Community Compass TA funds for this
purpose and expects to implement an extensive TA and training effort to
ensure that stakeholders are both aware of the new requirements and
knowledgeable about the specific updates that are included in the new
codes.\31\ This may include both webcasts as well as printed and/or
online resources that builders, developers, and appraisers can use to
familiarize themselves with the new code requirements. Additional on-
call TA that responds to builder, consumer, lender, or developer
questions may also be available. The specific topics that will be
covered have not been identified at this point; however, the agencies
will widely circulate any resources or webinars developed in support of
the implementation of these new standards. HUD will also work with
trade associations to promote these resources to their members, through
targeted trainings or at regular association meetings, conferences, or
training events. In addition, HUD and USDA will work with DOE and its
state and local grantees to leverage $1.2 billion in IRA and BIL energy
code TA funds: $330 million to adopt the latest building energy codes,
$670 million to adopt building energy codes that meet or exceed the
zero energy provisions in the 2021 IECC or other codes and standards
with equivalent or greater energy savings, and $225 million to support
code adoption and training.
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\31\ https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/comm_planning/cpdta.
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5. Appraisal Gap in Valuing Energy Efficiency Improvements in Home
Appraisals
Four commenters raised concerns over challenges with the appraisal
process that could impact the ability of FHA and USDA home buyers to
afford the added cost of the IECC code. The commenters noted that the
analysis included in the preliminary determination assumed construction
and production costs would be passed on to homebuyers. Multiple
commenters identified the issue of an appraisal gap for energy-
efficient homes. The gap arises from the limited ability of the
traditional appraisal process to properly account for energy efficiency
measures, such as those required by the 2021 IECC, into the valuation
of the property. They pointed out that a home may appraise for a value
that is less than the cost of materials and labor and that energy
efficiency enhancements are often not accounted for in the appraisal.
Several commenters stated that this results in development costs
exceeding home values, making appraisal practices a major obstacle. One
commenter suggested that HUD and USDA establish effective energy-
efficient mortgage programs in response.
HUD-USDA Response: The appraisal gap issue discussed by the
commenters is larger than just an energy codes issue, as it not only
addresses broader issues of how the market values energy efficiency but
also how the market values homes generally in underserved markets. HUD
and USDA agree that the valuation of energy efficiency in appraisals
could act (depending on location) as a market barrier to the adoption
of energy-efficient codes. HUD and USDA reviewed these arguments in a
section on ``market barriers'' in the Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA)
and provided empirical evidence in a section on capitalization of
energy efficiency. From a broader regulatory perspective, there are at
least three separate issues that could impact appraisals: (1) cost
pass-through rates, which depend on the flexibility of buyers and
sellers; (2) imperfect valuation by buyers and sellers due to limited
information and thin markets; and (3) the role of experts, including
appraisers, in valuing energy-efficient improvements.
Pass-through rate: HUD assumed in much of the analysis
that the pass-through rate of costs from builders to buyers was equal
to one, i.e., builders pass on the full cost of construction to the
buyer. However, another acceptable scenario would have been to assume a
pass-through rate less than one, where the buyer will only bear a
portion of the costs. HUD mentioned in the RIA that the pass-through
rate would vary with the price elasticity of demand and supply.
Imperfect information: HUD explored the possibility that
energy efficiency may not be perfectly capitalized in the value of a
home. If the value of energy efficiency is not transparent to a
prospective buyer, then insufficient capitalization reduces the
incentive to build energy-efficient housing. In addition to imperfect
information, thin markets (few buyers and sellers) could lead to an
undervaluation of less common goods (such as above-average energy
efficiency).
Role of the appraiser: A well-informed appraiser is
expected to perform valuation services competently and assess the
market value of an energy-efficient building relative to other
buildings. Increasing education and awareness of energy-efficient
improvements for appraisals will contribute to stronger valuations as
market and cost data become more available.
HUD and USDA therefore understand that lenders, buyers, and
builders of energy efficient housing may be impacted in the short-term,
particularly in markets where comparable sales are not yet available,
and that intervention can be helpful in certain areas to raise
awareness of the value of these improvements. One study finds that
approximately 1-in-10 homes are undervalued, while thirty percent are
appraised at their sales price.\32\
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\32\ Calem, Paul, et al, ``Appraising home purchase
appraisals.'' Real Estate Economics 49.S1 (2021): 134-168,
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A study of home appraisals conducted for DOE by the Building
Industry Research Alliance identified several barriers to valuing
energy efficiency improvements in residential appraisals.\33\ These
included: (1) lack of comparable sales, surveys of property performance
and return expectations in most markets (where limited data is
available, appraisers may resort to ``assessing arbitrary values'' for
energy efficiency improvements); (2) variations
[[Page 33126]]
in occupancy behavior, plug loads and/or weather conditions that could
impact the actual energy consumption of a household relative to modeled
or estimated energy use; (3) knowledge gaps in the lending and housing
industries, both on the part of appraisers and underwriters; (4) lack
of energy efficiency appraisal training and education (all states
require education, experience and licensing for appraisers but energy
efficiency requires a different kind of knowledge, and appraiser
licensing does not recognize this specialty as distinct); and (5)
``resistance to change'' by the appraisal industry with the current
appraisal methods developed in the 1940s that provide market valuations
for aesthetic and structural improvements (the proverbial ``granite
countertop'') but do not necessarily recognize energy efficiency as a
factor in homeownership cost or property value.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\33\ Victoria Doyle, Abhay Barghava, The Role of Appraisals in
Energy Efficiency Financing, Building Industry Research Alliance for
the Department of Energy, May 2012.
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These are inherent limitations in the appraisal industry's current
approach to valuing energy efficiency, but there are also important
developments that are addressing these barriers. These include the
introduction of sustainable building science education and
certifications such as the Appraisal Institute's Sustainable Buildings
Professional Development Programs that include Introduction to Green
Buildings, Case Studies in Appraising Residential Green Buildings, and
Case Studies in Appraising Commercial Green Buildings. The National
Association of Realtors has expanded its curriculum for the General
Accredited Appraiser program to include an introduction to energy-
efficient homes, and there is also now a ``Green Designation'' for real
estate practitioners including Realtors.
At the same time, to the extent that an appraisal overlooks or does
not appropriately value one or more features or improvements of a home,
buyers can dispute an appraisal that they feel did not consider all
relevant information, so an incentive exists for lenders to engage
appraisers who have sufficient competency to appraise energy efficient
properties. Sellers in turn have an incentive to provide information
that would generate buyer interest in the added improvements.
Information prepared jointly by the Appraisal Institute, the
Building Codes Assistance Project, and National Association of Home
Builders provides practical solutions, such as how to communicate
energy efficiency and where to find qualified appraisers.\34\ An
appraiser who lacks experience in valuing an energy-efficient building
may find that they are passed over for more qualified appraisers with
more training. An analysis of energy-efficient buildings in the
American Economic Review indicated that the diffusion of energy-
efficient technology is enhanced by educating building
professionals.\35\
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\34\ Appraisal Institute, New Appraisal Guidance Addresses Green
Housing, 2015, https://nationalmortgageprofessional.com/news/56670/new-appraisal-guidance-addresses-green-housing See also https://www.appraisalinstitute.org/education/education-resources/green-resources.
\35\ Kok, Nils, Marquise McGraw, and John M. Quigley. ``The
diffusion of energy efficiency in building.'' American Economic
Review 101.3 (2011): 77-82.
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In response to the comments received, HUD reviewed the FHA-insured
portfolio from fiscal year 2020 through 2023 to ascertain the extent to
which the appraised value of new homes is below, equal to, or above the
sales price of the home. One key data point is that, for many FHA
borrowers, home appraisal valuations exceed sales prices: 87 percent of
450,000 FHA-insured new home purchases over the past four years had
appraisals that exceeded the sales price, and, for 32 percent of new
home purchases, appraised values exceeded the sales price by $5,000 or
more. The above sales price appraisals indicate that for a significant
share of FHA borrowers, even first-time home buyers, there may be a
sufficient cushion in the appraisal valuation to allow for some or all
of the added cost of an energy-efficient new home, ranging from $2,945
to $7,115 depending on climate zone. While the sales price-home
valuation differential shown in Table 6 does not specifically address
energy efficiency valuations, the $5,000 or more above-sales price
appraised value is important because this buffer is sufficient to cover
all or most of the additional cost of the energy improvements, despite
any superadequacy or other market failure to recognize the value of the
energy improvements.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.099
Another important development that can support the recognition of
energy efficiency in home appraisals has been the growth of regional
Multiple Listing Service (MLS) databases that include energy efficiency
and other sustainable measures in their listings. The National
Association of Realtors (NAR) published its Green MLS Toolkit as an
educational resource for homebuyers, homeowners, realtors, and
appraisers to use to develop a better understanding of energy-efficient
homes.\36\
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\36\ National Association of Realtors, Green MLS Implementation
Guide, https://green.realtor/sites/files/2019-02/2014%20NAR%20Green%20MLS%20Implementation%20Guide.pdf.
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The importance of this initiative cannot be understated. A key
concern from the housing, financing and appraisal industries has been
the lack of
[[Page 33127]]
data or access to supporting documentation for valuing energy
efficiency improvements. A Green MLS mediates this concern, documenting
both measures that are visible and apparent, as well as high-impact
energy efficiency measures that are less visible, such as wall
insulation and/or low-e windows. The development of the Green MLS
Toolkit is ``pivotal for the proper valuation of efficiency. . .For
appraisers, a Green MLS supports an apples-to-apples comparison for
energy efficient features; without a Green MLS, the appraiser may not
have sufficient information and data to support an assessment of energy
efficiency improvements.'' \37\
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\37\ Doyle, Victoria and Bhargava, Abhay, The Role of Appraisals
in Energy Efficiency Financing, Building Industry Research Alliance,
National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
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Another significant development has been the development of the
Residential Energy Efficiency and Green Addendum for use with the
Uniform Residential Appraisal Report, one of the most commonly used
forms for completing a home appraisal. It provides standardized
reporting and analysis for single family home valuations. The 3-page
form provides appraisers the opportunity to recognize energy
improvements as part of a home evaluation assessment, including
appliance efficiency or insulation levels, whether the home achieves an
energy efficiency certification such as Energy Star or other green
building standards, and other salient characteristics of the home. By
enabling appraisers to collect and document the additional information
needed to form an Opinion of Value on a high-performance home,
appraisers will be better equipped to identify recent comparable sales.
If the home has a HERS rating, RESNET or other third-party energy
raters can verify and pre-populate the Addendum for the appraiser. This
removes the responsibility of the appraiser to attempt to provide an
energy assessment of home performance as it relates to other homes when
they lack the training and certifications to do energy assessments.
There is also growing evidence that new energy-efficient homes are
in demand and valued at higher prices than other homes. A new study
conducted by Freddie Mac reported on 70,000 homes rated under RESNET's
HERS between 2013 and 2017.\38\ The report's goal was to ``understand
the value and the loan performance associated with energy-efficient
homes to support the consideration of energy efficiency in mortgage
underwriting practices.'' The findings include analysis of property
value, loan performance, default risk, borrower characteristics, and
demographics. The report found that HERS rated homes sold, on average,
2.7 percent more than comparable unrated homes. In addition, homes that
received lower (i.e., more energy efficient) HERS Index Scores sold for
3-5 percent more than homes with higher HERS Index Scores. The study
also looked at loan performance, with several important findings: the
default risk of energy-rated homes is not on average different from un-
rated homes--and loans in a high debt-to income (DTI) range (45 percent
and above) that have energy ratings ``appear to have a lower
delinquency rate than unrated homes.'' In rural areas, there are
reports of energy efficient and resilient homes commanding higher sales
prices: two homes of two bedrooms and one bath each, built by Habitat
for Humanity to high performance standards of Phius and ZERH as well as
to the hurricane standard of FORTIFIED in Opelika, Alabama appraised at
the equivalent amount of the standard Habitat for Humanity home of
three bedrooms and two bathrooms.\39\
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\38\ Argento, Robert et al, Energy Efficiency: Value Added to
Properties and Loan Properties, https://sf.freddiemac.com/docs/pdf/fact-sheet/energy_efficiency_white_paper.pdf.
\39\ Rural Studio, https://ruralstudio.org/auburn-opelika-habitat-homes/.
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The cost and income approaches to valuation may help assign a
contributory value to energy efficiency features of a home. The FHA
Single Family Housing Policy Handbook 4000.1 provides for three types
of home appraisal approaches applied to one-to-four-residential unit
properties: the sales comparison approach, the cost approach, and the
income approach.\40\ However, the Handbook states that ``(t)he
Appraiser must obtain credible and verifiable data to support the
application of the three approaches to value. The Appraiser must
perform a thorough analysis of the characteristics of the market,
including the supply of properties that would compete with the subject
and the corresponding demand. The Appraiser must perform a highest and
best use of the Property, using all four tests and report the results
of that analysis.''
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\40\ https://www.hud.gov/program_offices/administration/hudclips/handbooks/hsgh.
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HUD and USDA are considering taking several steps to address the
appraisal gap issue:
First, FHA will provide outreach and training to market
participants, including lenders and appraisers detailing the impact of
this Final Determination and promoting awareness and education about
energy efficient improvements. This will include training for both
underwriters and appraisers on how the cost or income approaches can be
used as part of appraisals in certain markets.
Second, HUD will work with USDA to provide a package of training
through HUD's Community Compass Technical Assistance program aimed at
educating appraisers and lenders about acceptable methods and
techniques for accurately appraising energy efficient homes financed
with an FHA-insured mortgage, including the proper use of the cost and
income approaches. HUD has allocated FY22 funding to support this
technical assistance.
Third, FHA's four Homeownership Centers (HOCs), which already
provide training for appraisers and lenders, will include targeted
training for the roster of FHA-approved appraisers, with an emphasis on
places with a high volume of FHA-insured new home sales in the south
and southwest.
Ultimately, the extent and impact of the appraisal gap for energy
efficiency measures is a concern but does not change HUD and USDA's
overall determination. While the appraisal gap indicates a failure in
the market to keep pace with innovative energy efficiency measures, the
gap does not exist in all markets, and its impacts can be alleviated by
interventions such as increased market awareness, appraiser education,
and resources such as the Green MLS for greater transparency and the
Green Addendum to appraisal reports, as well as by the higher valuation
of new construction that can cover some or all of the costs of the
energy efficient improvements. The resources outlined in this notice,
along with HUD and USDA efforts outlined above, will aid in closing the
gap for FHA borrowers and should serve as further motivation to
overcome market barriers that impede efficiency.
6. Delegation of Legislative Power
Two commenters stated that the Cranston Gonzalez Act is either an
improper delegation of legislative power to a private entity, the
International Code Council and ASHRAE which promulgate the IECC and
ASHRAE-90.1 respectively, or an improper divestment of the executive
power to a private entity, and that HUD and USDA should rescind the
preliminary determination until Congress passes legislation that
affirms what standards should apply.
HUD-USDA Response: In issuing this determination, HUD and USDA are
following the statutory directive of 42 U.S.C. 12709(d). The Cranston
Gonzalez
[[Page 33128]]
National Affordable Housing Act of 1990 (Cranston-Gonzalez), as amended
by the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA) (Pub. L.
110-140), requires HUD and USDA to establish energy efficiency
standards for housing specified in 42 U.S.C. 12709(a)(1).
The original efficiency standards were required to meet or exceed
the requirements of the 2006 International Energy Conservation Code
(2006 IECC) and the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and
Air-Conditioning Engineers Standard 90.1-2004 (ASHRAE 90.1-2004). (42
U.S.C. 12709(a)(2)). If the requirements of the 2006 IECC or the ASHRAE
90.1-2004 are revised, HUD and USDA must, within a year, amend their
standards to meet or exceed the revised requirements of the 2006 IECC
or the ASHRAE 90.1-2004, or issue a determination that compliance with
the revised standards would ``not result in a significant increase in
energy efficiency or would not be technologically feasible or
economically justified'' (42 U.S.C. 12709(c)).
If HUD and USDA have not adopted the revised standards or made the
determination under 42 U.S.C. 12709(c), then all new construction and
rehabilitation of specified housing must meet the requirements of the
revised IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards if HUD and USDA determine that
the revised codes do not negatively affect the availability or
affordability of certain housing stock specified in 42 U.S.C.
12709(d)(1) and DOE determines that the revised codes would improve
energy efficiency. 42 U.S.C. 12709(d)). The present HUD/USDA
determination fulfills HUD and USDA's statutory directive to determine
whether the updated standards negatively affect availability and
affordability. The commenter's stated interpretation of the Act does
not dismiss HUD and USDA's statutory requirement to make this
determination.
7. Lower Availability of Affordable Homes for Home Buyers
Several commenters shared concerns that the higher first or
incremental costs associated with adopting the 2021 IECC over the
current 2009 IECC would lower homebuyer options and/or limit the
availability of housing to otherwise-qualified buyers or renters. Two
commenters suggested that these high standards will result in fewer FHA
and USDA constructed properties and limit the supply of housing in a
way that contradicts HUD's mission.
HUD-USDA Response. The agencies appreciate the concerns raised by
the commenters but do not agree that the higher standards will result
in fewer FHA- and USDA-financed properties. HUD and USDA conducted
thorough and extensive analyses on the impact of the 2021 IECC on
affordability and availability, using established cost and savings
methodologies that have been developed by DOE for multiple code cycles.
The agencies determined that the codes will not negatively impact the
affordability or availability of the covered housing. HUD and USDA
recognize that, as of December 2023, only five states have adopted a
code that meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC. Nevertheless, in those
states, affordability and availability will, by default, not be
impacted by HUD and USDA's adoption of the 2021 IECC because no
additional requirements would be put in place above those already
adopted by the state. In addition, while the number of states that have
already adopted the codes is currently limited, the number is growing
rapidly, with more than 20 states actively considering adoption of the
2021 IECC. State adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019 is more advanced than the
IECC: ten states and the District of Columbia have adopted a code that
meets or exceeds this standard, and a similar number of states (twenty
or more) are currently considering its adoption. Additionally, many
local jurisdictions have gone beyond the statewide residential or
commercial code by adopting the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019.\41\
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\41\ Department of Energy, Municipal Building Codes and
Ordinances. Updated December 2023. https://www.energycodes.gov/infographics#Municipal.
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Nevertheless, the agencies recognize that it will be necessary for
builders who are accustomed to the requirements of the 2009 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1-2007--the current HUD and USDA standards--to familiarize
themselves with the verification methods incorporated into the
subsequent versions of the code (including blower door and duct
testing). HUD and USDA will provide technical assistance and training
resources to aid in the implementation of these new standards, as
described in more detail in section A.2. above. These resources will
address elements of the verification requirements for the 2021 IECC
that could be unfamiliar to some builders. As these builders become
familiar with these requirements and construction practices, the energy
improvements required by the more current codes will strengthen the
quality of the built product and will benefit consumers in the long
term as a result of high-quality construction.
8. Affordability and Availability Impacts in Rural Communities
Three commenters expressed concern regarding the specific impact
that the proposed code requirements would have on rural areas. One
commenter suggested that challenges related to adoption or
implementation of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards would be
more significant for rural areas ``because materials or workers may
need to be transported from elsewhere, [and] [r]ural residents may not
have easy access to specialized materials or specific worker skills
when energy-efficient construction requires them. That is particularly
likely in remote rural areas.'' One commenter, from the Umatilla Indian
Reservation, stated that the reservation's rural location makes it
particularly difficult to find contractors and access green products.
Another commenter, a trade association of rural housing
organizations, also stated that rural areas would have a higher cost
differential for a mortgage between the 2009 IECC and 2021 IECC than
the $5,500 increase indicated in the preliminary determination due to
construction costs that might be higher in rural areas. Factors that
contribute to this higher cost include difficulty sourcing materials
and limited access to an appropriately trained workforce for energy
efficient construction projects. In addition, the commenter noted that
the cost to the homeowner may be higher under USDA's Section 502 direct
loan program, since the PNNL cash flow projections assumed a
downpayment of 10-12 percent whereas Section 502 typically requires no
downpayment and will therefore yield a higher mortgage amount.
Two commenters suggested that few contractors have the knowledge
and resources to meet the proposed standards, and that it will be
difficult to find a contractor to build to the proposed standards in
states that have not or will not adopt the 2021 IECC.
One commenter pointed to specific challenges likely to be
encountered by non-profit affordable housing developers: they suggested
that affordable nonprofit housing developers will have trouble
producing new rental and homeownership housing units in Appalachian
communities with the proposed standards due to the ``increased costs to
construct homes, the unique nature of [these] housing markets, and the
difficulty in implementing the standard.'' As a result, the commenter
argued that there
[[Page 33129]]
will be very few (if any) affordable new homes on the market that can
be acquired by low to moderate income homebuyers or developers. The
commenter urged HUD and USDA to consider the ability of their nonprofit
partners to ``produce the same quantity of housing after increased
costs in without any increase in funding support.''
HUD-USDA Response: The concerns noted by the commenters fall into
three broad areas: the increased costs to build homes to the proposed
standard in rural areas; the ``nature of rural economies and housing
markets;'' and operational, technical, and other difficulties in
implementing the standard.
In response to the comment about the potential impact of HUD and
USDA energy code adoption on housing on Indian reservations, with the
exception of the Section 248 program, which has a small loan volume
(only eight outstanding loans, no new endorsements since 2008), HUD and
USDA note that Indian housing programs are excluded from this notice
because they are not covered under the requirements of the governing
statute: they neither constitute ``assisted housing'' nor are
authorized under the National Housing Act (12 U.S.C. 1701 et seq.) as
specified in EISA. For example, the Section 184 guaranteed loan program
is authorized under Section 184 of the Housing and Community
Development Act of 1992 (42 U.S.C. 1715z-13a).
Increased Costs in Rural Areas
HUD and USDA agree that there are increased first costs associated
with building to the higher energy standards outlined in the
preliminary determination but conclude that the initial investment will
benefit both Appalachian and all rural communities across the U.S.
through energy cost savings to residents and as well as health,
comfort, and durability of higher-performance housing. Rural
communities will especially benefit from more energy efficient homes in
that rural households are typically overburdened with higher energy
costs as a percentage of household income. Nationally, the median rural
household energy burden is 4.4 percent, almost one-third higher than
the national rate of 3.3 percent and about 42 percent above the median
metropolitan energy burden of 3.1 percent.\42\ One commenter cited a
Virginia Tech report on Appalachian housing costs that concluded that
``utility costs contribute to housing costs substantially'' in Eastern
Kentucky, Southern West Virginia and the western section of Appalachian
Alabama, where both owners and renters saw the highest costs relative
to metropolitan areas.\43\ For some low- or very-low income households,
the energy bill may be greater than the cost of the mortgage. Energy
bills fluctuate and are only billed post-usage, often leading to
unexpected increases in these bills, which can create serious financial
stresses on lower income households.
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\42\ Lauren Ross et al, the High Cost of Energy in Rural
America, ACEEE, 2018. https://www.aceee.org/press/2018/07/rural-households-spend-much-more.
\43\ Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech,
Housing Needs and Trends in Central Appalachia and Appalachian
Alabama, 2018.
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At the same time there are good examples in rural America of how
better performing homes can alleviate the impact of higher energy costs
experienced by lower income households. One such example is a USDA
Rural Community Development Initiative (RCDI) grantee, Mountain T.O.P.,
a faith-based organization in Grundy County, Tennessee. Based in one of
Appalachia's persistent poverty counties where a significant share of
the housing stock is dilapidated, the organization worked closely with
the Rural Studio Front Porch Initiative to build Mountain T.O.P.'s
capacity to replace homes with new, high-performance homes to address
the high energy burden in their community.
Despite the long-term affordability benefits of building high
performance, energy efficient homes, rural areas may face first cost
(and other) constraints in adopting construction standards or codes
above prevailing local codes. HUD and USDA do not, however, agree that
there is a broad and consistent impact for all rural areas across the
nation. Geographic distance may play a role in creating challenges for
construction projects in rural areas when there are not locally
available skilled workers, but this is true of all building
construction, regardless of the specific codes that are in place.
While both HUD and USDA programs serve rural areas, USDA is
especially focused on rural housing through its Rural Housing Service
programs. USDA's Single Family Direct Loan program is the only direct
mortgage product offered by the federal government; USDA can and does
work intensively through its underwriting process to assist rural, low-
income borrowers to become and to remain homeowners. This program
offers 100 percent financing, zero downpayment and the ability to
amortize beyond 30 years in addition to having an interest rate that is
below market. It is also able to offer additional subsidies based on
need. Borrowers of this program, of all the single family borrowers
impacted by this notice, are likely to benefit the most from the
proposed adoption of the 2021 IECC, and the addition of homes built to
higher performance quality will generate long-term benefits to rural
locations where housing quality has lagged behind.
One commenter raised a concern that Direct Loan borrowers would see
higher costs since downpayment requirements can be as low as zero, and
to the extent that the additional costs would need to be financed, this
would make these loans less affordable. USDA believes that this concern
is misplaced since, by eliminating the downpayment requirement, the
Section 502 loan in fact removes a significant potential barrier to
financing the added first costs of the IECC, and, given the very low
interest rates associated with this product, this seems like an optimal
financing vehicle available to rural borrowers for energy efficient
housing.
The commenter also raised concerns regarding appraisals, and the
``appraisal gap'' in rural areas. These concerns are addressed in the
larger appraisal discussion in section A.3 of this notice. The
limitations of the current appraisal process are broadly applicable,
but the gap may be higher in rural areas due to fewer available sales
comparisons in these areas, as well as fewer appraisers qualified to
assess energy efficient or other green features of a home, e.g., solar.
The agencies acknowledge that the current appraisal system in the U.S.
for single family homes is not generally set up to fully account for
energy efficiency or renewable energy but have proposed potential
actions that can help close the gap for FHA and USDA borrowers, as
discussed in-depth in section A.3 above.
Technical Capacity Issues in Rural Areas
Other difficulties besides the added cost noted by commenters
included limited technical capacity and the need for workforce training
in rural areas. HUD and USDA believe that contractors have or are
capable of obtaining the knowledge and resources to meet the proposed
standards before commencement of the applicable compliance period. The
commenter does not provide evidence as to the basis of this
proposition. As discussed elsewhere in response to similar comments,
the agencies recognize that there will be places where builders may
[[Page 33130]]
not be familiar with energy code requirements, but these are likely to
be more the exception than the rule, especially with regard to larger
home builders who build a significant portion of homes, and
unequivocally with regard to multifamily housing.
HUD and USDA agree that remote rural areas may not always have the
proper skilled professionals to execute certain types of construction
and that training may be needed. Training and support are planned by
the two agencies to assist rural America in achieving homeowner
financial sustainability through building to the most current energy
codes. Trainings on standards that exceed energy codes (Energy Star New
Homes, Zero Energy Ready Homes) are also available from EPA and DOE,
while additional tax credits for affordable multifamily housing as well
as electrification rebates are also becoming available to build energy
efficient housing, discussed in more detail in section A.3 above.
HUD and USDA also agree that building codes that require on-site
inspection are more challenging in rural areas than where building
sites are located in close proximity to HERS rater, building inspector
or verifier, but given that HUD and USDA already require the 2009 IECC
these issues will not materially change with the adoption of an updated
code. The increase in energy codes from the 2009 IECC to the 2021
edition will indeed require learning and implementation of new skills
and project delivery methods, but these are relatively modest and
likely limited to energy modeling, blower door testing, and duct leak
testing. Note that these testing methods have been in place at least
since the 2012 edition of the IECC.
As discussed in response to other comments in this notice, HUD will
partner with USDA in implementing a training and technical assistance
program to facilitate implementation of the energy codes requirements,
including trainings on these blower door and duct testing skills.
Additionally, USDA is exploring the feasibility of and potential for
remote-hybrid inspections with RESNET and others, in which third-party
verification may be completed remotely with the on-site assistance of
individuals who have received minimum training to perform testing tasks
such as blower door testing, duct leakage testing and infrared camera
techniques but who may not yet be fully certified home raters.\44\
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\44\ Third-party verification is an increasingly common
mechanism for enforcing building codes in localities with a limited
number of code officials capable of doing so. A third-party code
verification program utilizes private sector organizations to verify
energy code compliance by providing plan review and analysis,
performance testing, and field inspections. More information on
third-party verification is available at https://www.eepartnership.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Third-Party-Verification_Best-Practices_10-15-14-final.pdf.
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Finally, in recognition of the specific capacity constraints
identified in Appalachia and other high needs rural areas to adopting
these standards, HUD and USDA will provide a longer lead time for
adoption of the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards in these areas, as
outlined in the Implementation section of the Final Determination,
section VI. An additional year of compliance will be provided in
persistent poverty rural areas, as defined by USDA's Economic Research
Service, including persistent poverty census tracts located in rural
(non-metro) counties.\45\
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\45\ USDA, Economic Research Service, Poverty Area Measures,
Descriptions and Maps, https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/charts/105111/persistentcountytracts.png?v=7741.2. See also USDA ERS
definition of rural (non-metro) counties at https://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/rural-economy-population/rural-classifications/.
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9. Limited Cost Effectiveness of Individual Code Measures
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should evaluate the cost
effectiveness of individual measures in the 2021 IECC and amend those
measures that do not provide value to the consumer. Relying on the
overall cost-effectiveness ``masks the extremely low-cost effectiveness
of some of the individual measures by averaging the results with the
measures that are more cost effective.'' The commenter identified two
specific measures as not meeting any reasonable cost effectiveness
test: ceiling insulation requirements of R-60 in Climate Zones 3-8 and
R-49 in Climate Zones 1-2; and wall insulation requirements of R-20+5
or R-13+10 in Climate Zones 4-5. The commenter indicated that on their
own these measures do not meet ``any reasonable cost-effectiveness
test'' and provided data showing paybacks of 63-150 years on these
items.
The commenter noted that these two problematic measures were
considered by the 2024 IECC consensus committee. These were realigned
to their 2018 levels in the draft 2024 IECC or were provided an opt-out
provision in exchange for an additional three credits in Section R408
(Additional Efficiency Requirements). The commenter recommended that in
lieu of evaluating all individual measures in the 2021 IECC, the
agencies should allow similar amendments to the 2021 IECC as has been
approved for the 2024 IECC. Another commenter suggested that HUD and
USDA review the determinations made on both codes and identify
provisions that do not increase energy efficiency and exclude them as
requirements.
HUD-USDA Response. The statutory requirement (Section 109(d) of the
Cranston Gonzalez Act of 1990) for this notice requires HUD and USDA to
make a determination on the latest ASHRAE 90.1 or IECC code editions as
published. It does not allow for selecting only the most cost-effective
measures in the code. The overall efficiency of the code relies on a
package of measures considered and adopted by consensus during the code
development process, with the more cost-effective measures essentially
supporting less cost-effective measures. Therefore, HUD and USDA do not
have the ability to pick and choose between specific amendments to the
code. In addition, the conventional practice by DOE has been to
consider the combined costs and savings for the entire code, rather
than for each amendment separately. HUD and USDA believe that it is
sound policy to align with DOE practice and cost-benefit methodologies
for the purpose of this notice.
Even if allowed under the statutory constraints of this notice,
unpacking the code to consider each amendment individually contradicts
standard practice when implementing energy efficiency measures. Energy
codes typically consider a bundle of measures that enable longer-
payback measures to balance out shorter-term measures and enable the
savings of the shorter payback items to pay for those that on their own
may be less cost-effective. For example, codes combine shorter payback
lower-cost lighting measures with more efficient windows that typically
have longer paybacks when installed in isolation from other measures.
In addition, the agencies believe that the combination of mandatory and
optional measures as well as two performance paths provide builders
with a great deal of flexibility in complying with the 2021 IECC.
HUD and USDA are aware that the two insulation amendments to the
2021 IECC cited by the commenter have been incorporated in the draft
2024 IECC, which is currently scheduled for publication in early 2024.
As noted above, these amendments would roll back ceiling and wall
insulation requirements for certain climate zones to the 2018 level, or
provide for an opt-out, in exchange for an additional three energy
efficiency credits. While HUD and USDA are not able to accept
[[Page 33131]]
individual amendments such as this one to the 2021 IECC, if, after
publication of the 2024 IECC, DOE determines that the revised code is
more energy efficient than the 2021 IECC, housing built to comply with
the 2024 IECC in its entirety will meet the requirements of the 2021
IECC.
HUD and USDA note that PNNL has conducted a preliminary analysis of
the savings associated with the proposed 2024 IECC, and that DOE's
preliminary cost-benefit analysis indicates that the 2024 IECC will
exceed the energy efficiency of the 2021 IECC by approximately 6.7
percent. Energy cost savings are estimated to increase by approximately
6.4 percent.\46\
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\46\ PNNL for DOE, Energy Savings Analysis 2024 Residential IECC
Interim Progress Indicator.
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The savings result from the following measures: Additional energy
efficiency credits (10 energy credits); Fenestration Table--Improved
Window and Skylight U-factors in Climate Zones 4C--8; Ceiling
Insulation changes in Climate Zones 4-8 from R-60 to R-49; Climate
Zones 6-8 to 2.5 ACH50; Pipe Insulation Requirements update (1 inch
thickness = R7); Heat Recovery Ventilator required in Climate Zone 6.
10. Understated Impact on Low-Rise Multifamily
One commenter suggested that the Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA)
is ``seriously flawed'' because it inadequately considers the impact of
the 2021 IECC on low-rise multifamily construction and fails to give
appropriate regard to the potential impact on the availability of
affordable housing for low-to-moderate income renters. Another
commenter questioned the use of a 30-year period of analysis, which the
commenter says ignores investment and construction cost considerations
for rental apartment investors that work on shorter investment horizons
of a 10-year maximum.
HUD-USDA Response: As stated in the preliminary determination, the
2021 IECC may impact an estimated 170,000 housing units of HUD- and
USDA-financed or -insured housing, which includes single family and
low-rise multifamily housing. The majority of impacted units will be
single family (86 percent); additionally, single family housing faces a
greater estimated incremental cost when compared to low-rise or high-
rise multifamily. As such, it is reasonable for the bulk of the
analysis to center on the most significantly impacted housing type;
however, HUD and USDA recognize the need to provide additional detail
on availability impacts to low-rise multifamily housing. HUD estimates
approximately 27,000 low-rise multifamily units may be impacted by this
notice; all are HUD-financed since USDA multifamily programs are not
covered by this notice.
When considering impacts on the availability of affordable housing,
the economic rationale remains consistent when considering impacts for
each housing type; the percentage change in the quantity of housing
depends on the price elasticity of demand, price elasticity of supply,
and incremental cost. The 1.5 percent reduction cited in the Regulatory
Impact Analysis (p.80) applies broadly to housing, meaning that this
rate holds for both single family and low-rise multifamily. As such,
the maximum number of negatively impacted units is 405 units out of the
27,000 units of low-rise multifamily housing that are estimated to be
impacted by this notice.
Existing energy efficiency programs make building to a higher
standard more accessible for subsidized housing compared to market-rate
housing. A report from DOE's Office of Scientific and Technical
Information found that low-rise multifamily buildings were often
designed to higher standards in order to qualify for additional energy
efficiency certification programs.\47\ The Low Income Housing Tax
Credit program often requires above-code energy efficiency measures
through state Qualified Allocation Plans, resulting in many affordable
low-rise multifamily projects that are already being built to higher
above-code standards, e.g., Energy Star for New Construction or Passive
House.
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\47\ DOE, Office of Scientific and Technical Information,
Residential Building Energy Efficiency Field Studies: Low-Rise
Multifamily (Technical Report), https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1656655/.
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As far as impacts on renters, the energy efficiency improvements
required by the most recent energy codes will provide health benefits
in addition to reductions in energy expenditures for families living in
rental housing, circumventing the split-incentive issue of landlords
being unwilling or uninterested in improving the quality of rental
housing for their tenants.
A 30-year period is used in HUD and USDA's affordability analysis
following the well-established methodology developed by DOE for
assessing the cost effectiveness of the IECC.\48\ HUD's Regulatory
Impact Analysis provides additional detail (p. 25). In response to the
comments that investors in rental apartments typically rely on a 10-
year timeline, HUD and USDA added Tables 17 and 18 to the final
determination. These show the cash flow for single family and low-rise
multifamily housing, respectively. For each building type, the cash
flow is positive by the end of the second year, and the simple payback
for the national average occurs after 7.7 years in both cases.
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\48\ PNNL, Methodology for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of
Residential Energy Code Changes, prepared for DOE, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/residential_methodology_2015.pdf.
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Additionally, it should be noted that this is only applicable to
low-rise multifamily; mid-rise and high-rise multifamily buildings are
required to meet the ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standard, which shows national
average cost increases of only $208 per dwelling unit and negative cost
increases for certain states and climate zones (meaning adopting the
new standard saves money). Nationally, the simple payback is immediate
with 40 states receiving immediate payback and South Dakota having the
longest payback period of 1.6 years.
B. Current Status and Anticipated Timetable for State and Local
Adoption of the Next Revision of the IECC and/or ASHRAE Codes
HUD and USDA requested comments from code officials on the current
status of code adoption in their states, and the anticipated timetable
for adopting the next revision of the IECC and/or ASHRAE 90.1 codes. No
comments were submitted on the specific question of proposed timetables
for state and local adoption of subject codes. However, multiple
comments were received that expressed concerns regarding the
interaction or alignment between the HUD and USDA proposal and state
and local adoption of prior codes. These are discussed below.
1. Alignment of HUD and USDA Standards With State and Local Codes
Several commenters shared concerns regarding the transition that
would be required to implement the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019.
Commenters cited the lack of alignment with state or local home rule
adoption of these codes. One commenter suggested that the proposed
standards would conflict with local building codes, causing delays in
construction and significant cost impacts. One commenter suggested that
HUD and USDA align implementation of the 2021 IECC with state and local
government efforts for updating their energy codes to avoid placing
major challenges on builders and local code enforcement officers. One
commenter suggested that HUD and USDA accept
[[Page 33132]]
the two most recent versions of the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 standards to
help alleviate compliance issues for states and localities with code
requirements below the proposed standards.
HUD-USDA Response: The statutory framework for this notice requires
HUD and USDA to align their codes with the latest editions of the
specified codes, i.e., the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019. The
statutory requirement at Cranston Gonzalez Section 109(d) does not
provide for substituting state-adopted codes (or previous editions as
suggested by one commenter) for this cohort of HUD- and USDA-financed
new buildings. The intent of the statute is for HUD and USDA to adopt
the latest edition of the codes independent of the codes that states
have adopted, provided that these do not negatively impact the
affordability and availability of the subject homes.
HUD and USDA recognize that this above-code requirement (in states
or localities that have not yet adopted the latest editions of the
codes) will require builders, developers, and designers to familiarize
themselves with the requirements of the new codes. However, the
agencies note that it is not expected that local code officials will be
required to ensure compliance with or enforce the proposed standard.
The agencies will not rely on local code officials to certify
compliance with the HUD and USDA requirements, and therefore local
building inspectors will not be expected to familiarize themselves with
the HUD and USDA requirements should they differ from the prevailing
state or local code. Rather, HUD and USDA will rely on existing builder
self-certification requirements and will also put in place a technical
assistance and training program to educate and inform builders,
architects, engineers, and developers about the requirements of the
standard.
Additionally, there are some jurisdictions that do not adopt
building codes at all, and federal agencies must provide prudent
guidance and protection of consumers, taxpayers, and housing assets by
requiring an industry-accepted code as a standard for all types of
project development.
As noted, HUD and USDA's statutory requirement to consider adoption
of the latest editions of the code does not allow acceptance of the
previous 2018 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2016 editions as a compliance
pathway, as suggested by one commenter, since these editions have been
determined by DOE to be less efficient than the current standards.
However, as has been standard practice, all subsequent versions of the
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 that have been determined by DOE to meet or exceed
the energy efficiency of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019, are
sufficient to meet the requirements that will go into effect as a
result of this notice. Additionally, there are now significant federal
incentives and encouragement from federal agencies for builders to
achieve even higher energy performance through, for example, the
Department of the Treasury's section 45L tax credit of up to $2,500 for
homes that are certified as meeting the requirements of the EPA's
Energy Star Single Family Homes or the Energy Star Multifamily Homes
National Program (but do not meet the ZERH standards) and up to $5,000
for homes that are certified as meeting the requirements of DOE's ZERH
program. Both the EPA's Energy Star Programs and DOE's ZERH's programs
require minimum compliance with the most current energy code (2021
IECC) and energy performance of at least 10 percent better. It is
anticipated that many builders will take advantage of these tax
incentives--as well as rebates that will become available in 2025 or
earlier for electric heat pumps and other building electrification
measures--and in the process achieve energy efficiencies that are well
above the 2021 IECC. Additionally, 45L tax credits of up to $2,500 per
unit for Energy Star Multifamily New Construction and up to $5,000 per
unit for DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes for multifamily homes are
available for multifamily builders that meet prevailing wage
requirements.
2. Adoption of Earlier Versions of the Energy Codes
One commenter stated that requiring the IECC 2021 breaks with the
precedent established by HUD and USDA in 2015 of selecting an
attainable code standard for states rather than the most recently
published version. The commenter pointed out that in 2015, HUD
established the baseline requirement of 2009 IECC despite newer
versions having been published by that time; the commenter recommended
that HUD and USDA delay this update until more states adopt the most
recent versions of the codes or opt for the 2018 IECC as the
requirement.
HUD-USDA Response. The authorizing statute for this notice requires
HUD and USDA to adopt the most recent edition of the IECC and does not
provide for consideration of prior editions; the delayed adoption of
the 2009 IECC by HUD and USDA in 2015 was a function of the length of
time the regulatory process took to publish a final determination on
the 2009 IECC, not to establish a precedent for future adoption.
Further, the statute does not allow HUD and USDA to tie adoption by
HUD and USDA of the most recent edition of the code to the number of
states that have adopted that code. Specifically, section 109(d) of
Cranston-Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709) provides that revisions to the IECC
or ASHRAE 90.1 codes will apply to the housing specified in the statute
if: (1) either agency ``make(s) a determination that the revised codes
do not negatively affect the availability or affordability'' of such
housing. HUD and USDA therefore do not have the statutory authority to
delay adoption of the most recent code until ``more states'' have
adopted the code. The agencies note, however, that the number of states
considering or adopting the revised standards is growing and is
expected to grow further as a result of newly available IRA or BIL
funding from DOE to support state adoption of the 2021 IECC or higher
energy standards. As of December 2023, while only five states have
already adopted the 2021 IECC, more than 20 additional states are
actively considering its adoption.
HUD and USDA recognize that this presents challenges for developers
and builders with regard to adopting a standard that may be above the
prevailing locally adopted state or local code, but the governing
statute for this notice limits the factors to be considered by HUD and
USDA to ``affordability'' and ``availability;'' it does not provide for
accepting alternative state or local codes as a compliance path. If HUD
and USDA were to wait until more states had adopted the 2021 IECC, this
would undermine the purpose of the governing legislation, which is to
strengthen the standards for HUD- and USDA-financed new construction
separately from state adoption provided that these were found to meet
the affordability and availability standards.
3. IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 Alignment With State and Local Code Amendments
One commenter noted that the adoption of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE
90.1-2019 creates ``hurdles in states that have not yet adopted these
versions of the codes or have amended the codes so they are not deemed
equivalent.'' The commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should
``conduct further due diligence on these issues'' to better understand
the practical impact of updating the code requirements.
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA postpone issuing the
final determination until a critical mass of states adopt the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards. The commenter stated that prematurely
enforcing these new standards will lead
[[Page 33133]]
to jurisdictions being unprepared to review or verify compliance;
construction trades being untrained in implementing the new energy
efficiency measures; builders, developers, and designers not being
ready to transition to the new standards; third-party verification
organizations being unprepared to certify compliance; appraisers not
being able to recognize the added costs in valuations; and coordination
with other code requirements at the jurisdictional level having limited
time, leading to non-compliance and performance issues.
HUD-USDA Response. As noted in the above response, HUD and USDA
recognize the potential challenges regarding compliance with the
statutory requirement to adopt the most recent edition of the codes
that may exceed the standards adopted by a state or locality. The
preliminary determination provided an extensive discussion and analysis
of the impact that adoption of the 2021 IECC would have on the
availability of agency-financed housing. In places which have a
significant share of FHA-insured or HUD-financed housing, including
California (7,977 total units), Florida (22,607 total units), Georgia
(9,736 total units), North Carolina (8,432 total units) and Texas
(41,230 total units), HUD and USDA have determined that builders are
more likely to build to the standards covered under this notice.
HUD and USDA also note that state adoption is an ongoing process:
as of December 2023, only five states have adopted a code that meets or
exceeds the 2021 IECC; however, five additional states have adopted the
2021 IECC, although with weakening amendments. Additionally, a
significant number of states are currently actively considering the
adoption of this standard (with or without amendments). Some 20 states
are currently considering adoption of the 2021 IECC; when combined with
the 10 states that have already adopted the 2021 IECC, or codes that
meet or exceed the 2021 IECC, these states represent approximately 50
percent (an estimated 80,000 units) of HUD and USDA financed units
projected to be impacted by this determination.
In summary, while the statute specifically limits HUD and USDA's
ability to tie code requirements to the level or extent of state
adoption of these requirements, from a practical point of view the
pipeline of states currently considering or projected to adopt the 2021
IECC discussed above indicates that by the time the HUD and USDA 2021
IECC requirement takes effect, many more states will in fact have
adopted the 2021 IECC or its equivalent, thereby aligning the HUD and
USDA standard more directly with state or local code adoption.
Additionally, HUD and USDA will put in place a technical assistance and
training program to better enable builders, architects, and engineers
to meet the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards.
C. Cost-Benefit Methodology Utilized by Pacific Northwest National
Laboratory (PNNL) as Described in the Preliminary Determination
HUD and USDA requested comments on the methodology developed by
PNNL and used by the agencies for their affordability analysis. Most
comments received in response to this question were in support of the
PNNL cost-benefit analysis. One commenter presented their own analysis,
conducted by ICF, which aligns with the PNNL analysis and found that
the 2021 IECC is cost effective when compared to the 2018 IECC across
all climate zones.
However, some commenters shared concerns regarding the methodology
used in the cost-benefit analysis. Among these concerns, two commenters
expressed that the PNNL study overestimated the value of future
savings, particularly for low-income buyers. Others raised concerns
with the incremental costs, as well as the economic factors used to
estimate cash flow and life cycle savings. One commenter presented an
analysis prepared by Home Innovation Research Labs (Home Innovation)
disputing PNNL's analysis, showing significantly higher cost estimates
than the PNNL costs used by HUD and USDA for their analysis.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA acknowledge the many supportive
comments on the cost-benefit analysis included in the preliminary
determination. This analysis accurately reflected the economic
landscape at the time of development in 2020. In addition, HUD and USDA
reviewed the independent cost-benefit studies referenced in the public
comments, one of which, by ICF, affirms PNNL's analysis and one of
which (Home Innovation) disputes PNNL's analysis.
In general, HUD and USDA affirm the original analysis and
methodology conducted by PNNL used by the agencies in the preliminary
determination; however the agencies recognize that significant time has
elapsed since the analysis was conducted in 2020 and have accordingly
revised their analysis to include updated economic factors that better
reflect current market conditions, including a significant increase in
construction costs to reflect the supply-chain and other factors that
have impacted construction costs from 2020-23. The appropriate tables
have been revised in the final determination.\49\
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\49\ The final determination uses the same cost effectiveness
methodology as the RIA, which HUD developed based on PNNL's
incremental cost and energy cost savings figures. A key difference
between the methodologies is that PNNL includes residual value and
replacement costs in their calculation. Page 25 of the RIA explains
why these factors are not included in this alternative methodology.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Construction Cost Estimates
One commenter stated that the construction costs used in the PNNL
analysis are substantially lower than the current market costs. The
commenter included a summary of alternative cost estimates based on
Home Innovation's analysis which demonstrates a much more significant
(negative) impact on affordability.\50\ The commenter also stated that
the cost effectiveness analysis should consider the amount paid by the
consumer as well as the builder, i.e., should include builder gross
profit margins as a cost factor.
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\50\ Home Innovation Research Labs, 2021 IECC Residential Cost
Effectiveness Analysis, June 2021, https://www.homeinnovation.com/-/media/Files/Reports/2021-IECC-Residential-Cost-Effectiveness-Analysis.pdf.
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[[Page 33134]]
HUD-USDA Response: The analysis produced by PNNL was developed with
a methodology that underwent a rigorous public comment and peer review
process, has been used for cost-benefit analysis of the revised
editions of the IECC and ASHRAE since the 2006 IECC. The Home
Innovation report and a response report developed by ICF are
independent, third-party studies that include additional data and
analysis but are not peer reviewed nor do they follow a federally
approved methodology. HUD carefully reviewed the cost estimates
provided in the Home Innovation report. The agency recognizes that the
incremental cost estimates in the Home Innovation report are two to
three times higher than those estimated by PNNL, but ultimately
determined that the current analysis' approach and findings most
accurately represent accepted means of assessing building energy code
impacts, including anticipated cost impacts. Additionally, there are
other entities (ICF) that estimate lower cost increases than those
calculated by DOE/PNNL.
It is important to note that both independent studies show
consensus with the PNNL energy savings estimates used by HUD and USDA
in their determination. Home Innovation concluded that energy savings
from adopting the code would range from 6.4 percent to 11.6 percent
depending upon the additional option chosen. For the basic package plus
the water heater option, Home Innovation found a reduction of 9.7
percent of energy expenditures. This range is similar to the estimate
reported by PNNL of 8 percent for single family homes (see RIA Figure
11).\51\ However, the cost-effectiveness analysis conducted by Home
Innovation estimates significantly higher incremental costs for the
2021 IECC over the 2018 IECC, ranging from $6,548 to $9,301 per house
on average, compared to the government estimate of $2,372 per home;
while the Home Innovation savings estimates are the same as those
estimated by DOE, the higher estimated cost in the Home Innovation
report result in significant differences in estimated simple payback
periods for the initial investment.\52\
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\51\ https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/2021_IECC_Final_Determination_AnalysisTSD.pdf.
\52\ https://www.nahb.org/-/media/NAHB/advocacy/docs/top-priorities/codes/code-adoption/2021-iecc-cost-effectiveness-analysis-hirl.pdf.
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With regard to construction cost estimates, the agencies would
expect there to be slight differences in the cost estimates given the
variety of building types, methods of compliance, costs of materials,
and quantity of materials. However, the differences between these the
PNNL and Home Innovation estimates are unusually large: HUD and USDA
attribute such a large difference to two factors: Home Innovation's
assumption of a high profit margin and differences between the
configuration of the model homes used by PNNL and Home Innovation
respectively.
The representativeness of the Home Innovation and PNNL data are not
equivalent. The set of prototypes PNNL uses in its analysis are
designed to represent the majority of the new residential building
construction stock in the United States using a combination of U.S.
Census, RECS, and Home Innovation data. DOE's established methodology
uses a suite of representative residential prototype buildings,
including a single family and a low-rise multifamily residential
building, each with four different foundation types (i.e., slab-on-
grade, vented crawlspace, heated basement, unheated basement) and four
heating system types (i.e., gas furnace, electric resistance, heat
pump, fuel oil furnace). The Standard Reference House by Home
Innovation is primarily based on the results of the 2008-2009 Annual
Builder Practices Survey (ABPS). The ABPS is an annual national survey
of builders that gauges national and regional building practices and
material use. This survey represents a comprehensive source of general
housing characteristics in the United States and contains information
on building square footage, wall square footage, climate-based
foundation type, climate-based wall construction type, and other
residential construction characteristics. The parameters represent the
average (mean) values from the survey for building areas and features
not dictated by the 2006 IECC.
The Home Innovation study calculates the unit cost of any change
and adds to that an overhead and profit premium of approximately 27
percent. For example, the incremental cost to the builder of installing
a square foot of ceiling insulation is 59 cents per square foot, which
is derived by inflating the 46-cent incremental cost by the overhead
premium. The total incremental cost to the producer is given by the
inflated unit cost of 59 cents and the quantity (1,875 square feet of
ceiling insulation) to settle on an estimate of $1,106. The cost paid
by the consumer is assumed to be the cost to the producer plus a return
of 23.5 percent on the change in costs. The cost to the consumer of
requiring thicker ceiling insulation would then be $1,366 (1.235 x
$1,106).\53\ Adding these markups on incremental costs would inflate
the cost estimate by 57 percent (1.27 x 1.235).
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\53\ HUD expects that builder profits would diminish rather than
increase from this regulation. The NAHB implies the reverse: that
the increase in revenue is greater will be greater than the cost. It
is more likely that profit rates will fall.
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The design of the home plays a role by determining the quantity of
insulation. The model single family homes of PNNL are similar in terms
of living space (floor area). The Home Innovation model is less dense,
however, and has more of its floor area in the first floor than the
second floor. A low-density design leads to larger areas exposed to the
exterior and in need of insulation. For example, although the floor
area of the Home Innovation home is only 5 percent greater, the ceiling
area requiring insulation is 56 percent greater.
The profit assumption combined with the design of the home would
lead to cost estimates approximately 2.2 times larger than the PNNL
analysis. (The PNNL cost estimates include a 15 percent overhead and
profit.)
While HUD and USDA continue to rely on PNNL construction cost
estimates, the agencies recognize that construction costs have
increased since the original analysis was conducted of the 2021 IECC.
Accordingly, a supply chain cost increase factor of 37 percent has been
applied to the incremental cost of adopting the new code to account for
the increase in inputs for residential construction over the 2020-23
period. The 37 percent increase is derived by from the Bureau for Labor
Statistics' Producer Price Index for inputs to residential construction
less energy and cited by the NAHB in their monthly Eye on Housing
blog.\54\ Tables 13-15 in the Final Determination have been updated to
reflect this cost increase.
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\54\ Producer Price Index Report, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm. See NAHB, Eye on Housing, Building
Materials Prices Fall for Second Month Straight, https://eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/building-materials-prices-fall-for-second-month-straight/.
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2. Builder vs. Consumer Costs
One commenter asserted that the PNNL analysis relied on by HUD and
USDA is based on costs experienced by the builder and does not account
for the full costs experienced by the homeowner, including mark-ups
such as builder profit margin.
HUD-USDA Response: Profit margin is already included in the DOE/
PNNL Methodology. The PNNL methodology for evaluating the impacts of
building energy codes defines first cost as the marginal retail cost of
implementing a
[[Page 33135]]
code change. This includes the price experienced by the home buyer,
including materials, labor, equipment, overhead, and profit. A factor
of 15 percent is included for overhead and profit.
3. Reliance on Simple Payback vs. Life Cycle Cost Savings
Another commenter cited an independent cost analysis by ICF of the
Home Innovation report. The ICF analysis concluded that the Home
Innovation analysis only evaluates cost effectiveness with a simple
payback metric, which ignores many longer-term factors in the economic
performance of an energy efficiency investment.
HUD-USDA Response: Beyond the specific figures cited by the
commenter, the Home Innovation cost analysis is based solely on a
simple payback metric which divides an incremental cost by the
associated consumer cost savings to identify the time, typically in
number of years, required to ``pay back'' the initial investment. While
being a straightforward metric and relatively simple to calculate, it
is not deemed sufficient to capture the full range of costs and
benefits experienced by the home buyer. A life-cycle cost analysis is
preferred as the widely accepted means of evaluating incremental costs
of construction, including updated building energy efficiency
standards, against expected consumer cost savings. The life-cycle
approach accounts for the incremental costs of construction and
consumer cost savings, as well as other costs and impacts experienced
by the homeowner, including maintenance and replacement costs
associated with a given measure. The Congressionally-recognized energy
code development and consensus bodies, the International Code Council
(ICC) and ASHRAE 90.1, both rely upon a life-cycle based approach for
evaluating the cost impacts of their updated codes. As the Home
Innovation analysis relies solely on simple payback, it is not directly
comparable to the life-cycle cost analysis developed by PNNL and used
in this notice by HUD and USDA. That said, USDA and HUD do include
simple paybacks in their analysis, but provide it as a supplemental
rather than primary measure of affordability.
4. Financing and Economic Factors Do Not Reflect Current Market
Conditions
Several commenters raised concerns about certain economic factors
used for the cash flow and Life Cycle Cost savings analysis in the
preliminary determination and the RIA. The main concerns were with
savings estimates, interest rates, down payments, discount rates,
payback period, and applicability for typical FHA and USDA borrowers.
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should conduct additional
analysis on the costs of compliance for their federal programs.
Commenters stated that the PNNL analysis assumed an inflation rate of
1.4 percent and a mortgage rate of 3 percent while, as of July 2023,
the inflation rate is 3.0 percent and mortgage rates are 6.97 percent.
They also stated that the PNNL use of a 12 percent downpayment does not
reflect the average downpayment for an FHA or USDA borrower, which are
stated as 4.5 percent and zero percent respectively.
One commenter also suggested the cost effectiveness analysis used
in the preliminary determination does not reflect the typical FHA and
USDA borrowers for single family homes. The commenter suggested that
``HUD and USDA should conduct an independent analysis of the cost
impact on the typical lending profiles for the borrowers that use their
programs and customize the analysis to represent their clients more
accurately.''
HUD-USDA Response: Regarding comments received on the economic
factors used in the analysis, HUD and USDA address the effect of the
relationship between the mortgage interest rate and the consumer's
discount rate on mortgage affordability on page 31 of the RIA.
Additionally, HUD and USDA did consider the differences in monthly
mortgage payments and insurance premiums between HUD and USDA borrowers
and the average borrower in PNNL's analysis. See pages 33-43 of the RIA
for cash flow impacts to FHA and USDA borrowers.
At the same time, the agencies understand the significance of
COVID-19 and global supply chain issues on factors such as inflation,
interest rates, and energy prices. This issue is not unique to this
final determination, as the ICC and DOE have also updated the economic
factors proposed for determining the cost effectiveness of the 2024
IECC, as outlined below in Table 7.\55\ These factors were agreed to by
all stakeholders in the consensus process, including the home building
industry.
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\55\ 2024 IECC Residential Cost Effectiveness Analysis Proposal,
https://www.iccsafe.org/wp-content/uploads/IECC_res_cost_effectiveness_proposal_final.pdf.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.100
[[Page 33136]]
HUD and USDA have used similar or equivalent sources, updated to
reflect 2023 costs and fuel price escalators and mortgage interest
rates to revise the economic factors used in the preliminary
determination's affordability analysis to reflect current market
conditions (Tables 13-16). This acknowledges the unusual circumstances
of the recent four-year 2020-23 period, both with regard to increased
mortgage interest rates as well as COVID-related supply chain shortages
and associated cost increases. With these revisions, HUD and USDA have
adopted a modified DOE methodology for the analysis. The analysis is
based on the original cost effectiveness results from PNNL; however, it
has been updated as described in response to several public comments.
The economic parameters that have been revised are listed below in
Table 8.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.101
These revisions better reflect impacts on HUD and USDA borrowers
and also account for the higher cost of construction materials and
labor, as well as increased energy prices over the past three years, as
follows:
Economic Factors:
Construction cost increase (2020-23). A supply chain cost
increase factor of 37 percent has been applied to the incremental cost
of adopting the new code to account for the increase in residential
construction costs 2020-23. The 37 percent increase utilizes Bureau of
Labor Statistics' Producer Price Index for inputs to residential
construction less energy as reported by the National Association of
Home Builders.\56\
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\56\ ``Building Materials Prices Fall for Second Month
Straight,''[bond] Eye On Housing, https://eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/building-materials-prices-fall-for-second-month-straight.
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Energy price increase (2020-22). An energy price increase
factor was developed by averaging price for electricity, natural gas,
and heating oil for 2020 through 2022. The three-year averages were
used to establish the rate of increase based on PNNL's original energy
prices for each source. Finally, these rates were averaged based on the
residential energy mix for 2022. Data for calculating the energy price
increase factor was sourced from the U.S. Energy Information
Administration.\57\
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\57\ EIA, Natural Gas Prices: Average Residential Price, https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_a_EPG0_PRS_DMcf_a.htm; Heating Oil
Prices: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=M_EPD2F_PRS_NUS_DPG&f=M; Electricity
Prices: Electricity data browser--Average retail price of
electricity, https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/#/topic/
7?agg=0,1&geo=vvvvvvvvvvvvo&endsec=vg&linechart=~ELEC.PRICE.US-
RES.A&columnchart=ELEC.PRICE.US-ALL.A&map=ELEC.PRICE.US-
ALL.A&freq=A&start=2001&end=2022&ctype=linechart<ype=pin&rtype=s&pi
n=&rse=0&maptype=0.
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Energy price escalator. A new fuel price escalator is
used, based on the estimated 30-year trends in the Energy Information
Administration's (EIA) 2023 Annual Energy Outlook.\58\ While the energy
price increase reflects historical increase in energy prices from 2020-
23 and is used to estimate first year energy savings, the energy price
escalator estimates future changes to energy prices over the full
period of the analysis, changing the price for future years to align
with the expected movement in energy prices over the 30-year mortgage.
The escalator is set based on the projections with prices in nominal
dollars.
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\58\ EIA, U.S. Energy Information Administration--EIA--
Independent Statistics and Analysis, https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/
aeo/data/browser/#/?id=3-AEO2023®ion=1-
0&cases=ref2023&start=2021&end=2050&f=A&linechart=ref2023-
d020623a.3-3-AEO2023.1-0~ref2023-d020623a.5-3-AEO2023.1-
0&map=ref2023-d020623a.3-3-AEO2023.1-0&ctype=linechart&sourcekey=0.
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Cash Flow and Financing Factors:
Mortgage interest rate. A 5.3 percent nominal mortgage
interest rate has been adopted, using DOE's established cost
effectiveness methodology. HUD and USDA have based their analysis and
the economic parameters on DOE's methodology wherever possible, despite
incorporating some modifications to reflect the current economic
landscape.
Discount rate.\59\ A 5.3 percent nominal discount rate (3
percent real discount rate) has been adopted for the purpose of this
Notice. The discount rate reflects the time value of money. Following
established DOE methodology, the discount rate has been set equal to
the mortgage interest rate in nominal terms. Mortgage payment is an
[[Page 33137]]
investment available to consumers who purchase homes using financing,
which makes the mortgage interest rate a reasonable estimate for a
consumer's alternative investment rate.
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\59\ Methodology for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of
Residential Energy Code Changes, U.S. Department of Energy, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/residential_methodology_2015.pdf.
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Down payment. Down payment has been revised from 12
percent used by PNNL to 5 percent to better reflect the HUD and USDA
borrower. Note that this is somewhat higher than the minimum down
payment required for FHA-insured mortgages of 3.5 percent, but the
average down payment for new construction loans is somewhat higher than
the minimum.
Other closing costs. A 1.75 percent upfront mortgage
insurance premium (MIP) to reflect current FHA requirements, a 0.55
percent annual MIP, and one percent variable closing costs are also
included in the analysis.
FHA Typical Home Adjustment Factor. An FHA cost adjustment
factor and an FHA savings adjustment factor of 5 percent and 3 percent
respectively were added to adjust the PNNL analysis to better reflect
the smaller home size of a typical FHA or USDA property (2,000 sf)
compared to a conventionally financed house modeled by PNNL (2,774 sf).
The relevant tables in the final determination have been updated to
reflect these revised economic factors. Nationally, the updated
economic factors have a minor adverse impact on the affordability of
adopting the 2021 IECC. By way of illustration, Table 9 presents the
new analysis included in the Final Determination using the revised
economic factors (Table 13).
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.102
The revised economic factors provide a revised estimate of average
costs and benefits as outlined in the preliminary determination, both
nationally and for individual climate zones. The average per-unit
incremental cost increases to $7,229 (compared to $5,555 in the
preliminary determination) due to the supply chain cost increase factor
of 37 percent; however, the increase is moderated by the inclusion of
the 5 percent FHA cost reduction factor to reflect the smaller FHA-
sized house relative to the larger market as described above. Estimated
annual energy savings increases to $963 (compared to $751 in the
preliminary determination) due to the energy price increase factor of
32 percent. Net life cycle cost savings become $15,071. With these
revisions, simple payback period increases slightly from 7.6 years
shown in the preliminary determination to 7.7 years in the final
determination. Due to the revised down payment rate of 5 percent
reflecting the average FHA borrower's downpayment, years to positive
cashflow is reduced to 1.5 years (compared to 2 years in the
preliminary determination). Accordingly, HUD and USDA's analysis still
demonstrates the affordability of the 2021 IECC.
5. Timeframe of Analysis
One commenter recommended calculating energy cost savings over the
economic lifespan of a building, which is 75 years, instead of over a
typical 30-year mortgage period, which would show greater energy cost
savings.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA based the lifetime of the
investment for the preliminary determination on the typical length of a
mortgage, which is 30 years. This is the well-established cost estimate
methodology established by DOE in consultation with the ICC and
associated stakeholder input. The commenter is correct, and HUD and
USDA agree, that these improvements will yield improved home quality
and energy efficiency well beyond the 30 years, potentially for the
life of the building, but there are no established estimates for
accurately or reliably estimating these longer-term benefits. It is
also likely that homeowners will upgrade their homes with more
efficient equipment or improved building measures such as higher
performance windows. While DOE's analysis includes replacement costs
over the period of a typical mortgage, estimates of efficiency gains
beyond that period are not included in the modeling here.
D. Impact of Manually Operated Bathroom Fans Allowed Under the IECC on
Indoor Air Quality and the Health of Occupants
HUD and USDA requested comments on anecdotal reports that because
manually operated bathroom fans allowed under the IECC to meet
ventilation requirements rely on occupant action to operate them, these
may impact indoor air quality and the health of occupants.
There were no comments, supportive or otherwise, that directly
addressed the possible health concern caused by the use of manually
operated bathroom fans to meet IECC ventilation requirements.
[[Page 33138]]
However, several comments were received on moisture management, and
ventilation issues. One commenter reiterated the importance of moisture
management in energy efficient buildings and recommended the use of
energy recovery ventilation (ERV) or heat recovery ventilation (HRV)
equipment. Another commenter indicated that ``HUD must ensure that that
the benefits of the proposed standards do not come at the expense of
resident health,'' noting that updated energy codes require more
tightly sealed envelopes that, if not accompanied by appropriate and
well-maintained ventilation, may create the risk of moisture retention
and mold, accumulation of indoor air pollutants, and other causes of
building related illness. The commenter proposed that HUD should
``fully fund and vigorously implement'' time-of-construction
inspections to enforce ventilation requirements such as ASHRAE 62.1 and
62.2, as well as on-going NSPIRE inspections.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA share the commenter's commitment to
resident health in energy efficient buildings. The 2021 IECC sets
maximum air leakage of 5.0 ACH50 (5 air changes per hour) or 0.28 CFM/
sf as measured by a blower door test, or 3.0ACH50 when following
prescriptive requirements (allows for 0.30 CFM/sf enclosure area for
attached dwelling units and buildings that are 1,500 sf or smaller).
The IECC requires compliance with Section M1505 of the International
Residential Code (IRC), which sets minimum ventilation rates for whole
house ventilation systems as well as local exhaust rates. ASHRAE 90.1
for multifamily buildings references ASHRAE 62.2, Ventilation and
Acceptable Indoor Air Quality in residential buildings.
Regarding energy or heat recovery systems, the 2021 IECC requires
such systems for Climate Zones 7 and 8 (colder climate zones), but
these are optional in other climate zones. Heat Recovery Systems (HRVs)
supply continuous fresh air from outside the home and recover between
60-95 percent of heat in exhaust air, thereby contributing
significantly to the energy efficiency of a building. Energy Recovery
Systems (ERVs) can exchange both heat and moisture, thereby keeping
humidity levels relatively stable.
E. Potential Fire Code Issues Associated With Air-Sealing Requirements
for Attached Single Family Homes or Low-Rise Multifamily Properties
HUD and USDA asked for comments on potential challenges to meeting
both the more stringent air sealing requirements introduced in the 2012
IECC (3 ACH 50 in certain climate zones) as well as fire code
specifications in attached row-house, town home or multifamily
settings. This had been identified as a possible barrier when 3ACH 50
was originally proposed in the 2012 IECC.
Several commenters indicated that the 2021 IECC air leakage
requirements of 3 air changes per hour or 5 air changes per hour at 50
pascals depending on the climate zone should not present fire code
issues for single family attached homes or low-rise multifamily
properties. Commenters experienced on the issue indicated that they
have no knowledge of any challenges meeting the 2021 IECC air leakage
requirements and fully complying with the fire code. One commenter
included that 28 states and more localities have implemented the code
without any fire code issues. Another commenter stated that
technologies exist to comply with air leakage and fire code
requirements without challenges.
HUD-USDA Response: Air sealing of area separation wall assemblies
in multifamily buildings had been identified by DOE and others as a
barrier that limits the ability of builders to cost effectively achieve
higher energy efficiency and quality levels in multifamily housing.\60\
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\60\ Department of Energy, Building America Expert Meeting: Code
Challenges with Multifamily Area Separation Walls, 2015.
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Air leakage through these assemblies could also be a barrier to
achieving air leakage limits mandated by the IRC and IECC. More
specifically, fire blocking sealants approved for use to seal framing
penetrations within a dwelling are not allowed to be used to seal the
perimeter of \3/4\ inch air space required in UL 263 (also ASTM E119)
area separation walls. This unsealed perimeter condition makes these
walls porous to airflow coming from the exterior or from attached
garages.
Training materials from the Energy Efficient Building Association
(EEBA) also indicate that the 3 ACH 50 air sealing requirement may be a
challenging target for townhomes or where there are common walls
between units, and that there is a lack of clarity in how to air seal
the wall between these units without violating the fire-rated
assembly.\61\ EEBA indicated that there have been some breakthroughs
recently with retesting fire-rated wall assemblies with specific foams
and sealants to show that they will perform, and several options are
now listed in the UL database. Based on the comments received, this
issue seems to have been resolved.
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\61\ Energy Efficient Building Association (EEBA), Air Sealing
Requirements for IECC 2021 with Building Code Expert Joe Nebbia;
Excerpts from Module 6 of an 8-Part IECC 2021 Code Series, https://www.eeba.org/air-sealing-requirements-for-iecc-2021-with-building-code-expert-joe-nebbia.
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F. Time Required for Builders and Building Designers To Familiarize
Themselves With the New Codes and Training or Technical Support That
May Be Required
HUD and USDA requested comments on the time required for builders
and building designers to familiarize themselves with the new codes,
the training or technical support that may be required by building
professionals and local code officials on the new requirements of the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards, workforce training needs, and
any other issues related to implementation of these standards. Comments
on particular challenges or issues facing rural areas in adoption and/
or implementation of these codes were also requested.
1. Implementation Timeline
Several commenters indicated that HUD and USDA should implement the
new 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards in a way that accommodates
time requirements, training and technical support requirements, and
other issues necessary for builders and building designers to meet the
new codes.
One commenter noted that implementation of these standards has
already begun in certain states and localities. One commenter suggested
that the implementation timeline should align with state activities and
federal incentives to best ensure the intended benefits are achieved.
Another commenter suggested that an implementation timeline of at least
two years be adopted to enable builders and code enforcement officials
to become familiar with the new standards.
Some of the commenters suggested approaches to most easily support
the implementation of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards.
Several commenters advised HUD and USDA to recognize and consider key
market dynamics, including supply chain issues and contractor education
and training in the development of an implementation timeline. One
commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should clarify compliance
requirements for builders and conduct training for builders,
developers, designers, and construction workers on the new codes.
[[Page 33139]]
One commenter suggested that extending the implementation timeline,
particularly for FHA-insured and USDA-guaranteed loans, would improve
the implementation process of the new requirements. The commenter
stated that such an extension may be necessary to align the proposed
HUD and USDA requirements with the Inflation Reduction Act section
50131 funding, which serves to assist jurisdictions in the adoption and
effective implementation of energy codes that meet or exceed the 2021
IECC.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA agree that the implementation time
period for new editions of the codes needs to have some flexibility to
allow for proper training and education of builders on the requirements
of the most recent editions of the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1. Note, however,
such training is already offered by, for example, the Regional Energy
Efficiency Organizations (REEOs), such as SPEER in Texas and Oklahoma,
and there are already builders that are using these codes. Some states
have also already required them or exceeded them. In addition, DOE is
offering new funding for energy codes training for the building
industry, states, and local municipalities.
HUD and USDA also agree that alignment with existing or new sources
of funding that can assist in the effective implementation of the
energy codes will be useful. This transition will have some learning
curves. The agencies anticipate gradual adoption beginning for some
programs at the publication of this notice and full implementation
within all programs covered by this final notice by the date of January
1, 2025, or later for certain programs.
HUD and USDA also agree that there is a need to align federal
incentives that can assist builders to become trained in these codes.
HUD and USDA are working with DOE and the states to leverage the
unprecedented levels of funding through the Bipartisan Infrastructure
Law (BIL) and Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) to support builders and
developers in complying with the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019
standards proposed in this notice. This funding includes $225 million
in BIL funding for state agencies to partner with key stakeholders,
such as local building code agencies, codes and standards developers,
and associations of builders and design and construction professionals
to update their building codes. In addition, another $1 billion in IRA
funds is available to support states, territories, and jurisdictions
with the authority to adopt energy codes in adopting and implementing
the latest energy codes and zero energy codes.
DOE has already released funding in advance of this notice to
support the training of builders in these codes. As part of the $225
million in BIL funding, DOE announced $90 million as Resilient and
Efficient Codes Implementation (RECI) competitive grant awards in July
2023 to help states and partnering organizations implement updated
building energy codes. This funding is the first installment of a 5-
year program established to support building energy code adoption,
training, and technical assistance at the state and local levels.
Twenty-seven awards were made in 26 states.\62\ In addition, in
September 2023 DOE announced another $400 million in IRA formula funds
to the states to implement energy codes; $240 million will be available
to adopt and implement the latest building energy code, the 2021 IECC
for residential buildings and ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2019 for
commercial buildings, or other codes that achieve equivalent or greater
energy savings.\63\ HUD and USDA will work with DOE and its grant
recipients to leverage technical assistance and training for builders,
developers, and others involved in building HUD- and USDA-financed
housing.
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\62\ https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harris-administration-announces-90-million-support-resilient-and-efficient-building.
\63\ $160 million will be available to adopt and implement the
zero energy provisions in the 2021 IECC, or other codes with
equivalent or greater energy savings. https://www.energy.gov/articles/biden-harris-administration-announces-400-million-states-improve-building-energy.
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In addition to the BIL and IRA funds awarded to states to advance
adoption of more current energy codes, including the 2021 IECC and zero
energy codes, HUD and USDA anticipate a significant increase in the
number of new homes certifying to Energy Star New Home or ZERH
standards as builders take advantage of the Section 45L tax credits of
up to $2,500 and $5,000 that are now available to build to these
standards. Building to these standards will automatically comply with
2021 IECC requirements. For multifamily, tax credits of up to $2,500
per unit for Energy Star Multifamily New Construction and up to $5,000
per unit for DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes for multifamily homes are now
available as well, when builders comply with prevailing wage
requirements.
Some affordable housing builders of rental housing are already
building to higher energy standards as required by state, federal, or
local affordable housing funding streams. A significant driver of
affordable housing is the Low-Income Housing Tax Credit, administered
by the states. Some states set their energy requirements to exceed
prevailing state codes in their Qualified Allocation Plans (QAPs);
housing developers who take advantage of such funding are already well
versed in meeting higher level energy codes than the baseline.
Regarding comments that HUD and USDA should align its
implementation timeline requirements with state code adoption
timetables, states follow a wide range of schedules and procedures when
considering adoption of the new editions of the codes. States adopt
building codes on their own timelines, with some achieving or exceeding
the code levels of energy efficiency and others not adopting any code
at all. The statutory requirement governing this notice does not
provide for HUD and USDA adoption of prevailing state standards but
sets the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 as published by the relevant
code bodies as the required standard for the covered programs.
2. Need for Training and Technical Assistance
Several commenters stated the need for training on the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards to limit the potential gap between the
efficiency levels required in the standards and the efficiency levels
achieved in the field. One commenter stated that a lack of training can
result in poor implementation of the code and cause unintended building
performance and compliance issues.
One commenter referenced a DOE study that found proper training for
code officials and the construction community can reduce energy costs
by an average of 45 percent due to varying levels of compliance with
the codes. Another commenter suggested that HUD and USDA provide free
code books and workbooks as part of the training and technical
assistance for builders and building designers to alleviate the cost
concerns related to training materials and resources. One commenter
suggested that HUD and USDA should offer a comprehensive, no-cost
training program to ensure equal access to the material necessary to
comply with the new standards. The commenter also suggested that the
Federal government should cover the cost of any technical training or
equipment necessary for nonprofit housing developers to meet the new
standards.
HUD-USDA Response: As with any code update, training is indeed an
important issue, particularly for changes that include fundamental
changes in technology, materials, or practices. In
[[Page 33140]]
updating to the 2021 standard, the primary focal points will be wall
insulation, mechanical systems, and envelope air tightness. Due to the
outdated nature of the 2009 IECC, many of these transitions and
practices are already happening across the country. Recent energy code
field studies, including those conducted by DOE in the 2014 through
2023 timeframe, indicate that higher insulation values, better windows,
more advanced mechanicals, and tighter envelopes are already
commonplace due to natural market forces and advancements in building
products.
Even with this being the case, HUD and USDA will develop training
materials and offer training to builders, developers, and lenders
through guidance materials and webinars to support the implementation
of these new standards, as described in detail in section A.2. above.
3. Enforcement and Compliance
Several commenters emphasized the need to prioritize enforcement of
the standards upon enacting the new requirement to ensure the new
requirements are being met. One commenter suggested allowing builders
to demonstrate compliance through DOE's REScheck code compliance tool.
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should ensure ventilation
maintenance meets the higher standard required in tightly sealed
buildings. One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA provide technical
assistance to state and local officials to support enforcement. One
commenter suggested that HUD and USDA should conduct a post-
implementation study to assess compliance and enforcement over the
first one to two years of the new requirements.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA agree that enforcement of the
standards will be important in ensuring compliance with the standard.
The agencies are anticipated to rely on self-certification that
builders and developers will comply with the code requirements
specified in this notice. For single family FHA-insured properties, FHA
employs self-certification requirements for many of their policies and
program requirements and may pursue enforcement for any false claims or
false statements made. Enforcement can include criminal penalties,
civil penalties, or both.
For FHA single family new construction, in HUD-92541, HUD already
requires the builder to certify that the new construction meets or
exceeds the 2009 IECC; this certification will be updated for the 2021
IECC.\64\ HUD will update the Minimum Property Standards referenced in
HUD-92544 with a conforming amendment to align with the requirements of
this notice; HUD is the final adjudicator of whether a defect exists
and whether the remedy is required.\65\
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\64\ HUD Builder Certification, https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/OCHCO/documents/92541.pdf.
\65\ https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/OCHCO/documents/92544.pdf.
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Certainly, REScheck is a tool that can be used to demonstrate
compliance; it is a DOE-supported tool for builders, designers, and
contractors to quickly and easily determine whether new homes,
additions, and alterations meet the requirements of the IECC or a
number of state energy codes. REScheck also simplifies compliance
determinations for building officials, plan checkers, and inspectors by
allowing them to quickly determine if a low-rise residence meets the
code.
Note that REScheck is set up for building envelope-related
insulation and window trade-off calculations in residential single
family and low-rise multifamily buildings only; it is not used for the
IECC performance path, which relies on other energy modeling tools,
e.g., HERS or IC3. REScheck works by performing a simple U-factor x
Area (UA) calculation for each building assembly to determine the
overall UA of a building. The UA that would result from a building
conforming to the code requirements is compared to the UA for the
building constructed. If the total heat loss (represented as a UA)
through the envelope of a building does not exceed the total heat loss
from the same building conforming to the code, the software generates a
report that declares the building is compliant with the code.
G. Impact and Duration of COVID-Related Supply Chain Challenges for
Certain Products and Materials, Particularly But Not Exclusively for
Lumber Products
HUD and USDA's preliminary determination acknowledged the
construction industry's experience with COVID-related supply chain
challenges for certain products and materials, particularly but not
exclusively for lumber products, leading to significant price increases
in such products as framing lumber, plywood, and oriented strand board
(OSB). The agencies solicited comments on the duration, persistence and
intensity of these price increases, the extent to which they may impact
the cost of energy related products or materials covered by the IECC or
ASHRAE 90.1 energy codes addressed in this notice, and to what extent
these supply chain issues may impact implementation of the codes
addressed by this notice.
One commenter affirmed the insulation industry's ability to meet
any increase in demand as a result of requiring the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards.
Two commenters expressed concern for the construction industry's
ability to meet the additional demand caused by HUD and USDA's
requirement of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards. A
commenter stated that additional code requirements will exacerbate the
existing stresses for homebuyers and developers, which include market
scarcity, rising prices, high interest rates, increased construction
costs, labor shortages, and limited subsidies.
One commenter stated their concern with construction costs
continuing to rise which impacts affordability on top of supply
shortages for required materials such as windows, insulation, and other
components. The commenter highlighted the fact that HUD's National
Housing Market Summary for the first quarter of 2023 indicated that
rising construction costs are expected to have an ongoing impact on the
affordability of rental housing. Another commenter suggested that the
agencies create a right of review on a case-by-case basis for builders
unable to source required building materials.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA recognize that there were
significant cost increases in certain construction materials resulting
from specific COVID-related supply chain shortages, as well as
inflation. The agencies have included a construction cost increase
using the Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index (PPI) of 37
percent, as cited by the NAHB.66 67 This reflects cost
increases for residential construction during the 2020-23 period. While
this additional cost increase adds to the initial first cost of
complying with the 2021 IECC, this does not impact the overall
affordability of the investment, as shown in Tables 13-16 of this final
determination.
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\66\ BLS, Producer Price Index Commodity Data, One-Screen Data
Search, https://data.bls.gov/PDQWeb/wp. [Under Select a Group,
select ``IP Inputs to industries''; under Select one or more Items,
select ``IP23110013 Inputs to residential construction, goods less
foods and energy.''
\67\ Building Materials Prices Fall for Second Month Straight,
Eye On Housing, https://eyeonhousing.org/2023/06/building-materials-prices-fall-for-second-month-straight/.
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With regard to material shortages including windows and insulation
and
[[Page 33141]]
their potential impact on builders' ability to comply with the latest
editions of the codes, HUD and USDA recognize that some materials may
be in short supply and may cause construction delays, but have been
unable to determine the scale and scope of such shortages nationwide.
In addition, the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 do not require
specialized materials that are not already required for previous
editions. According to one recent report, the hardest insulation
material to procure has been polyiso insulation, a closed-cell, rigid
foam board typically used for roofing--as a result of 2021's winter
storm Uri that disrupted the supply chain of MDI, one of the raw
materials that goes into polyiso insulation material.\68\ That resulted
in a shortage of insulation materials starting in February 2021. In
other parts of the country, COVID-19 and transportation issues strained
supply. However, the report cites industry sources report that lead
times for items like fiberglass insulation and spray foam insulation
have improved in recent months.
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\68\ Construction Dive, Construction's supply chain outlook:
more shortages, price hikes ahead, November 2022 https://www.constructiondive.com/news/supply-chain-construction-building-materials-price-2023/636442/.
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HUD and USDA recognize that shortages may arise as a result of
COVID-19 supply chain issues. If shortages arise that prevent builders
from meeting the IECC 2021 and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 requirements, builders
should contact HUD or USDA with information on the product shortage.
HUD and USDA will consider alternate materials based on the agencies'
review of available materials. In addition, HUD and USDA will publish a
list of possible material shortages and provide options for builders to
comply with the codes.
H. Alignment With Green Building Standards and Alternate Compliance
Paths
The preliminary determination noted that HUD and USDA currently
provide incentives or require green building standards for some
programs and their interest in maximizing alignment between the 2021
IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 and these green building standards.
Recognizing that there might be a lag time between the publication of
the current editions of the IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 and their
incorporation in these green building standards, the agencies requested
comments on the current minimum IECC and ASHRAE 90.1 requirements in
these standards, and/or the timetable for adopting the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 as baseline requirements.
One comment was received on the specific question of the baseline
energy code established in third-party green building standards but
several comments were submitted as to how these or other standards
could be used as alternative compliance paths for the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 requirements of this notice. Several commenters who
expressed their support for the preliminary determination provided
suggestions for certification alternatives to meet the 2021 IECC and
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards. One commenter emphasized that any
alternative compliance pathways must enforce equivalent building
envelope standards to those required by the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-
2019. One commenter stated that third-party certifications are an
essential part of expanding access to HUD and USDA financing in markets
where there may be a lack of certified inspectors or inspectors who are
trained on an amended energy code that does not meet the program
requirements.
1. Alternative Compliance Pathways
One commenter stated that third-party certifications are an
essential part of expanding access to HUD and USDA financing in markets
where there may be a lack of certified inspectors or inspectors who are
trained on an amended energy code that does not meet the program
requirements. Several commenters proposed that HUD and USDA accept
specific green building or energy code standards. One commenter
proposed an alternative compliance pathway of ENERGY STAR v3.1.
One commenter suggested HUD and USDA accept the following as
alternative compliance pathways: ENERGY STAR Certified Homes, DOE Zero
Energy Ready Homes, ANSI/RESNET/ICC standard 301, Enterprise Green
Communities, ENERGY STAR Indoor Air Plus, LEED, Living Building
Challenge, and Passive House. Multiple commenters proposed an
alternative compliance pathway of the National Green Building
Standards.
One commenter suggested HUD and USDA recognize the Home Energy
Rating System (HERS) Index as an alternative compliance pathway. The
commenter suggested adopting a threshold of a HERS Index Score of
either 60, as used by Freddie Mac for their Single Family Green
Mortgage-Backed Securities program, or 57 as the equivalent index to
IECC 2021. Another commenter proposed an alternative compliance pathway
of a HERS Index Score of 57 or lower.
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA accept third-party energy
and green building certifications as alternative energy compliance
methods. Two commenters suggested that HUD and USDA move towards the
adoption of an all-electric new construction standard to achieve zero
carbon new homes for low- and moderate-income communities. The
commenter suggested the adoption of the optional zero-emissions and
zero-energy appendices of the 2024 IECC and adapt the appendixes for
ASHRAE 90.1-2022.
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA offer the ASHRAE 90.2-
2018 standard as an alternative compliance pathway to the 2021 IECC
standard as it provides more flexibility to satisfy local conditions
and costs while delivering residential building energy performance that
is approximately 50 percent less consumptive than the 2006 IECC
standard and approximately 20 percent more energy efficient than the
2021 IECC standard.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA appreciate the range of
recommendations for alternative compliance pathways suggested by the
commenters. Most of these pathways conform to the requirements of
meeting and exceeding the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019. These are
discussed below:
HERS Ratings. With regard to the proposal to accept the
HERS rating as an acceptable alternative, HUD and USDA recognize the
important role that the HERS Index plays in rating new homes in the
U.S. A recent RESNET report shows that 330,000 homes received a HERS
rating in 2022. The commenter recommending adoption of the HERS Index
pointed to two states, Massachusetts and Texas, that have adopted the
HERS Index as an alternate compliance path. Texas has adopted a sliding
scale for the HERS Index with graduated increases in efficiency from
2022 to 2028, with a HERS Index of 55-59 required after 2028 for
Climate Zones 2,3,4. These scores are above (i.e., less efficient than)
the 2021 IECC ERI scores of 51-54 for these zones. Massachusetts, on
the other hand, set the required HERS rating at 52, the same as the
2021 IECC.
These alternative HERS ratings do not include the mandatory
requirements of the 2021 IECC; accordingly, HUD and USDA are not in a
position to accept a HERS rating as an alternative to the 2021 IECC but
do recognize the growing importance of this rating as a means to
communicate energy performance better to homebuyers and encourage its
use by builders. The HERS rating is also an integral part of the two
federal above-
[[Page 33142]]
code standards of EPA's Energy Star for Homes and DOE's Zero Energy
Ready Homes, which can earn the 45L tax credit of $2,500 and $5,000
respectively.
Zero Energy or Zero Energy Ready standards: HUD and USDA
are aware of the voluntary IECC zero emission appendix and the new zero
energy appendix to ASHRAE 90.1-2022. While the statute that governs
this notice does not allow the agencies to require an above-code zero
energy standard or zero energy ready standard without an affordability
or availability determination, the agencies encourage builders to
consider building to the standards outlined in these appendices as
published by the ICC and ASHRAE respectively. Adoption of the
appendices is at the builder or developer's discretion.
Additionally, there are IRA funds that support solar and renewable
energy installations including the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Fund and
solar and renewable energy tax credits, which are refundable and offer
greater incentives for low-income communities. HUD and USDA encourage
builders to explore ways to utilize this financing to build zero energy
homes that will, by lowering energy expenditures, assist homebuyers in
achieving long-term homeowner financial sustainability.
Energy Star for New Construction. Energy Star Version 3.1,
the prevailing version of the standard that is nationally required by
EPA as of January 2023, has been modeled to exceed the 2015-2018 IECC
by approximately 10 percent, which on an overall performance basis is
likely to be equivalent or equal to the 2021 IECC. However, the absence
of specific thermal backstop requirements specified in the 2021 IECC
excludes Version 3.1 from serving as a compliance pathway for the 2021
ICC. Version 3.2, however, takes effect January 2025, and will be
accepted by HUD and USDA as an alternate compliance path. Similarly,
Energy Star for Multifamily New Construction Version 1.2 will be
accepted as an alternate compliance path.
DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes Program. The DOE Zero Energy
Ready Homes Program sets rigorous efficiency and performance criteria,
with certified homes capable of offsetting most or all of the home's
annual energy use through a renewable energy system. Single family
homes must achieve Single Family Version 2 certification to be accepted
as an alternate compliance path. Multifamily homes must achieve
Multifamily Version 2 certification, which will be released on January
1, 2025, to be accepted as an alternate compliance path.
Green Building Standards. As noted in the preliminary
determination, HUD specifies a range of green building certifications
through a range of programs, either as an incentive (the Green Mortgage
Insurance Premium) or as a requirement (CDBG-DR). HUD and USDA will
accept a Green Building Certification as a compliance pathway upon
submission and approval by the agencies of evidence that the 2021 IECC
and ASHRAE 90.1-2019; Energy Star Single Family New Construction
Version 3.2 certification or Version 1.2 for Multifamily New
Construction certification; or DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes Single
Family Version 2 or, once released, Multifamily Version 2 have been
established as minimum requirements.
2. Promoting Unvented Attic Spaces
Several commenters suggested HUD and USDA allow for the use of
unvented attics, which provide builders with additional flexibility by
enabling insulation with lower R-values and eliminating thermal losses
from ductwork in unconditioned attic spaces. Two of these commenters
suggested that HUD and USDA adopt the International Residential
Building Code (IRC), which would replace existing references to the
1994 CABO Code and enable the use of unvented attics.
One commenter suggested that to promote the use of unvented attics,
HUD and USDA adopt an alternative compliance pathway for insulating
attics. The commenter suggested an alternative standard for unvented
attics and enclosed rafter assemblies. This included lowering R values
for ceiling insulation in Climate Zones 1-3 to R-22 and in Climate
Zones 4-8 to R-26, requiring blower door tests results of less than 3.0
ACH50 for all climate zones, and other measures.
HUD-USDA Response: While significant efficiency gains can be
achieved by locating all heating and cooling equipment in a property's
conditioned space and providing for unvented attic space, the specific
proposal recommended by the commenter would lower ceiling/roof
insulation levels below those specified in the 2021 IECC and therefore
cannot be accepted as part of the HUD and USDA determination. The
agencies are not able to adopt amendments to the 2021 IECC and must
establish the standard in full as is required by the statute.
Note that the reference by the commenter to the 1994 CABO is
assumed to reference outdated code citations that have not been updated
in HUD regulations; HUD anticipates removing any references to outdated
codes in its regulations as part of its implementation of this
standard.
3. Alignment With Existing State or Local Codes
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA take local and state
requirements into consideration when finalizing code requirements at
the national level. Two comments were received on how the HUD and USDA
requirements would align with adoption by states of the 2021 IECC with
amendments. One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA accept the IECC
code version adopted by the state where a project is located instead of
requiring the 2021 IECC. Another commenter stated their concern that
implementation of this proposed rule would leave many jurisdictions out
of HUD and USDA programs, including three states that have adopted the
2021 IECC with amendments and would not be in compliance with this
requirement.
HUD-USDA Response: HUD and USDA recognize that states considering
IECC adoption may do so with either weakening or strengthening
amendments. DOE's State Portal analyzes the impact of any amendments to
the site energy index for the energy code adopted by each state. For
example, Idaho adopted the 2018 IECC with amendments and DOE found
these amendments to reduce the efficiency of the 2018 IECC to more
closely resemble the 2009 IECC.
As of December 2023, 42 states and the District of Columbia have
adopted some version of the IECC. Of these states, 33 have adopted the
IECC with amendments. According to DOE's analysis, 24 of these
amendments weaken the efficiency of the code, five do not substantially
alter the efficiency of the code, and four improve the efficiency of
the code.\69\
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\69\ State Portal, Building Energy Codes Program, https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. Based on update from 09/29/2023.
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Of the 22 states that are shown by DOE to have adopted the 2009
IECC or its equivalent due to weakening amendments, two states have
adopted the 2012 IECC with weakening amendments, six states have
adopted the 2015 IECC with weakening amendments, nine states have
adopted the 2018 IECC with weakening amendments, and one state have
adopted the 2021 IECC with amendments that have been determined by DOE
to be equivalent to a weaker code. The governing EISA-amended Cranston
Gonzalez statute does not provide for the flexibility of amending
[[Page 33143]]
either code; the statute requires that all housing specified in the
statute ``meet the requirements of the revised code or standard''. (42
U.S.C. 12709(d)). HUD and USDA recognize that many states adopted the
codes with amendments; however, these amendments often impact the
energy efficiency of the code. To comply with the final determination,
all impacted HUD and USDA housing must meet or exceed the energy
efficiency of the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019 regardless of any
amendments adopted to the code at the state level.
HUD and USDA acknowledge that the code adoption landscape has
changed and will continue to change ahead of the final determination
going into effect. Since the drafting of the preliminary determination,
two states, Connecticut and New Jersey, have adopted the 2021 IECC as
the state requirement. With this in mind, the estimated 150,000 single
family homes and low-rise multifamily units and 16,550 high-rise
multifamily units affected by this notice represents the approximate
number of impacted homes based on average annual production from 2019
to 2021.
4. Proposed Alternative Prescriptive and Performance Compliance
Pathways
One commenter proposed an alternative prescriptive compliance path
framework. This alternative compliance path involves integrating the
expected 2024 IECC ceiling insulation and wall insulation requirements
into the 2021 IECC, as well as a credit system for prescriptive
measures similar to that proposed for the 2024 IECC. The same commenter
also proposed an alternative performance compliance framework for
energy modeling software developers.
HUD-USDA Response: The commenter is proposing an approach that is
not applicable for including in a federal determination. These
amendments are more relevant to the code development process, which has
been discussed in the 2021 and 2024 energy code update cycle, rather
than the code adoption process.
The EISA statute requires HUD and USDA to adopt the code in full,
meaning that the preliminary determination is not an opportunity to
reevaluate the code package itself. HUD and USDA cannot specify an
alternative code that deviates from the published and consensus-based
model energy code, which has gone through a rigorous affordability and
availability analysis in preparation for its proposed adoption. Both
the proposed prescriptive and performance compliance path frameworks
envision modifications to the 2021 IECC that have been proposed or
adopted for the 2024 IECC, e.g., realignment of ceiling and wall
insulation requirements (Prescriptive Framework proposal 2),
establishing requirements for energy modeling software for envelope
backstops (Performance Framework proposal 3).
Once the 2024 IECC is published, it can serve as a viable
alternative to the 2021 IECC for states who choose to adopt the new
code as has been the case for states that have adopted versions beyond
the 2009 IECC over the past decade. The proposed changes would require
modifying the 2021 IECC in a manner that is inappropriate for this
technical review of the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards. In
addition, changes resulting from these proposed modifications to the
modeling software would likely result in modifications to the
requirements of the 2021 IECC; modifications to the 2021 IECC are
beyond the scope of the statutory requirements that govern this notice.
HUD has provided DOE with the performance modeling framework proposals
for consideration in future code modeling.
I. Additional Comments
1. Veterans Administration Enhanced Loan Underwriting Methods
One commenter suggested that HUD and USDA add a provision for the
recently enacted Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) enhanced loan
underwriting methods to FHA and USDA mortgages.
HUD-USDA Response: This comment references recently enacted
legislation requiring the VA to incorporate energy expenditures when
underwriting VA loans (Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2023, Section
203. Enhanced Underwriting Methods (Pub. L. 117-238). While the
legislation does not specify methodology for addressing energy
efficiency, it will incorporate household energy expenditures into the
Principal Interest Taxes Insurance (PITI) calculation. This is beyond
the scope of this notice, which does not address underwriting methods.
The agencies will track the VA initiative for lessons learned and
applicability to HUD and USDA programs.
2. Incorrect Montana Data
One commenter suggested that the data utilized in the preliminary
determination to produce the energy cost savings and financial impacts
incorrectly utilized the 2009 IECC for the State of Montana instead of
the 2021 IECC, which Montana adopted with exceptions for cost-
prohibitive requirements based on state-specific variables and climate
requirements in June 2022.
HUD-USDA Response: As noted in the preliminary determination, HUD
and USDA use DOE-PNNL assessments of the effective or equivalent code
adopted by a state after weakening amendments. In Montana's case, the
state adopted the 2021 IECC with amendments that reduce the overall
energy efficiency of the code by 10.4 percent. As such, DOE has
determined that Montana's code functionally resembles the 2009
IECC.\70\
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\70\ State Portal, Building Energy Codes Program, https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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3. Inclusion of Greenhouse Gas Emissions
One commenter suggested that the RIA and the final determination
should not consider the external social value of reducing emissions of
greenhouse gases because the statute does not require its
consideration. In contrast, another commenter suggested that the
preliminary determination may understate the benefits associated with
updating minimum efficiency requirements by not quantifying the non-
energy benefits from improved efficiency as well as the total emissions
reductions.
HUD-USDA Response. Pursuant to OMB requirements, the RIA includes
estimated reduction of carbon emissions and associated savings in the
social cost of carbon. However, HUD and USDA agree that the social
impact of reducing carbon emissions is not relevant to the consumer
affordability analysis required by the statute. The inclusion of these
costs in the RIA is used to determine the larger benefits of this
regulatory action, but they are not taken into account when considering
the affordability and availability of the impacted housing.
4. Covered Housing vs. Existing Housing Stock
One commenter stated that the statute specifically requires HUD and
USDA to make a determination that the revised codes do not negatively
affect the availability or affordability of new construction,
indicating that the availability of new construction specifically needs
to be the point of analysis instead of the overall availability of the
existing housing stock. This commenter stated that this is particularly
important due to the outsized role new homes play in the current
market, making up 31 percent of the housing stock.
HUD-USDA Response: With regard to considering the ``overall
availability'' of the existing housing stock, it is not clear
[[Page 33144]]
what item in the RIA or preliminary determination the commenter is
referring to; both the RIA and the preliminary determination focused on
the impact that this notice would have on the supply/production of new
USDA-HUD financed housing, not on the availability of housing outside
this stock.
The RIA does acknowledge purchase of an existing home as an
alternative option; however, the availability analysis focuses on
impacts to new construction as per the statute. As part of the
analysis, it takes into account the broader economic impacts of the
proposed standards. This perspective is included to demonstrate the
substitutes available to buyers in the real world; however, existing
homes are not considered as a central part of the availability
analysis. HUD and USDA have modified the RIA.
5. Impact on Increased Sprawl
One commenter suggested that the preliminary determination does not
accurately account for the potential increase in urban sprawl, which
would increase travel-associated greenhouse gas emissions.
HUD-USDA Response: The commenter raises an important point
regarding carbon emissions and the built environment: siting and
location of housing will impact transportation carbon emissions, as
discussed in the National Transportation Decarbonization Blueprint.
Siting housing near transportation options or adjacent to schools,
employment, services, and amenities will significantly lower Vehicle
Miles Traveled (VMTs) and associated carbon emissions. However, this is
outside the scope of this notice.
III. Final Determination--2021 IECC
A. Overview
The IECC is a model energy code developed by the International Code
Council (ICC) through a public hearing process involving national
experts for single family and low-rise residential buildings as well as
commercial buildings.\71\ The code contains minimum energy efficiency
provisions for residential buildings, defined as single family homes
and low-rise multifamily buildings (up to three stories). The code
offers both prescriptive and performance-based approaches. The
efficiency standards associated with the IECC set benchmarks for a
structure's walls, floors, ceilings, lighting, windows, doors, duct
leakage, and air leakage.
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\71\ The IECC covers both residential and commercial buildings.
States that adopt the IECC (or portions thereof) may choose to adopt
the IECC for residential buildings only or may extend the code to
commercial buildings (which include multifamily residential
buildings of four or more stories). Chapter 4 of the IECC Commercial
Code allows compliance with ASHRAE 90.1 as an optional compliance
path.
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Revised editions of the IECC are typically published every three
years. Full editions of its predecessor, the Model Energy Code, were
first published in 1989, and new editions of the IECC were published
every three years beginning in 1998. The residential portion of the
IECC was heavily revised in 2004: the Climate Zones were completely
revised (reduced from 17 Zones to the current eight primary Zones) and
the building envelope requirements were restructured into a different
format.\72\ The post-2004 code became much more concise and simpler to
use, but these changes complicate comparisons of State codes based on
pre-2004 versions of the IECC to the more recent editions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\72\ In the early 2000s, researchers at the U.S. Department of
Energy's Pacific Northwest National Laboratory prepared a simplified
map of U.S. climate zones. The map was based on analysis of the
4,775 U.S. weather sites identified by the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, as well as widely accepted
classifications of world climates that have been applied in a
variety of different disciplines. This PNNL-developed map divided
the United States into eight temperature-oriented climate zones. See
https://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/publications/pdfs/building_america/4_3a_ba_innov_buildingscienceclimatemaps_011713.pdf.
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For single family housing, the IECC is one component of the larger
International Residential Code (IRC). Each version of the IRC,
beginning with the 2015 edition, has the corresponding version of the
IECC embedded directly into that code (Chapter 11). A majority of
states have adopted some version of the IRC. For other building types,
including multifamily housing, the equivalent building code is the
International Building Code (IBC), which also refers to other codes
such as the International Plumbing Code, the International Electrical
Code or, in this case, the IECC. Those codes also then embody or refer
to other codes in the industry, such as ASHRAE 90.1. In this hub and
spoke model, there is even more differentiation between states
regarding which versions of which codes are adopted as a suite of codes
at any given point in time. Even with the adoption of the IRC, the all-
in-one code that is focused on single family housing, states and local
areas sometimes make adjustments to the code, removing and in some
cases adding requirements for some building elements.
1. Current HUD-USDA Standard and Subsequent Revisions
In May 2015, HUD and USDA published a Final Determination that
established the 2009 IECC as the minimum standard for both new single
family housing built with HUD and USDA assistance and new HUD-assisted
or FHA-insured low-rise multifamily housing.\73\ HUD and USDA estimated
that 3,200 multifamily units and 15,000 single family units per year
could potentially be impacted in the 16 states that had not yet adopted
either of these codes. The average incremental cost of the higher
standard was estimated to be $1,019 per unit, with average annual
savings of $215, for a 5-year payback and a 1.3-year net positive cash
flow. HUD and USDA determined that adoption of the 2009 IECC would not
negatively impact the affordability and availability of the covered
housing. The 2009 IECC represented a significant increase in energy
efficiency of 7.9 percent and a 10.8 percent cost savings over the
previous (2006) code.
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\73\ 80 FR 25901 (May 6, 2015).
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Since HUD and USDA's adoption of the 2009 IECC, there have been
four revisions to the IECC.\74\ No action was taken by the prior
Administration to comply with the statutory requirements to consider or
adopt these updated codes.
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\74\ IECC 2012, 2015, 2018, and 2021.
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The figure below shows the average national energy cost savings
estimated with each version of the IECC. The greatest incremental
savings come from the 2012 IECC (23.9 percent), followed by the 2009
IECC (10.8 percent over the 2006 IECC), followed by the 2021 IECC (8.7
percent). PNNL provided HUD with cost and benefit estimates for
adopting the 2021 IECC from a baseline of the 2009 IECC and has made
publicly available estimates for adopting the 2021 IECC from a 2018
IECC baseline. For states that have adopted standards equivalent to the
2012 or 2015 IECC, HUD and USDA use the estimates for the adoption from
the 2018 to the 2021 IECC, as the 2012 and 2015 IECC both are closer to
the 2018 IECC than the 2009 IECC.
[[Page 33145]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.103
Each successor edition since the 2009 IECC has increased energy
efficiency and offered cost savings to consumers in varying degrees:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\75\ Sources: DOE, 2012: https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-22068.pdf; 2015: https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/2015_IECC_FinalDeterminationAnalysis.pdf; 2018: https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/EERE-2018-BT-DET-0014-0008.pdf, 2021: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EERE-2021-BT-DET-0010-0006.
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(1) The 2012 IECC was published in May 2011, representing a
significant increase of 23.9 percent in energy cost savings over the
2009 IECC.76 77 Key changes in the 2012 edition included:
increased stringency for opaque thermal envelope components;
clarification that sun rooms enclosing conditioned spaces must meet the
thermal envelope provisions; requirements for a blower door test to
determine the air leakage rate and limits for the number of prescribed
air changes per hour (ACH) per climate zone; insulation to at least R-3
for hot water piping; and an increase in the minimum number of high-
efficacy electrical lighting sources from 50 percent to 75 percent of
permanent fixtures or lamps in permanent fixtures.78 79 This
translated into an estimated $500 or 32.1 percent annual cost savings
per unit over the 2006 IECC.\80\
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\76\ U.S. Department of Energy, ``Updating State Residential
Building Energy Efficiency Codes: notice of Final Determination.''
77 FR 29322 (May 17, 2012). https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2012-05-17/pdf/2012-12000.pdf.
\77\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Cost-Effectiveness
Analysis of the 2009 and 2012 IECC Residential Provisions--Technical
Support Document, U.S. Department of Energy, PNNL-22068, April 2013.
https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-22068.pdf.
\78\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Guide to the Changes
between the 2009 and 2012 International Energy Conservation Code,
U.S. Department of Energy, PNNL-21435, May 2012. https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-21435.pdf.
\79\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Energy savings for a
Typical New Residential Dwelling Unit Based on the 2009 and 2012
IECC as Compared to the 2006 IECC, Letter Report, PNNL-88603, April
2013, Table 1.
\80\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Cost-Effectiveness
Analysis of the 2009 and 2012 IECC Residential Provisions--Technical
Support Document, U.S. Department of Energy, PNNL-22068, Tables 8.1
and 8.4, April 2013.
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(2) The 2015 IECC was substantially the same as the 2012 edition,
with a modest increase in energy efficiency of just 0.87 percent over
the 2012 IECC.\81\ Revisions in this edition included: revised
provisions for existing buildings; removal of exemption for historic
buildings; revised requirements for building envelope and duct leakage
testing and hot water distribution efficiency. The most notable
innovation was the introduction of a new Energy Rating Index (ERI)
performance path that utilizes the Home Energy Rating System (HERS)
Index.
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\81\ U.S. Department of Energy, Determination Regarding Energy
Efficiency Improvements in the 2015 International Energy
Conservation Code, 80 FR 33250 (June 11, 2015), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2015/06/11/2015-14297/determination-regarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-the-2015-international-energy-conservation.
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(3) The 2018 IECC also saw limited changes to the prior edition. In
its efficiency determination for the 2018 IECC, DOE found site energy
savings over the prior code of just 1.68 percent; 1.91 percent source
energy savings; and 1.97 percent annual energy cost savings.\82\ Of the
47 changes in this edition, most were expected to have a neutral impact
on energy efficiency, with two changes making up most of the energy
savings associated with the updated code: (1) lower fenestration U-
factors in Climate Zones 3 through 8, and (2) an increase in high-
efficacy lighting from 75 percent to 90 percent of permanently
installed fixtures in all climate zones.
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\82\ DOE, ``Final Determination Regarding energy efficiency
Improvements in the 2018 International Energy Conservation Code,''
84 FR 67435 (Dec. 10, 2019), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2019/12/10/2019-26550/final-determination-regarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-the-2018-international-energy;
also PNNL for DOE, Energy Savings Analysis: 2018 IECC for
Residential Buildings, November 2019, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/EERE-2018-BT-DET-0014-0008.pdf.
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2. 2021 IECC--Overview
As required by statute, this notice addresses the most recent
edition of the IECC, the 2021 IECC.\83\ In its efficiency determination
for this standard, DOE determined that this edition would result in
significant savings relative to the 2018 IECC: 9.4 percent savings in
annual site energy use intensity (EUI); 8.8 percent in annual source
EUI; 8.7 percent in annual energy cost savings; and 8.7 percent
reduction in carbon emissions.\84\ The 2021 standard will yield a
national weighted energy cost savings of 34.4 percent over the current
USDA-HUD baseline 2009 standard.
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\83\ International Code Council, 2021 International Energy
Conservation Code, January 29, 2021. https://codes.iccsafe.org/content/IECC2021P1.
\84\ 86 FR 40529 (July 28, 2021), Analysis Regarding Energy
Efficiency Improvements in the 2021 International Energy
Conservation Code (IECC) https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/07/28/2021-15969/analysis-regarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-the-2021-international-energy-conservation-code;
also PNNL, Preliminary Energy Savings Analysis: 2021 IECC for
Residential Buildings, April 2021, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/2021_IECC_PreliminaryDetermination_TSD.pdf.
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In their qualitative assessment of the code, PNNL identified a
total of 114 approved code changes or addenda in this edition of the
code over the prior edition, of which 35 will have a direct impact on
energy use in residential buildings. Of these, 29 are expected to
reduce energy use, while six are expected to increase energy use.\85\
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\85\ 79 additional changes were determined to be administrative
or impact non-energy portions of the code.
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The following are the primary technical changes in the 2021 IECC
over the previous edition:
Building Envelope. Building envelope revisions include
increased insulation requirements; more efficient U factors and Solar
Heat Gain Coefficients (SHGCs) for windows and fenestration; maximum
air leakage rate of 5 Air Changes per Hour (ACH) at 50 pascals for all
compliance paths, with 3 ACH for Climate Zones 3-8 following the
prescriptive path. Testing alternatives are provided for smaller homes
and attached single family and multifamily buildings.\86\
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\86\ AMCA International, International Energy Conservation Code:
2021 Changes, Getting Involved in the 2024 Process, May 5, 2021,
https://www.amca.org/assets/resources/public/assets/uploads/FINAL-_ICC_Webinar-_presentation_May_5__2021.pdf.
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[[Page 33146]]
Heating, Ventilation and Air Condition (HVAC). Mechanical
ventilation in Climate Zones 7 and 8 provided by a Heat Recovery
Ventilator (HRV) or Energy Recovery Ventilator (ERV) is required for
the prescriptive compliance path.\87\
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\87\ Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships, Key Changes in
the 2021 IECC for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, https://neep.org/sites/default/files/media-files/2021_iecc_one-pager_.pdf.
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Additional Efficiency Options. Additional efficiency
options in the 2021 IECC include an enhanced envelope performance
option--a 5 percent improvement in proposed home UA value (R408.2.1); a
more efficient HVAC equipment option (highlighted above); a reduced
energy use in service water heating option 0.82 EF for fossil fuel, 2.0
EF for electric fuels or 0.4 solar fraction water heater (R405.2.3); a
more efficient duct thermal distribution system option--100 percent of
ducts in conditioned space or ductless systems (R405.2.4); and an
improved air sealing and efficient ventilation option--air leakage at
3.0 ACH50 with ERV or HRV with 75 percent Sensible Recovery Efficiency
(SRE) (R405.2.5).
Lighting Changes. The efficacy value of high-efficacy
lamps increases to 70 lumens/watt (100 percent of lighting), a 10
percent increase over the 2018 standard.
Renewables. The 2021 IECC revises the definition for ``on-
site renewables'' for consistency with other national standards; adds a
definition for biogas and biomass; and requires that Renewable Energy
Certificates (RECS) be retired with the homeowner when using the ERI
compliance approach.\88\
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\88\ New Buildings Institute, 2021 IECC National Model Energy
Code (Base Codes). https://newbuildings.org/code_policy/2021-iecc-base-codes/.
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Zero Energy Appendix. In addition to these technical
changes, the 2021 IECC includes, for the first time, a Zero Energy
Appendix that requires compliance with an ERI score without renewables
and then achieving an ERI score of ``0'' with renewables. This provides
jurisdictions with an opportunity to adopt a base or stretch code that
achieves zero energy in homes and low-rise multifamily buildings.\89\
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\89\ Ibid.
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Building Electrification. While the 2021 IECC did not
include building electrification provisions in the final version of the
code, provisions are available for adoption by states as amendments to
the 2021 IECC: RE147-19, Electrification-Ready; RE126-19, Energy
Efficient Water Heating; RE107-19, Eliminate Continuous Burning Pilot
Light.
Compliance Pathways. There are three compliance pathways
in the 2021 IECC: Prescriptive, Performance, and Energy Rating Index or
ERI, which reverted to IECC 2015 levels. The prescriptive paths can
follow the R-value minimum table, the U-Factor equivalent table, or the
UA equivalent alternative. All compliance pathways now have required
Additional Efficiency Options (AEOs) to achieve five percent greater
energy efficiency than base levels. The 2021 IECC lowers the
performance path ERI scores compared to the 2018 IECC.
3. Current State Adoption of the 2021 IECC
There is typically a lag time between the publication of a new
edition of the IECC and state adoption of the code: Table 11 and Figure
1 show that, as of December 2023, while all but eight states have
adopted a version of the IECC, only five states (California,
Washington, Vermont, New Jersey, and Connecticut) have adopted the 2021
IECC or its equivalent.\90\
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\90\ California's Title 24 2019 Building Energy Efficiency
standard, Washington's 2018 State Energy Code, and Vermont's
amendments to the 2018 IECC were determined to meet or exceed the
2021 IECC.
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Overall, 41 states plus the District of Columbia have adopted a
version of the code that is equivalent to or higher than the current
HUD and USDA standard of the 2009 IECC. Of these, only 18 states plus
the District of Columbia have adopted a code above the 2009 IECC (the
2018 IECC, the 2015 IECC, or equivalent to the 2021 IECC),\91\ while 23
states have set their codes at the 2009 IECC or its equivalent. The
remaining 9 states have either adopted standards that pre-date the 2009
IECC (1 state) or have no state-wide codes (8 states).
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\91\ PNNL, State Level Residential Codes Energy Use Index, FY
2023Q2, Excel File at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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Based on historical experience and the continued consideration or
adoption of the 2021 IECC by states, it is anticipated that over time
additional states are likely to adopt the 2021 IECC, either as
published by the ICC or with amendments.
[[Page 33147]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.104
This tabulation is drawn from DOE's tracking of state adoptions of
the IECC, available at DOE's state portal at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. For the purpose of this notice, HUD
and USDA rely on the December 2023 update of the status map maintained
by DOE at this site. Figure 1 displays the state IECC adoption status
shown in Table 11.
[[Page 33148]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.105
Note that states often adopt amendments to the code as published by
the ICC. In some cases, these amendments will sufficiently alter the
IECC code as published, such that the energy performance of buildings
meeting the amended code provisions may be equivalent to that of a
prior code.
The DOE code adoption map and the adopted codes listed in Table 11
reflect DOE/PNNL's analysis of state adopted codes (including
amendments) and associated assessment of their IECC code equivalent.
Accordingly, 18 states have adopted the 2012, 2015, 2018, or 2021 IECC
with amendments and were determined by PNNL to be equivalent to the
2009 IECC. These are therefore shown in Table 11 and Figure 1 as at the
2009 IECC level.\92\ Additionally, DOE provides an analysis of the
energy use index of each state-adopted code on their state portal.\93\
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\92\ The 23 states deemed equivalent to the 2009 IECC are: AL,
GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MT, NV, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, RI, SC,
TN, UT, VA, WV, WI. See Table for a listing of these code
equivalents at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal and
``Reidential State Level Results'' Excel file at ``Available Data''
for detailed DOE/PNNL analysis.
\93\ DOE, State Portal, https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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Ohio, for example, adopted the 2018 IECC with amendments to
basement and crawl space wall R-values, air leakage rates and the
allowance to utilize framing cavities as return ducts.\94\ DOE/PNNL
determined that the Ohio code as adopted with amendments is equivalent
to the 2009 IECC.\95\ New Mexico adopted the New Mexico Energy
Conservation Code, based on the 2018 IECC, with state-specific
amendments which were determined by DOE/PNNL to yield a performance
standard equivalent to the 2009 IECC. On the other hand, if the new
code is less than one percent more efficient than the prior code then
DOE counts the newer code as equivalent to the previous code.
California has adopted its own standard, Title 24, which DOE has
determined meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC.
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\94\ ACEEE, State Scorecard Ranking, https://database.aceee.org/state/ohio.
\95\ See ``Residential State Level Results'' at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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In certain cases, home rule cities or counties within a State may
adopt a different code from the rest of the State. For example, Austin,
Texas has adopted the 2021 IECC energy code, thereby exceeding the
minimum Texas statewide code of the 2015 IECC.\96\ In instances where a
local entity has a more stringent standard, the affordability impacts
within a State will differ.\97\
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\96\ City of Austin, Building Technical Codes. https://www.austintexas.gov/department/building-technical-codes.
\97\ HUD and USDA do not maintain a list of local communities
that may have adopted a different code than their state code. See
ACEEE, State and Local Policy Database for codes adopted by
individual cities. https://database.aceee.org/city/energy-code-stringency.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
4. Estimated Impacts
Table 12 provides an estimate of the average number of units that
may be impacted annually by adoption of the 2021 IECC. HUD and USDA
used prior-year production for these programs in order to estimate
future annual production for these programs.\98\ Based on average
annual production for the three year 2019-21 period, the agencies
estimate that a total of approximately 161,700 units of HUD- and USDA-
financed or insured housing may be impacted by the 2021 IECC, of which
150,227 are in the 45 states plus DC and U.S. territories that have not
yet adopted this standard.
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\98\ Three-year averages were used (2019-21) for all programs,
except for public housing which used four-year 2016-2020 averages
since limited data were available for the three-year period. Prior-
year production data provided by program offices using internal
tracking or reporting systems.
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[[Page 33149]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.106
[[Page 33150]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.107
Table 12 includes both single family and low-rise multifamily
housing. Of the total, in the 45 states and the U.S. territories that
have not yet adopted the 2021 IECC, approximately 106,650 units are
estimated to be FHA-insured new single family homes; approximately
13,100 units are USDA Section 502 direct loans, and 1,800 units are
Section 502 guaranteed loans. The remaining single family units are
financed through the HOME program (5,000 units), HUD's Public and
Indian Housing (PIH) programs (approximately 600 units through the
Choice Neighborhoods and Capital Fund Financing Programs), and 500
units through the Housing Trust Fund program. Also included in Table 12
are some 20,200 FHA-insured multifamily housing units financed with FHA
multifamily insurance that are estimated to be low-rise multifamily and
therefore covered under the 2021 IECC.\100\ When adjusted to exclude
units in states that have already adopted codes equivalent to the 2021
IECC (California, Connecticut, New Jersey, Vermont, Washington), the
total potential number of estimated units potentially impacted
decreases to around 150,000 units.
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\99\ Estimated count of impacted units does not include the
Project-Based Voucher program. There is insufficient data on the
annual use of this program for new construction. Additionally, it is
likely that, in most cases, Project-Based Vouchers are used for new
construction projects that also rely on one or more of the other
programs included in this table.
\100\ In order to derive the number of low-rise multifamily
units, the following assumptions were made: for FHA units, 50
percent of all multifamily units are assumed to be low-rise; for
public housing units, all units coded as ``multifamily/walkup
apartments'' are assumed to be low-rise; and for HOME units, all
units in multifamily developments with less than 100 units are
assumed to be low-rise, as well as 50 percent of all units in
developments with more than 100 units.
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Note that the volume of estimated production is not evenly
distributed across the states but reflects historic demand for FHA and
USDA financing for one or more of the agencies' programs: two states,
Texas (24 percent) and Florida (14 percent), account for almost 40
percent of potentially impacted units based on prior-year production.
As noted above, Austin, Texas, has already adopted the 2021 IECC, as
have 86 other Texas home-rule jurisdictions albeit often with
amendments. Given Texas and Florida have passed more current iterations
of the IECC since 2009, and one or more areas of Texas is IECC 2021
compliant, it is possible builders will be more adaptable to
constructing in accordance with the 2021 IECC. Along with Georgia (6
percent), North Carolina (6 percent) and California (5 percent), five
states account for more than half of all potentially impacted units (56
percent). Note that historical production is used as a guide to future
production; actual state by state unit counts in the future may vary
from these estimates, based on actual supply and demand.
[[Page 33151]]
B. 2021 IECC Affordability Analysis
In this notice, HUD and USDA address two aspects of housing
affordability in assessing the impact that the revised code will have
on housing affordability. As described further below, the primary
affordability test is a life-cycle cost savings (LCC) test, i.e., the
extent to which the additional, or incremental, investments required to
comply with the revised code are cost effective inasmuch as the
additional measures pay for themselves with energy cost savings over a
typical 30-year mortgage period. A second test is whether the
incremental cost of complying with the code as a share of total
construction costs--regardless of the energy savings associated with
the investment--is affordable to the borrower or renter of the home.
Note that there may be other benefits associated with energy
efficient building codes in addition to energy cost savings. These
include increased resilience against extreme temperature events, the
potential for lowering mortgage defaults, and lowering the
disproportionate energy burden for low-moderate income households. In
addition, studies show that added energy efficiency may also yield
improved health outcomes.\101\
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\101\ See, for example, DOE, Jonathan Wilson et al, Home Rx: The
Health Benefits of Home Performance, December 2016; HUD, BRIGHT
Study Finds Improved Health at Boston Housing Authority's Old Colony
Homes, https://www.huduser.gov/portal/casestudies/study-05042017.html.
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A 2023 study from PNNL found that energy efficiency measures
improve the habitability of single family buildings during extreme cold
and extreme heat events by up to 120 percent and 140 percent,
respectively.\102\ With the frequency and intensity of extreme weather
events, particularly heatwaves, expected to increase, the improved
resilience of energy efficient buildings will save lives. In 2020, 34
million U.S. households, or 27 percent of all households, reported
difficulty paying their energy bills or kept their homes at an unsafe
temperature because of energy cost concerns, according to the Energy
Information Administration.\103\ In some cases, homes perform so poorly
that the energy bills impact spending choices about allocating
financial resources for other necessities, like food, clothing,
transportation, and medical care.\104\ Excessive energy bills can
create a snowball effect, leading to mortgage defaults, missed
opportunities to participate in job training and educational
opportunities, and family separations, ultimately increasing wealth
inequality. Poor-performing homes can even cause physical harm and
death in extreme heat and cold events during power outages.\105\
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\102\ Franconi, E, E Hotchkiss, T Hong, M Reiner et al. 2023.
Enhancing Resilience in Buildings through Energy Efficiency.
Richland, WA: Pacific Northwest National Laboratory. PNNL-32737, Rev
1.
\103\ Energy Information Administration, https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=51979.
\104\ https://fahe.org/wp-content/uploads/Summary-of-Issues-Facing-Rural-Housing-V1.2.pdf.
\105\ National Institutes of Health, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10249403/ PMC10249403/.
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Another benefit may be the potential for lower mortgage defaults
associated with improved energy efficiency. A study by the University
of North Carolina (UNC) Center for Community Capital and the Institute
for Market Transformation (IMT) shows a correlation between greater
energy efficiency and lower mortgage default risk for new homes. The
UNC study surveyed 71,000 Energy Star-rated homes and found that
mortgage default risks are 32 percent lower for these more energy
efficient homes than homes without Energy Star ratings.\106\
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\106\ UNC Center for Community Capital, Institute for Market
Transformation, ``Home Energy Efficiency and Mortgage Risks,'' March
2013, Available at: https://www.imt.org/uploads/resources/files/IMT_UNC_HomeEEMortgageRisksfinal.pdf.
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1. Cost Benefit Analysis and Results
The baseline analysis used for this Determination is the PNNL study
prepared for DOE, National Cost Effectiveness of the Residential
Provisions of the 2021 IECC, published in June 2021. This analysis
estimates annual energy and cost savings as well as life-cycle cost
(LCC) savings that assume initial costs are mortgaged over 30
years.\107\ The study provides an assessment of both the initial costs
as well as the long-term estimated savings and cost-benefits associated
with complying with the 2021 IECC.
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\107\ PNNL, Salcido et al, National Cost Effectiveness of the
Residential Provisions of the 2021 IECC, June 2021. https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/2021IECC_CostEffectiveness_Final_Residential.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
HUD and USDA have adopted a modified version of the DOE
methodology. These modifications include adding a supply chain cost
increase factor and energy price increase factor to adjusted for
inflation from 2020 to 2023 as well as cost and savings adjustment
factors that reflect the smaller FHA home relative to the prototypes
used in the PNNL model. Additionally, one difference in this approach
is that it does not take into account replacement costs or residual
value, which are factored in for the PNNL model. The RIA explains the
reasoning for this difference on page 25. The modifications to the DOE
methodology have been included to respond to public comments that the
HUD-USDA analysis take into account current market and economic
conditions as well as the specific features of HUD-USDA financing and
characteristics of the FHA-USDA borrower.
The LCC method used by DOE And adapted by HUD and USDA for this
final determination is a ``robust cost-benefit metric that sums the
costs and benefits of a code change over a specified time frame. LCC is
a well-known approach to assessing cost-effectiveness'' \108\ and
reflects extensive prior public comment and input. In September 2011,
DOE solicited input on their proposed cost-benefit methodology \109\
and this input was incorporated into the final methodology posted on
DOE's website in April 2012 and further updated in August
2015.110 111
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\108\ Department of Energy, National Energy and Cost Savings for
new Single- and Multifamily Homes: A Comparison of the 2006, 2009
and 2012 Editions of the IECC. April 2012, p. A-1, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2020-06/NationalResidentialCostEffectiveness_2009_2012.pdf.
\109\ 76 FR 56413 (Sep. 13, 2011).
\110\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the Department
of Energy (Z. Taylor, R. Lucas, N. Fernandez) Methodology for
Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Residential Energy Code Changes.
April 2012. Available at: https://www.energy.sc.gov/files/view/Taylor%202012.pdf.
\111\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the Department
of Energy (V. Mendon, R. Lucas, S. Goel), Cost-Effectiveness
Analysis of the 2009 and 2012 IECC Residential Provisions--Technical
Support Document. April 2013, Available at https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-22068.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For this analysis, DOE calculates energy use for new homes using
EnergyPlusT energy modeling software, Version 9.4.\112\ Two buildings
are simulated: (1) a two-story single family home, with 2,376 square
feet of conditioned floor area, excluding the conditioned basement (if
any), and a window area equal to 15 percent of the conditioned floor
area; and (2) a low-rise apartment building (a three-story multifamily
prototype with six 1,200 square-foot dwelling units per floor) with a
window area of approximately 23 percent of the exterior wall area. DOE
combines the results into a composite average dwelling unit based on
Census building permit data for each state and for eight Climate Zones.
Single family home construction is more common than low-rise
multifamily construction;
[[Page 33152]]
the results are weighted accordingly to reflect this for each Climate
Zone as well as each state.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\112\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the Department
of Energy (Z. Taylor, V. Mendon, N. Fernandez), Methodology for
Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of Residential Energy Code Changes,
August 2015, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/residential_methodology_2015.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Four heating systems are considered for modeling the energy savings
in these building prototypes: natural gas furnaces, oil furnaces,
electric heat pumps, and electric resistance furnaces. The market share
of heating system types is obtained from the U.S. Department of Energy
Residential Energy Consumption Survey (2015). Domestic water heating
systems are assumed to use the same fuel as the space heating system.
2. Limitations of Cost Savings Models
HUD and USDA are aware of studies that discuss limitations
associated with cost-savings models such as those developed by PNNL for
DOE. For example, Allcott and Greenstone suggest that ``it is difficult
to take at face value the quantitative conclusions of the engineering
analyses'' associated with these models, as they suffer from several
empirical problems. The authors cite two problems in particular. First,
engineering costs typically incorporate upfront capital costs only and
omit opportunity costs or other unobserved factors. For example, one
study found that nearly half of the investments that engineering
assessments showed in energy audits for medium-size businesses that
would have short payback periods were not adopted due to unaccounted
physical costs, risks, or opportunity costs. Second, engineering
estimates of energy savings can overstate true field returns, sometimes
by a large amount, and some engineering simulation models have still
not been fully calibrated to approximate actual returns.\113\ HUD and
USDA nevertheless believe that the PNNL-DOE model used to estimate the
savings shown in this notice represents the current state-of-the art
for such modeling, is the product of significant public comment and
input, is now the standard for all of DOE's energy code simulations and
models, and presents a reliable and validated methodology for
estimating energy code costs and benefits.
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\113\ Hunt Allcott and Michael Greenstone, ``Is there an energy
efficiency gap?'' Journal of Economic Perspectives, Volume 26,
Number 1,Winter 2012, pp. 3-28.
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3. Estimated Costs and Savings
For all 50 states and the District of Columbia, DOE estimates that
for a weighted average of both single family and low-rise multifamily
housing, the 2021 IECC saves 9.38 percent of energy costs for heating,
cooling, water heating, and lighting over the 2018 IECC.\114\ For the
purposes of this notice, DOE provided HUD and USDA with a special
tabulation that disaggregates this analysis into each building type
(single family and low-rise multifamily). The disaggregated data are
shown in Tables 13 (single family) and 14 (low-rise multifamily) for
the following data points: LCC savings, incremental cost, annual
mortgage increase, down-payment and other up-front costs, net first
year annual cash flow, years to positive cash flow, and simple payback
for the 2021 IECC in relation to the current HUD and USDA baseline of
the 2009 IECC. Tables 13 and 14 provide both national average costs and
benefits, as well as for each climate zone.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\114\ PNNL, Salcido et al., 2021.
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The United States has eight Climate Zones, further subdivided to
represent moist, dry, or marine climates, that are listed here: 1A Very
hot humid; 2A Hot Humid; 2B Hot Dry; 3A Warm Humid; 3B Warm Dry; 3C
Warm Marine; 4A Mixed Humid; 4B Mixed Dry; 4C Mixed Marine; 5A Cool
Humid; 5B Cool Dry; 6A Cold Humid; 6B Cold Dry; 7 Very Cold; and 8
Subarctic/Arctic. Zone 1 includes Hawaii, Guam, Puerto Rico, and the
Virgin Islands. Almost all of Alaska is in Zone 7.\115\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\115\ DOE, IECC climate zone map, https://basc.pnnl.gov/images/iecc-climate-zone-map.
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Tables 13 and 14 show the economics of adopting the 2021 IECC
nationally and in each Climate Zone, relative to the 2009 IECC
baseline. Table 15 shows costs and savings against the 2018 IECC
baseline. Data points provided include, incremental or first costs,
annual energy savings, increased debt service on a thirty-year
mortgage, estimated down payment and closing costs, net annual cash
flow in the first year, and simple payback on the initial
investment.\116\
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\116\ The 2009 standard is used as the primary baseline for this
analysis since, as shown in Table 11, 23 states still require a
standard equivalent to the 2009 baseline, which is also the most
recent baseline established by HUD and USDA, while eleven states and
the District of Columbia have adopted the 2018 standard. However,
Tables 19 and 20 below shows baseline data for individual states per
data provided by DOE/PNNL based on the state adoption status in
2021, which has seven states and the District of Columbia at the
2018 IECC.
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4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes for Residential Buildings
The Department of Energy assesses the energy code adopted by each
state, considering the impact of any included amendments to the
original IECC code. This analysis can be found in the ``residential
state-level results'' available for download at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. The analysis shows the energy index,
which is the modeled energy use based on the adopted energy code, for
the adopted code of each state as well as multiple versions of the
IECC. A comparison of the energy index for the IECC code and any state-
adopted version with amendments demonstrates the impact of amendments
to the code on energy efficiency.
5. Incremental or Added Costs
Tables 13 shows the average per-unit incremental cost of adopting
the 2021 IECC over the current HUD and USDA 2009 IECC baseline for
single family homes, both nationally and for each Climate Zone: a
national average of an estimated $7,229 per unit for single family
housing,\117\ ranging from a low of $3,662 in Climate Zone 1, to a high
of $8,845 in Climate Zone 8. Cost data sources used to derive these
costs include: Building Component Cost Community (BC3) data repository;
construction cost data collected by Faithful+Gould under contract with
PNNL; RS Means Residential Cost Data; National Residential Efficiency
Measures Database; and price data from nationally recognized home
supply stores.\118\
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\117\ Source: Data provided by DOE to HUD and USDA showing
disaggregated LCC Savings, Incremental Cost, and Annual Energy
Savings for single family and low-rise multifamily homes.
\118\ See for example, PNNL, Alaska Cost Effectiveness Analysis,
https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-06/AlaskaResidentialCostEffectiveness_2018.pdf.
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[[Page 33153]]
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6. Annual Cost Savings
Table 13 summarizes the first-year annual energy cost savings per
single family dwelling unit for the 2021 IECC compared to the 2009
IECC, aggregated over 16 single family residential prototype buildings
modeled by DOE/PNNL.\119\ Modeled energy savings are converted to cost
savings using the most recent residential fuel prices from DOE's Energy
Information Administration (EIA).\120\ Cost savings stated are time
zero dollars not adjusted for inflation or fuel price escalation. The
per-unit annual energy cost savings for single family homes is
estimated to be $963 per unit, ranging from $608/unit in Climate Zones
1 and 2, to a high of $2,467 in Climate Zone 8.
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\119\ For residential buildings, PNNL uses two base prototypes
to simulate (1) a single family detached house and (2) a multifamily
low-rise apartment building. These prototypes are modified to
accommodate four different heating system types and four foundation
types typically found in residential new construction. The result is
an expended set of 32 models (16 for each building type) which is
then simulated across 18 climate locations for each edition of the
IECC. This results in a set of 3,552 energy models in EnergyPlus
Version 9.5).
\120\ U.S. Energy Information Administration, Washington, D.C.
Natural Gas Prices, https://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_a_EPG0_PRS_DMcf_m.htm. Electric Power Monthly, https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.php?t=epmt_5_06_b.
Petroleum and Other Liquids. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/PET_PRI_WFR_A_EPD2F_PRS_DPGAL_W.htm..
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7. Simple Payback
Simple payback is a commonly used measure of cost effectiveness,
defined as the number of years required for the sum of the annual
returns on an investment to equal the original investment. The simple
payback for adoption of the 2021 IECC code is an estimated 7.7 years
for single family homes, ranging from 3.7 years in Climate Zone 8 to
9.2 years in Climate Zone 2.
8. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
LCC analysis computes overall cost savings per dwelling unit
resulting from implementing efficiency improvements. LCC savings are
based on the net change in overall cash flows (energy savings minus
additional costs) resulting from implementing the new code. LCC savings
are a sum over an analysis period of 30 years: future cash flows vary
from year to year and are discounted to present values using a discount
rate that accounts for the changing value of money over time. LCC is
the primary metric used by DOE to determine the cost effectiveness of
the code or specific code changes. The economic analysis assumes that
initial costs are mortgaged, and that homeowners do not take advantage
of the mortgage interest deduction since most FHA/USDA borrowers are
likely to take the standard, non-itemized tax deduction.\121\
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\121\ PNNL, Salcido et al., 2021.
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Net life cycle cost savings shown in Table 13 average $15,071 per
housing unit for adoption of the latest 2021 IECC. LCC savings vary
considerably by Climate Zone, from as low as $8,313 in Climate Zone 2
to a high of $52,078 in Climate Zone 8.
9. Consumer Cash Flows
Converting first costs and annual savings to Consumer Cash Flows is
an important component of the affordability analysis. Consumer Cash
Flow results are derived from the year-by-year calculations that
underlie LCC savings and provide an assessment of how annual cost
outlays are compensated by annual energy savings and the time required
for cumulative energy savings to exceed cumulative costs, including
both increased mortgage payments and down payment and other up-front
costs.
The financial and economic parameters used by HUD in calculating
LCC savings and annual cash flow are based on DOE's cost-effectiveness
methodology. Based on public comments, HUD has revised the original DOE
analysis to incorporate new economic parameters that better reflect
current market and economic conditions. Figure 2 shows the original and
revised parameters. These revised parameters account for significant
changes in construction, labor, and energy costs as well as several
adjustments to financing terms to better reflect HUD and USDA
borrowers.
[[Page 33154]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.109
Annual cash flow is defined as the net difference between annual
energy savings and annual cash outlays (mortgage payments, etc.),
including all tax effects but excluding up-front costs (mortgage down
payment, loan fees, etc.). Only first year net cash flow is reported:
subsequent years' cash flow will differ due to the effects of inflation
and fuel price escalation, changing income tax effects as the mortgage
interest payments decline, etc. Assuming a 5 percent, 30-year fixed
mortgage, and a 5 percent down payment, increased annual debt service
is shown in Table 13 to be an average of $439/unit, or $36.58/month,
with annual energy savings more than twice that amount: $963, or
$80.25/month. This translates into a net annual positive cash flow in
Year One of $377 or $31.42/month. Years to Positive Cash Flow, i.e.,
the number of years needed to recoup the cost of the initial down
payment and first-year debt service with annual savings, is just
eighteen months on average.
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\122\ PNNL, Salcido et al., 2021.
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10. Low-Rise Multifamily Buildings
Table 14 shows costs and savings for low-rise multifamily housing
similar to those shown in Table 13 for single family homes. The costs
and savings shown are aggregated over 16 low-rise multifamily
residential prototype buildings modeled by DOE/PNNL.\123\ The
incremental costs for this housing type, as well as associated savings,
are generally lower than for single family homes, as a result of both
differences in unit size and building type. Incremental costs average
$3,002/unit nationally, more than half of the $7,229 per unit cost for
single family housing only. Net LCC savings of $6,345 for low-rise
multifamily housing are also projected to be lower than for single
family housing only ($15,071/unit).
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\123\ See Footnote 47 for methodology for prototype buildings.
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First year increased debt service for low-rise multifamily housing
is estimated to be $182/unit, while savings are nearly three times that
amount: $403/year, for a net annual cash flow of $160/year. While costs
and savings differ, Years to Positive Cash Flow are similar to that of
single family homes (1.4 years), and the national Simple Payback
average of 7.6 years is also comparable. Simple paybacks range from a
low of 5.1 years in Climate Zone 8 to a high of 8.2 years in Climate
Zones 2 and 3. Net LCC savings vary considerably from $5,218 in Climate
Zone 2 to a high of $18,185 in Climate Zone 8. Higher incremental or
added costs typically translate into higher annual savings, with net
annual positive cash flows for year one ranging from $123 to $565.
[[Page 33155]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.110
Table 15 shows the energy savings and incremental costs of
construction for the average housing unit (average of single family and
multifamily). First costs average $2,620 per unit, well below the
average first cost of $7,229 against the 2009 baseline. As would be
expected, annual savings are similarly lower, and the resulting
national average payback is higher than the 2009 IECC--at 10.7 years
vs. 7.7 years against the 2009 IECC. Simple paybacks vary considerably
across Climate Zones, from 4.8 years in Climate Zone 1 to 16.8 years in
Climate Zone 5.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.111
11. Additional analysis--6 Percent Mortgage Interest Rate and 3.5
Percent Down Payment
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\124\ HUD does not have PNNL estimates of energy savings
disaggregated by single family and multifamily for the 2021 IECC
relative to the 2018 standard. HUD computed a weighted average of
the incremental cost of construction. The weights used by PNNL in
their analysis are 66 percent for single family units and 34 percent
for low-rise multifamily units.
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Table 16 provides cash flow analysis for single family housing
using a 3.5 percent downpayment consistent with minimum FHA
requirements, and a 6.5 percent nominal mortgage interest rate
predicted to be in place at the end of 2024 (compared to 5% average
downpayment and 5.3 percent mortgage interest rates used in Tables 13-
15, above). The cash flows are similar to the prior analysis, with
positive cash flows ranging from less than a year to 2.8 years and
simple paybacks below 10 years.
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12. Cash Flows for Single Family and Low-Rise Multifamily
HUD and USDA rely on a 30-year term for the loan based on guidance
from DOE. Tables 13 and 14 show net life-cycle costs of $15,071 (single
family) and $6,345 (low-rise multifamily) for the 2021 IECC over the
2009 IECC. In both cases, positive cashflows occur by the end of the
second year. Table 17 and 18 present the cumulative, present value cash
flow for each building type at the one-, two-, five-, 10-, 20-, and 30-
year marks as well as with no loan. The tables show cash flows for the
national average as well as each climate zone.
LCC savings for periods of less than 30 years also show positive
cash flows. At the 10-year mark, the national savings are estimated to
be $2,515 over the 2009 IECC and $1,076 over the 2018 IECC.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.113
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[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.114
12. Appraisals of Energy Efficiency Improvements
In this section of the determination, we address the question of
home appraisals, and the extent to which they fully value energy
efficiency improvements. As noted in the response to public comments
received on this topic, the residential appraisal system in the U.S. is
not generally set up to fully assign a contributory value to increased
energy efficiency of a home, particularly in the absence of sales
comparisons, in part because of imperfect information--the level of
energy efficiency is not typically disclosed at the time of home
purchase, unless the home has a HERS rating, or it has an energy
efficient certification such as Energy Star or Zero Energy Ready Homes.
In addition to information availability necessary to identify and
develop the contributory value of energy efficient measures in a
residential appraisal, the valuation requires a market recognizable
response, appraiser technical expertise and training, and underwriter
recognition of the approaches, methods and techniques applied in
support of the conclusions.
As discussed in the comments section of this notice, however, there
are several mitigating factors, as well as emerging trends that
indicate that tools are available to the appraiser that when properly
applied allow for adjustments to as-is valuations. In addition, studies
of sales prices in Washington, DC and other markets show that energy
efficient homes command higher sales prices.\125\ A review of sales
prices of FHA homes for the past four years relative to appraised
values show that a significant share--32 percent--are valued at more
than $5,000 or more above the sales price, thereby allowing a
significant margin for borrowers to accommodate the estimated increase
in value associated with the 2021 IECC. There is also increasing use of
the MLS that have ``green'' fields including energy certifications,
HERS ratings, and in some cases utility costs associated with a home
(existing homes), which provide both lenders and appraisers with the
necessary information needed to incorporate in the home valuation. In
addition, while still underutilized, tools such as the Green Addendum
that is available to appraisers and can be filled out by HERS raters
(or even the homeowner) are available to identify the energy features
of a home. See Section A.5 in the Comments section of this notice for a
discussion of these issues. HUD and USDA plan to implement a robust
training and technical assistance program for both appraisers and
lenders to maximize the use of accurate and reliable valuation methods
and will work with the rosters of FHA- and USDA-approved appraisers to
provide such training.
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\125\ Adomatis, Sandra, ``What is Green Worth? Unveiling High
Performance Home Premiums in Washington DC,'' September 2015,
https://doee.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/ddoe/service_content/attachments/2015_HighPerformance%20Home%20Valuation%20Report_FINAL.pdf.
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14. State-Level Results 126 127
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\126\ State-level results are based on PNNL analyses on the
cost-effectiveness of the 2021 IECC for residential buildings in
each state. As such, Tables 19 and 20 present the cost-effectiveness
of the 2021 IECC for each state based on their adopted energy code
in July 2021. States that have revised their energy code
requirements since July 2021 should look to other states in the same
climate zone with the same energy code requirements for estimated
costs and savings.
\127\ State results use state-specific property tax rates
provided in the PNNL analyses on the cost-effectiveness of the 2021
IECC for residential buildings in each state instead of the national
property tax rate of 1.5 percent.
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Table 19 provides a state-by-state breakout of estimated costs and
savings, for single family homes only. This table provides a more
granular breakout of estimated costs and savings than the national and
Climate Zone averages shown in Table 13 above, using the HUD and USDA
2009 IECC baseline for those states that have not yet adopted this
standard or its equivalent as well as a 2018 IECC baseline for the 7
states plus the District of Columbia that have adopted the 2018 IECC or
its equivalent.128 129 All states have positive LCC savings
and meet the necessary affordability requirements.
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\128\ Cost benefit data are not available for three states
(California, Washington, and Oregon). According to DOE, these codes
deviate significantly from the model codes and
as a result DOE has historically not analyzed those states.
\129\ The 2018 data shown in Tables 19 and 20 are aggregated
single family and low-rise multifamily data adjusted for the
weighted averages used by PNNL for the 2009 IECC.
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DOE did not provide HUD and USDA with a cost effectiveness analysis
for the U.S. territories--American Samoa, Guam, North Mariana Islands,
Puerto Rico, and U.S. Virgin Islands. In situations without a state-or
territory-specific cost effectiveness analysis, the cost effectiveness
analysis for the climate zone is used to determine affordability. As
shown in Table 13, climate zone 1, the climate zone for each of the
U.S. territories, has LCC savings of $10,774, which meets the
affordability requirements. The climate zone also has an incremental
cost of $3,662, annual energy savings of $608, and a simple payback
period of 6.2 years.
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[[Page 33159]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.116
Incremental costs for adoption of the 2021 IECC in those states
currently at the 2009 IECC or its equivalent range from a low of $3,046
(Hawaii) to a high of $11,523 (Alaska), with most states typically in
the $6,000 range. Annual energy savings exceed added debt service in
all states with energy savings ranging from a low of $564 (Florida) to
a high of $2,849 (Alaska).
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\130\ Current code is set at the 2009 IECC, the current HUD
requirement, for states at or below the 2009 IECC based on the
standard adopted by each state as of July 2021, which was when PNNL
conducted their state analysis for the 2021 IECC. States that have
since adopted the 2021 IECC show no impact as they current require
the proposed standard. As shown in Table 11, some states have
adopted a state code that is below the current HUD/USDA standard
(2009 IECC) or have not yet adopted any state code.
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Both incremental costs and savings for the 2021 IECC in the 11
states plus the District of Columbia that have adopted the 2018 IECC
are typically lower than for those at the 2009 IECC baseline. New York,
for example, shows an added cost of $3,837/unit for adoption of the
2021 IECC relative to its current 2018 baseline, $495 in annual
estimated savings, yielding LCC savings of $7,782.
15. Total Costs and Benefits
Table 20 provide estimated up-front costs, annual energy cost
savings, and life cycle cost savings for the 2021 IECC for all 50
states and the District of Columbia, weighted by the estimated share of
single family and low-rise multifamily units potentially impacted by
the adoption of the 2021 IECC. As previously shown in Table 12, an
estimated 140,000 single family and low-rise multifamily units would be
impacted annually by this code if adopted today. By multiplying the
incremental cost/unit per state by the number of units estimated likely
to be impacted, the total cost of implementing the 2021 IECC is
estimated at $605.4 million, total savings are estimated at $2.1
billion, and net life-cycle cost savings of $1.3 billion.\131\
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\131\ Net LCC savings of $1.3 billion are based on life-cycle
costs of $770 million and life-cycle savings of $2.1 billion over
the 30-year period.
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[[Page 33161]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.118
This LCC figure covers a single year's cohort of HUD and USDA
financed housing. Annual effects will increase as more cohorts are
added to the stock of new HUD- and USDA-assisted, insured, or
guaranteed energy-efficient housing. In the second year, with two
cohorts in place, there could be a stream of almost $150 million
(future value) of energy savings. The number of units affected every
year will decline as states update their standards to the 2021 IECC, or
industry adopts the prescribed above-code standards. Thus, we expect
the aggregate annual incremental effects to taper off. The maximum
annual effect of all cohorts is not likely to exceed somewhere between
three or four times the annual effect of a single-year cohort. While a
new code edition is typically published every three years, since HUD
and USDA must consider the affordability and availability impacts of
each edition when it is published, in this notice, LCC savings cover
one year's cohort. See ``Aggregate Incremental Impacts of IECC Update''
in the Regulatory Impact Analysis (p.44) for further discussion.
The Regulatory Impact Analysis at www.regulations.gov provides an
estimated first cost of $553 million, annual energy savings of $73
million, and net LCC savings that range from $972 million (7 percent
real discount factor) to $1.48 billion (3 percent real discount
factor). (See RIA Figures 20 and 21).
C. Final Affordability Determination--2021 IECC
Based on the analysis provided above, HUD and USDA have determined
that adoption of the 2021 IECC will not negatively impact the
affordability of homes covered by the statute. This conclusion
recognizes the profile of FHA borrowers, who according to FHA's 2021
Annual Report are typically first-time home buyers (84 percent) who are
more likely than repeat buyers to be especially price sensitive.
While the national average incremental cost shown in Table 13 of
adopting this standard is $7,229, this represents a modest 2.2 percent
increase in the median cost of $330,000 for a new FHA-insured home in
2023. In all cases this translates into an increase in the downpayment
and other first costs, on average, of $445, which represents
approximately 0.13 percent of the median FHA-insured new energy
efficient home mortgage.\132\
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\132\ Average USDA Section 502 Direct Loan 2018-20 of $191,100,
and of Section 502 Guaranteed Loan of $210,700. Incremental cost of
$7,229 equals 3.0 percent and 2.8 percent respectively of these
loans; down payment and other upfront costs are 0.28 percent and
0.26 percent. For average FHA new home mortgage of $363,000 (2023),
added first cost equals 2.0 percent, average down payment and other
upfront costs equals 0.15 percent.
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Unlike other added costs associated with the home purchase
transaction, these incremental costs yield significant cost savings to
the borrower. As shown in Tables 13-15, cash flows are extremely
favorable for all types of housing covered by the IECC (single family
and low-rise multifamily), for the 2021 IECC against both the 2009 IECC
and the 2018 IECC baselines, in all Climate Zones, and for both life
cycle cost savings as well as first year savings to the consumer. In
all cases, annual energy savings in Year One exceed increases in debt
service. Using the national average for the 2021 IECC over the 2009
IECC as a base case, as shown in Table 13, debt service increases
average just $36/month ($439/year) for net positive cash flows of $31/
month ($377/year) after debt service. Consumers are expected to see
energy savings of $963 annually, and a net positive cash flow of $377
in the first year. On a life cycle basis, consumers are projected to
save $25,100 in energy bills over the life of a typical 30-year
mortgage, and a net life cycle savings (after costs) of $15,071. Years
to positive
[[Page 33162]]
cash flow range average 1.5 years and range from less than six months
to 2.5 years depending on Climate Zone. The simple payback--the years
required to recoup the full cost of the code update--averages 7.7 years
and is less than 10 years in all Climate Zones, ranging from a low of
3.7 years to a high of 9.2 years.
While there is likely to be variability in actual cash flows
depending on energy use associated with family size and behavior, the
data shows that on average the adoption of these measures are likely to
improve overall affordability in light of these positive cash flows.
While the cash flows and lifetime cost savings are positive, an
additional affordability consideration is whether increased down
payment costs due to the added or incremental cost will negatively
impact home buyers with regard to qualifying for a mortgage, or to meet
mortgage down payment requirements. This is especially important for
first-time home buyers who typically have lower cash availability for
down payments. As shown in Table 13, HUD estimates increased average
down payment and other up-front costs of $550, ranging from $279 to
$673 for FHA-insured mortgages (varying by Climate Zone).\133\ This is
based on an assumed average 5 percent down payment.
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\133\ Average price in 2023 for all FHA-insured purchases,
including existing homes, was $363,000.
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HUD and USDA do not view these additional downpayment requirements
as a barrier to qualifying for financing: a borrower purchasing a
median FHA new energy code-compliant home of $337,200 will need an
additional downpayment of $360 (5 percent down) plus an additional $190
for variable closing costs, including $126 (1.75 percent) for the
Upfront Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP) for a total of $550. A cash-
constrained borrower may be able to finance the Upfront MIP in the
mortgage and in doing so would still be well above the minimum FHA down
payment requirement of 3.5 percent. Amortizing this amount will add a
nominal additional monthly mortgage payment, yet result in an average
of $80 per month or $963 a year in energy savings from this investment.
The borrower who is already contributing the minimum 3.5 percent
downpayment required by FHA will need an average of an additional $252
down payment (3.5 percent of $7,229 added average cost) over the
$11,550 downpayment required for a non-energy code compliant home. In
the event that the borrower is not able to contribute this additional
cash above the minimum 3.5 percent downpayment, we note the large
number of down payment assistance programs that may be available to
borrowers to close this gap.\134\ For one program, the USDA Section 502
Direct Loan Program which serves low-income borrowers with 50-80
percent incomes, there is a zero down payment requirement; for these
borrowers the incremental down payment will by default present no
affordability challenges. Longer amortization schedules (up to 38 years
for up to 60 percent AMI borrowers) can also be used to lower monthly
payments for Direct Loan borrowers if needed.
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\134\ See, for example, https://nwhomepartners.org/get-ready-help-for-homebuyers/down-payment-help/, or https://www.energy.gov/scep/slsc/low-income-community-energy-solutions.
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Note that energy costs and savings are generally not factored into
current underwriting practices for single family mortgages, i.e., while
positive cash flows related to improved energy efficiency will be
realized, they are not specifically included in the Principal Interest,
Taxes, and Insurance (PITI) debt-to-income ratios typically used by
lenders to qualify borrowers. Multifamily underwriting, on the other
hand, does take into account energy savings: FHA offers the Green
Mortgage Insurance Premium to multifamily borrowers who build to a
green building standard, which may include the most recent energy code
as a mandatory element, or may offer additional points if the building
meets or exceeds the latest IECC or ASHRAE 90.1 standard.
Equity Impacts
The Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) that accompanies this notice
includes an extensive equity analysis, which discusses the
disproportionate energy burden experience by low-income borrowers--and
conversely the increased benefits likely to be realized by low-income
borrowers from increased efficiency. See the Equity Impacts section of
the RIA (p.98) at www.regulations.gov.
Lower-income households face disproportionately higher energy
burdens; they spend a higher share of their gross household income on
energy costs.\135\ Two-thirds of low-income households earning up to
200 percent of the federal poverty level face high energy burdens,
spending more than 6 percent of their income on energy bills. Black,
Hispanic, Native American, and older adult households, as well as
families residing in manufactured housing and low-income households
with a person with a disability, experience disproportionately high
energy burdens.\136\
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\135\ https://www.energy.gov/scep/slsc/low-income-community-energy-solutions.
\136\ Drehobl, A.L. Ross, and R. Ayala. 2020. How High Are
Household Energy Burdens? Washington, DC: American Council for an
Energy-Efficient Economy.
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Since increasing energy efficient codes will lower the energy
burden for buyers of energy efficient homes, more efficient codes will
at the same time be most beneficial to lower-income households. These
codes typically require added first costs, but HUD and USDA single
family insured or guaranteed programs include mitigating factors which
may make this investment more affordable to eligible borrowers, e.g.,
lower down payment requirements (3.5 percent for FHA-backed mortgages
compared to 20 percent required for conventional financing without
mortgage insurance), as well as more flexible underwriting requirements
such as lower allowable credit scores. USDA's Direct Loan program
serves an underserved market, very low or extremely low-income
borrowers in rural areas, through no-or low-down payment requirements,
as well as significant interest rate subsidies. FHA's low-rise
multifamily housing serves a renter population that is not directly
responsible for any additional first costs.
The overall conclusion provided in the RIA concerning the equity
impacts of a minimum energy standard is that lower-income households
will benefit more from the existence of energy-efficient housing but
may be challenged in their ability to address first costs. Empirical
work has shown that residential energy is a necessary good, but that
reducing its cost through energy efficiency requires an additional
investment that lower-income households may not have the disposable
income to accommodate. If, however, the notice encourages the supply of
energy efficiency in the affordable housing stock, then low-income
households will gain. Precise impacts are likely to vary by housing
market and climate zone.
[[Page 33163]]
IV. Final Determination--ASHRAE 90.1-2019
Overview
EISA requires HUD to consider the adoption of revisions to ASHRAE
90.1 for HUD-assisted multifamily programs.\137\ Published and revised
every three years in coordination with the publication schedule of the
IECC, the standard provides minimum requirements for the energy-
efficient design of commercial buildings, including residential
buildings with more than three stories.\138\
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\137\ USDA multifamily programs are not covered by the Act.
\138\ Standard 90.1 is published in October of the year two
years before the year listed for the IECC, to allow the latest
version of standard 90.1 to be submitted to the IECC for inclusion
in the commercial chapter of the IECC.
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ASHRAE 90.1 includes several compliance pathways. The first is the
prescriptive path, which establishes energy-related criteria for
individual building components, including minimum insulation levels,
maximum lighting power, and controls for lighting and heating,
ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration systems. Some
requirements are considered mandatory, even when one of the optional
paths is utilized. ASHRAE 90.1 also includes two optional whole-
building performance paths. The first is the Energy Cost Budget method,
which allows the designer to trade off compliance among various code
requirements, using established energy modeling protocols. A building
is deemed in compliance when the annual energy cost of the proposed
design is no greater than the annual energy cost of the reference
building design (baseline). ASHRAE 90.1 also includes a second
performance approach, the Performance Rating Method in Appendix G.
Appendix G has been used to rate the performance of buildings that
exceed the requirements of Standard 90.1 for above-code programs, such
as LEED, Green Globes, ASHRAE Standard 189.1, the International Green
Construction Code, the National Green Building Standard, and other
above-code programs.
1. Current HUD and USDA Standard and Subsequent Revisions
In their May 2015 Final Determination, HUD and USDA established the
2007 edition of ASHRAE 90.1 (ASHRAE 90.1-2007) as the minimum standard
for HUD-assisted multifamily properties. ASHRAE has revised the code
four times since the publication of the 2007 edition. ASHRAE 90.1-2010
was published in October 2010. There were 56 changes to the 2007
edition code with a positive impact on energy efficiency, including
revised requirements for the building envelope, HVAC systems,
commissioning, lighting, and power.\139\ DOE determined that the ASHRAE
90.1-2010 code would yield national energy cost savings of 7.72 percent
in mid-rise apartment buildings and 6.99 percent in high-rise apartment
buildings over the previous 2007 code.\140\
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\139\ A ``positive change'' is defined as a change to the code
that results in increased energy efficiency. Other changes might
include items that are either savings-neutral, or, in rare cases,
may lower energy efficiency.
\140\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the Department
of Energy, Cost-effectiveness of ASHRAE Standard 90.1-2010 Compared
to ASHRAE Standard 90.1-2007, May 2013, Tables C.2, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-22043.pdf.
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The next edition, ASHRAE 90.1-2013, published in October 2013,
included 52 changes over the 2010 edition, most of which were
determined by DOE to be relatively minor. Only six were applicable to
residential buildings, including improved lighting controls and
decreased lighting power densities, increased building envelope
requirements for ``opaque assemblies and fenestration,'' and increased
efficiency requirements for smaller air conditioners and heat
pumps.\141\ These amendments resulted in an average energy savings of
5.4 percent in mid-rise apartment buildings and 6.9 percent in high-
rise multifamily buildings (site energy) over ASHRAE 90.1-2010.\142\
Cost savings were estimated by DOE to be 5.0 percent for mid-rise
apartments and 8.7 percent for high-rise apartments.
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\141\ PNNL, National Cost-effectiveness of ANSI/ASHRAE/IES
Standard 90.1-2013, January 2015, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-23824.pdf.
\142\ U.S. Department of Energy, Determination Regarding Energy
Efficiency Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2013:
Energy Standard for Buildings, Except Low-Rise Residential Building,
Table IV.5, 79 FR 57900 (Sep. 26, 2014), https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2014/09/26/2014-22882/determination-regarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-ansiashraeies-standard-901-2013-energy. For more detailed analysis,
see PNNL, ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2013 Determination of Energy
Savings: Quantitative Analysis, August 2014. Available at https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-23479.pdf.
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The following edition, ASHRAE 90.1-2016, yielded an additional 3.6
percent site energy savings for mid-rise apartment buildings, and 4.0
percent for high-rise apartment buildings.\143\ Energy cost savings
were estimated by DOE to be 3.9 percent and 5.1 percent respectively
over the 2013 edition for these two building types.
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\143\ PNNL/DOE Preliminary Energy Savings Analysis, ANSI/ASHRAE/
IES Standard 90.1-2016, June 2017, https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2017/07/f35/Preliminary_90.1-2016_Energy_Savings_Analysis.pdf.
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DOE's quantitative analysis concluded that ASHRAE 90.1-2019 for
mid-rise and high-rise multifamily buildings (representing 11.65
percent of all commercial buildings) would yield an additional site
energy savings of 2.65 percent over the 2016 edition, and energy cost
savings (Energy Cost Index (ECI)) of 2.5 percent.144 145 146
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\144\ Op cit., PNNL, Energy Savings Analysis, July 2021.
\145\ PNNL, Impacts of Model Building Energy Codes--Interim
Update, July 21, 2021, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-31437.pdf. For all commercial
buildings, DOE estimates national site energy savings of 4.7 percent
and energy cost savings of approximately 4.3 percent.
\146\ 86 FR 40543 (July 28, 2021), Final Determination Regarding
Energy Efficiency Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-
2019, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2021/07/28/2021-15971/final-determination-regarding-energy-efficiency-improvements-in-ansiashraeies-standard-901-2019.
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Tables 21 and 22 show the changes in incremental costs for each
code cycle since the 2007 edition. Table 21 shows that per square foot
costs increased for the first two cycles (2010 and 2013) in a prototype
mid-rise apartment building modeled by PNNL in five representative
climate zones. In 2013, for example, the incremental cost of complying
with ASHRAE 90.1-2019 ranged from just $0.17/sf to $0.69/sf, or 0.14 to
0.59 percent of total building costs. In contrast, the last two code
cycles (both 2016 and 2019) have seen incremental cost savings rather
than cost increases as a result of complying with these codes. In all
cases, the incremental cost, whether a cost increase or a cost savings,
is a small fraction of the total per building first cost ($111/sf in
2010 to $218/sf in 2019).
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Table 22 shows building-level incremental cost or cost savings for
each code cycle since 2007. In Climate Zone 2A (Tampa) for example, the
incremental cost for the prototype mid-rise building was estimated to
be $20,858 and $5,711 for the 2010 and 2013 editions respectively,
followed by a combined savings of $30,167 in the following 2016 and
2019 codes.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.120
2. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Overview
This notice addresses ASHRAE 90.1-2019, which was the most recently
published edition of ASHRAE 90.1 at the time of drafting the
preliminary determination. In its qualitative analysis of the code, DOE
identified a total of 88 changes, or addenda, to ASHRAE 90.1-
2016.147 148 Twenty-nine changes were determined to have a
positive impact on energy efficiency (i.e., yield energy savings).
These include: increased requirement for building vestibules, removal
of data processing centers from exceptions to HVAC requirements,
removal of hotel room exceptions to HVAC requirements, modification of
demand-controlled ventilation requirements, modification of fan power
limitations, modification of retail lighting requirements, modification
of cooling tower testing requirements, modification of commercial
boiler requirements, modification of part load fan requirements,
modification of opaque envelope requirements, and modification of
fenestration envelope requirements.
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\147\ Pacific Northwest National Laboratory for the U.S.
Department of Energy, Energy Savings Analysis: ANSI/ASHRAE/IES
Standard 90.1-2019, July 21, 2021, https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/Standard_90.1-2019_Final_Determination_TSD.pdf.
\148\ 148DOE determined that 59 of the 88 addenda will have a
neutral impact on overall building efficiency; these included
editorial changes, changes to reference standards, changes to
alternative compliance paths, and other changes to the text of the
standard that may improve the usability of the standard, but do not
generally improve or degrade the energy efficiency of the building.
Changes with impacts which do not become effective within three
years from the publication of Standard 90.1-2019 (i.e., until a
cutoff date of December 31, 2022), are also considered as having no
impact within the context of this analysis.
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[[Page 33165]]
On March 6, 2024, DOE published an affirmative efficiency
determination for ASHRAE 90.1-2022, which has additional energy
savings.\149\ The 2022 edition includes 89 addenda in total, of which
39 are expected to decrease energy use. With the publication of DOE's
affirmative efficiency determination as required under the Energy
Conservation and Policy Act, each state is now required to review the
provisions of their commercial building code regarding energy
efficiency, and, as necessary, update their codes to meet or exceed
Standard 90.1-2022. This determination considered only ASHRAE 90.1-2019
because that was the most recent determination available to HUD and
USDA at the time of developing the preliminary determination.\150\
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\149\ Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Office, 2024-03-06
Determination Regarding Energy Efficiency Improvements in ANSI/
ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2022; Notification of determination.
https://www.regulations.gov/document/EERE-2023-BT-DET-0017-0001.
\150\ See ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-2022 Changes for list of
amendments. www.ashrae.org/technical-resources/bookstore/ansi-ashrae-ies-standard-90-1-2022-changes.
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3. Current State Adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019
Table 23 shows the current adoption status of ASHRAE 90.1 for mid-
rise or high-rise multifamily buildings. As of December 2023, ten
states and the District of Columbia have adopted ASHRAE 90.1-2019. A
total of 33 states and the District of Columbia have adopted an ASHRAE
90.1 standard that is above the current HUD and USDA standard (one of
the 2010, 2013, 2016, or 2019 editions), while 17 states have adopted
codes that are currently equivalent to or below the current HUD and
USDA standard or have no statewide codes.\151\ Additionally, DOE
provides an analysis of the energy use index of each state-adopted code
on their state portal.\152\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\151\ DOE, Status of State Energy Code Adoption--Commercial,
https://www.energycodes.gov/status/commercial. Note that the codes
shown in Table 23 and Figure 3 represent DOE/PNNL's Determination of
the standard that the state-adopted code is equivalent to,
reflecting amendments that may have been adopted by each state.
\152\ DOE, State Portal, https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal.
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[[Page 33166]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.121
[[Page 33167]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.122
4. Analysis of Adopted State Energy Codes for Commercial Buildings
As with residential buildings, the Department of Energy assesses
the energy code adopted by each state for commercial buildings. This
analysis can be found in the ``commercial state-level results''
available for download at https://www.energycodes.gov/state-portal. The
analysis presents the energy index for each state-adopted code,
including any amendments, as well as each version of ASHRAE 90.1. A
comparison of the energy index for the amended codes to that of their
code efficiency category demonstrates the impact of each amendment on
energy efficiency.
5. Impacted Multifamily Housing
Table 24 provides the estimated number of new mid-rise or high-rise
multifamily units that are estimated to be impacted annually by the
proposed Determination on ASHRAE 90.1-2019. Using a three-year average
(2019 to 2021) annual production for each program, HUD preliminarily
estimates that a total of approximately 15,000 new mid-or high-rise
multifamily units (four or more stories) will be impacted annually in
the 40 states that had not yet adopted ASHRAE 90.1-2019. This includes
approximately 11,900 FHA-insured multifamily units, 300 public housing
units, and 2,000 HOME- and 300 HTF-financed units. No USDA-guaranteed
multifamily units are impacted since these are not covered under this
notice.
[[Page 33168]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.123
[[Page 33169]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.124
B. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Affordability Analysis
1. Cost Benefit Analysis
In its Final Determination of improved energy efficiency for
commercial buildings, including multifamily buildings, DOE completes
both a ``qualitative'' analysis and a ``quantitative'' analysis to
assess increased efficiency of ASHRAE Standard 90.1.\153\ In addition
to a quantitative and qualitative analysis of the new code, PNNL
publishes a cost benefit analysis of each of the codes, which considers
the added, or incremental cost for the new standard. In addition, PNNL
has published its methodology for evaluating the cost-effectiveness of
commercial energy code changes, including multifamily buildings, and
that methodology is used by HUD and USDA for this determination.\154\
For more detail on the methodology developed by DOE for their cost-
benefit analysis, see PNNL's 2015 cost-effectiveness report.\155\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\153\ 86 FR 40543 (July 28, 2021), Final Determination Regarding
Energy Efficiency Improvements in ANSI/ASHRAE/IES Standard 90.1-
2019, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-07-28/pdf/2021-15971.pdf.
\154\ PNNL, Methodology for Evaluating Cost-Effectiveness of
Commercial Energy Code Changes, January 2015, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/external/technical_reports/PNNL-23923.pdf.
\155\ Ibid.
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Evaluating cost-effectiveness requires three primary steps: (1)
evaluating the energy and energy cost savings of code changes, (2)
evaluating the incremental and replacement costs related to the
changes, and (3) determining the cost-effectiveness of energy code
changes based on those costs and savings over time. The DOE methodology
estimates the energy impact by simulating the effects of the code
change(s) on typical new buildings, assuming both old and new code
provisions are implemented fully and correctly. The methodology does
not estimate rates of code adoption or compliance. Cost-effectiveness
is defined primarily in terms of LCC evaluation, although the DOE
methodology includes several metrics intended to assist states
considering adoption of new codes.
2. Building Prototypes
The basis for DOE's ASHRAE 90.1 cost-benefit analysis are16
prototype building models representing different commercial sector
building types. Of the 16 prototypes modeled by DOE, two are
multifamily buildings-a 4-floor mid-rise apartment building and a 10-
floor high-rise apartment building. Table 25 provides detailed
characteristics of the mid-rise prototype.
[[Page 33170]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.125
3. ASHRAE 90.1-2019 Incremental Costs
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\156\ PNNL, Impacts of Standard 90.1-2007 for Commercial
Buildings at State Level, https://www.pnnl.gov/main/publications/exter00nal/technical_reports/PNNL-18544.pdf.
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Table 26 provides annual cost savings, added construction costs,
and net LCC savings for the mid-rise multifamily prototype
building.\157\ Cost estimates typically use current national average
prices. Labor costs are based on estimated hours and current crew labor
rates from RS Means. In some cases, cost estimates completed for a
prior code cycle are still applicable and are adjusted for inflation
rather than creating a new cost estimate or obtaining current unit
prices throughout the cost estimate. Where cost estimates are updated,
inflation factors specific to the equipment are used. These inflation
factors are developed for each specific equipment or insulation type by
comparing RS Means from the time of the estimate with the current RS
Means.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\157\ Special tabulation provided by DOE/PNNL to HUD of costs
and savings for mid-rise multifamily buildings only, 9/2/21.
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[[Page 33171]]
Added construction costs average $574/building, or just $18/unit.
This low average per-unit increase in cost is because in two of the
climate zones analyzed, construction costs are expected to be lower for
ASHRAE 90.1-2019 relative to the USDA-HUD 2007 baseline: construction
costs for ASHRAE 90.1-2019 are projected to decrease by $257/unit in
Climate Zone 2A, and by $142/unit in Climate Zone 4A. Conversely, the
highest increase is projected to be $285/unit in Climate Zone 3B,
followed by $274 per unit in Climate Zone 3A. Added or incremental
construction cost can be negative for some building types for some of
the following reasons:
Fewer light fixtures are required when the allowed
lighting power is reduced. Also, changes from fluorescent to LED
technology result in reduced lighting costs in many cases and longer
lamp lives, requiring fewer lamp replacements.
Smaller heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC)
equipment sizes can result from the lowering of heating and cooling
loads due to other efficiency measures, such as better building
envelopes. For example, Standard 90.1-2019 has more stringent
fenestration U-factors for some climate zones. This results in smaller
equipment and distribution systems, resulting in a negative first
cost.\158\
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\158\ See, for example, PNNL: https://www.energycodes.gov/sites/default/files/2021-07/Cost-effectiveness_of_ASHRAE_Standard_90-1-2019-NorthCarolina.pdf.
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Annual energy cost savings average $7,153 per building, or $224 per
unit, yielding LCC savings of an estimated $188,337 per building or
$5,886 per unit. Simple paybacks are immediate in two of the five
climate zones analyzed, and 0.4 to 1.5 years in the remaining climate
zones, resulting in an extremely fast average payback of just 0.1
years.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.129
4. State-Level Results
Table 27 provides multifamily added costs and savings for ASHRAE
90.1-19 over the 2007 edition for individual states.\159\ Most states
(38 states plus the District of Columbia) show lower per-unit added
costs for adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019 compared to the 2007 standard.
Incremental cost savings per unit range from a low of $44 in Illinois
to a high of $347 in Delaware. Only 13 states show increased
incremental costs: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina,
Nevada, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, and
Wisconsin. For these 10 states, increased costs average $169/unit,
ranging from $22/unit in Nevada to $297/unit in South Dakota. The
average incremental cost for all states is just -3/unit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\159\ Ibid., DOE/PNNL Special Tabulation provided to HUD 9/2/21.
Note that many states have already adopted more recent versions of
the code than ASHRAE 90.1-2007. As a result, actual costs and
savings can both be expected to be lower for those states.
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[[Page 33172]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.130
All states show energy cost savings, both those with incremental
cost increases and those that show lower incremental costs. Annual
energy cost savings average $208/unit, ranging from $152/unit (North
Carolina) to $328/unit
[[Page 33173]]
(Alabama). For the prototype 32-unit mid-rise building, this translates
into an average annual cost savings of $6,670/building, ranging from
$4,859 annual cost savings in North Carolina to $10,493 in Alabama.
The annual energy cost savings relative to lower incremental costs
in many states yield ``negative'' simple paybacks in these states;
where that is the case, Table 27 shows these paybacks as ``immediate.''
Average simple payback for all states is immediate. The states showing
lower incremental costs show immediate paybacks: For example, Ohio
shows a decrease in first costs of $192 per unit, but annual energy
cost savings of $218, in which case the payback on this investment is
immediate.
Table 27 also shows life cycle cost savings for this investment.
Average Life Cycle Cost savings for privately owned buildings are
$5,822/unit, with LCC savings estimated to be highest in Hawaii
($10,357 per building) and lowest in Idaho ($4,698 per building).
5. Total Life Cycle Cost Savings
Table 28 shows total estimated LCC Savings for ASHRAE 90.1-2019
relative to ASHRAE 90.1-2007. For the total estimated units that could
be impacted by the adoption of this code, incremental costs will be an
estimated $1.49 million lower than the cost of construction to the 2007
baseline. Annual energy cost savings are estimated to be $3.1 million,
and national LCC savings $83.4 million for privately owned buildings.
Costs and savings for states that have already adopted the 2019
standard are excluded from these totals, on the assumption that housing
will already be built to this standard, and no additional costs will be
incurred or savings realized. Additionally, states that have adopted a
more recent version than ASHRAE 90.1-2007 are expected to see reduced
costs as well as reduced savings compared to the analysis that relies
on ASHRAE 90.1-2007 as a baseline.
[[Page 33174]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.131
[[Page 33175]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.132
The Regulatory Impact Analysis at www.regulations.gov provides a
more granular analysis of the estimated cost benefits associated with
building to the ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standard, taking into account each
state's current baseline code. Using current state baselines, Table 29
(also RIA Figure 30) estimates a total incremental cost savings of $9.2
million, and a LCC savings of $44.1 million (at a 3 percent discount
rate).
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.133
C. Final Affordability Determination--ASHRAE 90.1-2019
In light of the significant estimated savings, both annual and LCC
savings, and the nominal cost increase shown in Tables 27 and 28, HUD
and USDA have determined that the adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019 will not
negatively impact the affordability of the multifamily housing covered
by this notice. As shown in Table 27, the national average incremental
cost for adoption of this edition is -3/unit, while the annual energy
cost savings per unit averages $208/unit. In all but 10 states, the
incremental costs of building to this standard have in fact decreased,
not increased, relative to the current HUD and USDA ASHRAE 90.1-2007
standard: in none of these states is the added construction cost more
than $297/unit, and in that state (South Dakota), annual energy cost
savings are estimated to be $198/year, yielding a rapid Simple Payback
of just 1.6 years. Average (unweighted) payback for all states is
immediate, with 10 states having payback period of up to 1.6 years.
Estimated first costs are also a nominal fraction of total construction
costs: the weighted national average of 0.017 $/sf (less than two
cents) in added costs represents just 0.16 percent of the estimated
total building cost of $218/sf. Finally in every state analyzed, the
net LCC savings are positive, with a weighted national average of
$5,822 for privately owned buildings.
V. Impact on Availability of Housing
EISA requires that HUD and USDA assess both the affordability and
availability of housing covered by the Act. This section of this notice
addresses the impact that the EISA requirements would have on the
``availability'' of housing covered by the Act. ``Affordability'' is
assumed to be a measure of whether a home built to the updated energy
code is affordable to potential homebuyers or renters, while
``availability'' of housing is a measure associated with whether
builders will make such housing available to consumers at the higher
code level; i.e., whether the higher cost per unit as a result of
complying with the revised code will impact whether that unit is
[[Page 33176]]
likely to be built or not. A key aspect of determining the impact on
availability is the proportion of affected units in relation to total
units funded by HUD and USDA or total for sale units. These issues are
discussed below.
A. 2009 IECC--Single Family
In its 2015 Final Determination adopting the 2009 IECC, HUD
concluded ``[t]hough both higher construction costs and hedonic
increases in demand for more energy-efficient housing are expected to
contribute to an increase in housing prices or contract rents, HUD and
USDA do not project such higher prices to decrease the quantity of
affordable housing exchanged in the market.'' \160\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\160\ 80 FR 25901 at 25918 (May 6, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The current proposed update of IECC requirements constitutes a more
expansive impact. The per unit cost is greater than for the previous
rule. Revised estimate of the upfront cost of building to 2021 IECC is
approximately $7,229, ranging from a low upfront incremental cost of
$3,662 in Climate Zone 1 to a high of $8,845 in Climate Zone 8.
Likewise, the geographic scope of the impact of the proposed rule is
also more extensive than in 2015. In 2015, construction only in those
16 states that had not yet adopted the 2009 IECC or its equivalent was
directly affected. Conversely, only five jurisdictions have adopted a
standard that meets or exceeds the 2021 IECC requirements. Under this
notice, more than 100,000 newly built units would have to comply with
the 2021 IECC standard, compared to an estimate of 11,500 annually for
the 2015 notice that required IECC 2009 as a minimum standard. This
merits a more detailed discussion of the potential impacts on the
availability of housing to program participants as well as the housing
market overall. As set forth in this section of this notice, HUD and
USDA find that there would be no noticeable impact on the supply of
housing covered by this notice; there are many ways for both homebuyers
and builders to address the costs of the notice if buying or building
to the 2021 IECC is not advantageous; but, under very specific
conditions, availability could be constrained.
The focus of this availability analysis is on the purchase of newly
built homes by FHA-insured borrowers. While other covered programs are
important, FHA-insured single family purchases represent the
overwhelming majority of units that would be affected by final adoption
of the proposed standards. Homebuyers and builders of single family
homes will be more sensitive to the IECC requirement than renters and
builders affected by the ASHRAE 90.1 update because the estimated
incremental cost for single family homes is greater than the
incremental cost of updating ASHRAE 90.1.
1. Builder Impacts
Builders are required to build to the 2021 IECC standard only if
they wish to sell the new home to a borrower who has a mortgage insured
by FHA or guaranteed by USDA. If builders predict that the construction
costs outweigh the expected private benefits of building to the 2021
IECC standard, then the supply of newly built homes for FHA-financed
borrowers could contract. However, one of several incentives for
builders to build to the 2021 IECC standard is to preserve FHA-insured
borrowers as potential customers.
FHA-insured borrowers can be a large portion of potential buyers of
new construction in some markets. As shown below, in 2020, FHA-insured
loans financed just one percent of the purchases of newly built homes
in the Northeast, 8.3 percent in the Midwest, 11.0 percent in the West,
and a significantly higher market share of 24.5 percent of purchases in
the South.
The regions where construction activity is high (e.g., South and
West) are also areas where a higher share of buyers of new construction
are FHA-insured. In such markets, builders would be more inclined to
build to the energy code required by this notice. Having more potential
customers increases competition for a home and would reduce the
opportunity costs of time on market.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.134
The cost to a developer of adopting the standard includes the added
building costs, loss of potential customers unwilling to pay the
additional price, and any other distortions in design introduced by the
regulation. The builder can reasonably be expected to build an
affordable home to the 2021 IECC standard if: FHA-insured borrowers are
a significant part of the market for newly built homes; there is a
sufficient market return from energy efficiency; and the builder is
able to pass on some of the cost to the buyer. Under these conditions,
which will vary by climate zone and the state of the housing market,
availability is not likely expected to be adversely affected.
Conversely, builders may be discouraged from building to the higher
standard if FHA-insured borrowers are a limited share of the market for
new homes, e.g., in the Northeast, where only 1 percent of all new
homes are
[[Page 33177]]
FHA-financed. However, the impact would be limited because the number
of homes likely impacted would be close to zero and, more importantly,
there are already states in the Northeast considering adoption of the
2021 or 2024 IECC standards.
A second possibility is that the builder continues to build
affordable homes but not to the 2021 IECC. This would be the case when
and where there are significant profits from building new homes for
low-income homebuyers, even if not FHA-insured, FHA-insured borrowers
are not a major part of the market, perhaps because conventional loans
are relatively more affordable, the unlikely case that lower-income
homebuyers do not place a significant premium on energy efficiency, or
the builder is unable to pass on costs to the buyer. Under this
scenario, the total supply of affordable housing would not necessarily
be adversely affected, but new construction for FHA borrowers could
decline. A third possibility is that the profit margin from building
affordable housing is so slim that any change to the market could lead
to different development decisions. One alternative may be for builders
to build housing for higher-income buyers. This strategy could place
the home out of reach of some FHA-insured borrowers and thus reduce the
availability of some affordable housing. However, in both of these
cases, the impact is expected to be limited: estimates of the impact on
availability in the price elasticity model shown below indicate the
impacts are likely to be limited to an extremely small share of housing
supply (0.2 percent of all homes available to FHA-insured home buyers).
For further and more detailed discussion of different availability
scenarios, see the Regulatory Impact Analysis, Section 10.2 New
Construction, Housing Supply, and Availability of Housing.
2. Single Family Market Impacts
The change in market quantity depends not only on the decisions of
builders and the real estate industry more broadly but also on the
willingness of buyers to absorb a price change. The percentage
reduction of quantity is greater as demand and supply are more
responsive to price changes and as the incremental cost constitutes a
larger portion of the sales price.
The impact on availability, as measured by the quantity of housing,
would be given by:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.135
The percentage change in the quantity of housing, [Delta]Q/Q,
depends on the price elasticity of demand ED (the percentage change in
quantity demanded from a percentage change in price), the price
elasticity of supply ES, and the incremental cost [Delta]C, as a
fraction of the pre-regulation sales price P. The percentage reduction
of quantity is greater as demand and supply are more responsive to
price changes (more price elastic), and the incremental cost
constitutes a larger portion of the sales price before the introduction
of the cost.\161\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\161\ The pass-through rate is the proportion of the cost paid
by buyers, which is higher as demand is less price elastic and
supply is more price elastic.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estimates from studies of the price elasticities of demand and
supply vary due to differences in methods, data, and geographies and
time periods examined. Generally, the estimate of the price elasticity
of demand for housing is below -1, as low as -0.2 for low-income
households, but has been estimated to be above -1. Generally, lower
income households have a lower measured price elasticity of demand for
housing. The positive association between income and the absolute value
of price elasticity stems from shelter being a necessary good.\162\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\162\ Mayo (1981) shows this to be the case when a household
must consume a minimum amount of housing (a Stone-Geary utility
function).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The price elasticity of supply and demand has been estimated at a
wide variety of levels for different housing markets, primarily due to
differences in the ease of building additional units, depending on the
metropolitan area, neighborhood and even type of housing.\163\ The
incremental cost of adopting the 2021 IECC is expected to be
approximately 2 percent of the pre-regulation sales price (a $7,229
incremental cost and $363,000 sales price). Our most cautious estimate
is that the approximately 2 percent increase in construction cost would
reduce the production of homes for FHA-insured borrowers by 1.5
percent, which represents a 0.2 percent reduction of all homes
available to FHA-insured homebuyers.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\163\ Gyourko and Saiz (2006) attribute the local variation in
construction activity to more than the cost of materials but also to
local wages, local topography, and the local regulatory environment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
This estimate is considered a ``worst-case'' scenario because it
does not account for any of the positive effects of energy-efficiency.
Any adverse impacts on availability would be diminished when there is a
perceptible demand for energy-efficient homes.
It is important to note that there would be no adverse effects on
the broader availability of housing options for FHA-insured homebuyers
if they are able to find close substitutes in other submarkets. Close
substitutes may include, for example, relatively new existing housing
or code-complaint new homes in adjacent or nearby communities with
similar features or amenities. Finding a close substitute may be more
difficult in rural areas where there is less available housing stock.
USDA guaranteed and direct loans are limited to eligible areas as
defined by USDA and exclude central cities. Thus, there could be a
greater relative burden on Section 502 guaranteed loans: about half of
USDA's guaranteed and direct home loans are to borrowers in rural areas
as defined by the 2010 Census as compared to about one-fifth of FHA-
insured mortgages (AHS, 2019).
However, adoption of the new code is not expected to have spillover
impacts on other housing submarkets given the relatively small size of
the directly affected FHA and USDA submarkets. The purchase of new
homes by FHA-insured borrowers represents only 2.3 percent of all
residential sales in 2020. As a portion of all home purchases (all
homebuyers, new and existing homes), FHA-financed purchases of new
construction range from slightly more than 0 percent in the Northeast
to slightly less than 3.6 percent in the South.
Energy efficiency has also been shown to impart an economic value
to buildings. The willingness to pay for this benefit will vary among
homebuyers. If there is a sufficient proportion who expect to realize
those gains, then there will be a demand for housing built to the 2021
IECC that could partially counteract any adverse impacts on
availability. See the discussions in the Regulatory Impact Analysis at
www.regulations.gov in the ``Capitalization of Energy Efficiency
Standard'' section (p.86).
[[Page 33178]]
Empirical studies cited in the RIA suggest there is a statistically
significant and positive influence of energy efficiency on real estate
values of energy efficient housing.\164\ One study examining the
residential market in California found that a green label adds about
2.1 percent to the value of a home. This premium is slightly above the
costs of bringing a home in compliance with the green labels (Energy
Star, LEED, and EnergyPoint).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\164\ Laquatra, J., Housing Market Capitalization of Energy
Efficiency Revisited, 2002.
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Another study examined the premium placed on the Energy Star
certification on homes in Gainesville, Florida and found that there is
a premium for these homes but that the premium diminishes when the home
is resold; this finding could suggest that energy efficiency is a
motivator for buying newly built homes.\165\ Another two studies
examined the effects of a label, which would be a voluntary option for
the builder, rather than a code, which is obligatory.\166\ In another
study, researchers found that energy performance certificates do not
play a role in determining market value but that energy efficiency
itself is capitalized into housing sales prices (about 2 percent for
every 10 percent reduction of energy consumption).\167\
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\165\ Bruegge, C., Deryugina, T. and Myers, E., 2019. The
distributional effects of building energy codes. Journal of the
Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 6(S1), pp.
S95-S127.
\166\ Bruegge et al., 2016; Kahn, Matthew E., and Nils Kok.
``The capitalization of green labels in the California housing
market.'' Regional Science and Urban Economics 47 (2014): 25-34.
\167\ Aydin, Erdal, Dirk Brounen, and Nils Kok. ``The
capitalization of energy efficiency: Evidence from the housing
market.'' Journal of Urban Economics 117 (2020): 103243.
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A survey by the National Association of Home Builders found that
the median borrower was willing to pay an extra $5,000 upfront to save
$1,000/year in utility bills.\168\ This tradeoff would be equivalent to
the resident receiving 10 years of benefits at a 20 percent discount
rate or 30 years of benefits at 25 percent discount rate. A recent
survey of the National Association of Realtors found that sixty five
percent of realtors believed that energy efficiency was valuable in
promoting residential units. (However, the majority of realtors (57
percent) were ``not sure'' as to the impact of energy efficiency on
sales price.) \169\
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\168\ Ford, Carmel. ``How Much Are Buyers Willing to Pay for
Energy Efficiency?'' Eye on Housing: National Association of Home
Builders Discusses Economics and Housing Policy. April 12, 2019.
https://eyeonhousing.org/2019/04/how-much-are-buyers-willing-to-pay-for-energy-efficiency/.
\169\ National Association of Realtors, REALTORS and
Sustainability Report--Residential, 2021, https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/documents/2021-realtors-and-sustainability-report-04-20-2021.pdf.
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A study of commercial buildings showed that a studio with an Energy
Star certification will rent for about 3 percent more per square foot
and sell for as much as 16 percent more. The authors were able to
disentangle the value of the label itself from the value of energy
savings stemming from increased energy efficiency. Energy savings were
important: a 10 percent decrease in energy consumption led to an
increase in value of about one percent over and above the rent and
value premium for a labeled building.\170\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\170\ Eichholz, P., N. Kok and J. Quigley, ``Doing Well by Doing
Good? Green Office Buildings,'' American Economic Review 100:5
(2010): 2492-2509.
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All of this empirical research shows that there are profit
incentives to providing energy efficiency. Such a price gain would
diminish any adverse effects on the supply of housing, although it is
also evidence that bidding for energy efficiency could reduce
affordability.
3. Evidence From Prior (2009 IECC) Code Adoption
Examining FHA new construction loans by the level of a state's
energy-efficiency standards can provide a rough indicator of the
potential impact of the IECC on availability. Having required a minimum
standard equal to the 2009 IECC (in 2015), the purchase of a new FHA-
insured or USDA-guaranteed home could depend on the strictness of the
state-wide code relative to the 2009 IECC. However, as shown in Table
19, in states where the state-wide standard is lower than that required
by HUD and USDA, the proportion of FHA loans for new construction
appears similar to states that have adopted stricter codes. For the
group where the state-wide code is at least as stringent as the 2009
IECC, the proportion of FHA-insured new construction loans is 16.9
percent, which is slightly higher than the 15.1 percent for the states
where energy codes are below IECC 2009. Despite the cyclical nature of
new construction, there is no compelling evidence that the availability
of newly built owner-occupied housing will be adversely affected.
[[Page 33179]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.136
There is some regional variation. In the South, the proportion of
new construction is much higher in states above the IECC 2009 (32.7
percent) than in states below (16.6 percent). In the West, the
proportion of FHA new construction is lower in states with energy codes
above the IECC 2009 (12.3 percent) than in states below (19.1 percent).
A clear pattern is not identifiable in either the Northeast or Midwest.
Diverse climate zones and housing markets could explain why different
regions appear to respond differently to the energy standard.
4. Variability in Building Practices in Relation to Energy Codes
Note that there is wide variability in enforcement of, or
compliance with, building codes in general. Some states do not adopt
statewide building codes, others adopt for only certain building types
that may exclude single family housing, some states adopt codes with
amendments, while others that have adopted building codes may not
enforce them, either in their entirety or only for certain building
types.\171\
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\171\ Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, The Cost of
Enforcing Building Codes, Phase I, April 2013. Table 1 shows varying
compliance rates: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282136731_The_Cost_of_Enforcing_Building_Energy_Codes_Phase_1.
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Conversely, a growing number of builders are incorporating above-
code energy efficiency or green building standards that meet or exceed
the 2021 IECC as standard building practice. Nearly 2.5 million Energy
Star certified single family, multifamily, and manufactured new homes
and apartments have been built to date, including more than 140,000 in
2022, representing nearly 10 percent of all U.S. homes built. Homes and
apartments that earn Energy Star certification are at least 10 percent
more efficient than those built to code. Since 2023, in most states,
Version 3.1 of the Energy Star program is the minimum Energy Star
standard for single family homes, which is designed to deliver at least
10 percent savings relative to all code versions up to the 2018 IECC.
Energy Star Version 3.2 will be implemented in states that adopt the
2021 IECC; Version 3.2 is designed to
[[Page 33180]]
deliver at least 10 percent energy savings relative to the 2021 IECC.
There are also a smaller number built to the DOE's Zero Energy
Ready Home (ZERH) standards. In addition, certain green building
standards set Energy Star as a minimum requirement. With the energy
efficient new homes tax credit (45L) of up to $2,500 now available for
Energy Star Certified Homes and up to $5,000 for DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes for single family homes and, with prevailing wage requirements,
up to $2,500 per unit for Energy Star Multifamily New Construction and
up to $5,000 per unit for DOE Zero Energy Ready Homes for multifamily
homes, the market share for these above-code standards is likely to
increase.\172\
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\172\ For multifamily homes, the amounts of the 45L tax credit
change to up to $500 per unit for Energy Star Multifamily New
Construction and up to $1,000 per unit for DOE Zero Energy Ready
Homes if prevailing wage requirements are not met.
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There is widespread regional variation in adoption of these
standards because they are not typically mandated by municipalities for
single family home construction. There are regional variations in
above-code standards among builders as well. For example, for Energy
Star New Homes, adoption rates in most states are below five percent,
with very little in the northeast, while in the southwest the share of
Energy Star new homes is much higher, e.g., adoption in Arizona is
around 40 percent.\173\
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\173\ https://www.energystar.gov/newhomes/energy_star_certified_new_homes_market_share.
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In the multifamily sector, builders frequently build to above code
standards such as LEED, Enterprise Green Communities, ICC 700 National
Green Building Standard, PHIUS, the Living Building Challenge, or
regional programs like Earthcraft. Most of these programs embed Energy
Star New Construction within their standards while also addressing
other areas of health and disaster resilience requirements. Some
municipalities may require one of these above-code standards for new
construction of multifamily housing. In the affordable housing sector,
each state may also drive the choice of compliance with above-code
standards through their Low-Income Housing Tax Credit Qualified
Allocation Plans (QAPs). State QAPs may call out these above-code
standards specifically or may allocate points to other matching funding
streams that incentivize or require specific above-code standards.
B. ASHRAE 90.1-2019--Rental Housing
USDA and HUD have determined that in light of the extremely small
incremental first costs, or, in many cases, negative first costs,
adoption of ASHRAE 90.1-2019 will not negatively impact the
availability of multifamily units financed or insured through these
programs. Simple paybacks times are extremely low for the small number
of states that will see an increase in first costs, in most cases less
than one year. The estimate of the direct cost of construction of
moving to this code is not greater than zero. Even if there were a
slight increase in construction costs, the estimates of energy savings
are sizeable enough such that the benefits would offset the costs for
property managers. There could be some builders of multi-family
properties who are doubtful of the return and so view the ASHRAE 90.1-
2019 requirement as a net burden. For the hesitant developer, there
remain other incentives to comply: FHA multifamily loans allow a higher
LTV than is common and Low-Income Housing Tax Credits that are
frequently used by developers in conjunction with HUD financing often
carry a requirement or incentive for energy efficiency. In addition,
FHA's lower multifamily Green Mortgage Insurance Premium provides a
strong incentive for developers to adopt an above-code standard.
VI. Implementation
Under Section 109(d) of Cranston-Gonzalez (42 U.S.C. 12709), the
2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 standards automatically apply to all
covered programs upon the effective date of the specified affordability
and availability determinations by HUD and USDA. Accordingly, once a
Final Determination has been made by HUD and USDA under section 109(d)
(42 U.S.C. 12709(d)) and published, additional notice and comment
rulemaking will not be required for the covered programs.
Based on DOE findings on improvements in energy efficiency and
energy savings and a subsequent HUD and USDA Final Determination with
respect to both housing affordability and availability, HUD and USDA
programs specified under EISA will implement procedures to ensure that
recipients of HUD and USDA funding, assistance, or insurance comply
with the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019 code requirements, commencing
no later than 30 days after the date of publication of a notice of
Final Determination. HUD and USDA will take such administrative actions
as are necessary to ensure timely implementation of and compliance with
the energy codes, to include Mortgagee Letters, notices, notices of
Funding Opportunity (NOFOs), Builder's Certification Form HUD-92541,
and amendments to relevant handbooks.
In addition, conforming rulemaking will be required to update FHA's
single family minimum property standards at 24 CFR 200.926d, Public
Housing Capital Fund energy standards at 24 CFR part 905, and HOME
property standards at 24 CFR 92.251, although as noted above, this
would not entail further notice and comment rulemaking. Similarly, USDA
will update minimum energy requirements at 7 CFR part 1924 to conform
with the requirements of this notice.
To enable these administrative and conforming rulemaking procedures
to be implemented and to provide the industry with adequate time to
prepare for these requirements and incorporate them in project plans
and specifications, proposals, or applications, adoption of the new
construction standards described in this notice will be required as
described in Table 32.
In response to public comment and to better enable builders to
adapt to these code requirements, the compliance deadlines are extended
beyond the dates in the preliminary determination, as shown in Table
32. As discussed in this notice, rural persistent poverty areas, where
capacity to adopt above-code standards may be challenging, have a
longer compliance timeline. Due to differing administrative procedures
associated with each program, compliance dates vary. The compliance
dates differ for example, for competitive grant programs that have
notices of funds availability or programs, such as FHA-insured
multifamily, that provide for pre-applications before firm commitments,
compared to application for building permits for single family
construction. The compliance dates are as follows:
(1) For FHA-insured multifamily programs, the standards set forth
by this notice are applicable to those properties for which mortgage
insurance pre-applications are received by HUD 12 months after the
effective date of this determination;
(2) For FHA-insured and USDA-guaranteed single family loan
programs, the standards set forth by this notice are applicable to new
construction where building permits applications will be or have been
submitted on or after18 months after the effective date of this
determination;
(3) For the HOME and Housing Trust Fund (HTF) programs, the
standards set forth by this notice are applicable to residential new
construction projects for which HOME or HTF funds are committed by HOME
Participating Jurisdictions or HTF grantees on or after
[[Page 33181]]
180 days after the effective date of this notice;
(4) For Public Housing Capital Fund, the standards set forth by
this notice are applicable to HUD approvals of development proposals
for new Capital Fund or mixed financed projects on or after12 months
after the effective date of this determination;
(5) For new construction occurring in higher needs rural areas
across all covered programs, the standards set forth by this notice are
applicable on or after 24 months after the effective date of this
determination. For the purposes of this notice, these are defined as
persistent poverty rural areas, as defined by USDA Economic Research
Service. This will include persistent poverty counties coterminous with
or persistent poverty census tracts located in rural counties as
defined by USDA. USDA will publish a map of rural areas covered by this
extension no later than 30 days after the effective date of this
notice.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TN26AP24.137
Compliance Paths
HUD and USDA interpret EISA/Cranston-Gonzalez to mean that any
energy code that is determined by a DOE or EPA analysis to have an
energy efficiency standard that is equal to or more efficient than what
is required under the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019, is deemed to meet
the requirements of the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019, respectively:
(1) EPA's Energy Star Version 3.2 certification for single family
and low-rise multifamily buildings, Energy Star Version 1.2 for
multifamily new construction, and DOE's Zero Energy Ready Homes Single
Family Version 2 certification or Multifamily Version 2, once it is
released on January 1, 2025, certification for multifamily buildings
will be accepted as evidence of compliance with the standards addressed
in this notice:
(2) Certain energy and green building certifications, provided that
they require and provide evidence of energy efficiency levels that meet
or exceed the 2021 IECC or ASHRAE 90.1-2019 or include certification
through EPA's Energy Star Version 3.2 certification for single family
and low-rise multifamily buildings, Energy Star Version 1.2 for
multifamily new construction, and DOE's Zero Energy Ready Homes Single
Family Version 2 certification or Multifamily Version 2 once released,
certification for multifamily buildings. These may include standards
referenced in one or more HUD or USDA programs,
[[Page 33182]]
such as the ICC-700 National Green Building Standard, Enterprise Green
Communities, Energy Star Certified New Homes, Energy Star Indoor Air
Plus, Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED), Living
Building Challenge, or Passive House, as well as one or more regional
or local standards such as Earthcraft, Earth Advantage, or Greenpoint
Rated New Home.\174\ HUD and USDA will publish a list, to be updated
annually, of those standards that comply with the minimum energy
efficiency requirements of this notice. HUD and USDA will also accept
certifications of compliance of state or local codes or standards for
which credible third-party documentation exists that these meet or
exceed the 2021 IECC and ASHRAE 90.1-2019.
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\174\ Energy Star Certified New Homes Version 3.2 and DOE's Zero
Energy Ready Homes set the 2021 IECC as the baseline standard.
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(3) 2024 IECC (pending publication). The 2024 IECC has
preliminarily been estimated by DOE to be at least 6.66 percent more
efficient than the 2021 IECC. Adoption of the prescriptive or
performance paths of the 2024 IECC will be an allowable compliance
pathway, upon publication of a final efficiency determination by DOE
that this edition is more energy efficient than the prior code.
VII. Environmental Impact
A Finding of No Significant Impact with respect to the environment
was made in connection with the preliminary determination, in
accordance with HUD regulations at 24 CFR part 50 and USDA Rural
Development regulations at 7 CFR part 1970, which implement section
102(2)(C) of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C.
4332(2)(C)), and remains applicable to this final determination. That
finding is posted at www.regulations.gov and is also available for
public inspection between the hours of 8 a.m. and 5 p.m. weekdays in
the Regulations Division, Office of General Counsel, Department of
Housing and Urban Development, 451 7th Street SW, Room 10276,
Washington, DC 20410-0500. Due to security measures at the HUD
Headquarters building, please schedule an appointment to review the
finding by calling the Regulations Division at 202-402-3055 (this is
not a toll-free number). HUD welcomes and is prepared to receive calls
from individuals who are deaf or hard of hearing, as well as
individuals with speech or communication disabilities. To learn more
about how to make an accessible telephone call, please visit https://www.fcc.gov/consumers/guides/telecommunications-relay-service-trs.
Damon Smith,
General Counsel, U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.
Xochitl Torres Small,
Deputy Secretary, U.S. Department of Agriculture.
[FR Doc. 2024-08793 Filed 4-25-24; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210-67-P