Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species Status With Section 4(d) Rule for North American Wolverine, 83726-83772 [2023-26206]
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 229 / Thursday, November 30, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R6–ES–2023–0216;
FF09E21000 FXES11110900000 245]
RIN 1018–BH27
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Threatened Species Status
With Section 4(d) Rule for North
American Wolverine
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule and interim rule with
request for comments.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), determine
threatened species status under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973 (Act),
as amended, for the distinct population
segment (DPS) of the North American
wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus) occurring
in the contiguous United States. This
rule adds the contiguous U.S. DPS of the
North American wolverine to the
Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife. We are also issuing
an interim rule under the authority of
section 4(d) of the Act (an ‘‘interim 4(d)
rule’’) that provides the prohibitions,
and exceptions to those prohibitions,
necessary and advisable for the
conservation of the contiguous U.S. DPS
of the North American wolverine.
DATES:
Effective date: This rule is effective
January 2, 2024.
Comments due: Comments on the
interim 4(d) rule must be received or
postmarked by January 29, 2024.
ADDRESSES:
Written comments on the interim 4(d)
rule: You may submit comments on the
interim 4(d) rule by one of the following
methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. In the Search box,
enter FWS–R6–ES–2023–0216, which is
the docket number for this rulemaking.
Then click on the Search button. On the
resulting page, in the panel on the left
side of the screen, under the Document
Type heading, click on the Rules box to
locate this document. You may submit
a comment by clicking on ‘‘Comment.’’
(2) By hard copy: U.S. mail: Public
Comments Processing, Attn: FWS–R6–
ES–2023–0216; U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service; MS: PRB/3W; 5275 Leesburg
Pike; Falls Church, VA 22041–3803.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
means that we will post any personal
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SUMMARY:
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information you provide us (see Public
Comments Solicited on the Interim 4(d)
Rule, below, for more information).
Availability of supporting materials:
This document is available on the
internet at https://www.regulations.gov
and at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/
5123. Supporting materials we used in
preparing this rule, including the 2018
species status assessment (SSA) report
and the 2023 addendum to the SSA
report, are available on the Service’s
website at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/
species/5123, at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R6–ES–2023–0216, or both.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jodi
Bush, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
Pacific Region, 911 NE 11th Ave.,
Portland, OR 97232; telephone: (503)
231–6131. Individuals in the United
States who are deaf, deafblind, hard of
hearing, or have a speech disability may
dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or TeleBraille) to
access telecommunications relay
services. Individuals outside the United
States should use the relay services
offered within their country to make
international calls to the point-ofcontact in the United States.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Final Rule To List the Contiguous U.S.
DPS of the North American Wolverine
Why we need to publish a rule. The
Act (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.) defines
‘‘species’’ as any subspecies of fish or
wildlife or plants, and any distinct
population segment (DPS) of any
species of vertebrate fish or wildlife
which interbreeds when mature. Under
the Act, a species warrants listing if it
meets the definition of an endangered
species (in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range) or a threatened species (likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range). If we
determine that a species warrants
listing, we must list the species
promptly and designate the species’
critical habitat to the maximum extent
prudent and determinable. We have
determined that the DPS of the North
American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States (the
‘‘contiguous U.S. DPS’’) meets the Act’s
definition of a threatened species;
therefore, we are listing it as such.
Listing a species as an endangered or
threatened species can be completed
only by issuing a rule through the
Administrative Procedure Act
rulemaking process (5 U.S.C. 551 et
seq.).
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What this document does. This
document is both (1) a final rule listing
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine as a threatened
species under the Act; and (2) an
interim rule issued under the authority
of section 4(d) of the Act (an ‘‘interim
4(d) rule’’) providing the prohibitions,
and exceptions to those prohibitions,
that are necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine.
The basis for our action. Under the
Act, we may determine that a species is
an endangered or threatened species
because of any of five factors: (A) The
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We
have determined that the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine is a threatened species due
primarily to the ongoing and increasing
impacts of climate change and
associated habitat degradation and
fragmentation.
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires the
Secretary of the Interior (Secretary) to
designate critical habitat concurrent
with listing to the maximum extent
prudent and determinable. We have not
yet obtained the necessary economic
information needed to develop a
proposed critical habitat designation for
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine. Therefore, we find
that designation of critical habitat for
the DPS is currently not determinable.
Interim 4(d) Rule
The need for the regulatory action
and how the action will meet that need.
Consistent with section 4(d) of the Act,
this interim 4(d) rule provides measures
that are tailored to our current
understanding of the conservation needs
of the North American wolverine.
Under section 4(d) of the Act, the
Secretary of the Interior has discretion
to issue such regulations as she deems
necessary and advisable to provide for
the conservation of the species. The
Secretary also has the discretion to
prohibit by regulation with respect to a
threatened species, any act prohibited
by section 9(a)(1) of the Act.
Summary of the major provisions of
the regulatory action. This interim 4(d)
rule will provide for the conservation of
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine by prohibiting the
following activities, unless they fall
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within the specific identified exceptions
or are otherwise authorized or
permitted: importing or exporting; take;
possession and other acts with
unlawfully taken specimens; delivering,
receiving, carrying, transporting, or
shipping in interstate or foreign
commerce in the course of commercial
activity; or selling or offering for sale in
interstate or foreign commerce.
The interim 4(d) rule will also
provide for the conservation of the
species by allowing exceptions to the
general prohibitions against ‘‘take’’ of
the species in support of conservation
actions and otherwise lawful activities
that could take wolverines but at
minimal levels not likely to have a
negative impact on the species’
conservation. The exceptions include
take due to scientific research
conducted on wolverines by a Federal
or Tribal biologist in the course of their
official duties, incidental take resulting
from forest management activities for
the purposes of reducing the risk or
severity of wildfire, and incidental take
resulting from legal trapping conducted
consistent with State and Tribal
trapping rules or guidelines that contain
steps to minimize the potential for
capture of wolverine.
Supporting Documents
A team prepared a species status
assessment (SSA) for the North
American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus)
(Service 2018, entire) (hereafter referred
to as the wolverine SSA report). The
SSA team was composed of U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service (Service)
biologists, who consulted with other
species experts. The wolverine SSA
report represented a compilation of the
best scientific and commercial data
available (known at that time)
concerning the status of the North
American wolverine, including the
impacts of past, present, and future
factors (both negative and beneficial)
affecting the wolverine. The wolverine
SSA report underwent independent
peer review by scientists with
experience with mesocarnivores and
their conservation and management,
genetics, population modeling, and
climate change.
More recently, the Service prepared
an SSA addendum for the North
American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus)
(Service 2023, entire) (hereafter referred
to as the wolverine SSA report
addendum). The wolverine SSA report
addendum contains a synthesis of
relevant new information that has
become available since the 2018
wolverine SSA report. The wolverine
SSA report addendum underwent
independent peer review by scientists
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with experience with mesocarnivores
and their conservation and
management, genetics, population
modeling, and climate change. The
wolverine SSA report addendum also
underwent technical review by State,
Federal, and Tribal biologists.
The wolverine SSA report, the
wolverine SSA report addendum, and
other materials relating to this
rulemaking can be found at the Service’s
website at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/
species/5123, and at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R6–ES–2023–0216.
Previous Federal Actions
On February 4, 2013, we published in
the Federal Register (78 FR 7864) a
proposed rule to list the DPS of the
North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States as a
threatened species under the Act, with
a proposed rule under section 4(d) of
the Act that outlined the prohibitions,
and exceptions to those prohibitions,
necessary and advisable for the
conservation of the wolverine. Please
refer to that February 4, 2013, proposed
rule (78 FR 7864) for a detailed
description of previous Federal actions
concerning the wolverine prior to 2013.
We published a separate proposed rule
in the Federal Register on February 4,
2013 (78 FR 7890), to establish a
nonessential experimental population
(NEP) area for the North American
wolverine in the Southern Rocky
Mountains of Colorado, northern New
Mexico, and southern Wyoming. On
October 31, 2013, we reopened the
comment period on the proposed listing
rule for an additional 30 days (78 FR
65248).
Following publication of the 2013
proposed rules, there was scientific
disagreement and debate about the
interpretation of the habitat
requirements for wolverines and
available climate change information
used to determine the extent of threats
to the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine. Based on this
substantial disagreement regarding the
sufficiency or accuracy of the available
data relevant to the proposed listing, on
February 5, 2014, we announced in the
Federal Register (79 FR 6874) a 6-month
extension of the final determination of
whether to list the contiguous U.S. DPS
of North American wolverine as a
threatened species under the Act. That
document reopened the comment
period on the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule for an additional
90 days.
On August 13, 2014, we published in
the Federal Register (79 FR 47522) a
document withdrawing both proposed
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rules published on February 4, 2013: (1)
the proposed rule to list the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine as a threatened species under
the Act, including the provisions
proposed under section 4(d) of the Act;
and (2) the proposed NEP designation
under section 10(j) of the Act for the
North American wolverine in the
Southern Rocky Mountains of Colorado,
northern New Mexico, and southern
Wyoming. These withdrawals were
based on our conclusion that the factors
affecting the DPS as identified in the
listing proposed rule were not as
significant as believed at the time of that
proposed rule’s publication in 2013.
In October 2014, three complaints
were filed in the District Court for the
District of Montana by Defenders of
Wildlife, WildEarth Guardians, Center
for Biological Diversity, and other
organizations challenging the
withdrawal of the February 4, 2013,
proposed rule to list the contiguous U.S.
DPS of the North American wolverine.
Numerous parties intervened in the
litigation. These three cases were
consolidated, and on April 4, 2016, the
court issued a decision. The court
granted plaintiffs’ motion for summary
judgment with respect to the Service’s
determination regarding (1) the threat
posed to the wolverine by the effects of
climate change at the reproductive
denning scale, (2) the threat posed to the
wolverine by small population size and
lack of genetic diversity, and (3) the
application of the significant portion of
the range policy to the wolverine. As a
result of the court order, the August 13,
2014, withdrawal (79 FR 47522) of the
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
was vacated and remanded to the
Service for further consideration
consistent with the order.
In effect, the court’s action returned
the process to the proposed rule stage,
and the status of the contiguous U.S.
DPS of the North American wolverine
under the Act reverted to that of a
proposed species for the purposes of
consultation under section 7 of the Act.
On October 18, 2016, we published in
the Federal Register (81 FR 71670) a
document reopening the comment
period on the February 4, 2013,
proposed rule to list the DPS of the
North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States as
threatened under the Act (78 FR 7864).
The October 18, 2016, publication also
requested new information and
announced that we were initiating a
new and comprehensive status review
of the North American wolverine, to
determine whether the species meets
the definition of an endangered or
threatened species under the Act, or
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whether the species is not warranted for
listing. Both new and updated
information and analyses presented in
the wolverine 2018 SSA report, along
with public comments, prompted us to
reevaluate our previous assessment of
the DPS (presented in our 2013
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864),
which in turn relied on the DPS analysis
completed in our 2010 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030)) with respect to
the North American wolverine in the
contiguous United States.
On October 13, 2020, we published in
the Federal Register (85 FR 64618)
another document withdrawing the
February 4, 2013, proposed rule to list
the DPS of the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States as threatened under the
Act. Our 2020 withdrawal decision was
based on our conclusion that the factors
affecting the North American wolverine
occurring in the contiguous United
States as identified in the 2013
proposed listing rule were not as
significant as believed at the time of the
proposed rule’s publication in 2013. We
also found that the North American
wolverines occurring in the contiguous
United States did not qualify as a DPS.
The Center for Biological Diversity
and WildEarth Guardians filed lawsuits
in the District Court for the District of
Montana challenging the Service’s 2020
decision to withdraw the February 4,
2013, proposal to list the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine. The cases were consolidated,
and the State of Idaho’s motion to
intervene was granted. On February 4,
2022, the Service filed a motion asking
the court to voluntarily return (remand)
the 2020 withdrawal decision to the
Service to allow the Service to reexamine the decision in light of the
intervening decision in Center for
Biological Diversity v. Haaland, 998
F.3d 1061 (9th Cir. 2021) (‘‘Pacific
Walrus Decision’’) and to reevaluate the
decision in light of new scientific
information that had become available
since the completion of the 2018 SSA.
The Service also requested that the 2020
withdrawal decision remain in effect
pending that reevaluation. On May 26,
2022, the court granted the Service’s
request for a voluntary remand of the
2020 withdrawal decision, but the court
decided to vacate the withdrawal
decision (Ctr. for Biological Diversity v.
Haaland, No. CV 20–181–M–DWM (D.
Mont. May 26, 2022)).
The court’s May 26, 2022, action
returned the listing process for the
North American wolverine to the
proposed rule stage. On November 23,
2022, the Service published in the
Federal Register (87 FR 71557) a
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document soliciting new information on
the North American wolverine and
notifying the public that the February 4,
2013, proposed rule to list the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine as threatened
under the Act (78 FR 7864) had been
reinstated. As of May 26, 2022, for
purposes of consultation under section
7 of the Act, the North American
wolverine was again a species proposed
for listing and subject to conferencing
requirements.
The Service then completed the
wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, entire), which contains a
synthesis of all relevant new
information that has become available
since the 2018 wolverine SSA report to
inform this final listing rule and the
associated interim 4(d) rule.
Peer Review
Our assessment of the status of the
North American wolverine contained in
this document is supported by
information in both the 2018 SSA report
(Service 2018, entire) and the 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, entire). In accordance
with our joint policy on peer review
published in the Federal Register on
July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and our
August 22, 2016, memorandum
updating and clarifying the role of peer
review in listing actions under the Act,
we solicited independent scientific
review of the information contained in
the 2018 wolverine SSA report. We sent
the SSA report to four independent peer
reviewers and received four responses;
we incorporated the results of that
review into the SSA report, as
appropriate. More recently, we solicited
independent scientific review of the
2023 wolverine SSA report addendum.
We sent the wolverine SSA report
addendum to six peer reviewers and
received three responses; we
incorporated the results of the peer
review into the wolverine SSA report
addendum, as appropriate. The peer
reviews on the wolverine SSA report
and the wolverine SSA report
addendum can be found at https://
www.regulations.gov.
Summary of Changes
Since the publication of the February
4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR
7864), the development of the 2018 SSA
report (Service 2018, entire), and the
publication of the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), a
substantial number of new studies have
become available, refining our
understanding of wolverine biology and
threats affecting North American
wolverines in the contiguous United
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States. We incorporated this new
information into the 2023 wolverine
SSA report addendum. We summarize
the information most salient to our
determination in this final rule below.
We also discuss these changes where
appropriate in the remainder of the
document to provide further detail and
context.
Ecological Requirements
The snow model used in the climate
change analysis in the 2018 SSA report
and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618) projected snow
loss out to year 2050 in only two
modeling domains (Glacier National
Park and the central Rocky Mountains)
(Service 2018, p. 88). Results indicated
a decline in spring snow in these areas
due to climate change was likely, but we
were unable to extrapolate those
projections across the remainder of the
North American wolverine’s breeding
range in the contiguous United States.
Persistent spring snow (greater than or
equal to 1 meter on May 1; see Climate
Change, below) was not identified as an
ecological requirement for wolverines,
and we assumed that if snow was
necessary for denning, there would be
enough spring snowpack in the future to
fulfill denning needs.
Our updated climate analysis reported
in the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum projects snow loss out to
2100 across five modeling domains that
cover a much larger extent of the
breeding range in the contiguous United
States when compared to the 2018 SSA
report. In our 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum, we found declines in
spring snow due to climate change are
likely across the North American
wolverine’s range and predicted losses
will be greater in 2100 than in 2050. In
general, when compared to historical
amounts of snow cover, nearly every
area modeled (except for the MidRockies) sees a decrease in snow cover
and that decrease becomes larger over
time. In the Mid-Rockies, snow cover
increases in the short term, but as with
the other areas, it decreases over time.
New research indicates that areas
characterized by persistent spring snow
are likely important for wolverine
survival (e.g., caching food) in addition
to denning and reproduction. One new
study reported wolverines cache food
year-round, indicating that warmer
temperatures could impact the ability of
wolverines to store food resources by
decreasing the shelf-life (usability) of
cached food, and increasing competition
from pilferers that benefit from a
warmer climate (van der Veen et al.
2020, p. 1). Another study found
evidence to support a functional
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relationship between North American
wolverines and persistent spring snow
that could be explained by the
distribution of food, disturbance, or
mortality risk (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 8).
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Connectivity With Canada
Connectivity with Canada is essential
to the long-term viability of North
American wolverines in the contiguous
United States (Cegelski et al. 2006, p.
209). In the 2018 SSA report and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), we assumed that
wolverines could move freely between
Canada and the United States (Service
2018, p. 104). We also concluded that
trapping of wolverines did not represent
a barrier to wolverine movement and
dispersal along the international border
(Service 2018, p. 69). Additionally, we
concluded that major highways did not
represent a barrier to wolverine
movement (Service 2018, p. 60).
In the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum, we affirm that connectivity
with Canada is essential to the longterm viability of North American
wolverines in the lower 48 States.
However, our understanding of the
ability of wolverines to move between
Canada and the United States in the
Rocky Mountains has changed. New
research found an estimated 41 percent
decline in the wolverine population
from 2011–2020 in a portion (7,583,417
acres (ac) (30,689 square kilometers
(km2))) of the southern Canadian
Rockies, Purcell Mountains, and Selkirk
Mountains important for wolverine
connectivity with the United States; this
decline could be attributed to one or
more of the following causes: trapping,
backcountry recreation, human
development, and food availability
(Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). In addition,
new transboundary genetic research
indicates the Trans-Canada Highway in
southern British Columbia is impeding
female dispersal from Canada to the
United States, thereby limiting gene
flow and the ability of dispersing
wolverines to supplement the
contiguous U.S. DPS (Sawaya et al.
2023, pp. 12, 17).
diversity and increasing population
fragmentation at the southern extent of
the North American wolverine’s range
in western North America (Sawaya et al.
2023, p. 17). As a result, there is
potential for inbreeding given the
relatively small population sizes and
low levels of genetic diversity of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States, especially in the Cascade
Mountains of Washington and southern
British Columbia (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.); however, inbreeding
depression has not been observed. New
analysis of the North American
wolverine’s adaptive capacity shows
that their specialized habitat
associations, low genetic diversity and
population size, narrow ecological
niche, low tolerance for human
disturbance, and slow reproductive rate
all contribute to the wolverine’s relative
difficulty in adapting in-place to future
environmental change (Service 2023, p.
66).
Roads and Development
We analyzed the effects of roads and
development (human disturbance) to
North American wolverines in the 2018
SSA report (Service 2018, p. 62) and
determined in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618)
that impacts to wolverines are small and
narrow in scope and scale. We did not
consider roads and development to be
an impediment to wolverine movement
and gene flow.
New habitat and landscape genetic
research indicates multi-lane roads and
human development in valley bottoms
between core habitats may limit
dispersal and population connectivity to
some extent, especially for female
wolverines. Connectivity among
wolverine habitats appears to be
particularly sensitive to housing
developments (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p.
797). Also, new research indicates that
human disturbance (road density) and
food availability are major drivers of
wolverine distribution in winter
(Kortello et al. 2019, p. 1). Wolverine
density and detection probability
declined in areas with more human
development (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4).
Genetic Diversity and Adaptive Capacity Human development may also have
In the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
cascading impacts of increasing
document (85 FR 64618), we found
competition from other mesocarnivores
there was no available information to
that are less affected by human
indicate that the current abundance of
disturbance (Frey et al. 2020, pp. 1136–
the North American wolverine across its 1138; Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 6;
range in the contiguous United States
Milanesi et al. 2022, pp. 10–11).
was at a level that was causing
inbreeding depression or loss of genetic Winter Recreation
In our 2018 SSA report and October
variation that would affect its ability to
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
adapt to changing conditions.
64618), we concluded that winter
New transboundary genetic research
recreation is a low-level stressor for
shows a sharp decline in genetic
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wolverines in the contiguous United
States (Service 2018, p. 62). The limited
research available at the time indicated
some avoidance behavior exhibited by
wolverines in areas with backcountry
winter recreation, but not to the extent
that we had concerns about populationlevel impacts.
In the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum, we provide an updated
assessment of the effects of winter
recreation based on new studies.
Research indicates winter recreation is
negatively associated with North
American wolverine habitat use, and
that winter recreation is likely to
increase and become more concentrated
in the future as snow-covered areas
decline due to climate change
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019, p. 1). A large
multi-State analysis of winter recreation
impacts in the Northern Rocky
Mountains was published in 2019,
indicating greater concern for impacts to
wolverines than we found in 2018 and
showing a negative functional response
to the level of recreation exposure
within their home ranges (Heinemeyer
et al. 2019a, pp. 13–14, 17–18).
Additionally, new research found an
incremental loss of wolverines in
portions of central Idaho where winter
recreation impacts are increasing (Mack
and Hagan 2022, p. 13). Furthermore,
forest roads used by snowmobilers in
the Canadian Rockies were found to
have a strong negative correlation with
wolverine distribution (Kortello et al.
2019, p. 10). Wolverine detection
probability in protected and nonprotected habitat of southwestern
Canada was found to be strongly and
negatively correlated with
nonmotorized recreation in summer and
winter (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 5).
Trapping
In our 2018 SSA and the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we concluded that
overutilization does not currently
represent a stressor to the North
American wolverine in the contiguous
United States at the individual,
population, or species level. We also
concluded that trapping in Canada has
been and appears to be sustainable, and
trapping or harvesting of wolverines
along the contiguous U.S.–Canada
border does not represent a stressor to
wolverines migrating into the
contiguous United States and does not
represent a barrier to wolverine
movement and dispersal along the
international border (Service 2018, p.
71).
Legal trapping of wolverines has not
occurred in the contiguous United
States in the past 10 years, and lethal
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incidental trapping of wolverines has
been minimal (Service 2023, p. 38). We
expect recent changes to wolf trapping
regulations in Idaho and Montana to
have little effect on wolverines at a
population level, as long as trapping is
done in a manner to limit wolverine
bycatch (Idaho Department of Fish and
Game (IDFG) 2023, in litt., p. 1; IDFG
2022, p. 40; Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks (MFWP) 2023, in litt., p. 1; MFWP
2022, entire). Below, under
Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes, we provide an assessment of
incidental trapping and the measures
States are taking to reduce incidental
trapping of wolverines.
Recent research on wolverine
trapping in Southern Canada indicates
that trapping may be having more of a
negative effect on wolverine
populations in Canada than previously
thought (Kortello et al. 2019, pp. 1, 10;
Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et al.
2020, p. 296; Barrueto et al. 2022,
entire). Unsustainable trapping levels in
Canada could limit dispersal of
individuals into the contiguous United
States, where the dispersal of
wolverines from Southern Canada is
vital to the genetic and demographic
health of the U.S. population (Sawaya
2023, pers. comm.).
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Summary of Comments and
Recommendations
Comments on the 2013 Proposed Listing
Rule
Upon publication of our February 4,
2013, proposed rule to list the DPS of
North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States as a
threatened species (78 FR 7864), we
opened a 90-day public comment
period, ending May 6, 2013. After we
withdrew the proposed rule, on October
18, 2016 (81 FR 71670), we again
opened a public comment period on our
2013 proposed listing rule; that
comment period was open for 30 days,
ending November 17, 2016. At both
times, we contacted appropriate Federal
and State agencies, scientific experts
and organizations, Tribes, and other
interested parties and invited them to
comment on the 2013 proposed listing
rule. Many of the comments we received
from State agencies during our 2016
reopened comment period (81 FR
71670) were similar to those we
received during the initial 2013 public
comment period (78 FR 7864). All
substantive information provided
during both comment periods on our
2013 proposed listing rule has either
been incorporated directly into this final
determination or is addressed below.
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Below, we present the comments
received on the 2013 proposed listing
rule and a summary of our responses as
presented in the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618).
We also provide updated responses to
several of the comments based on new
information presented in the 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum and
this final rule. Comments are numbered
below as they were numbered in the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618). Several of the comments
and responses from the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document did not
require revision, and they are
incorporated here by reference; those
comments with responses that remain
the same are comments 6, 7, 9, 11, 13,
20, 21, 22, 23, and 24 (85 FR 64618 at
64622–64626).
Public Comments
(1) Comment: We received several
public comments claiming that the
North American wolverine faces
increasing threats from the effects of
climate change, particularly habitat loss
due to declining snowpack.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: Our
climate assessment in the 2018
wolverine SSA report and October 13,
2020, withdrawal document focused on
the impact of climate change to denning
conditions for wolverines. We stated we
recognize that current climate trends
and future (2055 and later) climate
model projections indicate warming
temperatures for much of western North
America and changes to snow-pack
conditions. In general, models indicate
higher elevations, where documented
historical wolverine denning has
occurred, will retain more snow cover
than lower elevations, particularly in
early spring (on April 30/May 1). We
referenced a climate analysis that
included two regions, Glacier National
Park and Rocky Mountain National
Park. Details of this climate analysis are
presented in Ray et al. (2017) and are
summarized in the 2018 SSA report.
Climate models in Ray et al. (2017) built
upon previous model projections
presented in McKelvey et al. (2011), but
with significant differences such as finer
spatial resolution, incorporation of
slope and aspect, snow depth estimates,
additional years of historical data, and
wider temporal analyses of snow
persistence (April–June). Model
projections from Ray et al. (2017)
indicate significant areas (several
hundred square kilometers (km2)/square
miles (mi2) for each study area) of future
snow (greater than 0.5 meters (m) (20
inches (in)) in depth) are likely to
persist on May 1 at elevations currently
used by wolverines for denning. This is
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true, on average, across the range of
climate models used out to
approximately year 2055.
Our 2023 Response: Our assessment
of climate change impacts to North
American wolverines in the 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum, and
applied in this final rule, evaluates the
impact of climate warming and changes
in snowpack on various aspects of
wolverine ecology, not just denning
habitat (see Climate Change, below). We
now consider habitats characterized by
the presence of persistent spring snow
for survival and reproduction to be a
physical and ecological requirement for
wolverines in the contiguous United
States (see Life-History Needs, below).
New evidence from around the world
reinforces that snow—especially
persistent spring snow—is an important
predictor of broad-scale wolverine
distribution and density (Aubry et al.
2023, pp. 15–16; Carroll et al. 2020, p.
8; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10; Glass et al.
2021, entire; Mowat et al. 2020, p. 220).
Snow cover appears to influence
wolverine dispersal and resulting
genetic structure (Balkenhol et al. 2020,
pp. 798–799). Warming future
conditions could make caching food
more difficult for wolverines year-round
(Van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8–10).
Climate change also has the potential to
exacerbate the impacts of other
stressors, including effects from roads,
winter recreational activity,
development, low genetic diversity, and
small populations (see Threats, below).
Wolverines have denned outside of
spring snowpack in the boreal forests of
Canada and Scandinavia; however, the
importance of spring snow for denning
may vary among areas depending on the
abundance of alternative den site
structures, competitors, and food
resources (Persson et al. 2023, p. 5810).
Furthermore, there is no evidence that
North American wolverines have
denned in areas outside of spring
snowpack in their alpine habitats in the
contiguous United States. In light of
this, we do not expect North American
wolverines to continue to have the same
or better resiliency in the contiguous
United States in the future when cold
and snowy conditions are expected to
decrease, with spring snowpack
decreasing as much as 50 percent in
some areas. Although we are not seeing
deleterious effects of climate change on
the contiguous U.S. population of North
American wolverines currently, we
expect future impacts at the population
level. For further detail, see the
discussion under Climate Change,
below.
(2) Comment: We received several
public comments during our request for
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information claiming that low
population size (and small effective
population size) warrant listing of the
North American wolverine as
threatened or endangered.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
stated that wolverines are difficult
animals to survey, and populations
occur in naturally low densities across
their North American range, due in large
part to their need for large, exclusive
territories. At that time (and still today),
the only estimate of the number of
wolverines that currently occupy the
contiguous United States is the oftencited population estimate of 318
wolverines (range: 249–926) in the
contiguous United States. This estimate
was derived from habitat modeling
presented in Inman et al. (2013). That
publication also provided a modeled
estimate of potential wolverine capacity
in the contiguous United States of 644
wolverines (range: 506–1881). We also
reported the preliminary results from
the Western States Wolverine
Conservation Project (WSWCP)
occupancy study in four western States
(Idaho, Montana, Washington, and
Wyoming) and from a pilot occupancy
study in Wyoming (2015–2016) (Service
2018, appendix B). Preliminary analysis
of the study results indicated an average
estimated probability of occupancy of
0.42, suggesting that wolverines used
nearly half of all sites during the study
period (MFWP 2017, pers. comm.).
Although the sum of these reports
cannot confirm the previous estimate of
population size or verify population
trends, they offer recent evidence that
wolverines continue to be observed
across a large area of the western United
States.
We also discussed the estimated
effective population size by Schwartz et
al. (2009), which estimated a summed
effective population size of 35, with
credible limits from 28 to 52 (Schwartz
et al. 2009, p. 3,226). We stated that the
analysis missed two wolverine
subpopulations as well as individuals,
which would underestimate the results
for this type of analysis. We went on to
discuss the apparent connectivity
between wolverines in the contiguous
United States and Canada, and we
considered the contiguous United States
to be genetically continuous with
wolverines in adjacent Canadian
provinces. We concluded that a small
effective population size would be more
of a concern if the population was in
isolation; however, wolverines in the
contiguous United States are not
genetically isolated from wolverines in
Canada.
Our 2023 Response: The best
available estimate of effective
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population size for the wolverine in the
Northern Rocky Mountains continues to
be 35 (credible interval = 28–52)
(Schwartz et al. 2009, p. 3226). We
estimated the effective population size
of wolverines in the North Cascades to
be four (Service 2023, p. 27). Overall,
the effective population size estimates
of wolverines in the contiguous United
States are small compared to
conservation guidelines, and the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverines appear to be vulnerable to
inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity
when considered in isolation. However,
only one or two effective migrants per
generation (i.e., the number of migrants
that reproduce at the same rate as
residents) are likely needed to achieve
genetic population connectivity and
maintain existing levels of genetic
diversity (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 209).
At the time we published the October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we considered the contiguous
U.S. population to be genetically
continuous with Canada. We now know
that wolverine populations in southern
British Columbia and Alberta near the
transboundary interface are less
genetically connected to the contiguous
United States than we found in our 2018
SSA. New information has revealed that
female wolverines appear to avoid
crossing major roadways, including the
Trans-Canada Highway (Highway 1) and
the Crowsnest Highway (Highway 3) in
southern British Columbia (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 11–14). Substantially lower
mitochondrial DNA diversity in the
United States, as compared to
mitochondrial DNA diversity in Canada,
is consistent with the nuclear DNA
signals of limited contemporary female
gene flow between the countries and the
wolverine’s relatively recent
recolonization at the southern edge of
their range (Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17).
See ‘‘Gene Flow Between the United
States and Canada’’ and ‘‘Population
Structure and Gene Flow Within
Canada,’’ below, for more detail. Given
the new information on limited gene
flow with Canada and the potential
impacts of climate change to future
dispersal, the low effective population
size in the contiguous U.S. population
of North American wolverines is a
concern to future population viability.
(3) Comment: We received several
public comments during our request for
information claiming that the North
American wolverine faces threats from
indiscriminate trapping in the
contiguous United States, or are
negatively impacted by incidental
trapping.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In
our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
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83731
document (85 FR 64618), we stated that
trapping or hunting of wolverines was
not allowed in any State within the
range of the wolverine in the contiguous
United States, and we presented the
legal protections afforded to wolverines
in each State. We summarized what we
knew at the time about incidental
trapping. In the wolverine SSA report,
we provided a summary of the number
of wolverines that have been
incidentally trapped in Idaho (18 since
1965, including 6 known to be released
alive and 7 known mortalities), Montana
(4 since 2013, 3 mortalities and 1
released unharmed), and Wyoming (2
since 1996, 1 mortality and 1 released
unharmed) (Service 2018, p. 66). Both
Idaho and Montana are implementing
trapper education programs to minimize
nontarget wolverine captures. We noted
that regulated trapping and hunting of
wolverines occurs in parts of Alaska and
Canada, and appears to be sustainable
based on population and density
estimates.
Our 2023 Response: Legal trapping of
wolverines has not occurred in the
contiguous United States in the past 10
years. Wolverine trapping remains
closed throughout the western United
States, and wolverines have retained
various protected status designations in
the States within their current U.S.
range (Service 2023, table 10).
Therefore, legal direct trapping is no
longer a stressor on wolverines in the
contiguous United States. In the past 10
years, lethal incidental trapping of
wolverines has been minimal
(approximately 1 to 2 animals per year
or fewer), primarily occurring in Idaho
and Montana (see Overutilization for
Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes, below). New
information suggests that recent
overharvest from trapping has occurred
in southern Canada in areas that could
provide dispersing individuals to the
contiguous United States (Mowat et al.
2020, entire). Trapping in southern
Canada appears to have had a more
negative effect on wolverine
populations in Canada than previously
thought. Legacy effects of recent
unsustainable trapping levels in a
portion of the southern Rocky
Mountains of Canada could limit
dispersal of individuals into the
contiguous United States in an area
where wolverine connectivity between
the United States and southern Canada
is vital to the genetic and demographic
health of the U.S. wolverine population.
See Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes and Provisions of the Interim
4(d) Rule, below, for further details.
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(4) Comment: We received several
public comments identifying potential
threats to wolverines from winter
recreation activities, such as
snowmobiling and backcountry skiing.
Our 2020 Response Summarized:
When we published our October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), there was little information on
the effect of winter recreation on
wolverines. We received a final report of
a multiyear study on the effects of
winter recreation on wolverines
(Heinemeyer et al. 2017, entire) in midDecember 2017, and the results of this
study were published (Heinemeyer et al.
2019a, entire) prior to the publication of
our 2020 withdrawal document. The
study found that wolverines were
displaced from habitat by winter
recreation but maintained multiyear
home ranges, and the authors suggest
that wolverines are able to tolerate
winter recreation at some scales
(Heinemeyer et al. 2017, p. iv;
Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16). The
study described habitat selection as
complex for female wolverines and
stated that habitat selection was likely
driven by a combination of abiotic
(snow, cold) and biotic (predator
avoidance, food availability) factors
(Heinemeyer et al. 2017, p. 36;
Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16). This
study did not assess demographic
effects, fitness effects, or populationlevel effects of winter recreation on
wolverines (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a,
pp. 17, 19).
Our 2023 Response: There are
multiple recent studies that indicate
wolverines are negatively affected and
displaced (at least temporarily) by
various types of backcountry winter
recreation (Barrueto et al. 2022, entire;
Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, entire;
Heinemeyer et al. 2019b, entire; Kortello
et al. 2019, entire; Mack and Hagen
2022, entire; Regan et al. 2020, entire).
The effect of winter recreation activity
(of concern due to potential impacts to
denning and survival), in isolation,
represents a low threat to wolverines in
the contiguous United States at the
population level. However, in
combination with other threats,
including decreased snow availability
(see Climate Change, below) and
increased overlap with winter
recreationalists in the future due to
climate change, winter recreation could
negatively affect wolverine population
resilience in the future. See Disturbance
Due to Winter Recreational Activity,
below, for further details.
(5) Comment: We received public
comments claiming that wolverines are
dependent on deep snow for survival
and expressing concern for future
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changes in snowpack due to the effects
of climate change.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: Our
response to this comment in our
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618) focused on snow
availability for denning and the
wolverine’s ability to cope with
changing snow conditions in the
denning context. We stated that
wolverines can and have denned
outside of heavy snowpack, multiple
factors play a role in den site selection,
females will move dens as young
become mobile, and areas of significant
snowpack will likely persist in the
future the contiguous United States in
areas where wolverines are known to
den at levels that will continue to
support wolverines. Our review of
studies of wolverine denning activity
found no quantitative data reporting
snow depth at the den site when
wolverines abandon the den. More
importantly, wolverine reproductive
success has not been studied relative to
a number of abiotic and biotic
conditions, including depth and
temporal aspect of spring snow cover.
In our evaluation of the effects of
climate change to snowpack (see Service
2018, pp. 73–99), we presented a finerscale analysis (0.0625 km2 (0.24 mi2))
for two study areas (Glacier National
Park and Rocky Mountain National
Park) that focused directly on May 15,
in addition to the presence or absence
of snow on May 1 and April 15. These
dates are more relevant to the North
America wolverine’s life-history needs.
We also modeled the depth of
‘‘significant’’ snow (0.5 m (20 in)) on
these dates. We found that large areas
(several hundred km2/mi2 for each
study area) of future snow cover (greater
than 0.5 m (20 in) in depth) are
projected to persist on May 1 at
elevations currently used by wolverines
for denning. This is true, on average,
across the range of climate models used
out to approximately year 2055.
Our 2023 Response: As discussed
above in our response to (1) Comment,
the wolverine is a snow-adapted species
that utilizes cold and snowy habitats for
multiple aspects of its life history. To
inform our assessment of the
wolverine’s status in the contiguous
United States, we updated our previous
climate change analysis, the details of
which are summarized in the wolverine
SSA report addendum (Service 2023,
pp. 47–60). Our analysis focuses on the
expected loss of snowpack out to 2100
in five modeling domains that overlap
with occupied and potential wolverine
habitat in the contiguous United States
across latitudinal, longitudinal, and
elevation gradients. The Service chose a
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snow depth threshold of greater than or
equal to 1 m (3.3 ft) to represent
significant snow cover on May 1, which
provides a more conservative estimate
than was used in the 2018 SSA (i.e.,
greater than or equal to 0.5 m (20 in.)
on May 1). This updated analysis shows
that cold and snowy conditions at high
elevations are expected to decrease,
with spring snowpack at denning
elevations decreasing as much as 50
percent in some areas. As a result, we
expect wolverine population resiliency
in the contiguous United States to
decrease in the future. For more
information see Climate Change, below.
(8) Comment: We also received public
comments recommending that the North
American wolverine not be listed as
threatened or endangered under the Act.
One commenter stated that State
wildlife agencies are capable of
managing the species and are able to
provide protections that ensure
continued population growth towards
population objectives established by
these agencies and that mandates of
various Federal resource management
agencies provide a commitment to
managing wildlife habitat in a way that
benefits all wildlife species, including
wolverines and other forest carnivores.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
acknowledged that some members of the
public supported our decision to
withdraw our proposed rule to list the
North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States as a
threatened species under the Act. In the
wolverine SSA report (Service 2018,
appendix G), we provided a summary of
the regulatory protections provided by
western States and Federal agencies, as
well as management measures being
implemented, to conserve the wolverine
and its habitat. Trapping or hunting of
wolverines was prohibited in the
contiguous United States when our
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618) published.
Our 2023 Response: We appreciate
the regulatory protections and
management measures our State wildlife
agency partners and Federal resource
management agencies have enacted to
conserve the North American wolverine
and its habitat (Service 2018, appendix
G). However, we have determined that
the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine meets the Act’s
definition of a threatened species as
described in this rule due to future
threats, including the reduction in
spring snowpack from climate change.
This determination is not a reflection on
the adequacy of State management or
the capability of States to manage the
species but rather an acknowledgement
of the serious threat posed to the species
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by climate change. Along with the
listing, we are finalizing an interim 4(d)
rule that will promote conservation of
the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine by encouraging
management of the landscape by our
partners in ways that meet the
conservation needs of the wolverine.
The provisions of this 4(d) rule provide
one of many tools we will use to
promote the conservation of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine.
(10) Comment: We received
comments from several organizations
that support the listing of the North
American wolverine and designation of
critical habitat. Threats cited include
restricted migration, habitat loss and
connectivity related to threats from
effects of climate change, nontarget
trapping pressures, road mortality and
other effects of roads (e.g., noise,
pollution, fragmentation of habitat),
motorized recreation and traffic in
wildlife corridors, timber sales and
associated roads, and effects of
snowmobile traffic (habitat
fragmentation and pollution, and
change in behavior).
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
found that demographic risks to the
species from either known or most
likely potential stressors (i.e.,
disturbance due to winter recreational
activities, other human disturbances,
effects of wildland fire, disease,
predation, overutilization, genetic
diversity, small population effects,
climate change, and cumulative effects)
were low based on our evaluation of the
best available information at the time in
relation to current and potential future
conditions for the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States and in the context of the
attributes that affect the needs of the
DPS (Service 2018, p. 103). Thus, we
determined that the North American
wolverine in the contiguous United
States did not meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species under the Act.
Our 2023 Response: Our 2018
wolverine SSA report and 2023 SSA
report addendum provide a thorough
assessment of the threats affecting the
North American wolverine in the
contiguous United States. New
information related to the threats
affecting the contiguous U.S. DPS of the
North American wolverine have led us
to a different conclusion than the one
we presented in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). In
this final rule, we examine the best
available information about threats to
the wolverine, including effects from
roads, disturbance due to winter
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recreational activity, other human
disturbance, effects from wildland fire,
disease, predation, overutilization
(trapping), genetic diversity, small
population effects, and climate change,
including the cumulative effects of these
threats. See Summary of Biological
Status and Threats, below, for a
complete discussion of threats affecting
the DPS. After assessing the best
available information, we conclude that
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine is not currently in
danger of extinction but is likely to
become in danger of extinction within
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range.
(12) Comment: We received
comments from several industry groups
supporting our August 13, 2014,
withdrawal (79 FR 47522) of our
February 4, 2013, proposed rule (78 FR
7864) to list the North American
wolverine as threatened. In general,
their support rests on the following: (1)
The DPS determination presented in our
previous proposed rules (both 2010 and
2013) was flawed; (2) the North
American wolverine does not meet the
definition of a threatened species; (3)
the obligate relationship with denning
and need for snow has not been
adequately addressed (and may be a
habitat preference); and (4) climate
model projections do not support
complete loss of snow. They also urged
us to reaffirm prior findings that winter
recreation (motorized and
nonmotorized) is not a threat to
wolverines.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
reevaluated wolverines occurring in the
contiguous United States under our
Policy Regarding the Recognition of
Distinct Vertebrate Population Segments
Under the Endangered Species Act (DPS
policy; 61 FR 4722, February 7, 1996).
See Distinct Population Segment in the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618 at 64628–64631) for more
information. We provided our analysis
of the status of wolverines in the
contiguous United States under
Determination of Species Status in the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618 at 64645–64647). The
topic of denning behavior is discussed
in the wolverine SSA report (see ‘‘Use
of Dens and Denning Behavior’’ under
Reproduction and Growth in the
wolverine SSA report (Service 2018, pp.
23–28)). For our analysis of the effects
of climate change to North American
wolverines and denning habitat, see
‘‘Climate Change and Potential for
Cumulative Effects’’ in the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618 at 64642–64644).
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Our 2023 Response: In this final rule,
we provide our revised evaluation of
discreteness and significance under our
DPS policy of the segment of the North
American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States considering
new information available since the
publication of our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618).
We also explain how new information
has led us to a different determination
from previous DPS analyses. The
analysis contained in this rulemaking
supersedes and replaces any previous
DPS analysis for the segment of the
North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States. We
conclude that the population of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States is discrete and significant in
relation to the remainder of the species
in North America. For more
information, see Distinct Population
Segment Analysis for Wolverine in the
Contiguous United States, below.
The wolverine population in the
contiguous United States is expected to
decrease in resiliency, redundancy, and
representation in the foreseeable future.
The best available information suggests
that habitat loss as a result of climate
change, and the resulting exacerbating
effect on other stressors, are likely to
decrease the viability of wolverines in
the contiguous United States within this
century (see ‘‘Summary of Future
Condition’’ and Determination of North
American Wolverine’s Status, below).
Our review of the best scientific and
commercial data available indicates that
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine meets the Act’s
definition of a threatened species.
We acknowledge the precise causal
mechanism(s) for the apparent
association of wolverine distribution
with persistent spring snow are not yet
clear. The association could involve the
importance of snow for denning or other
aspects of the species’ biology and
ecology. We address uncertainties under
Areas of Uncertainty for Wolverine
Habitat Needs, below. That said, we
know that wolverines are a species that
is adapted to, and has a strong
preference for, cold and snowy
conditions and that these conditions
will be reduced in the future. The
commenter is accurate in that climate
models do not predict a complete loss
of snow within the North American
wolverine’s range in the contiguous
United States. However, we expect
climate change to reduce snowpack in
areas used by wolverines by as much as
50 percent in some places (see our
analysis under Climate Change, below).
We conclude increasing temperatures
and decreasing snowpack have the
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largest potential to influence the
population viability of the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine in the future.
Regarding winter recreation, new
information supports our understanding
that some forms of winter recreation,
backcountry motorized recreation
especially, have the potential to
negatively impact wolverines. See our
response to (4) Comment, above, and
Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational
Activity, below, for further details.
Comments From Tribes
(14) Comment: We received
comments from one consortium of
Tribal nations stating that, based on the
weight of evidence provided in our
previous rules, the North American
wolverine meets the Act’s definition of
endangered or threatened and is
therefore warranted for listing. Specific
threats mentioned in the comment letter
included current population status,
winter recreation activities, and effects
of climate change. The Tribes also
included comments documenting the
cultural value of the wolverine and
connection to cultural practices and
concern for the loss of wolverine
populations in the contiguous United
States. The Tribes encouraged the
Service to use sound and solid science
in the listing determination and noted
that additional population monitoring
and Tribal climate change modeling
efforts are under way to evaluate the
status of the wolverine.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
appreciate the unique perspective
provided by the Tribal nations regarding
the contribution of the North American
wolverine to the Tribes’ culture and
spirituality. We also appreciate the
commitment of the Tribal nations to
continue studies of wolverines.
We used the best available scientific
information to provide a detailed
description of the North American
wolverine’s life history and ecology,
including a detailed discussion of
wolverine denning habitat and behavior.
We conducted an analysis to assess the
current population status. Conservation
measures and regulatory mechanisms
relative to the North American
wolverine were also provided in the
wolverine SSA report. This information
was used to evaluate the current and
future conditions of the DPS. We
evaluated results from a fine-scale
analysis of the potential effects of
climate change to future snowpack
conditions and found significant areas
of snow (several hundred km2/mi2) will
persist on May 1 at elevations used by
wolverines for denning. We determined
that, based on the best available
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information, the North American
wolverine in the contiguous United
States did not warrant listing as
threatened or endangered under the Act
in 2020.
Our 2023 Response: We appreciate
the commitment of the Tribal nations to
further our knowledge of this unique
species. We have gathered the best
available information on North
American wolverines and used this
information to assess the current and
future population status of wolverines
in the contiguous United States.
Regarding winter recreation, see our
response to (4) Comment, above, and
Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational
Activity, below, for further details.
Regarding the effects of climate
change to North American wolverines,
see our response to (1) Comment, above,
and Climate Change, below. We
conclude that the contiguous U.S. DPS
of the North American wolverine is not
currently in danger of extinction but is
likely to become in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
all of its range.
(15) Comment: We received
comments from one Tribe whose
territory is occupied by the North
American wolverine. The Tribe
submitted a comment letter in 2013
supporting our proposed listing. The
Tribe stated that the conservation and
restoration of the wolverine and other
species within this homeland is of great
importance to the Tribe’s subsistence,
culture, religion, and economy. The
letter also identified conservation and
management plans currently under
development and highlighted that the
wolverine is designated as a species of
concern in these current draft plans.
Specific comments were provided
relative to threats from climate change
(including relative to demographic
stochasticity), recreation and urban
development, and incidental take.
Included in those comments were
references to other studies under way
(e.g., Adaptation Partners and climate
change vulnerability assessments;
winter recreation study) to evaluate
these potential stressors.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
appreciate the perspective provided
regarding the importance of the North
American wolverine and other species
to the Tribe and its commitment to
current and future conservation and
management actions. We also appreciate
and evaluated the information presented
in the citations that were provided in
the comment letter. The best available
scientific information was used to
evaluate the current conditions (i.e.,
potential stressors, including winter
recreation) and future conditions (e.g.,
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effects of climate change) of the DPS.
Based on the best available information,
we determined that the North American
wolverine in the contiguous United
States did not warrant listing as
endangered or threatened under the Act
in 2020.
Our 2023 Response: Information
previously provided by the Tribe was
considered in the 2018 SSA report. We
include new and updated scientific
information in the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum, including
information on the current conditions
(i.e., potential stressors, including
winter recreation) and future conditions
(e.g., effects of climate change) of the
DPS. Based on the best available
information, we now determine that the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine meets the Act’s
definition of a threatened species.
State Agency Comments
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we also
addressed the extensive comments from
several western States, including
previously submitted comments in
response to the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864) as
well as additional comments submitted
in response to our October 18, 2016,
document that reopened the public
comment period on the 2013 proposed
listing rule (81 FR 71670). These
comments were grouped together and
summarized as described below.
(16) Comment: We received detailed
comments critical of our reliance on
‘‘unverified’’ climate model projections
in our February 4, 2013, proposed
listing rule, the lack of discussion of
assumptions in adopting the model
findings, the lack of evaluating
alternative hypotheses, and the need to
evaluate these effects at the den-site
scale. One State agency recommended
that, given the disagreements in the
scientific community on the
interpretation of these results, the
Service solicit an independent,
scientific review of the February 4,
2013, proposed listing rule.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In
preparing the 2018 SSA report for the
North American wolverine, our
foundational science document for
informing the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal (85 FR 64618), we reviewed
available reports and peer-reviewed
literature, incorporated survey
information for the purpose of preparing
updated maps of the known current and
historical occurrences of the North
American wolverine, and contacted
species experts to collect additional
unpublished information. We evaluated
the appropriate analytical tools to
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address data gaps and uncertainties. In
some instances, we used publications
and other reports of the Eurasian
subspecies (Gulo gulo gulo) to fully
inform our knowledge of the North
American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus).
Before finalizing the 2018 SSA report,
the draft wolverine SSA report was
submitted for peer review to four
independent peer reviewers and
submitted to our Federal, State, and
Tribal partners for scientific review. We
incorporated the results of these reviews
in the 2018 wolverine SSA report, as
appropriate.
We recognized that climate trends and
future (2055 and later) climate model
projections indicated warming
temperatures for much of western North
America, and changes to snowpack
conditions. Our assessment of climate
change impacts indicated that large
areas (several hundred km2/mi2 for each
study area) of future snow (greater than
0.5 m (20 in) in depth) would persist on
May 1 at elevations currently used by
wolverines for denning. This was true,
on average, across the range of climate
models used out to approximately year
2055.
Our 2023 Response: In the 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum, we
expanded upon our climate analysis
from the 2018 SSA report. Both SSA
documents went through an
independent, scientific peer review
process. The assessment of the climate
modeling results, presented below
under Climate Change, and applied in
the ‘‘Summary of Future Condition’’
discussion, replaces and supersedes the
analysis of modeling results presented
in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing
rule (78 FR 7864) and the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618). We acknowledge there are
uncertainties around the nature of the
wolverine’s relationship with cold and
snowy conditions (see Areas of
Uncertainty for Wolverine Habitat
Needs, below). Cold and snowy
conditions at high elevations favored by
wolverines in the contiguous United
States are expected to decrease, with
spring snowpack at denning elevations
decreasing as much as 50 percent in
some areas.
(17) Comment: We received
comments critical of our previous
support for findings by Schwartz et al.
(2009) regarding effective population
size. Relatedly, several States
commented on recent dispersal/
movements of wolverines into
California, Colorado, and Utah as
evidence of population expansion.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In
the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we referred to
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our response to (2) Comment for a
discussion of effective population size
(85 FR 64618 at 64620). Regarding
recent occurrences of wolverines in the
contiguous United States, we noted that
wolverines had recently been found in
areas where they were once extirpated
in the contiguous United States. See
‘‘Population Abundance and Density’’
in the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618 at 64634–
64636) for more information.
Our 2023 Response: The best
available estimate of effective
population size for the Northern Rocky
Mountains continues to be that
provided by Schwartz et al. 2009 (p.
3226): 35 (credible interval = 28–52).
We estimated the effective population
size of wolverines in the North Cascades
to be four (Service 2023, p. 27). We are
not aware of any other estimates of the
effective population size of North
American wolverines in the contiguous
United States. See also our response to
(2) Comment, above, and Effective
Population Size in the Contiguous
United States, below, for more
information.
We have gathered updated occurrence
information in our 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum (Service 2023, figure
2). We acknowledge that there are recent
occurrences of wolverines in the
western United States in areas where
they have not been reported for years or
very rarely (California, Colorado,
Oregon, and Utah). These occurrences
outside of the known breeding
distribution are encouraging, but there
is no evidence of breeding population
expansion into California, Colorado,
Oregon, and Utah.
(18) Comment: We received
comments from several western States
presenting clarifications or updates to
incidental trapping events and trapping
regulations.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We
noted that trapping or hunting of
wolverines was not allowed in any
western State (with the exception of
Alaska, which was not included in the
DPS in our February 4, 2013, proposed
listing rule (78 FR 7864)). Legal
protections for wolverines are codified
in western State laws and regulations
concerning hunting and trapping. Since
2013, there has been a zero quota for
trapping or harvest of wolverines in
Montana. We described the
documentation of incidental trapping of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States (as recently as December 2017)
and noted that not all events resulted in
mortality. We acknowledged that both
Idaho and Montana are implementing
trapper education programs to minimize
nontarget wolverine captures.
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Our 2023 Response: We gathered
updated information from States within
the North American wolverine’s range
about incidental trapping, trapping
regulations, and measures taken by
States to prevent incidental trapping of
wolverines. Lethal incidental trapping
of wolverines has been minimal (1 to 2
animals per year), primarily occurring
in Idaho and Montana. In the
Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes discussion, below, we provide
an assessment of incidental trapping
and the measures States are taking to
reduce incidental trapping of
wolverines.
(19) Comment: Several States
provided comments in response to our
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
(78 FR 7864) and our October 18, 2016,
reopening of the public comment period
(81 FR 71670) indicating their
disagreement with our determination of
a wolverine DPS for the contiguous
United States. Specifically, some
commenters stated that the criteria of
significance should be reevaluated,
noting that the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule did not provide
any substantive information to support
our conclusion that the loss of the
wolverine in the contiguous United
States would result in a significant gap
in the range of the species; that is, our
previous use of the loss of latitudinal
range does not provide a rational basis
for concluding that the loss of the
wolverine in the contiguous United
States would be significant in relation to
the taxon. Another commenter stated
that the wolverine population in the
contiguous United States is connected
geographically and genetically to the
Canada/Alaska populations and these
northern populations were likely the
source of recolonization during the 20th
century. Further, this commenter stated
there is not a difference in control of
exploitation and conservation status
between the United States and Canada.
Another commenter noted that,
throughout the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule, the Service
acknowledged that, historically, the
wolverine population in the contiguous
United States was markedly reduced by
systematic predator control programs
and unregulated trapping. The
commenter pointed out that areas of
suitable habitat in the North Cascades,
where trapping has been minimal or
nonexistent for decades, and northern
Rockies were recolonized by animals
from Canada, where relatively liberal
trapping is still allowed. The
commenter asserted that our
characterization in the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule of ‘‘liberal’’
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Canadian regulations as sufficient to
‘‘maintain the robust conservation status
of the Canadian population,’’ does not
comport with our characterization that
the very limited trapping in the
contiguous United States (Montana
only) is insufficient to maintain the
rebounding population designated as a
DPS.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In
light of the updated analysis and new
information included in the 2018
wolverine SSA report, we reevaluated
wolverines in the contiguous United
States under our DPS policy. We
concluded that the population of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States was not discrete in relation to the
remainder of the species in North
America. As a result, in 2020, the
population of wolverines in the
contiguous United States was not a
listable entity under section 3(16) of the
Act. See Distinct Population Segment in
the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618 at 64627–
64631) for more information.
Our 2023 Response: As stated above,
in this final rule we provide our revised
evaluation of discreteness and
significance under the DPS policy of the
segment of the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States considering new
information. We also explain how new
information has led us to different
conclusions from previous DPS
analyses. The analysis contained in this
rulemaking supersedes and replaces any
previous DPS analysis for the segment
of the North American wolverine
occurring in the contiguous United
States.
Regarding the commenter’s concern
with the significance analysis, we have
determined, as we did in the February
4, 2013, proposed listing rule, that there
is evidence that the loss of the
wolverine in the contiguous United
States would result in a significant gap
in the range of the taxon. Based upon
the loss of approximately 58,998,140
acres (238,757 km2) of high-quality
wolverine habitat from the southern
extent of the range and the adaptive
potential that part of the range provides
against oncoming climate change
impacts, and the 12-degree latitudinal
gap in the wolverine’s range that would
result if the U.S. population was lost,
we determine that the loss of the
contiguous U.S. wolverine population
would result in a significant gap in the
range of the taxon. Thus, the DPS meets
the definition of significant in our DPS
policy. For more information see
Analysis of Significance, below.
Regarding the commenter’s assertion
that wolverines in the contiguous
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United States are connected to Canada,
which relates to the discreteness
analysis of our DPS policy, we do not
consider wolverines in the contiguous
United States to be genetically or
morphologically discontinuous from
wolverines in Canada (McKelvey et al.
2014, entire; Pilgrim and Schwartz
2018, entire; Sawaya et al. 2023, entire).
Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous
United States are not discrete based on
marked separation from other
populations of the same taxon.
However, we determined that the
wolverine meets the discreteness
criterion in our DPS policy (61 FR 4722;
February 7, 1996), as delimited by the
international boundary with Canada and
given differences in control of
exploitation, conservation status, and
regulatory mechanisms that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D)
of the Act. See Analysis of Discreteness,
below, for more information.
Finally, regarding the commenter’s
point about our characterization in the
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
of trapping in Canada versus the
contiguous United States, we have
considered updated trapping
information in our DPS analysis. New
information available since the
publication of our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618)
indicates that overharvest from trapping
in Canada was likely causing more of an
impact than previously thought. Recent
studies show that harvest levels in
portions of southeastern British
Columbia and southwestern Alberta
were unsustainable and causing
population declines (Mowat et al. 2020,
entire; Barrueto et al. 2022, entire) and
could negatively impact movement of
individuals from Canada to the
contiguous United States (Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.). We now conclude that the
differences between Canada and the
United States in control of exploitation
are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act and the wolverine
population in the contiguous United
States meets the DPS policy’s standard
for ‘‘discreteness.’’ See Analysis of
Discreteness, below, for more
information.
We conclude that the population of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States is discrete and significant in
relation to the remainder of the species
in North America. For our complete
DPS analysis, see Distinct Population
Segment Analysis for Wolverine in the
Contiguous United States, below.
Comments Received in Response to Our
November 23, 2022, Publication
As stated above, on November 23,
2022, we published a document in the
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soliciting new information to update the
wolverine SSA so that we could
reevaluate whether the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States is a distinct population
segment and, if so, whether the distinct
population segment meets the definition
of an endangered or threatened species
under the Act. This document also
notified the public that the February 4,
2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864)
had been reinstated as a result of court
action. In response to the November 23,
2022, publication, we received
additional information including survey
results, reports, documented mortalities,
management efforts, and recent
wolverine literature that we evaluated
and incorporated as appropriate into our
wolverine SSA report addendum.
Although not requested, we also
received comments from submitters on
topics related to determinations
regarding wolverine, including whether
the wolverine should or should not be
listed as an endangered or threatened
species under the Act. The comments
we received are similar to those we
present and respond to above.
Peer Reviewer Comments on the 2023
Wolverine SSA Report Addendum
We received comments from three
peer reviewers on the draft wolverine
SSA report addendum. We reviewed all
comments we received from the peer
reviewers for substantive issues
regarding the information contained in
the wolverine SSA report addendum, as
well as any new information. The peer
reviewers generally provided additional
references, clarifications, and
suggestions, including further
definitions of some of the terms used in
the wolverine SSA report addendum.
We updated the wolverine SSA report
addendum based on the peer reviewers’
comments, including revising some of
our adaptive capacity scores, clarifying
specific points where appropriate, and
adding additional details and suggested
references where needed. Peer reviewer
comments are addressed in the
following summary.
(PR1) Comment: Regarding our
climate change analysis, one peer
reviewer did not agree with our initial
characterization of the shared
socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 5–8.5
emissions scenario as worst case, and
stated there are possible scenarios that
could be more extreme. They also
recommended the wolverine SSA report
addendum more clearly point out the
uncertainty around the climate models
and emissions scenarios by stating the
scenarios are representative of a large
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portion of plausible outcomes, but not
all.
Our Response: We addressed the peer
reviewer’s concern by removing
mention of likelihood when discussing
specific emissions scenarios. We also
modified the text to include the latest
guidance from the White House Office
of Science and Technology Policy on
Selecting Climate Information to Use in
Climate Risk and Impact Assessments
(OSTP 2023, entire), which recommends
using SSP5–8.5 as an upper bounding
scenario. We applied SSP5–8.5 as the
upper bound to estimate future snow
cover available for wolverines within
the selected domains.
(PR2) Comment: A peer reviewer
questioned why we used the SSP2–4.5
and SSP5–8.5 emissions scenarios for
our future condition analysis. They
suggested we use SSP1–1.9 instead of
SSP2–4.5 since it is the opposite
extreme of SSP5–8.5.
Our Response: For our future analysis,
we used SSP2–4.5 because that
emissions scenario is closest to the
current emissions trajectory we are on
now, which provides a plausible lower
boundary estimate of future snow cover
available for North American
wolverines. The Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has
recently deemed our ability to limit
warming to 1.5 °C (2.7 °F) (SSP1–1.9) as
‘‘impossible’’ with no or limited
overshoot in its 2022 gap analysis (Riahi
et al. 2022, p. 298). Scenario SSP5–8.5
reflects a no-emissions mitigation
policy, which provides a plausible
upper boundary estimate of available
future snow cover.
(PR3) Comment: A peer reviewer was
concerned that the wolverine SSA
report addendum did not list snow as an
important attribute when studies have
shown dens are concordant with spring
snow coverage. The peer reviewer
disagreed with our reasoning for
excluding snow, which was because we
do not know how it impacts survival
and reproduction, and stated we should
also remove food habits, physical
features, and home range size since it is
not clear how any of these impact
survival and reproduction. They believe
the case for snow is much stronger than
any of these other factors.
Our Response: We considered the
information provided and addressed the
peer reviewer’s concern by updating the
wolverine SSA report addendum to
include snow as an important attribute
of wolverine habitat.
(PR4) Comment: One peer reviewer
was concerned about the use of spring
snow cover for distribution. They
questioned our use of the term
‘‘persistent spring snow’’ and the May
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15 end date that is often associated with
the term. The peer reviewer
recommended analyzing snow cover
between February and March, when
young are newborn and most in need of
thermal cover in natal dens. The
reviewer believed that any analysis of
climate change effects at those more
critical times for denning would not
likely show impacts.
Our Response: We used the term
‘‘persistent spring snow’’ in the
wolverine SSA report addendum
because it is a term frequently used in
the scientific literature for wolverines
and appears to be correlated to the
wolverine’s circumpolar distribution.
Snow model outputs for May 1 are
presented in the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum. May 1 was used
based on previous studies documented
in the 2018 SSA (Service 2018, p. 26),
indicating wolverine den site
abandonment generally occurs before
May 1. We acknowledge that young kits
are in natal dens usually from midFebruary to mid-March, so the use of
May 1 snow projections is a
conservative approach, but one which is
consistent with the literature.
As described in the wolverine SSA
report addendum, there are a number of
hypotheses for why wolverines prefer
cold and snowy habitats, and not all of
them are limited to denning (i.e., easier
to get food, more food caching sites,
etc.). These things could be important
for adults throughout the breeding cycle
or for juveniles as they become more
independent from their mothers. We
also discuss the possibility of other
factors that are correlated to persistent
spring snow, such as low temperatures
(also analyzed in Copeland et al. 2010,
entire), being the causal mechanisms for
the observed relationship. In the
wolverine SSA report addendum, we
acknowledge wolverines have been
documented denning in areas without
persistent spring snow (Aronsson and
Persson 2017, p. 266; Copeland et al.
2010, pp. 240–242; Fisher et al. 2022, p.
8; Jokinen et al. 2019, pp. 6–8; Persson
et al. 2023, entire; Webb et al. 2016, pp.
1466–1467); however, this phenomenon
appears to be associated with cold, highlatitude boreal or arctic forests rather
than the alpine habitats used by
wolverines in the contiguous United
States. In the contiguous United States,
there is no evidence that wolverines
have denned in areas without persistent
spring snow.
(PR5) Comment: One peer reviewer
recommended including potential ways
wolverines could adapt their denning
behavior or use smaller or shallower
patches of snow for denning in response
to effects from climate change.
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Our Response: We added language to
the wolverine SSA report addendum to
address this comment and we also
included additional text that snow may
be important for more than just denning.
As stated above, there is no evidence
that wolverines have denned in areas
without persistent spring snow in the
contiguous United States.
(PR6) Comment: A peer reviewer
pointed out that future recreation will
not just increase due to an increase in
the human population, but also because
snow-dependent recreational activities
will be constrained to a smaller area that
still contains quality snow in the future.
Our Response: We included text in
the wolverine SSA report addendum
reflecting the reviewer’s comment.
(PR7) Comment: One peer reviewer
suggested adding Colorado’s wolverine
reintroduction plan to the wolverine
SSA report addendum as a voluntary
conservation measure.
Our Response: We updated the
wolverine SSA report addendum to
include a description of Colorado Parks
and Wildlife’s previous consideration of
reintroducing wolverines to Colorado as
a nonessential experimental population
(see 78 FR 7890, February 4, 2013). We
also describe how this proposal was
subsequently withdrawn in 2014 (see 79
FR 47522, August 13, 2014), when we
withdrew the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), and
that there is currently no formal
proposal to reintroduce wolverines to
Colorado.
(PR8) Comment: Two peer reviewers
provided additional documentation
regarding roads acting as a barrier to
wolverine dispersal. Both provided
different situations where at least one
wolverine was seen crossing roadways,
including a multiple-lane highway. One
peer reviewer also mentioned regularly
seeing wolverine tracks crossing
roadways.
Our Response: We updated the
wolverine SSA report addendum to
reflect these observations and modified
the text to clarify that highways can
limit female gene flow in some
situations, but they are not complete
barriers to wolverine movements.
(PR9) Comment: One peer reviewer
questioned how the artificial cutoff of
the U.S.-Canada international border
influenced the results of the 2009
effective population size analysis
(Schwartz et al. 2009, entire).
Our Response: The effective
population size estimate was only for
the U.S. portion of the Northern
Rockies, and there were no samples
taken from Canada. As we stated in the
wolverine SSA report addendum,
connectivity to larger source
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populations can alleviate the adverse
effects of small effective population
sizes (Frankham et al. 2014, entire). We
also added a paragraph to the wolverine
SSA report addendum to explain that
because effective population size
estimates for wolverine are small,
connectivity with populations in
Canada to allow for migration and gene
flow is crucial to maintaining genetic
diversity.
(PR10) Comment: One peer reviewer
was concerned that current data for the
wolverine are not being compared to
what is known historically. They
specifically called out the comparison of
population sizes, the distribution and
abundance of wolverines in the
contiguous United States, and the
results of genetic studies.
Our Response: As the peer reviewer
mentioned, there is a lack of historical
data to compare to current conditions.
However, our assessment is a forwardlooking one, based on current and future
conditions, and not the change from
historical conditions to current
conditions.
(PR11) Comment: One peer reviewer
questioned the 40 percent decline in
wolverine abundance within a national
park complex in southwestern Canada
(Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et
al. 2022, entire).
Our Response: The Barrueto et al.
(2022) effort is a decade-long research
project that was peer reviewed and
published in a scientific journal. We
note that the initial population estimate
was approximately 50 wolverines at the
start of the study, so a 40 percent
decline over 10 years results in the loss
of approximately 15–20 wolverines. The
wolverine SSA report addendum has
been updated to provide this additional
detail.
(PR12) Comment: A peer reviewer
suggested including additional detail on
how species-specific trapping and
snaring reduce the likelihood of
incidentally capturing a wolverine.
Our Response: We updated the
wolverine SSA report addendum to
include how trappers use pan tension,
site selection, and snare height to
reduce the likelihood of incidental
capture. We also included additional
information we received from the States
on their efforts to reduce incidental
trapping of wolverines.
(PR13) Comment: One peer reviewer
suggested that the median and quartiles
presented in our modeling may not
accurately capture the variability in
environmental conditions. The reviewer
suggested that in addition to calculating
the lower-quartile, median, and upperquartile at each individual grid cell and
timestep, we should also calculate the
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maximum and minimum bracketing
response.
Our Response: We did not conduct
the additional suggested analysis. The
additional analysis would require
significant work and time, and we
conclude our approach includes the
majority of plausible future outcomes
and incorporates the best available
information to inform our listing
determination.
I. Final Listing Determination
Background
A comprehensive review of the life
history, population trends, and ecology
of the North American wolverine is
presented in the wolverine SSA report
(Service 2018, pp. 3–44) and wolverine
SSA report addendum (Service 2023,
entire). The Service recognizes the
North American wolverine as the
subspecies Gulo gulo luscus (Service
2018, p. 8). Wolverines are a mediumsized (about 1 m (3.3 feet (ft)) in length)
carnivore, with a large head, broad
forehead, and short neck (Service 2018,
p. 4). Wolverines have heavy
musculature and relatively short legs,
and large feet with strong, curved claws
for digging and climbing (Service 2018,
p. 4). Their feet are adapted for travel
through deep snow and, during the
winter, dense, stiff, bristle-type hairs are
found between the toes and around the
foot pad. This characteristic becomes
diminished in the summer (Service
2018, p. 4). The wolverine is the largest
terrestrial member of the Mustelidae
family, which includes weasel, fisher,
mink, marten, and others, and resembles
a small bear with a bushy tail (Service
2018, p. 1). Wolverines possess a
number of morphological and
physiological adaptations that allow
them to travel long distances, and they
maintain large territories in remote areas
(Service 2018, p. 1). They have been
described as curious, intelligent, and
playful but cautious animals, though
their social behavior and social
organization has not been well-studied
(Service 2018, p. 1). In North America,
wolverines are found in Alaska, much of
Canada, and the western-northwestern
United States.
During the late 1800s and early 1900s,
the wolverine population declined or
was extirpated in much of the
contiguous United States (lower 48
States), which was most likely the result
of unregulated trapping and predator
poisoning campaigns. Following
regulation of trapping and restrictions
on the use of poison, the wolverine
population rebounded to some extent,
and their distribution expanded to refill
a portion of their previously extirpated
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range. In the contiguous United States,
wolverines are known to reproduce in
Washington, Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming (Service 2023, figure 3).
Solitary individuals or lone dispersing
individuals have been observed in other
western States (Oregon, Colorado, Utah,
and California), but there is no evidence
of reproduction in the contiguous
United States outside of the Northern
Rocky Mountains in Idaho, Montana,
and Wyoming and the Cascade
Mountains of Washington.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and the implementing regulations in
title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations set forth the procedures for
determining whether a species is an
endangered species or a threatened
species, issuing protective regulations
for threatened species, and designating
critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species. In 2019, jointly with
the National Marine Fisheries Service,
the Service issued a final rule that
revised the regulations in 50 CFR part
424 regarding how we add, remove, and
reclassify endangered and threatened
species and the criteria for designating
listed species’ critical habitat (84 FR
45020; August 27, 2019). On the same
day, the Service also issued final
regulations that, for species listed as
threatened species after September 26,
2019, eliminated the Service’s general
protective regulations automatically
applying to threatened species the
prohibitions that section 9 of the Act
applies to endangered species (84 FR
44753; August 27, 2019).
The Act defines an ‘‘endangered
species’’ as a species that is in danger
of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, and a
‘‘threatened species’’ as a species that is
likely to become an endangered species
within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.
The Act requires that we determine
whether any species is an endangered
species or a threatened species because
of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
These factors represent broad
categories of natural or human-caused
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actions or conditions that could have an
effect on a species’ continued existence.
In evaluating these actions and
conditions, we look for those that may
have a negative effect on individuals of
the species, as well as other actions or
conditions that may ameliorate any
negative effects or may have positive
effects.
We use the term ‘‘threat’’ to refer in
general to actions or conditions that are
known to or are reasonably likely to
negatively affect individuals of a
species. The term ‘‘threat’’ includes
actions or conditions that have a direct
impact on individuals (direct impacts),
as well as those that affect individuals
through alteration of their habitat or
required resources (stressors). The term
‘‘threat’’ may encompass—either
together or separately—the source of the
action or condition or the action or
condition itself.
However, the mere identification of
any threat(s) does not necessarily mean
that the species meets the statutory
definition of an ‘‘endangered species’’ or
a ‘‘threatened species.’’ In determining
whether a species meets either
definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the
species’ expected response and the
effects of the threats—in light of those
actions and conditions that will
ameliorate the threats—on an
individual, population, and species
level. We evaluate each threat and its
expected effects on the species, then
analyze the cumulative effect of all of
the threats on the species as a whole.
We also consider the cumulative effect
of the threats in light of those actions
and conditions that will have positive
effects on the species, such as any
existing regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts. The Secretary
determines whether the species meets
the definition of an ‘‘endangered
species’’ or a ‘‘threatened species’’ only
after conducting this cumulative
analysis and describing the expected
effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term
‘‘foreseeable future,’’ which appears in
the statutory definition of ‘‘threatened
species.’’ Our implementing regulations
at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a
framework for evaluating the foreseeable
future on a case-by-case basis. The term
‘‘foreseeable future’’ extends only so far
into the future as we can reasonably
determine that both the future threats
and the species’ responses to those
threats are likely. In other words, the
foreseeable future is the period of time
in which we can make reliable
predictions. ‘‘Reliable’’ does not mean
‘‘certain’’; it means sufficient to provide
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a reasonable degree of confidence in the
prediction. Thus, a prediction is reliable
if it is reasonable to depend on it when
making decisions.
It is not always possible or necessary
to define the foreseeable future as a
particular number of years. Analysis of
the foreseeable future uses the best
scientific and commercial data available
and should consider the timeframes
applicable to the relevant threats and to
the species’ likely responses to those
threats in view of its life-history
characteristics. Data that are typically
relevant to assessing the species’
biological response include speciesspecific factors such as lifespan,
reproductive rates or productivity,
certain behaviors, and other
demographic factors.
Analytical Framework
The wolverine SSA report and SSA
report addendum document the results
of our comprehensive biological review
of the best scientific and commercial
data regarding the status of the North
American wolverine, including an
assessment of the potential threats to the
subspecies occurring in the contiguous
United States. The wolverine SSA
report and SSA report addendum do not
represent our decision on whether the
North American wolverine should be
listed as an endangered or threatened
species under the Act. However, they do
provide the scientific basis that informs
our regulatory decisions, which involve
the further application of standards
within the Act and its implementing
regulations and policies.
To assess viability of the North
American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States, we used the
three conservation biology principles of
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (Shaffer and Stein 2000,
pp. 306–310). Briefly, resiliency is the
ability of the species to withstand
environmental and demographic
stochasticity (for example, wet or dry,
warm or cold years); redundancy is the
ability of the species to withstand
catastrophic events (for example,
droughts, large pollution events), and
representation is the ability of the
species to adapt to both near-term and
long-term changes in its physical and
biological environment (for example,
climate conditions, pathogen). In
general, species viability will increase
with increases in resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Smith
et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these
principles, we identified the subspecies’
ecological requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and
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described the beneficial and risk factors
influencing the subspecies’ viability.
The SSA process can be categorized
into three sequential stages. During the
first stage, we evaluated the individual
subspecies’ life-history needs. The next
stage involved an assessment of the
historical and current condition of the
subspecies’ demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived
at its current condition. The final stage
of the SSA involved making predictions
about the subspecies’ responses to
positive and negative environmental
and anthropogenic influences.
Throughout all of these stages, we used
the best available information to
characterize viability as the ability of a
species (which, under the Act, includes
any subspecies of fish or wildlife or
plants, and any DPS of any species of
vertebrate fish or wildlife which
interbreeds when mature) to sustain
populations in the wild over time. We
use this information to inform our
regulatory decision.
Later in this document, we present a
summary of the key results and
conclusions from the 2018 wolverine
SSA report and 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum; the full SSA report
and SSA report addendum can be found
at Docket No. FWS–R6–ES–2023–0216
on https://www.regulations.gov and at
https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/5123.
Distinct Population Segment
Pursuant to the Act, we must consider
for listing any species, subspecies, or,
for vertebrates, any DPS of these taxa, if
there is sufficient information to
indicate that such action may be
warranted. To interpret and implement
the DPS provision of the Act and
Congressional guidance, the Service and
the National Marine Fisheries Service
published, on February 7, 1996, an
interagency Policy Regarding the
Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate
Population Segments under the Act
(DPS policy; 61 FR 4722, February 7,
1996). The DPS policy addresses the
recognition of DPSs for potential listing
actions. The DPS policy allows for more
refined application of the Act that better
reflects the biological needs of the taxon
being considered, and avoids the
inclusion of entities that do not require
its protective measures.
Under our DPS policy, three elements
are considered in a decision regarding
the status of a possible DPS as
endangered or threatened under the Act.
These are applied similarly for
additions to the Lists of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife and Plants (Lists),
reclassification, and removal from the
Lists. They are: (1) Discreteness of the
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population segment in relation to the
remainder of the taxon; (2) the
biological or ecological significance of
the population segment to the taxon to
which it belongs; and (3) the population
segment’s conservation status in relation
to the Act’s standards for listing (i.e.,
whether the population segment is,
when treated as if it were a species or
subspecies, an endangered or threatened
species). Discreteness refers to the
degree of isolation of a population from
other members of the species, and we
evaluate this factor based on specific
criteria. If a population segment is
considered discrete, we must consider
whether the discrete segment is
‘‘significant’’ to the taxon to which it
belongs by using the best available
scientific and commercial information.
When determining if a potential DPS is
significant, our policy directs us to
sparingly list DPSs while encouraging
the conservation of genetic diversity. If
we determine that a population segment
is both discrete and significant, we then
evaluate it for endangered or threatened
species status based on the Act’s
standards.
We have conducted several DPS
analyses of wolverines in the contiguous
United States since 2010 in response to
new information and legal challenges.
We first found that the population
qualified as a DPS in our 2010 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030; December 14,
2010) on a petition to list the population
as a DPS. We reaffirmed and
summarized this finding in our
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
(78 FR 7864). In 2020, we reversed our
previous finding, based on information
at the time which suggested the
population was not discrete from
wolverine populations in Canada (85 FR
64618; October 13, 2020). Below, we
provide our revised evaluation of
discreteness and significance under the
DPS policy of the segment of the North
American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States. Where
necessary and appropriate below, we
explain how new information has led us
to different conclusions from previous
DPS analyses. The analysis contained in
this rulemaking supersedes and replaces
any previous DPS analysis for the
segment of the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States. We determined that the
contiguous U.S. population of the North
American wolverine meets the
discreteness criterion in our DPS policy;
it is delimited by the international
boundary with Canada, and there are
differences between the United States
and Canada regarding control of
exploitation, conservation status, and
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regulatory mechanisms that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D)
of the Act. We then determined that the
North American wolverine population
occurring in the contiguous United
States is significant because its loss
would result in a significant gap in the
range of the taxon.
Distinct Population Segment Analysis
for Wolverine in the Contiguous United
States
Analysis of Discreteness
Under our DPS policy, a population
segment of a vertebrate species may be
considered discrete if it satisfies either
one of the following conditions: (1) It is
markedly separated from other
populations of the same taxon as a
consequence of physical, physiological,
ecological, or behavioral factors
(quantitative measures of genetic or
morphological discontinuity may
provide evidence of this separation); or
(2) it is delimited by international
governmental boundaries within which
differences in control of exploitation,
management of habitat, conservation
status, or regulatory mechanisms exist
that are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act (inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms).
Discreteness Based on Marked
Separation
In our February 4, 2013, proposed
listing rule (78 FR 7864), we did not
find marked separation from other
populations to support discreteness of
the contiguous U.S. wolverine
population. We also did not find
marked separation to support
discreteness in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal (85 FR 64618). Our review
of the new information presented in the
2023 wolverine SSA report addendum
has not altered that conclusion; we
continue to find that there are no
physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors separating wolverines
in the contiguous United States from
wolverines in Canada. We do not
consider wolverines in the contiguous
United States to be genetically or
morphologically discontinuous from
wolverines in Canada based on genetic
information that supports that Canadian
wolverines repopulated the contiguous
United States over the past several
decades and there are no unique
haplotypes in the contiguous U.S.
population (McKelvey et al. 2014,
entire; Pilgrim and Schwartz 2018,
entire; Sawaya et al. 2023, entire).
Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous
United States are not discrete based on
marked separation from other
populations of the same taxon.
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We next evaluate whether the
wolverine population in the contiguous
United States is discrete based on the
international boundary with Canada.
We separately consider below whether
there is discreteness based on
differences between the two countries in
terms of control of exploitation,
management of habitat, conservation
status, or regulatory mechanisms that
are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act (inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms).
Discreteness Based on the International
Border—Differences in Control of
Exploitation
In our 2010 12-month finding (75 FR
78030; December 14, 2010) and 2013
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864;
February 4, 2013), we noted that
differences in control of exploitation
exist between the United States and
Canada, but concluded those differences
did not result in discreteness because
the differences favored the contiguous
U.S. population, the population that is
at risk. In the wolverine 2018 SSA
report, we noted that trapping or
hunting of wolverines is currently
prohibited in the contiguous United
States and is allowed in Canada (Service
2018, pp. 68–69). In that 2018 SSA
report, we included an analysis of
trapping efforts in southern Canada and
trapping effort along the U.S.–Canada
border, and based on that analysis, we
found trapping to be limited. We again
concluded in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618)
that the differences in exploitation were
not significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act (inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms).
However, new information available
since the publication of the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document indicates
that trapping in Canada was likely
causing more of an impact than
previously thought. Recent studies show
that harvest levels in portions of
southeastern British Columbia and
southwestern Alberta were
unsustainable and causing population
declines (Mowat et al. 2020, entire;
Barrueto et al. 2022, entire). The areas
evaluated are close enough to the
international border that dispersing
individuals would be likely to provide
important genetic diversity and
demographic rescue to the population in
the contiguous United States. Harvest
levels in Canada could negatively
impact movement of individuals from
Canada because, with reduced
populations in Canada, there is less
pressure on individuals to move south
to areas in the United States to find
suitable vacant home ranges (Sawaya
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2023, pers. comm.). Furthermore, female
wolverines appear less likely to disperse
long distances or across major roadways
compared to males (Sawaya et al. 2019,
pp. 621–23). According to the latest
genetic analyses, virtually all of the
recent movement of wolverines from
Canada to the United States appears to
be by males (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12–
14, 17). Although there is now a
trapping moratorium in southeastern
British Columbia (British Columbia
2022, p. 76), it is unclear how long the
moratorium will be in place or what the
legacy effects of recent overharvest in
southern British Columbia will be. In
addition, trapping continues to be
allowed in portions of southern Alberta.
We conclude that harvest in Canada will
continue to be an impediment to
effective dispersal of wolverines into the
United States. This, in turn, is likely to
impact future genetic integrity of the
population in the contiguous United
States and limit the ability for
demographic rescue should wolverines
decline in number within the
contiguous United States. Thus, we now
conclude, based on new information,
that the differences between Canada and
the United States in control of
exploitation are significant in light of
section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. Existing
regulations in Canada have been
inadequate to address this exploitation.
Alberta continues to allow trapping in
areas important for potential dispersing
wolverines, and there is uncertainty on
the length and effectiveness of the
trapping moratorium in British
Columbia and the long-term population
effects of the recent overharvest there.
As a result, we conclude the wolverine
population in the contiguous United
States meets the standard of
‘‘discreteness’’ and we use the
international border between the United
States and Canada to define the
northern boundary of the contiguous
U.S. wolverine discrete population.
Discreteness Based on the International
Border—Differences in Management of
Habitat
In the 2013 proposed listing rule (78
FR 7864; February 4, 2013) and October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we stated that management
activities (e.g., timber harvest, wildland
firefighting, prescribed fire, and
silviculture) can modify wolverine
habitat, but this species appears to be
little affected by changes to the
vegetative characteristics of its habitat.
However, recent research in Canada
indicates that wolverines and other
carnivores can be displaced from habitat
that is subject to human disturbance
that includes harvest cut-blocks in
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forested habitat (Frey et al. 2020, entire).
That said, most wolverine habitat in the
contiguous United States occurs at high
elevations in rugged terrain that is not
usually conducive to intensive forms of
silviculture and timber harvest.
Although recent information indicates
wolverines may be affected by
disturbance from some types of habitat
management, these disturbances occur
in both the contiguous United States
and southern Canada, where forested
alpine habitats are managed in relatively
similar ways and are relatively limited
in scope and scale in wolverine habitat.
Therefore, there are no significant
differences in management of habitat
between the United States and Canada
pursuant to 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
Discreteness Based on the International
Border—Differences in Conservation
Status
In the December 14, 2010, 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030), which is
summarized in the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), we
found that the wolverine population in
the contiguous United States met the
second DPS discreteness condition
because of differences in conservation
status as delimited by the U.S.-Canada
international governmental boundary.
We found that those differences were
substantial and significant in light of
section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. We stated
that in the remaining current range in
Canada and Alaska, wolverines exist in
well-distributed, interconnected, large
populations. We added that, conversely,
wolverine populations in the remaining
contiguous U.S. range appear to be at
numbers so low that their continued
existence could be at risk, especially in
light of the threats to the subspecies. In
the 2010 12-month finding, we stated
that risks come from three main factors:
(1) Small total population size; (2)
effective population size below that
needed to maintain genetic diversity
and demographic stability; and (3) the
fragmented nature of wolverine habitat
in the contiguous United States that
results in smaller, isolated patches
separated by unsuitable habitat. As a
result, we concluded that the
contiguous U.S. population of the
wolverine met the discreteness criterion
in our DPS policy. Consequently, we
used the international border between
the United States and Canada to define
the northern boundary of the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine in our December 14, 2010, 12month finding (75 FR 78030) and our
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
(78 FR 7864).
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), based on new
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information at the time, we concluded
there were not significant differences in
control of exploitation, conservation
status, and management of habitat, nor
other threats to the wolverine requiring
regulatory mechanisms to address them,
and we concluded that there are no
differences in regulatory mechanisms
between the United States and Canada
that are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. As a result, we
concluded that the contiguous U.S.
population of the North American
wolverine did not meet the discreteness
criterion in our DPS policy. Below, we
revisit discreteness based on the
international border and differences in
conservation status considering new
information presented in the wolverine
SSA report addendum.
Small Total Population Size—
Wolverine population densities vary
across North America and have been
described as naturally low (van Zyll de
Jong 1975, p. 434) given the species’
large home range, wide-ranging
movements, and solitary characteristics
(Service 2018, p. 56). There are far fewer
wolverines in the contiguous United
States (around 300) than there are in
Canada (more than 15,000) and Alaska
(likely in the thousands) (Committee on
the Status of Endangered Wildlife in
Canada (COSEWIC) 2014, pp. 36, 47;
Inman et al. 2013, p. 282; Service 2018,
p. 71), but this is largely a reflection of
the amount of suitable habitat available
within the contiguous United States
(both currently and historically) for a
species that needs large, exclusive
territories. Even if wolverines occupied
all available habitat in the contiguous
United States, their populations would
still be relatively small compared to
Canada (i.e., the population capacity
estimate was 644 (95% confidence
interval (CI) = 506–1881) (Inman et al.
2013, p. 282). A small population in the
contiguous United States would be less
of a conservation concern if there were
greater connectivity with the larger
populations in Canada.
Recent genetic information indicates
wolverines from Canada have slowly
repopulated the contiguous United
States over the past century since the
era of unregulated predator removal
(Service 2018, pp. 45–50; Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.). We stated in the
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030) that differences in
population sizes between the
contiguous United States and Canada
were reflective of a difference in
conservation status. In our October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), based on new information, we
concluded that the contiguous U.S.
wolverines represent a peripheral
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population at the southern extent of the
North American wolverine’s range.
Thus, we considered the small
population size of wolverines in the
United States to be a natural result of
the limited habitat available and not
reflective of a difference in conservation
status. Our 2020 determination on this
point was made with the understanding
that there was sufficient connectivity
with Canada such that dispersing
wolverines could bolster the small
population in the contiguous United
States. However, new information on
wolverine dispersal and genetic
connectivity indicates that wolverines
appear to be impacted by recent
overharvest in Canada, barriers to
female wolverine dispersal, and
development in dispersal corridors
between suitable habitat (Barrueto et al.
2022, p. 4; Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12–
14; Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799).
Because of this, the small population in
the contiguous United States is more at
risk from future threats impacting
population resiliency. We now conclude
that the difference in population size on
the contiguous U.S. side of the
international border is a significant
difference in conservation status in light
of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act as it
applies to discreteness.
Effective Population Size—In our
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030) and February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), in
support of our conclusion that
differences in conservation status
between the United States and Canada
exist that are significant in light of
section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act, we
discussed the difference in wolverine
effective population size between the
contiguous United States and Canada.
The 2013 proposed listing rule
presented an effective population size
estimate for wolverines in the
contiguous United States from a
publication by Schwartz et al. (2009),
which estimated a summed effective
population size of 35, with credible
limits from 28 to 52 (Schwartz et al.
2009, p. 3,226). As provided in our SSA
report (Service 2018, pp. 46–47),
effective population sizes (Ne) are
typically smaller than census
population sizes. Ne is the number of
individuals in a population that would
result in the same loss of genetic
diversity, inbreeding, and genetic drift,
if they behaved in the manner of an
idealized population (equal sex ratio,
random mating, all adults producing
offspring, equal numbers of offspring
per parent, and a constant number of
breeding individuals across generations)
(Frankham 1995, p. 96). The concept of
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effective population size relates to
population viability because, as a
general rule, closed populations with
random mating that have effective
population sizes (1) below 50 are at
higher risk of inbreeding depression,
and (2) below 500 are more likely to lose
genetic variation important to
maintaining long-term evolutionary
potential. In addition, small, isolated
populations are more vulnerable to
extinction through interactions between
environmental, genetic, and
demographic factors (Caughley 1994,
pp. 221–227). Importantly, the concept
and guidelines for genetically effective
population size were developed for a
single, isolated population (Laikre et al.
2016, p. 280). Fragmentation can further
exacerbate inbreeding depression and
genetic loss, while connectivity to larger
source populations can alleviate the
adverse effects of small effective
population sizes (Frankham et al. 2014,
p. 60).
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we
acknowledged the low effective
population size of wolverines in the
contiguous United States but found this
was not a concern given the evidence of
genetic connectivity between the United
States and Canada. We stated the
currently known spatial distribution of
genetic variability in wolverines in
North America appeared to be a
reflection of a complex history where
population abundance has fluctuated
since the time of the last glaciation and
insufficient time has passed since
human persecution for a full recovery of
wolverine densities (Cardinal 2004, pp.
23–24; Zigouris et al. 2012, p. 1,554).
Zigouris et al. (2012, p. 1,545) posit that
the irregular distribution of wolverines
in the southwestern periphery and the
genetic diversity observed in those
analyses is a result of population
bottlenecks that were caused by range
contractions from a panmictic (random
mating) northern core population
approximately 150 years ago coinciding
with human persecution. We stated that
very few successful migrants are needed
per generation to maintain at least 95
percent of the genetic variation in the
next 100 generations (approximately
750 years) in the contiguous United
States (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 209). We
concluded that this level of migration
from the north had already been
occurring following the end of intense
predator removal campaigns that
affected this subspecies. Given
observations of wolverines moving vast
distances over varied terrain and across
the U.S.–Canada border, our assessment
of the low levels of trapping mortality
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in Canada near the border, and further
confirmation of Canada as the source of
wolverine genetics present in
contiguous U.S. wolverines, we believed
that wolverines in the contiguous
United States were not separated
genetically from the larger population in
Canada. In our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618),
we concluded that wolverines in the
contiguous United States exhibit genetic
and phenotypic similarities with
wolverines in Canada that implied
connectivity with Canada. As such, we
concluded in that withdrawal document
that it was not biologically appropriate
to consider the low effective population
size of wolverines on the contiguous
U.S. side of the border as a difference
in conservation status that is significant
in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act
as it applies to discreteness.
In our 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum, we summarized our
evaluation of the available information
related to the effective population size
of wolverines in the contiguous United
States, recent trapping/harvest in
Canada, and genetic connectivity of
wolverines between the United States
and Canada. We are not aware of any
new estimates of effective population
size for wolverines in the contiguous
United States; therefore, the Ne estimate
of the wolverine population in the
Northern Rocky Mountains (35)
provided by Schwartz et al. (2009)
represents the best available scientific
information regarding effective
population sizes in the U.S. portion of
the Northern Rocky Mountains (Service
2023, p. 27). In the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum, we estimated the
effective population size of the
wolverine population in the North
Cascade Mountains, resulting in an
estimate of Ne = 4 (Service 2023, p. 27).
When viewed in isolation, the overall
effective population sizes for wolverines
in the contiguous United States are
under the conservation thresholds for
short- and long-term genetic health (50
and 500, respectively). New information
suggests recent trapping harvest in
southwestern Canada resulted in
population declines in some areas that
may be important sources of dispersing
individuals to the contiguous United
States (Service 2023, pp. 41–42).
Furthermore, new information shows
that female wolverine movement is
influenced by major transportation
corridors and that the Trans-Canada
Highway could be an impediment to
female movement (Service 2023, p. 28).
Overall, the effective population size
estimates of wolverines in the
contiguous United States are small
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compared to conservation rules-ofthumb and presumably smaller than the
effective population size of wolverines
in Canada. Only one or two migrants per
generation are likely needed to achieve
genetic population connectivity
(Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 13); however,
based on new information on gene flow
and dispersal, we cannot assume this
level of immigration from Canada is
occurring. The contiguous U.S.
population may be at risk of impacts
from low effective population size
without sufficient gene flow with
Canada. We now conclude that the
difference in effective population size
on the U.S. side of the international
border results in a significant difference
in conservation status in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act as it applies to
discreteness.
Habitat Fragmentation—In our
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030) and February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), we
stated that wolverine habitat in the
contiguous United States consists of
small, isolated areas of high-elevation
habitat separated from each other by
low valleys of unsuitable habitat. We
also described that these ‘habitat
islands’ are represented by areas
containing spring snow, citing Copeland
et al. (2010). We concluded that the
fragmented nature and distribution of
wolverine habitat in the contiguous
United States results in a population
that is highly vulnerable to extirpation
because of lack of connectivity between
subpopulations, and this also makes
them more vulnerable to external threats
(75 FR 78030; December 14, 2010). This
was used to support our justification for
discreteness.
The breeding range of wolverines in
the contiguous United States largely
exists in high-elevation alpine forested
habitats. Those alpine areas with
established wolverine home ranges are
separated by expanses of lower
elevation valley habitats that are not
conducive to wolverine home range
establishment but do provide varying
levels of connectivity between home
ranges or subpopulations. In Canada
and Alaska, habitats are more
contiguous and much less fragmented
than wolverine habitat in the contiguous
United States. The fragmented nature
and distribution of wolverine habitat in
the contiguous United States puts
wolverines occurring in the contiguous
United States at higher risk of impacts
from climate change and other stressors
compared to wolverines occurring in
Canada and Alaska. We conclude that
the difference in habitat fragmentation
on the contiguous U.S. side of the
international border results in a
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significant difference in conservation
status in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the
Act as it applies to discreteness.
Discreteness Based on the International
Border—Differences in Regulatory
Mechanisms
Wolverines are currently protected
under various State regulatory
designations in the States where the
species occurs in the western United
States (Service 2023, table 10). In
Canada, provincial designations for the
wolverine include endangered in
Labrador, and threatened in Ontario and
Que´bec (‘‘threatened’’ is equivalent to
endangered in Que´bec), with the
remaining provincial designations
ranging from no ranking to sensitive or
special concern to the Vancouver Island
population’s designation as imperiled
(COSEWIC 2014, p. 44).
Current regulatory mechanisms
prohibit trapping or harvest of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States, while trapping is legal in Canada
and occurs in parts of the range that
could be a source of important
dispersers to the contiguous United
States. We acknowledge that there is
currently a trapping moratorium in a
portion of British Columbia resulting
from studies showing population
declines in that area related to trapping
(Service 2023, pp. 44–45). However, that
moratorium is temporary and only
covers a portion of the Canadian range
(e.g., it does not include Alberta). As
discussed above, there are significant
differences in control of exploitation
that may be impeding movement of
wolverines, from Canada to the
contiguous United States. We conclude
that there are differences in regulatory
mechanisms related to control of
exploitation between the United States
and Canada that are significant in light
of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
Discreteness Conclusion
Based on our updated analysis
described above and supported by
information in the wolverine SSA report
and the wolverine SSA report
addendum, the contiguous U.S.
population of the North American
wolverine meets the discreteness
criterion in our DPS policy (61 FR 4722;
February 7, 1996). It is delimited by the
international boundary with Canada,
given differences in control of
exploitation, conservation status, and
regulatory mechanisms that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D)
of the Act. After determining that a
vertebrate population is discrete, we are
required to complete an analysis to
determine if the population in question
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83743
is significant according to our DPS
policy; that analysis follows.
Analysis of Significance
If we determine a population segment
is discrete, its biological and ecological
significance will then be considered in
light of Congressional guidance that the
authority to list DPSs be used sparingly
while encouraging the conservation of
genetic diversity. In carrying out this
examination, we consider available
scientific evidence of the population’s
importance to the taxon to which it
belongs (i.e., the North American
wolverine). Our DPS policy states that
this consideration may include, but is
not limited to: (1) persistence of the
discrete population segment in an
ecological setting unusual or unique for
the taxon; (2) evidence that loss of the
discrete population segment would
result in a significant gap in the range
of the taxon; (3) evidence that the
discrete population segment represents
the only surviving natural occurrence of
a taxon that may be more abundant
elsewhere as an introduced population
outside its historical range; or (4)
evidence that the discrete population
segment differs markedly from other
populations of the species in its genetic
characteristics. Below, we address
considerations 1, 2, and 4.
Consideration 3 does not apply to the
continental U.S. wolverine population
because North American wolverines are
distributed widely across Alaska and
Canada.
In our December 14, 2010, 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030), we conducted an
exhaustive analysis of the significance
of the contiguous U.S. population of the
North American wolverine; this analysis
was incorporated by reference into our
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule
(78 FR 7864). In the analysis, we
concluded that the wolverine
population in the contiguous United
States is significant because its loss
would result in a significant gap in the
range of the taxon. In our October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we did not present an
assessment of significance under the
DPS policy because, at that time, we
determined that the wolverine
population in the contiguous United
States was not discrete, and thus there
was no need to assess significance.
Because we have now determined the
wolverine population in the contiguous
United States is discrete, we reviewed
and present an update to our 2010 and
2013 assessment of the significance of
the wolverine population occurring in
the contiguous United States using the
best available information.
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Unusual or Unique Ecological Setting
Wolverines occupy a variety of
habitats within North America,
including Arctic tundra, subarcticalpine tundra, boreal forest, mixed
forest, redwood forest, and coniferous
forest (Banci 1994, p. 114). Wolverines
in the contiguous United States exist in
an ecosystem that includes highelevation, remote, rugged, alpine
forested terrain and non-forested
habitats around the tree line that retain
snowpack into the spring. The
ecoregions inhabited by wolverines in
the contiguous United States are also
present in large portions of their
occupied range in Canada and Alaska
(Service 2018, appendix A).
Wolverines in the contiguous United
States appear to use habitat attributes
that are similar to wolverine
populations in Canada and Alaska,
where wolverines also use alpine
habitats, and do not appear to exist in
an unusual or unique ecological setting.
Thus, we again do not rely on this factor
when determining that the wolverine in
the contiguous United States is
significant to the taxon as a whole.
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Significant Gap in the Range of the
Taxon
Wolverines once lived throughout the
North American Rocky Mountains from
Alaska and Canada, south through
Colorado and into New Mexico, and in
the North Cascades of Washington and
the Sierra Nevada Range of California.
During the late 1800s and early 1900s,
the wolverine population declined or
was extirpated in much of the
contiguous United States (Service 2018,
p. 1). Wolverines have since recolonized
parts of the contiguous United States,
and the current breeding range includes
the Southern Rocky Mountains of Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming and the
Cascades of Washington (Service 2023,
figure 3). Individual wolverines have
been documented in California,
Colorado, Oregon, and Utah; however,
breeding populations are not known to
exist in these areas. The contiguous
United States represents the
southernmost extent of the wolverine’s
range in North America.
Our significance determination in the
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030) concluded that the loss of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States would result in a significant gap
in the range of the taxon. This
determination was based on an estimate
of the historical range (not current
range) of wolverine in the contiguous
United States. This relied on a
latitudinally-based interpretation of
historical range in the contiguous
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United States, the majority of which was
unoccupied at the time the estimation
was made and remains unoccupied by
wolverines. We stated in 2010 that the
loss of the population in the contiguous
United States would be significant
because it would substantially curtail
the range of the wolverine by moving
the southern range terminus
approximately 15 degrees latitude to the
north (or approximately 40 percent of
the presumed latitudinal extent of the
wolverine’s range in North America).
For reference, the U.S. border with
Canada is 49 degrees North latitude.
Fifteen degrees south of the border (at
34 degrees North latitude), the assumed
15-degree gap in latitude (49 degrees
North minus 34 degrees North)
presented in the DPS analysis in the
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030), lands on 34 degrees
North latitude, which runs through
western States, including southern
California and approximately the
middle of Arizona and New Mexico,
significantly south of the currently
occupied range of wolverine in United
States.
During the development of our 2018
wolverine SSA report and 2023 SSA
report addendum, we conducted an
extensive analysis of the recent and
historical occurrence records for
wolverines in the contiguous United
States (Service 2018, pp. 12–16; Service
2023, pp. 3–14). Our updated
significance analysis is based on an
updated, spatially explicit assessment of
the current range of wolverines in the
contiguous United States. We used the
current range (Service 2023, figure 2) to
provide a more accurate reflection of the
range currently being used by
populations of wolverines in the
contiguous United States supported by
the best available information. By
focusing on the current range, and not
the historical range, we avoid including
large sections of the western United
States that do not have high-quality
wolverine habitat (southern California
and northern Arizona and New Mexico)
in our significance analysis, and thus
we are able to better assess the
significance of the population in the
contiguous United States relative to the
larger taxon. The current range of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States covers approximately 58,998,140
acres (238,757 km2) of high-quality
wolverine habitat with recent wolverine
occurrences (from 2009–2023) (Service
2023, figure 2), the loss of which would
move the southern range terminus
approximately 12 degrees latitude to the
north.
Furthermore, the southernmost
portion of the range may be important
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for conservation, as it may allow for
unique adaptive potential in the face of
a changing global climate and future
reduction in cold and snowy conditions.
Populations on the periphery of species’
ranges tend to be given lower
conservation priority because they are
thought to exist in low-quality habitats
and are also thought to be the
populations that are least likely to
survive a reduction in range (Wolf et al.
1996, p. 1147). However, this tendency
presumes that the ultimate cause of the
species’ extinction will be one that
operates by eroding away the species’
range beginning at the periphery and
progressing to the center. This
presumption is based on
biogeographical information that habitat
and population densities of species are
highest near the center of the species’
range and decline near the edge (Brown
and Lomolino 1998, figure 4.16). Data
from documented range collapses of
species from around the world,
however, illustrate that species’ ranges
tend to collapse to peripheral areas
rather than to the center of their
historical ranges (Lomolino and
Channell 1995, p. 342; Channell and
Lomolino 2000, pp. 84–86). Of 96
species whose last remnant populations
were found either in the core or
periphery of their historic ranges (rather
than some in both core and periphery),
91 (95 percent) of the species were
found to exist only in the periphery, and
5 (5 percent) existed solely in the center
(Channell and Lomolino 2000, p. 85).
Available scientific data support the
importance of peripheral populations
for conservation (Fraser 1999, entire;
Lesica and Allendorf 1995, entire).
Based upon the loss of approximately
58,998,140 acres (238,757 km2) of highquality wolverine habitat from the
southern extent of the range and the
adaptive potential that part of the range
may provide against oncoming climate
change impacts, and a 12 degree
latitudinal gap in the North American
wolverine’s range that would result if
the U.S. population was lost, we
determine that the loss of the
contiguous U.S. wolverine population
would result in a significant gap in the
range of the taxon. Thus, the DPS meets
the definition of significant in our DPS
policy.
Marked Genetic Differences
In the contiguous United States,
small, isolated wolverine populations
are likely dependent on gene flow from
Canada for population persistence
(Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 208–209;
McKelvey et al. 2014, entire). In the
Northern Rocky Mountains, the best
available genetic data indicate genetic
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structuring of populations despite some
dispersal (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 204–
205, 208; Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12–14).
Genetic structuring reflects the amount
of interbreeding between different
groups of an organism where more
structure indicates less interaction
between groups, increased genetic
isolation, increased potential for
inbreeding, and lower genetic diversity.
Given the relatively recent
recolonization of wolverines in the
contiguous United States from Canada
(within the last 60–70 years), nuclear
genetic diversity was lower in the
southern periphery of the subspecies’
range in the south (Sawaya et al. 2023,
pp. 9–11). Nuclear DNA analyses
indicated differences in allele
frequencies between the United States
and Canada along the Rocky Mountains,
with some areas of overlap in wolverine
populations straddling the border due to
male-mediated gene flow. Females
appear to be segregated near the
international border due to their higher
rates of philopatry (the tendency of an
animal to remain in or return to the area
of its birth) than males and their
apparently greater tendencies to avoid
crossing major roadways, including the
Trans-Canada Highway (Highway 1) and
the Crowsnest Highway (Highway 3) in
southern British Columbia (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 12, 17). Both highways
were opened in the 1960s (British
Columbia Ministry of Transportation
and Highways 2001, pp. 16, 20). Since
then, they have been widened in many
areas, and traffic volumes have
substantially increased (British
Columbia Ministry of Transportation
and Highways 2001, pp. 7–11, 16–21).
Mitochondrial DNA patterns in the
Rocky Mountains showed no unique
contemporary maternal lineages
detected south of the international
border, which is consistent with
observational data indicating that
wolverines recolonized the contiguous
United States from Canada within the
last 60–70 years (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp.
2, 16–17). Substantially lower
mitochondrial DNA diversity in the
United States, as compared to
mitochondrial DNA diversity in Canada,
is consistent with the nuclear DNA
signals of limited contemporary female
gene flow between the countries along
the Northern Rocky Mountain range and
the wolverine’s relatively recent
recolonization at the southern edge of
their range (Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17).
In the North Cascades, global
positioning system (GPS) tracking data
show that wolverines in western
Washington and southern British
Columbia form a small transboundary
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population (Aubry et al. 2023, p. 4).
Preliminary results from a large
population genetics study of this
transboundary population show that
wolverines in the North Cascades are
genetically isolated from other
wolverine populations in the United
States and Canada and likely went
through a genetic bottleneck with few
founders (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
The population has low heterozygosity
(less than 0.5) and could be
experiencing some level of inbreeding
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). However,
there are no indications or evidence that
individuals or population dynamics are
being adversely affected by inbreeding
depression (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
As part of the multi-State wolverine
occupancy surveys in 2016–2017,
researchers obtained 240 wolverine
DNA samples (Lukas et al. 2020, p. 846).
These samples represented 26 unique
females and 24 unique males (Lukas et
al. 2020, p. 846). Analyses of the
mitochondrial DNA control region
revealed regional structuring (i.e.,
regional grouping), with all of the
samples in Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming assigned to Haplotype Wilson
A (the most abundant haplotype in
North America) and all of the samples
in Washington assigned to Haplotype
Wilson C (Lukas et al. 2020, p. 846).
These results are consistent with the
latest genetic analysis from the large
transboundary study (Sawaya et al.
2023, entire) and previous
mitochondrial DNA studies showing
that the Northern Rocky Mountains and
North Cascades do not appear to share
any contemporary haplotypes
(McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 328).
The genetic differences between the
contiguous United States and Canada
consist of lower genetic diversity in the
United States, a difference that is a
reflection of the recent recolonization of
wolverines into the contiguous United
States from Canada over the last
century. There are no unique haplotypes
present in contiguous U.S. wolverines
that are not already present in larger
populations in Canada and Alaska. As
we noted in our analysis in the
December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030), this is not the kind of
genetic difference that would lead us to
conclude that a population is significant
under our DPS policy. The DPS policy
is designed to ensure the protection of
important components of a species’
evolutionary legacy rather than
populations that simply have lower
genetic diversity due to recent
recolonization from a larger source
population. Therefore, as in our 2010
analysis, we do not find marked genetic
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differences as a basis for determining
significance for this DPS.
Summary for Significance
We evaluated whether the discrete
population segment of wolverines in the
contiguous United States is also
significant, considering factors such as
whether the population segment is in an
ecological setting unusual or unique for
the taxon; whether the loss of the
discrete population segment would
result in a significant gap in the range
of a taxon; whether the discrete
population segment represents the only
surviving natural occurrence of a taxon
that may be more abundant elsewhere as
an introduced population outside its
historical range; or whether the discrete
population segment differs markedly
from other populations of the species in
its genetic characteristics. We conclude
that the wolverine population in the
contiguous United States is significant
because its loss would result in a
significant gap in the range of the taxon.
DPS Conclusion
Based on the best available
information, we conclude that the
population of wolverines in the
contiguous United States is discrete and
significant in relation to the remainder
of the subspecies in North America. As
a result, the population of wolverines in
the contiguous United States is a listable
entity under section 3(16) of the Act.
The DPS policy sets forth a three-step
process for determining whether a
vertebrate population as a separate
entity warrants listing: (1) Determine
whether the population is discrete; (2) if
the population is discrete, determine
whether the population is significant to
the taxon as a whole; and (3) if the
population is both discrete and
significant, then evaluate the
conservation status of the population to
determine whether it is endangered or
threatened. We have determined that
wolverines in the contiguous United
States qualify as a DPS and, therefore,
are a listable entity. Below, we provide
a status determination of the wolverine
DPS in the contiguous United States.
Summary of Biological Status and
Threats
In this discussion, we review the
biological condition of the DPS and its
resources, and the threats that influence
the DPS’s current and future condition,
in order to assess the DPS’s overall
viability and the risks to that viability.
In preparing the 2018 wolverine SSA
report and the 2023 SSA report
addendum, we reviewed available
reports and peer-reviewed literature,
incorporated survey information, and
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contacted species experts to collect
additional unpublished information for
the North American subspecies (Gulo
gulo luscus). We identified uncertainties
and data gaps in our assessment of the
current and future status of the
subspecies. We also evaluated the
appropriate analytical tools to address
these gaps, consulted with species
experts, prepared updated maps of the
known subspecies’ distribution and
breeding range in the contiguous United
States, and evaluated new models of
spring snow. In some instances, we used
publications and other reports
(primarily from Fenno-Scandinavia) of
the Eurasian subspecies (G. g. gulo) as
a surrogate in completing our status
assessment.
Since the publication of the October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), more than 180 new publications
have been issued (see list of citations in
the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum). This is a substantial
amount of new information for a
difficult-to-study animal like the
wolverine and has added significantly
to our understanding of wolverine
biology. This new information has also
highlighted new insights into the
subspecies’ biological needs, threats,
and the wolverine’s interactions with
abiotic and biotic habitat features.
We also conducted an updated
geospatial analysis to map verified
wolverine occurrences and approximate
breeding ranges in the contiguous
United States. This was informed by
recent multi-State monitoring data
(Lukas et al. 2020, entire; Mosby et al.
2023, entire).
Our updated analyses, since the
publication of the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document, of the current
and predicted future condition for the
wolverine is presented in the wolverine
SSA report addendum and summarized
here. Our future-condition analysis
includes the potential conditions that
the subspecies or its habitat may face in
the future. This includes consideration
of threats most likely to impact the
subspecies at the population or
rangewide scales in the future,
including potential cumulative impacts.
The spatial expansion to our climate
analysis is a major improvement from
the snow projections used in our 2018
SSA report, which focused only on
Rocky Mountain National Park
(Colorado) and Glacier National Park
(Montana). We now focus on five
modeling domains that overlap with
occupied and potential wolverine
habitat in the contiguous United States
across latitudinal, longitudinal, and
elevation gradients. These include: (1)
Cascades (Washington); (2) Northern
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Rocky West (Washington, Idaho, and
Montana); (3) Northern Rocky (Idaho
and Montana); (4) Mid-Rocky (Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming); and (5)
Southern Rocky (Colorado and New
Mexico) (Service 2023, p. 49). In our
updated climate assessment, we use a
timeframe out to end of century for
assessing future effects to North
American wolverine viability from
climate change and other threats.
Beyond 2100, climate modeling
uncertainty increases substantially. Our
previous assessment considered in the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618) looked at a timeframe 50
years into the future. We conclude that
end of century is a reasonable
timeframe, as it includes the potential
for observing these effects over several
generations of the wolverine.
As discussed above in Analytical
Framework, we consider what the
subspecies needs to maintain viability
by characterizing the status of the
subspecies in terms of resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Wolf et
al. 2015, entire). Resiliency is having
sufficiently large populations for the
subspecies to withstand stochastic
events (arising from random factors). We
can measure resiliency based on metrics
of population health (for example, birth
versus death rates and population size).
Resilient populations are better able to
withstand disturbances such as random
fluctuations in birth rates (demographic
stochasticity), variations in rainfall
(environmental stochasticity), or the
effects of anthropogenic activities.
Redundancy is having a sufficient
number of populations for the
subspecies to withstand catastrophic
events (such as a rare destructive
natural event or episode involving many
populations). Redundancy is about
spreading the risk and can be measured
through the duplication and distribution
of populations across the range of the
subspecies. The greater the number of
populations a subspecies has distributed
over a larger landscape, the better it can
withstand catastrophic events.
Representation is having the breadth
of genetic makeup of the subspecies to
adapt to changing environmental
conditions. Representation can be
measured through the genetic diversity
within and among populations and the
ecological diversity (also called
environmental variation or diversity) of
populations across the subspecies’
range. The more representation, or
diversity, a subspecies has, the more it
is capable of adapting to changes
(natural or human-caused) in its
environment. In the absence of
subspecies-specific genetic and
ecological diversity information, we
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evaluate representation based on the
extent and variability of habitat
characteristics within the geographical
range.
Life-History Needs
Wolverine populations are
characterized by naturally low densities.
The species is highly territorial, with
very little overlap between same-sex
adults. Wolverines occupy a variety of
habitats, but generally select habitat in
locations away from human settlements
and activities. The wolverine is a snowadapted, cold-climate animal in its
physiology and morphology (Telfer and
Kelsall 1984, p. 1830); phylogeography
(historical processes that may be
responsible for past and present
geographic distributions of genealogical
lineages); and behavior and habits
(Fisher et al. 2022, p. 7).
Wolverines consume a variety of food
resources, and seasonal switching of
prey is commonly observed. Unlike
wolverine populations in Eurasia,
wolverines in the contiguous United
States rarely prey on livestock. During
our extensive literature review in
preparing the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum, we discovered only
two instances of wolverine depredation
in the United States since our 2018 SSA
report; one wolverine that had
depredated sheep in Utah, and another
that was caught in a chicken coop in
Washington (Service 2023, pp. 10, 38).
Wolverine reproduction includes the
following characteristics: polygamous
behavior (i.e., male mates with more
than one female each year), delayed
implantation (up to 6 months), a short
gestation period (30–40 days), denning
behavior (only observed in snow in the
contiguous United States), and several
additional months of maternal care
(Service 2018, p. 22). The reproductive
behavior in wolverines is temporally
adapted to take advantage of the
availability of food resources, limited
interspecific competition, and snow
cover in the winter.
In our 2018 wolverine SSA report, we
defined the physical and ecological
requirements of wolverine in the
contiguous United States (see (1), (2),
and (3), below). In light of new
information regarding wolverine habitat
associations that provides support for
the wolverine’s strong preference for
areas with cold and snowy conditions,
we have added a fourth ecological
requirement (see (4), below). The
requirements are:
(1) Large territories in relatively
inaccessible landscapes, at high
elevation (1,800 to 3,500 m (5,906 to
11,483 ft));
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(2) Access to a variety of food
resources that vary with seasons;
(3) Physical/structural features (e.g.,
talus slopes, rugged terrain) linked to
reproductive behavioral patterns; and
(4) Habitats characterized by the
presence of persistent spring snow (of
greater than or equal to 1 meter on May
1) for survival and reproduction.
Our 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum affirms these requirements
and the species characterization in our
2018 SSA report.
Habitat
Research published since our 2018
wolverine SSA report confirms that
broad-level habitat selection
(subspecies’ range, individual home
range) at the southern edge of the
wolverine’s distribution can be
accurately predicted using a small
number of high-elevation variables and
terrain features (Carroll et al. 2021a, pp.
1470–1471; Aubry et al. 2023, p. 7).
New evidence from around the world
reinforces that snow—especially
persistent spring snow—is an important
predictor of broad-scale wolverine
distribution and density (Aubry et al.
2023, pp. 15–16; Carroll et al. 2020, p.
8; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10; Glass et al.
2021, entire; Mowat et al. 2020, p. 220).
Within home ranges, the precise nature
of the relationship between wolverine
space-use and snow is complex,
involving multiple snow characteristics
(e.g., density, depth, and melt), various
phases of the wolverine lifecycle (e.g.,
denning, feeding and food caching,
within-territory movements, and
dispersal) and sex-specific habitat
selection (Carroll et al. 2021, p. 1469;
Glass et al. 2021, entire; Heinemeyer et
al. 2019, p. 16). While wolverines
appear capable of occupying and
reproducing in areas without persistent
spring snow in some ecological
contexts, at a continent-wide scale,
wolverine dens outside of areas with
persistent spring snow have thus far
only been documented to occur in
colder boreal or arctic environments in
Canada and Alaska (Aronsson and
Persson 2017, p. 266; Copeland et al.
2010, pp. 240–242; Fisher et al. 2022, p.
8; Jokinen et al. 2019, pp. 6–8; Webb et
al. 2016, pp. 1466–1467).
In the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem,
distance to high-elevation talus, snow
water equivalent (a surrogate for snow
depth), and latitude-adjusted elevation
were the most important environmental
factors explaining selection of wolverine
home ranges and habitats within home
ranges (Service 2023, p. 16). These
habitat variables are also known to be
important in defining the wolverine’s
distribution (Inman et al. 2013, p. 278).
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Results from dispersal suitability
models developed for wolverines
indicate that isolation by landscape
resistance (areas that individuals are
less likely to traverse due to high
energy, mortality, or other biological
costs) explained more of the variation in
wolverine genetic differences than did
isolation by distance (Balkenhol et al.
2020, pp. 795–797). This means that
wolverines are moving non-randomly
across the landscape in association with
specific landscape features. Snow depth
(average 1-year snow depth at 1-km2
resolution), terrain ruggedness (measure
of how jagged or flat the terrain is on
average), and housing density (census
block housing density per 1 km2) best
predicted gene flow in wolverines
(Balkenhol et al. 2020, pp. 795–797).
Snow depth was the most important
variable for explaining variation in
genetic differences overall (Balkenhol et
al. 2020, p. 790). At broad spatial scales,
housing density and terrain ruggedness
were the most important factors, where
wolverines avoided areas of high
housing density and preferred areas of
terrain ruggedness, which explains the
variation in wolverine genetic
differences (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p.
790).
In the Cascade Range in southern
British Columbia and Washington, three
climatic variables (proximity to the
transitional zone near the alpine tree
line, number of frost-free days per year,
and annual precipitation as snow) were
correlated with wolverine location data
(Aubry et al. 2023, p. 10). Wolverine
distribution in the Cascades is
constrained by climatic conditions;
snowy, cold environments delimit the
areas that are ‘‘overwhelmingly
associated with resident wolverines’’
(Aubry et al. 2023, p. 16). The highestuse areas were on the eastern side of the
Cascades, where alpine habitats had
fewer frost-free days (Aubry et al. 2023,
p. 15). This is consistent with other
models, indicating that wolverines rely
on the transitional zone between the
tree line, below which environmental
conditions become too warm, and upper
elevations of permanent ice and snow,
where there is insufficient food and
cover to support basic life-history
requirements for wolverines (Aubry et
al. 2023, pp. 13–14).
A study using GPS location data on 38
wolverines from 2001 to 2010 analyzed
wolverine home range habitat selection
across the western United States by
identifying landscape variables that
were highly correlated with wolverine
home ranges (Carroll et al. 2020, entire).
The resource selection function model
included landform (e.g., ridges and
peaks), vegetation classification,
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distance to high-elevation talus,
latitude-adjusted elevation, average
monthly snow water equivalent, and
human modification (Carroll et al. 2020,
p. 8). Core areas were identified, and
connectivity was assessed, between
these core areas using a landscape
resistance model, validated with GPS
location data from dispersing
wolverines (Service 2023, figure 3).
Results showed that resident wolverines
in core habitats are far more sensitive to
low-quality habitat than are dispersing
individuals, but that dispersers still
follow lower-resistance pathways that
connect higher quality core habitats
(Carroll et al. 2020, p. 9). Another study
modeled within-home range habitat
selection by wolverines in areas of the
Northern Rocky Mountains with high
amounts of winter backcountry
recreation and found significant
differences in male and female habitat
selection (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 9).
The best model for male wolverines
included distance to roads and
proportion of lower elevation grass and
shrub cover, while the best model for
female wolverines included talus,
persistent spring snow cover (defined in
the cited studies as snow cover present
between April 24 and May 15), and
forest edge-to-area covariates
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 9). Best
models for both sexes included
covariates for topographic position
index, quadratic form of slope, distance
to forest edge, solar insulation, and
percentage cover of forest, riparian, and
montane open cover types. This study
also showed that wolverines are
negatively affected by winter recreation
(see Disturbance Due to Winter
Recreational Activity, below).
Multiple recent studies in Canada
have provided further evidence of the
influence of snow cover and human
development/disturbance on wolverine
distribution. Wolverine density in and
around a national park complex in the
southern Canadian Rocky Mountains
was three times higher within these
national parks than outside them,
increased with spring snow cover, and
decreased with increasing night light
intensity (a measure of human
development) (Barrueto et al. 2022, p.
4). Along the Front Range of the
Canadian Rocky Mountains, wolverines
selected areas with natural land-cover
and high snow cover and avoided
anthropogenic features and
heterospecific competitors (Heim et al.
2019, pp. 2499–2502). In the Rocky
Mountains of Alberta, wolverine
occurrence in space and time was best
explained by coyote (Canis latrans)
occurrence and the density of linear
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disturbance features (e.g., roads,
pipelines, seismic lines, motorized and
nonmotorized recreational trails), with
both of these factors decreasing the
likelihood of wolverine occurrence
(Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, pp. 4–5). In
the southern Canadian Rockies,
wolverine density was found to be
positively correlated with the number of
years of persistent spring snow cover
and negatively correlated with road
density (Clevenger 2019, p. 62; Mowat
et al. 2020, pp. 218–219). Female
densities in areas with more cumulative
years of persistent spring snow were
higher than male densities, which
suggests there may be a preference for
snowy areas when denning. An
additional study, also in the Canadian
Rockies, found that food availability and
human disturbance were major drivers
of wolverine distribution in winter
(Kortello et al. 2019, p. 7). Persistent
spring snow was an important factor in
explaining the variation in female
wolverine distribution in winter and
overall wolverine distribution at coarse
scales (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 8). The
researchers concluded that their results
‘‘do not reject the hypothesis that
wolverine occurrence is constrained by
an obligate association with persistent
spring snow’’ (Aubry et al. 2007, p.
2154; Copeland et al. 2010, p. 244), ‘‘but
do suggest the alternative explanation
that the relationship between spring
snow and wolverine distribution could
be functionally related to the
distribution of food, disturbance or
mortality risk’’ (Kortello et al. 2019, p.
8). We agree with their assessment and
acknowledge the precise causal
mechanism(s) for the apparent
association of wolverine distribution
and persistent spring snow are not yet
clear. There may be a number of factors
acting in concert to drive the
wolverine’s preference for cold and
snowy conditions, and we have
attempted to account for this in our
analysis presented in this rule.
A habitat selection study of 21 adult,
non-denning wolverines (11 female, 10
male) fitted with GPS collars in the
Alaskan Arctic found that wolverines
generally selected more rugged areas
closer to streams, rivers, and lakes
(Glass et al. 2021, p. 893). This study
also showed that snow characteristics
are important to wolverines for reasons
other than solely creating reproductive
dens. Specifically, they found that nondenning wolverines select deeper,
denser snow, but only when that snow
is not undergoing melt (Glass et al.
2021, pp. 894–895). The wolverine’s
observed preference for denser snow
might be a function of both ease of
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movement across the surface, as well as
the ability of denser snow to maintain
snow cavities and tunnels (Glass et al.
2021, p. 895).
Denning Habitat—Denning habitat
has been a focus for wolverine
conservation because wolverines have
naturally low reproductive rates.
Impacts to denning habitat could have
important consequences for
demographic rates (Fisher et al. 2022, p.
8). There is growing evidence that
wolverines rely on subnivean space (the
environment between snow and terrain)
for thermoregulation, to escape
predation risk, and/or to cache food
(van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8–10;
Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10). Although
wolverines have been documented
denning in areas without persistent
spring snow (Fisher et al. 2022, p. 8;
Persson et al. 2023, entire), this
phenomenon appears to be associated
with cold, high-latitude boreal or arctic
forests rather than the alpine habitats
used by wolverines in the contiguous
United States. In the contiguous United
States, there is no evidence that
wolverines have denned in areas
without persistent spring snow.
Den-shifting behavior represents a
tradeoff between moving—and risking
potential energy loss and harm to
offspring—versus staying in the original
den site and risking exposure to
disturbance or changed conditions, such
as melting snow, that might make the
original den site unsuitable (Heeres
2020, p. 9). In a study in northern
Sweden focusing on 18 adult female
wolverines fitted with GPS collars over
an 11-year period and occupying 271
den sites, Heeres (2020, p. 15)
determined that a female used an
average of 12 den sites during a single
denning season (range: 4–28; median:
10). Additionally, female wolverines
had a higher probability of shifting den
sites in forested habitats, compared to
alpine habitats, which is likely a result
of earlier snow melt in forests that may
make den sites uninhabitable early in
the season (Heeres 2020, p. 20). Other
factors related to den-shifting behavior
included the level of denning
experience of the female wolverine,
which was quantified as the number of
previous reproductive attempts by an
individual (lower den-shift probability),
temperature (higher den-shift
probability in the warmer forested
habitats; nonsignificant den-shift
probability in alpine habitat), food
resource availability (higher den-shift
probability, which could be related to
accessing food or increased human
presence), and cub age (more shifting as
cubs mature and are able to move to
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food resources) (Heeres 2020, pp. 20–
22).
In certain ecological contexts,
individual wolverines and reproductive
dens can exist in areas without
substantial spring snowpack (Persson et
al. 2023, p. 10; Jokinen et al. 2019, pp.
4–9). For example, Jokinen et al. (2019,
pp. 6, 10) observed seven of eight
wolverine dens (three primary and five
secondary dens) in hollows of uprooted
trees and not in snow; however, the
researchers acknowledged that sample
sizes were small and limited their
ability to draw robust conclusions.
Jokinen et al. (2019, p. 12) speculated
that wolverines, in the absence of spring
snow in Alberta, were able to meet their
physiological needs through locally
available features such as the cavity
created by partially uplifted root
masses, the thermal properties of thick
moss, and the caching opportunities
provided by deep peat accumulations.
Wolverines are resourceful and may be
more flexible in their denning
requirements than documented by
studies in other landscapes (Persson et
al. 2023, p. 10; Jokinen et al. 2019, p. 12;
Glass et al. 2021, entire); however, it is
also apparent that boreal forest
communities have a series of unique
properties conducive to wolverine
denning, including cold spring
temperatures and dense peat layers that
might aid in insulating the den (Jokinen
et al. 2019, p. 12).
At present, it remains uncertain
whether the alpine ecosystems in the
contiguous United States contain
environmental conditions that would
allow wolverines to switch denning
behavior or use smaller or shallower
patches of snow in response to changes
in future snow under a changing
climate. Even if they were able to make
this shift, snow may be important to
wolverines for more than just denning.
Food Caching—Wolverines are
physiologically and behaviorally
adapted to caching perishable food in
snow, boulders, and peat bogs for shortor long-term storage (van der Veen et al.
2020, pp. 2–3). In Scandinavia,
wolverines cached food all year from
scavenging and predation events, with
the locations of food caches widely
distributed across their home ranges
(van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 6–8).
When caching, wolverines selected
steep and rugged terrain in
unproductive habitat types (habitats
with fewer plants and animals) or in
forest, indicating a preference for lessexposed sites that can provide cold
storage or protection against pilferage.
The observed year-round investment in
caching by wolverines suggests that
food predictability is important for their
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survival and reproductive success.
Increasing temperatures caused by
climate change may provide new
challenges for wolverines in at least two
ways: (1) by decreasing the shelf-life of
cached food, and (2) by increasing
competition from pilferers that benefit
from a warmer climate (van der Veen et
al. 2020, pp. 8–10).
Areas of Uncertainty for Wolverine
Habitat Needs
The precise causal mechanism(s) for
the apparent association of wolverine
distribution and persistent spring snow
are not yet clear. Hypotheses for this
association include the importance of
snow to create dens (Copeland et al.
2010, entire), the advantages of snow for
catching prey within a wolverine’s
metabolic limits (Young et al. 2012, pp.
224–226), competitive advantages over
other scavengers and predators in snowcovered areas (Service 2018, p. 6),
thermoregulation (Service 2018, pp. 7–
8), food storage and refrigeration (Inman
et al. 2012, p. 640), or some combination
of these factors. The interplay of
temperature and persistence of spring
snow and the point at which
temperature becomes limiting is also
unknown.
There is presumably some limit in
appropriate habitat availability at which
wolverines will not cross certain
habitats or traverse certain barriers, but
that threshold is not known.
Understanding this threshold for
females is particularly important
because they often disperse shorter
distances than males and appear to be
more affected by potential barriers to
movement, such as large multi-lane
highways (e.g., Sawaya et al. 2019, pp.
621–623).
Recent studies from Canada and
Alaska have shown that apex predators
and sympatric mesocarnivores (small to
mid-sized carnivores that occur in the
same area) can influence wolverine
space use (e.g., Heim et al. 2019, pp.
2499–2504; Frey et al. 2020, pp. 1133–
1137; Bell 2021, pp. 46–47; Klauder et
al. 2021, p. 569; Chow-Fraser et al. 2022,
p. 4). In addition, it is possible that
competitors such as coyotes that thrive
within human-dominated landscapes
could potentially displace wolverines in
areas with substantial anthropogenic
disturbance (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022,
pp. 4–5). However, the influence of apex
predators and intraguild competition on
wolverine distribution, abundance, and
dispersal in the contiguous United
States remains largely unstudied.
Threats
A species may be determined to be an
endangered or threatened species due to
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one or more of the five factors described
in section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. Listing
actions may be warranted based on any
of the above threat factors, singly or in
combination. Threats evaluated for the
wolverine in the contiguous United
States include climate change (Factors A
and E), effects from roads (Factors A and
E), disturbance due to winter
recreational activity (Factors A and E),
other human disturbance (Factors A and
E), effects from wildland fire (Factor A),
disease (Factor C), predation (Factor C),
overutilization (trapping) (Factor B),
genetic diversity (Factor E), and small
population effects (Factor E). We found
that habitat loss as a result of climate
change is the primary threat to the
wolverine’s future viability in the
contiguous United States. We expect
climate change to exacerbate effects
from multi-lane roads, backcountry
winter recreation, and human
development, all of which could then
impact genetic diversity and small
population dynamics. A summary of the
threats affecting the North American
wolverine in the contiguous United
States is presented below; for a full
description of our evaluation of the
effects of these stressors, refer to the
wolverine SSA report (Service 2018, pp.
57–101) and the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum (Service 2023, pp. 30–
47).
Climate Change: The wolverine’s
evolutionary and phylogeographic
history suggest a species adapted to cold
and snowy climate conditions (Fisher et
al. 2022, p. 7; Service 2023, pp. 24–25).
The wolverine is a snow-adapted, cold
climate animal in its physiology,
morphology (Telfer and Kelsall 1984, p.
1,830), behavior, and habits. Wolverines
have been classified as a ‘‘chionphile’’
or those animals with adaptations for
snow (e.g., increased surface area on
feet, pelt characteristics) (see definitions
in Pruitt 1959, p. 172; Cathcart 2014, p.
22). We find that impacts from climate
change (increasing temperatures and
decreasing snowpack) have the largest
potential to influence the North
American wolverine’s population
viability in the future.
To inform our assessment of the North
American wolverine’s status in the
contiguous United States, we updated
our previous climate change analysis,
the details of which are summarized in
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the wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, pp. 47–59). The spatial
expansion to our climate change
analysis is a major improvement from
the snow projections used in our 2018
SSA report, which focused only on
Rocky Mountain National Park
(Colorado) and Glacier National Park
(Montana). We now focus on five
modeling domains that overlap with
occupied and potential wolverine
habitat in the contiguous United States
across latitudinal, longitudinal, and
elevation gradients: (1) Cascades
(Washington); (2) Northern Rocky West
(Washington, Idaho, and Montana); (3)
Northern Rocky (Idaho and Montana);
(4) Mid-Rocky (Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming); and (5) Southern Rocky
(Colorado and New Mexico) (Service
2023, p. 49). Central Idaho was not
modeled due to constraints of time and
resources. In our updated climate
assessment, we use a timeframe out to
year 2100 for assessing future effects to
the North American wolverine’s
viability from climate change and other
threats. Beyond 2100, climate modeling
uncertainty increases substantially due
to the inability to predict human
behavior, policy changes, and, by
extension, future greenhouse gas
emissions. Our previous assessment in
the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618) looked at a
timeframe of 38 to 50 years into the
future. We find that end of century is a
reasonable timeframe to consider, as it
includes the potential for observing
these effects and the wolverine’s
responses over several generations of
the wolverine.
Two scenarios were chosen from the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report
to bracket the uncertainty regarding
future greenhouse gas emission
scenarios (Tebaldi et al. 2021, p. 258).
The two emission scenarios used in the
analyses are referred to as SSP2–4.5 and
SSP5–8.5; SSPs replace representative
concentration pathways (RCPs) from
prior IPCC reports. The numerical
suffixes (e.g., 2–4.5 and 5–8.5) represent
the approximate level of radiative
forcing (the change in energy flux in the
atmosphere caused by natural or
anthropogenic factors of climate change)
in 2100 (compared to preindustrial
levels) in units of watts per meter
squared (W/m2). The SSP2–4.5 pathway
(modest mitigation) used in this analysis
is similar to the RCP 4.5 scenario used
in past reports, whereas the SSP5–8.5
pathway represents one of the most
pessimistic estimates of future
greenhouse gas emissions, a future with
no mitigation policy. The SSP5–8.5
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pathway was included in this analysis
to provide a lower-boundary estimate of
future snow cover available for
wolverines within the selected domains
(OSTP 2023, p. 11). We chose a snow
depth threshold of greater than or equal
to 1 m (40 inches) to represent
persistent spring snow cover on May 1
based on published literature, our prior
analyses in the 2018 SSA, and studies
indicating that den site abandonment
generally occurs before May 1 (see the
Use of Dens and Denning Behavior
discussion in the Reproduction and
Growth section of the 2018 SSA (Service
2018, pp. 25–27). There is no known
snow depth threshold for successful
wolverine denning on any date.
However, based on historical den site
melt-out dates (when there was no snow
at the den sites) and hindcasted
(historical) snow models for Glacier
National Park, the 2018 SSA used
greater than 0.5 m (20 inches) on May
1. We received criticism from some
wolverine researchers that the use of the
0.5-m snow depth threshold on May 1
was not conservative enough based on
prior studies (e.g., Copeland et al. 2010,
entire; McKelvey et al. 2011, entire) that
considered snow depth out to June.
Others would argue (based on the
importance of snow for denning) that
snow depth at May 1 is not as important
since young wolverine kits are usually
out of their natal dens by mid-March
(Inman 2023, pers. comm.). To address
the criticism, and to acknowledge that
snow is likely important to the
wolverine for more life behaviors than
just denning, for our updated analysis
we increased the snow depth measure
representing persistent snow cover to
greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft) but
retained the May 1 end date. This
provides a reasonable but more
conservative estimate than we used in
the 2018 SSA.
Results from this updated climate
change analysis are consistent with
earlier studies predicting greater snow
loss at lower elevations across all
domains. Similar elevational patterns
were reported for Rocky Mountain and
Glacier National Parks with greater
reductions in future snow cover at lower
elevations (Barsugli et al. 2020, pp. 8–
10). This is partially explained by a
greater percentage of future
precipitation falling as rain due to
higher temperatures, earlier snowmelt
onset, and warmer conditions.
Snowpack in the high country is not as
affected by projected temperature
increases but is likely more strongly
controlled by projected precipitation
changes (Barsugli et al. 2020, pp. 6–11;
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Scalzitti et al. 2016, p. 5367; SospedraAlfonso et al. 2015, p. 4429).
The elevational distribution of
historical den sites varies by latitude,
with a general trend of dens being found
at higher elevations the farther south
they are found. For example, dens in the
Northern Rocky domain are found at
elevations ranging from approximately
1,500–2,400 m (4,921–7,874 ft) (Service
2023, figure 12), while dens in the MidRocky domain are found from
approximately 2,400–3,000 m (7,874–
9,843 ft) (Service 2023, figure 13).
Additional den sites outside of the
modeling domains could expand these
elevational bands. The majority of
historical dens across the domains are
located in elevational bands that are
predicted to experience relatively small
decreases in future snow cover at the
higher denning elevations and moderate
decreases for lower denning elevations.
The percentage change in future snow
depth threshold (greater than or equal to
1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1 (median) for
SSP2–4.5 (2076–2095) for the upper
denning elevations in Northern Rocky
West, Northern Rocky, and Mid-Rocky
domains is predicted to be a less than
10 percent decrease, whereas the
percentage change for the Cascades
domain is predicted to be a less than 25
percent decrease. The percentage
change in future snow depth threshold
(greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft)) on
May 1 (median) for SSP2–4.5 (2076–
2095) for the lower denning elevations
in Northern Rocky is predicted to be a
10–50 percent decrease, and for MidRocky is predicted to be a 10–25 percent
decrease, while the percentage change
for the Cascades domain is predicted to
be a less than 25 percent decrease.
Elevations above historical den
elevations are predicted to have small
decreases (less than 10 percent) in the
future area with snow depth exceeding
the threshold (greater than or equal to 1
m (3.3 ft)) on May 1 (median) for SSP2–
4.5 (2076–2095) across the domains and
in some cases (e.g., Northern Rocky and
Mid-Rocky domains), there are increases
in predicted future area with snow
exceeding the greater than or equal to 1
m (3.3 ft) May 1 threshold. This is
driven by the increases in future
precipitation expected in all five
domains, and elevations with
temperatures sufficiently cold enough to
sustain snowfall, even with future
warming. The lowest elevation areas
within all domains (the lowest
approximately 500 m (1,640 ft) of
domains modeled) are predicted to have
the greatest decreases in the future snow
depth threshold (greater than or equal to
1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1. For example, the
Northern Rocky domain is predicted to
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experience decreases of 50 to 100
percent at 1,000–1,500 m (3,281–4,921
ft) of elevation (Service 2023, figure 13).
Similar patterns are seen in the other
four domains, including predicted
changes (mostly negative) in the future
snow depth threshold (greater than or
equal to 1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1. While
decreases are projected across the
domains, the specific thresholds that
could impact wolverine persistence at
the population level are not known.
Central to our assessment of future
conditions is the degree to which
changes in persistent spring snow, other
snow dynamics (e.g., volume, duration,
condition, spatial and temporal
variability, etc.), and other climaterelated factors will impact wolverines at
the population level in the contiguous
United States. Key uncertainties that
remain regarding these relationships
include: (1) the extent to which
wolverine population connectivity and
gene flow will be affected by these
changes; (2) the impacts of climate
change on ecosystem drivers of
wolverine persistence (i.e., changes in
community dynamics, including prey
availability and competition with other
predators that might impact wolverine
demographic rates); (3) the volume and
duration of snow required for
wolverines to successfully acquire and
cache food for future use; (4) the
impacts of climate change on the ability
of wolverines to thermoregulate, and
whether wolverines might experience
any sublethal effects from changes in
temperature (e.g., impacts to
reproduction) (see Thiel et al. 2019,
entire); (5) whether the observed
associations of the wolverine’s
distribution with snowy and cold
environments are driven by
reproductive denning needs, other
ecological requirements, or
physiological constraints (Aubry et al.
2023, p. 16); (6) the adaptive capacity of
wolverines to move to higher elevations
for denning given predicted snow loss at
lower elevations within their historical
denning range (assuming snow is
required for denning); and (7) the
importance of snow and the impact of
decreases in future snow within
historical denning elevations on
reproductive success. In summary,
specific thresholds regarding snow
dynamics and how changes in these
factors will impact wolverines in the
future at the population level remain
uncertain.
That said, we know that wolverines
are a species that is adapted to, and has
a strong preference for, cold and snowy
conditions and that these conditions
occur in the contiguous United States at
high elevations. As explained before,
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there are uncertainties as to the exact
mechanism(s) by which spring
snowpack is important to wolverines or
when it may become limiting. Although
wolverines have been shown to den
outside of spring snowpack in Canada
and Scandinavia, we continue to have
no evidence of this behavioral ability in
the contiguous United States.
Furthermore, new research on
wolverine habitat use continues to
reinforce that cold and snowy
conditions are a strong predictor of
wolverine occurrence on the landscape
(Aubry et al. 2023, pp. 15–16; Carroll et
al. 2020, p. 8; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10;
Glass et al. 2021, entire; Mowat et al.
2020, p. 220). Furthermore, deep,
persistent snow cover has been shown
to be an important predictor of
successful wolverine dispersal and
resulting genetic structure (Balkenhol et
al. 2020, pp. 798–799). New research on
food caching indicates that warming
future conditions could make caching
food, a year-round behavior, more
difficult for wolverines (Van der Veen et
al. 2020, pp. 8–10). As climate change
reduces the preferred habitat conditions
for wolverine, it has the potential to
exacerbate other stressors discussed
above including effects from roads,
winter recreational activity, effects from
development, low genetic diversity, and
small population effects. When taken
together, we have no reason to conclude
that wolverines will somehow continue
to have the same or better resiliency in
the contiguous United States in the
future when those cold and snowy
conditions at high elevations are
expected to decrease, with spring
snowpack at denning elevations
decreasing as much as 50 percent in
some areas. Although we are not seeing
deleterious effects of climate change on
the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverines currently, we
expect future impacts at the population
level.
Effects from Roads: In our 2018 SSA
and the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we concluded
that roads present a low stressor to
wolverines at the individual and
population level in most of the
wolverine’s current area of occupancy
within the contiguous United States.
New information on the effects of roads
on the North American wolverine’s
distribution, density, reproduction, and
connectivity and gene flow are
presented below.
Since 2018, we were made aware of
four wolverine mortalities from
collisions with vehicles in the
contiguous United States, at least three
of which were males (Service 2023, p.
30). Overall, young, inexperienced male
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wolverines have a greater risk of road
mortality during dispersal compared to
adults and immature females that are
less prone to long-distance dispersal
(e.g., Krebs et al. 2004, pp. 497–498).
The small number of mortalities
observed since 2018, if biased toward
males, are unlikely to have substantial
impacts to the resiliency of the DPS
overall.
New studies available in
southwestern Canada and the western
United States since the 2018 SSA have
found that North American wolverine
distribution and density are negatively
related to road density (Service 2023,
pp. 31–32). In southwestern Canada,
consistency of spring snow and road
density are the two most important
variables correlated with wolverine
density (Clevenger 2019, p. 52; Mowat
et al. 2020, p. 220). Wolverine
population estimates derived from
models based on snow and road density
predicted that wolverine abundance
would be 44 percent higher without the
depressing effect of the road covariate
(Clevenger 2019, p. 52; Mowat et al.
2020, p. 220). As most roads are
concentrated in areas of human
development at lower elevations with
less snow, correlations between
wolverine distribution and road density
can be confounded by other collinear
variables (Copeland et al. 2007, pp.
2210–2211). In southeastern British
Columbia, the density of forest roads
that extended into high-elevation
wolverine habitat was a strong negative
predictor of wolverine distribution in
winter, especially for females (Kortello
et al. 2019, p. 10). The most likely
explanation for this negative
relationship is the use of these highelevation forest roads by snowmobilers,
rather than predator avoidance or
trapping pressure (Kortello et al. 2019,
p. 10). Other possible explanations are
increased trapping access or less
abundant food resources near roads
(Mowat et al. 2020, p. 224). While the
statistical significance of the
relationship between roads and
wolverine densities has been
demonstrated in some areas, the
mechanisms behind this relationship
require further study (Mowat et al. 2020,
p. 224).
Large transportation corridors (e.g.,
multi-lane highways with substantial
traffic volume) can have a significant
impact on wolverine population
connectivity and gene flow. The
mechanisms for reducing connectivity
and gene flow are road mortality and
reduced habitat permeability (avoidance
of crossing roads). Mitochondrial and
nuclear DNA measures of genetic
population structure found that the
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Trans-Canada Highway corridor in the
Canadian Rockies, as well as other
natural and anthropogenic barriers to
movement, fragmented the North
American wolverine population by
restricting female movement (Sawaya et
al. 2019, pp. 621–622). This restricted
movement resulted in male-biased
dispersal and gene flow (Sawaya et al.
2019, pp. 621–622). This highway is
approximately 150 miles north of the
U.S.–Canada border, and the study area
for analyzing wolverine movement
across the Trans-Canada Highway was
in the lower Bow River Valley, which is
a human-dominated landscape
containing the Trans-Canada Highway, a
town with approximately 10,000
residents, a golf course, three ski areas,
the Canadian Pacific Railway, and a
secondary highway. This transportation
corridor was not an absolute barrier to
female movement (4 of 20 female
wolverines crossed the highway during
the study); however, females traversing
the transportation corridor did not
translate to gene flow (Sawaya et al.
2019, p. 622). The differences between
male and female dispersal across this
highway were likely due to the
exacerbating effects of linear
anthropogenic barriers on the strong
natural tendencies for female wolverine
philopatry (tendency to return to or
remain near a particular area or site)
(Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 623). (See
Genetic Diversity, below, for more
discussion of the effects of roads on
gene flow and genetics of wolverines
within the contiguous United States and
genetic connectivity to Canada).
Wildlife crossing structures spanning
the Trans-Canada Highway along the
crest of the Continental Divide may
improve wolverine connectivity across
this highway. Evidence suggests that
female wolverines may be starting to use
wildlife crossings to cross the TransCanada Highway (Service 2023, p. 32).
However, the efficacy of these structures
in restoring gene flow has not yet been
measured (Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 623).
There are few wildlife crossing
structures spanning major highways in
the contiguous United States; a series of
three under-crossings and one dedicated
wildlife overpass on I–90 in the
Washington Cascades (connecting the
northern and southern Cascades) were
completed in 2019 (Sugiarto 2022, p. 9).
To date, however, no wolverines have
been detected using these relatively new
crossings.
Habitats in the contiguous United
States outside of the known breeding
distribution of wolverines, including the
Sierra Nevada in California and the
central Rocky Mountains in Colorado,
are separated from occupied habitats by
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large expanses of high-resistance
habitats, anthropogenic features, and
highways (e.g., Carroll et al. 2020, pp.
9–10; Bjornlie et al. 2021, pp. 116–117).
While highways are not an absolute
barrier to movement (wolverines have
been documented crossing multi-lane
highways), they can apparently limit
female wolverine gene flow in some
situations (e.g., Sawaya et al. 2019, pp.
621–622). The wolverine’s capacity to
traverse large expanses of highresistance habitats, anthropogenic
features, and highways and naturally
recolonize and establish a population in
some relatively isolated habitats in the
contiguous United States (e.g., Oregon
Cascades, Sierra Nevada, and central
Rocky Mountains) remains unclear.
Based on the best available scientific
and commercial information, the effect
of roads, in isolation, represents a
relatively low threat to wolverines in
the contiguous United States at the
population level, although some
individuals are affected. However, in
combination with other threats
discussed below, roads, in particular
multi-lane, high-traffic roads, and high
road density in core habitats could
negatively affect the North American
wolverine’s population resilience,
distribution, and gene flow in the
future.
Disturbance Due to Winter
Recreational Activity: In our 2018 SSA
and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we concluded
that the effect of winter recreational
activity represents a low stressor to
wolverines in the contiguous United
States at the individual and population
levels. New information on winter
recreation impacts on North American
wolverines is presented below and adds
significantly to our understanding of
this factor as highly relevant to the DPS.
The response of North American
wolverines to various levels of
backcountry winter recreation
(motorized and nonmotorized) was
recently studied in four areas in Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming (Heinemeyer et
al. 2019a, p. 8). The study found that
wolverines temporarily avoided areas
within their home range where winter
recreation (motorized and
nonmotorized) was occurring
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16).
Wolverines increasingly avoided these
areas as the amount of off-road winter
recreation increased, resulting in
indirect habitat loss or functional
degradation of moderate- or high-quality
habitats in winter (Heinemeyer et al.
2019a, p. 16). However, wolverines did
demonstrate the ability to maintain
multi-year home ranges despite the
presence of winter recreation activity
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within those home ranges. Some
resident animals had more than 40
percent of their home range within the
footprint of winter recreation,
suggesting that, at some scale,
wolverines tolerate winter recreation
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16).
Dispersed or off-road winter
recreation appears to elicit more of an
avoidance response than recreation
along roads and groomed routes with
females showing more sensitivity than
males (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 15).
Females exhibited more of a negative
response to motorized recreation, which
occurred at higher intensity across a
larger footprint than did nonmotorized
recreation.
In a study evaluating the strength of
aerial survey metrics in predicting
wolverine responses to motorized and
nonmotorized backcountry winter
recreation, higher recreation intensity
showed stronger avoidance coefficients
and were the most important modelled
predictors of female wolverine absence
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019b, pp. 18–20).
Given the likelihood that, under climate
change, both wolverines and
backcountry winter recreation will be
impacted by declining snow extent and
depth and an abbreviated snow season,
there is the potential for increased
overlap between winter recreation and
wolverine distribution (Heinemeyer et
al. 2019a, p. 18).
The impacts of motorized and
nonmotorized backcountry winter
recreation on wolverines in the Nez
Perce-Clearwater, Sawtooth National
Recreation Area, and Salmon-Challis
National Forests of Idaho were recently
evaluated (Regan et al. 2020, entire).
Preliminary results showed that
recreational impacts, in both area and
intensity, are increasing over time. In
the Sawtooth-Boulder White Cloud
Mountains, researchers compared the
current extent of winter recreation with
known historical wolverine home
ranges and found that most of these
home ranges contained little or no
backcountry recreation at this time
(Regan et al. 2020, p. 4). In contrast,
recent surveys on the Payette National
Forest in central Idaho revisited a
portion of a previous winter recreation
study and found that there had been an
incremental loss of resident wolverines
from 2010 to 2014, and that previously
documented territories appeared to be
vacant (Mack and Hagen 2022, p. 13).
The authors suggest that ‘‘what was
considered to be a stable core
subpopulation area could, in fact, be
more tenuous’’ and ‘‘that the change in
wolverine abundance in this area might
be attributed to changes in habitat
quality from direct or indirect
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influences including dispersed
recreation,’’ although the cause for the
decline in wolverine abundance
requires further study (Mack and Hagen
2022, p. 13).
Both motorized and nonmotorized
recreation can affect wolverine habitat
use. Forest roads that are used by
snowmobilers appear to have a strong
negative correlation with wolverine
distribution (Kortello 2019, p. 10).
Nonmotorized recreation can also
impact wolverines. Remote camerabased surveys from 2011–2020 in
protected and non-protected habitat in
southwestern Canada found that
wolverine detection probability was
strongly negatively correlated with the
amount of nonmotorized human
recreation (Barrueto et al. 2022, pp. 4–
8). This pattern was consistent in both
winter and summer, and mirrored the
findings of Heinemeyer et al. (2019a, p.
18). Further research is necessary to
determine the specific causal
mechanisms most responsible for these
declines (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 8).
In the winter recreation studies we
considered, winter recreation activities
varied in the number of recreationists
and types of recreation, and each study
area had a unique combination of
backcountry recreation including
snowmobile, skiing (including
snowboards), snowmobile-accessed ski/
snowboard, cat-ski, heli-ski, yurtsupported skiing, and snowshoeing.
Backcountry motorized and
nonmotorized winter recreation that
occurs in areas that do not overlap with
wolverine home ranges is not expected
to impact the DPS. Additionally,
developed ski slopes and resorts that are
already on the landscape and other
developed winter recreation sites that
do not occur in the backcountry are not
expected to be a concern for wolverines,
as wolverines are likely already
avoiding these areas. Backcountry
winter recreational activities that do
occur in wolverine home ranges could
negatively impact wolverines by
displacing them from high-quality
habitat. Developed ski resorts that allow
for backcountry or out-of-bounds skiing
in areas that overlap wolverine home
ranges may also displace wolverines.
Backcountry areas where wolverines
reside in winter are largely difficult for
recreationalists to access without
snowmobiles or forest roads that
facilitate access, and the intensity of
recreational activity is correlated with
accessibility.
Based on the best available scientific
and commercial information, the effect
of winter recreation activity (of greatest
concern because of potential to impact
denning), in isolation, represents a low
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threat to North American wolverines in
the contiguous United States at the
population level, although some
individuals are affected. However, in
combination with other threats,
including decreased snow availability
(see Climate Change, above) and
increased overlap with winter
recreationalists in the future of climate
change, winter recreation could
negatively affect wolverine population
resilience in the future.
Other Human Disturbance and
Development: In our 2018 SSA and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), we concluded that
human infrastructure may affect
individual wolverine behavior (e.g.,
avoidance) or result in the loss or
modification of wolverine habitat. We
further stated these effects are small or
narrow in scope and scale and appear to
represent a trade-off between foraging
opportunities in areas that provide
minimal risk of predation and
avoidance of open areas and/or higher
predation risk. We discuss below new
information related to the impacts of
human disturbance and development on
North American wolverine populations.
North American wolverine density in
and around a national park complex in
the southern Canadian Rocky
Mountains was three times higher
within these national parks than outside
them, increased with spring snow cover,
and decreased with increasing night
light intensity (a measure of human
development) (Barrueto et al. 2022, p.
4). An approximately 40 percent decline
in wolverine abundance was observed
between 2011 and 2020, likely from one
or more of the following causes:
trapping, backcountry recreation,
human development, and food
availability (Barrueto et al. 2022, pp. 4,
6–8). This pattern is consistent with
telemetry-based data that wolverines
avoid infrastructure (May et al. 2006,
entire; Scrafford et al. 2018, entire).
Along the Front Range of the Canadian
Rocky Mountains, wolverines selected
areas with natural land-cover and high
snow cover, and avoided anthropogenic
features and heterospecific competitors
(Heim et al. 2019, pp. 2499–2502). It is
thought that competition from other
carnivores that more readily exploit
anthropogenic change may exacerbate
the habitat loss and displacement
impacts of such changes on North
American wolverines (Heim et al. 2019,
pp. 2503–2504).
Connectivity among North American
wolverine habitats appears to be
particularly sensitive to housing
developments and other human impacts
in rugged areas located between typical
wolverine habitats (Balkenhol et al.
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2020, p. 799). Housing density was
found to be an important predictor of
long-distance wolverine dispersal and
population structure in the Northern
Rocky Mountains (Balkenhol et al. 2020,
p. 799). Even if areas between wolverine
primary alpine habitats are not typically
inhabited by wolverines, they may be
used during dispersal and can,
therefore, offer crucial pathways for
gene flow across broad spatial scales
(Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799).
The extent of the impacts of human
presence and actions on the landscape
have been collectively called ‘‘the
human footprint’’ (Janzen 1998, entire).
In an analysis of the human footprint in
the western United States, Leu et al.
(2008, p. 1125) found that the physical
effect area of 14 anthropogenic features
they analyzed (human habitation,
interstate highways, Federal and State
highways, secondary roads, railroads,
irrigation canals, powerlines, linear
feature densities, agricultural land,
campgrounds, highway rest stops,
landfills, oil and gas development, and
human-induced fires) covered 13
percent of the land area in the western
United States. Accounting for the
indirect effects radiating out from the
direct human footprint, Leu et al. (2008,
p. 1125) categorized 52 percent of the
western United States as having
medium- or high-intensity impacts from
the human footprint (both direct and
indirect impacts), while low-intensity
impact areas covered the remaining 48
percent of the landscape (Leu et al.
2008, pp. 1125–1127). When modeled
North American wolverine core areas
are overlaid across the western United
States with the human footprint, less
than 1 percent was in the high-intensity
category, 12 percent in the mediumintensity category, and 88 percent in the
low-intensity category. We also overlaid
the current breeding distribution of the
North American wolverine with the
human footprint map and found that
only 1 percent of the current breeding
range was within the high-intensity
category, 31 percent in the mediumintensity category, and 68 percent in the
low-intensity category (Service 2023,
figure 4). As expected, wolverine core
areas are concentrated in high-elevation
areas with little human infrastructure
(Service 2023, figure 4). However,
within their current breeding
distribution in the contiguous United
States, wolverines must navigate across
lower elevation areas with greater
amounts of human infrastructure to
disperse from one habitat core to
another (Service 2023, figure 4).
In addition to effects on wolverine
density and connectivity, human
infrastructure can also affect wolverines
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through shifts in community dynamics
that precipitate from changes in the
behavior and temporal use of habitats by
apex predators. Wolverines and other
carnivores may shift their daily behavior
patterns in response to the presence of
human landscape disturbance (Frey et
al. 2020, pp. 1133–1138). Indirect effects
can also include range expansion of
other carnivores into wolverine habitat
facilitated by human infrastructure.
While wolverine and coyotes are
generally segregated, the probability of
co-occurrence increases with the
proportion of linear disturbance features
(Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 4). Using a
study area in Alberta (Frey et al. 2020,
p. 1130), the authors found that while
wolverines favored areas of low
disturbance (low proportion of linear
features) and coyotes favored areas of
high disturbance (high proportion of
linear features), co-occurrence
probability increased 3 times for each
increase of linear feature unit (ChowFraser et al. 2022, p. 4). Modeling
showed that competition exhibited the
strongest effect on wolverine
distribution, with wolverine occurrence
best explained by coyote occurrence at
the same sites (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022,
p. 4). These results suggest that
anthropogenic disturbance and resulting
coyote range expansion may be
contributing to wolverine population
declines in the Canadian Rocky
Mountains (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p.
6).
A recent study estimated the
independent and cumulative effects of
landscape features, human disturbance
(distance to human settlements and
roads, night light brightness, human
population density), and prey
availability on wolverines and other
large carnivore occurrences in
Fennoscandia (region in Europe that
includes the Scandinavian peninsula,
the Kola Peninsula, mainland Finland,
and Karelia) (Milanesi et al. 2022,
entire). Contrary to the other carnivores
they evaluated, variation in the
‘‘permanent’’ occurrence of wolverines
was best explained by human
disturbance and the shared effect
between landscape attributes and
human disturbance. This same
relationship was observed for
‘‘sporadic’’ wolverine occurrences, but
with a considerably lower level of
explained variance. The researchers
concluded that, ‘‘the wolverine showed
higher sensitivity to human disturbance
compared to the other large carnivores,
and spatial segregation patterns between
wolverines and humans were found, as
large carnivore home ranges are usually
at high elevation (often covered by
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snow), far from the lowlands where
density of human settlements and roads
is high’’ (Milanesi et al. 2022, p. 10). It
appears that wolverines select den sites
mainly away from infrastructure,
indicating that successful reproduction
may be influenced by human activities.
However, wolverines also appear to be
able to cross artificial barriers to some
degree. Therefore, wolverines appear to
have a relatively low tolerance of
human disturbance, with an ability to
exhibit more flexible behavior during
dispersal in some circumstances.
Human disturbance and development
effects are limited in scope and scale
within the wolverine DPS’s core
habitats and breeding range in the
contiguous United States. However, in
lower elevations and valleys bottoms
between core habitats, wolverines must
traverse through areas of human
disturbance and infrastructure to
maintain connectivity in the contiguous
United States, where habitat is often
fragmented. Wolverines have shown
avoidance of disturbed areas and human
infrastructure and a preference for
habitats devoid of these features. Based
on the best available scientific and
commercial information, we find that
human disturbance and development,
especially coupled with major roads
(see Effects from Roads, above), could
limit wolverine connectivity and
dispersal in the future.
Effects from Wildland Fire: In our
2018 SSA and October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618),
we found that wildland fire was neither
a population- nor species-level stressor
to North American wolverines in the
contiguous United States. Our
assessment of wildland fire effects to
wolverines has not changed. Wildland
fire can produce both direct and indirect
effects to wildlife. Direct effects include
injury and mortality, as well as escape
or emigration movement away from fires
(Lyon et al. 2000, pp. 17–21). Wildland
fire is likely to temporarily displace
wolverines, which could affect home
range dynamics. Given that wolverines
can travel long distances in a short
period of time, individuals would be
expected to move away from fire and
smoke (Luensmann 2008, p. 14). In
addition, because young wolverines are
born in underground or otherwise
sheltered dens during winter months
and in locations where wildland fire
risk is low due to snow cover or
increased moisture (Luensmann 2008, p.
14), the potential effects of fire at that
critical life stage is very low
(Luensmann 2008, p. 14). Indirect
effects of wildland fire can include
habitat-related effects or effects to prey
and competitors/predators; however, we
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are unaware of empirical studies
evaluating these potential effects as they
relate to wolverines.
Given the diversity of habitats
occupied by wolverines, their
opportunistic foraging habitats and
seasonal switching of food sources, their
occupancy of high elevations, and their
extensive mobility, wildland fire does
not represent a stressor to North
American wolverines in the contiguous
U.S. range (Service 2018, pp. 63–64) and
is not expected to have population-level
impacts.
Disease and Predation: In our 2018
SSA, we found that disease and
predation were neither population- nor
species-level stressors to the North
American wolverine in the contiguous
United States. Our assessment of these
stressors has not changed.
There has been considerable localized
research on diseases and parasites in
wolverines since the 2018 SSA was
published; however, we lack data on the
specific effects to wolverine
populations. It is conceivable that
disease-induced mortality could
contribute to population declines, but
this remains understudied south of the
Arctic (Fisher et al. 2022, p. 9). The
types of bacteria or parasites that could
lead to disease in wolverines are still
unknown (Watson 2020, pp. 62, 65).
Many authors have discovered new
viruses in the United States and Canada,
some of which were previously
unrecognized species of parasites
(Sharma et al. 2020, p. 277; 2021, p. 1;
Watson et al. 2020, p. 43; Bandoo et al.
2021, p. 1). This new information
pertains to how wolverines act as
primary hosts for some parasites, such
as Trichinella spp., and how those
parasites could increase infection risk to
humans and other vertebrates (Sharma
et al. 2021, pp. 1, 7). Considering the
global coronavirus pandemic in recent
years and instances of human-animal
cross-infections, researchers are
beginning to use genomic data to
evaluate the wolverine’s susceptibility
to these pathogens (Lok et al. 2022, pp.
16–18). Although no coronavirus cases
have been reported in wolverines, and
an initial evaluation of the wolverine’s
genome to determine susceptibility to
coronaviruses was inconclusive, there is
potential risk of infection from their
prey or from researchers handling
captured wolverines that they release
back into the wild (Lok et al. 2022, pp.
16, 18, 20).
Since our 2018 SSA, we found no
substantive new information on
predation. In North America, there was
one new report of two wolverines being
predated upon in the boreal ecosystem
of Canada. One was the result of wolf
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predation, and the other was the result
of an unknown predator (Scrafford et al.
2021, p. 9).
Based on the best available scientific
and commercial information, disease
and predation are not threats to North
American wolverines in the contiguous
United States at the individual or
population level.
Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes: In our 2018 SSA and October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we concluded that
overutilization does not currently
represent a stressor to the wolverine in
the contiguous United States at the
individual, population, or species level.
We also concluded that trapping in
Canada had been and appeared to be
sustainable, and trapping or harvesting
of wolverines along the contiguous
U.S.–Canada border did not represent a
barrier to wolverine movement and
dispersal along the international border
(Service 2018, p. 71). Below, we present
new information on incidental captures
of wolverines in the contiguous United
States, where regulated wolverine
trapping remains closed (Service 2018,
pp. 70–72), and new information on the
effects of trapping mortality on
wolverine populations in southwestern
Canada. New information suggests that
wolverine trapping in southwestern
Canada has impacted connectivity
across the international border.
Since 2012, there have been 10
nontarget wolverine captures (average =
fewer than 1 per year (1/year)) in
Montana, resulting in 3 mortalities (1 in
a conibear (a body gripping trap), 1 in
a foothold, and 1 in a snare); the
remainder were released (MFWP 2023,
in litt., p. 1). In Idaho, 14 nontarget
captures (0.7/year) of wolverines have
occurred during licensed trapping
activities, with no demonstratable trend
in capture rates over the past 20 years
(IDFG 2022, in litt., p. 3). Nine
wolverines were incidentally trapped in
Idaho between November 2017 and
August 2022, with two resulting in
known mortalities (IDFG 2022, in litt.,
pp. 5, 16–22).
The Idaho legislature revised the
Idaho Code (IC) in 2021 to: (1) authorize
a year-round trapping season for wolves
on private property (IC 36–201(3)); (2)
authorize additional methods of take
previously prohibited (inclusive of the
use of snares in 97 out of 99
management units) (IC 36–201(2)); (3)
remove any limit to the number of wolf
tags an individual may purchase (IC 36–
408(1)); (4) allow a livestock or domestic
animal owner to use a private contractor
to kill wolves (IC 36–1107(c)); (5) allow
the Idaho Wolf Depredation Control
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Board to enter into agreements with
private contractors, in addition to State
and Federal agencies, to implement the
provisions of Idaho Senate Bill 1211 (IC
22–5304(2)); and (6) direct wolf control
assessments ($110,000 annually)
collected from the Idaho livestock
industry to be combined with $300,000
the State will transfer from the IDFG
fund annually beginning on July 1, 2021
(IC 22–5306).
In Montana, new laws were also
passed in 2021 to reduce the wolf
population through, among other things:
(1) authorizing the use of snares to take
wolves by licensed trappers (Montana
Code Annotated (MCA) 87–1–901(2)(b));
(2) allowing the Montana Fish, Wildlife,
and Parks (MFWP) Commission
authority to extend trapping season
dates (MCA 87–1–304(8)); and, (3)
allowing the reimbursement of costs
incurred to harvest a wolf or wolves in
Montana (MCA 87–6–214(1)(d)).
These regulation changes may
increase the amount of wolf trapping
and the risk of incidental trapping of
wolverines because of the use of snares,
extended trapping seasons, and
financial incentives. However, because
wolverines differ from wolves in size,
distribution, and behavior, trappers use
pan tension, site selection, and snare
height to reduce the likelihood of
incidental capture. In addition, yearround wolf trapping seasons in Idaho
are limited to private lands, where there
is very little core wolverine habitat.
Although the wolf trapping regulations
have been in effect for a limited time,
we do not anticipate a significant
increase in wolverine incidental
trapping due to the measures Idaho and
Montana are taking to limit wolverine
capture. Across the contiguous U.S.
range, wolverine mortality from
incidental trapping has historically been
very low, and States within the DPS’s
range are actively taking measures to
limit incidental capture and mortality.
Below, we present a summary of
incidental trapping risk and measures to
limit wolverine capture for each State
within the current range in the
contiguous United States.
California
The wolverine is listed as both a
threatened species and as a fully
protected mammal in California; these
designations provide wolverines broad
protection from being trapped, killed, or
otherwise taken in the State (CDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). Recent detections of
lone animals have indicated the
occasional presence of wolverines in the
State (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Recreational and commercial trapping
of fur-bearing and nongame animals has
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been illegal in California since 2019
(CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). While
furbearers and nongame species can be
trapped for other reasons (e.g., the
protection of property), existing
regulations likely preclude the serious
injury or mortality of incidentally
captured wolverines (CDFW 2023, in
litt., p. 2). The use of snares, conibeartype traps, and deadfall traps is
prohibited in large areas of the State,
including in the most recently estimated
historical range of the wolverine (CDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). The use of steeljawed leghold traps is prohibited
throughout the State (CDFW 2023, in
litt., p. 2). All traps must be checked
daily, and all captured animals that are
not legal to trap should be immediately
released (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Colorado
Recreational trapping of wildlife in
Colorado is limited to live cage traps
(CPW 2023, in litt., p. 1), and any
wolverines incidentally trapped could
be released unharmed. However, there
are currently no wolverines known to be
present in Colorado, and, therefore,
there should be no incidental trapping
of wolverines occurring (CPW 2023, in
litt., p. 1).
Idaho
IDFG has multiple guidelines that are
shared with the trapping community to
reduce the nontarget capture of
wolverine (IDFG 2023, in litt.; IDFG
2022, p. 40). The guidelines, developed
with the assistance of technical experts
familiar with the wolverine, include
recommendations on the types of traps
used, trap tension, trap placement,
avoiding areas with wolverine tracks
observed, selecting habitats less likely to
have wolverines, and contacting IDFG
or a local sheriff’s office to assist with
the safe release of wolverines
incidentally trapped. These guidelines
help minimize nontarget wolverine
captures (IDFG 2023, in litt., p. 3).
Capture rates of wolverine during
trapping activities for other species are
low. In Idaho, 14 nontarget captures
(0.7/year) of wolverines have occurred
during licensed trapping activities, with
no demonstratable trend in capture rates
over the past 20 years (IDFG 2022, in
litt., p. 3). Between November 2017 and
August 2022, IDFG reported that nine
wolverines were incidentally trapped,
with two resulting in mortalities (IDFG
2022, in litt., pp. 5, 16–22).
Montana
Montana FWP has multiple trapping
regulations that help mitigate the
nontarget capture of wolverines by
recreational trappers (MFWP 2023, in
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litt., p. 1). The regulations include
requirements for trappers to take an
education course, that wolf traps must
be checked every 48 hours, and that
wolf trap tension and snare height are
set to limit wolverine capture (MFWP
2023, in litt., p. 1). There are also a
number of regulations required to
mitigate the nontarget capture of the
federally listed Canada lynx (Lynx
canadensis) that are also applicable to
wolverines, including the prohibition of
wolf snares on public lands in lynx
protected zones, which overlap much of
the wolverine habitat in Montana
(MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 5).
The last legal harvest season for
wolverines in Montana was in 2012
(MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). The
nontarget capture of a wolverine is very
rare, and these incidents do not pose
any population-level effects on
wolverines (MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1).
There have been 10 nontarget wolverine
captures (average = less than 1/year),
resulting in 3 mortalities in Montana
(MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). This also
provides evidence of the efficacy of the
trapping regulations in place to mitigate
the nontarget capture of wolverines and
other animals (MFWP 2023, in litt., p.
1).
Oregon
There is no open season for wolverine
(or other protected species), and any
incidental capture or other take of
wolverines must be reported to the
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
(ODFW) within 48 hours (ODFW 2023,
in litt., p. 4). Regulations that also
reduce any incidental captures or take
include a 48-hour trap check (which
limits the ability for traps to be set in
the wolverine’s range and allows for
prompt trap set modification or removal
if signs of wolverine presence are
detected) and a prohibition on mediumsized and larger body-grip traps (such as
the conibear trap) being set on land
(ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4). In practice,
other traps successfully deployed for the
capture of wolverines simply are not
used by Oregon trappers (ODFW 2023,
in litt., p. 4). For example, foothold
traps (#4 coil springs, Minnesota Brand
750s) used for wolverine in Canada and
Alaska are too large for targeted Oregon
species like bobcats (Lynx rufus) and
coyotes (ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4). No
wolverines have been incidentally
captured by licensed furtakers in
Oregon over the last half-century
(ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4).
Utah
There are no regulations specific to
wolverines in Utah, but the Utah
Division of Wildlife Resources (UDWR)
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regulates trapping and the use of
trapping devices to reduce the capture
of nontargeted protected species (UDWR
2023, in litt., p. 2). Any protected
wildlife found alive in a trapping device
must be immediately released
unharmed (UDWR 2023, in litt., p. 2).
UDWR also provides trappers with
multiple recommendations that can
help avoid catching nontarget species in
traps set for bobcats and other
furbearers, including recommendations
on the type of traps used, placement of
traps, and baits used (UDWR 2023, in
litt., p. 2).
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Washington
Information on the wolverine is in
Washington’s trapping education
manual, and all trappers must pass a
trapper education test (or a similar one
in another State) prior to obtaining their
first license (Washington Department of
Fish and Wildlife (WDFW) 2023, in litt.,
p. 2). Due to Washington’s trap-type
regulations banning body gripping traps,
the likelihood of accidental capture of a
wolverine is very unlikely, and injury or
death from these traps even more
unlikely (WDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). In
Washington, the most commonly
trapped animal in habitats that
wolverines occupy is the marten (Martes
americana) but marten traps are too
small for wolverines (even young
wolverines) to be captured (WDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). Larger cage traps that
are used for bobcat and other larger
animals could potentially capture a
wolverine, but these are not commonly
set in areas that wolverines occupy, and
if a wolverine were incidentally
captured, it could be released from the
trap unharmed (WDFW 2023, in litt., p.
3). The past several years of trapper
reports (2017–2022) do not show any
records of a wolverine being trapped.
Wyoming
The Wyoming Game and Fish
Department (WGFD) addresses the
incidental capture of animals classified
as protected, like wolverines, in their
Furbearing Animal Hunting or Trapping
Seasons Brochure (WGDF 2023, in litt.,
p. 4). All protected animals that are
trapped shall be released unharmed and
mortalities reported to the WGFD
(WGDF 2023, p. 14). Large areas of
Wyoming within the distribution of
wolverines are closed to trapping,
including Yellowstone National Park
and Grand Teton National Park.
The WGFD is not aware of any
wolverines trapped incidentally in
Wyoming in recent history (WGDF
2023, in litt., p. 1). Trap types with the
potential to capture wolverines are
largely restricted to private lands, must
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be partially submerged in water (where
there would be low likelihood of
wolverine capture), or are required to
have break-away devices to limit
bycatch (WGDF 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Trapping that occurs in areas that
overlap with wolverine habitat in
Wyoming is primarily by marten
trappers that use smaller cubby trap
sets, and it is unlikely these would
capture a wolverine (WGDF 2023, in
litt., p. 2).
Since our 2018 SSA, there is
substantial evidence demonstrating that
direct trapping of wolverines has
impacted wolverine densities in
southern British Columbia and Alberta
over the last decade (e.g., Kortello et al.
2019, pp. 1, 10; Mowat et al. 2020,
entire; Barrueto et al. 2020, p. 296;
Barrueto et al. 2022, entire). In addition,
there appear to be edge effects from
trapping, with impacts to wolverine
densities extending into protected areas
in southern Canada (Barrueto et al.
2020, p. 296; Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4).
In the most expansive study of
wolverine trapping and density to
date—and encompassing southern
British Columbia and Alberta’s zone of
connectivity with the Northern Rocky
Mountains of the United States—
wolverine trapping mortality was found
to be unsustainably high at
approximately 8.4 percent per year
(Mowat et al. 2020, p. 221). Kill rates
were higher in the southern British
Columbia portion of the study area, with
the best estimate of trapping mortality
there approaching 10 percent per year
(Mowat et al. 2020, p. 223). This
contrasts with the maximum sustainable
harvest of approximately 8 percent after
accounting for the influence of higher
trap vulnerability of juveniles and males
and stochasticity in juvenile recruitment
rates (Mowat et al. 2020, p. 221).
Uncertainties in the stochasticity of
reproduction, however, had large effects
on the estimates of maximum
sustainable harvest, causing it to vary
between 0 and 8.1 percent (Mowat et al.
2020, p. 221). Based on their analyses,
Mowat et al. (2020, p. 224)
recommended reducing trapping
mortality to no more than 4 percent per
year (and perhaps even lower than that
for an interim period) across their study
area to promote wolverine population
recovery. In response to the emerging
information that trapping rates were
unsustainable in southern British
Columbia, the British Columbia
Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural
Resource Operations and Rural
Development closed a portion of the
province along the U.S.-Canada border
to wolverine trapping in 2020. New
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research published since that closure
has confirmed population declines of
approximately 40 percent
(approximately 20 individuals) in the
wolverine population in a portion of the
Canadian Rocky Mountains over the
decade before the closure (Barrueto et
al. 2022, p. 6).
Legal trapping of wolverines has not
occurred in the contiguous United
States in the past 10 years, and lethal
incidental trapping of wolverines has
been minimal (1 to 2 animals per year
across the contiguous United States). As
described above, States within the
wolverine’s range have implemented
measures to limit the incidental
trapping of wolverines during legal
trapping of other wildlife. We expect
that, as long as trapping is done in a
manner to limit wolverine bycatch,
recent changes to wolf trapping
regulations in Idaho and Montana will
have little effect on wolverines at a
population level.
Based on a recent analysis of an area
in Canada that was experiencing
population declines related to
overharvest, Mowat et al. (2020, p. 224)
recommended reducing direct trapping
mortality to no more than 4 percent per
year across their study area to promote
wolverine population recovery. In the
contiguous United States, where there is
no direct trapping, incidental trapping
rates have been well below this
recommended rate. If we assume there
are approximately 300 wolverines in the
contiguous United States and assume 2
wolverine mortalities per year from
incidental trapping (a conservative
estimate from the incidental trapping
mortalities we know of since 2012), that
would amount to only 0.67 percent of
the population per year. This minimal
level of loss will not significantly
impact the contiguous U.S. population
of North American wolverines and will
not inhibit conservation of the DPS.
As noted, trapping in southern
Canada appears to be having more of a
negative effect on wolverine
populations in Canada than previously
thought. Unsustainable trapping levels
in Canada could limit dispersal of
individuals into the contiguous United
States, where the dispersal of
wolverines from southern Canada is
vital to the genetic and demographic
health of the U.S. wolverine population.
Based on the best available scientific
and commercial information, the effect
of overutilization (trapping) in the
contiguous United States is not a threat
to wolverines at the population level
because there is no trapping of
wolverine allowed, and the incidence of
bycatch of wolverine resulting from
other lawful trapping activities is small
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and not expected to impact the DPS’s
population levels. However, in
combination with other threats that
limit dispersal (roads, infrastructure
development, climate change),
overharvest of wolverines in southern
Canada could negatively affect the
wolverine’s population resilience,
distribution, and gene flow in the
contiguous United States in the future.
Genetic Diversity: In our October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we conclude that loss of genetic
diversity is not a threat for wolverines
in the contiguous United States now or
within the foreseeable future. Since our
2018 SSA and October 13, 2020,
withdrawal decision, new genetic
research has become available. Below,
we assess new information on genetics
relevant to our status assessment of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States, including estimates of effective
population size and measures of gene
flow and population connectivity.
Effective Population Size in the
Contiguous United States
As reported in our SSA report
(Service 2018, pp. 46–47), effective
population sizes (Ne) are typically
smaller than census population sizes.
Scientists use the Ne concept as the
number of individuals in a population
that would result in the same loss of
genetic diversity, inbreeding, and
genetic drift if they behaved in the
manner of an idealized population
(equal sex ratio, random mating, all
adults producing offspring, equal
numbers of offspring per parent, and a
constant number of breeding
individuals across generations)
(Frankham 1995, p. 96). The concept of
effective population size relates to
population viability because, as a
general rule, closed populations with
random mating that have effective
population sizes (1) below 50 are at
higher risk of inbreeding depression,
and (2) below 500 are more likely to lose
genetic variation important to
maintaining long-term evolutionary
potential. Fragmentation can further
exacerbate inbreeding depression and
genetic loss, while connectivity to larger
source populations can alleviate the
adverse effects of small effective
population sizes (Frankham et al. 2014,
p. 60). In addition, small, isolated
populations are more vulnerable to
extinction through interactions between
environmental, genetic, and
demographic factors (Caughley 1994,
pp. 221–227).
The only available estimate of
effective population size in wolverines
in the contiguous United States is from
the Northern Rocky Mountains
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(inclusive of the Greater Yellowstone
Ecosystem, Idaho, and Montana). This is
where the bulk of the wolverine
population in the contiguous United
States resides (Service 2023, table 4). In
2009, the Ne estimate for the Northern
Rocky Mountains was 35 (credible
interval = 28–52), and Ne did not change
significantly from 1989–2006 (Schwartz
et al. 2009, p. 3226). There are no
published estimates of effective
population size for wolverines in the
North Cascades. Therefore, we
estimated the effective population size
of wolverines in the North Cascades,
and the result was an estimate of Ne =
4 for the North Cascades (Service 2023,
p. 27).
Overall, the effective population size
estimates of wolverines occurring in the
contiguous United States are small
compared to conservation guidelines.
Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous
United States appear to be vulnerable to
inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity
when considered in isolation. However,
only one or two migrants per generation
are likely needed to achieve genetic
population connectivity (Cegelski et al.
2006, p. 13). If populations were
connected with a sufficient level of gene
flow to offset the random loss of genetic
variation in small populations, it would
be more appropriate to evaluate the
effective population size of the
transboundary, interconnected
population for the purposes of using
conservation genetic rules-of-thumb.
Gene Flow Between the United States
and Canada
In the contiguous United States,
small, isolated wolverine populations
are likely dependent on gene flow from
Canada for population persistence
(Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 208–209;
McKelvey et al. 2014, entire). Based on
simulation analyses of gene loss, a
census population of approximately
2,400 adult wolverines in the Northern
Rocky Mountains and Greater
Yellowstone Ecosystem would be
needed to maintain 95 percent of the
genetic variation over 100 wolverine
generations (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp.
12–13). Because there is not likely
sufficient habitat for that number of
wolverines in the entire contiguous
United States (Inman et al. 2013, p.
282), gene flow on the order of one or
two wolverines per generation from
Canada is critical to maintaining genetic
diversity in wolverines in the
contiguous United States (Cegelski et al.
2006, p. 13).
The best available genetic data
indicate genetic structuring of
populations despite some dispersal in
the Northern Rocky Mountains (Cegelski
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et al. 2006, pp. 204–205, 208; Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 12–14), indicating reduced
gene flow. Nuclear genetic diversity was
lower in the southern periphery of the
subspecies’ range where the recent
recolonization from Canada occurred
(Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 9–11).
Differences in allele frequencies
between the United States and Canada
along the Rocky Mountains are
observed, with some areas of overlap in
wolverine populations straddling the
border due to male-mediated gene flow.
Females appear to be segregated near
the international border due to their
higher rates of philopatry than males,
and their apparently greater tendencies
to avoid crossing major roadways,
including major highways (Highway 1
and 3) in southern British Columbia
(Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 12, 17). Traffic
volumes have substantially increased
since these highways were opened in
the 1960s (British Columbia Ministry of
Transportation and Highways 2001, pp.
7–11, 16–21).
No unique contemporary maternal
lineages have been detected south of the
international border, which is consistent
with wolverines recolonizing the
contiguous United States from Canada
within the last 60–70 years (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 2, 16–17). Substantially
lower mitochondrial DNA diversity in
the United States, compared to Canada,
is consistent with limited contemporary
female gene flow between the countries
along the Northern Rocky Mountain
range and the North American
wolverine’s relatively recent
recolonization at the southern edge of
their range (Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17).
Wolverines in western Washington
and southern British Columbia form a
small transboundary population in the
North Cascades (Aubry et al. 2023, p. 4).
Wolverines in the North Cascades are
isolated from other wolverine
populations in the United States and
Canada and likely went through a
genetic bottleneck with few founders
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). The
population has low heterozygosity (less
than 0.5) and is likely experiencing
some level of inbreeding (Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.). However, there are
currently no indications of inbreeding
depression (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
Population Structure and Gene Flow
Within Canada
In our 2018 SSA, we stated that
wolverines in Canada are considered to
occur as a single large group because
they are easily able to move between
areas of good habitat and because
wolverine habitat is relatively
contiguous. New scientific information
now shows that certain anthropogenic
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features (e.g., multi-lane highways) limit
gene flow in southwestern Canada and
supports previous research showing a
pattern of decreasing genetic diversity
in wolverines from north to south (e.g.,
Sawaya et al. 2019, pp. 621–623;
Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). Human
infrastructure and other anthropogenic
and natural barriers also have the
potential to impede dispersal and affect
wolverine population distribution and
gene flow in Canada (Lofroth and Ott
2007, pp. 2194–2195). These
impediments are more prevalent in the
southern portions of Canada (e.g.,
Lofroth and Ott 2007, p. 2194).
Additionally, the best available genetic
data indicate substantial female
population genetic isolation in
wolverines (McKelvey et al. 2014, pp.
328–332; Schwartz et al. 2009, appendix
A; Zigouris et al. 2012, pp. 1520–1522;
Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17), with the
possibility that the Trans-Canada
Highway represents a ‘‘continental
barrier to female wolverine movement’’
(Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 623). There is
also new information that Highway 3 in
southern British Columbia likely limits
female wolverine gene flow (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 17). Therefore, wolverine
populations in southern British
Columbia and Alberta near the
transboundary interface are less
genetically connected to the contiguous
United States than we found in our 2018
SSA.
Gene Flow Within the Contiguous
United States
Previous studies found wolverines
have a strong association with areas that
have persistent spring snow cover
(Copeland et al. 2010, entire). Snow
depth was the most important variable
for predicting genetic structure overall
in a new landscape genetics study in the
Northern Rockies and at smaller spatial
scales (up to about 230 km between
genetic samples); however, at broad
spatial scales (more than 430 km
between genetic samples), housing
density and terrain ruggedness
explained the most variability in
wolverine population genetic structure
(Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799). These
data highlight the importance of
maintaining dispersal corridors for
wolverines outside of core habitats, as
they represent critical pathways for gene
flow across broad spatial scales
(Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799).
Analyses of the mitochondrial DNA
revealed regional structuring (i.e.,
regional grouping), with all of the
samples collected in Idaho, Montana,
and Wyoming assigned to Haplotype
Wilson A (the most abundant haplotype
in North America) and all of the
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samples in Washington assigned to
Haplotype Wilson C (Lukas et al. 2020,
p. 846). Haplotypes are groups of genes
within an organism that are inherited
together from a single parent. These
results are consistent with the latest
transboundary genetic analysis (Sawaya
et al. 2023, entire) and previous
mitochondrial DNA studies showing
that the Northern Rocky Mountains and
North Cascades do not appear to share
any contemporary haplotypes
(McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 328). New
information also suggests that
wolverines in the Greater Yellowstone
Ecosystem have relatively low genetic
diversity and high genetic distance from
other wolverine populations in Idaho
and Montana (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 8–
9, 15–16).
The low effective population size and
low genetic diversity present is likely
the result of the recent colonization of
the contiguous United States by
wolverines from Canada. Relatively few
migrants per generation would be
needed to maintain the genetic health of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States. New genetic information
indicates that gene flow across the
landscape has been impeded by various
barriers to wolverine (particularly
female) movement. There is currently
no evidence of inbreeding depression or
any deleterious genetic effects in the
contiguous U.S. population. Based on
the best available scientific and
commercial information, the low genetic
diversity present in the contiguous
United States is not currently a threat to
the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine at the population
level. However, in combination with
other threats that limit dispersal of
wolverines (roads, infrastructure
development, climate change, trapping
in Canada), the gene flow from Canada
that is critical to maintaining genetic
diversity in wolverines in the
contiguous United States could be
compromised and lead to future
deleterious genetic effects to the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine.
Small Population Effects: The number
of North American wolverines in the
contiguous United States is relatively
small compared to the remainder of the
range in Canada and Alaska, in large
part due to limited habitat and previous
persecution and unregulated trapping
pressures. In our 2018 finding and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), we considered
wolverines in the contiguous United
States to be genetically connected to
wolverines in Canada, and that
wolverines in the contiguous United
States were not separated from the
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larger North American wolverine
population to the North (Canada and
Alaska). We concluded that small
population effects are not a stressor for
wolverines in the contiguous United
States now or within the foreseeable
future.
Wolverine populations in the
contiguous United States are small,
fragmented, and relatively isolated from
larger populations in Canada (Sawaya
2023, pers. comm.). Although malemediated dispersal shows some level of
wolverine population connectivity
between the United States and Canada
along the Rocky Mountains, female
wolverines appear to have virtually no
recent population connectivity based on
genetic analyses (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.). Small, isolated populations are
more vulnerable to extinction through
interactions of environmental, genetic,
and demographic factors (Caughley
1994, pp. 221–227). Stochasticity in
demographic rates at small population
sizes causes outsized impacts to vital
rates, even in a constant environment,
which can greatly increase extinction
risk. The repopulation of wolverines in
the contiguous United States from
Canada post-unregulated trapping over
the last approximately 100 years has
demonstrated the resiliency of the North
American wolverine population to
recover from extreme persecution and
unprecedented direct mortality. We do
not currently foresee any stochastic or
catastrophic events that could result in
a similar population-level effect on
wolverines in the contiguous United
States. However, the resiliency of the
contiguous U.S. population to future
catastrophic events is predicated on the
ability of dispersing wolverines from
Canada to repopulate the contiguous
United States. As discussed above,
connectivity with Canada is more
limited than previously thought,
especially considering the lack of female
dispersal, which would be necessary for
continued repopulation. Based on the
best available scientific and commercial
information, the small population size
present in the contiguous United States
is not currently a threat to wolverines at
the population level. However, in
combination with other threats, the
small population size of wolverines in
the contiguous United States could lead
to a reduced ability of the population to
withstand catastrophic events in the
future.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory
Mechanisms
Federal Regulatory Mechanisms
Management of the wolverine and its
habitat on Federal lands is crucial to
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wolverine conservation, as Federal
lands make up approximately 96
percent of modeled wolverine habitat,
the majority of which are U.S. Forest
Service lands (Service 2018, p. 103).
The U.S. Forest Service manages the
National Forest System lands in
accordance with local land and resource
management plans (Forest Plans). In
2012, the U.S. Forest Service published
rules for revising Forest Plans (see 77 FR
21162, April 9, 2012, and 36 CFR part
219). The 2012 planning rule adopts a
complementary ecosystem (coarse filter)
and species-specific (fine filter)
approach to maintaining the diversity of
plant and animal communities and the
persistence of native species in the plan
area, within U.S. Forest Service
authority and consistent with the
inherent capability of the plan area (36
CFR 219.9). This complementary
approach includes ecosystem and
species-specific plan components.
In our 2018 SSA, we identified Forest
Plans as important ‘‘federal
mechanisms’’ that, in combination with
State wildlife action plans, ‘‘will
alleviate effects associated with
potential impacts related to stressors
discussed in this report.’’ However, in
our 2018 SSA, we reviewed only four
Forest Plans and did not identify in
those plans any specific standards
(mandatory constraints on project and
activity decision-making) for
wolverines.
For the wolverine SSA report
addendum, we conducted a more
comprehensive review of the latest
Forest Plans for 20 National Forests
within the current breeding range of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine. We found a complex array of
plan components aimed at achieving the
2012 planning rule’s complementary
ecosystem and species-specific
approach, while balancing the U.S.
Forest Service’s multiple-use mandate.
Some plans provided wolverine-specific
guidelines, objectives, and direction to
minimize effects of roads, winter
recreation, and other sources of human
disturbance, but we did not identify any
wolverine-specific standards. The focus
of wolverine-specific plan components,
when they were included, was most
often limited to protection of known
den sites and maternal habitat during
the denning season.
Course-filter protections of habitattypes and ecosystems contained in the
plans will undoubtably provide some
conservation benefits to wolverines. For
example, generally wolverines will
benefit from wilderness area protections
(calculated as 18 percent of the extent
of wolverine occurrence and 41 percent
of core wolverine habitats in the
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western United States (Service 2018, p.
103)); limitations on development and
road construction; limitations on road
densities in certain areas for the grizzly
bear (Ursus arctos horribilis) or other
species; and restrictions on over-snow
travel. However, quantifying these
benefits outside of wilderness areas is
challenging given the variability in
Forest Plan standards and conservation
measures across the U.S. range of the
wolverine.
U.S. Forest Service regulations require
National Forests to designate roads,
trails, and off-road areas that are open
and closed to motor vehicle use (36 CFR
212.5). In 2015, the U.S. Forest Service
published a final rule indicating that it
will also designate roads, trails, and
areas open or closed to over-snow motor
vehicle use (80 FR 4500; January 28,
2015). These designations are done on a
Forest-by-Forest basis, resulting in
variability in the amount of wolverine
habitat impacted by these designations.
For example, a recent draft
environmental assessment for the Idaho
Panhandle National Forests proposed to
increase the area available to motorized
over-snow use, resulting in projected
increased impacts to primary wolverine
habitat (from 39 percent currently to 52
percent under the proposed action) and
maternal denning habitat (from 44
percent currently to 52 percent under
the proposed action) (U.S. Forest
Service 2023, p. 67). Conversely, the
Gallatin National Forest reduced the
amount of area open to over-snow use
from 42 percent of wolverine denning
habitat on the Forest to 25 percent (U.S.
Forest Service 2006, chapter 3–623).
This variability, and the lack of a
rangewide assessment that overlays the
areas of U.S. Forest Service over-snow
vehicle use closures and wolverine
habitat, make it difficult to characterize
the effects of over-snow travel
management planning on wolverines in
the contiguous United States.
Several large National Parks contain
core habitat for wolverines, including
Yellowstone, Grand Teton, Glacier,
North Cascades, and Mount Rainer
National Parks. These areas are largely
protected from development, although
they may be impacted by winter
recreation to varying degrees.
Although the Bureau of Land
Management (BLM) manages relatively
little land within wolverine core
habitats, they do manage some of the
valley bottoms between these core
habitats. The wolverine is listed as a
special status species by the following
BLM offices: Montana/Dakotas (revision
2020), Idaho (revision 2022), and
Oregon/Washington (revision 2021).
The objectives of the BLM’s special-
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status species policy are: (1) to conserve
and/or recover species listed under the
Act and the ecosystems on which they
depend so that the protections of the
Act are no longer needed for these
species; and (2) to initiate proactive
conservation measures that reduce or
eliminate threats to BLM sensitive
species to minimize the likelihood of
and need for listing of these species
under the Act. We did not identify any
wolverine-specific standards in BLM
resource management plans.
State and Provincial Regulatory
Mechanisms
Wolverine trapping remains closed
throughout the western United States
and wolverines have retained various
protected status designations in these
States (Service 2023, table 10).
Therefore, legal trapping is no longer an
active direct stressor on wolverines in
the contiguous United States.
Nevertheless, the legacy effects of recent
overharvest in southern Canada could
negatively affect the wolverine’s
population resilience, distribution, and
gene flow in the contiguous United
States in the future (see Overutilization
for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific
or Educational Purposes, above).
In response to studies showing that
wolverine harvest was unsustainable in
southeastern British Columbia (Mowat
et al. 2020, entire), the provincial
government closed Resource
Management Region 4 (Kootenay) in the
southeastern portion of British
Columbia to wolverine trapping and
imposed a more intensive mortality
recording system in that region in the
fall of 2020 (British Columbia 2022, p.
76). Regions 2 (Lower Mainland) and 8
(Okanagan) remain closed to wolverine
trapping under a temporary moratorium;
therefore, the entire area of British
Columbia along the U.S.-Canada border
is now closed to wolverine trapping
(British Columbia 2022, p. 76).
Wolverine trapping remains open
seasonally in British Columbia Resource
Management Units 3, 5, 7A, 7B, and
portions of Unit 6 (British Columbia
2022, p. 76), as well as in the Rocky
Mountain region of southwestern
Alberta (Alberta Environment and Parks
2022, pp. 14–15).
Resource management units in
southern British Columbia remain open
to trapping for several other furbearers,
and incidental trapping of two
wolverines has been documented
following the closure in the Kootenay
Resource Management Unit to
wolverine trapping (Vander Vennen
2020, in litt.). Given the likelihood that
there is some noncompliance with
reporting incidental captures, the
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precise number of wolverines
incidentally trapped in Canada is not
known (Vander Vennen 2022, in litt.).
We note here that we have no indication
that noncompliance with reporting
incidental captures is a concern in the
contiguous United States. There are
many State regulations and guidelines
in place to limit incidental wolverine
trapping, and we have gathered the most
up-to-date information on incidental
captures from States within the range
for inclusion in this rule (see
Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes, above).
Aside from regulated taking of
wolverines, regulatory mechanisms
available to States for conserving
wolverines are largely related to
maintaining habitat conditions that
support wolverine connectivity. This is
because the majority of the primary
habitat cores for wolverines in the
contiguous United States are on lands
managed by the U.S. Forest Service. We
are not aware of any other State
regulatory mechanisms specific to
wolverines that limit development,
winter recreation, or other human
disturbances in areas important to
wolverine connectivity in the
contiguous United States. Several States
and other organizations, however, are
implementing a number of voluntary
monitoring or conservation measures for
wolverines (see below).
Voluntary Conservation Measures
Western States continue to invest in
monitoring wolverine occupancy. A
notable effort includes that of the
Western Association of Fish and
Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) Western
States Wolverine Working Group, now
referred to as the Forest Carnivore SubCommittee. The purpose of this
subcommittee is to develop a
‘‘statistically defensible’’ multi-State
monitoring plan for States where
wolverine populations exist (Wyoming,
Montana, Idaho, and Washington), to
seek funding to implement the
monitoring plan, to coordinate
development of individual State
wolverine conservation plans for States
with suitable wolverine habitat, and to
coordinate and prioritize research
efforts (WAFWA 2022, p. 1).
In 2020, the Wyoming Game and Fish
Department (WGFD) developed a
wolverine management plan for the
State of Wyoming that includes
management and conservation strategies
in Wyoming. Its goals are to: (1) promote
long-term wolverine viability, (2)
support expansion of wolverines into
suitable habitat, (3) support multi-State
monitoring efforts, and (4) support
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management of the wolverine as a
protected animal (WGFD 2020, p. 2).
Since 2018, Montana Fish, Wildlife
and Parks has completed 10 habitat
conservation projects in wolverine
habitat that conserve 59,725 acres
through fee title acquisition or perpetual
conservation easement. A spatial toolset
is now available for western Montana to
help prioritize these types of
acquisitions and easements (Carroll et
al. 2021b, entire). Other tools such as
the Crucial Areas Planning System
(CAPS), a web-based landscape-scale
planning tool, have also been put in
place to help guide future developments
that can impact wolverine habitat
(MFWP 2022, in litt., p. 6).
In January 2023, the Idaho Fish and
Game Commission (IFGC) adopted a
revised management plan for the
conservation of fisher (Pekania
pennanti), wolverine, and Canada lynx.
This plan provides updated guidance
and identifies management priorities for
the conservation of this suite of species
over the next 6 years in Idaho. These
priorities include four objectives and
step-down actions related to
connectivity, climate, incidental
trapping, and increasing our knowledge
of the relationship of wolverine denning
and snow. Under the objective of
addressing connectivity, IFGC proposes
to continue contributing to the
transboundary landscape genetics study,
to develop products to support project
planning and review, to develop
voluntary partnerships to facilitate
protections of important areas for
movement and dispersal, to provide
technical assistance to licensing and
permitting authorities, and to maintain
and to conserve wolverine populations
and habitats through cooperative
agreements. For the climate change
objective, IFGC intends to improve
modeling and monitoring. For the
incidental trapping objective, IFGC
intends to continue providing guidance
and mandatory training to minimize
nontarget capture of wolverines in traps.
Lastly, to fill knowledge gaps, IFGC
proposes to identify denning sites and
will, if feasible, develop a model to
predict denning areas to inform land
management planning efforts.
The Utah Wildlife Migration
Initiative, founded in 2017, identifies
and protects connective corridors that
allow fish and wildlife to migrate to
necessary habitat areas around the State.
The mission is to document, preserve,
and enhance wildlife movement for
species throughout Utah using state-ofthe-art tracking and data management
technologies, strong collaborative
partnerships, and compelling outreach.
The Migration Initiative and its partners
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are mapping the movements of wildlife,
including wolverines, so crossing
structures can be placed in areas that
coincide with movement corridors.
Similar work is being conducted in
other States and is coordinated between
States.
Colorado Parks and Wildlife had
previously considered reintroducing
wolverines to Colorado as a
nonessential experimental population to
further their conservation (see 78 FR
7890; February 4, 2013). However, that
proposal was withdrawn in 2014, when
we withdrew our proposed listing rule
(see 79 FR 47522; August 13, 2014).
There is currently no formal proposal to
reintroduce wolverines to Colorado.
Since 2019, Woodland Park Zoo has
been coordinating the Washington
Wolverine Research and Monitoring
Group, a coalition of researchers and
conservationists who lead wolverine
projects in Washington (Woodland Park
Zoo 2022, in litt.). The goal of this group
is to help advance North American
wolverine research and monitoring in
Washington by strengthening
communication and collaboration
among wolverine projects Statewide.
This group meets several times a year to
discuss research efforts, share results
and insights, and strategize around
wolverine research and conservation in
Washington.
Summary of Conservation Efforts and
Regulatory Mechanisms
The various Federal, State, and
provincial regulatory mechanisms and
voluntary conservation efforts described
above are expected to provide some
benefit to North American wolverine
conservation in the contiguous United
States. However, these mechanisms and
efforts are inadequate to protect the
subspecies from the impacts of climate
change in the future when the cold and
snowy conditions this subspecies is
adapted to are expected to decrease.
Summary of Current Condition
Currently, in the contiguous United
States, North American wolverines are
distributed in five primary core areas
(identified as management regions in
Inman et al. 2013), including the
Northern Cascades in Washington; the
Salmon-Selway in central Idaho,
including the Wallowa Mountains of
northeastern Oregon; the northern
Continental Divide in northwest
Montana; the Central Linkage region of
Idaho and Montana; and the Greater
Yellowstone Ecosystem (Service 2023,
figure 14). Although long-distance
dispersers (primarily males)
occasionally reach potentially suitable
habitat in other regions, known breeding
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populations are currently limited to
these core regions.
The precise size of the wolverine
populations in the contiguous United
States are currently unknown but may
be small due in part to their large
territories and the limited amount of
available habitat in the contiguous
United States. Estimates based on
extrapolations of densities and suitable
habitat suggest there could have been
approximately 318 wolverines (95
percent CI = 249–926) in the contiguous
United States more than a decade ago
(Inman et al. 2013, p. 282). The best
available estimates of effective
population size of wolverines in the
contiguous U.S. portions of the
Northern Rocky Mountains and North
Cascades are likely fewer than 50
combined (Schwartz et al. 2009, p.
3226).
We evaluated previously modeled
wolverine primary habitat in the
contiguous United States (Inman et al.
2013, entire) and estimated that 96
percent of this area is owned or
managed by Federal agencies and 41
percent of this area is located in
designated wilderness areas (Service
2018, p. 72). Within Idaho, Montana,
Washington, and Wyoming, non-spatial
occupancy model estimates were
slightly lower in 2021–2022 (mean
occupancy = 0.33; 95 percent CI 0.21–
0.34) compared to 2016–2017 (mean
occupancy = 0.27, 95 percent CI 0.27–
0.39), but with overlapping confidence
intervals (Mosby et al. 2023, p. 4;
Service 2023, table 2). Despite
overlapping confidence intervals,
Bayesian analysis revealed an 85
percent chance that the occupancy
estimate from 2021–2022 was outside
the 95 percent CI of the 2016–2017
occupancy estimate (Mosby et al. 2023,
p. 4). The percentage of surveyed cells
that were occupied decreased between
the sampling periods in Montana (43.7
to 17.0 percent) and Washington (34.6 to
12.5 percent), increased in Wyoming
(11.5 to 25.5 percent), and remained
relatively unchanged in Idaho (33.8 to
34.5 percent) (Service 2023, table 2).
Spatial occupancy models by
geographic area showed substantial
differences between the sampling
periods, with both lower and higher
occupancy probabilities depending on
the geographic area (Service 2023, table
3; Mosby et al. 2023, pp. 4–7). Although
no wolverines were detected during the
2021–2022 survey in the sampled cells
of Oregon, Utah, or Colorado (Service
2023, table 2), recent wolverine
detections from other research efforts or
incidental observations have been
reported in Oregon, Utah, and California
(Service 2023, p. 6). Despite differences
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between the sampling periods, Mosby et
al. (2023, p. 7) indicate that
interpretations of the relationship
between the two estimates be
considered cautiously, and that repeated
surveys into the future will be helpful
in ultimately interpreting any trends in
occupancy estimates. The reasons for
the observed changes in occupancy by
geographic region are not yet clear, and
could be sampling anomalies, a real
shift in distribution, or some
combination of factors (Mosby et al.
2023, p. 7). This aligns with our analysis
of wolverine observations from State
wildlife agencies, the U.S. Forest
Service, the National Park Service,
Tribes, researchers, and others in the
western United States from 2009–2022,
which shows wolverines continue to
occupy much of the core habitat within
their breeding range in the contiguous
United States (Service 2023, figure 2).
Contiguous U.S. contemporary
wolverine populations are most likely
descendants of immigrants from Canada
(Service 2018, p. 49). Wolverine genetic
diversity in the contiguous United
States is relatively low, and there are no
known unique mitochondrial DNA
haplotypes present in contiguous U.S.
wolverine populations (Sawaya et al.
2023, pp. 10–11). Due to the limited
amount of potential wolverine habitat in
the United States, connectivity and gene
flow with Canada is necessary for the
long-term genetic health and viability of
wolverines in the western United States.
In the North Cascades, new GPS
tracking information shows that
wolverines in western Washington and
southern British Columbia form a small
transboundary population (Aubry et al.
2023, p. 4), although they are isolated
from other wolverine populations in the
United States and Canada (Sawaya et al.
2023, pp. 9–13, 16). In the Northern
Rocky Mountains, the best available
data indicate genetic differences
between populations despite some
(mostly male-mediated) gene flow
(Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 204–205, 208;
Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12, 17).
Measurable differences have been
reported in mitochondrial DNA
haplotype diversity and nuclear
microsatellite DNA allele frequencies
between the U.S. Rocky Mountain
populations and Canada populations
(Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 203, Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 12, 17). There is currently
no evidence of inbreeding depression in
wolverine populations in the contiguous
United States; however, there is
potential for inbreeding given the
relatively small population sizes of
wolverines here, especially in the
Cascades (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
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Wolverine populations in much of
North America are still recovering from
large losses of individuals from
intensive hunting and unregulated
predator control in the late 1880s into
the mid-20th century (Service 2018, p.
104). Trapping and poisoning from the
late 1800s/early 1900s contributed to
extirpation in the contiguous United
States during that time, but individuals
have come back (from Canada) over the
years since. Trapping or hunting of
wolverines remains prohibited in the
United States, and mortality from
incidental trapping is currently rare.
Over the past century, there has been
enough connectivity with Canada for
wolverines to repopulate the contiguous
United States. New genetic research
provides further evidence of this
recolonization via dispersers from
Canada (Service 2023, pp. 27–28).
However, connectivity in recent years is
less certain.
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we
determined that wolverines in the
contiguous United States were
connected to and an extension of the
Canadian population. We now know
that there are potential barriers to recent
movement of wolverines to and from the
contiguous United States, as evidenced
by the genetic profile of wolverines in
the contiguous United States (Sawaya et
al. 2023, entire). Trapping in Canada
near the international border was
thought to be occurring at sustainable
levels at the time we published our
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618). In a portion of
southwestern Canada encompassing a
Rocky Mountain National Park complex
and surrounding unprotected lands, the
wolverine population declined
approximately 40 percent
(approximately 15–20 wolverines) from
2011–2020, likely due largely to
overharvest through trapping (Barrueto
et al. 2022, p. 4). This area may be an
important source of dispersing
individuals, and overharvest could
reduce pressure for surplus wolverines,
particularly females, to disperse south
towards the contiguous United States. In
addition, genetic analysis shows that
recent dispersing individuals from
Canada have been exclusively male
wolverines and major highways in
Southern Canada appear to limit female
dispersal (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12–14,
17). Also, various studies that have
come available since the 2018 SSA
report reinforce the understanding that
wolverines avoid areas of significant
human development and that
development may inhibit dispersal of
wolverines between home ranges and
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habitat patches (Service 2023, pp. 34–
36). Even though there is low genetic
diversity in the contiguous U.S.
population, the population is relatively
small, and habitat is somewhat
fragmented, there is no current evidence
of inbreeding depression in contiguous
U.S. wolverines and the population
appears stable from an occupancy
perspective.
We evaluated several threats that may
be affecting wolverine populations or
their habitats, including effects from
roads, disturbance due to winter
recreational activities, human
disturbance and development, effects
from wildland fire, disease and
predation, overutilization, genetic
diversity, small population effects, and
climate change. Although these threats
may affect individual wolverines, none
of these threats is currently impacting
wolverine resiliency (the subspecies’
ability to rebound from environmental
stochasticity) in the contiguous United
States at a population level. In the
future, the synergistic effect of some of
these threats coupled with the impact of
climate change (increased temperatures
and decreased spring snowpack) could
reduce resiliency of the contiguous U.S.
population (see Summary of Future
Condition, below), although climate
change is not currently impacting the
DPS. Currently, the contiguous U.S.
population appears resilient because
despite the potential threats analyzed,
the population continues to show
stability and wolverines occupy a large
portion of the available habitat in the
western United States, providing
redundancy to withstand potential
catastrophes. Wolverine breeding
populations in the western United
States are currently distributed across
four unique ecoregions (Service 2023,
figure 16). This ecoregion variation can
correlate with species-wide
evolutionary potential, providing
representation (the ability to adapt to
changes in the biological and physical
environment). The North American
wolverine’s wide distribution across
multiple ecoregions and differential
exposure to various stressors also
affords the DPS redundancy against
catastrophic events. Overall, the current
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation of the contiguous U.S.
population of wolverines supports
current DPS viability.
Summary of Future Condition
In the wolverine SSA report
addendum, we provide a
comprehensive analysis of the future
condition of wolverines in the
contiguous United States, which we
summarize here (Service 2023, pp. 61–
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69). Wolverine habitat in the contiguous
United States is projected to decrease
and become more fragmented by the end
of the century as a result of climate
changes that result in increasing
temperatures, earlier spring snowmelt,
and loss of deep, persistent spring
snowpack, primarily at lower elevations
(see Climate Change, above). Winter
recreation, which has been shown to
negatively influence wolverine behavior
during an important time of year when
females are denning and raising young,
in these diminished habitats may
increase as human populations increase
(U.S. Forest Service 2016, pp. 12–14). In
addition, snow-dependent recreation
that was formerly distributed over a
wider elevation gradient will be
constrained to that part of the gradient
that contains quality snow into the
future. Concurrently, human
development may continue to expand in
areas between core habitats that are
important for maintaining wolverine
population connectivity. While
wolverines are capable of crossing areas
with some human disturbance during
dispersal, they also have shown some
sensitivity to human development and
other human impacts in rugged areas
located between typical core wolverine
habitats (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799;
Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). Increased
human development, infrastructure, and
associated anthropogenic disturbance
are expected to have direct and indirect
effects to wolverine populations in the
contiguous United States, including
reducing the number of wolverines that
can be supported by available habitat,
reducing the ability of wolverines to
travel between patches of suitable
habitat, and reducing potential
dispersers from Canada. A reduction in
population size and connectivity within
the contiguous United States and with
Canada may affect metapopulation
dynamics, making it more difficult for
subpopulations to recolonize currently
extirpated areas and augment the
genetics or demographics of adjacent
subpopulations. We expect wolverine
resiliency and redundancy in the
contiguous United States to decline in
the future.
We have identified significant
uncertainties that hamper our ability to
predict the scope, scale, and timing of
future demographic outcomes for
wolverines in the contiguous United
States. These include uncertainties in
mechanistic habitat relationships;
census and effective population sizes;
and the cumulative impact of multiple
stressors on population connectivity,
survival, and reproduction.
Nevertheless, habitat loss through
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climate change, combined with other
stressors, is likely to negatively impact
wolverines in the contiguous United
States over the next century by reducing
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation. Moreover, there are few
actions that are reasonably certain to
occur in the future that would
compensate for these negative impacts.
We evaluated the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine’s
ability to respond to environmental
change in two ways. First, we examined
core attributes of the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine’s
adaptive capacity in relation to
standardized attributes to characterize
the likelihood that wolverines in the
western United States will be able to
adapt to changed conditions
(representation) (Thurman et al. 2020,
entire; Service 2023, figure 15). Second,
we evaluated the current and potential
distribution of wolverines across
ecological regions of the western United
States given that ecological changes may
vary across space and that wolverines in
different ecological contexts may have
dissimilar responses to these changes.
The contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine’s ability to adapt to
climate change and other environmental
changes, its adaptive capacity
(representation), is key to reducing its
vulnerability to these changes. Our
qualitative adaptive capacity analysis
for the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine was based on lifehistory characteristics and shows that
several intrinsic factors make North
American wolverines susceptible to
negative outcomes from future
environmental change (Service 2023,
pp. 66–69). Their specialized habitat
associations, low genetic diversity and
population size, narrow ecological
niche, low tolerance for human
disturbance, and slow reproductive rate
all contribute to the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine’s
relative difficulty in adapting in-place to
future environmental change (Service
2023, table 14). Factors that may
partially mitigate the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine’s low
adaptive capacity are their ability to
disperse long distances, their relatively
wide distribution in the Northern Rocky
Mountains and in the North Cascades
(albeit in a narrow climactic niche), and
their flexible diet (Service 2023, table
14). Stressors that lessen the ability of
North American wolverines to disperse,
or that decrease their distribution, are
likely to also degrade their adaptive
capacity (redundancy), leaving them
more vulnerable to environmental
change.
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Maintaining a species, or in this case
a subspecies, across its full breadth of
ecological variation can reduce
extinction risk (Forester et al. 2022, p.
512). To further assess the contiguous
U.S. DPS of North American wolverine’s
future evolutionary potential, we
examined the DPS’s current distribution
across different ecoregion provinces.
Ecoregion provinces incorporate
temperature, precipitation, and
vegetation data, and therefore represent
landscapes with similar environmental
traits (Bailey 2016, entire). Wolverine
breeding populations in the western
United States currently exist in 4 of 10
ecoregions where there is potential
wolverine core habitat (Service 2023,
figure 16). Outside of the area with
known wolverine breeding, several
ecoregions in the western United States
contain only a relatively small area of
potential wolverine core habitat. Except
for the Sierran Steppe-Forest-Alpine
ecoregion, wolverine breeding
populations currently inhabit all the
ecoregions of the western United States
with large contiguous blocks of
potential wolverine core habitat (Service
2023, figure 16).
Despite their relatively wide
distribution among ecoregions,
wolverines in the contiguous United
States have low genetic diversity
compared to Canadian populations and
are unlikely to have evolved specialized
adaptations to southern climates given
their recent recolonization following
extirpation (McKelvey et al. 2014, p.
332). The historical population of
wolverines in the Sierra Nevada may
have possessed unique evolutionary
potential given the distinct genetic and
taxonomic characteristics of historical
museum samples; however, the
wolverines in the Sierras were
extirpated in the early 1900s, and their
matrilines were eliminated from North
America (McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 332).
Nevertheless, the DPS’s distribution
across multiple ecoregions means that
parts of their range may have less
exposure to future stressors. Expansion
into unoccupied ecoregions where there
is suitable habitat could further decrease
their risk of exposure to future stressors.
Wolverine populations in the
contiguous United States are currently
small, fragmented, and relatively
isolated from larger populations in
Canada (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 206–
207, 210; Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
Although male-mediated dispersal
shows some level of wolverine
population connectivity between the
United States and Canada along the
Rocky Mountains, female wolverines
appear to have virtually no recent
population connectivity based on recent
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genetic analyses (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.). Small, isolated populations are
more vulnerable to extinction through
interactions between environmental,
genetic, and demographic factors
(Caughley 1994, pp. 221–227).
Stochasticity in demographic rates at
small population sizes causes outsized
impacts to vital rates, even in a constant
environment, which can greatly increase
extinction risk. Small, isolated
populations also lose genetic diversity
over time, primarily through inbreeding
and genetic drift, which can exacerbate
extinction risk if demographic rates are
further degraded through inbreeding
depression (Benson et al. 2016, p. 8).
Low genetic diversity can also reduce
future adaptive capacity and
evolutionary potential, reducing
representation.
Although historical wolverine
populations were likely naturally small
and distributed among patches of highelevation alpine habitats in the
contiguous United States, core
wolverine habitats in the contiguous
United States are projected to become
smaller and more fragmented in the
future as a result of climate change and
human disturbance. These changes may
degrade the DPS’s resiliency and
redundancy over time, although there
are uncertainties in the precise amount
of degradation, how much this
degradation will affect wolverine
viability in the contiguous United
States, or the time period over which
the degradation would happen. Despite
their current distribution across several
ecological regions of the West, the core
attributes related to adaptive capacity
exhibited by wolverines may limit the
ability of this DPS to adapt and persist
in the face of projected environmental
change. Long-distance dispersal and
recolonization of some of the larger
areas outside of the current breeding
range of the contiguous U.S. DPS of
North American wolverine (e.g., Sierra
Nevada and central Rocky Mountains)
could partially mitigate their
susceptibility to environmental change.
Dispersal between currently occupied
core habitats may become more difficult
in the future with anticipated increases
in human development between the
alpine core areas and increased
backcountry winter recreation in core
habitats. However, wolverine dispersal
could be maintained or improved by
human intervention (e.g., conserving
wildlife corridors between alpine
habitats, constructing highway crossing
structures for wildlife).
Overall, the wolverine population in
the contiguous United States is expected
to decrease in resiliency, redundancy,
and representation in the future. We
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acknowledge that new information
suggests populations in the contiguous
United States may be less secure in the
future than we described in our 2018
SSA and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618). We also
acknowledge that uncertainty remains
around gene flow between the United
States and Canada, core habitats and key
dispersal corridors among core areas of
the contiguous United States, and the
effective population size in the
contiguous United States. Nevertheless,
the best available information suggests
that habitat loss as a result of climate
change, and the resulting exacerbating
effect on other stressors, is likely to
decrease the viability of wolverines in
the contiguous United States over the
next century.
We note that, by using the SSA
framework to guide our analysis of the
scientific information documented in
the wolverine SSA report and SSA
report addendum, we have analyzed the
cumulative effects of identified threats
and conservation actions on the DPS. To
assess the current and future condition
of the DPS, we evaluate the effects of all
the relevant factors that may be
influencing the DPS, including threats
and conservation efforts. Because the
SSA framework considers not just the
presence of the factors, but to what
degree they collectively influence risk to
the entire DPS, our assessment
integrates the cumulative effects of the
factors and replaces a standalone
cumulative effects analysis.
Determination of North American
Wolverine’s Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of an endangered species
or a threatened species. The Act defines
an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a species in
danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, and a
‘‘threatened species’’ as a species likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range. The
Act requires that we determine whether
a species meets the definition of
endangered species or threatened
species because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
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Status Throughout All of Its Range
In our 2018 SSA and October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we noted that during the late
1800s and early 1900s, the wolverine
population declined or was extirpated
in much of the contiguous United
States. This decline and range
contraction has been attributed to
unregulated trapping and habitat
degradation (Hash 1987, p. 583).
However, given the high-elevation core
habitats of wolverines in the contiguous
United States, direct mortality through
predator poisoning campaigns and
unregulated trapping were likely the
primary culprits.
We have carefully assessed the best
scientific and commercial information
available regarding the past, present,
and future threats to North American
wolverines in the contiguous United
States including climate change (Factors
A and E); effects from roads (Factors A
and E); disturbance due to winter
recreational activity (Factors A and E);
other human disturbance (Factors A and
E); effects from wildland fire (Factor A);
disease (Factor C); predation (Factor C);
overutilization (trapping) (Factor B);
genetic diversity (Factor E); and small
population effects (Factor E). We also
assessed the adequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (Factor D).
After evaluating threats that may be
currently affecting wolverines in the
contiguous United States, we have
determined that although these threats
may affect individual wolverines, there
are no threats currently impacting
wolverines in the contiguous United
States at a population level. In the
future, the synergistic effect of some
threats coupled with the impacts of
climate change (increased temperatures
and decreased spring snowpack) are
expected to reduce resiliency of the
contiguous U.S. population, although
climate change is not currently
impacting wolverines occurring in the
United States. Currently, the contiguous
U.S. population appears resilient, as
wolverines continue to consistently
occupy a large portion of the available
habitat in the western United States.
Furthermore, wolverine breeding
populations in the western United
States are currently distributed across
four ecoregions, which affords the DPS
redundancy against catastrophic events.
This ecoregion variation influences
representation by potentially providing
evolutionary potential to adapt to
changes in the biological and physical
environment. Thus, wolverines in the
contiguous United States are not
currently in danger of extinction
throughout their range.
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We expect wolverine populations in
the contiguous United States to decrease
in resiliency, redundancy, and
representation within the foreseeable
future. We consider 2100 to be the
foreseeable future in this case. The main
threat to wolverines is the effect of
climate change on spring snow. We
were able to reliably model changes in
spring snow out to 2100 in our climate
change analysis, and we are able to
reasonably determine the wolverine’s
response to this threat is likely in the
foreseeable future. Wolverine
populations in the contiguous United
States are small, fragmented, and
relatively isolated from larger
populations in Canada (Cegelski et al.
2006, pp. 206–207, 210; Sawaya et al.
2023, entire). Although male-mediated
dispersal shows some level of wolverine
population connectivity between the
United States and Canada along the
Rocky Mountains, female wolverines
appear to have virtually no recent
population connectivity based on recent
genetic analyses (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp.
12–14, 17). Small, isolated populations
are more vulnerable to extinction
through interactions between
environmental, genetic, and
demographic factors (Caughley 1994,
pp. 221–227). Stochasticity in
demographic rates at small population
sizes causes outsized impacts to vital
rates, even in a constant environment,
which can greatly increase extinction
risk. Small, isolated populations also
lose genetic diversity over time,
primarily through inbreeding and
genetic drift, which can exacerbate
extinction risk if demographic rates are
further degraded through inbreeding
depression (Benson et al. 2016, p. 8).
Low genetic diversity can also reduce
adaptive capacity and evolutionary
potential.
Although historical North American
wolverine populations were likely
naturally small and distributed among
patches of high-elevation alpine habitats
in the contiguous United States, core
wolverine habitats in the United States
are projected to become smaller and
more fragmented in the future as the
result of climate change and human
disturbance. These changes are expected
to degrade wolverine resiliency and
redundancy over time, although there
are uncertainties in the precise amount
of degradation, how much this
degradation will affect wolverine
viability in the contiguous United
States, and the precise time period over
which the degradation would happen.
Despite these uncertainties, the best
available information indicates the
impacts are such that the DPS’s viability
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will decrease within the foreseeable
future. Although wolverines are
currently distributed across several
ecological regions of the U.S. West, the
core attributes related to their adaptive
capacity may limit the ability of this
DPS to adapt and persist in the face of
projected environmental change. Longdistance dispersal and recolonization of
some of the larger areas outside of the
current breeding range of North
American wolverines (e.g., Sierra
Nevada and central Rocky Mountains)
could partially mitigate their
susceptibility to environmental change.
However, natural dispersal between
currently occupied core habitats is
expected to become more difficult in the
future with anticipated increases in
human development between the alpine
core areas and increased backcountry
winter recreation in core habitats.
After evaluating threats to the DPS
and assessing the cumulative effect of
the threats under the Act’s section
4(a)(1) factors, we find that wolverine
populations in the contiguous United
States are less secure in the future than
we described in our 2018 SSA and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618). The best available
information suggests that habitat loss as
a result of climate change and impacts
from other stressors are likely to
negatively impact the viability of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States over the next century. Thus, after
assessing the best available information,
we conclude that the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine in is
not currently in danger of extinction but
is likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion
of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The
court in Center for Biological Diversity
v. Everson, 435 F. Supp. 3d 69 (D.D.C.
2020) (Everson), vacated the provision
of the Final Policy on Interpretation of
the Phrase ‘‘Significant Portion of Its
Range’’ in the Endangered Species Act’s
Definitions of ‘‘Endangered Species’’
and ‘‘Threatened Species’’ (Final Policy;
79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014) that provided
if the Service determines that a species
is threatened throughout all of its range,
the Service will not analyze whether the
species is endangered in a significant
portion of its range.
Therefore, we proceed to evaluating
whether the species is endangered in a
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significant portion of its range—that is,
whether there is any portion of the
species’ range for which both (1) the
portion is significant; and (2) the species
is in danger of extinction in that
portion. Depending on the case, it might
be more efficient for us to address the
‘‘significance’’ question or the ‘‘status’’
question first. We can choose to address
either question first. Regardless of
which question we address first, if we
reach a negative answer with respect to
the first question that we address, we do
not need to evaluate the other question
for that portion of the species’ range.
Following the court’s holding in
Everson, we now consider whether there
are any significant portions of the North
American wolverine’s range in the
contiguous United States where the DPS
is in danger of extinction now (i.e.,
endangered). In undertaking this
analysis for the DPS, we choose to
address the status question first—we
consider information pertaining to the
geographic distribution of both the DPS
and the threats that the DPS faces to
identify portions of the range where the
DPS may be endangered.
We evaluated the range of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine to determine if the DPS is in
danger of extinction now in any portion
of its range. The range can theoretically
be divided into portions in an infinite
number of ways. We focused our
analysis on portions of the range that
may meet the Act’s definition of an
endangered species. For this DPS, we
considered whether the threats or their
effects on the DPS are greater in any
biologically meaningful portion of the
range than in other portions such that
the DPS is in danger of extinction now
in that portion.
We examined the following threats:
climate change (Factors A and E); effects
from roads (Factors A and E);
disturbance due to winter recreational
activity (Factors A and E); other human
disturbance (Factors A and E); effects
from wildland fire (Factor A); disease
(Factor C); predation (Factor C);
overutilization (trapping) (Factor B);
genetic diversity (Factor E); and small
population effects (Factor E), including
cumulative effects.
The North Cascades portion of the
DPS’s range is the only biologically
meaningful portion that we identified
that could potentially have a different
status than the remainder of the range.
It is largely isolated by an expanse of
unsuitable habitat from the larger Rocky
Mountains portion of the range. All of
the threats affecting wolverines are
ubiquitous throughout the contiguous
U.S. range; however, the low genetic
diversity of the Cascades population
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could potentially affect this portion
more so than the rest of the range due
to the apparent lack of recent genetic
connectivity with Canada in that
portion (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
The North Cascades wolverines are
isolated from other wolverine
populations in the United States and
Canada and likely went through a
genetic bottleneck with few founders
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). The
effective population size of the North
Cascades population is estimated at Ne
= 4, and the population may be
vulnerable to inbreeding and loss of
genetic diversity when considered in
isolation. Recent genetic research shows
the population has low heterozygosity
(less than 0.5) and may be experiencing
some level of inbreeding (Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.). However, there is
currently no indication that individuals
or population dynamics are being
negatively affected by inbreeding
depression (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.)
or that wolverines in this portion are
currently being more severely or
differently affected by any other threats.
Gene flow with wolverines in Canada in
the future is important to the long-term
genetic health of the North Cascades
population, but this portion is not
currently in danger of extinction, as the
population is currently showing
stability in occupancy and not
expressing any deleterious effects of
inbreeding.
We found no biologically meaningful
portion of the DPS’s range where threats
are impacting individuals differently
from how they are affecting the DPS
elsewhere in the range, or where the
biological condition of the DPS differs
from its condition elsewhere in the
range such that the status of the DPS in
that portion differs from any other
portion of the DPS’s range.
Therefore, no portion of the DPS’s
range provides a basis for determining
that the DPS is in danger of extinction
in a significant portion of its range, and
we determine that the DPS is likely to
become in danger of extinction within
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range. This does not conflict with the
courts’ holdings in Desert Survivors v.
U.S. Department of the Interior, 321 F.
Supp. 3d 1011, 1070–74 (N.D. Cal. 2018)
and Center for Biological Diversity v.
Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D.
Ariz. 2017) because, in reaching this
conclusion, we did not apply the
aspects of the Final Policy, including
the definition of ‘‘significant’’ that those
court decisions held to be invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and
commercial data available indicates that
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the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine meets the Act’s
definition of a threatened species.
Therefore, we are listing that DPS as a
threatened species in accordance with
sections 3(20) and 4(a)(1) of the Act.
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to
species listed as endangered or
threatened species under the Act
include recognition as a listed species,
planning and implementation of
recovery actions, requirements for
Federal protection, and prohibitions
against certain practices. Recognition
through listing results in public
awareness, and conservation by Federal,
State, Tribal, and local agencies, private
organizations, and individuals. The Act
encourages cooperation with the States
and other countries and calls for
recovery actions to be carried out for
listed species. The protection required
by Federal agencies, including the
Service, and the prohibitions against
certain activities are discussed, in part,
below.
The primary purpose of the Act is the
conservation of endangered and
threatened species and the ecosystems
upon which they depend. The ultimate
goal of such conservation efforts is the
recovery of these listed species, so that
they no longer need the protective
measures of the Act. Section 4(f) of the
Act calls for the Service to develop and
implement recovery plans for the
conservation of endangered and
threatened species. The goal of this
process is to restore listed species to a
point where they are secure, selfsustaining, and functioning components
of their ecosystems.
The recovery planning process begins
with development of a recovery outline
made available to the public soon after
a final listing determination. The
recovery outline guides the immediate
implementation of urgent recovery
actions while a recovery plan is being
developed. Recovery teams (composed
of species experts, Federal and State
agencies, nongovernmental
organizations, and stakeholders) may be
established to develop and implement
recovery plans. The recovery planning
process involves the identification of
actions that are necessary to halt and
reverse the species’ decline by
addressing the threats to its survival and
recovery. The recovery plan identifies
recovery criteria for review of when a
species may be ready for reclassification
from endangered to threatened
(‘‘downlisting’’) or removal from
protected status (‘‘delisting’’), and
methods for monitoring recovery
progress. Recovery plans also establish
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a framework for agencies to coordinate
their recovery efforts and provide
estimates of the cost of implementing
recovery tasks. Revisions of the plan
may be done to address continuing or
new threats to the species, as new
substantive information becomes
available. The recovery outline, draft
recovery plan, final recovery plan, and
any revisions will be available on our
website as they are completed (https://
www.fws.gov/program/endangeredspecies), or from our Ecological Services
Program, Pacific Region (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Implementation of recovery actions
generally requires the participation of a
broad range of partners, including other
Federal agencies, States, Tribes,
nongovernmental organizations,
businesses, and private landowners.
Examples of recovery actions include
habitat restoration (e.g., restoration of
native vegetation), research, captive
propagation and reintroduction, and
outreach and education. The recovery of
many listed species cannot be
accomplished solely on Federal lands
because their range may occur primarily
or solely on non-Federal lands. To
achieve recovery of these species
requires cooperative conservation efforts
on private, State, and Tribal lands.
Once this DPS is listed, funding for
recovery actions will be available from
a variety of sources, including Federal
budgets, State programs, and cost-share
grants for non-Federal landowners, the
academic community, and
nongovernmental organizations. In
addition, pursuant to section 6 of the
Act, the States of California, Colorado,
Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, and Wyoming will be
eligible for Federal funds to implement
management actions that promote the
protection or recovery of the North
American wolverine. Information on our
grant programs that are available to aid
species recovery can be found at:
https://www.fws.gov/service/financialassistance.
Please let us know if you are
interested in participating in recovery
efforts for the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine.
Additionally, we invite you to submit
any new information on this DPS
whenever it becomes available and any
information you may have for recovery
planning purposes (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Section 7 of the Act is titled,
‘‘Interagency Cooperation,’’ and it
mandates all Federal action agencies to
use their existing authorities to further
the conservation purposes of the Act
and to ensure that their actions are not
likely to jeopardize the continued
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existence of listed species or adversely
modify critical habitat. Regulations
implementing section 7 are codified at
50 CFR part 402.
Section 7(a)(2) states that each Federal
action agency shall, in consultation with
the Secretary, ensure that any action
they authorize, fund, or carry out is not
likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of a listed species or result in
the destruction or adverse modification
of designated critical habitat. Each
Federal agency shall review its action at
the earliest possible time to determine
whether it may affect listed species or
critical habitat. If a determination is
made that the action may affect listed
species or critical habitat, formal
consultation is required (see 50 CFR
402.14(a)), unless the Service concurs in
writing that the action is not likely to
adversely affect listed species or critical
habitat. At the end of a formal
consultation, the Service issues a
biological opinion, containing its
determination of whether the Federal
action is likely to result in jeopardy or
adverse modification.
Examples of discretionary actions for
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine that may be subject
to consultation procedures under
section 7 are land management or other
landscape-altering activities on Federal
lands administered by the U.S. Forest
Service, National Park Service, and
Bureau of Land Management, as well as
actions on State, Tribal, local, or private
lands that require a Federal permit
(such as a permit from the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers under section 404 of
the Clean Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251 et
seq.) or a permit from the Service under
section 10 of the Act) or that involve
some other Federal action (such as
funding from the Federal Highway
Administration, Federal Aviation
Administration, or Federal Emergency
Management Agency). Federal actions
not affecting listed species or critical
habitat—and actions on State, Tribal,
local, or private lands that are not
federally funded, authorized, or carried
out by a Federal agency—do not require
section 7 consultation. Federal agencies
should coordinate with the local Service
Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT) with any specific
questions on section 7 consultation and
conference requirements.
It is the policy of the Service, as
published in the Federal Register on
July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34272), to identify
to the extent known at the time a
species is listed, specific activities that
will not be considered likely to result in
violation of section 9 of the Act. To the
extent possible, activities that will be
considered likely to result in violation
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will also be identified in as specific a
manner as possible. The intent of this
policy is to increase public awareness of
the effect of a listing on proposed and
ongoing activities within the range of
the species. Although most of the
prohibitions in section 9 of the Act
apply to endangered species, sections
9(a)(1)(G) and 9(a)(2)(E) of the Act
prohibit the violation of any regulation,
including any regulation issued under
section 4(d) of the Act, pertaining to any
threatened species of fish or wildlife, or
threatened species of plant,
respectively. Section 4(d) of the Act
directs the Secretary to promulgate
protective regulations that are necessary
and advisable for the conservation of
threatened species. As a result, we
interpret our policy to mean that, when
we list a species as a threatened species,
to the extent possible, we identify
activities that will or will not be
considered likely to result in violation
of the protective regulations under
section 4(d) for that species.
The following activities could
potentially result in a violation of
section 9 of the Act; this list is not
comprehensive: Unauthorized
collecting, handling, possessing, selling,
delivering, carrying, or transporting of
the listed subspecies, including import
or export across State lines and
international boundaries, except for
properly documented antique
specimens of these taxa at least 100
years old, as defined by section 10(h)(1)
of the Act.
Questions regarding whether specific
activities will constitute violation of
section 9 of the Act should be directed
to the Service’s Pacific Regional Office
(see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
II. Interim Rule Issued Under Section
4(d) of the Act
Background
Section 4(d) of the Act contains two
sentences. The first sentence states that
the Secretary shall issue such
regulations as she deems necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of species listed as
threatened species. The U.S. Supreme
Court has noted that statutory language
similar to the language in section 4(d) of
the Act authorizing the Secretary to take
action that she ‘‘deems necessary and
advisable’’ affords a large degree of
deference to the agency (see Webster v.
Doe, 486 U.S. 592, 600 (1988)).
Conservation is defined in the Act to
mean the use of all methods and
procedures which are necessary to bring
any endangered species or threatened
species to the point at which the
measures provided pursuant to the Act
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are no longer necessary. Additionally,
the second sentence of section 4(d) of
the Act states that the Secretary may by
regulation prohibit with respect to any
threatened species any act prohibited
under section 9(a)(1), in the case of fish
or wildlife, or section 9(a)(2), in the case
of plants. Thus, the combination of the
two sentences of section 4(d) provides
the Secretary with wide latitude of
discretion to select and promulgate
appropriate regulations tailored to the
specific conservation needs of the
threatened species. The second sentence
grants particularly broad discretion to
the Service when adopting one or more
of the prohibitions under section 9.
The courts have recognized the extent
of the Secretary’s discretion under this
standard to develop rules that are
appropriate for the conservation of a
species. For example, courts have
upheld, as a valid exercise of agency
authority, rules developed under section
4(d) that included limited prohibitions
against takings (see Alsea Valley
Alliance v. Lautenbacher, 2007 WL
2344927 (D. Or. 2007); Washington
Environmental Council v. National
Marine Fisheries Service, 2002 WL
511479 (W.D. Wash. 2002)). Courts have
also upheld 4(d) rules that do not
address all of the threats a species faces
(see State of Louisiana v. Verity, 853
F.2d 322 (5th Cir. 1988)). As noted in
the legislative history when the Act was
initially enacted, ‘‘once an animal is on
the threatened list, the Secretary has an
almost infinite number of options
available to [her] with regard to the
permitted activities for those species.
[She] may, for example, permit taking,
but not importation of such species, or
[s]he may choose to forbid both taking
and importation but allow the
transportation of such species’’ (H.R.
Rep. No. 412, 93rd Cong., 1st Sess.
1973).
The provisions of this 4(d) rule will
promote conservation of the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine by encouraging management
of the landscape in ways that meet the
conservation needs of the wolverine.
The provisions of this rule are one of
many tools that we will use to promote
the conservation of the DPS.
As mentioned previously in Available
Conservation Measures, section 7(a)(2)
of the Act requires Federal agencies,
including the Service, to ensure that any
action they authorize, fund, or carry out
is not likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of any endangered species or
threatened species or result in the
destruction or adverse modification of
designated critical habitat of such
species.
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These requirements are the same for
a threatened species with a speciesspecific 4(d) rule. For example, as with
an endangered species, if a Federal
agency determines that an action is ‘‘not
likely to adversely affect’’ a threatened
species that has a species-specific 4(d)
rule, the agency will still need to
informally consult with the Service and
obtain the Service’s written concurrence
(50 CFR 402.13(c)). Similarly, if a
Federal agency determines that an
action is ‘‘likely to adversely affect’’ a
threatened species, the action will
require formal consultation and the
formulation of a biological opinion (50
CFR 402.14(a)). The Service will take
into account the exceptions of any 4(d)
rule when issuing a biological opinion
and any associated incidental take
statement, but a 4(d) rule does not
eliminate the Federal agency’s
obligation to consult under section
7(a)(2) of the Act.
We proposed a 4(d) rule along with
our proposed listing rule for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the wolverine in
2013 (78 FR 7864; February 4, 2013). In
the proposed 4(d) rule, we stated that
we would prohibit take of any
wolverine in the contiguous United
States when associated with or related
to trapping, hunting, shooting,
collection, capturing, pursuing,
wounding, killing, and trade. We further
stated that, in this context, any activity
where wolverines are attempted to be,
or are intended to be, trapped, hunted,
shot, captured, or collected, in the
contiguous United States, would be
prohibited. Additionally, we said that it
would also be prohibited to incidentally
trap, hunt, shoot, capture, pursue, or
collect wolverines in the course of
otherwise legal activities. We also
clarified that all otherwise legal
activities involving wolverines and their
habitat that are conducted in accordance
with applicable State, Federal, Tribal,
and local laws and regulations would
not be considered to be take under the
proposed 4(d) rule. We identified
several risk factors for the U.S. DPS of
the wolverine that, in concert with
climate change, may result in reduced
habitat value for the DPS. These risk
factors included human activities like
dispersed recreation, land management
activities by Federal agencies and
private landowners, and infrastructure
development. However, in 2013, we
considered these risk factors to be small
in scope and scale, and ultimately not
a concern for the conservation of the
DPS. As a result, we did not propose to
prohibit take associated with these
activities.
New information on the threats to this
DPS and how these threats may affect
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83767
the future condition of wolverines in the
contiguous United States (see Summary
of Biological Status and Threats, above)
has changed our understanding of what
provisions are appropriate for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine. We are now
tailoring the provisions of this interim
4(d) rule informed by new information.
This is an interim rule, meaning that it
will go into effect on the effective date
specified above under DATES, but we are
also accepting public comments on the
4(d) rule (see DATES and ADDRESSES,
above). We will assess any comments
we receive on the 4(d) rule and publish
either an affirmation of this interim rule
or a revised final rule for the 4(d) rule.
Provisions of the Interim 4(d) Rule
Exercising the Secretary’s authority
under section 4(d) of the Act, we have
developed a rule that is designed to
address the contiguous U.S. DPS of the
North American wolverine’s
conservation needs. As discussed
previously in Summary of Biological
Status and Threats, we have concluded
that the DPS is likely to become in
danger of extinction within the
foreseeable future primarily due to
habitat loss as a result of climate change
and the cumulative impacts of other,
lower-level stressors, including winter
recreation, development, and major
roads. Section 4(d) requires the
Secretary to issue such regulations as
she deems necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of each
threatened species and authorizes the
Secretary to include among those
protective regulations any of the
prohibitions that section 9(a)(1) of the
Act prescribes for endangered species.
We find that the protections,
prohibitions, and exceptions in this 4(d)
rule as a whole satisfy the requirement
in section 4(d) of the Act to issue
regulations deemed necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of the DPS.
The protective regulations for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine incorporate
prohibitions from section 9(a)(1) to
address the threats to the DPS. Section
9(a)(1) prohibits the following activities
for endangered wildlife: importing or
exporting; take; possession and other
acts with unlawfully taken specimens;
delivering, receiving, carrying,
transporting, or shipping in interstate or
foreign commerce in the course of
commercial activity; or selling or
offering for sale in interstate or foreign
commerce. This interim 4(d) rule
includes all of these prohibitions, with
limited exceptions, for the DPS. With
these general protective prohibitions in
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place, the 4(d) rule reinforces the
preservation of the DPS’s populations
by prohibiting activities that would
incentivize the killing of wolverines for
commercial gain.
As noted, this 4(d) rule generally
prohibits the ‘‘take’’ of wolverines in the
DPS. Under the Act, ‘‘take’’ means to
harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot,
wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect, or
to attempt to engage in any such
conduct. Some of these provisions have
been further defined in regulation at 50
CFR 17.3. Take can result knowingly or
otherwise, by direct and indirect
impacts, intentionally or incidentally.
Regulating take will help preserve the
DPS’s remaining populations and
decrease the effects to wolverines from
the synergistic, negative effects from
other ongoing or future threats.
Therefore, we are prohibiting take of
wolverines in the DPS, except for take
resulting from those actions and
activities specifically excepted by the
4(d) rule.
Exceptions to the prohibition on take
include all of the general exceptions to
the prohibition on take of endangered
wildlife, as set forth in 50 CFR 17.21(c)
and (d), and additional exceptions, as
described below.
The interim 4(d) rule also provides for
the conservation of the DPS by
establishing exceptions to the general
prohibition against ‘‘take’’ of wolverines
in the DPS in support of conservation
actions and otherwise lawful activities
that could incidentally take a wolverine
but at minimal levels not likely to have
a negative impact on the DPS’s
conservation. We considered a variety of
exceptions and determined that not all
were necessary (e.g., we do not include
an exception for take of depredating
wolverines because wolverines rarely
take livestock) or would provide
conservation benefits (e.g., we do not
include exceptions for backcountry
winter recreation because recreating in
these areas can be detrimental to
wolverines). The exceptions to these
prohibitions, described in further detail
below, include certain standard
exceptions, as well as purposeful take
due to scientific research on wolverines,
take incidental to forest management
activities for the purposes of reducing
the risk or severity of wildfire, and take
incidental to legal trapping of species
other than the wolverine that is
conducted consistent with State
trapping laws and regulations and that
contains steps to minimize the potential
for capture of wolverines.
Nothing in this interim 4(d) rule will
change in any way the recovery
planning provisions of section 4(f) of the
Act, the consultation requirements
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under section 7 of the Act, or the ability
of the Service to enter into partnerships
for the management and protection of
the wolverine. However, interagency
cooperation may be further streamlined
through planned programmatic
consultations for the species between
Federal agencies and the Service.
Standard Exceptions
We may, under certain circumstances,
issue permits to carry out one or more
of the otherwise prohibited activities.
These include permits issued for the
following purposes: for scientific
research and conservation purposes (for
an activity that would not fall within
the research exception for incidental
take in the 4(d) rule, as described
below); to enhance propagation or
survival; for economic hardship; for
zoological exhibition; for educational
purposes; for incidental taking (for an
activity not already excepted in the 4(d)
rule); or for special purposes consistent
with the purposes of the Act (see 50
CFR 17.32). The Act also contains
certain exemptions from the
prohibitions, which are found in
sections 9 and 10 of the Act.
We recognize the special and unique
relationship with our State natural
resource agency partners in contributing
to conservation of listed species. State
agencies often possess scientific data
and valuable expertise on the status and
distribution of endangered, threatened,
and candidate species of wildlife and
plants. State agencies, because of their
authorities and their close working
relationships with local governments
and landowners, are in a unique
position to assist us in implementing all
aspects of the Act. In this regard, section
6 of the Act provides that we cooperate
to the maximum extent practicable with
the States in carrying out programs
authorized by the Act. Therefore, any
qualified employee or agent of a State
conservation agency that is a party to a
cooperative agreement with us in
accordance with section 6(c) of the Act,
who is designated by his or her agency
for such purposes, will be able to
conduct activities designed to conserve
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine that may result in
otherwise prohibited take without
additional authorization.
Scientific Research
Future scientific research on North
American wolverines in the contiguous
United States will aid conservation and
recovery by leading to a better
understanding of the biology and
ecology of this elusive and hard-tostudy species. WAFWA, in coordination
with Tribal partners, formed a multi-
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State, multi-agency working group
(Western States Wolverine Working
Group) to design and implement the
Western States Wolverine Conservation
Project (WSWCP)–Coordinated
Occupancy Survey (Service 2018, p. 52).
The primary objectives of the WSWCP
include: (1) implement a monitoring
program to define a baseline wolverine
distribution and genetic characteristics
of the metapopulation across Montana,
Idaho, Wyoming, and Washington; (2)
model and maintain the connectivity of
the wolverine metapopulation in the
western United States; and (3) develop
policies to address socio-political needs
to assist wolverine population
expansion as a conservation tool,
including translocation of wolverines
(Service 2018, p. 52). Activities
associated with scientific research may
include capture, anesthesia, collaring,
tracking, genetic sampling, the use and
baiting of camera and DNA traps, den
monitoring, and aerial surveying. State
agencies with approved cooperative
agreements (see cooperative agreements
discussion above for additional
information) and the Service will not be
required to obtain separate ESA permits
for take associated with these actions, as
we are including the exceptions at 50
CFR 17.31(b) in the 4(d) rule. To
facilitate Federal agencies or federally
recognized Tribes to participate in and
assist with these activities, we are also
including an exception that allows
biologists, acting in an official capacity,
from other Federal agencies or federally
recognized Tribes to take wolverine for
scientific or research purposes that are
associated with wolverine conservation
efforts, as identified by the Service,
provided such taking does not result in
death or permanent injury to the
wolverine(s) involved. Taking that
results in death or permanent injury
must be reported to the appropriate U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service law
enforcement office and to appropriate
State and Tribal authorities.
Forest Management Activities for the
Purposes of Reducing the Risk or
Severity of Wildfire
As discussed in the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864) and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), management activities
(e.g., timber harvest, wildland
firefighting, prescribed fire, and
silviculture) can modify wolverine
habitat, but this generalist species
appears to be affected little by changes
to the vegetative characteristics of its
habitat. In addition, most wolverine
breeding habitat in the contiguous
United States occurs at high elevations
in rugged terrain that is not conducive
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to intensive forms of silviculture and
timber harvest. Forest management
activities for the purposes of reducing
the risk or severity of wildfire are
generally not a threat to wolverines in
the contiguous United States.
Under this interim 4(d) rule,
incidental take caused by forest
vegetation management for the purpose
of wildfire mitigation that promotes the
long-term stability and diversity of
forests will not be prohibited. Broadly,
the forest vegetation and fire
management activities referred to above
may include, but are not limited to,
silviculture practices and forestmanagement activities that address fuels
management; insect and disease
impacts; vegetation management in
existing utility rights-of-way; and
wildlife-habitat management, including
planting seedlings or sowing seeds,
mechanical cuttings as a restoration tool
in stands experiencing advancing
succession, full or partial suppression of
fires, allowing fires to burn, and survey
and monitoring of forest health. Because
no forest vegetation management
activities for the purposes of reducing
the risk or severity of wildfire pose any
threat to the North American wolverine
at the DPS level, we purposefully do not
specify in detail what types of these
activities are included in this exception,
or how, when, or where they must be
conducted, as long as they are
conducted in accordance with
applicable law; these activities may also
vary in how they are conducted across
the DPS’ wide range. Therefore, this
interim 4(d) rule will facilitate the
continuation of forest vegetation
management activities because these
activities pose no or minimal threats to
the North American wolverine at the
DPS level and result in only de minimis
forms of take. Forest management can
also contribute to the DPS’s
conservation into the future by
maintaining overall forest health in and
adjacent to wolverine habitat. This
exception, and any relevant future
section 7 consultations with Federal
agencies, also allow for flexibility to
accommodate specific physical
conditions, resource needs, and
constraints across the DPS’s range.
Incidental Trapping
Wolverines are occasionally
incidentally trapped and killed in the
contiguous United States in the course
of legal trapping for other species,
typically wolf trapping. This occurs at
low levels in a portion of the
wolverine’s breeding range (mainly
Idaho and Montana) and does not
currently represent a stressor to the
wolverine in the contiguous United
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States at the population or subspecies
level. Since 2012, there have been 10
nontarget wolverine captures (average =
fewer than 1/year) resulting in 3
mortalities in Montana (MFWP 2023, in
litt., p. 1). In Idaho, 14 nontarget
captures (0.7/year) of wolverines have
occurred during licensed trapping
activities, with no demonstrable trend
in capture rates over the past 20 years
(IDFG 2022, in litt., p. 3). Between
November 2017 and August 2022, IDFG
reported that nine wolverines were
incidentally trapped, with two resulting
in mortalities (IDFG 2022, in litt., pp. 5,
16–22). We have no recent reports of
wolverines incidentally trapped in other
States within the range during the
course of legal trapping activities.
In 2021, in both Idaho and Montana,
laws and regulations were enacted that
may increase the amount of wolf
trapping and the risk of incidental
trapping of wolverines because of the
use of snares, extended trapping
seasons, and financial incentives
(Service 2023, p. 39). However, because
wolverines differ from wolves in size,
distribution, and behavior, and State
laws and guidelines influence trappers
to use trap tension, site selection, and
snare height to reduce the likelihood of
incidental capture, we expect minimal
effects. In addition, year-round wolf
trapping seasons in Idaho are limited to
private lands, where there is very little
core wolverine habitat, further reducing
the potential for incidental taking
through trapping.
As discussed above under
Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes, States within the North
American wolverine’s range in the
contiguous United States have enacted
multiple regulations and
recommendations to limit incidental
trapping mortality of wolverines.
Additionally, the legal trapping that
occurs for other species, like bobcat and
marten, does not lend itself to wolverine
incidental trapping due to the types of
traps used, placement of those traps,
and habitat in which they would be
deployed. We expect incidental
trapping of wolverines to continue to be
very limited throughout the DPS’s
range.
Incidental trapping mortality of
wolverines in the contiguous United
States is minimal and does not impact
wolverines at a population or species
level. Mowat et al. (2020, p. 221)
concluded the maximum sustainable
harvest rate for wolverines is about 8
percent. Based on a recent analysis of an
area in Canada that was experiencing
population declines related to
overharvest, Mowat et al. (2020, p. 224)
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recommended reducing direct trapping
mortality to no more than 4 percent per
year across their study area to promote
wolverine population recovery. In the
contiguous United States, where there is
no direct trapping, incidental trapping
rates have been well below this
recommended rate. If we assume there
are approximately 300 wolverines in the
contiguous United States and assume 2
wolverine mortalities per year from
incidental trapping (a conservative
estimate from the incidental trapping
mortalities we know of since 2012), that
would be only 0.67 percent of the
population per year. This minimal level
of loss will not significantly impact the
contiguous U.S. population of North
American wolverines and will not
inhibit conservation of the DPS. We
conclude that the overall impact of
incidental trapping that is conducted in
accordance with State or Tribal trapping
laws and regulations and in a manner
that uses best practices to minimize
capture and mortality of wolverines, is
not expected to negatively affect
conservation and recovery efforts for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine. Therefore, take
due to this type of trapping will not be
prohibited. Take due to trapping that is
not in compliance with applicable State
or Tribal laws or regulations and that
results in the incidental trapping of a
wolverine is prohibited and subject to
penalties under section 9 of the Act.
Any take of wolverine from incidental
trapping should be reported to the
nearest U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
law enforcement office and to the
appropriate State wildlife agency or
Tribal wildlife authorities within 5 days
of occurrence. Unharmed individuals
are to be released immediately.
We anticipate that the additional take
excepted by this interim 4(d) rule will
only have a minimal impact on
wolverine habitat and individuals in the
contiguous United States. The activities
associated with scientific research,
forest management for the purposes of
reducing the risk or severity of wildfire,
and legal trapping of other species in a
manner that reduces risk to wolverines
are expected to result in low levels of
take of individuals given the limited
scope and scale of these activities.
We conclude that take of wolverines
excepted by this interim 4(d) rule will
be small and will not pose a significant
impact on the conservation of the DPS
as a whole. However, we recognize that
there is some uncertainty regarding the
level of take that may result and that
there are other approaches and
additional conservation measures that
could improve the overall conservation
outcome of this interim 4(d) rule. We
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are seeking public comments on this
interim 4(d) rule (see Public Comments
Solicited on the Interim 4(d) Rule,
below), and we will publish either an
affirmation of this interim rule or a final
revised rule after we fully consider all
comments we receive.
Need for Interim Rule
We initially proposed a 4(d) rule for
the wolverine in 2013, in association
with our proposal to classify the
wolverine as a threatened species (78 FR
7864; February 4, 2013). We accepted
comments on that 2013 proposed 4(d)
rule and have considered the comments
we received regarding the proposed 4(d)
rule in developing this interim 4(d) rule.
Thus, we engaged in notice-andcomment rulemaking, and we could
have issued the 4(d) rule as a final rule
rather than as an interim rule with an
additional comment period. However,
we have elected to issue the 4(d) rule as
an interim rule and to accept public
comments to ensure a robust
opportunity for the public to consider
the prohibitions and exceptions
prescribed, while providing protections
for the threatened DPS and complying
with our court-ordered deadline to
finalize the listing determination.
The Service considered segregating
the 4(d) rule from the listing
determination and issuing a revised
proposed rule for notice and comment
before finalizing the 4(d) rule. However,
under 5 U.S.C. 553(b)(3)(B) of the
Administrative Procedure Act (APA),
we find good cause to proceed without
reproposing the 4(d) rule and
undertaking notice and comment before
finalizing the 4(d) rule. If the Secretary
were to repropose a 4(d) rule and
finalize it through the standard
rulemaking process, we would be
unable to finalize the protective
regulations set forth in this interim 4(d)
rule concurrently with the final listing
rule for the DPS. This would result in
no protections for the DPS until we
complete a process to repropose and
finalize a 4(d) rule. That outcome would
be contrary to the public interest in this
case because immediate implementation
of the interim 4(d) rule when the
species’ listing is effective (see DATES,
above) has the advantage of providing a
conservation benefit to the North
America wolverine in the contiguous
United States. Under this interim 4(d)
rule, the DPS will be protected by the
general section 9(a)(1) prohibitions,
with the aforementioned exceptions.
Alternatively, another option left to the
agency’s discretion would be to have no
prohibitions for a species determined to
be threatened under the Act. However,
as stated, we think that it is appropriate
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to provide some protection for this DPS
now so that wolverines in the United
States have the best chance of surviving
in the face of climate change impacts
and other threats. We find that this
interim 4(d) rule provides appropriate
protections to promote the conservation
of the DPS across its range while
providing the flexibility for certain
otherwise lawful activities to occur
without significantly impacting the DPS
or its habitat. The final rule listing the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine as a threatened
species under the Act is published as a
part of this document and is effective on
the date specified in DATES, above. To
avoid any confusion arising from
varying effective dates, and because we
cannot establish a 4(d) rule for a species
that is not yet listed, this interim 4(d)
rule will also be effective on the date
specified in DATES, above, to coincide
with the effective date of the listing.
Public Comments Solicited on the
Interim 4(d) Rule
We request comments or information
from other concerned Federal and State
agencies, Tribes, the scientific
community, or any other interested
party concerning the interim 4(d) rule.
With regard to the interim 4(d) rule, we
particularly seek comments regarding:
(1) Whether the 4(d) rule as a whole
is necessary and advisable to provide for
the conservation of the contiguous U.S.
DPS of the North American wolverine.
(2) Information concerning the extent
to which we should include any of the
section 9 prohibitions in the 4(d) rule.
(3) Whether we should consider any
additional exceptions from the
prohibitions, such as take as a result of
other categories of activities beyond
those described, and, if so, under what
conditions and with what conservation
measures, if any.
(4) Additional provisions the Service
may wish to consider for a revision to
the interim 4(d) rule in order to
conserve, recover, and manage the DPS.
Our determination to affirm or revise
the interim 4(d) rule will take into
consideration all written comments and
any additional information we receive.
Please note that comments merely
stating support for or opposition to the
interim 4(d) rule without providing
supporting information, although noted,
will not be considered. Our final 4(d)
rule may differ from this interim 4(d)
rule, based on our review of all
information we receive during this
rulemaking proceeding. We may change
the parameters of the prohibitions or the
exceptions to those prohibitions in the
4(d) rule if we conclude it is appropriate
in light of comments and new
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information received. For example, we
may expand the prohibitions if we
conclude that the protective regulations,
including those additional prohibitions,
are necessary and advisable to provide
for the conservation of the species.
Conversely, we may establish additional
exceptions to the prohibitions in the
final rule if we conclude that the
activities would facilitate or are
compatible with the conservation and
recovery of the species.
Our intent is to issue an affirmation
of this interim 4(d) rule or issue a
revised 4(d) rule for the contiguous U.S.
DPS of the North American wolverine
by December 2024.
As we state above under DATES, we
are opening a 60-day public comment
period on the interim 4(d) rule. You
may submit your comments and
materials concerning the interim 4(d)
rule by one of the methods listed in
ADDRESSES. We request that you send
comments only by the methods
described in ADDRESSES. If you submit
information via https://
www.regulations.gov, your entire
submission—including any personal
identifying information—will be posted
on the website.
If your submission is made via a
hardcopy that includes personal
identifying information, you may
request at the top of your document that
we withhold this information from
public review. However, we cannot
guarantee that we will be able to do so.
We will post all hardcopy submissions
on https://www.regulations.gov. Please
include sufficient information with your
comments to allow us to verify any
scientific or commercial information
you include.
Comments and materials we receive,
as well as supporting documentation we
used in preparing this rule, will be
available for public inspection on
https://www.regulations.gov, or by
appointment, during normal business
hours, at the Pacific Region Ecological
Services Program (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
III. Critical Habitat
Background
Critical habitat is defined in section 3
of the Act as:
(1) The specific areas within the
geographical area occupied by the
species, at the time it is listed in
accordance with the Act, on which are
found those physical or biological
features
(a) Essential to the conservation of the
species, and
(b) Which may require special
management considerations or
protection; and
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(2) Specific areas outside the
geographical area occupied by the
species at the time it is listed, upon a
determination that such areas are
essential for the conservation of the
species.
Critical Habitat Determinability
Our regulations at 50 CFR 424.12(a)(2)
state that critical habitat is not
determinable when one or both of the
following situations exist:
(i) Data sufficient to perform required
analyses are lacking, or
(ii) The biological needs of the species
are not sufficiently well known to
identify any area that meets the
definition of ‘‘critical habitat.’’
When critical habitat is not
determinable, the Act allows the Service
an additional year to publish a critical
habitat designation (16 U.S.C.
1533(b)(6)(C)(ii)).
We reviewed the available
information pertaining to the biological
needs of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the
North American wolverine and habitat
characteristics where the DPS is located.
A careful assessment of the economic
impacts that may occur due to a critical
habitat designation has yet to occur, and
we will be working to acquire the
complex information needed to perform
that assessment. Therefore, due to the
current lack of data sufficient to perform
required analyses, we conclude that the
designation of critical habitat for the
DPS is not determinable at this time in
accordance with 50 CFR 424.12(a)(2)(i).
The Act allows the Service an
additional year to publish a critical
habitat designation that is not
determinable at the time of listing (16
U.S.C. 1533(b)(6)(C)(ii)).
Required Determinations
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Clarity of the Rule
We are required by E.O.s 12866 and
12988 and by the Presidential
Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write
all rules in plain language. This means
that each rule we publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address
readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than
jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and
sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever
possible.
If you feel that we have not met these
requirements, send us comments by one
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of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To
better help us revise the rule, your
comments should be as specific as
possible. For example, you should tell
us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written,
which sections or sentences are too
long, the sections where you feel lists or
tables would be useful, etc.
National Environmental Policy Act (42
U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
Regulations adopted pursuant to
section 4(a) of the Act are exempt from
the National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.) and do
not require an environmental analysis
under NEPA. We published a notice
outlining our reasons for this
determination in the Federal Register
on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244). This
includes listing, delisting, and
reclassification rules, as well as critical
habitat designations and speciesspecific protective regulations
promulgated concurrently with a
decision to list or reclassify a species as
threatened. The courts have upheld this
position (e.g., Douglas County v.
Babbitt, 48 F.3d 1495 (9th Cir. 1995)
(critical habitat); Center for Biological
Diversity v. U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, 2005 WL 2000928 (N.D. Cal.
Aug. 19, 2005) (concurrent 4(d) rule)).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951), E.O. 13175
(Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribal Governments), and the
Department of the Interior’s manual at
512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
responsibility to communicate
meaningfully with federally recognized
Tribes on a government-to-government
basis. In accordance with Secretary’s
Order 3206 of June 5, 1997 (American
Indian Tribal Rights, Federal-Tribal
Trust Responsibilities, and the
Endangered Species Act), we readily
acknowledge our responsibilities to
work directly with Tribes in developing
programs for healthy ecosystems, to
acknowledge that Tribal lands are not
subject to the same controls as Federal
public lands, to remain sensitive to
Indian culture, and to make information
available to Tribes. During the
development of the wolverine SSA
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83771
report addendum, we asked for
information and concerns from all the
federally recognized Tribes in the
contiguous U.S. range of the North
American wolverine in California,
Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon,
Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. While
we did not receive any information
regarding the wolverine from any Tribe
specific to the SSA report addendum,
we remain committed to engaging with
interested Tribes regarding the interim
4(d) rule, future proposed critical
habitat designation, and future recovery
planning for the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in
this rulemaking is available on the
internet at https://www.regulations.gov
and upon request from the Pacific
Region Ecological Services Program (see
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this rule are
the staff members of the Fish and
Wildlife Service’s Species Assessment
Team and the Pacific Region Ecological
Services Program.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Plants, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation, Wildlife.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we amend part 17,
subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the
Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth
below:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
2. Amend § 17.11, in paragraph (h), by
adding an entry for ‘‘Wolverine, North
American [Contiguous U.S. DPS]’’ to the
List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife in alphabetical order under
MAMMALS to read follows:
■
§ 17.11 Endangered and threatened
wildlife.
*
*
*
(h) * * *
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Common name
Scientific name
Where listed
Listing citations and
applicable rules
Status
MAMMALS
*
Wolverine, North American
[Contiguous U.S. DPS].
*
*
*
Gulo gulo luscus ...............
*
*
3. Amend § 17.40 by adding paragraph
(u) to read as follows:
■
§ 17.40
Special rules—mammals.
*
*
*
*
(u) North American wolverine (Gulo
gulo luscus), contiguous U.S. DPS.
(1) Prohibitions. The following
prohibitions that apply to endangered
wildlife also apply to the contiguous
U.S. distinct population segment (DPS)
of the North American wolverine.
Except as provided under paragraph
(u)(2) of this section and §§ 17.4 and
17.5, it is unlawful for any person
subject to the jurisdiction of the United
States to commit, to attempt to commit,
to solicit another to commit, or cause to
be committed, any of the following acts
in regard to this DPS:
(i) Import or export, as set forth at
§ 17.21(b) for endangered wildlife.
(ii) Take, as set forth at § 17.21(c)(1)
for endangered wildlife.
(iii) Possession and other acts with
unlawfully taken specimens, as set forth
at § 17.21(d)(1) for endangered wildlife.
(iv) Interstate or foreign commerce in
the course of a commercial activity, as
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*
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*
Where found within the
contiguous U.S.A.
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*
*
*
set forth at § 17.21(e) for endangered
wildlife.
(v) Sale or offer for sale, as set forth
at § 17.21(f) for endangered wildlife.
(2) Exceptions from prohibitions. In
regard to this DPS, you may:
(i) Conduct activities as authorized by
a permit under § 17.32.
(ii) Take, as set forth at § 17.21(c)(2)
through (c)(4) for endangered wildlife.
(iii) Take, as set forth at § 17.31(b).
(iv) Possess and engage in other acts
with unlawfully taken wildlife, as set
forth at § 17.21(d)(2) for endangered
wildlife.
(v) Take caused by scientific or
research activities for wolverine
undertaken by a biologist from a Federal
agency other than the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, or a federally
recognized Tribe, when acting in the
course of their official duties, provided
that such taking does not result in the
death or permanent injury to the
wolverine(s) involved and that the
taking is reported to the nearest U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service law
enforcement office and to the
appropriate State wildlife agency or
Tribal wildlife authorities. Activities
PO 00000
Frm 00048
Fmt 4701
*
*
88 FR [INSERT FEDERAL REGISTER
PAGE WHERE THE DOCUMENT
BEGINS], 11/30/2023; 50 CFR
17.40(u).4d
T
Sfmt 9990
*
*
associated with scientific research may
include capture, anesthesia, collaring,
tracking, genetic sampling, the use and
baiting of camera and DNA traps, den
monitoring, and aerial surveying.
(vi) Take incidental to an otherwise
lawful activity caused by:
(A) Forest vegetation management
activities for the purpose of reducing the
risk or severity of wildfire.
(B) Trapping of species other than
wolverine, provided that the trapping is
conducted in accordance with State or
Tribal trapping laws and regulations,
the trapping is conducted in a manner
that uses best practices to minimize the
potential for capture and mortality of
wolverines, and any take of wolverine is
reported to the nearest U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service law enforcement office
and to the appropriate State wildlife
agency or Tribal wildlife authorities
within 5 days of occurrence. Unharmed
individuals are to be released
immediately.
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2023–26206 Filed 11–29–23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
E:\FR\FM\30NOR2.SGM
30NOR2
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 229 (Thursday, November 30, 2023)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 83726-83772]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2023-26206]
[[Page 83725]]
Vol. 88
Thursday,
No. 229
November 30, 2023
Part IV
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species
Status With Section 4(d) Rule for North American Wolverine; Final and
Interim Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 88 , No. 229 / Thursday, November 30, 2023 /
Rules and Regulations
[[Page 83726]]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2023-0216; FF09E21000 FXES11110900000 245]
RIN 1018-BH27
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Threatened Species
Status With Section 4(d) Rule for North American Wolverine
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule and interim rule with request for comments.
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SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), determine
threatened species status under the Endangered Species Act of 1973
(Act), as amended, for the distinct population segment (DPS) of the
North American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus) occurring in the contiguous
United States. This rule adds the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine to the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. We are also issuing an interim rule under the authority of
section 4(d) of the Act (an ``interim 4(d) rule'') that provides the
prohibitions, and exceptions to those prohibitions, necessary and
advisable for the conservation of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine.
DATES:
Effective date: This rule is effective January 2, 2024.
Comments due: Comments on the interim 4(d) rule must be received or
postmarked by January 29, 2024.
ADDRESSES:
Written comments on the interim 4(d) rule: You may submit comments
on the interim 4(d) rule by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R6-ES-2023-0216,
which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then click on the
Search button. On the resulting page, in the panel on the left side of
the screen, under the Document Type heading, click on the Rules box to
locate this document. You may submit a comment by clicking on
``Comment.''
(2) By hard copy: U.S. mail: Public Comments Processing, Attn: FWS-
R6-ES-2023-0216; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; MS: PRB/3W; 5275
Leesburg Pike; Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
us (see Public Comments Solicited on the Interim 4(d) Rule, below, for
more information).
Availability of supporting materials: This document is available on
the internet at https://www.regulations.gov and at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/5123. Supporting materials we used in
preparing this rule, including the 2018 species status assessment (SSA)
report and the 2023 addendum to the SSA report, are available on the
Service's website at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/5123, at https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2023-0216, or both.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jodi Bush, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, Pacific Region, 911 NE 11th Ave., Portland, OR 97232;
telephone: (503) 231-6131. Individuals in the United States who are
deaf, deafblind, hard of hearing, or have a speech disability may dial
711 (TTY, TDD, or TeleBraille) to access telecommunications relay
services. Individuals outside the United States should use the relay
services offered within their country to make international calls to
the point-of-contact in the United States.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Final Rule To List the Contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American
Wolverine
Why we need to publish a rule. The Act (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.)
defines ``species'' as any subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants,
and any distinct population segment (DPS) of any species of vertebrate
fish or wildlife which interbreeds when mature. Under the Act, a
species warrants listing if it meets the definition of an endangered
species (in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range) or a threatened species (likely to become an
endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range). If we determine that a species
warrants listing, we must list the species promptly and designate the
species' critical habitat to the maximum extent prudent and
determinable. We have determined that the DPS of the North American
wolverine occurring in the contiguous United States (the ``contiguous
U.S. DPS'') meets the Act's definition of a threatened species;
therefore, we are listing it as such. Listing a species as an
endangered or threatened species can be completed only by issuing a
rule through the Administrative Procedure Act rulemaking process (5
U.S.C. 551 et seq.).
What this document does. This document is both (1) a final rule
listing the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine as a
threatened species under the Act; and (2) an interim rule issued under
the authority of section 4(d) of the Act (an ``interim 4(d) rule'')
providing the prohibitions, and exceptions to those prohibitions, that
are necessary and advisable to provide for the conservation of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine.
The basis for our action. Under the Act, we may determine that a
species is an endangered or threatened species because of any of five
factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or educational purposes; (C)
disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors affecting its
continued existence. We have determined that the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine is a threatened species due primarily to
the ongoing and increasing impacts of climate change and associated
habitat degradation and fragmentation.
Section 4(a)(3) of the Act requires the Secretary of the Interior
(Secretary) to designate critical habitat concurrent with listing to
the maximum extent prudent and determinable. We have not yet obtained
the necessary economic information needed to develop a proposed
critical habitat designation for the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine. Therefore, we find that designation of critical
habitat for the DPS is currently not determinable.
Interim 4(d) Rule
The need for the regulatory action and how the action will meet
that need. Consistent with section 4(d) of the Act, this interim 4(d)
rule provides measures that are tailored to our current understanding
of the conservation needs of the North American wolverine.
Under section 4(d) of the Act, the Secretary of the Interior has
discretion to issue such regulations as she deems necessary and
advisable to provide for the conservation of the species. The Secretary
also has the discretion to prohibit by regulation with respect to a
threatened species, any act prohibited by section 9(a)(1) of the Act.
Summary of the major provisions of the regulatory action. This
interim 4(d) rule will provide for the conservation of the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine by prohibiting the following
activities, unless they fall
[[Page 83727]]
within the specific identified exceptions or are otherwise authorized
or permitted: importing or exporting; take; possession and other acts
with unlawfully taken specimens; delivering, receiving, carrying,
transporting, or shipping in interstate or foreign commerce in the
course of commercial activity; or selling or offering for sale in
interstate or foreign commerce.
The interim 4(d) rule will also provide for the conservation of the
species by allowing exceptions to the general prohibitions against
``take'' of the species in support of conservation actions and
otherwise lawful activities that could take wolverines but at minimal
levels not likely to have a negative impact on the species'
conservation. The exceptions include take due to scientific research
conducted on wolverines by a Federal or Tribal biologist in the course
of their official duties, incidental take resulting from forest
management activities for the purposes of reducing the risk or severity
of wildfire, and incidental take resulting from legal trapping
conducted consistent with State and Tribal trapping rules or guidelines
that contain steps to minimize the potential for capture of wolverine.
Supporting Documents
A team prepared a species status assessment (SSA) for the North
American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus) (Service 2018, entire) (hereafter
referred to as the wolverine SSA report). The SSA team was composed of
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) biologists, who consulted with
other species experts. The wolverine SSA report represented a
compilation of the best scientific and commercial data available (known
at that time) concerning the status of the North American wolverine,
including the impacts of past, present, and future factors (both
negative and beneficial) affecting the wolverine. The wolverine SSA
report underwent independent peer review by scientists with experience
with mesocarnivores and their conservation and management, genetics,
population modeling, and climate change.
More recently, the Service prepared an SSA addendum for the North
American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus) (Service 2023, entire) (hereafter
referred to as the wolverine SSA report addendum). The wolverine SSA
report addendum contains a synthesis of relevant new information that
has become available since the 2018 wolverine SSA report. The wolverine
SSA report addendum underwent independent peer review by scientists
with experience with mesocarnivores and their conservation and
management, genetics, population modeling, and climate change. The
wolverine SSA report addendum also underwent technical review by State,
Federal, and Tribal biologists.
The wolverine SSA report, the wolverine SSA report addendum, and
other materials relating to this rulemaking can be found at the
Service's website at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/5123, and at
https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2023-0216.
Previous Federal Actions
On February 4, 2013, we published in the Federal Register (78 FR
7864) a proposed rule to list the DPS of the North American wolverine
occurring in the contiguous United States as a threatened species under
the Act, with a proposed rule under section 4(d) of the Act that
outlined the prohibitions, and exceptions to those prohibitions,
necessary and advisable for the conservation of the wolverine. Please
refer to that February 4, 2013, proposed rule (78 FR 7864) for a
detailed description of previous Federal actions concerning the
wolverine prior to 2013. We published a separate proposed rule in the
Federal Register on February 4, 2013 (78 FR 7890), to establish a
nonessential experimental population (NEP) area for the North American
wolverine in the Southern Rocky Mountains of Colorado, northern New
Mexico, and southern Wyoming. On October 31, 2013, we reopened the
comment period on the proposed listing rule for an additional 30 days
(78 FR 65248).
Following publication of the 2013 proposed rules, there was
scientific disagreement and debate about the interpretation of the
habitat requirements for wolverines and available climate change
information used to determine the extent of threats to the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine. Based on this substantial
disagreement regarding the sufficiency or accuracy of the available
data relevant to the proposed listing, on February 5, 2014, we
announced in the Federal Register (79 FR 6874) a 6-month extension of
the final determination of whether to list the contiguous U.S. DPS of
North American wolverine as a threatened species under the Act. That
document reopened the comment period on the February 4, 2013, proposed
listing rule for an additional 90 days.
On August 13, 2014, we published in the Federal Register (79 FR
47522) a document withdrawing both proposed rules published on February
4, 2013: (1) the proposed rule to list the contiguous U.S. DPS of the
North American wolverine as a threatened species under the Act,
including the provisions proposed under section 4(d) of the Act; and
(2) the proposed NEP designation under section 10(j) of the Act for the
North American wolverine in the Southern Rocky Mountains of Colorado,
northern New Mexico, and southern Wyoming. These withdrawals were based
on our conclusion that the factors affecting the DPS as identified in
the listing proposed rule were not as significant as believed at the
time of that proposed rule's publication in 2013.
In October 2014, three complaints were filed in the District Court
for the District of Montana by Defenders of Wildlife, WildEarth
Guardians, Center for Biological Diversity, and other organizations
challenging the withdrawal of the February 4, 2013, proposed rule to
list the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine. Numerous
parties intervened in the litigation. These three cases were
consolidated, and on April 4, 2016, the court issued a decision. The
court granted plaintiffs' motion for summary judgment with respect to
the Service's determination regarding (1) the threat posed to the
wolverine by the effects of climate change at the reproductive denning
scale, (2) the threat posed to the wolverine by small population size
and lack of genetic diversity, and (3) the application of the
significant portion of the range policy to the wolverine. As a result
of the court order, the August 13, 2014, withdrawal (79 FR 47522) of
the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule was vacated and remanded to
the Service for further consideration consistent with the order.
In effect, the court's action returned the process to the proposed
rule stage, and the status of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine under the Act reverted to that of a proposed species
for the purposes of consultation under section 7 of the Act. On October
18, 2016, we published in the Federal Register (81 FR 71670) a document
reopening the comment period on the February 4, 2013, proposed rule to
list the DPS of the North American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States as threatened under the Act (78 FR 7864). The
October 18, 2016, publication also requested new information and
announced that we were initiating a new and comprehensive status review
of the North American wolverine, to determine whether the species meets
the definition of an endangered or threatened species under the Act, or
[[Page 83728]]
whether the species is not warranted for listing. Both new and updated
information and analyses presented in the wolverine 2018 SSA report,
along with public comments, prompted us to reevaluate our previous
assessment of the DPS (presented in our 2013 proposed listing rule (78
FR 7864), which in turn relied on the DPS analysis completed in our
2010 12-month finding (75 FR 78030)) with respect to the North American
wolverine in the contiguous United States.
On October 13, 2020, we published in the Federal Register (85 FR
64618) another document withdrawing the February 4, 2013, proposed rule
to list the DPS of the North American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States as threatened under the Act. Our 2020
withdrawal decision was based on our conclusion that the factors
affecting the North American wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States as identified in the 2013 proposed listing rule were not
as significant as believed at the time of the proposed rule's
publication in 2013. We also found that the North American wolverines
occurring in the contiguous United States did not qualify as a DPS.
The Center for Biological Diversity and WildEarth Guardians filed
lawsuits in the District Court for the District of Montana challenging
the Service's 2020 decision to withdraw the February 4, 2013, proposal
to list the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine. The
cases were consolidated, and the State of Idaho's motion to intervene
was granted. On February 4, 2022, the Service filed a motion asking the
court to voluntarily return (remand) the 2020 withdrawal decision to
the Service to allow the Service to re-examine the decision in light of
the intervening decision in Center for Biological Diversity v. Haaland,
998 F.3d 1061 (9th Cir. 2021) (``Pacific Walrus Decision'') and to
reevaluate the decision in light of new scientific information that had
become available since the completion of the 2018 SSA. The Service also
requested that the 2020 withdrawal decision remain in effect pending
that reevaluation. On May 26, 2022, the court granted the Service's
request for a voluntary remand of the 2020 withdrawal decision, but the
court decided to vacate the withdrawal decision (Ctr. for Biological
Diversity v. Haaland, No. CV 20-181-M-DWM (D. Mont. May 26, 2022)).
The court's May 26, 2022, action returned the listing process for
the North American wolverine to the proposed rule stage. On November
23, 2022, the Service published in the Federal Register (87 FR 71557) a
document soliciting new information on the North American wolverine and
notifying the public that the February 4, 2013, proposed rule to list
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine as threatened
under the Act (78 FR 7864) had been reinstated. As of May 26, 2022, for
purposes of consultation under section 7 of the Act, the North American
wolverine was again a species proposed for listing and subject to
conferencing requirements.
The Service then completed the wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, entire), which contains a synthesis of all relevant new
information that has become available since the 2018 wolverine SSA
report to inform this final listing rule and the associated interim
4(d) rule.
Peer Review
Our assessment of the status of the North American wolverine
contained in this document is supported by information in both the 2018
SSA report (Service 2018, entire) and the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum (Service 2023, entire). In accordance with our joint policy on
peer review published in the Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR
34270), and our August 22, 2016, memorandum updating and clarifying the
role of peer review in listing actions under the Act, we solicited
independent scientific review of the information contained in the 2018
wolverine SSA report. We sent the SSA report to four independent peer
reviewers and received four responses; we incorporated the results of
that review into the SSA report, as appropriate. More recently, we
solicited independent scientific review of the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum. We sent the wolverine SSA report addendum to six peer
reviewers and received three responses; we incorporated the results of
the peer review into the wolverine SSA report addendum, as appropriate.
The peer reviews on the wolverine SSA report and the wolverine SSA
report addendum can be found at https://www.regulations.gov.
Summary of Changes
Since the publication of the February 4, 2013, proposed listing
rule (78 FR 7864), the development of the 2018 SSA report (Service
2018, entire), and the publication of the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), a substantial number of new studies have become
available, refining our understanding of wolverine biology and threats
affecting North American wolverines in the contiguous United States. We
incorporated this new information into the 2023 wolverine SSA report
addendum. We summarize the information most salient to our
determination in this final rule below. We also discuss these changes
where appropriate in the remainder of the document to provide further
detail and context.
Ecological Requirements
The snow model used in the climate change analysis in the 2018 SSA
report and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618)
projected snow loss out to year 2050 in only two modeling domains
(Glacier National Park and the central Rocky Mountains) (Service 2018,
p. 88). Results indicated a decline in spring snow in these areas due
to climate change was likely, but we were unable to extrapolate those
projections across the remainder of the North American wolverine's
breeding range in the contiguous United States. Persistent spring snow
(greater than or equal to 1 meter on May 1; see Climate Change, below)
was not identified as an ecological requirement for wolverines, and we
assumed that if snow was necessary for denning, there would be enough
spring snowpack in the future to fulfill denning needs.
Our updated climate analysis reported in the 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum projects snow loss out to 2100 across five modeling
domains that cover a much larger extent of the breeding range in the
contiguous United States when compared to the 2018 SSA report. In our
2023 wolverine SSA report addendum, we found declines in spring snow
due to climate change are likely across the North American wolverine's
range and predicted losses will be greater in 2100 than in 2050. In
general, when compared to historical amounts of snow cover, nearly
every area modeled (except for the Mid-Rockies) sees a decrease in snow
cover and that decrease becomes larger over time. In the Mid-Rockies,
snow cover increases in the short term, but as with the other areas, it
decreases over time.
New research indicates that areas characterized by persistent
spring snow are likely important for wolverine survival (e.g., caching
food) in addition to denning and reproduction. One new study reported
wolverines cache food year-round, indicating that warmer temperatures
could impact the ability of wolverines to store food resources by
decreasing the shelf-life (usability) of cached food, and increasing
competition from pilferers that benefit from a warmer climate (van der
Veen et al. 2020, p. 1). Another study found evidence to support a
functional
[[Page 83729]]
relationship between North American wolverines and persistent spring
snow that could be explained by the distribution of food, disturbance,
or mortality risk (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 8).
Connectivity With Canada
Connectivity with Canada is essential to the long-term viability of
North American wolverines in the contiguous United States (Cegelski et
al. 2006, p. 209). In the 2018 SSA report and October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we assumed that wolverines could
move freely between Canada and the United States (Service 2018, p.
104). We also concluded that trapping of wolverines did not represent a
barrier to wolverine movement and dispersal along the international
border (Service 2018, p. 69). Additionally, we concluded that major
highways did not represent a barrier to wolverine movement (Service
2018, p. 60).
In the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum, we affirm that
connectivity with Canada is essential to the long-term viability of
North American wolverines in the lower 48 States. However, our
understanding of the ability of wolverines to move between Canada and
the United States in the Rocky Mountains has changed. New research
found an estimated 41 percent decline in the wolverine population from
2011-2020 in a portion (7,583,417 acres (ac) (30,689 square kilometers
(km\2\))) of the southern Canadian Rockies, Purcell Mountains, and
Selkirk Mountains important for wolverine connectivity with the United
States; this decline could be attributed to one or more of the
following causes: trapping, backcountry recreation, human development,
and food availability (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). In addition, new
transboundary genetic research indicates the Trans-Canada Highway in
southern British Columbia is impeding female dispersal from Canada to
the United States, thereby limiting gene flow and the ability of
dispersing wolverines to supplement the contiguous U.S. DPS (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 12, 17).
Genetic Diversity and Adaptive Capacity
In the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we
found there was no available information to indicate that the current
abundance of the North American wolverine across its range in the
contiguous United States was at a level that was causing inbreeding
depression or loss of genetic variation that would affect its ability
to adapt to changing conditions.
New transboundary genetic research shows a sharp decline in genetic
diversity and increasing population fragmentation at the southern
extent of the North American wolverine's range in western North America
(Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17). As a result, there is potential for
inbreeding given the relatively small population sizes and low levels
of genetic diversity of wolverines in the contiguous United States,
especially in the Cascade Mountains of Washington and southern British
Columbia (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.); however, inbreeding depression has
not been observed. New analysis of the North American wolverine's
adaptive capacity shows that their specialized habitat associations,
low genetic diversity and population size, narrow ecological niche, low
tolerance for human disturbance, and slow reproductive rate all
contribute to the wolverine's relative difficulty in adapting in-place
to future environmental change (Service 2023, p. 66).
Roads and Development
We analyzed the effects of roads and development (human
disturbance) to North American wolverines in the 2018 SSA report
(Service 2018, p. 62) and determined in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618) that impacts to wolverines are small
and narrow in scope and scale. We did not consider roads and
development to be an impediment to wolverine movement and gene flow.
New habitat and landscape genetic research indicates multi-lane
roads and human development in valley bottoms between core habitats may
limit dispersal and population connectivity to some extent, especially
for female wolverines. Connectivity among wolverine habitats appears to
be particularly sensitive to housing developments (Balkenhol et al.
2020, p. 797). Also, new research indicates that human disturbance
(road density) and food availability are major drivers of wolverine
distribution in winter (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 1). Wolverine density
and detection probability declined in areas with more human development
(Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). Human development may also have cascading
impacts of increasing competition from other mesocarnivores that are
less affected by human disturbance (Frey et al. 2020, pp. 1136-1138;
Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 6; Milanesi et al. 2022, pp. 10-11).
Winter Recreation
In our 2018 SSA report and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), we concluded that winter recreation is a low-level
stressor for wolverines in the contiguous United States (Service 2018,
p. 62). The limited research available at the time indicated some
avoidance behavior exhibited by wolverines in areas with backcountry
winter recreation, but not to the extent that we had concerns about
population-level impacts.
In the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum, we provide an updated
assessment of the effects of winter recreation based on new studies.
Research indicates winter recreation is negatively associated with
North American wolverine habitat use, and that winter recreation is
likely to increase and become more concentrated in the future as snow-
covered areas decline due to climate change (Heinemeyer et al. 2019, p.
1). A large multi-State analysis of winter recreation impacts in the
Northern Rocky Mountains was published in 2019, indicating greater
concern for impacts to wolverines than we found in 2018 and showing a
negative functional response to the level of recreation exposure within
their home ranges (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, pp. 13-14, 17-18).
Additionally, new research found an incremental loss of wolverines in
portions of central Idaho where winter recreation impacts are
increasing (Mack and Hagan 2022, p. 13). Furthermore, forest roads used
by snowmobilers in the Canadian Rockies were found to have a strong
negative correlation with wolverine distribution (Kortello et al. 2019,
p. 10). Wolverine detection probability in protected and non-protected
habitat of southwestern Canada was found to be strongly and negatively
correlated with nonmotorized recreation in summer and winter (Barrueto
et al. 2022, p. 5).
Trapping
In our 2018 SSA and the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618), we concluded that overutilization does not currently
represent a stressor to the North American wolverine in the contiguous
United States at the individual, population, or species level. We also
concluded that trapping in Canada has been and appears to be
sustainable, and trapping or harvesting of wolverines along the
contiguous U.S.-Canada border does not represent a stressor to
wolverines migrating into the contiguous United States and does not
represent a barrier to wolverine movement and dispersal along the
international border (Service 2018, p. 71).
Legal trapping of wolverines has not occurred in the contiguous
United States in the past 10 years, and lethal
[[Page 83730]]
incidental trapping of wolverines has been minimal (Service 2023, p.
38). We expect recent changes to wolf trapping regulations in Idaho and
Montana to have little effect on wolverines at a population level, as
long as trapping is done in a manner to limit wolverine bycatch (Idaho
Department of Fish and Game (IDFG) 2023, in litt., p. 1; IDFG 2022, p.
40; Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks (MFWP) 2023, in litt., p. 1; MFWP
2022, entire). Below, under Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational Purposes, we provide an
assessment of incidental trapping and the measures States are taking to
reduce incidental trapping of wolverines.
Recent research on wolverine trapping in Southern Canada indicates
that trapping may be having more of a negative effect on wolverine
populations in Canada than previously thought (Kortello et al. 2019,
pp. 1, 10; Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et al. 2020, p. 296;
Barrueto et al. 2022, entire). Unsustainable trapping levels in Canada
could limit dispersal of individuals into the contiguous United States,
where the dispersal of wolverines from Southern Canada is vital to the
genetic and demographic health of the U.S. population (Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.).
Summary of Comments and Recommendations
Comments on the 2013 Proposed Listing Rule
Upon publication of our February 4, 2013, proposed rule to list the
DPS of North American wolverine occurring in the contiguous United
States as a threatened species (78 FR 7864), we opened a 90-day public
comment period, ending May 6, 2013. After we withdrew the proposed
rule, on October 18, 2016 (81 FR 71670), we again opened a public
comment period on our 2013 proposed listing rule; that comment period
was open for 30 days, ending November 17, 2016. At both times, we
contacted appropriate Federal and State agencies, scientific experts
and organizations, Tribes, and other interested parties and invited
them to comment on the 2013 proposed listing rule. Many of the comments
we received from State agencies during our 2016 reopened comment period
(81 FR 71670) were similar to those we received during the initial 2013
public comment period (78 FR 7864). All substantive information
provided during both comment periods on our 2013 proposed listing rule
has either been incorporated directly into this final determination or
is addressed below.
Below, we present the comments received on the 2013 proposed
listing rule and a summary of our responses as presented in the October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). We also provide updated
responses to several of the comments based on new information presented
in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum and this final rule. Comments
are numbered below as they were numbered in the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). Several of the comments and
responses from the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document did not
require revision, and they are incorporated here by reference; those
comments with responses that remain the same are comments 6, 7, 9, 11,
13, 20, 21, 22, 23, and 24 (85 FR 64618 at 64622-64626).
Public Comments
(1) Comment: We received several public comments claiming that the
North American wolverine faces increasing threats from the effects of
climate change, particularly habitat loss due to declining snowpack.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: Our climate assessment in the 2018
wolverine SSA report and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document focused
on the impact of climate change to denning conditions for wolverines.
We stated we recognize that current climate trends and future (2055 and
later) climate model projections indicate warming temperatures for much
of western North America and changes to snow-pack conditions. In
general, models indicate higher elevations, where documented historical
wolverine denning has occurred, will retain more snow cover than lower
elevations, particularly in early spring (on April 30/May 1). We
referenced a climate analysis that included two regions, Glacier
National Park and Rocky Mountain National Park. Details of this climate
analysis are presented in Ray et al. (2017) and are summarized in the
2018 SSA report. Climate models in Ray et al. (2017) built upon
previous model projections presented in McKelvey et al. (2011), but
with significant differences such as finer spatial resolution,
incorporation of slope and aspect, snow depth estimates, additional
years of historical data, and wider temporal analyses of snow
persistence (April-June). Model projections from Ray et al. (2017)
indicate significant areas (several hundred square kilometers (km\2\)/
square miles (mi\2\) for each study area) of future snow (greater than
0.5 meters (m) (20 inches (in)) in depth) are likely to persist on May
1 at elevations currently used by wolverines for denning. This is true,
on average, across the range of climate models used out to
approximately year 2055.
Our 2023 Response: Our assessment of climate change impacts to
North American wolverines in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum,
and applied in this final rule, evaluates the impact of climate warming
and changes in snowpack on various aspects of wolverine ecology, not
just denning habitat (see Climate Change, below). We now consider
habitats characterized by the presence of persistent spring snow for
survival and reproduction to be a physical and ecological requirement
for wolverines in the contiguous United States (see Life-History Needs,
below). New evidence from around the world reinforces that snow--
especially persistent spring snow--is an important predictor of broad-
scale wolverine distribution and density (Aubry et al. 2023, pp. 15-16;
Carroll et al. 2020, p. 8; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10; Glass et al.
2021, entire; Mowat et al. 2020, p. 220). Snow cover appears to
influence wolverine dispersal and resulting genetic structure
(Balkenhol et al. 2020, pp. 798-799). Warming future conditions could
make caching food more difficult for wolverines year-round (Van der
Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8-10). Climate change also has the potential to
exacerbate the impacts of other stressors, including effects from
roads, winter recreational activity, development, low genetic
diversity, and small populations (see Threats, below). Wolverines have
denned outside of spring snowpack in the boreal forests of Canada and
Scandinavia; however, the importance of spring snow for denning may
vary among areas depending on the abundance of alternative den site
structures, competitors, and food resources (Persson et al. 2023, p.
5810). Furthermore, there is no evidence that North American wolverines
have denned in areas outside of spring snowpack in their alpine
habitats in the contiguous United States. In light of this, we do not
expect North American wolverines to continue to have the same or better
resiliency in the contiguous United States in the future when cold and
snowy conditions are expected to decrease, with spring snowpack
decreasing as much as 50 percent in some areas. Although we are not
seeing deleterious effects of climate change on the contiguous U.S.
population of North American wolverines currently, we expect future
impacts at the population level. For further detail, see the discussion
under Climate Change, below.
(2) Comment: We received several public comments during our request
for
[[Page 83731]]
information claiming that low population size (and small effective
population size) warrant listing of the North American wolverine as
threatened or endangered.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We stated that wolverines are
difficult animals to survey, and populations occur in naturally low
densities across their North American range, due in large part to their
need for large, exclusive territories. At that time (and still today),
the only estimate of the number of wolverines that currently occupy the
contiguous United States is the often-cited population estimate of 318
wolverines (range: 249-926) in the contiguous United States. This
estimate was derived from habitat modeling presented in Inman et al.
(2013). That publication also provided a modeled estimate of potential
wolverine capacity in the contiguous United States of 644 wolverines
(range: 506-1881). We also reported the preliminary results from the
Western States Wolverine Conservation Project (WSWCP) occupancy study
in four western States (Idaho, Montana, Washington, and Wyoming) and
from a pilot occupancy study in Wyoming (2015-2016) (Service 2018,
appendix B). Preliminary analysis of the study results indicated an
average estimated probability of occupancy of 0.42, suggesting that
wolverines used nearly half of all sites during the study period (MFWP
2017, pers. comm.). Although the sum of these reports cannot confirm
the previous estimate of population size or verify population trends,
they offer recent evidence that wolverines continue to be observed
across a large area of the western United States.
We also discussed the estimated effective population size by
Schwartz et al. (2009), which estimated a summed effective population
size of 35, with credible limits from 28 to 52 (Schwartz et al. 2009,
p. 3,226). We stated that the analysis missed two wolverine
subpopulations as well as individuals, which would underestimate the
results for this type of analysis. We went on to discuss the apparent
connectivity between wolverines in the contiguous United States and
Canada, and we considered the contiguous United States to be
genetically continuous with wolverines in adjacent Canadian provinces.
We concluded that a small effective population size would be more of a
concern if the population was in isolation; however, wolverines in the
contiguous United States are not genetically isolated from wolverines
in Canada.
Our 2023 Response: The best available estimate of effective
population size for the wolverine in the Northern Rocky Mountains
continues to be 35 (credible interval = 28-52) (Schwartz et al. 2009,
p. 3226). We estimated the effective population size of wolverines in
the North Cascades to be four (Service 2023, p. 27). Overall, the
effective population size estimates of wolverines in the contiguous
United States are small compared to conservation guidelines, and the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverines appear to be
vulnerable to inbreeding and loss of genetic diversity when considered
in isolation. However, only one or two effective migrants per
generation (i.e., the number of migrants that reproduce at the same
rate as residents) are likely needed to achieve genetic population
connectivity and maintain existing levels of genetic diversity
(Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 209).
At the time we published the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), we considered the contiguous U.S. population to be
genetically continuous with Canada. We now know that wolverine
populations in southern British Columbia and Alberta near the
transboundary interface are less genetically connected to the
contiguous United States than we found in our 2018 SSA. New information
has revealed that female wolverines appear to avoid crossing major
roadways, including the Trans-Canada Highway (Highway 1) and the
Crowsnest Highway (Highway 3) in southern British Columbia (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 11-14). Substantially lower mitochondrial DNA diversity
in the United States, as compared to mitochondrial DNA diversity in
Canada, is consistent with the nuclear DNA signals of limited
contemporary female gene flow between the countries and the wolverine's
relatively recent recolonization at the southern edge of their range
(Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17). See ``Gene Flow Between the United States
and Canada'' and ``Population Structure and Gene Flow Within Canada,''
below, for more detail. Given the new information on limited gene flow
with Canada and the potential impacts of climate change to future
dispersal, the low effective population size in the contiguous U.S.
population of North American wolverines is a concern to future
population viability.
(3) Comment: We received several public comments during our request
for information claiming that the North American wolverine faces
threats from indiscriminate trapping in the contiguous United States,
or are negatively impacted by incidental trapping.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we stated that trapping or hunting of
wolverines was not allowed in any State within the range of the
wolverine in the contiguous United States, and we presented the legal
protections afforded to wolverines in each State. We summarized what we
knew at the time about incidental trapping. In the wolverine SSA
report, we provided a summary of the number of wolverines that have
been incidentally trapped in Idaho (18 since 1965, including 6 known to
be released alive and 7 known mortalities), Montana (4 since 2013, 3
mortalities and 1 released unharmed), and Wyoming (2 since 1996, 1
mortality and 1 released unharmed) (Service 2018, p. 66). Both Idaho
and Montana are implementing trapper education programs to minimize
nontarget wolverine captures. We noted that regulated trapping and
hunting of wolverines occurs in parts of Alaska and Canada, and appears
to be sustainable based on population and density estimates.
Our 2023 Response: Legal trapping of wolverines has not occurred in
the contiguous United States in the past 10 years. Wolverine trapping
remains closed throughout the western United States, and wolverines
have retained various protected status designations in the States
within their current U.S. range (Service 2023, table 10). Therefore,
legal direct trapping is no longer a stressor on wolverines in the
contiguous United States. In the past 10 years, lethal incidental
trapping of wolverines has been minimal (approximately 1 to 2 animals
per year or fewer), primarily occurring in Idaho and Montana (see
Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes, below). New information suggests that recent
overharvest from trapping has occurred in southern Canada in areas that
could provide dispersing individuals to the contiguous United States
(Mowat et al. 2020, entire). Trapping in southern Canada appears to
have had a more negative effect on wolverine populations in Canada than
previously thought. Legacy effects of recent unsustainable trapping
levels in a portion of the southern Rocky Mountains of Canada could
limit dispersal of individuals into the contiguous United States in an
area where wolverine connectivity between the United States and
southern Canada is vital to the genetic and demographic health of the
U.S. wolverine population. See Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational Purposes and Provisions of the
Interim 4(d) Rule, below, for further details.
[[Page 83732]]
(4) Comment: We received several public comments identifying
potential threats to wolverines from winter recreation activities, such
as snowmobiling and backcountry skiing.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: When we published our October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), there was little information
on the effect of winter recreation on wolverines. We received a final
report of a multiyear study on the effects of winter recreation on
wolverines (Heinemeyer et al. 2017, entire) in mid-December 2017, and
the results of this study were published (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a,
entire) prior to the publication of our 2020 withdrawal document. The
study found that wolverines were displaced from habitat by winter
recreation but maintained multiyear home ranges, and the authors
suggest that wolverines are able to tolerate winter recreation at some
scales (Heinemeyer et al. 2017, p. iv; Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16).
The study described habitat selection as complex for female wolverines
and stated that habitat selection was likely driven by a combination of
abiotic (snow, cold) and biotic (predator avoidance, food availability)
factors (Heinemeyer et al. 2017, p. 36; Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p.
16). This study did not assess demographic effects, fitness effects, or
population-level effects of winter recreation on wolverines (Heinemeyer
et al. 2019a, pp. 17, 19).
Our 2023 Response: There are multiple recent studies that indicate
wolverines are negatively affected and displaced (at least temporarily)
by various types of backcountry winter recreation (Barrueto et al.
2022, entire; Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, entire; Heinemeyer et al. 2019b,
entire; Kortello et al. 2019, entire; Mack and Hagen 2022, entire;
Regan et al. 2020, entire). The effect of winter recreation activity
(of concern due to potential impacts to denning and survival), in
isolation, represents a low threat to wolverines in the contiguous
United States at the population level. However, in combination with
other threats, including decreased snow availability (see Climate
Change, below) and increased overlap with winter recreationalists in
the future due to climate change, winter recreation could negatively
affect wolverine population resilience in the future. See Disturbance
Due to Winter Recreational Activity, below, for further details.
(5) Comment: We received public comments claiming that wolverines
are dependent on deep snow for survival and expressing concern for
future changes in snowpack due to the effects of climate change.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: Our response to this comment in our
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618) focused on snow
availability for denning and the wolverine's ability to cope with
changing snow conditions in the denning context. We stated that
wolverines can and have denned outside of heavy snowpack, multiple
factors play a role in den site selection, females will move dens as
young become mobile, and areas of significant snowpack will likely
persist in the future the contiguous United States in areas where
wolverines are known to den at levels that will continue to support
wolverines. Our review of studies of wolverine denning activity found
no quantitative data reporting snow depth at the den site when
wolverines abandon the den. More importantly, wolverine reproductive
success has not been studied relative to a number of abiotic and biotic
conditions, including depth and temporal aspect of spring snow cover.
In our evaluation of the effects of climate change to snowpack (see
Service 2018, pp. 73-99), we presented a finer-scale analysis (0.0625
km\2\ (0.24 mi\2\)) for two study areas (Glacier National Park and
Rocky Mountain National Park) that focused directly on May 15, in
addition to the presence or absence of snow on May 1 and April 15.
These dates are more relevant to the North America wolverine's life-
history needs. We also modeled the depth of ``significant'' snow (0.5 m
(20 in)) on these dates. We found that large areas (several hundred
km\2\/mi\2\ for each study area) of future snow cover (greater than 0.5
m (20 in) in depth) are projected to persist on May 1 at elevations
currently used by wolverines for denning. This is true, on average,
across the range of climate models used out to approximately year 2055.
Our 2023 Response: As discussed above in our response to (1)
Comment, the wolverine is a snow-adapted species that utilizes cold and
snowy habitats for multiple aspects of its life history. To inform our
assessment of the wolverine's status in the contiguous United States,
we updated our previous climate change analysis, the details of which
are summarized in the wolverine SSA report addendum (Service 2023, pp.
47-60). Our analysis focuses on the expected loss of snowpack out to
2100 in five modeling domains that overlap with occupied and potential
wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States across latitudinal,
longitudinal, and elevation gradients. The Service chose a snow depth
threshold of greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft) to represent
significant snow cover on May 1, which provides a more conservative
estimate than was used in the 2018 SSA (i.e., greater than or equal to
0.5 m (20 in.) on May 1). This updated analysis shows that cold and
snowy conditions at high elevations are expected to decrease, with
spring snowpack at denning elevations decreasing as much as 50 percent
in some areas. As a result, we expect wolverine population resiliency
in the contiguous United States to decrease in the future. For more
information see Climate Change, below.
(8) Comment: We also received public comments recommending that the
North American wolverine not be listed as threatened or endangered
under the Act. One commenter stated that State wildlife agencies are
capable of managing the species and are able to provide protections
that ensure continued population growth towards population objectives
established by these agencies and that mandates of various Federal
resource management agencies provide a commitment to managing wildlife
habitat in a way that benefits all wildlife species, including
wolverines and other forest carnivores.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We acknowledged that some members of
the public supported our decision to withdraw our proposed rule to list
the North American wolverine occurring in the contiguous United States
as a threatened species under the Act. In the wolverine SSA report
(Service 2018, appendix G), we provided a summary of the regulatory
protections provided by western States and Federal agencies, as well as
management measures being implemented, to conserve the wolverine and
its habitat. Trapping or hunting of wolverines was prohibited in the
contiguous United States when our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618) published.
Our 2023 Response: We appreciate the regulatory protections and
management measures our State wildlife agency partners and Federal
resource management agencies have enacted to conserve the North
American wolverine and its habitat (Service 2018, appendix G). However,
we have determined that the contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine meets the Act's definition of a threatened species as
described in this rule due to future threats, including the reduction
in spring snowpack from climate change. This determination is not a
reflection on the adequacy of State management or the capability of
States to manage the species but rather an acknowledgement of the
serious threat posed to the species
[[Page 83733]]
by climate change. Along with the listing, we are finalizing an interim
4(d) rule that will promote conservation of the contiguous U.S. DPS of
North American wolverine by encouraging management of the landscape by
our partners in ways that meet the conservation needs of the wolverine.
The provisions of this 4(d) rule provide one of many tools we will use
to promote the conservation of the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine.
(10) Comment: We received comments from several organizations that
support the listing of the North American wolverine and designation of
critical habitat. Threats cited include restricted migration, habitat
loss and connectivity related to threats from effects of climate
change, nontarget trapping pressures, road mortality and other effects
of roads (e.g., noise, pollution, fragmentation of habitat), motorized
recreation and traffic in wildlife corridors, timber sales and
associated roads, and effects of snowmobile traffic (habitat
fragmentation and pollution, and change in behavior).
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We found that demographic risks to
the species from either known or most likely potential stressors (i.e.,
disturbance due to winter recreational activities, other human
disturbances, effects of wildland fire, disease, predation,
overutilization, genetic diversity, small population effects, climate
change, and cumulative effects) were low based on our evaluation of the
best available information at the time in relation to current and
potential future conditions for the North American wolverine occurring
in the contiguous United States and in the context of the attributes
that affect the needs of the DPS (Service 2018, p. 103). Thus, we
determined that the North American wolverine in the contiguous United
States did not meet the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species under the Act.
Our 2023 Response: Our 2018 wolverine SSA report and 2023 SSA
report addendum provide a thorough assessment of the threats affecting
the North American wolverine in the contiguous United States. New
information related to the threats affecting the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine have led us to a different conclusion than
the one we presented in our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618). In this final rule, we examine the best available
information about threats to the wolverine, including effects from
roads, disturbance due to winter recreational activity, other human
disturbance, effects from wildland fire, disease, predation,
overutilization (trapping), genetic diversity, small population
effects, and climate change, including the cumulative effects of these
threats. See Summary of Biological Status and Threats, below, for a
complete discussion of threats affecting the DPS. After assessing the
best available information, we conclude that the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine is not currently in danger of extinction
but is likely to become in danger of extinction within the foreseeable
future throughout all of its range.
(12) Comment: We received comments from several industry groups
supporting our August 13, 2014, withdrawal (79 FR 47522) of our
February 4, 2013, proposed rule (78 FR 7864) to list the North American
wolverine as threatened. In general, their support rests on the
following: (1) The DPS determination presented in our previous proposed
rules (both 2010 and 2013) was flawed; (2) the North American wolverine
does not meet the definition of a threatened species; (3) the obligate
relationship with denning and need for snow has not been adequately
addressed (and may be a habitat preference); and (4) climate model
projections do not support complete loss of snow. They also urged us to
reaffirm prior findings that winter recreation (motorized and
nonmotorized) is not a threat to wolverines.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We reevaluated wolverines occurring
in the contiguous United States under our Policy Regarding the
Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate Population Segments Under the
Endangered Species Act (DPS policy; 61 FR 4722, February 7, 1996). See
Distinct Population Segment in the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618 at 64628-64631) for more information. We provided
our analysis of the status of wolverines in the contiguous United
States under Determination of Species Status in the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618 at 64645-64647). The topic of denning
behavior is discussed in the wolverine SSA report (see ``Use of Dens
and Denning Behavior'' under Reproduction and Growth in the wolverine
SSA report (Service 2018, pp. 23-28)). For our analysis of the effects
of climate change to North American wolverines and denning habitat, see
``Climate Change and Potential for Cumulative Effects'' in the October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618 at 64642-64644).
Our 2023 Response: In this final rule, we provide our revised
evaluation of discreteness and significance under our DPS policy of the
segment of the North American wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States considering new information available since the
publication of our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618).
We also explain how new information has led us to a different
determination from previous DPS analyses. The analysis contained in
this rulemaking supersedes and replaces any previous DPS analysis for
the segment of the North American wolverine occurring in the contiguous
United States. We conclude that the population of wolverines in the
contiguous United States is discrete and significant in relation to the
remainder of the species in North America. For more information, see
Distinct Population Segment Analysis for Wolverine in the Contiguous
United States, below.
The wolverine population in the contiguous United States is
expected to decrease in resiliency, redundancy, and representation in
the foreseeable future. The best available information suggests that
habitat loss as a result of climate change, and the resulting
exacerbating effect on other stressors, are likely to decrease the
viability of wolverines in the contiguous United States within this
century (see ``Summary of Future Condition'' and Determination of North
American Wolverine's Status, below). Our review of the best scientific
and commercial data available indicates that the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine meets the Act's definition of a threatened
species.
We acknowledge the precise causal mechanism(s) for the apparent
association of wolverine distribution with persistent spring snow are
not yet clear. The association could involve the importance of snow for
denning or other aspects of the species' biology and ecology. We
address uncertainties under Areas of Uncertainty for Wolverine Habitat
Needs, below. That said, we know that wolverines are a species that is
adapted to, and has a strong preference for, cold and snowy conditions
and that these conditions will be reduced in the future. The commenter
is accurate in that climate models do not predict a complete loss of
snow within the North American wolverine's range in the contiguous
United States. However, we expect climate change to reduce snowpack in
areas used by wolverines by as much as 50 percent in some places (see
our analysis under Climate Change, below). We conclude increasing
temperatures and decreasing snowpack have the
[[Page 83734]]
largest potential to influence the population viability of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine in the future.
Regarding winter recreation, new information supports our
understanding that some forms of winter recreation, backcountry
motorized recreation especially, have the potential to negatively
impact wolverines. See our response to (4) Comment, above, and
Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational Activity, below, for further
details.
Comments From Tribes
(14) Comment: We received comments from one consortium of Tribal
nations stating that, based on the weight of evidence provided in our
previous rules, the North American wolverine meets the Act's definition
of endangered or threatened and is therefore warranted for listing.
Specific threats mentioned in the comment letter included current
population status, winter recreation activities, and effects of climate
change. The Tribes also included comments documenting the cultural
value of the wolverine and connection to cultural practices and concern
for the loss of wolverine populations in the contiguous United States.
The Tribes encouraged the Service to use sound and solid science in the
listing determination and noted that additional population monitoring
and Tribal climate change modeling efforts are under way to evaluate
the status of the wolverine.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We appreciate the unique perspective
provided by the Tribal nations regarding the contribution of the North
American wolverine to the Tribes' culture and spirituality. We also
appreciate the commitment of the Tribal nations to continue studies of
wolverines.
We used the best available scientific information to provide a
detailed description of the North American wolverine's life history and
ecology, including a detailed discussion of wolverine denning habitat
and behavior. We conducted an analysis to assess the current population
status. Conservation measures and regulatory mechanisms relative to the
North American wolverine were also provided in the wolverine SSA
report. This information was used to evaluate the current and future
conditions of the DPS. We evaluated results from a fine-scale analysis
of the potential effects of climate change to future snowpack
conditions and found significant areas of snow (several hundred km\2\/
mi\2\) will persist on May 1 at elevations used by wolverines for
denning. We determined that, based on the best available information,
the North American wolverine in the contiguous United States did not
warrant listing as threatened or endangered under the Act in 2020.
Our 2023 Response: We appreciate the commitment of the Tribal
nations to further our knowledge of this unique species. We have
gathered the best available information on North American wolverines
and used this information to assess the current and future population
status of wolverines in the contiguous United States.
Regarding winter recreation, see our response to (4) Comment,
above, and Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational Activity, below, for
further details.
Regarding the effects of climate change to North American
wolverines, see our response to (1) Comment, above, and Climate Change,
below. We conclude that the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine is not currently in danger of extinction but is likely to
become in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future throughout
all of its range.
(15) Comment: We received comments from one Tribe whose territory
is occupied by the North American wolverine. The Tribe submitted a
comment letter in 2013 supporting our proposed listing. The Tribe
stated that the conservation and restoration of the wolverine and other
species within this homeland is of great importance to the Tribe's
subsistence, culture, religion, and economy. The letter also identified
conservation and management plans currently under development and
highlighted that the wolverine is designated as a species of concern in
these current draft plans. Specific comments were provided relative to
threats from climate change (including relative to demographic
stochasticity), recreation and urban development, and incidental take.
Included in those comments were references to other studies under way
(e.g., Adaptation Partners and climate change vulnerability
assessments; winter recreation study) to evaluate these potential
stressors.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We appreciate the perspective
provided regarding the importance of the North American wolverine and
other species to the Tribe and its commitment to current and future
conservation and management actions. We also appreciate and evaluated
the information presented in the citations that were provided in the
comment letter. The best available scientific information was used to
evaluate the current conditions (i.e., potential stressors, including
winter recreation) and future conditions (e.g., effects of climate
change) of the DPS. Based on the best available information, we
determined that the North American wolverine in the contiguous United
States did not warrant listing as endangered or threatened under the
Act in 2020.
Our 2023 Response: Information previously provided by the Tribe was
considered in the 2018 SSA report. We include new and updated
scientific information in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum,
including information on the current conditions (i.e., potential
stressors, including winter recreation) and future conditions (e.g.,
effects of climate change) of the DPS. Based on the best available
information, we now determine that the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine meets the Act's definition of a threatened species.
State Agency Comments
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we also
addressed the extensive comments from several western States, including
previously submitted comments in response to the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864) as well as additional comments
submitted in response to our October 18, 2016, document that reopened
the public comment period on the 2013 proposed listing rule (81 FR
71670). These comments were grouped together and summarized as
described below.
(16) Comment: We received detailed comments critical of our
reliance on ``unverified'' climate model projections in our February 4,
2013, proposed listing rule, the lack of discussion of assumptions in
adopting the model findings, the lack of evaluating alternative
hypotheses, and the need to evaluate these effects at the den-site
scale. One State agency recommended that, given the disagreements in
the scientific community on the interpretation of these results, the
Service solicit an independent, scientific review of the February 4,
2013, proposed listing rule.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In preparing the 2018 SSA report for
the North American wolverine, our foundational science document for
informing the October 13, 2020, withdrawal (85 FR 64618), we reviewed
available reports and peer-reviewed literature, incorporated survey
information for the purpose of preparing updated maps of the known
current and historical occurrences of the North American wolverine, and
contacted species experts to collect additional unpublished
information. We evaluated the appropriate analytical tools to
[[Page 83735]]
address data gaps and uncertainties. In some instances, we used
publications and other reports of the Eurasian subspecies (Gulo gulo
gulo) to fully inform our knowledge of the North American wolverine
(Gulo gulo luscus).
Before finalizing the 2018 SSA report, the draft wolverine SSA
report was submitted for peer review to four independent peer reviewers
and submitted to our Federal, State, and Tribal partners for scientific
review. We incorporated the results of these reviews in the 2018
wolverine SSA report, as appropriate.
We recognized that climate trends and future (2055 and later)
climate model projections indicated warming temperatures for much of
western North America, and changes to snowpack conditions. Our
assessment of climate change impacts indicated that large areas
(several hundred km\2\/mi\2\ for each study area) of future snow
(greater than 0.5 m (20 in) in depth) would persist on May 1 at
elevations currently used by wolverines for denning. This was true, on
average, across the range of climate models used out to approximately
year 2055.
Our 2023 Response: In the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum, we
expanded upon our climate analysis from the 2018 SSA report. Both SSA
documents went through an independent, scientific peer review process.
The assessment of the climate modeling results, presented below under
Climate Change, and applied in the ``Summary of Future Condition''
discussion, replaces and supersedes the analysis of modeling results
presented in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864)
and the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). We
acknowledge there are uncertainties around the nature of the
wolverine's relationship with cold and snowy conditions (see Areas of
Uncertainty for Wolverine Habitat Needs, below). Cold and snowy
conditions at high elevations favored by wolverines in the contiguous
United States are expected to decrease, with spring snowpack at denning
elevations decreasing as much as 50 percent in some areas.
(17) Comment: We received comments critical of our previous support
for findings by Schwartz et al. (2009) regarding effective population
size. Relatedly, several States commented on recent dispersal/movements
of wolverines into California, Colorado, and Utah as evidence of
population expansion.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we referred to our response to (2) Comment for
a discussion of effective population size (85 FR 64618 at 64620).
Regarding recent occurrences of wolverines in the contiguous United
States, we noted that wolverines had recently been found in areas where
they were once extirpated in the contiguous United States. See
``Population Abundance and Density'' in the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618 at 64634-64636) for more information.
Our 2023 Response: The best available estimate of effective
population size for the Northern Rocky Mountains continues to be that
provided by Schwartz et al. 2009 (p. 3226): 35 (credible interval = 28-
52). We estimated the effective population size of wolverines in the
North Cascades to be four (Service 2023, p. 27). We are not aware of
any other estimates of the effective population size of North American
wolverines in the contiguous United States. See also our response to
(2) Comment, above, and Effective Population Size in the Contiguous
United States, below, for more information.
We have gathered updated occurrence information in our 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum (Service 2023, figure 2). We acknowledge
that there are recent occurrences of wolverines in the western United
States in areas where they have not been reported for years or very
rarely (California, Colorado, Oregon, and Utah). These occurrences
outside of the known breeding distribution are encouraging, but there
is no evidence of breeding population expansion into California,
Colorado, Oregon, and Utah.
(18) Comment: We received comments from several western States
presenting clarifications or updates to incidental trapping events and
trapping regulations.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: We noted that trapping or hunting of
wolverines was not allowed in any western State (with the exception of
Alaska, which was not included in the DPS in our February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864)). Legal protections for wolverines
are codified in western State laws and regulations concerning hunting
and trapping. Since 2013, there has been a zero quota for trapping or
harvest of wolverines in Montana. We described the documentation of
incidental trapping of wolverines in the contiguous United States (as
recently as December 2017) and noted that not all events resulted in
mortality. We acknowledged that both Idaho and Montana are implementing
trapper education programs to minimize nontarget wolverine captures.
Our 2023 Response: We gathered updated information from States
within the North American wolverine's range about incidental trapping,
trapping regulations, and measures taken by States to prevent
incidental trapping of wolverines. Lethal incidental trapping of
wolverines has been minimal (1 to 2 animals per year), primarily
occurring in Idaho and Montana. In the Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational Purposes discussion, below, we
provide an assessment of incidental trapping and the measures States
are taking to reduce incidental trapping of wolverines.
(19) Comment: Several States provided comments in response to our
February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864) and our October
18, 2016, reopening of the public comment period (81 FR 71670)
indicating their disagreement with our determination of a wolverine DPS
for the contiguous United States. Specifically, some commenters stated
that the criteria of significance should be reevaluated, noting that
the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule did not provide any
substantive information to support our conclusion that the loss of the
wolverine in the contiguous United States would result in a significant
gap in the range of the species; that is, our previous use of the loss
of latitudinal range does not provide a rational basis for concluding
that the loss of the wolverine in the contiguous United States would be
significant in relation to the taxon. Another commenter stated that the
wolverine population in the contiguous United States is connected
geographically and genetically to the Canada/Alaska populations and
these northern populations were likely the source of recolonization
during the 20th century. Further, this commenter stated there is not a
difference in control of exploitation and conservation status between
the United States and Canada.
Another commenter noted that, throughout the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule, the Service acknowledged that, historically, the
wolverine population in the contiguous United States was markedly
reduced by systematic predator control programs and unregulated
trapping. The commenter pointed out that areas of suitable habitat in
the North Cascades, where trapping has been minimal or nonexistent for
decades, and northern Rockies were recolonized by animals from Canada,
where relatively liberal trapping is still allowed. The commenter
asserted that our characterization in the February 4, 2013, proposed
listing rule of ``liberal''
[[Page 83736]]
Canadian regulations as sufficient to ``maintain the robust
conservation status of the Canadian population,'' does not comport with
our characterization that the very limited trapping in the contiguous
United States (Montana only) is insufficient to maintain the rebounding
population designated as a DPS.
Our 2020 Response Summarized: In light of the updated analysis and
new information included in the 2018 wolverine SSA report, we
reevaluated wolverines in the contiguous United States under our DPS
policy. We concluded that the population of wolverines in the
contiguous United States was not discrete in relation to the remainder
of the species in North America. As a result, in 2020, the population
of wolverines in the contiguous United States was not a listable entity
under section 3(16) of the Act. See Distinct Population Segment in the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618 at 64627-64631) for
more information.
Our 2023 Response: As stated above, in this final rule we provide
our revised evaluation of discreteness and significance under the DPS
policy of the segment of the North American wolverine occurring in the
contiguous United States considering new information. We also explain
how new information has led us to different conclusions from previous
DPS analyses. The analysis contained in this rulemaking supersedes and
replaces any previous DPS analysis for the segment of the North
American wolverine occurring in the contiguous United States.
Regarding the commenter's concern with the significance analysis,
we have determined, as we did in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing
rule, that there is evidence that the loss of the wolverine in the
contiguous United States would result in a significant gap in the range
of the taxon. Based upon the loss of approximately 58,998,140 acres
(238,757 km\2\) of high-quality wolverine habitat from the southern
extent of the range and the adaptive potential that part of the range
provides against oncoming climate change impacts, and the 12-degree
latitudinal gap in the wolverine's range that would result if the U.S.
population was lost, we determine that the loss of the contiguous U.S.
wolverine population would result in a significant gap in the range of
the taxon. Thus, the DPS meets the definition of significant in our DPS
policy. For more information see Analysis of Significance, below.
Regarding the commenter's assertion that wolverines in the
contiguous United States are connected to Canada, which relates to the
discreteness analysis of our DPS policy, we do not consider wolverines
in the contiguous United States to be genetically or morphologically
discontinuous from wolverines in Canada (McKelvey et al. 2014, entire;
Pilgrim and Schwartz 2018, entire; Sawaya et al. 2023, entire).
Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous United States are not discrete
based on marked separation from other populations of the same taxon.
However, we determined that the wolverine meets the discreteness
criterion in our DPS policy (61 FR 4722; February 7, 1996), as
delimited by the international boundary with Canada and given
differences in control of exploitation, conservation status, and
regulatory mechanisms that are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. See Analysis of Discreteness, below, for more
information.
Finally, regarding the commenter's point about our characterization
in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule of trapping in Canada
versus the contiguous United States, we have considered updated
trapping information in our DPS analysis. New information available
since the publication of our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618) indicates that overharvest from trapping in Canada was likely
causing more of an impact than previously thought. Recent studies show
that harvest levels in portions of southeastern British Columbia and
southwestern Alberta were unsustainable and causing population declines
(Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et al. 2022, entire) and could
negatively impact movement of individuals from Canada to the contiguous
United States (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). We now conclude that the
differences between Canada and the United States in control of
exploitation are significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act
and the wolverine population in the contiguous United States meets the
DPS policy's standard for ``discreteness.'' See Analysis of
Discreteness, below, for more information.
We conclude that the population of wolverines in the contiguous
United States is discrete and significant in relation to the remainder
of the species in North America. For our complete DPS analysis, see
Distinct Population Segment Analysis for Wolverine in the Contiguous
United States, below.
Comments Received in Response to Our November 23, 2022, Publication
As stated above, on November 23, 2022, we published a document in
the Federal Register (87 FR 71557) soliciting new information to update
the wolverine SSA so that we could reevaluate whether the North
American wolverine occurring in the contiguous United States is a
distinct population segment and, if so, whether the distinct population
segment meets the definition of an endangered or threatened species
under the Act. This document also notified the public that the February
4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864) had been reinstated as a
result of court action. In response to the November 23, 2022,
publication, we received additional information including survey
results, reports, documented mortalities, management efforts, and
recent wolverine literature that we evaluated and incorporated as
appropriate into our wolverine SSA report addendum. Although not
requested, we also received comments from submitters on topics related
to determinations regarding wolverine, including whether the wolverine
should or should not be listed as an endangered or threatened species
under the Act. The comments we received are similar to those we present
and respond to above.
Peer Reviewer Comments on the 2023 Wolverine SSA Report Addendum
We received comments from three peer reviewers on the draft
wolverine SSA report addendum. We reviewed all comments we received
from the peer reviewers for substantive issues regarding the
information contained in the wolverine SSA report addendum, as well as
any new information. The peer reviewers generally provided additional
references, clarifications, and suggestions, including further
definitions of some of the terms used in the wolverine SSA report
addendum. We updated the wolverine SSA report addendum based on the
peer reviewers' comments, including revising some of our adaptive
capacity scores, clarifying specific points where appropriate, and
adding additional details and suggested references where needed. Peer
reviewer comments are addressed in the following summary.
(PR1) Comment: Regarding our climate change analysis, one peer
reviewer did not agree with our initial characterization of the shared
socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 5-8.5 emissions scenario as worst case, and
stated there are possible scenarios that could be more extreme. They
also recommended the wolverine SSA report addendum more clearly point
out the uncertainty around the climate models and emissions scenarios
by stating the scenarios are representative of a large
[[Page 83737]]
portion of plausible outcomes, but not all.
Our Response: We addressed the peer reviewer's concern by removing
mention of likelihood when discussing specific emissions scenarios. We
also modified the text to include the latest guidance from the White
House Office of Science and Technology Policy on Selecting Climate
Information to Use in Climate Risk and Impact Assessments (OSTP 2023,
entire), which recommends using SSP5-8.5 as an upper bounding scenario.
We applied SSP5-8.5 as the upper bound to estimate future snow cover
available for wolverines within the selected domains.
(PR2) Comment: A peer reviewer questioned why we used the SSP2-4.5
and SSP5-8.5 emissions scenarios for our future condition analysis.
They suggested we use SSP1-1.9 instead of SSP2-4.5 since it is the
opposite extreme of SSP5-8.5.
Our Response: For our future analysis, we used SSP2-4.5 because
that emissions scenario is closest to the current emissions trajectory
we are on now, which provides a plausible lower boundary estimate of
future snow cover available for North American wolverines. The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recently deemed
our ability to limit warming to 1.5 [deg]C (2.7 [deg]F) (SSP1-1.9) as
``impossible'' with no or limited overshoot in its 2022 gap analysis
(Riahi et al. 2022, p. 298). Scenario SSP5-8.5 reflects a no-emissions
mitigation policy, which provides a plausible upper boundary estimate
of available future snow cover.
(PR3) Comment: A peer reviewer was concerned that the wolverine SSA
report addendum did not list snow as an important attribute when
studies have shown dens are concordant with spring snow coverage. The
peer reviewer disagreed with our reasoning for excluding snow, which
was because we do not know how it impacts survival and reproduction,
and stated we should also remove food habits, physical features, and
home range size since it is not clear how any of these impact survival
and reproduction. They believe the case for snow is much stronger than
any of these other factors.
Our Response: We considered the information provided and addressed
the peer reviewer's concern by updating the wolverine SSA report
addendum to include snow as an important attribute of wolverine
habitat.
(PR4) Comment: One peer reviewer was concerned about the use of
spring snow cover for distribution. They questioned our use of the term
``persistent spring snow'' and the May 15 end date that is often
associated with the term. The peer reviewer recommended analyzing snow
cover between February and March, when young are newborn and most in
need of thermal cover in natal dens. The reviewer believed that any
analysis of climate change effects at those more critical times for
denning would not likely show impacts.
Our Response: We used the term ``persistent spring snow'' in the
wolverine SSA report addendum because it is a term frequently used in
the scientific literature for wolverines and appears to be correlated
to the wolverine's circumpolar distribution. Snow model outputs for May
1 are presented in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum. May 1 was
used based on previous studies documented in the 2018 SSA (Service
2018, p. 26), indicating wolverine den site abandonment generally
occurs before May 1. We acknowledge that young kits are in natal dens
usually from mid-February to mid-March, so the use of May 1 snow
projections is a conservative approach, but one which is consistent
with the literature.
As described in the wolverine SSA report addendum, there are a
number of hypotheses for why wolverines prefer cold and snowy habitats,
and not all of them are limited to denning (i.e., easier to get food,
more food caching sites, etc.). These things could be important for
adults throughout the breeding cycle or for juveniles as they become
more independent from their mothers. We also discuss the possibility of
other factors that are correlated to persistent spring snow, such as
low temperatures (also analyzed in Copeland et al. 2010, entire), being
the causal mechanisms for the observed relationship. In the wolverine
SSA report addendum, we acknowledge wolverines have been documented
denning in areas without persistent spring snow (Aronsson and Persson
2017, p. 266; Copeland et al. 2010, pp. 240-242; Fisher et al. 2022, p.
8; Jokinen et al. 2019, pp. 6-8; Persson et al. 2023, entire; Webb et
al. 2016, pp. 1466-1467); however, this phenomenon appears to be
associated with cold, high-latitude boreal or arctic forests rather
than the alpine habitats used by wolverines in the contiguous United
States. In the contiguous United States, there is no evidence that
wolverines have denned in areas without persistent spring snow.
(PR5) Comment: One peer reviewer recommended including potential
ways wolverines could adapt their denning behavior or use smaller or
shallower patches of snow for denning in response to effects from
climate change.
Our Response: We added language to the wolverine SSA report
addendum to address this comment and we also included additional text
that snow may be important for more than just denning. As stated above,
there is no evidence that wolverines have denned in areas without
persistent spring snow in the contiguous United States.
(PR6) Comment: A peer reviewer pointed out that future recreation
will not just increase due to an increase in the human population, but
also because snow-dependent recreational activities will be constrained
to a smaller area that still contains quality snow in the future.
Our Response: We included text in the wolverine SSA report addendum
reflecting the reviewer's comment.
(PR7) Comment: One peer reviewer suggested adding Colorado's
wolverine reintroduction plan to the wolverine SSA report addendum as a
voluntary conservation measure.
Our Response: We updated the wolverine SSA report addendum to
include a description of Colorado Parks and Wildlife's previous
consideration of reintroducing wolverines to Colorado as a nonessential
experimental population (see 78 FR 7890, February 4, 2013). We also
describe how this proposal was subsequently withdrawn in 2014 (see 79
FR 47522, August 13, 2014), when we withdrew the February 4, 2013,
proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), and that there is currently no
formal proposal to reintroduce wolverines to Colorado.
(PR8) Comment: Two peer reviewers provided additional documentation
regarding roads acting as a barrier to wolverine dispersal. Both
provided different situations where at least one wolverine was seen
crossing roadways, including a multiple-lane highway. One peer reviewer
also mentioned regularly seeing wolverine tracks crossing roadways.
Our Response: We updated the wolverine SSA report addendum to
reflect these observations and modified the text to clarify that
highways can limit female gene flow in some situations, but they are
not complete barriers to wolverine movements.
(PR9) Comment: One peer reviewer questioned how the artificial
cutoff of the U.S.-Canada international border influenced the results
of the 2009 effective population size analysis (Schwartz et al. 2009,
entire).
Our Response: The effective population size estimate was only for
the U.S. portion of the Northern Rockies, and there were no samples
taken from Canada. As we stated in the wolverine SSA report addendum,
connectivity to larger source
[[Page 83738]]
populations can alleviate the adverse effects of small effective
population sizes (Frankham et al. 2014, entire). We also added a
paragraph to the wolverine SSA report addendum to explain that because
effective population size estimates for wolverine are small,
connectivity with populations in Canada to allow for migration and gene
flow is crucial to maintaining genetic diversity.
(PR10) Comment: One peer reviewer was concerned that current data
for the wolverine are not being compared to what is known historically.
They specifically called out the comparison of population sizes, the
distribution and abundance of wolverines in the contiguous United
States, and the results of genetic studies.
Our Response: As the peer reviewer mentioned, there is a lack of
historical data to compare to current conditions. However, our
assessment is a forward-looking one, based on current and future
conditions, and not the change from historical conditions to current
conditions.
(PR11) Comment: One peer reviewer questioned the 40 percent decline
in wolverine abundance within a national park complex in southwestern
Canada (Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et al. 2022, entire).
Our Response: The Barrueto et al. (2022) effort is a decade-long
research project that was peer reviewed and published in a scientific
journal. We note that the initial population estimate was approximately
50 wolverines at the start of the study, so a 40 percent decline over
10 years results in the loss of approximately 15-20 wolverines. The
wolverine SSA report addendum has been updated to provide this
additional detail.
(PR12) Comment: A peer reviewer suggested including additional
detail on how species-specific trapping and snaring reduce the
likelihood of incidentally capturing a wolverine.
Our Response: We updated the wolverine SSA report addendum to
include how trappers use pan tension, site selection, and snare height
to reduce the likelihood of incidental capture. We also included
additional information we received from the States on their efforts to
reduce incidental trapping of wolverines.
(PR13) Comment: One peer reviewer suggested that the median and
quartiles presented in our modeling may not accurately capture the
variability in environmental conditions. The reviewer suggested that in
addition to calculating the lower-quartile, median, and upper-quartile
at each individual grid cell and timestep, we should also calculate the
maximum and minimum bracketing response.
Our Response: We did not conduct the additional suggested analysis.
The additional analysis would require significant work and time, and we
conclude our approach includes the majority of plausible future
outcomes and incorporates the best available information to inform our
listing determination.
I. Final Listing Determination
Background
A comprehensive review of the life history, population trends, and
ecology of the North American wolverine is presented in the wolverine
SSA report (Service 2018, pp. 3-44) and wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, entire). The Service recognizes the North American
wolverine as the subspecies Gulo gulo luscus (Service 2018, p. 8).
Wolverines are a medium-sized (about 1 m (3.3 feet (ft)) in length)
carnivore, with a large head, broad forehead, and short neck (Service
2018, p. 4). Wolverines have heavy musculature and relatively short
legs, and large feet with strong, curved claws for digging and climbing
(Service 2018, p. 4). Their feet are adapted for travel through deep
snow and, during the winter, dense, stiff, bristle-type hairs are found
between the toes and around the foot pad. This characteristic becomes
diminished in the summer (Service 2018, p. 4). The wolverine is the
largest terrestrial member of the Mustelidae family, which includes
weasel, fisher, mink, marten, and others, and resembles a small bear
with a bushy tail (Service 2018, p. 1). Wolverines possess a number of
morphological and physiological adaptations that allow them to travel
long distances, and they maintain large territories in remote areas
(Service 2018, p. 1). They have been described as curious, intelligent,
and playful but cautious animals, though their social behavior and
social organization has not been well-studied (Service 2018, p. 1). In
North America, wolverines are found in Alaska, much of Canada, and the
western-northwestern United States.
During the late 1800s and early 1900s, the wolverine population
declined or was extirpated in much of the contiguous United States
(lower 48 States), which was most likely the result of unregulated
trapping and predator poisoning campaigns. Following regulation of
trapping and restrictions on the use of poison, the wolverine
population rebounded to some extent, and their distribution expanded to
refill a portion of their previously extirpated range. In the
contiguous United States, wolverines are known to reproduce in
Washington, Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming (Service 2023, figure 3).
Solitary individuals or lone dispersing individuals have been observed
in other western States (Oregon, Colorado, Utah, and California), but
there is no evidence of reproduction in the contiguous United States
outside of the Northern Rocky Mountains in Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming
and the Cascade Mountains of Washington.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and the implementing
regulations in title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations set forth
the procedures for determining whether a species is an endangered
species or a threatened species, issuing protective regulations for
threatened species, and designating critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species. In 2019, jointly with the National Marine Fisheries
Service, the Service issued a final rule that revised the regulations
in 50 CFR part 424 regarding how we add, remove, and reclassify
endangered and threatened species and the criteria for designating
listed species' critical habitat (84 FR 45020; August 27, 2019). On the
same day, the Service also issued final regulations that, for species
listed as threatened species after September 26, 2019, eliminated the
Service's general protective regulations automatically applying to
threatened species the prohibitions that section 9 of the Act applies
to endangered species (84 FR 44753; August 27, 2019).
The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a species that is in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we
determine whether any species is an endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
These factors represent broad categories of natural or human-caused
[[Page 83739]]
actions or conditions that could have an effect on a species' continued
existence. In evaluating these actions and conditions, we look for
those that may have a negative effect on individuals of the species, as
well as other actions or conditions that may ameliorate any negative
effects or may have positive effects.
We use the term ``threat'' to refer in general to actions or
conditions that are known to or are reasonably likely to negatively
affect individuals of a species. The term ``threat'' includes actions
or conditions that have a direct impact on individuals (direct
impacts), as well as those that affect individuals through alteration
of their habitat or required resources (stressors). The term ``threat''
may encompass--either together or separately--the source of the action
or condition or the action or condition itself.
However, the mere identification of any threat(s) does not
necessarily mean that the species meets the statutory definition of an
``endangered species'' or a ``threatened species.'' In determining
whether a species meets either definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the species' expected response and
the effects of the threats--in light of those actions and conditions
that will ameliorate the threats--on an individual, population, and
species level. We evaluate each threat and its expected effects on the
species, then analyze the cumulative effect of all of the threats on
the species as a whole. We also consider the cumulative effect of the
threats in light of those actions and conditions that will have
positive effects on the species, such as any existing regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts. The Secretary determines whether
the species meets the definition of an ``endangered species'' or a
``threatened species'' only after conducting this cumulative analysis
and describing the expected effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future,'' which
appears in the statutory definition of ``threatened species.'' Our
implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a framework for
evaluating the foreseeable future on a case-by-case basis. The term
``foreseeable future'' extends only so far into the future as we can
reasonably determine that both the future threats and the species'
responses to those threats are likely. In other words, the foreseeable
future is the period of time in which we can make reliable predictions.
``Reliable'' does not mean ``certain''; it means sufficient to provide
a reasonable degree of confidence in the prediction. Thus, a prediction
is reliable if it is reasonable to depend on it when making decisions.
It is not always possible or necessary to define the foreseeable
future as a particular number of years. Analysis of the foreseeable
future uses the best scientific and commercial data available and
should consider the timeframes applicable to the relevant threats and
to the species' likely responses to those threats in view of its life-
history characteristics. Data that are typically relevant to assessing
the species' biological response include species-specific factors such
as lifespan, reproductive rates or productivity, certain behaviors, and
other demographic factors.
Analytical Framework
The wolverine SSA report and SSA report addendum document the
results of our comprehensive biological review of the best scientific
and commercial data regarding the status of the North American
wolverine, including an assessment of the potential threats to the
subspecies occurring in the contiguous United States. The wolverine SSA
report and SSA report addendum do not represent our decision on whether
the North American wolverine should be listed as an endangered or
threatened species under the Act. However, they do provide the
scientific basis that informs our regulatory decisions, which involve
the further application of standards within the Act and its
implementing regulations and policies.
To assess viability of the North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States, we used the three conservation biology
principles of resiliency, redundancy, and representation (Shaffer and
Stein 2000, pp. 306-310). Briefly, resiliency is the ability of the
species to withstand environmental and demographic stochasticity (for
example, wet or dry, warm or cold years); redundancy is the ability of
the species to withstand catastrophic events (for example, droughts,
large pollution events), and representation is the ability of the
species to adapt to both near-term and long-term changes in its
physical and biological environment (for example, climate conditions,
pathogen). In general, species viability will increase with increases
in resiliency, redundancy, and representation (Smith et al. 2018, p.
306). Using these principles, we identified the subspecies' ecological
requirements for survival and reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and described the beneficial and risk
factors influencing the subspecies' viability.
The SSA process can be categorized into three sequential stages.
During the first stage, we evaluated the individual subspecies' life-
history needs. The next stage involved an assessment of the historical
and current condition of the subspecies' demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an explanation of how the species arrived at
its current condition. The final stage of the SSA involved making
predictions about the subspecies' responses to positive and negative
environmental and anthropogenic influences. Throughout all of these
stages, we used the best available information to characterize
viability as the ability of a species (which, under the Act, includes
any subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants, and any DPS of any
species of vertebrate fish or wildlife which interbreeds when mature)
to sustain populations in the wild over time. We use this information
to inform our regulatory decision.
Later in this document, we present a summary of the key results and
conclusions from the 2018 wolverine SSA report and 2023 wolverine SSA
report addendum; the full SSA report and SSA report addendum can be
found at Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2023-0216 on https://www.regulations.gov
and at https://ecos.fws.gov/ecp/species/5123.
Distinct Population Segment
Pursuant to the Act, we must consider for listing any species,
subspecies, or, for vertebrates, any DPS of these taxa, if there is
sufficient information to indicate that such action may be warranted.
To interpret and implement the DPS provision of the Act and
Congressional guidance, the Service and the National Marine Fisheries
Service published, on February 7, 1996, an interagency Policy Regarding
the Recognition of Distinct Vertebrate Population Segments under the
Act (DPS policy; 61 FR 4722, February 7, 1996). The DPS policy
addresses the recognition of DPSs for potential listing actions. The
DPS policy allows for more refined application of the Act that better
reflects the biological needs of the taxon being considered, and avoids
the inclusion of entities that do not require its protective measures.
Under our DPS policy, three elements are considered in a decision
regarding the status of a possible DPS as endangered or threatened
under the Act. These are applied similarly for additions to the Lists
of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants (Lists),
reclassification, and removal from the Lists. They are: (1)
Discreteness of the
[[Page 83740]]
population segment in relation to the remainder of the taxon; (2) the
biological or ecological significance of the population segment to the
taxon to which it belongs; and (3) the population segment's
conservation status in relation to the Act's standards for listing
(i.e., whether the population segment is, when treated as if it were a
species or subspecies, an endangered or threatened species).
Discreteness refers to the degree of isolation of a population from
other members of the species, and we evaluate this factor based on
specific criteria. If a population segment is considered discrete, we
must consider whether the discrete segment is ``significant'' to the
taxon to which it belongs by using the best available scientific and
commercial information. When determining if a potential DPS is
significant, our policy directs us to sparingly list DPSs while
encouraging the conservation of genetic diversity. If we determine that
a population segment is both discrete and significant, we then evaluate
it for endangered or threatened species status based on the Act's
standards.
We have conducted several DPS analyses of wolverines in the
contiguous United States since 2010 in response to new information and
legal challenges. We first found that the population qualified as a DPS
in our 2010 12-month finding (75 FR 78030; December 14, 2010) on a
petition to list the population as a DPS. We reaffirmed and summarized
this finding in our February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR
7864). In 2020, we reversed our previous finding, based on information
at the time which suggested the population was not discrete from
wolverine populations in Canada (85 FR 64618; October 13, 2020). Below,
we provide our revised evaluation of discreteness and significance
under the DPS policy of the segment of the North American wolverine
occurring in the contiguous United States. Where necessary and
appropriate below, we explain how new information has led us to
different conclusions from previous DPS analyses. The analysis
contained in this rulemaking supersedes and replaces any previous DPS
analysis for the segment of the North American wolverine occurring in
the contiguous United States. We determined that the contiguous U.S.
population of the North American wolverine meets the discreteness
criterion in our DPS policy; it is delimited by the international
boundary with Canada, and there are differences between the United
States and Canada regarding control of exploitation, conservation
status, and regulatory mechanisms that are significant in light of
section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. We then determined that the North
American wolverine population occurring in the contiguous United States
is significant because its loss would result in a significant gap in
the range of the taxon.
Distinct Population Segment Analysis for Wolverine in the Contiguous
United States
Analysis of Discreteness
Under our DPS policy, a population segment of a vertebrate species
may be considered discrete if it satisfies either one of the following
conditions: (1) It is markedly separated from other populations of the
same taxon as a consequence of physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors (quantitative measures of genetic or morphological
discontinuity may provide evidence of this separation); or (2) it is
delimited by international governmental boundaries within which
differences in control of exploitation, management of habitat,
conservation status, or regulatory mechanisms exist that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act (inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms).
Discreteness Based on Marked Separation
In our February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864), we did
not find marked separation from other populations to support
discreteness of the contiguous U.S. wolverine population. We also did
not find marked separation to support discreteness in our October 13,
2020, withdrawal (85 FR 64618). Our review of the new information
presented in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum has not altered
that conclusion; we continue to find that there are no physical,
physiological, ecological, or behavioral factors separating wolverines
in the contiguous United States from wolverines in Canada. We do not
consider wolverines in the contiguous United States to be genetically
or morphologically discontinuous from wolverines in Canada based on
genetic information that supports that Canadian wolverines repopulated
the contiguous United States over the past several decades and there
are no unique haplotypes in the contiguous U.S. population (McKelvey et
al. 2014, entire; Pilgrim and Schwartz 2018, entire; Sawaya et al.
2023, entire). Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous United States
are not discrete based on marked separation from other populations of
the same taxon.
We next evaluate whether the wolverine population in the contiguous
United States is discrete based on the international boundary with
Canada. We separately consider below whether there is discreteness
based on differences between the two countries in terms of control of
exploitation, management of habitat, conservation status, or regulatory
mechanisms that are significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the
Act (inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms).
Discreteness Based on the International Border--Differences in Control
of Exploitation
In our 2010 12-month finding (75 FR 78030; December 14, 2010) and
2013 proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864; February 4, 2013), we noted
that differences in control of exploitation exist between the United
States and Canada, but concluded those differences did not result in
discreteness because the differences favored the contiguous U.S.
population, the population that is at risk. In the wolverine 2018 SSA
report, we noted that trapping or hunting of wolverines is currently
prohibited in the contiguous United States and is allowed in Canada
(Service 2018, pp. 68-69). In that 2018 SSA report, we included an
analysis of trapping efforts in southern Canada and trapping effort
along the U.S.-Canada border, and based on that analysis, we found
trapping to be limited. We again concluded in our October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618) that the differences in exploitation
were not significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act
(inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms).
However, new information available since the publication of the
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document indicates that trapping in Canada
was likely causing more of an impact than previously thought. Recent
studies show that harvest levels in portions of southeastern British
Columbia and southwestern Alberta were unsustainable and causing
population declines (Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et al. 2022,
entire). The areas evaluated are close enough to the international
border that dispersing individuals would be likely to provide important
genetic diversity and demographic rescue to the population in the
contiguous United States. Harvest levels in Canada could negatively
impact movement of individuals from Canada because, with reduced
populations in Canada, there is less pressure on individuals to move
south to areas in the United States to find suitable vacant home ranges
(Sawaya
[[Page 83741]]
2023, pers. comm.). Furthermore, female wolverines appear less likely
to disperse long distances or across major roadways compared to males
(Sawaya et al. 2019, pp. 621-23). According to the latest genetic
analyses, virtually all of the recent movement of wolverines from
Canada to the United States appears to be by males (Sawaya et al. 2023,
pp. 12-14, 17). Although there is now a trapping moratorium in
southeastern British Columbia (British Columbia 2022, p. 76), it is
unclear how long the moratorium will be in place or what the legacy
effects of recent overharvest in southern British Columbia will be. In
addition, trapping continues to be allowed in portions of southern
Alberta. We conclude that harvest in Canada will continue to be an
impediment to effective dispersal of wolverines into the United States.
This, in turn, is likely to impact future genetic integrity of the
population in the contiguous United States and limit the ability for
demographic rescue should wolverines decline in number within the
contiguous United States. Thus, we now conclude, based on new
information, that the differences between Canada and the United States
in control of exploitation are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. Existing regulations in Canada have been
inadequate to address this exploitation. Alberta continues to allow
trapping in areas important for potential dispersing wolverines, and
there is uncertainty on the length and effectiveness of the trapping
moratorium in British Columbia and the long-term population effects of
the recent overharvest there. As a result, we conclude the wolverine
population in the contiguous United States meets the standard of
``discreteness'' and we use the international border between the United
States and Canada to define the northern boundary of the contiguous
U.S. wolverine discrete population.
Discreteness Based on the International Border--Differences in
Management of Habitat
In the 2013 proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864; February 4, 2013)
and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we stated that
management activities (e.g., timber harvest, wildland firefighting,
prescribed fire, and silviculture) can modify wolverine habitat, but
this species appears to be little affected by changes to the vegetative
characteristics of its habitat. However, recent research in Canada
indicates that wolverines and other carnivores can be displaced from
habitat that is subject to human disturbance that includes harvest cut-
blocks in forested habitat (Frey et al. 2020, entire). That said, most
wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States occurs at high
elevations in rugged terrain that is not usually conducive to intensive
forms of silviculture and timber harvest. Although recent information
indicates wolverines may be affected by disturbance from some types of
habitat management, these disturbances occur in both the contiguous
United States and southern Canada, where forested alpine habitats are
managed in relatively similar ways and are relatively limited in scope
and scale in wolverine habitat. Therefore, there are no significant
differences in management of habitat between the United States and
Canada pursuant to 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
Discreteness Based on the International Border--Differences in
Conservation Status
In the December 14, 2010, 12-month finding (75 FR 78030), which is
summarized in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864),
we found that the wolverine population in the contiguous United States
met the second DPS discreteness condition because of differences in
conservation status as delimited by the U.S.-Canada international
governmental boundary. We found that those differences were substantial
and significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. We stated
that in the remaining current range in Canada and Alaska, wolverines
exist in well-distributed, interconnected, large populations. We added
that, conversely, wolverine populations in the remaining contiguous
U.S. range appear to be at numbers so low that their continued
existence could be at risk, especially in light of the threats to the
subspecies. In the 2010 12-month finding, we stated that risks come
from three main factors: (1) Small total population size; (2) effective
population size below that needed to maintain genetic diversity and
demographic stability; and (3) the fragmented nature of wolverine
habitat in the contiguous United States that results in smaller,
isolated patches separated by unsuitable habitat. As a result, we
concluded that the contiguous U.S. population of the wolverine met the
discreteness criterion in our DPS policy. Consequently, we used the
international border between the United States and Canada to define the
northern boundary of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine in our December 14, 2010, 12-month finding (75 FR 78030) and
our February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864).
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), based
on new information at the time, we concluded there were not significant
differences in control of exploitation, conservation status, and
management of habitat, nor other threats to the wolverine requiring
regulatory mechanisms to address them, and we concluded that there are
no differences in regulatory mechanisms between the United States and
Canada that are significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
As a result, we concluded that the contiguous U.S. population of the
North American wolverine did not meet the discreteness criterion in our
DPS policy. Below, we revisit discreteness based on the international
border and differences in conservation status considering new
information presented in the wolverine SSA report addendum.
Small Total Population Size--Wolverine population densities vary
across North America and have been described as naturally low (van Zyll
de Jong 1975, p. 434) given the species' large home range, wide-ranging
movements, and solitary characteristics (Service 2018, p. 56). There
are far fewer wolverines in the contiguous United States (around 300)
than there are in Canada (more than 15,000) and Alaska (likely in the
thousands) (Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada
(COSEWIC) 2014, pp. 36, 47; Inman et al. 2013, p. 282; Service 2018, p.
71), but this is largely a reflection of the amount of suitable habitat
available within the contiguous United States (both currently and
historically) for a species that needs large, exclusive territories.
Even if wolverines occupied all available habitat in the contiguous
United States, their populations would still be relatively small
compared to Canada (i.e., the population capacity estimate was 644 (95%
confidence interval (CI) = 506-1881) (Inman et al. 2013, p. 282). A
small population in the contiguous United States would be less of a
conservation concern if there were greater connectivity with the larger
populations in Canada.
Recent genetic information indicates wolverines from Canada have
slowly repopulated the contiguous United States over the past century
since the era of unregulated predator removal (Service 2018, pp. 45-50;
Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). We stated in the December 14, 2010, 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030) that differences in population sizes between the
contiguous United States and Canada were reflective of a difference in
conservation status. In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618), based on new information, we concluded that the contiguous
U.S. wolverines represent a peripheral
[[Page 83742]]
population at the southern extent of the North American wolverine's
range. Thus, we considered the small population size of wolverines in
the United States to be a natural result of the limited habitat
available and not reflective of a difference in conservation status.
Our 2020 determination on this point was made with the understanding
that there was sufficient connectivity with Canada such that dispersing
wolverines could bolster the small population in the contiguous United
States. However, new information on wolverine dispersal and genetic
connectivity indicates that wolverines appear to be impacted by recent
overharvest in Canada, barriers to female wolverine dispersal, and
development in dispersal corridors between suitable habitat (Barrueto
et al. 2022, p. 4; Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12-14; Balkenhol et al.
2020, p. 799). Because of this, the small population in the contiguous
United States is more at risk from future threats impacting population
resiliency. We now conclude that the difference in population size on
the contiguous U.S. side of the international border is a significant
difference in conservation status in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the
Act as it applies to discreteness.
Effective Population Size--In our December 14, 2010, 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030) and February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78
FR 7864), in support of our conclusion that differences in conservation
status between the United States and Canada exist that are significant
in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act, we discussed the difference
in wolverine effective population size between the contiguous United
States and Canada. The 2013 proposed listing rule presented an
effective population size estimate for wolverines in the contiguous
United States from a publication by Schwartz et al. (2009), which
estimated a summed effective population size of 35, with credible
limits from 28 to 52 (Schwartz et al. 2009, p. 3,226). As provided in
our SSA report (Service 2018, pp. 46-47), effective population sizes
(Ne) are typically smaller than census population sizes.
Ne is the number of individuals in a population that would
result in the same loss of genetic diversity, inbreeding, and genetic
drift, if they behaved in the manner of an idealized population (equal
sex ratio, random mating, all adults producing offspring, equal numbers
of offspring per parent, and a constant number of breeding individuals
across generations) (Frankham 1995, p. 96). The concept of effective
population size relates to population viability because, as a general
rule, closed populations with random mating that have effective
population sizes (1) below 50 are at higher risk of inbreeding
depression, and (2) below 500 are more likely to lose genetic variation
important to maintaining long-term evolutionary potential. In addition,
small, isolated populations are more vulnerable to extinction through
interactions between environmental, genetic, and demographic factors
(Caughley 1994, pp. 221-227). Importantly, the concept and guidelines
for genetically effective population size were developed for a single,
isolated population (Laikre et al. 2016, p. 280). Fragmentation can
further exacerbate inbreeding depression and genetic loss, while
connectivity to larger source populations can alleviate the adverse
effects of small effective population sizes (Frankham et al. 2014, p.
60).
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we
acknowledged the low effective population size of wolverines in the
contiguous United States but found this was not a concern given the
evidence of genetic connectivity between the United States and Canada.
We stated the currently known spatial distribution of genetic
variability in wolverines in North America appeared to be a reflection
of a complex history where population abundance has fluctuated since
the time of the last glaciation and insufficient time has passed since
human persecution for a full recovery of wolverine densities (Cardinal
2004, pp. 23-24; Zigouris et al. 2012, p. 1,554). Zigouris et al.
(2012, p. 1,545) posit that the irregular distribution of wolverines in
the southwestern periphery and the genetic diversity observed in those
analyses is a result of population bottlenecks that were caused by
range contractions from a panmictic (random mating) northern core
population approximately 150 years ago coinciding with human
persecution. We stated that very few successful migrants are needed per
generation to maintain at least 95 percent of the genetic variation in
the next 100 generations (approximately 750 years) in the contiguous
United States (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 209). We concluded that this
level of migration from the north had already been occurring following
the end of intense predator removal campaigns that affected this
subspecies. Given observations of wolverines moving vast distances over
varied terrain and across the U.S.-Canada border, our assessment of the
low levels of trapping mortality in Canada near the border, and further
confirmation of Canada as the source of wolverine genetics present in
contiguous U.S. wolverines, we believed that wolverines in the
contiguous United States were not separated genetically from the larger
population in Canada. In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618), we concluded that wolverines in the contiguous United States
exhibit genetic and phenotypic similarities with wolverines in Canada
that implied connectivity with Canada. As such, we concluded in that
withdrawal document that it was not biologically appropriate to
consider the low effective population size of wolverines on the
contiguous U.S. side of the border as a difference in conservation
status that is significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act as
it applies to discreteness.
In our 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum, we summarized our
evaluation of the available information related to the effective
population size of wolverines in the contiguous United States, recent
trapping/harvest in Canada, and genetic connectivity of wolverines
between the United States and Canada. We are not aware of any new
estimates of effective population size for wolverines in the contiguous
United States; therefore, the Ne estimate of the wolverine
population in the Northern Rocky Mountains (35) provided by Schwartz et
al. (2009) represents the best available scientific information
regarding effective population sizes in the U.S. portion of the
Northern Rocky Mountains (Service 2023, p. 27). In the 2023 wolverine
SSA report addendum, we estimated the effective population size of the
wolverine population in the North Cascade Mountains, resulting in an
estimate of Ne = 4 (Service 2023, p. 27). When viewed in
isolation, the overall effective population sizes for wolverines in the
contiguous United States are under the conservation thresholds for
short- and long-term genetic health (50 and 500, respectively). New
information suggests recent trapping harvest in southwestern Canada
resulted in population declines in some areas that may be important
sources of dispersing individuals to the contiguous United States
(Service 2023, pp. 41-42). Furthermore, new information shows that
female wolverine movement is influenced by major transportation
corridors and that the Trans-Canada Highway could be an impediment to
female movement (Service 2023, p. 28). Overall, the effective
population size estimates of wolverines in the contiguous United States
are small
[[Page 83743]]
compared to conservation rules-of-thumb and presumably smaller than the
effective population size of wolverines in Canada. Only one or two
migrants per generation are likely needed to achieve genetic population
connectivity (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 13); however, based on new
information on gene flow and dispersal, we cannot assume this level of
immigration from Canada is occurring. The contiguous U.S. population
may be at risk of impacts from low effective population size without
sufficient gene flow with Canada. We now conclude that the difference
in effective population size on the U.S. side of the international
border results in a significant difference in conservation status in
light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act as it applies to discreteness.
Habitat Fragmentation--In our December 14, 2010, 12-month finding
(75 FR 78030) and February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR 7864),
we stated that wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States
consists of small, isolated areas of high-elevation habitat separated
from each other by low valleys of unsuitable habitat. We also described
that these `habitat islands' are represented by areas containing spring
snow, citing Copeland et al. (2010). We concluded that the fragmented
nature and distribution of wolverine habitat in the contiguous United
States results in a population that is highly vulnerable to extirpation
because of lack of connectivity between subpopulations, and this also
makes them more vulnerable to external threats (75 FR 78030; December
14, 2010). This was used to support our justification for discreteness.
The breeding range of wolverines in the contiguous United States
largely exists in high-elevation alpine forested habitats. Those alpine
areas with established wolverine home ranges are separated by expanses
of lower elevation valley habitats that are not conducive to wolverine
home range establishment but do provide varying levels of connectivity
between home ranges or subpopulations. In Canada and Alaska, habitats
are more contiguous and much less fragmented than wolverine habitat in
the contiguous United States. The fragmented nature and distribution of
wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States puts wolverines
occurring in the contiguous United States at higher risk of impacts
from climate change and other stressors compared to wolverines
occurring in Canada and Alaska. We conclude that the difference in
habitat fragmentation on the contiguous U.S. side of the international
border results in a significant difference in conservation status in
light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act as it applies to discreteness.
Discreteness Based on the International Border--Differences in
Regulatory Mechanisms
Wolverines are currently protected under various State regulatory
designations in the States where the species occurs in the western
United States (Service 2023, table 10). In Canada, provincial
designations for the wolverine include endangered in Labrador, and
threatened in Ontario and Qu[eacute]bec (``threatened'' is equivalent
to endangered in Qu[eacute]bec), with the remaining provincial
designations ranging from no ranking to sensitive or special concern to
the Vancouver Island population's designation as imperiled (COSEWIC
2014, p. 44).
Current regulatory mechanisms prohibit trapping or harvest of
wolverines in the contiguous United States, while trapping is legal in
Canada and occurs in parts of the range that could be a source of
important dispersers to the contiguous United States. We acknowledge
that there is currently a trapping moratorium in a portion of British
Columbia resulting from studies showing population declines in that
area related to trapping (Service 2023, pp. 44-45). However, that
moratorium is temporary and only covers a portion of the Canadian range
(e.g., it does not include Alberta). As discussed above, there are
significant differences in control of exploitation that may be impeding
movement of wolverines, from Canada to the contiguous United States. We
conclude that there are differences in regulatory mechanisms related to
control of exploitation between the United States and Canada that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
Discreteness Conclusion
Based on our updated analysis described above and supported by
information in the wolverine SSA report and the wolverine SSA report
addendum, the contiguous U.S. population of the North American
wolverine meets the discreteness criterion in our DPS policy (61 FR
4722; February 7, 1996). It is delimited by the international boundary
with Canada, given differences in control of exploitation, conservation
status, and regulatory mechanisms that are significant in light of
section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act. After determining that a vertebrate
population is discrete, we are required to complete an analysis to
determine if the population in question is significant according to our
DPS policy; that analysis follows.
Analysis of Significance
If we determine a population segment is discrete, its biological
and ecological significance will then be considered in light of
Congressional guidance that the authority to list DPSs be used
sparingly while encouraging the conservation of genetic diversity. In
carrying out this examination, we consider available scientific
evidence of the population's importance to the taxon to which it
belongs (i.e., the North American wolverine). Our DPS policy states
that this consideration may include, but is not limited to: (1)
persistence of the discrete population segment in an ecological setting
unusual or unique for the taxon; (2) evidence that loss of the discrete
population segment would result in a significant gap in the range of
the taxon; (3) evidence that the discrete population segment represents
the only surviving natural occurrence of a taxon that may be more
abundant elsewhere as an introduced population outside its historical
range; or (4) evidence that the discrete population segment differs
markedly from other populations of the species in its genetic
characteristics. Below, we address considerations 1, 2, and 4.
Consideration 3 does not apply to the continental U.S. wolverine
population because North American wolverines are distributed widely
across Alaska and Canada.
In our December 14, 2010, 12-month finding (75 FR 78030), we
conducted an exhaustive analysis of the significance of the contiguous
U.S. population of the North American wolverine; this analysis was
incorporated by reference into our February 4, 2013, proposed listing
rule (78 FR 7864). In the analysis, we concluded that the wolverine
population in the contiguous United States is significant because its
loss would result in a significant gap in the range of the taxon. In
our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we did not
present an assessment of significance under the DPS policy because, at
that time, we determined that the wolverine population in the
contiguous United States was not discrete, and thus there was no need
to assess significance. Because we have now determined the wolverine
population in the contiguous United States is discrete, we reviewed and
present an update to our 2010 and 2013 assessment of the significance
of the wolverine population occurring in the contiguous United States
using the best available information.
[[Page 83744]]
Unusual or Unique Ecological Setting
Wolverines occupy a variety of habitats within North America,
including Arctic tundra, subarctic-alpine tundra, boreal forest, mixed
forest, redwood forest, and coniferous forest (Banci 1994, p. 114).
Wolverines in the contiguous United States exist in an ecosystem that
includes high-elevation, remote, rugged, alpine forested terrain and
non-forested habitats around the tree line that retain snowpack into
the spring. The ecoregions inhabited by wolverines in the contiguous
United States are also present in large portions of their occupied
range in Canada and Alaska (Service 2018, appendix A).
Wolverines in the contiguous United States appear to use habitat
attributes that are similar to wolverine populations in Canada and
Alaska, where wolverines also use alpine habitats, and do not appear to
exist in an unusual or unique ecological setting. Thus, we again do not
rely on this factor when determining that the wolverine in the
contiguous United States is significant to the taxon as a whole.
Significant Gap in the Range of the Taxon
Wolverines once lived throughout the North American Rocky Mountains
from Alaska and Canada, south through Colorado and into New Mexico, and
in the North Cascades of Washington and the Sierra Nevada Range of
California. During the late 1800s and early 1900s, the wolverine
population declined or was extirpated in much of the contiguous United
States (Service 2018, p. 1). Wolverines have since recolonized parts of
the contiguous United States, and the current breeding range includes
the Southern Rocky Mountains of Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming and the
Cascades of Washington (Service 2023, figure 3). Individual wolverines
have been documented in California, Colorado, Oregon, and Utah;
however, breeding populations are not known to exist in these areas.
The contiguous United States represents the southernmost extent of the
wolverine's range in North America.
Our significance determination in the December 14, 2010, 12-month
finding (75 FR 78030) concluded that the loss of wolverines in the
contiguous United States would result in a significant gap in the range
of the taxon. This determination was based on an estimate of the
historical range (not current range) of wolverine in the contiguous
United States. This relied on a latitudinally-based interpretation of
historical range in the contiguous United States, the majority of which
was unoccupied at the time the estimation was made and remains
unoccupied by wolverines. We stated in 2010 that the loss of the
population in the contiguous United States would be significant because
it would substantially curtail the range of the wolverine by moving the
southern range terminus approximately 15 degrees latitude to the north
(or approximately 40 percent of the presumed latitudinal extent of the
wolverine's range in North America). For reference, the U.S. border
with Canada is 49 degrees North latitude. Fifteen degrees south of the
border (at 34 degrees North latitude), the assumed 15-degree gap in
latitude (49 degrees North minus 34 degrees North) presented in the DPS
analysis in the December 14, 2010, 12-month finding (75 FR 78030),
lands on 34 degrees North latitude, which runs through western States,
including southern California and approximately the middle of Arizona
and New Mexico, significantly south of the currently occupied range of
wolverine in United States.
During the development of our 2018 wolverine SSA report and 2023
SSA report addendum, we conducted an extensive analysis of the recent
and historical occurrence records for wolverines in the contiguous
United States (Service 2018, pp. 12-16; Service 2023, pp. 3-14). Our
updated significance analysis is based on an updated, spatially
explicit assessment of the current range of wolverines in the
contiguous United States. We used the current range (Service 2023,
figure 2) to provide a more accurate reflection of the range currently
being used by populations of wolverines in the contiguous United States
supported by the best available information. By focusing on the current
range, and not the historical range, we avoid including large sections
of the western United States that do not have high-quality wolverine
habitat (southern California and northern Arizona and New Mexico) in
our significance analysis, and thus we are able to better assess the
significance of the population in the contiguous United States relative
to the larger taxon. The current range of wolverines in the contiguous
United States covers approximately 58,998,140 acres (238,757 km\2\) of
high-quality wolverine habitat with recent wolverine occurrences (from
2009-2023) (Service 2023, figure 2), the loss of which would move the
southern range terminus approximately 12 degrees latitude to the north.
Furthermore, the southernmost portion of the range may be important
for conservation, as it may allow for unique adaptive potential in the
face of a changing global climate and future reduction in cold and
snowy conditions. Populations on the periphery of species' ranges tend
to be given lower conservation priority because they are thought to
exist in low-quality habitats and are also thought to be the
populations that are least likely to survive a reduction in range (Wolf
et al. 1996, p. 1147). However, this tendency presumes that the
ultimate cause of the species' extinction will be one that operates by
eroding away the species' range beginning at the periphery and
progressing to the center. This presumption is based on biogeographical
information that habitat and population densities of species are
highest near the center of the species' range and decline near the edge
(Brown and Lomolino 1998, figure 4.16). Data from documented range
collapses of species from around the world, however, illustrate that
species' ranges tend to collapse to peripheral areas rather than to the
center of their historical ranges (Lomolino and Channell 1995, p. 342;
Channell and Lomolino 2000, pp. 84-86). Of 96 species whose last
remnant populations were found either in the core or periphery of their
historic ranges (rather than some in both core and periphery), 91 (95
percent) of the species were found to exist only in the periphery, and
5 (5 percent) existed solely in the center (Channell and Lomolino 2000,
p. 85). Available scientific data support the importance of peripheral
populations for conservation (Fraser 1999, entire; Lesica and Allendorf
1995, entire).
Based upon the loss of approximately 58,998,140 acres (238,757
km\2\) of high-quality wolverine habitat from the southern extent of
the range and the adaptive potential that part of the range may provide
against oncoming climate change impacts, and a 12 degree latitudinal
gap in the North American wolverine's range that would result if the
U.S. population was lost, we determine that the loss of the contiguous
U.S. wolverine population would result in a significant gap in the
range of the taxon. Thus, the DPS meets the definition of significant
in our DPS policy.
Marked Genetic Differences
In the contiguous United States, small, isolated wolverine
populations are likely dependent on gene flow from Canada for
population persistence (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 208-209; McKelvey et
al. 2014, entire). In the Northern Rocky Mountains, the best available
genetic data indicate genetic
[[Page 83745]]
structuring of populations despite some dispersal (Cegelski et al.
2006, pp. 204-205, 208; Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12-14). Genetic
structuring reflects the amount of interbreeding between different
groups of an organism where more structure indicates less interaction
between groups, increased genetic isolation, increased potential for
inbreeding, and lower genetic diversity. Given the relatively recent
recolonization of wolverines in the contiguous United States from
Canada (within the last 60-70 years), nuclear genetic diversity was
lower in the southern periphery of the subspecies' range in the south
(Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 9-11). Nuclear DNA analyses indicated
differences in allele frequencies between the United States and Canada
along the Rocky Mountains, with some areas of overlap in wolverine
populations straddling the border due to male-mediated gene flow.
Females appear to be segregated near the international border due to
their higher rates of philopatry (the tendency of an animal to remain
in or return to the area of its birth) than males and their apparently
greater tendencies to avoid crossing major roadways, including the
Trans-Canada Highway (Highway 1) and the Crowsnest Highway (Highway 3)
in southern British Columbia (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12, 17). Both
highways were opened in the 1960s (British Columbia Ministry of
Transportation and Highways 2001, pp. 16, 20). Since then, they have
been widened in many areas, and traffic volumes have substantially
increased (British Columbia Ministry of Transportation and Highways
2001, pp. 7-11, 16-21). Mitochondrial DNA patterns in the Rocky
Mountains showed no unique contemporary maternal lineages detected
south of the international border, which is consistent with
observational data indicating that wolverines recolonized the
contiguous United States from Canada within the last 60-70 years
(Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 2, 16-17). Substantially lower mitochondrial
DNA diversity in the United States, as compared to mitochondrial DNA
diversity in Canada, is consistent with the nuclear DNA signals of
limited contemporary female gene flow between the countries along the
Northern Rocky Mountain range and the wolverine's relatively recent
recolonization at the southern edge of their range (Sawaya et al. 2023,
p. 17).
In the North Cascades, global positioning system (GPS) tracking
data show that wolverines in western Washington and southern British
Columbia form a small transboundary population (Aubry et al. 2023, p.
4). Preliminary results from a large population genetics study of this
transboundary population show that wolverines in the North Cascades are
genetically isolated from other wolverine populations in the United
States and Canada and likely went through a genetic bottleneck with few
founders (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). The population has low
heterozygosity (less than 0.5) and could be experiencing some level of
inbreeding (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). However, there are no
indications or evidence that individuals or population dynamics are
being adversely affected by inbreeding depression (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.).
As part of the multi-State wolverine occupancy surveys in 2016-
2017, researchers obtained 240 wolverine DNA samples (Lukas et al.
2020, p. 846). These samples represented 26 unique females and 24
unique males (Lukas et al. 2020, p. 846). Analyses of the mitochondrial
DNA control region revealed regional structuring (i.e., regional
grouping), with all of the samples in Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming
assigned to Haplotype Wilson A (the most abundant haplotype in North
America) and all of the samples in Washington assigned to Haplotype
Wilson C (Lukas et al. 2020, p. 846). These results are consistent with
the latest genetic analysis from the large transboundary study (Sawaya
et al. 2023, entire) and previous mitochondrial DNA studies showing
that the Northern Rocky Mountains and North Cascades do not appear to
share any contemporary haplotypes (McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 328).
The genetic differences between the contiguous United States and
Canada consist of lower genetic diversity in the United States, a
difference that is a reflection of the recent recolonization of
wolverines into the contiguous United States from Canada over the last
century. There are no unique haplotypes present in contiguous U.S.
wolverines that are not already present in larger populations in Canada
and Alaska. As we noted in our analysis in the December 14, 2010, 12-
month finding (75 FR 78030), this is not the kind of genetic difference
that would lead us to conclude that a population is significant under
our DPS policy. The DPS policy is designed to ensure the protection of
important components of a species' evolutionary legacy rather than
populations that simply have lower genetic diversity due to recent
recolonization from a larger source population. Therefore, as in our
2010 analysis, we do not find marked genetic differences as a basis for
determining significance for this DPS.
Summary for Significance
We evaluated whether the discrete population segment of wolverines
in the contiguous United States is also significant, considering
factors such as whether the population segment is in an ecological
setting unusual or unique for the taxon; whether the loss of the
discrete population segment would result in a significant gap in the
range of a taxon; whether the discrete population segment represents
the only surviving natural occurrence of a taxon that may be more
abundant elsewhere as an introduced population outside its historical
range; or whether the discrete population segment differs markedly from
other populations of the species in its genetic characteristics. We
conclude that the wolverine population in the contiguous United States
is significant because its loss would result in a significant gap in
the range of the taxon.
DPS Conclusion
Based on the best available information, we conclude that the
population of wolverines in the contiguous United States is discrete
and significant in relation to the remainder of the subspecies in North
America. As a result, the population of wolverines in the contiguous
United States is a listable entity under section 3(16) of the Act.
The DPS policy sets forth a three-step process for determining
whether a vertebrate population as a separate entity warrants listing:
(1) Determine whether the population is discrete; (2) if the population
is discrete, determine whether the population is significant to the
taxon as a whole; and (3) if the population is both discrete and
significant, then evaluate the conservation status of the population to
determine whether it is endangered or threatened. We have determined
that wolverines in the contiguous United States qualify as a DPS and,
therefore, are a listable entity. Below, we provide a status
determination of the wolverine DPS in the contiguous United States.
Summary of Biological Status and Threats
In this discussion, we review the biological condition of the DPS
and its resources, and the threats that influence the DPS's current and
future condition, in order to assess the DPS's overall viability and
the risks to that viability.
In preparing the 2018 wolverine SSA report and the 2023 SSA report
addendum, we reviewed available reports and peer-reviewed literature,
incorporated survey information, and
[[Page 83746]]
contacted species experts to collect additional unpublished information
for the North American subspecies (Gulo gulo luscus). We identified
uncertainties and data gaps in our assessment of the current and future
status of the subspecies. We also evaluated the appropriate analytical
tools to address these gaps, consulted with species experts, prepared
updated maps of the known subspecies' distribution and breeding range
in the contiguous United States, and evaluated new models of spring
snow. In some instances, we used publications and other reports
(primarily from Fenno-Scandinavia) of the Eurasian subspecies (G. g.
gulo) as a surrogate in completing our status assessment.
Since the publication of the October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618), more than 180 new publications have been issued (see
list of citations in the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum). This is a
substantial amount of new information for a difficult-to-study animal
like the wolverine and has added significantly to our understanding of
wolverine biology. This new information has also highlighted new
insights into the subspecies' biological needs, threats, and the
wolverine's interactions with abiotic and biotic habitat features.
We also conducted an updated geospatial analysis to map verified
wolverine occurrences and approximate breeding ranges in the contiguous
United States. This was informed by recent multi-State monitoring data
(Lukas et al. 2020, entire; Mosby et al. 2023, entire).
Our updated analyses, since the publication of the October 13,
2020, withdrawal document, of the current and predicted future
condition for the wolverine is presented in the wolverine SSA report
addendum and summarized here. Our future-condition analysis includes
the potential conditions that the subspecies or its habitat may face in
the future. This includes consideration of threats most likely to
impact the subspecies at the population or rangewide scales in the
future, including potential cumulative impacts. The spatial expansion
to our climate analysis is a major improvement from the snow
projections used in our 2018 SSA report, which focused only on Rocky
Mountain National Park (Colorado) and Glacier National Park (Montana).
We now focus on five modeling domains that overlap with occupied and
potential wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States across
latitudinal, longitudinal, and elevation gradients. These include: (1)
Cascades (Washington); (2) Northern Rocky West (Washington, Idaho, and
Montana); (3) Northern Rocky (Idaho and Montana); (4) Mid-Rocky (Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming); and (5) Southern Rocky (Colorado and New Mexico)
(Service 2023, p. 49). In our updated climate assessment, we use a
timeframe out to end of century for assessing future effects to North
American wolverine viability from climate change and other threats.
Beyond 2100, climate modeling uncertainty increases substantially. Our
previous assessment considered in the October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618) looked at a timeframe 50 years into the future.
We conclude that end of century is a reasonable timeframe, as it
includes the potential for observing these effects over several
generations of the wolverine.
As discussed above in Analytical Framework, we consider what the
subspecies needs to maintain viability by characterizing the status of
the subspecies in terms of resiliency, redundancy, and representation
(Wolf et al. 2015, entire). Resiliency is having sufficiently large
populations for the subspecies to withstand stochastic events (arising
from random factors). We can measure resiliency based on metrics of
population health (for example, birth versus death rates and population
size). Resilient populations are better able to withstand disturbances
such as random fluctuations in birth rates (demographic stochasticity),
variations in rainfall (environmental stochasticity), or the effects of
anthropogenic activities.
Redundancy is having a sufficient number of populations for the
subspecies to withstand catastrophic events (such as a rare destructive
natural event or episode involving many populations). Redundancy is
about spreading the risk and can be measured through the duplication
and distribution of populations across the range of the subspecies. The
greater the number of populations a subspecies has distributed over a
larger landscape, the better it can withstand catastrophic events.
Representation is having the breadth of genetic makeup of the
subspecies to adapt to changing environmental conditions.
Representation can be measured through the genetic diversity within and
among populations and the ecological diversity (also called
environmental variation or diversity) of populations across the
subspecies' range. The more representation, or diversity, a subspecies
has, the more it is capable of adapting to changes (natural or human-
caused) in its environment. In the absence of subspecies-specific
genetic and ecological diversity information, we evaluate
representation based on the extent and variability of habitat
characteristics within the geographical range.
Life-History Needs
Wolverine populations are characterized by naturally low densities.
The species is highly territorial, with very little overlap between
same-sex adults. Wolverines occupy a variety of habitats, but generally
select habitat in locations away from human settlements and activities.
The wolverine is a snow-adapted, cold-climate animal in its physiology
and morphology (Telfer and Kelsall 1984, p. 1830); phylogeography
(historical processes that may be responsible for past and present
geographic distributions of genealogical lineages); and behavior and
habits (Fisher et al. 2022, p. 7).
Wolverines consume a variety of food resources, and seasonal
switching of prey is commonly observed. Unlike wolverine populations in
Eurasia, wolverines in the contiguous United States rarely prey on
livestock. During our extensive literature review in preparing the 2023
wolverine SSA report addendum, we discovered only two instances of
wolverine depredation in the United States since our 2018 SSA report;
one wolverine that had depredated sheep in Utah, and another that was
caught in a chicken coop in Washington (Service 2023, pp. 10, 38).
Wolverine reproduction includes the following characteristics:
polygamous behavior (i.e., male mates with more than one female each
year), delayed implantation (up to 6 months), a short gestation period
(30-40 days), denning behavior (only observed in snow in the contiguous
United States), and several additional months of maternal care (Service
2018, p. 22). The reproductive behavior in wolverines is temporally
adapted to take advantage of the availability of food resources,
limited interspecific competition, and snow cover in the winter.
In our 2018 wolverine SSA report, we defined the physical and
ecological requirements of wolverine in the contiguous United States
(see (1), (2), and (3), below). In light of new information regarding
wolverine habitat associations that provides support for the
wolverine's strong preference for areas with cold and snowy conditions,
we have added a fourth ecological requirement (see (4), below). The
requirements are:
(1) Large territories in relatively inaccessible landscapes, at
high elevation (1,800 to 3,500 m (5,906 to 11,483 ft));
[[Page 83747]]
(2) Access to a variety of food resources that vary with seasons;
(3) Physical/structural features (e.g., talus slopes, rugged
terrain) linked to reproductive behavioral patterns; and
(4) Habitats characterized by the presence of persistent spring
snow (of greater than or equal to 1 meter on May 1) for survival and
reproduction.
Our 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum affirms these requirements
and the species characterization in our 2018 SSA report.
Habitat
Research published since our 2018 wolverine SSA report confirms
that broad-level habitat selection (subspecies' range, individual home
range) at the southern edge of the wolverine's distribution can be
accurately predicted using a small number of high-elevation variables
and terrain features (Carroll et al. 2021a, pp. 1470-1471; Aubry et al.
2023, p. 7). New evidence from around the world reinforces that snow--
especially persistent spring snow--is an important predictor of broad-
scale wolverine distribution and density (Aubry et al. 2023, pp. 15-16;
Carroll et al. 2020, p. 8; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10; Glass et al.
2021, entire; Mowat et al. 2020, p. 220). Within home ranges, the
precise nature of the relationship between wolverine space-use and snow
is complex, involving multiple snow characteristics (e.g., density,
depth, and melt), various phases of the wolverine lifecycle (e.g.,
denning, feeding and food caching, within-territory movements, and
dispersal) and sex-specific habitat selection (Carroll et al. 2021, p.
1469; Glass et al. 2021, entire; Heinemeyer et al. 2019, p. 16). While
wolverines appear capable of occupying and reproducing in areas without
persistent spring snow in some ecological contexts, at a continent-wide
scale, wolverine dens outside of areas with persistent spring snow have
thus far only been documented to occur in colder boreal or arctic
environments in Canada and Alaska (Aronsson and Persson 2017, p. 266;
Copeland et al. 2010, pp. 240-242; Fisher et al. 2022, p. 8; Jokinen et
al. 2019, pp. 6-8; Webb et al. 2016, pp. 1466-1467).
In the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, distance to high-elevation
talus, snow water equivalent (a surrogate for snow depth), and
latitude-adjusted elevation were the most important environmental
factors explaining selection of wolverine home ranges and habitats
within home ranges (Service 2023, p. 16). These habitat variables are
also known to be important in defining the wolverine's distribution
(Inman et al. 2013, p. 278).
Results from dispersal suitability models developed for wolverines
indicate that isolation by landscape resistance (areas that individuals
are less likely to traverse due to high energy, mortality, or other
biological costs) explained more of the variation in wolverine genetic
differences than did isolation by distance (Balkenhol et al. 2020, pp.
795-797). This means that wolverines are moving non-randomly across the
landscape in association with specific landscape features. Snow depth
(average 1-year snow depth at 1-km\2\ resolution), terrain ruggedness
(measure of how jagged or flat the terrain is on average), and housing
density (census block housing density per 1 km\2\) best predicted gene
flow in wolverines (Balkenhol et al. 2020, pp. 795-797). Snow depth was
the most important variable for explaining variation in genetic
differences overall (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 790). At broad spatial
scales, housing density and terrain ruggedness were the most important
factors, where wolverines avoided areas of high housing density and
preferred areas of terrain ruggedness, which explains the variation in
wolverine genetic differences (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 790).
In the Cascade Range in southern British Columbia and Washington,
three climatic variables (proximity to the transitional zone near the
alpine tree line, number of frost-free days per year, and annual
precipitation as snow) were correlated with wolverine location data
(Aubry et al. 2023, p. 10). Wolverine distribution in the Cascades is
constrained by climatic conditions; snowy, cold environments delimit
the areas that are ``overwhelmingly associated with resident
wolverines'' (Aubry et al. 2023, p. 16). The highest-use areas were on
the eastern side of the Cascades, where alpine habitats had fewer
frost-free days (Aubry et al. 2023, p. 15). This is consistent with
other models, indicating that wolverines rely on the transitional zone
between the tree line, below which environmental conditions become too
warm, and upper elevations of permanent ice and snow, where there is
insufficient food and cover to support basic life-history requirements
for wolverines (Aubry et al. 2023, pp. 13-14).
A study using GPS location data on 38 wolverines from 2001 to 2010
analyzed wolverine home range habitat selection across the western
United States by identifying landscape variables that were highly
correlated with wolverine home ranges (Carroll et al. 2020, entire).
The resource selection function model included landform (e.g., ridges
and peaks), vegetation classification, distance to high-elevation
talus, latitude-adjusted elevation, average monthly snow water
equivalent, and human modification (Carroll et al. 2020, p. 8). Core
areas were identified, and connectivity was assessed, between these
core areas using a landscape resistance model, validated with GPS
location data from dispersing wolverines (Service 2023, figure 3).
Results showed that resident wolverines in core habitats are far more
sensitive to low-quality habitat than are dispersing individuals, but
that dispersers still follow lower-resistance pathways that connect
higher quality core habitats (Carroll et al. 2020, p. 9). Another study
modeled within-home range habitat selection by wolverines in areas of
the Northern Rocky Mountains with high amounts of winter backcountry
recreation and found significant differences in male and female habitat
selection (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 9). The best model for male
wolverines included distance to roads and proportion of lower elevation
grass and shrub cover, while the best model for female wolverines
included talus, persistent spring snow cover (defined in the cited
studies as snow cover present between April 24 and May 15), and forest
edge-to-area covariates (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 9). Best models
for both sexes included covariates for topographic position index,
quadratic form of slope, distance to forest edge, solar insulation, and
percentage cover of forest, riparian, and montane open cover types.
This study also showed that wolverines are negatively affected by
winter recreation (see Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational Activity,
below).
Multiple recent studies in Canada have provided further evidence of
the influence of snow cover and human development/disturbance on
wolverine distribution. Wolverine density in and around a national park
complex in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains was three times higher
within these national parks than outside them, increased with spring
snow cover, and decreased with increasing night light intensity (a
measure of human development) (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). Along the
Front Range of the Canadian Rocky Mountains, wolverines selected areas
with natural land-cover and high snow cover and avoided anthropogenic
features and heterospecific competitors (Heim et al. 2019, pp. 2499-
2502). In the Rocky Mountains of Alberta, wolverine occurrence in space
and time was best explained by coyote (Canis latrans) occurrence and
the density of linear
[[Page 83748]]
disturbance features (e.g., roads, pipelines, seismic lines, motorized
and nonmotorized recreational trails), with both of these factors
decreasing the likelihood of wolverine occurrence (Chow-Fraser et al.
2022, pp. 4-5). In the southern Canadian Rockies, wolverine density was
found to be positively correlated with the number of years of
persistent spring snow cover and negatively correlated with road
density (Clevenger 2019, p. 62; Mowat et al. 2020, pp. 218-219). Female
densities in areas with more cumulative years of persistent spring snow
were higher than male densities, which suggests there may be a
preference for snowy areas when denning. An additional study, also in
the Canadian Rockies, found that food availability and human
disturbance were major drivers of wolverine distribution in winter
(Kortello et al. 2019, p. 7). Persistent spring snow was an important
factor in explaining the variation in female wolverine distribution in
winter and overall wolverine distribution at coarse scales (Kortello et
al. 2019, p. 8). The researchers concluded that their results ``do not
reject the hypothesis that wolverine occurrence is constrained by an
obligate association with persistent spring snow'' (Aubry et al. 2007,
p. 2154; Copeland et al. 2010, p. 244), ``but do suggest the
alternative explanation that the relationship between spring snow and
wolverine distribution could be functionally related to the
distribution of food, disturbance or mortality risk'' (Kortello et al.
2019, p. 8). We agree with their assessment and acknowledge the precise
causal mechanism(s) for the apparent association of wolverine
distribution and persistent spring snow are not yet clear. There may be
a number of factors acting in concert to drive the wolverine's
preference for cold and snowy conditions, and we have attempted to
account for this in our analysis presented in this rule.
A habitat selection study of 21 adult, non-denning wolverines (11
female, 10 male) fitted with GPS collars in the Alaskan Arctic found
that wolverines generally selected more rugged areas closer to streams,
rivers, and lakes (Glass et al. 2021, p. 893). This study also showed
that snow characteristics are important to wolverines for reasons other
than solely creating reproductive dens. Specifically, they found that
non-denning wolverines select deeper, denser snow, but only when that
snow is not undergoing melt (Glass et al. 2021, pp. 894-895). The
wolverine's observed preference for denser snow might be a function of
both ease of movement across the surface, as well as the ability of
denser snow to maintain snow cavities and tunnels (Glass et al. 2021,
p. 895).
Denning Habitat--Denning habitat has been a focus for wolverine
conservation because wolverines have naturally low reproductive rates.
Impacts to denning habitat could have important consequences for
demographic rates (Fisher et al. 2022, p. 8). There is growing evidence
that wolverines rely on subnivean space (the environment between snow
and terrain) for thermoregulation, to escape predation risk, and/or to
cache food (van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8-10; Fisher et al. 2022, p.
10). Although wolverines have been documented denning in areas without
persistent spring snow (Fisher et al. 2022, p. 8; Persson et al. 2023,
entire), this phenomenon appears to be associated with cold, high-
latitude boreal or arctic forests rather than the alpine habitats used
by wolverines in the contiguous United States. In the contiguous United
States, there is no evidence that wolverines have denned in areas
without persistent spring snow.
Den-shifting behavior represents a tradeoff between moving--and
risking potential energy loss and harm to offspring--versus staying in
the original den site and risking exposure to disturbance or changed
conditions, such as melting snow, that might make the original den site
unsuitable (Heeres 2020, p. 9). In a study in northern Sweden focusing
on 18 adult female wolverines fitted with GPS collars over an 11-year
period and occupying 271 den sites, Heeres (2020, p. 15) determined
that a female used an average of 12 den sites during a single denning
season (range: 4-28; median: 10). Additionally, female wolverines had a
higher probability of shifting den sites in forested habitats, compared
to alpine habitats, which is likely a result of earlier snow melt in
forests that may make den sites uninhabitable early in the season
(Heeres 2020, p. 20). Other factors related to den-shifting behavior
included the level of denning experience of the female wolverine, which
was quantified as the number of previous reproductive attempts by an
individual (lower den-shift probability), temperature (higher den-shift
probability in the warmer forested habitats; nonsignificant den-shift
probability in alpine habitat), food resource availability (higher den-
shift probability, which could be related to accessing food or
increased human presence), and cub age (more shifting as cubs mature
and are able to move to food resources) (Heeres 2020, pp. 20-22).
In certain ecological contexts, individual wolverines and
reproductive dens can exist in areas without substantial spring
snowpack (Persson et al. 2023, p. 10; Jokinen et al. 2019, pp. 4-9).
For example, Jokinen et al. (2019, pp. 6, 10) observed seven of eight
wolverine dens (three primary and five secondary dens) in hollows of
uprooted trees and not in snow; however, the researchers acknowledged
that sample sizes were small and limited their ability to draw robust
conclusions. Jokinen et al. (2019, p. 12) speculated that wolverines,
in the absence of spring snow in Alberta, were able to meet their
physiological needs through locally available features such as the
cavity created by partially uplifted root masses, the thermal
properties of thick moss, and the caching opportunities provided by
deep peat accumulations. Wolverines are resourceful and may be more
flexible in their denning requirements than documented by studies in
other landscapes (Persson et al. 2023, p. 10; Jokinen et al. 2019, p.
12; Glass et al. 2021, entire); however, it is also apparent that
boreal forest communities have a series of unique properties conducive
to wolverine denning, including cold spring temperatures and dense peat
layers that might aid in insulating the den (Jokinen et al. 2019, p.
12).
At present, it remains uncertain whether the alpine ecosystems in
the contiguous United States contain environmental conditions that
would allow wolverines to switch denning behavior or use smaller or
shallower patches of snow in response to changes in future snow under a
changing climate. Even if they were able to make this shift, snow may
be important to wolverines for more than just denning.
Food Caching--Wolverines are physiologically and behaviorally
adapted to caching perishable food in snow, boulders, and peat bogs for
short- or long-term storage (van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 2-3). In
Scandinavia, wolverines cached food all year from scavenging and
predation events, with the locations of food caches widely distributed
across their home ranges (van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 6-8). When
caching, wolverines selected steep and rugged terrain in unproductive
habitat types (habitats with fewer plants and animals) or in forest,
indicating a preference for less-exposed sites that can provide cold
storage or protection against pilferage. The observed year-round
investment in caching by wolverines suggests that food predictability
is important for their
[[Page 83749]]
survival and reproductive success. Increasing temperatures caused by
climate change may provide new challenges for wolverines in at least
two ways: (1) by decreasing the shelf-life of cached food, and (2) by
increasing competition from pilferers that benefit from a warmer
climate (van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8-10).
Areas of Uncertainty for Wolverine Habitat Needs
The precise causal mechanism(s) for the apparent association of
wolverine distribution and persistent spring snow are not yet clear.
Hypotheses for this association include the importance of snow to
create dens (Copeland et al. 2010, entire), the advantages of snow for
catching prey within a wolverine's metabolic limits (Young et al. 2012,
pp. 224-226), competitive advantages over other scavengers and
predators in snow-covered areas (Service 2018, p. 6), thermoregulation
(Service 2018, pp. 7-8), food storage and refrigeration (Inman et al.
2012, p. 640), or some combination of these factors. The interplay of
temperature and persistence of spring snow and the point at which
temperature becomes limiting is also unknown.
There is presumably some limit in appropriate habitat availability
at which wolverines will not cross certain habitats or traverse certain
barriers, but that threshold is not known. Understanding this threshold
for females is particularly important because they often disperse
shorter distances than males and appear to be more affected by
potential barriers to movement, such as large multi-lane highways
(e.g., Sawaya et al. 2019, pp. 621-623).
Recent studies from Canada and Alaska have shown that apex
predators and sympatric mesocarnivores (small to mid-sized carnivores
that occur in the same area) can influence wolverine space use (e.g.,
Heim et al. 2019, pp. 2499-2504; Frey et al. 2020, pp. 1133-1137; Bell
2021, pp. 46-47; Klauder et al. 2021, p. 569; Chow-Fraser et al. 2022,
p. 4). In addition, it is possible that competitors such as coyotes
that thrive within human-dominated landscapes could potentially
displace wolverines in areas with substantial anthropogenic disturbance
(Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, pp. 4-5). However, the influence of apex
predators and intraguild competition on wolverine distribution,
abundance, and dispersal in the contiguous United States remains
largely unstudied.
Threats
A species may be determined to be an endangered or threatened
species due to one or more of the five factors described in section
4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. Listing actions may be warranted
based on any of the above threat factors, singly or in combination.
Threats evaluated for the wolverine in the contiguous United States
include climate change (Factors A and E), effects from roads (Factors A
and E), disturbance due to winter recreational activity (Factors A and
E), other human disturbance (Factors A and E), effects from wildland
fire (Factor A), disease (Factor C), predation (Factor C),
overutilization (trapping) (Factor B), genetic diversity (Factor E),
and small population effects (Factor E). We found that habitat loss as
a result of climate change is the primary threat to the wolverine's
future viability in the contiguous United States. We expect climate
change to exacerbate effects from multi-lane roads, backcountry winter
recreation, and human development, all of which could then impact
genetic diversity and small population dynamics. A summary of the
threats affecting the North American wolverine in the contiguous United
States is presented below; for a full description of our evaluation of
the effects of these stressors, refer to the wolverine SSA report
(Service 2018, pp. 57-101) and the 2023 wolverine SSA report addendum
(Service 2023, pp. 30-47).
Climate Change: The wolverine's evolutionary and phylogeographic
history suggest a species adapted to cold and snowy climate conditions
(Fisher et al. 2022, p. 7; Service 2023, pp. 24-25). The wolverine is a
snow-adapted, cold climate animal in its physiology, morphology (Telfer
and Kelsall 1984, p. 1,830), behavior, and habits. Wolverines have been
classified as a ``chionphile'' or those animals with adaptations for
snow (e.g., increased surface area on feet, pelt characteristics) (see
definitions in Pruitt 1959, p. 172; Cathcart 2014, p. 22). We find that
impacts from climate change (increasing temperatures and decreasing
snowpack) have the largest potential to influence the North American
wolverine's population viability in the future.
To inform our assessment of the North American wolverine's status
in the contiguous United States, we updated our previous climate change
analysis, the details of which are summarized in the wolverine SSA
report addendum (Service 2023, pp. 47-59). The spatial expansion to our
climate change analysis is a major improvement from the snow
projections used in our 2018 SSA report, which focused only on Rocky
Mountain National Park (Colorado) and Glacier National Park (Montana).
We now focus on five modeling domains that overlap with occupied and
potential wolverine habitat in the contiguous United States across
latitudinal, longitudinal, and elevation gradients: (1) Cascades
(Washington); (2) Northern Rocky West (Washington, Idaho, and Montana);
(3) Northern Rocky (Idaho and Montana); (4) Mid-Rocky (Idaho, Montana,
and Wyoming); and (5) Southern Rocky (Colorado and New Mexico) (Service
2023, p. 49). Central Idaho was not modeled due to constraints of time
and resources. In our updated climate assessment, we use a timeframe
out to year 2100 for assessing future effects to the North American
wolverine's viability from climate change and other threats. Beyond
2100, climate modeling uncertainty increases substantially due to the
inability to predict human behavior, policy changes, and, by extension,
future greenhouse gas emissions. Our previous assessment in the October
13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618) looked at a timeframe of 38
to 50 years into the future. We find that end of century is a
reasonable timeframe to consider, as it includes the potential for
observing these effects and the wolverine's responses over several
generations of the wolverine.
Two scenarios were chosen from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report to bracket the
uncertainty regarding future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (Tebaldi
et al. 2021, p. 258). The two emission scenarios used in the analyses
are referred to as SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5; SSPs replace representative
concentration pathways (RCPs) from prior IPCC reports. The numerical
suffixes (e.g., 2-4.5 and 5-8.5) represent the approximate level of
radiative forcing (the change in energy flux in the atmosphere caused
by natural or anthropogenic factors of climate change) in 2100
(compared to preindustrial levels) in units of watts per meter squared
(W/m\2\). The SSP2-4.5 pathway (modest mitigation) used in this
analysis is similar to the RCP 4.5 scenario used in past reports,
whereas the SSP5-8.5 pathway represents one of the most pessimistic
estimates of future greenhouse gas emissions, a future with no
mitigation policy. The SSP5-8.5
[[Page 83750]]
pathway was included in this analysis to provide a lower-boundary
estimate of future snow cover available for wolverines within the
selected domains (OSTP 2023, p. 11). We chose a snow depth threshold of
greater than or equal to 1 m (40 inches) to represent persistent spring
snow cover on May 1 based on published literature, our prior analyses
in the 2018 SSA, and studies indicating that den site abandonment
generally occurs before May 1 (see the Use of Dens and Denning Behavior
discussion in the Reproduction and Growth section of the 2018 SSA
(Service 2018, pp. 25-27). There is no known snow depth threshold for
successful wolverine denning on any date. However, based on historical
den site melt-out dates (when there was no snow at the den sites) and
hindcasted (historical) snow models for Glacier National Park, the 2018
SSA used greater than 0.5 m (20 inches) on May 1. We received criticism
from some wolverine researchers that the use of the 0.5-m snow depth
threshold on May 1 was not conservative enough based on prior studies
(e.g., Copeland et al. 2010, entire; McKelvey et al. 2011, entire) that
considered snow depth out to June. Others would argue (based on the
importance of snow for denning) that snow depth at May 1 is not as
important since young wolverine kits are usually out of their natal
dens by mid-March (Inman 2023, pers. comm.). To address the criticism,
and to acknowledge that snow is likely important to the wolverine for
more life behaviors than just denning, for our updated analysis we
increased the snow depth measure representing persistent snow cover to
greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft) but retained the May 1 end date.
This provides a reasonable but more conservative estimate than we used
in the 2018 SSA.
Results from this updated climate change analysis are consistent
with earlier studies predicting greater snow loss at lower elevations
across all domains. Similar elevational patterns were reported for
Rocky Mountain and Glacier National Parks with greater reductions in
future snow cover at lower elevations (Barsugli et al. 2020, pp. 8-10).
This is partially explained by a greater percentage of future
precipitation falling as rain due to higher temperatures, earlier
snowmelt onset, and warmer conditions. Snowpack in the high country is
not as affected by projected temperature increases but is likely more
strongly controlled by projected precipitation changes (Barsugli et al.
2020, pp. 6-11; Scalzitti et al. 2016, p. 5367; Sospedra-Alfonso et al.
2015, p. 4429).
The elevational distribution of historical den sites varies by
latitude, with a general trend of dens being found at higher elevations
the farther south they are found. For example, dens in the Northern
Rocky domain are found at elevations ranging from approximately 1,500-
2,400 m (4,921-7,874 ft) (Service 2023, figure 12), while dens in the
Mid-Rocky domain are found from approximately 2,400-3,000 m (7,874-
9,843 ft) (Service 2023, figure 13). Additional den sites outside of
the modeling domains could expand these elevational bands. The majority
of historical dens across the domains are located in elevational bands
that are predicted to experience relatively small decreases in future
snow cover at the higher denning elevations and moderate decreases for
lower denning elevations. The percentage change in future snow depth
threshold (greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1 (median) for
SSP2-4.5 (2076-2095) for the upper denning elevations in Northern Rocky
West, Northern Rocky, and Mid-Rocky domains is predicted to be a less
than 10 percent decrease, whereas the percentage change for the
Cascades domain is predicted to be a less than 25 percent decrease. The
percentage change in future snow depth threshold (greater than or equal
to 1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1 (median) for SSP2-4.5 (2076-2095) for the
lower denning elevations in Northern Rocky is predicted to be a 10-50
percent decrease, and for Mid-Rocky is predicted to be a 10-25 percent
decrease, while the percentage change for the Cascades domain is
predicted to be a less than 25 percent decrease.
Elevations above historical den elevations are predicted to have
small decreases (less than 10 percent) in the future area with snow
depth exceeding the threshold (greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft))
on May 1 (median) for SSP2-4.5 (2076-2095) across the domains and in
some cases (e.g., Northern Rocky and Mid-Rocky domains), there are
increases in predicted future area with snow exceeding the greater than
or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft) May 1 threshold. This is driven by the
increases in future precipitation expected in all five domains, and
elevations with temperatures sufficiently cold enough to sustain
snowfall, even with future warming. The lowest elevation areas within
all domains (the lowest approximately 500 m (1,640 ft) of domains
modeled) are predicted to have the greatest decreases in the future
snow depth threshold (greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft)) on May 1.
For example, the Northern Rocky domain is predicted to experience
decreases of 50 to 100 percent at 1,000-1,500 m (3,281-4,921 ft) of
elevation (Service 2023, figure 13). Similar patterns are seen in the
other four domains, including predicted changes (mostly negative) in
the future snow depth threshold (greater than or equal to 1 m (3.3 ft))
on May 1. While decreases are projected across the domains, the
specific thresholds that could impact wolverine persistence at the
population level are not known.
Central to our assessment of future conditions is the degree to
which changes in persistent spring snow, other snow dynamics (e.g.,
volume, duration, condition, spatial and temporal variability, etc.),
and other climate-related factors will impact wolverines at the
population level in the contiguous United States. Key uncertainties
that remain regarding these relationships include: (1) the extent to
which wolverine population connectivity and gene flow will be affected
by these changes; (2) the impacts of climate change on ecosystem
drivers of wolverine persistence (i.e., changes in community dynamics,
including prey availability and competition with other predators that
might impact wolverine demographic rates); (3) the volume and duration
of snow required for wolverines to successfully acquire and cache food
for future use; (4) the impacts of climate change on the ability of
wolverines to thermoregulate, and whether wolverines might experience
any sublethal effects from changes in temperature (e.g., impacts to
reproduction) (see Thiel et al. 2019, entire); (5) whether the observed
associations of the wolverine's distribution with snowy and cold
environments are driven by reproductive denning needs, other ecological
requirements, or physiological constraints (Aubry et al. 2023, p. 16);
(6) the adaptive capacity of wolverines to move to higher elevations
for denning given predicted snow loss at lower elevations within their
historical denning range (assuming snow is required for denning); and
(7) the importance of snow and the impact of decreases in future snow
within historical denning elevations on reproductive success. In
summary, specific thresholds regarding snow dynamics and how changes in
these factors will impact wolverines in the future at the population
level remain uncertain.
That said, we know that wolverines are a species that is adapted
to, and has a strong preference for, cold and snowy conditions and that
these conditions occur in the contiguous United States at high
elevations. As explained before,
[[Page 83751]]
there are uncertainties as to the exact mechanism(s) by which spring
snowpack is important to wolverines or when it may become limiting.
Although wolverines have been shown to den outside of spring snowpack
in Canada and Scandinavia, we continue to have no evidence of this
behavioral ability in the contiguous United States. Furthermore, new
research on wolverine habitat use continues to reinforce that cold and
snowy conditions are a strong predictor of wolverine occurrence on the
landscape (Aubry et al. 2023, pp. 15-16; Carroll et al. 2020, p. 8;
Fisher et al. 2022, p. 10; Glass et al. 2021, entire; Mowat et al.
2020, p. 220). Furthermore, deep, persistent snow cover has been shown
to be an important predictor of successful wolverine dispersal and
resulting genetic structure (Balkenhol et al. 2020, pp. 798-799). New
research on food caching indicates that warming future conditions could
make caching food, a year-round behavior, more difficult for wolverines
(Van der Veen et al. 2020, pp. 8-10). As climate change reduces the
preferred habitat conditions for wolverine, it has the potential to
exacerbate other stressors discussed above including effects from
roads, winter recreational activity, effects from development, low
genetic diversity, and small population effects. When taken together,
we have no reason to conclude that wolverines will somehow continue to
have the same or better resiliency in the contiguous United States in
the future when those cold and snowy conditions at high elevations are
expected to decrease, with spring snowpack at denning elevations
decreasing as much as 50 percent in some areas. Although we are not
seeing deleterious effects of climate change on the contiguous U.S. DPS
of North American wolverines currently, we expect future impacts at the
population level.
Effects from Roads: In our 2018 SSA and the October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we concluded that roads present a
low stressor to wolverines at the individual and population level in
most of the wolverine's current area of occupancy within the contiguous
United States. New information on the effects of roads on the North
American wolverine's distribution, density, reproduction, and
connectivity and gene flow are presented below.
Since 2018, we were made aware of four wolverine mortalities from
collisions with vehicles in the contiguous United States, at least
three of which were males (Service 2023, p. 30). Overall, young,
inexperienced male wolverines have a greater risk of road mortality
during dispersal compared to adults and immature females that are less
prone to long-distance dispersal (e.g., Krebs et al. 2004, pp. 497-
498). The small number of mortalities observed since 2018, if biased
toward males, are unlikely to have substantial impacts to the
resiliency of the DPS overall.
New studies available in southwestern Canada and the western United
States since the 2018 SSA have found that North American wolverine
distribution and density are negatively related to road density
(Service 2023, pp. 31-32). In southwestern Canada, consistency of
spring snow and road density are the two most important variables
correlated with wolverine density (Clevenger 2019, p. 52; Mowat et al.
2020, p. 220). Wolverine population estimates derived from models based
on snow and road density predicted that wolverine abundance would be 44
percent higher without the depressing effect of the road covariate
(Clevenger 2019, p. 52; Mowat et al. 2020, p. 220). As most roads are
concentrated in areas of human development at lower elevations with
less snow, correlations between wolverine distribution and road density
can be confounded by other collinear variables (Copeland et al. 2007,
pp. 2210-2211). In southeastern British Columbia, the density of forest
roads that extended into high-elevation wolverine habitat was a strong
negative predictor of wolverine distribution in winter, especially for
females (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 10). The most likely explanation for
this negative relationship is the use of these high-elevation forest
roads by snowmobilers, rather than predator avoidance or trapping
pressure (Kortello et al. 2019, p. 10). Other possible explanations are
increased trapping access or less abundant food resources near roads
(Mowat et al. 2020, p. 224). While the statistical significance of the
relationship between roads and wolverine densities has been
demonstrated in some areas, the mechanisms behind this relationship
require further study (Mowat et al. 2020, p. 224).
Large transportation corridors (e.g., multi-lane highways with
substantial traffic volume) can have a significant impact on wolverine
population connectivity and gene flow. The mechanisms for reducing
connectivity and gene flow are road mortality and reduced habitat
permeability (avoidance of crossing roads). Mitochondrial and nuclear
DNA measures of genetic population structure found that the Trans-
Canada Highway corridor in the Canadian Rockies, as well as other
natural and anthropogenic barriers to movement, fragmented the North
American wolverine population by restricting female movement (Sawaya et
al. 2019, pp. 621-622). This restricted movement resulted in male-
biased dispersal and gene flow (Sawaya et al. 2019, pp. 621-622). This
highway is approximately 150 miles north of the U.S.-Canada border, and
the study area for analyzing wolverine movement across the Trans-Canada
Highway was in the lower Bow River Valley, which is a human-dominated
landscape containing the Trans-Canada Highway, a town with
approximately 10,000 residents, a golf course, three ski areas, the
Canadian Pacific Railway, and a secondary highway. This transportation
corridor was not an absolute barrier to female movement (4 of 20 female
wolverines crossed the highway during the study); however, females
traversing the transportation corridor did not translate to gene flow
(Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 622). The differences between male and female
dispersal across this highway were likely due to the exacerbating
effects of linear anthropogenic barriers on the strong natural
tendencies for female wolverine philopatry (tendency to return to or
remain near a particular area or site) (Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 623).
(See Genetic Diversity, below, for more discussion of the effects of
roads on gene flow and genetics of wolverines within the contiguous
United States and genetic connectivity to Canada).
Wildlife crossing structures spanning the Trans-Canada Highway
along the crest of the Continental Divide may improve wolverine
connectivity across this highway. Evidence suggests that female
wolverines may be starting to use wildlife crossings to cross the
Trans-Canada Highway (Service 2023, p. 32). However, the efficacy of
these structures in restoring gene flow has not yet been measured
(Sawaya et al. 2019, p. 623). There are few wildlife crossing
structures spanning major highways in the contiguous United States; a
series of three under-crossings and one dedicated wildlife overpass on
I-90 in the Washington Cascades (connecting the northern and southern
Cascades) were completed in 2019 (Sugiarto 2022, p. 9). To date,
however, no wolverines have been detected using these relatively new
crossings.
Habitats in the contiguous United States outside of the known
breeding distribution of wolverines, including the Sierra Nevada in
California and the central Rocky Mountains in Colorado, are separated
from occupied habitats by
[[Page 83752]]
large expanses of high-resistance habitats, anthropogenic features, and
highways (e.g., Carroll et al. 2020, pp. 9-10; Bjornlie et al. 2021,
pp. 116-117). While highways are not an absolute barrier to movement
(wolverines have been documented crossing multi-lane highways), they
can apparently limit female wolverine gene flow in some situations
(e.g., Sawaya et al. 2019, pp. 621-622). The wolverine's capacity to
traverse large expanses of high-resistance habitats, anthropogenic
features, and highways and naturally recolonize and establish a
population in some relatively isolated habitats in the contiguous
United States (e.g., Oregon Cascades, Sierra Nevada, and central Rocky
Mountains) remains unclear.
Based on the best available scientific and commercial information,
the effect of roads, in isolation, represents a relatively low threat
to wolverines in the contiguous United States at the population level,
although some individuals are affected. However, in combination with
other threats discussed below, roads, in particular multi-lane, high-
traffic roads, and high road density in core habitats could negatively
affect the North American wolverine's population resilience,
distribution, and gene flow in the future.
Disturbance Due to Winter Recreational Activity: In our 2018 SSA
and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we concluded
that the effect of winter recreational activity represents a low
stressor to wolverines in the contiguous United States at the
individual and population levels. New information on winter recreation
impacts on North American wolverines is presented below and adds
significantly to our understanding of this factor as highly relevant to
the DPS.
The response of North American wolverines to various levels of
backcountry winter recreation (motorized and nonmotorized) was recently
studied in four areas in Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming (Heinemeyer et al.
2019a, p. 8). The study found that wolverines temporarily avoided areas
within their home range where winter recreation (motorized and
nonmotorized) was occurring (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16).
Wolverines increasingly avoided these areas as the amount of off-road
winter recreation increased, resulting in indirect habitat loss or
functional degradation of moderate- or high-quality habitats in winter
(Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16). However, wolverines did demonstrate
the ability to maintain multi-year home ranges despite the presence of
winter recreation activity within those home ranges. Some resident
animals had more than 40 percent of their home range within the
footprint of winter recreation, suggesting that, at some scale,
wolverines tolerate winter recreation (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 16).
Dispersed or off-road winter recreation appears to elicit more of
an avoidance response than recreation along roads and groomed routes
with females showing more sensitivity than males (Heinemeyer et al.
2019a, p. 15). Females exhibited more of a negative response to
motorized recreation, which occurred at higher intensity across a
larger footprint than did nonmotorized recreation.
In a study evaluating the strength of aerial survey metrics in
predicting wolverine responses to motorized and nonmotorized
backcountry winter recreation, higher recreation intensity showed
stronger avoidance coefficients and were the most important modelled
predictors of female wolverine absence (Heinemeyer et al. 2019b, pp.
18-20). Given the likelihood that, under climate change, both
wolverines and backcountry winter recreation will be impacted by
declining snow extent and depth and an abbreviated snow season, there
is the potential for increased overlap between winter recreation and
wolverine distribution (Heinemeyer et al. 2019a, p. 18).
The impacts of motorized and nonmotorized backcountry winter
recreation on wolverines in the Nez Perce-Clearwater, Sawtooth National
Recreation Area, and Salmon-Challis National Forests of Idaho were
recently evaluated (Regan et al. 2020, entire). Preliminary results
showed that recreational impacts, in both area and intensity, are
increasing over time. In the Sawtooth-Boulder White Cloud Mountains,
researchers compared the current extent of winter recreation with known
historical wolverine home ranges and found that most of these home
ranges contained little or no backcountry recreation at this time
(Regan et al. 2020, p. 4). In contrast, recent surveys on the Payette
National Forest in central Idaho revisited a portion of a previous
winter recreation study and found that there had been an incremental
loss of resident wolverines from 2010 to 2014, and that previously
documented territories appeared to be vacant (Mack and Hagen 2022, p.
13). The authors suggest that ``what was considered to be a stable core
subpopulation area could, in fact, be more tenuous'' and ``that the
change in wolverine abundance in this area might be attributed to
changes in habitat quality from direct or indirect influences including
dispersed recreation,'' although the cause for the decline in wolverine
abundance requires further study (Mack and Hagen 2022, p. 13).
Both motorized and nonmotorized recreation can affect wolverine
habitat use. Forest roads that are used by snowmobilers appear to have
a strong negative correlation with wolverine distribution (Kortello
2019, p. 10). Nonmotorized recreation can also impact wolverines.
Remote camera-based surveys from 2011-2020 in protected and non-
protected habitat in southwestern Canada found that wolverine detection
probability was strongly negatively correlated with the amount of
nonmotorized human recreation (Barrueto et al. 2022, pp. 4-8). This
pattern was consistent in both winter and summer, and mirrored the
findings of Heinemeyer et al. (2019a, p. 18). Further research is
necessary to determine the specific causal mechanisms most responsible
for these declines (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 8).
In the winter recreation studies we considered, winter recreation
activities varied in the number of recreationists and types of
recreation, and each study area had a unique combination of backcountry
recreation including snowmobile, skiing (including snowboards),
snowmobile-accessed ski/snowboard, cat-ski, heli-ski, yurt-supported
skiing, and snowshoeing. Backcountry motorized and nonmotorized winter
recreation that occurs in areas that do not overlap with wolverine home
ranges is not expected to impact the DPS. Additionally, developed ski
slopes and resorts that are already on the landscape and other
developed winter recreation sites that do not occur in the backcountry
are not expected to be a concern for wolverines, as wolverines are
likely already avoiding these areas. Backcountry winter recreational
activities that do occur in wolverine home ranges could negatively
impact wolverines by displacing them from high-quality habitat.
Developed ski resorts that allow for backcountry or out-of-bounds
skiing in areas that overlap wolverine home ranges may also displace
wolverines. Backcountry areas where wolverines reside in winter are
largely difficult for recreationalists to access without snowmobiles or
forest roads that facilitate access, and the intensity of recreational
activity is correlated with accessibility.
Based on the best available scientific and commercial information,
the effect of winter recreation activity (of greatest concern because
of potential to impact denning), in isolation, represents a low
[[Page 83753]]
threat to North American wolverines in the contiguous United States at
the population level, although some individuals are affected. However,
in combination with other threats, including decreased snow
availability (see Climate Change, above) and increased overlap with
winter recreationalists in the future of climate change, winter
recreation could negatively affect wolverine population resilience in
the future.
Other Human Disturbance and Development: In our 2018 SSA and
October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we concluded that
human infrastructure may affect individual wolverine behavior (e.g.,
avoidance) or result in the loss or modification of wolverine habitat.
We further stated these effects are small or narrow in scope and scale
and appear to represent a trade-off between foraging opportunities in
areas that provide minimal risk of predation and avoidance of open
areas and/or higher predation risk. We discuss below new information
related to the impacts of human disturbance and development on North
American wolverine populations.
North American wolverine density in and around a national park
complex in the southern Canadian Rocky Mountains was three times higher
within these national parks than outside them, increased with spring
snow cover, and decreased with increasing night light intensity (a
measure of human development) (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). An
approximately 40 percent decline in wolverine abundance was observed
between 2011 and 2020, likely from one or more of the following causes:
trapping, backcountry recreation, human development, and food
availability (Barrueto et al. 2022, pp. 4, 6-8). This pattern is
consistent with telemetry-based data that wolverines avoid
infrastructure (May et al. 2006, entire; Scrafford et al. 2018,
entire). Along the Front Range of the Canadian Rocky Mountains,
wolverines selected areas with natural land-cover and high snow cover,
and avoided anthropogenic features and heterospecific competitors (Heim
et al. 2019, pp. 2499-2502). It is thought that competition from other
carnivores that more readily exploit anthropogenic change may
exacerbate the habitat loss and displacement impacts of such changes on
North American wolverines (Heim et al. 2019, pp. 2503-2504).
Connectivity among North American wolverine habitats appears to be
particularly sensitive to housing developments and other human impacts
in rugged areas located between typical wolverine habitats (Balkenhol
et al. 2020, p. 799). Housing density was found to be an important
predictor of long-distance wolverine dispersal and population structure
in the Northern Rocky Mountains (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799). Even
if areas between wolverine primary alpine habitats are not typically
inhabited by wolverines, they may be used during dispersal and can,
therefore, offer crucial pathways for gene flow across broad spatial
scales (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799).
The extent of the impacts of human presence and actions on the
landscape have been collectively called ``the human footprint'' (Janzen
1998, entire). In an analysis of the human footprint in the western
United States, Leu et al. (2008, p. 1125) found that the physical
effect area of 14 anthropogenic features they analyzed (human
habitation, interstate highways, Federal and State highways, secondary
roads, railroads, irrigation canals, powerlines, linear feature
densities, agricultural land, campgrounds, highway rest stops,
landfills, oil and gas development, and human-induced fires) covered 13
percent of the land area in the western United States. Accounting for
the indirect effects radiating out from the direct human footprint, Leu
et al. (2008, p. 1125) categorized 52 percent of the western United
States as having medium- or high-intensity impacts from the human
footprint (both direct and indirect impacts), while low-intensity
impact areas covered the remaining 48 percent of the landscape (Leu et
al. 2008, pp. 1125-1127). When modeled North American wolverine core
areas are overlaid across the western United States with the human
footprint, less than 1 percent was in the high-intensity category, 12
percent in the medium-intensity category, and 88 percent in the low-
intensity category. We also overlaid the current breeding distribution
of the North American wolverine with the human footprint map and found
that only 1 percent of the current breeding range was within the high-
intensity category, 31 percent in the medium-intensity category, and 68
percent in the low-intensity category (Service 2023, figure 4). As
expected, wolverine core areas are concentrated in high-elevation areas
with little human infrastructure (Service 2023, figure 4). However,
within their current breeding distribution in the contiguous United
States, wolverines must navigate across lower elevation areas with
greater amounts of human infrastructure to disperse from one habitat
core to another (Service 2023, figure 4).
In addition to effects on wolverine density and connectivity, human
infrastructure can also affect wolverines through shifts in community
dynamics that precipitate from changes in the behavior and temporal use
of habitats by apex predators. Wolverines and other carnivores may
shift their daily behavior patterns in response to the presence of
human landscape disturbance (Frey et al. 2020, pp. 1133-1138). Indirect
effects can also include range expansion of other carnivores into
wolverine habitat facilitated by human infrastructure. While wolverine
and coyotes are generally segregated, the probability of co-occurrence
increases with the proportion of linear disturbance features (Chow-
Fraser et al. 2022, p. 4). Using a study area in Alberta (Frey et al.
2020, p. 1130), the authors found that while wolverines favored areas
of low disturbance (low proportion of linear features) and coyotes
favored areas of high disturbance (high proportion of linear features),
co-occurrence probability increased 3 times for each increase of linear
feature unit (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 4). Modeling showed that
competition exhibited the strongest effect on wolverine distribution,
with wolverine occurrence best explained by coyote occurrence at the
same sites (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 4). These results suggest that
anthropogenic disturbance and resulting coyote range expansion may be
contributing to wolverine population declines in the Canadian Rocky
Mountains (Chow-Fraser et al. 2022, p. 6).
A recent study estimated the independent and cumulative effects of
landscape features, human disturbance (distance to human settlements
and roads, night light brightness, human population density), and prey
availability on wolverines and other large carnivore occurrences in
Fennoscandia (region in Europe that includes the Scandinavian
peninsula, the Kola Peninsula, mainland Finland, and Karelia) (Milanesi
et al. 2022, entire). Contrary to the other carnivores they evaluated,
variation in the ``permanent'' occurrence of wolverines was best
explained by human disturbance and the shared effect between landscape
attributes and human disturbance. This same relationship was observed
for ``sporadic'' wolverine occurrences, but with a considerably lower
level of explained variance. The researchers concluded that, ``the
wolverine showed higher sensitivity to human disturbance compared to
the other large carnivores, and spatial segregation patterns between
wolverines and humans were found, as large carnivore home ranges are
usually at high elevation (often covered by
[[Page 83754]]
snow), far from the lowlands where density of human settlements and
roads is high'' (Milanesi et al. 2022, p. 10). It appears that
wolverines select den sites mainly away from infrastructure, indicating
that successful reproduction may be influenced by human activities.
However, wolverines also appear to be able to cross artificial barriers
to some degree. Therefore, wolverines appear to have a relatively low
tolerance of human disturbance, with an ability to exhibit more
flexible behavior during dispersal in some circumstances.
Human disturbance and development effects are limited in scope and
scale within the wolverine DPS's core habitats and breeding range in
the contiguous United States. However, in lower elevations and valleys
bottoms between core habitats, wolverines must traverse through areas
of human disturbance and infrastructure to maintain connectivity in the
contiguous United States, where habitat is often fragmented. Wolverines
have shown avoidance of disturbed areas and human infrastructure and a
preference for habitats devoid of these features. Based on the best
available scientific and commercial information, we find that human
disturbance and development, especially coupled with major roads (see
Effects from Roads, above), could limit wolverine connectivity and
dispersal in the future.
Effects from Wildland Fire: In our 2018 SSA and October 13, 2020,
withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we found that wildland fire was
neither a population- nor species-level stressor to North American
wolverines in the contiguous United States. Our assessment of wildland
fire effects to wolverines has not changed. Wildland fire can produce
both direct and indirect effects to wildlife. Direct effects include
injury and mortality, as well as escape or emigration movement away
from fires (Lyon et al. 2000, pp. 17-21). Wildland fire is likely to
temporarily displace wolverines, which could affect home range
dynamics. Given that wolverines can travel long distances in a short
period of time, individuals would be expected to move away from fire
and smoke (Luensmann 2008, p. 14). In addition, because young
wolverines are born in underground or otherwise sheltered dens during
winter months and in locations where wildland fire risk is low due to
snow cover or increased moisture (Luensmann 2008, p. 14), the potential
effects of fire at that critical life stage is very low (Luensmann
2008, p. 14). Indirect effects of wildland fire can include habitat-
related effects or effects to prey and competitors/predators; however,
we are unaware of empirical studies evaluating these potential effects
as they relate to wolverines.
Given the diversity of habitats occupied by wolverines, their
opportunistic foraging habitats and seasonal switching of food sources,
their occupancy of high elevations, and their extensive mobility,
wildland fire does not represent a stressor to North American
wolverines in the contiguous U.S. range (Service 2018, pp. 63-64) and
is not expected to have population-level impacts.
Disease and Predation: In our 2018 SSA, we found that disease and
predation were neither population- nor species-level stressors to the
North American wolverine in the contiguous United States. Our
assessment of these stressors has not changed.
There has been considerable localized research on diseases and
parasites in wolverines since the 2018 SSA was published; however, we
lack data on the specific effects to wolverine populations. It is
conceivable that disease-induced mortality could contribute to
population declines, but this remains understudied south of the Arctic
(Fisher et al. 2022, p. 9). The types of bacteria or parasites that
could lead to disease in wolverines are still unknown (Watson 2020, pp.
62, 65). Many authors have discovered new viruses in the United States
and Canada, some of which were previously unrecognized species of
parasites (Sharma et al. 2020, p. 277; 2021, p. 1; Watson et al. 2020,
p. 43; Bandoo et al. 2021, p. 1). This new information pertains to how
wolverines act as primary hosts for some parasites, such as Trichinella
spp., and how those parasites could increase infection risk to humans
and other vertebrates (Sharma et al. 2021, pp. 1, 7). Considering the
global coronavirus pandemic in recent years and instances of human-
animal cross-infections, researchers are beginning to use genomic data
to evaluate the wolverine's susceptibility to these pathogens (Lok et
al. 2022, pp. 16-18). Although no coronavirus cases have been reported
in wolverines, and an initial evaluation of the wolverine's genome to
determine susceptibility to coronaviruses was inconclusive, there is
potential risk of infection from their prey or from researchers
handling captured wolverines that they release back into the wild (Lok
et al. 2022, pp. 16, 18, 20).
Since our 2018 SSA, we found no substantive new information on
predation. In North America, there was one new report of two wolverines
being predated upon in the boreal ecosystem of Canada. One was the
result of wolf predation, and the other was the result of an unknown
predator (Scrafford et al. 2021, p. 9).
Based on the best available scientific and commercial information,
disease and predation are not threats to North American wolverines in
the contiguous United States at the individual or population level.
Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes: In our 2018 SSA and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we concluded that overutilization does not
currently represent a stressor to the wolverine in the contiguous
United States at the individual, population, or species level. We also
concluded that trapping in Canada had been and appeared to be
sustainable, and trapping or harvesting of wolverines along the
contiguous U.S.-Canada border did not represent a barrier to wolverine
movement and dispersal along the international border (Service 2018, p.
71). Below, we present new information on incidental captures of
wolverines in the contiguous United States, where regulated wolverine
trapping remains closed (Service 2018, pp. 70-72), and new information
on the effects of trapping mortality on wolverine populations in
southwestern Canada. New information suggests that wolverine trapping
in southwestern Canada has impacted connectivity across the
international border.
Since 2012, there have been 10 nontarget wolverine captures
(average = fewer than 1 per year (1/year)) in Montana, resulting in 3
mortalities (1 in a conibear (a body gripping trap), 1 in a foothold,
and 1 in a snare); the remainder were released (MFWP 2023, in litt., p.
1). In Idaho, 14 nontarget captures (0.7/year) of wolverines have
occurred during licensed trapping activities, with no demonstratable
trend in capture rates over the past 20 years (IDFG 2022, in litt., p.
3). Nine wolverines were incidentally trapped in Idaho between November
2017 and August 2022, with two resulting in known mortalities (IDFG
2022, in litt., pp. 5, 16-22).
The Idaho legislature revised the Idaho Code (IC) in 2021 to: (1)
authorize a year-round trapping season for wolves on private property
(IC 36-201(3)); (2) authorize additional methods of take previously
prohibited (inclusive of the use of snares in 97 out of 99 management
units) (IC 36-201(2)); (3) remove any limit to the number of wolf tags
an individual may purchase (IC 36-408(1)); (4) allow a livestock or
domestic animal owner to use a private contractor to kill wolves (IC
36-1107(c)); (5) allow the Idaho Wolf Depredation Control
[[Page 83755]]
Board to enter into agreements with private contractors, in addition to
State and Federal agencies, to implement the provisions of Idaho Senate
Bill 1211 (IC 22-5304(2)); and (6) direct wolf control assessments
($110,000 annually) collected from the Idaho livestock industry to be
combined with $300,000 the State will transfer from the IDFG fund
annually beginning on July 1, 2021 (IC 22-5306).
In Montana, new laws were also passed in 2021 to reduce the wolf
population through, among other things: (1) authorizing the use of
snares to take wolves by licensed trappers (Montana Code Annotated
(MCA) 87-1-901(2)(b)); (2) allowing the Montana Fish, Wildlife, and
Parks (MFWP) Commission authority to extend trapping season dates (MCA
87-1-304(8)); and, (3) allowing the reimbursement of costs incurred to
harvest a wolf or wolves in Montana (MCA 87-6-214(1)(d)).
These regulation changes may increase the amount of wolf trapping
and the risk of incidental trapping of wolverines because of the use of
snares, extended trapping seasons, and financial incentives. However,
because wolverines differ from wolves in size, distribution, and
behavior, trappers use pan tension, site selection, and snare height to
reduce the likelihood of incidental capture. In addition, year-round
wolf trapping seasons in Idaho are limited to private lands, where
there is very little core wolverine habitat. Although the wolf trapping
regulations have been in effect for a limited time, we do not
anticipate a significant increase in wolverine incidental trapping due
to the measures Idaho and Montana are taking to limit wolverine
capture. Across the contiguous U.S. range, wolverine mortality from
incidental trapping has historically been very low, and States within
the DPS's range are actively taking measures to limit incidental
capture and mortality. Below, we present a summary of incidental
trapping risk and measures to limit wolverine capture for each State
within the current range in the contiguous United States.
California
The wolverine is listed as both a threatened species and as a fully
protected mammal in California; these designations provide wolverines
broad protection from being trapped, killed, or otherwise taken in the
State (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). Recent detections of lone animals
have indicated the occasional presence of wolverines in the State (CDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). Recreational and commercial trapping of fur-
bearing and nongame animals has been illegal in California since 2019
(CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). While furbearers and nongame species can
be trapped for other reasons (e.g., the protection of property),
existing regulations likely preclude the serious injury or mortality of
incidentally captured wolverines (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). The use
of snares, conibear-type traps, and deadfall traps is prohibited in
large areas of the State, including in the most recently estimated
historical range of the wolverine (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). The use
of steel-jawed leghold traps is prohibited throughout the State (CDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). All traps must be checked daily, and all
captured animals that are not legal to trap should be immediately
released (CDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Colorado
Recreational trapping of wildlife in Colorado is limited to live
cage traps (CPW 2023, in litt., p. 1), and any wolverines incidentally
trapped could be released unharmed. However, there are currently no
wolverines known to be present in Colorado, and, therefore, there
should be no incidental trapping of wolverines occurring (CPW 2023, in
litt., p. 1).
Idaho
IDFG has multiple guidelines that are shared with the trapping
community to reduce the nontarget capture of wolverine (IDFG 2023, in
litt.; IDFG 2022, p. 40). The guidelines, developed with the assistance
of technical experts familiar with the wolverine, include
recommendations on the types of traps used, trap tension, trap
placement, avoiding areas with wolverine tracks observed, selecting
habitats less likely to have wolverines, and contacting IDFG or a local
sheriff's office to assist with the safe release of wolverines
incidentally trapped. These guidelines help minimize nontarget
wolverine captures (IDFG 2023, in litt., p. 3). Capture rates of
wolverine during trapping activities for other species are low. In
Idaho, 14 nontarget captures (0.7/year) of wolverines have occurred
during licensed trapping activities, with no demonstratable trend in
capture rates over the past 20 years (IDFG 2022, in litt., p. 3).
Between November 2017 and August 2022, IDFG reported that nine
wolverines were incidentally trapped, with two resulting in mortalities
(IDFG 2022, in litt., pp. 5, 16-22).
Montana
Montana FWP has multiple trapping regulations that help mitigate
the nontarget capture of wolverines by recreational trappers (MFWP
2023, in litt., p. 1). The regulations include requirements for
trappers to take an education course, that wolf traps must be checked
every 48 hours, and that wolf trap tension and snare height are set to
limit wolverine capture (MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). There are also a
number of regulations required to mitigate the nontarget capture of the
federally listed Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis) that are also applicable
to wolverines, including the prohibition of wolf snares on public lands
in lynx protected zones, which overlap much of the wolverine habitat in
Montana (MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 5).
The last legal harvest season for wolverines in Montana was in 2012
(MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). The nontarget capture of a wolverine is
very rare, and these incidents do not pose any population-level effects
on wolverines (MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). There have been 10 nontarget
wolverine captures (average = less than 1/year), resulting in 3
mortalities in Montana (MFWP 2023, in litt., p. 1). This also provides
evidence of the efficacy of the trapping regulations in place to
mitigate the nontarget capture of wolverines and other animals (MFWP
2023, in litt., p. 1).
Oregon
There is no open season for wolverine (or other protected species),
and any incidental capture or other take of wolverines must be reported
to the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) within 48 hours
(ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4). Regulations that also reduce any
incidental captures or take include a 48-hour trap check (which limits
the ability for traps to be set in the wolverine's range and allows for
prompt trap set modification or removal if signs of wolverine presence
are detected) and a prohibition on medium-sized and larger body-grip
traps (such as the conibear trap) being set on land (ODFW 2023, in
litt., p. 4). In practice, other traps successfully deployed for the
capture of wolverines simply are not used by Oregon trappers (ODFW
2023, in litt., p. 4). For example, foothold traps (#4 coil springs,
Minnesota Brand 750s) used for wolverine in Canada and Alaska are too
large for targeted Oregon species like bobcats (Lynx rufus) and coyotes
(ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4). No wolverines have been incidentally
captured by licensed furtakers in Oregon over the last half-century
(ODFW 2023, in litt., p. 4).
Utah
There are no regulations specific to wolverines in Utah, but the
Utah Division of Wildlife Resources (UDWR)
[[Page 83756]]
regulates trapping and the use of trapping devices to reduce the
capture of nontargeted protected species (UDWR 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Any protected wildlife found alive in a trapping device must be
immediately released unharmed (UDWR 2023, in litt., p. 2). UDWR also
provides trappers with multiple recommendations that can help avoid
catching nontarget species in traps set for bobcats and other
furbearers, including recommendations on the type of traps used,
placement of traps, and baits used (UDWR 2023, in litt., p. 2).
Washington
Information on the wolverine is in Washington's trapping education
manual, and all trappers must pass a trapper education test (or a
similar one in another State) prior to obtaining their first license
(Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW) 2023, in litt., p.
2). Due to Washington's trap-type regulations banning body gripping
traps, the likelihood of accidental capture of a wolverine is very
unlikely, and injury or death from these traps even more unlikely (WDFW
2023, in litt., p. 2). In Washington, the most commonly trapped animal
in habitats that wolverines occupy is the marten (Martes americana) but
marten traps are too small for wolverines (even young wolverines) to be
captured (WDFW 2023, in litt., p. 2). Larger cage traps that are used
for bobcat and other larger animals could potentially capture a
wolverine, but these are not commonly set in areas that wolverines
occupy, and if a wolverine were incidentally captured, it could be
released from the trap unharmed (WDFW 2023, in litt., p. 3). The past
several years of trapper reports (2017-2022) do not show any records of
a wolverine being trapped.
Wyoming
The Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD) addresses the
incidental capture of animals classified as protected, like wolverines,
in their Furbearing Animal Hunting or Trapping Seasons Brochure (WGDF
2023, in litt., p. 4). All protected animals that are trapped shall be
released unharmed and mortalities reported to the WGFD (WGDF 2023, p.
14). Large areas of Wyoming within the distribution of wolverines are
closed to trapping, including Yellowstone National Park and Grand Teton
National Park.
The WGFD is not aware of any wolverines trapped incidentally in
Wyoming in recent history (WGDF 2023, in litt., p. 1). Trap types with
the potential to capture wolverines are largely restricted to private
lands, must be partially submerged in water (where there would be low
likelihood of wolverine capture), or are required to have break-away
devices to limit bycatch (WGDF 2023, in litt., p. 2). Trapping that
occurs in areas that overlap with wolverine habitat in Wyoming is
primarily by marten trappers that use smaller cubby trap sets, and it
is unlikely these would capture a wolverine (WGDF 2023, in litt., p.
2).
Since our 2018 SSA, there is substantial evidence demonstrating
that direct trapping of wolverines has impacted wolverine densities in
southern British Columbia and Alberta over the last decade (e.g.,
Kortello et al. 2019, pp. 1, 10; Mowat et al. 2020, entire; Barrueto et
al. 2020, p. 296; Barrueto et al. 2022, entire). In addition, there
appear to be edge effects from trapping, with impacts to wolverine
densities extending into protected areas in southern Canada (Barrueto
et al. 2020, p. 296; Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4). In the most expansive
study of wolverine trapping and density to date--and encompassing
southern British Columbia and Alberta's zone of connectivity with the
Northern Rocky Mountains of the United States--wolverine trapping
mortality was found to be unsustainably high at approximately 8.4
percent per year (Mowat et al. 2020, p. 221). Kill rates were higher in
the southern British Columbia portion of the study area, with the best
estimate of trapping mortality there approaching 10 percent per year
(Mowat et al. 2020, p. 223). This contrasts with the maximum
sustainable harvest of approximately 8 percent after accounting for the
influence of higher trap vulnerability of juveniles and males and
stochasticity in juvenile recruitment rates (Mowat et al. 2020, p.
221). Uncertainties in the stochasticity of reproduction, however, had
large effects on the estimates of maximum sustainable harvest, causing
it to vary between 0 and 8.1 percent (Mowat et al. 2020, p. 221). Based
on their analyses, Mowat et al. (2020, p. 224) recommended reducing
trapping mortality to no more than 4 percent per year (and perhaps even
lower than that for an interim period) across their study area to
promote wolverine population recovery. In response to the emerging
information that trapping rates were unsustainable in southern British
Columbia, the British Columbia Ministry of Forests, Lands, Natural
Resource Operations and Rural Development closed a portion of the
province along the U.S.-Canada border to wolverine trapping in 2020.
New research published since that closure has confirmed population
declines of approximately 40 percent (approximately 20 individuals) in
the wolverine population in a portion of the Canadian Rocky Mountains
over the decade before the closure (Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 6).
Legal trapping of wolverines has not occurred in the contiguous
United States in the past 10 years, and lethal incidental trapping of
wolverines has been minimal (1 to 2 animals per year across the
contiguous United States). As described above, States within the
wolverine's range have implemented measures to limit the incidental
trapping of wolverines during legal trapping of other wildlife. We
expect that, as long as trapping is done in a manner to limit wolverine
bycatch, recent changes to wolf trapping regulations in Idaho and
Montana will have little effect on wolverines at a population level.
Based on a recent analysis of an area in Canada that was
experiencing population declines related to overharvest, Mowat et al.
(2020, p. 224) recommended reducing direct trapping mortality to no
more than 4 percent per year across their study area to promote
wolverine population recovery. In the contiguous United States, where
there is no direct trapping, incidental trapping rates have been well
below this recommended rate. If we assume there are approximately 300
wolverines in the contiguous United States and assume 2 wolverine
mortalities per year from incidental trapping (a conservative estimate
from the incidental trapping mortalities we know of since 2012), that
would amount to only 0.67 percent of the population per year. This
minimal level of loss will not significantly impact the contiguous U.S.
population of North American wolverines and will not inhibit
conservation of the DPS.
As noted, trapping in southern Canada appears to be having more of
a negative effect on wolverine populations in Canada than previously
thought. Unsustainable trapping levels in Canada could limit dispersal
of individuals into the contiguous United States, where the dispersal
of wolverines from southern Canada is vital to the genetic and
demographic health of the U.S. wolverine population. Based on the best
available scientific and commercial information, the effect of
overutilization (trapping) in the contiguous United States is not a
threat to wolverines at the population level because there is no
trapping of wolverine allowed, and the incidence of bycatch of
wolverine resulting from other lawful trapping activities is small
[[Page 83757]]
and not expected to impact the DPS's population levels. However, in
combination with other threats that limit dispersal (roads,
infrastructure development, climate change), overharvest of wolverines
in southern Canada could negatively affect the wolverine's population
resilience, distribution, and gene flow in the contiguous United States
in the future.
Genetic Diversity: In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85
FR 64618), we conclude that loss of genetic diversity is not a threat
for wolverines in the contiguous United States now or within the
foreseeable future. Since our 2018 SSA and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
decision, new genetic research has become available. Below, we assess
new information on genetics relevant to our status assessment of
wolverines in the contiguous United States, including estimates of
effective population size and measures of gene flow and population
connectivity.
Effective Population Size in the Contiguous United States
As reported in our SSA report (Service 2018, pp. 46-47), effective
population sizes (Ne) are typically smaller than census
population sizes. Scientists use the Ne concept as the
number of individuals in a population that would result in the same
loss of genetic diversity, inbreeding, and genetic drift if they
behaved in the manner of an idealized population (equal sex ratio,
random mating, all adults producing offspring, equal numbers of
offspring per parent, and a constant number of breeding individuals
across generations) (Frankham 1995, p. 96). The concept of effective
population size relates to population viability because, as a general
rule, closed populations with random mating that have effective
population sizes (1) below 50 are at higher risk of inbreeding
depression, and (2) below 500 are more likely to lose genetic variation
important to maintaining long-term evolutionary potential.
Fragmentation can further exacerbate inbreeding depression and genetic
loss, while connectivity to larger source populations can alleviate the
adverse effects of small effective population sizes (Frankham et al.
2014, p. 60). In addition, small, isolated populations are more
vulnerable to extinction through interactions between environmental,
genetic, and demographic factors (Caughley 1994, pp. 221-227).
The only available estimate of effective population size in
wolverines in the contiguous United States is from the Northern Rocky
Mountains (inclusive of the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, Idaho, and
Montana). This is where the bulk of the wolverine population in the
contiguous United States resides (Service 2023, table 4). In 2009, the
Ne estimate for the Northern Rocky Mountains was 35
(credible interval = 28-52), and Ne did not change
significantly from 1989-2006 (Schwartz et al. 2009, p. 3226). There are
no published estimates of effective population size for wolverines in
the North Cascades. Therefore, we estimated the effective population
size of wolverines in the North Cascades, and the result was an
estimate of Ne = 4 for the North Cascades (Service 2023, p.
27).
Overall, the effective population size estimates of wolverines
occurring in the contiguous United States are small compared to
conservation guidelines. Therefore, wolverines in the contiguous United
States appear to be vulnerable to inbreeding and loss of genetic
diversity when considered in isolation. However, only one or two
migrants per generation are likely needed to achieve genetic population
connectivity (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 13). If populations were
connected with a sufficient level of gene flow to offset the random
loss of genetic variation in small populations, it would be more
appropriate to evaluate the effective population size of the
transboundary, interconnected population for the purposes of using
conservation genetic rules-of-thumb.
Gene Flow Between the United States and Canada
In the contiguous United States, small, isolated wolverine
populations are likely dependent on gene flow from Canada for
population persistence (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 208-209; McKelvey et
al. 2014, entire). Based on simulation analyses of gene loss, a census
population of approximately 2,400 adult wolverines in the Northern
Rocky Mountains and Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem would be needed to
maintain 95 percent of the genetic variation over 100 wolverine
generations (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 12-13). Because there is not
likely sufficient habitat for that number of wolverines in the entire
contiguous United States (Inman et al. 2013, p. 282), gene flow on the
order of one or two wolverines per generation from Canada is critical
to maintaining genetic diversity in wolverines in the contiguous United
States (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 13).
The best available genetic data indicate genetic structuring of
populations despite some dispersal in the Northern Rocky Mountains
(Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 204-205, 208; Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12-
14), indicating reduced gene flow. Nuclear genetic diversity was lower
in the southern periphery of the subspecies' range where the recent
recolonization from Canada occurred (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 9-11).
Differences in allele frequencies between the United States and Canada
along the Rocky Mountains are observed, with some areas of overlap in
wolverine populations straddling the border due to male-mediated gene
flow. Females appear to be segregated near the international border due
to their higher rates of philopatry than males, and their apparently
greater tendencies to avoid crossing major roadways, including major
highways (Highway 1 and 3) in southern British Columbia (Sawaya et al.
2023, p. 12, 17). Traffic volumes have substantially increased since
these highways were opened in the 1960s (British Columbia Ministry of
Transportation and Highways 2001, pp. 7-11, 16-21).
No unique contemporary maternal lineages have been detected south
of the international border, which is consistent with wolverines
recolonizing the contiguous United States from Canada within the last
60-70 years (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 2, 16-17). Substantially lower
mitochondrial DNA diversity in the United States, compared to Canada,
is consistent with limited contemporary female gene flow between the
countries along the Northern Rocky Mountain range and the North
American wolverine's relatively recent recolonization at the southern
edge of their range (Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17).
Wolverines in western Washington and southern British Columbia form
a small transboundary population in the North Cascades (Aubry et al.
2023, p. 4). Wolverines in the North Cascades are isolated from other
wolverine populations in the United States and Canada and likely went
through a genetic bottleneck with few founders (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.). The population has low heterozygosity (less than 0.5) and is
likely experiencing some level of inbreeding (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.). However, there are currently no indications of inbreeding
depression (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
Population Structure and Gene Flow Within Canada
In our 2018 SSA, we stated that wolverines in Canada are considered
to occur as a single large group because they are easily able to move
between areas of good habitat and because wolverine habitat is
relatively contiguous. New scientific information now shows that
certain anthropogenic
[[Page 83758]]
features (e.g., multi-lane highways) limit gene flow in southwestern
Canada and supports previous research showing a pattern of decreasing
genetic diversity in wolverines from north to south (e.g., Sawaya et
al. 2019, pp. 621-623; Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). Human infrastructure
and other anthropogenic and natural barriers also have the potential to
impede dispersal and affect wolverine population distribution and gene
flow in Canada (Lofroth and Ott 2007, pp. 2194-2195). These impediments
are more prevalent in the southern portions of Canada (e.g., Lofroth
and Ott 2007, p. 2194). Additionally, the best available genetic data
indicate substantial female population genetic isolation in wolverines
(McKelvey et al. 2014, pp. 328-332; Schwartz et al. 2009, appendix A;
Zigouris et al. 2012, pp. 1520-1522; Sawaya et al. 2023, p. 17), with
the possibility that the Trans-Canada Highway represents a
``continental barrier to female wolverine movement'' (Sawaya et al.
2019, p. 623). There is also new information that Highway 3 in southern
British Columbia likely limits female wolverine gene flow (Sawaya et
al. 2023, pp. 17). Therefore, wolverine populations in southern British
Columbia and Alberta near the transboundary interface are less
genetically connected to the contiguous United States than we found in
our 2018 SSA.
Gene Flow Within the Contiguous United States
Previous studies found wolverines have a strong association with
areas that have persistent spring snow cover (Copeland et al. 2010,
entire). Snow depth was the most important variable for predicting
genetic structure overall in a new landscape genetics study in the
Northern Rockies and at smaller spatial scales (up to about 230 km
between genetic samples); however, at broad spatial scales (more than
430 km between genetic samples), housing density and terrain ruggedness
explained the most variability in wolverine population genetic
structure (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799). These data highlight the
importance of maintaining dispersal corridors for wolverines outside of
core habitats, as they represent critical pathways for gene flow across
broad spatial scales (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799).
Analyses of the mitochondrial DNA revealed regional structuring
(i.e., regional grouping), with all of the samples collected in Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming assigned to Haplotype Wilson A (the most abundant
haplotype in North America) and all of the samples in Washington
assigned to Haplotype Wilson C (Lukas et al. 2020, p. 846). Haplotypes
are groups of genes within an organism that are inherited together from
a single parent. These results are consistent with the latest
transboundary genetic analysis (Sawaya et al. 2023, entire) and
previous mitochondrial DNA studies showing that the Northern Rocky
Mountains and North Cascades do not appear to share any contemporary
haplotypes (McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 328). New information also
suggests that wolverines in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem have
relatively low genetic diversity and high genetic distance from other
wolverine populations in Idaho and Montana (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 8-
9, 15-16).
The low effective population size and low genetic diversity present
is likely the result of the recent colonization of the contiguous
United States by wolverines from Canada. Relatively few migrants per
generation would be needed to maintain the genetic health of wolverines
in the contiguous United States. New genetic information indicates that
gene flow across the landscape has been impeded by various barriers to
wolverine (particularly female) movement. There is currently no
evidence of inbreeding depression or any deleterious genetic effects in
the contiguous U.S. population. Based on the best available scientific
and commercial information, the low genetic diversity present in the
contiguous United States is not currently a threat to the contiguous
U.S. DPS of North American wolverine at the population level. However,
in combination with other threats that limit dispersal of wolverines
(roads, infrastructure development, climate change, trapping in
Canada), the gene flow from Canada that is critical to maintaining
genetic diversity in wolverines in the contiguous United States could
be compromised and lead to future deleterious genetic effects to the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine.
Small Population Effects: The number of North American wolverines
in the contiguous United States is relatively small compared to the
remainder of the range in Canada and Alaska, in large part due to
limited habitat and previous persecution and unregulated trapping
pressures. In our 2018 finding and October 13, 2020, withdrawal
document (85 FR 64618), we considered wolverines in the contiguous
United States to be genetically connected to wolverines in Canada, and
that wolverines in the contiguous United States were not separated from
the larger North American wolverine population to the North (Canada and
Alaska). We concluded that small population effects are not a stressor
for wolverines in the contiguous United States now or within the
foreseeable future.
Wolverine populations in the contiguous United States are small,
fragmented, and relatively isolated from larger populations in Canada
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). Although male-mediated dispersal shows some
level of wolverine population connectivity between the United States
and Canada along the Rocky Mountains, female wolverines appear to have
virtually no recent population connectivity based on genetic analyses
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). Small, isolated populations are more
vulnerable to extinction through interactions of environmental,
genetic, and demographic factors (Caughley 1994, pp. 221-227).
Stochasticity in demographic rates at small population sizes causes
outsized impacts to vital rates, even in a constant environment, which
can greatly increase extinction risk. The repopulation of wolverines in
the contiguous United States from Canada post-unregulated trapping over
the last approximately 100 years has demonstrated the resiliency of the
North American wolverine population to recover from extreme persecution
and unprecedented direct mortality. We do not currently foresee any
stochastic or catastrophic events that could result in a similar
population-level effect on wolverines in the contiguous United States.
However, the resiliency of the contiguous U.S. population to future
catastrophic events is predicated on the ability of dispersing
wolverines from Canada to repopulate the contiguous United States. As
discussed above, connectivity with Canada is more limited than
previously thought, especially considering the lack of female
dispersal, which would be necessary for continued repopulation. Based
on the best available scientific and commercial information, the small
population size present in the contiguous United States is not
currently a threat to wolverines at the population level. However, in
combination with other threats, the small population size of wolverines
in the contiguous United States could lead to a reduced ability of the
population to withstand catastrophic events in the future.
Conservation Efforts and Regulatory Mechanisms
Federal Regulatory Mechanisms
Management of the wolverine and its habitat on Federal lands is
crucial to
[[Page 83759]]
wolverine conservation, as Federal lands make up approximately 96
percent of modeled wolverine habitat, the majority of which are U.S.
Forest Service lands (Service 2018, p. 103). The U.S. Forest Service
manages the National Forest System lands in accordance with local land
and resource management plans (Forest Plans). In 2012, the U.S. Forest
Service published rules for revising Forest Plans (see 77 FR 21162,
April 9, 2012, and 36 CFR part 219). The 2012 planning rule adopts a
complementary ecosystem (coarse filter) and species-specific (fine
filter) approach to maintaining the diversity of plant and animal
communities and the persistence of native species in the plan area,
within U.S. Forest Service authority and consistent with the inherent
capability of the plan area (36 CFR 219.9). This complementary approach
includes ecosystem and species-specific plan components.
In our 2018 SSA, we identified Forest Plans as important ``federal
mechanisms'' that, in combination with State wildlife action plans,
``will alleviate effects associated with potential impacts related to
stressors discussed in this report.'' However, in our 2018 SSA, we
reviewed only four Forest Plans and did not identify in those plans any
specific standards (mandatory constraints on project and activity
decision-making) for wolverines.
For the wolverine SSA report addendum, we conducted a more
comprehensive review of the latest Forest Plans for 20 National Forests
within the current breeding range of the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine. We found a complex array of plan components aimed
at achieving the 2012 planning rule's complementary ecosystem and
species-specific approach, while balancing the U.S. Forest Service's
multiple-use mandate. Some plans provided wolverine-specific
guidelines, objectives, and direction to minimize effects of roads,
winter recreation, and other sources of human disturbance, but we did
not identify any wolverine-specific standards. The focus of wolverine-
specific plan components, when they were included, was most often
limited to protection of known den sites and maternal habitat during
the denning season.
Course-filter protections of habitat-types and ecosystems contained
in the plans will undoubtably provide some conservation benefits to
wolverines. For example, generally wolverines will benefit from
wilderness area protections (calculated as 18 percent of the extent of
wolverine occurrence and 41 percent of core wolverine habitats in the
western United States (Service 2018, p. 103)); limitations on
development and road construction; limitations on road densities in
certain areas for the grizzly bear (Ursus arctos horribilis) or other
species; and restrictions on over-snow travel. However, quantifying
these benefits outside of wilderness areas is challenging given the
variability in Forest Plan standards and conservation measures across
the U.S. range of the wolverine.
U.S. Forest Service regulations require National Forests to
designate roads, trails, and off-road areas that are open and closed to
motor vehicle use (36 CFR 212.5). In 2015, the U.S. Forest Service
published a final rule indicating that it will also designate roads,
trails, and areas open or closed to over-snow motor vehicle use (80 FR
4500; January 28, 2015). These designations are done on a Forest-by-
Forest basis, resulting in variability in the amount of wolverine
habitat impacted by these designations. For example, a recent draft
environmental assessment for the Idaho Panhandle National Forests
proposed to increase the area available to motorized over-snow use,
resulting in projected increased impacts to primary wolverine habitat
(from 39 percent currently to 52 percent under the proposed action) and
maternal denning habitat (from 44 percent currently to 52 percent under
the proposed action) (U.S. Forest Service 2023, p. 67). Conversely, the
Gallatin National Forest reduced the amount of area open to over-snow
use from 42 percent of wolverine denning habitat on the Forest to 25
percent (U.S. Forest Service 2006, chapter 3-623). This variability,
and the lack of a rangewide assessment that overlays the areas of U.S.
Forest Service over-snow vehicle use closures and wolverine habitat,
make it difficult to characterize the effects of over-snow travel
management planning on wolverines in the contiguous United States.
Several large National Parks contain core habitat for wolverines,
including Yellowstone, Grand Teton, Glacier, North Cascades, and Mount
Rainer National Parks. These areas are largely protected from
development, although they may be impacted by winter recreation to
varying degrees.
Although the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) manages relatively
little land within wolverine core habitats, they do manage some of the
valley bottoms between these core habitats. The wolverine is listed as
a special status species by the following BLM offices: Montana/Dakotas
(revision 2020), Idaho (revision 2022), and Oregon/Washington (revision
2021). The objectives of the BLM's special-status species policy are:
(1) to conserve and/or recover species listed under the Act and the
ecosystems on which they depend so that the protections of the Act are
no longer needed for these species; and (2) to initiate proactive
conservation measures that reduce or eliminate threats to BLM sensitive
species to minimize the likelihood of and need for listing of these
species under the Act. We did not identify any wolverine-specific
standards in BLM resource management plans.
State and Provincial Regulatory Mechanisms
Wolverine trapping remains closed throughout the western United
States and wolverines have retained various protected status
designations in these States (Service 2023, table 10). Therefore, legal
trapping is no longer an active direct stressor on wolverines in the
contiguous United States. Nevertheless, the legacy effects of recent
overharvest in southern Canada could negatively affect the wolverine's
population resilience, distribution, and gene flow in the contiguous
United States in the future (see Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific or Educational Purposes, above).
In response to studies showing that wolverine harvest was
unsustainable in southeastern British Columbia (Mowat et al. 2020,
entire), the provincial government closed Resource Management Region 4
(Kootenay) in the southeastern portion of British Columbia to wolverine
trapping and imposed a more intensive mortality recording system in
that region in the fall of 2020 (British Columbia 2022, p. 76). Regions
2 (Lower Mainland) and 8 (Okanagan) remain closed to wolverine trapping
under a temporary moratorium; therefore, the entire area of British
Columbia along the U.S.-Canada border is now closed to wolverine
trapping (British Columbia 2022, p. 76). Wolverine trapping remains
open seasonally in British Columbia Resource Management Units 3, 5, 7A,
7B, and portions of Unit 6 (British Columbia 2022, p. 76), as well as
in the Rocky Mountain region of southwestern Alberta (Alberta
Environment and Parks 2022, pp. 14-15).
Resource management units in southern British Columbia remain open
to trapping for several other furbearers, and incidental trapping of
two wolverines has been documented following the closure in the
Kootenay Resource Management Unit to wolverine trapping (Vander Vennen
2020, in litt.). Given the likelihood that there is some noncompliance
with reporting incidental captures, the
[[Page 83760]]
precise number of wolverines incidentally trapped in Canada is not
known (Vander Vennen 2022, in litt.). We note here that we have no
indication that noncompliance with reporting incidental captures is a
concern in the contiguous United States. There are many State
regulations and guidelines in place to limit incidental wolverine
trapping, and we have gathered the most up-to-date information on
incidental captures from States within the range for inclusion in this
rule (see Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes, above).
Aside from regulated taking of wolverines, regulatory mechanisms
available to States for conserving wolverines are largely related to
maintaining habitat conditions that support wolverine connectivity.
This is because the majority of the primary habitat cores for
wolverines in the contiguous United States are on lands managed by the
U.S. Forest Service. We are not aware of any other State regulatory
mechanisms specific to wolverines that limit development, winter
recreation, or other human disturbances in areas important to wolverine
connectivity in the contiguous United States. Several States and other
organizations, however, are implementing a number of voluntary
monitoring or conservation measures for wolverines (see below).
Voluntary Conservation Measures
Western States continue to invest in monitoring wolverine
occupancy. A notable effort includes that of the Western Association of
Fish and Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) Western States Wolverine Working
Group, now referred to as the Forest Carnivore Sub-Committee. The
purpose of this subcommittee is to develop a ``statistically
defensible'' multi-State monitoring plan for States where wolverine
populations exist (Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, and Washington), to seek
funding to implement the monitoring plan, to coordinate development of
individual State wolverine conservation plans for States with suitable
wolverine habitat, and to coordinate and prioritize research efforts
(WAFWA 2022, p. 1).
In 2020, the Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD) developed a
wolverine management plan for the State of Wyoming that includes
management and conservation strategies in Wyoming. Its goals are to:
(1) promote long-term wolverine viability, (2) support expansion of
wolverines into suitable habitat, (3) support multi-State monitoring
efforts, and (4) support management of the wolverine as a protected
animal (WGFD 2020, p. 2).
Since 2018, Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks has completed 10
habitat conservation projects in wolverine habitat that conserve 59,725
acres through fee title acquisition or perpetual conservation easement.
A spatial toolset is now available for western Montana to help
prioritize these types of acquisitions and easements (Carroll et al.
2021b, entire). Other tools such as the Crucial Areas Planning System
(CAPS), a web-based landscape-scale planning tool, have also been put
in place to help guide future developments that can impact wolverine
habitat (MFWP 2022, in litt., p. 6).
In January 2023, the Idaho Fish and Game Commission (IFGC) adopted
a revised management plan for the conservation of fisher (Pekania
pennanti), wolverine, and Canada lynx. This plan provides updated
guidance and identifies management priorities for the conservation of
this suite of species over the next 6 years in Idaho. These priorities
include four objectives and step-down actions related to connectivity,
climate, incidental trapping, and increasing our knowledge of the
relationship of wolverine denning and snow. Under the objective of
addressing connectivity, IFGC proposes to continue contributing to the
transboundary landscape genetics study, to develop products to support
project planning and review, to develop voluntary partnerships to
facilitate protections of important areas for movement and dispersal,
to provide technical assistance to licensing and permitting
authorities, and to maintain and to conserve wolverine populations and
habitats through cooperative agreements. For the climate change
objective, IFGC intends to improve modeling and monitoring. For the
incidental trapping objective, IFGC intends to continue providing
guidance and mandatory training to minimize nontarget capture of
wolverines in traps. Lastly, to fill knowledge gaps, IFGC proposes to
identify denning sites and will, if feasible, develop a model to
predict denning areas to inform land management planning efforts.
The Utah Wildlife Migration Initiative, founded in 2017, identifies
and protects connective corridors that allow fish and wildlife to
migrate to necessary habitat areas around the State. The mission is to
document, preserve, and enhance wildlife movement for species
throughout Utah using state-of-the-art tracking and data management
technologies, strong collaborative partnerships, and compelling
outreach. The Migration Initiative and its partners are mapping the
movements of wildlife, including wolverines, so crossing structures can
be placed in areas that coincide with movement corridors. Similar work
is being conducted in other States and is coordinated between States.
Colorado Parks and Wildlife had previously considered reintroducing
wolverines to Colorado as a nonessential experimental population to
further their conservation (see 78 FR 7890; February 4, 2013). However,
that proposal was withdrawn in 2014, when we withdrew our proposed
listing rule (see 79 FR 47522; August 13, 2014). There is currently no
formal proposal to reintroduce wolverines to Colorado.
Since 2019, Woodland Park Zoo has been coordinating the Washington
Wolverine Research and Monitoring Group, a coalition of researchers and
conservationists who lead wolverine projects in Washington (Woodland
Park Zoo 2022, in litt.). The goal of this group is to help advance
North American wolverine research and monitoring in Washington by
strengthening communication and collaboration among wolverine projects
Statewide. This group meets several times a year to discuss research
efforts, share results and insights, and strategize around wolverine
research and conservation in Washington.
Summary of Conservation Efforts and Regulatory Mechanisms
The various Federal, State, and provincial regulatory mechanisms
and voluntary conservation efforts described above are expected to
provide some benefit to North American wolverine conservation in the
contiguous United States. However, these mechanisms and efforts are
inadequate to protect the subspecies from the impacts of climate change
in the future when the cold and snowy conditions this subspecies is
adapted to are expected to decrease.
Summary of Current Condition
Currently, in the contiguous United States, North American
wolverines are distributed in five primary core areas (identified as
management regions in Inman et al. 2013), including the Northern
Cascades in Washington; the Salmon-Selway in central Idaho, including
the Wallowa Mountains of northeastern Oregon; the northern Continental
Divide in northwest Montana; the Central Linkage region of Idaho and
Montana; and the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem (Service 2023, figure
14). Although long-distance dispersers (primarily males) occasionally
reach potentially suitable habitat in other regions, known breeding
[[Page 83761]]
populations are currently limited to these core regions.
The precise size of the wolverine populations in the contiguous
United States are currently unknown but may be small due in part to
their large territories and the limited amount of available habitat in
the contiguous United States. Estimates based on extrapolations of
densities and suitable habitat suggest there could have been
approximately 318 wolverines (95 percent CI = 249-926) in the
contiguous United States more than a decade ago (Inman et al. 2013, p.
282). The best available estimates of effective population size of
wolverines in the contiguous U.S. portions of the Northern Rocky
Mountains and North Cascades are likely fewer than 50 combined
(Schwartz et al. 2009, p. 3226).
We evaluated previously modeled wolverine primary habitat in the
contiguous United States (Inman et al. 2013, entire) and estimated that
96 percent of this area is owned or managed by Federal agencies and 41
percent of this area is located in designated wilderness areas (Service
2018, p. 72). Within Idaho, Montana, Washington, and Wyoming, non-
spatial occupancy model estimates were slightly lower in 2021-2022
(mean occupancy = 0.33; 95 percent CI 0.21-0.34) compared to 2016-2017
(mean occupancy = 0.27, 95 percent CI 0.27-0.39), but with overlapping
confidence intervals (Mosby et al. 2023, p. 4; Service 2023, table 2).
Despite overlapping confidence intervals, Bayesian analysis revealed an
85 percent chance that the occupancy estimate from 2021-2022 was
outside the 95 percent CI of the 2016-2017 occupancy estimate (Mosby et
al. 2023, p. 4). The percentage of surveyed cells that were occupied
decreased between the sampling periods in Montana (43.7 to 17.0
percent) and Washington (34.6 to 12.5 percent), increased in Wyoming
(11.5 to 25.5 percent), and remained relatively unchanged in Idaho
(33.8 to 34.5 percent) (Service 2023, table 2). Spatial occupancy
models by geographic area showed substantial differences between the
sampling periods, with both lower and higher occupancy probabilities
depending on the geographic area (Service 2023, table 3; Mosby et al.
2023, pp. 4-7). Although no wolverines were detected during the 2021-
2022 survey in the sampled cells of Oregon, Utah, or Colorado (Service
2023, table 2), recent wolverine detections from other research efforts
or incidental observations have been reported in Oregon, Utah, and
California (Service 2023, p. 6). Despite differences between the
sampling periods, Mosby et al. (2023, p. 7) indicate that
interpretations of the relationship between the two estimates be
considered cautiously, and that repeated surveys into the future will
be helpful in ultimately interpreting any trends in occupancy
estimates. The reasons for the observed changes in occupancy by
geographic region are not yet clear, and could be sampling anomalies, a
real shift in distribution, or some combination of factors (Mosby et
al. 2023, p. 7). This aligns with our analysis of wolverine
observations from State wildlife agencies, the U.S. Forest Service, the
National Park Service, Tribes, researchers, and others in the western
United States from 2009-2022, which shows wolverines continue to occupy
much of the core habitat within their breeding range in the contiguous
United States (Service 2023, figure 2).
Contiguous U.S. contemporary wolverine populations are most likely
descendants of immigrants from Canada (Service 2018, p. 49). Wolverine
genetic diversity in the contiguous United States is relatively low,
and there are no known unique mitochondrial DNA haplotypes present in
contiguous U.S. wolverine populations (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 10-11).
Due to the limited amount of potential wolverine habitat in the United
States, connectivity and gene flow with Canada is necessary for the
long-term genetic health and viability of wolverines in the western
United States. In the North Cascades, new GPS tracking information
shows that wolverines in western Washington and southern British
Columbia form a small transboundary population (Aubry et al. 2023, p.
4), although they are isolated from other wolverine populations in the
United States and Canada (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 9-13, 16). In the
Northern Rocky Mountains, the best available data indicate genetic
differences between populations despite some (mostly male-mediated)
gene flow (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 204-205, 208; Sawaya et al. 2023,
pp. 12, 17). Measurable differences have been reported in mitochondrial
DNA haplotype diversity and nuclear microsatellite DNA allele
frequencies between the U.S. Rocky Mountain populations and Canada
populations (Cegelski et al. 2006, p. 203, Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12,
17). There is currently no evidence of inbreeding depression in
wolverine populations in the contiguous United States; however, there
is potential for inbreeding given the relatively small population sizes
of wolverines here, especially in the Cascades (Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.).
Wolverine populations in much of North America are still recovering
from large losses of individuals from intensive hunting and unregulated
predator control in the late 1880s into the mid-20th century (Service
2018, p. 104). Trapping and poisoning from the late 1800s/early 1900s
contributed to extirpation in the contiguous United States during that
time, but individuals have come back (from Canada) over the years
since. Trapping or hunting of wolverines remains prohibited in the
United States, and mortality from incidental trapping is currently
rare. Over the past century, there has been enough connectivity with
Canada for wolverines to repopulate the contiguous United States. New
genetic research provides further evidence of this recolonization via
dispersers from Canada (Service 2023, pp. 27-28). However, connectivity
in recent years is less certain.
In our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618), we
determined that wolverines in the contiguous United States were
connected to and an extension of the Canadian population. We now know
that there are potential barriers to recent movement of wolverines to
and from the contiguous United States, as evidenced by the genetic
profile of wolverines in the contiguous United States (Sawaya et al.
2023, entire). Trapping in Canada near the international border was
thought to be occurring at sustainable levels at the time we published
our October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). In a portion
of southwestern Canada encompassing a Rocky Mountain National Park
complex and surrounding unprotected lands, the wolverine population
declined approximately 40 percent (approximately 15-20 wolverines) from
2011-2020, likely due largely to overharvest through trapping (Barrueto
et al. 2022, p. 4). This area may be an important source of dispersing
individuals, and overharvest could reduce pressure for surplus
wolverines, particularly females, to disperse south towards the
contiguous United States. In addition, genetic analysis shows that
recent dispersing individuals from Canada have been exclusively male
wolverines and major highways in Southern Canada appear to limit female
dispersal (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12-14, 17). Also, various studies
that have come available since the 2018 SSA report reinforce the
understanding that wolverines avoid areas of significant human
development and that development may inhibit dispersal of wolverines
between home ranges and
[[Page 83762]]
habitat patches (Service 2023, pp. 34-36). Even though there is low
genetic diversity in the contiguous U.S. population, the population is
relatively small, and habitat is somewhat fragmented, there is no
current evidence of inbreeding depression in contiguous U.S. wolverines
and the population appears stable from an occupancy perspective.
We evaluated several threats that may be affecting wolverine
populations or their habitats, including effects from roads,
disturbance due to winter recreational activities, human disturbance
and development, effects from wildland fire, disease and predation,
overutilization, genetic diversity, small population effects, and
climate change. Although these threats may affect individual
wolverines, none of these threats is currently impacting wolverine
resiliency (the subspecies' ability to rebound from environmental
stochasticity) in the contiguous United States at a population level.
In the future, the synergistic effect of some of these threats coupled
with the impact of climate change (increased temperatures and decreased
spring snowpack) could reduce resiliency of the contiguous U.S.
population (see Summary of Future Condition, below), although climate
change is not currently impacting the DPS. Currently, the contiguous
U.S. population appears resilient because despite the potential threats
analyzed, the population continues to show stability and wolverines
occupy a large portion of the available habitat in the western United
States, providing redundancy to withstand potential catastrophes.
Wolverine breeding populations in the western United States are
currently distributed across four unique ecoregions (Service 2023,
figure 16). This ecoregion variation can correlate with species-wide
evolutionary potential, providing representation (the ability to adapt
to changes in the biological and physical environment). The North
American wolverine's wide distribution across multiple ecoregions and
differential exposure to various stressors also affords the DPS
redundancy against catastrophic events. Overall, the current
resiliency, redundancy, and representation of the contiguous U.S.
population of wolverines supports current DPS viability.
Summary of Future Condition
In the wolverine SSA report addendum, we provide a comprehensive
analysis of the future condition of wolverines in the contiguous United
States, which we summarize here (Service 2023, pp. 61-69). Wolverine
habitat in the contiguous United States is projected to decrease and
become more fragmented by the end of the century as a result of climate
changes that result in increasing temperatures, earlier spring
snowmelt, and loss of deep, persistent spring snowpack, primarily at
lower elevations (see Climate Change, above). Winter recreation, which
has been shown to negatively influence wolverine behavior during an
important time of year when females are denning and raising young, in
these diminished habitats may increase as human populations increase
(U.S. Forest Service 2016, pp. 12-14). In addition, snow-dependent
recreation that was formerly distributed over a wider elevation
gradient will be constrained to that part of the gradient that contains
quality snow into the future. Concurrently, human development may
continue to expand in areas between core habitats that are important
for maintaining wolverine population connectivity. While wolverines are
capable of crossing areas with some human disturbance during dispersal,
they also have shown some sensitivity to human development and other
human impacts in rugged areas located between typical core wolverine
habitats (Balkenhol et al. 2020, p. 799; Barrueto et al. 2022, p. 4).
Increased human development, infrastructure, and associated
anthropogenic disturbance are expected to have direct and indirect
effects to wolverine populations in the contiguous United States,
including reducing the number of wolverines that can be supported by
available habitat, reducing the ability of wolverines to travel between
patches of suitable habitat, and reducing potential dispersers from
Canada. A reduction in population size and connectivity within the
contiguous United States and with Canada may affect metapopulation
dynamics, making it more difficult for subpopulations to recolonize
currently extirpated areas and augment the genetics or demographics of
adjacent subpopulations. We expect wolverine resiliency and redundancy
in the contiguous United States to decline in the future.
We have identified significant uncertainties that hamper our
ability to predict the scope, scale, and timing of future demographic
outcomes for wolverines in the contiguous United States. These include
uncertainties in mechanistic habitat relationships; census and
effective population sizes; and the cumulative impact of multiple
stressors on population connectivity, survival, and reproduction.
Nevertheless, habitat loss through climate change, combined with other
stressors, is likely to negatively impact wolverines in the contiguous
United States over the next century by reducing resiliency, redundancy,
and representation. Moreover, there are few actions that are reasonably
certain to occur in the future that would compensate for these negative
impacts.
We evaluated the contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine's
ability to respond to environmental change in two ways. First, we
examined core attributes of the contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine's adaptive capacity in relation to standardized attributes to
characterize the likelihood that wolverines in the western United
States will be able to adapt to changed conditions (representation)
(Thurman et al. 2020, entire; Service 2023, figure 15). Second, we
evaluated the current and potential distribution of wolverines across
ecological regions of the western United States given that ecological
changes may vary across space and that wolverines in different
ecological contexts may have dissimilar responses to these changes.
The contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine's ability to
adapt to climate change and other environmental changes, its adaptive
capacity (representation), is key to reducing its vulnerability to
these changes. Our qualitative adaptive capacity analysis for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine was based on life-
history characteristics and shows that several intrinsic factors make
North American wolverines susceptible to negative outcomes from future
environmental change (Service 2023, pp. 66-69). Their specialized
habitat associations, low genetic diversity and population size, narrow
ecological niche, low tolerance for human disturbance, and slow
reproductive rate all contribute to the contiguous U.S. DPS of North
American wolverine's relative difficulty in adapting in-place to future
environmental change (Service 2023, table 14). Factors that may
partially mitigate the contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine's low adaptive capacity are their ability to disperse long
distances, their relatively wide distribution in the Northern Rocky
Mountains and in the North Cascades (albeit in a narrow climactic
niche), and their flexible diet (Service 2023, table 14). Stressors
that lessen the ability of North American wolverines to disperse, or
that decrease their distribution, are likely to also degrade their
adaptive capacity (redundancy), leaving them more vulnerable to
environmental change.
[[Page 83763]]
Maintaining a species, or in this case a subspecies, across its
full breadth of ecological variation can reduce extinction risk
(Forester et al. 2022, p. 512). To further assess the contiguous U.S.
DPS of North American wolverine's future evolutionary potential, we
examined the DPS's current distribution across different ecoregion
provinces. Ecoregion provinces incorporate temperature, precipitation,
and vegetation data, and therefore represent landscapes with similar
environmental traits (Bailey 2016, entire). Wolverine breeding
populations in the western United States currently exist in 4 of 10
ecoregions where there is potential wolverine core habitat (Service
2023, figure 16). Outside of the area with known wolverine breeding,
several ecoregions in the western United States contain only a
relatively small area of potential wolverine core habitat. Except for
the Sierran Steppe-Forest-Alpine ecoregion, wolverine breeding
populations currently inhabit all the ecoregions of the western United
States with large contiguous blocks of potential wolverine core habitat
(Service 2023, figure 16).
Despite their relatively wide distribution among ecoregions,
wolverines in the contiguous United States have low genetic diversity
compared to Canadian populations and are unlikely to have evolved
specialized adaptations to southern climates given their recent
recolonization following extirpation (McKelvey et al. 2014, p. 332).
The historical population of wolverines in the Sierra Nevada may have
possessed unique evolutionary potential given the distinct genetic and
taxonomic characteristics of historical museum samples; however, the
wolverines in the Sierras were extirpated in the early 1900s, and their
matrilines were eliminated from North America (McKelvey et al. 2014, p.
332). Nevertheless, the DPS's distribution across multiple ecoregions
means that parts of their range may have less exposure to future
stressors. Expansion into unoccupied ecoregions where there is suitable
habitat could further decrease their risk of exposure to future
stressors.
Wolverine populations in the contiguous United States are currently
small, fragmented, and relatively isolated from larger populations in
Canada (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 206-207, 210; Sawaya 2023, pers.
comm.). Although male-mediated dispersal shows some level of wolverine
population connectivity between the United States and Canada along the
Rocky Mountains, female wolverines appear to have virtually no recent
population connectivity based on recent genetic analyses (Sawaya 2023,
pers. comm.). Small, isolated populations are more vulnerable to
extinction through interactions between environmental, genetic, and
demographic factors (Caughley 1994, pp. 221-227). Stochasticity in
demographic rates at small population sizes causes outsized impacts to
vital rates, even in a constant environment, which can greatly increase
extinction risk. Small, isolated populations also lose genetic
diversity over time, primarily through inbreeding and genetic drift,
which can exacerbate extinction risk if demographic rates are further
degraded through inbreeding depression (Benson et al. 2016, p. 8). Low
genetic diversity can also reduce future adaptive capacity and
evolutionary potential, reducing representation.
Although historical wolverine populations were likely naturally
small and distributed among patches of high-elevation alpine habitats
in the contiguous United States, core wolverine habitats in the
contiguous United States are projected to become smaller and more
fragmented in the future as a result of climate change and human
disturbance. These changes may degrade the DPS's resiliency and
redundancy over time, although there are uncertainties in the precise
amount of degradation, how much this degradation will affect wolverine
viability in the contiguous United States, or the time period over
which the degradation would happen. Despite their current distribution
across several ecological regions of the West, the core attributes
related to adaptive capacity exhibited by wolverines may limit the
ability of this DPS to adapt and persist in the face of projected
environmental change. Long-distance dispersal and recolonization of
some of the larger areas outside of the current breeding range of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine (e.g., Sierra Nevada
and central Rocky Mountains) could partially mitigate their
susceptibility to environmental change. Dispersal between currently
occupied core habitats may become more difficult in the future with
anticipated increases in human development between the alpine core
areas and increased backcountry winter recreation in core habitats.
However, wolverine dispersal could be maintained or improved by human
intervention (e.g., conserving wildlife corridors between alpine
habitats, constructing highway crossing structures for wildlife).
Overall, the wolverine population in the contiguous United States
is expected to decrease in resiliency, redundancy, and representation
in the future. We acknowledge that new information suggests populations
in the contiguous United States may be less secure in the future than
we described in our 2018 SSA and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document
(85 FR 64618). We also acknowledge that uncertainty remains around gene
flow between the United States and Canada, core habitats and key
dispersal corridors among core areas of the contiguous United States,
and the effective population size in the contiguous United States.
Nevertheless, the best available information suggests that habitat loss
as a result of climate change, and the resulting exacerbating effect on
other stressors, is likely to decrease the viability of wolverines in
the contiguous United States over the next century.
We note that, by using the SSA framework to guide our analysis of
the scientific information documented in the wolverine SSA report and
SSA report addendum, we have analyzed the cumulative effects of
identified threats and conservation actions on the DPS. To assess the
current and future condition of the DPS, we evaluate the effects of all
the relevant factors that may be influencing the DPS, including threats
and conservation efforts. Because the SSA framework considers not just
the presence of the factors, but to what degree they collectively
influence risk to the entire DPS, our assessment integrates the
cumulative effects of the factors and replaces a standalone cumulative
effects analysis.
Determination of North American Wolverine's Status
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species meets the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species. The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
species in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion
of its range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we
determine whether a species meets the definition of endangered species
or threatened species because of any of the following factors: (A) The
present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued existence.
[[Page 83764]]
Status Throughout All of Its Range
In our 2018 SSA and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR
64618), we noted that during the late 1800s and early 1900s, the
wolverine population declined or was extirpated in much of the
contiguous United States. This decline and range contraction has been
attributed to unregulated trapping and habitat degradation (Hash 1987,
p. 583). However, given the high-elevation core habitats of wolverines
in the contiguous United States, direct mortality through predator
poisoning campaigns and unregulated trapping were likely the primary
culprits.
We have carefully assessed the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding the past, present, and future threats
to North American wolverines in the contiguous United States including
climate change (Factors A and E); effects from roads (Factors A and E);
disturbance due to winter recreational activity (Factors A and E);
other human disturbance (Factors A and E); effects from wildland fire
(Factor A); disease (Factor C); predation (Factor C); overutilization
(trapping) (Factor B); genetic diversity (Factor E); and small
population effects (Factor E). We also assessed the adequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (Factor D).
After evaluating threats that may be currently affecting wolverines
in the contiguous United States, we have determined that although these
threats may affect individual wolverines, there are no threats
currently impacting wolverines in the contiguous United States at a
population level. In the future, the synergistic effect of some threats
coupled with the impacts of climate change (increased temperatures and
decreased spring snowpack) are expected to reduce resiliency of the
contiguous U.S. population, although climate change is not currently
impacting wolverines occurring in the United States. Currently, the
contiguous U.S. population appears resilient, as wolverines continue to
consistently occupy a large portion of the available habitat in the
western United States. Furthermore, wolverine breeding populations in
the western United States are currently distributed across four
ecoregions, which affords the DPS redundancy against catastrophic
events. This ecoregion variation influences representation by
potentially providing evolutionary potential to adapt to changes in the
biological and physical environment. Thus, wolverines in the contiguous
United States are not currently in danger of extinction throughout
their range.
We expect wolverine populations in the contiguous United States to
decrease in resiliency, redundancy, and representation within the
foreseeable future. We consider 2100 to be the foreseeable future in
this case. The main threat to wolverines is the effect of climate
change on spring snow. We were able to reliably model changes in spring
snow out to 2100 in our climate change analysis, and we are able to
reasonably determine the wolverine's response to this threat is likely
in the foreseeable future. Wolverine populations in the contiguous
United States are small, fragmented, and relatively isolated from
larger populations in Canada (Cegelski et al. 2006, pp. 206-207, 210;
Sawaya et al. 2023, entire). Although male-mediated dispersal shows
some level of wolverine population connectivity between the United
States and Canada along the Rocky Mountains, female wolverines appear
to have virtually no recent population connectivity based on recent
genetic analyses (Sawaya et al. 2023, pp. 12-14, 17). Small, isolated
populations are more vulnerable to extinction through interactions
between environmental, genetic, and demographic factors (Caughley 1994,
pp. 221-227). Stochasticity in demographic rates at small population
sizes causes outsized impacts to vital rates, even in a constant
environment, which can greatly increase extinction risk. Small,
isolated populations also lose genetic diversity over time, primarily
through inbreeding and genetic drift, which can exacerbate extinction
risk if demographic rates are further degraded through inbreeding
depression (Benson et al. 2016, p. 8). Low genetic diversity can also
reduce adaptive capacity and evolutionary potential.
Although historical North American wolverine populations were
likely naturally small and distributed among patches of high-elevation
alpine habitats in the contiguous United States, core wolverine
habitats in the United States are projected to become smaller and more
fragmented in the future as the result of climate change and human
disturbance. These changes are expected to degrade wolverine resiliency
and redundancy over time, although there are uncertainties in the
precise amount of degradation, how much this degradation will affect
wolverine viability in the contiguous United States, and the precise
time period over which the degradation would happen. Despite these
uncertainties, the best available information indicates the impacts are
such that the DPS's viability will decrease within the foreseeable
future. Although wolverines are currently distributed across several
ecological regions of the U.S. West, the core attributes related to
their adaptive capacity may limit the ability of this DPS to adapt and
persist in the face of projected environmental change. Long-distance
dispersal and recolonization of some of the larger areas outside of the
current breeding range of North American wolverines (e.g., Sierra
Nevada and central Rocky Mountains) could partially mitigate their
susceptibility to environmental change. However, natural dispersal
between currently occupied core habitats is expected to become more
difficult in the future with anticipated increases in human development
between the alpine core areas and increased backcountry winter
recreation in core habitats.
After evaluating threats to the DPS and assessing the cumulative
effect of the threats under the Act's section 4(a)(1) factors, we find
that wolverine populations in the contiguous United States are less
secure in the future than we described in our 2018 SSA and October 13,
2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618). The best available information
suggests that habitat loss as a result of climate change and impacts
from other stressors are likely to negatively impact the viability of
wolverines in the contiguous United States over the next century. Thus,
after assessing the best available information, we conclude that the
contiguous U.S. DPS of North American wolverine in is not currently in
danger of extinction but is likely to become in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion
of its range. The court in Center for Biological Diversity v. Everson,
435 F. Supp. 3d 69 (D.D.C. 2020) (Everson), vacated the provision of
the Final Policy on Interpretation of the Phrase ``Significant Portion
of Its Range'' in the Endangered Species Act's Definitions of
``Endangered Species'' and ``Threatened Species'' (Final Policy; 79 FR
37578; July 1, 2014) that provided if the Service determines that a
species is threatened throughout all of its range, the Service will not
analyze whether the species is endangered in a significant portion of
its range.
Therefore, we proceed to evaluating whether the species is
endangered in a
[[Page 83765]]
significant portion of its range--that is, whether there is any portion
of the species' range for which both (1) the portion is significant;
and (2) the species is in danger of extinction in that portion.
Depending on the case, it might be more efficient for us to address the
``significance'' question or the ``status'' question first. We can
choose to address either question first. Regardless of which question
we address first, if we reach a negative answer with respect to the
first question that we address, we do not need to evaluate the other
question for that portion of the species' range.
Following the court's holding in Everson, we now consider whether
there are any significant portions of the North American wolverine's
range in the contiguous United States where the DPS is in danger of
extinction now (i.e., endangered). In undertaking this analysis for the
DPS, we choose to address the status question first--we consider
information pertaining to the geographic distribution of both the DPS
and the threats that the DPS faces to identify portions of the range
where the DPS may be endangered.
We evaluated the range of the contiguous U.S. DPS of North American
wolverine to determine if the DPS is in danger of extinction now in any
portion of its range. The range can theoretically be divided into
portions in an infinite number of ways. We focused our analysis on
portions of the range that may meet the Act's definition of an
endangered species. For this DPS, we considered whether the threats or
their effects on the DPS are greater in any biologically meaningful
portion of the range than in other portions such that the DPS is in
danger of extinction now in that portion.
We examined the following threats: climate change (Factors A and
E); effects from roads (Factors A and E); disturbance due to winter
recreational activity (Factors A and E); other human disturbance
(Factors A and E); effects from wildland fire (Factor A); disease
(Factor C); predation (Factor C); overutilization (trapping) (Factor
B); genetic diversity (Factor E); and small population effects (Factor
E), including cumulative effects.
The North Cascades portion of the DPS's range is the only
biologically meaningful portion that we identified that could
potentially have a different status than the remainder of the range. It
is largely isolated by an expanse of unsuitable habitat from the larger
Rocky Mountains portion of the range. All of the threats affecting
wolverines are ubiquitous throughout the contiguous U.S. range;
however, the low genetic diversity of the Cascades population could
potentially affect this portion more so than the rest of the range due
to the apparent lack of recent genetic connectivity with Canada in that
portion (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). The North Cascades wolverines are
isolated from other wolverine populations in the United States and
Canada and likely went through a genetic bottleneck with few founders
(Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.). The effective population size of the North
Cascades population is estimated at Ne = 4, and the
population may be vulnerable to inbreeding and loss of genetic
diversity when considered in isolation. Recent genetic research shows
the population has low heterozygosity (less than 0.5) and may be
experiencing some level of inbreeding (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.).
However, there is currently no indication that individuals or
population dynamics are being negatively affected by inbreeding
depression (Sawaya 2023, pers. comm.) or that wolverines in this
portion are currently being more severely or differently affected by
any other threats. Gene flow with wolverines in Canada in the future is
important to the long-term genetic health of the North Cascades
population, but this portion is not currently in danger of extinction,
as the population is currently showing stability in occupancy and not
expressing any deleterious effects of inbreeding.
We found no biologically meaningful portion of the DPS's range
where threats are impacting individuals differently from how they are
affecting the DPS elsewhere in the range, or where the biological
condition of the DPS differs from its condition elsewhere in the range
such that the status of the DPS in that portion differs from any other
portion of the DPS's range.
Therefore, no portion of the DPS's range provides a basis for
determining that the DPS is in danger of extinction in a significant
portion of its range, and we determine that the DPS is likely to become
in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range. This does not conflict with the courts' holdings in Desert
Survivors v. U.S. Department of the Interior, 321 F. Supp. 3d 1011,
1070-74 (N.D. Cal. 2018) and Center for Biological Diversity v. Jewell,
248 F. Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017) because, in reaching this
conclusion, we did not apply the aspects of the Final Policy, including
the definition of ``significant'' that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and commercial data available
indicates that the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine
meets the Act's definition of a threatened species. Therefore, we are
listing that DPS as a threatened species in accordance with sections
3(20) and 4(a)(1) of the Act.
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to species listed as endangered or
threatened species under the Act include recognition as a listed
species, planning and implementation of recovery actions, requirements
for Federal protection, and prohibitions against certain practices.
Recognition through listing results in public awareness, and
conservation by Federal, State, Tribal, and local agencies, private
organizations, and individuals. The Act encourages cooperation with the
States and other countries and calls for recovery actions to be carried
out for listed species. The protection required by Federal agencies,
including the Service, and the prohibitions against certain activities
are discussed, in part, below.
The primary purpose of the Act is the conservation of endangered
and threatened species and the ecosystems upon which they depend. The
ultimate goal of such conservation efforts is the recovery of these
listed species, so that they no longer need the protective measures of
the Act. Section 4(f) of the Act calls for the Service to develop and
implement recovery plans for the conservation of endangered and
threatened species. The goal of this process is to restore listed
species to a point where they are secure, self-sustaining, and
functioning components of their ecosystems.
The recovery planning process begins with development of a recovery
outline made available to the public soon after a final listing
determination. The recovery outline guides the immediate implementation
of urgent recovery actions while a recovery plan is being developed.
Recovery teams (composed of species experts, Federal and State
agencies, nongovernmental organizations, and stakeholders) may be
established to develop and implement recovery plans. The recovery
planning process involves the identification of actions that are
necessary to halt and reverse the species' decline by addressing the
threats to its survival and recovery. The recovery plan identifies
recovery criteria for review of when a species may be ready for
reclassification from endangered to threatened (``downlisting'') or
removal from protected status (``delisting''), and methods for
monitoring recovery progress. Recovery plans also establish
[[Page 83766]]
a framework for agencies to coordinate their recovery efforts and
provide estimates of the cost of implementing recovery tasks. Revisions
of the plan may be done to address continuing or new threats to the
species, as new substantive information becomes available. The recovery
outline, draft recovery plan, final recovery plan, and any revisions
will be available on our website as they are completed (https://www.fws.gov/program/endangered-species), or from our Ecological
Services Program, Pacific Region (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Implementation of recovery actions generally requires the
participation of a broad range of partners, including other Federal
agencies, States, Tribes, nongovernmental organizations, businesses,
and private landowners. Examples of recovery actions include habitat
restoration (e.g., restoration of native vegetation), research, captive
propagation and reintroduction, and outreach and education. The
recovery of many listed species cannot be accomplished solely on
Federal lands because their range may occur primarily or solely on non-
Federal lands. To achieve recovery of these species requires
cooperative conservation efforts on private, State, and Tribal lands.
Once this DPS is listed, funding for recovery actions will be
available from a variety of sources, including Federal budgets, State
programs, and cost-share grants for non-Federal landowners, the
academic community, and nongovernmental organizations. In addition,
pursuant to section 6 of the Act, the States of California, Colorado,
Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming will be eligible
for Federal funds to implement management actions that promote the
protection or recovery of the North American wolverine. Information on
our grant programs that are available to aid species recovery can be
found at: https://www.fws.gov/service/financial-assistance.
Please let us know if you are interested in participating in
recovery efforts for the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine. Additionally, we invite you to submit any new information on
this DPS whenever it becomes available and any information you may have
for recovery planning purposes (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Section 7 of the Act is titled, ``Interagency Cooperation,'' and it
mandates all Federal action agencies to use their existing authorities
to further the conservation purposes of the Act and to ensure that
their actions are not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of
listed species or adversely modify critical habitat. Regulations
implementing section 7 are codified at 50 CFR part 402.
Section 7(a)(2) states that each Federal action agency shall, in
consultation with the Secretary, ensure that any action they authorize,
fund, or carry out is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence
of a listed species or result in the destruction or adverse
modification of designated critical habitat. Each Federal agency shall
review its action at the earliest possible time to determine whether it
may affect listed species or critical habitat. If a determination is
made that the action may affect listed species or critical habitat,
formal consultation is required (see 50 CFR 402.14(a)), unless the
Service concurs in writing that the action is not likely to adversely
affect listed species or critical habitat. At the end of a formal
consultation, the Service issues a biological opinion, containing its
determination of whether the Federal action is likely to result in
jeopardy or adverse modification.
Examples of discretionary actions for the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine that may be subject to consultation
procedures under section 7 are land management or other landscape-
altering activities on Federal lands administered by the U.S. Forest
Service, National Park Service, and Bureau of Land Management, as well
as actions on State, Tribal, local, or private lands that require a
Federal permit (such as a permit from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
under section 404 of the Clean Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251 et seq.) or a
permit from the Service under section 10 of the Act) or that involve
some other Federal action (such as funding from the Federal Highway
Administration, Federal Aviation Administration, or Federal Emergency
Management Agency). Federal actions not affecting listed species or
critical habitat--and actions on State, Tribal, local, or private lands
that are not federally funded, authorized, or carried out by a Federal
agency--do not require section 7 consultation. Federal agencies should
coordinate with the local Service Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT) with any specific questions on section 7
consultation and conference requirements.
It is the policy of the Service, as published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34272), to identify to the extent known
at the time a species is listed, specific activities that will not be
considered likely to result in violation of section 9 of the Act. To
the extent possible, activities that will be considered likely to
result in violation will also be identified in as specific a manner as
possible. The intent of this policy is to increase public awareness of
the effect of a listing on proposed and ongoing activities within the
range of the species. Although most of the prohibitions in section 9 of
the Act apply to endangered species, sections 9(a)(1)(G) and 9(a)(2)(E)
of the Act prohibit the violation of any regulation, including any
regulation issued under section 4(d) of the Act, pertaining to any
threatened species of fish or wildlife, or threatened species of plant,
respectively. Section 4(d) of the Act directs the Secretary to
promulgate protective regulations that are necessary and advisable for
the conservation of threatened species. As a result, we interpret our
policy to mean that, when we list a species as a threatened species, to
the extent possible, we identify activities that will or will not be
considered likely to result in violation of the protective regulations
under section 4(d) for that species.
The following activities could potentially result in a violation of
section 9 of the Act; this list is not comprehensive: Unauthorized
collecting, handling, possessing, selling, delivering, carrying, or
transporting of the listed subspecies, including import or export
across State lines and international boundaries, except for properly
documented antique specimens of these taxa at least 100 years old, as
defined by section 10(h)(1) of the Act.
Questions regarding whether specific activities will constitute
violation of section 9 of the Act should be directed to the Service's
Pacific Regional Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
II. Interim Rule Issued Under Section 4(d) of the Act
Background
Section 4(d) of the Act contains two sentences. The first sentence
states that the Secretary shall issue such regulations as she deems
necessary and advisable to provide for the conservation of species
listed as threatened species. The U.S. Supreme Court has noted that
statutory language similar to the language in section 4(d) of the Act
authorizing the Secretary to take action that she ``deems necessary and
advisable'' affords a large degree of deference to the agency (see
Webster v. Doe, 486 U.S. 592, 600 (1988)). Conservation is defined in
the Act to mean the use of all methods and procedures which are
necessary to bring any endangered species or threatened species to the
point at which the measures provided pursuant to the Act
[[Page 83767]]
are no longer necessary. Additionally, the second sentence of section
4(d) of the Act states that the Secretary may by regulation prohibit
with respect to any threatened species any act prohibited under section
9(a)(1), in the case of fish or wildlife, or section 9(a)(2), in the
case of plants. Thus, the combination of the two sentences of section
4(d) provides the Secretary with wide latitude of discretion to select
and promulgate appropriate regulations tailored to the specific
conservation needs of the threatened species. The second sentence
grants particularly broad discretion to the Service when adopting one
or more of the prohibitions under section 9.
The courts have recognized the extent of the Secretary's discretion
under this standard to develop rules that are appropriate for the
conservation of a species. For example, courts have upheld, as a valid
exercise of agency authority, rules developed under section 4(d) that
included limited prohibitions against takings (see Alsea Valley
Alliance v. Lautenbacher, 2007 WL 2344927 (D. Or. 2007); Washington
Environmental Council v. National Marine Fisheries Service, 2002 WL
511479 (W.D. Wash. 2002)). Courts have also upheld 4(d) rules that do
not address all of the threats a species faces (see State of Louisiana
v. Verity, 853 F.2d 322 (5th Cir. 1988)). As noted in the legislative
history when the Act was initially enacted, ``once an animal is on the
threatened list, the Secretary has an almost infinite number of options
available to [her] with regard to the permitted activities for those
species. [She] may, for example, permit taking, but not importation of
such species, or [s]he may choose to forbid both taking and importation
but allow the transportation of such species'' (H.R. Rep. No. 412, 93rd
Cong., 1st Sess. 1973).
The provisions of this 4(d) rule will promote conservation of the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine by encouraging
management of the landscape in ways that meet the conservation needs of
the wolverine. The provisions of this rule are one of many tools that
we will use to promote the conservation of the DPS.
As mentioned previously in Available Conservation Measures, section
7(a)(2) of the Act requires Federal agencies, including the Service, to
ensure that any action they authorize, fund, or carry out is not likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of any endangered species or
threatened species or result in the destruction or adverse modification
of designated critical habitat of such species.
These requirements are the same for a threatened species with a
species-specific 4(d) rule. For example, as with an endangered species,
if a Federal agency determines that an action is ``not likely to
adversely affect'' a threatened species that has a species-specific
4(d) rule, the agency will still need to informally consult with the
Service and obtain the Service's written concurrence (50 CFR
402.13(c)). Similarly, if a Federal agency determines that an action is
``likely to adversely affect'' a threatened species, the action will
require formal consultation and the formulation of a biological opinion
(50 CFR 402.14(a)). The Service will take into account the exceptions
of any 4(d) rule when issuing a biological opinion and any associated
incidental take statement, but a 4(d) rule does not eliminate the
Federal agency's obligation to consult under section 7(a)(2) of the
Act.
We proposed a 4(d) rule along with our proposed listing rule for
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the wolverine in 2013 (78 FR 7864; February
4, 2013). In the proposed 4(d) rule, we stated that we would prohibit
take of any wolverine in the contiguous United States when associated
with or related to trapping, hunting, shooting, collection, capturing,
pursuing, wounding, killing, and trade. We further stated that, in this
context, any activity where wolverines are attempted to be, or are
intended to be, trapped, hunted, shot, captured, or collected, in the
contiguous United States, would be prohibited. Additionally, we said
that it would also be prohibited to incidentally trap, hunt, shoot,
capture, pursue, or collect wolverines in the course of otherwise legal
activities. We also clarified that all otherwise legal activities
involving wolverines and their habitat that are conducted in accordance
with applicable State, Federal, Tribal, and local laws and regulations
would not be considered to be take under the proposed 4(d) rule. We
identified several risk factors for the U.S. DPS of the wolverine that,
in concert with climate change, may result in reduced habitat value for
the DPS. These risk factors included human activities like dispersed
recreation, land management activities by Federal agencies and private
landowners, and infrastructure development. However, in 2013, we
considered these risk factors to be small in scope and scale, and
ultimately not a concern for the conservation of the DPS. As a result,
we did not propose to prohibit take associated with these activities.
New information on the threats to this DPS and how these threats
may affect the future condition of wolverines in the contiguous United
States (see Summary of Biological Status and Threats, above) has
changed our understanding of what provisions are appropriate for the
contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine. We are now
tailoring the provisions of this interim 4(d) rule informed by new
information. This is an interim rule, meaning that it will go into
effect on the effective date specified above under DATES, but we are
also accepting public comments on the 4(d) rule (see DATES and
ADDRESSES, above). We will assess any comments we receive on the 4(d)
rule and publish either an affirmation of this interim rule or a
revised final rule for the 4(d) rule.
Provisions of the Interim 4(d) Rule
Exercising the Secretary's authority under section 4(d) of the Act,
we have developed a rule that is designed to address the contiguous
U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine's conservation needs. As
discussed previously in Summary of Biological Status and Threats, we
have concluded that the DPS is likely to become in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future primarily due to habitat loss as a result
of climate change and the cumulative impacts of other, lower-level
stressors, including winter recreation, development, and major roads.
Section 4(d) requires the Secretary to issue such regulations as she
deems necessary and advisable to provide for the conservation of each
threatened species and authorizes the Secretary to include among those
protective regulations any of the prohibitions that section 9(a)(1) of
the Act prescribes for endangered species. We find that the
protections, prohibitions, and exceptions in this 4(d) rule as a whole
satisfy the requirement in section 4(d) of the Act to issue regulations
deemed necessary and advisable to provide for the conservation of the
DPS.
The protective regulations for the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine incorporate prohibitions from section 9(a)(1) to
address the threats to the DPS. Section 9(a)(1) prohibits the following
activities for endangered wildlife: importing or exporting; take;
possession and other acts with unlawfully taken specimens; delivering,
receiving, carrying, transporting, or shipping in interstate or foreign
commerce in the course of commercial activity; or selling or offering
for sale in interstate or foreign commerce. This interim 4(d) rule
includes all of these prohibitions, with limited exceptions, for the
DPS. With these general protective prohibitions in
[[Page 83768]]
place, the 4(d) rule reinforces the preservation of the DPS's
populations by prohibiting activities that would incentivize the
killing of wolverines for commercial gain.
As noted, this 4(d) rule generally prohibits the ``take'' of
wolverines in the DPS. Under the Act, ``take'' means to harass, harm,
pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect, or to
attempt to engage in any such conduct. Some of these provisions have
been further defined in regulation at 50 CFR 17.3. Take can result
knowingly or otherwise, by direct and indirect impacts, intentionally
or incidentally. Regulating take will help preserve the DPS's remaining
populations and decrease the effects to wolverines from the
synergistic, negative effects from other ongoing or future threats.
Therefore, we are prohibiting take of wolverines in the DPS, except for
take resulting from those actions and activities specifically excepted
by the 4(d) rule.
Exceptions to the prohibition on take include all of the general
exceptions to the prohibition on take of endangered wildlife, as set
forth in 50 CFR 17.21(c) and (d), and additional exceptions, as
described below.
The interim 4(d) rule also provides for the conservation of the DPS
by establishing exceptions to the general prohibition against ``take''
of wolverines in the DPS in support of conservation actions and
otherwise lawful activities that could incidentally take a wolverine
but at minimal levels not likely to have a negative impact on the DPS's
conservation. We considered a variety of exceptions and determined that
not all were necessary (e.g., we do not include an exception for take
of depredating wolverines because wolverines rarely take livestock) or
would provide conservation benefits (e.g., we do not include exceptions
for backcountry winter recreation because recreating in these areas can
be detrimental to wolverines). The exceptions to these prohibitions,
described in further detail below, include certain standard exceptions,
as well as purposeful take due to scientific research on wolverines,
take incidental to forest management activities for the purposes of
reducing the risk or severity of wildfire, and take incidental to legal
trapping of species other than the wolverine that is conducted
consistent with State trapping laws and regulations and that contains
steps to minimize the potential for capture of wolverines.
Nothing in this interim 4(d) rule will change in any way the
recovery planning provisions of section 4(f) of the Act, the
consultation requirements under section 7 of the Act, or the ability of
the Service to enter into partnerships for the management and
protection of the wolverine. However, interagency cooperation may be
further streamlined through planned programmatic consultations for the
species between Federal agencies and the Service.
Standard Exceptions
We may, under certain circumstances, issue permits to carry out one
or more of the otherwise prohibited activities. These include permits
issued for the following purposes: for scientific research and
conservation purposes (for an activity that would not fall within the
research exception for incidental take in the 4(d) rule, as described
below); to enhance propagation or survival; for economic hardship; for
zoological exhibition; for educational purposes; for incidental taking
(for an activity not already excepted in the 4(d) rule); or for special
purposes consistent with the purposes of the Act (see 50 CFR 17.32).
The Act also contains certain exemptions from the prohibitions, which
are found in sections 9 and 10 of the Act.
We recognize the special and unique relationship with our State
natural resource agency partners in contributing to conservation of
listed species. State agencies often possess scientific data and
valuable expertise on the status and distribution of endangered,
threatened, and candidate species of wildlife and plants. State
agencies, because of their authorities and their close working
relationships with local governments and landowners, are in a unique
position to assist us in implementing all aspects of the Act. In this
regard, section 6 of the Act provides that we cooperate to the maximum
extent practicable with the States in carrying out programs authorized
by the Act. Therefore, any qualified employee or agent of a State
conservation agency that is a party to a cooperative agreement with us
in accordance with section 6(c) of the Act, who is designated by his or
her agency for such purposes, will be able to conduct activities
designed to conserve the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American
wolverine that may result in otherwise prohibited take without
additional authorization.
Scientific Research
Future scientific research on North American wolverines in the
contiguous United States will aid conservation and recovery by leading
to a better understanding of the biology and ecology of this elusive
and hard-to-study species. WAFWA, in coordination with Tribal partners,
formed a multi-State, multi-agency working group (Western States
Wolverine Working Group) to design and implement the Western States
Wolverine Conservation Project (WSWCP)-Coordinated Occupancy Survey
(Service 2018, p. 52). The primary objectives of the WSWCP include: (1)
implement a monitoring program to define a baseline wolverine
distribution and genetic characteristics of the metapopulation across
Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and Washington; (2) model and maintain the
connectivity of the wolverine metapopulation in the western United
States; and (3) develop policies to address socio-political needs to
assist wolverine population expansion as a conservation tool, including
translocation of wolverines (Service 2018, p. 52). Activities
associated with scientific research may include capture, anesthesia,
collaring, tracking, genetic sampling, the use and baiting of camera
and DNA traps, den monitoring, and aerial surveying. State agencies
with approved cooperative agreements (see cooperative agreements
discussion above for additional information) and the Service will not
be required to obtain separate ESA permits for take associated with
these actions, as we are including the exceptions at 50 CFR 17.31(b) in
the 4(d) rule. To facilitate Federal agencies or federally recognized
Tribes to participate in and assist with these activities, we are also
including an exception that allows biologists, acting in an official
capacity, from other Federal agencies or federally recognized Tribes to
take wolverine for scientific or research purposes that are associated
with wolverine conservation efforts, as identified by the Service,
provided such taking does not result in death or permanent injury to
the wolverine(s) involved. Taking that results in death or permanent
injury must be reported to the appropriate U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service law enforcement office and to appropriate State and Tribal
authorities.
Forest Management Activities for the Purposes of Reducing the Risk or
Severity of Wildfire
As discussed in the February 4, 2013, proposed listing rule (78 FR
7864) and October 13, 2020, withdrawal document (85 FR 64618),
management activities (e.g., timber harvest, wildland firefighting,
prescribed fire, and silviculture) can modify wolverine habitat, but
this generalist species appears to be affected little by changes to the
vegetative characteristics of its habitat. In addition, most wolverine
breeding habitat in the contiguous United States occurs at high
elevations in rugged terrain that is not conducive
[[Page 83769]]
to intensive forms of silviculture and timber harvest. Forest
management activities for the purposes of reducing the risk or severity
of wildfire are generally not a threat to wolverines in the contiguous
United States.
Under this interim 4(d) rule, incidental take caused by forest
vegetation management for the purpose of wildfire mitigation that
promotes the long-term stability and diversity of forests will not be
prohibited. Broadly, the forest vegetation and fire management
activities referred to above may include, but are not limited to,
silviculture practices and forest-management activities that address
fuels management; insect and disease impacts; vegetation management in
existing utility rights-of-way; and wildlife-habitat management,
including planting seedlings or sowing seeds, mechanical cuttings as a
restoration tool in stands experiencing advancing succession, full or
partial suppression of fires, allowing fires to burn, and survey and
monitoring of forest health. Because no forest vegetation management
activities for the purposes of reducing the risk or severity of
wildfire pose any threat to the North American wolverine at the DPS
level, we purposefully do not specify in detail what types of these
activities are included in this exception, or how, when, or where they
must be conducted, as long as they are conducted in accordance with
applicable law; these activities may also vary in how they are
conducted across the DPS' wide range. Therefore, this interim 4(d) rule
will facilitate the continuation of forest vegetation management
activities because these activities pose no or minimal threats to the
North American wolverine at the DPS level and result in only de minimis
forms of take. Forest management can also contribute to the DPS's
conservation into the future by maintaining overall forest health in
and adjacent to wolverine habitat. This exception, and any relevant
future section 7 consultations with Federal agencies, also allow for
flexibility to accommodate specific physical conditions, resource
needs, and constraints across the DPS's range.
Incidental Trapping
Wolverines are occasionally incidentally trapped and killed in the
contiguous United States in the course of legal trapping for other
species, typically wolf trapping. This occurs at low levels in a
portion of the wolverine's breeding range (mainly Idaho and Montana)
and does not currently represent a stressor to the wolverine in the
contiguous United States at the population or subspecies level. Since
2012, there have been 10 nontarget wolverine captures (average = fewer
than 1/year) resulting in 3 mortalities in Montana (MFWP 2023, in
litt., p. 1). In Idaho, 14 nontarget captures (0.7/year) of wolverines
have occurred during licensed trapping activities, with no demonstrable
trend in capture rates over the past 20 years (IDFG 2022, in litt., p.
3). Between November 2017 and August 2022, IDFG reported that nine
wolverines were incidentally trapped, with two resulting in mortalities
(IDFG 2022, in litt., pp. 5, 16-22). We have no recent reports of
wolverines incidentally trapped in other States within the range during
the course of legal trapping activities.
In 2021, in both Idaho and Montana, laws and regulations were
enacted that may increase the amount of wolf trapping and the risk of
incidental trapping of wolverines because of the use of snares,
extended trapping seasons, and financial incentives (Service 2023, p.
39). However, because wolverines differ from wolves in size,
distribution, and behavior, and State laws and guidelines influence
trappers to use trap tension, site selection, and snare height to
reduce the likelihood of incidental capture, we expect minimal effects.
In addition, year-round wolf trapping seasons in Idaho are limited to
private lands, where there is very little core wolverine habitat,
further reducing the potential for incidental taking through trapping.
As discussed above under Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational Purposes, States within the
North American wolverine's range in the contiguous United States have
enacted multiple regulations and recommendations to limit incidental
trapping mortality of wolverines. Additionally, the legal trapping that
occurs for other species, like bobcat and marten, does not lend itself
to wolverine incidental trapping due to the types of traps used,
placement of those traps, and habitat in which they would be deployed.
We expect incidental trapping of wolverines to continue to be very
limited throughout the DPS's range.
Incidental trapping mortality of wolverines in the contiguous
United States is minimal and does not impact wolverines at a population
or species level. Mowat et al. (2020, p. 221) concluded the maximum
sustainable harvest rate for wolverines is about 8 percent. Based on a
recent analysis of an area in Canada that was experiencing population
declines related to overharvest, Mowat et al. (2020, p. 224)
recommended reducing direct trapping mortality to no more than 4
percent per year across their study area to promote wolverine
population recovery. In the contiguous United States, where there is no
direct trapping, incidental trapping rates have been well below this
recommended rate. If we assume there are approximately 300 wolverines
in the contiguous United States and assume 2 wolverine mortalities per
year from incidental trapping (a conservative estimate from the
incidental trapping mortalities we know of since 2012), that would be
only 0.67 percent of the population per year. This minimal level of
loss will not significantly impact the contiguous U.S. population of
North American wolverines and will not inhibit conservation of the DPS.
We conclude that the overall impact of incidental trapping that is
conducted in accordance with State or Tribal trapping laws and
regulations and in a manner that uses best practices to minimize
capture and mortality of wolverines, is not expected to negatively
affect conservation and recovery efforts for the contiguous U.S. DPS of
the North American wolverine. Therefore, take due to this type of
trapping will not be prohibited. Take due to trapping that is not in
compliance with applicable State or Tribal laws or regulations and that
results in the incidental trapping of a wolverine is prohibited and
subject to penalties under section 9 of the Act. Any take of wolverine
from incidental trapping should be reported to the nearest U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service law enforcement office and to the appropriate
State wildlife agency or Tribal wildlife authorities within 5 days of
occurrence. Unharmed individuals are to be released immediately.
We anticipate that the additional take excepted by this interim
4(d) rule will only have a minimal impact on wolverine habitat and
individuals in the contiguous United States. The activities associated
with scientific research, forest management for the purposes of
reducing the risk or severity of wildfire, and legal trapping of other
species in a manner that reduces risk to wolverines are expected to
result in low levels of take of individuals given the limited scope and
scale of these activities.
We conclude that take of wolverines excepted by this interim 4(d)
rule will be small and will not pose a significant impact on the
conservation of the DPS as a whole. However, we recognize that there is
some uncertainty regarding the level of take that may result and that
there are other approaches and additional conservation measures that
could improve the overall conservation outcome of this interim 4(d)
rule. We
[[Page 83770]]
are seeking public comments on this interim 4(d) rule (see Public
Comments Solicited on the Interim 4(d) Rule, below), and we will
publish either an affirmation of this interim rule or a final revised
rule after we fully consider all comments we receive.
Need for Interim Rule
We initially proposed a 4(d) rule for the wolverine in 2013, in
association with our proposal to classify the wolverine as a threatened
species (78 FR 7864; February 4, 2013). We accepted comments on that
2013 proposed 4(d) rule and have considered the comments we received
regarding the proposed 4(d) rule in developing this interim 4(d) rule.
Thus, we engaged in notice-and-comment rulemaking, and we could have
issued the 4(d) rule as a final rule rather than as an interim rule
with an additional comment period. However, we have elected to issue
the 4(d) rule as an interim rule and to accept public comments to
ensure a robust opportunity for the public to consider the prohibitions
and exceptions prescribed, while providing protections for the
threatened DPS and complying with our court-ordered deadline to
finalize the listing determination.
The Service considered segregating the 4(d) rule from the listing
determination and issuing a revised proposed rule for notice and
comment before finalizing the 4(d) rule. However, under 5 U.S.C.
553(b)(3)(B) of the Administrative Procedure Act (APA), we find good
cause to proceed without reproposing the 4(d) rule and undertaking
notice and comment before finalizing the 4(d) rule. If the Secretary
were to repropose a 4(d) rule and finalize it through the standard
rulemaking process, we would be unable to finalize the protective
regulations set forth in this interim 4(d) rule concurrently with the
final listing rule for the DPS. This would result in no protections for
the DPS until we complete a process to repropose and finalize a 4(d)
rule. That outcome would be contrary to the public interest in this
case because immediate implementation of the interim 4(d) rule when the
species' listing is effective (see DATES, above) has the advantage of
providing a conservation benefit to the North America wolverine in the
contiguous United States. Under this interim 4(d) rule, the DPS will be
protected by the general section 9(a)(1) prohibitions, with the
aforementioned exceptions. Alternatively, another option left to the
agency's discretion would be to have no prohibitions for a species
determined to be threatened under the Act. However, as stated, we think
that it is appropriate to provide some protection for this DPS now so
that wolverines in the United States have the best chance of surviving
in the face of climate change impacts and other threats. We find that
this interim 4(d) rule provides appropriate protections to promote the
conservation of the DPS across its range while providing the
flexibility for certain otherwise lawful activities to occur without
significantly impacting the DPS or its habitat. The final rule listing
the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine as a threatened
species under the Act is published as a part of this document and is
effective on the date specified in DATES, above. To avoid any confusion
arising from varying effective dates, and because we cannot establish a
4(d) rule for a species that is not yet listed, this interim 4(d) rule
will also be effective on the date specified in DATES, above, to
coincide with the effective date of the listing.
Public Comments Solicited on the Interim 4(d) Rule
We request comments or information from other concerned Federal and
State agencies, Tribes, the scientific community, or any other
interested party concerning the interim 4(d) rule. With regard to the
interim 4(d) rule, we particularly seek comments regarding:
(1) Whether the 4(d) rule as a whole is necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine.
(2) Information concerning the extent to which we should include
any of the section 9 prohibitions in the 4(d) rule.
(3) Whether we should consider any additional exceptions from the
prohibitions, such as take as a result of other categories of
activities beyond those described, and, if so, under what conditions
and with what conservation measures, if any.
(4) Additional provisions the Service may wish to consider for a
revision to the interim 4(d) rule in order to conserve, recover, and
manage the DPS.
Our determination to affirm or revise the interim 4(d) rule will
take into consideration all written comments and any additional
information we receive. Please note that comments merely stating
support for or opposition to the interim 4(d) rule without providing
supporting information, although noted, will not be considered. Our
final 4(d) rule may differ from this interim 4(d) rule, based on our
review of all information we receive during this rulemaking proceeding.
We may change the parameters of the prohibitions or the exceptions to
those prohibitions in the 4(d) rule if we conclude it is appropriate in
light of comments and new information received. For example, we may
expand the prohibitions if we conclude that the protective regulations,
including those additional prohibitions, are necessary and advisable to
provide for the conservation of the species. Conversely, we may
establish additional exceptions to the prohibitions in the final rule
if we conclude that the activities would facilitate or are compatible
with the conservation and recovery of the species.
Our intent is to issue an affirmation of this interim 4(d) rule or
issue a revised 4(d) rule for the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North
American wolverine by December 2024.
As we state above under DATES, we are opening a 60-day public
comment period on the interim 4(d) rule. You may submit your comments
and materials concerning the interim 4(d) rule by one of the methods
listed in ADDRESSES. We request that you send comments only by the
methods described in ADDRESSES. If you submit information via https://www.regulations.gov, your entire submission--including any personal
identifying information--will be posted on the website.
If your submission is made via a hardcopy that includes personal
identifying information, you may request at the top of your document
that we withhold this information from public review. However, we
cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so. We will post all
hardcopy submissions on https://www.regulations.gov. Please include
sufficient information with your comments to allow us to verify any
scientific or commercial information you include.
Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
documentation we used in preparing this rule, will be available for
public inspection on https://www.regulations.gov, or by appointment,
during normal business hours, at the Pacific Region Ecological Services
Program (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
III. Critical Habitat
Background
Critical habitat is defined in section 3 of the Act as:
(1) The specific areas within the geographical area occupied by the
species, at the time it is listed in accordance with the Act, on which
are found those physical or biological features
(a) Essential to the conservation of the species, and
(b) Which may require special management considerations or
protection; and
[[Page 83771]]
(2) Specific areas outside the geographical area occupied by the
species at the time it is listed, upon a determination that such areas
are essential for the conservation of the species.
Critical Habitat Determinability
Our regulations at 50 CFR 424.12(a)(2) state that critical habitat
is not determinable when one or both of the following situations exist:
(i) Data sufficient to perform required analyses are lacking, or
(ii) The biological needs of the species are not sufficiently well
known to identify any area that meets the definition of ``critical
habitat.''
When critical habitat is not determinable, the Act allows the
Service an additional year to publish a critical habitat designation
(16 U.S.C. 1533(b)(6)(C)(ii)).
We reviewed the available information pertaining to the biological
needs of the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine and
habitat characteristics where the DPS is located. A careful assessment
of the economic impacts that may occur due to a critical habitat
designation has yet to occur, and we will be working to acquire the
complex information needed to perform that assessment. Therefore, due
to the current lack of data sufficient to perform required analyses, we
conclude that the designation of critical habitat for the DPS is not
determinable at this time in accordance with 50 CFR 424.12(a)(2)(i).
The Act allows the Service an additional year to publish a critical
habitat designation that is not determinable at the time of listing (16
U.S.C. 1533(b)(6)(C)(ii)).
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Rule
We are required by E.O.s 12866 and 12988 and by the Presidential
Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain language. This
means that each rule we publish must:
(1) Be logically organized;
(2) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
(3) Use clear language rather than jargon;
(4) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
(5) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
revise the rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For
example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or paragraphs
that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long,
the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.
National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
Regulations adopted pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act are exempt
from the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et
seq.) and do not require an environmental analysis under NEPA. We
published a notice outlining our reasons for this determination in the
Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244). This includes
listing, delisting, and reclassification rules, as well as critical
habitat designations and species-specific protective regulations
promulgated concurrently with a decision to list or reclassify a
species as threatened. The courts have upheld this position (e.g.,
Douglas County v. Babbitt, 48 F.3d 1495 (9th Cir. 1995) (critical
habitat); Center for Biological Diversity v. U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, 2005 WL 2000928 (N.D. Cal. Aug. 19, 2005) (concurrent 4(d)
rule)).
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951), E.O. 13175 (Consultation and Coordination
with Indian Tribal Governments), and the Department of the Interior's
manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our responsibility to
communicate meaningfully with federally recognized Tribes on a
government-to-government basis. In accordance with Secretary's Order
3206 of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal Rights, Federal-Tribal
Trust Responsibilities, and the Endangered Species Act), we readily
acknowledge our responsibilities to work directly with Tribes in
developing programs for healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that Tribal
lands are not subject to the same controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and to make information available
to Tribes. During the development of the wolverine SSA report addendum,
we asked for information and concerns from all the federally recognized
Tribes in the contiguous U.S. range of the North American wolverine in
California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and
Wyoming. While we did not receive any information regarding the
wolverine from any Tribe specific to the SSA report addendum, we remain
committed to engaging with interested Tribes regarding the interim 4(d)
rule, future proposed critical habitat designation, and future recovery
planning for the contiguous U.S. DPS of the North American wolverine.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in this rulemaking is available
on the internet at https://www.regulations.gov and upon request from
the Pacific Region Ecological Services Program (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this rule are the staff members of the Fish
and Wildlife Service's Species Assessment Team and the Pacific Region
Ecological Services Program.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Plants,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Transportation, Wildlife.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter I, title 50
of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245,
unless otherwise noted.
0
2. Amend Sec. 17.11, in paragraph (h), by adding an entry for
``Wolverine, North American [Contiguous U.S. DPS]'' to the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife in alphabetical order under MAMMALS
to read follows:
Sec. 17.11 Endangered and threatened wildlife.
* * * * *
(h) * * *
[[Page 83772]]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Listing citations
Common name Scientific name Where listed Status and applicable
rules
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAMMALS
* * * * * * *
Wolverine, North American Gulo gulo luscus... Where found within T 88 FR [INSERT
[Contiguous U.S. DPS]. the contiguous FEDERAL REGISTER
U.S.A. PAGE WHERE THE
DOCUMENT BEGINS],
11/30/2023; 50 CFR
17.40(u).\4d\
* * * * * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0
3. Amend Sec. 17.40 by adding paragraph (u) to read as follows:
Sec. 17.40 Special rules--mammals.
* * * * *
(u) North American wolverine (Gulo gulo luscus), contiguous U.S.
DPS.
(1) Prohibitions. The following prohibitions that apply to
endangered wildlife also apply to the contiguous U.S. distinct
population segment (DPS) of the North American wolverine. Except as
provided under paragraph (u)(2) of this section and Sec. Sec. 17.4 and
17.5, it is unlawful for any person subject to the jurisdiction of the
United States to commit, to attempt to commit, to solicit another to
commit, or cause to be committed, any of the following acts in regard
to this DPS:
(i) Import or export, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(b) for endangered
wildlife.
(ii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(c)(1) for endangered
wildlife.
(iii) Possession and other acts with unlawfully taken specimens, as
set forth at Sec. 17.21(d)(1) for endangered wildlife.
(iv) Interstate or foreign commerce in the course of a commercial
activity, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(e) for endangered wildlife.
(v) Sale or offer for sale, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(f) for
endangered wildlife.
(2) Exceptions from prohibitions. In regard to this DPS, you may:
(i) Conduct activities as authorized by a permit under Sec. 17.32.
(ii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(c)(2) through (c)(4) for
endangered wildlife.
(iii) Take, as set forth at Sec. 17.31(b).
(iv) Possess and engage in other acts with unlawfully taken
wildlife, as set forth at Sec. 17.21(d)(2) for endangered wildlife.
(v) Take caused by scientific or research activities for wolverine
undertaken by a biologist from a Federal agency other than the U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service, or a federally recognized Tribe, when acting
in the course of their official duties, provided that such taking does
not result in the death or permanent injury to the wolverine(s)
involved and that the taking is reported to the nearest U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service law enforcement office and to the appropriate State
wildlife agency or Tribal wildlife authorities. Activities associated
with scientific research may include capture, anesthesia, collaring,
tracking, genetic sampling, the use and baiting of camera and DNA
traps, den monitoring, and aerial surveying.
(vi) Take incidental to an otherwise lawful activity caused by:
(A) Forest vegetation management activities for the purpose of
reducing the risk or severity of wildfire.
(B) Trapping of species other than wolverine, provided that the
trapping is conducted in accordance with State or Tribal trapping laws
and regulations, the trapping is conducted in a manner that uses best
practices to minimize the potential for capture and mortality of
wolverines, and any take of wolverine is reported to the nearest U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service law enforcement office and to the appropriate
State wildlife agency or Tribal wildlife authorities within 5 days of
occurrence. Unharmed individuals are to be released immediately.
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2023-26206 Filed 11-29-23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P