Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Island Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island Dudleya From the List of Endangered and Threatened Plants, 76679-76696 [2023-23937]
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 214 / Tuesday, November 7, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
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Title
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2008 Ozone Serious Area Attainment
Plan.
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R8–ES–2022–0066;
FF09E22000 FXES1113090FEDR 223]
RIN 1018–BF51
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removing Island Bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island Dudleya From
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule; final post-delisting
monitoring plans.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), are removing
the plants island bedstraw (Galium
buxifolium) and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya (Dudleya nesiotica) from the
Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants on the basis of
recovery. Both of these native plant
species occur in the Channel Islands
National Park off the coast of California.
This final rule is based on our review of
the best available scientific and
commercial data, which indicates that
the threats to island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya have been
eliminated or reduced to the point that
these species have recovered and no
longer meet the definition of an
endangered or threatened species under
the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act).
DATES: This rule is effective December 7,
2023.
ADDRESSES: This final rule is available
on the internet at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R8–ES–2022–0066.
Availability of supporting materials:
This final rule and supporting
documents, including the 5-year
reviews, the Recovery Plan, postdelisting monitoring plans, and the
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SUMMARY:
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Disapproval
of
contingency
measures. RACM and attainment demonstration withdrawn.
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Executive Summary
Why we need to publish a rule. Under
the Act, a species warrants delisting if
it no longer meets the definition of an
endangered (in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range) or threatened species (likely to
become endangered within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range). Island
bedstraw is listed as endangered, and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is listed as
threatened, and we are delisting both
species. We have determined that island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
do not meet the Act’s definition of an
endangered or threatened species.
Delisting a species can be completed
only by issuing a rule through the
Administrative Procedure Act
Frm 00055
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[insert Federal Register citation],
11/7/2023.
species status assessment (SSA) reports
for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya, are available at https://
ecos.fws.gov, and at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R8–ES–2022–0066 (also see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT). In
addition, the supporting files for this
final rule will be available for public
inspection by appointment, during
normal business hours, at: U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Ventura Fish and
Wildlife Office, 2493 Portola Road #B,
Ventura, CA, 93003; telephone 805–
644–1766.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Stephen P. Henry, Field Supervisor,
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Ventura
Fish and Wildlife Office, 2493 Portola
Road, Suite B, Ventura, CA 93003;
telephone 805–644–1766. Direct all
questions or requests for additional
information to: Island bedstraw and/or
Santa Cruz Island dudleya Questions, to
the address above. Individuals in the
United States who are deaf, deafblind,
hard of hearing, or have a speech
disability may dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or
TeleBraille) to access
telecommunications relay services.
Individuals outside the United States
should use the relay services offered
within their country to make
international calls to the point-ofcontact in the United States.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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Comments
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rulemaking process (5 U.S.C. 551 et
seq.).
What this document does. This rule
removes island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants in
title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations (at 50 CFR 17.12(h)) based
on their recovery. The prohibitions and
conservation measures provided by the
Act, particularly through sections 7 and
9, will no longer apply to island
bedstraw or Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
The basis for our action. Under the
Act, we may determine that a species is
an endangered species or threatened
species because of any of five factors:
(A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of
the same factors.
Under the Act, we must review the
status of all listed species at least once
every 5 years. We must delist a species
if we determine, on the basis of the best
available scientific and commercial
data, that the species is neither a
threatened species nor an endangered
species. Our regulations at 50 CFR
424.11 identify three reasons why we
might determine a listed species shall be
delisted: (1) The species is extinct; (2)
the species does not meet the definition
of an endangered species or a threatened
species, or (3) the listed entity does not
meet the definition of a species. Here,
we have determined that the island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
do not meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species; therefore, we are delisting
them.
Previous Federal Actions
Please refer to the proposed delisting
rule (87 FR 73722) for island bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
published on December 1, 2022, for a
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detailed description of previous Federal
actions concerning these species.
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Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA)
team prepared SSA reports for both
island bedstraw (Service 2021a, entire)
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya (Service
2021b, entire). The SSA team was
composed of Service biologists, in
consultation with other species experts.
These SSA reports represent a
compilation of the best scientific and
commercial data available concerning
the status of these species, including the
impacts of past, present, and future
factors (both negative and beneficial)
affecting both of the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on
peer review published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270),
and our August 22, 2016, memorandum
updating and clarifying the role of peer
review in listing and recovery actions
under the Act, we solicited independent
scientific reviews of the information
contained in the SSA reports for island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. As discussed in the proposed
rule, we sent the island bedstraw SSA
report to three independent peer
reviewers and received three responses.
We sent the Santa Cruz Island dudleya
SSA report to three independent peer
reviewers and received one response.
The island bedstraw SSA report was
also submitted to our Federal, State,
Tribal, and other partners for scientific
review. We received one partner review
from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS);
Channel Islands Field Station in
Ventura, California. The dudleya SSA
report was also submitted to our
Federal, State, Tribal and other partners
for scientific review. We received two
partner reviews from The Nature
Conservancy (TNC) and USGS (Channel
Islands Field Station in Ventura,
California). The peer reviews can be
found at https://www.regulations.gov
under Docket No. FWS–R8–ES–2022–
0066 and https://ecos.fws.gov. In
preparing this final rule, we
incorporated the results of these
reviews, as appropriate, into the final
SSA reports for both species, which are
the foundation for the proposed rule
and this final rule. A summary of the
peer review comments and our
responses can be found in the Summary
of Comments and Recommendations
below.
Summary of Changes From the
Proposed Rule
In preparing this final rule, we
reviewed and fully considered the
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comments received on the proposed
rule. We did not receive substantive
additional information regarding the
proposed actions, and, therefore, we did
not make any changes from the
proposed rule in this final rule.
Summary of Comments and
Recommendations
In the proposed rule published on
December 1, 2022, we requested that all
interested parties submit written
comments on the proposal by January
30, 2023. We also contacted appropriate
Federal and State agencies, scientific
experts and organizations, and other
interested parties and invited them to
comment on the proposal. We did not
receive any requests for a public
hearing, or substantive information
during the comment period. We
received two public comments that were
not substantive.
Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above,
we received comments from three peer
reviewers on the draft SSA reports. We
reviewed all comments we received
from the peer reviewers for substantive
issues and new information regarding
the contents of the SSA reports. Peer
reviewer comments are addressed in the
following summary. As discussed
above, because we conducted this peer
review prior to publication of our
proposed rule, we had already
incorporated all applicable peer review
comments into the final version of the
SSA report, which was the foundation
for the proposed rule and this final rule.
The peer reviewers generally
concurred with our methods and
conclusions and provided additional
scientific and editorial suggestions.
These suggestions included discussions
of climate change effects, competition,
genetic variation, possible clonal spread
and effects of erosion for island
bedstraw, and possible competitive and
fire effects for Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. The peer reviewer comments
were addressed as necessary within the
final versions of the SSA reports.
Delisting Determination
Background
The following discussion contains
information that was presented in the
proposed rule to delist island bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya (87 FR
73722, December 1, 2022). A thorough
discussion of both species’ description,
habitat, and life history is also found in
that proposed rule.
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Island Bedstraw
Island bedstraw occurs on Santa Cruz
and San Miguel Islands of the Channel
Islands in Santa Barbara County,
California (figure 1). It is a long-lived,
flowering woody shrub that can be more
than 1 m (3 ft) tall and may sprawl
laterally wider than it is tall. The basal
stem diameter can exceed 13
millimeters (mm) (0.5 inch (in))
(McEachern et al. 2019a, p. 20). Stems
can be glabrous, scabrous, or sparsely
hairy. Its leaves are large for the genus
and tend to turn red and be lost under
summer drought stress conditions.
Flowers are small (3–4 mm or 0.10–0.15
in diameter) and are greenish white,
often with darker petal tips or centers.
The fruit is a schizocarp (a dry fruit that
splits into parts when ripe) comprising
two single-seeded mericarps, typically
referred to as nutlets. While it is not
known how long adult plants can live,
they can likely live more than 20 years,
if not longer (McEachern 2020, pers.
comm.).
Historically, island bedstraw has been
characterized as restricted to coastal
bluffs, steep rocky slopes, and sea cliffs
in the coastal-bluff scrub vegetation
(Junak et al. 1995, p. 254; Dempster
1993, p. 982; Soza 2012, p. 1211).
However, the plant has also been found
in other places, like in pine forest and
at interior locations. For Santa Cruz
Island, the number of known island
bedstraw sites has increased with each
successive survey effort, from 13 to 27
to 36 over the course of 20 years and 3
survey efforts. The number of sites on
San Miguel Island has remained at six.
Each site represents a separate
population of island bedstraw for the
purposes of this analysis. Where data
are available, the estimated number of
plants within sites has increased over
time, sometimes dramatically. Plant
totals have gone from about 100 to about
10,000 for Santa Cruz Island, and the
most recent total does not include most
of the terraces or cliffs on the coastal
sites. The total number of known plants
on San Miguel Island has increased
from about 500 to about 5,000, again not
including most cliff-face plants. Most of
the 42 total sites are either extant or
presumed to be extant. Island bedstraw
seems to be expanding on terraces and
other non-cliff habitats; this expansion
is demonstrated at several sites. Further
information on the basic biology and
ecology of island bedstraw is
summarized in the SSA report (Service
2021a, entire).
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Santa Cruz Island Dudleya
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is a
succulent perennial, known from only
one population (represented by five
subpopulations) on the westernmost tip
of Santa Cruz Island in Santa Barbara
County, California (figure 1). In general,
little is known specifically about the life
history of Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
The species is a perennial succulent that
is known to reproduce only by seed.
The seed is extremely small and may be
transported only a short distance by
wind or water where it may germinate
quickly if conditions allow or remain
viably dormant for years. Many Dudleya
species recruit most successfully into a
cryptogamic substrate, but it is
unknown if this substrate is a
requirement for Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. Seedlings require open spaces
for germination and are not
reproductive in their first year. Plants
are self-compatible but require
pollinators, some of which may be
native bees. Seed production is not
pollinator limited, and a reproductive
plant can produce more than 1,000
seeds per year. Plants can live for at
least several years. Older plants that
have previously flowered may have
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years when they do not flower. Santa
Cruz Island dudleya is found mostly on
the lowest marine terraces from about
20–30 m (66–98 ft) elevation. The soils
are sandy and marine sediment derived
or have a greater clay fraction derived
from basaltic rock (Klinger et al.
unpublished, p. 6). The more coastal
soils are considered to be more saline
(Vivrette 2002, entire). Further
information on the basic biology and
ecology of Santa Cruz Island dudleya is
summarized in the SSA report (Service
2021b, entire).
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Recovery Plan and Recovery Criteria
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to
develop and implement recovery plans
for the conservation and survival of
endangered and threatened species
unless we determine that such a plan
will not promote the conservation of the
species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii) of
the Act, recovery plans must, to the
maximum extent practicable, include
objective, measurable criteria which,
when met, would result in a
determination, in accordance with the
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provisions of section 4 of the Act, that
the species be removed from the Lists of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants.
Recovery plans provide a roadmap for
us and our partners on methods of
enhancing conservation and minimizing
threats to listed species, as well as
measurable criteria against which to
evaluate progress towards recovery and
assess the species’ likely future
condition. However, they are not
regulatory documents and do not
substitute for the determinations and
promulgation of regulations required
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under section 4(a)(1) of the Act. A
decision to revise the status of a species
or to delist a species is ultimately based
on an analysis of the best scientific and
commercial data available to determine
whether a species is no longer an
endangered species or a threatened
species, regardless of whether that
information differs from the recovery
plan.
There are many paths to
accomplishing recovery of a species,
and recovery may be achieved without
all of the criteria in a recovery plan
being fully met. For example, one or
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Figure 1. Locations of island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya in the
Channel Islands National Park off the coast of California.
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more criteria may be exceeded while
other criteria may not yet be
accomplished. In that instance, we may
determine that the threats are
minimized sufficiently and that the
species is robust enough that it no
longer meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species. In other cases, we may discover
new recovery opportunities after having
finalized the recovery plan. Parties
seeking to conserve the species may use
these opportunities instead of methods
identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, we may learn new
information about the species after we
finalize the recovery plan. The new
information may change the extent to
which existing criteria are appropriate
for identifying recovery of the species.
The recovery of a species is a dynamic
process requiring adaptive management
that may or may not follow all of the
guidance provided in a recovery plan.
The recovery plan (Service 2000, p.
62) for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya describes the recovery
goals, objectives, and criteria that need
to be achieved to consider removing
these species from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants. We
summarize the goals and then discuss
progress toward meeting the recovery
criteria in the following sections.
Recovery Goals and Objectives
In a recovery plan, the overall
recovery goal is to improve the status of
the species such that the protections of
the Act are no longer needed.
Preliminary goals and objectives include
(1) stabilizing and protecting
populations, (2) conducting research
necessary to refine recovery criteria, and
(3) reclassifying to threatened
(downlisting) those species currently
listed as endangered (reclassification
being appropriate when a taxon is no
longer in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range). Because data upon which to
base decisions about reclassification and
recovery were mostly lacking when the
recovery plan was developed,
downlisting and recovery criteria in the
recovery plan are necessarily
preliminary (Service 2000, p. 62).
The following recovery criteria that
generally apply to both of these species
have been met: (1) provide protection
and adaptive management of currently
known (and in some cases historical)
sites; (2) provide evidence that the
populations at these sites are stable or
increasing over a number of years,
which is determined by the life history
of the individual species; (3) preserve
the genetic diversity of the species by
storing seeds in cooperating facilities;
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and (4) develop reliable seed
germination and propagation
techniques.
Determining whether a species’
current status meets the overall recovery
goal and associated objectives requires a
broad evaluation of the trends in the
observed numbers of occurrences
indicated by surveys and monitoring,
the abundance and distribution of
suitable habitat, evaluation of the seed
bank, and the effectiveness of protective
measures that have been implemented
to reduce threats from human activities
such as soil loss and herbivory by feral
pigs and ungulates, disturbance by pig
rooting, collecting for botanical and
horticultural use, and trampling by
humans. In addition, we also examine
the effectiveness of protective measures
that have been implemented to reduce
threats from nonnative plants, the risk
associated with small population size,
climate change, and fire. In order to
evaluate threats to the species, we must
consider potential impacts within the
foreseeable future. The recovery plan
(Service 2000, entire) used 10–15 years
as the period of time to evaluate
population stability because that time
period reflects a typical multiyear
precipitation cycle (Service 2000, p. 63).
Unique recovery criteria for island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
are covered in the recovery plan
(Service 2000, pp. 64–68) and are
discussed below.
Recovery Criteria
Island Bedstraw Downlisting Criteria
The recovery plan identified seven
criteria for reclassifying island bedstraw
to a threatened species (Service 2000,
pp. 64–68):
• Downlisting Criterion 1: Stabilize or
increase populations on Santa Cruz and
San Miguel Islands with evidence of
natural recruitment for a period of 20
years that includes the normal
precipitation cycle.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Since the time of listing, researchers
have found 23 new sites on Santa Cruz
Island, and no new sites on San Miguel
Island, and the total number of sites has
increased from 19 to 42 (three sites on
Santa Cruz Island did not have plants
observed in the 2004–2006 surveys and
were not relocated or remapped by the
2015 helicopter survey so are
considered possibly extirpated). On San
Miguel Island, for three of the six
historical sites that were surveyed,
significant increases in numbers
occurred between the time of listing and
the most recent survey. Combined
numbers for both islands have increased
from 512–603 at the time of listing to at
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least 15,730 individuals at the time of
2015 and 2017 helicopter surveys. We
conclude that this criterion has been
met.
• Downlisting Criterion 2:
Reintroduce plants to historical
locations.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
No introduction of island bedstraw to
any of the historical locations where it
is possibly extirpated and no
outplantings to augment extant
historical sites have occurred. However,
at the historical sites, plant numbers are
generally increasing without plants
being added artificially. Although this
criterion has not been met, we conclude
it is no longer needed.
• Downlisting Criterion 3: Seed stored
in Center for Plant Conservation (CPC)
cooperating facilities.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Currently, only a small amount of seed
from a few sites on Santa Cruz Island is
stored at the Santa Barbara Botanic
Garden (SBBG), a CPC facility.
Thorough conservation seed banking
requires seed in storage from a good
representation of sites over the range of
the species. A few sites with currently
only a small amount of seed is not
sufficient to cover that standard. We
conclude that this criterion has not been
met. While there are plans to bolster the
conservation seed bank, with the
substantial natural recovery of island
bedstraw this criterion no longer has the
urgency it did at the time of listing.
Because so many new populations have
been documented, and the abundance is
so great, conservation seed banking is
not as important as it was thought to be
at the time of the recovery plan.
• Downlisting Criterion 4: Seed
germination and propagation
techniques understood.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
While seeds have been germinated and
the resulting plants have grown for
several years, the conditions in which
the seeds were germinated were fairly
general, and optimal protocols have not
been developed. We conclude that this
criterion has not been met. However, we
do not think Downlisting Criterion 4 is
needed anymore because the numbers of
island bedstraw are increasing naturally.
• Downlisting Criterion 5: Life-history
research conducted.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Research over a 10-year period on the
life history of the species, particularly
flower biology and demography, has
shown recruitment episodes and
documented transitions through lifehistory stages. We conclude that this
criterion has been met.
• Downlisting Criterion 6: Surveys of
historical locations conducted.
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Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Most of the 13 historical sites on Santa
Cruz Island have been resurveyed at
least once since the time of listing, and
plants were found at most of those sites.
In addition, most of the 14 new
locations found between 2004 and 2006
were either remapped or had plant
numbers estimated in 2015 surveys.
Most of the six historical sites on San
Miguel Island have also been
resurveyed, and plants were also found
at all of those resurveyed sites. We
conclude that this criterion has been
met.
• Downlisting Criterion 7: If
declining, determine cause and reverse
trend.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
The species has not been declining on
either Santa Cruz or San Miguel Islands.
Rather, it has been dramatically
increasing, and many new sites have
been found since the time of listing. We
conclude that this criterion has been
met.
Island Bedstraw Delisting Criteria
In addition to the seven downlisting
criteria above, the recovery plan
identified three criteria for removing
island bedstraw from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants
(Service 2000, pp. 64–68):
• Delisting Criterion 1: Discover or
establish five additional populations per
island (San Miguel and Santa Cruz).
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Researchers have discovered 23
previously unknown sites on Santa Cruz
Island. No new sites have been
discovered or established on San Miguel
Island. San Miguel Island lacks the
extensive suitable habitat of Santa Cruz
Island, and there may not be additional
undiscovered populations; however,
surveyed populations have increased in
numbers of individuals. Based on the
lack of extensive suitable habitat on San
Miguel Island, this criterion may not be
possible for San Miguel Island. We
conclude that this criterion has been
met for Santa Cruz Island but not for
San Miguel Island.
• Delisting Criterion 2: No decline
after downlisting for 10 years.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
We conclude that this criterion is not
relevant since we have not downlisted
the species.
• Delisting Criterion 3: All potential
habitat surveyed.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Currently, not every part of the north
coast of Santa Cruz Island has been
surveyed, nor have detailed surveys
occurred everywhere on San Miguel
Island or in potential habitat on the
north coast of Santa Rosa Island.
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Additionally, historical interior sites
have not been resurveyed sufficiently.
We conclude that this criterion has not
been met. However, this criterion may
no longer be relevant because the
numbers of island bedstraw plants have
increased substantially on the islands
from which it is known.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Delisting
Criteria
The recovery plan identified six
criteria for removing Santa Cruz Island
dudleya from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants
(Service 2000, pp. 64–68):
• Delisting Criterion 1: Maintain the
existing population as stable with
evidence of natural recruitment for a
period of 20 years that includes the
normal precipitation cycle.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Data indicate that the population size is
stable at between 40,000 and 200,000
plants estimated per survey over the last
25 years, with the last estimate of
120,000 in 2019. In 2019 a robust
repeatable survey protocol was
established and baseline data have been
collected to assess future trends. This
criterion has been met.
• Delisting Criterion 2: Seed stored in
CPC cooperating facilities.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
An abundance of recently collected seed
(19,568 seeds from 78 maternal lines) is
stored at the SBBG (California Plant
Rescue, 2023). This criterion has been
met.
• Delisting Criterion 3: Seed
germination and propagation
techniques understood.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
While no specific work has been done
with Santa Cruz Island dudleya, seed
germination and plant propagation
techniques are well understood for
many other Dudleya species, including
other closely related species in the same
subgenus. We conclude that this
criterion has been met.
• Delisting Criterion 4: Weed
competition understood and managed.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
The vegetation of Santa Cruz Island is
still changing since the complete
removal of feral ungulates. Some aspects
of the interactions of nonnative annual
grasses and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
were investigated more than 20 years
ago, but little research has been done
recently. We conclude that this criterion
has not been met. However, Santa Cruz
Island dudleya has not been observed to
have been competitively impacted by
weeds and is at least stable in
population size at 40,000–200,000
individuals over the last 25 years, so
while weeds may be a threat, they have
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not seemed to have had an impact on
population stability.
• Delisting Criterion 5: Pig damage
controlled.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
Pigs were completely removed from
Santa Cruz Island by 2006, and
substantial passive vegetation recovery
has occurred. This criterion has been
met.
• Delisting Criterion 6: Life-history
research conducted.
Status of achieving recovery criterion:
While originally planned, no additional
life-history research has been conducted
specifically on Santa Cruz Island
dudleya since the time of listing.
However, many life-history
characteristics are similar throughout
Dudleya and applicable to this species.
The criterion is considered met through
knowledge of the biology of similar
species.
Summary of Recovery Criteria
In the recovery plan, the overall
recovery goal is to improve the status of
the species such that the protections of
the Act are no longer needed.
Preliminary goals and objectives include
stabilizing and protecting populations,
conducting research, and reclassifying
species to threatened (downlisting)
when appropriate. The recovery plan
criteria that generally apply to both of
these species have been met. The
recovery plan’s unique recovery criteria
for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya (Service 2000, pp. 64–
68) are discussed above and
summarized below.
Research and survey efforts have
clarified the distribution, abundance,
and habitat characteristics of island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. This information has resulted
in a better understanding of the species’
ecology and has shown an increase in
the species’ range and numbers of sites
and individuals for island bedstraw, and
has shown population stability and an
increase in distribution for Santa Cruz
Island dudleya.
Overall, the intent of the recovery
criteria has been met in collaboration
with our partners. TNC and the National
Park Service (NPS) have provided
protection and adaptive management of
historical and recent sites. USGS, TNC,
and others have provided survey
evidence that the populations at these
sites are stable or increasing over a
number of years. TNC and NPS have
coordinated to preserve the genetic
diversity of both species by
conservation banking of seeds in an
approved facility. Both species are
considered recovered without reliable
seed germination and propagation
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techniques being developed. Therefore,
we conclude that, based on the best
available information, the intent of the
recovery criteria in the recovery plan
has been achieved and the recovery goal
identified in the plan has been met for
both island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
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Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations in title
50 of the Code of Federal Regulations
set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species is an endangered
species or a threatened species, issuing
protective regulations for threatened
species, and designating critical habitat
for endangered and threatened species.
In 2019, jointly with the National
Marine Fisheries Service, the Service
issued a final rule that revised the
regulations in 50 CFR part 424 regarding
how we add, remove, and reclassify
endangered and threatened species and
the criteria for designating species’
critical habitat (84 FR 45020; August 27,
2019). On the same day the Service also
issued final regulations that, for species
listed as threatened species after
September 26, 2019, eliminated the
Service’s general protective regulations
automatically applying to threatened
species the prohibitions that section 9 of
the Act applies to endangered species
(84 FR 44753; August 27, 2019).
The Act defines an ‘‘endangered
species’’ as a species that is in danger
of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, and a
‘‘threatened species’’ as a species that is
likely to become an endangered species
within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.
The Act requires that we determine
whether any species is an endangered
species or a threatened species because
of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
These factors represent broad
categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an
effect on a species’ continued existence.
In evaluating these actions and
conditions, we look for those that may
have a negative effect on individuals of
the species, as well as other actions or
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conditions that may ameliorate any
negative effects or may have positive
effects. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of
the same five factors.
We use the term ‘‘threat’’ to refer in
general to actions or conditions that are
known to or are reasonably likely to
negatively affect individuals of a
species. The term ‘‘threat’’ includes
actions or conditions that have a direct
impact on individuals (direct impacts),
as well as those that affect individuals
through alteration of their habitat or
required resources (stressors). The term
‘‘threat’’ may encompass—either
together or separately—the source of the
action or condition or the action or
condition itself.
However, the mere identification of
any threat(s) does not necessarily mean
that the species meets the statutory
definition of an ‘‘endangered species’’ or
a ‘‘threatened species.’’ In determining
whether a species meets either
definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the
species’ expected response and the
effects of the threats—in light of those
actions and conditions that will
ameliorate the threats—on an
individual, population, and species
level. We evaluate each threat and its
expected effects on the species, then
analyze the cumulative effect of all of
the threats on the species as a whole.
We also consider the cumulative effect
of the threats in light of those actions
and conditions that will have positive
effects on the species—such as any
existing regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts. The Secretary
determines whether the species meets
the definition of an ‘‘endangered
species’’ or a ‘‘threatened species’’ only
after conducting this cumulative
analysis and describing the expected
effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term
‘‘foreseeable future,’’ which appears in
the statutory definition of ‘‘threatened
species.’’ Our implementing regulations
at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a
framework for evaluating the foreseeable
future on a case-by-case basis. The term
‘‘foreseeable future’’ extends only so far
into the future as we can reasonably
determine that both the future threats
and the species’ responses to those
threats are likely. In other words, the
foreseeable future is the period of time
in which we can make reliable
predictions. ‘‘Reliable’’ does not mean
‘‘certain’’; it means sufficient to provide
a reasonable degree of confidence in the
prediction. Thus, a prediction is reliable
if it is reasonable to depend on it when
making decisions.
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It is not always possible or necessary
to define the foreseeable future as a
particular number of years. Analysis of
the foreseeable future uses the best
scientific and commercial data available
and should consider the timeframes
applicable to the relevant threats and to
the species’ likely responses to those
threats in view of its life-history
characteristics. Data that are typically
relevant to assessing the species’
biological response include speciesspecific factors such as lifespan,
reproductive rates or productivity,
certain behaviors, and other
demographic factors.
Analytical Framework
The island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya SSA reports document
the results of our comprehensive
biological review of the best scientific
and commercial data regarding the
status of these species, including an
assessment of the potential threats to
both species. The SSA reports do not
represent our decision on whether these
species should be removed from the List
of Endangered and Threatened Plants.
However, they provide the scientific
basis that informs our regulatory
decisions, which involve the further
application of standards within the Act
and its implementing regulations and
policies.
To assess island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya viability, we used
the three conservation biology
principles of resiliency, redundancy,
and representation (Shaffer and Stein
2000, pp. 306–310). Briefly, resiliency
supports the ability of the species to
withstand environmental and
demographic stochastic events (for
example, wet or dry, warm or cold
years), redundancy is the ability of the
species to withstand catastrophic events
(for example, droughts, large pollution
events), and representation is the ability
of the species to adapt to both near-term
and long-term changes in its physical
and biological environment (for
example, climate conditions, pathogen).
In general, species viability will
increase with increases in resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Smith
et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these
principles, we identified the species’
ecological requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and
described the beneficial and risk factors
influencing the species’ viability.
The SSA process can be categorized
into three sequential stages. During the
first stage, we evaluated the individual
species’ life-history needs. The next
stage involved an assessment of the
historical and current condition of the
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species’ demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived
at its current condition. The final stage
of the SSA involved making predictions
about the species’ responses to positive
and negative environmental and
anthropogenic influences. Throughout
all of these stages, we used the best
available information to characterize
viability as the ability of each species to
sustain populations in the wild over
time which we then used to inform our
regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key
results and conclusions from the island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
SSA reports; the full SSA reports for
both species can be found at Docket
FWS–R8–ES–2022–0066 on https://
www.regulations.gov and at https://
ecos.fws.gov.
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Summary of Biological Status and
Threats
In this discussion, we briefly review
the biological condition of each species
and their resources, and the threats that
influence the species’ current and future
condition, in order to assess the species’
overall viability and the risks to that
viability. The island bedstraw SSA
(Service 2021a, entire) and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya SSA (Service 2021b,
entire) document our comprehensive
biological status review for both species,
including an assessment of the potential
threats to both species.
The following is a summary of those
status reviews and the best available
information gathered that has informed
this decision.
Island Bedstraw Biological Condition
Plants like the island bedstraw, with
functionally unisexual flowers, need
flowers of opposite gender for
successful seed set, requiring one or
more pollinators. Seeds need to be able
to survive until germination conditions
are appropriate, and they need a stable
location to germinate and grow. Larger
plants also need stable locations for
long-term survival. A sufficient amount
of moisture is needed for all island
bedstraw life stages, and some of this
moisture may be provided by fog. Island
bedstraw populations need suitable
habitat that supports survival and
reproduction of an adequate number of
individuals with vital rates that
maintain self-sustaining populations
despite stochastic events. Overall, the
species needs sufficiently resilient
populations distributed across its range
to withstand catastrophic events.
Population sizes should be large enough
so that the species has the ability to
adapt to changing conditions.
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At the time of listing, there were 19
known sites of island bedstraw, 13 on
Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel
Island. There may have been 44–133 or
more plants on Santa Cruz Island and
more than 470 on San Miguel Island,
with an estimated 515–603 plants on the
2 islands combined.
After listing in 1997, from 2004
through 2006, significant efforts were
made to survey Santa Cruz Island for
island bedstraw. Of the 13 historical
sites, 10 were surveyed, and no plants
were found at 3 of those sites. An
additional 14 new sites were
discovered, expanding the distribution
of sites to the west and east of the
historical sites. At least 692–792 plants
were counted at the historical sites, and
at least 459 plants were counted at the
new sites, for a total of at least 1,151–
1,251 plants. No comparable surveys
occurred on San Miguel Island; the only
observations were counts at two sites in
1998 (McEachern et al. 2019a, pp. 14–
16).
In 2015 on Santa Cruz Island and in
2017 on San Miguel Island, Wildlands
Conservation Science (Lompoc, CA)
conducted rare plant surveys by
helicopter (Ball and Olthof 2017, entire;
Ball et al. 2018, entire). Additional
observations, not associated with
helicopter surveys, were made on both
islands. For the helicopter surveys
conducted in 2015 on Santa Cruz Island,
28 sites were visited consisting of 9 new
sites, the 17 sites surveyed between
2004 and 2006, and 2 previously
unsurveyed historical sites. Additional
sites discovered during the survey
brought the total number of known sites
to 36 (13 historical prelisting sites, 14
additional sites discovered from 2004 to
2006, and 9 sites in 2015 helicopter
surveys), and expanded the known
geographical distribution of island
bedstraw on the island eastward. Most
sites were only photographed, but
percent cover and area was estimated
for level terraces at seven sites. And
with an average plant canopy area
derived from monitoring data,
researchers estimated that those 7 sites
had 8,421 plants. An additional
observation in 2019 estimated another
1,000 or more plants at another terrace
site.
The 2017 helicopter surveys
conducted on San Miguel Island did not
reveal new sites. Three of the six
historical sites were visited, and percent
cover and area of island bedstraw were
estimated for level terraces at those
sites. Using the average plant canopy
area, researchers estimated that there
were 5,339 plants at the 3 sites. A fourth
site was previously confirmed to be
extant in 2014; the other two historical
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76685
sites have not been surveyed but are
also presumed to have extant plants.
On Santa Cruz Island, the total
number of known island bedstraw sites
has increased from 13 at the time of
listing, to 27 at the time of the 2004–
2006 surveys, to 36 after the 2015
helicopter surveys (Service 2021a, table
14, p. 37). On San Miguel Island, the
number of known sites is six, which is
the same as at the time of listing. Of the
36 total number of known sites on Santa
Cruz Island, 28 are known to be extant
based on recent helicopter surveys and
observations (Service 2021a, table 13,
figure 9, pp. 35–36); 5 sites are
presumed extant (4 of these sites had
plants in the 2004–2006 surveys but
were not surveyed thereafter, and 1 site
has not been surveyed since before
listing); and 3 sites are possibly
extirpated (targeted surveys took place
in 2004–2006, but sites were not
relocated or mapped by the 2015
helicopter surveys). Similarly, of the six
known sites on San Miguel Island, four
are known to be extant based on the
2017 helicopter survey and 2014
observational data (Service 2021a, table
13, figure 10, pp. 35–36), and the
remaining two sites are presumed extant
(but have not been surveyed since
before listing). There are no known
possibly extirpated sites on San Miguel
Island.
The current totals, therefore, are 33
known or presumed extant on Santa
Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island.
The total estimated number of known
individuals within those sites on both
islands combined has increased from
512–603 before listing to at least 15,730
after recent helicopter surveys.
Currently, island bedstraw appears to
have increasing abundance and
distribution. At one site studied over a
10-year span, island bedstraw has
shown demographic capacity for
population growth and adaptive
capacity by expansion beyond
historically occupied areas into more
diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to
terraces above the cliffs, and movement
into nonnative-dominated vegetation).
The species also shows the ability to
withstand catastrophic events because it
is distributed on two islands, has more
sites now than at the time of listing, and
has gaps between groups of sites within
islands.
Island Bedstraw Threats
In 1997, island bedstraw was listed as
an endangered species due to effects
(habitat alteration and herbivory)
resulting from feral livestock grazing
and trampling and subsequent soil
erosion (62 FR 40954, July 31, 1997). By
the time the recovery plan was signed
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in 2000, sheep had been removed from
both Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands,
but their residual effects remained. No
feral pigs occurred on San Miguel Island
after 1900, and TNC and NPS initiated
an 18-month program that removed all
pigs from Santa Cruz Island by the end
of 2006. In the 2009 5-year review, we
determined that island bedstraw still
met the definition of an endangered
species based on the following threats:
(1) soil loss and erosion resulting from
years of feral pig rooting and sheep
grazing, (2) loss of habitat to nonnative,
invasive plants, (3) random naturally
occurring events due to its limited
distribution and small population size,
and (4) effects from climate change
(Service 2009b, pp. 13–14).
The major threats to island bedstraw
at the time of listing, feral livestock
grazing, trampling, and resulting
erosion, have largely been eliminated,
which consequently also reduced the
threats of small population size and
nonnative vegetation identified in the
2009 5-year review. Effects from climate
change remain but are not to the level
where we conclude that the species is
in danger of extinction. We determined
that overutilization, disease, predation
(herbivory), and the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms are not
threats to island bedstraw, so we do not
discuss them in detail in this final rule.
For more information, see the island
bedstraw SSA report (Service 2021a).
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Soil Loss and Erosion
Currently, vegetation cover has
increased significantly on Santa Cruz
Island since the eradication of
herbivores (Beltran et al. 2014, p. 7),
leading to reduced erosion. This trend
appears similar on San Miguel Island.
Competition From Nonnative Plants
Nonnative invasive plants were not
specifically identified as a threat for this
species at the time of listing but were
discussed in the 2009 5-year review.
While the competitive ability of island
bedstraw against nonnative plants is
unknown, the species seems to be able
to colonize areas dominated by
relatively short nonnative annuals, such
as the terrace at the ‘‘Bluffs East of
Prisoners’’ site. Island bedstraw may
also have an advantage because native
perennials in general tend to be at an
advantage over nonnatives at sites that
are relatively more mesic (Corry 2006, p.
97), such as the north-facing cliffs,
terraces, and slopes on the north coasts
of Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands
where island bedstraw is found.
Additionally, the loss of leaves by
island bedstraw during dry summer
conditions may give it another edge over
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nonnatives (Corry 2006, p. 185) by
allowing it to survive drier soil
conditions through dormancy.
Random Extinctions of Small
Populations
On Santa Cruz Island, historical
populations with known numbers of
plants had 50 or fewer individuals, and
2004–2006 surveyed populations may
have had hundreds of plants. While
only a few of the 2015 surveyed sites
have population estimates, these
estimates are in the thousands of
individuals, and it is likely that more of
the unsurveyed sites also have large
numbers of plants. These sites with
hundreds or thousands of plants have a
greater likelihood of future persistence
than sites with fewer than 50 plants.
The three possibly extirpated historical
sites on Santa Cruz Island that could not
be located during the most recent
surveys (Service 2021a, table 6, p. 26)
probably had small numbers of
individuals (Service 2021a, table 4, p.
22). Two of those sites were in relatively
interior locations and could have gone
undetected because of poor location
descriptions. Similarly, the third site,
while coastal, is in an area of extremely
dense vegetation and could also have
been equally difficult to find. Assuming
extirpation, we estimate that these sites
are exceptions to the general trend of
increasing plant numbers at sites and
represent only 3 of the 36 Santa Cruz
Island sites. San Miguel Island has
demonstrated similar trends of
increasing numbers of plants within
sites, from historical numbers of 250 or
less, to estimates of 1,000 or more plants
observed during the 2016 surveys
(Service 2021a, table 12, p. 34). The
general trend of increasing plant
numbers at sites suggests that the threat
of random extinction of small
populations has been reduced.
Climate Change
The northern Channel Islands lie off
mainland Santa Barbara and Ventura
Counties. Of the two counties, Santa
Barbara County is the better model for
assessing climate impacts on the species
since the flora of the northern Channel
Islands, in general, is considered to have
more northern affinities (Raven and
Axelrod, 1995, pp. 63–64). Annual
average (National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Centers for Environmental
Information (NCEI) 2019a) and
maximum (NOAA NCEI 2019b)
temperatures for Santa Barbara County
for the period 2014 through 2018 were
the highest recorded since 1895.
Rainfall does not show such distinct
trends. However, except for 2017,
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annual rainfall for 2011 through 2018
was below the 1885–2018 mean (NOAA
NCEI 2109c), with 2013 and 2015 being
two of the five driest years since 1885.
These recent increases in annual
average and maximum temperatures and
lower annual rainfall do not seem to
have adversely affected recent island
bedstraw survivorship and expansion.
The monitoring data at Pelican Bay
(McEachern et al. 2019a, figure 13, p.
26) show an increase in the number of
reproductive plants in 2014 compared
to 2011. No sites are known to have
been extirpated between 2004 and 2019.
Spread from cliff locations to adjacent
terraces has also been confirmed during
that time period. It is unknown how
further increases in temperature and
decreases in rainfall may affect the
species.
The threat of fire rises with increases
in annual average and maximum
temperatures and lower annual rainfall.
Neither natural nor anthropogenic fires
are as common on the northern Channel
Islands as on the adjacent mainland
(Carroll et al. 1993, pp. 75–78). Just four
natural fires are known to have occurred
on the northern Channel Islands in the
last 165 years, none of which have
affected island bedstraw sites. Changes
in future climate may increase this risk;
however, we have no evidence that
natural wildfires will be such a serious
threat in the future that listing continues
to be warranted.
Resiliency, Representation, and
Redundancy
Resiliency
Resiliency describes the ability of
populations to withstand stochastic
disturbance. Resiliency is positively
related to population size and growth
rate and may be influenced by
connectivity among populations.
Currently, island bedstraw has
populations that are increasing in
numbers of individuals and spatial
extent. Island bedstraw abundances
have increased from 512–603
individuals before listing to at least
15,730 currently, the largest recorded
abundance. Individual sites are larger
than they were at the time of previous
surveys, and larger than at the time of
listing. Observations show that
populations have spread from cliffs to
adjacent level terraces. The rate of
growth appears to be positive, from both
demographic research and observations
of increasing areal extent at individual
sites. At least 1,000 plants have been
documented in a 0.5-hectare area where
no known plants occurred 15 years
earlier. Recent observations show this
pattern repeating at other sites.
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Representation
Representation describes the ability of
a species to adapt to changing
environmental conditions over time. It
is characterized by the breadth of
genetic and environmental diversity
within and among populations. Island
bedstraw has historically occupied
different parts of the islands, from sea
cliff faces to the interior of the islands.
It is now colonizing terraces above the
cliffs. Given how readily island
bedstraw moves off the bluffs, onto flats,
and into native and nonnative
vegetation, the genetic breadth can be
interpreted as sufficiently wide to
occupy diverse niches. Finally, although
the genetics of island bedstraw have not
been similarly analyzed, the close
relative San Clemente island bedstraw
(Gallium catalinense ssp. acrispum) has
been shown to retain high genetic
diversity after a ranching period with a
similar grazing history (Riley et al. 2010,
pp. 2020–2024) and occupies a similar
range of habitats.
Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a
species to withstand catastrophic
events. Redundancy is characterized by
having sufficiently resilient populations
distributed within the ecological
settings of the species and across its
range. Island bedstraw exhibits
redundancy at two scales: across the
northern islands and within each island
where it occurs. First, it is distributed
on two islands separated by a third, so
the entire species is unlikely to be
affected by any one catastrophic event.
Second, more sites are known than at
the time of listing on Santa Cruz Island,
and population sizes are larger on both
islands. Sites are distributed across the
breadth of the northern shores of each
island with gaps between groups of sites
such that a single island catastrophe
(like fire) would be unlikely to affect all
sites at once.
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Summary—Current Condition, Threats
Influencing Viability
The major threats to island bedstraw
at the time of listing were feral livestock
grazing, trampling, and the resulting
erosion. These major threats are either
no longer relevant or have been
minimized. The threats of small
population size and loss of habitat to
nonnative, invasive plants identified at
the time of the 2009 5-year review have
also been reduced. Additionally, there
have been no apparent negative effects
since the 2009 5-year review that are
attributable to temperature and
precipitation patterns associated with
projected climate change trends.
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Currently, island bedstraw is
increasing in abundance and
distribution and expanding beyond
historically occupied areas and into
more diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff
faces to terraces above the cliffs and
movement into nonnative-dominated
vegetation), indicating increasing
resiliency, representation, and general
overall adaptive capacity. Additionally,
with a distribution on two islands
(separated by a third) and more sites
now than at the time of listing with gaps
between groups of sites within islands,
a single island catastrophe would be
unlikely to affect all sites at once. The
catastrophic loss on one island would
not affect the other islands, and the
populations are spread out enough that
there is some redundancy within
islands.
The major remaining potential factor
influencing island bedstraw population
viability is climate change. Our current
data do not show that the species is
experiencing any significant effects from
changing climate conditions.
Future Condition
Of the threats that have been
discussed above, climate change
remains the most reasonably foreseeable
threat to persist and potentially affect
island bedstraw. It is a potential catalyst
of change for other threats and is
expected to have multiple effects in the
California Central Coast region,
including an increase in temperatures,
changes in precipitation, sea level rise,
and an increase in fire frequency
(Langridge 2018, pp. 12–23). Fifty years
is the evaluation timeframe for climate
change because the best available
information presented in the current
integrated climate assessment for the
Central California Coast forecast uses
2069 as its climate change analysis
interval (Langridge 2018, pp. 12–23).
The 50-year period integrates a wide
amount of interannual variability in
temperature and rainfall and contains
typical drought cycles (NOAA NCEI
2019a, 2019b, 2019c). Sea level rise
projections are from Griggs et al. 2017
(pp. 24–27), which is cited by Langridge
2018 (p. 24) as the latest Californiafocused sea level rise projections; Griggs
et al. 2017 uses an 80-year timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios
that capture the range of plausible
effects to the species from a projected
change in the factors influencing its
viability over a 50-year period.
Future scenario 1 summarizes effects
of representative concentration pathway
(RCP) 4.5, and future scenario 2
summarizes effects of RCP 8.5. The
RCPs are based on alternate projections
for climate change in the California
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Central Coast region based on Langridge
(2018, pp. 12–22, 29–31) and Griggs et
al. (2017, p. 27). RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5
are described more fully in the SSA
report (Service 2021a, entire).
Under future scenario 1, the
combination of increased temperature
and increased rainfall support
continued recruitment and expansion of
island bedstraw over the next 50 years.
Most vegetation is recovering island
wide, and as it recovers, leaf litter depth
and area of cover increase, as do
subsurface roots. These factors protect
the soil from direct impact and allow
increased percolation of water into the
soil. Surface flows are moderated and
erosion is reduced. Therefore,
increasing rainfall does not substantially
increase erosion, largely because most
vegetation would benefit from the
moderate additional rainfall and
vegetation reduces the intensity of
runoff. Moderate sea level rise could
cause minor impacts from landslides on
some Santa Cruz Island sites but not at
the population level. If sea level rise is
only a few feet, it will not directly
impact many plants or sites because
they are substantially higher in
elevation. Because most sites are on
relatively tough igneous rock, enough
erosion will not occur to undermine and
cause collapse of these coastal sites.
Moreover, the negative effects of fire
frequency on the species are not
expected to increase, as vegetation
flammability and ignition sources are
not projected to increase. Few minor
negative and some potential positive
effects of climate change would occur
under this future scenario, and sites are
likely to persist while the species’
abundance and range will continue to
expand. Overall, future scenario 1
projects increases in abundance and
expansion, which suggests resiliency
would increase and representation and
redundancy would remain stable for
island bedstraw.
Under future scenario 2, during the
next 50 years, temperatures are
projected to increase over the current
baseline even more than under scenario
1, with rainfall also increasing over
baseline but less than under scenario 1.
In addition, there is a projected increase
in year-to-year variability with an
increase in extreme dry events, drought
conditions, and extreme rain events.
The increase in extreme rain events
would lead to flashier, more intense
runoff.
Increased drying and drought events
could lead to decreased soil moisture
that will affect recruitment and adult
survival, leading to less population
expansion and possibly smaller
increases in abundance, relative to
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scenario 1. Rainfall events may increase
the severity of runoff, which may
dislodge or cover plants and lead to
decreases in abundance. If conditions
are severe enough, sites could be
extirpated. The effects of sea level rise
could be greater than in scenario 1 for
sites on sedimentary cliffs on the
eastern end of the species’ distribution
on Santa Cruz Island. Undercutting from
surf could increase landslides,
eliminating some if not all plants in cliff
sites. Fire frequency and size could
increase on Santa Cruz Island because of
warmer temperatures, drier vegetation,
windier conditions, increased lightning
strikes, and increased visitor use over
time that may lead to increased wildfire
starts by the public. Fires could reduce
abundance and eliminate sites. Overall,
future scenario 2 projects decreases in
abundance and expansion and
potentially extirpation of sites, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy could decrease for island
bedstraw; however, given the improved
habitat conditions for the species and
increasing baseline distribution and
abundance, we do not expect these
threats to affect the species at the
population level.
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Summary of Species Potential Future
Condition
Under future scenario 1, changes in
abundance and distribution of island
bedstraw continue on their current
positive trajectory, with increasing
numbers and site expansion. Under
scenario 2, some sites may decline and
possibly become extirpated. Decreased
soil moisture and drought are likely to
negatively affect the species because
recruitment, survivorship, and the rate
of expansion would be slower than
under future scenario 1, reducing
resiliency. Increased soil and shoreline
erosion and fire would also negatively
affect island bedstraw by killing
individuals and degrading habitat,
reducing representation and
redundancy. Given the improved habitat
conditions for the species and
increasing baseline distribution and
abundance, we do not expect threat
levels under either future scenario to
affect the island bedstraw at the species
level.
Island Bedstraw Overall Synthesis
Island bedstraw occurs on Santa Cruz
and San Miguel Islands. At the time of
listing, there were 19 known sites of
island bedstraw, 13 on Santa Cruz
Island and 6 on San Miguel Island.
Currently, the number of sites known or
presumed to be extant is 33 on Santa
Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island.
The total estimated number of known
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individuals within those sites on both
islands combined has increased from
512–603, at the time of listing, to at least
15,730, after recent helicopter surveys.
This number (15,730) is likely an
underestimate because helicopter
surveys were conducted at a subset of
known sites. Given the increase in the
number of individuals at sites where
plant number estimates were conducted
during the helicopter surveys, the sites
that were last counted in the mid-2000s
likely have more individuals.
The major threats to island bedstraw
at the time of listing, feral livestock
grazing, trampling, and resulting
erosion, are either no longer relevant or
have been minimized. The threats of
small population size and nonnative
vegetation identified at the time of the
2009 5-year review have also been
minimized. Currently, island bedstraw
is increasing in abundance and
distribution. It has shown demographic
capacity for population growth at one
site studied over a 10-year span and
adaptive capacity by expansion beyond
historically occupied areas and into
more diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff
faces to terraces above the cliffs and
movement into nonnative-dominated
vegetation). The species also shows the
ability to withstand some catastrophic
events with its distribution on two
islands (separated by a third), having
more sites now than at the time of
listing, and gaps between groups of sites
within islands.
Potentially negative effects of future
climate change remain, and we
developed two future scenarios that
capture the range of plausible effects to
the species from projected changes in
the factors influencing viability over a
50-year period. Climate change is
expected to have multiple effects in the
California Central Coast region,
including an increase in temperatures,
change in precipitation, sea level rise,
and increase in fire frequency. Future
scenarios 1 and 2 summarize effects of
RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively,
based on projections for climate change
in the California Central Coast region
derived from Langridge (2018, entire).
Under future scenario 1, changes in
abundance and distribution of island
bedstraw continue on their current
positive trajectory, with increasing
numbers and site expansion. Under
future scenario 2, some sites may
decline and possibly become extirpated.
Decreased soil moisture and drought are
likely to negatively affect the species
because recruitment, survivorship, and
the rate of expansion would be slower
than under future scenario 1. Increased
erosion and fire would also negatively
affect island bedstraw by killing
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individuals and reducing habitat. Given
the improved habitat conditions for the
species and increasing baseline
distribution and abundance, we do not
expect threat levels under either future
scenario to affect the species at the
population level.
Cumulative and synergistic
interactions are possible between the
effects of climate change and the effects
of other potential threats, such as small
population size, fire, and nonnative
plant invasion. Increases in temperature
and changes in precipitation are likely
to cause increases in nonnative grasses,
which are abundant in island bedstraw
habitat. Increased grass abundance has
the potential to carry fire more readily,
which could affect the geographically
limited population of island bedstraw.
Uncertainty about how different plant
species will respond under climate
change, combined with uncertainty
about how changes in plant species
composition would affect suitability of
island bedstraw habitat, make projecting
possible cumulative and synergistic
effects of climate change on island
bedstraw challenging.
Our post-delisting monitoring plans
will provide guidelines for evaluating
both species following delisting to
detect substantial declines that may lead
to consideration of re-listing to
threatened or endangered. Changes in
land use will still be subject to State and
Federal environmental review.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Biological
Condition
The genus Dudleya is typically
considered to be made up of three
subgenera: Dudleya, Stylophyllum, and
Hasseanthus, each of which at some
time has been considered a distinct
genus; Santa Cruz Island dudleya is in
subgenus Hasseanthus.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya needs the
right combination of position in soil,
litter depth, and light to emerge from
seed and survive to and past the
seedling stage. Seedlings and larger
plants need seasonal soil moisture, light
availability, and space to survive the dry
season, in order to reach a reproductive
size and successfully reproduce. The
species, comprising a single population,
needs a sufficiently broad distribution
to adapt to changing environmental
conditions and withstand catastrophic
events. Finally, Santa Cruz Island
dudleya needs a sufficient community
of generalist pollinators to ensure
effective pollination and seed set.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is
composed of one population and five
subpopulations that occur in a general
area of about 200 hectares (ha)
(approximately 494 acres), although the
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total occupied area within that general
area is about 13.7 ha (approximately 34
acres) (Schneider and Carson 2019, p.
10). The best information available
suggests that, over the last 25 years, the
population has fluctuated between at
least 40,000 and 200,000 individuals
and the current abundance is in the
middle of that range (approximately
120,000 individuals). Past survey
methods were not standardized, which
limits our ability to confirm a definitive
trend in abundance over time. However,
the population at 120,000 is stable, and
the most recent survey (Schneider and
Carson 2019, entire) established robust
survey methods that can be used in the
future to detect changes in distribution
and abundance.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Threats
At the time of listing, soil loss,
herbivory by feral pigs, disturbance by
pig rooting, and collecting for botanical
or horticultural use were identified as
threats to the species. The recovery plan
identified the additional threats of
competition from nonnative grasses,
trampling by humans, and an increased
risk of extinction from naturally
occurring random events due to the
species’ limited distribution (Service
2000, p. 35). The 2009 5-year review
also considered the effects of low
genetic variability, climate change, and
fire (Service 2009a, p. 12).
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Soil Loss, Herbivory by Feral Pigs,
Disturbance by Pig Rooting
In the original listing, the source of
soil loss is specified as the result of feral
ungulate activities (62 FR 40954 at
40966, July 31, 1997). All feral
ungulates were removed from Santa
Cruz Island by 2006 (McEachern et al.
2016, pp. 759–760), eliminating that
source of soil loss. Vegetation cover has
increased significantly on Santa Cruz
Island since 2006 (Beltran et al. 2014, p.
7), leading to reduced erosion and
mitigating this threat.
Collecting for Botanical and
Horticultural Use, Trampling by
Humans
While Santa Cruz Island dudleya has
a limited geographical range, it is very
abundant where it is found. While
Moran (1979, entire) considered
collecting to be a threat, McCabe (2004,
p. 269) did not. The species is in
cultivation (e.g., Trager 2004, entire) but
is not often available for sale. It may be
that the seasonal ephemerality of plants
in the subgenus Hasseanthus makes
Santa Cruz Island dudleya a plant not
sought out for personal collections.
Trampling by humans is still a
possible threat to the species, but it is
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unlikely to be a primary threat. TNC
maintains a permit system for boaters
that plan to land on TNC property (TNC
2020, p. 2), and offroad travel in the
Fraser Point/Forney Cove area is
prohibited to protect resources. TNC has
erected signage in the area to reinforce
the closure (Knapp 2021, pers. comm.).
Trespass occurs infrequently, and its
effects on Santa Cruz Island dudleya are
likely to be light, especially in grassland
locations away from the immediate
coast because trespassers are more likely
to stay close to the ocean.
Competition From Nonnative Annual
Plants
Klinger et al. (unpublished, entire)
investigated the effects of nonnative
grasses on Santa Cruz Island dudleya
density. While the study offered no data
about trends in overall abundance,
Santa Cruz Island dudleya density
declined in study plots in which annual
grass density and litter increased. The
study occurred before a major increase
in the nonnative annual grass Aegilops
cylindrica and does not explain a
seemingly steady abundance of Santa
Cruz Island dudleya over the years
despite that increase. These differing
findings suggest that the interactions
among nonnative annual grasses and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya are complex.
Moran (1979, p. 1) lists the nonnative
annual succulent Mesembryanthemum
crystallinum (crystalline ice plant) as
found with Santa Cruz Island dudleya at
Fraser Point. McCabe (2004, p. 269) lists
M. crystallinum as a threat to Santa Cruz
Island dudleya but does not define how
it is a threat. M. crystallinum can
dominate coastal vegetation by
increasing soil salinity to levels higher
than that tolerated by some native
plants (Vivrette and Muller 1977, pp.
315–317), but it is unknown if this
situation is a threat to Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. M. crystallinum has been
reported to be periodically abundant in
the coastal bluff scrub vegetation,
cycling with Lasthenia gracilis
(common goldfields), depending on
rainfall and temperature combinations
(Vivrette 2002, entire). Schneider and
Carson (2019, entire) do not report M.
crystallinum as common in their
surveys. The data do not indicate if M.
crystallinum is at a low abundance in a
cycle or if there has been a major change
in vegetation that may have disrupted
the cycle.
Random Extinctions of Small
Populations
The recovery plan identified
randomly occurring natural events as
threats to Santa Cruz Island dudleya
(Service 2000, p. 35) because the species
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has a single population with a limited
distribution over a small range. The
2009 5-year review (Service 2009a, p.
12) specified low genetic variability
(inferred by small population size),
climate change, and fire and
emphasized their importance as threats
to the continued existence of Santa Cruz
Island dudleya, given its single
population and limited distribution.
Low Genetic Variability
Because Santa Cruz Island dudleya
has a single population with a small
range, the genetic variability and the
resiliency of the species to humancaused or natural disasters may be low
(Ellstrand and Elam 1993, pp. 232–237).
No studies have been done on genetic
variability in Santa Cruz Island dudleya,
but the 2009 5-year review speculated
that the species might have inherently
low genetic diversity. If so, this
situation has likely been the case
throughout the existence of this species,
and there is no indication that this level
of genetic variability is a threat to the
species or contributes to low population
resiliency or viability.
Climate Change
Santa Cruz Island lies off mainland
Santa Barbara and Ventura Counties. Of
the two counties, Santa Barbara County
is the better model for assessing climate
impacts on the species since the flora of
the northern Channel Islands is
generally considered to have similar
affinities (Raven and Axelrod 1995, pp.
63–64). Annual average (NOAA NCEI
2019a) and maximum (NOAA NCEI
2019b) temperatures for Santa Barbara
County for 2014 to 2018 have been the
highest recorded since 1895. Rainfall
does not show such distinct trends.
However, except for 2017, annual
rainfall for 2011 to 2018 has been below
the 1885 to 2018 mean (NOAA NCEI
2109c), with 2013 and 2015 being two
of the five driest years since 1885.
In general, increased temperature and
decreased rainfall could negatively
affect survival and reproduction of the
species. However, these recent increases
in annual average and maximum
temperatures and lower annual rainfall
(combined with the removal of
nonnative herbivores) do not seem to
have adversely affected Santa Cruz
Island dudleya abundance or
distribution. The most recent survey
(Schneider and Carson 2019, p. 11)
shows an increased overall abundance
and an additional subpopulation since
the last surveys of 2006 (McEachern et
al. 2010, p. 12), although one
subpopulation did decrease in
abundance.
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A new threat to the species may be
sea level rise. Sea level rise has been
slow over the 20th century but has
accelerated and is expected to keep
accelerating (Sievanen et al. 2018, pp.
16–18). Sea level is expected to rise 0.4
to 1.1 m (16–43 in) by 2100 (Griggs et
al. 2017, pp. 24–27). Sea level rise could
affect Santa Cruz Island dudleya in two
ways. First, some plants are close
enough to the ocean that they can be
directly impacted and dislodged by surf
action. However, most plants are high
enough up on the marine terrace that
direct impacts of the surf would not
affect them. Second, rising sea level and
larger waves could undercut the sea
cliffs and bluffs, causing slumps and
landslides, and disturbing or destroying
whole groups of plants. Most plants,
however, are sufficiently inland that
they would not be affected.
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Fire
Neither natural nor anthropogenic
fires are as common on the northern
Channel Islands as on the adjacent
mainland (Carroll et al. 1993, pp. 82–
85). Just four natural fires have been
known to occur on the northern
Channel Islands in the last 165 years.
More human-caused fires, mostly from
machinery operation or uncontrolled
campfires, have occurred. Campfires are
prohibited in Channel Islands National
Park, but they occasionally happen on
isolated beaches on TNC property on
Santa Cruz Island (Knapp 2020, pers.
comm.), and clandestine prohibited
smoking is frequent. Three humancaused brush fires have occurred on
Santa Cruz in the last 15 years: a
vehicle-caused fire in 2007 (Knapp
2020, pers. comm.), a biomass reduction
burn escape in 2018 (Knapp 2020, pers.
comm.), and a construction-related fire
in 2020 (KEYT 2020).
While no fires are known to have
impacted the species, fire has been and
remains a concern for land managers
(Knapp 2020, pers. comm.). Passive
restoration after removal of feral
ungulates (Beltran et al. 2014, entire)
has increased fuel loads, and the results
of a fire could be severe. With five
distinct subpopulations across different
vegetation types, the chance of a fire
causing the extinction of the entire
population of the species is reduced.
However, each subpopulation is still
within 400 m of another subpopulation,
which is relatively close in the event of
a wind-driven wildfire.
Resiliency, Representation, Redundancy
Resiliency
Resiliency describes the ability of
populations to withstand stochastic
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events. Resiliency is positively related
to population size and growth rate and
may be influenced by connectivity
among populations. Recent research and
survey efforts have shown Santa Cruz
Island dudleya is at least stable in
population size at 40,000–200,000
individuals over the last 25 years with
an increase in distribution (Schneider
and Carson 2019, entire). Currently, the
single Santa Cruz Island dudleya
population appears to have no trend of
increasing or decreasing abundance, but
the lack of standardized surveys makes
it difficult to draw conclusions about
changes in species abundance and
distribution. Additional surveys over an
appropriate time span and area are
needed to document changes in
abundance and further changes in
distribution.
Threats to the species identified at
listing have been removed, including
soil loss, herbivory by feral pigs,
disturbance by pig rooting, and
collecting for botanical or horticultural
use (62 FR 40954 at 40959, July 31,
1997). We have found no evidence to
show that trampling by humans or low
genetic variability are currently affecting
abundance, and resiliency is not
increasing or decreasing. Remaining
potential threats include competition
from nonnative grasses, climate change,
and fire. These threats may affect
sparsely vegetated areas, suitable
temperatures, and adequate soil
moisture/rainfall needed for survival
and reproduction, thereby decreasing
the abundance and distribution of Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Except for negative
effects of nonnative grasses (Klinger
unpublished, entire), the effects of these
factors on resiliency have not been
studied, but they do not appear to be
currently adversely affecting the
species.
Representation
Representation describes the ability of
a species to adapt to changing
environmental conditions over time. It
is characterized by the breadth of
genetic, phenotypic, and ecological
diversity within and among
populations. No genetic analysis has
been conducted to reveal the genetic
diversity within Santa Cruz Island
dudleya compared to other Dudleya,
especially other members of subgenus
Hasseanthus. Santa Cruz Island dudleya
is limited to a small area, but within
that area, plants are growing in a variety
of combinations of distance from the
ocean, substrate type, and vegetation
type, which may reflect some amount of
adaptive capacity within the
population. It is unknown whether
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representation has changed for this
species since it was first described.
Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a
species to withstand catastrophic
events. Redundancy is characterized by
having multiple, sufficiently resilient
populations distributed within the
ecological settings of the species and
across its range. Santa Cruz Island
dudleya has inherently low redundancy
as a narrow endemic with only a single
population in a relatively small
geographic range. However, there are
physical gaps between subpopulations,
and the subpopulations occur in
different vegetation types that could
carry fire differently. Subpopulations
also occur at different elevations, and
some are protected from extreme wave
events. Although germinable seeds are
found in natural soil samples, the
amount of seed in the natural soil seed
bank is unknown (Wilken 1996, p. 25).
Redundancy is somewhat bolstered by a
high number of seeds that have recently
been seed-banked at the SBBG
(California Plant Rescue 2023).
Additionally, an active grant issued
under section 6 of the Act (Schneider
2017, pp. 4–6, 13) calls for bulking that
banked seed (in progress) and
establishing two new ‘‘populations’’ on
Santa Cruz Island (planned but delayed
because of the Covid–19 pandemic).
These activities will continue with
additional NPS funding (McEachern et
al. 2019b, pp. 9, 11).
Summary—Current Condition, Threats
Influencing Viability
Several major threats to Santa Cruz
Island dudleya identified at the time of
listing, including soil loss, herbivory by
feral pigs, and disturbance by pig
rooting, have been removed or are no
longer occurring. Collecting for
botanical and horticultural use and
trampling by humans also no longer
pose threats to the species due to
controls on access to the island.
Nonnative plants continue to occur with
the species and do not seem to have
affected population size, although no
recent study on the specific effects of
particular nonnatives or how changes in
the nonnative assemblage might alter
those effects has been undertaken. The
threat of small population size still
exists, as does concern about climate
change and fire, but since the 2009 5year review, there is no evidence that
these potential threats have affected the
species.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya abundance
is apparently not increasing or
decreasing in an obvious way, but data
over time are lacking. Recent research
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and survey efforts have shown Santa
Cruz Island dudleya is at least stable in
population size over the last 25 years
with an increase in distribution
(Schneider and Carson 2019, entire).
Some amount of adaptive capacity is
demonstrated in the variation in
vegetation types and elevation where
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is found.
While the elevational range seems small
and vegetation differences may seem
negligible if gauged simply by absolute
plant height, the locations where
individuals of the species grow are
remarkably varied. At the lowest
elevations, the plants are in open native
forb scrub that are likely subjected to
relatively high amounts of salt spray.
Soils here are influenced by the wind
and are somewhat rocky. We suspect
that here the primary stressors on the
plants are from the physical
environment. By contrast, higher up on
the terraces, plants are in dense
nonnative grassland with deeper soil
that is less affected by salt spray. Given
how dense the grasses are, we suspect
that the primary stressor to the species
must be competition. The two habitats
grade into each other at some sites. In
both situations, the species seems to be
doing fine, and robust plants are
showing good reproductive effort. The
adaptability of this plant through
disparate habitat zones is similar to a
large species of tree capable of growing
in open deserts or savanna to dense
forests with similar-sized trees. We
suspect there must be sufficient
phenotypic plasticity or genetic
variability (adaptive capacity) to enable
the species to do well in such different
conditions.
With only one population,
redundancy is inherently low, but that
issue may be mitigated somewhat by the
diversity of the locations in which the
species occurs, the presence of a seed
bank, and the limited potential and
extent of the most likely catastrophic
threat—fire. Fire has affected some
mainland Dudleya species dramatically,
while others seem to endure little
mortality from being burned. We do not
have specific fire data for Santa Cruz
Island dudleya. While fire could be
carried in areas where it occurs in dense
grass, lower elevation areas are so open
that fire is unlikely to spread, so there
is redundancy for the species, even over
its small geographic range.
Future Condition
Of the threats that have been
discussed above, climate change
remains the most reasonably foreseeable
threat to persist and potentially affect
Santa Cruz Island dudleya. It is a
potential catalyst of change for other
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threats and is expected to have multiple
effects in the California Central Coast
region, including an increase in
temperature, change in precipitation,
sea level rise, and increase in fire
frequency (Langridge 2018, pp. 12–23).
Fifty years is the evaluation timeframe
for climate change because the best
available information presented in the
current integrated climate assessment
for the California Central Coast forecast
uses 2069 as its climate change analysis
interval (Langridge 2018, pp. 12–23).
The 50-year period integrates a wide
amount of interannual variability in
temperature and rainfall and contains
typical drought cycles (NOAA NCEI
2019a, 2019b, 2019c). Sea level rise
projections are from Griggs et al. 2017
(pp. 24–27), which is cited by Langridge
2018 (p. 24) as the latest Californiafocused sea level rise projections; Griggs
et al. 2017 uses an 80-year timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios
that capture the range of plausible
effects to the species from projected
changes in the factors influencing its
viability over a 50-year period. Future
scenario 1 summarizes effects of RCP
4.5, and Future Scenario 2 summarizes
effects of RCP 8.5. The RCPs are
alternate projections for climate change
in the California Central Coast region
based on Langridge (2018, pp. 12–22,
29–31) and Griggs et al. (2017, p. 27).
Under future scenario 1 (RCP scenario
4.5 for climate change), the combination
of increased temperature and rainfall
continue over the next 50 years but not
at levels anticipated to affect current
levels of recruitment and survivorship.
Moderate sea level rise could cause
minor impacts from coastal bluff
undercutting at the lowest elevation
sites. Under RCP 4.5, anticipated sea
level rise is less than 1 m, which is less
likely to cause damage than the sea level
rise under RCP 8.5. Negative effects of
fire frequency on the species are not
expected to increase, as vegetation
flammability and ignition sources are
not projected to increase. Because there
are few negative effects of climate
change under RCP 4.5, the population is
likely to maintain viability, if not
expand. Overall, under scenario 1, we
project stability or increases in
abundance and distribution, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy would remain similar to the
current condition for Santa Cruz Island
dudleya.
Under future scenario 2 (RCP scenario
8.5 for climate change), temperature and
rainfall increase, with fewer, more
intense rain events, with a net result
that soil moisture decreases over the
next 50 years. The decreased soil
moisture affects recruitment and adult
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76691
survival, leading to decreases in
expansion, and possibly abundance. If
conditions are severe enough,
subpopulations could be extirpated. The
effects of competition with nonnative
annual grasses will increase with rising
temperatures and likely affect
recruitment and expansion of the
species. The effects of sea level rise
could be substantial for plants on
coastal bluffs. Undercutting from surf
and erosion from episodic rainfall could
increase the occurrence of landslides,
eliminating some if not all plants on
coastal bluffs. Fire frequency and size
could increase because of warmer
temperatures, drier vegetation, windier
conditions, increased lightning strikes,
and increased visitor use over time due
to increases in human population. Fires
could reduce abundance and
distribution of the species. Overall,
under scenario 2, we project a decrease
in abundance and a reduced rate of
expansion, and potentially the
extirpation of subpopulations, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the
improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline
distribution and abundance, we do not
expect threat levels under either future
scenario to affect the species at the
population level.
Summary of Species Potential Future
Condition
Under future scenario 1, maintenance
of recruitment and survivorship
continue over the next 50 years. Because
few negative effects of climate change
are expected under scenario 1, the
population is likely to maintain
viability, if not expand. Overall,
scenario 1 predicts little or no change in
abundance and distribution, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy would remain comparable
to current levels for Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. Under scenario 2, decreases in
abundance and reduced geographic
expansion and potentially extirpation of
subpopulations could occur, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the
improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline
distribution and abundance, we do not
expect threat levels under either future
scenario to affect the species at the
population level.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Overall
Synthesis
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is
composed of one population containing
five subpopulations that occur in a total
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occupied area of 13.7 ha (34 acres) in a
general area of about 200 ha (494 acres)
(Schneider and Carson 2019, p. 10) on
the westernmost tip of Santa Cruz
Island. Over the last 25 years, the
population has fluctuated between at
least 40,000 and 200,000 individuals,
and abundance is currently
approximately 120,000 individuals.
Several major threats to Santa Cruz
Island dudleya identified at the time of
listing have been removed or are no
longer occurring. Collecting for
botanical and horticultural use and
trampling by humans also no longer
pose threats to the species due to
controls on access to the island.
Nonnative plants continue to occur with
the species. The risk associated with
small population size still exists, as
does concern about climate change and
fire, but since the 2009 5-year review,
there is no evidence that these risk
factors have affected the species. Santa
Cruz Island dudleya abundance is
apparently not increasing or decreasing
in an obvious way, nor is resiliency
increasing or decreasing. Some amount
of representation is demonstrated in
variation in vegetation types and
elevation where Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is found. Redundancy is
inherently low with only one
population, but that issue may be
mitigated somewhat by the diversity of
the locations in which the species
occurs and the presence of a seed bank,
and the limited potential and extent of
wildfire. We do not have specific fire
data for Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
While fire could be carried in areas
where it occurs in dense grass, lower
elevation areas are so open that fire is
unlikely to spread there, so there is
redundancy for the species, even over
its small geographic range.
Under future scenario 1 (RCP scenario
4.5 for climate change), the combination
of increased temperature and rainfall
continue over the next 50 years but not
at levels anticipated to affect current
levels of recruitment and survivorship.
Moderate sea level rise could cause
minor impacts from coastal bluff
undercutting at the lowest elevation
sites. The effects of fire on the species
are not expected to increase. Because
few negative effects of climate change
are expected under RCP 4.5, the
population is likely to maintain
viability, if not expand. Overall, under
scenario 1, we project stability or
increases in abundance and
distribution, which suggests resiliency,
representation, and redundancy would
remain similar to the current condition
for Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
Under future scenario 2 (RCP scenario
8.5 for climate change), temperature and
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rainfall increase, with fewer, more
intense rain events, with a net result
that soil moisture decreases (due to
drought) over the next 50 years. The
decreased soil moisture affects
recruitment and adult survival, leading
to decreases in expansion, and possibly
abundance. If conditions are severe
enough, subpopulations could be
extirpated. The effects of competition
with nonnative annual grasses will
increase and likely affect recruitment
and expansion of the species. The
effects of sea level rise could be
substantial for plants on coastal bluffs.
Undercutting from surf and erosion
from episodic rainfall could increase the
occurrence of landslides, eliminating
some if not all plants on coastal bluffs.
Fire frequency and size could increase
because of warmer temperatures, drier
vegetation, windier conditions,
increased lightning strikes, and
increased visitor use over time with
increases in the human population.
Fires could reduce abundance and
distribution of the species. Overall,
under scenario 2, we project a decrease
in abundance and a reduced rate of
expansion, and potentially the
extirpation of subpopulations, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and
redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the
improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline
distribution and abundance, we do not
expect threat levels under either future
scenario to affect the species at the
population level.
Cumulative and synergistic
interactions are possible between the
effects of climate change and the effects
of other potential threats, such as small
population size, fire, and nonnative
plant invasion. Increases in temperature
and changes in precipitation are likely
to cause increases in nonnative grasses,
which are abundant in Santa Cruz
Island dudleya habitat. Increased grass
abundance can possibly more readily
carry fire, which could affect the
geographically limited population of
Santa Cruz Island dudleya. Uncertainty
about how different plant species will
respond under climate change,
combined with uncertainty about how
changes in plant species composition
would affect suitability of Santa Cruz
Island dudleya habitat, make projecting
possible cumulative and synergistic
effects of climate change on Santa Cruz
Island dudleya challenging.
We note that, by using the SSA
framework to guide our analysis of the
scientific information documented in
the SSA report, we have analyzed the
cumulative effects of identified threats
and conservation actions on the species.
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To assess the current and future
condition of the species, we evaluate the
effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species,
including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework
considers not just the presence of the
factors, but to what degree they
collectively influence risk to the entire
species, our assessment integrates the
cumulative effects of the factors and
replaces a standalone cumulative-effects
analysis.
Our post-delisting monitoring plans
will provide guidelines for evaluating
both species following delisting to
detect substantial declines that may lead
to consideration of re-listing to
threatened or endangered. Changes in
land use will still be subject to State and
Federal environmental review.
Island Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
Dudleya Conservation Efforts and
Regulatory Mechanisms
State Protections
Island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya are both listed as State Rare by
the State of California under the Native
Plant Protection Act of 1977 (Fish and
Game Code chapter 10, sections 1900–
1913) and the California Endangered
Species Act of 1984 (California Code of
Regulations, title 14, chapter 6, sections
783.0–787.9; Fish and Game Code
chapter 1.5, sections 2050–2115.5) and
so they receive special considerations
for their protection by the State of
California under the California
Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) for
California permitted projects on private
TNC land. The official California listing
of endangered and threatened species is
contained in the California Code of
Regulations, title 14, section 670.5.
Island bedstraw is listed as 1B.2 by
the California Native Plant Society
(CNPS), meaning it is considered rare,
threatened, or endangered in California
or elsewhere and moderately threatened
in California. Santa Cruz Island dudleya
is listed as 1B.1 by the CNPS, meaning
it is considered rare, threatened, or
endangered in California or elsewhere
and seriously threatened in California.
A cooperative relationship exists
between the California Department of
Fish and Wildlife (CFDW)—California
Natural Diversity Database (CNDDB)
(the State) and CNPS. The ‘‘threatened’’
category means two different things in
the CNPS rankings. The first
‘‘threatened category’’ (‘‘considered rare,
threatened, or endangered in California
or elsewhere’’) refers to a government
agency (e.g., Service, CDFW) or
nongovernmental organization (e.g.,
CNPS, NatureServe) having formally
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declared a plant in some sense to be
rare, threatened, or endangered. The
second threatened category
(‘‘moderately threatened in California’’
for island bedstraw and ‘‘seriously
threatened in California’’ for Santa Cruz
Island dudleya) are estimates at the time
of listing (by CNPS or CDFW) about the
degree to which the species is under
threat (in the sense that something
might harm the species). CNPS and
CDFW have different ranking systems
for rare plants but work together on
them. Because of the efforts of the
CNDDB program and CNPS to bring
attention to rare plants through these
parallel ranking systems, these plants
receive some attention via the CEQA
and the National Environmental Policy
Act (CNDDB and CNPS, 2020, entire).
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Federal and Federal Partner Protections
We evaluated whether any existing
regulatory mechanisms or other
voluntary conservation efforts may have
ameliorated any of the threats acting on
island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. All of the land on which both
species occur is managed by TNC or
NPS for conservation of unique island
species and habitats. The most
significant single action has been the
elimination of feral ungulates and feral
pigs by TNC and NPS, as discussed
above. The elimination of feral
ungulates and feral pigs has eliminated
the major sources of soil loss, habitat
alteration, and herbivory affecting the
species. This effort has resulted in
passive restoration of the vegetation. It
is likely that the positive effects of the
feral ungulate and feral pig removal will
continue into the future.
Determination of Status for Island
Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
Dudleya
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of an endangered species
or a threatened species. The Act defines
an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a species
that is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range and a ‘‘threatened species’’ as
a species that is likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act
requires that we determine whether a
species meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial,
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recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D)
The inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
Island Bedstraw
After evaluating threats to the species
and assessing the cumulative effect of
the threats under the Act’s section
4(a)(1) factors, we have found that the
major threats to island bedstraw at the
time of listing, feral livestock grazing
(Factor A), trampling (Factor A), and the
resulting erosion (Factor A), have either
been removed or have been minimized.
The threats of risk from small
population size (Factor E) and loss of
habitat to nonnative invasive plants
(Factor A) identified in the 2009 5-year
review have also been minimized.
At the time of listing, there were 19
known sites of island bedstraw, 13 on
Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel
Island. Currently, the number of sites
known or presumed to be extant has
grown to 33 on Santa Cruz Island and
continues at 6 on San Miguel Island.
The total estimated number of known
individuals within those sites on both
islands combined has increased from
512–603 before listing to at least 15,730.
Currently, island bedstraw is increasing
in abundance and distribution. It has
shown demographic capacity for
population growth and adaptive
capacity by expansion beyond
historically occupied areas into more
diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to
terraces above the cliffs and movement
into nonnative-dominated vegetation),
indicating increasing resiliency,
representation, and generally overall
adaptive capacity. The species also
shows the ability to withstand
catastrophic events because it is
distributed on two islands, has more
sites now than at the time of listing, and
has gaps between groups of sites within
islands. A single island catastrophe
would be unlikely to affect all sites at
once.
Although climate change (Factor E)
has had no apparent effects since the
2009 5-year review, the potentially
negative effects of climate change
remain and may still impact the species,
but such impacts are not currently
causing the species to be in danger of
extinction. The best available
information indicates that
overutilization (Factor B), disease
(Factor C), predation (herbivory) (Factor
C), and the inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (Factor D) are
not currently affecting the species
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76693
throughout its range. The existing
regulatory mechanisms will remain in
place to ensure the continued
persistence of island bedstraw
occurrences and suitable potential
habitat even when the species is
delisted and protections under the Act
are removed.
All of the occurrences of island
bedstraw are on Federal and private
lands that are protected and managed
for conservation by the NPS and TNC.
Both NPS and TNC have natural
resource conservation as part of their
mission. For example, the mission of
TNC is to conserve the lands and waters
on which all life depends. The TNC
vision is a world where the diversity of
life thrives and people act to conserve
nature for its own sake and its ability to
fulfill our needs and enrich lives. The
NPS preserves unimpaired the natural
and cultural resources and values of the
NPS System for the enjoyment,
education, and inspiration of this and
future generations. The NPS cooperates
with partners to extend the benefits of
natural and cultural resource
conservation and outdoor recreation
throughout this country and the world.
Thus, after assessing the best available
information, we conclude that island
bedstraw is not currently in danger of
extinction throughout all of its range
and, therefore, does not meet the
definition of an endangered species.
In order to assess whether the species
is likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future,
we evaluated any remaining future
threats. The major remaining potential
threat influencing island bedstraw
viability in the future is climate change.
Future climate change is expected to
have multiple effects in the California
Central Coast region, including
increases in temperatures, changes in
precipitation, sea level rise, and
increases in fire frequency (Langridge
2018, pp. 12–23). Fifty years is the
evaluation timeframe for climate change
because the best available information
presented in the current integrated
climate assessment for the California
Central Coast forecast uses 2069 as its
climate change analysis interval
(Langridge 2018, pp. 12–23). The 50year period integrates a wide amount of
interannual variability in temperature
and rainfall and contains typical
drought cycles (NOAA NCEI 2019a,
2019b, 2019c). Sea level rise projections
are from Griggs et al. 2017 (pp. 24–27),
which is cited by Langridge 2018 (p. 24)
as the latest California-focused sea level
rise projections; Griggs et al. 2017 uses
an 80-year timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios
that capture the range of plausible
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effects to the species from projected
changes in factors influencing viability
over a 50-year period. Future scenario 1
summarizes effects of RCP 4.5, and
future scenario 2 summarizes effects of
RCP 8.5 projections for climate change
in the California Central Coast Region
based on Langridge (2018, entire).
Under future scenario 1, changes in
abundance and distribution of island
bedstraw continue on their current
positive trajectory, with increasing
numbers and site expansion. Under
future scenario 2, some sites may
decline and possibly become extirpated.
Decreased soil moisture and drought are
likely to negatively affect the species
because recruitment, survivorship, and
the rate of expansion would be lower.
Increased erosion and fire would also
negatively affect island bedstraw by
killing individuals and reducing habitat.
Negative impacts to individuals may
occur under RCP 8.5 but given the
current improvement in habitat and
increases in distribution and
abundance, we do not think that the
impacts will rise to a population level
such that the species is likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, the
currently predicted changes in climate
do not indicate that the species may
become endangered due to those
changes in the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Thus, after
assessing the best available information,
we conclude that island bedstraw is not
currently in danger of extinction or
likely to become so within the
foreseeable future throughout all of its
range.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya
Through this final rule, we have
assessed the section 4(a)(1) factors by
evaluating the best scientific and
commercial information available
regarding the past, present, and future
threats faced by Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. We have found that the major
threats to Santa Cruz Island dudleya
identified at the time of listing have
either been removed or have been
minimized, due to the removal of feral
pigs from Santa Cruz Island by NPS and
TNC. Those prior threats included soil
loss (Factor A), herbivory by feral pigs
(Factor A), and disturbance by pig
rooting (Factor A). The threats of
collecting for botanical and horticultural
use (Factor B) and trampling by humans
(Factor A) also have been reduced by
conservation and protection measures
implemented by TNC and no longer
appear to pose threats to the species. At
the time of listing, nonnative plants
(Factor A) as a whole were considered
a threat to island native plant species in
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general, though there have been no
recent studies of the effects of
individual nonnative species or of the
shifting composition of nonnatives on
the persistence of Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. However, nonnative plants are
not considered to be a concern as they
were at the time of listing because the
species is stable.
The threats presented by the risk of
small population size (Factor E), climate
change (Factor E), and fire (Factor E)
still exist, but since the 2009 5-year
review there is no evidence that these
threats have affected Santa Cruz Island
dudleya. We determined that disease
(Factor C), predation (herbivory) (Factor
C), and the inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (Factor D) are
not currently affecting Santa Cruz Island
dudleya throughout its range. The
existing regulatory mechanisms in place
ensure the continued persistence of
Santa Cruz Island dudleya occurrences
and suitable potential habitat even
when the species is delisted and
protections under the Act are removed;
the single population is on private land
and is protected and managed for
conservation by TNC. Thus, after
assessing the best available information,
we conclude that Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is not currently in danger of
extinction throughout all of its range
and, therefore, does not meet the
definition of an endangered species.
In order to assess whether the species
is likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future,
we evaluated any remaining future
threats. Similar to island bedstraw, as
discussed above, the major remaining
potential factor influencing Santa Cruz
Island dudleya viability in the future is
climate change. Santa Cruz Island
dudleya occurs with nonnative plants
(Factor A), which are still considered a
threat, though there have been no
comprehensive studies that project the
future effects of individual nonnative
species or of the shifting composition of
nonnatives on the persistence of Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. However,
nonnative plants are not considered to
be a concern as they were at the time of
listing because the species is projected
to be either increasing or stable in the
future.
The threats presented by the risk of
small population size (Factor E), climate
change (Factor E), and fire (Factor E)
may continue into the future, but since
the 2009 5-year review, there is no
evidence that these threats have
significantly affected Santa Cruz Island
dudleya, and we do not think this
situation will change in the foreseeable
future. Negative impacts to individuals
may occur under climate change RCP
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8.5, but given the improvement in
habitat conditions and apparent
baseline population stability, we find
that the impacts will not likely rise to
a population level such that the species
would be likely to become endangered
in the foreseeable future. Therefore, the
currently predicted changes in climate
do not indicate that the species may
become endangered due to those
changes in the foreseeable future.
Thus, after assessing the best available
information, we conclude that Santa
Cruz Island dudleya is not currently in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so within the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion
of Their Ranges
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range. Having determined
that island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya are not in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future throughout all of its
range, we now consider whether these
species may be in danger of extinction
(i.e., endangered) or likely to become so
in the foreseeable future (i.e.,
threatened) in a significant portion of
their ranges—that is, whether there is
any portion of these species’ ranges for
which both (1) the portion is significant;
and, (2) the species is in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future in that portion.
Depending on the case, it might be more
efficient for us to address the
‘‘significance’’ question or the ‘‘status’’
question first. We can choose to address
either question first. Regardless of
which question we address first, if we
reach a negative answer with respect to
the first question that we address, we do
not need to evaluate the other question
for that portion of the species’ range.
In undertaking this analysis for island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya, we choose to address the status
question first. We began by identifying
portions of their range where the
biological status of these species may be
different from their biological status
elsewhere in their ranges. For this
purpose, we consider information
pertaining to the geographic distribution
of (a) individuals of these species, (b)
the threats that these species face, and
(c) the resiliency condition of
populations.
We evaluated the range of the island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
to determine if either species is in
danger of extinction now or likely to
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become so in the foreseeable future in
any portion of their ranges. The range of
a species can theoretically be divided
into portions in an infinite number of
ways. We focused our analysis on the
portions of these species’ ranges that
may meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species.
For island bedstraw, we considered
whether the threats or their effects on
the species are greater in any
biologically meaningful portion of the
species’ range than in other portions
such that the species is in danger of
extinction now or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future in that portion.
We examined the threats to determine if
they are geographically concentrated in
any portion of the species’ range at a
biologically meaningful scale. Island
bedstraw consists of 33 sites on Santa
Cruz Island and 6 sites on San Miguel
Island where each site is treated as a
separate population. The total estimated
number of known individuals is at least
15,730 after recent helicopter surveys
occurred in a general area of about 6,000
ha (15,000 acres), although the total
occupied area within that general area is
much less (has not been estimated). We
examined the following threats to island
bedstraw: feral livestock grazing,
trampling, erosion, small population
size, and climate change including
cumulative effects.
We found that the major threats to
island bedstraw at the time of listing,
feral livestock grazing, trampling, and
resulting erosion, have largely been
eliminated on both Santa Cruz and San
Miguel Islands. The elimination of these
threats also minimized the threats of
small population size and nonnative
vegetation on both islands. The major
remaining potential factor influencing
island bedstraw population viability is
climate change. Our current analysis
does not show that the species is
experiencing any significant effects from
changing climate conditions in any of
the populations on either island, or that
the species will do so in the foreseeable
future.
We found no biologically meaningful
portion of island bedstraw’s range
where the condition of the species
differs from its condition elsewhere in
its range such that the status of the
species in that portion differs from any
other portion of the species’ range.
Therefore, we find that the species is
not in danger of extinction now or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in
any significant portion of its range. This
does not conflict with the courts’
holdings in Desert Survivors v. U.S.
Department of the Interior, 336 F. Supp.
3d 1131 (N.D. Cal. 2018), and Center for
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Biological Diversity v. Jewell, 248 F.
Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017)
because, in reaching this conclusion, we
did not apply the aspects of the Final
Policy on Interpretation of the Phrase
‘‘Significant Portion of Its Range’’ in the
Endangered Species Act’s Definitions of
‘‘Endangered Species’’ and ‘‘Threatened
Species’’ (79 FR 3758, July 1, 2014),
including the definition of ‘‘significant’’
that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
For Santa Cruz Island dudleya, we
considered whether the threats or their
effects on the species are greater in any
biologically meaningful portion of the
species’ range than in other portions
such that the species is in danger of
extinction now or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future in that portion.
We examined the threats to determine if
they are geographically concentrated in
any portion of the species’ range at a
biologically meaningful scale. Santa
Cruz Island dudleya occurs in a general
area of about 200 ha (494 acres),
although the total occupied area within
that general area is about 13.7 ha (34
acres) (Schneider and Carson 2019 p.
10). The area can be divided into five
subpopulations, each within 400 m of
another, that function as a single,
contiguous population. Therefore,
according to the definition of the
California Natural Diversity Database
(CNDDB 2018 p. 3), these sites comprise
a single occurrence. Previous work on
gene flow in a population of another
member of the subgenus Hasseanthus,
Dudleya multicaulis (Marchant et al.
1998, pp. 217–219), that is similarly
dispersed, suggests that all Santa Cruz
Island dudleya subpopulations probably
comprise a single mixing population.
Thus, due to being a narrow endemic
that functions as a single, contiguous
population and occurs within a very
small area, there is no biologically
meaningful way to break the limited
range of Santa Cruz Island dudleya into
notable portions, and the threats that the
species faces affect the species
throughout its entire range. As a result,
we found no biologically meaningful
portion of the Santa Cruz Island
dudleya’s range where the condition of
the species differs from its condition
elsewhere in its range such that the
status of the species in that portion
differs from its status in any other
portion of the species’ range.
Therefore, we find that the species is
not in danger of extinction now or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in
any significant portion of the species’
range. This does not conflict with the
courts’ holdings in Desert Survivors v.
U.S. Department of the Interior, 336 F.
Supp. 3d 1131 (N.D. Cal. 2018), and
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76695
Center for Biological Diversity v. Jewell,
248 F. Supp. 3d. 946, 959 (D. Ariz.
2017) because, in reaching this
conclusion, we did not apply the
aspects of the Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase ‘‘Significant
Portion of Its Range’’ in the Endangered
Species Act’s Definitions of
‘‘Endangered Species’’ and ‘‘Threatened
Species’’ (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014),
including the definition of ‘‘significant’’
that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and
commercial data available indicates that
island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya do not meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened
species in accordance with sections 3(6)
and 3(20) of the Act. In accordance with
our regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(e)(2)
currently in effect, island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya do not meet
the definition of an endangered or
threatened species. Therefore, we are
removing island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya from the Federal
List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants.
Effects of This Rule
This final rule revises 50 CFR 17.12(h)
by removing island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya from the Federal
List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants. On the effective date of this rule
(see DATES, above), the prohibitions and
conservation measures provided by the
Act, particularly through sections 7 and
9, will no longer apply to these species.
Federal agencies will no longer be
required to consult with the Service
under section 7 of the Act in the event
that activities they authorize, fund, or
carry out may affect island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya. There is no
critical habitat designated for these
species, so there will be no effect to 50
CFR 17.96.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us,
in cooperation with the States, to
implement a monitoring program for not
less than 5 years for all species that have
been delisted due to recovery. Postdelisting monitoring (PDM) refers to
activities undertaken to verify that a
species delisted due to recovery remains
secure from the risk of extinction after
the protections of the Act no longer
apply. The primary goal of PDM is to
monitor the species to ensure that its
status does not deteriorate, and if a
decline is detected, to take measures to
halt the decline so that proposing it as
endangered or threatened is not again
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 214 / Tuesday, November 7, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
needed. If at any time during the
monitoring period data indicate that
protective status under the Act should
be reinstated, we can initiate listing
procedures, including, if appropriate,
emergency listing.
We are delisting island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya based on our
analysis in the SSA report, expert
opinions, and conservation and
recovery actions taken. Since delisting
would be, in part, due to conservation
actions taken by stakeholders, we have
prepared PDM plans for island bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya. The
PDM plans: (1) Summarize the status of
island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya at the time of proposed
delisting; (2) describe frequency and
duration of monitoring; (3) discuss
monitoring methods and potential
sampling regimes; (4) define what
potential triggers will be evaluated to
address the need for additional
monitoring; (5) outline reporting
requirements and procedures; (6)
establish a schedule for implementing
the PDM plans; and (7) define
responsibilities. It is our intent to work
with our partners towards maintaining
the recovered status of island bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya. With the
publication of the proposed rule, we
sought public and peer reviewer
comments on the draft PDM plans,
including their objectives and
procedures, and have incorporated these
comments as appropriate into the final
PDM plans, which will be posted to
https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–R8–ES–2022–0066 and
are available as indicated above in
ADDRESSES.
Order 13175 (Consultation and
Coordination with Indian Tribal
Governments), and the Department of
the Interior’s manual at 512 DM 2, we
readily acknowledge our responsibility
to communicate meaningfully with
federally recognized Tribes on a
government-to-government basis. In
accordance with Secretarial Order 3206
of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal
Rights, Federal–Tribal Trust
Responsibilities, and the Endangered
Species Act), we readily acknowledge
our responsibilities to work directly
with Tribes in developing programs for
healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that
Tribal lands are not subject to the same
controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and
to make information available to Tribes.
No Tribal lands are associated with this
final rule, and we did not receive any
comments from any Tribes or Tribal
members on the proposed rule (87 FR
73722, December 1, 2022).
Required Determinations
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Plants, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation, Wildlife.
National Environmental Policy Act (42
U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
khammond on DSKJM1Z7X2PROD with RULES
We have determined that
environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements, as
defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), need not
be prepared in connection with
determining a species’ listing status
under the Endangered Species Act. We
published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951), Executive
VerDate Sep<11>2014
17:24 Nov 06, 2023
Jkt 262001
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in
this rulemaking is available on the
internet at https://www.regulations.gov
and upon request from the Ventura Fish
and Wildlife Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule
are staff members of the Fish and
Wildlife Service’s Species Assessment
Team and the Ventura Fish and Wildlife
Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we hereby amend part
17, subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of
the Code of Federal Regulations, as set
forth below:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
§ 17.12
[Amended]
2. In § 17.12, amend paragraph (h) in
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants by removing the entries for
■
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‘‘Dudleya nesiotica’’ and ‘‘Galium
buxifolium’’ under Flowering Plants.
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2023–23937 Filed 11–6–23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 622
[Docket No. 231101–0256]
RIN 0648–BM12
Fisheries of the Caribbean, Gulf of
Mexico, and South Atlantic; SnapperGrouper Fishery of the South Atlantic;
Amendment 52
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
NMFS issues regulations to
implement Amendment 52 to the
Fishery Management Plan for the
Snapper-Grouper Fishery of the South
Atlantic (FMP), as submitted by the
South Atlantic Fishery Management
Council (the Council). For golden
tilefish, this final rule revises the annual
catch limits (ACLs), commercial
longline component fishing season, and
recreational accountability measures
(AMs). For blueline tilefish, this final
rule reduces the recreational bag limit,
modifies the possession limits, and
revises the recreational AMs. In
addition, Amendment 52 updates the
acceptable biological catch (ABC),
overfishing limit (OFL), and annual
optimum yield (OY). The purpose of
this final rule and Amendment 52 is to
respond to the most recent stock
assessment for golden tilefish, and to
prevent recreational landings from
exceeding the recreational ACLs for
golden tilefish and blueline tilefish.
DATES: This final rule is effective
December 7, 2023.
ADDRESSES: Electronic copies of
Amendment 52, which includes a
fishery impact statement and a
regulatory impact review, may be
obtained from the Southeast Regional
Office website at https://www.fisheries.
noaa.gov/action/amendment-52changes-catch-levels-allocationsaccountability-measures-andmanagement.
SUMMARY:
E:\FR\FM\07NOR1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 214 (Tuesday, November 7, 2023)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 76679-76696]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2023-23937]
=======================================================================
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2022-0066; FF09E22000 FXES1113090FEDR 223]
RIN 1018-BF51
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing Island
Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island Dudleya From the List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule; final post-delisting monitoring plans.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), are removing
the plants island bedstraw (Galium buxifolium) and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya (Dudleya nesiotica) from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants on the basis of recovery. Both of these native plant
species occur in the Channel Islands National Park off the coast of
California. This final rule is based on our review of the best
available scientific and commercial data, which indicates that the
threats to island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya have been
eliminated or reduced to the point that these species have recovered
and no longer meet the definition of an endangered or threatened
species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act).
DATES: This rule is effective December 7, 2023.
ADDRESSES: This final rule is available on the internet at https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2022-0066.
Availability of supporting materials: This final rule and
supporting documents, including the 5-year reviews, the Recovery Plan,
post-delisting monitoring plans, and the species status assessment
(SSA) reports for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya, are
available at https://ecos.fws.gov, and at https://www.regulations.gov
under Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2022-0066 (also see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT). In addition, the supporting files for this final rule will be
available for public inspection by appointment, during normal business
hours, at: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Ventura Fish and Wildlife
Office, 2493 Portola Road #B, Ventura, CA, 93003; telephone 805-644-
1766.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Stephen P. Henry, Field Supervisor,
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office, 2493
Portola Road, Suite B, Ventura, CA 93003; telephone 805-644-1766.
Direct all questions or requests for additional information to: Island
bedstraw and/or Santa Cruz Island dudleya Questions, to the address
above. Individuals in the United States who are deaf, deafblind, hard
of hearing, or have a speech disability may dial 711 (TTY, TDD, or
TeleBraille) to access telecommunications relay services. Individuals
outside the United States should use the relay services offered within
their country to make international calls to the point-of-contact in
the United States.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Why we need to publish a rule. Under the Act, a species warrants
delisting if it no longer meets the definition of an endangered (in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range) or threatened species (likely to become endangered within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range). Island bedstraw is listed as endangered, and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is listed as threatened, and we are delisting both species. We
have determined that island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya do
not meet the Act's definition of an endangered or threatened species.
Delisting a species can be completed only by issuing a rule through the
Administrative Procedure Act rulemaking process (5 U.S.C. 551 et seq.).
What this document does. This rule removes island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants in title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations (at 50
CFR 17.12(h)) based on their recovery. The prohibitions and
conservation measures provided by the Act, particularly through
sections 7 and 9, will no longer apply to island bedstraw or Santa Cruz
Island dudleya.
The basis for our action. Under the Act, we may determine that a
species is an endangered species or threatened species because of any
of five factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of the same factors.
Under the Act, we must review the status of all listed species at
least once every 5 years. We must delist a species if we determine, on
the basis of the best available scientific and commercial data, that
the species is neither a threatened species nor an endangered species.
Our regulations at 50 CFR 424.11 identify three reasons why we might
determine a listed species shall be delisted: (1) The species is
extinct; (2) the species does not meet the definition of an endangered
species or a threatened species, or (3) the listed entity does not meet
the definition of a species. Here, we have determined that the island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya do not meet the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened species; therefore, we are delisting
them.
Previous Federal Actions
Please refer to the proposed delisting rule (87 FR 73722) for
island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya published on December 1,
2022, for a
[[Page 76680]]
detailed description of previous Federal actions concerning these
species.
Peer Review
A species status assessment (SSA) team prepared SSA reports for
both island bedstraw (Service 2021a, entire) and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya (Service 2021b, entire). The SSA team was composed of Service
biologists, in consultation with other species experts. These SSA
reports represent a compilation of the best scientific and commercial
data available concerning the status of these species, including the
impacts of past, present, and future factors (both negative and
beneficial) affecting both of the species.
In accordance with our joint policy on peer review published in the
Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), and our August 22,
2016, memorandum updating and clarifying the role of peer review in
listing and recovery actions under the Act, we solicited independent
scientific reviews of the information contained in the SSA reports for
island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya. As discussed in the
proposed rule, we sent the island bedstraw SSA report to three
independent peer reviewers and received three responses. We sent the
Santa Cruz Island dudleya SSA report to three independent peer
reviewers and received one response. The island bedstraw SSA report was
also submitted to our Federal, State, Tribal, and other partners for
scientific review. We received one partner review from the U.S.
Geological Survey (USGS); Channel Islands Field Station in Ventura,
California. The dudleya SSA report was also submitted to our Federal,
State, Tribal and other partners for scientific review. We received two
partner reviews from The Nature Conservancy (TNC) and USGS (Channel
Islands Field Station in Ventura, California). The peer reviews can be
found at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2022-
0066 and https://ecos.fws.gov. In preparing this final rule, we
incorporated the results of these reviews, as appropriate, into the
final SSA reports for both species, which are the foundation for the
proposed rule and this final rule. A summary of the peer review
comments and our responses can be found in the Summary of Comments and
Recommendations below.
Summary of Changes From the Proposed Rule
In preparing this final rule, we reviewed and fully considered the
comments received on the proposed rule. We did not receive substantive
additional information regarding the proposed actions, and, therefore,
we did not make any changes from the proposed rule in this final rule.
Summary of Comments and Recommendations
In the proposed rule published on December 1, 2022, we requested
that all interested parties submit written comments on the proposal by
January 30, 2023. We also contacted appropriate Federal and State
agencies, scientific experts and organizations, and other interested
parties and invited them to comment on the proposal. We did not receive
any requests for a public hearing, or substantive information during
the comment period. We received two public comments that were not
substantive.
Peer Reviewer Comments
As discussed in Peer Review above, we received comments from three
peer reviewers on the draft SSA reports. We reviewed all comments we
received from the peer reviewers for substantive issues and new
information regarding the contents of the SSA reports. Peer reviewer
comments are addressed in the following summary. As discussed above,
because we conducted this peer review prior to publication of our
proposed rule, we had already incorporated all applicable peer review
comments into the final version of the SSA report, which was the
foundation for the proposed rule and this final rule.
The peer reviewers generally concurred with our methods and
conclusions and provided additional scientific and editorial
suggestions. These suggestions included discussions of climate change
effects, competition, genetic variation, possible clonal spread and
effects of erosion for island bedstraw, and possible competitive and
fire effects for Santa Cruz Island dudleya. The peer reviewer comments
were addressed as necessary within the final versions of the SSA
reports.
Delisting Determination
Background
The following discussion contains information that was presented in
the proposed rule to delist island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya (87 FR 73722, December 1, 2022). A thorough discussion of both
species' description, habitat, and life history is also found in that
proposed rule.
Island Bedstraw
Island bedstraw occurs on Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands of the
Channel Islands in Santa Barbara County, California (figure 1). It is a
long-lived, flowering woody shrub that can be more than 1 m (3 ft) tall
and may sprawl laterally wider than it is tall. The basal stem diameter
can exceed 13 millimeters (mm) (0.5 inch (in)) (McEachern et al. 2019a,
p. 20). Stems can be glabrous, scabrous, or sparsely hairy. Its leaves
are large for the genus and tend to turn red and be lost under summer
drought stress conditions. Flowers are small (3-4 mm or 0.10-0.15 in
diameter) and are greenish white, often with darker petal tips or
centers. The fruit is a schizocarp (a dry fruit that splits into parts
when ripe) comprising two single-seeded mericarps, typically referred
to as nutlets. While it is not known how long adult plants can live,
they can likely live more than 20 years, if not longer (McEachern 2020,
pers. comm.).
Historically, island bedstraw has been characterized as restricted
to coastal bluffs, steep rocky slopes, and sea cliffs in the coastal-
bluff scrub vegetation (Junak et al. 1995, p. 254; Dempster 1993, p.
982; Soza 2012, p. 1211). However, the plant has also been found in
other places, like in pine forest and at interior locations. For Santa
Cruz Island, the number of known island bedstraw sites has increased
with each successive survey effort, from 13 to 27 to 36 over the course
of 20 years and 3 survey efforts. The number of sites on San Miguel
Island has remained at six. Each site represents a separate population
of island bedstraw for the purposes of this analysis. Where data are
available, the estimated number of plants within sites has increased
over time, sometimes dramatically. Plant totals have gone from about
100 to about 10,000 for Santa Cruz Island, and the most recent total
does not include most of the terraces or cliffs on the coastal sites.
The total number of known plants on San Miguel Island has increased
from about 500 to about 5,000, again not including most cliff-face
plants. Most of the 42 total sites are either extant or presumed to be
extant. Island bedstraw seems to be expanding on terraces and other
non-cliff habitats; this expansion is demonstrated at several sites.
Further information on the basic biology and ecology of island bedstraw
is summarized in the SSA report (Service 2021a, entire).
[[Page 76681]]
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is a succulent perennial, known from only
one population (represented by five subpopulations) on the westernmost
tip of Santa Cruz Island in Santa Barbara County, California (figure
1). In general, little is known specifically about the life history of
Santa Cruz Island dudleya. The species is a perennial succulent that is
known to reproduce only by seed. The seed is extremely small and may be
transported only a short distance by wind or water where it may
germinate quickly if conditions allow or remain viably dormant for
years. Many Dudleya species recruit most successfully into a
cryptogamic substrate, but it is unknown if this substrate is a
requirement for Santa Cruz Island dudleya. Seedlings require open
spaces for germination and are not reproductive in their first year.
Plants are self-compatible but require pollinators, some of which may
be native bees. Seed production is not pollinator limited, and a
reproductive plant can produce more than 1,000 seeds per year. Plants
can live for at least several years. Older plants that have previously
flowered may have years when they do not flower. Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is found mostly on the lowest marine terraces from about 20-30
m (66-98 ft) elevation. The soils are sandy and marine sediment derived
or have a greater clay fraction derived from basaltic rock (Klinger et
al. unpublished, p. 6). The more coastal soils are considered to be
more saline (Vivrette 2002, entire). Further information on the basic
biology and ecology of Santa Cruz Island dudleya is summarized in the
SSA report (Service 2021b, entire).
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Recovery Plan and Recovery Criteria
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and
threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not
promote the conservation of the species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii)
of the Act, recovery plans must, to the maximum extent practicable,
include objective, measurable criteria which, when met, would result in
a determination, in accordance with the provisions of section 4 of the
Act, that the species be removed from the Lists of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife and Plants.
Recovery plans provide a roadmap for us and our partners on methods
of enhancing conservation and minimizing threats to listed species, as
well as measurable criteria against which to evaluate progress towards
recovery and assess the species' likely future condition. However, they
are not regulatory documents and do not substitute for the
determinations and promulgation of regulations required under section
4(a)(1) of the Act. A decision to revise the status of a species or to
delist a species is ultimately based on an analysis of the best
scientific and commercial data available to determine whether a species
is no longer an endangered species or a threatened species, regardless
of whether that information differs from the recovery plan.
There are many paths to accomplishing recovery of a species, and
recovery may be achieved without all of the criteria in a recovery plan
being fully met. For example, one or
[[Page 76682]]
more criteria may be exceeded while other criteria may not yet be
accomplished. In that instance, we may determine that the threats are
minimized sufficiently and that the species is robust enough that it no
longer meets the definition of an endangered species or a threatened
species. In other cases, we may discover new recovery opportunities
after having finalized the recovery plan. Parties seeking to conserve
the species may use these opportunities instead of methods identified
in the recovery plan. Likewise, we may learn new information about the
species after we finalize the recovery plan. The new information may
change the extent to which existing criteria are appropriate for
identifying recovery of the species. The recovery of a species is a
dynamic process requiring adaptive management that may or may not
follow all of the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
The recovery plan (Service 2000, p. 62) for island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya describes the recovery goals, objectives, and
criteria that need to be achieved to consider removing these species
from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants. We summarize
the goals and then discuss progress toward meeting the recovery
criteria in the following sections.
Recovery Goals and Objectives
In a recovery plan, the overall recovery goal is to improve the
status of the species such that the protections of the Act are no
longer needed. Preliminary goals and objectives include (1) stabilizing
and protecting populations, (2) conducting research necessary to refine
recovery criteria, and (3) reclassifying to threatened (downlisting)
those species currently listed as endangered (reclassification being
appropriate when a taxon is no longer in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of its range). Because data
upon which to base decisions about reclassification and recovery were
mostly lacking when the recovery plan was developed, downlisting and
recovery criteria in the recovery plan are necessarily preliminary
(Service 2000, p. 62).
The following recovery criteria that generally apply to both of
these species have been met: (1) provide protection and adaptive
management of currently known (and in some cases historical) sites; (2)
provide evidence that the populations at these sites are stable or
increasing over a number of years, which is determined by the life
history of the individual species; (3) preserve the genetic diversity
of the species by storing seeds in cooperating facilities; and (4)
develop reliable seed germination and propagation techniques.
Determining whether a species' current status meets the overall
recovery goal and associated objectives requires a broad evaluation of
the trends in the observed numbers of occurrences indicated by surveys
and monitoring, the abundance and distribution of suitable habitat,
evaluation of the seed bank, and the effectiveness of protective
measures that have been implemented to reduce threats from human
activities such as soil loss and herbivory by feral pigs and ungulates,
disturbance by pig rooting, collecting for botanical and horticultural
use, and trampling by humans. In addition, we also examine the
effectiveness of protective measures that have been implemented to
reduce threats from nonnative plants, the risk associated with small
population size, climate change, and fire. In order to evaluate threats
to the species, we must consider potential impacts within the
foreseeable future. The recovery plan (Service 2000, entire) used 10-15
years as the period of time to evaluate population stability because
that time period reflects a typical multiyear precipitation cycle
(Service 2000, p. 63). Unique recovery criteria for island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya are covered in the recovery plan (Service
2000, pp. 64-68) and are discussed below.
Recovery Criteria
Island Bedstraw Downlisting Criteria
The recovery plan identified seven criteria for reclassifying
island bedstraw to a threatened species (Service 2000, pp. 64-68):
Downlisting Criterion 1: Stabilize or increase populations
on Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands with evidence of natural
recruitment for a period of 20 years that includes the normal
precipitation cycle.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Since the time of listing,
researchers have found 23 new sites on Santa Cruz Island, and no new
sites on San Miguel Island, and the total number of sites has increased
from 19 to 42 (three sites on Santa Cruz Island did not have plants
observed in the 2004-2006 surveys and were not relocated or remapped by
the 2015 helicopter survey so are considered possibly extirpated). On
San Miguel Island, for three of the six historical sites that were
surveyed, significant increases in numbers occurred between the time of
listing and the most recent survey. Combined numbers for both islands
have increased from 512-603 at the time of listing to at least 15,730
individuals at the time of 2015 and 2017 helicopter surveys. We
conclude that this criterion has been met.
Downlisting Criterion 2: Reintroduce plants to historical
locations.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: No introduction of island
bedstraw to any of the historical locations where it is possibly
extirpated and no outplantings to augment extant historical sites have
occurred. However, at the historical sites, plant numbers are generally
increasing without plants being added artificially. Although this
criterion has not been met, we conclude it is no longer needed.
Downlisting Criterion 3: Seed stored in Center for Plant
Conservation (CPC) cooperating facilities.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Currently, only a small
amount of seed from a few sites on Santa Cruz Island is stored at the
Santa Barbara Botanic Garden (SBBG), a CPC facility. Thorough
conservation seed banking requires seed in storage from a good
representation of sites over the range of the species. A few sites with
currently only a small amount of seed is not sufficient to cover that
standard. We conclude that this criterion has not been met. While there
are plans to bolster the conservation seed bank, with the substantial
natural recovery of island bedstraw this criterion no longer has the
urgency it did at the time of listing. Because so many new populations
have been documented, and the abundance is so great, conservation seed
banking is not as important as it was thought to be at the time of the
recovery plan.
Downlisting Criterion 4: Seed germination and propagation
techniques understood.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: While seeds have been
germinated and the resulting plants have grown for several years, the
conditions in which the seeds were germinated were fairly general, and
optimal protocols have not been developed. We conclude that this
criterion has not been met. However, we do not think Downlisting
Criterion 4 is needed anymore because the numbers of island bedstraw
are increasing naturally.
Downlisting Criterion 5: Life-history research conducted.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Research over a 10-year
period on the life history of the species, particularly flower biology
and demography, has shown recruitment episodes and documented
transitions through life-history stages. We conclude that this
criterion has been met.
Downlisting Criterion 6: Surveys of historical locations
conducted.
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Status of achieving recovery criterion: Most of the 13 historical
sites on Santa Cruz Island have been resurveyed at least once since the
time of listing, and plants were found at most of those sites. In
addition, most of the 14 new locations found between 2004 and 2006 were
either remapped or had plant numbers estimated in 2015 surveys. Most of
the six historical sites on San Miguel Island have also been
resurveyed, and plants were also found at all of those resurveyed
sites. We conclude that this criterion has been met.
Downlisting Criterion 7: If declining, determine cause and
reverse trend.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: The species has not been
declining on either Santa Cruz or San Miguel Islands. Rather, it has
been dramatically increasing, and many new sites have been found since
the time of listing. We conclude that this criterion has been met.
Island Bedstraw Delisting Criteria
In addition to the seven downlisting criteria above, the recovery
plan identified three criteria for removing island bedstraw from the
Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Plants (Service 2000, pp. 64-
68):
Delisting Criterion 1: Discover or establish five
additional populations per island (San Miguel and Santa Cruz).
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Researchers have discovered
23 previously unknown sites on Santa Cruz Island. No new sites have
been discovered or established on San Miguel Island. San Miguel Island
lacks the extensive suitable habitat of Santa Cruz Island, and there
may not be additional undiscovered populations; however, surveyed
populations have increased in numbers of individuals. Based on the lack
of extensive suitable habitat on San Miguel Island, this criterion may
not be possible for San Miguel Island. We conclude that this criterion
has been met for Santa Cruz Island but not for San Miguel Island.
Delisting Criterion 2: No decline after downlisting for 10
years.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: We conclude that this
criterion is not relevant since we have not downlisted the species.
Delisting Criterion 3: All potential habitat surveyed.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Currently, not every part
of the north coast of Santa Cruz Island has been surveyed, nor have
detailed surveys occurred everywhere on San Miguel Island or in
potential habitat on the north coast of Santa Rosa Island.
Additionally, historical interior sites have not been resurveyed
sufficiently. We conclude that this criterion has not been met.
However, this criterion may no longer be relevant because the numbers
of island bedstraw plants have increased substantially on the islands
from which it is known.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Delisting Criteria
The recovery plan identified six criteria for removing Santa Cruz
Island dudleya from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Plants (Service 2000, pp. 64-68):
Delisting Criterion 1: Maintain the existing population as
stable with evidence of natural recruitment for a period of 20 years
that includes the normal precipitation cycle.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Data indicate that the
population size is stable at between 40,000 and 200,000 plants
estimated per survey over the last 25 years, with the last estimate of
120,000 in 2019. In 2019 a robust repeatable survey protocol was
established and baseline data have been collected to assess future
trends. This criterion has been met.
Delisting Criterion 2: Seed stored in CPC cooperating
facilities.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: An abundance of recently
collected seed (19,568 seeds from 78 maternal lines) is stored at the
SBBG (California Plant Rescue, 2023). This criterion has been met.
Delisting Criterion 3: Seed germination and propagation
techniques understood.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: While no specific work has
been done with Santa Cruz Island dudleya, seed germination and plant
propagation techniques are well understood for many other Dudleya
species, including other closely related species in the same subgenus.
We conclude that this criterion has been met.
Delisting Criterion 4: Weed competition understood and
managed.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: The vegetation of Santa
Cruz Island is still changing since the complete removal of feral
ungulates. Some aspects of the interactions of nonnative annual grasses
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya were investigated more than 20 years ago,
but little research has been done recently. We conclude that this
criterion has not been met. However, Santa Cruz Island dudleya has not
been observed to have been competitively impacted by weeds and is at
least stable in population size at 40,000-200,000 individuals over the
last 25 years, so while weeds may be a threat, they have not seemed to
have had an impact on population stability.
Delisting Criterion 5: Pig damage controlled.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: Pigs were completely
removed from Santa Cruz Island by 2006, and substantial passive
vegetation recovery has occurred. This criterion has been met.
Delisting Criterion 6: Life-history research conducted.
Status of achieving recovery criterion: While originally planned,
no additional life-history research has been conducted specifically on
Santa Cruz Island dudleya since the time of listing. However, many
life-history characteristics are similar throughout Dudleya and
applicable to this species. The criterion is considered met through
knowledge of the biology of similar species.
Summary of Recovery Criteria
In the recovery plan, the overall recovery goal is to improve the
status of the species such that the protections of the Act are no
longer needed. Preliminary goals and objectives include stabilizing and
protecting populations, conducting research, and reclassifying species
to threatened (downlisting) when appropriate. The recovery plan
criteria that generally apply to both of these species have been met.
The recovery plan's unique recovery criteria for island bedstraw and
Santa Cruz Island dudleya (Service 2000, pp. 64-68) are discussed above
and summarized below.
Research and survey efforts have clarified the distribution,
abundance, and habitat characteristics of island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. This information has resulted in a better
understanding of the species' ecology and has shown an increase in the
species' range and numbers of sites and individuals for island
bedstraw, and has shown population stability and an increase in
distribution for Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
Overall, the intent of the recovery criteria has been met in
collaboration with our partners. TNC and the National Park Service
(NPS) have provided protection and adaptive management of historical
and recent sites. USGS, TNC, and others have provided survey evidence
that the populations at these sites are stable or increasing over a
number of years. TNC and NPS have coordinated to preserve the genetic
diversity of both species by conservation banking of seeds in an
approved facility. Both species are considered recovered without
reliable seed germination and propagation
[[Page 76684]]
techniques being developed. Therefore, we conclude that, based on the
best available information, the intent of the recovery criteria in the
recovery plan has been achieved and the recovery goal identified in the
plan has been met for both island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya.
Regulatory and Analytical Framework
Regulatory Framework
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations in title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations set forth
the procedures for determining whether a species is an endangered
species or a threatened species, issuing protective regulations for
threatened species, and designating critical habitat for endangered and
threatened species. In 2019, jointly with the National Marine Fisheries
Service, the Service issued a final rule that revised the regulations
in 50 CFR part 424 regarding how we add, remove, and reclassify
endangered and threatened species and the criteria for designating
species' critical habitat (84 FR 45020; August 27, 2019). On the same
day the Service also issued final regulations that, for species listed
as threatened species after September 26, 2019, eliminated the
Service's general protective regulations automatically applying to
threatened species the prohibitions that section 9 of the Act applies
to endangered species (84 FR 44753; August 27, 2019).
The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a species that is in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range, and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires that we
determine whether any species is an endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following factors:
(A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range;
(B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes;
(C) Disease or predation;
(D) The inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or
(E) Other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
These factors represent broad categories of natural or human-caused
actions or conditions that could have an effect on a species' continued
existence. In evaluating these actions and conditions, we look for
those that may have a negative effect on individuals of the species, as
well as other actions or conditions that may ameliorate any negative
effects or may have positive effects. The determination to delist a
species must be based on an analysis of the same five factors.
We use the term ``threat'' to refer in general to actions or
conditions that are known to or are reasonably likely to negatively
affect individuals of a species. The term ``threat'' includes actions
or conditions that have a direct impact on individuals (direct
impacts), as well as those that affect individuals through alteration
of their habitat or required resources (stressors). The term ``threat''
may encompass--either together or separately--the source of the action
or condition or the action or condition itself.
However, the mere identification of any threat(s) does not
necessarily mean that the species meets the statutory definition of an
``endangered species'' or a ``threatened species.'' In determining
whether a species meets either definition, we must evaluate all
identified threats by considering the species' expected response and
the effects of the threats--in light of those actions and conditions
that will ameliorate the threats--on an individual, population, and
species level. We evaluate each threat and its expected effects on the
species, then analyze the cumulative effect of all of the threats on
the species as a whole. We also consider the cumulative effect of the
threats in light of those actions and conditions that will have
positive effects on the species--such as any existing regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts. The Secretary determines whether
the species meets the definition of an ``endangered species'' or a
``threatened species'' only after conducting this cumulative analysis
and describing the expected effect on the species now and in the
foreseeable future.
The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future,'' which
appears in the statutory definition of ``threatened species.'' Our
implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(d) set forth a framework for
evaluating the foreseeable future on a case-by-case basis. The term
``foreseeable future'' extends only so far into the future as we can
reasonably determine that both the future threats and the species'
responses to those threats are likely. In other words, the foreseeable
future is the period of time in which we can make reliable predictions.
``Reliable'' does not mean ``certain''; it means sufficient to provide
a reasonable degree of confidence in the prediction. Thus, a prediction
is reliable if it is reasonable to depend on it when making decisions.
It is not always possible or necessary to define the foreseeable
future as a particular number of years. Analysis of the foreseeable
future uses the best scientific and commercial data available and
should consider the timeframes applicable to the relevant threats and
to the species' likely responses to those threats in view of its life-
history characteristics. Data that are typically relevant to assessing
the species' biological response include species-specific factors such
as lifespan, reproductive rates or productivity, certain behaviors, and
other demographic factors.
Analytical Framework
The island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya SSA reports
document the results of our comprehensive biological review of the best
scientific and commercial data regarding the status of these species,
including an assessment of the potential threats to both species. The
SSA reports do not represent our decision on whether these species
should be removed from the List of Endangered and Threatened Plants.
However, they provide the scientific basis that informs our regulatory
decisions, which involve the further application of standards within
the Act and its implementing regulations and policies.
To assess island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya viability,
we used the three conservation biology principles of resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp. 306-310).
Briefly, resiliency supports the ability of the species to withstand
environmental and demographic stochastic events (for example, wet or
dry, warm or cold years), redundancy is the ability of the species to
withstand catastrophic events (for example, droughts, large pollution
events), and representation is the ability of the species to adapt to
both near-term and long-term changes in its physical and biological
environment (for example, climate conditions, pathogen). In general,
species viability will increase with increases in resiliency,
redundancy, and representation (Smith et al. 2018, p. 306). Using these
principles, we identified the species' ecological requirements for
survival and reproduction at the individual, population, and species
levels, and described the beneficial and risk factors influencing the
species' viability.
The SSA process can be categorized into three sequential stages.
During the first stage, we evaluated the individual species' life-
history needs. The next stage involved an assessment of the historical
and current condition of the
[[Page 76685]]
species' demographics and habitat characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived at its current condition. The
final stage of the SSA involved making predictions about the species'
responses to positive and negative environmental and anthropogenic
influences. Throughout all of these stages, we used the best available
information to characterize viability as the ability of each species to
sustain populations in the wild over time which we then used to inform
our regulatory decision.
The following is a summary of the key results and conclusions from
the island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya SSA reports; the full
SSA reports for both species can be found at Docket FWS-R8-ES-2022-0066
on https://www.regulations.gov and at https://ecos.fws.gov.
Summary of Biological Status and Threats
In this discussion, we briefly review the biological condition of
each species and their resources, and the threats that influence the
species' current and future condition, in order to assess the species'
overall viability and the risks to that viability. The island bedstraw
SSA (Service 2021a, entire) and Santa Cruz Island dudleya SSA (Service
2021b, entire) document our comprehensive biological status review for
both species, including an assessment of the potential threats to both
species.
The following is a summary of those status reviews and the best
available information gathered that has informed this decision.
Island Bedstraw Biological Condition
Plants like the island bedstraw, with functionally unisexual
flowers, need flowers of opposite gender for successful seed set,
requiring one or more pollinators. Seeds need to be able to survive
until germination conditions are appropriate, and they need a stable
location to germinate and grow. Larger plants also need stable
locations for long-term survival. A sufficient amount of moisture is
needed for all island bedstraw life stages, and some of this moisture
may be provided by fog. Island bedstraw populations need suitable
habitat that supports survival and reproduction of an adequate number
of individuals with vital rates that maintain self-sustaining
populations despite stochastic events. Overall, the species needs
sufficiently resilient populations distributed across its range to
withstand catastrophic events. Population sizes should be large enough
so that the species has the ability to adapt to changing conditions.
At the time of listing, there were 19 known sites of island
bedstraw, 13 on Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island. There may
have been 44-133 or more plants on Santa Cruz Island and more than 470
on San Miguel Island, with an estimated 515-603 plants on the 2 islands
combined.
After listing in 1997, from 2004 through 2006, significant efforts
were made to survey Santa Cruz Island for island bedstraw. Of the 13
historical sites, 10 were surveyed, and no plants were found at 3 of
those sites. An additional 14 new sites were discovered, expanding the
distribution of sites to the west and east of the historical sites. At
least 692-792 plants were counted at the historical sites, and at least
459 plants were counted at the new sites, for a total of at least
1,151-1,251 plants. No comparable surveys occurred on San Miguel
Island; the only observations were counts at two sites in 1998
(McEachern et al. 2019a, pp. 14-16).
In 2015 on Santa Cruz Island and in 2017 on San Miguel Island,
Wildlands Conservation Science (Lompoc, CA) conducted rare plant
surveys by helicopter (Ball and Olthof 2017, entire; Ball et al. 2018,
entire). Additional observations, not associated with helicopter
surveys, were made on both islands. For the helicopter surveys
conducted in 2015 on Santa Cruz Island, 28 sites were visited
consisting of 9 new sites, the 17 sites surveyed between 2004 and 2006,
and 2 previously unsurveyed historical sites. Additional sites
discovered during the survey brought the total number of known sites to
36 (13 historical prelisting sites, 14 additional sites discovered from
2004 to 2006, and 9 sites in 2015 helicopter surveys), and expanded the
known geographical distribution of island bedstraw on the island
eastward. Most sites were only photographed, but percent cover and area
was estimated for level terraces at seven sites. And with an average
plant canopy area derived from monitoring data, researchers estimated
that those 7 sites had 8,421 plants. An additional observation in 2019
estimated another 1,000 or more plants at another terrace site.
The 2017 helicopter surveys conducted on San Miguel Island did not
reveal new sites. Three of the six historical sites were visited, and
percent cover and area of island bedstraw were estimated for level
terraces at those sites. Using the average plant canopy area,
researchers estimated that there were 5,339 plants at the 3 sites. A
fourth site was previously confirmed to be extant in 2014; the other
two historical sites have not been surveyed but are also presumed to
have extant plants.
On Santa Cruz Island, the total number of known island bedstraw
sites has increased from 13 at the time of listing, to 27 at the time
of the 2004-2006 surveys, to 36 after the 2015 helicopter surveys
(Service 2021a, table 14, p. 37). On San Miguel Island, the number of
known sites is six, which is the same as at the time of listing. Of the
36 total number of known sites on Santa Cruz Island, 28 are known to be
extant based on recent helicopter surveys and observations (Service
2021a, table 13, figure 9, pp. 35-36); 5 sites are presumed extant (4
of these sites had plants in the 2004-2006 surveys but were not
surveyed thereafter, and 1 site has not been surveyed since before
listing); and 3 sites are possibly extirpated (targeted surveys took
place in 2004-2006, but sites were not relocated or mapped by the 2015
helicopter surveys). Similarly, of the six known sites on San Miguel
Island, four are known to be extant based on the 2017 helicopter survey
and 2014 observational data (Service 2021a, table 13, figure 10, pp.
35-36), and the remaining two sites are presumed extant (but have not
been surveyed since before listing). There are no known possibly
extirpated sites on San Miguel Island.
The current totals, therefore, are 33 known or presumed extant on
Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island. The total estimated
number of known individuals within those sites on both islands combined
has increased from 512-603 before listing to at least 15,730 after
recent helicopter surveys.
Currently, island bedstraw appears to have increasing abundance and
distribution. At one site studied over a 10-year span, island bedstraw
has shown demographic capacity for population growth and adaptive
capacity by expansion beyond historically occupied areas into more
diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to terraces above the cliffs,
and movement into nonnative-dominated vegetation). The species also
shows the ability to withstand catastrophic events because it is
distributed on two islands, has more sites now than at the time of
listing, and has gaps between groups of sites within islands.
Island Bedstraw Threats
In 1997, island bedstraw was listed as an endangered species due to
effects (habitat alteration and herbivory) resulting from feral
livestock grazing and trampling and subsequent soil erosion (62 FR
40954, July 31, 1997). By the time the recovery plan was signed
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in 2000, sheep had been removed from both Santa Cruz and San Miguel
Islands, but their residual effects remained. No feral pigs occurred on
San Miguel Island after 1900, and TNC and NPS initiated an 18-month
program that removed all pigs from Santa Cruz Island by the end of
2006. In the 2009 5-year review, we determined that island bedstraw
still met the definition of an endangered species based on the
following threats: (1) soil loss and erosion resulting from years of
feral pig rooting and sheep grazing, (2) loss of habitat to nonnative,
invasive plants, (3) random naturally occurring events due to its
limited distribution and small population size, and (4) effects from
climate change (Service 2009b, pp. 13-14).
The major threats to island bedstraw at the time of listing, feral
livestock grazing, trampling, and resulting erosion, have largely been
eliminated, which consequently also reduced the threats of small
population size and nonnative vegetation identified in the 2009 5-year
review. Effects from climate change remain but are not to the level
where we conclude that the species is in danger of extinction. We
determined that overutilization, disease, predation (herbivory), and
the inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms are not threats to
island bedstraw, so we do not discuss them in detail in this final
rule. For more information, see the island bedstraw SSA report (Service
2021a).
Soil Loss and Erosion
Currently, vegetation cover has increased significantly on Santa
Cruz Island since the eradication of herbivores (Beltran et al. 2014,
p. 7), leading to reduced erosion. This trend appears similar on San
Miguel Island.
Competition From Nonnative Plants
Nonnative invasive plants were not specifically identified as a
threat for this species at the time of listing but were discussed in
the 2009 5-year review. While the competitive ability of island
bedstraw against nonnative plants is unknown, the species seems to be
able to colonize areas dominated by relatively short nonnative annuals,
such as the terrace at the ``Bluffs East of Prisoners'' site. Island
bedstraw may also have an advantage because native perennials in
general tend to be at an advantage over nonnatives at sites that are
relatively more mesic (Corry 2006, p. 97), such as the north-facing
cliffs, terraces, and slopes on the north coasts of Santa Cruz and San
Miguel Islands where island bedstraw is found. Additionally, the loss
of leaves by island bedstraw during dry summer conditions may give it
another edge over nonnatives (Corry 2006, p. 185) by allowing it to
survive drier soil conditions through dormancy.
Random Extinctions of Small Populations
On Santa Cruz Island, historical populations with known numbers of
plants had 50 or fewer individuals, and 2004-2006 surveyed populations
may have had hundreds of plants. While only a few of the 2015 surveyed
sites have population estimates, these estimates are in the thousands
of individuals, and it is likely that more of the unsurveyed sites also
have large numbers of plants. These sites with hundreds or thousands of
plants have a greater likelihood of future persistence than sites with
fewer than 50 plants. The three possibly extirpated historical sites on
Santa Cruz Island that could not be located during the most recent
surveys (Service 2021a, table 6, p. 26) probably had small numbers of
individuals (Service 2021a, table 4, p. 22). Two of those sites were in
relatively interior locations and could have gone undetected because of
poor location descriptions. Similarly, the third site, while coastal,
is in an area of extremely dense vegetation and could also have been
equally difficult to find. Assuming extirpation, we estimate that these
sites are exceptions to the general trend of increasing plant numbers
at sites and represent only 3 of the 36 Santa Cruz Island sites. San
Miguel Island has demonstrated similar trends of increasing numbers of
plants within sites, from historical numbers of 250 or less, to
estimates of 1,000 or more plants observed during the 2016 surveys
(Service 2021a, table 12, p. 34). The general trend of increasing plant
numbers at sites suggests that the threat of random extinction of small
populations has been reduced.
Climate Change
The northern Channel Islands lie off mainland Santa Barbara and
Ventura Counties. Of the two counties, Santa Barbara County is the
better model for assessing climate impacts on the species since the
flora of the northern Channel Islands, in general, is considered to
have more northern affinities (Raven and Axelrod, 1995, pp. 63-64).
Annual average (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) 2019a) and
maximum (NOAA NCEI 2019b) temperatures for Santa Barbara County for the
period 2014 through 2018 were the highest recorded since 1895. Rainfall
does not show such distinct trends. However, except for 2017, annual
rainfall for 2011 through 2018 was below the 1885-2018 mean (NOAA NCEI
2109c), with 2013 and 2015 being two of the five driest years since
1885.
These recent increases in annual average and maximum temperatures
and lower annual rainfall do not seem to have adversely affected recent
island bedstraw survivorship and expansion. The monitoring data at
Pelican Bay (McEachern et al. 2019a, figure 13, p. 26) show an increase
in the number of reproductive plants in 2014 compared to 2011. No sites
are known to have been extirpated between 2004 and 2019. Spread from
cliff locations to adjacent terraces has also been confirmed during
that time period. It is unknown how further increases in temperature
and decreases in rainfall may affect the species.
The threat of fire rises with increases in annual average and
maximum temperatures and lower annual rainfall. Neither natural nor
anthropogenic fires are as common on the northern Channel Islands as on
the adjacent mainland (Carroll et al. 1993, pp. 75-78). Just four
natural fires are known to have occurred on the northern Channel
Islands in the last 165 years, none of which have affected island
bedstraw sites. Changes in future climate may increase this risk;
however, we have no evidence that natural wildfires will be such a
serious threat in the future that listing continues to be warranted.
Resiliency, Representation, and Redundancy
Resiliency
Resiliency describes the ability of populations to withstand
stochastic disturbance. Resiliency is positively related to population
size and growth rate and may be influenced by connectivity among
populations. Currently, island bedstraw has populations that are
increasing in numbers of individuals and spatial extent. Island
bedstraw abundances have increased from 512-603 individuals before
listing to at least 15,730 currently, the largest recorded abundance.
Individual sites are larger than they were at the time of previous
surveys, and larger than at the time of listing. Observations show that
populations have spread from cliffs to adjacent level terraces. The
rate of growth appears to be positive, from both demographic research
and observations of increasing areal extent at individual sites. At
least 1,000 plants have been documented in a 0.5-hectare area where no
known plants occurred 15 years earlier. Recent observations show this
pattern repeating at other sites.
[[Page 76687]]
Representation
Representation describes the ability of a species to adapt to
changing environmental conditions over time. It is characterized by the
breadth of genetic and environmental diversity within and among
populations. Island bedstraw has historically occupied different parts
of the islands, from sea cliff faces to the interior of the islands. It
is now colonizing terraces above the cliffs. Given how readily island
bedstraw moves off the bluffs, onto flats, and into native and
nonnative vegetation, the genetic breadth can be interpreted as
sufficiently wide to occupy diverse niches. Finally, although the
genetics of island bedstraw have not been similarly analyzed, the close
relative San Clemente island bedstraw (Gallium catalinense ssp.
acrispum) has been shown to retain high genetic diversity after a
ranching period with a similar grazing history (Riley et al. 2010, pp.
2020-2024) and occupies a similar range of habitats.
Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a species to withstand
catastrophic events. Redundancy is characterized by having sufficiently
resilient populations distributed within the ecological settings of the
species and across its range. Island bedstraw exhibits redundancy at
two scales: across the northern islands and within each island where it
occurs. First, it is distributed on two islands separated by a third,
so the entire species is unlikely to be affected by any one
catastrophic event. Second, more sites are known than at the time of
listing on Santa Cruz Island, and population sizes are larger on both
islands. Sites are distributed across the breadth of the northern
shores of each island with gaps between groups of sites such that a
single island catastrophe (like fire) would be unlikely to affect all
sites at once.
Summary--Current Condition, Threats Influencing Viability
The major threats to island bedstraw at the time of listing were
feral livestock grazing, trampling, and the resulting erosion. These
major threats are either no longer relevant or have been minimized. The
threats of small population size and loss of habitat to nonnative,
invasive plants identified at the time of the 2009 5-year review have
also been reduced. Additionally, there have been no apparent negative
effects since the 2009 5-year review that are attributable to
temperature and precipitation patterns associated with projected
climate change trends.
Currently, island bedstraw is increasing in abundance and
distribution and expanding beyond historically occupied areas and into
more diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to terraces above the
cliffs and movement into nonnative-dominated vegetation), indicating
increasing resiliency, representation, and general overall adaptive
capacity. Additionally, with a distribution on two islands (separated
by a third) and more sites now than at the time of listing with gaps
between groups of sites within islands, a single island catastrophe
would be unlikely to affect all sites at once. The catastrophic loss on
one island would not affect the other islands, and the populations are
spread out enough that there is some redundancy within islands.
The major remaining potential factor influencing island bedstraw
population viability is climate change. Our current data do not show
that the species is experiencing any significant effects from changing
climate conditions.
Future Condition
Of the threats that have been discussed above, climate change
remains the most reasonably foreseeable threat to persist and
potentially affect island bedstraw. It is a potential catalyst of
change for other threats and is expected to have multiple effects in
the California Central Coast region, including an increase in
temperatures, changes in precipitation, sea level rise, and an increase
in fire frequency (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). Fifty years is the
evaluation timeframe for climate change because the best available
information presented in the current integrated climate assessment for
the Central California Coast forecast uses 2069 as its climate change
analysis interval (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). The 50-year period
integrates a wide amount of interannual variability in temperature and
rainfall and contains typical drought cycles (NOAA NCEI 2019a, 2019b,
2019c). Sea level rise projections are from Griggs et al. 2017 (pp. 24-
27), which is cited by Langridge 2018 (p. 24) as the latest California-
focused sea level rise projections; Griggs et al. 2017 uses an 80-year
timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios that capture the range of
plausible effects to the species from a projected change in the factors
influencing its viability over a 50-year period.
Future scenario 1 summarizes effects of representative
concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5, and future scenario 2 summarizes
effects of RCP 8.5. The RCPs are based on alternate projections for
climate change in the California Central Coast region based on
Langridge (2018, pp. 12-22, 29-31) and Griggs et al. (2017, p. 27). RCP
4.5 and RCP 8.5 are described more fully in the SSA report (Service
2021a, entire).
Under future scenario 1, the combination of increased temperature
and increased rainfall support continued recruitment and expansion of
island bedstraw over the next 50 years. Most vegetation is recovering
island wide, and as it recovers, leaf litter depth and area of cover
increase, as do subsurface roots. These factors protect the soil from
direct impact and allow increased percolation of water into the soil.
Surface flows are moderated and erosion is reduced. Therefore,
increasing rainfall does not substantially increase erosion, largely
because most vegetation would benefit from the moderate additional
rainfall and vegetation reduces the intensity of runoff. Moderate sea
level rise could cause minor impacts from landslides on some Santa Cruz
Island sites but not at the population level. If sea level rise is only
a few feet, it will not directly impact many plants or sites because
they are substantially higher in elevation. Because most sites are on
relatively tough igneous rock, enough erosion will not occur to
undermine and cause collapse of these coastal sites. Moreover, the
negative effects of fire frequency on the species are not expected to
increase, as vegetation flammability and ignition sources are not
projected to increase. Few minor negative and some potential positive
effects of climate change would occur under this future scenario, and
sites are likely to persist while the species' abundance and range will
continue to expand. Overall, future scenario 1 projects increases in
abundance and expansion, which suggests resiliency would increase and
representation and redundancy would remain stable for island bedstraw.
Under future scenario 2, during the next 50 years, temperatures are
projected to increase over the current baseline even more than under
scenario 1, with rainfall also increasing over baseline but less than
under scenario 1. In addition, there is a projected increase in year-
to-year variability with an increase in extreme dry events, drought
conditions, and extreme rain events. The increase in extreme rain
events would lead to flashier, more intense runoff.
Increased drying and drought events could lead to decreased soil
moisture that will affect recruitment and adult survival, leading to
less population expansion and possibly smaller increases in abundance,
relative to
[[Page 76688]]
scenario 1. Rainfall events may increase the severity of runoff, which
may dislodge or cover plants and lead to decreases in abundance. If
conditions are severe enough, sites could be extirpated. The effects of
sea level rise could be greater than in scenario 1 for sites on
sedimentary cliffs on the eastern end of the species' distribution on
Santa Cruz Island. Undercutting from surf could increase landslides,
eliminating some if not all plants in cliff sites. Fire frequency and
size could increase on Santa Cruz Island because of warmer
temperatures, drier vegetation, windier conditions, increased lightning
strikes, and increased visitor use over time that may lead to increased
wildfire starts by the public. Fires could reduce abundance and
eliminate sites. Overall, future scenario 2 projects decreases in
abundance and expansion and potentially extirpation of sites, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and redundancy could decrease for
island bedstraw; however, given the improved habitat conditions for the
species and increasing baseline distribution and abundance, we do not
expect these threats to affect the species at the population level.
Summary of Species Potential Future Condition
Under future scenario 1, changes in abundance and distribution of
island bedstraw continue on their current positive trajectory, with
increasing numbers and site expansion. Under scenario 2, some sites may
decline and possibly become extirpated. Decreased soil moisture and
drought are likely to negatively affect the species because
recruitment, survivorship, and the rate of expansion would be slower
than under future scenario 1, reducing resiliency. Increased soil and
shoreline erosion and fire would also negatively affect island bedstraw
by killing individuals and degrading habitat, reducing representation
and redundancy. Given the improved habitat conditions for the species
and increasing baseline distribution and abundance, we do not expect
threat levels under either future scenario to affect the island
bedstraw at the species level.
Island Bedstraw Overall Synthesis
Island bedstraw occurs on Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands. At the
time of listing, there were 19 known sites of island bedstraw, 13 on
Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island. Currently, the number of
sites known or presumed to be extant is 33 on Santa Cruz Island and 6
on San Miguel Island. The total estimated number of known individuals
within those sites on both islands combined has increased from 512-603,
at the time of listing, to at least 15,730, after recent helicopter
surveys. This number (15,730) is likely an underestimate because
helicopter surveys were conducted at a subset of known sites. Given the
increase in the number of individuals at sites where plant number
estimates were conducted during the helicopter surveys, the sites that
were last counted in the mid-2000s likely have more individuals.
The major threats to island bedstraw at the time of listing, feral
livestock grazing, trampling, and resulting erosion, are either no
longer relevant or have been minimized. The threats of small population
size and nonnative vegetation identified at the time of the 2009 5-year
review have also been minimized. Currently, island bedstraw is
increasing in abundance and distribution. It has shown demographic
capacity for population growth at one site studied over a 10-year span
and adaptive capacity by expansion beyond historically occupied areas
and into more diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to terraces
above the cliffs and movement into nonnative-dominated vegetation). The
species also shows the ability to withstand some catastrophic events
with its distribution on two islands (separated by a third), having
more sites now than at the time of listing, and gaps between groups of
sites within islands.
Potentially negative effects of future climate change remain, and
we developed two future scenarios that capture the range of plausible
effects to the species from projected changes in the factors
influencing viability over a 50-year period. Climate change is expected
to have multiple effects in the California Central Coast region,
including an increase in temperatures, change in precipitation, sea
level rise, and increase in fire frequency. Future scenarios 1 and 2
summarize effects of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, respectively, based on
projections for climate change in the California Central Coast region
derived from Langridge (2018, entire). Under future scenario 1, changes
in abundance and distribution of island bedstraw continue on their
current positive trajectory, with increasing numbers and site
expansion. Under future scenario 2, some sites may decline and possibly
become extirpated. Decreased soil moisture and drought are likely to
negatively affect the species because recruitment, survivorship, and
the rate of expansion would be slower than under future scenario 1.
Increased erosion and fire would also negatively affect island bedstraw
by killing individuals and reducing habitat. Given the improved habitat
conditions for the species and increasing baseline distribution and
abundance, we do not expect threat levels under either future scenario
to affect the species at the population level.
Cumulative and synergistic interactions are possible between the
effects of climate change and the effects of other potential threats,
such as small population size, fire, and nonnative plant invasion.
Increases in temperature and changes in precipitation are likely to
cause increases in nonnative grasses, which are abundant in island
bedstraw habitat. Increased grass abundance has the potential to carry
fire more readily, which could affect the geographically limited
population of island bedstraw. Uncertainty about how different plant
species will respond under climate change, combined with uncertainty
about how changes in plant species composition would affect suitability
of island bedstraw habitat, make projecting possible cumulative and
synergistic effects of climate change on island bedstraw challenging.
Our post-delisting monitoring plans will provide guidelines for
evaluating both species following delisting to detect substantial
declines that may lead to consideration of re-listing to threatened or
endangered. Changes in land use will still be subject to State and
Federal environmental review.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Biological Condition
The genus Dudleya is typically considered to be made up of three
subgenera: Dudleya, Stylophyllum, and Hasseanthus, each of which at
some time has been considered a distinct genus; Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is in subgenus Hasseanthus.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya needs the right combination of position
in soil, litter depth, and light to emerge from seed and survive to and
past the seedling stage. Seedlings and larger plants need seasonal soil
moisture, light availability, and space to survive the dry season, in
order to reach a reproductive size and successfully reproduce. The
species, comprising a single population, needs a sufficiently broad
distribution to adapt to changing environmental conditions and
withstand catastrophic events. Finally, Santa Cruz Island dudleya needs
a sufficient community of generalist pollinators to ensure effective
pollination and seed set.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is composed of one population and five
subpopulations that occur in a general area of about 200 hectares (ha)
(approximately 494 acres), although the
[[Page 76689]]
total occupied area within that general area is about 13.7 ha
(approximately 34 acres) (Schneider and Carson 2019, p. 10). The best
information available suggests that, over the last 25 years, the
population has fluctuated between at least 40,000 and 200,000
individuals and the current abundance is in the middle of that range
(approximately 120,000 individuals). Past survey methods were not
standardized, which limits our ability to confirm a definitive trend in
abundance over time. However, the population at 120,000 is stable, and
the most recent survey (Schneider and Carson 2019, entire) established
robust survey methods that can be used in the future to detect changes
in distribution and abundance.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Threats
At the time of listing, soil loss, herbivory by feral pigs,
disturbance by pig rooting, and collecting for botanical or
horticultural use were identified as threats to the species. The
recovery plan identified the additional threats of competition from
nonnative grasses, trampling by humans, and an increased risk of
extinction from naturally occurring random events due to the species'
limited distribution (Service 2000, p. 35). The 2009 5-year review also
considered the effects of low genetic variability, climate change, and
fire (Service 2009a, p. 12).
Soil Loss, Herbivory by Feral Pigs, Disturbance by Pig Rooting
In the original listing, the source of soil loss is specified as
the result of feral ungulate activities (62 FR 40954 at 40966, July 31,
1997). All feral ungulates were removed from Santa Cruz Island by 2006
(McEachern et al. 2016, pp. 759-760), eliminating that source of soil
loss. Vegetation cover has increased significantly on Santa Cruz Island
since 2006 (Beltran et al. 2014, p. 7), leading to reduced erosion and
mitigating this threat.
Collecting for Botanical and Horticultural Use, Trampling by Humans
While Santa Cruz Island dudleya has a limited geographical range,
it is very abundant where it is found. While Moran (1979, entire)
considered collecting to be a threat, McCabe (2004, p. 269) did not.
The species is in cultivation (e.g., Trager 2004, entire) but is not
often available for sale. It may be that the seasonal ephemerality of
plants in the subgenus Hasseanthus makes Santa Cruz Island dudleya a
plant not sought out for personal collections.
Trampling by humans is still a possible threat to the species, but
it is unlikely to be a primary threat. TNC maintains a permit system
for boaters that plan to land on TNC property (TNC 2020, p. 2), and
offroad travel in the Fraser Point/Forney Cove area is prohibited to
protect resources. TNC has erected signage in the area to reinforce the
closure (Knapp 2021, pers. comm.). Trespass occurs infrequently, and
its effects on Santa Cruz Island dudleya are likely to be light,
especially in grassland locations away from the immediate coast because
trespassers are more likely to stay close to the ocean.
Competition From Nonnative Annual Plants
Klinger et al. (unpublished, entire) investigated the effects of
nonnative grasses on Santa Cruz Island dudleya density. While the study
offered no data about trends in overall abundance, Santa Cruz Island
dudleya density declined in study plots in which annual grass density
and litter increased. The study occurred before a major increase in the
nonnative annual grass Aegilops cylindrica and does not explain a
seemingly steady abundance of Santa Cruz Island dudleya over the years
despite that increase. These differing findings suggest that the
interactions among nonnative annual grasses and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya are complex.
Moran (1979, p. 1) lists the nonnative annual succulent
Mesembryanthemum crystallinum (crystalline ice plant) as found with
Santa Cruz Island dudleya at Fraser Point. McCabe (2004, p. 269) lists
M. crystallinum as a threat to Santa Cruz Island dudleya but does not
define how it is a threat. M. crystallinum can dominate coastal
vegetation by increasing soil salinity to levels higher than that
tolerated by some native plants (Vivrette and Muller 1977, pp. 315-
317), but it is unknown if this situation is a threat to Santa Cruz
Island dudleya. M. crystallinum has been reported to be periodically
abundant in the coastal bluff scrub vegetation, cycling with Lasthenia
gracilis (common goldfields), depending on rainfall and temperature
combinations (Vivrette 2002, entire). Schneider and Carson (2019,
entire) do not report M. crystallinum as common in their surveys. The
data do not indicate if M. crystallinum is at a low abundance in a
cycle or if there has been a major change in vegetation that may have
disrupted the cycle.
Random Extinctions of Small Populations
The recovery plan identified randomly occurring natural events as
threats to Santa Cruz Island dudleya (Service 2000, p. 35) because the
species has a single population with a limited distribution over a
small range. The 2009 5-year review (Service 2009a, p. 12) specified
low genetic variability (inferred by small population size), climate
change, and fire and emphasized their importance as threats to the
continued existence of Santa Cruz Island dudleya, given its single
population and limited distribution.
Low Genetic Variability
Because Santa Cruz Island dudleya has a single population with a
small range, the genetic variability and the resiliency of the species
to human-caused or natural disasters may be low (Ellstrand and Elam
1993, pp. 232-237). No studies have been done on genetic variability in
Santa Cruz Island dudleya, but the 2009 5-year review speculated that
the species might have inherently low genetic diversity. If so, this
situation has likely been the case throughout the existence of this
species, and there is no indication that this level of genetic
variability is a threat to the species or contributes to low population
resiliency or viability.
Climate Change
Santa Cruz Island lies off mainland Santa Barbara and Ventura
Counties. Of the two counties, Santa Barbara County is the better model
for assessing climate impacts on the species since the flora of the
northern Channel Islands is generally considered to have similar
affinities (Raven and Axelrod 1995, pp. 63-64). Annual average (NOAA
NCEI 2019a) and maximum (NOAA NCEI 2019b) temperatures for Santa
Barbara County for 2014 to 2018 have been the highest recorded since
1895. Rainfall does not show such distinct trends. However, except for
2017, annual rainfall for 2011 to 2018 has been below the 1885 to 2018
mean (NOAA NCEI 2109c), with 2013 and 2015 being two of the five driest
years since 1885.
In general, increased temperature and decreased rainfall could
negatively affect survival and reproduction of the species. However,
these recent increases in annual average and maximum temperatures and
lower annual rainfall (combined with the removal of nonnative
herbivores) do not seem to have adversely affected Santa Cruz Island
dudleya abundance or distribution. The most recent survey (Schneider
and Carson 2019, p. 11) shows an increased overall abundance and an
additional subpopulation since the last surveys of 2006 (McEachern et
al. 2010, p. 12), although one subpopulation did decrease in abundance.
[[Page 76690]]
A new threat to the species may be sea level rise. Sea level rise
has been slow over the 20th century but has accelerated and is expected
to keep accelerating (Sievanen et al. 2018, pp. 16-18). Sea level is
expected to rise 0.4 to 1.1 m (16-43 in) by 2100 (Griggs et al. 2017,
pp. 24-27). Sea level rise could affect Santa Cruz Island dudleya in
two ways. First, some plants are close enough to the ocean that they
can be directly impacted and dislodged by surf action. However, most
plants are high enough up on the marine terrace that direct impacts of
the surf would not affect them. Second, rising sea level and larger
waves could undercut the sea cliffs and bluffs, causing slumps and
landslides, and disturbing or destroying whole groups of plants. Most
plants, however, are sufficiently inland that they would not be
affected.
Fire
Neither natural nor anthropogenic fires are as common on the
northern Channel Islands as on the adjacent mainland (Carroll et al.
1993, pp. 82-85). Just four natural fires have been known to occur on
the northern Channel Islands in the last 165 years. More human-caused
fires, mostly from machinery operation or uncontrolled campfires, have
occurred. Campfires are prohibited in Channel Islands National Park,
but they occasionally happen on isolated beaches on TNC property on
Santa Cruz Island (Knapp 2020, pers. comm.), and clandestine prohibited
smoking is frequent. Three human-caused brush fires have occurred on
Santa Cruz in the last 15 years: a vehicle-caused fire in 2007 (Knapp
2020, pers. comm.), a biomass reduction burn escape in 2018 (Knapp
2020, pers. comm.), and a construction-related fire in 2020 (KEYT
2020).
While no fires are known to have impacted the species, fire has
been and remains a concern for land managers (Knapp 2020, pers. comm.).
Passive restoration after removal of feral ungulates (Beltran et al.
2014, entire) has increased fuel loads, and the results of a fire could
be severe. With five distinct subpopulations across different
vegetation types, the chance of a fire causing the extinction of the
entire population of the species is reduced. However, each
subpopulation is still within 400 m of another subpopulation, which is
relatively close in the event of a wind-driven wildfire.
Resiliency, Representation, Redundancy
Resiliency
Resiliency describes the ability of populations to withstand
stochastic events. Resiliency is positively related to population size
and growth rate and may be influenced by connectivity among
populations. Recent research and survey efforts have shown Santa Cruz
Island dudleya is at least stable in population size at 40,000-200,000
individuals over the last 25 years with an increase in distribution
(Schneider and Carson 2019, entire). Currently, the single Santa Cruz
Island dudleya population appears to have no trend of increasing or
decreasing abundance, but the lack of standardized surveys makes it
difficult to draw conclusions about changes in species abundance and
distribution. Additional surveys over an appropriate time span and area
are needed to document changes in abundance and further changes in
distribution.
Threats to the species identified at listing have been removed,
including soil loss, herbivory by feral pigs, disturbance by pig
rooting, and collecting for botanical or horticultural use (62 FR 40954
at 40959, July 31, 1997). We have found no evidence to show that
trampling by humans or low genetic variability are currently affecting
abundance, and resiliency is not increasing or decreasing. Remaining
potential threats include competition from nonnative grasses, climate
change, and fire. These threats may affect sparsely vegetated areas,
suitable temperatures, and adequate soil moisture/rainfall needed for
survival and reproduction, thereby decreasing the abundance and
distribution of Santa Cruz Island dudleya. Except for negative effects
of nonnative grasses (Klinger unpublished, entire), the effects of
these factors on resiliency have not been studied, but they do not
appear to be currently adversely affecting the species.
Representation
Representation describes the ability of a species to adapt to
changing environmental conditions over time. It is characterized by the
breadth of genetic, phenotypic, and ecological diversity within and
among populations. No genetic analysis has been conducted to reveal the
genetic diversity within Santa Cruz Island dudleya compared to other
Dudleya, especially other members of subgenus Hasseanthus. Santa Cruz
Island dudleya is limited to a small area, but within that area, plants
are growing in a variety of combinations of distance from the ocean,
substrate type, and vegetation type, which may reflect some amount of
adaptive capacity within the population. It is unknown whether
representation has changed for this species since it was first
described.
Redundancy
Redundancy describes the ability of a species to withstand
catastrophic events. Redundancy is characterized by having multiple,
sufficiently resilient populations distributed within the ecological
settings of the species and across its range. Santa Cruz Island dudleya
has inherently low redundancy as a narrow endemic with only a single
population in a relatively small geographic range. However, there are
physical gaps between subpopulations, and the subpopulations occur in
different vegetation types that could carry fire differently.
Subpopulations also occur at different elevations, and some are
protected from extreme wave events. Although germinable seeds are found
in natural soil samples, the amount of seed in the natural soil seed
bank is unknown (Wilken 1996, p. 25). Redundancy is somewhat bolstered
by a high number of seeds that have recently been seed-banked at the
SBBG (California Plant Rescue 2023).
Additionally, an active grant issued under section 6 of the Act
(Schneider 2017, pp. 4-6, 13) calls for bulking that banked seed (in
progress) and establishing two new ``populations'' on Santa Cruz Island
(planned but delayed because of the Covid-19 pandemic). These
activities will continue with additional NPS funding (McEachern et al.
2019b, pp. 9, 11).
Summary--Current Condition, Threats Influencing Viability
Several major threats to Santa Cruz Island dudleya identified at
the time of listing, including soil loss, herbivory by feral pigs, and
disturbance by pig rooting, have been removed or are no longer
occurring. Collecting for botanical and horticultural use and trampling
by humans also no longer pose threats to the species due to controls on
access to the island. Nonnative plants continue to occur with the
species and do not seem to have affected population size, although no
recent study on the specific effects of particular nonnatives or how
changes in the nonnative assemblage might alter those effects has been
undertaken. The threat of small population size still exists, as does
concern about climate change and fire, but since the 2009 5-year
review, there is no evidence that these potential threats have affected
the species.
Santa Cruz Island dudleya abundance is apparently not increasing or
decreasing in an obvious way, but data over time are lacking. Recent
research
[[Page 76691]]
and survey efforts have shown Santa Cruz Island dudleya is at least
stable in population size over the last 25 years with an increase in
distribution (Schneider and Carson 2019, entire).
Some amount of adaptive capacity is demonstrated in the variation
in vegetation types and elevation where Santa Cruz Island dudleya is
found. While the elevational range seems small and vegetation
differences may seem negligible if gauged simply by absolute plant
height, the locations where individuals of the species grow are
remarkably varied. At the lowest elevations, the plants are in open
native forb scrub that are likely subjected to relatively high amounts
of salt spray. Soils here are influenced by the wind and are somewhat
rocky. We suspect that here the primary stressors on the plants are
from the physical environment. By contrast, higher up on the terraces,
plants are in dense nonnative grassland with deeper soil that is less
affected by salt spray. Given how dense the grasses are, we suspect
that the primary stressor to the species must be competition. The two
habitats grade into each other at some sites. In both situations, the
species seems to be doing fine, and robust plants are showing good
reproductive effort. The adaptability of this plant through disparate
habitat zones is similar to a large species of tree capable of growing
in open deserts or savanna to dense forests with similar-sized trees.
We suspect there must be sufficient phenotypic plasticity or genetic
variability (adaptive capacity) to enable the species to do well in
such different conditions.
With only one population, redundancy is inherently low, but that
issue may be mitigated somewhat by the diversity of the locations in
which the species occurs, the presence of a seed bank, and the limited
potential and extent of the most likely catastrophic threat--fire. Fire
has affected some mainland Dudleya species dramatically, while others
seem to endure little mortality from being burned. We do not have
specific fire data for Santa Cruz Island dudleya. While fire could be
carried in areas where it occurs in dense grass, lower elevation areas
are so open that fire is unlikely to spread, so there is redundancy for
the species, even over its small geographic range.
Future Condition
Of the threats that have been discussed above, climate change
remains the most reasonably foreseeable threat to persist and
potentially affect Santa Cruz Island dudleya. It is a potential
catalyst of change for other threats and is expected to have multiple
effects in the California Central Coast region, including an increase
in temperature, change in precipitation, sea level rise, and increase
in fire frequency (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). Fifty years is the
evaluation timeframe for climate change because the best available
information presented in the current integrated climate assessment for
the California Central Coast forecast uses 2069 as its climate change
analysis interval (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). The 50-year period
integrates a wide amount of interannual variability in temperature and
rainfall and contains typical drought cycles (NOAA NCEI 2019a, 2019b,
2019c). Sea level rise projections are from Griggs et al. 2017 (pp. 24-
27), which is cited by Langridge 2018 (p. 24) as the latest California-
focused sea level rise projections; Griggs et al. 2017 uses an 80-year
timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios that capture the range of
plausible effects to the species from projected changes in the factors
influencing its viability over a 50-year period. Future scenario 1
summarizes effects of RCP 4.5, and Future Scenario 2 summarizes effects
of RCP 8.5. The RCPs are alternate projections for climate change in
the California Central Coast region based on Langridge (2018, pp. 12-
22, 29-31) and Griggs et al. (2017, p. 27). Under future scenario 1
(RCP scenario 4.5 for climate change), the combination of increased
temperature and rainfall continue over the next 50 years but not at
levels anticipated to affect current levels of recruitment and
survivorship. Moderate sea level rise could cause minor impacts from
coastal bluff undercutting at the lowest elevation sites. Under RCP
4.5, anticipated sea level rise is less than 1 m, which is less likely
to cause damage than the sea level rise under RCP 8.5. Negative effects
of fire frequency on the species are not expected to increase, as
vegetation flammability and ignition sources are not projected to
increase. Because there are few negative effects of climate change
under RCP 4.5, the population is likely to maintain viability, if not
expand. Overall, under scenario 1, we project stability or increases in
abundance and distribution, which suggests resiliency, representation,
and redundancy would remain similar to the current condition for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya.
Under future scenario 2 (RCP scenario 8.5 for climate change),
temperature and rainfall increase, with fewer, more intense rain
events, with a net result that soil moisture decreases over the next 50
years. The decreased soil moisture affects recruitment and adult
survival, leading to decreases in expansion, and possibly abundance. If
conditions are severe enough, subpopulations could be extirpated. The
effects of competition with nonnative annual grasses will increase with
rising temperatures and likely affect recruitment and expansion of the
species. The effects of sea level rise could be substantial for plants
on coastal bluffs. Undercutting from surf and erosion from episodic
rainfall could increase the occurrence of landslides, eliminating some
if not all plants on coastal bluffs. Fire frequency and size could
increase because of warmer temperatures, drier vegetation, windier
conditions, increased lightning strikes, and increased visitor use over
time due to increases in human population. Fires could reduce abundance
and distribution of the species. Overall, under scenario 2, we project
a decrease in abundance and a reduced rate of expansion, and
potentially the extirpation of subpopulations, which suggests
resiliency, representation, and redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline distribution and abundance, we
do not expect threat levels under either future scenario to affect the
species at the population level.
Summary of Species Potential Future Condition
Under future scenario 1, maintenance of recruitment and
survivorship continue over the next 50 years. Because few negative
effects of climate change are expected under scenario 1, the population
is likely to maintain viability, if not expand. Overall, scenario 1
predicts little or no change in abundance and distribution, which
suggests resiliency, representation, and redundancy would remain
comparable to current levels for Santa Cruz Island dudleya. Under
scenario 2, decreases in abundance and reduced geographic expansion and
potentially extirpation of subpopulations could occur, which suggests
resiliency, representation, and redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline distribution and abundance, we
do not expect threat levels under either future scenario to affect the
species at the population level.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Overall Synthesis
Santa Cruz Island dudleya is composed of one population containing
five subpopulations that occur in a total
[[Page 76692]]
occupied area of 13.7 ha (34 acres) in a general area of about 200 ha
(494 acres) (Schneider and Carson 2019, p. 10) on the westernmost tip
of Santa Cruz Island. Over the last 25 years, the population has
fluctuated between at least 40,000 and 200,000 individuals, and
abundance is currently approximately 120,000 individuals.
Several major threats to Santa Cruz Island dudleya identified at
the time of listing have been removed or are no longer occurring.
Collecting for botanical and horticultural use and trampling by humans
also no longer pose threats to the species due to controls on access to
the island. Nonnative plants continue to occur with the species. The
risk associated with small population size still exists, as does
concern about climate change and fire, but since the 2009 5-year
review, there is no evidence that these risk factors have affected the
species. Santa Cruz Island dudleya abundance is apparently not
increasing or decreasing in an obvious way, nor is resiliency
increasing or decreasing. Some amount of representation is demonstrated
in variation in vegetation types and elevation where Santa Cruz Island
dudleya is found. Redundancy is inherently low with only one
population, but that issue may be mitigated somewhat by the diversity
of the locations in which the species occurs and the presence of a seed
bank, and the limited potential and extent of wildfire. We do not have
specific fire data for Santa Cruz Island dudleya. While fire could be
carried in areas where it occurs in dense grass, lower elevation areas
are so open that fire is unlikely to spread there, so there is
redundancy for the species, even over its small geographic range.
Under future scenario 1 (RCP scenario 4.5 for climate change), the
combination of increased temperature and rainfall continue over the
next 50 years but not at levels anticipated to affect current levels of
recruitment and survivorship. Moderate sea level rise could cause minor
impacts from coastal bluff undercutting at the lowest elevation sites.
The effects of fire on the species are not expected to increase.
Because few negative effects of climate change are expected under RCP
4.5, the population is likely to maintain viability, if not expand.
Overall, under scenario 1, we project stability or increases in
abundance and distribution, which suggests resiliency, representation,
and redundancy would remain similar to the current condition for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya.
Under future scenario 2 (RCP scenario 8.5 for climate change),
temperature and rainfall increase, with fewer, more intense rain
events, with a net result that soil moisture decreases (due to drought)
over the next 50 years. The decreased soil moisture affects recruitment
and adult survival, leading to decreases in expansion, and possibly
abundance. If conditions are severe enough, subpopulations could be
extirpated. The effects of competition with nonnative annual grasses
will increase and likely affect recruitment and expansion of the
species. The effects of sea level rise could be substantial for plants
on coastal bluffs. Undercutting from surf and erosion from episodic
rainfall could increase the occurrence of landslides, eliminating some
if not all plants on coastal bluffs. Fire frequency and size could
increase because of warmer temperatures, drier vegetation, windier
conditions, increased lightning strikes, and increased visitor use over
time with increases in the human population. Fires could reduce
abundance and distribution of the species. Overall, under scenario 2,
we project a decrease in abundance and a reduced rate of expansion, and
potentially the extirpation of subpopulations, which suggests
resiliency, representation, and redundancy could decrease for Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. Given the improved habitat conditions for the
species and apparently stable baseline distribution and abundance, we
do not expect threat levels under either future scenario to affect the
species at the population level.
Cumulative and synergistic interactions are possible between the
effects of climate change and the effects of other potential threats,
such as small population size, fire, and nonnative plant invasion.
Increases in temperature and changes in precipitation are likely to
cause increases in nonnative grasses, which are abundant in Santa Cruz
Island dudleya habitat. Increased grass abundance can possibly more
readily carry fire, which could affect the geographically limited
population of Santa Cruz Island dudleya. Uncertainty about how
different plant species will respond under climate change, combined
with uncertainty about how changes in plant species composition would
affect suitability of Santa Cruz Island dudleya habitat, make
projecting possible cumulative and synergistic effects of climate
change on Santa Cruz Island dudleya challenging.
We note that, by using the SSA framework to guide our analysis of
the scientific information documented in the SSA report, we have
analyzed the cumulative effects of identified threats and conservation
actions on the species. To assess the current and future condition of
the species, we evaluate the effects of all the relevant factors that
may be influencing the species, including threats and conservation
efforts. Because the SSA framework considers not just the presence of
the factors, but to what degree they collectively influence risk to the
entire species, our assessment integrates the cumulative effects of the
factors and replaces a standalone cumulative-effects analysis.
Our post-delisting monitoring plans will provide guidelines for
evaluating both species following delisting to detect substantial
declines that may lead to consideration of re-listing to threatened or
endangered. Changes in land use will still be subject to State and
Federal environmental review.
Island Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island Dudleya Conservation Efforts and
Regulatory Mechanisms
State Protections
Island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya are both listed as
State Rare by the State of California under the Native Plant Protection
Act of 1977 (Fish and Game Code chapter 10, sections 1900-1913) and the
California Endangered Species Act of 1984 (California Code of
Regulations, title 14, chapter 6, sections 783.0-787.9; Fish and Game
Code chapter 1.5, sections 2050-2115.5) and so they receive special
considerations for their protection by the State of California under
the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) for California
permitted projects on private TNC land. The official California listing
of endangered and threatened species is contained in the California
Code of Regulations, title 14, section 670.5.
Island bedstraw is listed as 1B.2 by the California Native Plant
Society (CNPS), meaning it is considered rare, threatened, or
endangered in California or elsewhere and moderately threatened in
California. Santa Cruz Island dudleya is listed as 1B.1 by the CNPS,
meaning it is considered rare, threatened, or endangered in California
or elsewhere and seriously threatened in California. A cooperative
relationship exists between the California Department of Fish and
Wildlife (CFDW)--California Natural Diversity Database (CNDDB) (the
State) and CNPS. The ``threatened'' category means two different things
in the CNPS rankings. The first ``threatened category'' (``considered
rare, threatened, or endangered in California or elsewhere'') refers to
a government agency (e.g., Service, CDFW) or nongovernmental
organization (e.g., CNPS, NatureServe) having formally
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declared a plant in some sense to be rare, threatened, or endangered.
The second threatened category (``moderately threatened in California''
for island bedstraw and ``seriously threatened in California'' for
Santa Cruz Island dudleya) are estimates at the time of listing (by
CNPS or CDFW) about the degree to which the species is under threat (in
the sense that something might harm the species). CNPS and CDFW have
different ranking systems for rare plants but work together on them.
Because of the efforts of the CNDDB program and CNPS to bring attention
to rare plants through these parallel ranking systems, these plants
receive some attention via the CEQA and the National Environmental
Policy Act (CNDDB and CNPS, 2020, entire).
Federal and Federal Partner Protections
We evaluated whether any existing regulatory mechanisms or other
voluntary conservation efforts may have ameliorated any of the threats
acting on island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya. All of the
land on which both species occur is managed by TNC or NPS for
conservation of unique island species and habitats. The most
significant single action has been the elimination of feral ungulates
and feral pigs by TNC and NPS, as discussed above. The elimination of
feral ungulates and feral pigs has eliminated the major sources of soil
loss, habitat alteration, and herbivory affecting the species. This
effort has resulted in passive restoration of the vegetation. It is
likely that the positive effects of the feral ungulate and feral pig
removal will continue into the future.
Determination of Status for Island Bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
Dudleya
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species meets the definition of an endangered species or a
threatened species. The Act defines an ``endangered species'' as a
species that is in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range and a ``threatened species'' as a species that is
likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of its range. The Act requires
that we determine whether a species meets the definition of an
endangered species or a threatened species because of any of the
following factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
Island Bedstraw
After evaluating threats to the species and assessing the
cumulative effect of the threats under the Act's section 4(a)(1)
factors, we have found that the major threats to island bedstraw at the
time of listing, feral livestock grazing (Factor A), trampling (Factor
A), and the resulting erosion (Factor A), have either been removed or
have been minimized. The threats of risk from small population size
(Factor E) and loss of habitat to nonnative invasive plants (Factor A)
identified in the 2009 5-year review have also been minimized.
At the time of listing, there were 19 known sites of island
bedstraw, 13 on Santa Cruz Island and 6 on San Miguel Island.
Currently, the number of sites known or presumed to be extant has grown
to 33 on Santa Cruz Island and continues at 6 on San Miguel Island. The
total estimated number of known individuals within those sites on both
islands combined has increased from 512-603 before listing to at least
15,730. Currently, island bedstraw is increasing in abundance and
distribution. It has shown demographic capacity for population growth
and adaptive capacity by expansion beyond historically occupied areas
into more diverse habitats (e.g., from cliff faces to terraces above
the cliffs and movement into nonnative-dominated vegetation),
indicating increasing resiliency, representation, and generally overall
adaptive capacity. The species also shows the ability to withstand
catastrophic events because it is distributed on two islands, has more
sites now than at the time of listing, and has gaps between groups of
sites within islands. A single island catastrophe would be unlikely to
affect all sites at once.
Although climate change (Factor E) has had no apparent effects
since the 2009 5-year review, the potentially negative effects of
climate change remain and may still impact the species, but such
impacts are not currently causing the species to be in danger of
extinction. The best available information indicates that
overutilization (Factor B), disease (Factor C), predation (herbivory)
(Factor C), and the inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms
(Factor D) are not currently affecting the species throughout its
range. The existing regulatory mechanisms will remain in place to
ensure the continued persistence of island bedstraw occurrences and
suitable potential habitat even when the species is delisted and
protections under the Act are removed.
All of the occurrences of island bedstraw are on Federal and
private lands that are protected and managed for conservation by the
NPS and TNC. Both NPS and TNC have natural resource conservation as
part of their mission. For example, the mission of TNC is to conserve
the lands and waters on which all life depends. The TNC vision is a
world where the diversity of life thrives and people act to conserve
nature for its own sake and its ability to fulfill our needs and enrich
lives. The NPS preserves unimpaired the natural and cultural resources
and values of the NPS System for the enjoyment, education, and
inspiration of this and future generations. The NPS cooperates with
partners to extend the benefits of natural and cultural resource
conservation and outdoor recreation throughout this country and the
world.
Thus, after assessing the best available information, we conclude
that island bedstraw is not currently in danger of extinction
throughout all of its range and, therefore, does not meet the
definition of an endangered species.
In order to assess whether the species is likely to become in
danger of extinction within the foreseeable future, we evaluated any
remaining future threats. The major remaining potential threat
influencing island bedstraw viability in the future is climate change.
Future climate change is expected to have multiple effects in the
California Central Coast region, including increases in temperatures,
changes in precipitation, sea level rise, and increases in fire
frequency (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). Fifty years is the evaluation
timeframe for climate change because the best available information
presented in the current integrated climate assessment for the
California Central Coast forecast uses 2069 as its climate change
analysis interval (Langridge 2018, pp. 12-23). The 50-year period
integrates a wide amount of interannual variability in temperature and
rainfall and contains typical drought cycles (NOAA NCEI 2019a, 2019b,
2019c). Sea level rise projections are from Griggs et al. 2017 (pp. 24-
27), which is cited by Langridge 2018 (p. 24) as the latest California-
focused sea level rise projections; Griggs et al. 2017 uses an 80-year
timeframe.
We developed two future scenarios that capture the range of
plausible
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effects to the species from projected changes in factors influencing
viability over a 50-year period. Future scenario 1 summarizes effects
of RCP 4.5, and future scenario 2 summarizes effects of RCP 8.5
projections for climate change in the California Central Coast Region
based on Langridge (2018, entire). Under future scenario 1, changes in
abundance and distribution of island bedstraw continue on their current
positive trajectory, with increasing numbers and site expansion. Under
future scenario 2, some sites may decline and possibly become
extirpated. Decreased soil moisture and drought are likely to
negatively affect the species because recruitment, survivorship, and
the rate of expansion would be lower. Increased erosion and fire would
also negatively affect island bedstraw by killing individuals and
reducing habitat. Negative impacts to individuals may occur under RCP
8.5 but given the current improvement in habitat and increases in
distribution and abundance, we do not think that the impacts will rise
to a population level such that the species is likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore,
the currently predicted changes in climate do not indicate that the
species may become endangered due to those changes in the foreseeable
future throughout its range. Thus, after assessing the best available
information, we conclude that island bedstraw is not currently in
danger of extinction or likely to become so within the foreseeable
future throughout all of its range.
Santa Cruz Island Dudleya
Through this final rule, we have assessed the section 4(a)(1)
factors by evaluating the best scientific and commercial information
available regarding the past, present, and future threats faced by
Santa Cruz Island dudleya. We have found that the major threats to
Santa Cruz Island dudleya identified at the time of listing have either
been removed or have been minimized, due to the removal of feral pigs
from Santa Cruz Island by NPS and TNC. Those prior threats included
soil loss (Factor A), herbivory by feral pigs (Factor A), and
disturbance by pig rooting (Factor A). The threats of collecting for
botanical and horticultural use (Factor B) and trampling by humans
(Factor A) also have been reduced by conservation and protection
measures implemented by TNC and no longer appear to pose threats to the
species. At the time of listing, nonnative plants (Factor A) as a whole
were considered a threat to island native plant species in general,
though there have been no recent studies of the effects of individual
nonnative species or of the shifting composition of nonnatives on the
persistence of Santa Cruz Island dudleya. However, nonnative plants are
not considered to be a concern as they were at the time of listing
because the species is stable.
The threats presented by the risk of small population size (Factor
E), climate change (Factor E), and fire (Factor E) still exist, but
since the 2009 5-year review there is no evidence that these threats
have affected Santa Cruz Island dudleya. We determined that disease
(Factor C), predation (herbivory) (Factor C), and the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (Factor D) are not currently affecting
Santa Cruz Island dudleya throughout its range. The existing regulatory
mechanisms in place ensure the continued persistence of Santa Cruz
Island dudleya occurrences and suitable potential habitat even when the
species is delisted and protections under the Act are removed; the
single population is on private land and is protected and managed for
conservation by TNC. Thus, after assessing the best available
information, we conclude that Santa Cruz Island dudleya is not
currently in danger of extinction throughout all of its range and,
therefore, does not meet the definition of an endangered species.
In order to assess whether the species is likely to become in
danger of extinction within the foreseeable future, we evaluated any
remaining future threats. Similar to island bedstraw, as discussed
above, the major remaining potential factor influencing Santa Cruz
Island dudleya viability in the future is climate change. Santa Cruz
Island dudleya occurs with nonnative plants (Factor A), which are still
considered a threat, though there have been no comprehensive studies
that project the future effects of individual nonnative species or of
the shifting composition of nonnatives on the persistence of Santa Cruz
Island dudleya. However, nonnative plants are not considered to be a
concern as they were at the time of listing because the species is
projected to be either increasing or stable in the future.
The threats presented by the risk of small population size (Factor
E), climate change (Factor E), and fire (Factor E) may continue into
the future, but since the 2009 5-year review, there is no evidence that
these threats have significantly affected Santa Cruz Island dudleya,
and we do not think this situation will change in the foreseeable
future. Negative impacts to individuals may occur under climate change
RCP 8.5, but given the improvement in habitat conditions and apparent
baseline population stability, we find that the impacts will not likely
rise to a population level such that the species would be likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable future. Therefore, the currently
predicted changes in climate do not indicate that the species may
become endangered due to those changes in the foreseeable future.
Thus, after assessing the best available information, we conclude
that Santa Cruz Island dudleya is not currently in danger of extinction
or likely to become so within the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range.
Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Their Ranges
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. Having determined that island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya are not in danger of extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future throughout all of its range, we now consider whether
these species may be in danger of extinction (i.e., endangered) or
likely to become so in the foreseeable future (i.e., threatened) in a
significant portion of their ranges--that is, whether there is any
portion of these species' ranges for which both (1) the portion is
significant; and, (2) the species is in danger of extinction or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in that portion. Depending on
the case, it might be more efficient for us to address the
``significance'' question or the ``status'' question first. We can
choose to address either question first. Regardless of which question
we address first, if we reach a negative answer with respect to the
first question that we address, we do not need to evaluate the other
question for that portion of the species' range.
In undertaking this analysis for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz
Island dudleya, we choose to address the status question first. We
began by identifying portions of their range where the biological
status of these species may be different from their biological status
elsewhere in their ranges. For this purpose, we consider information
pertaining to the geographic distribution of (a) individuals of these
species, (b) the threats that these species face, and (c) the
resiliency condition of populations.
We evaluated the range of the island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island
dudleya to determine if either species is in danger of extinction now
or likely to
[[Page 76695]]
become so in the foreseeable future in any portion of their ranges. The
range of a species can theoretically be divided into portions in an
infinite number of ways. We focused our analysis on the portions of
these species' ranges that may meet the definition of an endangered
species or a threatened species.
For island bedstraw, we considered whether the threats or their
effects on the species are greater in any biologically meaningful
portion of the species' range than in other portions such that the
species is in danger of extinction now or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future in that portion. We examined the threats to
determine if they are geographically concentrated in any portion of the
species' range at a biologically meaningful scale. Island bedstraw
consists of 33 sites on Santa Cruz Island and 6 sites on San Miguel
Island where each site is treated as a separate population. The total
estimated number of known individuals is at least 15,730 after recent
helicopter surveys occurred in a general area of about 6,000 ha (15,000
acres), although the total occupied area within that general area is
much less (has not been estimated). We examined the following threats
to island bedstraw: feral livestock grazing, trampling, erosion, small
population size, and climate change including cumulative effects.
We found that the major threats to island bedstraw at the time of
listing, feral livestock grazing, trampling, and resulting erosion,
have largely been eliminated on both Santa Cruz and San Miguel Islands.
The elimination of these threats also minimized the threats of small
population size and nonnative vegetation on both islands. The major
remaining potential factor influencing island bedstraw population
viability is climate change. Our current analysis does not show that
the species is experiencing any significant effects from changing
climate conditions in any of the populations on either island, or that
the species will do so in the foreseeable future.
We found no biologically meaningful portion of island bedstraw's
range where the condition of the species differs from its condition
elsewhere in its range such that the status of the species in that
portion differs from any other portion of the species' range.
Therefore, we find that the species is not in danger of extinction
now or likely to become so in the foreseeable future in any significant
portion of its range. This does not conflict with the courts' holdings
in Desert Survivors v. U.S. Department of the Interior, 336 F. Supp. 3d
1131 (N.D. Cal. 2018), and Center for Biological Diversity v. Jewell,
248 F. Supp. 3d 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017) because, in reaching this
conclusion, we did not apply the aspects of the Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase ``Significant Portion of Its Range'' in
the Endangered Species Act's Definitions of ``Endangered Species'' and
``Threatened Species'' (79 FR 3758, July 1, 2014), including the
definition of ``significant'' that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
For Santa Cruz Island dudleya, we considered whether the threats or
their effects on the species are greater in any biologically meaningful
portion of the species' range than in other portions such that the
species is in danger of extinction now or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future in that portion. We examined the threats to
determine if they are geographically concentrated in any portion of the
species' range at a biologically meaningful scale. Santa Cruz Island
dudleya occurs in a general area of about 200 ha (494 acres), although
the total occupied area within that general area is about 13.7 ha (34
acres) (Schneider and Carson 2019 p. 10). The area can be divided into
five subpopulations, each within 400 m of another, that function as a
single, contiguous population. Therefore, according to the definition
of the California Natural Diversity Database (CNDDB 2018 p. 3), these
sites comprise a single occurrence. Previous work on gene flow in a
population of another member of the subgenus Hasseanthus, Dudleya
multicaulis (Marchant et al. 1998, pp. 217-219), that is similarly
dispersed, suggests that all Santa Cruz Island dudleya subpopulations
probably comprise a single mixing population. Thus, due to being a
narrow endemic that functions as a single, contiguous population and
occurs within a very small area, there is no biologically meaningful
way to break the limited range of Santa Cruz Island dudleya into
notable portions, and the threats that the species faces affect the
species throughout its entire range. As a result, we found no
biologically meaningful portion of the Santa Cruz Island dudleya's
range where the condition of the species differs from its condition
elsewhere in its range such that the status of the species in that
portion differs from its status in any other portion of the species'
range.
Therefore, we find that the species is not in danger of extinction
now or likely to become so in the foreseeable future in any significant
portion of the species' range. This does not conflict with the courts'
holdings in Desert Survivors v. U.S. Department of the Interior, 336 F.
Supp. 3d 1131 (N.D. Cal. 2018), and Center for Biological Diversity v.
Jewell, 248 F. Supp. 3d. 946, 959 (D. Ariz. 2017) because, in reaching
this conclusion, we did not apply the aspects of the Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase ``Significant Portion of Its Range'' in
the Endangered Species Act's Definitions of ``Endangered Species'' and
``Threatened Species'' (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014), including the
definition of ``significant'' that those court decisions held to be
invalid.
Determination of Status
Our review of the best scientific and commercial data available
indicates that island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya do not
meet the definition of an endangered species or a threatened species in
accordance with sections 3(6) and 3(20) of the Act. In accordance with
our regulations at 50 CFR 424.11(e)(2) currently in effect, island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya do not meet the definition of an
endangered or threatened species. Therefore, we are removing island
bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Plants.
Effects of This Rule
This final rule revises 50 CFR 17.12(h) by removing island bedstraw
and Santa Cruz Island dudleya from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants. On the effective date of this rule (see DATES,
above), the prohibitions and conservation measures provided by the Act,
particularly through sections 7 and 9, will no longer apply to these
species. Federal agencies will no longer be required to consult with
the Service under section 7 of the Act in the event that activities
they authorize, fund, or carry out may affect island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya. There is no critical habitat designated for these
species, so there will be no effect to 50 CFR 17.96.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us, in cooperation with the
States, to implement a monitoring program for not less than 5 years for
all species that have been delisted due to recovery. Post-delisting
monitoring (PDM) refers to activities undertaken to verify that a
species delisted due to recovery remains secure from the risk of
extinction after the protections of the Act no longer apply. The
primary goal of PDM is to monitor the species to ensure that its status
does not deteriorate, and if a decline is detected, to take measures to
halt the decline so that proposing it as endangered or threatened is
not again
[[Page 76696]]
needed. If at any time during the monitoring period data indicate that
protective status under the Act should be reinstated, we can initiate
listing procedures, including, if appropriate, emergency listing.
We are delisting island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya
based on our analysis in the SSA report, expert opinions, and
conservation and recovery actions taken. Since delisting would be, in
part, due to conservation actions taken by stakeholders, we have
prepared PDM plans for island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya.
The PDM plans: (1) Summarize the status of island bedstraw and Santa
Cruz Island dudleya at the time of proposed delisting; (2) describe
frequency and duration of monitoring; (3) discuss monitoring methods
and potential sampling regimes; (4) define what potential triggers will
be evaluated to address the need for additional monitoring; (5) outline
reporting requirements and procedures; (6) establish a schedule for
implementing the PDM plans; and (7) define responsibilities. It is our
intent to work with our partners towards maintaining the recovered
status of island bedstraw and Santa Cruz Island dudleya. With the
publication of the proposed rule, we sought public and peer reviewer
comments on the draft PDM plans, including their objectives and
procedures, and have incorporated these comments as appropriate into
the final PDM plans, which will be posted to https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2022-0066 and are
available as indicated above in ADDRESSES.
Required Determinations
National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
We have determined that environmental assessments and environmental
impact statements, as defined under the authority of the National
Environmental Policy Act (NEPA; 42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), need not be
prepared in connection with determining a species' listing status under
the Endangered Species Act. We published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48
FR 49244).
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994
(Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments; 59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175 (Consultation and
Coordination with Indian Tribal Governments), and the Department of the
Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
responsibility to communicate meaningfully with federally recognized
Tribes on a government-to-government basis. In accordance with
Secretarial Order 3206 of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal Rights,
Federal-Tribal Trust Responsibilities, and the Endangered Species Act),
we readily acknowledge our responsibilities to work directly with
Tribes in developing programs for healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge
that Tribal lands are not subject to the same controls as Federal
public lands, to remain sensitive to Indian culture, and to make
information available to Tribes. No Tribal lands are associated with
this final rule, and we did not receive any comments from any Tribes or
Tribal members on the proposed rule (87 FR 73722, December 1, 2022).
References Cited
A complete list of references cited in this rulemaking is available
on the internet at https://www.regulations.gov and upon request from
the Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule are staff members of the
Fish and Wildlife Service's Species Assessment Team and the Ventura
Fish and Wildlife Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Plants,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Transportation, Wildlife.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we hereby amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter I,
title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245,
unless otherwise noted.
Sec. 17.12 [Amended]
0
2. In Sec. 17.12, amend paragraph (h) in the List of Endangered and
Threatened Plants by removing the entries for ``Dudleya nesiotica'' and
``Galium buxifolium'' under Flowering Plants.
Martha Williams,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2023-23937 Filed 11-6-23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P